Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0246155E-5 | 0.0076997103 | 109.61041 | 0.00763 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.010206E-4 | 0.010308008 | 34.24353 | 0.01001 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658831 | 0.018853033 | 5.152748 | 0.01525 | 0.028357591 | 0.036142167 | 0.056363903 | 1.5595053 | 0.02098 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0246155E-5 | 0.0076997103 | 109.61041 | 0.00763 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.010206E-4 | 0.010308008 | 34.24353 | 0.01001 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658831 | 0.018853033 | 5.152748 | 0.01525 | 0.028357591 | 0.036142167 | 0.056363903 | 1.5595053 | 0.02098 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1660383E-5 | 0.005491379 | 106.29769 | 0.00544 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2138303E-4 | 0.0073498045 | 33.199493 | 0.00713 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026920382 | 0.013522803 | 5.023258 | 0.01086 | 0.021759989 | 0.026709503 | 0.041260194 | 1.5447758 | 0.01495 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1660383E-5 | 0.005491379 | 106.29769 | 0.00544 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2138303E-4 | 0.0073498045 | 33.199493 | 0.00713 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026920382 | 0.013522803 | 5.023258 | 0.01086 | 0.021759989 | 0.026709503 | 0.041260194 | 1.5447758 | 0.01495 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4109085E-5 | 0.004423916 | 100.29489 | 0.00438 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8902538E-4 | 0.005977931 | 31.62502 | 0.00579 | 0.0019213937 | 0.00229898 | 0.011118657 | 4.8363433 | 0.00884 | 0.019048655 | 0.022869706 | 0.034790695 | 1.5212568 | 0.0122 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.001738E-5 | 0.0041098543 | 102.70174 | 0.00407 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7149192E-4 | 0.005510576 | 32.133156 | 0.00534 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020859365 | 0.010218936 | 4.898968 | 0.00815 | 0.017543508 | 0.02075889 | 0.031755768 | 1.5297431 | 0.01123 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9471543E-5 | 0.004109311 | 104.10819 | 0.00407 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.691529E-4 | 0.0055082496 | 32.56373 | 0.00534 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020575132 | 0.010190744 | 4.9529424 | 0.00815 | 0.017365133 | 0.020480096 | 0.031480104 | 1.5371072 | 0.01123 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8087983E-5 | 0.0039379396 | 103.3906 | 0.0039 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6322412E-4 | 0.005322382 | 32.607815 | 0.00516 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019854638 | 0.009879759 | 4.9760456 | 0.00791 | 0.016856372 | 0.019770922 | 0.030435815 | 1.5394231 | 0.01088 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.751518E-5 | 0.003827373 | 102.02198 | 0.00379 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6076956E-4 | 0.005189961 | 32.281986 | 0.00503 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019556335 | 0.0096804965 | 4.9500566 | 0.00774 | 0.016654192 | 0.019477926 | 0.029940097 | 1.5371296 | 0.01067 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.6719717E-5 | 0.0037765824 | 102.84889 | 0.00374 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5736085E-4 | 0.005106582 | 32.451412 | 0.00495 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019142062 | 0.00951962 | 4.973142 | 0.00762 | 0.01638118 | 0.01907158 | 0.02936152 | 1.539543 | 0.01049 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5624882E-5 | 0.0035854983 | 100.6459 | 0.00355 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5266925E-4 | 0.0048819473 | 31.977278 | 0.00473 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018571847 | 0.009173571 | 4.939504 | 0.00733 | 0.015996104 | 0.018513601 | 0.028456058 | 1.5370352 | 0.01013 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4391156E-5 | 0.0034242745 | 99.56847 | 0.00339 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4738245E-4 | 0.004676715 | 31.731829 | 0.00453 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017929256 | 0.008820304 | 4.919503 | 0.00704 | 0.01556781 | 0.017881276 | 0.027466753 | 1.5360624 | 0.00976 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.128042E-5 | 0.0029611888 | 94.66589 | 0.00293 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3405216E-4 | 0.004043528 | 30.163843 | 0.00391 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016308826 | 0.007631081 | 4.679111 | 0.00601 | 0.014481937 | 0.016284546 | 0.024400199 | 1.4983653 | 0.00825 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.671366E-5 | 0.002146657 | 80.358025 | 0.00212 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1448217E-4 | 0.0029341592 | 25.629837 | 0.00282 | 0.0012785783 | 0.001392944 | 0.00564701 | 4.054011 | 0.00426 | 0.012712469 | 0.013928749 | 0.019786011 | 1.4205161 | 0.00594 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5198244E-5 | 0.0018451524 | 73.22543 | 0.00182 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0798809E-4 | 0.0025477246 | 23.592646 | 0.00244 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013139764 | 0.0050890096 | 3.872984 | 0.00378 | 0.012045753 | 0.013146298 | 0.018435834 | 1.4023594 | 0.00536 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2482514E-5 | 0.0014424506 | 64.158775 | 0.00142 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.635014E-5 | 0.0020261642 | 21.029177 | 0.00193 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011724435 | 0.004099008 | 3.4961243 | 0.00293 | 0.010886264 | 0.011740618 | 0.01586166 | 1.3510072 | 0.00417 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.5990141E-5 | 9.359754E-4 | 58.534534 | 9.2E-4 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.852741E-5 | 0.00119845 | 17.48862 | 0.00113 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.340097E-4 | 0.0026225168 | 3.1444678 | 0.00179 | 0.007854558 | 0.008383859 | 0.0108629 | 1.2956921 | 0.0025 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0677792E-5 | 2.7067502E-4 | 25.349344 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.576116E-5 | 3.4574742E-4 | 7.5554776 | 3.0E-4 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.570001E-4 | 0.0010367327 | 1.8612792 | 4.8E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.005627016 | 0.0063429647 | 1.1272341 | 7.2E-4 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.427758E-6 | 1.2842675E-4 | 15.238543 | 1.2E-4 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6118465E-5 | 1.6611376E-4 | 4.5991373 | 1.3E-4 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.3965373E-4 | 7.0953503E-4 | 1.6138496 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004446126 | 0.004923992 | 1.1074792 | 4.8E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.3706963E-6 | 4.537048E-5 | 8.447783 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3017068E-5 | 7.3015915E-5 | 3.172251 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8019687E-4 | 3.7017165E-4 | 1.3211128 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002072189 | 0.002833258 | 0.003032691 | 1.0703901 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.077398E-6 | 1.20773775E-5 | 5.813704 | 1.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903104E-6 | 1.8903014E-5 | 2.1231937 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0838993E-4 | 1.3838668E-4 | 1.2767484 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010967436 | 0.0011566778 | 1.0546474 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1487303E-7 | 1.03148695E-5 | 32.758823 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3494553E-6 | 1.1349442E-5 | 8.410387 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.642951E-5 | 2.6429347E-5 | 1.6086509 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6628111E-4 | 1.7627944E-4 | 1.0601292 | 1.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.7964142E-5 | 0.005257663 | 90.70544 | 0.0052 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4839793E-4 | 0.0073466343 | 29.576069 | 0.0071 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030207178 | 0.01398749 | 4.630519 | 0.011 | 0.02488006 | 0.029863678 | 0.044435125 | 1.4879321 | 0.01502 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873285E-5 | 0.0018908343 | 90.58633 | 0.00187 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.9454086E-5 | 0.002749216 | 30.733265 | 0.00266 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010885975 | 0.00523408 | 4.8080945 | 0.00415 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836816 | 0.016821254 | 1.552232 | 0.00605 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873285E-5 | 0.0018908343 | 90.58633 | 0.00187 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.9454086E-5 | 0.002749216 | 30.733265 | 0.00266 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010885975 | 0.00523408 | 4.8080945 | 0.00415 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836816 | 0.016821254 | 1.552232 | 0.00605 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5759586E-5 | 0.0011157423 | 70.79768 | 0.0011 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.753947E-5 | 0.0016974293 | 25.132406 | 0.00163 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2200643E-4 | 0.0035797376 | 4.354878 | 0.00276 | 0.007027647 | 0.0081923455 | 0.012328183 | 1.5048418 | 0.00417 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2618064E-5 | 8.3260774E-4 | 65.985374 | 8.2E-4 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4076394E-5 | 0.0012640109 | 23.374542 | 0.00121 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.5819896E-4 | 0.0027568168 | 4.1884246 | 0.0021 | 0.005655863 | 0.0065645785 | 0.009743572 | 1.4842646 | 0.0032 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.19615E-6 | 4.8919173E-4 | 53.19528 | 4.8E-4 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.9411534E-5 | 7.4938353E-4 | 19.01432 | 7.1E-4 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.7974035E-4 | 0.0017091503 | 3.5626569 | 0.00123 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004788422 | 0.0067390366 | 1.4073607 | 0.00196 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.6123542E-6 | 3.2760992E-4 | 43.03661 | 3.2E-4 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.262402E-5 | 5.2260805E-4 | 16.01912 | 4.9E-4 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.971341E-4 | 0.0012967767 | 3.265337 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039654695 | 0.005369878 | 1.3541595 | 0.00141 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4308466E-6 | 1.7542993E-4 | 32.3025 | 1.7E-4 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3274873E-5 | 2.932686E-4 | 12.600223 | 2.7E-4 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.8333912E-4 | 7.8319747E-4 | 2.76417 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028305429 | 0.003618307 | 1.2783084 | 7.9E-4 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.9693126E-6 | 1.6496851E-4 | 33.197453 | 1.6E-4 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1296904E-5 | 2.612918E-4 | 12.269004 | 2.4E-4 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.592632E-4 | 6.8915176E-4 | 2.658116 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025903475 | 0.0032985082 | 1.2733845 | 7.1E-4 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0735741E-6 | 9.30733E-5 | 30.28178 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3172401E-5 | 1.3317082E-4 | 10.109837 | 1.2E-4 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6036342E-4 | 3.6033132E-4 | 2.2469673 | 2.0E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016027166 | 0.0019222038 | 1.1993409 | 3.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1269682E-6 | 5.2126863E-5 | 24.50759 | 5.0E-5 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.11555E-6 | 6.9115005E-5 | 7.582099 | 6.0E-5 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1097687E-4 | 1.9096798E-4 | 1.720791 | 8.0E-5 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011092832 | 0.0012691057 | 1.1440773 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6641504E-6 | 1.1664134E-5 | 7.0090623 | 1.0E-5 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.132057E-6 | 2.7131915E-5 | 3.80422 | 2.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.6829925E-5 | 1.1682732E-4 | 1.345473 | 3.0E-5 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.6801784E-4 | 9.479484E-4 | 1.092084 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.182876E-6 | 1.1182864E-5 | 9.453961 | 1.0E-5 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0694616E-6 | 2.5069361E-5 | 4.9451723 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.171948E-5 | 8.1718244E-5 | 1.3240268 | 2.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1707565E-4 | 6.57051E-4 | 1.0647819 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.77015E-7 | 1.0977005E-5 | 11.235248 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.187203E-6 | 1.41871615E-5 | 3.3882189 | 1.0E-5 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0978528E-5 | 6.0978018E-5 | 1.196151 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.0971936E-4 | 5.3970405E-4 | 1.058826 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.510383E-7 | 1.0851029E-5 | 12.750342 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.647305E-6 | 1.3647268E-5 | 3.7417405 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.440555E-5 | 5.4405107E-5 | 1.2251871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4401764E-4 | 4.6400874E-4 | 1.0450232 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.305732E-7 | 6.305732E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7024564E-6 | 2.7024564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2902408E-5 | 3.2902408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2902407E-4 | 3.2902407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.635841E-5 | 0.0023462072 | 35.356594 | 0.00228 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8436191E-4 | 0.0034034748 | 11.968813 | 0.00312 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457515 | 0.008390401 | 2.4267142 | 0.00495 | 0.02591553 | 0.03414095 | 0.040969573 | 1.2000127 | 0.00707 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.635841E-5 | 0.0023462072 | 35.356594 | 0.00228 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8436191E-4 | 0.0034034748 | 11.968813 | 0.00312 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457515 | 0.008390401 | 2.4267142 | 0.00495 | 0.02591553 | 0.03414095 | 0.040969573 | 1.2000127 | 0.00707 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.09802E-5 | 0.0017709263 | 57.163162 | 0.00174 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.327667E-4 | 0.0025124508 | 18.923803 | 0.00238 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016154092 | 0.0053294 | 3.2991023 | 0.00372 | 0.012509781 | 0.016070558 | 0.021236189 | 1.3214344 | 0.00525 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355298E-5 | 0.0015423213 | 68.99131 | 0.00152 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.5805786E-5 | 0.0021656074 | 22.604141 | 0.00207 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011659492 | 0.004452113 | 3.8184454 | 0.00329 | 0.009055373 | 0.011628982 | 0.016185371 | 1.3918134 | 0.00461 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355298E-5 | 0.0015423213 | 68.99131 | 0.00152 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.5805786E-5 | 0.0021656074 | 22.604141 | 0.00207 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011659492 | 0.004452113 | 3.8184454 | 0.00329 | 0.009055373 | 0.011628982 | 0.016185371 | 1.3918134 | 0.00461 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9429051E-5 | 0.0014894005 | 76.658424 | 0.00147 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3265564E-5 | 0.0020730998 | 24.897446 | 0.00199 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010134227 | 0.0041602305 | 4.1051283 | 0.00315 | 0.0078909 | 0.010118514 | 0.014434398 | 1.4265333 | 0.00436 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.547377E-6 | 0.0011785374 | 137.88293 | 0.00117 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6631132E-5 | 0.0016465721 | 44.950077 | 0.00161 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4589842E-4 | 0.0029647748 | 6.6489916 | 0.00252 | 0.0035039932 | 0.004467895 | 0.0078327935 | 1.7531284 | 0.00338 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.47982E-6 | 0.0011784699 | 138.97346 | 0.00117 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.634161E-5 | 0.0016462831 | 45.300224 | 0.00161 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4237493E-4 | 0.0029512646 | 6.67141 | 0.00251 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044328026 | 0.007787864 | 1.7568713 | 0.00337 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.326286E-6 | 0.0011683166 | 140.31665 | 0.00116 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5683628E-5 | 0.0016256269 | 45.55666 | 0.00159 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.343672E-4 | 0.0029232856 | 6.729987 | 0.00249 | 0.0034261728 | 0.00435297 | 0.0076883878 | 1.7662395 | 0.00335 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 7.99945E-6 | 0.0011579903 | 144.75874 | 0.00115 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4282937E-5 | 0.0016142288 | 47.085487 | 0.00158 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.173204E-4 | 0.0028862897 | 6.9162436 | 0.00247 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004182952 | 0.0074791065 | 1.7879971 | 0.00331 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.63164E-6 | 0.0011476229 | 150.37697 | 0.00114 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2706652E-5 | 0.0016026553 | 49.0009 | 0.00157 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.981362E-4 | 0.0028471607 | 7.1512227 | 0.00245 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0039916327 | 0.00725854 | 1.8184389 | 0.00328 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.1421773E-6 | 0.0011071343 | 155.01357 | 0.0011 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0609E-5 | 0.0015605622 | 50.983765 | 0.00153 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.726063E-4 | 0.0027517194 | 7.3850594 | 0.00238 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037371595 | 0.0069252006 | 1.8530653 | 0.0032 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.3583553E-6 | 8.15354E-4 | 152.16498 | 8.1E-4 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2964201E-5 | 0.0011429385 | 49.770443 | 0.00112 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.7955734E-4 | 0.0019790821 | 7.0793424 | 0.0017 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028085853 | 0.005032322 | 1.791764 | 0.00223 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7102524E-6 | 2.2270966E-4 | 82.173035 | 2.2E-4 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1615316E-5 | 3.316116E-4 | 28.549511 | 3.2E-4 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4140746E-4 | 5.9134385E-4 | 4.1818433 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014230711 | 0.0020322031 | 1.4280404 | 6.1E-4 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3054622E-6 | 1.3230517E-4 | 57.387695 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.880516E-6 | 2.1987844E-4 | 22.253742 | 2.1E-4 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.20288736E-4 | 4.4025024E-4 | 3.6599457 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012110462 | 0.0016405255 | 1.3546349 | 4.3E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.165403E-6 | 1.12165166E-4 | 51.79875 | 1.1E-4 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.280266E-6 | 1.792787E-4 | 19.318272 | 1.7E-4 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1298147E-4 | 3.6295323E-4 | 3.2125022 | 2.5E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011377857 | 0.0014773989 | 1.298486 | 3.4E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8725879E-6 | 8.187244E-5 | 43.721546 | 8.0E-5 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.025352E-6 | 1.380243E-4 | 17.198536 | 1.3E-4 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.770437E-5 | 2.876858E-4 | 2.9444518 | 1.9E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.84804E-4 | 0.0012645283 | 1.2840406 | 2.8E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3417229E-6 | 3.1341682E-5 | 23.359282 | 3.0E-5 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.7502284E-6 | 5.574994E-5 | 9.695257 | 5.0E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.000682E-5 | 1.6000052E-4 | 2.285499 | 9.0E-5 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.076213E-4 | 8.375293E-4 | 1.1835841 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.404941E-7 | 2.0840478E-5 | 24.795506 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6021129E-6 | 3.3602006E-5 | 9.328415 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.3854863E-5 | 1.0385223E-4 | 2.3680892 | 6.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.4375105E-4 | 5.337111E-4 | 1.2027265 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.767946E-7 | 1.0376791E-5 | 27.53965 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.614833E-6 | 2.16148E-5 | 13.385161 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9660425E-5 | 4.9659837E-5 | 2.525878 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.981758E-4 | 2.2816985E-4 | 1.1513507 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.385256E-8 | 3.385256E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.450824E-7 | 1.450824E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7663774E-6 | 1.7663774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7869035E-5 | 1.7869035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.120563E-5 | 0.0020911414 | 67.01167 | 0.00206 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337323E-4 | 0.0029833512 | 22.308382 | 0.00285 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271078 | 0.0059101274 | 3.63229 | 0.00429 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165353 | 0.022058522 | 1.3645556 | 0.00599 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.120563E-5 | 0.0020911414 | 67.01167 | 0.00206 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337323E-4 | 0.0029833512 | 22.308382 | 0.00285 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271078 | 0.0059101274 | 3.63229 | 0.00429 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165353 | 0.022058522 | 1.3645556 | 0.00599 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.120563E-5 | 0.0020911414 | 67.01167 | 0.00206 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337323E-4 | 0.0029833512 | 22.308382 | 0.00285 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271078 | 0.0059101274 | 3.63229 | 0.00429 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165353 | 0.022058522 | 1.3645556 | 0.00599 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081343E-5 | 8.760675E-4 | 54.47726 | 8.6E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.891838E-5 | 0.0012488371 | 18.120522 | 0.00118 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387865E-4 | 0.0025873187 | 3.0845973 | 0.00175 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359024 | 0.010748879 | 1.2859012 | 0.00241 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081343E-5 | 8.760675E-4 | 54.47726 | 8.6E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.891838E-5 | 0.0012488371 | 18.120522 | 0.00118 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387865E-4 | 0.0025873187 | 3.0845973 | 0.00175 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359024 | 0.010748879 | 1.2859012 | 0.00241 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3765525E-5 | 7.5375533E-4 | 54.756744 | 7.4E-4 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.899392E-5 | 0.0010989326 | 18.627895 | 0.00104 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1804E-4 | 0.0022869126 | 3.1849377 | 0.00157 | 0.006655392 | 0.0071597495 | 0.009304284 | 1.2995266 | 0.00216 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0289008E-5 | 6.502824E-4 | 63.201664 | 6.4E-4 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.4095097E-5 | 9.3405583E-4 | 21.18276 | 8.9E-4 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.367418E-4 | 0.0018860172 | 3.513826 | 0.00135 | 0.005028777 | 0.005356059 | 0.0072160433 | 1.3472673 | 0.00187 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.199663E-6 | 5.681951E-4 | 69.29493 | 5.6E-4 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5141016E-5 | 8.0511393E-4 | 22.910948 | 7.7E-4 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2777162E-4 | 0.0015872754 | 3.7105675 | 0.00116 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042708335 | 0.005883915 | 1.377697 | 0.00162 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.735724E-6 | 4.3673284E-4 | 64.83829 | 4.3E-4 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8867142E-5 | 6.388495E-4 | 22.130682 | 6.1E-4 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5141362E-4 | 0.0012610938 | 3.5886312 | 9.1E-4 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035098395 | 0.0047554523 | 1.3548917 | 0.00125 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.11217E-6 | 2.1311152E-4 | 68.47683 | 2.1E-4 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3337811E-5 | 2.833342E-4 | 21.242931 | 2.7E-4 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6237726E-4 | 5.923074E-4 | 3.6477242 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016227345 | 0.0021418906 | 1.3199267 | 5.2E-4 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2286722E-6 | 1.4222835E-4 | 63.81753 | 1.4E-4 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.551423E-6 | 1.795498E-4 | 18.798225 | 1.7E-4 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.16283416E-4 | 3.9625086E-4 | 3.40763 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011623278 | 0.0015119211 | 1.3007698 | 3.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1776749E-6 | 3.117764E-5 | 26.473892 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.0471726E-6 | 4.504697E-5 | 8.925189 | 4.0E-5 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.144829E-5 | 1.4144338E-4 | 2.3018277 | 8.0E-5 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.143815E-4 | 7.3430775E-4 | 1.1951984 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0917207E-7 | 1.0309169E-5 | 33.34444 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3250225E-6 | 1.1325009E-5 | 8.547031 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6132035E-5 | 2.6131873E-5 | 1.6198746 | 1.0E-5 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6130917E-4 | 1.8130595E-4 | 1.1239655 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3096845E-7 | 2.3096845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.898645E-7 | 9.898645E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2051533E-5 | 1.2051533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2050887E-4 | 1.2050887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9678492E-7 | 1.9678492E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.433637E-7 | 8.433637E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0267905E-5 | 1.0267905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0267437E-4 | 1.0267437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.442265E-7 | 1.442265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1811346E-7 | 6.1811346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.525506E-6 | 7.525506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.525257E-5 | 7.525257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.572318E-8 | 7.572318E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.2452786E-7 | 3.2452786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.95112E-6 | 3.95112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9510534E-5 | 3.9510534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984004E-5 | 0.0017939241 | 52.78731 | 0.00176 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563776E-4 | 0.0025352896 | 17.408188 | 0.00239 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717272 | 0.0057846047 | 3.2649522 | 0.00402 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583862 | 0.0232917 | 1.3246067 | 0.00581 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984004E-5 | 0.0017939241 | 52.78731 | 0.00176 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563776E-4 | 0.0025352896 | 17.408188 | 0.00239 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717272 | 0.0057846047 | 3.2649522 | 0.00402 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583862 | 0.0232917 | 1.3246067 | 0.00581 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984004E-5 | 0.0017939241 | 52.78731 | 0.00176 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563776E-4 | 0.0025352896 | 17.408188 | 0.00239 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717272 | 0.0057846047 | 3.2649522 | 0.00402 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583862 | 0.0232917 | 1.3246067 | 0.00581 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102194E-5 | 0.0017420473 | 54.26568 | 0.00171 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3757373E-4 | 0.0024372572 | 17.716007 | 0.0023 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737011 | 0.0055172574 | 3.296441 | 0.00385 | 0.01479908 | 0.0166189 | 0.022066832 | 1.3278154 | 0.00554 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102194E-5 | 0.0017420473 | 54.26568 | 0.00171 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3757373E-4 | 0.0024372572 | 17.716007 | 0.0023 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737011 | 0.0055172574 | 3.296441 | 0.00385 | 0.01479908 | 0.0166189 | 0.022066832 | 1.3278154 | 0.00554 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0827894E-5 | 0.0016907767 | 54.84568 | 0.00166 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3211301E-4 | 0.0023818158 | 18.028624 | 0.00225 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016073164 | 0.005341305 | 3.3231199 | 0.00374 | 0.014230782 | 0.015964754 | 0.021249024 | 1.3309959 | 0.00537 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9251982E-5 | 0.0016592043 | 56.721092 | 0.00163 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2535976E-4 | 0.0023050865 | 18.38777 | 0.00218 | 0.0013628257 | 0.001525213 | 0.0050598136 | 3.3174472 | 0.00354 | 0.013544982 | 0.015155199 | 0.020197604 | 1.3327179 | 0.00512 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7340879E-5 | 0.0015672988 | 57.324375 | 0.00154 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1717007E-4 | 0.0021869275 | 18.664558 | 0.00207 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014256372 | 0.004780847 | 3.3534808 | 0.00336 | 0.012701893 | 0.014172449 | 0.018924138 | 1.3352765 | 0.00482 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4935209E-5 | 0.0014548996 | 58.3472 | 0.00143 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0686093E-4 | 0.0020266557 | 18.965359 | 0.00192 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013002771 | 0.0043862592 | 3.3733265 | 0.00309 | 0.011539802 | 0.012933811 | 0.017355867 | 1.3418989 | 0.00448 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2290018E-5 | 0.0013622602 | 61.115253 | 0.00134 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.5525254E-5 | 0.0018753553 | 19.632036 | 0.00178 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011624179 | 0.00397914 | 3.4231577 | 0.00282 | 0.010331288 | 0.011569883 | 0.015563141 | 1.3451425 | 0.00404 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0565898E-5 | 0.0012905397 | 62.751446 | 0.00127 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.813668E-5 | 0.0017579895 | 19.946173 | 0.00167 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010725536 | 0.0036897436 | 3.4401484 | 0.00262 | 0.009531168 | 0.010680015 | 0.014389965 | 1.3473731 | 0.00375 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9772282E-5 | 0.0012397482 | 62.701317 | 0.00122 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.47357E-5 | 0.0017045984 | 20.11665 | 0.00162 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010311864 | 0.0035885465 | 3.4800172 | 0.00256 | 0.009176437 | 0.010270224 | 0.013892635 | 1.35271 | 0.00366 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8157898E-5 | 0.0010781386 | 59.37574 | 0.00106 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.781734E-5 | 0.001507706 | 19.374937 | 0.00143 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.470316E-4 | 0.0031849102 | 3.3630455 | 0.00224 | 0.008511325 | 0.009435871 | 0.012556148 | 1.3306824 | 0.00315 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.596645E-5 | 9.359518E-4 | 58.6199 | 9.2E-4 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.842594E-5 | 0.0012983418 | 18.97441 | 0.00123 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.3278364E-4 | 0.0027312012 | 3.279605 | 0.0019 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008300997 | 0.010929 | 1.3165888 | 0.00265 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4145376E-5 | 8.541335E-4 | 60.382523 | 8.4E-4 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.062172E-5 | 0.0012005526 | 19.804 | 0.00114 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.378353E-4 | 0.0025365073 | 3.4377687 | 0.0018 | 0.0066837464 | 0.007358031 | 0.009879341 | 1.342661 | 0.00254 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2836758E-5 | 8.428261E-4 | 65.65724 | 8.3E-4 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5013606E-5 | 0.0011849514 | 21.539244 | 0.00113 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.696005E-4 | 0.0024084353 | 3.5968244 | 0.00174 | 0.006054099 | 0.006679987 | 0.009123554 | 1.3658042 | 0.00246 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3329961E-6 | 4.533315E-4 | 136.01321 | 4.5E-4 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4284232E-5 | 5.4427667E-4 | 38.10332 | 5.3E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7390393E-4 | 0.0010537509 | 6.0593853 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017402826 | 0.0029481768 | 1.6940794 | 0.00121 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.290427E-5 | 0.0015828087 | 25.16218 | 0.00152 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.695644E-4 | 0.0023090146 | 8.565724 | 0.00204 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032774536 | 0.0066762776 | 2.037032 | 0.00341 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235496 | 0.037106097 | 1.1468441 | 0.00491 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.290427E-5 | 0.0015828087 | 25.16218 | 0.00152 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.695644E-4 | 0.0023090146 | 8.565724 | 0.00204 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032774536 | 0.0066762776 | 2.037032 | 0.00341 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235496 | 0.037106097 | 1.1468441 | 0.00491 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511064E-5 | 0.0013044672 | 37.798523 | 0.00127 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789637E-4 | 0.0017476598 | 11.816787 | 0.0016 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017991841 | 0.0044643804 | 2.481336 | 0.00267 | 0.01382215 | 0.017874004 | 0.021576619 | 1.2071508 | 0.00377 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511064E-5 | 0.0013044672 | 37.798523 | 0.00127 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789637E-4 | 0.0017476598 | 11.816787 | 0.0016 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017991841 | 0.0044643804 | 2.481336 | 0.00267 | 0.01382215 | 0.017874004 | 0.021576619 | 1.2071508 | 0.00377 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2339947E-5 | 0.0012822995 | 39.65064 | 0.00125 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859257E-4 | 0.0017183736 | 12.398743 | 0.00158 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016860879 | 0.004291687 | 2.545352 | 0.00261 | 0.013121112 | 0.016773503 | 0.02040161 | 1.2162998 | 0.00369 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2339947E-5 | 0.0012822995 | 39.65064 | 0.00125 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859257E-4 | 0.0017183736 | 12.398743 | 0.00158 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016860879 | 0.004291687 | 2.545352 | 0.00261 | 0.013121112 | 0.016773503 | 0.02040161 | 1.2162998 | 0.00369 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8134184E-5 | 0.0012381001 | 44.00697 | 0.00121 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2056964E-4 | 0.001660384 | 13.771162 | 0.00154 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014669704 | 0.003993259 | 2.722113 | 0.00253 | 0.011653901 | 0.014614102 | 0.018151637 | 1.2420632 | 0.00359 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7803926E-5 | 0.0012277706 | 44.158173 | 0.0012 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1915438E-4 | 0.001648972 | 13.838955 | 0.00153 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014497626 | 0.0039661094 | 2.7356956 | 0.00252 | 0.011538187 | 0.014443748 | 0.017972039 | 1.2442781 | 0.00358 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3898472E-5 | 0.0011838707 | 49.53751 | 0.00116 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0241811E-4 | 0.0015722675 | 15.35146 | 0.00147 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012462469 | 0.0036332684 | 2.915368 | 0.00239 | 0.010138147 | 0.012437571 | 0.01575578 | 1.2667892 | 0.00336 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5198411E-5 | 0.0011351814 | 74.690796 | 0.00112 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.513445E-5 | 0.0014850419 | 22.799637 | 0.00142 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.9272914E-4 | 0.0030109694 | 3.798232 | 0.00222 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007940531 | 0.010976233 | 1.3823047 | 0.00306 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3107256E-5 | 0.0011030929 | 84.15896 | 0.00109 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6172772E-5 | 0.0014360952 | 25.565683 | 0.00138 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.836939E-4 | 0.002832224 | 4.1425323 | 0.00215 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006857147 | 0.009796849 | 1.4287064 | 0.00296 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0902388E-5 | 0.001060891 | 97.30813 | 0.00105 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.67237E-5 | 0.0013766616 | 29.46388 | 0.00133 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.687161E-4 | 0.002647533 | 4.655281 | 0.00208 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057130987 | 0.008556759 | 1.497744 | 0.00286 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.049826E-5 | 0.0010604872 | 101.015526 | 0.00105 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.4991786E-5 | 0.0013749319 | 30.559622 | 0.00133 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.476408E-4 | 0.0026165072 | 4.77778 | 0.00207 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055033076 | 0.008317733 | 1.5114062 | 0.00283 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.943912E-6 | 9.899342E-4 | 99.55178 | 9.8E-4 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.261609E-5 | 0.0012825632 | 30.09575 | 0.00124 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.1873084E-4 | 0.002437735 | 4.6994214 | 0.00192 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052149626 | 0.007851143 | 1.5055032 | 0.00265 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.490095E-6 | 8.6948194E-4 | 91.61994 | 8.6E-4 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.067122E-5 | 0.0011106277 | 27.307459 | 0.00107 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.9506297E-4 | 0.0021842264 | 4.4120173 | 0.00169 | 0.004697283 | 0.004978356 | 0.007356458 | 1.4776882 | 0.00239 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.0870797E-6 | 4.7708375E-4 | 67.3174 | 4.7E-4 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0372848E-5 | 6.303546E-4 | 20.753885 | 6.0E-4 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.697274E-4 | 0.0012893872 | 3.4873996 | 9.2E-4 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037239692 | 0.005019128 | 1.3477899 | 0.0013 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.958634E-6 | 3.3595666E-4 | 56.38149 | 3.3E-4 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5536756E-5 | 3.955273E-4 | 15.488549 | 3.7E-4 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.108659E-4 | 8.7069185E-4 | 2.80086 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.003135549 | 0.0039330404 | 1.2543387 | 8.0E-4 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.7568233E-6 | 1.8475596E-4 | 38.840202 | 1.8E-4 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0386226E-5 | 2.0038255E-4 | 9.82931 | 1.8E-4 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.4817415E-4 | 5.1810715E-4 | 2.0876756 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025091725 | 0.0029281187 | 1.1669658 | 4.2E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.9781057E-6 | 8.3977786E-5 | 21.109993 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7048915E-5 | 9.704755E-5 | 5.692301 | 8.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0755084E-4 | 3.575197E-4 | 1.7225645 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.002101066 | 0.0023804777 | 1.1329857 | 2.8E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.3722088E-6 | 3.3372107E-5 | 9.896216 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4452244E-5 | 4.445181E-5 | 3.0757723 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7594192E-4 | 2.3593137E-4 | 1.3409616 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017811462 | 0.0019408612 | 1.0896698 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.673372E-6 | 1.1673355E-5 | 6.975948 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.1715745E-6 | 1.7171504E-5 | 2.394384 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.731045E-5 | 1.17307834E-4 | 1.3435714 | 3.0E-5 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.8365114E-4 | 9.435981E-4 | 1.0678401 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1487303E-7 | 1.03148695E-5 | 32.758823 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3494553E-6 | 1.1349442E-5 | 8.410387 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.642951E-5 | 2.6429347E-5 | 1.6086509 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6628111E-4 | 1.7627944E-4 | 1.0601292 | 1.0E-5 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.309578E-5 | 9.830643E-4 | 29.703617 | 9.5E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183212E-4 | 0.001531635 | 10.798929 | 0.00139 | 0.0016010714 | 0.001725575 | 0.0039018132 | 2.261167 | 0.00218 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135598 | 0.020133335 | 1.174942 | 0.00305 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.309578E-5 | 9.830643E-4 | 29.703617 | 9.5E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183212E-4 | 0.001531635 | 10.798929 | 0.00139 | 0.0016010714 | 0.001725575 | 0.0039018132 | 2.261167 | 0.00218 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135598 | 0.020133335 | 1.174942 | 0.00305 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545098E-5 | 4.425397E-4 | 35.275906 | 4.3E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.376365E-5 | 6.437319E-4 | 11.973367 | 5.9E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.543855E-4 | 0.0015038293 | 2.2980785 | 8.5E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.006525557 | 0.0076283137 | 1.1689904 | 0.00111 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545098E-5 | 4.425397E-4 | 35.275906 | 4.3E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.376365E-5 | 6.437319E-4 | 11.973367 | 5.9E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.543855E-4 | 0.0015038293 | 2.2980785 | 8.5E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.006525557 | 0.0076283137 | 1.1689904 | 0.00111 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.480082E-6 | 2.784778E-4 | 32.839043 | 2.7E-4 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6342728E-5 | 3.7633037E-4 | 10.35504 | 3.4E-4 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.423869E-4 | 9.7215245E-4 | 2.1975164 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.004415468 | 0.005122333 | 1.1600884 | 7.1E-4 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2859795E-6 | 1.7628491E-4 | 28.044144 | 1.7E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939648E-5 | 2.4693372E-4 | 9.1661825 | 2.2E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.279434E-4 | 6.5783516E-4 | 2.0059412 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748478 | 0.003683505 | 1.1247866 | 4.1E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2859795E-6 | 1.7628491E-4 | 28.044144 | 1.7E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939648E-5 | 2.4693372E-4 | 9.1661825 | 2.2E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.279434E-4 | 6.5783516E-4 | 2.0059412 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748478 | 0.003683505 | 1.1247866 | 4.1E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2814603E-6 | 9.328117E-5 | 28.426725 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4063332E-5 | 1.2406179E-4 | 8.82165 | 1.1E-4 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7120877E-4 | 3.4117966E-4 | 1.9927697 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017108832 | 0.0019205239 | 1.1225336 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4287492E-6 | 7.242858E-5 | 29.82135 | 7.0E-5 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0408889E-5 | 9.040806E-5 | 8.685658 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2672177E-4 | 2.4670656E-4 | 1.9468365 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012665853 | 0.0014163953 | 1.1182786 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0653469E-6 | 1.1065336E-5 | 10.386604 | 1.0E-5 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.565767E-6 | 1.4565721E-5 | 3.1902025 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5587312E-5 | 7.55862E-5 | 1.3597744 | 2.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.5578473E-4 | 5.85768E-4 | 1.0539477 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.07555E-7 | 1.050755E-5 | 20.70229 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1752357E-6 | 1.2175214E-5 | 5.5971932 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6483494E-5 | 3.648323E-5 | 1.3775836 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6483493E-4 | 2.8482964E-4 | 1.0754987 | 2.0E-5 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4568674E-5 | 9.245212E-4 | 16.942343 | 8.7E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384552E-4 | 0.0014135696 | 6.044886 | 0.00118 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435262 | 0.004708209 | 1.6557641 | 0.00187 | 0.023260195 | 0.028093081 | 0.030688072 | 1.0923712 | 0.00267 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4568674E-5 | 9.245212E-4 | 16.942343 | 8.7E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384552E-4 | 0.0014135696 | 6.044886 | 0.00118 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435262 | 0.004708209 | 1.6557641 | 0.00187 | 0.023260195 | 0.028093081 | 0.030688072 | 1.0923712 | 0.00267 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7062385E-5 | 9.170214E-4 | 19.485231 | 8.7E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0168122E-4 | 0.0013714453 | 6.8000646 | 0.00117 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528366 | 0.0043082745 | 1.7564458 | 0.00186 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274675 | 0.02685059 | 1.1061153 | 0.00264 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7062385E-5 | 9.170214E-4 | 19.485231 | 8.7E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0168122E-4 | 0.0013714453 | 6.8000646 | 0.00117 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528366 | 0.0043082745 | 1.7564458 | 0.00186 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274675 | 0.02685059 | 1.1061153 | 0.00264 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7950864E-5 | 8.9791825E-4 | 23.66002 | 8.6E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263683E-4 | 0.0013224481 | 8.131296 | 0.00116 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019783739 | 0.0038147336 | 1.9282168 | 0.00184 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617645 | 0.022186246 | 1.1309333 | 0.00262 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7950864E-5 | 8.9791825E-4 | 23.66002 | 8.6E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263683E-4 | 0.0013224481 | 8.131296 | 0.00116 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019783739 | 0.0038147336 | 1.9282168 | 0.00184 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617645 | 0.022186246 | 1.1309333 | 0.00262 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4181736E-5 | 8.941523E-4 | 26.158775 | 8.6E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4648527E-4 | 0.0013063153 | 8.917725 | 0.00116 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017820608 | 0.003618782 | 2.0306726 | 0.00184 | 0.015175272 | 0.017686864 | 0.020260524 | 1.1455126 | 0.00262 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2344138E-5 | 8.9231634E-4 | 27.588194 | 8.6E-4 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.386107E-4 | 0.0012984499 | 9.367601 | 0.00116 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016863393 | 0.0035232364 | 2.0892808 | 0.00184 | 0.014414776 | 0.016744364 | 0.019320494 | 1.1538506 | 0.00262 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.686661E-5 | 8.868435E-4 | 33.009132 | 8.6E-4 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.15137795E-4 | 0.0012750042 | 11.073725 | 0.00116 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014009486 | 0.0032283848 | 2.3044279 | 0.00183 | 0.01213047 | 0.013928632 | 0.016492417 | 1.1840658 | 0.0026 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3569948E-5 | 8.735499E-4 | 37.062023 | 8.5E-4 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0101035E-4 | 0.0012508942 | 12.3838215 | 0.00115 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012291434 | 0.0030469063 | 2.4788861 | 0.00182 | 0.010738871 | 0.012229734 | 0.014788059 | 1.2091889 | 0.00259 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9633484E-5 | 8.696168E-4 | 44.292538 | 8.5E-4 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.414092E-5 | 0.0012340442 | 14.666398 | 0.00115 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010239568 | 0.0028321035 | 2.7658427 | 0.00181 | 0.009070295 | 0.010197277 | 0.01274107 | 1.2494581 | 0.00257 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6441705E-5 | 8.664277E-4 | 52.696953 | 8.5E-4 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.0462636E-5 | 0.0012203816 | 17.319555 | 0.00115 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.575615E-4 | 0.0026660094 | 3.108826 | 0.00181 | 0.007696735 | 0.008546768 | 0.011084887 | 1.2969685 | 0.00256 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5698295E-5 | 8.6568494E-4 | 55.145157 | 8.5E-4 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.7276764E-5 | 0.0012171994 | 18.092419 | 0.00115 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.18803E-4 | 0.002627321 | 3.208734 | 0.00181 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008162071 | 0.010701177 | 1.3110859 | 0.00256 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5172035E-5 | 8.6515915E-4 | 57.023277 | 8.5E-4 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.502148E-5 | 0.0012149467 | 18.685314 | 0.00115 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9136505E-4 | 0.0025999327 | 3.2853773 | 0.00181 | 0.007138774 | 0.007889661 | 0.010429463 | 1.3219153 | 0.00256 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4109242E-5 | 8.5409736E-4 | 60.534607 | 8.4E-4 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0466868E-5 | 0.001200398 | 19.85216 | 0.00114 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3595124E-4 | 0.0025346265 | 3.444014 | 0.0018 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073392955 | 0.009860653 | 1.3435422 | 0.00254 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2800624E-5 | 8.4279E-4 | 65.83976 | 8.3E-4 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4858752E-5 | 0.0011847968 | 21.597225 | 0.00113 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.677163E-4 | 0.0024065545 | 3.6041572 | 0.00174 | 0.006032217 | 0.006661239 | 0.009104853 | 1.3668407 | 0.00246 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3251215E-6 | 4.5332362E-4 | 136.33295 | 4.5E-4 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4250483E-5 | 5.442429E-4 | 38.19119 | 5.3E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.734931E-4 | 0.0010533404 | 6.0713677 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017361854 | 0.0029440846 | 1.6957202 | 0.00121 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.519625E-5 | 8.051766E-4 | 31.956207 | 7.8E-4 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0797948E-4 | 0.0011778639 | 10.90822 | 0.00107 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013138608 | 0.0029616929 | 2.2541907 | 0.00165 | 0.013053683 | 0.013141131 | 0.015410907 | 1.1727229 | 0.0023 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5097293E-5 | 8.050777E-4 | 32.07827 | 7.8E-4 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0755541E-4 | 0.0011774403 | 10.94729 | 0.00107 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013087039 | 0.0029565445 | 2.2591393 | 0.00165 | 0.013000126 | 0.013090172 | 0.015360064 | 1.1734043 | 0.0023 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.4978985E-5 | 8.049595E-4 | 32.225468 | 7.8E-4 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.0704842E-4 | 0.0011769339 | 10.994407 | 0.00107 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013025387 | 0.0029503894 | 2.265107 | 0.00165 | 0.012932341 | 0.013029243 | 0.0152992755 | 1.174226 | 0.0023 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4798346E-5 | 8.04779E-4 | 32.45293 | 7.8E-4 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.0627432E-4 | 0.0011761606 | 11.067214 | 0.00107 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012931252 | 0.0029409917 | 2.2743285 | 0.00165 | 0.012822957 | 0.012936208 | 0.015206455 | 1.1754955 | 0.0023 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3177683E-5 | 8.031596E-4 | 34.65228 | 7.8E-4 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.932916E-5 | 0.0011592238 | 11.670528 | 0.00106 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012086645 | 0.0028466822 | 2.3552296 | 0.00164 | 0.012051838 | 0.012101071 | 0.014343601 | 1.1853167 | 0.00227 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.2992053E-5 | 8.029741E-4 | 34.923985 | 7.8E-4 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.853367E-5 | 0.0011584292 | 11.756685 | 0.00106 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0011989899 | 0.0028370237 | 2.366178 | 0.00164 | 0.011791403 | 0.012005375 | 0.014248122 | 1.1868119 | 0.00227 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1772283E-5 | 8.017553E-4 | 36.82459 | 7.8E-4 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.330646E-5 | 0.0011532075 | 12.359354 | 0.00106 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011354164 | 0.0027735543 | 2.442764 | 0.00164 | 0.011062649 | 0.011376292 | 0.013620469 | 1.1972678 | 0.00227 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0392179E-5 | 8.003763E-4 | 39.249176 | 7.8E-4 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.739214E-5 | 0.0011472995 | 13.128178 | 0.00106 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010634817 | 0.002691748 | 2.5310717 | 0.00163 | 0.010230771 | 0.01066403 | 0.01289993 | 1.2096673 | 0.00226 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9899864E-5 | 7.998843E-4 | 40.19547 | 7.8E-4 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.528236E-5 | 0.001145192 | 13.428241 | 0.00106 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010378198 | 0.002666128 | 2.5689702 | 0.00163 | 0.009733009 | 0.010409822 | 0.012646296 | 1.2148427 | 0.00226 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8952243E-5 | 7.9893746E-4 | 42.155296 | 7.8E-4 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.1221384E-5 | 0.0011411352 | 14.04969 | 0.00106 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.884231E-4 | 0.002616812 | 2.6474612 | 0.00163 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009920391 | 0.01214807 | 1.2245556 | 0.00225 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8215069E-5 | 7.782012E-4 | 42.722935 | 7.6E-4 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.806226E-5 | 0.0011079819 | 14.193567 | 0.00103 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.4999495E-4 | 0.0025384845 | 2.6721032 | 0.00159 | 0.008724891 | 0.009539245 | 0.011728163 | 1.2294645 | 0.00221 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7715876E-5 | 7.677026E-4 | 43.33416 | 7.5E-4 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.592298E-5 | 0.0010958456 | 14.433647 | 0.00102 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.2397165E-4 | 0.002492521 | 2.6976163 | 0.00157 | 0.008488664 | 0.009281053 | 0.011450728 | 1.2337745 | 0.00219 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.716451E-5 | 7.6715165E-4 | 44.694057 | 7.5E-4 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.356012E-5 | 0.001093485 | 14.865189 | 0.00102 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.952278E-4 | 0.0024538313 | 2.7410133 | 0.00156 | 0.008200042 | 0.008995891 | 0.011146369 | 1.2390512 | 0.00217 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6617598E-5 | 7.4660545E-4 | 44.9286 | 7.3E-4 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.1216346E-5 | 0.0010711452 | 15.040721 | 0.001 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.667153E-4 | 0.0023953891 | 2.7637556 | 0.00153 | 0.00782677 | 0.008712597 | 0.010824039 | 1.2423437 | 0.00213 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.645357E-5 | 7.1644207E-4 | 43.54326 | 7.0E-4 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.05134E-5 | 0.0010404451 | 14.7552805 | 9.7E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.5816375E-4 | 0.0023468852 | 2.7347753 | 0.00149 | 0.0077382675 | 0.0086274315 | 0.010679573 | 1.2378623 | 0.00207 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6045597E-5 | 6.560353E-4 | 40.885693 | 6.4E-4 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.876503E-5 | 9.4870455E-4 | 13.796321 | 8.8E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.368939E-4 | 0.002185764 | 2.6117578 | 0.00135 | 0.0075422134 | 0.00841572 | 0.010299731 | 1.2238679 | 0.0019 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.40496895E-5 | 4.840431E-4 | 34.452225 | 4.7E-4 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.021157E-5 | 6.6017546E-4 | 10.964262 | 6.0E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.3282997E-4 | 0.001642163 | 2.2408514 | 9.1E-4 | 0.006634211 | 0.007380847 | 0.008661325 | 1.1734867 | 0.00129 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.1459538E-5 | 2.7145655E-4 | 23.688263 | 2.6E-4 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9111382E-5 | 3.4909666E-4 | 7.1082635 | 3.0E-4 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.977675E-4 | 0.0010774805 | 1.8025079 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.006037873 | 0.0067535257 | 1.1185273 | 7.2E-4 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.89889E-6 | 1.2889782E-4 | 14.484708 | 1.2E-4 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8137543E-5 | 1.6813258E-4 | 4.4085846 | 1.3E-4 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6422583E-4 | 7.3410047E-4 | 1.5813435 | 2.7E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.004694754 | 0.0051725 | 1.1017618 | 4.8E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.46505E-6 | 4.5464833E-5 | 8.319198 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3421433E-5 | 7.342026E-5 | 3.1347468 | 5.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8511873E-4 | 3.7509308E-4 | 1.315568 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0028838275 | 0.0030832507 | 1.0691522 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.077398E-6 | 1.20773775E-5 | 5.813704 | 1.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903104E-6 | 1.8903014E-5 | 2.1231937 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0838993E-4 | 1.3838668E-4 | 1.2767484 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010967436 | 0.0011566778 | 1.0546474 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1487303E-7 | 1.03148695E-5 | 32.758823 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3494553E-6 | 1.1349442E-5 | 8.410387 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.642951E-5 | 2.6429347E-5 | 1.6086509 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6628111E-4 | 1.7627944E-4 | 1.0601292 | 1.0E-5 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146452E-5 | 6.614447E-4 | 21.021923 | 6.3E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.348422E-4 | 0.0010247222 | 7.599418 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016406843 | 0.0031581905 | 1.9249227 | 0.00152 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307283 | 0.01846157 | 1.1321058 | 0.00219 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146452E-5 | 6.614447E-4 | 21.021923 | 6.3E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.348422E-4 | 0.0010247222 | 7.599418 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016406843 | 0.0031581905 | 1.9249227 | 0.00152 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307283 | 0.01846157 | 1.1321058 | 0.00219 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3635164E-5 | 1.6363311E-4 | 12.000818 | 1.5E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8435176E-5 | 2.9842116E-4 | 5.1068754 | 2.4E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112279E-4 | 0.0011908865 | 1.6744092 | 4.8E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090718 | 0.0077460385 | 1.0924194 | 6.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3635164E-5 | 1.6363311E-4 | 12.000818 | 1.5E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8435176E-5 | 2.9842116E-4 | 5.1068754 | 2.4E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112279E-4 | 0.0011908865 | 1.6744092 | 4.8E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090718 | 0.0077460385 | 1.0924194 | 6.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0689658E-5 | 7.068901E-5 | 6.612842 | 6.0E-5 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.581205E-5 | 1.8580563E-4 | 4.0558248 | 1.4E-4 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5762473E-4 | 8.5745746E-4 | 1.5376962 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.0055628456 | 0.0059606205 | 1.0715057 | 4.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.083636E-6 | 5.908318E-5 | 6.504354 | 5.0E-5 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8929305E-5 | 1.6892425E-4 | 4.3392563 | 1.3E-4 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7386528E-4 | 7.237468E-4 | 1.5273261 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047289557 | 0.0050474424 | 1.0673482 | 3.2E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.531671E-6 | 2.753152E-5 | 3.6554332 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2278207E-5 | 8.2276594E-5 | 2.5489829 | 5.0E-5 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9291885E-4 | 5.228678E-4 | 1.3307271 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0050424994 | 0.003922498 | 0.004101792 | 1.0457091 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.749391E-6 | 6.749391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8925653E-5 | 4.8925074E-5 | 1.6914078 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5211514E-4 | 4.3208696E-4 | 1.2271184 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035157932 | 0.0036254064 | 1.0311774 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1161755E-6 | 5.1161755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.192629E-5 | 3.192607E-5 | 1.4560635 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6692127E-4 | 2.9691326E-4 | 1.1123627 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026661449 | 0.0027160116 | 1.0187037 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.9074807E-6 | 3.9074807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6746244E-5 | 2.6746076E-5 | 1.5971389 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0386743E-4 | 2.3386131E-4 | 1.1471244 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020369024 | 0.0020768207 | 1.0195976 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6058435E-6 | 2.6058435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1167855E-5 | 2.1167743E-5 | 1.8954171 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.359604E-4 | 1.6595633E-4 | 1.2206224 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013587974 | 0.0013987431 | 1.0293978 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0984642E-6 | 2.0984642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.993388E-6 | 1.8993298E-5 | 2.111918 | 1.0E-5 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0948922E-4 | 1.2948703E-4 | 1.1826464 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010943746 | 0.0011243417 | 1.027383 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2615674E-6 | 1.2615674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.406707E-6 | 1.5406653E-5 | 2.8495448 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.582475E-5 | 8.5823434E-5 | 1.303817 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018264982 | 6.580607E-4 | 6.88041E-4 | 1.0455585 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.1186463E-7 | 7.1186463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.050845E-6 | 1.3050814E-5 | 4.2777705 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7143425E-5 | 4.7143054E-5 | 1.2692167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7137416E-4 | 3.8137045E-4 | 1.026917 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.304434E-7 | 5.304434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.273327E-6 | 1.22733045E-5 | 5.398829 | 1.0E-5 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.767741E-5 | 3.7677135E-5 | 1.3612955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7674017E-4 | 2.867374E-4 | 1.036125 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028206E-7 | 3.6028206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196375E-8 | 7.1196375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.31944E-5 | 4.4318466E-4 | 19.107399 | 4.2E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940123E-5 | 7.3933764E-4 | 7.437912 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001209618 | 0.0022084084 | 1.8257072 | 0.001 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038324 | 0.013520267 | 1.1231021 | 0.0015 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.31944E-5 | 4.4318466E-4 | 19.107399 | 4.2E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940123E-5 | 7.3933764E-4 | 7.437912 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001209618 | 0.0022084084 | 1.8257072 | 0.001 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038324 | 0.013520267 | 1.1231021 | 0.0015 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.31944E-5 | 4.4318466E-4 | 19.107399 | 4.2E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940123E-5 | 7.3933764E-4 | 7.437912 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001209618 | 0.0022084084 | 1.8257072 | 0.001 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038324 | 0.013520267 | 1.1231021 | 0.0015 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746914E-5 | 2.3074455E-4 | 21.470774 | 2.2E-4 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6057463E-5 | 3.4604364E-4 | 7.5133023 | 3.0E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606186E-4 | 9.803831E-4 | 1.7487525 | 4.2E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933557 | 0.0061899996 | 1.1066701 | 6.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746914E-5 | 2.3074455E-4 | 21.470774 | 2.2E-4 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6057463E-5 | 3.4604364E-4 | 7.5133023 | 3.0E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606186E-4 | 9.803831E-4 | 1.7487525 | 4.2E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933557 | 0.0061899996 | 1.1066701 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.45662E-6 | 1.4745558E-4 | 19.775124 | 1.4E-4 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.19566E-5 | 2.2195053E-4 | 6.9453735 | 1.9E-4 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8901082E-4 | 6.589058E-4 | 1.6937981 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.003884153 | 0.0042726384 | 1.100018 | 3.9E-4 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3466783E-6 | 9.53462E-5 | 17.832792 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2914171E-5 | 1.3291165E-4 | 5.8004127 | 1.1E-4 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7895102E-4 | 4.489036E-4 | 1.609256 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027866673 | 0.0030160265 | 1.0823059 | 2.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.924616E-6 | 9.392426E-5 | 23.932089 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6819708E-5 | 1.2681786E-4 | 7.5398374 | 1.1E-4 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0476643E-4 | 3.6473369E-4 | 1.781218 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020463406 | 0.0022359518 | 1.0926586 | 1.9E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7449198E-6 | 5.274478E-5 | 19.215418 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.17639165E-5 | 7.1763214E-5 | 6.100282 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4322122E-4 | 2.3320832E-4 | 1.6283085 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014317741 | 0.0015516024 | 1.0836921 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.896867E-6 | 3.189681E-5 | 16.815523 | 3.0E-5 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.12943E-6 | 4.8129106E-5 | 5.920354 | 4.0E-5 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.897581E-5 | 1.6896888E-4 | 1.7071735 | 7.0E-5 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.897582E-4 | 0.0010696789 | 1.0807478 | 8.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8501594E-5 | 3.6849512E-4 | 19.916939 | 3.5E-4 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.929042E-5 | 5.6925154E-4 | 7.1793237 | 4.9E-4 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6498185E-4 | 0.0019540265 | 2.024936 | 9.9E-4 | 0.009017491 | 0.009612758 | 0.011187473 | 1.1638151 | 0.00159 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592179E-6 | 1.6959064E-4 | 17.680098 | 1.6E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.110874E-5 | 2.610997E-4 | 6.35144 | 2.2E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0039287E-4 | 0.0010301276 | 2.0586379 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993544 | 0.0058591994 | 1.173355 | 8.7E-4 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592179E-6 | 1.6959064E-4 | 17.680098 | 1.6E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.110874E-5 | 2.610997E-4 | 6.35144 | 2.2E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0039287E-4 | 0.0010301276 | 2.0586379 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993544 | 0.0058591994 | 1.173355 | 8.7E-4 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.667698E-6 | 1.376667E-4 | 17.954111 | 1.3E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.286119E-5 | 2.2285494E-4 | 6.781707 | 1.9E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001865E-4 | 8.4983866E-4 | 2.1244977 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993691 | 0.0046908953 | 1.1745765 | 7.0E-4 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.667698E-6 | 1.376667E-4 | 17.954111 | 1.3E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.286119E-5 | 2.2285494E-4 | 6.781707 | 1.9E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001865E-4 | 8.4983866E-4 | 2.1244977 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993691 | 0.0046908953 | 1.1745765 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4038677E-6 | 1.3640303E-4 | 21.300102 | 1.3E-4 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7444894E-5 | 2.1743968E-4 | 7.9227734 | 1.9E-4 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3409684E-4 | 6.939766E-4 | 2.0771718 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033365842 | 0.0038747825 | 1.1613022 | 5.4E-4 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.9102535E-6 | 1.3590949E-4 | 22.995543 | 1.3E-4 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5329447E-5 | 2.1532463E-4 | 8.50096 | 1.9E-4 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0834877E-4 | 6.682378E-4 | 2.167149 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030798386 | 0.0036082063 | 1.171557 | 5.3E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.539154E-6 | 1.2553849E-4 | 22.66384 | 1.2E-4 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.373905E-5 | 1.8373525E-4 | 7.7397895 | 1.6E-4 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8899097E-4 | 6.0889847E-4 | 2.106981 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028867754 | 0.0033653898 | 1.1657954 | 4.8E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2468982E-6 | 1.0424647E-4 | 24.546497 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8200899E-5 | 1.4819854E-4 | 8.142374 | 1.3E-4 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2157936E-4 | 4.515284E-4 | 2.037773 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022141687 | 0.002553416 | 1.1532165 | 3.4E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.13992E-7 | 1.0713985E-5 | 15.00575 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599638E-6 | 1.3059933E-5 | 4.2680025 | 1.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.725474E-5 | 4.725437E-5 | 1.2684122 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251622E-4 | 4.0250504E-4 | 1.0805035 | 3.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 5.9309555E-4 | 45.26363 | 5.8E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 8.1611256E-4 | 14.533148 | 7.6E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0018127317 | 2.6521153 | 0.00113 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.008415854 | 1.2345701 | 0.00161 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 5.9309555E-4 | 45.26363 | 5.8E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 8.1611256E-4 | 14.533148 | 7.6E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0018127317 | 2.6521153 | 0.00113 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.008415854 | 1.2345701 | 0.00161 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 5.9309555E-4 | 45.26363 | 5.8E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 8.1611256E-4 | 14.533148 | 7.6E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0018127317 | 2.6521153 | 0.00113 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.008415854 | 1.2345701 | 0.00161 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 5.9309555E-4 | 45.26363 | 5.8E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 8.1611256E-4 | 14.533148 | 7.6E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0018127317 | 2.6521153 | 0.00113 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.008415854 | 1.2345701 | 0.00161 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 5.9309555E-4 | 45.26363 | 5.8E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 8.1611256E-4 | 14.533148 | 7.6E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0018127317 | 2.6521153 | 0.00113 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.008415854 | 1.2345701 | 0.00161 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384914E-6 | 4.573816E-4 | 61.934586 | 4.5E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649277E-5 | 6.0163124E-4 | 19.00932 | 5.7E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526725E-4 | 0.0012749244 | 3.3091946 | 8.9E-4 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465308 | 0.0051315688 | 1.3340771 | 0.00129 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384914E-6 | 4.573816E-4 | 61.934586 | 4.5E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649277E-5 | 6.0163124E-4 | 19.00932 | 5.7E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526725E-4 | 0.0012749244 | 3.3091946 | 8.9E-4 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465308 | 0.0051315688 | 1.3340771 | 0.00129 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.78606E-6 | 4.157837E-4 | 71.85956 | 4.1E-4 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4797186E-5 | 5.247848E-4 | 21.163078 | 5.0E-4 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0186778E-4 | 0.0010916293 | 3.6162498 | 7.9E-4 | 0.0028538927 | 0.0030149613 | 0.0041315844 | 1.3703607 | 0.00112 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.219081E-6 | 3.542176E-4 | 83.95611 | 3.5E-4 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8081664E-5 | 4.2807424E-4 | 23.674494 | 4.1E-4 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2012478E-4 | 8.599839E-4 | 3.9068017 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021993385 | 0.003037491 | 1.381093 | 8.4E-4 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1230197E-6 | 2.631222E-4 | 84.252495 | 2.6E-4 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3384314E-5 | 3.2338017E-4 | 24.16113 | 3.1E-4 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.629441E-4 | 6.628626E-4 | 4.068037 | 5.0E-4 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016284687 | 0.0022574428 | 1.3862365 | 6.3E-4 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5408096E-6 | 1.0154065E-4 | 65.90085 | 1.0E-4 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.6034586E-6 | 1.2660267E-4 | 19.172174 | 1.2E-4 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.0395155E-5 | 3.0037746E-4 | 3.7362635 | 2.2E-4 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0375955E-4 | 0.0010735425 | 1.3356514 | 2.7E-4 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4089627E-7 | 1.0740889E-5 | 14.497156 | 1.0E-5 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1752697E-6 | 2.3175206E-5 | 7.2986574 | 2.0E-5 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.865891E-5 | 9.865659E-5 | 2.5519755 | 6.0E-5 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.865891E-4 | 4.6655815E-4 | 1.206858 | 8.0E-5 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0375995E-5 | 2.503693E-4 | 8.242341 | 2.2E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017745E-4 | 5.001293E-4 | 3.8419042 | 3.7E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839544 | 0.0022728615 | 1.4349285 | 6.9E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746146 | 0.016838668 | 1.0693834 | 0.00111 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0375995E-5 | 2.503693E-4 | 8.242341 | 2.2E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017745E-4 | 5.001293E-4 | 3.8419042 | 3.7E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839544 | 0.0022728615 | 1.4349285 | 6.9E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746146 | 0.016838668 | 1.0693834 | 0.00111 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096199E-5 | 1.3609427E-4 | 8.455056 | 1.2E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.8982445E-5 | 2.6896864E-4 | 3.8990884 | 2.0E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963625E-4 | 0.0012093256 | 1.440297 | 3.7E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374335 | 0.008979227 | 1.0722317 | 6.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096199E-5 | 1.3609427E-4 | 8.455056 | 1.2E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.8982445E-5 | 2.6896864E-4 | 3.8990884 | 2.0E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963625E-4 | 0.0012093256 | 1.440297 | 3.7E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374335 | 0.008979227 | 1.0722317 | 6.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5008418E-5 | 1.15006915E-4 | 7.6628275 | 1.0E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432076E-5 | 2.3430983E-4 | 3.6428337 | 1.7E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292185E-4 | 0.0011126635 | 1.421168 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078112623 | 0.008356966 | 1.0698612 | 5.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5008418E-5 | 1.15006915E-4 | 7.6628275 | 1.0E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432076E-5 | 2.3430983E-4 | 3.6428337 | 1.7E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292185E-4 | 0.0011126635 | 1.421168 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078112623 | 0.008356966 | 1.0698612 | 5.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2855132E-5 | 1.0285398E-4 | 8.001005 | 9.0E-5 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5092798E-5 | 1.9508509E-4 | 3.541027 | 1.4E-4 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7064405E-4 | 9.304697E-4 | 1.387427 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006695591 | 0.007162444 | 1.0697254 | 4.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.824541E-6 | 5.982405E-5 | 6.0892463 | 5.0E-5 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2105006E-5 | 1.3210122E-4 | 3.137423 | 9.0E-5 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.1259843E-4 | 7.0250104E-4 | 1.3704705 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.005123039 | 0.0054811947 | 1.0699108 | 3.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1754779E-6 | 1.1754779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.037753E-6 | 1.5037703E-5 | 2.9850018 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.1333034E-5 | 7.133242E-5 | 1.1630343 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.131723E-4 | 6.231662E-4 | 1.0162987 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.2834784E-7 | 9.2834784E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.978628E-6 | 1.3978588E-5 | 3.5134194 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.843879E-5 | 5.8438305E-5 | 1.2064362 | 1.0E-5 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.842893E-4 | 4.9428444E-4 | 1.0206388 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7474115E-7 | 8.7474115E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7488855E-6 | 3.7488855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5641795E-5 | 4.5641795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5633083E-4 | 4.5633083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.7113845E-7 | 7.7113845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3048752E-6 | 3.3048752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0236177E-5 | 4.0236177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0229486E-4 | 4.0229486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.5884446E-7 | 7.5884446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2521868E-6 | 3.2521868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.9594717E-5 | 3.9594717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9588255E-4 | 3.9588255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.8966335E-7 | 6.8966335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.955697E-6 | 2.955697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.598508E-5 | 3.598508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5979823E-4 | 3.5979823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.193571E-7 | 6.193571E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6543853E-6 | 2.6543853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.231672E-5 | 3.231672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2312574E-4 | 3.2312574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3489373E-7 | 5.3489373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2924E-6 | 2.2924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7909666E-5 | 2.7909666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.790669E-4 | 2.790669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 4.1107516E-4 | 37.102 | 4.0E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 5.4745947E-4 | 11.529543 | 5.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 0.001387499 | 2.4006536 | 8.1E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.0069192215 | 1.2000225 | 0.00116 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 4.1107516E-4 | 37.102 | 4.0E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 5.4745947E-4 | 11.529543 | 5.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 0.001387499 | 2.4006536 | 8.1E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.0069192215 | 1.2000225 | 0.00116 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 4.1107516E-4 | 37.102 | 4.0E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 5.4745947E-4 | 11.529543 | 5.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 0.001387499 | 2.4006536 | 8.1E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.0069192215 | 1.2000225 | 0.00116 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 4.1107516E-4 | 37.102 | 4.0E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 5.4745947E-4 | 11.529543 | 5.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 0.001387499 | 2.4006536 | 8.1E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.0069192215 | 1.2000225 | 0.00116 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 4.1107516E-4 | 37.102 | 4.0E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 5.4745947E-4 | 11.529543 | 5.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 0.001387499 | 2.4006536 | 8.1E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.0069192215 | 1.2000225 | 0.00116 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 4.1107516E-4 | 37.102 | 4.0E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 5.4745947E-4 | 11.529543 | 5.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 0.001387499 | 2.4006536 | 8.1E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.0069192215 | 1.2000225 | 0.00116 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9355933E-6 | 2.6693378E-4 | 38.487522 | 2.6E-4 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.972365E-5 | 3.4971413E-4 | 11.765518 | 3.2E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182825E-4 | 8.01669E-4 | 2.2156065 | 4.4E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126832 | 0.0041806237 | 1.1572075 | 5.7E-4 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9355933E-6 | 2.6693378E-4 | 38.487522 | 2.6E-4 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.972365E-5 | 3.4971413E-4 | 11.765518 | 3.2E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182825E-4 | 8.01669E-4 | 2.2156065 | 4.4E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126832 | 0.0041806237 | 1.1572075 | 5.7E-4 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.179353E-6 | 1.7517847E-4 | 33.822464 | 1.7E-4 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2197044E-5 | 2.3219238E-4 | 10.460509 | 2.1E-4 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7021667E-4 | 5.401437E-4 | 1.9989282 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0026989973 | 0.0030779715 | 1.140413 | 3.8E-4 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2523866E-6 | 1.3425184E-4 | 31.570938 | 1.3E-4 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8224391E-5 | 1.7822147E-4 | 9.779284 | 1.6E-4 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2186009E-4 | 4.318135E-4 | 1.9463325 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022164586 | 0.0025058158 | 1.1305493 | 2.9E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7138793E-6 | 1.1371347E-4 | 30.618515 | 1.1E-4 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5916532E-5 | 1.559143E-4 | 9.795746 | 1.4E-4 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9376719E-4 | 3.6373423E-4 | 1.8771715 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019360452 | 0.0021556194 | 1.1134137 | 2.2E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1119403E-6 | 7.3111725E-5 | 23.493937 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3336821E-5 | 1.03335624E-4 | 7.7481446 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6236427E-4 | 2.723464E-4 | 1.677379 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016225125 | 0.0017722691 | 1.0922992 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6054174E-6 | 3.2605338E-5 | 12.51444 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1166029E-5 | 5.116558E-5 | 4.582254 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3593843E-4 | 1.9593028E-4 | 1.4413162 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013586025 | 0.0014384938 | 1.058804 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8283843E-6 | 1.8283843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.835911E-6 | 1.7835833E-5 | 2.276166 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.539833E-5 | 1.05397376E-4 | 1.1048137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013866565 | 9.536027E-4 | 9.735836E-4 | 1.020953 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4364028E-6 | 1.4364028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.155999E-6 | 1.6155938E-5 | 2.6244218 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.494696E-5 | 8.4946216E-5 | 1.1334177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001177395 | 7.4924197E-4 | 7.692269E-4 | 1.0266737 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.353621E-7 | 7.353621E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.151548E-6 | 1.3151516E-5 | 4.1730337 | 1.0E-5 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8369424E-5 | 4.8369042E-5 | 1.2606142 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8362844E-4 | 3.9362462E-4 | 1.0260569 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.659381E-7 | 4.659381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.996876E-6 | 1.1996856E-5 | 6.007812 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311697E-5 | 3.4311455E-5 | 1.4113146 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309063E-4 | 2.530882E-4 | 1.041127 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578398E-7 | 1.5578398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6764545E-7 | 6.6764545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128554E-6 | 8.128554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1282684E-5 | 8.1282684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3963413E-5 | 4.0394758E-4 | 9.188268 | 3.6E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840199E-4 | 6.283191E-4 | 3.334992 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915532 | 0.0029899492 | 1.3047696 | 7.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697242 | 0.02369409 | 1.0439193 | 0.00102 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3963413E-5 | 4.0394758E-4 | 9.188268 | 3.6E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840199E-4 | 6.283191E-4 | 3.334992 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915532 | 0.0029899492 | 1.3047696 | 7.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697242 | 0.02369409 | 1.0439193 | 0.00102 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3963413E-5 | 4.0394758E-4 | 9.188268 | 3.6E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840199E-4 | 6.283191E-4 | 3.334992 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915532 | 0.0029899492 | 1.3047696 | 7.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697242 | 0.02369409 | 1.0439193 | 0.00102 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354364E-5 | 1.15352086E-4 | 4.549595 | 9.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865715E-4 | 2.3864303E-4 | 2.1962938 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001322118 | 0.0015618006 | 1.1812869 | 2.4E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144737 | 0.013500005 | 1.0270274 | 3.6E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354364E-5 | 1.15352086E-4 | 4.549595 | 9.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865715E-4 | 2.3864303E-4 | 2.1962938 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001322118 | 0.0015618006 | 1.1812869 | 2.4E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144737 | 0.013500005 | 1.0270274 | 3.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.066327E-5 | 9.066182E-5 | 4.3875833 | 7.0E-5 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.8553934E-5 | 1.8854508E-4 | 2.1291554 | 1.0E-4 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776226 | 0.0012474394 | 1.1575847 | 1.7E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725265 | 0.010972585 | 1.0230595 | 2.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7680073E-5 | 7.767901E-5 | 4.3935914 | 6.0E-5 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.576958E-5 | 1.5576353E-4 | 2.0557528 | 8.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.2211214E-4 | 0.0010719738 | 1.16252 | 1.5E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.009183723 | 0.009391794 | 1.0226566 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.526437E-5 | 7.526345E-5 | 4.9306626 | 6.0E-5 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.5417116E-5 | 1.4541189E-4 | 2.2228415 | 8.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.961682E-4 | 9.160727E-4 | 1.1506019 | 1.2E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.007933789 | 0.008112361 | 1.0225078 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.30313565E-5 | 7.303058E-5 | 5.604219 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5847497E-5 | 1.258436E-4 | 2.2533433 | 7.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.797354E-4 | 7.7966746E-4 | 1.147016 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067770146 | 0.0069259983 | 1.0219836 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1514828E-5 | 5.1514366E-5 | 4.473742 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9348346E-5 | 9.934588E-5 | 2.0131552 | 5.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006541E-4 | 6.8060606E-4 | 1.1331081 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.005990686 | 0.006119907 | 1.0215703 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.991426E-6 | 3.8991155E-5 | 4.336482 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8534123E-5 | 7.853258E-5 | 2.038001 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.690544E-4 | 5.090356E-4 | 1.085238 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046808915 | 0.0047704703 | 1.0191371 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.515976E-6 | 2.7515825E-5 | 3.6609783 | 2.0E-5 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.221094E-5 | 6.2209976E-5 | 1.9313306 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9209976E-4 | 4.22088E-4 | 1.0764811 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0039142957 | 0.003984022 | 1.0178132 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.280129E-6 | 2.6280004E-5 | 4.184628 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6914573E-5 | 5.6913766E-5 | 2.1146078 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2763765E-4 | 3.576278E-4 | 1.0915346 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032717446 | 0.0033315483 | 1.0182788 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.707073E-6 | 2.4706978E-5 | 5.2489047 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0173025E-5 | 5.017242E-5 | 2.4871044 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4558074E-4 | 2.7557337E-4 | 1.1221294 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024532743 | 0.0025131272 | 1.0243971 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.852059E-6 | 2.2852002E-5 | 8.012458 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223062E-5 | 3.222282E-5 | 2.6362312 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4880727E-4 | 1.688043E-4 | 1.134382 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014872384 | 0.0015171939 | 1.0201416 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5629037E-8 | 4.5629037E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9555301E-7 | 1.9555301E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.380856E-6 | 2.380856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3808358E-5 | 2.3808358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7460246E-4 | 9.5441355E-4 | 1.4147793 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028880783 | 0.0032370675 | 1.1208378 | 3.5E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03456449 | 0.035153408 | 1.0170382 | 6.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28653982 | 0.2871748 | 1.002216 | 8.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7460246E-4 | 9.5441355E-4 | 1.4147793 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028880783 | 0.0032370675 | 1.1208378 | 3.5E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03456449 | 0.035153408 | 1.0170382 | 6.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28653982 | 0.2871748 | 1.002216 | 8.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7460246E-4 | 9.5441355E-4 | 1.4147793 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028880783 | 0.0032370675 | 1.1208378 | 3.5E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03456449 | 0.035153408 | 1.0170382 | 6.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28653982 | 0.2871748 | 1.002216 | 8.9E-4 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7460246E-4 | 9.5441355E-4 | 1.4147793 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028880783 | 0.0032370675 | 1.1208378 | 3.5E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03456449 | 0.035153408 | 1.0170382 | 6.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28653982 | 0.2871748 | 1.002216 | 8.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3178877E-4 | 6.516938E-4 | 1.5092884 | 2.2E-4 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018492391 | 0.0021187398 | 1.145736 | 2.7E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.022288196 | 0.02277705 | 1.0219334 | 5.0E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.1969439 | 0.19755422 | 1.003099 | 7.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8752213E-4 | 4.874646E-4 | 1.6953987 | 2.0E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012316585 | 0.0014713629 | 1.1946192 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014893164 | 0.015336462 | 1.0297652 | 4.5E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13802564 | 0.13859455 | 1.0041217 | 6.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8752213E-4 | 4.874646E-4 | 1.6953987 | 2.0E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012316585 | 0.0014713629 | 1.1946192 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014893164 | 0.015336462 | 1.0297652 | 4.5E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13802564 | 0.13859455 | 1.0041217 | 6.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4333477E-4 | 4.3328854E-4 | 1.7806274 | 1.9E-4 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.001042447 | 0.0012722074 | 1.2204047 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012618233 | 0.013042808 | 1.0336477 | 4.3E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.11918109 | 0.11974481 | 1.00473 | 6.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3851135E-4 | 4.2846604E-4 | 1.7964178 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010217916 | 0.0012515566 | 1.2248648 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012369626 | 0.012794307 | 1.0343325 | 4.3E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.11712997 | 0.117695004 | 1.004824 | 6.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3221466E-4 | 4.2217053E-4 | 1.8180184 | 1.9E-4 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.948266E-4 | 0.0012245978 | 1.2309661 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012044998 | 0.012469819 | 1.0352695 | 4.3E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.11443017 | 0.11499693 | 1.0049529 | 6.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2591038E-4 | 4.058697E-4 | 1.7965962 | 1.8E-4 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.678285E-4 | 0.0011876156 | 1.227093 | 2.2E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.011719874 | 0.012134952 | 1.0354166 | 4.2E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.111694634 | 0.11225426 | 1.0050104 | 6.3E-4 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.1879452E-4 | 3.9875513E-4 | 1.8225096 | 1.8E-4 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.373542E-4 | 0.001157148 | 1.2344831 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011352769 | 0.011768001 | 1.0365754 | 4.2E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.10857562 | 0.109137215 | 1.0051724 | 6.3E-4 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1242435E-4 | 3.923861E-4 | 1.8471805 | 1.8E-4 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.100727E-4 | 0.0011298725 | 1.241519 | 2.2E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.011024025 | 0.011439395 | 1.0376786 | 4.2E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.10576863 | 0.10633199 | 1.0053264 | 6.3E-4 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9470933E-4 | 3.7467427E-4 | 1.9242749 | 1.8E-4 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.3420175E-4 | 0.0010540183 | 1.2635052 | 2.2E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.010109222 | 0.010505178 | 1.0391679 | 4.0E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.09795409 | 0.098504335 | 1.0056174 | 6.1E-4 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.8719549E-4 | 3.671618E-4 | 1.9613817 | 1.8E-4 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.020198E-4 | 0.0010218433 | 1.2740874 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.00972097 | 0.010117082 | 1.0407481 | 4.0E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.09458639 | 0.09513869 | 1.0058391 | 6.1E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8051128E-4 | 3.604788E-4 | 1.9969876 | 1.8E-4 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.733905E-4 | 9.932204E-4 | 1.2842417 | 2.2E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.009375462 | 0.009771712 | 1.0422646 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.09154962 | 0.09210378 | 1.0060531 | 6.1E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7438729E-4 | 3.543559E-4 | 2.0320053 | 1.8E-4 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.4716005E-4 | 9.6699566E-4 | 1.2942283 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009058807 | 0.009445274 | 1.042662 | 3.9E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.08870782 | 0.089254595 | 1.0061638 | 6.0E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.6960864E-4 | 3.4957813E-4 | 2.0610867 | 1.8E-4 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.2669174E-4 | 9.465319E-4 | 1.3025218 | 2.2E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.008811649 | 0.009198212 | 1.0438696 | 3.9E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.08645931 | 0.08700743 | 1.0063397 | 6.0E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5283158E-4 | 2.828117E-4 | 1.8504796 | 1.3E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.548281E-4 | 7.947364E-4 | 1.2136565 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.007943437 | 0.008241055 | 1.037467 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.078290515 | 0.07876059 | 1.0060042 | 5.1E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0006018E-4 | 1.5005517E-4 | 1.4996493 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.2875885E-4 | 4.887331E-4 | 1.1398787 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0027402006 | 0.0052076555 | 0.0053270306 | 1.022923 | 1.2E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.052197643 | 0.05241564 | 1.0041764 | 2.3E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.406992E-5 | 6.4069376E-5 | 1.1849357 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3170764E-4 | 2.4170533E-4 | 1.0431478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028173928 | 0.0028572802 | 1.0141575 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.028833257 | 0.02890124 | 1.0023577 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.930551E-5 | 2.9305316E-5 | 1.5179769 | 1.0E-5 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.273527E-5 | 9.2734444E-5 | 1.1208575 | 1.0E-5 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010068371 | 0.0010168271 | 1.0099221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.010797266 | 0.0108071575 | 1.0009161 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.458615E-6 | 5.458615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.3393854E-5 | 2.3393854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.8478302E-4 | 2.8478302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.003239759 | 0.003239759 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192248E-5 | 1.5019083E-4 | 14.73579 | 1.4E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.368039E-5 | 2.5367123E-4 | 5.8074393 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316893E-4 | 0.0010014394 | 1.8835049 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053052 | 0.006081062 | 1.1462456 | 7.8E-4 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192248E-5 | 1.5019083E-4 | 14.73579 | 1.4E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.368039E-5 | 2.5367123E-4 | 5.8074393 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316893E-4 | 0.0010014394 | 1.8835049 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053052 | 0.006081062 | 1.1462456 | 7.8E-4 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696309E-6 | 5.4696073E-5 | 11.646608 | 5.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126892E-5 | 1.0012528E-4 | 4.974702 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501863E-4 | 4.0497942E-4 | 1.6528516 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.002447611 | 0.0027369012 | 1.1181929 | 2.9E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696309E-6 | 5.4696073E-5 | 11.646608 | 5.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126892E-5 | 1.0012528E-4 | 4.974702 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501863E-4 | 4.0497942E-4 | 1.6528516 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.002447611 | 0.0027369012 | 1.1181929 | 2.9E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5098942E-6 | 4.3509754E-5 | 12.396315 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042322E-5 | 7.504142E-5 | 4.988686 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8312573E-4 | 3.1310192E-4 | 1.7097648 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018298312 | 0.0020494286 | 1.1200097 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9278535E-6 | 2.2927796E-5 | 7.8309226 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2547887E-5 | 5.2547384E-5 | 4.1877475 | 4.0E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276058E-4 | 2.527453E-4 | 1.6545192 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266296 | 0.00169637 | 1.1111864 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3290654E-6 | 2.2329019E-5 | 9.587115 | 2.0E-5 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.981674E-6 | 3.9981376E-5 | 4.005478 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152074E-4 | 1.9151223E-4 | 1.5759634 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146046 | 0.001324471 | 1.0904545 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9591378E-6 | 2.1959098E-5 | 11.208552 | 2.0E-5 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.396281E-6 | 3.839603E-5 | 4.5729804 | 3.0E-5 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222051E-4 | 1.7221336E-4 | 1.6847241 | 7.0E-5 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010217924 | 0.0011216903 | 1.0977672 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.543829E-6 | 1.1543813E-5 | 7.4773917 | 1.0E-5 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6163957E-6 | 2.6616264E-5 | 4.0227737 | 2.0E-5 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055216E-5 | 1.2054894E-4 | 1.4965327 | 4.0E-5 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0528075E-4 | 8.6523243E-4 | 1.0744482 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.13992E-7 | 1.0713985E-5 | 15.00575 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599638E-6 | 1.3059933E-5 | 4.2680025 | 1.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.725474E-5 | 4.725437E-5 | 1.2684122 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251622E-4 | 4.0250504E-4 | 1.0805035 | 3.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 5.039436E-4 | 2.5975971 | 3.1E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 0.0011908807 | 1.4327592 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010646945 | 1.0570009 | 5.8E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831418 | 0.099062584 | 1.0076123 | 8.3E-4 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 5.039436E-4 | 2.5975971 | 3.1E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 0.0011908807 | 1.4327592 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010646945 | 1.0570009 | 5.8E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831418 | 0.099062584 | 1.0076123 | 8.3E-4 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 5.039436E-4 | 2.5975971 | 3.1E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 0.0011908807 | 1.4327592 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010646945 | 1.0570009 | 5.8E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831418 | 0.099062584 | 1.0076123 | 8.3E-4 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 5.039436E-4 | 2.5975971 | 3.1E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 0.0011908807 | 1.4327592 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010646945 | 1.0570009 | 5.8E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831418 | 0.099062584 | 1.0076123 | 8.3E-4 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 5.039436E-4 | 2.5975971 | 3.1E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 0.0011908807 | 1.4327592 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010646945 | 1.0570009 | 5.8E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831418 | 0.099062584 | 1.0076123 | 8.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9374143E-4 | 5.0368137E-4 | 2.5997608 | 3.1E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3005644E-4 | 0.0011897576 | 1.4333454 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010059236 | 0.010633401 | 1.0570785 | 5.8E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.09819207 | 0.09894057 | 1.0076228 | 8.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9374143E-4 | 5.0368137E-4 | 2.5997608 | 3.1E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3005644E-4 | 0.0011897576 | 1.4333454 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010059236 | 0.010633401 | 1.0570785 | 5.8E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.09819207 | 0.09894057 | 1.0076228 | 8.3E-4 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9364097E-4 | 5.0358096E-4 | 2.600591 | 3.1E-4 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.296261E-4 | 0.0011893274 | 1.4335704 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010054044 | 0.010628213 | 1.0571083 | 5.8E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.098145284 | 0.09889383 | 1.0076269 | 8.3E-4 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9349258E-4 | 5.034326E-4 | 2.6018186 | 3.1E-4 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.2899054E-4 | 0.0011886922 | 1.4339031 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010046378 | 0.010620551 | 1.0571523 | 5.8E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.09807551 | 0.098824106 | 1.0076329 | 8.3E-4 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9317267E-4 | 5.031128E-4 | 2.604472 | 3.1E-4 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.2762045E-4 | 0.0011873224 | 1.434622 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.0100298505 | 0.010604033 | 1.0572474 | 5.8E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.097924836 | 0.09867356 | 1.0076458 | 8.3E-4 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9248636E-4 | 5.024267E-4 | 2.6101937 | 3.1E-4 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.246809E-4 | 0.001184384 | 1.4361725 | 3.6E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.00999439 | 0.010568594 | 1.0574526 | 5.8E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.09760108 | 0.09835007 | 1.007674 | 8.3E-4 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9150345E-4 | 5.014441E-4 | 2.6184597 | 3.1E-4 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.2047115E-4 | 0.0011801758 | 1.4384123 | 3.6E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.009943605 | 0.010517838 | 1.0577489 | 5.8E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.09713763 | 0.09788701 | 1.0077146 | 8.3E-4 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9081132E-4 | 5.007522E-4 | 2.6243317 | 3.1E-4 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.175067E-4 | 0.0011772123 | 1.4400034 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009907843 | 0.010482096 | 1.0579594 | 5.8E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.096810766 | 0.097560406 | 1.0077435 | 8.3E-4 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9033643E-4 | 5.0027744E-4 | 2.628385 | 3.1E-4 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.1547274E-4 | 0.0011751791 | 1.4411017 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009883304 | 0.010457572 | 1.0581049 | 5.8E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.096584216 | 0.09733405 | 1.0077635 | 8.3E-4 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.897343E-4 | 4.9967546E-4 | 2.6335537 | 3.1E-4 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.128938E-4 | 0.0011726011 | 1.4425023 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.00985219 | 0.010426476 | 1.0582901 | 5.8E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.096301794 | 0.09705187 | 1.0077888 | 8.3E-4 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.8919505E-4 | 4.991364E-4 | 2.6382105 | 3.1E-4 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.1058417E-4 | 0.0011702924 | 1.4437641 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009824324 | 0.010398626 | 1.0584571 | 5.8E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.0960482 | 0.09679847 | 1.0078115 | 8.3E-4 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.857177E-4 | 4.956601E-4 | 2.6688902 | 3.1E-4 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.9569034E-4 | 0.0011554039 | 1.4520773 | 3.6E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009644611 | 0.010209113 | 1.0585303 | 5.7E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.094429545 | 0.095172115 | 1.0078638 | 8.2E-4 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6020852E-4 | 4.4016368E-4 | 2.7474422 | 2.8E-4 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.8642735E-4 | 0.0010062077 | 1.4658619 | 3.2E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008325285 | 0.008840957 | 1.0619403 | 5.2E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.082231544 | 0.08292905 | 1.0084822 | 7.6E-4 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4516065E-4 | 2.7514176E-4 | 1.8954295 | 1.3E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.2196876E-4 | 7.618817E-4 | 1.2249517 | 1.4E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.007546219 | 0.007843955 | 1.039455 | 3.0E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.07472429 | 0.07519618 | 1.0063151 | 5.1E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.00452475E-4 | 1.5044745E-4 | 1.4976978 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3043957E-4 | 4.9041375E-4 | 1.1393324 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052280203 | 0.005347393 | 1.0228332 | 1.2E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.052421875 | 0.05263982 | 1.0041574 | 2.3E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4255845E-5 | 6.4255306E-5 | 1.184302 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3250433E-4 | 2.42502E-4 | 1.043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028270676 | 0.0028669545 | 1.0141089 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.02894576 | 0.029013734 | 1.0023483 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9398649E-5 | 2.9398456E-5 | 1.5154898 | 1.0E-5 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.313442E-5 | 9.313359E-5 | 1.1202772 | 1.0E-5 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010116922 | 0.0010216822 | 1.0098745 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.0108545665 | 0.010864458 | 1.0009112 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364153E-5 | 1.803585E-4 | 4.468284 | 1.4E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297921E-4 | 4.0293942E-4 | 2.3294096 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002104245 | 0.002573256 | 1.222888 | 4.7E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869121 | 0.021623053 | 1.0361266 | 7.7E-4 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364153E-5 | 1.803585E-4 | 4.468284 | 1.4E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297921E-4 | 4.0293942E-4 | 2.3294096 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002104245 | 0.002573256 | 1.222888 | 4.7E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869121 | 0.021623053 | 1.0361266 | 7.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059712E-5 | 7.105866E-5 | 3.3741515 | 5.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0253365E-5 | 1.8024525E-4 | 1.9971027 | 9.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983829 | 0.0013081521 | 1.1909802 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939626 | 0.01133525 | 1.0361643 | 4.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059712E-5 | 7.105866E-5 | 3.3741515 | 5.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0253365E-5 | 1.8024525E-4 | 1.9971027 | 9.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983829 | 0.0013081521 | 1.1909802 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939626 | 0.01133525 | 1.0361643 | 4.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9565137E-5 | 5.9564354E-5 | 3.0444129 | 4.0E-5 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.384846E-5 | 1.6384175E-4 | 1.9540222 | 8.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010204775 | 0.0012202733 | 1.1957867 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.0101678325 | 0.0105439685 | 1.0369928 | 3.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6836908E-5 | 5.6836234E-5 | 3.375693 | 4.0E-5 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.215671E-5 | 1.4215166E-4 | 1.9700408 | 7.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.782473E-4 | 0.0010580893 | 1.2047737 | 1.8E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008756962 | 0.009074159 | 1.0362223 | 3.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3724037E-5 | 5.372349E-5 | 3.9145544 | 4.0E-5 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.8816477E-5 | 1.18812946E-4 | 2.0200624 | 6.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.1594387E-4 | 8.8582217E-4 | 1.2372788 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071450667 | 0.007432995 | 1.0402974 | 2.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1533472E-5 | 4.1533127E-5 | 3.6010947 | 3.0E-5 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9428723E-5 | 8.942674E-5 | 1.8092061 | 4.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.017155E-4 | 7.216433E-4 | 1.1993098 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.0060093896 | 0.006218128 | 1.0347353 | 2.1E-4 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618123E-5 | 1.4561505E-4 | 5.684064 | 1.2E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09787434E-4 | 3.0976548E-4 | 2.8215022 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358593 | 0.0018052314 | 1.3513634 | 4.7E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013281459 | 0.014001763 | 1.0542338 | 7.3E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618123E-5 | 1.4561505E-4 | 5.684064 | 1.2E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09787434E-4 | 3.0976548E-4 | 2.8215022 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358593 | 0.0018052314 | 1.3513634 | 4.7E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013281459 | 0.014001763 | 1.0542338 | 7.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618123E-5 | 1.4561505E-4 | 5.684064 | 1.2E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09787434E-4 | 3.0976548E-4 | 2.8215022 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358593 | 0.0018052314 | 1.3513634 | 4.7E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013281459 | 0.014001763 | 1.0542338 | 7.3E-4 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.511821E-5 | 1.3511545E-4 | 5.379183 | 1.1E-4 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764512E-4 | 2.9762468E-4 | 2.764869 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013098082 | 0.0017692057 | 1.3507365 | 4.6E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013024019 | 0.0137346415 | 1.0545624 | 7.2E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.511821E-5 | 1.3511545E-4 | 5.379183 | 1.1E-4 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764512E-4 | 2.9762468E-4 | 2.764869 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013098082 | 0.0017692057 | 1.3507365 | 4.6E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013024019 | 0.0137346415 | 1.0545624 | 7.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4807463E-5 | 1.3480474E-4 | 5.4340396 | 1.1E-4 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0631346E-4 | 2.9629326E-4 | 2.7869778 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012936145 | 0.0017430325 | 1.3474125 | 4.5E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.012863967 | 0.0135648325 | 1.0544829 | 7.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3311291E-5 | 1.13309194E-4 | 4.8607 | 9.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.990179E-5 | 2.598858E-4 | 2.601413 | 1.6E-4 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012156401 | 0.0015851903 | 1.3039964 | 3.7E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012092689 | 0.012705192 | 1.0506506 | 6.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2911929E-5 | 1.1290987E-4 | 4.9279947 | 9.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8190365E-5 | 2.5817467E-4 | 2.6293278 | 1.6E-4 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011948266 | 0.0015643846 | 1.3092984 | 3.7E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011886794 | 0.012489543 | 1.0507075 | 6.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1805923E-5 | 1.0180418E-4 | 4.668648 | 8.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.345069E-5 | 2.4343668E-4 | 2.6049747 | 1.5E-4 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011371822 | 0.0014867843 | 1.3074282 | 3.5E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011317186 | 0.011890623 | 1.0506694 | 5.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5303958E-5 | 7.530304E-5 | 4.920494 | 6.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.5586784E-5 | 1.7557957E-4 | 2.6770573 | 1.1E-4 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.9823297E-4 | 0.0010080654 | 1.262871 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007955219 | 0.008302434 | 1.0436462 | 3.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3154176E-5 | 5.315365E-5 | 4.0408196 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6373854E-5 | 1.3636934E-4 | 2.4190176 | 8.0E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.861413E-4 | 8.360384E-4 | 1.2184639 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068414966 | 0.0070798546 | 1.03484 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0865248E-5 | 1.0865248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6564543E-5 | 7.656315E-5 | 1.644237 | 3.0E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.667801E-4 | 6.367404E-4 | 1.1234347 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005653847 | 0.005783112 | 1.0228631 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.028628E-5 | 1.028628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4083336E-5 | 6.408245E-5 | 1.4536662 | 2.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.365867E-4 | 5.865598E-4 | 1.0931315 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.005353342 | 0.0054528066 | 1.01858 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.808134E-6 | 9.808134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2034208E-5 | 5.2033785E-5 | 1.2378914 | 1.0E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.116505E-4 | 5.4163515E-4 | 1.0586038 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005105152 | 0.005184743 | 1.0155904 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.707145E-6 | 9.707145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.160141E-5 | 5.1600997E-5 | 1.2403665 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0638366E-4 | 5.3636846E-4 | 1.0592136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050527244 | 0.0051223706 | 1.0137839 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.604788E-6 | 9.604788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.116275E-5 | 5.1162337E-5 | 1.2429281 | 1.0E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.0104543E-4 | 5.310304E-4 | 1.0598449 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.004999583 | 0.0050692335 | 1.0139312 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.283887E-6 | 9.283887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.9787505E-5 | 4.9787108E-5 | 1.2513251 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8430942E-4 | 5.142949E-4 | 1.0619138 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048329635 | 0.004902625 | 1.0144138 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.345144E-6 | 8.345144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5764435E-5 | 3.5764435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3534904E-4 | 4.453447E-4 | 1.0229601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.004345367 | 0.0043951496 | 1.0114565 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 9.389419E-5 | 24.109182 | 9.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 1.5668847E-4 | 9.387712 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 5.13133E-4 | 2.5253108 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.002519536 | 1.2408261 | 4.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 9.389419E-5 | 24.109182 | 9.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 1.5668847E-4 | 9.387712 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 5.13133E-4 | 2.5253108 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.002519536 | 1.2408261 | 4.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 9.389419E-5 | 24.109182 | 9.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 1.5668847E-4 | 9.387712 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 5.13133E-4 | 2.5253108 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.002519536 | 1.2408261 | 4.9E-4 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 9.389419E-5 | 24.109182 | 9.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 1.5668847E-4 | 9.387712 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 5.13133E-4 | 2.5253108 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.002519536 | 1.2408261 | 4.9E-4 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 9.389419E-5 | 24.109182 | 9.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 1.5668847E-4 | 9.387712 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 5.13133E-4 | 2.5253108 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.002519536 | 1.2408261 | 4.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030522E-6 | 1.120304E-5 | 9.312181 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.155928E-6 | 1.5155877E-5 | 2.9395049 | 1.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277174E-5 | 9.276986E-5 | 1.477892 | 3.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275518E-4 | 6.975079E-4 | 1.1114746 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030522E-6 | 1.120304E-5 | 9.312181 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.155928E-6 | 1.5155877E-5 | 2.9395049 | 1.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277174E-5 | 9.276986E-5 | 1.477892 | 3.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275518E-4 | 6.975079E-4 | 1.1114746 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.4106733E-7 | 1.0841059E-5 | 12.889645 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6045697E-6 | 1.3604534E-5 | 3.7742462 | 1.0E-5 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3884807E-5 | 6.3883934E-5 | 1.4557185 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3876714E-4 | 4.887452E-4 | 1.1139057 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.3921595E-7 | 1.063921E-5 | 16.644156 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7394944E-6 | 1.2739467E-5 | 4.6502986 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3352873E-5 | 5.3352207E-5 | 1.5996284 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.334825E-4 | 3.7346914E-4 | 1.1199063 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.345337E-7 | 1.0534528E-5 | 19.707886 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2908569E-6 | 1.2290834E-5 | 5.365169 | 1.0E-5 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.789086E-5 | 3.789058E-5 | 1.3585304 | 1.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.788769E-4 | 2.988713E-4 | 1.0716963 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.532427E-7 | 3.532427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5138964E-6 | 1.5138964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8431541E-5 | 1.8431541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430098E-4 | 1.9429914E-4 | 1.054249 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0002266E-7 | 3.0002266E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858108E-6 | 1.2858108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5654641E-5 | 1.5654641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5653613E-4 | 1.6653458E-4 | 1.063873 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0217729E-7 | 2.0217729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.6647384E-7 | 8.6647384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0549273E-5 | 1.0549273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0548818E-4 | 1.1548713E-4 | 1.0947874 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0636901E-7 | 1.0636901E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.558671E-7 | 4.558671E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.55017E-6 | 5.55017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5500514E-5 | 6.549996E-5 | 1.1801685 | 1.0E-5 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694737E-5 | 8.6693566E-5 | 5.192868 | 7.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1547045E-5 | 1.8153917E-4 | 2.53734 | 1.1E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7076076E-4 | 0.0011505169 | 1.3212779 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675868 | 0.009131877 | 1.0525607 | 4.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694737E-5 | 8.6693566E-5 | 5.192868 | 7.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1547045E-5 | 1.8153917E-4 | 2.53734 | 1.1E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7076076E-4 | 0.0011505169 | 1.3212779 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675868 | 0.009131877 | 1.0525607 | 4.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694737E-5 | 8.6693566E-5 | 5.192868 | 7.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1547045E-5 | 1.8153917E-4 | 2.53734 | 1.1E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7076076E-4 | 0.0011505169 | 1.3212779 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675868 | 0.009131877 | 1.0525607 | 4.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888677E-5 | 4.188832E-5 | 3.5233793 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.095051E-5 | 1.0094797E-4 | 1.9812944 | 5.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2015187E-4 | 7.200898E-4 | 1.1611508 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006184821 | 0.006343832 | 1.0257097 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888677E-5 | 4.188832E-5 | 3.5233793 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.095051E-5 | 1.0094797E-4 | 1.9812944 | 5.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2015187E-4 | 7.200898E-4 | 1.1611508 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006184821 | 0.006343832 | 1.0257097 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.062002E-5 | 4.06197E-5 | 3.8248236 | 3.0E-5 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.5513603E-5 | 9.551133E-5 | 2.0985227 | 5.0E-5 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.539921E-4 | 6.439423E-4 | 1.1623672 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0048150513 | 0.00552661 | 0.0056558917 | 1.0233926 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.1595875E-6 | 3.9159313E-5 | 4.2752266 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.925481E-5 | 8.925285E-5 | 2.2736793 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7782643E-4 | 5.4779294E-4 | 1.1464267 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0041158604 | 0.004768387 | 0.0048679104 | 1.0208714 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.407313E-6 | 2.8407145E-5 | 3.3788614 | 2.0E-5 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6030862E-5 | 6.602978E-5 | 1.8325895 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3859115E-4 | 4.885692E-4 | 1.1139514 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003753043 | 0.0043776245 | 0.004447318 | 1.0159204 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.84223E-6 | 1.784215E-5 | 2.2751374 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3609143E-5 | 5.360847E-5 | 1.5950562 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0911807E-4 | 4.491017E-4 | 1.0977312 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.0040840064 | 0.0041338024 | 1.0121928 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1306854E-6 | 1.7130615E-5 | 2.4023798 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0559742E-5 | 5.055913E-5 | 1.6544358 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7200472E-4 | 4.1198987E-4 | 1.1074855 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037141584 | 0.0037639725 | 1.013412 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0803756E-6 | 5.0803756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1772865E-5 | 2.1772865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.650539E-4 | 2.650539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021547892 | 0.002647531 | 0.002647531 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.63193E-6 | 4.63193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9850986E-5 | 1.9850986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4166047E-4 | 2.4166047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024141273 | 0.0024141273 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.156776E-6 | 4.156776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7814642E-5 | 1.7814642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1687317E-4 | 2.1687317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021667634 | 0.0021667634 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6293627E-6 | 3.6293627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5554328E-5 | 1.5554328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8935895E-4 | 1.8935895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018921213 | 0.0018921213 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.889017E-6 | 2.889017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.238145E-5 | 1.238145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5073517E-4 | 1.5073517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015064707 | 0.0015064707 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5134848E-6 | 1.5134848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4863543E-6 | 6.4863543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.896975E-5 | 7.896975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.8953954E-4 | 7.8953954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16063E-4 | 3.9603774E-4 | 1.2530341 | 8.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013538585 | 0.0014637096 | 1.0811392 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360149 | 0.016566712 | 1.012626 | 2.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.1502109 | 0.15052532 | 1.0020932 | 3.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16063E-4 | 3.9603774E-4 | 1.2530341 | 8.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013538585 | 0.0014637096 | 1.0811392 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360149 | 0.016566712 | 1.012626 | 2.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.1502109 | 0.15052532 | 1.0020932 | 3.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16063E-4 | 3.9603774E-4 | 1.2530341 | 8.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013538585 | 0.0014637096 | 1.0811392 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360149 | 0.016566712 | 1.012626 | 2.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.1502109 | 0.15052532 | 1.0020932 | 3.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.051113E-4 | 3.8508687E-4 | 1.2621194 | 8.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013069701 | 0.0014168264 | 1.0840541 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015797663 | 0.016004346 | 1.0130831 | 2.1E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14551277 | 0.14582895 | 1.0021727 | 3.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.051113E-4 | 3.8508687E-4 | 1.2621194 | 8.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013069701 | 0.0014168264 | 1.0840541 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015797663 | 0.016004346 | 1.0130831 | 2.1E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14551277 | 0.14582895 | 1.0021727 | 3.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.8925604E-4 | 3.692329E-4 | 1.2764915 | 8.0E-5 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.001239085 | 0.0013489487 | 1.0886652 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.014982755 | 0.0151896095 | 1.0138061 | 2.1E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.13865015 | 0.13896884 | 1.0022986 | 3.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5364384E-4 | 3.3362355E-4 | 1.3153229 | 8.0E-5 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010865945 | 0.0011764967 | 1.0827376 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005788839 | 0.013149675 | 0.013337176 | 1.014259 | 1.9E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.123004206 | 0.123302385 | 1.0024241 | 3.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3499398E-4 | 3.149752E-4 | 1.3403542 | 8.0E-5 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010067298 | 0.0010966391 | 1.0893084 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012188473 | 0.012376158 | 1.0153985 | 1.9E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.11479201 | 0.115092985 | 1.0026219 | 3.4E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2025258E-4 | 3.0023497E-4 | 1.3631394 | 8.0E-5 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.4359886E-4 | 0.0010335139 | 1.0952895 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011428066 | 0.011615895 | 1.0164357 | 1.9E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.10820394 | 0.10850715 | 1.0028023 | 3.4E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1480804E-4 | 2.9479084E-4 | 1.3723456 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.202817E-4 | 0.0010101988 | 1.0977062 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011147114 | 0.011334996 | 1.0168548 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.10579753 | 0.10610156 | 1.0028737 | 3.4E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.080777E-4 | 2.7806315E-4 | 1.3363428 | 7.0E-5 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.914574E-4 | 9.713861E-4 | 1.0896606 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0047382377 | 0.010799707 | 0.010977763 | 1.0164871 | 1.8E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.102768935 | 0.10306502 | 1.002881 | 3.3E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.998233E-4 | 2.698093E-4 | 1.3502395 | 7.0E-5 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.56105E-4 | 9.360365E-4 | 1.0933665 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010373463 | 0.010551595 | 1.017172 | 1.8E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.09907483 | 0.09937214 | 1.0030009 | 3.3E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8387941E-4 | 2.5386654E-4 | 1.3806143 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.878168E-4 | 8.6775376E-4 | 1.1014664 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009549593 | 0.009727873 | 1.018669 | 1.8E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.091802835 | 0.09210254 | 1.0032647 | 3.3E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7331538E-4 | 2.4330325E-4 | 1.403818 | 7.0E-5 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.4256887E-4 | 8.2250946E-4 | 1.1076541 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009003378 | 0.009181757 | 1.0198125 | 1.8E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.087064296 | 0.08736557 | 1.0034603 | 3.3E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6551661E-4 | 2.3550504E-4 | 1.4228482 | 7.0E-5 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.091642E-4 | 7.891074E-4 | 1.1127288 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008599959 | 0.008778412 | 1.0207503 | 1.8E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.083518505 | 0.08382094 | 1.0036212 | 3.3E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5839333E-4 | 2.2838225E-4 | 1.4418678 | 7.0E-5 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.786521E-4 | 7.5859774E-4 | 1.1178007 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003788775 | 0.008231343 | 0.0084098615 | 1.0216876 | 1.8E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.080234535 | 0.08053806 | 1.003783 | 3.3E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5409182E-4 | 2.2408103E-4 | 1.4542046 | 7.0E-5 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.602264E-4 | 7.4017356E-4 | 1.1210905 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008008682 | 0.008187241 | 1.0222956 | 1.8E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.07822442 | 0.078528605 | 1.0038886 | 3.3E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4318043E-4 | 2.131704E-4 | 1.4888237 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.134861E-4 | 6.93437E-4 | 1.1303223 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003495157 | 0.007443652 | 0.0076223123 | 1.0240017 | 1.8E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07305383 | 0.07335972 | 1.0041872 | 3.3E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3202122E-4 | 1.9201329E-4 | 1.4544125 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.6568254E-4 | 6.356429E-4 | 1.1236743 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0068654646 | 0.0070342976 | 1.0245916 | 1.7E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.06771227 | 0.068010606 | 1.0044059 | 3.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.723151E-5 | 1.4722664E-4 | 1.5141866 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1663993E-4 | 4.7661495E-4 | 1.1439493 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0025967648 | 0.005060803 | 0.005180196 | 1.0235916 | 1.2E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.050646737 | 0.050865088 | 1.0043112 | 2.3E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3300802E-5 | 6.330027E-5 | 1.1876044 | 1.0E-5 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2841203E-4 | 2.3840973E-4 | 1.0437706 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027773718 | 0.0028172606 | 1.0143621 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.028359966 | 0.028427983 | 1.0023983 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8820898E-5 | 2.8820708E-5 | 1.5313143 | 1.0E-5 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.06585E-5 | 9.065769E-5 | 1.1239696 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.815755E-4 | 9.915656E-4 | 1.0101777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010482702 | 0.010492598 | 1.0009439 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.153101E-6 | 5.153101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2084532E-5 | 2.2084532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.6884608E-4 | 2.6884608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0030408972 | 0.0030408972 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097003E-5 | 4.2096563E-5 | 1.9050801 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.469877E-5 | 1.7469119E-4 | 1.8447039 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524827 | 0.0013122982 | 1.1386707 | 1.6E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.01147837 | 0.0117848115 | 1.0266973 | 3.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097003E-5 | 4.2096563E-5 | 1.9050801 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.469877E-5 | 1.7469119E-4 | 1.8447039 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524827 | 0.0013122982 | 1.1386707 | 1.6E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.01147837 | 0.0117848115 | 1.0266973 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1255602E-5 | 2.125549E-5 | 1.8884364 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8237696E-5 | 7.823625E-5 | 1.6218903 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.871877E-4 | 6.7713484E-4 | 1.153183 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0052028033 | 0.005861467 | 0.006070236 | 1.0356172 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.079831E-5 | 2.0798201E-5 | 1.9260608 | 1.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6277943E-5 | 7.6276556E-5 | 1.648227 | 3.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334015E-4 | 6.5328943E-4 | 1.1596714 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005624211 | 0.005823086 | 1.0353606 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.079831E-5 | 2.0798201E-5 | 1.9260608 | 1.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6277943E-5 | 7.6276556E-5 | 1.648227 | 3.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334015E-4 | 6.5328943E-4 | 1.1596714 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005624211 | 0.005823086 | 1.0353606 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2855797E-6 | 1.6285518E-5 | 2.590933 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.693807E-5 | 5.6937264E-5 | 2.1136355 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2794854E-4 | 4.079223E-4 | 1.2438607 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0028957394 | 0.003277282 | 0.0034267905 | 1.0456196 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5132705E-6 | 1.5513215E-5 | 2.8137953 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3628236E-5 | 5.3627526E-5 | 2.2696373 | 3.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.87662E-4 | 3.6763898E-4 | 1.2780242 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028754652 | 0.0030050913 | 1.0450801 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5158945E-6 | 1.4515849E-5 | 3.2143908 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9353833E-5 | 3.9353446E-5 | 2.033367 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3563292E-4 | 2.756235E-4 | 1.1697155 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023563292 | 0.0024361408 | 1.033871 | 8.0E-5 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8776773E-5 | 6.877584E-5 | 3.6628146 | 5.0E-5 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.047006E-5 | 1.6046362E-4 | 1.9940785 | 8.0E-5 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.794E-4 | 0.0011192629 | 1.1428046 | 1.4E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009762382 | 0.009980234 | 1.0223155 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973554E-5 | 3.0973333E-5 | 2.8225436 | 2.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702907E-5 | 8.702719E-5 | 1.8504978 | 4.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.724994E-4 | 6.424594E-4 | 1.1222008 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717204 | 0.005846461 | 1.0226084 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973554E-5 | 3.0973333E-5 | 2.8225436 | 2.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702907E-5 | 8.702719E-5 | 1.8504978 | 4.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.724994E-4 | 6.424594E-4 | 1.1222008 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717204 | 0.005846461 | 1.0226084 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778015E-6 | 1.4777967E-5 | 3.0929093 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477177E-5 | 5.0476563E-5 | 2.4650156 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930414E-4 | 2.8929417E-4 | 1.1604066 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925028 | 0.0025423781 | 1.0200101 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778015E-6 | 1.4777967E-5 | 3.0929093 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477177E-5 | 5.0476563E-5 | 2.4650156 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930414E-4 | 2.8929417E-4 | 1.1604066 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925028 | 0.0025423781 | 1.0200101 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778015E-6 | 1.4777967E-5 | 3.0929093 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477177E-5 | 5.0476563E-5 | 2.4650156 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930414E-4 | 2.8929417E-4 | 1.1604066 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925028 | 0.0025423781 | 1.0200101 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.7608837E-6 | 1.4760836E-5 | 3.1004405 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0403757E-5 | 5.0403145E-5 | 2.4702876 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4841045E-4 | 2.884005E-4 | 1.1609838 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.002483586 | 0.002533462 | 1.0200822 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.2710476E-6 | 1.4271005E-5 | 3.3413358 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.830449E-5 | 4.830394E-5 | 2.6389122 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2285717E-4 | 2.6284825E-4 | 1.1794472 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022285716 | 0.0022684825 | 1.0179087 | 4.0E-5 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103707E-5 | 7.810262E-5 | 4.3141785 | 6.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758512E-5 | 1.6757814E-4 | 2.1599262 | 9.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442103E-4 | 0.0011040592 | 1.1692938 | 1.6E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404104 | 0.00961213 | 1.0221207 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103707E-5 | 7.810262E-5 | 4.3141785 | 6.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758512E-5 | 1.6757814E-4 | 2.1599262 | 9.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442103E-4 | 0.0011040592 | 1.1692938 | 1.6E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404104 | 0.00961213 | 1.0221207 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103707E-5 | 7.810262E-5 | 4.3141785 | 6.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758512E-5 | 1.6757814E-4 | 2.1599262 | 9.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442103E-4 | 0.0011040592 | 1.1692938 | 1.6E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404104 | 0.00961213 | 1.0221207 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135411E-5 | 4.1135077E-5 | 3.694078 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7722333E-5 | 9.7719945E-5 | 2.0476775 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.8086734E-4 | 6.7081506E-4 | 1.1548507 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937866 | 0.0059230337 | 1.0223079 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135411E-5 | 4.1135077E-5 | 3.694078 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7722333E-5 | 9.7719945E-5 | 2.0476775 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.8086734E-4 | 6.7081506E-4 | 1.1548507 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937866 | 0.0059230337 | 1.0223079 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.170186E-6 | 2.9170003E-5 | 3.180961 | 2.0E-5 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9300216E-5 | 7.929864E-5 | 2.0177662 | 4.0E-5 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.783766E-4 | 5.5833836E-4 | 1.1671523 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004773633 | 0.0048831077 | 1.0229332 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715528E-6 | 2.7715374E-5 | 3.5921552 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.3066135E-5 | 7.306481E-5 | 2.209657 | 4.0E-5 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.0250685E-4 | 4.8247466E-4 | 1.1986744 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.0040178853 | 0.0041274433 | 1.0272676 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.7380233E-6 | 1.6737957E-5 | 2.4841049 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8876928E-5 | 5.887606E-5 | 2.0388618 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5152066E-4 | 4.2149605E-4 | 1.1990649 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.003509728 | 0.003609377 | 1.0283922 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.836003E-6 | 1.5835945E-5 | 2.7134917 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5011204E-5 | 4.5010704E-5 | 1.7996216 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.0446946E-4 | 3.4445728E-4 | 1.1313361 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.0030405847 | 0.0031103718 | 1.0229518 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.039504E-6 | 1.50394535E-5 | 2.9843123 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1597696E-5 | 4.1597264E-5 | 1.9260046 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.629207E-4 | 3.0291016E-4 | 1.1520971 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026261439 | 0.00269596 | 1.0265851 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.845204E-6 | 1.3845165E-5 | 3.6006324 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6479342E-5 | 3.6479014E-5 | 2.2136207 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0061784E-4 | 2.3061181E-4 | 1.149508 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0020043987 | 0.0020642786 | 1.0298742 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8978507E-6 | 2.8978507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419302E-5 | 2.2419177E-5 | 1.8051882 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5119473E-4 | 1.711917E-4 | 1.1322597 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015109401 | 0.0015608646 | 1.033042 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2540103E-6 | 2.2540103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.66001E-6 | 1.9659914E-5 | 2.0351856 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1760445E-4 | 1.3760211E-4 | 1.1700416 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754404 | 0.0012153934 | 1.0339898 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422086E-6 | 1.5422086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6094494E-6 | 1.6609383E-5 | 2.5129755 | 1.0E-5 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.046723E-5 | 1.00465615E-4 | 1.2485284 | 2.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.04396E-4 | 8.443638E-4 | 1.0496868 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4108717E-7 | 4.4108717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8903725E-6 | 1.8903725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3015087E-5 | 2.3015087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3013157E-4 | 2.3013157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9415576E-8 | 5.9415576E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5463817E-7 | 2.5463817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1002162E-6 | 3.1002162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1001808E-5 | 3.1001808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867021E-5 | 2.8670023E-5 | 1.5356026 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0012775E-5 | 1.3000878E-4 | 1.6248503 | 5.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737278E-4 | 0.0011036012 | 1.1333776 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695467 | 0.009903431 | 1.0214496 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867021E-5 | 2.8670023E-5 | 1.5356026 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0012775E-5 | 1.3000878E-4 | 1.6248503 | 5.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737278E-4 | 0.0011036012 | 1.1333776 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695467 | 0.009903431 | 1.0214496 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867021E-5 | 2.8670023E-5 | 1.5356026 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0012775E-5 | 1.3000878E-4 | 1.6248503 | 5.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737278E-4 | 0.0011036012 | 1.1333776 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695467 | 0.009903431 | 1.0214496 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867021E-5 | 2.8670023E-5 | 1.5356026 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0012775E-5 | 1.3000878E-4 | 1.6248503 | 5.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737278E-4 | 0.0011036012 | 1.1333776 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695467 | 0.009903431 | 1.0214496 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.733816E-5 | 2.7337985E-5 | 1.5767525 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.430431E-5 | 1.1430134E-4 | 1.5382868 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0428564E-4 | 0.0010141862 | 1.121533 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006744 | 0.009185123 | 1.0198051 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.733816E-5 | 2.7337985E-5 | 1.5767525 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.430431E-5 | 1.1430134E-4 | 1.5382868 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0428564E-4 | 0.0010141862 | 1.121533 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006744 | 0.009185123 | 1.0198051 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6809092E-5 | 2.6808924E-5 | 1.5949061 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.203701E-5 | 1.12034126E-4 | 1.5552301 | 4.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.767036E-4 | 9.866072E-4 | 1.12536 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00781795 | 0.008733105 | 0.008911533 | 1.0204313 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6355965E-5 | 2.6355801E-5 | 1.6113877 | 1.0E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.009514E-5 | 1.1009234E-4 | 1.5706129 | 4.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5307995E-4 | 9.529947E-4 | 1.1171223 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007607299 | 0.008498689 | 0.008667245 | 1.0198331 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5881998E-5 | 2.5881838E-5 | 1.6296337 | 1.0E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.806396E-5 | 1.08061235E-4 | 1.5876426 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.283693E-4 | 9.08303E-4 | 1.0964953 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007386771 | 0.00825343 | 0.008402192 | 1.0180242 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5404545E-5 | 1.5404545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6017834E-5 | 9.601586E-5 | 1.4543927 | 3.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.034762E-4 | 8.7342E-4 | 1.0870514 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008006307 | 0.008145187 | 1.0173463 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5188108E-5 | 1.5188108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.5090295E-5 | 9.508834E-5 | 1.4608682 | 3.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.9219165E-4 | 8.621362E-4 | 1.0882925 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.007894269 | 0.0080232425 | 1.0163376 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4981292E-5 | 1.4981292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.420399E-5 | 9.420206E-5 | 1.4672307 | 3.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.814087E-4 | 8.51354E-4 | 1.0895118 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.0077871997 | 0.007916187 | 1.016564 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4679515E-5 | 1.4679515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.2910716E-5 | 8.290946E-5 | 1.3178909 | 2.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.656743E-4 | 8.256283E-4 | 1.0783023 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.007630946 | 0.00775003 | 1.0156054 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4453743E-5 | 1.4453743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.194317E-5 | 7.194255E-5 | 1.1614283 | 1.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.5390254E-4 | 7.938724E-4 | 1.0530173 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.007514031 | 0.0076132794 | 1.0132084 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4283726E-5 | 1.4283726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.121456E-5 | 7.121395E-5 | 1.1633499 | 1.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4503786E-4 | 7.850081E-4 | 1.0536486 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.00742598 | 0.0075153117 | 1.0120296 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.401197E-5 | 1.401197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.004995E-5 | 7.004935E-5 | 1.166518 | 1.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.308683E-4 | 7.608464E-4 | 1.041017 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.007285223 | 0.00736464 | 1.0109011 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2648108E-5 | 1.2648108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4205084E-5 | 6.420454E-5 | 1.1844746 | 1.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.5975235E-4 | 6.8973255E-4 | 1.0454416 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.006578489 | 0.0066480287 | 1.0105708 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02833255E-5 | 1.02833255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407068E-5 | 4.407068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.364335E-4 | 5.464281E-4 | 1.0186317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351897 | 0.0054016295 | 1.0092925 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0004286E-4 | 3.4003088E-4 | 1.1332743 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012852903 | 0.0013452133 | 1.046622 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541089 | 0.01562969 | 1.0057011 | 9.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.1429477 | 0.1430934 | 1.0010192 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0004286E-4 | 3.4003088E-4 | 1.1332743 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012852903 | 0.0013452133 | 1.046622 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541089 | 0.01562969 | 1.0057011 | 9.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.1429477 | 0.1430934 | 1.0010192 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0004286E-4 | 3.4003088E-4 | 1.1332743 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012852903 | 0.0013452133 | 1.046622 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541089 | 0.01562969 | 1.0057011 | 9.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.1429477 | 0.1430934 | 1.0010192 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8792562E-4 | 3.279141E-4 | 1.1388848 | 4.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.001233409 | 0.0012933351 | 1.0485857 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918202 | 0.015006859 | 1.005943 | 9.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765801 | 0.13780461 | 1.0010649 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8792562E-4 | 3.279141E-4 | 1.1388848 | 4.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.001233409 | 0.0012933351 | 1.0485857 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918202 | 0.015006859 | 1.005943 | 9.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765801 | 0.13780461 | 1.0010649 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6805513E-4 | 3.080444E-4 | 1.149183 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011483267 | 0.0012082577 | 1.05219 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.01389587 | 0.013974759 | 1.0056771 | 8.0E-5 | 0.05425003 | 0.12889914 | 0.12903851 | 1.0010812 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.505039E-4 | 2.9049386E-4 | 1.1596382 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.00107317 | 0.0011331056 | 1.0558491 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.012991933 | 0.0130708935 | 1.0060776 | 8.0E-5 | 0.049677886 | 0.12107798 | 0.12121861 | 1.0011615 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3121275E-4 | 2.612058E-4 | 1.1297207 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.905577E-4 | 0.0010405082 | 1.0504266 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.011997437 | 0.012066597 | 1.0057646 | 7.0E-5 | 0.04466656 | 0.11237316 | 0.1125063 | 1.0011848 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2681156E-4 | 2.5680475E-4 | 1.1322384 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7170967E-4 | 0.0010216611 | 1.0514057 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.011770456 | 0.011839633 | 1.0058771 | 7.0E-5 | 0.043698758 | 0.110378765 | 0.11051221 | 1.0012089 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7065984E-4 | 2.0065471E-4 | 1.1757582 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.3119515E-4 | 7.711659E-4 | 1.054665 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.00886617 | 0.008925638 | 1.0067073 | 6.0E-5 | 0.031450346 | 0.08420276 | 0.08432182 | 1.001414 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6495038E-4 | 1.9494543E-4 | 1.1818429 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.067395E-4 | 7.467112E-4 | 1.0565579 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.0085708015 | 0.008630287 | 1.0069405 | 6.0E-5 | 0.03011414 | 0.08151641 | 0.08163581 | 1.0014647 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.591358E-4 | 1.8913102E-4 | 1.1884882 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.818331E-4 | 7.218058E-4 | 1.0586253 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008269901 | 0.008329405 | 1.0071952 | 6.0E-5 | 0.028868021 | 0.07881104 | 0.078930795 | 1.0015196 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4520068E-4 | 1.7519633E-4 | 1.2065806 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.221406E-4 | 6.621157E-4 | 1.0642542 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075483583 | 0.007607905 | 1.0078888 | 6.0E-5 | 0.025707912 | 0.07226014 | 0.07237147 | 1.0015407 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3714298E-4 | 1.6713887E-4 | 1.2187198 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.8762357E-4 | 6.2760006E-4 | 1.0680308 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071309344 | 0.0071905064 | 1.0083541 | 6.0E-5 | 0.024434982 | 0.068538874 | 0.06865065 | 1.0016308 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.312221E-4 | 1.6121815E-4 | 1.22859 | 3.0E-5 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.622595E-4 | 6.02237E-4 | 1.0711015 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.006824102 | 0.0068836925 | 1.0087323 | 6.0E-5 | 0.023491086 | 0.065788716 | 0.06590082 | 1.001704 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2357533E-4 | 1.5357163E-4 | 1.2427369 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.2950135E-4 | 5.694802E-4 | 1.0755028 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.006427695 | 0.0064873095 | 1.0092746 | 6.0E-5 | 0.022230545 | 0.06218917 | 0.062301707 | 1.0018096 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.835737E-5 | 1.2835443E-4 | 1.3049802 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.214636E-4 | 4.6144673E-4 | 1.0948673 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005119272 | 0.0051789647 | 1.0116605 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017628696 | 0.05002095 | 0.05013495 | 1.002279 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.248871E-5 | 1.1248624E-4 | 1.3636562 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.534752E-4 | 3.9346103E-4 | 1.1131221 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004295077 | 0.0043548197 | 1.0139095 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01466633 | 0.042271324 | 0.042386252 | 1.0027188 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.463234E-5 | 9.463085E-5 | 1.2679603 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.198137E-4 | 3.4980412E-4 | 1.0937746 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0038867863 | 0.003936592 | 1.012814 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013589768 | 0.03843662 | 0.038542394 | 1.0027518 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.787948E-5 | 6.78789E-5 | 1.1727628 | 1.0E-5 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4803134E-4 | 2.6802637E-4 | 1.0806149 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.003015603 | 0.0030554824 | 1.0132244 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011140184 | 0.030151661 | 0.030238947 | 1.0028949 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1318876E-5 | 3.1318876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3421685E-4 | 1.3421685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016328663 | 0.0016528337 | 1.0122284 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01652268 | 0.016552184 | 1.0017856 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.8215E-6 | 7.8215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.3520282E-5 | 3.3520282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.0803317E-4 | 4.0803317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.0043841708 | 0.0043841708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.906094E-6 | 2.906094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.245463E-5 | 1.245463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5162461E-4 | 1.5162461E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017047176 | 0.0017047176 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2074206E-7 | 3.2074206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3746081E-6 | 1.3746081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.6735738E-5 | 1.6735738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.986336E-4 | 1.986336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170669E-5 | 7.17056E-5 | 3.3033874 | 5.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302576E-5 | 1.7301831E-4 | 1.8598969 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320722 | 0.0012219703 | 1.0794102 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.01127023 | 0.011418539 | 1.0131594 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170669E-5 | 7.17056E-5 | 3.3033874 | 5.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302576E-5 | 1.7301831E-4 | 1.8598969 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320722 | 0.0012219703 | 1.0794102 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.01127023 | 0.011418539 | 1.0131594 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170669E-5 | 7.17056E-5 | 3.3033874 | 5.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302576E-5 | 1.7301831E-4 | 1.8598969 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320722 | 0.0012219703 | 1.0794102 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.01127023 | 0.011418539 | 1.0131594 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6820626E-5 | 4.682012E-5 | 2.7834945 | 3.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086754E-5 | 1.2208315E-4 | 1.6935587 | 5.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.77364E-4 | 9.373114E-4 | 1.0683267 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745047 | 0.008844173 | 1.011335 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6820626E-5 | 4.682012E-5 | 2.7834945 | 3.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086754E-5 | 1.2208315E-4 | 1.6935587 | 5.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.77364E-4 | 9.373114E-4 | 1.0683267 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745047 | 0.008844173 | 1.011335 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5557947E-5 | 3.5557634E-5 | 2.2854967 | 2.0E-5 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.667555E-5 | 1.0667289E-4 | 1.5998801 | 4.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.115328E-4 | 8.6149224E-4 | 1.0615618 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008091635 | 0.0081709875 | 1.0098068 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4771539E-5 | 3.4771245E-5 | 2.353935 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.33054E-5 | 1.0330287E-4 | 1.6318177 | 4.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7053066E-4 | 8.204921E-4 | 1.0648403 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076844944 | 0.00776388 | 1.0103306 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4281708E-5 | 3.4281424E-5 | 2.4003727 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.120622E-5 | 1.01203776E-4 | 1.6534883 | 4.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.449907E-4 | 7.949535E-4 | 1.0670649 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074308095 | 0.0075002895 | 1.0093502 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2244026E-6 | 6.2244026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6675907E-5 | 2.6675907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2476074E-4 | 3.2476074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032458024 | 0.0032657376 | 1.0061418 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7930434E-6 | 4.7930434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0541615E-5 | 2.0541615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5009416E-4 | 2.5009416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025009417 | 0.0025208916 | 1.007977 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.007218E-4 | 2.3071577E-4 | 1.1494306 | 3.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.599537E-4 | 8.999193E-4 | 1.0464741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010419957 | 0.010528811 | 1.0104467 | 1.1E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10145083 | 0.10158561 | 1.0013286 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.007218E-4 | 2.3071577E-4 | 1.1494306 | 3.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.599537E-4 | 8.999193E-4 | 1.0464741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010419957 | 0.010528811 | 1.0104467 | 1.1E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10145083 | 0.10158561 | 1.0013286 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.007218E-4 | 2.3071577E-4 | 1.1494306 | 3.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.599537E-4 | 8.999193E-4 | 1.0464741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010419957 | 0.010528811 | 1.0104467 | 1.1E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10145083 | 0.10158561 | 1.0013286 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.007218E-4 | 2.3071577E-4 | 1.1494306 | 3.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.599537E-4 | 8.999193E-4 | 1.0464741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010419957 | 0.010528811 | 1.0104467 | 1.1E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10145083 | 0.10158561 | 1.0013286 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8429171E-4 | 2.0428802E-4 | 1.1085036 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.895828E-4 | 8.195591E-4 | 1.0379647 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009570916 | 0.00965015 | 1.0082786 | 8.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378183 | 0.09386339 | 1.0008696 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8429171E-4 | 2.0428802E-4 | 1.1085036 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.895828E-4 | 8.195591E-4 | 1.0379647 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009570916 | 0.00965015 | 1.0082786 | 8.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378183 | 0.09386339 | 1.0008696 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8236267E-4 | 2.02359E-4 | 1.1096516 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.813204E-4 | 8.0130476E-4 | 1.0255777 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009471198 | 0.009530629 | 1.0062749 | 6.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.09287209 | 0.092935584 | 1.0006837 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8150604E-4 | 2.0150241E-4 | 1.1101692 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.776513E-4 | 7.9763576E-4 | 1.0256984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00467679 | 0.009426914 | 0.009486348 | 1.0063047 | 6.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.09246637 | 0.0925299 | 1.000687 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.809739E-4 | 2.0097029E-4 | 1.1104932 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.753721E-4 | 7.953566E-4 | 1.0257741 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004657841 | 0.009399404 | 0.00945884 | 1.0063233 | 6.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.09221355 | 0.09227709 | 1.0006891 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.7979364E-4 | 1.9979004E-4 | 1.1112187 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.703168E-4 | 7.903014E-4 | 1.0259434 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004611638 | 0.0093383845 | 0.009397824 | 1.0063651 | 6.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.09165367 | 0.09171726 | 1.0006938 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7818164E-4 | 1.9817808E-4 | 1.112225 | 2.0E-5 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.6341233E-4 | 7.8339706E-4 | 1.0261781 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004551957 | 0.0092550395 | 0.009314484 | 1.006423 | 6.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.09088798 | 0.09095162 | 1.0007002 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7730116E-4 | 1.9729762E-4 | 1.1127824 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.5964106E-4 | 7.7962584E-4 | 1.0263082 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009209513 | 0.00926896 | 1.006455 | 6.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09046952 | 0.09053318 | 1.0007037 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7620731E-4 | 1.9620378E-4 | 1.1134827 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.549558E-4 | 7.749407E-4 | 1.0264716 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009152951 | 0.009212402 | 1.0064952 | 6.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.08995003 | 0.090013735 | 1.0007082 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7562733E-4 | 1.9562381E-4 | 1.1138575 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.524716E-4 | 7.724566E-4 | 1.0265591 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009122959 | 0.009182412 | 1.0065168 | 6.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.08967111 | 0.08973484 | 1.0007106 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.752532E-4 | 1.9524968E-4 | 1.1141006 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.508691E-4 | 7.7085407E-4 | 1.0266159 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004447999 | 0.009103612 | 0.009163066 | 1.0065308 | 6.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.0894914 | 0.08955513 | 1.0007122 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7394664E-4 | 1.9394315E-4 | 1.1149578 | 2.0E-5 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.452728E-4 | 7.6525786E-4 | 1.0268158 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009036045 | 0.009095502 | 1.0065801 | 6.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.088867545 | 0.08893133 | 1.0007176 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6840106E-4 | 1.883977E-4 | 1.1187441 | 2.0E-5 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.215194E-4 | 7.4150495E-4 | 1.0276992 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008749205 | 0.008798768 | 1.0056648 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.086243145 | 0.08629797 | 1.0006357 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4204094E-4 | 1.620381E-4 | 1.1407845 | 2.0E-5 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.0860487E-4 | 6.2859274E-4 | 1.032842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0073846295 | 0.007424334 | 1.0053767 | 4.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.07351696 | 0.07355402 | 1.0005041 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.2968556E-4 | 1.3968426E-4 | 1.0770996 | 1.0E-5 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.556769E-4 | 5.6567136E-4 | 1.017986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067444094 | 0.006774207 | 1.0044181 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.067252055 | 0.06728004 | 1.000416 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.3407485E-5 | 1.0340655E-4 | 1.1070478 | 1.0E-5 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.002564E-4 | 4.102524E-4 | 1.024974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025743195 | 0.004862242 | 0.0048920964 | 1.00614 | 3.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.048912104 | 0.048940636 | 1.0005833 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2222407E-5 | 5.2222407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2379112E-4 | 2.2379112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027212542 | 0.002731227 | 1.0036647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.027920531 | 0.027930252 | 1.0003482 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9169016E-5 | 1.9169016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.215035E-5 | 8.215035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 9.997222E-4 | 9.997222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009919235 | 0.010748157 | 0.010748157 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497057E-5 | 5.497057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556853E-4 | 2.4556616E-4 | 1.0424405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864544 | 0.0028944581 | 1.0104429 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.02830432 | 0.028362622 | 1.0020598 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497057E-5 | 5.497057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556853E-4 | 2.4556616E-4 | 1.0424405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864544 | 0.0028944581 | 1.0104429 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.02830432 | 0.028343188 | 1.0013732 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3924873E-5 | 3.3924873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.453844E-4 | 1.5538295E-4 | 1.0687732 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686523 | 0.001788617 | 1.011288 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017549712 | 0.017579185 | 1.0016794 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3924873E-5 | 3.3924873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.453844E-4 | 1.5538295E-4 | 1.0687732 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686523 | 0.001788617 | 1.011288 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017549712 | 0.017579185 | 1.0016794 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7912221E-5 | 2.7912221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1961844E-4 | 1.2961724E-4 | 1.0835892 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014554005 | 0.001465386 | 1.006861 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013192902 | 0.01446086 | 0.014480571 | 1.001363 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.512805E-5 | 2.512805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0768729E-4 | 1.17686206E-4 | 1.0928515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013103187 | 0.0013203056 | 1.0076218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012003611 | 0.013027596 | 0.013047336 | 1.0015152 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0354188E-5 | 2.0354188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.722936E-5 | 8.722936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.001061508 | 0.001061508 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00992627 | 0.010565287 | 0.010575182 | 1.0009365 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8146206E-5 | 1.8146206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.776717E-5 | 7.776717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.4640953E-4 | 9.4640953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008949154 | 0.009424437 | 0.009434342 | 1.0010511 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5926353E-5 | 1.5926353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.8254034E-5 | 6.8254034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3068036E-4 | 8.3068036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007960589 | 0.008276241 | 0.008286159 | 1.0011983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.33295025E-5 | 1.33295025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.7125202E-5 | 5.7125202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.952797E-4 | 6.952797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069313045 | 0.006941235 | 1.0014328 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1932665E-5 | 1.1932665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1139003E-5 | 5.1139003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.224412E-4 | 6.224412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006157372 | 0.006207171 | 0.0062171086 | 1.001601 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.05420895E-5 | 1.05420895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5179608E-5 | 4.5179608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.4992404E-4 | 5.4992404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055142213 | 0.005485763 | 0.005495708 | 1.0018129 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.459034E-6 | 9.459034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0538096E-5 | 4.0538096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.934406E-4 | 4.934406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049235686 | 0.0049335193 | 1.0020211 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.379476E-6 | 8.379476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.591155E-5 | 3.591155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3713645E-4 | 4.3713645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004470094 | 0.004362877 | 0.0043728338 | 1.002282 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9514385E-6 | 6.9514385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9791545E-5 | 2.9791545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6265264E-4 | 3.6265264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036207086 | 0.0036306726 | 1.002752 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2514924E-6 | 5.2514924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2506205E-5 | 2.2506205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.739793E-4 | 2.739793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027364872 | 0.0027364872 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0608607E-6 | 2.0608607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.832231E-6 | 8.832231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.07527194E-4 | 1.07527194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010747602 | 0.0010747602 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1016216E-6 | 1.1016216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.721227E-6 | 4.721227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7479447E-5 | 5.7479447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.746482E-4 | 5.746482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.0710653E-7 | 6.0710653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6018827E-6 | 2.6018827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1677475E-5 | 3.1677475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.167309E-4 | 3.167309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.0900173E-9 | 5.0900173E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.181436E-8 | 2.181436E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6558982E-7 | 2.6558982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.655896E-6 | 2.655896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.778346E-4 | 7.8782684E-4 | 1.0128462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033298659 | 0.003359766 | 1.0089793 | 3.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.040046964 | 0.04009496 | 1.0011985 | 5.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.3370342 | 0.3371005 | 1.0001967 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0276488E-4 | 3.1276184E-4 | 1.033019 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0012970122 | 0.0013069992 | 1.0077001 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0099994885 | 0.01577305 | 0.015792735 | 1.001248 | 2.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.14968696 | 0.14972098 | 1.0002272 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.824223E-4 | 1.9242048E-4 | 1.0548079 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.8157685E-4 | 7.9156907E-4 | 1.0127846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009474405 | 0.009494216 | 1.0020909 | 2.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09185756 | 0.09189388 | 1.0003954 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.7938759E-4 | 1.893858E-4 | 1.0557352 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.685786E-4 | 7.7857095E-4 | 1.0130011 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009317504 | 0.009337318 | 1.0021265 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09051052 | 0.0905469 | 1.000402 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7700944E-4 | 1.8700767E-4 | 1.0564842 | 1.0E-5 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.583925E-4 | 7.683849E-4 | 1.0131757 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009194541 | 0.0092143575 | 1.0021552 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.089414164 | 0.08945058 | 1.0004073 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7459E-4 | 1.8458825E-4 | 1.0572671 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.4802944E-4 | 7.5802195E-4 | 1.0133585 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046854047 | 0.0090694325 | 0.009089251 | 1.0021852 | 2.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08829737 | 0.08833383 | 1.0004131 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7140193E-4 | 1.8140022E-4 | 1.0583324 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.3437404E-4 | 7.4436667E-4 | 1.013607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008904563 | 0.008924385 | 1.002226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.086828575 | 0.08685597 | 1.0003155 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7007279E-4 | 1.8007109E-4 | 1.0587883 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.286809E-4 | 7.386736E-4 | 1.0137135 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045492216 | 0.008835857 | 0.00885568 | 1.0022435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.086228445 | 0.086255856 | 1.0003179 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.6952785E-4 | 1.7952615E-4 | 1.0589774 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.2634674E-4 | 7.363395E-4 | 1.0137576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008807677 | 0.008827501 | 1.0022508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.0859759 | 0.086003326 | 1.0003189 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6893743E-4 | 1.7893573E-4 | 1.0591835 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.238178E-4 | 7.3381054E-4 | 1.0138056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008777135 | 0.00879696 | 1.0022587 | 2.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.08570191 | 0.08572934 | 1.0003201 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6646592E-4 | 1.7646425E-4 | 1.0600624 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.1323145E-4 | 7.232243E-4 | 1.0140107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004455241 | 0.008649277 | 0.0086691035 | 1.0022923 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.084549636 | 0.0845771 | 1.0003248 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5127397E-4 | 1.6127246E-4 | 1.0660952 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.481567E-4 | 6.581502E-4 | 1.0154184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007862925 | 0.007882767 | 1.0025235 | 2.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.07746162 | 0.0774893 | 1.0003573 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4864646E-4 | 1.5864498E-4 | 1.0672637 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.369015E-4 | 6.468951E-4 | 1.015691 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004005129 | 0.0077268723 | 0.007746718 | 1.0025684 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07623468 | 0.07626239 | 1.0003635 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4561295E-4 | 1.556115E-4 | 1.0686651 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.23907E-4 | 6.3390075E-4 | 1.016018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003934157 | 0.007569774 | 0.007589623 | 1.0026221 | 2.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.07479546 | 0.074823216 | 1.0003711 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4262283E-4 | 1.526214E-4 | 1.070105 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.110982E-4 | 6.210921E-4 | 1.016354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003865065 | 0.007414898 | 0.00743475 | 1.0026773 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.0733692 | 0.073397 | 1.0003788 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1190168E-4 | 1.21900564E-4 | 1.0893542 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.7949058E-4 | 4.894858E-4 | 1.0208454 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032037178 | 0.0058222036 | 0.0058420873 | 1.0034151 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.058556058 | 0.0585843 | 1.0004823 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.1018825E-4 | 1.2018715E-4 | 1.0907438 | 1.0E-5 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7215E-4 | 4.8214526E-4 | 1.0211697 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0057333056 | 0.0057531907 | 1.0034684 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.057717044 | 0.05774531 | 1.0004898 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.174102E-5 | 1.0174011E-4 | 1.1089925 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.9311658E-4 | 4.0311264E-4 | 1.0254277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.0047757006 | 0.0047956053 | 1.0041679 | 2.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.048532683 | 0.048551712 | 1.0003921 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.559073E-5 | 9.558987E-5 | 1.1168251 | 1.0E-5 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6676586E-4 | 3.7676218E-4 | 1.0272553 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0044562398 | 0.0044761505 | 1.0044681 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.045299396 | 0.04531849 | 1.0004215 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.74995E-5 | 7.749882E-5 | 1.1481392 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.892515E-4 | 2.992486E-4 | 1.034562 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035159541 | 0.0035358837 | 1.0056684 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.03587903 | 0.035898313 | 1.0005374 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.069344E-5 | 4.069344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7438881E-4 | 1.7438881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021211174 | 0.0021310963 | 1.0047045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.022008745 | 0.022018524 | 1.0004444 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.867712E-5 | 1.867712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.004235E-5 | 8.004235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.740805E-4 | 9.740805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010486352 | 0.010486352 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711063E-5 | 5.4710476E-5 | 3.719002 | 4.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304599E-5 | 1.03043465E-4 | 1.6344175 | 4.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673321E-4 | 8.2728604E-4 | 1.078133 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648582 | 0.0077378936 | 1.0116769 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711063E-5 | 5.4710476E-5 | 3.719002 | 4.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304599E-5 | 1.03043465E-4 | 1.6344175 | 4.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673321E-4 | 8.2728604E-4 | 1.078133 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648582 | 0.0077378936 | 1.0116769 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711063E-5 | 5.4710476E-5 | 3.719002 | 4.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304599E-5 | 1.03043465E-4 | 1.6344175 | 4.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673321E-4 | 8.2728604E-4 | 1.078133 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648582 | 0.0077378936 | 1.0116769 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793114E-5 | 2.1792997E-5 | 1.8479425 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0541E-5 | 6.0540493E-5 | 1.1978492 | 1.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151733E-4 | 6.4515485E-4 | 1.0487367 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357445 | 0.006195376 | 1.0097188 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793114E-5 | 2.1792997E-5 | 1.8479425 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0541E-5 | 6.0540493E-5 | 1.1978492 | 1.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151733E-4 | 6.4515485E-4 | 1.0487367 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357445 | 0.006195376 | 1.0097188 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.04543005E-5 | 2.0454196E-5 | 1.9565341 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.480343E-5 | 5.4802982E-5 | 1.2231872 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.453545E-4 | 5.653436E-4 | 1.0366534 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054410887 | 0.005480871 | 1.0073115 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.413611E-6 | 9.413611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.034347E-5 | 4.034347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9108E-4 | 5.0107506E-4 | 1.0203533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.0049008303 | 0.004930683 | 1.0060914 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404091E-6 | 9.404091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0302675E-5 | 4.0302675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.905835E-4 | 5.0057855E-4 | 1.020374 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.004895887 | 0.00492574 | 1.0060976 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3800625E-6 | 7.3800625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.16285E-5 | 3.16285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.850171E-4 | 3.850171E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038443056 | 0.0038642287 | 1.0051825 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.270952E-6 | 5.270952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2589633E-5 | 2.2589633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7500023E-4 | 2.7500023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027472044 | 0.0027472044 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.590023E-6 | 3.590023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5385745E-5 | 1.5385745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8730946E-4 | 1.8730946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018719183 | 0.0018719183 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2934796E-6 | 1.2934796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.543481E-6 | 5.543481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.7491426E-5 | 6.7491426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7486946E-4 | 6.7486946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937252E-4 | 3.237164E-4 | 1.1021063 | 3.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583698 | 0.0012983194 | 1.0317471 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015234572 | 0.015293658 | 1.0038784 | 6.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13948786 | 0.1395567 | 1.0004935 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937252E-4 | 3.237164E-4 | 1.1021063 | 3.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583698 | 0.0012983194 | 1.0317471 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015234572 | 0.015293658 | 1.0038784 | 6.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13948786 | 0.1395567 | 1.0004935 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937252E-4 | 3.237164E-4 | 1.1021063 | 3.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583698 | 0.0012983194 | 1.0317471 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015234572 | 0.015293658 | 1.0038784 | 6.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13948786 | 0.1395567 | 1.0004935 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703425E-4 | 2.0702893E-4 | 1.1694287 | 3.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.586143E-4 | 7.985839E-4 | 1.0526878 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009217702 | 0.009267241 | 1.0053743 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08692913 | 0.08698391 | 1.0006303 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703425E-4 | 2.0702893E-4 | 1.1694287 | 3.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.586143E-4 | 7.985839E-4 | 1.0526878 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009217702 | 0.009267241 | 1.0053743 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08692913 | 0.08698391 | 1.0006303 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.639161E-5 | 4.639161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9880808E-4 | 2.0880609E-4 | 1.0502898 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024181618 | 0.0024381136 | 1.0082507 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.023697129 | 0.023716655 | 1.000824 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.614718E-5 | 2.614718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.12054775E-4 | 1.2205366E-4 | 1.0892321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013634576 | 0.0013834303 | 1.0146486 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.0135658905 | 0.01358562 | 1.0014542 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2072209E-5 | 2.2072209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.459196E-5 | 9.459196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.001151085 | 0.0011610735 | 1.0086775 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.011466836 | 0.011476721 | 1.0008621 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.44374735E-5 | 1.44374735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.187345E-5 | 6.187345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.53054E-4 | 7.630465E-4 | 1.0132693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075098155 | 0.00751974 | 1.0013216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2331781E-5 | 1.2331781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2849442E-5 | 5.2849442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4325513E-4 | 6.532487E-4 | 1.015536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007818509 | 0.006417556 | 0.006427492 | 1.0015482 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1451071E-5 | 1.1451071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9075115E-5 | 4.9075115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.9732865E-4 | 6.0732267E-4 | 1.0167313 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059606205 | 0.005970561 | 1.0016676 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0244655E-5 | 1.0244655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.390494E-5 | 4.390494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.344141E-4 | 5.444087E-4 | 1.018702 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053345314 | 0.005344478 | 1.0018646 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.504791E-6 | 8.504791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6448608E-5 | 3.6448608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.436731E-4 | 4.5366868E-4 | 1.0225291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006032603 | 0.0044293273 | 0.0044392827 | 1.0022477 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2385E-6 | 7.2385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1021784E-5 | 3.1021784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.776262E-4 | 3.8762242E-4 | 1.0264713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005282581 | 0.003770243 | 0.0037802053 | 1.0026424 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.3522734E-6 | 6.3522734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7223752E-5 | 2.7223752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3140014E-4 | 3.413968E-4 | 1.030165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033092108 | 0.0033191778 | 1.0030118 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.2253913E-6 | 5.2253913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2394348E-5 | 2.2394348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7261834E-4 | 2.826156E-4 | 1.0366713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039949706 | 0.002722964 | 0.0027329368 | 1.0036625 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.6873092E-6 | 4.6873092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.008832E-5 | 2.008832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4454904E-4 | 2.5454658E-4 | 1.0408816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024429155 | 0.0024528909 | 1.0040835 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.329326E-6 | 2.329326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.982792E-6 | 9.982792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2153445E-4 | 1.2153445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012147529 | 0.0012147529 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384396E-8 | 9.384396E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966353E-6 | 4.8966353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.89656E-5 | 4.89656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.67506E-5 | 5.674987E-5 | 1.5441887 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.574964E-4 | 1.8749168E-4 | 1.1904505 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164163 | 0.0019663207 | 1.0260403 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905635 | 0.019134825 | 1.0041181 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.67506E-5 | 5.674987E-5 | 1.5441887 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.574964E-4 | 1.8749168E-4 | 1.1904505 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164163 | 0.0019663207 | 1.0260403 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905635 | 0.019134825 | 1.0041181 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.67506E-5 | 5.674987E-5 | 1.5441887 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.574964E-4 | 1.8749168E-4 | 1.1904505 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164163 | 0.0019663207 | 1.0260403 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905635 | 0.019134825 | 1.0041181 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.67506E-5 | 5.674987E-5 | 1.5441887 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.574964E-4 | 1.8749168E-4 | 1.1904505 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164163 | 0.0019663207 | 1.0260403 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905635 | 0.019134825 | 1.0041181 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492545E-5 | 1.48492545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363814E-5 | 7.36375E-5 | 1.1571285 | 1.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.74524E-4 | 7.845162E-4 | 1.0129012 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077187964 | 0.007738642 | 1.0025711 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492545E-5 | 1.48492545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363814E-5 | 7.36375E-5 | 1.1571285 | 1.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.74524E-4 | 7.845162E-4 | 1.0129012 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077187964 | 0.007738642 | 1.0025711 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3011827E-5 | 1.3011827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.576379E-5 | 5.576379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.787144E-4 | 6.787144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067666266 | 0.0067765587 | 1.0014678 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.26283485E-5 | 1.26283485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.412038E-5 | 5.412038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.587181E-4 | 6.587181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00647886 | 0.0065678535 | 0.006577788 | 1.0015125 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.22307965E-5 | 1.22307965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2416657E-5 | 5.2416657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.379875E-4 | 6.379875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006361748 | 0.0063716844 | 1.0015619 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1157232E-5 | 1.1157232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.781584E-5 | 4.781584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.8200356E-4 | 5.8200356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777207 | 0.005804939 | 0.005814881 | 1.0017127 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0581566E-5 | 1.0581566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.534879E-5 | 4.534879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.5198284E-4 | 5.5198284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0055062566 | 0.0055162013 | 1.0018061 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.980875E-6 | 9.980875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.2774485E-5 | 4.2774485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.2065606E-4 | 5.2065606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005194495 | 0.0052044434 | 1.0019151 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.748684E-6 | 8.748684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7493828E-5 | 3.7493828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5639282E-4 | 4.5639282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046197 | 0.004554673 | 0.0045646275 | 1.0021856 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5050116E-6 | 7.5050116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2163945E-5 | 3.2163945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9152667E-4 | 3.9152667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039319694 | 0.003908476 | 0.003918437 | 1.0025486 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.1830524E-6 | 6.1830524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6498532E-5 | 2.6498532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.225728E-4 | 3.225728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032211433 | 0.003231111 | 1.0030944 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4407966E-6 | 4.4407966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.903185E-5 | 1.903185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3168883E-4 | 2.3168883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023145422 | 0.0023145422 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.300818E-6 | 1.300818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.574923E-6 | 5.574923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.787264E-5 | 6.787264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.78526E-4 | 6.78526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.61213E-7 | 5.61213E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4051967E-6 | 2.4051967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9282914E-5 | 2.9282914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9279414E-4 | 2.9279414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8030046E-8 | 4.8030046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0584304E-7 | 2.0584304E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.506136E-6 | 2.506136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5061088E-5 | 2.5061088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6425094E-5 | 1.0642413E-4 | 1.1036974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733507 | 0.0012133038 | 1.0340505 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672469 | 0.011761419 | 1.0076205 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6425094E-5 | 1.0642413E-4 | 1.1036974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733507 | 0.0012133038 | 1.0340505 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672469 | 0.011761419 | 1.0076205 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6425094E-5 | 1.0642413E-4 | 1.1036974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733507 | 0.0012133038 | 1.0340505 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672469 | 0.011761419 | 1.0076205 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336878E-5 | 2.1336878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.14406E-5 | 1.01439684E-4 | 1.1093506 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011127274 | 0.0011526829 | 1.0359077 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072383 | 0.011161387 | 1.0080383 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336878E-5 | 2.1336878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.14406E-5 | 1.01439684E-4 | 1.1093506 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011127274 | 0.0011526829 | 1.0359077 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072383 | 0.011161387 | 1.0080383 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0560943E-5 | 2.0560943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.811538E-5 | 9.8114506E-5 | 1.1134776 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010722834 | 0.0011122405 | 1.0372635 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010671882 | 0.010760921 | 1.0083433 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9910865E-5 | 1.9910865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.532952E-5 | 9.5328665E-5 | 1.1171827 | 1.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010383982 | 0.0010783566 | 1.0384809 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.01033622 | 0.010425289 | 1.0086173 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9043366E-5 | 1.9043366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.16119E-5 | 9.161109E-5 | 1.1225212 | 1.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.931781E-4 | 0.0010331384 | 1.0402348 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009888114 | 0.009977224 | 1.0090119 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8512486E-5 | 1.8512486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.933685E-5 | 8.9336056E-5 | 1.1260349 | 1.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.655042E-4 | 0.0010054656 | 1.0413891 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.009613798 | 0.009702933 | 1.0092715 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8087536E-5 | 1.8087536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.7515746E-5 | 8.751497E-5 | 1.128996 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.4335165E-4 | 9.833139E-4 | 1.042362 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009394166 | 0.00948332 | 1.0094904 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7805492E-5 | 1.7805492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.630706E-5 | 8.6306296E-5 | 1.1310395 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.286485E-4 | 9.686114E-4 | 1.0430334 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.0092483675 | 0.009337535 | 1.0096414 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7483448E-5 | 1.7483448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.492694E-5 | 8.492619E-5 | 1.1334534 | 1.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.118598E-4 | 9.518233E-4 | 1.0438263 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.009081865 | 0.009171047 | 1.0098199 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7170574E-5 | 1.7170574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.358614E-5 | 8.35854E-5 | 1.1358851 | 1.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.95549E-4 | 9.355132E-4 | 1.0446253 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008920078 | 0.009009276 | 1.0099996 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6302403E-5 | 1.6302403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.98656E-5 | 7.9864905E-5 | 1.143122 | 1.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.502876E-4 | 8.9025364E-4 | 1.0470029 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008470987 | 0.008560224 | 1.0105345 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.580791E-5 | 1.580791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.7746456E-5 | 7.774578E-5 | 1.1475992 | 1.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.245068E-4 | 8.644738E-4 | 1.0484738 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008215112 | 0.008304372 | 1.0108654 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.512624E-5 | 1.512624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.4825166E-5 | 7.482452E-5 | 1.1542511 | 1.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.889664E-4 | 8.1894273E-4 | 1.0379944 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007862279 | 0.00794165 | 1.0100951 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2626287E-5 | 1.2626287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4111566E-5 | 6.4111024E-5 | 1.1847934 | 1.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.5861444E-4 | 6.885947E-4 | 1.0455202 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.006567178 | 0.006636718 | 1.0105891 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02833255E-5 | 1.02833255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407068E-5 | 4.407068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.364335E-4 | 5.464281E-4 | 1.0186317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351897 | 0.0054016295 | 1.0092925 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2724344E-4 | 3.3724017E-4 | 1.0305483 | 1.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014017228 | 0.0014216948 | 1.0142481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016933769 | 0.017002583 | 1.0040637 | 7.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15264614 | 0.1527224 | 1.0004996 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2724344E-4 | 3.3724017E-4 | 1.0305483 | 1.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014017228 | 0.0014216948 | 1.0142481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016933769 | 0.017002583 | 1.0040637 | 7.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15264614 | 0.1527224 | 1.0004996 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0225134E-4 | 3.1224833E-4 | 1.0330751 | 1.0E-5 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012947238 | 0.0013047109 | 1.0077137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005590286 | 0.015650427 | 0.01570949 | 1.0037738 | 6.0E-5 | 0.05451731 | 0.14180507 | 0.14187373 | 1.0004841 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.017044E-4 | 3.1170138E-4 | 1.033135 | 1.0E-5 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012923821 | 0.0013023692 | 1.0077276 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005577586 | 0.015622327 | 0.01568139 | 1.0037806 | 6.0E-5 | 0.054396555 | 0.1415733 | 0.14164197 | 1.0004851 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9378527E-4 | 3.0378232E-4 | 1.0340284 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012584762 | 0.0012684636 | 1.0079361 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015215358 | 0.015264597 | 1.0032362 | 5.0E-5 | 0.052604496 | 0.13813514 | 0.13819547 | 1.0004368 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9097957E-4 | 3.0097665E-4 | 1.0343567 | 1.0E-5 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012464633 | 0.0012564508 | 1.0080127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015071134 | 0.015120381 | 1.0032676 | 5.0E-5 | 0.051971316 | 0.1369198 | 0.13698022 | 1.0004412 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8863706E-4 | 2.986342E-4 | 1.0346355 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012364335 | 0.0012464211 | 1.0080777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014950704 | 0.014999956 | 1.0032943 | 5.0E-5 | 0.051421247 | 0.13589692 | 0.13595742 | 1.0004451 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.872227E-4 | 2.9721984E-4 | 1.0348061 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012303777 | 0.0012403653 | 1.0081176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005230834 | 0.014877982 | 0.014927239 | 1.0033107 | 5.0E-5 | 0.051094085 | 0.13528185 | 0.13534237 | 1.0004474 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8525927E-4 | 2.952564E-4 | 1.0350459 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012219709 | 0.0012319586 | 1.0081735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014777023 | 0.014826284 | 1.0033337 | 5.0E-5 | 0.050728295 | 0.13443343 | 0.13449404 | 1.0004507 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8022839E-4 | 2.9022558E-4 | 1.0356752 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.00120043 | 0.001210418 | 1.0083203 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014518287 | 0.014567561 | 1.0033939 | 5.0E-5 | 0.049738888 | 0.1322617 | 0.13232243 | 1.0004592 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4757453E-4 | 2.4757453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010606055 | 0.0010606055 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012837193 | 0.012876679 | 1.003076 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04338823 | 0.11811238 | 0.11816529 | 1.000448 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4360199E-4 | 2.4360199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.001043594 | 0.001043594 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004331963 | 0.0126324985 | 0.012671993 | 1.0031264 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042484846 | 0.11633272 | 0.116385736 | 1.0004557 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2408647E-4 | 2.2408647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.600202E-4 | 9.600202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011626295 | 0.011665829 | 1.0034004 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03870018 | 0.10773813 | 0.10779166 | 1.0004969 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.072494E-4 | 2.072494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.8791223E-4 | 8.8791223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010757373 | 0.010796943 | 1.0036783 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03628465 | 0.10026088 | 0.10031487 | 1.0005385 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4271964E-4 | 1.4271964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.115131E-4 | 6.115131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026816884 | 0.007419945 | 0.0074596484 | 1.0053508 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02649557 | 0.070839524 | 0.07089528 | 1.000787 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.0941875E-4 | 1.0941875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.6885354E-4 | 4.6885354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002099857 | 0.005693421 | 0.00572325 | 1.0052392 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020801254 | 0.05501138 | 0.05504918 | 1.0006871 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.439118E-5 | 8.439118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.6162647E-4 | 3.6162647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004393941 | 0.004423809 | 1.0067976 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016132116 | 0.04281056 | 0.042848844 | 1.0008943 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.238918E-5 | 6.238918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6735486E-4 | 2.6735486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032501933 | 0.0032800958 | 1.0092002 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.031900857 | 0.03193958 | 1.0012139 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.1796946E-5 | 5.1796946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2196803E-4 | 2.2196803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0026991146 | 0.0027290336 | 1.0110848 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.026640752 | 0.026679687 | 1.0014615 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.822304E-5 | 3.822304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6380275E-4 | 1.6380275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019924755 | 0.0020224156 | 1.0150267 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019910011 | 0.019949216 | 1.0019691 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1065316E-5 | 3.1065316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3313028E-4 | 1.3313028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016196569 | 0.0016496084 | 1.0184925 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.016279692 | 0.01631904 | 1.0024171 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 8.972689E-6 | 8.972689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.8453814E-5 | 3.8453814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.6807475E-4 | 4.6807475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.0049177213 | 0.0049177213 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.78591E-6 | 2.78591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.193956E-5 | 1.193956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4535447E-4 | 1.4535447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0015971703 | 0.0015971703 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.813156E-8 | 5.813156E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.491352E-7 | 2.491352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0332174E-6 | 3.0332174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.1893844E-5 | 3.1893844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.5978872E-5 | 5.597815E-5 | 1.5558618 | 2.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5418605E-4 | 1.7418298E-4 | 1.1296934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018756005 | 0.0019255067 | 1.0266081 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019346233 | 0.019424684 | 1.0040551 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.5978872E-5 | 5.597815E-5 | 1.5558618 | 2.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5418605E-4 | 1.7418298E-4 | 1.1296934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018756005 | 0.0019255067 | 1.0266081 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019346233 | 0.019424684 | 1.0040551 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.5978872E-5 | 5.597815E-5 | 1.5558618 | 2.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5418605E-4 | 1.7418298E-4 | 1.1296934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018756005 | 0.0019255067 | 1.0266081 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019346233 | 0.019424684 | 1.0040551 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.5978872E-5 | 5.597815E-5 | 1.5558618 | 2.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5418605E-4 | 1.7418298E-4 | 1.1296934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018756005 | 0.0019255067 | 1.0266081 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019346233 | 0.019424684 | 1.0040551 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.5871537E-5 | 5.587082E-5 | 1.5575252 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5372611E-4 | 1.7372303E-4 | 1.1300815 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018700104 | 0.0019199168 | 1.0266879 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017588645 | 0.019291315 | 0.019369772 | 1.004067 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5132172E-5 | 5.513147E-5 | 1.5692588 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5055777E-4 | 1.7055476E-4 | 1.1328194 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017420477 | 0.001831501 | 0.0018814094 | 1.02725 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017284546 | 0.018912857 | 0.018991344 | 1.0041499 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5069388E-5 | 5.506869E-5 | 1.5702779 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5028873E-4 | 1.7028573E-4 | 1.1330571 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018282312 | 0.0018781397 | 1.0272988 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017258976 | 0.018880721 | 0.018959211 | 1.0041572 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5059165E-5 | 5.5058463E-5 | 1.5704442 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5024492E-4 | 1.7024191E-4 | 1.133096 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018276984 | 0.0018776071 | 1.0273068 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017256035 | 0.018875511 | 0.018954001 | 1.0041583 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.495323E-5 | 5.4952532E-5 | 1.5721732 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.4979097E-4 | 1.6978796E-4 | 1.1334994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0018221809 | 0.0018720898 | 1.0273896 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017213784 | 0.018821284 | 0.018899778 | 1.0041705 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.4894183E-5 | 5.4893488E-5 | 1.5731415 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.4953794E-4 | 1.6953495E-4 | 1.1337253 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018191055 | 0.0018690146 | 1.027436 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017192734 | 0.018791152 | 0.018859837 | 1.0036552 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.4834113E-5 | 5.4833417E-5 | 1.5741298 | 2.0E-5 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4928053E-4 | 1.6927754E-4 | 1.133956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018159767 | 0.0018658859 | 1.0274833 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017172894 | 0.018760532 | 0.018829219 | 1.0036613 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.4714325E-5 | 5.471363E-5 | 1.5761111 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.487672E-4 | 1.6876422E-4 | 1.1344182 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018097374 | 0.0018596469 | 1.0275784 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017138338 | 0.01869961 | 0.018768301 | 1.0036734 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.458177E-5 | 5.458108E-5 | 1.5783193 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4819918E-4 | 1.6819622E-4 | 1.1349335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018028333 | 0.0018527431 | 1.0276841 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017089253 | 0.018631995 | 0.018700691 | 1.003687 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.444953E-5 | 5.444884E-5 | 1.5805395 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.476325E-4 | 1.6762954E-4 | 1.1354516 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0017959452 | 0.0018458554 | 1.0277905 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017049557 | 0.018564742 | 0.018633444 | 1.0037006 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.4371253E-5 | 5.4370565E-5 | 1.5818616 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.4729705E-4 | 1.6729411E-4 | 1.1357601 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017918679 | 0.0018417783 | 1.0278538 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017028693 | 0.01852503 | 0.018593734 | 1.0037087 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.4236204E-5 | 5.423552E-5 | 1.5841569 | 2.0E-5 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4671835E-4 | 1.6671541E-4 | 1.1362956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017848337 | 0.0018347445 | 1.0279638 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016978411 | 0.018455938 | 0.018524645 | 1.0037228 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.3961413E-5 | 5.396073E-5 | 1.5888836 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4554079E-4 | 1.6553789E-4 | 1.1373985 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017705205 | 0.0018204319 | 1.0281903 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.018313715 | 0.018382434 | 1.0037522 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.2448777E-5 | 5.2448126E-5 | 1.6163361 | 2.0E-5 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3905877E-4 | 1.59056E-4 | 1.1438041 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015791537 | 0.001691727 | 0.0017416424 | 1.0295056 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.017526435 | 0.017595207 | 1.003924 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9659845E-5 | 4.965925E-5 | 1.6742923 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2710743E-4 | 1.4710489E-4 | 1.1573272 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015464354 | 0.0015963581 | 1.0322825 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.016068002 | 0.016136877 | 1.0042865 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.3414696E-5 | 4.3414228E-5 | 1.8541445 | 2.0E-5 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.00344834E-4 | 1.2034283E-4 | 1.1992927 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012210145 | 0.0012509779 | 1.0245397 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.012791605 | 0.012840966 | 1.0038588 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6030555E-5 | 2.6030395E-5 | 1.6237987 | 1.0E-5 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.8700574E-5 | 7.8699886E-5 | 1.1455492 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.3610916E-4 | 8.461008E-4 | 1.0119501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.00886444 | 0.008894174 | 1.0033543 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.328345E-6 | 1.8328261E-5 | 2.2007089 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.569242E-5 | 4.5692064E-5 | 1.2801615 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.3446908E-4 | 4.4446473E-4 | 1.0230066 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.0046761446 | 0.0046860976 | 1.0021285 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.5773577E-6 | 1.5773577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.7600868E-6 | 6.7600868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.2300976E-5 | 8.2300976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.560642E-4 | 9.560642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6117652E-7 | 3.6117652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5478985E-6 | 1.5478985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8845505E-5 | 1.8845505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.273426E-4 | 2.273426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858672E-5 | 5.1858016E-5 | 2.372423 | 3.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.367717E-5 | 1.2367436E-4 | 1.3202188 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400137 | 0.0011899567 | 1.0438092 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350671 | 0.0114297625 | 1.006968 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858672E-5 | 5.1858016E-5 | 2.372423 | 3.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.367717E-5 | 1.2367436E-4 | 1.3202188 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400137 | 0.0011899567 | 1.0438092 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350671 | 0.0114297625 | 1.006968 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858672E-5 | 5.1858016E-5 | 2.372423 | 3.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.367717E-5 | 1.2367436E-4 | 1.3202188 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400137 | 0.0011899567 | 1.0438092 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350671 | 0.0114297625 | 1.006968 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176552E-5 | 2.2176431E-5 | 1.8212405 | 1.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184358E-5 | 6.218384E-5 | 1.1916183 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3519087E-4 | 6.5517816E-4 | 1.0314666 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368594 | 0.0063865427 | 1.0078404 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176552E-5 | 2.2176431E-5 | 1.8212405 | 1.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184358E-5 | 6.218384E-5 | 1.1916183 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3519087E-4 | 6.5517816E-4 | 1.0314666 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368594 | 0.0063865427 | 1.0078404 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672004E-6 | 1.6671936E-5 | 2.49879 | 1.0E-5 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.859406E-5 | 3.8593775E-5 | 1.349713 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4808964E-4 | 3.6808266E-4 | 1.0574365 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.003476678 | 0.0035065736 | 1.0085989 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3656425E-6 | 1.6365579E-5 | 2.5709233 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.728111E-5 | 3.728084E-5 | 1.366544 | 1.0E-5 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3210934E-4 | 3.5210268E-4 | 1.0602012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033173522 | 0.0033472527 | 1.0090134 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3405547E-6 | 1.5340502E-5 | 2.8724546 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2887958E-5 | 3.288773E-5 | 1.436901 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7863705E-4 | 2.9863146E-4 | 1.0717579 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027840321 | 0.0028039764 | 1.0071639 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9399033E-6 | 1.9399033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.313854E-6 | 8.313854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01218044E-4 | 1.01218044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010118741 | 0.0010118741 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.29707E-7 | 8.29707E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5558842E-6 | 3.5558842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3292366E-5 | 4.3292366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3287227E-4 | 4.3287227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.541796E-7 | 7.541796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2321961E-6 | 3.2321961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.935161E-5 | 3.935161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9347887E-4 | 3.9347887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.5512565E-6 | 5.8550828E-5 | 6.8470435 | 5.0E-5 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.664783E-5 | 9.664563E-5 | 2.6371448 | 6.0E-5 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4611385E-4 | 5.060871E-4 | 1.1344348 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004453941 | 0.004533584 | 1.0178816 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753127E-6 | 1.3775275E-5 | 3.6487772 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179838E-5 | 3.6179514E-5 | 2.2360864 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697649E-4 | 2.1697255E-4 | 1.1015149 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019684862 | 0.001998427 | 1.0152102 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753127E-6 | 1.3775275E-5 | 3.6487772 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179838E-5 | 3.6179514E-5 | 2.2360864 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697649E-4 | 2.1697255E-4 | 1.1015149 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019684862 | 0.001998427 | 1.0152102 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411153E-6 | 1.4411153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762016E-6 | 1.617614E-5 | 2.6191082 | 1.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5194075E-5 | 8.519332E-5 | 1.1329792 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518251E-4 | 7.7181007E-4 | 1.0265819 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411153E-6 | 1.4411153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762016E-6 | 1.617614E-5 | 2.6191082 | 1.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5194075E-5 | 8.519332E-5 | 1.1329792 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518251E-4 | 7.7181007E-4 | 1.0265819 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0221903E-6 | 1.0221903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3808154E-6 | 1.4380772E-5 | 3.28267 | 1.0E-5 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.333643E-5 | 6.3335894E-5 | 1.1874791 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.3336425E-4 | 5.5335363E-4 | 1.0374779 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5203943E-4 | 2.820319E-4 | 1.118999 | 3.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010797235 | 0.0011096911 | 1.0277549 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.0130669065 | 0.013116253 | 1.0037764 | 5.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.124393165 | 0.12445446 | 1.0004927 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5203943E-4 | 2.820319E-4 | 1.118999 | 3.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010797235 | 0.0011096911 | 1.0277549 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.0130669065 | 0.013116253 | 1.0037764 | 5.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.124393165 | 0.12445446 | 1.0004927 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.502073E-4 | 2.7020226E-4 | 1.0799137 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010718779 | 0.0010918564 | 1.0186388 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006347804 | 0.012972526 | 0.013012008 | 1.0030434 | 4.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.12358037 | 0.12363295 | 1.0004255 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.4906697E-4 | 2.6906197E-4 | 1.0802797 | 2.0E-5 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010669949 | 0.0010869735 | 1.0187242 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006316212 | 0.012913782 | 0.012953266 | 1.0030575 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12307438 | 0.123127 | 1.0004275 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4412213E-4 | 2.6411726E-4 | 1.0819062 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010458198 | 0.0010657989 | 1.0191038 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006172335 | 0.0126589965 | 0.01269849 | 1.0031198 | 4.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.120867655 | 0.120920405 | 1.0004364 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4205542E-4 | 2.620506E-4 | 1.0826057 | 2.0E-5 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010369696 | 0.0010569488 | 1.019267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006109677 | 0.012552489 | 0.012591987 | 1.0031466 | 4.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.1199394 | 0.119992204 | 1.0004402 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3514601E-4 | 2.5514132E-4 | 1.0850335 | 2.0E-5 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010073809 | 0.0010273608 | 1.0198334 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012196333 | 0.012235845 | 1.0032396 | 4.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.1168523 | 0.11689646 | 1.0003779 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.335892E-4 | 2.5358453E-4 | 1.0856004 | 2.0E-5 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.001000714 | 0.001020694 | 1.0199658 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005864331 | 0.012116069 | 0.012155585 | 1.0032614 | 4.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.116155826 | 0.116200015 | 1.0003804 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3247355E-4 | 2.4247123E-4 | 1.0430056 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.959363E-4 | 0.0010059264 | 1.0100307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005836608 | 0.012058547 | 0.012088185 | 1.0024579 | 3.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.11565359 | 0.11568896 | 1.0003059 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3096106E-4 | 2.4095875E-4 | 1.0432874 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.894591E-4 | 9.994493E-4 | 1.0100965 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057996577 | 0.011980557 | 0.012010197 | 1.0024741 | 3.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.114974126 | 0.11500953 | 1.0003079 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2719476E-4 | 2.3719248E-4 | 1.0440052 | 1.0E-5 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.7332994E-4 | 9.833202E-4 | 1.010264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005705768 | 0.011786325 | 0.011815972 | 1.0025153 | 3.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.11327481 | 0.11331028 | 1.0003132 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0538457E-4 | 2.1538252E-4 | 1.0486791 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.799237E-4 | 8.8991487E-4 | 1.0113546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010660741 | 0.010690421 | 1.002784 | 3.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.10336789 | 0.10340375 | 1.000347 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0042722E-4 | 2.1042522E-4 | 1.0498834 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.586921E-4 | 8.686835E-4 | 1.0116357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00504711 | 0.010404742 | 0.01043443 | 1.0028533 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.1011037 | 0.10113966 | 1.0003556 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9472018E-4 | 2.0471824E-4 | 1.0513457 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.342492E-4 | 8.442408E-4 | 1.0119768 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049308087 | 0.01010995 | 0.010139647 | 1.0029373 | 3.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.09847186 | 0.09850792 | 1.0003662 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8842531E-4 | 1.9842343E-4 | 1.0530614 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.0728804E-4 | 8.1728E-4 | 1.0123771 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004799717 | 0.009784685 | 0.009814392 | 1.003036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09555601 | 0.09559219 | 1.0003786 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.517759E-4 | 1.6177438E-4 | 1.0658766 | 1.0E-5 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.503062E-4 | 6.602997E-4 | 1.0153674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007888806 | 0.007918569 | 1.0037729 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.07828588 | 0.078322746 | 1.000471 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.483708E-4 | 1.5836931E-4 | 1.0673887 | 1.0E-5 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.3572003E-4 | 6.457137E-4 | 1.0157202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039388672 | 0.0077124913 | 0.00774226 | 1.0038598 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07664891 | 0.07668585 | 1.0004818 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2358253E-4 | 1.335813E-4 | 1.0809076 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.29532E-4 | 5.395267E-4 | 1.0188746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0064280205 | 0.006447892 | 1.0030913 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.06453964 | 0.06455836 | 1.0002899 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1415685E-4 | 1.241557E-4 | 1.0875888 | 1.0E-5 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.891519E-4 | 4.9914705E-4 | 1.0204335 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059391838 | 0.0059590647 | 1.0033475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.059658356 | 0.059677165 | 1.0003152 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.4259045E-5 | 9.4258205E-5 | 1.1186717 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6106026E-4 | 3.7105664E-4 | 1.0276862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0043870546 | 0.0044069667 | 1.0045389 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.04435963 | 0.044378746 | 1.0004308 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.0768474E-5 | 5.0768474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1756104E-4 | 2.1756104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026455899 | 0.0026555634 | 1.0037699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027178457 | 0.027188186 | 1.000358 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9181087E-5 | 1.9181087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.220207E-5 | 8.220207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010003513 | 0.0010003513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009956728 | 0.010756486 | 0.010756486 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3378068E-4 | 2.4377834E-4 | 1.0427651 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010015318 | 0.0010115219 | 1.0099747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121253645 | 0.01216488 | 1.0032588 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11255738 | 0.112619504 | 1.0005519 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3378068E-4 | 2.4377834E-4 | 1.0427651 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010015318 | 0.0010115219 | 1.0099747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121253645 | 0.01216488 | 1.0032588 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11255738 | 0.112619504 | 1.0005519 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3378068E-4 | 2.4377834E-4 | 1.0427651 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010015318 | 0.0010115219 | 1.0099747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121253645 | 0.01216488 | 1.0032588 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11255738 | 0.112619504 | 1.0005519 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3378068E-4 | 2.4377834E-4 | 1.0427651 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010015318 | 0.0010115219 | 1.0099747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121253645 | 0.01216488 | 1.0032588 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11255738 | 0.112619504 | 1.0005519 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2935575E-4 | 2.3935345E-4 | 1.0435904 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.825854E-4 | 9.925755E-4 | 1.0101672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011897563 | 0.011937087 | 1.003322 | 4.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11053844 | 0.110600695 | 1.0005633 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2935575E-4 | 2.3935345E-4 | 1.0435904 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.825854E-4 | 9.925755E-4 | 1.0101672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011897563 | 0.011937087 | 1.003322 | 4.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11053844 | 0.110600695 | 1.0005633 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2180163E-4 | 2.3179941E-4 | 1.0450753 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.502344E-4 | 9.602249E-4 | 1.0105137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039678677 | 0.01150828 | 0.011547821 | 1.0034357 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03897764 | 0.1070749 | 0.107137404 | 1.0005838 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1855978E-4 | 2.285576E-4 | 1.0457441 | 1.0E-5 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.363508E-4 | 9.4634143E-4 | 1.0106697 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011341016 | 0.011380562 | 1.003487 | 4.0E-5 | 0.038081564 | 0.10558336 | 0.10564597 | 1.000593 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1703144E-4 | 2.2702926E-4 | 1.0460663 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.298054E-4 | 9.397961E-4 | 1.0107449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011262154 | 0.011301704 | 1.0035117 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03774495 | 0.10488491 | 0.10494757 | 1.0005974 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1472113E-4 | 2.2471898E-4 | 1.0465621 | 1.0E-5 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.1991114E-4 | 9.2990196E-4 | 1.0108606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003789323 | 0.01114293 | 0.011182484 | 1.0035497 | 4.0E-5 | 0.037253562 | 0.10383277 | 0.1038955 | 1.0006042 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1056154E-4 | 2.2055944E-4 | 1.047482 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.0209674E-4 | 9.1208774E-4 | 1.0110753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003699303 | 0.010928233 | 0.010967796 | 1.0036203 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03638325 | 0.10193441 | 0.10199728 | 1.0006167 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0891799E-4 | 2.189159E-4 | 1.0478556 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.950578E-4 | 9.050488E-4 | 1.0111625 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010843391 | 0.010882957 | 1.0036489 | 4.0E-5 | 0.036010686 | 0.10117731 | 0.10124023 | 1.0006218 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0499669E-4 | 2.1499464E-4 | 1.0487713 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.782636E-4 | 8.8825484E-4 | 1.0113761 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003567883 | 0.010640934 | 0.010680509 | 1.0037191 | 4.0E-5 | 0.035111405 | 0.09936919 | 0.09943224 | 1.0006344 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9727086E-4 | 2.0726888E-4 | 1.0506817 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.451747E-4 | 8.551663E-4 | 1.0118219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010241933 | 0.010281524 | 1.0038655 | 4.0E-5 | 0.033966612 | 0.09586687 | 0.09593016 | 1.0006602 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4687212E-4 | 1.5687065E-4 | 1.0680765 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.29301E-4 | 6.392947E-4 | 1.0158807 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002660276 | 0.007635016 | 0.007674711 | 1.0051991 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02628654 | 0.07285434 | 0.07291924 | 1.0008909 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1130129E-4 | 1.21300174E-4 | 1.0898362 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7691865E-4 | 4.8691386E-4 | 1.020958 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020487092 | 0.005791095 | 0.005820921 | 1.0051503 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020299247 | 0.05600946 | 0.05605666 | 1.0008427 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.49519E-5 | 9.495105E-5 | 1.1177037 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6402888E-4 | 3.7402523E-4 | 1.0274603 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044230702 | 0.0044529377 | 1.0067526 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043193877 | 0.043241717 | 1.0011076 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.3530715E-5 | 7.353008E-5 | 1.1573942 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.722461E-4 | 2.822434E-4 | 1.0367215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.003309564 | 0.0033394648 | 1.0090346 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010967582 | 0.032582883 | 0.032631252 | 1.0014845 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.5641565E-5 | 5.5641565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3844207E-4 | 2.3844207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0028991706 | 0.0029191128 | 1.0068785 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028695542 | 0.028734393 | 1.001354 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.1659005E-5 | 4.1659005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7852637E-4 | 1.7852637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021713933 | 0.0021913499 | 1.0091907 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.021759626 | 0.021788973 | 1.0013487 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 2.9974355E-5 | 2.9974355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.284552E-4 | 1.284552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015628211 | 0.0015827899 | 1.0127773 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.015773011 | 0.015802538 | 1.001872 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.368541E-6 | 7.368541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.157908E-5 | 3.157908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.8440758E-4 | 3.8440758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0041162004 | 0.0041162004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7323963E-6 | 2.7323963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1710217E-5 | 1.1710217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4256261E-4 | 1.4256261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0015977557 | 0.0015977557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1584074E-7 | 3.1584074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.3536024E-6 | 1.3536024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6479999E-5 | 1.6479999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.9555954E-4 | 1.9555954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657218E-5 | 4.3656746E-5 | 1.8453879 | 2.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138439E-4 | 1.3138134E-4 | 1.2958735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337001 | 0.0012836384 | 1.0404785 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273024 | 0.012332288 | 1.0048288 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657218E-5 | 4.3656746E-5 | 1.8453879 | 2.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138439E-4 | 1.3138134E-4 | 1.2958735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337001 | 0.0012836384 | 1.0404785 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273024 | 0.012332288 | 1.0048288 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365647E-5 | 3.136542E-5 | 2.7596686 | 2.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.870903E-5 | 7.870757E-5 | 1.6158723 | 3.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.928751E-4 | 6.4284547E-4 | 1.0842848 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133526 | 0.0059630573 | 1.0084054 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365647E-5 | 3.136542E-5 | 2.7596686 | 2.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.870903E-5 | 7.870757E-5 | 1.6158723 | 3.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.928751E-4 | 6.4284547E-4 | 1.0842848 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133526 | 0.0059630573 | 1.0084054 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.237717E-6 | 1.8237635E-5 | 2.2139187 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.530403E-5 | 5.5303324E-5 | 1.5664876 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.297432E-4 | 4.597303E-4 | 1.0697792 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042892685 | 0.0043191398 | 1.0069642 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.85091E-6 | 6.85091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9360717E-5 | 3.9360424E-5 | 1.3405812 | 1.0E-5 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.57409E-4 | 3.7740186E-4 | 1.0559382 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.003568438 | 0.0035883668 | 1.0055847 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.885997E-6 | 5.885997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5225461E-5 | 3.522521E-5 | 1.3964149 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0707743E-4 | 3.270713E-4 | 1.0651102 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030666045 | 0.0030865432 | 1.0065019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9404202E-6 | 4.9404202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.117306E-5 | 3.1172847E-5 | 1.4722883 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5775208E-4 | 2.777469E-4 | 1.0775739 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025745875 | 0.0025945362 | 1.0077482 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7520128E-6 | 3.7520128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.607996E-5 | 1.607996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9575632E-4 | 2.0575436E-4 | 1.0510739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019558799 | 0.0019658604 | 1.0051028 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6709995E-6 | 2.6709995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447092E-5 | 1.1447092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3935972E-4 | 1.4935833E-4 | 1.0717467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013927508 | 0.0014027369 | 1.0071701 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8019413E-6 | 1.8019413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.722583E-6 | 7.722583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.4018564E-5 | 9.4018564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3980436E-4 | 9.3980436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497604E-6 | 1.1497604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275354E-6 | 4.9275354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999119E-5 | 5.999119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9975975E-4 | 5.9975975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387269E-7 | 6.387269E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7373983E-6 | 2.7373983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327386E-5 | 3.3327386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332307E-4 | 3.332307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255202E-4 | 2.0255202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002463546 | 0.002483497 | 1.0080984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388196 | 0.024446731 | 1.0024002 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255202E-4 | 2.0255202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002463546 | 0.002483497 | 1.0080984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388196 | 0.024446731 | 1.0024002 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255202E-4 | 2.0255202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002463546 | 0.002483497 | 1.0080984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388196 | 0.024446731 | 1.0024002 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360962E-5 | 3.360962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403371E-4 | 1.4403371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.00175227 | 0.001772235 | 1.0113938 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.01739173 | 0.017450687 | 1.00339 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360962E-5 | 3.360962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403371E-4 | 1.4403371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.00175227 | 0.001772235 | 1.0113938 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.01739173 | 0.017450687 | 1.00339 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8607454E-5 | 2.8607454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2259788E-4 | 1.2259788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014916548 | 0.001511625 | 1.0133879 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014821324 | 0.014880435 | 1.0039883 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.465998E-5 | 2.465998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.05681516E-4 | 1.05681516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012859458 | 0.0013059201 | 1.0155327 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012788476 | 0.012847709 | 1.0046318 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.178094E-5 | 2.178094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.334368E-5 | 9.334368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011358925 | 0.0011558697 | 1.0175873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011303525 | 0.011362847 | 1.0052481 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.901828E-5 | 1.901828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.150446E-5 | 8.150446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.918819E-4 | 0.0010118622 | 1.0201437 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009876307 | 0.009935714 | 1.0060152 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6389482E-5 | 1.6389482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.02388E-5 | 7.02388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5483067E-4 | 8.7481353E-4 | 1.0233765 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008516356 | 0.0085758455 | 1.0069853 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4537924E-5 | 1.4537924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.230393E-5 | 6.230393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.5829215E-4 | 7.78277E-4 | 1.026355 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.007557665 | 0.0076172114 | 1.007879 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4078161E-5 | 1.4078161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0333616E-5 | 6.0333616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.343198E-4 | 7.543051E-4 | 1.0272161 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.007319527 | 0.007379088 | 1.0081372 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4015628E-5 | 1.4015628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0065628E-5 | 6.0065628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.3105923E-4 | 7.510446E-4 | 1.0273376 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.007287136 | 0.0073466985 | 1.0081737 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3879767E-5 | 1.3879767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.948339E-5 | 5.948339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2397524E-4 | 7.439608E-4 | 1.0276053 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0072167586 | 0.0072763255 | 1.0082539 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3647823E-5 | 1.3647823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8489393E-5 | 5.8489393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.1188126E-4 | 7.3186704E-4 | 1.0280746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070965975 | 0.007156172 | 1.0083947 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3145472E-5 | 1.3145472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.633655E-5 | 5.633655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.8568724E-4 | 6.956804E-4 | 1.0145739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006836299 | 0.006885957 | 1.0072639 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1579585E-5 | 1.1579585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9625876E-5 | 4.9625876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.040327E-4 | 6.140267E-4 | 1.0165454 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060244408 | 0.0060741394 | 1.0082495 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0022746E-5 | 1.0022746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.295395E-5 | 4.295395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.228439E-4 | 5.3283863E-4 | 1.0191162 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0052166474 | 0.0052663865 | 1.0095347 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.284649E-7 | 3.284649E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.407706E-6 | 1.407706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.713869E-5 | 1.713869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7137405E-4 | 1.7137405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 5.785312E-5 | 1.2089607 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 2.2506755E-4 | 1.0975069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940518 | 0.002514002 | 1.0079991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678139 | 0.024717152 | 1.0015808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 5.785312E-5 | 1.2089607 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 2.2506755E-4 | 1.0975069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940518 | 0.002514002 | 1.0079991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678139 | 0.024717152 | 1.0015808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 5.785312E-5 | 1.2089607 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 2.2506755E-4 | 1.0975069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940518 | 0.002514002 | 1.0079991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678139 | 0.024717152 | 1.0015808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 5.785312E-5 | 1.2089607 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 2.2506755E-4 | 1.0975069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940518 | 0.002514002 | 1.0079991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678139 | 0.024717152 | 1.0015808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960321E-5 | 4.960281E-5 | 1.2524948 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971752E-4 | 1.7971582E-4 | 1.0589114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644458 | 0.002074425 | 1.0048339 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462705 | 0.02049209 | 1.0014361 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960321E-5 | 4.960281E-5 | 1.2524948 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971752E-4 | 1.7971582E-4 | 1.0589114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644458 | 0.002074425 | 1.0048339 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462705 | 0.02049209 | 1.0014361 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.120536E-5 | 4.1205047E-5 | 1.3204478 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.337306E-4 | 1.4372927E-4 | 1.0747672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016269886 | 0.0016369724 | 1.0061363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016154641 | 0.016174318 | 1.0012181 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0814746E-5 | 4.0814437E-5 | 1.32451 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3205671E-4 | 1.4205539E-4 | 1.0757151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016066392 | 0.0016166231 | 1.0062141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.015954081 | 0.015973762 | 1.0012336 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.500945E-5 | 3.50092E-5 | 1.3998388 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.07179076E-4 | 1.17178E-4 | 1.0932918 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013041458 | 0.0013141327 | 1.0076579 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.012967292 | 0.012977162 | 1.0007612 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3337734E-5 | 3.3337503E-5 | 1.4284806 | 1.0E-5 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.00015146E-4 | 1.10014145E-4 | 1.0999749 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012170245 | 0.0012270124 | 1.0082067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.012105788 | 0.012115668 | 1.0008161 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1760867E-5 | 2.1760867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.325764E-5 | 9.325764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011348402 | 0.0011348402 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011320163 | 0.011292553 | 0.011292553 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0540516E-5 | 2.0540516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8027926E-5 | 8.8027926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010712326 | 0.0010712326 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010722724 | 0.010662739 | 0.010662739 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9053807E-5 | 1.9053807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.165672E-5 | 8.165672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.937364E-4 | 9.937364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009859995 | 0.009894928 | 0.009894928 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.490653E-5 | 1.490653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.3883635E-5 | 6.3883635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.775185E-4 | 7.775185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.0077492814 | 0.0077492814 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1860794E-5 | 1.1860794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.0831037E-5 | 5.0831037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.1870157E-4 | 6.1870157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0061707394 | 0.0061707394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.158034E-6 | 9.158034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.924817E-5 | 3.924817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7774953E-4 | 4.7774953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004768 | 0.004768 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.5453544E-6 | 4.5453544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9479952E-5 | 1.9479952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.37144E-4 | 2.37144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023690467 | 0.0023690467 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.584271E-6 | 3.584271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5361078E-5 | 1.5361078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.870064E-4 | 1.870064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018686203 | 0.0018686203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794165E-5 | 1.6794165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.1973314E-5 | 8.19726E-5 | 1.1389303 | 1.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7597774E-4 | 9.059514E-4 | 1.0342175 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730675 | 0.008770326 | 1.0045415 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794165E-5 | 1.6794165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.1973314E-5 | 8.19726E-5 | 1.1389303 | 1.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7597774E-4 | 9.059514E-4 | 1.0342175 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730675 | 0.008770326 | 1.0045415 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681514E-5 | 1.3681514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8634017E-5 | 6.863343E-5 | 1.1705395 | 1.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.13684E-4 | 7.436626E-4 | 1.0420054 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007118716 | 0.007158431 | 1.005579 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681514E-5 | 1.3681514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8634017E-5 | 6.863343E-5 | 1.1705395 | 1.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.13684E-4 | 7.436626E-4 | 1.0420054 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007118716 | 0.007158431 | 1.005579 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0170096E-5 | 1.0170096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3585627E-5 | 5.3585194E-5 | 1.2294234 | 1.0E-5 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.305669E-4 | 5.60551E-4 | 1.0565133 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.005297038 | 0.0053368257 | 1.0075114 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0117523E-5 | 1.0117523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3360324E-5 | 5.3359887E-5 | 1.2306156 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2782515E-4 | 5.578093E-4 | 1.056807 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.00526975 | 0.0053095394 | 1.0075505 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.4418125E-6 | 8.4418125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.617892E-5 | 3.617892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4042926E-4 | 4.6042044E-4 | 1.0453902 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0043994808 | 0.0044293487 | 1.006789 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.44383E-6 | 2.44383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0473515E-5 | 1.0473515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2750778E-4 | 1.375065E-4 | 1.0784166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012743649 | 0.001284352 | 1.007837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2062789E-6 | 2.2062789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.455448E-6 | 9.455448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1511416E-4 | 1.2511302E-4 | 1.0868603 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011505622 | 0.0011605507 | 1.0086814 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9810482E-6 | 1.9810482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.490179E-6 | 8.490179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0336319E-4 | 1.13362155E-4 | 1.0967362 | 1.0E-5 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010331671 | 0.0010431568 | 1.009669 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6202783E-6 | 1.6202783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.944032E-6 | 6.944032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.4540436E-5 | 8.4540436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.4509526E-4 | 8.4509526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497604E-6 | 1.1497604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275354E-6 | 4.9275354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999119E-5 | 5.999119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9975975E-4 | 5.9975975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387269E-7 | 6.387269E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7373983E-6 | 2.7373983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327386E-5 | 3.3327386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332307E-4 | 3.332307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.465315E-4 | 1.1580403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015594704 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015332232 | 1.0025756 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.465315E-4 | 1.1580403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015594704 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015332232 | 1.0025756 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.465315E-4 | 1.1580403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015594704 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015332232 | 1.0025756 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.465315E-4 | 1.1580403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015594704 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015332232 | 1.0025756 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.465315E-4 | 1.1580403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015594704 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015332232 | 1.0025756 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.465315E-4 | 1.1580403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015594704 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015332232 | 1.0025756 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.465315E-4 | 1.1580403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015594704 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015332232 | 1.0025756 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.8864195E-5 | 3.8863906E-5 | 1.34644 | 1.0E-5 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.2369803E-4 | 1.4369556E-4 | 1.161664 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0015050209 | 0.0015249908 | 1.0132688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016039822 | 0.014952701 | 0.014992102 | 1.0026351 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.8239394E-5 | 3.823911E-5 | 1.3541052 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.21020574E-4 | 1.4101816E-4 | 1.1652411 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015875935 | 0.0014724669 | 0.0014924373 | 1.0135627 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015762992 | 0.01463145 | 0.014670865 | 1.0026939 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4219813E-5 | 3.421957E-5 | 1.412875 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.0379519E-4 | 1.1379415E-4 | 1.0963336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012629954 | 0.0012729828 | 1.0079076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012560867 | 0.0125806155 | 1.0015723 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1862092E-5 | 3.1861873E-5 | 1.4574028 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.3691415E-5 | 1.0369048E-4 | 1.1067233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011401138 | 0.0011501024 | 1.008761 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012905477 | 0.011344908 | 0.011364681 | 1.001743 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7354554E-5 | 2.7354381E-5 | 1.5762076 | 1.0E-5 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.437457E-5 | 8.437382E-5 | 1.1344446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010923136 | 9.0513896E-4 | 9.151299E-4 | 1.0110381 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0108696 | 0.009015434 | 0.009035254 | 1.0021985 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.6809494E-5 | 2.6809326E-5 | 1.5948919 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.2038725E-5 | 8.2038E-5 | 1.1388042 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010659413 | 8.767232E-4 | 8.867145E-4 | 1.011396 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010608427 | 0.008733539 | 0.008753364 | 1.00227 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5381915E-5 | 2.538176E-5 | 1.6501042 | 1.0E-5 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.5920845E-5 | 7.592019E-5 | 1.151687 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.0229517E-4 | 8.1228715E-4 | 1.0124543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009587734 | 0.007994827 | 0.008014667 | 1.0024816 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4516949E-5 | 2.4516803E-5 | 1.68884 | 1.0E-5 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.2214036E-5 | 7.2213414E-5 | 1.1607255 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.5719657E-4 | 7.67189E-4 | 1.0131966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009157699 | 0.0075469445 | 0.0075667934 | 1.0026301 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.1163342E-5 | 2.116323E-5 | 1.8957791 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.784203E-5 | 5.7841553E-5 | 1.2090112 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.823236E-4 | 5.923177E-4 | 1.0171626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007068595 | 0.0058081965 | 0.0058280802 | 1.0034235 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.636704E-6 | 5.636704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.4157081E-5 | 2.4157081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.940732E-4 | 2.940732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0029368845 | 0.002946855 | 1.003395 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2832643E-6 | 3.2832643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4071058E-5 | 1.4071058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7130178E-4 | 1.7130178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017117109 | 0.0017216938 | 1.0058321 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.4370586E-6 | 1.4370586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.158808E-6 | 6.158808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.498093E-5 | 7.498093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.4955914E-4 | 7.4955914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2616888E-7 | 2.2616888E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.692949E-7 | 9.692949E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1801104E-5 | 1.1801104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1800505E-4 | 1.1800505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.12048E-9 | 5.12048E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.1944917E-8 | 2.1944917E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.6717933E-7 | 2.6717933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.6717903E-6 | 2.6717903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 3.34994E-5 | 1.4255285 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.1070785E-4 | 1.0992861 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.001265395 | 1.0326012 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012277076 | 1.004039 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 3.34994E-5 | 1.4255285 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.1070785E-4 | 1.0992861 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.001265395 | 1.0326012 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012277076 | 1.004039 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 3.34994E-5 | 1.4255285 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.1070785E-4 | 1.0992861 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.001265395 | 1.0326012 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012277076 | 1.004039 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 3.34994E-5 | 1.4255285 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.1070785E-4 | 1.0992861 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.001265395 | 1.0326012 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012277076 | 1.004039 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 3.34994E-5 | 1.4255285 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.1070785E-4 | 1.0992861 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.001265395 | 1.0326012 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012277076 | 1.004039 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.3488596E-5 | 3.3488363E-5 | 1.4257286 | 1.0E-5 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.0066155E-4 | 1.1066054E-4 | 1.0993328 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012248686 | 0.0012648196 | 1.0326166 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.012221997 | 0.012271386 | 1.004041 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.310288E-5 | 3.310265E-5 | 1.4328364 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.9008605E-5 | 1.0900762E-4 | 1.1009914 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012047664 | 0.0012447182 | 1.0331614 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.012023162 | 0.012072561 | 1.0041087 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3078179E-5 | 3.3077948E-5 | 1.4332998 | 1.0E-5 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.890275E-5 | 1.0890175E-4 | 1.1010994 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.001203479 | 0.0012434309 | 1.0331969 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012010427 | 0.012059827 | 1.0041131 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.2926586E-5 | 3.2926357E-5 | 1.4361649 | 1.0E-5 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.825311E-5 | 1.08252134E-4 | 1.1017679 | 1.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0011955785 | 0.0012355306 | 1.0334166 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.0119322715 | 0.011981675 | 1.0041403 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.288599E-5 | 3.288576E-5 | 1.4369385 | 1.0E-5 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.807914E-5 | 1.0807816E-4 | 1.1019485 | 1.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011934626 | 0.0012334149 | 1.0334759 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.011911341 | 0.011960745 | 1.0041476 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2286069E-5 | 3.2285847E-5 | 1.4487008 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.550824E-5 | 1.0550729E-4 | 1.104693 | 1.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011621955 | 0.001202149 | 1.0343776 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011601945 | 0.011651365 | 1.0042596 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2231143E-5 | 3.223092E-5 | 1.4498094 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.527286E-5 | 1.0527191E-4 | 1.1049517 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011593327 | 0.0011992863 | 1.0344626 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011573616 | 0.011623038 | 1.0042702 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1609669E-5 | 3.1609452E-5 | 1.4627458 | 1.0E-5 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.2609596E-5 | 1.0260867E-4 | 1.1079701 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011269413 | 0.0011668962 | 1.0354543 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.01125298 | 0.011302417 | 1.0043932 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.147951E-5 | 3.1479296E-5 | 1.46555 | 1.0E-5 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.205181E-5 | 1.02050886E-4 | 1.1086245 | 1.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011201572 | 0.0011601124 | 1.0356693 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011185858 | 0.0112352995 | 1.0044199 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0853473E-5 | 3.0853265E-5 | 1.4795264 | 1.0E-5 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.936898E-5 | 9.936809E-5 | 1.1118857 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010875268 | 0.0011274833 | 1.0367407 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.010863296 | 0.010912753 | 1.0045526 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9553554E-5 | 2.955336E-5 | 1.511406 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.3798266E-5 | 9.379743E-5 | 1.1193242 | 1.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010197685 | 0.0010597277 | 1.0391846 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.01019476 | 0.010244249 | 1.0048544 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.8995455E-5 | 2.8995264E-5 | 1.5264317 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.1406564E-5 | 9.140575E-5 | 1.1228303 | 1.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.906765E-4 | 0.0010306368 | 1.0403365 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.009906478 | 0.009955983 | 1.0049973 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6441258E-5 | 2.6441094E-5 | 1.6082159 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.0460635E-5 | 8.045993E-5 | 1.1419132 | 1.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.575223E-4 | 8.9748803E-4 | 1.0466061 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008585833 | 0.0086354045 | 1.0057735 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.115459E-5 | 2.1154478E-5 | 1.896482 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.7804508E-5 | 5.780403E-5 | 1.2091753 | 1.0E-5 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.8186456E-4 | 6.218413E-4 | 1.0687045 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058467295 | 0.005896437 | 1.0085018 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.508639E-6 | 1.8508554E-5 | 2.175266 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.6465088E-5 | 4.6464724E-5 | 1.2742249 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.4387212E-4 | 4.738588E-4 | 1.067557 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.0044707404 | 0.004510562 | 1.0089071 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.8465567E-6 | 4.8465567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.077079E-5 | 2.077079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5285507E-4 | 2.6285253E-4 | 1.0395384 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.002549722 | 0.0025596968 | 1.003912 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.1966046E-6 | 2.1966046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.413985E-6 | 9.413985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1460926E-4 | 1.1460926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011606573 | 0.0011606573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.5341665E-7 | 4.5341665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9432127E-6 | 1.9432127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.365836E-5 | 2.365836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.4506272E-4 | 2.4506272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.355595E-8 | 8.355595E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.5809688E-7 | 3.5809688E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.359821E-6 | 4.359821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.5795394E-5 | 4.5795394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012275568 | 0.0012375446 | 1.0081363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005245443 | 0.005255391 | 1.0018964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030762846 | 0.061203696 | 0.06122247 | 1.0003067 | 2.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42593017 | 0.42595887 | 1.0000674 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010217631 | 0.0010317529 | 1.009777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00214792 | 0.004367768 | 0.004377724 | 1.0022795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025839351 | 0.051247615 | 0.05126659 | 1.0003703 | 2.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37285197 | 0.37288332 | 1.000084 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.107063E-4 | 8.2069816E-4 | 1.0123249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017445484 | 0.003467065 | 0.0034770304 | 1.0028743 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021034058 | 0.04093243 | 0.040942024 | 1.0002342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.3130283 | 0.31305578 | 1.0000877 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.7388907E-4 | 6.8388233E-4 | 1.0148293 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028828874 | 0.0028928586 | 1.0034587 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017915873 | 0.034188833 | 0.03419849 | 1.0002825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27131107 | 0.27134022 | 1.0001074 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.543981E-4 | 5.543981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023724644 | 0.0023724644 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015200248 | 0.028263751 | 0.028263751 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.14201577 | 0.23297946 | 0.23300247 | 1.0000988 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2091837E-4 | 4.2091837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018019082 | 0.0018019082 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012141965 | 0.021586698 | 0.021586698 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11499573 | 0.18681763 | 0.1868339 | 1.000087 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5067857E-4 | 2.5067857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010738866 | 0.0010738866 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0082328 | 0.01299481 | 0.01299481 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07934396 | 0.12314034 | 0.12314911 | 1.0000712 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.460442E-4 | 2.460442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010540439 | 0.0010540439 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0081159435 | 0.01275668 | 0.01275668 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0782586 | 0.12116749 | 0.12117628 | 1.0000725 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4428288E-4 | 2.4428288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010465018 | 0.0010465018 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008075596 | 0.012666085 | 0.012666085 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07788358 | 0.12039834 | 0.12040714 | 1.0000731 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3537583E-4 | 2.3537583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010083655 | 0.0010083655 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007876333 | 0.012208263 | 0.012208263 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07602952 | 0.116468415 | 0.11647725 | 1.0000758 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2394823E-4 | 2.2394823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.594271E-4 | 9.594271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011618959 | 0.011618959 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.073302895 | 0.111314535 | 0.11132342 | 1.0000799 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.628044E-4 | 1.628044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 6.9754745E-4 | 6.9754745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006016669 | 0.008459772 | 0.008459772 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058563538 | 0.08366677 | 0.08367593 | 1.0001096 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4614522E-4 | 1.4614522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.261871E-4 | 6.261871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005408933 | 0.007597347 | 0.007597347 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.052791595 | 0.07561691 | 0.07562616 | 1.0001222 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2779726E-4 | 1.2779726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.475882E-4 | 5.475882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006646641 | 0.006646641 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047533102 | 0.06648109 | 0.06649043 | 1.0001404 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.1702097E-4 | 1.1702097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.014227E-4 | 5.014227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004513991 | 0.0060878536 | 0.0060878536 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.044233937 | 0.06114961 | 0.061159 | 1.0001535 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.0049005E-5 | 9.0049005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8586732E-4 | 3.8586732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038038217 | 0.004687836 | 0.004687836 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03739367 | 0.047874223 | 0.047883745 | 1.0001988 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.279483E-5 | 8.279483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5478684E-4 | 3.5478684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004310993 | 0.004310993 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032811474 | 0.043989062 | 0.04399862 | 1.0002173 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.6610344E-5 | 6.6610344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.854417E-4 | 2.854417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0034697189 | 0.0034697189 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0283165 | 0.035792835 | 0.035792835 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.162133E-5 | 6.162133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.640647E-4 | 2.640647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0032102512 | 0.0032102512 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025890453 | 0.033123713 | 0.033123713 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.0219067E-5 | 5.0219067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1520683E-4 | 2.1520683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026169969 | 0.0026169969 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019260362 | 0.02706497 | 0.02706497 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.142378E-5 | 3.142378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3466639E-4 | 1.3466639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016383311 | 0.0016383311 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014149235 | 0.017211884 | 0.017211884 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7396878E-5 | 1.7396878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.455592E-5 | 7.455592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.073409E-4 | 9.073409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.009797363 | 0.009797363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.632187E-4 | 1.0822089 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.001061951 | 1.0191743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012652196 | 1.0031314 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.12066191 | 1.0003645 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.632187E-4 | 1.0822089 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.001061951 | 1.0191743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012652196 | 1.0031314 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.12066191 | 1.0003645 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.632187E-4 | 1.0822089 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.001061951 | 1.0191743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012652196 | 1.0031314 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.12066191 | 1.0003645 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.632187E-4 | 1.0822089 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.001061951 | 1.0191743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012652196 | 1.0031314 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.12066191 | 1.0003645 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.632187E-4 | 1.0822089 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.001061951 | 1.0191743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012652196 | 1.0031314 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.12066191 | 1.0003645 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3642433E-4 | 2.564196E-4 | 1.0845736 | 2.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010128552 | 0.0010328349 | 1.0197262 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012262235 | 0.012301745 | 1.003222 | 4.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11758334 | 0.117627464 | 1.0003753 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3642433E-4 | 2.564196E-4 | 1.0845736 | 2.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010128552 | 0.0010328349 | 1.0197262 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012262235 | 0.012301745 | 1.003222 | 4.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11758334 | 0.117627464 | 1.0003753 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3333685E-4 | 2.5333217E-4 | 1.085693 | 2.0E-5 | 4.777557E-4 | 9.996332E-4 | 0.0010196132 | 1.0199873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012103056 | 0.012142571 | 1.0032649 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11620166 | 0.11624585 | 1.0003803 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3235848E-4 | 2.4235615E-4 | 1.0430269 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.954434E-4 | 0.0010054335 | 1.0100358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005777263 | 0.01205261 | 0.012082248 | 1.002459 | 3.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.11576148 | 0.11579685 | 1.0003055 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.312823E-4 | 2.4127998E-4 | 1.0432272 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.908348E-4 | 0.001000825 | 1.0100825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057511497 | 0.011997119 | 0.012026759 | 1.0024706 | 3.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.115277916 | 0.11531331 | 1.000307 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3029075E-4 | 2.4028844E-4 | 1.0434134 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.865885E-4 | 9.965787E-4 | 1.010126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011945989 | 0.01197563 | 1.0024813 | 3.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.11483013 | 0.114865534 | 1.0003084 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1538913E-4 | 2.2538698E-4 | 1.0464176 | 1.0E-5 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.227707E-4 | 9.3276147E-4 | 1.010827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011177175 | 0.011206839 | 1.0026541 | 3.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.108091824 | 0.108127505 | 1.0003301 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.0946808E-4 | 2.1946599E-4 | 1.04773 | 1.0E-5 | 4.296783E-4 | 8.974125E-4 | 9.0740353E-4 | 1.0111332 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010871558 | 0.010901232 | 1.0027295 | 3.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.10539154 | 0.105427325 | 1.0003395 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.042204E-4 | 2.1421837E-4 | 1.0489568 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.749377E-4 | 8.84929E-4 | 1.0114194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005109493 | 0.010600623 | 0.010630305 | 1.0028 | 3.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.10297247 | 0.10300835 | 1.0003484 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9791478E-4 | 2.079128E-4 | 1.0505168 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.4793137E-4 | 8.579229E-4 | 1.0117834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010274961 | 0.010304652 | 1.0028898 | 3.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.100064956 | 0.10010096 | 1.0003598 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6112256E-4 | 1.7112095E-4 | 1.0620545 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.903427E-4 | 7.003358E-4 | 1.0144756 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008372612 | 0.008402362 | 1.0035532 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.08281128 | 0.08284797 | 1.000443 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5765514E-4 | 1.6765358E-4 | 1.0634196 | 1.0E-5 | 3.384E-4 | 6.754901E-4 | 6.854834E-4 | 1.0147941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008193157 | 0.008222911 | 1.0036316 | 3.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.0811521 | 0.08118886 | 1.0004529 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3275658E-4 | 1.4275526E-4 | 1.0753158 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.688328E-4 | 5.788271E-4 | 1.0175699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003493839 | 0.00690358 | 0.006923442 | 1.002877 | 2.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.06904754 | 0.06906616 | 1.0002697 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2197082E-4 | 1.319696E-4 | 1.0819768 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.226274E-4 | 5.3262216E-4 | 1.019124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0063444492 | 0.0063643223 | 1.0031323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06351423 | 0.06353296 | 1.0002949 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.879351E-5 | 9.8792625E-5 | 1.1126108 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8048814E-4 | 3.9048432E-4 | 1.026272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004622611 | 0.0046425187 | 1.0043066 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.046625797 | 0.046644863 | 1.0004089 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2132433E-5 | 5.2132433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2340559E-4 | 2.2340559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002716572 | 0.0027265449 | 1.0036712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.027879264 | 0.027888985 | 1.0003487 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9180918E-5 | 1.9180918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.220134E-5 | 8.220134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010003424 | 0.0010003424 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009955673 | 0.010756371 | 0.010756371 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 2.9741448E-5 | 3.0530217 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 7.174805E-5 | 1.7185448 | 3.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 5.581669E-4 | 1.098338 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050715944 | 0.005121341 | 1.0098088 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 2.9741448E-5 | 3.0530217 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 7.174805E-5 | 1.7185448 | 3.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 5.581669E-4 | 1.098338 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050715944 | 0.005121341 | 1.0098088 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 2.9741448E-5 | 3.0530217 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 7.174805E-5 | 1.7185448 | 3.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 5.581669E-4 | 1.098338 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050715944 | 0.005121341 | 1.0098088 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 2.9741448E-5 | 3.0530217 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 7.174805E-5 | 1.7185448 | 3.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 5.581669E-4 | 1.098338 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050715944 | 0.005121341 | 1.0098088 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000717E-6 | 2.5299965E-5 | 4.773514 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714416E-5 | 5.2713734E-5 | 2.320717 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7651637E-4 | 3.2650254E-4 | 1.1807711 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620634 | 0.0028119253 | 1.0180525 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000717E-6 | 2.5299965E-5 | 4.773514 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714416E-5 | 5.2713734E-5 | 2.320717 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7651637E-4 | 3.2650254E-4 | 1.1807711 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620634 | 0.0028119253 | 1.0180525 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4987834E-6 | 3.4987834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4994709E-5 | 2.4994559E-5 | 1.6668919 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.825469E-4 | 2.0254325E-4 | 1.1095409 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241272 | 0.0018440906 | 1.0109441 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.48565E-6 | 3.48565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4938424E-5 | 2.4938274E-5 | 1.6694046 | 1.0E-5 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186173E-4 | 2.018581E-4 | 1.1099536 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018172868 | 0.0018372504 | 1.0109854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.733698E-6 | 2.733698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1715804E-5 | 2.1715687E-5 | 1.8535379 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263192E-4 | 1.526305E-4 | 1.0701005 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255359 | 0.0014355216 | 1.0070049 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.474327E-6 | 2.474327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604223E-5 | 2.0604117E-5 | 1.9430106 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910008E-4 | 1.3909879E-4 | 1.0774493 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012903805 | 0.0013003675 | 1.0077397 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429359E-6 | 1.7429359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4697095E-6 | 1.7469634E-5 | 2.33873 | 1.0E-5 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.0940965E-5 | 1.0094006E-4 | 1.1099515 | 1.0E-5 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.091403E-4 | 9.1913115E-4 | 1.0109894 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5714805E-7 | 3.5714805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306335E-6 | 1.5306335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635306E-5 | 1.8635306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.863377E-4 | 1.863377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2750562E-7 | 2.2750562E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750237E-7 | 9.750237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.187085E-5 | 1.187085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.18702264E-4 | 1.18702264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6060915E-7 | 1.6060915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.883247E-7 | 6.883247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380322E-6 | 8.380322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.380012E-5 | 8.380012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.14317004E-7 | 1.14317004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899299E-7 | 4.899299E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.964881E-6 | 5.964881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9647253E-5 | 5.9647253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.978771E-8 | 4.978771E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.133759E-7 | 2.133759E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5978486E-6 | 2.5978486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5978201E-5 | 2.5978201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5317896E-9 | 1.5317896E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5648122E-9 | 6.5648122E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992659E-8 | 7.992659E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.992659E-7 | 7.992659E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311117 | 0.0019410923 | 1.0051683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.01918976 | 0.019219184 | 1.0015334 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311117 | 0.0019410923 | 1.0051683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.01918976 | 0.019219184 | 1.0015334 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311117 | 0.0019410923 | 1.0051683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.01918976 | 0.019219184 | 1.0015334 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311117 | 0.0019410923 | 1.0051683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.01918976 | 0.019219184 | 1.0015334 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120235E-5 | 2.120235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0865025E-5 | 9.0865025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058919 | 0.0011158808 | 1.0090325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020696 | 0.0110305855 | 1.0008974 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120235E-5 | 2.120235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0865025E-5 | 9.0865025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058919 | 0.0011158808 | 1.0090325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020696 | 0.0110305855 | 1.0008974 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.665563E-6 | 9.665563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1423224E-5 | 4.1423224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.0421833E-4 | 5.142133E-4 | 1.0198227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050314665 | 0.0050414163 | 1.0019774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.653133E-6 | 9.653133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.1369953E-5 | 4.1369953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.0357E-4 | 5.1356497E-4 | 1.0198482 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005025013 | 0.0050349627 | 1.0019801 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.772975E-6 | 7.772975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.331235E-5 | 3.331235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0550734E-4 | 4.1550328E-4 | 1.0246505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004218856 | 0.004048168 | 0.0040581273 | 1.0024602 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.4814295E-6 | 5.4814295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3491633E-5 | 2.3491633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8597386E-4 | 2.8597386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028561365 | 0.0028561365 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9827586E-6 | 4.9827586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1354508E-5 | 2.1354508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.599608E-4 | 2.599608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025966342 | 0.0025966342 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.087382E-6 | 4.087382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7517235E-5 | 1.7517235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1325189E-4 | 2.1325189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.002130514 | 0.002130514 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9779353E-6 | 2.9779353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2762518E-5 | 1.2762518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5537269E-4 | 1.5537269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015526518 | 0.0015526518 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0954517E-6 | 2.0954517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.980477E-6 | 8.980477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0933189E-4 | 1.0933189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010927882 | 0.0010927882 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.027504E-6 | 1.027504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.4035814E-6 | 4.4035814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3612315E-5 | 5.3612315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.359968E-4 | 5.359968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.91759E-7 | 4.91759E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.107537E-6 | 2.107537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5658977E-5 | 2.5658977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.565617E-4 | 2.565617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.477825E-7 | 2.477825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0619246E-6 | 1.0619246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2928859E-5 | 1.2928859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2928144E-4 | 1.2928144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.386387E-8 | 7.386387E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1655944E-7 | 3.1655944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8541057E-6 | 3.8541057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.756536E-8 | 1.756536E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.528011E-8 | 7.528011E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1653516E-7 | 9.1653516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.165329E-6 | 9.165329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.1637845E-5 | 1.0163621E-4 | 1.2449645 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983282E-4 | 3.7982233E-4 | 1.0857252 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.004251385 | 0.004291215 | 1.0093687 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041755788 | 0.0418037 | 1.0011474 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.1637845E-5 | 9.1637026E-5 | 1.1224822 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983282E-4 | 3.698258E-4 | 1.0571501 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.004251385 | 0.0042812573 | 1.0070266 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041755788 | 0.041794118 | 1.0009179 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6452147E-5 | 5.6451685E-5 | 1.2152653 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.990658E-4 | 2.1906181E-4 | 1.1004493 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024209868 | 0.0024409385 | 1.008241 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020349167 | 0.02395279 | 0.02398207 | 1.0012225 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.7928952E-5 | 3.7928952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.625427E-4 | 1.7254108E-4 | 1.0615124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019771913 | 0.0019871716 | 1.0050477 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.019599797 | 0.019619405 | 1.0010004 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.409762E-5 | 3.409762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4612461E-4 | 1.5612316E-4 | 1.0684247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017776417 | 0.001787624 | 1.0056155 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015251739 | 0.017637396 | 0.017657043 | 1.001114 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2247328E-5 | 3.2247328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3819565E-4 | 1.4819427E-4 | 1.0723512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016812593 | 0.0016912424 | 1.0059379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456868 | 0.016688416 | 0.016708082 | 1.0011784 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5762602E-5 | 2.5762602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1040656E-4 | 1.1040656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013433858 | 0.0013433858 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013354365 | 0.013364231 | 1.0007389 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2666338E-5 | 2.2666338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.713789E-5 | 9.713789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011820234 | 0.0011820234 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.011758656 | 0.011768539 | 1.0008404 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.897764E-5 | 1.897764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.133026E-5 | 8.133026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.897555E-4 | 9.897555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009854501 | 0.009864403 | 1.0010048 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7269338E-5 | 1.7269338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.4009404E-5 | 7.4009404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.0070075E-4 | 9.0070075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008971448 | 0.008981358 | 1.0011046 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4032966E-5 | 1.4032966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.013994E-5 | 6.013994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.3196535E-4 | 7.3196535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072963308 | 0.007306258 | 1.0013605 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2375094E-5 | 1.2375094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.303508E-5 | 5.303508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.455181E-4 | 6.455181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064371773 | 0.0064471127 | 1.0015435 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0844897E-5 | 1.0844897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6477344E-5 | 4.6477344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.6572194E-4 | 5.6572194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056435415 | 0.005653485 | 1.0017619 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.083885E-6 | 9.083885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8930397E-5 | 3.8930397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7388155E-4 | 4.7388155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004729413 | 0.004739366 | 1.0021044 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.362367E-6 | 3.362367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4410093E-5 | 1.4410093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.754338E-4 | 1.754338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017534482 | 0.0017534482 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.8947586E-5 | 5.89471E-5 | 1.2042902 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0976145E-4 | 2.1975934E-4 | 1.0476632 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025513647 | 0.0025713136 | 1.0078189 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025280679 | 0.025329415 | 1.0019279 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878566E-5 | 3.6878297E-5 | 1.3720336 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15189396E-4 | 1.2518825E-4 | 1.0868036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016383 | 0.0014216102 | 1.014249 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013948013 | 0.013967734 | 1.001414 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878566E-5 | 3.6878297E-5 | 1.3720336 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15189396E-4 | 1.2518825E-4 | 1.0868036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016383 | 0.0014216102 | 1.014249 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013948013 | 0.013967734 | 1.001414 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164625E-5 | 1.8164625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784632E-5 | 7.784632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.474121E-4 | 9.5740263E-4 | 1.010545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.009447355 | 0.00945726 | 1.0010484 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164625E-5 | 1.8164625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784632E-5 | 7.784632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.474121E-4 | 9.5740263E-4 | 1.010545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.009447355 | 0.00945726 | 1.0010484 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6651593E-5 | 1.6651593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.136226E-5 | 7.136226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.685329E-4 | 8.685329E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008664853 | 0.008664853 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2039054E-5 | 1.2039054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.1595114E-5 | 5.1595114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.280234E-4 | 6.280234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.0062738704 | 0.0062738704 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0407336E-5 | 1.0407336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.460229E-5 | 4.460229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.429298E-4 | 5.429298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054278206 | 0.0054278206 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8133721E-6 | 3.8133721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6342932E-5 | 1.6342932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9895911E-4 | 1.9895911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019895528 | 0.0019895528 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.1528992E-6 | 2.1528992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.22668E-6 | 9.22668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1232925E-4 | 1.1232925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011233125 | 0.0011233125 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5430651E-6 | 1.5430651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.6131197E-6 | 6.6131197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.051182E-5 | 8.051182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.052882E-4 | 8.052882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.473338E-6 | 1.473338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.3142907E-6 | 6.3142907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.687383E-5 | 7.687383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.6892006E-4 | 7.6892006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3574096E-6 | 1.3574096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.817457E-6 | 5.817457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.082529E-5 | 7.082529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.084585E-4 | 7.084585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1217734E-6 | 1.1217734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8075917E-6 | 4.8075917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.8530903E-5 | 5.8530903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.853048E-4 | 5.853048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.237037E-7 | 9.237037E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9587244E-6 | 3.9587244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.8196438E-5 | 4.8196438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.818773E-4 | 4.818773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.623351E-7 | 7.623351E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2671464E-6 | 3.2671464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9776816E-5 | 3.9776816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9770038E-4 | 3.9770038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.8806514E-7 | 6.8806514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9488474E-6 | 2.9488474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.590166E-5 | 3.590166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5896176E-4 | 3.5896176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4186267E-7 | 1.4186267E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.079828E-7 | 6.079828E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4021755E-6 | 7.4021755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.4020245E-5 | 7.4020245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476389 | 0.0016576224 | 1.0060593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016367963 | 0.016397472 | 1.0018028 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476389 | 0.0016576224 | 1.0060593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016367963 | 0.016397472 | 1.0018028 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476389 | 0.0016576224 | 1.0060593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016367963 | 0.016397472 | 1.0018028 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7804325E-5 | 1.7804325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630212E-5 | 7.630212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2860067E-4 | 9.2860067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249076 | 0.009258984 | 1.0010712 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7804325E-5 | 1.7804325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630212E-5 | 7.630212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2860067E-4 | 9.2860067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249076 | 0.009258984 | 1.0010712 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3042973E-5 | 1.3042973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.589728E-5 | 5.589728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8034057E-4 | 6.8034057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006782976 | 0.006792908 | 1.0014642 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1156617E-5 | 1.1156617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.781321E-5 | 4.781321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.8197253E-4 | 5.8197253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005458487 | 0.005804726 | 0.005814668 | 1.0017127 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.236767E-6 | 9.236767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9585546E-5 | 3.9585546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.81848E-4 | 4.81848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.0048081 | 0.004818052 | 1.0020698 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.81689E-6 | 8.81689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7786125E-5 | 3.7786125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.599494E-4 | 4.599494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.004590028 | 0.004599982 | 1.0021687 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.564925E-6 | 8.564925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.6706308E-5 | 3.6706308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4680806E-4 | 4.4680806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044591487 | 0.004469104 | 1.0022326 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.074651E-6 | 8.074651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4605193E-5 | 3.4605193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2123714E-4 | 4.2123714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042044343 | 0.0042143925 | 1.0023685 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.545776E-6 | 7.545776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.233864E-5 | 3.233864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9365218E-4 | 3.9365218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039295917 | 0.003939552 | 1.0025347 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8273725E-6 | 6.8273725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9259842E-5 | 2.9259842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5618056E-4 | 3.5618056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035561253 | 0.0035561253 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8199853E-6 | 5.8199853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4942556E-5 | 2.4942556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.036335E-4 | 3.036335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030322096 | 0.0030322096 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3122495E-6 | 4.3122495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.848094E-5 | 1.848094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2498229E-4 | 2.2498229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.002247554 | 0.002247554 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4753065E-6 | 2.4753065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.06084135E-5 | 1.06084135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2914982E-4 | 1.2914982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012907528 | 0.0012907528 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.860922E-7 | 9.860922E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2261026E-6 | 4.2261026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1451596E-5 | 5.1451596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1439815E-4 | 5.1439815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.641661E-7 | 2.641661E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321399E-6 | 1.1321399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3783717E-5 | 1.3783717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3782868E-4 | 1.3782868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.9656964E-8 | 3.9656964E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6995841E-7 | 1.6995841E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0692419E-6 | 2.0692419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692247E-5 | 2.0692247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4090827E-5 | 3.4090586E-5 | 1.4150858 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0324288E-4 | 1.1324185E-4 | 1.096849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563579 | 0.0012763328 | 1.0158991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502574 | 0.012542075 | 1.0031593 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4090827E-5 | 3.4090586E-5 | 1.4150858 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0324288E-4 | 1.1324185E-4 | 1.096849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563579 | 0.0012763328 | 1.0158991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502574 | 0.012542075 | 1.0031593 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4090827E-5 | 3.4090586E-5 | 1.4150858 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0324288E-4 | 1.1324185E-4 | 1.096849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563579 | 0.0012763328 | 1.0158991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502574 | 0.012542075 | 1.0031593 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638019E-5 | 2.3637882E-5 | 1.7332344 | 1.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447433E-5 | 6.844685E-5 | 1.1710839 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.113814E-4 | 7.213743E-4 | 1.0140471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926677 | 0.0071125263 | 1.0027999 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638019E-5 | 2.3637882E-5 | 1.7332344 | 1.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447433E-5 | 6.844685E-5 | 1.1710839 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.113814E-4 | 7.213743E-4 | 1.0140471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926677 | 0.0071125263 | 1.0027999 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0476945E-5 | 2.047684E-5 | 1.9544667 | 1.0E-5 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4900476E-5 | 5.4900025E-5 | 1.2227048 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.465362E-4 | 5.565307E-4 | 1.0182871 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008994718 | 0.005452916 | 0.005472807 | 1.0036478 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414112E-6 | 1.8414028E-5 | 2.1884696 | 1.0E-5 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.606002E-5 | 4.605966E-5 | 1.2773055 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3894956E-4 | 4.4894515E-4 | 1.0227717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043815426 | 0.0044014547 | 1.0045446 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.4111982E-6 | 1.6411133E-5 | 2.5597608 | 1.0E-5 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.74763E-5 | 3.7476028E-5 | 1.36394 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3447728E-4 | 3.4447393E-4 | 1.0298874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033401987 | 0.003360132 | 1.0059676 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3331297E-6 | 1.4333086E-5 | 3.3077908 | 1.0E-5 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8570428E-5 | 2.8570243E-5 | 1.5384805 | 1.0E-5 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2607238E-4 | 2.3607012E-4 | 1.0442237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053879567 | 0.0022585108 | 0.0022684883 | 1.0044177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.580573E-6 | 1.3580538E-5 | 3.792839 | 1.0E-5 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5345226E-5 | 2.5345073E-5 | 1.6516584 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.868127E-4 | 1.9681084E-4 | 1.0535196 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00458965 | 0.001866615 | 0.0018765964 | 1.0053473 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.567426E-6 | 2.567426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.100321E-5 | 1.100321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3395616E-4 | 1.3395616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013387852 | 0.0013387852 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2273025E-6 | 2.2273025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.545549E-6 | 9.545549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1621116E-4 | 1.1621116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011615328 | 0.0011615328 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6274947E-6 | 1.6274947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.9749603E-6 | 6.9749603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.491707E-5 | 8.491707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.488694E-4 | 8.488694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.344683E-7 | 8.344683E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.576289E-6 | 3.576289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3540593E-5 | 4.3540593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.353351E-4 | 4.353351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.75898E-5 | 4.75898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0394128E-4 | 2.0394128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803223 | 0.0024803223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544 | 0.02456351 | 1.0007949 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.75898E-5 | 4.75898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0394128E-4 | 2.0394128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803223 | 0.0024803223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544 | 0.02456351 | 1.0007949 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.75898E-5 | 4.75898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0394128E-4 | 2.0394128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803223 | 0.0024803223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544 | 0.02456351 | 1.0007949 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.75898E-5 | 4.75898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0394128E-4 | 2.0394128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803223 | 0.0024803223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544 | 0.02456351 | 1.0007949 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.75898E-5 | 4.75898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0394128E-4 | 2.0394128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803223 | 0.0024803223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544 | 0.02456351 | 1.0007949 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5359604E-5 | 3.5359604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5153288E-4 | 1.5153288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018434438 | 0.0018434438 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632528 | 0.018291166 | 0.0183108 | 1.0010735 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5348985E-5 | 3.5348985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5148739E-4 | 1.5148739E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018428907 | 0.0018428907 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632056 | 0.018285727 | 0.018305361 | 1.0010737 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1469222E-5 | 3.1469222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.348616E-4 | 1.348616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016407884 | 0.0016407884 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014641452 | 0.016295504 | 0.016315177 | 1.0012074 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1407108E-5 | 3.1407108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3459542E-4 | 1.3459542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016375526 | 0.0016375526 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014613459 | 0.016263619 | 0.016283294 | 1.0012097 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6706883E-5 | 2.6706883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.14453476E-4 | 1.14453476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013926562 | 0.0013926562 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012562336 | 0.013846977 | 0.0138667 | 1.0014243 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5835672E-5 | 2.5835672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.1072004E-4 | 1.1072004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013472585 | 0.0013472585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012179627 | 0.013398543 | 0.013418275 | 1.0014727 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4462744E-5 | 2.4462744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.04836545E-4 | 1.04836545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012757124 | 0.0012757124 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01157452 | 0.012691407 | 0.012711154 | 1.0015559 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7670294E-5 | 1.7670294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.572799E-5 | 7.572799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.2166173E-4 | 9.2166173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008590161 | 0.009184672 | 0.00919458 | 1.0010787 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5559477E-5 | 1.5559477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.6682114E-5 | 6.6682114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.11614E-4 | 8.11614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008092573 | 0.008102492 | 1.0012257 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5288733E-6 | 5.5288733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.369496E-5 | 2.369496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.8844847E-4 | 2.8844847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028807952 | 0.0028907664 | 1.0034612 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.3385033E-6 | 5.3385033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2879103E-5 | 2.2879103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.78518E-4 | 2.78518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027817434 | 0.0027917156 | 1.0035849 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3152977E-6 | 4.3152977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8494004E-5 | 1.8494004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2514157E-4 | 2.2514157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022491694 | 0.002259147 | 1.0044361 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.85268E-6 | 2.85268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2225715E-5 | 1.2225715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4883818E-4 | 1.4883818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014874112 | 0.0014973964 | 1.006713 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0122919E-6 | 1.0122919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.338387E-6 | 4.338387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.281861E-5 | 5.281861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.280635E-4 | 5.280635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8619174E-7 | 1.8619174E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.979644E-7 | 7.979644E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.715176E-6 | 9.715176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.71478E-5 | 9.71478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 1.6976206E-5 | 2.4334195 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 4.9897586E-5 | 1.668917 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.9397454E-4 | 1.0823909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036672996 | 1.0082176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 1.6976206E-5 | 2.4334195 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 4.9897586E-5 | 1.668917 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.9397454E-4 | 1.0823909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036672996 | 1.0082176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 1.6976206E-5 | 2.4334195 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 4.9897586E-5 | 1.668917 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.9397454E-4 | 1.0823909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036672996 | 1.0082176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 1.6976206E-5 | 2.4334195 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 4.9897586E-5 | 1.668917 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.9397454E-4 | 1.0823909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036672996 | 1.0082176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 1.6976206E-5 | 2.4334195 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 4.9897586E-5 | 1.668917 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.9397454E-4 | 1.0823909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036672996 | 1.0082176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 1.6976206E-5 | 2.4334195 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 4.9897586E-5 | 1.668917 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.9397454E-4 | 1.0823909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036672996 | 1.0082176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.614815E-6 | 1.614815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9206176E-6 | 1.6920549E-5 | 2.4449477 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.42553E-5 | 1.0425361E-4 | 1.2373538 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013833415 | 8.42237E-4 | 8.622201E-4 | 1.0237263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5501486E-6 | 1.5501486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.6434773E-6 | 1.6643411E-5 | 2.505226 | 1.0E-5 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.0881364E-5 | 9.088055E-5 | 1.1236279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013506424 | 8.085222E-4 | 8.1851415E-4 | 1.0123582 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5469489E-6 | 1.5469489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.6297644E-6 | 1.6629698E-5 | 2.5083392 | 1.0E-5 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.071442E-5 | 9.071361E-5 | 1.1238836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013481114 | 8.06854E-4 | 8.168459E-4 | 1.0123838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4220233E-6 | 1.4220233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.094371E-6 | 1.6094311E-5 | 2.6408484 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.419646E-5 | 8.419572E-5 | 1.1347673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012818627 | 7.4171886E-4 | 7.517115E-4 | 1.0134722 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3989873E-6 | 1.3989873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.9956456E-6 | 1.5995585E-5 | 2.667867 | 1.0E-5 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.299456E-5 | 8.299383E-5 | 1.1369865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012692984 | 7.2970777E-4 | 7.3970045E-4 | 1.0136942 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3339372E-6 | 1.3339372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.7168613E-6 | 1.5716803E-5 | 2.7492015 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.960058E-5 | 7.9599886E-5 | 1.143667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012333926 | 6.957895E-4 | 7.0578256E-4 | 1.0143622 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2502445E-6 | 1.2502445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.35818E-6 | 1.5358126E-5 | 2.8662953 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.52339E-5 | 7.523325E-5 | 1.1532845 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011848784 | 6.52149E-4 | 6.621425E-4 | 1.0153239 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1419334E-6 | 1.1419334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.893991E-6 | 1.4893942E-5 | 3.0433123 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.958272E-5 | 6.958212E-5 | 1.1678239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001115068 | 5.956686E-4 | 6.056627E-4 | 1.0167779 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.574882E-7 | 9.574882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.1035146E-6 | 1.4103473E-5 | 3.4369254 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.995915E-5 | 5.995865E-5 | 1.2001536 | 1.0E-5 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.994799E-4 | 5.094749E-4 | 1.0200108 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.559723E-7 | 7.559723E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.239877E-6 | 1.32398445E-5 | 4.086527 | 1.0E-5 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9444796E-5 | 4.94444E-5 | 1.2535089 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.943784E-4 | 4.0437447E-4 | 1.0253464 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.659381E-7 | 4.659381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.996876E-6 | 1.1996856E-5 | 6.007812 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311697E-5 | 3.4311455E-5 | 1.4113146 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309063E-4 | 2.530882E-4 | 1.041127 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578398E-7 | 1.5578398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6764545E-7 | 6.6764545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128554E-6 | 8.128554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1282684E-5 | 8.1282684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.0544227E-4 | 5.154372E-4 | 1.0197747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021644223 | 0.0021744007 | 1.0046102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026058238 | 0.026087455 | 1.0011213 | 3.0E-5 | 0.13367249 | 0.22804803 | 0.2280789 | 1.0001354 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.864932E-4 | 4.9648836E-4 | 1.0205452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001086234 | 0.0020833432 | 0.0020933223 | 1.00479 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.025072256 | 0.025101503 | 1.0011666 | 3.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.21948382 | 0.21951504 | 1.0001422 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.7744758E-4 | 4.8744283E-4 | 1.0209347 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020446372 | 0.0020546168 | 1.0048808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.024612322 | 0.024641585 | 1.0011889 | 3.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.21598965 | 0.216021 | 1.0001452 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.588405E-4 | 4.6883593E-4 | 1.0217841 | 1.0E-5 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019650143 | 0.0019749945 | 1.005079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.023659883 | 0.023689173 | 1.001238 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.20792368 | 0.20795536 | 1.0001523 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.9870106E-4 | 4.086971E-4 | 1.0250715 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017076145 | 0.0017175974 | 1.0058461 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.02059353 | 0.020622911 | 1.0014268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.18505521 | 0.18508781 | 1.0001762 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.6982604E-4 | 3.7982233E-4 | 1.0270298 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015840183 | 0.0015940025 | 1.0063031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.01912025 | 0.019149676 | 1.001539 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.17328814 | 0.17332122 | 1.0001909 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.402928E-4 | 3.5028943E-4 | 1.0293765 | 1.0E-5 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014575928 | 0.0014675782 | 1.0068506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.017604336 | 0.017633807 | 1.0016742 | 3.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16075848 | 0.16079205 | 1.0002089 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.076128E-4 | 3.1760972E-4 | 1.0324984 | 1.0E-5 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013176827 | 0.0013276695 | 1.0075791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.01592529 | 0.015954813 | 1.0018538 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.14646539 | 0.14649953 | 1.000233 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.778561E-4 | 2.8785333E-4 | 1.0359799 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011902746 | 0.0012002627 | 1.0083914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014396684 | 0.014426252 | 1.0020539 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13291866 | 0.13295335 | 1.000261 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5009012E-4 | 2.600876E-4 | 1.0399756 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010713787 | 0.0010813681 | 1.0093237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012966984 | 0.012996594 | 1.0022836 | 3.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.11938625 | 0.119421475 | 1.000295 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1261652E-4 | 2.1261652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.108986E-4 | 9.108986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003811904 | 0.011034482 | 0.011054262 | 1.0017926 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.1020444 | 0.10207134 | 1.000264 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.0963016E-4 | 2.0963016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.981088E-4 | 8.981088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003737482 | 0.0108803315 | 0.010900114 | 1.0018182 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.10068103 | 0.10070801 | 1.000268 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9131559E-4 | 1.9131559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.196693E-4 | 8.196693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009934432 | 0.009954233 | 1.0019932 | 2.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.09248776 | 0.092514984 | 1.0002943 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7803388E-4 | 1.7803388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.627821E-4 | 7.627821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009247902 | 0.009267718 | 1.0021427 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.086538635 | 0.08656604 | 1.0003166 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1508458E-4 | 1.1508458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.9312727E-4 | 4.9312727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021888057 | 0.005987466 | 0.0060073463 | 1.0033203 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.057429686 | 0.057457965 | 1.0004923 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.33348E-5 | 8.33348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5710057E-4 | 3.5710057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016321153 | 0.004339092 | 0.0043490487 | 1.0022947 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.042132407 | 0.042141985 | 1.0002273 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.084606E-5 | 6.084606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.607429E-4 | 2.607429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012032706 | 0.003169947 | 0.0031799152 | 1.0031446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.031026881 | 0.03103657 | 1.0003123 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.012569E-5 | 4.012569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7195594E-4 | 1.7195594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0020915589 | 0.002101538 | 1.0047711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.0206284 | 0.020638194 | 1.0004748 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.096157E-5 | 3.096157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3268572E-4 | 1.3268572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016142539 | 0.0016242377 | 1.0061848 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.016017422 | 0.016027262 | 1.0006143 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2149336E-5 | 2.2149336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.492228E-5 | 9.492228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.001155067 | 0.0011650554 | 1.0086476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.011618343 | 0.011628227 | 1.0008507 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8008765E-5 | 1.8008765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.717814E-5 | 7.717814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.392395E-4 | 9.492301E-4 | 1.0106369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009501954 | 0.009511858 | 1.0010424 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.3794105E-6 | 6.3794105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.7340044E-5 | 2.7340044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.3281432E-4 | 3.3281432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.003486159 | 0.003486159 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.9363238E-6 | 1.9363238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.298504E-6 | 8.298504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0102963E-4 | 1.0102963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011074151 | 0.0011074151 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4492432E-8 | 1.4492432E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.211042E-8 | 6.211042E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.561944E-7 | 7.561944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.885293E-6 | 7.885293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040627E-5 | 1.1040627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731641E-5 | 4.731641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7597767E-4 | 5.859719E-4 | 1.0173517 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057500144 | 0.0057897842 | 1.0069165 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040627E-5 | 1.1040627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731641E-5 | 4.731641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7597767E-4 | 5.859719E-4 | 1.0173517 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057500144 | 0.0057897842 | 1.0069165 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2081995E-6 | 2.2081995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463702E-6 | 9.463702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15218674E-4 | 1.15218674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520007 | 0.0011520007 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2081995E-6 | 2.2081995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463702E-6 | 9.463702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15218674E-4 | 1.15218674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520007 | 0.0011520007 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8108747E-6 | 1.8108747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.760892E-6 | 7.760892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.448885E-5 | 9.448885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.4488857E-4 | 9.4488857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5264533E-5 | 4.526418E-5 | 1.283561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5112499E-4 | 1.6112346E-4 | 1.0661604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001838395 | 0.0018583583 | 1.010859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018982861 | 0.019022102 | 1.0020672 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5264533E-5 | 4.526418E-5 | 1.283561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5112499E-4 | 1.6112346E-4 | 1.0661604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001838395 | 0.0018583583 | 1.010859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018982861 | 0.019022102 | 1.0020672 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5264533E-5 | 4.526418E-5 | 1.283561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5112499E-4 | 1.6112346E-4 | 1.0661604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001838395 | 0.0018583583 | 1.010859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018982861 | 0.019022102 | 1.0020672 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5264533E-5 | 4.526418E-5 | 1.283561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5112499E-4 | 1.6112346E-4 | 1.0661604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001838395 | 0.0018583583 | 1.010859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018982861 | 0.019022102 | 1.0020672 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5136447E-5 | 4.5136094E-5 | 1.2845948 | 1.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.505761E-4 | 1.605746E-4 | 1.0664016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018317249 | 0.0018516883 | 1.0108987 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018917428 | 0.018956672 | 1.0020745 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5136447E-5 | 4.5136094E-5 | 1.2845948 | 1.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.505761E-4 | 1.605746E-4 | 1.0664016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018317249 | 0.0018516883 | 1.0108987 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018917428 | 0.018956672 | 1.0020745 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.508179E-5 | 4.508144E-5 | 1.2850381 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5034188E-4 | 1.6034038E-4 | 1.0665051 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018288785 | 0.001848842 | 1.0109156 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.018889507 | 0.018928751 | 1.0020776 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.5050864E-5 | 4.5050514E-5 | 1.2852896 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5020935E-4 | 1.6020786E-4 | 1.0665637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.001827268 | 0.0018472314 | 1.0109253 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.018873703 | 0.018912949 | 1.0020794 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.5022425E-5 | 4.5022076E-5 | 1.2855213 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.500875E-4 | 1.60086E-4 | 1.0666178 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018257869 | 0.0018457504 | 1.0109342 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.018859116 | 0.018898362 | 1.002081 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.4984987E-5 | 4.4984637E-5 | 1.2858269 | 1.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.4992706E-4 | 1.5992556E-4 | 1.0666891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018238368 | 0.0018438004 | 1.0109459 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.018839888 | 0.018879136 | 1.0020832 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.486556E-5 | 4.486521E-5 | 1.286806 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.4941528E-4 | 1.594138E-4 | 1.0669175 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018176165 | 0.0018375802 | 1.0109835 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.018778505 | 0.018817753 | 1.0020901 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.4844023E-5 | 4.4843673E-5 | 1.2869833 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.49323E-4 | 1.593215E-4 | 1.0669589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018164949 | 0.0018364585 | 1.0109903 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.018767375 | 0.018806625 | 1.0020914 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.4748526E-5 | 4.4748176E-5 | 1.287772 | 1.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.4891376E-4 | 1.5891227E-4 | 1.067143 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018115207 | 0.0018314845 | 1.0110204 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.018718114 | 0.018757366 | 1.002097 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.4576202E-5 | 4.4575856E-5 | 1.2892063 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4817533E-4 | 1.5817385E-4 | 1.0674776 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018025452 | 0.0018225091 | 1.0110754 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.018626764 | 0.018666018 | 1.0021075 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.4461642E-5 | 4.44613E-5 | 1.2901677 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4768442E-4 | 1.5768294E-4 | 1.0677019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0017965782 | 0.0018165422 | 1.0111123 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.018565914 | 0.01860517 | 1.0021145 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.352937E-5 | 4.3529035E-5 | 1.298236 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4368941E-4 | 1.5368797E-4 | 1.0695846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017480177 | 0.0017679827 | 1.0114216 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018067606 | 0.018106883 | 1.0021739 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.13107E-5 | 4.1310388E-5 | 1.3193697 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3418183E-4 | 1.4418049E-4 | 1.0745157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016324419 | 0.0016524092 | 1.0122316 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.016900703 | 0.016940027 | 1.0023267 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.7880007E-5 | 3.787973E-5 | 1.35867 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.1948028E-4 | 1.2947909E-4 | 1.0836859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014537028 | 0.0014736737 | 1.0137379 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.015113378 | 0.015152774 | 1.0026066 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5203897E-5 | 3.5203644E-5 | 1.396754 | 1.0E-5 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.0801223E-4 | 1.1801115E-4 | 1.0925721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013142565 | 0.0013342302 | 1.0151978 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.013710698 | 0.01375015 | 1.0028775 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.041812E-5 | 3.0417916E-5 | 1.4897511 | 1.0E-5 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.75033E-5 | 9.750242E-5 | 1.1142714 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010648328 | 0.0010848114 | 1.0187624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011197893 | 0.011237445 | 1.003532 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.5883486E-5 | 2.5883328E-5 | 1.6295747 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.807031E-5 | 7.806963E-5 | 1.146897 | 1.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.2844164E-4 | 8.3843333E-4 | 1.0120609 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.008780348 | 0.008810085 | 1.0033867 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.290274E-6 | 1.8290191E-5 | 2.2062228 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.5529265E-5 | 4.552891E-5 | 1.2814481 | 1.0E-5 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3248344E-4 | 4.4247913E-4 | 1.0231123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0046523367 | 0.00466229 | 1.0021394 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5599394E-6 | 1.5599394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.6854377E-6 | 6.6854377E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.139219E-5 | 8.139219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.449501E-4 | 9.449501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6089054E-7 | 3.6089054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5466729E-6 | 1.5466729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8830584E-5 | 1.8830584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.271723E-4 | 2.271723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.070417E-5 | 6.0703664E-5 | 1.1972125 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728777E-4 | 2.2728559E-4 | 1.0460119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026426686 | 0.0026626156 | 1.0075481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02615272 | 0.026191674 | 1.0014895 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.070417E-5 | 6.0703664E-5 | 1.1972125 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728777E-4 | 2.2728559E-4 | 1.0460119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026426686 | 0.0026626156 | 1.0075481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02615272 | 0.026191674 | 1.0014895 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.070417E-5 | 6.0703664E-5 | 1.1972125 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728777E-4 | 2.2728559E-4 | 1.0460119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026426686 | 0.0026626156 | 1.0075481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02615272 | 0.026191674 | 1.0014895 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090901E-5 | 3.0090901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2895482E-4 | 1.2895482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689277 | 0.001578912 | 1.0063637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582195 | 0.015592039 | 1.0006318 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090901E-5 | 3.0090901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2895482E-4 | 1.2895482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689277 | 0.001578912 | 1.0063637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582195 | 0.015592039 | 1.0006318 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.531601E-5 | 2.531601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0849277E-4 | 1.0849277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013201162 | 0.0013201162 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010529719 | 0.013124678 | 0.013124678 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.529696E-5 | 2.529696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.08411135E-4 | 1.08411135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013191235 | 0.0013191235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010520565 | 0.013114868 | 0.013114868 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2540898E-5 | 2.2540898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.660036E-5 | 9.660036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011754894 | 0.0011754894 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009347493 | 0.011694328 | 0.011694328 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1842547E-5 | 2.1842547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.360763E-5 | 9.360763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011390916 | 0.0011390916 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009068459 | 0.011334113 | 0.011334113 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9026254E-5 | 1.9026254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.1538616E-5 | 8.1538616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.922937E-4 | 9.922937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880027 | 0.009880027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8031062E-5 | 1.8031062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.727376E-5 | 7.727376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.40415E-4 | 9.40415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009365721 | 0.009365721 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6201364E-5 | 1.6201364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.943264E-5 | 6.943264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.450271E-4 | 8.450271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419436 | 0.008419436 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867016E-5 | 1.3867016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9428774E-5 | 5.9428774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.2331604E-4 | 7.2331604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057893298 | 0.0072107255 | 0.0072107255 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2176565E-5 | 1.2176565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2184296E-5 | 5.2184296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.351693E-4 | 6.351693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0063346145 | 0.0063346145 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.79233E-6 | 9.79233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1966505E-5 | 4.1966505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108319E-4 | 5.108319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0050975177 | 0.0050975177 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.772962E-6 | 5.772962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4741075E-5 | 2.4741075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0118861E-4 | 3.0118861E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030085566 | 0.0030085566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.51065E-5 | 4.5105997E-5 | 1.7965865 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759579E-4 | 1.3759256E-4 | 1.2787913 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093597 | 0.0013393204 | 1.022882 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033048 | 0.013072527 | 1.0030291 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.51065E-5 | 4.5105997E-5 | 1.7965865 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759579E-4 | 1.3759256E-4 | 1.2787913 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093597 | 0.0013393204 | 1.022882 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033048 | 0.013072527 | 1.0030291 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.51065E-5 | 4.5105997E-5 | 1.7965865 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759579E-4 | 1.3759256E-4 | 1.2787913 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093597 | 0.0013393204 | 1.022882 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033048 | 0.013072527 | 1.0030291 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.51065E-5 | 4.5105997E-5 | 1.7965865 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759579E-4 | 1.3759256E-4 | 1.2787913 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093597 | 0.0013393204 | 1.022882 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033048 | 0.013072527 | 1.0030291 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781063E-5 | 2.3780925E-5 | 1.7256235 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906089E-5 | 7.905971E-5 | 1.3386136 | 2.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189229E-4 | 7.3890854E-4 | 1.0277994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007175178 | 0.007195034 | 1.0027674 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781063E-5 | 2.3780925E-5 | 1.7256235 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906089E-5 | 7.905971E-5 | 1.3386136 | 2.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189229E-4 | 7.3890854E-4 | 1.0277994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007175178 | 0.007195034 | 1.0027674 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.633739E-6 | 1.9633642E-5 | 2.0380087 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.1287265E-5 | 5.1286854E-5 | 1.2421955 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.0263974E-4 | 5.126347E-4 | 1.019885 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.005023189 | 0.0050331387 | 1.0019808 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.0882755E-6 | 1.8088194E-5 | 2.2363474 | 1.0E-5 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.4664037E-5 | 4.466369E-5 | 1.2884734 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2203465E-4 | 4.3203044E-4 | 1.0236847 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042203465 | 0.004230304 | 1.0023595 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4394532E-5 | 4.4394186E-5 | 1.2907339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4739682E-4 | 1.5739533E-4 | 1.067834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017930809 | 0.001813045 | 1.011134 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018522728 | 0.01856199 | 1.0021195 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4394532E-5 | 4.4394186E-5 | 1.2907339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4739682E-4 | 1.5739533E-4 | 1.067834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017930809 | 0.001813045 | 1.011134 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018522728 | 0.01856199 | 1.0021195 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4394532E-5 | 4.4394186E-5 | 1.2907339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4739682E-4 | 1.5739533E-4 | 1.067834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017930809 | 0.001813045 | 1.011134 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018522728 | 0.01856199 | 1.0021195 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4394532E-5 | 4.4394186E-5 | 1.2907339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4739682E-4 | 1.5739533E-4 | 1.067834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017930809 | 0.001813045 | 1.011134 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018522728 | 0.01856199 | 1.0021195 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4316105E-5 | 4.4315762E-5 | 1.2913984 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4706074E-4 | 1.5705927E-4 | 1.0679891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017889964 | 0.0018089606 | 1.0111594 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.01848261 | 0.01852187 | 1.0021242 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4316105E-5 | 4.4315762E-5 | 1.2913984 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4706074E-4 | 1.5705927E-4 | 1.0679891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017889964 | 0.0018089606 | 1.0111594 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.01848261 | 0.01852187 | 1.0021242 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.4279492E-5 | 4.427915E-5 | 1.2917097 | 1.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4690385E-4 | 1.5690239E-4 | 1.0680617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0017870895 | 0.0018070538 | 1.0111713 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.018463878 | 0.01850314 | 1.0021263 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.4265067E-5 | 4.4264725E-5 | 1.2918324 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4684204E-4 | 1.5684057E-4 | 1.0680904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017863383 | 0.0018063026 | 1.0111761 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.018456502 | 0.018495765 | 1.0021273 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4234123E-5 | 4.423378E-5 | 1.2920963 | 1.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4670944E-4 | 1.5670797E-4 | 1.068152 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017847265 | 0.0018046908 | 1.0111862 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.018440656 | 0.018479919 | 1.0021291 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.419455E-5 | 4.4194207E-5 | 1.2924343 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4653984E-4 | 1.5653839E-4 | 1.0682309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017826651 | 0.0018026294 | 1.0111991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.01842039 | 0.018459653 | 1.0021315 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.407657E-5 | 4.4076227E-5 | 1.2934468 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4603428E-4 | 1.5603281E-4 | 1.068467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017765199 | 0.0017964845 | 1.011238 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.018359972 | 0.018399239 | 1.0021386 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.403285E-5 | 4.403251E-5 | 1.2938237 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4584693E-4 | 1.5584547E-4 | 1.068555 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017742428 | 0.0017942074 | 1.0112524 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.018337566 | 0.018376833 | 1.0021414 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.396707E-5 | 4.396673E-5 | 1.2943928 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4556505E-4 | 1.555636E-4 | 1.0686878 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017708165 | 0.001790781 | 1.0112742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018303836 | 0.018343104 | 1.0021453 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.385536E-5 | 4.385502E-5 | 1.2953643 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4508633E-4 | 1.5508488E-4 | 1.0689145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017649976 | 0.0017849623 | 1.0113114 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.018246388 | 0.018285658 | 1.0021522 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.3802888E-5 | 4.380255E-5 | 1.2958227 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4486148E-4 | 1.5486004E-4 | 1.0690215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017622644 | 0.0017822292 | 1.011329 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.0182194 | 0.018258672 | 1.0021554 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.3612705E-5 | 4.361237E-5 | 1.2974966 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4404651E-4 | 1.5404508E-4 | 1.069412 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017523582 | 0.0017723232 | 1.0113932 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.01812053 | 0.018159803 | 1.0021675 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.213617E-5 | 4.213585E-5 | 1.3111658 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3771918E-4 | 1.4771782E-4 | 1.0726016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016754436 | 0.0016954101 | 1.0119171 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.017340416 | 0.017379722 | 1.0022668 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9232393E-5 | 3.92321E-5 | 1.3420763 | 1.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2527568E-4 | 1.3527441E-4 | 1.079814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015241653 | 0.0015441348 | 1.0131019 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.015828714 | 0.01586808 | 1.0024871 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6523543E-5 | 3.6523277E-5 | 1.3770136 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1366738E-4 | 1.2366624E-4 | 1.087966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0013830226 | 0.001402995 | 1.0144411 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.014410028 | 0.014449452 | 1.0027359 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.1504095E-5 | 3.1503878E-5 | 1.4650177 | 1.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.2157155E-5 | 1.02156235E-4 | 1.1085002 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011214366 | 0.0011414142 | 1.0178143 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.011775419 | 0.011814948 | 1.0033569 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.5934353E-5 | 2.5934192E-5 | 1.6275649 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.82883E-5 | 7.8287616E-5 | 1.146428 | 1.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.310935E-4 | 8.410852E-4 | 1.0120224 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.00880904 | 0.008838776 | 1.0033756 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.299667E-6 | 1.8299585E-5 | 2.2048576 | 1.0E-5 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.556952E-5 | 4.5569162E-5 | 1.2811296 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3297335E-4 | 4.42969E-4 | 1.0230861 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.004658037 | 0.00466799 | 1.0021368 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5644919E-6 | 1.5644919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.7049477E-6 | 6.7049477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.162971E-5 | 8.162971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.4777363E-4 | 9.4777363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6117652E-7 | 3.6117652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5478985E-6 | 1.5478985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8845505E-5 | 1.8845505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.273426E-4 | 2.273426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249992E-6 | 4.249992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 2.8213944E-5 | 1.5490144 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 2.517283E-4 | 1.1352667 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.00221519 | 0.0022551015 | 1.0180172 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249992E-6 | 4.249992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 2.8213944E-5 | 1.5490144 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 2.517283E-4 | 1.1352667 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.00221519 | 0.0022551015 | 1.0180172 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249992E-6 | 4.249992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 2.8213944E-5 | 1.5490144 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 2.517283E-4 | 1.1352667 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.00221519 | 0.0022551015 | 1.0180172 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249992E-6 | 4.249992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 2.8213944E-5 | 1.5490144 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 2.517283E-4 | 1.1352667 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.00221519 | 0.0022551015 | 1.0180172 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.682029E-6 | 3.682029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5780031E-5 | 2.5779873E-5 | 1.6337023 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210529E-4 | 2.2209952E-4 | 1.1561344 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194271 | 0.0019593502 | 1.0207995 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.682029E-6 | 3.682029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5780031E-5 | 2.5779873E-5 | 1.6337023 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210529E-4 | 2.2209952E-4 | 1.1561344 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194271 | 0.0019593502 | 1.0207995 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4242933E-6 | 3.4242933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4675462E-5 | 2.4675315E-5 | 1.6813996 | 1.0E-5 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7865942E-4 | 2.0865406E-4 | 1.1678872 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017851895 | 0.0018251181 | 1.0223666 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.362271E-6 | 3.362271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4409655E-5 | 2.4409512E-5 | 1.6939691 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7542373E-4 | 2.0541847E-4 | 1.1709845 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017528838 | 0.0017928137 | 1.0227796 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.117861E-6 | 3.117861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3362195E-5 | 2.3362061E-5 | 1.74837 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6267286E-4 | 1.9266798E-4 | 1.1843892 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016255665 | 0.0016655015 | 1.0245668 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.933072E-6 | 2.933072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2570249E-5 | 2.2570124E-5 | 1.7955191 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5303232E-4 | 1.8302773E-4 | 1.196007 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015292971 | 0.0015692359 | 1.0261158 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.641904E-6 | 2.641904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1322398E-5 | 2.1322285E-5 | 1.8831952 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3784174E-4 | 1.678376E-4 | 1.217611 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013775876 | 0.0014175326 | 1.0289962 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1342557E-6 | 2.1342557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.14678E-6 | 1.9146688E-5 | 2.093271 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.11356574E-4 | 1.3135435E-4 | 1.1795832 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011130297 | 0.0011429962 | 1.0269234 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2937331E-6 | 1.2937331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.544559E-6 | 1.5544503E-5 | 2.80356 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.7502995E-5 | 8.750165E-5 | 1.2962631 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019903728 | 6.748332E-4 | 7.0481293E-4 | 1.0444255 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.3830375E-7 | 7.3830375E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.1641553E-6 | 1.3164124E-5 | 4.1603913 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.852293E-5 | 4.8522543E-5 | 1.2595756 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8516452E-4 | 3.9516066E-4 | 1.0259529 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.461424E-7 | 5.461424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3406083E-6 | 1.2340584E-5 | 5.2723837 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8496537E-5 | 3.849625E-5 | 1.3509098 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8492938E-4 | 2.9492652E-4 | 1.0350864 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028206E-7 | 3.6028206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196375E-8 | 7.1196375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0133278E-6 | 3.301324E-5 | 10.95574 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2914216E-5 | 4.2913827E-5 | 3.3229914 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722241E-4 | 1.872177E-4 | 1.1907824 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714234 | 0.0016113606 | 1.0254146 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387142E-6 | 6.6387142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082385E-5 | 8.082385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0799335E-4 | 8.0799335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387142E-6 | 6.6387142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082385E-5 | 8.082385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0799335E-4 | 8.0799335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387142E-6 | 6.6387142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082385E-5 | 8.082385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0799335E-4 | 8.0799335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387142E-6 | 6.6387142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082385E-5 | 8.082385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0799335E-4 | 8.0799335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4909707E-6 | 1.4909707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.3898615E-6 | 6.3898615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.7794284E-5 | 7.7794284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.777192E-4 | 7.777192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.9974316E-7 | 8.9974316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.856037E-6 | 3.856037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6946323E-5 | 4.6946323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6937272E-4 | 4.6937272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.5941864E-7 | 7.5941864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2546475E-6 | 3.2546475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.9624683E-5 | 3.9624683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9618317E-4 | 3.9618317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.500273E-7 | 6.500273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7858287E-6 | 2.7858287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.3916996E-5 | 3.3916996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.391243E-4 | 3.391243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.631502E-7 | 5.631502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.4134988E-6 | 2.4134988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.938401E-5 | 2.938401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9380692E-4 | 2.9380692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.1132614E-7 | 4.1132614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7628253E-6 | 1.7628253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1462227E-5 | 2.1462227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1460539E-4 | 2.1460539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5210272E-7 | 3.5210272E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.509011E-6 | 1.509011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.837209E-5 | 1.837209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.837092E-4 | 1.837092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.117835E-8 | 3.117835E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3362148E-7 | 1.3362148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6268405E-6 | 1.6268405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.6268294E-5 | 1.6268294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5938921E-8 | 1.5938921E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.830967E-8 | 6.830967E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.3166987E-7 | 8.3166987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.316671E-6 | 8.316671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.713679E-5 | 4.713679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0200403E-4 | 2.0200403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024574527 | 0.0024574527 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021518968 | 0.024384702 | 0.024404213 | 1.0008001 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.685415E-5 | 1.685415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.2230134E-5 | 7.2230134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.7905774E-4 | 8.7905774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009028391 | 0.008757101 | 0.008776926 | 1.0022639 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3673222E-5 | 1.3673222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.859823E-5 | 5.859823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.132038E-4 | 7.132038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007600669 | 0.0071097463 | 0.007119675 | 1.0013965 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2482137E-5 | 1.2482137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.3493794E-5 | 5.3493794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.5109547E-4 | 6.5109547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00704657 | 0.006492396 | 0.006502331 | 1.0015303 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1979094E-5 | 1.1979094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.133798E-5 | 5.133798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.2486366E-4 | 6.2486366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006810953 | 0.006231566 | 0.0062415036 | 1.0015948 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1048743E-5 | 1.1048743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.7350914E-5 | 4.7350914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.763476E-4 | 5.763476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006372592 | 0.005748992 | 0.0057589347 | 1.0017295 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0063478E-5 | 1.0063478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.312849E-5 | 4.312849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.2496494E-4 | 5.2496494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0052376487 | 0.005247596 | 1.0018992 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.516972E-6 | 9.516972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0786395E-5 | 4.0786395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.964632E-4 | 4.964632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049539288 | 0.0049638795 | 1.0020086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.299723E-6 | 9.299723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.985536E-5 | 3.985536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.85133E-4 | 4.85133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005550127 | 0.0048411256 | 0.004851077 | 1.0020556 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.591993E-6 | 8.591993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.682232E-5 | 3.682232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.482213E-4 | 4.482213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044735377 | 0.004483493 | 1.0022254 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.025023E-6 | 8.025023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.4392513E-5 | 3.4392513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.186501E-4 | 4.186501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00496445 | 0.004178968 | 0.004188926 | 1.002383 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.652326E-6 | 7.652326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.279528E-5 | 3.279528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.9921107E-4 | 3.9921107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004792784 | 0.0039852895 | 0.0039952495 | 1.0024992 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.931077E-6 | 5.931077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5418654E-5 | 2.5418654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.094285E-4 | 3.094285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030901874 | 0.0031001566 | 1.003226 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.596116E-6 | 5.596116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3983135E-5 | 2.3983135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9195583E-4 | 2.9195583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029159326 | 0.0029259035 | 1.0034194 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9184723E-6 | 4.9184723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1078999E-5 | 2.1078999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.5660679E-4 | 2.5660679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025633036 | 0.002573278 | 1.0038912 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0838345E-6 | 4.0838345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.750203E-5 | 1.750203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.130665E-4 | 2.130665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021286334 | 0.002138612 | 1.0046879 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0883268E-6 | 3.0883268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.323562E-5 | 1.323562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6113183E-4 | 1.6113183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016101581 | 0.001620142 | 1.0062006 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8281966E-6 | 1.8281966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.835105E-6 | 7.835105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.5388285E-5 | 9.5388285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.534796E-4 | 9.634701E-4 | 1.0104779 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.509852E-7 | 3.509852E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5042215E-6 | 1.5042215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8313744E-5 | 1.8313744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8312247E-4 | 1.8312247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2688697E-8 | 1.2688697E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.438013E-8 | 5.438013E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6207787E-7 | 6.6207787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.62076E-6 | 6.62076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0320647E-9 | 2.0320647E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.708849E-9 | 8.708849E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0603022E-7 | 1.0603022E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0603018E-6 | 1.0603018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7251953E-5 | 5.725148E-5 | 1.2116214 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249447E-4 | 2.2249042E-4 | 1.0987481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629044 | 0.002502806 | 1.016201 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.0243898 | 0.024428824 | 1.0016 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7251953E-5 | 5.725148E-5 | 1.2116214 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249447E-4 | 2.2249042E-4 | 1.0987481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629044 | 0.002502806 | 1.016201 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.0243898 | 0.024428824 | 1.0016 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7251953E-5 | 5.725148E-5 | 1.2116214 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249447E-4 | 2.2249042E-4 | 1.0987481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629044 | 0.002502806 | 1.016201 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.0243898 | 0.024428824 | 1.0016 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.8268289E-5 | 1.8268289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.8290424E-5 | 7.8290424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.527881E-4 | 9.627786E-4 | 1.0104855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01018413 | 0.009489983 | 0.009499889 | 1.0010438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3603988E-5 | 1.3603988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.8301535E-5 | 5.8301535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.0959603E-4 | 7.195889E-4 | 1.0140826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008112748 | 0.007074931 | 0.0070848605 | 1.0014035 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3100644E-5 | 1.3100644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.614444E-5 | 5.614444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8335E-4 | 6.9334323E-4 | 1.0146238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007874036 | 0.0068141017 | 0.006824034 | 1.0014576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0380495E-5 | 1.0380495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.4487086E-5 | 4.4487086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.414976E-4 | 5.514922E-4 | 1.0184573 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006737438 | 0.005403004 | 0.00541295 | 1.0018408 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.899142E-6 | 9.899142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2424213E-5 | 4.2424213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.1639427E-4 | 5.263891E-4 | 1.019355 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006522954 | 0.0051531405 | 0.005163089 | 1.0019306 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.495186E-6 | 9.495186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.0693027E-5 | 4.0693027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.953268E-4 | 5.053219E-4 | 1.0201787 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063434686 | 0.004943368 | 0.0049533183 | 1.002013 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.772696E-6 | 8.772696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.7596736E-5 | 3.7596736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5764577E-4 | 4.676412E-4 | 1.0218409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00602425 | 0.004568136 | 0.0045780903 | 1.002179 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.083753E-6 | 8.083753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4644203E-5 | 3.4644203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.2171308E-4 | 4.3170885E-4 | 1.0237029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004210142 | 0.0042201 | 1.0023652 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.3264255E-6 | 7.3264255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1398595E-5 | 3.1398595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8221214E-4 | 3.922083E-4 | 1.0261534 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038167594 | 0.003826721 | 1.00261 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5430527E-6 | 6.5430527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.804136E-5 | 2.804136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.413513E-4 | 3.5134787E-4 | 1.0292853 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034093924 | 0.0034193583 | 1.0029231 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.5975243E-6 | 5.5975243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.3989176E-5 | 2.3989176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.920301E-4 | 3.0202718E-4 | 1.0342331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042889426 | 0.00291679 | 0.002926761 | 1.0034184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.027598E-6 | 5.027598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1546675E-5 | 2.1546675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.6230022E-4 | 2.722976E-4 | 1.0381143 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026200188 | 0.0026299926 | 1.0038067 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9336246E-6 | 3.9336246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6858286E-5 | 1.6858286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.052312E-4 | 2.1522916E-4 | 1.0487156 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003203666 | 0.002050506 | 0.0020604855 | 1.0048668 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3951696E-6 | 3.3951696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.455065E-5 | 1.455065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7714058E-4 | 1.8713881E-4 | 1.0564424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017700745 | 0.0017800569 | 1.0056394 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3329874E-6 | 2.3329874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 9.998483E-6 | 9.998483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2172547E-4 | 1.2172547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.001216661 | 0.001216661 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384396E-8 | 9.384396E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966353E-6 | 4.8966353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.89656E-5 | 4.89656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.762709E-4 | 4.8626616E-4 | 1.0209864 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020396016 | 0.0020495811 | 1.004893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024541805 | 0.024571069 | 1.0011925 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21347821 | 0.21350966 | 1.0001473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.762709E-4 | 4.8626616E-4 | 1.0209864 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020396016 | 0.0020495811 | 1.004893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024541805 | 0.024571069 | 1.0011925 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21347821 | 0.21350966 | 1.0001473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6711712E-4 | 4.7711245E-4 | 1.021398 | 1.0E-5 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020004313 | 0.0020104114 | 1.0049889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.024076113 | 0.02410539 | 1.001216 | 3.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.20991476 | 0.20994636 | 1.0001506 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.6147394E-4 | 4.7146934E-4 | 1.0216597 | 1.0E-5 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.001976283 | 0.0019862633 | 1.0050501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.023789674 | 0.02381896 | 1.0012311 | 3.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.20780581 | 0.2078375 | 1.0001525 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0039537E-4 | 4.1039137E-4 | 1.0249653 | 1.0E-5 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.001714866 | 0.0017248489 | 1.0058213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.020675711 | 0.02070509 | 1.001421 | 3.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.18455538 | 0.184588 | 1.0001768 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.747172E-4 | 3.8471346E-4 | 1.0266768 | 1.0E-5 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016049546 | 0.0016149386 | 1.0062207 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.01936447 | 0.01939389 | 1.0015192 | 3.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17437775 | 0.17441078 | 1.0001894 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.4886636E-4 | 3.5886286E-4 | 1.0286542 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014942948 | 0.0015042799 | 1.0066822 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.018041687 | 0.018071147 | 1.0016328 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16378574 | 0.1638192 | 1.0002042 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2052814E-4 | 3.3052496E-4 | 1.0311885 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.001372977 | 0.0013829634 | 1.0072734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.016588448 | 0.01661795 | 1.0017785 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15191332 | 0.15194725 | 1.0002233 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9048265E-4 | 3.0047973E-4 | 1.0344155 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012443379 | 0.0012543254 | 1.0080264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015046005 | 0.015075553 | 1.0019639 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13835827 | 0.13839273 | 1.0002491 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.624914E-4 | 2.7248877E-4 | 1.0380865 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011244824 | 0.0011344712 | 1.008883 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005298089 | 0.013605632 | 0.013635224 | 1.002175 | 3.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.124942064 | 0.12497707 | 1.0002801 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2394217E-4 | 2.2394217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.594023E-4 | 9.594023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011618873 | 0.01163864 | 1.0017014 | 2.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.10724666 | 0.107273445 | 1.0002497 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.207738E-4 | 2.207738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.458335E-4 | 9.458335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011455421 | 0.011475192 | 1.0017259 | 2.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.10581073 | 0.10583756 | 1.0002536 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0205107E-4 | 2.0205107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6564885E-4 | 8.6564885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010488983 | 0.010508774 | 1.0018867 | 2.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.0974804 | 0.09750748 | 1.0002778 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.883617E-4 | 1.883617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.070175E-4 | 8.070175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009781763 | 0.0098015675 | 1.0020247 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.091375224 | 0.091402486 | 1.0002983 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2527342E-4 | 1.2527342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.367765E-4 | 5.367765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006515845 | 0.006535715 | 1.0030495 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.062353857 | 0.062381987 | 1.0004511 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.335652E-5 | 9.335652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0003832E-4 | 4.0003832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004859652 | 0.004869603 | 1.0020478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.047055803 | 0.047065333 | 1.0002025 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.053283E-5 | 7.053283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0224866E-4 | 3.0224866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036736925 | 0.0036836555 | 1.002712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.03584153 | 0.03585117 | 1.000269 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.940868E-5 | 4.940868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1173434E-4 | 2.1173434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025748238 | 0.002584798 | 1.0038737 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025291234 | 0.025300981 | 1.0003854 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9694296E-5 | 3.9694296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7010733E-4 | 1.7010733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020690921 | 0.0020790715 | 1.0048231 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020432515 | 0.02044231 | 1.0004795 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8746123E-5 | 2.8746123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2319186E-4 | 1.2319186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.00149883 | 0.0015088151 | 1.0066619 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.014992237 | 0.015002088 | 1.000657 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3277493E-5 | 2.3277493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 9.975687E-5 | 9.975687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012138641 | 0.0012238519 | 1.0082282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012211572 | 0.01222145 | 1.000809 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3274655E-6 | 7.3274655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1403044E-5 | 3.1403044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8226513E-4 | 3.8226513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.004001267 | 0.004001267 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2174895E-6 | 2.2174895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.503492E-6 | 9.503492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.156989E-4 | 1.156989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0012665318 | 0.0012665318 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.720686E-8 | 1.720686E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.3743685E-8 | 7.3743685E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 8.9782924E-7 | 8.9782924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.364711E-6 | 9.364711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209419E-5 | 1.7209419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752766E-5 | 7.3752766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9760555E-4 | 8.9760555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943349 | 0.00896317 | 1.0022163 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209419E-5 | 1.7209419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752766E-5 | 7.3752766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9760555E-4 | 8.9760555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943349 | 0.00896317 | 1.0022163 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209419E-5 | 1.7209419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752766E-5 | 7.3752766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9760555E-4 | 8.9760555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943349 | 0.00896317 | 1.0022163 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0122326E-5 | 1.0122326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3380704E-5 | 4.3380704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280371E-4 | 5.280371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052683298 | 0.005288224 | 1.0037763 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0122326E-5 | 1.0122326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3380704E-5 | 4.3380704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280371E-4 | 5.280371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052683298 | 0.005288224 | 1.0037763 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.329896E-6 | 7.329896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.141347E-5 | 3.141347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8239345E-4 | 3.8239345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036884616 | 0.0038175166 | 0.0038374402 | 1.005219 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0597445E-6 | 6.0597445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.597008E-5 | 2.597008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.1614068E-4 | 3.1614068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030598943 | 0.003156997 | 0.0031769339 | 1.0063151 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.1159036E-6 | 5.1159036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.192512E-5 | 2.192512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.669061E-4 | 2.669061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026659044 | 0.0026858512 | 1.0074822 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.510981E-6 | 4.510981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9332634E-5 | 1.9332634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3534975E-4 | 2.3534975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023510405 | 0.0023709934 | 1.0084869 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.6013378E-6 | 3.6013378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5434214E-5 | 1.5434214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8789551E-4 | 1.8789551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018379007 | 0.0018773826 | 0.0018873638 | 1.0053166 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.2736589E-6 | 3.2736589E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.4029892E-5 | 1.4029892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.7080067E-4 | 1.7080067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0017067082 | 0.0017166912 | 1.0058492 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.540926E-6 | 2.540926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0889638E-5 | 1.0889638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3257333E-4 | 1.3257333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013249485 | 0.0013349352 | 1.0075375 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0619439E-6 | 2.0619439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.836872E-6 | 8.836872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0758365E-4 | 1.0758365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010699122 | 0.00107532 | 0.0010853092 | 1.0092895 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6773973E-6 | 1.6773973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.188826E-6 | 7.188826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.752047E-5 | 8.752047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.748629E-4 | 8.848542E-4 | 1.0114204 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.333343E-6 | 1.333343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.7143147E-6 | 5.7143147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.9569585E-5 | 6.9569585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.9548027E-4 | 7.054733E-4 | 1.0143685 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.290178E-7 | 9.290178E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.981499E-6 | 3.981499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.847369E-5 | 4.847369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.8463285E-4 | 4.8463285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.778605E-7 | 4.778605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.047972E-6 | 2.047972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.493378E-5 | 2.493378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.493106E-4 | 2.493106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5759314E-7 | 2.5759314E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1039701E-6 | 1.1039701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.3440754E-5 | 1.3440754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.3439944E-4 | 1.3439944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.544919E-7 | 1.544919E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.62108E-7 | 6.62108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.061135E-6 | 8.061135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.060845E-5 | 8.060845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.0911118E-8 | 4.0911118E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7533335E-7 | 1.7533335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1346814E-6 | 2.1346814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1346614E-5 | 2.1346614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7412573E-6 | 1.474121E-5 | 3.1091352 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0319549E-5 | 4.031914E-5 | 1.9842539 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4736795E-4 | 2.7736052E-4 | 1.1212468 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024714705 | 0.0025013965 | 1.0121086 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7412573E-6 | 1.474121E-5 | 3.1091352 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0319549E-5 | 4.031914E-5 | 1.9842539 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4736795E-4 | 2.7736052E-4 | 1.1212468 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024714705 | 0.0025013965 | 1.0121086 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.787391E-6 | 2.787391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1945912E-5 | 2.1945792E-5 | 1.8370965 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543286E-4 | 1.6542994E-4 | 1.1375005 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014534827 | 0.0014734536 | 1.0137401 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.787391E-6 | 2.787391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1945912E-5 | 2.1945792E-5 | 1.8370965 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543286E-4 | 1.6542994E-4 | 1.1375005 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014534827 | 0.0014734536 | 1.0137401 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3228756E-6 | 2.3228756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.955148E-6 | 1.9955049E-5 | 2.0044954 | 1.0E-5 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.21198E-4 | 1.4119557E-4 | 1.1649992 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012113983 | 0.0012313741 | 1.0164899 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.304756E-6 | 2.304756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.8774935E-6 | 1.9877394E-5 | 2.0123925 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.2025265E-4 | 1.4025024E-4 | 1.1662965 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0012019551 | 0.0012219311 | 1.0166196 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.6018896E-6 | 1.6018896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.8652243E-6 | 6.8652243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.3581086E-5 | 8.3581086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.3551527E-4 | 8.3551527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.3828171E-6 | 1.3828171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.926346E-6 | 5.926346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.215102E-5 | 7.215102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.2128983E-4 | 7.2128983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2922828E-6 | 1.2922828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.538344E-6 | 5.538344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.742739E-5 | 6.742739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.7408266E-4 | 6.7408266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.2461003E-6 | 1.2461003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.3404196E-6 | 5.3404196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.5017804E-5 | 6.5017804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.5000093E-4 | 6.5000093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.0366274E-6 | 1.0366274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.4426815E-6 | 4.4426815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.408841E-5 | 5.408841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.4076256E-4 | 5.4076256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.591657E-7 | 8.591657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.682134E-6 | 3.682134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.4829147E-5 | 4.4829147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.4820967E-4 | 4.4820967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 6.0294934E-7 | 6.0294934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.5840664E-6 | 2.5840664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1460622E-5 | 3.1460622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.1456837E-4 | 3.1456837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.1612385E-4 | 1.0942186 | 1.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012913769 | 0.0013113511 | 1.0154673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012953495 | 0.012983106 | 1.002286 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.1612385E-4 | 1.0942186 | 1.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012913769 | 0.0013113511 | 1.0154673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012953495 | 0.012983106 | 1.002286 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.1612385E-4 | 1.0942186 | 1.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012913769 | 0.0013113511 | 1.0154673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012953495 | 0.012983106 | 1.002286 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.1612385E-4 | 1.0942186 | 1.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012913769 | 0.0013113511 | 1.0154673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012953495 | 0.012983106 | 1.002286 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.1612385E-4 | 1.0942186 | 1.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012913769 | 0.0013113511 | 1.0154673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012953495 | 0.012983106 | 1.002286 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.1612385E-4 | 1.0942186 | 1.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012913769 | 0.0013113511 | 1.0154673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012953495 | 0.012983106 | 1.002286 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7214195E-5 | 1.7214195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.377306E-5 | 8.377232E-5 | 1.1355408 | 1.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.978206E-4 | 9.078116E-4 | 1.0111281 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009050315 | 0.0090602245 | 1.0010949 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7214195E-5 | 1.7214195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.377306E-5 | 8.377232E-5 | 1.1355408 | 1.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.978206E-4 | 9.078116E-4 | 1.0111281 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009050315 | 0.0090602245 | 1.0010949 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5473808E-5 | 1.5473808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.631464E-5 | 7.631398E-5 | 1.1507863 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.0708315E-4 | 8.170751E-4 | 1.0123802 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008149754 | 0.008159673 | 1.001217 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5345024E-5 | 1.5345024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.576274E-5 | 7.576208E-5 | 1.1520518 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.0036867E-4 | 8.1036065E-4 | 1.0124842 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008083099 | 0.008093018 | 1.0012271 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.413199E-5 | 1.413199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.0564267E-5 | 6.0564267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.3712104E-4 | 7.3712104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0074546537 | 0.0074546537 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.412236E-5 | 1.412236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0522998E-5 | 6.0522998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.3661894E-4 | 7.3661894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037327618 | 0.007449666 | 0.007449666 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.396965E-5 | 1.396965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 5.986856E-5 | 5.986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.286564E-4 | 7.286564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0073704203 | 0.0073704203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3913106E-5 | 1.3913106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.9626236E-5 | 5.9626236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.2570815E-4 | 7.2570815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036566744 | 0.007340922 | 0.007340922 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3872668E-5 | 1.3872668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.9452937E-5 | 5.9452937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.2359963E-4 | 7.2359963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0073198583 | 0.0073198583 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.3829574E-5 | 1.3829574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.9268255E-5 | 5.9268255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.2135264E-4 | 7.2135264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0072974865 | 0.0072974865 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3788687E-5 | 1.3788687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.909304E-5 | 5.909304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.192208E-4 | 7.192208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036078666 | 0.00727624 | 0.00727624 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.266776E-5 | 1.266776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.428927E-5 | 5.428927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.6077174E-4 | 6.6077174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033317201 | 0.006694865 | 0.006694865 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1535436E-5 | 1.1535436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.9436647E-5 | 4.9436647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.017252E-4 | 6.017252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030563495 | 0.00610041 | 0.00610041 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.113836E-6 | 7.113836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.0487514E-5 | 3.0487514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.711224E-4 | 3.711224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037672876 | 0.0037672876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2877698E-6 | 1.2877698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.5190017E-6 | 5.5190017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.719179E-5 | 6.719179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.9408386E-4 | 6.9408386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1053666E-7 | 1.1053666E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.7372845E-7 | 4.7372845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.767629E-6 | 5.767629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.4533284E-5 | 6.4533284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.4562583E-9 | 2.4562583E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0526822E-8 | 1.0526822E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.2816405E-7 | 1.2816405E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4582747E-6 | 1.4582747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.581008E-5 | 1.581008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7755864E-5 | 6.7755864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246405E-4 | 8.3463226E-4 | 1.0121166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218332 | 0.008248086 | 1.0036204 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.581008E-5 | 1.581008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7755864E-5 | 6.7755864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246405E-4 | 8.3463226E-4 | 1.0121166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218332 | 0.008248086 | 1.0036204 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.581008E-5 | 1.581008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7755864E-5 | 6.7755864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246405E-4 | 8.3463226E-4 | 1.0121166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218332 | 0.008248086 | 1.0036204 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.581008E-5 | 1.581008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7755864E-5 | 6.7755864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246405E-4 | 8.3463226E-4 | 1.0121166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218332 | 0.008248086 | 1.0036204 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4454646E-5 | 1.4454646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.194714E-5 | 6.194714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.539688E-4 | 7.6396123E-4 | 1.0132531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.007516451 | 0.0075462256 | 1.0039612 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4454646E-5 | 1.4454646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.194714E-5 | 6.194714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.539688E-4 | 7.6396123E-4 | 1.0132531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.007516451 | 0.0075462256 | 1.0039612 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.06710795E-5 | 1.06710795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5732424E-5 | 4.5732424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.566555E-4 | 5.6664995E-4 | 1.0179545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055531827 | 0.0055730715 | 1.0035815 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.06710795E-5 | 1.06710795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5732424E-5 | 4.5732424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.566555E-4 | 5.6664995E-4 | 1.0179545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055531827 | 0.0055730715 | 1.0035815 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.0176614E-5 | 1.0176614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.361336E-5 | 4.361336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.3086865E-4 | 5.408633E-4 | 1.0188271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052453685 | 0.005296564 | 0.005316458 | 1.003756 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.54888E-6 | 7.54888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.235195E-5 | 3.235195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.93815E-4 | 3.93815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040209293 | 0.0039313147 | 0.003941275 | 1.0025337 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.9112825E-6 | 6.9112825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.9619452E-5 | 2.9619452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.6055825E-4 | 3.6055825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037173668 | 0.0035998605 | 0.0036098245 | 1.0027679 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.299521E-6 | 5.299521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2712036E-5 | 2.2712036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.7648418E-4 | 2.7648418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0027614427 | 0.002771415 | 1.0036113 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.52664E-6 | 4.52664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.9399742E-5 | 1.9399742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.361664E-4 | 2.361664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025721465 | 0.002359186 | 0.0023691626 | 1.0042287 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.8055994E-6 | 3.8055994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.630961E-5 | 1.630961E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9855151E-4 | 1.9855151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019837697 | 0.0019937498 | 1.0050309 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 3.0437288E-6 | 3.0437288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.3044487E-5 | 1.3044487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5880514E-4 | 1.5880514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018245826 | 0.001586942 | 0.001586942 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.302031E-6 | 2.302031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.865809E-6 | 9.865809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.2010968E-4 | 1.2010968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0012004718 | 0.0012004718 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.4422955E-6 | 1.4422955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.1812516E-6 | 6.1812516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.525418E-5 | 7.525418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.5230823E-4 | 7.5230823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.643642E-7 | 7.643642E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.2758423E-6 | 3.2758423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.9882667E-5 | 3.9882667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.98774E-4 | 3.98774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.32024E-7 | 4.32024E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.8515301E-6 | 1.8515301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.2542152E-5 | 2.2542152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.2541644E-4 | 2.2541644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.3221317E-8 | 5.3221317E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.2809135E-7 | 2.2809135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.77701E-6 | 2.77701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.7769884E-5 | 2.7769884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2798693E-5 | 4.2798365E-5 | 1.3048803 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055884E-4 | 1.6055604E-4 | 1.1422691 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100661 | 0.0017400149 | 1.0175132 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979877 | 0.017009366 | 1.0017368 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2798693E-5 | 4.2798365E-5 | 1.3048803 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055884E-4 | 1.6055604E-4 | 1.1422691 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100661 | 0.0017400149 | 1.0175132 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979877 | 0.017009366 | 1.0017368 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2798693E-5 | 4.2798365E-5 | 1.3048803 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055884E-4 | 1.6055604E-4 | 1.1422691 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100661 | 0.0017400149 | 1.0175132 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979877 | 0.017009366 | 1.0017368 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8330758E-5 | 1.8330758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.8558136E-5 | 8.8557346E-5 | 1.1272843 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.560443E-4 | 9.760252E-4 | 1.0208995 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009521238 | 0.009541048 | 1.0020806 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8330758E-5 | 1.8330758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.8558136E-5 | 8.8557346E-5 | 1.1272843 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.560443E-4 | 9.760252E-4 | 1.0208995 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009521238 | 0.009541048 | 1.0020806 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3693284E-5 | 1.3693284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.8684243E-5 | 6.868366E-5 | 1.1703935 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.142568E-4 | 7.2424964E-4 | 1.0139905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066292146 | 0.0071206638 | 0.0071305926 | 1.0013944 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.3685371E-5 | 1.3685371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.865033E-5 | 6.8649744E-5 | 1.170492 | 1.0E-5 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.138442E-4 | 7.2383706E-4 | 1.0139986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066252467 | 0.007116564 | 0.007126493 | 1.0013952 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0885733E-5 | 1.0885733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.6652345E-5 | 5.665188E-5 | 1.2143415 | 1.0E-5 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.6785136E-4 | 5.7784567E-4 | 1.0176003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005287399 | 0.005664715 | 0.0056746583 | 1.0017554 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.9325695E-6 | 8.9325695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.828191E-5 | 4.8281527E-5 | 1.26121 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.6598824E-4 | 4.7598357E-4 | 1.0214498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004347378 | 0.004650676 | 0.0046606297 | 1.0021403 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.5364194E-6 | 5.5364194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.3727313E-5 | 2.3727313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.88845E-4 | 2.88845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027063051 | 0.0028850166 | 0.0028850166 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.643357E-6 | 4.643357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9899966E-5 | 1.9899966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.4225812E-4 | 2.4225812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022720827 | 0.0024202333 | 0.0024202333 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.231036E-6 | 3.231036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.3847239E-5 | 1.3847239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6857972E-4 | 1.6857972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001584897 | 0.001684776 | 0.001684776 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7333118E-6 | 1.7333118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.4284694E-6 | 7.4284694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 9.043993E-5 | 9.043993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5658056E-4 | 9.0423395E-4 | 9.0423395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.2952312E-7 | 3.2952312E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.4122412E-6 | 1.4122412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.7193901E-5 | 1.7193901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.7192581E-4 | 1.7192581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.1006346E-7 | 2.1006346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 9.002717E-7 | 9.002717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.0960753E-5 | 1.0960753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.0960216E-4 | 1.0960216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.06959774E-7 | 1.06959774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.5839894E-7 | 4.5839894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.580993E-6 | 5.580993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.580854E-5 | 5.580854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.336394E-8 | 3.336394E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.429883E-7 | 1.429883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.7408811E-6 | 1.7408811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.7408676E-5 | 1.7408676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 8.002803E-9 | 8.002803E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 3.4297724E-8 | 3.4297724E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 4.175747E-7 | 4.175747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 4.1757394E-6 | 4.1757394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 7.6083606E-10 | 7.6083606E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 3.2607255E-9 | 3.2607255E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 3.969933E-8 | 3.969933E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 3.9699327E-7 | 3.9699327E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 1.9552174E-4 | 1.0538915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022763766 | 1.0088435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.02331479 | 1.0012584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 1.9552174E-4 | 1.0538915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022763766 | 1.0088435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.02331479 | 1.0012584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 1.9552174E-4 | 1.0538915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022763766 | 1.0088435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.02331479 | 1.0012584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 1.9552174E-4 | 1.0538915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022763766 | 1.0088435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.02331479 | 1.0012584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 1.9552174E-4 | 1.0538915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022763766 | 1.0088435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.02331479 | 1.0012584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.007384E-5 | 5.007344E-5 | 1.2495294 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7173376E-4 | 1.8173203E-4 | 1.0582197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.002088859 | 0.0021088172 | 1.0095546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021582697 | 0.02161205 | 1.00136 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.007384E-5 | 5.007344E-5 | 1.2495294 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7173376E-4 | 1.8173203E-4 | 1.0582197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.002088859 | 0.0021088172 | 1.0095546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021582697 | 0.02161205 | 1.00136 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.949657E-5 | 4.949617E-5 | 1.2531766 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6926005E-4 | 1.7925835E-4 | 1.0590707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.002058799 | 0.0020787576 | 1.0096945 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021274779 | 0.02130414 | 1.0013801 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.9352853E-5 | 4.935246E-5 | 1.2541012 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6864421E-4 | 1.7864253E-4 | 1.0592865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020513153 | 0.0020712742 | 1.0097299 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.02120038 | 0.021229744 | 1.0013851 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9057773E-5 | 4.905738E-5 | 1.256021 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6737974E-4 | 1.7737807E-4 | 1.0597343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020359491 | 0.0020559083 | 1.0098034 | 2.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021039387 | 0.021068756 | 1.001396 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.7918566E-5 | 4.7918187E-5 | 1.263713 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6249805E-4 | 1.7249642E-4 | 1.0615292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0019766234 | 0.0019965838 | 1.0100982 | 2.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.02043281 | 0.020462196 | 1.0014383 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.6381425E-5 | 4.6381065E-5 | 1.2748555 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5591111E-4 | 1.6590954E-4 | 1.0641291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0018965693 | 0.0019165314 | 1.0105253 | 2.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.01960793 | 0.019637343 | 1.0015 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4732413E-5 | 4.4732067E-5 | 1.2879055 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4884473E-4 | 1.5884325E-4 | 1.0671741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018106819 | 0.0018306456 | 1.0110255 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.018725147 | 0.018754585 | 1.0015721 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.3828E-5 | 4.3827662E-5 | 1.295603 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.449691E-4 | 1.5496765E-4 | 1.0689702 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017635735 | 0.0017835381 | 1.0113206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018233053 | 0.018262506 | 1.0016154 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.3466327E-5 | 4.3465992E-5 | 1.2987978 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4341925E-4 | 1.5341782E-4 | 1.0697156 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017447342 | 0.0017646994 | 1.011443 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018037783 | 0.01806724 | 1.0016332 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2180662E-5 | 4.218034E-5 | 1.3107356 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.3790985E-4 | 1.4790847E-4 | 1.0725012 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016777625 | 0.0016977289 | 1.0119007 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.017354406 | 0.017383887 | 1.0016986 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9496878E-5 | 3.9496583E-5 | 1.3390089 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2640908E-4 | 1.3640782E-4 | 1.0790982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015379463 | 0.0015579155 | 1.0129844 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.015942672 | 0.015972195 | 1.0018518 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6088961E-5 | 3.60887E-5 | 1.3832939 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.1180505E-4 | 1.2180393E-4 | 1.0894314 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013603775 | 0.0013803503 | 1.0146818 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.014165312 | 0.014194887 | 1.0020878 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3501236E-5 | 3.3501E-5 | 1.4254996 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.007157E-4 | 1.1071469E-4 | 1.0992794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012255247 | 0.0012455002 | 1.0162995 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.01280721 | 0.012836826 | 1.0023124 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.8904842E-5 | 2.8904653E-5 | 1.528955 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.101824E-5 | 9.101743E-5 | 1.123419 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.859514E-4 | 0.0010059318 | 1.020265 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.01039224 | 0.010421929 | 1.0028567 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5738E-5 | 2.5737843E-5 | 1.6353947 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.744683E-5 | 7.744616E-5 | 1.1482549 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2085654E-4 | 8.308483E-4 | 1.0121723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.0087014325 | 0.0087212585 | 1.0022784 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.267833E-6 | 1.826775E-5 | 2.2094967 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.543309E-5 | 4.543274E-5 | 1.282212 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.3131303E-4 | 4.4130872E-4 | 1.023175 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.004638954 | 0.004648908 | 1.0021456 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5519201E-6 | 1.5519201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.6510697E-6 | 6.6510697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.097379E-5 | 8.097379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.3998964E-4 | 9.3998964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6089054E-7 | 3.6089054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5466729E-6 | 1.5466729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8830584E-5 | 1.8830584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.271723E-4 | 2.271723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058024 | 0.0012157904 | 1.0082833 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042377 | 0.012072016 | 1.0024612 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058024 | 0.0012157904 | 1.0082833 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042377 | 0.012072016 | 1.0024612 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058024 | 0.0012157904 | 1.0082833 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042377 | 0.012072016 | 1.0024612 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058024 | 0.0012157904 | 1.0082833 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042377 | 0.012072016 | 1.0024612 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058024 | 0.0012157904 | 1.0082833 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042377 | 0.012072016 | 1.0024612 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.005047E-5 | 2.005047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593058E-5 | 8.593058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462046 | 0.0010561942 | 1.0095483 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462015 | 0.010491701 | 1.0028375 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.005047E-5 | 2.005047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593058E-5 | 8.593058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462046 | 0.0010561942 | 1.0095483 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462015 | 0.010491701 | 1.0028375 | 3.0E-5 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7926262E-5 | 3.7925984E-5 | 1.3580759 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.19678734E-4 | 1.3967634E-4 | 1.1670941 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014561578 | 0.0014761287 | 1.0137148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.014470716 | 0.014500282 | 1.0020431 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7573033E-5 | 2.7572856E-5 | 1.5690438 | 1.0E-5 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.5310876E-5 | 9.530937E-5 | 1.2655458 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 9.165336E-4 | 9.365153E-4 | 1.0218014 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.009128544 | 0.0091582695 | 1.0032564 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.33271515E-5 | 1.33271515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.711513E-5 | 6.711455E-5 | 1.1750749 | 1.0E-5 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.951574E-4 | 7.051504E-4 | 1.0143752 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069301226 | 0.006949984 | 1.0028659 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1178941E-5 | 1.1178941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7908874E-5 | 5.7908397E-5 | 1.2087196 | 1.0E-5 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.831354E-4 | 5.9312955E-4 | 1.0171387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.005816171 | 0.005826113 | 1.0017093 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0000804E-5 | 1.0000804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2859887E-5 | 4.2859887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.216947E-4 | 5.216947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006304447 | 0.0052047675 | 0.0052047675 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.36731E-6 | 9.36731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0144998E-5 | 4.0144998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.8865617E-4 | 4.8865617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059054173 | 0.004875876 | 0.004875876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.135249E-6 | 8.135249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.4864886E-5 | 3.4864886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2439753E-4 | 4.2439753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042359033 | 0.0042359033 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.318275E-6 | 7.318275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.136366E-5 | 3.136366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8178582E-4 | 3.8178582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004610224 | 0.003811325 | 0.003811325 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.3916254E-6 | 6.3916254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.7392392E-5 | 2.7392392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.334515E-4 | 3.334515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.003329533 | 0.003329533 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.458197E-6 | 5.458197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3392064E-5 | 2.3392064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.847613E-4 | 2.847613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.002843981 | 0.002843981 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.569857E-6 | 4.569857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9584955E-5 | 1.9584955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3842085E-4 | 2.3842085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023816647 | 0.0023816647 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7523525E-6 | 3.7523525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6081412E-5 | 1.6081412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9577371E-4 | 1.9577371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.0019560247 | 0.0019560247 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.4248786E-6 | 2.4248786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0392296E-5 | 1.0392296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2651886E-4 | 1.2651886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.001264471 | 0.001264471 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7686885E-6 | 1.7686885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.5800717E-6 | 7.5800717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.2283466E-5 | 9.2283466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.224534E-4 | 9.224534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4379352E-6 | 1.4379352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1625647E-6 | 6.1625647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.502665E-5 | 7.502665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.5001497E-4 | 7.5001497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1302084E-6 | 1.1302084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.843741E-6 | 4.843741E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.8970953E-5 | 5.8970953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.895547E-4 | 5.895547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.676674E-7 | 7.676674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2899989E-6 | 3.2899989E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.0055E-5 | 4.0055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0047945E-4 | 4.0047945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0044617E-7 | 4.0044617E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7161967E-6 | 1.7161967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0894495E-5 | 2.0894495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0892687E-4 | 2.0892687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5284915E-7 | 1.5284915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.5506765E-7 | 6.5506765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.975419E-6 | 7.975419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.9752856E-5 | 7.9752856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.620623E-8 | 4.620623E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.980267E-7 | 1.980267E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.4109722E-6 | 2.4109722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4110974E-5 | 2.4110974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.008415E-10 | 9.008415E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.860749E-9 | 3.860749E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.700462E-8 | 4.700462E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.713628E-7 | 4.713628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.7090944E-5 | 4.7090944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0180384E-4 | 2.0180384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024543896 | 0.002464365 | 1.0040643 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021239553 | 0.024293464 | 0.024322735 | 1.0012048 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864874E-5 | 2.3864874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.02274185E-4 | 1.02274185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445059 | 0.0012544935 | 1.0080253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.012378406 | 0.012388282 | 1.0007979 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864874E-5 | 2.3864874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.02274185E-4 | 1.02274185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445059 | 0.0012544935 | 1.0080253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.012378406 | 0.012388282 | 1.0007979 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.707436E-5 | 1.707436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.317385E-5 | 7.317385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9053944E-4 | 8.9053944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007878214 | 0.00887096 | 0.00887096 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3852871E-5 | 1.3852871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9368143E-5 | 5.9368143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.225755E-4 | 7.225755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006419184 | 0.007203098 | 0.007203098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0117E-5 | 1.0117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.335788E-5 | 4.335788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.2775966E-4 | 5.2775966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004716845 | 0.005265601 | 0.005265601 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.400708E-6 | 8.400708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.6002562E-5 | 3.6002562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3824734E-4 | 4.3824734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043742605 | 0.0043742605 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.0873635E-6 | 6.0873635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6088457E-5 | 2.6088457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1758394E-4 | 3.1758394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031716225 | 0.0031716225 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.08313E-6 | 4.08313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7499025E-5 | 1.7499025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1303231E-4 | 2.1303231E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.002128526 | 0.002128526 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6292657E-6 | 2.6292657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1268233E-5 | 1.1268233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3718213E-4 | 1.3718213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013709774 | 0.0013709774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4827739E-6 | 2.4827739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0640416E-5 | 1.0640416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2953939E-4 | 1.2953939E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.001294641 | 0.001294641 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.373246E-6 | 2.373246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0171014E-5 | 1.0171014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2382507E-4 | 1.2382507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012375629 | 0.0012375629 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.27615E-6 | 2.27615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.754892E-6 | 9.754892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1875936E-4 | 1.1875936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011869608 | 0.0011869608 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1087155E-6 | 2.1087155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.0373205E-6 | 9.0373205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.10023844E-4 | 1.10023844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010996955 | 0.0010996955 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8045704E-6 | 1.8045704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.73385E-6 | 7.73385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.415557E-5 | 9.415557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.4115845E-4 | 9.4115845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.512201E-7 | 9.512201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0766513E-6 | 4.0766513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9632108E-5 | 4.9632108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962114E-4 | 4.962114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0529284E-7 | 4.0529284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7369682E-6 | 1.7369682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1147389E-5 | 2.1147389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1145442E-4 | 2.1145442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.339041E-8 | 6.339041E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7167314E-7 | 2.7167314E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3076155E-6 | 3.3076155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.307567E-5 | 3.307567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964147E-9 | 1.3964147E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.984634E-9 | 5.984634E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.286292E-8 | 7.286292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.28629E-7 | 7.28629E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range - Oceano 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6025788E-6 | 1.6201185E-6 | 1.6201185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8681766E-6 | 6.9433486E-6 | 1.6943279E-5 | 2.4402173 | 1.0E-5 | 8.361684E-5 | 8.453241E-5 | 9.453156E-5 | 1.1182878 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3585386E-4 | 8.4504334E-4 | 8.6502644E-4 | 1.0236474 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6025788E-6 | 1.6201185E-6 | 1.6201185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8681766E-6 | 6.9433486E-6 | 1.6943279E-5 | 2.4402173 | 1.0E-5 | 8.361684E-5 | 8.453241E-5 | 9.453156E-5 | 1.1182878 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3585386E-4 | 8.4504334E-4 | 8.6502644E-4 | 1.0236474 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6025788E-6 | 1.6201185E-6 | 1.6201185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8681766E-6 | 6.9433486E-6 | 1.6943279E-5 | 2.4402173 | 1.0E-5 | 8.361684E-5 | 8.453241E-5 | 9.453156E-5 | 1.1182878 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3585386E-4 | 8.4504334E-4 | 8.6502644E-4 | 1.0236474 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6025788E-6 | 1.6201185E-6 | 1.6201185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8681766E-6 | 6.9433486E-6 | 1.6943279E-5 | 2.4402173 | 1.0E-5 | 8.361684E-5 | 8.453241E-5 | 9.453156E-5 | 1.1182878 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3585386E-4 | 8.4504334E-4 | 8.6502644E-4 | 1.0236474 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1621186E-6 | 1.174989E-6 | 1.174989E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.980499E-6 | 5.0356593E-6 | 5.0356593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0635884E-5 | 6.13077E-5 | 7.1307084E-5 | 1.1631017 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0619344E-4 | 6.1293447E-4 | 6.229283E-4 | 1.016305 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1621186E-6 | 1.174989E-6 | 1.174989E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.980499E-6 | 5.0356593E-6 | 5.0356593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0635884E-5 | 6.13077E-5 | 7.1307084E-5 | 1.1631017 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0619344E-4 | 6.1293447E-4 | 6.229283E-4 | 1.016305 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.164729E-7 | 7.248576E-7 | 7.248576E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0705946E-6 | 3.106529E-6 | 3.106529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.738385E-5 | 3.782135E-5 | 4.7820973E-5 | 1.264391 | 1.0E-5 | 3.737756E-4 | 3.781509E-4 | 3.8814713E-4 | 1.0264344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.164729E-7 | 7.248576E-7 | 7.248576E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0705946E-6 | 3.106529E-6 | 3.106529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.738385E-5 | 3.782135E-5 | 4.7820973E-5 | 1.264391 | 1.0E-5 | 3.737756E-4 | 3.781509E-4 | 3.8814713E-4 | 1.0264344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.700177E-7 | 6.7774374E-7 | 6.7774374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8715012E-6 | 2.904613E-6 | 2.904613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.495997E-5 | 3.5363108E-5 | 4.536275E-5 | 1.2827706 | 1.0E-5 | 3.495447E-4 | 3.535764E-4 | 3.6357288E-4 | 1.0282724 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.657865E-7 | 5.7217846E-7 | 5.7217846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.424797E-6 | 2.4521912E-6 | 2.4521912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9521503E-5 | 2.985503E-5 | 2.985503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9517582E-4 | 2.9851127E-4 | 2.9851127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.608413E-7 | 4.6601676E-7 | 4.6601676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9750328E-6 | 1.997213E-6 | 1.997213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4045758E-5 | 2.4315803E-5 | 2.4315803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4043156E-4 | 2.4313171E-4 | 2.4313171E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.9177846E-7 | 3.962159E-7 | 3.962159E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6790494E-6 | 1.6980671E-6 | 1.6980671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0442236E-5 | 2.0673771E-5 | 2.0673771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0440355E-4 | 2.0671864E-4 | 2.0671864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3974752E-7 | 3.436652E-7 | 3.436652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45606E-6 | 1.4728499E-6 | 1.4728499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7727387E-5 | 1.7931801E-5 | 1.7931801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7725973E-4 | 1.7930366E-4 | 1.7930366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.8900928E-7 | 2.9234008E-7 | 2.9234008E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2386106E-6 | 1.2528855E-6 | 1.2528855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5079979E-5 | 1.5253775E-5 | 1.5253775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5078956E-4 | 1.5252737E-4 | 1.5252737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1881527E-7 | 2.2139587E-7 | 2.2139587E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3777936E-7 | 9.488391E-7 | 9.488391E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14174045E-5 | 1.1552055E-5 | 1.1552055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1416818E-4 | 1.155146E-4 | 1.155146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.356398E-7 | 1.3718635E-7 | 1.3718635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.813133E-7 | 5.879414E-7 | 5.879414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0774663E-6 | 7.1581626E-6 | 7.1581626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077241E-5 | 7.157935E-5 | 7.157935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.9269272E-8 | 6.0013626E-8 | 6.0013626E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5401116E-7 | 2.572012E-7 | 2.572012E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0925814E-6 | 3.1314203E-6 | 3.1314203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0925385E-5 | 3.1313775E-5 | 3.1313775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.946232E-9 | 6.036925E-9 | 6.036925E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5483851E-8 | 2.5872538E-8 | 2.5872538E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1026585E-7 | 3.149981E-7 | 3.149981E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.102654E-6 | 3.1499774E-6 | 3.1499774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 3.816879E-5 | 2.1007469 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 9.786393E-5 | 1.2568332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.775752E-4 | 1.0316288 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009466263 | 1.0031492 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 3.816879E-5 | 2.1007469 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 9.786393E-5 | 1.2568332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.775752E-4 | 1.0316288 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009466263 | 1.0031492 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 3.816879E-5 | 2.1007469 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 9.786393E-5 | 1.2568332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.775752E-4 | 1.0316288 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009466263 | 1.0031492 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 3.816879E-5 | 2.1007469 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 9.786393E-5 | 1.2568332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.775752E-4 | 1.0316288 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009466263 | 1.0031492 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 3.816879E-5 | 2.1007469 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 9.786393E-5 | 1.2568332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.775752E-4 | 1.0316288 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009466263 | 1.0031492 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 3.816879E-5 | 2.1007469 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 9.786393E-5 | 1.2568332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.775752E-4 | 1.0316288 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009466263 | 1.0031492 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 3.816879E-5 | 2.1007469 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 9.786393E-5 | 1.2568332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.775752E-4 | 1.0316288 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009466263 | 1.0031492 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 3.816879E-5 | 2.1007469 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 9.786393E-5 | 1.2568332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.775752E-4 | 1.0316288 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009466263 | 1.0031492 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7936884E-5 | 3.7936523E-5 | 2.115001 | 2.0E-5 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.687011E-5 | 9.686857E-5 | 1.2601591 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012120095 | 9.3549537E-4 | 9.654673E-4 | 1.0320386 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012054204 | 0.009316416 | 0.009346137 | 1.0031902 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.7432323E-5 | 3.7431975E-5 | 2.147274 | 2.0E-5 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.470784E-5 | 9.470634E-5 | 1.2676896 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011869454 | 9.091918E-4 | 9.3916454E-4 | 1.0329664 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011806256 | 0.00905554 | 0.009085268 | 1.0032829 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7066077E-5 | 3.7065736E-5 | 2.1718955 | 2.0E-5 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.31383E-5 | 9.3136834E-5 | 1.2734345 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011682777 | 8.900984E-4 | 9.2007173E-4 | 1.0336741 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011621549 | 0.008866135 | 0.008895869 | 1.0033537 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.6585966E-5 | 3.6585632E-5 | 2.205819 | 2.0E-5 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.108079E-5 | 9.107937E-5 | 1.28135 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011405671 | 8.6506834E-4 | 8.9504244E-4 | 1.0346494 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011347309 | 0.008617799 | 0.00864754 | 1.0034511 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.5564516E-5 | 3.5564204E-5 | 2.284954 | 2.0E-5 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.670338E-5 | 8.670205E-5 | 1.2998148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010802611 | 8.1181433E-4 | 8.4179E-4 | 1.0369242 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010750249 | 0.00808925 | 0.008119007 | 1.0036787 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3996794E-5 | 2.3996654E-5 | 1.7144393 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.9984897E-5 | 6.99843E-5 | 1.1666986 | 1.0E-5 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.300744E-4 | 7.400671E-4 | 1.0136873 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009559342 | 0.007277458 | 0.0072873854 | 1.0013641 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.2850027E-5 | 2.28499E-5 | 1.7781985 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.50704E-5 | 6.506985E-5 | 1.1815758 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.702787E-4 | 6.80272E-4 | 1.0149091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00875714 | 0.006683225 | 0.0066931583 | 1.0014863 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.577392E-6 | 1.9577297E-5 | 2.0441155 | 1.0E-5 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.104533E-5 | 5.104492E-5 | 1.243623 | 1.0E-5 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.996139E-4 | 5.096089E-4 | 1.0200055 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006668452 | 0.004985026 | 0.0049949763 | 1.001996 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.8548847E-6 | 3.8548847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6520831E-5 | 1.6520831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0112265E-4 | 2.0112265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0020094172 | 0.0020094172 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3406994E-6 | 2.3406994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.003153E-5 | 1.003153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2212711E-4 | 1.2212711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012206073 | 0.0012206073 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0564368E-6 | 1.0564368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.5275788E-6 | 4.5275788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.5121895E-5 | 5.5121895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.5108423E-4 | 5.5108423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.697784E-7 | 1.697784E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.276215E-7 | 7.276215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.858756E-6 | 8.858756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.858406E-5 | 8.858406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.6886624E-8 | 2.6886624E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.1522838E-7 | 1.1522838E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4029047E-6 | 1.4029047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.4028963E-5 | 1.4028963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6595903E-6 | 1.6659524E-5 | 2.5015838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.854079E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 1.3503658 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4742878E-4 | 3.574253E-4 | 1.0287728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035488552 | 0.0035787488 | 1.0084234 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6595903E-6 | 1.6659524E-5 | 2.5015838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.854079E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 1.3503658 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4742878E-4 | 3.574253E-4 | 1.0287728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035488552 | 0.0035787488 | 1.0084234 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6595903E-6 | 1.6659524E-5 | 2.5015838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.854079E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 1.3503658 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4742878E-4 | 3.574253E-4 | 1.0287728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035488552 | 0.0035787488 | 1.0084234 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6595903E-6 | 1.6659524E-5 | 2.5015838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.854079E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 1.3503658 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4742878E-4 | 3.574253E-4 | 1.0287728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035488552 | 0.0035787488 | 1.0084234 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6595903E-6 | 1.6659524E-5 | 2.5015838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.854079E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 1.3503658 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4742878E-4 | 3.574253E-4 | 1.0287728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035488552 | 0.0035787488 | 1.0084234 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.619808E-6 | 1.6619742E-5 | 2.5106077 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.83703E-5 | 3.8370013E-5 | 1.3524714 | 1.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4535374E-4 | 3.5535026E-4 | 1.0289458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035281708 | 0.0035580648 | 1.008473 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.619808E-6 | 1.6619742E-5 | 2.5106077 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.83703E-5 | 3.8370013E-5 | 1.3524714 | 1.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4535374E-4 | 3.5535026E-4 | 1.0289458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035281708 | 0.0035580648 | 1.008473 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.538985E-6 | 1.653892E-5 | 2.5292792 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8023922E-5 | 3.802364E-5 | 1.356828 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.411379E-4 | 3.5113448E-4 | 1.0293037 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0034861453 | 0.0035160407 | 1.0085754 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.533475E-6 | 1.653341E-5 | 2.530569 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8000306E-5 | 3.8000027E-5 | 1.357129 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4085047E-4 | 3.5084705E-4 | 1.0293283 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.00348328 | 0.0035131755 | 1.0085826 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.5248687E-6 | 1.6524804E-5 | 2.5325878 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.7963424E-5 | 3.7963146E-5 | 1.3576 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4040157E-4 | 3.503982E-4 | 1.0293671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.003478805 | 0.0035087008 | 1.0085937 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.5149898E-6 | 1.6514925E-5 | 2.5349119 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.7921087E-5 | 3.7920807E-5 | 1.3581423 | 1.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.398863E-4 | 3.4988287E-4 | 1.0294116 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0034736684 | 0.003503564 | 1.0086064 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.5037016E-6 | 1.6503636E-5 | 2.537576 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.787271E-5 | 3.7872433E-5 | 1.3587638 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.3929746E-4 | 3.4929407E-4 | 1.0294627 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0034677996 | 0.0034976956 | 1.008621 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.485668E-6 | 1.6485603E-5 | 2.541851 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.7795426E-5 | 3.7795147E-5 | 1.3597615 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.3835683E-4 | 3.4835344E-4 | 1.0295446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034584268 | 0.003488323 | 1.0086445 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.466454E-6 | 1.6466389E-5 | 2.5464327 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.771308E-5 | 3.77128E-5 | 1.3608304 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.3735458E-4 | 3.4735122E-4 | 1.0296324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0034484495 | 0.0034783462 | 1.0086696 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.4475407E-6 | 1.6447477E-5 | 2.550969 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7632026E-5 | 3.7631748E-5 | 1.3618889 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.3636804E-4 | 3.463647E-4 | 1.0297194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.003438632 | 0.0034685289 | 1.0086944 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.4238147E-6 | 1.642375E-5 | 2.5566974 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.7530345E-5 | 3.753007E-5 | 1.3632256 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.3513046E-4 | 3.451271E-4 | 1.0298291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.003426305 | 0.0034562023 | 1.0087258 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.382924E-6 | 1.638286E-5 | 2.5666702 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7355101E-5 | 3.735483E-5 | 1.3655525 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.3299756E-4 | 3.429942E-4 | 1.0300202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.003405038 | 0.003434936 | 1.0087805 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.1754195E-6 | 1.6175358E-5 | 2.6193132 | 1.0E-5 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.6465816E-5 | 3.646555E-5 | 1.3778359 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2217373E-4 | 3.3217052E-4 | 1.0310291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0032966493 | 0.0033265504 | 1.0090702 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.736509E-6 | 1.5736452E-5 | 2.7432106 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.4584808E-5 | 3.4584562E-5 | 1.4067453 | 1.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 2.9927897E-4 | 3.09276E-4 | 1.0334036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0030667698 | 0.0030966778 | 1.0097523 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.0762266E-6 | 1.4076186E-5 | 3.4532394 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7469425E-5 | 2.746925E-5 | 1.5724187 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.1266953E-4 | 2.2266741E-4 | 1.0470113 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0021939029 | 0.002223837 | 1.0136442 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.531063E-6 | 1.2531038E-5 | 4.950899 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0847369E-5 | 2.084726E-5 | 1.9218726 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3205873E-4 | 1.4205741E-4 | 1.0757139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013754078 | 0.0013953802 | 1.0145211 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2183608E-6 | 1.1218349E-5 | 9.207739 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.221536E-6 | 1.5221483E-5 | 2.9151351 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.357037E-5 | 7.356973E-5 | 1.157296 | 1.0E-5 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.6903053E-4 | 6.790238E-4 | 1.014937 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.1797568E-7 | 2.1797568E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.341812E-7 | 9.341812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1373597E-5 | 1.1373597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.2776689E-4 | 1.2776689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.7504173E-8 | 4.7504173E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.035893E-7 | 2.035893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.4786968E-6 | 2.4786968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.8665521E-5 | 2.8665521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 1.6066548E-5 | 2.6483576 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999527E-5 | 3.5999266E-5 | 1.3846124 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650488E-4 | 3.3649855E-4 | 1.0631702 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161193 | 0.003191098 | 1.0094601 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 1.6066548E-5 | 2.6483576 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999527E-5 | 3.5999266E-5 | 1.3846124 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650488E-4 | 3.3649855E-4 | 1.0631702 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161193 | 0.003191098 | 1.0094601 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 1.6066548E-5 | 2.6483576 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999527E-5 | 3.5999266E-5 | 1.3846124 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650488E-4 | 3.3649855E-4 | 1.0631702 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161193 | 0.003191098 | 1.0094601 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 1.6066548E-5 | 2.6483576 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999527E-5 | 3.5999266E-5 | 1.3846124 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650488E-4 | 3.3649855E-4 | 1.0631702 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161193 | 0.003191098 | 1.0094601 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5571218E-6 | 3.5571218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5244725E-5 | 1.5244725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8558982E-4 | 1.9558796E-4 | 1.0538722 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018544566 | 0.0018644381 | 1.0053824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.499056E-6 | 3.499056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.4995874E-5 | 1.4995874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8256057E-4 | 1.9255874E-4 | 1.0547663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018242141 | 0.0018341959 | 1.0054718 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3325706E-6 | 2.3325706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.996696E-6 | 9.996696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.217034E-4 | 1.3170218E-4 | 1.082157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024200242 | 0.00121641 | 0.0012263978 | 1.0082109 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6482956E-6 | 1.6482956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.064106E-6 | 7.064106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.6002285E-5 | 8.6002285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060454 | 8.597085E-4 | 8.597085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2244749E-6 | 1.2244749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.2477394E-6 | 5.2477394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.388945E-5 | 6.388945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017921652 | 6.387199E-4 | 6.387199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0033302E-6 | 1.0033302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.29998E-6 | 4.29998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.235108E-5 | 5.235108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016353652 | 5.233951E-4 | 5.233951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.428222E-7 | 7.428222E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.18352E-6 | 3.18352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8758717E-5 | 3.8758717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8752457E-4 | 3.8752457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4223744E-7 | 5.4223744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.323873E-6 | 2.323873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8292827E-5 | 2.8292827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.828963E-4 | 2.828963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.07402464E-7 | 1.07402464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.602962E-7 | 4.602962E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.604093E-6 | 5.604093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6039633E-5 | 5.6039633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0002754E-8 | 5.0002754E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.142975E-7 | 2.142975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6090695E-6 | 2.6090695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6090434E-5 | 2.6090434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 2.198469E-5 | 1.8343796 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 7.136149E-5 | 1.389369 | 2.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251706E-4 | 6.551518E-4 | 1.047957 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006246196 | 0.0062760087 | 1.0047729 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 2.198469E-5 | 1.8343796 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 7.136149E-5 | 1.389369 | 2.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251706E-4 | 6.551518E-4 | 1.047957 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006246196 | 0.0062760087 | 1.0047729 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 2.198469E-5 | 1.8343796 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 7.136149E-5 | 1.389369 | 2.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251706E-4 | 6.551518E-4 | 1.047957 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006246196 | 0.0062760087 | 1.0047729 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 2.198469E-5 | 1.8343796 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 7.136149E-5 | 1.389369 | 2.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251706E-4 | 6.551518E-4 | 1.047957 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006246196 | 0.0062760087 | 1.0047729 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 2.198469E-5 | 1.8343796 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 7.136149E-5 | 1.389369 | 2.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251706E-4 | 6.551518E-4 | 1.047957 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006246196 | 0.0062760087 | 1.0047729 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.7165705E-6 | 7.7165705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3070603E-5 | 3.3070603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0256127E-4 | 4.1255724E-4 | 1.0248309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003506398 | 0.0040293983 | 0.004039358 | 1.0024718 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.7165705E-6 | 7.7165705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3070603E-5 | 3.3070603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0256127E-4 | 4.1255724E-4 | 1.0248309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003506398 | 0.0040293983 | 0.004039358 | 1.0024718 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 7.245491E-6 | 7.245491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6892068E-5 | 3.105174E-5 | 3.105174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2736175E-4 | 3.7799033E-4 | 3.8798654E-4 | 1.0264457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032687993 | 0.0037845452 | 0.0037945074 | 1.0026324 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 6.9582115E-6 | 6.9582115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5697784E-5 | 2.982057E-5 | 2.982057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.128256E-4 | 3.630059E-4 | 3.7300226E-4 | 1.0275377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003123856 | 0.003635198 | 0.0036451619 | 1.0027409 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 6.623257E-6 | 6.623257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4369761E-5 | 2.8385084E-5 | 2.8385084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9666146E-4 | 3.455345E-4 | 3.5553102E-4 | 1.0289307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029626573 | 0.0034610399 | 0.0034710052 | 1.0028793 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 6.1471414E-6 | 6.1471414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.242688E-5 | 2.634463E-5 | 2.634463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7301308E-4 | 3.2069944E-4 | 3.2069944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002726779 | 0.0032134214 | 0.0032134214 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 6.037267E-6 | 6.037267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2009834E-5 | 2.587375E-5 | 2.587375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6793676E-4 | 3.149681E-4 | 3.149681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026761394 | 0.0031562725 | 0.0031562725 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 5.8706473E-6 | 5.8706473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1381518E-5 | 2.515968E-5 | 2.515968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6028889E-4 | 3.062768E-4 | 3.062768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025998424 | 0.003069602 | 0.003069602 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 5.7022025E-6 | 5.7022025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0665291E-5 | 2.4437786E-5 | 2.4437786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5157086E-4 | 2.9749016E-4 | 2.9749016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025128627 | 0.002981975 | 0.002981975 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 5.590761E-6 | 5.590761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193436E-5 | 2.3960187E-5 | 2.3960187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4582737E-4 | 2.9167696E-4 | 2.9167696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002455556 | 0.0029239964 | 0.0029239964 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 5.436129E-6 | 5.436129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9502659E-5 | 2.329749E-5 | 2.329749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37419E-4 | 2.8361077E-4 | 2.8361077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002371655 | 0.0028435425 | 0.0028435425 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 5.2290106E-6 | 5.2290106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861545E-5 | 2.2409857E-5 | 2.2409857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2661954E-4 | 2.7280662E-4 | 2.7280662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022638857 | 0.0027357617 | 0.0027357617 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 2.7436556E-6 | 2.7436556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2583803E-5 | 1.1758471E-5 | 1.1758471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5319703E-4 | 1.4315001E-4 | 1.4315001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015309147 | 0.0014378818 | 0.0014378818 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 9.121426E-7 | 9.121426E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.232116E-6 | 3.9091765E-6 | 3.9091765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.587337E-5 | 4.759319E-5 | 4.759319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.584747E-4 | 4.807264E-4 | 4.807264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 2.4161702E-7 | 2.4161702E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 1.0355011E-6 | 1.0355011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 1.2607153E-5 | 1.2607153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2250296E-4 | 1.2914473E-4 | 1.2914473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 7.670804E-8 | 7.670804E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 3.2874868E-7 | 3.2874868E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 4.002508E-6 | 4.002508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 4.214537E-5 | 4.214537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 4.144662E-8 | 4.144662E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 1.7762837E-7 | 1.7762837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 2.162623E-6 | 2.162623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 2.2937164E-5 | 2.2937164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 1.4029061E-8 | 1.4029061E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 6.012455E-8 | 6.012455E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 7.3201613E-7 | 7.3201613E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 7.919559E-6 | 7.919559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 4.719756E-5 | 1.7353253 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.3655641E-4 | 1.1715673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014382642 | 1.0140815 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014133741 | 1.002097 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 4.719756E-5 | 1.7353253 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.3655641E-4 | 1.1715673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014382642 | 1.0140815 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014133741 | 1.002097 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 4.719756E-5 | 1.7353253 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.3655641E-4 | 1.1715673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014382642 | 1.0140815 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014133741 | 1.002097 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 4.719756E-5 | 1.7353253 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.3655641E-4 | 1.1715673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014382642 | 1.0140815 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014133741 | 1.002097 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 4.719756E-5 | 1.7353253 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.3655641E-4 | 1.1715673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014382642 | 1.0140815 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014133741 | 1.002097 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 4.719756E-5 | 1.7353253 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.3655641E-4 | 1.1715673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014382642 | 1.0140815 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014133741 | 1.002097 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7074446E-5 | 4.7073903E-5 | 1.7386839 | 2.0E-5 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1602882E-4 | 1.360265E-4 | 1.172351 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014118492 | 0.0014318209 | 1.0141459 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014040549 | 0.014070128 | 1.0021067 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7074446E-5 | 4.7073903E-5 | 1.7386839 | 2.0E-5 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1602882E-4 | 1.360265E-4 | 1.172351 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014118492 | 0.0014318209 | 1.0141459 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014040549 | 0.014070128 | 1.0021067 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9073179E-5 | 1.7637421E-5 | 3.763707E-5 | 2.1339326 | 2.0E-5 | 8.1739636E-5 | 7.558686E-5 | 9.5585354E-5 | 1.2645762 | 2.0E-5 | 9.947256E-4 | 9.1989967E-4 | 9.3988125E-4 | 1.0217215 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009902848 | 0.009163169 | 0.009192894 | 1.0032439 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9041876E-5 | 1.7619554E-5 | 3.76192E-5 | 2.1350825 | 2.0E-5 | 8.160549E-5 | 7.551029E-5 | 9.550878E-5 | 1.2648445 | 2.0E-5 | 9.930939E-4 | 9.189682E-4 | 9.389498E-4 | 1.0217435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0098866755 | 0.0091539305 | 0.009183656 | 1.0032473 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5917482E-5 | 1.3864026E-5 | 3.3863747E-5 | 2.4425623 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8215995E-5 | 5.941593E-5 | 7.941474E-5 | 1.33659 | 2.0E-5 | 8.302132E-4 | 7.2315347E-4 | 7.43139E-4 | 1.0276366 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008271185 | 0.0072088856 | 0.0072386693 | 1.0041316 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.577788E-5 | 1.3744033E-5 | 3.374376E-5 | 2.4551568 | 2.0E-5 | 6.761774E-5 | 5.8901696E-5 | 7.890052E-5 | 1.3395288 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2293496E-4 | 7.1689684E-4 | 7.368825E-4 | 1.027878 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008198941 | 0.007146723 | 0.0071765087 | 1.0041677 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5416446E-5 | 1.3470108E-5 | 3.3469838E-5 | 2.484749 | 2.0E-5 | 6.606882E-5 | 5.7727782E-5 | 7.7726625E-5 | 1.3464336 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0409093E-4 | 7.0261373E-4 | 7.225997E-4 | 1.0284451 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008011877 | 0.007004795 | 0.007034585 | 1.0042528 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4534083E-5 | 1.2718011E-5 | 2.2717884E-5 | 1.7862765 | 1.0E-5 | 6.228744E-5 | 5.450465E-5 | 6.45041E-5 | 1.1834606 | 1.0E-5 | 7.580857E-4 | 6.633965E-4 | 6.733899E-4 | 1.0150639 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007555048 | 0.0066149924 | 0.0066348603 | 1.0030035 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2858995E-5 | 1.1229797E-5 | 2.1229685E-5 | 1.890478 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5108816E-5 | 4.8126836E-5 | 5.8126352E-5 | 1.2077743 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7074323E-4 | 5.857906E-4 | 5.9578475E-4 | 1.017061 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066872234 | 0.005843214 | 0.0058630975 | 1.0034028 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.827668E-6 | 7.805483E-6 | 1.7805405E-5 | 2.2811406 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7832317E-5 | 3.3451655E-5 | 4.345132E-5 | 1.2989289 | 1.0E-5 | 4.605111E-4 | 4.0720025E-4 | 4.1719616E-4 | 1.0245479 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045955796 | 0.0040647383 | 0.004084657 | 1.0049003 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2533426E-6 | 2.8720037E-6 | 2.8720037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3942822E-5 | 1.2308531E-5 | 1.2308531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6974064E-4 | 1.4984643E-4 | 1.4984643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016961104 | 0.0014974908 | 0.0015074757 | 1.0066679 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.2751709E-6 | 1.1491329E-6 | 1.1491329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4650063E-6 | 4.9248465E-6 | 4.9248465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653442E-5 | 5.995845E-5 | 5.995845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6514505E-4 | 5.9943163E-4 | 6.0942565E-4 | 1.0166725 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.067544E-7 | 3.2400467E-7 | 3.2400467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3146611E-6 | 1.3885908E-6 | 1.3885908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.600588E-5 | 1.6905971E-5 | 1.6905971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6004729E-4 | 1.6904788E-4 | 1.6904788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.622999E-8 | 8.087958E-8 | 8.087958E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2669993E-7 | 3.4662673E-7 | 3.4662673E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977564E-6 | 4.2201746E-6 | 4.2201746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977493E-5 | 4.220115E-5 | 4.220115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9626508E-5 | 1.8965293E-5 | 2.8965103E-5 | 1.527269 | 1.0E-5 | 8.411089E-5 | 8.1277365E-5 | 9.127655E-5 | 1.1230255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001023569 | 9.891153E-4 | 0.0010090955 | 1.0202001 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010188672 | 0.009848471 | 0.009868274 | 1.0020108 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.331886E-5 | 1.2218042E-5 | 2.2217919E-5 | 1.8184518 | 1.0E-5 | 5.707958E-5 | 5.2361993E-5 | 6.236147E-5 | 1.1909683 | 1.0E-5 | 6.947222E-4 | 6.3732226E-4 | 6.4731593E-4 | 1.0156807 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006925544 | 0.0063551227 | 0.0063650594 | 1.0015635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2250852E-5 | 1.1075981E-5 | 2.107587E-5 | 1.9028445 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2502597E-5 | 4.746763E-5 | 5.7467158E-5 | 1.2106599 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3903164E-4 | 5.7776616E-4 | 5.877604E-4 | 1.017298 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006371971 | 0.0057627615 | 0.005772704 | 1.0017253 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2106258E-5 | 1.0918843E-5 | 2.0918733E-5 | 1.915838 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1882926E-5 | 4.6794208E-5 | 5.679374E-5 | 1.2136917 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3149154E-4 | 5.695715E-4 | 5.795658E-4 | 1.017547 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062970007 | 0.005681234 | 0.005691177 | 1.0017502 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1348758E-5 | 1.0109316E-5 | 2.0109213E-5 | 1.9891766 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8636626E-5 | 4.3324922E-5 | 5.332449E-5 | 1.2308041 | 1.0E-5 | 5.919901E-4 | 5.273541E-4 | 5.373488E-4 | 1.0189526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005904155 | 0.0052611222 | 0.0052710697 | 1.0018908 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.100837E-5 | 9.743343E-6 | 1.9743246E-5 | 2.0263317 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7177873E-5 | 4.175652E-5 | 5.1756102E-5 | 1.2394736 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7423924E-4 | 5.0826784E-4 | 5.1826274E-4 | 1.0196646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005727576 | 0.005071145 | 0.0050810943 | 1.001962 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0634696E-5 | 9.345498E-6 | 1.9345405E-5 | 2.070024 | 1.0E-5 | 4.557647E-5 | 4.0051524E-5 | 5.0051123E-5 | 1.2496684 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5475225E-4 | 4.8751896E-4 | 4.975141E-4 | 1.020502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055336943 | 0.0048645814 | 0.0048745326 | 1.0020456 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.9780855E-6 | 8.667869E-6 | 1.8667783E-5 | 2.153676 | 1.0E-5 | 4.276252E-5 | 3.7147485E-5 | 4.7147114E-5 | 1.2691872 | 1.0E-5 | 5.205093E-4 | 4.5217745E-4 | 4.6217293E-4 | 1.0221052 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051929182 | 0.004512653 | 0.004522608 | 1.002206 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.59546E-6 | 8.272904E-6 | 1.827282E-5 | 2.2087555 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1122752E-5 | 3.5454825E-5 | 4.5454468E-5 | 1.282039 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0055445E-4 | 4.3157765E-4 | 4.4157333E-4 | 1.0231608 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004994285 | 0.0043074708 | 0.0043174275 | 1.0023116 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.000614E-6 | 7.706796E-6 | 1.770672E-5 | 2.297546 | 1.0E-5 | 3.857349E-5 | 3.3028715E-5 | 4.3028384E-5 | 1.3027569 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6953102E-4 | 4.0205102E-4 | 4.1204703E-4 | 1.0248624 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004685402 | 0.0040133083 | 0.004023268 | 1.0024817 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4070194E-6 | 6.148853E-6 | 1.6148791E-5 | 2.6263094 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1743984E-5 | 2.6351963E-5 | 3.63517E-5 | 1.3794683 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8641447E-4 | 3.2078807E-4 | 3.3078485E-4 | 1.0311632 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038574322 | 0.0032032698 | 0.003213238 | 1.0031118 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.299615E-6 | 5.0565545E-6 | 1.5056504E-5 | 2.9776213 | 1.0E-5 | 2.699807E-5 | 2.1670769E-5 | 3.1670552E-5 | 1.4614412 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2865192E-4 | 2.6380978E-4 | 2.7380715E-4 | 1.0378962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003281663 | 0.002634981 | 0.0026449545 | 1.0037851 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.096653E-6 | 3.8927265E-6 | 1.3892688E-5 | 3.5688834 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1842614E-5 | 1.6683009E-5 | 2.6682841E-5 | 1.5994023 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6590136E-4 | 2.030968E-4 | 2.1309477E-4 | 1.0492276 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026558342 | 0.002029123 | 0.0020391028 | 1.0049182 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9753018E-6 | 2.9098735E-6 | 1.2909844E-5 | 4.4365654 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7036897E-5 | 1.2470827E-5 | 2.2470702E-5 | 1.8018614 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0740448E-4 | 1.5182182E-4 | 1.618203E-4 | 1.0658567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00207211 | 0.0015171891 | 0.0015271739 | 1.0065812 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.0568392E-6 | 2.1449691E-6 | 2.1449691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3100675E-5 | 9.192692E-6 | 9.192692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5948903E-4 | 1.11915346E-4 | 1.11915346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015937461 | 0.0011185961 | 0.0011185961 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7279019E-6 | 1.1469632E-6 | 1.1469632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.405273E-6 | 4.9155474E-6 | 4.9155474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.015547E-5 | 5.9845188E-5 | 5.9845188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.01189E-4 | 5.982946E-4 | 5.982946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1156416E-6 | 7.222953E-7 | 7.222953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7813123E-6 | 3.0955478E-6 | 3.0955478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.821092E-5 | 3.7687667E-5 | 3.7687667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8195676E-4 | 3.768151E-4 | 3.768151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.117973E-8 | 6.7341965E-8 | 6.7341965E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907702E-7 | 2.886084E-7 | 2.886084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.757617E-6 | 3.5138016E-6 | 3.5138016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7575148E-5 | 3.513749E-5 | 3.513749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Del Valle
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.767853E-6 | 2.8767678E-5 | 3.2810402 | 2.0E-5 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.7576083E-5 | 5.757533E-5 | 1.5322335 | 2.0E-5 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.574125E-4 | 4.7740334E-4 | 1.0437042 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055759475 | 0.004566676 | 0.004586585 | 1.0043596 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.767853E-6 | 2.8767678E-5 | 3.2810402 | 2.0E-5 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.7576083E-5 | 5.757533E-5 | 1.5322335 | 2.0E-5 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.574125E-4 | 4.7740334E-4 | 1.0437042 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055759475 | 0.004566676 | 0.004586585 | 1.0043596 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.767853E-6 | 2.8767678E-5 | 3.2810402 | 2.0E-5 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.7576083E-5 | 5.757533E-5 | 1.5322335 | 2.0E-5 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.574125E-4 | 4.7740334E-4 | 1.0437042 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055759475 | 0.004566676 | 0.004586585 | 1.0043596 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.8658026E-6 | 1.4865754E-5 | 3.0551493 | 1.0E-5 | 3.055412E-5 | 2.0853278E-5 | 3.085307E-5 | 1.4795309 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.5385982E-4 | 2.6385728E-4 | 1.0393819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0025357953 | 0.00254577 | 1.0039335 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.8658026E-6 | 1.4865754E-5 | 3.0551493 | 1.0E-5 | 3.055412E-5 | 2.0853278E-5 | 3.085307E-5 | 1.4795309 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.5385982E-4 | 2.6385728E-4 | 1.0393819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0025357953 | 0.00254577 | 1.0039335 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.8658026E-6 | 1.4865754E-5 | 3.0551493 | 1.0E-5 | 3.055412E-5 | 2.0853278E-5 | 3.085307E-5 | 1.4795309 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.5385982E-4 | 2.6385728E-4 | 1.0393819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0025357953 | 0.00254577 | 1.0039335 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.8658026E-6 | 1.4865754E-5 | 3.0551493 | 1.0E-5 | 3.055412E-5 | 2.0853278E-5 | 3.085307E-5 | 1.4795309 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.5385982E-4 | 2.6385728E-4 | 1.0393819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0025357953 | 0.00254577 | 1.0039335 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.12272E-6 | 4.863178E-6 | 1.486313E-5 | 3.0562584 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0525585E-5 | 2.0842032E-5 | 3.0841824E-5 | 1.4797897 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7158563E-4 | 2.5372292E-4 | 2.6372037E-4 | 1.0394031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003709649 | 0.0025344295 | 0.0025444042 | 1.0039357 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.7558703E-6 | 4.559385E-6 | 1.4559339E-5 | 3.193268 | 1.0E-5 | 2.895341E-5 | 1.954008E-5 | 2.9539884E-5 | 1.5117587 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5245073E-4 | 2.3787514E-4 | 2.4787275E-4 | 1.0420289 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035189227 | 0.0023762917 | 0.0023862678 | 1.0041982 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.6700386E-6 | 4.502526E-6 | 1.4502481E-5 | 3.2209656 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8585566E-5 | 1.92964E-5 | 2.9296207E-5 | 1.5182214 | 1.0E-5 | 3.479737E-4 | 2.3490896E-4 | 2.449066E-4 | 1.0425596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003474293 | 0.0023466928 | 0.0023566694 | 1.0042514 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.3181424E-6 | 4.098692E-6 | 1.409865E-5 | 3.4397929 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7077473E-5 | 1.7565706E-5 | 2.7565531E-5 | 1.5692811 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2961834E-4 | 2.1384191E-4 | 2.2383977E-4 | 1.0467535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032912986 | 0.0021364274 | 0.002146406 | 1.0046707 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.248759E-6 | 4.0338837E-6 | 1.4033843E-5 | 3.4789906 | 1.0E-5 | 2.678012E-5 | 1.728796E-5 | 2.7287788E-5 | 1.5784272 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2599916E-4 | 2.1046102E-4 | 2.2045891E-4 | 1.0475048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032552136 | 0.0021026826 | 0.0021126617 | 1.0047458 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.0411944E-6 | 3.869879E-6 | 1.386984E-5 | 3.5840502 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5890577E-5 | 1.6585092E-5 | 2.6584927E-5 | 1.6029412 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1517216E-4 | 2.0190519E-4 | 2.1190317E-4 | 1.0495182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031472554 | 0.0020172822 | 0.002027262 | 1.0049472 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.7691183E-6 | 3.0780795E-6 | 3.0780795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0438918E-5 | 1.3191704E-5 | 1.3191704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.488154E-4 | 1.6059738E-4 | 1.6059738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00248537 | 0.0016048425 | 0.0016048425 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5524722E-6 | 2.1893054E-6 | 2.1893054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5224792E-5 | 9.382705E-6 | 9.382705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8534607E-4 | 1.1422852E-4 | 1.1422852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018519156 | 0.0011417064 | 0.0011417064 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.7133442E-6 | 1.5915778E-6 | 1.5915778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1628566E-5 | 6.8210297E-6 | 6.8210297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.415686E-4 | 8.304289E-5 | 8.304289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014147845 | 8.301205E-4 | 8.301205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.915338E-6 | 1.1738903E-6 | 1.1738903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.208566E-6 | 5.0309486E-6 | 5.0309486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.993471E-5 | 6.125009E-5 | 6.125009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988978E-4 | 6.12333E-4 | 6.12333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.2120448E-6 | 7.180127E-7 | 7.180127E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.194467E-6 | 3.0771935E-6 | 3.0771935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3240805E-5 | 3.746419E-5 | 3.746419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322281E-4 | 3.7457913E-4 | 3.7457913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.272381E-7 | 3.9324328E-7 | 3.9324328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6881603E-6 | 1.6853273E-6 | 1.6853273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.272786E-5 | 2.0518668E-5 | 2.0518668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.272304E-4 | 2.051679E-4 | 2.051679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0292627E-7 | 1.2004168E-7 | 1.2004168E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6968373E-7 | 5.144642E-7 | 5.144642E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0588348E-5 | 6.263584E-6 | 6.263584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0587843E-4 | 6.26341E-5 | 6.26341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.374492E-8 | 2.1898728E-8 | 2.1898728E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8747821E-7 | 9.3851696E-8 | 9.3851696E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2825448E-6 | 1.1426438E-6 | 1.1426438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2825214E-5 | 1.1426383E-5 | 1.1426383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5705362E-4 | 3.5705362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015293424 | 0.0015293424 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463185 | 0.018482815 | 1.0010632 | 2.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667642 | 0.16678087 | 1.0000999 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5705362E-4 | 3.5705362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015293424 | 0.0015293424 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463185 | 0.018482815 | 1.0010632 | 2.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667642 | 0.16678087 | 1.0000999 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5705362E-4 | 3.5705362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015293424 | 0.0015293424 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463185 | 0.018482815 | 1.0010632 | 2.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667642 | 0.16678087 | 1.0000999 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.426223E-4 | 3.426223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014675646 | 0.0014675646 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0089988755 | 0.017723488 | 0.017743133 | 1.0011084 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08643075 | 0.1607095 | 0.16072628 | 1.0001044 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.234388E-4 | 3.234388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013854386 | 0.0013854386 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008487372 | 0.016739268 | 0.016758934 | 1.0011748 | 2.0E-5 | 0.081704415 | 0.1526165 | 0.15263344 | 1.0001111 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.101854E-4 | 3.101854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.001328697 | 0.001328697 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008107598 | 0.016058786 | 0.016078465 | 1.0012255 | 2.0E-5 | 0.078181036 | 0.14689381 | 0.14691088 | 1.0001161 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8032728E-4 | 2.8032728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012008563 | 0.0012008563 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014523915 | 0.014543624 | 1.0013571 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07067384 | 0.13398212 | 0.13399944 | 1.0001292 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3271456E-4 | 2.3271456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914658E-4 | 9.96972E-4 | 9.96972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012071642 | 0.012081522 | 1.0008184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058094822 | 0.112768225 | 0.1127771 | 1.0000787 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.886147E-4 | 1.886147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.0810196E-4 | 8.0810196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009794992 | 0.009804894 | 1.0010109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047804173 | 0.09261915 | 0.092628226 | 1.000098 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.0729479E-4 | 1.0729479E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.5975437E-4 | 4.5975437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028927654 | 0.005583262 | 0.0055932063 | 1.0017811 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028553981 | 0.054245863 | 0.05425532 | 1.0001744 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.246443E-5 | 8.246443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.5337152E-4 | 3.5337152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022236328 | 0.004293884 | 0.0043038414 | 1.0023189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022015138 | 0.042064138 | 0.042073715 | 1.0002277 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.301877E-5 | 6.301877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.7005258E-4 | 2.7005258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.003282952 | 0.0032929191 | 1.003036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017101998 | 0.032452554 | 0.032462228 | 1.0002981 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.701329E-5 | 5.701329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.4431988E-4 | 2.4431988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.002970554 | 0.0029805242 | 1.0033563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015458403 | 0.029453432 | 0.029463138 | 1.0003295 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.5990277E-5 | 4.5990277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9708637E-4 | 1.9708637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0023968988 | 0.002406875 | 1.0041621 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012733313 | 0.023856966 | 0.023866726 | 1.0004091 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.5048484E-5 | 3.5048484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.501992E-4 | 1.501992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0018271513 | 0.0018271513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.018257394 | 0.018257394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.3329112E-5 | 2.3329112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 9.997811E-5 | 9.997811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012165596 | 0.0012165596 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.0122079775 | 0.0122079775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.886334E-6 | 8.886334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.808374E-5 | 3.808374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6357213E-4 | 4.6357213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.004679598 | 0.004679598 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.2056432E-6 | 1.2056432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.1670318E-6 | 5.1670318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.29068E-5 | 6.29068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.529172E-4 | 6.529172E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 9.791959E-7 | 9.791959E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.196547E-6 | 4.196547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.1091763E-5 | 5.1091763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.3212955E-4 | 5.3212955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.3862E-7 | 7.3862E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.1655102E-6 | 3.1655102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.853941E-5 | 3.853941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 3.9930313E-4 | 3.9930313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.4714553E-7 | 5.4714553E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3449074E-6 | 2.3449074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.8548875E-5 | 2.8548875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.9354735E-4 | 2.9354735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.605856E-7 | 2.605856E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1167949E-6 | 1.1167949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.3596894E-5 | 1.3596894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.3917121E-4 | 1.3917121E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.6757258E-5 | 2.4798653 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 3.8959402E-5 | 1.3452976 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.625317E-4 | 1.028356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035404777 | 1.0056609 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.6757258E-5 | 2.4798653 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 3.8959402E-5 | 1.3452976 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.625317E-4 | 1.028356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035404777 | 1.0056609 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.6757258E-5 | 2.4798653 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 3.8959402E-5 | 1.3452976 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.625317E-4 | 1.028356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035404777 | 1.0056609 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.6757258E-5 | 2.4798653 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 3.8959402E-5 | 1.3452976 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.625317E-4 | 1.028356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035404777 | 1.0056609 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.6757258E-5 | 2.4798653 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 3.8959402E-5 | 1.3452976 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.625317E-4 | 1.028356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035404777 | 1.0056609 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570897E-6 | 3.2570897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958886E-5 | 1.3958886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993699E-4 | 1.6993699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981501 | 0.0016981501 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570897E-6 | 3.2570897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958886E-5 | 1.3958886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993699E-4 | 1.6993699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981501 | 0.0016981501 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.207121E-6 | 2.207121E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459058E-6 | 9.459058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1515813E-4 | 1.1515813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011424901 | 0.001151004 | 0.001151004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7365521E-6 | 1.7365521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.4423456E-6 | 7.4423456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.060689E-5 | 9.060689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.057092E-4 | 9.057092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688617E-6 | 1.3688617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.8665373E-6 | 5.8665373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142279E-5 | 7.142279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.14003E-4 | 7.14003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.14138E-6 | 1.14138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8916195E-6 | 4.8916195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.9553873E-5 | 5.9553873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.953823E-4 | 5.953823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.302687E-7 | 9.302687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.98686E-6 | 3.98686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.8538957E-5 | 4.8538957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8528533E-4 | 4.8528533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.7192985E-7 | 6.7192985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8796962E-6 | 2.8796962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5059747E-5 | 3.5059747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.5054304E-4 | 3.5054304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.9392986E-7 | 4.9392986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1168405E-6 | 2.1168405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5772233E-5 | 2.5772233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5769294E-4 | 2.5769294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2995902E-7 | 3.2995902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141093E-6 | 1.4141093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7216647E-5 | 1.7216647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215338E-4 | 1.7215338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750049E-7 | 1.4750049E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.321448E-7 | 6.321448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696336E-6 | 7.696336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.696078E-5 | 7.696078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352638E-8 | 1.7352638E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054355E-7 | 9.054355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.0543235E-6 | 9.0543235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765104 | 0.0024864855 | 1.004028 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765104 | 0.0024864855 | 1.004028 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765104 | 0.0024864855 | 1.004028 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765104 | 0.0024864855 | 1.004028 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765104 | 0.0024864855 | 1.004028 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765104 | 0.0024864855 | 1.004028 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 4.751729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 2.0364405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 2.4791018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765104 | 0.0024864855 | 1.004028 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.166347E-6 | 4.166347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.785566E-5 | 1.785566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.173725E-4 | 2.173725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021717483 | 0.0021817267 | 1.0045946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.166347E-6 | 4.166347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.785566E-5 | 1.785566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.173725E-4 | 2.173725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021717483 | 0.0021817267 | 1.0045946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2936077E-6 | 3.372957E-6 | 3.372957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4115385E-5 | 1.4455455E-5 | 1.4455455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7184127E-4 | 1.759819E-4 | 1.759819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017170844 | 0.0017585179 | 0.0017685003 | 1.0056766 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.1687898E-6 | 3.2448147E-6 | 3.2448147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3580457E-5 | 1.390628E-5 | 1.390628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6532952E-4 | 1.6929673E-4 | 1.6929673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016520657 | 0.0016917692 | 0.0017017523 | 1.005901 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.9379228E-6 | 3.0073252E-6 | 3.0073252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25910365E-5 | 1.2888478E-5 | 1.2888478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5328509E-4 | 1.5690683E-4 | 1.5690683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001531794 | 0.0015680495 | 0.0015780339 | 1.0063673 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0020686E-6 | 2.04163E-6 | 2.04163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.580266E-6 | 8.749814E-6 | 8.749814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0445973E-4 | 1.0652382E-4 | 1.0652382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010441064 | 0.001064732 | 0.001064732 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7364243E-6 | 1.7678807E-6 | 1.7678807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.441797E-6 | 7.5766097E-6 | 7.5766097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0600115E-5 | 9.2241346E-5 | 9.2241346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0563187E-4 | 9.2203374E-4 | 9.2203374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5718434E-6 | 1.5983182E-6 | 1.5983182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7364545E-6 | 6.8499176E-6 | 6.8499176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.201325E-5 | 8.339458E-5 | 8.339458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.198299E-4 | 8.3363586E-4 | 8.3363586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3841119E-6 | 1.4042799E-6 | 1.4042799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9318945E-6 | 6.018329E-6 | 6.018329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.221842E-5 | 7.327072E-5 | 7.327072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2194956E-4 | 7.324685E-4 | 7.324685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0843726E-6 | 1.0934432E-6 | 1.0934432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.647303E-6 | 4.6861765E-6 | 4.6861765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6579443E-5 | 5.7052734E-5 | 5.7052734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.656504E-4 | 5.7038345E-4 | 5.7038345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.544814E-7 | 5.501878E-7 | 5.501878E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3763469E-6 | 2.3579455E-6 | 2.3579455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8931638E-5 | 2.8707609E-5 | 2.8707609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8927872E-4 | 2.8703918E-4 | 2.8703918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.0707465E-7 | 1.977857E-7 | 1.977857E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.874625E-7 | 8.476527E-7 | 8.476527E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08048025E-5 | 1.0320123E-5 | 1.0320123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0804277E-4 | 1.03196486E-4 | 1.03196486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.9821284E-8 | 3.433149E-8 | 3.433149E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7066264E-7 | 1.4713495E-7 | 1.4713495E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0778157E-6 | 1.7913666E-6 | 1.7913666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0777963E-5 | 1.7913528E-5 | 1.7913528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.235301E-11 | 8.235301E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5294168E-10 | 3.5294168E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.2970645E-9 | 4.2970645E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2970644E-8 | 4.2970644E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.063304E-5 | 9.063304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011029079 | 0.0011128968 | 1.0090569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011478677 | 0.0114984475 | 1.0017223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.063304E-5 | 9.063304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011029079 | 0.0011128968 | 1.0090569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011478677 | 0.0114984475 | 1.0017223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.063304E-5 | 9.063304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011029079 | 0.0011128968 | 1.0090569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011478677 | 0.0114984475 | 1.0017223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.063304E-5 | 9.063304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011029079 | 0.0011128968 | 1.0090569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011478677 | 0.0114984475 | 1.0017223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.063304E-5 | 9.063304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011029079 | 0.0011128968 | 1.0090569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011478677 | 0.0114984475 | 1.0017223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.735004E-5 | 1.735004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.4355215E-5 | 7.4355215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019441366 | 9.049032E-4 | 9.1489416E-4 | 1.0110409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009478857 | 0.009498667 | 1.00209 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.735004E-5 | 1.735004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.4355215E-5 | 7.4355215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019441366 | 9.049032E-4 | 9.1489416E-4 | 1.0110409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009478857 | 0.009498667 | 1.00209 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 1.6598056E-5 | 1.6598056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5444479E-4 | 7.113261E-5 | 7.113261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018787434 | 8.6569955E-4 | 8.756909E-4 | 1.0115414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.00908114 | 0.009100959 | 1.0021824 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 1.6226495E-5 | 1.6226495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5012783E-4 | 6.954029E-5 | 6.954029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018262739 | 8.463283E-4 | 8.563198E-4 | 1.0118058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.0088817375 | 0.00890156 | 1.0022318 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 1.605703E-5 | 1.605703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4721078E-4 | 6.881406E-5 | 6.881406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017908178 | 8.3749316E-4 | 8.474848E-4 | 1.0119303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.008789461 | 0.008809285 | 1.0022554 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 1.4330898E-5 | 1.4330898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.241074E-4 | 6.14167E-5 | 6.14167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015099603 | 7.4749463E-4 | 7.5748714E-4 | 1.013368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.007861273 | 0.007881116 | 1.0025241 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 1.2823071E-5 | 1.2823071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11436144E-4 | 5.4954875E-5 | 5.4954875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013558907 | 6.688723E-4 | 6.7886565E-4 | 1.0149405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.00704128 | 0.007061139 | 1.0028204 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 1.1255716E-5 | 1.1255716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.661716E-5 | 4.82379E-5 | 4.82379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001175679 | 5.871396E-4 | 5.9713377E-4 | 1.0170218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.0061900634 | 0.0062099397 | 1.003211 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 1.0805979E-5 | 1.0805979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.514098E-5 | 4.6310524E-5 | 4.6310524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.144575E-4 | 5.636862E-4 | 5.736805E-4 | 1.0177304 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.0059307297 | 0.005950611 | 1.0033523 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 1.0605883E-5 | 1.0605883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.82463E-5 | 4.5453E-5 | 4.5453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.305819E-4 | 5.532511E-4 | 5.632456E-4 | 1.018065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.0058181193 | 0.005838003 | 1.0034175 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 9.84653E-6 | 9.84653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7551293E-5 | 4.219874E-5 | 4.219874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.004617E-4 | 5.136496E-4 | 5.2364444E-4 | 1.0194585 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.0054038092 | 0.0054237014 | 1.0036811 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 8.609963E-6 | 8.609963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5808283E-5 | 3.689932E-5 | 3.689932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5757316E-4 | 4.491571E-4 | 4.591526E-4 | 1.0222539 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005561762 | 0.0047391006 | 0.0047590057 | 1.0042002 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 7.4664786E-6 | 7.4664786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.776671E-5 | 3.1998803E-5 | 3.1998803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.597127E-4 | 3.8951598E-4 | 3.9951206E-4 | 1.0256629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045876284 | 0.0041340096 | 0.004153927 | 1.004818 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 6.695141E-6 | 6.695141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3344273E-5 | 2.8693148E-5 | 2.8693148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0589093E-4 | 3.4928325E-4 | 3.5927977E-4 | 1.02862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040515037 | 0.0037221527 | 0.0037420783 | 1.0053532 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 5.7790494E-6 | 5.7790494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8044553E-5 | 2.4767121E-5 | 2.4767121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4138895E-4 | 3.0149813E-4 | 3.1149513E-4 | 1.0331577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0032338423 | 0.0032537777 | 1.0061646 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 4.812146E-6 | 4.812146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3351862E-5 | 2.0623322E-5 | 2.0623322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8427184E-4 | 2.5106015E-4 | 2.5106015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0027102758 | 0.002720249 | 1.0036796 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 1.3662986E-6 | 1.3662986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.217019E-5 | 5.855553E-6 | 5.855553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816198E-4 | 7.128903E-5 | 7.128903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014806325 | 8.111905E-4 | 8.111905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 6.3135167E-7 | 6.3135167E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 2.70579E-6 | 2.70579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 3.2942502E-5 | 3.2942502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 3.9462151E-4 | 3.9462151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 2.9222883E-7 | 2.9222883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.2524088E-6 | 1.2524088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 1.5247973E-5 | 1.5247973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 1.8551825E-4 | 1.8551825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sisar
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8396065E-6 | 1.3839568E-5 | 3.6044238 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6455353E-5 | 2.6455189E-5 | 1.607695 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0032584E-4 | 2.1032384E-4 | 1.0499086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020014865 | 0.0020214464 | 1.0099726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8396065E-6 | 1.3839568E-5 | 3.6044238 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6455353E-5 | 2.6455189E-5 | 1.607695 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0032584E-4 | 2.1032384E-4 | 1.0499086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020014865 | 0.0020214464 | 1.0099726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8396065E-6 | 1.3839568E-5 | 3.6044238 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6455353E-5 | 2.6455189E-5 | 1.607695 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0032584E-4 | 2.1032384E-4 | 1.0499086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020014865 | 0.0020214464 | 1.0099726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8396065E-6 | 1.3839568E-5 | 3.6044238 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6455353E-5 | 2.6455189E-5 | 1.607695 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0032584E-4 | 2.1032384E-4 | 1.0499086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020014865 | 0.0020214464 | 1.0099726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8396065E-6 | 1.3839568E-5 | 3.6044238 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6455353E-5 | 2.6455189E-5 | 1.607695 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0032584E-4 | 2.1032384E-4 | 1.0499086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020014865 | 0.0020214464 | 1.0099726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8396065E-6 | 1.3839568E-5 | 3.6044238 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6455353E-5 | 2.6455189E-5 | 1.607695 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0032584E-4 | 2.1032384E-4 | 1.0499086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020014865 | 0.0020214464 | 1.0099726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8396065E-6 | 1.3839568E-5 | 3.6044238 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6455353E-5 | 2.6455189E-5 | 1.607695 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0032584E-4 | 2.1032384E-4 | 1.0499086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020014865 | 0.0020214464 | 1.0099726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8396065E-6 | 1.3839568E-5 | 3.6044238 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6455353E-5 | 2.6455189E-5 | 1.607695 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0032584E-4 | 2.1032384E-4 | 1.0499086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020014865 | 0.0020214464 | 1.0099726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8396065E-6 | 1.3839568E-5 | 3.6044238 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6455353E-5 | 2.6455189E-5 | 1.607695 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0032584E-4 | 2.1032384E-4 | 1.0499086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020014865 | 0.0020214464 | 1.0099726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.542225E-6 | 3.8375683E-6 | 1.383753E-5 | 3.6058068 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9466532E-5 | 1.6446618E-5 | 2.6446454E-5 | 1.6080177 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3697925E-4 | 2.0021953E-4 | 2.1021752E-4 | 1.0499352 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002367267 | 0.002000425 | 0.002020385 | 1.0099778 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.5278484E-6 | 3.822632E-6 | 1.3822594E-5 | 3.6159885 | 1.0E-5 | 1.940492E-5 | 1.638261E-5 | 2.6382446E-5 | 1.6103934 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3622929E-4 | 1.9944034E-4 | 2.0943835E-4 | 1.0501302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023597833 | 0.0019926473 | 0.0020126074 | 1.0100169 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.5132488E-6 | 3.8074197E-6 | 1.3807382E-5 | 3.6264405 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9342351E-5 | 1.6317414E-5 | 2.631725E-5 | 1.6128322 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3546767E-4 | 1.9864673E-4 | 2.0864473E-4 | 1.0503306 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023521832 | 0.0019847252 | 0.0020046856 | 1.010057 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.448859E-6 | 3.7398804E-6 | 1.3739843E-5 | 3.6738725 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9066398E-5 | 1.6027961E-5 | 2.6027801E-5 | 1.6238997 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3210866E-4 | 1.951233E-4 | 2.0512134E-4 | 1.0512396 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023186638 | 0.0019495533 | 0.0019695144 | 1.0102388 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.3424366E-6 | 3.6337149E-6 | 1.36336785E-5 | 3.7519946 | 1.0E-5 | 1.861031E-5 | 1.5572972E-5 | 2.5572817E-5 | 1.6421281 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2655698E-4 | 1.8958478E-4 | 1.9958288E-4 | 1.0527369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022632615 | 0.0018942639 | 0.001914226 | 1.0105382 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.218641E-6 | 3.5330681E-6 | 1.3533033E-5 | 3.8303912 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8079765E-5 | 1.5141634E-5 | 2.5141482E-5 | 1.6604207 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2009891E-4 | 1.8433413E-4 | 1.9433229E-4 | 1.0542393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021988105 | 0.0018418457 | 0.0018618088 | 1.0108386 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.983779E-6 | 3.347839E-6 | 1.3347805E-5 | 3.9869914 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7073227E-5 | 1.4347805E-5 | 2.434766E-5 | 1.6969608 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0784672E-4 | 1.7467084E-4 | 1.846691E-4 | 1.0572405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020765243 | 0.0017453686 | 0.0017653337 | 1.0114388 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.777393E-6 | 2.3522696E-6 | 2.3522696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1903058E-5 | 1.0081118E-5 | 1.0081118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.449101E-4 | 1.2273077E-4 | 1.2273077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014481564 | 0.0012266376 | 0.0012366254 | 1.0081424 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.9028433E-6 | 1.5938776E-6 | 1.5938776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.155017E-6 | 6.830887E-6 | 6.830887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.928281E-5 | 8.316292E-5 | 8.316292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.923846E-4 | 8.3132274E-4 | 8.4131444E-4 | 1.012019 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.9095956E-7 | 4.3583992E-7 | 4.3583992E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1041105E-6 | 1.8678841E-6 | 1.8678841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5617246E-5 | 2.2741253E-5 | 2.2741253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5614293E-4 | 2.2738944E-4 | 2.2738944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.16657894E-7 | 1.0335613E-7 | 1.0335613E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.999623E-7 | 4.4295476E-7 | 4.4295476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.087024E-6 | 5.392961E-6 | 5.392961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0868573E-5 | 5.3928332E-5 | 5.3928332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.5100346E-9 | 1.7067107E-9 | 1.7067107E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0757291E-8 | 7.3144752E-9 | 7.3144752E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3097001E-7 | 8.9053735E-8 | 8.9053735E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3096993E-6 | 8.90537E-7 | 8.90537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2021515E-5 | 4.2021195E-5 | 1.31228 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3722944E-4 | 1.4722807E-4 | 1.0728607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016697609 | 0.0016797442 | 1.0059788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.01659906 | 0.016618727 | 1.0011849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2021515E-5 | 4.2021195E-5 | 1.31228 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3722944E-4 | 1.4722807E-4 | 1.0728607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016697609 | 0.0016797442 | 1.0059788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.01659906 | 0.016618727 | 1.0011849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2021515E-5 | 4.2021195E-5 | 1.31228 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3722944E-4 | 1.4722807E-4 | 1.0728607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016697609 | 0.0016797442 | 1.0059788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.01659906 | 0.016618727 | 1.0011849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623002 | 0.0010623002 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010090181 | 0.010583636 | 0.010593531 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623002 | 0.0010623002 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010090181 | 0.010583636 | 0.010593531 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623002 | 0.0010623002 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010090181 | 0.010583636 | 0.010593531 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623002 | 0.0010623002 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010090181 | 0.010583636 | 0.010593531 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 2.0354675E-5 | 2.0354675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.723203E-5 | 8.723203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010119933 | 0.0010616446 | 0.0010616446 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010073971 | 0.010577142 | 0.010587037 | 1.0009354 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1593124E-5 | 1.1593124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9683968E-5 | 4.9683968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.047512E-4 | 6.047512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063546924 | 0.006033087 | 0.006043027 | 1.0016475 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1593124E-5 | 1.1593124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9683968E-5 | 4.9683968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.047512E-4 | 6.047512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063546924 | 0.006033087 | 0.006043027 | 1.0016475 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 8.059261E-6 | 8.059261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.453925E-5 | 3.453925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.2043766E-4 | 4.2043766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048284214 | 0.0041971332 | 0.0042070914 | 1.0023726 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 7.942434E-6 | 7.942434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.403858E-5 | 3.403858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7629757E-4 | 4.1434434E-4 | 4.1434434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00475278 | 0.0041364282 | 0.004146387 | 1.0024076 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.741596E-6 | 7.741596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.3177865E-5 | 3.3177865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6172875E-4 | 4.0386908E-4 | 4.0386908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046077054 | 0.004032058 | 0.0040420177 | 1.0024701 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.55032E-6 | 7.55032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.235813E-5 | 3.235813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.9389243E-4 | 3.9389243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004463301 | 0.0039326404 | 0.0039426014 | 1.0025328 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.817847E-6 | 6.817847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.9219034E-5 | 2.9219034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.556867E-4 | 3.556867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040888423 | 0.0035518138 | 0.0035617785 | 1.0028055 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.27909E-6 | 4.27909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.8338837E-5 | 1.8338837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.2325412E-4 | 2.2325412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025466895 | 0.002230411 | 0.0022403887 | 1.0044734 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.1568352E-6 | 1.1568352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.957857E-6 | 4.957857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.249717E-5 | 6.036046E-5 | 6.036046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.247352E-4 | 6.0346245E-4 | 6.134564E-4 | 1.016561 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.3719298E-7 | 2.3719298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2824837E-6 | 1.016541E-6 | 1.016541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.2376324E-5 | 1.2376324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5613029E-4 | 1.2375705E-4 | 1.3375582E-4 | 1.0807935 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.6321734E-8 | 2.6321734E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.1280743E-7 | 1.1280743E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.3734297E-6 | 1.3734297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5143789E-5 | 1.373422E-5 | 1.373422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.7681057E-9 | 2.7681057E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.186331E-8 | 1.186331E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.444358E-7 | 1.444358E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632817E-6 | 1.4443581E-6 | 1.4443581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.3369866E-5 | 7.336923E-5 | 1.1577938 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.715603E-4 | 2.815576E-4 | 1.0368142 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003301835 | 0.003311802 | 1.0030186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258932 | 0.03260867 | 1.0005937 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.3369866E-5 | 7.336923E-5 | 1.1577938 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.715603E-4 | 2.815576E-4 | 1.0368142 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003301835 | 0.003311802 | 1.0030186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258932 | 0.03260867 | 1.0005937 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642721E-5 | 3.6642454E-5 | 1.375327 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417834E-4 | 1.2417721E-4 | 1.0875723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892819 | 0.001399268 | 1.007188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012027155 | 0.013810834 | 0.013820696 | 1.0007141 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642721E-5 | 3.6642454E-5 | 1.375327 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417834E-4 | 1.2417721E-4 | 1.0875723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892819 | 0.001399268 | 1.007188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012027155 | 0.013810834 | 0.013820696 | 1.0007141 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.2463333E-5 | 3.2463107E-5 | 1.4451599 | 1.0E-5 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.62681E-5 | 1.06267136E-4 | 1.1038666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011714741 | 0.0011814623 | 1.0085262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010206259 | 0.011657074 | 0.011666957 | 1.0008478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9745077E-5 | 2.9744879E-5 | 1.5064454 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.461922E-5 | 9.461837E-5 | 1.1181664 | 1.0E-5 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.001029789 | 0.0010397787 | 1.0097008 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009008561 | 0.010253894 | 0.010263791 | 1.0009652 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6322656E-5 | 2.6322494E-5 | 1.6126354 | 1.0E-5 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.995255E-5 | 7.9951846E-5 | 1.1429441 | 1.0E-5 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.5137156E-4 | 8.613631E-4 | 1.0117358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008484302 | 0.008494217 | 1.0011686 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4285246E-5 | 2.4285104E-5 | 1.7000129 | 1.0E-5 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.122122E-5 | 7.122061E-5 | 1.1633321 | 1.0E-5 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.451439E-4 | 7.551364E-4 | 1.0134102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006571059 | 0.007429475 | 0.0074394005 | 1.001336 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.29331465E-5 | 2.2933016E-5 | 1.773197 | 1.0E-5 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.542676E-5 | 6.5426204E-5 | 1.1804082 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.7464163E-4 | 6.846349E-4 | 1.0148127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067288755 | 0.0067388085 | 1.0014762 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0234977E-5 | 2.0234875E-5 | 1.9770317 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.386361E-5 | 5.386317E-5 | 1.2279694 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.3393655E-4 | 5.439312E-4 | 1.0187188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047417083 | 0.005329291 | 0.0053392374 | 1.0018665 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.583944E-6 | 1.6583877E-5 | 2.5188365 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.8216731E-5 | 3.8216447E-5 | 1.3543897 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4350815E-4 | 3.5350473E-4 | 1.0291014 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0034320888 | 0.0034420544 | 1.0029037 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2096465E-6 | 2.2096465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.46988E-6 | 9.46988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.1528984E-4 | 1.1528984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011523156 | 0.0011523156 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1779927E-6 | 2.1779927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.334222E-6 | 9.334222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1363838E-4 | 1.1363838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011358181 | 0.0011358181 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7442865E-6 | 1.7442865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.4754926E-6 | 7.4754926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.101041E-5 | 9.101041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.097405E-4 | 9.097405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4641861E-6 | 1.4641861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2750687E-6 | 6.2750687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.6396354E-5 | 7.6396354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.637082E-4 | 7.637082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.293149E-6 | 1.293149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.542056E-6 | 5.542056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.7472516E-5 | 6.7472516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.745274E-4 | 6.745274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.769461E-7 | 6.769461E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.9011946E-6 | 2.9011946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.532153E-5 | 3.532153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5316488E-4 | 3.5316488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.5699434E-8 | 4.5699434E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.958547E-7 | 1.958547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3845287E-6 | 2.3845287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.384505E-5 | 2.384505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5138054E-9 | 1.5138054E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.4877375E-9 | 6.4877375E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.89882E-8 | 7.89882E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.89882E-7 | 7.89882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 4.3734723E-5 | 1.2964175 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.5457082E-4 | 1.0691595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759003 | 0.0017789678 | 1.01135 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747628 | 0.01749593 | 1.0011244 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 4.3734723E-5 | 1.2964175 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.5457082E-4 | 1.0691595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759003 | 0.0017789678 | 1.01135 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747628 | 0.01749593 | 1.0011244 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 4.3734723E-5 | 1.2964175 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.5457082E-4 | 1.0691595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759003 | 0.0017789678 | 1.01135 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747628 | 0.01749593 | 1.0011244 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 4.3734723E-5 | 1.2964175 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.5457082E-4 | 1.0691595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759003 | 0.0017789678 | 1.01135 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747628 | 0.01749593 | 1.0011244 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019538E-5 | 2.7019367E-5 | 1.58755 | 1.0E-5 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2938965E-5 | 8.293823E-5 | 1.1370909 | 1.0E-5 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.876932E-4 | 9.076754E-4 | 1.0225103 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843759 | 0.008863582 | 1.0022415 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019538E-5 | 2.7019367E-5 | 1.58755 | 1.0E-5 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2938965E-5 | 8.293823E-5 | 1.1370909 | 1.0E-5 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.876932E-4 | 9.076754E-4 | 1.0225103 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843759 | 0.008863582 | 1.0022415 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21222165E-5 | 1.21222165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951334E-5 | 5.1951334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3232624E-4 | 6.423199E-4 | 1.0158046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305476 | 0.006315413 | 1.001576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21222165E-5 | 1.21222165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951334E-5 | 5.1951334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3232624E-4 | 6.423199E-4 | 1.0158046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305476 | 0.006315413 | 1.001576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1344362E-5 | 1.1344362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.86178E-5 | 4.86178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.917629E-4 | 6.0175697E-4 | 1.0168886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007104293 | 0.005902036 | 0.005911977 | 1.0016843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1322462E-5 | 1.1322462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8523947E-5 | 4.8523947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.9062085E-4 | 6.0061493E-4 | 1.0169213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007094092 | 0.0058906763 | 0.0059006177 | 1.0016876 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1242029E-5 | 1.1242029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.817925E-5 | 4.817925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.864264E-4 | 5.9642055E-4 | 1.0170424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007055073 | 0.0058489535 | 0.005858895 | 1.0016997 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0720488E-5 | 1.0720488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.5944147E-5 | 4.5944147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.592283E-4 | 5.6922267E-4 | 1.0178717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0055783642 | 0.0055883084 | 1.0017827 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.995097E-6 | 9.995097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.2835436E-5 | 4.2835436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.213984E-4 | 5.313932E-4 | 1.0191692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005201892 | 0.00521184 | 1.0019124 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.84379E-6 | 8.84379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7901416E-5 | 3.7901416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.613536E-4 | 4.613536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.004604073 | 0.004604073 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.423521E-6 | 8.423521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.610031E-5 | 3.610031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.394342E-4 | 4.394342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.004385763 | 0.004385763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.2975085E-6 | 7.2975085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.127467E-5 | 3.127467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.80704E-4 | 3.80704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.0038006115 | 0.0038006115 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.874114E-6 | 3.874114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.660324E-5 | 1.660324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0212584E-4 | 2.0212584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020194335 | 0.0020194335 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.126756E-6 | 3.126756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3400314E-5 | 1.3400314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.631367E-4 | 1.631367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016301788 | 0.0016301788 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0299E-6 | 2.0299E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.699543E-6 | 8.699543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0591184E-4 | 1.0591184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010586183 | 0.0010586183 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2765044E-7 | 3.2765044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4042155E-6 | 1.4042155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7096192E-5 | 1.7096192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7094908E-4 | 1.7094908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6836047E-9 | 5.6836047E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4358307E-8 | 2.4358307E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9656238E-7 | 2.9656238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9656217E-6 | 2.9656217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanside alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1423471E-5 | 2.1423357E-5 | 1.8753806 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8956907E-5 | 5.8956415E-5 | 1.2042513 | 1.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.9590343E-4 | 6.0589745E-4 | 1.0167712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.0059446534 | 0.0059645344 | 1.0033444 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1423471E-5 | 2.1423357E-5 | 1.8753806 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8956907E-5 | 5.8956415E-5 | 1.2042513 | 1.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.9590343E-4 | 6.0589745E-4 | 1.0167712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.0059446534 | 0.0059645344 | 1.0033444 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1423471E-5 | 2.1423357E-5 | 1.8753806 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8956907E-5 | 5.8956415E-5 | 1.2042513 | 1.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.9590343E-4 | 6.0589745E-4 | 1.0167712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.0059446534 | 0.0059645344 | 1.0033444 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1423471E-5 | 2.1423357E-5 | 1.8753806 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8956907E-5 | 5.8956415E-5 | 1.2042513 | 1.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.9590343E-4 | 6.0589745E-4 | 1.0167712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.0059446534 | 0.0059645344 | 1.0033444 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1423471E-5 | 2.1423357E-5 | 1.8753806 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8956907E-5 | 5.8956415E-5 | 1.2042513 | 1.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.9590343E-4 | 6.0589745E-4 | 1.0167712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.0059446534 | 0.0059645344 | 1.0033444 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1423471E-5 | 2.1423357E-5 | 1.8753806 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8956907E-5 | 5.8956415E-5 | 1.2042513 | 1.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.9590343E-4 | 6.0589745E-4 | 1.0167712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.0059446534 | 0.0059645344 | 1.0033444 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.561768E-6 | 7.133601E-6 | 1.7133529E-5 | 2.4018066 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2407173E-5 | 3.0572224E-5 | 4.057192E-5 | 1.3270843 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9448592E-4 | 3.7215432E-4 | 3.8215058E-4 | 1.0268606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039378637 | 0.0037154225 | 0.0037353481 | 1.005363 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.1042605E-6 | 6.6556713E-6 | 1.6655606E-5 | 2.502468 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0446476E-5 | 2.8523998E-5 | 3.8523714E-5 | 1.350572 | 1.0E-5 | 3.706228E-4 | 3.4722514E-4 | 3.5722167E-4 | 1.0287898 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037000529 | 0.0034669098 | 0.0034868403 | 1.0057489 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.285554E-6 | 5.7996926E-6 | 1.5799635E-5 | 2.7242193 | 1.0E-5 | 2.693781E-5 | 2.4855592E-5 | 3.4855344E-5 | 1.402314 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2791847E-4 | 3.0257535E-4 | 3.1257235E-4 | 1.0330396 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032743502 | 0.0030216915 | 0.0030416308 | 1.0065988 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.148883E-6 | 5.6565314E-6 | 1.5656475E-5 | 2.7678578 | 1.0E-5 | 2.635209E-5 | 2.4242056E-5 | 3.4241813E-5 | 1.4124963 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2078946E-4 | 2.951076E-4 | 3.0510465E-4 | 1.033876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003203268 | 0.002947214 | 0.002967155 | 1.0067661 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.253857E-6 | 4.722392E-6 | 1.47223445E-5 | 3.1175609 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2516335E-5 | 2.0238667E-5 | 3.0238465E-5 | 1.4940937 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7410188E-4 | 2.4637821E-4 | 2.5637576E-4 | 1.040578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027376404 | 0.0024610823 | 0.002481033 | 1.0081065 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.730754E-6 | 4.1784983E-6 | 1.4178457E-5 | 3.3931942 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0274503E-5 | 1.7907729E-5 | 2.7907548E-5 | 1.5584081 | 1.0E-5 | 2.468141E-4 | 2.1800504E-4 | 2.2800286E-4 | 1.0458605 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024654015 | 0.0021779384 | 0.0021978947 | 1.009163 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.7998386E-6 | 3.2140135E-6 | 1.3213981E-5 | 4.1113644 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6284921E-5 | 1.3774272E-5 | 2.3774135E-5 | 1.7259812 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9825088E-4 | 1.6768898E-4 | 1.776873E-4 | 1.0596242 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001980741 | 0.0016756366 | 0.0016856199 | 1.0059578 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2656465E-6 | 2.6983641E-6 | 1.2698337E-5 | 4.705939 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3995553E-5 | 1.1564368E-5 | 2.1564252E-5 | 1.8647152 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7038253E-4 | 1.4078719E-4 | 1.5078578E-4 | 1.0710192 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017025196 | 0.0014069912 | 0.001416977 | 1.0070974 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.593703E-6 | 2.0680209E-6 | 2.0680209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1115822E-5 | 8.862917E-6 | 8.862917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3532673E-4 | 1.0790076E-4 | 1.0790076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013524436 | 0.0010784926 | 0.0010784926 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.8715585E-6 | 1.4137261E-6 | 1.4137261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.020941E-6 | 6.0588127E-6 | 6.0588127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7650576E-5 | 7.376361E-5 | 7.376361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7607676E-4 | 7.373973E-4 | 7.373973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2246786E-6 | 8.526933E-7 | 8.526933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.248612E-6 | 3.654395E-6 | 3.654395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.389998E-5 | 4.4491397E-5 | 4.4491397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3881604E-4 | 4.4482938E-4 | 4.4482938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.140719E-7 | 2.734647E-7 | 2.734647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2031636E-6 | 1.1719911E-6 | 1.1719911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6823185E-5 | 1.4268912E-5 | 1.4268912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6819948E-4 | 1.4268131E-4 | 1.4268131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.782997E-9 | 9.782997E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137237E-6 | 4.1137237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763013E-5 | 1.763013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462631E-4 | 2.2462418E-4 | 1.0465826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442543 | 0.0021642114 | 1.0093073 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137237E-6 | 4.1137237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763013E-5 | 1.763013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462631E-4 | 2.2462418E-4 | 1.0465826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442543 | 0.0021642114 | 1.0093073 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137237E-6 | 4.1137237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763013E-5 | 1.763013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462631E-4 | 2.2462418E-4 | 1.0465826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442543 | 0.0021642114 | 1.0093073 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137237E-6 | 4.1137237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763013E-5 | 1.763013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462631E-4 | 2.2462418E-4 | 1.0465826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442543 | 0.0021642114 | 1.0093073 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137237E-6 | 4.1137237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763013E-5 | 1.763013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462631E-4 | 2.2462418E-4 | 1.0465826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442543 | 0.0021642114 | 1.0093073 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9731525E-6 | 2.9731525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742021E-5 | 1.2742021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512321E-4 | 1.6512166E-4 | 1.0644549 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501645 | 0.0015701335 | 1.0128819 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9731525E-6 | 2.9731525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742021E-5 | 1.2742021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512321E-4 | 1.6512166E-4 | 1.0644549 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501645 | 0.0015701335 | 1.0128819 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6582188E-6 | 2.6582188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1392317E-5 | 1.1392317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3869273E-4 | 1.3869273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013860727 | 0.0013960588 | 1.0072047 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.304777E-6 | 2.304777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.877579E-6 | 9.877579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2025296E-4 | 1.2025296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001214175 | 0.0012018863 | 0.0012018863 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0696393E-6 | 2.0696393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.869853E-6 | 8.869853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0798517E-4 | 1.0798517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010793328 | 0.0010793328 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.678702E-6 | 1.678702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.194418E-6 | 7.194418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.758855E-5 | 8.758855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.7554415E-4 | 8.7554415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3815738E-6 | 1.3815738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.9210174E-6 | 5.9210174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.2086026E-5 | 7.2086026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.206291E-4 | 7.206291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.603764E-7 | 8.603764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6873223E-6 | 3.6873223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4892236E-5 | 4.4892236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.4883275E-4 | 4.4883275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.628195E-7 | 5.628195E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4120814E-6 | 2.4120814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.93667E-5 | 2.93667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.936287E-4 | 2.936287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.572822E-7 | 3.572822E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312086E-6 | 1.5312086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8642308E-5 | 1.8642308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8640768E-4 | 1.8640768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.583036E-7 | 1.583036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.784439E-7 | 6.784439E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260024E-6 | 8.260024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.259725E-5 | 8.259725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352638E-8 | 1.7352638E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054355E-7 | 9.054355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.0543235E-6 | 9.0543235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.96545E-6 | 1.896536E-5 | 2.115383 | 1.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8422837E-5 | 4.842245E-5 | 1.2602519 | 1.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.677055E-4 | 4.777008E-4 | 1.021371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004667994 | 0.0046779476 | 1.0021323 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.96545E-6 | 1.896536E-5 | 2.115383 | 1.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8422837E-5 | 4.842245E-5 | 1.2602519 | 1.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.677055E-4 | 4.777008E-4 | 1.021371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004667994 | 0.0046779476 | 1.0021323 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.96545E-6 | 1.896536E-5 | 2.115383 | 1.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8422837E-5 | 4.842245E-5 | 1.2602519 | 1.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.677055E-4 | 4.777008E-4 | 1.021371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004667994 | 0.0046779476 | 1.0021323 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.96545E-6 | 1.896536E-5 | 2.115383 | 1.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8422837E-5 | 4.842245E-5 | 1.2602519 | 1.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.677055E-4 | 4.777008E-4 | 1.021371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004667994 | 0.0046779476 | 1.0021323 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.9412016E-6 | 3.9412016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6890757E-5 | 1.6890757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0562584E-4 | 2.1562378E-4 | 1.048622 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020378039 | 0.0020543844 | 0.002064364 | 1.0048577 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.9412016E-6 | 3.9412016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6890757E-5 | 1.6890757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0562584E-4 | 2.1562378E-4 | 1.048622 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020378039 | 0.0020543844 | 0.002064364 | 1.0048577 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0587726E-6 | 3.0753877E-6 | 3.0753877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3108959E-5 | 1.3180167E-5 | 1.3180167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.595899E-4 | 1.6045682E-4 | 1.7045523E-4 | 1.062312 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015947534 | 0.0016034218 | 0.0016134058 | 1.0062267 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6160574E-6 | 2.6251269E-6 | 2.6251269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1211626E-5 | 1.1250496E-5 | 1.1250496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3649299E-4 | 1.3696624E-4 | 1.4696487E-4 | 1.0730007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013640919 | 0.0013688244 | 0.0013788106 | 1.0072955 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5110312E-6 | 2.5181398E-6 | 2.5181398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0761518E-5 | 1.0791983E-5 | 1.0791983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.310136E-4 | 1.3138453E-4 | 1.4138322E-4 | 1.0761025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013093639 | 0.0013130745 | 0.0013230613 | 1.0076057 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8564405E-6 | 1.8524869E-6 | 1.8524869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.95615E-6 | 7.939206E-6 | 7.939206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.686181E-5 | 9.665556E-5 | 9.665556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.68196E-4 | 9.661372E-4 | 9.661372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.546127E-6 | 1.5369538E-6 | 1.5369538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626242E-6 | 6.5869285E-6 | 6.5869285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.06715E-5 | 8.0192905E-5 | 8.0192905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0642226E-4 | 8.016404E-4 | 8.016404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3368208E-6 | 1.3235327E-6 | 1.3235327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7292195E-6 | 5.672271E-6 | 5.672271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.975101E-5 | 6.9057714E-5 | 6.9057714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.972912E-4 | 6.9036306E-4 | 6.9036306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0623363E-6 | 1.045437E-6 | 1.045437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5528623E-6 | 4.4804365E-6 | 4.4804365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5429686E-5 | 5.4547952E-5 | 5.4547952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5415864E-4 | 5.453459E-4 | 5.453459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.831679E-7 | 7.727393E-7 | 7.727393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3564295E-6 | 3.3117358E-6 | 3.3117358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.086376E-5 | 4.0319635E-5 | 4.0319635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856248E-4 | 4.0312335E-4 | 4.0312335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9558846E-7 | 5.9106407E-7 | 5.9106407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5525194E-6 | 2.5331292E-6 | 2.5331292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.107648E-5 | 3.0840412E-5 | 3.0840412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1072134E-4 | 3.083614E-4 | 3.083614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.1616502E-7 | 4.1196358E-7 | 4.1196358E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835631E-6 | 1.765557E-6 | 1.765557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1714664E-5 | 2.1495445E-5 | 2.1495445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1712543E-4 | 2.1493371E-4 | 2.1493371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3816014E-7 | 2.3376582E-7 | 2.3376582E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0206859E-6 | 1.0018531E-6 | 1.0018531E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.242678E-5 | 1.2197494E-5 | 1.2197494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2426086E-4 | 1.2196826E-4 | 1.2196826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.918777E-8 | 9.386786E-8 | 9.386786E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2509038E-7 | 4.022908E-7 | 4.022908E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1754632E-6 | 4.897879E-6 | 4.897879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1753424E-5 | 4.8977716E-5 | 4.8977716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4982556E-8 | 2.9686523E-8 | 2.9686523E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4992524E-7 | 1.2722796E-7 | 1.2722796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253382E-6 | 1.5489993E-6 | 1.5489993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253233E-5 | 1.5489886E-5 | 1.5489886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6624908E-8 | 1.1476823E-8 | 1.1476823E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.12496E-8 | 4.9186387E-8 | 4.9186387E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6746354E-7 | 5.988441E-7 | 5.988441E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.674601E-6 | 5.988425E-6 | 5.988425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.3352315E-9 | 3.0885463E-9 | 3.0885463E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.715099E-8 | 1.3236627E-8 | 1.3236627E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056327E-7 | 1.6115591E-7 | 1.6115591E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056278E-6 | 1.611558E-6 | 1.611558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622522E-5 | 7.622522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2664195E-4 | 3.3663868E-4 | 1.0306046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003970148 | 0.0039900686 | 1.0050176 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904884 | 0.03906806 | 1.0004922 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622522E-5 | 7.622522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2664195E-4 | 3.3663868E-4 | 1.0306046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003970148 | 0.0039900686 | 1.0050176 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904884 | 0.03906806 | 1.0004922 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622522E-5 | 7.622522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2664195E-4 | 3.3663868E-4 | 1.0306046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003970148 | 0.0039900686 | 1.0050176 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904884 | 0.03906806 | 1.0004922 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9748713E-5 | 4.9748713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319262E-4 | 2.231905E-4 | 1.046896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025927392 | 0.0026027132 | 1.0038469 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646599 | 0.025656343 | 1.0003799 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9748713E-5 | 4.9748713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319262E-4 | 2.231905E-4 | 1.046896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025927392 | 0.0026027132 | 1.0038469 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646599 | 0.025656343 | 1.0003799 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.65614E-5 | 3.65614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5668297E-4 | 1.666814E-4 | 1.0638131 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019060619 | 0.0019160429 | 1.0052364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.018909073 | 0.018918883 | 1.0005188 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.51542E-5 | 3.51542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5065282E-4 | 1.6065131E-4 | 1.0663677 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018327683 | 0.00184275 | 1.0054462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018188147 | 0.018197965 | 1.0005398 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.724814E-5 | 2.724814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.1677303E-4 | 1.2677186E-4 | 1.0856262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001192729 | 0.001420876 | 0.0014308619 | 1.0070279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011863477 | 0.0141271455 | 0.0141370045 | 1.0006979 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5431746E-5 | 2.5431746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0898915E-4 | 1.18988064E-4 | 1.0917423 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013262255 | 0.0013362122 | 1.0075302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011065915 | 0.013192143 | 0.013202012 | 1.000748 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2613433E-5 | 2.2613433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.69116E-5 | 1.0691064E-4 | 1.1031768 | 1.0E-5 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011793475 | 0.0011893357 | 1.0084692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009869894 | 0.011739573 | 0.011749456 | 1.0008419 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0319252E-5 | 2.0319252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.708009E-5 | 8.708009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010597695 | 0.0010597695 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008882134 | 0.010555593 | 0.010555593 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.8994664E-5 | 1.8994664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.140364E-5 | 8.140364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.907234E-4 | 9.907234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008304977 | 0.00987143 | 0.00987143 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.719715E-5 | 1.719715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.370046E-5 | 7.370046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.9701766E-4 | 8.9701766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007520827 | 0.008942238 | 0.008942238 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.203645E-6 | 6.203645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6586977E-5 | 2.6586977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.2368326E-4 | 3.2368326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032355408 | 0.0032355408 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.4083433E-7 | 8.4083433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.603571E-6 | 3.603571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3872667E-5 | 4.3872667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.386473E-4 | 4.386473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.667226E-7 | 6.667226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8573797E-6 | 2.8573797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.478811E-5 | 3.478811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.478333E-4 | 3.478333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5620013E-7 | 3.5620013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5265713E-6 | 1.5265713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8585893E-5 | 1.8585893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.85848E-4 | 1.85848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.219837E-7 | 1.219837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.227872E-7 | 5.227872E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.3649163E-6 | 6.3649163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.364738E-5 | 6.364738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1027568E-8 | 3.1027568E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3297529E-7 | 1.3297529E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6189731E-6 | 1.6189731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6189633E-5 | 1.6189633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.869429E-4 | 1.026519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.869429E-4 | 1.026519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.869429E-4 | 1.026519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.869429E-4 | 1.026519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.869429E-4 | 1.026519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.869429E-4 | 1.026519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.869429E-4 | 1.026519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.3970933E-6 | 6.3970933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.741584E-5 | 2.741584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.337389E-4 | 3.4373556E-4 | 1.0299536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031709734 | 0.003332596 | 0.0033425628 | 1.0029907 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.950576E-6 | 5.950576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.5502231E-5 | 2.5502231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.1044747E-4 | 3.2044438E-4 | 1.0322015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002945339 | 0.0031003426 | 0.0031103117 | 1.0032154 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.8638153E-6 | 4.8638153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0844765E-5 | 2.0844765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.537569E-4 | 2.6375437E-4 | 1.0393978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023981342 | 0.0025348158 | 0.0025447903 | 1.0039351 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.7474546E-6 | 4.7474546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9232413E-5 | 2.0346082E-5 | 2.0346082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4768687E-4 | 2.5768438E-4 | 1.0403636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023388295 | 0.0024742517 | 0.002484227 | 1.0040317 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.4293919E-6 | 3.4293919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4697315E-5 | 1.4697315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7892578E-4 | 1.88924E-4 | 1.0558791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016703589 | 0.0017878833 | 0.0017978655 | 1.0055832 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.3784671E-6 | 2.3784671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4545085E-6 | 1.0193393E-5 | 1.0193393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.2409795E-4 | 1.3409671E-4 | 1.0805715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011504296 | 0.0012403313 | 0.001250319 | 1.0080523 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.5216344E-6 | 1.5216344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.5212744E-6 | 6.5212744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.9393714E-5 | 8.9392925E-5 | 1.1259445 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.936626E-4 | 8.036547E-4 | 1.0125898 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.2586951E-6 | 1.2586951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.394397E-6 | 5.394397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.567488E-5 | 6.567488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.565631E-4 | 6.565631E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 9.2768295E-7 | 9.2768295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.9757783E-6 | 3.9757783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.8404094E-5 | 4.8404094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.8394228E-4 | 4.8394228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 6.002896E-7 | 6.002896E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.5726674E-6 | 2.5726674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 3.1321826E-5 | 3.1321826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5539953E-4 | 3.1317896E-4 | 3.1317896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.7888216E-8 | 6.7888216E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.9094946E-7 | 2.9094946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5423045E-6 | 3.5423045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.5422527E-5 | 3.5422527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.488559E-9 | 9.488559E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0665252E-8 | 4.0665252E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.9509936E-7 | 4.9509936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.950984E-6 | 4.950984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003258873 | 0.0032788077 | 1.0061171 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003258873 | 0.0032788077 | 1.0061171 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003258873 | 0.0032788077 | 1.0061171 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003258873 | 0.0032788077 | 1.0061171 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003258873 | 0.0032788077 | 1.0061171 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003258873 | 0.0032788077 | 1.0061171 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 6.254862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 2.6806301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 3.263223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003258873 | 0.0032788077 | 1.0061171 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.5252344E-6 | 5.5252344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3679384E-5 | 2.3679384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8826247E-4 | 2.8826247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028792885 | 0.002899231 | 1.0069262 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.5252344E-6 | 5.5252344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3679384E-5 | 2.3679384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8826247E-4 | 2.8826247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028792885 | 0.002899231 | 1.0069262 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.744377E-6 | 4.9394253E-6 | 4.9394253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0332885E-5 | 2.1168813E-5 | 2.1168813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4752476E-4 | 2.5770356E-4 | 2.5770356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024724922 | 0.0025744147 | 0.0025943632 | 1.0077487 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.722209E-6 | 4.916468E-6 | 4.916468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0237881E-5 | 2.1070427E-5 | 2.1070427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4636835E-4 | 2.5650597E-4 | 2.5650597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002460954 | 0.0025624665 | 0.0025824152 | 1.007785 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.611174E-6 | 4.8014035E-6 | 4.8014035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9762025E-5 | 2.0577303E-5 | 2.0577303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4057609E-4 | 2.505036E-4 | 2.505036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002403158 | 0.0025025792 | 0.002522529 | 1.0079718 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.043994E-6 | 4.212022E-6 | 4.212022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7331287E-5 | 1.8051418E-5 | 1.8051418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10988E-4 | 2.1975742E-4 | 2.1975742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002107878 | 0.0021957518 | 0.0022057297 | 1.0045443 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1233036E-6 | 2.2297845E-6 | 2.2297845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.099841E-6 | 9.5561845E-6 | 9.5561845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1078493E-4 | 1.1634039E-4 | 1.1634039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011072971 | 0.0011628004 | 0.0011727888 | 1.00859 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9051884E-6 | 2.0014945E-6 | 2.0014945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.165067E-6 | 8.577806E-6 | 8.577806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.940516E-5 | 1.0442983E-4 | 1.0442983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.93607E-4 | 0.001043813 | 0.0010538024 | 1.0095702 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2408497E-6 | 1.3038822E-6 | 1.3038822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.317916E-6 | 5.5880546E-6 | 5.5880546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4743705E-5 | 6.803246E-5 | 6.803246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4724847E-4 | 6.801185E-4 | 6.801185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.5440025E-7 | 6.886708E-7 | 6.886708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8045695E-6 | 2.951443E-6 | 2.951443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4145098E-5 | 3.593324E-5 | 3.593324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4139853E-4 | 3.5927573E-4 | 3.5927573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.985963E-7 | 4.193073E-7 | 4.193073E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7082689E-6 | 1.7970301E-6 | 1.7970301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0797976E-5 | 2.1878634E-5 | 2.1878634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0796029E-4 | 2.1876597E-4 | 2.1876597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.706329E-8 | 3.8591754E-8 | 3.8591754E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5884267E-7 | 1.6539322E-7 | 1.6539322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9339077E-6 | 2.0136606E-6 | 2.0136606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.933891E-5 | 2.0136436E-5 | 2.0136436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9759926E-5 | 1.9759926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.468276E-5 | 9.468191E-5 | 1.1180778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010305439 | 0.0010505234 | 1.0193872 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010264172 | 0.010283967 | 1.0019286 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9759926E-5 | 1.9759926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.468276E-5 | 9.468191E-5 | 1.1180778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010305439 | 0.0010505234 | 1.0193872 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010264172 | 0.010283967 | 1.0019286 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9759926E-5 | 1.9759926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.468276E-5 | 9.468191E-5 | 1.1180778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010305439 | 0.0010505234 | 1.0193872 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010264172 | 0.010283967 | 1.0019286 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.774119E-5 | 1.774119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.6031545E-5 | 8.6030785E-5 | 1.1315143 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2530495E-4 | 9.452865E-4 | 1.0215945 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.009220534 | 0.00924035 | 1.0021491 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.774119E-5 | 1.774119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.6031545E-5 | 8.6030785E-5 | 1.1315143 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2530495E-4 | 9.452865E-4 | 1.0215945 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.009220534 | 0.00924035 | 1.0021491 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.774119E-5 | 1.774119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.6031545E-5 | 8.6030785E-5 | 1.1315143 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2530495E-4 | 9.452865E-4 | 1.0215945 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.009220534 | 0.00924035 | 1.0021491 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.7003118E-5 | 1.7003118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2234634E-5 | 7.286856E-5 | 8.286783E-5 | 1.1372234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010007467 | 8.8682986E-4 | 9.068121E-4 | 1.0225322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00996252 | 0.008839108 | 0.008858932 | 1.0022427 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.4732275E-5 | 1.4732275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546184E-5 | 6.3136846E-5 | 6.3136846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.684298E-4 | 7.784221E-4 | 1.0130036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009145746 | 0.007664254 | 0.0076741776 | 1.0012947 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.378303E-5 | 1.378303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.9068843E-5 | 5.9068843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8517193E-4 | 7.189345E-4 | 7.289274E-4 | 1.0138994 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008816543 | 0.0071718874 | 0.007181816 | 1.0013844 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.2846334E-5 | 1.2846334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.50546E-5 | 5.50546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.7009137E-4 | 6.800847E-4 | 1.0149133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008315775 | 0.006686092 | 0.0066960254 | 1.0014856 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 1.044729E-5 | 1.044729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.477335E-5 | 4.477335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.944992E-4 | 5.4498186E-4 | 5.5497646E-4 | 1.0183393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006923327 | 0.0054400126 | 0.005449958 | 1.0018282 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.937265E-6 | 9.937265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5136024E-5 | 4.2587595E-5 | 4.2587595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.710743E-4 | 5.1838317E-4 | 5.2837795E-4 | 1.0192808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066905143 | 0.005174955 | 0.0051849033 | 1.0019224 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 8.63353E-6 | 8.63353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.700033E-5 | 3.700033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.5038768E-4 | 4.6038316E-4 | 1.0221931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060604266 | 0.004496211 | 0.004506166 | 1.0022141 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 7.2007847E-6 | 7.2007847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2893007E-5 | 3.086015E-5 | 3.086015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.75659E-4 | 3.8565524E-4 | 1.0266099 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005208723 | 0.0037506383 | 0.0037606007 | 1.0026562 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 6.4098203E-6 | 6.4098203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.7470376E-5 | 2.7470376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.3440188E-4 | 3.4439855E-4 | 1.0298941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00474572 | 0.0033391395 | 0.003349106 | 1.0029848 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 5.3822882E-6 | 5.3822882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.3066752E-5 | 2.3066752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.8080278E-4 | 2.9079997E-4 | 1.0356022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0028046062 | 0.0028145784 | 1.0035555 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.6773716E-6 | 4.6773716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.990303E-5 | 2.004573E-5 | 2.004573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.4403061E-4 | 2.540282E-4 | 1.0409684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003634129 | 0.0024377427 | 0.0024477183 | 1.0040921 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.328132E-6 | 2.328132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835715E-5 | 9.977675E-6 | 9.977675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.2147216E-4 | 1.2147216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021691616 | 0.0012141307 | 0.0012141307 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384396E-8 | 9.384396E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966353E-6 | 4.8966353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.89656E-5 | 4.89656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.971441E-5 | 5.971391E-5 | 1.201139 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.130457E-4 | 2.2304356E-4 | 1.0469283 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.002590938 | 0.002600912 | 1.0038496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.02561842 | 0.025637908 | 1.0007607 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.971441E-5 | 5.971391E-5 | 1.201139 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.130457E-4 | 2.2304356E-4 | 1.0469283 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.002590938 | 0.002600912 | 1.0038496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.02561842 | 0.025637908 | 1.0007607 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9669607E-5 | 3.966931E-5 | 1.3370352 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2714945E-4 | 1.3714819E-4 | 1.0786376 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015469724 | 0.001556957 | 1.0064542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015364838 | 0.015374684 | 1.0006409 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.316239E-5 | 3.316216E-5 | 1.4317243 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.926369E-5 | 1.092627E-4 | 1.1007317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012078787 | 0.0012178667 | 1.008269 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012017938 | 0.012012135 | 0.012022015 | 1.0008225 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9668036E-5 | 2.9667839E-5 | 1.5084292 | 1.0E-5 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.428891E-5 | 9.428807E-5 | 1.1186296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010257445 | 0.0010357342 | 1.009739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010415946 | 0.010211463 | 0.01022136 | 1.0009693 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7115373E-5 | 2.7115202E-5 | 1.5842601 | 1.0E-5 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.3349576E-5 | 8.334884E-5 | 1.1363235 | 1.0E-5 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.9267216E-4 | 9.026632E-4 | 1.0111923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009229303 | 0.008874648 | 0.008884559 | 1.0011168 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4340845E-5 | 2.4340703E-5 | 1.697299 | 1.0E-5 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.1459345E-5 | 7.145874E-5 | 1.1626992 | 1.0E-5 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.480159E-4 | 7.580084E-4 | 1.0133587 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007914 | 0.007441019 | 0.0074509447 | 1.001334 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.167425E-5 | 2.1674134E-5 | 1.8565761 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0031565E-5 | 6.0031067E-5 | 1.1998638 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.089683E-4 | 6.189622E-4 | 1.0164112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060622953 | 0.006072235 | 1.0016395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0610358E-5 | 2.0610252E-5 | 1.9424653 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5472192E-5 | 5.5471737E-5 | 1.2199047 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.534874E-4 | 5.634818E-4 | 1.0180572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0055044 | 0.005514345 | 1.0018067 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.88226E-6 | 1.7882183E-5 | 2.2686615 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3780696E-5 | 4.3780357E-5 | 1.296017 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.112053E-4 | 4.212012E-4 | 1.0243088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004089502 | 0.0040994613 | 1.0024353 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.1074267E-6 | 1.51073755E-5 | 2.9579232 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1888789E-5 | 3.1888572E-5 | 1.4568449 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6646355E-4 | 2.764609E-4 | 1.0375186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026614561 | 0.0026714297 | 1.0037473 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.1773346E-6 | 1.41772925E-5 | 3.3938608 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7902741E-5 | 2.7902563E-5 | 1.5585637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1794418E-4 | 2.27942E-4 | 1.0458733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026125133 | 0.002177316 | 0.0021872942 | 1.0045828 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2820874E-6 | 1.3282054E-5 | 4.0468316 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4066013E-5 | 2.4065874E-5 | 1.7109234 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7124035E-4 | 1.8123863E-4 | 1.0583874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017110935 | 0.0017210764 | 1.0058342 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4404928E-6 | 1.2440469E-5 | 5.097523 | 1.0E-5 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0459213E-5 | 2.0459109E-5 | 1.9560848 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2733355E-4 | 1.3733227E-4 | 1.0785239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012726128 | 0.0012826001 | 1.0078479 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7680296E-6 | 1.7680296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.577248E-6 | 7.577248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.2249145E-5 | 9.2249145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.2211383E-4 | 9.2211383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.378286E-7 | 9.378286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.0192594E-6 | 4.0192594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.893342E-5 | 4.893342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.8923E-4 | 4.8923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4113425E-7 | 6.4113425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7477154E-6 | 2.7477154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.3452943E-5 | 3.3452943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.344812E-4 | 3.344812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.4492745E-8 | 6.4492745E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7639746E-7 | 2.7639746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.365134E-6 | 3.365134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.365086E-5 | 3.365086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hollywood
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593198E-5 | 1.2593198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.396976E-5 | 5.396976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5688835E-4 | 6.5688835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006549955 | 0.0065598893 | 1.0015167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593198E-5 | 1.2593198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.396976E-5 | 5.396976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5688835E-4 | 6.5688835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006549955 | 0.0065598893 | 1.0015167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593198E-5 | 1.2593198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.396976E-5 | 5.396976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5688835E-4 | 6.5688835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006549955 | 0.0065598893 | 1.0015167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593198E-5 | 1.2593198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.396976E-5 | 5.396976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5688835E-4 | 6.5688835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006549955 | 0.0065598893 | 1.0015167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.2573812E-5 | 1.2573812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.3886677E-5 | 5.3886677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.5587746E-4 | 6.5587746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064653796 | 0.006539905 | 0.00654984 | 1.0015191 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1317775E-5 | 1.1317775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.850386E-5 | 4.850386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.903772E-4 | 5.903772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058488925 | 0.005888375 | 0.005898316 | 1.0016882 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.1308889E-5 | 1.1308889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.846578E-5 | 4.846578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.899138E-4 | 5.899138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005844661 | 0.0058837654 | 0.0058937063 | 1.0016896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1303632E-5 | 1.1303632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.8443253E-5 | 4.8443253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.896397E-4 | 5.896397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058422405 | 0.0058810385 | 0.00589098 | 1.0016904 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.0218422E-5 | 1.0218422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.3792515E-5 | 4.3792515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.3304556E-4 | 5.3304556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005335517 | 0.005317896 | 0.0053278427 | 1.0018704 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 9.1102875E-6 | 9.1102875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.9043513E-5 | 3.9043513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.7525272E-4 | 4.7525272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048161 | 0.004742537 | 0.0047524897 | 1.0020986 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.25824E-6 | 8.25824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.5391986E-5 | 3.5391986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.3081367E-4 | 4.3081367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004412184 | 0.0042999354 | 0.004309892 | 1.0023156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.2683553E-6 | 6.2683553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.6864105E-5 | 2.6864105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.2702181E-4 | 3.2702181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034605677 | 0.0032654519 | 0.0032754194 | 1.0030524 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 5.1086954E-6 | 5.1086954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.1894226E-5 | 2.1894226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.6652974E-4 | 2.6652974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028912104 | 0.0026621174 | 0.0026720907 | 1.0037464 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.959881E-6 | 3.959881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6970807E-5 | 1.6970807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.0660007E-4 | 2.0660007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022442779 | 0.0020640902 | 0.0020740696 | 1.0048348 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.701292E-6 | 2.701292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.1576914E-5 | 1.1576914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.4093987E-4 | 1.4093987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014886294 | 0.0014085099 | 0.0014085099 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.8976333E-6 | 1.8976333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.540134E-6 | 8.132689E-6 | 8.132689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.901103E-5 | 9.901103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010392254 | 9.896727E-4 | 9.896727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.2215977E-6 | 1.2215977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.235408E-6 | 5.235408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.373925E-5 | 6.373925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159987E-4 | 6.3721166E-4 | 6.3721166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.27767E-7 | 6.27767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.6904272E-6 | 2.6904272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.2755474E-5 | 3.2755474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0083472E-4 | 3.2750794E-4 | 3.2750794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.4534484E-7 | 2.4534484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5669474E-6 | 1.0514775E-6 | 1.0514775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.2801666E-5 | 1.2801666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.907578E-4 | 1.2800966E-4 | 1.2800966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 5.381607E-8 | 5.381607E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.306403E-7 | 2.306403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.91466E-6 | 2.8080433E-6 | 2.8080433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9145907E-5 | 2.8080207E-5 | 2.8080207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gorgonio Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.706029E-5 | 6.705972E-5 | 1.1752433 | 1.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.944962E-4 | 7.0448924E-4 | 1.0143889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.006929504 | 0.006939435 | 1.0014331 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.706029E-5 | 6.705972E-5 | 1.1752433 | 1.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.944962E-4 | 7.0448924E-4 | 1.0143889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.006929504 | 0.006939435 | 1.0014331 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.706029E-5 | 6.705972E-5 | 1.1752433 | 1.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.944962E-4 | 7.0448924E-4 | 1.0143889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.006929504 | 0.006939435 | 1.0014331 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.706029E-5 | 6.705972E-5 | 1.1752433 | 1.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.944962E-4 | 7.0448924E-4 | 1.0143889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.006929504 | 0.006939435 | 1.0014331 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.706029E-5 | 6.705972E-5 | 1.1752433 | 1.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.944962E-4 | 7.0448924E-4 | 1.0143889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.006929504 | 0.006939435 | 1.0014331 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.706029E-5 | 6.705972E-5 | 1.1752433 | 1.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.944962E-4 | 7.0448924E-4 | 1.0143889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.006929504 | 0.006939435 | 1.0014331 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.3314348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.706029E-5 | 6.705972E-5 | 1.1752433 | 1.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.944962E-4 | 7.0448924E-4 | 1.0143889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.006929504 | 0.006939435 | 1.0014331 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987586E-6 | 1.2618623E-5 | 1.2618623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9946454E-5 | 5.4078737E-5 | 6.4078195E-5 | 1.1849055 | 1.0E-5 | 3.645371E-4 | 6.582178E-4 | 6.6821126E-4 | 1.0151825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036393967 | 0.0065688808 | 0.0065788147 | 1.0015123 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.987586E-6 | 1.2618623E-5 | 1.2618623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9946454E-5 | 5.4078737E-5 | 6.4078195E-5 | 1.1849055 | 1.0E-5 | 3.645371E-4 | 6.582178E-4 | 6.6821126E-4 | 1.0151825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036393967 | 0.0065688808 | 0.0065788147 | 1.0015123 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.504702E-6 | 1.1049488E-5 | 1.1049488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3591367E-5 | 4.7354122E-5 | 4.7354122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8718702E-4 | 5.7638896E-4 | 5.7638896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028681618 | 0.005754834 | 0.005754834 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.4825764E-6 | 1.102583E-5 | 1.102583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3496545E-5 | 4.7252728E-5 | 4.7252728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8603288E-4 | 5.751552E-4 | 5.751552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00285665 | 0.0057425597 | 0.0057425597 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.4692787E-6 | 1.101154E-5 | 1.101154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3439556E-5 | 4.719149E-5 | 4.719149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8533922E-4 | 5.7440996E-4 | 5.7440996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028497311 | 0.005735146 | 0.005735146 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.453661E-6 | 1.0994567E-5 | 1.0994567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3372622E-5 | 4.711875E-5 | 4.711875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8452452E-4 | 5.735248E-4 | 5.735248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002841605 | 0.00572634 | 0.00572634 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.4422303E-6 | 1.0981489E-5 | 1.0981489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3323635E-5 | 4.7062706E-5 | 4.7062706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8392827E-4 | 5.7284284E-4 | 5.7284284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028356577 | 0.005719556 | 0.005719556 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.398595E-6 | 1.0928854E-5 | 1.0928854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.313663E-5 | 4.6837133E-5 | 4.6837133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8165206E-4 | 5.7009794E-4 | 5.7009794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028129534 | 0.0056922478 | 0.0056922478 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.3578788E-6 | 1.0855399E-5 | 1.0855399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2962136E-5 | 4.6522335E-5 | 4.6522335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7952815E-4 | 5.662673E-4 | 5.662673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002791768 | 0.0056541697 | 0.0056541697 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8091474E-6 | 9.603768E-6 | 9.603768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0610469E-5 | 4.1158386E-5 | 4.1158386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5090357E-4 | 5.0099293E-4 | 5.0099293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062046 | 0.005004861 | 0.005004861 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.5991155E-6 | 3.3528352E-6 | 3.3528352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853334E-6 | 1.4369216E-5 | 1.4369216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343615E-5 | 1.7493141E-4 | 1.7493141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.340483E-4 | 0.0017533815 | 0.0017533815 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.258398E-7 | 2.0579537E-6 | 2.0579537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.967879E-6 | 8.819771E-6 | 8.819771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8307855E-5 | 1.0737545E-4 | 1.0737545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8297356E-4 | 0.0010786671 | 0.0010786671 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.975575E-7 | 1.2291197E-6 | 1.2291197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5609581E-6 | 5.2676455E-6 | 5.2676455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117922E-5 | 6.41317E-5 | 6.41317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1174847E-4 | 6.4637105E-4 | 6.4637105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.4413725E-7 | 6.714329E-7 | 6.714329E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4748731E-6 | 2.8775662E-6 | 2.8775662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7956432E-5 | 3.5033812E-5 | 3.5033812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7954981E-4 | 3.5383968E-4 | 3.5383968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.1787731E-8 | 9.631694E-9 | 9.631694E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0518846E-8 | 4.127869E-8 | 4.127869E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506677E-7 | 5.025679E-7 | 5.025679E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506507E-6 | 5.2389055E-6 | 5.2389055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Green Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.9629346E-5 | 1.7302911E-4 | 1.7302911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2691303E-4 | 7.4132346E-4 | 7.4132346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051852856 | 0.008986877 | 0.008986877 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.050659515 | 0.085538186 | 0.08554733 | 1.0001069 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.88615E-5 | 1.715021E-4 | 1.715021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2362334E-4 | 7.347829E-4 | 7.347829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051454236 | 0.008907905 | 0.008907905 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.050279044 | 0.08482581 | 0.084834956 | 1.0001079 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.696895E-5 | 1.6789259E-4 | 1.6789259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.15515E-4 | 7.1932294E-4 | 7.1932294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050471667 | 0.008721288 | 0.008721288 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04934063 | 0.083134584 | 0.083143756 | 1.0001103 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.275224E-5 | 1.5968595E-4 | 1.5968595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9744904E-4 | 6.8417034E-4 | 6.8417034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048282105 | 0.00829661 | 0.00829661 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047246475 | 0.07927365 | 0.07927365 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 8.391499E-5 | 1.4365945E-4 | 1.4365945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.595861E-4 | 6.155214E-4 | 6.155214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004369175 | 0.007467142 | 0.007467142 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04284265 | 0.07164658 | 0.07164658 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.9519385E-5 | 9.9327124E-5 | 9.9327124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5505814E-4 | 4.2560237E-4 | 4.2560237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031009112 | 0.0051683118 | 0.0051683118 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030579966 | 0.050147183 | 0.050147183 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.5361558E-5 | 7.402032E-5 | 7.402032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9439218E-4 | 3.1717605E-4 | 3.1717605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023641558 | 0.0038538422 | 0.0038538422 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023391623 | 0.03766726 | 0.03766726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.8808106E-5 | 6.2644474E-5 | 6.2644474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6630985E-4 | 2.684362E-4 | 2.684362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020229418 | 0.0032627091 | 0.0032627091 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020046256 | 0.032007374 | 0.032007374 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.2284667E-5 | 3.1285686E-5 | 3.1285686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.550222E-5 | 1.3407464E-4 | 1.3407464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011621192 | 0.0016311355 | 0.0016311355 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011560607 | 0.016166652 | 0.016166652 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8050168E-5 | 2.4448496E-5 | 2.4448496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.735557E-5 | 1.0477509E-4 | 1.0477509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4139716E-4 | 0.0012748933 | 0.0012748933 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009374191 | 0.01266912 | 0.01266912 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4763166E-5 | 1.9583209E-5 | 1.9583209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.326917E-5 | 8.392534E-5 | 8.392534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7002996E-4 | 0.0010213135 | 0.0010213135 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007673672 | 0.010166272 | 0.010166272 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2399713E-5 | 1.6304017E-5 | 1.6304017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3140546E-5 | 6.98725E-5 | 6.98725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.467941E-4 | 8.5036765E-4 | 8.5036765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006449148 | 0.008471853 | 0.008471853 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0584195E-5 | 1.3922024E-5 | 1.3922024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5360044E-5 | 5.966446E-5 | 5.966446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521186E-4 | 7.2617433E-4 | 7.2617433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055074887 | 0.007238685 | 0.007238685 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.998173E-6 | 1.0544236E-5 | 1.0544236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277433E-5 | 4.5188805E-5 | 4.5188805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1724785E-4 | 5.500359E-4 | 5.500359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004164653 | 0.0054871747 | 0.0054871747 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.7571127E-6 | 8.932888E-6 | 8.932888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8958733E-5 | 3.8283248E-5 | 3.8283248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5251552E-4 | 4.659998E-4 | 4.659998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035195686 | 0.004650622 | 0.004650622 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.69878E-6 | 7.516469E-6 | 7.516469E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4423114E-5 | 3.2213047E-5 | 3.2213047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9731085E-4 | 3.9212414E-4 | 3.9212414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002969134 | 0.0039146906 | 0.0039146906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.503664E-6 | 5.93581E-6 | 5.93581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9301275E-5 | 2.5438942E-5 | 2.5438942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3496768E-4 | 3.0967593E-4 | 3.0967593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002347194 | 0.0030927174 | 0.0030927174 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0873546E-6 | 1.4107492E-6 | 1.4107492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6600826E-6 | 6.0460543E-6 | 6.0460543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6735033E-5 | 7.360825E-5 | 7.360825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.672055E-4 | 7.358816E-4 | 7.358816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9373917E-8 | 6.177954E-8 | 6.177954E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1160248E-7 | 2.6476943E-7 | 2.6476943E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762572E-6 | 3.2235644E-6 | 3.2235644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762274E-5 | 3.2227927E-5 | 3.2227927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.0012564235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.0012564235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.0012564235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.0012564235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.0012564235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.0012564235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.0012564235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1379521E-5 | 1.1379521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.8768492E-5 | 4.8768492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.935995E-4 | 5.935995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005516363 | 0.0059206416 | 0.0059305825 | 1.0016791 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0996648E-5 | 1.0996648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7127665E-5 | 4.7127665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.7363306E-4 | 5.7363306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005722014 | 0.0057319566 | 1.0017376 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.6996255E-6 | 9.6996255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1569187E-5 | 4.1569187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.059914E-4 | 5.059914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047108172 | 0.0050488105 | 0.0050587603 | 1.0019706 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.274585E-6 | 9.274585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.974764E-5 | 3.974764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8382414E-4 | 4.8382414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004505487 | 0.00482812 | 0.0048380718 | 1.0020612 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.992907E-6 | 8.992907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8540486E-5 | 3.8540486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6913346E-4 | 4.6913346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046818415 | 0.0046917945 | 1.0021259 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.371684E-6 | 6.371684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7306933E-5 | 2.7306933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3241173E-4 | 3.3241173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033192032 | 0.00332917 | 1.0030028 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.2059972E-6 | 5.2059972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2311227E-5 | 2.2311227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.716058E-4 | 2.716058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027127846 | 0.0027227574 | 1.0036763 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.1418552E-6 | 4.1418552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.775069E-5 | 1.775069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1609364E-4 | 2.1609364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024039 | 0.002158877 | 0.0021688552 | 1.004622 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4277881E-6 | 1.4277881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.1190776E-6 | 6.1190776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.4497264E-5 | 7.4497264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.4472686E-4 | 7.4472686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.35377E-7 | 6.35377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7230412E-6 | 2.7230412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.315254E-5 | 3.315254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.3147755E-4 | 3.3147755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2607891E-7 | 2.2607891E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.689093E-7 | 9.689093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1796418E-5 | 1.1796418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.1795903E-4 | 1.1795903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.070372E-7 | 8.070372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.07035E-6 | 8.07035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2518749E-5 | 2.2518749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.650547E-5 | 9.650547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011743428 | 0.0011843311 | 1.0085053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.011687798 | 0.011697682 | 1.0008456 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2518749E-5 | 2.2518749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.650547E-5 | 9.650547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011743428 | 0.0011843311 | 1.0085053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.011687798 | 0.011697682 | 1.0008456 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2518749E-5 | 2.2518749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.650547E-5 | 9.650547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011743428 | 0.0011843311 | 1.0085053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.011687798 | 0.011697682 | 1.0008456 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8408105E-5 | 1.8408105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.888959E-5 | 7.888959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.600748E-4 | 9.700652E-4 | 1.0104059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.009550951 | 0.009560855 | 1.001037 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8408105E-5 | 1.8408105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.888959E-5 | 7.888959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.600748E-4 | 9.700652E-4 | 1.0104059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.009550951 | 0.009560855 | 1.001037 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.4749973E-5 | 1.4749973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8592806E-5 | 6.321269E-5 | 6.321269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.693515E-4 | 7.793438E-4 | 1.012988 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009523412 | 0.0076696407 | 0.0076795644 | 1.0012939 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.461253E-5 | 1.461253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.809766E-5 | 6.262368E-5 | 6.262368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.504242E-4 | 7.621853E-4 | 7.7217765E-4 | 1.0131102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009463696 | 0.00759847 | 0.0076083937 | 1.001306 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.4026863E-5 | 1.4026863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.505249E-5 | 6.011379E-5 | 6.011379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.13381E-4 | 7.3164824E-4 | 7.416409E-4 | 1.0136578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00909636 | 0.0072980053 | 0.0073079322 | 1.0013602 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.3950831E-5 | 1.3950831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4642754E-5 | 5.978795E-5 | 5.978795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.083966E-4 | 7.276838E-4 | 7.376765E-4 | 1.0137322 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009046922 | 0.0072590327 | 0.00726896 | 1.0013676 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.2988267E-5 | 1.2988267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.5662862E-5 | 5.5662862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.774923E-4 | 6.874855E-4 | 1.0147504 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008522186 | 0.006759532 | 0.0067694644 | 1.0014694 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 1.0877974E-5 | 1.0877974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.661907E-5 | 4.661907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.674421E-4 | 5.774364E-4 | 1.0176129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0072331014 | 0.005663485 | 0.0056734285 | 1.0017557 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 1.0327112E-5 | 1.0327112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.425832E-5 | 4.425832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9922156E-4 | 5.3871435E-4 | 5.4870895E-4 | 1.0185527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069702556 | 0.005377297 | 0.005387243 | 1.0018497 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 8.996422E-6 | 8.996422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.8555536E-5 | 3.8555536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.693143E-4 | 4.7930962E-4 | 1.0212977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063146 | 0.004684696 | 0.004694649 | 1.0021247 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 7.571477E-6 | 7.571477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019697E-5 | 3.2448792E-5 | 3.2448792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797693E-4 | 3.9499387E-4 | 4.0498993E-4 | 1.0253068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005466277 | 0.003943319 | 0.0039532795 | 1.0025259 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.786585E-6 | 6.786585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.9085046E-5 | 2.9085046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.540543E-4 | 3.6405073E-4 | 1.0282342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005009353 | 0.0035350567 | 0.0035450214 | 1.0028188 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.635284E-6 | 5.635284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.4151E-5 | 2.4151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.9400003E-4 | 3.039971E-4 | 1.0340036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004277392 | 0.0029362387 | 0.0029462094 | 1.0033957 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.6758096E-6 | 4.6758096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9892764E-5 | 2.0039037E-5 | 2.0039037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.4394914E-4 | 2.539467E-4 | 1.0409821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036328835 | 0.0024369296 | 0.0024469052 | 1.0040935 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.3267842E-6 | 2.3267842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7826753E-5 | 9.971898E-6 | 9.971898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.2140184E-4 | 1.2140184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021680726 | 0.0012134282 | 0.0012134282 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384396E-8 | 9.384396E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966353E-6 | 4.8966353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.89656E-5 | 4.89656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission (connected) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8735573E-5 | 2.6884005E-5 | 2.6884005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.029284E-5 | 1.1521179E-4 | 1.1521179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.771269E-4 | 0.0014017082 | 0.0014116941 | 1.0071242 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009728416 | 0.0139373075 | 0.013947168 | 1.0007075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7515964E-5 | 2.5525285E-5 | 2.5525285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.506625E-5 | 1.09389206E-4 | 1.09389206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135484E-4 | 0.0013309066 | 0.0013309066 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009098019 | 0.013237914 | 0.013237914 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.6486343E-5 | 2.4369963E-5 | 2.4369963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.065384E-5 | 1.0443823E-4 | 1.0443823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5987104E-4 | 0.0012707007 | 0.0012707007 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008565514 | 0.012642891 | 0.012642891 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.5229385E-5 | 2.2799433E-5 | 2.2799433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.526716E-5 | 9.7707896E-5 | 9.7707896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9433795E-4 | 0.0011888514 | 0.0011888514 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007915046 | 0.011836129 | 0.011836129 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.4435828E-5 | 2.1399515E-5 | 2.1399515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.186637E-5 | 9.17087E-5 | 9.17087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.529627E-4 | 0.0011158894 | 0.0011158894 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007504165 | 0.011119149 | 0.011119149 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.30127955E-5 | 1.9036852E-5 | 1.9036852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.576793E-5 | 8.1583676E-5 | 8.1583676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.78763E-4 | 9.927968E-4 | 9.927968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067669353 | 0.009911283 | 0.009911283 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1220718E-5 | 1.6393442E-5 | 1.6393442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8087906E-5 | 7.025572E-5 | 7.025572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8531296E-4 | 8.550274E-4 | 8.550274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005837737 | 0.008549299 | 0.008549299 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.086152E-6 | 1.1750358E-5 | 1.1750358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4654473E-5 | 5.0357707E-5 | 5.0357707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2183654E-4 | 6.1293336E-4 | 6.1293336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004210367 | 0.006149681 | 0.006149681 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.8361655E-6 | 1.01954765E-5 | 1.01954765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9297524E-5 | 4.369417E-5 | 4.369417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5663895E-4 | 5.318473E-4 | 5.318473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035606713 | 0.0053386204 | 0.0053386204 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.2517353E-6 | 7.869133E-6 | 7.869133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2507242E-5 | 3.372442E-5 | 3.372442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.739912E-4 | 4.105177E-4 | 4.105177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027365363 | 0.004129787 | 0.004129787 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.4602784E-6 | 6.7016726E-6 | 6.7016726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.911534E-5 | 2.8721139E-5 | 2.8721139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.327044E-4 | 3.496239E-4 | 3.496239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023246086 | 0.0035221067 | 0.0035221067 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.1492594E-6 | 6.250426E-6 | 6.250426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7782419E-5 | 2.6787266E-5 | 2.6787266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1647944E-4 | 3.260863E-4 | 3.260863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021626868 | 0.00328691 | 0.00328691 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.213247E-6 | 3.3628114E-6 | 3.3628114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.485309E-6 | 1.4411969E-5 | 1.4411969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15477524E-4 | 1.7545163E-4 | 1.7545163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011541754 | 0.0017817745 | 0.0017817745 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7362703E-6 | 2.7384372E-6 | 2.7384372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4411373E-6 | 1.1736106E-5 | 1.1736106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0592075E-5 | 1.4287775E-4 | 1.4287775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0555154E-4 | 0.0014531642 | 0.0014531642 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1628409E-6 | 1.8493157E-6 | 1.8493157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9835944E-6 | 7.925615E-6 | 7.925615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0673574E-5 | 9.64901E-5 | 9.64901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.065701E-4 | 9.852903E-4 | 9.852903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.5610667E-7 | 9.3434335E-7 | 9.3434335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3833122E-6 | 4.0043224E-6 | 4.0043224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9016439E-5 | 4.875154E-5 | 4.875154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.901265E-4 | 5.040805E-4 | 5.040805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.4307663E-7 | 7.784207E-7 | 7.784207E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8988985E-6 | 3.3360843E-6 | 3.3360843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3118844E-5 | 4.0616073E-5 | 4.0616073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3116439E-4 | 4.220805E-4 | 4.220805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.639119E-7 | 6.35453E-7 | 6.35453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5596215E-6 | 2.723367E-6 | 2.723367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8988227E-5 | 3.315649E-5 | 3.315649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8986604E-4 | 3.468761E-4 | 3.468761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.1152942E-7 | 5.4744874E-7 | 5.4744874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3351254E-6 | 2.3462067E-6 | 2.3462067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6255031E-5 | 2.8564693E-5 | 2.8564693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6253842E-4 | 2.9769188E-4 | 2.9769188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.8035962E-7 | 3.7183563E-7 | 3.7183563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.729696E-7 | 1.5935802E-6 | 1.5935802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.410865E-6 | 1.9401667E-5 | 1.9401667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.410465E-5 | 2.0070432E-4 | 2.0070432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.279334E-8 | 1.9695186E-7 | 1.9695186E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.976857E-7 | 8.440791E-7 | 8.440791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.841813E-6 | 1.0276615E-5 | 1.0276615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.841707E-5 | 1.0528119E-4 | 1.0528119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.9253985E-8 | 1.1850739E-7 | 1.1850739E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5394561E-7 | 5.0788867E-7 | 5.0788867E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0917836E-6 | 6.1835276E-6 | 6.1835276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0917407E-5 | 6.3216285E-5 | 6.3216285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.8306974E-7 | 6.8818287E-7 | 6.8818287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9274386E-6 | 2.9493524E-6 | 2.9493524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.564098E-5 | 3.590787E-5 | 4.590751E-5 | 1.2784805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5635266E-4 | 3.5903006E-4 | 3.6902647E-4 | 1.0278429 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.8306974E-7 | 6.8818287E-7 | 6.8818287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9274386E-6 | 2.9493524E-6 | 2.9493524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.564098E-5 | 3.590787E-5 | 4.590751E-5 | 1.2784805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5635266E-4 | 3.5903006E-4 | 3.6902647E-4 | 1.0278429 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.8306974E-7 | 6.8818287E-7 | 6.8818287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9274386E-6 | 2.9493524E-6 | 2.9493524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.564098E-5 | 3.590787E-5 | 4.590751E-5 | 1.2784805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5635266E-4 | 3.5903006E-4 | 3.6902647E-4 | 1.0278429 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.227652E-7 | 4.2665593E-7 | 4.2665593E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8118495E-6 | 1.8285243E-6 | 1.8285243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2059045E-5 | 2.2262075E-5 | 3.226185E-5 | 1.4491844 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2056856E-4 | 2.2260027E-4 | 2.3259803E-4 | 1.0449135 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.227652E-7 | 4.2665593E-7 | 4.2665593E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8118495E-6 | 1.8285243E-6 | 1.8285243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2059045E-5 | 2.2262075E-5 | 3.226185E-5 | 1.4491844 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2056856E-4 | 2.2260027E-4 | 2.3259803E-4 | 1.0449135 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.1884517E-7 | 3.1884517E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3664786E-6 | 1.3664786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.6636755E-5 | 2.6636588E-5 | 1.6010687 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6454936E-4 | 1.6635549E-4 | 1.7635383E-4 | 1.0601022 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.1884517E-7 | 3.1884517E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3664786E-6 | 1.3664786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.6636755E-5 | 2.6636588E-5 | 1.6010687 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6454936E-4 | 1.6635549E-4 | 1.7635383E-4 | 1.0601022 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.1884517E-7 | 3.1884517E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3664786E-6 | 1.3664786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.6636755E-5 | 2.6636588E-5 | 1.6010687 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6454936E-4 | 1.6635549E-4 | 1.7635383E-4 | 1.0601022 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.1884517E-7 | 3.1884517E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3664786E-6 | 1.3664786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.6636755E-5 | 2.6636588E-5 | 1.6010687 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6454936E-4 | 1.6635549E-4 | 1.7635383E-4 | 1.0601022 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.0402092E-7 | 3.073979E-7 | 3.073979E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3029462E-6 | 1.3174189E-6 | 1.3174189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5863254E-5 | 1.6039461E-5 | 2.60393E-5 | 1.6234523 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5862122E-4 | 1.6038342E-4 | 1.7038181E-4 | 1.0623406 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3673063E-7 | 2.3944307E-7 | 2.3944307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0145594E-6 | 1.0261842E-6 | 1.0261842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235219E-5 | 1.2493724E-5 | 2.24936E-5 | 1.8003919 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2351504E-4 | 1.2493049E-4 | 1.3492924E-4 | 1.0800345 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.632138E-7 | 1.6514507E-7 | 1.6514507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9948754E-7 | 7.077644E-7 | 7.077644E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516227E-6 | 8.616999E-6 | 1.8616913E-5 | 2.160487 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5159016E-5 | 8.616682E-5 | 9.616596E-5 | 1.1160439 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1523723E-7 | 1.1657161E-7 | 1.1657161E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9387376E-7 | 4.9959255E-7 | 4.9959255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0128964E-6 | 6.082523E-6 | 1.6082462E-5 | 2.6440446 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0127335E-5 | 6.0823677E-5 | 7.0823065E-5 | 1.1643996 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.777805E-8 | 7.862444E-8 | 7.862444E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3333444E-7 | 3.3696182E-7 | 3.3696182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0583395E-6 | 4.102503E-6 | 1.4102462E-5 | 3.4375262 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0582654E-5 | 4.102433E-5 | 5.102392E-5 | 1.2437478 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.609946E-8 | 4.652212E-8 | 4.652212E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975691E-7 | 1.9938051E-7 | 1.9938051E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4054011E-6 | 2.4274552E-6 | 2.4274552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.405375E-5 | 2.4274304E-5 | 2.4274304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3439137E-8 | 2.360828E-8 | 2.360828E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.00453434E-7 | 1.0117834E-7 | 1.0117834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2230199E-6 | 1.2318455E-6 | 1.2318455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2230132E-5 | 1.231839E-5 | 1.231839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6699769E-8 | 1.6817069E-8 | 1.6817069E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.157044E-8 | 7.207315E-8 | 7.207315E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.713697E-7 | 8.7749027E-7 | 8.7749027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.713663E-6 | 8.77487E-6 | 8.77487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.4061512E-9 | 7.454163E-9 | 7.454163E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1740647E-8 | 3.194641E-8 | 3.194641E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.864423E-7 | 3.8894748E-7 | 3.8894748E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8644166E-6 | 3.8894686E-6 | 3.8894686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2189427E-9 | 1.227076E-9 | 1.227076E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2240403E-9 | 5.2588973E-9 | 5.2588973E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3602684E-8 | 6.402708E-8 | 6.402708E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.360267E-7 | 6.402706E-7 | 6.402706E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210222E-6 | 3.6210222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5518579E-5 | 2.5518424E-5 | 1.6443789 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8892331E-4 | 1.9892142E-4 | 1.0529215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019296809 | 0.0019396616 | 1.0051723 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210222E-6 | 3.6210222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5518579E-5 | 2.5518424E-5 | 1.6443789 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8892331E-4 | 1.9892142E-4 | 1.0529215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019296809 | 0.0019396616 | 1.0051723 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210222E-6 | 3.6210222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5518579E-5 | 2.5518424E-5 | 1.6443789 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8892331E-4 | 1.9892142E-4 | 1.0529215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019296809 | 0.0019396616 | 1.0051723 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530674E-6 | 3.1530674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.351308E-5 | 2.3512945E-5 | 1.7400137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451007E-4 | 1.7450842E-4 | 1.0607766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621284 | 0.0016721118 | 1.0060064 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530674E-6 | 3.1530674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.351308E-5 | 2.3512945E-5 | 1.7400137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451007E-4 | 1.7450842E-4 | 1.0607766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621284 | 0.0016721118 | 1.0060064 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9707103E-6 | 2.9707103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2731558E-5 | 2.273143E-5 | 1.7854398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5499639E-4 | 1.6499484E-4 | 1.0645076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015562775 | 0.0015662619 | 1.0064156 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8737022E-6 | 2.8737022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.23158125E-5 | 2.231569E-5 | 1.8119543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016229092 | 1.4993538E-4 | 1.5993389E-4 | 1.0666854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015013095 | 0.0015112944 | 1.0066508 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8101322E-6 | 2.8101322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2043372E-5 | 2.2043252E-5 | 1.8303223 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001463541 | 1.4661888E-4 | 1.5661742E-4 | 1.068194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014655745 | 0.0014755599 | 1.0068133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2351205E-6 | 2.2351205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.579055E-6 | 1.957896E-5 | 2.0439343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013164099 | 1.16619056E-4 | 1.2661789E-4 | 1.0857393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011657963 | 0.0011757846 | 1.0085678 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6079553E-6 | 1.6079553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.8912186E-6 | 1.689115E-5 | 2.4511123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011840039 | 8.389737E-5 | 9.389654E-5 | 1.1191832 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.388229E-4 | 8.4881455E-4 | 1.0119115 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5393473E-6 | 1.5393473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.5971863E-6 | 1.659712E-5 | 2.5157878 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010884746 | 8.03178E-5 | 9.031699E-5 | 1.1244954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.0301013E-4 | 8.1300206E-4 | 1.0124432 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3862423E-6 | 1.3862423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.941025E-6 | 1.5940966E-5 | 2.6832013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010143308 | 7.232959E-5 | 8.2328865E-5 | 1.138246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.2316936E-4 | 7.331621E-4 | 1.013818 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2487566E-6 | 1.2487566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.351803E-6 | 1.535175E-5 | 2.868519 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.5156266E-5 | 7.515561E-5 | 1.1534672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.514696E-4 | 6.614631E-4 | 1.0153399 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.111373E-6 | 1.111373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.7630183E-6 | 1.4762971E-5 | 3.099499 | 1.0E-5 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.798821E-5 | 6.798763E-5 | 1.1724389 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.7982403E-4 | 5.898183E-4 | 1.0172366 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.5474284E-7 | 8.5474284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6631784E-6 | 1.36631415E-5 | 3.7298598 | 1.0E-5 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4598288E-5 | 5.4597844E-5 | 1.2242138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.4594568E-4 | 4.5594122E-4 | 1.0224142 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.0679236E-7 | 6.0679236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6005362E-6 | 1.260051E-5 | 4.8453507 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.166107E-5 | 4.1660755E-5 | 1.3158352 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.165659E-4 | 3.2656276E-4 | 1.031579 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.1961662E-7 | 3.1961662E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.3697849E-6 | 1.13697715E-5 | 8.300406 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6677004E-5 | 2.6676838E-5 | 1.5996181 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6675772E-4 | 1.7675605E-4 | 1.0599573 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.962604E-8 | 8.962604E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8411156E-7 | 3.8411156E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.676549E-6 | 4.676549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.6764573E-5 | 4.6764573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.395107E-5 | 9.395107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.0258773E-4 | 4.0258773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004891089 | 0.0049010403 | 1.0020345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.047903698 | 0.04791322 | 1.0001987 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0492818E-5 | 5.0492818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.163802E-4 | 2.163802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313218 | 0.0026313218 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.02601098 | 0.02601098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0492818E-5 | 5.0492818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.163802E-4 | 2.163802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313218 | 0.0026313218 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.02601098 | 0.02601098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7710935E-5 | 3.7710935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6160845E-4 | 1.6160845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019658392 | 0.0019658392 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016452603 | 0.019488398 | 0.019488398 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5335623E-5 | 3.5335623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5142979E-4 | 1.5142979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018421304 | 0.0018421304 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015469253 | 0.018272376 | 0.018272376 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8763967E-5 | 2.8763967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2326847E-4 | 1.2326847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0014997873 | 0.0014997873 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012709012 | 0.014899624 | 0.014899624 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4906556E-5 | 2.4906556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.06738145E-4 | 1.06738145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012987844 | 0.0012987844 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.012914349 | 0.012914349 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1634785E-5 | 2.1634785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.271733E-5 | 9.271733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011282694 | 0.0011282694 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011227573 | 0.011227573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8419396E-5 | 1.8419396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.8937985E-5 | 7.8937985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.606655E-4 | 9.606655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009567109 | 0.009567109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.50952E-5 | 1.50952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.469221E-5 | 6.469221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.873612E-4 | 7.873612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007847539 | 0.007847539 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.272005E-5 | 1.272005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.451346E-5 | 5.451346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.635168E-4 | 6.635168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006617107 | 0.006617107 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0163789E-5 | 1.0163789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3558466E-5 | 4.3558466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.302125E-4 | 5.302125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005291174 | 0.005291174 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.3317616E-7 | 8.3317616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.57075E-6 | 3.57075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.3473025E-5 | 4.3473025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.346463E-4 | 4.346463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.7001016E-7 | 3.7001016E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5857568E-6 | 1.5857568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9306419E-5 | 1.9306419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9304748E-4 | 1.9304748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9674424E-7 | 1.9674424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.431893E-7 | 8.431893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0265781E-5 | 1.0265781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.026531E-4 | 1.026531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.279406E-8 | 6.279406E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6911735E-7 | 2.6911735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.276499E-6 | 3.276499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.2764518E-5 | 3.2764518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.531901E-9 | 5.531901E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708148E-8 | 2.3708148E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8864667E-7 | 2.8864667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.886464E-6 | 2.886464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Honey Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.954653E-5 | 7.954653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4087067E-4 | 3.4087067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032068014 | 0.0041426453 | 0.004152604 | 1.002404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03160919 | 0.040702753 | 0.040712345 | 1.0002357 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.954653E-5 | 7.954653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4087067E-4 | 3.4087067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032068014 | 0.0041426453 | 0.004152604 | 1.002404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03160919 | 0.040702753 | 0.040712345 | 1.0002357 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.257614E-5 | 5.257614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.253079E-4 | 2.253079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027398248 | 0.0027398248 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021337535 | 0.027076619 | 0.027076619 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.257614E-5 | 5.257614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.253079E-4 | 2.253079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027398248 | 0.0027398248 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021337535 | 0.027076619 | 0.027076619 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 3.2393702E-5 | 4.0886986E-5 | 4.0886986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3882275E-4 | 1.7521884E-4 | 1.7521884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016888566 | 0.0021313087 | 0.0021313087 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016760793 | 0.021119721 | 0.021119721 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.7205504E-5 | 3.4211535E-5 | 3.4211535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1658981E-4 | 1.4661317E-4 | 1.4661317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014185566 | 0.0017836473 | 0.0017836473 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014095354 | 0.017702844 | 0.017702844 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.069265E-5 | 2.595524E-5 | 2.595524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.867977E-5 | 1.1123248E-4 | 1.1123248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010791414 | 0.0013534982 | 0.0013534982 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010739161 | 0.01346092 | 0.01346092 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8060919E-5 | 2.2656677E-5 | 2.2656677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7401644E-5 | 9.709689E-5 | 9.709689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.419576E-4 | 0.0011815944 | 0.0011815944 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009379748 | 0.011761163 | 0.011761163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4474663E-5 | 1.818115E-5 | 1.818115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.203279E-5 | 7.791732E-5 | 7.791732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5498753E-4 | 9.4830693E-4 | 9.4830693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007524277 | 0.009450131 | 0.009450131 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.564552E-6 | 1.0802237E-5 | 1.0802237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6704707E-5 | 4.6294852E-5 | 4.6294852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4678818E-4 | 5.6356046E-4 | 5.6356046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044589094 | 0.0056278114 | 0.0056278114 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.3442498E-5 | 5.3442498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2902492E-4 | 2.2902492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027857795 | 0.0027957517 | 1.0035796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.02760302 | 0.027612746 | 1.0003523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.3442498E-5 | 5.3442498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2902492E-4 | 2.2902492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027857795 | 0.0027957517 | 1.0035796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.02760302 | 0.027612746 | 1.0003523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2154509E-5 | 2.2154509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.494676E-5 | 9.494676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.001155749 | 0.0011657374 | 1.0086424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009013915 | 0.011535117 | 0.011545002 | 1.0008569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2154509E-5 | 2.2154509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.494676E-5 | 9.494676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.001155749 | 0.0011657374 | 1.0086424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009013915 | 0.011535117 | 0.011545002 | 1.0008569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4028824E-5 | 1.790093E-5 | 1.790093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0122147E-5 | 7.671827E-5 | 7.671827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3174125E-4 | 9.340235E-4 | 9.4401423E-4 | 1.0106964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0072933645 | 0.009338144 | 0.009348052 | 1.0010608 | 1.0E-5 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551436 | 0.0022651209 | 1.0044243 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551436 | 0.0022651209 | 1.0044243 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551436 | 0.0022651209 | 1.0044243 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551436 | 0.0022651209 | 1.0044243 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551436 | 0.0022651209 | 1.0044243 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551436 | 0.0022651209 | 1.0044243 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319814E-6 | 2.5319814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851306E-5 | 1.0851306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3210713E-4 | 1.3210713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203343 | 0.0013203343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319814E-6 | 2.5319814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851306E-5 | 1.0851306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3210713E-4 | 1.3210713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203343 | 0.0013203343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8322539E-6 | 1.8322539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.852494E-6 | 7.852494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.5600044E-5 | 9.5600044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010282523 | 9.556021E-4 | 9.556021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7429949E-6 | 1.7429949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4699574E-6 | 7.4699574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.094306E-5 | 9.094306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.090704E-4 | 9.090704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3849473E-6 | 1.3849473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9354747E-6 | 5.9354747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.226206E-5 | 7.226206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.223908E-4 | 7.223908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1625067E-6 | 1.1625067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.982162E-6 | 4.982162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0656166E-5 | 6.0656166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.063993E-4 | 6.063993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.4098533E-7 | 9.4098533E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.032788E-6 | 4.032788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.909811E-5 | 4.909811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.9087446E-4 | 4.9087446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2349917E-7 | 7.2349917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.100707E-6 | 3.100707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7750466E-5 | 3.7750466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7744167E-4 | 3.7744167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0195126E-7 | 5.0195126E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1512178E-6 | 2.1512178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6190768E-5 | 2.6190768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6187726E-4 | 2.6187726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6825597E-7 | 3.6825597E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.578239E-6 | 1.578239E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9214893E-5 | 1.9214893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9213252E-4 | 1.9213252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.345759E-7 | 2.345759E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0053249E-6 | 1.0053249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2239763E-5 | 1.2239763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.2239101E-4 | 1.2239101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.85897E-8 | 6.85897E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.9395585E-7 | 2.9395585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.578907E-6 | 3.578907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.578854E-5 | 3.578854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Shoreline
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.0479254E-6 | 4.0479254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7348168E-5 | 1.7348168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1119906E-4 | 2.1119906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020791737 | 0.002110532 | 0.0021205111 | 1.0047282 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.0479254E-6 | 4.0479254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7348168E-5 | 1.7348168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1119906E-4 | 2.1119906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020791737 | 0.002110532 | 0.0021205111 | 1.0047282 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.4100867E-6 | 1.4100867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 6.0432153E-6 | 6.0432153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.357372E-5 | 7.357372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.3549966E-4 | 7.3549966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.4100867E-6 | 1.4100867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 6.0432153E-6 | 6.0432153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.357372E-5 | 7.357372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.3549966E-4 | 7.3549966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3314152E-6 | 1.3361582E-6 | 1.3361582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7060524E-6 | 5.72638E-6 | 5.72638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946897E-5 | 6.97165E-5 | 6.97165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9447263E-4 | 6.969517E-4 | 6.969517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.1187026E-6 | 1.1203617E-6 | 1.1203617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.794431E-6 | 4.8015418E-6 | 4.8015418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370628E-5 | 5.8457226E-5 | 5.8457226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.83553E-4 | 5.8442104E-4 | 5.8442104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.793089E-7 | 9.784898E-7 | 9.784898E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1970316E-6 | 4.193521E-6 | 4.193521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1097657E-5 | 5.1054936E-5 | 5.1054936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.108591E-4 | 5.1043334E-4 | 5.1043334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.995986E-7 | 8.9727786E-7 | 8.9727786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8554167E-6 | 3.845471E-6 | 3.845471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.693869E-5 | 4.681761E-5 | 4.681761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6928777E-4 | 4.6807845E-4 | 4.6807845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.931612E-7 | 7.880382E-7 | 7.880382E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3992578E-6 | 3.3773024E-6 | 3.3773024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1385178E-5 | 4.1117884E-5 | 4.1117884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1377472E-4 | 4.1110333E-4 | 4.1110333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.1465956E-7 | 7.077986E-7 | 7.077986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.062823E-6 | 3.033419E-6 | 3.033419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289232E-5 | 3.6931255E-5 | 3.6931255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7282976E-4 | 3.6925153E-4 | 3.6925153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.389046E-7 | 6.299439E-7 | 6.299439E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7381598E-6 | 2.6997566E-6 | 2.6997566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336586E-5 | 3.2869044E-5 | 3.2869044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3331584E-4 | 3.2864208E-4 | 3.2864208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.4300875E-7 | 5.3111125E-7 | 5.3111125E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3271782E-6 | 2.276189E-6 | 2.276189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8333026E-5 | 2.771225E-5 | 2.771225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8329415E-4 | 2.7708805E-4 | 2.7708805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.6768855E-7 | 4.5348773E-7 | 4.5348773E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0043778E-6 | 1.9435174E-6 | 1.9435174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4403027E-5 | 2.3662067E-5 | 2.3662067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400349E-4 | 2.3659554E-4 | 2.3659554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.0966103E-7 | 3.938549E-7 | 3.938549E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7556889E-6 | 1.6879484E-6 | 1.6879484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1375303E-5 | 2.0550578E-5 | 2.0550578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1373246E-4 | 2.0548681E-4 | 2.0548681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5105785E-7 | 3.3363804E-7 | 3.3363804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5045327E-6 | 1.4298764E-6 | 1.4298764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8317533E-5 | 1.7408607E-5 | 1.7408607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8316023E-4 | 1.7407245E-4 | 1.7407245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.8737534E-7 | 2.6819873E-7 | 2.6819873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2316079E-6 | 1.1494226E-6 | 1.1494226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4994724E-5 | 1.399413E-5 | 1.399413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4993713E-4 | 1.3993251E-4 | 1.3993251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0924051E-7 | 1.8778829E-7 | 1.8778829E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967448E-7 | 8.0480663E-7 | 8.0480663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917813E-5 | 9.798477E-6 | 9.798477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917276E-4 | 9.798046E-5 | 9.798046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.392265E-7 | 1.1543238E-7 | 1.1543238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9668486E-7 | 4.947101E-7 | 4.947101E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2646135E-6 | 6.0230786E-6 | 6.0230786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2643765E-5 | 6.022916E-5 | 6.022916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.1080074E-8 | 5.5865375E-8 | 5.5865375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4748598E-7 | 2.39423E-7 | 2.39423E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2306337E-6 | 2.9149712E-6 | 2.9149712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.230553E-5 | 2.914933E-5 | 2.914933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.0859036E-8 | 2.7242535E-8 | 2.7242535E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1796728E-7 | 1.16753725E-7 | 1.16753725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537484E-6 | 1.4214756E-6 | 1.4214756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537167E-5 | 1.42146655E-5 | 1.42146655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.1760536E-8 | 1.3575324E-8 | 1.3575324E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3611657E-7 | 5.817996E-8 | 5.817996E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572179E-6 | 7.083408E-7 | 7.083408E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572056E-5 | 7.0833853E-6 | 7.0833853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2947896E-8 | 5.6622484E-9 | 5.6622484E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5490982E-8 | 2.426678E-8 | 2.426678E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.756025E-7 | 2.9544802E-7 | 2.9544802E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7560045E-6 | 2.9544763E-6 | 2.9544763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Fish Slough 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6772396E-6 | 1.3677203E-5 | 3.7194211 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.5759515E-5 | 2.5759358E-5 | 1.6345273 | 1.0E-5 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9185733E-4 | 2.0185541E-4 | 1.0521121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0019171259 | 0.0019271068 | 1.0052061 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6772396E-6 | 1.3677203E-5 | 3.7194211 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.5759515E-5 | 2.5759358E-5 | 1.6345273 | 1.0E-5 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9185733E-4 | 2.0185541E-4 | 1.0521121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0019171259 | 0.0019271068 | 1.0052061 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6772396E-6 | 1.3677203E-5 | 3.7194211 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.5759515E-5 | 2.5759358E-5 | 1.6345273 | 1.0E-5 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9185733E-4 | 2.0185541E-4 | 1.0521121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0019171259 | 0.0019271068 | 1.0052061 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6772396E-6 | 1.3677203E-5 | 3.7194211 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.5759515E-5 | 2.5759358E-5 | 1.6345273 | 1.0E-5 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9185733E-4 | 2.0185541E-4 | 1.0521121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0019171259 | 0.0019271068 | 1.0052061 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6772396E-6 | 1.3677203E-5 | 3.7194211 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.5759515E-5 | 2.5759358E-5 | 1.6345273 | 1.0E-5 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9185733E-4 | 2.0185541E-4 | 1.0521121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0019171259 | 0.0019271068 | 1.0052061 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.991715E-6 | 2.2703607E-6 | 2.2703607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2821573E-5 | 9.730085E-6 | 9.730085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5609147E-4 | 1.1845827E-4 | 1.1845827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015598187 | 0.0011840414 | 0.0011840414 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.991715E-6 | 2.2703607E-6 | 2.2703607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2821573E-5 | 9.730085E-6 | 9.730085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5609147E-4 | 1.1845827E-4 | 1.1845827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015598187 | 0.0011840414 | 0.0011840414 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.7890346E-6 | 2.0621562E-6 | 2.0621562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1952951E-5 | 8.837787E-6 | 8.837787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4551746E-4 | 1.0759565E-4 | 1.0759565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014542221 | 0.0010755239 | 0.0010755239 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.9416723E-6 | 1.1925267E-6 | 1.1925267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321425E-6 | 5.1108186E-6 | 5.1108186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01308644E-4 | 6.222248E-5 | 6.222248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010126247 | 6.2205474E-4 | 6.2205474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8567416E-6 | 1.1046683E-6 | 1.1046683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.957439E-6 | 4.734284E-6 | 4.734284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.687752E-5 | 5.7638426E-5 | 5.7638426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6835295E-4 | 5.762386E-4 | 5.762386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6634067E-6 | 9.073692E-7 | 9.073692E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1288664E-6 | 3.8887197E-6 | 3.8887197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.679049E-5 | 4.734416E-5 | 4.734416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6756604E-4 | 4.7334362E-4 | 4.7334362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4281054E-6 | 6.73635E-7 | 6.73635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1204373E-6 | 2.887004E-6 | 2.887004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.451377E-5 | 3.5148725E-5 | 3.5148725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.44888E-4 | 3.5143344E-4 | 3.5143344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1810387E-6 | 4.4080903E-7 | 4.4080903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0615845E-6 | 1.8891802E-6 | 1.8891802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1623046E-5 | 2.3000535E-5 | 2.3000535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.160596E-4 | 2.2998246E-4 | 2.2998246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.918052E-7 | 2.8730932E-7 | 2.8730932E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2505867E-6 | 1.231325E-6 | 1.231325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1749663E-5 | 1.499128E-5 | 1.499128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173762E-4 | 1.499028E-4 | 1.499028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.25252E-7 | 2.069256E-7 | 2.069256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5367896E-6 | 8.8682367E-7 | 8.8682367E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3059565E-5 | 1.0797025E-5 | 1.0797025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305122E-4 | 1.07965076E-4 | 1.07965076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.3248567E-7 | 1.207109E-7 | 1.207109E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2820795E-6 | 5.173323E-7 | 5.173323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7783964E-5 | 6.298503E-6 | 6.298503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.778049E-4 | 6.298329E-5 | 6.298329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.037542E-7 | 4.712228E-8 | 4.712228E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.73232E-7 | 2.0195262E-7 | 2.0195262E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0631547E-5 | 2.4587705E-6 | 2.4587705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0631039E-4 | 2.4587454E-5 | 2.4587454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2501226E-8 | 3.1506444E-9 | 3.1506444E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6433816E-8 | 1.35027625E-8 | 1.35027625E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1740811E-6 | 1.6439611E-7 | 1.6439611E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1740749E-5 | 1.6439601E-6 | 1.6439601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Compton
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.358908E-6 | 6.358908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0033128099 | 0.0033227766 | 1.0030086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.358908E-6 | 6.358908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0033128099 | 0.0033227766 | 1.0030086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.358908E-6 | 6.358908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0033128099 | 0.0033227766 | 1.0030086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.358908E-6 | 6.358908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0033128099 | 0.0033227766 | 1.0030086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.358908E-6 | 6.358908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0033128099 | 0.0033227766 | 1.0030086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.358908E-6 | 6.358908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0033128099 | 0.0033227766 | 1.0030086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.358908E-6 | 6.358908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0033128099 | 0.0033227766 | 1.0030086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.358908E-6 | 6.358908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0033128099 | 0.0033227766 | 1.0030086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.358908E-6 | 6.358908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0033128099 | 0.0033227766 | 1.0030086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.358908E-6 | 6.358908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 2.7252196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 3.317478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0033128099 | 0.0033227766 | 1.0030086 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.672486E-6 | 4.272066E-6 | 4.272066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.288167E-5 | 1.8308729E-5 | 1.8308729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0026082E-4 | 2.2288658E-4 | 2.2288658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039954064 | 0.0022266924 | 0.00223667 | 1.004481 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.163992E-6 | 3.8837716E-6 | 3.8837716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0702464E-5 | 1.6644633E-5 | 1.6644633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7373835E-4 | 2.0263014E-4 | 2.0263014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037311043 | 0.0020245106 | 0.0020344905 | 1.0049294 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.3689185E-6 | 3.310094E-6 | 3.310094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.729508E-5 | 1.4186043E-5 | 1.4186043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.322669E-4 | 1.727018E-4 | 1.727018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033177056 | 0.0017257177 | 0.0017357004 | 1.0057847 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.4987873E-6 | 2.4480125E-6 | 2.4480125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9280375E-5 | 1.0491442E-5 | 1.0491442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3471327E-4 | 1.2772612E-4 | 1.2772612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002344655 | 0.0012765573 | 0.0012865446 | 1.0078236 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.987296E-6 | 1.7393999E-6 | 1.7393999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2802635E-5 | 7.4545496E-6 | 7.4545496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5586092E-4 | 9.075542E-5 | 9.075542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015575165 | 9.071894E-4 | 9.071894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.4111696E-6 | 1.4471959E-6 | 1.4471959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0333543E-5 | 6.202254E-6 | 6.202254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2580362E-4 | 7.550987E-5 | 7.550987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012573242 | 7.5484684E-4 | 7.5484684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8783096E-6 | 1.1360285E-6 | 1.1360285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.049874E-6 | 4.8686848E-6 | 4.8686848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8002805E-5 | 5.9274666E-5 | 5.9274666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.795959E-4 | 5.925925E-4 | 5.925925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.6646817E-7 | 3.5601374E-7 | 3.5601374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.856289E-6 | 1.5257723E-6 | 1.5257723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4774763E-5 | 1.8576133E-5 | 1.8576133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4769322E-4 | 1.8574715E-4 | 1.8574715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.054689E-8 | 4.1341846E-8 | 4.1341846E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0234378E-7 | 1.7717933E-7 | 1.7717933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6810293E-6 | 2.1571564E-6 | 2.1571564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6809684E-5 | 2.1571364E-5 | 2.1571364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.420925E-9 | 4.0129557E-9 | 4.0129557E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1803964E-8 | 1.7198381E-8 | 1.7198381E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.872132E-7 | 2.0939027E-7 | 2.0939027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.872125E-6 | 2.093901E-6 | 2.093901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4028866E-5 | 3.4028624E-5 | 1.4161562 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.029768E-4 | 1.1297577E-4 | 1.0970993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012530241 | 0.0012630116 | 1.0079707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012868487 | 0.012878358 | 1.0007671 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4028866E-5 | 3.4028624E-5 | 1.4161562 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.029768E-4 | 1.1297577E-4 | 1.0970993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012530241 | 0.0012630116 | 1.0079707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012868487 | 0.012878358 | 1.0007671 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.3953988E-5 | 3.3953747E-5 | 1.417457 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.0265592E-4 | 1.12654896E-4 | 1.0974028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012491219 | 0.0012591094 | 1.0079956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.012829898 | 0.01283977 | 1.0007694 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3871207E-5 | 3.387097E-5 | 1.4189047 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0230118E-4 | 1.1230016E-4 | 1.0977405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012448078 | 0.0012547954 | 1.0080234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.012787037 | 0.012796909 | 1.000772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.379072E-5 | 3.3790482E-5 | 1.420322 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0195626E-4 | 1.1195525E-4 | 1.0980712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012406133 | 0.0012506009 | 1.0080506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.012745332 | 0.012755205 | 1.0007746 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3367753E-5 | 3.336752E-5 | 1.4279301 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0014368E-4 | 1.1014268E-4 | 1.0998465 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012185699 | 0.0012285578 | 1.0081964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012526683 | 0.012536556 | 1.0007883 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3193794E-5 | 3.3193563E-5 | 1.4311398 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.93982E-5 | 1.0939721E-4 | 1.1005955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012095039 | 0.0012194917 | 1.0082579 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.012436609 | 0.0124464845 | 1.000794 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2388584E-5 | 3.238836E-5 | 1.4466462 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.594756E-5 | 1.059466E-4 | 1.1042136 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011675379 | 0.0011775262 | 1.008555 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.01201761 | 0.012027489 | 1.0008221 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1120475E-5 | 3.1120264E-5 | 1.4734643 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.051319E-5 | 1.0051229E-4 | 1.1104711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 0.0011014431 | 0.0011114321 | 1.009069 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.011356557 | 0.011366443 | 1.0008706 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0850846E-5 | 3.085064E-5 | 1.4795868 | 1.0E-5 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.9357716E-5 | 9.9356825E-5 | 1.1118997 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010873893 | 0.0010973784 | 1.0091864 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011215675 | 0.011225562 | 1.0008816 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.0373802E-5 | 3.0373598E-5 | 1.4908164 | 1.0E-5 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.731338E-5 | 9.731251E-5 | 1.11452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 0.001062524 | 0.0010725134 | 1.0094016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.010965329 | 0.010975219 | 1.0009019 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.8960156E-5 | 2.8959965E-5 | 1.5274118 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.125529E-5 | 9.125447E-5 | 1.1230589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 9.888359E-4 | 9.98826E-4 | 1.0101029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.010223334 | 0.010233231 | 1.0009681 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6741575E-5 | 2.6741407E-5 | 1.5973054 | 1.0E-5 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.1747636E-5 | 8.174692E-5 | 1.1393675 | 1.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.731782E-4 | 8.831695E-4 | 1.0114424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.009061908 | 0.009071818 | 1.0010935 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.4988977E-5 | 2.4988827E-5 | 1.6671469 | 1.0E-5 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.423689E-5 | 7.4236246E-5 | 1.1556637 | 1.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8180415E-4 | 7.9179637E-4 | 1.0127809 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008140343 | 0.008150262 | 1.0012184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1643263E-5 | 2.1643145E-5 | 1.8588558 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7632562E-5 | 4.9898747E-5 | 5.9898248E-5 | 1.2003958 | 1.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.0734845E-4 | 6.1734236E-4 | 1.016455 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0063794446 | 0.006389381 | 1.0015576 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.897503E-6 | 1.9897405E-5 | 2.010346 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2417185E-5 | 5.241676E-5 | 1.2357435 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.1630737E-4 | 5.263022E-4 | 1.0193583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.0054491456 | 0.005459091 | 1.0018251 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.826148E-6 | 1.682608E-5 | 2.464945 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9254594E-5 | 3.92543E-5 | 1.3418167 | 1.0E-5 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.5611697E-4 | 3.661134E-4 | 1.0280707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003658111 | 0.0037869003 | 0.0037968624 | 1.0026307 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 8.9895474E-7 | 8.9895474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.8526578E-6 | 3.8526578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.690512E-5 | 4.690512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.3228246E-4 | 5.3228246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.612408E-8 | 6.612408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.8338889E-7 | 2.8338889E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.4502548E-6 | 3.4502548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.0113817E-5 | 4.0113817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4250498E-5 | 1.4250498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.107234E-5 | 6.107234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.4333866E-4 | 7.5333123E-4 | 1.0134429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.0074135745 | 0.0074235 | 1.0013388 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.5107425E-6 | 9.5107425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.075981E-5 | 4.075981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.961594E-4 | 5.0615444E-4 | 1.0201448 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0043435963 | 0.0049540955 | 0.004964046 | 1.0020086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.967132E-6 | 7.967132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4144512E-5 | 3.4144512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1564938E-4 | 4.256452E-4 | 1.0240487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041520516 | 0.0041620103 | 1.0023985 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.424285E-6 | 3.424285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.467543E-5 | 1.467543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7865958E-4 | 1.886578E-4 | 1.0559623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017866908 | 0.0017966729 | 1.005587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4085786E-6 | 3.4085786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.46081165E-5 | 1.46081165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7784018E-4 | 1.878384E-4 | 1.0562203 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017785098 | 0.0017884921 | 1.0056127 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3909237E-6 | 3.3909237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4532454E-5 | 1.4532454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7691913E-4 | 1.8691736E-4 | 1.056513 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014063664 | 0.001769314 | 0.0017792964 | 1.0056419 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3609442E-6 | 3.3609442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4403972E-5 | 1.4403972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7535512E-4 | 1.8535336E-4 | 1.0570171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017536987 | 0.0017636811 | 1.0056922 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3309698E-6 | 3.3309698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4275512E-5 | 1.4275512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7379137E-4 | 1.8378963E-4 | 1.0575303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017380856 | 0.0017480683 | 1.0057435 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8544275E-6 | 2.8544275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2233208E-5 | 1.2233208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4892986E-4 | 1.5892836E-4 | 1.0671357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014898182 | 0.0014998033 | 1.0067022 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0684924E-6 | 2.0684924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.864939E-6 | 8.864939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0792556E-4 | 1.0792556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010802045 | 0.0010802045 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.554256E-6 | 1.554256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.661081E-6 | 6.661081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.109579E-5 | 8.109579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.121238E-4 | 8.121238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4302454E-6 | 1.4302454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1296096E-6 | 6.1296096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.462559E-5 | 7.462559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.474669E-4 | 7.474669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0111658E-6 | 1.0111658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.333561E-6 | 4.333561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.2759868E-5 | 5.2759868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.2892487E-4 | 5.2892487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.219577E-7 | 9.219577E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.9512415E-6 | 3.9512415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8105347E-5 | 4.8105347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.824004E-4 | 4.824004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.3585223E-7 | 8.3585223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.5822193E-6 | 3.5822193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.3612687E-5 | 4.3612687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.3748372E-4 | 4.3748372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.1081475E-7 | 8.1081475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.474916E-6 | 3.474916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.2306317E-5 | 4.2306317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2440768E-4 | 4.2440768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.731605E-7 | 7.731605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.313541E-6 | 3.313541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0341652E-5 | 4.0341652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.0474106E-4 | 4.0474106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.077867E-7 | 5.077867E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.176227E-6 | 2.176227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6495252E-5 | 2.6495252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.6631152E-4 | 2.6631152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.1980723E-7 | 1.1980723E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.1345944E-7 | 5.1345944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.2513527E-6 | 6.2513527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.296943E-5 | 6.296943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.104788E-9 | 4.104788E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.759195E-8 | 1.759195E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1418197E-7 | 2.1418197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.1900398E-6 | 2.1900398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719532E-5 | 2.2719532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7366115E-5 | 9.7366115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848459 | 0.001194834 | 1.0084299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179113 | 0.011801012 | 1.000838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719532E-5 | 2.2719532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7366115E-5 | 9.7366115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848459 | 0.001194834 | 1.0084299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179113 | 0.011801012 | 1.000838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719532E-5 | 2.2719532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7366115E-5 | 9.7366115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848459 | 0.001194834 | 1.0084299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179113 | 0.011801012 | 1.000838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353521E-5 | 1.2353521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942658E-5 | 5.2942658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443987E-4 | 6.443987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006426548 | 0.006426548 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353521E-5 | 1.2353521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942658E-5 | 5.2942658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443987E-4 | 6.443987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006426548 | 0.006426548 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.481584E-6 | 9.481584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.063478E-5 | 4.063478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.946253E-4 | 4.946253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004936153 | 0.004936153 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.790267E-6 | 7.790267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3386474E-5 | 3.3386474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0641252E-4 | 4.0641252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038253788 | 0.004057484 | 0.004057484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.6551383E-6 | 6.6551383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8521752E-5 | 2.8521752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4720454E-4 | 3.4720454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034673614 | 0.0034673614 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.855102E-6 | 5.855102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5093093E-5 | 2.5093093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0547287E-4 | 3.0547287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030512456 | 0.0030512456 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0654126E-6 | 5.0654126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1708769E-5 | 2.1708769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6427925E-4 | 2.6427925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026403419 | 0.0026403419 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.1184803E-6 | 4.1184803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.765055E-5 | 1.765055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1488115E-4 | 2.1488115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021474094 | 0.0021474094 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.009711E-6 | 3.009711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2898735E-5 | 1.2898735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5703736E-4 | 1.5703736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.001569909 | 0.001569909 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.3068506E-5 | 1.7396017E-4 | 1.7396017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9880406E-4 | 7.453298E-4 | 7.453298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048446343 | 0.009036514 | 0.009046424 | 1.0010966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047403704 | 0.08639352 | 0.086402655 | 1.0001057 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.055486E-5 | 1.694723E-4 | 1.694723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.880345E-4 | 7.261078E-4 | 7.261078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047140904 | 0.008804603 | 0.008814515 | 1.0011258 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046153355 | 0.08428259 | 0.08429175 | 1.0001086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.006742E-5 | 1.6867823E-4 | 1.6867823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.859461E-4 | 7.2270713E-4 | 7.2270713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046887742 | 0.0087635685 | 0.0087734815 | 1.001131 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0459107 | 0.08390683 | 0.083915986 | 1.0001092 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8336754E-5 | 1.6547374E-4 | 1.6547374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7853114E-4 | 7.0898124E-4 | 7.0898124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004598882 | 0.0085978415 | 0.008607755 | 1.0011531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04504866 | 0.08240088 | 0.08241005 | 1.0001113 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.526157E-5 | 1.597439E-4 | 1.597439E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6535555E-4 | 6.844378E-4 | 6.844378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044391346 | 0.008301349 | 0.008311267 | 1.0011946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043514993 | 0.07968358 | 0.07969278 | 1.0001155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.152396E-5 | 1.5306796E-4 | 1.5306796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493416E-4 | 6.5584126E-4 | 6.5584126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042449418 | 0.007955783 | 0.0079657035 | 1.0012469 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04164765 | 0.076513834 | 0.07652307 | 1.0001206 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.987405E-5 | 1.5011009E-4 | 1.5011009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227243E-4 | 6.431711E-4 | 6.431711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041592065 | 0.00780265 | 0.007812572 | 1.0012716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04082218 | 0.07510632 | 0.07511557 | 1.0001231 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.777665E-5 | 1.4650272E-4 | 1.4650272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.332859E-4 | 6.277184E-4 | 6.277184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004050208 | 0.0076158457 | 0.0076257694 | 1.0013031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039771806 | 0.07338288 | 0.07339214 | 1.0001262 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3284005E-5 | 1.38009E-4 | 1.38009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.140365E-4 | 5.9133366E-4 | 5.9133366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038166929 | 0.0071758586 | 0.007185787 | 1.0013835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037518036 | 0.069296405 | 0.06930572 | 1.0001343 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.458263E-5 | 1.2131555E-4 | 1.2131555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7675333E-4 | 5.1982066E-4 | 5.1982066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033642664 | 0.0063105524 | 0.006320489 | 1.0015746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.033137884 | 0.061225113 | 0.0612345 | 1.0001533 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.3853604E-5 | 1.0025133E-4 | 1.0025133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3078074E-4 | 4.2957813E-4 | 4.2957813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028061352 | 0.005217636 | 0.005227584 | 1.0019066 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027709642 | 0.050956815 | 0.050966304 | 1.0001862 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4308683E-5 | 8.170676E-5 | 8.170676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8988053E-4 | 3.5012505E-4 | 3.5012505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023093442 | 0.0042544818 | 0.0042644395 | 1.0023404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022854926 | 0.041823853 | 0.041833434 | 1.0002291 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.295973E-5 | 6.077128E-5 | 6.077128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4124835E-4 | 2.6042247E-4 | 2.6042247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017183421 | 0.0031660565 | 0.0031760249 | 1.0031486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017051157 | 0.03136856 | 0.031378247 | 1.0003088 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.452256E-5 | 4.5179735E-5 | 4.5179735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05092455E-4 | 1.9361314E-4 | 1.9361314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012787496 | 0.0023547055 | 0.0023646818 | 1.0042368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0127141625 | 0.02344059 | 0.023450356 | 1.0004166 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8829967E-5 | 3.4601744E-5 | 3.4601744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.069736E-5 | 1.4828482E-4 | 1.4828482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.820475E-4 | 0.0018038824 | 0.0018038824 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009777189 | 0.018018644 | 0.018018644 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.26374125E-5 | 2.2920172E-5 | 2.2920172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4159216E-5 | 9.8225646E-5 | 9.8225646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5918895E-4 | 0.0011952469 | 0.0011952469 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00657237 | 0.011987263 | 0.011987263 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.666429E-6 | 8.477966E-6 | 8.477966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9998828E-5 | 3.633364E-5 | 3.633364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4345852E-4 | 4.422735E-4 | 4.422735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024319198 | 0.0044574924 | 0.0044574924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8399318E-7 | 7.1337104E-7 | 7.1337104E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456839E-6 | 3.0573008E-6 | 3.0573008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.003602E-5 | 3.7222002E-5 | 3.7222002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0034213E-4 | 3.8614625E-4 | 3.8614625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.5637698E-7 | 5.3660847E-7 | 5.3660847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098758E-6 | 2.2997485E-6 | 2.2997485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3377297E-5 | 2.7999082E-5 | 2.7999082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3376492E-4 | 2.9244705E-4 | 2.9244705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.7141245E-7 | 3.72897E-7 | 3.72897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3462456E-7 | 1.598129E-6 | 1.598129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944017E-6 | 1.9457048E-5 | 1.9457048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.943657E-5 | 2.0245397E-4 | 2.0245397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1808895E-7 | 2.750944E-7 | 2.750944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.060954E-7 | 1.1789754E-6 | 1.1789754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161694E-6 | 1.4353932E-5 | 1.4353932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161523E-5 | 1.48167E-4 | 1.48167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.138535E-8 | 1.1229606E-7 | 1.1229606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2022292E-7 | 4.812687E-7 | 4.812687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6812106E-6 | 5.859431E-6 | 5.859431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6811784E-5 | 6.015674E-5 | 6.015674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.001518768 | 0.001518768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015087658 | 0.015097506 | 1.0006528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.001518768 | 0.001518768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015087658 | 0.015097506 | 1.0006528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.001518768 | 0.001518768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015087658 | 0.015097506 | 1.0006528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2641834E-5 | 2.2641834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.7032855E-5 | 9.7032855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011807396 | 0.0011807396 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011885363 | 0.011746059 | 0.011755941 | 1.0008414 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9696432E-5 | 1.9696432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.441056E-5 | 8.441056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010532405 | 0.001027216 | 0.001027216 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010482626 | 0.010225722 | 0.01023562 | 1.000968 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9408853E-5 | 1.9408853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.317816E-5 | 8.317816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010122255 | 0.0010122255 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010342481 | 0.010077183 | 0.010087082 | 1.0009823 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7458176E-5 | 1.7458176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.4818614E-5 | 7.4818614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.1053726E-4 | 9.1053726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009398366 | 0.009069004 | 0.009069004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6042643E-5 | 1.6042643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.875238E-5 | 6.875238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.367399E-4 | 8.367399E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008707017 | 0.0083367955 | 0.0083367955 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4613964E-5 | 1.4613964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.262978E-5 | 6.262978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.622516E-4 | 7.622516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008003947 | 0.0075972304 | 0.0075972304 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2689852E-5 | 1.2689852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.438395E-5 | 5.438395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.619239E-4 | 6.619239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007053386 | 0.0066003236 | 0.0066003236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1095849E-5 | 1.1095849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.7552774E-5 | 4.7552774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.788013E-4 | 5.788013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257884 | 0.0057736943 | 0.0057736943 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0022069E-5 | 1.0022069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.295102E-5 | 4.295102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.228032E-4 | 5.228032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057090693 | 0.0052164807 | 0.0052164807 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.034636E-6 | 9.034636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.8719292E-5 | 3.8719292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7130548E-4 | 4.7130548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00518453 | 0.004703801 | 0.004703801 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.827994E-6 | 7.827994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.3548113E-5 | 3.3548113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.0837174E-4 | 4.0837174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00452975 | 0.0040769484 | 0.0040769484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 6.9986318E-6 | 6.9986318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 2.9993791E-5 | 2.9993791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6511326E-4 | 3.6511326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036458664 | 0.0036458664 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.959588E-6 | 5.959588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5540841E-5 | 2.5540841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.109154E-4 | 3.109154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035616932 | 0.0031055345 | 0.0031055345 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.595135E-6 | 4.595135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9693289E-5 | 1.9693289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.3973943E-4 | 2.3973943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.0023955363 | 0.0023955363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.6521004E-6 | 2.6521004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1366095E-5 | 1.1366095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.3837342E-4 | 1.3837342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0013835991 | 0.0013835991 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1360507E-6 | 1.1360507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.86878E-6 | 4.86878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.9275782E-5 | 5.9275782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.933247E-4 | 5.933247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.294548E-7 | 5.294548E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.2690897E-6 | 2.2690897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.7625818E-5 | 2.7625818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.7690132E-4 | 2.7690132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 2.7134917E-7 | 2.7134917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.1629244E-6 | 1.1629244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.4158512E-5 | 1.4158512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 1.4214648E-4 | 1.4214648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.526476E-8 | 6.526476E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.7970606E-7 | 2.7970606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.4054162E-6 | 3.4054162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.4072913E-5 | 3.4072913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Carlsbad
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.9038536E-6 | 4.987262E-6 | 4.987262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1016345E-5 | 2.1373808E-5 | 2.1373808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5584397E-4 | 2.601955E-4 | 2.601955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002555496 | 0.0025989555 | 0.0026089295 | 1.0038377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.9038536E-6 | 4.987262E-6 | 4.987262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1016345E-5 | 2.1373808E-5 | 2.1373808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5584397E-4 | 2.601955E-4 | 2.601955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002555496 | 0.0025989555 | 0.0026089295 | 1.0038377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.3820614E-6 | 4.4547746E-6 | 4.4547746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8780129E-5 | 1.9091754E-5 | 1.9091754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2862408E-4 | 2.3241766E-4 | 2.3241766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00228389 | 0.0023217816 | 0.0023317584 | 1.004297 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.302872E-6 | 4.3730124E-6 | 4.3730124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8440749E-5 | 1.874135E-5 | 1.874135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.24493E-4 | 2.2815238E-4 | 2.2815238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022426634 | 0.0022792167 | 0.002289194 | 1.0043775 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0835243E-6 | 4.147661E-6 | 4.147661E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.75007E-5 | 1.777557E-5 | 1.777557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1305021E-4 | 2.1639641E-4 | 2.1639641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021284607 | 0.002161891 | 0.0021718694 | 1.0046155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.987806E-6 | 4.048893E-6 | 4.048893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7090486E-5 | 1.7352286E-5 | 1.7352286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.080568E-4 | 2.1124393E-4 | 2.1124393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002078621 | 0.002110465 | 0.0021204439 | 1.0047283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.8707576E-6 | 3.927495E-6 | 3.927495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6588854E-5 | 1.6832015E-5 | 1.6832015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0195059E-4 | 2.0491083E-4 | 2.0491083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020176715 | 0.0020472526 | 0.002057232 | 1.0048746 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3093434E-6 | 3.3423992E-6 | 3.3423992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4182823E-5 | 1.432449E-5 | 1.432449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7266218E-4 | 1.7438676E-4 | 1.7438676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001725281 | 0.0017425052 | 0.0017524878 | 1.0057288 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.136983E-6 | 3.1664613E-6 | 3.1664613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3444143E-5 | 1.3570479E-5 | 1.3570479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6367015E-4 | 1.652081E-4 | 1.652081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016354966 | 0.0016508586 | 0.001660842 | 1.0060475 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.9056644E-6 | 2.9267667E-6 | 2.9267667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2452788E-5 | 1.2543226E-5 | 1.2543226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5160214E-4 | 1.5270313E-4 | 1.5270313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015149876 | 0.0015259872 | 0.001535972 | 1.0065432 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.5071035E-6 | 2.511406E-6 | 2.511406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0744685E-5 | 1.0763124E-5 | 1.0763124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.308087E-4 | 1.3103319E-4 | 1.3103319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013073172 | 0.0013095625 | 0.0013195494 | 1.0076262 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1786877E-6 | 2.1678916E-6 | 2.1678916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3372E-6 | 9.29093E-6 | 9.29093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13674476E-4 | 1.1311124E-4 | 1.1311124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361635 | 0.0011305396 | 0.0011405282 | 1.0088353 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6628418E-6 | 1.6213959E-6 | 1.6213959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1264453E-6 | 6.948821E-6 | 6.948821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.676102E-5 | 8.4598636E-5 | 8.4598636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.672715E-4 | 8.456665E-4 | 8.456665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0595926E-6 | 9.816896E-7 | 9.816896E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541103E-6 | 4.2072343E-6 | 4.2072343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5286528E-5 | 5.1221883E-5 | 5.1221883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.527277E-4 | 5.121017E-4 | 5.121017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.956623E-7 | 7.173877E-7 | 7.173877E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4099767E-6 | 3.0745152E-6 | 3.0745152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1515676E-5 | 3.7431586E-5 | 3.7431586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.150792E-4 | 3.7425352E-4 | 3.7425352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.1043804E-7 | 4.4484372E-7 | 4.4484372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1875896E-6 | 1.9064718E-6 | 1.9064718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.663358E-5 | 2.3211052E-5 | 2.3211052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6630386E-4 | 2.3208685E-4 | 2.3208685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3723294E-7 | 1.9896368E-7 | 1.9896368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0167122E-6 | 8.5270125E-7 | 8.5270125E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2378401E-5 | 1.0381591E-5 | 1.0381591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237771E-4 | 1.0381133E-4 | 1.0381133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.9992152E-8 | 9.859703E-9 | 9.859703E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.568065E-8 | 4.2255873E-8 | 4.2255873E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0431614E-6 | 5.144652E-7 | 5.144652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0431565E-5 | 5.1446523E-6 | 5.1446523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.275741E-5 | 4.275708E-5 | 1.3052645 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038174E-4 | 1.5038034E-4 | 1.0712243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017078797 | 0.0017178627 | 1.0058452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016955089 | 0.01696492 | 1.0005798 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.275741E-5 | 3.275741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038174E-4 | 1.4038174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017078797 | 0.0017078797 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015371585 | 0.016955089 | 0.016955089 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.1159109E-5 | 2.1159109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2418206E-5 | 9.067888E-5 | 9.067888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0011034793 | 0.0011034793 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00998465 | 0.010982411 | 0.010982411 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.45484955E-5 | 1.45484955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.234925E-5 | 6.234925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.58847E-4 | 7.58847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006888649 | 0.007563504 | 0.007563504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.572818E-6 | 8.572818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.674015E-5 | 3.674015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.4722288E-4 | 4.4722288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004071363 | 0.0044635693 | 0.0044635693 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.8177857E-6 | 5.8177857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4933142E-5 | 2.4933142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.0352082E-4 | 3.0352082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027656353 | 0.0030312722 | 0.0030312722 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.9484853E-6 | 3.9484853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6921978E-5 | 1.6921978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.0600717E-4 | 2.0600717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018768552 | 0.002058316 | 0.002058316 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.7834608E-6 | 2.7834608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.192907E-5 | 1.192907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4522807E-4 | 1.4522807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013224703 | 0.0014514616 | 0.0014514616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.3313763E-6 | 1.3313763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.7058915E-6 | 5.7058915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.9467984E-5 | 6.9467984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.945578E-4 | 6.945578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  | ![]() |