Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM
Mission (connected) 2011 CFM
Hayward (No) 2011 CFM
Greenville (So) 2011 CFM
Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM
Greenville (No) 2011 CFM
Ortigalita (North)
Franklin 2011 CFM
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
Green Valley 2011 CFM
Concord 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
Contra Costa Shear Zone (connector) 2011 CFM
Mount Diablo Thrust South
Quien Sabe 2011 CFM
Bennett Valley 2011 CFM
Contra Costa (Lafayette) 2011 CFM
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
Mount Diablo Thrust North CFM
Silver Creek 2011 CFM
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
Sargent 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Parkfield)
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
West Napa 2011 CFM
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
Las Positas
Reliz 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Big Bend)
Great Valley 08 (Quinto)
San Andreas (Mojave N)
San Andreas (Mojave S)
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
Ortigalita (South)
Clayton
Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
Pleito
Butano 2011 CFM
Swain Ravine - Spenceville
Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge
Hosgri
Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
Great Valley 06 (Midland) 2011 CFM alt1
Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM
Chino alt 1
Los Alamos 2011 CFM
Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM
San Clemente

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1721256E-4	2.3917068E-4	0.006997554	29.257574	0.00676	5.022428E-4	0.0010244112	0.009335889	9.113419	0.00832	0.0060976758	0.0123767415	0.023289979	1.8817537	0.01105	0.0593305	0.11383945	0.12573172	1.1044654	0.01342
6.1	6.99169E-5	1.4003116E-4	0.0022597343	16.137367	0.00212	2.9960944E-4	5.999061E-4	0.0032283284	5.3813896	0.00263	0.0036416445	0.0072731334	0.010717896	1.4736284	0.00347	0.035825435	0.068641566	0.07249739	1.0561733	0.00414
6.2	6.99169E-5	1.4003116E-4	0.0022597343	16.137367	0.00212	2.9960944E-4	5.999061E-4	0.0032283284	5.3813896	0.00263	0.0036416445	0.0072731334	0.010717896	1.4736284	0.00347	0.035825435	0.068641566	0.07249739	1.0561733	0.00414
6.3	6.970908E-5	1.3971099E-4	0.0022594149	16.172062	0.00212	2.9871898E-4	5.985348E-4	0.0032269608	5.3914332	0.00263	0.0036308395	0.007256589	0.010701409	1.4747161	0.00347	0.035720866	0.06848998	0.072346434	1.0563068	0.00414
6.4	6.9517155E-5	1.3937819E-4	0.0022590826	16.208294	0.00212	2.9789665E-4	5.971093E-4	0.0032255389	5.4019237	0.00263	0.0036208609	0.0072394	0.010684279	1.4758515	0.00347	0.03562429	0.0683333	0.0721904	1.0564454	0.00414
6.5	4.786248E-5	9.5815805E-5	0.001325698	13.835901	0.00123	2.0510878E-4	4.1057717E-4	0.0019499449	4.749277	0.00154	0.0024943394	0.004987767	0.006997692	1.4029708	0.00202	0.02466527	0.047634784	0.050053794	1.0507823	0.00254
6.6	4.4662214E-5	9.042922E-5	0.0012403253	13.71598	0.00115	1.9139545E-4	3.8749888E-4	0.0018269409	4.7146997	0.00144	0.0023277493	0.004708073	0.006599128	1.4016621	0.0019	0.02303517	0.045004696	0.047268037	1.0502912	0.00237
6.7	3.884542E-5	8.016297E-5	0.0011300788	14.097267	0.00105	1.6646975E-4	3.4351295E-4	0.001673056	4.870431	0.00133	0.002024885	0.0041747103	0.0058277803	1.3959724	0.00166	0.020065336	0.04000524	0.04196363	1.0489533	0.00204
6.8	3.4221863E-5	6.989173E-5	9.5982954E-4	13.733092	8.9E-4	1.4665688E-4	2.9950403E-4	0.0014591566	4.8719096	0.00116	0.0017840851	0.0036408007	0.005075558	1.3940774	0.00144	0.017698295	0.035018582	0.036707297	1.0482235	0.00175
6.9	1.6927712E-5	3.0714917E-5	3.8070418E-4	12.394765	3.5E-4	7.2545314E-5	1.3162904E-4	5.5157376E-4	4.190365	4.2E-4	8.828813E-4	0.0016014649	0.0020707122	1.2930113	4.7E-4	0.008793819	0.01577214	0.016352834	1.0368178	5.9E-4
7.0	1.2509653E-5	2.2983595E-5	2.3297877E-4	10.136742	2.1E-4	5.3611697E-5	9.849766E-5	3.6847105E-4	3.740912	2.7E-4	6.525269E-4	0.0011985953	0.0015082237	1.258326	3.1E-4	0.0065061417	0.011829688	0.012234838	1.0342486	4.1E-4
7.1	8.751583E-6	1.5290016E-5	9.528879E-5	6.2320924	8.0E-5	3.750624E-5	6.552703E-5	1.7551982E-4	2.6785865	1.1E-4	4.5654282E-4	7.975057E-4	9.1741E-4	1.1503491	1.2E-4	0.0045560603	0.00794137	0.008110019	1.0212369	1.7E-4
7.2	6.354379E-6	1.1822765E-5	6.1822175E-5	5.229079	5.0E-5	2.7232769E-5	5.066804E-5	1.20664496E-4	2.3814714	7.0E-5	3.3150852E-4	6.167139E-4	6.866707E-4	1.1134348	7.0E-5	0.0033101442	0.0061592306	0.0062685534	1.0177494	1.1E-4
7.3	4.645554E-6	9.085719E-6	1.9085628E-5	2.1006184	1.0E-5	1.9909365E-5	3.893824E-5	6.893707E-5	1.7704208	3.0E-5	2.4236954E-4	4.7397413E-4	5.039599E-4	1.0632646	3.0E-5	0.0024210536	0.004743088	0.004792851	1.0104916	5.0E-5
7.4	4.23437E-6	8.235284E-6	1.8235201E-5	2.2142773	1.0E-5	1.8147173E-5	3.5293622E-5	6.529256E-5	1.8499819	3.0E-5	2.2091944E-4	4.296192E-4	4.5960632E-4	1.0697993	3.0E-5	0.0022069993	0.0043024668	0.0043522515	1.0115713	5.0E-5
7.5	2.2187417E-6	4.0726886E-6	4.0726886E-6	1.0	0.0	9.508858E-6	1.7454278E-5	1.7454278E-5	1.0	0.0	1.157642E-4	2.1248788E-4	2.1248788E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011570391	0.002134221	0.0021441996	1.0046755	1.0E-5
7.6	2.7952495E-8	3.969422E-8	3.969422E-8	1.0	0.0	1.1979641E-7	1.7011807E-7	1.7011807E-7	1.0	0.0	1.4585203E-6	2.0711857E-6	2.0711857E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4585107E-5	2.0790996E-5	2.0790996E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.7192724E-8	2.4007294E-8	2.4007294E-8	1.0	0.0	7.36831E-8	1.028884E-7	1.028884E-7	1.0	0.0	8.9709135E-7	1.2526656E-6	1.2526656E-6	1.0	0.0	8.970877E-6	1.2583533E-5	1.2583533E-5	1.0	0.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.5010907E-4	2.5349332E-4	0.0031827507	12.55556	0.00293	6.4316596E-4	0.0010858527	0.004711911	4.3393645	0.00363	0.0078024664	0.013131101	0.017838465	1.3584898	0.00477	0.07534136	0.1227338	0.12791845	1.042243	0.00591
6.1	1.4521465E-4	2.450435E-4	0.003144333	12.831732	0.0029	6.222001E-4	0.0010496689	0.0046359007	4.416536	0.00359	0.0075490056	0.012697219	0.017317796	1.3639046	0.00468	0.07297657	0.11898773	0.124106415	1.0430186	0.00581
6.2	1.429998E-4	2.442869E-4	0.0031435785	12.868387	0.0029	6.127123E-4	0.001046429	0.0046326723	4.4271255	0.00359	0.007434286	0.012658279	0.017259292	1.3634785	0.00466	0.07190444	0.118606284	0.12370956	1.0430269	0.00579
6.3	1.3536277E-4	2.3738034E-4	0.0031366919	13.213781	0.0029	5.799972E-4	0.0010168545	0.004603204	4.526905	0.00359	0.0070386264	0.012303271	0.016905937	1.374101	0.00466	0.0681982	0.115420505	0.120524526	1.0442212	0.00577
6.4	1.2993296E-4	2.3140716E-4	0.0030307593	13.097085	0.0028	5.5673666E-4	9.912751E-4	0.0044678254	4.50715	0.00348	0.006757223	0.011995378	0.01643152	1.3698208	0.00449	0.06555412	0.11261254	0.11754641	1.0438129	0.00556
6.5	1.0498927E-4	1.8429974E-4	0.0020139625	10.927647	0.00183	4.498764E-4	7.8961556E-4	0.003127768	3.9611273	0.00234	0.005463498	0.009571098	0.012542385	1.3104436	0.003	0.053311124	0.09116926	0.09470461	1.038778	0.00389
6.6	1.0157505E-4	1.7910691E-4	0.0019487899	10.880595	0.00177	4.35249E-4	7.673739E-4	0.003005655	3.9168065	0.00224	0.0052862884	0.009302689	0.0121459905	1.305643	0.00287	0.05162293	0.08872232	0.0921305	1.038414	0.00374
6.7	9.660386E-5	1.7159588E-4	0.0017813196	10.380899	0.00161	4.1395082E-4	7.3520275E-4	0.0027836957	3.7862964	0.00205	0.0050282106	0.008914315	0.011501049	1.2901775	0.00261	0.049159497	0.08517412	0.08826623	1.0363034	0.00338
6.8	9.089927E-5	1.605339E-4	0.0015903043	9.906345	0.00143	3.8951015E-4	6.878204E-4	0.0024965755	3.6296911	0.00181	0.0047319788	0.008342024	0.010642671	1.27579	0.00232	0.046324775	0.07998524	0.08278208	1.0349671	0.00304
6.9	7.353187E-5	1.2635939E-4	9.862507E-4	7.805124	8.6E-4	3.150985E-4	5.4142845E-4	0.0016008546	2.956724	0.00106	0.0038295772	0.006572095	0.0080225	1.2206913	0.00146	0.037642512	0.063747056	0.06564765	1.0298146	0.00203
7.0	5.746064E-5	9.671981E-5	7.066608E-4	7.3062677	6.1E-4	2.4623662E-4	4.14448E-4	0.0011541413	2.7847674	7.4E-4	0.0029938098	0.005034305	0.006098918	1.2114718	0.00107	0.02953797	0.04931186	0.050728388	1.0287259	0.00149
7.1	4.9557195E-5	8.306156E-5	5.930192E-4	7.139514	5.1E-4	2.123707E-4	3.559299E-4	9.7570923E-4	2.741296	6.2E-4	0.0025825473	0.004324902	0.0052210097	1.2071972	9.0E-4	0.0255274	0.042572163	0.043759372	1.027887	0.00124
7.2	3.687595E-5	6.1716695E-5	3.516988E-4	5.6986003	2.9E-4	1.5803022E-4	2.644735E-4	6.1438093E-4	2.323034	3.5E-4	0.0019223199	0.0032152412	0.0037734408	1.1736104	5.6E-4	0.01905776	0.03193407	0.032679483	1.0233421	7.7E-4
7.3	2.5846984E-5	4.4185388E-5	2.3417699E-4	5.2998743	1.9E-4	1.1076809E-4	1.893523E-4	4.2930685E-4	2.2672386	2.4E-4	0.0013477671	0.0023029456	0.0027120013	1.1776229	4.1E-4	0.013396223	0.023005055	0.023542402	1.0233577	5.5E-4
7.4	1.7747854E-5	3.1240754E-5	1.4123732E-4	4.5209317	1.1E-4	7.6060016E-5	1.3388209E-4	2.83862E-4	2.1202388	1.5E-4	9.2563726E-4	0.0016287988	0.0018783916	1.1532373	2.5E-4	0.009217911	0.016341856	0.016646791	1.0186597	3.1E-4
7.5	1.4883479E-5	2.7466658E-5	1.274639E-4	4.640678	1.0E-4	6.378478E-5	1.1770895E-4	2.5769247E-4	2.1892343	1.4E-4	7.76303E-4	0.0014321674	0.0016718236	1.1673381	2.4E-4	0.0077359667	0.014396174	0.014672142	1.0191696	2.8E-4
7.6	8.166975E-6	1.5855216E-5	4.585474E-5	2.8920918	3.0E-5	3.5000852E-5	6.7949164E-5	1.1794577E-4	1.7357942	5.0E-5	4.2605202E-4	8.269685E-4	9.268858E-4	1.1208236	1.0E-4	0.004252361	0.008373882	0.0085027935	1.0153944	1.3E-4
7.7	3.3858064E-6	6.8481695E-6	1.68481E-5	2.4602342	1.0E-5	1.4510518E-5	2.9348968E-5	3.9348673E-5	1.3407174	1.0E-5	1.7665124E-4	3.5726518E-4	3.7725802E-4	1.0559608	2.0E-5	0.0017651088	0.003679157	0.0036990836	1.005416	2.0E-5
7.8	2.7721615E-6	5.87415E-6	1.5874091E-5	2.702364	1.0E-5	1.1880637E-5	2.5174684E-5	3.517443E-5	1.3972144	1.0E-5	1.4463716E-4	3.0645874E-4	3.264526E-4	1.0652417	2.0E-5	0.0014454306	0.0031548892	0.003174826	1.0063194	2.0E-5
7.9	1.9736292E-6	4.498623E-6	1.4498578E-5	3.2228923	1.0E-5	8.4583835E-6	1.9279672E-5	2.927948E-5	1.518671	1.0E-5	1.0297595E-4	2.3470477E-4	2.5470008E-4	1.0851934	2.0E-5	0.0010292825	0.0024025033	0.0024224552	1.0083046	2.0E-5
8.0	1.1767289E-6	2.7689866E-6	2.7689866E-6	1.0	0.0	5.0431145E-6	1.1867031E-5	1.1867031E-5	1.0	0.0	6.139818E-5	1.4447156E-4	1.4447156E-4	1.0	0.0	6.1381224E-4	0.0014698275	0.0014698275	1.0	0.0
8.1	7.5112825E-7	1.6692738E-6	1.6692738E-6	1.0	0.0	3.2191172E-6	7.154011E-6	7.154011E-6	1.0	0.0	3.9192048E-5	8.709663E-5	8.709663E-5	1.0	0.0	3.9185135E-4	8.860659E-4	8.860659E-4	1.0	0.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.8091932E-4	3.6379998E-4	0.0025929888	7.127512	0.00223	7.751381E-4	0.0015582213	0.004423749	2.8389735	0.00287	0.00939654	0.01880882	0.022576593	1.2003195	0.00384	0.090090066	0.16935675	0.17350996	1.0245235	0.005
6.1	1.8091932E-4	3.6379998E-4	0.0025929888	7.127512	0.00223	7.751381E-4	0.0015582213	0.004423749	2.8389735	0.00287	0.00939654	0.01880882	0.022576593	1.2003195	0.00384	0.090090066	0.16935675	0.17350996	1.0245235	0.005
6.2	1.8091932E-4	3.6379998E-4	0.0025929888	7.127512	0.00223	7.751381E-4	0.0015582213	0.004423749	2.8389735	0.00287	0.00939654	0.01880882	0.022576593	1.2003195	0.00384	0.090090066	0.16935675	0.17350996	1.0245235	0.005
6.3	1.7322872E-4	3.4920932E-4	0.0025784306	7.3836246	0.00223	7.4219756E-4	0.001495763	0.00436147	2.9158833	0.00287	0.0089988755	0.018061211	0.021822037	1.2082267	0.00383	0.08643075	0.1632428	0.1674015	1.0254755	0.00497
6.4	1.6334097E-4	3.2984125E-4	0.0025591056	7.7585983	0.00223	6.998449E-4	0.0014128485	0.0042787935	3.0284872	0.00287	0.008487372	0.01706785	0.020832479	1.2205685	0.00383	0.081704415	0.15510587	0.15925431	1.0267458	0.00491
6.5	1.5600289E-4	3.1642153E-4	0.0025057285	7.9189577	0.00219	6.684125E-4	0.001355396	0.00418156	3.0851207	0.00283	0.008107598	0.016379053	0.020087304	1.226402	0.00377	0.078181036	0.14935553	0.15343863	1.027338	0.0048
6.6	1.4046066E-4	2.8626152E-4	0.0023856603	8.333849	0.0021	6.018354E-4	0.0012262653	0.003932942	3.2072523	0.00271	0.0073027555	0.014829142	0.018385608	1.2398295	0.00361	0.07067384	0.13633625	0.1402832	1.0289501	0.00457
6.7	1.14696966E-4	2.3809537E-4	0.0021976286	9.230036	0.00196	4.914658E-4	0.001020015	0.0035474342	3.4778259	0.00253	0.0059671924	0.01234908	0.015578698	1.2615271	0.00327	0.058094822	0.114961036	0.11858085	1.0314872	0.00409
6.8	9.3874296E-5	1.9310646E-4	0.0018327897	9.491085	0.00164	4.0225635E-4	8.2734047E-4	0.00296557	3.5844615	0.00214	0.0048864787	0.010027115	0.012739641	1.270519	0.00274	0.047804173	0.09450652	0.0976033	1.032768	0.00342
6.9	5.551852E-5	1.1018059E-4	7.4011117E-4	6.7172556	6.3E-4	2.3791482E-4	4.721177E-4	0.0012617448	2.6725216	7.9E-4	0.0028927654	0.0057330085	0.006757104	1.1786313	0.00103	0.028553981	0.055557583	0.056870356	1.0236291	0.00139
7.0	4.2662363E-5	8.480305E-5	4.7476997E-4	5.5985017	3.9E-4	1.8282588E-4	3.6339142E-4	8.7320607E-4	2.4029355	5.1E-4	0.0022236328	0.0044153924	0.005082434	1.1510719	6.7E-4	0.022015138	0.043148983	0.043981444	1.0192927	8.7E-4
7.1	3.305886E-5	6.49646E-5	2.849503E-4	4.3862395	2.2E-4	1.4167312E-4	2.7839013E-4	5.8830384E-4	2.1132352	3.1E-4	0.0017235056	0.003384152	0.0037927646	1.1207429	4.1E-4	0.017101998	0.03337252	0.0338945	1.015641	5.4E-4
7.2	2.9856887E-5	5.8850197E-5	2.0884137E-4	3.5486944	1.5E-4	1.2795182E-4	2.5219086E-4	4.9213035E-4	1.9514202	2.4E-4	0.0015567001	0.0030661186	0.003405076	1.1105493	3.4E-4	0.015458403	0.030326137	0.030781884	1.0150282	4.7E-4
7.3	2.4559737E-5	4.7460693E-5	1.4745595E-4	3.1069067	1.0E-4	1.0525176E-4	2.0338719E-4	3.833506E-4	1.8848314	1.8E-4	0.0012806869	0.0024734407	0.002742773	1.1088897	2.7E-4	0.012733313	0.024565598	0.024926508	1.0146917	3.7E-4
7.4	1.9002231E-5	3.6201774E-5	1.1619888E-4	3.2097564	8.0E-5	8.143559E-5	1.551413E-4	3.0511804E-4	1.9667106	1.5E-4	9.910273E-4	0.0018872194	0.0021267664	1.1269312	2.4E-4	0.009866194	0.01881869	0.019132666	1.0166844	3.2E-4
7.5	1.2783333E-5	2.4139217E-5	9.4137526E-5	3.8997755	7.0E-5	5.4784563E-5	1.0344972E-4	2.1343834E-4	2.0632086	1.1E-4	6.667979E-4	0.0012587787	0.001458527	1.1586841	2.0E-4	0.006648007	0.01260475	0.012851598	1.0195838	2.5E-4
7.6	4.8149627E-6	9.239787E-6	2.9239602E-5	3.1645322	2.0E-5	2.063539E-5	3.959849E-5	7.959691E-5	2.0100994	4.0E-5	2.5120692E-4	4.820063E-4	5.619677E-4	1.165893	8.0E-5	0.0025092314	0.0048528216	0.004962288	1.0225573	1.1E-4
7.7	6.0838227E-7	1.309109E-6	1.309109E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6073499E-6	5.6104554E-6	5.6104554E-6	1.0	0.0	3.174402E-5	6.8305155E-5	6.8305155E-5	1.0	0.0	3.1739488E-4	7.028998E-4	7.028998E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	4.5542808E-7	1.0692712E-6	1.0692712E-6	1.0	0.0	1.9518332E-6	4.5825827E-6	4.5825827E-6	1.0	0.0	2.376331E-5	5.5791523E-5	5.5791523E-5	1.0	0.0	2.3760769E-4	5.755057E-4	5.755057E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	3.3016747E-7	8.044071E-7	8.044071E-7	1.0	0.0	1.4150027E-6	3.4474542E-6	3.4474542E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7227521E-5	4.197195E-5	4.197195E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7226185E-4	4.3087004E-4	4.3087004E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.347038E-7	5.9326055E-7	5.9326055E-7	1.0	0.0	1.0058731E-6	2.5425427E-6	2.5425427E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2246436E-5	3.095502E-5	3.095502E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2245761E-4	3.156288E-4	3.156288E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.18822804E-7	2.816606E-7	2.816606E-7	1.0	0.0	5.092405E-7	1.2071163E-6	1.2071163E-6	1.0	0.0	6.1999854E-6	1.4696543E-5	1.4696543E-5	1.0	0.0	6.199812E-5	1.4944578E-4	1.4944578E-4	1.0	0.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.5950744E-4	3.1197496E-4	8.9179404E-4	2.8585434	5.8E-4	6.834242E-4	0.0013360524	0.0020850503	1.5606052	7.5E-4	0.00828899	0.016104527	0.017157296	1.0653709	0.00107	0.079865426	0.14635485	0.14760117	1.0085157	0.00146
6.1	1.3584697E-4	2.6488738E-4	8.4473373E-4	3.18903	5.8E-4	5.8207137E-4	0.0011344912	0.0018736516	1.6515348	7.4E-4	0.007063716	0.013692462	0.014737948	1.0763549	0.00106	0.06843361	0.12590748	0.12717491	1.0100664	0.00145
6.2	1.14676266E-4	2.2143594E-4	8.013075E-4	3.6186876	5.8E-4	4.9137714E-4	9.4849325E-4	0.0016877913	1.7794448	7.4E-4	0.0059661185	0.011464273	0.01251212	1.0914012	0.00106	0.058084648	0.10684347	0.10813855	1.0121212	0.00145
6.3	8.691518E-5	1.6382166E-4	7.437267E-4	4.539855	5.8E-4	3.7244044E-4	7.0185895E-4	0.0014413396	2.053603	7.4E-4	0.004525038	0.00850465	0.009555635	1.1235777	0.00106	0.044339992	0.081080936	0.082413375	1.0164334	0.00145
6.4	8.50982E-5	1.6083558E-4	7.407423E-4	4.605587	5.8E-4	3.646556E-4	6.890682E-4	0.0014285584	2.073174	7.4E-4	0.0044306475	0.008350124	0.009401272	1.1258842	0.00106	0.04343345	0.079668194	0.081002675	1.0167505	0.00145
6.5	8.4062965E-5	1.5905904E-4	7.389668E-4	4.645865	5.8E-4	3.602201E-4	6.814585E-4	0.0014209542	2.0851662	7.4E-4	0.004376863	0.008258279	0.009309526	1.1272961	0.00106	0.042916555	0.07883222	0.080167904	1.0169435	0.00145
6.6	8.194716E-5	1.5537115E-4	7.3528104E-4	4.732417	5.8E-4	3.5115483E-4	6.65665E-4	0.0014051724	2.1109302	7.4E-4	0.0042669317	0.008067815	0.009119262	1.1303263	0.00106	0.04185927	0.07710138	0.078439586	1.0173564	0.00145
6.7	8.012326E-5	1.5201818E-4	7.3193E-4	4.814753	5.8E-4	3.433402E-4	6.513062E-4	0.0013808308	2.1200945	7.3E-4	0.004172157	0.007894709	0.008926498	1.1306938	0.00104	0.040946912	0.07553298	0.07684573	1.0173798	0.00142
6.8	7.119773E-5	1.3233007E-4	7.122533E-4	5.3824	5.8E-4	3.0509746E-4	5.669853E-4	0.0012865771	2.269154	7.2E-4	0.0037082357	0.006877795	0.007900711	1.1487273	0.00103	0.036469642	0.06627333	0.06758989	1.0198655	0.00141
6.9	5.7343088E-5	1.0221682E-4	6.2216364E-4	6.086705	5.2E-4	2.4573295E-4	4.3799897E-4	0.0010877142	2.4833717	6.5E-4	0.0029876942	0.005319677	0.0062447297	1.1738926	9.3E-4	0.02947844	0.051912818	0.053116888	1.0231941	0.00127
7.0	4.8746577E-5	8.5574364E-5	5.655333E-4	6.6086764	4.8E-4	2.0889717E-4	3.666961E-4	9.5647975E-4	2.6083717	5.9E-4	0.0025403565	0.0044554556	0.0053116237	1.1921618	8.6E-4	0.025115121	0.043764755	0.044902675	1.0260009	0.00119
7.1	4.2998014E-5	7.514326E-5	5.151102E-4	6.855042	4.4E-4	1.8426418E-4	3.2200312E-4	8.6182926E-4	2.6764624	5.4E-4	0.002241108	0.003913404	0.0046903514	1.198535	7.8E-4	0.022186412	0.038603127	0.039631825	1.0266479	0.00107
7.2	3.221292E-5	5.6072895E-5	2.8606E-4	5.1015735	2.3E-4	1.3804805E-4	2.4029044E-4	5.2022317E-4	2.1649766	2.8E-4	0.0016794393	0.002921641	0.0033703265	1.153573	4.5E-4	0.016668037	0.02907397	0.029675944	1.0207049	6.2E-4
7.3	2.3756531E-5	4.1187322E-5	1.9118114E-4	4.6417475	1.5E-4	1.0180973E-4	1.7650524E-4	3.664717E-4	2.0762653	1.9E-4	0.0012388286	0.0021468517	0.0024761432	1.1533835	3.3E-4	0.012319452	0.021472324	0.021912662	1.0205072	4.5E-4
7.4	1.5997684E-5	2.8655655E-5	9.865365E-5	3.4427288	7.0E-5	6.8559704E-5	1.2280418E-4	2.227919E-4	1.8142045	1.0E-4	8.343947E-4	0.0014941181	0.0016838342	1.1269753	1.9E-4	0.008312687	0.015012011	0.015248408	1.0157472	2.4E-4
7.5	1.3814293E-5	2.6046122E-5	9.60443E-5	3.6874702	7.0E-5	5.9202768E-5	1.1162148E-4	2.1161031E-4	1.895785	1.0E-4	7.205553E-4	0.0013581468	0.0015478887	1.1397065	1.9E-4	0.007182234	0.013666731	0.013893588	1.0165992	2.3E-4
7.6	8.817309E-6	1.7452741E-5	4.7452217E-5	2.7188976	3.0E-5	3.7787922E-5	7.479533E-5	1.247916E-4	1.6684409	5.0E-5	4.5997082E-4	9.1025414E-4	0.0010101631	1.1097594	1.0E-4	0.004590199	0.009215906	0.009344708	1.0139761	1.3E-4
7.7	4.0352206E-6	8.431266E-6	1.8431181E-5	2.1860516	1.0E-5	1.7293689E-5	3.6133497E-5	4.6133136E-5	1.2767415	1.0E-5	2.1053031E-4	4.398366E-4	4.598278E-4	1.0454514	2.0E-5	0.0021033096	0.0045178756	0.0045377854	1.0044068	2.0E-5
7.8	3.413169E-6	7.4185805E-6	1.7418506E-5	2.347957	1.0E-5	1.4627784E-5	3.179353E-5	4.179321E-5	1.3145194	1.0E-5	1.7807873E-4	3.8701753E-4	4.070098E-4	1.0516572	2.0E-5	0.0017793609	0.0039728074	0.003992728	1.0050142	2.0E-5
7.9	2.4740732E-6	5.7435795E-6	1.5743522E-5	2.7410645	1.0E-5	1.06031275E-5	2.4615108E-5	3.4614863E-5	1.4062445	1.0E-5	1.2908543E-4	2.996478E-4	3.196418E-4	1.066725	2.0E-5	0.0012901047	0.0030585881	0.003078527	1.006519	2.0E-5
8.0	1.5231818E-6	3.5618584E-6	3.5618584E-6	1.0	0.0	6.527906E-6	1.526502E-5	1.526502E-5	1.0	0.0	7.9474354E-5	1.858358E-4	1.858358E-4	1.0	0.0	7.944594E-4	0.0018887146	0.0018887146	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.0104524E-6	2.2153822E-6	2.2153822E-6	1.0	0.0	4.330503E-6	9.494461E-6	9.494461E-6	1.0	0.0	5.2722597E-5	1.1558896E-4	1.1558896E-4	1.0	0.0	5.271009E-4	0.0011759588	0.0011759588	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.986481E-4	0.001247025	0.0015266759	1.2242544	2.8E-4	0.0025631124	0.005328529	0.005706504	1.0709343	3.8E-4	0.030762846	0.062155407	0.062699355	1.0087514	5.8E-4	0.26835477	0.43094277	0.43144923	1.0011753	8.9E-4
6.1	5.015945E-4	0.001037977	0.0012877176	1.2406031	2.5E-4	0.00214792	0.00443699	0.0047754813	1.0762886	3.4E-4	0.025839351	0.052050263	0.052571632	1.0100167	5.5E-4	0.23032776	0.3776869	0.37822208	1.001417	8.6E-4
6.2	4.073338E-4	8.2670886E-4	0.001046527	1.2658955	2.2E-4	0.0017445484	0.0035353932	0.003824368	1.0817376	2.9E-4	0.021034058	0.041732926	0.04218331	1.0107921	4.7E-4	0.19150782	0.31828207	0.31880018	1.0016278	7.6E-4
6.3	3.464099E-4	6.899159E-4	8.9977105E-4	1.3041749	2.1E-4	0.0014837692	0.0029513042	0.0032205074	1.091215	2.7E-4	0.017915873	0.03499546	0.03541041	1.0118573	4.3E-4	0.16538359	0.27688485	0.27739826	1.0018543	7.1E-4
6.4	2.935057E-4	5.704828E-4	7.4038585E-4	1.2978232	1.7E-4	0.0012572751	0.0024411795	0.0026606424	1.0899004	2.2E-4	0.015200248	0.02907842	0.029427951	1.0120203	3.6E-4	0.14201577	0.23886378	0.23932046	1.0019119	6.0E-4
6.5	2.3409708E-4	4.3699655E-4	5.6693977E-4	1.2973552	1.3E-4	0.0010028875	0.0018706948	0.002040377	1.0907053	1.7E-4	0.012141965	0.022407383	0.022700662	1.0130885	3.0E-4	0.11499573	0.19305675	0.19346021	1.0020899	5.0E-4
6.6	1.5842178E-4	2.6665104E-4	3.8661907E-4	1.4499063	1.2E-4	6.7877385E-4	0.001142284	0.0013021013	1.1399102	1.6E-4	0.0082328	0.013817244	0.014044067	1.0164158	2.3E-4	0.07934396	0.12982957	0.13018633	1.002748	4.1E-4
6.7	1.5616413E-4	2.6197647E-4	3.8194502E-4	1.4579364	1.2E-4	6.691031E-4	0.0011222705	0.0012820909	1.1424081	1.6E-4	0.0081159435	0.013577247	0.013804125	1.0167102	2.3E-4	0.0782586	0.12785678	0.12821436	1.0027968	4.1E-4
6.8	1.5538467E-4	2.601791E-4	3.801479E-4	1.4611007	1.2E-4	6.6576427E-4	0.0011145745	0.0012743962	1.1433926	1.6E-4	0.008075596	0.013484876	0.013711775	1.0168262	2.3E-4	0.07788358	0.12707981	0.12743771	1.0028163	4.1E-4
6.9	1.5153569E-4	2.5113818E-4	3.7110806E-4	1.4777045	1.2E-4	6.49277E-4	0.0010758648	0.0012356926	1.1485575	1.6E-4	0.007876333	0.013020578	0.013247583	1.0174344	2.3E-4	0.07602952	0.12312811	0.12348763	1.0029199	4.1E-4
7.0	1.4588932E-4	2.3943244E-4	3.594037E-4	1.5010653	1.2E-4	6.250901E-4	0.0010257376	0.0011855735	1.1558253	1.6E-4	0.0075839474	0.012417412	0.012644556	1.0182924	2.3E-4	0.073302895	0.11790339	0.11826505	1.0030674	4.1E-4
7.1	1.1565079E-4	1.7628168E-4	2.8626228E-4	1.6238914	1.1E-4	4.955521E-4	7.5527513E-4	9.0516184E-4	1.1984531	1.5E-4	0.006016669	0.009156941	0.009365018	1.0227234	2.1E-4	0.058563538	0.08966393	0.090000756	1.0037565	3.7E-4
7.2	1.0393792E-4	1.5878156E-4	2.2877044E-4	1.4407872	7.0E-5	4.4537216E-4	6.803158E-4	7.8024773E-4	1.1468905	1.0E-4	0.005408933	0.008251587	0.008390431	1.0168264	1.4E-4	0.052791595	0.081298955	0.081528634	1.002825	2.5E-4
7.3	9.332884E-5	1.3896734E-4	1.98959E-4	1.4316962	6.0E-5	3.999194E-4	5.9543905E-4	6.853855E-4	1.1510589	9.0E-5	0.0048581534	0.007225529	0.007354589	1.0178617	1.3E-4	0.047533102	0.071595736	0.071799986	1.0028528	2.2E-4
7.4	8.670252E-5	1.2764156E-4	1.47639E-4	1.1566688	2.0E-5	3.715293E-4	5.469212E-4	5.968939E-4	1.0913708	5.0E-5	0.004513991	0.006638575	0.0067180437	1.0119708	8.0E-5	0.044233937	0.06604779	0.066150516	1.0015554	1.1E-4
7.5	7.3036405E-5	9.906567E-5	1.1906369E-4	1.2018663	2.0E-5	3.129756E-4	4.244982E-4	4.7447695E-4	1.1177361	5.0E-5	0.0038038217	0.0051560444	0.005235632	1.0154358	8.0E-5	0.03739367	0.052153226	0.05225749	1.0019991	1.1E-4
7.6	6.3935775E-5	9.099207E-5	1.0099116E-4	1.1098897	1.0E-5	2.7398168E-4	3.8990783E-4	4.1989613E-4	1.0769112	3.0E-5	0.0033306254	0.0047368174	0.004786581	1.0105056	5.0E-5	0.032811474	0.04787963	0.047936756	1.0011932	6.0E-5
7.7	5.5050095E-5	7.3888186E-5	8.388745E-5	1.1353296	1.0E-5	2.3590765E-4	3.1662526E-4	3.3661892E-4	1.0631461	2.0E-5	0.0028683927	0.003848104	0.0038779888	1.007766	3.0E-5	0.0283165	0.039299626	0.039328445	1.0007334	3.0E-5
7.8	5.027131E-5	6.827679E-5	7.827611E-5	1.1464527	1.0E-5	2.1543067E-4	2.9258203E-4	3.125762E-4	1.0683368	2.0E-5	0.0026197135	0.0035563721	0.0035862655	1.0084056	3.0E-5	0.025890453	0.036340542	0.03636945	1.0007955	3.0E-5
7.9	3.7271806E-5	5.558286E-5	6.55823E-5	1.1799016	1.0E-5	1.5972654E-4	2.381905E-4	2.5818576E-4	1.0839463	2.0E-5	0.0019429359	0.0028961154	0.0029260286	1.0103287	3.0E-5	0.019260362	0.02968571	0.029714819	1.0009806	3.0E-5
8.0	2.7310243E-5	3.5002267E-5	3.5002267E-5	1.0	0.0	1.17038646E-4	1.5000108E-4	1.5999959E-4	1.0666562	1.0E-5	0.0014240141	0.0018247345	0.0018347163	1.0054703	1.0E-5	0.014149235	0.019020494	0.019030305	1.0005157	1.0E-5
8.1	1.7940547E-5	1.9701305E-5	1.9701305E-5	1.0	0.0	7.688579E-5	8.4431435E-5	9.443059E-5	1.1184293	1.0E-5	9.3568244E-4	0.0010274686	0.0010374583	1.0097227	1.0E-5	0.009317525	0.01100156	0.01101145	1.000899	1.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	6.417038E-6	6.417038E-6	1.0	0.0	3.704486E-5	2.7501303E-5	2.7501303E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5092785E-4	3.3477703E-4	3.3477703E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0045001395	0.0037604058	0.0037604058	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.2443514E-7	9.2443514E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.961859E-6	3.961859E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.823459E-5	4.823459E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	5.622288E-4	5.622288E-4	1.0	0.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.5183659E-4	3.0960742E-4	7.594681E-4	2.4530034	4.5E-4	6.5056595E-4	0.0013256326	0.0018848903	1.4218798	5.6E-4	0.007891912	0.015921367	0.01668895	1.0482107	7.8E-4	0.076174594	0.1402938	0.14123088	1.0066794	0.00109
6.1	1.5024997E-4	3.0652597E-4	7.56388E-4	2.467615	4.5E-4	6.437695E-4	0.0013124464	0.0018717116	1.4261241	5.6E-4	0.0078097614	0.015763653	0.016531358	1.0487009	7.8E-4	0.075409345	0.1389574	0.13989593	1.0067542	0.00109
6.2	1.2743923E-4	2.5739754E-4	7.072817E-4	2.7478185	4.5E-4	5.460538E-4	0.0011022515	0.0016616342	1.507491	5.6E-4	0.0066279583	0.013266022	0.014035675	1.0580168	7.8E-4	0.064337276	0.11905374	0.12001397	1.0080656	0.00109
6.3	1.1525114E-4	2.3023458E-4	6.8013096E-4	2.9540782	4.5E-4	4.9383997E-4	9.860407E-4	0.0015454886	1.5673679	5.6E-4	0.0059959386	0.011886495	0.012657223	1.0648407	7.8E-4	0.058367174	0.10818423	0.10914739	1.008903	0.00108
6.4	1.07200925E-4	2.1261701E-4	6.6252134E-4	3.1160316	4.5E-4	4.5935164E-4	9.1066957E-4	0.0014701596	1.6143721	5.6E-4	0.0055782744	0.010990282	0.011761709	1.0701917	7.8E-4	0.0544031	0.10101124	0.10198215	1.0096118	0.00108
6.5	9.69631E-5	1.9146591E-4	6.4137974E-4	3.3498378	4.5E-4	4.1548995E-4	8.201425E-4	0.0013796831	1.6822482	5.6E-4	0.0050468626	0.009907872	0.010680145	1.0779452	7.8E-4	0.04933773	0.09188495	0.09286571	1.0106739	0.00108
6.6	8.0552316E-5	1.5481538E-4	6.047457E-4	3.9062378	4.5E-4	3.4517853E-4	6.6328206E-4	0.0012229106	1.8437264	5.6E-4	0.0041944524	0.008038746	0.008812477	1.09625	7.8E-4	0.04116161	0.07667574	0.077672936	1.0130053	0.00108
6.7	7.815757E-5	1.5018518E-4	6.001176E-4	3.9958508	4.5E-4	3.34918E-4	6.4345443E-4	0.0012030941	1.8697425	5.6E-4	0.004070005	0.007799787	0.0085737035	1.0992228	7.8E-4	0.039962657	0.07451465	0.075514175	1.0134138	0.00108
6.8	6.965264E-5	1.3103528E-4	5.809763E-4	4.4337397	4.5E-4	2.9847719E-4	5.6143873E-4	0.0011211243	1.9968774	5.6E-4	0.0036279052	0.0068107024	0.00758539	1.1137457	7.8E-4	0.03569247	0.06551444	0.06652368	1.0154049	0.00108
6.9	5.8000453E-5	1.0486318E-4	5.54816E-4	5.290856	4.5E-4	2.4854968E-4	4.493368E-4	0.0010090852	2.245721	5.6E-4	0.0030218933	0.0054570558	0.006232799	1.1421542	7.8E-4	0.029811295	0.053077	0.05409021	1.0190893	0.00107
7.0	4.9865852E-5	8.881856E-5	4.9878214E-4	5.615742	4.1E-4	2.1369329E-4	3.8059594E-4	8.9040183E-4	2.3394938	5.1E-4	0.0025986114	0.0046240045	0.005350629	1.1571418	7.3E-4	0.025684336	0.045241192	0.0462055	1.0213147	0.00101
7.1	4.283875E-5	7.3941024E-5	4.6391218E-4	6.2740836	3.9E-4	1.8358172E-4	3.1685195E-4	7.9669984E-4	2.5144231	4.8E-4	0.0022328163	0.0038509083	0.004538251	1.1784885	6.9E-4	0.022105146	0.038068306	0.038982138	1.0240052	9.5E-4
7.2	3.450115E-5	5.8338006E-5	2.6832576E-4	4.5995016	2.1E-4	1.478537E-4	2.4999626E-4	5.0993124E-4	2.0397556	2.6E-4	0.0017986323	0.0030394872	0.0034382713	1.1312011	4.0E-4	0.017841442	0.030303773	0.030846803	1.0179195	5.6E-4
7.3	2.5709045E-5	4.262166E-5	1.7261611E-4	4.0499625	1.3E-4	1.1017697E-4	1.8265158E-4	3.5262053E-4	1.9305638	1.7E-4	0.0013405791	0.002221533	0.002500911	1.1257591	2.8E-4	0.013325208	0.022281991	0.022673078	1.0175517	4.0E-4
7.4	1.8003093E-5	3.0120495E-5	9.011869E-5	2.991939	6.0E-5	7.715383E-5	1.2908147E-4	2.1906984E-4	1.6971442	9.0E-5	9.3894306E-4	0.0015704364	0.0017202009	1.0953648	1.5E-4	0.009349857	0.015833957	0.01603079	1.012431	2.0E-4
7.5	1.5595824E-5	2.7349211E-5	8.734757E-5	3.1937876	6.0E-5	6.683753E-5	1.1720565E-4	2.071951E-4	1.767791	9.0E-5	8.134431E-4	0.0014260472	0.0015758333	1.1050359	1.5E-4	0.008104719	0.014392659	0.014579925	1.0130112	1.9E-4
7.6	1.1110309E-5	2.0504956E-5	5.0504343E-5	2.4630308	3.0E-5	4.761474E-5	8.787543E-5	1.3787104E-4	1.5689373	5.0E-5	5.795553E-4	0.0010693597	0.0011692528	1.093414	1.0E-4	0.0057804612	0.010825493	0.010954086	1.0118787	1.3E-4
7.7	6.2140443E-6	1.1411891E-5	2.1411777E-5	1.876269	1.0E-5	2.6631347E-5	4.8907186E-5	5.89067E-5	1.204459	1.0E-5	3.241884E-4	5.952825E-4	6.152706E-4	1.0335774	2.0E-5	0.0032371588	0.006093936	0.006113814	1.0032619	2.0E-5
7.8	5.305533E-6	1.030183E-5	2.0301726E-5	1.9706913	1.0E-5	2.27378E-5	4.4149954E-5	5.414951E-5	1.2264909	1.0E-5	2.7679754E-4	5.373932E-4	5.573825E-4	1.0371968	2.0E-5	0.0027645302	0.0054948023	0.0055146925	1.0036198	2.0E-5
7.9	3.363505E-6	8.025217E-6	1.8025135E-5	2.2460623	1.0E-5	1.4414942E-5	3.439333E-5	4.4392986E-5	1.2907441	1.0E-5	1.7548777E-4	4.1865843E-4	4.3865008E-4	1.0477517	2.0E-5	0.0017534926	0.0042556366	0.0042755515	1.0046797	2.0E-5
8.0	2.0271132E-6	4.7764943E-6	4.7764943E-6	1.0	0.0	8.687599E-6	2.047053E-5	2.047053E-5	1.0	0.0	1.05766376E-4	2.4920027E-4	2.4920027E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010571606	0.002527138	0.002527138	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.2206116E-6	2.5763368E-6	2.5763368E-6	1.0	0.0	5.2311816E-6	1.1041397E-5	1.1041397E-5	1.0	0.0	6.3687774E-5	1.3442076E-4	1.3442076E-4	1.0	0.0	6.366953E-4	0.0013697491	0.0013697491	1.0	0.0

Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.8694856E-5	6.879776E-5	5.187668E-4	7.5404606	4.5E-4	2.0867554E-4	2.948136E-4	8.7464263E-4	2.9667647	5.8E-4	0.0025376645	0.0035834152	0.004350656	1.2141088	7.7E-4	0.02508881	0.035421953	0.03643476	1.0285926	0.00105
6.1	4.8694856E-5	6.879776E-5	5.187668E-4	7.5404606	4.5E-4	2.0867554E-4	2.948136E-4	8.7464263E-4	2.9667647	5.8E-4	0.0025376645	0.0035834152	0.004350656	1.2141088	7.7E-4	0.02508881	0.035421953	0.03643476	1.0285926	0.00105
6.2	4.7541962E-5	6.711428E-5	5.170841E-4	7.704532	4.5E-4	2.0373536E-4	2.8760047E-4	8.574365E-4	2.9813461	5.7E-4	0.0024776561	0.0034959042	0.0042532473	1.2166373	7.6E-4	0.024502134	0.03457682	0.035571203	1.0287588	0.00103
6.3	4.6717287E-5	6.593604E-5	5.159064E-4	7.824346	4.5E-4	2.0020158E-4	2.8255224E-4	8.523912E-4	3.016756	5.7E-4	0.0024347296	0.003434647	0.004182071	1.2176131	7.5E-4	0.024082264	0.033983957	0.034969293	1.0289942	0.00102
6.4	4.6276386E-5	6.5292115E-5	5.152627E-4	7.891653	4.5E-4	1.983123E-4	2.797932E-4	8.496337E-4	3.036649	5.7E-4	0.0024117786	0.0034011696	0.004148619	1.2197623	7.5E-4	0.02385771	0.03366031	0.03464598	1.0292828	0.00102
6.5	4.5720994E-5	6.448635E-5	5.1445735E-4	7.9777713	4.5E-4	1.9593239E-4	2.763406E-4	8.461831E-4	3.0621018	5.7E-4	0.002382867	0.0033592738	0.0041067544	1.2225125	7.5E-4	0.023574775	0.033254977	0.034241054	1.0296521	0.00102
6.6	4.549134E-5	6.413564E-5	5.1410677E-4	8.01593	4.5E-4	1.949483E-4	2.748379E-4	8.446812E-4	3.0733798	5.7E-4	0.0023709119	0.0033410343	0.0040885285	1.2237314	7.5E-4	0.023457756	0.033078644	0.034064904	1.0298156	0.00102
6.7	3.701047E-5	5.15272E-5	4.7150557E-4	9.150615	4.2E-4	1.5860666E-4	2.2081242E-4	7.506954E-4	3.3996973	5.3E-4	0.0019293258	0.0026851222	0.0033732695	1.2562815	6.9E-4	0.019126613	0.02670539	0.027610553	1.0338944	9.3E-4
6.8	3.5523568E-5	4.94867E-5	4.494669E-4	9.08258	4.0E-4	1.5223498E-4	2.1206889E-4	7.119629E-4	3.3572245	5.0E-4	0.0018518851	0.0025789265	0.003217276	1.2475252	6.4E-4	0.018365284	0.025667254	0.026524667	1.033405	8.8E-4
6.9	3.2946147E-5	4.575464E-5	4.0573816E-4	8.867694	3.6E-4	1.4119013E-4	1.9607683E-4	6.2599254E-4	3.1925879	4.3E-4	0.0017176344	0.0023846661	0.0029533068	1.2384572	5.7E-4	0.017044188	0.0237639	0.024525365	1.0320429	7.8E-4
7.0	2.7682381E-5	3.801252E-5	2.88003E-4	7.5765305	2.5E-4	1.1863338E-4	1.6290082E-4	4.428552E-4	2.7185574	2.8E-4	0.0014434044	0.001981545	0.0023807525	1.2014626	4.0E-4	0.01434065	0.019806636	0.020394754	1.0296929	6.0E-4
7.1	2.471967E-5	3.4216722E-5	2.3420987E-4	6.8448954	2.0E-4	1.05937135E-4	1.4663502E-4	3.6660276E-4	2.5001037	2.2E-4	0.0012890215	0.0017838501	0.0021132615	1.1846632	3.3E-4	0.0128157	0.017852278	0.01832371	1.0264074	4.8E-4
7.2	1.9748062E-5	2.7606895E-5	1.8760248E-4	6.7954936	1.6E-4	8.463181E-5	1.1831003E-4	2.7829112E-4	2.3522189	1.6E-4	0.0010299052	0.0014394978	0.0016991235	1.1803585	2.6E-4	0.01025145	0.014449902	0.014824411	1.0259178	3.8E-4
7.3	1.1603734E-5	1.6362936E-5	1.0636146E-4	6.5001454	9.0E-5	4.9729337E-5	7.012507E-5	1.6011875E-4	2.2833312	9.0E-5	6.052865E-4	8.534535E-4	0.0010133169	1.1873136	1.6E-4	0.0060364045	0.008601269	0.00882929	1.0265102	2.3E-4
7.4	4.885381E-6	6.308737E-6	3.630855E-5	5.75528	3.0E-5	2.0937177E-5	2.7037164E-5	5.703635E-5	2.1095538	3.0E-5	2.5488032E-4	3.2912794E-4	3.5911807E-4	1.09112	3.0E-5	0.0025458818	0.0033386727	0.003378539	1.0119408	4.0E-5
7.5	3.0571264E-6	4.405921E-6	2.4405834E-5	5.5393257	2.0E-5	1.3101904E-5	1.8882383E-5	3.8882004E-5	2.0591683	2.0E-5	1.5950401E-4	2.2986888E-4	2.4986427E-4	1.0869861	2.0E-5	0.0015938957	0.0023469473	0.0023669004	1.0085016	2.0E-5
7.6	1.764948E-6	3.033299E-6	3.033299E-6	1.0	0.0	7.564041E-6	1.2999789E-5	1.2999789E-5	1.0	0.0	9.208831E-5	1.5826101E-4	1.5826101E-4	1.0	0.0	9.205016E-4	0.0016313185	0.0016313185	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.3173734E-6	2.2644772E-6	2.2644772E-6	1.0	0.0	5.645874E-6	9.704866E-6	9.704866E-6	1.0	0.0	6.873634E-5	1.1815037E-4	1.1815037E-4	1.0	0.0	6.8715087E-4	0.0012298692	0.0012298692	1.0	0.0
7.8	9.4429885E-7	1.7061982E-6	1.7061982E-6	1.0	0.0	4.0469886E-6	7.3122574E-6	7.3122574E-6	1.0	0.0	4.9270973E-5	8.902311E-5	8.902311E-5	1.0	0.0	4.926005E-4	9.2897227E-4	9.2897227E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.388233E-7	1.2241406E-6	1.2241406E-6	1.0	0.0	2.7378112E-6	5.2463065E-6	5.2463065E-6	1.0	0.0	3.3332344E-5	6.387192E-5	6.387192E-5	1.0	0.0	3.3327343E-4	6.6406885E-4	6.6406885E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	3.087986E-7	6.2730703E-7	6.2730703E-7	1.0	0.0	1.323422E-6	2.6884559E-6	2.6884559E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6112543E-5	3.2731463E-5	3.2731463E-5	1.0	0.0	1.6111376E-4	3.3687634E-4	3.3687634E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.6725647E-7	2.9882256E-7	2.9882256E-7	1.0	0.0	7.168133E-7	1.2806674E-6	1.2806674E-6	1.0	0.0	8.7271665E-6	1.5592017E-5	1.5592017E-5	1.0	0.0	8.726824E-5	1.610118E-4	1.610118E-4	1.0	0.0

Mission (connected) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.8735573E-5	2.733578E-5	3.373273E-4	12.340138	3.1E-4	8.029284E-5	1.17147996E-4	5.1710114E-4	4.4140844	4.0E-4	9.771269E-4	0.0014252297	0.0019345029	1.3573271	5.1E-4	0.009728416	0.014162217	0.014901596	1.0522078	7.5E-4
6.1	1.7515964E-5	2.59735E-5	3.0596624E-4	11.779938	2.8E-4	7.506625E-5	1.1131017E-4	4.612712E-4	4.1440167	3.5E-4	9.135484E-4	0.0013542444	0.0017936485	1.3244644	4.4E-4	0.009098019	0.01346115	0.014082669	1.0461713	6.3E-4
6.2	1.6486343E-5	2.4814934E-5	2.9480824E-4	11.880275	2.7E-4	7.065384E-5	1.06345295E-4	4.2631125E-4	4.008746	3.2E-4	8.5987104E-4	0.0012938707	0.0016833661	1.3010311	3.9E-4	0.008565514	0.012864597	0.013427264	1.0437376	5.7E-4
6.3	1.5229385E-5	2.3236524E-5	2.6323093E-4	11.328327	2.4E-4	6.526716E-5	9.958121E-5	3.8955233E-4	3.911906	2.9E-4	7.9433795E-4	0.0012116127	0.0015611887	1.2885212	3.5E-4	0.007915046	0.012054129	0.01256786	1.0426188	5.2E-4
6.4	1.4435828E-5	2.1821725E-5	2.618165E-4	11.997974	2.4E-4	6.186637E-5	9.351823E-5	3.834911E-4	4.1007094	2.9E-4	7.529627E-4	0.0011378769	0.0014874786	1.3072404	3.5E-4	0.007504165	0.011330003	0.011834225	1.0445032	5.1E-4
6.5	1.30127955E-5	1.9433459E-5	2.2942938E-4	11.805895	2.1E-4	5.576793E-5	8.328352E-5	3.332627E-4	4.001544	2.5E-4	6.78763E-4	0.0010134651	0.0013131611	1.2957141	3.0E-4	0.0067669353	0.010110145	0.010555596	1.0440598	4.5E-4
6.6	1.1220718E-5	1.6765714E-5	1.7676303E-4	10.543125	1.6E-4	4.8087906E-5	7.185106E-5	2.4183883E-4	3.3658357	1.7E-4	5.8531296E-4	8.7443454E-4	0.0010642684	1.2170932	1.9E-4	0.005837737	0.008736424	0.009053628	1.0363083	3.2E-4
6.7	8.086152E-6	1.2064624E-5	1.1206342E-4	9.288596	1.0E-4	3.4654473E-5	5.170451E-5	1.6169882E-4	3.1273642	1.1E-4	4.2183654E-4	6.293214E-4	7.5923954E-4	1.2064418	1.3E-4	0.004210367	0.0063073174	0.0065358668	1.0362356	2.3E-4
6.8	6.8361655E-6	1.0472836E-5	9.0472E-5	8.63873	8.0E-5	2.9297524E-5	4.4882814E-5	1.3487878E-4	3.005132	9.0E-5	3.5663895E-4	5.463119E-4	6.562518E-4	1.2012402	1.1E-4	0.0035606713	0.0054776613	0.0056666206	1.0344963	1.9E-4
6.9	5.2517353E-6	8.09896E-6	5.8098554E-5	7.173582	5.0E-5	2.2507242E-5	3.470937E-5	8.470763E-5	2.4404833	5.0E-5	2.739912E-4	4.2250488E-4	4.924753E-4	1.1656085	7.0E-5	0.0027365363	0.004245178	0.0043646684	1.0281473	1.2E-4
7.0	4.4602784E-6	6.9078865E-6	5.6907542E-5	8.238054	5.0E-5	1.911534E-5	2.9604893E-5	7.9603415E-5	2.68886	5.0E-5	2.327044E-4	3.603801E-4	4.203585E-4	1.1664308	6.0E-5	0.0023246086	0.003625779	0.00373538	1.0302283	1.1E-4
7.1	4.1492594E-6	6.447235E-6	5.6446912E-5	8.755213	5.0E-5	1.7782419E-5	2.7630716E-5	7.762933E-5	2.8095303	5.0E-5	2.1647944E-4	3.3635218E-4	3.96332E-4	1.1783245	6.0E-5	0.0021626868	0.003385844	0.0034954713	1.0323782	1.1E-4
7.2	2.213247E-6	3.5034045E-6	2.3503335E-5	6.7087126	2.0E-5	9.485309E-6	1.5014504E-5	3.5014204E-5	2.3320253	2.0E-5	1.15477524E-4	1.8278629E-4	2.0278264E-4	1.1093974	2.0E-5	0.0011541754	0.0018525679	0.0018924938	1.0215516	4.0E-5
7.3	1.7362703E-6	2.862577E-6	1.2862548E-5	4.4933457	1.0E-5	7.4411373E-6	1.22681295E-5	2.2268006E-5	1.8151102	1.0E-5	9.0592075E-5	1.4935427E-4	1.5935277E-4	1.066945	1.0E-5	9.0555154E-4	0.0015155008	0.0015354706	1.0131769	2.0E-5
7.4	1.1628409E-6	1.9491504E-6	1.1949131E-5	6.1304307	1.0E-5	4.9835944E-6	8.353474E-6	1.835339E-5	2.1970966	1.0E-5	6.0673574E-5	1.01698824E-4	1.116978E-4	1.0983195	1.0E-5	6.065701E-4	0.0010351879	0.0010551672	1.0193002	2.0E-5
7.5	5.5610667E-7	1.0104671E-6	1.10104575E-5	10.896403	1.0E-5	2.3833122E-6	4.3305663E-6	1.4330523E-5	3.309157	1.0E-5	2.9016439E-5	5.272337E-5	6.2722844E-5	1.1896592	1.0E-5	2.901265E-4	5.4184656E-4	5.5184116E-4	1.0184454	1.0E-5
7.6	4.4307663E-7	8.50878E-7	1.0850869E-5	12.752557	1.0E-5	1.8988985E-6	3.6466147E-6	1.3646579E-5	3.7422593	1.0E-5	2.3118844E-5	4.4396635E-5	5.439619E-5	1.2252324	1.0E-5	2.3116439E-4	4.5796606E-4	4.6796148E-4	1.0218257	1.0E-5
7.7	3.639119E-7	7.0025897E-7	1.0700252E-5	15.280421	1.0E-5	1.5596215E-6	3.0011065E-6	1.3001077E-5	4.3320947	1.0E-5	1.8988227E-5	3.6537862E-5	4.6537494E-5	1.2736787	1.0E-5	1.8986604E-4	3.790527E-4	3.8904892E-4	1.0263716	1.0E-5
7.8	3.1152942E-7	6.0176905E-7	1.0601763E-5	17.61766	1.0E-5	1.3351254E-6	2.5790075E-6	1.2578982E-5	4.8774505	1.0E-5	1.6255031E-5	3.1398966E-5	4.1398653E-5	1.3184718	1.0E-5	1.6253842E-4	3.2462913E-4	3.346259E-4	1.0307944	1.0E-5
7.9	1.8035962E-7	4.0525296E-7	1.0405249E-5	25.675936	1.0E-5	7.729696E-7	1.7367972E-6	1.173678E-5	6.7577147	1.0E-5	9.410865E-6	2.1145303E-5	3.114509E-5	1.4729083	1.0E-5	9.410465E-5	2.16955E-4	2.2695283E-4	1.0460825	1.0E-5
8.0	9.279334E-8	2.1306025E-7	2.1306025E-7	1.0	0.0	3.976857E-7	9.13115E-7	9.13115E-7	1.0	0.0	4.841813E-6	1.1117118E-5	1.1117118E-5	1.0	0.0	4.841707E-5	1.1316616E-4	1.1316616E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	5.9253985E-8	1.27816E-7	1.27816E-7	1.0	0.0	2.5394561E-7	5.477827E-7	5.477827E-7	1.0	0.0	3.0917836E-6	6.6692346E-6	6.6692346E-6	1.0	0.0	3.0917407E-5	6.781214E-5	6.781214E-5	1.0	0.0

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.3068506E-5	1.7731187E-4	3.5727996E-4	2.0149806	1.8E-4	3.9880406E-4	7.596845E-4	0.0010394718	1.3682941	2.8E-4	0.0048446343	0.0092098145	0.009586315	1.0408803	3.8E-4	0.047403704	0.08788807	0.08837149	1.0055004	5.3E-4
6.1	9.055486E-5	1.7278922E-4	3.5275813E-4	2.0415516	1.8E-4	3.880345E-4	7.403154E-4	0.0010201081	1.3779372	2.8E-4	0.0047140904	0.008976166	0.009352755	1.0419543	3.8E-4	0.046153355	0.0857693	0.086253844	1.0056493	5.3E-4
6.2	9.006742E-5	1.7198765E-4	3.519567E-4	2.0464067	1.8E-4	3.859461E-4	7.3688244E-4	0.0010166762	1.3796992	2.8E-4	0.0046887742	0.008934751	0.009311356	1.0421506	3.8E-4	0.0459107	0.0853908	0.08587554	1.0056767	5.3E-4
6.3	8.8336754E-5	1.687631E-4	3.4873272E-4	2.0664039	1.8E-4	3.7853114E-4	7.230707E-4	0.0010028682	1.3869574	2.8E-4	0.004598882	0.008768013	0.009144681	1.0429593	3.8E-4	0.04504866	0.08387845	0.084364	1.0057887	5.3E-4
6.4	8.526157E-5	1.6298797E-4	3.4295864E-4	2.104196	1.8E-4	3.6535555E-4	6.983336E-4	9.781381E-4	1.4006745	2.8E-4	0.0044391346	0.008469231	0.008846013	1.0444883	3.8E-4	0.043514993	0.08114522	0.08163222	1.0060015	5.3E-4
6.5	8.152396E-5	1.562607E-4	3.362326E-4	2.151741	1.8E-4	3.493416E-4	6.6951755E-4	9.493301E-4	1.4179316	2.8E-4	0.0042449418	0.008121067	0.00849798	1.0464119	3.8E-4	0.04164765	0.07795738	0.07844606	1.0062686	5.3E-4
6.6	7.987405E-5	1.5328158E-4	3.33254E-4	2.1741295	1.8E-4	3.4227243E-4	6.5675634E-4	9.3657244E-4	1.4260577	2.8E-4	0.0041592065	0.007966857	0.008343831	1.0473176	3.8E-4	0.04082218	0.07654255	0.077031985	1.0063943	5.3E-4
6.7	7.777665E-5	1.4963429E-4	3.1960887E-4	2.1359332	1.7E-4	3.332859E-4	6.4113294E-4	9.109598E-4	1.4208596	2.7E-4	0.004050208	0.0077780182	0.0081451405	1.0472	3.7E-4	0.039771806	0.07480392	0.07528502	1.0064315	5.2E-4
6.8	7.3284005E-5	1.4098037E-4	3.1095638E-4	2.2056718	1.7E-4	3.140365E-4	6.040623E-4	8.738992E-4	1.4467038	2.7E-4	0.0038166929	0.0073298016	0.007687163	1.0487546	3.6E-4	0.037518036	0.070652016	0.071125984	1.0067085	5.1E-4
6.9	6.458263E-5	1.2397493E-4	2.839551E-4	2.2904236	1.6E-4	2.7675333E-4	5.312134E-4	7.710859E-4	1.4515558	2.4E-4	0.0033642664	0.0064484496	0.0067763217	1.0508451	3.3E-4	0.033137884	0.062452372	0.06287427	1.0067555	4.5E-4
7.0	5.3853604E-5	1.02565566E-4	2.425512E-4	2.3648405	1.4E-4	2.3078074E-4	4.39493E-4	6.593963E-4	1.5003568	2.2E-4	0.0028061352	0.0053377664	0.005646112	1.0577667	3.1E-4	0.027709642	0.05204113	0.05244875	1.0078326	4.3E-4
7.1	4.4308683E-5	8.3717074E-5	2.2370536E-4	2.6721592	1.4E-4	1.8988053E-4	3.5873835E-4	5.68663E-4	1.5851749	2.1E-4	0.0023093442	0.0043589356	0.004657628	1.0685241	3.0E-4	0.022854926	0.042778246	0.043170705	1.0091743	4.1E-4
7.2	3.295973E-5	6.249518E-5	1.724883E-4	2.7600257	1.1E-4	1.4124835E-4	2.6780914E-4	4.4776092E-4	1.6719404	1.8E-4	0.0017183421	0.0032557251	0.0035248462	1.0826608	2.7E-4	0.017051157	0.032198645	0.03255673	1.0111212	3.7E-4
7.3	2.452256E-5	4.6556073E-5	1.2655235E-4	2.718278	8.0E-5	1.05092455E-4	1.9951086E-4	3.4948092E-4	1.7516888	1.5E-4	0.0012787496	0.0024263533	0.002665771	1.0986738	2.4E-4	0.0127141625	0.024108222	0.024420507	1.0129535	3.2E-4
7.4	1.8829967E-5	3.5704787E-5	1.1570193E-4	3.240516	8.0E-5	8.069736E-5	1.530116E-4	3.0298866E-4	1.9801677	1.5E-4	9.820475E-4	0.0018613349	0.0021008882	1.1286997	2.4E-4	0.009777189	0.01855646	0.018870523	1.0169246	3.2E-4
7.5	1.26374125E-5	2.3681709E-5	9.368005E-5	3.955798	7.0E-5	5.4159216E-5	1.01489124E-4	2.1147796E-4	2.08375	1.1E-4	6.5918895E-4	0.0012349358	0.0014346888	1.1617517	2.0E-4	0.00657237	0.0123611605	0.01260807	1.0199746	2.5E-4
7.6	4.666429E-6	8.783974E-6	2.87838E-5	3.2768536	2.0E-5	1.9998828E-5	3.764507E-5	7.764356E-5	2.0625162	4.0E-5	2.4345852E-4	4.5823364E-4	5.38197E-4	1.1745034	8.0E-5	0.0024319198	0.004608146	0.0047176387	1.0237608	1.1E-4
7.7	3.8399318E-7	7.709768E-7	7.709768E-7	1.0	0.0	1.6456839E-6	3.304182E-6	3.304182E-6	1.0	0.0	2.003602E-5	4.0227675E-5	4.0227675E-5	1.0	0.0	2.0034213E-4	4.1413913E-4	4.1413913E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.5637698E-7	5.8610493E-7	5.8610493E-7	1.0	0.0	1.098758E-6	2.5118757E-6	2.5118757E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3377297E-5	3.0581657E-5	3.0581657E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3376492E-4	3.1637948E-4	3.1637948E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.7141245E-7	4.066053E-7	4.066053E-7	1.0	0.0	7.3462456E-7	1.7425929E-6	1.7425929E-6	1.0	0.0	8.944017E-6	2.1215863E-5	2.1215863E-5	1.0	0.0	8.943657E-5	2.1868748E-4	2.1868748E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.1808895E-7	2.9854974E-7	2.9854974E-7	1.0	0.0	5.060954E-7	1.2794982E-6	1.2794982E-6	1.0	0.0	6.161694E-6	1.557778E-5	1.557778E-5	1.0	0.0	6.161523E-5	1.5935014E-4	1.5935014E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	5.138535E-8	1.2141926E-7	1.2141926E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2022292E-7	5.203682E-7	5.203682E-7	1.0	0.0	2.6812106E-6	6.335464E-6	6.335464E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6811784E-5	6.4594504E-5	6.4594504E-5	1.0	0.0

Greenville (So) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.279693E-5	5.5384713E-5	3.4536864E-4	6.2358117	2.9E-4	1.8340252E-4	2.3734246E-4	5.3727126E-4	2.2636964	3.0E-4	0.0022306389	0.0028860692	0.0032450303	1.1243771	3.6E-4	0.022083808	0.02851215	0.028988179	1.0166956	4.9E-4
6.1	3.4037297E-5	4.3446566E-5	2.934357E-4	6.7539444	2.5E-4	1.4586597E-4	1.861875E-4	4.3614095E-4	2.3424826	2.5E-4	0.0017744715	0.0022646412	0.0025539845	1.1277657	2.9E-4	0.01760369	0.022432389	0.022803864	1.0165598	3.8E-4
6.2	3.4037297E-5	4.3446566E-5	2.934357E-4	6.7539444	2.5E-4	1.4586597E-4	1.861875E-4	4.3614095E-4	2.3424826	2.5E-4	0.0017744715	0.0022646412	0.0025539845	1.1277657	2.9E-4	0.01760369	0.022432389	0.022803864	1.0165598	3.8E-4
6.3	2.5956324E-5	3.260573E-5	1.9260052E-4	5.906953	1.6E-4	1.11236644E-4	1.3973181E-4	2.9970944E-4	2.1448908	1.6E-4	0.0013534647	0.0016999732	0.0018896502	1.1115764	1.9E-4	0.013452509	0.016876737	0.01713235	1.0151458	2.6E-4
6.4	2.1145053E-5	2.6333115E-5	1.2633049E-4	4.7974	1.0E-4	9.061851E-5	1.12851514E-4	2.1284023E-4	1.8860202	1.0E-4	0.0011027219	0.0013731327	0.001492968	1.0872715	1.2E-4	0.01097266	0.01365028	0.013808097	1.0115614	1.6E-4
6.5	2.0030959E-5	2.4923034E-5	1.2492054E-4	5.0122523	1.0E-4	8.584414E-5	1.0680882E-4	2.0679814E-4	1.9361523	1.0E-4	0.0010446513	0.0012996531	0.0014194972	1.0922123	1.2E-4	0.010397541	0.012924278	0.01308221	1.0122198	1.6E-4
6.6	1.8395405E-5	2.2870185E-5	1.228679E-4	5.372405	1.0E-4	7.8835066E-5	9.801155E-5	1.9800176E-4	2.0201879	1.0E-4	9.5939427E-4	0.0011926661	0.001312523	1.1004949	1.2E-4	0.009552629	0.011866127	0.012024229	1.0133238	1.6E-4
6.7	1.7883482E-5	2.2237942E-5	1.2223572E-4	5.496719	1.0E-4	7.664124E-5	9.530215E-5	1.9529262E-4	2.0491943	1.0E-4	9.3270757E-4	0.0011597149	0.0012795758	1.1033537	1.2E-4	0.009288026	0.011540104	0.011698257	1.0137047	1.6E-4
6.8	1.3373564E-5	1.6586586E-5	7.658559E-5	4.617321	6.0E-5	5.7314013E-5	7.1083516E-5	1.3107924E-4	1.8440176	6.0E-5	6.975747E-4	8.6511305E-4	9.4504387E-4	1.0923935	8.0E-5	0.0069538904	0.008619474	0.008718612	1.0115017	1.0E-4
6.9	1.06692905E-5	1.3214679E-5	5.321415E-5	4.026897	4.0E-5	4.5724726E-5	5.6633173E-5	9.663091E-5	1.7062598	4.0E-5	5.5655633E-4	6.8930216E-4	7.4926077E-4	1.0869845	6.0E-5	0.005551645	0.0068732826	0.006952733	1.0115592	8.0E-5
7.0	8.157512E-6	1.0108351E-5	3.0108147E-5	2.9785423	2.0E-5	3.4960296E-5	4.3320804E-5	6.331994E-5	1.4616519	2.0E-5	4.2555845E-4	5.2730687E-4	5.672858E-4	1.0758171	4.0E-5	0.004247444	0.0052614366	0.0053111734	1.009453	5.0E-5
7.1	6.1467113E-6	7.661268E-6	1.766119E-5	2.305257	1.0E-5	2.6342783E-5	3.2833595E-5	4.2833268E-5	1.3045561	1.0E-5	3.206762E-4	3.9967656E-4	4.2966456E-4	1.0750307	3.0E-5	0.0032021382	0.003990166	0.0040300065	1.0099846	4.0E-5
7.2	4.713467E-6	5.9409085E-6	1.5940848E-5	2.6832342	1.0E-5	2.0200418E-5	2.5460791E-5	3.5460536E-5	1.3927507	1.0E-5	2.4591232E-4	3.0994165E-4	3.3993236E-4	1.0967624	3.0E-5	0.0024564038	0.0030956015	0.0031255085	1.0096612	3.0E-5
7.3	2.3266216E-6	2.9638697E-6	2.9638697E-6	1.0	0.0	9.971197E-6	1.2702239E-5	1.2702239E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2139256E-4	1.5463892E-4	1.5463892E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012132627	0.0015455767	0.0015455767	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.3314E-6	1.7228487E-6	1.7228487E-6	1.0	0.0	5.7059874E-6	7.3836163E-6	7.3836163E-6	1.0	0.0	6.946818E-5	8.989187E-5	8.989187E-5	1.0	0.0	6.9446466E-4	8.987956E-4	8.987956E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.0362941E-6	1.3496075E-6	1.3496075E-6	1.0	0.0	4.4412527E-6	5.7840193E-6	5.7840193E-6	1.0	0.0	5.407091E-5	7.041821E-5	7.041821E-5	1.0	0.0	5.405776E-4	7.042066E-4	7.042066E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	7.764784E-7	1.0108498E-6	1.0108498E-6	1.0	0.0	3.3277602E-6	4.3322066E-6	4.3322066E-6	1.0	0.0	4.0514726E-5	5.2743377E-5	5.2743377E-5	1.0	0.0	4.050734E-4	5.2754435E-4	5.2754435E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.6927763E-7	2.2154367E-7	2.2154367E-7	1.0	0.0	7.2547533E-7	9.4947256E-7	9.4947256E-7	1.0	0.0	8.832627E-6	1.155977E-5	1.155977E-5	1.0	0.0	8.8322755E-5	1.1558603E-4	1.1558603E-4	1.0	0.0

Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	7.390182E-5	1.3376487E-4	2.1375417E-4	1.5979843	8.0E-5	3.1668364E-4	5.731515E-4	7.230656E-4	1.2615609	1.5E-4	0.0038488081	0.0069557475	0.007194078	1.0342638	2.4E-4	0.037828278	0.06732068	0.067628466	1.0045719	3.3E-4
6.1	7.318768E-5	1.3273662E-4	2.12726E-4	1.6026173	8.0E-5	3.1362378E-4	5.6874665E-4	7.1866135E-4	1.2635878	1.5E-4	0.0038116854	0.0069024777	0.007140821	1.0345302	2.4E-4	0.037469655	0.066821925	0.06712988	1.0046085	3.3E-4
6.2	7.1379836E-5	1.2964517E-4	2.0963479E-4	1.6169889	8.0E-5	3.058777E-4	5.5550324E-4	7.054199E-4	1.2698754	1.5E-4	0.003717703	0.0067422464	0.0069806282	1.0353564	2.4E-4	0.0365612	0.06532075	0.06562919	1.004722	3.3E-4
6.3	6.9255926E-5	1.2616016E-4	2.0615006E-4	1.6340346	8.0E-5	2.9677735E-4	5.405746E-4	6.904935E-4	1.2773325	1.5E-4	0.0036072785	0.0065616826	0.006800108	1.036336	2.4E-4	0.035492823	0.063632056	0.063941054	1.0048561	3.3E-4
6.4	6.6757144E-5	1.2189682E-4	2.0188706E-4	1.6562128	8.0E-5	2.8607066E-4	5.223107E-4	6.722323E-4	1.2870353	1.5E-4	0.0034773487	0.006340666	0.0065791444	1.0376109	2.4E-4	0.034234364	0.061570257	0.061879937	1.0050297	3.3E-4
6.5	6.5735134E-5	1.2037662E-4	2.00367E-4	1.6645008	8.0E-5	2.8169158E-4	5.157982E-4	6.6572084E-4	1.2906615	1.5E-4	0.003424202	0.006261848	0.006500345	1.0380874	2.4E-4	0.03371918	0.060830373	0.0611403	1.0050949	3.3E-4
6.6	6.289601E-5	1.1569493E-4	1.9568567E-4	1.6913937	8.0E-5	2.6952647E-4	4.957416E-4	6.4566726E-4	1.3024269	1.5E-4	0.0032765474	0.006019034	0.006257589	1.0396335	2.4E-4	0.032286562	0.058553956	0.058864634	1.0053059	3.3E-4
6.7	6.115274E-5	1.1284576E-4	1.9283673E-4	1.7088523	8.0E-5	2.6205686E-4	4.8353543E-4	6.334629E-4	1.3100652	1.5E-4	0.0031858748	0.0058712354	0.0061098263	1.0406373	2.4E-4	0.031405866	0.057164572	0.05747571	1.0054429	3.3E-4
6.8	5.9232367E-5	1.0947847E-4	1.894697E-4	1.7306573	8.0E-5	2.538283E-4	4.6910945E-4	6.190391E-4	1.3196048	1.5E-4	0.0030859804	0.0056965305	0.0059351632	1.0418909	2.4E-4	0.030434765	0.055514127	0.055825807	1.0056144	3.3E-4
6.9	5.4030377E-5	1.00296005E-4	1.8028799E-4	1.7975589	8.0E-5	2.315382E-4	4.2976954E-4	5.797051E-4	1.3488742	1.5E-4	0.0028153337	0.0052199597	0.0054587065	1.0457374	2.4E-4	0.027799325	0.05099448	0.05130765	1.0061413	3.3E-4
7.0	4.8260714E-5	8.933471E-5	1.6932756E-4	1.8954287	8.0E-5	2.0681522E-4	3.8280713E-4	5.3274975E-4	1.3916922	1.5E-4	0.0025150678	0.0046507735	0.0048896573	1.0513643	2.4E-4	0.024867928	0.04558482	0.045899775	1.0069093	3.3E-4
7.1	4.0294493E-5	7.567343E-5	1.5566738E-4	2.0570943	8.0E-5	1.7267925E-4	3.242746E-4	4.7422596E-4	1.462421	1.5E-4	0.0021003427	0.0039409357	0.00417999	1.0606593	2.4E-4	0.02080602	0.03877586	0.039093066	1.0081805	3.3E-4
7.2	3.096388E-5	5.8548634E-5	1.3854395E-4	2.3663054	8.0E-5	1.326956E-4	2.508987E-4	4.0086108E-4	1.5977008	1.5E-4	0.0016143717	0.0030504363	0.003289704	1.0784373	2.4E-4	0.01602694	0.03019586	0.030506197	1.0102775	3.2E-4
7.3	2.3615226E-5	4.492718E-5	1.2492358E-4	2.7805793	8.0E-5	1.0120418E-4	1.9253092E-4	3.4250205E-4	1.7789456	1.5E-4	0.0012314644	0.0023415587	0.0025809966	1.1022558	2.4E-4	0.0122466255	0.023268104	0.023580657	1.0134327	3.2E-4
7.4	1.8251132E-5	3.4583907E-5	1.1458114E-4	3.3131347	8.0E-5	7.821679E-5	1.4820839E-4	2.9818615E-4	2.0119386	1.5E-4	9.518733E-4	0.0018029541	0.0020425213	1.1328748	2.4E-4	0.009478063	0.017974522	0.01828877	1.017483	3.2E-4
7.5	1.2411432E-5	2.3181916E-5	9.318029E-5	4.019525	7.0E-5	5.3190768E-5	9.9347315E-5	2.0933639E-4	2.1071167	1.1E-4	6.4740516E-4	0.0012088886	0.0014086468	1.1652412	2.0E-4	0.006455223	0.012097286	0.012344262	1.0204158	2.5E-4
7.6	4.4771446E-6	8.353318E-6	2.835315E-5	3.3942382	2.0E-5	1.918762E-5	3.579945E-5	7.5798016E-5	2.1172955	4.0E-5	2.3358424E-4	4.3577244E-4	5.1573757E-4	1.1835021	8.0E-5	0.0023333887	0.0043781404	0.004487659	1.0250149	1.1E-4
7.7	2.157941E-7	3.7728827E-7	3.7728827E-7	1.0	0.0	9.248315E-7	1.6169487E-6	1.6169487E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1259765E-5	1.9686173E-5	1.9686173E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1259195E-4	2.0243248E-4	2.0243248E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	9.9623286E-8	2.1690315E-7	2.1690315E-7	1.0	0.0	4.269569E-7	9.2958453E-7	9.2958453E-7	1.0	0.0	5.1981874E-6	1.1317634E-5	1.1317634E-5	1.0	0.0	5.198066E-5	1.17773096E-4	1.17773096E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	5.6745257E-8	1.2873377E-7	1.2873377E-7	1.0	0.0	2.4319394E-7	5.51716E-7	5.51716E-7	1.0	0.0	2.960882E-6	6.717122E-6	6.717122E-6	1.0	0.0	2.9608427E-5	7.0054695E-5	7.0054695E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.8614323E-8	7.15952E-8	7.15952E-8	1.0	0.0	1.2263281E-7	3.0683654E-7	3.0683654E-7	1.0	0.0	1.4930534E-6	3.7357286E-6	3.7357286E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4930434E-5	3.8602604E-5	3.8602604E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	3.5045191E-9	9.6963815E-9	9.6963815E-9	1.0	0.0	1.5019367E-8	4.1555918E-8	4.1555918E-8	1.0	0.0	1.8286079E-7	5.059432E-7	5.059432E-7	1.0	0.0	1.8286064E-6	5.177147E-6	5.177147E-6	1.0	0.0

Greenville (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.286654E-5	4.0567782E-5	1.705625E-4	4.2043834	1.3E-4	1.4084899E-4	1.7385055E-4	3.1382623E-4	1.8051493	1.4E-4	0.0017134876	0.0021146133	0.0022742748	1.075504	1.6E-4	0.017003356	0.020950297	0.021165688	1.0102811	2.2E-4
6.1	3.286654E-5	4.0567782E-5	1.705625E-4	4.2043834	1.3E-4	1.4084899E-4	1.7385055E-4	3.1382623E-4	1.8051493	1.4E-4	0.0017134876	0.0021146133	0.0022742748	1.075504	1.6E-4	0.017003356	0.020950297	0.021165688	1.0102811	2.2E-4
6.2	3.1697953E-5	3.912314E-5	1.6911805E-4	4.3227115	1.3E-4	1.358413E-4	1.6766005E-4	3.0763657E-4	1.834883	1.4E-4	0.0016526132	0.002039387	0.0021990605	1.078295	1.6E-4	0.01640377	0.02021192	0.020427473	1.0106647	2.2E-4
6.3	3.1363317E-5	3.8709866E-5	1.6870484E-4	4.3581867	1.3E-4	1.344073E-4	1.658891E-4	3.0586586E-4	1.8437973	1.4E-4	0.0016351803	0.002017866	0.002177543	1.0791317	1.6E-4	0.016232004	0.020000614	0.020216214	1.0107796	2.2E-4
6.4	3.0228604E-5	3.730975E-5	1.5730527E-4	4.2161975	1.2E-4	1.2954473E-4	1.5988934E-4	2.8986856E-4	1.8129324	1.3E-4	0.0015760659	0.001944951	0.0020946593	1.0769727	1.5E-4	0.015649348	0.019284327	0.019490277	1.0106797	2.1E-4
6.5	2.9537814E-5	3.6460897E-5	1.5645652E-4	4.291077	1.2E-4	1.2658449E-4	1.5625183E-4	2.8623152E-4	1.8318602	1.3E-4	0.0015400766	0.0019007424	0.0020504573	1.0787666	1.5E-4	0.01529447	0.018849831	0.019055873	1.0109307	2.1E-4
6.6	2.7345395E-5	3.3756238E-5	1.5375219E-4	4.5547786	1.2E-4	1.1718928E-4	1.4466174E-4	2.7464295E-4	1.8985181	1.3E-4	0.0014258457	0.0017598652	0.0019096012	1.0850838	1.5E-4	0.014167317	0.01746363	0.017660137	1.0112524	2.0E-4
6.7	2.5615784E-5	3.1725147E-5	1.5172134E-4	4.782368	1.2E-4	1.09777306E-4	1.35958E-4	2.6594033E-4	1.9560477	1.3E-4	0.0013357193	0.0016540628	0.0018038147	1.0905358	1.5E-4	0.013277191	0.016421719	0.016618434	1.011979	2.0E-4
6.8	2.0059057E-5	2.4833143E-5	1.0483116E-4	4.2214212	8.0E-5	8.596455E-5	1.0642351E-4	1.9641394E-4	1.8455878	9.0E-5	0.0010461159	0.0012949525	0.0014048101	1.0848352	1.1E-4	0.0104120495	0.012876604	0.013014801	1.0107324	1.4E-4
6.9	1.6321746E-5	2.0283536E-5	8.028232E-5	3.958004	6.0E-5	6.9948466E-5	8.6926615E-5	1.5692053E-4	1.805207	7.0E-5	8.5128983E-4	0.0010578302	0.001147735	1.0849898	9.0E-5	0.008480361	0.010529993	0.010648729	1.011276	1.2E-4
7.0	1.22527645E-5	1.5210819E-5	4.5210363E-5	2.9722505	3.0E-5	5.2510793E-5	6.518762E-5	1.0518501E-4	1.6135734	4.0E-5	6.3913135E-4	7.9337455E-4	8.533269E-4	1.0755663	6.0E-5	0.0063729626	0.007906483	0.00798585	1.0100383	8.0E-5
7.1	8.996482E-6	1.12205935E-5	2.1220481E-5	1.8912084	1.0E-5	3.8555783E-5	4.808738E-5	6.808642E-5	1.4158895	2.0E-5	4.6931554E-4	5.8530783E-4	6.252844E-4	1.0683001	4.0E-5	0.004683256	0.0058384365	0.005898086	1.0102167	6.0E-5
7.2	6.0273087E-6	7.606198E-6	1.7606122E-5	2.3147073	1.0E-5	2.5831067E-5	3.259759E-5	4.259726E-5	1.3067611	1.0E-5	3.1444785E-4	3.9680407E-4	4.2679216E-4	1.075574	3.0E-5	0.0031400328	0.003961514	0.0039913952	1.0075428	3.0E-5
7.3	3.1209995E-6	3.981462E-6	3.981462E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3375643E-5	1.70633E-5	1.70633E-5	1.0	0.0	1.6283628E-4	2.0772603E-4	2.0772603E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0016271701	0.002075598	0.002075598	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.0254208E-6	2.619103E-6	2.619103E-6	1.0	0.0	8.680347E-6	1.1224679E-5	1.1224679E-5	1.0	0.0	1.0567809E-4	1.3665196E-4	1.3665196E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010562785	0.0013659325	0.0013659325	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.6763418E-6	2.1802828E-6	2.1802828E-6	1.0	0.0	7.184302E-6	9.344036E-6	9.344036E-6	1.0	0.0	8.746537E-5	1.1375775E-4	1.1375775E-4	1.0	0.0	8.743095E-4	0.0011372583	0.0011372583	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.1935462E-6	1.5499905E-6	1.5499905E-6	1.0	0.0	5.115188E-6	6.6427997E-6	6.6427997E-6	1.0	0.0	6.2275634E-5	8.087313E-5	8.087313E-5	1.0	0.0	6.2258187E-4	8.086521E-4	8.086521E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.0464201E-7	4.0028183E-7	4.0028183E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3056081E-6	1.7154925E-6	1.7154925E-6	1.0	0.0	1.589566E-5	2.0885926E-5	2.0885926E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5894524E-4	2.0880645E-4	2.0880645E-4	1.0	0.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	7.711876E-5	1.0585765E-4	1.7585025E-4	1.6611954	7.0E-5	3.3046713E-4	4.536075E-4	5.635576E-4	1.2423904	1.1E-4	0.004016016	0.005509715	0.0056389985	1.0234647	1.3E-4	0.039442103	0.053846657	0.054035887	1.0035143	2.0E-4
6.1	4.607858E-5	6.0653987E-5	1.0065156E-4	1.6594385	4.0E-5	1.9746469E-4	2.5992256E-4	3.1990695E-4	1.230778	6.0E-5	0.0024014818	0.0031602574	0.0032400044	1.0252343	8.0E-5	0.023756953	0.03118268	0.031328004	1.0046604	1.5E-4
6.2	4.607858E-5	6.0653987E-5	1.0065156E-4	1.6594385	4.0E-5	1.9746469E-4	2.5992256E-4	3.1990695E-4	1.230778	6.0E-5	0.0024014818	0.0031602574	0.0032400044	1.0252343	8.0E-5	0.023756953	0.03118268	0.031328004	1.0046604	1.5E-4
6.3	3.327423E-5	4.2746546E-5	6.274569E-5	1.467854	2.0E-5	1.4259605E-4	1.8318834E-4	2.0318468E-4	1.1091572	2.0E-5	0.0017347244	0.0022282829	0.0022681938	1.0179111	4.0E-5	0.017212452	0.022083156	0.022180947	1.0044284	1.0E-4
6.4	2.7732503E-5	3.5213096E-5	4.5212742E-5	1.2839752	1.0E-5	1.1884817E-4	1.5090601E-4	1.609045E-4	1.0662564	1.0E-5	0.001446016	0.0018359667	0.0018659116	1.0163102	3.0E-5	0.014366428	0.018230798	0.018299522	1.0037696	7.0E-5
6.5	2.7689714E-5	3.516271E-5	4.5162356E-5	1.2843822	1.0E-5	1.186648E-4	1.506901E-4	1.6068859E-4	1.0663514	1.0E-5	0.0014437864	0.0018333424	0.0018632874	1.0163336	3.0E-5	0.014344421	0.018204985	0.018273711	1.0037751	7.0E-5
6.6	2.2976905E-5	2.8888106E-5	3.8887818E-5	1.3461533	1.0E-5	9.846873E-5	1.2380174E-4	1.3380051E-4	1.0807643	1.0E-5	0.0011981975	0.0015064834	0.0015264533	1.013256	2.0E-5	0.011917574	0.0149861025	0.015035353	1.0032865	5.0E-5
6.7	1.9871539E-5	2.505428E-5	3.505403E-5	1.3991234	1.0E-5	8.516096E-5	1.0737249E-4	1.1737142E-4	1.0931237	1.0E-5	0.0010363415	0.001306721	0.0013266949	1.0152855	2.0E-5	0.010315218	0.01301423	0.01305371	1.0030335	4.0E-5
6.8	6.5640475E-6	7.633256E-6	7.633256E-6	1.0	0.0	2.813133E-5	3.2713564E-5	3.2713564E-5	1.0	0.0	3.424451E-4	3.9821773E-4	3.9821773E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0034191788	0.003975331	0.003975331	1.0	0.0
6.9	5.6219683E-6	6.525237E-6	6.525237E-6	1.0	0.0	2.4093928E-5	2.7965016E-5	2.7965016E-5	1.0	0.0	2.933041E-4	3.4042346E-4	3.4042346E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0029291727	0.003399279	0.003399279	1.0	0.0
7.0	3.875591E-6	4.50096E-6	4.50096E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6609569E-5	1.9289699E-5	1.9289699E-5	1.0	0.0	2.0220275E-4	2.348289E-4	2.348289E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0020201886	0.0023460174	0.0023460174	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.6017933E-6	1.8638469E-6	1.8638469E-6	1.0	0.0	6.8648105E-6	7.987897E-6	7.987897E-6	1.0	0.0	8.357586E-5	9.724939E-5	9.724939E-5	1.0	0.0	8.3544437E-4	9.7217376E-4	9.7217376E-4	1.0	0.0

Franklin 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.845602E-5	2.0360281E-5	9.035885E-5	4.4379964	7.0E-5	7.9094825E-5	8.725559E-5	1.7724774E-4	2.0313625	9.0E-5	9.6255407E-4	0.0010618482	0.0011817208	1.1128905	1.2E-4	0.009583955	0.010585248	0.010743554	1.0149554	1.6E-4
6.1	1.845602E-5	2.0360281E-5	9.035885E-5	4.4379964	7.0E-5	7.9094825E-5	8.725559E-5	1.7724774E-4	2.0313625	9.0E-5	9.6255407E-4	0.0010618482	0.0011817208	1.1128905	1.2E-4	0.009583955	0.010585248	0.010743554	1.0149554	1.6E-4
6.2	1.845602E-5	2.0360281E-5	9.035885E-5	4.4379964	7.0E-5	7.9094825E-5	8.725559E-5	1.7724774E-4	2.0313625	9.0E-5	9.6255407E-4	0.0010618482	0.0011817208	1.1128905	1.2E-4	0.009583955	0.010585248	0.010743554	1.0149554	1.6E-4
6.3	1.3813506E-5	1.5292113E-5	8.5291045E-5	5.577453	7.0E-5	5.9199396E-5	6.553603E-5	1.5553013E-4	2.3732004	9.0E-5	7.205143E-4	7.976167E-4	9.07529E-4	1.1378008	1.1E-4	0.007181826	0.007962916	0.008111722	1.0186874	1.5E-4
6.4	1.3813506E-5	1.5292113E-5	8.5291045E-5	5.577453	7.0E-5	5.9199396E-5	6.553603E-5	1.5553013E-4	2.3732004	9.0E-5	7.205143E-4	7.976167E-4	9.07529E-4	1.1378008	1.1E-4	0.007181826	0.007962916	0.008111722	1.0186874	1.5E-4
6.5	1.1308949E-5	1.2549261E-5	8.254838E-5	6.5779476	7.0E-5	4.8466023E-5	5.378145E-5	1.437766E-4	2.6733494	9.0E-5	5.899141E-4	6.545945E-4	7.645225E-4	1.167933	1.1E-4	0.0058835056	0.0065414826	0.0066905012	1.0227805	1.5E-4
6.6	1.0813164E-5	1.20063305E-5	8.200549E-5	6.8301873	7.0E-5	4.6341313E-5	5.14547E-5	1.4145007E-4	2.7490213	9.0E-5	5.640594E-4	6.262828E-4	7.3621393E-4	1.1755295	1.1E-4	0.005626298	0.0062599815	0.0064090425	1.0238117	1.5E-4
6.7	1.0706348E-5	1.1887803E-5	8.1886974E-5	6.888318	7.0E-5	4.5883542E-5	5.0946746E-5	1.4094217E-4	2.7664604	9.0E-5	5.5848894E-4	6.20102E-4	7.300338E-4	1.1772802	1.1E-4	0.005570874	0.00619852	0.00634759	1.0240493	1.5E-4
6.8	9.443655E-6	1.0475352E-5	8.0474616E-5	7.682283	7.0E-5	4.0472176E-5	4.48936E-5	1.3488956E-4	3.00465	9.0E-5	4.9263734E-4	5.464439E-4	6.563838E-4	1.2011915	1.1E-4	0.0049154665	0.0054657552	0.0056149354	1.0272936	1.5E-4
6.9	8.7001645E-6	9.646297E-6	7.964562E-5	8.2566	7.0E-5	3.728589E-5	4.1340623E-5	1.313369E-4	3.1769454	9.0E-5	4.538611E-4	5.032071E-4	6.1315176E-4	1.2184879	1.1E-4	0.0045293528	0.005035416	0.005184661	1.029639	1.5E-4
7.0	8.074731E-6	8.937763E-6	7.893714E-5	8.831867	7.0E-5	3.460553E-5	3.830414E-5	1.283007E-4	3.3495255	9.0E-5	4.212409E-4	4.6625422E-4	5.7620293E-4	1.2358128	1.1E-4	0.004204433	0.004667483	0.0048167827	1.0319872	1.5E-4
7.1	7.3370957E-6	8.079128E-6	6.807864E-5	8.426484	6.0E-5	3.1444317E-5	3.462438E-5	1.04621955E-4	3.0216267	7.0E-5	3.8276732E-4	4.214713E-4	5.114334E-4	1.2134477	9.0E-5	0.0038210868	0.0042212717	0.0043507232	1.0306664	1.3E-4
7.2	5.1750103E-6	5.5608684E-6	4.5560646E-5	8.193081	4.0E-5	2.2178427E-5	2.3832077E-5	6.3831125E-5	2.67837	4.0E-5	2.699889E-4	2.9011723E-4	3.5009984E-4	1.2067529	6.0E-5	0.002696611	0.0029114604	0.0030011984	1.0308223	9.0E-5
7.3	3.5221371E-6	3.8862586E-6	3.3886143E-5	8.719478	3.0E-5	1.5094786E-5	1.6655287E-5	4.6654786E-5	2.8012	3.0E-5	1.8376352E-4	2.0275936E-4	2.5274922E-4	1.2465477	5.0E-5	0.0018361164	0.0020392821	0.0021091395	1.0342559	7.0E-5
7.4	2.5749775E-6	2.8975494E-6	2.2897491E-5	7.9023647	2.0E-5	1.1035571E-5	1.241801E-5	3.241776E-5	2.610544	2.0E-5	1.343498E-4	1.5117886E-4	1.7117582E-4	1.1322737	2.0E-5	0.001342686	0.0015230033	0.0015529577	1.0196679	3.0E-5
7.5	1.3642131E-6	1.6140293E-6	1.1614014E-5	7.1956644	1.0E-5	5.8466144E-6	6.91725E-6	1.6917182E-5	2.445651	1.0E-5	7.1180206E-5	8.421428E-5	9.421344E-5	1.1187347	1.0E-5	7.115741E-4	8.5270026E-4	8.626917E-4	1.0117174	1.0E-5
7.6	5.329124E-7	7.266809E-7	7.266809E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2839083E-6	3.1143431E-6	3.1143431E-6	1.0	0.0	2.7806227E-5	3.7916474E-5	3.7916474E-5	1.0	0.0	2.780275E-4	3.8929554E-4	3.8929554E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	4.199127E-7	6.0223823E-7	6.0223823E-7	1.0	0.0	1.7996247E-6	2.5810184E-6	2.5810184E-6	1.0	0.0	2.191021E-5	3.142345E-5	3.142345E-5	1.0	0.0	2.190805E-4	3.2422057E-4	3.2422057E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.2586491E-7	3.3751078E-7	3.3751078E-7	1.0	0.0	9.67992E-7	1.4464739E-6	1.4464739E-6	1.0	0.0	1.178524E-5	1.7610679E-5	1.7610679E-5	1.0	0.0	1.17846146E-4	1.8224155E-4	1.8224155E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.4568845E-7	2.33359E-7	2.33359E-7	1.0	0.0	6.243789E-7	1.0001096E-6	1.0001096E-6	1.0	0.0	7.601787E-6	1.2176268E-5	1.2176268E-5	1.0	0.0	7.601527E-5	1.2602983E-4	1.2602983E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	5.2868224E-8	1.0943815E-7	1.0943815E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2657808E-7	4.6902053E-7	4.6902053E-7	1.0	0.0	2.7585847E-6	5.7103102E-6	5.7103102E-6	1.0	0.0	2.7585504E-5	5.8798185E-5	5.8798185E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	2.654434E-9	5.1222493E-9	5.1222493E-9	1.0	0.0	1.1376145E-8	2.1952497E-8	2.1952497E-8	1.0	0.0	1.3850456E-7	2.6727162E-7	2.6727162E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3850448E-6	2.7359656E-6	2.7359656E-6	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.9687902E-5	3.283525E-5	1.228323E-4	3.7408667	9.0E-5	1.2722766E-4	1.4071533E-4	2.4070125E-4	1.7105546	1.0E-4	0.0015478961	0.001711935	0.0018317297	1.0699761	1.2E-4	0.015371585	0.01699506	0.01715234	1.0092545	1.6E-4
6.1	2.9687902E-5	3.283525E-5	1.228323E-4	3.7408667	9.0E-5	1.2722766E-4	1.4071533E-4	2.4070125E-4	1.7105546	1.0E-4	0.0015478961	0.001711935	0.0018217467	1.0641447	1.1E-4	0.015371585	0.01699506	0.01714251	1.008676	1.5E-4
6.2	1.9231524E-5	2.1207834E-5	9.120635E-5	4.300597	7.0E-5	8.2418206E-5	9.088768E-5	1.7088042E-4	1.8801273	8.0E-5	0.0010029797	0.001106019	0.0011959195	1.081283	9.0E-5	0.00998465	0.011007569	0.0111163575	1.0098832	1.1E-4
6.3	1.324766E-5	1.4581306E-5	6.458058E-5	4.428998	5.0E-5	5.6774446E-5	6.248987E-5	1.2248612E-4	1.9600956	6.0E-5	6.910097E-4	7.6055777E-4	8.205121E-4	1.0788295	6.0E-5	0.006888649	0.007580499	0.007649969	1.0091642	7.0E-5
6.4	7.818645E-6	8.5918045E-6	3.859155E-5	4.4916697	3.0E-5	3.3508048E-5	3.682152E-5	6.6820416E-5	1.814711	3.0E-5	4.078841E-4	4.4821316E-4	4.781997E-4	1.0669024	3.0E-5	0.004071363	0.0044734334	0.0045132544	1.0089017	4.0E-5
6.5	5.3076565E-6	5.8306236E-6	1.5830565E-5	2.7150724	1.0E-5	2.27469E-5	2.498816E-5	3.498791E-5	1.4001795	1.0E-5	2.7690834E-4	3.0419047E-4	3.1418743E-4	1.0328641	1.0E-5	0.0027656353	0.0030379514	0.003047921	1.0032817	1.0E-5
6.6	3.6003578E-6	3.9572506E-6	1.3957211E-5	3.526997	1.0E-5	1.5430012E-5	1.6959544E-5	2.6959375E-5	1.5896285	1.0E-5	1.8784421E-4	2.0646445E-4	2.1646239E-4	1.0484245	1.0E-5	0.0018768552	0.0020628811	0.0020728605	1.0048376	1.0E-5
6.7	2.5361826E-6	2.7896915E-6	1.2789664E-5	4.5846157	1.0E-5	1.0869308E-5	1.19557735E-5	2.1955653E-5	1.836406	1.0E-5	1.3232579E-4	1.4555315E-4	1.555517E-4	1.0686934	1.0E-5	0.0013224703	0.0014547086	0.001464694	1.0068642	1.0E-5
6.8	1.2115831E-6	1.3343986E-6	1.3343986E-6	1.0	0.0	5.1924885E-6	5.718844E-6	5.718844E-6	1.0	0.0	6.3216714E-5	6.9625676E-5	6.9625676E-5	1.0	0.0	6.3198735E-4	6.961341E-4	6.961341E-4	1.0	0.0

Green Valley 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.9629346E-5	1.7447394E-4	2.1446697E-4	1.2292206	4.0E-5	4.2691303E-4	7.4752443E-4	8.174721E-4	1.0935724	7.0E-5	0.0051852856	0.009061513	0.009160606	1.0109357	1.0E-4	0.050659515	0.08615828	0.08630449	1.0016971	1.6E-4
6.1	9.88615E-5	1.7293754E-4	2.1293061E-4	1.2312574	4.0E-5	4.2362334E-4	7.4094365E-4	8.108918E-4	1.0944041	7.0E-5	0.0051454236	0.00898206	0.009081162	1.0110333	1.0E-4	0.050279044	0.08544233	0.08558866	1.0017126	1.6E-4
6.2	9.696895E-5	1.6930119E-4	2.0929442E-4	1.2362254	4.0E-5	4.15515E-4	7.253681E-4	7.9531735E-4	1.0964327	7.0E-5	0.0050471667	0.008794063	0.008893183	1.0112714	1.0E-4	0.04934063	0.08374085	0.083878286	1.0016413	1.5E-4
6.3	9.275224E-5	1.6103633E-4	2.0102989E-4	1.2483512	4.0E-5	3.9744904E-4	6.8996625E-4	7.59918E-4	1.1013843	7.0E-5	0.0048282105	0.008366403	0.008465567	1.0118526	1.0E-4	0.047246475	0.07985602	0.079994045	1.0017284	1.5E-4
6.4	8.391499E-5	1.44901E-4	1.8489521E-4	1.2760105	4.0E-5	3.595861E-4	6.208493E-4	6.8081205E-4	1.0965818	6.0E-5	0.004369175	0.007531335	0.0076107327	1.0105423	8.0E-5	0.04284265	0.07218725	0.07230787	1.0016708	1.3E-4
6.5	5.9519385E-5	1.00275465E-4	1.3027246E-4	1.2991458	3.0E-5	2.5505814E-4	4.2967303E-4	4.7965153E-4	1.1163175	5.0E-5	0.0031009112	0.005217459	0.005287094	1.0133464	7.0E-5	0.030579966	0.05059035	0.050685294	1.0018767	1.0E-4
6.6	4.5361558E-5	7.478458E-5	1.0478234E-4	1.4011222	3.0E-5	1.9439218E-4	3.2045651E-4	3.704405E-4	1.1559774	5.0E-5	0.0023641558	0.0038935402	0.003963268	1.0179085	7.0E-5	0.023391623	0.03803136	0.038108315	1.0020236	8.0E-5
6.7	3.8808106E-5	6.331524E-5	9.331334E-5	1.4737896	3.0E-5	1.6630985E-4	2.7131898E-4	3.2130542E-4	1.184235	5.0E-5	0.0020229418	0.0032976104	0.0033673795	1.0211575	7.0E-5	0.020046256	0.032330062	0.032407477	1.0023944	8.0E-5
6.8	2.2284667E-5	3.1537536E-5	6.1536586E-5	1.9512174	3.0E-5	9.550222E-5	1.3515381E-4	1.7514841E-4	1.2959191	4.0E-5	0.0011621192	0.0016442533	0.0016941711	1.0303589	5.0E-5	0.011560607	0.016292451	0.016351474	1.0036227	6.0E-5
6.9	1.8050168E-5	2.4621377E-5	5.462064E-5	2.2184234	3.0E-5	7.735557E-5	1.0551593E-4	1.4551172E-4	1.3790497	4.0E-5	9.4139716E-4	0.0012839017	0.0013338375	1.0388938	5.0E-5	0.009374191	0.012756844	0.012816078	1.0046433	6.0E-5
7.0	1.4763166E-5	1.9723873E-5	4.972328E-5	2.5209694	3.0E-5	6.326917E-5	8.452816E-5	1.2452478E-4	1.473175	4.0E-5	7.7002996E-4	0.0010286457	0.0010785942	1.0485576	5.0E-5	0.007673672	0.010238373	0.0102977585	1.0058002	6.0E-5
7.1	1.2399713E-5	1.642144E-5	2.6421276E-5	1.60895	1.0E-5	5.3140546E-5	7.037572E-5	9.0374306E-5	1.284169	2.0E-5	6.467941E-4	8.564895E-4	8.864638E-4	1.0349967	3.0E-5	0.006449148	0.008532274	0.008571932	1.0046481	4.0E-5
7.2	1.0584195E-5	1.4019112E-5	2.4018973E-5	1.7133019	1.0E-5	4.5360044E-5	6.0080536E-5	7.0079936E-5	1.1664332	1.0E-5	5.521186E-4	7.3123665E-4	7.512221E-4	1.0273309	2.0E-5	0.0055074887	0.007288782	0.007308636	1.0027239	2.0E-5
7.3	7.998173E-6	1.0612397E-5	2.0612291E-5	1.9422841	1.0E-5	3.4277433E-5	4.5480916E-5	5.548046E-5	1.2198625	1.0E-5	4.1724785E-4	5.535906E-4	5.63585E-4	1.0180539	1.0E-5	0.004164653	0.0055223983	0.0055323434	1.0018008	1.0E-5
7.4	6.7571127E-6	8.990947E-6	1.8990857E-5	2.1122198	1.0E-5	2.8958733E-5	3.8532067E-5	4.853168E-5	1.2595141	1.0E-5	3.5251552E-4	4.6902787E-4	4.790232E-4	1.0213107	1.0E-5	0.0035195686	0.0046805968	0.00469055	1.0021265	1.0E-5
7.5	5.69878E-6	7.5620515E-6	7.5620515E-6	1.0	0.0	2.4423114E-5	3.2408396E-5	3.2408396E-5	1.0	0.0	2.9731085E-4	3.9450167E-4	3.9450167E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002969134	0.0039382055	0.0039382055	1.0	0.0
7.6	4.503664E-6	5.972924E-6	5.972924E-6	1.0	0.0	1.9301275E-5	2.5598E-5	2.5598E-5	1.0	0.0	2.3496768E-4	3.1161192E-4	3.1161192E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002347194	0.003111882	0.003111882	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.0873546E-6	1.4194601E-6	1.4194601E-6	1.0	0.0	4.6600826E-6	6.0833863E-6	6.0833863E-6	1.0	0.0	5.6735033E-5	7.4062744E-5	7.4062744E-5	1.0	0.0	5.672055E-4	7.403261E-4	7.403261E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	4.9373917E-8	6.2419836E-8	6.2419836E-8	1.0	0.0	2.1160248E-7	2.6751354E-7	2.6751354E-7	1.0	0.0	2.5762572E-6	3.256974E-6	3.256974E-6	1.0	0.0	2.5762274E-5	3.2562188E-5	3.2562188E-5	1.0	0.0

Concord 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.7865112E-5	9.8252676E-5	1.3824875E-4	1.4070736	4.0E-5	2.4796976E-4	4.2101918E-4	4.8099394E-4	1.1424513	6.0E-5	0.0030148525	0.0051144008	0.0051939916	1.015562	8.0E-5	0.029742775	0.049550373	0.049692944	1.0028772	1.5E-4
6.1	5.7865112E-5	9.8252676E-5	1.3824875E-4	1.4070736	4.0E-5	2.4796976E-4	4.2101918E-4	4.8099394E-4	1.1424513	6.0E-5	0.0030148525	0.0051144008	0.0051939916	1.015562	8.0E-5	0.029742775	0.049550373	0.049692944	1.0028772	1.5E-4
6.2	5.6789337E-5	9.644047E-5	1.364366E-4	1.4147236	4.0E-5	2.4336016E-4	4.1325542E-4	4.732306E-4	1.1451286	6.0E-5	0.0029588845	0.0050203647	0.005099963	1.0158551	8.0E-5	0.029197963	0.048660364	0.04879355	1.002737	1.4E-4
6.3	5.203322E-5	8.861547E-5	1.2861192E-4	1.4513484	4.0E-5	2.2298045E-4	3.7972975E-4	4.3970696E-4	1.1579471	6.0E-5	0.0027114071	0.004614203	0.0046938336	1.0172578	8.0E-5	0.026785625	0.044799395	0.044933125	1.002985	1.4E-4
6.4	4.7120942E-5	7.950529E-5	1.1950211E-4	1.5030712	4.0E-5	2.0193127E-4	3.4069672E-4	3.906797E-4	1.1467081	5.0E-5	0.0024557412	0.004140848	0.004200599	1.0144298	6.0E-5	0.024287801	0.040305957	0.04042112	1.0028572	1.2E-4
6.5	2.9598437E-5	4.701324E-5	7.701183E-5	1.6380881	3.0E-5	1.2684427E-4	2.0147095E-4	2.414629E-4	1.1984998	4.0E-5	0.001543235	0.0024503628	0.0025002402	1.0203551	5.0E-5	0.015325619	0.02407353	0.024161363	1.0036485	9.0E-5
6.6	2.0443718E-5	3.021356E-5	6.0212653E-5	1.9929017	3.0E-5	8.7613E-5	1.2948047E-4	1.6947529E-4	1.3088869	4.0E-5	0.0010661662	0.0015753215	0.0016252428	1.0316895	5.0E-5	0.010610655	0.0155803785	0.015649289	1.0044228	7.0E-5
6.7	1.798539E-5	2.5757021E-5	5.575625E-5	2.164701	3.0E-5	7.7077966E-5	1.1038269E-4	1.5037827E-4	1.3623357	4.0E-5	9.380202E-4	0.0013431027	0.0013930355	1.0371772	5.0E-5	0.009340706	0.013316984	0.013386052	1.0051864	7.0E-5
6.8	1.613555E-5	2.21173E-5	5.2116637E-5	2.3563743	3.0E-5	6.915052E-5	9.4785064E-5	1.3478128E-4	1.4219674	4.0E-5	8.4158237E-4	0.0011534115	0.0012033537	1.0432997	5.0E-5	0.008384023	0.0114576565	0.011526855	1.0060395	7.0E-5
6.9	1.2916435E-5	1.718352E-5	4.7183003E-5	2.7458289	3.0E-5	5.5354973E-5	7.364161E-5	1.1363866E-4	1.5431312	4.0E-5	6.7373837E-4	8.962237E-4	9.461789E-4	1.0557396	5.0E-5	0.006716994	0.008920383	0.008989759	1.0077772	7.0E-5
7.0	9.81129E-6	1.270721E-5	4.270683E-5	3.3608344	3.0E-5	4.2047708E-5	5.445834E-5	9.445616E-5	1.7344663	4.0E-5	5.118106E-4	6.628303E-4	7.1279716E-4	1.0753841	5.0E-5	0.005106334	0.0066093435	0.0066788807	1.010521	7.0E-5
7.1	8.0889195E-6	1.0481878E-5	2.0481773E-5	1.9540174	1.0E-5	3.4666336E-5	4.492157E-5	6.492067E-5	1.4452004	2.0E-5	4.219809E-4	5.467839E-4	5.7676755E-4	1.0548363	3.0E-5	0.004211805	0.005454916	0.0055046435	1.009116	5.0E-5
7.2	6.267438E-6	8.163814E-6	1.8163732E-5	2.2249076	1.0E-5	2.6860173E-5	3.4987308E-5	4.498696E-5	1.285808	1.0E-5	3.2697353E-4	4.2588796E-4	4.4587944E-4	1.0469407	2.0E-5	0.0032649285	0.004251167	0.0042710826	1.0046846	2.0E-5
7.3	3.6761196E-6	4.8665656E-6	1.4866517E-5	3.0548272	1.0E-5	1.5754704E-5	2.0856543E-5	3.0856336E-5	1.4794558	1.0E-5	1.9179663E-4	2.5389905E-4	2.638965E-4	1.0393758	1.0E-5	0.0019163118	0.0025362554	0.0025462299	1.0039328	1.0E-5
7.4	2.8044356E-6	3.730349E-6	1.3730311E-5	3.6807044	1.0E-5	1.2018954E-5	1.5987112E-5	2.5986952E-5	1.6254939	1.0E-5	1.4632095E-4	1.9462583E-4	2.0462388E-4	1.0513706	1.0E-5	0.0014622464	0.0019446888	0.0019546694	1.0051322	1.0E-5
7.5	2.4578699E-6	3.2619348E-6	3.2619348E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0533685E-5	1.3979647E-5	1.3979647E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2824008E-4	1.7018901E-4	1.7018901E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012816609	0.0017007242	0.0017007242	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.7713267E-6	2.3473785E-6	2.3473785E-6	1.0	0.0	7.591378E-6	1.0060156E-5	1.0060156E-5	1.0	0.0	9.2421105E-5	1.224756E-4	1.224756E-4	1.0	0.0	9.2382677E-4	0.0012241876	0.0012241876	1.0	0.0
7.7	5.1912366E-7	6.869576E-7	6.869576E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2248137E-6	2.9441007E-6	2.9441007E-6	1.0	0.0	2.708677E-5	3.584385E-5	3.584385E-5	1.0	0.0	2.708347E-4	3.583333E-4	3.583333E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.7221631E-4	1.4804534E-4	1.6804237E-4	1.1350738	2.0E-5	7.378611E-4	6.3432794E-4	6.643089E-4	1.0472641	3.0E-5	0.008946515	0.0076960064	0.0077555445	1.0077362	6.0E-5	0.08594794	0.075387046	0.07552574	1.0018398	1.5E-4
6.1	1.7221631E-4	1.4804534E-4	1.6804237E-4	1.1350738	2.0E-5	7.378611E-4	6.3432794E-4	6.643089E-4	1.0472641	3.0E-5	0.008946515	0.0076960064	0.0077555445	1.0077362	6.0E-5	0.08594794	0.075387046	0.07552574	1.0018398	1.5E-4
6.2	1.7221631E-4	1.4804534E-4	1.6804237E-4	1.1350738	2.0E-5	7.378611E-4	6.3432794E-4	6.643089E-4	1.0472641	3.0E-5	0.008946515	0.0076960064	0.0077555445	1.0077362	6.0E-5	0.08594794	0.075387046	0.07552574	1.0018398	1.5E-4
6.3	1.716926E-4	1.4721727E-4	1.6721433E-4	1.1358336	2.0E-5	7.3561794E-4	6.307808E-4	6.607619E-4	1.04753	3.0E-5	0.008919428	0.0076531237	0.0077126645	1.00778	6.0E-5	0.08569809	0.074994855	0.07513361	1.0018501	1.5E-4
6.4	1.6392978E-4	1.45717E-4	1.6571408E-4	1.1372323	2.0E-5	7.02367E-4	6.243542E-4	6.543354E-4	1.0480196	3.0E-5	0.008517839	0.0075754244	0.00763497	1.0078603	6.0E-5	0.08198654	0.07406935	0.074208245	1.0018752	1.5E-4
6.5	1.5742714E-4	1.3599671E-4	1.4599536E-4	1.0735211	1.0E-5	6.745133E-4	5.8271474E-4	6.027031E-4	1.0343021	2.0E-5	0.00818132	0.0070718145	0.007121461	1.0070204	5.0E-5	0.078865945	0.06942282	0.0695531	1.0018766	1.4E-4
6.6	1.3038084E-4	1.2446157E-4	1.3446032E-4	1.0803361	1.0E-5	5.5865536E-4	5.3329905E-4	5.532884E-4	1.0374824	2.0E-5	0.006780438	0.006473837	0.006513578	1.0061387	4.0E-5	0.0657725	0.06336611	0.063487865	1.0019215	1.3E-4
6.7	1.2867592E-4	1.21666504E-4	1.3166529E-4	1.0821819	1.0E-5	5.5135164E-4	5.2132504E-4	5.4131466E-4	1.0383438	2.0E-5	0.0066920654	0.0063289083	0.0063686552	1.0062802	4.0E-5	0.06494093	0.06205596	0.062177893	1.0019649	1.3E-4
6.8	1.2801298E-4	1.21027326E-4	1.3102611E-4	1.082616	1.0E-5	5.485117E-4	5.185868E-4	5.3857645E-4	1.0385463	2.0E-5	0.0066577005	0.006295778	0.0063355262	1.0063134	4.0E-5	0.06461738	0.061764214	0.061886184	1.0019748	1.3E-4
6.9	1.269149E-4	1.1941536E-4	1.2941417E-4	1.0837313	1.0E-5	5.4380763E-4	5.116811E-4	5.3167087E-4	1.0390668	2.0E-5	0.006600777	0.0062121833	0.006251935	1.0063989	4.0E-5	0.06408122	0.061025083	0.06114715	1.0020002	1.3E-4
7.0	1.2030331E-4	1.1655521E-4	1.2655405E-4	1.0857862	1.0E-5	5.154837E-4	4.994281E-4	5.194181E-4	1.0400258	2.0E-5	0.006257969	0.0060638417	0.0061035994	1.0065565	4.0E-5	0.06084648	0.059609063	0.059731316	1.0020509	1.3E-4
7.1	8.049617E-5	6.0292376E-5	6.0292376E-5	1.0	0.0	3.4493793E-4	2.5837054E-4	2.6836793E-4	1.0386941	1.0E-5	0.0041915346	0.0031411652	0.0031611025	1.0063471	2.0E-5	0.041133516	0.032771327	0.03282936	1.0017709	6.0E-5
7.2	7.093979E-5	4.856038E-5	4.856038E-5	1.0	0.0	3.0399222E-4	2.0809946E-4	2.1809738E-4	1.048044	1.0E-5	0.0036948253	0.0025306947	0.002550644	1.007883	2.0E-5	0.03633994	0.026765294	0.026823688	1.0021818	6.0E-5
7.3	6.193693E-5	3.3198106E-5	3.3198106E-5	1.0	0.0	2.6541698E-4	1.4226984E-4	1.5226842E-4	1.070279	1.0E-5	0.0032266637	0.0017307615	0.0017507268	1.0115356	2.0E-5	0.031802133	0.01875288	0.018801942	1.0026163	5.0E-5
7.4	5.906492E-5	3.1109885E-5	3.1109885E-5	1.0	0.0	2.5311083E-4	1.3332127E-4	1.4331994E-4	1.0749968	1.0E-5	0.0030772698	0.0016219798	0.0016419473	1.0123106	2.0E-5	0.030350044	0.017621895	0.01766119	1.0022299	4.0E-5
7.5	5.424296E-5	2.8459817E-5	2.8459817E-5	1.0	0.0	2.324491E-4	1.2196495E-4	1.3196374E-4	1.0819808	1.0E-5	0.002826395	0.0014839134	0.0015038837	1.0134579	2.0E-5	0.027907165	0.01616249	0.016201844	1.0024348	4.0E-5
7.6	4.43084E-5	2.2948061E-5	2.2948061E-5	1.0	0.0	1.8987931E-4	9.8345125E-5	1.08344146E-4	1.1016728	1.0E-5	0.0023093296	0.0011966946	0.0012066826	1.0083463	1.0E-5	0.022854783	0.0130316	0.013041469	1.0007573	1.0E-5
7.7	4.118098E-5	2.1852466E-5	2.1852466E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7647797E-4	9.3650066E-5	1.0364913E-4	1.1067705	1.0E-5	0.002146502	0.0011395935	0.0011495821	1.0087651	1.0E-5	0.021258866	0.0124221295	0.012432005	1.000795	1.0E-5
7.8	3.5408906E-5	2.140431E-5	2.140431E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5174363E-4	9.172953E-5	1.0172862E-4	1.1090062	1.0E-5	0.0018459131	0.0011162353	0.0011262241	1.0089487	1.0E-5	0.018306552	0.012159584	0.012169462	1.0008124	1.0E-5
7.9	2.5860836E-5	1.9892343E-5	1.9892343E-5	1.0	0.0	1.10827445E-4	8.525011E-5	9.5249256E-5	1.1172919	1.0E-5	0.001348489	0.0010374262	0.0010474158	1.0096292	1.0E-5	0.013403354	0.011264697	0.011274585	1.0008777	1.0E-5
8.0	1.9777332E-5	1.7038314E-5	1.7038314E-5	1.0	0.0	8.4757245E-5	7.30193E-5	8.301857E-5	1.1369401	1.0E-5	0.0010314309	8.886476E-4	8.9863874E-4	1.0112431	1.0E-5	0.010266567	0.009667982	0.009677886	1.0010244	1.0E-5
8.1	1.468494E-5	1.3912712E-5	1.3912712E-5	1.0	0.0	6.293394E-5	5.9624548E-5	6.962395E-5	1.1677061	1.0E-5	7.6595135E-4	7.2568737E-4	7.356801E-4	1.01377	1.0E-5	0.0076331664	0.007924909	0.00793483	1.0012518	1.0E-5
8.2	8.63836E-6	6.410733E-6	6.410733E-6	1.0	0.0	3.7021015E-5	2.7474282E-5	2.7474282E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5063766E-4	3.3444815E-4	3.3444815E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004497249	0.0037571283	0.0037571283	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.2443514E-7	9.2443514E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.961859E-6	3.961859E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.823459E-5	4.823459E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	5.622288E-4	5.622288E-4	1.0	0.0

Contra Costa Shear Zone (connector) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.3187427E-5	1.4115833E-5	6.411513E-5	4.542072	5.0E-5	5.6516317E-5	6.0495153E-5	1.1049213E-4	1.8264625	5.0E-5	6.878689E-4	7.363025E-4	8.2623627E-4	1.1221423	9.0E-5	0.006857436	0.0073449197	0.007464038	1.0162178	1.2E-4
6.1	1.3187427E-5	1.4115833E-5	6.411513E-5	4.542072	5.0E-5	5.6516317E-5	6.0495153E-5	1.1049213E-4	1.8264625	5.0E-5	6.878689E-4	7.363025E-4	8.2623627E-4	1.1221423	9.0E-5	0.006857436	0.0073449197	0.007464038	1.0162178	1.2E-4
6.2	1.3187427E-5	1.4115833E-5	6.411513E-5	4.542072	5.0E-5	5.6516317E-5	6.0495153E-5	1.1049213E-4	1.8264625	5.0E-5	6.878689E-4	7.363025E-4	8.2623627E-4	1.1221423	9.0E-5	0.006857436	0.0073449197	0.007464038	1.0162178	1.2E-4
6.3	9.315374E-6	9.890142E-6	5.9889648E-5	6.055489	5.0E-5	3.992242E-5	4.2385658E-5	9.238354E-5	2.1795943	5.0E-5	4.8594706E-4	5.159273E-4	6.058809E-4	1.1743531	9.0E-5	0.004848858	0.005151733	0.005261166	1.021242	1.1E-4
6.4	9.315374E-6	9.890142E-6	5.9889648E-5	6.055489	5.0E-5	3.992242E-5	4.2385658E-5	9.238354E-5	2.1795943	5.0E-5	4.8594706E-4	5.159273E-4	6.058809E-4	1.1743531	9.0E-5	0.004848858	0.005151733	0.005261166	1.021242	1.1E-4
6.5	8.492638E-6	9.002254E-6	5.9001803E-5	6.554115	5.0E-5	3.639651E-5	3.8580536E-5	8.857861E-5	2.2959404	5.0E-5	4.430374E-4	4.6962016E-4	5.595779E-4	1.1915542	9.0E-5	0.0044215517	0.0046906387	0.0048001227	1.023341	1.1E-4
6.6	8.402072E-6	8.902834E-6	5.890239E-5	6.6161385	5.0E-5	3.6008387E-5	3.8154467E-5	8.815256E-5	2.3104124	5.0E-5	4.383139E-4	4.64435E-4	5.543932E-4	1.1936939	9.0E-5	0.0043745036	0.0046390044	0.0047484944	1.023602	1.1E-4
6.7	7.383587E-6	7.808613E-6	5.780822E-5	7.403136	5.0E-5	3.164356E-5	3.346507E-5	8.34634E-5	2.4940453	5.0E-5	3.8519225E-4	4.0736314E-4	4.973265E-4	1.2208431	9.0E-5	0.0038452526	0.004070399	0.0041799513	1.0269144	1.1E-4
6.8	6.004921E-6	6.3237235E-6	5.6323406E-5	8.906684	5.0E-5	2.5735122E-5	2.7101392E-5	7.710004E-5	2.8448737	5.0E-5	3.1328006E-4	3.2991005E-4	4.1988035E-4	1.2727116	9.0E-5	0.0031283877	0.003298283	0.0034079202	1.0332407	1.1E-4
6.9	5.505255E-6	5.77492E-6	5.577463E-5	9.658079	5.0E-5	2.3593739E-5	2.4749423E-5	7.474818E-5	3.020199	5.0E-5	2.872159E-4	3.01283E-4	3.912559E-4	1.2986325	9.0E-5	0.0028684495	0.003012817	0.0031224855	1.0364007	1.1E-4
7.0	4.891922E-6	5.10419E-6	4.5103985E-5	8.8366585	4.0E-5	2.096521E-5	2.187492E-5	6.1874045E-5	2.8285382	4.0E-5	2.5522153E-4	2.6629496E-4	3.4627365E-4	1.3003387	8.0E-5	0.0025492862	0.002663822	0.0027635556	1.0374401	1.0E-4
7.1	4.3599E-6	4.506476E-6	4.4506298E-5	9.876075	4.0E-5	1.868515E-5	1.931333E-5	5.9312555E-5	3.0710685	4.0E-5	2.2746796E-4	2.3511468E-4	3.1509588E-4	1.3401794	8.0E-5	0.0022723526	0.002352716	0.0024524808	1.042404	1.0E-4
7.2	3.7647926E-6	3.855233E-6	4.3855078E-5	11.375467	4.0E-5	1.6134725E-5	1.6522325E-5	5.652166E-5	3.4209268	4.0E-5	1.9642258E-4	2.0114098E-4	2.811249E-4	1.397651	8.0E-5	0.0019624906	0.0020136365	0.0021134352	1.0495614	1.0E-4
7.3	2.3179882E-6	2.4357926E-6	2.2435745E-5	9.21086	2.0E-5	9.934198E-6	1.0439069E-5	3.0438861E-5	2.9158597	2.0E-5	1.20942146E-4	1.2708831E-4	1.6708323E-4	1.3147018	4.0E-5	0.0012087635	0.0012741816	0.001324118	1.0391909	5.0E-5
7.4	1.8378355E-6	1.95975E-6	2.1959711E-5	11.205363	2.0E-5	7.876414E-6	8.398902E-6	2.8398734E-5	3.3812437	2.0E-5	9.5891126E-5	1.0225188E-4	1.2224982E-4	1.1955755	2.0E-5	9.584976E-4	0.0010260158	0.0010459953	1.0194728	2.0E-5
7.5	9.840493E-7	1.094863E-6	2.1094842E-5	19.267105	2.0E-5	4.2173474E-6	4.692262E-6	2.4692168E-5	5.2623167	2.0E-5	5.1344992E-5	5.7126803E-5	7.712566E-5	1.3500783	2.0E-5	5.133313E-4	5.747728E-4	5.9476134E-4	1.0347763	2.0E-5
7.6	3.1602997E-7	3.959423E-7	3.959423E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3544135E-6	1.6968944E-6	1.6968944E-6	1.0	0.0	1.648986E-5	2.0659496E-5	2.0659496E-5	1.0	0.0	1.6488635E-4	2.1004128E-4	2.1004128E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.2125788E-7	2.9953011E-7	2.9953011E-7	1.0	0.0	9.482477E-7	1.2836998E-6	1.2836998E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1544855E-5	1.5628935E-5	1.5628935E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1544255E-4	1.5970896E-4	1.5970896E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.0509553E-7	1.5700324E-7	1.5700324E-7	1.0	0.0	4.5040935E-7	6.7287084E-7	6.7287084E-7	1.0	0.0	5.48372E-6	8.192172E-6	8.192172E-6	1.0	0.0	5.4835844E-5	8.41572E-5	8.41572E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.029319E-8	1.0106028E-7	1.0106028E-7	1.0	0.0	2.5839938E-7	4.3311542E-7	4.3311542E-7	1.0	0.0	3.1460077E-6	5.2731675E-6	5.2731675E-6	1.0	0.0	3.1459633E-5	5.4241966E-5	5.4241966E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	3.531068E-8	7.111384E-8	7.111384E-8	1.0	0.0	1.5133148E-7	3.0477355E-7	3.0477355E-7	1.0	0.0	1.8424593E-6	3.710612E-6	3.710612E-6	1.0	0.0	1.842444E-5	3.817106E-5	3.817106E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	3.5238246E-10	6.791604E-10	6.791604E-10	1.0	0.0	1.5102107E-9	2.9106877E-9	2.9106877E-9	1.0	0.0	1.8386816E-8	3.5437623E-8	3.5437623E-8	1.0	0.0	1.8386814E-7	3.6193876E-7	3.6193876E-7	1.0	0.0

Mount Diablo Thrust South

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.2377444E-5	2.7074939E-5	8.707331E-5	3.2160115	6.0E-5	9.5899806E-5	1.1603143E-4	1.9602214E-4	1.6893884	8.0E-5	0.0011669548	0.0014119666	0.0015018396	1.0636508	9.0E-5	0.011608457	0.014049984	0.014168298	1.008421	1.2E-4
6.1	2.2377444E-5	2.7074939E-5	8.707331E-5	3.2160115	6.0E-5	9.5899806E-5	1.1603143E-4	1.9602214E-4	1.6893884	8.0E-5	0.0011669548	0.0014119666	0.0015018396	1.0636508	9.0E-5	0.011608457	0.014049984	0.014168298	1.008421	1.2E-4
6.2	2.2377444E-5	2.7074939E-5	8.707331E-5	3.2160115	6.0E-5	9.5899806E-5	1.1603143E-4	1.9602214E-4	1.6893884	8.0E-5	0.0011669548	0.0014119666	0.0015018396	1.0636508	9.0E-5	0.011608457	0.014049984	0.014168298	1.008421	1.2E-4
6.3	2.2377444E-5	2.7074939E-5	8.707331E-5	3.2160115	6.0E-5	9.5899806E-5	1.1603143E-4	1.9602214E-4	1.6893884	8.0E-5	0.0011669548	0.0014119666	0.0015018396	1.0636508	9.0E-5	0.011608457	0.014049984	0.014168298	1.008421	1.2E-4
6.4	1.2228463E-5	1.4809616E-5	6.4808875E-5	4.376135	5.0E-5	5.2406645E-5	6.346832E-5	1.234645E-4	1.9452937	6.0E-5	6.378641E-4	7.7246566E-4	8.324193E-4	1.0776134	6.0E-5	0.0063603627	0.007699476	0.007768937	1.0090215	7.0E-5
6.5	1.2228463E-5	1.4809616E-5	6.4808875E-5	4.376135	5.0E-5	5.2406645E-5	6.346832E-5	1.234645E-4	1.9452937	6.0E-5	6.378641E-4	7.7246566E-4	8.324193E-4	1.0776134	6.0E-5	0.0063603627	0.007699476	0.007768937	1.0090215	7.0E-5
6.6	1.2068118E-5	1.4613443E-5	6.4612716E-5	4.4214573	5.0E-5	5.1719482E-5	6.2627616E-5	1.2262385E-4	1.9579839	6.0E-5	6.2950276E-4	7.6223735E-4	8.221916E-4	1.0786556	6.0E-5	0.006277225	0.007597897	0.0076673655	1.0091431	7.0E-5
6.7	1.1499428E-5	1.3933117E-5	6.393242E-5	4.5885224	5.0E-5	4.9282335E-5	5.9712063E-5	1.19708486E-4	2.0047622	6.0E-5	5.9984723E-4	7.2676473E-4	7.867211E-4	1.0824977	6.0E-5	0.0059823063	0.0072455355	0.0073150285	1.0095911	7.0E-5
6.8	8.82118E-6	1.0878713E-5	6.087817E-5	5.596082	5.0E-5	3.780451E-5	4.6622252E-5	1.0661945E-4	2.286879	6.0E-5	4.601727E-4	5.674837E-4	6.2744966E-4	1.1056699	6.0E-5	0.0045922096	0.0056612804	0.005730884	1.0122947	7.0E-5
6.9	8.047112E-6	9.984563E-6	5.9984064E-5	6.0076804	5.0E-5	3.4487166E-5	4.2790314E-5	1.02787744E-4	2.4021266	6.0E-5	4.1980037E-4	5.2085286E-4	5.808216E-4	1.1151357	6.0E-5	0.004190082	0.0051972186	0.005266855	1.0133988	7.0E-5
7.0	6.2574763E-6	7.787509E-6	3.7787275E-5	4.852293	3.0E-5	2.681748E-5	3.3374632E-5	7.3373296E-5	2.1984751	4.0E-5	3.264539E-4	4.0626412E-4	4.4624787E-4	1.0984181	4.0E-5	0.0032597475	0.0040559117	0.004105709	1.0122777	5.0E-5
7.1	3.6485903E-6	4.534635E-6	1.4534589E-5	3.205239	1.0E-5	1.5636722E-5	1.9434008E-5	3.943362E-5	2.0291038	2.0E-5	1.9036046E-4	2.3658377E-4	2.5657905E-4	1.0845166	2.0E-5	0.0019019748	0.0023633079	0.002393237	1.0126641	3.0E-5
7.2	2.3034274E-6	2.9197722E-6	1.2919743E-5	4.424915	1.0E-5	9.871795E-6	1.2513251E-5	2.2513126E-5	1.7991428	1.0E-5	1.2018247E-4	1.5233843E-4	1.623369E-4	1.0656333	1.0E-5	0.0012011749	0.0015223884	0.0015323733	1.0065587	1.0E-5
7.3	1.224035E-6	1.5739557E-6	1.5739557E-6	1.0	0.0	5.245854E-6	6.7455076E-6	6.7455076E-6	1.0	0.0	6.38664E-5	8.2123566E-5	8.2123566E-5	1.0	0.0	6.384805E-4	8.20899E-4	8.20899E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	5.1601154E-7	6.745953E-7	6.745953E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2114762E-6	2.8911197E-6	2.8911197E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6924388E-5	3.519883E-5	3.519883E-5	1.0	0.0	2.6921128E-4	3.5187995E-4	3.5187995E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	3.552894E-7	4.6743648E-7	4.6743648E-7	1.0	0.0	1.5226678E-6	2.0032978E-6	2.0032978E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8538323E-5	2.4389892E-5	2.4389892E-5	1.0	0.0	1.8536777E-4	2.438706E-4	2.438706E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.3124082E-7	1.7248887E-7	1.7248887E-7	1.0	0.0	5.6246057E-7	7.392378E-7	7.392378E-7	1.0	0.0	6.8479358E-6	9.000192E-6	9.000192E-6	1.0	0.0	6.8477246E-5	8.997573E-5	8.997573E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.6193022E-8	4.7836096E-8	4.7836096E-8	1.0	0.0	1.5511293E-7	2.0501183E-7	2.0501183E-7	1.0	0.0	1.8884983E-6	2.4960173E-6	2.4960173E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8884823E-5	2.4961155E-5	2.4961155E-5	1.0	0.0

Quien Sabe 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.729899E-5	7.1511895E-5	1.0150975E-4	1.4194807	3.0E-5	1.5984301E-4	3.0638228E-4	3.663639E-4	1.1957737	6.0E-5	0.0019443515	0.0037142253	0.003803891	1.0241412	9.0E-5	0.019274272	0.035600297	0.03570638	1.0029799	1.1E-4
6.1	1.7825725E-5	3.3500874E-5	6.349987E-5	1.8954691	3.0E-5	7.639373E-5	1.4353124E-4	1.9352406E-4	1.3483062	5.0E-5	9.296967E-4	0.0017416225	0.0018214831	1.0458542	8.0E-5	0.009258169	0.016830584	0.0169289	1.0058416	1.0E-4
6.2	4.8865336E-6	7.919335E-6	3.7919097E-5	4.7881665	3.0E-5	2.0942118E-5	3.3939137E-5	8.393744E-5	2.4731753	5.0E-5	2.5494045E-4	4.1277174E-4	4.9273873E-4	1.1937317	8.0E-5	0.0025464818	0.004067207	0.0041668005	1.0244869	1.0E-4
6.3	3.858491E-6	5.887943E-6	3.5887766E-5	6.095128	3.0E-5	1.6536285E-5	2.5233825E-5	7.5232565E-5	2.9814174	5.0E-5	2.0131067E-4	3.071833E-4	3.8715874E-4	1.2603508	8.0E-5	0.002011284	0.0030494381	0.0031491332	1.0326929	1.0E-4
6.4	3.0771805E-6	4.4720605E-6	3.4471926E-5	7.708287	3.0E-5	1.318785E-5	1.9165847E-5	6.916489E-5	3.6087573	5.0E-5	1.6055023E-4	2.3332171E-4	3.1330306E-4	1.3427942	8.0E-5	0.001604343	0.0023287165	0.0024284835	1.0428421	1.0E-4
6.5	2.5081235E-6	3.538563E-6	3.3538458E-5	9.477987	3.0E-5	1.0749056E-5	1.5165191E-5	6.516443E-5	4.296974	5.0E-5	1.308619E-4	1.8462208E-4	2.646073E-4	1.4332376	8.0E-5	0.0013078486	0.0018489716	0.0019487868	1.0539842	1.0E-4
6.6	1.7505364E-6	2.454972E-6	3.24549E-5	13.220069	3.0E-5	7.502277E-6	1.052127E-5	6.0520742E-5	5.752228	5.0E-5	9.13364E-5	1.2808968E-4	2.0807944E-4	1.6244824	8.0E-5	9.129886E-4	0.0012844966	0.0013843682	1.0777515	1.0E-4
6.7	1.505737E-6	2.1099495E-6	3.2109885E-5	15.21832	3.0E-5	6.4531428E-6	9.042613E-6	4.904225E-5	5.42346	4.0E-5	7.8564175E-5	1.1008888E-4	1.8008117E-4	1.6357799	7.0E-5	7.853641E-4	0.0011049659	0.0011948665	1.0813605	9.0E-5
6.8	1.2924105E-6	1.7864814E-6	3.178643E-5	17.792755	3.0E-5	5.5388905E-6	7.65633E-6	4.7656024E-5	6.2243953	4.0E-5	6.74339E-5	9.32124E-5	1.6320587E-4	1.750903	7.0E-5	6.741344E-4	9.352956E-4	0.0010252114	1.0961362	9.0E-5
6.9	8.9075286E-7	1.1492675E-6	2.1149244E-5	18.402369	2.0E-5	3.8175067E-6	4.925424E-6	3.4925277E-5	7.090816	3.0E-5	4.6477155E-5	5.996562E-5	9.9963225E-5	1.6670089	4.0E-5	4.6467435E-4	6.0289423E-4	6.5286405E-4	1.0828832	5.0E-5
7.0	6.6891175E-7	8.7007186E-7	2.0870055E-5	23.986588	2.0E-5	2.8667614E-6	3.7288753E-6	2.37288E-5	6.363528	2.0E-5	3.4902263E-5	4.5398316E-5	6.5397406E-5	1.4405249	2.0E-5	3.4896782E-4	4.5633066E-4	4.8631697E-4	1.0657119	3.0E-5
7.1	4.4205015E-7	5.4928967E-7	2.0549278E-5	37.41064	2.0E-5	1.8944993E-6	2.3540974E-6	2.235405E-5	9.495805	2.0E-5	2.3065284E-5	2.8660937E-5	4.8660364E-5	1.6977938	2.0E-5	2.3062891E-4	2.8796645E-4	3.079607E-4	1.0694325	2.0E-5
7.2	1.6620965E-7	1.6181488E-7	1.0161813E-5	62.799004	1.0E-5	7.123269E-7	6.934922E-7	1.0693485E-5	15.419763	1.0E-5	8.672545E-6	8.4432395E-6	1.8443154E-5	2.1843696	1.0E-5	8.6722066E-5	8.4666965E-5	9.466612E-5	1.1180998	1.0E-5
7.3	1.2142488E-7	1.18458E-7	1.0118457E-5	85.4181	1.0E-5	5.2039223E-7	5.0767704E-7	1.0507672E-5	20.697552	1.0E-5	6.335757E-6	6.180954E-6	1.6180893E-5	2.6178632	1.0E-5	6.3355765E-5	6.18793E-5	7.1878676E-5	1.161595	1.0E-5
7.4	2.4192937E-8	2.4883343E-8	2.4883343E-8	1.0	0.0	1.0368401E-7	1.066429E-7	1.066429E-7	1.0	0.0	1.2623522E-6	1.2983767E-6	1.2983767E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2623449E-5	1.3006259E-5	1.3006259E-5	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.4432802E-8	1.47100785E-8	1.47100785E-8	1.0	0.0	6.185486E-8	6.3043196E-8	6.3043196E-8	1.0	0.0	7.530827E-7	7.675507E-7	7.675507E-7	1.0	0.0	7.530801E-6	7.695194E-6	7.695194E-6	1.0	0.0

Bennett Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.3893934E-5	2.8376438E-5	3.8376154E-5	1.352395	1.0E-5	1.0239855E-4	1.2160869E-4	1.4160626E-4	1.164442	2.0E-5	0.0012459893	0.0014797663	0.0015197071	1.0269912	4.0E-5	0.012390262	0.014721514	0.014810189	1.0060235	9.0E-5
6.1	2.3893934E-5	2.8376438E-5	3.8376154E-5	1.352395	1.0E-5	1.0239855E-4	1.2160869E-4	1.4160626E-4	1.164442	2.0E-5	0.0012459893	0.0014797663	0.001509722	1.0202435	3.0E-5	0.012390262	0.014721514	0.014790484	1.0046849	7.0E-5
6.2	1.6657146E-5	1.9960768E-5	2.9960567E-5	1.5009727	1.0E-5	7.138582E-5	8.554415E-5	1.05542436E-4	1.2337774	2.0E-5	8.6877577E-4	0.0010411447	0.0010711135	1.0287844	3.0E-5	0.008653872	0.01038064	0.010440016	1.00572	6.0E-5
6.3	1.6657146E-5	1.9960768E-5	2.9960567E-5	1.5009727	1.0E-5	7.138582E-5	8.554415E-5	1.05542436E-4	1.2337774	2.0E-5	8.6877577E-4	0.0010411447	0.0010711135	1.0287844	3.0E-5	0.008653872	0.01038064	0.010440016	1.00572	6.0E-5
6.4	1.29418495E-5	1.5659361E-5	2.5659207E-5	1.6385856	1.0E-5	5.546389E-5	6.7110566E-5	8.710923E-5	1.2979957	2.0E-5	6.7506364E-4	8.16896E-4	8.368796E-4	1.0244629	2.0E-5	0.0067301663	0.008155766	0.008205359	1.0060806	5.0E-5
6.5	1.2582504E-5	1.5224761E-5	2.5224608E-5	1.6568147	1.0E-5	5.39239E-5	6.524808E-5	8.524678E-5	1.3065025	2.0E-5	6.563257E-4	7.942369E-4	8.1422104E-4	1.0251614	2.0E-5	0.006543907	0.007930845	0.007980448	1.0062546	5.0E-5
6.6	1.0846706E-5	1.3114316E-5	2.3114186E-5	1.7625154	1.0E-5	4.6485053E-5	5.620373E-5	7.62026E-5	1.3558283	2.0E-5	5.6580856E-4	6.841948E-4	7.041811E-4	1.0292114	2.0E-5	0.005643701	0.0068375906	0.006877317	1.00581	4.0E-5
6.7	1.6803231E-6	2.4176213E-6	1.2417598E-5	5.1362867	1.0E-5	7.2013645E-6	1.0361194E-5	2.036109E-5	1.9651297	1.0E-5	8.7673085E-5	1.2614037E-4	1.361391E-4	1.0792668	1.0E-5	8.76385E-4	0.0012648324	0.0012748198	1.0078962	1.0E-5
6.8	1.4609833E-6	2.1325682E-6	1.21325465E-5	5.689172	1.0E-5	6.261342E-6	9.139547E-6	1.9139456E-5	2.0941362	1.0E-5	7.6229175E-5	1.1126837E-4	1.2126726E-4	1.0898628	1.0E-5	7.620303E-4	0.0011162009	0.0011261897	1.0089489	1.0E-5
6.9	1.3492396E-6	1.9828221E-6	1.1982803E-5	6.0433064	1.0E-5	5.7824427E-6	8.497782E-6	1.8497698E-5	2.1767676	1.0E-5	7.0398964E-5	1.0345565E-4	1.1345462E-4	1.0966498	1.0E-5	7.037667E-4	0.0010381236	0.0010481132	1.0096228	1.0E-5
7.0	1.2347921E-6	1.824649E-6	1.1824631E-5	6.4804964	1.0E-5	5.291955E-6	7.819901E-6	1.7819822E-5	2.2787786	1.0E-5	6.442765E-5	9.520319E-5	1.0520224E-4	1.1050285	1.0E-5	6.440897E-4	9.556671E-4	9.656575E-4	1.0104539	1.0E-5
7.1	1.1262973E-6	1.6695814E-6	1.1669565E-5	6.9895153	1.0E-5	4.8269794E-6	7.1553295E-6	1.7155258E-5	2.3975496	1.0E-5	5.876689E-5	8.7112705E-5	9.7111835E-5	1.1147838	1.0E-5	5.875135E-4	8.748116E-4	8.8480284E-4	1.0114211	1.0E-5
7.2	9.351744E-7	1.3914994E-6	1.1391486E-5	8.186482	1.0E-5	4.007884E-6	5.963555E-6	1.5963495E-5	2.6768422	1.0E-5	4.8794896E-5	7.2603885E-5	8.260316E-5	1.1377237	1.0E-5	4.878418E-4	7.2980346E-4	7.3979615E-4	1.0136924	1.0E-5
7.3	8.5039534E-7	1.2668265E-6	1.1266814E-5	8.893731	1.0E-5	3.6445463E-6	5.429245E-6	1.542919E-5	2.8418667	1.0E-5	4.437145E-5	6.609908E-5	7.609842E-5	1.151278	1.0E-5	4.436259E-4	6.645168E-4	6.7451014E-4	1.0150385	1.0E-5
7.4	6.7875015E-7	9.81835E-7	1.0981825E-5	11.185001	1.0E-5	2.908926E-6	4.2078573E-6	1.4207815E-5	3.3764966	1.0E-5	3.54156E-5	5.122947E-5	6.122896E-5	1.1951902	1.0E-5	3.5409955E-4	5.152713E-4	5.252662E-4	1.0193973	1.0E-5
7.5	5.826867E-7	8.373414E-7	1.0837333E-5	12.94255	1.0E-5	2.4972264E-6	3.5886012E-6	1.3588566E-5	3.786591	1.0E-5	3.0403306E-5	4.3690354E-5	5.3689917E-5	1.2288735	1.0E-5	3.0399146E-4	4.3951644E-4	4.4951207E-4	1.0227423	1.0E-5
7.6	2.7734902E-7	3.7555367E-7	3.7555367E-7	1.0	0.0	1.1886381E-6	1.6095147E-6	1.6095147E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4471572E-5	1.9595665E-5	1.9595665E-5	1.0	0.0	1.447063E-4	1.9690391E-4	1.9690391E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.0530888E-7	1.4194745E-7	1.4194745E-7	1.0	0.0	4.513237E-7	6.0834606E-7	6.0834606E-7	1.0	0.0	5.4948523E-6	7.406588E-6	7.406588E-6	1.0	0.0	5.4947162E-5	7.483804E-5	7.483804E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.2714258E-8	2.1069583E-8	2.1069583E-8	1.0	0.0	5.448968E-8	9.029821E-8	9.029821E-8	1.0	0.0	6.6341164E-7	1.0993801E-6	1.0993801E-6	1.0	0.0	6.6340967E-6	1.1378484E-5	1.1378484E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	4.075888E-9	8.339512E-9	8.339512E-9	1.0	0.0	1.7468091E-8	3.5740765E-8	3.5740765E-8	1.0	0.0	2.12674E-7	4.3514373E-7	4.3514373E-7	1.0	0.0	2.1267379E-6	4.581378E-6	4.581378E-6	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.9126138E-9	4.3840176E-9	4.3840176E-9	1.0	0.0	8.196917E-9	1.8788645E-8	1.8788645E-8	1.0	0.0	9.9797454E-8	2.2875174E-7	2.2875174E-7	1.0	0.0	9.979741E-7	2.3871128E-6	2.3871128E-6	1.0	0.0

Contra Costa (Lafayette) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	6.655419E-6	6.9944144E-6	3.6994203E-5	5.289107	3.0E-5	2.8522913E-5	2.9975728E-5	5.9974827E-5	2.0007796	3.0E-5	3.472111E-4	3.6489536E-4	4.2487346E-4	1.1643707	6.0E-5	0.0034666911	0.0036476327	0.0037373044	1.0245836	9.0E-5
6.1	6.655419E-6	6.9944144E-6	3.6994203E-5	5.289107	3.0E-5	2.8522913E-5	2.9975728E-5	5.9974827E-5	2.0007796	3.0E-5	3.472111E-4	3.6489536E-4	4.2487346E-4	1.1643707	6.0E-5	0.0034666911	0.0036476327	0.0037373044	1.0245836	9.0E-5
6.2	6.6254133E-6	6.962785E-6	3.6962578E-5	5.308591	3.0E-5	2.839432E-5	2.9840177E-5	5.9839283E-5	2.005326	3.0E-5	3.45646E-4	3.6324558E-4	4.232238E-4	1.1651175	6.0E-5	0.003451089	0.0036311888	0.003720862	1.0246953	9.0E-5
6.3	6.6254133E-6	6.962785E-6	3.6962578E-5	5.308591	3.0E-5	2.839432E-5	2.9840177E-5	5.9839283E-5	2.005326	3.0E-5	3.45646E-4	3.6324558E-4	4.232238E-4	1.1651175	6.0E-5	0.003451089	0.0036311888	0.003720862	1.0246953	9.0E-5
6.4	6.6254133E-6	6.962785E-6	3.6962578E-5	5.308591	3.0E-5	2.839432E-5	2.9840177E-5	5.9839283E-5	2.005326	3.0E-5	3.45646E-4	3.6324558E-4	4.232238E-4	1.1651175	6.0E-5	0.003451089	0.0036311888	0.003720862	1.0246953	9.0E-5
6.5	6.606445E-6	6.9422967E-6	3.694209E-5	5.3213067	3.0E-5	2.8313027E-5	2.9752371E-5	5.975148E-5	2.008293	3.0E-5	3.4465658E-4	3.621769E-4	4.2215516E-4	1.165605	6.0E-5	0.0034412253	0.003620537	0.003710211	1.0247682	9.0E-5
6.6	6.59966E-6	6.9348175E-6	3.693461E-5	5.325967	3.0E-5	2.828395E-5	2.9720319E-5	5.9719427E-5	2.0093803	3.0E-5	3.4430268E-4	3.6178678E-4	4.217651E-4	1.1657835	6.0E-5	0.0034376972	0.0036166485	0.003706323	1.0247949	9.0E-5
6.7	6.5570975E-6	6.8887225E-6	3.6888516E-5	5.354914	3.0E-5	2.8101544E-5	2.9522773E-5	5.9521888E-5	2.0161347	3.0E-5	3.4208258E-4	3.5938245E-4	4.193609E-4	1.166893	6.0E-5	0.0034155648	0.0035926832	0.0036823598	1.0249609	9.0E-5
6.8	5.472255E-6	5.7299576E-6	3.5729787E-5	6.235611	3.0E-5	2.345231E-5	2.4556733E-5	5.4555996E-5	2.2216308	3.0E-5	2.8549446E-4	2.9893767E-4	3.5891973E-4	1.2006507	6.0E-5	0.0028512797	0.0029898775	0.0030796083	1.0300115	9.0E-5
6.9	5.092346E-6	5.3195654E-6	3.5319405E-5	6.6395288	3.0E-5	2.1824157E-5	2.279794E-5	5.2797255E-5	2.3158784	3.0E-5	2.656767E-4	2.7752994E-4	3.3751328E-4	1.2161329	6.0E-5	0.002653593	0.0027763473	0.0028660975	1.0323267	9.0E-5
7.0	4.5525762E-6	4.7316657E-6	2.4731571E-5	5.226821	2.0E-5	1.9510895E-5	2.0278412E-5	4.0278006E-5	1.9862505	2.0E-5	2.3751926E-4	2.46862E-4	2.9684964E-4	1.2024924	5.0E-5	0.0023726553	0.002470382	0.0025501845	1.0323037	8.0E-5
7.1	4.261504E-6	4.409982E-6	2.4409894E-5	5.5351458	2.0E-5	1.826346E-5	1.8899787E-5	3.889941E-5	2.058193	2.0E-5	2.2233493E-4	2.3008088E-4	2.800694E-4	1.2172649	5.0E-5	0.002221126	0.0023029207	0.0023827364	1.0346586	8.0E-5
7.2	3.654114E-6	3.748033E-6	2.3747958E-5	6.3361125	2.0E-5	1.5660395E-5	1.60629E-5	3.6062578E-5	2.245085	2.0E-5	1.9064861E-4	1.9554852E-4	2.4553874E-4	1.255641	5.0E-5	0.0019048514	0.0019582123	0.0020380558	1.0407736	8.0E-5
7.3	2.1595129E-6	2.2869328E-6	1.228691E-5	5.3726587	1.0E-5	9.255023E-6	9.801104E-6	1.9801006E-5	2.0202832	1.0E-5	1.1267407E-4	1.1932196E-4	1.3931957E-4	1.1675937	2.0E-5	0.0011261696	0.001197033	0.0012269971	1.0250319	3.0E-5
7.4	1.7532738E-6	1.8732186E-6	1.18732E-5	6.3383956	1.0E-5	7.5140088E-6	8.028055E-6	1.8027975E-5	2.2456217	1.0E-5	9.147922E-5	9.7737226E-5	1.0773625E-4	1.1023052	1.0E-5	9.144157E-4	9.812728E-4	9.91263E-4	1.0101808	1.0E-5
7.5	9.387875E-7	1.050481E-6	1.1050471E-5	10.519438	1.0E-5	4.0233685E-6	4.502054E-6	1.4502009E-5	3.2211983	1.0E-5	4.8983413E-5	5.4811142E-5	6.481059E-5	1.1824347	1.0E-5	4.897262E-4	5.5199565E-4	5.6199013E-4	1.0181061	1.0E-5
7.6	2.7471893E-7	3.555819E-7	3.555819E-7	1.0	0.0	1.1773664E-6	1.5239215E-6	1.5239215E-6	1.0	0.0	1.433434E-5	1.8553588E-5	1.8553588E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4333417E-4	1.893116E-4	1.893116E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.0057985E-7	2.792333E-7	2.792333E-7	1.0	0.0	8.596276E-7	1.1967135E-6	1.1967135E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0465916E-5	1.4569891E-5	1.4569891E-5	1.0	0.0	1.0465423E-4	1.4944012E-4	1.4944012E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	8.7403905E-8	1.3423579E-7	1.3423579E-7	1.0	0.0	3.745881E-7	5.752961E-7	5.752961E-7	1.0	0.0	4.5606007E-6	7.004208E-6	7.004208E-6	1.0	0.0	4.560507E-5	7.2241324E-5	7.2241324E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	4.740233E-8	8.387139E-8	8.387139E-8	1.0	0.0	2.0315284E-7	3.5944876E-7	3.5944876E-7	1.0	0.0	2.473383E-6	4.37628E-6	4.37628E-6	1.0	0.0	2.4733554E-5	4.5230918E-5	4.5230918E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.99164E-8	6.10923E-8	6.10923E-8	1.0	0.0	1.2821314E-7	2.618241E-7	2.618241E-7	1.0	0.0	1.5609938E-6	3.187704E-6	3.187704E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5609829E-5	3.2829954E-5	3.2829954E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	4.431212E-10	8.0603024E-10	8.0603024E-10	1.0	0.0	1.899091E-9	3.4544145E-9	3.4544145E-9	1.0	0.0	2.3121432E-8	4.2057497E-8	4.2057497E-8	1.0	0.0	2.312143E-7	4.2910173E-7	4.2910173E-7	1.0	0.0

Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.7907707E-5	2.7740884E-5	3.7740607E-5	1.3604687	1.0E-5	1.19598975E-4	1.1888478E-4	1.4888121E-4	1.2523152	3.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014465855	0.0014865276	1.0276114	4.0E-5	0.014456532	0.0144014545	0.014490158	1.0061594	9.0E-5
6.1	2.7907707E-5	2.7740884E-5	3.7740607E-5	1.3604687	1.0E-5	1.19598975E-4	1.1888478E-4	1.4888121E-4	1.2523152	3.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014465855	0.0014865276	1.0276114	4.0E-5	0.014456532	0.0144014545	0.014490158	1.0061594	9.0E-5
6.2	2.7907707E-5	2.7740884E-5	3.7740607E-5	1.3604687	1.0E-5	1.19598975E-4	1.1888478E-4	1.4888121E-4	1.2523152	3.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014465855	0.0014865276	1.0276114	4.0E-5	0.014456532	0.0144014545	0.014490158	1.0061594	9.0E-5
6.3	2.7907707E-5	2.7740884E-5	3.7740607E-5	1.3604687	1.0E-5	1.19598975E-4	1.1888478E-4	1.4888121E-4	1.2523152	3.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014465855	0.0014865276	1.0276114	4.0E-5	0.014456532	0.0144014545	0.014490158	1.0061594	9.0E-5
6.4	2.7907707E-5	2.7740884E-5	3.7740607E-5	1.3604687	1.0E-5	1.19598975E-4	1.1888478E-4	1.4888121E-4	1.2523152	3.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014465855	0.0014865276	1.0276114	4.0E-5	0.014456532	0.0144014545	0.014490158	1.0061594	9.0E-5
6.5	1.7990213E-5	1.6770538E-5	1.6770538E-5	1.0	0.0	7.709863E-5	7.187213E-5	8.187141E-5	1.139126	1.0E-5	9.382716E-4	8.747585E-4	8.8474975E-4	1.0114217	1.0E-5	0.0093431985	0.008737177	0.008776827	1.0045382	4.0E-5
6.6	9.650407E-6	7.566505E-6	7.566505E-6	1.0	0.0	4.135823E-5	3.242752E-5	4.2427197E-5	1.30837	1.0E-5	5.0342013E-4	3.947414E-4	4.0473745E-4	1.025323	1.0E-5	0.005022812	0.0039587086	0.00398859	1.0075482	3.0E-5
6.7	9.62828E-6	7.5442695E-6	7.5442695E-6	1.0	0.0	4.1263404E-5	3.2332227E-5	4.2331903E-5	1.309279	1.0E-5	5.022661E-4	3.9358163E-4	4.035777E-4	1.0253977	1.0E-5	0.0050113243	0.0039471523	0.003977034	1.0075704	3.0E-5
6.8	6.887523E-6	4.564746E-6	4.564746E-6	1.0	0.0	2.9517621E-5	1.9563064E-5	2.9562869E-5	1.5111574	1.0E-5	3.5931775E-4	2.3815651E-4	2.4815413E-4	1.0419792	1.0E-5	0.0035873733	0.0023967912	0.0024267193	1.0124867	3.0E-5
6.9	6.2722347E-6	3.905223E-6	3.905223E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6880729E-5	1.6736572E-5	2.6736405E-5	1.5974839	1.0E-5	3.2722374E-4	2.0375077E-4	2.1374872E-4	1.0490695	1.0E-5	0.003267423	0.002053404	0.002073363	1.00972	2.0E-5
7.0	5.5320347E-6	3.130195E-6	3.130195E-6	1.0	0.0	2.3708504E-5	1.3415062E-5	2.3414928E-5	1.7454207	1.0E-5	2.8861282E-4	1.6331799E-4	1.7331635E-4	1.0612203	1.0E-5	0.0028823826	0.0016497307	0.0016597143	1.0060515	1.0E-5
7.1	3.8794055E-6	1.3784596E-6	1.3784596E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6625918E-5	5.9076706E-6	5.9076706E-6	1.0	0.0	2.0240174E-4	7.192353E-5	7.192353E-5	1.0	0.0	0.002022175	7.3657767E-4	7.3657767E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	3.4813652E-6	1.0568672E-6	1.0568672E-6	1.0	0.0	1.49200505E-5	4.5294228E-6	4.5294228E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8163648E-4	5.5144337E-5	5.5144337E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0018148809	5.6886865E-4	5.6886865E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	3.1682148E-6	8.585629E-7	8.585629E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3577992E-5	3.67955E-6	3.67955E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6529951E-4	4.4797605E-5	4.4797605E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0016517661	4.6541792E-4	4.6541792E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.9707667E-6	8.1861816E-7	8.1861816E-7	1.0	0.0	1.2731795E-5	3.5083588E-6	3.5083588E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5499859E-4	4.2713433E-5	4.2713433E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0015489052	4.4435036E-4	4.4435036E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	2.3462758E-6	6.7238534E-7	6.7238534E-7	1.0	0.0	1.0055429E-5	2.8816482E-6	2.8816482E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2241797E-4	3.5083507E-5	3.5083507E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0012235056	3.661908E-4	3.661908E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	2.112783E-6	5.9208884E-7	5.9208884E-7	1.0	0.0	9.054753E-6	2.5375211E-6	2.5375211E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1023604E-4	3.0893883E-5	3.0893883E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0011018137	3.2383803E-4	3.2383803E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.7022471E-6	4.809558E-7	4.809558E-7	1.0	0.0	7.2953244E-6	2.0612376E-6	2.0612376E-6	1.0	0.0	8.881695E-5	2.5095282E-5	2.5095282E-5	1.0	0.0	8.878146E-4	2.6440847E-4	2.6440847E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	7.230914E-7	4.245956E-7	4.245956E-7	1.0	0.0	3.0989595E-6	1.8196943E-6	1.8196943E-6	1.0	0.0	3.772918E-5	2.2154554E-5	2.2154554E-5	1.0	0.0	3.7722773E-4	2.3440235E-4	2.3440235E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	4.3588446E-7	3.8774874E-7	3.8774874E-7	1.0	0.0	1.868075E-6	1.6617793E-6	1.6617793E-6	1.0	0.0	2.2743576E-5	2.0231975E-5	2.0231975E-5	1.0	0.0	2.2741247E-4	2.1316479E-4	2.1316479E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.3317523E-7	3.5406657E-7	3.5406657E-7	1.0	0.0	9.99322E-7	1.5174272E-6	1.5174272E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2166677E-5	1.8474522E-5	1.8474522E-5	1.0	0.0	1.21660116E-4	1.9403055E-4	1.9403055E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.4662456E-7	2.261001E-7	2.261001E-7	1.0	0.0	6.283908E-7	9.69E-7	9.69E-7	1.0	0.0	7.650631E-6	1.1797513E-5	1.1797513E-5	1.0	0.0	7.650368E-5	1.2314542E-4	1.2314542E-4	1.0	0.0
8.2	5.4931775E-9	5.6944054E-9	5.6944054E-9	1.0	0.0	2.3542189E-8	2.4404596E-8	2.4404596E-8	1.0	0.0	2.8662612E-7	2.9712592E-7	2.9712592E-7	1.0	0.0	2.8662573E-6	3.0805597E-6	3.0805597E-6	1.0	0.0

Mount Diablo Thrust North CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.479628E-5	1.8878469E-5	4.88779E-5	2.589082	3.0E-5	6.341109E-5	8.0905265E-5	1.20902034E-4	1.4943653	4.0E-5	7.717565E-4	9.845862E-4	0.0010445272	1.0608793	6.0E-5	0.007690818	0.009803002	0.009882217	1.0080807	8.0E-5
6.1	1.479628E-5	1.8878469E-5	4.88779E-5	2.589082	3.0E-5	6.341109E-5	8.0905265E-5	1.20902034E-4	1.4943653	4.0E-5	7.717565E-4	9.845862E-4	0.0010445272	1.0608793	6.0E-5	0.007690818	0.009803002	0.009882217	1.0080807	8.0E-5
6.2	1.479628E-5	1.8878469E-5	4.88779E-5	2.589082	3.0E-5	6.341109E-5	8.0905265E-5	1.20902034E-4	1.4943653	4.0E-5	7.717565E-4	9.845862E-4	0.0010445272	1.0608793	6.0E-5	0.007690818	0.009803002	0.009882217	1.0080807	8.0E-5
6.3	1.479628E-5	1.8878469E-5	4.88779E-5	2.589082	3.0E-5	6.341109E-5	8.0905265E-5	1.20902034E-4	1.4943653	4.0E-5	7.717565E-4	9.845862E-4	0.0010445272	1.0608793	6.0E-5	0.007690818	0.009803002	0.009882217	1.0080807	8.0E-5
6.4	1.479628E-5	1.8878469E-5	4.88779E-5	2.589082	3.0E-5	6.341109E-5	8.0905265E-5	1.20902034E-4	1.4943653	4.0E-5	7.717565E-4	9.845862E-4	0.0010445272	1.0608793	6.0E-5	0.007690818	0.009803002	0.009882217	1.0080807	8.0E-5
6.5	1.479628E-5	1.8878469E-5	4.88779E-5	2.589082	3.0E-5	6.341109E-5	8.0905265E-5	1.20902034E-4	1.4943653	4.0E-5	7.717565E-4	9.845862E-4	0.0010445272	1.0608793	6.0E-5	0.007690818	0.009803002	0.009882217	1.0080807	8.0E-5
6.6	1.479016E-5	1.887156E-5	4.8870996E-5	2.5896637	3.0E-5	6.338486E-5	8.087566E-5	1.2087243E-4	1.4945464	4.0E-5	7.714374E-4	9.842261E-4	0.0010441671	1.0609016	6.0E-5	0.007687649	0.009799432	0.009878648	1.0080837	8.0E-5
6.7	1.479016E-5	1.887156E-5	4.8870996E-5	2.5896637	3.0E-5	6.338486E-5	8.087566E-5	1.2087243E-4	1.4945464	4.0E-5	7.714374E-4	9.842261E-4	0.0010441671	1.0609016	6.0E-5	0.007687649	0.009799432	0.009878648	1.0080837	8.0E-5
6.8	1.4771667E-5	1.8850258E-5	4.884969E-5	2.5914602	3.0E-5	6.330561E-5	8.0784375E-5	1.20781144E-4	1.4951053	4.0E-5	7.704732E-4	9.831156E-4	0.0010430567	1.0609704	6.0E-5	0.007678074	0.009788426	0.009867643	1.0080929	8.0E-5
6.9	1.2548234E-5	1.589788E-5	4.5897403E-5	2.887014	3.0E-5	5.3777036E-5	6.8132016E-5	1.08129294E-4	1.5870554	4.0E-5	6.545387E-4	8.291952E-4	8.891455E-4	1.0722994	6.0E-5	0.006526142	0.008262539	0.008341879	1.0096023	8.0E-5
7.0	1.01754185E-5	1.2876055E-5	4.287567E-5	3.3298762	3.0E-5	4.360821E-5	5.5181936E-5	9.517973E-5	1.7248349	4.0E-5	5.308006E-4	6.716346E-4	7.3159434E-4	1.0892743	6.0E-5	0.005295345	0.006697191	0.0067766556	1.0118653	8.0E-5
7.1	8.398341E-6	1.0609468E-5	2.0609361E-5	1.9425443	1.0E-5	3.5992394E-5	4.5468358E-5	6.546745E-5	1.4398463	2.0E-5	4.3811928E-4	5.5343774E-4	5.9341564E-4	1.0722355	4.0E-5	0.0043725655	0.0055213314	0.0055810004	1.0108069	6.0E-5
7.2	6.024759E-6	7.686506E-6	1.7686429E-5	2.3009713	1.0E-5	2.582014E-5	3.2941756E-5	4.294143E-5	1.3035561	1.0E-5	3.1431485E-4	4.009928E-4	4.3098076E-4	1.0747843	3.0E-5	0.0031387066	0.004003235	0.004033115	1.0074639	3.0E-5
7.3	3.2099704E-6	4.152104E-6	4.152104E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3756943E-5	1.779461E-5	1.779461E-5	1.0	0.0	1.674779E-4	2.1662802E-4	2.1662802E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0016735174	0.002164431	0.002164431	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.2041513E-6	2.8845598E-6	2.8845598E-6	1.0	0.0	9.4463285E-6	1.2362341E-5	1.2362341E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1500298E-4	1.5050118E-4	1.5050118E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011494348	0.0015042302	0.0015042302	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.8869501E-6	2.478174E-6	2.478174E-6	1.0	0.0	8.086904E-6	1.0620703E-5	1.0620703E-5	1.0	0.0	9.845361E-5	1.2929946E-4	1.2929946E-4	1.0	0.0	9.841E-4	0.001292489	0.001292489	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.3012458E-6	1.7054128E-6	1.7054128E-6	1.0	0.0	5.576756E-6	7.308892E-6	7.308892E-6	1.0	0.0	6.7894885E-5	8.8982175E-5	8.8982175E-5	1.0	0.0	6.787415E-4	8.8965334E-4	8.8965334E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.603383E-7	4.7399055E-7	4.7399055E-7	1.0	0.0	1.5443061E-6	2.0313867E-6	2.0313867E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8801764E-5	2.4731859E-5	2.4731859E-5	1.0	0.0	1.8800174E-4	2.4725546E-4	2.4725546E-4	1.0	0.0

Silver Creek 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.5229125E-6	4.0664545E-6	1.4066414E-5	3.4591346	1.0E-5	1.5098109E-5	1.7427548E-5	2.7427373E-5	1.5737941	1.0E-5	1.8380396E-4	2.1216011E-4	2.621495E-4	1.2356211	5.0E-5	0.0018365202	0.002119901	0.0021897526	1.0329504	7.0E-5
6.1	3.5229125E-6	4.0664545E-6	1.4066414E-5	3.4591346	1.0E-5	1.5098109E-5	1.7427548E-5	2.7427373E-5	1.5737941	1.0E-5	1.8380396E-4	2.1216011E-4	2.621495E-4	1.2356211	5.0E-5	0.0018365202	0.002119901	0.0021897526	1.0329504	7.0E-5
6.2	2.6363234E-6	3.1685854E-6	1.3168554E-5	4.1559725	1.0E-5	1.129848E-5	1.3579581E-5	2.3579445E-5	1.7363898	1.0E-5	1.375503E-4	1.6531892E-4	2.1531065E-4	1.3023957	5.0E-5	0.0013746519	0.0016522538	0.0017221381	1.0422964	7.0E-5
6.3	2.5275126E-6	3.0581882E-6	1.30581575E-5	4.2699	1.0E-5	1.0832152E-5	1.3106455E-5	2.3106324E-5	1.7629728	1.0E-5	1.3187347E-4	1.5955947E-4	2.095515E-4	1.3133128	5.0E-5	0.0013179524	0.0015947425	0.0016646308	1.0438242	7.0E-5
6.4	2.178732E-6	2.7274712E-6	1.2727444E-5	4.66639	1.0E-5	9.337389E-6	1.168911E-5	2.1688993E-5	1.8554871	1.0E-5	1.1367678E-4	1.4230565E-4	1.9229854E-4	1.3513064	5.0E-5	0.0011361865	0.0014224363	0.0014923367	1.0491413	7.0E-5
6.5	2.0341574E-6	2.5862894E-6	1.2586263E-5	4.8665333	1.0E-5	8.717788E-6	1.108405E-5	2.1083939E-5	1.9021873	1.0E-5	1.061339E-4	1.3493998E-4	1.8493323E-4	1.3704851	5.0E-5	0.0010608323	0.001348871	0.0014187766	1.0518253	7.0E-5
6.6	1.8856827E-6	2.4167969E-6	1.2416773E-5	5.137698	1.0E-5	8.0814725E-6	1.035766E-5	2.0357556E-5	1.965459	1.0E-5	9.838748E-5	1.2609723E-4	1.7609094E-4	1.3964694	5.0E-5	9.834393E-4	0.0012605471	0.0013304588	1.0554614	7.0E-5
6.7	1.6844668E-6	2.1733606E-6	1.2173339E-5	5.601159	1.0E-5	7.2191233E-6	9.31437E-6	1.9314277E-5	2.0736	1.0E-5	8.788928E-5	1.1339656E-4	1.5339203E-4	1.3527044	4.0E-5	8.785453E-4	0.0011336765	0.0011936085	1.0528651	6.0E-5
6.8	1.5177161E-6	1.9457755E-6	1.1945756E-5	6.139329	1.0E-5	6.504481E-6	8.339011E-6	1.8338927E-5	2.199173	1.0E-5	7.918918E-5	1.0152274E-4	1.315197E-4	1.2954702	3.0E-5	7.9160964E-4	0.0010150525	0.0010650017	1.0492085	5.0E-5
6.9	1.3437394E-6	1.7025101E-6	1.1702493E-5	6.87367	1.0E-5	5.7588704E-6	7.2964513E-6	1.729638E-5	2.3705192	1.0E-5	7.011199E-5	8.883068E-5	9.882979E-5	1.1125637	1.0E-5	7.0089876E-4	8.882401E-4	9.0822234E-4	1.0224965	2.0E-5
7.0	1.1563575E-6	1.4743301E-6	1.1474315E-5	7.782731	1.0E-5	4.9558084E-6	6.3185425E-6	1.631848E-5	2.5826335	1.0E-5	6.03353E-5	7.692554E-5	8.6924774E-5	1.1299858	1.0E-5	6.0318917E-4	7.692774E-4	7.8926206E-4	1.0259784	2.0E-5
7.1	8.602183E-7	1.1276669E-6	1.1127656E-5	9.867857	1.0E-5	3.6866445E-6	4.832849E-6	1.4832801E-5	3.0691628	1.0E-5	4.4883975E-5	5.883835E-5	6.883776E-5	1.1699471	1.0E-5	4.4874908E-4	5.885158E-4	6.08504E-4	1.0339638	2.0E-5
7.2	6.788407E-7	8.970781E-7	8.970781E-7	1.0	0.0	2.9093142E-6	3.8446146E-6	3.8446146E-6	1.0	0.0	3.5420322E-5	4.680718E-5	4.680718E-5	1.0	0.0	3.541468E-4	4.6826125E-4	4.7825655E-4	1.0213456	1.0E-5
7.3	5.1292045E-7	6.997037E-7	6.997037E-7	1.0	0.0	2.1982287E-6	2.9987268E-6	2.9987268E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6763106E-5	3.650889E-5	3.650889E-5	1.0	0.0	2.6759884E-4	3.653169E-4	3.653169E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.820994E-7	5.320006E-7	5.320006E-7	1.0	0.0	1.6375678E-6	2.2800007E-6	2.2800007E-6	1.0	0.0	1.9937206E-5	2.7758655E-5	2.7758655E-5	1.0	0.0	1.9935417E-4	2.778399E-4	2.778399E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	2.2292595E-7	3.2761912E-7	3.2761912E-7	1.0	0.0	9.553966E-7	1.4040811E-6	1.4040811E-6	1.0	0.0	1.16318915E-5	1.7094553E-5	1.7094553E-5	1.0	0.0	1.16312825E-4	1.7122038E-4	1.7122038E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.420587E-7	2.272279E-7	2.272279E-7	1.0	0.0	6.088228E-7	9.738335E-7	9.738335E-7	1.0	0.0	7.4123927E-6	1.1856358E-5	1.1856358E-5	1.0	0.0	7.412145E-5	1.1884545E-4	1.1884545E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.1250075E-7	1.8512036E-7	1.8512036E-7	1.0	0.0	4.82146E-7	7.933727E-7	7.933727E-7	1.0	0.0	5.8701116E-6	9.659269E-6	9.659269E-6	1.0	0.0	5.8699567E-5	9.6882526E-5	9.6882526E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	8.592761E-8	1.5046287E-7	1.5046287E-7	1.0	0.0	3.682611E-7	6.4484067E-7	6.4484067E-7	1.0	0.0	4.48357E-6	7.850907E-6	7.850907E-6	1.0	0.0	4.4834796E-5	7.8789046E-5	7.8789046E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.156529E-8	1.1800853E-7	1.1800853E-7	1.0	0.0	2.638512E-7	5.0575073E-7	5.0575073E-7	1.0	0.0	3.212384E-6	6.157498E-6	6.157498E-6	1.0	0.0	3.2123375E-5	6.181091E-5	6.181091E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.9230547E-8	5.8881803E-8	5.8881803E-8	1.0	0.0	1.2527377E-7	2.5235056E-7	2.5235056E-7	1.0	0.0	1.525207E-6	3.0723638E-6	3.0723638E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5251966E-5	3.085266E-5	3.085266E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	5.6062213E-9	8.642482E-9	8.642482E-9	1.0	0.0	2.4026663E-8	3.703921E-8	3.703921E-8	1.0	0.0	2.925246E-7	4.509523E-7	4.509523E-7	1.0	0.0	2.925242E-6	4.5484817E-6	4.5484817E-6	1.0	0.0

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.0131365E-5	3.2866636E-5	4.2866304E-5	1.3042499	1.0E-5	1.2912804E-4	1.4085E-4	1.6084718E-4	1.141975	2.0E-5	0.001571	0.0017136058	0.0017335716	1.0116513	2.0E-5	0.015599402	0.017014781	0.01706393	1.0028887	5.0E-5
6.1	3.0131365E-5	3.2866636E-5	4.2866304E-5	1.3042499	1.0E-5	1.2912804E-4	1.4085E-4	1.6084718E-4	1.141975	2.0E-5	0.001571	0.0017136058	0.0017335716	1.0116513	2.0E-5	0.015599402	0.017014781	0.01706393	1.0028887	5.0E-5
6.2	3.0131365E-5	3.2866636E-5	4.2866304E-5	1.3042499	1.0E-5	1.2912804E-4	1.4085E-4	1.6084718E-4	1.141975	2.0E-5	0.001571	0.0017136058	0.0017335716	1.0116513	2.0E-5	0.015599402	0.017014781	0.01706393	1.0028887	5.0E-5
6.3	1.6998249E-5	1.8364868E-5	2.8364684E-5	1.5445079	1.0E-5	7.28476E-5	7.870431E-5	8.870352E-5	1.1270479	1.0E-5	8.865586E-4	9.578225E-4	9.6781296E-4	1.0104303	1.0E-5	0.0088303005	0.009538875	0.009568589	1.003115	3.0E-5
6.4	1.6998249E-5	1.8364868E-5	2.8364684E-5	1.5445079	1.0E-5	7.28476E-5	7.870431E-5	8.870352E-5	1.1270479	1.0E-5	8.865586E-4	9.578225E-4	9.6781296E-4	1.0104303	1.0E-5	0.0088303005	0.009538875	0.009568589	1.003115	3.0E-5
6.5	1.27470785E-5	1.3717707E-5	2.371757E-5	1.7289748	1.0E-5	5.4629192E-5	5.8788908E-5	6.878832E-5	1.1700901	1.0E-5	6.649074E-4	7.1553024E-4	7.255231E-4	1.0139656	1.0E-5	0.0066292146	0.007133321	0.007163107	1.0041757	3.0E-5
6.6	1.2739422E-5	1.3709788E-5	2.370965E-5	1.7293959	1.0E-5	5.4596385E-5	5.875497E-5	6.875438E-5	1.1701884	1.0E-5	6.645082E-4	7.151174E-4	7.251102E-4	1.0139737	1.0E-5	0.0066252467	0.007129218	0.007159004	1.004178	3.0E-5
6.7	1.0160109E-5	1.0904656E-5	1.0904656E-5	1.0	0.0	4.35426E-5	4.6733443E-5	4.6733443E-5	1.0	0.0	5.300022E-4	5.688382E-4	5.688382E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005287399	0.0056745354	0.0056844787	1.0017523	1.0E-5
6.8	8.349859E-6	8.94795E-6	8.94795E-6	1.0	0.0	3.578462E-5	3.8347825E-5	3.8347825E-5	1.0	0.0	4.3559066E-4	4.6679043E-4	4.6679043E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004347378	0.0046586664	0.00466862	1.0021366	1.0E-5
6.9	5.193639E-6	5.5458727E-6	5.5458727E-6	1.0	0.0	2.2258262E-5	2.3767829E-5	2.3767829E-5	1.0	0.0	2.7096065E-4	2.8933815E-4	2.8933815E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0027063051	0.0028899366	0.0028999075	1.0034503	1.0E-5
7.0	4.359381E-6	4.6513633E-6	4.6513633E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8682927E-5	1.993428E-5	1.993428E-5	1.0	0.0	2.274409E-4	2.426758E-4	2.426758E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0022720827	0.002424402	0.0024343778	1.0041147	1.0E-5
7.1	3.0398533E-6	3.2367604E-6	3.2367604E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3027877E-5	1.3871772E-5	1.3871772E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5860285E-4	1.6887837E-4	1.6887837E-4	1.0	0.0	0.001584897	0.0016877588	0.001697742	1.005915	1.0E-5
7.2	1.642335E-6	1.7365675E-6	1.7365675E-6	1.0	0.0	7.0385595E-6	7.4424224E-6	7.4424224E-6	1.0	0.0	8.569109E-5	9.06098E-5	9.06098E-5	1.0	0.0	8.5658056E-4	9.05932E-4	9.05932E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	3.356842E-7	3.3037912E-7	3.3037912E-7	1.0	0.0	1.4386458E-6	1.4159098E-6	1.4159098E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7515373E-5	1.7238566E-5	1.7238566E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7513991E-4	1.7237238E-4	1.7237238E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.1973483E-7	2.1083514E-7	2.1083514E-7	1.0	0.0	9.417204E-7	9.0357884E-7	9.0357884E-7	1.0	0.0	1.1465385E-5	1.1001018E-5	1.1001018E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1464794E-4	1.1000477E-4	1.1000477E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.1944135E-7	1.0761784E-7	1.0761784E-7	1.0	0.0	5.118914E-7	4.6121923E-7	4.6121923E-7	1.0	0.0	6.23226E-6	5.61533E-6	5.61533E-6	1.0	0.0	6.2320854E-5	5.6151894E-5	5.6151894E-5	1.0	0.0
7.6	4.636058E-8	3.3929375E-8	3.3929375E-8	1.0	0.0	1.9868818E-7	1.454116E-7	1.454116E-7	1.0	0.0	2.419026E-6	1.7703848E-6	1.7703848E-6	1.0	0.0	2.4189996E-5	1.770371E-5	1.770371E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.8588572E-8	8.313095E-9	8.313095E-9	1.0	0.0	7.9665305E-8	3.562755E-8	3.562755E-8	1.0	0.0	9.699246E-7	4.3376534E-7	4.3376534E-7	1.0	0.0	9.699204E-6	4.337645E-6	4.337645E-6	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.7960154E-9	8.1011775E-10	8.1011775E-10	1.0	0.0	1.1982923E-8	3.471933E-9	3.471933E-9	1.0	0.0	1.4589209E-7	4.227078E-8	4.227078E-8	1.0	0.0	1.4589199E-6	4.2270776E-7	4.2270776E-7	1.0	0.0

Sargent 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.7327867E-5	3.695988E-5	5.695914E-5	1.5411073	2.0E-5	1.5996677E-4	1.5839268E-4	1.7838951E-4	1.1262485	2.0E-5	0.0019458556	0.0019271404	0.0019670634	1.0207162	4.0E-5	0.01928905	0.019181134	0.019239983	1.0030681	6.0E-5
6.1	2.3771476E-5	1.8653765E-5	3.8653394E-5	2.0721495	2.0E-5	1.01873775E-4	7.994276E-5	9.994116E-5	1.250159	2.0E-5	0.0012396075	9.7294943E-4	0.0010029202	1.030804	3.0E-5	0.012327154	0.009731593	0.009771204	1.0040703	4.0E-5
6.2	2.3112721E-5	1.7882176E-5	3.788182E-5	2.1184123	2.0E-5	9.9050754E-5	7.663613E-5	9.6634605E-5	1.2609535	2.0E-5	0.0012052758	9.3272596E-4	9.6269796E-4	1.0321338	3.0E-5	0.011987597	0.009332759	0.009372386	1.004246	4.0E-5
6.3	1.728509E-5	1.0590238E-5	1.0590238E-5	1.0	0.0	7.407686E-5	4.538622E-5	4.538622E-5	1.0	0.0	9.015125E-4	5.5248366E-4	5.6247815E-4	1.0180901	1.0E-5	0.008978641	0.0055525783	0.005572467	1.0035819	2.0E-5
6.4	1.48395575E-5	7.5716694E-6	7.5716694E-6	1.0	0.0	6.3596555E-5	3.2449825E-5	3.2449825E-5	1.0	0.0	7.7401294E-4	3.9504282E-4	4.0503888E-4	1.0253037	1.0E-5	0.0077132257	0.0039841146	0.003994075	1.0024999	1.0E-5
6.5	1.4358964E-5	7.0082538E-6	7.0082538E-6	1.0	0.0	6.1536964E-5	3.0035244E-5	3.0035244E-5	1.0	0.0	7.48955E-4	3.6565543E-4	3.7565175E-4	1.0273381	1.0E-5	0.0074643586	0.0036912444	0.0037012075	1.0026991	1.0E-5
6.6	9.772591E-6	1.4613462E-6	1.4613462E-6	1.0	0.0	4.188186E-5	6.2628974E-6	6.2628974E-6	1.0	0.0	5.097923E-4	7.624814E-5	7.624814E-5	1.0	0.0	0.005086244	7.9935027E-4	7.9935027E-4	1.0	0.0
6.7	9.752745E-6	1.4400015E-6	1.4400015E-6	1.0	0.0	4.179681E-5	6.1714204E-6	6.1714204E-6	1.0	0.0	5.0875737E-4	7.5134485E-5	7.5134485E-5	1.0	0.0	0.005075942	7.8822166E-4	7.8822166E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	9.608213E-6	1.3223588E-6	1.3223588E-6	1.0	0.0	4.1177405E-5	5.6672397E-6	5.6672397E-6	1.0	0.0	5.012196E-4	6.899648E-5	6.899648E-5	1.0	0.0	0.005000906	7.265715E-4	7.265715E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	9.427164E-6	1.203437E-6	1.203437E-6	1.0	0.0	4.04015E-5	5.157577E-6	5.157577E-6	1.0	0.0	4.9177726E-4	6.279171E-5	6.279171E-5	1.0	0.0	0.004906904	6.638726E-4	6.638726E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	9.247601E-6	1.0670393E-6	1.0670393E-6	1.0	0.0	3.9631974E-5	4.573018E-6	4.573018E-6	1.0	0.0	4.8241246E-4	5.5675086E-5	5.5675086E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0048136655	5.9221394E-4	5.9221394E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	8.995454E-6	9.01681E-7	9.01681E-7	1.0	0.0	3.8551374E-5	3.8643416E-6	3.8643416E-6	1.0	0.0	4.6926187E-4	4.7047357E-5	4.7047357E-5	1.0	0.0	0.004682722	5.050253E-4	5.050253E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	8.520861E-6	5.927711E-7	5.927711E-7	1.0	0.0	3.6517464E-5	2.540445E-6	2.540445E-6	1.0	0.0	4.445094E-4	3.092949E-5	3.092949E-5	1.0	0.0	0.004436213	3.420992E-4	3.420992E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	8.043592E-6	4.0437797E-7	4.0437797E-7	1.0	0.0	3.4472083E-5	1.7330473E-6	1.7330473E-6	1.0	0.0	4.196168E-4	2.1099648E-5	2.1099648E-5	1.0	0.0	0.004188253	2.4237145E-4	2.4237145E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	7.662316E-6	3.4683057E-7	3.4683057E-7	1.0	0.0	3.2838085E-5	1.486416E-6	1.486416E-6	1.0	0.0	3.9973034E-4	1.8096966E-5	1.8096966E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0039901207	2.1031426E-4	2.1031426E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	6.961638E-6	2.814638E-7	2.814638E-7	1.0	0.0	2.9835252E-5	1.2062729E-6	1.2062729E-6	1.0	0.0	3.6318362E-4	1.4686275E-5	1.4686275E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0036259065	1.7225512E-4	1.7225512E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	6.282332E-6	2.0467388E-7	2.0467388E-7	1.0	0.0	2.6924003E-5	8.771735E-7	8.771735E-7	1.0	0.0	3.2775043E-4	1.0679536E-5	1.0679536E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0032726745	1.2735954E-4	1.2735954E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	4.934408E-6	6.250479E-8	6.250479E-8	1.0	0.0	2.114729E-5	2.6787765E-7	2.6787765E-7	1.0	0.0	2.5743784E-4	3.2614055E-6	3.2614055E-6	1.0	0.0	0.0025713982	4.1126703E-5	4.1126703E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.373212E-6	4.5165205E-8	4.5165205E-8	1.0	0.0	1.0170869E-5	1.9356516E-7	1.9356516E-7	1.0	0.0	1.238233E-4	2.3566533E-6	2.3566533E-6	1.0	0.0	0.0012375432	3.1041625E-5	3.1041625E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.8227792E-6	3.9494225E-8	3.9494225E-8	1.0	0.0	7.811887E-6	1.6926096E-7	1.6926096E-7	1.0	0.0	9.510558E-5	2.0607504E-6	2.0607504E-6	1.0	0.0	9.5064886E-4	2.7574908E-5	2.7574908E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.9095137E-7	1.5834422E-8	1.5834422E-8	1.0	0.0	8.1836276E-7	6.7861805E-8	6.7861805E-8	1.0	0.0	9.963521E-6	8.262172E-7	8.262172E-7	1.0	0.0	9.963074E-5	1.00438E-5	1.00438E-5	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.556969E-4	9.291796E-4	9.4916107E-4	1.0215044	2.0E-5	0.0023793848	0.0039769653	0.004006846	1.0075134	3.0E-5	0.028586963	0.0472548	0.04729291	1.0008065	4.0E-5	0.25176284	0.35915485	0.3591933	1.000107	6.0E-5
6.1	1.925858E-4	3.468228E-4	3.668159E-4	1.0576463	2.0E-5	8.2510663E-4	0.001485686	0.0015156415	1.0201627	3.0E-5	0.0099994885	0.01794151	0.017980793	1.0021895	4.0E-5	0.095613256	0.16050516	0.16053875	1.0002092	4.0E-5
6.2	9.4306815E-5	1.9587204E-4	2.0587008E-4	1.0510437	1.0E-5	4.0410945E-4	8.391829E-4	8.591661E-4	1.0238127	2.0E-5	0.0049089384	0.010169398	0.010199092	1.00292	3.0E-5	0.048019063	0.09766999	0.097697064	1.0002772	3.0E-5
6.3	9.283051E-5	1.9278796E-4	2.0278603E-4	1.0518605	1.0E-5	3.9778434E-4	8.259738E-4	8.4595726E-4	1.0241939	2.0E-5	0.0048322747	0.010010079	0.010039778	1.002967	3.0E-5	0.047285385	0.09631463	0.09634174	1.0002815	3.0E-5
6.4	9.138826E-5	1.9032435E-4	2.0032245E-4	1.0525318	1.0E-5	3.916052E-4	8.154221E-4	8.354058E-4	1.0245072	2.0E-5	0.0047573745	0.0098827835	0.009912487	1.0030056	3.0E-5	0.046568092	0.095186286	0.095213436	1.0002851	3.0E-5
6.5	9.000255E-5	1.8783059E-4	1.978287E-4	1.0532295	1.0E-5	3.8566816E-4	8.0474117E-4	8.247251E-4	1.0248327	2.0E-5	0.0046854047	0.009753943	0.009783651	1.0030457	3.0E-5	0.045878403	0.09404698	0.09407416	1.000289	3.0E-5
6.6	8.8109264E-5	1.8448134E-4	1.944795E-4	1.054196	1.0E-5	3.7755648E-4	7.90396E-4	8.103802E-4	1.0252838	2.0E-5	0.0045870654	0.009580858	0.00961057	1.0031012	3.0E-5	0.04493529	0.092527375	0.0925546	1.0002942	3.0E-5
6.7	8.738073E-5	1.8311685E-4	1.9311502E-4	1.0545999	1.0E-5	3.7443507E-4	7.845517E-4	8.0453604E-4	1.0254723	2.0E-5	0.0045492216	0.009510373	0.009540088	1.0031245	3.0E-5	0.04457213	0.09191709	0.09194433	1.0002964	3.0E-5
6.8	8.710195E-5	1.8254324E-4	1.9254143E-4	1.0547715	1.0E-5	3.7324068E-4	7.820949E-4	8.020793E-4	1.0255524	2.0E-5	0.0045347405	0.009480731	0.009510446	1.0031344	3.0E-5	0.04443313	0.09165517	0.09168242	1.0002973	3.0E-5
6.9	8.6801556E-5	1.8192714E-4	1.9192533E-4	1.054957	1.0E-5	3.7195362E-4	7.7945605E-4	7.9944043E-4	1.0256389	2.0E-5	0.0045191357	0.009448881	0.009478598	1.003145	3.0E-5	0.044283327	0.09137254	0.091399804	1.0002984	3.0E-5
7.0	8.5571606E-5	1.793532E-4	1.893514E-4	1.055746	1.0E-5	3.6668387E-4	7.6843135E-4	7.88416E-4	1.026007	2.0E-5	0.004455241	0.009315811	0.009345531	1.0031903	3.0E-5	0.043669727	0.09018781	0.09021511	1.0003027	3.0E-5
7.1	7.82589E-5	1.6369399E-4	1.7369234E-4	1.0610796	1.0E-5	3.3535215E-4	7.0135784E-4	7.213438E-4	1.0284961	2.0E-5	0.0040752706	0.008505797	0.008535542	1.003497	3.0E-5	0.040013418	0.082954966	0.08298247	1.0003316	3.0E-5
7.2	7.690929E-5	1.6097055E-4	1.7096894E-4	1.0621132	1.0E-5	3.2956956E-4	6.8969215E-4	7.096784E-4	1.0289785	2.0E-5	0.004005129	0.008364866	0.008394615	1.0035564	3.0E-5	0.0393371	0.081698015	0.08172557	1.0003372	3.0E-5
7.3	7.5543794E-5	1.5778166E-4	1.6778008E-4	1.0633687	1.0E-5	3.2371894E-4	6.760327E-4	6.9601915E-4	1.0295644	2.0E-5	0.003934157	0.008199824	0.008229578	1.0036286	3.0E-5	0.038652334	0.0802062	0.08023379	1.000344	3.0E-5
7.4	7.4214564E-5	1.5463094E-4	1.646294E-4	1.0646601	1.0E-5	3.1802364E-4	6.6253653E-4	6.8252324E-4	1.030167	2.0E-5	0.003865065	0.008036732	0.00806649	1.0037029	3.0E-5	0.03798529	0.07872291	0.07875054	1.0003511	3.0E-5
7.5	6.149578E-5	1.2229812E-4	1.322969E-4	1.0817574	1.0E-5	2.6352672E-4	5.2402966E-4	5.440192E-4	1.0381458	2.0E-5	0.0032037178	0.006361437	0.006391246	1.0046859	3.0E-5	0.03157923	0.06331343	0.06334153	1.0004438	3.0E-5
7.6	6.0643448E-5	1.204921E-4	1.304909E-4	1.082983	1.0E-5	2.598746E-4	5.1629264E-4	5.362823E-4	1.0387177	2.0E-5	0.0031593828	0.0062677846	0.0062975963	1.0047563	3.0E-5	0.031148417	0.06243907	0.062467195	1.0004505	3.0E-5
7.7	5.1652263E-5	1.01021215E-4	1.1102021E-4	1.0989791	1.0E-5	2.2134806E-4	4.3287626E-4	4.528676E-4	1.0461826	2.0E-5	0.002691582	0.0052575464	0.005287389	1.005676	3.0E-5	0.026592141	0.052848734	0.052877147	1.0005376	3.0E-5
7.8	4.8090482E-5	9.4134215E-5	1.0413327E-4	1.1062213	1.0E-5	2.060858E-4	4.0337E-4	4.2336193E-4	1.0495622	2.0E-5	0.0025062072	0.004899982	0.004929835	1.0060924	3.0E-5	0.024781305	0.049286913	0.049315434	1.0005786	3.0E-5
7.9	3.970278E-5	7.41721E-5	8.417136E-5	1.1348115	1.0E-5	1.7014367E-4	3.1784174E-4	3.3783537E-4	1.0629044	2.0E-5	0.002069531	0.0038628615	0.0038927458	1.0077362	3.0E-5	0.020503636	0.039058104	0.03908693	1.0007381	3.0E-5
8.0	2.8982335E-5	4.4976314E-5	4.4976314E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2420409E-4	1.927414E-4	2.0273947E-4	1.051873	1.0E-5	0.0015111357	0.0023441026	0.0023540792	1.004256	1.0E-5	0.015009012	0.02413597	0.024145728	1.0004044	1.0E-5
8.1	1.8836186E-5	2.111042E-5	2.111042E-5	1.0	0.0	8.0724014E-5	9.0470094E-5	1.0046919E-4	1.1105238	1.0E-5	9.823717E-4	0.0011009176	0.0011109066	1.0090734	1.0E-5	0.009780403	0.011756131	0.011766014	1.0008407	1.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	6.417038E-6	6.417038E-6	1.0	0.0	3.704486E-5	2.7501303E-5	2.7501303E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5092785E-4	3.3477703E-4	3.3477703E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0045001395	0.0037604058	0.0037604058	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.2443514E-7	9.2443514E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.961859E-6	3.961859E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.823459E-5	4.823459E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	5.622288E-4	5.622288E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	8.6200685E-5	2.934264E-5	2.934264E-5	1.0	3.6937918E-4	1.2574812E-4	1.3574687E-4	1.079514	1.0E-5	0.0044879215	0.0015299104	0.0015498798	1.0130527	2.0E-5	0.043983612	0.017021216	0.017080195	1.003465	6.0E-5
6.1	8.6200685E-5	2.934264E-5	2.934264E-5	1.0	3.6937918E-4	1.2574812E-4	1.3574687E-4	1.079514	1.0E-5	0.0044879215	0.0015299104	0.0015498798	1.0130527	2.0E-5	0.043983612	0.017021216	0.017080195	1.003465	6.0E-5
6.2	8.6200685E-5	2.934264E-5	2.934264E-5	1.0	3.6937918E-4	1.2574812E-4	1.3574687E-4	1.079514	1.0E-5	0.0044879215	0.0015299104	0.0015498798	1.0130527	2.0E-5	0.043983612	0.017021216	0.017080195	1.003465	6.0E-5
6.3	8.551163E-5	2.9005785E-5	2.9005785E-5	1.0	3.6642692E-4	1.243046E-4	1.3430335E-4	1.0804375	1.0E-5	0.004452125	0.00151236	0.0015323297	1.0132043	2.0E-5	0.043639794	0.016833795	0.016892785	1.0035043	6.0E-5
6.4	8.551163E-5	2.9005785E-5	2.9005785E-5	1.0	3.6642692E-4	1.243046E-4	1.3430335E-4	1.0804375	1.0E-5	0.004452125	0.00151236	0.0015323297	1.0132043	2.0E-5	0.043639794	0.016833795	0.016892785	1.0035043	6.0E-5
6.5	8.511146E-5	2.881059E-5	2.881059E-5	1.0	3.647124E-4	1.2346813E-4	1.3346688E-4	1.0809826	1.0E-5	0.004431336	0.0015021899	0.0015221599	1.0132939	2.0E-5	0.04344007	0.016725125	0.01678412	1.0035274	6.0E-5
6.6	8.4985084E-5	2.8736162E-5	2.8736162E-5	1.0	3.6417096E-4	1.2314918E-4	1.3314794E-4	1.0811924	1.0E-5	0.0044247704	0.0014983121	0.0015182821	1.0133283	2.0E-5	0.043376986	0.01668508	0.016744079	1.003536	6.0E-5
6.7	8.462618E-5	2.8550317E-5	2.8550317E-5	1.0	3.6263323E-4	1.2235278E-4	1.3235156E-4	1.0817208	1.0E-5	0.004406125	0.0014886293	0.0015085995	1.0134152	2.0E-5	0.043197807	0.016582405	0.01664141	1.0035583	6.0E-5
6.8	8.42337E-5	2.8434273E-5	2.8434273E-5	1.0	3.6095164E-4	1.2185549E-4	1.3185428E-4	1.0820544	1.0E-5	0.004385734	0.0014825831	0.0015025535	1.0134699	2.0E-5	0.043001823	0.016516924	0.016575933	1.0035726	6.0E-5
6.9	8.365989E-5	2.8222961E-5	2.8222961E-5	1.0	3.5849313E-4	1.20949946E-4	1.3094874E-4	1.0826688	1.0E-5	0.004355922	0.001471573	0.0014915436	1.0135709	2.0E-5	0.04271523	0.01640105	0.016460067	1.0035983	6.0E-5
7.0	8.30936E-5	2.796946E-5	2.796946E-5	1.0	3.560668E-4	1.1986362E-4	1.2986243E-4	1.0834181	1.0E-5	0.004326499	0.0014583648	0.0014783356	1.013694	2.0E-5	0.042432297	0.016264243	0.01631343	1.0030242	5.0E-5
7.1	8.041264E-5	2.7621483E-5	2.7621483E-5	1.0	3.4458007E-4	1.1837243E-4	1.2837125E-4	1.0844691	1.0E-5	0.0041871946	0.0014402337	0.0014602048	1.0138667	2.0E-5	0.041091725	0.016066952	0.016116148	1.003062	5.0E-5
7.2	7.8427016E-5	2.7001037E-5	2.7001037E-5	1.0	3.3607247E-4	1.15713614E-4	1.2571245E-4	1.0864103	1.0E-5	0.004084008	0.0014079049	0.0014278766	1.0141855	2.0E-5	0.040097635	0.015727395	0.01577661	1.0031291	5.0E-5
7.3	7.721087E-5	2.6770933E-5	2.6770933E-5	1.0	3.3086175E-4	1.1472754E-4	1.2472639E-4	1.0871531	1.0E-5	0.004020803	0.0013959148	0.0014158869	1.0143075	2.0E-5	0.03948827	0.0156027535	0.015651973	1.0031545	5.0E-5
7.4	7.3536525E-5	2.4663745E-5	2.4663745E-5	1.0	3.1511846E-4	1.0569749E-4	1.15696435E-4	1.0945996	1.0E-5	0.0038298194	0.001286109	0.0013060833	1.0155308	2.0E-5	0.037644852	0.014451146	0.014490568	1.002728	4.0E-5
7.5	6.806207E-5	2.215961E-5	2.215961E-5	1.0	2.9166197E-4	9.49663E-5	1.0496535E-4	1.1052905	1.0E-5	0.0035452035	0.0011556029	0.0011755797	1.017287	2.0E-5	0.034891766	0.013046722	0.0130862	1.0030259	4.0E-5
7.6	5.6731416E-5	1.6811875E-5	1.6811875E-5	1.0	2.43112E-4	7.2048904E-5	8.204819E-5	1.1387846	1.0E-5	0.0029558712	8.768426E-4	8.868338E-4	1.0113945	1.0E-5	0.02916862	0.009962501	0.009972402	1.0009937	1.0E-5
7.7	4.946994E-5	1.5684505E-5	1.5684505E-5	1.0	2.1199681E-4	6.7217574E-5	7.72169E-5	1.1487606	1.0E-5	0.002578006	8.180669E-4	8.280587E-4	1.012214	1.0E-5	0.02548303	0.009272559	0.009282466	1.0010685	1.0E-5
7.8	3.9718198E-5	1.5320356E-5	1.5320356E-5	1.0	1.7020974E-4	6.565701E-5	7.565636E-5	1.1522967	1.0E-5	0.0020703338	7.990812E-4	8.0907316E-4	1.0125043	1.0E-5	0.020511515	0.009016159	0.009026069	1.0010991	1.0E-5
7.9	2.4115114E-5	1.4243903E-5	1.4243903E-5	1.0	1.0334639E-4	6.104387E-5	7.104326E-5	1.1638066	1.0E-5	0.001257516	7.429559E-4	7.5294846E-4	1.0134498	1.0E-5	0.012504238	0.008273386	0.008283304	1.0011986	1.0E-5
8.0	1.7756569E-5	1.3259093E-5	1.3259093E-5	1.0	7.6097356E-5	5.682345E-5	6.682288E-5	1.1759737	1.0E-5	9.260915E-4	6.916061E-4	7.015992E-4	1.0144491	1.0E-5	0.009222416	0.0076487768	0.0076587005	1.0012974	1.0E-5
8.1	1.3159258E-5	1.1308428E-5	1.1308428E-5	1.0	5.6395602E-5	4.8463793E-5	5.846331E-5	1.2063296	1.0E-5	6.864001E-4	5.898871E-4	5.998812E-4	1.0169424	1.0E-5	0.0068428386	0.0065254956	0.0065354304	1.0015224	1.0E-5
8.2	8.635426E-6	6.408222E-6	6.408222E-6	1.0	3.700844E-5	2.7463519E-5	2.7463519E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5048463E-4	3.3431716E-4	3.3431716E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004495725	0.0037557487	0.0037557487	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.2443514E-7	9.2443514E-7	1.0	8.498917E-6	3.961859E-6	3.961859E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.823459E-5	4.823459E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	5.622288E-4	5.622288E-4	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.4353277E-5	7.100177E-5	8.100106E-5	1.1408316	1.0E-5	2.3292181E-4	3.0425735E-4	3.2425125E-4	1.0657139	2.0E-5	0.0028321352	0.0036980172	0.0037279064	1.0080825	3.0E-5	0.02796312	0.036363382	0.036421202	1.00159	6.0E-5
6.1	4.5578287E-5	5.862159E-5	5.862159E-5	1.0	0.0	1.953209E-4	2.5121012E-4	2.612076E-4	1.0397973	1.0E-5	0.0023754383	0.0030541685	0.0030741075	1.0065284	2.0E-5	0.023502063	0.030119352	0.030148448	1.0009661	3.0E-5
6.2	2.8536782E-5	3.4951714E-5	3.4951714E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2229476E-4	1.4978486E-4	1.5978336E-4	1.0667524	1.0E-5	0.0014879217	0.0018220542	0.0018420178	1.0109566	2.0E-5	0.014779986	0.018067084	0.018086722	1.001087	2.0E-5
6.3	2.3698774E-5	2.8379942E-5	2.8379942E-5	1.0	0.0	1.01562226E-4	1.21622914E-4	1.316217E-4	1.0822114	1.0E-5	0.0012358186	0.0014797219	0.0014996923	1.013496	2.0E-5	0.012289686	0.01469609	0.014715795	1.0013409	2.0E-5
6.4	1.9191197E-5	2.2243721E-5	2.2243721E-5	1.0	0.0	8.2245395E-5	9.532694E-5	1.05325984E-4	1.1048921	1.0E-5	0.0010008777	0.0011599811	0.001179958	1.0172217	2.0E-5	0.009963818	0.011538741	0.01155851	1.0017133	2.0E-5
6.5	1.5203241E-5	1.688345E-5	1.688345E-5	1.0	0.0	6.5155116E-5	7.235576E-5	8.2355036E-5	1.138196	1.0E-5	7.9297484E-4	8.805825E-4	9.005649E-4	1.0226922	2.0E-5	0.007901512	0.008771817	0.008791642	1.00226	2.0E-5
6.6	1.0984925E-5	1.1285955E-5	1.1285955E-5	1.0	0.0	4.70774E-5	4.8367503E-5	4.8367503E-5	1.0	0.0	5.730166E-4	5.8871903E-4	5.8871903E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005715413	0.0058719814	0.0058719814	1.0	0.0
6.7	9.134616E-6	9.052987E-6	9.052987E-6	1.0	0.0	3.9147766E-5	3.879795E-5	3.879795E-5	1.0	0.0	4.7651984E-4	4.7226503E-4	4.7226503E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004754993	0.004712861	0.004712861	1.0	0.0
6.8	7.785589E-6	7.4791856E-6	7.4791856E-6	1.0	0.0	3.3366385E-5	3.205327E-5	3.205327E-5	1.0	0.0	4.0616E-4	3.901807E-4	3.901807E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0040541845	0.003895162	0.003895162	1.0	0.0
6.9	5.579095E-6	4.91651E-6	4.91651E-6	1.0	0.0	2.3910188E-5	2.1070595E-5	2.1070595E-5	1.0	0.0	2.9106764E-4	2.5650568E-4	2.5650568E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002906867	0.0025622346	0.0025622346	1.0	0.0
7.0	2.6816688E-6	1.5267751E-6	1.5267751E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1492816E-5	6.543306E-6	6.543306E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3991605E-4	7.966193E-5	7.966193E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0013982799	7.963425E-4	7.963425E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.9951021E-6	7.4821696E-7	7.4821696E-7	1.0	0.0	8.55041E-6	3.2066405E-6	3.2066405E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0409627E-4	3.904019E-5	3.904019E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010404752	3.903375E-4	3.903375E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.9951021E-6	7.4821696E-7	7.4821696E-7	1.0	0.0	8.55041E-6	3.2066405E-6	3.2066405E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0409627E-4	3.904019E-5	3.904019E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010404752	3.903375E-4	3.903375E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.7087556E-6	6.600883E-7	6.600883E-7	1.0	0.0	7.3232177E-6	2.8289471E-6	2.8289471E-6	1.0	0.0	8.915652E-5	3.4441928E-5	3.4441928E-5	1.0	0.0	8.9120766E-4	3.4436997E-4	3.4436997E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.3804846E-6	6.091106E-7	6.091106E-7	1.0	0.0	5.916349E-6	2.6104715E-6	2.6104715E-6	1.0	0.0	7.2029165E-5	3.1782067E-5	3.1782067E-5	1.0	0.0	7.200583E-4	3.1777925E-4	3.1777925E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.3804846E-6	6.091106E-7	6.091106E-7	1.0	0.0	5.916349E-6	2.6104715E-6	2.6104715E-6	1.0	0.0	7.2029165E-5	3.1782067E-5	3.1782067E-5	1.0	0.0	7.200583E-4	3.1777925E-4	3.1777925E-4	1.0	0.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1270982E-4	2.0204067E-4	2.1203865E-4	1.049485	1.0E-5	4.8295266E-4	8.6561387E-4	8.8559656E-4	1.023085	2.0E-5	0.0058641075	0.01047726	0.010506946	1.0028334	3.0E-5	0.057117578	0.09881085	0.098846905	1.0003648	4.0E-5
6.1	1.1239393E-4	2.0151722E-4	2.1151522E-4	1.0496136	1.0E-5	4.8159933E-4	8.633722E-4	8.8335486E-4	1.023145	2.0E-5	0.0058477195	0.010450255	0.010479941	1.0028408	3.0E-5	0.056962132	0.09856739	0.09860344	1.0003659	4.0E-5
6.2	7.596265E-5	1.3058717E-4	1.4058586E-4	1.0765672	1.0E-5	3.2551357E-4	5.5951846E-4	5.7950726E-4	1.035725	2.0E-5	0.0039559277	0.006785991	0.0068157874	1.0043908	3.0E-5	0.038862433	0.065163456	0.0651915	1.0004303	3.0E-5
6.3	6.78794E-5	1.1561262E-4	1.2561148E-4	1.0864857	1.0E-5	2.9087928E-4	4.953666E-4	5.1535666E-4	1.0403541	2.0E-5	0.003535705	0.0060109715	0.0060407915	1.0049609	3.0E-5	0.034799766	0.057987276	0.058015537	1.0004873	3.0E-5
6.4	6.2165134E-5	1.0539464E-4	1.1539359E-4	1.0948715	1.0E-5	2.6639478E-4	4.51591E-4	4.7158197E-4	1.0442679	2.0E-5	0.0032385332	0.005481428	0.0055112634	1.005443	3.0E-5	0.03191742	0.053037263	0.053065673	1.0005356	3.0E-5
6.5	5.4368087E-5	9.163394E-5	1.0163302E-4	1.1091199	1.0E-5	2.3298527E-4	3.9263768E-4	4.1262983E-4	1.0509175	2.0E-5	0.0028329059	0.0047677844	0.004797641	1.0062622	3.0E-5	0.027970633	0.046317406	0.046346016	1.0006177	3.0E-5
6.6	4.729947E-5	7.929138E-5	8.929059E-5	1.1261071	1.0E-5	2.0269625E-4	3.3975736E-4	3.5975056E-4	1.0588455	2.0E-5	0.002465034	0.0041272207	0.004157097	1.0072389	3.0E-5	0.02437869	0.040241327	0.04027012	1.0007155	3.0E-5
6.7	3.6875328E-5	6.110829E-5	7.110768E-5	1.163634	1.0E-5	1.5802756E-4	2.618625E-4	2.8185727E-4	1.0763559	2.0E-5	0.0019222875	0.0031828068	0.0032127113	1.0093956	3.0E-5	0.019057442	0.031213954	0.031243017	1.0009311	3.0E-5
6.8	2.0292036E-5	2.9220113E-5	3.921982E-5	1.3422201	1.0E-5	8.6962966E-5	1.2522296E-4	1.352217E-4	1.0798476	1.0E-5	0.0010582599	0.0015235087	0.0015334934	1.0065538	1.0E-5	0.010532344	0.015101281	0.01511113	1.0006522	1.0E-5
6.9	1.7871042E-5	2.4664085E-5	3.4663837E-5	1.4054378	1.0E-5	7.658793E-5	1.0569895E-4	1.1569789E-4	1.0945983	1.0E-5	9.320591E-4	0.0012861236	0.0012961108	1.0077653	1.0E-5	0.009281595	0.01277748	0.012787352	1.0007726	1.0E-5
7.0	1.6415532E-5	2.2069305E-5	3.2069085E-5	1.4531081	1.0E-5	7.035038E-5	9.457933E-5	1.0457838E-4	1.1057214	1.0E-5	8.561793E-4	0.001150896	0.0011608845	1.0086789	1.0E-5	0.008528882	0.0114481505	0.0114580365	1.0008636	1.0E-5
7.1	1.5409885E-5	2.0494874E-5	3.0494668E-5	1.487917	1.0E-5	6.6040695E-5	8.783223E-5	9.7831355E-5	1.1138434	1.0E-5	8.0374884E-4	0.0010688354	0.0010788247	1.009346	1.0E-5	0.00800848	0.010637032	0.010646925	1.0009301	1.0E-5
7.2	1.4497423E-5	1.9189598E-5	2.9189407E-5	1.5211056	1.0E-5	6.213033E-5	8.223856E-5	9.223774E-5	1.1215875	1.0E-5	7.5617427E-4	0.0010007977	0.0010107877	1.009982	1.0E-5	0.0075360634	0.009963335	0.009973235	1.0009937	1.0E-5
7.3	1.3615175E-5	1.7946457E-5	2.7946277E-5	1.557203	1.0E-5	5.8349444E-5	7.6911136E-5	8.691037E-5	1.1300101	1.0E-5	7.101729E-4	9.359938E-4	9.4598444E-4	1.0106739	1.0E-5	0.0070790765	0.009321019	0.009330926	1.0010629	1.0E-5
7.4	1.2252825E-5	1.6132131E-5	2.613197E-5	1.6198709	1.0E-5	5.251105E-5	6.913589E-5	7.91352E-5	1.1446327	1.0E-5	6.391345E-4	8.414072E-4	8.513988E-4	1.0118748	1.0E-5	0.0063729943	0.008382674	0.00839259	1.0011829	1.0E-5
7.5	1.0913301E-5	1.4331839E-5	1.4331839E-5	1.0	0.0	4.6770452E-5	6.142074E-5	6.142074E-5	1.0	0.0	5.6928146E-4	7.475437E-4	7.475437E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0056782532	0.0074507087	0.0074507087	1.0	0.0
7.6	8.623192E-6	1.1306944E-5	1.1306944E-5	1.0	0.0	3.6956015E-5	4.8457445E-5	4.8457445E-5	1.0	0.0	4.4984656E-4	5.898123E-4	5.898123E-4	1.0	0.0	0.00448937	0.0058827936	0.0058827936	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.0993634E-6	2.6782047E-6	2.6782047E-6	1.0	0.0	8.997241E-6	1.14779705E-5	1.14779705E-5	1.0	0.0	1.09535904E-4	1.397354E-4	1.397354E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010948193	0.0013964255	0.0013964255	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.8428308E-7	2.1791611E-7	2.1791611E-7	1.0	0.0	7.897844E-7	9.339259E-7	9.339259E-7	1.0	0.0	9.615583E-6	1.1370492E-5	1.1370492E-5	1.0	0.0	9.615166E-5	1.1369226E-4	1.1369226E-4	1.0	0.0

West Napa 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.773104E-5	4.4733122E-5	7.473178E-5	1.670614	3.0E-5	1.6169442E-4	1.9170111E-4	2.4169152E-4	1.2607727	5.0E-5	0.001966852	0.0023317821	0.0023916422	1.0256714	6.0E-5	0.019495348	0.023107091	0.023165705	1.0025367	6.0E-5
6.1	3.773104E-5	4.4733122E-5	7.473178E-5	1.670614	3.0E-5	1.6169442E-4	1.9170111E-4	2.4169152E-4	1.2607727	5.0E-5	0.001966852	0.0023317821	0.0023916422	1.0256714	6.0E-5	0.019495348	0.023107091	0.023165705	1.0025367	6.0E-5
6.2	3.773104E-5	4.4733122E-5	7.473178E-5	1.670614	3.0E-5	1.6169442E-4	1.9170111E-4	2.4169152E-4	1.2607727	5.0E-5	0.001966852	0.0023317821	0.0023916422	1.0256714	6.0E-5	0.019495348	0.023107091	0.023165705	1.0025367	6.0E-5
6.3	2.147964E-5	2.5100968E-5	5.5100216E-5	2.195143	3.0E-5	9.2052345E-5	1.07571665E-4	1.5756629E-4	1.4647564	5.0E-5	0.001120161	0.0013089905	0.0013689119	1.0457768	6.0E-5	0.011145315	0.013023754	0.013082973	1.004547	6.0E-5
6.4	2.147964E-5	2.5100968E-5	5.5100216E-5	2.195143	3.0E-5	9.2052345E-5	1.07571665E-4	1.5756629E-4	1.4647564	5.0E-5	0.001120161	0.0013089905	0.0013689119	1.0457768	6.0E-5	0.011145315	0.013023754	0.013082973	1.004547	6.0E-5
6.5	1.688201E-5	1.9638403E-5	4.9637812E-5	2.527589	3.0E-5	7.234947E-5	8.416228E-5	1.2415892E-4	1.4752322	4.0E-5	8.804988E-4	0.0010242674	0.0010742162	1.0487654	5.0E-5	0.008770182	0.010204457	0.010253947	1.0048498	5.0E-5
6.6	1.6846381E-5	1.9597974E-5	4.9597387E-5	2.5307405	3.0E-5	7.219678E-5	8.398903E-5	1.2398566E-4	1.4762126	4.0E-5	8.7864127E-4	0.00102216	0.0010721089	1.048866	5.0E-5	0.008751754	0.0101835765	0.010233067	1.0048599	5.0E-5
6.7	1.3396501E-5	1.5542746E-5	4.5542278E-5	2.930131	3.0E-5	5.7412315E-5	6.6610424E-5	1.0660776E-4	1.6004666	4.0E-5	6.9877075E-4	8.107442E-4	8.607037E-4	1.0616218	5.0E-5	0.0069657755	0.008085907	0.008135502	1.0061336	5.0E-5
6.8	1.0139058E-5	1.1732835E-5	4.1732485E-5	3.5568967	3.0E-5	4.3452383E-5	5.0282928E-5	9.028092E-5	1.7954587	4.0E-5	5.289043E-4	6.1207864E-4	6.6204806E-4	1.0816388	5.0E-5	0.005276473	0.006111162	0.006160856	1.0081317	5.0E-5
6.9	7.761281E-6	8.940525E-6	3.8940256E-5	4.355478	3.0E-5	3.326221E-5	3.8316262E-5	6.8315116E-5	1.7829274	3.0E-5	4.0489217E-4	4.6645245E-4	4.964385E-4	1.0642853	3.0E-5	0.0040415525	0.004661557	0.004691417	1.0064056	3.0E-5
7.0	2.2109202E-6	2.390135E-6	3.2390064E-5	13.551562	3.0E-5	9.475338E-6	1.0243396E-5	4.024309E-5	3.9286861	3.0E-5	1.1535613E-4	1.2470629E-4	1.5470255E-4	1.2405353	3.0E-5	0.0011529627	0.0012481178	0.0012780803	1.0240062	3.0E-5
7.1	1.9008926E-6	2.0356902E-6	3.203563E-5	15.736987	3.0E-5	8.146657E-6	8.724357E-6	3.8724094E-5	4.4386187	3.0E-5	9.918104E-5	1.062139E-4	1.3621071E-4	1.282419	3.0E-5	9.913679E-4	0.001063381	0.0010933491	1.0281819	3.0E-5
7.2	1.8495944E-6	1.978345E-6	3.1978285E-5	16.16416	3.0E-5	7.926808E-6	8.478594E-6	3.8478338E-5	4.5382924	3.0E-5	9.650462E-5	1.0322202E-4	1.3321893E-4	1.2906057	3.0E-5	9.6462725E-4	0.0010334904	0.0010634593	1.0289979	3.0E-5
7.3	1.7883189E-6	1.910075E-6	3.1910018E-5	16.70616	3.0E-5	7.664201E-6	8.18601E-6	3.8185764E-5	4.664759	3.0E-5	9.330765E-5	9.966014E-5	1.2965716E-4	1.3009931	3.0E-5	9.3268487E-4	9.979046E-4	0.0010278746	1.030033	3.0E-5
7.4	1.6520572E-6	1.7627224E-6	3.176267E-5	18.0191	3.0E-5	7.0802257E-6	7.5545026E-6	3.7554277E-5	4.971112	3.0E-5	8.6198335E-5	9.1972215E-5	1.2196945E-4	1.3261554	3.0E-5	8.616491E-4	9.210855E-4	9.510578E-4	1.0325403	3.0E-5
7.5	1.4040345E-6	1.4995875E-6	2.1499558E-5	14.336981	2.0E-5	6.0172765E-6	6.426788E-6	2.642666E-5	4.111954	2.0E-5	7.325788E-5	7.824336E-5	9.82418E-5	1.2555927	2.0E-5	7.3233736E-4	7.838718E-4	8.038561E-4	1.0254943	2.0E-5
7.6	1.3013842E-7	1.5208802E-7	1.5208802E-7	1.0	0.0	5.57736E-7	6.5180564E-7	6.5180564E-7	1.0	0.0	6.790414E-6	7.935705E-6	7.935705E-6	1.0	0.0	6.790207E-5	8.028301E-5	8.028301E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	8.541512E-8	1.0425608E-7	1.0425608E-7	1.0	0.0	3.6606474E-7	4.468117E-7	4.468117E-7	1.0	0.0	4.456829E-6	5.439919E-6	5.439919E-6	1.0	0.0	4.4567398E-5	5.5303248E-5	5.5303248E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	5.6074793E-8	7.483223E-8	7.483223E-8	1.0	0.0	2.403205E-7	3.2070952E-7	3.2070952E-7	1.0	0.0	2.9258983E-6	3.9046313E-6	3.9046313E-6	1.0	0.0	2.9258597E-5	3.988167E-5	3.988167E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	2.9475839E-8	4.2036895E-8	4.2036895E-8	1.0	0.0	1.2632502E-7	1.8015811E-7	1.8015811E-7	1.0	0.0	1.538006E-6	2.1934227E-6	2.1934227E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5379954E-5	2.2474187E-5	2.2474187E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.3337122E-8	2.3632646E-8	2.3632646E-8	1.0	0.0	5.7159088E-8	1.01282765E-7	1.01282765E-7	1.0	0.0	6.959117E-7	1.233117E-6	1.233117E-6	1.0	0.0	6.959095E-6	1.2683579E-5	1.2683579E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	2.6589986E-10	5.2782034E-10	5.2782034E-10	1.0	0.0	1.1395708E-9	2.2620865E-9	2.2620865E-9	1.0	0.0	1.3874274E-8	2.7540903E-8	2.7540903E-8	1.0	0.0	1.3874273E-7	2.816972E-7	2.816972E-7	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.187212E-5	5.377558E-5	5.377558E-5	1.0	1.794396E-4	2.3045225E-4	2.4044994E-4	1.0433829	1.0E-5	0.002182488	0.0028031182	0.0028230622	1.0071149	2.0E-5	0.021611776	0.027772242	0.027811132	1.0014002	4.0E-5
6.1	4.187212E-5	5.377558E-5	5.377558E-5	1.0	1.794396E-4	2.3045225E-4	2.4044994E-4	1.0433829	1.0E-5	0.002182488	0.0028031182	0.0028230622	1.0071149	2.0E-5	0.021611776	0.027772242	0.027811132	1.0014002	4.0E-5
6.2	1.7353306E-5	2.2292757E-5	2.2292757E-5	1.0	7.436919E-5	9.553924E-5	9.553924E-5	1.0	0.0	9.050688E-4	0.001162956	0.0011729443	1.0085888	1.0E-5	0.009013915	0.011606488	0.011626257	1.0017031	2.0E-5
6.3	1.7353306E-5	2.2292757E-5	2.2292757E-5	1.0	7.436919E-5	9.553924E-5	9.553924E-5	1.0	0.0	9.050688E-4	0.001162956	0.0011729443	1.0085888	1.0E-5	0.009013915	0.011606488	0.011626257	1.0017031	2.0E-5
6.4	1.4028824E-5	1.8012393E-5	1.8012393E-5	1.0	6.0122147E-5	7.719597E-5	7.719597E-5	1.0	0.0	7.3174125E-4	9.3983667E-4	9.3983667E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0072933645	0.009395914	0.009405821	1.0010543	1.0E-5

Las Positas

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.0659424E-5	1.1614347E-5	2.161423E-5	1.860994	1.0E-5	4.568245E-5	4.9775776E-5	5.9775277E-5	1.2008909	1.0E-5	5.560419E-4	6.0602004E-4	6.360019E-4	1.0494733	3.0E-5	0.005546526	0.0060602007	0.0060999584	1.0065604	4.0E-5
6.1	1.0659424E-5	1.1614347E-5	2.161423E-5	1.860994	1.0E-5	4.568245E-5	4.9775776E-5	5.9775277E-5	1.2008909	1.0E-5	5.560419E-4	6.0602004E-4	6.360019E-4	1.0494733	3.0E-5	0.005546526	0.0060602007	0.0060999584	1.0065604	4.0E-5
6.2	1.0659424E-5	1.1614347E-5	2.161423E-5	1.860994	1.0E-5	4.568245E-5	4.9775776E-5	5.9775277E-5	1.2008909	1.0E-5	5.560419E-4	6.0602004E-4	6.360019E-4	1.0494733	3.0E-5	0.005546526	0.0060602007	0.0060999584	1.0065604	4.0E-5
6.3	1.0659424E-5	1.1614347E-5	2.161423E-5	1.860994	1.0E-5	4.568245E-5	4.9775776E-5	5.9775277E-5	1.2008909	1.0E-5	5.560419E-4	6.0602004E-4	6.360019E-4	1.0494733	3.0E-5	0.005546526	0.0060602007	0.0060999584	1.0065604	4.0E-5

Reliz 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.6002472E-5	1.6299344E-5	2.6299182E-5	1.6135116	1.0E-5	6.8580215E-5	6.985258E-5	7.9851874E-5	1.1431487	1.0E-5	8.3464425E-4	8.501431E-4	8.701261E-4	1.0235054	2.0E-5	0.008315164	0.008471123	0.008510784	1.004682	4.0E-5
6.1	1.6002472E-5	1.6299344E-5	2.6299182E-5	1.6135116	1.0E-5	6.8580215E-5	6.985258E-5	7.9851874E-5	1.1431487	1.0E-5	8.3464425E-4	8.501431E-4	8.701261E-4	1.0235054	2.0E-5	0.008315164	0.008471123	0.008510784	1.004682	4.0E-5
6.2	1.6002472E-5	1.6299344E-5	2.6299182E-5	1.6135116	1.0E-5	6.8580215E-5	6.985258E-5	7.9851874E-5	1.1431487	1.0E-5	8.3464425E-4	8.501431E-4	8.701261E-4	1.0235054	2.0E-5	0.008315164	0.008471123	0.008510784	1.004682	4.0E-5
6.3	7.792404E-6	7.813967E-6	7.813967E-6	1.0	0.0	3.339559E-5	3.3488006E-5	3.3488006E-5	1.0	0.0	4.0651546E-4	4.07641E-4	4.07641E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0040577264	0.0040692235	0.0040791826	1.0024475	1.0E-5
6.4	7.792404E-6	7.813967E-6	7.813967E-6	1.0	0.0	3.339559E-5	3.3488006E-5	3.3488006E-5	1.0	0.0	4.0651546E-4	4.07641E-4	4.07641E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0040577264	0.0040692235	0.0040791826	1.0024475	1.0E-5
6.5	5.9659374E-6	5.9377608E-6	5.9377608E-6	1.0	0.0	2.5568053E-5	2.54473E-5	2.54473E-5	1.0	0.0	3.1124658E-4	3.0977704E-4	3.0977704E-4	1.0	0.0	0.00310811	0.0030936843	0.0031036532	1.0032223	1.0E-5
6.6	5.2350692E-6	5.1875645E-6	5.1875645E-6	1.0	0.0	2.2435817E-5	2.2232232E-5	2.2232232E-5	1.0	0.0	2.7312184E-4	2.7064394E-4	2.7064394E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002727864	0.0027033677	0.0027133406	1.003689	1.0E-5
6.7	4.580206E-6	4.514275E-6	4.514275E-6	1.0	0.0	1.9629308E-5	1.934675E-5	1.934675E-5	1.0	0.0	2.389606E-4	2.355213E-4	2.355213E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002387038	0.002352933	0.0023629095	1.00424	1.0E-5
6.8	4.0765017E-6	3.9960582E-6	3.9960582E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7470604E-5	1.7125853E-5	1.7125853E-5	1.0	0.0	2.1268385E-4	2.0848734E-4	2.0848734E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002124804	0.0020831297	0.0020931088	1.0047904	1.0E-5
6.9	3.5752896E-6	3.4799941E-6	3.4799941E-6	1.0	0.0	1.532258E-5	1.4914175E-5	1.4914175E-5	1.0	0.0	1.8653645E-4	1.8156497E-4	1.8156497E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0018637994	0.0018143769	0.0018243588	1.0055015	1.0E-5
7.0	3.0259848E-6	2.9150576E-6	2.9150576E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2968442E-5	1.2493045E-5	1.2493045E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5787935E-4	1.5209221E-4	1.5209221E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0015776722	0.0015200906	0.0015300754	1.0065686	1.0E-5
7.1	2.5861116E-6	2.4619776E-6	2.4619776E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1083288E-5	1.055129E-5	1.055129E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3493067E-4	1.284544E-4	1.284544E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0013484878	0.0012840102	0.0012939974	1.007778	1.0E-5
7.2	2.1482588E-6	2.0097127E-6	2.0097127E-6	1.0	0.0	9.20679E-6	8.613026E-6	8.613026E-6	1.0	0.0	1.12086906E-4	1.04858555E-4	1.04858555E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011203039	0.0010482991	0.0010482991	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.7194744E-6	1.5672792E-6	1.5672792E-6	1.0	0.0	7.3691554E-6	6.7168935E-6	6.7168935E-6	1.0	0.0	8.971577E-5	8.177511E-5	8.177511E-5	1.0	0.0	8.967956E-4	8.176584E-4	8.176584E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.2755178E-6	1.1114488E-6	1.1114488E-6	1.0	0.0	5.4664933E-6	4.7633434E-6	4.7633434E-6	1.0	0.0	6.655252E-5	5.799216E-5	5.799216E-5	1.0	0.0	6.6532596E-4	5.7997834E-4	5.7997834E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	8.8463224E-7	7.112576E-7	7.112576E-7	1.0	0.0	3.7912755E-6	3.0482433E-6	3.0482433E-6	1.0	0.0	4.6157802E-5	3.711173E-5	3.711173E-5	1.0	0.0	4.6148215E-4	3.7126322E-4	3.7126322E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	5.291355E-7	3.5502305E-7	3.5502305E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2677216E-6	1.5215264E-6	1.5215264E-6	1.0	0.0	2.760916E-5	1.8524426E-5	1.8524426E-5	1.0	0.0	2.760573E-4	1.8543578E-4	1.8543578E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.9663357E-7	1.3882848E-7	1.3882848E-7	1.0	0.0	1.2712861E-6	5.9497904E-7	5.9497904E-7	1.0	0.0	1.5477797E-5	7.243846E-6	7.243846E-6	1.0	0.0	1.547672E-4	7.2634415E-5	7.2634415E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.2509386E-7	2.9221676E-8	2.9221676E-8	1.0	0.0	5.3611643E-7	1.2523574E-7	1.2523574E-7	1.0	0.0	6.527198E-6	1.5247441E-6	1.5247441E-6	1.0	0.0	6.527006E-5	1.541566E-5	1.541566E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.213493E-8	1.25985595E-8	1.25985595E-8	1.0	0.0	2.6629255E-7	5.3993826E-8	5.3993826E-8	1.0	0.0	3.242107E-6	6.5737464E-7	6.5737464E-7	1.0	0.0	3.2420594E-5	6.7146348E-6	6.7146348E-6	1.0	0.0
8.0	5.92383E-9	1.8038275E-9	1.8038275E-9	1.0	0.0	2.5387841E-8	7.730689E-9	7.730689E-9	1.0	0.0	3.0909692E-7	9.4121134E-8	9.4121134E-8	1.0	0.0	3.090965E-6	9.673629E-7	9.673629E-7	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1674632E-4	2.6001918E-4	2.7001658E-4	1.0384487	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0011138938	0.0011338715	1.017935	2.0E-5	0.006073493	0.013477881	0.013507477	1.0021958	3.0E-5	0.0591016	0.12760872	0.1276349	1.000205	3.0E-5
6.1	1.1674632E-4	2.6001918E-4	2.7001658E-4	1.0384487	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0011138938	0.0011338715	1.017935	2.0E-5	0.006073493	0.013477881	0.013507477	1.0021958	3.0E-5	0.0591016	0.12760872	0.1276349	1.000205	3.0E-5
6.2	1.1674632E-4	2.6001918E-4	2.7001658E-4	1.0384487	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0011138938	0.0011338715	1.017935	2.0E-5	0.006073493	0.013477881	0.013507477	1.0021958	3.0E-5	0.0591016	0.12760872	0.1276349	1.000205	3.0E-5
6.3	1.1674632E-4	2.6001918E-4	2.7001658E-4	1.0384487	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0011138938	0.0011338715	1.017935	2.0E-5	0.006073493	0.013477881	0.013507477	1.0021958	3.0E-5	0.0591016	0.12760872	0.1276349	1.000205	3.0E-5
6.4	1.1674632E-4	2.6001918E-4	2.7001658E-4	1.0384487	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0011138938	0.0011338715	1.017935	2.0E-5	0.006073493	0.013477881	0.013507477	1.0021958	3.0E-5	0.0591016	0.12760872	0.1276349	1.000205	3.0E-5
6.5	1.13136164E-4	2.5314678E-4	2.6314426E-4	1.0394927	1.0E-5	4.847792E-4	0.0010844653	0.0011044437	1.0184222	2.0E-5	0.0058862255	0.013123949	0.013153555	1.0022559	3.0E-5	0.057327334	0.124580376	0.12460664	1.0002108	3.0E-5
6.6	1.13136164E-4	2.5314678E-4	2.6314426E-4	1.0394927	1.0E-5	4.847792E-4	0.0010844653	0.0011044437	1.0184222	2.0E-5	0.0058862255	0.013123949	0.013153555	1.0022559	3.0E-5	0.057327334	0.124580376	0.12460664	1.0002108	3.0E-5
6.7	1.1149675E-4	2.5002612E-4	2.600236E-4	1.0399858	1.0E-5	4.777557E-4	0.0010711021	0.0010910807	1.0186523	2.0E-5	0.0058011734	0.012963196	0.012992807	1.0022843	3.0E-5	0.05652051	0.12320225	0.12322856	1.0002135	3.0E-5
6.8	1.1103589E-4	2.490282E-4	2.590257E-4	1.0401461	1.0E-5	4.7578133E-4	0.0010668288	0.0010868075	1.0187272	2.0E-5	0.005777263	0.012911786	0.012941399	1.0022935	3.0E-5	0.056293584	0.1227576	0.122783914	1.0002143	3.0E-5
6.9	1.1053259E-4	2.4793035E-4	2.579279E-4	1.0403239	1.0E-5	4.7362508E-4	0.0010621276	0.0010821064	1.0188102	2.0E-5	0.0057511497	0.012855227	0.012884841	1.0023037	3.0E-5	0.05604569	0.12226944	0.122295775	1.0002154	3.0E-5
7.0	1.1005377E-4	2.4691867E-4	2.569162E-4	1.0404892	1.0E-5	4.7157376E-4	0.0010577952	0.0010777741	1.0188873	2.0E-5	0.0057263062	0.012803102	0.012832718	1.0023131	3.0E-5	0.055809796	0.1218166	0.12184294	1.0002162	3.0E-5
7.1	1.0308142E-4	2.3171262E-4	2.4171031E-4	1.0431468	1.0E-5	4.417027E-4	9.926773E-4	0.0010126574	1.0201275	2.0E-5	0.0053644776	0.012019242	0.0120488815	1.002466	3.0E-5	0.052368138	0.11500738	0.11503393	1.0002309	3.0E-5
7.2	1.0027479E-4	2.256665E-4	2.3566425E-4	1.0443032	1.0E-5	4.296783E-4	9.6678484E-4	9.867655E-4	1.0206671	2.0E-5	0.0052187922	0.01170743	0.011737078	1.0025325	3.0E-5	0.050979212	0.112285115	0.11231174	1.0002372	3.0E-5
7.3	9.816942E-5	2.2019961E-4	2.3019742E-4	1.0454034	1.0E-5	4.2065824E-4	9.4337243E-4	9.6335355E-4	1.0211805	2.0E-5	0.005109493	0.011425409	0.011455066	1.0025958	3.0E-5	0.049935985	0.10980084	0.10982754	1.0002432	3.0E-5
7.4	9.5634205E-5	2.1361085E-4	2.2360872E-4	1.0468041	1.0E-5	4.0979648E-4	9.1515493E-4	9.3513663E-4	1.0218343	2.0E-5	0.0049778637	0.0110853985	0.011115066	1.0026762	3.0E-5	0.048678253	0.10680369	0.10683049	1.0002509	3.0E-5
7.5	8.052417E-5	1.7497367E-4	1.8497191E-4	1.0571414	1.0E-5	3.4505792E-4	7.4967183E-4	7.6965685E-4	1.0266583	2.0E-5	0.0041929903	0.009089159	0.009118886	1.0032706	3.0E-5	0.04114753	0.08892292	0.08895025	1.0003073	3.0E-5
7.6	7.897024E-5	1.713396E-4	1.8133789E-4	1.0583537	1.0E-5	3.384E-4	7.341061E-4	7.540914E-4	1.0272241	2.0E-5	0.0041122385	0.0089012105	0.008930943	1.0033404	3.0E-5	0.040369697	0.08720572	0.087233104	1.000314	3.0E-5
7.7	6.707427E-5	1.4512299E-4	1.5512154E-4	1.0688971	1.0E-5	2.8742946E-4	6.2180747E-4	6.41795E-4	1.0321443	2.0E-5	0.003493839	0.0075442707	0.007574044	1.0039465	3.0E-5	0.034394164	0.074622124	0.074649885	1.000372	3.0E-5
7.8	6.147705E-5	1.3316883E-4	1.4316749E-4	1.0750827	1.0E-5	2.6344648E-4	5.705987E-4	5.905873E-4	1.035031	2.0E-5	0.0032027436	0.006924944	0.0069547365	1.0043021	3.0E-5	0.031569764	0.06859551	0.06862345	1.0004073	3.0E-5
7.9	4.7636717E-5	9.69222E-5	1.0692123E-4	1.1031655	1.0E-5	2.0414138E-4	4.1531475E-4	4.3530646E-4	1.0481362	2.0E-5	0.0024825884	0.0050447444	0.0050745932	1.0059168	3.0E-5	0.024550365	0.050428282	0.05045677	1.0005649	3.0E-5
8.0	3.3554235E-5	5.7194004E-5	5.7194004E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4379594E-4	2.4509412E-4	2.550917E-4	1.0407907	1.0E-5	0.0017493097	0.00297994	0.0029899103	1.0033457	1.0E-5	0.017356034	0.030354777	0.030364474	1.0003195	1.0E-5
8.1	1.9175432E-5	2.1659876E-5	2.1659876E-5	1.0	0.0	8.217783E-5	9.282475E-5	1.0282381E-4	1.1077199	1.0E-5	0.0010000558	0.0011295561	0.0011395448	1.0088431	1.0E-5	0.009955673	0.012049084	0.012058963	1.0008199	1.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	6.417038E-6	6.417038E-6	1.0	0.0	3.704486E-5	2.7501303E-5	2.7501303E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5092785E-4	3.3477703E-4	3.3477703E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0045001395	0.0037604058	0.0037604058	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.2443514E-7	9.2443514E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.961859E-6	3.961859E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.823459E-5	4.823459E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	5.622288E-4	5.622288E-4	1.0	0.0

San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.0283932E-5	4.3628886E-5	5.362845E-5	1.229196	1.0E-5	2.1548476E-4	1.869676E-4	1.9696573E-4	1.0534753	1.0E-5	0.0026203706	0.0022739673	0.0022939218	1.0087752	2.0E-5	0.02589687	0.022588965	0.022618286	1.0012981	3.0E-5
6.1	5.0283932E-5	4.3628886E-5	5.362845E-5	1.229196	1.0E-5	2.1548476E-4	1.869676E-4	1.9696573E-4	1.0534753	1.0E-5	0.0026203706	0.0022739673	0.0022939218	1.0087752	2.0E-5	0.02589687	0.022588965	0.022618286	1.0012981	3.0E-5
6.2	4.2998647E-5	3.4954464E-5	4.4954115E-5	1.2860765	1.0E-5	1.842669E-4	1.4979631E-4	1.5979481E-4	1.0667473	1.0E-5	0.0022411412	0.0018222566	0.0018422201	1.0109555	2.0E-5	0.022186736	0.01815507	0.018184526	1.0016224	3.0E-5
6.3	4.2998647E-5	3.4954464E-5	4.4954115E-5	1.2860765	1.0E-5	1.842669E-4	1.4979631E-4	1.5979481E-4	1.0667473	1.0E-5	0.0022411412	0.0018222566	0.0018422201	1.0109555	2.0E-5	0.022186736	0.01815507	0.018184526	1.0016224	3.0E-5
6.4	4.1101295E-5	3.2823344E-5	4.2823016E-5	1.3046513	1.0E-5	1.7613651E-4	1.4066396E-4	1.5066256E-4	1.0710814	1.0E-5	0.0021423528	0.0017112516	0.0017212344	1.0058336	1.0E-5	0.02121817	0.017062766	0.017082425	1.0011522	2.0E-5
6.5	4.1032585E-5	3.2741E-5	4.2740678E-5	1.3054174	1.0E-5	1.7584208E-4	1.4031111E-4	1.5030972E-4	1.0712602	1.0E-5	0.0021387753	0.0017069624	0.0017169453	1.0058484	1.0E-5	0.021183075	0.01702054	0.017040199	1.001155	2.0E-5
6.6	4.011629E-5	3.175411E-5	4.1753792E-5	1.3149098	1.0E-5	1.7191563E-4	1.3608202E-4	1.4608065E-4	1.0734751	1.0E-5	0.0020910634	0.001655553	0.0016655364	1.0060303	1.0E-5	0.020714961	0.016512653	0.016532322	1.0011911	2.0E-5
6.7	3.8583938E-5	2.99286E-5	3.99283E-5	1.3341186	1.0E-5	1.6534925E-4	1.2825921E-4	1.3825792E-4	1.0779572	1.0E-5	0.0020112682	0.0015604517	0.001570436	1.0063984	1.0E-5	0.019931622	0.015576511	0.0155962	1.001264	2.0E-5
6.8	3.44341E-5	2.4895102E-5	3.4894852E-5	1.4016755	1.0E-5	1.4756636E-4	1.0668899E-4	1.1668792E-4	1.0937204	1.0E-5	0.0017951399	0.001298175	0.001308162	1.0076932	1.0E-5	0.017807078	0.012986538	0.013006278	1.00152	2.0E-5
6.9	3.221199E-5	2.2202088E-5	3.2201868E-5	1.4503981	1.0E-5	1.3804408E-4	9.514838E-5	1.0514743E-4	1.105089	1.0E-5	0.0016793909	0.0011578243	0.0011678126	1.0086269	1.0E-5	0.01666756	0.011597465	0.011617233	1.0017046	2.0E-5
7.0	2.9186718E-5	1.8547144E-5	2.8546958E-5	1.5391566	1.0E-5	1.2507994E-4	7.9485355E-5	8.9484565E-5	1.1257993	1.0E-5	0.0015217843	9.6730905E-4	9.772994E-4	1.0103279	1.0E-5	0.015114053	0.009709898	0.009729704	1.0020398	2.0E-5
7.1	2.6840138E-5	1.5667385E-5	2.5667228E-5	1.6382586	1.0E-5	1.1502409E-4	6.714422E-5	7.7143544E-5	1.1489232	1.0E-5	0.0013995186	8.171762E-4	8.2716806E-4	1.0122273	1.0E-5	0.013907375	0.008220085	0.008230003	1.0012065	1.0E-5
7.2	2.453002E-5	1.2978723E-5	2.2978593E-5	1.7704818	1.0E-5	1.05124425E-4	5.5621913E-5	6.562136E-5	1.1797752	1.0E-5	0.0012791384	6.76987E-4	6.8698026E-4	1.0147613	1.0E-5	0.012718005	0.006826606	0.0068365377	1.0014548	1.0E-5
7.3	2.3330727E-5	1.185292E-5	2.18528E-5	1.843664	1.0E-5	9.9985E-5	5.079724E-5	6.079673E-5	1.1968511	1.0E-5	0.0012166376	6.1828137E-4	6.2827516E-4	1.0161638	1.0E-5	0.012099981	0.0062415637	0.0062515014	1.0015922	1.0E-5
7.4	2.2136466E-5	1.0725202E-5	2.0725094E-5	1.9323734	1.0E-5	9.486712E-5	4.596434E-5	5.5963883E-5	1.2175499	1.0E-5	0.0011543952	5.594725E-4	5.6946685E-4	1.017864	1.0E-5	0.011484168	0.0056551374	0.0056650806	1.0017583	1.0E-5
7.5	2.0994974E-5	9.771775E-6	1.9771678E-5	2.0233455	1.0E-5	8.997535E-5	4.1878364E-5	5.1877945E-5	1.2387768	1.0E-5	0.0010948994	5.0975004E-4	5.1974494E-4	1.0196074	1.0E-5	0.010895205	0.0051581436	0.005168092	1.0019287	1.0E-5
7.6	1.7091823E-5	7.173581E-6	1.7173508E-5	2.3939939	1.0E-5	7.3248615E-5	3.0743555E-5	4.074325E-5	1.3252615	1.0E-5	8.9143694E-4	3.7423862E-4	3.8423488E-4	1.0267109	1.0E-5	0.008878695	0.0037993519	0.0038093138	1.002622	1.0E-5
7.7	1.2772179E-5	4.220556E-6	1.4220514E-5	3.369346	1.0E-5	5.473676E-5	1.8087972E-5	2.808779E-5	1.5528436	1.0E-5	6.6621625E-4	2.2019884E-4	2.3019663E-4	1.0454035	1.0E-5	0.006642225	0.0022458825	0.00225586	1.0044426	1.0E-5
7.8	7.041923E-6	2.0701973E-6	2.0701973E-6	1.0	0.0	3.017932E-5	8.872244E-6	8.872244E-6	1.0	0.0	3.6737128E-4	1.0801421E-4	1.0801421E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036676454	0.0011086672	0.0011086672	1.0	0.0
7.9	2.946768E-6	1.0787276E-6	1.0787276E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2628945E-5	4.62311E-6	4.62311E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5374656E-4	5.628491E-5	5.628491E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0015364023	5.7413994E-4	5.7413994E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.1433375E-6	5.608158E-7	5.608158E-7	1.0	0.0	4.9000087E-6	2.4034941E-6	2.4034941E-6	1.0	0.0	5.965597E-5	2.9262148E-5	2.9262148E-5	1.0	0.0	5.963996E-4	2.964065E-4	2.964065E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	2.6675295E-7	1.7916112E-7	1.7916112E-7	1.0	0.0	1.1432264E-6	7.6783317E-7	7.6783317E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3918692E-5	9.348329E-6	9.348329E-6	1.0	0.0	1.391782E-4	9.494755E-5	9.494755E-5	1.0	0.0
8.2	1.2704569E-8	1.0891997E-8	1.0891997E-8	1.0	0.0	5.444815E-8	4.667999E-8	4.667999E-8	1.0	0.0	6.629061E-7	5.6832874E-7	5.6832874E-7	1.0	0.0	6.629041E-6	5.887364E-6	5.887364E-6	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.0179969E-4	2.1572714E-4	2.2572499E-4	1.0463449	1.0E-5	4.362114E-4	9.242184E-4	9.441999E-4	1.0216199	2.0E-5	0.0052979486	0.011194625	0.011224289	1.0026499	3.0E-5	0.051734097	0.107913345	0.10794011	1.000248	3.0E-5
6.1	1.0179969E-4	2.1572714E-4	2.2572499E-4	1.0463449	1.0E-5	4.362114E-4	9.242184E-4	9.441999E-4	1.0216199	2.0E-5	0.0052979486	0.011194625	0.011224289	1.0026499	3.0E-5	0.051734097	0.107913345	0.10794011	1.000248	3.0E-5
6.2	1.0179969E-4	2.1572714E-4	2.2572499E-4	1.0463449	1.0E-5	4.362114E-4	9.242184E-4	9.441999E-4	1.0216199	2.0E-5	0.0052979486	0.011194625	0.011224289	1.0026499	3.0E-5	0.051734097	0.107913345	0.10794011	1.000248	3.0E-5
6.3	1.0179969E-4	2.1572714E-4	2.2572499E-4	1.0463449	1.0E-5	4.362114E-4	9.242184E-4	9.441999E-4	1.0216199	2.0E-5	0.0052979486	0.011194625	0.011224289	1.0026499	3.0E-5	0.051734097	0.107913345	0.10794011	1.000248	3.0E-5
6.4	9.1639464E-5	1.990156E-4	2.0901361E-4	1.0502373	1.0E-5	3.9268145E-4	8.5264543E-4	8.726284E-4	1.0234364	2.0E-5	0.0047704205	0.010331693	0.010361383	1.0028737	3.0E-5	0.046693064	0.10018253	0.10020953	1.0002694	3.0E-5
6.5	9.1639464E-5	1.990156E-4	2.0901361E-4	1.0502373	1.0E-5	3.9268145E-4	8.5264543E-4	8.726284E-4	1.0234364	2.0E-5	0.0047704205	0.010331693	0.010361383	1.0028737	3.0E-5	0.046693064	0.10018253	0.10020953	1.0002694	3.0E-5
6.6	9.042622E-5	1.9705115E-4	2.0704919E-4	1.0507382	1.0E-5	3.8748336E-4	8.4423186E-4	8.6421496E-4	1.0236702	2.0E-5	0.0047074095	0.010230222	0.010259915	1.0029025	3.0E-5	0.046089325	0.09927117	0.09929819	1.0002722	3.0E-5
6.7	8.9836685E-5	1.9618255E-4	2.0618059E-4	1.0509629	1.0E-5	3.8495753E-4	8.4051164E-4	8.6049485E-4	1.023775	2.0E-5	0.00467679	0.010185352	0.010215046	1.0029154	3.0E-5	0.045795817	0.09886266	0.0988897	1.0002735	3.0E-5
6.8	8.9471854E-5	1.9563438E-4	2.0563242E-4	1.0511057	1.0E-5	3.8339442E-4	8.3816383E-4	8.5814705E-4	1.0238417	2.0E-5	0.004657841	0.010157034	0.010186729	1.0029236	3.0E-5	0.04561414	0.09860421	0.09863125	1.0002743	3.0E-5
6.9	8.858234E-5	1.944308E-4	2.0442886E-4	1.0514222	1.0E-5	3.7958333E-4	8.3300896E-4	8.5299235E-4	1.0239893	2.0E-5	0.004611638	0.010094857	0.010124554	1.0029418	3.0E-5	0.04517103	0.09803749	0.09806454	1.000276	3.0E-5
7.0	8.7433385E-5	1.927826E-4	2.0278066E-4	1.0518619	1.0E-5	3.746607E-4	8.259497E-4	8.459332E-4	1.0241946	2.0E-5	0.004551957	0.010009702	0.010039402	1.0029671	3.0E-5	0.044598386	0.09726096	0.09728804	1.0002785	3.0E-5
7.1	8.684964E-5	1.918795E-4	2.0187758E-4	1.052106	1.0E-5	3.7215967E-4	8.2208175E-4	8.420653E-4	1.0243084	2.0E-5	0.0045216335	0.009963042	0.009992743	1.0029812	3.0E-5	0.04430731	0.09683515	0.09686224	1.0002798	3.0E-5
7.2	8.606521E-5	1.907629E-4	2.0076099E-4	1.0524111	1.0E-5	3.6879873E-4	8.1729935E-4	8.37283E-4	1.0244508	2.0E-5	0.0044808835	0.009905347	0.009935049	1.0029987	3.0E-5	0.043916024	0.096309304	0.09633642	1.0002815	3.0E-5
7.3	8.568266E-5	1.9015605E-4	2.0015414E-4	1.0525784	1.0E-5	3.6715972E-4	8.1470015E-4	8.3468383E-4	1.0245289	2.0E-5	0.0044610105	0.009873989	0.009903693	1.0030082	3.0E-5	0.043725148	0.09602075	0.09604786	1.0002824	3.0E-5
7.4	8.5432206E-5	1.8976461E-4	1.9976271E-4	1.0526868	1.0E-5	3.6608664E-4	8.1302365E-4	8.330074E-4	1.0245795	2.0E-5	0.004447999	0.009853763	0.009883467	1.0030146	3.0E-5	0.043600157	0.09583457	0.095861696	1.000283	3.0E-5
7.5	8.4791965E-5	1.8839925E-4	1.9839736E-4	1.0530688	1.0E-5	3.633435E-4	8.071757E-4	8.2715956E-4	1.0247577	2.0E-5	0.0044147377	0.009783206	0.009812912	1.0030365	3.0E-5	0.043280575	0.09519335	0.09522049	1.0002851	3.0E-5
7.6	8.241105E-5	1.8261743E-4	1.9261561E-4	1.0547493	1.0E-5	3.531424E-4	7.824116E-4	8.023959E-4	1.025542	2.0E-5	0.0042910352	0.009484366	0.009514081	1.003133	3.0E-5	0.042091176	0.092489794	0.09251702	1.0002943	3.0E-5
7.7	7.00432E-5	1.549137E-4	1.6491216E-4	1.064542	1.0E-5	3.001506E-4	6.6374696E-4	6.837337E-4	1.0301119	2.0E-5	0.0036482112	0.008051229	0.008080987	1.0036961	3.0E-5	0.035888977	0.079282515	0.079310134	1.0003484	3.0E-5
7.8	6.415362E-5	1.4130645E-4	1.5130502E-4	1.0707582	1.0E-5	2.749151E-4	6.054585E-4	6.254464E-4	1.0330129	2.0E-5	0.0033419547	0.0073465817	0.0073763616	1.0040535	3.0E-5	0.03292141	0.07249625	0.07252408	1.0003839	3.0E-5
7.9	4.939911E-5	1.0180031E-4	1.11799294E-4	1.0982215	1.0E-5	2.116933E-4	4.3621412E-4	4.562054E-4	1.045829	2.0E-5	0.0025743195	0.0052979863	0.0053278273	1.0056325	3.0E-5	0.025447013	0.052822925	0.05285134	1.000538	3.0E-5
8.0	3.344983E-5	5.728068E-5	5.728068E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4334853E-4	2.4546555E-4	2.554631E-4	1.0407289	1.0E-5	0.0017438711	0.0029844495	0.0029944195	1.0033407	1.0E-5	0.017302496	0.03039293	0.030402627	1.000319	1.0E-5
8.1	1.9104898E-5	2.1644086E-5	2.1644086E-5	1.0	0.0	8.1875565E-5	9.275707E-5	1.02756145E-4	1.1077985	1.0E-5	9.963791E-4	0.001128733	0.0011387217	1.0088495	1.0E-5	0.009919235	0.012038468	0.012048348	1.0008206	1.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	6.417038E-6	6.417038E-6	1.0	0.0	3.704486E-5	2.7501303E-5	2.7501303E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5092785E-4	3.3477703E-4	3.3477703E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0045001395	0.0037604058	0.0037604058	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.2443514E-7	9.2443514E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.961859E-6	3.961859E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.823459E-5	4.823459E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	5.622288E-4	5.622288E-4	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 08 (Quinto)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	7.737697E-6	8.265667E-6	8.265667E-6	1.0	3.3161137E-5	3.5423913E-5	3.5423913E-5	1.0	4.0366207E-4	4.312197E-4	4.4121538E-4	1.02318	1.0E-5	0.004029296	0.0043056877	0.0043355585	1.0069375	3.0E-5
6.1	7.737697E-6	8.265667E-6	8.265667E-6	1.0	3.3161137E-5	3.5423913E-5	3.5423913E-5	1.0	4.0366207E-4	4.312197E-4	4.4121538E-4	1.02318	1.0E-5	0.004029296	0.0043056877	0.0043355585	1.0069375	3.0E-5
6.2	7.737697E-6	8.265667E-6	8.265667E-6	1.0	3.3161137E-5	3.5423913E-5	3.5423913E-5	1.0	4.0366207E-4	4.312197E-4	4.4121538E-4	1.02318	1.0E-5	0.004029296	0.0043056877	0.0043355585	1.0069375	3.0E-5
6.3	5.374012E-6	5.7598363E-6	5.7598363E-6	1.0	2.3031276E-5	2.4684843E-5	2.4684843E-5	1.0	2.803697E-4	3.0050767E-4	3.0050767E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0028001624	0.00300211	0.00301208	1.0033209	1.0E-5
6.4	5.374012E-6	5.7598363E-6	5.7598363E-6	1.0	2.3031276E-5	2.4684843E-5	2.4684843E-5	1.0	2.803697E-4	3.0050767E-4	3.0050767E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0028001624	0.00300211	0.00301208	1.0033209	1.0E-5
6.5	3.65427E-6	3.94843E-6	3.94843E-6	1.0	1.5661062E-5	1.6921771E-5	1.6921771E-5	1.0	1.9065675E-4	2.0601017E-4	2.0601017E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0019049325	0.002058886	0.0020688653	1.004847	1.0E-5
6.6	3.6143538E-6	3.905545E-6	3.905545E-6	1.0	1.5489995E-5	1.6737982E-5	1.6737982E-5	1.0	1.8857437E-4	2.0377296E-4	2.0377296E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0018841444	0.002036555	0.0020465346	1.0049002	1.0E-5
6.7	2.4821015E-6	2.6907633E-6	2.6907633E-6	1.0	1.0637535E-5	1.15318235E-5	1.15318235E-5	1.0	1.2950429E-4	1.4039659E-4	1.4039659E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012942884	0.0014036357	0.0014036357	1.0	0.0
6.8	4.7110538E-7	5.205211E-7	5.205211E-7	1.0	2.0190216E-6	2.230803E-6	2.230803E-6	1.0	2.458131E-5	2.7159705E-5	2.7159705E-5	1.0	0.0	2.457859E-4	2.715657E-4	2.715657E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	3.958685E-7	4.3807722E-7	4.3807722E-7	1.0	1.6965782E-6	1.8774725E-6	1.8774725E-6	1.0	2.0655643E-5	2.2858005E-5	2.2858005E-5	1.0	0.0	2.0653724E-4	2.2855816E-4	2.2855816E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	2.70294E-7	2.9993413E-7	2.9993413E-7	1.0	1.1584025E-6	1.2854314E-6	1.2854314E-6	1.0	1.4103458E-5	1.5650028E-5	1.5650028E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4102564E-4	1.5649054E-4	1.5649054E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.4828602E-7	1.6510901E-7	1.6510901E-7	1.0	6.3551136E-7	7.0760996E-7	7.0760996E-7	1.0	7.737323E-6	8.615125E-6	8.615125E-6	1.0	0.0	7.737054E-5	8.614872E-5	8.614872E-5	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.877682E-5	2.0937649E-4	2.193744E-4	1.0477508	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	8.9701946E-4	9.170015E-4	1.022276	2.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.010866682	0.010896356	1.0027307	3.0E-5	0.05023708	0.10499504	0.105021894	1.0002557	3.0E-5
6.1	9.877682E-5	2.0937649E-4	2.193744E-4	1.0477508	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	8.9701946E-4	9.170015E-4	1.022276	2.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.010866682	0.010896356	1.0027307	3.0E-5	0.05023708	0.10499504	0.105021894	1.0002557	3.0E-5
6.2	9.877682E-5	2.0937649E-4	2.193744E-4	1.0477508	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	8.9701946E-4	9.170015E-4	1.022276	2.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.010866682	0.010896356	1.0027307	3.0E-5	0.05023708	0.10499504	0.105021894	1.0002557	3.0E-5
6.3	9.877682E-5	2.0937649E-4	2.193744E-4	1.0477508	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	8.9701946E-4	9.170015E-4	1.022276	2.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.010866682	0.010896356	1.0027307	3.0E-5	0.05023708	0.10499504	0.105021894	1.0002557	3.0E-5
6.4	9.877682E-5	2.0937649E-4	2.193744E-4	1.0477508	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	8.9701946E-4	9.170015E-4	1.022276	2.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.010866682	0.010896356	1.0027307	3.0E-5	0.05023708	0.10499504	0.105021894	1.0002557	3.0E-5
6.5	9.861474E-5	2.0910964E-4	2.1910755E-4	1.0478117	1.0E-5	4.2256617E-4	8.9587655E-4	9.1585866E-4	1.0223045	2.0E-5	0.0051326132	0.010852906	0.010882581	1.0027342	3.0E-5	0.050156746	0.10487194	0.104898795	1.0002561	3.0E-5
6.6	9.861474E-5	2.0910964E-4	2.1910755E-4	1.0478117	1.0E-5	4.2256617E-4	8.9587655E-4	9.1585866E-4	1.0223045	2.0E-5	0.0051326132	0.010852906	0.010882581	1.0027342	3.0E-5	0.050156746	0.10487194	0.104898795	1.0002561	3.0E-5
6.7	9.8552715E-5	2.0900744E-4	2.1900535E-4	1.0478352	1.0E-5	4.223004E-4	8.954389E-4	9.15421E-4	1.0223154	2.0E-5	0.0051293927	0.01084763	0.010877305	1.0027356	3.0E-5	0.050125998	0.10482478	0.10485164	1.0002562	3.0E-5
6.8	9.8464974E-5	2.0885466E-4	2.1885257E-4	1.0478702	1.0E-5	4.219245E-4	8.947846E-4	9.147667E-4	1.0223317	2.0E-5	0.0051248376	0.010839744	0.010869418	1.0027376	3.0E-5	0.05008251	0.104753666	0.104780525	1.0002564	3.0E-5
6.9	9.825824E-5	2.0852666E-4	2.1852457E-4	1.0479455	1.0E-5	4.2103877E-4	8.933798E-4	9.1336196E-4	1.0223669	2.0E-5	0.0051141046	0.01082281	0.010852486	1.0027419	3.0E-5	0.049980022	0.104600236	0.1046271	1.0002568	3.0E-5
7.0	9.781462E-5	2.0782292E-4	2.1782084E-4	1.0481079	1.0E-5	4.1913814E-4	8.9036586E-4	9.10348E-4	1.0224427	2.0E-5	0.005091073	0.010786479	0.010816156	1.0027512	3.0E-5	0.04976007	0.10427093	0.1042978	1.0002577	3.0E-5
7.1	9.7121134E-5	2.0681659E-4	2.1681453E-4	1.048342	1.0E-5	4.1616702E-4	8.8605593E-4	9.060382E-4	1.0225519	2.0E-5	0.005055068	0.010734525	0.010764203	1.0027647	3.0E-5	0.04941613	0.10380027	0.10382715	1.000259	3.0E-5
7.2	9.663819E-5	2.0610758E-4	2.1610552E-4	1.0485084	1.0E-5	4.1409794E-4	8.8301935E-4	9.030017E-4	1.0226296	2.0E-5	0.0050299936	0.010697918	0.010727597	1.0027742	3.0E-5	0.049176537	0.10346813	0.103495024	1.00026	3.0E-5
7.3	9.6277574E-5	2.056114E-4	2.1560934E-4	1.0486255	1.0E-5	4.125529E-4	8.8089437E-4	9.008767E-4	1.0226842	2.0E-5	0.0050112694	0.0106723	0.0107019795	1.002781	3.0E-5	0.04899759	0.10323363	0.10326053	1.0002606	3.0E-5
7.4	9.593308E-5	2.0498609E-4	2.1498404E-4	1.0487738	1.0E-5	4.1107697E-4	8.7821623E-4	8.981987E-4	1.0227535	2.0E-5	0.0049933824	0.010640013	0.010669694	1.0027895	3.0E-5	0.04882661	0.102943294	0.102970205	1.0002614	3.0E-5
7.5	9.561707E-5	2.044254E-4	2.1442336E-4	1.0489076	1.0E-5	4.0972308E-4	8.7581493E-4	8.957974E-4	1.0228158	2.0E-5	0.0049769743	0.010611062	0.010640743	1.0027972	3.0E-5	0.048669744	0.102682196	0.10270912	1.0002621	3.0E-5
7.6	9.418194E-5	2.008245E-4	2.108225E-4	1.0497847	1.0E-5	4.0357444E-4	8.6039276E-4	8.8037556E-4	1.0232252	2.0E-5	0.004902454	0.0104251085	0.010454795	1.0028477	3.0E-5	0.047957025	0.10102433	0.1010513	1.0002669	3.0E-5
7.7	8.202141E-5	1.7405397E-4	1.8405223E-4	1.0574435	1.0E-5	3.51473E-4	7.457324E-4	7.657175E-4	1.0267993	2.0E-5	0.00427079	0.009041569	0.009071298	1.003288	3.0E-5	0.04189639	0.08838523	0.08841258	1.0003095	3.0E-5
7.8	7.2859846E-5	1.5761642E-4	1.6761485E-4	1.0634352	1.0E-5	3.1221908E-4	6.753241E-4	6.953106E-4	1.0295954	2.0E-5	0.003794643	0.008191129	0.008220883	1.0036325	3.0E-5	0.037304975	0.080306225	0.08033382	1.0003436	3.0E-5
7.9	5.3874453E-5	1.0924448E-4	1.1924339E-4	1.0915278	1.0E-5	2.3087008E-4	4.6810665E-4	4.8809728E-4	1.0427053	2.0E-5	0.0028072202	0.0056843203	0.00571415	1.0052477	3.0E-5	0.02772022	0.05650917	0.056537475	1.0005009	3.0E-5
8.0	3.468538E-5	5.9395825E-5	5.9395825E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4864317E-4	2.545287E-4	2.6452614E-4	1.0392783	1.0E-5	0.0018082283	0.0030944857	0.0031044548	1.0032215	1.0E-5	0.017935853	0.03145343	0.031463116	1.0003079	1.0E-5
8.1	1.9152367E-5	2.1863341E-5	2.1863341E-5	1.0	0.0	8.207899E-5	9.3696675E-5	1.0369574E-4	1.1067173	1.0E-5	9.988535E-4	0.0011401608	0.0011501495	1.0087607	1.0E-5	0.009943757	0.0121372575	0.012147136	1.000814	1.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	6.417038E-6	6.417038E-6	1.0	0.0	3.704486E-5	2.7501303E-5	2.7501303E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5092785E-4	3.3477703E-4	3.3477703E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0045001395	0.0037604058	0.0037604058	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.2443514E-7	9.2443514E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.961859E-6	3.961859E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.823459E-5	4.823459E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	5.622288E-4	5.622288E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.1064058E-4	6.9162616E-4	7.0161925E-4	1.0144486	1.0E-5	0.0013306376	0.002960874	0.002980815	1.0067347	2.0E-5	0.016080605	0.0354223	0.035451237	1.000817	3.0E-5	0.1496549	0.29227582	0.29229704	1.0000726	3.0E-5
6.1	3.1064058E-4	6.9162616E-4	7.0161925E-4	1.0144486	1.0E-5	0.0013306376	0.002960874	0.002980815	1.0067347	2.0E-5	0.016080605	0.0354223	0.035451237	1.000817	3.0E-5	0.1496549	0.29227582	0.29229704	1.0000726	3.0E-5
6.2	3.1064058E-4	6.9162616E-4	7.0161925E-4	1.0144486	1.0E-5	0.0013306376	0.002960874	0.002980815	1.0067347	2.0E-5	0.016080605	0.0354223	0.035451237	1.000817	3.0E-5	0.1496549	0.29227582	0.29229704	1.0000726	3.0E-5
6.3	3.1064058E-4	6.9162616E-4	7.0161925E-4	1.0144486	1.0E-5	0.0013306376	0.002960874	0.002980815	1.0067347	2.0E-5	0.016080605	0.0354223	0.035451237	1.000817	3.0E-5	0.1496549	0.29227582	0.29229704	1.0000726	3.0E-5
6.4	1.9872203E-4	4.4802265E-4	4.5801816E-4	1.0223103	1.0E-5	8.5138786E-4	0.0019187126	0.0019386742	1.0104036	2.0E-5	0.010316478	0.023116436	0.02314574	1.0012678	3.0E-5	0.098504856	0.20319292	0.20321682	1.0001177	3.0E-5
6.5	1.291105E-4	3.0296543E-4	3.129624E-4	1.032997	1.0E-5	5.5321335E-4	0.00129778	0.001317754	1.0153909	2.0E-5	0.006714592	0.015686898	0.015716426	1.0018824	3.0E-5	0.065152965	0.14439353	0.14441921	1.0001777	3.0E-5
6.6	1.291105E-4	3.0296543E-4	3.129624E-4	1.032997	1.0E-5	5.5321335E-4	0.00129778	0.001317754	1.0153909	2.0E-5	0.006714592	0.015686898	0.015716426	1.0018824	3.0E-5	0.065152965	0.14439353	0.14441921	1.0001777	3.0E-5
6.7	1.08001186E-4	2.5855395E-4	2.6855138E-4	1.0386666	1.0E-5	4.6278012E-4	0.0011076184	0.0011275962	1.0180367	2.0E-5	0.0056198016	0.013402219	0.013431817	1.0022085	3.0E-5	0.054797906	0.12558785	0.12561408	1.0002089	3.0E-5
6.8	1.0624356E-4	2.5368843E-4	2.6368588E-4	1.0394084	1.0E-5	4.5525006E-4	0.0010867836	0.0011067619	1.0183829	2.0E-5	0.0055285925	0.013151637	0.013181243	1.002251	3.0E-5	0.053930566	0.12353673	0.12356302	1.0002128	3.0E-5
6.9	1.0393785E-4	2.4733655E-4	2.5733406E-4	1.0404208	1.0E-5	4.4537184E-4	0.0010595836	0.0010795625	1.0188553	2.0E-5	0.0054089287	0.012824417	0.012854032	1.0023093	3.0E-5	0.05279156	0.12083335	0.12085973	1.0002183	3.0E-5
7.0	1.0155622E-4	2.4096871E-4	2.509663E-4	1.0414891	1.0E-5	4.3516833E-4	0.0010323147	0.001052294	1.019354	2.0E-5	0.005285311	0.012496268	0.012525894	1.0023707	3.0E-5	0.05161361	0.1180859	0.118112355	1.000224	3.0E-5
7.1	9.885595E-5	2.3378046E-4	2.4377814E-4	1.0427651	1.0E-5	4.2359953E-4	0.001001532	0.001021512	1.0199494	2.0E-5	0.0051451353	0.012125715	0.01215535	1.002444	3.0E-5	0.05027629	0.11497045	0.11499701	1.0002309	3.0E-5
7.2	9.6411415E-5	2.2734281E-4	2.3734053E-4	1.0439764	1.0E-5	4.1312634E-4	9.7396283E-4	9.939434E-4	1.0205146	2.0E-5	0.005018219	0.011793743	0.011823389	1.0025138	3.0E-5	0.049064007	0.11215627	0.11218291	1.0002375	3.0E-5
7.3	9.1180635E-5	2.0924186E-4	2.1923977E-4	1.0477816	1.0E-5	3.907156E-4	8.9644274E-4	9.164248E-4	1.0222903	2.0E-5	0.004746591	0.010859712	0.010889387	1.0027325	3.0E-5	0.046464786	0.1042587	0.10428557	1.0002577	3.0E-5
7.4	8.887388E-5	2.0156559E-4	2.1156357E-4	1.0496017	1.0E-5	3.8083247E-4	8.6356665E-4	8.8354934E-4	1.0231397	2.0E-5	0.0046267817	0.010463361	0.010493047	1.0028372	3.0E-5	0.045316286	0.10085186	0.10087884	1.0002675	3.0E-5
7.5	8.6750515E-5	1.9473118E-4	2.0472924E-4	1.0513428	1.0E-5	3.7173493E-4	8.342954E-4	8.542787E-4	1.0239524	2.0E-5	0.004516484	0.0101103475	0.010140045	1.0029372	3.0E-5	0.04425787	0.09777708	0.09780415	1.0002768	3.0E-5
7.6	8.453092E-5	1.8842852E-4	1.9842664E-4	1.0530605	1.0E-5	3.6222505E-4	8.0730097E-4	8.272848E-4	1.0247539	2.0E-5	0.0044011753	0.009784689	0.009814396	1.003036	3.0E-5	0.04315024	0.09488066	0.09490782	1.0002862	3.0E-5
7.7	8.259102E-5	1.8349715E-4	1.934953E-4	1.0544868	1.0E-5	3.539135E-4	7.861794E-4	8.0616365E-4	1.0254195	2.0E-5	0.004300386	0.009529814	0.009559528	1.003118	3.0E-5	0.042181134	0.092580035	0.09260726	1.0002941	3.0E-5
7.8	7.444844E-5	1.6548559E-4	1.7548393E-4	1.0604182	1.0E-5	3.1902574E-4	7.090312E-4	7.29017E-4	1.0281875	2.0E-5	0.0038772223	0.008598351	0.008628093	1.0034591	3.0E-5	0.03810269	0.08392371	0.0839512	1.0003275	3.0E-5
7.9	5.2586525E-5	1.0875422E-4	1.1875313E-4	1.0919404	1.0E-5	2.2535135E-4	4.6600628E-4	4.8599695E-4	1.0428978	2.0E-5	0.0027402006	0.0056588817	0.005688712	1.0052714	3.0E-5	0.027066574	0.056233786	0.0562621	1.0005035	3.0E-5
8.0	3.379877E-5	5.9157654E-5	5.9157654E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4484383E-4	2.535082E-4	2.6350564E-4	1.0394365	1.0E-5	0.0017620471	0.003082096	0.0030920652	1.0032345	1.0E-5	0.017481409	0.031311817	0.031321507	1.0003093	1.0E-5
8.1	1.8668277E-5	2.1744128E-5	2.1744128E-5	1.0	0.0	8.000444E-5	9.3185794E-5	1.03184866E-4	1.1073025	1.0E-5	9.736188E-4	0.0011339474	0.0011439361	1.0088087	1.0E-5	0.009693642	0.012065161	0.0120750405	1.0008188	1.0E-5
8.2	8.541571E-6	6.3996836E-6	6.3996836E-6	1.0	0.0	3.660622E-5	2.7426928E-5	2.7426928E-5	1.0	0.0	4.455896E-4	3.3387178E-4	3.3387178E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0044469717	0.0037506863	0.0037506863	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.2443514E-7	9.2443514E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.961859E-6	3.961859E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.823459E-5	4.823459E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	5.622288E-4	5.622288E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.2302514E-4	2.6896966E-4	2.7896697E-4	1.0371689	1.0E-5	5.27144E-4	0.0011522196	0.0011721966	1.0173378	2.0E-5	0.0063991086	0.013938625	0.013968208	1.0021223	3.0E-5	0.06217949	0.13140048	0.13142654	1.0001984	3.0E-5
6.1	1.2302514E-4	2.6896966E-4	2.7896697E-4	1.0371689	1.0E-5	5.27144E-4	0.0011522196	0.0011721966	1.0173378	2.0E-5	0.0063991086	0.013938625	0.013968208	1.0021223	3.0E-5	0.06217949	0.13140048	0.13142654	1.0001984	3.0E-5
6.2	1.2203569E-4	2.6711667E-4	2.77114E-4	1.0374268	1.0E-5	5.2290526E-4	0.0011442853	0.0011642624	1.0174582	2.0E-5	0.006347804	0.013843256	0.013872841	1.0021371	3.0E-5	0.061695136	0.13058482	0.1306109	1.0001998	3.0E-5
6.3	1.2142645E-4	2.6596393E-4	2.7596127E-4	1.0375891	1.0E-5	5.202953E-4	0.0011393492	0.0011593264	1.0175339	2.0E-5	0.006316212	0.013783922	0.013813509	1.0021465	3.0E-5	0.06139677	0.13007818	0.13010427	1.0002006	3.0E-5
6.4	1.1865206E-4	2.6091965E-4	2.7091705E-4	1.038316	1.0E-5	5.0840975E-4	0.0011177496	0.0011377272	1.017873	2.0E-5	0.006172335	0.013524237	0.013553832	1.0021882	3.0E-5	0.060036868	0.12784632	0.12787248	1.0002047	3.0E-5
6.5	1.17443946E-4	2.587857E-4	2.687831E-4	1.038632	1.0E-5	5.032341E-4	0.0011086118	0.0011285896	1.0180206	2.0E-5	0.006109677	0.013414358	0.013443955	1.0022064	3.0E-5	0.059444077	0.12689947	0.12692566	1.0002064	3.0E-5
6.6	1.13579066E-4	2.5168413E-4	2.6168162E-4	1.0397223	1.0E-5	4.866766E-4	0.001078202	0.0010981805	1.0185294	2.0E-5	0.0059092017	0.01304861	0.013078217	1.0022691	3.0E-5	0.057545185	0.12376845	0.123794734	1.0002124	3.0E-5
6.7	1.1271412E-4	2.500894E-4	2.6008688E-4	1.0399758	1.0E-5	4.829711E-4	0.001071373	0.0010913516	1.0186477	2.0E-5	0.005864331	0.012966459	0.012996069	1.0022837	3.0E-5	0.057119697	0.123062365	0.12308867	1.0002137	3.0E-5
6.8	1.1217975E-4	2.4893504E-4	2.5893256E-4	1.0401611	1.0E-5	4.8068175E-4	0.00106643	0.0010864086	1.0187342	2.0E-5	0.005836608	0.012906992	0.012936604	1.0022943	3.0E-5	0.056856725	0.12254962	0.122575946	1.0002148	3.0E-5
6.9	1.1146753E-4	2.4737965E-4	2.5737716E-4	1.0404137	1.0E-5	4.7763053E-4	0.0010597693	0.0010797482	1.018852	2.0E-5	0.0057996577	0.012826856	0.012856471	1.0023088	3.0E-5	0.056506127	0.12185886	0.1218852	1.0002162	3.0E-5
7.0	1.0965793E-4	2.4348589E-4	2.5348345E-4	1.0410601	1.0E-5	4.698779E-4	0.0010430953	0.0010630745	1.0191537	2.0E-5	0.005705768	0.0126262205	0.012655842	1.002346	3.0E-5	0.055614736	0.12012343	0.12014983	1.0002197	3.0E-5
7.1	9.927982E-5	2.2107872E-4	2.3107651E-4	1.0452228	1.0E-5	4.2541555E-4	9.471373E-4	9.6711837E-4	1.0210962	2.0E-5	0.0051671406	0.01147077	0.011500427	1.0025853	3.0E-5	0.05048634	0.110054225	0.11008092	1.0002426	3.0E-5
7.2	9.696786E-5	2.1601208E-4	2.2600991E-4	1.0462837	1.0E-5	4.1551032E-4	9.254387E-4	9.454202E-4	1.0215914	2.0E-5	0.00504711	0.011209337	0.0112390015	1.0026463	3.0E-5	0.04934009	0.107770324	0.10779709	1.0002483	3.0E-5
7.3	9.4727984E-5	2.1005582E-4	2.2005371E-4	1.0475963	1.0E-5	4.0591392E-4	8.999297E-4	9.199117E-4	1.0222039	2.0E-5	0.0049308087	0.010901915	0.010931588	1.0027218	3.0E-5	0.048228268	0.10506315	0.10509	1.0002556	3.0E-5
7.4	9.220358E-5	2.0347751E-4	2.1347548E-4	1.0491354	1.0E-5	3.9509835E-4	8.7175606E-4	8.9173863E-4	1.0229222	2.0E-5	0.004799717	0.010562269	0.010591952	1.0028102	3.0E-5	0.046973653	0.10205624	0.10208318	1.0002639	3.0E-5
7.5	7.71631E-5	1.6498867E-4	1.7498701E-4	1.0606003	1.0E-5	3.306571E-4	7.069029E-4	7.268888E-4	1.0282724	2.0E-5	0.0040183207	0.008572669	0.0086024115	1.0034695	3.0E-5	0.03946433	0.0841523	0.08417978	1.0003265	3.0E-5
7.6	7.5634416E-5	1.6141824E-4	1.7141661E-4	1.0619409	1.0E-5	3.241072E-4	6.916092E-4	7.115954E-4	1.0288981	2.0E-5	0.0039388672	0.008387917	0.008417665	1.0035466	3.0E-5	0.038697794	0.082456745	0.08248427	1.0003338	3.0E-5
7.7	6.3783E-5	1.353161E-4	1.4531476E-4	1.073891	1.0E-5	2.7332708E-4	5.797974E-4	5.9978577E-4	1.0344748	2.0E-5	0.0033226798	0.0070362207	0.0070660096	1.0042336	3.0E-5	0.032734364	0.06986376	0.06989166	1.0003994	3.0E-5
7.8	5.863422E-5	1.2482578E-4	1.3482453E-4	1.0801016	1.0E-5	2.512653E-4	5.34858E-4	5.548473E-4	1.0373731	2.0E-5	0.003054864	0.0064924806	0.0065222858	1.0045907	3.0E-5	0.030132094	0.064524695	0.06455276	1.000435	3.0E-5
7.9	4.595283E-5	9.2099726E-5	1.02098806E-4	1.108568	1.0E-5	1.9692584E-4	3.946534E-4	4.1464553E-4	1.0506574	2.0E-5	0.0023949358	0.0047943285	0.004824185	1.0062274	3.0E-5	0.023692891	0.04804121	0.048069768	1.0005945	3.0E-5
8.0	3.2950178E-5	5.573378E-5	5.573378E-5	1.0	0.0	1.412074E-4	2.3883721E-4	2.488348E-4	1.0418595	1.0E-5	0.0017178444	0.0029039676	0.0029139386	1.0034336	1.0E-5	0.017046256	0.02961049	0.029620195	1.0003277	1.0E-5
8.1	1.9177472E-5	2.1660097E-5	2.1660097E-5	1.0	0.0	8.218658E-5	9.2825685E-5	1.0282476E-4	1.1077188	1.0E-5	0.0010001622	0.0011295675	0.0011395563	1.008843	1.0E-5	0.009956728	0.01204923	0.012059109	1.0008199	1.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	6.417038E-6	6.417038E-6	1.0	0.0	3.704486E-5	2.7501303E-5	2.7501303E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5092785E-4	3.3477703E-4	3.3477703E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0045001395	0.0037604058	0.0037604058	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.2443514E-7	9.2443514E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.961859E-6	3.961859E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.823459E-5	4.823459E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	5.622288E-4	5.622288E-4	1.0	0.0

Ortigalita (South)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.72394E-5	4.3416745E-5	6.341588E-5	1.4606317	2.0E-5	1.5958765E-4	1.8605939E-4	2.0605566E-4	1.1074725	2.0E-5	0.0019412481	0.0022630766	0.0022830314	1.0088176	2.0E-5	0.019243775	0.022416813	0.02244614	1.0013083	3.0E-5
6.1	2.7299884E-5	3.1603442E-5	4.1603125E-5	1.3164113	1.0E-5	1.16994255E-4	1.3543661E-4	1.4543526E-4	1.0738252	1.0E-5	0.0014234743	0.0016477497	0.0016577332	1.0060589	1.0E-5	0.014143906	0.016361292	0.016380966	1.0012023	2.0E-5
6.2	2.7299884E-5	3.1603442E-5	4.1603125E-5	1.3164113	1.0E-5	1.16994255E-4	1.3543661E-4	1.4543526E-4	1.0738252	1.0E-5	0.0014234743	0.0016477497	0.0016577332	1.0060589	1.0E-5	0.014143906	0.016361292	0.016380966	1.0012023	2.0E-5
6.3	2.0546433E-5	2.3713183E-5	3.3712946E-5	1.4216964	1.0E-5	8.805317E-5	1.0162407E-4	1.11623056E-4	1.0983919	1.0E-5	0.00107152	0.0012365899	0.0012465775	1.0080768	1.0E-5	0.010663681	0.012299165	0.012318919	1.0016061	2.0E-5
6.4	2.0546433E-5	2.3713183E-5	3.3712946E-5	1.4216964	1.0E-5	8.805317E-5	1.0162407E-4	1.11623056E-4	1.0983919	1.0E-5	0.00107152	0.0012365899	0.0012465775	1.0080768	1.0E-5	0.010663681	0.012299165	0.012318919	1.0016061	2.0E-5
6.5	1.7779594E-5	2.051765E-5	3.0517444E-5	1.4873753	1.0E-5	7.619603E-5	8.79299E-5	9.792901E-5	1.113717	1.0E-5	9.272918E-4	0.0010700343	0.0010800237	1.0093355	1.0E-5	0.009234319	0.010650298	0.0106700845	1.0018579	2.0E-5
6.6	1.6272212E-5	1.8779703E-5	2.8779516E-5	1.5324798	1.0E-5	6.973618E-5	8.048203E-5	9.0481226E-5	1.1242414	1.0E-5	8.487073E-4	9.794405E-4	9.894307E-4	1.0101999	1.0E-5	0.008454733	0.009752548	0.009772354	1.0020307	2.0E-5
6.7	1.3051484E-5	1.5091543E-5	2.509139E-5	1.6626128	1.0E-5	5.593373E-5	6.467649E-5	7.4675845E-5	1.1546057	1.0E-5	6.807804E-4	7.8716135E-4	7.9715345E-4	1.0126939	1.0E-5	0.006786986	0.007844722	0.007854643	1.0012647	1.0E-5
6.8	1.04277415E-5	1.20284885E-5	1.20284885E-5	1.0	0.0	4.4689557E-5	5.1549687E-5	5.1549687E-5	1.0	0.0	5.439595E-4	6.274442E-4	6.274442E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0054262993	0.0062574865	0.0062574865	1.0	0.0
6.9	7.639968E-6	8.8219795E-6	8.8219795E-6	1.0	0.0	3.274231E-5	3.780797E-5	3.780797E-5	1.0	0.0	3.9856473E-4	4.6022073E-4	4.6022073E-4	1.0	0.0	0.003978506	0.0045932666	0.0045932666	1.0	0.0
7.0	3.919831E-6	4.5497177E-6	4.5497177E-6	1.0	0.0	1.679917E-5	1.9498655E-5	1.9498655E-5	1.0	0.0	2.045107E-4	2.373724E-4	2.373724E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0020432258	0.0023713987	0.0023713987	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.6017933E-6	1.8638469E-6	1.8638469E-6	1.0	0.0	6.8648105E-6	7.987897E-6	7.987897E-6	1.0	0.0	8.357586E-5	9.724939E-5	9.724939E-5	1.0	0.0	8.3544437E-4	9.7217376E-4	9.7217376E-4	1.0	0.0

Clayton

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1413061E-5	1.2698968E-5	3.2698714E-5	2.574911	2.0E-5	4.89122E-5	5.442314E-5	7.442205E-5	1.3674707	2.0E-5	5.953433E-4	6.624226E-4	6.924027E-4	1.0452583	3.0E-5	0.005937509	0.0066066934	0.0066364952	1.0045109	3.0E-5
6.1	1.1413061E-5	1.2698968E-5	3.2698714E-5	2.574911	2.0E-5	4.89122E-5	5.442314E-5	7.442205E-5	1.3674707	2.0E-5	5.953433E-4	6.624226E-4	6.924027E-4	1.0452583	3.0E-5	0.005937509	0.0066066934	0.0066364952	1.0045109	3.0E-5
6.2	1.1413061E-5	1.2698968E-5	3.2698714E-5	2.574911	2.0E-5	4.89122E-5	5.442314E-5	7.442205E-5	1.3674707	2.0E-5	5.953433E-4	6.624226E-4	6.924027E-4	1.0452583	3.0E-5	0.005937509	0.0066066934	0.0066364952	1.0045109	3.0E-5
6.3	8.538689E-6	9.558164E-6	1.9558069E-5	2.046216	1.0E-5	3.659387E-5	4.0962976E-5	5.0962568E-5	1.2441128	1.0E-5	4.4543925E-4	4.986209E-4	5.1861093E-4	1.0400907	2.0E-5	0.0044454746	0.0049760924	0.004995993	1.0039992	2.0E-5
6.4	8.538689E-6	9.558164E-6	1.9558069E-5	2.046216	1.0E-5	3.659387E-5	4.0962976E-5	5.0962568E-5	1.2441128	1.0E-5	4.4543925E-4	4.986209E-4	5.1861093E-4	1.0400907	2.0E-5	0.0044454746	0.0049760924	0.004995993	1.0039992	2.0E-5
6.5	7.197462E-6	8.103619E-6	1.8103538E-5	2.2340066	1.0E-5	3.08459E-5	3.472938E-5	4.472903E-5	1.2879306	1.0E-5	3.7548412E-4	4.227564E-4	4.4274793E-4	1.0472885	2.0E-5	0.003748503	0.004220338	0.0042402535	1.0047189	2.0E-5
6.6	7.1760483E-6	8.079569E-6	1.8079487E-5	2.23768	1.0E-5	3.075413E-5	3.4626308E-5	4.4625962E-5	1.2887877	1.0E-5	3.743672E-4	4.2150202E-4	4.4149358E-4	1.0474293	2.0E-5	0.0037373714	0.0042078416	0.0042277575	1.0047331	2.0E-5
6.7	6.202582E-6	6.996574E-6	1.6996504E-5	2.429261	1.0E-5	2.6582224E-5	2.9985016E-5	3.9984716E-5	1.3334899	1.0E-5	3.235905E-4	3.6501413E-4	3.850068E-4	1.0547724	2.0E-5	0.0032311971	0.0036449055	0.0036648328	1.005467	2.0E-5
6.8	3.6417277E-6	4.13364E-6	1.4133599E-5	3.4191656	1.0E-5	1.5607311E-5	1.7715483E-5	2.7715305E-5	1.564468	1.0E-5	1.9000245E-4	2.1566544E-4	2.3566112E-4	1.0927162	2.0E-5	0.0018984007	0.0021546383	0.0021745951	1.0092623	2.0E-5
6.9	2.6498485E-6	3.0084984E-6	1.3008468E-5	4.3239074	1.0E-5	1.1356444E-5	1.2893503E-5	2.2893373E-5	1.7755744	1.0E-5	1.3825593E-4	1.569675E-4	1.6696593E-4	1.0636975	1.0E-5	0.0013816995	0.001568606	0.0015785904	1.0063651	1.0E-5
7.0	2.070442E-6	2.3475761E-6	2.3475761E-6	1.0	0.0	8.873292E-6	1.0061004E-5	1.0061004E-5	1.0	0.0	1.0802698E-4	1.2248615E-4	1.2248615E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010797448	0.0012242163	0.0012242163	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.2111691E-6	1.3625937E-6	1.3625937E-6	1.0	0.0	5.190714E-6	5.8396754E-6	5.8396754E-6	1.0	0.0	6.319511E-5	7.109589E-5	7.109589E-5	1.0	0.0	6.3177146E-4	7.1074796E-4	7.1074796E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	3.9541607E-7	4.2291208E-7	4.2291208E-7	1.0	0.0	1.6946392E-6	1.8124791E-6	1.8124791E-6	1.0	0.0	2.0632036E-5	2.2066712E-5	2.2066712E-5	1.0	0.0	2.063012E-4	2.2064535E-4	2.2064535E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	2.5685637E-7	2.7505132E-7	2.7505132E-7	1.0	0.0	1.1008126E-6	1.1787909E-6	1.1787909E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3402311E-5	1.43516845E-5	1.43516845E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3401502E-4	1.4350766E-4	1.4350766E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.482299E-7	1.5825348E-7	1.5825348E-7	1.0	0.0	6.3527085E-7	6.78229E-7	6.78229E-7	1.0	0.0	7.734395E-6	8.257408E-6	8.257408E-6	1.0	0.0	7.734126E-5	8.257103E-5	8.257103E-5	1.0	0.0
7.5	9.7969505E-8	1.04512246E-7	1.04512246E-7	1.0	0.0	4.1986925E-7	4.4790954E-7	4.4790954E-7	1.0	0.0	5.111896E-6	5.453285E-6	5.453285E-6	1.0	0.0	5.1117782E-5	5.453153E-5	5.453153E-5	1.0	0.0
7.6	6.125415E-8	6.5267365E-8	6.5267365E-8	1.0	0.0	2.6251774E-7	2.7971726E-7	2.7971726E-7	1.0	0.0	3.196149E-6	3.4055522E-6	3.4055522E-6	1.0	0.0	3.196103E-5	3.405501E-5	3.405501E-5	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.1181217E-5	2.4054949E-5	3.405471E-5	1.4157048	1.0E-5	9.077348E-5	1.0308951E-4	1.1308848E-4	1.0969931	1.0E-5	0.0011046068	0.00125456	0.0012745349	1.0159218	2.0E-5	0.010991322	0.012491337	0.012511088	1.0015811	2.0E-5
6.1	2.1181217E-5	2.4054949E-5	3.405471E-5	1.4157048	1.0E-5	9.077348E-5	1.0308951E-4	1.1308848E-4	1.0969931	1.0E-5	0.0011046068	0.00125456	0.0012745349	1.0159218	2.0E-5	0.010991322	0.012491337	0.012511088	1.0015811	2.0E-5
6.2	2.1181217E-5	2.4054949E-5	3.405471E-5	1.4157048	1.0E-5	9.077348E-5	1.0308951E-4	1.1308848E-4	1.0969931	1.0E-5	0.0011046068	0.00125456	0.0012745349	1.0159218	2.0E-5	0.010991322	0.012491337	0.012511088	1.0015811	2.0E-5
6.3	2.1181217E-5	2.4054949E-5	3.405471E-5	1.4157048	1.0E-5	9.077348E-5	1.0308951E-4	1.1308848E-4	1.0969931	1.0E-5	0.0011046068	0.00125456	0.0012745349	1.0159218	2.0E-5	0.010991322	0.012491337	0.012511088	1.0015811	2.0E-5
6.4	1.0988268E-5	1.2286918E-5	1.2286918E-5	1.0	0.0	4.7091726E-5	5.2657244E-5	5.2657244E-5	1.0	0.0	5.731909E-4	6.409294E-4	6.409294E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005717147	0.006392405	0.006392405	1.0	0.0
6.5	1.0988268E-5	1.2286918E-5	1.2286918E-5	1.0	0.0	4.7091726E-5	5.2657244E-5	5.2657244E-5	1.0	0.0	5.731909E-4	6.409294E-4	6.409294E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005717147	0.006392405	0.006392405	1.0	0.0
6.6	1.0517822E-5	1.1754928E-5	1.1754928E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5075605E-5	5.037738E-5	5.037738E-5	1.0	0.0	5.4865726E-4	6.1318773E-4	6.1318773E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0054730466	0.0061165197	0.0061165197	1.0	0.0
6.7	7.789219E-6	8.70037E-6	8.70037E-6	1.0	0.0	3.3381937E-5	3.7286798E-5	3.7286798E-5	1.0	0.0	4.063493E-4	4.538774E-4	4.538774E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004056071	0.0045300242	0.0045300242	1.0	0.0
6.8	7.5850853E-6	8.47458E-6	8.47458E-6	1.0	0.0	3.2507105E-5	3.6319154E-5	3.6319154E-5	1.0	0.0	3.957021E-4	4.4210113E-4	4.4210113E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0039499826	0.004412731	0.004412731	1.0	0.0
6.9	6.604105E-6	7.3778533E-6	7.3778533E-6	1.0	0.0	2.8303E-5	3.161901E-5	3.161901E-5	1.0	0.0	3.4453452E-4	3.8489737E-4	3.8489737E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0034400085	0.0038426958	0.0038426958	1.0	0.0
7.0	5.3701115E-6	6.0042553E-6	6.0042553E-6	1.0	0.0	2.301456E-5	2.5732284E-5	2.5732284E-5	1.0	0.0	2.8016625E-4	3.1324846E-4	3.1324846E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0027981328	0.003128359	0.003128359	1.0	0.0
7.1	4.4685607E-6	4.9997557E-6	4.9997557E-6	1.0	0.0	1.9150835E-5	2.1427362E-5	2.1427362E-5	1.0	0.0	2.3313647E-4	2.608494E-4	2.608494E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0023289204	0.0026056783	0.0026056783	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.833378E-6	3.1729196E-6	3.1729196E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2142991E-5	1.3598166E-5	1.3598166E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4783088E-4	1.6554685E-4	1.6554685E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014773258	0.0016544082	0.0016544082	1.0	0.0
7.3	7.0087293E-7	7.792403E-7	7.792403E-7	1.0	0.0	3.0037377E-6	3.3395997E-6	3.3395997E-6	1.0	0.0	3.656989E-5	4.0659328E-5	4.0659328E-5	1.0	0.0	3.6563876E-4	4.0656413E-4	4.0656413E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.112171E-8	3.2090718E-8	3.2090718E-8	1.0	0.0	1.3337875E-7	1.3753164E-7	1.3753164E-7	1.0	0.0	1.6238852E-6	1.6744465E-6	1.6744465E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6238733E-5	1.6744347E-5	1.6744347E-5	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.4273766E-4	3.2906284E-4	3.2906284E-4	1.0	6.115894E-4	0.0014095132	0.001419499	1.0070846	1.0E-5	0.0074207084	0.01702737	0.01704703	1.0011545	2.0E-5	0.07177748	0.15561979	0.15563667	1.0001085	2.0E-5
6.1	1.4273766E-4	3.2906284E-4	3.2906284E-4	1.0	6.115894E-4	0.0014095132	0.001419499	1.0070846	1.0E-5	0.0074207084	0.01702737	0.01704703	1.0011545	2.0E-5	0.07177748	0.15561979	0.15563667	1.0001085	2.0E-5
6.2	1.4273766E-4	3.2906284E-4	3.2906284E-4	1.0	6.115894E-4	0.0014095132	0.001419499	1.0070846	1.0E-5	0.0074207084	0.01702737	0.01704703	1.0011545	2.0E-5	0.07177748	0.15561979	0.15563667	1.0001085	2.0E-5
6.3	1.3730655E-4	3.1804809E-4	3.1804809E-4	1.0	5.883239E-4	0.0013623569	0.0013723433	1.0073302	1.0E-5	0.0071393442	0.016462024	0.016481696	1.001195	2.0E-5	0.06914291	0.15092044	0.15093741	1.0001125	2.0E-5
6.4	1.3730655E-4	3.1804809E-4	3.1804809E-4	1.0	5.883239E-4	0.0013623569	0.0013723433	1.0073302	1.0E-5	0.0071393442	0.016462024	0.016481696	1.001195	2.0E-5	0.06914291	0.15092044	0.15093741	1.0001125	2.0E-5
6.5	1.2942807E-4	3.0210053E-4	3.0210053E-4	1.0	5.545738E-4	0.0012940794	0.0013040665	1.0077175	1.0E-5	0.0067310524	0.015642911	0.0156626	1.0012585	2.0E-5	0.06530788	0.14405239	0.14406951	1.0001189	2.0E-5
6.6	1.1125901E-4	2.6624536E-4	2.6624536E-4	1.0	4.767372E-4	0.001140555	0.0011505436	1.0087577	1.0E-5	0.005788839	0.013798523	0.013818247	1.0014294	2.0E-5	0.056403454	0.1283108	0.12832823	1.0001359	2.0E-5
6.7	1.02209575E-4	2.4750375E-4	2.4750375E-4	1.0	4.3796748E-4	0.0010603006	0.00107029	1.0094212	1.0E-5	0.0053192247	0.0128332125	0.012852956	1.0015385	2.0E-5	0.051936906	0.12009082	0.12010842	1.0001465	2.0E-5
6.8	9.610582E-5	2.3259225E-4	2.3259225E-4	1.0	4.1181705E-4	9.964439E-4	0.0010064339	1.0100257	1.0E-5	0.0050023515	0.012064518	0.012084277	1.0016377	2.0E-5	0.048912346	0.11347353	0.11349126	1.0001563	2.0E-5
6.9	9.3877505E-5	2.2709703E-4	2.2709703E-4	1.0	4.0227012E-4	9.7291067E-4	9.82901E-4	1.0102684	1.0E-5	0.0048866454	0.01178113	0.0118008945	1.0016776	2.0E-5	0.04780577	0.111055836	0.11107361	1.0001601	2.0E-5
7.0	9.1019785E-5	2.2028992E-4	2.2028992E-4	1.0	3.900265E-4	9.4375864E-4	9.5374923E-4	1.0105859	1.0E-5	0.0047382377	0.0114299795	0.0114497505	1.0017297	2.0E-5	0.046384744	0.10801149	0.10802933	1.0001652	2.0E-5
7.1	8.771155E-5	2.1194606E-4	2.1194606E-4	1.0	3.758525E-4	9.0802455E-4	9.180155E-4	1.0110029	1.0E-5	0.0045664064	0.010999383	0.011019164	1.0017983	2.0E-5	0.044737056	0.10431212	0.10433003	1.0001718	2.0E-5
7.2	8.0830236E-5	1.9581373E-4	1.9581373E-4	1.0	3.4636928E-4	8.3893194E-4	8.489236E-4	1.01191	1.0E-5	0.0042088944	0.010166288	0.010186085	1.0019473	2.0E-5	0.041300658	0.097005434	0.097023495	1.0001862	2.0E-5
7.3	7.7668235E-5	1.8504729E-4	1.8504729E-4	1.0	3.328214E-4	7.928189E-4	8.0281094E-4	1.0126032	1.0E-5	0.0040445733	0.009609946	0.009629753	1.0020611	2.0E-5	0.03971748	0.09221549	0.09223365	1.0001969	2.0E-5
7.4	7.520177E-5	1.770883E-4	1.770883E-4	1.0	3.2225347E-4	7.587291E-4	7.6872157E-4	1.0131699	1.0E-5	0.0039163795	0.009198484	0.0092183	1.0021542	2.0E-5	0.038480744	0.08862669	0.088644914	1.0002056	2.0E-5
7.5	7.274697E-5	1.6981599E-4	1.6981599E-4	1.0	3.1173544E-4	7.2757987E-4	7.375726E-4	1.0137342	1.0E-5	0.003788775	0.008822377	0.0088422	1.002247	2.0E-5	0.03724827	0.08530165	0.085319944	1.0002145	2.0E-5
7.6	7.1185845E-5	1.6541853E-4	1.6541853E-4	1.0	3.0504653E-4	7.0874405E-4	7.1873696E-4	1.0140995	1.0E-5	0.0037076178	0.008594884	0.008614711	1.0023069	2.0E-5	0.036463667	0.08326182	0.08328015	1.0002202	2.0E-5
7.7	6.709961E-5	1.5422096E-4	1.5422096E-4	1.0	2.8753807E-4	6.607796E-4	6.70773E-4	1.0151236	1.0E-5	0.003495157	0.008015365	0.008035205	1.0024753	2.0E-5	0.034406938	0.0779946	0.07801304	1.0002364	2.0E-5
7.8	6.300812E-5	1.4248631E-4	1.4248631E-4	1.0	2.7000686E-4	6.1051274E-4	6.2050665E-4	1.0163697	1.0E-5	0.0032823787	0.0074076974	0.007427549	1.00268	2.0E-5	0.032343175	0.07243067	0.07244922	1.0002562	2.0E-5
7.9	4.983037E-5	1.0549828E-4	1.0549828E-4	1.0	2.1354125E-4	4.5205717E-4	4.6205265E-4	1.022111	1.0E-5	0.0025967648	0.0054899203	0.0055098105	1.003623	2.0E-5	0.025666296	0.05447836	0.054497268	1.0003471	2.0E-5
8.0	3.2211527E-5	5.821127E-5	5.821127E-5	1.0	1.380421E-4	2.4945303E-4	2.5945052E-4	1.0400777	1.0E-5	0.0016793669	0.0030328631	0.003042833	1.0032872	1.0E-5	0.016667323	0.030741751	0.030751444	1.0003153	1.0E-5
8.1	1.743376E-5	2.1134276E-5	2.1134276E-5	1.0	7.471398E-5	9.057233E-5	1.0057142E-4	1.110399	1.0E-5	9.0926304E-4	0.0011021611	0.00111215	1.0090631	1.0E-5	0.009055517	0.011678792	0.011688676	1.0008463	1.0E-5
8.2	7.831616E-6	6.0189022E-6	6.0189022E-6	1.0	3.3563636E-5	2.579504E-5	2.579504E-5	1.0	0.0	4.0856065E-4	3.1400946E-4	3.1400946E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004078103	0.0035085592	0.0035085592	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.2443514E-7	9.2443514E-7	1.0	8.498917E-6	3.961859E-6	3.961859E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.823459E-5	4.823459E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	5.622288E-4	5.622288E-4	1.0	0.0

Pleito

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.6763008E-5	2.59423E-5	2.59423E-5	1.0	7.183948E-5	1.1117695E-4	1.1117695E-4	1.0	8.742947E-4	0.0013528115	0.0013627979	1.007382	1.0E-5	0.00870863	0.013547935	0.013567663	1.0014563	2.0E-5
6.1	1.6763008E-5	2.59423E-5	2.59423E-5	1.0	7.183948E-5	1.1117695E-4	1.1117695E-4	1.0	8.742947E-4	0.0013528115	0.0013627979	1.007382	1.0E-5	0.00870863	0.013547935	0.013567663	1.0014563	2.0E-5
6.2	1.6763008E-5	2.59423E-5	2.59423E-5	1.0	7.183948E-5	1.1117695E-4	1.1117695E-4	1.0	8.742947E-4	0.0013528115	0.0013627979	1.007382	1.0E-5	0.00870863	0.013547935	0.013567663	1.0014563	2.0E-5
6.3	1.6763008E-5	2.59423E-5	2.59423E-5	1.0	7.183948E-5	1.1117695E-4	1.1117695E-4	1.0	8.742947E-4	0.0013528115	0.0013627979	1.007382	1.0E-5	0.00870863	0.013547935	0.013567663	1.0014563	2.0E-5
6.4	1.6763008E-5	2.59423E-5	2.59423E-5	1.0	7.183948E-5	1.1117695E-4	1.1117695E-4	1.0	8.742947E-4	0.0013528115	0.0013627979	1.007382	1.0E-5	0.00870863	0.013547935	0.013567663	1.0014563	2.0E-5
6.5	1.6763008E-5	2.59423E-5	2.59423E-5	1.0	7.183948E-5	1.1117695E-4	1.1117695E-4	1.0	8.742947E-4	0.0013528115	0.0013627979	1.007382	1.0E-5	0.00870863	0.013547935	0.013567663	1.0014563	2.0E-5
6.6	9.910213E-6	1.8375493E-5	1.8375493E-5	1.0	4.247165E-5	7.8749756E-5	7.8749756E-5	1.0	5.169696E-4	9.583604E-4	9.583604E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0051576863	0.009637965	0.009637965	1.0	0.0
6.7	9.910213E-6	1.8375493E-5	1.8375493E-5	1.0	4.247165E-5	7.8749756E-5	7.8749756E-5	1.0	5.169696E-4	9.583604E-4	9.583604E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0051576863	0.009637965	0.009637965	1.0	0.0
6.8	8.300162E-6	1.663187E-5	1.663187E-5	1.0	3.557164E-5	7.12775E-5	7.12775E-5	1.0	4.3299864E-4	8.674596E-4	8.674596E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004321559	0.008736261	0.008736261	1.0	0.0
6.9	8.183114E-6	1.6502567E-5	1.6502567E-5	1.0	3.5070017E-5	7.072338E-5	7.072338E-5	1.0	4.2689382E-4	8.607185E-4	8.607185E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0042607468	0.008669378	0.008669378	1.0	0.0
7.0	7.1748823E-6	1.5275358E-5	1.5275358E-5	1.0	3.0749135E-5	6.546418E-5	6.546418E-5	1.0	3.743064E-4	7.967355E-4	7.967355E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0037367654	0.008033949	0.008033949	1.0	0.0
7.1	7.1671807E-6	1.5265556E-5	1.5265556E-5	1.0	3.0716128E-5	6.542217E-5	6.542217E-5	1.0	3.7390468E-4	7.962245E-4	7.962245E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0037327618	0.008028876	0.008028876	1.0	0.0
7.2	7.0649667E-6	1.5109109E-5	1.5109109E-5	1.0	3.0278077E-5	6.475172E-5	6.475172E-5	1.0	3.6857324E-4	7.8806764E-4	7.8806764E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036796255	0.00794777	0.00794777	1.0	0.0
7.3	7.02082E-6	1.5050376E-5	1.5050376E-5	1.0	3.008888E-5	6.450002E-5	6.450002E-5	1.0	3.6627054E-4	7.850054E-4	7.850054E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036566744	0.00791716	0.00791716	1.0	0.0
7.4	6.987146E-6	1.5008699E-5	1.5008699E-5	1.0	2.9944567E-5	6.4321415E-5	6.4321415E-5	1.0	3.6451413E-4	7.828324E-4	7.828324E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036391679	0.007895473	0.007895473	1.0	0.0
7.5	6.9494554E-6	1.4964611E-5	1.4964611E-5	1.0	2.9783041E-5	6.413247E-5	6.413247E-5	1.0	3.625482E-4	7.805337E-4	7.805337E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036195726	0.007872604	0.007872604	1.0	0.0
7.6	6.92694E-6	1.4921974E-5	1.4921974E-5	1.0	2.9686547E-5	6.394975E-5	6.394975E-5	1.0	3.6137376E-4	7.783107E-4	7.783107E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036078666	0.007850481	0.007850481	1.0	0.0
7.7	6.395867E-6	1.3752869E-5	1.3752869E-5	1.0	2.741057E-5	5.893954E-5	5.893954E-5	1.0	3.336726E-4	7.1735296E-4	7.1735296E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0033317201	0.007245198	0.007245198	1.0	0.0
7.8	5.8664327E-6	1.2526155E-5	1.2526155E-5	1.0	2.5141611E-5	5.368242E-5	5.368242E-5	1.0	3.060561E-4	6.533877E-4	6.533877E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0030563495	0.0066031627	0.0066031627	1.0	0.0
7.9	3.7167474E-6	7.7150235E-6	7.7150235E-6	1.0	1.592882E-5	3.306397E-5	3.306397E-5	1.0	1.9391612E-4	4.0247964E-4	4.0247964E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0019374699	0.004072775	0.004072775	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.0903841E-6	1.4237609E-6	1.4237609E-6	1.0	4.6730665E-6	6.101818E-6	6.101818E-6	1.0	5.68931E-5	7.428712E-5	7.428712E-5	1.0	0.0	5.6878536E-4	7.653681E-4	7.653681E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	2.6894583E-7	1.3381398E-7	1.3381398E-7	1.0	1.1526245E-6	5.7348836E-7	5.7348836E-7	1.0	1.4033113E-5	6.9821986E-6	6.9821986E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4032227E-4	7.746867E-5	7.746867E-5	1.0	0.0
8.2	5.2967013E-9	3.0092457E-9	3.0092457E-9	1.0	2.2700148E-8	1.2896767E-8	1.2896767E-8	1.0	2.7637427E-7	1.5701812E-7	1.5701812E-7	1.0	0.0	2.7637393E-6	1.7657065E-6	1.7657065E-6	1.0	0.0

Butano 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.561135E-6	6.392276E-6	6.392276E-6	1.0	4.097565E-5	2.7395194E-5	3.739492E-5	1.3650175	1.0E-5	4.9876433E-4	3.3348764E-4	3.434843E-4	1.0299761	1.0E-5	0.004976464	0.0033479189	0.0033678517	1.0059539	2.0E-5
6.1	9.561135E-6	6.392276E-6	6.392276E-6	1.0	4.097565E-5	2.7395194E-5	3.739492E-5	1.3650175	1.0E-5	4.9876433E-4	3.3348764E-4	3.434843E-4	1.0299761	1.0E-5	0.004976464	0.0033479189	0.0033678517	1.0059539	2.0E-5
6.2	8.364741E-6	5.1441557E-6	5.1441557E-6	1.0	3.5848396E-5	2.2046204E-5	2.2046204E-5	1.0	0.0	4.3636683E-4	2.6838106E-4	2.6838106E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0043551093	0.0026985642	0.0027085373	1.0036957	1.0E-5
6.3	8.364741E-6	5.1441557E-6	5.1441557E-6	1.0	3.5848396E-5	2.2046204E-5	2.2046204E-5	1.0	0.0	4.3636683E-4	2.6838106E-4	2.6838106E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0043551093	0.0026985642	0.0027085373	1.0036957	1.0E-5
6.4	7.768282E-6	4.5214924E-6	4.5214924E-6	1.0	3.329221E-5	1.9377687E-5	1.9377687E-5	1.0	0.0	4.0525728E-4	2.3589918E-4	2.3589918E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0040451903	0.0023744674	0.0023844435	1.0042014	1.0E-5
6.5	7.673437E-6	4.4209196E-6	4.4209196E-6	1.0	3.2885746E-5	1.8946668E-5	1.8946668E-5	1.0	0.0	4.0031038E-4	2.3065263E-4	2.3065263E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0039959005	0.0023221117	0.0023320885	1.0042964	1.0E-5
6.6	7.5244197E-6	4.2656657E-6	4.2656657E-6	1.0	3.2247113E-5	1.8281302E-5	1.8281302E-5	1.0	0.0	3.9253788E-4	2.2255347E-4	2.2255347E-4	1.0	0.0	0.003918452	0.0022412853	0.002251263	1.0044518	1.0E-5
6.7	6.4921405E-6	3.2040161E-6	3.2040161E-6	1.0	2.7823162E-5	1.37314255E-5	1.37314255E-5	1.0	0.0	3.3869434E-4	1.6716737E-4	1.6716737E-4	1.0	0.0	0.003381786	0.0016882818	0.0016882818	1.0	0.0
6.8	6.2890294E-6	2.990387E-6	2.990387E-6	1.0	2.6952705E-5	1.2815881E-5	1.2815881E-5	1.0	0.0	3.2809976E-4	1.5602226E-4	1.5602226E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0032761577	0.0015769938	0.0015769938	1.0	0.0
6.9	6.0965517E-6	2.7964672E-6	2.7964672E-6	1.0	2.6127816E-5	1.1984805E-5	1.1984805E-5	1.0	0.0	3.1805973E-4	1.4590529E-4	1.4590529E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0031760489	0.0014759621	0.0014759621	1.0	0.0
7.0	5.566252E-6	2.3120797E-6	2.3120797E-6	1.0	2.3855147E-5	9.908875E-6	9.908875E-6	1.0	0.0	2.9039773E-4	1.2063392E-4	1.2063392E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0029001853	0.0012235478	0.0012235478	1.0	0.0
7.1	3.878588E-6	1.7380728E-6	1.7380728E-6	1.0	1.6622414E-5	7.4488617E-6	7.4488617E-6	1.0	0.0	2.023591E-4	9.068612E-5	9.068612E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0020217493	9.238649E-4	9.238649E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	3.7038085E-6	1.6171987E-6	1.6171987E-6	1.0	1.587337E-5	6.9308326E-6	6.9308326E-6	1.0	0.0	1.9324113E-4	8.437962E-5	8.437962E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0019307317	8.608139E-4	8.608139E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	3.5277278E-6	1.5234741E-6	1.5234741E-6	1.0	1.5118746E-5	6.529158E-6	6.529158E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8405518E-4	7.9489604E-5	7.9489604E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0018390282	8.118527E-4	8.118527E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.3711294E-6	1.4584275E-6	1.4584275E-6	1.0	1.4447617E-5	6.250388E-6	6.250388E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7588554E-4	7.609582E-5	7.609582E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0017574639	7.7787857E-4	7.7787857E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	3.0496426E-6	1.3413328E-6	1.3413328E-6	1.0	1.3069831E-5	5.7485563E-6	5.7485563E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5911358E-4	6.998643E-5	6.998643E-5	1.0	0.0	0.001589997	7.1674905E-4	7.1674905E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	2.2179781E-6	9.922877E-7	9.922877E-7	1.0	9.505586E-6	4.2526544E-6	4.2526544E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1572436E-4	5.1774838E-5	5.1774838E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0011566412	5.346193E-4	5.346193E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.7519328E-6	7.867666E-7	7.867666E-7	1.0	7.508262E-6	3.3718522E-6	3.3718522E-6	1.0	0.0	9.140925E-5	4.1051528E-5	4.1051528E-5	1.0	0.0	9.137166E-4	4.2664903E-4	4.2664903E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.1478974E-6	7.0252474E-7	7.0252474E-7	1.0	4.9195505E-6	3.010817E-6	3.010817E-6	1.0	0.0	5.9893882E-5	3.6656078E-5	3.6656078E-5	1.0	0.0	5.9877743E-4	3.8231048E-4	3.8231048E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.1154634E-7	6.321355E-7	6.321355E-7	1.0	2.6209104E-6	2.7091492E-6	2.7091492E-6	1.0	0.0	3.1909116E-5	3.2983393E-5	3.2983393E-5	1.0	0.0	3.1904536E-4	3.4419843E-4	3.4419843E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	4.6520046E-7	5.8625756E-7	5.8625756E-7	1.0	1.9937147E-6	2.51253E-6	2.51253E-6	1.0	0.0	2.4273206E-5	3.058962E-5	3.058962E-5	1.0	0.0	2.4270554E-4	3.192259E-4	3.192259E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	2.8425194E-7	3.4428598E-7	3.4428598E-7	1.0	1.218222E-6	1.4755105E-6	1.4755105E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4831752E-5	1.7964192E-5	1.7964192E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4830762E-4	1.8761508E-4	1.8761508E-4	1.0	0.0
8.2	5.585778E-8	4.7120913E-8	4.7120913E-8	1.0	2.3939046E-7	2.0194676E-7	2.0194676E-7	1.0	0.0	2.914575E-6	2.458699E-6	2.458699E-6	1.0	0.0	2.9145367E-5	2.6519903E-5	2.6519903E-5	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.0371215E-10	6.360923E-11	6.360923E-11	1.0	4.4448079E-10	2.7261138E-10	2.7261138E-10	1.0	0.0	5.4115543E-9	3.3190428E-9	3.3190428E-9	1.0	0.0	5.4115542E-8	3.7759477E-8	3.7759477E-8	1.0	0.0

Swain Ravine - Spenceville

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.596169E-6	5.665361E-6	1.5665304E-5	2.7651024	1.0E-5	2.398336E-5	2.4279909E-5	3.4279667E-5	1.4118532	1.0E-5	2.9195828E-4	2.9557053E-4	3.0556758E-4	1.0338229	1.0E-5	0.00291575	0.0029520434	0.002962014	1.0033774	1.0E-5
6.1	5.596169E-6	5.665361E-6	1.5665304E-5	2.7651024	1.0E-5	2.398336E-5	2.4279909E-5	3.4279667E-5	1.4118532	1.0E-5	2.9195828E-4	2.9557053E-4	3.0556758E-4	1.0338229	1.0E-5	0.00291575	0.0029520434	0.002962014	1.0033774	1.0E-5
6.2	5.596169E-6	5.665361E-6	1.5665304E-5	2.7651024	1.0E-5	2.398336E-5	2.4279909E-5	3.4279667E-5	1.4118532	1.0E-5	2.9195828E-4	2.9557053E-4	3.0556758E-4	1.0338229	1.0E-5	0.00291575	0.0029520434	0.002962014	1.0033774	1.0E-5
6.3	5.596169E-6	5.665361E-6	1.5665304E-5	2.7651024	1.0E-5	2.398336E-5	2.4279909E-5	3.4279667E-5	1.4118532	1.0E-5	2.9195828E-4	2.9557053E-4	3.0556758E-4	1.0338229	1.0E-5	0.00291575	0.0029520434	0.002962014	1.0033774	1.0E-5
6.4	2.8426775E-6	2.8748723E-6	2.8748723E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2182847E-5	1.2320825E-5	1.2320825E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4831607E-4	1.499961E-4	1.499961E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014821711	0.0014989871	0.0014989871	1.0	0.0
6.5	1.9210793E-6	1.941885E-6	1.941885E-6	1.0	0.0	8.233172E-6	8.3223385E-6	8.3223385E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0023425E-4	1.013199E-4	1.013199E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010018905	0.0010127504	0.0010127504	1.0	0.0
6.6	1.9210793E-6	1.941885E-6	1.941885E-6	1.0	0.0	8.233172E-6	8.3223385E-6	8.3223385E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0023425E-4	1.013199E-4	1.013199E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010018905	0.0010127504	0.0010127504	1.0	0.0
6.7	1.4667394E-6	1.4822438E-6	1.4822438E-6	1.0	0.0	6.286011E-6	6.352458E-6	6.352458E-6	1.0	0.0	7.65295E-5	7.733851E-5	7.733851E-5	1.0	0.0	7.6503144E-4	7.731237E-4	7.731237E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	1.1076943E-6	1.1192137E-6	1.1192137E-6	1.0	0.0	4.747252E-6	4.796622E-6	4.796622E-6	1.0	0.0	5.7796264E-5	5.8397352E-5	5.8397352E-5	1.0	0.0	5.778124E-4	5.8382447E-4	5.8382447E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	8.514296E-7	8.602078E-7	8.602078E-7	1.0	0.0	3.648979E-6	3.6866E-6	3.6866E-6	1.0	0.0	4.442541E-5	4.4883458E-5	4.4883458E-5	1.0	0.0	4.441653E-4	4.4874678E-4	4.4874678E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	4.8544706E-7	4.904429E-7	4.904429E-7	1.0	0.0	2.0804857E-6	2.1018966E-6	2.1018966E-6	1.0	0.0	2.532962E-5	2.5590303E-5	2.5590303E-5	1.0	0.0	2.5326732E-4	2.5587485E-4	2.5587485E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	3.829186E-7	3.8687728E-7	3.8687728E-7	1.0	0.0	1.6410787E-6	1.6580444E-6	1.6580444E-6	1.0	0.0	1.997995E-5	2.0186515E-5	2.0186515E-5	1.0	0.0	1.9978154E-4	2.0184787E-4	2.0184787E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.4726595E-7	1.4882971E-7	1.4882971E-7	1.0	0.0	6.3113964E-7	6.3784154E-7	6.3784154E-7	1.0	0.0	7.684098E-6	7.765699E-6	7.765699E-6	1.0	0.0	7.6838325E-5	7.7654804E-5	7.7654804E-5	1.0	0.0
7.3	4.1880604E-8	4.2334566E-8	4.2334566E-8	1.0	0.0	1.7948828E-7	1.8143386E-7	1.8143386E-7	1.0	0.0	2.1852677E-6	2.2089573E-6	2.2089573E-6	1.0	0.0	2.1852462E-5	2.2089573E-5	2.2089573E-5	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.1182444E-5	3.6164103E-5	4.6163743E-5	1.2765073	1.0E-5	1.336322E-4	1.5498085E-4	1.6497931E-4	1.064514	1.0E-5	0.0016257578	0.0018854457	0.0018954268	1.0052937	1.0E-5	0.016139153	0.01871336	0.018723173	1.0005244	1.0E-5
6.1	3.1182444E-5	3.6164103E-5	4.6163743E-5	1.2765073	1.0E-5	1.336322E-4	1.5498085E-4	1.6497931E-4	1.064514	1.0E-5	0.0016257578	0.0018854457	0.0018954268	1.0052937	1.0E-5	0.016139153	0.01871336	0.018723173	1.0005244	1.0E-5
6.2	3.1182444E-5	3.6164103E-5	4.6163743E-5	1.2765073	1.0E-5	1.336322E-4	1.5498085E-4	1.6497931E-4	1.064514	1.0E-5	0.0016257578	0.0018854457	0.0018954268	1.0052937	1.0E-5	0.016139153	0.01871336	0.018723173	1.0005244	1.0E-5
6.3	2.106934E-5	2.3923005E-5	3.3922766E-5	1.4179977	1.0E-5	9.0294045E-5	1.02523314E-4	1.12522284E-4	1.0975288	1.0E-5	0.0010987755	0.0012475378	0.0012575254	1.0080057	1.0E-5	0.010933585	0.012408612	0.012418488	1.0007958	1.0E-5
6.4	2.106934E-5	2.3923005E-5	3.3922766E-5	1.4179977	1.0E-5	9.0294045E-5	1.02523314E-4	1.12522284E-4	1.0975288	1.0E-5	0.0010987755	0.0012475378	0.0012575254	1.0080057	1.0E-5	0.010933585	0.012408612	0.012418488	1.0007958	1.0E-5
6.5	1.9389783E-5	2.1949974E-5	2.1949974E-5	1.0	0.0	8.309642E-5	9.4068084E-5	9.4068084E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010112294	0.0011447051	0.0011447051	1.0	0.0	0.010066401	0.01139098	0.01139098	1.0	0.0
6.6	1.9370193E-5	2.1929884E-5	2.1929884E-5	1.0	0.0	8.301247E-5	9.398199E-5	9.398199E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010102082	0.001143658	0.001143658	1.0	0.0	0.010056281	0.011380617	0.011380617	1.0	0.0
6.7	1.6723505E-5	1.8853074E-5	1.8853074E-5	1.0	0.0	7.16702E-5	8.079649E-5	8.079649E-5	1.0	0.0	8.722353E-4	9.83273E-4	9.83273E-4	1.0	0.0	0.008688197	0.009791247	0.009791247	1.0	0.0
6.8	1.426937E-5	1.6041833E-5	1.6041833E-5	1.0	0.0	6.115301E-5	6.874898E-5	6.874898E-5	1.0	0.0	7.4428355E-4	8.36712E-4	8.36712E-4	1.0	0.0	0.007417957	0.008337105	0.008337105	1.0	0.0
6.9	1.2469891E-5	1.3995253E-5	1.3995253E-5	1.0	0.0	5.3441294E-5	5.9978345E-5	5.9978345E-5	1.0	0.0	6.504535E-4	7.3000387E-4	7.3000387E-4	1.0	0.0	0.006485529	0.00727729	0.00727729	1.0	0.0
7.0	8.7746275E-6	9.81786E-6	9.81786E-6	1.0	0.0	3.7605005E-5	4.2075902E-5	4.2075902E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5774475E-4	5.1216106E-4	5.1216106E-4	1.0	0.0	0.00456803	0.005110544	0.005110544	1.0	0.0
7.1	6.1067153E-6	6.831882E-6	6.831882E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6171374E-5	2.9279197E-5	2.9279197E-5	1.0	0.0	3.1858988E-4	3.5642151E-4	3.5642151E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0031813353	0.0035590527	0.0035590527	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.939283E-6	3.2826968E-6	3.2826968E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2596866E-5	1.4068634E-5	1.4068634E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5335606E-4	1.7127392E-4	1.7127392E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0015325027	0.0017115921	0.0017115921	1.0	0.0
7.3	7.2387763E-7	8.028225E-7	8.028225E-7	1.0	0.0	3.102329E-6	3.440666E-6	3.440666E-6	1.0	0.0	3.77702E-5	4.1889765E-5	4.1889765E-5	1.0	0.0	3.7763783E-4	4.188639E-4	4.188639E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.112171E-8	3.2090718E-8	3.2090718E-8	1.0	0.0	1.3337875E-7	1.3753164E-7	1.3753164E-7	1.0	0.0	1.6238852E-6	1.6744465E-6	1.6744465E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6238733E-5	1.6744347E-5	1.6744347E-5	1.0	0.0

Hosgri

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.883978E-5	2.920661E-5	3.920632E-5	1.3423783	1.0E-5	1.235932E-4	1.2516533E-4	1.3516408E-4	1.0798843	1.0E-5	0.0015037085	0.0015228501	0.0015328348	1.0065566	1.0E-5	0.01493574	0.015127955	0.015137804	1.000651	1.0E-5
6.1	2.883978E-5	2.920661E-5	3.920632E-5	1.3423783	1.0E-5	1.235932E-4	1.2516533E-4	1.3516408E-4	1.0798843	1.0E-5	0.0015037085	0.0015228501	0.0015328348	1.0065566	1.0E-5	0.01493574	0.015127955	0.015137804	1.000651	1.0E-5
6.2	2.883978E-5	2.920661E-5	3.920632E-5	1.3423783	1.0E-5	1.235932E-4	1.2516533E-4	1.3516408E-4	1.0798843	1.0E-5	0.0015037085	0.0015228501	0.0015328348	1.0065566	1.0E-5	0.01493574	0.015127955	0.015137804	1.000651	1.0E-5
6.3	2.2914428E-5	2.2706028E-5	3.27058E-5	1.4404017	1.0E-5	9.8200995E-5	9.730795E-5	1.0730698E-4	1.1027565	1.0E-5	0.0011949413	0.0011840854	0.0011940735	1.0084354	1.0E-5	0.011885363	0.011779184	0.011789067	1.000839	1.0E-5
6.4	2.0195741E-5	1.9754974E-5	2.9754778E-5	1.5061916	1.0E-5	8.65503E-5	8.466144E-5	9.4660594E-5	1.1181076	1.0E-5	0.0010532405	0.0010302676	0.0010402573	1.0096962	1.0E-5	0.010482626	0.010255978	0.010265876	1.000965	1.0E-5
6.5	1.9924333E-5	1.9466972E-5	2.9466777E-5	1.5136806	1.0E-5	8.53872E-5	8.342722E-5	9.342639E-5	1.1198549	1.0E-5	0.0010390934	0.001015255	0.001025245	1.0098398	1.0E-5	0.010342481	0.010107224	0.010117123	1.0009794	1.0E-5
6.6	1.809694E-5	1.751308E-5	2.7512906E-5	1.5709918	1.0E-5	7.7556004E-5	7.5053904E-5	8.505316E-5	1.1332276	1.0E-5	9.438353E-4	9.1339956E-4	9.233904E-4	1.0109382	1.0E-5	0.009398366	0.009097414	0.009107323	1.0010892	1.0E-5
6.7	1.675989E-5	1.6095351E-5	2.6095191E-5	1.6212873	1.0E-5	7.182612E-5	6.897826E-5	7.897757E-5	1.1449633	1.0E-5	8.7413215E-4	8.3948794E-4	8.494795E-4	1.011902	1.0E-5	0.008707017	0.008364091	0.008374007	1.0011855	1.0E-5
6.8	1.5401129E-5	1.4664505E-5	2.466436E-5	1.6819086	1.0E-5	6.6003166E-5	6.2846375E-5	7.2845745E-5	1.1591082	1.0E-5	8.032922E-4	7.6488685E-4	7.748792E-4	1.0130638	1.0E-5	0.008003947	0.0076234234	0.007633347	1.0013018	1.0E-5
6.9	1.356559E-5	1.2737455E-5	2.2737328E-5	1.7850761	1.0E-5	5.8136946E-5	5.4587952E-5	6.458741E-5	1.1831806	1.0E-5	7.0758746E-4	6.644061E-4	6.743995E-4	1.015041	1.0E-5	0.007053386	0.0066250195	0.006634953	1.0014994	1.0E-5
7.0	1.2030819E-5	1.1141044E-5	2.1140933E-5	1.8975719	1.0E-5	5.155963E-5	4.7746456E-5	5.774598E-5	1.2094296	1.0E-5	6.275577E-4	5.8115815E-4	5.9115235E-4	1.017197	1.0E-5	0.006257884	0.0057971613	0.005807103	1.001715	1.0E-5
7.1	1.0972698E-5	1.0065666E-5	2.0065565E-5	1.9934663	1.0E-5	4.7025E-5	4.3137854E-5	5.3137424E-5	1.231805	1.0E-5	5.72379E-4	5.250769E-4	5.3507165E-4	1.0190349	1.0E-5	0.0057090693	0.0052391314	0.005249079	1.0018988	1.0E-5
7.2	9.961926E-6	9.076781E-6	1.907669E-5	2.1017022	1.0E-5	4.2693267E-5	3.889991E-5	4.889952E-5	1.25706	1.0E-5	5.1966653E-4	4.7350355E-4	4.834988E-4	1.0211092	1.0E-5	0.00518453	0.004725709	0.004735662	1.0021061	1.0E-5
7.3	8.700929E-6	7.868549E-6	1.7868471E-5	2.2708724	1.0E-5	3.7289166E-5	3.3721917E-5	4.3721582E-5	1.296533	1.0E-5	4.53901E-4	4.1048703E-4	4.2048292E-4	1.0243514	1.0E-5	0.00452975	0.0040980442	0.0041080033	1.0024302	1.0E-5
7.4	7.866285E-6	7.0380834E-6	1.7038014E-5	2.4208314	1.0E-5	3.3712215E-5	3.0162866E-5	4.0162562E-5	1.3315235	1.0E-5	4.103689E-4	3.6717104E-4	3.7716737E-4	1.0272253	1.0E-5	0.004096119	0.0036663974	0.003676361	1.0027175	1.0E-5
7.5	6.8381305E-6	5.9976974E-6	1.5997637E-5	2.6672966	1.0E-5	2.9305946E-5	2.5704163E-5	3.5703906E-5	1.389032	1.0E-5	3.5674145E-4	3.1290328E-4	3.2290016E-4	1.0319488	1.0E-5	0.0035616932	0.0031253784	0.003135347	1.0031896	1.0E-5
7.6	5.503376E-6	4.6315145E-6	1.4631468E-5	3.159111	1.0E-5	2.3585684E-5	1.9849196E-5	2.9848998E-5	1.5037887	1.0E-5	2.8711787E-4	2.4163719E-4	2.5163477E-4	1.0413743	1.0E-5	0.002867472	0.0024144938	0.0024244697	1.0041317	1.0E-5
7.7	3.6144982E-6	2.6846574E-6	1.2684631E-5	4.72486	1.0E-5	1.5490614E-5	1.1505624E-5	2.1505508E-5	1.8691303	1.0E-5	1.8858191E-4	1.4007196E-4	1.5007057E-4	1.0713819	1.0E-5	0.0018842196	0.0014005842	0.0014105702	1.0071299	1.0E-5
7.8	1.9853494E-6	1.1618808E-6	1.1618808E-6	1.0	0.0	8.508612E-6	4.97948E-6	4.97948E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0358743E-4	6.0623483E-5	6.0623483E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010353916	6.0681574E-4	6.0681574E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.1818757E-6	5.4908173E-7	5.4908173E-7	1.0	0.0	5.0651715E-6	2.3532052E-6	2.3532052E-6	1.0	0.0	6.1666724E-5	2.8649896E-5	2.8649896E-5	1.0	0.0	6.1649614E-4	2.871657E-4	2.871657E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	6.962958E-7	2.8468224E-7	2.8468224E-7	1.0	0.0	2.9841215E-6	1.2200661E-6	1.2200661E-6	1.0	0.0	3.6331072E-5	1.4854204E-5	1.4854204E-5	1.0	0.0	3.6325134E-4	1.4912793E-4	1.4912793E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.5033264E-7	6.82274E-8	6.82274E-8	1.0	0.0	6.442826E-7	2.9240312E-7	2.9240312E-7	1.0	0.0	7.844113E-6	3.5600024E-6	3.5600024E-6	1.0	0.0	7.843835E-5	3.5620968E-5	3.5620968E-5	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.6591328E-5	1.8145905E-5	1.8145905E-5	1.0	7.110376E-5	7.7766235E-5	7.7766235E-5	1.0	8.6534437E-4	9.464621E-4	9.464621E-4	1.0	0.008619824	0.009431173	0.009441079	1.0010504	1.0E-5
6.1	8.041125E-6	8.787945E-6	8.787945E-6	1.0	3.4461507E-5	3.7662194E-5	3.7662194E-5	1.0	4.194881E-4	4.5846112E-4	4.5846112E-4	1.0	0.004186971	0.004577159	0.004587113	1.0021747	1.0E-5
6.2	3.2807004E-6	3.5870453E-6	3.5870453E-6	1.0	1.4060069E-5	1.5372985E-5	1.5372985E-5	1.0	1.7116789E-4	1.8715419E-4	1.8715419E-4	1.0	0.0017103611	0.0018703755	0.0018703755	1.0	0.0
6.3	1.9339366E-6	2.1147953E-6	2.1147953E-6	1.0	8.288273E-6	9.063393E-6	9.063393E-6	1.0	1.00905054E-4	1.1034409E-4	1.1034409E-4	1.0	0.0010085925	0.001103174	0.001103174	1.0	0.0
6.4	1.3142635E-6	1.4369816E-6	1.4369816E-6	1.0	5.6325457E-6	6.158493E-6	6.158493E-6	1.0	6.857408E-5	7.4979645E-5	7.4979645E-5	1.0	6.8552926E-4	7.497965E-4	7.497965E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1925945E-4	3.356712E-4	3.356712E-4	1.0	5.110118E-4	0.0014378026	0.0014477882	1.006945	1.0E-5	0.0062038354	0.017366152	0.017375978	1.0005659	1.0E-5	0.060334753	0.15586357	0.155872	1.0000541	1.0E-5
6.1	1.1925945E-4	3.356712E-4	3.356712E-4	1.0	5.110118E-4	0.0014378026	0.0014477882	1.006945	1.0E-5	0.0062038354	0.017366152	0.017375978	1.0005659	1.0E-5	0.060334753	0.15586357	0.155872	1.0000541	1.0E-5
6.2	1.07432395E-4	3.106247E-4	3.106247E-4	1.0	4.603433E-4	0.0013305737	0.0013405604	1.0075055	1.0E-5	0.005590286	0.01608057	0.01609041	1.0006119	1.0E-5	0.05451731	0.14506601	0.14507455	1.0000589	1.0E-5
6.3	1.0718766E-4	3.1007736E-4	3.1007736E-4	1.0	4.592948E-4	0.0013282304	0.0013382171	1.0075188	1.0E-5	0.005577586	0.01605246	0.0160623	1.000613	1.0E-5	0.054396555	0.144835	0.14484355	1.000059	1.0E-5
6.4	1.0355944E-4	3.0214674E-4	3.0214674E-4	1.0	4.4375064E-4	0.0012942761	0.0013042632	1.0077163	1.0E-5	0.0053892885	0.015645077	0.01565492	1.0006292	1.0E-5	0.052604496	0.14142953	0.14143813	1.0000607	1.0E-5
6.5	1.0227914E-4	2.9933732E-4	2.9933732E-4	1.0	4.382655E-4	0.0012822476	0.0012922348	1.0077888	1.0E-5	0.0053228354	0.015500722	0.015510567	1.0006351	1.0E-5	0.051971316	0.14021735	0.14022595	1.0000613	1.0E-5
6.6	1.0116757E-4	2.96989E-4	2.96989E-4	1.0	4.3350324E-4	0.0012721933	0.0012821805	1.0078504	1.0E-5	0.0052651367	0.0153800445	0.01538989	1.0006402	1.0E-5	0.051421247	0.1391974	0.13920599	1.0000619	1.0E-5
6.7	1.0050676E-4	2.9557158E-4	2.9557158E-4	1.0	4.3067214E-4	0.0012661244	0.0012761118	1.0078881	1.0E-5	0.005230834	0.015307197	0.015317044	1.0006433	1.0E-5	0.051094085	0.13858354	0.13859215	1.0000621	1.0E-5
6.8	9.976819E-5	2.9359496E-4	2.9359496E-4	1.0	4.2750788E-4	0.0012576615	0.0012676489	1.0079412	1.0E-5	0.0051924936	0.015205605	0.015215453	1.0006477	1.0E-5	0.050728295	0.13773343	0.13774206	1.0000626	1.0E-5
6.9	9.77719E-5	2.884994E-4	2.884994E-4	1.0	4.1895514E-4	0.0012358442	0.0012458318	1.0080817	1.0E-5	0.0050888555	0.014943653	0.014953503	1.0006592	1.0E-5	0.049738888	0.13554738	0.13555603	1.0000638	1.0E-5
7.0	8.500761E-5	2.5535974E-4	2.5535974E-4	1.0	3.6426744E-4	0.0010939433	0.0011039323	1.0091312	1.0E-5	0.0044259406	0.013238246	0.013248114	1.0007454	1.0E-5	0.04338823	0.12126602	0.12127481	1.0000725	1.0E-5
7.1	8.319876E-5	2.5129266E-4	2.5129266E-4	1.0	3.5651738E-4	0.0010765274	0.0010865167	1.0092791	1.0E-5	0.004331963	0.013028764	0.013038634	1.0007576	1.0E-5	0.042484846	0.11945523	0.11946403	1.0000737	1.0E-5
7.2	7.563917E-5	2.3153158E-4	2.3153158E-4	1.0	3.2412758E-4	9.919041E-4	0.0010018941	1.0100716	1.0E-5	0.0039391145	0.012010294	0.0120201735	1.0008227	1.0E-5	0.03870018	0.11079678	0.110805675	1.0000802	1.0E-5
7.3	7.082985E-5	2.1438648E-4	2.1438648E-4	1.0	3.0352117E-4	9.184787E-4	9.284695E-4	1.0108776	1.0E-5	0.0036891096	0.011125805	0.011135694	1.0008888	1.0E-5	0.03628465	0.1032267	0.10323566	1.0000869	1.0E-5
7.4	5.146215E-5	1.484727E-4	1.484727E-4	1.0	2.2053342E-4	6.3615735E-4	6.4615096E-4	1.0157094	1.0E-5	0.0026816884	0.0077179116	0.0077278344	1.0012857	1.0E-5	0.02649557	0.07333952	0.07334879	1.0001264	1.0E-5
7.5	4.0285166E-5	1.143636E-4	1.143636E-4	1.0	1.7263928E-4	4.9003796E-4	5.000331E-4	1.0203966	1.0E-5	0.002099857	0.005949966	0.0059599066	1.0016707	1.0E-5	0.020801254	0.057205297	0.057214726	1.0001649	1.0E-5
7.6	3.1168736E-5	8.8730245E-5	8.8730245E-5	1.0	1.3357346E-4	3.802172E-4	3.902134E-4	1.0262908	1.0E-5	0.0016250437	0.004619348	0.004629302	1.0021548	1.0E-5	0.016132116	0.04475939	0.04476894	1.0002134	1.0E-5
7.7	2.2100989E-5	6.617025E-5	6.617025E-5	1.0	9.4715084E-5	2.83556E-4	2.9355317E-4	1.0352564	1.0E-5	0.001152546	0.0034468365	0.003456802	1.0028912	1.0E-5	0.011465867	0.033610076	0.03361974	1.0002875	1.0E-5
7.8	1.7484861E-5	5.513291E-5	5.513291E-5	1.0	7.493296E-5	2.3626252E-4	2.4626017E-4	1.0423158	1.0E-5	9.1192697E-4	0.0028727052	0.0028826764	1.003471	1.0E-5	0.009081938	0.028151348	0.028161068	1.0003452	1.0E-5
7.9	1.3967285E-5	4.0948456E-5	4.0948456E-5	1.0	5.985842E-5	1.7548159E-4	1.8547983E-4	1.0569761	1.0E-5	7.2853256E-4	0.0021343962	0.002144375	1.0046751	1.0E-5	0.0072614877	0.021162953	0.021172741	1.0004625	1.0E-5
8.0	1.1887396E-5	3.3404373E-5	3.3404373E-5	1.0	5.094499E-5	1.4315374E-4	1.5315232E-4	1.069845	1.0E-5	6.200787E-4	0.0017415046	0.0017514871	1.0057322	1.0E-5	0.006183513	0.017363455	0.017373282	1.0005659	1.0E-5
8.1	5.100864E-6	9.931793E-6	9.931793E-6	1.0	2.1860664E-5	4.2564134E-5	5.2563708E-5	1.2349296	1.0E-5	2.6612106E-4	5.180953E-4	5.280901E-4	1.0192915	1.0E-5	0.002658026	0.0053924737	0.0054024197	1.0018444	1.0E-5
8.2	2.3004484E-6	3.174966E-6	3.174966E-6	1.0	9.859027E-6	1.3606926E-5	1.3606926E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2002704E-4	1.6565177E-4	1.6565177E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011996223	0.0017966684	0.0017966684	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.0424446E-7	6.872414E-8	6.872414E-8	1.0	4.4676187E-7	2.9453201E-7	2.9453201E-7	1.0	0.0	5.439312E-6	3.5859218E-6	3.5859218E-6	1.0	0.0	5.4391792E-5	3.753697E-5	3.753697E-5	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 06 (Midland) 2011 CFM alt1

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.2712525E-5	1.3222432E-5	1.3222432E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.666648E-5	5.666648E-5	1.0	6.6310563E-4	6.8972143E-4	6.997145E-4	1.0144886	1.0E-5	0.0066113044	0.006878328	0.0068882597	1.0014439	1.0E-5
6.1	1.2712525E-5	1.3222432E-5	1.3222432E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.666648E-5	5.666648E-5	1.0	6.6310563E-4	6.8972143E-4	6.997145E-4	1.0144886	1.0E-5	0.0066113044	0.006878328	0.0068882597	1.0014439	1.0E-5
6.2	1.2712525E-5	1.3222432E-5	1.3222432E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.666648E-5	5.666648E-5	1.0	6.6310563E-4	6.8972143E-4	6.997145E-4	1.0144886	1.0E-5	0.0066113044	0.006878328	0.0068882597	1.0014439	1.0E-5
6.3	1.2712525E-5	1.3222432E-5	1.3222432E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.666648E-5	5.666648E-5	1.0	6.6310563E-4	6.8972143E-4	6.997145E-4	1.0144886	1.0E-5	0.0066113044	0.006878328	0.0068882597	1.0014439	1.0E-5
6.4	1.2712525E-5	1.3222432E-5	1.3222432E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.666648E-5	5.666648E-5	1.0	6.6310563E-4	6.8972143E-4	6.997145E-4	1.0144886	1.0E-5	0.0066113044	0.006878328	0.0068882597	1.0014439	1.0E-5
6.5	1.2712525E-5	1.3222432E-5	1.3222432E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.666648E-5	5.666648E-5	1.0	6.6310563E-4	6.8972143E-4	6.997145E-4	1.0144886	1.0E-5	0.0066113044	0.006878328	0.0068882597	1.0014439	1.0E-5
6.6	5.7574384E-6	5.97571E-6	5.97571E-6	1.0	2.4674504E-5	2.5609956E-5	2.5609956E-5	1.0	3.0037065E-4	3.1176052E-4	3.217574E-4	1.0320659	1.0E-5	0.0029996498	0.0031136188	0.0031235877	1.0032017	1.0E-5
6.7	5.7574384E-6	5.97571E-6	5.97571E-6	1.0	2.4674504E-5	2.5609956E-5	2.5609956E-5	1.0	3.0037065E-4	3.1176052E-4	3.217574E-4	1.0320659	1.0E-5	0.0029996498	0.0031136188	0.0031235877	1.0032017	1.0E-5
6.8	3.3474828E-6	3.472278E-6	3.472278E-6	1.0	1.4346277E-5	1.4881115E-5	1.4881115E-5	1.0	1.7465191E-4	1.8116401E-4	1.911622E-4	1.0551887	1.0E-5	0.0017451472	0.0018103104	0.0018202923	1.0055139	1.0E-5
6.9	2.035106E-6	2.11079E-6	2.11079E-6	1.0	8.721853E-6	9.046215E-6	9.046215E-6	1.0	1.0618339E-4	1.10132845E-4	1.2013174E-4	1.0907894	1.0E-5	0.0010613267	0.0011008551	0.001110844	1.0090739	1.0E-5
7.0	1.2424716E-6	1.2889539E-6	1.2889539E-6	1.0	5.3248673E-6	5.524079E-6	5.524079E-6	1.0	6.482833E-5	6.725404E-5	7.725337E-5	1.14868	1.0E-5	6.480942E-4	6.7238125E-4	6.823745E-4	1.0148625	1.0E-5
7.1	6.6904556E-7	6.9449385E-7	6.9449385E-7	1.0	2.867335E-6	2.9764003E-6	2.9764003E-6	1.0	3.4909244E-5	3.6237332E-5	3.6237332E-5	1.0	0.0	3.490376E-4	3.6233978E-4	3.6233978E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	3.948168E-7	4.0992097E-7	4.0992097E-7	1.0	1.6920709E-6	1.7568042E-6	1.7568042E-6	1.0	2.0600768E-5	2.138909E-5	2.138909E-5	1.0	0.0	2.0598859E-4	2.138909E-4	2.138909E-4	1.0	0.0

Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	6.2326144E-5	8.114782E-5	9.1147005E-5	1.1232219	1.0E-5	2.6708472E-4	3.477306E-4	3.5772708E-4	1.0287479	1.0E-5	0.003246908	0.0042254855	0.004235443	1.0023566	1.0E-5	0.031998757	0.04146775	0.041477334	1.0002311	1.0E-5
6.1	6.227657E-5	8.1084945E-5	9.108413E-5	1.1233175	1.0E-5	2.668723E-4	3.474612E-4	3.5745773E-4	1.0287702	1.0E-5	0.0032443295	0.004222219	0.0042321766	1.0023584	1.0E-5	0.031973712	0.041436307	0.041445892	1.0002314	1.0E-5
6.2	6.22452E-5	8.104532E-5	9.104451E-5	1.1233778	1.0E-5	2.6673786E-4	3.4729144E-4	3.5728797E-4	1.0287843	1.0E-5	0.0032426978	0.0042201597	0.0042301174	1.0023596	1.0E-5	0.03195787	0.041416492	0.041426077	1.0002315	1.0E-5
6.3	6.219006E-5	8.097473E-5	9.097392E-5	1.1234853	1.0E-5	2.6650162E-4	3.4698896E-4	3.569855E-4	1.0288093	1.0E-5	0.00323983	0.0042164912	0.0042264494	1.0023617	1.0E-5	0.031930014	0.041381188	0.041390773	1.0002316	1.0E-5
6.4	5.2175856E-5	6.770241E-5	7.7701734E-5	1.1476952	1.0E-5	2.2359163E-4	2.9012104E-4	3.0011815E-4	1.0344584	1.0E-5	0.0027188298	0.003526548	0.0035365128	1.0028256	1.0E-5	0.026858058	0.03471486	0.03472451	1.0002781	1.0E-5
6.5	5.205166E-5	6.7544126E-5	7.754345E-5	1.1480414	1.0E-5	2.2305945E-4	2.8944283E-4	2.9943994E-4	1.0345391	1.0E-5	0.0027123666	0.0035183178	0.0035282825	1.0028323	1.0E-5	0.026794989	0.03463515	0.0346448	1.0002787	1.0E-5
6.6	5.0085426E-5	6.492193E-5	7.492128E-5	1.1540211	1.0E-5	2.1463417E-4	2.7820744E-4	2.8820467E-4	1.0359344	1.0E-5	0.0026100394	0.0033819638	0.00339193	1.0029469	1.0E-5	0.025795965	0.03331382	0.033323485	1.0002902	1.0E-5
6.7	4.8930866E-5	6.343737E-5	7.343674E-5	1.1576258	1.0E-5	2.0968684E-4	2.7184642E-4	2.818437E-4	1.0367755	1.0E-5	0.0025499484	0.0033047558	0.0033147228	1.003016	1.0E-5	0.025208864	0.03256472	0.032574393	1.0002971	1.0E-5
6.8	4.5679535E-5	5.9130813E-5	6.913022E-5	1.1691066	1.0E-5	1.9575475E-4	2.5339337E-4	2.6339086E-4	1.0394543	1.0E-5	0.002380709	0.003080737	0.0030907062	1.0032359	1.0E-5	0.023553653	0.030387005	0.0303967	1.0003191	1.0E-5
6.9	4.1439176E-5	5.3570617E-5	6.3570085E-5	1.1866595	1.0E-5	1.7758438E-4	2.2956831E-4	2.3956601E-4	1.04355	1.0E-5	0.002159946	0.0027914366	0.0028014085	1.0035723	1.0E-5	0.021390721	0.027568443	0.027578168	1.0003527	1.0E-5
7.0	3.5920104E-5	4.6308352E-5	5.6307887E-5	1.2159338	1.0E-5	1.5393422E-4	1.9844936E-4	2.0844737E-4	1.0503807	1.0E-5	0.001872538	0.0024134594	0.0024234352	1.0041335	1.0E-5	0.018568378	0.023875453	0.023885213	1.0004089	1.0E-5
7.1	3.338812E-5	4.2965476E-5	5.2965046E-5	1.232735	1.0E-5	1.430841E-4	1.8412484E-4	1.94123E-4	1.054301	1.0E-5	0.0017406568	0.0022394296	0.002249407	1.0044554	1.0E-5	0.017270854	0.02217116	0.02218094	1.0004411	1.0E-5
7.2	2.8619615E-5	3.6629674E-5	4.662931E-5	1.2729927	1.0E-5	1.2264973E-4	1.5697493E-4	1.6697336E-4	1.0636945	1.0E-5	0.0014922376	0.0019095043	0.0019194853	1.005227	1.0E-5	0.014822568	0.018932791	0.018942602	1.0005182	1.0E-5
7.3	2.6376783E-5	3.3624598E-5	4.3624263E-5	1.2973913	1.0E-5	1.13038455E-4	1.4409752E-4	1.5409608E-4	1.0693874	1.0E-5	0.0013753743	0.0017529848	0.0017629673	1.0056945	1.0E-5	0.01366893	0.017393267	0.017403092	1.0005649	1.0E-5
7.4	2.3738676E-5	3.015564E-5	4.0155337E-5	1.3316029	1.0E-5	1.0173322E-4	1.292321E-4	1.392308E-4	1.0773702	1.0E-5	0.0012378981	0.0015722733	0.0015822577	1.0063502	1.0E-5	0.012310251	0.01561286	0.015622703	1.0006305	1.0E-5
7.5	2.1789481E-5	2.75967E-5	2.75967E-5	1.0	0.0	9.338015E-5	1.1826625E-4	1.1826625E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011363103	0.0014389486	0.0014389486	1.0	0.0	0.011305175	0.0142975375	0.0142975375	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.3895281E-5	1.7464252E-5	1.7464252E-5	1.0	0.0	5.9549846E-5	7.484466E-5	7.484466E-5	1.0	0.0	7.2477816E-4	9.1085566E-4	9.1085566E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0072241887	0.009071643	0.009071643	1.0	0.0
7.7	4.245981E-6	5.1876955E-6	5.1876955E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8196934E-5	2.2232793E-5	2.2232793E-5	1.0	0.0	2.2152514E-4	2.706508E-4	2.706508E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0022130446	0.0027031752	0.0027031752	1.0	0.0
7.8	6.145192E-7	7.0737804E-7	7.0737804E-7	1.0	0.0	2.633651E-6	3.0316166E-6	3.0316166E-6	1.0	0.0	3.206423E-5	3.6909318E-5	3.6909318E-5	1.0	0.0	3.2059604E-4	3.6902586E-4	3.6902586E-4	1.0	0.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.939946E-5	4.9303326E-5	4.9303326E-5	1.0	1.6884391E-4	2.1128575E-4	2.2128363E-4	1.0473193	1.0E-5	0.0020537362	0.0025698827	0.002579857	1.0038812	1.0E-5	0.020348595	0.025456369	0.025466114	1.0003828	1.0E-5
6.1	2.1505624E-5	2.7116448E-5	2.7116448E-5	1.0	9.2163704E-5	1.1620873E-4	1.1620873E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011215154	0.0014140343	0.0014140343	1.0	0.0	0.011158722	0.01406484	0.01406484	1.0	0.0
6.2	2.1505624E-5	2.7116448E-5	2.7116448E-5	1.0	9.2163704E-5	1.1620873E-4	1.1620873E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011215154	0.0014140343	0.0014140343	1.0	0.0	0.011158722	0.01406484	0.01406484	1.0	0.0
6.3	1.4290785E-5	1.8360897E-5	1.8360897E-5	1.0	6.1244784E-5	7.8687444E-5	7.8687444E-5	1.0	0.0	7.454001E-4	9.576447E-4	9.576447E-4	1.0	0.0	0.007429048	0.009543183	0.009543183	1.0	0.0
6.4	1.4290785E-5	1.8360897E-5	1.8360897E-5	1.0	6.1244784E-5	7.8687444E-5	7.8687444E-5	1.0	0.0	7.454001E-4	9.576447E-4	9.576447E-4	1.0	0.0	0.007429048	0.009543183	0.009543183	1.0	0.0
6.5	1.3017944E-5	1.6841295E-5	1.6841295E-5	1.0	5.5789995E-5	7.217524E-5	7.217524E-5	1.0	0.0	6.790315E-4	8.784239E-4	8.784239E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0067696036	0.00875736	0.00875736	1.0	0.0
6.6	9.470016E-6	1.2167212E-5	1.2167212E-5	1.0	4.058515E-5	5.2144347E-5	5.2144347E-5	1.0	0.0	4.940122E-4	6.3470716E-4	6.3470716E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004929154	0.006336063	0.006336063	1.0	0.0
6.7	8.314155E-6	1.0516208E-5	1.0516208E-5	1.0	3.5631605E-5	4.506887E-5	4.506887E-5	1.0	0.0	4.3372845E-4	5.4860825E-4	5.4860825E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004328829	0.0054799216	0.0054799216	1.0	0.0
6.8	3.4856364E-6	3.849439E-6	3.849439E-6	1.0	1.4938357E-5	1.6497503E-5	1.6497503E-5	1.0	0.0	1.8185932E-4	2.0084069E-4	2.0084069E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0018171056	0.0020081154	0.0020081154	1.0	0.0
6.9	2.2645952E-6	2.1766448E-6	2.1766448E-6	1.0	9.705372E-6	9.328445E-6	9.328445E-6	1.0	0.0	1.18156495E-4	1.1356812E-4	1.1356812E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011809369	0.0011356106	0.0011356106	1.0	0.0
7.0	1.7864003E-6	1.561648E-6	1.561648E-6	1.0	7.655979E-6	6.6927605E-6	6.6927605E-6	1.0	0.0	9.3207556E-5	8.148137E-5	8.148137E-5	1.0	0.0	9.316847E-4	8.148975E-4	8.148975E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.7315456E-6	1.4913006E-6	1.4913006E-6	1.0	7.420889E-6	6.391273E-6	6.391273E-6	1.0	0.0	9.034557E-5	7.7811026E-5	7.7811026E-5	1.0	0.0	9.0308854E-4	7.7821536E-4	7.7821536E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.6008337E-6	1.374321E-6	1.374321E-6	1.0	6.860698E-6	5.889934E-6	5.889934E-6	1.0	0.0	8.352579E-5	7.170764E-5	7.170764E-5	1.0	0.0	8.34944E-4	7.172104E-4	7.172104E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.3320939E-6	1.1346654E-6	1.1346654E-6	1.0	5.7089615E-6	4.8628426E-6	4.8628426E-6	1.0	0.0	6.9504385E-5	5.920355E-5	5.920355E-5	1.0	0.0	6.9482654E-4	5.919941E-4	5.919941E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.114294E-6	9.327976E-7	9.327976E-7	1.0	4.775537E-6	3.997698E-6	3.997698E-6	1.0	0.0	5.8140613E-5	4.8670925E-5	4.8670925E-5	1.0	0.0	5.81254E-4	4.8661602E-4	4.8661602E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	9.354081E-7	7.691201E-7	7.691201E-7	1.0	4.0088858E-6	3.2962253E-6	3.2962253E-6	1.0	0.0	4.8807087E-5	4.013084E-5	4.013084E-5	1.0	0.0	4.879637E-4	4.0123935E-4	4.0123935E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	8.521771E-7	6.938347E-7	6.938347E-7	1.0	3.6521824E-6	2.9735738E-6	2.9735738E-6	1.0	0.0	4.4464414E-5	3.6202695E-5	3.6202695E-5	1.0	0.0	4.4455516E-4	3.6197118E-4	3.6197118E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.1803626E-7	1.432609E-7	1.432609E-7	1.0	9.344408E-7	6.1397526E-7	6.1397526E-7	1.0	0.0	1.1376757E-5	7.475133E-6	7.475133E-6	1.0	0.0	1.13761744E-4	7.474979E-5	7.474979E-5	1.0	0.0

Los Alamos 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.6284417E-6	4.756047E-6	4.756047E-6	1.0	1.9836029E-5	2.038291E-5	2.038291E-5	1.0	2.4147688E-4	2.4813545E-4	2.4813545E-4	1.0	0.0024121467	0.002478758	0.0024887333	1.0040243	1.0E-5
6.1	4.6284417E-6	4.756047E-6	4.756047E-6	1.0	1.9836029E-5	2.038291E-5	2.038291E-5	1.0	2.4147688E-4	2.4813545E-4	2.4813545E-4	1.0	0.0024121467	0.002478758	0.0024887333	1.0040243	1.0E-5
6.2	4.6284417E-6	4.756047E-6	4.756047E-6	1.0	1.9836029E-5	2.038291E-5	2.038291E-5	1.0	2.4147688E-4	2.4813545E-4	2.4813545E-4	1.0	0.0024121467	0.002478758	0.0024887333	1.0040243	1.0E-5
6.3	4.6284417E-6	4.756047E-6	4.756047E-6	1.0	1.9836029E-5	2.038291E-5	2.038291E-5	1.0	2.4147688E-4	2.4813545E-4	2.4813545E-4	1.0	0.0024121467	0.002478758	0.0024887333	1.0040243	1.0E-5
6.4	4.6284417E-6	4.756047E-6	4.756047E-6	1.0	1.9836029E-5	2.038291E-5	2.038291E-5	1.0	2.4147688E-4	2.4813545E-4	2.4813545E-4	1.0	0.0024121467	0.002478758	0.0024887333	1.0040243	1.0E-5
6.5	4.6284417E-6	4.756047E-6	4.756047E-6	1.0	1.9836029E-5	2.038291E-5	2.038291E-5	1.0	2.4147688E-4	2.4813545E-4	2.4813545E-4	1.0	0.0024121467	0.002478758	0.0024887333	1.0040243	1.0E-5
6.6	4.6284417E-6	4.756047E-6	4.756047E-6	1.0	1.9836029E-5	2.038291E-5	2.038291E-5	1.0	2.4147688E-4	2.4813545E-4	2.4813545E-4	1.0	0.0024121467	0.002478758	0.0024887333	1.0040243	1.0E-5
6.7	4.062321E-6	4.1702087E-6	4.1702087E-6	1.0	1.7409831E-5	1.787221E-5	1.787221E-5	1.0	2.1194408E-4	2.1757394E-4	2.1757394E-4	1.0	0.0021174205	0.002173759	0.002173759	1.0	0.0
6.8	4.062321E-6	4.1702087E-6	4.1702087E-6	1.0	1.7409831E-5	1.787221E-5	1.787221E-5	1.0	2.1194408E-4	2.1757394E-4	2.1757394E-4	1.0	0.0021174205	0.002173759	0.002173759	1.0	0.0
6.9	3.2936077E-6	3.3762346E-6	3.3762346E-6	1.0	1.4115385E-5	1.4469501E-5	1.4469501E-5	1.0	1.7184127E-4	1.7615288E-4	1.7615288E-4	1.0	0.0017170844	0.0017602253	0.0017602253	1.0	0.0
7.0	3.1687898E-6	3.248014E-6	3.248014E-6	1.0	1.3580457E-5	1.3919991E-5	1.3919991E-5	1.0	1.6532952E-4	1.6946364E-4	1.6946364E-4	1.0	0.0016520657	0.001693436	0.001693436	1.0	0.0
7.1	2.9379228E-6	3.0103683E-6	3.0103683E-6	1.0	1.25910365E-5	1.290152E-5	1.290152E-5	1.0	1.5328509E-4	1.5706559E-4	1.5706559E-4	1.0	0.001531794	0.0015696351	0.0015696351	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.0020686E-6	2.043967E-6	2.043967E-6	1.0	8.580266E-6	8.75983E-6	8.75983E-6	1.0	1.0445973E-4	1.06645755E-4	1.06645755E-4	1.0	0.0010441064	0.0010659503	0.0010659503	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.7364243E-6	1.7700262E-6	1.7700262E-6	1.0	7.441797E-6	7.5858047E-6	7.5858047E-6	1.0	9.0600115E-5	9.2353286E-5	9.2353286E-5	1.0	9.0563187E-4	9.2315226E-4	9.2315226E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.5718434E-6	1.600346E-6	1.600346E-6	1.0	6.7364545E-6	6.858608E-6	6.858608E-6	1.0	8.201325E-5	8.350038E-5	8.350038E-5	1.0	8.198299E-4	8.346931E-4	8.346931E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.3841119E-6	1.406158E-6	1.406158E-6	1.0	5.9318945E-6	6.026378E-6	6.026378E-6	1.0	7.221842E-5	7.336871E-5	7.336871E-5	1.0	7.2194956E-4	7.334478E-4	7.334478E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.0843726E-6	1.095057E-6	1.095057E-6	1.0	4.647303E-6	4.6930927E-6	4.6930927E-6	1.0	5.6579443E-5	5.7136935E-5	5.7136935E-5	1.0	5.656504E-4	5.71225E-4	5.71225E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	5.544814E-7	5.5080545E-7	5.5080545E-7	1.0	2.3763469E-6	2.3605928E-6	2.3605928E-6	1.0	2.8931638E-5	2.873984E-5	2.873984E-5	1.0	2.8927872E-4	2.8736138E-4	2.8736138E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.0707465E-7	1.9805763E-7	1.9805763E-7	1.0	8.874625E-7	8.4881816E-7	8.4881816E-7	1.0	1.08048025E-5	1.0334313E-5	1.0334313E-5	1.0	1.0804277E-4	1.0333837E-4	1.0333837E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	3.9821284E-8	3.442273E-8	3.442273E-8	1.0	1.7066264E-7	1.4752598E-7	1.4752598E-7	1.0	2.0778157E-6	1.7961273E-6	1.7961273E-6	1.0	2.0777963E-5	1.7961134E-5	1.7961134E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	7.880441E-11	8.2438056E-11	8.2438056E-11	1.0	3.3773329E-10	3.5330605E-10	3.5330605E-10	1.0	4.1119033E-9	4.3015014E-9	4.3015014E-9	1.0	4.1119034E-8	4.3015014E-8	4.3015014E-8	1.0	0.0

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.940016E-5	6.8413436E-5	7.8412755E-5	1.1461601	1.0E-5	2.1169778E-4	2.9316425E-4	3.031613E-4	1.0341005	1.0E-5	0.002574374	0.0035632497	0.003573214	1.0027964	1.0E-5	0.025447546	0.035043176	0.03505283	1.0002754	1.0E-5
6.1	4.940016E-5	6.8413436E-5	7.8412755E-5	1.1461601	1.0E-5	2.1169778E-4	2.9316425E-4	3.031613E-4	1.0341005	1.0E-5	0.002574374	0.0035632497	0.003573214	1.0027964	1.0E-5	0.025447546	0.035043176	0.03505283	1.0002754	1.0E-5
6.2	4.472471E-5	6.148677E-5	7.148615E-5	1.1626266	1.0E-5	1.9166325E-4	2.6348743E-4	2.734848E-4	1.0379425	1.0E-5	0.0023310026	0.003203119	0.0032130869	1.003112	1.0E-5	0.02306703	0.031557262	0.031566948	1.0003068	1.0E-5
6.3	4.472471E-5	6.148677E-5	7.148615E-5	1.1626266	1.0E-5	1.9166325E-4	2.6348743E-4	2.734848E-4	1.0379425	1.0E-5	0.0023310026	0.003203119	0.0032130869	1.003112	1.0E-5	0.02306703	0.031557262	0.031566948	1.0003068	1.0E-5
6.4	4.0001003E-5	5.452495E-5	6.45244E-5	1.1833923	1.0E-5	1.714216E-4	2.336564E-4	2.4365408E-4	1.0427879	1.0E-5	0.0020850603	0.0028409944	0.002850966	1.0035099	1.0E-5	0.02065605	0.028039457	0.028049177	1.0003467	1.0E-5
6.5	3.8033053E-5	5.1661715E-5	6.1661194E-5	1.1935569	1.0E-5	1.6298861E-4	2.2138753E-4	2.313853E-4	1.0451597	1.0E-5	0.0019825802	0.00269203	0.002702003	1.0037047	1.0E-5	0.019649856	0.026589675	0.026599409	1.0003661	1.0E-5
6.6	3.653754E-5	4.9506452E-5	5.9505957E-5	1.2019839	1.0E-5	1.5658008E-4	2.1215221E-4	2.2215009E-4	1.0471259	1.0E-5	0.0019046954	0.0025798855	0.0025898598	1.0038662	1.0E-5	0.018884527	0.025496783	0.025506528	1.0003822	1.0E-5
6.7	3.372024E-5	4.5483328E-5	5.5482873E-5	1.2198508	1.0E-5	1.4450731E-4	1.9491394E-4	2.04912E-4	1.0512947	1.0E-5	0.0017579567	0.0023705098	0.002380486	1.0042084	1.0E-5	0.017441148	0.023452181	0.023461947	1.0004164	1.0E-5
6.8	2.9650024E-5	3.970194E-5	4.9701543E-5	1.2518668	1.0E-5	1.2706534E-4	1.7013999E-4	1.8013829E-4	1.0587652	1.0E-5	0.0015459227	0.0020694742	0.0020794536	1.0048221	1.0E-5	0.015352124	0.020498957	0.020508753	1.0004778	1.0E-5
6.9	2.860775E-5	3.8085338E-5	4.808496E-5	1.2625582	1.0E-5	1.2259888E-4	1.6321272E-4	1.7321108E-4	1.0612597	1.0E-5	0.0014916194	0.0019853092	0.0019952892	1.005027	1.0E-5	0.014816469	0.019674798	0.019684602	1.0004983	1.0E-5
7.0	2.6696067E-5	3.5315465E-5	4.531511E-5	1.2831521	1.0E-5	1.144067E-4	1.5134327E-4	1.6134174E-4	1.066065	1.0E-5	0.0013920115	0.001841055	0.0018510367	1.0054216	1.0E-5	0.013833242	0.018258126	0.018267943	1.0005378	1.0E-5
7.1	2.456087E-5	3.223569E-5	4.2235366E-5	1.3102052	1.0E-5	1.0525662E-4	1.3814568E-4	1.481443E-4	1.0723773	1.0E-5	0.001280746	0.0016806351	0.0016906183	1.0059401	1.0E-5	0.012733897	0.016680423	0.016690258	1.0005895	1.0E-5
7.2	2.295761E-5	3.0025412E-5	4.0025112E-5	1.3330412	1.0E-5	9.8386045E-5	1.2867404E-4	1.3867277E-4	1.0777057	1.0E-5	0.0011971919	0.00156549	0.0015754744	1.0063778	1.0E-5	0.011907627	0.015546032	0.015555876	1.0006332	1.0E-5
7.3	2.1256936E-5	2.7722843E-5	3.7722566E-5	1.3607033	1.0E-5	9.109797E-5	1.1880683E-4	1.2880564E-4	1.0841602	1.0E-5	0.0011085535	0.0014455223	0.0014555078	1.0069079	1.0E-5	0.011030397	0.014362585	0.014372441	1.0006863	1.0E-5
7.4	1.8784336E-5	2.4463805E-5	3.446356E-5	1.4087571	1.0E-5	8.050181E-5	1.04840714E-4	1.1483966E-4	1.0953728	1.0E-5	9.796688E-4	0.001275696	0.0012856831	1.0078288	1.0E-5	0.009753612	0.012684851	0.012694724	1.0007783	1.0E-5
7.5	1.7248298E-5	2.2409211E-5	2.2409211E-5	1.0	0.0	7.391918E-5	9.603598E-5	9.603598E-5	1.0	0.0	8.9959445E-4	0.0011686186	0.0011686186	1.0	0.0	0.008959615	0.011625761	0.011625761	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.0653709E-5	1.3807386E-5	1.3807386E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5657955E-5	5.9173184E-5	5.9173184E-5	1.0	0.0	5.557438E-4	7.201981E-4	7.201981E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0055435603	0.007179	0.007179	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.286316E-6	4.1126773E-6	4.1126773E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4084137E-5	1.7625642E-5	1.7625642E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7146087E-4	2.1457122E-4	2.1457122E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017132863	0.0021435998	0.0021435998	1.0	0.0
7.8	5.1855085E-7	5.99588E-7	5.99588E-7	1.0	0.0	2.222359E-6	2.5696604E-6	2.5696604E-6	1.0	0.0	2.7056883E-5	3.1285177E-5	3.1285177E-5	1.0	0.0	2.705359E-4	3.128015E-4	3.128015E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.3461156E-5	2.4759032E-5	2.4759032E-5	1.0	5.7689394E-5	1.0610584E-4	1.16104784E-4	1.0942355	1.0E-5	7.02142E-4	0.0012910767	0.0013010637	1.0077355	1.0E-5	0.0069992766	0.012872015	0.012881886	1.0007669	1.0E-5
6.1	1.3461156E-5	2.4759032E-5	2.4759032E-5	1.0	5.7689394E-5	1.0610584E-4	1.16104784E-4	1.0942355	1.0E-5	7.02142E-4	0.0012910767	0.0013010637	1.0077355	1.0E-5	0.0069992766	0.012872015	0.012881886	1.0007669	1.0E-5
6.2	1.3461156E-5	2.4759032E-5	2.4759032E-5	1.0	5.7689394E-5	1.0610584E-4	1.16104784E-4	1.0942355	1.0E-5	7.02142E-4	0.0012910767	0.0013010637	1.0077355	1.0E-5	0.0069992766	0.012872015	0.012881886	1.0007669	1.0E-5
6.3	1.3461156E-5	2.4759032E-5	2.4759032E-5	1.0	5.7689394E-5	1.0610584E-4	1.16104784E-4	1.0942355	1.0E-5	7.02142E-4	0.0012910767	0.0013010637	1.0077355	1.0E-5	0.0069992766	0.012872015	0.012881886	1.0007669	1.0E-5
6.4	1.3461156E-5	2.4759032E-5	2.4759032E-5	1.0	5.7689394E-5	1.0610584E-4	1.16104784E-4	1.0942355	1.0E-5	7.02142E-4	0.0012910767	0.0013010637	1.0077355	1.0E-5	0.0069992766	0.012872015	0.012881886	1.0007669	1.0E-5
6.5	1.3450706E-5	2.4747978E-5	2.4747978E-5	1.0	5.764461E-5	1.0605847E-4	1.1605741E-4	1.0942776	1.0E-5	7.0159714E-4	0.0012905005	0.0013004877	1.007739	1.0E-5	0.006993862	0.012866321	0.012876193	1.0007672	1.0E-5
6.6	1.3074523E-5	2.4361829E-5	2.4361829E-5	1.0	5.6032466E-5	1.04403676E-4	1.1440263E-4	1.095772	1.0E-5	6.8198174E-4	0.0012703771	0.0012803643	1.0078617	1.0E-5	0.006798926	0.012667392	0.012677266	1.0007794	1.0E-5
6.7	1.3050216E-5	2.4337047E-5	2.4337047E-5	1.0	5.59283E-5	1.04297476E-4	1.1429644E-4	1.0958695	1.0E-5	6.8071426E-4	0.0012690856	0.001279073	1.0078697	1.0E-5	0.0067863287	0.012654626	0.012664499	1.0007802	1.0E-5
6.8	1.29049395E-5	2.4185212E-5	2.4185212E-5	1.0	5.530571E-5	1.0364681E-4	1.1364577E-4	1.0964715	1.0E-5	6.73139E-4	0.0012611728	0.0012711602	1.0079191	1.0E-5	0.0067110364	0.012576395	0.0125862695	1.0007851	1.0E-5
6.9	1.2867369E-5	2.4144436E-5	2.4144436E-5	1.0	5.51447E-5	1.0347207E-4	1.1347104E-4	1.0966344	1.0E-5	6.711799E-4	0.0012590479	0.0012690353	1.0079325	1.0E-5	0.006691564	0.012555386	0.012565261	1.0007864	1.0E-5
7.0	1.2495996E-5	2.3536295E-5	2.3536295E-5	1.0	5.3553173E-5	1.0086595E-4	1.10864945E-4	1.0991315	1.0E-5	6.518148E-4	0.0012273543	0.001237342	1.0081376	1.0E-5	0.0064990623	0.012241953	0.012251831	1.0008068	1.0E-5
7.1	1.2452067E-5	2.3481003E-5	2.3481003E-5	1.0	5.3364907E-5	1.0062901E-4	1.10628E-4	1.0993649	1.0E-5	6.4952404E-4	0.0012244727	0.0012344604	1.0081568	1.0E-5	0.0064762887	0.012213455	0.012223332	1.0008087	1.0E-5
7.2	1.2002777E-5	2.2853188E-5	2.2853188E-5	1.0	5.143946E-5	9.793857E-5	1.07937594E-4	1.1020948	1.0E-5	6.2609545E-4	0.0011917527	0.0012017408	1.008381	1.0E-5	0.006243344	0.011889808	0.011899689	1.000831	1.0E-5
7.3	1.1923425E-5	2.2721708E-5	2.2721708E-5	1.0	5.109939E-5	9.737513E-5	1.0737416E-4	1.1026856	1.0E-5	6.219575E-4	0.0011849004	0.0011948885	1.0084295	1.0E-5	0.0062021962	0.011822035	0.011831916	1.0008359	1.0E-5
7.4	1.16105175E-5	2.2083137E-5	2.2083137E-5	1.0	4.975841E-5	9.46386E-5	1.0463766E-4	1.1056551	1.0E-5	6.0564023E-4	0.0011516187	0.0011616072	1.0086734	1.0E-5	0.006039923	0.011493767	0.011503652	1.0008601	1.0E-5
7.5	1.1037265E-5	2.0739732E-5	2.0739732E-5	1.0	4.7301706E-5	8.888155E-5	9.888066E-5	1.1124992	1.0E-5	5.757461E-4	0.001081598	0.0010915872	1.0092356	1.0E-5	0.005742567	0.010803097	0.0108129885	1.0009156	1.0E-5
7.6	1.0720915E-5	2.0167001E-5	2.0167001E-5	1.0	4.5945973E-5	8.642716E-5	9.642629E-5	1.1156944	1.0E-5	5.592486E-4	0.001051745	0.0010617345	1.009498	1.0E-5	0.005578433	0.010507439	0.010517335	1.0009418	1.0E-5
7.7	9.276279E-6	1.7545226E-5	1.7545226E-5	1.0	3.9754876E-5	7.519167E-5	8.519091E-5	1.1329834	1.0E-5	4.839081E-4	9.150759E-4	9.250667E-4	1.010918	1.0E-5	0.0048285574	0.0091526415	0.009162551	1.0010825	1.0E-5
7.8	5.8346777E-6	1.2022418E-5	1.2022418E-5	1.0	2.5005522E-5	5.1523628E-5	6.152311E-5	1.1940757	1.0E-5	3.043997E-4	6.271198E-4	6.371135E-4	1.0159359	1.0E-5	0.0030398308	0.0062926463	0.0063025835	1.0015792	1.0E-5
7.9	4.690204E-6	9.232796E-6	9.232796E-6	1.0	2.0100719E-5	3.9568527E-5	4.956813E-5	1.2527161	1.0E-5	2.4469878E-4	4.8164045E-4	4.9163564E-4	1.0207524	1.0E-5	0.002444295	0.004842895	0.0048528467	1.0020549	1.0E-5
8.0	2.9570454E-6	5.2906057E-6	5.2906057E-6	1.0	1.267299E-5	2.2673828E-5	3.26736E-5	1.4410272	1.0E-5	1.5428272E-4	2.7601892E-4	2.8601615E-4	1.0362194	1.0E-5	0.0015417566	0.0027802638	0.0027902361	1.0035868	1.0E-5
8.1	1.6376824E-6	2.4310243E-6	2.4310243E-6	1.0	7.01862E-6	1.0418634E-5	2.0418529E-5	1.9598087	1.0E-5	8.544835E-5	1.268395E-4	1.3683824E-4	1.0788298	1.0E-5	8.54155E-4	0.001282926	0.0012929131	1.0077847	1.0E-5
8.2	6.9631557E-7	5.2818166E-7	5.2818166E-7	1.0	2.984206E-6	2.2636339E-6	2.2636339E-6	1.0	0.0	3.63321E-5	2.7559396E-5	2.7559396E-5	1.0	0.0	3.6326164E-4	2.8470522E-4	2.8470522E-4	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.7876137E-7	9.88976E-8	9.88976E-8	1.0	7.661199E-7	4.238468E-7	4.238468E-7	1.0	0.0	9.32747E-6	5.160323E-6	5.160323E-6	1.0	0.0	9.3270784E-5	5.40068E-5	5.40068E-5	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.2336002E-4	3.0876452E-4	3.0876452E-4	1.0	5.2857865E-4	0.0013226322	0.0013226322	1.0	0.006416472	0.015989259	0.0159991	1.0006155	1.0E-5	0.06234337	0.14638104	0.14638957	1.0000583	1.0E-5
6.1	1.2336002E-4	3.0876452E-4	3.0876452E-4	1.0	5.2857865E-4	0.0013226322	0.0013226322	1.0	0.006416472	0.015989259	0.0159991	1.0006155	1.0E-5	0.06234337	0.14638104	0.14638957	1.0000583	1.0E-5
6.2	1.2336002E-4	3.0876452E-4	3.0876452E-4	1.0	5.2857865E-4	0.0013226322	0.0013226322	1.0	0.006416472	0.015989259	0.0159991	1.0006155	1.0E-5	0.06234337	0.14638104	0.14638957	1.0000583	1.0E-5
6.3	1.1712257E-4	2.9656003E-4	2.9656003E-4	1.0	5.018573E-4	0.0012703788	0.0012703788	1.0	0.006093008	0.015362167	0.015372013	1.000641	1.0E-5	0.059286322	0.14105193	0.14106053	1.0000609	1.0E-5
6.4	1.1712257E-4	2.9656003E-4	2.9656003E-4	1.0	5.018573E-4	0.0012703788	0.0012703788	1.0	0.006093008	0.015362167	0.015372013	1.000641	1.0E-5	0.059286322	0.14105193	0.14106053	1.0000609	1.0E-5
6.5	1.0689076E-4	2.7654305E-4	2.7654305E-4	1.0	4.5802278E-4	0.0011846715	0.0011846715	1.0	0.0055621783	0.014332748	0.014342605	1.0006877	1.0E-5	0.05425003	0.13226889	0.13227758	1.0000656	1.0E-5
6.6	9.7648895E-5	2.588492E-4	2.588492E-4	1.0	4.1842813E-4	0.0011089063	0.0011089063	1.0	0.005082469	0.013421858	0.013431723	1.000735	1.0E-5	0.049677886	0.12439685	0.12440561	1.0000703	1.0E-5
6.7	8.757013E-5	2.3941002E-4	2.3941002E-4	1.0	3.7524657E-4	0.0010256624	0.0010256624	1.0	0.00455906	0.012420152	0.012420152	1.0	0.0	0.04466656	0.11572249	0.11572249	1.0	0.0
6.8	8.562978E-5	2.3494824E-4	2.3494824E-4	1.0	3.6693315E-4	0.0010065553	0.0010065553	1.0	0.004458263	0.012190142	0.012190142	1.0	0.0	0.043698758	0.11372042	0.11372042	1.0	0.0
6.9	6.124075E-5	1.7804347E-4	1.7804347E-4	1.0	2.6243398E-4	7.628212E-4	7.628212E-4	1.0	0.0031904527	0.009248021	0.009248021	1.0	0.0	0.031450346	0.087315075	0.087315075	1.0	0.0
7.0	5.8598747E-5	1.7225524E-4	1.7225524E-4	1.0	2.5111332E-4	7.380287E-4	7.380287E-4	1.0	0.0030530186	0.008948689	0.008948689	1.0	0.0	0.03011414	0.08461127	0.08461127	1.0	0.0
7.1	5.613814E-5	1.6636844E-4	1.6636844E-4	1.0	2.4056983E-4	7.128135E-4	7.128135E-4	1.0	0.0029250039	0.0086441655	0.0086441655	1.0	0.0	0.028868021	0.08188963	0.08188963	1.0	0.0
7.2	4.991222E-5	1.522557E-4	1.522557E-4	1.0	2.1389198E-4	6.5236166E-4	6.5236166E-4	1.0	0.002601025	0.007913692	0.007913692	1.0	0.0	0.025707912	0.07528562	0.07528562	1.0	0.0
7.3	4.7410045E-5	1.4404161E-4	1.4404161E-4	1.0	2.0317009E-4	6.171755E-4	6.171755E-4	1.0	0.0024707897	0.0074883173	0.0074883173	1.0	0.0	0.024434982	0.071511835	0.071511835	1.0	0.0
7.4	4.5556746E-5	1.3800271E-4	1.3800271E-4	1.0	1.952286E-4	5.913064E-4	5.913064E-4	1.0	0.002374317	0.007175479	0.007175479	1.0	0.0	0.023491086	0.0687236	0.0687236	1.0	0.0
7.5	4.3084514E-5	1.3021093E-4	1.3021093E-4	1.0	1.8463485E-4	5.5792776E-4	5.5792776E-4	1.0	0.0022456115	0.006771693	0.006771693	1.0	0.0	0.022230545	0.06507565	0.06507565	1.0	0.0
7.6	3.408608E-5	1.0438923E-4	1.0438923E-4	1.0	1.4607502E-4	4.4730585E-4	4.4730585E-4	1.0	0.0017770125	0.005432379	0.005432379	1.0	0.0	0.017628696	0.052676965	0.052676965	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.8315713E-5	8.811983E-5	8.811983E-5	1.0	1.2134742E-4	3.776018E-4	3.776018E-4	1.0	0.0014764034	0.004587622	0.004587622	1.0	0.0	0.01466633	0.044771105	0.044771105	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.6222975E-5	7.989135E-5	7.989135E-5	1.0	1.1237934E-4	3.423466E-4	3.423466E-4	1.0	0.0013673597	0.004160112	0.004160112	1.0	0.0	0.013589768	0.040783178	0.040783178	1.0	0.0
7.9	2.1469694E-5	6.225902E-5	6.225902E-5	1.0	9.200973E-5	2.667971E-4	2.667971E-4	1.0	0.0011196428	0.0032434203	0.0032434203	1.0	0.0	0.011140184	0.03213291	0.03213291	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.2420249E-5	3.378097E-5	3.378097E-5	1.0	5.322855E-5	1.4476756E-4	1.4476756E-4	1.0	6.478649E-4	0.0017611212	0.0017611212	1.0	0.0	0.0064597935	0.017664691	0.017664691	1.0	0.0
8.1	4.9197724E-6	8.7355775E-6	8.7355775E-6	1.0	2.1084568E-5	3.7437654E-5	3.7437654E-5	1.0	2.566744E-4	4.5570827E-4	4.5570827E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002563781	0.0048400345	0.0048400345	1.0	0.0
8.2	2.5634774E-6	3.331778E-6	3.331778E-6	1.0	1.0986286E-5	1.4278971E-5	1.4278971E-5	1.0	1.3374983E-4	1.7383267E-4	1.7383267E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0013366934	0.0019263554	0.0019263554	1.0	0.0
8.3	5.2850464E-7	3.8012166E-7	3.8012166E-7	1.0	2.2650179E-6	1.6290919E-6	1.6290919E-6	1.0	2.7576245E-5	1.9834031E-5	1.9834031E-5	1.0	0.0	2.7572823E-4	2.3184936E-4	2.3184936E-4	1.0	0.0

San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.8770423E-5	1.6407846E-5	2.6407683E-5	1.6094545	1.0E-5	8.044219E-5	7.031747E-5	8.0316764E-5	1.1422021	1.0E-5	9.789435E-4	8.557827E-4	8.657741E-4	1.0116752	1.0E-5	0.009746423	0.008538183	0.008548097	1.0011612	1.0E-5
6.1	1.8770423E-5	1.6407846E-5	2.6407683E-5	1.6094545	1.0E-5	8.044219E-5	7.031747E-5	8.0316764E-5	1.1422021	1.0E-5	9.789435E-4	8.557827E-4	8.657741E-4	1.0116752	1.0E-5	0.009746423	0.008538183	0.008548097	1.0011612	1.0E-5
6.2	1.7508692E-5	1.502437E-5	2.5024221E-5	1.6655753	1.0E-5	7.5035096E-5	6.438859E-5	7.438794E-5	1.155297	1.0E-5	9.1316935E-4	7.836521E-4	7.936443E-4	1.0127507	1.0E-5	0.00909426	0.007822115	0.007832036	1.0012684	1.0E-5
6.3	1.7508692E-5	1.502437E-5	2.5024221E-5	1.6655753	1.0E-5	7.5035096E-5	6.438859E-5	7.438794E-5	1.155297	1.0E-5	9.1316935E-4	7.836521E-4	7.936443E-4	1.0127507	1.0E-5	0.00909426	0.007822115	0.007832036	1.0012684	1.0E-5
6.4	1.6004591E-5	1.33705325E-5	2.3370398E-5	1.7479033	1.0E-5	6.85893E-5	5.730103E-5	6.7300454E-5	1.1745069	1.0E-5	8.347548E-4	6.9741777E-4	7.0741074E-4	1.0143286	1.0E-5	0.008316261	0.006965317	0.006975247	1.0014257	1.0E-5
6.5	1.6004591E-5	1.33705325E-5	2.3370398E-5	1.7479033	1.0E-5	6.85893E-5	5.730103E-5	6.7300454E-5	1.1745069	1.0E-5	8.347548E-4	6.9741777E-4	7.0741074E-4	1.0143286	1.0E-5	0.008316261	0.006965317	0.006975247	1.0014257	1.0E-5
6.6	1.5442201E-5	1.2753833E-5	2.2753706E-5	1.784068	1.0E-5	6.617918E-5	5.4658147E-5	6.46576E-5	1.1829454	1.0E-5	8.0543366E-4	6.652606E-4	6.752539E-4	1.0150217	1.0E-5	0.008025207	0.006645699	0.0066556325	1.0014948	1.0E-5
6.7	1.489921E-5	1.2161128E-5	2.2161006E-5	1.8222822	1.0E-5	6.3852196E-5	5.211808E-5	6.2117564E-5	1.191862	1.0E-5	7.7712315E-4	6.343536E-4	6.443473E-4	1.0157541	1.0E-5	0.0077441116	0.006338422	0.006348359	1.0015677	1.0E-5
6.8	1.3876024E-5	1.1037606E-5	2.1037496E-5	1.9059836	1.0E-5	5.9467322E-5	4.730317E-5	5.73027E-5	1.2113923	1.0E-5	7.237741E-4	5.757643E-4	5.8575853E-4	1.0173582	1.0E-5	0.0072142133	0.005755685	0.005765627	1.0017275	1.0E-5
6.9	1.33922495E-5	1.0507975E-5	2.050787E-5	1.9516481	1.0E-5	5.7394092E-5	4.5033405E-5	5.5032953E-5	1.2220473	1.0E-5	6.9854903E-4	5.4814405E-4	5.5813853E-4	1.0182334	1.0E-5	0.0069635725	0.005480871	0.005490816	1.0018145	1.0E-5
7.0	1.2807324E-5	9.8665405E-6	1.9866442E-5	2.0135164	1.0E-5	5.4887376E-5	4.228449E-5	5.2284067E-5	1.2364833	1.0E-5	6.680489E-4	5.146922E-4	5.2468706E-4	1.0194191	1.0E-5	0.006660442	0.0051479447	0.005157893	1.0019325	1.0E-5
7.1	1.2191438E-5	9.173448E-6	1.9173356E-5	2.0900927	1.0E-5	5.224797E-5	3.9314185E-5	4.9313792E-5	1.2543511	1.0E-5	6.3593336E-4	4.785452E-4	4.885404E-4	1.0208867	1.0E-5	0.0063411663	0.0047880816	0.0047980337	1.0020785	1.0E-5
7.2	1.1769438E-5	8.692098E-6	1.8692012E-5	2.1504602	1.0E-5	5.0439474E-5	3.7251317E-5	4.7250945E-5	1.2684369	1.0E-5	6.1392755E-4	4.534405E-4	4.6343595E-4	1.0220436	1.0E-5	0.0061223423	0.0045380867	0.004548041	1.0021936	1.0E-5
7.3	1.150374E-5	8.406785E-6	1.8406701E-5	2.1895053	1.0E-5	4.9300812E-5	3.6028585E-5	4.6028224E-5	1.2775474	1.0E-5	6.0007203E-4	4.3855977E-4	4.485554E-4	1.0227919	1.0E-5	0.0059845424	0.004389855	0.0043998114	1.002268	1.0E-5
7.4	1.12514E-5	8.1518265E-6	1.8151744E-5	2.226709	1.0E-5	4.8219394E-5	3.4935932E-5	4.4935583E-5	1.2862283	1.0E-5	5.8691297E-4	4.2526203E-4	4.3525777E-4	1.023505	1.0E-5	0.005853653	0.004257378	0.004267336	1.0023389	1.0E-5
7.5	1.059696E-5	7.5003095E-6	1.7500235E-5	2.3332682	1.0E-5	4.5414752E-5	3.2143787E-5	4.2143467E-5	1.3110921	1.0E-5	5.5278436E-4	3.912804E-4	4.0127648E-4	1.0255471	1.0E-5	0.0055141128	0.0039187353	0.0039286963	1.0025419	1.0E-5
7.6	9.018592E-6	5.9374934E-6	1.5937434E-5	2.6842024	1.0E-5	3.8650534E-5	2.5446152E-5	3.5445897E-5	1.3929768	1.0E-5	4.7046866E-4	3.097629E-4	3.197598E-4	1.0322728	1.0E-5	0.004694739	0.003105715	0.0031156838	1.0032098	1.0E-5
7.7	6.243489E-6	3.319986E-6	1.3319953E-5	4.0120506	1.0E-5	2.6757538E-5	1.4228434E-5	2.4228291E-5	1.702808	1.0E-5	3.257243E-4	1.7321743E-4	1.832157E-4	1.0577209	1.0E-5	0.003252473	0.0017416476	0.0017516302	1.0057317	1.0E-5
7.8	3.1941963E-6	1.4297426E-6	1.4297426E-6	1.0	0.0	1.368934E-5	6.1274536E-6	6.1274536E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6665498E-4	7.45992E-5	7.45992E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0016653005	7.521865E-4	7.521865E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	2.0098398E-6	7.2740806E-7	7.2740806E-7	1.0	0.0	8.6135715E-6	3.1174593E-6	3.1174593E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0486518E-4	3.7954407E-5	3.7954407E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010481571	3.8476268E-4	3.8476268E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	8.353119E-7	3.3259636E-7	3.3259636E-7	1.0	0.0	3.579903E-6	1.4254122E-6	1.4254122E-6	1.0	0.0	4.358445E-5	1.7354256E-5	1.7354256E-5	1.0	0.0	4.3575902E-4	1.747832E-4	1.747832E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.5033264E-7	6.82274E-8	6.82274E-8	1.0	0.0	6.442826E-7	2.9240312E-7	2.9240312E-7	1.0	0.0	7.844113E-6	3.5600024E-6	3.5600024E-6	1.0	0.0	7.843835E-5	3.5620968E-5	3.5620968E-5	1.0	0.0

San Clemente

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	6.681379E-5	8.205464E-5	8.205464E-5	1.0	2.8631336E-4	3.5161732E-4	3.5161732E-4	1.0	0.003480294	0.004273034	0.004273034	1.0	0.03426291	0.04196352	0.041973103	1.0002283	1.0E-5
6.1	6.681379E-5	8.205464E-5	8.205464E-5	1.0	2.8631336E-4	3.5161732E-4	3.5161732E-4	1.0	0.003480294	0.004273034	0.004273034	1.0	0.03426291	0.04196352	0.041973103	1.0002283	1.0E-5
6.2	3.9400576E-5	4.6644844E-5	4.6644844E-5	1.0	1.6884868E-4	1.9989151E-4	1.9989151E-4	1.0	0.0020537945	0.0024310162	0.0024310162	1.0	0.020349167	0.024050768	0.024060527	1.0004058	1.0E-5
6.3	3.2590255E-5	3.8072747E-5	3.8072747E-5	1.0	1.3966505E-4	1.6315888E-4	1.6315888E-4	1.0	0.0016990956	0.0019846794	0.0019846794	1.0	0.01686163	0.019673314	0.019673314	1.0	0.0
6.4	2.9454652E-5	3.4221852E-5	3.4221852E-5	1.0	1.2622811E-4	1.4665698E-4	1.4665698E-4	1.0	0.0015357438	0.0017841127	0.0017841127	1.0	0.015251739	0.017701063	0.017701063	1.0	0.0
6.5	2.790836E-5	3.236315E-5	3.236315E-5	1.0	1.1960178E-4	1.3869199E-4	1.3869199E-4	1.0	0.001455179	0.0016872927	0.0016872927	1.0	0.014456868	0.016747838	0.016747838	1.0	0.0
6.6	2.2492153E-5	2.5848945E-5	2.5848945E-5	1.0	9.639138E-5	1.1077658E-4	1.1077658E-4	1.0	0.0011729331	0.0013478852	0.0013478852	1.0	0.011667615	0.013398823	0.013398823	1.0	0.0
6.7	1.9862755E-5	2.2740005E-5	2.2740005E-5	1.0	8.512331E-5	9.745359E-5	9.745359E-5	1.0	0.0010358836	0.0011858629	0.0011858629	1.0	0.010310682	0.011796651	0.011796651	1.0	0.0
6.8	1.6697575E-5	1.903724E-5	1.903724E-5	1.0	7.155907E-5	8.158567E-5	8.158567E-5	1.0	8.7088346E-4	9.928623E-4	9.928623E-4	1.0	0.008674784	0.009885299	0.009885299	1.0	0.0
6.9	1.5218415E-5	1.7322845E-5	1.7322845E-5	1.0	6.522015E-5	7.42387E-5	7.42387E-5	1.0	7.93766E-4	9.0349023E-4	9.0349023E-4	1.0	0.007909367	0.008999122	0.008999122	1.0	0.0
7.0	1.2392958E-5	1.4075644E-5	1.4075644E-5	1.0	5.3111595E-5	6.0322836E-5	6.0322836E-5	1.0	6.4644177E-4	7.341907E-4	7.341907E-4	1.0	0.0064456454	0.007318442	0.007318442	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.0934128E-5	1.2412572E-5	1.2412572E-5	1.0	4.6859706E-5	5.319569E-5	5.319569E-5	1.0	5.7036756E-4	6.4747245E-4	6.4747245E-4	1.0	0.0056890585	0.006456611	0.006456611	1.0	0.0
7.2	9.5798805E-6	1.0877805E-5	1.0877805E-5	1.0	4.1055984E-5	4.661837E-5	4.661837E-5	1.0	4.9974193E-4	5.674381E-4	5.674381E-4	1.0	0.0049861963	0.0056606205	0.0056606205	1.0	0.0
7.3	8.0167365E-6	9.111671E-6	9.111671E-6	1.0	3.4356988E-5	3.9049475E-5	3.9049475E-5	1.0	4.1821605E-4	4.7533074E-4	4.7533074E-4	1.0	0.0041742986	0.004743848	0.004743848	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.9581017E-6	3.3729261E-6	3.3729261E-6	1.0	1.2677518E-5	1.4455346E-5	1.4455346E-5	1.0	1.5433785E-4	1.7598471E-4	1.7598471E-4	1.0	0.001542307	0.0017589516	0.0017589516	1.0	0.0

Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Table Of Contents

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM

Mission (connected) 2011 CFM

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

Greenville (So) 2011 CFM

Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM

Greenville (No) 2011 CFM

Ortigalita (North)

Franklin 2011 CFM

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

Green Valley 2011 CFM

Concord 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

Contra Costa Shear Zone (connector) 2011 CFM

Mount Diablo Thrust South

Quien Sabe 2011 CFM

Bennett Valley 2011 CFM

Contra Costa (Lafayette) 2011 CFM

Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM

Mount Diablo Thrust North CFM

Silver Creek 2011 CFM

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

Sargent 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Parkfield)

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

West Napa 2011 CFM

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

Las Positas

Reliz 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Big Bend)

Great Valley 08 (Quinto)

San Andreas (Mojave N)

San Andreas (Mojave S)

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

Ortigalita (South)

Clayton

Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

Pleito

Butano 2011 CFM

Swain Ravine - Spenceville

Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge

Hosgri

Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

Great Valley 06 (Midland) 2011 CFM alt1

Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM

Chino alt 1

Los Alamos 2011 CFM

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM

San Clemente