Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.8658578E-40.00743320415.2762460.006959.6485513E-40.0020837390.0116537565.5927140.009590.0116839880.025072240.0386919831.54321990.013970.110884230.21700460.231208131.06545270.01814
6.12.2521618E-44.8658578E-40.00609385612.5237040.005619.6485513E-40.0020837390.0097876534.69715830.007720.0116839880.025072240.0360401761.43745340.011250.110884230.21700460.228451981.05275190.01462
6.22.198148E-44.7721204E-40.00605454912.6873350.005589.417233E-40.0020436290.0097079344.75034050.007680.0114053430.0245956780.0355202071.44416450.01120.108374280.213396460.224849421.05366980.01456
6.32.1704129E-44.7152198E-40.00596892912.6588550.00559.298453E-40.0020192810.0095739954.7412890.007570.0112622340.0243060920.035048481.44196280.011010.1070827250.211283550.222593741.05353090.01434
6.41.876142E-44.100829E-40.004908237611.9688910.00458.038131E-40.00175632940.007945444.52388950.00620.009742590.021176570.0299664051.41507360.008980.0932636860.188032780.197500321.05035040.01166
6.51.7390939E-43.8405263E-40.004462485711.6194640.004087.45113E-40.00164491440.00733553854.4595260.00570.0090340780.0198474270.0280218981.41186560.008340.0867552160.177792850.186664481.04989860.01079
6.61.591791E-43.577292E-40.004146373411.5908160.003796.8201777E-40.00153223510.0067741914.42111730.005250.0082719960.0184992090.0259782431.40428950.007620.079707740.167098020.175285441.04899780.00983
6.71.4268003E-43.2883286E-40.003747708211.3970.003426.1134255E-40.00140853130.00609192534.32501940.004690.0074177230.017017470.023741071.39509990.006840.071749560.155085850.16252111.04794280.0088
6.81.239713E-42.974821E-40.003296589711.081640.0035.3119735E-40.00127430690.00532913354.18198540.004060.00644816740.0154058450.0212543351.3796280.005940.062642430.141125590.147713151.04667880.00767
6.91.0180238E-42.6788283E-40.002917172910.8897350.002654.3622297E-40.00114756860.0047034834.09865140.003560.0052980890.0138831880.0189518281.36509190.005140.051735430.127124640.132920531.04559220.00664
7.07.6619996E-52.2802793E-40.00224756739.8565440.002023.283301E-49.768999E-40.00373420353.8225040.002760.00399009320.0118296270.0157823081.33413410.0040.0391920660.108922190.113520151.04221330.00516
7.17.5127435E-52.2480762E-40.00220436259.8055510.001983.2193496E-49.631088E-40.00366050843.80072160.00270.00391251550.011663530.0155180421.33047560.00390.0384434420.1074678150.111984031.04202390.00506
7.26.788582E-52.0594627E-40.00195558589.4956120.001752.9090676E-48.823314E-40.0032902053.728990.002410.00353603860.0106901330.0141329321.32205380.003480.0348030.099098830.1031528861.04090920.0045
7.36.399602E-51.9209893E-40.00185178019.6397210.001662.7423984E-48.2302437E-40.00306118073.71942930.002240.00333375860.0099748930.0131627741.31959040.003220.032841880.092942270.0967519061.04098940.0042
7.44.506759E-51.2822106E-40.00120808259.4218730.001081.9313251E-45.49404E-40.00199860733.63777380.001450.00234885260.006668660.0087149221.30684770.002060.0232418050.063648330.066036021.03751390.00255
7.53.43289E-59.5838586E-57.1577914E-47.46859036.2E-41.4711556E-44.1067248E-40.0013003073.16628728.9E-40.00178966030.004988540.0062124041.24533510.001230.017753160.048164790.049583021.02944540.00149
7.62.5980507E-57.264212E-54.0261814E-45.5424893.3E-41.1134028E-43.1128636E-48.211276E-42.6378535.1E-40.0013547250.00378335060.0045105891.19222077.3E-40.0134649590.0367940780.0376705941.02382229.1E-4
7.71.7292105E-55.1172872E-52.711616E-45.2989332.2E-47.4106916E-52.1929391E-45.292259E-42.4133183.1E-49.018782E-40.00266664060.00310546721.16456164.4E-40.0089822670.0260920770.0266082471.01978275.3E-4
7.81.2927471E-54.119866E-51.9119248E-44.6407451.5E-45.5402274E-51.7655375E-43.665202E-42.07596951.9E-46.743139E-40.00214742540.0024268241.13010872.8E-40.00672271430.0211144630.0214277061.01483553.2E-4
7.91.0200774E-52.995314E-51.3994984E-44.67229271.1E-44.371687E-51.2836429E-42.683463E-42.0905061.4E-45.321229E-40.00156171610.00176140371.12786422.0E-40.0053085050.0155485050.0157650841.01392922.2E-4
8.08.650396E-62.4308949E-51.14306764E-44.702259.0E-53.70726E-51.0417706E-42.2416456E-42.1517651.2E-44.5126543E-40.00126761860.00141742851.11818211.5E-40.00450350160.0126902560.0128580991.01322621.7E-4
8.13.9368224E-67.773885E-61.7773807E-52.2863481.0E-51.6871985E-53.3316224E-54.3315893E-51.30014411.0E-52.0539707E-44.0554968E-44.2554157E-41.04929582.0E-50.00205207310.00422153160.0042514051.00707643.0E-5
8.21.7101195E-62.393427E-61.2393403E-55.17809961.0E-57.329063E-61.0257504E-52.0257401E-51.97488611.0E-58.922769E-51.2487799E-41.4487549E-41.16013632.0E-58.9191867E-40.00135633780.00137631061.01472562.0E-5
8.33.0346666E-81.8987103E-81.8987103E-81.00.01.3005713E-78.13733E-88.13733E-81.00.01.5834444E-69.907199E-79.907199E-71.00.01.5834332E-51.0310261E-51.0310261E-51.00.0

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.1969086E-40.006116780511.7700380.00560.00117788690.0022253860.0098882954.44340660.007680.01424676550.026758610.037649181.40699320.011190.133672490.23275190.243892361.04786410.01452
6.12.5356023E-44.9910875E-40.00606632912.1543230.005570.0010862340.00213732360.0097609944.5669240.007640.0131449280.0257196370.0365633781.42161330.011130.1239401550.22373540.23496021.050170.01446
6.22.4820742E-44.8984325E-40.006027129512.30420.005540.00106331240.00209767840.0096817364.61545320.00760.012869190.0252488930.0360491351.42775110.011080.121489270.220200140.231429261.05099510.0144
6.32.3205351E-44.700703E-40.00590751312.5672970.005449.94136E-40.00201306960.0094780124.70823860.007480.0120365990.024236810.03483361.43721880.010860.114051330.211813480.222950551.05257960.01413
6.42.0304754E-44.0957078E-40.004847752411.8361770.004448.6991355E-40.0017541380.007853424.47708230.006110.0105398690.0211550780.0298080671.40902660.008840.1005376350.188955170.198265951.04927520.01148
6.51.854992E-43.8000656E-40.00440847511.601050.004037.9475436E-40.00162759610.0072484334.45345930.005630.0096332810.0196470770.0277055781.41016280.008220.09226230.177025180.18577341.0494180.01063
6.61.6586106E-43.4958072E-40.004088273311.6947910.003747.106394E-40.00149735370.00667958244.4609250.005190.0086177630.0180840530.0254582431.4077730.007510.082911320.164264710.172362981.04930020.00969
6.71.4224656E-43.1578695E-40.003694719611.7000380.003386.094856E-40.00135267950.0059864034.42558860.004640.00739526930.0163478930.0229777081.40554560.006740.071539550.149627150.156991381.04921720.00866
6.81.2317259E-42.8469934E-40.003243856611.3939730.002965.2777573E-40.00121957610.00522468574.2840180.004010.00640675470.0147487230.0205124431.39079450.005850.062251660.135658280.142175421.04804090.00754
6.99.859898E-52.5519723E-40.002864531211.2247740.002614.2249862E-40.00109324840.0045994114.2071050.003510.00513179460.0132300730.018213261.37665620.005050.050148930.121470960.127190191.0470830.00651
7.07.3191884E-52.1640267E-40.00219597410.1476310.001983.136418E-49.271136E-40.00363460113.92034050.002710.0038119040.0112298970.0151157631.34602870.003930.0374717640.103606390.108142141.04377870.00506
7.17.1760296E-52.1336468E-40.002152950710.0904740.001943.0750787E-49.141028E-40.00356168043.89636730.002650.0037374820.0110731120.0148607011.34205290.003830.036752450.1022242460.106677211.04356070.00496
7.26.46614E-51.9491237E-40.00190457919.7714630.001712.7709085E-48.3507446E-40.00319310373.82373550.002360.00336836280.0101202770.0134957671.33353730.003410.0331776250.0939910040.097977441.0424130.0044
7.36.088115E-51.8147468E-40.00181117899.9803390.001632.6089314E-47.775198E-40.00297580923.827310.00220.00317174760.0094258090.0125560241.33208980.003160.0312685850.087989910.0917382761.04259990.00411
7.44.199346E-51.1773656E-40.0011676139.9171660.001051.7995955E-45.044886E-40.00191377723.79349970.001410.00218880570.0061250260.0081127761.32452920.0020.021673720.0586032160.0609190541.03951720.00246
7.53.130448E-58.552235E-56.754719E-47.89819155.9E-41.3415517E-43.664732E-40.00121616163.31855568.5E-40.00163211530.0044527450.00561753571.26158930.001170.0162018030.043117810.0444574471.03106920.0014
7.62.3074248E-56.266301E-53.626442E-45.78721333.0E-49.888588E-52.6852827E-47.384021E-42.74981144.7E-40.00120327060.00326445470.0039422351.20762436.8E-40.0119677610.0318543870.032667631.025538.4E-4
7.71.45864815E-54.160115E-52.3159325E-45.56699131.9E-46.2511994E-51.7827848E-44.4823036E-42.51421452.7E-47.608177E-40.00216838550.00255753981.17946733.9E-40.0075821820.0213036430.0217538441.02113264.6E-4
7.81.0352979E-53.2186945E-51.5218309E-44.72811.2E-44.4369157E-51.3793677E-42.979147E-42.15979171.6E-45.400606E-40.0016780890.00192766951.1487292.5E-40.00538750.0165767190.0168619121.01720442.9E-4
7.98.137906E-62.3125207E-51.13123126E-44.8917679.0E-53.4876273E-59.9104276E-52.1909238E-42.21072581.2E-44.2453592E-40.00120592770.00138571071.14908271.8E-40.0042372580.0120713170.0122689031.01636822.0E-4
8.06.93792E-61.8844921E-59.884341E-55.24509578.0E-52.9733603E-58.076145E-51.9075257E-42.36192581.1E-43.6194647E-49.82828E-40.00112269041.14230611.4E-40.00361357510.0098925920.0100510091.01601371.6E-4
8.13.4286315E-66.7711676E-61.67711E-52.47684031.0E-51.4694053E-52.9018967E-53.9018676E-51.34459221.0E-51.7888541E-43.532488E-43.7324172E-41.05659742.0E-50.00178741480.00367958450.0037094741.0081233.0E-5
8.21.4906886E-62.0911061E-61.2091085E-55.78214841.0E-56.3886496E-68.9618525E-61.8961762E-52.11583071.0E-57.7779034E-51.0910512E-41.2910295E-41.18328942.0E-57.775182E-40.00118639820.00120637451.01683772.0E-5
8.32.5758007E-81.6001133E-81.6001133E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.8576284E-86.8576284E-81.00.01.3440151E-68.3491625E-78.3491625E-71.00.01.344007E-58.685864E-68.685864E-61.00.0

Elmore Ranch

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.102099E-59.013691E-50.00334984337.1639440.003263.9003167E-43.8624078E-40.004894498712.6721440.004510.00473830.00469286370.0112021722.38706540.006540.0463853480.0461670760.054026661.17024220.00824
6.13.8306698E-54.1808576E-50.001571744637.593830.001531.6416123E-41.7916592E-40.002268791412.6630750.002090.00199683060.00217963270.00510324632.34133320.002930.0197898280.0217872580.0253479521.16343010.00364
6.23.8306698E-54.1808576E-50.001571744637.593830.001531.6416123E-41.7916592E-40.002268791412.6630750.002090.00199683060.00217963270.00510324632.34133320.002930.0197898280.0217872580.0253479521.16343010.00364
6.33.3197924E-53.6807087E-50.001416756338.4913980.001381.4226905E-41.5773624E-40.002027441312.8533640.001870.00173074950.00191930380.00452429432.3572580.002610.0171733180.019219970.0224173121.16635530.00326
6.42.5148964E-52.7571052E-50.001127540740.895820.00111.0777682E-41.1815999E-40.001617982813.6931530.00150.00131139290.00143830250.00357522442.48572520.002140.013036810.0144425720.0169951651.17674090.00259
6.52.5148964E-52.7571052E-50.001127540740.895820.00111.0777682E-41.1815999E-40.001617982813.6931530.00150.00131139290.00143830250.00357522442.48572520.002140.013036810.0144425720.0169951651.17674090.00259

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.3225454E-40.0028314248.5218520.00255.110118E-40.00142317580.00479836533.37159010.003380.00620383540.0171908830.0220066481.28013480.00490.0603347530.154593690.159987391.03488950.00638
6.11.1925945E-43.3225454E-40.0028314248.5218520.00255.110118E-40.00142317580.00479836533.37159010.003380.00620383540.0171908830.0220066481.28013480.00490.0603347530.154593690.159987391.03488950.00638
6.21.07432395E-43.072308E-40.0027764729.0370880.002474.603433E-40.00131604310.00465164753.53457070.003340.0055902860.0159062460.020669261.2994430.004840.054517310.143755760.149141551.03746470.00629
6.31.0718766E-43.0668362E-40.00277592619.0514330.002474.592948E-40.00131370050.00463932573.53149440.003330.0055775860.015878140.020631451.29936180.004830.0543965550.143524450.148903121.03747560.00628
6.41.0355944E-42.9875786E-40.00275802299.2316330.002464.4375064E-40.00127976670.00459551763.5909030.003320.00538928850.0154709350.020206521.30609560.004810.0526044960.14008790.145462351.03836490.00625
6.51.0227914E-42.9595E-40.00274522499.2759750.002454.382655E-40.00126774470.0045635613.59974770.00330.00532283540.0153266370.0200333741.30709530.004780.0519713160.138871280.144218891.03850770.00621
6.61.0116757E-42.9360547E-40.0027428869.3420810.002454.3350324E-40.00125770630.00454356853.6125830.003290.00526513670.0152061310.0199035981.30891930.004770.0514212470.137849910.143186631.03871390.00619
6.71.0050676E-42.921897E-40.00273147679.3482990.002444.3067214E-40.00125164470.00452753953.6172720.003280.0052308340.0151333590.0198213231.30977690.004760.0510940850.137235850.14255911.03878920.00617
6.89.976819E-52.902181E-40.00270951599.3361370.002424.2750788E-40.0012432030.004499153.61899880.003260.00519249360.0150320040.0196909031.3099320.004730.0507282950.136385810.141679781.0388160.00613
6.99.77719E-52.85151E-40.00269446389.4492520.002414.1895514E-40.00122150740.00446753763.65739680.003250.00508885550.0147714720.0194020461.31348090.00470.0497388880.134206560.139470591.03922330.00608
7.08.500761E-52.5221848E-40.0022717099.0069090.002023.6426744E-40.00108049190.0038474993.5608770.002770.00442594060.0130764440.0170340071.30264830.004010.043388230.120002620.1245610041.03798570.00518
7.18.319876E-52.4819223E-40.00222770088.9757070.001983.5651738E-40.00106325070.00377036933.54607750.002710.0043319630.0128690310.0167287141.29992020.003910.0424848460.118205280.12268481.0378960.00508
7.27.563917E-52.2853486E-40.0019781358.65572550.001753.2412758E-49.790706E-40.00339670133.4693120.002420.00393911450.0118557480.0153043721.2908820.003490.038700180.109574080.11359881.03673060.00452
7.37.082985E-52.1152057E-40.00187116948.8462760.001663.0352117E-49.0620475E-40.00315416583.48063250.002250.00368910960.0109778750.0141724171.29099810.003230.036284650.1020418850.1058222951.03704760.00421
7.45.146215E-51.461925E-40.00122603468.386440.001082.2053342E-46.2638975E-40.00208547533.32935710.001460.00268168840.0075998240.0096540931.27030470.002070.026495570.0723551960.074729971.0328210.00256
7.54.0285166E-51.12413974E-47.323443E-46.51470856.2E-41.7263928E-44.8168554E-40.00137125692.84678848.9E-40.0020998570.0058488250.00707163061.20906870.001230.0208012540.0563425650.0577486161.02495540.00149
7.63.1168736E-58.699106E-54.1696234E-44.79316333.3E-41.3357346E-43.7276567E-48.825756E-42.36764175.1E-40.00162504370.0045290060.00525569961.16045337.3E-40.0161321160.0439798270.0448498061.01978149.1E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.4636355E-52.8462213E-44.4034372.2E-49.4715084E-52.769836E-45.868977E-42.11888983.1E-40.0011525460.00336706750.0038055861.13023754.4E-40.0114658670.032918890.033431441.01557025.3E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.3767173E-52.037591E-43.78965641.5E-47.493296E-52.3041041E-44.2036662E-41.82442561.9E-49.1192697E-40.00280164110.00308085681.09966152.8E-40.0090819380.0275343750.0278455631.01130193.2E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.982527E-51.4982089E-43.76195551.1E-45.985842E-51.7066857E-43.1064468E-41.82016341.4E-47.2853256E-40.00207591080.00227549581.09614322.0E-40.00726148770.0206481960.0208636541.01043462.2E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.2436372E-51.2243346E-43.7745739.0E-55.094499E-51.3900561E-42.5898893E-41.86315441.2E-46.200787E-40.00169108060.0018408271.08855071.5E-40.0061835130.0169163460.0170834721.00987951.7E-4
8.15.100864E-69.533127E-61.9533032E-52.04896381.0E-52.1860664E-54.085562E-55.085521E-51.24475431.0E-52.6612106E-44.973038E-45.172938E-41.04019692.0E-50.0026580260.0051956930.00522553731.0057443.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-63.012707E-61.3012677E-54.3192641.0E-59.859027E-61.2911538E-52.2911408E-51.77449111.0E-51.2002704E-41.5718667E-41.7718352E-41.12721732.0E-50.00119962230.00171375580.00173372151.01165032.0E-5
8.31.0424446E-76.415093E-86.415093E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.7493252E-72.7493252E-71.00.05.439312E-63.3472986E-63.3472986E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.5102283E-53.5102283E-51.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3821177E-40.0016978647.127540.001463.5633717E-40.00102050310.00300847232.94802860.001990.0043297780.0123537410.01520803851.23104730.002890.0424638280.1143726260.117684871.02896010.00374
6.18.31567E-52.3821177E-40.0016978647.127540.001463.5633717E-40.00102050310.00300847232.94802860.001990.0043297780.0123537410.01520803851.23104730.002890.0424638280.1143726260.117684871.02896010.00374
6.28.31567E-52.3821177E-40.0016978647.127540.001463.5633717E-40.00102050310.00300847232.94802860.001990.0043297780.0123537410.01520803851.23104730.002890.0424638280.1143726260.117684871.02896010.00374
6.38.31567E-52.3821177E-40.0016978647.127540.001463.5633717E-40.00102050310.00300847232.94802860.001990.0043297780.0123537410.01520803851.23104730.002890.0424638280.1143726260.117684871.02896010.00374
6.48.059055E-52.3376347E-40.00169342227.2441690.001463.4534236E-40.00100145830.00298946542.98511240.001990.00419643940.0121248060.0149797651.23546430.002890.0411807450.1123480050.115667821.02954950.00374
6.58.059055E-52.3376347E-40.00169342227.2441690.001463.4534236E-40.00100145830.00298946542.98511240.001990.00419643940.0121248060.0149797651.23546430.002890.0411807450.1123480050.115667821.02954950.00374
6.67.619237E-52.2617403E-40.00168584387.4537460.001463.2649786E-49.6895953E-40.00295703143.05175920.001990.00396786770.01173383650.0145701611.24172170.002870.038977640.108876650.112182721.03036520.00371
6.77.440636E-52.2292344E-40.0016825987.54787350.001463.188454E-49.5503865E-40.00294313813.08169530.001990.00387503460.0115661570.0143930781.24441310.002860.0380815640.10738440.110687081.03075560.0037
6.87.3735864E-52.213865E-40.00168106337.5933420.001463.1597257E-49.484566E-40.0029365693.09615560.001990.00384018150.0114868710.0143140181.24611990.002860.037744950.1066834550.109988731.0309820.0037
6.97.27575E-52.1906683E-40.0016787477.66317270.001463.117806E-49.385224E-40.00292665463.11836430.001990.0037893230.0113671910.014194681.24874130.002860.0372535620.105629430.1089386051.03132810.0037
7.07.102591E-52.1488908E-40.00167457547.79274270.001463.0436125E-49.2063047E-40.00290879843.15957210.001990.0036993030.0111516040.0139797111.25360540.002860.036383250.103728720.107035961.03188360.00369
7.17.028513E-52.1323474E-40.00167292347.8454540.001463.0118722E-49.135454E-40.00290172733.17633630.001990.00366078970.0110662240.0138945751.25558410.002860.0360106860.102968420.1062784641.03214620.00369
7.26.8498244E-52.0928436E-40.00166897887.9746940.001462.9353087E-48.9662697E-40.00288484273.21743920.001990.0035678830.0108623110.0136912461.26043570.002860.0351114050.10115130.1044680551.03279010.00369
7.36.622592E-52.0149502E-40.00162120898.0459010.001422.8379448E-48.6326647E-40.0027816093.22219040.001920.00344972430.0104601170.0132011431.26204540.002770.0339666120.097628350.100858841.03308960.00358
7.45.1050705E-51.5049132E-40.00114034237.57746279.9E-42.1877038E-46.4480427E-40.00198394043.076810.001340.0026602760.0078224340.0097075721.24099110.00190.026286540.074414460.0765988451.02935420.00236
7.53.9302922E-51.1442539E-46.8436016E-45.98084165.7E-41.6843023E-44.903027E-40.00130990072.67161638.2E-40.00204870920.005953170.00706650221.1870150.001120.0202992470.057386150.0586681031.02233910.00136
7.62.9851626E-58.7665365E-53.676408E-44.19368362.8E-41.2792926E-43.7565472E-48.1548945E-42.17084844.4E-40.00155642590.0045640320.00518120271.13522486.2E-40.01545569950.04440420.0451591241.01700127.9E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.58974E-52.358862E-43.5795981.7E-49.0576345E-52.823869E-45.223191E-41.84965782.4E-40.00110220910.00343264620.00376151341.09580583.3E-40.0109675820.0336452570.0340414641.0117764.1E-4
7.81.883379E-55.7805013E-52.0779634E-43.59478071.5E-48.0713755E-52.4771228E-44.376652E-41.76682891.9E-49.822468E-40.00301172930.0032908861.09268992.8E-40.00977916550.0296715130.0299820171.01046483.2E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.3426073E-51.534213E-43.53293041.1E-46.495346E-51.8609848E-43.2607242E-41.75214991.4E-47.9052144E-40.0022633960.00246294331.08816282.0E-40.0078771520.0225689340.0227839691.00952792.2E-4
8.01.1405907E-53.1306437E-51.2130362E-43.87471829.0E-54.8881542E-51.3416355E-42.5414745E-41.89431071.2E-45.9497025E-40.00163221850.00178197361.09174941.5E-40.0059337980.016389730.0165569451.01020241.7E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.853632E-61.7853554E-52.2732861.0E-51.8647626E-53.365799E-54.3657656E-51.29709631.0E-52.2701119E-44.0970914E-44.2970094E-41.04879512.0E-50.00226779420.00435696030.00438682971.00685553.0E-5
8.22.3042528E-62.9593311E-61.2959302E-54.3791321.0E-59.875332E-61.2682787E-52.268266E-51.78846031.0E-51.2022553E-41.5440203E-41.7439896E-41.1295122.0E-50.00120160510.00171566860.00173563431.01163722.0E-5
8.35.202968E-73.4891963E-73.4891963E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.495369E-61.495369E-61.00.02.714798E-51.8205981E-51.8205981E-51.00.02.7144665E-42.141339E-42.141339E-41.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0522307E-48.250644E-42.7031525.2E-45.2857865E-40.00130746970.00207646281.58815387.7E-40.0064164720.0158073030.016870231.06724290.001080.062343370.145006580.146118071.00766520.0013
6.11.2336002E-43.0522307E-48.250644E-42.7031525.2E-45.2857865E-40.00130746970.00207646281.58815387.7E-40.0064164720.0158073030.016870231.06724290.001080.062343370.145006580.146118071.00766520.0013
6.21.2336002E-43.0522307E-48.250644E-42.7031525.2E-45.2857865E-40.00130746970.00207646281.58815387.7E-40.0064164720.0158073030.016870231.06724290.001080.062343370.145006580.146118071.00766520.0013
6.31.1712257E-42.9305476E-48.129024E-42.77389245.2E-45.018573E-40.00125537060.0020244041.61259477.7E-40.0060930080.0151819550.0162455591.0700570.001080.0592863220.139716970.140835331.00800450.0013
6.41.1712257E-42.9305476E-48.129024E-42.77389245.2E-45.018573E-40.00125537060.0020244041.61259477.7E-40.0060930080.0151819550.0162455591.0700570.001080.0592863220.139716970.140835331.00800450.0013
6.51.0689076E-42.730984E-47.929564E-42.90355545.2E-44.5802278E-40.0011699220.00193902121.65739367.7E-40.00556217830.0141554740.0152201861.07521560.001080.054250030.13093710.132066891.00862850.0013
6.69.7648895E-52.5546507E-47.753322E-43.03498325.2E-44.1842813E-40.0010944150.00186357231.70280237.7E-40.0050824690.0132475390.0143132321.08044460.001080.0496778860.123016910.124156981.00926770.0013
6.78.757013E-52.3609128E-47.559685E-43.2020185.2E-43.7524657E-40.00101145010.00178067121.76051337.7E-40.004559060.0122490320.0133059261.08628380.001070.044666560.114358750.1155012251.00999030.00129
6.88.562978E-52.3165431E-47.5153384E-43.2442045.2E-43.6693315E-49.92449E-40.00176168491.77508847.7E-40.0044582630.0120202630.0130774021.08794640.001070.0436987580.1123636440.1135086941.01019060.00129
6.96.124075E-51.7506105E-46.8497175E-43.91275955.1E-42.6243398E-47.5004675E-40.00147949931.97254267.3E-40.00319045270.0090938010.0101045251.11114430.001020.0314503460.086055460.087188751.01316930.00124
7.05.8598747E-51.6930715E-46.7922083E-44.0117675.1E-42.5111332E-47.2540116E-40.00144487891.99183437.2E-40.00305301860.0087961990.0097973151.11381230.001010.030114140.083363740.084491211.01352470.00123
7.15.613814E-51.634496E-46.7336624E-44.1197185.1E-42.4056983E-47.00311E-40.00141980672.02739457.2E-40.00292500390.0084931430.00949456451.11790940.001010.0288680210.080645670.081776481.01402190.00123
7.24.991222E-51.4940699E-46.593308E-44.41298535.1E-42.1389198E-46.401589E-40.0013596982.12400087.2E-40.0026010250.0077661910.0087683471.12904080.001010.0257079120.074060760.075199671.0153780.00123
7.34.7410045E-51.4125448E-46.5118243E-44.6099955.1E-42.0317009E-46.052362E-40.00132480042.1888987.2E-40.00247078970.00734394560.0083465281.13651820.001010.0244349820.070308240.071451761.01626440.00123
7.44.5556746E-51.3526391E-46.451949E-44.7698975.1E-41.952286E-45.7957397E-40.00129915672.24157177.2E-40.0023743170.0070335670.0080364631.14258720.001010.0234910860.067540820.0686877441.01698120.00123
7.54.3084514E-51.275303E-46.2746654E-44.9201375.0E-41.8463485E-45.4644427E-40.00124606182.2803097.0E-40.00224561150.006632740.00761617351.14826959.9E-40.0222305450.063912390.065045061.01772210.00121
7.63.408608E-51.0192191E-43.4189745E-43.35450392.4E-41.4607502E-44.367352E-47.8658236E-41.8010513.5E-40.00177701250.0053043150.0058315041.09938865.3E-40.0176286960.051592440.0522563271.01286797.0E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.57974E-52.4578368E-42.86469841.6E-41.2134742E-43.6765134E-45.875705E-41.5981732.2E-40.00147640340.00446697840.00477559351.06908813.1E-40.014666330.043742880.044125381.00874444.0E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.7717224E-52.2770556E-42.9299241.5E-41.1237934E-43.3303132E-45.2296807E-41.57032691.9E-40.00136735970.0040471250.00432599151.06890492.8E-40.0135897680.0398156160.0401324781.00795823.3E-4
7.92.1469694E-56.044065E-51.70434E-42.81985741.1E-49.200973E-52.5900564E-43.989694E-41.54038871.4E-40.00111964280.00314883750.00334820761.06331552.0E-40.0111401840.03131320.0315359981.00711512.3E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.275854E-51.2275559E-43.74728519.0E-55.322855E-51.403862E-42.6036936E-41.85466481.2E-46.478649E-40.00170786310.00185760691.0876791.5E-40.00645979350.017192790.0173696951.01028951.8E-4
8.14.9197724E-68.354661E-61.8354578E-52.19692661.0E-52.1084568E-53.58052E-54.580484E-51.2792791.0E-52.566744E-44.3584127E-44.5583255E-41.04586832.0E-50.0025637810.00465077440.0046806351.00642053.0E-5
8.22.5634774E-63.1534594E-61.3153428E-54.17111061.0E-51.0986286E-51.3514756E-52.351462E-51.73992191.0E-51.3374983E-41.6452977E-41.8452649E-41.12153852.0E-50.00133669340.00183390060.00185386381.01088572.0E-5
8.35.2850464E-73.5434815E-73.5434815E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.5186341E-61.5186341E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.8489229E-51.8489229E-51.00.02.7572823E-42.1749511E-42.1749511E-41.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.2366908E-45.336011E-41.64860082.1E-46.115894E-40.00138642170.00170597811.230493.2E-40.00742070840.0167505870.0171733851.02524084.3E-40.071777480.153341960.153824571.00314715.7E-4
6.11.4273766E-43.2366908E-45.336011E-41.64860082.1E-46.115894E-40.00138642170.00170597811.230493.2E-40.00742070840.0167505870.0171733851.02524084.3E-40.071777480.153341960.153824571.00314715.7E-4
6.21.4273766E-43.2366908E-45.336011E-41.64860082.1E-46.115894E-40.00138642170.00170597811.230493.2E-40.00742070840.0167505870.0171733851.02524084.3E-40.071777480.153341960.153824571.00314715.7E-4
6.31.3730655E-43.1268035E-45.226147E-41.67140252.1E-45.883239E-40.00133937620.00165894761.23859723.2E-40.00713934420.0161864220.0166094621.02613544.3E-40.069142910.148656060.149141311.00326435.7E-4
6.41.3730655E-43.1268035E-45.226147E-41.67140252.1E-45.883239E-40.00133937620.00165894761.23859723.2E-40.00713934420.0161864220.0166094621.02613544.3E-40.069142910.148656060.149141311.00326435.7E-4
6.51.2942807E-42.9676995E-45.0670764E-41.70740882.1E-45.545738E-40.00127125660.00159084971.25139943.2E-40.00673105240.0153689940.0157923871.02754844.3E-40.065307880.141805280.142294441.00344965.7E-4
6.61.1125901E-42.6101735E-44.7096255E-41.80433422.1E-44.767372E-40.00111816860.00143781081.28586223.2E-40.0057888390.0135293850.01395356751.03135264.3E-40.0564034540.126061560.12655971.00395155.7E-4
6.71.02209575E-42.4231263E-44.5226174E-41.8664392.1E-44.3796748E-40.00103807080.00135773861.30794423.2E-40.00531922470.0125657180.01299031451.03379014.3E-40.0519369060.117889960.1183927661.00426515.7E-4
6.89.610582E-52.274708E-44.3742303E-41.92298542.1E-44.1181705E-49.745114E-40.00129419951.32804973.2E-40.00500235150.0118004140.012225341.03600944.3E-40.0489123460.111290870.111797441.00455185.7E-4
6.99.3877505E-52.2199657E-44.3194994E-41.94575062.1E-44.0227012E-49.5106766E-40.00127076331.3361443.2E-40.00488664540.0115180350.0119430821.03690284.3E-40.047805770.1088766750.109384611.00466535.7E-4
7.09.1019785E-52.152208E-44.2517562E-41.97553222.1E-43.900265E-49.2204945E-40.00123176361.33589763.1E-40.00473823770.011168410.0115837191.0371864.2E-40.0463847440.1058450640.1063457951.00473075.6E-4
7.18.771155E-52.0691552E-44.1687206E-42.01469682.1E-43.758525E-48.8648E-40.00119620521.34938763.1E-40.00456640640.0107396950.0111551841.03868724.2E-40.0447370560.102141850.102644651.00492265.6E-4
7.28.0830236E-51.9086205E-44.0082197E-42.10006122.1E-43.4636928E-48.177239E-40.00112747041.37879113.1E-40.00420889440.009910460.0103262971.04195954.2E-40.0413006580.094844880.095351761.00534445.6E-4
7.37.7668235E-51.8017837E-43.9014054E-42.16530182.1E-43.328214E-47.7196455E-40.00108172521.40126293.1E-40.00404457330.0093582550.00977432451.04446024.2E-40.039717480.0900798440.09058941.00565675.6E-4
7.47.520177E-51.7228584E-43.8224965E-42.21869442.1E-43.2225347E-47.3815905E-40.00104793021.41965373.1E-40.00391637950.0089501290.009366371.04650664.2E-40.0384807440.086514360.087025921.00591295.6E-4
7.57.274697E-51.6507528E-43.750406E-42.2719372.1E-43.1173544E-47.072737E-40.00101705451.43799273.1E-40.0037887750.0085771230.0089935211.04854754.2E-40.037248270.08320670.08372011.00617035.6E-4
7.67.1185845E-51.6071687E-43.7068312E-42.30643562.1E-43.0504653E-46.8860484E-49.983914E-41.44987563.1E-40.00370761780.0083515950.0087680881.04986984.2E-40.0364636670.0811781660.08169271.00633845.6E-4
7.76.709961E-51.4962815E-43.0960422E-42.06915761.6E-42.8753807E-46.4110593E-48.609649E-41.3429372.2E-40.0034951570.00777757450.0080950861.04082393.2E-40.0344069380.075946140.0763342461.00511034.2E-4
7.86.300812E-51.3812586E-42.8810516E-42.0858161.5E-42.7000686E-45.918337E-47.817213E-41.32084611.9E-40.00328237870.0071818030.00745979231.03870742.8E-40.0323431750.070471580.0707876161.00448473.4E-4
7.94.983037E-51.0204108E-42.1202986E-42.07788731.1E-42.1354125E-44.3724562E-45.7718443E-41.32004621.4E-40.00259676480.00531048370.00550942171.03746142.0E-40.0256662960.0528809470.0531082561.00429842.4E-4
8.03.2211527E-55.6149234E-51.4614419E-42.60278139.0E-51.380421E-42.4061739E-43.605885E-41.49859711.2E-40.00167936690.00292558320.00307514451.05112181.5E-40.0166673230.0297443960.0299287441.00619781.9E-4
8.11.743376E-52.01555E-53.0155297E-51.49613251.0E-57.471398E-58.6377855E-59.637699E-51.11576041.0E-59.0926304E-40.00105114370.00107112271.01900682.0E-50.0090555170.0111735970.0112032611.00265493.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.6478616E-61.5647805E-52.77057171.0E-53.3563636E-52.4204897E-53.4204655E-51.41312961.0E-54.0856065E-42.9465486E-43.1464896E-41.06785612.0E-50.0040781030.00330876540.00332869921.00602462.0E-5
8.31.983087E-68.552935E-78.552935E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6655385E-63.6655385E-61.00.01.034694E-44.462704E-54.462704E-51.00.00.00103421245.2299944E-45.2299944E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.845341E-48.444246E-41.23357561.6E-40.00133063760.0029305480.0031598741.07825362.3E-40.0160806050.035065030.0353834551.00908113.3E-40.14965490.289978530.290276741.00102844.2E-4
6.13.1064058E-46.845341E-48.444246E-41.23357561.6E-40.00133063760.0029305480.0031598741.07825362.3E-40.0160806050.035065030.0353834551.00908113.3E-40.14965490.289978530.290276741.00102844.2E-4
6.23.1064058E-46.845341E-48.444246E-41.23357561.6E-40.00133063760.0029305480.0031598741.07825362.3E-40.0160806050.035065030.0353834551.00908113.3E-40.14965490.289978530.290276741.00102844.2E-4
6.33.1064058E-46.845341E-48.444246E-41.23357561.6E-40.00133063760.0029305480.0031598741.07825362.3E-40.0160806050.035065030.0353834551.00908113.3E-40.14965490.289978530.290276741.00102844.2E-4
6.41.9872203E-44.4125482E-45.911886E-41.33978961.5E-48.5138786E-40.00188974990.00209935311.11091582.1E-40.0103164780.022771230.023074171.01330363.1E-40.0985048560.200654420.200974151.00159354.0E-4
6.51.291105E-42.9652222E-44.4647776E-41.50571431.5E-45.5321335E-40.00127019350.00147992681.16511922.1E-40.0067145920.0153558150.0156610551.01987783.1E-40.0651529650.141729150.142063871.00236183.9E-4
6.61.291105E-42.9652222E-44.4647776E-41.50571431.5E-45.5321335E-40.00127019350.00147992681.16511922.1E-40.0067145920.0153558150.0156610551.01987783.1E-40.0651529650.141729150.142063871.00236183.9E-4
6.71.08001186E-42.5220256E-44.021647E-41.59461011.5E-44.6278012E-40.00108042090.0012901941.19415872.1E-40.00561980160.0130751140.0133810611.02339913.1E-40.0547979060.122908430.12325051.00278313.9E-4
6.81.0624356E-42.4735453E-43.9731743E-41.6062671.5E-44.5525006E-40.00105966080.00126943821.19796662.1E-40.00552859250.0128253530.0131313771.02386093.1E-40.0539305660.120858950.121201811.0028373.9E-4
6.91.0393785E-42.4102561E-43.9098944E-41.62219051.5E-44.4537184E-40.00103255840.00124234161.20316832.1E-40.00540892870.01249920950.0128053341.02449153.1E-40.052791560.118151810.1184957251.00291093.9E-4
7.01.0155622E-42.3468345E-43.8464824E-41.63900891.5E-44.3516833E-40.00100539890.00121518781.20866232.1E-40.0052853110.0121722790.0124785051.02515773.1E-40.051613610.1154182260.115763221.0029893.9E-4
7.19.885595E-52.2752576E-43.7749164E-41.6591161.5E-44.2359953E-49.7474636E-40.00118454161.21523072.1E-40.00514513530.0118031810.0121095221.02595413.1E-40.050276290.1122946740.112640871.0030833.9E-4
7.29.6411415E-52.2111616E-43.71083E-41.67822651.5E-44.1312634E-49.472969E-40.0011570981.22147352.1E-40.0050182190.0114725510.0117789941.0267113.1E-40.0490640070.109480090.109827391.00317233.9E-4
7.39.1180635E-52.0317391E-43.5314343E-41.73813381.5E-43.907156E-48.704549E-40.00108027211.24104322.1E-40.0047465910.0105464190.010853151.02908383.1E-40.0464647860.101622560.101972921.00344783.9E-4
7.48.887388E-51.9556546E-43.4553613E-41.76685671.5E-43.8083247E-48.3786855E-40.00104769261.25042592.1E-40.00462678170.0101534470.0104602991.03022153.1E-40.0453162860.098238520.09859021.003583.9E-4
7.58.6750515E-51.8879352E-43.387652E-41.79436891.5E-43.7173493E-48.0886425E-40.00101869441.25941322.1E-40.0045164840.0098035530.0101105141.03131123.1E-40.044257870.0951796550.095532541.00370753.9E-4
7.68.453092E-51.8256452E-43.3253714E-41.82147741.5E-43.6222505E-47.8218477E-49.920205E-41.26826872.1E-40.00440117530.0094816040.0097886651.03238493.1E-40.043150240.09230710.0926611051.00383513.9E-4
7.78.259102E-51.7769616E-43.276695E-41.84398761.5E-43.539135E-47.6133275E-49.711729E-41.27562212.1E-40.0043003860.00922991150.009537051.03327643.1E-40.0421811340.0900268550.090381751.0039423.9E-4
7.87.444844E-51.6020177E-43.1017774E-41.93616931.5E-43.1902574E-46.863984E-48.7626796E-41.27661721.9E-40.00387722230.0083249360.0086026051.03335392.8E-40.038102690.0815751550.081887421.00382793.4E-4
7.95.2586525E-51.05114625E-42.1510306E-42.04636671.1E-42.2535135E-44.504135E-45.903504E-41.31068551.4E-40.00274020060.0054700090.0056689151.0363632.0E-40.0270665740.0545495040.0547764151.00415972.4E-4
8.03.379877E-55.7019086E-51.4701395E-42.57832889.0E-51.4484383E-42.4434464E-43.6431532E-41.49098971.2E-40.00176204710.00297083960.0031203941.05034081.5E-40.0174814090.0302728730.0304571221.00608621.9E-4
8.11.8668277E-52.0711466E-53.071126E-51.48281431.0E-58.000444E-58.876041E-59.875952E-51.11265291.0E-59.736188E-40.0010801230.00110010141.01849642.0E-50.0096936420.0115292950.0115589481.00257213.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.9963227E-61.5996264E-52.66767881.0E-53.660622E-52.5698273E-53.5698016E-51.38912121.0E-54.455896E-43.1283166E-43.328254E-41.06391222.0E-50.00444697170.00353242130.00355235071.00564182.0E-5
8.31.983087E-68.552935E-78.552935E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6655385E-63.6655385E-61.00.01.034694E-44.462704E-54.462704E-51.00.00.00103421245.2299944E-45.2299944E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.4193904E-59.681554E-51.8680682E-41.92951299.0E-52.7508775E-44.1486503E-45.648028E-41.36141341.5E-40.00334405010.0050406880.00529937731.05132032.6E-40.032941740.049223160.0495749451.00714683.7E-4
6.16.4193904E-59.681554E-51.8680682E-41.92951299.0E-52.7508775E-44.1486503E-45.648028E-41.36141341.5E-40.00334405010.0050406880.00529937731.05132032.6E-40.032941740.049223160.0495749451.00714683.7E-4
6.25.7023593E-58.391827E-51.7391071E-42.07238229.0E-52.4436394E-43.5960958E-44.895628E-41.36137321.3E-40.0029710720.00437110340.00459014161.05011062.2E-40.0293166250.042886950.04320281.00736463.3E-4
6.35.6940098E-58.376318E-51.7375564E-42.07436789.0E-52.4400617E-43.589451E-44.888985E-41.36204231.3E-40.0029667280.0043630460.0045820861.05020342.2E-40.0292743310.0428101420.0431260131.00737853.3E-4
6.45.4171585E-57.82445E-51.5823824E-42.0223568.0E-52.3214328E-43.352998E-44.5525955E-41.35776871.2E-40.00282268130.00407628670.00426551231.0464211.9E-40.027870960.040094850.0403636251.00670352.8E-4
6.54.375144E-55.7136225E-51.0713337E-41.87505165.0E-51.874927E-42.448532E-43.3483116E-41.36747729.0E-50.00228033380.00297819050.00311777371.04686841.4E-40.0225707570.0295962280.0297806041.00622981.9E-4
6.62.772192E-52.616668E-53.6166417E-51.38215541.0E-51.1880282E-41.121382E-41.2213708E-41.08916571.0E-50.00144546460.00136444730.00140439281.02927594.0E-50.0143609860.0138914560.0139407611.00354935.0E-5
6.72.7124124E-52.5374715E-53.537446E-51.39408311.0E-51.1624106E-41.0874436E-41.1874327E-41.09194871.0E-50.00141431610.00132317810.00136312521.03019024.0E-50.0140534870.0134836730.0135329991.00365825.0E-5
6.82.5475807E-52.2824952E-52.2824952E-51.00.01.0917746E-49.7817625E-59.7817625E-51.00.00.0013284250.00119029130.00122025551.02517393.0E-50.01320511850.0121648980.0122044111.00324814.0E-5
6.92.1162023E-51.8241095E-51.8241095E-51.00.09.069123E-57.8173805E-57.8173805E-51.00.00.00110360649.513544E-49.813259E-41.0315043.0E-50.0109814170.0097673980.0098070071.00405534.0E-5
7.01.8754288E-51.6751806E-51.6751806E-51.00.08.037304E-57.1791495E-57.1791495E-51.00.09.781026E-48.737136E-48.936961E-41.02287082.0E-50.0097380870.0089778890.00899770951.00220762.0E-5
7.11.8678527E-51.66763E-51.66763E-51.00.08.0048376E-57.146792E-57.146792E-51.00.09.7415317E-48.697771E-48.897597E-41.02297442.0E-50.0096989390.0089385380.0089583591.00221752.0E-5
7.21.7804578E-51.5960884E-51.5960884E-51.00.07.6303106E-56.840201E-56.840201E-51.00.09.285943E-48.324787E-48.52462E-41.02400472.0E-50.0092472360.0085647240.0085845521.00231522.0E-5
7.31.6583685E-51.5099868E-51.5099868E-51.00.07.1070994E-56.471213E-56.471213E-51.00.08.649459E-47.875874E-47.975796E-41.0126871.0E-50.008615870.0081149330.0081248521.00122231.0E-5
7.41.6387552E-51.4963759E-51.4963759E-51.00.07.023047E-56.4128835E-56.4128835E-51.00.08.5472054E-47.804909E-47.9048314E-41.01280251.0E-50.0085144050.0080438390.0080537581.00123321.0E-5
7.51.5790754E-51.45992135E-51.45992135E-51.00.06.767291E-56.256657E-56.256657E-51.00.08.236062E-47.614838E-47.714762E-41.01312221.0E-50.0082056040.0078517130.0078616351.00126361.0E-5
7.61.4248672E-51.3602381E-51.3602381E-51.00.06.106431E-55.8294627E-55.8294627E-51.00.07.432043E-47.095078E-47.095078E-41.00.00.0074072370.00732612140.00732612141.00.0
7.71.15449975E-51.1430807E-51.1430807E-51.00.04.947762E-54.898826E-54.898826E-51.00.06.022235E-45.962697E-45.962697E-41.00.00.0060059410.00618583430.00618583431.00.0
7.89.1391985E-61.001545E-51.001545E-51.00.03.9167408E-54.2922657E-54.2922657E-51.00.04.767588E-45.224587E-45.224587E-41.00.00.00475737270.0054390360.0054390361.00.0
7.96.973017E-67.820193E-67.820193E-61.00.02.9884017E-53.3514687E-53.3514687E-51.00.03.6377716E-44.079655E-44.079655E-41.00.00.00363182250.0042814930.0042814931.00.0
8.05.7638235E-66.654957E-66.654957E-61.00.02.4701867E-52.8520935E-52.8520935E-51.00.03.0070372E-43.4718763E-43.4718763E-41.00.00.00300297140.00366084440.00366084441.00.0
8.15.1124434E-65.8539927E-65.8539927E-61.00.02.1910288E-52.5088302E-52.5088302E-51.00.02.6672508E-43.0540783E-43.0540783E-41.00.00.00266405170.00322873290.00322873291.00.0
8.21.1075938E-65.8335945E-75.8335945E-71.00.04.7468216E-62.5001095E-62.5001095E-61.00.05.779102E-53.0438436E-53.0438436E-51.00.05.777599E-43.4115082E-43.4115082E-41.00.0
8.31.3584393E-84.947195E-94.947195E-91.00.05.8218827E-82.1202265E-82.1202265E-81.00.07.0881396E-72.5813756E-72.5813756E-71.00.07.0881174E-62.8822951E-62.8822951E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-52.0293056E-43.229062E-41.59121531.2E-44.2326056E-48.6941273E-40.00102927361.18387221.6E-40.00514102770.0105338710.0107515541.0206652.2E-40.050237080.102200860.102443261.00237192.7E-4
6.19.877682E-52.0293056E-43.229062E-41.59121531.2E-44.2326056E-48.6941273E-40.00102927361.18387221.6E-40.00514102770.0105338710.0107515541.0206652.2E-40.050237080.102200860.102443261.00237192.7E-4
6.29.877682E-52.0293056E-43.229062E-41.59121531.2E-44.2326056E-48.6941273E-40.00102927361.18387221.6E-40.00514102770.0105338710.0107515541.0206652.2E-40.050237080.102200860.102443261.00237192.7E-4
6.39.877682E-52.0293056E-43.229062E-41.59121531.2E-44.2326056E-48.6941273E-40.00102927361.18387221.6E-40.00514102770.0105338710.0107515541.0206652.2E-40.050237080.102200860.102443261.00237192.7E-4
6.49.877682E-52.0293056E-43.229062E-41.59121531.2E-44.2326056E-48.6941273E-40.00102927361.18387221.6E-40.00514102770.0105338710.0107515541.0206652.2E-40.050237080.102200860.102443261.00237192.7E-4
6.59.861474E-52.026656E-43.2264128E-41.59198831.2E-44.2256617E-48.682779E-40.0010281391.18411281.6E-40.00513261320.0105201880.0107378741.02069222.2E-40.0501567460.1020778340.102320271.0023752.7E-4
6.69.861474E-52.026656E-43.2264128E-41.59198831.2E-44.2256617E-48.682779E-40.0010281391.18411281.6E-40.00513261320.0105201880.0107378741.02069222.2E-40.0501567460.1020778340.102320271.0023752.7E-4
6.79.8552715E-52.025641E-43.225398E-41.5922851.2E-44.223004E-48.678432E-40.00102770431.1842051.6E-40.00512939270.0105149470.0107326331.02070262.2E-40.0501259980.102030980.1022734341.00237622.7E-4
6.89.8464974E-52.0241318E-43.223889E-41.59272671.2E-44.219245E-48.671969E-40.00102705811.18434251.6E-40.00512483760.0105071530.0107248421.02071812.2E-40.050082510.101960090.1022025641.00237812.7E-4
6.99.825824E-52.0208856E-43.220643E-41.59367911.2E-44.2103877E-48.6580653E-40.0010256681.18463871.6E-40.00511410460.0104903890.0107080821.02075162.2E-40.0499800220.1018075940.102050111.0023822.7E-4
7.09.781462E-52.0139219E-43.2136802E-41.59573231.2E-44.1913814E-48.628241E-40.0010226861.18527761.6E-40.0050910730.0104544270.0106721271.02082372.2E-40.049760070.101480680.1017232761.00239062.7E-4
7.19.7121134E-52.0039572E-43.2037168E-41.59869521.2E-44.1616702E-48.585563E-40.00101841891.18619931.6E-40.0050550680.01040296350.0106206751.02092782.2E-40.049416130.101012780.101255511.00240292.7E-4
7.29.663819E-51.9969372E-43.1966975E-41.60080031.2E-44.1409794E-48.555497E-40.00101541291.18685421.6E-40.00502999360.0103667080.0105844271.02100182.2E-40.0491765370.100683020.100925831.00241172.7E-4
7.39.6277574E-51.9920658E-43.1918267E-41.60226981.2E-44.125529E-48.5346337E-40.00101332681.18731141.6E-40.00501126940.0103415470.0105592731.02105342.2E-40.048997590.100451730.100694611.00241782.7E-4
7.49.593308E-51.9859086E-43.1856704E-41.60413741.2E-44.1107697E-48.5082627E-40.00101069011.18789241.6E-40.00499338240.0103097460.0105274781.0211192.2E-40.048826610.100165630.1004085841.00242562.7E-4
7.59.561707E-51.9803933E-43.1801555E-41.60582031.2E-44.0972308E-48.484641E-40.00100832831.1884161.6E-40.00497697430.0102812580.0104989961.02117812.2E-40.0486697440.0999075550.100150581.00243252.7E-4
7.69.418194E-51.9448997E-43.1446663E-41.61687841.2E-44.0357444E-48.332624E-49.931291E-41.19185641.6E-40.0049024540.0100979070.01031568551.02156672.2E-40.0479570250.098267750.098511221.00247762.7E-4
7.78.202141E-51.682444E-42.882242E-41.71312811.2E-43.51473E-47.208482E-48.8073284E-41.22180071.6E-40.004270790.0087410770.0089591541.02494852.2E-40.041896390.08580680.086053631.00287662.7E-4
7.87.2859846E-51.5239761E-42.7237931E-41.78729391.2E-43.1221908E-46.529692E-48.128647E-41.24487451.6E-40.0037946430.007920970.00813922751.02755442.2E-40.0373049750.077971390.078220341.00319282.7E-4
7.95.3874453E-51.05561405E-42.155498E-42.04193761.1E-42.3087008E-44.523276E-45.922643E-41.30937021.4E-40.00280722020.00549319570.00569209741.03620862.0E-40.027720220.0548023660.0550292131.00413942.4E-4
8.03.468538E-55.7234294E-51.4722915E-42.57239379.0E-51.4864317E-42.452668E-43.6523736E-41.48914311.2E-40.00180822830.00298203620.0031315891.05015121.5E-40.0179358530.0304017760.0305859991.00605961.9E-4
8.11.9152367E-52.0819423E-53.0819217E-51.48031071.0E-58.207899E-58.922305E-59.922216E-51.11206871.0E-59.988535E-40.00108575010.00110572831.01840042.0E-50.0099437570.01159506850.011624721.00255733.0E-5
8.28.643924E-66.012216E-61.6012156E-52.66327021.0E-53.704486E-52.5766387E-53.576613E-51.38809251.0E-54.5092785E-43.1366068E-43.336544E-41.06374312.0E-50.00450013950.00354134060.00356126971.00562762.0E-5
8.31.983087E-68.552935E-78.552935E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6655385E-63.6655385E-61.00.01.034694E-44.462704E-54.462704E-51.00.00.00103421245.2299944E-45.2299944E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0943423E-43.2940911E-41.57285231.2E-44.362114E-48.972676E-40.0010471331.16702431.5E-40.00529794860.010869820.0110775371.01910962.1E-40.0517340970.105204770.105428471.00212632.5E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0943423E-43.2940911E-41.57285231.2E-44.362114E-48.972676E-40.0010471331.16702431.5E-40.00529794860.010869820.0110775371.01910962.1E-40.0517340970.105204770.105428471.00212632.5E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0943423E-43.2940911E-41.57285231.2E-44.362114E-48.972676E-40.0010471331.16702431.5E-40.00529794860.010869820.0110775371.01910962.1E-40.0517340970.105204770.105428471.00212632.5E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0943423E-43.2940911E-41.57285231.2E-44.362114E-48.972676E-40.0010471331.16702431.5E-40.00529794860.010869820.0110775371.01910962.1E-40.0517340970.105204770.105428471.00212632.5E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.9284054E-43.128174E-41.62215581.2E-43.9268145E-48.261979E-49.76074E-41.18140461.5E-40.00477042050.01001270.01022059751.02076342.1E-40.0466930640.0975002350.097725861.00231412.5E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.9284054E-43.128174E-41.62215581.2E-43.9268145E-48.261979E-49.76074E-41.18140461.5E-40.00477042050.01001270.01022059751.02076342.1E-40.0466930640.0975002350.097725861.00231412.5E-4
6.69.042622E-51.9089071E-43.1086782E-41.62851191.2E-43.8748336E-48.178468E-49.6772413E-41.18325841.5E-40.00470740950.0099119520.010119871.02097652.1E-40.0460893250.096592130.096817981.00233822.5E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.900271E-43.1000428E-41.63136891.2E-43.8495753E-48.141479E-49.6402573E-41.18409171.5E-40.004676790.0098673250.0100752531.02107242.1E-40.0457958170.096184770.096410721.00234912.5E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8948692E-43.0946417E-41.6331691.2E-43.8339442E-48.1183424E-49.617125E-41.18461681.5E-40.0046578410.0098394120.0100473461.02113272.1E-40.045614140.095929550.096155571.0023562.5E-4
6.98.858234E-51.8829308E-43.0827048E-41.63718441.2E-43.7958333E-48.06721E-49.5659995E-41.18578791.5E-40.0046116380.0097777180.0099856651.02126742.1E-40.045171030.0953656960.095591851.00237142.5E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.8666015E-43.0663775E-41.64275961.2E-43.746607E-47.9972704E-49.496071E-41.1874141.5E-40.0045519570.0096933270.0099012921.02145432.1E-40.0445983860.094593220.0948195761.00239292.5E-4
7.18.684964E-51.8576653E-43.0574424E-41.64585211.2E-43.7215967E-47.958996E-49.4578025E-41.1883161.5E-40.00452163350.0096471420.0098551161.0215582.1E-40.044307310.0941703250.094396781.00240482.5E-4
7.28.606521E-51.846595E-43.0463733E-41.64972471.2E-43.6879873E-47.9115806E-49.4103935E-41.18944551.5E-40.00448088350.0095899240.0097979091.0216882.1E-40.0439160240.093647110.09387371.00241962.5E-4
7.38.568266E-51.8406396E-43.0404187E-41.65182731.2E-43.6715972E-47.886072E-49.38489E-41.19005871.5E-40.00446101050.0095591410.0097671331.02175862.1E-40.0437251480.0933625550.093589211.00242772.5E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.836798E-43.0365775E-41.65319091.2E-43.6608664E-47.869619E-49.3684386E-41.19045641.5E-40.0044479990.0095392840.009747281.02180422.1E-40.0436001570.093178930.093405631.00243312.5E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.823389E-43.0231703E-41.65799511.2E-43.633435E-47.8121864E-49.3110144E-41.19185771.5E-40.00441473770.0094699690.0096779811.02196542.1E-40.0432805750.09254590.092772761.00245142.5E-4
7.68.241105E-51.7665495E-42.9663375E-41.67917031.2E-43.531424E-47.5687317E-49.0675964E-41.19803381.5E-40.00429103520.0091760980.009384171.02267552.1E-40.0420911760.089877530.0901050641.00253152.5E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4951042E-42.6949248E-41.80249971.2E-43.001506E-46.406016E-47.9050555E-41.23400491.5E-40.00364821120.00777148040.0079798481.02681182.1E-40.0358889770.076865380.0770961641.00300242.5E-4
7.86.415362E-51.3643221E-42.5641583E-41.87943771.2E-42.749151E-45.845785E-47.344908E-41.25644521.5E-40.00334195470.0070940520.00730256221.02939222.1E-40.032921410.070299830.070532251.00330622.5E-4
7.94.939911E-59.828357E-52.0827276E-42.11910061.1E-42.116933E-44.2114733E-45.610884E-41.33228531.4E-40.00257431950.00511542470.00531440141.03889742.0E-40.0254470130.0511891880.0514169041.00444852.4E-4
8.03.344983E-55.515503E-51.4515006E-42.63167439.0E-51.4334853E-42.3635729E-43.5632894E-41.5075861.2E-40.00174387110.00287385470.00302342351.05204471.5E-40.0173024960.0293565370.029540961.00628221.9E-4
8.11.9104898E-52.0596359E-53.059615E-51.48551271.0E-58.1875565E-58.826712E-59.8266246E-51.11328241.0E-59.963791E-40.00107412320.00109410171.01859992.0E-50.0099192350.0114935250.011523181.00258023.0E-5
8.28.643924E-66.012216E-61.6012156E-52.66327021.0E-53.704486E-52.5766387E-53.576613E-51.38809251.0E-54.5092785E-43.1366068E-43.336544E-41.06374312.0E-50.00450013950.00354134060.00356126971.00562762.0E-5
8.31.983087E-68.552935E-78.552935E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6655385E-63.6655385E-61.00.01.034694E-44.462704E-54.462704E-51.00.00.00103421245.2299944E-45.2299944E-41.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.42433E-51.4424039E-45.94970131.2E-45.7689394E-51.03895734E-42.638791E-42.53984551.6E-47.02142E-40.00126420010.00147393451.1659032.1E-40.00699927660.0126130080.0128499811.0187882.4E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.42433E-51.4424039E-45.94970131.2E-45.7689394E-51.03895734E-42.638791E-42.53984551.6E-47.02142E-40.00126420010.00147393451.1659032.1E-40.00699927660.0126130080.0128499811.0187882.4E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.42433E-51.4424039E-45.94970131.2E-45.7689394E-51.03895734E-42.638791E-42.53984551.6E-47.02142E-40.00126420010.00147393451.1659032.1E-40.00699927660.0126130080.0128499811.0187882.4E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.42433E-51.4424039E-45.94970131.2E-45.7689394E-51.03895734E-42.638791E-42.53984551.6E-47.02142E-40.00126420010.00147393451.1659032.1E-40.00699927660.0126130080.0128499811.0187882.4E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.42433E-51.4424039E-45.94970131.2E-45.7689394E-51.03895734E-42.638791E-42.53984551.6E-47.02142E-40.00126420010.00147393451.1659032.1E-40.00699927660.0126130080.0128499811.0187882.4E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.4232251E-51.4422934E-45.9519581.2E-45.764461E-51.0384839E-42.6383178E-42.54054761.6E-47.0159714E-40.00126362430.0014733591.16597872.1E-40.0069938620.0126073160.012844291.01879662.4E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3846282E-51.4384343E-46.0321111.2E-45.6032466E-51.0219436E-42.6217801E-42.5654841.6E-46.8198174E-40.00124350960.00145324841.16866682.1E-40.0067989260.0124084280.01264544951.01910172.4E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.382153E-51.4381867E-46.03733971.2E-45.59283E-51.020883E-42.6207196E-42.56711081.6E-46.8071426E-40.00124221970.00145195891.16884222.1E-40.00678632870.0123956730.0126326991.01912162.4E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.3669798E-51.4366696E-46.0696321.2E-45.530571E-51.0143806E-42.6142184E-42.57715731.6E-46.73139E-40.00123431210.00144405291.16992522.1E-40.00671103640.0123174750.0125545191.01924462.4E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.3629098E-51.4362627E-46.07836441.2E-45.51447E-51.0126365E-42.6124745E-42.5798741.6E-46.711799E-40.0012321910.00144193231.17021812.1E-40.0066915640.0122964990.0125335481.01927772.4E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.3024415E-51.4302165E-46.21173861.2E-45.3553173E-59.8672346E-52.5865657E-42.62136821.6E-46.518148E-40.00120067680.00141042461.17469132.1E-40.00649906230.0119847670.0122218911.01978542.4E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2969276E-51.4296651E-46.22425031.2E-45.3364907E-59.843606E-52.584203E-42.62526061.6E-46.4952404E-40.00119780310.00140755161.17511092.1E-40.00647628870.0119563410.0121934711.01983312.4E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.2344171E-51.423415E-46.3704081.2E-45.143946E-59.575724E-52.557419E-42.6707321.6E-46.2609545E-40.00116522370.00137497891.1800132.1E-40.0062433440.0116340110.0118712191.02038922.4E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.221324E-51.4221057E-46.4020641.2E-45.109939E-59.519614E-52.551809E-42.68058041.6E-46.219575E-40.00115839960.00136815631.18107462.1E-40.00620219620.0115665210.0118037451.02050962.4E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.1579997E-51.2157784E-45.6338211.0E-44.975841E-59.2482434E-52.324695E-42.5136611.4E-46.0564023E-40.00112539470.00131518091.16863971.9E-40.0060399230.0112404140.01145794151.01935222.2E-4
7.51.1037265E-52.0255333E-58.025412E-53.9621236.0E-54.7301706E-58.680569E-51.7679788E-42.03670849.0E-55.757461E-40.00105634910.00118621181.12293541.3E-40.0057425670.0105549560.0107033731.01406131.5E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.968898E-57.96878E-54.047336.0E-54.5945973E-58.4378626E-51.7437103E-42.0665319.0E-55.592486E-40.00102682780.00115669441.12647351.3E-40.0055784330.0102625180.0104010811.01350191.4E-4
7.79.276279E-61.709085E-57.7089826E-54.51059066.0E-53.9754876E-57.324445E-51.6323787E-42.2286729.0E-54.839081E-48.9138816E-40.00102127231.145711.3E-40.00482855740.0089197580.0090585091.01555551.4E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.1656413E-51.1656413E-51.00.02.5005522E-54.9955102E-54.9955102E-51.00.03.043997E-46.080338E-46.080338E-41.00.00.00303983080.00610493960.00610493961.00.0
7.94.690204E-68.927181E-68.927181E-61.00.02.0100719E-53.8258782E-53.8258782E-51.00.02.4469878E-44.6570125E-44.6570125E-41.00.00.0024442950.00468606640.00468606641.00.0
8.02.9570454E-65.102715E-65.102715E-61.00.01.267299E-52.1868595E-52.1868595E-51.00.01.5428272E-42.6621766E-42.6621766E-41.00.00.00154175660.00268268750.00268268751.00.0
8.11.6376824E-62.3315167E-62.3315167E-61.00.07.01862E-69.992176E-69.992176E-61.00.08.544835E-51.21647965E-41.21647965E-41.00.08.54155E-40.00123100360.00123100361.00.0
8.26.9631557E-74.9599623E-74.9599623E-71.00.02.984206E-62.1256965E-62.1256965E-61.00.03.63321E-52.5880048E-52.5880048E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.6764354E-42.6764354E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-79.226573E-89.226573E-81.00.07.661199E-73.9542448E-73.9542448E-71.00.09.32747E-64.814283E-64.814283E-61.00.09.3270784E-55.0458875E-55.0458875E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.5298184E-43.5295656E-41.39518521.0E-45.002454E-40.00108375910.00121361831.11982291.3E-40.0060734930.0131154630.0132832331.01279181.7E-40.05910160.1247012540.124885071.0014742.1E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.5298184E-43.5295656E-41.39518521.0E-45.002454E-40.00108375910.00121361831.11982291.3E-40.0060734930.0131154630.0132832331.01279181.7E-40.05910160.1247012540.124885071.0014742.1E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.5298184E-43.5295656E-41.39518521.0E-45.002454E-40.00108375910.00121361831.11982291.3E-40.0060734930.0131154630.0132832331.01279181.7E-40.05910160.1247012540.124885071.0014742.1E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.5298184E-43.5295656E-41.39518521.0E-45.002454E-40.00108375910.00121361831.11982291.3E-40.0060734930.0131154630.0132832331.01279181.7E-40.05910160.1247012540.124885071.0014742.1E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.5298184E-43.5295656E-41.39518521.0E-45.002454E-40.00108375910.00121361831.11982291.3E-40.0060734930.0131154630.0132832331.01279181.7E-40.05910160.1247012540.124885071.0014742.1E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.4613919E-43.4611457E-41.40617421.0E-44.847792E-40.00105445740.00118432031.12315621.3E-40.00588622550.0127629350.0129307651.01314991.7E-40.0573273340.121674440.1218588951.00151592.1E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.4613919E-43.4611457E-41.40617421.0E-44.847792E-40.00105445740.00118432031.12315621.3E-40.00588622550.0127629350.0129307651.01314991.7E-40.0573273340.121674440.1218588951.00151592.1E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.4303207E-43.4300776E-41.41136841.0E-44.777557E-40.00104115180.00117101651.12473171.3E-40.00580117340.0126028230.0127706811.0133191.7E-40.056520510.120297240.1204819751.00153572.1E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.4204225E-43.4201806E-41.4130511.0E-44.7578133E-40.00103691310.00116677841.12524211.3E-40.0057772630.0125518120.0127196791.01337391.7E-40.0562935840.119854560.1200393961.00154212.1E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.409534E-43.409293E-41.4149181.0E-44.7362508E-40.00103225040.00116211621.12580851.3E-40.00575114970.0124956960.0126635711.01343461.7E-40.056045690.119367740.119552671.00154922.1E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3995005E-43.3992605E-41.41665341.0E-44.7157376E-40.00102795370.001157821.12633491.3E-40.00572630620.0124439820.0126118671.01349131.7E-40.0558097960.118917110.1191021351.00155592.1E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.248679E-43.248454E-41.44460561.0E-44.417027E-49.6336467E-40.00109323941.13481371.3E-40.00536447760.0116662340.0118342511.01440191.7E-40.0523681380.1121371240.1123235751.00166272.1E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.1887339E-43.188515E-41.45678521.0E-44.296783E-49.3769265E-40.00106757081.13850821.3E-40.00521879220.0113569760.0115250451.01479881.7E-40.0509792120.109424470.109611491.00170912.1E-4
7.39.816942E-52.1349758E-43.1347622E-41.46828941.0E-44.2065824E-49.146698E-40.00104455091.14199781.3E-40.0051094930.0110795570.0112476741.01517361.7E-40.0499359850.106966280.107153821.00175322.1E-4
7.49.5634205E-52.0702765E-43.0700697E-41.48292721.0E-44.0979648E-48.8696065E-40.00101684531.1464381.3E-40.00497786370.0107455660.010913741.01565051.7E-40.0486782530.103995240.1041834061.00180942.1E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6915934E-42.6914242E-41.59105861.0E-43.4505792E-47.2476733E-48.546731E-41.1792381.3E-40.00419299030.0087884330.0089569391.01917361.7E-40.041147530.086362580.0865544451.00222162.1E-4
7.67.897024E-51.6559428E-42.6557772E-41.60378561.0E-43.384E-47.0949696E-48.394047E-41.18309841.3E-40.00411223850.0086039990.0087725371.01958821.7E-40.0403696970.084670130.0848623441.00227022.1E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3992478E-42.3991079E-41.71456971.0E-42.8742946E-45.995399E-47.2946196E-41.21670291.3E-40.0034938390.00727500630.007443771.02319771.7E-40.0343941640.072281210.072476031.00269532.1E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2846461E-42.2845177E-41.77832451.0E-42.6344648E-45.504465E-46.803749E-41.23604191.3E-40.00320274360.00668112240.00684998651.02527491.7E-40.0315697640.0664636340.0666596741.00294962.1E-4
7.94.7636717E-59.3510804E-51.9350144E-42.06929521.0E-42.0414138E-44.0069903E-45.3064694E-41.3243031.3E-40.00248258840.00486760730.00503677971.03475481.7E-40.0245503650.0488372740.049037021.004092.1E-4
8.03.3554235E-55.506652E-51.4506157E-42.6342979.0E-51.4379594E-42.3597803E-43.559497E-41.50840191.2E-40.00174930970.00286924930.0030188191.05212841.5E-40.0173560340.0293168430.0295012721.00629091.9E-4
8.11.9175432E-52.061047E-53.0610267E-51.48518031.0E-58.217783E-58.832761E-59.8326724E-51.11320481.0E-50.00100005580.00107485880.00109483731.01858712.0E-50.0099556730.0115031120.0115327671.0025783.0E-5
8.28.643924E-66.012216E-61.6012156E-52.66327021.0E-53.704486E-52.5766387E-53.576613E-51.38809251.0E-54.5092785E-43.1366068E-43.336544E-41.06374312.0E-50.00450013950.00354134060.00356126971.00562762.0E-5
8.31.983087E-68.552935E-78.552935E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6655385E-63.6655385E-61.00.01.034694E-44.462704E-54.462704E-51.00.00.00103421245.2299944E-45.2299944E-41.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.805465E-59.8052245E-52.0404325.0E-51.893932E-42.0593317E-42.9591465E-41.4369459.0E-50.00230342360.00250451760.0026541421.05974171.5E-40.0227969380.0247805320.0249463191.00669031.7E-4
6.14.4194956E-54.805465E-59.8052245E-52.0404325.0E-51.893932E-42.0593317E-42.9591465E-41.4369459.0E-50.00230342360.00250451760.0026541421.05974171.5E-40.0227969380.0247805320.0249463191.00669031.7E-4
6.24.4194956E-54.805465E-59.8052245E-52.0404325.0E-51.893932E-42.0593317E-42.9591465E-41.4369459.0E-50.00230342360.00250451760.0026541421.05974171.5E-40.0227969380.0247805320.0249463191.00669031.7E-4
6.34.4194956E-54.805465E-59.8052245E-52.0404325.0E-51.893932E-42.0593317E-42.9591465E-41.4369459.0E-50.00230342360.00250451760.0026541421.05974171.5E-40.0227969380.0247805320.0249463191.00669031.7E-4
6.43.729929E-53.9782673E-58.978068E-52.25677855.0E-51.5984432E-41.7048656E-42.5047292E-41.46916528.0E-50.00194436730.00207379130.0022135011.06736921.4E-40.0192744270.0205544740.0207013921.00714771.5E-4
6.53.729929E-53.9782673E-58.978068E-52.25677855.0E-51.5984432E-41.7048656E-42.5047292E-41.46916528.0E-50.00194436730.00207379130.0022135011.06736921.4E-40.0192744270.0205544740.0207013921.00714771.5E-4
6.63.0204548E-53.1364245E-58.1362676E-52.5941225.0E-51.2944164E-41.3441147E-42.0440205E-41.52071897.0E-50.00157481270.0016352660.00175506981.07326261.2E-40.0156369920.0162362270.0163641161.00787681.3E-4
6.72.9857754E-53.0972973E-58.0971426E-52.61426075.0E-51.2795553E-41.3273476E-42.0272547E-41.52729757.0E-50.00155674530.00161488250.00173468881.07418881.2E-40.0154588480.0160353460.0161632621.00797711.3E-4
6.82.4819734E-52.5155836E-57.5154574E-52.98756055.0E-51.0636595E-41.0780639E-41.7779884E-41.64924227.0E-50.00129423620.00131177420.00141164311.07613271.0E-40.0128672440.0130426980.0131512631.00832381.1E-4
6.92.331124E-52.3481698E-57.348052E-53.1292685.0E-59.990149E-51.0063208E-41.7062503E-41.69553337.0E-50.0012156220.00122452750.0013244051.08156421.0E-40.0120899360.0121800110.0122886711.00892111.1E-4
7.02.1818534E-52.1902324E-57.190123E-53.28281265.0E-59.3504656E-59.386384E-51.6385727E-41.74569117.0E-50.00113782460.00114221310.00124209891.08744931.0E-40.0113201630.0113655430.0114742941.00956831.1E-4
7.12.066081E-52.0678875E-57.0677845E-53.41787655.0E-58.854332E-58.862085E-51.5861465E-41.78981187.0E-50.00107748180.00107844450.00117833671.09262611.0E-40.0107227240.0107341770.0108429971.01013771.1E-4
7.21.8990233E-51.9189785E-56.918883E-53.60550285.0E-58.138417E-58.223945E-51.522337E-41.8511037.0E-59.904018E-40.00100082490.00110072481.09981761.0E-40.0098599950.0099651920.0100740951.01092841.1E-4
7.31.3335872E-51.5034478E-56.5033724E-54.32563925.0E-55.7152483E-56.443196E-51.3442745E-42.08634737.0E-56.956093E-47.841896E-48.8411116E-41.12742021.0E-40.0069343590.0078155360.0079246761.01396451.1E-4
7.49.414066E-61.1982999E-56.19824E-55.17252835.0E-54.0345374E-55.1354753E-51.2135116E-42.36299757.0E-54.910942E-46.2507426E-47.2501175E-41.1598811.0E-40.00490010340.006234120.0063434341.01753491.1E-4
7.57.2101157E-69.276044E-65.927558E-56.39017875.0E-53.090013E-53.9753915E-51.09751134E-42.7607637.0E-53.7614413E-44.8390432E-45.838559E-41.20655241.0E-40.00375508070.00482929130.00493876031.02266761.1E-4
7.63.296375E-64.65986E-65.4659627E-511.7298855.0E-51.4127245E-51.9970685E-58.996929E-54.50506737.0E-51.7198564E-42.4311745E-43.4309312E-41.41122391.0E-40.00171852590.00242866090.00253839371.04518251.1E-4
7.72.5741092E-63.6928275E-65.369264E-514.539715.0E-51.103185E-51.5826316E-58.582521E-55.4229437.0E-51.3430449E-41.9266976E-42.9265048E-41.51892281.0E-40.00134223350.00192516560.0020349541.05702791.1E-4

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2740822E-56.273991E-52.75891144.0E-59.097391E-59.7457356E-51.6745053E-41.71819297.0E-50.00110704450.00118595560.00129582511.09264221.1E-40.0110154580.0118021210.01198987851.01590881.9E-4
6.12.1227985E-52.2740822E-56.273991E-52.75891144.0E-59.097391E-59.7457356E-51.6745053E-41.71819297.0E-50.00110704450.00118595560.00129582511.09264221.1E-40.0110154580.0118021210.01198987851.01590881.9E-4
6.22.1227985E-52.2740822E-56.273991E-52.75891144.0E-59.097391E-59.7457356E-51.6745053E-41.71819297.0E-50.00110704450.00118595560.00129582511.09264221.1E-40.0110154580.0118021210.01198987851.01590881.9E-4
6.31.1613981E-51.2364E-52.2363876E-51.80878971.0E-54.9773254E-55.298757E-59.298545E-51.75485414.0E-56.0582085E-46.4494513E-46.949129E-41.0774765.0E-50.00604171960.0064319840.0065114691.01235788.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2364E-52.2363876E-51.80878971.0E-54.9773254E-55.298757E-59.298545E-51.75485414.0E-56.0582085E-46.4494513E-46.949129E-41.0774765.0E-50.00604171960.0064319840.0065114691.01235788.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.489363E-69.489363E-61.00.03.8276554E-54.0668117E-57.0666894E-51.73764863.0E-54.6591737E-44.95031E-45.3501123E-41.0807634.0E-50.00464941750.00494019360.00500984771.01409957.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79655E-67.79655E-61.00.03.1479703E-53.34134E-56.34124E-51.89781343.0E-53.83198E-44.0674023E-44.4672395E-41.09830284.0E-50.00382537880.00406075040.0041205071.01471566.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.6604675E-66.6604675E-61.00.02.690358E-52.8544591E-55.8543734E-52.05095723.0E-53.2750185E-43.474825E-43.874686E-41.11507374.0E-50.00327019630.0034701340.00352992581.01723046.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.859783E-65.859783E-61.00.02.367154E-52.5113155E-54.5112654E-51.79637542.0E-52.8816288E-43.0571705E-43.3570788E-41.09813.0E-50.0028778950.00305368220.003093561.01305894.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.069469E-65.069469E-61.00.02.0477004E-52.1726155E-54.1725718E-51.92052952.0E-52.4927902E-42.6449087E-42.9448295E-41.11339553.0E-50.00248999570.0026424540.00268234851.01509754.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.121803E-64.121803E-61.00.01.6642054E-51.766479E-52.7664613E-51.56608781.0E-52.0259817E-42.1505449E-42.3505019E-41.09297972.0E-50.00202413560.00214914050.0021790761.0139293.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0121678E-63.0121678E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.2909264E-52.2909135E-51.77462741.0E-51.4795837E-41.5716554E-41.7716241E-41.12723432.0E-50.0014785990.00157119020.0016011431.01906383.0E-5

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.618789E-43.3186053E-41.26722927.0E-55.27144E-40.0011218570.00122174481.08903791.0E-40.00639910860.01357362050.0137018561.00944751.3E-40.062179490.128493370.128641531.0011531.7E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.618789E-43.3186053E-41.26722927.0E-55.27144E-40.0011218570.00122174481.08903791.0E-40.00639910860.01357362050.0137018561.00944751.3E-40.062179490.128493370.128641531.0011531.7E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.6003452E-43.300163E-41.2691257.0E-55.2290526E-40.00111395940.00121384791.089671.0E-40.0063478040.013478660.0136069081.00951491.3E-40.0616951360.127679880.127828181.00116151.7E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.5888692E-43.288688E-41.27031847.0E-55.202953E-40.00110904520.00120893441.09006761.0E-40.0063162120.01341956950.0135478261.00955741.3E-40.061396770.127172860.127321241.00116681.7E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.538832E-43.2386542E-41.27564737.0E-55.0840975E-40.00108761880.00118751011.0918441.0E-40.0061723350.013161880.0132901691.0097471.3E-40.0600368680.1249503640.125099121.00119051.7E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.5177642E-43.217588E-41.27795457.0E-55.032341E-40.00107859730.00117848941.0926131.0E-40.0061096770.0130533610.0131816641.00982921.3E-40.0594440770.1240109950.124159911.00120081.7E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.4475207E-43.1473493E-41.28593377.0E-54.866766E-40.00104851730.00114841251.09527281.0E-40.00590920170.0126914590.0128198091.01011311.3E-40.0575451850.120897010.121046461.00123621.7E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.4317262E-43.131556E-41.28779147.0E-54.829711E-40.00104175370.00114164961.0958921.0E-40.0058643310.0126100690.0127384291.01017931.3E-40.0571196970.120194690.120344251.00124441.7E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.4203419E-43.1201725E-41.28914547.0E-54.8068175E-40.00103687870.0011367751.09634331.0E-40.0058366080.01255140.0126797691.01022741.3E-40.0568567250.119686280.1198359361.00125041.7E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.4049648E-43.1047963E-41.29099457.0E-54.7763053E-40.00103029360.00113019061.09695971.0E-40.00579965770.0124721490.0126005271.01029321.3E-40.0565061270.118999340.119149111.00125861.7E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.3665495E-43.066384E-41.29571937.0E-54.698779E-40.00101384290.00111374141.09853461.0E-40.0057057680.0122741340.0124025381.01046131.3E-40.0556147360.117279520.1174295841.00127951.7E-4
7.19.927982E-52.1449392E-42.844789E-41.32627957.0E-54.2541555E-49.189369E-40.0010188451.10872141.0E-40.00516714060.0111309850.0112595381.01154911.3E-40.050486340.107277570.107429331.00141471.7E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0947236E-42.794577E-41.3341037.0E-54.1551032E-48.9743093E-49.973411E-41.11132921.0E-40.005047110.0108717910.0110003781.01182761.3E-40.049340090.105002510.1051546561.0014491.7E-4
7.39.4727984E-52.0362034E-42.736061E-41.34370717.0E-54.0591392E-48.723678E-49.7228057E-41.11453061.0E-40.00493080870.0105696490.0106982751.01216941.3E-40.0482282680.102325710.102478311.00149131.7E-4
7.49.220358E-51.9716096E-42.6714714E-41.35496997.0E-53.9509835E-48.447029E-49.446184E-41.11828481.0E-40.0047997170.0102360340.0103647031.01257031.3E-40.0469736530.099345460.099498581.00154131.7E-4
7.57.71631E-51.594386E-42.2942743E-41.43897047.0E-53.306571E-46.8312953E-47.830612E-41.14628521.0E-40.00401832070.0082854660.0084143891.01556021.3E-40.039464330.081692390.08184851.00191091.7E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.5593662E-42.259257E-41.44883047.0E-53.241072E-46.6812884E-47.68062E-41.14957181.0E-40.00393886720.0081042050.0082331521.01591111.3E-40.0386977940.080021890.080178281.00195441.7E-4
7.76.3783E-51.303798E-42.0037068E-41.53682297.0E-52.7332708E-45.58651E-46.585951E-41.17890261.0E-40.00332267980.00678039570.00690951431.0190431.3E-40.0327343640.067625410.0677839151.00234391.7E-4
7.85.863422E-51.2033951E-41.9033108E-41.58161767.0E-52.512653E-45.1563885E-46.155873E-41.19383421.0E-40.0030548640.00625985670.0063890431.02063731.3E-40.0301320940.0624809670.062640351.00255081.7E-4
7.94.595283E-58.880518E-51.5879897E-41.78817247.0E-51.9692584E-43.805381E-44.8050008E-41.26268581.0E-40.00239493580.00462321750.00475261641.02798891.3E-40.0236928910.0464988050.04666091.0034861.7E-4
8.03.2950178E-55.364506E-51.2364131E-42.30480317.0E-51.412074E-42.2988716E-43.2986415E-41.4348961.0E-40.00171784440.00279528580.00292492241.04637681.3E-40.0170462560.028589940.0287550781.00577621.7E-4
8.11.9177472E-52.0610669E-53.0610463E-51.48517561.0E-58.218658E-58.832845E-59.832757E-51.11320381.0E-50.00100016220.00107486910.00109484761.01858692.0E-50.0099567280.0115032450.01153291.00257793.0E-5
8.28.643924E-66.012216E-61.6012156E-52.66327021.0E-53.704486E-52.5766387E-53.576613E-51.38809251.0E-54.5092785E-43.1366068E-43.336544E-41.06374312.0E-50.00450013950.00354134060.00356126971.00562762.0E-5
8.31.983087E-68.552935E-78.552935E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6655385E-63.6655385E-61.00.01.034694E-44.462704E-54.462704E-51.00.00.00103421245.2299944E-45.2299944E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-48.716656E-49.416046E-41.08023617.0E-50.00237938480.00373108660.00383071371.02670181.0E-40.0285869630.0445600260.044674681.0025731.2E-40.251762840.350928540.35101941.00025891.4E-4
6.11.925858E-43.296259E-43.9960284E-41.2122927.0E-58.2510663E-40.00141204440.00151190321.07071921.0E-40.00999948850.0170961950.0172141441.00689911.2E-40.0956132560.156221170.15633931.00075611.4E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.9022798E-42.6021467E-41.36790967.0E-54.0410945E-48.1500935E-49.1492786E-41.12259791.0E-40.00490893840.0098777890.0099966041.01202851.2E-40.0480190630.0952438640.095370531.00132991.4E-4
6.39.283051E-51.8716583E-42.5715271E-41.37392997.0E-53.9778434E-48.0189394E-49.0181374E-41.12460481.0E-40.00483227470.009719560.0098383941.01222621.2E-40.0472853850.093892460.0940193161.00135111.4E-4
6.49.138826E-51.8473713E-42.547242E-41.37884687.0E-53.916052E-47.914916E-48.9141243E-41.12624371.0E-40.00475737450.0095940440.0097128931.01238781.2E-40.0465680920.092774960.092901971.0013691.4E-4
6.59.000255E-51.8227343E-42.5226068E-41.38396847.0E-53.8566816E-47.8093924E-48.8086113E-41.12795091.0E-40.00468540470.0094667170.0095855811.0125561.2E-40.0458784030.0916447040.091771881.00138761.4E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7898864E-42.489761E-41.39101627.0E-53.7755648E-47.668699E-48.667932E-41.13030021.0E-40.00458706540.0092969130.0094157971.01278751.2E-40.044935290.090144420.090271791.00141311.4E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7763853E-42.476261E-41.39398867.0E-53.7443507E-47.610871E-48.61011E-41.1312911.0E-40.00454922160.009227140.00934603251.01288511.2E-40.044572130.0895381640.089665631.00142361.4E-4
6.88.710195E-51.7707674E-42.4706434E-41.39523897.0E-53.7324068E-47.586808E-48.5860497E-41.13170781.0E-40.00453474050.00919810.0093169971.01292621.2E-40.044433130.089280020.089407521.00142811.4E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.7647108E-42.4645872E-41.39659567.0E-53.7195362E-47.560866E-48.56011E-41.132161.0E-40.00451913570.0091667830.0092856821.01297071.2E-40.0442833270.0890010450.089128581.0014331.4E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.7393912E-42.4392694E-41.40236967.0E-53.6668387E-47.452416E-48.451671E-41.13408471.0E-40.0044552410.0090358460.0091547621.01316051.2E-40.0436697270.087829720.087957421.0014541.4E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5847417E-42.2846308E-41.44164247.0E-53.3535215E-46.7899906E-47.7893113E-41.14717571.0E-40.00407527060.0082356640.0083546761.01445081.2E-40.0400134180.08065650.080785211.00159571.4E-4
7.27.690929E-51.5579209E-42.2578119E-41.44924687.0E-53.2956956E-46.675103E-47.6744356E-41.14971041.0E-40.0040051290.00809683650.0082158651.01470071.2E-40.03933710.0794123860.0795412661.00162291.4E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.5266807E-42.2265739E-41.4584417.0E-53.2371894E-46.541285E-47.540631E-41.15277521.0E-40.0039341570.007935110.0080541581.01500261.2E-40.0386523340.077943890.078072981.00165621.4E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.495837E-42.1957324E-41.46789547.0E-53.1802364E-46.409163E-47.408522E-41.15592661.0E-40.0038650650.007775410.0078944771.01531331.2E-40.037985290.076484190.0766134861.00169041.4E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1792015E-41.879119E-41.5935527.0E-52.6352672E-45.052743E-46.0522376E-41.19781231.0E-40.00320371780.00613439870.0062536631.01944181.2E-40.031579230.0613139570.0614453741.00214341.4E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.1615276E-41.8614464E-41.60258467.0E-52.598746E-44.977027E-45.976529E-41.20082321.0E-40.00315938280.00604272960.00616200451.01973861.2E-40.0311484170.060454240.0605857741.00217581.4E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.710557E-51.6709877E-41.72079497.0E-52.2134806E-44.1610037E-45.1605876E-41.24022661.0E-40.0026915820.00505426670.005173661.02362231.2E-40.0265921410.0510332620.0511661171.00260331.4E-4
7.84.8090482E-59.053036E-51.6052402E-41.77315137.0E-52.060858E-43.8792958E-44.878908E-41.25767871.0E-40.00250620720.00471282420.00483225841.02534251.2E-40.0247813050.0476102270.0477435631.00280061.4E-4
7.93.970278E-57.135724E-51.4135224E-41.98090977.0E-51.7014367E-43.0578088E-44.057503E-41.32693161.0E-40.0020695310.00371653140.00383608561.03216811.2E-40.0205036360.037721040.037855761.00357151.4E-4
8.02.8982335E-54.316517E-51.1316215E-42.62160787.0E-51.2420409E-41.8498048E-42.8496198E-41.54049751.0E-40.00151113570.00224981250.00236954261.05321781.2E-40.0150090120.0232392270.0233759751.00588431.4E-4
8.11.8836186E-52.0079162E-53.0078962E-51.49801871.0E-58.0724014E-58.605072E-59.604986E-51.11620061.0E-59.823717E-40.00104716470.00106714371.01907922.0E-50.0097804030.0112195060.011249171.0026443.0E-5
8.28.643924E-66.012216E-61.6012156E-52.66327021.0E-53.704486E-52.5766387E-53.576613E-51.38809251.0E-54.5092785E-43.1366068E-43.336544E-41.06374312.0E-50.00450013950.00354134060.00356126971.00562762.0E-5
8.31.983087E-68.552935E-78.552935E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6655385E-63.6655385E-61.00.01.034694E-44.462704E-54.462704E-51.00.00.00103421245.2299944E-45.2299944E-41.00.0

San Gorgonio Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.644328E-61.3542115E-56.354144E-54.69213535.0E-53.2760996E-55.8036396E-51.580306E-42.72295671.0E-43.987921E-47.063728E-48.063021E-41.14146831.0E-40.0039807720.0070474560.00716661061.01690751.2E-4
6.17.644328E-61.3542115E-56.354144E-54.69213535.0E-53.2760996E-55.8036396E-51.580306E-42.72295671.0E-43.987921E-47.063728E-48.063021E-41.14146831.0E-40.0039807720.0070474560.00716661061.01690751.2E-4
6.27.644328E-61.3542115E-56.354144E-54.69213535.0E-53.2760996E-55.8036396E-51.580306E-42.72295671.0E-43.987921E-47.063728E-48.063021E-41.14146831.0E-40.0039807720.0070474560.00716661061.01690751.2E-4
6.37.644328E-61.3542115E-56.354144E-54.69213535.0E-53.2760996E-55.8036396E-51.580306E-42.72295671.0E-43.987921E-47.063728E-48.063021E-41.14146831.0E-40.0039807720.0070474560.00716661061.01690751.2E-4
6.47.644328E-61.3542115E-56.354144E-54.69213535.0E-53.2760996E-55.8036396E-51.580306E-42.72295671.0E-43.987921E-47.063728E-48.063021E-41.14146831.0E-40.0039807720.0070474560.00716661061.01690751.2E-4
6.57.644328E-61.3542115E-56.354144E-54.69213535.0E-53.2760996E-55.8036396E-51.580306E-42.72295671.0E-43.987921E-47.063728E-48.063021E-41.14146831.0E-40.0039807720.0070474560.00716661061.01690751.2E-4
6.67.644328E-61.3542115E-56.354144E-54.69213535.0E-53.2760996E-55.8036396E-51.580306E-42.72295671.0E-43.987921E-47.063728E-48.063021E-41.14146831.0E-40.0039807720.0070474560.00716661061.01690751.2E-4
6.76.987586E-61.28458405E-56.2845196E-54.89226065.0E-52.9946454E-55.505249E-51.5504699E-42.81634831.0E-43.645371E-46.700662E-47.6999917E-41.1491391.0E-40.00363939670.00668659060.00680578831.01782631.2E-4
6.86.987586E-61.28458405E-56.2845196E-54.89226065.0E-52.9946454E-55.505249E-51.5504699E-42.81634831.0E-43.645371E-46.700662E-47.6999917E-41.1491391.0E-40.00363939670.00668659060.00680578831.01782631.2E-4
6.95.504702E-61.12754915E-56.127493E-55.43434675.0E-52.3591367E-54.832267E-51.4831783E-43.0693221.0E-42.8718702E-45.881749E-46.881161E-41.16991751.0E-40.00286816180.00587200930.00599130481.02031591.2E-4
7.05.4825764E-61.1251811E-56.1251245E-55.44367935.0E-52.3496545E-54.8221184E-51.4821636E-43.07367731.0E-42.8603288E-45.8694E-46.868813E-41.17027521.0E-40.002856650.0058597250.0059790221.02035881.2E-4
7.15.4692787E-61.1237506E-56.123695E-55.44933565.0E-52.3439556E-54.8159884E-51.4815507E-43.0763171.0E-42.8533922E-45.8619404E-46.8613543E-41.17049191.0E-40.00284973110.00585230530.0059716031.02038481.2E-4
7.25.453661E-61.1220513E-56.121995E-55.4560745.0E-52.3372622E-54.808706E-51.4808225E-43.07946161.0E-42.8452452E-45.853079E-46.8524934E-41.17075031.0E-40.0028416050.00584349040.0059627891.02041571.2E-4
7.35.4422303E-61.1207403E-56.120684E-55.46128655.0E-52.3323635E-54.8030874E-51.4802607E-43.08189421.0E-42.8392827E-45.846242E-46.8456575E-41.170951.0E-40.00283565770.00583668940.0059559891.02043961.2E-4
7.45.398595E-61.1154477E-56.115392E-55.48245535.0E-52.313663E-54.7804053E-51.4779928E-43.09177281.0E-42.8165206E-45.8186415E-46.8180595E-41.17176141.0E-40.00281295340.0058092330.0059285361.02053681.2E-4
7.55.3578788E-61.1080551E-56.108E-55.5123615.0E-52.2962136E-54.748724E-51.474825E-43.10572891.0E-42.7952815E-45.78009E-46.779512E-41.17290771.0E-40.0027917680.00577090450.0058902121.0206741.2E-4
7.64.8091474E-69.812772E-64.981238E-55.076284.0E-52.0610469E-54.2054085E-51.320503E-43.14001139.0E-52.5090357E-45.118932E-46.0184713E-41.1757289.0E-50.00250620460.0051133610.00521284951.01945661.0E-4
7.71.5991155E-63.4584143E-61.345838E-53.89148861.0E-56.853334E-61.4821693E-53.4821398E-52.34935362.0E-58.343615E-51.8043944E-42.0043582E-41.11082052.0E-58.340483E-40.00180829360.00182825761.01104012.0E-5
7.89.258398E-72.1367257E-62.1367257E-61.00.03.967879E-69.157364E-69.157364E-61.00.04.8307855E-51.1148522E-41.1148522E-41.00.04.8297356E-40.00111963430.00111963431.00.0
7.95.975575E-71.2861822E-61.2861822E-61.00.02.5609581E-65.5121977E-65.5121977E-61.00.03.117922E-56.710895E-56.710895E-51.00.03.1174847E-46.759762E-46.759762E-41.00.0
8.03.4413725E-77.0563016E-77.0563016E-71.00.01.4748731E-63.0241256E-63.0241256E-61.00.01.7956432E-53.6818114E-53.6818114E-51.00.01.7954981E-43.7154419E-43.7154419E-41.00.0
8.11.1787731E-81.05189315E-81.05189315E-81.00.05.0518846E-84.5081137E-84.5081137E-81.00.06.1506677E-75.488627E-75.488627E-71.00.06.1506507E-65.708599E-65.708599E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00123905650.00126901931.0241823.0E-50.00256311240.00529450130.00533428931.0075154.0E-50.0307628460.0617660.0618222951.00091146.0E-50.268354770.428886770.42893251.00010668.0E-5
6.15.015945E-40.00103124810.00106121721.0290613.0E-50.002147920.0044082320.00444805581.00903394.0E-50.0258393510.0517168640.051773761.00110026.0E-50.230327760.375682320.375732271.00013298.0E-5
6.24.073338E-48.2005805E-48.500334E-41.03655283.0E-50.00174454840.00350694660.00354680631.01136594.0E-50.0210340580.0413997360.0414572541.00138936.0E-50.191507820.316101880.316156571.00017318.0E-5
6.33.464099E-46.8325386E-47.1323337E-41.04387763.0E-50.00148376920.002922820.0029627031.01364544.0E-50.0179158730.0346597620.034717681.00167116.0E-50.165383590.27457210.274630131.00021148.0E-5
6.42.935057E-45.6379987E-45.937829E-41.05318033.0E-50.00125727510.00241257580.00245247921.01653984.0E-50.0152002480.0287393460.028797621.00202786.0E-50.142015770.236421960.236483051.00025838.0E-5
6.52.3409708E-44.30305E-44.602921E-41.0696883.0E-50.00100288750.00184205990.00188198631.02167494.0E-50.0121419650.0220658070.0221244821.00265916.0E-50.114995730.190467830.19053261.000348.0E-5
6.61.5842178E-42.5999753E-42.8998975E-41.11535573.0E-56.7877385E-40.00111379070.00115374621.03587344.0E-50.00823280.0134747220.0135339141.00439276.0E-50.079343960.127052650.127122481.00054978.0E-5
6.71.5616413E-42.5533987E-42.853322E-41.11746053.0E-56.691031E-40.00109384840.00113380461.03652814.0E-50.00811594350.01323549450.01329470051.00447326.0E-50.07825860.12507980.125149791.00055968.0E-5
6.81.5538467E-42.5355758E-42.8354998E-41.11828643.0E-56.6576427E-40.00108621710.00112617371.0367854.0E-50.0080755960.0131438660.0132030781.00450496.0E-50.077883580.124306130.1243761851.00056368.0E-5
6.91.5153569E-42.4457116E-42.7456382E-41.12263373.0E-56.49277E-40.00104774330.00108770131.03813734.0E-50.0078763330.0126822260.0127414651.0046716.0E-50.076029520.120363150.120433531.00058468.0E-5
7.01.4588932E-42.3296708E-42.629601E-41.12874353.0E-56.250901E-49.980503E-40.00103801051.04003814.0E-50.00758394740.01208409850.01214337351.00490526.0E-50.0733028950.115161850.115232641.00061468.0E-5
7.11.1565079E-41.7064689E-42.0064178E-41.17577163.0E-54.955521E-47.3113973E-47.711105E-41.05466914.0E-50.0060166690.0088655170.0089249841.00670786.0E-50.0585635380.087165140.087238171.00083788.0E-5
7.21.0393792E-41.5349036E-41.8348575E-41.1954223.0E-54.4537216E-46.576508E-46.976245E-41.06078264.0E-50.0054089330.007977690.008037211.0074616.0E-50.0527915950.078927260.079000951.00093368.0E-5
7.39.332884E-51.3426738E-41.6426334E-41.22340483.0E-53.999194E-45.7530537E-46.1528233E-41.06948834.0E-50.00485815340.0069819940.00704157541.00853356.0E-50.0475331020.069449430.069523881.00107198.0E-5
7.48.670252E-51.2315984E-41.5315616E-41.24355593.0E-53.715293E-45.277218E-45.6770066E-41.07575754.0E-50.0045139910.0064062160.00646583131.0093066.0E-50.0442339370.063985830.064060711.00117038.0E-5
7.57.3036405E-59.524787E-51.2524502E-41.31493773.0E-53.129756E-44.081414E-44.4812507E-41.09796524.0E-50.00380382170.00495782350.00501752641.0120426.0E-50.037393670.050346690.050422661.0015098.0E-5
7.66.3935775E-58.75182E-51.1751558E-41.34275583.0E-52.7398168E-43.750242E-44.1500918E-41.10661984.0E-50.00333062540.0045563810.0046161081.01310846.0E-50.0328114740.046235340.0463116431.00165038.0E-5
7.75.5050095E-57.079716E-51.0079504E-41.42371583.0E-52.3590765E-43.0338115E-43.43369E-41.13180734.0E-50.00286839270.00368741460.00374719341.01621156.0E-50.02831650.0378146660.037891641.00203568.0E-5
7.85.027131E-56.545026E-59.54483E-51.45833343.0E-52.1543067E-42.8047097E-43.2045975E-41.14257734.0E-50.00261971350.00340939130.00346918661.01753846.0E-50.0258904530.0349782440.0350554441.00220728.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.3305117E-58.3303516E-51.56276773.0E-51.5972654E-42.2843051E-42.6842137E-41.17506794.0E-50.00194293590.00277759670.002837431.02154146.0E-50.0192603620.0285759460.028653661.00271958.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.347781E-56.347681E-51.8960863.0E-51.17038646E-41.4346844E-41.834627E-41.2787674.0E-50.00142401410.00174532970.0018052251.03431756.0E-50.0141492350.0182525530.0183310921.0043038.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.872181E-52.8721624E-51.53412641.0E-57.688579E-58.023387E-59.0233065E-51.12462571.0E-59.3568244E-49.7641017E-49.963906E-41.02046322.0E-50.0093175250.0104911750.010520861.00282963.0E-5
8.28.643924E-66.012216E-61.6012156E-52.66327021.0E-53.704486E-52.5766387E-53.576613E-51.38809251.0E-54.5092785E-43.1366068E-43.336544E-41.06374312.0E-50.00450013950.00354134060.00356126971.00562762.0E-5
8.31.983087E-68.552935E-78.552935E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6655385E-63.6655385E-61.00.01.034694E-44.462704E-54.462704E-51.00.00.00103421245.2299944E-45.2299944E-41.00.0

Burnt Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5673151E-51.1766332E-54.176598E-53.54961753.0E-56.716892E-55.0426894E-59.042487E-51.79318754.0E-58.1747473E-46.1390374E-46.6387304E-41.0813965.0E-50.0081447410.0061347540.0062242021.01458059.0E-5
6.11.5673151E-51.1766332E-54.176598E-53.54961753.0E-56.716892E-55.0426894E-59.042487E-51.79318754.0E-58.1747473E-46.1390374E-46.6387304E-41.0813965.0E-50.0081447410.0061347540.0062242021.01458059.0E-5
6.21.5673151E-51.1766332E-54.176598E-53.54961753.0E-56.716892E-55.0426894E-59.042487E-51.79318754.0E-58.1747473E-46.1390374E-46.6387304E-41.0813965.0E-50.0081447410.0061347540.0062242021.01458059.0E-5
6.31.5673151E-51.1766332E-54.176598E-53.54961753.0E-56.716892E-55.0426894E-59.042487E-51.79318754.0E-58.1747473E-46.1390374E-46.6387304E-41.0813965.0E-50.0081447410.0061347540.0062242021.01458059.0E-5
6.41.5673151E-51.1766332E-54.176598E-53.54961753.0E-56.716892E-55.0426894E-59.042487E-51.79318754.0E-58.1747473E-46.1390374E-46.6387304E-41.0813965.0E-50.0081447410.0061347540.0062242021.01458059.0E-5
6.51.36191375E-51.0092248E-53.0092046E-52.9816992.0E-55.8366426E-54.325249E-57.325119E-51.69357173.0E-57.103795E-45.2659906E-45.66578E-41.07591924.0E-50.00708112960.00526599070.0053356221.01322287.0E-5

Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.20513E-54.879991E-54.879991E-51.00.01.8020741E-42.0912896E-42.1912687E-41.04780731.0E-50.00219181740.00254368880.00259356151.01960655.0E-50.0217032490.0251969250.025274911.0030958.0E-5
6.14.20513E-54.879991E-54.879991E-51.00.01.8020741E-42.0912896E-42.1912687E-41.04780731.0E-50.00219181740.00254368880.00259356151.01960655.0E-50.0217032490.0251969250.025274911.0030958.0E-5
6.22.3413893E-52.4775756E-52.4775756E-51.00.01.0034139E-41.0617802E-41.0617802E-41.00.00.00122097180.00129203980.0013220011.02318913.0E-50.0121428510.0128539280.0129032851.00383995.0E-5
6.32.3413893E-52.4775756E-52.4775756E-51.00.01.0034139E-41.0617802E-41.0617802E-41.00.00.00122097180.00129203980.0013220011.02318913.0E-50.0121428510.0128539280.0129032851.00383995.0E-5
6.41.6894814E-51.6622109E-51.6622109E-51.00.07.240433E-57.123587E-57.123587E-51.00.08.811662E-48.669883E-48.7697967E-41.01152421.0E-50.00877680350.0086397170.00865954351.00229492.0E-5
6.51.6894814E-51.6622109E-51.6622109E-51.00.07.240433E-57.123587E-57.123587E-51.00.08.811662E-48.669883E-48.7697967E-41.01152421.0E-50.00877680350.0086397170.00865954351.00229492.0E-5
6.61.1910969E-51.0567454E-51.0567454E-51.00.05.1046012E-54.528838E-54.528838E-51.00.06.21308E-45.5125967E-45.6125416E-41.01813031.0E-50.00619573750.00550022540.0055201151.00361622.0E-5
6.79.1486E-67.230512E-67.230512E-61.00.03.9207694E-53.098756E-53.098756E-51.00.04.7724912E-43.772121E-43.8720833E-41.02650021.0E-50.00476225470.00376610.00377606231.00264531.0E-5
6.87.90441E-65.7530533E-65.7530533E-61.00.03.3875604E-52.4655716E-52.4655716E-51.00.04.1235742E-43.001433E-43.1014028E-41.03330741.0E-50.00411593080.00299750870.00300747881.0033261.0E-5
6.97.77015E-65.606837E-65.606837E-61.00.03.3300217E-52.4029086E-52.4029086E-51.00.04.0535472E-42.9251614E-43.0251322E-41.03417611.0E-50.0040461610.00292143920.002931411.0034131.0E-5
7.07.675798E-65.5035675E-65.5035675E-61.00.03.289586E-52.3586512E-52.3586512E-51.00.04.004335E-42.8712922E-42.9712636E-41.03481761.0E-50.0039971270.00286770980.00287768131.00347711.0E-5
7.17.447814E-65.2622418E-65.2622418E-61.00.03.191881E-52.2552276E-52.2552276E-51.00.03.8854225E-42.7454062E-42.8453788E-41.03641451.0E-50.0038786360.002742140.00275211271.00363681.0E-5
7.27.128185E-64.928794E-64.928794E-61.00.03.0549007E-52.1123238E-52.1123238E-51.00.03.7187067E-42.5714628E-42.5714628E-41.00.00.003712490.00256860680.00256860681.00.0
7.37.0913875E-64.897433E-64.897433E-61.00.03.0391306E-52.0988835E-52.0988835E-51.00.03.6995133E-42.555103E-42.555103E-41.00.00.00369336040.00255228460.00255228461.00.0
7.47.051521E-64.861252E-64.861252E-61.00.03.0220453E-52.0833777E-52.0833777E-51.00.03.6787192E-42.5362291E-42.5362291E-41.00.00.00367263520.0025334540.0025334541.00.0
7.56.910666E-64.7564777E-64.7564777E-61.00.02.9616802E-52.0384752E-52.0384752E-51.00.03.605249E-42.4815727E-42.4815727E-41.00.00.00359940580.00247892060.00247892061.00.0
7.66.341753E-64.3281934E-64.3281934E-61.00.02.7178658E-51.8549274E-51.8549274E-51.00.03.3084993E-42.2581518E-42.2581518E-41.00.00.00330357770.00225597360.00225597361.00.0
7.73.9205916E-62.2559116E-62.2559116E-61.00.01.6802427E-59.668161E-69.668161E-61.00.02.0455034E-41.1770425E-41.1770425E-41.00.00.00204362160.00117649270.00117649271.00.0
7.82.0846227E-78.529884E-88.529884E-81.00.08.9340944E-73.6556645E-73.6556645E-71.00.01.0877206E-54.4507656E-64.4507656E-61.00.01.0876673E-44.4507095E-54.4507095E-51.00.0
7.94.4969806E-92.283008E-92.283008E-91.00.01.9272775E-89.784319E-99.784319E-91.00.02.3464601E-71.1912408E-71.1912408E-71.00.02.3464577E-61.1912402E-61.1912402E-61.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6813417E-52.681325E-51.5947531.0E-56.6286244E-57.2055824E-58.205511E-51.13877131.0E-58.067362E-48.769816E-49.169465E-41.0455714.0E-50.0080381370.0087406490.0088100371.00793857.0E-5
6.11.5467183E-51.6813417E-52.681325E-51.5947531.0E-56.6286244E-57.2055824E-58.205511E-51.13877131.0E-58.067362E-48.769816E-49.169465E-41.0455714.0E-50.0080381370.0087406490.0088100371.00793857.0E-5
6.21.2624631E-51.36968265E-52.369669E-51.73008611.0E-55.410444E-55.869964E-56.869905E-51.17034881.0E-56.585225E-47.1448256E-47.4446114E-41.04195853.0E-50.00656574450.00712666240.0071763061.00696595.0E-5
6.31.2624631E-51.36968265E-52.369669E-51.73008611.0E-55.410444E-55.869964E-56.869905E-51.17034881.0E-56.585225E-47.1448256E-47.4446114E-41.04195853.0E-50.00656574450.00712666240.0071763061.00696595.0E-5
6.49.417684E-61.0180968E-52.0180867E-51.98221491.0E-54.036088E-54.3632223E-55.3631786E-51.22917841.0E-54.912829E-45.31134E-45.6111807E-41.05645293.0E-50.0049019820.0053026920.005342481.00750344.0E-5
6.59.368219E-61.012835E-52.012825E-51.98731761.0E-54.014889E-54.3406726E-55.3406293E-51.23036911.0E-54.8870314E-45.2838994E-45.583741E-41.05674623.0E-50.0048762980.00527538170.00531517061.00754244.0E-5
6.67.803798E-68.451038E-61.8450954E-52.18327671.0E-53.3444423E-53.621846E-54.6218094E-51.27609231.0E-54.0710976E-44.4091052E-44.609017E-41.04534072.0E-50.00406364720.00440428450.0044341521.00678163.0E-5
6.72.3108669E-62.4457038E-62.4457038E-61.00.09.903678E-61.0481546E-51.0481546E-51.00.01.205706E-41.2760554E-41.2760554E-41.00.00.0012050520.00127534140.00127534141.00.0
6.82.0882828E-62.2079394E-62.2079394E-61.00.08.949753E-69.462564E-69.462564E-61.00.01.08957785E-41.152008E-41.152008E-41.00.00.00108904380.00115142760.00115142761.00.0
6.91.876935E-61.9825113E-61.9825113E-61.00.08.043982E-68.49645E-68.49645E-61.00.09.7931086E-51.0343954E-41.0343954E-41.00.09.788794E-40.00103392990.00103392991.00.0
7.01.5357559E-61.6214658E-61.6214658E-61.00.06.5817944E-66.949121E-66.949121E-61.00.08.01304E-58.460239E-58.460239E-51.00.08.010151E-48.457143E-48.457143E-41.00.0
7.11.0905424E-61.1505916E-61.1505916E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.931098E-64.931098E-61.00.05.6901354E-56.0034567E-56.0034567E-51.00.05.6886784E-46.001933E-46.001933E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.391762E-76.391762E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7393241E-62.7393241E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.335083E-53.335083E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.334651E-43.334651E-41.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.9533755E-43.053346E-41.03384961.0E-56.94276E-40.00126520580.00128518061.01578772.0E-50.0084200970.0153166530.0153363471.00128582.0E-50.0810811450.140385750.140437321.00036746.0E-5
6.11.6204086E-42.9533755E-43.053346E-41.03384961.0E-56.94276E-40.00126520580.00128518061.01578772.0E-50.0084200970.0153166530.0153363471.00128582.0E-50.0810811450.140385750.140437321.00036746.0E-5
6.21.6204086E-42.9533755E-43.053346E-41.03384961.0E-56.94276E-40.00126520580.00128518061.01578772.0E-50.0084200970.0153166530.0153363471.00128582.0E-50.0810811450.140385750.140437321.00036746.0E-5
6.31.0111737E-41.7806888E-41.8806709E-41.0561481.0E-54.332882E-47.630471E-47.8303186E-41.02619082.0E-50.0052625310.0092714440.0092912581.00213722.0E-50.05139640.087437320.087492071.00062626.0E-5
6.41.0111737E-41.7806888E-41.8806709E-41.0561481.0E-54.332882E-47.630471E-47.8303186E-41.02619082.0E-50.0052625310.0092714440.0092912581.00213722.0E-50.05139640.087437320.087492071.00062626.0E-5
6.53.6624708E-54.6695175E-55.669471E-51.2141451.0E-51.569536E-42.001089E-42.101069E-41.04996281.0E-50.0019092350.00243396850.0024439441.00409851.0E-50.018929150.0239160120.0239355341.00081622.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6317783E-52.6317783E-51.00.01.073584E-41.1278587E-41.1278587E-41.00.00.00130630470.00137234820.00137234821.00.00.0129865250.013648180.0136580441.00072261.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.219685E-52.219685E-51.00.09.509556E-59.5126095E-59.5126095E-51.00.00.00115717340.00115758170.00115758171.00.00.0115116630.0115257850.011535671.00085761.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.451454E-51.451454E-51.00.07.137396E-56.220372E-56.220372E-51.00.08.686314E-47.5707235E-47.5707235E-41.00.00.0086524390.00754994530.007559871.00131451.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2399098E-51.2399098E-51.00.06.446802E-55.3137926E-55.3137926E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.467654E-46.467654E-41.00.00.0078185090.0064527020.0064626381.00153971.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1511848E-51.1511848E-51.00.06.154734E-54.9335576E-54.9335576E-51.00.07.490812E-46.0049805E-46.0049805E-41.00.00.0074656120.00599244140.00600238141.00165881.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0299826E-51.0299826E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.4141376E-54.4141376E-51.00.06.919436E-45.372913E-45.372913E-41.00.00.0068979310.0053631230.0053730691.00185451.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.551882E-68.551882E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.665042E-53.665042E-51.00.06.049042E-44.461292E-44.461292E-41.00.00.0060326030.00445379220.00446374761.00223531.0E-5
7.31.0150827E-57.2787484E-67.2787484E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.119427E-53.119427E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.7972553E-43.7972553E-41.00.00.0052825810.00379119350.00380115561.00262771.0E-5
7.49.080705E-66.384911E-66.384911E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7363625E-52.7363625E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.331026E-43.331026E-41.00.00.0047269960.00332618640.00333615321.00299641.0E-5
7.57.671649E-65.252291E-65.252291E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2509632E-52.2509632E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7402156E-42.7402156E-41.00.00.00399497060.00273696290.00273696291.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.7115855E-64.7115855E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.019236E-52.019236E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.458154E-42.458154E-41.00.00.00364069640.00245555230.00245555231.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.3421094E-62.3421094E-61.00.01.7843471E-51.0037576E-51.0037576E-51.00.02.172226E-41.222014E-41.222014E-41.00.00.00217010380.00122141570.00122141571.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.432682E-89.432682E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0425775E-74.0425775E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.92183E-64.92183E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.9217546E-54.9217546E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4577874E-93.4577874E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4819088E-81.4819088E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.8042239E-71.8042239E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.8042226E-61.8042226E-61.00.0

Joshua Tree (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4025588E-62.2915503E-63.2291482E-514.0915443.0E-56.0109523E-69.820897E-64.9820505E-55.0729084.0E-57.318089E-51.1956351E-41.8955514E-41.5853937.0E-57.315679E-40.00119505610.00126497251.05850477.0E-5
6.11.4025588E-62.2915503E-63.2291482E-514.0915443.0E-56.0109523E-69.820897E-64.9820505E-55.0729084.0E-57.318089E-51.1956351E-41.8955514E-41.5853937.0E-57.315679E-40.00119505610.00126497251.05850477.0E-5
6.21.4025588E-62.2915503E-63.2291482E-514.0915443.0E-56.0109523E-69.820897E-64.9820505E-55.0729084.0E-57.318089E-51.1956351E-41.8955514E-41.5853937.0E-57.315679E-40.00119505610.00126497251.05850477.0E-5
6.37.3325685E-71.6154918E-63.1615444E-519.5701663.0E-53.1425257E-66.9235184E-64.692324E-56.7773694.0E-53.825958E-58.429067E-51.442856E-41.71176256.0E-53.8252992E-48.4259565E-49.0254506E-41.07114856.0E-5
6.46.38256E-71.5197307E-63.1519685E-520.7403093.0E-52.7353801E-66.5131157E-64.6512854E-57.14141374.0E-53.3302742E-57.9294376E-51.3928962E-41.75661416.0E-53.3297754E-47.926684E-48.526208E-41.07563366.0E-5
6.56.38256E-71.5197307E-63.1519685E-520.7403093.0E-52.7353801E-66.5131157E-64.6512854E-57.14141374.0E-53.3302742E-57.9294376E-51.3928962E-41.75661416.0E-53.3297754E-47.926684E-48.526208E-41.07563366.0E-5
6.66.3436806E-71.5168127E-63.1516767E-520.7782843.0E-52.7187175E-66.50061E-64.650035E-57.15322834.0E-53.3099885E-57.914213E-51.3913738E-41.75806986.0E-53.3094952E-47.91147E-48.5109955E-41.07577926.0E-5
6.76.094856E-71.4914975E-63.1491454E-521.1139833.0E-52.6120786E-66.392117E-64.6391862E-57.2576684.0E-53.1801592E-57.782132E-51.3781665E-41.7709376.0E-53.179704E-47.779481E-48.379015E-41.0770666.0E-5
6.85.984801E-71.4827356E-63.148269E-521.2328433.0E-52.564912E-66.354566E-64.635431E-57.29464634.0E-53.1227355E-57.736417E-51.3735953E-41.77549286.0E-53.1222968E-47.7337987E-48.333334E-41.07752166.0E-5
6.94.94631E-71.3165521E-63.131651E-523.7867623.0E-52.1198455E-65.6423546E-64.564213E-58.0891994.0E-52.5808813E-56.869356E-51.2868944E-41.87338426.0E-52.5805813E-46.867294E-47.4668817E-41.08731076.0E-5
7.04.250375E-71.1796877E-63.1179654E-526.430433.0E-51.8215881E-65.055795E-64.5055593E-58.9116744.0E-52.2177608E-56.1552615E-51.21548925E-41.97471586.0E-52.2175396E-46.1536086E-46.7532394E-41.09744386.0E-5
7.13.6888565E-71.0576651E-63.1057632E-529.3643363.0E-51.5809376E-64.532843E-64.4532662E-59.8244444.0E-51.9247746E-55.518601E-51.151827E-42.0871726.0E-51.9246078E-45.517276E-46.1169453E-41.10868936.0E-5
7.23.2473773E-79.5213267E-73.0952106E-532.5081833.0E-51.3917323E-64.0805626E-64.40804E-510.802534.0E-51.694421E-54.967976E-51.09676774E-42.20767556.0E-51.6942917E-44.9669074E-45.5666093E-41.12073956.0E-5
7.32.465367E-76.741738E-73.0674153E-545.4988823.0E-51.0565853E-62.8893132E-64.2889198E-514.844084.0E-51.2863851E-53.5176858E-59.517475E-52.7056076.0E-51.2863107E-43.5171644E-44.1169534E-41.1705326.0E-5
7.41.6654941E-74.257436E-72.0425736E-547.9766122.0E-57.13783E-71.8246143E-62.1824577E-511.9612012.0E-58.690274E-62.221448E-55.2213814E-52.35044053.0E-58.689934E-52.2212544E-42.5211877E-41.13502883.0E-5
7.54.24214E-98.533874E-98.533874E-91.00.01.81806E-83.6573745E-83.6573745E-81.00.02.213488E-74.4528534E-74.4528534E-71.00.02.2134857E-64.452851E-64.452851E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.8783985E-52.8783985E-51.00.01.5187653E-41.2335417E-41.2335417E-41.00.00.00184752840.0015008150.001530771.01995913.0E-50.0183224360.0153141820.0153634171.0032155.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.8783985E-52.8783985E-51.00.01.5180321E-41.2335417E-41.2335417E-41.00.00.00184663720.0015008150.001530771.01995913.0E-50.0183136720.0153141820.0153634171.0032155.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.8783985E-52.8783985E-51.00.01.4865733E-41.2335417E-41.2335417E-41.00.00.00180840050.0015008150.001530771.01995913.0E-50.0179375480.0153141810.0153634161.0032155.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.8628892E-52.8628892E-51.00.01.3750899E-41.2268955E-41.2268955E-41.00.00.00167288620.00149273430.00152268961.02006733.0E-50.0166034880.0152351550.0152843931.00323195.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.8595725E-52.8595725E-51.00.01.364017E-41.2254743E-41.2254743E-41.00.00.00165942540.00149100620.00152096151.02009073.0E-50.0164708850.0152182850.0152675241.00323565.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.8333978E-52.8333978E-51.00.01.3526545E-41.2142576E-41.2142576E-41.00.00.00164561280.00147736850.00150732421.02027643.0E-50.01633480.0150836920.0151329381.00326485.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.8177268E-52.8177268E-51.00.01.3485427E-41.207542E-41.207542E-41.00.00.00164061420.00146920350.00149915941.02038923.0E-50.0162855480.0150036230.0150528731.00328255.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.7793973E-52.7793973E-51.00.01.3380898E-41.1911165E-41.1911165E-41.00.00.00162790680.00144923210.00147918871.02067073.0E-50.016160330.0148075390.0148567991.00332675.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.7613512E-52.7613512E-51.00.01.3291716E-41.1833833E-41.1833833E-41.00.00.0016170650.00143982940.00146978621.02080583.0E-50.0160534870.01471410.0147633651.00334815.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.299014E-52.299014E-51.00.01.1417485E-49.8525474E-59.8525474E-51.00.00.00138919240.00119889170.00122885571.02499313.0E-50.01380540150.0123023230.01235170851.00401435.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.1259315E-52.1259315E-51.00.01.02228936E-49.110818E-59.110818E-51.00.00.00124392660.00110868040.00112865821.01801942.0E-50.0123698660.0113896770.0114193351.0026043.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-52.1094947E-52.1094947E-51.00.01.0145135E-49.0403795E-59.0403795E-51.00.00.00123447020.00110011310.00112009121.018162.0E-50.01227635050.011304470.0113341311.00262383.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-52.0312162E-52.0312162E-51.00.09.735599E-58.704923E-58.704923E-51.00.00.00118466460.00105931160.00107929031.01886022.0E-50.011783690.0108966890.0109263631.00272313.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.9140183E-51.9140183E-51.00.09.006634E-58.202679E-58.202679E-51.00.00.0010960069.982208E-40.00100821081.01000791.0E-50.0109061630.0102855450.01030533951.00192452.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.8940715E-51.8940715E-51.00.08.86411E-58.117198E-58.117198E-51.00.00.0010786719.878229E-49.978131E-41.01011321.0E-50.0107345010.01018130.0102010971.00194442.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.8529607E-51.8529607E-51.00.08.568561E-57.9410194E-57.9410194E-51.00.00.0010427239.663924E-49.7638275E-41.01033771.0E-50.0103784380.0099650940.0099848951.0019872.0E-5
7.61.788966E-51.7160903E-51.7160903E-51.00.07.666772E-57.354466E-57.354466E-51.00.09.3302975E-48.950403E-48.950403E-41.00.00.009291220.0092457690.00925567651.00107161.0E-5
7.71.5125781E-51.49422085E-51.49422085E-51.00.06.4823165E-56.403647E-56.403647E-51.00.07.889362E-47.79366E-47.79366E-41.00.00.0078614120.0080830780.0080929971.00122711.0E-5
7.81.250089E-51.3302536E-51.3302536E-51.00.05.3574146E-55.7009627E-55.7009627E-51.00.06.5207E-46.938719E-46.938719E-41.00.00.0065015990.00721990460.0072298321.00137511.0E-5
7.99.561E-61.03389075E-51.03389075E-51.00.04.0975072E-54.4308854E-54.4308854E-51.00.04.987573E-45.393274E-45.393274E-41.00.00.00497639370.0056591990.0056691421.0017571.0E-5
8.08.01699E-68.819552E-68.819552E-61.00.03.4358076E-53.7797538E-53.7797538E-51.00.04.1822926E-44.6008843E-44.6008843E-41.00.00.00417443040.00485012350.00486007471.00205181.0E-5
8.16.541947E-66.890407E-66.890407E-61.00.02.8036617E-52.9529983E-52.9529983E-51.00.03.4129233E-43.5946883E-43.5946883E-41.00.00.00340768650.00380686950.00380686951.00.0
8.21.7968189E-68.77085E-78.77085E-71.00.07.70063E-63.7589302E-63.7589302E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.576404E-54.576404E-51.00.09.371159E-45.160364E-45.160364E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-75.495408E-85.495408E-81.00.06.500522E-72.3551746E-72.3551746E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.867422E-62.867422E-61.00.07.914075E-53.3118475E-53.3118475E-51.00.0

Superstition Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6865185E-51.4490041E-52.4489897E-51.69011911.0E-52.8653358E-46.209879E-57.209817E-51.16102371.0E-50.00348296677.558071E-47.9577684E-41.05288354.0E-50.034288810.0077027880.0077524031.00644115.0E-5
6.16.544851E-51.4490041E-52.4489897E-51.69011911.0E-52.8046346E-46.209879E-57.209817E-51.16102371.0E-50.00340929657.558071E-47.9577684E-41.05288354.0E-50.0335746440.0077027870.00775240181.00644115.0E-5
6.26.544851E-51.4490041E-52.4489897E-51.69011911.0E-52.8046346E-46.209879E-57.209817E-51.16102371.0E-50.00340929657.558071E-47.9577684E-41.05288354.0E-50.0335746440.0077027870.00775240181.00644115.0E-5
6.35.2402065E-51.4490039E-52.4489893E-51.69011931.0E-52.2456095E-46.209878E-57.2098155E-51.16102371.0E-50.00273060177.558069E-47.9577666E-41.05288364.0E-50.026972920.00770277580.00775239061.00644115.0E-5
6.44.542238E-51.4490037E-52.4489893E-51.69011941.0E-51.9465282E-46.209877E-57.2098155E-51.16102371.0E-50.00236732237.5580686E-47.957766E-41.05288364.0E-50.0234226170.00770276970.00775238451.00644115.0E-5
6.52.9672969E-51.4490034E-52.448989E-51.69011951.0E-51.2716366E-46.209876E-57.209814E-51.16102391.0E-50.00154711817.558067E-47.9577643E-41.05288364.0E-50.0153639120.0077027570.0077523721.00644125.0E-5
6.62.6056105E-51.4148492E-52.414835E-51.70677911.0E-51.1166424E-46.0635073E-57.0634465E-51.1649111.0E-50.00135866427.379984E-47.7796885E-41.05416074.0E-50.0135038740.0075234260.00757304951.00659585.0E-5
6.71.4611248E-51.3726672E-52.3726534E-51.72849871.0E-56.261813E-55.8827354E-56.882677E-51.1699791.0E-57.6210906E-47.16004E-47.559753E-41.05582564.0E-50.00759500730.0073037920.0073534271.00679585.0E-5
6.81.30607E-51.1308403E-51.1308403E-51.00.05.597323E-54.8463735E-54.8463735E-51.00.06.8126095E-45.8989524E-46.1987754E-41.05082643.0E-50.0067917620.00604544860.00608520681.00657654.0E-5
6.91.0443096E-58.497586E-68.497586E-61.00.04.4755358E-53.6417736E-53.6417736E-51.00.05.447602E-44.432982E-44.732849E-41.06764463.0E-50.0054342670.00456698750.0046068051.00871854.0E-5
7.08.045912E-67.0174574E-67.0174574E-61.00.03.4482026E-53.0074476E-53.0074476E-51.00.04.197378E-43.6609636E-43.8608903E-41.05461042.0E-50.00418945870.00377814660.00379807081.00527362.0E-5
7.18.045912E-67.0174574E-67.0174574E-61.00.03.4482026E-53.0074476E-53.0074476E-51.00.04.197378E-43.6609636E-43.8608903E-41.05461042.0E-50.00418945870.00377814660.00379807081.00527362.0E-5
7.27.375506E-66.517891E-66.517891E-61.00.03.1608928E-52.7933525E-52.7933525E-51.00.03.8477074E-43.4003853E-43.6003173E-41.05879692.0E-50.0038410520.0035152120.0035351421.00566962.0E-5
7.36.6063913E-66.062271E-66.062271E-61.00.02.8312797E-52.5980906E-52.5980906E-51.00.03.446538E-43.162724E-43.2626925E-41.03160831.0E-50.00344119730.0032752960.00328526321.00304321.0E-5
7.46.4313126E-65.942894E-65.942894E-61.00.02.7562477E-52.54693E-52.54693E-51.00.03.355215E-43.1004538E-43.2004228E-41.03224341.0E-50.00335015360.00321266330.0032226311.00310271.0E-5
7.56.0742927E-65.7357533E-65.7357533E-61.00.02.6032423E-52.4581572E-52.4581572E-51.00.03.1689866E-42.992403E-43.0923728E-41.03340791.0E-50.00316447110.00310295980.0031129291.00321271.0E-5
7.65.6987187E-65.5508685E-65.5508685E-61.00.02.4422852E-52.3789224E-52.3789224E-51.00.02.9730765E-42.8959604E-42.8959604E-41.00.00.0029691020.00300460960.00300460961.00.0
7.75.1658035E-65.1775633E-65.1775633E-61.00.02.2138971E-52.2189372E-52.2189372E-51.00.02.6950863E-42.7012278E-42.7012278E-41.00.00.002691820.0028074060.0028074061.00.0
7.83.6864697E-64.4353933E-64.4353933E-61.00.01.579906E-51.9008692E-51.9008692E-51.00.01.9233658E-42.3140678E-42.3140678E-41.00.00.00192170180.00241376180.00241376181.00.0
7.93.0265903E-63.7805517E-63.7805517E-61.00.01.2971037E-51.6202266E-51.6202266E-51.00.01.5791094E-41.9724524E-41.9724524E-41.00.00.00157798770.00206652840.00206652841.00.0
8.02.5271493E-63.282182E-63.282182E-61.00.01.0830595E-51.4066421E-51.4066421E-51.00.01.3185451E-41.7124569E-41.7124569E-41.00.00.00131776310.00179925390.00179925391.00.0
8.12.3749135E-63.103129E-63.103129E-61.00.01.0178161E-51.3299059E-51.3299059E-51.00.01.2391206E-41.6190448E-41.6190448E-41.00.00.00123842990.00170178840.00170178841.00.0
8.21.7186406E-91.2335496E-91.2335496E-91.00.07.3656024E-95.2866413E-95.2866413E-91.00.08.9676206E-86.4364855E-86.4364855E-81.00.08.9676166E-76.868981E-76.868981E-71.00.0

Laguna Salada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6465593E-54.6594305E-55.659384E-51.21460861.0E-51.9912305E-41.9967534E-42.1967135E-41.10014262.0E-50.00242162780.00242840270.00244835411.00821592.0E-50.023954080.024098990.0241477841.00202485.0E-5
6.13.982297E-53.745087E-53.745087E-51.00.01.706587E-41.6049444E-41.6049444E-41.00.00.00207578970.00195236120.00195236121.00.00.0205650650.0194345820.0194345821.00.0
6.23.6067784E-53.2792028E-53.2792028E-51.00.01.5456705E-41.405302E-41.405302E-41.00.00.00188022950.00170970440.00170970441.00.00.0186440030.0170391630.0170391631.00.0
6.33.2859112E-52.9022702E-52.9022702E-51.00.01.4081717E-41.2437765E-41.2437765E-41.00.00.00171310060.00151333670.00151333671.00.00.0169995460.015099560.015099561.00.0
6.42.9132116E-52.5008585E-52.5008585E-51.00.01.2484594E-41.0717576E-41.0717576E-41.00.00.00151893960.00130417240.00130417241.00.00.0150859920.01302320.01302321.00.0
6.52.7075037E-52.2970813E-52.2970813E-51.00.01.1603071E-49.8443124E-59.8443124E-51.00.00.00141175840.00119797510.00119797511.00.00.0140282330.0119689750.0119689751.00.0
6.62.2367465E-51.8696148E-51.8696148E-51.00.09.5857045E-58.012435E-58.012435E-51.00.00.00116643469.751605E-49.751605E-41.00.00.0116033110.009748160.009748161.00.0
6.71.9458053E-51.6020776E-51.6020776E-51.00.08.338899E-56.865912E-56.865912E-51.00.00.0010147888.356853E-48.356853E-41.00.00.0101016650.008371650.008371651.00.0
6.81.0767866E-59.210219E-69.210219E-61.00.04.614718E-53.947216E-53.947216E-51.00.05.6169706E-44.805367E-44.805367E-41.00.00.00560279420.00482254570.00482254571.00.0
6.92.1384765E-61.793441E-61.793441E-61.00.09.164866E-67.686155E-67.686155E-61.00.01.1157654E-49.357531E-59.357531E-51.00.00.00111520539.3539746E-49.3539746E-41.00.0
7.02.0952946E-61.7513586E-61.7513586E-61.00.08.979802E-67.5058033E-67.5058033E-61.00.01.0932361E-49.137971E-59.137971E-51.00.00.00109269849.1345963E-49.1345963E-41.00.0
7.11.7887576E-61.4519119E-61.4519119E-61.00.07.666081E-66.2224663E-66.2224663E-61.00.09.333054E-57.57562E-57.57562E-51.00.09.329135E-47.5733423E-47.5733423E-41.00.0
7.29.723109E-77.148584E-77.148584E-71.00.04.16704E-63.063676E-63.063676E-61.00.05.073253E-53.7299786E-53.7299786E-51.00.05.072095E-43.7295156E-43.7295156E-41.00.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.5446887E-54.5446377E-51.78593082.0E-57.183948E-51.0905394E-41.2905175E-41.18337552.0E-58.742947E-40.00132699530.00134696871.01505162.0E-50.008708630.0132985510.0133478861.00370985.0E-5
6.11.6763008E-52.5446887E-54.5446377E-51.78593082.0E-57.183948E-51.0905394E-41.2905175E-41.18337552.0E-58.742947E-40.00132699530.00134696871.01505162.0E-50.008708630.0132985510.0133478861.00370985.0E-5
6.21.6763008E-52.5446887E-54.5446377E-51.78593082.0E-57.183948E-51.0905394E-41.2905175E-41.18337552.0E-58.742947E-40.00132699530.00134696871.01505162.0E-50.008708630.0132985510.0133478861.00370985.0E-5
6.31.6763008E-52.5446887E-54.5446377E-51.78593082.0E-57.183948E-51.0905394E-41.2905175E-41.18337552.0E-58.742947E-40.00132699530.00134696871.01505162.0E-50.008708630.0132985510.0133478861.00370985.0E-5
6.41.6763008E-52.5446887E-54.5446377E-51.78593082.0E-57.183948E-51.0905394E-41.2905175E-41.18337552.0E-58.742947E-40.00132699530.00134696871.01505162.0E-50.008708630.0132985510.0133478861.00370985.0E-5
6.51.6763008E-52.5446887E-54.5446377E-51.78593082.0E-57.183948E-51.0905394E-41.2905175E-41.18337552.0E-58.742947E-40.00132699530.00134696871.01505162.0E-50.008708630.0132985510.0133478861.00370985.0E-5
6.69.910213E-61.7887474E-52.7887296E-51.55904041.0E-54.247165E-57.6658376E-58.665761E-51.13043891.0E-55.169696E-49.3291985E-49.4291056E-41.0107091.0E-50.00515768630.0093914320.0094112451.00210962.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.7887474E-52.7887296E-51.55904041.0E-54.247165E-57.6658376E-58.665761E-51.13043891.0E-55.169696E-49.3291985E-49.4291056E-41.0107091.0E-50.00515768630.0093914320.0094112451.00210962.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.614521E-52.6145048E-51.61936881.0E-53.557164E-56.919193E-57.919124E-51.14451551.0E-54.3299864E-48.420876E-48.520792E-41.01186531.0E-50.0043215590.0084902080.0085001231.00116781.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.6016123E-52.6015963E-51.62436081.0E-53.5070017E-56.8638736E-57.863805E-51.14568031.0E-54.2689382E-48.3535764E-48.453493E-41.01196091.0E-50.00426074680.008423420.0084333351.00117721.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4794854E-51.4794854E-51.00.03.0749135E-56.340498E-56.340498E-51.00.03.743064E-47.7168277E-47.7168277E-41.00.00.00373676540.0077908260.0077908261.00.0
7.17.1671807E-61.4785134E-51.4785134E-51.00.03.0716128E-56.3363324E-56.3363324E-51.00.03.7390468E-47.71176E-47.71176E-41.00.00.00373276180.00778579340.00778579341.00.0
7.27.0649667E-61.4630229E-51.4630229E-51.00.03.0278077E-56.269948E-56.269948E-51.00.03.6857324E-47.6309935E-47.6309935E-41.00.00.00367962550.0077054580.0077054581.00.0
7.37.02082E-61.4572412E-51.4572412E-51.00.03.008888E-56.24517E-56.24517E-51.00.03.6627054E-47.600847E-47.600847E-41.00.00.00365667440.00767531940.00767531941.00.0
7.46.987146E-61.4531253E-51.4531253E-51.00.02.9944567E-56.227532E-56.227532E-51.00.03.6451413E-47.579388E-47.579388E-41.00.00.00363916790.0076538940.0076538941.00.0
7.56.9494554E-61.4487605E-51.4487605E-51.00.02.9783041E-56.208826E-56.208826E-51.00.03.625482E-47.556629E-47.556629E-41.00.00.00361957260.00763124460.00763124461.00.0
7.66.92694E-61.4445696E-51.4445696E-51.00.02.9686547E-56.1908664E-56.1908664E-51.00.03.6137376E-47.5347786E-47.5347786E-41.00.00.00360786660.0076094850.0076094851.00.0
7.76.395867E-61.3296391E-51.3296391E-51.00.02.741057E-55.6983292E-55.6983292E-51.00.03.336726E-46.935511E-46.935511E-41.00.00.00333172010.0070139880.0070139881.00.0
7.85.8664327E-61.2109016E-51.2109016E-51.00.02.5141611E-55.1894753E-55.1894753E-51.00.03.060561E-46.3163566E-46.3163566E-41.00.00.00305634950.0063918370.0063918371.00.0
7.93.7167474E-67.462562E-67.462562E-61.00.01.592882E-53.1982017E-53.1982017E-51.00.01.9391612E-43.8931164E-43.8931164E-41.00.00.00193746990.0039447530.0039447531.00.0
8.01.0903841E-61.3664825E-61.3664825E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.8563405E-65.8563405E-61.00.05.68931E-57.129863E-57.129863E-51.00.05.6878536E-47.354343E-47.354343E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.2375486E-71.2375486E-71.00.01.1526245E-65.3037786E-75.3037786E-71.00.01.4033113E-56.4573314E-66.4573314E-61.00.01.4032227E-47.1889925E-57.1889925E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.7690392E-92.7690392E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.1867311E-81.1867311E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.444845E-71.444845E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.6326408E-61.6326408E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.6200685E-52.7573817E-53.757354E-51.36265291.0E-53.6937918E-41.1816816E-41.2816698E-41.08461511.0E-50.00448792150.00143774980.0014577211.01389062.0E-50.0439836120.0160596990.0160990561.00245074.0E-5
6.18.6200685E-52.7573817E-53.757354E-51.36265291.0E-53.6937918E-41.1816816E-41.2816698E-41.08461511.0E-50.00448792150.00143774980.0014577211.01389062.0E-50.0439836120.0160596990.0160990561.00245074.0E-5
6.28.6200685E-52.7573817E-53.757354E-51.36265291.0E-53.6937918E-41.1816816E-41.2816698E-41.08461511.0E-50.00448792150.00143774980.0014577211.01389062.0E-50.0439836120.0160596990.0160990561.00245074.0E-5
6.38.551163E-52.7248945E-53.7248672E-51.36697671.0E-53.6642692E-41.1677598E-41.267748E-41.08562411.0E-50.0044521250.00142082210.00144079371.01405632.0E-50.0436397940.0158782450.015917611.00247924.0E-5
6.48.551163E-52.7248945E-53.7248672E-51.36697671.0E-53.6642692E-41.1677598E-41.267748E-41.08562411.0E-50.0044521250.00142082210.00144079371.01405632.0E-50.0436397940.0158782450.015917611.00247924.0E-5
6.58.511146E-52.7060794E-53.7060523E-51.36952831.0E-53.647124E-41.15969684E-41.2596852E-41.08621941.0E-50.0044313360.00141101830.00143099021.01415422.0E-50.043440070.0157730410.015812411.0024964.0E-5
6.68.4985084E-52.6988586E-53.6988316E-51.3705171.0E-53.6417096E-41.1566025E-41.2565909E-41.08645011.0E-50.00442477040.00140725590.00142722771.01419212.0E-50.0433769860.015733580.015772951.00250234.0E-5
6.78.462618E-52.6808626E-53.6808357E-51.37300431.0E-53.6263323E-41.1488906E-41.2488791E-41.08703051.0E-50.0044061250.00139787860.00141785071.01428742.0E-50.0431978070.0156344210.0156737961.00251844.0E-5
6.88.42337E-52.6697726E-53.669746E-51.37455371.0E-53.6095164E-41.1441382E-41.2441268E-41.0873921.0E-50.0043857340.00139210.00141207221.01434682.0E-50.0430018230.0155715050.0156108821.00252884.0E-5
6.98.365989E-52.6492913E-53.649265E-51.37744941.0E-53.5849313E-41.1353612E-41.2353499E-41.08806771.0E-50.0043559220.00138142770.00140140011.01445782.0E-50.042715230.0154590250.0154984061.00254754.0E-5
7.08.30936E-52.624555E-53.624529E-51.3810071.0E-53.560668E-41.124761E-41.2247497E-41.08889781.0E-50.0043264990.00136853810.00138851071.01459412.0E-50.0424322970.0153254050.0153647911.002574.0E-5
7.18.041264E-52.5912392E-53.5912133E-51.38590571.0E-53.4458007E-41.1104839E-41.21047284E-41.09004081.0E-50.00418719460.00135117760.00137115051.0147822.0E-50.0410917250.0151367920.0151761861.00260264.0E-5
7.27.8427016E-52.531084E-53.5310586E-51.39507771.0E-53.3607247E-41.0847052E-41.18469434E-41.0921811.0E-50.0040840080.00131983040.0013398041.01513352.0E-50.0400976350.0148076730.0148470811.00266134.0E-5
7.37.721087E-52.508697E-53.508672E-51.39860331.0E-53.3086175E-41.0751117E-41.1751009E-41.09300361.0E-50.0040208030.00130816440.00132813831.01526862.0E-50.039488270.0146865510.0147259641.00268364.0E-5
7.47.3536525E-52.3072123E-53.3071894E-51.43341351.0E-53.1511846E-49.887679E-51.088758E-41.1011261.0E-50.00382981940.00120316170.00122313761.01660292.0E-50.0376448520.0135795090.0136189661.00290564.0E-5
7.56.806207E-52.0696707E-53.06965E-51.48315861.0E-52.9166197E-48.869716E-59.869628E-51.11273311.0E-50.00354520350.00107935430.00109933271.01850962.0E-50.0348917660.012240730.0122802411.00322784.0E-5
7.65.6731416E-51.5667261E-52.5667105E-51.63826371.0E-52.43112E-46.714367E-57.7143006E-51.14892441.0E-50.00295587128.171678E-48.371515E-41.02445482.0E-50.029168620.0093229140.0093625411.00425054.0E-5
7.74.946994E-51.4624666E-52.462452E-51.68376641.0E-52.1199681E-46.267563E-57.267501E-51.15954161.0E-50.0025780067.6280884E-47.8279356E-41.02619892.0E-50.025483030.0086812370.008720891.00456764.0E-5
7.83.9718198E-51.4306366E-52.4306222E-51.69897951.0E-51.7020974E-46.1311555E-57.131094E-51.16309141.0E-50.00207033387.462127E-47.661978E-41.0267822.0E-50.0205115150.008455150.0084948111.00469094.0E-5
7.92.4115114E-51.3357181E-52.3357048E-51.74865091.0E-51.0334639E-45.7243804E-56.7243236E-51.17468141.0E-50.0012575166.967206E-47.167067E-41.02868592.0E-50.0125042380.00779528170.007834971.00509134.0E-5
8.01.7756569E-51.2465996E-52.246587E-51.80217221.0E-57.6097356E-55.3424603E-56.342407E-51.18716971.0E-59.260915E-46.502506E-46.702376E-41.03073742.0E-50.0092224160.0072262020.00726591331.00549544.0E-5
8.11.3159258E-51.0640247E-52.064014E-51.93981781.0E-55.6395602E-54.5600264E-55.5599805E-51.2192871.0E-56.864001E-45.5504194E-45.750308E-41.03601342.0E-50.00684283860.00616938760.00619920251.00483273.0E-5
8.28.635426E-66.003769E-61.6003709E-52.66561031.0E-53.700844E-52.5730187E-53.572993E-51.38863861.0E-54.5048463E-43.1322008E-43.3321383E-41.06383292.0E-50.0044957250.00353687510.00355680451.00563472.0E-5
8.31.983087E-68.552935E-78.552935E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6655385E-63.6655385E-61.00.01.034694E-44.462704E-54.462704E-51.00.00.00103421245.2299944E-45.2299944E-41.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.4257535E-59.4257535E-51.00.03.22824E-44.03902E-44.03902E-41.00.00.00392330070.0049070090.00491696041.00202791.0E-50.038547550.0480553250.04809341.00079244.0E-5
6.14.1807285E-55.0633542E-55.0633542E-51.00.01.7916178E-42.1698327E-42.1698327E-41.00.00.00217911230.0026386480.0026386481.00.00.0215786770.026082330.0261115471.00112023.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0633542E-55.0633542E-51.00.01.7916178E-42.1698327E-42.1698327E-41.00.00.00217911230.0026386480.0026386481.00.00.0215786770.026082330.0261115471.00112023.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.780559E-53.780559E-51.00.01.3624904E-41.6201404E-41.6201404E-41.00.00.00165756980.0019707680.0019707681.00.00.0164526030.0195367730.0195563831.00100372.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.542271E-53.542271E-51.00.01.2804232E-41.5180292E-41.5180292E-41.00.00.00155780030.00184666570.00184666571.00.00.0154692530.018316950.0183365851.00107192.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8831395E-52.8831395E-51.00.01.0504962E-41.2355742E-41.2355742E-41.00.00.00127822870.00150330030.00150330031.00.00.0127090120.0149342780.0149539791.00131922.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.4963305E-52.4963305E-51.00.09.135714E-51.0698133E-41.0698133E-41.00.00.00111170560.00130174180.00130174181.00.00.0110616050.0129435830.0129534531.00076261.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1682888E-52.1682888E-51.00.07.9650374E-59.2923474E-59.2923474E-51.00.09.6931186E-40.00113077670.00113077671.00.00.00965094750.0112524020.0112622891.00087871.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8459701E-51.8459701E-51.00.06.798199E-57.9110716E-57.9110716E-51.00.08.273665E-49.6276676E-49.6276676E-41.00.00.0082429280.0095879490.0095978531.0010331.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.5127943E-51.5127943E-51.00.05.5805274E-56.483253E-56.483253E-51.00.06.792174E-47.890684E-47.890684E-41.00.00.0067714520.0078644990.0078644991.00.0
7.01.0974371E-51.2747694E-51.2747694E-51.00.04.7032172E-55.463193E-55.463193E-51.00.05.7246623E-46.649584E-46.649584E-41.00.00.00570993730.00663144470.00663144471.00.0
7.18.766221E-61.0186037E-51.0186037E-51.00.03.7568978E-54.3653814E-54.3653814E-51.00.04.573063E-45.3137285E-45.3137285E-41.00.00.00456366360.00530273050.00530273051.00.0
7.28.026024E-78.340193E-78.340193E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5743637E-63.5743637E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.351702E-54.351702E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3508608E-44.3508608E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.703442E-73.703442E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5871884E-61.5871884E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9323848E-51.9323848E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9322174E-41.9322174E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9692207E-71.9692207E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4395145E-78.4395145E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.0275061E-51.0275061E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.0274589E-41.0274589E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2840726E-86.2840726E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6931735E-72.6931735E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.278934E-63.278934E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.2788867E-53.2788867E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.533004E-95.533004E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3712873E-82.3712873E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.887042E-72.887042E-71.00.03.181591E-62.8870393E-62.8870393E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.4375379E-41.5375235E-41.06955341.0E-57.378611E-46.1594433E-46.259382E-41.01622521.0E-50.0089465150.0074737350.0074935861.0026562.0E-50.085947940.073341860.073378931.00050544.0E-5
6.11.7221631E-41.4375379E-41.5375235E-41.06955341.0E-57.378611E-46.1594433E-46.259382E-41.01622521.0E-50.0089465150.0074737350.0074935861.0026562.0E-50.085947940.073341860.073378931.00050544.0E-5
6.21.7221631E-41.4375379E-41.5375235E-41.06955341.0E-57.378611E-46.1594433E-46.259382E-41.01622521.0E-50.0089465150.0074737350.0074935861.0026562.0E-50.085947940.073341860.073378931.00050544.0E-5
6.31.716926E-41.4293523E-41.529338E-41.06995181.0E-57.3561794E-46.124379E-46.2243175E-41.01631821.0E-50.0089194280.00743133570.00745118741.00267142.0E-50.085698090.072949590.072986671.00050834.0E-5
6.41.6392978E-41.4155214E-41.5155073E-41.07063531.0E-57.02367E-46.065131E-46.165071E-41.01647771.0E-50.0085178390.007359690.0073795431.00269752.0E-50.081986540.072095390.07213251.00051494.0E-5
6.51.5742714E-41.3196463E-41.419633E-41.07576791.0E-56.745133E-45.654419E-45.754363E-41.01767531.0E-50.008181320.00686285550.00688271831.00289432.0E-50.0788659450.0674953160.0675326141.00055274.0E-5
6.61.3038084E-41.2084199E-41.3084078E-41.08274271.0E-55.5865536E-45.177928E-45.277876E-41.01930271.0E-50.0067804380.0062861490.0063060231.00316152.0E-50.06577250.0616658670.06170341.00060874.0E-5
6.71.2867592E-41.1807183E-41.2807065E-41.08468431.0E-55.5135164E-45.0592533E-45.159203E-41.01975571.0E-50.00669206540.00614248450.00616236171.0032362.0E-50.064940930.0603644960.060402081.00062264.0E-5
6.81.2801298E-41.1743913E-41.2743796E-41.08514051.0E-55.485117E-45.0321483E-45.132098E-41.01986221.0E-50.00665770050.00610968140.0061295591.00325352.0E-50.064617380.0600752460.0601128451.00062584.0E-5
6.91.269149E-41.1584082E-41.2583967E-41.08631541.0E-55.4380763E-44.963675E-45.063626E-41.02013641.0E-50.0066007770.00602677980.00604665931.00329852.0E-50.064081220.0593404920.0593781171.00063414.0E-5
7.01.2030331E-41.1305239E-41.2305126E-41.08844461.0E-55.154837E-44.844216E-44.9441674E-41.02063321.0E-50.0062579690.00588213230.00590201471.00338022.0E-50.060846480.0579634420.0580011231.000654.0E-5
7.18.049617E-55.7601683E-56.760111E-51.1735961.0E-53.4493793E-42.4684123E-42.5683874E-41.04050181.0E-50.00419153460.00300118890.0030211291.0066442.0E-50.0411335160.0314425380.031481281.00123214.0E-5
7.27.093979E-54.618374E-55.618328E-51.21651641.0E-53.0399222E-41.9791545E-42.0791347E-41.05051661.0E-50.00369482530.00240698340.00242693511.00828912.0E-50.036339940.025574350.0256133281.00152414.0E-5
7.36.193693E-53.135914E-54.1358828E-51.31887631.0E-52.6541698E-41.3438941E-41.4438806E-41.07440071.0E-50.00322666370.00163496510.00165493241.01221262.0E-50.0318021330.0177918260.0178311151.00220824.0E-5
7.45.906492E-52.9360033E-53.935974E-51.3405891.0E-52.5311083E-41.2582265E-41.3582139E-41.07946691.0E-50.00307726980.00153081610.00155078551.0130452.0E-50.0303500440.0167028960.0167422281.00235474.0E-5
7.55.424296E-52.6836085E-53.6835816E-51.37262261.0E-52.324491E-41.1500673E-41.2500558E-41.08694151.0E-50.0028263950.0013993090.0014192811.01427282.0E-50.0279071650.01530659850.0153459861.00257334.0E-5
7.64.43084E-52.163337E-53.1633153E-51.46223881.0E-51.8987931E-49.2711154E-51.02710226E-41.10785191.0E-50.00230932960.0011281740.00114815151.01770772.0E-50.0228547830.0123346060.0123741121.00320294.0E-5
7.74.118098E-52.0592253E-53.0592048E-51.48560951.0E-51.7647797E-48.824953E-59.8248645E-51.11330511.0E-50.0021465020.00107390860.00109388731.01860362.0E-50.0212588660.0117537060.0117932361.00336314.0E-5
7.83.5408906E-52.0178046E-53.0177845E-51.4955781.0E-51.5174363E-48.647448E-59.647361E-51.11563111.0E-50.00184591310.00105231850.00107229751.01898562.0E-50.0183065520.0115107570.0115502961.0034354.0E-5
7.92.5860836E-51.878337E-52.8783183E-51.53237581.0E-51.10827445E-48.049767E-59.049687E-51.12421721.0E-50.0013484899.796189E-49.995992E-41.02039612.0E-50.0134033540.0106826650.0107222381.00370444.0E-5
8.01.9777332E-51.6094782E-52.6094622E-51.62130941.0E-58.4757245E-56.8975816E-57.897513E-51.14496841.0E-50.00103143098.3945727E-48.594405E-41.02380492.0E-50.0102665670.0091723870.009212021.00432094.0E-5
8.11.468494E-51.313926E-52.3139128E-51.76106791.0E-56.293394E-55.63099E-56.630934E-51.17757871.0E-57.6595135E-46.853576E-47.0534385E-41.02916182.0E-50.00763316640.0075169020.00754667631.0039613.0E-5
8.28.63836E-66.0061243E-61.6006064E-52.66495731.0E-53.7021015E-52.5740279E-53.5740024E-51.38848611.0E-54.5063766E-43.1334293E-43.3333668E-41.06380782.0E-50.0044972490.00353817320.00355810251.00563262.0E-5
8.31.983087E-68.552935E-78.552935E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6655385E-63.6655385E-61.00.01.034694E-44.462704E-54.462704E-51.00.00.00103421245.2299944E-45.2299944E-41.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1047859E-51.1047859E-51.00.04.509713E-54.7347403E-54.7347403E-51.00.05.4891926E-45.7635485E-45.863491E-41.01734041.0E-50.00547565330.00575377330.00578360071.00518393.0E-5
6.11.0522846E-51.1047859E-51.1047859E-51.00.04.509713E-54.7347403E-54.7347403E-51.00.05.4891926E-45.7635485E-45.863491E-41.01734041.0E-50.00547565330.00575377330.00578360071.00518393.0E-5
6.22.1045846E-62.2096467E-62.2096467E-61.00.09.019617E-69.4699035E-69.4699035E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1529418E-41.2529302E-41.08672461.0E-50.00109754060.00115275560.00117273241.01732972.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2096467E-62.2096467E-61.00.09.019617E-69.4699035E-69.4699035E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1529418E-41.2529302E-41.08672461.0E-50.00109754060.00115275560.00117273241.01732972.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.8120601E-61.8120601E-61.00.07.3970905E-67.7659715E-67.7659715E-61.00.09.005586E-59.4550705E-51.0454976E-41.10575331.0E-59.001937E-49.455071E-49.654882E-41.02113272.0E-5

Cerro Prieto

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9101528E-46.073042E-46.27292E-41.03291242.0E-50.00124661220.00260038580.00262033381.00767112.0E-50.0150722310.0311714750.0311908521.00062162.0E-50.140899790.25697490.25699721.00008683.0E-5
6.12.9101528E-46.073042E-46.27292E-41.03291242.0E-50.00124661220.00260038580.00262033381.00767112.0E-50.0150722310.0311714750.0311908521.00062162.0E-50.140899790.25697490.25699721.00008683.0E-5
6.22.9101528E-46.073042E-46.27292E-41.03291242.0E-50.00124661220.00260038580.00262033381.00767112.0E-50.0150722310.0311714750.0311908521.00062162.0E-50.140899790.25697490.25699721.00008683.0E-5
6.32.9101528E-46.073042E-46.27292E-41.03291242.0E-50.00124661220.00260038580.00262033381.00767112.0E-50.0150722310.0311714750.0311908521.00062162.0E-50.140899790.25697490.25699721.00008683.0E-5
6.42.508648E-45.2426994E-45.3426466E-41.01906421.0E-50.00107469180.00224514210.00225511961.0044441.0E-50.0130060880.026972810.026982541.00036071.0E-50.122706850.227405790.227421241.0000682.0E-5
6.52.508648E-45.2426994E-45.3426466E-41.01906421.0E-50.00107469180.00224514210.00225511961.0044441.0E-50.0130060880.026972810.026982541.00036071.0E-50.122706850.227405790.227421241.0000682.0E-5
6.62.294914E-44.811418E-44.91137E-41.02077391.0E-59.831638E-40.00206060130.00207058061.0048431.0E-50.0119044820.0247954970.024805251.00039331.0E-50.112865860.21158080.211596561.00007452.0E-5
6.71.9621674E-44.1364334E-44.236392E-41.02416541.0E-58.4065786E-40.00177171770.00178171.00563421.0E-50.0101870710.0213893410.0213991271.00045751.0E-50.097325390.185802470.185818761.00008762.0E-5
6.81.5476145E-43.1346572E-43.234626E-41.03189151.0E-56.6309475E-40.00134283980.00135282641.00743691.0E-50.0080433350.0162348520.0162446891.0006061.0E-50.077583630.14589650.145913591.00011712.0E-5
6.91.20509176E-42.3220372E-42.422014E-41.04305571.0E-55.1636563E-49.948459E-40.00100483591.01004181.0E-50.0062686450.01206051650.0120703961.00081921.0E-50.0609473740.1116162540.1116340161.00015912.0E-5
7.09.3269155E-51.7227851E-41.7227851E-41.00.03.9966372E-47.3817314E-47.3817314E-41.00.00.00485505440.0089583260.0089583261.00.00.047503440.085002270.085011421.00010761.0E-5
7.15.029709E-58.462662E-58.462662E-51.00.02.1554115E-43.6265573E-43.6265573E-41.00.00.00262105530.00441004750.00441004751.00.00.0259035560.04354330.04354331.00.0
7.26.5445185E-87.414989E-87.414989E-81.00.02.8047933E-73.1778524E-73.1778524E-71.00.03.4148304E-63.8690355E-63.8690355E-61.00.03.414778E-53.8690356E-53.8690356E-51.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.4137928E-53.4137687E-51.41427581.0E-51.2959696E-41.0344473E-41.2344266E-41.19331992.0E-50.00157670080.0012588130.00129876261.0317364.0E-50.0156556090.0125268860.0125663851.00315314.0E-5
6.13.0240792E-52.4137928E-53.4137687E-51.41427581.0E-51.2959696E-41.0344473E-41.2344266E-41.19331992.0E-50.00157670080.0012588130.00129876261.0317364.0E-50.0156556090.0125268860.0125663851.00315314.0E-5
6.23.0240792E-52.4137928E-53.4137687E-51.41427581.0E-51.2959696E-41.0344473E-41.2344266E-41.19331992.0E-50.00157670080.0012588130.00129876261.0317364.0E-50.0156556090.0125268860.0125663851.00315314.0E-5
6.32.0498217E-51.3665371E-52.3665234E-51.73176671.0E-58.784654E-55.8564652E-56.856406E-51.17074141.0E-50.00106900697.1280764E-47.228005E-41.0140191.0E-50.010638790.0071068440.0071167731.00139711.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3665371E-52.3665234E-51.73176671.0E-58.784654E-55.8564652E-56.856406E-51.17074141.0E-50.00106900697.1280764E-47.228005E-41.0140191.0E-50.010638790.0071068440.0071167731.00139711.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.0495746E-51.0495746E-51.00.07.42101E-54.498105E-54.498105E-51.00.09.0313336E-45.475167E-45.475167E-41.00.00.0089947180.00546267540.00546267541.00.0
6.61.5251077E-58.429716E-68.429716E-61.00.06.536012E-53.6126894E-53.6126894E-51.00.07.9546886E-44.3976342E-44.3976342E-41.00.00.0079262740.00438965070.00438965071.00.0
6.71.2997425E-56.4240426E-66.4240426E-61.00.05.570206E-52.7531347E-52.7531347E-51.00.06.7796157E-43.3514726E-43.3514726E-41.00.00.00675896930.00334687880.00334687881.00.0
6.81.035386E-54.344655E-64.344655E-61.00.04.437293E-51.8619821E-51.8619821E-51.00.05.401065E-42.2667363E-42.2667363E-41.00.00.00538795670.00226451130.00226451131.00.0
6.98.816252E-63.5911712E-63.5911712E-61.00.03.778339E-51.5390646E-51.5390646E-51.00.04.5991567E-41.873656E-41.873656E-41.00.00.004589650.0018721350.0018721351.00.0
7.06.8232207E-62.576411E-62.576411E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.1041716E-51.1041716E-51.00.03.5596377E-41.3442492E-41.3442492E-41.00.00.00355394110.00134346730.00134346731.00.0
7.15.837013E-62.2344425E-62.2344425E-61.00.02.501553E-59.576148E-69.576148E-61.00.03.045215E-41.16583666E-41.16583666E-41.00.00.00304104550.00116525430.00116525431.00.0
7.24.278052E-61.6315076E-61.6315076E-61.00.01.833438E-56.9921584E-66.9921584E-61.00.02.231982E-48.512644E-58.512644E-51.00.00.00222974188.509616E-48.509616E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.3687326E-78.3687326E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5865955E-63.5865955E-61.00.09.811026E-54.3666074E-54.3666074E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3658944E-44.3658944E-41.00.0

Eureka Peak

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1949054E-59.41888E-61.9418785E-52.06168751.0E-51.3691733E-44.0366453E-55.036605E-51.24772051.0E-50.00166569384.914308E-45.214161E-41.06101623.0E-50.0165326370.0049781940.0050179951.0079954.0E-5
6.13.1949054E-59.41888E-61.9418785E-52.06168751.0E-51.3691733E-44.0366453E-55.036605E-51.24772051.0E-50.00166569384.914308E-45.214161E-41.06101623.0E-50.0165326370.0049781940.0050179951.0079954.0E-5
6.23.1949054E-59.41888E-61.9418785E-52.06168751.0E-51.3691733E-44.0366453E-55.036605E-51.24772051.0E-50.00166569384.914308E-45.214161E-41.06101623.0E-50.0165326370.0049781940.0050179951.0079954.0E-5
6.32.7339745E-58.080896E-61.8080815E-52.23747661.0E-51.1716507E-43.463239E-54.4632045E-51.2887371.0E-50.00142555134.2164559E-44.5163295E-41.07111983.0E-50.01416441050.00427885540.00431868431.00930834.0E-5
6.42.7339745E-58.080896E-61.8080815E-52.23747661.0E-51.1716507E-43.463239E-54.4632045E-51.2887371.0E-50.00142555134.2164559E-44.5163295E-41.07111983.0E-50.01416441050.00427885540.00431868431.00930834.0E-5
6.59.738388E-81.8824575E-71.8824575E-71.00.04.1735944E-78.067672E-78.067672E-71.00.05.081339E-69.822348E-61.982225E-52.01807641.0E-55.0812232E-59.821922E-51.08218235E-41.10180311.0E-5
6.69.3495956E-81.8532776E-71.8532776E-71.00.04.0069688E-77.942616E-77.942616E-71.00.04.8784736E-69.670093E-61.9669997E-52.03410631.0E-54.8783666E-59.669681E-51.0669584E-41.10340611.0E-5
6.79.3495956E-81.8532776E-71.8532776E-71.00.04.0069688E-77.942616E-77.942616E-71.00.04.8784736E-69.670093E-61.9669997E-52.03410631.0E-54.8783666E-59.669681E-51.0669584E-41.10340611.0E-5
6.88.591428E-81.8223984E-71.8223984E-71.00.03.68204E-77.8102767E-77.8102767E-71.00.04.4828744E-69.508971E-61.9508876E-52.05162861.0E-54.482784E-59.508572E-51.0508477E-41.10515821.0E-5
6.97.749723E-81.7640677E-71.7640677E-71.00.03.3213098E-77.5602884E-77.5602884E-71.00.04.043687E-69.204613E-61.920452E-52.08640171.0E-54.0436134E-59.20424E-51.0204148E-41.10863551.0E-5
7.06.897872E-81.6611078E-71.6611078E-71.00.02.9562307E-77.1190317E-77.1190317E-71.00.03.5992048E-68.667387E-61.86673E-52.15374021.0E-53.5991467E-58.667057E-59.6669704E-51.11536941.0E-5
7.15.859318E-81.4972991E-71.4972991E-71.00.02.5111362E-76.416995E-76.416995E-71.00.03.057304E-67.812664E-61.7812587E-52.2799631.0E-53.0572617E-57.812396E-58.812318E-51.12799171.0E-5
7.25.1375338E-81.3599144E-71.3599144E-71.00.02.2018E-75.828203E-75.828203E-71.00.02.680688E-67.095815E-61.7095745E-52.40927151.0E-52.6806558E-57.0955946E-58.095524E-51.14092251.0E-5
7.34.5441396E-81.18019955E-71.18019955E-71.00.01.9474882E-75.0579973E-75.0579973E-71.00.02.3710643E-66.1580945E-61.6158034E-52.6238691.0E-52.371039E-56.1579296E-57.157868E-51.16238221.0E-5
7.42.981918E-87.039527E-87.039527E-81.00.01.2779647E-73.0169394E-73.0169394E-71.00.01.5559209E-63.6731183E-61.3673081E-53.72247241.0E-51.55591E-53.673062E-54.6730253E-51.27224241.0E-5
7.54.24214E-98.533874E-98.533874E-91.00.01.81806E-83.6573745E-83.6573745E-81.00.02.213488E-74.4528534E-74.4528534E-71.00.02.2134857E-64.452851E-64.452851E-61.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6558646E-52.655848E-51.60390411.0E-54.9496433E-57.0963775E-58.0963066E-51.14090691.0E-56.0245243E-48.6365663E-48.836393E-41.02313732.0E-50.0060082180.0086299220.0086596641.00344623.0E-5
6.11.1549387E-51.6558646E-52.655848E-51.60390411.0E-54.9496433E-57.0963775E-58.0963066E-51.14090691.0E-56.0245243E-48.6365663E-48.836393E-41.02313732.0E-50.0060082180.0086299220.0086596641.00344623.0E-5
6.21.1549387E-51.6558646E-52.655848E-51.60390411.0E-54.9496433E-57.0963775E-58.0963066E-51.14090691.0E-56.0245243E-48.6365663E-48.836393E-41.02313732.0E-50.0060082180.0086299220.0086596641.00344623.0E-5
6.31.1549387E-51.6558646E-52.655848E-51.60390411.0E-54.9496433E-57.0963775E-58.0963066E-51.14090691.0E-56.0245243E-48.6365663E-48.836393E-41.02313732.0E-50.0060082180.0086299220.0086596641.00344623.0E-5
6.41.1549387E-51.6558646E-52.655848E-51.60390411.0E-54.9496433E-57.0963775E-58.0963066E-51.14090691.0E-56.0245243E-48.6365663E-48.836393E-41.02313732.0E-50.0060082180.0086299220.0086596641.00344623.0E-5
6.51.1549387E-51.6558646E-52.655848E-51.60390411.0E-54.9496433E-57.0963775E-58.0963066E-51.14090691.0E-56.0245243E-48.6365663E-48.836393E-41.02313732.0E-50.0060082180.0086299220.0086596641.00344623.0E-5
6.69.202681E-61.4080099E-51.4080099E-51.00.03.9439463E-56.034194E-56.034194E-51.00.04.800697E-47.3442457E-47.444172E-41.01360611.0E-50.0047903390.00734631530.00736616831.00270252.0E-5
6.79.019164E-61.3885617E-51.3885617E-51.00.03.8652986E-55.950848E-55.950848E-51.00.04.7049852E-47.24284E-47.342767E-41.01379671.0E-50.0046950360.0072455730.0072654281.00274032.0E-5
6.88.673558E-61.350723E-51.350723E-51.00.03.717186E-55.788689E-55.788689E-51.00.04.524734E-47.045539E-47.045539E-41.00.00.00451553240.00704952660.0070594561.00140861.0E-5
6.97.002255E-61.1709662E-51.1709662E-51.00.03.000932E-55.0183342E-55.0183342E-51.00.03.653022E-46.108178E-46.108178E-41.00.00.00364702290.0061175290.0061175291.00.0
7.05.84644E-69.895269E-69.895269E-61.00.02.5055931E-54.240763E-54.240763E-51.00.03.0501327E-45.161952E-45.161952E-41.00.00.00304594960.00517588850.00517588851.00.0
7.15.54703E-69.54895E-69.54895E-61.00.02.377277E-54.0923456E-54.0923456E-51.00.02.8939504E-44.9813365E-44.9813365E-41.00.00.00289018450.00499609070.00499609071.00.0
7.24.384709E-67.891363E-67.891363E-61.00.01.8791474E-53.3819706E-53.3819706E-51.00.02.2876218E-44.116808E-44.116808E-41.00.00.00228526820.0041350780.0041350781.00.0
7.33.7888456E-67.121137E-67.121137E-61.00.01.623781E-53.0518822E-53.0518822E-51.00.01.9767738E-43.7150667E-43.7150667E-41.00.00.00197501620.003734720.003734721.00.0
7.42.1982462E-65.223407E-65.223407E-61.00.09.421021E-62.2385839E-52.2385839E-51.00.01.1469489E-42.725137E-42.725137E-41.00.00.00114635720.00274744540.00274744541.00.0
7.52.051923E-64.8092647E-64.8092647E-61.00.08.793926E-62.0610973E-52.0610973E-51.00.01.0706078E-42.5090986E-42.5090986E-41.00.00.00107009220.00253229360.00253229361.00.0
7.61.8733427E-64.311061E-64.311061E-61.00.08.028587E-61.8475845E-51.8475845E-51.00.09.774366E-52.2492028E-42.2492028E-41.00.09.770069E-40.00227342870.00227342871.00.0
7.71.8411953E-64.229499E-64.229499E-61.00.07.890813E-61.81263E-51.81263E-51.00.09.606641E-52.2066545E-42.2066545E-41.00.09.6024893E-40.00223109730.00223109731.00.0
7.81.7194251E-63.884115E-63.884115E-61.00.07.368944E-61.6646101E-51.6646101E-51.00.08.97132E-52.0264751E-42.0264751E-41.00.08.967699E-40.0020506040.0020506041.00.0
7.91.4035052E-63.0922101E-63.0922101E-61.00.06.0150082E-61.3252262E-51.3252262E-51.00.07.3230265E-51.613344E-41.613344E-41.00.07.3206134E-40.00163532360.00163532361.00.0
8.03.9318823E-75.8771184E-75.8771184E-71.00.01.6850913E-62.5187626E-62.5187626E-61.00.02.0515794E-53.066551E-53.066551E-51.00.02.0513899E-43.1732256E-43.1732256E-41.00.0
8.11.596793E-71.2603705E-71.2603705E-71.00.06.8433974E-75.401587E-75.401587E-71.00.08.331805E-66.5764125E-66.5764125E-61.00.08.331492E-57.213261E-57.213261E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.8565216E-82.8565216E-81.00.02.10013E-71.2242235E-71.2242235E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.4904912E-61.4904912E-61.00.02.556876E-51.6680084E-51.6680084E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.5054904E-52.5054904E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.0737375E-41.0737375E-41.00.00.00142735420.00130649420.00132646811.01528812.0E-50.014182210.0134010080.0134306071.00220863.0E-5
6.12.7374346E-52.5054904E-52.5054904E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.0737375E-41.0737375E-41.00.00.00142735420.00130649420.00132646811.01528812.0E-50.014182210.0134010080.0134306071.00220863.0E-5
6.22.7374346E-52.5054904E-52.5054904E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.0737375E-41.0737375E-41.00.00.00142735420.00130649420.00132646811.01528812.0E-50.014182210.0134010080.0134306071.00220863.0E-5
6.32.7374346E-52.5054904E-52.5054904E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.0737375E-41.0737375E-41.00.00.00142735420.00130649420.00132646811.01528812.0E-50.014182210.0134010080.0134306071.00220863.0E-5
6.42.7374346E-52.5054904E-52.5054904E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.0737375E-41.0737375E-41.00.00.00142735420.00130649420.00132646811.01528812.0E-50.014182210.0134010080.0134306071.00220863.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-52.494062E-52.494062E-51.00.01.16919524E-41.06884014E-41.06884014E-41.00.00.00142256570.00130053880.00132051271.01535822.0E-50.0141349340.0133421780.0133717791.00221853.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-52.494062E-52.494062E-51.00.01.16919524E-41.06884014E-41.06884014E-41.00.00.00142256570.00130053880.00132051271.01535822.0E-50.0141349340.0133421780.0133717791.00221853.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-52.4865503E-52.4865503E-51.00.01.1663563E-41.065621E-41.065621E-41.00.00.00141911370.00129662420.00131659831.01540472.0E-50.0141008550.0133034850.0133330861.0022253.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-52.4782168E-52.4782168E-51.00.01.1604605E-41.06204985E-41.06204985E-41.00.00.0014119450.00129228140.00131225561.01545662.0E-50.0140300750.0132603650.0132899681.00223243.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-52.4701001E-52.4701001E-51.00.01.15636096E-41.0585715E-41.0585715E-41.00.00.00140696020.00128805160.00130802591.01550732.0E-50.0139808560.0132183590.0132479621.00223963.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-52.4276163E-52.4276163E-51.00.01.1335209E-41.0403657E-41.0403657E-41.00.00.0013791880.0012659120.00128588661.01577892.0E-50.01370659750.0129988850.0130284941.00227793.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-52.4101211E-52.4101211E-51.00.01.1252879E-41.0328683E-41.0328683E-41.00.00.00136917690.00125679440.00127676931.01589352.0E-50.0136077170.0129083060.0129379181.00229413.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-52.3285504E-52.3285504E-51.00.01.0829568E-49.9791214E-59.9791214E-51.00.00.00131770240.00121428340.00123425911.01645062.0E-50.0130991620.0124840760.0125137021.00237313.0E-5
7.32.339701E-52.2002037E-52.2002037E-51.00.01.0026905E-49.4291056E-59.4291056E-51.00.00.0012200920.00114739120.00115737971.00870541.0E-50.0121341490.0118154540.01183521751.00167272.0E-5
7.42.296333E-52.1729484E-52.1729484E-51.00.09.841056E-59.3123046E-59.3123046E-51.00.00.00119748990.00113318560.00114317421.00881471.0E-50.0119105750.0116731680.0116929351.00169342.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-52.1245081E-52.1245081E-51.00.09.50918E-59.1047186E-59.1047186E-51.00.00.00115712770.00110793790.00111792691.00901581.0E-50.0115112090.0114190780.011438851.00173142.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.980897E-51.980897E-51.00.08.5767984E-58.489283E-58.489283E-51.00.00.0010437250.0010330820.0010330821.00.00.0103883650.0106657270.010675621.00092761.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-51.7569293E-51.7569293E-51.00.07.384417E-57.52948E-57.52948E-51.00.08.986819E-49.163296E-49.163296E-41.00.00.0089505620.009493810.0095037151.00104331.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-51.5780322E-51.5780322E-51.00.06.205057E-56.76282E-56.76282E-51.00.07.552038E-48.230631E-48.230631E-41.00.00.00752642420.0085538340.0085637491.00115911.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-51.23333875E-51.23333875E-51.00.04.7632562E-55.285631E-55.285631E-51.00.05.797721E-46.433362E-46.433362E-41.00.00.00578261870.0067408420.00675077461.00147351.0E-5
8.09.327402E-61.0518045E-51.0518045E-51.00.03.9973966E-54.5076562E-54.5076562E-51.00.04.8657437E-45.4866954E-45.4866954E-41.00.00.00485510330.00577469640.00578463871.00172171.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-67.284345E-67.284345E-61.00.03.0100724E-53.1218253E-53.1218253E-51.00.03.664147E-43.800165E-43.800165E-41.00.00.0036581110.0040292390.0040292391.00.0
8.22.0358202E-69.906277E-79.906277E-71.00.08.724915E-64.2455404E-64.2455404E-61.00.01.06220665E-45.1688257E-55.1688257E-51.00.00.0010616995.8370555E-45.8370555E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-77.4207755E-87.4207755E-81.00.08.5933965E-73.1803322E-73.1803322E-71.00.01.046241E-53.872048E-63.872048E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.473802E-54.473802E-51.00.0

Elsinore (Julian)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1710231E-58.885717E-68.885717E-61.00.05.0185736E-53.8081096E-53.8081096E-51.00.06.1084004E-44.6354043E-44.735358E-41.0215631.0E-50.0060916370.00462596170.0046458691.00430352.0E-5
6.11.1710231E-58.885717E-68.885717E-61.00.05.0185736E-53.8081096E-53.8081096E-51.00.06.1084004E-44.6354043E-44.735358E-41.0215631.0E-50.0060916370.00462596170.0046458691.00430352.0E-5
6.21.1710231E-58.885717E-68.885717E-61.00.05.0185736E-53.8081096E-53.8081096E-51.00.06.1084004E-44.6354043E-44.735358E-41.0215631.0E-50.0060916370.00462596170.0046458691.00430352.0E-5
6.31.1710231E-58.885717E-68.885717E-61.00.05.0185736E-53.8081096E-53.8081096E-51.00.06.1084004E-44.6354043E-44.735358E-41.0215631.0E-50.0060916370.00462596170.0046458691.00430352.0E-5
6.41.1710231E-58.885717E-68.885717E-61.00.05.0185736E-53.8081096E-53.8081096E-51.00.06.1084004E-44.6354043E-44.735358E-41.0215631.0E-50.0060916370.00462596170.0046458691.00430352.0E-5
6.51.1710231E-58.885717E-68.885717E-61.00.05.0185736E-53.8081096E-53.8081096E-51.00.06.1084004E-44.6354043E-44.735358E-41.0215631.0E-50.0060916370.00462596170.0046458691.00430352.0E-5
6.61.1650619E-58.817969E-68.817969E-61.00.04.993027E-53.7790756E-53.7790756E-51.00.06.0773146E-44.6000705E-44.7000244E-41.02172881.0E-50.00606072140.00459077440.0046106831.00433662.0E-5
6.71.1650619E-58.817969E-68.817969E-61.00.04.993027E-53.7790756E-53.7790756E-51.00.06.0773146E-44.6000705E-44.7000244E-41.02172881.0E-50.00606072140.00459077440.0046106831.00433662.0E-5
6.81.1442698E-58.600595E-68.600595E-61.00.04.9039216E-53.685918E-53.685918E-51.00.05.968889E-44.486698E-44.586653E-41.02227811.0E-50.00595288160.0044778630.0044977741.00444642.0E-5
6.91.1300589E-58.4482235E-68.4482235E-61.00.04.8430196E-53.620618E-53.620618E-51.00.05.894781E-44.4072274E-44.5071833E-41.022681.0E-50.0058791690.0043987090.0044186211.00452672.0E-5
7.01.1117729E-58.264809E-68.264809E-61.00.04.764654E-53.5420137E-53.5420137E-51.00.05.799422E-44.311565E-44.4115222E-41.02318351.0E-50.00578431040.0043034210.00432333441.00462752.0E-5
7.11.08053955E-57.949926E-67.949926E-61.00.04.6308014E-53.4070676E-53.4070676E-51.00.05.6365423E-44.1473316E-44.2472902E-41.02410191.0E-50.0056222670.00413980940.00415972671.00481122.0E-5
7.21.032804E-57.4705254E-67.4705254E-61.00.04.4262277E-53.2016153E-53.2016153E-51.00.05.387599E-43.8972855E-43.8972855E-41.00.00.00537455640.003890660.00390062091.00256031.0E-5
7.39.622426E-66.932653E-66.932653E-61.00.04.1238312E-52.9711038E-52.9711038E-51.00.05.019608E-43.616733E-43.616733E-41.00.00.0050082850.00361104030.0036210041.00275931.0E-5
7.49.144434E-66.5289596E-66.5289596E-61.00.03.9189843E-52.7980963E-52.7980963E-51.00.04.7703186E-43.4061636E-43.4061636E-41.00.00.00476009170.00340108780.00341105371.00293031.0E-5
7.57.988981E-65.5257306E-65.5257306E-61.00.03.4238044E-52.3681494E-52.3681494E-51.00.04.1676845E-42.8828532E-42.8828532E-41.00.00.00415987660.0028792420.0028792421.00.0
7.66.9554876E-64.6864966E-64.6864966E-61.00.02.9808893E-52.0084837E-52.0084837E-51.00.03.6286283E-42.4450663E-42.4450663E-41.00.00.00362270880.00244249360.00244249361.00.0
7.74.1557314E-62.337207E-62.337207E-61.00.01.7810156E-51.0016567E-51.0016567E-51.00.02.1681708E-41.2194563E-41.2194563E-41.00.00.00216605650.00121886090.00121886091.00.0
7.82.2597293E-79.379943E-89.379943E-81.00.09.684551E-74.019975E-74.019975E-71.00.01.1790877E-54.894312E-64.894312E-61.00.01.17902506E-44.8942373E-54.8942373E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4577874E-93.4577874E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4819088E-81.4819088E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.8042239E-71.8042239E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.8042226E-61.8042226E-61.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.718217E-54.718217E-51.00.01.7631594E-42.0219471E-42.0219471E-41.00.00.0021445330.00245913890.00245913891.00.00.0212395530.0243399930.024349751.00040091.0E-5
6.12.1061249E-52.3907449E-52.3907449E-51.00.09.0259375E-51.0245664E-41.0245664E-41.00.00.00109835390.00124672490.00124672491.00.00.010929410.0124003570.0124102341.00079641.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3907449E-52.3907449E-51.00.09.0259375E-51.0245664E-41.0245664E-41.00.00.00109835390.00124672490.00124672491.00.00.010929410.0124003570.0124102341.00079641.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7103295E-51.7103295E-51.00.06.496225E-57.3297844E-57.3297844E-51.00.07.906284E-48.9204794E-48.9204794E-41.00.00.0078782140.0088859280.0088859281.00.0
6.41.2341918E-51.38756195E-51.38756195E-51.00.05.2892858E-55.946563E-55.946563E-51.00.06.437803E-47.2376174E-47.2376174E-41.00.00.0064191840.0072148850.0072148851.00.0
6.59.061158E-61.0132835E-51.0132835E-51.00.03.883296E-54.3425745E-54.3425745E-51.00.04.726887E-45.285855E-45.285855E-41.00.00.0047168450.00527382270.00527382271.00.0
6.67.5461685E-68.413504E-68.413504E-61.00.03.2340322E-53.6057398E-53.6057398E-51.00.03.936723E-44.389147E-44.389147E-41.00.00.0039297560.00438090930.00438090931.00.0
6.75.5023775E-66.0960924E-66.0960924E-61.00.02.3581404E-52.6125866E-52.6125866E-51.00.02.8706578E-43.1803927E-43.1803927E-41.00.00.00286695220.00317616390.00317616391.00.0
6.83.7351679E-64.0882765E-64.0882765E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.752108E-51.752108E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1330078E-42.1330078E-41.00.00.00194706290.00213120640.00213120641.00.0
6.92.456366E-62.6317587E-62.6317587E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1278918E-51.1278918E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3731219E-41.3731219E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137227650.00137227651.00.0
7.02.3245157E-62.48505E-62.48505E-61.00.09.962172E-61.065017E-51.065017E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.2965813E-41.2965813E-41.00.00.00121216520.00129582710.00129582711.00.0
7.12.2248344E-62.3753773E-62.3753773E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0180149E-51.0180149E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.2393629E-41.2393629E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123867370.00123867371.00.0
7.22.1350402E-62.2781762E-62.2781762E-61.00.09.150141E-69.763576E-69.763576E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.1886507E-41.1886507E-41.00.00.00111341440.00118801680.00118801681.00.0
7.31.9793572E-62.110573E-62.110573E-61.00.08.482932E-69.045281E-69.045281E-61.00.01.032748E-41.1012075E-41.1012075E-41.00.00.00103226820.00110066370.00110066371.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8061435E-61.8061435E-61.00.07.264777E-67.740592E-67.740592E-61.00.08.844508E-59.423765E-59.423765E-51.00.08.840988E-49.4197853E-49.4197853E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.519793E-79.519793E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.079905E-64.079905E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9671722E-54.9671722E-51.00.04.688299E-44.966074E-44.966074E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.055519E-74.055519E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7380785E-61.7380785E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1160906E-52.1160906E-51.00.02.023439E-42.1158956E-42.1158956E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.342187E-86.342187E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7180798E-72.7180798E-71.00.03.225572E-63.3092572E-63.3092572E-61.00.03.225525E-53.309209E-53.309209E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3967668E-91.3967668E-91.00.05.873335E-95.986143E-95.986143E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.288129E-87.288129E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.288127E-77.288127E-71.00.0

San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5333705E-47.488116E-58.488041E-51.13353491.0E-56.5699324E-43.2087998E-43.308768E-41.03115431.0E-50.0079695950.00389975240.00391967451.00510852.0E-50.07689770.0412965040.041315681.00046432.0E-5
6.11.5333705E-47.488116E-58.488041E-51.13353491.0E-56.5699324E-43.2087998E-43.308768E-41.03115431.0E-50.0079695950.00389975240.00391967451.00510852.0E-50.07689770.0412965040.041315681.00046432.0E-5
6.21.3912938E-46.3860716E-57.386008E-51.15658081.0E-55.961325E-42.7366023E-42.836575E-41.03653171.0E-50.0072337870.00332675250.00334668581.00599182.0E-50.070027980.0354497020.035468991.00054422.0E-5
6.31.3912938E-46.3860716E-57.386008E-51.15658081.0E-55.961325E-42.7366023E-42.836575E-41.03653171.0E-50.0072337870.00332675250.00334668581.00599182.0E-50.070027980.0354497020.035468991.00054422.0E-5
6.41.2623647E-45.3420925E-56.342039E-51.18718251.0E-55.4090127E-42.2892685E-42.3892456E-41.04367211.0E-50.00656560580.00278364350.0028035881.00716482.0E-50.063749810.029886880.0299062841.00064922.0E-5
6.51.1736096E-44.6240275E-55.6239813E-51.21625171.0E-55.028786E-41.9815765E-42.0815566E-41.05045491.0E-50.0061053730.00240991750.00242986951.00827912.0E-50.059403350.0260454040.0260648841.00074792.0E-5
6.61.1586959E-44.509776E-55.509731E-51.22173051.0E-54.964894E-41.9326189E-42.0325996E-41.05173331.0E-50.0060280180.00235044190.0023703951.0084892.0E-50.0586710240.0254315290.025451021.00076642.0E-5
6.71.13693764E-44.334803E-55.3347598E-51.2306811.0E-54.87168E-41.8576413E-41.9576227E-41.05382171.0E-50.0059151520.00225934970.00227930441.00883212.0E-50.0576015930.0244951750.0245146841.00079642.0E-5
6.81.1204889E-44.2521155E-55.252073E-51.2351671.0E-54.8012115E-41.8222089E-41.9221907E-41.05486851.0E-50.0058298190.00221629930.0022362551.0090042.0E-50.056792320.0240323080.0240518261.00081222.0E-5
6.91.1005794E-44.1518902E-55.1518487E-51.24084411.0E-54.7159163E-41.7792611E-41.8792434E-41.05619311.0E-50.00572652280.00216411540.0021840721.00922172.0E-50.0558118520.0234696380.0234891681.00083222.0E-5
7.01.0647948E-43.9565617E-54.956522E-51.25273471.0E-54.562608E-41.6955599E-41.795543E-41.05896761.0E-50.00554083570.00206240660.00208236531.00967742.0E-50.0540470330.0223730910.0223926441.00087392.0E-5
7.11.04795035E-43.8561284E-54.8560898E-51.25931751.0E-54.4904428E-41.6525226E-41.752506E-41.06050361.0E-50.00545341750.00201010630.00203006621.00992982.0E-50.0532151650.0218130480.0218326131.00089692.0E-5
7.21.02724036E-43.740822E-54.7407844E-51.2673111.0E-54.401716E-41.6031117E-41.7030958E-41.06236861.0E-50.00534592850.00195005790.0019700191.01023612.0E-50.0521913950.0211720760.0211916531.00092462.0E-5
7.31.00650694E-43.6825E-54.6824633E-51.27154471.0E-54.312888E-41.5781197E-41.678104E-41.06335651.0E-50.0052383060.00191968410.00193964571.01039842.0E-50.0511653570.0208215640.0208411481.00094062.0E-5
7.49.672919E-53.5503443E-54.550309E-51.28165281.0E-54.144878E-41.5214883E-41.621473E-41.06571511.0E-50.0050347180.00185085450.00187081751.01078582.0E-50.0492216830.0200355130.0200551111.00097822.0E-5
7.58.7600405E-52.437E-53.4369757E-51.41033051.0E-53.753763E-41.0443869E-41.14437644E-41.095741.0E-50.00456063260.00127080120.00129077581.01571812.0E-50.044681650.014084510.0141042281.00142.0E-5
7.67.9562284E-52.0746367E-53.074616E-51.48200211.0E-53.4093665E-48.890998E-59.890909E-51.11246341.0E-50.00414300520.0010819430.00110192141.01846532.0E-50.0406661260.0120970230.0121167811.00163332.0E-5
7.76.3866544E-51.3138691E-52.313856E-51.76110081.0E-52.7368503E-45.6307465E-56.63069E-51.17758631.0E-50.00332702446.8532804E-47.0531433E-41.02916312.0E-50.0327765270.0079124450.0079322871.00250772.0E-5
7.84.2543215E-51.0033948E-52.0033847E-51.99660671.0E-51.8231533E-44.3001924E-55.3001495E-51.23253771.0E-50.00221742925.234228E-45.434123E-41.038192.0E-50.0219543320.00604553060.00606540961.00328832.0E-5
7.92.2636612E-58.618183E-61.8618097E-52.16032741.0E-59.7010445E-53.6934547E-54.6934176E-51.27073921.0E-50.00118046214.495854E-44.6957642E-41.04446542.0E-50.0117421110.00513469240.00515458971.0038752.0E-5
8.01.5167874E-57.772812E-61.7772734E-52.28652571.0E-56.500356E-53.3311626E-54.3311295E-51.30018541.0E-57.9113094E-44.054937E-44.2548557E-41.04930262.0E-50.0078832030.00461550060.00463540851.00431322.0E-5
8.11.0681047E-57.0424526E-61.7042383E-52.41994981.0E-54.5775112E-53.018159E-54.0181287E-51.33131781.0E-55.5716943E-43.67399E-43.8739166E-41.05441682.0E-50.00555774570.00417694540.00419686181.00476812.0E-5
8.28.226114E-65.623546E-61.562349E-52.77822761.0E-53.52543E-52.4100687E-53.4100445E-51.41491591.0E-54.2913653E-42.9338646E-43.133806E-41.06814942.0E-50.0042830880.00332251730.00334245081.00599962.0E-5
8.31.983087E-68.552935E-78.552935E-71.00.08.498917E-63.6655385E-63.6655385E-61.00.01.034694E-44.462704E-54.462704E-51.00.00.00103421245.2299944E-45.2299944E-41.00.0

Whittier alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7386064E-55.738559E-51.21102251.0E-51.8236451E-42.0306915E-42.1306712E-41.04923431.0E-50.0022180270.0024698870.00247986221.00403881.0E-50.021960190.0244584510.024477961.00079772.0E-5
6.14.2554693E-54.7386064E-55.738559E-51.21102251.0E-51.8236451E-42.0306915E-42.1306712E-41.04923431.0E-50.0022180270.0024698870.00247986221.00403881.0E-50.021960190.0244584510.024477961.00079772.0E-5
6.24.2554693E-54.7386064E-55.738559E-51.21102251.0E-51.8236451E-42.0306915E-42.1306712E-41.04923431.0E-50.0022180270.0024698870.00247986221.00403881.0E-50.021960190.0244584510.024477961.00079772.0E-5
6.31.9617712E-51.8343271E-51.8343271E-51.00.08.40732E-57.861176E-57.861176E-51.00.00.00102311059.56697E-49.56697E-41.00.00.010184130.009528990.00953889451.00103941.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3668938E-51.3668938E-51.00.06.690401E-55.857988E-55.857988E-51.00.08.142519E-47.1298267E-47.1298267E-41.00.00.0081127480.007108830.00711875871.00139671.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3164956E-51.3164956E-51.00.06.492767E-55.6420053E-55.6420053E-51.00.07.9020765E-46.8670354E-46.8670354E-41.00.00.0078740360.0068476790.00685761031.00145031.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.0434411E-51.0434411E-51.00.05.552402E-54.471815E-54.471815E-51.00.06.7579525E-45.4430944E-45.4430944E-41.00.00.0067374380.00543123060.00544117621.00183121.0E-5
6.71.2542085E-59.951885E-69.951885E-61.00.05.3750682E-54.2650245E-54.2650245E-51.00.06.542181E-45.1914493E-45.1914493E-41.00.00.0065229540.00518075470.00519070261.00192021.0E-5
6.81.2195878E-59.546216E-69.546216E-61.00.05.2267E-54.091172E-54.091172E-51.00.06.36165E-44.9798825E-44.9798825E-41.00.00.00634346860.00497010.004980051.0020021.0E-5
6.91.1580298E-58.820948E-68.820948E-61.00.04.9628903E-53.7803522E-53.7803522E-51.00.06.040644E-44.6016238E-44.6016238E-41.00.00.006024250.00459342780.00460338171.0021671.0E-5
7.01.0964795E-58.1250955E-68.1250955E-61.00.04.6991136E-53.482138E-53.482138E-51.00.05.7196687E-44.2386938E-44.2386938E-41.00.00.00570496960.00423190320.0042418611.0023531.0E-5
7.11.0230601E-57.3642454E-67.3642454E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.1560678E-53.1560678E-51.00.05.336784E-43.8418482E-43.8418482E-41.00.00.0053239860.0038363920.00384635361.00259661.0E-5
7.29.40865E-66.5780187E-66.5780187E-61.00.04.032216E-52.819121E-52.819121E-51.00.04.908117E-43.4317517E-43.4317517E-41.00.00.00489729130.00342757320.00343753891.00290751.0E-5
7.38.237384E-65.6278564E-65.6278564E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.4119166E-52.4119166E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.9361233E-42.9361233E-41.00.00.00428894260.00293258550.0029425561.00341.0E-5
7.47.5316966E-65.052404E-65.052404E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.1652988E-52.1652988E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.6359424E-42.6359424E-41.00.00.00392223430.002632930.00264290351.0037881.0E-5
7.56.149649E-63.953008E-63.953008E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.694136E-51.694136E-51.00.03.208294E-42.0624243E-42.0624243E-41.00.00.0032036660.00206060030.00206060031.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.412001E-63.412001E-61.00.02.338998E-51.4622784E-51.4622784E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.7801867E-41.7801867E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177884220.00177884221.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3457712E-62.3457712E-61.00.01.7861139E-51.0053272E-51.0053272E-51.00.02.1743766E-41.2239245E-41.2239245E-41.00.00.00217225030.00122332410.00122332411.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.432682E-89.432682E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0425775E-74.0425775E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.92183E-64.92183E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.9217546E-54.9217546E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4577874E-93.4577874E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4819088E-81.4819088E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.8042239E-71.8042239E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.8042226E-61.8042226E-61.00.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.078246E-43.078246E-41.00.06.5056595E-40.00131798910.00131798911.00.00.0078919120.0158298610.0158397031.00062171.0E-50.0761745940.139564020.139581231.00012332.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.0475316E-43.0475316E-41.00.06.437695E-40.0013048420.0013048421.00.00.00780976140.0156726050.015682451.00062811.0E-50.0754093450.138230130.138247371.00012472.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.556755E-42.556755E-41.00.05.460538E-40.00109484230.00109484231.00.00.00662795830.0131770130.0131770131.00.00.0643372760.1183272750.118336091.00007451.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.285186E-42.285186E-41.00.04.9383997E-49.786639E-49.786639E-41.00.00.00599593860.0117977790.0117977791.00.00.0583671740.107451970.107460891.00008311.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.1091568E-42.1091568E-41.00.04.5935164E-49.0333994E-49.0333994E-41.00.00.00557827440.0109020140.0109020141.00.00.05440310.1002772450.1002862451.00008981.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8980191E-41.8980191E-41.00.04.1548995E-48.1297057E-48.1297057E-41.00.00.00504686260.0098213820.0098213821.00.00.049337730.0911586060.0911676961.00009971.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.531478E-41.531478E-41.00.03.4517853E-46.561376E-46.561376E-41.00.00.00419445240.0079525710.0079525711.00.00.041161610.07594090.0759501461.00012171.0E-5
6.77.815757E-51.4853293E-41.4853293E-41.00.03.34918E-46.363725E-46.363725E-41.00.00.0040700050.00771435020.00771435021.00.00.0399626570.07378430.073793561.00012551.0E-5
6.86.965264E-51.2949499E-41.2949499E-41.00.02.9847719E-45.548371E-45.548371E-41.00.00.00362790520.0067309120.0067309121.00.00.035692470.064824640.064833991.00014421.0E-5
6.95.8000453E-51.0348334E-41.0348334E-41.00.02.4854968E-44.434252E-44.434252E-41.00.00.00302189330.0053854390.0053854391.00.00.0298112950.052447630.052447631.00.0
7.04.9865852E-58.7525405E-58.7525405E-51.00.02.1369329E-43.7505545E-43.7505545E-41.00.00.00259861140.00455683140.00455683141.00.00.0256843360.0446455780.0446455781.00.0
7.14.283875E-57.280241E-57.280241E-51.00.01.8358172E-43.1197336E-43.1197336E-41.00.00.00223281630.00379171870.00379171871.00.00.0221051460.037533550.037533551.00.0
7.23.450115E-55.7302426E-55.7302426E-51.00.01.478537E-42.4555888E-42.4555888E-41.00.00.00179863230.00298561090.00298561091.00.00.0178414420.0298119220.0298119221.00.0
7.32.5709045E-54.1778378E-54.1778378E-51.00.01.1017697E-41.79038E-41.79038E-41.00.00.00134057910.00217762610.00217762611.00.00.0133252080.0218757260.0218757261.00.0
7.41.8003093E-52.9445397E-52.9445397E-51.00.07.715383E-51.2618846E-41.2618846E-41.00.09.3894306E-40.00153526430.00153526431.00.00.0093498570.0155082160.0155082161.00.0
7.51.5595824E-52.671236E-52.671236E-51.00.06.683753E-51.14476534E-41.14476534E-41.00.08.134431E-40.0013928630.0013928631.00.00.0081047190.0140860840.0140860841.00.0
7.61.1110309E-51.9967785E-51.9967785E-51.00.04.761474E-58.5573425E-58.5573425E-51.00.05.795553E-40.00104135990.00104135991.00.00.00578046120.0105673640.0105673641.00.0
7.76.2140443E-61.1003032E-51.1003032E-51.00.02.6631347E-54.7155E-54.7155E-51.00.03.241884E-45.73961E-45.73961E-41.00.00.00323715880.005895360.005895361.00.0
7.85.305533E-69.937676E-69.937676E-61.00.02.27378E-54.2589345E-54.2589345E-51.00.02.7679754E-45.18402E-45.18402E-41.00.00.00276453020.0053188650.0053188651.00.0
7.93.363505E-67.757306E-67.757306E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.3245175E-53.3245175E-51.00.01.7548777E-44.046849E-44.046849E-41.00.00.00175349260.0041274930.0041274931.00.0
8.02.0271132E-64.6235405E-64.6235405E-61.00.08.687599E-61.9815023E-51.9815023E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.4122125E-42.4122125E-41.00.00.00105716060.00245320590.00245320591.00.0
8.11.2206116E-62.4910203E-62.4910203E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.0675757E-51.0675757E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.2996963E-41.2996963E-41.00.06.366953E-40.00132779380.00132779381.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0196067E-51.0196067E-51.00.04.2485535E-54.3696757E-54.3696757E-51.00.05.1713863E-45.318885E-45.418832E-41.0187911.0E-50.00515936830.0053071830.005317131.00187421.0E-5
6.19.913453E-61.0196067E-51.0196067E-51.00.04.2485535E-54.3696757E-54.3696757E-51.00.05.1713863E-45.318885E-45.418832E-41.0187911.0E-50.00515936830.0053071830.005317131.00187421.0E-5
6.24.5596407E-64.6981863E-64.6981863E-61.00.01.954117E-52.0134936E-52.0134936E-51.00.02.3788778E-42.4511653E-42.5511408E-41.04078691.0E-50.00237633290.0024485880.00245856351.0040741.0E-5
6.34.5596407E-64.6981863E-64.6981863E-61.00.01.954117E-52.0134936E-52.0134936E-51.00.02.3788778E-42.4511653E-42.5511408E-41.04078691.0E-50.00237633290.0024485880.00245856351.0040741.0E-5
6.43.4025713E-63.511371E-63.511371E-61.00.01.4582367E-51.504865E-51.504865E-51.00.01.7752586E-41.8320275E-41.9320092E-41.05457441.0E-50.0017738410.00183060030.0018405821.00545261.0E-5
6.52.8352947E-62.9291286E-62.9291286E-61.00.01.2151207E-51.2553352E-51.2553352E-51.00.01.479309E-41.528271E-41.6282556E-41.06542341.0E-50.00147832460.00152729380.00153727851.00653761.0E-5
6.62.251518E-62.3301354E-62.3301354E-61.00.09.649328E-69.98626E-69.98626E-61.00.01.1747423E-41.2157656E-41.3157535E-41.08224271.0E-50.00117412140.00121516230.00122515021.00821941.0E-5
6.71.8911853E-61.9600766E-61.9600766E-61.00.08.105055E-68.400305E-68.400305E-61.00.09.867457E-51.022695E-41.1226848E-41.09777081.0E-59.863076E-40.00102228190.00103227171.00977211.0E-5
6.81.4874814E-61.5446087E-61.5446087E-61.00.06.374905E-66.6197376E-66.6197376E-61.00.07.76117E-58.059285E-59.059204E-51.12407051.0E-57.75846E-48.0568733E-48.156793E-41.01240181.0E-5
6.96.835972E-77.144145E-77.144145E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.0617748E-63.0617748E-61.00.03.56685E-53.727679E-54.7276415E-51.26825341.0E-53.5662777E-43.7273666E-43.8273292E-41.02681861.0E-5

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.668708E-57.668641E-51.14994411.0E-52.1564208E-42.8577677E-43.0577107E-41.06996462.0E-50.00262228120.0034746310.00349456161.0057362.0E-50.025915530.034306160.0343254771.0005632.0E-5
6.15.0320643E-56.668708E-57.668641E-51.14994411.0E-52.1564208E-42.8577677E-43.0577107E-41.06996462.0E-50.00262228120.0034746310.00349456161.0057362.0E-50.025915530.034306160.0343254771.0005632.0E-5
6.22.4125871E-53.115587E-53.115587E-51.00.01.0339249E-41.335195E-41.4351816E-41.07488551.0E-50.00125807660.00162455510.00163453891.00614551.0E-50.0125097810.0161606390.0161704771.00060881.0E-5
6.31.7433485E-52.2498558E-52.2498558E-51.00.07.471279E-59.641973E-51.0641877E-41.10370331.0E-59.0924866E-40.00117341530.00118340351.00851211.0E-50.0090553730.01170291750.0117128011.00084451.0E-5
6.41.7433485E-52.2498558E-52.2498558E-51.00.07.471279E-59.641973E-51.0641877E-41.10370331.0E-59.0924866E-40.00117341530.00118340351.00851211.0E-50.0090553730.01170291750.0117128011.00084451.0E-5
6.51.5182742E-51.9561183E-51.9561183E-51.00.06.506727E-58.383181E-59.383097E-51.11927651.0E-57.919061E-40.00102031070.00103030051.00979091.0E-50.00789090.0101868760.0101967741.00097171.0E-5
6.66.7271576E-68.639192E-68.639192E-61.00.02.8830356E-53.7024616E-54.7024245E-51.27008061.0E-53.5095305E-44.506872E-44.606827E-41.02217831.0E-50.00350399320.00451575130.0045257061.00220441.0E-5
6.76.682835E-68.571506E-68.571506E-61.00.02.8640408E-53.6734542E-54.6734174E-51.27221331.0E-53.4864116E-44.4715698E-44.5715252E-41.02235351.0E-50.0034809470.00448056030.0044905151.00222181.0E-5
6.86.5774975E-68.417601E-68.417601E-61.00.02.8188972E-53.6074965E-54.6074605E-51.27719061.0E-53.4314668E-44.3912992E-44.491255E-41.02276231.0E-50.00342617280.0044004280.0044103841.00226251.0E-5
6.96.363419E-68.089782E-68.089782E-61.00.02.727151E-53.4670065E-54.466972E-51.28842331.0E-53.3198006E-44.2203197E-44.3202774E-41.02368491.0E-50.00331484550.00422992840.0042398861.00235411.0E-5
7.06.1342453E-67.720701E-67.720701E-61.00.02.6289357E-53.3088334E-54.3088003E-51.30221131.0E-53.2002592E-44.027816E-44.1277756E-41.02481731.0E-50.00319565440.00403795530.0040479151.00246661.0E-5
7.15.842926E-67.2293615E-67.2293615E-61.00.02.504087E-53.098264E-54.098233E-51.32275141.0E-53.0482994E-43.7715383E-43.8715007E-41.02650441.0E-50.00304412140.00378227140.00379223351.00263391.0E-5
7.24.77173E-65.4339257E-65.4339257E-61.00.02.045011E-52.3288068E-53.3287834E-51.42939451.0E-52.4895166E-42.8349945E-42.9349662E-41.03526341.0E-50.00248672930.00284784730.00285781871.00350141.0E-5
7.33.0494948E-62.767905E-62.767905E-61.00.01.3069198E-51.1862397E-51.1862397E-51.00.01.5910587E-41.4441527E-41.4441527E-41.00.00.00158991990.00145341790.00145341791.00.0
7.42.7263884E-62.3591338E-62.3591338E-61.00.01.1684469E-51.0110534E-51.0110534E-51.00.01.4224913E-41.2308892E-41.2308892E-41.00.00.00142158110.00123932240.00123932241.00.0
7.52.6090431E-62.2179593E-62.2179593E-61.00.01.1181565E-59.505506E-69.505506E-61.00.01.3612706E-41.1572348E-41.1572348E-41.00.00.0013604370.00116547780.00116547781.00.0
7.62.3008756E-61.9212537E-61.9212537E-61.00.09.860858E-68.233918E-68.233918E-61.00.01.20049335E-41.0024343E-41.0024343E-41.00.00.0011998450.00101043830.00101043831.00.0
7.71.7184348E-61.3860471E-61.3860471E-61.00.07.3646997E-65.9401887E-65.9401887E-61.00.08.966153E-57.231944E-57.231944E-51.00.08.962536E-47.311082E-47.311082E-41.00.0
7.88.4612907E-78.719528E-78.719528E-71.00.03.6262625E-63.7369355E-63.7369355E-61.00.04.4148852E-54.549626E-54.549626E-51.00.04.414008E-44.6066343E-44.6066343E-41.00.0
7.92.716738E-73.902713E-73.902713E-71.00.01.1643157E-61.6725903E-61.6725903E-61.00.01.4175452E-52.0363608E-52.0363608E-51.00.01.4174548E-42.0568166E-42.0568166E-41.00.0
8.02.1995428E-83.497404E-83.497404E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4988873E-71.4988873E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.8248945E-61.8248945E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.8799978E-51.8799978E-51.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4713695E-51.4713695E-51.00.07.037136E-56.3057385E-56.3057385E-51.00.08.5643446E-47.674917E-47.7748403E-41.01301941.0E-50.0085314130.00765221570.00767206261.00259362.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.4713695E-51.4713695E-51.00.07.037136E-56.3057385E-56.3057385E-51.00.08.5643446E-47.674917E-47.7748403E-41.01301941.0E-50.0085314130.00765221570.00767206261.00259362.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.4713695E-51.4713695E-51.00.07.037136E-56.3057385E-56.3057385E-51.00.08.5643446E-47.674917E-47.7748403E-41.01301941.0E-50.0085314130.00765221570.00767206261.00259362.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.877241E-69.877241E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.2330477E-54.2330477E-51.00.06.283899E-45.1527494E-45.252698E-41.01939711.0E-50.00626615950.00514308970.00515303851.00193441.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.877241E-69.877241E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.2330477E-54.2330477E-51.00.06.283899E-45.1527494E-45.252698E-41.01939711.0E-50.00626615950.00514308970.00515303851.00193441.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.891724E-67.891724E-61.00.04.390359E-53.3821354E-53.3821354E-51.00.05.343951E-44.1171792E-44.217138E-41.02427851.0E-50.0053311180.00411158850.0041215471.00242211.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.1888417E-67.1888417E-61.00.04.1165385E-53.080907E-53.080907E-51.00.05.010733E-43.750563E-43.8505255E-41.02665271.0E-50.004999450.0037462360.00375619861.00265931.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.133912E-66.133912E-61.00.03.687454E-52.628804E-52.628804E-51.00.04.48855E-43.2002942E-43.3002623E-41.03123711.0E-50.0044794950.0031976030.0032075711.00311731.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.568382E-62.568382E-61.00.02.223407E-51.1007327E-51.1007327E-51.00.02.7066618E-41.3400997E-41.3400997E-41.00.00.00270336750.00133968480.00133968481.00.0
6.94.5302368E-62.3488324E-62.3488324E-61.00.01.9415156E-51.0066408E-51.0066408E-51.00.02.3635388E-41.2255562E-41.2255562E-41.00.00.00236102660.00122527090.00122527091.00.0
7.03.431668E-61.6917479E-61.6917479E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.250348E-67.250348E-61.00.01.7904381E-48.827299E-58.827299E-51.00.00.00178899628.827299E-48.827299E-41.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.845306E-58.845306E-51.00.03.14073E-43.7903295E-43.7903295E-41.00.00.00381713550.0046055330.0046055331.00.00.037522310.045164630.0451741781.00021141.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.499567E-54.499567E-51.00.01.6259136E-41.9282471E-41.9282471E-41.00.00.00197775240.00234519060.00234519061.00.00.0196024310.0232129820.023222751.00042081.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.3369663E-53.3369663E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4300497E-41.4300497E-41.00.00.00149357390.00173971710.00173971711.00.00.01483575350.0172635950.0172734221.00056921.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.3369663E-53.3369663E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4300497E-41.4300497E-41.00.00.00149357390.00173971710.00173971711.00.00.01483575350.0172635950.0172734221.00056921.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.5498312E-52.5498312E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0927396E-41.0927396E-41.00.00.0011579450.00132960780.00132960781.00.00.0115192980.0132176920.013227561.00074661.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.4071123E-52.4071123E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.0315793E-41.0315793E-41.00.00.00109541360.0012552330.0012552331.00.00.0109002960.012482510.0124923861.00079111.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.0742948E-52.0742948E-51.00.07.802154E-58.889535E-58.889535E-51.00.09.4949827E-40.00108176890.00108176891.00.00.0094545160.01076570150.0107755941.00091891.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.8015531E-51.8015531E-51.00.06.807459E-57.720715E-57.720715E-51.00.08.284929E-49.395944E-49.395944E-41.00.00.0082541090.0093565860.0093565861.00.0
6.81.4331171E-51.6229398E-51.6229398E-51.00.06.141786E-56.955272E-56.955272E-51.00.07.4750587E-48.464774E-48.464774E-41.00.00.00744996450.00843280.00843281.00.0
6.91.2574203E-51.4230522E-51.4230522E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.098653E-56.098653E-51.00.06.558929E-47.4225944E-47.4225944E-41.00.00.00653960370.00739798970.00739798971.00.0
7.01.0883844E-51.2310514E-51.2310514E-51.00.04.664421E-55.275828E-55.275828E-51.00.05.677453E-46.421438E-46.421438E-41.00.00.005662970.00640301130.00640301131.00.0
7.19.393088E-61.0625388E-51.0625388E-51.00.04.025547E-54.5536588E-54.5536588E-51.00.04.900001E-45.542677E-45.542677E-41.00.00.00488921070.00552894970.00552894971.00.0
7.28.190791E-69.274806E-69.274806E-61.00.03.510292E-53.9748567E-53.9748567E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.8383203E-44.8383203E-41.00.00.00426473560.0048278670.0048278671.00.0
7.36.268162E-67.1021623E-67.1021623E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0437486E-53.0437486E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.705138E-43.705138E-41.00.00.0032653050.00369900670.00369900671.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.652646E-65.652646E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4225403E-52.4225403E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9490475E-42.9490475E-41.00.00.0025978250.00294517560.00294517561.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.9730278E-61.9730278E-61.00.07.495527E-68.455807E-68.455807E-61.00.09.125422E-51.0294481E-41.0294481E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102899330.00102899331.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7541295E-71.7541295E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.517696E-77.517696E-71.00.08.864449E-69.152758E-69.152758E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.152401E-59.152401E-51.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0811614E-55.0811614E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.1774818E-42.1774818E-41.00.00.00213221580.0026482610.0026482611.00.00.021118730.0262074620.0262269381.00074322.0E-5
6.14.0906612E-55.0811614E-55.0811614E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.1774818E-42.1774818E-41.00.00.00213221580.0026482610.0026482611.00.00.021118730.0262074620.0262269381.00074322.0E-5
6.24.0906612E-55.0811614E-55.0811614E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.1774818E-42.1774818E-41.00.00.00213221580.0026482610.0026482611.00.00.021118730.0262074620.0262269381.00074322.0E-5
6.32.4242801E-53.0137075E-53.0137075E-51.00.01.0389358E-41.2915269E-41.2915269E-41.00.00.00126417040.00157133320.00157133321.00.00.012570030.0156059150.0156157591.00063071.0E-5
6.42.4242801E-53.0137075E-53.0137075E-51.00.01.0389358E-41.2915269E-41.2915269E-41.00.00.00126417040.00157133320.00157133321.00.00.012570030.0156059150.0156157591.00063071.0E-5
6.52.0286952E-52.5350304E-52.5350304E-51.00.08.694118E-51.0863973E-41.0863973E-41.00.00.00105799490.00132190330.00132190331.00.00.0105297190.013142340.0131522081.00075091.0E-5
6.62.0269223E-52.5331234E-52.5331234E-51.00.08.6865206E-51.0855801E-41.0855801E-41.00.00.00105707070.00132090960.00132090961.00.00.0105205650.013132520.0131423891.00075151.0E-5
6.71.799852E-52.2570233E-52.2570233E-51.00.07.713423E-59.672607E-59.672607E-51.00.09.3870464E-40.00117701830.00117701831.00.00.0093474930.0117094580.0117094581.00.0
6.81.7458793E-52.187038E-52.187038E-51.00.07.4821255E-59.3726914E-59.3726914E-51.00.09.10568E-40.00114054230.00114054231.00.00.0090684590.0113484750.0113484751.00.0
6.91.542884E-51.9050767E-51.9050767E-51.00.06.612192E-58.1643666E-58.1643666E-51.00.08.04737E-49.935715E-49.935715E-41.00.00.0080182910.0098926940.0098926941.00.0
7.01.468253E-51.8054066E-51.8054066E-51.00.06.292361E-57.737235E-57.737235E-51.00.07.658257E-49.416143E-49.416143E-41.00.00.00763191840.0093776140.0093776141.00.0
7.11.3139281E-51.6222242E-51.6222242E-51.00.05.6309986E-56.952212E-56.952212E-51.00.06.853584E-48.4611564E-48.4611564E-41.00.00.00683248560.0084302410.0084302411.00.0
7.21.1127404E-51.38845835E-51.38845835E-51.00.04.7688E-55.9504062E-55.9504062E-51.00.05.8044674E-47.2423206E-47.2423206E-41.00.00.00578932980.00721982730.00721982731.00.0
7.39.808154E-61.2190431E-51.2190431E-51.00.04.2034266E-55.2243722E-55.2243722E-51.00.05.11647E-46.358924E-46.358924E-41.00.00.00510470570.00634180570.00634180571.00.0
7.47.942452E-69.802269E-69.802269E-61.00.03.4038632E-54.2009102E-54.2009102E-51.00.04.1434157E-45.113503E-45.113503E-41.00.00.00413569850.0051026790.0051026791.00.0
7.54.7121216E-65.7769917E-65.7769917E-61.00.02.019465E-52.4758343E-52.4758343E-51.00.02.4584212E-43.013988E-43.013988E-41.00.00.00245570320.00301065370.00301065371.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.605374E-72.605374E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1165885E-61.1165885E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3594409E-51.3594409E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.359386E-41.359386E-41.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7135324E-54.7134952E-51.26927541.0E-51.3660437E-41.5914431E-41.6914272E-41.0628261.0E-50.00166188950.00193633740.00194631811.00515441.0E-50.0164951590.0192412620.0192510691.00050971.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.7135324E-54.7134952E-51.26927541.0E-51.3660437E-41.5914431E-41.6914272E-41.0628261.0E-50.00166188950.00193633740.00194631811.00515441.0E-50.0164951590.0192412620.0192510691.00050971.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.7135324E-54.7134952E-51.26927541.0E-51.3660437E-41.5914431E-41.6914272E-41.0628261.0E-50.00166188950.00193633740.00194631811.00515441.0E-50.0164951590.0192412620.0192510691.00050971.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.7135324E-54.7134952E-51.26927541.0E-51.3660437E-41.5914431E-41.6914272E-41.0628261.0E-50.00166188950.00193633740.00194631811.00515441.0E-50.0164951590.0192412620.0192510691.00050971.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.124924E-53.1249027E-51.4705951.0E-58.259794E-59.1065864E-51.0106495E-41.10980061.0E-50.0010051660.00110833520.00111832411.00901261.0E-50.0100063150.0110449520.0110548421.00089541.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.124924E-53.1249027E-51.4705951.0E-58.259794E-59.1065864E-51.0106495E-41.10980061.0E-50.0010051660.00110833520.00111832411.00901261.0E-50.0100063150.0110449520.0110548421.00089541.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.678803E-61.9678706E-52.03317571.0E-54.205614E-54.147996E-55.1479547E-51.24107031.0E-55.119132E-45.049088E-45.1490375E-41.01979551.0E-50.0051073560.00503834240.00504829181.00197481.0E-5
6.79.801478E-69.6663625E-61.9666266E-52.03450541.0E-54.2005657E-54.142665E-55.1426236E-51.24138051.0E-55.112989E-45.0426E-45.1425496E-41.0198211.0E-50.00510124070.00503188370.00504183351.00197731.0E-5
6.88.102489E-67.78352E-61.7783443E-52.28475571.0E-53.4724493E-53.3357544E-54.3357213E-51.29977231.0E-54.2268867E-44.0605743E-44.1605334E-41.02461711.0E-50.0042188560.00405365040.004063611.00245691.0E-5
6.96.08275E-65.487864E-61.5487809E-52.82219271.0E-52.6068668E-52.351921E-53.3518976E-51.42517441.0E-53.173398E-42.863095E-42.9630665E-41.03491721.0E-50.00316887020.00285948440.00286945581.00348711.0E-5
7.05.5995934E-64.988599E-61.4988549E-53.0045611.0E-52.3998036E-52.1379537E-53.1379324E-51.4677271.0E-52.9213692E-42.6026546E-42.7026286E-41.03841231.0E-50.00291753160.00259967380.00260964781.00383661.0E-5
7.14.709881E-64.0921827E-61.4092142E-53.44367361.0E-52.0185047E-51.753781E-52.7537635E-51.57018661.0E-52.4572524E-42.1350232E-42.2350019E-41.04682791.0E-50.0024545370.00213301370.00214299231.00467821.0E-5
7.23.6063436E-62.9814182E-61.2981388E-54.35409831.0E-51.5455667E-51.2777445E-52.2777316E-51.78261911.0E-51.881565E-41.5555439E-41.6555283E-41.06427621.0E-50.00187997260.00155446630.00156445081.00642311.0E-5
7.32.471135E-62.0978546E-62.0978546E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.990774E-68.990774E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.0945725E-41.0945725E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109404060.00109404061.00.0
7.41.163943E-61.0288481E-61.0288481E-61.00.04.988318E-64.409342E-64.409342E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.3682445E-55.3682445E-51.00.06.071448E-45.3669774E-45.3669774E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.923628E-74.923628E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1101248E-62.1101248E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5690482E-52.5690482E-51.00.02.605767E-42.568767E-42.568767E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4812238E-72.4812238E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0633812E-61.0633812E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2946593E-51.2946593E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2945876E-41.2945876E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.404825E-87.404825E-81.00.03.527691E-73.1734962E-73.1734962E-71.00.04.294955E-63.863726E-63.863726E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.8636706E-53.8636706E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7695907E-81.7695907E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.5839594E-87.5839594E-81.00.01.45157E-69.233469E-79.233469E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.233446E-69.233446E-61.00.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.9159746E-54.9159746E-51.00.01.6884391E-42.1067058E-42.1067058E-41.00.00.00205373620.00256240740.00256240741.00.00.0203485950.0253824260.0253921711.0003841.0E-5
6.12.1505624E-52.702238E-52.702238E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.1580569E-41.1580569E-41.00.00.00112151540.0014091330.0014091331.00.00.0111587220.0140156350.0140254941.00070351.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.702238E-52.702238E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.1580569E-41.1580569E-41.00.00.00112151540.0014091330.0014091331.00.00.0111587220.0140156350.0140254941.00070351.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.8284329E-51.8284329E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.835931E-57.835931E-51.00.07.454001E-49.5365284E-49.5365284E-41.00.00.0074290480.0095028030.00951270851.00104241.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.8284329E-51.8284329E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.835931E-57.835931E-51.00.07.454001E-49.5365284E-49.5365284E-41.00.00.0074290480.0095028030.00951270851.00104241.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6767488E-51.6767488E-51.00.05.5789995E-57.185893E-57.185893E-51.00.06.790315E-48.7457563E-48.7457563E-41.00.00.00676960360.0087183760.0087282891.0011371.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2115674E-51.2115674E-51.00.04.058515E-55.1923478E-55.1923478E-51.00.04.940122E-46.320193E-46.320193E-41.00.00.0049291540.00630787570.00631781251.00157541.0E-5
6.78.314155E-61.0470124E-51.0470124E-51.00.03.5631605E-54.4871373E-54.4871373E-51.00.04.3372845E-45.462047E-45.462047E-41.00.00.0043288290.0054548070.00546475271.00182321.0E-5
6.83.4856364E-63.833736E-63.833736E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.6430206E-51.6430206E-51.00.01.8185932E-42.0002149E-42.0002149E-41.00.00.00181710560.00200010490.0020100851.00498971.0E-5
6.92.2645952E-62.1660633E-62.1660633E-61.00.09.705372E-69.283096E-69.283096E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.1301605E-41.1301605E-41.00.00.00118093690.00113016010.00114014871.00883831.0E-5
7.01.7864003E-61.5524521E-61.5524521E-61.00.07.655979E-66.6533494E-66.6533494E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.100158E-58.100158E-51.00.09.316847E-48.101643E-48.2015625E-41.01233321.0E-5
7.11.7315456E-61.4824569E-61.4824569E-61.00.07.420889E-66.3533716E-66.3533716E-61.00.09.034557E-57.7349614E-57.7349614E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.736673E-47.836596E-41.01291551.0E-5
7.21.6008337E-61.3659252E-61.3659252E-61.00.06.860698E-65.853952E-65.853952E-61.00.08.352579E-57.126959E-57.126959E-51.00.08.34944E-47.128974E-47.2289025E-41.01401721.0E-5
7.31.3320939E-61.1288076E-61.1288076E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.8377383E-64.8377383E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.889792E-55.889792E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.889816E-45.9897575E-41.01696851.0E-5
7.41.114294E-69.2878236E-79.2878236E-71.00.04.775537E-63.98049E-63.98049E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.8461425E-54.8461425E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8452674E-44.945219E-41.02062871.0E-5
7.59.354081E-77.6618466E-77.6618466E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2836447E-63.2836447E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9977676E-53.9977676E-51.00.04.879637E-43.9970825E-43.9970825E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.915684E-76.915684E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.9638613E-62.9638613E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.608445E-53.608445E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.607891E-43.607891E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.427867E-71.427867E-71.00.09.344408E-76.119429E-76.119429E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.450389E-67.450389E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.4502364E-57.4502364E-51.00.0

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.851782E-51.851782E-51.00.07.439883E-57.935995E-57.935995E-51.00.09.0542925E-49.658278E-49.7581814E-41.01034381.0E-50.0090174910.0096211530.0096310561.00102941.0E-5
6.19.062689E-69.5996475E-69.5996475E-61.00.03.8839516E-54.114075E-54.114075E-51.00.04.727685E-45.007824E-45.107774E-41.01995871.0E-50.00471763960.00499742340.00500737361.0019911.0E-5
6.29.062689E-69.5996475E-69.5996475E-61.00.03.8839516E-54.114075E-54.114075E-51.00.04.727685E-45.007824E-45.107774E-41.01995871.0E-50.00471763960.00499742340.00500737361.0019911.0E-5
6.37.2575485E-67.673472E-67.673472E-61.00.03.110341E-53.2885935E-53.2885935E-51.00.03.786182E-44.0031984E-44.103158E-41.024971.0E-50.00377973750.0039966930.0040066531.00249211.0E-5
6.47.2575485E-67.673472E-67.673472E-61.00.03.110341E-53.2885935E-53.2885935E-51.00.03.786182E-44.0031984E-44.103158E-41.024971.0E-50.00377973750.0039966930.0040066531.00249211.0E-5
6.56.06582E-66.4086225E-66.4086225E-61.00.02.5996113E-52.7465274E-52.7465274E-51.00.03.164567E-43.343449E-43.4434153E-41.02989921.0E-50.00316006430.00333905830.00334902481.00298491.0E-5
6.65.598744E-65.914635E-65.914635E-61.00.02.3994397E-52.5348225E-52.5348225E-51.00.02.9209262E-43.0857735E-43.1857425E-41.03239681.0E-50.00291708970.00308211870.00309208781.00323451.0E-5
6.75.246996E-65.5432633E-65.5432633E-61.00.02.2486933E-52.3756662E-52.3756662E-51.00.02.73744E-42.8920532E-42.9920242E-41.03456751.0E-50.00273407040.00288891440.00289888561.00345151.0E-5
6.84.02324E-64.250044E-64.250044E-61.00.01.7242342E-51.8214381E-51.8214381E-51.00.02.099053E-42.2174348E-42.3174127E-41.04508711.0E-50.00209707140.00221580760.00222578531.0045031.0E-5
6.96.835972E-77.144145E-77.144145E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.0617748E-63.0617748E-61.00.03.56685E-53.727679E-54.7276415E-51.26825341.0E-53.5662777E-43.7273666E-43.8273292E-41.02681861.0E-5

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.5122855E-54.5122855E-51.00.02.7003905E-41.933694E-41.933694E-41.00.00.00328276910.00235174320.00236171971.00424221.0E-50.0323469680.0242312920.0242508071.00080542.0E-5
6.16.3015636E-54.5122855E-54.5122855E-51.00.02.7003905E-41.933694E-41.933694E-41.00.00.00328276910.00235174320.00236171971.00424221.0E-50.0323469680.0242312920.0242508071.00080542.0E-5
6.26.3015636E-54.5122855E-54.5122855E-51.00.02.7003905E-41.933694E-41.933694E-41.00.00.00328276910.00235174320.00236171971.00424221.0E-50.0323469680.0242312920.0242508071.00080542.0E-5
6.36.3015636E-54.5122855E-54.5122855E-51.00.02.7003905E-41.933694E-41.933694E-41.00.00.00328276910.00235174320.00236171971.00424221.0E-50.0323469680.0242312920.0242508071.00080542.0E-5
6.46.3015636E-54.5122855E-54.5122855E-51.00.02.7003905E-41.933694E-41.933694E-41.00.00.00328276910.00235174320.00236171971.00424221.0E-50.0323469680.0242312920.0242508071.00080542.0E-5
6.55.811017E-54.1816114E-54.1816114E-51.00.02.4901982E-41.7919965E-41.7919965E-41.00.00.00302760140.00217957860.00218955681.0045781.0E-50.029866840.0224884060.0225079561.00086942.0E-5
6.65.811017E-54.1816114E-54.1816114E-51.00.02.4901982E-41.7919965E-41.7919965E-41.00.00.00302760140.00217957860.00218955681.0045781.0E-50.029866840.0224884060.0225079561.00086942.0E-5
6.75.712442E-54.122068E-54.122068E-51.00.02.4479596E-41.7664813E-41.7664813E-41.00.00.00297631770.00214857540.00215855381.00464431.0E-50.0293676930.022169790.0221893451.00088212.0E-5
6.85.6967532E-54.10738E-54.10738E-51.00.02.4412372E-41.7601873E-41.7601873E-41.00.00.00296815530.00214092760.00215090621.00466081.0E-50.0292882290.0220924130.022111971.00088522.0E-5
6.95.6211324E-54.0766958E-54.0766958E-51.00.02.4088343E-41.7470386E-41.7470386E-41.00.00.00292881160.00212495030.00213492921.0046961.0E-50.0289051090.0219253340.0219448951.00089222.0E-5
7.05.4383527E-53.9588285E-53.9588285E-51.00.02.3305144E-41.6965308E-41.6965308E-41.00.00.00283370940.00206357470.0020735541.0048361.0E-50.0279784650.0213031280.0213227031.00091892.0E-5
7.15.1393665E-53.7992384E-53.7992384E-51.00.02.2023996E-41.6281437E-41.6281437E-41.00.00.00267812420.00198046720.00199044751.00503931.0E-50.0264607820.0204459750.0204655661.00095822.0E-5
7.24.785222E-53.6282792E-53.6282792E-51.00.02.0506482E-41.5548842E-41.5548842E-41.00.00.00249380550.00189143160.00190141271.0052771.0E-50.0246600490.0195280670.0195476771.00100422.0E-5
7.34.2143256E-53.5334102E-53.5334102E-51.00.01.8060145E-41.514231E-41.514231E-41.00.00.0021966050.00184202090.00185200251.00541881.0E-50.021750190.0190144420.0190340631.00103192.0E-5
7.44.0264713E-53.495816E-53.495816E-51.00.01.7255165E-41.4981211E-41.4981211E-41.00.00.0020987920.00182244020.0018324221.00547721.0E-50.0207908040.0188114290.0188310521.00104322.0E-5
7.53.694492E-53.3637232E-53.3637232E-51.00.01.5832575E-41.4415162E-41.4415162E-41.00.00.00192591180.00175363640.00176361891.00569251.0E-50.019093060.018110010.0181296491.00108432.0E-5
7.63.200565E-53.0897292E-53.0897292E-51.00.01.3715986E-41.3241026E-41.3241026E-41.00.00.0016686420.00161090520.00161090521.00.00.016561680.0166700450.0166798771.00058981.0E-5
7.72.731642E-52.744577E-52.744577E-51.00.01.1706512E-41.17619435E-41.17619435E-41.00.00.0014243360.0014310770.0014310771.00.00.0141524120.0148713480.0148811991.00066241.0E-5
7.82.3466424E-52.4796302E-52.4796302E-51.00.01.0056651E-41.0626554E-41.0626554E-41.00.00.00122370940.0012930160.0012930161.00.00.0121699280.0134823760.0134922411.00073171.0E-5
7.91.8611925E-52.0058742E-52.0058742E-51.00.07.9762955E-58.5963205E-58.5963205E-51.00.09.7068126E-40.00104610040.00104610041.00.00.00966452250.0109958490.0110057391.00089941.0E-5
8.01.5460775E-51.6757658E-51.6757658E-51.00.06.6258784E-57.181657E-57.181657E-51.00.08.0640207E-48.740167E-48.740167E-41.00.00.0080348210.0092367230.0092466311.00107261.0E-5
8.19.983884E-68.868624E-68.868624E-61.00.04.2787375E-53.8007838E-53.8007838E-51.00.05.2081177E-44.6264776E-44.6264776E-41.00.00.00519592830.0049607770.0049607771.00.0
8.24.1226E-61.7258074E-61.7258074E-61.00.01.7668166E-57.3962965E-67.3962965E-61.00.02.1508869E-49.0046226E-59.0046226E-51.00.00.00214880640.00103909310.00103909311.00.0
8.31.2750878E-64.0836352E-74.0836352E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.7501283E-61.7501283E-61.00.06.653009E-52.130761E-52.130761E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.5493745E-42.5493745E-41.00.0

Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1364202E-59.985138E-69.985138E-61.00.09.1557646E-54.279279E-54.279279E-51.00.00.00111414425.2088645E-45.308813E-41.0191881.0E-50.0110857490.00519752830.0052174241.00382792.0E-5
6.12.1364202E-59.985138E-69.985138E-61.00.09.1557646E-54.279279E-54.279279E-51.00.00.00111414425.2088645E-45.308813E-41.0191881.0E-50.0110857490.00519752830.0052174241.00382792.0E-5
6.22.1364202E-59.985138E-69.985138E-61.00.09.1557646E-54.279279E-54.279279E-51.00.00.00111414425.2088645E-45.308813E-41.0191881.0E-50.0110857490.00519752830.0052174241.00382792.0E-5
6.31.7751237E-58.103736E-68.103736E-61.00.07.607452E-53.472987E-53.472987E-51.00.09.258136E-44.227604E-44.327562E-41.02364411.0E-50.009219660.00422018670.00423014441.00235951.0E-5
6.41.7751237E-58.103736E-68.103736E-61.00.07.607452E-53.472987E-53.472987E-51.00.09.258136E-44.227604E-44.327562E-41.02364411.0E-50.009219660.00422018670.00423014441.00235951.0E-5
6.51.5886664E-56.6161165E-66.6161165E-61.00.06.808392E-52.8354503E-52.8354503E-51.00.08.286065E-43.451661E-43.5516266E-41.02896151.0E-50.0082552370.00344676620.00345673181.00289131.0E-5
6.61.5886664E-56.6161165E-66.6161165E-61.00.06.808392E-52.8354503E-52.8354503E-51.00.08.286065E-43.451661E-43.5516266E-41.02896151.0E-50.0082552370.00344676620.00345673181.00289131.0E-5
6.71.428471E-55.4810853E-65.4810853E-61.00.06.121875E-52.3490176E-52.3490176E-51.00.07.450834E-42.8595934E-42.8595934E-41.00.00.0074259020.00285630320.00285630321.00.0
6.81.3490684E-55.083737E-65.083737E-61.00.05.7815934E-52.1787286E-52.1787286E-51.00.07.0368167E-42.652318E-42.652318E-41.00.00.0070145760.0026495350.0026495351.00.0
6.91.2235421E-54.298869E-64.298869E-61.00.05.2436466E-51.8423614E-51.8423614E-51.00.06.38227E-42.2428804E-42.2428804E-41.00.00.00636397070.00224097280.00224097281.00.0
7.01.1009851E-53.7277084E-63.7277084E-61.00.04.7184225E-51.5975815E-51.5975815E-51.00.05.743165E-41.9449164E-41.9449164E-41.00.00.0057283450.00194355370.00194355371.00.0
7.19.726373E-63.2194537E-63.2194537E-61.00.04.168379E-51.3797604E-51.3797604E-51.00.05.07382E-41.6797628E-41.6797628E-41.00.00.00506225040.00167882590.00167882591.00.0
7.23.9335127E-61.1556874E-61.1556874E-61.00.01.6857803E-54.952937E-64.952937E-61.00.02.0522442E-46.03004E-56.03004E-51.00.00.002050356.028464E-46.028464E-41.00.0
7.32.661632E-66.934411E-76.934411E-71.00.01.14069435E-52.9718872E-62.9718872E-61.00.01.3887069E-43.6182137E-53.6182137E-51.00.00.00138783933.617635E-43.617635E-41.00.0
7.42.0893426E-65.480855E-75.480855E-71.00.08.954295E-62.3489358E-62.3489358E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8597922E-52.8597922E-51.00.00.00108959622.8594298E-42.8594298E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6152954E-73.6152954E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.5494114E-61.5494114E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.8863926E-51.8863926E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8862372E-41.8862372E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1680255E-87.1680255E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0720108E-73.0720108E-71.00.06.863748E-63.7401683E-63.7401683E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7401212E-53.7401212E-51.00.0

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.090352E-57.090352E-51.00.02.3625491E-43.0383718E-43.1383414E-41.03290241.0E-50.00287260950.00369300760.00370297071.00269781.0E-50.0283575910.0363804180.036399691.00052982.0E-5
6.15.5131142E-57.090352E-57.090352E-51.00.02.3625491E-43.0383718E-43.1383414E-41.03290241.0E-50.00287260950.00369300760.00370297071.00269781.0E-50.0283575910.0363804180.036399691.00052982.0E-5
6.24.216245E-55.2261035E-55.2261035E-51.00.01.806837E-42.2395681E-42.3395458E-41.04464151.0E-50.00219760460.00272329640.00273326921.0036621.0E-50.0217599890.0269664320.0269858931.00072172.0E-5
6.34.216245E-55.2261035E-55.2261035E-51.00.01.806837E-42.2395681E-42.3395458E-41.04464151.0E-50.00219760460.00272329640.00273326921.0036621.0E-50.0217599890.0269664320.0269858931.00072172.0E-5
6.43.6858168E-54.468793E-54.468793E-51.00.01.5795401E-41.915058E-42.0150388E-41.05220771.0E-50.00192139370.00232911530.0023390921.00428341.0E-50.0190486550.0231079160.0231176861.00042271.0E-5
6.53.39199E-54.058485E-54.058485E-51.00.01.453629E-41.739236E-41.8392187E-41.05748651.0E-50.00176835650.00211548550.00212546441.0047171.0E-50.0175435080.0210437380.0210535281.00046521.0E-5
6.63.3571985E-54.0037357E-54.0037357E-51.00.01.4387199E-41.7157751E-41.8157579E-41.05827271.0E-50.00175023420.00208697680.0020969561.00478161.0E-50.0173651330.0207642280.0207740221.00047161.0E-5
6.73.2580007E-53.86501E-53.86501E-51.00.01.3962112E-41.656329E-41.7563124E-41.06036451.0E-50.00169856170.0020147370.0020247171.00495341.0E-50.0168563720.0200622160.0200720151.00048841.0E-5
6.83.2185937E-53.8074562E-53.8074562E-51.00.01.3793244E-41.6316662E-41.7316498E-41.0612771.0E-50.00167803370.00198476530.00199474531.00502841.0E-50.0166541920.0197673660.019777171.00049591.0E-5
6.93.165394E-53.7275884E-53.7275884E-51.00.01.3565269E-41.5974412E-41.6974252E-41.06259011.0E-50.00165032020.00194317140.0019531521.00513631.0E-50.016381180.0193586850.019368491.00050651.0E-5
7.03.0903822E-53.6176098E-53.6176098E-51.00.01.3243823E-41.5503132E-41.6502978E-41.06449311.0E-50.00161124280.00188589380.00189587491.00529251.0E-50.0159961040.0187946650.0188044781.0005221.0E-5
7.13.0069863E-53.4937286E-53.4937286E-51.00.01.2886449E-41.4972275E-41.5972125E-41.06678011.0E-50.00156779590.00182137170.00183135351.00548041.0E-50.015567810.0181597360.0181695561.00054061.0E-5
7.22.7957109E-53.1805448E-53.1805448E-51.00.01.1981068E-41.3630206E-41.4630069E-41.07335651.0E-50.00145771880.00165823420.00166821761.00602051.0E-50.0144819370.0165529230.0165627581.00059411.0E-5
7.32.4519275E-52.7201337E-52.7201337E-51.00.01.0507837E-41.1657203E-41.1657203E-41.00.00.00127857830.00141835530.00141835531.00.00.0127124690.0141789780.0141789781.00.0
7.42.3225532E-52.5672818E-52.5672818E-51.00.09.95342E-51.1002181E-41.1002181E-41.00.00.00121115510.0013387070.0013387071.00.00.0120457530.0133900910.0133900911.00.0
7.52.097765E-52.2934148E-52.2934148E-51.00.08.9901114E-59.828556E-59.828556E-51.00.00.00109399650.00119598190.00119598191.00.00.0108862640.0119729930.0119729931.00.0
7.61.511254E-51.6407063E-51.6407063E-51.00.06.476642E-57.0314134E-57.0314134E-51.00.07.882459E-48.557463E-48.557463E-41.00.00.0078545580.0085989110.0085989111.00.0
7.79.934069E-61.106357E-51.106357E-51.00.04.2573887E-54.741444E-54.741444E-51.00.05.182138E-45.771183E-45.771183E-41.00.00.005170070.0058273630.0058273631.00.0
7.86.7562896E-68.74301E-68.74301E-61.00.02.8955206E-53.7469505E-53.7469505E-51.00.03.5247262E-44.5609588E-44.5609588E-41.00.00.00351914060.00461000670.00461000671.00.0
7.93.975453E-65.5624864E-65.5624864E-61.00.01.7037546E-52.383901E-52.383901E-51.00.02.0741238E-42.902014E-42.902014E-41.00.00.0020721890.00293321630.00293321631.00.0
8.01.6729537E-62.1431376E-62.1431376E-61.00.07.169782E-69.184843E-69.184843E-61.00.08.7288594E-51.1181977E-41.1181977E-41.00.08.7254314E-40.00113136530.00113136531.00.0
8.13.6733252E-73.2423458E-73.2423458E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3895761E-61.3895761E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6917975E-51.6917975E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.7116626E-41.7116626E-41.00.0

Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7907707E-52.767465E-52.767465E-51.00.01.19598975E-41.18600954E-41.18600954E-41.00.00.00145514480.00144313430.00145311981.00691941.0E-50.0144565320.0143671340.0143868471.00137212.0E-5
6.12.7907707E-52.767465E-52.767465E-51.00.01.19598975E-41.18600954E-41.18600954E-41.00.00.00145514480.00144313430.00145311981.00691941.0E-50.0144565320.0143671340.0143868471.00137212.0E-5
6.22.7907707E-52.767465E-52.767465E-51.00.01.19598975E-41.18600954E-41.18600954E-41.00.00.00145514480.00144313430.00145311981.00691941.0E-50.0144565320.0143671340.0143868471.00137212.0E-5
6.32.7907707E-52.767465E-52.767465E-51.00.01.19598975E-41.18600954E-41.18600954E-41.00.00.00145514480.00144313430.00145311981.00691941.0E-50.0144565320.0143671340.0143868471.00137212.0E-5
6.42.7907707E-52.767465E-52.767465E-51.00.01.19598975E-41.18600954E-41.18600954E-41.00.00.00145514480.00144313430.00145311981.00691941.0E-50.0144565320.0143671340.0143868471.00137212.0E-5
6.51.7990213E-51.6715245E-51.6715245E-51.00.07.709863E-57.163517E-57.163517E-51.00.09.382716E-48.7187573E-48.81867E-41.01145951.0E-50.00934319850.008708330.0087281561.00227672.0E-5
6.69.650407E-67.520162E-67.520162E-61.00.04.135823E-53.2228912E-53.2228912E-51.00.05.0342013E-43.9232417E-43.9232417E-41.00.00.0050228120.00393438760.00393438761.00.0
6.79.62828E-67.497978E-67.497978E-61.00.04.1263404E-53.2133838E-53.2133838E-51.00.05.022661E-43.9116712E-43.9116712E-41.00.00.00501132430.0039228580.0039228581.00.0
6.86.887523E-64.5209845E-64.5209845E-61.00.02.9517621E-51.9375515E-51.9375515E-51.00.03.5931775E-42.358736E-42.358736E-41.00.00.00358737330.00237377640.00237377641.00.0
6.96.2722347E-63.8620424E-63.8620424E-61.00.02.6880729E-51.6551518E-51.6551518E-51.00.03.2722374E-42.0149813E-42.0149813E-41.00.00.0032674230.00203068440.00203068441.00.0
7.05.5320347E-63.0879087E-63.0879087E-61.00.02.3708504E-51.3233838E-51.3233838E-51.00.02.8861282E-41.6111191E-41.6111191E-41.00.00.00288238260.00162746640.00162746641.00.0
7.13.8794055E-61.3381233E-61.3381233E-61.00.01.6625918E-55.7348016E-65.7348016E-61.00.02.0240174E-46.981898E-56.981898E-51.00.00.0020221757.153126E-47.153126E-41.00.0
7.23.4813652E-61.0189755E-61.0189755E-61.00.01.49200505E-54.3670307E-64.3670307E-61.00.01.8163648E-45.316731E-55.316731E-51.00.00.00181488095.4887496E-45.4887496E-41.00.0
7.33.1682148E-68.218284E-78.218284E-71.00.01.3577992E-53.522117E-63.522117E-61.00.01.6529951E-44.2880933E-54.2880933E-51.00.00.00165176614.4602784E-44.4602784E-41.00.0
7.42.9707667E-67.829972E-77.829972E-71.00.01.2731795E-53.3556978E-63.3556978E-61.00.01.5499859E-44.085486E-54.085486E-51.00.00.00154890524.255489E-44.255489E-41.00.0
7.52.3462758E-66.420456E-76.420456E-71.00.01.0055429E-52.7516212E-62.7516212E-61.00.01.2241797E-43.3500477E-53.3500477E-51.00.00.00122350563.5019458E-43.5019458E-41.00.0
7.62.112783E-65.6363297E-75.6363297E-71.00.09.054753E-62.4155677E-62.4155677E-61.00.01.1023604E-42.940914E-52.940914E-51.00.00.00110181373.0884135E-43.0884135E-41.00.0
7.71.7022471E-64.562784E-74.562784E-71.00.07.2953244E-61.9554773E-61.9554773E-61.00.08.881695E-52.380768E-52.380768E-51.00.08.878146E-42.5144024E-42.5144024E-41.00.0
7.87.230914E-74.0246124E-74.0246124E-71.00.03.0989595E-61.7248327E-61.7248327E-61.00.03.772918E-52.0999638E-52.0999638E-51.00.03.7722773E-42.2282542E-42.2282542E-41.00.0
7.94.3588446E-73.6871324E-73.6871324E-71.00.01.868075E-61.5801986E-61.5801986E-61.00.02.2743576E-51.9238749E-51.9238749E-51.00.02.2741247E-42.0330802E-42.0330802E-41.00.0
8.02.3317523E-73.375453E-73.375453E-71.00.09.99322E-71.4466219E-61.4466219E-61.00.01.2166677E-51.7612481E-51.7612481E-51.00.01.21660116E-41.8555725E-41.8555725E-41.00.0
8.11.4662456E-72.1636195E-72.1636195E-71.00.06.283908E-79.2726515E-79.2726515E-71.00.07.650631E-61.1289396E-51.1289396E-51.00.07.650368E-51.1816291E-41.1816291E-41.00.0
8.25.4931775E-95.4307554E-95.4307554E-91.00.02.3542189E-82.3274668E-82.3274668E-81.00.02.8662612E-72.8336905E-72.8336905E-71.00.02.8662573E-62.9421265E-62.9421265E-61.00.0

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.4745957E-55.4745957E-51.00.01.9328714E-42.3460499E-42.3460499E-41.00.00.0023507310.00285275280.00285275281.00.00.0232601950.0281819350.0281916541.00034491.0E-5
6.14.5103672E-55.4745957E-55.4745957E-51.00.01.9328714E-42.3460499E-42.3460499E-41.00.00.0023507310.00285275280.00285275281.00.00.0232601950.0281819350.0281916541.00034491.0E-5
6.23.9363465E-54.721007E-54.721007E-51.00.01.6868966E-42.023134E-42.023134E-41.00.00.0020518620.00246052120.00246052121.00.00.0203301960.024348880.0243586361.00040071.0E-5
6.33.9363465E-54.721007E-54.721007E-51.00.01.6868966E-42.023134E-42.023134E-41.00.00.0020518620.00246052120.00246052121.00.00.0203301960.024348880.0243586361.00040071.0E-5
6.43.2311684E-53.806398E-53.806398E-51.00.01.384713E-41.6312154E-41.6312154E-41.00.00.00168458430.00198426540.00198426541.00.00.0167187140.019674640.0196844431.00049831.0E-5
6.53.2311684E-53.806398E-53.806398E-51.00.01.384713E-41.6312154E-41.6312154E-41.00.00.00168458430.00198426540.00198426541.00.00.0167187140.019674640.0196844431.00049831.0E-5
6.62.9305844E-53.4282242E-53.4282242E-51.00.01.2559042E-41.4691598E-41.4691598E-41.00.00.00152799090.00178729660.00178729661.00.00.0151752720.0177375340.0177473571.00055371.0E-5
6.72.7826512E-53.2438766E-53.2438766E-51.00.01.19251024E-41.3901622E-41.3901622E-41.00.00.00145091420.0016912690.0016912691.00.00.0144147760.0167920740.0168019071.00058561.0E-5
6.82.3389874E-52.6944079E-52.6944079E-51.00.01.0023846E-41.1546978E-41.1546978E-41.00.00.001219720.00140498560.00140498561.00.00.012130470.0139676420.01397750251.0007061.0E-5
6.92.069209E-52.3637645E-52.3637645E-51.00.08.867737E-51.01300466E-41.01300466E-41.00.00.00107911230.00123267180.00123267181.00.00.0107388710.0122637680.0122637681.00.0
7.01.7462342E-51.9689687E-51.9689687E-51.00.07.483646E-58.4381776E-58.4381776E-51.00.09.1075303E-40.00102688660.00102688661.00.00.0090702950.0102254370.0102254371.00.0
7.11.4807709E-51.6489292E-51.6489292E-51.00.06.3460066E-57.0666574E-57.0666574E-51.00.07.723524E-48.6004246E-48.6004246E-41.00.00.0076967350.0085705130.0085705131.00.0
7.21.4180048E-51.5744057E-51.5744057E-51.00.06.077022E-56.747288E-56.747288E-51.00.07.396263E-48.21189E-48.21189E-41.00.00.00737169430.0081848810.0081848811.00.0
7.31.3730402E-51.5216435E-51.5216435E-51.00.05.8843252E-56.521175E-56.521175E-51.00.07.161811E-47.936801E-47.936801E-41.00.00.0071387740.00791177250.00791177251.00.0
7.41.2810095E-51.4150716E-51.4150716E-51.00.05.489925E-56.0644605E-56.0644605E-51.00.06.681934E-47.381138E-47.381138E-41.00.00.0066618780.00735990240.00735990241.00.0
7.51.1595659E-51.2839478E-51.2839478E-51.00.04.9694736E-55.502526E-55.502526E-51.00.06.0486543E-46.6974235E-46.6974235E-41.00.00.0060322170.00668050.00668051.00.0
7.62.997694E-63.3389056E-63.3389056E-61.00.01.28471975E-51.43095585E-51.43095585E-51.00.01.564034E-41.7421228E-41.7421228E-41.00.00.00156293370.00174261630.00174261631.00.0

Hollywood

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.24487615E-51.2608963E-52.2608836E-51.79307661.0E-55.3350745E-55.403732E-56.403678E-51.18504731.0E-56.4935174E-46.577104E-46.677038E-41.01519431.0E-50.00647457550.00655812720.00656806171.00151481.0E-5
6.11.24487615E-51.2608963E-52.2608836E-51.79307661.0E-55.3350745E-55.403732E-56.403678E-51.18504731.0E-56.4935174E-46.577104E-46.677038E-41.01519431.0E-50.00647457550.00655812720.00656806171.00151481.0E-5
6.21.24487615E-51.2608963E-52.2608836E-51.79307661.0E-55.3350745E-55.403732E-56.403678E-51.18504731.0E-56.4935174E-46.577104E-46.677038E-41.01519431.0E-50.00647457550.00655812720.00656806171.00151481.0E-5
6.31.24487615E-51.2608963E-52.2608836E-51.79307661.0E-55.3350745E-55.403732E-56.403678E-51.18504731.0E-56.4935174E-46.577104E-46.677038E-41.01519431.0E-50.00647457550.00655812720.00656806171.00151481.0E-5
6.41.2431024E-51.2589552E-52.2589425E-51.79429951.0E-55.327473E-55.3954132E-56.3953594E-51.18533271.0E-56.4842677E-46.5669825E-46.666917E-41.01521771.0E-50.00646537960.00654806570.0065581.00151721.0E-5
6.51.1242222E-51.1332569E-52.1332457E-51.88240241.0E-54.8180063E-54.8567264E-55.8566777E-51.205891.0E-55.864344E-45.911487E-46.011428E-41.01690631.0E-50.00584889250.00589604960.00590599051.00168611.0E-5
6.61.1234066E-51.1323672E-52.132356E-51.88309571.0E-54.8145106E-54.852914E-55.852865E-51.20605181.0E-55.86009E-45.9068477E-46.0067885E-41.01691951.0E-50.0058446610.0058914350.0059013761.00168741.0E-5
6.71.12294E-51.1318407E-52.1318294E-51.88350651.0E-54.812511E-54.8506572E-55.8506088E-51.20614771.0E-55.857657E-45.9041014E-46.004043E-41.01692741.0E-50.00584224050.00588870330.00589864471.00168811.0E-5
6.81.0252819E-51.0231579E-52.0231477E-51.97735631.0E-54.3939912E-54.3848897E-55.384846E-51.2280461.0E-55.3483713E-45.337317E-45.437264E-41.0187261.0E-50.0053355170.0053247250.00533467161.0018681.0E-5
6.99.252289E-69.121851E-61.9121759E-52.09625861.0E-53.9652066E-53.909307E-54.909268E-51.25578981.0E-54.8265693E-44.7585584E-44.8585105E-41.02100481.0E-50.00481610.0047485430.00475849541.00209591.0E-5
7.08.474604E-68.268716E-61.8268633E-52.20936781.0E-53.6319227E-53.543688E-54.5436525E-51.28218191.0E-54.4209688E-44.3136004E-44.4135572E-41.02317251.0E-50.0044121840.0043053780.0043153351.00231271.0E-5
7.16.643643E-66.2763356E-61.6276274E-52.59327651.0E-52.8472443E-52.6898306E-53.6898036E-51.37176061.0E-53.4659685E-43.274381E-43.3743482E-41.03053011.0E-50.00346056770.00326960250.00327956981.00304841.0E-5
7.25.549002E-65.1153816E-61.511533E-52.95487861.0E-52.378122E-52.1922879E-53.192266E-51.45613441.0E-52.8949787E-42.6687852E-42.7687586E-41.03746021.0E-50.00289121040.00266559650.002675571.00374151.0E-5
7.34.3059727E-63.965413E-63.965413E-61.00.01.8454039E-51.6994516E-51.6994516E-51.00.02.2465475E-42.0688868E-42.0688868E-41.00.00.00224427790.00206697080.00206697081.00.0
7.42.8550733E-62.705691E-62.705691E-61.00.01.2235971E-51.1595767E-51.1595767E-51.00.01.4896276E-41.4116937E-41.4116937E-41.00.00.00148862940.0014108020.0014108021.00.0
7.51.9927045E-61.9010505E-61.9010505E-61.00.08.540134E-68.147334E-68.147334E-61.00.01.0397117E-49.918931E-59.918931E-51.00.00.00103922549.91454E-49.91454E-41.00.0
7.61.345084E-61.22395E-61.22395E-61.00.05.764633E-65.24549E-65.24549E-61.00.07.018215E-56.386198E-56.386198E-51.00.07.0159987E-46.3843833E-46.3843833E-41.00.0
7.77.6835164E-76.295337E-76.295337E-71.00.03.2929315E-62.6979988E-62.6979988E-61.00.04.00907E-53.2847656E-53.2847656E-51.00.04.0083472E-43.2842948E-43.2842948E-41.00.0
7.83.6562128E-72.468044E-72.468044E-71.00.01.5669474E-61.0577328E-61.0577328E-61.00.01.9077417E-51.2877824E-51.2877824E-51.00.01.907578E-41.2877115E-41.2877115E-41.00.0
7.97.5024424E-85.412359E-85.412359E-81.00.03.215332E-72.3195823E-72.3195823E-71.00.03.91466E-62.824089E-62.824089E-61.00.03.9145907E-52.8240664E-52.8240664E-51.00.0

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0430654E-53.0430654E-51.00.01.1448149E-41.3041169E-41.3041169E-41.00.00.0013929210.00158680290.00158680291.00.00.0138422220.0157742970.0157841391.0006241.0E-5
6.12.671352E-53.0430654E-53.0430654E-51.00.01.1448149E-41.3041169E-41.3041169E-41.00.00.0013929210.00158680290.00158680291.00.00.0138422220.0157742970.0157841391.0006241.0E-5
6.21.4197047E-51.6124031E-51.6124031E-51.00.06.0843064E-56.910172E-56.910172E-51.00.07.4051257E-48.4108766E-48.4108766E-41.00.00.0073804980.00838877450.008398691.00118211.0E-5
6.31.4197047E-51.6124031E-51.6124031E-51.00.06.0843064E-56.910172E-56.910172E-51.00.07.4051257E-48.4108766E-48.4108766E-41.00.00.0073804980.00838877450.008398691.00118211.0E-5
6.41.3238931E-51.5034288E-51.5034288E-51.00.05.6737044E-56.4431624E-56.4431624E-51.00.06.9055456E-47.8427105E-47.8427105E-41.00.00.0068841260.0078246930.0078346151.0012681.0E-5
6.51.3238931E-51.5034288E-51.5034288E-51.00.05.6737044E-56.4431624E-56.4431624E-51.00.06.9055456E-47.8427105E-47.8427105E-41.00.00.0068841260.0078246930.0078346151.0012681.0E-5
6.61.1328278E-51.2877355E-51.2877355E-51.00.04.8548856E-55.518804E-55.518804E-51.00.05.90922E-46.7180325E-46.7180325E-41.00.00.00589353130.00670714630.00671707931.00148091.0E-5
6.78.651175E-69.84143E-69.84143E-61.00.03.707594E-54.2177388E-54.2177388E-51.00.04.5130608E-45.134796E-45.134796E-41.00.00.00450390620.00513184160.005141791.00193861.0E-5
6.81.0215377E-61.176964E-61.176964E-61.00.04.378012E-65.0441226E-65.0441226E-61.00.05.3300988E-56.1410574E-56.1410574E-51.00.05.3288206E-46.1394734E-46.1394734E-41.00.0
6.97.9360774E-79.295568E-79.295568E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.983809E-63.983809E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.8501868E-54.8501868E-51.00.04.140076E-44.8491984E-44.8491984E-41.00.0
7.07.4382757E-78.7589524E-78.7589524E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.7538318E-63.7538318E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.570201E-54.570201E-51.00.03.8804344E-44.569328E-44.569328E-41.00.0
7.16.4709513E-77.721946E-77.721946E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3094016E-63.3094016E-61.00.03.376394E-54.029128E-54.029128E-51.00.03.375881E-44.028457E-44.028457E-41.00.0
7.26.356704E-77.598881E-77.598881E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.2566597E-63.2566597E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.964917E-53.964917E-51.00.03.3162883E-43.964269E-43.964269E-41.00.0
7.35.7695723E-76.9067147E-76.9067147E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9600176E-62.9600176E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.6037676E-53.6037676E-51.00.03.0100282E-43.6032408E-43.6032408E-41.00.0
7.45.209647E-76.202982E-76.202982E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6584185E-62.6584185E-61.00.02.718283E-53.236582E-53.236582E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.2361664E-43.2361664E-41.00.0
7.54.512955E-75.3577145E-75.3577145E-71.00.01.934122E-62.2961617E-62.2961617E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.7955464E-52.7955464E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.795248E-42.795248E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.605374E-72.605374E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1165885E-61.1165885E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3594409E-51.3594409E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.359386E-41.359386E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.5984936E-53.5984936E-51.00.01.5653463E-41.5421206E-41.5421206E-41.00.00.00190414310.0018759170.0018759171.00.00.0188790990.0193420610.0193518681.0005071.0E-5
6.13.652694E-53.5984936E-53.5984936E-51.00.01.5653463E-41.5421206E-41.5421206E-41.00.00.00190414310.0018759170.0018759171.00.00.0188790990.0193420610.0193518681.0005071.0E-5
6.23.652694E-53.5984936E-53.5984936E-51.00.01.5653463E-41.5421206E-41.5421206E-41.00.00.00190414310.0018759170.0018759171.00.00.0188790990.0193420610.0193518681.0005071.0E-5
6.33.652694E-53.5984936E-53.5984936E-51.00.01.5653463E-41.5421206E-41.5421206E-41.00.00.00190414310.0018759170.0018759171.00.00.0188790990.0193420610.0193518681.0005071.0E-5
6.43.646941E-53.590616E-53.590616E-51.00.01.5628811E-41.5387448E-41.5387448E-41.00.00.00190114680.00187181440.00187181441.00.00.0188496450.0193017980.0193116051.00050811.0E-5
6.53.646941E-53.590616E-53.590616E-51.00.01.5628811E-41.5387448E-41.5387448E-41.00.00.00190114680.00187181440.00187181441.00.00.0188496450.0193017980.0193116051.00050811.0E-5
6.63.6442503E-53.5869383E-53.5869383E-51.00.01.561728E-41.5371689E-41.5371689E-41.00.00.00189974550.00186989920.00186989921.00.00.0188358690.0192830.0192928071.00050851.0E-5
6.73.6432113E-53.585489E-53.585489E-51.00.01.5612828E-41.5365478E-41.5365478E-41.00.00.00189920440.00186914450.00186914451.00.00.0188305490.0192755960.0192854031.00050881.0E-5
6.83.6409598E-53.5823796E-53.5823796E-51.00.01.560318E-41.5352153E-41.5352153E-41.00.00.00189803180.00186752480.00186752481.00.00.0188190230.0192596860.0192694921.00050931.0E-5
6.93.638078E-53.578402E-53.578402E-51.00.01.5590832E-41.533511E-41.533511E-41.00.00.00189653110.00186545340.00186545341.00.00.0188042690.0192393360.0192491451.00050971.0E-5
7.03.6294874E-53.566546E-53.566546E-51.00.01.5554018E-41.5284303E-41.5284303E-41.00.00.00189205690.00185927840.00185927841.00.00.0187602840.0191786720.019188481.00051141.0E-5
7.13.6260717E-53.5621586E-53.5621586E-51.00.01.5539382E-41.5265502E-41.5265502E-41.00.00.0018902780.00185699330.00185699331.00.00.0187427960.0191562210.019166031.0005121.0E-5
7.23.6210204E-53.5555426E-53.5555426E-51.00.01.5517735E-41.5237152E-41.5237152E-41.00.00.0018876470.00185354750.00185354751.00.00.018716930.0191223470.0191321561.0005131.0E-5
7.33.6119454E-53.544251E-53.544251E-51.00.01.5478847E-41.5188765E-41.5188765E-41.00.00.00188292060.00184766650.00184766651.00.00.0186704620.0190643350.0190741441.00051451.0E-5
7.43.607848E-53.538933E-53.538933E-51.00.01.5461289E-41.5165975E-41.5165975E-41.00.00.00188078660.00184489650.00184489651.00.00.0186494810.0190370060.0190468151.00051531.0E-5
7.53.5856774E-53.5195688E-53.5195688E-51.00.01.5366284E-41.5082996E-41.5082996E-41.00.00.00186923960.0018348110.0018348111.00.00.0185359440.0189364240.0189462341.00051811.0E-5
7.63.286655E-53.3683616E-53.3683616E-51.00.01.4084904E-41.4435037E-41.4435037E-41.00.00.0017134880.00175605130.00175605131.00.00.0170033610.0181383940.0181482121.00054131.0E-5
7.72.8882527E-53.074213E-53.074213E-51.00.01.237764E-41.3174534E-41.3174534E-41.00.00.00150593570.00160282060.00160282061.00.00.0149577130.0166084020.0166182351.00059211.0E-5
7.82.4950225E-52.7968306E-52.7968306E-51.00.01.0692515E-41.1985867E-41.1985867E-41.00.00.00130103620.00145830340.00145830341.00.00.0129344550.0151574340.0151672831.00064971.0E-5
7.91.9881603E-52.2789158E-52.2789158E-51.00.08.520408E-59.766417E-59.766417E-51.00.00.0010368660.00118841360.00118841361.00.00.0103204150.0124425370.0124524121.00079371.0E-5
8.01.563292E-51.6966918E-51.6966918E-51.00.06.6996516E-57.2713345E-57.2713345E-51.00.08.153773E-48.849262E-48.849262E-41.00.00.008123920.0093510160.00936092251.00105941.0E-5
8.11.0045313E-58.904128E-68.904128E-61.00.04.305063E-53.8159993E-53.8159993E-51.00.05.2401534E-44.6449946E-44.6449946E-41.00.00.00522781440.0049819010.0049819011.00.0
8.24.1554413E-61.7400134E-61.7400134E-61.00.01.7808914E-57.4571794E-67.4571794E-61.00.02.1680194E-49.078741E-59.078741E-51.00.00.00216590540.00104781360.00104781361.00.0
8.31.2758221E-64.0867982E-74.0867982E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.7514838E-61.7514838E-61.00.06.65684E-52.1324111E-52.1324111E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.5512482E-42.5512482E-41.00.0

Homestead Valley 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.539795E-56.322447E-66.322447E-61.00.06.5989545E-52.7096037E-52.7096037E-51.00.08.0312655E-43.298651E-43.298651E-41.00.00.0080023020.0032957940.00330576111.00302421.0E-5
6.11.539795E-56.322447E-66.322447E-61.00.06.5989545E-52.7096037E-52.7096037E-51.00.08.0312655E-43.298651E-43.298651E-41.00.00.0080023020.0032957940.00330576111.00302421.0E-5
6.21.539795E-56.322447E-66.322447E-61.00.06.5989545E-52.7096037E-52.7096037E-51.00.08.0312655E-43.298651E-43.298651E-41.00.00.0080023020.0032957940.00330576111.00302421.0E-5
6.31.539795E-56.322447E-66.322447E-61.00.06.5989545E-52.7096037E-52.7096037E-51.00.08.0312655E-43.298651E-43.298651E-41.00.00.0080023020.0032957940.00330576111.00302421.0E-5
6.41.539795E-56.322447E-66.322447E-61.00.06.5989545E-52.7096037E-52.7096037E-51.00.08.0312655E-43.298651E-43.298651E-41.00.00.0080023020.0032957940.00330576111.00302421.0E-5
6.51.0265258E-52.911169E-62.911169E-61.00.04.3993223E-51.2476419E-51.2476419E-51.00.05.3548586E-41.5189694E-41.5189694E-41.00.00.0053419730.00151862870.00152861341.00657491.0E-5
6.66.664671E-65.4045654E-75.4045654E-71.00.02.8562565E-52.3162409E-62.3162409E-61.00.03.476937E-42.8199991E-52.8199991E-51.00.00.0034715022.8197604E-42.8197604E-41.00.0
6.76.5954046E-65.4045654E-75.4045654E-71.00.02.8265715E-52.3162409E-62.3162409E-61.00.03.4408073E-42.8199991E-52.8199991E-51.00.00.00343548462.8197604E-42.8197604E-41.00.0
6.84.648189E-62.3458705E-72.3458705E-71.00.01.9920659E-51.0053727E-61.0053727E-61.00.02.4250703E-41.2240349E-51.2240349E-51.00.00.00242242541.2239724E-41.2239724E-41.00.0
6.94.1428534E-61.9488708E-71.9488708E-71.00.01.7754966E-58.3523014E-78.3523014E-71.00.02.1614527E-41.0168882E-51.0168882E-51.00.00.00215935151.01684476E-41.01684476E-41.00.0
7.03.0673707E-61.545569E-71.545569E-71.00.01.3145808E-56.623865E-76.623865E-71.00.01.6003846E-48.064528E-68.064528E-61.00.00.00159923248.064245E-58.064245E-51.00.0
7.12.340854E-61.476381E-71.476381E-71.00.01.0032193E-56.327346E-76.327346E-71.00.01.221351E-47.703517E-67.703517E-61.00.00.001220687.703261E-57.703261E-51.00.0
7.21.3754182E-61.3984732E-71.3984732E-71.00.05.8946357E-65.993455E-75.993455E-71.00.07.176483E-57.2970083E-67.2970083E-61.00.07.174166E-47.2967785E-57.2967785E-51.00.0
7.31.2573237E-61.388864E-71.388864E-71.00.05.388519E-65.9522733E-75.9522733E-71.00.06.560324E-57.2468692E-67.2468692E-61.00.06.558388E-47.246642E-57.246642E-51.00.0
7.41.0994207E-61.3163547E-71.3163547E-71.00.04.7117946E-65.641519E-75.641519E-71.00.05.736459E-56.8685285E-66.8685285E-61.00.05.734978E-46.868326E-56.868326E-51.00.0
7.55.5569126E-76.800142E-86.800142E-81.00.02.3815317E-62.9143462E-72.9143462E-71.00.02.8994764E-53.5482115E-63.5482115E-61.00.02.899098E-43.548161E-53.548161E-51.00.0

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.04604216E-41.04604216E-41.00.03.5478722E-44.4822512E-44.4822512E-41.00.00.0043109820.0054439340.00545387951.00182691.0E-50.0422830540.053162760.0531722271.00017811.0E-5
6.14.6961468E-55.790437E-55.790437E-51.00.02.0124791E-42.4813897E-42.4813897E-41.00.00.002447440.00301695220.00301695221.00.00.0242066030.0297671820.0297671821.00.0
6.23.5079658E-54.2255757E-54.2255757E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.810838E-41.810838E-41.00.00.00182876420.0022024830.0022024831.00.00.0181378760.021808750.021808751.00.0
6.33.5079658E-54.2255757E-54.2255757E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.810838E-41.810838E-41.00.00.00182876420.0022024830.0022024831.00.00.0181378760.021808750.021808751.00.0
6.42.7196904E-53.216446E-53.216446E-51.00.01.16552954E-41.3784048E-41.3784048E-41.00.00.00141810850.00167692690.00167692691.00.00.0140909290.0166442860.0166442861.00.0
6.52.5584688E-53.017284E-53.017284E-51.00.01.0964406E-41.2930584E-41.2930584E-41.00.00.00133409890.0015731730.0015731731.00.00.0132611810.015621880.015621881.00.0
6.62.2034688E-52.580074E-52.580074E-51.00.09.443096E-51.1056996E-41.1056996E-41.00.00.00114909050.00134536550.00134536551.00.00.0114316680.0133731940.0133731941.00.0
6.71.9394853E-52.259074E-52.259074E-51.00.08.311815E-59.68139E-59.68139E-51.00.00.00101149360.00117807710.00117807711.00.00.010069020.0117190270.0117190271.00.0
6.81.7615313E-52.044638E-52.044638E-51.00.07.549201E-58.762442E-58.762442E-51.00.09.1872766E-40.00106630960.00106630961.00.00.0091493870.0106125020.0106125021.00.0
6.91.5621423E-51.8063201E-51.8063201E-51.00.06.6947236E-57.7411445E-57.7411445E-51.00.08.147778E-49.4208034E-49.4208034E-41.00.00.0081179690.0093813140.0093813141.00.0
7.01.3444376E-51.5478834E-51.5478834E-51.00.05.7617483E-56.633619E-56.633619E-51.00.07.0126704E-48.073466E-48.073466E-41.00.00.0069905820.008044470.008044471.00.0
7.11.2268361E-51.4100672E-51.4100672E-51.00.05.2577634E-56.043007E-56.043007E-51.00.06.399447E-47.354904E-47.354904E-41.00.00.00638104930.00733086840.00733086841.00.0
7.21.0922655E-51.2537906E-51.2537906E-51.00.04.681054E-55.373279E-55.373279E-51.00.05.697693E-46.540029E-46.540029E-41.00.00.00568310640.0065210640.0065210641.00.0
7.36.1106753E-66.941327E-66.941327E-61.00.02.6188345E-52.9748207E-52.9748207E-51.00.03.1879646E-43.6212464E-43.6212464E-41.00.00.00318339510.0036153910.0036153911.00.0
7.44.933187E-65.599502E-65.599502E-61.00.02.114206E-52.3997647E-52.3997647E-51.00.02.5737417E-42.9213255E-42.9213255E-41.00.00.0025707630.00291752680.00291752681.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.9730278E-61.9730278E-61.00.07.495527E-68.455807E-68.455807E-61.00.09.125422E-51.0294481E-41.0294481E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102899330.00102899331.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7541295E-71.7541295E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.517696E-77.517696E-71.00.08.864449E-69.152758E-69.152758E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.152401E-59.152401E-51.00.0

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0445088E-54.0445088E-51.00.01.503772E-41.7332603E-41.7332603E-41.00.00.00182930470.00210846030.00210846031.00.00.0181431940.0209105820.0209203731.00046831.0E-5
6.13.5090034E-54.0445088E-54.0445088E-51.00.01.503772E-41.7332603E-41.7332603E-41.00.00.00182930470.00210846030.00210846031.00.00.0181431940.0209105820.0209203731.00046831.0E-5
6.21.841879E-52.1099971E-52.1099971E-51.00.07.8935285E-59.042589E-59.042589E-51.00.09.606133E-40.00110048170.00110048171.00.00.00956471450.0109604460.0109703351.00090241.0E-5
6.31.841879E-52.1099971E-52.1099971E-51.00.07.8935285E-59.042589E-59.042589E-51.00.09.606133E-40.00110048170.00110048171.00.00.00956471450.0109604460.0109703351.00090241.0E-5
6.41.712201E-51.9602357E-51.9602357E-51.00.07.337798E-58.4007974E-58.4007974E-51.00.08.930107E-40.0010224180.0010224181.00.00.0088943070.0101870980.0101969961.00097171.0E-5
6.51.4744935E-51.6868758E-51.6868758E-51.00.06.3191044E-57.22932E-57.22932E-51.00.07.6907943E-48.7990816E-48.7990816E-41.00.00.0076642320.0087734740.0087833861.00112971.0E-5
6.61.2017839E-51.3750017E-51.3750017E-51.00.05.150401E-55.8927813E-55.8927813E-51.00.06.268809E-47.172989E-47.172989E-41.00.00.00625115450.0071585630.00716849141.00138691.0E-5
6.71.00956095E-51.1555376E-51.1555376E-51.00.04.326618E-54.952259E-54.952259E-51.00.05.266384E-46.02858E-46.02858E-41.00.00.0052539210.0060207860.0060307261.00165091.0E-5

Cedar Mtn-Mahogany Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7763876E-52.9614765E-52.9614765E-51.00.01.1898261E-41.2691465E-41.3691337E-41.07878321.0E-50.00144765060.00154416080.00155414521.0064661.0E-50.01438256350.0153415480.0153513941.00064181.0E-5
6.11.6162443E-51.7156803E-51.7156803E-51.00.06.926578E-57.352718E-57.352718E-51.00.08.4298453E-48.9484354E-48.9484354E-41.00.00.0083979390.0089142180.0089142181.00.0
6.21.6162443E-51.7156803E-51.7156803E-51.00.06.926578E-57.352718E-57.352718E-51.00.08.4298453E-48.9484354E-48.9484354E-41.00.00.0083979390.0089142180.0089142181.00.0
6.39.746053E-61.0310981E-51.0310981E-51.00.04.1768133E-54.4189197E-54.4189197E-51.00.05.0840835E-45.3787476E-45.3787476E-41.00.00.00507246750.0053661490.0053661491.00.0
6.49.746053E-61.0310981E-51.0310981E-51.00.04.1768133E-54.4189197E-54.4189197E-51.00.05.0840835E-45.3787476E-45.3787476E-41.00.00.00507246750.0053661490.0053661491.00.0
6.57.290083E-67.70101E-67.70101E-61.00.03.124284E-53.3003922E-53.3003922E-51.00.03.8031515E-44.0175085E-44.0175085E-41.00.00.00379664940.0040104660.0040104661.00.0
6.65.67907E-65.9934982E-65.9934982E-61.00.02.4338644E-52.5686175E-52.5686175E-51.00.02.962827E-43.1268568E-43.1268568E-41.00.00.00295887980.00312259330.00312259331.00.0
6.73.4853963E-63.6752522E-63.6752522E-61.00.01.4937327E-51.575099E-51.575099E-51.00.01.8184677E-41.9175204E-41.9175204E-41.00.00.00181698040.0019159280.0019159281.00.0
6.82.7535168E-62.9036491E-62.9036491E-61.00.01.1800733E-51.2444154E-51.2444154E-51.00.01.4366445E-41.5149752E-41.5149752E-41.00.00.00143571620.00151398980.00151398981.00.0
6.91.6594106E-61.7509634E-61.7509634E-61.00.07.1117406E-67.504109E-67.504109E-61.00.08.6582E-59.1359005E-59.1359005E-51.00.08.654827E-49.1324496E-49.1324496E-41.00.0
7.05.10215E-75.3932825E-75.3932825E-71.00.02.186634E-62.3114055E-62.3114055E-61.00.02.6621943E-52.8141127E-52.8141127E-51.00.02.6618753E-42.813882E-42.813882E-41.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4299099E-51.4299099E-51.00.05.4456385E-56.128062E-56.128062E-51.00.06.628048E-47.458728E-47.458728E-41.00.00.0066083140.0074383890.00744831471.00133441.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.55391E-69.55391E-61.00.03.5753423E-54.0944808E-54.0944808E-51.00.04.3521097E-44.984108E-44.984108E-41.00.00.00434359630.0049761470.0049761471.00.0
6.26.923899E-68.008488E-68.008488E-61.00.02.9673516E-53.432175E-53.432175E-51.00.03.6121515E-44.178065E-44.178065E-41.00.00.0036062860.00417317960.00417317961.00.0
6.32.728396E-63.4606337E-63.4606337E-61.00.01.1693074E-51.4831208E-51.4831208E-51.00.01.4235388E-41.8055587E-41.8055587E-41.00.00.00142262720.00180525580.00180525581.00.0
6.42.7136944E-63.4449129E-63.4449129E-61.00.01.1630066E-51.4763834E-51.4763834E-51.00.01.4158686E-41.7973573E-41.7973573E-41.00.00.00141496690.00179706750.00179706751.00.0
6.52.6971882E-63.4272416E-63.4272416E-61.00.01.1559327E-51.4688101E-51.4688101E-51.00.01.4072572E-41.7881383E-41.7881383E-41.00.00.00140636640.00178786330.00178786331.00.0
6.62.669092E-63.3972353E-63.3972353E-61.00.01.1438916E-51.4559504E-51.4559504E-51.00.01.3925991E-41.7724841E-41.7724841E-41.00.00.00139172670.00177223430.00177223431.00.0
6.72.6408059E-63.3672372E-63.3672372E-61.00.01.1317691E-51.44309415E-51.44309415E-51.00.01.3778417E-41.7568342E-41.7568342E-41.00.00.00137698770.00175660920.00175660921.00.0
6.82.1786943E-62.8904967E-62.8904967E-61.00.09.337228E-61.2387788E-51.2387788E-51.00.01.1367482E-41.5081161E-41.5081161E-41.00.00.00113616690.00150824290.00150824291.00.0
6.91.4411696E-62.1029678E-62.1029678E-61.00.06.1764263E-69.01269E-69.01269E-61.00.07.51954E-51.0972425E-41.0972425E-41.00.07.5169955E-40.00109780610.00109780611.00.0
7.01.0073411E-61.5850441E-61.5850441E-61.00.04.317169E-66.793029E-66.793029E-61.00.05.2560266E-58.270215E-58.270215E-51.00.05.2547833E-48.278076E-48.278076E-41.00.0
7.18.947104E-71.4605961E-61.4605961E-61.00.03.834468E-66.2596837E-66.2596837E-61.00.04.6683643E-57.620914E-57.620914E-51.00.04.6673836E-47.629236E-47.629236E-41.00.0
7.25.215166E-71.039493E-61.039493E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.4549624E-64.4549624E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.4237862E-55.4237862E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.433296E-45.433296E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-79.4944255E-79.4944255E-71.00.01.8867761E-64.0690334E-64.0690334E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.95394E-54.95394E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.963668E-44.963668E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.624834E-78.624834E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.6963522E-63.6963522E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.50022E-54.50022E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.5100503E-44.5100503E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.368634E-78.368634E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.5865528E-63.5865528E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.3665445E-54.3665445E-51.00.01.778184E-44.376244E-44.376244E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.982864E-77.982864E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.421223E-63.421223E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.1652635E-54.1652635E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.174778E-44.174778E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.2701074E-75.2701074E-71.00.07.70262E-72.2586155E-62.2586155E-61.00.09.377899E-62.7498309E-52.7498309E-51.00.09.377503E-52.7602105E-42.7602105E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.2439826E-71.2439826E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.3313533E-75.3313533E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.490905E-66.490905E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.53066E-56.53066E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.3033355E-94.3033355E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.8442865E-81.8442865E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.2454186E-72.2454186E-71.00.01.920481E-62.2938439E-62.2938439E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.76887E-53.76887E-51.00.01.461069E-41.6151302E-41.6151302E-41.00.00.00177740.00196464920.00196464921.00.00.017632510.0202187080.0202285051.00048461.0E-5
6.13.409352E-53.76887E-53.76887E-51.00.01.461069E-41.6151302E-41.6151302E-41.00.00.00177740.00196464920.00196464921.00.00.017632510.0202187080.0202285051.00048461.0E-5
6.23.409352E-53.76887E-53.76887E-51.00.01.461069E-41.6151302E-41.6151302E-41.00.00.00177740.00196464920.00196464921.00.00.017632510.0202187080.0202285051.00048461.0E-5
6.33.409352E-53.76887E-53.76887E-51.00.01.461069E-41.6151302E-41.6151302E-41.00.00.00177740.00196464920.00196464921.00.00.017632510.0202187080.0202285051.00048461.0E-5
6.43.400795E-53.758101E-53.758101E-51.00.01.4574021E-41.6105153E-41.6105153E-41.00.00.00177294280.00195904080.00195904081.00.00.0175886450.0201636550.0201734531.00048591.0E-5
6.53.341482E-53.6839236E-53.6839236E-51.00.01.4319851E-41.578729E-41.578729E-41.00.00.00174204770.00192040950.00192040951.00.00.0172845460.0197843070.019794111.00049541.0E-5
6.63.3364955E-53.677624E-53.677624E-51.00.01.4298483E-41.5760295E-41.5760295E-41.00.00.00173945010.00191712870.00191712871.00.00.0172589760.0197520930.0197618941.00049631.0E-5
6.73.335922E-53.676598E-53.676598E-51.00.01.4296026E-41.5755897E-41.5755897E-41.00.00.00173915140.00191659430.00191659431.00.00.0172560350.019746870.0197566731.00049641.0E-5
6.83.327683E-53.665966E-53.665966E-51.00.01.4260718E-41.5710338E-41.5710338E-41.00.00.00173485970.00191105720.00191105721.00.00.0172137840.0196924950.0197022991.00049781.0E-5
6.93.3235785E-53.6600377E-53.6600377E-51.00.01.4243131E-41.5684933E-41.5684933E-41.00.00.00173272170.00190796950.00190796951.00.00.0171927340.0196622680.0196720721.00049851.0E-5
7.03.3197095E-53.6540026E-53.6540026E-51.00.01.422655E-41.5659072E-41.5659072E-41.00.00.00173070630.00190482640.00190482641.00.00.0171728940.0196315330.0196413361.00049941.0E-5
7.13.3129716E-53.641961E-53.641961E-51.00.01.4197677E-41.560747E-41.560747E-41.00.00.00172719660.0018985550.0018985551.00.00.0171383380.0195703540.019580161.00050091.0E-5
7.23.3034008E-53.6286532E-53.6286532E-51.00.01.4156665E-41.5550446E-41.5550446E-41.00.00.00172221110.00189162420.00189162421.00.00.0170892530.0195025580.0195123631.00050271.0E-5
7.33.2956614E-53.6153077E-53.6153077E-51.00.01.4123498E-41.5493257E-41.5493257E-41.00.00.00171817960.00188467360.00188467361.00.00.0170495570.0194347560.0194445621.00050451.0E-5
7.43.2915937E-53.6073885E-53.6073885E-51.00.01.4106068E-41.5459322E-41.5459322E-41.00.00.00171606080.00188054910.00188054911.00.00.0170286930.019394620.0194044241.00050561.0E-5
7.53.281791E-53.5937395E-53.5937395E-51.00.01.406406E-41.5400833E-41.5400833E-41.00.00.00171095420.00187344030.00187344031.00.00.0169784110.019324870.0193346761.00050751.0E-5
7.63.2521442E-53.565775E-53.565775E-51.00.01.3937015E-41.5281E-41.5281E-41.00.00.00169551090.00185887570.00185887571.00.00.0168263280.0191802620.019190071.00051141.0E-5
7.73.0287873E-53.4119585E-53.4119585E-51.00.01.297987E-41.462186E-41.462186E-41.00.00.00157915370.00177875910.00177875911.00.00.015679790.0183805080.0183903241.0005341.0E-5
7.82.6316151E-53.1262334E-53.1262334E-51.00.01.1277862E-41.3397456E-41.3397456E-41.00.00.00137221490.00162992090.00162992091.00.00.0136377240.0168883950.0168982261.00058211.0E-5
7.92.0761147E-52.4800464E-52.4800464E-51.00.08.897331E-51.06283376E-41.06283376E-41.00.00.00108271170.00129323290.00129323291.00.00.0107745170.0135058820.0135157471.00073041.0E-5
8.01.5738568E-51.7071694E-51.7071694E-51.00.06.744926E-57.316235E-57.316235E-51.00.08.2088535E-48.903884E-48.903884E-41.00.00.0081785960.0094109570.0094208621.00105261.0E-5
8.11.0105832E-58.936468E-68.936468E-61.00.04.3309992E-53.829859E-53.829859E-51.00.05.2717153E-44.6618615E-44.6618615E-41.00.00.0052592270.0050020940.0050020941.00.0
8.24.189207E-61.7546329E-61.7546329E-61.00.01.7953622E-57.5198336E-67.5198336E-61.00.02.1856341E-49.1550166E-59.1550166E-51.00.00.00218348580.00105712950.00105712951.00.0
8.31.2758221E-64.0867982E-74.0867982E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.7514838E-61.7514838E-61.00.06.65684E-52.1324111E-52.1324111E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.5512482E-42.5512482E-41.00.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.64721E-58.647133E-51.13075661.0E-52.6251914E-43.2769967E-43.376964E-41.03050581.0E-50.00319148650.0039829710.00399293151.00250071.0E-50.0314603930.03917230.039181911.00024531.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.64721E-58.647133E-51.13075661.0E-52.6251914E-43.2769967E-43.376964E-41.03050581.0E-50.00319148650.0039829710.00399293151.00250071.0E-50.0314603930.03917230.039181911.00024531.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.64721E-58.647133E-51.13075661.0E-52.6251914E-43.2769967E-43.376964E-41.03050581.0E-50.00319148650.0039829710.00399293151.00250071.0E-50.0314603930.03917230.039181911.00024531.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.98938E-55.98933E-51.20041571.0E-51.7500846E-42.1381424E-42.2381211E-41.04675961.0E-50.00212864580.00260029060.00261026461.00383571.0E-50.0210837090.0257203080.025730051.00037881.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.98938E-55.98933E-51.20041571.0E-51.7500846E-42.1381424E-42.2381211E-41.04675961.0E-50.00212864580.00260029060.00261026461.00383571.0E-50.0210837090.0257203080.025730051.00037881.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.665876E-54.665839E-51.27277611.0E-51.3075917E-41.5710009E-41.6709852E-41.06364371.0E-50.00159083040.00191113140.00192111231.00522261.0E-50.0157949030.0189589220.0189687331.00051751.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.524932E-54.5248966E-51.28368341.0E-51.2537291E-41.5106035E-41.6105882E-41.06618871.0E-50.00152534640.00183772140.0018477031.00543151.0E-50.0151491890.0182368850.0182467011.00053831.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.7318254E-52.7318254E-51.00.09.801909E-51.170735E-41.170735E-41.00.00.0011927290.001424530.001424531.00.00.0118634770.0141632670.0141632671.00.0
6.82.1325764E-52.5497575E-52.5497575E-51.00.09.139293E-51.09271255E-41.09271255E-41.00.00.0011121410.00132965630.00132965631.00.00.0110659150.0132260920.0132260921.00.0
6.91.9009392E-52.2671109E-52.2671109E-51.00.08.1466285E-59.715878E-59.715878E-51.00.09.914007E-40.00118235390.00118235391.00.00.0098698940.0117693660.0117693661.00.0
7.01.7098473E-52.037079E-52.037079E-51.00.07.3277115E-58.730095E-58.730095E-51.00.08.917837E-40.00106245640.00106245641.00.00.0088821340.0105822510.0105822511.00.0
7.11.5982785E-51.9042867E-51.9042867E-51.00.06.849585E-58.161021E-58.161021E-51.00.08.336179E-49.932366E-49.932366E-41.00.00.0083049770.0098963830.0098963831.00.0
7.21.4468002E-51.7240855E-51.7240855E-51.00.06.200425E-57.3887764E-57.3887764E-51.00.07.546402E-48.9929666E-48.9929666E-41.00.00.0075208270.008964890.008964891.00.0
7.35.288233E-66.218335E-66.218335E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.6649932E-52.6649932E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.244497E-43.244497E-41.00.00.00275552830.00324320160.00324320161.00.0
7.48.279556E-78.410084E-78.410084E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.604317E-63.604317E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.388175E-54.388175E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3873806E-44.3873806E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.6686783E-76.6686783E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.8580023E-62.8580023E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.479569E-53.479569E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4790905E-43.4790905E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5628148E-73.5628148E-71.00.01.500812E-61.52692E-61.52692E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8590139E-51.8590139E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8589044E-41.8589044E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2201245E-71.2201245E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.229104E-75.229104E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.366416E-66.366416E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.366238E-56.366238E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.103547E-83.103547E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3300914E-71.3300914E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6193853E-61.6193853E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6193755E-51.6193755E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.9364137E-66.9364137E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.9727149E-52.9727149E-51.00.03.492233E-43.61868E-43.61868E-41.00.00.003486750.00369242670.003702391.00269831.0E-5
6.16.693995E-66.9364137E-66.9364137E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.9727149E-52.9727149E-51.00.03.492233E-43.61868E-43.61868E-41.00.00.003486750.00369242670.003702391.00269831.0E-5
6.26.693995E-66.9364137E-66.9364137E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.9727149E-52.9727149E-51.00.03.492233E-43.61868E-43.61868E-41.00.00.003486750.00369242670.003702391.00269831.0E-5
6.36.693995E-66.9364137E-66.9364137E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.9727149E-52.9727149E-51.00.03.492233E-43.61868E-43.61868E-41.00.00.003486750.00369242670.003702391.00269831.0E-5
6.46.693995E-66.9364137E-66.9364137E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.9727149E-52.9727149E-51.00.03.492233E-43.61868E-43.61868E-41.00.00.003486750.00369242670.003702391.00269831.0E-5
6.56.6561875E-66.896604E-66.896604E-61.00.02.8526205E-52.955654E-52.955654E-51.00.03.472512E-43.5979153E-43.5979153E-41.00.00.00346709070.00367173090.00368169421.00271361.0E-5
6.66.6561875E-66.896604E-66.896604E-61.00.02.8526205E-52.955654E-52.955654E-51.00.03.472512E-43.5979153E-43.5979153E-41.00.00.00346709070.00367173090.00368169421.00271361.0E-5
6.76.5802237E-66.815706E-66.815706E-61.00.02.8200653E-52.9209841E-52.9209841E-51.00.03.4328885E-43.5557186E-43.5557186E-41.00.00.00342759020.00362967230.0036396361.0027451.0E-5
6.86.575632E-66.8101804E-66.8101804E-61.00.02.8180975E-52.918616E-52.918616E-51.00.03.4304935E-43.5528364E-43.5528364E-41.00.00.00342520260.00362679970.00363676341.00274731.0E-5
6.96.570433E-66.8015247E-66.8015247E-61.00.02.8158694E-52.9149067E-52.9149067E-51.00.03.4277816E-43.5483215E-43.5483215E-41.00.00.00342249920.00362229950.00363226331.00275061.0E-5
7.06.5643826E-66.7915958E-66.7915958E-61.00.02.8132765E-52.9106515E-52.9106515E-51.00.03.424626E-43.5431428E-43.5431428E-41.00.00.00341935320.00361713770.00362710141.00275461.0E-5
7.16.557402E-66.7802575E-66.7802575E-61.00.02.8102848E-52.9057925E-52.9057925E-51.00.03.4209844E-43.5372286E-43.5372286E-41.00.00.00341572290.0036112440.00362120781.00275911.0E-5
7.26.546394E-66.7621236E-66.7621236E-61.00.02.8055672E-52.8980208E-52.8980208E-51.00.03.4152428E-43.52777E-43.52777E-41.00.00.00340999870.0036018210.0036117851.00276641.0E-5
7.36.5364216E-66.742711E-66.742711E-61.00.02.8012933E-52.8897013E-52.8897013E-51.00.03.4100408E-43.517644E-43.517644E-41.00.00.0034048130.00359173960.00360170361.00277411.0E-5
7.46.5269523E-66.7235856E-66.7235856E-61.00.02.7972354E-52.881505E-52.881505E-51.00.03.4051016E-43.5076682E-43.5076682E-41.00.00.00339988880.00358181450.00359177871.00278191.0E-5
7.56.5111835E-66.699639E-66.699639E-61.00.02.7904773E-52.8712422E-52.8712422E-51.00.03.3968766E-43.4951774E-43.4951774E-41.00.00.00339168870.00356937670.0035793411.00279161.0E-5
7.66.4768806E-66.6584116E-66.6584116E-61.00.02.7757764E-52.8535736E-52.8535736E-51.00.03.3789838E-43.4736728E-43.4736728E-41.00.00.00337385040.00354793710.00355790161.00280861.0E-5
7.76.1655364E-66.448731E-66.448731E-61.00.02.642346E-52.7637127E-52.7637127E-51.00.03.2165812E-43.3643012E-43.3643012E-41.00.00.00321192950.00343844920.00344841481.00289831.0E-5
7.85.5043524E-66.0018174E-66.0018174E-61.00.02.3589868E-52.5721822E-52.5721822E-51.00.02.871688E-43.1311825E-43.1311825E-41.00.00.00286797970.00320443370.00321440171.00311061.0E-5
7.93.889249E-64.2916254E-64.2916254E-61.00.01.6668104E-51.8392551E-51.8392551E-51.00.02.0291525E-42.2390635E-42.2390635E-41.00.00.00202730070.0023062940.00231627071.0043261.0E-5
8.02.668535E-62.6804867E-62.6804867E-61.00.01.1436528E-51.148775E-51.148775E-51.00.01.3923083E-41.3985441E-41.3985441E-41.00.00.00139143630.00145440140.00146438681.00686571.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2984674E-61.2984674E-61.00.06.8191785E-65.5648484E-65.5648484E-61.00.08.3020335E-56.774995E-56.774995E-51.00.08.298933E-47.120259E-47.120259E-41.00.0
8.26.1294963E-72.4207787E-72.4207787E-71.00.02.6269242E-61.0374762E-61.0374762E-61.00.03.1982334E-51.2631199E-51.2631199E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.4128844E-41.4128844E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-75.356774E-85.356774E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.29576E-72.29576E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.7950844E-62.7950844E-61.00.09.197987E-53.213711E-53.213711E-51.00.0

Elsinore (Temecula) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9514995E-52.2667604E-52.2667604E-51.00.01.264867E-49.7143384E-59.7143384E-51.00.00.00153888760.00118210120.00118210121.00.00.0152827450.011778380.0117882621.0008391.0E-5
6.12.9514995E-52.2667604E-52.2667604E-51.00.01.264867E-49.7143384E-59.7143384E-51.00.00.00153888760.00118210120.00118210121.00.00.0152827450.011778380.0117882621.0008391.0E-5
6.22.9514995E-52.2667604E-52.2667604E-51.00.01.264867E-49.7143384E-59.7143384E-51.00.00.00153888760.00118210120.00118210121.00.00.0152827450.011778380.0117882621.0008391.0E-5
6.32.3223649E-51.8507824E-51.8507824E-51.00.09.952613E-57.931693E-57.931693E-51.00.00.0012110579.6527307E-49.6527307E-41.00.00.0120447830.0096264150.0096363181.00102881.0E-5
6.42.3223649E-51.8507824E-51.8507824E-51.00.09.952613E-57.931693E-57.931693E-51.00.00.0012110579.6527307E-49.6527307E-41.00.00.0120447830.0096264150.0096363181.00102881.0E-5
6.51.8338875E-51.4822842E-51.4822842E-51.00.07.8592806E-56.352497E-56.352497E-51.00.09.5644733E-47.731509E-47.731509E-41.00.00.0095234120.00771480050.00772472331.00128631.0E-5
6.61.8223333E-51.4685052E-51.4685052E-51.00.07.809766E-56.2934465E-56.2934465E-51.00.09.504242E-47.659666E-47.659666E-41.00.00.0094636960.00764345330.00765337661.00129831.0E-5
6.71.7512752E-51.4094708E-51.4094708E-51.00.07.505249E-56.040454E-56.040454E-51.00.09.13381E-47.3518575E-47.3518575E-41.00.00.009096360.0073340170.00734394371.00135351.0E-5
6.81.7417142E-51.4018275E-51.4018275E-51.00.07.4642754E-56.0076985E-56.0076985E-51.00.09.083966E-47.312005E-47.312005E-41.00.00.0090469220.0072943660.0073042931.00136091.0E-5
6.91.6402591E-51.3052947E-51.3052947E-51.00.07.0294926E-55.5940043E-55.5940043E-51.00.08.5550465E-46.8086496E-46.8086496E-41.00.00.0085221860.00679349950.00680343151.0014621.0E-5
7.01.3912486E-51.0935903E-51.0935903E-51.00.05.9623577E-54.686733E-54.686733E-51.00.07.2567526E-45.7046313E-45.7046313E-41.00.00.00723310140.00569353530.0057034781.00174641.0E-5
7.11.3405147E-51.0382375E-51.0382375E-51.00.05.7449364E-54.449515E-54.449515E-51.00.06.9922156E-45.415964E-45.415964E-41.00.00.00697025560.0054059360.0054158821.00183991.0E-5
7.21.21402E-59.045252E-69.045252E-61.00.05.202839E-53.87648E-53.87648E-51.00.06.332616E-44.7186104E-44.7186104E-41.00.00.00631460.0047100580.00472001131.00211311.0E-5
7.31.05047775E-57.6129645E-67.6129645E-61.00.04.5019697E-53.262659E-53.262659E-51.00.05.4797693E-43.971578E-43.971578E-41.00.00.0054662770.003964910.00397487031.00251211.0E-5
7.49.624483E-66.8212034E-66.8212034E-61.00.04.124713E-52.9233408E-52.9233408E-51.00.05.0206814E-43.5586001E-43.5586001E-41.00.00.0050093530.00355305830.00356302271.00280451.0E-5
7.58.215151E-65.663524E-65.663524E-61.00.03.5207315E-52.4272027E-52.4272027E-51.00.04.2856473E-42.9547315E-42.9547315E-41.00.00.0042773920.0029509320.0029509321.00.0
7.66.975058E-64.7000613E-64.7000613E-61.00.02.9892764E-52.014297E-52.014297E-51.00.03.6388362E-42.4521424E-42.4521424E-41.00.00.00363288350.0024495540.0024495541.00.0
7.74.159604E-62.3395603E-62.3395603E-61.00.01.7826753E-51.0026653E-51.0026653E-51.00.02.1701909E-41.2206841E-41.2206841E-41.00.00.00216807260.00122008730.00122008731.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.432682E-89.432682E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0425775E-74.0425775E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.92183E-64.92183E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.9217546E-54.9217546E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4577874E-93.4577874E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4819088E-81.4819088E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.8042239E-71.8042239E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.8042226E-61.8042226E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.68421E-53.68421E-51.00.01.742787E-41.5788518E-41.5788518E-41.00.00.00211977820.00192055850.00192055851.00.00.0209967140.0197977050.0198075061.00049511.0E-5
6.14.0667746E-53.68421E-53.68421E-51.00.01.742787E-41.5788518E-41.5788518E-41.00.00.00211977820.00192055850.00192055851.00.00.0209967140.0197977050.0198075061.00049511.0E-5
6.24.0667746E-53.68421E-53.68421E-51.00.01.742787E-41.5788518E-41.5788518E-41.00.00.00211977820.00192055850.00192055851.00.00.0209967140.0197977050.0198075061.00049511.0E-5
6.34.0667746E-53.68421E-53.68421E-51.00.01.742787E-41.5788518E-41.5788518E-41.00.00.00211977820.00192055850.00192055851.00.00.0209967140.0197977050.0198075061.00049511.0E-5
6.44.0577226E-53.6713383E-53.6713383E-51.00.01.738908E-41.573336E-41.573336E-41.00.00.00211506480.00191385620.00191385621.00.00.0209504720.0197320150.0197418181.00049671.0E-5
6.54.0577226E-53.6713383E-53.6713383E-51.00.01.738908E-41.573336E-41.573336E-41.00.00.00211506480.00191385620.00191385621.00.00.0209504720.0197320150.0197418181.00049671.0E-5
6.64.053861E-53.665846E-53.665846E-51.00.01.7372532E-41.5709824E-41.5709824E-41.00.00.00211305380.00191099630.00191099631.00.00.0209307430.0197039820.0197137851.00049751.0E-5
6.74.0516545E-53.6627385E-53.6627385E-51.00.01.7363077E-41.5696509E-41.5696509E-41.00.00.0021119050.00190937810.00190937811.00.00.0209194680.0196881180.0196979211.00049791.0E-5
6.84.049434E-53.6598696E-53.6598696E-51.00.01.7353562E-41.5684216E-41.5684216E-41.00.00.00211074880.0019078840.0019078841.00.00.0209081250.0196734160.019683221.00049831.0E-5
6.94.046386E-53.656089E-53.656089E-51.00.01.73405E-41.5668014E-41.5668014E-41.00.00.00210916160.00190591510.00190591511.00.00.0208925530.0196540170.019663821.00049881.0E-5
7.04.036382E-53.6440415E-53.6440415E-51.00.01.7297632E-41.5616388E-41.5616388E-41.00.00.00210395250.00189964080.00189964081.00.00.020841440.0195921470.019601951.00050041.0E-5
7.14.0343282E-53.6418653E-53.6418653E-51.00.01.7288832E-41.5607063E-41.5607063E-41.00.00.0021028830.00189850720.00189850721.00.00.0208309480.0195809270.019590731.00050071.0E-5
7.24.0257353E-53.632232E-53.632232E-51.00.01.725201E-41.556578E-41.556578E-41.00.00.00209840850.00189349010.00189349011.00.00.0207870420.019531280.0195410851.0005021.0E-5
7.33.9940667E-53.614504E-53.614504E-51.00.01.7116306E-41.5489812E-41.5489812E-41.00.00.00208191850.0018842570.0018842571.00.00.0206252170.0194373820.0194471871.00050451.0E-5
7.43.9721202E-53.6027308E-53.6027308E-51.00.01.7022261E-41.5439364E-41.5439364E-41.00.00.00207049030.00187812540.00187812541.00.00.0205130520.0193749220.0193847271.00050621.0E-5
7.53.7036873E-53.5064997E-53.5064997E-51.00.01.5871979E-41.5026992E-41.5026992E-41.00.00.00193070060.00182800410.00182800411.00.00.0191401240.0188612060.0188710171.00052021.0E-5
7.63.2940967E-53.279735E-53.279735E-51.00.01.4116794E-41.4055251E-41.4055251E-41.00.00.00171736450.0017098860.0017098861.00.00.017041530.0176697020.0176795261.0005561.0E-5
7.72.8236149E-52.9322819E-52.9322819E-51.00.01.2100645E-41.2566318E-41.2566318E-41.00.00.00147225790.00152887660.00152887661.00.00.0146254210.0158610340.0158708771.00062051.0E-5
7.82.4329287E-52.6582557E-52.6582557E-51.00.01.042642E-41.1392027E-41.1392027E-41.00.00.00126867740.00138609770.00138609771.00.00.0126145890.0144263980.0144362541.00068321.0E-5
7.91.9370926E-52.1647653E-52.1647653E-51.00.08.301561E-59.277236E-59.277236E-51.00.00.00101024650.00112891910.00112891911.00.00.01005666050.0118382820.0118481641.00083471.0E-5
8.01.5583017E-51.6911821E-51.6911821E-51.00.06.6782646E-57.2477225E-57.2477225E-51.00.08.127754E-48.820537E-48.820537E-41.00.00.0080980910.0093201160.0093300221.0010631.0E-5
8.11.0024873E-58.893591E-68.893591E-61.00.04.2963035E-53.811484E-53.811484E-51.00.05.229494E-44.6394992E-44.6394992E-41.00.00.00521720430.00497555970.00497555971.00.0
8.24.142796E-61.7348618E-61.7348618E-61.00.01.775472E-57.435101E-67.435101E-61.00.02.1614227E-49.0518624E-59.0518624E-51.00.00.00215932170.00104464570.00104464571.00.0
8.31.2750878E-64.0836352E-74.0836352E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.7501283E-61.7501283E-61.00.06.653009E-52.130761E-52.130761E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.5493745E-42.5493745E-41.00.0

North Frontal (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7316266E-64.8545508E-64.8545508E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0805059E-52.0805059E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.532736E-42.532736E-41.00.00.00246585580.0025299960.00253997071.00394261.0E-5
6.14.7316266E-64.8545508E-64.8545508E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0805059E-52.0805059E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.532736E-42.532736E-41.00.00.00246585580.0025299960.00253997071.00394261.0E-5
6.24.7316266E-64.8545508E-64.8545508E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0805059E-52.0805059E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.532736E-42.532736E-41.00.00.00246585580.0025299960.00253997071.00394261.0E-5
6.34.7316266E-64.8545508E-64.8545508E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0805059E-52.0805059E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.532736E-42.532736E-41.00.00.00246585580.0025299960.00253997071.00394261.0E-5
6.44.7316266E-64.8545508E-64.8545508E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0805059E-52.0805059E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.532736E-42.532736E-41.00.00.00246585580.0025299960.00253997071.00394261.0E-5
6.54.7316266E-64.8545508E-64.8545508E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0805059E-52.0805059E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.532736E-42.532736E-41.00.00.00246585580.0025299960.00253997071.00394261.0E-5
6.64.7316266E-64.8545508E-64.8545508E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0805059E-52.0805059E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.532736E-42.532736E-41.00.00.00246585580.0025299960.00253997071.00394261.0E-5
6.73.5382777E-63.6323772E-63.6323772E-61.00.01.516396E-51.5567242E-51.5567242E-51.00.01.8460557E-41.8951547E-41.8951547E-41.00.00.00184452290.00189361560.00190359671.0052711.0E-5
6.83.5382777E-63.6323772E-63.6323772E-61.00.01.516396E-51.5567242E-51.5567242E-51.00.01.8460557E-41.8951547E-41.8951547E-41.00.00.00184452290.00189361560.00190359671.0052711.0E-5
6.93.0428037E-63.1240795E-63.1240795E-61.00.01.30405215E-51.3388847E-51.3388847E-51.00.01.5875678E-41.629977E-41.629977E-41.00.00.00158643410.00162884870.00163883241.00612931.0E-5
7.02.538778E-62.607237E-62.607237E-61.00.01.0880432E-51.1173828E-51.1173828E-51.00.01.324612E-41.3603334E-41.3603334E-41.00.00.00132382280.00135954750.0013695341.00734541.0E-5
7.12.2418935E-62.3022449E-62.3022449E-61.00.09.60808E-69.866729E-69.866729E-61.00.01.1697209E-41.2012125E-41.2012125E-41.00.00.00116910540.00120060720.00121059521.00831911.0E-5
7.21.6526745E-61.6932551E-61.6932551E-61.00.07.082872E-67.2567886E-67.2567886E-61.00.08.623055E-58.8348075E-58.8348075E-51.00.08.61971E-48.831546E-48.9314574E-41.01131311.0E-5
7.31.0246019E-61.0447192E-61.0447192E-61.00.04.391144E-64.477361E-64.477361E-61.00.05.3460866E-55.4510623E-55.4510623E-51.00.05.344801E-45.44984E-45.44984E-41.00.0
7.48.9045164E-79.0608836E-79.0608836E-71.00.03.8162157E-63.883231E-63.883231E-61.00.04.646144E-54.727742E-54.727742E-51.00.04.6451724E-44.726845E-44.726845E-41.00.0
7.56.3357E-76.405858E-76.405858E-71.00.02.7152971E-62.7453652E-62.7453652E-61.00.03.305824E-53.3424378E-53.3424378E-51.00.03.3053322E-43.3420007E-43.3420007E-41.00.0
7.62.5087024E-72.4373458E-72.4373458E-71.00.01.0751578E-61.0445765E-61.0445765E-61.00.01.3089967E-51.2717665E-51.2717665E-51.00.01.3089196E-41.2717143E-41.2717143E-41.00.0
7.73.282987E-82.2888983E-82.2888983E-81.00.01.4069944E-79.809563E-89.809563E-81.00.01.7130144E-61.1943138E-61.1943138E-61.00.01.7130013E-51.1943082E-51.1943082E-51.00.0
7.88.77499E-95.6880465E-95.6880465E-91.00.03.7607098E-82.4377343E-82.4377343E-81.00.04.578663E-72.9679413E-72.9679413E-71.00.04.5786537E-62.9679386E-62.9679386E-61.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.187906E-58.187906E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.508661E-43.508661E-41.00.00.0034802940.0042639360.0042639361.00.00.034262910.041876250.041885831.00022881.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.187906E-58.187906E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.508661E-43.508661E-41.00.00.0034802940.0042639360.0042639361.00.00.034262910.041876250.041885831.00022881.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6563913E-54.6563913E-51.00.01.6884868E-41.9954448E-41.9954448E-41.00.00.00205379450.00242680170.00242680171.00.00.0203491670.0240095980.0240193591.00040651.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.801233E-53.801233E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.6289995E-41.6289995E-41.00.00.00169909560.0019815330.0019815331.00.00.016861630.0196424240.0196522271.00049911.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.416966E-53.416966E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.464333E-41.464333E-41.00.00.00153574380.00178139370.00178139371.00.00.0152517390.0176743120.0176743121.00.0
6.52.790836E-53.2314492E-53.2314492E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.3848345E-41.3848345E-41.00.00.0014551790.00168475760.00168475761.00.00.0144568680.0167228710.0167228711.00.0
6.62.2492153E-52.5812671E-52.5812671E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1062113E-41.1062113E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134599490.00134599491.00.00.0116676150.0133801460.0133801461.00.0
6.71.9862755E-52.2709057E-52.2709057E-51.00.08.512331E-59.732097E-59.732097E-51.00.00.00103588360.001184250.001184251.00.00.0103106820.011780690.011780691.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.9012205E-51.9012205E-51.00.07.155907E-58.1478385E-58.1478385E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.915573E-49.915573E-41.00.00.0086747840.0098723620.0098723621.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.730037E-51.730037E-51.00.06.522015E-57.414239E-57.414239E-51.00.07.93766E-49.023185E-49.023185E-41.00.00.0079093670.00898749850.00898749851.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4057718E-51.4057718E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.0246013E-56.0246013E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.3325593E-47.3325593E-41.00.00.00644564540.00730915460.00730915461.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.239683E-51.239683E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.312823E-55.312823E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.466516E-46.466516E-41.00.00.00568905850.00644844860.00644844861.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0863982E-51.0863982E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6559133E-54.6559133E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.6671724E-45.6671724E-41.00.00.00498619630.0056534470.0056534471.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.1E-69.1E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8999457E-53.8999457E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7472204E-44.7472204E-41.00.00.00417429860.00473778460.00473778461.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.3684908E-63.3684908E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4436338E-51.4436338E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.757533E-41.757533E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175663980.00175663981.00.0

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.996802E-54.996802E-51.00.01.9679888E-42.1413233E-42.1413233E-41.00.00.00239339330.00260414320.00260414321.00.00.0236777980.0257569920.0257667361.00037831.0E-5
6.14.5923203E-54.996802E-54.996802E-51.00.01.9679888E-42.1413233E-42.1413233E-41.00.00.00239339330.00260414320.00260414321.00.00.0236777980.0257569920.0257569921.00.0
6.22.8844734E-52.9826915E-52.9826915E-51.00.01.2361443E-41.2782346E-41.2782346E-41.00.00.00150396650.00155516730.00155516731.00.00.01493828650.0154413830.0154413831.00.0
6.32.3171577E-52.3292241E-52.3292241E-51.00.09.9302975E-59.982015E-59.982015E-51.00.00.00120834310.00121464630.00121464631.00.00.0120179380.0120723480.0120723481.00.0
6.42.0066604E-51.9763746E-51.9763746E-51.00.08.599689E-58.469907E-58.469907E-51.00.00.00104650920.00103073360.00103073361.00.00.0104159460.010246490.010246491.00.0
6.51.776989E-51.7187007E-51.7187007E-51.00.07.615444E-57.365656E-57.365656E-51.00.09.267859E-48.964067E-48.964067E-41.00.00.0092293030.0089144770.0089144771.00.0
6.61.5227364E-51.4388509E-51.4388509E-51.00.06.52585E-56.166361E-56.166361E-51.00.07.942326E-47.505011E-47.505011E-41.00.00.0079140.0074608860.0074608861.00.0
6.71.2703898E-51.1703423E-51.1703423E-51.00.05.4444143E-55.015659E-55.015659E-51.00.06.626558E-46.1048963E-46.1048963E-41.00.00.0066068330.0060701780.0060701781.00.0
6.81.1554917E-51.0635393E-51.0635393E-51.00.04.9520135E-54.557948E-54.557948E-51.00.06.0274085E-45.5479293E-45.5479293E-41.00.00.00601108650.00552062270.00552062271.00.0
6.98.732078E-67.89385E-67.89385E-61.00.03.7422655E-53.3830365E-53.3830365E-51.00.04.5552556E-44.118098E-44.118098E-41.00.00.00454592940.00409550270.00409550271.00.0
7.05.9337494E-65.114815E-65.114815E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1920452E-52.1920452E-51.00.03.0956755E-42.6684895E-42.6684895E-41.00.00.00309136670.0026653010.0026653011.00.0
7.15.013409E-64.1836147E-64.1836147E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7929655E-51.7929655E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1827179E-42.1827179E-41.00.00.00261251330.00218058590.00218058591.00.0
7.24.120763E-63.2870953E-63.2870953E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4087476E-51.4087476E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7150161E-41.7150161E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171370210.00171370211.00.0
7.33.2081239E-62.4441472E-62.4441472E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0474874E-51.0474874E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.275242E-41.275242E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127451730.00127451731.00.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7707008E-61.7707008E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.588696E-67.588696E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.238851E-59.238851E-51.00.00.00126165279.235064E-49.235064E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.3983874E-79.3983874E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.027874E-64.027874E-61.00.07.222766E-54.9038303E-54.9038303E-51.00.07.220419E-44.9027835E-44.9027835E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.421583E-76.421583E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7521041E-62.7521041E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.3506374E-53.3506374E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.3501536E-43.3501536E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.4537296E-86.4537296E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.765884E-72.765884E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.367459E-63.367459E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3674107E-53.3674107E-51.00.0

Sierra Madre

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3379373E-51.1033382E-52.1033271E-51.90633031.0E-55.7338908E-54.7285073E-55.72846E-51.21147321.0E-56.978776E-45.755452E-45.8553944E-41.01736491.0E-50.00695690050.0057410860.0057510281.00173191.0E-5
6.11.3379373E-51.1033382E-52.1033271E-51.90633031.0E-55.7338908E-54.7285073E-55.72846E-51.21147321.0E-56.978776E-45.755452E-45.8553944E-41.01736491.0E-50.00695690050.0057410860.0057510281.00173191.0E-5
6.21.3379373E-51.1033382E-52.1033271E-51.90633031.0E-55.7338908E-54.7285073E-55.72846E-51.21147321.0E-56.978776E-45.755452E-45.8553944E-41.01736491.0E-50.00695690050.0057410860.0057510281.00173191.0E-5
6.31.3379373E-51.1033382E-52.1033271E-51.90633031.0E-55.7338908E-54.7285073E-55.72846E-51.21147321.0E-56.978776E-45.755452E-45.8553944E-41.01736491.0E-50.00695690050.0057410860.0057510281.00173191.0E-5
6.41.3379373E-51.1033382E-52.1033271E-51.90633031.0E-55.7338908E-54.7285073E-55.72846E-51.21147321.0E-56.978776E-45.755452E-45.8553944E-41.01736491.0E-50.00695690050.0057410860.0057510281.00173191.0E-5
6.51.26563245E-51.0262165E-52.0262063E-51.97444321.0E-55.4240263E-54.3979973E-55.3979533E-51.22736621.0E-56.601751E-45.3532573E-45.4532033E-41.01867021.0E-50.0065821730.0053408590.00535080541.00186241.0E-5
6.61.26563245E-51.0262165E-52.0262063E-51.97444321.0E-55.4240263E-54.3979973E-55.3979533E-51.22736621.0E-56.601751E-45.3532573E-45.4532033E-41.01867021.0E-50.0065821730.0053408590.00535080541.00186241.0E-5
6.71.2502474E-51.0098168E-52.0098067E-51.99026861.0E-55.3580934E-54.3277152E-55.327672E-51.23105881.0E-56.521526E-45.26773E-45.367677E-41.01897351.0E-50.00650242060.0052557380.00526568531.00189271.0E-5
6.81.2454966E-51.0050388E-52.0050287E-51.99497651.0E-55.3377335E-54.3072385E-55.3071955E-51.23215731.0E-56.4967526E-45.242812E-45.342759E-41.01906371.0E-50.0064777920.0052309370.00524088461.00190171.0E-5
6.91.2225574E-59.82401E-61.982391E-52.01790431.0E-55.2394265E-54.2102223E-55.2101805E-51.23750711.0E-56.3771347E-45.124751E-45.224699E-41.01950311.0E-50.0063588650.00511342430.0051233731.00194561.0E-5
7.01.182946E-59.430179E-61.9430085E-52.06041531.0E-55.06967E-54.041443E-55.0414026E-51.24742641.0E-56.1705755E-44.919356E-45.019307E-41.02031791.0E-50.0061534690.00490895330.00491890451.0020271.0E-5
7.11.14369095E-59.016364E-61.9016274E-52.10908461.0E-54.9014405E-53.8640992E-54.8640606E-51.25878251.0E-55.9658696E-44.703535E-44.803488E-41.02125061.0E-50.0059498790.0046940610.0047040141.00212041.0E-5
7.21.0836419E-58.428798E-61.8428715E-52.18639871.0E-54.644097E-53.6122925E-54.6122565E-51.27682261.0E-55.652721E-44.3970876E-44.4970438E-41.02273241.0E-50.00563836420.00438886040.00439881631.00226861.0E-5
7.31.0403439E-58.049539E-68.049539E-61.00.04.4585406E-53.4497574E-53.4497574E-51.00.05.426921E-44.1992794E-44.1992794E-41.00.00.0054136870.0041918150.0041918151.00.0
7.49.768864E-67.442195E-67.442195E-61.00.04.186589E-53.189474E-53.189474E-51.00.05.09598E-43.8825013E-43.8825013E-41.00.00.00508430970.00387618550.00387618551.00.0
7.58.687089E-66.4762226E-66.4762226E-61.00.03.722985E-52.775495E-52.775495E-51.00.04.5317915E-43.3786497E-43.3786497E-41.00.00.0045225610.00337397590.00337397591.00.0
7.66.3506063E-64.4534313E-64.4534313E-61.00.02.72166E-51.9085996E-51.9085996E-51.00.03.3131172E-42.3234748E-42.3234748E-41.00.00.0033081820.00232144630.00232144631.00.0
7.74.62223E-62.954473E-62.954473E-61.00.01.9809406E-51.2661966E-51.2661966E-51.00.02.4115283E-41.5414855E-41.5414855E-41.00.00.00240891290.00154079380.00154079381.00.0
7.83.2145008E-61.9645067E-61.9645067E-61.00.01.3776359E-58.419287E-68.419287E-61.00.01.6771426E-41.0250002E-41.0250002E-41.00.00.00167587740.00102484960.00102484961.00.0
7.91.0391769E-65.6415234E-75.6415234E-71.00.04.4536077E-62.4177934E-62.4177934E-61.00.05.4221324E-52.9436242E-52.9436242E-51.00.05.4208096E-42.9432387E-42.9432387E-41.00.0
8.01.210983E-76.6496256E-86.6496256E-81.00.05.1899264E-72.8498394E-72.8498394E-71.00.06.3187167E-63.4696739E-63.4696739E-61.00.06.318537E-53.4696215E-53.4696215E-51.00.0

Sheephole

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.7437998E-64.7437998E-61.00.01.9534009E-52.0330444E-52.0330444E-51.00.02.3780059E-42.4750057E-42.5749812E-41.0403941.0E-50.00237546280.00247279440.00248276951.0040341.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.7437998E-64.7437998E-61.00.01.9534009E-52.0330444E-52.0330444E-51.00.02.3780059E-42.4750057E-42.5749812E-41.0403941.0E-50.00237546280.00247279440.00248276951.0040341.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.7890574E-62.7890574E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1953055E-51.1953055E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.455198E-41.5551834E-41.06870911.0E-50.00139103640.00145435110.00146433651.0068661.0E-5
6.32.6677674E-62.7890574E-62.7890574E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1953055E-51.1953055E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.455198E-41.5551834E-41.06870911.0E-50.00139103640.00145435110.00146433651.0068661.0E-5
6.42.2159759E-62.324368E-62.324368E-61.00.09.497005E-69.9615445E-69.9615445E-61.00.01.156199E-41.21275865E-41.3127465E-41.08244671.0E-50.00115559760.00121217630.00122216411.00823961.0E-5
6.52.1986082E-62.306238E-62.306238E-61.00.09.4225725E-69.8838445E-69.8838445E-61.00.01.1471378E-41.20329976E-41.3032877E-41.08309481.0E-50.00114654580.00120272760.00121271551.00830451.0E-5
6.61.5232331E-61.6029909E-61.6029909E-61.00.06.5281256E-66.8699437E-66.8699437E-61.00.07.947703E-58.3638544E-58.3638544E-51.00.07.9448614E-48.360894E-48.360894E-41.00.0
6.71.3137362E-61.383785E-61.383785E-61.00.05.6302856E-65.930495E-65.930495E-61.00.06.854657E-57.2201525E-57.2201525E-51.00.06.8525434E-47.2179455E-47.2179455E-41.00.0
6.81.2275751E-61.2931896E-61.2931896E-61.00.05.2610258E-65.54223E-65.54223E-61.00.06.4051106E-56.74747E-56.74747E-51.00.06.4032647E-46.745555E-46.745555E-41.00.0
6.91.1837088E-61.2469745E-61.2469745E-61.00.05.0730278E-65.3441668E-65.3441668E-61.00.06.176237E-56.506342E-56.506342E-51.00.06.17452E-46.504569E-46.504569E-41.00.0
7.09.849371E-71.0373516E-61.0373516E-61.00.04.2211523E-64.445785E-64.445785E-61.00.05.1391315E-55.4126194E-55.4126194E-51.00.05.137943E-45.411402E-45.411402E-41.00.0
7.18.1643645E-78.5976427E-78.5976427E-71.00.03.4990085E-63.6846993E-63.6846993E-61.00.04.2599597E-54.486038E-54.486038E-51.00.04.259143E-44.4852187E-44.4852187E-41.00.0
7.25.7295756E-76.033695E-76.033695E-71.00.02.45553E-62.5858672E-62.5858672E-61.00.02.9895667E-53.1482545E-53.1482545E-51.00.02.9891645E-43.1478755E-43.1478755E-41.00.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5950744E-43.1006514E-43.1006514E-41.00.06.834242E-40.00132788860.00132788861.00.00.008288990.0160070340.0160070341.00.00.0798654260.145584880.145593421.00005871.0E-5
6.11.3584697E-42.6310963E-42.6310963E-41.00.05.8207137E-40.00112688330.00112688331.00.00.0070637160.0136012620.0136012621.00.00.068433610.125169780.125178531.00006991.0E-5
6.21.14676266E-42.1976508E-42.1976508E-41.00.04.9137714E-49.41307E-49.41307E-41.00.00.00596611850.0113780050.0113780051.00.00.0580846480.106129250.106138191.00008431.0E-5
6.38.691518E-51.6227989E-41.6227989E-41.00.03.7244044E-46.9525314E-46.9525314E-41.00.00.0045250380.0084250280.0084250281.00.00.0443399920.080401680.0804108751.00011431.0E-5
6.48.50982E-51.5931283E-41.5931283E-41.00.03.646556E-46.825438E-46.825438E-41.00.00.00443064750.0082714730.0082714731.00.00.043433450.078996270.079005481.00011661.0E-5
6.58.4062965E-51.575422E-41.575422E-41.00.03.602201E-46.749605E-46.749605E-41.00.00.0043768630.0081799370.0081799371.00.00.0429165550.0781621260.078171341.00011791.0E-5
6.68.194716E-51.5387032E-41.5387032E-41.00.03.5115483E-46.592332E-46.592332E-41.00.00.00426693170.0079902590.0079902591.00.00.041859270.076436260.07644551.00012091.0E-5
6.78.012326E-51.5052989E-41.5052989E-41.00.03.433402E-46.4492674E-46.4492674E-41.00.00.0041721570.0078177690.0078177691.00.00.0409469120.074871870.074881121.00012361.0E-5
6.87.119773E-51.3095801E-41.3095801E-41.00.03.0509746E-45.6110445E-45.6110445E-41.00.00.00370823570.00680672940.00680672941.00.00.0364696420.065655230.0656645751.00014231.0E-5
6.95.7343088E-51.0105117E-41.0105117E-41.00.02.4573295E-44.3300499E-44.3300499E-41.00.00.00298769420.005259170.005259171.00.00.029478440.0513761750.0513761751.00.0
7.04.8746577E-58.450018E-58.450018E-51.00.02.0889717E-43.620937E-43.620937E-41.00.00.00254035650.00439964840.00439964841.00.00.0251151210.0432648440.0432648441.00.0
7.14.2998014E-57.4179945E-57.4179945E-51.00.01.8426418E-43.1787567E-43.1787567E-41.00.00.0022411080.00386333050.00386333051.00.00.0221864120.0381510850.0381510851.00.0
7.23.221292E-55.5221066E-55.5221066E-51.00.01.3804805E-42.3664041E-42.3664041E-41.00.00.00167943930.00287731970.00287731971.00.00.0166680370.0286690480.0286690481.00.0
7.32.3756531E-54.0489074E-54.0489074E-51.00.01.0180973E-41.7351317E-41.7351317E-41.00.00.00123882860.00211049360.00211049361.00.00.0123194520.0211375820.0211375821.00.0
7.41.5997684E-52.8114431E-52.8114431E-51.00.06.8559704E-51.20484874E-41.20484874E-41.00.08.343947E-40.00146591880.00146591881.00.00.0083126870.01475292350.01475292351.00.0
7.51.3814293E-52.5527203E-52.5527203E-51.00.05.9202768E-51.0939772E-41.0939772E-41.00.07.205553E-40.0013311060.0013311061.00.00.0071822340.0134181490.0134181491.00.0
7.68.817309E-61.7026681E-51.7026681E-51.00.03.7787922E-57.296945E-57.296945E-51.00.04.5997082E-48.880424E-48.880424E-41.00.00.0045901990.009011510.009011511.00.0
7.74.0352206E-68.129024E-68.129024E-61.00.01.7293689E-53.4838205E-53.4838205E-51.00.02.1053031E-44.240727E-44.240727E-41.00.00.00210330960.0043709710.0043709711.00.0
7.83.413169E-67.1550967E-67.1550967E-61.00.01.4627784E-53.066434E-53.066434E-51.00.01.7807873E-43.7327447E-43.7327447E-41.00.00.00177936090.00384528960.00384528961.00.0
7.92.4740732E-65.5497876E-65.5497876E-61.00.01.06031275E-52.3784587E-52.3784587E-51.00.01.2908543E-42.8953893E-42.8953893E-41.00.00.00129010470.00296546430.00296546431.00.0
8.01.5231818E-63.4471464E-63.4471464E-61.00.06.527906E-61.4773401E-51.4773401E-51.00.07.9474354E-51.7985135E-41.7985135E-41.00.07.944594E-40.00183326770.00183326771.00.0
8.11.0104524E-62.1437527E-62.1437527E-61.00.04.330503E-69.187479E-69.187479E-61.00.05.2722597E-51.11851856E-41.11851856E-41.00.05.271009E-40.00114100480.00114100481.00.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5010907E-42.513374E-42.513374E-41.00.06.4316596E-40.00107670410.00107670411.00.00.00780246640.0130212060.0130212061.00.00.075341360.121821510.1218302851.00007211.0E-5
6.11.4521465E-42.42912E-42.42912E-41.00.06.222001E-40.00104064180.00104064181.00.00.00754900560.0125886770.0125886771.00.00.072976570.118083150.118091971.00007471.0E-5
6.21.429998E-42.421864E-42.421864E-41.00.06.127123E-40.00103753490.00103753491.00.00.0074342860.0125513350.0125513351.00.00.071904440.117717490.117726311.0000751.0E-5
6.31.3536277E-42.3537695E-42.3537695E-41.00.05.799972E-40.00100837750.00100837751.00.00.00703862640.0122012930.0122012931.00.00.06819820.114575680.1145845351.00007721.0E-5
6.41.2993296E-42.2947753E-42.2947753E-41.00.05.5673666E-49.83114E-49.83114E-41.00.00.0067572230.0118971770.0118971771.00.00.065554120.111797720.11180661.00007941.0E-5
6.51.0498927E-41.8254918E-41.8254918E-41.00.04.498764E-47.821179E-47.821179E-41.00.00.0054634980.009480620.009480621.00.00.0533111240.0903997050.0904087951.00010061.0E-5
6.61.0157505E-41.7737981E-41.7737981E-41.00.04.35249E-47.5997674E-47.5997674E-41.00.00.00528628840.0092133960.0092133961.00.00.051622930.087960630.087969761.00010371.0E-5
6.79.660386E-51.6990423E-41.6990423E-41.00.04.1395082E-47.2795677E-47.2795677E-41.00.00.00502821060.00882681550.00882681551.00.00.0491594970.08442510.0844342561.00010851.0E-5
6.89.089927E-51.5891803E-41.5891803E-41.00.03.8951015E-46.8089826E-46.8089826E-41.00.00.00473197880.0082583920.0082583921.00.00.0463247750.079272090.079281291.00011611.0E-5
6.97.353187E-51.250251E-41.250251E-41.00.03.150985E-45.357124E-45.357124E-41.00.00.00382957720.00650291750.00650291751.00.00.0376425120.063139350.063139351.00.0
7.05.746064E-59.560009E-59.560009E-51.00.02.4623662E-44.096507E-44.096507E-41.00.00.00299380980.0049761650.0049761651.00.00.029537970.048792220.048792221.00.0
7.14.9557195E-58.208389E-58.208389E-51.00.02.123707E-43.51741E-43.51741E-41.00.00.00258254730.00427410240.00427410241.00.00.02552740.042113820.042113821.00.0
7.23.687595E-56.0859635E-56.0859635E-51.00.01.5803022E-42.608011E-42.608011E-41.00.00.00192231990.00317066050.00317066051.00.00.019057760.031526650.031526651.00.0
7.32.5846984E-54.349502E-54.349502E-51.00.01.1076809E-41.8639401E-41.8639401E-41.00.00.00134776710.00226700350.00226700351.00.00.0133962230.022673620.022673621.00.0
7.41.7747854E-53.0710624E-53.0710624E-51.00.07.6060016E-51.3161034E-41.3161034E-41.00.09.2563726E-40.00160118110.00160118111.00.00.0092179110.0160875320.0160875321.00.0
7.51.4883479E-52.697008E-52.697008E-51.00.06.378478E-51.1558095E-41.1558095E-41.00.07.76303E-40.00140629270.00140629271.00.00.00773596670.0141577940.0141577941.00.0
7.68.166975E-61.5483834E-51.5483834E-51.00.03.5000852E-56.635761E-56.635761E-51.00.04.2605202E-48.076058E-48.076058E-41.00.00.0042523610.0081952490.0081952491.00.0
7.73.3858064E-66.600175E-66.600175E-61.00.01.4510518E-52.8286157E-52.8286157E-51.00.01.7665124E-43.443296E-43.443296E-41.00.00.00176510880.00355800220.00355800221.00.0
7.82.7721615E-65.662329E-65.662329E-61.00.01.1880637E-52.42669E-52.42669E-51.00.01.4463716E-42.954095E-42.954095E-41.00.00.00144543060.0030519250.0030519251.00.0
7.91.9736292E-64.344193E-64.344193E-61.00.08.4583835E-61.8617837E-51.8617837E-51.00.01.0297595E-42.2664863E-42.2664863E-41.00.00.00102928250.00232810340.00232810341.00.0
8.01.1767289E-62.6787504E-62.6787504E-61.00.05.0431145E-61.1480309E-51.1480309E-51.00.06.139818E-51.3976383E-41.3976383E-41.00.06.1381224E-40.00142630270.00142630271.00.0
8.17.5112825E-71.6150141E-61.6150141E-61.00.03.2191172E-66.9214702E-66.9214702E-61.00.03.9192048E-58.426567E-58.426567E-51.00.03.9185135E-48.597137E-48.597137E-41.00.0

North Frontal (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.135738E-67.481935E-67.481935E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2065152E-53.2065152E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9034328E-43.9034328E-41.00.00.00371641640.0038985370.00390849771.0025551.0E-5
6.17.135738E-67.481935E-67.481935E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2065152E-53.2065152E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9034328E-43.9034328E-41.00.00.00371641640.0038985370.00390849771.0025551.0E-5
6.27.135738E-67.481935E-67.481935E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2065152E-53.2065152E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9034328E-43.9034328E-41.00.00.00371641640.0038985370.00390849771.0025551.0E-5
6.37.135738E-67.481935E-67.481935E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2065152E-53.2065152E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9034328E-43.9034328E-41.00.00.00371641640.0038985370.00390849771.0025551.0E-5
6.47.135738E-67.481935E-67.481935E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2065152E-53.2065152E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9034328E-43.9034328E-41.00.00.00371641640.0038985370.00390849771.0025551.0E-5
6.57.135738E-67.481935E-67.481935E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2065152E-53.2065152E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9034328E-43.9034328E-41.00.00.00371641640.0038985370.00390849771.0025551.0E-5
6.67.135738E-67.481935E-67.481935E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2065152E-53.2065152E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9034328E-43.9034328E-41.00.00.00371641640.0038985370.00390849771.0025551.0E-5
6.77.135738E-67.481935E-67.481935E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2065152E-53.2065152E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9034328E-43.9034328E-41.00.00.00371641640.0038985370.00390849771.0025551.0E-5
6.85.959142E-66.240546E-66.240546E-61.00.02.553893E-52.6745025E-52.6745025E-51.00.03.108921E-43.2559014E-43.2559014E-41.00.00.00310457520.00325290670.00326287421.00306421.0E-5
6.92.2946929E-62.3836724E-62.3836724E-61.00.09.834361E-61.0215702E-51.0215702E-51.00.01.1972676E-41.2436954E-41.2436954E-41.00.00.00119662280.00124304590.00125303341.00803471.0E-5
7.02.2468673E-62.333331E-62.333331E-61.00.09.629396E-69.999954E-69.999954E-61.00.01.1723159E-41.2174311E-41.2174311E-41.00.00.00117169760.00121681050.00122679841.00820821.0E-5
7.11.9921076E-62.0656018E-62.0656018E-61.00.08.537577E-68.852552E-68.852552E-61.00.01.0394004E-41.0777492E-41.0777492E-41.00.00.00103891430.00107726930.00108725861.00927271.0E-5
7.21.4524545E-61.5052315E-61.5052315E-61.00.06.2247905E-66.4509773E-66.4509773E-61.00.07.5784184E-57.853807E-57.853807E-51.00.07.575835E-47.851276E-47.9511973E-41.01272681.0E-5
7.38.9802575E-79.3132525E-79.3132525E-71.00.03.848676E-63.9913884E-63.9913884E-61.00.04.685662E-54.8594186E-54.8594186E-51.00.04.6846745E-44.858469E-44.858469E-41.00.0
7.47.776139E-78.0643906E-78.0643906E-71.00.03.3326266E-63.4561635E-63.4561635E-61.00.04.0573974E-54.207809E-54.207809E-51.00.04.0566566E-44.2071196E-44.2071196E-41.00.0
7.55.244417E-75.443932E-75.443932E-71.00.02.2476054E-62.3331118E-62.3331118E-61.00.02.7364253E-52.8405333E-52.8405333E-51.00.02.7360884E-42.8402355E-42.8402355E-41.00.0
7.61.5489647E-71.609778E-71.609778E-71.00.06.6384183E-76.8990477E-76.8990477E-71.00.08.082245E-68.399579E-68.399579E-61.00.08.08195E-58.399461E-58.399461E-51.00.0

Raymond

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5157413E-51.5835594E-52.5835436E-51.63147881.0E-56.4958724E-56.7865214E-57.786453E-51.14734091.0E-57.905855E-48.259709E-48.3596265E-41.0120971.0E-50.0078777880.0082315420.008241461.00120481.0E-5
6.11.5157413E-51.5835594E-52.5835436E-51.63147881.0E-56.4958724E-56.7865214E-57.786453E-51.14734091.0E-57.905855E-48.259709E-48.3596265E-41.0120971.0E-50.0078777880.0082315420.008241461.00120481.0E-5
6.21.5157413E-51.5835594E-52.5835436E-51.63147881.0E-56.4958724E-56.7865214E-57.786453E-51.14734091.0E-57.905855E-48.259709E-48.3596265E-41.0120971.0E-50.0078777880.0082315420.008241461.00120481.0E-5
6.31.5157413E-51.5835594E-52.5835436E-51.63147881.0E-56.4958724E-56.7865214E-57.786453E-51.14734091.0E-57.905855E-48.259709E-48.3596265E-41.0120971.0E-50.0078777880.0082315420.008241461.00120481.0E-5
6.41.3941944E-51.4478082E-52.4477937E-51.69068921.0E-55.9749822E-56.2047584E-57.204696E-51.16115671.0E-57.2721124E-47.5519085E-47.651833E-41.01323161.0E-50.0072483610.00752859240.00753851751.00131821.0E-5
6.51.3941944E-51.4478082E-52.4477937E-51.69068921.0E-55.9749822E-56.2047584E-57.204696E-51.16115671.0E-57.2721124E-47.5519085E-47.651833E-41.01323161.0E-50.0072483610.00752859240.00753851751.00131821.0E-5
6.61.0542609E-51.0688818E-52.0688713E-51.93554711.0E-54.5181827E-54.580845E-55.5807992E-51.21829031.0E-55.499499E-45.575806E-45.6757504E-41.01792471.0E-50.0054859090.0055623860.005572331.00178781.0E-5
6.71.0542609E-51.0688818E-52.0688713E-51.93554711.0E-54.5181827E-54.580845E-55.5807992E-51.21829031.0E-55.499499E-45.575806E-45.6757504E-41.01792471.0E-50.0054859090.0055623860.005572331.00178781.0E-5
6.81.0079132E-51.0193902E-52.01938E-51.98096861.0E-54.3195567E-54.368745E-55.3687014E-51.22888861.0E-55.257791E-45.317703E-45.41765E-41.01879511.0E-50.00524536850.0053055360.0053154831.00187481.0E-5
6.97.721598E-67.5621147E-61.7562039E-52.32237151.0E-53.3092143E-53.2408665E-54.240834E-51.30854941.0E-54.0282236E-43.945053E-44.0450133E-41.02533821.0E-50.00402092930.00393818970.003948151.00252931.0E-5
7.07.137566E-66.923732E-61.6923663E-52.44429781.0E-53.058921E-52.9672807E-53.9672508E-51.33699891.0E-53.7236E-43.612076E-43.71204E-41.02767491.0E-50.00371736680.003606330.0036162941.00276291.0E-5
7.15.654976E-65.3100935E-61.531004E-52.8831961.0E-52.4235387E-52.2757346E-53.2757118E-51.43940851.0E-52.9502588E-42.7703567E-42.8703292E-41.03608641.0E-50.00294634510.00276694050.00277691291.0036041.0E-5
7.24.9358455E-64.536351E-61.4536306E-53.2044051.0E-52.1153453E-51.9441359E-52.9441164E-51.51435731.0E-52.5751285E-42.3667298E-42.466706E-41.04224241.0E-50.00257214650.00236423760.0023742141.00421971.0E-5
7.34.2368597E-63.8145756E-63.8145756E-61.00.01.8157843E-51.634808E-51.634808E-51.00.02.2104931E-41.9901979E-41.9901979E-41.00.00.00220829550.00198844050.00198844051.00.0
7.43.4999923E-63.0517836E-63.0517836E-61.00.01.49998805E-51.3079008E-51.3079008E-51.00.01.8260824E-41.5922537E-41.5922537E-41.00.00.00182458260.00159113480.00159113481.00.0
7.52.738017E-62.3087873E-62.3087873E-61.00.01.1734306E-59.894766E-69.894766E-61.00.01.428558E-41.2046218E-41.2046218E-41.00.00.00142764010.00120398950.00120398951.00.0
7.61.8186392E-61.4470507E-61.4470507E-61.00.07.794145E-66.201631E-66.201631E-61.00.09.488958E-57.5502285E-57.5502285E-51.00.09.4849075E-47.547841E-47.547841E-41.00.0
7.71.0660348E-67.681677E-77.681677E-71.00.04.5687125E-63.292143E-63.292143E-61.00.05.5622655E-54.0081122E-54.0081122E-51.00.05.5608735E-44.0075427E-44.0075427E-41.00.0
7.86.913602E-74.3520416E-74.3520416E-71.00.02.962969E-61.8651593E-61.8651593E-61.00.03.607355E-52.2708085E-52.2708085E-51.00.03.6067693E-42.2707184E-42.2707184E-41.00.0
7.97.425201E-85.3528566E-85.3528566E-81.00.03.1822285E-72.2940813E-72.2940813E-71.00.03.874356E-62.7930416E-62.7930416E-61.00.03.8742884E-52.7930197E-52.7930197E-51.00.0

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9687902E-53.2802567E-54.280224E-51.30484411.0E-51.2722766E-41.4057527E-41.5057386E-41.07112621.0E-50.00154789610.00171023230.00172021521.00583721.0E-50.0153715850.0169782770.0169881081.0005791.0E-5
6.12.9687902E-53.2802567E-53.2802567E-51.00.01.2722766E-41.4057527E-41.4057527E-41.00.00.00154789610.00171023230.00171023231.00.00.0153715850.0169782770.0169782771.00.0
6.21.9231524E-52.1187378E-52.1187378E-51.00.08.2418206E-59.0800015E-59.0800015E-51.00.00.00100297970.00110495280.00110495281.00.00.009984650.0109970060.0109970061.00.0
6.31.324766E-51.456753E-51.456753E-51.00.05.6774446E-56.243083E-56.243083E-51.00.06.910097E-47.598395E-47.598395E-41.00.00.0068886490.0075733640.0075733641.00.0
6.47.818645E-68.583834E-68.583834E-61.00.03.3508048E-53.6787358E-53.6787358E-51.00.04.078841E-44.477974E-44.477974E-41.00.00.0040713630.00446929220.00446929221.00.0
6.55.3076565E-65.825234E-65.825234E-61.00.02.27469E-52.4965062E-52.4965062E-51.00.02.7690834E-43.0390933E-43.0390933E-41.00.00.00276563530.00303514720.00303514721.00.0
6.63.6003578E-63.9535707E-63.9535707E-61.00.01.5430012E-51.6943774E-51.6943774E-51.00.01.8784421E-42.0627247E-42.0627247E-41.00.00.00187685520.00206096450.00206096451.00.0
6.72.5361826E-62.7870756E-62.7870756E-61.00.01.0869308E-51.1944562E-51.1944562E-51.00.01.3232579E-41.4541666E-41.4541666E-41.00.00.00132247030.00145334540.00145334541.00.0
6.81.2115831E-61.3331297E-61.3331297E-61.00.05.1924885E-65.7134057E-65.7134057E-61.00.06.3216714E-56.9559464E-56.9559464E-51.00.06.3198735E-46.954723E-46.954723E-41.00.0

Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.144392E-51.986967E-51.986967E-51.00.09.189928E-58.515308E-58.515308E-51.00.00.00111829940.00103626480.00103626481.00.00.0111268850.0103211170.0103310131.00095891.0E-5
6.12.144392E-51.986967E-51.986967E-51.00.09.189928E-58.515308E-58.515308E-51.00.00.00111829940.00103626480.00103626481.00.00.0111268850.0103211170.0103310131.00095891.0E-5
6.22.144392E-51.986967E-51.986967E-51.00.09.189928E-58.515308E-58.515308E-51.00.00.00111829940.00103626480.00103626481.00.00.0111268850.0103211170.0103310131.00095891.0E-5
6.31.9751555E-51.7845752E-51.7845752E-51.00.08.4646774E-57.647965E-57.647965E-51.00.00.00103008729.307562E-49.307562E-41.00.00.0102532540.0092748590.0092847661.00106821.0E-5
6.41.9751555E-51.7845752E-51.7845752E-51.00.08.4646774E-57.647965E-57.647965E-51.00.00.00103008729.307562E-49.307562E-41.00.00.0102532540.0092748590.0092847661.00106821.0E-5
6.51.9751555E-51.7845752E-51.7845752E-51.00.08.4646774E-57.647965E-57.647965E-51.00.00.00103008729.307562E-49.307562E-41.00.00.0102532540.0092748590.0092847661.00106821.0E-5
6.61.9188685E-51.7104745E-51.7104745E-51.00.08.2234634E-57.330409E-57.330409E-51.00.00.00100074678.921283E-48.921283E-41.00.00.009962520.0088919550.0089018661.00111461.0E-5
6.71.7608272E-51.4802656E-51.4802656E-51.00.07.546184E-56.343846E-56.343846E-51.00.09.183606E-47.720995E-47.720995E-41.00.00.0091457460.00770105560.0077109791.00128851.0E-5
6.81.697165E-51.3848869E-51.3848869E-51.00.07.273361E-55.9350994E-55.9350994E-51.00.08.8517193E-47.223675E-47.223675E-41.00.00.0088165430.00720640130.0072163291.00137771.0E-5
6.91.600365E-51.2909567E-51.2909567E-51.00.06.858527E-55.5325585E-55.5325585E-51.00.08.347058E-46.7338865E-46.7338865E-41.00.00.0083157750.00671932430.0067292571.00147821.0E-5
7.01.3314581E-51.0502841E-51.0502841E-51.00.05.7061243E-54.5011413E-54.5011413E-51.00.06.944992E-45.478789E-45.478789E-41.00.00.0069233270.0054688450.005478791.00181851.0E-5
7.11.2865345E-59.990243E-69.990243E-61.00.05.5136024E-54.2814638E-54.2814638E-51.00.06.710743E-45.211461E-45.211461E-41.00.00.00669051430.00520241350.0052123621.00191221.0E-5
7.21.1650051E-58.680346E-68.680346E-61.00.04.9927836E-53.720096E-53.720096E-51.00.06.0770183E-44.5282935E-44.5282935E-41.00.00.00606042660.00452053130.0045304861.00220221.0E-5
7.31.0008533E-57.2402395E-67.2402395E-61.00.04.2893007E-53.1029238E-53.1029238E-51.00.05.220972E-43.7771693E-43.7771693E-41.00.00.0052087230.0037711770.00378113921.00264171.0E-5
7.49.116759E-66.442377E-66.442377E-61.00.03.907124E-52.7609904E-52.7609904E-51.00.04.7558855E-43.361001E-43.361001E-41.00.00.004745720.00335607240.0033660391.00296961.0E-5
7.57.870524E-65.4095303E-65.4095303E-61.00.03.3730383E-52.3183504E-52.3183504E-51.00.04.1059E-42.8222386E-42.8222386E-41.00.00.00409832220.00281878230.00281878231.00.0
7.66.9774537E-64.7016274E-64.7016274E-61.00.02.990303E-52.0149682E-52.0149682E-51.00.03.640086E-42.4529596E-42.4529596E-41.00.00.0036341290.00245036930.00245036931.00.0
7.74.1616954E-62.340912E-62.340912E-61.00.01.7835715E-51.0032446E-51.0032446E-51.00.02.171282E-41.2213894E-41.2213894E-41.00.00.00216916160.00122079170.00122079171.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.432682E-89.432682E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0425775E-74.0425775E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.92183E-64.92183E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.9217546E-54.9217546E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4577874E-93.4577874E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4819088E-81.4819088E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.8042239E-71.8042239E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.8042226E-61.8042226E-61.00.0

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.4090262E-53.4090262E-51.00.01.2947287E-41.4609311E-41.4609311E-41.00.00.00157519230.00177726210.00177726211.00.00.0156407360.0176379760.01764781.0005571.0E-5
6.13.0211835E-53.4090262E-53.4090262E-51.00.01.2947287E-41.4609311E-41.4609311E-41.00.00.00157519230.00177726210.00177726211.00.00.0156407360.0176379760.01764781.0005571.0E-5
6.23.0211835E-53.4090262E-53.4090262E-51.00.01.2947287E-41.4609311E-41.4609311E-41.00.00.00157519230.00177726210.00177726211.00.00.0156407360.0176379760.01764781.0005571.0E-5
6.32.8573924E-53.2203916E-53.2203916E-51.00.01.2245393E-41.3800965E-41.3800965E-41.00.00.0014898570.00167900040.00167900041.00.00.014799080.0166702550.0166800881.00058981.0E-5
6.42.8573924E-53.2203916E-53.2203916E-51.00.01.2245393E-41.3800965E-41.3800965E-41.00.00.0014898570.00167900040.00167900041.00.00.014799080.0166702550.0166800881.00058981.0E-5
6.52.7468774E-53.0926563E-53.0926563E-51.00.01.1771801E-41.3253585E-41.3253585E-41.00.00.00143227450.00161245710.00161245711.00.00.0142307820.016014570.016024411.00061441.0E-5
6.62.6135967E-52.9346906E-52.9346906E-51.00.01.1200648E-41.2576654E-41.2576654E-41.00.00.00136282570.00153015880.00153015881.00.00.0135449820.0152031690.0152130161.00064781.0E-5
6.72.4498746E-52.7431093E-52.7431093E-51.00.01.04990395E-41.1755667E-41.1755667E-41.00.00.00127750840.0014303380.0014303381.00.00.0127018930.0142180460.0142180461.00.0
6.82.2244329E-52.501735E-52.501735E-51.00.09.532935E-51.0721293E-41.0721293E-41.00.00.00116001690.00130455780.00130455781.00.00.0115398020.0129753230.0129753231.00.0
6.91.9902658E-52.2366972E-52.2366972E-51.00.08.529431E-59.585504E-59.585504E-51.00.00.00103796350.00116642890.00116642891.00.00.0103312880.0116085730.0116085731.00.0
7.01.8353881E-52.0631662E-52.0631662E-51.00.07.865712E-58.841851E-58.841851E-51.00.09.5722964E-40.00107598150.00107598151.00.00.0095311680.0107129570.0107129571.00.0
7.11.7667631E-51.9835743E-51.9835743E-51.00.07.571623E-58.5007654E-58.5007654E-51.00.09.2145515E-40.00103449450.00103449451.00.00.0091764370.01030198950.01030198951.00.0
7.21.6381597E-51.8214154E-51.8214154E-51.00.07.020495E-57.805842E-57.805842E-51.00.08.544101E-49.4996433E-49.4996433E-41.00.00.0085113250.00946407950.00946407951.00.0
7.31.4520491E-51.6013202E-51.6013202E-51.00.06.222919E-56.8626294E-56.8626294E-51.00.07.57377E-48.3522114E-48.3522114E-41.00.00.00754800950.0083243220.0083243221.00.0
7.41.2852287E-51.41870905E-51.41870905E-51.00.05.5080065E-56.0800492E-56.0800492E-51.00.06.7039346E-47.4001047E-47.4001047E-41.00.00.00668374640.00737877560.00737877561.00.0
7.51.1637851E-51.2875852E-51.2875852E-51.00.04.987555E-55.5181146E-55.5181146E-51.00.06.070656E-46.716391E-46.716391E-41.00.00.0060540990.0066993860.0066993861.00.0
7.63.0068115E-63.3468277E-63.3468277E-61.00.01.2886271E-51.434351E-51.434351E-51.00.01.5687906E-41.7462559E-41.7462559E-41.00.00.00156768350.00174675370.00174675371.00.0

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.3306674E-56.3306674E-51.00.01.9323928E-42.7128862E-42.812859E-41.03685121.0E-50.00235014970.00329838480.00330835191.00302181.0E-50.0232545040.032620360.0326300341.00029661.0E-5
6.14.5092507E-56.3306674E-56.3306674E-51.00.01.9323928E-42.7128862E-42.812859E-41.03685121.0E-50.00235014970.00329838480.00330835191.00302181.0E-50.0232545040.032620360.0326300341.00029661.0E-5
6.22.6674514E-53.4840483E-53.4840483E-51.00.01.1431433E-41.4930799E-41.5930651E-41.06696571.0E-50.00139088840.00181634260.00182632441.00549551.0E-50.013822150.0180804620.0180902821.00054311.0E-5
6.32.6674514E-53.4840483E-53.4840483E-51.00.01.1431433E-41.4930799E-41.5930651E-41.06696571.0E-50.00139088840.00181634260.00182632441.00549551.0E-50.013822150.0180804620.0180902821.00054311.0E-5
6.42.5312667E-53.2663796E-53.2663796E-51.00.01.0847834E-41.3998036E-41.4997895E-41.07142851.0E-50.00131992370.00170295840.00171294131.00586211.0E-50.0131211120.0169493090.016959141.000581.0E-5
6.52.5312667E-53.2663796E-53.2663796E-51.00.01.0847834E-41.3998036E-41.4997895E-41.07142851.0E-50.00131992370.00170295840.00171294131.00586211.0E-50.0131211120.0169493090.016959141.000581.0E-5
6.62.246556E-52.8440913E-52.8440913E-51.00.09.627742E-51.2188406E-41.3188284E-41.08203521.0E-50.00117154720.00148295220.00149293731.00673331.0E-50.0116539010.0147819090.01479176151.00066651.0E-5
6.72.2241198E-52.8109538E-52.8109538E-51.00.09.531594E-51.2046402E-41.3046281E-41.08300231.0E-50.00115985380.00146568650.00147567191.00681271.0E-50.0115381870.0146112670.0146211211.00067441.0E-5
6.81.9528685E-52.4183031E-52.4183031E-51.00.08.369167E-51.0363756E-41.13636524E-41.09648011.0E-50.00101846980.00126107680.00127106421.00791981.0E-50.0101381470.0125839420.0125938161.00078461.0E-5
6.91.3318621E-51.5430562E-51.5430562E-51.00.05.7078556E-56.612934E-56.612934E-51.00.06.9470983E-48.048331E-48.048331E-41.00.00.00692542040.0080602920.0080602921.00.0
7.01.1760853E-51.3329497E-51.3329497E-51.00.05.0402683E-55.7125195E-55.7125195E-51.00.06.134799E-46.952824E-46.952824E-41.00.00.00611789060.00697198740.00697198741.00.0
7.11.0064758E-51.11125755E-51.11125755E-51.00.04.3133965E-54.7624475E-54.7624475E-51.00.05.2502943E-45.796773E-45.796773E-41.00.00.0052379070.00582217430.00582217431.00.0
7.29.768808E-61.0706802E-51.0706802E-51.00.04.186565E-54.5885507E-54.5885507E-51.00.05.095951E-45.585164E-45.585164E-41.00.00.00508428040.00561152450.00561152451.00.0
7.39.344516E-61.0146636E-51.0146636E-51.00.04.004731E-54.3484877E-54.3484877E-51.00.04.8746695E-45.2930333E-45.2930333E-41.00.00.00486399050.0053202360.0053202361.00.0
7.49.023491E-69.686712E-69.686712E-61.00.03.867153E-54.151384E-54.151384E-51.00.04.7072413E-45.053172E-45.053172E-41.00.00.0046972830.0050805830.0050805831.00.0
7.57.081253E-67.2626353E-67.2626353E-61.00.03.0347876E-53.112521E-53.112521E-51.00.03.6942272E-43.7888435E-43.7888435E-41.00.00.0036880920.00381543840.00381543841.00.0
7.66.116396E-66.1229503E-66.1229503E-61.00.02.6212863E-52.6240954E-52.6240954E-51.00.03.1909486E-43.1943704E-43.1943704E-41.00.00.00318637070.00322095930.00322095931.00.0
7.74.797145E-64.9111995E-64.9111995E-61.00.02.055903E-52.1047828E-52.1047828E-51.00.02.5027743E-42.5622733E-42.5622733E-41.00.00.00249995760.00258945250.00258945251.00.0
7.83.4028885E-64.1160265E-64.1160265E-61.00.01.4583726E-51.7639995E-51.7639995E-51.00.01.775424E-42.1474586E-42.1474586E-41.00.00.00177400620.00217277350.00217277351.00.0
7.92.5928412E-63.4889895E-63.4889895E-61.00.01.1112129E-51.4952726E-51.4952726E-51.00.01.3528178E-41.820343E-41.820343E-41.00.00.00135199450.00184178890.00184178891.00.0
8.01.3743648E-61.7259687E-61.7259687E-61.00.05.8901214E-67.3969877E-67.3969877E-61.00.07.1709874E-59.005464E-59.005464E-51.00.07.1686733E-49.110677E-49.110677E-41.00.0
8.13.6733252E-73.2423458E-73.2423458E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3895761E-61.3895761E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6917975E-51.6917975E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.7116626E-41.7116626E-41.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5721643E-52.5721643E-51.00.08.864371E-51.10231056E-41.2022995E-41.09070851.0E-50.00107870290.0013412540.00135124061.00744571.0E-50.0107348170.0133356610.0133455281.00073981.0E-5
6.12.0684236E-52.5721643E-52.5721643E-51.00.08.864371E-51.10231056E-41.2022995E-41.09070851.0E-50.00107870290.0013412540.00135124061.00744571.0E-50.0107348170.0133356610.0133455281.00073981.0E-5
6.22.0684236E-52.5721643E-52.5721643E-51.00.08.864371E-51.10231056E-41.2022995E-41.09070851.0E-50.00107870290.0013412540.00135124061.00744571.0E-50.0107348170.0133356610.0133455281.00073981.0E-5
6.32.0240292E-52.5220888E-52.5220888E-51.00.08.6741224E-51.0808514E-41.1808406E-41.09250961.0E-50.00105556260.00131515910.0013251461.00759361.0E-50.0105056280.0130778030.0130876721.00075471.0E-5
6.42.0240292E-52.5220888E-52.5220888E-51.00.08.6741224E-51.0808514E-41.1808406E-41.09250961.0E-50.00105556260.00131515910.0013251461.00759361.0E-50.0105056280.0130778030.0130876721.00075471.0E-5
6.51.9962767E-52.4909647E-52.4909647E-51.00.08.55519E-51.0675136E-41.16750285E-41.09366561.0E-50.00104109680.00129893970.00130892671.00768861.0E-50.0103623270.0129175030.0129273741.00076411.0E-5
6.61.8937297E-52.3403793E-52.3403793E-51.00.08.115732E-51.00298195E-41.1029719E-41.09969271.0E-59.876423E-40.00122046110.0012304491.00818361.0E-50.0098326450.01214167850.0121515571.00081361.0E-5
6.71.8621096E-52.3003457E-52.3003457E-51.00.07.980225E-59.8582605E-51.0858162E-41.10142781.0E-59.711593E-40.00119959690.0012095851.00832621.0E-50.0096692610.0119352930.0119451741.00082791.0E-5
6.81.7830353E-52.1889871E-52.1889871E-51.00.07.641356E-59.381044E-51.0380951E-41.10658791.0E-59.29938E-40.00114155790.00115154651.008751.0E-50.0092605610.0113602560.0113701431.00087021.0E-5
6.91.3135183E-51.5344356E-51.5344356E-51.00.05.6292425E-56.57599E-56.57599E-51.00.06.8514474E-48.003392E-48.003392E-41.00.00.0068303620.0079757290.0079757291.00.0
7.01.1507512E-51.3184822E-51.3184822E-51.00.04.9316975E-55.650519E-55.650519E-51.00.06.002687E-46.8773935E-46.8773935E-41.00.00.00598649870.00685705520.00685705521.00.0
7.19.715903E-61.08839695E-51.08839695E-51.00.04.1638916E-54.664477E-54.664477E-51.00.05.068359E-45.677564E-45.677564E-41.00.00.00505681480.00566359660.00566359661.00.0
7.29.233269E-61.0303426E-51.0303426E-51.00.03.9570554E-54.415682E-54.415682E-51.00.04.81665E-45.3748087E-45.3748087E-41.00.00.00480622330.00536224250.00536224251.00.0
7.38.8041315E-69.82311E-69.82311E-61.00.03.7731446E-54.209839E-54.209839E-51.00.04.592835E-45.1243155E-45.1243155E-41.00.00.00458335460.0051129280.0051129281.00.0
7.48.708749E-69.722041E-69.722041E-61.00.03.7322676E-54.1665247E-54.1665247E-51.00.04.5430884E-45.071605E-45.071605E-41.00.00.0045338120.00506045860.00506045861.00.0
7.58.612678E-69.619592E-69.619592E-61.00.03.6910955E-54.122619E-54.122619E-51.00.04.492982E-45.018175E-45.018175E-41.00.00.0044839090.00500727070.00500727071.00.0
7.68.319024E-69.298289E-69.298289E-61.00.03.5652476E-53.9849227E-53.9849227E-51.00.04.3398244E-44.8506053E-44.8506053E-41.00.00.00433135870.00484044340.00484044341.00.0
7.77.4718328E-68.358185E-68.358185E-61.00.03.2021748E-53.5820325E-53.5820325E-51.00.03.8979502E-44.3602925E-44.3602925E-41.00.00.003891120.0043521440.0043521441.00.0
7.83.4586725E-73.6509323E-73.6509323E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5646843E-61.5646843E-61.00.01.80467E-51.904987E-51.904987E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9048281E-41.9048281E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6712037E-92.6712037E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1448016E-81.1448016E-81.00.01.335311E-71.393796E-71.393796E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.393796E-61.393796E-61.00.0

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9593868E-52.9593868E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2682492E-41.2682492E-41.00.00.0016449390.0015430380.00155302241.00647071.0E-50.016328160.0153276720.0153375181.00064241.0E-5
6.13.155064E-52.9593868E-52.9593868E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2682492E-41.2682492E-41.00.00.0016449390.0015430380.00155302241.00647071.0E-50.016328160.0153276720.0153375181.00064241.0E-5
6.23.155064E-52.9593868E-52.9593868E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2682492E-41.2682492E-41.00.00.0016449390.0015430380.00155302241.00647071.0E-50.016328160.0153276720.0153375181.00064241.0E-5
6.33.155064E-52.9593868E-52.9593868E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2682492E-41.2682492E-41.00.00.0016449390.0015430380.00155302241.00647071.0E-50.016328160.0153276720.0153375181.00064241.0E-5
6.43.155064E-52.9593868E-52.9593868E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2682492E-41.2682492E-41.00.00.0016449390.0015430380.00155302241.00647071.0E-50.016328160.0153276720.0153375181.00064241.0E-5
6.53.155064E-52.9593868E-52.9593868E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2682492E-41.2682492E-41.00.00.0016449390.0015430380.00155302241.00647071.0E-50.016328160.0153276720.0153375181.00064241.0E-5
6.63.155064E-52.9593868E-52.9593868E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2682492E-41.2682492E-41.00.00.0016449390.0015430380.00155302241.00647071.0E-50.016328160.0153276720.0153375181.00064241.0E-5
6.73.098897E-52.89305E-52.89305E-51.00.01.328031E-41.2398219E-41.2398219E-41.00.00.00161567850.00150847570.00151846061.00661921.0E-50.0160398220.0149867320.0149965821.00065721.0E-5
6.83.0449872E-52.8304377E-52.8304377E-51.00.01.3049292E-41.2129905E-41.2129905E-41.00.00.00158759350.00147585280.0014858381.00676571.0E-50.0157629920.0146648110.01467466451.00067191.0E-5
6.92.697928E-52.4276273E-52.4276273E-51.00.01.15620365E-41.0403714E-41.0403714E-41.00.00.00140676890.00126593780.00126593781.00.00.01397896650.01258990.01258991.00.0
7.02.4893961E-52.191367E-52.191367E-51.00.01.0668404E-49.3912444E-59.3912444E-51.00.00.00129810430.00114280210.00114280211.00.00.0129054770.0113714560.0113714561.00.0
7.12.0945363E-51.7397386E-51.7397386E-51.00.08.976275E-57.455812E-57.455812E-51.00.00.00109231369.0737187E-49.0737187E-41.00.00.01086960.0090375180.0090375181.00.0
7.22.0439404E-51.6851223E-51.6851223E-51.00.08.7594504E-57.2217554E-57.2217554E-51.00.00.00106594138.788988E-48.788988E-41.00.00.0106084270.0087550580.0087550581.00.0
7.31.8463334E-51.5419104E-51.5419104E-51.00.07.912617E-56.6080225E-56.6080225E-51.00.09.6293533E-48.042341E-48.042341E-41.00.00.0095877340.0080140120.0080140121.00.0
7.41.763139E-51.4551708E-51.4551708E-51.00.07.556091E-56.2363E-56.2363E-51.00.09.1956573E-47.590089E-47.590089E-41.00.00.0091576990.00756488270.00756488271.00.0
7.51.3594944E-51.1188377E-51.1188377E-51.00.05.8262744E-54.794932E-54.794932E-51.00.07.0911803E-45.836292E-45.836292E-41.00.00.0070685950.0058212330.0058212331.00.0
7.66.9889534E-65.644032E-65.644032E-61.00.02.9952313E-52.4188488E-52.4188488E-51.00.03.646084E-42.9445547E-42.9445547E-41.00.00.00364010730.00294069710.00294069711.00.0
7.74.0824193E-63.288157E-63.288157E-61.00.01.7495966E-51.4092026E-51.4092026E-51.00.02.1299256E-41.7155704E-41.7155704E-41.00.00.00212788510.00171425940.00171425941.00.0
7.81.7023609E-61.4385729E-61.4385729E-61.00.07.295812E-66.1652977E-66.1652977E-61.00.08.882289E-57.505994E-57.505994E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.503487E-47.503487E-41.00.0
7.92.721225E-72.2640292E-72.2640292E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.70298E-79.70298E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1813316E-51.1813316E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.1812716E-41.1812716E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.149908E-95.149908E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.2071035E-82.2071035E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.687148E-72.687148E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.6871453E-62.6871453E-61.00.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.4014745E-54.4014745E-51.00.01.604705E-41.8862195E-41.8862195E-41.00.00.00195197760.00229422630.00229422631.00.00.0193492060.0227234770.022733251.00043011.0E-5
6.13.744542E-54.4014745E-54.4014745E-51.00.01.604705E-41.8862195E-41.8862195E-41.00.00.00195197760.00229422630.00229422631.00.00.0193492060.0227234770.022733251.00043011.0E-5
6.23.744542E-54.4014745E-54.4014745E-51.00.01.604705E-41.8862195E-41.8862195E-41.00.00.00195197760.00229422630.00229422631.00.00.0193492060.0227234770.022733251.00043011.0E-5
6.32.1079984E-52.5377145E-52.5377145E-51.00.09.0339665E-51.0875477E-41.0875477E-41.00.00.00109933040.00132330510.00132330511.00.00.0109390790.0131564710.0131663391.00075011.0E-5
6.42.1079984E-52.5377145E-52.5377145E-51.00.09.0339665E-51.0875477E-41.0875477E-41.00.00.00109933040.00132330510.00132330511.00.00.0109390790.0131564710.0131663391.00075011.0E-5
6.51.7397282E-52.0682402E-52.0682402E-51.00.07.455765E-58.863592E-58.863592E-51.00.09.073613E-40.00107861990.00107861991.00.00.0090366540.0107351430.01074503551.00092151.0E-5
6.61.52050325E-51.7697188E-51.7697188E-51.00.06.51628E-57.584293E-57.584293E-51.00.07.9306826E-49.2300447E-49.2300447E-41.00.00.0079024390.0091925720.009202481.00107791.0E-5
6.71.332523E-51.5279307E-51.5279307E-51.00.05.7106878E-56.548114E-56.548114E-51.00.06.950544E-47.9694705E-47.9694705E-41.00.00.0069288450.0079415220.0079514431.00124921.0E-5
6.81.1525329E-51.3043503E-51.3043503E-51.00.04.9393333E-55.5899553E-55.5899553E-51.00.06.011979E-46.803688E-46.803688E-41.00.00.005995740.00678331030.00678331031.00.0
6.91.0253909E-51.1525819E-51.1525819E-51.00.04.3944583E-54.939545E-54.939545E-51.00.05.3489394E-46.0122734E-46.0122734E-41.00.00.00533608250.00599638750.00599638751.00.0
7.08.104563E-69.001173E-69.001173E-61.00.03.4733377E-53.8575898E-53.8575898E-51.00.04.2279682E-44.6956277E-44.6956277E-41.00.00.00421993340.0046859540.0046859541.00.0
7.16.7986157E-67.524606E-67.524606E-61.00.02.91366E-53.2247925E-53.2247925E-51.00.03.5468035E-43.925499E-43.925499E-41.00.00.0035411480.0039187820.0039187821.00.0
7.25.6893327E-66.288042E-66.288042E-61.00.02.4382627E-52.6948484E-52.6948484E-51.00.02.9681803E-43.280504E-43.280504E-41.00.00.0029642190.00327586030.00327586031.00.0
7.34.253348E-64.7120925E-64.7120925E-61.00.01.8228506E-52.0194537E-52.0194537E-51.00.02.2190946E-42.4584256E-42.4584256E-41.00.00.002216880.00245588720.00245588721.00.0
7.42.5448119E-62.852905E-62.852905E-61.00.01.0906291E-51.2226687E-51.2226687E-51.00.01.3277601E-41.4885141E-41.4885141E-41.00.00.0013269670.00148767930.00148767931.00.0
7.54.3706837E-84.565575E-84.565575E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9566748E-71.9566748E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3822495E-62.3822495E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3822295E-52.3822295E-51.00.0

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1520034E-53.1520034E-51.00.01.3147724E-41.3508009E-41.3508009E-41.00.00.00159955990.00164357750.00164357751.00.00.0158809520.0163358790.0163457151.00060211.0E-5
6.13.0679566E-53.1520034E-53.1520034E-51.00.01.3147724E-41.3508009E-41.3508009E-41.00.00.00159955990.00164357750.00164357751.00.00.0158809520.0163358790.0163457151.00060211.0E-5
6.21.514536E-51.36552135E-51.36552135E-51.00.06.490707E-55.8521095E-55.8521095E-51.00.07.8995706E-47.1227335E-47.1227335E-41.00.00.0078715480.00710110970.00711103851.00139821.0E-5
6.31.514536E-51.36552135E-51.36552135E-51.00.06.490707E-55.8521095E-55.8521095E-51.00.07.8995706E-47.1227335E-47.1227335E-41.00.00.0078715480.00710110970.00711103851.00139821.0E-5
6.41.2532521E-51.0704679E-51.0704679E-51.00.05.37097E-54.5876423E-54.5876423E-51.00.06.537194E-45.5840815E-45.5840815E-41.00.00.00651799650.00557064170.0055805861.00178521.0E-5
6.51.1094058E-59.096153E-69.096153E-61.00.04.7545094E-53.8982955E-53.8982955E-51.00.05.787078E-44.7451816E-44.7451816E-41.00.00.00577203040.00473545770.00474541081.00210181.0E-5
6.69.688328E-67.5420303E-67.5420303E-61.00.04.1520743E-53.23226E-53.23226E-51.00.05.053978E-43.9345917E-43.9345917E-41.00.00.00504249940.00392788280.00392788281.00.0
6.78.974824E-66.758743E-66.758743E-61.00.03.8462964E-52.8965731E-52.8965731E-51.00.04.6818596E-43.5260292E-43.5260292E-41.00.00.0046720080.00352065610.00352065611.00.0
6.87.4780046E-65.123541E-65.123541E-61.00.03.20482E-52.1957856E-52.1957856E-51.00.03.9011694E-42.673055E-42.673055E-41.00.00.00389432810.00266997840.00266997841.00.0
6.96.3409307E-63.913536E-63.913536E-61.00.02.7175134E-51.6772196E-51.6772196E-51.00.03.3080703E-42.0418334E-42.0418334E-41.00.00.00330315020.00204005580.00204005581.00.0
7.05.1239335E-62.6105067E-62.6105067E-61.00.02.195953E-51.118784E-51.118784E-51.00.02.6732447E-41.3620369E-41.3620369E-41.00.00.00267003130.00136122740.00136122741.00.0
7.14.438899E-62.102597E-62.102597E-61.00.01.9023713E-59.0111E-69.0111E-61.00.02.315891E-41.09704844E-41.09704844E-41.00.00.0023134790.00109652870.00109652871.00.0
7.23.50367E-61.2645735E-61.2645735E-61.00.01.5015643E-55.41959E-65.41959E-61.00.01.8280011E-46.598159E-56.598159E-51.00.00.00182649826.5962825E-46.5962825E-41.00.0
7.32.561638E-67.1411284E-77.1411284E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.0604801E-63.0604801E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.726073E-53.726073E-51.00.00.00133573493.725468E-43.725468E-41.00.0
7.42.0368864E-65.3234686E-75.3234686E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2814847E-62.2814847E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.7776727E-52.7776727E-51.00.00.00106225472.777331E-42.777331E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6152954E-73.6152954E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.5494114E-61.5494114E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.8863926E-51.8863926E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8862372E-41.8862372E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1680255E-87.1680255E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0720108E-73.0720108E-71.00.06.863748E-63.7401683E-63.7401683E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7401212E-53.7401212E-51.00.0

Pilarcitos 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.9150476E-63.2644664E-63.2644664E-61.00.02.1064321E-51.3990497E-51.3990497E-51.00.02.564279E-41.7032129E-41.7032129E-41.00.00.00256132220.00171441770.00172440061.00582291.0E-5
6.14.9150476E-63.2644664E-63.2644664E-61.00.02.1064321E-51.3990497E-51.3990497E-51.00.02.564279E-41.7032129E-41.7032129E-41.00.00.00256132220.00171441770.00172440061.00582291.0E-5
6.24.162343E-62.4925994E-62.4925994E-61.00.01.783849E-51.0682525E-51.0682525E-51.00.02.1716199E-41.3005205E-41.3005205E-41.00.00.0021694990.00131225160.00132223841.00761041.0E-5
6.34.162343E-62.4925994E-62.4925994E-61.00.01.783849E-51.0682525E-51.0682525E-51.00.02.1716199E-41.3005205E-41.3005205E-41.00.00.0021694990.00131225160.00132223841.00761041.0E-5
6.43.8768926E-62.1999217E-62.1999217E-61.00.01.6615148E-59.428202E-69.428202E-61.00.02.0227065E-41.1478235E-41.1478235E-41.00.00.00202086640.00115972090.00116970941.00861281.0E-5
6.53.7137002E-62.0331847E-62.0331847E-61.00.01.591576E-58.7136195E-68.7136195E-61.00.01.9375715E-41.06083186E-41.06083186E-41.00.00.0019358830.00107281560.0010828051.00931131.0E-5
6.63.5048733E-61.8180406E-61.8180406E-61.00.01.5020799E-57.791579E-67.791579E-61.00.01.8286289E-49.485837E-59.485837E-51.00.00.00182712499.606696E-49.7065995E-41.01039951.0E-5
6.73.3908584E-61.701631E-61.701631E-61.00.01.453217E-57.2926837E-67.2926837E-61.00.01.7691481E-48.878483E-58.878483E-51.00.00.00176774028.9998456E-49.0997556E-41.01110121.0E-5
6.83.2451449E-61.5547142E-61.5547142E-61.00.01.3907689E-56.6630437E-66.6630437E-61.00.01.6931296E-48.111955E-58.111955E-51.00.00.00169184028.2339067E-48.333824E-41.01213491.0E-5
6.93.1239128E-61.4311191E-61.4311191E-61.00.01.3388129E-56.133353E-66.133353E-61.00.01.6298829E-47.467102E-57.467102E-51.00.00.0016286887.589511E-47.689435E-41.01316611.0E-5
7.02.9940109E-61.3022354E-61.3022354E-61.00.01.2831412E-55.580997E-65.580997E-61.00.01.5621124E-46.794652E-56.794652E-51.00.00.00156101486.917495E-47.0174254E-41.01444611.0E-5
7.12.7471217E-61.2124428E-61.2124428E-61.00.01.1773326E-55.196173E-65.196173E-61.00.01.4333082E-46.326157E-56.326157E-51.00.00.0014323846.448697E-46.5486325E-41.0154971.0E-5
7.22.592675E-61.077794E-61.077794E-61.00.01.1111417E-54.6191085E-64.6191085E-61.00.01.3527309E-45.6236197E-55.6236197E-51.00.00.00135190785.7465443E-45.846487E-41.01739181.0E-5
7.32.4518663E-69.681825E-79.681825E-71.00.01.0507956E-54.1493468E-64.1493468E-61.00.01.2792686E-45.0517123E-55.0517123E-51.00.00.00127853235.174879E-45.274827E-41.01931421.0E-5
7.42.3349535E-69.2958334E-79.2958334E-71.00.01.0006905E-53.9839224E-63.9839224E-61.00.01.2182725E-44.8503178E-54.8503178E-51.00.00.00121760484.9732847E-45.073235E-41.02009751.0E-5
7.52.1358665E-68.7963036E-78.7963036E-71.00.09.15368E-63.769839E-63.769839E-61.00.01.11440364E-44.5896824E-54.5896824E-51.00.00.00111384494.7117574E-44.81171E-41.02121351.0E-5
7.61.6445446E-67.277416E-77.277416E-71.00.07.048029E-63.1188888E-63.1188888E-61.00.08.580638E-53.797181E-53.797181E-51.00.08.5773255E-43.9188637E-44.0188245E-41.02550761.0E-5
7.71.3650961E-66.2292276E-76.2292276E-71.00.05.850399E-62.6696662E-62.6696662E-61.00.07.122628E-53.2502703E-53.2502703E-51.00.07.120345E-43.3708938E-43.4708602E-41.02965571.0E-5
7.81.0500993E-65.919749E-75.919749E-71.00.04.5004176E-62.5370327E-62.5370327E-61.00.05.4791206E-53.088794E-53.088794E-51.00.05.47777E-43.2080067E-43.3079745E-41.0311621.0E-5
7.95.856431E-75.518185E-75.518185E-71.00.02.5098966E-62.3649343E-62.3649343E-61.00.03.0557563E-52.8792696E-52.8792696E-51.00.03.055336E-42.990505E-43.0904752E-41.03342911.0E-5
8.04.4768265E-75.1950775E-75.1950775E-71.00.01.9186384E-62.2264599E-62.2264599E-61.00.02.3359173E-52.7106813E-52.7106813E-51.00.02.3356717E-42.816305E-42.916277E-41.03549751.0E-5
8.12.6692538E-73.5920368E-73.5920368E-71.00.01.1439654E-61.5394434E-61.5394434E-61.00.01.392769E-51.8742563E-51.8742563E-51.00.01.3926817E-41.9466836E-41.9466836E-41.00.0
8.21.3198862E-81.1737496E-81.1737496E-81.00.05.656655E-85.0303555E-85.0303555E-81.00.06.886975E-76.124456E-76.124456E-71.00.06.8869535E-66.364169E-66.364169E-61.00.0