Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.8658578E-4 | 0.007433204 | 15.276246 | 0.00695 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.002083739 | 0.011653756 | 5.592714 | 0.00959 | 0.011683988 | 0.02507224 | 0.038691983 | 1.5432199 | 0.01397 | 0.11088423 | 0.2170046 | 0.23120813 | 1.0654527 | 0.01814 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.8658578E-4 | 0.006093856 | 12.523704 | 0.00561 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.002083739 | 0.009787653 | 4.6971583 | 0.00772 | 0.011683988 | 0.02507224 | 0.036040176 | 1.4374534 | 0.01125 | 0.11088423 | 0.2170046 | 0.22845198 | 1.0527519 | 0.01462 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.7721204E-4 | 0.006054549 | 12.687335 | 0.00558 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.002043629 | 0.009707934 | 4.7503405 | 0.00768 | 0.011405343 | 0.024595678 | 0.035520207 | 1.4441645 | 0.0112 | 0.10837428 | 0.21339646 | 0.22484942 | 1.0536698 | 0.01456 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.7152198E-4 | 0.005968929 | 12.658855 | 0.0055 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.002019281 | 0.009573995 | 4.741289 | 0.00757 | 0.011262234 | 0.024306092 | 0.03504848 | 1.4419628 | 0.01101 | 0.107082725 | 0.21128355 | 0.22259374 | 1.0535309 | 0.01434 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.100829E-4 | 0.0049082376 | 11.968891 | 0.0045 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017563294 | 0.00794544 | 4.5238895 | 0.0062 | 0.00974259 | 0.02117657 | 0.029966405 | 1.4150736 | 0.00898 | 0.093263686 | 0.18803278 | 0.19750032 | 1.0503504 | 0.01166 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.8405263E-4 | 0.0044624857 | 11.619464 | 0.00408 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016449144 | 0.0073355385 | 4.459526 | 0.0057 | 0.009034078 | 0.019847427 | 0.028021898 | 1.4118656 | 0.00834 | 0.086755216 | 0.17779285 | 0.18666448 | 1.0498986 | 0.01079 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.577292E-4 | 0.0041463734 | 11.590816 | 0.00379 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0015322351 | 0.006774191 | 4.4211173 | 0.00525 | 0.008271996 | 0.018499209 | 0.025978243 | 1.4042895 | 0.00762 | 0.07970774 | 0.16709802 | 0.17528544 | 1.0489978 | 0.00983 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2883286E-4 | 0.0037477082 | 11.397 | 0.00342 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0014085313 | 0.0060919253 | 4.3250194 | 0.00469 | 0.007417723 | 0.01701747 | 0.02374107 | 1.3950999 | 0.00684 | 0.07174956 | 0.15508585 | 0.1625211 | 1.0479428 | 0.0088 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.974821E-4 | 0.0032965897 | 11.08164 | 0.003 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012743069 | 0.0053291335 | 4.1819854 | 0.00406 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015405845 | 0.021254335 | 1.379628 | 0.00594 | 0.06264243 | 0.14112559 | 0.14771315 | 1.0466788 | 0.00767 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6788283E-4 | 0.0029171729 | 10.889735 | 0.00265 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011475686 | 0.004703483 | 4.0986514 | 0.00356 | 0.005298089 | 0.013883188 | 0.018951828 | 1.3650919 | 0.00514 | 0.05173543 | 0.12712464 | 0.13292053 | 1.0455922 | 0.00664 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2802793E-4 | 0.0022475673 | 9.856544 | 0.00202 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.768999E-4 | 0.0037342035 | 3.822504 | 0.00276 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011829627 | 0.015782308 | 1.3341341 | 0.004 | 0.039192066 | 0.10892219 | 0.11352015 | 1.0422133 | 0.00516 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2480762E-4 | 0.0022043625 | 9.805551 | 0.00198 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.631088E-4 | 0.0036605084 | 3.8007216 | 0.0027 | 0.0039125155 | 0.01166353 | 0.015518042 | 1.3304756 | 0.0039 | 0.038443442 | 0.107467815 | 0.11198403 | 1.0420239 | 0.00506 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0594627E-4 | 0.0019555858 | 9.495612 | 0.00175 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.823314E-4 | 0.003290205 | 3.72899 | 0.00241 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010690133 | 0.014132932 | 1.3220538 | 0.00348 | 0.034803 | 0.09909883 | 0.103152886 | 1.0409092 | 0.0045 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.9209893E-4 | 0.0018517801 | 9.639721 | 0.00166 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.2302437E-4 | 0.0030611807 | 3.7194293 | 0.00224 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009974893 | 0.013162774 | 1.3195904 | 0.00322 | 0.03284188 | 0.09294227 | 0.096751906 | 1.0409894 | 0.0042 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2822106E-4 | 0.0012080825 | 9.421873 | 0.00108 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.49404E-4 | 0.0019986073 | 3.6377738 | 0.00145 | 0.0023488526 | 0.00666866 | 0.008714922 | 1.3068477 | 0.00206 | 0.023241805 | 0.06364833 | 0.06603602 | 1.0375139 | 0.00255 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.5838586E-5 | 7.1577914E-4 | 7.4685903 | 6.2E-4 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.1067248E-4 | 0.001300307 | 3.1662872 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0017896603 | 0.00498854 | 0.006212404 | 1.2453351 | 0.00123 | 0.01775316 | 0.04816479 | 0.04958302 | 1.0294454 | 0.00149 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.264212E-5 | 4.0261814E-4 | 5.542489 | 3.3E-4 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.1128636E-4 | 8.211276E-4 | 2.637853 | 5.1E-4 | 0.001354725 | 0.0037833506 | 0.004510589 | 1.1922207 | 7.3E-4 | 0.013464959 | 0.036794078 | 0.037670594 | 1.0238222 | 9.1E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 5.1172872E-5 | 2.711616E-4 | 5.298933 | 2.2E-4 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1929391E-4 | 5.292259E-4 | 2.413318 | 3.1E-4 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0026666406 | 0.0031054672 | 1.1645616 | 4.4E-4 | 0.008982267 | 0.026092077 | 0.026608247 | 1.0197827 | 5.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 4.119866E-5 | 1.9119248E-4 | 4.640745 | 1.5E-4 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7655375E-4 | 3.665202E-4 | 2.0759695 | 1.9E-4 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0021474254 | 0.002426824 | 1.1301087 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0067227143 | 0.021114463 | 0.021427706 | 1.0148355 | 3.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.995314E-5 | 1.3994984E-4 | 4.6722927 | 1.1E-4 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2836429E-4 | 2.683463E-4 | 2.090506 | 1.4E-4 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0015617161 | 0.0017614037 | 1.1278642 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005308505 | 0.015548505 | 0.015765084 | 1.0139292 | 2.2E-4 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.4308949E-5 | 1.14306764E-4 | 4.70225 | 9.0E-5 | 3.70726E-5 | 1.0417706E-4 | 2.2416456E-4 | 2.151765 | 1.2E-4 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012676186 | 0.0014174285 | 1.1181821 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012690256 | 0.012858099 | 1.0132262 | 1.7E-4 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.773885E-6 | 1.7773807E-5 | 2.286348 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.3316224E-5 | 4.3315893E-5 | 1.3001441 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0539707E-4 | 4.0554968E-4 | 4.2554157E-4 | 1.0492958 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0042215316 | 0.004251405 | 1.0070764 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.393427E-6 | 1.2393403E-5 | 5.1780996 | 1.0E-5 | 7.329063E-6 | 1.0257504E-5 | 2.0257401E-5 | 1.9748861 | 1.0E-5 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.2487799E-4 | 1.4487549E-4 | 1.1601363 | 2.0E-5 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0013563378 | 0.0013763106 | 1.0147256 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.8987103E-8 | 1.8987103E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 8.13733E-8 | 8.13733E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.907199E-7 | 9.907199E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 1.0310261E-5 | 1.0310261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
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1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.1969086E-4 | 0.0061167805 | 11.770038 | 0.0056 | 0.0011778869 | 0.002225386 | 0.009888295 | 4.4434066 | 0.00768 | 0.0142467655 | 0.02675861 | 0.03764918 | 1.4069932 | 0.01119 | 0.13367249 | 0.2327519 | 0.24389236 | 1.0478641 | 0.01452 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.9910875E-4 | 0.006066329 | 12.154323 | 0.00557 | 0.001086234 | 0.0021373236 | 0.009760994 | 4.566924 | 0.00764 | 0.013144928 | 0.025719637 | 0.036563378 | 1.4216133 | 0.01113 | 0.123940155 | 0.2237354 | 0.2349602 | 1.05017 | 0.01446 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.8984325E-4 | 0.0060271295 | 12.3042 | 0.00554 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020976784 | 0.009681736 | 4.6154532 | 0.0076 | 0.01286919 | 0.025248893 | 0.036049135 | 1.4277511 | 0.01108 | 0.12148927 | 0.22020014 | 0.23142926 | 1.0509951 | 0.0144 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.700703E-4 | 0.005907513 | 12.567297 | 0.00544 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0020130696 | 0.009478012 | 4.7082386 | 0.00748 | 0.012036599 | 0.02423681 | 0.0348336 | 1.4372188 | 0.01086 | 0.11405133 | 0.21181348 | 0.22295055 | 1.0525796 | 0.01413 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 4.0957078E-4 | 0.0048477524 | 11.836177 | 0.00444 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.001754138 | 0.00785342 | 4.4770823 | 0.00611 | 0.010539869 | 0.021155078 | 0.029808067 | 1.4090266 | 0.00884 | 0.100537635 | 0.18895517 | 0.19826595 | 1.0492752 | 0.01148 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.8000656E-4 | 0.004408475 | 11.60105 | 0.00403 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0016275961 | 0.007248433 | 4.4534593 | 0.00563 | 0.009633281 | 0.019647077 | 0.027705578 | 1.4101628 | 0.00822 | 0.0922623 | 0.17702518 | 0.1857734 | 1.049418 | 0.01063 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4958072E-4 | 0.0040882733 | 11.694791 | 0.00374 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014973537 | 0.0066795824 | 4.460925 | 0.00519 | 0.008617763 | 0.018084053 | 0.025458243 | 1.407773 | 0.00751 | 0.08291132 | 0.16426471 | 0.17236298 | 1.0493002 | 0.00969 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.1578695E-4 | 0.0036947196 | 11.700038 | 0.00338 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013526795 | 0.005986403 | 4.4255886 | 0.00464 | 0.0073952693 | 0.016347893 | 0.022977708 | 1.4055456 | 0.00674 | 0.07153955 | 0.14962715 | 0.15699138 | 1.0492172 | 0.00866 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.8469934E-4 | 0.0032438566 | 11.393973 | 0.00296 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0012195761 | 0.0052246857 | 4.284018 | 0.00401 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014748723 | 0.020512443 | 1.3907945 | 0.00585 | 0.06225166 | 0.13565828 | 0.14217542 | 1.0480409 | 0.00754 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5519723E-4 | 0.0028645312 | 11.224774 | 0.00261 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010932484 | 0.004599411 | 4.207105 | 0.00351 | 0.0051317946 | 0.013230073 | 0.01821326 | 1.3766562 | 0.00505 | 0.05014893 | 0.12147096 | 0.12719019 | 1.047083 | 0.00651 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1640267E-4 | 0.002195974 | 10.147631 | 0.00198 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.271136E-4 | 0.0036346011 | 3.9203405 | 0.00271 | 0.003811904 | 0.011229897 | 0.015115763 | 1.3460287 | 0.00393 | 0.037471764 | 0.10360639 | 0.10814214 | 1.0437787 | 0.00506 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.1336468E-4 | 0.0021529507 | 10.090474 | 0.00194 | 3.0750787E-4 | 9.141028E-4 | 0.0035616804 | 3.8963673 | 0.00265 | 0.003737482 | 0.011073112 | 0.014860701 | 1.3420529 | 0.00383 | 0.03675245 | 0.102224246 | 0.10667721 | 1.0435607 | 0.00496 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9491237E-4 | 0.0019045791 | 9.771463 | 0.00171 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.3507446E-4 | 0.0031931037 | 3.8237355 | 0.00236 | 0.0033683628 | 0.010120277 | 0.013495767 | 1.3335373 | 0.00341 | 0.033177625 | 0.093991004 | 0.09797744 | 1.042413 | 0.0044 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.8147468E-4 | 0.0018111789 | 9.980339 | 0.00163 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.775198E-4 | 0.0029758092 | 3.82731 | 0.0022 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009425809 | 0.012556024 | 1.3320898 | 0.00316 | 0.031268585 | 0.08798991 | 0.091738276 | 1.0425999 | 0.00411 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1773656E-4 | 0.001167613 | 9.917166 | 0.00105 | 1.7995955E-4 | 5.044886E-4 | 0.0019137772 | 3.7934997 | 0.00141 | 0.0021888057 | 0.006125026 | 0.008112776 | 1.3245292 | 0.002 | 0.02167372 | 0.058603216 | 0.060919054 | 1.0395172 | 0.00246 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.552235E-5 | 6.754719E-4 | 7.8981915 | 5.9E-4 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.664732E-4 | 0.0012161616 | 3.3185556 | 8.5E-4 | 0.0016321153 | 0.004452745 | 0.0056175357 | 1.2615893 | 0.00117 | 0.016201803 | 0.04311781 | 0.044457447 | 1.0310692 | 0.0014 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.266301E-5 | 3.626442E-4 | 5.7872133 | 3.0E-4 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6852827E-4 | 7.384021E-4 | 2.7498114 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0032644547 | 0.003942235 | 1.2076243 | 6.8E-4 | 0.011967761 | 0.031854387 | 0.03266763 | 1.02553 | 8.4E-4 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.160115E-5 | 2.3159325E-4 | 5.5669913 | 1.9E-4 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7827848E-4 | 4.4823036E-4 | 2.5142145 | 2.7E-4 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0021683855 | 0.0025575398 | 1.1794673 | 3.9E-4 | 0.007582182 | 0.021303643 | 0.021753844 | 1.0211326 | 4.6E-4 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.2186945E-5 | 1.5218309E-4 | 4.7281 | 1.2E-4 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3793677E-4 | 2.979147E-4 | 2.1597917 | 1.6E-4 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.001678089 | 0.0019276695 | 1.148729 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0053875 | 0.016576719 | 0.016861912 | 1.0172044 | 2.9E-4 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.3125207E-5 | 1.13123126E-4 | 4.891767 | 9.0E-5 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.9104276E-5 | 2.1909238E-4 | 2.2107258 | 1.2E-4 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0012059277 | 0.0013857107 | 1.1490827 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004237258 | 0.012071317 | 0.012268903 | 1.0163682 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8844921E-5 | 9.884341E-5 | 5.2450957 | 8.0E-5 | 2.9733603E-5 | 8.076145E-5 | 1.9075257E-4 | 2.3619258 | 1.1E-4 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.82828E-4 | 0.0011226904 | 1.1423061 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009892592 | 0.010051009 | 1.0160137 | 1.6E-4 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.7711676E-6 | 1.67711E-5 | 2.4768403 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.9018967E-5 | 3.9018676E-5 | 1.3445922 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.532488E-4 | 3.7324172E-4 | 1.0565974 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0036795845 | 0.003709474 | 1.008123 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 2.0911061E-6 | 1.2091085E-5 | 5.7821484 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.9618525E-6 | 1.8961762E-5 | 2.1158307 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0910512E-4 | 1.2910295E-4 | 1.1832894 | 2.0E-5 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011863982 | 0.0012063745 | 1.0168377 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.6001133E-8 | 1.6001133E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.8576284E-8 | 6.8576284E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 8.3491625E-7 | 8.3491625E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 8.685864E-6 | 8.685864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elmore Ranch
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1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.102099E-5 | 9.013691E-5 | 0.003349843 | 37.163944 | 0.00326 | 3.9003167E-4 | 3.8624078E-4 | 0.0048944987 | 12.672144 | 0.00451 | 0.0047383 | 0.0046928637 | 0.011202172 | 2.3870654 | 0.00654 | 0.046385348 | 0.046167076 | 0.05402666 | 1.1702422 | 0.00824 |
6.1 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1808576E-5 | 0.0015717446 | 37.59383 | 0.00153 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.7916592E-4 | 0.0022687914 | 12.663075 | 0.00209 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0021796327 | 0.0051032463 | 2.3413332 | 0.00293 | 0.019789828 | 0.021787258 | 0.025347952 | 1.1634301 | 0.00364 |
6.2 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1808576E-5 | 0.0015717446 | 37.59383 | 0.00153 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.7916592E-4 | 0.0022687914 | 12.663075 | 0.00209 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0021796327 | 0.0051032463 | 2.3413332 | 0.00293 | 0.019789828 | 0.021787258 | 0.025347952 | 1.1634301 | 0.00364 |
6.3 | 3.3197924E-5 | 3.6807087E-5 | 0.0014167563 | 38.491398 | 0.00138 | 1.4226905E-4 | 1.5773624E-4 | 0.0020274413 | 12.853364 | 0.00187 | 0.0017307495 | 0.0019193038 | 0.0045242943 | 2.357258 | 0.00261 | 0.017173318 | 0.01921997 | 0.022417312 | 1.1663553 | 0.00326 |
6.4 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.7571052E-5 | 0.0011275407 | 40.89582 | 0.0011 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1815999E-4 | 0.0016179828 | 13.693153 | 0.0015 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014383025 | 0.0035752244 | 2.4857252 | 0.00214 | 0.01303681 | 0.014442572 | 0.016995165 | 1.1767409 | 0.00259 |
6.5 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.7571052E-5 | 0.0011275407 | 40.89582 | 0.0011 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1815999E-4 | 0.0016179828 | 13.693153 | 0.0015 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014383025 | 0.0035752244 | 2.4857252 | 0.00214 | 0.01303681 | 0.014442572 | 0.016995165 | 1.1767409 | 0.00259 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.3225454E-4 | 0.002831424 | 8.521852 | 0.0025 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014231758 | 0.0047983653 | 3.3715901 | 0.00338 | 0.0062038354 | 0.017190883 | 0.022006648 | 1.2801348 | 0.0049 | 0.060334753 | 0.15459369 | 0.15998739 | 1.0348895 | 0.00638 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.3225454E-4 | 0.002831424 | 8.521852 | 0.0025 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014231758 | 0.0047983653 | 3.3715901 | 0.00338 | 0.0062038354 | 0.017190883 | 0.022006648 | 1.2801348 | 0.0049 | 0.060334753 | 0.15459369 | 0.15998739 | 1.0348895 | 0.00638 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.072308E-4 | 0.002776472 | 9.037088 | 0.00247 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0013160431 | 0.0046516475 | 3.5345707 | 0.00334 | 0.005590286 | 0.015906246 | 0.02066926 | 1.299443 | 0.00484 | 0.05451731 | 0.14375576 | 0.14914155 | 1.0374647 | 0.00629 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0668362E-4 | 0.0027759261 | 9.051433 | 0.00247 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0013137005 | 0.0046393257 | 3.5314944 | 0.00333 | 0.005577586 | 0.01587814 | 0.02063145 | 1.2993618 | 0.00483 | 0.054396555 | 0.14352445 | 0.14890312 | 1.0374756 | 0.00628 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9875786E-4 | 0.0027580229 | 9.231633 | 0.00246 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012797667 | 0.0045955176 | 3.590903 | 0.00332 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015470935 | 0.02020652 | 1.3060956 | 0.00481 | 0.052604496 | 0.1400879 | 0.14546235 | 1.0383649 | 0.00625 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9595E-4 | 0.0027452249 | 9.275975 | 0.00245 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012677447 | 0.004563561 | 3.5997477 | 0.0033 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015326637 | 0.020033374 | 1.3070953 | 0.00478 | 0.051971316 | 0.13887128 | 0.14421889 | 1.0385077 | 0.00621 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.9360547E-4 | 0.002742886 | 9.342081 | 0.00245 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012577063 | 0.0045435685 | 3.612583 | 0.00329 | 0.0052651367 | 0.015206131 | 0.019903598 | 1.3089193 | 0.00477 | 0.051421247 | 0.13784991 | 0.14318663 | 1.0387139 | 0.00619 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.921897E-4 | 0.0027314767 | 9.348299 | 0.00244 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012516447 | 0.0045275395 | 3.617272 | 0.00328 | 0.005230834 | 0.015133359 | 0.019821323 | 1.3097769 | 0.00476 | 0.051094085 | 0.13723585 | 0.1425591 | 1.0387892 | 0.00617 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.902181E-4 | 0.0027095159 | 9.336137 | 0.00242 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.001243203 | 0.00449915 | 3.6189988 | 0.00326 | 0.0051924936 | 0.015032004 | 0.019690903 | 1.309932 | 0.00473 | 0.050728295 | 0.13638581 | 0.14167978 | 1.038816 | 0.00613 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.85151E-4 | 0.0026944638 | 9.449252 | 0.00241 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012215074 | 0.0044675376 | 3.6573968 | 0.00325 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014771472 | 0.019402046 | 1.3134809 | 0.0047 | 0.049738888 | 0.13420656 | 0.13947059 | 1.0392233 | 0.00608 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.5221848E-4 | 0.002271709 | 9.006909 | 0.00202 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010804919 | 0.003847499 | 3.560877 | 0.00277 | 0.0044259406 | 0.013076444 | 0.017034007 | 1.3026483 | 0.00401 | 0.04338823 | 0.12000262 | 0.124561004 | 1.0379857 | 0.00518 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4819223E-4 | 0.0022277008 | 8.975707 | 0.00198 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010632507 | 0.0037703693 | 3.5460775 | 0.00271 | 0.004331963 | 0.012869031 | 0.016728714 | 1.2999202 | 0.00391 | 0.042484846 | 0.11820528 | 0.1226848 | 1.037896 | 0.00508 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2853486E-4 | 0.001978135 | 8.6557255 | 0.00175 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.790706E-4 | 0.0033967013 | 3.469312 | 0.00242 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011855748 | 0.015304372 | 1.290882 | 0.00349 | 0.03870018 | 0.10957408 | 0.1135988 | 1.0367306 | 0.00452 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.1152057E-4 | 0.0018711694 | 8.846276 | 0.00166 | 3.0352117E-4 | 9.0620475E-4 | 0.0031541658 | 3.4806325 | 0.00225 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010977875 | 0.014172417 | 1.2909981 | 0.00323 | 0.03628465 | 0.102041885 | 0.105822295 | 1.0370476 | 0.00421 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.461925E-4 | 0.0012260346 | 8.38644 | 0.00108 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.2638975E-4 | 0.0020854753 | 3.3293571 | 0.00146 | 0.0026816884 | 0.007599824 | 0.009654093 | 1.2703047 | 0.00207 | 0.02649557 | 0.072355196 | 0.07472997 | 1.032821 | 0.00256 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.12413974E-4 | 7.323443E-4 | 6.5147085 | 6.2E-4 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.8168554E-4 | 0.0013712569 | 2.8467884 | 8.9E-4 | 0.002099857 | 0.005848825 | 0.0070716306 | 1.2090687 | 0.00123 | 0.020801254 | 0.056342565 | 0.057748616 | 1.0249554 | 0.00149 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.699106E-5 | 4.1696234E-4 | 4.7931633 | 3.3E-4 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.7276567E-4 | 8.825756E-4 | 2.3676417 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004529006 | 0.0052556996 | 1.1604533 | 7.3E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.043979827 | 0.044849806 | 1.0197814 | 9.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.4636355E-5 | 2.8462213E-4 | 4.403437 | 2.2E-4 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.769836E-4 | 5.868977E-4 | 2.1188898 | 3.1E-4 | 0.001152546 | 0.0033670675 | 0.003805586 | 1.1302375 | 4.4E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.03291889 | 0.03343144 | 1.0155702 | 5.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.3767173E-5 | 2.037591E-4 | 3.7896564 | 1.5E-4 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.3041041E-4 | 4.2036662E-4 | 1.8244256 | 1.9E-4 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0028016411 | 0.0030808568 | 1.0996615 | 2.8E-4 | 0.009081938 | 0.027534375 | 0.027845563 | 1.0113019 | 3.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.982527E-5 | 1.4982089E-4 | 3.7619555 | 1.1E-4 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.7066857E-4 | 3.1064468E-4 | 1.8201634 | 1.4E-4 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0020759108 | 0.0022754958 | 1.0961432 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0072614877 | 0.020648196 | 0.020863654 | 1.0104346 | 2.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.2436372E-5 | 1.2243346E-4 | 3.774573 | 9.0E-5 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3900561E-4 | 2.5898893E-4 | 1.8631544 | 1.2E-4 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016910806 | 0.001840827 | 1.0885507 | 1.5E-4 | 0.006183513 | 0.016916346 | 0.017083472 | 1.0098795 | 1.7E-4 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 9.533127E-6 | 1.9533032E-5 | 2.0489638 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1860664E-5 | 4.085562E-5 | 5.085521E-5 | 1.2447543 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.973038E-4 | 5.172938E-4 | 1.0401969 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002658026 | 0.005195693 | 0.0052255373 | 1.005744 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 3.012707E-6 | 1.3012677E-5 | 4.319264 | 1.0E-5 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.2911538E-5 | 2.2911408E-5 | 1.7744911 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.5718667E-4 | 1.7718352E-4 | 1.1272173 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0017137558 | 0.0017337215 | 1.0116503 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 6.415093E-8 | 6.415093E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.7493252E-7 | 2.7493252E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.3472986E-6 | 3.3472986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.5102283E-5 | 3.5102283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3821177E-4 | 0.001697864 | 7.12754 | 0.00146 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010205031 | 0.0030084723 | 2.9480286 | 0.00199 | 0.004329778 | 0.012353741 | 0.0152080385 | 1.2310473 | 0.00289 | 0.042463828 | 0.114372626 | 0.11768487 | 1.0289601 | 0.00374 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3821177E-4 | 0.001697864 | 7.12754 | 0.00146 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010205031 | 0.0030084723 | 2.9480286 | 0.00199 | 0.004329778 | 0.012353741 | 0.0152080385 | 1.2310473 | 0.00289 | 0.042463828 | 0.114372626 | 0.11768487 | 1.0289601 | 0.00374 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3821177E-4 | 0.001697864 | 7.12754 | 0.00146 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010205031 | 0.0030084723 | 2.9480286 | 0.00199 | 0.004329778 | 0.012353741 | 0.0152080385 | 1.2310473 | 0.00289 | 0.042463828 | 0.114372626 | 0.11768487 | 1.0289601 | 0.00374 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3821177E-4 | 0.001697864 | 7.12754 | 0.00146 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010205031 | 0.0030084723 | 2.9480286 | 0.00199 | 0.004329778 | 0.012353741 | 0.0152080385 | 1.2310473 | 0.00289 | 0.042463828 | 0.114372626 | 0.11768487 | 1.0289601 | 0.00374 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3376347E-4 | 0.0016934222 | 7.244169 | 0.00146 | 3.4534236E-4 | 0.0010014583 | 0.0029894654 | 2.9851124 | 0.00199 | 0.0041964394 | 0.012124806 | 0.014979765 | 1.2354643 | 0.00289 | 0.041180745 | 0.112348005 | 0.11566782 | 1.0295495 | 0.00374 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3376347E-4 | 0.0016934222 | 7.244169 | 0.00146 | 3.4534236E-4 | 0.0010014583 | 0.0029894654 | 2.9851124 | 0.00199 | 0.0041964394 | 0.012124806 | 0.014979765 | 1.2354643 | 0.00289 | 0.041180745 | 0.112348005 | 0.11566782 | 1.0295495 | 0.00374 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2617403E-4 | 0.0016858438 | 7.453746 | 0.00146 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.6895953E-4 | 0.0029570314 | 3.0517592 | 0.00199 | 0.0039678677 | 0.0117338365 | 0.014570161 | 1.2417217 | 0.00287 | 0.03897764 | 0.10887665 | 0.11218272 | 1.0303652 | 0.00371 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.2292344E-4 | 0.001682598 | 7.5478735 | 0.00146 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.5503865E-4 | 0.0029431381 | 3.0816953 | 0.00199 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011566157 | 0.014393078 | 1.2444131 | 0.00286 | 0.038081564 | 0.1073844 | 0.11068708 | 1.0307556 | 0.0037 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.213865E-4 | 0.0016810633 | 7.593342 | 0.00146 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.484566E-4 | 0.002936569 | 3.0961556 | 0.00199 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011486871 | 0.014314018 | 1.2461199 | 0.00286 | 0.03774495 | 0.106683455 | 0.10998873 | 1.030982 | 0.0037 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1906683E-4 | 0.001678747 | 7.6631727 | 0.00146 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.385224E-4 | 0.0029266546 | 3.1183643 | 0.00199 | 0.003789323 | 0.011367191 | 0.01419468 | 1.2487413 | 0.00286 | 0.037253562 | 0.10562943 | 0.108938605 | 1.0313281 | 0.0037 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1488908E-4 | 0.0016745754 | 7.7927427 | 0.00146 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.2063047E-4 | 0.0029087984 | 3.1595721 | 0.00199 | 0.003699303 | 0.011151604 | 0.013979711 | 1.2536054 | 0.00286 | 0.03638325 | 0.10372872 | 0.10703596 | 1.0318836 | 0.00369 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.1323474E-4 | 0.0016729234 | 7.845454 | 0.00146 | 3.0118722E-4 | 9.135454E-4 | 0.0029017273 | 3.1763363 | 0.00199 | 0.0036607897 | 0.011066224 | 0.013894575 | 1.2555841 | 0.00286 | 0.036010686 | 0.10296842 | 0.106278464 | 1.0321462 | 0.00369 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0928436E-4 | 0.0016689788 | 7.974694 | 0.00146 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.9662697E-4 | 0.0028848427 | 3.2174392 | 0.00199 | 0.003567883 | 0.010862311 | 0.013691246 | 1.2604357 | 0.00286 | 0.035111405 | 0.1011513 | 0.104468055 | 1.0327901 | 0.00369 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 2.0149502E-4 | 0.0016212089 | 8.045901 | 0.00142 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.6326647E-4 | 0.002781609 | 3.2221904 | 0.00192 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010460117 | 0.013201143 | 1.2620454 | 0.00277 | 0.033966612 | 0.09762835 | 0.10085884 | 1.0330896 | 0.00358 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.5049132E-4 | 0.0011403423 | 7.5774627 | 9.9E-4 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.4480427E-4 | 0.0019839404 | 3.07681 | 0.00134 | 0.002660276 | 0.007822434 | 0.009707572 | 1.2409911 | 0.0019 | 0.02628654 | 0.07441446 | 0.076598845 | 1.0293542 | 0.00236 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1442539E-4 | 6.8436016E-4 | 5.9808416 | 5.7E-4 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.903027E-4 | 0.0013099007 | 2.6716163 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0020487092 | 0.00595317 | 0.0070665022 | 1.187015 | 0.00112 | 0.020299247 | 0.05738615 | 0.058668103 | 1.0223391 | 0.00136 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.7665365E-5 | 3.676408E-4 | 4.1936836 | 2.8E-4 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.7565472E-4 | 8.1548945E-4 | 2.1708484 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0015564259 | 0.004564032 | 0.0051812027 | 1.1352248 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.0444042 | 0.045159124 | 1.0170012 | 7.9E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.58974E-5 | 2.358862E-4 | 3.579598 | 1.7E-4 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.823869E-4 | 5.223191E-4 | 1.8496578 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0034326462 | 0.0037615134 | 1.0958058 | 3.3E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.033645257 | 0.034041464 | 1.011776 | 4.1E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.7805013E-5 | 2.0779634E-4 | 3.5947807 | 1.5E-4 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.4771228E-4 | 4.376652E-4 | 1.7668289 | 1.9E-4 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0030117293 | 0.003290886 | 1.0926899 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.029671513 | 0.029982017 | 1.0104648 | 3.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.3426073E-5 | 1.534213E-4 | 3.5329304 | 1.1E-4 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.8609848E-4 | 3.2607242E-4 | 1.7521499 | 1.4E-4 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.002263396 | 0.0024629433 | 1.0881628 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.022568934 | 0.022783969 | 1.0095279 | 2.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.1306437E-5 | 1.2130362E-4 | 3.8747182 | 9.0E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.3416355E-4 | 2.5414745E-4 | 1.8943107 | 1.2E-4 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0016322185 | 0.0017819736 | 1.0917494 | 1.5E-4 | 0.005933798 | 0.01638973 | 0.016556945 | 1.0102024 | 1.7E-4 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.853632E-6 | 1.7853554E-5 | 2.273286 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.365799E-5 | 4.3657656E-5 | 1.2970963 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2701119E-4 | 4.0970914E-4 | 4.2970094E-4 | 1.0487951 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0043569603 | 0.0043868297 | 1.0068555 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.9593311E-6 | 1.2959302E-5 | 4.379132 | 1.0E-5 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.2682787E-5 | 2.268266E-5 | 1.7884603 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.5440203E-4 | 1.7439896E-4 | 1.129512 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0017156686 | 0.0017356343 | 1.0116372 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.4891963E-7 | 3.4891963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.495369E-6 | 1.495369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.8205981E-5 | 1.8205981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 2.141339E-4 | 2.141339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0522307E-4 | 8.250644E-4 | 2.703152 | 5.2E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0013074697 | 0.0020764628 | 1.5881538 | 7.7E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015807303 | 0.01687023 | 1.0672429 | 0.00108 | 0.06234337 | 0.14500658 | 0.14611807 | 1.0076652 | 0.0013 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0522307E-4 | 8.250644E-4 | 2.703152 | 5.2E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0013074697 | 0.0020764628 | 1.5881538 | 7.7E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015807303 | 0.01687023 | 1.0672429 | 0.00108 | 0.06234337 | 0.14500658 | 0.14611807 | 1.0076652 | 0.0013 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0522307E-4 | 8.250644E-4 | 2.703152 | 5.2E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0013074697 | 0.0020764628 | 1.5881538 | 7.7E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015807303 | 0.01687023 | 1.0672429 | 0.00108 | 0.06234337 | 0.14500658 | 0.14611807 | 1.0076652 | 0.0013 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.9305476E-4 | 8.129024E-4 | 2.7738924 | 5.2E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012553706 | 0.002024404 | 1.6125947 | 7.7E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.015181955 | 0.016245559 | 1.070057 | 0.00108 | 0.059286322 | 0.13971697 | 0.14083533 | 1.0080045 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.9305476E-4 | 8.129024E-4 | 2.7738924 | 5.2E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012553706 | 0.002024404 | 1.6125947 | 7.7E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.015181955 | 0.016245559 | 1.070057 | 0.00108 | 0.059286322 | 0.13971697 | 0.14083533 | 1.0080045 | 0.0013 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.730984E-4 | 7.929564E-4 | 2.9035554 | 5.2E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.001169922 | 0.0019390212 | 1.6573936 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.014155474 | 0.015220186 | 1.0752156 | 0.00108 | 0.05425003 | 0.1309371 | 0.13206689 | 1.0086285 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5546507E-4 | 7.753322E-4 | 3.0349832 | 5.2E-4 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.001094415 | 0.0018635723 | 1.7028023 | 7.7E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.013247539 | 0.014313232 | 1.0804446 | 0.00108 | 0.049677886 | 0.12301691 | 0.12415698 | 1.0092677 | 0.0013 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3609128E-4 | 7.559685E-4 | 3.202018 | 5.2E-4 | 3.7524657E-4 | 0.0010114501 | 0.0017806712 | 1.7605133 | 7.7E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.012249032 | 0.013305926 | 1.0862838 | 0.00107 | 0.04466656 | 0.11435875 | 0.115501225 | 1.0099903 | 0.00129 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.3165431E-4 | 7.5153384E-4 | 3.244204 | 5.2E-4 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.92449E-4 | 0.0017616849 | 1.7750884 | 7.7E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.012020263 | 0.013077402 | 1.0879464 | 0.00107 | 0.043698758 | 0.112363644 | 0.113508694 | 1.0101906 | 0.00129 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7506105E-4 | 6.8497175E-4 | 3.9127595 | 5.1E-4 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.5004675E-4 | 0.0014794993 | 1.9725426 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.009093801 | 0.010104525 | 1.1111443 | 0.00102 | 0.031450346 | 0.08605546 | 0.08718875 | 1.0131693 | 0.00124 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6930715E-4 | 6.7922083E-4 | 4.011767 | 5.1E-4 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.2540116E-4 | 0.0014448789 | 1.9918343 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008796199 | 0.009797315 | 1.1138123 | 0.00101 | 0.03011414 | 0.08336374 | 0.08449121 | 1.0135247 | 0.00123 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.634496E-4 | 6.7336624E-4 | 4.119718 | 5.1E-4 | 2.4056983E-4 | 7.00311E-4 | 0.0014198067 | 2.0273945 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008493143 | 0.0094945645 | 1.1179094 | 0.00101 | 0.028868021 | 0.08064567 | 0.08177648 | 1.0140219 | 0.00123 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4940699E-4 | 6.593308E-4 | 4.4129853 | 5.1E-4 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.401589E-4 | 0.001359698 | 2.1240008 | 7.2E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.007766191 | 0.008768347 | 1.1290408 | 0.00101 | 0.025707912 | 0.07406076 | 0.07519967 | 1.015378 | 0.00123 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.4125448E-4 | 6.5118243E-4 | 4.609995 | 5.1E-4 | 2.0317009E-4 | 6.052362E-4 | 0.0013248004 | 2.188898 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0073439456 | 0.008346528 | 1.1365182 | 0.00101 | 0.024434982 | 0.07030824 | 0.07145176 | 1.0162644 | 0.00123 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3526391E-4 | 6.451949E-4 | 4.769897 | 5.1E-4 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.7957397E-4 | 0.0012991567 | 2.2415717 | 7.2E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.007033567 | 0.008036463 | 1.1425872 | 0.00101 | 0.023491086 | 0.06754082 | 0.068687744 | 1.0169812 | 0.00123 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.275303E-4 | 6.2746654E-4 | 4.920137 | 5.0E-4 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.4644427E-4 | 0.0012460618 | 2.280309 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.00663274 | 0.0076161735 | 1.1482695 | 9.9E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.06391239 | 0.06504506 | 1.0177221 | 0.00121 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 1.0192191E-4 | 3.4189745E-4 | 3.3545039 | 2.4E-4 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.367352E-4 | 7.8658236E-4 | 1.801051 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005304315 | 0.005831504 | 1.0993886 | 5.3E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.05159244 | 0.052256327 | 1.0128679 | 7.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.57974E-5 | 2.4578368E-4 | 2.8646984 | 1.6E-4 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.6765134E-4 | 5.875705E-4 | 1.598173 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0014764034 | 0.0044669784 | 0.0047755935 | 1.0690881 | 3.1E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.04374288 | 0.04412538 | 1.0087444 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.7717224E-5 | 2.2770556E-4 | 2.929924 | 1.5E-4 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.3303132E-4 | 5.2296807E-4 | 1.5703269 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0013673597 | 0.004047125 | 0.0043259915 | 1.0689049 | 2.8E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.039815616 | 0.040132478 | 1.0079582 | 3.3E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 6.044065E-5 | 1.70434E-4 | 2.8198574 | 1.1E-4 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.5900564E-4 | 3.989694E-4 | 1.5403887 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0031488375 | 0.0033482076 | 1.0633155 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.0313132 | 0.031535998 | 1.0071151 | 2.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.275854E-5 | 1.2275559E-4 | 3.7472851 | 9.0E-5 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.403862E-4 | 2.6036936E-4 | 1.8546648 | 1.2E-4 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0017078631 | 0.0018576069 | 1.087679 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01719279 | 0.017369695 | 1.0102895 | 1.8E-4 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 8.354661E-6 | 1.8354578E-5 | 2.1969266 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.58052E-5 | 4.580484E-5 | 1.279279 | 1.0E-5 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.3584127E-4 | 4.5583255E-4 | 1.0458683 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002563781 | 0.0046507744 | 0.004680635 | 1.0064205 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 3.1534594E-6 | 1.3153428E-5 | 4.1711106 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.3514756E-5 | 2.351462E-5 | 1.7399219 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.6452977E-4 | 1.8452649E-4 | 1.1215385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0018339006 | 0.0018538638 | 1.0108857 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.5434815E-7 | 3.5434815E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.5186341E-6 | 1.5186341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.8489229E-5 | 1.8489229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.1749511E-4 | 2.1749511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.2366908E-4 | 5.336011E-4 | 1.6486008 | 2.1E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013864217 | 0.0017059781 | 1.23049 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016750587 | 0.017173385 | 1.0252408 | 4.3E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15334196 | 0.15382457 | 1.0031471 | 5.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.2366908E-4 | 5.336011E-4 | 1.6486008 | 2.1E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013864217 | 0.0017059781 | 1.23049 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016750587 | 0.017173385 | 1.0252408 | 4.3E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15334196 | 0.15382457 | 1.0031471 | 5.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.2366908E-4 | 5.336011E-4 | 1.6486008 | 2.1E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013864217 | 0.0017059781 | 1.23049 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016750587 | 0.017173385 | 1.0252408 | 4.3E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15334196 | 0.15382457 | 1.0031471 | 5.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.1268035E-4 | 5.226147E-4 | 1.6714025 | 2.1E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013393762 | 0.0016589476 | 1.2385972 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.016186422 | 0.016609462 | 1.0261354 | 4.3E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14865606 | 0.14914131 | 1.0032643 | 5.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.1268035E-4 | 5.226147E-4 | 1.6714025 | 2.1E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013393762 | 0.0016589476 | 1.2385972 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.016186422 | 0.016609462 | 1.0261354 | 4.3E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14865606 | 0.14914131 | 1.0032643 | 5.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.9676995E-4 | 5.0670764E-4 | 1.7074088 | 2.1E-4 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012712566 | 0.0015908497 | 1.2513994 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015368994 | 0.015792387 | 1.0275484 | 4.3E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.14180528 | 0.14229444 | 1.0034496 | 5.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.6101735E-4 | 4.7096255E-4 | 1.8043342 | 2.1E-4 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0011181686 | 0.0014378108 | 1.2858622 | 3.2E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.013529385 | 0.0139535675 | 1.0313526 | 4.3E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.12606156 | 0.1265597 | 1.0039515 | 5.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.4231263E-4 | 4.5226174E-4 | 1.866439 | 2.1E-4 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010380708 | 0.0013577386 | 1.3079442 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012565718 | 0.0129903145 | 1.0337901 | 4.3E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.11788996 | 0.118392766 | 1.0042651 | 5.7E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.274708E-4 | 4.3742303E-4 | 1.9229854 | 2.1E-4 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.745114E-4 | 0.0012941995 | 1.3280497 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011800414 | 0.01222534 | 1.0360094 | 4.3E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.11129087 | 0.11179744 | 1.0045518 | 5.7E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.2199657E-4 | 4.3194994E-4 | 1.9457506 | 2.1E-4 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.5106766E-4 | 0.0012707633 | 1.336144 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011518035 | 0.011943082 | 1.0369028 | 4.3E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.108876675 | 0.10938461 | 1.0046653 | 5.7E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.152208E-4 | 4.2517562E-4 | 1.9755322 | 2.1E-4 | 3.900265E-4 | 9.2204945E-4 | 0.0012317636 | 1.3358976 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.01116841 | 0.011583719 | 1.037186 | 4.2E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.105845064 | 0.106345795 | 1.0047307 | 5.6E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0691552E-4 | 4.1687206E-4 | 2.0146968 | 2.1E-4 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.8648E-4 | 0.0011962052 | 1.3493876 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010739695 | 0.011155184 | 1.0386872 | 4.2E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.10214185 | 0.10264465 | 1.0049226 | 5.6E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.9086205E-4 | 4.0082197E-4 | 2.1000612 | 2.1E-4 | 3.4636928E-4 | 8.177239E-4 | 0.0011274704 | 1.3787911 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.00991046 | 0.010326297 | 1.0419595 | 4.2E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.09484488 | 0.09535176 | 1.0053444 | 5.6E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.8017837E-4 | 3.9014054E-4 | 2.1653018 | 2.1E-4 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.7196455E-4 | 0.0010817252 | 1.4012629 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009358255 | 0.0097743245 | 1.0444602 | 4.2E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.090079844 | 0.0905894 | 1.0056567 | 5.6E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.7228584E-4 | 3.8224965E-4 | 2.2186944 | 2.1E-4 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.3815905E-4 | 0.0010479302 | 1.4196537 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008950129 | 0.00936637 | 1.0465066 | 4.2E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.08651436 | 0.08702592 | 1.0059129 | 5.6E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.6507528E-4 | 3.750406E-4 | 2.271937 | 2.1E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 7.072737E-4 | 0.0010170545 | 1.4379927 | 3.1E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.008577123 | 0.008993521 | 1.0485475 | 4.2E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.0832067 | 0.0837201 | 1.0061703 | 5.6E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.6071687E-4 | 3.7068312E-4 | 2.3064356 | 2.1E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.8860484E-4 | 9.983914E-4 | 1.4498756 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008351595 | 0.008768088 | 1.0498698 | 4.2E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.081178166 | 0.0816927 | 1.0063384 | 5.6E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4962815E-4 | 3.0960422E-4 | 2.0691576 | 1.6E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.4110593E-4 | 8.609649E-4 | 1.342937 | 2.2E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.0077775745 | 0.008095086 | 1.0408239 | 3.2E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07594614 | 0.076334246 | 1.0051103 | 4.2E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3812586E-4 | 2.8810516E-4 | 2.085816 | 1.5E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.918337E-4 | 7.817213E-4 | 1.3208461 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.007181803 | 0.0074597923 | 1.0387074 | 2.8E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.07047158 | 0.070787616 | 1.0044847 | 3.4E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 1.0204108E-4 | 2.1202986E-4 | 2.0778873 | 1.1E-4 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.3724562E-4 | 5.7718443E-4 | 1.3200462 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0053104837 | 0.0055094217 | 1.0374614 | 2.0E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.052880947 | 0.053108256 | 1.0042984 | 2.4E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.6149234E-5 | 1.4614419E-4 | 2.6027813 | 9.0E-5 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.4061739E-4 | 3.605885E-4 | 1.4985971 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0029255832 | 0.0030751445 | 1.0511218 | 1.5E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.029744396 | 0.029928744 | 1.0061978 | 1.9E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 2.01555E-5 | 3.0155297E-5 | 1.4961325 | 1.0E-5 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.6377855E-5 | 9.637699E-5 | 1.1157604 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0926304E-4 | 0.0010511437 | 0.0010711227 | 1.0190068 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.011173597 | 0.011203261 | 1.0026549 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.6478616E-6 | 1.5647805E-5 | 2.7705717 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.4204897E-5 | 3.4204655E-5 | 1.4131296 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.9465486E-4 | 3.1464896E-4 | 1.0678561 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004078103 | 0.0033087654 | 0.0033286992 | 1.0060246 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.552935E-7 | 8.552935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.462704E-5 | 4.462704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.2299944E-4 | 5.2299944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.845341E-4 | 8.444246E-4 | 1.2335756 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002930548 | 0.003159874 | 1.0782536 | 2.3E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03506503 | 0.035383455 | 1.0090811 | 3.3E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28997853 | 0.29027674 | 1.0010284 | 4.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.845341E-4 | 8.444246E-4 | 1.2335756 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002930548 | 0.003159874 | 1.0782536 | 2.3E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03506503 | 0.035383455 | 1.0090811 | 3.3E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28997853 | 0.29027674 | 1.0010284 | 4.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.845341E-4 | 8.444246E-4 | 1.2335756 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002930548 | 0.003159874 | 1.0782536 | 2.3E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03506503 | 0.035383455 | 1.0090811 | 3.3E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28997853 | 0.29027674 | 1.0010284 | 4.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.845341E-4 | 8.444246E-4 | 1.2335756 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002930548 | 0.003159874 | 1.0782536 | 2.3E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03506503 | 0.035383455 | 1.0090811 | 3.3E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28997853 | 0.29027674 | 1.0010284 | 4.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.4125482E-4 | 5.911886E-4 | 1.3397896 | 1.5E-4 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018897499 | 0.0020993531 | 1.1109158 | 2.1E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.02277123 | 0.02307417 | 1.0133036 | 3.1E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.20065442 | 0.20097415 | 1.0015935 | 4.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9652222E-4 | 4.4647776E-4 | 1.5057143 | 1.5E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012701935 | 0.0014799268 | 1.1651192 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.015355815 | 0.015661055 | 1.0198778 | 3.1E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.14172915 | 0.14206387 | 1.0023618 | 3.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9652222E-4 | 4.4647776E-4 | 1.5057143 | 1.5E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012701935 | 0.0014799268 | 1.1651192 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.015355815 | 0.015661055 | 1.0198778 | 3.1E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.14172915 | 0.14206387 | 1.0023618 | 3.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.5220256E-4 | 4.021647E-4 | 1.5946101 | 1.5E-4 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010804209 | 0.001290194 | 1.1941587 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.013075114 | 0.013381061 | 1.0233991 | 3.1E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.12290843 | 0.1232505 | 1.0027831 | 3.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.4735453E-4 | 3.9731743E-4 | 1.606267 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010596608 | 0.0012694382 | 1.1979666 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012825353 | 0.013131377 | 1.0238609 | 3.1E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.12085895 | 0.12120181 | 1.002837 | 3.9E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.4102561E-4 | 3.9098944E-4 | 1.6221905 | 1.5E-4 | 4.4537184E-4 | 0.0010325584 | 0.0012423416 | 1.2031683 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.0124992095 | 0.012805334 | 1.0244915 | 3.1E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.11815181 | 0.118495725 | 1.0029109 | 3.9E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.3468345E-4 | 3.8464824E-4 | 1.6390089 | 1.5E-4 | 4.3516833E-4 | 0.0010053989 | 0.0012151878 | 1.2086623 | 2.1E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.012172279 | 0.012478505 | 1.0251577 | 3.1E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.115418226 | 0.11576322 | 1.002989 | 3.9E-4 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.2752576E-4 | 3.7749164E-4 | 1.659116 | 1.5E-4 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.7474636E-4 | 0.0011845416 | 1.2152307 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011803181 | 0.012109522 | 1.0259541 | 3.1E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.112294674 | 0.11264087 | 1.003083 | 3.9E-4 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.2111616E-4 | 3.71083E-4 | 1.6782265 | 1.5E-4 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.472969E-4 | 0.001157098 | 1.2214735 | 2.1E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.011472551 | 0.011778994 | 1.026711 | 3.1E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.10948009 | 0.10982739 | 1.0031723 | 3.9E-4 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 2.0317391E-4 | 3.5314343E-4 | 1.7381338 | 1.5E-4 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.704549E-4 | 0.0010802721 | 1.2410432 | 2.1E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.010546419 | 0.01085315 | 1.0290838 | 3.1E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.10162256 | 0.10197292 | 1.0034478 | 3.9E-4 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.9556546E-4 | 3.4553613E-4 | 1.7668567 | 1.5E-4 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.3786855E-4 | 0.0010476926 | 1.2504259 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.010153447 | 0.010460299 | 1.0302215 | 3.1E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.09823852 | 0.0985902 | 1.00358 | 3.9E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8879352E-4 | 3.387652E-4 | 1.7943689 | 1.5E-4 | 3.7173493E-4 | 8.0886425E-4 | 0.0010186944 | 1.2594132 | 2.1E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.009803553 | 0.010110514 | 1.0313112 | 3.1E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.095179655 | 0.09553254 | 1.0037075 | 3.9E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.8256452E-4 | 3.3253714E-4 | 1.8214774 | 1.5E-4 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.8218477E-4 | 9.920205E-4 | 1.2682687 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009481604 | 0.009788665 | 1.0323849 | 3.1E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.0923071 | 0.092661105 | 1.0038351 | 3.9E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.7769616E-4 | 3.276695E-4 | 1.8439876 | 1.5E-4 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.6133275E-4 | 9.711729E-4 | 1.2756221 | 2.1E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.0092299115 | 0.00953705 | 1.0332764 | 3.1E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.090026855 | 0.09038175 | 1.003942 | 3.9E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.6020177E-4 | 3.1017774E-4 | 1.9361693 | 1.5E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.863984E-4 | 8.7626796E-4 | 1.2766172 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.008324936 | 0.008602605 | 1.0333539 | 2.8E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.081575155 | 0.08188742 | 1.0038279 | 3.4E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.05114625E-4 | 2.1510306E-4 | 2.0463667 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.504135E-4 | 5.903504E-4 | 1.3106855 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005470009 | 0.005668915 | 1.036363 | 2.0E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.054549504 | 0.054776415 | 1.0041597 | 2.4E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.7019086E-5 | 1.4701395E-4 | 2.5783288 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.4434464E-4 | 3.6431532E-4 | 1.4909897 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0029708396 | 0.003120394 | 1.0503408 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.030272873 | 0.030457122 | 1.0060862 | 1.9E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 2.0711466E-5 | 3.071126E-5 | 1.4828143 | 1.0E-5 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.876041E-5 | 9.875952E-5 | 1.1126529 | 1.0E-5 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.001080123 | 0.0011001014 | 1.0184964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.011529295 | 0.011558948 | 1.0025721 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.9963227E-6 | 1.5996264E-5 | 2.6676788 | 1.0E-5 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.5698273E-5 | 3.5698016E-5 | 1.3891212 | 1.0E-5 | 4.455896E-4 | 3.1283166E-4 | 3.328254E-4 | 1.0639122 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0035324213 | 0.0035523507 | 1.0056418 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.552935E-7 | 8.552935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.462704E-5 | 4.462704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.2299944E-4 | 5.2299944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.681554E-5 | 1.8680682E-4 | 1.9295129 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1486503E-4 | 5.648028E-4 | 1.3614134 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0033440501 | 0.005040688 | 0.0052993773 | 1.0513203 | 2.6E-4 | 0.03294174 | 0.04922316 | 0.049574945 | 1.0071468 | 3.7E-4 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.681554E-5 | 1.8680682E-4 | 1.9295129 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1486503E-4 | 5.648028E-4 | 1.3614134 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0033440501 | 0.005040688 | 0.0052993773 | 1.0513203 | 2.6E-4 | 0.03294174 | 0.04922316 | 0.049574945 | 1.0071468 | 3.7E-4 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.391827E-5 | 1.7391071E-4 | 2.0723822 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.5960958E-4 | 4.895628E-4 | 1.3613732 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002971072 | 0.0043711034 | 0.0045901416 | 1.0501106 | 2.2E-4 | 0.029316625 | 0.04288695 | 0.0432028 | 1.0073646 | 3.3E-4 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.376318E-5 | 1.7375564E-4 | 2.0743678 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.589451E-4 | 4.888985E-4 | 1.3620423 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002966728 | 0.004363046 | 0.004582086 | 1.0502034 | 2.2E-4 | 0.029274331 | 0.042810142 | 0.043126013 | 1.0073785 | 3.3E-4 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.82445E-5 | 1.5823824E-4 | 2.022356 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.352998E-4 | 4.5525955E-4 | 1.3577687 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0040762867 | 0.0042655123 | 1.046421 | 1.9E-4 | 0.02787096 | 0.04009485 | 0.040363625 | 1.0067035 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.7136225E-5 | 1.0713337E-4 | 1.8750516 | 5.0E-5 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.448532E-4 | 3.3483116E-4 | 1.3674772 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0029781905 | 0.0031177737 | 1.0468684 | 1.4E-4 | 0.022570757 | 0.029596228 | 0.029780604 | 1.0062298 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.616668E-5 | 3.6166417E-5 | 1.3821554 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.121382E-4 | 1.2213708E-4 | 1.0891657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013644473 | 0.0014043928 | 1.0292759 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014360986 | 0.013891456 | 0.013940761 | 1.0035493 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.5374715E-5 | 3.537446E-5 | 1.3940831 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.0874436E-4 | 1.1874327E-4 | 1.0919487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0013231781 | 0.0013631252 | 1.0301902 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014053487 | 0.013483673 | 0.013532999 | 1.0036582 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.2824952E-5 | 2.2824952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.7817625E-5 | 9.7817625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001328425 | 0.0011902913 | 0.0012202555 | 1.0251739 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0132051185 | 0.012164898 | 0.012204411 | 1.0032481 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.8241095E-5 | 1.8241095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.8173805E-5 | 7.8173805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011036064 | 9.513544E-4 | 9.813259E-4 | 1.031504 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010981417 | 0.009767398 | 0.009807007 | 1.0040553 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.6751806E-5 | 1.6751806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 7.1791495E-5 | 7.1791495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.737136E-4 | 8.936961E-4 | 1.0228708 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009738087 | 0.008977889 | 0.0089977095 | 1.0022076 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.66763E-5 | 1.66763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 7.146792E-5 | 7.146792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.697771E-4 | 8.897597E-4 | 1.0229744 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009698939 | 0.008938538 | 0.008958359 | 1.0022175 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.5960884E-5 | 1.5960884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.840201E-5 | 6.840201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.324787E-4 | 8.52462E-4 | 1.0240047 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009247236 | 0.008564724 | 0.008584552 | 1.0023152 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.5099868E-5 | 1.5099868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.471213E-5 | 6.471213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.875874E-4 | 7.975796E-4 | 1.012687 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00861587 | 0.008114933 | 0.008124852 | 1.0012223 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4963759E-5 | 1.4963759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.4128835E-5 | 6.4128835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.804909E-4 | 7.9048314E-4 | 1.0128025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008514405 | 0.008043839 | 0.008053758 | 1.0012332 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.45992135E-5 | 1.45992135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.256657E-5 | 6.256657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.614838E-4 | 7.714762E-4 | 1.0131222 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008205604 | 0.007851713 | 0.007861635 | 1.0012636 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.3602381E-5 | 1.3602381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.8294627E-5 | 5.8294627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.432043E-4 | 7.095078E-4 | 7.095078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007407237 | 0.0073261214 | 0.0073261214 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.1430807E-5 | 1.1430807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.898826E-5 | 4.898826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.962697E-4 | 5.962697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006005941 | 0.0061858343 | 0.0061858343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 1.001545E-5 | 1.001545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.2922657E-5 | 4.2922657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767588E-4 | 5.224587E-4 | 5.224587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573727 | 0.005439036 | 0.005439036 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.820193E-6 | 7.820193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.3514687E-5 | 3.3514687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6377716E-4 | 4.079655E-4 | 4.079655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036318225 | 0.004281493 | 0.004281493 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.654957E-6 | 6.654957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.8520935E-5 | 2.8520935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.4718763E-4 | 3.4718763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030029714 | 0.0036608444 | 0.0036608444 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.8539927E-6 | 5.8539927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.5088302E-5 | 2.5088302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 3.0540783E-4 | 3.0540783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0032287329 | 0.0032287329 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.8335945E-7 | 5.8335945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.5001095E-6 | 2.5001095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 3.0438436E-5 | 3.0438436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.4115082E-4 | 3.4115082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.947195E-9 | 4.947195E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 2.1202265E-8 | 2.1202265E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.5813756E-7 | 2.5813756E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.8822951E-6 | 2.8822951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 2.0293056E-4 | 3.229062E-4 | 1.5912153 | 1.2E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.6941273E-4 | 0.0010292736 | 1.1838722 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010533871 | 0.010751554 | 1.020665 | 2.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10220086 | 0.10244326 | 1.0023719 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 2.0293056E-4 | 3.229062E-4 | 1.5912153 | 1.2E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.6941273E-4 | 0.0010292736 | 1.1838722 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010533871 | 0.010751554 | 1.020665 | 2.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10220086 | 0.10244326 | 1.0023719 | 2.7E-4 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 2.0293056E-4 | 3.229062E-4 | 1.5912153 | 1.2E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.6941273E-4 | 0.0010292736 | 1.1838722 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010533871 | 0.010751554 | 1.020665 | 2.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10220086 | 0.10244326 | 1.0023719 | 2.7E-4 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 2.0293056E-4 | 3.229062E-4 | 1.5912153 | 1.2E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.6941273E-4 | 0.0010292736 | 1.1838722 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010533871 | 0.010751554 | 1.020665 | 2.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10220086 | 0.10244326 | 1.0023719 | 2.7E-4 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 2.0293056E-4 | 3.229062E-4 | 1.5912153 | 1.2E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.6941273E-4 | 0.0010292736 | 1.1838722 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010533871 | 0.010751554 | 1.020665 | 2.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10220086 | 0.10244326 | 1.0023719 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 2.026656E-4 | 3.2264128E-4 | 1.5919883 | 1.2E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.682779E-4 | 0.001028139 | 1.1841128 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010520188 | 0.010737874 | 1.0206922 | 2.2E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.102077834 | 0.10232027 | 1.002375 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 2.026656E-4 | 3.2264128E-4 | 1.5919883 | 1.2E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.682779E-4 | 0.001028139 | 1.1841128 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010520188 | 0.010737874 | 1.0206922 | 2.2E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.102077834 | 0.10232027 | 1.002375 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 2.025641E-4 | 3.225398E-4 | 1.592285 | 1.2E-4 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.678432E-4 | 0.0010277043 | 1.184205 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010514947 | 0.010732633 | 1.0207026 | 2.2E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.10203098 | 0.102273434 | 1.0023762 | 2.7E-4 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 2.0241318E-4 | 3.223889E-4 | 1.5927267 | 1.2E-4 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.671969E-4 | 0.0010270581 | 1.1843425 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010507153 | 0.010724842 | 1.0207181 | 2.2E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.10196009 | 0.102202564 | 1.0023781 | 2.7E-4 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 2.0208856E-4 | 3.220643E-4 | 1.5936791 | 1.2E-4 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.6580653E-4 | 0.001025668 | 1.1846387 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010490389 | 0.010708082 | 1.0207516 | 2.2E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.101807594 | 0.10205011 | 1.002382 | 2.7E-4 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 2.0139219E-4 | 3.2136802E-4 | 1.5957323 | 1.2E-4 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.628241E-4 | 0.001022686 | 1.1852776 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.010454427 | 0.010672127 | 1.0208237 | 2.2E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.10148068 | 0.101723276 | 1.0023906 | 2.7E-4 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 2.0039572E-4 | 3.2037168E-4 | 1.5986952 | 1.2E-4 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.585563E-4 | 0.0010184189 | 1.1861993 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.0104029635 | 0.010620675 | 1.0209278 | 2.2E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.10101278 | 0.10125551 | 1.0024029 | 2.7E-4 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9969372E-4 | 3.1966975E-4 | 1.6008003 | 1.2E-4 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.555497E-4 | 0.0010154129 | 1.1868542 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.010366708 | 0.010584427 | 1.0210018 | 2.2E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.10068302 | 0.10092583 | 1.0024117 | 2.7E-4 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9920658E-4 | 3.1918267E-4 | 1.6022698 | 1.2E-4 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.5346337E-4 | 0.0010133268 | 1.1873114 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.010341547 | 0.010559273 | 1.0210534 | 2.2E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.10045173 | 0.10069461 | 1.0024178 | 2.7E-4 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.9859086E-4 | 3.1856704E-4 | 1.6041374 | 1.2E-4 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.5082627E-4 | 0.0010106901 | 1.1878924 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.010309746 | 0.010527478 | 1.021119 | 2.2E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.10016563 | 0.100408584 | 1.0024256 | 2.7E-4 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.9803933E-4 | 3.1801555E-4 | 1.6058203 | 1.2E-4 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.484641E-4 | 0.0010083283 | 1.188416 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.010281258 | 0.010498996 | 1.0211781 | 2.2E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.099907555 | 0.10015058 | 1.0024325 | 2.7E-4 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.9448997E-4 | 3.1446663E-4 | 1.6168784 | 1.2E-4 | 4.0357444E-4 | 8.332624E-4 | 9.931291E-4 | 1.1918564 | 1.6E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.010097907 | 0.0103156855 | 1.0215667 | 2.2E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.09826775 | 0.09851122 | 1.0024776 | 2.7E-4 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.682444E-4 | 2.882242E-4 | 1.7131281 | 1.2E-4 | 3.51473E-4 | 7.208482E-4 | 8.8073284E-4 | 1.2218007 | 1.6E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008741077 | 0.008959154 | 1.0249485 | 2.2E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.0858068 | 0.08605363 | 1.0028766 | 2.7E-4 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.5239761E-4 | 2.7237931E-4 | 1.7872939 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.529692E-4 | 8.128647E-4 | 1.2448745 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.00792097 | 0.0081392275 | 1.0275544 | 2.2E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.07797139 | 0.07822034 | 1.0031928 | 2.7E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.05561405E-4 | 2.155498E-4 | 2.0419376 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.523276E-4 | 5.922643E-4 | 1.3093702 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0054931957 | 0.0056920974 | 1.0362086 | 2.0E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.054802366 | 0.055029213 | 1.0041394 | 2.4E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.7234294E-5 | 1.4722915E-4 | 2.5723937 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.452668E-4 | 3.6523736E-4 | 1.4891431 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0029820362 | 0.003131589 | 1.0501512 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.030401776 | 0.030585999 | 1.0060596 | 1.9E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 2.0819423E-5 | 3.0819217E-5 | 1.4803107 | 1.0E-5 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.922305E-5 | 9.922216E-5 | 1.1120687 | 1.0E-5 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010857501 | 0.0011057283 | 1.0184004 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.0115950685 | 0.01162472 | 1.0025573 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 6.012216E-6 | 1.6012156E-5 | 2.6632702 | 1.0E-5 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.5766387E-5 | 3.576613E-5 | 1.3880925 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.1366068E-4 | 3.336544E-4 | 1.0637431 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0035413406 | 0.0035612697 | 1.0056276 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.552935E-7 | 8.552935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.462704E-5 | 4.462704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.2299944E-4 | 5.2299944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0943423E-4 | 3.2940911E-4 | 1.5728523 | 1.2E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.972676E-4 | 0.001047133 | 1.1670243 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.01086982 | 0.011077537 | 1.0191096 | 2.1E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10520477 | 0.10542847 | 1.0021263 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0943423E-4 | 3.2940911E-4 | 1.5728523 | 1.2E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.972676E-4 | 0.001047133 | 1.1670243 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.01086982 | 0.011077537 | 1.0191096 | 2.1E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10520477 | 0.10542847 | 1.0021263 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0943423E-4 | 3.2940911E-4 | 1.5728523 | 1.2E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.972676E-4 | 0.001047133 | 1.1670243 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.01086982 | 0.011077537 | 1.0191096 | 2.1E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10520477 | 0.10542847 | 1.0021263 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0943423E-4 | 3.2940911E-4 | 1.5728523 | 1.2E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.972676E-4 | 0.001047133 | 1.1670243 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.01086982 | 0.011077537 | 1.0191096 | 2.1E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10520477 | 0.10542847 | 1.0021263 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.9284054E-4 | 3.128174E-4 | 1.6221558 | 1.2E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.261979E-4 | 9.76074E-4 | 1.1814046 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.0100127 | 0.0102205975 | 1.0207634 | 2.1E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.097500235 | 0.09772586 | 1.0023141 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.9284054E-4 | 3.128174E-4 | 1.6221558 | 1.2E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.261979E-4 | 9.76074E-4 | 1.1814046 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.0100127 | 0.0102205975 | 1.0207634 | 2.1E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.097500235 | 0.09772586 | 1.0023141 | 2.5E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.9089071E-4 | 3.1086782E-4 | 1.6285119 | 1.2E-4 | 3.8748336E-4 | 8.178468E-4 | 9.6772413E-4 | 1.1832584 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009911952 | 0.01011987 | 1.0209765 | 2.1E-4 | 0.046089325 | 0.09659213 | 0.09681798 | 1.0023382 | 2.5E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.900271E-4 | 3.1000428E-4 | 1.6313689 | 1.2E-4 | 3.8495753E-4 | 8.141479E-4 | 9.6402573E-4 | 1.1840917 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00467679 | 0.009867325 | 0.010075253 | 1.0210724 | 2.1E-4 | 0.045795817 | 0.09618477 | 0.09641072 | 1.0023491 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8948692E-4 | 3.0946417E-4 | 1.633169 | 1.2E-4 | 3.8339442E-4 | 8.1183424E-4 | 9.617125E-4 | 1.1846168 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004657841 | 0.009839412 | 0.010047346 | 1.0211327 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04561414 | 0.09592955 | 0.09615557 | 1.002356 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.8829308E-4 | 3.0827048E-4 | 1.6371844 | 1.2E-4 | 3.7958333E-4 | 8.06721E-4 | 9.5659995E-4 | 1.1857879 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004611638 | 0.009777718 | 0.009985665 | 1.0212674 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04517103 | 0.095365696 | 0.09559185 | 1.0023714 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.8666015E-4 | 3.0663775E-4 | 1.6427596 | 1.2E-4 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.9972704E-4 | 9.496071E-4 | 1.187414 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004551957 | 0.009693327 | 0.009901292 | 1.0214543 | 2.1E-4 | 0.044598386 | 0.09459322 | 0.094819576 | 1.0023929 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.8576653E-4 | 3.0574424E-4 | 1.6458521 | 1.2E-4 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.958996E-4 | 9.4578025E-4 | 1.188316 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009647142 | 0.009855116 | 1.021558 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04430731 | 0.094170325 | 0.09439678 | 1.0024048 | 2.5E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.846595E-4 | 3.0463733E-4 | 1.6497247 | 1.2E-4 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.9115806E-4 | 9.4103935E-4 | 1.1894455 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009589924 | 0.009797909 | 1.021688 | 2.1E-4 | 0.043916024 | 0.09364711 | 0.0938737 | 1.0024196 | 2.5E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.8406396E-4 | 3.0404187E-4 | 1.6518273 | 1.2E-4 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.886072E-4 | 9.38489E-4 | 1.1900587 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009559141 | 0.009767133 | 1.0217586 | 2.1E-4 | 0.043725148 | 0.093362555 | 0.09358921 | 1.0024277 | 2.5E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.836798E-4 | 3.0365775E-4 | 1.6531909 | 1.2E-4 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.869619E-4 | 9.3684386E-4 | 1.1904564 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004447999 | 0.009539284 | 0.00974728 | 1.0218042 | 2.1E-4 | 0.043600157 | 0.09317893 | 0.09340563 | 1.0024331 | 2.5E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.823389E-4 | 3.0231703E-4 | 1.6579951 | 1.2E-4 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.8121864E-4 | 9.3110144E-4 | 1.1918577 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009469969 | 0.009677981 | 1.0219654 | 2.1E-4 | 0.043280575 | 0.0925459 | 0.09277276 | 1.0024514 | 2.5E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.7665495E-4 | 2.9663375E-4 | 1.6791703 | 1.2E-4 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.5687317E-4 | 9.0675964E-4 | 1.1980338 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0042910352 | 0.009176098 | 0.00938417 | 1.0226755 | 2.1E-4 | 0.042091176 | 0.08987753 | 0.090105064 | 1.0025315 | 2.5E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4951042E-4 | 2.6949248E-4 | 1.8024997 | 1.2E-4 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.406016E-4 | 7.9050555E-4 | 1.2340049 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0077714804 | 0.007979848 | 1.0268118 | 2.1E-4 | 0.035888977 | 0.07686538 | 0.077096164 | 1.0030024 | 2.5E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.3643221E-4 | 2.5641583E-4 | 1.8794377 | 1.2E-4 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.845785E-4 | 7.344908E-4 | 1.2564452 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0033419547 | 0.007094052 | 0.0073025622 | 1.0293922 | 2.1E-4 | 0.03292141 | 0.07029983 | 0.07053225 | 1.0033062 | 2.5E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.828357E-5 | 2.0827276E-4 | 2.1191006 | 1.1E-4 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.2114733E-4 | 5.610884E-4 | 1.3322853 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0051154247 | 0.0053144014 | 1.0388974 | 2.0E-4 | 0.025447013 | 0.051189188 | 0.051416904 | 1.0044485 | 2.4E-4 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.515503E-5 | 1.4515006E-4 | 2.6316743 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.3635729E-4 | 3.5632894E-4 | 1.507586 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0028738547 | 0.0030234235 | 1.0520447 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017302496 | 0.029356537 | 0.02954096 | 1.0062822 | 1.9E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 2.0596359E-5 | 3.059615E-5 | 1.4855127 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.826712E-5 | 9.8266246E-5 | 1.1132824 | 1.0E-5 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0010741232 | 0.0010941017 | 1.0185999 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.011493525 | 0.01152318 | 1.0025802 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 6.012216E-6 | 1.6012156E-5 | 2.6632702 | 1.0E-5 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.5766387E-5 | 3.576613E-5 | 1.3880925 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.1366068E-4 | 3.336544E-4 | 1.0637431 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0035413406 | 0.0035612697 | 1.0056276 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.552935E-7 | 8.552935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.462704E-5 | 4.462704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.2299944E-4 | 5.2299944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.42433E-5 | 1.4424039E-4 | 5.9497013 | 1.2E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.03895734E-4 | 2.638791E-4 | 2.5398455 | 1.6E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012642001 | 0.0014739345 | 1.165903 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012613008 | 0.012849981 | 1.018788 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.42433E-5 | 1.4424039E-4 | 5.9497013 | 1.2E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.03895734E-4 | 2.638791E-4 | 2.5398455 | 1.6E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012642001 | 0.0014739345 | 1.165903 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012613008 | 0.012849981 | 1.018788 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.42433E-5 | 1.4424039E-4 | 5.9497013 | 1.2E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.03895734E-4 | 2.638791E-4 | 2.5398455 | 1.6E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012642001 | 0.0014739345 | 1.165903 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012613008 | 0.012849981 | 1.018788 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.42433E-5 | 1.4424039E-4 | 5.9497013 | 1.2E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.03895734E-4 | 2.638791E-4 | 2.5398455 | 1.6E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012642001 | 0.0014739345 | 1.165903 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012613008 | 0.012849981 | 1.018788 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.42433E-5 | 1.4424039E-4 | 5.9497013 | 1.2E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.03895734E-4 | 2.638791E-4 | 2.5398455 | 1.6E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012642001 | 0.0014739345 | 1.165903 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012613008 | 0.012849981 | 1.018788 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.4232251E-5 | 1.4422934E-4 | 5.951958 | 1.2E-4 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.0384839E-4 | 2.6383178E-4 | 2.5405476 | 1.6E-4 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012636243 | 0.001473359 | 1.1659787 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006993862 | 0.012607316 | 0.01284429 | 1.0187966 | 2.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3846282E-5 | 1.4384343E-4 | 6.032111 | 1.2E-4 | 5.6032466E-5 | 1.0219436E-4 | 2.6217801E-4 | 2.565484 | 1.6E-4 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012435096 | 0.0014532484 | 1.1686668 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006798926 | 0.012408428 | 0.0126454495 | 1.0191017 | 2.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.382153E-5 | 1.4381867E-4 | 6.0373397 | 1.2E-4 | 5.59283E-5 | 1.020883E-4 | 2.6207196E-4 | 2.5671108 | 1.6E-4 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012422197 | 0.0014519589 | 1.1688422 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012395673 | 0.012632699 | 1.0191216 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.3669798E-5 | 1.4366696E-4 | 6.069632 | 1.2E-4 | 5.530571E-5 | 1.0143806E-4 | 2.6142184E-4 | 2.5771573 | 1.6E-4 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0012343121 | 0.0014440529 | 1.1699252 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0067110364 | 0.012317475 | 0.012554519 | 1.0192446 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.3629098E-5 | 1.4362627E-4 | 6.0783644 | 1.2E-4 | 5.51447E-5 | 1.0126365E-4 | 2.6124745E-4 | 2.579874 | 1.6E-4 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.001232191 | 0.0014419323 | 1.1702181 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006691564 | 0.012296499 | 0.012533548 | 1.0192777 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.3024415E-5 | 1.4302165E-4 | 6.2117386 | 1.2E-4 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.8672346E-5 | 2.5865657E-4 | 2.6213682 | 1.6E-4 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0012006768 | 0.0014104246 | 1.1746913 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011984767 | 0.012221891 | 1.0197854 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2969276E-5 | 1.4296651E-4 | 6.2242503 | 1.2E-4 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.843606E-5 | 2.584203E-4 | 2.6252606 | 1.6E-4 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011978031 | 0.0014075516 | 1.1751109 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011956341 | 0.012193471 | 1.0198331 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.2344171E-5 | 1.423415E-4 | 6.370408 | 1.2E-4 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.575724E-5 | 2.557419E-4 | 2.670732 | 1.6E-4 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011652237 | 0.0013749789 | 1.180013 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006243344 | 0.011634011 | 0.011871219 | 1.0203892 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.221324E-5 | 1.4221057E-4 | 6.402064 | 1.2E-4 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.519614E-5 | 2.551809E-4 | 2.6805804 | 1.6E-4 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011583996 | 0.0013681563 | 1.1810746 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011566521 | 0.011803745 | 1.0205096 | 2.4E-4 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.1579997E-5 | 1.2157784E-4 | 5.633821 | 1.0E-4 | 4.975841E-5 | 9.2482434E-5 | 2.324695E-4 | 2.513661 | 1.4E-4 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0011253947 | 0.0013151809 | 1.1686397 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006039923 | 0.011240414 | 0.0114579415 | 1.0193522 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 2.0255333E-5 | 8.025412E-5 | 3.962123 | 6.0E-5 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.680569E-5 | 1.7679788E-4 | 2.0367084 | 9.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010563491 | 0.0011862118 | 1.1229354 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005742567 | 0.010554956 | 0.010703373 | 1.0140613 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.968898E-5 | 7.96878E-5 | 4.04733 | 6.0E-5 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.4378626E-5 | 1.7437103E-4 | 2.066531 | 9.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 0.0010268278 | 0.0011566944 | 1.1264735 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005578433 | 0.010262518 | 0.010401081 | 1.0135019 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.709085E-5 | 7.7089826E-5 | 4.5105906 | 6.0E-5 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.324445E-5 | 1.6323787E-4 | 2.228672 | 9.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.9138816E-4 | 0.0010212723 | 1.14571 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008919758 | 0.009058509 | 1.0155555 | 1.4E-4 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.1656413E-5 | 1.1656413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.9955102E-5 | 4.9955102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.043997E-4 | 6.080338E-4 | 6.080338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0061049396 | 0.0061049396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.927181E-6 | 8.927181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.8258782E-5 | 3.8258782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.6570125E-4 | 4.6570125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002444295 | 0.0046860664 | 0.0046860664 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 5.102715E-6 | 5.102715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.1868595E-5 | 2.1868595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.6621766E-4 | 2.6621766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015417566 | 0.0026826875 | 0.0026826875 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.3315167E-6 | 2.3315167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.992176E-6 | 9.992176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.21647965E-4 | 1.21647965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0012310036 | 0.0012310036 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.9599623E-7 | 4.9599623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 2.1256965E-6 | 2.1256965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.5880048E-5 | 2.5880048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.6764354E-4 | 2.6764354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 9.226573E-8 | 9.226573E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.9542448E-7 | 3.9542448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.814283E-6 | 4.814283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 5.0458875E-5 | 5.0458875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.5298184E-4 | 3.5295656E-4 | 1.3951852 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010837591 | 0.0012136183 | 1.1198229 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.013115463 | 0.013283233 | 1.0127918 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.124701254 | 0.12488507 | 1.001474 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.5298184E-4 | 3.5295656E-4 | 1.3951852 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010837591 | 0.0012136183 | 1.1198229 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.013115463 | 0.013283233 | 1.0127918 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.124701254 | 0.12488507 | 1.001474 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.5298184E-4 | 3.5295656E-4 | 1.3951852 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010837591 | 0.0012136183 | 1.1198229 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.013115463 | 0.013283233 | 1.0127918 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.124701254 | 0.12488507 | 1.001474 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.5298184E-4 | 3.5295656E-4 | 1.3951852 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010837591 | 0.0012136183 | 1.1198229 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.013115463 | 0.013283233 | 1.0127918 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.124701254 | 0.12488507 | 1.001474 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.5298184E-4 | 3.5295656E-4 | 1.3951852 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010837591 | 0.0012136183 | 1.1198229 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.013115463 | 0.013283233 | 1.0127918 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.124701254 | 0.12488507 | 1.001474 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4613919E-4 | 3.4611457E-4 | 1.4061742 | 1.0E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010544574 | 0.0011843203 | 1.1231562 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012762935 | 0.012930765 | 1.0131499 | 1.7E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.12167444 | 0.121858895 | 1.0015159 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4613919E-4 | 3.4611457E-4 | 1.4061742 | 1.0E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010544574 | 0.0011843203 | 1.1231562 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012762935 | 0.012930765 | 1.0131499 | 1.7E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.12167444 | 0.121858895 | 1.0015159 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.4303207E-4 | 3.4300776E-4 | 1.4113684 | 1.0E-4 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010411518 | 0.0011710165 | 1.1247317 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012602823 | 0.012770681 | 1.013319 | 1.7E-4 | 0.05652051 | 0.12029724 | 0.120481975 | 1.0015357 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.4204225E-4 | 3.4201806E-4 | 1.413051 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7578133E-4 | 0.0010369131 | 0.0011667784 | 1.1252421 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005777263 | 0.012551812 | 0.012719679 | 1.0133739 | 1.7E-4 | 0.056293584 | 0.11985456 | 0.120039396 | 1.0015421 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.409534E-4 | 3.409293E-4 | 1.414918 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7362508E-4 | 0.0010322504 | 0.0011621162 | 1.1258085 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012495696 | 0.012663571 | 1.0134346 | 1.7E-4 | 0.05604569 | 0.11936774 | 0.11955267 | 1.0015492 | 2.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3995005E-4 | 3.3992605E-4 | 1.4166534 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7157376E-4 | 0.0010279537 | 0.00115782 | 1.1263349 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0057263062 | 0.012443982 | 0.012611867 | 1.0134913 | 1.7E-4 | 0.055809796 | 0.11891711 | 0.119102135 | 1.0015559 | 2.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.248679E-4 | 3.248454E-4 | 1.4446056 | 1.0E-4 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.6336467E-4 | 0.0010932394 | 1.1348137 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011666234 | 0.011834251 | 1.0144019 | 1.7E-4 | 0.052368138 | 0.112137124 | 0.112323575 | 1.0016627 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.1887339E-4 | 3.188515E-4 | 1.4567852 | 1.0E-4 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.3769265E-4 | 0.0010675708 | 1.1385082 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0052187922 | 0.011356976 | 0.011525045 | 1.0147988 | 1.7E-4 | 0.050979212 | 0.10942447 | 0.10961149 | 1.0017091 | 2.1E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.1349758E-4 | 3.1347622E-4 | 1.4682894 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2065824E-4 | 9.146698E-4 | 0.0010445509 | 1.1419978 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005109493 | 0.011079557 | 0.011247674 | 1.0151736 | 1.7E-4 | 0.049935985 | 0.10696628 | 0.10715382 | 1.0017532 | 2.1E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 2.0702765E-4 | 3.0700697E-4 | 1.4829272 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.8696065E-4 | 0.0010168453 | 1.146438 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010745566 | 0.01091374 | 1.0156505 | 1.7E-4 | 0.048678253 | 0.10399524 | 0.104183406 | 1.0018094 | 2.1E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6915934E-4 | 2.6914242E-4 | 1.5910586 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4505792E-4 | 7.2476733E-4 | 8.546731E-4 | 1.179238 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008788433 | 0.008956939 | 1.0191736 | 1.7E-4 | 0.04114753 | 0.08636258 | 0.086554445 | 1.0022216 | 2.1E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.6559428E-4 | 2.6557772E-4 | 1.6037856 | 1.0E-4 | 3.384E-4 | 7.0949696E-4 | 8.394047E-4 | 1.1830984 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008603999 | 0.008772537 | 1.0195882 | 1.7E-4 | 0.040369697 | 0.08467013 | 0.084862344 | 1.0022702 | 2.1E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3992478E-4 | 2.3991079E-4 | 1.7145697 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.995399E-4 | 7.2946196E-4 | 1.2167029 | 1.3E-4 | 0.003493839 | 0.0072750063 | 0.00744377 | 1.0231977 | 1.7E-4 | 0.034394164 | 0.07228121 | 0.07247603 | 1.0026953 | 2.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2846461E-4 | 2.2845177E-4 | 1.7783245 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.504465E-4 | 6.803749E-4 | 1.2360419 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0066811224 | 0.0068499865 | 1.0252749 | 1.7E-4 | 0.031569764 | 0.066463634 | 0.066659674 | 1.0029496 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 9.3510804E-5 | 1.9350144E-4 | 2.0692952 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0414138E-4 | 4.0069903E-4 | 5.3064694E-4 | 1.324303 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0048676073 | 0.0050367797 | 1.0347548 | 1.7E-4 | 0.024550365 | 0.048837274 | 0.04903702 | 1.00409 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.506652E-5 | 1.4506157E-4 | 2.634297 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.3597803E-4 | 3.559497E-4 | 1.5084019 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0028692493 | 0.003018819 | 1.0521284 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017356034 | 0.029316843 | 0.029501272 | 1.0062909 | 1.9E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 2.061047E-5 | 3.0610267E-5 | 1.4851803 | 1.0E-5 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.832761E-5 | 9.8326724E-5 | 1.1132048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010748588 | 0.0010948373 | 1.0185871 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.011503112 | 0.011532767 | 1.002578 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 6.012216E-6 | 1.6012156E-5 | 2.6632702 | 1.0E-5 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.5766387E-5 | 3.576613E-5 | 1.3880925 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.1366068E-4 | 3.336544E-4 | 1.0637431 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0035413406 | 0.0035612697 | 1.0056276 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.552935E-7 | 8.552935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.462704E-5 | 4.462704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.2299944E-4 | 5.2299944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.805465E-5 | 9.8052245E-5 | 2.040432 | 5.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0593317E-4 | 2.9591465E-4 | 1.436945 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025045176 | 0.002654142 | 1.0597417 | 1.5E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024780532 | 0.024946319 | 1.0066903 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.805465E-5 | 9.8052245E-5 | 2.040432 | 5.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0593317E-4 | 2.9591465E-4 | 1.436945 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025045176 | 0.002654142 | 1.0597417 | 1.5E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024780532 | 0.024946319 | 1.0066903 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.805465E-5 | 9.8052245E-5 | 2.040432 | 5.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0593317E-4 | 2.9591465E-4 | 1.436945 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025045176 | 0.002654142 | 1.0597417 | 1.5E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024780532 | 0.024946319 | 1.0066903 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.805465E-5 | 9.8052245E-5 | 2.040432 | 5.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0593317E-4 | 2.9591465E-4 | 1.436945 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025045176 | 0.002654142 | 1.0597417 | 1.5E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024780532 | 0.024946319 | 1.0066903 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9782673E-5 | 8.978068E-5 | 2.2567785 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.7048656E-4 | 2.5047292E-4 | 1.4691652 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020737913 | 0.002213501 | 1.0673692 | 1.4E-4 | 0.019274427 | 0.020554474 | 0.020701392 | 1.0071477 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9782673E-5 | 8.978068E-5 | 2.2567785 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.7048656E-4 | 2.5047292E-4 | 1.4691652 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020737913 | 0.002213501 | 1.0673692 | 1.4E-4 | 0.019274427 | 0.020554474 | 0.020701392 | 1.0071477 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.1364245E-5 | 8.1362676E-5 | 2.594122 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3441147E-4 | 2.0440205E-4 | 1.5207189 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015748127 | 0.001635266 | 0.0017550698 | 1.0732626 | 1.2E-4 | 0.015636992 | 0.016236227 | 0.016364116 | 1.0078768 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0972973E-5 | 8.0971426E-5 | 2.6142607 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3273476E-4 | 2.0272547E-4 | 1.5272975 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016148825 | 0.0017346888 | 1.0741888 | 1.2E-4 | 0.015458848 | 0.016035346 | 0.016163262 | 1.0079771 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5155836E-5 | 7.5154574E-5 | 2.9875605 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0780639E-4 | 1.7779884E-4 | 1.6492422 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013117742 | 0.0014116431 | 1.0761327 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012867244 | 0.013042698 | 0.013151263 | 1.0083238 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3481698E-5 | 7.348052E-5 | 3.129268 | 5.0E-5 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0063208E-4 | 1.7062503E-4 | 1.6955333 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012245275 | 0.001324405 | 1.0815642 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012089936 | 0.012180011 | 0.012288671 | 1.0089211 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1902324E-5 | 7.190123E-5 | 3.2828126 | 5.0E-5 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.386384E-5 | 1.6385727E-4 | 1.7456911 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011422131 | 0.0012420989 | 1.0874493 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011320163 | 0.011365543 | 0.011474294 | 1.0095683 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0678875E-5 | 7.0677845E-5 | 3.4178765 | 5.0E-5 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.862085E-5 | 1.5861465E-4 | 1.7898118 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010784445 | 0.0011783367 | 1.0926261 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010722724 | 0.010734177 | 0.010842997 | 1.0101377 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9189785E-5 | 6.918883E-5 | 3.6055028 | 5.0E-5 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.223945E-5 | 1.522337E-4 | 1.851103 | 7.0E-5 | 9.904018E-4 | 0.0010008249 | 0.0011007248 | 1.0998176 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009859995 | 0.009965192 | 0.010074095 | 1.0109284 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.5034478E-5 | 6.5033724E-5 | 4.3256392 | 5.0E-5 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.443196E-5 | 1.3442745E-4 | 2.0863473 | 7.0E-5 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.841896E-4 | 8.8411116E-4 | 1.1274202 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006934359 | 0.007815536 | 0.007924676 | 1.0139645 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1982999E-5 | 6.19824E-5 | 5.1725283 | 5.0E-5 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.1354753E-5 | 1.2135116E-4 | 2.3629975 | 7.0E-5 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.2507426E-4 | 7.2501175E-4 | 1.159881 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049001034 | 0.00623412 | 0.006343434 | 1.0175349 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.276044E-6 | 5.927558E-5 | 6.3901787 | 5.0E-5 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9753915E-5 | 1.09751134E-4 | 2.760763 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.8390432E-4 | 5.838559E-4 | 1.2065524 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0037550807 | 0.0048292913 | 0.0049387603 | 1.0226676 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.65986E-6 | 5.4659627E-5 | 11.729885 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9970685E-5 | 8.996929E-5 | 4.5050673 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.4311745E-4 | 3.4309312E-4 | 1.4112239 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0024286609 | 0.0025383937 | 1.0451825 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.6928275E-6 | 5.369264E-5 | 14.53971 | 5.0E-5 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5826316E-5 | 8.582521E-5 | 5.422943 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.9266976E-4 | 2.9265048E-4 | 1.5189228 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0019251656 | 0.002034954 | 1.0570279 | 1.1E-4 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2740822E-5 | 6.273991E-5 | 2.7589114 | 4.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7457356E-5 | 1.6745053E-4 | 1.7181929 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011859556 | 0.0012958251 | 1.0926422 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011015458 | 0.011802121 | 0.0119898785 | 1.0159088 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2740822E-5 | 6.273991E-5 | 2.7589114 | 4.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7457356E-5 | 1.6745053E-4 | 1.7181929 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011859556 | 0.0012958251 | 1.0926422 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011015458 | 0.011802121 | 0.0119898785 | 1.0159088 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2740822E-5 | 6.273991E-5 | 2.7589114 | 4.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7457356E-5 | 1.6745053E-4 | 1.7181929 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011859556 | 0.0012958251 | 1.0926422 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011015458 | 0.011802121 | 0.0119898785 | 1.0159088 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2364E-5 | 2.2363876E-5 | 1.8087897 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.298757E-5 | 9.298545E-5 | 1.7548541 | 4.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4494513E-4 | 6.949129E-4 | 1.077476 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006431984 | 0.006511469 | 1.0123578 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2364E-5 | 2.2363876E-5 | 1.8087897 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.298757E-5 | 9.298545E-5 | 1.7548541 | 4.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4494513E-4 | 6.949129E-4 | 1.077476 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006431984 | 0.006511469 | 1.0123578 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.489363E-6 | 9.489363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0668117E-5 | 7.0666894E-5 | 1.7376486 | 3.0E-5 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.95031E-4 | 5.3501123E-4 | 1.080763 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.0049401936 | 0.0050098477 | 1.0140995 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.79655E-6 | 7.79655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.34134E-5 | 6.34124E-5 | 1.8978134 | 3.0E-5 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0674023E-4 | 4.4672395E-4 | 1.0983028 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040607504 | 0.004120507 | 1.0147156 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.6604675E-6 | 6.6604675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8544591E-5 | 5.8543734E-5 | 2.0509572 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.474825E-4 | 3.874686E-4 | 1.1150737 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0032701963 | 0.003470134 | 0.0035299258 | 1.0172304 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.859783E-6 | 5.859783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5113155E-5 | 4.5112654E-5 | 1.7963754 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0571705E-4 | 3.3570788E-4 | 1.0981 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030536822 | 0.00309356 | 1.0130589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.069469E-6 | 5.069469E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1726155E-5 | 4.1725718E-5 | 1.9205295 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6449087E-4 | 2.9448295E-4 | 1.1133955 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024899957 | 0.002642454 | 0.0026823485 | 1.0150975 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.121803E-6 | 4.121803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.766479E-5 | 2.7664613E-5 | 1.5660878 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1505449E-4 | 2.3505019E-4 | 1.0929797 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021491405 | 0.002179076 | 1.013929 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0121678E-6 | 3.0121678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2909264E-5 | 2.2909135E-5 | 1.7746274 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5716554E-4 | 1.7716241E-4 | 1.1272343 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015711902 | 0.001601143 | 1.0190638 | 3.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.618789E-4 | 3.3186053E-4 | 1.2672292 | 7.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.001121857 | 0.0012217448 | 1.0890379 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.0135736205 | 0.013701856 | 1.0094475 | 1.3E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12849337 | 0.12864153 | 1.001153 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.618789E-4 | 3.3186053E-4 | 1.2672292 | 7.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.001121857 | 0.0012217448 | 1.0890379 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.0135736205 | 0.013701856 | 1.0094475 | 1.3E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12849337 | 0.12864153 | 1.001153 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.6003452E-4 | 3.300163E-4 | 1.269125 | 7.0E-5 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0011139594 | 0.0012138479 | 1.08967 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006347804 | 0.01347866 | 0.013606908 | 1.0095149 | 1.3E-4 | 0.061695136 | 0.12767988 | 0.12782818 | 1.0011615 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.5888692E-4 | 3.288688E-4 | 1.2703184 | 7.0E-5 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0011090452 | 0.0012089344 | 1.0900676 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006316212 | 0.0134195695 | 0.013547826 | 1.0095574 | 1.3E-4 | 0.06139677 | 0.12717286 | 0.12732124 | 1.0011668 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.538832E-4 | 3.2386542E-4 | 1.2756473 | 7.0E-5 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010876188 | 0.0011875101 | 1.091844 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006172335 | 0.01316188 | 0.013290169 | 1.009747 | 1.3E-4 | 0.060036868 | 0.124950364 | 0.12509912 | 1.0011905 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.5177642E-4 | 3.217588E-4 | 1.2779545 | 7.0E-5 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010785973 | 0.0011784894 | 1.092613 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006109677 | 0.013053361 | 0.013181664 | 1.0098292 | 1.3E-4 | 0.059444077 | 0.124010995 | 0.12415991 | 1.0012008 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.4475207E-4 | 3.1473493E-4 | 1.2859337 | 7.0E-5 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010485173 | 0.0011484125 | 1.0952728 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012691459 | 0.012819809 | 1.0101131 | 1.3E-4 | 0.057545185 | 0.12089701 | 0.12104646 | 1.0012362 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.4317262E-4 | 3.131556E-4 | 1.2877914 | 7.0E-5 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010417537 | 0.0011416496 | 1.095892 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005864331 | 0.012610069 | 0.012738429 | 1.0101793 | 1.3E-4 | 0.057119697 | 0.12019469 | 0.12034425 | 1.0012444 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.4203419E-4 | 3.1201725E-4 | 1.2891454 | 7.0E-5 | 4.8068175E-4 | 0.0010368787 | 0.001136775 | 1.0963433 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005836608 | 0.0125514 | 0.012679769 | 1.0102274 | 1.3E-4 | 0.056856725 | 0.11968628 | 0.119835936 | 1.0012504 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.4049648E-4 | 3.1047963E-4 | 1.2909945 | 7.0E-5 | 4.7763053E-4 | 0.0010302936 | 0.0011301906 | 1.0969597 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057996577 | 0.012472149 | 0.012600527 | 1.0102932 | 1.3E-4 | 0.056506127 | 0.11899934 | 0.11914911 | 1.0012586 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.3665495E-4 | 3.066384E-4 | 1.2957193 | 7.0E-5 | 4.698779E-4 | 0.0010138429 | 0.0011137414 | 1.0985346 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005705768 | 0.012274134 | 0.012402538 | 1.0104613 | 1.3E-4 | 0.055614736 | 0.11727952 | 0.117429584 | 1.0012795 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.1449392E-4 | 2.844789E-4 | 1.3262795 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2541555E-4 | 9.189369E-4 | 0.001018845 | 1.1087214 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051671406 | 0.011130985 | 0.011259538 | 1.0115491 | 1.3E-4 | 0.05048634 | 0.10727757 | 0.10742933 | 1.0014147 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0947236E-4 | 2.794577E-4 | 1.334103 | 7.0E-5 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.9743093E-4 | 9.973411E-4 | 1.1113292 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00504711 | 0.010871791 | 0.011000378 | 1.0118276 | 1.3E-4 | 0.04934009 | 0.10500251 | 0.105154656 | 1.001449 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 2.0362034E-4 | 2.736061E-4 | 1.3437071 | 7.0E-5 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.723678E-4 | 9.7228057E-4 | 1.1145306 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010569649 | 0.010698275 | 1.0121694 | 1.3E-4 | 0.048228268 | 0.10232571 | 0.10247831 | 1.0014913 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.9716096E-4 | 2.6714714E-4 | 1.3549699 | 7.0E-5 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.447029E-4 | 9.446184E-4 | 1.1182848 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004799717 | 0.010236034 | 0.010364703 | 1.0125703 | 1.3E-4 | 0.046973653 | 0.09934546 | 0.09949858 | 1.0015413 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.594386E-4 | 2.2942743E-4 | 1.4389704 | 7.0E-5 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.8312953E-4 | 7.830612E-4 | 1.1462852 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040183207 | 0.008285466 | 0.008414389 | 1.0155602 | 1.3E-4 | 0.03946433 | 0.08169239 | 0.0818485 | 1.0019109 | 1.7E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.5593662E-4 | 2.259257E-4 | 1.4488304 | 7.0E-5 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.6812884E-4 | 7.68062E-4 | 1.1495718 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039388672 | 0.008104205 | 0.008233152 | 1.0159111 | 1.3E-4 | 0.038697794 | 0.08002189 | 0.08017828 | 1.0019544 | 1.7E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.303798E-4 | 2.0037068E-4 | 1.5368229 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.58651E-4 | 6.585951E-4 | 1.1789026 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0067803957 | 0.0069095143 | 1.019043 | 1.3E-4 | 0.032734364 | 0.06762541 | 0.067783915 | 1.0023439 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.2033951E-4 | 1.9033108E-4 | 1.5816176 | 7.0E-5 | 2.512653E-4 | 5.1563885E-4 | 6.155873E-4 | 1.1938342 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003054864 | 0.0062598567 | 0.006389043 | 1.0206373 | 1.3E-4 | 0.030132094 | 0.062480967 | 0.06264035 | 1.0025508 | 1.7E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.880518E-5 | 1.5879897E-4 | 1.7881724 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.805381E-4 | 4.8050008E-4 | 1.2626858 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0046232175 | 0.0047526164 | 1.0279889 | 1.3E-4 | 0.023692891 | 0.046498805 | 0.0466609 | 1.003486 | 1.7E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.364506E-5 | 1.2364131E-4 | 2.3048031 | 7.0E-5 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.2988716E-4 | 3.2986415E-4 | 1.434896 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0027952858 | 0.0029249224 | 1.0463768 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017046256 | 0.02858994 | 0.028755078 | 1.0057762 | 1.7E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 2.0610669E-5 | 3.0610463E-5 | 1.4851756 | 1.0E-5 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.832845E-5 | 9.832757E-5 | 1.1132038 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010748691 | 0.0010948476 | 1.0185869 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.011503245 | 0.0115329 | 1.0025779 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 6.012216E-6 | 1.6012156E-5 | 2.6632702 | 1.0E-5 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.5766387E-5 | 3.576613E-5 | 1.3880925 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.1366068E-4 | 3.336544E-4 | 1.0637431 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0035413406 | 0.0035612697 | 1.0056276 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.552935E-7 | 8.552935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.462704E-5 | 4.462704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.2299944E-4 | 5.2299944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 8.716656E-4 | 9.416046E-4 | 1.0802361 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0037310866 | 0.0038307137 | 1.0267018 | 1.0E-4 | 0.028586963 | 0.044560026 | 0.04467468 | 1.002573 | 1.2E-4 | 0.25176284 | 0.35092854 | 0.3510194 | 1.0002589 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.296259E-4 | 3.9960284E-4 | 1.212292 | 7.0E-5 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0014120444 | 0.0015119032 | 1.0707192 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0099994885 | 0.017096195 | 0.017214144 | 1.0068991 | 1.2E-4 | 0.095613256 | 0.15622117 | 0.1563393 | 1.0007561 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.9022798E-4 | 2.6021467E-4 | 1.3679096 | 7.0E-5 | 4.0410945E-4 | 8.1500935E-4 | 9.1492786E-4 | 1.1225979 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009877789 | 0.009996604 | 1.0120285 | 1.2E-4 | 0.048019063 | 0.095243864 | 0.09537053 | 1.0013299 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.8716583E-4 | 2.5715271E-4 | 1.3739299 | 7.0E-5 | 3.9778434E-4 | 8.0189394E-4 | 9.0181374E-4 | 1.1246048 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048322747 | 0.00971956 | 0.009838394 | 1.0122262 | 1.2E-4 | 0.047285385 | 0.09389246 | 0.094019316 | 1.0013511 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.8473713E-4 | 2.547242E-4 | 1.3788468 | 7.0E-5 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.914916E-4 | 8.9141243E-4 | 1.1262437 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009594044 | 0.009712893 | 1.0123878 | 1.2E-4 | 0.046568092 | 0.09277496 | 0.09290197 | 1.001369 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.8227343E-4 | 2.5226068E-4 | 1.3839684 | 7.0E-5 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.8093924E-4 | 8.8086113E-4 | 1.1279509 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009466717 | 0.009585581 | 1.012556 | 1.2E-4 | 0.045878403 | 0.091644704 | 0.09177188 | 1.0013876 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7898864E-4 | 2.489761E-4 | 1.3910162 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.668699E-4 | 8.667932E-4 | 1.1303002 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045870654 | 0.009296913 | 0.009415797 | 1.0127875 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04493529 | 0.09014442 | 0.09027179 | 1.0014131 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7763853E-4 | 2.476261E-4 | 1.3939886 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.610871E-4 | 8.61011E-4 | 1.131291 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045492216 | 0.00922714 | 0.0093460325 | 1.0128851 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04457213 | 0.089538164 | 0.08966563 | 1.0014236 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.7707674E-4 | 2.4706434E-4 | 1.3952389 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.586808E-4 | 8.5860497E-4 | 1.1317078 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045347405 | 0.0091981 | 0.009316997 | 1.0129262 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04443313 | 0.08928002 | 0.08940752 | 1.0014281 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.7647108E-4 | 2.4645872E-4 | 1.3965956 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.560866E-4 | 8.56011E-4 | 1.13216 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045191357 | 0.009166783 | 0.009285682 | 1.0129707 | 1.2E-4 | 0.044283327 | 0.089001045 | 0.08912858 | 1.001433 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.7393912E-4 | 2.4392694E-4 | 1.4023696 | 7.0E-5 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.452416E-4 | 8.451671E-4 | 1.1340847 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004455241 | 0.009035846 | 0.009154762 | 1.0131605 | 1.2E-4 | 0.043669727 | 0.08782972 | 0.08795742 | 1.001454 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5847417E-4 | 2.2846308E-4 | 1.4416424 | 7.0E-5 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.7899906E-4 | 7.7893113E-4 | 1.1471757 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040752706 | 0.008235664 | 0.008354676 | 1.0144508 | 1.2E-4 | 0.040013418 | 0.0806565 | 0.08078521 | 1.0015957 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.5579209E-4 | 2.2578119E-4 | 1.4492468 | 7.0E-5 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.675103E-4 | 7.6744356E-4 | 1.1497104 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004005129 | 0.0080968365 | 0.008215865 | 1.0147007 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0393371 | 0.079412386 | 0.079541266 | 1.0016229 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.5266807E-4 | 2.2265739E-4 | 1.458441 | 7.0E-5 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.541285E-4 | 7.540631E-4 | 1.1527752 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003934157 | 0.00793511 | 0.008054158 | 1.0150026 | 1.2E-4 | 0.038652334 | 0.07794389 | 0.07807298 | 1.0016562 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.495837E-4 | 2.1957324E-4 | 1.4678954 | 7.0E-5 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.409163E-4 | 7.408522E-4 | 1.1559266 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003865065 | 0.00777541 | 0.007894477 | 1.0153133 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03798529 | 0.07648419 | 0.076613486 | 1.0016904 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1792015E-4 | 1.879119E-4 | 1.593552 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6352672E-4 | 5.052743E-4 | 6.0522376E-4 | 1.1978123 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032037178 | 0.0061343987 | 0.006253663 | 1.0194418 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03157923 | 0.061313957 | 0.061445374 | 1.0021434 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.1615276E-4 | 1.8614464E-4 | 1.6025846 | 7.0E-5 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.977027E-4 | 5.976529E-4 | 1.2008232 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0060427296 | 0.0061620045 | 1.0197386 | 1.2E-4 | 0.031148417 | 0.06045424 | 0.060585774 | 1.0021758 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.710557E-5 | 1.6709877E-4 | 1.7207949 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2134806E-4 | 4.1610037E-4 | 5.1605876E-4 | 1.2402266 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002691582 | 0.0050542667 | 0.00517366 | 1.0236223 | 1.2E-4 | 0.026592141 | 0.051033262 | 0.051166117 | 1.0026033 | 1.4E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 9.053036E-5 | 1.6052402E-4 | 1.7731513 | 7.0E-5 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.8792958E-4 | 4.878908E-4 | 1.2576787 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0047128242 | 0.0048322584 | 1.0253425 | 1.2E-4 | 0.024781305 | 0.047610227 | 0.047743563 | 1.0028006 | 1.4E-4 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 7.135724E-5 | 1.4135224E-4 | 1.9809097 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7014367E-4 | 3.0578088E-4 | 4.057503E-4 | 1.3269316 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002069531 | 0.0037165314 | 0.0038360856 | 1.0321681 | 1.2E-4 | 0.020503636 | 0.03772104 | 0.03785576 | 1.0035715 | 1.4E-4 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.316517E-5 | 1.1316215E-4 | 2.6216078 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.8498048E-4 | 2.8496198E-4 | 1.5404975 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0022498125 | 0.0023695426 | 1.0532178 | 1.2E-4 | 0.015009012 | 0.023239227 | 0.023375975 | 1.0058843 | 1.4E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 2.0079162E-5 | 3.0078962E-5 | 1.4980187 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.605072E-5 | 9.604986E-5 | 1.1162006 | 1.0E-5 | 9.823717E-4 | 0.0010471647 | 0.0010671437 | 1.0190792 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.011219506 | 0.01124917 | 1.002644 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 6.012216E-6 | 1.6012156E-5 | 2.6632702 | 1.0E-5 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.5766387E-5 | 3.576613E-5 | 1.3880925 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.1366068E-4 | 3.336544E-4 | 1.0637431 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0035413406 | 0.0035612697 | 1.0056276 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.552935E-7 | 8.552935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.462704E-5 | 4.462704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.2299944E-4 | 5.2299944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gorgonio Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3542115E-5 | 6.354144E-5 | 4.6921353 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.8036396E-5 | 1.580306E-4 | 2.7229567 | 1.0E-4 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.063728E-4 | 8.063021E-4 | 1.1414683 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003980772 | 0.007047456 | 0.0071666106 | 1.0169075 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3542115E-5 | 6.354144E-5 | 4.6921353 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.8036396E-5 | 1.580306E-4 | 2.7229567 | 1.0E-4 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.063728E-4 | 8.063021E-4 | 1.1414683 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003980772 | 0.007047456 | 0.0071666106 | 1.0169075 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3542115E-5 | 6.354144E-5 | 4.6921353 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.8036396E-5 | 1.580306E-4 | 2.7229567 | 1.0E-4 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.063728E-4 | 8.063021E-4 | 1.1414683 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003980772 | 0.007047456 | 0.0071666106 | 1.0169075 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3542115E-5 | 6.354144E-5 | 4.6921353 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.8036396E-5 | 1.580306E-4 | 2.7229567 | 1.0E-4 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.063728E-4 | 8.063021E-4 | 1.1414683 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003980772 | 0.007047456 | 0.0071666106 | 1.0169075 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3542115E-5 | 6.354144E-5 | 4.6921353 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.8036396E-5 | 1.580306E-4 | 2.7229567 | 1.0E-4 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.063728E-4 | 8.063021E-4 | 1.1414683 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003980772 | 0.007047456 | 0.0071666106 | 1.0169075 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3542115E-5 | 6.354144E-5 | 4.6921353 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.8036396E-5 | 1.580306E-4 | 2.7229567 | 1.0E-4 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.063728E-4 | 8.063021E-4 | 1.1414683 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003980772 | 0.007047456 | 0.0071666106 | 1.0169075 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3542115E-5 | 6.354144E-5 | 4.6921353 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.8036396E-5 | 1.580306E-4 | 2.7229567 | 1.0E-4 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.063728E-4 | 8.063021E-4 | 1.1414683 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003980772 | 0.007047456 | 0.0071666106 | 1.0169075 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 6.987586E-6 | 1.28458405E-5 | 6.2845196E-5 | 4.8922606 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9946454E-5 | 5.505249E-5 | 1.5504699E-4 | 2.8163483 | 1.0E-4 | 3.645371E-4 | 6.700662E-4 | 7.6999917E-4 | 1.149139 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036393967 | 0.0066865906 | 0.0068057883 | 1.0178263 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 6.987586E-6 | 1.28458405E-5 | 6.2845196E-5 | 4.8922606 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9946454E-5 | 5.505249E-5 | 1.5504699E-4 | 2.8163483 | 1.0E-4 | 3.645371E-4 | 6.700662E-4 | 7.6999917E-4 | 1.149139 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036393967 | 0.0066865906 | 0.0068057883 | 1.0178263 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 5.504702E-6 | 1.12754915E-5 | 6.127493E-5 | 5.4343467 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3591367E-5 | 4.832267E-5 | 1.4831783E-4 | 3.069322 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8718702E-4 | 5.881749E-4 | 6.881161E-4 | 1.1699175 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028681618 | 0.0058720093 | 0.0059913048 | 1.0203159 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 5.4825764E-6 | 1.1251811E-5 | 6.1251245E-5 | 5.4436793 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3496545E-5 | 4.8221184E-5 | 1.4821636E-4 | 3.0736773 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8603288E-4 | 5.8694E-4 | 6.868813E-4 | 1.1702752 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00285665 | 0.005859725 | 0.005979022 | 1.0203588 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 5.4692787E-6 | 1.1237506E-5 | 6.123695E-5 | 5.4493356 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3439556E-5 | 4.8159884E-5 | 1.4815507E-4 | 3.076317 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8533922E-4 | 5.8619404E-4 | 6.8613543E-4 | 1.1704919 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028497311 | 0.0058523053 | 0.005971603 | 1.0203848 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 5.453661E-6 | 1.1220513E-5 | 6.121995E-5 | 5.456074 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3372622E-5 | 4.808706E-5 | 1.4808225E-4 | 3.0794616 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8452452E-4 | 5.853079E-4 | 6.8524934E-4 | 1.1707503 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002841605 | 0.0058434904 | 0.005962789 | 1.0204157 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 5.4422303E-6 | 1.1207403E-5 | 6.120684E-5 | 5.4612865 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3323635E-5 | 4.8030874E-5 | 1.4802607E-4 | 3.0818942 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8392827E-4 | 5.846242E-4 | 6.8456575E-4 | 1.17095 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028356577 | 0.0058366894 | 0.005955989 | 1.0204396 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 5.398595E-6 | 1.1154477E-5 | 6.115392E-5 | 5.4824553 | 5.0E-5 | 2.313663E-5 | 4.7804053E-5 | 1.4779928E-4 | 3.0917728 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8165206E-4 | 5.8186415E-4 | 6.8180595E-4 | 1.1717614 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028129534 | 0.005809233 | 0.005928536 | 1.0205368 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 5.3578788E-6 | 1.1080551E-5 | 6.108E-5 | 5.512361 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2962136E-5 | 4.748724E-5 | 1.474825E-4 | 3.1057289 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7952815E-4 | 5.78009E-4 | 6.779512E-4 | 1.1729077 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002791768 | 0.0057709045 | 0.005890212 | 1.020674 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 4.8091474E-6 | 9.812772E-6 | 4.981238E-5 | 5.07628 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0610469E-5 | 4.2054085E-5 | 1.320503E-4 | 3.1400113 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5090357E-4 | 5.118932E-4 | 6.0184713E-4 | 1.175728 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0025062046 | 0.005113361 | 0.0052128495 | 1.0194566 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.5991155E-6 | 3.4584143E-6 | 1.345838E-5 | 3.8914886 | 1.0E-5 | 6.853334E-6 | 1.4821693E-5 | 3.4821398E-5 | 2.3493536 | 2.0E-5 | 8.343615E-5 | 1.8043944E-4 | 2.0043582E-4 | 1.1108205 | 2.0E-5 | 8.340483E-4 | 0.0018082936 | 0.0018282576 | 1.0110401 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.258398E-7 | 2.1367257E-6 | 2.1367257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.967879E-6 | 9.157364E-6 | 9.157364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8307855E-5 | 1.1148522E-4 | 1.1148522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8297356E-4 | 0.0011196343 | 0.0011196343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.975575E-7 | 1.2861822E-6 | 1.2861822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5609581E-6 | 5.5121977E-6 | 5.5121977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117922E-5 | 6.710895E-5 | 6.710895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1174847E-4 | 6.759762E-4 | 6.759762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.4413725E-7 | 7.0563016E-7 | 7.0563016E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4748731E-6 | 3.0241256E-6 | 3.0241256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7956432E-5 | 3.6818114E-5 | 3.6818114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7954981E-4 | 3.7154419E-4 | 3.7154419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.1787731E-8 | 1.05189315E-8 | 1.05189315E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0518846E-8 | 4.5081137E-8 | 4.5081137E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506677E-7 | 5.488627E-7 | 5.488627E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506507E-6 | 5.708599E-6 | 5.708599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012390565 | 0.0012690193 | 1.024182 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0025631124 | 0.0052945013 | 0.0053342893 | 1.007515 | 4.0E-5 | 0.030762846 | 0.061766 | 0.061822295 | 1.0009114 | 6.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42888677 | 0.4289325 | 1.0001066 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010312481 | 0.0010612172 | 1.029061 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00214792 | 0.004408232 | 0.0044480558 | 1.0090339 | 4.0E-5 | 0.025839351 | 0.051716864 | 0.05177376 | 1.0011002 | 6.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37568232 | 0.37573227 | 1.0001329 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.2005805E-4 | 8.500334E-4 | 1.0365528 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0035069466 | 0.0035468063 | 1.0113659 | 4.0E-5 | 0.021034058 | 0.041399736 | 0.041457254 | 1.0013893 | 6.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.31610188 | 0.31615657 | 1.0001731 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.8325386E-4 | 7.1323337E-4 | 1.0438776 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014837692 | 0.00292282 | 0.002962703 | 1.0136454 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017915873 | 0.034659762 | 0.03471768 | 1.0016711 | 6.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.2745721 | 0.27463013 | 1.0002114 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.6379987E-4 | 5.937829E-4 | 1.0531803 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0024125758 | 0.0024524792 | 1.0165398 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.028739346 | 0.02879762 | 1.0020278 | 6.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.23642196 | 0.23648305 | 1.0002583 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.30305E-4 | 4.602921E-4 | 1.069688 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018420599 | 0.0018819863 | 1.0216749 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.022065807 | 0.022124482 | 1.0026591 | 6.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.19046783 | 0.1905326 | 1.00034 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5999753E-4 | 2.8998975E-4 | 1.1153557 | 3.0E-5 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0011137907 | 0.0011537462 | 1.0358734 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.013474722 | 0.013533914 | 1.0043927 | 6.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12705265 | 0.12712248 | 1.0005497 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.5533987E-4 | 2.853322E-4 | 1.1174605 | 3.0E-5 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010938484 | 0.0011338046 | 1.0365281 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.0132354945 | 0.0132947005 | 1.0044732 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.1250798 | 0.12514979 | 1.0005596 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.5355758E-4 | 2.8354998E-4 | 1.1182864 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010862171 | 0.0011261737 | 1.036785 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.013143866 | 0.013203078 | 1.0045049 | 6.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.12430613 | 0.124376185 | 1.0005636 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.4457116E-4 | 2.7456382E-4 | 1.1226337 | 3.0E-5 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010477433 | 0.0010877013 | 1.0381373 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.012682226 | 0.012741465 | 1.004671 | 6.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.12036315 | 0.12043353 | 1.0005846 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.3296708E-4 | 2.629601E-4 | 1.1287435 | 3.0E-5 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.980503E-4 | 0.0010380105 | 1.0400381 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.0120840985 | 0.0121433735 | 1.0049052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.11516185 | 0.11523264 | 1.0006146 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.7064689E-4 | 2.0064178E-4 | 1.1757716 | 3.0E-5 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.3113973E-4 | 7.711105E-4 | 1.0546691 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.008865517 | 0.008924984 | 1.0067078 | 6.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.08716514 | 0.08723817 | 1.0008378 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.5349036E-4 | 1.8348575E-4 | 1.195422 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.576508E-4 | 6.976245E-4 | 1.0607826 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.00797769 | 0.00803721 | 1.007461 | 6.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.07892726 | 0.07900095 | 1.0009336 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.3426738E-4 | 1.6426334E-4 | 1.2234048 | 3.0E-5 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.7530537E-4 | 6.1528233E-4 | 1.0694883 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006981994 | 0.0070415754 | 1.0085335 | 6.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.06944943 | 0.06952388 | 1.0010719 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.2315984E-4 | 1.5315616E-4 | 1.2435559 | 3.0E-5 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.277218E-4 | 5.6770066E-4 | 1.0757575 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.006406216 | 0.0064658313 | 1.009306 | 6.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.06398583 | 0.06406071 | 1.0011703 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.524787E-5 | 1.2524502E-4 | 1.3149377 | 3.0E-5 | 3.129756E-4 | 4.081414E-4 | 4.4812507E-4 | 1.0979652 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0049578235 | 0.0050175264 | 1.012042 | 6.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.05034669 | 0.05042266 | 1.001509 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.75182E-5 | 1.1751558E-4 | 1.3427558 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.750242E-4 | 4.1500918E-4 | 1.1066198 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004556381 | 0.004616108 | 1.0131084 | 6.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.04623534 | 0.046311643 | 1.0016503 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 7.079716E-5 | 1.0079504E-4 | 1.4237158 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3590765E-4 | 3.0338115E-4 | 3.43369E-4 | 1.1318073 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0036874146 | 0.0037471934 | 1.0162115 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.037814666 | 0.03789164 | 1.0020356 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.545026E-5 | 9.54483E-5 | 1.4583334 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.8047097E-4 | 3.2045975E-4 | 1.1425773 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0034093913 | 0.0034691866 | 1.0175384 | 6.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.034978244 | 0.035055444 | 1.0022072 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.3305117E-5 | 8.3303516E-5 | 1.5627677 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.2843051E-4 | 2.6842137E-4 | 1.1750679 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0027775967 | 0.00283743 | 1.0215414 | 6.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.028575946 | 0.02865366 | 1.0027195 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.347781E-5 | 6.347681E-5 | 1.896086 | 3.0E-5 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.4346844E-4 | 1.834627E-4 | 1.278767 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0017453297 | 0.001805225 | 1.0343175 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.018252553 | 0.018331092 | 1.004303 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.872181E-5 | 2.8721624E-5 | 1.5341264 | 1.0E-5 | 7.688579E-5 | 8.023387E-5 | 9.0233065E-5 | 1.1246257 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.7641017E-4 | 9.963906E-4 | 1.0204632 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009317525 | 0.010491175 | 0.01052086 | 1.0028296 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 6.012216E-6 | 1.6012156E-5 | 2.6632702 | 1.0E-5 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.5766387E-5 | 3.576613E-5 | 1.3880925 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.1366068E-4 | 3.336544E-4 | 1.0637431 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0035413406 | 0.0035612697 | 1.0056276 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.552935E-7 | 8.552935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.462704E-5 | 4.462704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.2299944E-4 | 5.2299944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Burnt Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1766332E-5 | 4.176598E-5 | 3.5496175 | 3.0E-5 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.0426894E-5 | 9.042487E-5 | 1.7931875 | 4.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1390374E-4 | 6.6387304E-4 | 1.081396 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.006134754 | 0.006224202 | 1.0145805 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1766332E-5 | 4.176598E-5 | 3.5496175 | 3.0E-5 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.0426894E-5 | 9.042487E-5 | 1.7931875 | 4.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1390374E-4 | 6.6387304E-4 | 1.081396 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.006134754 | 0.006224202 | 1.0145805 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1766332E-5 | 4.176598E-5 | 3.5496175 | 3.0E-5 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.0426894E-5 | 9.042487E-5 | 1.7931875 | 4.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1390374E-4 | 6.6387304E-4 | 1.081396 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.006134754 | 0.006224202 | 1.0145805 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1766332E-5 | 4.176598E-5 | 3.5496175 | 3.0E-5 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.0426894E-5 | 9.042487E-5 | 1.7931875 | 4.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1390374E-4 | 6.6387304E-4 | 1.081396 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.006134754 | 0.006224202 | 1.0145805 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1766332E-5 | 4.176598E-5 | 3.5496175 | 3.0E-5 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.0426894E-5 | 9.042487E-5 | 1.7931875 | 4.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1390374E-4 | 6.6387304E-4 | 1.081396 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.006134754 | 0.006224202 | 1.0145805 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.36191375E-5 | 1.0092248E-5 | 3.0092046E-5 | 2.981699 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8366426E-5 | 4.325249E-5 | 7.325119E-5 | 1.6935717 | 3.0E-5 | 7.103795E-4 | 5.2659906E-4 | 5.66578E-4 | 1.0759192 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0070811296 | 0.0052659907 | 0.005335622 | 1.0132228 | 7.0E-5 |
Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.20513E-5 | 4.879991E-5 | 4.879991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8020741E-4 | 2.0912896E-4 | 2.1912687E-4 | 1.0478073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021918174 | 0.0025436888 | 0.0025935615 | 1.0196065 | 5.0E-5 | 0.021703249 | 0.025196925 | 0.02527491 | 1.003095 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.20513E-5 | 4.879991E-5 | 4.879991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8020741E-4 | 2.0912896E-4 | 2.1912687E-4 | 1.0478073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021918174 | 0.0025436888 | 0.0025935615 | 1.0196065 | 5.0E-5 | 0.021703249 | 0.025196925 | 0.02527491 | 1.003095 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.4775756E-5 | 2.4775756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0034139E-4 | 1.0617802E-4 | 1.0617802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0012920398 | 0.001322001 | 1.0231891 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012142851 | 0.012853928 | 0.012903285 | 1.0038399 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.4775756E-5 | 2.4775756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0034139E-4 | 1.0617802E-4 | 1.0617802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0012920398 | 0.001322001 | 1.0231891 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012142851 | 0.012853928 | 0.012903285 | 1.0038399 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.6622109E-5 | 1.6622109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 7.123587E-5 | 7.123587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.669883E-4 | 8.7697967E-4 | 1.0115242 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0087768035 | 0.008639717 | 0.0086595435 | 1.0022949 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.6622109E-5 | 1.6622109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 7.123587E-5 | 7.123587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.669883E-4 | 8.7697967E-4 | 1.0115242 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0087768035 | 0.008639717 | 0.0086595435 | 1.0022949 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1910969E-5 | 1.0567454E-5 | 1.0567454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1046012E-5 | 4.528838E-5 | 4.528838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.21308E-4 | 5.5125967E-4 | 5.6125416E-4 | 1.0181303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0061957375 | 0.0055002254 | 0.005520115 | 1.0036162 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.1486E-6 | 7.230512E-6 | 7.230512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9207694E-5 | 3.098756E-5 | 3.098756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7724912E-4 | 3.772121E-4 | 3.8720833E-4 | 1.0265002 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047622547 | 0.0037661 | 0.0037760623 | 1.0026453 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.90441E-6 | 5.7530533E-6 | 5.7530533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875604E-5 | 2.4655716E-5 | 2.4655716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235742E-4 | 3.001433E-4 | 3.1014028E-4 | 1.0333074 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041159308 | 0.0029975087 | 0.0030074788 | 1.003326 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.77015E-6 | 5.606837E-6 | 5.606837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3300217E-5 | 2.4029086E-5 | 2.4029086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0535472E-4 | 2.9251614E-4 | 3.0251322E-4 | 1.0341761 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004046161 | 0.0029214392 | 0.00293141 | 1.003413 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.675798E-6 | 5.5035675E-6 | 5.5035675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.289586E-5 | 2.3586512E-5 | 2.3586512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.004335E-4 | 2.8712922E-4 | 2.9712636E-4 | 1.0348176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003997127 | 0.0028677098 | 0.0028776813 | 1.0034771 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.447814E-6 | 5.2622418E-6 | 5.2622418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.191881E-5 | 2.2552276E-5 | 2.2552276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8854225E-4 | 2.7454062E-4 | 2.8453788E-4 | 1.0364145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003878636 | 0.00274214 | 0.0027521127 | 1.0036368 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.128185E-6 | 4.928794E-6 | 4.928794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0549007E-5 | 2.1123238E-5 | 2.1123238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7187067E-4 | 2.5714628E-4 | 2.5714628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00371249 | 0.0025686068 | 0.0025686068 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.0913875E-6 | 4.897433E-6 | 4.897433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0391306E-5 | 2.0988835E-5 | 2.0988835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6995133E-4 | 2.555103E-4 | 2.555103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036933604 | 0.0025522846 | 0.0025522846 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.051521E-6 | 4.861252E-6 | 4.861252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0220453E-5 | 2.0833777E-5 | 2.0833777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6787192E-4 | 2.5362291E-4 | 2.5362291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036726352 | 0.002533454 | 0.002533454 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.910666E-6 | 4.7564777E-6 | 4.7564777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9616802E-5 | 2.0384752E-5 | 2.0384752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.605249E-4 | 2.4815727E-4 | 2.4815727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035994058 | 0.0024789206 | 0.0024789206 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.341753E-6 | 4.3281934E-6 | 4.3281934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7178658E-5 | 1.8549274E-5 | 1.8549274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3084993E-4 | 2.2581518E-4 | 2.2581518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033035777 | 0.0022559736 | 0.0022559736 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.9205916E-6 | 2.2559116E-6 | 2.2559116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6802427E-5 | 9.668161E-6 | 9.668161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0455034E-4 | 1.1770425E-4 | 1.1770425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020436216 | 0.0011764927 | 0.0011764927 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.0846227E-7 | 8.529884E-8 | 8.529884E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9340944E-7 | 3.6556645E-7 | 3.6556645E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0877206E-5 | 4.4507656E-6 | 4.4507656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0876673E-4 | 4.4507095E-5 | 4.4507095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4969806E-9 | 2.283008E-9 | 2.283008E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9272775E-8 | 9.784319E-9 | 9.784319E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464601E-7 | 1.1912408E-7 | 1.1912408E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464577E-6 | 1.1912402E-6 | 1.1912402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6813417E-5 | 2.681325E-5 | 1.594753 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.2055824E-5 | 8.205511E-5 | 1.1387713 | 1.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.769816E-4 | 9.169465E-4 | 1.045571 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008740649 | 0.008810037 | 1.0079385 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6813417E-5 | 2.681325E-5 | 1.594753 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.2055824E-5 | 8.205511E-5 | 1.1387713 | 1.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.769816E-4 | 9.169465E-4 | 1.045571 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008740649 | 0.008810037 | 1.0079385 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.36968265E-5 | 2.369669E-5 | 1.7300861 | 1.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.869964E-5 | 6.869905E-5 | 1.1703488 | 1.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1448256E-4 | 7.4446114E-4 | 1.0419585 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071266624 | 0.007176306 | 1.0069659 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.36968265E-5 | 2.369669E-5 | 1.7300861 | 1.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.869964E-5 | 6.869905E-5 | 1.1703488 | 1.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1448256E-4 | 7.4446114E-4 | 1.0419585 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071266624 | 0.007176306 | 1.0069659 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0180968E-5 | 2.0180867E-5 | 1.9822149 | 1.0E-5 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3632223E-5 | 5.3631786E-5 | 1.2291784 | 1.0E-5 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.31134E-4 | 5.6111807E-4 | 1.0564529 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.005302692 | 0.00534248 | 1.0075034 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.012835E-5 | 2.012825E-5 | 1.9873176 | 1.0E-5 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3406726E-5 | 5.3406293E-5 | 1.2303691 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2838994E-4 | 5.583741E-4 | 1.0567462 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052753817 | 0.0053151706 | 1.0075424 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.451038E-6 | 1.8450954E-5 | 2.1832767 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.621846E-5 | 4.6218094E-5 | 1.2760923 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4091052E-4 | 4.609017E-4 | 1.0453407 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0044042845 | 0.004434152 | 1.0067816 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4457038E-6 | 2.4457038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0481546E-5 | 1.0481546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2760554E-4 | 1.2760554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012753414 | 0.0012753414 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2079394E-6 | 2.2079394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.462564E-6 | 9.462564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.152008E-4 | 1.152008E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011514276 | 0.0011514276 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9825113E-6 | 1.9825113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.49645E-6 | 8.49645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0343954E-4 | 1.0343954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010339299 | 0.0010339299 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6214658E-6 | 1.6214658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.949121E-6 | 6.949121E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.460239E-5 | 8.460239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.457143E-4 | 8.457143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1505916E-6 | 1.1505916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.931098E-6 | 4.931098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 6.0034567E-5 | 6.0034567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 6.001933E-4 | 6.001933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.391762E-7 | 6.391762E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7393241E-6 | 2.7393241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.335083E-5 | 3.335083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.334651E-4 | 3.334651E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9533755E-4 | 3.053346E-4 | 1.0338496 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012652058 | 0.0012851806 | 1.0157877 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015316653 | 0.015336347 | 1.0012858 | 2.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14038575 | 0.14043732 | 1.0003674 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9533755E-4 | 3.053346E-4 | 1.0338496 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012652058 | 0.0012851806 | 1.0157877 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015316653 | 0.015336347 | 1.0012858 | 2.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14038575 | 0.14043732 | 1.0003674 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9533755E-4 | 3.053346E-4 | 1.0338496 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012652058 | 0.0012851806 | 1.0157877 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015316653 | 0.015336347 | 1.0012858 | 2.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14038575 | 0.14043732 | 1.0003674 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7806888E-4 | 1.8806709E-4 | 1.056148 | 1.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.630471E-4 | 7.8303186E-4 | 1.0261908 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009271444 | 0.009291258 | 1.0021372 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08743732 | 0.08749207 | 1.0006262 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7806888E-4 | 1.8806709E-4 | 1.056148 | 1.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.630471E-4 | 7.8303186E-4 | 1.0261908 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009271444 | 0.009291258 | 1.0021372 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08743732 | 0.08749207 | 1.0006262 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6695175E-5 | 5.669471E-5 | 1.214145 | 1.0E-5 | 1.569536E-4 | 2.001089E-4 | 2.101069E-4 | 1.0499628 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024339685 | 0.002443944 | 1.0040985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.023916012 | 0.023935534 | 1.0008162 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6317783E-5 | 2.6317783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1278587E-4 | 1.1278587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013723482 | 0.0013723482 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012986525 | 0.01364818 | 0.013658044 | 1.0007226 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.219685E-5 | 2.219685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.5126095E-5 | 9.5126095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011575817 | 0.0011575817 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511663 | 0.011525785 | 0.01153567 | 1.0008576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.451454E-5 | 1.451454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.220372E-5 | 6.220372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.5707235E-4 | 7.5707235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075499453 | 0.00755987 | 1.0013145 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2399098E-5 | 1.2399098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.3137926E-5 | 5.3137926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.467654E-4 | 6.467654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.006452702 | 0.006462638 | 1.0015397 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1511848E-5 | 1.1511848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9335576E-5 | 4.9335576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 6.0049805E-4 | 6.0049805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059924414 | 0.0060023814 | 1.0016588 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0299826E-5 | 1.0299826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.4141376E-5 | 4.4141376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.372913E-4 | 5.372913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.005363123 | 0.005373069 | 1.0018545 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.551882E-6 | 8.551882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.665042E-5 | 3.665042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.461292E-4 | 4.461292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.0044537922 | 0.0044637476 | 1.0022353 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2787484E-6 | 7.2787484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.119427E-5 | 3.119427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.7972553E-4 | 3.7972553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.0037911935 | 0.0038011556 | 1.0026277 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.384911E-6 | 6.384911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7363625E-5 | 2.7363625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.331026E-4 | 3.331026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033261864 | 0.0033361532 | 1.0029964 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.252291E-6 | 5.252291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2509632E-5 | 2.2509632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7402156E-4 | 2.7402156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027369629 | 0.0027369629 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.7115855E-6 | 4.7115855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.019236E-5 | 2.019236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.458154E-4 | 2.458154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024555523 | 0.0024555523 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3421094E-6 | 2.3421094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 1.0037576E-5 | 1.0037576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.222014E-4 | 1.222014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012214157 | 0.0012214157 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.432682E-8 | 9.432682E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0425775E-7 | 4.0425775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.92183E-6 | 4.92183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9217546E-5 | 4.9217546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4577874E-9 | 3.4577874E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4819088E-8 | 1.4819088E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.8042239E-7 | 1.8042239E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.8042226E-6 | 1.8042226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Joshua Tree (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4025588E-6 | 2.2915503E-6 | 3.2291482E-5 | 14.091544 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0109523E-6 | 9.820897E-6 | 4.9820505E-5 | 5.072908 | 4.0E-5 | 7.318089E-5 | 1.1956351E-4 | 1.8955514E-4 | 1.585393 | 7.0E-5 | 7.315679E-4 | 0.0011950561 | 0.0012649725 | 1.0585047 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4025588E-6 | 2.2915503E-6 | 3.2291482E-5 | 14.091544 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0109523E-6 | 9.820897E-6 | 4.9820505E-5 | 5.072908 | 4.0E-5 | 7.318089E-5 | 1.1956351E-4 | 1.8955514E-4 | 1.585393 | 7.0E-5 | 7.315679E-4 | 0.0011950561 | 0.0012649725 | 1.0585047 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4025588E-6 | 2.2915503E-6 | 3.2291482E-5 | 14.091544 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0109523E-6 | 9.820897E-6 | 4.9820505E-5 | 5.072908 | 4.0E-5 | 7.318089E-5 | 1.1956351E-4 | 1.8955514E-4 | 1.585393 | 7.0E-5 | 7.315679E-4 | 0.0011950561 | 0.0012649725 | 1.0585047 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.3325685E-7 | 1.6154918E-6 | 3.1615444E-5 | 19.570166 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1425257E-6 | 6.9235184E-6 | 4.692324E-5 | 6.777369 | 4.0E-5 | 3.825958E-5 | 8.429067E-5 | 1.442856E-4 | 1.7117625 | 6.0E-5 | 3.8252992E-4 | 8.4259565E-4 | 9.0254506E-4 | 1.0711485 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.38256E-7 | 1.5197307E-6 | 3.1519685E-5 | 20.740309 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7353801E-6 | 6.5131157E-6 | 4.6512854E-5 | 7.1414137 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3302742E-5 | 7.9294376E-5 | 1.3928962E-4 | 1.7566141 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3297754E-4 | 7.926684E-4 | 8.526208E-4 | 1.0756336 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.38256E-7 | 1.5197307E-6 | 3.1519685E-5 | 20.740309 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7353801E-6 | 6.5131157E-6 | 4.6512854E-5 | 7.1414137 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3302742E-5 | 7.9294376E-5 | 1.3928962E-4 | 1.7566141 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3297754E-4 | 7.926684E-4 | 8.526208E-4 | 1.0756336 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.3436806E-7 | 1.5168127E-6 | 3.1516767E-5 | 20.778284 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7187175E-6 | 6.50061E-6 | 4.650035E-5 | 7.1532283 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3099885E-5 | 7.914213E-5 | 1.3913738E-4 | 1.7580698 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3094952E-4 | 7.91147E-4 | 8.5109955E-4 | 1.0757792 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.094856E-7 | 1.4914975E-6 | 3.1491454E-5 | 21.113983 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6120786E-6 | 6.392117E-6 | 4.6391862E-5 | 7.257668 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1801592E-5 | 7.782132E-5 | 1.3781665E-4 | 1.770937 | 6.0E-5 | 3.179704E-4 | 7.779481E-4 | 8.379015E-4 | 1.077066 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.984801E-7 | 1.4827356E-6 | 3.148269E-5 | 21.232843 | 3.0E-5 | 2.564912E-6 | 6.354566E-6 | 4.635431E-5 | 7.2946463 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1227355E-5 | 7.736417E-5 | 1.3735953E-4 | 1.7754928 | 6.0E-5 | 3.1222968E-4 | 7.7337987E-4 | 8.333334E-4 | 1.0775216 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.94631E-7 | 1.3165521E-6 | 3.131651E-5 | 23.786762 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1198455E-6 | 5.6423546E-6 | 4.564213E-5 | 8.089199 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5808813E-5 | 6.869356E-5 | 1.2868944E-4 | 1.8733842 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5805813E-4 | 6.867294E-4 | 7.4668817E-4 | 1.0873107 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.250375E-7 | 1.1796877E-6 | 3.1179654E-5 | 26.43043 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8215881E-6 | 5.055795E-6 | 4.5055593E-5 | 8.911674 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2177608E-5 | 6.1552615E-5 | 1.21548925E-4 | 1.9747158 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2175396E-4 | 6.1536086E-4 | 6.7532394E-4 | 1.0974438 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6888565E-7 | 1.0576651E-6 | 3.1057632E-5 | 29.364336 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5809376E-6 | 4.532843E-6 | 4.4532662E-5 | 9.824444 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9247746E-5 | 5.518601E-5 | 1.151827E-4 | 2.087172 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9246078E-4 | 5.517276E-4 | 6.1169453E-4 | 1.1086893 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.2473773E-7 | 9.5213267E-7 | 3.0952106E-5 | 32.508183 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3917323E-6 | 4.0805626E-6 | 4.40804E-5 | 10.80253 | 4.0E-5 | 1.694421E-5 | 4.967976E-5 | 1.09676774E-4 | 2.2076755 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6942917E-4 | 4.9669074E-4 | 5.5666093E-4 | 1.1207395 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.465367E-7 | 6.741738E-7 | 3.0674153E-5 | 45.498882 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0565853E-6 | 2.8893132E-6 | 4.2889198E-5 | 14.84408 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2863851E-5 | 3.5176858E-5 | 9.517475E-5 | 2.705607 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2863107E-4 | 3.5171644E-4 | 4.1169534E-4 | 1.170532 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6654941E-7 | 4.257436E-7 | 2.0425736E-5 | 47.976612 | 2.0E-5 | 7.13783E-7 | 1.8246143E-6 | 2.1824577E-5 | 11.961201 | 2.0E-5 | 8.690274E-6 | 2.221448E-5 | 5.2213814E-5 | 2.3504405 | 3.0E-5 | 8.689934E-5 | 2.2212544E-4 | 2.5211877E-4 | 1.1350288 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.24214E-9 | 8.533874E-9 | 8.533874E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.81806E-8 | 3.6573745E-8 | 3.6573745E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.213488E-7 | 4.4528534E-7 | 4.4528534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134857E-6 | 4.452851E-6 | 4.452851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.543992E-5 | 2.8783985E-5 | 2.8783985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5187653E-4 | 1.2335417E-4 | 1.2335417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018475284 | 0.001500815 | 0.00153077 | 1.0199591 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018322436 | 0.015314182 | 0.015363417 | 1.003215 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.542281E-5 | 2.8783985E-5 | 2.8783985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5180321E-4 | 1.2335417E-4 | 1.2335417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018466372 | 0.001500815 | 0.00153077 | 1.0199591 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018313672 | 0.015314182 | 0.015363417 | 1.003215 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4688688E-5 | 2.8783985E-5 | 2.8783985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4865733E-4 | 1.2335417E-4 | 1.2335417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018084005 | 0.001500815 | 0.00153077 | 1.0199591 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017937548 | 0.015314181 | 0.015363416 | 1.003215 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2087122E-5 | 2.8628892E-5 | 2.8628892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3750899E-4 | 1.2268955E-4 | 1.2268955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016728862 | 0.0014927343 | 0.0015226896 | 1.0200673 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016603488 | 0.015235155 | 0.015284393 | 1.0032319 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 2.8595725E-5 | 2.8595725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.364017E-4 | 1.2254743E-4 | 1.2254743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0014910062 | 0.0015209615 | 1.0200907 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016470885 | 0.015218285 | 0.015267524 | 1.0032356 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 2.8333978E-5 | 2.8333978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526545E-4 | 1.2142576E-4 | 1.2142576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0014773685 | 0.0015073242 | 1.0202764 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0163348 | 0.015083692 | 0.015132938 | 1.0032648 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 2.8177268E-5 | 2.8177268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3485427E-4 | 1.207542E-4 | 1.207542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0014692035 | 0.0014991594 | 1.0203892 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016285548 | 0.015003623 | 0.015052873 | 1.0032825 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 2.7793973E-5 | 2.7793973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3380898E-4 | 1.1911165E-4 | 1.1911165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016279068 | 0.0014492321 | 0.0014791887 | 1.0206707 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01616033 | 0.014807539 | 0.014856799 | 1.0033267 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 2.7613512E-5 | 2.7613512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3291716E-4 | 1.1833833E-4 | 1.1833833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001617065 | 0.0014398294 | 0.0014697862 | 1.0208058 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016053487 | 0.0147141 | 0.014763365 | 1.0033481 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 2.299014E-5 | 2.299014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1417485E-4 | 9.8525474E-5 | 9.8525474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013891924 | 0.0011988917 | 0.0012288557 | 1.0249931 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0138054015 | 0.012302323 | 0.0123517085 | 1.0040143 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 2.1259315E-5 | 2.1259315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.02228936E-4 | 9.110818E-5 | 9.110818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012439266 | 0.0011086804 | 0.0011286582 | 1.0180194 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012369866 | 0.011389677 | 0.011419335 | 1.002604 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 2.1094947E-5 | 2.1094947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0145135E-4 | 9.0403795E-5 | 9.0403795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012344702 | 0.0011001131 | 0.0011200912 | 1.01816 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0122763505 | 0.01130447 | 0.011334131 | 1.0026238 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 2.0312162E-5 | 2.0312162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.735599E-5 | 8.704923E-5 | 8.704923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011846646 | 0.0010593116 | 0.0010792903 | 1.0188602 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01178369 | 0.010896689 | 0.010926363 | 1.0027231 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.9140183E-5 | 1.9140183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.006634E-5 | 8.202679E-5 | 8.202679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001096006 | 9.982208E-4 | 0.0010082108 | 1.0100079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010906163 | 0.010285545 | 0.0103053395 | 1.0019245 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.8940715E-5 | 1.8940715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.86411E-5 | 8.117198E-5 | 8.117198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001078671 | 9.878229E-4 | 9.978131E-4 | 1.0101132 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734501 | 0.0101813 | 0.010201097 | 1.0019444 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.8529607E-5 | 1.8529607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.568561E-5 | 7.9410194E-5 | 7.9410194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001042723 | 9.663924E-4 | 9.7638275E-4 | 1.0103377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010378438 | 0.009965094 | 0.009984895 | 1.001987 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 1.7160903E-5 | 1.7160903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.666772E-5 | 7.354466E-5 | 7.354466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3302975E-4 | 8.950403E-4 | 8.950403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00929122 | 0.009245769 | 0.0092556765 | 1.0010716 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 1.49422085E-5 | 1.49422085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4823165E-5 | 6.403647E-5 | 6.403647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.889362E-4 | 7.79366E-4 | 7.79366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007861412 | 0.008083078 | 0.008092997 | 1.0012271 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 1.3302536E-5 | 1.3302536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3574146E-5 | 5.7009627E-5 | 5.7009627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5207E-4 | 6.938719E-4 | 6.938719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006501599 | 0.0072199046 | 0.007229832 | 1.0013751 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 1.03389075E-5 | 1.03389075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0975072E-5 | 4.4308854E-5 | 4.4308854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.987573E-4 | 5.393274E-4 | 5.393274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049763937 | 0.005659199 | 0.005669142 | 1.001757 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 8.819552E-6 | 8.819552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4358076E-5 | 3.7797538E-5 | 3.7797538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1822926E-4 | 4.6008843E-4 | 4.6008843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041744304 | 0.0048501235 | 0.0048600747 | 1.0020518 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 6.890407E-6 | 6.890407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8036617E-5 | 2.9529983E-5 | 2.9529983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4129233E-4 | 3.5946883E-4 | 3.5946883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0038068695 | 0.0038068695 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 8.77085E-7 | 8.77085E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 3.7589302E-6 | 3.7589302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 4.576404E-5 | 4.576404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 5.160364E-4 | 5.160364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 5.495408E-8 | 5.495408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 2.3551746E-7 | 2.3551746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 2.867422E-6 | 2.867422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 3.3118475E-5 | 3.3118475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Superstition Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6865185E-5 | 1.4490041E-5 | 2.4489897E-5 | 1.6901191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8653358E-4 | 6.209879E-5 | 7.209817E-5 | 1.1610237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034829667 | 7.558071E-4 | 7.9577684E-4 | 1.0528835 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03428881 | 0.007702788 | 0.007752403 | 1.0064411 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.544851E-5 | 1.4490041E-5 | 2.4489897E-5 | 1.6901191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8046346E-4 | 6.209879E-5 | 7.209817E-5 | 1.1610237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034092965 | 7.558071E-4 | 7.9577684E-4 | 1.0528835 | 4.0E-5 | 0.033574644 | 0.007702787 | 0.0077524018 | 1.0064411 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.544851E-5 | 1.4490041E-5 | 2.4489897E-5 | 1.6901191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8046346E-4 | 6.209879E-5 | 7.209817E-5 | 1.1610237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034092965 | 7.558071E-4 | 7.9577684E-4 | 1.0528835 | 4.0E-5 | 0.033574644 | 0.007702787 | 0.0077524018 | 1.0064411 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.2402065E-5 | 1.4490039E-5 | 2.4489893E-5 | 1.6901193 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2456095E-4 | 6.209878E-5 | 7.2098155E-5 | 1.1610237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027306017 | 7.558069E-4 | 7.9577666E-4 | 1.0528836 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02697292 | 0.0077027758 | 0.0077523906 | 1.0064411 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.542238E-5 | 1.4490037E-5 | 2.4489893E-5 | 1.6901194 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9465282E-4 | 6.209877E-5 | 7.2098155E-5 | 1.1610237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023673223 | 7.5580686E-4 | 7.957766E-4 | 1.0528836 | 4.0E-5 | 0.023422617 | 0.0077027697 | 0.0077523845 | 1.0064411 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9672969E-5 | 1.4490034E-5 | 2.448989E-5 | 1.6901195 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2716366E-4 | 6.209876E-5 | 7.209814E-5 | 1.1610239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015471181 | 7.558067E-4 | 7.9577643E-4 | 1.0528836 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015363912 | 0.007702757 | 0.007752372 | 1.0064412 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6056105E-5 | 1.4148492E-5 | 2.414835E-5 | 1.7067791 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1166424E-4 | 6.0635073E-5 | 7.0634465E-5 | 1.164911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013586642 | 7.379984E-4 | 7.7796885E-4 | 1.0541607 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013503874 | 0.007523426 | 0.0075730495 | 1.0065958 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4611248E-5 | 1.3726672E-5 | 2.3726534E-5 | 1.7284987 | 1.0E-5 | 6.261813E-5 | 5.8827354E-5 | 6.882677E-5 | 1.169979 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6210906E-4 | 7.16004E-4 | 7.559753E-4 | 1.0558256 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0075950073 | 0.007303792 | 0.007353427 | 1.0067958 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.30607E-5 | 1.1308403E-5 | 1.1308403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.597323E-5 | 4.8463735E-5 | 4.8463735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8126095E-4 | 5.8989524E-4 | 6.1987754E-4 | 1.0508264 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006791762 | 0.0060454486 | 0.0060852068 | 1.0065765 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0443096E-5 | 8.497586E-6 | 8.497586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4755358E-5 | 3.6417736E-5 | 3.6417736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.447602E-4 | 4.432982E-4 | 4.732849E-4 | 1.0676446 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005434267 | 0.0045669875 | 0.004606805 | 1.0087185 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.045912E-6 | 7.0174574E-6 | 7.0174574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4482026E-5 | 3.0074476E-5 | 3.0074476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.197378E-4 | 3.6609636E-4 | 3.8608903E-4 | 1.0546104 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041894587 | 0.0037781466 | 0.0037980708 | 1.0052736 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.045912E-6 | 7.0174574E-6 | 7.0174574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4482026E-5 | 3.0074476E-5 | 3.0074476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.197378E-4 | 3.6609636E-4 | 3.8608903E-4 | 1.0546104 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041894587 | 0.0037781466 | 0.0037980708 | 1.0052736 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.375506E-6 | 6.517891E-6 | 6.517891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1608928E-5 | 2.7933525E-5 | 2.7933525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8477074E-4 | 3.4003853E-4 | 3.6003173E-4 | 1.0587969 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003841052 | 0.003515212 | 0.003535142 | 1.0056696 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.6063913E-6 | 6.062271E-6 | 6.062271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8312797E-5 | 2.5980906E-5 | 2.5980906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.446538E-4 | 3.162724E-4 | 3.2626925E-4 | 1.0316083 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034411973 | 0.003275296 | 0.0032852632 | 1.0030432 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.4313126E-6 | 5.942894E-6 | 5.942894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7562477E-5 | 2.54693E-5 | 2.54693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.355215E-4 | 3.1004538E-4 | 3.2004228E-4 | 1.0322434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033501536 | 0.0032126633 | 0.003222631 | 1.0031027 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.0742927E-6 | 5.7357533E-6 | 5.7357533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6032423E-5 | 2.4581572E-5 | 2.4581572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1689866E-4 | 2.992403E-4 | 3.0923728E-4 | 1.0334079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031644711 | 0.0031029598 | 0.003112929 | 1.0032127 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6987187E-6 | 5.5508685E-6 | 5.5508685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4422852E-5 | 2.3789224E-5 | 2.3789224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9730765E-4 | 2.8959604E-4 | 2.8959604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002969102 | 0.0030046096 | 0.0030046096 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.1658035E-6 | 5.1775633E-6 | 5.1775633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2138971E-5 | 2.2189372E-5 | 2.2189372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6950863E-4 | 2.7012278E-4 | 2.7012278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00269182 | 0.002807406 | 0.002807406 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.6864697E-6 | 4.4353933E-6 | 4.4353933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.579906E-5 | 1.9008692E-5 | 1.9008692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9233658E-4 | 2.3140678E-4 | 2.3140678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019217018 | 0.0024137618 | 0.0024137618 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.0265903E-6 | 3.7805517E-6 | 3.7805517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2971037E-5 | 1.6202266E-5 | 1.6202266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5791094E-4 | 1.9724524E-4 | 1.9724524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015779877 | 0.0020665284 | 0.0020665284 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.5271493E-6 | 3.282182E-6 | 3.282182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0830595E-5 | 1.4066421E-5 | 1.4066421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3185451E-4 | 1.7124569E-4 | 1.7124569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013177631 | 0.0017992539 | 0.0017992539 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.3749135E-6 | 3.103129E-6 | 3.103129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0178161E-5 | 1.3299059E-5 | 1.3299059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2391206E-4 | 1.6190448E-4 | 1.6190448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012384299 | 0.0017017884 | 0.0017017884 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7186406E-9 | 1.2335496E-9 | 1.2335496E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3656024E-9 | 5.2866413E-9 | 5.2866413E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9676206E-8 | 6.4364855E-8 | 6.4364855E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9676166E-7 | 6.868981E-7 | 6.868981E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Laguna Salada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6465593E-5 | 4.6594305E-5 | 5.659384E-5 | 1.2146086 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9912305E-4 | 1.9967534E-4 | 2.1967135E-4 | 1.1001426 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024216278 | 0.0024284027 | 0.0024483541 | 1.0082159 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02395408 | 0.02409899 | 0.024147784 | 1.0020248 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.982297E-5 | 3.745087E-5 | 3.745087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.706587E-4 | 1.6049444E-4 | 1.6049444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020757897 | 0.0019523612 | 0.0019523612 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020565065 | 0.019434582 | 0.019434582 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 3.6067784E-5 | 3.2792028E-5 | 3.2792028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5456705E-4 | 1.405302E-4 | 1.405302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018802295 | 0.0017097044 | 0.0017097044 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018644003 | 0.017039163 | 0.017039163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.2859112E-5 | 2.9022702E-5 | 2.9022702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4081717E-4 | 1.2437765E-4 | 1.2437765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017131006 | 0.0015133367 | 0.0015133367 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016999546 | 0.01509956 | 0.01509956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9132116E-5 | 2.5008585E-5 | 2.5008585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2484594E-4 | 1.0717576E-4 | 1.0717576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015189396 | 0.0013041724 | 0.0013041724 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015085992 | 0.0130232 | 0.0130232 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.7075037E-5 | 2.2970813E-5 | 2.2970813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1603071E-4 | 9.8443124E-5 | 9.8443124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014117584 | 0.0011979751 | 0.0011979751 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014028233 | 0.011968975 | 0.011968975 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2367465E-5 | 1.8696148E-5 | 1.8696148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5857045E-5 | 8.012435E-5 | 8.012435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011664346 | 9.751605E-4 | 9.751605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011603311 | 0.00974816 | 0.00974816 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9458053E-5 | 1.6020776E-5 | 1.6020776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.338899E-5 | 6.865912E-5 | 6.865912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001014788 | 8.356853E-4 | 8.356853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010101665 | 0.00837165 | 0.00837165 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0767866E-5 | 9.210219E-6 | 9.210219E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.614718E-5 | 3.947216E-5 | 3.947216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6169706E-4 | 4.805367E-4 | 4.805367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056027942 | 0.0048225457 | 0.0048225457 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.1384765E-6 | 1.793441E-6 | 1.793441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.164866E-6 | 7.686155E-6 | 7.686155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1157654E-4 | 9.357531E-5 | 9.357531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011152053 | 9.3539746E-4 | 9.3539746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.0952946E-6 | 1.7513586E-6 | 1.7513586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.979802E-6 | 7.5058033E-6 | 7.5058033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0932361E-4 | 9.137971E-5 | 9.137971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010926984 | 9.1345963E-4 | 9.1345963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7887576E-6 | 1.4519119E-6 | 1.4519119E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.666081E-6 | 6.2224663E-6 | 6.2224663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.333054E-5 | 7.57562E-5 | 7.57562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.329135E-4 | 7.5733423E-4 | 7.5733423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.723109E-7 | 7.148584E-7 | 7.148584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.16704E-6 | 3.063676E-6 | 3.063676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.073253E-5 | 3.7299786E-5 | 3.7299786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.072095E-4 | 3.7295156E-4 | 3.7295156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5446887E-5 | 4.5446377E-5 | 1.7859308 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0905394E-4 | 1.2905175E-4 | 1.1833755 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013269953 | 0.0013469687 | 1.0150516 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013298551 | 0.013347886 | 1.0037098 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5446887E-5 | 4.5446377E-5 | 1.7859308 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0905394E-4 | 1.2905175E-4 | 1.1833755 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013269953 | 0.0013469687 | 1.0150516 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013298551 | 0.013347886 | 1.0037098 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5446887E-5 | 4.5446377E-5 | 1.7859308 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0905394E-4 | 1.2905175E-4 | 1.1833755 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013269953 | 0.0013469687 | 1.0150516 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013298551 | 0.013347886 | 1.0037098 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5446887E-5 | 4.5446377E-5 | 1.7859308 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0905394E-4 | 1.2905175E-4 | 1.1833755 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013269953 | 0.0013469687 | 1.0150516 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013298551 | 0.013347886 | 1.0037098 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5446887E-5 | 4.5446377E-5 | 1.7859308 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0905394E-4 | 1.2905175E-4 | 1.1833755 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013269953 | 0.0013469687 | 1.0150516 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013298551 | 0.013347886 | 1.0037098 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5446887E-5 | 4.5446377E-5 | 1.7859308 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0905394E-4 | 1.2905175E-4 | 1.1833755 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013269953 | 0.0013469687 | 1.0150516 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013298551 | 0.013347886 | 1.0037098 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7887474E-5 | 2.7887296E-5 | 1.5590404 | 1.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.6658376E-5 | 8.665761E-5 | 1.1304389 | 1.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.3291985E-4 | 9.4291056E-4 | 1.010709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009391432 | 0.009411245 | 1.0021096 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7887474E-5 | 2.7887296E-5 | 1.5590404 | 1.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.6658376E-5 | 8.665761E-5 | 1.1304389 | 1.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.3291985E-4 | 9.4291056E-4 | 1.010709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009391432 | 0.009411245 | 1.0021096 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.614521E-5 | 2.6145048E-5 | 1.6193688 | 1.0E-5 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.919193E-5 | 7.919124E-5 | 1.1445155 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.420876E-4 | 8.520792E-4 | 1.0118653 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008490208 | 0.008500123 | 1.0011678 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.6016123E-5 | 2.6015963E-5 | 1.6243608 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.8638736E-5 | 7.863805E-5 | 1.1456803 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.3535764E-4 | 8.453493E-4 | 1.0119609 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.00842342 | 0.008433335 | 1.0011772 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4794854E-5 | 1.4794854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.340498E-5 | 6.340498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.7168277E-4 | 7.7168277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037367654 | 0.007790826 | 0.007790826 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4785134E-5 | 1.4785134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.3363324E-5 | 6.3363324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.71176E-4 | 7.71176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0077857934 | 0.0077857934 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.4630229E-5 | 1.4630229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 6.269948E-5 | 6.269948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.6309935E-4 | 7.6309935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036796255 | 0.007705458 | 0.007705458 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.4572412E-5 | 1.4572412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 6.24517E-5 | 6.24517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.600847E-4 | 7.600847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0076753194 | 0.0076753194 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.4531253E-5 | 1.4531253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 6.227532E-5 | 6.227532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.579388E-4 | 7.579388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036391679 | 0.007653894 | 0.007653894 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.4487605E-5 | 1.4487605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 6.208826E-5 | 6.208826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.556629E-4 | 7.556629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0076312446 | 0.0076312446 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.4445696E-5 | 1.4445696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 6.1908664E-5 | 6.1908664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.5347786E-4 | 7.5347786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036078666 | 0.007609485 | 0.007609485 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.3296391E-5 | 1.3296391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.6983292E-5 | 5.6983292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.935511E-4 | 6.935511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033317201 | 0.007013988 | 0.007013988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.2109016E-5 | 1.2109016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 5.1894753E-5 | 5.1894753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.3163566E-4 | 6.3163566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030563495 | 0.006391837 | 0.006391837 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.462562E-6 | 7.462562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.1982017E-5 | 3.1982017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.8931164E-4 | 3.8931164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019374699 | 0.003944753 | 0.003944753 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.3664825E-6 | 1.3664825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.8563405E-6 | 5.8563405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 7.129863E-5 | 7.129863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 7.354343E-4 | 7.354343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.2375486E-7 | 1.2375486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 5.3037786E-7 | 5.3037786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 6.4573314E-6 | 6.4573314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 7.1889925E-5 | 7.1889925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.7690392E-9 | 2.7690392E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.1867311E-8 | 1.1867311E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.444845E-7 | 1.444845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.6326408E-6 | 1.6326408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.7573817E-5 | 3.757354E-5 | 1.3626529 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.1816816E-4 | 1.2816698E-4 | 1.0846151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0014377498 | 0.001457721 | 1.0138906 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.016059699 | 0.016099056 | 1.0024507 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.7573817E-5 | 3.757354E-5 | 1.3626529 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.1816816E-4 | 1.2816698E-4 | 1.0846151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0014377498 | 0.001457721 | 1.0138906 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.016059699 | 0.016099056 | 1.0024507 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.7573817E-5 | 3.757354E-5 | 1.3626529 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.1816816E-4 | 1.2816698E-4 | 1.0846151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0014377498 | 0.001457721 | 1.0138906 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.016059699 | 0.016099056 | 1.0024507 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.551163E-5 | 2.7248945E-5 | 3.7248672E-5 | 1.3669767 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6642692E-4 | 1.1677598E-4 | 1.267748E-4 | 1.0856241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004452125 | 0.0014208221 | 0.0014407937 | 1.0140563 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.015878245 | 0.01591761 | 1.0024792 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.551163E-5 | 2.7248945E-5 | 3.7248672E-5 | 1.3669767 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6642692E-4 | 1.1677598E-4 | 1.267748E-4 | 1.0856241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004452125 | 0.0014208221 | 0.0014407937 | 1.0140563 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.015878245 | 0.01591761 | 1.0024792 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.511146E-5 | 2.7060794E-5 | 3.7060523E-5 | 1.3695283 | 1.0E-5 | 3.647124E-4 | 1.15969684E-4 | 1.2596852E-4 | 1.0862194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004431336 | 0.0014110183 | 0.0014309902 | 1.0141542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04344007 | 0.015773041 | 0.01581241 | 1.002496 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.4985084E-5 | 2.6988586E-5 | 3.6988316E-5 | 1.370517 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6417096E-4 | 1.1566025E-4 | 1.2565909E-4 | 1.0864501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044247704 | 0.0014072559 | 0.0014272277 | 1.0141921 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043376986 | 0.01573358 | 0.01577295 | 1.0025023 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.462618E-5 | 2.6808626E-5 | 3.6808357E-5 | 1.3730043 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6263323E-4 | 1.1488906E-4 | 1.2488791E-4 | 1.0870305 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004406125 | 0.0013978786 | 0.0014178507 | 1.0142874 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043197807 | 0.015634421 | 0.015673796 | 1.0025184 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.42337E-5 | 2.6697726E-5 | 3.669746E-5 | 1.3745537 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6095164E-4 | 1.1441382E-4 | 1.2441268E-4 | 1.087392 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004385734 | 0.0013921 | 0.0014120722 | 1.0143468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043001823 | 0.015571505 | 0.015610882 | 1.0025288 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.365989E-5 | 2.6492913E-5 | 3.649265E-5 | 1.3774494 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5849313E-4 | 1.1353612E-4 | 1.2353499E-4 | 1.0880677 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004355922 | 0.0013814277 | 0.0014014001 | 1.0144578 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04271523 | 0.015459025 | 0.015498406 | 1.0025475 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.30936E-5 | 2.624555E-5 | 3.624529E-5 | 1.381007 | 1.0E-5 | 3.560668E-4 | 1.124761E-4 | 1.2247497E-4 | 1.0888978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004326499 | 0.0013685381 | 0.0013885107 | 1.0145941 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042432297 | 0.015325405 | 0.015364791 | 1.00257 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.041264E-5 | 2.5912392E-5 | 3.5912133E-5 | 1.3859057 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4458007E-4 | 1.1104839E-4 | 1.21047284E-4 | 1.0900408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041871946 | 0.0013511776 | 0.0013711505 | 1.014782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.041091725 | 0.015136792 | 0.015176186 | 1.0026026 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.8427016E-5 | 2.531084E-5 | 3.5310586E-5 | 1.3950777 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3607247E-4 | 1.0847052E-4 | 1.18469434E-4 | 1.092181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004084008 | 0.0013198304 | 0.001339804 | 1.0151335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.040097635 | 0.014807673 | 0.014847081 | 1.0026613 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.721087E-5 | 2.508697E-5 | 3.508672E-5 | 1.3986033 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3086175E-4 | 1.0751117E-4 | 1.1751009E-4 | 1.0930036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004020803 | 0.0013081644 | 0.0013281383 | 1.0152686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03948827 | 0.014686551 | 0.014725964 | 1.0026836 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.3536525E-5 | 2.3072123E-5 | 3.3071894E-5 | 1.4334135 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1511846E-4 | 9.887679E-5 | 1.088758E-4 | 1.101126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038298194 | 0.0012031617 | 0.0012231376 | 1.0166029 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037644852 | 0.013579509 | 0.013618966 | 1.0029056 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.806207E-5 | 2.0696707E-5 | 3.06965E-5 | 1.4831586 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9166197E-4 | 8.869716E-5 | 9.869628E-5 | 1.1127331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035452035 | 0.0010793543 | 0.0010993327 | 1.0185096 | 2.0E-5 | 0.034891766 | 0.01224073 | 0.012280241 | 1.0032278 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6731416E-5 | 1.5667261E-5 | 2.5667105E-5 | 1.6382637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.43112E-4 | 6.714367E-5 | 7.7143006E-5 | 1.1489244 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029558712 | 8.171678E-4 | 8.371515E-4 | 1.0244548 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02916862 | 0.009322914 | 0.009362541 | 1.0042505 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.946994E-5 | 1.4624666E-5 | 2.462452E-5 | 1.6837664 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1199681E-4 | 6.267563E-5 | 7.267501E-5 | 1.1595416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002578006 | 7.6280884E-4 | 7.8279356E-4 | 1.0261989 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02548303 | 0.008681237 | 0.00872089 | 1.0045676 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9718198E-5 | 1.4306366E-5 | 2.4306222E-5 | 1.6989795 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7020974E-4 | 6.1311555E-5 | 7.131094E-5 | 1.1630914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020703338 | 7.462127E-4 | 7.661978E-4 | 1.026782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020511515 | 0.00845515 | 0.008494811 | 1.0046909 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4115114E-5 | 1.3357181E-5 | 2.3357048E-5 | 1.7486509 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0334639E-4 | 5.7243804E-5 | 6.7243236E-5 | 1.1746814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001257516 | 6.967206E-4 | 7.167067E-4 | 1.0286859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012504238 | 0.0077952817 | 0.00783497 | 1.0050913 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.7756569E-5 | 1.2465996E-5 | 2.246587E-5 | 1.8021722 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6097356E-5 | 5.3424603E-5 | 6.342407E-5 | 1.1871697 | 1.0E-5 | 9.260915E-4 | 6.502506E-4 | 6.702376E-4 | 1.0307374 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009222416 | 0.007226202 | 0.0072659133 | 1.0054954 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.3159258E-5 | 1.0640247E-5 | 2.064014E-5 | 1.9398178 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6395602E-5 | 4.5600264E-5 | 5.5599805E-5 | 1.219287 | 1.0E-5 | 6.864001E-4 | 5.5504194E-4 | 5.750308E-4 | 1.0360134 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0068428386 | 0.0061693876 | 0.0061992025 | 1.0048327 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.635426E-6 | 6.003769E-6 | 1.6003709E-5 | 2.6656103 | 1.0E-5 | 3.700844E-5 | 2.5730187E-5 | 3.572993E-5 | 1.3886386 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5048463E-4 | 3.1322008E-4 | 3.3321383E-4 | 1.0638329 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004495725 | 0.0035368751 | 0.0035568045 | 1.0056347 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.552935E-7 | 8.552935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.462704E-5 | 4.462704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.2299944E-4 | 5.2299944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.4257535E-5 | 9.4257535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.03902E-4 | 4.03902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004907009 | 0.0049169604 | 1.0020279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.048055325 | 0.0480934 | 1.0007924 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0633542E-5 | 5.0633542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1698327E-4 | 2.1698327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.002638648 | 0.002638648 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.02608233 | 0.026111547 | 1.0011202 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0633542E-5 | 5.0633542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1698327E-4 | 2.1698327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.002638648 | 0.002638648 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.02608233 | 0.026111547 | 1.0011202 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.780559E-5 | 3.780559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6201404E-4 | 1.6201404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.001970768 | 0.001970768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016452603 | 0.019536773 | 0.019556383 | 1.0010037 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.542271E-5 | 3.542271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5180292E-4 | 1.5180292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018466657 | 0.0018466657 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015469253 | 0.01831695 | 0.018336585 | 1.0010719 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8831395E-5 | 2.8831395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2355742E-4 | 1.2355742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0015033003 | 0.0015033003 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012709012 | 0.014934278 | 0.014953979 | 1.0013192 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4963305E-5 | 2.4963305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0698133E-4 | 1.0698133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0013017418 | 0.0013017418 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.012943583 | 0.012953453 | 1.0007626 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1682888E-5 | 2.1682888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.2923474E-5 | 9.2923474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011307767 | 0.0011307767 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011252402 | 0.011262289 | 1.0008787 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8459701E-5 | 1.8459701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.9110716E-5 | 7.9110716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.6276676E-4 | 9.6276676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009587949 | 0.009597853 | 1.001033 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5127943E-5 | 1.5127943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.483253E-5 | 6.483253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.890684E-4 | 7.890684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007864499 | 0.007864499 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2747694E-5 | 1.2747694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.463193E-5 | 5.463193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.649584E-4 | 6.649584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.0066314447 | 0.0066314447 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0186037E-5 | 1.0186037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3653814E-5 | 4.3653814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.3137285E-4 | 5.3137285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.0053027305 | 0.0053027305 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.340193E-7 | 8.340193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5743637E-6 | 3.5743637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.351702E-5 | 4.351702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3508608E-4 | 4.3508608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.703442E-7 | 3.703442E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5871884E-6 | 1.5871884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9323848E-5 | 1.9323848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9322174E-4 | 1.9322174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9692207E-7 | 1.9692207E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4395145E-7 | 8.4395145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0275061E-5 | 1.0275061E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.0274589E-4 | 1.0274589E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.2840726E-8 | 6.2840726E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6931735E-7 | 2.6931735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.278934E-6 | 3.278934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.2788867E-5 | 3.2788867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.533004E-9 | 5.533004E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3712873E-8 | 2.3712873E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.887042E-7 | 2.887042E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8870393E-6 | 2.8870393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.4375379E-4 | 1.5375235E-4 | 1.0695534 | 1.0E-5 | 7.378611E-4 | 6.1594433E-4 | 6.259382E-4 | 1.0162252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008946515 | 0.007473735 | 0.007493586 | 1.002656 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.07334186 | 0.07337893 | 1.0005054 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.4375379E-4 | 1.5375235E-4 | 1.0695534 | 1.0E-5 | 7.378611E-4 | 6.1594433E-4 | 6.259382E-4 | 1.0162252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008946515 | 0.007473735 | 0.007493586 | 1.002656 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.07334186 | 0.07337893 | 1.0005054 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.4375379E-4 | 1.5375235E-4 | 1.0695534 | 1.0E-5 | 7.378611E-4 | 6.1594433E-4 | 6.259382E-4 | 1.0162252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008946515 | 0.007473735 | 0.007493586 | 1.002656 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.07334186 | 0.07337893 | 1.0005054 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.716926E-4 | 1.4293523E-4 | 1.529338E-4 | 1.0699518 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3561794E-4 | 6.124379E-4 | 6.2243175E-4 | 1.0163182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008919428 | 0.0074313357 | 0.0074511874 | 1.0026714 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08569809 | 0.07294959 | 0.07298667 | 1.0005083 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 1.4155214E-4 | 1.5155073E-4 | 1.0706353 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02367E-4 | 6.065131E-4 | 6.165071E-4 | 1.0164777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008517839 | 0.00735969 | 0.007379543 | 1.0026975 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08198654 | 0.07209539 | 0.0721325 | 1.0005149 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 1.3196463E-4 | 1.419633E-4 | 1.0757679 | 1.0E-5 | 6.745133E-4 | 5.654419E-4 | 5.754363E-4 | 1.0176753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00818132 | 0.0068628555 | 0.0068827183 | 1.0028943 | 2.0E-5 | 0.078865945 | 0.067495316 | 0.067532614 | 1.0005527 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 1.2084199E-4 | 1.3084078E-4 | 1.0827427 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5865536E-4 | 5.177928E-4 | 5.277876E-4 | 1.0193027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006780438 | 0.006286149 | 0.006306023 | 1.0031615 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0657725 | 0.061665867 | 0.0617034 | 1.0006087 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 1.1807183E-4 | 1.2807065E-4 | 1.0846843 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5135164E-4 | 5.0592533E-4 | 5.159203E-4 | 1.0197557 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066920654 | 0.0061424845 | 0.0061623617 | 1.003236 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06494093 | 0.060364496 | 0.06040208 | 1.0006226 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 1.1743913E-4 | 1.2743796E-4 | 1.0851405 | 1.0E-5 | 5.485117E-4 | 5.0321483E-4 | 5.132098E-4 | 1.0198622 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066577005 | 0.0061096814 | 0.006129559 | 1.0032535 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06461738 | 0.060075246 | 0.060112845 | 1.0006258 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 1.1584082E-4 | 1.2583967E-4 | 1.0863154 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4380763E-4 | 4.963675E-4 | 5.063626E-4 | 1.0201364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006600777 | 0.0060267798 | 0.0060466593 | 1.0032985 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06408122 | 0.059340492 | 0.059378117 | 1.0006341 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 1.1305239E-4 | 1.2305126E-4 | 1.0884446 | 1.0E-5 | 5.154837E-4 | 4.844216E-4 | 4.9441674E-4 | 1.0206332 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006257969 | 0.0058821323 | 0.0059020147 | 1.0033802 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06084648 | 0.057963442 | 0.058001123 | 1.00065 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 5.7601683E-5 | 6.760111E-5 | 1.173596 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4493793E-4 | 2.4684123E-4 | 2.5683874E-4 | 1.0405018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041915346 | 0.0030011889 | 0.003021129 | 1.006644 | 2.0E-5 | 0.041133516 | 0.031442538 | 0.03148128 | 1.0012321 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 4.618374E-5 | 5.618328E-5 | 1.2165164 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0399222E-4 | 1.9791545E-4 | 2.0791347E-4 | 1.0505166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036948253 | 0.0024069834 | 0.0024269351 | 1.0082891 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03633994 | 0.02557435 | 0.025613328 | 1.0015241 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 3.135914E-5 | 4.1358828E-5 | 1.3188763 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6541698E-4 | 1.3438941E-4 | 1.4438806E-4 | 1.0744007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032266637 | 0.0016349651 | 0.0016549324 | 1.0122126 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031802133 | 0.017791826 | 0.017831115 | 1.0022082 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 2.9360033E-5 | 3.935974E-5 | 1.340589 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5311083E-4 | 1.2582265E-4 | 1.3582139E-4 | 1.0794669 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030772698 | 0.0015308161 | 0.0015507855 | 1.013045 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030350044 | 0.016702896 | 0.016742228 | 1.0023547 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 2.6836085E-5 | 3.6835816E-5 | 1.3726226 | 1.0E-5 | 2.324491E-4 | 1.1500673E-4 | 1.2500558E-4 | 1.0869415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002826395 | 0.001399309 | 0.001419281 | 1.0142728 | 2.0E-5 | 0.027907165 | 0.0153065985 | 0.015345986 | 1.0025733 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 2.163337E-5 | 3.1633153E-5 | 1.4622388 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8987931E-4 | 9.2711154E-5 | 1.02710226E-4 | 1.1078519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023093296 | 0.001128174 | 0.0011481515 | 1.0177077 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022854783 | 0.012334606 | 0.012374112 | 1.0032029 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 2.0592253E-5 | 3.0592048E-5 | 1.4856095 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7647797E-4 | 8.824953E-5 | 9.8248645E-5 | 1.1133051 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002146502 | 0.0010739086 | 0.0010938873 | 1.0186036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021258866 | 0.011753706 | 0.011793236 | 1.0033631 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 2.0178046E-5 | 3.0177845E-5 | 1.495578 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5174363E-4 | 8.647448E-5 | 9.647361E-5 | 1.1156311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018459131 | 0.0010523185 | 0.0010722975 | 1.0189856 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018306552 | 0.011510757 | 0.011550296 | 1.003435 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 1.878337E-5 | 2.8783183E-5 | 1.5323758 | 1.0E-5 | 1.10827445E-4 | 8.049767E-5 | 9.049687E-5 | 1.1242172 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001348489 | 9.796189E-4 | 9.995992E-4 | 1.0203961 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013403354 | 0.010682665 | 0.010722238 | 1.0037044 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 1.6094782E-5 | 2.6094622E-5 | 1.6213094 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4757245E-5 | 6.8975816E-5 | 7.897513E-5 | 1.1449684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010314309 | 8.3945727E-4 | 8.594405E-4 | 1.0238049 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010266567 | 0.009172387 | 0.00921202 | 1.0043209 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 1.313926E-5 | 2.3139128E-5 | 1.7610679 | 1.0E-5 | 6.293394E-5 | 5.63099E-5 | 6.630934E-5 | 1.1775787 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6595135E-4 | 6.853576E-4 | 7.0534385E-4 | 1.0291618 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0076331664 | 0.007516902 | 0.0075466763 | 1.003961 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 6.0061243E-6 | 1.6006064E-5 | 2.6649573 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7021015E-5 | 2.5740279E-5 | 3.5740024E-5 | 1.3884861 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5063766E-4 | 3.1334293E-4 | 3.3333668E-4 | 1.0638078 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004497249 | 0.0035381732 | 0.0035581025 | 1.0056326 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.552935E-7 | 8.552935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.462704E-5 | 4.462704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.2299944E-4 | 5.2299944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1047859E-5 | 1.1047859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7347403E-5 | 4.7347403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7635485E-4 | 5.863491E-4 | 1.0173404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057537733 | 0.0057836007 | 1.0051839 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1047859E-5 | 1.1047859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7347403E-5 | 4.7347403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7635485E-4 | 5.863491E-4 | 1.0173404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057537733 | 0.0057836007 | 1.0051839 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2096467E-6 | 2.2096467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.4699035E-6 | 9.4699035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1529418E-4 | 1.2529302E-4 | 1.0867246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011527556 | 0.0011727324 | 1.0173297 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2096467E-6 | 2.2096467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.4699035E-6 | 9.4699035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1529418E-4 | 1.2529302E-4 | 1.0867246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011527556 | 0.0011727324 | 1.0173297 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8120601E-6 | 1.8120601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.7659715E-6 | 7.7659715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.4550705E-5 | 1.0454976E-4 | 1.1057533 | 1.0E-5 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.455071E-4 | 9.654882E-4 | 1.0211327 | 2.0E-5 |
Cerro Prieto
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9101528E-4 | 6.073042E-4 | 6.27292E-4 | 1.0329124 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0026003858 | 0.0026203338 | 1.0076711 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015072231 | 0.031171475 | 0.031190852 | 1.0006216 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14089979 | 0.2569749 | 0.2569972 | 1.0000868 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9101528E-4 | 6.073042E-4 | 6.27292E-4 | 1.0329124 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0026003858 | 0.0026203338 | 1.0076711 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015072231 | 0.031171475 | 0.031190852 | 1.0006216 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14089979 | 0.2569749 | 0.2569972 | 1.0000868 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9101528E-4 | 6.073042E-4 | 6.27292E-4 | 1.0329124 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0026003858 | 0.0026203338 | 1.0076711 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015072231 | 0.031171475 | 0.031190852 | 1.0006216 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14089979 | 0.2569749 | 0.2569972 | 1.0000868 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9101528E-4 | 6.073042E-4 | 6.27292E-4 | 1.0329124 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0026003858 | 0.0026203338 | 1.0076711 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015072231 | 0.031171475 | 0.031190852 | 1.0006216 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14089979 | 0.2569749 | 0.2569972 | 1.0000868 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.2426994E-4 | 5.3426466E-4 | 1.0190642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022451421 | 0.0022551196 | 1.004444 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013006088 | 0.02697281 | 0.02698254 | 1.0003607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.12270685 | 0.22740579 | 0.22742124 | 1.000068 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.2426994E-4 | 5.3426466E-4 | 1.0190642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022451421 | 0.0022551196 | 1.004444 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013006088 | 0.02697281 | 0.02698254 | 1.0003607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.12270685 | 0.22740579 | 0.22742124 | 1.000068 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.294914E-4 | 4.811418E-4 | 4.91137E-4 | 1.0207739 | 1.0E-5 | 9.831638E-4 | 0.0020606013 | 0.0020705806 | 1.004843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011904482 | 0.024795497 | 0.02480525 | 1.0003933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.11286586 | 0.2115808 | 0.21159656 | 1.0000745 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9621674E-4 | 4.1364334E-4 | 4.236392E-4 | 1.0241654 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4065786E-4 | 0.0017717177 | 0.0017817 | 1.0056342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010187071 | 0.021389341 | 0.021399127 | 1.0004575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.09732539 | 0.18580247 | 0.18581876 | 1.0000876 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5476145E-4 | 3.1346572E-4 | 3.234626E-4 | 1.0318915 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6309475E-4 | 0.0013428398 | 0.0013528264 | 1.0074369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008043335 | 0.016234852 | 0.016244689 | 1.000606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07758363 | 0.1458965 | 0.14591359 | 1.0001171 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.20509176E-4 | 2.3220372E-4 | 2.422014E-4 | 1.0430557 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1636563E-4 | 9.948459E-4 | 0.0010048359 | 1.0100418 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006268645 | 0.0120605165 | 0.012070396 | 1.0008192 | 1.0E-5 | 0.060947374 | 0.111616254 | 0.111634016 | 1.0001591 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.3269155E-5 | 1.7227851E-4 | 1.7227851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9966372E-4 | 7.3817314E-4 | 7.3817314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048550544 | 0.008958326 | 0.008958326 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04750344 | 0.08500227 | 0.08501142 | 1.0001076 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.029709E-5 | 8.462662E-5 | 8.462662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1554115E-4 | 3.6265573E-4 | 3.6265573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026210553 | 0.0044100475 | 0.0044100475 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025903556 | 0.0435433 | 0.0435433 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.5445185E-8 | 7.414989E-8 | 7.414989E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8047933E-7 | 3.1778524E-7 | 3.1778524E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4148304E-6 | 3.8690355E-6 | 3.8690355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.414778E-5 | 3.8690356E-5 | 3.8690356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4137928E-5 | 3.4137687E-5 | 1.4142758 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0344473E-4 | 1.2344266E-4 | 1.1933199 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.001258813 | 0.0012987626 | 1.031736 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012526886 | 0.012566385 | 1.0031531 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4137928E-5 | 3.4137687E-5 | 1.4142758 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0344473E-4 | 1.2344266E-4 | 1.1933199 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.001258813 | 0.0012987626 | 1.031736 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012526886 | 0.012566385 | 1.0031531 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4137928E-5 | 3.4137687E-5 | 1.4142758 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0344473E-4 | 1.2344266E-4 | 1.1933199 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.001258813 | 0.0012987626 | 1.031736 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012526886 | 0.012566385 | 1.0031531 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3665371E-5 | 2.3665234E-5 | 1.7317667 | 1.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8564652E-5 | 6.856406E-5 | 1.1707414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1280764E-4 | 7.228005E-4 | 1.014019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.007106844 | 0.007116773 | 1.0013971 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3665371E-5 | 2.3665234E-5 | 1.7317667 | 1.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8564652E-5 | 6.856406E-5 | 1.1707414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1280764E-4 | 7.228005E-4 | 1.014019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.007106844 | 0.007116773 | 1.0013971 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0495746E-5 | 1.0495746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.498105E-5 | 4.498105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.475167E-4 | 5.475167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008994718 | 0.0054626754 | 0.0054626754 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.429716E-6 | 8.429716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.6126894E-5 | 3.6126894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3976342E-4 | 4.3976342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043896507 | 0.0043896507 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.4240426E-6 | 6.4240426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7531347E-5 | 2.7531347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3514726E-4 | 3.3514726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033468788 | 0.0033468788 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.344655E-6 | 4.344655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8619821E-5 | 1.8619821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2667363E-4 | 2.2667363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.0022645113 | 0.0022645113 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5911712E-6 | 3.5911712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5390646E-5 | 1.5390646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.873656E-4 | 1.873656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.001872135 | 0.001872135 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.576411E-6 | 2.576411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.1041716E-5 | 1.1041716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3442492E-4 | 1.3442492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013434673 | 0.0013434673 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2344425E-6 | 2.2344425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.576148E-6 | 9.576148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.16583666E-4 | 1.16583666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011652543 | 0.0011652543 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6315076E-6 | 1.6315076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.9921584E-6 | 6.9921584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.512644E-5 | 8.512644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.509616E-4 | 8.509616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.3687326E-7 | 8.3687326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5865955E-6 | 3.5865955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3666074E-5 | 4.3666074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3658944E-4 | 4.3658944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Eureka Peak
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1949054E-5 | 9.41888E-6 | 1.9418785E-5 | 2.0616875 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3691733E-4 | 4.0366453E-5 | 5.036605E-5 | 1.2477205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016656938 | 4.914308E-4 | 5.214161E-4 | 1.0610162 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016532637 | 0.004978194 | 0.005017995 | 1.007995 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1949054E-5 | 9.41888E-6 | 1.9418785E-5 | 2.0616875 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3691733E-4 | 4.0366453E-5 | 5.036605E-5 | 1.2477205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016656938 | 4.914308E-4 | 5.214161E-4 | 1.0610162 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016532637 | 0.004978194 | 0.005017995 | 1.007995 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1949054E-5 | 9.41888E-6 | 1.9418785E-5 | 2.0616875 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3691733E-4 | 4.0366453E-5 | 5.036605E-5 | 1.2477205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016656938 | 4.914308E-4 | 5.214161E-4 | 1.0610162 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016532637 | 0.004978194 | 0.005017995 | 1.007995 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7339745E-5 | 8.080896E-6 | 1.8080815E-5 | 2.2374766 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1716507E-4 | 3.463239E-5 | 4.4632045E-5 | 1.288737 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014255513 | 4.2164559E-4 | 4.5163295E-4 | 1.0711198 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0141644105 | 0.0042788554 | 0.0043186843 | 1.0093083 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7339745E-5 | 8.080896E-6 | 1.8080815E-5 | 2.2374766 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1716507E-4 | 3.463239E-5 | 4.4632045E-5 | 1.288737 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014255513 | 4.2164559E-4 | 4.5163295E-4 | 1.0711198 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0141644105 | 0.0042788554 | 0.0043186843 | 1.0093083 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.738388E-8 | 1.8824575E-7 | 1.8824575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1735944E-7 | 8.067672E-7 | 8.067672E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.081339E-6 | 9.822348E-6 | 1.982225E-5 | 2.0180764 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0812232E-5 | 9.821922E-5 | 1.08218235E-4 | 1.1018031 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.3495956E-8 | 1.8532776E-7 | 1.8532776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0069688E-7 | 7.942616E-7 | 7.942616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8784736E-6 | 9.670093E-6 | 1.9669997E-5 | 2.0341063 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8783666E-5 | 9.669681E-5 | 1.0669584E-4 | 1.1034061 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.3495956E-8 | 1.8532776E-7 | 1.8532776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0069688E-7 | 7.942616E-7 | 7.942616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8784736E-6 | 9.670093E-6 | 1.9669997E-5 | 2.0341063 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8783666E-5 | 9.669681E-5 | 1.0669584E-4 | 1.1034061 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.591428E-8 | 1.8223984E-7 | 1.8223984E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.68204E-7 | 7.8102767E-7 | 7.8102767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4828744E-6 | 9.508971E-6 | 1.9508876E-5 | 2.0516286 | 1.0E-5 | 4.482784E-5 | 9.508572E-5 | 1.0508477E-4 | 1.1051582 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.749723E-8 | 1.7640677E-7 | 1.7640677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3213098E-7 | 7.5602884E-7 | 7.5602884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.043687E-6 | 9.204613E-6 | 1.920452E-5 | 2.0864017 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0436134E-5 | 9.20424E-5 | 1.0204148E-4 | 1.1086355 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.897872E-8 | 1.6611078E-7 | 1.6611078E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9562307E-7 | 7.1190317E-7 | 7.1190317E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5992048E-6 | 8.667387E-6 | 1.86673E-5 | 2.1537402 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5991467E-5 | 8.667057E-5 | 9.6669704E-5 | 1.1153694 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.859318E-8 | 1.4972991E-7 | 1.4972991E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111362E-7 | 6.416995E-7 | 6.416995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.057304E-6 | 7.812664E-6 | 1.7812587E-5 | 2.279963 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0572617E-5 | 7.812396E-5 | 8.812318E-5 | 1.1279917 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.1375338E-8 | 1.3599144E-7 | 1.3599144E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2018E-7 | 5.828203E-7 | 5.828203E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.680688E-6 | 7.095815E-6 | 1.7095745E-5 | 2.4092715 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6806558E-5 | 7.0955946E-5 | 8.095524E-5 | 1.1409225 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.5441396E-8 | 1.18019955E-7 | 1.18019955E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474882E-7 | 5.0579973E-7 | 5.0579973E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3710643E-6 | 6.1580945E-6 | 1.6158034E-5 | 2.623869 | 1.0E-5 | 2.371039E-5 | 6.1579296E-5 | 7.157868E-5 | 1.1623822 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.981918E-8 | 7.039527E-8 | 7.039527E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2779647E-7 | 3.0169394E-7 | 3.0169394E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5559209E-6 | 3.6731183E-6 | 1.3673081E-5 | 3.7224724 | 1.0E-5 | 1.55591E-5 | 3.673062E-5 | 4.6730253E-5 | 1.2722424 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.24214E-9 | 8.533874E-9 | 8.533874E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.81806E-8 | 3.6573745E-8 | 3.6573745E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.213488E-7 | 4.4528534E-7 | 4.4528534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134857E-6 | 4.452851E-6 | 4.452851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6558646E-5 | 2.655848E-5 | 1.6039041 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.0963775E-5 | 8.0963066E-5 | 1.1409069 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.6365663E-4 | 8.836393E-4 | 1.0231373 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008629922 | 0.008659664 | 1.0034462 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6558646E-5 | 2.655848E-5 | 1.6039041 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.0963775E-5 | 8.0963066E-5 | 1.1409069 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.6365663E-4 | 8.836393E-4 | 1.0231373 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008629922 | 0.008659664 | 1.0034462 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6558646E-5 | 2.655848E-5 | 1.6039041 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.0963775E-5 | 8.0963066E-5 | 1.1409069 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.6365663E-4 | 8.836393E-4 | 1.0231373 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008629922 | 0.008659664 | 1.0034462 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6558646E-5 | 2.655848E-5 | 1.6039041 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.0963775E-5 | 8.0963066E-5 | 1.1409069 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.6365663E-4 | 8.836393E-4 | 1.0231373 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008629922 | 0.008659664 | 1.0034462 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6558646E-5 | 2.655848E-5 | 1.6039041 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.0963775E-5 | 8.0963066E-5 | 1.1409069 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.6365663E-4 | 8.836393E-4 | 1.0231373 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008629922 | 0.008659664 | 1.0034462 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6558646E-5 | 2.655848E-5 | 1.6039041 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.0963775E-5 | 8.0963066E-5 | 1.1409069 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.6365663E-4 | 8.836393E-4 | 1.0231373 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008629922 | 0.008659664 | 1.0034462 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.4080099E-5 | 1.4080099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 6.034194E-5 | 6.034194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.3442457E-4 | 7.444172E-4 | 1.0136061 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.0073463153 | 0.0073661683 | 1.0027025 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3885617E-5 | 1.3885617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.950848E-5 | 5.950848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.24284E-4 | 7.342767E-4 | 1.0137967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.007245573 | 0.007265428 | 1.0027403 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.350723E-5 | 1.350723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.788689E-5 | 5.788689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.524734E-4 | 7.045539E-4 | 7.045539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0070495266 | 0.007059456 | 1.0014086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1709662E-5 | 1.1709662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 5.0183342E-5 | 5.0183342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.653022E-4 | 6.108178E-4 | 6.108178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036470229 | 0.006117529 | 0.006117529 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.895269E-6 | 9.895269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.240763E-5 | 4.240763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.161952E-4 | 5.161952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030459496 | 0.0051758885 | 0.0051758885 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.54895E-6 | 9.54895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 4.0923456E-5 | 4.0923456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.9813365E-4 | 4.9813365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0049960907 | 0.0049960907 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.891363E-6 | 7.891363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.3819706E-5 | 3.3819706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.116808E-4 | 4.116808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022852682 | 0.004135078 | 0.004135078 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 7.121137E-6 | 7.121137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 3.0518822E-5 | 3.0518822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.7150667E-4 | 3.7150667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019750162 | 0.00373472 | 0.00373472 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.223407E-6 | 5.223407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.2385839E-5 | 2.2385839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.725137E-4 | 2.725137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0027474454 | 0.0027474454 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.8092647E-6 | 4.8092647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 2.0610973E-5 | 2.0610973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.5090986E-4 | 2.5090986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0025322936 | 0.0025322936 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.311061E-6 | 4.311061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.8475845E-5 | 1.8475845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.2492028E-4 | 2.2492028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0022734287 | 0.0022734287 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.229499E-6 | 4.229499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.81263E-5 | 1.81263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.2066545E-4 | 2.2066545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0022310973 | 0.0022310973 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.884115E-6 | 3.884115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.6646101E-5 | 1.6646101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.97132E-5 | 2.0264751E-4 | 2.0264751E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.002050604 | 0.002050604 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 3.0922101E-6 | 3.0922101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.3252262E-5 | 1.3252262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.613344E-4 | 1.613344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0016353236 | 0.0016353236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.8771184E-7 | 5.8771184E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.5187626E-6 | 2.5187626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 3.066551E-5 | 3.066551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0513899E-4 | 3.1732256E-4 | 3.1732256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.2603705E-7 | 1.2603705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 5.401587E-7 | 5.401587E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 6.5764125E-6 | 6.5764125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 7.213261E-5 | 7.213261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.8565216E-8 | 2.8565216E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.2242235E-7 | 1.2242235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.4904912E-6 | 1.4904912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.6680084E-5 | 1.6680084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.5054904E-5 | 2.5054904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0737375E-4 | 1.0737375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0013064942 | 0.0013264681 | 1.0152881 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.013401008 | 0.013430607 | 1.0022086 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.5054904E-5 | 2.5054904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0737375E-4 | 1.0737375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0013064942 | 0.0013264681 | 1.0152881 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.013401008 | 0.013430607 | 1.0022086 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.5054904E-5 | 2.5054904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0737375E-4 | 1.0737375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0013064942 | 0.0013264681 | 1.0152881 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.013401008 | 0.013430607 | 1.0022086 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.5054904E-5 | 2.5054904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0737375E-4 | 1.0737375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0013064942 | 0.0013264681 | 1.0152881 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.013401008 | 0.013430607 | 1.0022086 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.5054904E-5 | 2.5054904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0737375E-4 | 1.0737375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0013064942 | 0.0013264681 | 1.0152881 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.013401008 | 0.013430607 | 1.0022086 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.494062E-5 | 2.494062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.06884014E-4 | 1.06884014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0013005388 | 0.0013205127 | 1.0153582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.013342178 | 0.013371779 | 1.0022185 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.494062E-5 | 2.494062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.06884014E-4 | 1.06884014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0013005388 | 0.0013205127 | 1.0153582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.013342178 | 0.013371779 | 1.0022185 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.4865503E-5 | 2.4865503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.065621E-4 | 1.065621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012966242 | 0.0013165983 | 1.0154047 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.013303485 | 0.013333086 | 1.002225 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.4782168E-5 | 2.4782168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.06204985E-4 | 1.06204985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012922814 | 0.0013122556 | 1.0154566 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.013260365 | 0.013289968 | 1.0022324 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.4701001E-5 | 2.4701001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0585715E-4 | 1.0585715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012880516 | 0.0013080259 | 1.0155073 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.013218359 | 0.013247962 | 1.0022396 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.4276163E-5 | 2.4276163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0403657E-4 | 1.0403657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001379188 | 0.001265912 | 0.0012858866 | 1.0157789 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012998885 | 0.013028494 | 1.0022779 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.4101211E-5 | 2.4101211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1252879E-4 | 1.0328683E-4 | 1.0328683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012567944 | 0.0012767693 | 1.0158935 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.012908306 | 0.012937918 | 1.0022941 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.3285504E-5 | 2.3285504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.9791214E-5 | 9.9791214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0012142834 | 0.0012342591 | 1.0164506 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.012484076 | 0.012513702 | 1.0023731 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.2002037E-5 | 2.2002037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.4291056E-5 | 9.4291056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001220092 | 0.0011473912 | 0.0011573797 | 1.0087054 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.011815454 | 0.0118352175 | 1.0016727 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.1729484E-5 | 2.1729484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.841056E-5 | 9.3123046E-5 | 9.3123046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0011331856 | 0.0011431742 | 1.0088147 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011673168 | 0.011692935 | 1.0016934 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.1245081E-5 | 2.1245081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.50918E-5 | 9.1047186E-5 | 9.1047186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571277 | 0.0011079379 | 0.0011179269 | 1.0090158 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.011419078 | 0.01143885 | 1.0017314 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.980897E-5 | 1.980897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.489283E-5 | 8.489283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001043725 | 0.001033082 | 0.001033082 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010388365 | 0.010665727 | 0.01067562 | 1.0009276 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.7569293E-5 | 1.7569293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.52948E-5 | 7.52948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.986819E-4 | 9.163296E-4 | 9.163296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008950562 | 0.00949381 | 0.009503715 | 1.0010433 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.5780322E-5 | 1.5780322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.76282E-5 | 6.76282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.552038E-4 | 8.230631E-4 | 8.230631E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008553834 | 0.008563749 | 1.0011591 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.23333875E-5 | 1.23333875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7632562E-5 | 5.285631E-5 | 5.285631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.433362E-4 | 6.433362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057826187 | 0.006740842 | 0.0067507746 | 1.0014735 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 1.0518045E-5 | 1.0518045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.5076562E-5 | 4.5076562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.4866954E-4 | 5.4866954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048551033 | 0.0057746964 | 0.0057846387 | 1.0017217 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 7.284345E-6 | 7.284345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 3.1218253E-5 | 3.1218253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.800165E-4 | 3.800165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003658111 | 0.004029239 | 0.004029239 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 9.906277E-7 | 9.906277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 4.2455404E-6 | 4.2455404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 5.1688257E-5 | 5.1688257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.8370555E-4 | 5.8370555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 7.4207755E-8 | 7.4207755E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 3.1803322E-7 | 3.1803322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.872048E-6 | 3.872048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.473802E-5 | 4.473802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Julian)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.885717E-6 | 8.885717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.8081096E-5 | 3.8081096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6354043E-4 | 4.735358E-4 | 1.021563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.0046259617 | 0.004645869 | 1.0043035 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.885717E-6 | 8.885717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.8081096E-5 | 3.8081096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6354043E-4 | 4.735358E-4 | 1.021563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.0046259617 | 0.004645869 | 1.0043035 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.885717E-6 | 8.885717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.8081096E-5 | 3.8081096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6354043E-4 | 4.735358E-4 | 1.021563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.0046259617 | 0.004645869 | 1.0043035 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.885717E-6 | 8.885717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.8081096E-5 | 3.8081096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6354043E-4 | 4.735358E-4 | 1.021563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.0046259617 | 0.004645869 | 1.0043035 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.885717E-6 | 8.885717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.8081096E-5 | 3.8081096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6354043E-4 | 4.735358E-4 | 1.021563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.0046259617 | 0.004645869 | 1.0043035 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.885717E-6 | 8.885717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.8081096E-5 | 3.8081096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6354043E-4 | 4.735358E-4 | 1.021563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.0046259617 | 0.004645869 | 1.0043035 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1650619E-5 | 8.817969E-6 | 8.817969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.993027E-5 | 3.7790756E-5 | 3.7790756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0773146E-4 | 4.6000705E-4 | 4.7000244E-4 | 1.0217288 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060607214 | 0.0045907744 | 0.004610683 | 1.0043366 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1650619E-5 | 8.817969E-6 | 8.817969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.993027E-5 | 3.7790756E-5 | 3.7790756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0773146E-4 | 4.6000705E-4 | 4.7000244E-4 | 1.0217288 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060607214 | 0.0045907744 | 0.004610683 | 1.0043366 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1442698E-5 | 8.600595E-6 | 8.600595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9039216E-5 | 3.685918E-5 | 3.685918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.968889E-4 | 4.486698E-4 | 4.586653E-4 | 1.0222781 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059528816 | 0.004477863 | 0.004497774 | 1.0044464 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1300589E-5 | 8.4482235E-6 | 8.4482235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8430196E-5 | 3.620618E-5 | 3.620618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.894781E-4 | 4.4072274E-4 | 4.5071833E-4 | 1.02268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005879169 | 0.004398709 | 0.004418621 | 1.0045267 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1117729E-5 | 8.264809E-6 | 8.264809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764654E-5 | 3.5420137E-5 | 3.5420137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.799422E-4 | 4.311565E-4 | 4.4115222E-4 | 1.0231835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057843104 | 0.004303421 | 0.0043233344 | 1.0046275 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.08053955E-5 | 7.949926E-6 | 7.949926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6308014E-5 | 3.4070676E-5 | 3.4070676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6365423E-4 | 4.1473316E-4 | 4.2472902E-4 | 1.0241019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005622267 | 0.0041398094 | 0.0041597267 | 1.0048112 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.032804E-5 | 7.4705254E-6 | 7.4705254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4262277E-5 | 3.2016153E-5 | 3.2016153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.387599E-4 | 3.8972855E-4 | 3.8972855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053745564 | 0.00389066 | 0.0039006209 | 1.0025603 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.622426E-6 | 6.932653E-6 | 6.932653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1238312E-5 | 2.9711038E-5 | 2.9711038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.019608E-4 | 3.616733E-4 | 3.616733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005008285 | 0.0036110403 | 0.003621004 | 1.0027593 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.144434E-6 | 6.5289596E-6 | 6.5289596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9189843E-5 | 2.7980963E-5 | 2.7980963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7703186E-4 | 3.4061636E-4 | 3.4061636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047600917 | 0.0034010878 | 0.0034110537 | 1.0029303 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.988981E-6 | 5.5257306E-6 | 5.5257306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4238044E-5 | 2.3681494E-5 | 2.3681494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1676845E-4 | 2.8828532E-4 | 2.8828532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041598766 | 0.002879242 | 0.002879242 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.9554876E-6 | 4.6864966E-6 | 4.6864966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9808893E-5 | 2.0084837E-5 | 2.0084837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6286283E-4 | 2.4450663E-4 | 2.4450663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036227088 | 0.0024424936 | 0.0024424936 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1557314E-6 | 2.337207E-6 | 2.337207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810156E-5 | 1.0016567E-5 | 1.0016567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681708E-4 | 1.2194563E-4 | 1.2194563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021660565 | 0.0012188609 | 0.0012188609 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2597293E-7 | 9.379943E-8 | 9.379943E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.684551E-7 | 4.019975E-7 | 4.019975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1790877E-5 | 4.894312E-6 | 4.894312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17902506E-4 | 4.8942373E-5 | 4.8942373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4577874E-9 | 3.4577874E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4819088E-8 | 1.4819088E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.8042239E-7 | 1.8042239E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.8042226E-6 | 1.8042226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.718217E-5 | 4.718217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0219471E-4 | 2.0219471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024591389 | 0.0024591389 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021239553 | 0.024339993 | 0.02434975 | 1.0004009 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3907449E-5 | 2.3907449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0245664E-4 | 1.0245664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012467249 | 0.0012467249 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012400357 | 0.012410234 | 1.0007964 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3907449E-5 | 2.3907449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0245664E-4 | 1.0245664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012467249 | 0.0012467249 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012400357 | 0.012410234 | 1.0007964 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7103295E-5 | 1.7103295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.3297844E-5 | 7.3297844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9204794E-4 | 8.9204794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007878214 | 0.008885928 | 0.008885928 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.38756195E-5 | 1.38756195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.946563E-5 | 5.946563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.2376174E-4 | 7.2376174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006419184 | 0.007214885 | 0.007214885 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0132835E-5 | 1.0132835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3425745E-5 | 4.3425745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.285855E-4 | 5.285855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004716845 | 0.0052738227 | 0.0052738227 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.413504E-6 | 8.413504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.6057398E-5 | 3.6057398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.389147E-4 | 4.389147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043809093 | 0.0043809093 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.0960924E-6 | 6.0960924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6125866E-5 | 2.6125866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1803927E-4 | 3.1803927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031761639 | 0.0031761639 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0882765E-6 | 4.0882765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.752108E-5 | 1.752108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1330078E-4 | 2.1330078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021312064 | 0.0021312064 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6317587E-6 | 2.6317587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1278918E-5 | 1.1278918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3731219E-4 | 1.3731219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013722765 | 0.0013722765 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.48505E-6 | 2.48505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.065017E-5 | 1.065017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2965813E-4 | 1.2965813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012958271 | 0.0012958271 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3753773E-6 | 2.3753773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0180149E-5 | 1.0180149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2393629E-4 | 1.2393629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012386737 | 0.0012386737 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2781762E-6 | 2.2781762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.763576E-6 | 9.763576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1886507E-4 | 1.1886507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011880168 | 0.0011880168 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.110573E-6 | 2.110573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.045281E-6 | 9.045281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.1012075E-4 | 1.1012075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0011006637 | 0.0011006637 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8061435E-6 | 1.8061435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.740592E-6 | 7.740592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.423765E-5 | 9.423765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.4197853E-4 | 9.4197853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.519793E-7 | 9.519793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.079905E-6 | 4.079905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9671722E-5 | 4.9671722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.966074E-4 | 4.966074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.055519E-7 | 4.055519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7380785E-6 | 1.7380785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1160906E-5 | 2.1160906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1158956E-4 | 2.1158956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.342187E-8 | 6.342187E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7180798E-7 | 2.7180798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3092572E-6 | 3.3092572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.309209E-5 | 3.309209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3967668E-9 | 1.3967668E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.986143E-9 | 5.986143E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.288129E-8 | 7.288129E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.288127E-7 | 7.288127E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5333705E-4 | 7.488116E-5 | 8.488041E-5 | 1.1335349 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5699324E-4 | 3.2087998E-4 | 3.308768E-4 | 1.0311543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007969595 | 0.0038997524 | 0.0039196745 | 1.0051085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0768977 | 0.041296504 | 0.04131568 | 1.0004643 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5333705E-4 | 7.488116E-5 | 8.488041E-5 | 1.1335349 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5699324E-4 | 3.2087998E-4 | 3.308768E-4 | 1.0311543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007969595 | 0.0038997524 | 0.0039196745 | 1.0051085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0768977 | 0.041296504 | 0.04131568 | 1.0004643 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3912938E-4 | 6.3860716E-5 | 7.386008E-5 | 1.1565808 | 1.0E-5 | 5.961325E-4 | 2.7366023E-4 | 2.836575E-4 | 1.0365317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007233787 | 0.0033267525 | 0.0033466858 | 1.0059918 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07002798 | 0.035449702 | 0.03546899 | 1.0005442 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3912938E-4 | 6.3860716E-5 | 7.386008E-5 | 1.1565808 | 1.0E-5 | 5.961325E-4 | 2.7366023E-4 | 2.836575E-4 | 1.0365317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007233787 | 0.0033267525 | 0.0033466858 | 1.0059918 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07002798 | 0.035449702 | 0.03546899 | 1.0005442 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2623647E-4 | 5.3420925E-5 | 6.342039E-5 | 1.1871825 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4090127E-4 | 2.2892685E-4 | 2.3892456E-4 | 1.0436721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065656058 | 0.0027836435 | 0.002803588 | 1.0071648 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06374981 | 0.02988688 | 0.029906284 | 1.0006492 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1736096E-4 | 4.6240275E-5 | 5.6239813E-5 | 1.2162517 | 1.0E-5 | 5.028786E-4 | 1.9815765E-4 | 2.0815566E-4 | 1.0504549 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006105373 | 0.0024099175 | 0.0024298695 | 1.0082791 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05940335 | 0.026045404 | 0.026064884 | 1.0007479 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1586959E-4 | 4.509776E-5 | 5.509731E-5 | 1.2217305 | 1.0E-5 | 4.964894E-4 | 1.9326189E-4 | 2.0325996E-4 | 1.0517333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006028018 | 0.0023504419 | 0.002370395 | 1.008489 | 2.0E-5 | 0.058671024 | 0.025431529 | 0.02545102 | 1.0007664 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.13693764E-4 | 4.334803E-5 | 5.3347598E-5 | 1.230681 | 1.0E-5 | 4.87168E-4 | 1.8576413E-4 | 1.9576227E-4 | 1.0538217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005915152 | 0.0022593497 | 0.0022793044 | 1.0088321 | 2.0E-5 | 0.057601593 | 0.024495175 | 0.024514684 | 1.0007964 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1204889E-4 | 4.2521155E-5 | 5.252073E-5 | 1.235167 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8012115E-4 | 1.8222089E-4 | 1.9221907E-4 | 1.0548685 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005829819 | 0.0022162993 | 0.002236255 | 1.009004 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05679232 | 0.024032308 | 0.024051826 | 1.0008122 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1005794E-4 | 4.1518902E-5 | 5.1518487E-5 | 1.2408441 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7159163E-4 | 1.7792611E-4 | 1.8792434E-4 | 1.0561931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057265228 | 0.0021641154 | 0.002184072 | 1.0092217 | 2.0E-5 | 0.055811852 | 0.023469638 | 0.023489168 | 1.0008322 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0647948E-4 | 3.9565617E-5 | 4.956522E-5 | 1.2527347 | 1.0E-5 | 4.562608E-4 | 1.6955599E-4 | 1.795543E-4 | 1.0589676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055408357 | 0.0020624066 | 0.0020823653 | 1.0096774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.054047033 | 0.022373091 | 0.022392644 | 1.0008739 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.04795035E-4 | 3.8561284E-5 | 4.8560898E-5 | 1.2593175 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4904428E-4 | 1.6525226E-4 | 1.752506E-4 | 1.0605036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054534175 | 0.0020101063 | 0.0020300662 | 1.0099298 | 2.0E-5 | 0.053215165 | 0.021813048 | 0.021832613 | 1.0008969 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.02724036E-4 | 3.740822E-5 | 4.7407844E-5 | 1.267311 | 1.0E-5 | 4.401716E-4 | 1.6031117E-4 | 1.7030958E-4 | 1.0623686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053459285 | 0.0019500579 | 0.001970019 | 1.0102361 | 2.0E-5 | 0.052191395 | 0.021172076 | 0.021191653 | 1.0009246 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.00650694E-4 | 3.6825E-5 | 4.6824633E-5 | 1.2715447 | 1.0E-5 | 4.312888E-4 | 1.5781197E-4 | 1.678104E-4 | 1.0633565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005238306 | 0.0019196841 | 0.0019396457 | 1.0103984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051165357 | 0.020821564 | 0.020841148 | 1.0009406 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.672919E-5 | 3.5503443E-5 | 4.550309E-5 | 1.2816528 | 1.0E-5 | 4.144878E-4 | 1.5214883E-4 | 1.621473E-4 | 1.0657151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005034718 | 0.0018508545 | 0.0018708175 | 1.0107858 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049221683 | 0.020035513 | 0.020055111 | 1.0009782 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.7600405E-5 | 2.437E-5 | 3.4369757E-5 | 1.4103305 | 1.0E-5 | 3.753763E-4 | 1.0443869E-4 | 1.14437644E-4 | 1.09574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045606326 | 0.0012708012 | 0.0012907758 | 1.0157181 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04468165 | 0.01408451 | 0.014104228 | 1.0014 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.9562284E-5 | 2.0746367E-5 | 3.074616E-5 | 1.4820021 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4093665E-4 | 8.890998E-5 | 9.890909E-5 | 1.1124634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041430052 | 0.001081943 | 0.0011019214 | 1.0184653 | 2.0E-5 | 0.040666126 | 0.012097023 | 0.012116781 | 1.0016333 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3866544E-5 | 1.3138691E-5 | 2.313856E-5 | 1.7611008 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7368503E-4 | 5.6307465E-5 | 6.63069E-5 | 1.1775863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033270244 | 6.8532804E-4 | 7.0531433E-4 | 1.0291631 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032776527 | 0.007912445 | 0.007932287 | 1.0025077 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.2543215E-5 | 1.0033948E-5 | 2.0033847E-5 | 1.9966067 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8231533E-4 | 4.3001924E-5 | 5.3001495E-5 | 1.2325377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022174292 | 5.234228E-4 | 5.434123E-4 | 1.03819 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021954332 | 0.0060455306 | 0.0060654096 | 1.0032883 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.2636612E-5 | 8.618183E-6 | 1.8618097E-5 | 2.1603274 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7010445E-5 | 3.6934547E-5 | 4.6934176E-5 | 1.2707392 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011804621 | 4.495854E-4 | 4.6957642E-4 | 1.0444654 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011742111 | 0.0051346924 | 0.0051545897 | 1.003875 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5167874E-5 | 7.772812E-6 | 1.7772734E-5 | 2.2865257 | 1.0E-5 | 6.500356E-5 | 3.3311626E-5 | 4.3311295E-5 | 1.3001854 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9113094E-4 | 4.054937E-4 | 4.2548557E-4 | 1.0493026 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007883203 | 0.0046155006 | 0.0046354085 | 1.0043132 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0681047E-5 | 7.0424526E-6 | 1.7042383E-5 | 2.4199498 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5775112E-5 | 3.018159E-5 | 4.0181287E-5 | 1.3313178 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5716943E-4 | 3.67399E-4 | 3.8739166E-4 | 1.0544168 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055577457 | 0.0041769454 | 0.0041968618 | 1.0047681 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.226114E-6 | 5.623546E-6 | 1.562349E-5 | 2.7782276 | 1.0E-5 | 3.52543E-5 | 2.4100687E-5 | 3.4100445E-5 | 1.4149159 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2913653E-4 | 2.9338646E-4 | 3.133806E-4 | 1.0681494 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004283088 | 0.0033225173 | 0.0033424508 | 1.0059996 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.552935E-7 | 8.552935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 3.6655385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.462704E-5 | 4.462704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.2299944E-4 | 5.2299944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7386064E-5 | 5.738559E-5 | 1.2110225 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0306915E-4 | 2.1306712E-4 | 1.0492343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.002469887 | 0.0024798622 | 1.0040388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024458451 | 0.02447796 | 1.0007977 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7386064E-5 | 5.738559E-5 | 1.2110225 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0306915E-4 | 2.1306712E-4 | 1.0492343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.002469887 | 0.0024798622 | 1.0040388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024458451 | 0.02447796 | 1.0007977 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7386064E-5 | 5.738559E-5 | 1.2110225 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0306915E-4 | 2.1306712E-4 | 1.0492343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.002469887 | 0.0024798622 | 1.0040388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024458451 | 0.02447796 | 1.0007977 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.8343271E-5 | 1.8343271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.861176E-5 | 7.861176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.56697E-4 | 9.56697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01018413 | 0.00952899 | 0.0095388945 | 1.0010394 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3668938E-5 | 1.3668938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.857988E-5 | 5.857988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.1298267E-4 | 7.1298267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008112748 | 0.00710883 | 0.0071187587 | 1.0013967 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3164956E-5 | 1.3164956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.6420053E-5 | 5.6420053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8670354E-4 | 6.8670354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007874036 | 0.006847679 | 0.0068576103 | 1.0014503 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0434411E-5 | 1.0434411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.471815E-5 | 4.471815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.4430944E-4 | 5.4430944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006737438 | 0.0054312306 | 0.0054411762 | 1.0018312 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.951885E-6 | 9.951885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2650245E-5 | 4.2650245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.1914493E-4 | 5.1914493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006522954 | 0.0051807547 | 0.0051907026 | 1.0019202 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.546216E-6 | 9.546216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.091172E-5 | 4.091172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.9798825E-4 | 4.9798825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049701 | 0.00498005 | 1.002002 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.820948E-6 | 8.820948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.7803522E-5 | 3.7803522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.6016238E-4 | 4.6016238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045934278 | 0.0046033817 | 1.002167 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.1250955E-6 | 8.1250955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.482138E-5 | 3.482138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.2386938E-4 | 4.2386938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057049696 | 0.0042319032 | 0.004241861 | 1.002353 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.3642454E-6 | 7.3642454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1560678E-5 | 3.1560678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8418482E-4 | 3.8418482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.003836392 | 0.0038463536 | 1.0025966 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5780187E-6 | 6.5780187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.819121E-5 | 2.819121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4317517E-4 | 3.4317517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034275732 | 0.0034375389 | 1.0029075 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.6278564E-6 | 5.6278564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.4119166E-5 | 2.4119166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.9361233E-4 | 2.9361233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029325855 | 0.002942556 | 1.0034 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.052404E-6 | 5.052404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1652988E-5 | 2.1652988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.6359424E-4 | 2.6359424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.00263293 | 0.0026429035 | 1.003788 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.953008E-6 | 3.953008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.694136E-5 | 1.694136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.0624243E-4 | 2.0624243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020606003 | 0.0020606003 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.412001E-6 | 3.412001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4622784E-5 | 1.4622784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7801867E-4 | 1.7801867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017788422 | 0.0017788422 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3457712E-6 | 2.3457712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.0053272E-5 | 1.0053272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2239245E-4 | 1.2239245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012233241 | 0.0012233241 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.432682E-8 | 9.432682E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0425775E-7 | 4.0425775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.92183E-6 | 4.92183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9217546E-5 | 4.9217546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4577874E-9 | 3.4577874E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4819088E-8 | 1.4819088E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.8042239E-7 | 1.8042239E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.8042226E-6 | 1.8042226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.078246E-4 | 3.078246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013179891 | 0.0013179891 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007891912 | 0.015829861 | 0.015839703 | 1.0006217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.076174594 | 0.13956402 | 0.13958123 | 1.0001233 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.0475316E-4 | 3.0475316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.001304842 | 0.001304842 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078097614 | 0.015672605 | 0.01568245 | 1.0006281 | 1.0E-5 | 0.075409345 | 0.13823013 | 0.13824737 | 1.0001247 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.556755E-4 | 2.556755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010948423 | 0.0010948423 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013177013 | 0.013177013 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.064337276 | 0.118327275 | 0.11833609 | 1.0000745 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.285186E-4 | 2.285186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.786639E-4 | 9.786639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011797779 | 0.011797779 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058367174 | 0.10745197 | 0.10746089 | 1.0000831 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.1091568E-4 | 2.1091568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5935164E-4 | 9.0333994E-4 | 9.0333994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055782744 | 0.010902014 | 0.010902014 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0544031 | 0.100277245 | 0.100286245 | 1.0000898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8980191E-4 | 1.8980191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.1297057E-4 | 8.1297057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009821382 | 0.009821382 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04933773 | 0.091158606 | 0.091167696 | 1.0000997 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.531478E-4 | 1.531478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.561376E-4 | 6.561376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041944524 | 0.007952571 | 0.007952571 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04116161 | 0.0759409 | 0.075950146 | 1.0001217 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4853293E-4 | 1.4853293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.363725E-4 | 6.363725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004070005 | 0.0077143502 | 0.0077143502 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039962657 | 0.0737843 | 0.07379356 | 1.0001255 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2949499E-4 | 1.2949499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.548371E-4 | 5.548371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036279052 | 0.006730912 | 0.006730912 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03569247 | 0.06482464 | 0.06483399 | 1.0001442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.0348334E-4 | 1.0348334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.434252E-4 | 4.434252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030218933 | 0.005385439 | 0.005385439 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029811295 | 0.05244763 | 0.05244763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.7525405E-5 | 8.7525405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.7505545E-4 | 3.7505545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025986114 | 0.0045568314 | 0.0045568314 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025684336 | 0.044645578 | 0.044645578 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.280241E-5 | 7.280241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.1197336E-4 | 3.1197336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0037917187 | 0.0037917187 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022105146 | 0.03753355 | 0.03753355 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.7302426E-5 | 5.7302426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.4555888E-4 | 2.4555888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0029856109 | 0.0029856109 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017841442 | 0.029811922 | 0.029811922 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.1778378E-5 | 4.1778378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.79038E-4 | 1.79038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0021776261 | 0.0021776261 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013325208 | 0.021875726 | 0.021875726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.9445397E-5 | 2.9445397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2618846E-4 | 1.2618846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0015352643 | 0.0015352643 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009349857 | 0.015508216 | 0.015508216 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.671236E-5 | 2.671236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.14476534E-4 | 1.14476534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.001392863 | 0.001392863 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008104719 | 0.014086084 | 0.014086084 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.9967785E-5 | 1.9967785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.5573425E-5 | 8.5573425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010413599 | 0.0010413599 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057804612 | 0.010567364 | 0.010567364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.1003032E-5 | 1.1003032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.7155E-5 | 4.7155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.73961E-4 | 5.73961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032371588 | 0.00589536 | 0.00589536 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.937676E-6 | 9.937676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.2589345E-5 | 4.2589345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 5.18402E-4 | 5.18402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027645302 | 0.005318865 | 0.005318865 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.757306E-6 | 7.757306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.3245175E-5 | 3.3245175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 4.046849E-4 | 4.046849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.004127493 | 0.004127493 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.6235405E-6 | 4.6235405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.9815023E-5 | 1.9815023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.4122125E-4 | 2.4122125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.0024532059 | 0.0024532059 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.4910203E-6 | 2.4910203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.0675757E-5 | 1.0675757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.2996963E-4 | 1.2996963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0013277938 | 0.0013277938 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0196067E-5 | 1.0196067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3696757E-5 | 4.3696757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.318885E-4 | 5.418832E-4 | 1.018791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005307183 | 0.00531713 | 1.0018742 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0196067E-5 | 1.0196067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3696757E-5 | 4.3696757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.318885E-4 | 5.418832E-4 | 1.018791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005307183 | 0.00531713 | 1.0018742 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6981863E-6 | 4.6981863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0134936E-5 | 2.0134936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4511653E-4 | 2.5511408E-4 | 1.0407869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023763329 | 0.002448588 | 0.0024585635 | 1.004074 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6981863E-6 | 4.6981863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0134936E-5 | 2.0134936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4511653E-4 | 2.5511408E-4 | 1.0407869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023763329 | 0.002448588 | 0.0024585635 | 1.004074 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.511371E-6 | 3.511371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.504865E-5 | 1.504865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8320275E-4 | 1.9320092E-4 | 1.0545744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018306003 | 0.001840582 | 1.0054526 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9291286E-6 | 2.9291286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2553352E-5 | 1.2553352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.528271E-4 | 1.6282556E-4 | 1.0654234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015272938 | 0.0015372785 | 1.0065376 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3301354E-6 | 2.3301354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.98626E-6 | 9.98626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2157656E-4 | 1.3157535E-4 | 1.0822427 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012151623 | 0.0012251502 | 1.0082194 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9600766E-6 | 1.9600766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.400305E-6 | 8.400305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.022695E-4 | 1.1226848E-4 | 1.0977708 | 1.0E-5 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010222819 | 0.0010322717 | 1.0097721 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5446087E-6 | 1.5446087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6197376E-6 | 6.6197376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.059285E-5 | 9.059204E-5 | 1.1240705 | 1.0E-5 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0568733E-4 | 8.156793E-4 | 1.0124018 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.144145E-7 | 7.144145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0617748E-6 | 3.0617748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.727679E-5 | 4.7276415E-5 | 1.2682534 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7273666E-4 | 3.8273292E-4 | 1.0268186 | 1.0E-5 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.668708E-5 | 7.668641E-5 | 1.1499441 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8577677E-4 | 3.0577107E-4 | 1.0699646 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003474631 | 0.0034945616 | 1.005736 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02591553 | 0.03430616 | 0.034325477 | 1.000563 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.668708E-5 | 7.668641E-5 | 1.1499441 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8577677E-4 | 3.0577107E-4 | 1.0699646 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003474631 | 0.0034945616 | 1.005736 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02591553 | 0.03430616 | 0.034325477 | 1.000563 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.115587E-5 | 3.115587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.335195E-4 | 1.4351816E-4 | 1.0748855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016245551 | 0.0016345389 | 1.0061455 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012509781 | 0.016160639 | 0.016170477 | 1.0006088 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2498558E-5 | 2.2498558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.641973E-5 | 1.0641877E-4 | 1.1037033 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011734153 | 0.0011834035 | 1.0085121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.0117029175 | 0.011712801 | 1.0008445 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2498558E-5 | 2.2498558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.641973E-5 | 1.0641877E-4 | 1.1037033 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011734153 | 0.0011834035 | 1.0085121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.0117029175 | 0.011712801 | 1.0008445 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9561183E-5 | 1.9561183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.383181E-5 | 9.383097E-5 | 1.1192765 | 1.0E-5 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010203107 | 0.0010303005 | 1.0097909 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0078909 | 0.010186876 | 0.010196774 | 1.0009717 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.639192E-6 | 8.639192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.7024616E-5 | 4.7024245E-5 | 1.2700806 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.506872E-4 | 4.606827E-4 | 1.0221783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0045157513 | 0.004525706 | 1.0022044 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.571506E-6 | 8.571506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6734542E-5 | 4.6734174E-5 | 1.2722133 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4715698E-4 | 4.5715252E-4 | 1.0223535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044805603 | 0.004490515 | 1.0022218 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.417601E-6 | 8.417601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.6074965E-5 | 4.6074605E-5 | 1.2771906 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3912992E-4 | 4.491255E-4 | 1.0227623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034261728 | 0.004400428 | 0.004410384 | 1.0022625 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.089782E-6 | 8.089782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4670065E-5 | 4.466972E-5 | 1.2884233 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.2203197E-4 | 4.3202774E-4 | 1.0236849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0042299284 | 0.004239886 | 1.0023541 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.720701E-6 | 7.720701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.3088334E-5 | 4.3088003E-5 | 1.3022113 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2002592E-4 | 4.027816E-4 | 4.1277756E-4 | 1.0248173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0040379553 | 0.004047915 | 1.0024666 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.2293615E-6 | 7.2293615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.098264E-5 | 4.098233E-5 | 1.3227514 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7715383E-4 | 3.8715007E-4 | 1.0265044 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037822714 | 0.0037922335 | 1.0026339 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.4339257E-6 | 5.4339257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.3288068E-5 | 3.3287834E-5 | 1.4293945 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.8349945E-4 | 2.9349662E-4 | 1.0352634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028478473 | 0.0028578187 | 1.0035014 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.767905E-6 | 2.767905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1862397E-5 | 1.1862397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4441527E-4 | 1.4441527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014534179 | 0.0014534179 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3591338E-6 | 2.3591338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 1.0110534E-5 | 1.0110534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2308892E-4 | 1.2308892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012393224 | 0.0012393224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.2179593E-6 | 2.2179593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.505506E-6 | 9.505506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1572348E-4 | 1.1572348E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011654778 | 0.0011654778 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.9212537E-6 | 1.9212537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.233918E-6 | 8.233918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20049335E-4 | 1.0024343E-4 | 1.0024343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001199845 | 0.0010104383 | 0.0010104383 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3860471E-6 | 1.3860471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.9401887E-6 | 5.9401887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.231944E-5 | 7.231944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.311082E-4 | 7.311082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.719528E-7 | 8.719528E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.7369355E-6 | 3.7369355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.549626E-5 | 4.549626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.6066343E-4 | 4.6066343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.902713E-7 | 3.902713E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6725903E-6 | 1.6725903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 2.0363608E-5 | 2.0363608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 2.0568166E-4 | 2.0568166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.497404E-8 | 3.497404E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4988873E-7 | 1.4988873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.8248945E-6 | 1.8248945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.8799978E-5 | 1.8799978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4713695E-5 | 1.4713695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.3057385E-5 | 6.3057385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.674917E-4 | 7.7748403E-4 | 1.0130194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076522157 | 0.0076720626 | 1.0025936 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4713695E-5 | 1.4713695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.3057385E-5 | 6.3057385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.674917E-4 | 7.7748403E-4 | 1.0130194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076522157 | 0.0076720626 | 1.0025936 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4713695E-5 | 1.4713695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.3057385E-5 | 6.3057385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.674917E-4 | 7.7748403E-4 | 1.0130194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076522157 | 0.0076720626 | 1.0025936 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.877241E-6 | 9.877241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2330477E-5 | 4.2330477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1527494E-4 | 5.252698E-4 | 1.0193971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051430897 | 0.0051530385 | 1.0019344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.877241E-6 | 9.877241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2330477E-5 | 4.2330477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1527494E-4 | 5.252698E-4 | 1.0193971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051430897 | 0.0051530385 | 1.0019344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.891724E-6 | 7.891724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3821354E-5 | 3.3821354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1171792E-4 | 4.217138E-4 | 1.0242785 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.0041115885 | 0.004121547 | 1.0024221 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.1888417E-6 | 7.1888417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.080907E-5 | 3.080907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.750563E-4 | 3.8505255E-4 | 1.0266527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00499945 | 0.003746236 | 0.0037561986 | 1.0026593 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.133912E-6 | 6.133912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.628804E-5 | 2.628804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.2002942E-4 | 3.3002623E-4 | 1.0312371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004479495 | 0.003197603 | 0.003207571 | 1.0031173 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.568382E-6 | 2.568382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.1007327E-5 | 1.1007327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3400997E-4 | 1.3400997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013396848 | 0.0013396848 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3488324E-6 | 2.3488324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0066408E-5 | 1.0066408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2255562E-4 | 1.2255562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012252709 | 0.0012252709 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6917479E-6 | 1.6917479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.250348E-6 | 7.250348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.827299E-5 | 8.827299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.827299E-4 | 8.827299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.845306E-5 | 8.845306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7903295E-4 | 3.7903295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038171355 | 0.004605533 | 0.004605533 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03752231 | 0.04516463 | 0.045174178 | 1.0002114 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.499567E-5 | 4.499567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9282471E-4 | 1.9282471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023451906 | 0.0023451906 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019602431 | 0.023212982 | 0.02322275 | 1.0004208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3369663E-5 | 3.3369663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4300497E-4 | 1.4300497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017397171 | 0.0017397171 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017263595 | 0.017273422 | 1.0005692 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3369663E-5 | 3.3369663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4300497E-4 | 1.4300497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017397171 | 0.0017397171 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017263595 | 0.017273422 | 1.0005692 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5498312E-5 | 2.5498312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0927396E-4 | 1.0927396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013296078 | 0.0013296078 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011519298 | 0.013217692 | 0.01322756 | 1.0007466 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4071123E-5 | 2.4071123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0315793E-4 | 1.0315793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.001255233 | 0.001255233 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010900296 | 0.01248251 | 0.012492386 | 1.0007911 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0742948E-5 | 2.0742948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.889535E-5 | 8.889535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010817689 | 0.0010817689 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.0107657015 | 0.010775594 | 1.0009189 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.8015531E-5 | 1.8015531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.720715E-5 | 7.720715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.395944E-4 | 9.395944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.009356586 | 0.009356586 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6229398E-5 | 1.6229398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.955272E-5 | 6.955272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.464774E-4 | 8.464774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.0084328 | 0.0084328 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4230522E-5 | 1.4230522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.098653E-5 | 6.098653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.4225944E-4 | 7.4225944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.0073979897 | 0.0073979897 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2310514E-5 | 1.2310514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.275828E-5 | 5.275828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.421438E-4 | 6.421438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.0064030113 | 0.0064030113 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0625388E-5 | 1.0625388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.5536588E-5 | 4.5536588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.542677E-4 | 5.542677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.0055289497 | 0.0055289497 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.274806E-6 | 9.274806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9748567E-5 | 3.9748567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8383203E-4 | 4.8383203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004827867 | 0.004827867 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.1021623E-6 | 7.1021623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0437486E-5 | 3.0437486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.705138E-4 | 3.705138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.0036990067 | 0.0036990067 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.652646E-6 | 5.652646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4225403E-5 | 2.4225403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9490475E-4 | 2.9490475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029451756 | 0.0029451756 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9730278E-6 | 1.9730278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.455807E-6 | 8.455807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0294481E-4 | 1.0294481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010289933 | 0.0010289933 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7541295E-7 | 1.7541295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.517696E-7 | 7.517696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.152758E-6 | 9.152758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.152401E-5 | 9.152401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0811614E-5 | 5.0811614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1774818E-4 | 2.1774818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002648261 | 0.002648261 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02111873 | 0.026207462 | 0.026226938 | 1.0007432 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0811614E-5 | 5.0811614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1774818E-4 | 2.1774818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002648261 | 0.002648261 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02111873 | 0.026207462 | 0.026226938 | 1.0007432 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0811614E-5 | 5.0811614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1774818E-4 | 2.1774818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002648261 | 0.002648261 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02111873 | 0.026207462 | 0.026226938 | 1.0007432 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0137075E-5 | 3.0137075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2915269E-4 | 1.2915269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015713332 | 0.0015713332 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01257003 | 0.015605915 | 0.015615759 | 1.0006307 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0137075E-5 | 3.0137075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2915269E-4 | 1.2915269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015713332 | 0.0015713332 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01257003 | 0.015605915 | 0.015615759 | 1.0006307 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5350304E-5 | 2.5350304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0863973E-4 | 1.0863973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013219033 | 0.0013219033 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010529719 | 0.01314234 | 0.013152208 | 1.0007509 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5331234E-5 | 2.5331234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.0855801E-4 | 1.0855801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013209096 | 0.0013209096 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010520565 | 0.01313252 | 0.013142389 | 1.0007515 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2570233E-5 | 2.2570233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.672607E-5 | 9.672607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011770183 | 0.0011770183 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009347493 | 0.011709458 | 0.011709458 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.187038E-5 | 2.187038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.3726914E-5 | 9.3726914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011405423 | 0.0011405423 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009068459 | 0.011348475 | 0.011348475 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9050767E-5 | 1.9050767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.1643666E-5 | 8.1643666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.935715E-4 | 9.935715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008018291 | 0.009892694 | 0.009892694 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8054066E-5 | 1.8054066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.737235E-5 | 7.737235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.416143E-4 | 9.416143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009377614 | 0.009377614 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6222242E-5 | 1.6222242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.952212E-5 | 6.952212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.4611564E-4 | 8.4611564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008430241 | 0.008430241 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.38845835E-5 | 1.38845835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9504062E-5 | 5.9504062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.2423206E-4 | 7.2423206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057893298 | 0.0072198273 | 0.0072198273 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2190431E-5 | 1.2190431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2243722E-5 | 5.2243722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.358924E-4 | 6.358924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0063418057 | 0.0063418057 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.802269E-6 | 9.802269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.2009102E-5 | 4.2009102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.113503E-4 | 5.113503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041356985 | 0.005102679 | 0.005102679 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7769917E-6 | 5.7769917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4758343E-5 | 2.4758343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.013988E-4 | 3.013988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030106537 | 0.0030106537 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.605374E-7 | 2.605374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1165885E-6 | 1.1165885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3594409E-5 | 1.3594409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.359386E-4 | 1.359386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7135324E-5 | 4.7134952E-5 | 1.2692754 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5914431E-4 | 1.6914272E-4 | 1.062826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019363374 | 0.0019463181 | 1.0051544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019241262 | 0.019251069 | 1.0005097 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7135324E-5 | 4.7134952E-5 | 1.2692754 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5914431E-4 | 1.6914272E-4 | 1.062826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019363374 | 0.0019463181 | 1.0051544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019241262 | 0.019251069 | 1.0005097 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7135324E-5 | 4.7134952E-5 | 1.2692754 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5914431E-4 | 1.6914272E-4 | 1.062826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019363374 | 0.0019463181 | 1.0051544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019241262 | 0.019251069 | 1.0005097 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7135324E-5 | 4.7134952E-5 | 1.2692754 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5914431E-4 | 1.6914272E-4 | 1.062826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019363374 | 0.0019463181 | 1.0051544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019241262 | 0.019251069 | 1.0005097 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.124924E-5 | 3.1249027E-5 | 1.470595 | 1.0E-5 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.1065864E-5 | 1.0106495E-4 | 1.1098006 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011083352 | 0.0011183241 | 1.0090126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011044952 | 0.011054842 | 1.0008954 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.124924E-5 | 3.1249027E-5 | 1.470595 | 1.0E-5 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.1065864E-5 | 1.0106495E-4 | 1.1098006 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011083352 | 0.0011183241 | 1.0090126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011044952 | 0.011054842 | 1.0008954 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.678803E-6 | 1.9678706E-5 | 2.0331757 | 1.0E-5 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.147996E-5 | 5.1479547E-5 | 1.2410703 | 1.0E-5 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.049088E-4 | 5.1490375E-4 | 1.0197955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050383424 | 0.0050482918 | 1.0019748 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.6663625E-6 | 1.9666266E-5 | 2.0345054 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.142665E-5 | 5.1426236E-5 | 1.2413805 | 1.0E-5 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.0426E-4 | 5.1425496E-4 | 1.019821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051012407 | 0.0050318837 | 0.0050418335 | 1.0019773 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.78352E-6 | 1.7783443E-5 | 2.2847557 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3357544E-5 | 4.3357213E-5 | 1.2997723 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0605743E-4 | 4.1605334E-4 | 1.0246171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004218856 | 0.0040536504 | 0.00406361 | 1.0024569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.487864E-6 | 1.5487809E-5 | 2.8221927 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.351921E-5 | 3.3518976E-5 | 1.4251744 | 1.0E-5 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.863095E-4 | 2.9630665E-4 | 1.0349172 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028594844 | 0.0028694558 | 1.0034871 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.988599E-6 | 1.4988549E-5 | 3.004561 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1379537E-5 | 3.1379324E-5 | 1.467727 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.6026546E-4 | 2.7026286E-4 | 1.0384123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025996738 | 0.0026096478 | 1.0038366 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0921827E-6 | 1.4092142E-5 | 3.4436736 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.753781E-5 | 2.7537635E-5 | 1.5701866 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1350232E-4 | 2.2350019E-4 | 1.0468279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021330137 | 0.0021429923 | 1.0046782 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9814182E-6 | 1.2981388E-5 | 4.3540983 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2777445E-5 | 2.2777316E-5 | 1.7826191 | 1.0E-5 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5555439E-4 | 1.6555283E-4 | 1.0642762 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015544663 | 0.0015644508 | 1.0064231 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0978546E-6 | 2.0978546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.990774E-6 | 8.990774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0945725E-4 | 1.0945725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010940406 | 0.0010940406 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0288481E-6 | 1.0288481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.409342E-6 | 4.409342E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3682445E-5 | 5.3682445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.3669774E-4 | 5.3669774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.923628E-7 | 4.923628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1101248E-6 | 2.1101248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5690482E-5 | 2.5690482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.568767E-4 | 2.568767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4812238E-7 | 2.4812238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0633812E-6 | 1.0633812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2946593E-5 | 1.2946593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2945876E-4 | 1.2945876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.404825E-8 | 7.404825E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1734962E-7 | 3.1734962E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.863726E-6 | 3.863726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8636706E-5 | 3.8636706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7695907E-8 | 1.7695907E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.5839594E-8 | 7.5839594E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.233469E-7 | 9.233469E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.233446E-6 | 9.233446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.9159746E-5 | 4.9159746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.1067058E-4 | 2.1067058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025624074 | 0.0025624074 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020348595 | 0.025382426 | 0.025392171 | 1.000384 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.702238E-5 | 2.702238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1580569E-4 | 1.1580569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.001409133 | 0.001409133 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.014015635 | 0.014025494 | 1.0007035 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.702238E-5 | 2.702238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1580569E-4 | 1.1580569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.001409133 | 0.001409133 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.014015635 | 0.014025494 | 1.0007035 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8284329E-5 | 1.8284329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.835931E-5 | 7.835931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.5365284E-4 | 9.5365284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009502803 | 0.0095127085 | 1.0010424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8284329E-5 | 1.8284329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.835931E-5 | 7.835931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.5365284E-4 | 9.5365284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009502803 | 0.0095127085 | 1.0010424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6767488E-5 | 1.6767488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.185893E-5 | 7.185893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.7457563E-4 | 8.7457563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008718376 | 0.008728289 | 1.001137 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2115674E-5 | 1.2115674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.1923478E-5 | 5.1923478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.320193E-4 | 6.320193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.0063078757 | 0.0063178125 | 1.0015754 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0470124E-5 | 1.0470124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4871373E-5 | 4.4871373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.462047E-4 | 5.462047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.005454807 | 0.0054647527 | 1.0018232 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.833736E-6 | 3.833736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6430206E-5 | 1.6430206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 2.0002149E-4 | 2.0002149E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0020001049 | 0.002010085 | 1.0049897 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.1660633E-6 | 2.1660633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.283096E-6 | 9.283096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1301605E-4 | 1.1301605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011301601 | 0.0011401487 | 1.0088383 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5524521E-6 | 1.5524521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.6533494E-6 | 6.6533494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.100158E-5 | 8.100158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.101643E-4 | 8.2015625E-4 | 1.0123332 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4824569E-6 | 1.4824569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.3533716E-6 | 6.3533716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.7349614E-5 | 7.7349614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.736673E-4 | 7.836596E-4 | 1.0129155 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3659252E-6 | 1.3659252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.853952E-6 | 5.853952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.126959E-5 | 7.126959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.128974E-4 | 7.2289025E-4 | 1.0140172 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1288076E-6 | 1.1288076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8377383E-6 | 4.8377383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.889792E-5 | 5.889792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.889816E-4 | 5.9897575E-4 | 1.0169685 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.2878236E-7 | 9.2878236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.98049E-6 | 3.98049E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.8461425E-5 | 4.8461425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8452674E-4 | 4.945219E-4 | 1.0206287 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.6618466E-7 | 7.6618466E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2836447E-6 | 3.2836447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9977676E-5 | 3.9977676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9970825E-4 | 3.9970825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.915684E-7 | 6.915684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9638613E-6 | 2.9638613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.608445E-5 | 3.608445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.607891E-4 | 3.607891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.427867E-7 | 1.427867E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.119429E-7 | 6.119429E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.450389E-6 | 7.450389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.4502364E-5 | 7.4502364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.851782E-5 | 1.851782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.935995E-5 | 7.935995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.658278E-4 | 9.7581814E-4 | 1.0103438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009017491 | 0.009621153 | 0.009631056 | 1.0010294 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.5996475E-6 | 9.5996475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.114075E-5 | 4.114075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.007824E-4 | 5.107774E-4 | 1.0199587 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049974234 | 0.0050073736 | 1.001991 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.5996475E-6 | 9.5996475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.114075E-5 | 4.114075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.007824E-4 | 5.107774E-4 | 1.0199587 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049974234 | 0.0050073736 | 1.001991 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.673472E-6 | 7.673472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2885935E-5 | 3.2885935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0031984E-4 | 4.103158E-4 | 1.02497 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003996693 | 0.004006653 | 1.0024921 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.673472E-6 | 7.673472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2885935E-5 | 3.2885935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0031984E-4 | 4.103158E-4 | 1.02497 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003996693 | 0.004006653 | 1.0024921 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4086225E-6 | 6.4086225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7465274E-5 | 2.7465274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.343449E-4 | 3.4434153E-4 | 1.0298992 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033390583 | 0.0033490248 | 1.0029849 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.914635E-6 | 5.914635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5348225E-5 | 2.5348225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0857735E-4 | 3.1857425E-4 | 1.0323968 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030821187 | 0.0030920878 | 1.0032345 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5432633E-6 | 5.5432633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3756662E-5 | 2.3756662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8920532E-4 | 2.9920242E-4 | 1.0345675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028889144 | 0.0028988856 | 1.0034515 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.250044E-6 | 4.250044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8214381E-5 | 1.8214381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2174348E-4 | 2.3174127E-4 | 1.0450871 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022158076 | 0.0022257853 | 1.004503 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.144145E-7 | 7.144145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0617748E-6 | 3.0617748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.727679E-5 | 4.7276415E-5 | 1.2682534 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7273666E-4 | 3.8273292E-4 | 1.0268186 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.5122855E-5 | 4.5122855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.933694E-4 | 1.933694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023517432 | 0.0023617197 | 1.0042422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.024231292 | 0.024250807 | 1.0008054 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.5122855E-5 | 4.5122855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.933694E-4 | 1.933694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023517432 | 0.0023617197 | 1.0042422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.024231292 | 0.024250807 | 1.0008054 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.5122855E-5 | 4.5122855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.933694E-4 | 1.933694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023517432 | 0.0023617197 | 1.0042422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.024231292 | 0.024250807 | 1.0008054 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.5122855E-5 | 4.5122855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.933694E-4 | 1.933694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023517432 | 0.0023617197 | 1.0042422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.024231292 | 0.024250807 | 1.0008054 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.5122855E-5 | 4.5122855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.933694E-4 | 1.933694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023517432 | 0.0023617197 | 1.0042422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.024231292 | 0.024250807 | 1.0008054 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.1816114E-5 | 4.1816114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7919965E-4 | 1.7919965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0021795786 | 0.0021895568 | 1.004578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.022488406 | 0.022507956 | 1.0008694 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.1816114E-5 | 4.1816114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7919965E-4 | 1.7919965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0021795786 | 0.0021895568 | 1.004578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.022488406 | 0.022507956 | 1.0008694 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 4.122068E-5 | 4.122068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.7664813E-4 | 1.7664813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0021485754 | 0.0021585538 | 1.0046443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.02216979 | 0.022189345 | 1.0008821 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 4.10738E-5 | 4.10738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.7601873E-4 | 1.7601873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0021409276 | 0.0021509062 | 1.0046608 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.022092413 | 0.02211197 | 1.0008852 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 4.0766958E-5 | 4.0766958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.7470386E-4 | 1.7470386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0021249503 | 0.0021349292 | 1.004696 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021925334 | 0.021944895 | 1.0008922 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.9588285E-5 | 3.9588285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6965308E-4 | 1.6965308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0020635747 | 0.002073554 | 1.004836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.021303128 | 0.021322703 | 1.0009189 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.7992384E-5 | 3.7992384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.6281437E-4 | 1.6281437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0019804672 | 0.0019904475 | 1.0050393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.020445975 | 0.020465566 | 1.0009582 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.6282792E-5 | 3.6282792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.5548842E-4 | 1.5548842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018914316 | 0.0019014127 | 1.005277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.019528067 | 0.019547677 | 1.0010042 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.5334102E-5 | 3.5334102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.514231E-4 | 1.514231E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002196605 | 0.0018420209 | 0.0018520025 | 1.0054188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.019014442 | 0.019034063 | 1.0010319 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.495816E-5 | 3.495816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4981211E-4 | 1.4981211E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002098792 | 0.0018224402 | 0.001832422 | 1.0054772 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018811429 | 0.018831052 | 1.0010432 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.3637232E-5 | 3.3637232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.4415162E-4 | 1.4415162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0017536364 | 0.0017636189 | 1.0056925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.01811001 | 0.018129649 | 1.0010843 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 3.0897292E-5 | 3.0897292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.3241026E-4 | 1.3241026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001668642 | 0.0016109052 | 0.0016109052 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01656168 | 0.016670045 | 0.016679877 | 1.0005898 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.744577E-5 | 2.744577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.17619435E-4 | 1.17619435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001424336 | 0.001431077 | 0.001431077 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014152412 | 0.014871348 | 0.014881199 | 1.0006624 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.4796302E-5 | 2.4796302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0626554E-4 | 1.0626554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012237094 | 0.001293016 | 0.001293016 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012169928 | 0.013482376 | 0.013492241 | 1.0007317 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 2.0058742E-5 | 2.0058742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.5963205E-5 | 8.5963205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7068126E-4 | 0.0010461004 | 0.0010461004 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010995849 | 0.011005739 | 1.0008994 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.6757658E-5 | 1.6757658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6258784E-5 | 7.181657E-5 | 7.181657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.740167E-4 | 8.740167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008034821 | 0.009236723 | 0.009246631 | 1.0010726 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.868624E-6 | 8.868624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.8007838E-5 | 3.8007838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.6264776E-4 | 4.6264776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051959283 | 0.004960777 | 0.004960777 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.7258074E-6 | 1.7258074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 7.3962965E-6 | 7.3962965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 9.0046226E-5 | 9.0046226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 0.0010390931 | 0.0010390931 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 4.0836352E-7 | 4.0836352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.7501283E-6 | 1.7501283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.130761E-5 | 2.130761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.5493745E-4 | 2.5493745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.985138E-6 | 9.985138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.279279E-5 | 4.279279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.2088645E-4 | 5.308813E-4 | 1.019188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051975283 | 0.005217424 | 1.0038279 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.985138E-6 | 9.985138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.279279E-5 | 4.279279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.2088645E-4 | 5.308813E-4 | 1.019188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051975283 | 0.005217424 | 1.0038279 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.985138E-6 | 9.985138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.279279E-5 | 4.279279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.2088645E-4 | 5.308813E-4 | 1.019188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051975283 | 0.005217424 | 1.0038279 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.103736E-6 | 8.103736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.472987E-5 | 3.472987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.227604E-4 | 4.327562E-4 | 1.0236441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00921966 | 0.0042201867 | 0.0042301444 | 1.0023595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.103736E-6 | 8.103736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.472987E-5 | 3.472987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.227604E-4 | 4.327562E-4 | 1.0236441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00921966 | 0.0042201867 | 0.0042301444 | 1.0023595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.6161165E-6 | 6.6161165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8354503E-5 | 2.8354503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.451661E-4 | 3.5516266E-4 | 1.0289615 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034467662 | 0.0034567318 | 1.0028913 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.6161165E-6 | 6.6161165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8354503E-5 | 2.8354503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.451661E-4 | 3.5516266E-4 | 1.0289615 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034467662 | 0.0034567318 | 1.0028913 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.428471E-5 | 5.4810853E-6 | 5.4810853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.121875E-5 | 2.3490176E-5 | 2.3490176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.450834E-4 | 2.8595934E-4 | 2.8595934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007425902 | 0.0028563032 | 0.0028563032 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3490684E-5 | 5.083737E-6 | 5.083737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7815934E-5 | 2.1787286E-5 | 2.1787286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0368167E-4 | 2.652318E-4 | 2.652318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007014576 | 0.002649535 | 0.002649535 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2235421E-5 | 4.298869E-6 | 4.298869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2436466E-5 | 1.8423614E-5 | 1.8423614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.38227E-4 | 2.2428804E-4 | 2.2428804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063639707 | 0.0022409728 | 0.0022409728 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1009851E-5 | 3.7277084E-6 | 3.7277084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7184225E-5 | 1.5975815E-5 | 1.5975815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.743165E-4 | 1.9449164E-4 | 1.9449164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005728345 | 0.0019435537 | 0.0019435537 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.726373E-6 | 3.2194537E-6 | 3.2194537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.168379E-5 | 1.3797604E-5 | 1.3797604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.07382E-4 | 1.6797628E-4 | 1.6797628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050622504 | 0.0016788259 | 0.0016788259 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.9335127E-6 | 1.1556874E-6 | 1.1556874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6857803E-5 | 4.952937E-6 | 4.952937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0522442E-4 | 6.03004E-5 | 6.03004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00205035 | 6.028464E-4 | 6.028464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.661632E-6 | 6.934411E-7 | 6.934411E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14069435E-5 | 2.9718872E-6 | 2.9718872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3887069E-4 | 3.6182137E-5 | 3.6182137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013878393 | 3.617635E-4 | 3.617635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.480855E-7 | 5.480855E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3489358E-6 | 2.3489358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8597922E-5 | 2.8597922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8594298E-4 | 2.8594298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6152954E-7 | 3.6152954E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5494114E-6 | 1.5494114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8863926E-5 | 1.8863926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8862372E-4 | 1.8862372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1680255E-8 | 7.1680255E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0720108E-7 | 3.0720108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7401683E-6 | 3.7401683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7401212E-5 | 3.7401212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.090352E-5 | 7.090352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0383718E-4 | 3.1383414E-4 | 1.0329024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036930076 | 0.0037029707 | 1.0026978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028357591 | 0.036380418 | 0.03639969 | 1.0005298 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.090352E-5 | 7.090352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0383718E-4 | 3.1383414E-4 | 1.0329024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036930076 | 0.0037029707 | 1.0026978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028357591 | 0.036380418 | 0.03639969 | 1.0005298 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.2261035E-5 | 5.2261035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2395681E-4 | 2.3395458E-4 | 1.0446415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0027232964 | 0.0027332692 | 1.003662 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021759989 | 0.026966432 | 0.026985893 | 1.0007217 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.2261035E-5 | 5.2261035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2395681E-4 | 2.3395458E-4 | 1.0446415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0027232964 | 0.0027332692 | 1.003662 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021759989 | 0.026966432 | 0.026985893 | 1.0007217 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.468793E-5 | 4.468793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.915058E-4 | 2.0150388E-4 | 1.0522077 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0023291153 | 0.002339092 | 1.0042834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019048655 | 0.023107916 | 0.023117686 | 1.0004227 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.058485E-5 | 4.058485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.739236E-4 | 1.8392187E-4 | 1.0574865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0021154855 | 0.0021254644 | 1.004717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017543508 | 0.021043738 | 0.021053528 | 1.0004652 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 4.0037357E-5 | 4.0037357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.7157751E-4 | 1.8157579E-4 | 1.0582727 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020869768 | 0.002096956 | 1.0047816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017365133 | 0.020764228 | 0.020774022 | 1.0004716 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.86501E-5 | 3.86501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.656329E-4 | 1.7563124E-4 | 1.0603645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016985617 | 0.002014737 | 0.002024717 | 1.0049534 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016856372 | 0.020062216 | 0.020072015 | 1.0004884 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.8074562E-5 | 3.8074562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6316662E-4 | 1.7316498E-4 | 1.061277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019847653 | 0.0019947453 | 1.0050284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016654192 | 0.019767366 | 0.01977717 | 1.0004959 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.7275884E-5 | 3.7275884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5974412E-4 | 1.6974252E-4 | 1.0625901 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019431714 | 0.001953152 | 1.0051363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01638118 | 0.019358685 | 0.01936849 | 1.0005065 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.6176098E-5 | 3.6176098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5503132E-4 | 1.6502978E-4 | 1.0644931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018858938 | 0.0018958749 | 1.0052925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015996104 | 0.018794665 | 0.018804478 | 1.000522 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4937286E-5 | 3.4937286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4972275E-4 | 1.5972125E-4 | 1.0667801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0018213717 | 0.0018313535 | 1.0054804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01556781 | 0.018159736 | 0.018169556 | 1.0005406 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1805448E-5 | 3.1805448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3630206E-4 | 1.4630069E-4 | 1.0733565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016582342 | 0.0016682176 | 1.0060205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014481937 | 0.016552923 | 0.016562758 | 1.0005941 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.7201337E-5 | 2.7201337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1657203E-4 | 1.1657203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0014183553 | 0.0014183553 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012712469 | 0.014178978 | 0.014178978 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5672818E-5 | 2.5672818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.1002181E-4 | 1.1002181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012111551 | 0.001338707 | 0.001338707 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012045753 | 0.013390091 | 0.013390091 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2934148E-5 | 2.2934148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.828556E-5 | 9.828556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011959819 | 0.0011959819 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010886264 | 0.011972993 | 0.011972993 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6407063E-5 | 1.6407063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.476642E-5 | 7.0314134E-5 | 7.0314134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.557463E-4 | 8.557463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007854558 | 0.008598911 | 0.008598911 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.106357E-5 | 1.106357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.741444E-5 | 4.741444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.771183E-4 | 5.771183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00517007 | 0.005827363 | 0.005827363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.74301E-6 | 8.74301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.7469505E-5 | 3.7469505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.5609588E-4 | 4.5609588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035191406 | 0.0046100067 | 0.0046100067 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.5624864E-6 | 5.5624864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.383901E-5 | 2.383901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.902014E-4 | 2.902014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002072189 | 0.0029332163 | 0.0029332163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.1431376E-6 | 2.1431376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.184843E-6 | 9.184843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.1181977E-4 | 1.1181977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011313653 | 0.0011313653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.2423458E-7 | 3.2423458E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3895761E-6 | 1.3895761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6917975E-5 | 1.6917975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.7116626E-4 | 1.7116626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.767465E-5 | 2.767465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.18600954E-4 | 1.18600954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014431343 | 0.0014531198 | 1.0069194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.014367134 | 0.014386847 | 1.0013721 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.767465E-5 | 2.767465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.18600954E-4 | 1.18600954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014431343 | 0.0014531198 | 1.0069194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.014367134 | 0.014386847 | 1.0013721 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.767465E-5 | 2.767465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.18600954E-4 | 1.18600954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014431343 | 0.0014531198 | 1.0069194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.014367134 | 0.014386847 | 1.0013721 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.767465E-5 | 2.767465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.18600954E-4 | 1.18600954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014431343 | 0.0014531198 | 1.0069194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.014367134 | 0.014386847 | 1.0013721 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.767465E-5 | 2.767465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.18600954E-4 | 1.18600954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014431343 | 0.0014531198 | 1.0069194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.014367134 | 0.014386847 | 1.0013721 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7990213E-5 | 1.6715245E-5 | 1.6715245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.709863E-5 | 7.163517E-5 | 7.163517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.382716E-4 | 8.7187573E-4 | 8.81867E-4 | 1.0114595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0093431985 | 0.00870833 | 0.008728156 | 1.0022767 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.650407E-6 | 7.520162E-6 | 7.520162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.135823E-5 | 3.2228912E-5 | 3.2228912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0342013E-4 | 3.9232417E-4 | 3.9232417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005022812 | 0.0039343876 | 0.0039343876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.62828E-6 | 7.497978E-6 | 7.497978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1263404E-5 | 3.2133838E-5 | 3.2133838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.022661E-4 | 3.9116712E-4 | 3.9116712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050113243 | 0.003922858 | 0.003922858 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.887523E-6 | 4.5209845E-6 | 4.5209845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9517621E-5 | 1.9375515E-5 | 1.9375515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5931775E-4 | 2.358736E-4 | 2.358736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035873733 | 0.0023737764 | 0.0023737764 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2722347E-6 | 3.8620424E-6 | 3.8620424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6880729E-5 | 1.6551518E-5 | 1.6551518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2722374E-4 | 2.0149813E-4 | 2.0149813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003267423 | 0.0020306844 | 0.0020306844 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5320347E-6 | 3.0879087E-6 | 3.0879087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708504E-5 | 1.3233838E-5 | 1.3233838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8861282E-4 | 1.6111191E-4 | 1.6111191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028823826 | 0.0016274664 | 0.0016274664 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.8794055E-6 | 1.3381233E-6 | 1.3381233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6625918E-5 | 5.7348016E-6 | 5.7348016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0240174E-4 | 6.981898E-5 | 6.981898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002022175 | 7.153126E-4 | 7.153126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4813652E-6 | 1.0189755E-6 | 1.0189755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49200505E-5 | 4.3670307E-6 | 4.3670307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8163648E-4 | 5.316731E-5 | 5.316731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018148809 | 5.4887496E-4 | 5.4887496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.1682148E-6 | 8.218284E-7 | 8.218284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3577992E-5 | 3.522117E-6 | 3.522117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6529951E-4 | 4.2880933E-5 | 4.2880933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016517661 | 4.4602784E-4 | 4.4602784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9707667E-6 | 7.829972E-7 | 7.829972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2731795E-5 | 3.3556978E-6 | 3.3556978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5499859E-4 | 4.085486E-5 | 4.085486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015489052 | 4.255489E-4 | 4.255489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3462758E-6 | 6.420456E-7 | 6.420456E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0055429E-5 | 2.7516212E-6 | 2.7516212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2241797E-4 | 3.3500477E-5 | 3.3500477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012235056 | 3.5019458E-4 | 3.5019458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.112783E-6 | 5.6363297E-7 | 5.6363297E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.054753E-6 | 2.4155677E-6 | 2.4155677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1023604E-4 | 2.940914E-5 | 2.940914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011018137 | 3.0884135E-4 | 3.0884135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7022471E-6 | 4.562784E-7 | 4.562784E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2953244E-6 | 1.9554773E-6 | 1.9554773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881695E-5 | 2.380768E-5 | 2.380768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.878146E-4 | 2.5144024E-4 | 2.5144024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.230914E-7 | 4.0246124E-7 | 4.0246124E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0989595E-6 | 1.7248327E-6 | 1.7248327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.772918E-5 | 2.0999638E-5 | 2.0999638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7722773E-4 | 2.2282542E-4 | 2.2282542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.3588446E-7 | 3.6871324E-7 | 3.6871324E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.868075E-6 | 1.5801986E-6 | 1.5801986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2743576E-5 | 1.9238749E-5 | 1.9238749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2741247E-4 | 2.0330802E-4 | 2.0330802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.3317523E-7 | 3.375453E-7 | 3.375453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.99322E-7 | 1.4466219E-6 | 1.4466219E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2166677E-5 | 1.7612481E-5 | 1.7612481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21660116E-4 | 1.8555725E-4 | 1.8555725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.4662456E-7 | 2.1636195E-7 | 2.1636195E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283908E-7 | 9.2726515E-7 | 9.2726515E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650631E-6 | 1.1289396E-5 | 1.1289396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650368E-5 | 1.1816291E-4 | 1.1816291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.4931775E-9 | 5.4307554E-9 | 5.4307554E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3542189E-8 | 2.3274668E-8 | 2.3274668E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662612E-7 | 2.8336905E-7 | 2.8336905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662573E-6 | 2.9421265E-6 | 2.9421265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4745957E-5 | 5.4745957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3460499E-4 | 2.3460499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028527528 | 0.0028527528 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023260195 | 0.028181935 | 0.028191654 | 1.0003449 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4745957E-5 | 5.4745957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3460499E-4 | 2.3460499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028527528 | 0.0028527528 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023260195 | 0.028181935 | 0.028191654 | 1.0003449 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.721007E-5 | 4.721007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.023134E-4 | 2.023134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024605212 | 0.0024605212 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020330196 | 0.02434888 | 0.024358636 | 1.0004007 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.721007E-5 | 4.721007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.023134E-4 | 2.023134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024605212 | 0.0024605212 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020330196 | 0.02434888 | 0.024358636 | 1.0004007 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.806398E-5 | 3.806398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6312154E-4 | 1.6312154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019842654 | 0.0019842654 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016718714 | 0.01967464 | 0.019684443 | 1.0004983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.806398E-5 | 3.806398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6312154E-4 | 1.6312154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019842654 | 0.0019842654 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016718714 | 0.01967464 | 0.019684443 | 1.0004983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4282242E-5 | 3.4282242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4691598E-4 | 1.4691598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017872966 | 0.0017872966 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015175272 | 0.017737534 | 0.017747357 | 1.0005537 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2438766E-5 | 3.2438766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3901622E-4 | 1.3901622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014509142 | 0.001691269 | 0.001691269 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014414776 | 0.016792074 | 0.016801907 | 1.0005856 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6944079E-5 | 2.6944079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1546978E-4 | 1.1546978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014049856 | 0.0014049856 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01213047 | 0.013967642 | 0.0139775025 | 1.000706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3637645E-5 | 2.3637645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.01300466E-4 | 1.01300466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012326718 | 0.0012326718 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010738871 | 0.012263768 | 0.012263768 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9689687E-5 | 1.9689687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.4381776E-5 | 8.4381776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010268866 | 0.0010268866 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009070295 | 0.010225437 | 0.010225437 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6489292E-5 | 1.6489292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.0666574E-5 | 7.0666574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.6004246E-4 | 8.6004246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007696735 | 0.008570513 | 0.008570513 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5744057E-5 | 1.5744057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.747288E-5 | 6.747288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.21189E-4 | 8.21189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008184881 | 0.008184881 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5216435E-5 | 1.5216435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.521175E-5 | 6.521175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.936801E-4 | 7.936801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007138774 | 0.0079117725 | 0.0079117725 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4150716E-5 | 1.4150716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0644605E-5 | 6.0644605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.381138E-4 | 7.381138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073599024 | 0.0073599024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2839478E-5 | 1.2839478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.502526E-5 | 5.502526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.6974235E-4 | 6.6974235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032217 | 0.0066805 | 0.0066805 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3389056E-6 | 3.3389056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.43095585E-5 | 1.43095585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7421228E-4 | 1.7421228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017426163 | 0.0017426163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hollywood
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2608963E-5 | 2.2608836E-5 | 1.7930766 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.403732E-5 | 6.403678E-5 | 1.1850473 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.577104E-4 | 6.677038E-4 | 1.0151943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065581272 | 0.0065680617 | 1.0015148 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2608963E-5 | 2.2608836E-5 | 1.7930766 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.403732E-5 | 6.403678E-5 | 1.1850473 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.577104E-4 | 6.677038E-4 | 1.0151943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065581272 | 0.0065680617 | 1.0015148 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2608963E-5 | 2.2608836E-5 | 1.7930766 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.403732E-5 | 6.403678E-5 | 1.1850473 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.577104E-4 | 6.677038E-4 | 1.0151943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065581272 | 0.0065680617 | 1.0015148 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2608963E-5 | 2.2608836E-5 | 1.7930766 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.403732E-5 | 6.403678E-5 | 1.1850473 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.577104E-4 | 6.677038E-4 | 1.0151943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065581272 | 0.0065680617 | 1.0015148 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.2589552E-5 | 2.2589425E-5 | 1.7942995 | 1.0E-5 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.3954132E-5 | 6.3953594E-5 | 1.1853327 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.5669825E-4 | 6.666917E-4 | 1.0152177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064653796 | 0.0065480657 | 0.006558 | 1.0015172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1332569E-5 | 2.1332457E-5 | 1.8824024 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.8567264E-5 | 5.8566777E-5 | 1.20589 | 1.0E-5 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.911487E-4 | 6.011428E-4 | 1.0169063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058488925 | 0.0058960496 | 0.0059059905 | 1.0016861 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.1323672E-5 | 2.132356E-5 | 1.8830957 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.852914E-5 | 5.852865E-5 | 1.2060518 | 1.0E-5 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.9068477E-4 | 6.0067885E-4 | 1.0169195 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005844661 | 0.005891435 | 0.005901376 | 1.0016874 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1318407E-5 | 2.1318294E-5 | 1.8835065 | 1.0E-5 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.8506572E-5 | 5.8506088E-5 | 1.2061477 | 1.0E-5 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.9041014E-4 | 6.004043E-4 | 1.0169274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058422405 | 0.0058887033 | 0.0058986447 | 1.0016881 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.0231579E-5 | 2.0231477E-5 | 1.9773563 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.3848897E-5 | 5.384846E-5 | 1.228046 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.337317E-4 | 5.437264E-4 | 1.018726 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005335517 | 0.005324725 | 0.0053346716 | 1.001868 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 9.121851E-6 | 1.9121759E-5 | 2.0962586 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.909307E-5 | 4.909268E-5 | 1.2557898 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.7585584E-4 | 4.8585105E-4 | 1.0210048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048161 | 0.004748543 | 0.0047584954 | 1.0020959 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.268716E-6 | 1.8268633E-5 | 2.2093678 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.543688E-5 | 4.5436525E-5 | 1.2821819 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.3136004E-4 | 4.4135572E-4 | 1.0231725 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004412184 | 0.004305378 | 0.004315335 | 1.0023127 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.2763356E-6 | 1.6276274E-5 | 2.5932765 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.6898306E-5 | 3.6898036E-5 | 1.3717606 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.274381E-4 | 3.3743482E-4 | 1.0305301 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034605677 | 0.0032696025 | 0.0032795698 | 1.0030484 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 5.1153816E-6 | 1.511533E-5 | 2.9548786 | 1.0E-5 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.1922879E-5 | 3.192266E-5 | 1.4561344 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.6687852E-4 | 2.7687586E-4 | 1.0374602 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028912104 | 0.0026655965 | 0.00267557 | 1.0037415 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.965413E-6 | 3.965413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6994516E-5 | 1.6994516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.0688868E-4 | 2.0688868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022442779 | 0.0020669708 | 0.0020669708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.705691E-6 | 2.705691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.1595767E-5 | 1.1595767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.4116937E-4 | 1.4116937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014886294 | 0.001410802 | 0.001410802 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.9010505E-6 | 1.9010505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.540134E-6 | 8.147334E-6 | 8.147334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.918931E-5 | 9.918931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010392254 | 9.91454E-4 | 9.91454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.22395E-6 | 1.22395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.24549E-6 | 5.24549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.386198E-5 | 6.386198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159987E-4 | 6.3843833E-4 | 6.3843833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.295337E-7 | 6.295337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.6979988E-6 | 2.6979988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.2847656E-5 | 3.2847656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0083472E-4 | 3.2842948E-4 | 3.2842948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.468044E-7 | 2.468044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5669474E-6 | 1.0577328E-6 | 1.0577328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.2877824E-5 | 1.2877824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.907578E-4 | 1.2877115E-4 | 1.2877115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 5.412359E-8 | 5.412359E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.3195823E-7 | 2.3195823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.91466E-6 | 2.824089E-6 | 2.824089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9145907E-5 | 2.8240664E-5 | 2.8240664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0430654E-5 | 3.0430654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3041169E-4 | 1.3041169E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015868029 | 0.0015868029 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013842222 | 0.015774297 | 0.015784139 | 1.000624 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0430654E-5 | 3.0430654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3041169E-4 | 1.3041169E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015868029 | 0.0015868029 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013842222 | 0.015774297 | 0.015784139 | 1.000624 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6124031E-5 | 1.6124031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.910172E-5 | 6.910172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.4108766E-4 | 8.4108766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007380498 | 0.0083887745 | 0.00839869 | 1.0011821 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6124031E-5 | 1.6124031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.910172E-5 | 6.910172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.4108766E-4 | 8.4108766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007380498 | 0.0083887745 | 0.00839869 | 1.0011821 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5034288E-5 | 1.5034288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4431624E-5 | 6.4431624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8427105E-4 | 7.8427105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006884126 | 0.007824693 | 0.007834615 | 1.001268 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5034288E-5 | 1.5034288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4431624E-5 | 6.4431624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8427105E-4 | 7.8427105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006884126 | 0.007824693 | 0.007834615 | 1.001268 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2877355E-5 | 1.2877355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.518804E-5 | 5.518804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7180325E-4 | 6.7180325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0067071463 | 0.0067170793 | 1.0014809 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.84143E-6 | 9.84143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2177388E-5 | 4.2177388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.134796E-4 | 5.134796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051318416 | 0.00514179 | 1.0019386 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.176964E-6 | 1.176964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.0441226E-6 | 5.0441226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.1410574E-5 | 6.1410574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.1394734E-4 | 6.1394734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.295568E-7 | 9.295568E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.983809E-6 | 3.983809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.8501868E-5 | 4.8501868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8491984E-4 | 4.8491984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7589524E-7 | 8.7589524E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7538318E-6 | 3.7538318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.570201E-5 | 4.570201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.569328E-4 | 4.569328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.721946E-7 | 7.721946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3094016E-6 | 3.3094016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.029128E-5 | 4.029128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.028457E-4 | 4.028457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.598881E-7 | 7.598881E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2566597E-6 | 3.2566597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.964917E-5 | 3.964917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.964269E-4 | 3.964269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.9067147E-7 | 6.9067147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9600176E-6 | 2.9600176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.6037676E-5 | 3.6037676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.6032408E-4 | 3.6032408E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.202982E-7 | 6.202982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6584185E-6 | 2.6584185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.236582E-5 | 3.236582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2361664E-4 | 3.2361664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3577145E-7 | 5.3577145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2961617E-6 | 2.2961617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7955464E-5 | 2.7955464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.795248E-4 | 2.795248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.605374E-7 | 2.605374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1165885E-6 | 1.1165885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3594409E-5 | 1.3594409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.359386E-4 | 1.359386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.5984936E-5 | 3.5984936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5421206E-4 | 1.5421206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.001875917 | 0.001875917 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018879099 | 0.019342061 | 0.019351868 | 1.000507 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.5984936E-5 | 3.5984936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5421206E-4 | 1.5421206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.001875917 | 0.001875917 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018879099 | 0.019342061 | 0.019351868 | 1.000507 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.5984936E-5 | 3.5984936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5421206E-4 | 1.5421206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.001875917 | 0.001875917 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018879099 | 0.019342061 | 0.019351868 | 1.000507 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.5984936E-5 | 3.5984936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5421206E-4 | 1.5421206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.001875917 | 0.001875917 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018879099 | 0.019342061 | 0.019351868 | 1.000507 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.590616E-5 | 3.590616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.5387448E-4 | 1.5387448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0018718144 | 0.0018718144 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018849645 | 0.019301798 | 0.019311605 | 1.0005081 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.590616E-5 | 3.590616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.5387448E-4 | 1.5387448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0018718144 | 0.0018718144 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018849645 | 0.019301798 | 0.019311605 | 1.0005081 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.5869383E-5 | 3.5869383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.5371689E-4 | 1.5371689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0018698992 | 0.0018698992 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018835869 | 0.019283 | 0.019292807 | 1.0005085 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.585489E-5 | 3.585489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.5365478E-4 | 1.5365478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0018691445 | 0.0018691445 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018830549 | 0.019275596 | 0.019285403 | 1.0005088 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.5823796E-5 | 3.5823796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.5352153E-4 | 1.5352153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0018675248 | 0.0018675248 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018819023 | 0.019259686 | 0.019269492 | 1.0005093 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.578402E-5 | 3.578402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.533511E-4 | 1.533511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0018654534 | 0.0018654534 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018804269 | 0.019239336 | 0.019249145 | 1.0005097 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.566546E-5 | 3.566546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.5284303E-4 | 1.5284303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0018592784 | 0.0018592784 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018760284 | 0.019178672 | 0.01918848 | 1.0005114 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.5621586E-5 | 3.5621586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.5265502E-4 | 1.5265502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001890278 | 0.0018569933 | 0.0018569933 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018742796 | 0.019156221 | 0.01916603 | 1.000512 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.5555426E-5 | 3.5555426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.5237152E-4 | 1.5237152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001887647 | 0.0018535475 | 0.0018535475 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01871693 | 0.019122347 | 0.019132156 | 1.000513 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.544251E-5 | 3.544251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.5188765E-4 | 1.5188765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0018476665 | 0.0018476665 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018670462 | 0.019064335 | 0.019074144 | 1.0005145 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.538933E-5 | 3.538933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.5165975E-4 | 1.5165975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0018448965 | 0.0018448965 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018649481 | 0.019037006 | 0.019046815 | 1.0005153 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.5195688E-5 | 3.5195688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.5082996E-4 | 1.5082996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018692396 | 0.001834811 | 0.001834811 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018535944 | 0.018936424 | 0.018946234 | 1.0005181 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.3683616E-5 | 3.3683616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.4435037E-4 | 1.4435037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001713488 | 0.0017560513 | 0.0017560513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017003361 | 0.018138394 | 0.018148212 | 1.0005413 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 3.074213E-5 | 3.074213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.3174534E-4 | 1.3174534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0016028206 | 0.0016028206 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014957713 | 0.016608402 | 0.016618235 | 1.0005921 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.7968306E-5 | 2.7968306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1985867E-4 | 1.1985867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0014583034 | 0.0014583034 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012934455 | 0.015157434 | 0.015167283 | 1.0006497 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.2789158E-5 | 2.2789158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.766417E-5 | 9.766417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011884136 | 0.0011884136 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010320415 | 0.012442537 | 0.012452412 | 1.0007937 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.6966918E-5 | 1.6966918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6996516E-5 | 7.2713345E-5 | 7.2713345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.849262E-4 | 8.849262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00812392 | 0.009351016 | 0.0093609225 | 1.0010594 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.904128E-6 | 8.904128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.8159993E-5 | 3.8159993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.6449946E-4 | 4.6449946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052278144 | 0.004981901 | 0.004981901 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.7400134E-6 | 1.7400134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 7.4571794E-6 | 7.4571794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 9.078741E-5 | 9.078741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 0.0010478136 | 0.0010478136 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 4.0867982E-7 | 4.0867982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.7514838E-6 | 1.7514838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.1324111E-5 | 2.1324111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.5512482E-4 | 2.5512482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Homestead Valley 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.322447E-6 | 6.322447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.7096037E-5 | 2.7096037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.298651E-4 | 3.298651E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.003295794 | 0.0033057611 | 1.0030242 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.322447E-6 | 6.322447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.7096037E-5 | 2.7096037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.298651E-4 | 3.298651E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.003295794 | 0.0033057611 | 1.0030242 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.322447E-6 | 6.322447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.7096037E-5 | 2.7096037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.298651E-4 | 3.298651E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.003295794 | 0.0033057611 | 1.0030242 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.322447E-6 | 6.322447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.7096037E-5 | 2.7096037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.298651E-4 | 3.298651E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.003295794 | 0.0033057611 | 1.0030242 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.322447E-6 | 6.322447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.7096037E-5 | 2.7096037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.298651E-4 | 3.298651E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.003295794 | 0.0033057611 | 1.0030242 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0265258E-5 | 2.911169E-6 | 2.911169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3993223E-5 | 1.2476419E-5 | 1.2476419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3548586E-4 | 1.5189694E-4 | 1.5189694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005341973 | 0.0015186287 | 0.0015286134 | 1.0065749 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.664671E-6 | 5.4045654E-7 | 5.4045654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8562565E-5 | 2.3162409E-6 | 2.3162409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.476937E-4 | 2.8199991E-5 | 2.8199991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003471502 | 2.8197604E-4 | 2.8197604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.5954046E-6 | 5.4045654E-7 | 5.4045654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8265715E-5 | 2.3162409E-6 | 2.3162409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4408073E-4 | 2.8199991E-5 | 2.8199991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034354846 | 2.8197604E-4 | 2.8197604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.648189E-6 | 2.3458705E-7 | 2.3458705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9920659E-5 | 1.0053727E-6 | 1.0053727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4250703E-4 | 1.2240349E-5 | 1.2240349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024224254 | 1.2239724E-4 | 1.2239724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.1428534E-6 | 1.9488708E-7 | 1.9488708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7754966E-5 | 8.3523014E-7 | 8.3523014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614527E-4 | 1.0168882E-5 | 1.0168882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593515 | 1.01684476E-4 | 1.01684476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.0673707E-6 | 1.545569E-7 | 1.545569E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3145808E-5 | 6.623865E-7 | 6.623865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6003846E-4 | 8.064528E-6 | 8.064528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015992324 | 8.064245E-5 | 8.064245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.340854E-6 | 1.476381E-7 | 1.476381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0032193E-5 | 6.327346E-7 | 6.327346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.221351E-4 | 7.703517E-6 | 7.703517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00122068 | 7.703261E-5 | 7.703261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.3754182E-6 | 1.3984732E-7 | 1.3984732E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8946357E-6 | 5.993455E-7 | 5.993455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.176483E-5 | 7.2970083E-6 | 7.2970083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.174166E-4 | 7.2967785E-5 | 7.2967785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2573237E-6 | 1.388864E-7 | 1.388864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.388519E-6 | 5.9522733E-7 | 5.9522733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.560324E-5 | 7.2468692E-6 | 7.2468692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558388E-4 | 7.246642E-5 | 7.246642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0994207E-6 | 1.3163547E-7 | 1.3163547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7117946E-6 | 5.641519E-7 | 5.641519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.736459E-5 | 6.8685285E-6 | 6.8685285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.734978E-4 | 6.868326E-5 | 6.868326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.5569126E-7 | 6.800142E-8 | 6.800142E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3815317E-6 | 2.9143462E-7 | 2.9143462E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8994764E-5 | 3.5482115E-6 | 3.5482115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.899098E-4 | 3.548161E-5 | 3.548161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.04604216E-4 | 1.04604216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.4822512E-4 | 4.4822512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004310982 | 0.005443934 | 0.0054538795 | 1.0018269 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042283054 | 0.05316276 | 0.053172227 | 1.0001781 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.790437E-5 | 5.790437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.4813897E-4 | 2.4813897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00244744 | 0.0030169522 | 0.0030169522 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024206603 | 0.029767182 | 0.029767182 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2255757E-5 | 4.2255757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.810838E-4 | 1.810838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002202483 | 0.002202483 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018137876 | 0.02180875 | 0.02180875 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2255757E-5 | 4.2255757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.810838E-4 | 1.810838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002202483 | 0.002202483 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018137876 | 0.02180875 | 0.02180875 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.216446E-5 | 3.216446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3784048E-4 | 1.3784048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016769269 | 0.0016769269 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014090929 | 0.016644286 | 0.016644286 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.017284E-5 | 3.017284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2930584E-4 | 1.2930584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.001573173 | 0.001573173 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013261181 | 0.01562188 | 0.01562188 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.580074E-5 | 2.580074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.1056996E-4 | 1.1056996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013453655 | 0.0013453655 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011431668 | 0.013373194 | 0.013373194 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.259074E-5 | 2.259074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.68139E-5 | 9.68139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011780771 | 0.0011780771 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01006902 | 0.011719027 | 0.011719027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.044638E-5 | 2.044638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.762442E-5 | 8.762442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010663096 | 0.0010663096 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009149387 | 0.010612502 | 0.010612502 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.8063201E-5 | 1.8063201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.7411445E-5 | 7.7411445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.4208034E-4 | 9.4208034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008117969 | 0.009381314 | 0.009381314 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.5478834E-5 | 1.5478834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.633619E-5 | 6.633619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.073466E-4 | 8.073466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006990582 | 0.00804447 | 0.00804447 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.4100672E-5 | 1.4100672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.043007E-5 | 6.043007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.354904E-4 | 7.354904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063810493 | 0.0073308684 | 0.0073308684 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2537906E-5 | 1.2537906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.373279E-5 | 5.373279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.540029E-4 | 6.540029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056831064 | 0.006521064 | 0.006521064 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.941327E-6 | 6.941327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.9748207E-5 | 2.9748207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6212464E-4 | 3.6212464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.003615391 | 0.003615391 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.599502E-6 | 5.599502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3997647E-5 | 2.3997647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.9213255E-4 | 2.9213255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.0029175268 | 0.0029175268 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9730278E-6 | 1.9730278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.455807E-6 | 8.455807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0294481E-4 | 1.0294481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010289933 | 0.0010289933 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7541295E-7 | 1.7541295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.517696E-7 | 7.517696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.152758E-6 | 9.152758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.152401E-5 | 9.152401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0445088E-5 | 4.0445088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7332603E-4 | 1.7332603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021084603 | 0.0021084603 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018143194 | 0.020910582 | 0.020920373 | 1.0004683 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0445088E-5 | 4.0445088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7332603E-4 | 1.7332603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021084603 | 0.0021084603 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018143194 | 0.020910582 | 0.020920373 | 1.0004683 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1099971E-5 | 2.1099971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.042589E-5 | 9.042589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0011004817 | 0.0011004817 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010960446 | 0.010970335 | 1.0009024 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1099971E-5 | 2.1099971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.042589E-5 | 9.042589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0011004817 | 0.0011004817 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010960446 | 0.010970335 | 1.0009024 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9602357E-5 | 1.9602357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.4007974E-5 | 8.4007974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.001022418 | 0.001022418 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008894307 | 0.010187098 | 0.010196996 | 1.0009717 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6868758E-5 | 1.6868758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.22932E-5 | 7.22932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.7990816E-4 | 8.7990816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007664232 | 0.008773474 | 0.008783386 | 1.0011297 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3750017E-5 | 1.3750017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.8927813E-5 | 5.8927813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.172989E-4 | 7.172989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062511545 | 0.007158563 | 0.0071684914 | 1.0013869 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1555376E-5 | 1.1555376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.952259E-5 | 4.952259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.02858E-4 | 6.02858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005253921 | 0.006020786 | 0.006030726 | 1.0016509 | 1.0E-5 |
Cedar Mtn-Mahogany Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7763876E-5 | 2.9614765E-5 | 2.9614765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1898261E-4 | 1.2691465E-4 | 1.3691337E-4 | 1.0787832 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014476506 | 0.0015441608 | 0.0015541452 | 1.006466 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0143825635 | 0.015341548 | 0.015351394 | 1.0006418 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6162443E-5 | 1.7156803E-5 | 1.7156803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.926578E-5 | 7.352718E-5 | 7.352718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4298453E-4 | 8.9484354E-4 | 8.9484354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008397939 | 0.008914218 | 0.008914218 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.6162443E-5 | 1.7156803E-5 | 1.7156803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.926578E-5 | 7.352718E-5 | 7.352718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4298453E-4 | 8.9484354E-4 | 8.9484354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008397939 | 0.008914218 | 0.008914218 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 9.746053E-6 | 1.0310981E-5 | 1.0310981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1768133E-5 | 4.4189197E-5 | 4.4189197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840835E-4 | 5.3787476E-4 | 5.3787476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050724675 | 0.005366149 | 0.005366149 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 9.746053E-6 | 1.0310981E-5 | 1.0310981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1768133E-5 | 4.4189197E-5 | 4.4189197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840835E-4 | 5.3787476E-4 | 5.3787476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050724675 | 0.005366149 | 0.005366149 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 7.290083E-6 | 7.70101E-6 | 7.70101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.124284E-5 | 3.3003922E-5 | 3.3003922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031515E-4 | 4.0175085E-4 | 4.0175085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037966494 | 0.004010466 | 0.004010466 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.67907E-6 | 5.9934982E-6 | 5.9934982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4338644E-5 | 2.5686175E-5 | 2.5686175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962827E-4 | 3.1268568E-4 | 3.1268568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029588798 | 0.0031225933 | 0.0031225933 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.4853963E-6 | 3.6752522E-6 | 3.6752522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4937327E-5 | 1.575099E-5 | 1.575099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8184677E-4 | 1.9175204E-4 | 1.9175204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018169804 | 0.001915928 | 0.001915928 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.7535168E-6 | 2.9036491E-6 | 2.9036491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1800733E-5 | 1.2444154E-5 | 1.2444154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4366445E-4 | 1.5149752E-4 | 1.5149752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014357162 | 0.0015139898 | 0.0015139898 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.6594106E-6 | 1.7509634E-6 | 1.7509634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1117406E-6 | 7.504109E-6 | 7.504109E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6582E-5 | 9.1359005E-5 | 9.1359005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.654827E-4 | 9.1324496E-4 | 9.1324496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.10215E-7 | 5.3932825E-7 | 5.3932825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.186634E-6 | 2.3114055E-6 | 2.3114055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6621943E-5 | 2.8141127E-5 | 2.8141127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6618753E-4 | 2.813882E-4 | 2.813882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4299099E-5 | 1.4299099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.128062E-5 | 6.128062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.458728E-4 | 7.458728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006608314 | 0.007438389 | 0.0074483147 | 1.0013344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.55391E-6 | 9.55391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.0944808E-5 | 4.0944808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.984108E-4 | 4.984108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043435963 | 0.004976147 | 0.004976147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 8.008488E-6 | 8.008488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.432175E-5 | 3.432175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.178065E-4 | 4.178065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041731796 | 0.0041731796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4606337E-6 | 3.4606337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4831208E-5 | 1.4831208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.8055587E-4 | 1.8055587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0018052558 | 0.0018052558 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4449129E-6 | 3.4449129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4763834E-5 | 1.4763834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7973573E-4 | 1.7973573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017970675 | 0.0017970675 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.4272416E-6 | 3.4272416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4688101E-5 | 1.4688101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7881383E-4 | 1.7881383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017878633 | 0.0017878633 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3972353E-6 | 3.3972353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4559504E-5 | 1.4559504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7724841E-4 | 1.7724841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017722343 | 0.0017722343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3672372E-6 | 3.3672372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.44309415E-5 | 1.44309415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7568342E-4 | 1.7568342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017566092 | 0.0017566092 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8904967E-6 | 2.8904967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2387788E-5 | 1.2387788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.5081161E-4 | 1.5081161E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0015082429 | 0.0015082429 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.1029678E-6 | 2.1029678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 9.01269E-6 | 9.01269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0972425E-4 | 1.0972425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010978061 | 0.0010978061 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5850441E-6 | 1.5850441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.793029E-6 | 6.793029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.270215E-5 | 8.270215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.278076E-4 | 8.278076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4605961E-6 | 1.4605961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.2596837E-6 | 6.2596837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.620914E-5 | 7.620914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.629236E-4 | 7.629236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.039493E-6 | 1.039493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.4549624E-6 | 4.4549624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.4237862E-5 | 5.4237862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.433296E-4 | 5.433296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.4944255E-7 | 9.4944255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 4.0690334E-6 | 4.0690334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.95394E-5 | 4.95394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.963668E-4 | 4.963668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.624834E-7 | 8.624834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.6963522E-6 | 3.6963522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.50022E-5 | 4.50022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.5100503E-4 | 4.5100503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.368634E-7 | 8.368634E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.5865528E-6 | 3.5865528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.3665445E-5 | 4.3665445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.376244E-4 | 4.376244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.982864E-7 | 7.982864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.421223E-6 | 3.421223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.1652635E-5 | 4.1652635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.174778E-4 | 4.174778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.2701074E-7 | 5.2701074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.2586155E-6 | 2.2586155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.7498309E-5 | 2.7498309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.7602105E-4 | 2.7602105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.2439826E-7 | 1.2439826E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.3313533E-7 | 5.3313533E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.490905E-6 | 6.490905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.53066E-5 | 6.53066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.3033355E-9 | 4.3033355E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.8442865E-8 | 1.8442865E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.2454186E-7 | 2.2454186E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.2938439E-6 | 2.2938439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.76887E-5 | 3.76887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.6151302E-4 | 1.6151302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.0019646492 | 0.0019646492 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01763251 | 0.020218708 | 0.020228505 | 1.0004846 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.76887E-5 | 3.76887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.6151302E-4 | 1.6151302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.0019646492 | 0.0019646492 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01763251 | 0.020218708 | 0.020228505 | 1.0004846 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.76887E-5 | 3.76887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.6151302E-4 | 1.6151302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.0019646492 | 0.0019646492 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01763251 | 0.020218708 | 0.020228505 | 1.0004846 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.76887E-5 | 3.76887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.6151302E-4 | 1.6151302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.0019646492 | 0.0019646492 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01763251 | 0.020218708 | 0.020228505 | 1.0004846 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.758101E-5 | 3.758101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.6105153E-4 | 1.6105153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0019590408 | 0.0019590408 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017588645 | 0.020163655 | 0.020173453 | 1.0004859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.6839236E-5 | 3.6839236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.578729E-4 | 1.578729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0019204095 | 0.0019204095 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017284546 | 0.019784307 | 0.01979411 | 1.0004954 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.677624E-5 | 3.677624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5760295E-4 | 1.5760295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0019171287 | 0.0019171287 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017258976 | 0.019752093 | 0.019761894 | 1.0004963 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.676598E-5 | 3.676598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5755897E-4 | 1.5755897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0019165943 | 0.0019165943 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017256035 | 0.01974687 | 0.019756673 | 1.0004964 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.665966E-5 | 3.665966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.5710338E-4 | 1.5710338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0019110572 | 0.0019110572 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017213784 | 0.019692495 | 0.019702299 | 1.0004978 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.6600377E-5 | 3.6600377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.5684933E-4 | 1.5684933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0019079695 | 0.0019079695 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017192734 | 0.019662268 | 0.019672072 | 1.0004985 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.6540026E-5 | 3.6540026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.5659072E-4 | 1.5659072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0019048264 | 0.0019048264 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017172894 | 0.019631533 | 0.019641336 | 1.0004994 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.641961E-5 | 3.641961E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.560747E-4 | 1.560747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017271966 | 0.001898555 | 0.001898555 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017138338 | 0.019570354 | 0.01958016 | 1.0005009 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.6286532E-5 | 3.6286532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.5550446E-4 | 1.5550446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018916242 | 0.0018916242 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017089253 | 0.019502558 | 0.019512363 | 1.0005027 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.6153077E-5 | 3.6153077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.5493257E-4 | 1.5493257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0018846736 | 0.0018846736 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017049557 | 0.019434756 | 0.019444562 | 1.0005045 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.6073885E-5 | 3.6073885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.5459322E-4 | 1.5459322E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0018805491 | 0.0018805491 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017028693 | 0.01939462 | 0.019404424 | 1.0005056 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.5937395E-5 | 3.5937395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.5400833E-4 | 1.5400833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0018734403 | 0.0018734403 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016978411 | 0.01932487 | 0.019334676 | 1.0005075 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.565775E-5 | 3.565775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.5281E-4 | 1.5281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0018588757 | 0.0018588757 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016826328 | 0.019180262 | 0.01919007 | 1.0005114 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.4119585E-5 | 3.4119585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.462186E-4 | 1.462186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0017787591 | 0.0017787591 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01567979 | 0.018380508 | 0.018390324 | 1.000534 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 3.1262334E-5 | 3.1262334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.3397456E-4 | 1.3397456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0016299209 | 0.0016299209 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013637724 | 0.016888395 | 0.016898226 | 1.0005821 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.4800464E-5 | 2.4800464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.06283376E-4 | 1.06283376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012932329 | 0.0012932329 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010774517 | 0.013505882 | 0.013515747 | 1.0007304 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.7071694E-5 | 1.7071694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.744926E-5 | 7.316235E-5 | 7.316235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.903884E-4 | 8.903884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008178596 | 0.009410957 | 0.009420862 | 1.0010526 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.936468E-6 | 8.936468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.829859E-5 | 3.829859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.6618615E-4 | 4.6618615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005259227 | 0.005002094 | 0.005002094 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.7546329E-6 | 1.7546329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 7.5198336E-6 | 7.5198336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 9.1550166E-5 | 9.1550166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 0.0010571295 | 0.0010571295 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 4.0867982E-7 | 4.0867982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.7514838E-6 | 1.7514838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.1324111E-5 | 2.1324111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.5512482E-4 | 2.5512482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.64721E-5 | 8.647133E-5 | 1.1307566 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2769967E-4 | 3.376964E-4 | 1.0305058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003982971 | 0.0039929315 | 1.0025007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.0391723 | 0.03918191 | 1.0002453 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.64721E-5 | 8.647133E-5 | 1.1307566 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2769967E-4 | 3.376964E-4 | 1.0305058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003982971 | 0.0039929315 | 1.0025007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.0391723 | 0.03918191 | 1.0002453 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.64721E-5 | 8.647133E-5 | 1.1307566 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2769967E-4 | 3.376964E-4 | 1.0305058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003982971 | 0.0039929315 | 1.0025007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.0391723 | 0.03918191 | 1.0002453 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.98938E-5 | 5.98933E-5 | 1.2004157 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1381424E-4 | 2.2381211E-4 | 1.0467596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0026002906 | 0.0026102646 | 1.0038357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025720308 | 0.02573005 | 1.0003788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.98938E-5 | 5.98933E-5 | 1.2004157 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1381424E-4 | 2.2381211E-4 | 1.0467596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0026002906 | 0.0026102646 | 1.0038357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025720308 | 0.02573005 | 1.0003788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.665876E-5 | 4.665839E-5 | 1.2727761 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5710009E-4 | 1.6709852E-4 | 1.0636437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019111314 | 0.0019211123 | 1.0052226 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.018958922 | 0.018968733 | 1.0005175 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.524932E-5 | 4.5248966E-5 | 1.2836834 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5106035E-4 | 1.6105882E-4 | 1.0661887 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018377214 | 0.001847703 | 1.0054315 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018236885 | 0.018246701 | 1.0005383 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.7318254E-5 | 2.7318254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.170735E-4 | 1.170735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.00142453 | 0.00142453 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011863477 | 0.014163267 | 0.014163267 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5497575E-5 | 2.5497575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.09271255E-4 | 1.09271255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013296563 | 0.0013296563 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011065915 | 0.013226092 | 0.013226092 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2671109E-5 | 2.2671109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.715878E-5 | 9.715878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011823539 | 0.0011823539 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009869894 | 0.011769366 | 0.011769366 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.037079E-5 | 2.037079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.730095E-5 | 8.730095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010624564 | 0.0010624564 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008882134 | 0.010582251 | 0.010582251 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.9042867E-5 | 1.9042867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.161021E-5 | 8.161021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.932366E-4 | 9.932366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008304977 | 0.009896383 | 0.009896383 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7240855E-5 | 1.7240855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.3887764E-5 | 7.3887764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.9929666E-4 | 8.9929666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007520827 | 0.00896489 | 0.00896489 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.218335E-6 | 6.218335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6649932E-5 | 2.6649932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.244497E-4 | 3.244497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032432016 | 0.0032432016 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.410084E-7 | 8.410084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.604317E-6 | 3.604317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.388175E-5 | 4.388175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3873806E-4 | 4.3873806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.6686783E-7 | 6.6686783E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8580023E-6 | 2.8580023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.479569E-5 | 3.479569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4790905E-4 | 3.4790905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5628148E-7 | 3.5628148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.52692E-6 | 1.52692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8590139E-5 | 1.8590139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8589044E-4 | 1.8589044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2201245E-7 | 1.2201245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.229104E-7 | 5.229104E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.366416E-6 | 6.366416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.366238E-5 | 6.366238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.103547E-8 | 3.103547E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3300914E-7 | 1.3300914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6193853E-6 | 1.6193853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6193755E-5 | 1.6193755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.9364137E-6 | 6.9364137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9727149E-5 | 2.9727149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.61868E-4 | 3.61868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036924267 | 0.00370239 | 1.0026983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.9364137E-6 | 6.9364137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9727149E-5 | 2.9727149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.61868E-4 | 3.61868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036924267 | 0.00370239 | 1.0026983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.9364137E-6 | 6.9364137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9727149E-5 | 2.9727149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.61868E-4 | 3.61868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036924267 | 0.00370239 | 1.0026983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.9364137E-6 | 6.9364137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9727149E-5 | 2.9727149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.61868E-4 | 3.61868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036924267 | 0.00370239 | 1.0026983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.9364137E-6 | 6.9364137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9727149E-5 | 2.9727149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.61868E-4 | 3.61868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036924267 | 0.00370239 | 1.0026983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.896604E-6 | 6.896604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.955654E-5 | 2.955654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.5979153E-4 | 3.5979153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0036717309 | 0.0036816942 | 1.0027136 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.896604E-6 | 6.896604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.955654E-5 | 2.955654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.5979153E-4 | 3.5979153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0036717309 | 0.0036816942 | 1.0027136 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.815706E-6 | 6.815706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.9209841E-5 | 2.9209841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.5557186E-4 | 3.5557186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0036296723 | 0.003639636 | 1.002745 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.8101804E-6 | 6.8101804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.918616E-5 | 2.918616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.5528364E-4 | 3.5528364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0036267997 | 0.0036367634 | 1.0027473 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.8015247E-6 | 6.8015247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.9149067E-5 | 2.9149067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.5483215E-4 | 3.5483215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0036222995 | 0.0036322633 | 1.0027506 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.7915958E-6 | 6.7915958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.9106515E-5 | 2.9106515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.5431428E-4 | 3.5431428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0036171377 | 0.0036271014 | 1.0027546 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.7802575E-6 | 6.7802575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.9057925E-5 | 2.9057925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.5372286E-4 | 3.5372286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034157229 | 0.003611244 | 0.0036212078 | 1.0027591 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.7621236E-6 | 6.7621236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.8980208E-5 | 2.8980208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.52777E-4 | 3.52777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034099987 | 0.003601821 | 0.003611785 | 1.0027664 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.742711E-6 | 6.742711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.8897013E-5 | 2.8897013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.517644E-4 | 3.517644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003404813 | 0.0035917396 | 0.0036017036 | 1.0027741 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.7235856E-6 | 6.7235856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.881505E-5 | 2.881505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.5076682E-4 | 3.5076682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0035818145 | 0.0035917787 | 1.0027819 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.699639E-6 | 6.699639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.8712422E-5 | 2.8712422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.4951774E-4 | 3.4951774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0035693767 | 0.003579341 | 1.0027916 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.6584116E-6 | 6.6584116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.8535736E-5 | 2.8535736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.4736728E-4 | 3.4736728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0035479371 | 0.0035579016 | 1.0028086 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.448731E-6 | 6.448731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.7637127E-5 | 2.7637127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.3643012E-4 | 3.3643012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0034384492 | 0.0034484148 | 1.0028983 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 6.0018174E-6 | 6.0018174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.5721822E-5 | 2.5721822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.871688E-4 | 3.1311825E-4 | 3.1311825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0032044337 | 0.0032144017 | 1.0031106 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.2916254E-6 | 4.2916254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.8392551E-5 | 1.8392551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.2390635E-4 | 2.2390635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020273007 | 0.002306294 | 0.0023162707 | 1.004326 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.6804867E-6 | 2.6804867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.148775E-5 | 1.148775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3985441E-4 | 1.3985441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0014544014 | 0.0014643868 | 1.0068657 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2984674E-6 | 1.2984674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.5648484E-6 | 5.5648484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.774995E-5 | 6.774995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 7.120259E-4 | 7.120259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.4207787E-7 | 2.4207787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 1.0374762E-6 | 1.0374762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.2631199E-5 | 1.2631199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.4128844E-4 | 1.4128844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 5.356774E-8 | 5.356774E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.29576E-7 | 2.29576E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.7950844E-6 | 2.7950844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 3.213711E-5 | 3.213711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2667604E-5 | 2.2667604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.7143384E-5 | 9.7143384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011821012 | 0.0011821012 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.01177838 | 0.011788262 | 1.000839 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2667604E-5 | 2.2667604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.7143384E-5 | 9.7143384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011821012 | 0.0011821012 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.01177838 | 0.011788262 | 1.000839 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2667604E-5 | 2.2667604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.7143384E-5 | 9.7143384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011821012 | 0.0011821012 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.01177838 | 0.011788262 | 1.000839 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8507824E-5 | 1.8507824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.931693E-5 | 7.931693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.6527307E-4 | 9.6527307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012044783 | 0.009626415 | 0.009636318 | 1.0010288 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8507824E-5 | 1.8507824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.931693E-5 | 7.931693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.6527307E-4 | 9.6527307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012044783 | 0.009626415 | 0.009636318 | 1.0010288 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.4822842E-5 | 1.4822842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8592806E-5 | 6.352497E-5 | 6.352497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.731509E-4 | 7.731509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009523412 | 0.0077148005 | 0.0077247233 | 1.0012863 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.4685052E-5 | 1.4685052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.809766E-5 | 6.2934465E-5 | 6.2934465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.504242E-4 | 7.659666E-4 | 7.659666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009463696 | 0.0076434533 | 0.0076533766 | 1.0012983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.4094708E-5 | 1.4094708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.505249E-5 | 6.040454E-5 | 6.040454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.13381E-4 | 7.3518575E-4 | 7.3518575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00909636 | 0.007334017 | 0.0073439437 | 1.0013535 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.4018275E-5 | 1.4018275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4642754E-5 | 6.0076985E-5 | 6.0076985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.083966E-4 | 7.312005E-4 | 7.312005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009046922 | 0.007294366 | 0.007304293 | 1.0013609 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.3052947E-5 | 1.3052947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.5940043E-5 | 5.5940043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.8086496E-4 | 6.8086496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008522186 | 0.0067934995 | 0.0068034315 | 1.001462 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 1.0935903E-5 | 1.0935903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.686733E-5 | 4.686733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.7046313E-4 | 5.7046313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072331014 | 0.0056935353 | 0.005703478 | 1.0017464 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 1.0382375E-5 | 1.0382375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.449515E-5 | 4.449515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9922156E-4 | 5.415964E-4 | 5.415964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069702556 | 0.005405936 | 0.005415882 | 1.0018399 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 9.045252E-6 | 9.045252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.87648E-5 | 3.87648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.7186104E-4 | 4.7186104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063146 | 0.004710058 | 0.0047200113 | 1.0021131 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 7.6129645E-6 | 7.6129645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019697E-5 | 3.262659E-5 | 3.262659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797693E-4 | 3.971578E-4 | 3.971578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005466277 | 0.00396491 | 0.0039748703 | 1.0025121 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.8212034E-6 | 6.8212034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.9233408E-5 | 2.9233408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.5586001E-4 | 3.5586001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005009353 | 0.0035530583 | 0.0035630227 | 1.0028045 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.663524E-6 | 5.663524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.4272027E-5 | 2.4272027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.9547315E-4 | 2.9547315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004277392 | 0.002950932 | 0.002950932 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.7000613E-6 | 4.7000613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9892764E-5 | 2.014297E-5 | 2.014297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.4521424E-4 | 2.4521424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036328835 | 0.002449554 | 0.002449554 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.3395603E-6 | 2.3395603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7826753E-5 | 1.0026653E-5 | 1.0026653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.2206841E-4 | 1.2206841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021680726 | 0.0012200873 | 0.0012200873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.432682E-8 | 9.432682E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0425775E-7 | 4.0425775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.92183E-6 | 4.92183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9217546E-5 | 4.9217546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4577874E-9 | 3.4577874E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4819088E-8 | 1.4819088E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.8042239E-7 | 1.8042239E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.8042226E-6 | 1.8042226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.68421E-5 | 3.68421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5788518E-4 | 1.5788518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0019205585 | 0.0019205585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020996714 | 0.019797705 | 0.019807506 | 1.0004951 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.68421E-5 | 3.68421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5788518E-4 | 1.5788518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0019205585 | 0.0019205585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020996714 | 0.019797705 | 0.019807506 | 1.0004951 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.68421E-5 | 3.68421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5788518E-4 | 1.5788518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0019205585 | 0.0019205585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020996714 | 0.019797705 | 0.019807506 | 1.0004951 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.68421E-5 | 3.68421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5788518E-4 | 1.5788518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0019205585 | 0.0019205585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020996714 | 0.019797705 | 0.019807506 | 1.0004951 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.6713383E-5 | 3.6713383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.573336E-4 | 1.573336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0019138562 | 0.0019138562 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020950472 | 0.019732015 | 0.019741818 | 1.0004967 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.6713383E-5 | 3.6713383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.573336E-4 | 1.573336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0019138562 | 0.0019138562 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020950472 | 0.019732015 | 0.019741818 | 1.0004967 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.665846E-5 | 3.665846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5709824E-4 | 1.5709824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0019109963 | 0.0019109963 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020930743 | 0.019703982 | 0.019713785 | 1.0004975 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.6627385E-5 | 3.6627385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5696509E-4 | 1.5696509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002111905 | 0.0019093781 | 0.0019093781 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020919468 | 0.019688118 | 0.019697921 | 1.0004979 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.6598696E-5 | 3.6598696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5684216E-4 | 1.5684216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021107488 | 0.001907884 | 0.001907884 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020908125 | 0.019673416 | 0.01968322 | 1.0004983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.656089E-5 | 3.656089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.5668014E-4 | 1.5668014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0019059151 | 0.0019059151 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020892553 | 0.019654017 | 0.01966382 | 1.0004988 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.6440415E-5 | 3.6440415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.5616388E-4 | 1.5616388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018996408 | 0.0018996408 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02084144 | 0.019592147 | 0.01960195 | 1.0005004 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.6418653E-5 | 3.6418653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.5607063E-4 | 1.5607063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018985072 | 0.0018985072 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020830948 | 0.019580927 | 0.01959073 | 1.0005007 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.632232E-5 | 3.632232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.556578E-4 | 1.556578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018934901 | 0.0018934901 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020787042 | 0.01953128 | 0.019541085 | 1.000502 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.614504E-5 | 3.614504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.5489812E-4 | 1.5489812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020819185 | 0.001884257 | 0.001884257 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020625217 | 0.019437382 | 0.019447187 | 1.0005045 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.6027308E-5 | 3.6027308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.5439364E-4 | 1.5439364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0018781254 | 0.0018781254 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020513052 | 0.019374922 | 0.019384727 | 1.0005062 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.5064997E-5 | 3.5064997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.5026992E-4 | 1.5026992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0018280041 | 0.0018280041 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019140124 | 0.018861206 | 0.018871017 | 1.0005202 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.279735E-5 | 3.279735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.4055251E-4 | 1.4055251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017173645 | 0.001709886 | 0.001709886 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01704153 | 0.017669702 | 0.017679526 | 1.000556 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.9322819E-5 | 2.9322819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.2566318E-4 | 1.2566318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0015288766 | 0.0015288766 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014625421 | 0.015861034 | 0.015870877 | 1.0006205 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.6582557E-5 | 2.6582557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.1392027E-4 | 1.1392027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013860977 | 0.0013860977 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012614589 | 0.014426398 | 0.014436254 | 1.0006832 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.1647653E-5 | 2.1647653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301561E-5 | 9.277236E-5 | 9.277236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0011289191 | 0.0011289191 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011838282 | 0.011848164 | 1.0008347 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.6911821E-5 | 1.6911821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6782646E-5 | 7.2477225E-5 | 7.2477225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.820537E-4 | 8.820537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008098091 | 0.009320116 | 0.009330022 | 1.001063 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.893591E-6 | 8.893591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.811484E-5 | 3.811484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.6394992E-4 | 4.6394992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0049755597 | 0.0049755597 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.7348618E-6 | 1.7348618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 7.435101E-6 | 7.435101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 9.0518624E-5 | 9.0518624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 0.0010446457 | 0.0010446457 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 4.0836352E-7 | 4.0836352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.7501283E-6 | 1.7501283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.130761E-5 | 2.130761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.5493745E-4 | 2.5493745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Frontal (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.002529996 | 0.0025399707 | 1.0039426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.002529996 | 0.0025399707 | 1.0039426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.002529996 | 0.0025399707 | 1.0039426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.002529996 | 0.0025399707 | 1.0039426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.002529996 | 0.0025399707 | 1.0039426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.002529996 | 0.0025399707 | 1.0039426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 4.8545508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 2.0805059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 2.532736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.002529996 | 0.0025399707 | 1.0039426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6323772E-6 | 3.6323772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5567242E-5 | 1.5567242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8951547E-4 | 1.8951547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018936156 | 0.0019035967 | 1.005271 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6323772E-6 | 3.6323772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5567242E-5 | 1.5567242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8951547E-4 | 1.8951547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018936156 | 0.0019035967 | 1.005271 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.0428037E-6 | 3.1240795E-6 | 3.1240795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.30405215E-5 | 1.3388847E-5 | 1.3388847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5875678E-4 | 1.629977E-4 | 1.629977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015864341 | 0.0016288487 | 0.0016388324 | 1.0061293 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.538778E-6 | 2.607237E-6 | 2.607237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0880432E-5 | 1.1173828E-5 | 1.1173828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.324612E-4 | 1.3603334E-4 | 1.3603334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013238228 | 0.0013595475 | 0.001369534 | 1.0073454 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2418935E-6 | 2.3022449E-6 | 2.3022449E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.60808E-6 | 9.866729E-6 | 9.866729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1697209E-4 | 1.2012125E-4 | 1.2012125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011691054 | 0.0012006072 | 0.0012105952 | 1.0083191 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6526745E-6 | 1.6932551E-6 | 1.6932551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.082872E-6 | 7.2567886E-6 | 7.2567886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623055E-5 | 8.8348075E-5 | 8.8348075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.61971E-4 | 8.831546E-4 | 8.9314574E-4 | 1.0113131 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0246019E-6 | 1.0447192E-6 | 1.0447192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391144E-6 | 4.477361E-6 | 4.477361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3460866E-5 | 5.4510623E-5 | 5.4510623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.344801E-4 | 5.44984E-4 | 5.44984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.9045164E-7 | 9.0608836E-7 | 9.0608836E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8162157E-6 | 3.883231E-6 | 3.883231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.646144E-5 | 4.727742E-5 | 4.727742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6451724E-4 | 4.726845E-4 | 4.726845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.3357E-7 | 6.405858E-7 | 6.405858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7152971E-6 | 2.7453652E-6 | 2.7453652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.305824E-5 | 3.3424378E-5 | 3.3424378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3053322E-4 | 3.3420007E-4 | 3.3420007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5087024E-7 | 2.4373458E-7 | 2.4373458E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0751578E-6 | 1.0445765E-6 | 1.0445765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089967E-5 | 1.2717665E-5 | 1.2717665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089196E-4 | 1.2717143E-4 | 1.2717143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.282987E-8 | 2.2888983E-8 | 2.2888983E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4069944E-7 | 9.809563E-8 | 9.809563E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7130144E-6 | 1.1943138E-6 | 1.1943138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7130013E-5 | 1.1943082E-5 | 1.1943082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.77499E-9 | 5.6880465E-9 | 5.6880465E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7607098E-8 | 2.4377343E-8 | 2.4377343E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.578663E-7 | 2.9679413E-7 | 2.9679413E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5786537E-6 | 2.9679386E-6 | 2.9679386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.187906E-5 | 8.187906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.508661E-4 | 3.508661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.004263936 | 0.004263936 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03426291 | 0.04187625 | 0.04188583 | 1.0002288 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.187906E-5 | 8.187906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.508661E-4 | 3.508661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.004263936 | 0.004263936 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03426291 | 0.04187625 | 0.04188583 | 1.0002288 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6563913E-5 | 4.6563913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9954448E-4 | 1.9954448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024268017 | 0.0024268017 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020349167 | 0.024009598 | 0.024019359 | 1.0004065 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.801233E-5 | 3.801233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6289995E-4 | 1.6289995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.001981533 | 0.001981533 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01686163 | 0.019642424 | 0.019652227 | 1.0004991 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.416966E-5 | 3.416966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.464333E-4 | 1.464333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017813937 | 0.0017813937 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.017674312 | 0.017674312 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2314492E-5 | 3.2314492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3848345E-4 | 1.3848345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016847576 | 0.0016847576 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016722871 | 0.016722871 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5812671E-5 | 2.5812671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1062113E-4 | 1.1062113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013459949 | 0.0013459949 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013380146 | 0.013380146 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2709057E-5 | 2.2709057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.732097E-5 | 9.732097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.00118425 | 0.00118425 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.01178069 | 0.01178069 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.9012205E-5 | 1.9012205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.1478385E-5 | 8.1478385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.915573E-4 | 9.915573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009872362 | 0.009872362 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.730037E-5 | 1.730037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.414239E-5 | 7.414239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.023185E-4 | 9.023185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.0089874985 | 0.0089874985 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4057718E-5 | 1.4057718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.0246013E-5 | 6.0246013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.3325593E-4 | 7.3325593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0073091546 | 0.0073091546 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.239683E-5 | 1.239683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.312823E-5 | 5.312823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.466516E-4 | 6.466516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064484486 | 0.0064484486 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0863982E-5 | 1.0863982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6559133E-5 | 4.6559133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.6671724E-4 | 5.6671724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.005653447 | 0.005653447 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.1E-6 | 9.1E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8999457E-5 | 3.8999457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7472204E-4 | 4.7472204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047377846 | 0.0047377846 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3684908E-6 | 3.3684908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4436338E-5 | 1.4436338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.757533E-4 | 1.757533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017566398 | 0.0017566398 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.996802E-5 | 4.996802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1413233E-4 | 2.1413233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0026041432 | 0.0026041432 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023677798 | 0.025756992 | 0.025766736 | 1.0003783 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.996802E-5 | 4.996802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1413233E-4 | 2.1413233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0026041432 | 0.0026041432 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023677798 | 0.025756992 | 0.025756992 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9826915E-5 | 2.9826915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2782346E-4 | 1.2782346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015551673 | 0.0015551673 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015441383 | 0.015441383 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3292241E-5 | 2.3292241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.982015E-5 | 9.982015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012146463 | 0.0012146463 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012017938 | 0.012072348 | 0.012072348 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9763746E-5 | 1.9763746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.469907E-5 | 8.469907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010307336 | 0.0010307336 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.01024649 | 0.01024649 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7187007E-5 | 1.7187007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.365656E-5 | 7.365656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.964067E-4 | 8.964067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008914477 | 0.008914477 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4388509E-5 | 1.4388509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.166361E-5 | 6.166361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.505011E-4 | 7.505011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.007460886 | 0.007460886 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1703423E-5 | 1.1703423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.015659E-5 | 5.015659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.1048963E-4 | 6.1048963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.006070178 | 0.006070178 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0635393E-5 | 1.0635393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.557948E-5 | 4.557948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.5479293E-4 | 5.5479293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0055206227 | 0.0055206227 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.89385E-6 | 7.89385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3830365E-5 | 3.3830365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.118098E-4 | 4.118098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0040955027 | 0.0040955027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.114815E-6 | 5.114815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1920452E-5 | 2.1920452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6684895E-4 | 2.6684895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.002665301 | 0.002665301 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.1836147E-6 | 4.1836147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7929655E-5 | 1.7929655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1827179E-4 | 2.1827179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021805859 | 0.0021805859 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2870953E-6 | 3.2870953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4087476E-5 | 1.4087476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7150161E-4 | 1.7150161E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017137021 | 0.0017137021 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4441472E-6 | 2.4441472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0474874E-5 | 1.0474874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.275242E-4 | 1.275242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012745173 | 0.0012745173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7707008E-6 | 1.7707008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.588696E-6 | 7.588696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.238851E-5 | 9.238851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.235064E-4 | 9.235064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.3983874E-7 | 9.3983874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.027874E-6 | 4.027874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.9038303E-5 | 4.9038303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.9027835E-4 | 4.9027835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.421583E-7 | 6.421583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7521041E-6 | 2.7521041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.3506374E-5 | 3.3506374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3501536E-4 | 3.3501536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.4537296E-8 | 6.4537296E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.765884E-7 | 2.765884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.367459E-6 | 3.367459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3674107E-5 | 3.3674107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Madre
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1033382E-5 | 2.1033271E-5 | 1.9063303 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7285073E-5 | 5.72846E-5 | 1.2114732 | 1.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.755452E-4 | 5.8553944E-4 | 1.0173649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.005741086 | 0.005751028 | 1.0017319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1033382E-5 | 2.1033271E-5 | 1.9063303 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7285073E-5 | 5.72846E-5 | 1.2114732 | 1.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.755452E-4 | 5.8553944E-4 | 1.0173649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.005741086 | 0.005751028 | 1.0017319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1033382E-5 | 2.1033271E-5 | 1.9063303 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7285073E-5 | 5.72846E-5 | 1.2114732 | 1.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.755452E-4 | 5.8553944E-4 | 1.0173649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.005741086 | 0.005751028 | 1.0017319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1033382E-5 | 2.1033271E-5 | 1.9063303 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7285073E-5 | 5.72846E-5 | 1.2114732 | 1.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.755452E-4 | 5.8553944E-4 | 1.0173649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.005741086 | 0.005751028 | 1.0017319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1033382E-5 | 2.1033271E-5 | 1.9063303 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7285073E-5 | 5.72846E-5 | 1.2114732 | 1.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.755452E-4 | 5.8553944E-4 | 1.0173649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.005741086 | 0.005751028 | 1.0017319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.26563245E-5 | 1.0262165E-5 | 2.0262063E-5 | 1.9744432 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.3979973E-5 | 5.3979533E-5 | 1.2273662 | 1.0E-5 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.3532573E-4 | 5.4532033E-4 | 1.0186702 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006582173 | 0.005340859 | 0.0053508054 | 1.0018624 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.26563245E-5 | 1.0262165E-5 | 2.0262063E-5 | 1.9744432 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.3979973E-5 | 5.3979533E-5 | 1.2273662 | 1.0E-5 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.3532573E-4 | 5.4532033E-4 | 1.0186702 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006582173 | 0.005340859 | 0.0053508054 | 1.0018624 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2502474E-5 | 1.0098168E-5 | 2.0098067E-5 | 1.9902686 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3580934E-5 | 4.3277152E-5 | 5.327672E-5 | 1.2310588 | 1.0E-5 | 6.521526E-4 | 5.26773E-4 | 5.367677E-4 | 1.0189735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065024206 | 0.005255738 | 0.0052656853 | 1.0018927 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2454966E-5 | 1.0050388E-5 | 2.0050287E-5 | 1.9949765 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3377335E-5 | 4.3072385E-5 | 5.3071955E-5 | 1.2321573 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4967526E-4 | 5.242812E-4 | 5.342759E-4 | 1.0190637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006477792 | 0.005230937 | 0.0052408846 | 1.0019017 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2225574E-5 | 9.82401E-6 | 1.982391E-5 | 2.0179043 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2394265E-5 | 4.2102223E-5 | 5.2101805E-5 | 1.2375071 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3771347E-4 | 5.124751E-4 | 5.224699E-4 | 1.0195031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006358865 | 0.0051134243 | 0.005123373 | 1.0019456 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.182946E-5 | 9.430179E-6 | 1.9430085E-5 | 2.0604153 | 1.0E-5 | 5.06967E-5 | 4.041443E-5 | 5.0414026E-5 | 1.2474264 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1705755E-4 | 4.919356E-4 | 5.019307E-4 | 1.0203179 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006153469 | 0.0049089533 | 0.0049189045 | 1.002027 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.14369095E-5 | 9.016364E-6 | 1.9016274E-5 | 2.1090846 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.8640992E-5 | 4.8640606E-5 | 1.2587825 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9658696E-4 | 4.703535E-4 | 4.803488E-4 | 1.0212506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005949879 | 0.004694061 | 0.004704014 | 1.0021204 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0836419E-5 | 8.428798E-6 | 1.8428715E-5 | 2.1863987 | 1.0E-5 | 4.644097E-5 | 3.6122925E-5 | 4.6122565E-5 | 1.2768226 | 1.0E-5 | 5.652721E-4 | 4.3970876E-4 | 4.4970438E-4 | 1.0227324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056383642 | 0.0043888604 | 0.0043988163 | 1.0022686 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0403439E-5 | 8.049539E-6 | 8.049539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4585406E-5 | 3.4497574E-5 | 3.4497574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.426921E-4 | 4.1992794E-4 | 4.1992794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005413687 | 0.004191815 | 0.004191815 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.768864E-6 | 7.442195E-6 | 7.442195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.186589E-5 | 3.189474E-5 | 3.189474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.09598E-4 | 3.8825013E-4 | 3.8825013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050843097 | 0.0038761855 | 0.0038761855 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.687089E-6 | 6.4762226E-6 | 6.4762226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.722985E-5 | 2.775495E-5 | 2.775495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5317915E-4 | 3.3786497E-4 | 3.3786497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004522561 | 0.0033739759 | 0.0033739759 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.3506063E-6 | 4.4534313E-6 | 4.4534313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.72166E-5 | 1.9085996E-5 | 1.9085996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3131172E-4 | 2.3234748E-4 | 2.3234748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003308182 | 0.0023214463 | 0.0023214463 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.62223E-6 | 2.954473E-6 | 2.954473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9809406E-5 | 1.2661966E-5 | 1.2661966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4115283E-4 | 1.5414855E-4 | 1.5414855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024089129 | 0.0015407938 | 0.0015407938 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.2145008E-6 | 1.9645067E-6 | 1.9645067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3776359E-5 | 8.419287E-6 | 8.419287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6771426E-4 | 1.0250002E-4 | 1.0250002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016758774 | 0.0010248496 | 0.0010248496 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0391769E-6 | 5.6415234E-7 | 5.6415234E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4536077E-6 | 2.4177934E-6 | 2.4177934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4221324E-5 | 2.9436242E-5 | 2.9436242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4208096E-4 | 2.9432387E-4 | 2.9432387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.6496256E-8 | 6.6496256E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.8498394E-7 | 2.8498394E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.4696739E-6 | 3.4696739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.318537E-5 | 3.4696215E-5 | 3.4696215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7437998E-6 | 4.7437998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0330444E-5 | 2.0330444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4750057E-4 | 2.5749812E-4 | 1.040394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024727944 | 0.0024827695 | 1.004034 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7437998E-6 | 4.7437998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0330444E-5 | 2.0330444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4750057E-4 | 2.5749812E-4 | 1.040394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024727944 | 0.0024827695 | 1.004034 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7890574E-6 | 2.7890574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1953055E-5 | 1.1953055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.455198E-4 | 1.5551834E-4 | 1.0687091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014543511 | 0.0014643365 | 1.006866 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7890574E-6 | 2.7890574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1953055E-5 | 1.1953055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.455198E-4 | 1.5551834E-4 | 1.0687091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014543511 | 0.0014643365 | 1.006866 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.324368E-6 | 2.324368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.9615445E-6 | 9.9615445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.21275865E-4 | 1.3127465E-4 | 1.0824467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012121763 | 0.0012221641 | 1.0082396 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.306238E-6 | 2.306238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.8838445E-6 | 9.8838445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.20329976E-4 | 1.3032877E-4 | 1.0830948 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0012027276 | 0.0012127155 | 1.0083045 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.6029909E-6 | 1.6029909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.8699437E-6 | 6.8699437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.3638544E-5 | 8.3638544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.360894E-4 | 8.360894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.383785E-6 | 1.383785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.930495E-6 | 5.930495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.2201525E-5 | 7.2201525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.2179455E-4 | 7.2179455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2931896E-6 | 1.2931896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.54223E-6 | 5.54223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.74747E-5 | 6.74747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.745555E-4 | 6.745555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.2469745E-6 | 1.2469745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.3441668E-6 | 5.3441668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.506342E-5 | 6.506342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.504569E-4 | 6.504569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.0373516E-6 | 1.0373516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.445785E-6 | 4.445785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.4126194E-5 | 5.4126194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.411402E-4 | 5.411402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.5976427E-7 | 8.5976427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.6846993E-6 | 3.6846993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.486038E-5 | 4.486038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.4852187E-4 | 4.4852187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 6.033695E-7 | 6.033695E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.5858672E-6 | 2.5858672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1482545E-5 | 3.1482545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.1478755E-4 | 3.1478755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5950744E-4 | 3.1006514E-4 | 3.1006514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.834242E-4 | 0.0013278886 | 0.0013278886 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00828899 | 0.016007034 | 0.016007034 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.079865426 | 0.14558488 | 0.14559342 | 1.0000587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3584697E-4 | 2.6310963E-4 | 2.6310963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8207137E-4 | 0.0011268833 | 0.0011268833 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007063716 | 0.013601262 | 0.013601262 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06843361 | 0.12516978 | 0.12517853 | 1.0000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.14676266E-4 | 2.1976508E-4 | 2.1976508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9137714E-4 | 9.41307E-4 | 9.41307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059661185 | 0.011378005 | 0.011378005 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058084648 | 0.10612925 | 0.10613819 | 1.0000843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.6227989E-4 | 1.6227989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.9525314E-4 | 6.9525314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004525038 | 0.008425028 | 0.008425028 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.044339992 | 0.08040168 | 0.080410875 | 1.0001143 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5931283E-4 | 1.5931283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.825438E-4 | 6.825438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044306475 | 0.008271473 | 0.008271473 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04343345 | 0.07899627 | 0.07900548 | 1.0001166 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.575422E-4 | 1.575422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.749605E-4 | 6.749605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004376863 | 0.008179937 | 0.008179937 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.042916555 | 0.078162126 | 0.07817134 | 1.0001179 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.5387032E-4 | 1.5387032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.592332E-4 | 6.592332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042669317 | 0.007990259 | 0.007990259 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04185927 | 0.07643626 | 0.0764455 | 1.0001209 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.5052989E-4 | 1.5052989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.4492674E-4 | 6.4492674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004172157 | 0.007817769 | 0.007817769 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.040946912 | 0.07487187 | 0.07488112 | 1.0001236 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.3095801E-4 | 1.3095801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.6110445E-4 | 5.6110445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037082357 | 0.0068067294 | 0.0068067294 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.036469642 | 0.06565523 | 0.065664575 | 1.0001423 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 1.0105117E-4 | 1.0105117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.3300499E-4 | 4.3300499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029876942 | 0.00525917 | 0.00525917 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02947844 | 0.051376175 | 0.051376175 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.450018E-5 | 8.450018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.620937E-4 | 3.620937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025403565 | 0.0043996484 | 0.0043996484 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025115121 | 0.043264844 | 0.043264844 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.4179945E-5 | 7.4179945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.1787567E-4 | 3.1787567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002241108 | 0.0038633305 | 0.0038633305 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022186412 | 0.038151085 | 0.038151085 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.5221066E-5 | 5.5221066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.3664041E-4 | 2.3664041E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0028773197 | 0.0028773197 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016668037 | 0.028669048 | 0.028669048 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 4.0489074E-5 | 4.0489074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.7351317E-4 | 1.7351317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0021104936 | 0.0021104936 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012319452 | 0.021137582 | 0.021137582 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.8114431E-5 | 2.8114431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.20484874E-4 | 1.20484874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.0014659188 | 0.0014659188 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008312687 | 0.0147529235 | 0.0147529235 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.5527203E-5 | 2.5527203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9202768E-5 | 1.0939772E-4 | 1.0939772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.001331106 | 0.001331106 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007182234 | 0.013418149 | 0.013418149 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.7026681E-5 | 1.7026681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 7.296945E-5 | 7.296945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 8.880424E-4 | 8.880424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004590199 | 0.00901151 | 0.00901151 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 8.129024E-6 | 8.129024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 3.4838205E-5 | 3.4838205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 4.240727E-4 | 4.240727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021033096 | 0.004370971 | 0.004370971 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 7.1550967E-6 | 7.1550967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 3.066434E-5 | 3.066434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 3.7327447E-4 | 3.7327447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0038452896 | 0.0038452896 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 5.5497876E-6 | 5.5497876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 2.3784587E-5 | 2.3784587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 2.8953893E-4 | 2.8953893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0029654643 | 0.0029654643 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 3.4471464E-6 | 3.4471464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 1.4773401E-5 | 1.4773401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.7985135E-4 | 1.7985135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.944594E-4 | 0.0018332677 | 0.0018332677 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 2.1437527E-6 | 2.1437527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 9.187479E-6 | 9.187479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 1.11851856E-4 | 1.11851856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 0.0011410048 | 0.0011410048 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5010907E-4 | 2.513374E-4 | 2.513374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4316596E-4 | 0.0010767041 | 0.0010767041 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078024664 | 0.013021206 | 0.013021206 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07534136 | 0.12182151 | 0.121830285 | 1.0000721 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4521465E-4 | 2.42912E-4 | 2.42912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.222001E-4 | 0.0010406418 | 0.0010406418 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075490056 | 0.012588677 | 0.012588677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07297657 | 0.11808315 | 0.11809197 | 1.0000747 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.429998E-4 | 2.421864E-4 | 2.421864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.127123E-4 | 0.0010375349 | 0.0010375349 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007434286 | 0.012551335 | 0.012551335 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07190444 | 0.11771749 | 0.11772631 | 1.000075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3536277E-4 | 2.3537695E-4 | 2.3537695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.799972E-4 | 0.0010083775 | 0.0010083775 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070386264 | 0.012201293 | 0.012201293 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0681982 | 0.11457568 | 0.114584535 | 1.0000772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.2947753E-4 | 2.2947753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.83114E-4 | 9.83114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006757223 | 0.011897177 | 0.011897177 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06555412 | 0.11179772 | 0.1118066 | 1.0000794 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.8254918E-4 | 1.8254918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.821179E-4 | 7.821179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005463498 | 0.00948062 | 0.00948062 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.053311124 | 0.090399705 | 0.090408795 | 1.0001006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.7737981E-4 | 1.7737981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.5997674E-4 | 7.5997674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052862884 | 0.009213396 | 0.009213396 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05162293 | 0.08796063 | 0.08796976 | 1.0001037 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.6990423E-4 | 1.6990423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.2795677E-4 | 7.2795677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050282106 | 0.0088268155 | 0.0088268155 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.049159497 | 0.0844251 | 0.084434256 | 1.0001085 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.5891803E-4 | 1.5891803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.8089826E-4 | 6.8089826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047319788 | 0.008258392 | 0.008258392 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.046324775 | 0.07927209 | 0.07928129 | 1.0001161 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.250251E-4 | 1.250251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.357124E-4 | 5.357124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038295772 | 0.0065029175 | 0.0065029175 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037642512 | 0.06313935 | 0.06313935 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 9.560009E-5 | 9.560009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4623662E-4 | 4.096507E-4 | 4.096507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029938098 | 0.004976165 | 0.004976165 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02953797 | 0.04879222 | 0.04879222 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 8.208389E-5 | 8.208389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.123707E-4 | 3.51741E-4 | 3.51741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025825473 | 0.0042741024 | 0.0042741024 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0255274 | 0.04211382 | 0.04211382 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 6.0859635E-5 | 6.0859635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5803022E-4 | 2.608011E-4 | 2.608011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0031706605 | 0.0031706605 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01905776 | 0.03152665 | 0.03152665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 4.349502E-5 | 4.349502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.8639401E-4 | 1.8639401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0022670035 | 0.0022670035 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013396223 | 0.02267362 | 0.02267362 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 3.0710624E-5 | 3.0710624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6060016E-5 | 1.3161034E-4 | 1.3161034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0016011811 | 0.0016011811 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009217911 | 0.016087532 | 0.016087532 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 2.697008E-5 | 2.697008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.378478E-5 | 1.1558095E-4 | 1.1558095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76303E-4 | 0.0014062927 | 0.0014062927 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077359667 | 0.014157794 | 0.014157794 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 1.5483834E-5 | 1.5483834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 6.635761E-5 | 6.635761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 8.076058E-4 | 8.076058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004252361 | 0.008195249 | 0.008195249 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 6.600175E-6 | 6.600175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 2.8286157E-5 | 2.8286157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 3.443296E-4 | 3.443296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017651088 | 0.0035580022 | 0.0035580022 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 5.662329E-6 | 5.662329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 2.42669E-5 | 2.42669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 2.954095E-4 | 2.954095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454306 | 0.003051925 | 0.003051925 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 4.344193E-6 | 4.344193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 1.8617837E-5 | 1.8617837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 2.2664863E-4 | 2.2664863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010292825 | 0.0023281034 | 0.0023281034 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 2.6787504E-6 | 2.6787504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 1.1480309E-5 | 1.1480309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 1.3976383E-4 | 1.3976383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1381224E-4 | 0.0014263027 | 0.0014263027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 1.6150141E-6 | 1.6150141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 6.9214702E-6 | 6.9214702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 8.426567E-5 | 8.426567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9185135E-4 | 8.597137E-4 | 8.597137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Frontal (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003898537 | 0.0039084977 | 1.002555 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003898537 | 0.0039084977 | 1.002555 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003898537 | 0.0039084977 | 1.002555 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003898537 | 0.0039084977 | 1.002555 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003898537 | 0.0039084977 | 1.002555 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003898537 | 0.0039084977 | 1.002555 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003898537 | 0.0039084977 | 1.002555 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 7.481935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 3.2065152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 3.9034328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003898537 | 0.0039084977 | 1.002555 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.959142E-6 | 6.240546E-6 | 6.240546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.553893E-5 | 2.6745025E-5 | 2.6745025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.108921E-4 | 3.2559014E-4 | 3.2559014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031045752 | 0.0032529067 | 0.0032628742 | 1.0030642 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2946929E-6 | 2.3836724E-6 | 2.3836724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.834361E-6 | 1.0215702E-5 | 1.0215702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1972676E-4 | 1.2436954E-4 | 1.2436954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011966228 | 0.0012430459 | 0.0012530334 | 1.0080347 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.2468673E-6 | 2.333331E-6 | 2.333331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.629396E-6 | 9.999954E-6 | 9.999954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1723159E-4 | 1.2174311E-4 | 1.2174311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011716976 | 0.0012168105 | 0.0012267984 | 1.0082082 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.9921076E-6 | 2.0656018E-6 | 2.0656018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.537577E-6 | 8.852552E-6 | 8.852552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0394004E-4 | 1.0777492E-4 | 1.0777492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010389143 | 0.0010772693 | 0.0010872586 | 1.0092727 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4524545E-6 | 1.5052315E-6 | 1.5052315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2247905E-6 | 6.4509773E-6 | 6.4509773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5784184E-5 | 7.853807E-5 | 7.853807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.575835E-4 | 7.851276E-4 | 7.9511973E-4 | 1.0127268 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.9802575E-7 | 9.3132525E-7 | 9.3132525E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.848676E-6 | 3.9913884E-6 | 3.9913884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.685662E-5 | 4.8594186E-5 | 4.8594186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6846745E-4 | 4.858469E-4 | 4.858469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.776139E-7 | 8.0643906E-7 | 8.0643906E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3326266E-6 | 3.4561635E-6 | 3.4561635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0573974E-5 | 4.207809E-5 | 4.207809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0566566E-4 | 4.2071196E-4 | 4.2071196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.244417E-7 | 5.443932E-7 | 5.443932E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2476054E-6 | 2.3331118E-6 | 2.3331118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7364253E-5 | 2.8405333E-5 | 2.8405333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7360884E-4 | 2.8402355E-4 | 2.8402355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.5489647E-7 | 1.609778E-7 | 1.609778E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6384183E-7 | 6.8990477E-7 | 6.8990477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.082245E-6 | 8.399579E-6 | 8.399579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.08195E-5 | 8.399461E-5 | 8.399461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5835594E-5 | 2.5835436E-5 | 1.6314788 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7865214E-5 | 7.786453E-5 | 1.1473409 | 1.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.259709E-4 | 8.3596265E-4 | 1.012097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008231542 | 0.00824146 | 1.0012048 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5835594E-5 | 2.5835436E-5 | 1.6314788 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7865214E-5 | 7.786453E-5 | 1.1473409 | 1.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.259709E-4 | 8.3596265E-4 | 1.012097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008231542 | 0.00824146 | 1.0012048 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5835594E-5 | 2.5835436E-5 | 1.6314788 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7865214E-5 | 7.786453E-5 | 1.1473409 | 1.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.259709E-4 | 8.3596265E-4 | 1.012097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008231542 | 0.00824146 | 1.0012048 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5835594E-5 | 2.5835436E-5 | 1.6314788 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7865214E-5 | 7.786453E-5 | 1.1473409 | 1.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.259709E-4 | 8.3596265E-4 | 1.012097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008231542 | 0.00824146 | 1.0012048 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4478082E-5 | 2.4477937E-5 | 1.6906892 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.2047584E-5 | 7.204696E-5 | 1.1611567 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.5519085E-4 | 7.651833E-4 | 1.0132316 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075285924 | 0.0075385175 | 1.0013182 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4478082E-5 | 2.4477937E-5 | 1.6906892 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.2047584E-5 | 7.204696E-5 | 1.1611567 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.5519085E-4 | 7.651833E-4 | 1.0132316 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075285924 | 0.0075385175 | 1.0013182 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0688818E-5 | 2.0688713E-5 | 1.9355471 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.580845E-5 | 5.5807992E-5 | 1.2182903 | 1.0E-5 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.575806E-4 | 5.6757504E-4 | 1.0179247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.005562386 | 0.00557233 | 1.0017878 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0688818E-5 | 2.0688713E-5 | 1.9355471 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.580845E-5 | 5.5807992E-5 | 1.2182903 | 1.0E-5 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.575806E-4 | 5.6757504E-4 | 1.0179247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.005562386 | 0.00557233 | 1.0017878 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.0193902E-5 | 2.01938E-5 | 1.9809686 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.368745E-5 | 5.3687014E-5 | 1.2288886 | 1.0E-5 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.317703E-4 | 5.41765E-4 | 1.0187951 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052453685 | 0.005305536 | 0.005315483 | 1.0018748 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.5621147E-6 | 1.7562039E-5 | 2.3223715 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.2408665E-5 | 4.240834E-5 | 1.3085494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.945053E-4 | 4.0450133E-4 | 1.0253382 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040209293 | 0.0039381897 | 0.00394815 | 1.0025293 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.923732E-6 | 1.6923663E-5 | 2.4442978 | 1.0E-5 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.9672807E-5 | 3.9672508E-5 | 1.3369989 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.612076E-4 | 3.71204E-4 | 1.0276749 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037173668 | 0.00360633 | 0.003616294 | 1.0027629 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.3100935E-6 | 1.531004E-5 | 2.883196 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2757346E-5 | 3.2757118E-5 | 1.4394085 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.7703567E-4 | 2.8703292E-4 | 1.0360864 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0027669405 | 0.0027769129 | 1.003604 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.536351E-6 | 1.4536306E-5 | 3.204405 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.9441359E-5 | 2.9441164E-5 | 1.5143573 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.3667298E-4 | 2.466706E-4 | 1.0422424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025721465 | 0.0023642376 | 0.002374214 | 1.0042197 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.8145756E-6 | 3.8145756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.634808E-5 | 1.634808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9901979E-4 | 1.9901979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019884405 | 0.0019884405 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 3.0517836E-6 | 3.0517836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.3079008E-5 | 1.3079008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5922537E-4 | 1.5922537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015911348 | 0.0015911348 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.3087873E-6 | 2.3087873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.894766E-6 | 9.894766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.2046218E-4 | 1.2046218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0012039895 | 0.0012039895 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.4470507E-6 | 1.4470507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.201631E-6 | 6.201631E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.5502285E-5 | 7.5502285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.547841E-4 | 7.547841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.681677E-7 | 7.681677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.292143E-6 | 3.292143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 4.0081122E-5 | 4.0081122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5608735E-4 | 4.0075427E-4 | 4.0075427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.3520416E-7 | 4.3520416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.8651593E-6 | 1.8651593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.2708085E-5 | 2.2708085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.2707184E-4 | 2.2707184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.3528566E-8 | 5.3528566E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.2940813E-7 | 2.2940813E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.7930416E-6 | 2.7930416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.7930197E-5 | 2.7930197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2802567E-5 | 4.280224E-5 | 1.3048441 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4057527E-4 | 1.5057386E-4 | 1.0711262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017102323 | 0.0017202152 | 1.0058372 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016978277 | 0.016988108 | 1.000579 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2802567E-5 | 3.2802567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4057527E-4 | 1.4057527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017102323 | 0.0017102323 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015371585 | 0.016978277 | 0.016978277 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.1187378E-5 | 2.1187378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2418206E-5 | 9.0800015E-5 | 9.0800015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0011049528 | 0.0011049528 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00998465 | 0.010997006 | 0.010997006 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.456753E-5 | 1.456753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.243083E-5 | 6.243083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.598395E-4 | 7.598395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006888649 | 0.007573364 | 0.007573364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.583834E-6 | 8.583834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.6787358E-5 | 3.6787358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.477974E-4 | 4.477974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004071363 | 0.0044692922 | 0.0044692922 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.825234E-6 | 5.825234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4965062E-5 | 2.4965062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.0390933E-4 | 3.0390933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027656353 | 0.0030351472 | 0.0030351472 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.9535707E-6 | 3.9535707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6943774E-5 | 1.6943774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.0627247E-4 | 2.0627247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018768552 | 0.0020609645 | 0.0020609645 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.7870756E-6 | 2.7870756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.1944562E-5 | 1.1944562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4541666E-4 | 1.4541666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013224703 | 0.0014533454 | 0.0014533454 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.3331297E-6 | 1.3331297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.7134057E-6 | 5.7134057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.9559464E-5 | 6.9559464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.954723E-4 | 6.954723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.986967E-5 | 1.986967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.515308E-5 | 8.515308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010362648 | 0.0010362648 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011126885 | 0.010321117 | 0.010331013 | 1.0009589 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.986967E-5 | 1.986967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.515308E-5 | 8.515308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010362648 | 0.0010362648 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011126885 | 0.010321117 | 0.010331013 | 1.0009589 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.986967E-5 | 1.986967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.515308E-5 | 8.515308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010362648 | 0.0010362648 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011126885 | 0.010321117 | 0.010331013 | 1.0009589 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7845752E-5 | 1.7845752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.647965E-5 | 7.647965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.307562E-4 | 9.307562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010253254 | 0.009274859 | 0.009284766 | 1.0010682 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7845752E-5 | 1.7845752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.647965E-5 | 7.647965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.307562E-4 | 9.307562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010253254 | 0.009274859 | 0.009284766 | 1.0010682 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7845752E-5 | 1.7845752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.647965E-5 | 7.647965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.307562E-4 | 9.307562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010253254 | 0.009274859 | 0.009284766 | 1.0010682 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.7104745E-5 | 1.7104745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2234634E-5 | 7.330409E-5 | 7.330409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010007467 | 8.921283E-4 | 8.921283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00996252 | 0.008891955 | 0.008901866 | 1.0011146 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.4802656E-5 | 1.4802656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546184E-5 | 6.343846E-5 | 6.343846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.720995E-4 | 7.720995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009145746 | 0.0077010556 | 0.007710979 | 1.0012885 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.3848869E-5 | 1.3848869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.9350994E-5 | 5.9350994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8517193E-4 | 7.223675E-4 | 7.223675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008816543 | 0.0072064013 | 0.007216329 | 1.0013777 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.2909567E-5 | 1.2909567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.5325585E-5 | 5.5325585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.7338865E-4 | 6.7338865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008315775 | 0.0067193243 | 0.006729257 | 1.0014782 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 1.0502841E-5 | 1.0502841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.5011413E-5 | 4.5011413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.944992E-4 | 5.478789E-4 | 5.478789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006923327 | 0.005468845 | 0.00547879 | 1.0018185 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.990243E-6 | 9.990243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5136024E-5 | 4.2814638E-5 | 4.2814638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.710743E-4 | 5.211461E-4 | 5.211461E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066905143 | 0.0052024135 | 0.005212362 | 1.0019122 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 8.680346E-6 | 8.680346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.720096E-5 | 3.720096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.5282935E-4 | 4.5282935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060604266 | 0.0045205313 | 0.004530486 | 1.0022022 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 7.2402395E-6 | 7.2402395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2893007E-5 | 3.1029238E-5 | 3.1029238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.7771693E-4 | 3.7771693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005208723 | 0.003771177 | 0.0037811392 | 1.0026417 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 6.442377E-6 | 6.442377E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.7609904E-5 | 2.7609904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.361001E-4 | 3.361001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00474572 | 0.0033560724 | 0.003366039 | 1.0029696 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 5.4095303E-6 | 5.4095303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.3183504E-5 | 2.3183504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.8222386E-4 | 2.8222386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0028187823 | 0.0028187823 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.7016274E-6 | 4.7016274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.990303E-5 | 2.0149682E-5 | 2.0149682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.4529596E-4 | 2.4529596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003634129 | 0.0024503693 | 0.0024503693 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.340912E-6 | 2.340912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835715E-5 | 1.0032446E-5 | 1.0032446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.2213894E-4 | 1.2213894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021691616 | 0.0012207917 | 0.0012207917 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.432682E-8 | 9.432682E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0425775E-7 | 4.0425775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.92183E-6 | 4.92183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9217546E-5 | 4.9217546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4577874E-9 | 3.4577874E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4819088E-8 | 1.4819088E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.8042239E-7 | 1.8042239E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.8042226E-6 | 1.8042226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4090262E-5 | 3.4090262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4609311E-4 | 1.4609311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017772621 | 0.0017772621 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015640736 | 0.017637976 | 0.0176478 | 1.000557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4090262E-5 | 3.4090262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4609311E-4 | 1.4609311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017772621 | 0.0017772621 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015640736 | 0.017637976 | 0.0176478 | 1.000557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4090262E-5 | 3.4090262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4609311E-4 | 1.4609311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017772621 | 0.0017772621 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015640736 | 0.017637976 | 0.0176478 | 1.000557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2203916E-5 | 3.2203916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3800965E-4 | 1.3800965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016790004 | 0.0016790004 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01479908 | 0.016670255 | 0.016680088 | 1.0005898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2203916E-5 | 3.2203916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3800965E-4 | 1.3800965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016790004 | 0.0016790004 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01479908 | 0.016670255 | 0.016680088 | 1.0005898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0926563E-5 | 3.0926563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3253585E-4 | 1.3253585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016124571 | 0.0016124571 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014230782 | 0.01601457 | 0.01602441 | 1.0006144 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9346906E-5 | 2.9346906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2576654E-4 | 1.2576654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015301588 | 0.0015301588 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013544982 | 0.015203169 | 0.015213016 | 1.0006478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7431093E-5 | 2.7431093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1755667E-4 | 1.1755667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012775084 | 0.001430338 | 0.001430338 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012701893 | 0.014218046 | 0.014218046 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.501735E-5 | 2.501735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0721293E-4 | 1.0721293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013045578 | 0.0013045578 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011539802 | 0.012975323 | 0.012975323 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2366972E-5 | 2.2366972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.585504E-5 | 9.585504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011664289 | 0.0011664289 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010331288 | 0.011608573 | 0.011608573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0631662E-5 | 2.0631662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.841851E-5 | 8.841851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010759815 | 0.0010759815 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009531168 | 0.010712957 | 0.010712957 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9835743E-5 | 1.9835743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.5007654E-5 | 8.5007654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010344945 | 0.0010344945 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009176437 | 0.0103019895 | 0.0103019895 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8214154E-5 | 1.8214154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.805842E-5 | 7.805842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.4996433E-4 | 9.4996433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008511325 | 0.0094640795 | 0.0094640795 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.6013202E-5 | 1.6013202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.8626294E-5 | 6.8626294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.3522114E-4 | 8.3522114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008324322 | 0.008324322 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.41870905E-5 | 1.41870905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.0800492E-5 | 6.0800492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.4001047E-4 | 7.4001047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0073787756 | 0.0073787756 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2875852E-5 | 1.2875852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5181146E-5 | 5.5181146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.716391E-4 | 6.716391E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006054099 | 0.006699386 | 0.006699386 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3468277E-6 | 3.3468277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.434351E-5 | 1.434351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7462559E-4 | 1.7462559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017467537 | 0.0017467537 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.3306674E-5 | 6.3306674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.7128862E-4 | 2.812859E-4 | 1.0368512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032983848 | 0.0033083519 | 1.0030218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023254504 | 0.03262036 | 0.032630034 | 1.0002966 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.3306674E-5 | 6.3306674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.7128862E-4 | 2.812859E-4 | 1.0368512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032983848 | 0.0033083519 | 1.0030218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023254504 | 0.03262036 | 0.032630034 | 1.0002966 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4840483E-5 | 3.4840483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4930799E-4 | 1.5930651E-4 | 1.0669657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018163426 | 0.0018263244 | 1.0054955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.018080462 | 0.018090282 | 1.0005431 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4840483E-5 | 3.4840483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4930799E-4 | 1.5930651E-4 | 1.0669657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018163426 | 0.0018263244 | 1.0054955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.018080462 | 0.018090282 | 1.0005431 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2663796E-5 | 3.2663796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3998036E-4 | 1.4997895E-4 | 1.0714285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0017029584 | 0.0017129413 | 1.0058621 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.016949309 | 0.01695914 | 1.00058 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2663796E-5 | 3.2663796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3998036E-4 | 1.4997895E-4 | 1.0714285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0017029584 | 0.0017129413 | 1.0058621 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.016949309 | 0.01695914 | 1.00058 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8440913E-5 | 2.8440913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2188406E-4 | 1.3188284E-4 | 1.0820352 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014829522 | 0.0014929373 | 1.0067333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011653901 | 0.014781909 | 0.0147917615 | 1.0006665 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.8109538E-5 | 2.8109538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.2046402E-4 | 1.3046281E-4 | 1.0830023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014656865 | 0.0014756719 | 1.0068127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011538187 | 0.014611267 | 0.014621121 | 1.0006744 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.4183031E-5 | 2.4183031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0363756E-4 | 1.13636524E-4 | 1.0964801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012610768 | 0.0012710642 | 1.0079198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010138147 | 0.012583942 | 0.012593816 | 1.0007846 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5430562E-5 | 1.5430562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.612934E-5 | 6.612934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9470983E-4 | 8.048331E-4 | 8.048331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069254204 | 0.008060292 | 0.008060292 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3329497E-5 | 1.3329497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.7125195E-5 | 5.7125195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.952824E-4 | 6.952824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061178906 | 0.0069719874 | 0.0069719874 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.11125755E-5 | 1.11125755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.7624475E-5 | 4.7624475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.796773E-4 | 5.796773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005237907 | 0.0058221743 | 0.0058221743 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0706802E-5 | 1.0706802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.5885507E-5 | 4.5885507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.585164E-4 | 5.585164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0056115245 | 0.0056115245 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 1.0146636E-5 | 1.0146636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.3484877E-5 | 4.3484877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.2930333E-4 | 5.2930333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048639905 | 0.005320236 | 0.005320236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.686712E-6 | 9.686712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.151384E-5 | 4.151384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7072413E-4 | 5.053172E-4 | 5.053172E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004697283 | 0.005080583 | 0.005080583 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.2626353E-6 | 7.2626353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.112521E-5 | 3.112521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.7888435E-4 | 3.7888435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003688092 | 0.0038154384 | 0.0038154384 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 6.1229503E-6 | 6.1229503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.6240954E-5 | 2.6240954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1943704E-4 | 3.1943704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0032209593 | 0.0032209593 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.9111995E-6 | 4.9111995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.1047828E-5 | 2.1047828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.5622733E-4 | 2.5622733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025894525 | 0.0025894525 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 4.1160265E-6 | 4.1160265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7639995E-5 | 1.7639995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.1474586E-4 | 2.1474586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021727735 | 0.0021727735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.4889895E-6 | 3.4889895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4952726E-5 | 1.4952726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.820343E-4 | 1.820343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0018417889 | 0.0018417889 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.7259687E-6 | 1.7259687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.3969877E-6 | 7.3969877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1709874E-5 | 9.005464E-5 | 9.005464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1686733E-4 | 9.110677E-4 | 9.110677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.2423458E-7 | 3.2423458E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3895761E-6 | 1.3895761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6917975E-5 | 1.6917975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.7116626E-4 | 1.7116626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5721643E-5 | 2.5721643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.10231056E-4 | 1.2022995E-4 | 1.0907085 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.001341254 | 0.0013512406 | 1.0074457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.013335661 | 0.013345528 | 1.0007398 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5721643E-5 | 2.5721643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.10231056E-4 | 1.2022995E-4 | 1.0907085 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.001341254 | 0.0013512406 | 1.0074457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.013335661 | 0.013345528 | 1.0007398 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5721643E-5 | 2.5721643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.10231056E-4 | 1.2022995E-4 | 1.0907085 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.001341254 | 0.0013512406 | 1.0074457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.013335661 | 0.013345528 | 1.0007398 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5220888E-5 | 2.5220888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0808514E-4 | 1.1808406E-4 | 1.0925096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013151591 | 0.001325146 | 1.0075936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.013077803 | 0.013087672 | 1.0007547 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5220888E-5 | 2.5220888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0808514E-4 | 1.1808406E-4 | 1.0925096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013151591 | 0.001325146 | 1.0075936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.013077803 | 0.013087672 | 1.0007547 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4909647E-5 | 2.4909647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0675136E-4 | 1.16750285E-4 | 1.0936656 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012989397 | 0.0013089267 | 1.0076886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010362327 | 0.012917503 | 0.012927374 | 1.0007641 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3403793E-5 | 2.3403793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115732E-5 | 1.00298195E-4 | 1.1029719E-4 | 1.0996927 | 1.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012204611 | 0.001230449 | 1.0081836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009832645 | 0.0121416785 | 0.012151557 | 1.0008136 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.3003457E-5 | 2.3003457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8582605E-5 | 1.0858162E-4 | 1.1014278 | 1.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011995969 | 0.001209585 | 1.0083262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009669261 | 0.011935293 | 0.011945174 | 1.0008279 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1889871E-5 | 2.1889871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.381044E-5 | 1.0380951E-4 | 1.1065879 | 1.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011415579 | 0.0011515465 | 1.00875 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009260561 | 0.011360256 | 0.011370143 | 1.0008702 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5344356E-5 | 1.5344356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.57599E-5 | 6.57599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8514474E-4 | 8.003392E-4 | 8.003392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006830362 | 0.007975729 | 0.007975729 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3184822E-5 | 1.3184822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.650519E-5 | 5.650519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.8773935E-4 | 6.8773935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068570552 | 0.0068570552 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.08839695E-5 | 1.08839695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.664477E-5 | 4.664477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.677564E-4 | 5.677564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050568148 | 0.0056635966 | 0.0056635966 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0303426E-5 | 1.0303426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.415682E-5 | 4.415682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.3748087E-4 | 5.3748087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053622425 | 0.0053622425 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.82311E-6 | 9.82311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.209839E-5 | 4.209839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1243155E-4 | 5.1243155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005112928 | 0.005112928 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.722041E-6 | 9.722041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1665247E-5 | 4.1665247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.071605E-4 | 5.071605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050604586 | 0.0050604586 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.619592E-6 | 9.619592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.122619E-5 | 4.122619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.018175E-4 | 5.018175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004483909 | 0.0050072707 | 0.0050072707 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.298289E-6 | 9.298289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.9849227E-5 | 3.9849227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8506053E-4 | 4.8506053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048404434 | 0.0048404434 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.358185E-6 | 8.358185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5820325E-5 | 3.5820325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3602925E-4 | 4.3602925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00389112 | 0.004352144 | 0.004352144 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6509323E-7 | 3.6509323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5646843E-6 | 1.5646843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.904987E-5 | 1.904987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9048281E-4 | 1.9048281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6712037E-9 | 2.6712037E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1448016E-8 | 1.1448016E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.393796E-7 | 1.393796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.393796E-6 | 1.393796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.001543038 | 0.0015530224 | 1.0064707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015327672 | 0.015337518 | 1.0006424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.001543038 | 0.0015530224 | 1.0064707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015327672 | 0.015337518 | 1.0006424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.001543038 | 0.0015530224 | 1.0064707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015327672 | 0.015337518 | 1.0006424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.001543038 | 0.0015530224 | 1.0064707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015327672 | 0.015337518 | 1.0006424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.001543038 | 0.0015530224 | 1.0064707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015327672 | 0.015337518 | 1.0006424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.001543038 | 0.0015530224 | 1.0064707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015327672 | 0.015337518 | 1.0006424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 2.9593868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.2682492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.001543038 | 0.0015530224 | 1.0064707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015327672 | 0.015337518 | 1.0006424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.89305E-5 | 2.89305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.2398219E-4 | 1.2398219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0015084757 | 0.0015184606 | 1.0066192 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016039822 | 0.014986732 | 0.014996582 | 1.0006572 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.8304377E-5 | 2.8304377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.2129905E-4 | 1.2129905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015875935 | 0.0014758528 | 0.001485838 | 1.0067657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015762992 | 0.014664811 | 0.0146746645 | 1.0006719 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4276273E-5 | 2.4276273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.0403714E-4 | 1.0403714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012659378 | 0.0012659378 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0139789665 | 0.0125899 | 0.0125899 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.191367E-5 | 2.191367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.3912444E-5 | 9.3912444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011428021 | 0.0011428021 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012905477 | 0.011371456 | 0.011371456 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7397386E-5 | 1.7397386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.455812E-5 | 7.455812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010923136 | 9.0737187E-4 | 9.0737187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0108696 | 0.009037518 | 0.009037518 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.6851223E-5 | 1.6851223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.2217554E-5 | 7.2217554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010659413 | 8.788988E-4 | 8.788988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010608427 | 0.008755058 | 0.008755058 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5419104E-5 | 1.5419104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.6080225E-5 | 6.6080225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.042341E-4 | 8.042341E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009587734 | 0.008014012 | 0.008014012 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4551708E-5 | 1.4551708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.2363E-5 | 6.2363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.590089E-4 | 7.590089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009157699 | 0.0075648827 | 0.0075648827 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.1188377E-5 | 1.1188377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.794932E-5 | 4.794932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.836292E-4 | 5.836292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007068595 | 0.005821233 | 0.005821233 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.644032E-6 | 5.644032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.4188488E-5 | 2.4188488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.9445547E-4 | 2.9445547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0029406971 | 0.0029406971 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.288157E-6 | 3.288157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4092026E-5 | 1.4092026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7155704E-4 | 1.7155704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017142594 | 0.0017142594 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.4385729E-6 | 1.4385729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.1652977E-6 | 6.1652977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.505994E-5 | 7.505994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.503487E-4 | 7.503487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2640292E-7 | 2.2640292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.70298E-7 | 9.70298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1813316E-5 | 1.1813316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1812716E-4 | 1.1812716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.149908E-9 | 5.149908E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.2071035E-8 | 2.2071035E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.687148E-7 | 2.687148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.6871453E-6 | 2.6871453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.4014745E-5 | 4.4014745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8862195E-4 | 1.8862195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022942263 | 0.0022942263 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019349206 | 0.022723477 | 0.02273325 | 1.0004301 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.4014745E-5 | 4.4014745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8862195E-4 | 1.8862195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022942263 | 0.0022942263 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019349206 | 0.022723477 | 0.02273325 | 1.0004301 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.4014745E-5 | 4.4014745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8862195E-4 | 1.8862195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022942263 | 0.0022942263 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019349206 | 0.022723477 | 0.02273325 | 1.0004301 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5377145E-5 | 2.5377145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0875477E-4 | 1.0875477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013233051 | 0.0013233051 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010939079 | 0.013156471 | 0.013166339 | 1.0007501 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5377145E-5 | 2.5377145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0875477E-4 | 1.0875477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013233051 | 0.0013233051 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010939079 | 0.013156471 | 0.013166339 | 1.0007501 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0682402E-5 | 2.0682402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.863592E-5 | 8.863592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010786199 | 0.0010786199 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009036654 | 0.010735143 | 0.0107450355 | 1.0009215 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7697188E-5 | 1.7697188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.584293E-5 | 7.584293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.2300447E-4 | 9.2300447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007902439 | 0.009192572 | 0.00920248 | 1.0010779 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5279307E-5 | 1.5279307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.548114E-5 | 6.548114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9694705E-4 | 7.9694705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006928845 | 0.007941522 | 0.007951443 | 1.0012492 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3043503E-5 | 1.3043503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5899553E-5 | 5.5899553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.803688E-4 | 6.803688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067833103 | 0.0067833103 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1525819E-5 | 1.1525819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.939545E-5 | 4.939545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.0122734E-4 | 6.0122734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059963875 | 0.0059963875 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 9.001173E-6 | 9.001173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8575898E-5 | 3.8575898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6956277E-4 | 4.6956277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042199334 | 0.004685954 | 0.004685954 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.524606E-6 | 7.524606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2247925E-5 | 3.2247925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.925499E-4 | 3.925499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003541148 | 0.003918782 | 0.003918782 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.288042E-6 | 6.288042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6948484E-5 | 2.6948484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.280504E-4 | 3.280504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032758603 | 0.0032758603 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.7120925E-6 | 4.7120925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0194537E-5 | 2.0194537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4584256E-4 | 2.4584256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024558872 | 0.0024558872 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.852905E-6 | 2.852905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2226687E-5 | 1.2226687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4885141E-4 | 1.4885141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014876793 | 0.0014876793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.565575E-8 | 4.565575E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9566748E-7 | 1.9566748E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3822495E-6 | 2.3822495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3822295E-5 | 2.3822295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1520034E-5 | 3.1520034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3508009E-4 | 1.3508009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016435775 | 0.0016435775 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015880952 | 0.016335879 | 0.016345715 | 1.0006021 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1520034E-5 | 3.1520034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3508009E-4 | 1.3508009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016435775 | 0.0016435775 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015880952 | 0.016335879 | 0.016345715 | 1.0006021 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.36552135E-5 | 1.36552135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8521095E-5 | 5.8521095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1227335E-4 | 7.1227335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007871548 | 0.0071011097 | 0.0071110385 | 1.0013982 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.36552135E-5 | 1.36552135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8521095E-5 | 5.8521095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1227335E-4 | 7.1227335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007871548 | 0.0071011097 | 0.0071110385 | 1.0013982 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0704679E-5 | 1.0704679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.5876423E-5 | 4.5876423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5840815E-4 | 5.5840815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065179965 | 0.0055706417 | 0.005580586 | 1.0017852 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.096153E-6 | 9.096153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8982955E-5 | 3.8982955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7451816E-4 | 4.7451816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047354577 | 0.0047454108 | 1.0021018 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.5420303E-6 | 7.5420303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.23226E-5 | 3.23226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9345917E-4 | 3.9345917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039278828 | 0.0039278828 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.758743E-6 | 6.758743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8965731E-5 | 2.8965731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5260292E-4 | 3.5260292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035206561 | 0.0035206561 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.123541E-6 | 5.123541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1957856E-5 | 2.1957856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.673055E-4 | 2.673055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026699784 | 0.0026699784 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.913536E-6 | 3.913536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6772196E-5 | 1.6772196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0418334E-4 | 2.0418334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020400558 | 0.0020400558 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6105067E-6 | 2.6105067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.118784E-5 | 1.118784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3620369E-4 | 1.3620369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013612274 | 0.0013612274 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.102597E-6 | 2.102597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 9.0111E-6 | 9.0111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.09704844E-4 | 1.09704844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010965287 | 0.0010965287 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2645735E-6 | 1.2645735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.41959E-6 | 5.41959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.598159E-5 | 6.598159E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.5962825E-4 | 6.5962825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.1411284E-7 | 7.1411284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.0604801E-6 | 3.0604801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.726073E-5 | 3.726073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.725468E-4 | 3.725468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.3234686E-7 | 5.3234686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2814847E-6 | 2.2814847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.7776727E-5 | 2.7776727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.777331E-4 | 2.777331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6152954E-7 | 3.6152954E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5494114E-6 | 1.5494114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8863926E-5 | 1.8863926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8862372E-4 | 1.8862372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1680255E-8 | 7.1680255E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0720108E-7 | 3.0720108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7401683E-6 | 3.7401683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7401212E-5 | 3.7401212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pilarcitos 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.9150476E-6 | 3.2644664E-6 | 3.2644664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1064321E-5 | 1.3990497E-5 | 1.3990497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.564279E-4 | 1.7032129E-4 | 1.7032129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025613222 | 0.0017144177 | 0.0017244006 | 1.0058229 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.9150476E-6 | 3.2644664E-6 | 3.2644664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1064321E-5 | 1.3990497E-5 | 1.3990497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.564279E-4 | 1.7032129E-4 | 1.7032129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025613222 | 0.0017144177 | 0.0017244006 | 1.0058229 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.162343E-6 | 2.4925994E-6 | 2.4925994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.783849E-5 | 1.0682525E-5 | 1.0682525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716199E-4 | 1.3005205E-4 | 1.3005205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002169499 | 0.0013122516 | 0.0013222384 | 1.0076104 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.162343E-6 | 2.4925994E-6 | 2.4925994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.783849E-5 | 1.0682525E-5 | 1.0682525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716199E-4 | 1.3005205E-4 | 1.3005205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002169499 | 0.0013122516 | 0.0013222384 | 1.0076104 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.8768926E-6 | 2.1999217E-6 | 2.1999217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6615148E-5 | 9.428202E-6 | 9.428202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0227065E-4 | 1.1478235E-4 | 1.1478235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020208664 | 0.0011597209 | 0.0011697094 | 1.0086128 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7137002E-6 | 2.0331847E-6 | 2.0331847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.591576E-5 | 8.7136195E-6 | 8.7136195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9375715E-4 | 1.06083186E-4 | 1.06083186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001935883 | 0.0010728156 | 0.001082805 | 1.0093113 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.5048733E-6 | 1.8180406E-6 | 1.8180406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5020799E-5 | 7.791579E-6 | 7.791579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8286289E-4 | 9.485837E-5 | 9.485837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018271249 | 9.606696E-4 | 9.7065995E-4 | 1.0103995 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3908584E-6 | 1.701631E-6 | 1.701631E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.453217E-5 | 7.2926837E-6 | 7.2926837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7691481E-4 | 8.878483E-5 | 8.878483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017677402 | 8.9998456E-4 | 9.0997556E-4 | 1.0111012 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2451449E-6 | 1.5547142E-6 | 1.5547142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3907689E-5 | 6.6630437E-6 | 6.6630437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6931296E-4 | 8.111955E-5 | 8.111955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016918402 | 8.2339067E-4 | 8.333824E-4 | 1.0121349 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1239128E-6 | 1.4311191E-6 | 1.4311191E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3388129E-5 | 6.133353E-6 | 6.133353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6298829E-4 | 7.467102E-5 | 7.467102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001628688 | 7.589511E-4 | 7.689435E-4 | 1.0131661 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.9940109E-6 | 1.3022354E-6 | 1.3022354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2831412E-5 | 5.580997E-6 | 5.580997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5621124E-4 | 6.794652E-5 | 6.794652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015610148 | 6.917495E-4 | 7.0174254E-4 | 1.0144461 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7471217E-6 | 1.2124428E-6 | 1.2124428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1773326E-5 | 5.196173E-6 | 5.196173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4333082E-4 | 6.326157E-5 | 6.326157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001432384 | 6.448697E-4 | 6.5486325E-4 | 1.015497 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.592675E-6 | 1.077794E-6 | 1.077794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1111417E-5 | 4.6191085E-6 | 4.6191085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3527309E-4 | 5.6236197E-5 | 5.6236197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013519078 | 5.7465443E-4 | 5.846487E-4 | 1.0173918 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.4518663E-6 | 9.681825E-7 | 9.681825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0507956E-5 | 4.1493468E-6 | 4.1493468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792686E-4 | 5.0517123E-5 | 5.0517123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012785323 | 5.174879E-4 | 5.274827E-4 | 1.0193142 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.3349535E-6 | 9.2958334E-7 | 9.2958334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0006905E-5 | 3.9839224E-6 | 3.9839224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2182725E-4 | 4.8503178E-5 | 4.8503178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012176048 | 4.9732847E-4 | 5.073235E-4 | 1.0200975 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.1358665E-6 | 8.7963036E-7 | 8.7963036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.15368E-6 | 3.769839E-6 | 3.769839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11440364E-4 | 4.5896824E-5 | 4.5896824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011138449 | 4.7117574E-4 | 4.81171E-4 | 1.0212135 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.6445446E-6 | 7.277416E-7 | 7.277416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.048029E-6 | 3.1188888E-6 | 3.1188888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.580638E-5 | 3.797181E-5 | 3.797181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5773255E-4 | 3.9188637E-4 | 4.0188245E-4 | 1.0255076 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.3650961E-6 | 6.2292276E-7 | 6.2292276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.850399E-6 | 2.6696662E-6 | 2.6696662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.122628E-5 | 3.2502703E-5 | 3.2502703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.120345E-4 | 3.3708938E-4 | 3.4708602E-4 | 1.0296557 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0500993E-6 | 5.919749E-7 | 5.919749E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5004176E-6 | 2.5370327E-6 | 2.5370327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4791206E-5 | 3.088794E-5 | 3.088794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.47777E-4 | 3.2080067E-4 | 3.3079745E-4 | 1.031162 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 5.856431E-7 | 5.518185E-7 | 5.518185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5098966E-6 | 2.3649343E-6 | 2.3649343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0557563E-5 | 2.8792696E-5 | 2.8792696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.055336E-4 | 2.990505E-4 | 3.0904752E-4 | 1.0334291 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 4.4768265E-7 | 5.1950775E-7 | 5.1950775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9186384E-6 | 2.2264599E-6 | 2.2264599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3359173E-5 | 2.7106813E-5 | 2.7106813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3356717E-4 | 2.816305E-4 | 2.916277E-4 | 1.0354975 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.6692538E-7 | 3.5920368E-7 | 3.5920368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1439654E-6 | 1.5394434E-6 | 1.5394434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.392769E-5 | 1.8742563E-5 | 1.8742563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3926817E-4 | 1.9466836E-4 | 1.9466836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.3198862E-8 | 1.1737496E-8 | 1.1737496E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.656655E-8 | 5.0303555E-8 | 5.0303555E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.886975E-7 | 6.124456E-7 | 6.124456E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8869535E-6 | 6.364169E-6 | 6.364169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |