Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Antelope Valley 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1646934E-53.6989823E-50.012136542328.104920.01211.3562266E-41.5851967E-40.0152261396.0519940.015070.00164995520.00192853420.02189994411.3557450.020010.0163775830.0191445050.0432931672.26138880.02462
6.13.1646934E-53.6989823E-50.012136542328.104920.01211.3562266E-41.5851967E-40.0152261396.0519940.015070.00164995520.00192853420.02189994411.3557450.020010.0163775830.0191445050.0432931672.26138880.02462
6.23.1646934E-53.6989823E-50.012136542328.104920.01211.3562266E-41.5851967E-40.0152261396.0519940.015070.00164995520.00192853420.02189994411.3557450.020010.0163775830.0191445050.0432931672.26138880.02462
6.33.1646934E-53.6989823E-50.012136542328.104920.01211.3562266E-41.5851967E-40.0152261396.0519940.015070.00164995520.00192853420.02189994411.3557450.020010.0163775830.0191445050.0432931672.26138880.02462
6.43.1646934E-53.6989823E-50.012136542328.104920.01211.3562266E-41.5851967E-40.0152261396.0519940.015070.00164995520.00192853420.02189994411.3557450.020010.0163775830.0191445050.0432931672.26138880.02462
6.51.8034107E-52.0987984E-50.0036109127172.046660.003597.7286735E-58.99461E-50.004399558548.9132770.004319.405598E-40.00109466650.00690829576.31086730.005820.0093658880.0109048740.0179867951.64942720.00716
6.61.8034107E-52.0987984E-50.0036109127172.046660.003597.7286735E-58.99461E-50.004399558548.9132770.004319.405598E-40.00109466650.00690829576.31086730.005820.0093658880.0109048740.0179867951.64942720.00716
6.71.3567667E-51.57848E-50.0021657508137.204830.002155.814585E-56.764799E-50.002577478338.1013260.002517.076958E-48.2340976E-40.00430054455.22284840.003480.0070544630.00821406950.0123002281.49745850.00412
6.89.867387E-61.1493854E-50.0015214765132.373050.001514.2288117E-54.9258982E-50.001809172336.7277640.001765.1473617E-45.9965847E-40.00302820145.04987670.002430.0051354550.00598975830.0088226881.47296210.00285
6.97.273233E-68.474003E-60.0011384644134.347890.001133.1170628E-53.6317157E-50.001366268837.620480.001333.794363E-44.4216137E-40.00228134785.15953640.001840.00378789080.00442161360.00659197481.49085270.00218

Robinson Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3705327E-51.5309544E-52.7530556E-417.982612.6E-45.8735794E-56.561233E-54.2558872E-46.48641353.6E-47.1487366E-47.988301E-40.00134839081.68795685.5E-40.00712578320.0079883010.008762071.09686287.8E-4
6.11.3705327E-51.5309544E-52.7530556E-417.982612.6E-45.8735794E-56.561233E-54.2558872E-46.48641353.6E-47.1487366E-47.988301E-40.00134839081.68795685.5E-40.00712578320.0079883010.008762071.09686287.8E-4
6.21.3705327E-51.5309544E-52.7530556E-417.982612.6E-45.8735794E-56.561233E-54.2558872E-46.48641353.6E-47.1487366E-47.988301E-40.00134839081.68795685.5E-40.00712578320.0079883010.008762071.09686287.8E-4
6.31.3705327E-51.5309544E-52.7530556E-417.982612.6E-45.8735794E-56.561233E-54.2558872E-46.48641353.6E-47.1487366E-47.988301E-40.00134839081.68795685.5E-40.00712578320.0079883010.008762071.09686287.8E-4
6.41.3705327E-51.5309544E-52.7530556E-417.982612.6E-45.8735794E-56.561233E-54.2558872E-46.48641353.6E-47.1487366E-47.988301E-40.00134839081.68795685.5E-40.00712578320.0079883010.008762071.09686287.8E-4

Carson Range (Genoa)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1268457E-55.0296945E-51.1029393E-42.19285546.0E-51.7685282E-42.1554275E-43.0552337E-41.41746069.0E-50.00215105670.002621470.0027611031.05326511.4E-40.021303540.025945290.0261888041.00938572.5E-4
6.14.1268457E-55.0296945E-51.1029393E-42.19285546.0E-51.7685282E-42.1554275E-43.0552337E-41.41746069.0E-50.00215105670.002621470.0027611031.05326511.4E-40.021303540.025945290.0261888041.00938572.5E-4
6.24.1268457E-55.0296945E-51.1029393E-42.19285546.0E-51.7685282E-42.1554275E-43.0552337E-41.41746069.0E-50.00215105670.002621470.0027611031.05326511.4E-40.021303540.025945290.0261888041.00938572.5E-4
6.34.1268457E-55.0296945E-51.1029393E-42.19285546.0E-51.7685282E-42.1554275E-43.0552337E-41.41746069.0E-50.00215105670.002621470.0027611031.05326511.4E-40.021303540.025945290.0261888041.00938572.5E-4
6.44.1268457E-55.0296945E-51.1029393E-42.19285546.0E-51.7685282E-42.1554275E-43.0552337E-41.41746069.0E-50.00215105670.002621470.0027611031.05326511.4E-40.021303540.025945290.0261888041.00938572.5E-4
6.52.5677185E-53.10674E-58.1065846E-52.6093545.0E-51.1004044E-41.3314022E-42.1312956E-41.60079038.0E-50.00133891890.0016199580.00172977981.0677931.1E-40.01330880450.01609950.0162766021.01100051.8E-4
6.62.5677185E-53.10674E-58.1065846E-52.6093545.0E-51.1004044E-41.3314022E-42.1312956E-41.60079038.0E-50.00133891890.0016199580.00172977981.0677931.1E-40.01330880450.01609950.0162766021.01100051.8E-4
6.71.9969408E-52.4132256E-55.413153E-52.24311953.0E-58.558037E-51.0342072E-41.4341659E-41.38672974.0E-50.00104144290.00125857440.00132848631.05554847.0E-50.0103657570.012529710.0126482061.00945721.2E-4
6.81.4783156E-51.786856E-52.7868382E-51.55963221.0E-56.335485E-57.6578035E-59.657651E-51.26115162.0E-57.710722E-49.3206967E-49.620417E-41.03215653.0E-50.00768402270.0092944640.0093539071.00639556.0E-5
6.91.06660555E-51.2914243E-52.2914113E-51.77432881.0E-54.5710865E-55.5346234E-57.5345124E-51.36134162.0E-55.5638765E-46.737479E-46.9373444E-41.02966462.0E-50.0055499670.00672841630.00675821441.00442873.0E-5
7.07.664838E-69.2851415E-61.928505E-52.07697941.0E-53.2848893E-53.9793464E-55.9792666E-51.50257522.0E-53.998619E-44.844854E-45.044757E-41.0412612.0E-50.00399143160.00484485130.00486475461.00410812.0E-5

Mono Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0341662E-52.3885072E-55.3884356E-52.25598483.0E-58.717564E-51.02363585E-41.7235642E-41.6837677.0E-50.00106084660.00124609770.00134597311.08015051.0E-40.0105579660.0124434190.0125816761.01111091.4E-4
6.12.0341662E-52.3885072E-55.3884356E-52.25598483.0E-58.717564E-51.02363585E-41.7235642E-41.6837677.0E-50.00106084660.00124609770.00134597311.08015051.0E-40.0105579660.0124434190.0125816761.01111091.4E-4
6.22.0341662E-52.3885072E-55.3884356E-52.25598483.0E-58.717564E-51.02363585E-41.7235642E-41.6837677.0E-50.00106084660.00124609770.00134597311.08015051.0E-40.0105579660.0124434190.0125816761.01111091.4E-4
6.32.0341662E-52.3885072E-55.3884356E-52.25598483.0E-58.717564E-51.02363585E-41.7235642E-41.6837677.0E-50.00106084660.00124609770.00134597311.08015051.0E-40.0105579660.0124434190.0125816761.01111091.4E-4
6.41.749821E-52.053982E-54.053941E-51.97369842.0E-57.499018E-58.8027795E-51.2802427E-41.45436194.0E-59.1262296E-40.00107173820.00113167381.05592386.0E-50.0090888410.01071733050.0108261521.01015381.1E-4
6.51.749821E-52.053982E-54.053941E-51.97369842.0E-57.499018E-58.8027795E-51.2802427E-41.45436194.0E-59.1262296E-40.00107173820.00113167381.05592386.0E-50.0090888410.01071733050.0108261521.01015381.1E-4

West Tahoe

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.952444E-52.120827E-56.120742E-52.88601664.0E-58.367348E-59.0889735E-51.408852E-41.55006725.0E-50.00101824850.00110607560.00117599821.06321687.0E-50.0101359540.0110112060.0111199941.00987981.1E-4
6.11.952444E-52.120827E-56.120742E-52.88601664.0E-58.367348E-59.0889735E-51.408852E-41.55006725.0E-50.00101824850.00110607560.00117599821.06321687.0E-50.0101359540.0110112060.0111199941.00987981.1E-4
6.21.952444E-52.120827E-56.120742E-52.88601664.0E-58.367348E-59.0889735E-51.408852E-41.55006725.0E-50.00101824850.00110607560.00117599821.06321687.0E-50.0101359540.0110112060.0111199941.00987981.1E-4
6.31.952444E-52.120827E-56.120742E-52.88601664.0E-58.367348E-59.0889735E-51.408852E-41.55006725.0E-50.00101824850.00110607560.00117599821.06321687.0E-50.0101359540.0110112060.0111199941.00987981.1E-4
6.41.952444E-52.120827E-56.120742E-52.88601664.0E-58.367348E-59.0889735E-51.408852E-41.55006725.0E-50.00101824850.00110607560.00117599821.06321687.0E-50.0101359540.0110112060.0111199941.00987981.1E-4
6.51.2685271E-51.3705746E-55.3705196E-53.9184444.0E-55.4364315E-55.873768E-51.0873475E-41.85119245.0E-56.616845E-47.149131E-47.748703E-41.08386626.0E-50.00659717760.00712778650.0071972881.00975077.0E-5
6.61.2685271E-51.3705746E-55.3705196E-53.9184444.0E-55.4364315E-55.873768E-51.0873475E-41.85119245.0E-56.616845E-47.149131E-47.748703E-41.08386626.0E-50.00659717760.00712778650.0071972881.00975077.0E-5
6.79.117886E-69.8202145E-62.9820018E-53.03659562.0E-53.9076072E-54.2085994E-57.208473E-51.71279623.0E-54.756473E-45.122837E-45.522632E-41.07804184.0E-50.00474630530.00511174740.0051515431.00778514.0E-5
6.88.786828E-69.467921E-62.9467732E-53.11237622.0E-53.7657293E-54.0576215E-57.0575E-51.73931943.0E-54.5838108E-44.9391045E-45.338907E-41.08094634.0E-50.00457436730.004928830.0049686331.00807554.0E-5
6.96.7562123E-67.2714065E-67.2714065E-61.00.02.8954875E-53.1162825E-54.116251E-51.32088521.0E-53.5246857E-43.793461E-43.9933852E-41.05270232.0E-50.00351910040.00378745860.0038073831.00526062.0E-5
7.05.1792854E-65.573145E-65.573145E-61.00.02.2196748E-52.388471E-52.388471E-51.00.02.702119E-42.9076135E-42.9076135E-41.00.00.00269883570.00290418530.00290418531.00.0
7.14.090765E-64.402011E-64.402011E-61.00.01.7531731E-51.8865645E-51.8865645E-51.00.02.134279E-42.2966843E-42.2966843E-41.00.00.00213223040.00229464590.00229464591.00.0
7.22.2356758E-62.404861E-62.404861E-61.00.09.581432E-61.0306518E-51.0306518E-51.00.01.1664769E-41.2547652E-41.2547652E-41.00.00.00116586480.0012542430.0012542431.00.0

Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6591328E-51.8130995E-51.8130995E-51.00.07.110376E-57.7702345E-58.770157E-51.12868621.0E-58.6534437E-49.4568473E-49.6566585E-41.02112872.0E-50.0086198240.0094234540.0094630771.00420484.0E-5
6.18.041125E-68.7807875E-68.7807875E-61.00.03.4461507E-53.763152E-54.7631143E-51.26572471.0E-54.194881E-44.580878E-44.6808322E-41.02181981.0E-50.0041869710.0045734380.00458339231.00217651.0E-5
6.23.2807004E-63.584108E-63.584108E-61.00.01.4060069E-51.5360396E-51.5360396E-51.00.01.7116789E-41.8700094E-41.8700094E-41.00.00.00171036110.0018688450.0018688451.00.0
6.31.9339366E-62.1130609E-62.1130609E-61.00.08.288273E-69.055961E-69.055961E-61.00.01.00905054E-41.102536E-41.102536E-41.00.00.00100859250.00110226960.00110226961.00.0
6.41.3142635E-61.4358051E-61.4358051E-61.00.05.6325457E-66.15345E-66.15345E-61.00.06.857408E-57.491826E-57.491826E-51.00.06.8552926E-47.4918254E-47.4918254E-41.00.0

Honey Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.155506E-57.98626E-58.98618E-51.1252051.0E-52.6378073E-43.4222528E-43.6221844E-41.0584212.0E-50.00320680140.0041590720.00417898871.00478882.0E-50.031609190.0408601720.0408889471.00070423.0E-5
6.16.155506E-57.98626E-58.98618E-51.1252051.0E-52.6378073E-43.4222528E-43.6221844E-41.0584212.0E-50.00320680140.0041590720.00417898871.00478882.0E-50.031609190.0408601720.0408889471.00070423.0E-5
6.24.1335024E-55.2773255E-55.2773255E-51.00.01.7713808E-42.2615238E-42.3615011E-41.04420791.0E-50.00215452280.00275007150.0027600441.00362621.0E-50.0213375350.0271762520.0271957091.0007162.0E-5
6.34.1335024E-55.2773255E-55.2773255E-51.00.01.7713808E-42.2615238E-42.3615011E-41.04420791.0E-50.00215452280.00275007150.0027600441.00362621.0E-50.0213375350.0271762520.0271957091.0007162.0E-5
6.43.2393702E-54.1035604E-54.1035604E-51.00.01.3882275E-41.7585563E-41.8585386E-41.05685481.0E-50.00168885660.00213904210.00214902061.0046651.0E-50.0167607930.0211954450.0212150221.00092362.0E-5
6.52.7205504E-53.4334025E-53.4334025E-51.00.01.1658981E-41.4713801E-41.5713653E-41.06795331.0E-50.00141855660.00179002570.00180000791.00557651.0E-50.0140953540.0177655570.0177852031.00110582.0E-5
6.62.069265E-52.604735E-52.604735E-51.00.08.867977E-51.1162716E-41.1162716E-41.00.00.00107914140.00135829790.00135829791.00.00.0107391610.0135083580.0135182231.00073031.0E-5
6.71.8060919E-52.2737244E-52.2737244E-51.00.07.7401644E-59.744214E-59.744214E-51.00.09.419576E-40.00118579390.00118579391.00.00.0093797480.0118027560.01181263851.00083721.0E-5
6.81.4474663E-51.8246208E-51.8246208E-51.00.06.203279E-57.819612E-57.819612E-51.00.07.5498753E-49.516988E-49.516988E-41.00.00.0075242770.0094838050.009493711.00104441.0E-5
6.98.564552E-61.0841669E-51.0841669E-51.00.03.6704707E-54.646384E-54.646384E-51.00.04.4678818E-45.656173E-45.656173E-41.00.00.00445890940.00564831540.0056582591.00176051.0E-5

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9687902E-53.28047E-54.280437E-51.30482441.0E-51.2722766E-41.4058441E-41.6058159E-41.14224332.0E-50.00154789610.00171034340.00173030921.01167362.0E-50.0153715850.0169793720.0170088631.00173693.0E-5
6.12.9687902E-53.28047E-54.280437E-51.30482441.0E-51.2722766E-41.4058441E-41.6058159E-41.14224332.0E-50.00154789610.00171034340.00173030921.01167362.0E-50.0153715850.0169793720.0170088631.00173693.0E-5
6.21.9231524E-52.1188713E-52.1188713E-51.00.08.2418206E-59.080573E-51.0080483E-41.11011521.0E-50.00100297970.00110502240.00111501131.00903961.0E-50.009984650.0109976950.0110075861.00089931.0E-5
6.31.324766E-51.456843E-51.456843E-51.00.05.6774446E-56.243469E-57.243406E-51.16015731.0E-56.910097E-47.598864E-47.698788E-41.01314991.0E-50.0068886490.00757382950.0075837541.00131031.0E-5
6.47.818645E-68.584354E-68.584354E-61.00.03.3508048E-53.678959E-53.678959E-51.00.04.078841E-44.4782454E-44.4782454E-41.00.00.0040713630.00446956230.00446956231.00.0
6.55.3076565E-65.8255855E-65.8255855E-61.00.02.27469E-52.4966568E-52.4966568E-51.00.02.7690834E-43.039277E-43.039277E-41.00.00.00276563530.00303533020.00303533021.00.0
6.63.6003578E-63.953811E-63.953811E-61.00.01.5430012E-51.6944801E-51.6944801E-51.00.01.8784421E-42.06285E-42.06285E-41.00.00.00187685520.00206108970.00206108971.00.0
6.72.5361826E-62.7872463E-62.7872463E-61.00.01.0869308E-51.1945294E-51.1945294E-51.00.01.3232579E-41.4542557E-41.4542557E-41.00.00.00132247030.00145343430.00145343431.00.0
6.81.2115831E-61.3332125E-61.3332125E-61.00.05.1924885E-65.713761E-65.713761E-61.00.06.3216714E-56.956379E-56.956379E-51.00.06.3198735E-46.955155E-46.955155E-41.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0554204E-41.0554204E-41.00.03.3046713E-44.522527E-44.6224816E-41.02210151.0E-50.0040160160.00549334940.00551323971.00362072.0E-50.0394421030.053693130.053712061.00035252.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.0491137E-56.0491137E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5922467E-42.692221E-41.03856661.0E-50.00240148180.00315179470.00317173151.00632562.0E-50.0237569530.031101160.0311205371.00062312.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0491137E-56.0491137E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5922467E-42.692221E-41.03856661.0E-50.00240148180.00315179470.00317173151.00632562.0E-50.0237569530.031101160.0311205371.00062312.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.264027E-54.264027E-51.00.01.4259605E-41.8273287E-41.8273287E-41.00.00.00173472440.00222274360.00222274361.00.00.0172124520.0220290940.0220290941.00.0
6.42.7732503E-53.512885E-53.512885E-51.00.01.1884817E-41.5054495E-41.5054495E-41.00.00.0014460160.00183157720.00183157721.00.00.0143664280.0181877040.0181877041.00.0
6.52.7689714E-53.507854E-53.507854E-51.00.01.186648E-41.5032938E-41.5032938E-41.00.00.00144378640.0018289570.0018289571.00.00.0143444210.018161930.018161931.00.0
6.62.2976905E-52.8821265E-52.8821265E-51.00.09.846873E-51.235152E-41.235152E-41.00.00.00119819750.00150299910.00150299911.00.00.0119175740.0149517050.0149517051.00.0
6.71.9871539E-52.4995368E-52.4995368E-51.00.08.516096E-51.07120024E-41.07120024E-41.00.00.00103634150.00130364860.00130364861.00.00.0103152180.0129837920.0129837921.00.0
6.86.5640475E-67.6223387E-67.6223387E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2666772E-53.2666772E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9764825E-43.9764825E-41.00.00.00341917880.0039696560.0039696561.00.0
6.95.6219683E-66.5160357E-66.5160357E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7925584E-52.7925584E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3994354E-43.3994354E-41.00.00.00292917270.00339449340.00339449341.00.0
7.03.875591E-64.4945878E-64.4945878E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9262388E-51.9262388E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.3449647E-42.3449647E-41.00.00.00202018860.00234269960.00234269961.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8611709E-61.8611709E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.976429E-67.976429E-61.00.08.357586E-59.710976E-59.710976E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.707784E-49.707784E-41.00.0

North Tahoe 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.150391E-52.2199436E-53.2199212E-51.45045191.0E-59.215636E-59.513808E-51.0513713E-41.10510041.0E-50.00112142610.00115788720.00116787561.00862651.0E-50.0111578390.0115378570.0115576271.00171342.0E-5
6.12.150391E-52.2199436E-53.2199212E-51.45045191.0E-59.215636E-59.513808E-51.0513713E-41.10510041.0E-50.00112142610.00115788720.00116787561.00862651.0E-50.0111578390.0115378570.0115576271.00171342.0E-5
6.22.150391E-52.2199436E-53.2199212E-51.45045191.0E-59.215636E-59.513808E-51.0513713E-41.10510041.0E-50.00112142610.00115788720.00116787561.00862651.0E-50.0111578390.0115378570.0115576271.00171342.0E-5
6.32.150391E-52.2199436E-53.2199212E-51.45045191.0E-59.215636E-59.513808E-51.0513713E-41.10510041.0E-50.00112142610.00115788720.00116787561.00862651.0E-50.0111578390.0115378570.0115576271.00171342.0E-5
6.47.3563056E-66.454963E-66.454963E-61.00.03.1526644E-52.7664008E-52.7664008E-51.00.03.8376928E-43.3678787E-43.3678787E-41.00.00.0038310720.00336578050.00336578051.00.0
6.57.3563056E-66.454963E-66.454963E-61.00.03.1526644E-52.7664008E-52.7664008E-51.00.03.8376928E-43.3678787E-43.3678787E-41.00.00.0038310720.00336578050.00336578051.00.0
6.66.8508816E-65.893278E-65.893278E-61.00.02.936059E-52.5256832E-52.5256832E-51.00.03.5740656E-43.0748898E-43.0748898E-41.00.00.00356832260.00307362150.00307362151.00.0
6.71.8511148E-66.113723E-76.113723E-71.00.07.933325E-62.620167E-62.620167E-61.00.09.658395E-53.1900534E-53.1900534E-51.00.09.6541987E-43.1900534E-43.1900534E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.741182E-55.7411347E-51.21090781.0E-51.6594635E-42.0317869E-42.2317462E-41.09841552.0E-50.00201852460.00247114550.0024910961.00807342.0E-50.020002880.02446230.0244818091.00079762.0E-5
6.13.872328E-54.741182E-55.7411347E-51.21090781.0E-51.6594635E-42.0317869E-42.2317462E-41.09841552.0E-50.00201852460.00247114550.0024910961.00807342.0E-50.020002880.02446230.0244818091.00079762.0E-5
6.23.872328E-54.741182E-55.7411347E-51.21090781.0E-51.6594635E-42.0317869E-42.2317462E-41.09841552.0E-50.00201852460.00247114550.0024910961.00807342.0E-50.020002880.02446230.0244818091.00079762.0E-5
6.32.8356371E-53.369757E-54.3697237E-51.29674731.0E-51.2152165E-41.444106E-41.6440771E-41.1384742.0E-50.00147852190.00175684890.00177681381.0113642.0E-50.0146872350.0174367370.0174563881.0011272.0E-5
6.42.8356371E-53.369757E-54.3697237E-51.29674731.0E-51.2152165E-41.444106E-41.6440771E-41.1384742.0E-50.00147852190.00175684890.00177681381.0113642.0E-50.0146872350.0174367370.0174563881.0011272.0E-5
6.52.4448687E-52.8676226E-53.867594E-51.34871091.0E-51.0477588E-41.2289258E-41.4289013E-41.16272382.0E-50.00127489980.0014952370.00151520711.01335592.0E-50.0126761050.0148566510.01487635451.00132622.0E-5
6.62.1298161E-52.471493E-53.471468E-51.40460371.0E-59.127464E-51.0591701E-41.259149E-41.18880712.0E-50.00111070220.00128880990.00130878411.01549822.0E-50.0110516720.0128167920.0128365361.00154042.0E-5
6.71.8959729E-52.1826652E-52.1826652E-51.00.08.125345E-59.353959E-51.03538645E-41.10689661.0E-59.888117E-40.00113827510.00114826381.00877521.0E-50.0098442340.0113271220.0113370091.00087291.0E-5
6.81.6691629E-51.9055571E-51.9055571E-51.00.07.153359E-58.166427E-59.166345E-51.12244261.0E-58.7057345E-49.938258E-40.00100381591.01005211.0E-50.0086717080.0098955810.0099054821.00100051.0E-5
6.91.450505E-51.6419343E-51.6419343E-51.00.06.216302E-57.036676E-58.036606E-51.14210261.0E-57.5657194E-48.563874E-48.6637883E-41.0116671.0E-50.0075400130.0085318080.0085417231.0011621.0E-5
7.01.2940855E-51.456303E-51.456303E-51.00.05.545963E-56.241153E-57.2410905E-51.16021681.0E-56.750118E-47.5960124E-47.6959364E-41.01315471.0E-50.0067296510.00757066860.00758059281.0013111.0E-5
7.11.2544658E-51.4102238E-51.4102238E-51.00.05.3761712E-56.0436792E-57.043619E-51.16545211.0E-56.5435225E-47.3557516E-47.4556784E-41.01358491.0E-50.0065242880.0073320.0073419271.00135391.0E-5
7.21.2489416E-51.403959E-51.403959E-51.00.05.3524967E-56.0168313E-57.016771E-51.16619041.0E-56.514716E-47.323086E-47.423013E-41.01364541.0E-50.0064956510.00729954940.00730947641.00135991.0E-5
7.31.2368307E-51.3903495E-51.3903495E-51.00.05.3005948E-55.9585076E-56.958448E-51.16781721.0E-56.451563E-47.2521245E-47.352052E-41.0137791.0E-50.00643286530.00722905160.00723897951.00137331.0E-5
7.41.2161707E-51.367115E-51.367115E-51.00.05.212056E-55.8589358E-56.858877E-51.17066941.0E-56.3438306E-47.130976E-47.230905E-41.01401331.0E-50.0063257510.00710868460.0071186141.00139681.0E-5
7.51.1707948E-51.3168037E-51.3168037E-51.00.05.0175953E-55.6433255E-56.6432694E-51.17719041.0E-56.10721E-46.868639E-46.96857E-41.01454891.0E-50.00609045340.0068479950.0068579261.00145031.0E-5
7.61.0319538E-51.1599342E-51.1599342E-51.00.04.4225842E-54.9710547E-55.9710048E-51.20115461.0E-55.383166E-46.05063E-46.1505695E-41.01651721.0E-50.00537014430.00603468950.0060446291.00164711.0E-5
7.78.937764E-61.003975E-51.003975E-51.00.03.830414E-54.302682E-55.302639E-51.23240321.0E-54.6625308E-45.237307E-45.337254E-41.01908371.0E-50.00465276050.00522547540.00523542331.00190371.0E-5
7.83.108007E-73.2872646E-73.2872646E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.408827E-61.408827E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7152337E-51.7152337E-51.00.01.6215823E-41.7151052E-41.7151052E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.671276E-92.671276E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1448327E-81.1448327E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3938337E-71.3938337E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3938337E-61.3938337E-61.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5724796E-52.5724796E-51.00.08.864371E-51.1024457E-41.20243465E-41.09069741.0E-50.00107870290.00134141820.00135140481.00744471.0E-50.0107348170.0133343470.0133442131.00073991.0E-5
6.12.0684236E-52.5724796E-52.5724796E-51.00.08.864371E-51.1024457E-41.20243465E-41.09069741.0E-50.00107870290.00134141820.00135140481.00744471.0E-50.0107348170.0133343470.0133442131.00073991.0E-5
6.22.0684236E-52.5724796E-52.5724796E-51.00.08.864371E-51.1024457E-41.20243465E-41.09069741.0E-50.00107870290.00134141820.00135140481.00744471.0E-50.0107348170.0133343470.0133442131.00073991.0E-5
6.32.0240292E-52.5224E-52.5224E-51.00.08.6741224E-51.0809848E-41.180974E-41.09249821.0E-50.00105556260.00131532130.00132530821.00759271.0E-50.0105056280.0130764670.0130863371.00075471.0E-5
6.42.0240292E-52.5224E-52.5224E-51.00.08.6741224E-51.0809848E-41.180974E-41.09249821.0E-50.00105556260.00131532130.00132530821.00759271.0E-50.0105056280.0130764670.0130863371.00075471.0E-5
6.51.9962767E-52.4912735E-52.4912735E-51.00.08.55519E-51.0676459E-41.1676353E-41.0936541.0E-50.00104109680.00129910070.00130908771.00768771.0E-50.0103623270.0129161550.0129260251.00076431.0E-5
6.61.8937297E-52.340676E-52.340676E-51.00.08.115732E-51.0031091E-41.10309906E-41.09968011.0E-59.876423E-40.00122061580.00123060351.00818261.0E-50.0098326450.0121402080.0121500861.00081371.0E-5
6.71.8621096E-52.300639E-52.300639E-51.00.07.980225E-59.859518E-51.0859419E-41.10141481.0E-59.711593E-40.00119974990.0012097381.00832511.0E-50.0096692610.0119338340.0119437151.00082791.0E-5
6.81.7830353E-52.1892598E-52.1892598E-51.00.07.641356E-59.382213E-51.03821185E-41.10657471.0E-59.29938E-40.00114170.00115168851.00874891.0E-50.0092605610.011360080.0113699661.00087021.0E-5
6.91.3135183E-51.5345888E-51.5345888E-51.00.05.6292425E-56.576647E-57.576581E-51.15204321.0E-56.8514474E-48.0041913E-48.104111E-41.01248351.0E-50.0068303620.00797572450.0079856451.00124381.0E-5
7.01.1507512E-51.3186E-51.3186E-51.00.04.9316975E-55.651024E-56.6509674E-51.17694911.0E-56.002687E-46.8780076E-46.977939E-41.01452911.0E-50.00598649870.0068568940.00686682571.00144841.0E-5
7.19.715903E-61.0884807E-51.0884807E-51.00.04.1638916E-54.664836E-55.6647896E-51.21435981.0E-55.068359E-45.678001E-45.777944E-41.01760181.0E-50.00505681480.0056640370.00567398031.00175551.0E-5
7.29.233269E-61.0304198E-51.0304198E-51.00.03.9570554E-54.416013E-55.4159686E-51.22643861.0E-54.81665E-45.3752115E-45.475158E-41.01859391.0E-50.00480622330.00536264340.005372591.00185481.0E-5
7.38.8041315E-69.823818E-69.823818E-61.00.03.7731446E-54.2101423E-55.2101E-51.23751161.0E-54.592835E-45.124685E-45.2246335E-41.01950341.0E-50.00458335460.00511329530.0051232441.00194571.0E-5
7.48.708749E-69.722744E-69.722744E-61.00.03.7322676E-54.1668263E-55.1667845E-51.23998081.0E-54.5430884E-45.071972E-45.171921E-41.01970621.0E-50.0045338120.0050608240.00507077341.0019661.0E-5
7.58.612678E-69.620291E-69.620291E-61.00.03.6910955E-54.122919E-55.1228777E-51.24253651.0E-54.492982E-45.01854E-45.1184895E-41.0199161.0E-50.0044839090.0050076340.00501758371.0019871.0E-5
7.68.319024E-69.298969E-69.298969E-61.00.03.5652476E-53.985214E-54.9851744E-51.25091761.0E-54.3398244E-44.85096E-44.950912E-41.02060451.0E-50.00433135870.0048407970.0048507481.00205581.0E-5
7.77.4718328E-68.358802E-68.358802E-61.00.03.2021748E-53.5822966E-54.582261E-51.27914051.0E-53.8979502E-44.360614E-44.4605703E-41.02292251.0E-50.003891120.00435246430.00436242061.00228751.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6510588E-73.6510588E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5647385E-61.5647385E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9050529E-51.9050529E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.904894E-41.904894E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.671276E-92.671276E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1448327E-81.1448327E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3938337E-71.3938337E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3938337E-61.3938337E-61.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.3166174E-54.316571E-51.86330772.0E-58.489989E-59.92827E-51.1928072E-41.2014252.0E-50.0010331660.00120860660.00122858251.0165282.0E-50.0102837570.0120703380.0120900971.0016372.0E-5
6.11.9810619E-52.3166174E-54.316571E-51.86330772.0E-58.489989E-59.92827E-51.1928072E-41.2014252.0E-50.0010331660.00120860660.00122858251.0165282.0E-50.0102837570.0120703380.0120900971.0016372.0E-5
6.21.9810619E-52.3166174E-54.316571E-51.86330772.0E-58.489989E-59.92827E-51.1928072E-41.2014252.0E-50.0010331660.00120860660.00122858251.0165282.0E-50.0102837570.0120703380.0120900971.0016372.0E-5
6.31.9810619E-52.3166174E-54.316571E-51.86330772.0E-58.489989E-59.92827E-51.1928072E-41.2014252.0E-50.0010331660.00120860660.00122858251.0165282.0E-50.0102837570.0120703380.0120900971.0016372.0E-5
6.41.9810619E-52.3166174E-54.316571E-51.86330772.0E-58.489989E-59.92827E-51.1928072E-41.2014252.0E-50.0010331660.00120860660.00122858251.0165282.0E-50.0102837570.0120703380.0120900971.0016372.0E-5
6.51.7190405E-52.0097023E-54.009662E-51.99515242.0E-57.367108E-58.6130094E-51.0612837E-41.23218692.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104863360.00106861271.01905242.0E-50.0089296760.0104862990.010506091.00188722.0E-5
6.61.7190405E-52.0097023E-54.009662E-51.99515242.0E-57.367108E-58.6130094E-51.0612837E-41.23218692.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104863360.00106861271.01905242.0E-50.0089296760.0104862990.010506091.00188722.0E-5

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7275244E-54.7275244E-51.00.01.7866064E-42.0259735E-42.1259532E-41.0493491.0E-50.00217302330.00246466040.00247463581.00404741.0E-50.0215189680.024455390.0244651461.00039891.0E-5
6.11.73813E-51.6888702E-51.6888702E-51.00.07.4489166E-57.23782E-57.23782E-51.00.09.065282E-48.808591E-48.808591E-41.00.00.0090283910.008774870.008774871.00.0
6.21.4622182E-51.3700888E-51.3700888E-51.00.06.2664985E-55.8716792E-55.8716792E-51.00.07.6267915E-47.1464636E-47.1464636E-41.00.00.0076006690.0071239750.0071239751.00.0
6.31.3552434E-51.2507897E-51.2507897E-51.00.05.8080568E-55.360419E-55.360419E-51.00.07.069015E-46.524387E-46.524387E-41.00.00.007046570.00650564530.00650564531.00.0
6.41.30977305E-51.2004103E-51.2004103E-51.00.05.613192E-55.1445157E-55.1445157E-51.00.06.831918E-46.261678E-46.261678E-41.00.00.0068109530.00624442940.00624442941.00.0
6.51.225205E-51.1072448E-51.1072448E-51.00.05.2507727E-54.74525E-54.74525E-51.00.06.3909404E-45.7758373E-45.7758373E-41.00.00.0063725920.0057611850.0057611851.00.0
6.61.1352241E-51.0085874E-51.0085874E-51.00.04.8651553E-54.322447E-54.322447E-51.00.05.921717E-45.26133E-45.26133E-41.00.00.00590596160.00524916870.00524916871.00.0
6.71.0864116E-59.538442E-69.538442E-61.00.04.6559664E-54.0878407E-54.0878407E-51.00.05.667165E-44.9758295E-44.9758295E-41.00.00.0056527340.00496497140.00496497141.00.0
6.81.0666365E-59.320893E-69.320893E-61.00.04.571219E-53.994608E-53.994608E-51.00.05.564038E-44.8623703E-44.8623703E-41.00.00.0055501270.00485201270.00485201271.00.0
6.91.0038665E-58.611898E-68.611898E-61.00.04.302214E-53.6907622E-53.6907622E-51.00.05.236687E-44.4925945E-44.4925945E-41.00.00.0052243640.00448377240.00448377241.00.0
7.09.5379955E-68.043825E-68.043825E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.447309E-53.447309E-51.00.04.975576E-44.1963076E-44.1963076E-41.00.00.004964450.0041886320.0041886321.00.0
7.19.207389E-67.670378E-67.670378E-61.00.03.945964E-53.2872646E-53.2872646E-51.00.04.803152E-44.0015267E-44.0015267E-41.00.00.0047927840.00399456640.00399456641.00.0
7.27.638091E-65.9452495E-65.9452495E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.5479394E-52.5479394E-51.00.03.984668E-43.1016776E-43.1016776E-41.00.00.00397753060.00309745390.00309745391.00.0
7.37.2500147E-65.6094586E-65.6094586E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.4040319E-52.4040319E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.9265185E-42.9265185E-41.00.00.00377582150.00292276850.00292276851.00.0
7.46.3899715E-64.930173E-64.930173E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.1129143E-52.1129143E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.5721715E-42.5721715E-41.00.00.00332865420.00256928730.00256928731.00.0
7.55.379025E-64.093381E-64.093381E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7542943E-51.7542943E-51.00.02.806312E-42.135645E-42.135645E-41.00.00.00280277080.00213360410.00213360411.00.0
7.64.1270696E-63.0950393E-63.0950393E-61.00.01.768732E-51.3264387E-51.3264387E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6148202E-41.6148202E-41.00.00.00215113330.00161365490.00161365491.00.0
7.72.5406805E-61.8325163E-61.8325163E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.853618E-67.853618E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.5613665E-59.5613665E-51.00.00.00132481429.557315E-49.557315E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.5164797E-73.5164797E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5070619E-61.5070619E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8348326E-51.8348326E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8346823E-41.8346823E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2729144E-81.2729144E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.4553475E-85.4553475E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6418835E-76.6418835E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.6418647E-66.6418647E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.046672E-92.046672E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.771451E-98.771451E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0679241E-71.0679241E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0679237E-61.0679237E-61.00.0

Mohawk Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5425423E-52.7678405E-52.7678405E-51.00.01.0896155E-41.18616954E-41.18616954E-41.00.00.00132579940.00144331340.00145329911.00691851.0E-50.0131791750.0143503050.0143601621.00068691.0E-5
6.12.5425423E-52.7678405E-52.7678405E-51.00.01.0896155E-41.18616954E-41.18616954E-41.00.00.00132579940.00144331340.00145329911.00691851.0E-50.0131791750.0143503050.0143601621.00068691.0E-5
6.22.5425423E-52.7678405E-52.7678405E-51.00.01.0896155E-41.18616954E-41.18616954E-41.00.00.00132579940.00144331340.00145329911.00691851.0E-50.0131791750.0143503050.0143601621.00068691.0E-5
6.32.5425423E-52.7678405E-52.7678405E-51.00.01.0896155E-41.18616954E-41.18616954E-41.00.00.00132579940.00144331340.00145329911.00691851.0E-50.0131791750.0143503050.0143601621.00068691.0E-5
6.41.1812642E-51.277789E-51.277789E-51.00.05.0624625E-55.476132E-55.476132E-51.00.06.161805E-46.665299E-46.665299E-41.00.00.00614474760.0066467840.0066467841.00.0
6.51.1812642E-51.277789E-51.277789E-51.00.05.0624625E-55.476132E-55.476132E-51.00.06.161805E-46.665299E-46.665299E-41.00.00.00614474760.0066467840.0066467841.00.0
6.69.34204E-61.0096357E-51.0096357E-51.00.04.0036703E-54.326945E-54.326945E-51.00.04.873378E-45.2669004E-45.2669004E-41.00.00.00486270430.0052555890.0052555891.00.0
6.77.0661854E-67.6325805E-67.6325805E-61.00.03.02833E-53.27107E-53.27107E-51.00.03.686368E-43.9818912E-43.9818912E-41.00.00.00368025880.00397565360.00397565361.00.0
6.84.806676E-65.192932E-65.192932E-61.00.02.0599877E-52.225527E-52.225527E-51.00.02.507746E-42.709306E-42.709306E-41.00.00.00250491830.00270663090.00270663091.00.0
6.93.4163209E-63.6929941E-63.6929941E-61.00.01.4641293E-51.5827052E-51.5827052E-51.00.01.7824316E-41.9268275E-41.9268275E-41.00.00.00178100260.00192569010.00192569011.00.0
7.02.5271734E-62.7340786E-62.7340786E-61.00.01.0830699E-51.1717455E-51.1717455E-51.00.01.3185578E-41.4265561E-41.4265561E-41.00.00.00131777560.00142612510.00142612511.00.0

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.253812E-52.253812E-51.00.08.603206E-59.658841E-51.06587446E-41.10352211.0E-50.0010469370.00117533690.00118532521.00849821.0E-50.0104201830.0116921240.0117020081.00084531.0E-5
6.12.0074807E-52.253812E-52.253812E-51.00.08.603206E-59.658841E-51.06587446E-41.10352211.0E-50.0010469370.00117533690.00118532521.00849821.0E-50.0104201830.0116921240.0117020081.00084531.0E-5
6.22.0074807E-52.253812E-52.253812E-51.00.08.603206E-59.658841E-51.06587446E-41.10352211.0E-50.0010469370.00117533690.00118532521.00849821.0E-50.0104201830.0116921240.0117020081.00084531.0E-5
6.31.9050609E-52.1372785E-52.1372785E-51.00.08.164292E-59.159448E-51.0159356E-41.10916691.0E-59.935491E-40.0011145990.00112458781.00896181.0E-50.0098911880.0110909150.01110080351.00089171.0E-5
6.41.9050609E-52.1372785E-52.1372785E-51.00.08.164292E-59.159448E-51.0159356E-41.10916691.0E-59.935491E-40.0011145990.00112458781.00896181.0E-50.0098911880.0110909150.01110080351.00089171.0E-5
6.51.8367004E-52.0595387E-52.0595387E-51.00.07.8713354E-58.8263E-59.826211E-51.11328781.0E-59.5791375E-40.00107407880.00108406811.00930041.0E-50.0095379510.0106896650.0106995581.00092551.0E-5
6.61.779439E-51.9944082E-51.9944082E-51.00.07.625944E-58.547187E-59.547102E-51.11698761.0E-59.280632E-40.00104012970.00105011931.00960421.0E-50.0092419690.0103533750.0103632721.00095581.0E-5
6.71.7025437E-51.9075023E-51.9075023E-51.00.07.296412E-58.1747574E-59.1746755E-51.12231781.0E-58.87976E-49.948284E-40.00100481851.0100421.0E-50.0088443620.0099044720.0099143731.00099971.0E-5
6.81.6545107E-51.854335E-51.854335E-51.00.07.090568E-57.946911E-58.946831E-51.1258251.0E-58.629347E-49.6711307E-49.771034E-41.01033011.0E-50.0085959150.009629750.0096396531.00102841.0E-5
6.91.615478E-51.8117857E-51.8117857E-51.00.06.9232934E-57.764568E-58.7644905E-51.12878011.0E-58.4258494E-49.449323E-49.549228E-41.01057281.0E-50.0083939730.009409840.0094197471.00105271.0E-5
7.01.5894311E-51.7835479E-51.7835479E-51.00.06.81167E-57.643556E-58.64348E-51.13081921.0E-58.2900526E-49.3021174E-49.4020244E-41.01074031.0E-50.0082591950.0092638720.009273781.00106941.0E-5
7.11.5602263E-51.7512963E-51.7512963E-51.00.06.6865134E-57.505343E-58.505268E-51.13322841.0E-58.137789E-49.133985E-49.233894E-41.01093821.0E-50.0081080520.0090971280.0091070371.00108921.0E-5
7.21.5323829E-51.7199547E-51.7199547E-51.00.06.56719E-57.37103E-58.3709565E-51.13565621.0E-57.99262E-48.9705945E-49.070505E-41.01113751.0E-50.0079639340.0089350630.0089449741.00110921.0E-5
7.31.4556212E-51.6329786E-51.6329786E-51.00.06.238227E-56.9982954E-57.998225E-51.1428821.0E-57.592395E-48.517152E-48.6170674E-41.0117311.0E-50.00756650740.0084851560.0084950721.00116851.0E-5
7.41.411725E-51.5834416E-51.5834416E-51.00.06.0501097E-56.786005E-57.785937E-51.14735211.0E-57.363519E-48.2588877E-48.358805E-41.01209821.0E-50.00733916740.0082288310.0082387491.00120521.0E-5
7.51.3503312E-51.5151686E-51.5151686E-51.00.05.7870053E-56.493421E-57.493357E-51.1539921.0E-57.043401E-47.9029315E-48.002852E-41.01264361.0E-50.0070211190.0078754550.0078853751.00125981.0E-5
7.61.1279839E-51.2647377E-51.2647377E-51.00.04.834127E-55.4201948E-56.4201406E-51.18448521.0E-55.88396E-46.597143E-46.6970766E-41.0151481.0E-50.0058684050.00657811250.00658804641.00151011.0E-5
7.79.189108E-61.0300463E-51.0300463E-51.00.03.93813E-54.4144123E-55.4143682E-51.22652081.0E-54.7936183E-45.373272E-45.4732186E-41.01860061.0E-50.0047832910.0053607930.00537073941.00185541.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6510588E-73.6510588E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5647385E-61.5647385E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9050529E-51.9050529E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.904894E-41.904894E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.671276E-92.671276E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1448327E-81.1448327E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3938337E-71.3938337E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3938337E-61.3938337E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (South)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.72394E-54.335338E-54.335338E-51.00.01.5958765E-41.8578785E-41.8578785E-41.00.00.00194124810.00225977720.00226975471.00441531.0E-50.0192437750.0223844460.0223942211.00043681.0E-5
6.12.7299884E-53.1559637E-53.1559637E-51.00.01.16994255E-41.3524889E-41.3524889E-41.00.00.00142347430.00164546750.0016554511.00606731.0E-50.0141439060.0163387940.016348631.0006021.0E-5
6.22.7299884E-53.1559637E-53.1559637E-51.00.01.16994255E-41.3524889E-41.3524889E-41.00.00.00142347430.00164546750.0016554511.00606731.0E-50.0141439060.0163387940.016348631.0006021.0E-5
6.32.0546433E-52.3681047E-52.3681047E-51.00.08.805317E-51.0148636E-41.0148636E-41.00.00.001071520.00123491510.00124490271.00808781.0E-50.0106636810.0122825990.0122924751.00080421.0E-5
6.42.0546433E-52.3681047E-52.3681047E-51.00.08.805317E-51.0148636E-41.0148636E-41.00.00.001071520.00123491510.00124490271.00808781.0E-50.0106636810.0122825990.0122924751.00080421.0E-5
6.51.7779594E-52.0489859E-52.0489859E-51.00.07.619603E-58.7810804E-58.7810804E-51.00.09.272918E-40.00106858590.00106858591.00.00.0092343190.0106359480.0106359481.00.0
6.61.6272212E-51.8754248E-51.8754248E-51.00.06.973618E-58.037295E-58.037295E-51.00.08.487073E-49.781136E-49.781136E-41.00.00.0084547330.0097393930.0097393931.00.0
6.71.3051484E-51.50707865E-51.50707865E-51.00.05.593373E-56.458754E-56.458754E-51.00.06.807804E-47.8607915E-47.8607915E-41.00.00.0067869860.00783397350.00783397351.00.0
6.81.04277415E-51.2012268E-51.2012268E-51.00.04.4689557E-55.1480176E-55.1480176E-51.00.05.439595E-46.265983E-46.265983E-41.00.00.00542629930.00624907340.00624907341.00.0
6.97.639968E-68.809997E-68.809997E-61.00.03.274231E-53.7756614E-53.7756614E-51.00.03.9856473E-44.5959573E-44.5959573E-41.00.00.0039785060.0045870410.0045870411.00.0
7.03.919831E-64.5433017E-64.5433017E-61.00.01.679917E-51.947116E-51.947116E-51.00.02.045107E-42.370377E-42.370377E-41.00.00.00204322580.0023680580.0023680581.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8611709E-61.8611709E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.976429E-67.976429E-61.00.08.357586E-59.710976E-59.710976E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.707784E-49.707784E-41.00.0

Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1181217E-52.4026253E-52.4026253E-51.00.09.077348E-51.02966536E-41.1296551E-41.0971091.0E-50.00110460680.0012530640.00126305151.00797051.0E-50.0109913220.0124765030.0124863791.00079151.0E-5
6.12.1181217E-52.4026253E-52.4026253E-51.00.09.077348E-51.02966536E-41.1296551E-41.0971091.0E-50.00110460680.0012530640.00126305151.00797051.0E-50.0109913220.0124765030.0124863791.00079151.0E-5
6.22.1181217E-52.4026253E-52.4026253E-51.00.09.077348E-51.02966536E-41.1296551E-41.0971091.0E-50.00110460680.0012530640.00126305151.00797051.0E-50.0109913220.0124765030.0124863791.00079151.0E-5
6.32.1181217E-52.4026253E-52.4026253E-51.00.09.077348E-51.02966536E-41.1296551E-41.0971091.0E-50.00110460680.0012530640.00126305151.00797051.0E-50.0109913220.0124765030.0124863791.00079151.0E-5
6.41.0988268E-51.2274177E-51.2274177E-51.00.04.7091726E-55.2602645E-55.2602645E-51.00.05.731909E-46.40265E-46.40265E-41.00.00.0057171470.0063857960.0063857961.00.0
6.51.0988268E-51.2274177E-51.2274177E-51.00.04.7091726E-55.2602645E-55.2602645E-51.00.05.731909E-46.40265E-46.40265E-41.00.00.0057171470.0063857960.0063857961.00.0
6.61.0517822E-51.1742798E-51.1742798E-51.00.04.5075605E-55.0325394E-55.0325394E-51.00.05.4865726E-46.1255513E-46.1255513E-41.00.00.00547304660.00611022530.00611022531.00.0
6.77.789219E-68.69144E-68.69144E-61.00.03.3381937E-53.7248523E-53.7248523E-51.00.04.063493E-44.534116E-44.534116E-41.00.00.0040560710.0045253840.0045253841.00.0
6.87.5850853E-68.4658595E-68.4658595E-61.00.03.2507105E-53.6281777E-53.6281777E-51.00.03.957021E-44.4164626E-44.4164626E-41.00.00.00394998260.00440820.00440821.00.0
6.96.604105E-67.370267E-67.370267E-61.00.02.8303E-53.15865E-53.15865E-51.00.03.4453452E-43.8450165E-43.8450165E-41.00.00.00344000850.00383875170.00383875171.00.0
7.05.3701115E-65.998031E-65.998031E-61.00.02.301456E-52.570561E-52.570561E-51.00.02.8016625E-43.129238E-43.129238E-41.00.00.00279813280.00312512110.00312512111.00.0
7.14.4685607E-64.9945374E-64.9945374E-61.00.01.9150835E-52.1405E-52.1405E-51.00.02.3313647E-42.605772E-42.605772E-41.00.00.00232892040.0026029620.0026029621.00.0
7.22.833378E-63.1695788E-63.1695788E-61.00.01.2142991E-51.3583848E-51.3583848E-51.00.01.4783088E-41.6537256E-41.6537256E-41.00.00.00147732580.00165266740.00165266741.00.0
7.37.0087293E-77.784705E-77.784705E-71.00.03.0037377E-63.3363006E-63.3363006E-61.00.03.656989E-54.061916E-54.061916E-51.00.03.6563876E-44.061625E-44.061625E-41.00.0
7.43.112171E-83.2081946E-83.2081946E-81.00.01.3337875E-71.3749404E-71.3749404E-71.00.01.6238852E-61.6739887E-61.6739887E-61.00.01.6238733E-51.673977E-51.673977E-51.00.0

Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.196852E-52.3628956E-52.3628956E-51.00.09.4147406E-51.01263526E-41.01263526E-41.00.00.00114564190.00123227530.00124226291.0081051.0E-50.0113975370.0122633030.0122731791.00080551.0E-5
6.19.992795E-61.0722619E-51.0722619E-51.00.04.2825563E-54.5953373E-54.5953373E-51.00.05.2127644E-45.5935705E-45.5935705E-41.00.00.00520055370.00558130540.00558130541.00.0
6.29.992795E-61.0722619E-51.0722619E-51.00.04.2825563E-54.5953373E-54.5953373E-51.00.05.2127644E-45.5935705E-45.5935705E-41.00.00.00520055370.00558130540.00558130541.00.0
6.34.6127884E-64.947576E-64.947576E-61.00.01.9768944E-52.120375E-52.120375E-51.00.02.406603E-42.5812953E-42.5812953E-41.00.00.00240399850.0025787360.0025787361.00.0
6.44.6127884E-64.947576E-64.947576E-61.00.01.9768944E-52.120375E-52.120375E-51.00.02.406603E-42.5812953E-42.5812953E-41.00.00.00240399850.0025787360.0025787361.00.0
6.52.716712E-62.9140103E-62.9140103E-61.00.01.1643E-51.248857E-51.248857E-51.00.01.417443E-41.5204016E-41.5204016E-41.00.00.00141653930.00151959990.00151959991.00.0
6.61.3818255E-61.4835651E-61.4835651E-61.00.05.922096E-66.358128E-66.358128E-61.00.07.209913E-57.7408695E-57.7408695E-51.00.07.2075747E-47.7393843E-47.7393843E-41.00.0

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.332245E-56.332245E-51.00.01.9323928E-42.7135623E-42.813535E-41.03684191.0E-50.00235014970.00329920560.00330917261.0030211.0E-50.0232545040.0325939840.032603661.00029681.0E-5
6.14.5092507E-56.332245E-56.332245E-51.00.01.9323928E-42.7135623E-42.813535E-41.03684191.0E-50.00235014970.00329920560.00330917261.0030211.0E-50.0232545040.0325939840.032603661.00029681.0E-5
6.22.6674514E-53.4855395E-53.4855395E-51.00.01.1431433E-41.493719E-41.5937041E-41.0669371.0E-50.00139088840.00181711940.00182710121.00549321.0E-50.013822150.0180532490.0180630681.0005441.0E-5
6.32.6674514E-53.4855395E-53.4855395E-51.00.01.1431433E-41.493719E-41.5937041E-41.0669371.0E-50.00139088840.00181711940.00182710121.00549321.0E-50.013822150.0180532490.0180630681.0005441.0E-5
6.42.5312667E-53.267786E-53.267786E-51.00.01.0847834E-41.4004063E-41.5003922E-41.07139791.0E-50.00131992370.0017036910.00171367391.00585961.0E-50.0131211120.0169503070.0169601381.000581.0E-5
6.52.5312667E-53.267786E-53.267786E-51.00.01.0847834E-41.4004063E-41.5003922E-41.07139791.0E-50.00131992370.0017036910.00171367391.00585961.0E-50.0131211120.0169503070.0169601381.000581.0E-5
6.62.246556E-52.845477E-52.845477E-51.00.09.627742E-51.2194345E-41.3194223E-41.08199521.0E-50.00117154720.00148367430.00149365951.00673011.0E-50.0116539010.014784890.0147947421.00066641.0E-5
6.72.2241198E-52.8123333E-52.8123333E-51.00.09.531594E-51.2052314E-41.3052193E-41.08296171.0E-50.00115985380.00146640530.00147639061.00680941.0E-50.0115381870.0146154570.0146253111.00067421.0E-5
6.81.9528685E-52.4195851E-52.4195851E-51.00.08.369167E-51.036925E-41.036925E-41.00.00.00101846980.0012617450.0012617451.00.00.0101381470.0125891770.0125891771.00.0
6.91.3318621E-51.5440732E-51.5440732E-51.00.05.7078556E-56.617292E-56.617292E-51.00.06.9470983E-48.053633E-48.053633E-41.00.00.00692542040.0080648360.0080648361.00.0
7.01.1760853E-51.3339306E-51.3339306E-51.00.05.0402683E-55.716723E-55.716723E-51.00.06.134799E-46.957939E-46.957939E-41.00.00.00611789060.00697638050.00697638051.00.0
7.11.0064758E-51.1122038E-51.1122038E-51.00.04.3133965E-54.7665024E-54.7665024E-51.00.05.2502943E-45.801707E-45.801707E-41.00.00.0052379070.00582718060.00582718061.00.0
7.29.768808E-61.0716196E-51.0716196E-51.00.04.186565E-54.5925764E-54.5925764E-51.00.05.095951E-45.590063E-45.590063E-41.00.00.00508428040.00561648650.00561648651.00.0
7.39.344516E-61.0155852E-51.0155852E-51.00.04.004731E-54.3524375E-54.3524375E-51.00.04.8746695E-45.2978395E-45.2978395E-41.00.00.00486399050.00532508180.00532508181.00.0
7.49.023491E-69.69575E-69.69575E-61.00.03.867153E-54.1552572E-54.1552572E-51.00.04.7072413E-45.0578854E-45.0578854E-41.00.00.0046972830.0050852730.0050852731.00.0
7.57.081253E-67.2706225E-67.2706225E-61.00.03.0347876E-53.115944E-53.115944E-51.00.03.6942272E-43.7930094E-43.7930094E-41.00.00.0036880920.00381998230.00381998231.00.0
7.66.116396E-66.1305313E-66.1305313E-61.00.02.6212863E-52.6273441E-52.6273441E-51.00.03.1909486E-43.1983247E-43.1983247E-41.00.00.00318637070.00322550370.00322550371.00.0
7.74.797145E-64.9184105E-64.9184105E-61.00.02.055903E-52.1078733E-52.1078733E-51.00.02.5027743E-42.5660347E-42.5660347E-41.00.00.00249995760.00259353550.00259353551.00.0
7.83.4028885E-64.1224853E-64.1224853E-61.00.01.4583726E-51.7667675E-51.7667675E-51.00.01.775424E-42.1508281E-42.1508281E-41.00.00.00177400620.00217643940.00217643941.00.0
7.92.5928412E-63.4944333E-63.4944333E-61.00.01.1112129E-51.4976056E-51.4976056E-51.00.01.3528178E-41.823183E-41.823183E-41.00.00.00135199450.00184492710.00184492711.00.0
8.01.3743648E-61.7284345E-61.7284345E-61.00.05.8901214E-67.4075556E-67.4075556E-61.00.07.1709874E-59.018329E-59.018329E-51.00.07.1686733E-49.1246E-49.1246E-41.00.0
8.13.6733252E-73.2465073E-73.2465073E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3913597E-61.3913597E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.693969E-51.693969E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.7153581E-41.7153581E-41.00.0

Santa Ynez River

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7223385E-51.7223385E-51.00.07.026863E-57.381262E-58.381189E-51.13546821.0E-58.551848E-48.9833373E-49.083248E-41.01112171.0E-50.00851901250.008950580.008960491.00110721.0E-5
6.11.6396456E-51.7223385E-51.7223385E-51.00.07.026863E-57.381262E-58.381189E-51.13546821.0E-58.551848E-48.9833373E-49.083248E-41.01112171.0E-50.00851901250.008950580.008960491.00110721.0E-5
6.21.6396456E-51.7223385E-51.7223385E-51.00.07.026863E-57.381262E-58.381189E-51.13546821.0E-58.551848E-48.9833373E-49.083248E-41.01112171.0E-50.00851901250.008950580.008960491.00110721.0E-5
6.39.736976E-61.0129924E-51.0129924E-51.00.04.172923E-54.3413267E-55.341283E-51.23033431.0E-55.0793495E-45.284333E-45.38428E-41.01891391.0E-50.0050677550.00527227440.0052822221.00188671.0E-5
6.49.736976E-61.0129924E-51.0129924E-51.00.04.172923E-54.3413267E-55.341283E-51.23033431.0E-55.0793495E-45.284333E-45.38428E-41.01891391.0E-50.0050677550.00527227440.0052822221.00188671.0E-5
6.57.081964E-67.3354736E-67.3354736E-61.00.03.035092E-53.1437372E-54.143706E-51.31808271.0E-53.694598E-43.8268437E-43.9268055E-41.02612111.0E-50.00368846160.0038204160.00383037771.00260751.0E-5
6.65.873247E-66.06442E-66.06442E-61.00.02.5170815E-52.5990119E-53.598986E-51.38475161.0E-53.064116E-43.163846E-43.2638144E-41.03159711.0E-50.00305989430.00315942940.00316939781.00315511.0E-5
6.74.973277E-65.1199377E-65.1199377E-61.00.02.1313872E-52.1942407E-53.194219E-51.45572851.0E-52.5946548E-42.6711653E-42.7711387E-41.03742681.0E-50.00259162740.00266800380.0026779771.00373821.0E-5
6.84.396492E-64.514603E-64.514603E-61.00.01.884197E-51.9348157E-51.9348157E-51.00.02.2937685E-42.3553871E-42.3553871E-41.00.00.00229140230.0023529260.0023529261.00.0
6.93.5255632E-63.6043957E-63.6043957E-61.00.01.5109469E-51.544732E-51.544732E-51.00.01.8394225E-41.8805504E-41.8805504E-41.00.00.00183790070.00187897530.00187897531.00.0
7.03.211603E-63.276517E-63.276517E-61.00.01.376394E-51.4042141E-51.4042141E-51.00.01.6756308E-41.7094979E-41.7094979E-41.00.00.00167436790.0017081970.0017081971.00.0
7.12.5094619E-62.5433387E-62.5433387E-61.00.01.0754793E-51.08999775E-51.08999775E-51.00.01.3093173E-41.326992E-41.326992E-41.00.00.00130854620.00132620570.00132620571.00.0
7.22.0515774E-62.0640482E-62.0640482E-61.00.08.792445E-68.845891E-68.845891E-61.00.01.0704277E-41.0769345E-41.0769345E-41.00.00.00106991220.00107641690.00107641691.00.0
7.31.6845745E-61.6792451E-61.6792451E-61.00.07.219585E-67.1967447E-67.1967447E-61.00.08.78949E-58.761687E-58.761687E-51.00.08.7860145E-48.7582617E-48.7582617E-41.00.0
7.41.3600285E-61.3349016E-61.3349016E-61.00.05.82868E-65.7209945E-65.7209945E-61.00.07.096187E-56.965091E-56.965091E-51.00.07.0939213E-46.9629296E-46.9629296E-41.00.0
7.59.735342E-79.3017525E-79.3017525E-71.00.04.172283E-63.9864594E-63.9864594E-61.00.05.079636E-54.853408E-54.853408E-51.00.05.0784746E-44.852365E-44.852365E-41.00.0
7.65.067187E-74.78267E-74.78267E-71.00.02.1716498E-62.049714E-62.049714E-61.00.02.6439517E-52.4954992E-52.4954992E-51.00.02.643637E-42.4952265E-42.4952265E-41.00.0
7.72.769089E-72.5780096E-72.5780096E-71.00.01.1867519E-61.1048608E-61.1048608E-61.00.01.4448608E-51.3451597E-51.3451597E-51.00.01.444767E-41.3450786E-41.3450786E-41.00.0
7.81.7044663E-71.5460988E-71.5460988E-71.00.07.3048534E-76.626136E-76.626136E-71.00.08.893623E-68.067291E-68.067291E-61.00.08.893267E-58.0670005E-58.0670005E-51.00.0
7.94.8344287E-84.094442E-84.094442E-81.00.02.0718979E-71.7547607E-71.7547607E-71.00.02.5225327E-62.1364192E-62.1364192E-61.00.02.5225041E-52.136399E-52.136399E-51.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.8062368E-55.8061887E-51.2080531.0E-51.893932E-42.0596624E-42.1596417E-41.04854171.0E-50.00230342360.00250491940.00251489441.00398221.0E-50.0227969380.0247844630.0247942151.00039351.0E-5
6.14.4194956E-54.8062368E-55.8061887E-51.2080531.0E-51.893932E-42.0596624E-42.1596417E-41.04854171.0E-50.00230342360.00250491940.00251489441.00398221.0E-50.0227969380.0247844630.0247942151.00039351.0E-5
6.24.4194956E-54.8062368E-55.8061887E-51.2080531.0E-51.893932E-42.0596624E-42.1596417E-41.04854171.0E-50.00230342360.00250491940.00251489441.00398221.0E-50.0227969380.0247844630.0247942151.00039351.0E-5
6.34.4194956E-54.8062368E-55.8061887E-51.2080531.0E-51.893932E-42.0596624E-42.1596417E-41.04854171.0E-50.00230342360.00250491940.00251489441.00398221.0E-50.0227969380.0247844630.0247942151.00039351.0E-5
6.43.729929E-53.9789364E-53.9789364E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.7051522E-41.7051522E-41.00.00.00194436730.00207414010.00207414011.00.00.0192744270.0205578990.0205578991.00.0
6.53.729929E-53.9789364E-53.9789364E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.7051522E-41.7051522E-41.00.00.00194436730.00207414010.00207414011.00.00.0192744270.0205578990.0205578991.00.0
6.63.0204548E-53.136997E-53.136997E-51.00.01.2944164E-41.3443599E-41.3443599E-41.00.00.00157481270.00163556430.00163556431.00.00.0156369920.0162391660.0162391661.00.0
6.72.9857754E-53.0978666E-53.0978666E-51.00.01.2795553E-41.3275916E-41.3275916E-41.00.00.00155674530.00161517910.00161517911.00.00.0154588480.0160382690.0160382691.00.0
6.82.4819734E-52.5160969E-52.5160969E-51.00.01.0636595E-41.0782839E-41.0782839E-41.00.00.00129423620.00131204180.00131204181.00.00.0128672440.0130453420.0130453421.00.0
6.92.331124E-52.3486717E-52.3486717E-51.00.09.990149E-51.0065359E-41.0065359E-41.00.00.0012156220.0012247890.0012247891.00.00.0120899360.0121825980.0121825981.00.0
7.02.1818534E-52.1907248E-52.1907248E-51.00.09.3504656E-59.388494E-59.388494E-51.00.00.00113782460.00114246970.00114246971.00.00.0113201630.0113680840.0113680841.00.0
7.12.066081E-52.068371E-52.068371E-51.00.08.854332E-58.864157E-58.864157E-51.00.00.00107748180.00107869650.00107869651.00.00.0107227240.0107366730.0107366731.00.0
7.21.8990233E-51.9194522E-51.9194522E-51.00.08.138417E-58.225975E-58.225975E-51.00.09.904018E-40.00100107180.00100107181.00.00.0098599950.0099676380.0099676381.00.0
7.31.3335872E-51.5038846E-51.5038846E-51.00.05.7152483E-56.445068E-56.445068E-51.00.06.956093E-47.844174E-47.844174E-41.00.00.0069343590.0078177970.0078177971.00.0
7.49.414066E-61.1987154E-51.1987154E-51.00.04.0345374E-55.1372557E-55.1372557E-51.00.04.910942E-46.2529097E-46.2529097E-41.00.00.00490010340.00623627470.00623627471.00.0
7.57.2101157E-69.28007E-69.28007E-61.00.03.090013E-53.9771166E-53.9771166E-51.00.03.7614413E-44.8411425E-44.8411425E-41.00.00.00375508070.0048313820.0048313821.00.0
7.63.296375E-64.6637065E-64.6637065E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.9987168E-51.9987168E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.4331808E-42.4331808E-41.00.00.00171852590.00243066320.00243066321.00.0
7.72.5741092E-63.6964498E-63.6964498E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5841839E-51.5841839E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.9285873E-41.9285873E-41.00.00.00134223350.00192705240.00192705241.00.0

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.8700903E-51.8700903E-51.00.07.160038E-58.014431E-59.0143505E-51.12476491.0E-58.71386E-49.753278E-49.853181E-41.01024291.0E-50.008679770.009711330.0097212331.00101971.0E-5
6.11.6707214E-51.8700903E-51.8700903E-51.00.07.160038E-58.014431E-59.0143505E-51.12476491.0E-58.71386E-49.753278E-49.853181E-41.01024291.0E-50.008679770.009711330.0097212331.00101971.0E-5
6.21.6707214E-51.8700903E-51.8700903E-51.00.07.160038E-58.014431E-59.0143505E-51.12476491.0E-58.71386E-49.753278E-49.853181E-41.01024291.0E-50.008679770.009711330.0097212331.00101971.0E-5
6.31.6707214E-51.8700903E-51.8700903E-51.00.07.160038E-58.014431E-59.0143505E-51.12476491.0E-58.71386E-49.753278E-49.853181E-41.01024291.0E-50.008679770.009711330.0097212331.00101971.0E-5
6.41.5515609E-51.7366661E-51.7366661E-51.00.06.649377E-57.442646E-58.4425716E-51.13435081.0E-58.0926094E-49.0577157E-49.157625E-41.01103031.0E-50.0080632020.0090214850.0090313951.00109851.0E-5
6.51.5515609E-51.7366661E-51.7366661E-51.00.06.649377E-57.442646E-58.4425716E-51.13435081.0E-58.0926094E-49.0577157E-49.157625E-41.01103031.0E-50.0080632020.0090214850.0090313951.00109851.0E-5
6.61.5041828E-51.6836733E-51.6836733E-51.00.06.4463384E-57.215546E-58.2154744E-51.13857961.0E-57.8455906E-48.781446E-48.881358E-41.01137771.0E-50.007817950.0087474040.00875731651.00113321.0E-5
6.71.4634985E-51.6382886E-51.6382886E-51.00.06.271985E-57.021051E-58.020981E-51.14241891.0E-57.6334673E-48.544835E-48.64475E-41.0116931.0E-50.0076072990.0085126190.0085225341.00116471.0E-5
6.81.4209158E-51.5908172E-51.5908172E-51.00.06.089497E-56.817612E-57.817544E-51.14666891.0E-57.4114406E-48.2973385E-48.397256E-41.0120421.0E-50.0073867710.0082669770.0082768951.00119961.0E-5
6.91.3780098E-51.5429967E-51.5429967E-51.00.05.9056227E-56.6126784E-57.612612E-51.15121461.0E-57.1877235E-48.048017E-48.1479363E-41.01241541.0E-50.00716451930.0080194690.0080293881.00123691.0E-5
7.01.3585064E-51.5213198E-51.5213198E-51.00.05.8220405E-56.519782E-57.519717E-51.15336931.0E-57.086029E-47.934999E-48.034919E-41.01259241.0E-50.0070634760.007907260.0079171811.00125471.0E-5
7.11.3398601E-51.5006068E-51.5006068E-51.00.05.742131E-56.431017E-57.430952E-51.15548651.0E-56.9888023E-47.8270043E-47.9269265E-41.01276621.0E-50.00696686380.00780002870.00780995051.00127211.0E-5
7.21.3126312E-51.4703834E-51.4703834E-51.00.05.6254412E-56.301494E-57.301431E-51.15868261.0E-56.846822E-47.669423E-47.769346E-41.01302871.0E-50.0068257650.0076435410.0076534641.00129831.0E-5
7.31.2922429E-51.4477722E-51.4477722E-51.00.05.5380664E-56.204594E-57.204532E-51.1611611.0E-56.74051E-47.551529E-47.6514535E-41.01323241.0E-50.0067201010.00752645170.00753637641.00131871.0E-5
7.41.2768878E-51.4307449E-51.4307449E-51.00.05.4722615E-56.1316234E-57.131562E-51.16307891.0E-56.660441E-47.462749E-47.562674E-41.013391.0E-50.00664051440.0074382690.00744819451.00133441.0E-5
7.51.2521929E-51.4035308E-51.4035308E-51.00.05.366431E-56.0149963E-57.014936E-51.16624121.0E-56.531671E-47.320852E-47.420779E-41.01364961.0E-50.0065125060.00729731330.00730724031.00136041.0E-5
7.61.1301089E-51.26692075E-51.26692075E-51.00.04.8432343E-55.4295502E-56.429496E-51.18416731.0E-55.895042E-46.608526E-46.7084597E-41.01512191.0E-50.00587942820.0065894280.00659936251.00150761.0E-5
7.79.189108E-61.0300463E-51.0300463E-51.00.03.93813E-54.4144123E-55.4143682E-51.22652081.0E-54.7936183E-45.373272E-45.4732186E-41.01860061.0E-50.0047832910.0053607930.00537073941.00185541.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6510588E-73.6510588E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5647385E-61.5647385E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9050529E-51.9050529E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.904894E-41.904894E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.671276E-92.671276E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1448327E-81.1448327E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3938337E-71.3938337E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3938337E-61.3938337E-61.00.0

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.187212E-55.364477E-55.364477E-51.00.01.794396E-42.298917E-42.298917E-41.00.00.0021824880.00279630560.00280627751.00356611.0E-50.0216117760.0277057680.0277154911.0003511.0E-5
6.14.187212E-55.364477E-55.364477E-51.00.01.794396E-42.298917E-42.298917E-41.00.00.0021824880.00279630560.00280627751.00356611.0E-50.0216117760.0277057680.0277154911.0003511.0E-5
6.21.7353306E-52.2238464E-52.2238464E-51.00.07.436919E-59.5306554E-59.5306554E-51.00.09.050688E-40.00116012420.00116012421.00.00.0090139150.0115784510.0115784511.00.0
6.31.7353306E-52.2238464E-52.2238464E-51.00.07.436919E-59.5306554E-59.5306554E-51.00.09.050688E-40.00116012420.00116012421.00.00.0090139150.0115784510.0115784511.00.0
6.41.4028824E-51.7968618E-51.7968618E-51.00.06.0122147E-57.7008364E-57.7008364E-51.00.07.3174125E-49.3755254E-49.3755254E-41.00.00.00729336450.009373220.009373221.00.0

Surprise Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0396248E-54.4920635E-55.4920183E-51.22260491.0E-51.7311527E-41.9250398E-42.0250207E-41.0519371.0E-50.0021056410.00234142740.0023514041.00426091.0E-50.0208580080.0231893860.0231991541.00042131.0E-5
6.14.0396248E-54.4920635E-55.4920183E-51.22260491.0E-51.7311527E-41.9250398E-42.0250207E-41.0519371.0E-50.0021056410.00234142740.0023514041.00426091.0E-50.0208580080.0231893860.0231991541.00042131.0E-5
6.22.2295266E-52.4433479E-52.4433479E-51.00.09.554764E-51.0471088E-41.0471088E-41.00.00.00116267170.00127414020.00127414021.00.00.0115660740.0126715950.0126715951.00.0
6.31.572643E-51.7117614E-51.7117614E-51.00.06.7397246E-57.33592E-57.33592E-51.00.08.202525E-48.927928E-48.927928E-41.00.00.0081723150.008893170.008893171.00.0
6.41.5714395E-51.7105434E-51.7105434E-51.00.06.734567E-57.3307005E-57.3307005E-51.00.08.1962504E-48.9215784E-48.9215784E-41.00.00.0081660860.0088868720.0088868721.00.0
6.51.2733495E-51.3817764E-51.3817764E-51.00.05.457098E-55.921768E-55.921768E-51.00.06.641992E-47.2074344E-47.2074344E-41.00.00.00662217430.0071847550.0071847551.00.0
6.61.0983784E-51.1900193E-51.1900193E-51.00.04.7072506E-55.099986E-55.099986E-51.00.05.7295704E-46.2075176E-46.2075176E-41.00.00.00571482070.0061907290.0061907291.00.0
6.79.104806E-69.850576E-69.850576E-61.00.03.902001E-54.2216096E-54.2216096E-51.00.04.7496508E-45.1386363E-45.1386363E-41.00.00.0047395120.00512715240.00512715241.00.0
6.86.2162403E-66.711485E-66.711485E-61.00.02.6640759E-52.8763205E-52.8763205E-51.00.03.2430296E-43.5013797E-43.5013797E-41.00.00.0032383010.0034960870.0034960871.00.0
6.94.1792696E-64.5081115E-64.5081115E-61.00.01.7911032E-51.9320343E-51.9320343E-51.00.02.1804498E-42.3520135E-42.3520135E-41.00.00.00217831160.0023496780.0023496781.00.0
7.02.7478413E-62.9654766E-62.9654766E-61.00.01.177641E-51.270913E-51.270913E-51.00.01.4336836E-41.5472392E-41.5472392E-41.00.00.0014327590.00154628480.00154628481.00.0
7.18.128648E-78.7339225E-78.7339225E-71.00.03.4837017E-63.7431078E-63.7431078E-61.00.04.2413245E-54.5571986E-54.5571986E-51.00.04.2405148E-44.5568537E-44.5568537E-41.00.0
7.24.8641045E-84.941282E-84.941282E-81.00.02.084616E-72.117692E-72.117692E-71.00.02.538017E-62.578287E-62.578287E-61.00.02.537988E-52.5782583E-52.5782583E-51.00.0
7.35.3911844E-95.4770095E-95.4770095E-91.00.02.3105075E-82.3472898E-82.3472898E-81.00.02.8130427E-72.857825E-72.857825E-71.00.02.8130391E-62.857823E-62.857823E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-48.755785E-48.755785E-41.00.00.00237938480.0037478160.00375777831.00265821.0E-50.0285869630.0449542780.0449638251.00021241.0E-50.251762840.351534220.35154071.00001851.0E-5
6.11.925858E-43.307152E-43.307152E-41.00.08.2510663E-40.00141670920.00141670921.00.00.00999948850.0172524080.0172524081.00.00.0956132560.156545240.156545241.00.0
6.29.4306815E-51.9059611E-41.9059611E-41.00.04.0410945E-48.165861E-48.165861E-41.00.00.00490893840.0098968580.0098968581.00.00.0480190630.095380310.095380311.00.0
6.39.283051E-51.8752951E-41.8752951E-41.00.03.9778434E-48.0345164E-48.0345164E-41.00.00.00483227470.0097383860.0097383861.00.00.0472853850.094027730.094027731.00.0
6.49.138826E-51.8509827E-41.8509827E-41.00.03.916052E-47.9303834E-47.9303834E-41.00.00.00475737450.0096127280.0096127281.00.00.0465680920.092909360.092909361.00.0
6.59.000255E-51.8263224E-41.8263224E-41.00.03.8566816E-47.8247604E-47.8247604E-41.00.00.00468540470.009485260.009485261.00.00.0458784030.0917846560.0917846561.00.0
6.68.8109264E-51.7934323E-41.7934323E-41.00.03.7755648E-47.683886E-47.683886E-41.00.00.00458706540.0093152370.0093152371.00.00.044935290.090282430.090282431.00.0
6.78.738073E-51.7799214E-41.7799214E-41.00.03.7443507E-47.6260173E-47.6260173E-41.00.00.00454922160.0092454250.0092454251.00.00.044572130.089676280.089676281.00.0
6.88.710195E-51.7742954E-41.7742954E-41.00.03.7324068E-47.6019194E-47.6019194E-41.00.00.00453474050.0092163440.0092163441.00.00.044433130.089417750.089417751.00.0
6.98.6801556E-51.7682319E-41.7682319E-41.00.03.7195362E-47.575948E-47.575948E-41.00.00.00451913570.0091849910.0091849911.00.00.0442833270.089138580.089138581.00.0
7.08.5571606E-51.7428848E-41.7428848E-41.00.03.6668387E-47.4673805E-47.4673805E-41.00.00.0044552410.0090539150.0090539151.00.00.0436697270.087965560.087965561.00.0
7.17.82589E-51.588128E-41.588128E-41.00.03.3535215E-46.804496E-46.804496E-41.00.00.00407527060.0082531910.0082531911.00.00.0400134180.080789010.080789011.00.0
7.27.690929E-51.561287E-41.561287E-41.00.03.2956956E-46.6895224E-46.6895224E-41.00.00.0040051290.0081142620.0081142621.00.00.03933710.079544350.079544351.00.0
7.37.5543794E-51.5300015E-41.5300015E-41.00.03.2371894E-46.555509E-46.555509E-41.00.00.0039341570.0079523020.0079523021.00.00.0386523340.0780769660.0780769661.00.0
7.47.4214564E-51.4991142E-41.4991142E-41.00.03.1802364E-46.423201E-46.423201E-41.00.00.0038650650.00779237970.00779237971.00.00.037985290.0766154750.0766154751.00.0
7.56.149578E-51.1820116E-41.1820116E-41.00.02.6352672E-45.064782E-45.064782E-41.00.00.00320371780.00614897350.00614897351.00.00.031579230.0614440250.0614440251.00.0
7.66.0643448E-51.16431365E-41.16431365E-41.00.02.598746E-44.9889623E-44.9889623E-41.00.00.00315938280.00605718050.00605718051.00.00.0311484170.0605834280.0605834281.00.0
7.75.1652263E-59.735677E-59.735677E-51.00.02.2134806E-44.171766E-44.171766E-41.00.00.0026915820.0050673090.0050673091.00.00.0265921410.0511499680.0511499681.00.0
7.84.8090482E-59.0761634E-59.0761634E-51.00.02.060858E-43.8892048E-43.8892048E-41.00.00.00250620720.0047248360.0047248361.00.00.0247813050.047718010.047718011.00.0
7.93.970278E-57.153788E-57.153788E-51.00.01.7014367E-43.065549E-43.065549E-41.00.00.0020695310.0037259230.0037259231.00.00.0205036360.0378060380.0378060381.00.0
8.02.8982335E-54.3281507E-54.3281507E-51.00.01.2420409E-41.8547899E-41.8547899E-41.00.00.00151113570.00225586930.00225586931.00.00.0150090120.0232971180.0232971181.00.0
8.11.8836186E-52.0144082E-52.0144082E-51.00.08.0724014E-58.6328924E-58.6328924E-51.00.09.823717E-40.00105054860.00105054861.00.00.0097804030.0112537540.0112537541.00.0
8.28.643924E-66.0378484E-66.0378484E-61.00.03.704486E-52.5876236E-52.5876236E-51.00.04.5092785E-43.1499774E-43.1499774E-41.00.00.00450013950.00355527390.00355527391.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.5989615E-78.5989615E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6852641E-63.6852641E-61.00.01.034694E-44.486719E-54.486719E-51.00.00.00103421245.256387E-45.256387E-41.00.0

Swain Ravine - Spenceville

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.596169E-65.6647464E-65.6647464E-61.00.02.398336E-52.4277273E-52.4277273E-51.00.02.9195828E-42.9553846E-42.9553846E-41.00.00.002915750.00295172350.0029616941.00337781.0E-5
6.15.596169E-65.6647464E-65.6647464E-61.00.02.398336E-52.4277273E-52.4277273E-51.00.02.9195828E-42.9553846E-42.9553846E-41.00.00.002915750.00295172350.0029616941.00337781.0E-5
6.25.596169E-65.6647464E-65.6647464E-61.00.02.398336E-52.4277273E-52.4277273E-51.00.02.9195828E-42.9553846E-42.9553846E-41.00.00.002915750.00295172350.0029616941.00337781.0E-5
6.35.596169E-65.6647464E-65.6647464E-61.00.02.398336E-52.4277273E-52.4277273E-51.00.02.9195828E-42.9553846E-42.9553846E-41.00.00.002915750.00295172350.0029616941.00337781.0E-5
6.42.8426775E-62.8745865E-62.8745865E-61.00.01.2182847E-51.23196005E-51.23196005E-51.00.01.4831607E-41.4998119E-41.4998119E-41.00.00.00148217110.00149883820.00149883821.00.0
6.51.9210793E-61.9417005E-61.9417005E-61.00.08.233172E-68.321548E-68.321548E-61.00.01.0023425E-41.0131027E-41.0131027E-41.00.00.00100189050.00101265430.00101265431.00.0
6.61.9210793E-61.9417005E-61.9417005E-61.00.08.233172E-68.321548E-68.321548E-61.00.01.0023425E-41.0131027E-41.0131027E-41.00.00.00100189050.00101265430.00101265431.00.0
6.71.4667394E-61.4821062E-61.4821062E-61.00.06.286011E-66.3518687E-66.3518687E-61.00.07.65295E-57.733134E-57.733134E-51.00.07.6503144E-47.73052E-47.73052E-41.00.0
6.81.1076943E-61.1191116E-61.1191116E-61.00.04.747252E-64.796184E-64.796184E-61.00.05.7796264E-55.8392023E-55.8392023E-51.00.05.778124E-45.837712E-45.837712E-41.00.0
6.98.514296E-78.6013E-78.6013E-71.00.03.648979E-63.6862664E-63.6862664E-61.00.04.442541E-54.4879398E-54.4879398E-51.00.04.441653E-44.4870618E-44.4870618E-41.00.0
7.04.8544706E-74.9039863E-74.9039863E-71.00.02.0804857E-62.1017067E-62.1017067E-61.00.02.532962E-52.5587991E-52.5587991E-51.00.02.5326732E-42.5585174E-42.5585174E-41.00.0
7.13.829186E-73.8684217E-73.8684217E-71.00.01.6410787E-61.657894E-61.657894E-61.00.01.997995E-52.0184683E-52.0184683E-51.00.01.9978154E-42.0182956E-42.0182956E-41.00.0
7.21.4726595E-71.4881584E-71.4881584E-71.00.06.3113964E-76.377821E-76.377821E-71.00.07.684098E-67.764975E-67.764975E-61.00.07.6838325E-57.7647564E-57.7647564E-51.00.0
7.34.1880604E-84.233054E-84.233054E-81.00.01.7948828E-71.814166E-71.814166E-71.00.02.1852677E-62.2087472E-62.2087472E-61.00.02.1852462E-52.2087472E-52.2087472E-51.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.512252E-55.512252E-51.00.02.0292461E-42.3621965E-42.462173E-41.04232351.0E-50.00246780760.0028724440.00288241541.00347141.0E-50.0244058180.0283812230.0283909381.00034241.0E-5
6.14.7352758E-55.512252E-55.512252E-51.00.02.0292461E-42.3621965E-42.462173E-41.04232351.0E-50.00246780760.0028724440.00288241541.00347141.0E-50.0244058180.0283812230.0283909381.00034241.0E-5
6.23.0415853E-53.400576E-53.400576E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4573104E-41.5572959E-41.06860961.0E-50.00158582120.00177286550.00178284791.00563061.0E-50.0157455220.0175911490.0176009741.00055851.0E-5
6.33.0415853E-53.400576E-53.400576E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4573104E-41.5572959E-41.06860961.0E-50.00158582120.00177286550.00178284791.00563061.0E-50.0157455220.0175911490.0176009741.00055851.0E-5
6.42.5452082E-52.7975295E-52.7975295E-51.00.01.09075794E-41.19888726E-41.2988753E-41.08340071.0E-50.00132718870.00145868670.00146867211.00684551.0E-50.0131929020.0144932860.0145031411.000681.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.518308E-52.518308E-51.00.09.9183875E-51.0792311E-41.17922034E-41.09264851.0E-50.00120689480.00131318640.00132317331.00760511.0E-50.0120036110.01305593550.0130658051.00075591.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0396754E-52.0396754E-51.00.08.193392E-58.7411776E-59.7410906E-51.11439111.0E-59.97089E-40.00106372670.00107371611.0093911.0E-50.009926270.0105872670.010597161.00093451.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8183558E-51.8183558E-51.00.07.3832496E-57.792724E-58.7926455E-51.12831491.0E-58.985399E-49.4835676E-49.583473E-41.01053451.0E-50.0089491540.0094437460.00945365151.00104891.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5958647E-51.5958647E-51.00.06.56442E-56.839244E-56.839244E-51.00.07.98925E-48.323641E-48.323641E-41.00.00.0079605890.0082929550.0082929551.00.0
6.91.3071226E-51.3356101E-51.3356101E-51.00.05.6018336E-55.7239187E-55.7239187E-51.00.06.8180985E-46.9666654E-46.9666654E-41.00.00.00679721730.0069450880.0069450881.00.0
7.01.1836986E-51.1956671E-51.1956671E-51.00.05.0728955E-55.124188E-55.124188E-51.00.06.1745E-46.23693E-46.23693E-41.00.00.0061573720.00621962040.00621962041.00.0
7.11.0597169E-51.0563711E-51.0563711E-51.00.04.541565E-54.5272267E-54.5272267E-51.00.05.5279525E-45.510516E-45.510516E-41.00.00.00551422130.0054969840.0054969841.00.0
7.29.59113E-69.479485E-69.479485E-61.00.04.11042E-54.062574E-54.062574E-51.00.05.0032866E-44.945072E-44.945072E-41.00.00.0049920370.0049341880.0049341881.00.0
7.38.586084E-68.398802E-68.398802E-61.00.03.679698E-53.5994373E-53.5994373E-51.00.04.4791115E-44.3814443E-44.3814443E-41.00.00.0044700940.0043729180.0043729181.00.0
7.47.2622997E-66.969148E-66.969148E-61.00.03.112377E-52.986744E-52.986744E-51.00.03.78866E-43.635764E-43.635764E-41.00.00.00378220740.0036299170.0036299171.00.0
7.55.627296E-65.2662863E-65.2662863E-61.00.02.411676E-52.2569608E-52.2569608E-51.00.02.9358198E-42.7475104E-42.7475104E-41.00.00.00293194430.00274418640.00274418641.00.0
7.62.265244E-62.0634832E-62.0634832E-61.00.09.708152E-68.84347E-68.84347E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0766402E-41.0766402E-41.00.00.0011812750.00107612720.00107612721.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.102898E-61.102898E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7266967E-64.7266967E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.754604E-55.754604E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7531375E-45.7531375E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.078917E-76.078917E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.6052476E-62.6052476E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.1718442E-53.1718442E-51.00.04.12332E-43.1714048E-43.1714048E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.0932902E-95.0932902E-91.00.03.032284E-82.1828386E-82.1828386E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.6576058E-72.6576058E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6576038E-62.6576038E-61.00.0

Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.8044945E-58.878637E-58.878637E-51.00.02.9158857E-43.8046416E-43.9046034E-41.02627371.0E-50.00354431270.00462295630.004632911.00215321.0E-50.034883140.0453366230.045346171.00021051.0E-5
6.16.8044945E-58.878637E-58.878637E-51.00.02.9158857E-43.8046416E-43.9046034E-41.02627371.0E-50.00354431270.00462295630.004632911.00215321.0E-50.034883140.0453366230.045346171.00021051.0E-5
6.26.8044945E-58.878637E-58.878637E-51.00.02.9158857E-43.8046416E-43.9046034E-41.02627371.0E-50.00354431270.00462295630.004632911.00215321.0E-50.034883140.0453366230.045346171.00021051.0E-5
6.36.8044945E-58.878637E-58.878637E-51.00.02.9158857E-43.8046416E-43.9046034E-41.02627371.0E-50.00354431270.00462295630.004632911.00215321.0E-50.034883140.0453366230.045346171.00021051.0E-5
6.44.5830013E-55.7350648E-55.7350648E-51.00.01.9639956E-42.457684E-42.457684E-41.00.00.00238854230.0029885010.0029885011.00.00.0236303210.029520.029521.00.0
6.54.5830013E-55.7350648E-55.7350648E-51.00.01.9639956E-42.457684E-42.457684E-41.00.00.00238854230.0029885010.0029885011.00.00.0236303210.029520.029521.00.0
6.63.222194E-53.8365568E-53.8365568E-51.00.01.3808672E-41.6441414E-41.6441414E-41.00.00.00167990920.00199999290.00199999291.00.00.0166726650.0198290240.0198290241.00.0
6.72.4155654E-52.7846663E-52.7846663E-51.00.01.0352012E-41.1933743E-41.1933743E-41.00.00.00125962870.00145197310.00145197311.00.00.0125251260.0144259660.0144259661.00.0
6.82.1814667E-52.4992667E-52.4992667E-51.00.09.348808E-51.0710705E-41.0710705E-41.00.00.0011376230.00130325210.00130325211.00.00.0113181690.0129566630.0129566631.00.0
6.92.0700467E-52.3677454E-52.3677454E-51.00.08.871327E-51.01470876E-41.01470876E-41.00.00.00107954880.00123471090.00123471091.00.00.0107431940.0122789870.0122789871.00.0
7.02.0104066E-52.2983444E-52.2983444E-51.00.08.615744E-59.849677E-59.849677E-51.00.00.00104846190.00119854160.00119854161.00.00.0104352910.0119212210.0119212211.00.0
7.11.8225232E-52.081539E-52.081539E-51.00.07.81058E-58.920577E-58.920577E-51.00.09.5052324E-40.00108554060.00108554061.00.00.0094646770.0108026260.0108026261.00.0
7.21.7526572E-52.0034537E-52.0034537E-51.00.07.511172E-58.585948E-58.585948E-51.00.09.141015E-40.00104483940.00104483941.00.00.0091035060.01039949150.01039949151.00.0
7.31.5727232E-51.805985E-51.805985E-51.00.06.740067E-57.7397075E-57.7397075E-51.00.08.2029426E-49.419033E-49.419033E-41.00.00.0081727290.0093792750.0093792751.00.0
7.41.4457361E-51.6634243E-51.6634243E-51.00.06.195865E-57.128767E-57.128767E-51.00.07.540854E-48.675827E-48.675827E-41.00.00.0075153170.0086420620.0086420621.00.0
7.51.33280955E-51.5379346E-51.5379346E-51.00.05.711916E-56.590982E-56.590982E-51.00.06.9520384E-48.0215756E-48.0215756E-41.00.00.006930330.0079927050.0079927051.00.0
7.61.0699478E-51.2416415E-51.2416415E-51.00.04.5854096E-55.3212127E-55.3212127E-51.00.05.581306E-46.476656E-46.476656E-41.00.00.0055673090.0064578050.0064578051.00.0
7.75.9390236E-66.869276E-66.869276E-61.00.02.545271E-52.9439423E-52.9439423E-51.00.03.0984267E-43.583663E-43.583663E-41.00.00.00309411020.00357789430.00357789431.00.0
7.82.1622036E-62.3326563E-62.3326563E-61.00.09.266554E-69.997061E-69.997061E-61.00.01.1281446E-41.2170749E-41.2170749E-41.00.00.0011275720.00121641490.00121641491.00.0
7.94.9586197E-75.2227335E-75.2227335E-71.00.02.125121E-62.2383124E-62.2383124E-61.00.02.5873042E-52.7251135E-52.7251135E-51.00.02.5870028E-42.7248E-42.7248E-41.00.0

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.475386E-55.475386E-51.00.01.9328714E-42.346395E-42.346395E-41.00.00.0023507310.00285316680.00285316681.00.00.0232601950.0281865690.0281962861.00034481.0E-5
6.14.5103672E-55.475386E-55.475386E-51.00.01.9328714E-42.346395E-42.346395E-41.00.00.0023507310.00285316680.00285316681.00.00.0232601950.0281865690.0281962861.00034481.0E-5
6.23.9363465E-54.7216494E-54.7216494E-51.00.01.6868966E-42.023416E-42.023416E-41.00.00.0020518620.0024608620.0024608621.00.00.0203301960.0243528220.0243625791.00040071.0E-5
6.33.9363465E-54.7216494E-54.7216494E-51.00.01.6868966E-42.023416E-42.023416E-41.00.00.0020518620.0024608620.0024608621.00.00.0203301960.0243528220.0243625791.00040071.0E-5
6.43.2311684E-53.806891E-53.806891E-51.00.01.384713E-41.6314269E-41.6314269E-41.00.00.00168458430.00198452130.00198452131.00.00.0167187140.0196777710.0196875741.00049821.0E-5
6.53.2311684E-53.806891E-53.806891E-51.00.01.384713E-41.6314269E-41.6314269E-41.00.00.00168458430.00198452130.00198452131.00.00.0167187140.0196777710.0196875741.00049821.0E-5
6.62.9305844E-53.4286564E-53.4286564E-51.00.01.2559042E-41.469345E-41.469345E-41.00.00.00152799090.00178752150.00178752151.00.00.0151752720.0177403670.0177501891.00055371.0E-5
6.72.7826512E-53.2442807E-53.2442807E-51.00.01.19251024E-41.3903352E-41.3903352E-41.00.00.00145091420.00169147950.00169147951.00.00.0144147760.0167947670.01680461.00058541.0E-5
6.82.3389874E-52.6947306E-52.6947306E-51.00.01.0023846E-41.1548361E-41.1548361E-41.00.00.001219720.00140515380.00140515381.00.00.012130470.0139699250.0139699251.00.0
6.92.069209E-52.3640412E-52.3640412E-51.00.08.867737E-51.0131232E-41.0131232E-41.00.00.00107911230.00123281590.00123281591.00.00.0107388710.0122658160.0122658161.00.0
7.01.7462342E-51.9691908E-51.9691908E-51.00.07.483646E-58.439129E-58.439129E-51.00.09.1075303E-40.00102700250.00102700251.00.00.0090702950.0102272070.0102272071.00.0
7.11.4807709E-51.6491105E-51.6491105E-51.00.06.3460066E-57.0674345E-57.0674345E-51.00.07.723524E-48.6013705E-48.6013705E-41.00.00.0076967350.00857207550.00857207551.00.0
7.21.4180048E-51.5745785E-51.5745785E-51.00.06.077022E-56.748029E-56.748029E-51.00.07.396263E-48.212791E-48.212791E-41.00.00.00737169430.00818640.00818641.00.0
7.31.3730402E-51.52181065E-51.52181065E-51.00.05.8843252E-56.521891E-56.521891E-51.00.07.161811E-47.937672E-47.937672E-41.00.00.0071387740.0079132630.0079132631.00.0
7.41.2810095E-51.4152281E-51.4152281E-51.00.05.489925E-56.0651317E-56.0651317E-51.00.06.681934E-47.381955E-47.381955E-41.00.00.0066618780.0073613390.0073613391.00.0
7.51.1595659E-51.28409865E-51.28409865E-51.00.04.9694736E-55.5031727E-55.5031727E-51.00.06.0486543E-46.6982105E-46.6982105E-41.00.00.0060322170.00668190330.00668190331.00.0
7.62.997694E-63.3394838E-63.3394838E-61.00.01.28471975E-51.4312037E-51.4312037E-51.00.01.564034E-41.7424245E-41.7424245E-41.00.00.00156293370.00174349690.00174349691.00.0

Cedar Mtn-Mahogany Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7763876E-52.961599E-53.9615694E-51.33764541.0E-51.1898261E-41.269199E-41.3691862E-41.07877981.0E-50.00144765060.00154422460.00155420921.00646581.0E-50.01438256350.0153421780.0153520251.00064181.0E-5
6.11.6162443E-51.7157457E-51.7157457E-51.00.06.926578E-57.352999E-57.352999E-51.00.08.4298453E-48.9487765E-48.9487765E-41.00.00.0083979390.0089145570.0089145571.00.0
6.21.6162443E-51.7157457E-51.7157457E-51.00.06.926578E-57.352999E-57.352999E-51.00.08.4298453E-48.9487765E-48.9487765E-41.00.00.0083979390.0089145570.0089145571.00.0
6.39.746053E-61.03113525E-51.03113525E-51.00.04.1768133E-54.4190783E-54.4190783E-51.00.05.0840835E-45.378941E-45.378941E-41.00.00.00507246750.0053663410.0053663411.00.0
6.49.746053E-61.03113525E-51.03113525E-51.00.04.1768133E-54.4190783E-54.4190783E-51.00.05.0840835E-45.378941E-45.378941E-41.00.00.00507246750.0053663410.0053663411.00.0
6.57.290083E-67.701278E-67.701278E-61.00.03.124284E-53.3005075E-53.3005075E-51.00.03.8031515E-44.0176488E-44.0176488E-41.00.00.00379664940.00401060560.00401060561.00.0
6.65.67907E-65.993704E-65.993704E-61.00.02.4338644E-52.5687055E-52.5687055E-51.00.02.962827E-43.126964E-43.126964E-41.00.00.00295887980.00312270040.00312270041.00.0
6.73.4853963E-63.6753763E-63.6753763E-61.00.01.4937327E-51.575152E-51.575152E-51.00.01.8184677E-41.9175852E-41.9175852E-41.00.00.00181698040.00191599260.00191599261.00.0
6.82.7535168E-62.9037471E-62.9037471E-61.00.01.1800733E-51.2444574E-51.2444574E-51.00.01.4366445E-41.5150264E-41.5150264E-41.00.00.00143571620.00151404090.00151404091.00.0
6.91.6594106E-61.7510232E-61.7510232E-61.00.07.1117406E-67.5043654E-67.5043654E-61.00.08.6582E-59.1362126E-59.1362126E-51.00.08.654827E-49.1327616E-49.1327616E-41.00.0
7.05.10215E-75.3934735E-75.3934735E-71.00.02.186634E-62.3114872E-62.3114872E-61.00.02.6621943E-52.8142122E-52.8142122E-51.00.02.6618753E-42.8139816E-42.8139816E-41.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.953738E-42.953738E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00126541660.00126541661.00.00.0084200970.01531895250.0153287991.00064281.0E-50.0810811450.140140320.140148921.00006141.0E-5
6.11.6204086E-42.953738E-42.953738E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00126541660.00126541661.00.00.0084200970.01531895250.0153287991.00064281.0E-50.0810811450.140140320.140148921.00006141.0E-5
6.21.6204086E-42.953738E-42.953738E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00126541660.00126541661.00.00.0084200970.01531895250.0153287991.00064281.0E-50.0810811450.140140320.140148921.00006141.0E-5
6.31.0111737E-41.7808867E-41.7808867E-41.00.04.332882E-47.6313183E-47.6313183E-41.00.00.0052625310.0092724690.0092724691.00.00.05139640.0873793660.0873793661.00.0
6.41.0111737E-41.7808867E-41.7808867E-41.00.04.332882E-47.6313183E-47.6313183E-41.00.00.0052625310.0092724690.0092724691.00.00.05139640.0873793660.0873793661.00.0
6.53.6624708E-54.6708046E-54.6708046E-51.00.01.569536E-42.0016398E-42.0016398E-41.00.00.0019092350.0024346380.0024346381.00.00.018929150.0238487390.0238487391.00.0
6.62.5051324E-52.6324818E-52.6324818E-51.00.01.073584E-41.1281602E-41.1281602E-41.00.00.00130630470.00137271490.00137271491.00.00.0129865250.013655440.013655441.00.0
6.72.2189772E-52.2203063E-52.2203063E-51.00.09.509556E-59.5152725E-59.5152725E-51.00.00.00115717340.00115790560.00115790561.00.00.0115116630.0115326720.0115326721.00.0
6.81.6654378E-51.45193535E-51.45193535E-51.00.07.137396E-56.2224346E-56.2224346E-51.00.08.686314E-47.573233E-47.573233E-41.00.00.0086524390.00755272430.00755272431.00.0
6.91.5042909E-51.2403498E-51.2403498E-51.00.06.446802E-55.3156782E-55.3156782E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.4699486E-46.4699486E-41.00.00.0078185090.00645521750.00645521751.00.0
7.01.4361385E-51.1516089E-51.1516089E-51.00.06.154734E-54.9353752E-54.9353752E-51.00.07.490812E-46.007192E-46.007192E-41.00.00.0074656120.00599491970.00599491971.00.0
7.11.3265571E-51.0303814E-51.0303814E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.415847E-54.415847E-51.00.06.919436E-45.374993E-45.374993E-41.00.00.0068979310.0053654380.0053654381.00.0
7.21.1596403E-58.555485E-68.555485E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6665857E-53.6665857E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4631708E-44.4631708E-41.00.00.0060326030.0044556560.0044556561.00.0
7.31.0150827E-57.280803E-67.280803E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.1203075E-53.1203075E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.798327E-43.798327E-41.00.00.0052825810.00379224750.00379224751.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.386582E-66.386582E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7370786E-52.7370786E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.3318973E-43.3318973E-41.00.00.0047269960.00332705840.00332705841.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.253654E-65.253654E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2515473E-52.2515473E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7409266E-42.7409266E-41.00.00.00399497060.00273767230.00273767231.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.7128374E-64.7128374E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0197725E-52.0197725E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.4588074E-42.4588074E-41.00.00.00364069640.00245620430.00245620431.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.3427244E-62.3427244E-61.00.01.7843471E-51.0040213E-51.0040213E-51.00.02.172226E-41.2223348E-41.2223348E-41.00.00.00217010380.00122173630.00122173631.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.4382514E-89.4382514E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0449643E-74.0449643E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.9247365E-64.9247365E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.9246602E-54.9246602E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.458379E-93.458379E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4821624E-81.4821624E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.8045326E-71.8045326E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.8045313E-61.8045313E-61.00.0

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7703277E-54.7703277E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0442753E-42.144255E-41.0489071.0E-50.00217929340.00248622990.00249620481.00401211.0E-50.0215804520.0246018340.0246115891.00039651.0E-5
6.14.1810763E-54.7703277E-54.7703277E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0442753E-42.144255E-41.0489071.0E-50.00217929340.00248622990.00249620481.00401211.0E-50.0215804520.0246018340.0246115891.00039651.0E-5
6.24.1810763E-54.7703277E-54.7703277E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0442753E-42.144255E-41.0489071.0E-50.00217929340.00248622990.00249620481.00401211.0E-50.0215804520.0246018340.0246115891.00039651.0E-5
6.34.1810763E-54.7703277E-54.7703277E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0442753E-42.144255E-41.0489071.0E-50.00217929340.00248622990.00249620481.00401211.0E-50.0215804520.0246018340.0246115891.00039651.0E-5
6.44.1810763E-54.7703277E-54.7703277E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0442753E-42.144255E-41.0489071.0E-50.00217929340.00248622990.00249620481.00401211.0E-50.0215804520.0246018340.0246115891.00039651.0E-5
6.53.154503E-53.5440433E-53.5440433E-51.00.01.3518598E-41.5187926E-41.6187773E-41.06583181.0E-50.00164464670.0018476540.00185763561.00540231.0E-50.016325280.0183326150.0183424321.00053551.0E-5
6.63.1535834E-53.542979E-53.542979E-51.00.01.3514658E-41.5183365E-41.6183213E-41.06585161.0E-50.00164416760.00184709990.00185708131.00540391.0E-50.016320560.0183271640.0183369821.00053561.0E-5
6.72.8267326E-53.15399E-53.15399E-51.00.01.2114006E-41.3516449E-41.4516314E-41.07397391.0E-50.00147388240.00164447080.00165445441.0060711.0E-50.0146414520.0163318270.0163416641.00060221.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.1477666E-53.1477666E-51.00.01.20906756E-41.3489778E-41.4489643E-41.07412021.0E-50.00147104570.00164122870.00165121231.0060831.0E-50.0146134590.0162998810.016309721.00060361.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.676565E-52.676565E-51.00.01.03829596E-41.1470532E-41.2470417E-41.08716991.0E-50.00126339230.00139571890.00140570491.00715481.0E-50.0125623360.0138772570.0138871181.00071061.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.589233E-52.589233E-51.00.01.0064714E-41.10962836E-41.20961726E-41.09011031.0E-50.00122469010.00135021130.00136019781.00739621.0E-50.0121796270.013427750.0134376161.00073471.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.451613E-52.451613E-51.00.09.561782E-51.05065315E-41.15064264E-41.09516881.0E-50.00116352520.00127849480.0012884821.00781171.0E-50.011574520.01271894950.0127288221.00077621.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.7707005E-51.7707005E-51.00.07.085802E-57.588532E-58.588456E-51.13176771.0E-58.623549E-49.235759E-49.3356665E-41.01081751.0E-50.0085901610.00920368450.0092135931.00107661.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5591642E-51.5591642E-51.00.06.301173E-56.681996E-57.681929E-51.14964591.0E-57.668978E-48.132913E-48.2328316E-41.01228571.0E-50.00764256580.0081092530.0081191721.00122321.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.537098E-65.537098E-61.00.02.6284872E-52.3730207E-52.3730207E-51.00.03.199713E-42.888775E-42.888775E-41.00.00.00319510980.00288507440.00288507441.00.0
7.55.954766E-65.3464537E-65.3464537E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.2913175E-52.2913175E-51.00.03.1066386E-42.789327E-42.789327E-41.00.00.0031022990.00278588010.00278588011.00.0
7.64.9726646E-64.3220716E-64.3220716E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.8523035E-51.8523035E-51.00.02.5943352E-42.2549495E-42.2549495E-41.00.00.00259130840.0022526960.0022526961.00.0
7.73.3613894E-62.8574768E-62.8574768E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.22462725E-51.22462725E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4908843E-41.4908843E-41.00.00.00175239080.00148991050.00148991051.00.0
7.81.1828961E-61.0136695E-61.0136695E-61.00.05.069545E-64.3442906E-64.3442906E-61.00.06.171996E-55.2890482E-55.2890482E-51.00.06.170282E-45.287819E-45.287819E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.863636E-71.863636E-71.00.09.843111E-77.987009E-77.987009E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.724143E-69.724143E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.723746E-59.723746E-51.00.0