Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Antelope Valley 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1646934E-53.6990263E-50.003376866791.2906950.003341.3562266E-41.5852157E-40.00648751840.9251440.006330.00164995520.00192855730.0150232557.78989270.013120.0163775830.0191447330.0385068172.0113530.01974
6.13.1646934E-53.6990263E-50.003376866791.2906950.003341.3562266E-41.5852157E-40.00648751840.9251440.006330.00164995520.00192855730.0150232557.78989270.013120.0163775830.0191447330.0385068172.0113530.01974
6.23.1646934E-53.6990263E-50.003376866791.2906950.003341.3562266E-41.5852157E-40.00648751840.9251440.006330.00164995520.00192855730.0150232557.78989270.013120.0163775830.0191447330.0385068172.0113530.01974
6.33.1646934E-53.6990263E-50.003376866791.2906950.003341.3562266E-41.5852157E-40.00648751840.9251440.006330.00164995520.00192855730.0150232557.78989270.013120.0163775830.0191447330.0385068172.0113530.01974
6.43.1646934E-53.6990263E-50.003376866791.2906950.003341.3562266E-41.5852157E-40.00648751840.9251440.006330.00164995520.00192855730.0150232557.78989270.013120.0163775830.0191447330.0385068172.0113530.01974
6.51.8034107E-52.0988227E-58.7097037E-441.4980438.5E-47.7286735E-58.994714E-50.001719800519.1201250.001639.405598E-40.00109467920.0046108264.21203370.003520.0093658880.0109049990.0161472041.48071560.0053
6.61.8034107E-52.0988227E-58.7097037E-441.4980438.5E-47.7286735E-58.994714E-50.001719800519.1201250.001639.405598E-40.00109467920.0046108264.21203370.003520.0093658880.0109049990.0161472041.48071560.0053
6.71.3567667E-51.5784983E-54.957774E-431.4081694.8E-45.814585E-56.7648776E-50.001047582515.4856099.8E-47.076958E-48.234193E-40.00300162433.64531680.002180.0070544630.00821416450.0113680441.38395620.00318
6.89.867387E-61.14939885E-53.5149007E-430.5803413.4E-44.2288117E-54.9259557E-57.992226E-416.2247227.5E-45.1473617E-45.9966545E-40.0021787183.63322230.001580.0051354550.0059898280.0082561711.37836530.00228
6.97.273233E-68.474102E-62.684719E-431.6814562.6E-43.1170628E-53.6317582E-56.3629576E-417.5203256.0E-43.794363E-44.4216655E-40.00168161833.80313320.001240.00378789080.00442166530.0061738831.396280.00176

Robinson Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3705327E-51.5309672E-55.5309058E-53.61268764.0E-55.8735794E-56.5612876E-51.6560631E-42.5239911.0E-47.1487366E-47.9883676E-40.00109859711.3752463.0E-40.00712578320.0079883670.00862325451.07947656.4E-4
6.11.3705327E-51.5309672E-55.5309058E-53.61268764.0E-55.8735794E-56.5612876E-51.6560631E-42.5239911.0E-47.1487366E-47.9883676E-40.00109859711.3752463.0E-40.00712578320.0079883670.00862325451.07947656.4E-4
6.21.3705327E-51.5309672E-55.5309058E-53.61268764.0E-55.8735794E-56.5612876E-51.6560631E-42.5239911.0E-47.1487366E-47.9883676E-40.00109859711.3752463.0E-40.00712578320.0079883670.00862325451.07947656.4E-4
6.31.3705327E-51.5309672E-55.5309058E-53.61268764.0E-55.8735794E-56.5612876E-51.6560631E-42.5239911.0E-47.1487366E-47.9883676E-40.00109859711.3752463.0E-40.00712578320.0079883670.00862325451.07947656.4E-4
6.41.3705327E-51.5309672E-55.5309058E-53.61268764.0E-55.8735794E-56.5612876E-51.6560631E-42.5239911.0E-47.1487366E-47.9883676E-40.00109859711.3752463.0E-40.00712578320.0079883670.00862325451.07947656.4E-4

West Tahoe

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.952444E-52.1208401E-53.120819E-51.47150121.0E-58.367348E-59.089029E-51.3088665E-41.4400514.0E-50.00101824850.00110608250.00120597181.09030911.0E-40.0101359540.0110112730.01114973051.01257421.4E-4
6.11.952444E-52.1208401E-53.120819E-51.47150121.0E-58.367348E-59.089029E-51.3088665E-41.4400514.0E-50.00101824850.00110608250.00120597181.09030911.0E-40.0101359540.0110112730.01114973051.01257421.4E-4
6.21.952444E-52.1208401E-53.120819E-51.47150121.0E-58.367348E-59.089029E-51.3088665E-41.4400514.0E-50.00101824850.00110608250.00120597181.09030911.0E-40.0101359540.0110112730.01114973051.01257421.4E-4
6.31.952444E-52.1208401E-53.120819E-51.47150121.0E-58.367348E-59.089029E-51.3088665E-41.4400514.0E-50.00101824850.00110608250.00120597181.09030911.0E-40.0101359540.0110112730.01114973051.01257421.4E-4
6.41.952444E-52.1208401E-53.120819E-51.47150121.0E-58.367348E-59.089029E-51.3088665E-41.4400514.0E-50.00101824850.00110608250.00120597181.09030911.0E-40.0101359540.0110112730.01114973051.01257421.4E-4
6.51.2685271E-51.3705824E-52.3705687E-51.72960691.0E-55.4364315E-55.8738016E-56.873743E-51.17023751.0E-56.616845E-47.149172E-47.448958E-41.0419333.0E-50.00659717760.0071278270.00717747071.00696485.0E-5
6.61.2685271E-51.3705824E-52.3705687E-51.72960691.0E-55.4364315E-55.8738016E-56.873743E-51.17023751.0E-56.616845E-47.149172E-47.448958E-41.0419333.0E-50.00659717760.0071278270.00717747071.00696485.0E-5
6.79.117886E-69.820268E-69.820268E-61.00.03.9076072E-54.2086223E-54.2086223E-51.00.04.756473E-45.122865E-45.222814E-41.01951031.0E-50.00474630530.00511177540.0051416221.00583883.0E-5
6.88.786828E-69.467973E-69.467973E-61.00.03.7657293E-54.0576437E-54.0576437E-51.00.04.5838108E-44.939132E-45.0390826E-41.02023651.0E-50.00457436730.0049288570.00495870921.00605653.0E-5
6.96.7562123E-67.2714456E-67.2714456E-61.00.02.8954875E-53.1162992E-53.1162992E-51.00.03.5246857E-43.7934817E-43.8934438E-41.0263511.0E-50.00351910040.00378747910.00380740341.00526062.0E-5
7.05.1792854E-65.573175E-65.573175E-61.00.02.2196748E-52.3884839E-52.3884839E-51.00.02.702119E-42.9076292E-42.9076292E-41.00.00.00269883570.0029042010.0029141721.00343331.0E-5
7.14.090765E-64.402035E-64.402035E-61.00.01.7531731E-51.8865747E-51.8865747E-51.00.02.134279E-42.2966966E-42.2966966E-41.00.00.00213223040.00229465820.00229465821.00.0
7.22.2356758E-62.404874E-62.404874E-61.00.09.581432E-61.0306573E-51.0306573E-51.00.01.1664769E-41.254772E-41.254772E-41.00.00.00116586480.00125424970.00125424971.00.0

Carson Range (Genoa)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1268457E-55.029772E-56.0297218E-51.19880621.0E-51.7685282E-42.155461E-42.3554178E-41.09276762.0E-50.00215105670.00262151030.00267137941.0190235.0E-50.021303540.0259456860.0260625721.0045051.2E-4
6.14.1268457E-55.029772E-56.0297218E-51.19880621.0E-51.7685282E-42.155461E-42.3554178E-41.09276762.0E-50.00215105670.00262151030.00267137941.0190235.0E-50.021303540.0259456860.0260625721.0045051.2E-4
6.24.1268457E-55.029772E-56.0297218E-51.19880621.0E-51.7685282E-42.155461E-42.3554178E-41.09276762.0E-50.00215105670.00262151030.00267137941.0190235.0E-50.021303540.0259456860.0260625721.0045051.2E-4
6.34.1268457E-55.029772E-56.0297218E-51.19880621.0E-51.7685282E-42.155461E-42.3554178E-41.09276762.0E-50.00215105670.00262151030.00267137941.0190235.0E-50.021303540.0259456860.0260625721.0045051.2E-4
6.44.1268457E-55.029772E-56.0297218E-51.19880621.0E-51.7685282E-42.155461E-42.3554178E-41.09276762.0E-50.00215105670.00262151030.00267137941.0190235.0E-50.021303540.0259456860.0260625721.0045051.2E-4
6.52.5677185E-53.106786E-54.106755E-51.3218661.0E-51.1004044E-41.3314218E-41.5313952E-41.15019542.0E-50.00133891890.0016199820.00165991721.02465164.0E-50.01330880450.0160997380.016178451.0048898.0E-5
6.62.5677185E-53.106786E-54.106755E-51.3218661.0E-51.1004044E-41.3314218E-41.5313952E-41.15019542.0E-50.00133891890.0016199820.00165991721.02465164.0E-50.01330880450.0160997380.016178451.0048898.0E-5
6.71.9969408E-52.4132612E-53.4132372E-51.41436711.0E-58.558037E-51.0342225E-41.2342018E-41.1933622.0E-50.00104144290.00125859290.00129854261.03174154.0E-50.0103657570.0125298950.0125891431.00472866.0E-5
6.81.4783156E-51.7868824E-52.7868646E-51.5596241.0E-56.335485E-57.657917E-58.65784E-51.13057391.0E-57.710722E-49.3208347E-49.520648E-41.02143732.0E-50.00768402270.0092946010.009334231.00426354.0E-5
6.91.06660555E-51.29144355E-51.29144355E-51.00.04.5710865E-55.534706E-55.534706E-51.00.05.5638765E-46.73758E-46.73758E-41.00.00.0055499670.00672851640.00673844941.00147621.0E-5
7.07.664838E-69.285281E-69.285281E-61.00.03.2848893E-53.979406E-53.979406E-51.00.03.998619E-44.8449266E-44.8449266E-41.00.00.00399143160.0048449240.00485487561.0020541.0E-5

Mono Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0341662E-52.3885364E-52.3885364E-51.00.08.717564E-51.02364844E-41.5235973E-41.48839895.0E-50.00106084660.00124611310.00132601341.06411968.0E-50.0105579660.0124435710.0125423271.00793621.0E-4
6.12.0341662E-52.3885364E-52.3885364E-51.00.08.717564E-51.02364844E-41.5235973E-41.48839895.0E-50.00106084660.00124611310.00132601341.06411968.0E-50.0105579660.0124435710.0125423271.00793621.0E-4
6.22.0341662E-52.3885364E-52.3885364E-51.00.08.717564E-51.02364844E-41.5235973E-41.48839895.0E-50.00106084660.00124611310.00132601341.06411968.0E-50.0105579660.0124435710.0125423271.00793621.0E-4
6.32.0341662E-52.3885364E-52.3885364E-51.00.08.717564E-51.02364844E-41.5235973E-41.48839895.0E-50.00106084660.00124611310.00132601341.06411968.0E-50.0105579660.0124435710.0125423271.00793621.0E-4
6.41.749821E-52.0540072E-52.0540072E-51.00.07.499018E-58.802888E-51.3802448E-41.56794545.0E-59.1262296E-40.00107175140.00115166561.07456428.0E-50.0090888410.0107174630.0108064981.00830759.0E-5
6.51.749821E-52.0540072E-52.0540072E-51.00.07.499018E-58.802888E-51.3802448E-41.56794545.0E-59.1262296E-40.00107175140.00115166561.07456428.0E-50.0090888410.0107174630.0108064981.00830759.0E-5

Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6591328E-51.8131115E-51.8131115E-51.00.07.110376E-57.7702854E-59.7701304E-51.25737082.0E-58.6534437E-49.4569096E-49.656721E-41.02112852.0E-50.0086198240.0094235160.0094532331.00315363.0E-5
6.18.041125E-68.780845E-68.780845E-61.00.03.4461507E-53.7631766E-54.7631387E-51.2657231.0E-54.194881E-44.580908E-44.6808622E-41.02181971.0E-50.0041869710.00457346770.0045933761.0043532.0E-5
6.23.2807004E-63.5841317E-63.5841317E-61.00.01.4060069E-51.5360498E-51.5360498E-51.00.01.7116789E-41.8700217E-41.8700217E-41.00.00.00171036110.00186885720.00186885721.00.0
6.31.9339366E-62.1130747E-62.1130747E-61.00.08.288273E-69.05602E-69.05602E-61.00.01.00905054E-41.10254325E-41.10254325E-41.00.00.00100859250.00110227680.00110227681.00.0
6.41.3142635E-61.4358144E-61.4358144E-61.00.05.6325457E-66.1534906E-66.1534906E-61.00.06.857408E-57.4918746E-57.4918746E-51.00.06.8552926E-47.491875E-47.491875E-41.00.0

Honey Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.155506E-57.986429E-57.986429E-51.00.02.6378073E-43.4223215E-43.4223215E-41.00.00.00320680140.00415915670.00417907351.00478862.0E-50.031609190.0408609840.040899351.00093894.0E-5
6.16.155506E-57.986429E-57.986429E-51.00.02.6378073E-43.4223215E-43.4223215E-41.00.00.00320680140.00415915670.00416911531.00239431.0E-50.031609190.0408609840.040880171.00046942.0E-5
6.24.1335024E-55.2774285E-55.2774285E-51.00.01.7713808E-42.261567E-42.261567E-41.00.00.00215452280.00275012450.00275012451.00.00.0213375350.0271767680.0271767681.00.0
6.34.1335024E-55.2774285E-55.2774285E-51.00.01.7713808E-42.261567E-42.261567E-41.00.00.00215452280.00275012450.00275012451.00.00.0213375350.0271767680.0271767681.00.0
6.43.2393702E-54.1036375E-54.1036375E-51.00.01.3882275E-41.7585892E-41.7585892E-41.00.00.00168885660.0021390820.0021390821.00.00.0167607930.0211958380.0211958381.00.0
6.52.7205504E-53.433466E-53.433466E-51.00.01.1658981E-41.471407E-41.471407E-41.00.00.00141855660.00179005870.00179005871.00.00.0140953540.0177658830.0177658831.00.0
6.62.069265E-52.6047826E-52.6047826E-51.00.08.867977E-51.116292E-41.116292E-41.00.00.00107914140.00135832270.00135832271.00.00.0107391610.0135086030.0135086031.00.0
6.71.8060919E-52.2737659E-52.2737659E-51.00.07.7401644E-59.744393E-59.744393E-51.00.09.419576E-40.00118581550.00118581551.00.00.0093797480.0118029710.0118029711.00.0
6.81.4474663E-51.8246543E-51.8246543E-51.00.06.203279E-57.819756E-57.819756E-51.00.07.5498753E-49.517164E-49.517164E-41.00.00.0075242770.0094839790.0094839791.00.0
6.98.564552E-61.0841872E-51.0841872E-51.00.03.6704707E-54.6464713E-54.6464713E-51.00.04.4678818E-45.6562794E-45.6562794E-41.00.00.00445890940.00564842160.00564842161.00.0

North Tahoe 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.150391E-52.2199609E-52.2199609E-51.00.09.215636E-59.513882E-51.05137864E-41.10509961.0E-50.00112142610.00115789610.0011778731.01725272.0E-50.0111578390.0115379470.0115774851.00342684.0E-5
6.12.150391E-52.2199609E-52.2199609E-51.00.09.215636E-59.513882E-51.05137864E-41.10509961.0E-50.00112142610.00115789610.0011778731.01725272.0E-50.0111578390.0115379470.0115774851.00342684.0E-5
6.22.150391E-52.2199609E-52.2199609E-51.00.09.215636E-59.513882E-51.05137864E-41.10509961.0E-50.00112142610.00115789610.0011778731.01725272.0E-50.0111578390.0115379470.0115774851.00342684.0E-5
6.32.150391E-52.2199609E-52.2199609E-51.00.09.215636E-59.513882E-51.05137864E-41.10509961.0E-50.00112142610.00115789610.0011778731.01725272.0E-50.0111578390.0115379470.0115774851.00342684.0E-5
6.47.3563056E-66.45501E-66.45501E-61.00.03.1526644E-52.7664208E-52.7664208E-51.00.03.8376928E-43.367903E-43.367903E-41.00.00.0038310720.0033658050.0033658051.00.0
6.57.3563056E-66.45501E-66.45501E-61.00.03.1526644E-52.7664208E-52.7664208E-51.00.03.8376928E-43.367903E-43.367903E-41.00.00.0038310720.0033658050.0033658051.00.0
6.66.8508816E-65.89332E-65.89332E-61.00.02.936059E-52.5257013E-52.5257013E-51.00.03.5740656E-43.074912E-43.074912E-41.00.00.00356832260.00307364370.00307364371.00.0
6.71.8511148E-66.113764E-76.113764E-71.00.07.933325E-62.6201844E-62.6201844E-61.00.09.658395E-53.1900745E-53.1900745E-51.00.09.6541987E-43.1900743E-43.1900743E-41.00.0

Hartley Springs 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4352418E-51.4459549E-51.4459549E-51.00.06.1508916E-56.196895E-57.196833E-51.16136111.0E-57.486137E-47.543757E-47.6436816E-41.01324591.0E-50.0074609680.0075343190.00755416831.00263452.0E-5
6.11.4352418E-51.4459549E-51.4459549E-51.00.06.1508916E-56.196895E-57.196833E-51.16136111.0E-57.486137E-47.543757E-47.6436816E-41.01324591.0E-50.0074609680.0075343190.00755416831.00263452.0E-5
6.21.4352418E-51.4459549E-51.4459549E-51.00.06.1508916E-56.196895E-57.196833E-51.16136111.0E-57.486137E-47.543757E-47.6436816E-41.01324591.0E-50.0074609680.0075343190.00755416831.00263452.0E-5
6.31.4352418E-51.4459549E-51.4459549E-51.00.06.1508916E-56.196895E-57.196833E-51.16136111.0E-57.486137E-47.543757E-47.6436816E-41.01324591.0E-50.0074609680.0075343190.00755416831.00263452.0E-5
6.41.4352418E-51.4459549E-51.4459549E-51.00.06.1508916E-56.196895E-57.196833E-51.16136111.0E-57.486137E-47.543757E-47.6436816E-41.01324591.0E-50.0074609680.0075343190.00755416831.00263452.0E-5
6.51.2279858E-51.2154922E-51.2154922E-51.00.05.26269E-55.209238E-56.209186E-51.19195661.0E-56.4054417E-46.341988E-46.4419245E-41.01575791.0E-50.00638700980.0063394480.00635932151.00313482.0E-5
6.61.2279858E-51.2154922E-51.2154922E-51.00.05.26269E-55.209238E-56.209186E-51.19195661.0E-56.4054417E-46.341988E-46.4419245E-41.01575791.0E-50.00638700980.0063394480.00635932151.00313482.0E-5
6.72.1282601E-68.9437293E-78.9437293E-71.00.09.121083E-63.8330227E-63.8330227E-61.00.01.11043526E-44.666631E-54.666631E-51.00.00.00110988064.6659063E-44.6659063E-41.00.0
6.82.00516E-68.564013E-78.564013E-71.00.08.593515E-63.6702875E-63.6702875E-61.00.01.04621024E-44.4685094E-54.4685094E-51.00.00.00104571774.467864E-44.467864E-41.00.0
6.92.00516E-68.564013E-78.564013E-71.00.08.593515E-63.6702875E-63.6702875E-61.00.01.04621024E-44.4685094E-54.4685094E-51.00.00.00104571774.467864E-44.467864E-41.00.0
7.01.8366732E-68.280811E-78.280811E-71.00.07.871433E-63.5489156E-63.5489156E-61.00.09.583048E-54.320745E-54.320745E-51.00.09.5789164E-44.3201572E-44.3201572E-41.00.0
7.11.5097997E-67.227073E-77.227073E-71.00.06.470554E-63.0973147E-63.0973147E-61.00.07.877615E-53.7709397E-53.7709397E-51.00.07.874823E-43.7705383E-43.7705383E-41.00.0
7.21.3490993E-66.439085E-76.439085E-71.00.05.7818415E-62.759606E-62.759606E-61.00.07.0391645E-53.3597924E-53.3597924E-51.00.07.0369354E-43.3595154E-43.3595154E-41.00.0
7.37.900015E-74.1007328E-74.1007328E-71.00.03.3857161E-61.7574569E-61.7574569E-61.00.04.1220315E-52.1397038E-52.1397038E-51.00.04.121267E-42.1397037E-42.1397037E-41.00.0

Davis Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.331472E-52.544931E-53.5449055E-51.3929281.0E-59.99164E-51.0906458E-41.19063494E-41.09167871.0E-50.00121580320.00132717120.00134714471.01504972.0E-50.012091730.0132042640.0132241.00149462.0E-5
6.11.0407654E-51.1330841E-52.1330727E-51.8825371.0E-54.4603472E-54.8559996E-55.855951E-51.20592081.0E-55.4291193E-45.9108477E-46.1107293E-41.03381612.0E-50.00541587450.0058978050.0059176871.00337112.0E-5
6.21.0407654E-51.1330841E-52.1330727E-51.8825371.0E-54.4603472E-54.8559996E-55.855951E-51.20592081.0E-55.4291193E-45.9108477E-46.1107293E-41.03381612.0E-50.00541587450.0058978050.0059176871.00337112.0E-5
6.35.1323277E-65.5751966E-65.5751966E-61.00.02.1995505E-52.389353E-52.389353E-51.00.02.6776237E-42.9087355E-42.9087355E-41.00.00.00267439960.00290577650.00290577651.00.0
6.42.4985154E-62.7076758E-62.7076758E-61.00.01.07078795E-51.1604294E-51.1604294E-51.00.01.3036063E-41.4127675E-41.4127675E-41.00.00.00130284180.00141222480.00141222481.00.0
6.52.4846438E-62.6936073E-62.6936073E-61.00.01.064843E-51.1544001E-51.1544001E-51.00.01.2963692E-41.4054276E-41.4054276E-41.00.00.00129561320.00140489440.00140489441.00.0
6.62.072566E-72.1022235E-72.1022235E-71.00.08.882423E-79.0095267E-79.0095267E-71.00.01.0814296E-51.0969045E-51.0969045E-51.00.01.081377E-41.0968522E-41.0968522E-41.00.0
6.71.7544528E-71.7794319E-71.7794319E-71.00.07.5190815E-77.6261347E-77.6261347E-71.00.09.154443E-69.284781E-69.284781E-61.00.09.1540656E-59.2844086E-59.2844086E-51.00.0
6.81.2320395E-71.2483414E-71.2483414E-71.00.05.280168E-75.350034E-75.350034E-71.00.06.428586E-66.5136473E-66.5136473E-61.00.06.4284E-56.513468E-56.513468E-51.00.0
6.96.399997E-86.487277E-86.487277E-81.00.02.7428555E-72.7802614E-72.7802614E-71.00.03.3394215E-63.3849635E-63.3849635E-61.00.03.3393713E-53.3849185E-53.3849185E-51.00.0
7.06.4455685E-96.5365353E-96.5365353E-91.00.02.7623864E-82.8013723E-82.8013723E-81.00.03.3632048E-73.4106708E-73.4106708E-71.00.03.3631998E-63.4106706E-63.4106706E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0554491E-41.0554491E-41.00.03.3046713E-44.522624E-44.522624E-41.00.00.0040160160.0054934790.0055133691.00362062.0E-50.0394421030.0536943560.0537132841.00035252.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.0492523E-56.0492523E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5923055E-42.5923055E-41.00.00.00240148180.0031518620.0031717991.00632552.0E-50.0237569530.031101810.0311211891.00062312.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0492523E-56.0492523E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5923055E-42.5923055E-41.00.00.00240148180.0031518620.0031717991.00632552.0E-50.0237569530.031101810.0311211891.00062312.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2641146E-54.2641146E-51.00.01.4259605E-41.8273658E-41.8273658E-41.00.00.00173472440.00222278760.00223276551.00448881.0E-50.0172124520.0220295250.0220393051.00044391.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.512954E-53.512954E-51.00.01.1884817E-41.5054784E-41.5054784E-41.00.00.0014460160.00183161220.00184159391.00544971.0E-50.0143664280.0181880460.0181978641.00053981.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.507923E-53.507923E-51.00.01.186648E-41.5033226E-41.5033226E-41.00.00.00144378640.00182899190.00183897361.00545751.0E-50.0143444210.0181622730.018172091.00054061.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.8821805E-52.8821805E-51.00.09.846873E-51.2351749E-41.2351749E-41.00.00.00119819750.00150302690.00150302691.00.00.0119175740.014951980.014951981.00.0
6.71.9871539E-52.4995843E-52.4995843E-51.00.08.516096E-51.07122054E-41.07122054E-41.00.00.00103634150.00130367310.00130367311.00.00.0103152180.0129840360.0129840361.00.0
6.86.5640475E-67.622426E-67.622426E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2667147E-53.2667147E-51.00.03.424451E-43.976528E-43.976528E-41.00.00.00341917880.0039697010.0039697011.00.0
6.95.6219683E-66.5161094E-66.5161094E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7925898E-52.7925898E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3994735E-43.3994735E-41.00.00.00292917270.00339453160.00339453161.00.0
7.03.875591E-64.4946387E-64.4946387E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9262607E-51.9262607E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.3449912E-42.3449912E-41.00.00.00202018860.0023427260.0023427261.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8611922E-61.8611922E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.97652E-67.97652E-61.00.08.357586E-59.7110875E-59.7110875E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.707896E-49.707896E-41.00.0

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.382509E-53.382509E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4495729E-41.4495729E-41.00.00.00182647960.00176354740.00178351221.01132082.0E-50.0181154030.0175078920.0175275411.00112242.0E-5
6.13.503579E-53.382509E-53.382509E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4495729E-41.4495729E-41.00.00.00182647960.00176354740.00178351221.01132082.0E-50.0181154030.0175078920.0175275411.00112242.0E-5
6.23.503579E-53.382509E-53.382509E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4495729E-41.4495729E-41.00.00.00182647960.00176354740.00178351221.01132082.0E-50.0181154030.0175078920.0175275411.00112242.0E-5
6.31.7818425E-51.5934744E-51.5934744E-51.00.07.636245E-56.829005E-56.829005E-51.00.09.293162E-48.311285E-48.311285E-41.00.00.0092543950.0082816630.0082816631.00.0
6.41.7818425E-51.5934744E-51.5934744E-51.00.07.636245E-56.829005E-56.829005E-51.00.09.293162E-48.311285E-48.311285E-41.00.00.0092543950.0082816630.0082816631.00.0
6.51.3397557E-51.1349684E-51.1349684E-51.00.05.741684E-54.864064E-54.864064E-51.00.06.988258E-45.9204584E-45.9204584E-41.00.00.0069663230.00590539260.00590539261.00.0
6.61.0818695E-58.635824E-68.635824E-61.00.04.6365014E-53.7010177E-53.7010177E-51.00.05.6434784E-44.505101E-44.505101E-41.00.00.0056291680.00449640540.00449640541.00.0
6.79.067908E-66.8110603E-66.8110603E-61.00.03.8861883E-52.918995E-52.918995E-51.00.04.7304068E-43.553329E-43.553329E-41.00.00.004720350.0035479650.0035479651.00.0
6.87.295947E-64.9430614E-64.9430614E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1184384E-52.1184384E-51.00.03.8062103E-42.5789047E-42.5789047E-41.00.00.00379969760.00257602520.00257602521.00.0
6.96.2243444E-63.837884E-63.837884E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6447973E-51.6447973E-51.00.03.2472567E-42.002362E-42.002362E-41.00.00.00324251570.00200061060.00200061061.00.0
7.04.9878413E-62.683825E-62.683825E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.15020575E-51.15020575E-51.00.02.602252E-41.4002882E-41.4002882E-41.00.00.0025992070.00139943210.00139943211.00.0
7.14.0252844E-61.8896084E-61.8896084E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.098297E-68.098297E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.8592434E-59.8592434E-51.00.00.00209813599.854997E-49.854997E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2852221E-61.2852221E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.5080836E-65.5080836E-61.00.01.736567E-46.705896E-56.705896E-51.00.00.00173521076.7039725E-46.7039725E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.085996E-76.085996E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.6082816E-62.6082816E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.1755404E-53.1755404E-51.00.00.00128184643.1751243E-43.1751243E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.133894E-73.133894E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3430968E-61.3430968E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6352082E-51.6352082E-51.00.00.00102528131.6350891E-41.6350891E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8413905E-71.8413905E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8916713E-77.8916713E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.6080685E-69.6080685E-61.00.06.266873E-49.607662E-59.607662E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.939382E-84.939382E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.1168778E-72.1168778E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.577296E-62.577296E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.5772699E-52.5772699E-51.00.0

Almanor 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.1479834E-58.3658415E-58.3658415E-51.00.02.6345838E-43.584907E-43.584907E-41.00.00.00320288820.0043565470.0043565471.00.00.0315711720.0427771170.042796261.00044752.0E-5
6.14.4387216E-56.0040096E-56.0040096E-51.00.01.9021705E-42.5729198E-42.5729198E-41.00.00.00231343270.0031285270.0031285271.00.00.0228949670.0308919270.0308919271.00.0
6.24.4387216E-56.0040096E-56.0040096E-51.00.01.9021705E-42.5729198E-42.5729198E-41.00.00.00231343270.0031285270.0031285271.00.00.0228949670.0308919270.0308919271.00.0
6.32.9523822E-53.972397E-53.972397E-51.00.01.2652454E-41.7023714E-41.7023714E-41.00.00.00153934760.00207103720.00207103721.00.00.0152872810.020550960.020550961.00.0
6.42.0512744E-52.7552624E-52.7552624E-51.00.08.79088E-51.18079486E-41.18079486E-41.00.00.0010697640.00143699650.00143699651.00.00.0106462890.0143070.0143071.00.0
6.51.6750226E-52.2489623E-52.2489623E-51.00.07.178471E-59.638266E-59.638266E-51.00.08.7362836E-40.00117316110.00117316111.00.00.0087020180.0117002510.0117002511.00.0
6.61.4745303E-51.9794106E-51.9794106E-51.00.06.319262E-58.483146E-58.483146E-51.00.07.690986E-40.00103267390.00103267391.00.00.00766442250.0103101450.0103101451.00.0
6.79.951145E-71.1643605E-61.1643605E-61.00.04.26477E-64.990108E-64.990108E-61.00.05.1922336E-56.075305E-56.075305E-51.00.05.1910203E-46.073817E-46.073817E-41.00.0
6.85.866312E-76.865468E-76.865468E-71.00.02.5141312E-62.9423406E-62.9423406E-61.00.03.0609117E-53.582254E-53.582254E-51.00.03.06049E-43.5818055E-43.5818055E-41.00.0

South Klamath Lake West

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.174025E-52.3061335E-52.3061335E-51.00.09.3169176E-59.883092E-59.883092E-51.00.00.00113374440.00120266820.00120266821.00.00.0112797770.01196820850.0119780891.00082551.0E-5
6.12.174025E-52.3061335E-52.3061335E-51.00.09.3169176E-59.883092E-59.883092E-51.00.00.00113374440.00120266820.00120266821.00.00.0112797770.01196820850.0119780891.00082551.0E-5
6.29.834929E-61.04021055E-51.04021055E-51.00.04.2149015E-54.457974E-54.457974E-51.00.05.1304343E-45.4263225E-45.4263225E-41.00.00.00511860570.00541397560.00542392161.0018371.0E-5
6.39.834929E-61.04021055E-51.04021055E-51.00.04.2149015E-54.457974E-54.457974E-51.00.05.1304343E-45.4263225E-45.4263225E-41.00.00.00511860570.00541397560.00542392161.0018371.0E-5
6.46.066321E-66.4053606E-66.4053606E-61.00.02.5998259E-52.7451271E-52.7451271E-51.00.03.1648282E-43.341707E-43.341707E-41.00.00.00316032490.00333695280.00334691931.00298681.0E-5
6.56.066321E-66.4053606E-66.4053606E-61.00.02.5998259E-52.7451271E-52.7451271E-51.00.03.1648282E-43.341707E-43.341707E-41.00.00.00316032490.00333695280.00334691931.00298681.0E-5
6.64.2321803E-64.464669E-64.464669E-61.00.01.8137789E-51.913416E-51.913416E-51.00.02.208052E-42.3293453E-42.3293453E-41.00.00.00220585940.00232700580.00233698261.00428741.0E-5
6.73.186646E-63.3628662E-63.3628662E-61.00.01.3656982E-51.4412209E-51.4412209E-51.00.01.6626107E-41.7545519E-41.7545519E-41.00.00.00166136740.00175323380.00176321631.00569381.0E-5
6.82.380121E-62.5128365E-62.5128365E-61.00.01.0200479E-51.0769259E-51.0769259E-51.00.01.2418375E-41.3110829E-41.3110829E-41.00.00.00124114370.00131035540.00132034221.00762151.0E-5
6.98.928287E-79.437665E-79.437665E-71.00.03.826403E-64.0447085E-64.0447085E-61.00.04.658546E-54.9243437E-54.9243437E-51.00.04.6575698E-44.923469E-45.02342E-41.02030091.0E-5

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7412595E-55.7412122E-51.21090441.0E-51.6594635E-42.0318174E-42.1317971E-41.0492071.0E-50.00201852460.00247118460.00248115981.00403671.0E-50.020002880.0244626810.0244724361.00039881.0E-5
6.13.872328E-54.7412595E-55.7412122E-51.21090441.0E-51.6594635E-42.0318174E-42.1317971E-41.0492071.0E-50.00201852460.00247118460.00248115981.00403671.0E-50.020002880.0244626810.0244724361.00039881.0E-5
6.23.872328E-54.7412595E-55.7412122E-51.21090441.0E-51.6594635E-42.0318174E-42.1317971E-41.0492071.0E-50.00201852460.00247118460.00248115981.00403671.0E-50.020002880.0244626810.0244724361.00039881.0E-5
6.32.8356371E-53.3698034E-53.3698034E-51.00.01.2152165E-41.4441255E-41.4441255E-41.00.00.00147852190.00175687250.00175687251.00.00.0146872350.017436970.017436971.00.0
6.42.8356371E-53.3698034E-53.3698034E-51.00.01.2152165E-41.4441255E-41.4441255E-41.00.00.00147852190.00175687250.00175687251.00.00.0146872350.017436970.017436971.00.0
6.52.4448687E-52.8676584E-52.8676584E-51.00.01.0477588E-41.228941E-41.228941E-41.00.00.00127489980.00149525550.00149525551.00.00.0126761050.0148568340.0148568341.00.0
6.62.1298161E-52.4715213E-52.4715213E-51.00.09.127464E-51.0591823E-41.0591823E-41.00.00.00111070220.00128882470.00128882471.00.00.0110516720.0128169390.0128169391.00.0
6.71.8959729E-52.1826887E-52.1826887E-51.00.08.125345E-59.35406E-59.35406E-51.00.09.888117E-40.00113828750.00113828751.00.00.0098442340.0113272440.0113272441.00.0
6.81.6691629E-51.9055764E-51.9055764E-51.00.07.153359E-58.166509E-58.166509E-51.00.08.7057345E-49.93836E-49.93836E-41.00.00.0086717080.00989568050.00989568051.00.0
6.91.450505E-51.6419497E-51.6419497E-51.00.06.216302E-57.036742E-57.036742E-51.00.07.5657194E-48.5639546E-48.5639546E-41.00.00.0075400130.0085318880.0085318881.00.0
7.01.2940855E-51.456316E-51.456316E-51.00.05.545963E-56.241208E-56.241208E-51.00.06.750118E-47.59608E-47.59608E-41.00.00.0067296510.00757073560.00757073561.00.0
7.11.2544658E-51.4102362E-51.4102362E-51.00.05.3761712E-56.0437327E-56.0437327E-51.00.06.5435225E-47.355817E-47.355817E-41.00.00.0065242880.0073320640.0073320641.00.0
7.21.2489416E-51.4039713E-51.4039713E-51.00.05.3524967E-56.016884E-56.016884E-51.00.06.514716E-47.3231506E-47.3231506E-41.00.00.0064956510.00729961370.00729961371.00.0
7.31.2368307E-51.39036165E-51.39036165E-51.00.05.3005948E-55.95856E-55.95856E-51.00.06.451563E-47.2521885E-47.2521885E-41.00.00.00643286530.00722911530.00722911531.00.0
7.41.2161707E-51.3671271E-51.3671271E-51.00.05.212056E-55.8589874E-55.8589874E-51.00.06.3438306E-47.1310386E-47.1310386E-41.00.00.0063257510.0071087470.0071087471.00.0
7.51.1707948E-51.3168154E-51.3168154E-51.00.05.0175953E-55.6433753E-55.6433753E-51.00.06.10721E-46.8686996E-46.8686996E-41.00.00.00609045340.0068480550.0068480551.00.0
7.61.0319538E-51.15994435E-51.15994435E-51.00.04.4225842E-54.9710983E-54.9710983E-51.00.05.383166E-46.0506834E-46.0506834E-41.00.00.00537014430.00603474260.00603474261.00.0
7.78.937764E-61.0039838E-51.0039838E-51.00.03.830414E-54.3027198E-54.3027198E-51.00.04.6625308E-45.2373525E-45.2373525E-41.00.00.00465276050.0052255210.0052255211.00.0
7.83.108007E-73.287278E-73.287278E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.4088328E-61.4088328E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7152408E-51.7152408E-51.00.01.6215823E-41.7151122E-41.7151122E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6712845E-92.6712845E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1448362E-81.1448362E-81.00.01.335311E-71.393838E-71.393838E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.393838E-61.393838E-61.00.0

South Klamath Lake East

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3539369E-52.5069769E-52.5069769E-51.00.01.0087911E-41.0743791E-41.0743791E-41.00.00.00122751110.0013073550.0013073551.00.00.0122075270.0130050020.0130148731.00075891.0E-5
6.12.3539369E-52.5069769E-52.5069769E-51.00.01.0087911E-41.0743791E-41.0743791E-41.00.00.00122751110.0013073550.0013073551.00.00.0122075270.0130050020.0130148731.00075891.0E-5
6.22.3539369E-52.5069769E-52.5069769E-51.00.01.0087911E-41.0743791E-41.0743791E-41.00.00.00122751110.0013073550.0013073551.00.00.0122075270.0130050020.0130148731.00075891.0E-5
6.39.807823E-61.0404768E-51.0404768E-51.00.04.2032847E-54.4591146E-54.4591146E-51.00.05.1162974E-45.427704E-45.427704E-41.00.00.0051045340.00541528550.0054252311.00183671.0E-5
6.49.807823E-61.0404768E-51.0404768E-51.00.04.2032847E-54.4591146E-54.4591146E-51.00.05.1162974E-45.427704E-45.427704E-41.00.00.0051045340.00541528550.0054252311.00183671.0E-5
6.56.191981E-66.556151E-66.556151E-61.00.02.653679E-52.8097504E-52.8097504E-51.00.03.2303753E-43.4203622E-43.4203622E-41.00.00.00322568350.00341537640.00342534231.00291791.0E-5
6.64.3693776E-64.6202103E-64.6202103E-61.00.01.8725768E-51.9800758E-51.9800758E-51.00.02.2796239E-42.4104869E-42.4104869E-41.00.00.00227728670.0024079850.0024179611.00414291.0E-5
6.73.360834E-63.5540543E-63.5540543E-61.00.01.4403494E-51.5231577E-51.5231577E-51.00.01.7534842E-41.8542948E-41.8542948E-41.00.00.00175210140.00185282760.00186280911.00538721.0E-5
6.82.57873E-62.7273354E-62.7273354E-61.00.01.1051653E-51.1688531E-51.1688531E-51.00.01.3454557E-41.4229919E-41.4229919E-41.00.00.00134464130.00142214160.00143212731.00702171.0E-5
6.99.987825E-71.0574771E-61.0574771E-61.00.04.2804895E-64.5320385E-64.5320385E-61.00.05.211371E-55.51765E-55.51765E-51.00.05.210149E-45.5166025E-45.6165474E-41.01811711.0E-5

Great Valley 11

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8099583E-52.9906734E-52.9906734E-51.00.01.20421224E-41.2816585E-41.3816456E-41.07801391.0E-50.00146514220.00155937590.00156936041.00640291.0E-50.01455520.0154918840.0155017291.00063551.0E-5
6.12.483194E-52.5970698E-52.5970698E-51.00.01.0641825E-41.1129861E-41.2129749E-41.08983841.0E-50.00129487210.00135428170.00136426811.00737391.0E-50.0128735290.0134667110.0134765771.00073251.0E-5
6.22.483194E-52.5970698E-52.5970698E-51.00.01.0641825E-41.1129861E-41.2129749E-41.08983841.0E-50.00129487210.00135428170.00136426811.00737391.0E-50.0128735290.0134667110.0134765771.00073251.0E-5
6.32.0257901E-52.0446743E-52.0446743E-51.00.08.681669E-58.76262E-59.762532E-51.11411111.0E-50.00105648060.00106636840.00107635781.00936761.0E-50.010514720.0106166980.0106265931.00093191.0E-5
6.41.8054898E-51.7821752E-51.7821752E-51.00.07.737584E-57.637692E-57.637692E-51.00.09.416436E-49.295299E-49.295299E-41.00.00.0093766350.0092601720.0092601721.00.0
6.51.34804895E-51.2347104E-51.2347104E-51.00.05.777225E-55.291511E-55.291511E-51.00.07.031501E-46.440552E-46.440552E-41.00.00.0070092940.0064223250.0064223251.00.0
6.61.294883E-51.1757472E-51.1757472E-51.00.05.5493805E-55.0388215E-55.0388215E-51.00.06.754276E-46.1330793E-46.1330793E-41.00.00.0067337840.006116580.006116581.00.0
6.71.1272237E-59.8331275E-69.8331275E-61.00.04.8308695E-54.214131E-54.214131E-51.00.05.879996E-45.129524E-45.129524E-41.00.00.0058644620.00511796960.00511796961.00.0
6.89.8337505E-68.212175E-68.212175E-61.00.04.2143965E-53.519457E-53.519457E-51.00.05.1298196E-44.2841173E-44.2841173E-41.00.00.0051179940.00427606930.00427606931.00.0
6.97.4224813E-65.4255665E-65.4255665E-61.00.03.1810247E-52.3252227E-52.3252227E-51.00.03.872209E-42.830605E-42.830605E-41.00.00.00386546880.00282714120.00282714121.00.0
7.04.4628923E-62.0156083E-62.0156083E-61.00.01.912654E-58.638293E-68.638293E-61.00.02.3284076E-41.0516627E-41.0516627E-41.00.00.00232596930.00105117660.00105117661.00.0
7.13.5546527E-61.1884792E-61.1884792E-61.00.01.5234136E-55.0934727E-65.0934727E-61.00.01.8545982E-46.2011335E-56.2011335E-51.00.00.00185305126.1994715E-46.1994715E-41.00.0
7.23.2039936E-61.1280445E-61.1280445E-61.00.01.3731329E-54.8344677E-64.8344677E-61.00.01.671661E-45.8858124E-55.8858124E-51.00.00.00167040415.884321E-45.884321E-41.00.0
7.32.8120473E-61.0327425E-61.0327425E-61.00.01.2051575E-54.4260323E-64.4260323E-61.00.01.4671806E-45.3885677E-55.3885677E-51.00.00.00146621225.3873274E-45.3873274E-41.00.0
7.42.4837766E-69.819499E-79.819499E-71.00.01.0644713E-54.2083507E-64.2083507E-61.00.01.2959167E-45.1235533E-55.1235533E-51.00.00.00129516135.1224383E-45.1224383E-41.00.0
7.51.5002679E-66.557463E-76.557463E-71.00.06.4297037E-62.8103384E-62.8103384E-61.00.07.827883E-53.4215376E-53.4215376E-51.00.07.825126E-43.4210525E-43.4210525E-41.00.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-42.013977E-42.013977E-41.00.04.8295266E-48.628323E-48.628323E-41.00.00.00586410750.0104440070.0104440071.00.00.0571175780.098528910.098537921.00009141.0E-5
6.11.1239393E-42.0087618E-42.0087618E-41.00.04.8159933E-48.605987E-48.605987E-41.00.00.00584771950.0104170980.0104170981.00.00.0569621320.09828620.098295211.00009181.0E-5
6.27.596265E-51.30142E-41.30142E-41.00.03.2551357E-45.576023E-45.576023E-41.00.00.00395592770.00676292460.00676292461.00.00.0388624330.06495860.064967951.00014391.0E-5
6.36.78794E-51.1521005E-41.1521005E-41.00.02.9087928E-44.936475E-44.936475E-41.00.00.0035357050.0059903410.0059903411.00.00.0347997660.057801840.0578112641.0001631.0E-5
6.46.2165134E-51.0501739E-41.0501739E-41.00.02.6639478E-44.499841E-44.499841E-41.00.00.00323853320.00546211240.00546211241.00.00.031917420.052862310.052871781.00017921.0E-5
6.55.4368087E-59.1295995E-59.1295995E-51.00.02.3298527E-43.9120528E-43.9120528E-41.00.00.00283290590.0047505380.0047505381.00.00.0279706330.0461595730.0461691131.00020661.0E-5
6.64.729947E-57.899612E-57.899612E-51.00.02.0269625E-43.3850974E-43.3850974E-41.00.00.0024650340.0041121360.0041121361.00.00.024378690.040101740.0401113371.00023941.0E-5
6.73.6875328E-56.0893366E-56.0893366E-51.00.01.5802756E-42.6094506E-42.6094506E-41.00.00.00192228750.003171720.003171721.00.00.0190574420.0311094260.0311191161.00031151.0E-5
6.82.0292036E-52.9128296E-52.9128296E-51.00.08.6962966E-51.248296E-41.248296E-41.00.00.00105825990.00151872610.00151872611.00.00.0105323440.01505460.01505461.00.0
6.91.7871042E-52.4591438E-52.4591438E-51.00.07.658793E-51.05387626E-41.05387626E-41.00.09.320591E-40.00128233820.00128233821.00.00.0092815950.0127399290.0127399291.00.0
7.01.6415532E-52.1999816E-52.1999816E-51.00.07.035038E-59.428152E-59.428152E-51.00.08.561793E-40.00114727420.00114727421.00.00.0085288820.0114120420.0114120421.00.0
7.11.5409885E-52.042762E-52.042762E-51.00.06.6040695E-58.7544024E-58.7544024E-51.00.08.0374884E-40.001065330.001065331.00.00.008008480.0106020070.0106020071.00.0
7.21.4497423E-51.913196E-51.913196E-51.00.06.213033E-58.199155E-58.199155E-51.00.07.5617427E-49.97793E-49.97793E-41.00.00.00753606340.0099331480.0099331481.00.0
7.31.3615175E-51.789153E-51.789153E-51.00.05.8349444E-57.667575E-57.667575E-51.00.07.101729E-49.331304E-49.331304E-41.00.00.00707907650.009292150.009292151.00.0
7.41.2252825E-51.608155E-51.608155E-51.00.05.251105E-56.891913E-56.891913E-51.00.06.391345E-48.387702E-48.387702E-41.00.00.00637299430.0083560170.0083560171.00.0
7.51.0913301E-51.4289296E-51.4289296E-51.00.04.6770452E-56.123842E-56.123842E-51.00.05.6928146E-47.4532547E-47.4532547E-41.00.00.00567825320.00742821950.00742821951.00.0
7.68.623192E-61.1272749E-51.1272749E-51.00.03.6956015E-54.8310903E-54.8310903E-51.00.04.4984656E-45.880291E-45.880291E-41.00.00.004489370.0058645920.0058645921.00.0
7.72.0993634E-62.6727894E-62.6727894E-61.00.08.997241E-61.1454762E-51.1454762E-51.00.01.09535904E-41.3945287E-41.3945287E-41.00.00.00109481930.00139366060.00139366061.00.0
7.81.8428308E-72.176597E-72.176597E-71.00.07.897844E-79.32827E-79.32827E-71.00.09.615583E-61.1357113E-51.1357113E-51.00.09.615166E-51.13573755E-41.13573755E-41.00.0

Green Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.9629346E-51.7395447E-41.7395447E-41.00.04.2691303E-47.453012E-47.453012E-41.00.00.00518528560.0090348130.0090348131.00.00.0506595150.0859450550.08595421.00010631.0E-5
6.19.88615E-51.7242247E-41.7242247E-41.00.04.2362334E-47.387392E-47.387392E-41.00.00.00514542360.0089555860.0089555861.00.00.0502790440.085230790.085239941.00010731.0E-5
6.29.696895E-51.6879887E-41.6879887E-41.00.04.15515E-47.2321825E-47.2321825E-41.00.00.00504716670.0087682450.0087682451.00.00.049340630.083534450.083543611.00010971.0E-5
6.39.275224E-51.605605E-41.605605E-41.00.03.9744904E-46.879299E-46.879299E-41.00.00.00482821050.0083419460.0083419461.00.00.0472464750.079660750.079669951.00011551.0E-5
6.48.391499E-51.4444569E-41.4444569E-41.00.03.595861E-46.18901E-46.18901E-41.00.00.0043691750.00750789930.00750789931.00.00.042842650.071997870.072007151.00012891.0E-5
6.55.9519385E-59.995302E-59.995302E-51.00.02.5505814E-44.2829965E-44.2829965E-41.00.00.00310091120.0052009140.0052009141.00.00.0305799660.0504383630.050447861.00018821.0E-5
6.64.5361558E-57.452877E-57.452877E-51.00.01.9439218E-43.1936856E-43.1936856E-41.00.00.00236415580.00388038320.00388038321.00.00.0233916230.0379085130.037918131.00025381.0E-5
6.73.8808106E-56.311399E-56.311399E-51.00.01.6630985E-42.7046015E-42.7046015E-41.00.00.00202294180.00328723620.00328723621.00.00.0200462560.032231860.032241541.00030031.0E-5
6.82.2284667E-53.1458723E-53.1458723E-51.00.09.550222E-51.3481622E-41.3481622E-41.00.00.00116211920.00164014860.00164014861.00.00.0115606070.0162517970.0162517971.00.0
6.91.8050168E-52.4563677E-52.4563677E-51.00.07.735557E-51.0526867E-41.0526867E-41.00.09.4139716E-40.00128089510.00128089511.00.00.0093741910.012725550.012725551.00.0
7.01.4763166E-51.9669276E-51.9669276E-51.00.06.326917E-58.429417E-58.429417E-51.00.07.7002996E-40.00102579950.00102579951.00.00.0076736720.0102088760.0102088761.00.0
7.11.2399713E-51.637137E-51.637137E-51.00.05.3140546E-57.016114E-57.016114E-51.00.06.467941E-48.538791E-48.538791E-41.00.00.0064491480.0085056860.0085056861.00.0
7.21.0584195E-51.3979675E-51.3979675E-51.00.04.5360044E-55.9911526E-55.9911526E-51.00.05.521186E-47.2918035E-47.2918035E-41.00.00.00550748870.00726758460.00726758461.00.0
7.37.998173E-61.0578202E-51.0578202E-51.00.03.4277433E-54.5334367E-54.5334367E-51.00.04.1724785E-45.518072E-45.518072E-41.00.00.0041646530.00550424030.00550424031.00.0
7.46.7571127E-68.958983E-68.958983E-61.00.02.8958733E-53.8395083E-53.8395083E-51.00.03.5251552E-44.673608E-44.673608E-41.00.00.00351956860.00466350930.00466350931.00.0
7.55.69878E-67.537089E-67.537089E-61.00.02.4423114E-53.2301417E-53.2301417E-51.00.02.9731085E-43.9319965E-43.9319965E-41.00.00.0029691340.00392477540.00392477541.00.0
7.64.503664E-65.9524314E-65.9524314E-61.00.01.9301275E-52.5510175E-52.5510175E-51.00.02.3496768E-43.1054294E-43.1054294E-41.00.00.0023471940.0031007580.0031007581.00.0
7.71.0873546E-61.4167233E-61.4167233E-61.00.04.6600826E-66.0716575E-66.0716575E-61.00.05.6735033E-57.391995E-57.391995E-51.00.05.672055E-47.3895603E-47.3895603E-41.00.0
7.84.9373917E-86.2370034E-86.2370034E-81.00.02.1160248E-72.6730012E-72.6730012E-71.00.02.5762572E-63.2543755E-63.2543755E-61.00.02.5762274E-53.2551474E-53.2551474E-51.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.9538322E-42.9538322E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00126543930.00126543931.00.00.0084200970.0153192970.0153192971.00.00.0810811450.140280140.140288741.00006131.0E-5
6.11.6204086E-42.9538322E-42.9538322E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00126543930.00126543931.00.00.0084200970.0153192970.0153192971.00.00.0810811450.140280140.140288741.00006131.0E-5
6.21.6204086E-42.9538322E-42.9538322E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00126543930.00126543931.00.00.0084200970.0153192970.0153192971.00.00.0810811450.140280140.140288741.00006131.0E-5
6.31.0111737E-41.7809401E-41.7809401E-41.00.04.332882E-47.6315465E-47.6315465E-41.00.00.0052625310.0092727450.0092727451.00.00.05139640.0875271860.0875271861.00.0
6.41.0111737E-41.7809401E-41.7809401E-41.00.04.332882E-47.6315465E-47.6315465E-41.00.00.0052625310.0092727450.0092727451.00.00.05139640.0875271860.0875271861.00.0
6.53.6624708E-54.6713376E-54.6713376E-51.00.01.569536E-42.0018681E-42.0018681E-41.00.00.0019092350.00243491560.00243491561.00.00.018929150.0238513020.0238513021.00.0
6.62.5051324E-52.6329966E-52.6329966E-51.00.01.073584E-41.1283809E-41.1283809E-41.00.00.00130630470.00137298310.00137298311.00.00.0129865250.0136580330.0136580331.00.0
6.72.2189772E-52.2208107E-52.2208107E-51.00.09.509556E-59.517434E-59.517434E-51.00.00.00115717340.00115816840.00115816841.00.00.0115116630.0115352780.0115352781.00.0
6.81.6654378E-51.4524263E-51.4524263E-51.00.07.137396E-56.224539E-56.224539E-51.00.08.686314E-47.575793E-47.575793E-41.00.00.0086524390.0075552240.0075552241.00.0
6.91.5042909E-51.2408341E-51.2408341E-51.00.06.446802E-55.3177537E-55.3177537E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.4724736E-46.4724736E-41.00.00.0078185090.00645766970.00645766971.00.0
7.01.4361385E-51.152092E-51.152092E-51.00.06.154734E-54.9374452E-54.9374452E-51.00.07.490812E-46.009711E-46.009711E-41.00.00.0074656120.0059972790.0059972791.00.0
7.11.3265571E-51.03086195E-51.03086195E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.4179065E-54.4179065E-51.00.06.919436E-45.377499E-45.377499E-41.00.00.0068979310.0053679670.0053679671.00.0
7.21.1596403E-58.560243E-68.560243E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.668625E-53.668625E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4656527E-44.4656527E-41.00.00.0060326030.00445809630.00445809631.00.0
7.31.0150827E-57.2855278E-67.2855278E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.1223324E-53.1223324E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.8007915E-43.8007915E-41.00.00.0052825810.00379468380.00379468381.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.391281E-66.391281E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7390926E-52.7390926E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.3343487E-43.3343487E-41.00.00.0047269960.00332949730.00332949731.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.256733E-65.256733E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2528668E-52.2528668E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7425328E-42.7425328E-41.00.00.00399497060.00273927460.00273927461.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.7129556E-64.7129556E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0198231E-52.0198231E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.458869E-42.458869E-41.00.00.00364069640.00245626570.00245626571.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.3428013E-62.3428013E-61.00.01.7843471E-51.0040543E-51.0040543E-51.00.02.172226E-41.222375E-41.222375E-41.00.00.00217010380.00122177640.00122177641.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.438602E-89.438602E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0451147E-74.0451147E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.9249193E-64.9249193E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.9248432E-54.9248432E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4584762E-93.4584762E-91.00.02.861498E-81.48220405E-81.48220405E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.8045833E-71.8045833E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.804582E-61.804582E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.6239044E-42.6239044E-41.00.05.27144E-40.00112404760.00113403631.00888651.0E-50.00639910860.0135999580.0136098231.00072531.0E-50.062179490.12868560.128694311.00006771.0E-5
6.11.2302514E-42.6239044E-42.6239044E-41.00.05.27144E-40.00112404760.00113403631.00888651.0E-50.00639910860.0135999580.0136098231.00072531.0E-50.062179490.12868560.128694311.00006771.0E-5
6.21.2203569E-42.6054552E-42.6054552E-41.00.05.2290526E-40.00111614750.00112613631.00894941.0E-50.0063478040.0135049720.0135148361.00073051.0E-50.0616951360.127872060.127880781.00006821.0E-5
6.31.2142645E-42.5939752E-42.5939752E-41.00.05.202953E-40.00111123170.00112122061.0089891.0E-50.0063162120.0134458630.0134557281.00073371.0E-50.061396770.127365780.127374511.00006851.0E-5
6.41.1865206E-42.5439096E-42.5439096E-41.00.05.0840975E-40.0010897930.00109978221.0091661.0E-50.0061723350.0131880320.0131979011.00074831.0E-50.0600368680.125143780.125152531.00006991.0E-5
6.51.17443946E-42.5228207E-42.5228207E-41.00.05.032341E-40.00108076250.00109075171.00924281.0E-50.0061096770.0130794080.0130892771.00075461.0E-50.0594440770.1242039950.124212761.00007061.0E-5
6.61.13579066E-42.4525216E-42.4525216E-41.00.04.866766E-40.00105065890.00106064841.00950791.0E-50.00590920170.0127172290.0127271011.00077631.0E-50.0575451850.121089490.121098281.00007261.0E-5
6.71.1271412E-42.4367159E-42.4367159E-41.00.04.829711E-40.00104389050.00105388011.00956951.0E-50.0058643310.0126357820.0126456561.00078141.0E-50.0571196970.1203870250.1203958241.00007311.0E-5
6.81.1217975E-42.4253185E-42.4253185E-41.00.04.8068175E-40.00103900980.00104899941.00961461.0E-50.0058366080.0125770480.0125869221.00078511.0E-50.0568567250.119879120.1198879261.00007341.0E-5
6.91.1146753E-42.4099286E-42.4099286E-41.00.04.7763053E-40.00103241930.0010424091.0096761.0E-50.00579965770.0124977320.0125076081.00079011.0E-50.0565061270.11919180.119200611.00007391.0E-5
7.01.0965793E-42.3714747E-42.3714747E-41.00.04.698779E-40.0010159520.00102594181.0098331.0E-50.0057057680.0122995240.0123094011.0008031.0E-50.0556147360.1174709950.1174798161.00007511.0E-5
7.19.927982E-52.1496974E-42.1496974E-41.00.04.2541555E-49.2097465E-49.3096547E-41.0108481.0E-50.00516714060.0111555410.011165431.00088641.0E-50.050486340.107465710.107474631.00008311.0E-5
7.29.696786E-52.0994512E-42.0994512E-41.00.04.1551032E-48.9945557E-49.094466E-41.01110781.0E-50.005047110.0108961970.0109060871.00090781.0E-50.049340090.10518770.105196651.00008511.0E-5
7.39.4727984E-52.0408489E-42.0408489E-41.00.04.0591392E-48.743574E-48.8434864E-41.01142691.0E-50.00493080870.0105936380.0106035311.0009341.0E-50.0482282680.102510510.102519491.00008751.0E-5
7.49.220358E-51.9761732E-41.9761732E-41.00.03.9509835E-48.4665744E-48.56649E-41.01180111.0E-50.0047997170.0102596080.0102695051.00096461.0E-50.0469736530.099526680.099535681.00009051.0E-5
7.57.71631E-51.59836E-41.59836E-41.00.03.306571E-46.848318E-46.848318E-41.00.00.00401832070.0083060340.0083060341.00.00.039464330.081877040.081877041.00.0
7.67.5634416E-51.5632926E-41.5632926E-41.00.03.241072E-46.6981075E-46.6981075E-41.00.00.00393886720.008124530.008124531.00.00.0386977940.080204790.080204791.00.0
7.76.3783E-51.3073374E-41.3073374E-41.00.02.7332708E-45.601672E-45.601672E-41.00.00.00332267980.00679874050.00679874051.00.00.0327343640.067793760.067793761.00.0
7.85.863422E-51.2066146E-41.2066146E-41.00.02.512653E-45.170181E-45.170181E-41.00.00.0030548640.00627655260.00627655261.00.00.0301320940.062634730.062634731.00.0
7.94.595283E-58.9041234E-58.9041234E-51.00.01.9692584E-43.815495E-43.815495E-41.00.00.00239493580.0046354790.0046354791.00.00.0236928910.0466092750.0466092751.00.0
8.03.2950178E-55.379493E-55.379493E-51.00.01.412074E-42.3052935E-42.3052935E-41.00.00.00171784440.00280308420.00280308421.00.00.0170462560.0286637770.0286637771.00.0
8.11.9177472E-52.0684156E-52.0684156E-51.00.08.218658E-58.864338E-58.864338E-51.00.00.00100016220.00107869950.00107869951.00.00.0099567280.0115422420.0115422421.00.0
8.28.643924E-66.04074E-66.04074E-61.00.03.704486E-52.588863E-52.588863E-51.00.04.5092785E-43.151486E-43.151486E-41.00.00.00450013950.003556780.003556781.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.603872E-78.603872E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6873687E-63.6873687E-61.00.01.034694E-44.489281E-54.489281E-51.00.00.00103421245.259019E-45.259019E-41.00.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.6122865E-43.6122865E-41.00.07.751381E-40.00154721450.00154721451.00.00.009396540.0186770970.0186869111.00052551.0E-50.0900900660.168306070.168314381.00004951.0E-5
6.11.8091932E-43.6122865E-43.6122865E-41.00.07.751381E-40.00154721450.00154721451.00.00.009396540.0186770970.0186869111.00052551.0E-50.0900900660.168306070.168314381.00004951.0E-5
6.21.8091932E-43.6122865E-43.6122865E-41.00.07.751381E-40.00154721450.00154721451.00.00.009396540.0186770970.0186869111.00052551.0E-50.0900900660.168306070.168314381.00004951.0E-5
6.31.7322872E-43.4669857E-43.4669857E-41.00.07.4219756E-40.00148501480.00148501481.00.00.00899887550.0179324970.0179423171.00054761.0E-50.086430750.162229150.162237541.00005161.0E-5
6.41.6334097E-43.2740113E-43.2740113E-41.00.06.998449E-40.00140240210.00140240211.00.00.0084873720.0169426330.0169524621.00058021.0E-50.0817044150.154099670.154108141.00005481.0E-5
6.51.5600289E-43.1404747E-43.1404747E-41.00.06.684125E-40.0013452320.0013452321.00.00.0081075980.016257140.016266981.00060511.0E-50.0781810360.148368050.148376571.00005751.0E-5
6.61.4046066E-42.8400324E-42.8400324E-41.00.06.018354E-40.00121659590.00121659591.00.00.00730275550.0147129970.0147129971.00.00.070673840.135377660.135377661.00.0
6.71.14696966E-42.3605289E-42.3605289E-41.00.04.914658E-40.00101126820.00101126821.00.00.00596719240.01224377750.01224377751.00.00.0580948220.114092780.114092781.00.0
6.89.3874296E-51.9140153E-41.9140153E-41.00.04.0225635E-48.200382E-48.200382E-41.00.00.00488647870.0099390150.0099390151.00.00.0478041730.093777070.093777071.00.0
6.95.551852E-51.09092856E-41.09092856E-41.00.02.3791482E-44.6745766E-44.6745766E-41.00.00.00289276540.00567656760.00567656761.00.00.0285539810.0550641340.0550641341.00.0
7.04.2662363E-58.392175E-58.392175E-51.00.01.8282588E-43.5961546E-43.5961546E-41.00.00.00222363280.00436960440.00436960441.00.00.0220151380.0427401620.0427401621.00.0
7.13.305886E-56.422924E-56.422924E-51.00.01.4167312E-42.7523926E-42.7523926E-41.00.00.00172350560.00334590840.00334590841.00.00.0171019980.033024790.033024791.00.0
7.22.9856887E-55.815728E-55.815728E-51.00.01.2795182E-42.4922178E-42.4922178E-41.00.00.00155670010.00303007060.00303007061.00.00.0154584030.0299968090.0299968091.00.0
7.32.4559737E-54.6899757E-54.6899757E-51.00.01.0525176E-42.0098354E-42.0098354E-41.00.00.00128068690.00244424210.00244424211.00.00.0127333130.024295120.024295121.00.0
7.41.9002231E-53.575394E-53.575394E-51.00.08.143559E-51.5322222E-41.5322222E-41.00.09.910273E-40.00186389460.00186389461.00.00.0098661940.0186014250.0186014251.00.0
7.51.2783333E-52.3837645E-52.3837645E-51.00.05.4784563E-51.0215737E-41.0215737E-41.00.06.667979E-40.00124306240.00124306241.00.00.0066480070.01245750950.01245750951.00.0
7.64.8149627E-69.101016E-69.101016E-61.00.02.063539E-53.900378E-53.900378E-51.00.02.5120692E-44.747688E-44.747688E-41.00.00.00250923140.0047846560.0047846561.00.0
7.76.0838227E-71.2694182E-61.2694182E-61.00.02.6073499E-65.4403527E-65.4403527E-61.00.03.174402E-56.6234286E-56.6234286E-51.00.03.1739488E-46.838251E-46.838251E-41.00.0
7.84.5542808E-71.0345287E-61.0345287E-61.00.01.9518332E-64.433687E-64.433687E-61.00.02.376331E-55.3978805E-55.3978805E-51.00.02.3760769E-45.5883836E-45.5883836E-41.00.0
7.93.3016747E-77.789825E-77.789825E-71.00.01.4150027E-63.338492E-63.338492E-61.00.01.7227521E-54.0645384E-54.0645384E-51.00.01.7226185E-44.1871206E-44.1871206E-41.00.0
8.02.347038E-75.7531344E-75.7531344E-71.00.01.0058731E-62.4656267E-62.4656267E-61.00.01.2246436E-53.0018595E-53.0018595E-51.00.01.2245761E-43.0706765E-43.0706765E-41.00.0
8.11.18822804E-72.7329395E-72.7329395E-71.00.05.092405E-71.1712592E-61.1712592E-61.00.06.1999854E-61.4259988E-51.4259988E-51.00.06.199812E-51.4538407E-41.4538407E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-48.759756E-48.759756E-41.00.00.00237938480.00374951380.00375947611.0026571.0E-50.0285869630.0447760.0447855551.00021341.0E-50.251762840.351617870.351624341.00001851.0E-5
6.11.925858E-43.3087374E-43.3087374E-41.00.08.2510663E-40.0014173880.00142737371.00704531.0E-50.00999948850.0171576010.017167431.00057281.0E-50.0956132560.156584580.156593011.00005391.0E-5
6.29.4306815E-51.9063544E-41.9063544E-41.00.04.0410945E-48.167546E-48.267464E-41.01223361.0E-50.00490893840.00989885350.0099087541.00100021.0E-50.0480190630.095400880.095409921.00009481.0E-5
6.39.283051E-51.8756873E-41.8756873E-41.00.03.9778434E-48.036196E-48.136116E-41.01243361.0E-50.00483227470.0097403940.0097502961.00101661.0E-50.0472853850.094048220.094057281.00009631.0E-5
6.49.138826E-51.8513743E-41.8513743E-41.00.03.916052E-47.932061E-48.0319814E-41.01259711.0E-50.00475737450.0096147410.0096246451.00103011.0E-50.0465680920.092929860.092938931.00009761.0E-5
6.59.000255E-51.8267131E-41.8267131E-41.00.03.8566816E-47.826434E-47.926356E-41.01276721.0E-50.00468540470.00948728250.0094971881.0010441.0E-50.0458784030.0917990650.091808151.0000991.0E-5
6.68.8109264E-51.7938185E-41.7938185E-41.00.03.7755648E-47.685541E-47.785464E-41.01300141.0E-50.00458706540.00931724350.0093271511.00106321.0E-50.044935290.0902969540.090306051.00010071.0E-5
6.78.738073E-51.7803069E-41.7803069E-41.00.03.7443507E-47.627668E-47.7275914E-41.01310011.0E-50.00454922160.0092474170.0092573251.00107131.0E-50.044572130.089690860.089699961.00010141.0E-5
6.88.710195E-51.7746798E-41.7746798E-41.00.03.7324068E-47.603566E-47.70349E-41.01314181.0E-50.00453474050.0092183310.0092282391.00107481.0E-50.044433130.089432430.089441541.00010181.0E-5
6.98.6801556E-51.7686156E-41.7686156E-41.00.03.7195362E-47.5775915E-47.6775154E-41.01318681.0E-50.00451913570.0091869750.0091968821.00107851.0E-50.0442833270.089153060.089162171.00010221.0E-5
7.08.5571606E-51.7432657E-41.7432657E-41.00.03.6668387E-47.4690115E-47.568937E-41.01337861.0E-50.0044552410.0090558850.0090657941.00109421.0E-50.0436697270.087979860.087988981.00010371.0E-5
7.17.82589E-51.5884939E-41.5884939E-41.00.03.3535215E-46.806063E-46.9059944E-41.01468281.0E-50.00407527060.0082550840.0082650021.00120141.0E-50.0400134180.080803010.08081221.00011371.0E-5
7.27.690929E-51.5616512E-41.5616512E-41.00.03.2956956E-46.691082E-46.791015E-41.01493531.0E-50.0040051290.0081161460.0081260651.00122211.0E-50.03933710.079558260.079567461.00011581.0E-5
7.37.5543794E-51.5303628E-41.5303628E-41.00.03.2371894E-46.557057E-46.6569913E-41.01524081.0E-50.0039341570.0079541730.0079640931.00124721.0E-50.0386523340.078091130.078100351.0001181.0E-5
7.47.4214564E-51.4994708E-41.4994708E-41.00.03.1802364E-46.424728E-46.5246643E-41.01555491.0E-50.0038650650.0077942260.00780414841.0012731.0E-50.037985290.076629490.076638731.00012051.0E-5
7.56.149578E-51.18232034E-41.18232034E-41.00.02.6352672E-45.0661043E-45.0661043E-41.00.00.00320371780.00615057440.00615057441.00.00.031579230.061459070.061459071.00.0
7.66.0643448E-51.1646198E-41.1646198E-41.00.02.598746E-44.9902743E-44.9902743E-41.00.00.00315938280.0060587690.0060587691.00.00.0311484170.0605982650.0605982651.00.0
7.75.1652263E-59.738475E-59.738475E-51.00.02.2134806E-44.1729648E-44.1729648E-41.00.00.0026915820.00506876130.00506876131.00.00.0265921410.0511649550.0511649551.00.0
7.84.8090482E-59.0787486E-59.0787486E-51.00.02.060858E-43.8903122E-43.8903122E-41.00.00.00250620720.00472617850.00472617851.00.00.0247813050.0477315450.0477315451.00.0
7.93.970278E-57.1558374E-57.1558374E-51.00.01.7014367E-43.066427E-43.066427E-41.00.00.0020695310.00372698830.00372698831.00.00.0205036360.0378157240.0378157241.00.0
8.02.8982335E-54.3294738E-54.3294738E-51.00.01.2420409E-41.8553568E-41.8553568E-41.00.00.00151113570.0022565580.0022565581.00.00.0150090120.0233038070.0233038071.00.0
8.11.8836186E-52.015139E-52.015139E-51.00.08.0724014E-58.636024E-58.636024E-51.00.09.823717E-40.00105092950.00105092951.00.00.0097804030.0112575940.0112575941.00.0
8.28.643924E-66.04074E-66.04074E-61.00.03.704486E-52.588863E-52.588863E-51.00.04.5092785E-43.151486E-43.151486E-41.00.00.00450013950.003556780.003556781.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.603872E-78.603872E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6873687E-63.6873687E-61.00.01.034694E-44.489281E-54.489281E-51.00.00.00103421245.259019E-45.259019E-41.00.0

Hosgri

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.883978E-52.9175082E-52.9175082E-51.00.01.235932E-41.2503023E-41.2503023E-41.00.00.00150370850.00152120740.00153119211.00656381.0E-50.014935740.015111750.0151215991.00065171.0E-5
6.12.883978E-52.9175082E-52.9175082E-51.00.01.235932E-41.2503023E-41.2503023E-41.00.00.00150370850.00152120740.00153119211.00656381.0E-50.014935740.015111750.0151215991.00065171.0E-5
6.22.883978E-52.9175082E-52.9175082E-51.00.01.235932E-41.2503023E-41.2503023E-41.00.00.00150370850.00152120740.00153119211.00656381.0E-50.014935740.015111750.0151215991.00065171.0E-5
6.32.2914428E-52.268001E-52.268001E-51.00.09.8200995E-59.719645E-59.719645E-51.00.00.00119494130.00118272930.00118272931.00.00.0118853630.0117657690.0117657691.00.0
6.42.0195741E-51.9731155E-51.9731155E-51.00.08.65503E-58.455936E-58.455936E-51.00.00.00105324050.0010290260.0010290261.00.00.0104826260.0102436790.0102436791.00.0
6.51.9924333E-51.9443316E-51.9443316E-51.00.08.53872E-58.332585E-58.332585E-51.00.00.00103909340.0010140220.0010140221.00.00.0103424810.0100950090.0100950091.00.0
6.61.809694E-51.7490676E-51.7490676E-51.00.07.7556004E-57.49579E-57.49579E-51.00.09.438353E-49.1223157E-49.1223157E-41.00.00.0093983660.0090858330.0090858331.00.0
6.71.675989E-51.6073804E-51.6073804E-51.00.07.182612E-56.8885915E-56.8885915E-51.00.08.7413215E-48.383644E-48.383644E-41.00.00.0087070170.0083529430.0083529431.00.0
6.81.5401129E-51.4643799E-51.4643799E-51.00.06.6003166E-56.275764E-56.275764E-51.00.08.032922E-47.638072E-47.638072E-41.00.00.0080039470.0076127040.0076127041.00.0
6.91.356559E-51.2717892E-51.2717892E-51.00.05.8136946E-55.4504115E-55.4504115E-51.00.07.0758746E-46.63386E-46.63386E-41.00.00.0070533860.0066148820.0066148821.00.0
7.01.2030819E-51.1122409E-51.1122409E-51.00.05.155963E-54.7666595E-54.7666595E-51.00.06.275577E-45.801864E-45.801864E-41.00.00.0062578840.00578749650.00578749651.00.0
7.11.0972698E-51.0047684E-51.0047684E-51.00.04.7025E-54.306079E-54.306079E-51.00.05.72379E-45.241391E-45.241391E-41.00.00.00570906930.00522980.00522981.00.0
7.29.961926E-69.059321E-69.059321E-61.00.04.2693267E-53.8825085E-53.8825085E-51.00.05.1966653E-44.7259292E-44.7259292E-41.00.00.005184530.00471664450.00471664451.00.0
7.38.700929E-67.851732E-67.851732E-61.00.03.7289166E-53.364985E-53.364985E-51.00.04.53901E-44.0960993E-44.0960993E-41.00.00.004529750.0040893080.0040893081.00.0
7.47.866285E-67.0217284E-67.0217284E-61.00.03.3712215E-53.0092775E-53.0092775E-51.00.04.103689E-43.6631798E-43.6631798E-41.00.00.0040961190.0036578980.0036578981.00.0
7.56.8381305E-65.9819035E-65.9819035E-61.00.02.9305946E-52.5636476E-52.5636476E-51.00.03.5674145E-43.120794E-43.120794E-41.00.00.00356169320.0031171660.0031171661.00.0
7.65.503376E-64.616394E-64.616394E-61.00.02.3585684E-51.9784395E-51.9784395E-51.00.02.8711787E-42.408484E-42.408484E-41.00.00.0028674720.0024066260.0024066261.00.0
7.73.6144982E-62.6713242E-62.6713242E-61.00.01.5490614E-51.1448482E-51.1448482E-51.00.01.8858191E-41.3937635E-41.3937635E-41.00.00.00188421960.00139363980.00139363981.00.0
7.81.9853494E-61.1516408E-61.1516408E-61.00.08.508612E-64.935594E-64.935594E-61.00.01.0358743E-46.00892E-56.00892E-51.00.00.00103539166.014787E-46.014787E-41.00.0
7.91.1818757E-65.413182E-75.413182E-71.00.05.0651715E-62.3199327E-62.3199327E-61.00.06.1666724E-52.8244816E-52.8244816E-51.00.06.1649614E-42.8310952E-42.8310952E-41.00.0
8.06.962958E-72.794095E-72.794095E-71.00.02.9841215E-61.1974687E-61.1974687E-61.00.03.6331072E-51.4579085E-51.4579085E-51.00.03.6325134E-41.4636035E-41.4636035E-41.00.0
8.11.5033264E-76.7038336E-86.7038336E-81.00.06.442826E-72.873071E-72.873071E-71.00.07.844113E-63.4979587E-63.4979587E-61.00.07.843835E-53.4995282E-53.4995282E-51.00.0

Surprise Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0396248E-54.492099E-54.492099E-51.00.01.7311527E-41.9250553E-41.9250553E-41.00.00.0021056410.0023414460.0023414461.00.00.0208580080.023189570.0231993381.00042131.0E-5
6.14.0396248E-54.492099E-54.492099E-51.00.01.7311527E-41.9250553E-41.9250553E-41.00.00.0021056410.0023414460.0023414461.00.00.0208580080.023189570.0231993381.00042131.0E-5
6.22.2295266E-52.4433644E-52.4433644E-51.00.09.554764E-51.04711595E-41.04711595E-41.00.00.00116267170.00127414890.00127414891.00.00.0115660740.0126716810.0126716811.00.0
6.31.572643E-51.7117722E-51.7117722E-51.00.06.7397246E-57.335966E-57.335966E-51.00.08.202525E-48.927984E-48.927984E-41.00.00.0081723150.0088932260.0088932261.00.0
6.41.5714395E-51.7105542E-51.7105542E-51.00.06.734567E-57.330746E-57.330746E-51.00.08.1962504E-48.921634E-48.921634E-41.00.00.0081660860.0088869280.0088869281.00.0
6.51.2733495E-51.38178475E-51.38178475E-51.00.05.457098E-55.921804E-55.921804E-51.00.06.641992E-47.207478E-47.207478E-41.00.00.00662217430.00718479840.00718479841.00.0
6.61.0983784E-51.1900263E-51.1900263E-51.00.04.7072506E-55.1000163E-55.1000163E-51.00.05.7295704E-46.207554E-46.207554E-41.00.00.00571482070.00619076560.00619076561.00.0
6.79.104806E-69.850633E-69.850633E-61.00.03.902001E-54.221634E-54.221634E-51.00.04.7496508E-45.1386666E-45.1386666E-41.00.00.0047395120.0051271820.0051271821.00.0
6.86.2162403E-66.7115234E-66.7115234E-61.00.02.6640759E-52.8763367E-52.8763367E-51.00.03.2430296E-43.5013995E-43.5013995E-41.00.00.0032383010.00349610670.00349610671.00.0
6.94.1792696E-64.508137E-64.508137E-61.00.01.7911032E-51.9320452E-51.9320452E-51.00.02.1804498E-42.3520266E-42.3520266E-41.00.00.00217831160.0023496910.0023496911.00.0
7.02.7478413E-62.9654932E-62.9654932E-61.00.01.177641E-51.2709202E-51.2709202E-51.00.01.4336836E-41.547248E-41.547248E-41.00.00.0014327590.00154629340.00154629341.00.0
7.18.128648E-78.733969E-78.733969E-71.00.03.4837017E-63.7431278E-63.7431278E-61.00.04.2413245E-54.557223E-54.557223E-51.00.04.2405148E-44.5568778E-44.5568778E-41.00.0
7.24.8641045E-84.9412872E-84.9412872E-81.00.02.084616E-72.1176943E-72.1176943E-71.00.02.538017E-62.57829E-62.57829E-61.00.02.537988E-52.5782612E-52.5782612E-51.00.0
7.35.3911844E-95.4770157E-95.4770157E-91.00.02.3105075E-82.3472925E-82.3472925E-81.00.02.8130427E-72.8578285E-72.8578285E-71.00.02.8130391E-62.8578263E-62.8578263E-61.00.0

Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1182444E-53.6113397E-53.6113397E-51.00.01.336322E-41.5476359E-41.5476359E-41.00.00.00162575780.00188280460.00188280461.00.00.0161391530.0186873470.018697161.00052511.0E-5
6.13.1182444E-53.6113397E-53.6113397E-51.00.01.336322E-41.5476359E-41.5476359E-41.00.00.00162575780.00188280460.00188280461.00.00.0161391530.0186873470.018697161.00052511.0E-5
6.23.1182444E-53.6113397E-53.6113397E-51.00.01.336322E-41.5476359E-41.5476359E-41.00.00.00162575780.00188280460.00188280461.00.00.0161391530.0186873470.018697161.00052511.0E-5
6.32.106934E-52.3894652E-52.3894652E-51.00.09.0294045E-51.02401806E-41.02401806E-41.00.00.00109877550.00124606020.00124606021.00.00.0109335850.0123939940.0123939941.00.0
6.42.106934E-52.3894652E-52.3894652E-51.00.09.0294045E-51.02401806E-41.02401806E-41.00.00.00109877550.00124606020.00124606021.00.00.0109335850.0123939940.0123939941.00.0
6.51.9389783E-52.1924629E-52.1924629E-51.00.08.309642E-59.395947E-59.395947E-51.00.00.00101122940.0011433840.0011433841.00.00.0100664010.0113778990.0113778991.00.0
6.61.9370193E-52.1904543E-52.1904543E-51.00.08.301247E-59.3873394E-59.3873394E-51.00.00.00101020820.00114233720.00114233721.00.00.0100562810.0113675370.0113675371.00.0
6.71.6723505E-51.88321E-51.88321E-51.00.07.16702E-58.070661E-58.070661E-51.00.08.722353E-49.821795E-49.821795E-41.00.00.0086881970.0097804040.0097804041.00.0
6.81.426937E-51.6024434E-51.6024434E-51.00.06.115301E-56.8674424E-56.8674424E-51.00.07.4428355E-48.3580485E-48.3580485E-41.00.00.0074179570.0083280980.0083280981.00.0
6.91.2469891E-51.39803105E-51.39803105E-51.00.05.3441294E-55.991431E-55.991431E-51.00.06.504535E-47.292247E-47.292247E-41.00.00.0064855290.0072695470.0072695471.00.0
7.08.7746275E-69.807673E-69.807673E-61.00.03.7605005E-54.203225E-54.203225E-51.00.04.5774475E-45.1162986E-45.1162986E-41.00.00.004568030.00510525470.00510525471.00.0
7.16.1067153E-66.824803E-66.824803E-61.00.02.6171374E-52.924886E-52.924886E-51.00.03.1858988E-43.5605227E-43.5605227E-41.00.00.00318133530.0035553710.0035553711.00.0
7.22.939283E-63.2793473E-63.2793473E-61.00.01.2596866E-51.405428E-51.405428E-51.00.01.5335606E-41.7109918E-41.7109918E-41.00.00.00153250270.0017098470.0017098471.00.0
7.37.2387763E-78.020537E-78.020537E-71.00.03.102329E-63.437371E-63.437371E-61.00.03.77702E-54.184965E-54.184965E-51.00.03.7763783E-44.1846282E-44.1846282E-41.00.0
7.43.112171E-83.2082013E-83.2082013E-81.00.01.3337875E-71.3749434E-71.3749434E-71.00.01.6238852E-61.6739924E-61.6739924E-61.00.01.6238733E-51.6739807E-51.6739807E-51.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.6617337E-53.6617337E-51.00.01.4070606E-41.5692295E-41.5692295E-41.00.00.001711750.00190902980.00191901071.00522831.0E-50.0169862470.0189432840.0189530941.00051781.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1687607E-52.1687607E-51.00.08.500672E-59.2943694E-59.2943694E-51.00.00.00103446550.00113102220.0011410111.00883151.0E-50.0102966320.0112548020.011264691.00087851.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1687607E-52.1687607E-51.00.08.500672E-59.2943694E-59.2943694E-51.00.00.00103446550.00113102220.0011410111.00883151.0E-50.0102966320.0112548020.011264691.00087851.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.7053828E-51.7053828E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.3085816E-57.3085816E-51.00.08.2034385E-48.894627E-48.894627E-41.00.00.0081732220.008859710.008859711.00.0
6.41.5728183E-51.7053828E-51.7053828E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.3085816E-57.3085816E-51.00.08.2034385E-48.894627E-48.894627E-41.00.00.0081732220.008859710.008859711.00.0
6.51.3707734E-51.4810985E-51.4810985E-51.00.05.8746107E-56.347412E-56.347412E-51.00.07.1499916E-47.72527E-47.72527E-41.00.00.00712703030.0076988150.0076988151.00.0
6.61.2539813E-51.3524885E-51.3524885E-51.00.05.3740947E-55.796252E-55.796252E-51.00.06.540996E-47.054679E-47.054679E-41.00.00.00652177630.00703258770.00703258771.00.0
6.71.1504083E-51.239055E-51.239055E-51.00.04.930228E-55.310129E-55.310129E-51.00.06.0008996E-46.463184E-46.463184E-41.00.00.0059847210.0064446170.0064446171.00.0
6.81.012739E-51.0888359E-51.0888359E-51.00.04.340238E-54.666357E-54.666357E-51.00.05.282958E-45.679823E-45.679823E-41.00.00.00527041640.00566547640.00566547641.00.0
6.98.9607865E-69.618861E-69.618861E-61.00.03.8402806E-54.1223044E-54.1223044E-51.00.04.6745385E-45.0177606E-45.0177606E-41.00.00.00466471770.0050065510.0050065511.00.0
7.08.046829E-68.628346E-68.628346E-61.00.03.4485955E-53.6978105E-53.6978105E-51.00.04.1978562E-44.5011626E-44.5011626E-41.00.00.0041899350.0044921360.0044921361.00.0
7.17.136131E-67.645178E-67.645178E-61.00.03.0583058E-53.276464E-53.276464E-51.00.03.7228514E-43.988372E-43.988372E-41.00.00.00371662060.0039812910.0039812911.00.0
7.26.362014E-66.8115983E-66.8115983E-61.00.02.726549E-52.9192242E-52.9192242E-51.00.03.3190678E-43.5535824E-43.5535824E-41.00.00.00331411490.00354796860.00354796861.00.0
7.35.004101E-65.356925E-65.356925E-61.00.02.1445969E-52.2958051E-52.2958051E-51.00.02.6107338E-42.7947896E-42.7947896E-41.00.00.0026076690.00279132980.00279132981.00.0
7.43.4901443E-63.7356792E-63.7356792E-61.00.01.4957676E-51.6009957E-51.6009957E-51.00.01.8209449E-41.9490419E-41.9490419E-41.00.00.00181945340.00194737120.00194737121.00.0
7.51.1215045E-61.1903979E-61.1903979E-61.00.04.806439E-65.1016955E-65.1016955E-61.00.05.851682E-56.21114E-56.21114E-51.00.05.850142E-46.209435E-46.209435E-41.00.0
7.62.8599047E-72.997182E-72.997182E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.284506E-61.284506E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5638749E-51.5638749E-51.00.01.4921463E-41.5637663E-41.5637663E-41.00.0
7.72.0781519E-72.1758419E-72.1758419E-71.00.08.906362E-79.325033E-79.325033E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.13531705E-51.13531705E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.13525995E-41.13525995E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.7662765E-83.7662765E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6141183E-71.6141183E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9651875E-61.9651875E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9651712E-51.9651712E-51.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.572521E-52.572521E-51.00.08.864371E-51.10246336E-41.10246336E-41.00.00.00107870290.00134143980.00134143981.00.00.0107348170.0133337370.0133436041.00073991.0E-5
6.12.0684236E-52.572521E-52.572521E-51.00.08.864371E-51.10246336E-41.10246336E-41.00.00.00107870290.00134143980.00134143981.00.00.0107348170.0133337370.0133436041.00073991.0E-5
6.22.0684236E-52.572521E-52.572521E-51.00.08.864371E-51.10246336E-41.10246336E-41.00.00.00107870290.00134143980.00134143981.00.00.0107348170.0133337370.0133436041.00073991.0E-5
6.32.0240292E-52.522441E-52.522441E-51.00.08.6741224E-51.08100234E-41.08100234E-41.00.00.00105556260.00131534260.00131534261.00.00.0105056280.0130758550.0130857251.00075471.0E-5
6.42.0240292E-52.522441E-52.522441E-51.00.08.6741224E-51.08100234E-41.08100234E-41.00.00.00105556260.00131534260.00131534261.00.00.0105056280.0130758550.0130857251.00075471.0E-5
6.51.9962767E-52.4913143E-52.4913143E-51.00.08.55519E-51.0676633E-41.0676633E-41.00.00.00104109680.00129912190.00129912191.00.00.0103623270.0129155410.01292541251.00076431.0E-5
6.61.8937297E-52.340715E-52.340715E-51.00.08.115732E-51.0031258E-41.0031258E-41.00.09.876423E-40.00122063610.00122063611.00.00.0098326450.0121394010.012149281.00081371.0E-5
6.71.8621096E-52.300678E-52.300678E-51.00.07.980225E-59.859684E-59.859684E-51.00.09.711593E-40.00119977010.00119977011.00.00.0096692610.0119330.0119428811.0008281.0E-5
6.81.7830353E-52.1892956E-52.1892956E-51.00.07.641356E-59.3823655E-59.3823655E-51.00.09.29938E-40.00114171860.00114171861.00.00.0092605610.011359460.0113693461.00087031.0E-5
6.91.3135183E-51.5346108E-51.5346108E-51.00.05.6292425E-56.576742E-56.576742E-51.00.06.8514474E-48.0043066E-48.0043066E-41.00.00.0068303620.0079752060.0079851261.00124381.0E-5
7.01.1507512E-51.3186187E-51.3186187E-51.00.04.9316975E-55.651104E-55.651104E-51.00.06.002687E-46.8781053E-46.8781053E-41.00.00.00598649870.00685620960.00686614081.00144851.0E-5
7.19.715903E-61.0884899E-51.0884899E-51.00.04.1638916E-54.6648758E-54.6648758E-51.00.05.068359E-45.678049E-45.678049E-41.00.00.00505681480.0056640940.0056640941.00.0
7.29.233269E-61.0304286E-51.0304286E-51.00.03.9570554E-54.41605E-54.41605E-51.00.04.81665E-45.375257E-45.375257E-41.00.00.00480622330.00536268860.00536268861.00.0
7.38.8041315E-69.8239E-69.8239E-61.00.03.7731446E-54.210177E-54.210177E-51.00.04.592835E-45.124727E-45.124727E-41.00.00.00458335460.0051133370.0051133371.00.0
7.48.708749E-69.722825E-69.722825E-61.00.03.7322676E-54.166861E-54.166861E-51.00.04.5430884E-45.072014E-45.072014E-41.00.00.0045338120.0050608660.0050608661.00.0
7.58.612678E-69.620371E-69.620371E-61.00.03.6910955E-54.1229534E-54.1229534E-51.00.04.492982E-45.018582E-45.018582E-41.00.00.0044839090.00500767540.00500767541.00.0
7.68.319024E-69.299048E-69.299048E-61.00.03.5652476E-53.9852475E-53.9852475E-51.00.04.3398244E-44.8510008E-44.8510008E-41.00.00.00433135870.0048408370.0048408371.00.0
7.77.4718328E-68.358872E-68.358872E-61.00.03.2021748E-53.582327E-53.582327E-51.00.03.8979502E-44.3606508E-44.3606508E-41.00.00.003891120.00435250070.00435250071.00.0
7.83.4586725E-73.651073E-73.651073E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5647447E-61.5647447E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9050605E-51.9050605E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9049016E-41.9049016E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6712845E-92.6712845E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1448362E-81.1448362E-81.00.01.335311E-71.393838E-71.393838E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.393838E-61.393838E-61.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.0807284E-57.0807284E-51.00.02.3292181E-43.0342367E-43.1342066E-41.03294721.0E-50.00283213520.0036878850.0036978481.00270161.0E-50.027963120.0362669680.0362766051.00026571.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.846567E-55.846567E-51.00.01.953209E-42.50543E-42.50543E-41.00.00.00237543830.00304605860.00304605861.00.00.0235020630.0300416520.0300416521.00.0
6.22.8536782E-53.4867662E-53.4867662E-51.00.01.2229476E-41.4942468E-41.4942468E-41.00.00.00148792170.00181768940.00181768941.00.00.0147799860.0180246830.0180246831.00.0
6.32.3698774E-52.8314904E-52.8314904E-51.00.01.01562226E-41.2134421E-41.2134421E-41.00.00.00123581860.00147634150.00147634151.00.00.0122896860.0146631060.0146631061.00.0
6.41.9191197E-52.2196546E-52.2196546E-51.00.08.2245395E-59.512477E-59.512477E-51.00.00.00100087770.00115752850.00115752851.00.00.0099638180.0115146850.0115146851.00.0
6.51.5203241E-51.6851272E-51.6851272E-51.00.06.5155116E-57.221791E-57.221791E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.789132E-48.789132E-41.00.00.0079015120.0087553540.0087553541.00.0
6.61.0984925E-51.1269043E-51.1269043E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8295016E-54.8295016E-51.00.05.730166E-45.87837E-45.87837E-41.00.00.0057154130.00586320930.00586320931.00.0
6.79.134616E-69.040083E-69.040083E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.8742648E-53.8742648E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.7159204E-44.7159204E-41.00.00.0047549930.00470615920.00470615921.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.468564E-67.468564E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.2007752E-53.2007752E-51.00.04.0616E-43.8962672E-43.8962672E-41.00.00.00405418450.0038896410.0038896411.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.9094865E-64.9094865E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.1040496E-52.1040496E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.5613932E-42.5613932E-41.00.00.0029068670.0025585790.0025585791.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.5247671E-61.5247671E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.5347003E-66.5347003E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.955716E-57.955716E-51.00.00.00139827997.952955E-47.952955E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.4711676E-77.4711676E-71.00.08.55041E-63.2019252E-63.2019252E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.8982787E-53.8982787E-51.00.00.00104047523.8976362E-43.8976362E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.4711676E-77.4711676E-71.00.08.55041E-63.2019252E-63.2019252E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.8982787E-53.8982787E-51.00.00.00104047523.8976362E-43.8976362E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.5921796E-76.5921796E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.825217E-62.825217E-61.00.08.915652E-53.4396515E-53.4396515E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.4391598E-43.4391598E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.084254E-76.084254E-71.00.05.916349E-62.607535E-62.607535E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.1746316E-53.1746316E-51.00.07.200583E-43.1742186E-43.1742186E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.084254E-76.084254E-71.00.05.916349E-62.607535E-62.607535E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.1746316E-53.1746316E-51.00.07.200583E-43.1742186E-43.1742186E-41.00.0

Concord 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.7865112E-59.800529E-59.800529E-51.00.02.4796976E-44.1995585E-44.1995585E-41.00.00.00301485250.0051014780.0051014781.00.00.0297427750.0494534630.0494629671.00019221.0E-5
6.15.7865112E-59.800529E-59.800529E-51.00.02.4796976E-44.1995585E-44.1995585E-41.00.00.00301485250.0051014780.0051014781.00.00.0297427750.0494534630.0494629671.00019221.0E-5
6.25.6789337E-59.619941E-59.619941E-51.00.02.4336016E-44.1221955E-44.1221955E-41.00.00.00295888450.00500777830.00500777831.00.00.0291979630.0485664050.048575921.00019591.0E-5
6.35.203322E-58.83993E-58.83993E-51.00.02.2298045E-43.7880355E-43.7880355E-41.00.00.00271140710.004602970.004602971.00.00.0267856250.0447175760.0447271281.00021361.0E-5
6.44.7120942E-57.929444E-57.929444E-51.00.02.0193127E-43.3979327E-43.3979327E-41.00.00.00245574120.0041298860.0041298861.00.00.0242878010.040224830.0402344281.00023871.0E-5
6.52.9598437E-54.69016E-54.69016E-51.00.01.2684427E-42.0099258E-42.0099258E-41.00.00.0015432350.00244455090.00244455091.00.00.0153256190.024017820.024027581.00040641.0E-5
6.62.0443718E-53.0139825E-53.0139825E-51.00.08.7613E-51.2916449E-41.2916449E-41.00.00.00106616620.00157147980.00157147981.00.00.0106106550.0155430330.0155528781.00063341.0E-5
6.71.798539E-52.571014E-52.571014E-51.00.07.7077966E-51.1018178E-41.1018178E-41.00.09.380202E-40.00134065970.00134065971.00.00.0093407060.0132924940.0133023621.00074231.0E-5
6.81.613555E-52.2074184E-52.2074184E-51.00.06.915052E-59.46003E-59.46003E-51.00.08.4158237E-40.00115116420.00115116421.00.00.0083840230.0114352940.0114352941.00.0
6.91.2916435E-51.7157174E-51.7157174E-51.00.05.5354973E-57.35287E-57.35287E-51.00.06.7373837E-48.948502E-48.948502E-41.00.00.0067169940.0089050970.0089050971.00.0
7.09.81129E-61.2683559E-51.2683559E-51.00.04.2047708E-55.4356988E-55.4356988E-51.00.05.118106E-46.61597E-46.61597E-41.00.00.0051063340.0065957660.0065957661.00.0
7.18.0889195E-61.046215E-51.046215E-51.00.03.4666336E-54.4837023E-54.4837023E-51.00.04.219809E-45.457551E-45.457551E-41.00.00.0042118050.0054440140.0054440141.00.0
7.26.267438E-68.148623E-68.148623E-61.00.02.6860173E-53.492221E-53.492221E-51.00.03.2697353E-44.250957E-44.250957E-41.00.00.00326492850.00424261670.00424261671.00.0
7.33.6761196E-64.8571023E-64.8571023E-61.00.01.5754704E-52.0815987E-52.0815987E-51.00.01.9179663E-42.534054E-42.534054E-41.00.00.00191631180.00253107650.00253107651.00.0
7.42.8044356E-63.7229042E-63.7229042E-61.00.01.2018954E-51.5955207E-51.5955207E-51.00.01.4632095E-41.9423745E-41.9423745E-41.00.00.00146224640.00194048020.00194048021.00.0
7.52.4578699E-63.2560931E-63.2560931E-61.00.01.0533685E-51.395461E-51.395461E-51.00.01.2824008E-41.6988425E-41.6988425E-41.00.00.00128166090.00169734810.00169734811.00.0
7.61.7713267E-62.3440575E-62.3440575E-61.00.07.591378E-61.0045922E-51.0045922E-51.00.09.2421105E-51.2230233E-41.2230233E-41.00.09.2382677E-40.00122210070.00122210071.00.0
7.75.1912366E-76.84924E-76.84924E-71.00.02.2248137E-62.9353853E-62.9353853E-61.00.02.708677E-53.5737743E-53.5737743E-51.00.02.708347E-43.573119E-43.573119E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.5349087E-42.5349087E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00108593890.0010959281.00919871.0E-50.0060734930.0131416810.013151551.00075091.0E-50.05910160.1248993950.124908141.00007011.0E-5
6.11.1674632E-42.5349087E-42.5349087E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00108593890.0010959281.00919871.0E-50.0060734930.0131416810.013151551.00075091.0E-50.05910160.1248993950.124908141.00007011.0E-5
6.21.1674632E-42.5349087E-42.5349087E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00108593890.0010959281.00919871.0E-50.0060734930.0131416810.013151551.00075091.0E-50.05910160.1248993950.124908141.00007011.0E-5
6.31.1674632E-42.5349087E-42.5349087E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00108593890.0010959281.00919871.0E-50.0060734930.0131416810.013151551.00075091.0E-50.05910160.1248993950.124908141.00007011.0E-5
6.41.1674632E-42.5349087E-42.5349087E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00108593890.0010959281.00919871.0E-50.0060734930.0131416810.013151551.00075091.0E-50.05910160.1248993950.124908141.00007011.0E-5
6.51.13136164E-42.466463E-42.466463E-41.00.04.847792E-40.00105662890.00106661841.0094541.0E-50.00588622550.0127890640.0127989361.00077191.0E-50.0573273340.121872530.1218813061.0000721.0E-5
6.61.13136164E-42.466463E-42.466463E-41.00.04.847792E-40.00105662890.00106661841.0094541.0E-50.00588622550.0127890640.0127989361.00077191.0E-50.0573273340.121872530.1218813061.0000721.0E-5
6.71.1149675E-42.4353802E-42.4353802E-41.00.04.777557E-40.00104331840.0010533081.00957481.0E-50.00580117340.0126288960.012638771.00078191.0E-50.056520510.120492770.120501571.0000731.0E-5
6.81.1103589E-42.4254757E-42.4254757E-41.00.04.7578133E-40.00103907710.00104906671.00961391.0E-50.0057772630.0125778540.0125877291.0007851.0E-50.0562935840.12005070.12005951.00007331.0E-5
6.91.1053259E-42.4145814E-42.4145814E-41.00.04.7362508E-40.00103441180.00104440141.00965741.0E-50.00575114970.0125217090.0125315841.00078861.0E-50.056045690.11956330.11957211.00007371.0E-5
7.01.1005377E-42.4045407E-42.4045407E-41.00.04.7157376E-40.0010301120.00104010171.00969771.0E-50.00572630620.012469960.0124798361.00079191.0E-50.0558097960.119113430.119122241.00007391.0E-5
7.11.0308142E-42.2536314E-42.2536314E-41.00.04.417027E-49.6548564E-49.7547594E-41.01034751.0E-50.00536447760.011691780.0117016631.00084531.0E-50.0523681380.112332350.112341231.0000791.0E-5
7.21.0027479E-42.1936523E-42.1936523E-41.00.04.296783E-49.3979907E-49.4978965E-41.01063061.0E-50.00521879220.01138235350.011392241.00086861.0E-50.0509792120.1096167340.109625641.00008121.0E-5
7.39.816942E-52.1398187E-42.1398187E-41.00.04.2065824E-49.167439E-49.267347E-41.01089811.0E-50.0051094930.0111045520.0111144421.00089051.0E-50.0499359850.1071583850.107167311.00008331.0E-5
7.49.5634205E-52.0750373E-42.0750373E-41.00.04.0979648E-48.889996E-48.989907E-41.01123861.0E-50.00497786370.0107701460.0107800381.00091851.0E-50.0486782530.104183770.104192731.0000861.0E-5
7.58.052417E-51.6957625E-41.6957625E-41.00.03.4505792E-47.2655315E-47.2655315E-41.00.00.00419299030.008810.008811.00.00.041147530.0865546240.0865546241.00.0
7.67.897024E-51.660064E-41.660064E-41.00.03.384E-47.1126217E-47.1126217E-41.00.00.00411223850.0086253210.0086253211.00.00.0403696970.084860440.084860441.00.0
7.76.707427E-51.4029804E-41.4029804E-41.00.02.8742946E-46.0113886E-46.0113886E-41.00.00.0034938390.0072943440.0072943441.00.00.0343941640.072457160.072457161.00.0
7.86.147705E-51.2880242E-41.2880242E-41.00.02.6344648E-45.518936E-45.518936E-41.00.00.00320274360.0066986330.0066986331.00.00.0315697640.066624150.066624151.00.0
7.94.7636717E-59.3755545E-59.3755545E-51.00.02.0414138E-44.0174762E-44.0174762E-41.00.00.00248258840.00488031660.00488031661.00.00.0245503650.0489513350.0489513351.00.0
8.03.3554235E-55.5219196E-55.5219196E-51.00.01.4379594E-42.3663224E-42.3663224E-41.00.00.00174930970.00287719330.00287719331.00.00.0173560340.029391910.029391911.00.0
8.11.9175432E-52.0683958E-52.0683958E-51.00.08.217783E-58.8642526E-58.8642526E-51.00.00.00100005580.00107868910.00107868911.00.00.0099556730.0115421090.0115421091.00.0
8.28.643924E-66.04074E-66.04074E-61.00.03.704486E-52.588863E-52.588863E-51.00.04.5092785E-43.151486E-43.151486E-41.00.00.00450013950.003556780.003556781.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.603872E-78.603872E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6873687E-63.6873687E-61.00.01.034694E-44.489281E-54.489281E-51.00.00.00103421245.259019E-45.259019E-41.00.0

Great Valley 06 (Midland) 2011 CFM alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2712525E-51.3217815E-51.3217815E-51.00.05.4481112E-55.664669E-55.664669E-51.00.06.6310563E-46.894806E-46.894806E-41.00.00.00661130440.00687593360.0068858651.00144431.0E-5
6.11.2712525E-51.3217815E-51.3217815E-51.00.05.4481112E-55.664669E-55.664669E-51.00.06.6310563E-46.894806E-46.894806E-41.00.00.00661130440.00687593360.0068858651.00144431.0E-5
6.21.2712525E-51.3217815E-51.3217815E-51.00.05.4481112E-55.664669E-55.664669E-51.00.06.6310563E-46.894806E-46.894806E-41.00.00.00661130440.00687593360.0068858651.00144431.0E-5
6.31.2712525E-51.3217815E-51.3217815E-51.00.05.4481112E-55.664669E-55.664669E-51.00.06.6310563E-46.894806E-46.894806E-41.00.00.00661130440.00687593360.0068858651.00144431.0E-5
6.41.2712525E-51.3217815E-51.3217815E-51.00.05.4481112E-55.664669E-55.664669E-51.00.06.6310563E-46.894806E-46.894806E-41.00.00.00661130440.00687593360.0068858651.00144431.0E-5
6.51.2712525E-51.3217815E-51.3217815E-51.00.05.4481112E-55.664669E-55.664669E-51.00.06.6310563E-46.894806E-46.894806E-41.00.00.00661130440.00687593360.0068858651.00144431.0E-5
6.65.7574384E-65.973738E-65.973738E-61.00.02.4674504E-52.5601505E-52.5601505E-51.00.03.0037065E-43.1165767E-43.1165767E-41.00.00.00299964980.0031125930.0031125931.00.0
6.75.7574384E-65.973738E-65.973738E-61.00.02.4674504E-52.5601505E-52.5601505E-51.00.03.0037065E-43.1165767E-43.1165767E-41.00.00.00299964980.0031125930.0031125931.00.0
6.83.3474828E-63.4711513E-63.4711513E-61.00.01.4346277E-51.48762865E-51.48762865E-51.00.01.7465191E-41.8110522E-41.8110522E-41.00.00.00174514720.00180972360.00180972361.00.0
6.92.035106E-62.1101068E-62.1101068E-61.00.08.721853E-69.043288E-69.043288E-61.00.01.0618339E-41.100972E-41.100972E-41.00.00.00106132670.00110049880.00110049881.00.0
7.01.2424716E-61.2885342E-61.2885342E-61.00.05.3248673E-65.5222804E-65.5222804E-61.00.06.482833E-56.723214E-56.723214E-51.00.06.480942E-46.721624E-46.721624E-41.00.0
7.16.6904556E-76.942639E-76.942639E-71.00.02.867335E-62.9754149E-62.9754149E-61.00.03.4909244E-53.6225334E-53.6225334E-51.00.03.490376E-43.6221984E-43.6221984E-41.00.0
7.23.948168E-74.097845E-74.097845E-71.00.01.6920709E-61.7562193E-61.7562193E-61.00.02.0600768E-52.138197E-52.138197E-51.00.02.0598859E-42.1381969E-42.1381969E-41.00.0

Great Valley 04a Trout Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4088538E-51.5745056E-51.5745056E-51.00.06.037805E-56.7477136E-56.7477136E-51.00.07.3485484E-48.2123704E-48.2123704E-41.00.00.0073242950.0081833110.0081932281.0012121.0E-5
6.11.4088538E-51.5745056E-51.5745056E-51.00.06.037805E-56.7477136E-56.7477136E-51.00.07.3485484E-48.2123704E-48.2123704E-41.00.00.0073242950.0081833110.0081932281.0012121.0E-5
6.21.4088538E-51.5745056E-51.5745056E-51.00.06.037805E-56.7477136E-56.7477136E-51.00.07.3485484E-48.2123704E-48.2123704E-41.00.00.0073242950.0081833110.0081932281.0012121.0E-5
6.31.2882862E-51.4401999E-51.4401999E-51.00.05.5211098E-56.1721454E-56.1721454E-51.00.06.7198783E-47.5121E-47.5121E-41.00.00.00669959370.00748777340.00748777341.00.0
6.41.2882862E-51.4401999E-51.4401999E-51.00.05.5211098E-56.1721454E-56.1721454E-51.00.06.7198783E-47.5121E-47.5121E-41.00.00.00669959370.00748777340.00748777341.00.0
6.51.2762329E-51.4268356E-51.4268356E-51.00.05.469455E-56.114872E-56.114872E-51.00.06.657027E-47.442418E-47.442418E-41.00.00.006637120.00741855660.00741855661.00.0
6.61.2762329E-51.4268356E-51.4268356E-51.00.05.469455E-56.114872E-56.114872E-51.00.06.657027E-47.442418E-47.442418E-41.00.00.006637120.00741855660.00741855661.00.0
6.71.2557959E-51.4042261E-51.4042261E-51.00.05.3818712E-56.0179787E-56.0179787E-51.00.06.5504585E-47.3245296E-47.3245296E-41.00.00.0065311830.0073014460.0073014461.00.0
6.81.1871544E-51.3280538E-51.3280538E-51.00.05.0877054E-55.6915407E-55.6915407E-51.00.06.1925204E-46.9273484E-46.9273484E-41.00.00.00617529270.0069067750.0069067751.00.0
6.91.0500373E-51.1750538E-51.1750538E-51.00.04.5000823E-55.0358525E-55.0358525E-51.00.05.4774724E-46.129512E-46.129512E-41.00.00.0054639910.00611347430.00611347431.00.0
7.08.524332E-69.549308E-69.549308E-61.00.03.653234E-54.0925006E-54.0925006E-51.00.04.4469046E-44.9815536E-44.9815536E-41.00.00.00443801660.0049711210.0049711211.00.0
7.16.006849E-66.7226038E-66.7226038E-61.00.02.5743384E-52.8810873E-52.8810873E-51.00.03.1338062E-43.5072153E-43.5072153E-41.00.00.00312939050.00350223250.00350223251.00.0
7.22.9122193E-63.2517648E-63.2517648E-61.00.01.248088E-51.393607E-51.393607E-51.00.01.5194413E-41.696602E-41.696602E-41.00.00.00151840270.00169547930.00169547931.00.0
7.37.2194007E-78.000788E-78.000788E-71.00.03.0940253E-63.4289071E-63.4289071E-61.00.03.7669106E-54.1746604E-54.1746604E-51.00.03.766272E-44.1743278E-44.1743278E-41.00.0
7.43.112171E-83.2082013E-83.2082013E-81.00.01.3337875E-71.3749434E-71.3749434E-71.00.01.6238852E-61.6739924E-61.6739924E-61.00.01.6238733E-51.6739807E-51.6739807E-51.00.0

Swain Ravine - Spenceville

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.596169E-65.6647514E-65.6647514E-61.00.02.398336E-52.4277295E-52.4277295E-51.00.02.9195828E-42.955387E-43.0553574E-41.03382651.0E-50.002915750.0029517260.00296169661.00337781.0E-5
6.15.596169E-65.6647514E-65.6647514E-61.00.02.398336E-52.4277295E-52.4277295E-51.00.02.9195828E-42.955387E-43.0553574E-41.03382651.0E-50.002915750.0029517260.00296169661.00337781.0E-5
6.25.596169E-65.6647514E-65.6647514E-61.00.02.398336E-52.4277295E-52.4277295E-51.00.02.9195828E-42.955387E-43.0553574E-41.03382651.0E-50.002915750.0029517260.00296169661.00337781.0E-5
6.35.596169E-65.6647514E-65.6647514E-61.00.02.398336E-52.4277295E-52.4277295E-51.00.02.9195828E-42.955387E-43.0553574E-41.03382651.0E-50.002915750.0029517260.00296169661.00337781.0E-5
6.42.8426775E-62.8745887E-62.8745887E-61.00.01.2182847E-51.231961E-51.231961E-51.00.01.4831607E-41.4998131E-41.5997981E-41.06666491.0E-50.00148217110.00149883940.00150882441.00666181.0E-5
6.51.9210793E-61.941702E-61.941702E-61.00.08.233172E-68.321554E-68.321554E-61.00.01.0023425E-41.0131035E-41.1130933E-41.09869661.0E-50.00100189050.0010126550.00102264491.0098651.0E-5
6.61.9210793E-61.941702E-61.941702E-61.00.08.233172E-68.321554E-68.321554E-61.00.01.0023425E-41.0131035E-41.1130933E-41.09869661.0E-50.00100189050.0010126550.00102264491.0098651.0E-5
6.71.4667394E-61.4821073E-61.4821073E-61.00.06.286011E-66.3518737E-66.3518737E-61.00.07.65295E-57.7331395E-58.733062E-51.12930361.0E-57.6503144E-47.7305257E-47.8304484E-41.01292571.0E-5
6.81.1076943E-61.1191124E-61.1191124E-61.00.04.747252E-64.7961876E-64.7961876E-61.00.05.7796264E-55.8392063E-56.839148E-51.17124621.0E-55.778124E-45.837716E-45.937658E-41.017121.0E-5
6.98.514296E-78.601306E-78.601306E-71.00.03.648979E-63.6862689E-63.6862689E-61.00.04.442541E-54.487943E-55.487898E-51.22280921.0E-54.441653E-44.4870653E-44.5870204E-41.02227631.0E-5
7.04.8544706E-74.90399E-74.90399E-71.00.02.0804857E-62.101708E-62.101708E-61.00.02.532962E-52.558801E-53.5587753E-51.39079811.0E-52.5326732E-42.5585195E-42.6584938E-41.03907511.0E-5
7.13.829186E-73.8684246E-73.8684246E-71.00.01.6410787E-61.6578953E-61.6578953E-61.00.01.997995E-52.0184698E-52.0184698E-51.00.01.9978154E-42.0182971E-42.0182971E-41.00.0
7.21.4726595E-71.4881596E-71.4881596E-71.00.06.3113964E-76.3778253E-76.3778253E-71.00.07.684098E-67.76498E-67.76498E-61.00.07.6838325E-57.764762E-57.764762E-51.00.0
7.34.1880604E-84.2330573E-84.2330573E-81.00.01.7948828E-71.8141674E-71.8141674E-71.00.02.1852677E-62.2087488E-62.2087488E-61.00.02.1852462E-52.2087488E-52.2087488E-51.00.0

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.8139776E-56.81392E-51.17198931.0E-52.0691741E-42.4915053E-42.5914804E-41.04012631.0E-50.00251630880.00302985990.00303982971.00329051.0E-50.024880060.0299530350.0299627351.00032391.0E-5
6.11.7796336E-52.0936284E-52.0936284E-51.00.07.626778E-58.972407E-58.972407E-51.00.09.281647E-40.00109188140.00109188141.00.00.0092429750.0108695080.0108695081.00.0
6.21.7796336E-52.0936284E-52.0936284E-51.00.07.626778E-58.972407E-58.972407E-51.00.09.281647E-40.00109188140.00109188141.00.00.0092429750.0108695080.0108695081.00.0
6.31.3515912E-51.5808602E-51.5808602E-51.00.05.792405E-56.7749526E-56.7749526E-51.00.07.049971E-48.245621E-48.245621E-41.00.00.0070276470.0082178880.0082178881.00.0
6.41.0870146E-51.26588175E-51.26588175E-51.00.04.658551E-55.425105E-55.425105E-51.00.05.67031E-46.603241E-46.603241E-41.00.00.0056558630.006585880.006585881.00.0
6.57.964826E-69.228416E-69.228416E-61.00.03.4134522E-53.9549814E-53.9549814E-51.00.04.1550855E-44.814232E-44.814232E-41.00.00.00414732470.00480534230.00480534231.00.0
6.66.6317E-67.640627E-67.640627E-61.00.02.8421264E-53.2745185E-53.2745185E-51.00.03.4597394E-43.986088E-43.986088E-41.00.00.00345435790.00398032830.00398032831.00.0
6.74.793663E-65.4527804E-65.4527804E-61.00.02.0544108E-52.3368875E-52.3368875E-51.00.02.500958E-42.844833E-42.844833E-41.00.00.00249814520.00284211970.00284211971.00.0
6.84.382823E-64.9872488E-64.9872488E-61.00.01.8783392E-52.1373773E-52.1373773E-51.00.02.286638E-42.601989E-42.601989E-41.00.00.00228428650.0025998480.0025998481.00.0
6.92.729601E-63.0881881E-63.0881881E-61.00.01.1698237E-51.32350315E-51.32350315E-51.00.01.4241673E-41.6112583E-41.6112583E-41.00.00.0014232550.00161030350.00161030351.00.0
7.01.8987357E-62.1327446E-62.1327446E-61.00.08.137413E-69.140305E-69.140305E-61.00.09.90685E-51.1127824E-41.1127824E-41.00.09.902435E-40.0011122940.0011122941.00.0
7.11.4928986E-61.668434E-61.668434E-61.00.06.398121E-67.1504155E-67.1504155E-61.00.07.789434E-58.705342E-58.705342E-51.00.07.786704E-48.702512E-48.702512E-41.00.0
7.21.069082E-61.1843025E-61.1843025E-61.00.04.581772E-65.0755752E-65.0755752E-61.00.05.5781646E-56.179391E-56.179391E-51.00.05.576765E-46.178196E-46.178196E-41.00.0
7.38.776551E-79.781252E-79.781252E-71.00.03.7613736E-64.191961E-64.191961E-61.00.04.579376E-55.103645E-55.103645E-51.00.04.5784327E-45.1029836E-45.1029836E-41.00.0
7.47.55721E-78.5180477E-78.5180477E-71.00.03.2388E-63.6505896E-63.6505896E-61.00.03.9431678E-54.444554E-54.444554E-51.00.03.942468E-44.444174E-44.444174E-41.00.0
7.55.587665E-76.30867E-76.30867E-71.00.02.3947114E-62.7037156E-62.7037156E-61.00.02.915522E-53.291774E-53.291774E-51.00.02.9151395E-43.291774E-43.291774E-41.00.0

Great Valley 10 (Panoche)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6014626E-51.6613245E-51.6613245E-51.00.06.863231E-57.11977E-58.119699E-51.14044391.0E-58.35278E-48.6649286E-48.7648415E-41.01153081.0E-50.0083214540.0086317540.0086416681.00114851.0E-5
6.11.6014626E-51.6613245E-51.6613245E-51.00.06.863231E-57.11977E-58.119699E-51.14044391.0E-58.35278E-48.6649286E-48.7648415E-41.01153081.0E-50.0083214540.0086317540.0086416681.00114851.0E-5
6.21.56782E-51.6235655E-51.6235655E-51.00.06.719056E-56.9579546E-57.957885E-51.14371041.0E-58.17738E-48.468072E-48.567987E-41.01179911.0E-50.0081473540.0084364030.0084463191.00117531.0E-5
6.31.5263338E-51.575976E-51.575976E-51.00.06.541267E-56.7540095E-57.753942E-51.14805021.0E-57.961082E-48.219959E-48.3198765E-41.01215551.0E-50.0079326220.0081901380.0082000571.00121091.0E-5
6.41.4720723E-51.5134306E-51.5134306E-51.00.06.308728E-56.485972E-56.485972E-51.00.07.67817E-47.893863E-47.893863E-41.00.00.0076516950.007866390.007866391.00.0
6.51.408264E-51.4389177E-51.4389177E-51.00.06.0352773E-56.166646E-56.166646E-51.00.07.3454727E-47.5053575E-47.5053575E-41.00.00.00732124040.00748055750.00748055751.00.0
6.61.3197086E-51.3352657E-51.3352657E-51.00.05.6557717E-55.722444E-55.722444E-51.00.06.8837265E-46.9648994E-46.9648994E-41.00.00.0068624420.0069436020.0069436021.00.0
6.71.017583E-59.76693E-69.76693E-61.00.04.360997E-54.1857616E-54.1857616E-51.00.05.30822E-45.0949975E-45.0949975E-41.00.00.00529555840.005083570.005083571.00.0
6.88.557912E-67.890118E-67.890118E-61.00.03.667625E-53.3814365E-53.3814365E-51.00.04.4644187E-44.1161416E-44.1161416E-41.00.00.00445546020.00410872560.00410872561.00.0
6.96.14664E-65.103508E-65.103508E-61.00.02.6342475E-52.1872003E-52.1872003E-51.00.03.2067244E-42.662605E-42.662605E-41.00.00.0032021010.00265955370.00265955371.00.0
7.03.2310581E-61.6986892E-61.6986892E-61.00.01.3847319E-57.2800767E-67.2800767E-61.00.01.6857806E-48.863142E-58.863142E-51.00.00.00168450238.859702E-48.859702E-41.00.0
7.12.544492E-69.2103903E-79.2103903E-71.00.01.090492E-53.9473043E-63.9473043E-61.00.01.327593E-44.805742E-54.805742E-51.00.00.00132680034.8047508E-44.8047508E-41.00.0
7.22.4479045E-68.8617605E-78.8617605E-71.00.01.0490977E-53.797892E-63.797892E-61.00.01.2772017E-44.62384E-54.62384E-51.00.00.00127646784.6229258E-44.6229258E-41.00.0
7.32.0559578E-67.90874E-77.90874E-71.00.08.811218E-63.3894562E-63.3894562E-61.00.01.072713E-44.1265892E-54.1265892E-51.00.00.00107219544.1258696E-44.1258696E-41.00.0
7.41.727687E-67.400815E-77.400815E-71.00.07.404352E-63.1717743E-63.1717743E-61.00.09.0144255E-53.8615715E-53.8615715E-51.00.09.0107694E-43.8609467E-43.8609467E-41.00.0
7.51.5002679E-66.557463E-76.557463E-71.00.06.4297037E-62.8103384E-62.8103384E-61.00.07.827883E-53.4215376E-53.4215376E-51.00.07.825126E-43.4210525E-43.4210525E-41.00.0

Ortigalita (South)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.72394E-54.3353884E-54.3353884E-51.00.01.5958765E-41.8579002E-41.8579002E-41.00.00.00194124810.00225980350.00225980351.00.00.0192437750.0223847050.022394481.00043681.0E-5
6.12.7299884E-53.1559986E-53.1559986E-51.00.01.16994255E-41.3525039E-41.3525039E-41.00.00.00142347430.00164548580.00164548581.00.00.0141439060.0163389720.0163389721.00.0
6.22.7299884E-53.1559986E-53.1559986E-51.00.01.16994255E-41.3525039E-41.3525039E-41.00.00.00142347430.00164548580.00164548581.00.00.0141439060.0163389720.0163389721.00.0
6.32.0546433E-52.3681303E-52.3681303E-51.00.08.805317E-51.0148746E-41.0148746E-41.00.00.001071520.00123492840.00123492841.00.00.0106636810.0122827310.0122827311.00.0
6.42.0546433E-52.3681303E-52.3681303E-51.00.08.805317E-51.0148746E-41.0148746E-41.00.00.001071520.00123492840.00123492841.00.00.0106636810.0122827310.0122827311.00.0
6.51.7779594E-52.049008E-52.049008E-51.00.07.619603E-58.781176E-58.781176E-51.00.09.272918E-40.00106859740.00106859741.00.00.0092343190.0106360630.0106360631.00.0
6.61.6272212E-51.8754452E-51.8754452E-51.00.06.973618E-58.0373815E-58.0373815E-51.00.08.487073E-49.781242E-49.781242E-41.00.00.0084547330.0097394980.0097394981.00.0
6.71.3051484E-51.5070952E-51.5070952E-51.00.05.593373E-56.4588254E-56.4588254E-51.00.06.807804E-47.8608777E-47.8608777E-41.00.00.0067869860.0078340590.0078340591.00.0
6.81.04277415E-51.2012398E-51.2012398E-51.00.04.4689557E-55.148073E-55.148073E-51.00.05.439595E-46.266051E-46.266051E-41.00.00.00542629930.00624914050.00624914051.00.0
6.97.639968E-68.810092E-68.810092E-61.00.03.274231E-53.7757025E-53.7757025E-51.00.03.9856473E-44.5960073E-44.5960073E-41.00.00.0039785060.00458709060.00458709061.00.0
7.03.919831E-64.543353E-64.543353E-61.00.01.679917E-51.947138E-51.947138E-51.00.02.045107E-42.3704037E-42.3704037E-41.00.00.00204322580.00236808490.00236808491.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8611922E-61.8611922E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.97652E-67.97652E-61.00.08.357586E-59.7110875E-59.7110875E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.707896E-49.707896E-41.00.0

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.332393E-56.332393E-51.00.01.9323928E-42.713626E-42.713626E-41.00.00.00235014970.00329928290.00329928291.00.00.0232545040.0325960550.032605731.00029681.0E-5
6.14.5092507E-56.332393E-56.332393E-51.00.01.9323928E-42.713626E-42.713626E-41.00.00.00235014970.00329928290.00329928291.00.00.0232545040.0325960550.032605731.00029681.0E-5
6.22.6674514E-53.4856825E-53.4856825E-51.00.01.1431433E-41.4937801E-41.4937801E-41.00.00.00139088840.00181719370.00181719371.00.00.013822150.0180553220.018065141.00054381.0E-5
6.32.6674514E-53.4856825E-53.4856825E-51.00.01.1431433E-41.4937801E-41.4937801E-41.00.00.00139088840.00181719370.00181719371.00.00.013822150.0180553220.018065141.00054381.0E-5
6.42.5312667E-53.2679287E-53.2679287E-51.00.01.0847834E-41.4004673E-41.4004673E-41.00.00.00131992370.00170376520.00170376521.00.00.0131211120.016952380.0169622121.00057981.0E-5
6.52.5312667E-53.2679287E-53.2679287E-51.00.01.0847834E-41.4004673E-41.4004673E-41.00.00.00131992370.00170376520.00170376521.00.00.0131211120.016952380.0169622121.00057981.0E-5
6.62.246556E-52.8456181E-52.8456181E-51.00.09.627742E-51.21949495E-41.21949495E-41.00.00.00117154720.00148374770.00148374771.00.00.0116539010.0147867690.0147966211.00066631.0E-5
6.72.2241198E-52.8124743E-52.8124743E-51.00.09.531594E-51.2052918E-41.2052918E-41.00.00.00115985380.00146647880.00146647881.00.00.0115381870.014617310.0146271631.00067411.0E-5
6.81.9528685E-52.419723E-52.419723E-51.00.08.369167E-51.0369841E-41.0369841E-41.00.00.00101846980.00126181680.00126181681.00.00.0101381470.0125887880.0125986631.00078441.0E-5
6.91.3318621E-51.5441974E-51.5441974E-51.00.05.7078556E-56.617824E-56.617824E-51.00.06.9470983E-48.054281E-48.054281E-41.00.00.00692542040.0080645480.0080744661.001231.0E-5
7.01.1760853E-51.3340514E-51.3340514E-51.00.05.0402683E-55.7172405E-55.7172405E-51.00.06.134799E-46.958568E-46.958568E-41.00.00.00611789060.00697592650.00698585671.00142351.0E-5
7.11.0064758E-51.112315E-51.112315E-51.00.04.3133965E-54.7669793E-54.7669793E-51.00.05.2502943E-45.8022875E-45.8022875E-41.00.00.0052379070.0058274660.0058274661.00.0
7.29.768808E-61.0717303E-51.0717303E-51.00.04.186565E-54.593051E-54.593051E-51.00.05.095951E-45.5906404E-45.5906404E-41.00.00.00508428040.00561676170.00561676171.00.0
7.39.344516E-61.0156937E-51.0156937E-51.00.04.004731E-54.3529024E-54.3529024E-51.00.04.8746695E-45.2984053E-45.2984053E-41.00.00.00486399050.0053253650.0053253651.00.0
7.49.023491E-69.696807E-69.696807E-61.00.03.867153E-54.15571E-54.15571E-51.00.04.7072413E-45.0584367E-45.0584367E-41.00.00.0046972830.00508560470.00508560471.00.0
7.57.081253E-67.271588E-67.271588E-61.00.03.0347876E-53.116358E-53.116358E-51.00.03.6942272E-43.793513E-43.793513E-41.00.00.0036880920.0038202640.0038202641.00.0
7.66.116396E-66.1314568E-66.1314568E-61.00.02.6212863E-52.6277408E-52.6277408E-51.00.03.1909486E-43.1988075E-43.1988075E-41.00.00.00318637070.00322567180.00322567181.00.0
7.74.797145E-64.91928E-64.91928E-61.00.02.055903E-52.108246E-52.108246E-51.00.02.5027743E-42.5664884E-42.5664884E-41.00.00.00249995760.00259366280.00259366281.00.0
7.83.4028885E-64.123259E-64.123259E-61.00.01.4583726E-51.7670991E-51.7670991E-51.00.01.775424E-42.1512315E-42.1512315E-41.00.00.00177400620.00217658190.00217658191.00.0
7.92.5928412E-63.4950924E-63.4950924E-61.00.01.1112129E-51.4978882E-51.4978882E-51.00.01.3528178E-41.823527E-41.823527E-41.00.00.00135199450.00184496550.00184496551.00.0
8.01.3743648E-61.7287578E-61.7287578E-61.00.05.8901214E-67.4089407E-67.4089407E-61.00.07.1709874E-59.0200156E-59.0200156E-51.00.07.1686733E-49.1232936E-49.1232936E-41.00.0
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