Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.7964142E-50.00519766689.670370.005142.0691741E-42.4839793E-40.00693673627.9259010.006690.00251630880.00302071780.0128309944.2476640.009840.024880060.0298636780.0433776751.4525230.01393
6.11.7796336E-52.0873285E-50.001830835587.71190.001817.626778E-58.9454086E-50.00254923428.497680.002469.281647E-40.00108859750.0046247444.24835060.003540.0092429750.0108368160.0160892741.48468630.00531
6.21.7796336E-52.0873285E-50.001830835587.71190.001817.626778E-58.9454086E-50.00254923428.497680.002469.281647E-40.00108859750.0046247444.24835060.003540.0092429750.0108368160.0160892741.48468630.00531
6.31.3515912E-51.5759586E-50.001265739980.315550.001255.792405E-56.753947E-50.001737426725.7246130.001677.049971E-48.2200643E-40.00328997624.00237270.002470.0070276470.00819234550.0119215421.45520510.00376
6.41.0870146E-51.2618064E-59.826059E-477.872959.7E-44.658551E-55.4076394E-50.001324007824.4840240.001275.67031E-46.5819896E-40.0025769353.91513130.001920.0056558630.00656457850.0093859351.42978490.00284
6.57.964826E-69.19615E-66.7919E-473.85596.7E-43.4134522E-53.9411534E-58.5937924E-421.8052718.2E-44.1550855E-44.7974035E-40.00173913583.62516070.001260.00414732470.0047884220.0065997071.37826350.00182
6.66.6317E-67.6123542E-65.176085E-467.995855.1E-42.8421264E-53.262402E-56.4260414E-419.6972716.1E-43.4597394E-43.971341E-40.00130677273.29050769.1E-40.00345435790.00396546950.0052802351.33155360.00132
6.74.793663E-65.4308466E-63.3542907E-461.763683.3E-42.0544108E-52.3274873E-54.132658E-417.7558773.9E-42.500958E-42.8333912E-48.031918E-42.83473665.2E-40.00249814520.00283054290.003578421.26421687.5E-4
6.84.382823E-64.9693126E-62.9496787E-459.3578832.9E-41.8783392E-52.1296904E-53.6128965E-416.9644223.4E-42.286638E-42.592632E-47.2914135E-42.81235934.7E-40.00228428650.00259034750.0032586121.25798266.7E-4
6.92.729601E-63.0735741E-61.4307315E-446.5494351.4E-41.1698237E-51.3172401E-52.031699E-415.4239071.9E-41.4241673E-41.6036342E-44.0032493E-42.49636082.4E-40.0014232550.00160271660.00196213971.22425873.6E-4
7.01.8987357E-62.1269682E-68.21268E-538.612148.0E-58.137413E-69.11555E-61.2911446E-414.1641981.2E-49.90685E-51.1097687E-42.5096134E-42.26138421.4E-49.902435E-40.00110928320.00129907241.17109181.9E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.6641504E-65.166407E-531.0453115.0E-56.398121E-67.132057E-68.7131484E-512.216888.0E-57.789434E-58.6829925E-51.6682298E-41.92126138.0E-57.786704E-48.6801784E-49.579397E-41.10359459.0E-5
7.21.069082E-61.182876E-61.1182864E-59.4539611.0E-54.581772E-65.0694616E-61.506941E-52.97258621.0E-55.5781646E-56.171948E-57.171886E-51.16201341.0E-55.576765E-46.1707565E-46.270695E-41.01619541.0E-5
7.38.776551E-79.77015E-79.77015E-71.00.03.7613736E-64.187203E-64.187203E-61.00.04.579376E-55.0978528E-55.0978528E-51.00.04.5784327E-45.0971936E-45.0971936E-41.00.0
7.47.55721E-78.510383E-78.510383E-71.00.03.2388E-63.647305E-63.647305E-61.00.03.9431678E-54.440555E-54.440555E-51.00.03.942468E-44.4401764E-44.4401764E-41.00.0
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-76.305732E-71.00.02.3947114E-62.7024564E-62.7024564E-61.00.02.915522E-53.2902408E-53.2902408E-51.00.02.9151395E-43.2902407E-43.2902407E-41.00.0

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.0246155E-50.005669852780.7140660.00562.3625491E-43.010206E-40.00788873626.2066330.007590.00287260950.0036588310.0148477424.05805640.011230.0283575910.0361421670.051178351.41602870.0156
6.15.5131142E-57.0246155E-50.005669852780.7140660.00562.3625491E-43.010206E-40.00788873626.2066330.007590.00287260950.0036588310.0148477424.05805640.011230.0283575910.0361421670.051178351.41602870.0156
6.24.216245E-55.1660383E-50.003911460775.7149050.003861.806837E-42.2138303E-40.005430229524.5286640.005210.00219760460.00269203820.0105308793.9118610.007860.0217599890.0267095030.03735731.39865210.01094
6.34.216245E-55.1660383E-50.003911460775.7149050.003861.806837E-42.2138303E-40.005430229524.5286640.005210.00219760460.00269203820.0105308793.9118610.007860.0217599890.0267095030.03735731.39865210.01094
6.43.6858168E-54.4109085E-50.003233968373.317510.003191.5795401E-41.8902538E-40.0044482223.5323960.004260.00192139370.002298980.0086942443.78178290.006410.0190486550.0228697060.031585711.38111570.00892
6.53.39199E-54.001738E-50.003009898675.2147750.002971.453629E-41.7149192E-40.004150809324.2041110.003980.00176835650.00208593650.0079935873.83213380.005920.0175435080.020758890.0287886671.38681150.0082
6.63.3571985E-53.9471543E-50.003009354276.241110.002971.4387199E-41.691529E-40.004148479624.5250260.003980.00175023420.00205751320.0079653333.87133980.005920.0173651330.0204800960.028492571.39123210.00818
6.73.2580007E-53.8087983E-50.002867980275.298820.002831.3962112E-41.6322412E-40.00396260424.2770730.00380.00169856170.00198546380.0076242463.84003260.005650.0168563720.0197709220.0274559181.38870190.00784
6.83.2185937E-53.751518E-50.00278741274.300910.002751.3793244E-41.6076956E-40.003860174724.0106070.00370.00167803370.00195563350.00746483873.81709460.005520.0166541920.0194779260.0270083361.38661250.00768
6.93.165394E-53.6719717E-50.00272662174.254950.002691.3565269E-41.5736085E-40.003796788224.1279070.003640.00165032020.00191420620.0073338123.8312550.005430.016381180.019071580.0264187341.38524090.00749
7.03.0903822E-53.5624882E-50.002655531574.541480.002621.3243823E-41.5266925E-40.003692128724.183840.003540.00161124280.00185718470.007137363.84310720.005290.0159961040.0185136010.0256588241.38594440.00728
7.13.0069863E-53.4391156E-50.002584303575.1444240.002551.2886449E-41.4738245E-40.003606872424.4728760.003460.00156779590.00179292560.0069336923.86725020.005150.015567810.0178812760.0248641391.39051260.00711
7.22.7957109E-53.128042E-50.002201212670.370310.002171.1981068E-41.3405216E-40.003093655523.0780.002960.00145771880.00163088260.00603369063.69964720.004410.0144819370.0162845460.0222360251.36546790.00605
7.32.4519275E-52.671366E-50.001666669962.390170.001641.0507837E-41.1448217E-40.002304231520.1274260.002190.00127857830.0013929440.0046184453.31560.003230.0127124690.0139287490.0181984361.30653790.00433
7.42.3225532E-52.5198244E-50.0015451661.3201450.001529.95342E-51.0798809E-40.002127769919.7037470.002020.00121115510.00131397640.00429006063.2649450.002980.0120457530.0131462980.0170246331.29501340.00393
7.52.097765E-52.2482514E-50.001222455554.3736150.00128.9901114E-59.635014E-50.001676197917.3969420.001580.00109399650.00117244350.00348972342.97645330.002320.0108862640.0117406180.0147844571.25925710.00308
7.61.511254E-51.5990141E-56.4598006E-440.398656.3E-46.476642E-56.852741E-59.284685E-413.54886158.6E-47.882459E-48.340097E-40.00217289222.60535570.001340.0078545580.0083838590.0101786841.2140810.00181
7.79.934069E-61.0677792E-52.5067522E-423.4763182.4E-44.2573887E-54.576116E-53.7574605E-48.2110253.3E-45.182138E-45.570001E-40.00102673831.8433364.7E-40.005170070.0056270160.00628330231.11663136.6E-4
7.86.7562896E-68.427758E-61.7842633E-421.1712681.7E-42.8955206E-53.6118465E-52.561105E-47.09084752.2E-43.5247262E-44.3965373E-47.395218E-41.68205523.0E-40.00351914060.0044461260.00486425871.09404424.2E-4
7.93.975453E-65.3706963E-61.2537005E-423.3433511.2E-41.7037546E-52.3017068E-51.7301361E-47.5167531.5E-42.0741238E-42.8019687E-44.7014363E-41.67790471.9E-40.0020721890.0028332580.00310249281.09502662.7E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.077398E-65.2077296E-525.0685215.0E-57.169782E-68.903104E-66.890257E-57.73916246.0E-58.7288594E-51.0838993E-41.8838127E-41.73799598.0E-58.7254314E-40.00109674360.00118664491.08197129.0E-5
8.13.6733252E-73.1487303E-71.03148695E-532.7588231.0E-51.5742813E-61.3494553E-61.1349442E-58.4103871.0E-51.9166706E-51.642951E-52.6429347E-51.60865091.0E-51.9165053E-41.6628111E-41.7627944E-41.06012921.0E-5

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.635841E-50.001746246926.3153840.001682.1564208E-42.8436191E-40.00266368529.3672360.002380.00262228120.0034575150.00719454932.0808440.003750.025915530.034140950.03914411.1465440.00518
6.15.0320643E-56.635841E-50.001746246926.3153840.001682.1564208E-42.8436191E-40.00266368529.3672360.002380.00262228120.0034575150.00719454932.0808440.003750.025915530.034140950.03914411.1465440.00518
6.22.4125871E-53.09802E-50.001240942740.0559920.001211.0339249E-41.327667E-40.001852538313.9533370.001720.00125807660.00161540920.0043909182.71814630.002780.0125097810.0160705580.0198193291.23326950.00381
6.31.7433485E-52.2355298E-50.001092331448.8623050.001077.471279E-59.5805786E-50.001615660116.863910.001529.0924866E-40.00116594920.00360310433.09027550.002440.0090553730.0116289820.0149696761.28727320.00338
6.41.7433485E-52.2355298E-50.001092331448.8623050.001077.471279E-59.5805786E-50.001615660116.863910.001529.0924866E-40.00116594920.00360310433.09027550.002440.0090553730.0116289820.0149696761.28727320.00338
6.51.5182742E-51.9429051E-50.001029409552.9829980.001016.506727E-58.3265564E-50.001513146418.1725370.001437.919061E-40.00101342270.00329111213.24752140.002280.00789090.0101185140.0132861351.31305190.0032
6.66.7271576E-68.547377E-67.685409E-489.915417.6E-42.8830356E-53.6631132E-50.001096592329.9360750.001063.5095305E-44.4589842E-40.00214514044.81082770.00170.00350399320.0044678950.0069169041.54813490.00246
6.76.682835E-68.47982E-67.5847347E-489.444537.5E-42.8640408E-53.634161E-50.001086303529.891450.001053.4864116E-44.4237493E-40.00213162744.81859870.001690.0034809470.00443280260.00687194241.55024780.00245
6.86.5774975E-68.326286E-67.5832003E-491.0754247.5E-42.8188972E-53.5683628E-50.001085646130.424210.001053.4314668E-44.343672E-40.00212363324.88902760.001690.00342617280.004352970.00679230551.56038420.00245
6.96.363419E-67.99945E-67.5799343E-494.75577.5E-42.727151E-53.4282937E-50.001084246931.626430.001053.3198006E-44.173204E-40.0021066155.0479560.001690.00331484550.0041829520.00661274561.580880.00244
7.06.1342453E-67.63164E-67.576259E-499.274327.5E-42.6289357E-53.2706652E-50.001082672333.1025120.001053.2002592E-43.981362E-40.00207746735.21798130.001680.00319565440.00399163270.0064019731.60384820.00242
7.15.842926E-67.1421773E-67.471369E-4104.609127.4E-42.504087E-53.0609E-50.001070577234.975890.001043.0482994E-43.726063E-40.00204198415.4802730.001670.00304412140.00373715950.0061381531.64246480.00241
7.24.77173E-65.3583553E-64.3535605E-481.248084.3E-42.045011E-52.2964201E-56.629495E-428.8688266.4E-42.4895166E-42.7955734E-40.00134925824.826410.001070.00248672930.00280858530.00439411961.56453130.00159
7.33.0494948E-62.7102524E-61.327099E-448.9658851.3E-41.3069198E-51.1615316E-51.9161323E-416.49661.8E-41.5910587E-41.4140746E-44.4136503E-43.12122873.0E-40.00158991990.00142307110.00188241641.32278454.6E-4
7.42.7263884E-62.3054622E-67.23053E-531.3626067.0E-51.1684469E-59.880516E-69.9879624E-510.1087479.0E-51.4224913E-41.20288736E-42.9026828E-42.41309621.7E-40.00142158110.00121104620.00149070721.23092512.8E-4
7.52.6090431E-62.165403E-67.2165254E-533.3264777.0E-51.1181565E-59.280266E-69.927943E-510.6979089.0E-51.3612706E-41.1298147E-42.729634E-42.41600131.6E-40.0013604370.00113778570.00140747861.2370332.7E-4
7.62.3008756E-61.8725879E-65.1872496E-527.7009665.0E-59.860858E-68.025352E-66.802487E-58.4762476.0E-51.20049335E-49.770437E-52.2769166E-42.33041431.3E-40.0011998459.84804E-40.00119459721.21303032.1E-4
7.71.7184348E-61.3417229E-64.1341667E-530.8123764.0E-57.3646997E-65.7502284E-65.574994E-59.6952575.0E-58.966153E-57.000682E-51.6000052E-42.2854999.0E-58.962536E-47.076213E-48.475222E-41.1977061.4E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.404941E-74.084046E-548.591014.0E-53.6262625E-63.6021129E-64.360197E-512.1045534.0E-54.4148852E-54.3854863E-51.0385223E-42.36808926.0E-54.414008E-44.4375105E-45.237155E-41.18020138.0E-5
7.92.716738E-73.767946E-73.0376783E-580.618953.0E-51.1643157E-61.614833E-63.1614785E-519.5777443.0E-51.4175452E-51.9660425E-54.9659837E-52.5258783.0E-51.4174548E-41.981758E-42.2816985E-41.15135073.0E-5
8.02.1995428E-83.385256E-83.385256E-81.00.09.426611E-81.450824E-71.450824E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.7663774E-61.7663774E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.7869035E-51.7869035E-51.00.0

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.120563E-50.001831149458.6801030.00181.2181328E-41.337323E-40.00251341418.7943690.002380.00148206770.00162710780.00521126673.20277880.003590.0147222230.0161653530.020759861.28421950.00467
6.12.8424427E-53.120563E-50.001831149458.6801030.00181.2181328E-41.337323E-40.00251341418.7943690.002380.00148206770.00162710780.00521126673.20277880.003590.0147222230.0161653530.020759861.28421950.00467
6.22.8424427E-53.120563E-50.001831149458.6801030.00181.2181328E-41.337323E-40.00251341418.7943690.002380.00148206770.00162710780.00521126673.20277880.003590.0147222230.0161653530.020759861.28421950.00467
6.31.48860645E-51.6081343E-57.060702E-443.9061746.9E-46.379586E-56.891838E-50.001008853514.6383829.4E-47.7643775E-48.387865E-40.00222762052.6557660.001390.0077373050.0083590240.0101340611.21234990.00179
6.41.48860645E-51.6081343E-57.060702E-443.9061746.9E-46.379586E-56.891838E-50.001008853514.6383829.4E-47.7643775E-48.387865E-40.00222762052.6557660.001390.0077373050.0083590240.0101340611.21234990.00179
6.51.2797581E-51.3765525E-56.2375714E-445.3129926.1E-45.4845623E-55.899392E-59.0894377E-415.4074148.5E-46.675408E-47.1804E-40.0019971212.78135060.001280.0066553920.00715974950.0088078641.23019170.00166
6.69.661896E-61.0289008E-55.3028367E-451.5388535.2E-44.1407468E-54.4095097E-57.640633E-417.3276277.2E-45.040193E-45.367418E-40.00160616752.99243970.001070.0050287770.0053560590.00672866781.25627210.00138
6.77.767871E-68.199663E-64.781958E-458.318964.7E-43.329045E-53.5141016E-56.751185E-419.2116976.4E-44.0523586E-44.2777162E-40.00136736963.19649439.4E-40.0040449770.00427083350.0054756661.2821070.00121
6.86.4235196E-66.735724E-63.8673315E-457.415233.8E-42.752908E-52.8867142E-55.4885214E-419.013045.2E-43.35115E-43.5141362E-40.00110115013.13348727.5E-40.0033461010.00350983950.004466471.27255689.6E-4
6.93.1283696E-63.11217E-61.4311173E-445.984551.4E-41.3407229E-51.3337811E-52.0333528E-415.2450271.9E-41.6322079E-41.6237726E-44.0233828E-42.47779942.4E-40.00163100950.00162273450.00197216661.21533543.5E-4
7.02.290603E-62.2286722E-61.1222843E-450.3566321.1E-49.816834E-69.551423E-61.3955017E-414.6104071.3E-41.19513395E-41.16283416E-42.7626482E-42.37578871.6E-40.00119449140.00116232780.00140204891.20624222.4E-4
7.11.293693E-61.1776749E-62.1177651E-517.9825952.0E-55.5443866E-65.0471726E-63.504702E-56.9438923.0E-56.750081E-56.144829E-51.1144522E-41.81364235.0E-56.7480316E-46.143815E-47.1432005E-41.16266541.0E-4
7.24.715842E-73.0917207E-73.0917207E-71.00.02.0210737E-61.3250225E-61.3250225E-61.00.02.4606294E-51.6132035E-51.6132035E-51.00.02.460357E-41.6130917E-41.7130756E-41.06198281.0E-5
7.33.9430947E-72.3096845E-72.3096845E-71.00.01.6898966E-69.898645E-79.898645E-71.00.02.0574296E-51.2051533E-51.2051533E-51.00.02.0572392E-41.2050887E-41.3050767E-41.08297151.0E-5
7.43.547123E-71.9678492E-71.9678492E-71.00.01.5201948E-68.433637E-78.433637E-71.00.01.8508214E-51.0267905E-51.0267905E-51.00.01.8506673E-41.0267437E-41.1267335E-41.09738531.0E-5
7.52.6354266E-71.442265E-71.442265E-71.00.01.129468E-66.1811346E-76.1811346E-71.00.01.3751187E-57.525506E-67.525506E-61.00.01.3750336E-47.525257E-58.525181E-51.13287581.0E-5
7.61.269913E-77.572318E-87.572318E-81.00.05.4424834E-73.2452786E-73.2452786E-71.00.06.6262032E-63.95112E-63.95112E-61.00.06.626006E-53.9510534E-53.9510534E-51.00.0

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.290427E-50.001242830119.7574830.001181.9323928E-42.695644E-40.0019691067.30477050.00170.00235014970.00327745360.0060882111.8576040.002820.0232545040.032354960.036080391.11514260.00385
6.14.5092507E-56.290427E-50.001242830119.7574830.001181.9323928E-42.695644E-40.0019691067.30477050.00170.00235014970.00327745360.0060882111.8576040.002820.0232545040.032354960.036080391.11514260.00385
6.22.6674514E-53.4511064E-59.744786E-428.2367029.4E-41.1431433E-41.4789637E-40.001507695210.1942680.001360.00139088840.00179918410.00399522582.22057650.00220.013822150.0178740040.0207712761.16209410.00295
6.32.6674514E-53.4511064E-59.744786E-428.2367029.4E-41.1431433E-41.4789637E-40.001507695210.1942680.001360.00139088840.00179918410.00399522582.22057650.00220.013822150.0178740040.0207712761.16209410.00295
6.42.5312667E-53.2339947E-59.7230956E-430.065289.4E-41.0847834E-41.3859257E-40.001498404110.8115760.001360.00131992370.00168608790.00387239552.29667450.002190.0131211120.0167735030.0196543581.17175030.00293
6.52.5312667E-53.2339947E-59.7230956E-430.065289.4E-41.0847834E-41.3859257E-40.001498404110.8115760.001360.00131992370.00168608790.00387239552.29667450.002190.0131211120.0167735030.0196543581.17175030.00293
6.62.246556E-52.8134184E-59.481083E-433.6995129.2E-49.627742E-51.2056964E-40.001440410511.946710.001320.00117154720.00146697040.00357387522.43622850.002110.0116539010.0146141020.0173830371.189470.00281
6.72.2241198E-52.7803926E-59.4777835E-434.0879339.2E-49.531594E-51.1915438E-40.001438997112.0767460.001320.00115985380.00144976260.00355670372.45330070.002110.0115381870.0144437480.0172033051.19105550.0028
6.81.9528685E-52.3898472E-59.138772E-438.2399868.9E-48.369167E-51.0241811E-40.0013522913.2036230.001250.00101846980.00124624690.00318382912.5547340.001940.0101381470.0124375710.0150052341.2064440.0026
6.91.3318621E-51.5198411E-58.1518624E-453.636288.0E-45.7078556E-56.513445E-50.001155063517.7335240.001096.9470983E-47.9272914E-40.00246140523.10497640.001670.00692542040.0079405310.0101329821.2761090.00221
7.01.1760853E-51.3107256E-58.1309676E-462.03418.0E-45.0402683E-55.6172772E-50.001146111520.403330.001096.134799E-46.836939E-40.00232257273.39709420.001640.00611789060.0068571470.0089924041.31139150.00215
7.11.0064758E-51.0902388E-57.9089386E-472.543187.8E-44.3133965E-54.67237E-50.001086675123.2574710.001045.2502943E-45.687161E-40.0020978463.68874030.001530.0052379070.00571309870.0077315011.35329380.00203
7.29.768808E-61.049826E-57.9049007E-475.297257.8E-44.186565E-54.4991786E-50.00108494524.114290.001045.095951E-45.476408E-40.00206680833.77402190.001520.00508428040.00550330760.00750224571.36322490.00201
7.39.344516E-69.943912E-67.5993646E-476.422287.5E-44.004731E-54.261609E-50.001032573924.2296719.9E-44.8746695E-45.1873084E-40.0019579843.77456620.001440.00486399050.00521496260.00707521061.35671350.00187
7.49.023491E-69.490095E-67.1948336E-475.814137.1E-43.867153E-54.067122E-59.706334E-423.8653629.3E-44.7072413E-44.9506297E-40.00184439463.7255760.001350.0046972830.0049783560.00669974371.34577430.00173
7.57.081253E-67.0870797E-64.1708417E-458.851354.1E-43.0347876E-53.0372848E-55.403574E-417.7908045.1E-43.6942272E-43.697274E-40.00109945752.97369777.3E-40.0036880920.00372396920.0046405431.24612829.2E-4
7.66.116396E-65.958634E-61.959575E-432.886311.9E-42.6212863E-52.5536756E-53.055296E-411.9643082.8E-43.1909486E-43.108659E-46.9074775E-42.2220123.8E-40.00318637070.0031355490.00362401251.15578254.9E-4
7.74.797145E-64.7568233E-61.347562E-428.3290351.3E-42.055903E-52.0386226E-51.9038277E-49.3387941.7E-42.5027743E-42.4817415E-44.881146E-41.96682272.4E-40.00249995760.00250917250.00283834451.13118743.3E-4
7.83.4028885E-63.9781057E-68.3977786E-521.1099938.0E-51.4583726E-51.7048915E-51.1704721E-46.8653761.0E-41.775424E-42.0755084E-43.4752177E-41.67439351.4E-40.00177400620.0021010660.00231062481.09973932.1E-4
7.92.5928412E-63.3722088E-66.3372005E-518.7924336.0E-51.1112129E-51.4452244E-59.445109E-56.53539288.0E-51.3528178E-41.7594192E-42.8592258E-41.62509631.1E-40.00135199450.00178114620.00195084341.09527421.7E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.673372E-64.1673306E-524.9037914.0E-55.8901214E-67.1715745E-65.7171215E-57.97191955.0E-57.1709874E-58.731045E-51.5730434E-41.80166677.0E-57.1686733E-48.8365114E-49.6358045E-41.09045358.0E-5
8.13.6733252E-73.1487303E-71.03148695E-532.7588231.0E-51.5742813E-61.3494553E-61.1349442E-58.4103871.0E-51.9166706E-51.642951E-52.6429347E-51.60865091.0E-51.9165053E-41.6628111E-41.7627944E-41.06012921.0E-5

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984004E-50.001513933844.548420.001481.2947287E-41.4563776E-40.00211535114.5247410.001970.00157519230.00177172720.0046566072.62828660.002890.0156407360.0175838620.021592121.22795090.00408
6.13.0211835E-53.3984004E-50.001513933844.548420.001481.2947287E-41.4563776E-40.00211535114.5247410.001970.00157519230.00177172720.0046566072.62828660.002890.0156407360.0175838620.021592121.22795090.00408
6.23.0211835E-53.3984004E-50.001513933844.548420.001481.2947287E-41.4563776E-40.00211535114.5247410.001970.00157519230.00177172720.0046566072.62828660.002890.0156407360.0175838620.021592121.22795090.00408
6.32.8573924E-53.2102194E-50.001432057244.6093250.00141.2245393E-41.3757373E-40.001987319214.4454840.001850.0014898570.00167370110.00441909862.6403150.002750.014799080.01661890.0204049161.2278140.00385
6.42.8573924E-53.2102194E-50.001432057244.6093250.00141.2245393E-41.3757373E-40.001987319214.4454840.001850.0014898570.00167370110.00441909862.6403150.002750.014799080.01661890.0204049161.2278140.00385
6.52.7468774E-53.0827894E-50.001420785146.0876460.001391.1771801E-41.3211301E-40.001951872614.7742650.001820.00143227450.00160731640.0042630412.65227250.002660.0142307820.0159647540.0196548871.23114240.00375
6.62.6135967E-52.9251982E-50.001399211947.8330650.001371.1200648E-41.2535976E-40.001915135415.2771140.001790.00136282570.0015252130.0041012782.6889870.002580.0135449820.0151551990.0187203361.23524190.00362
6.72.4498746E-52.7340879E-50.001347304849.2780380.001321.04990395E-41.1717007E-40.001836968615.6777960.001720.00127750840.00142563720.00391208752.74409750.002490.0127018930.0141724490.0176228451.2434580.0035
6.82.2244329E-52.4935209E-50.001244904849.9255830.001229.532935E-51.0686093E-40.001716688916.0647010.001610.00116001690.00130027710.00363723442.79727650.002340.0115398020.0129338110.0161220361.2465030.00323
6.91.9902658E-52.2290018E-50.001102265949.45110.001088.529431E-59.5525254E-50.001545386716.1777820.001450.00103796350.00116241790.00324998842.79588630.002090.0103312880.0115698830.0144363311.24775080.0029
7.01.8353881E-52.0565898E-50.001050544751.081880.001037.865712E-58.813668E-50.001478014216.769570.001399.5722964E-40.00107255360.003050432.84408160.001980.0095311680.0106800150.0133511791.25010860.0027
7.11.7667631E-51.9772282E-50.001009752751.0691039.9E-47.571623E-58.47357E-50.001424622116.8125380.001349.2145515E-40.00103118640.00291923762.83095030.001890.0091764370.0102702240.0128237271.24863170.00258
7.21.6381597E-51.8157898E-58.9814194E-449.462888.8E-47.020495E-57.781734E-50.001247726316.0340390.001178.544101E-49.470316E-40.00262544072.7722840.001680.0085113250.0094358710.0116844511.23830130.00227
7.31.4520491E-51.596645E-56.959556E-443.5886236.8E-46.222919E-56.842594E-59.883629E-414.4442739.2E-47.57377E-48.3278364E-40.00217166782.60772130.001340.00754800950.0083009970.0101058891.21743070.00182
7.41.2852287E-51.4145376E-56.7413604E-447.6576966.6E-45.5080065E-56.062172E-59.6056715E-415.84526359.0E-46.7039346E-47.378353E-40.00204686872.7741540.001310.00668374640.0073580310.0090852281.23473630.00174
7.51.1637851E-51.2836758E-56.728283E-452.4141926.6E-44.987555E-55.5013606E-59.549641E-417.358699.0E-46.070656E-46.696005E-40.00197872332.95508050.001310.0060540990.0066799870.008398431.25725260.00173
7.63.0068115E-63.3329961E-63.1333196E-494.00913.1E-41.2886271E-51.4284232E-54.142785E-429.0025064.0E-41.5687906E-41.7390393E-48.337891E-44.7945396.6E-40.00156768350.00174028260.00260876861.49904888.7E-4

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.309578E-59.03067E-427.286478.7E-41.3160157E-41.4183212E-40.00138165639.7414910.001240.00160107140.0017255750.00374208932.16860440.002020.0158958510.0171355980.0200350471.16920630.00295
6.13.0708583E-53.309578E-59.03067E-427.286478.7E-41.3160157E-41.4183212E-40.00138165639.7414910.001240.00160107140.0017255750.00374208932.16860440.002020.0158958510.0171355980.0200350471.16920630.00295
6.21.1707779E-51.2545098E-52.9254158E-423.3191952.8E-45.017523E-55.376365E-54.437427E-48.2535813.9E-46.107122E-46.543855E-40.00136392092.08427747.1E-40.0060903660.0065255570.00754883561.15681090.00103
6.31.1707779E-51.2545098E-52.9254158E-423.3191952.8E-45.017523E-55.376365E-54.437427E-48.2535813.9E-46.107122E-46.543855E-40.00136392092.08427747.1E-40.0060903660.0065255570.00754883561.15681090.00103
6.47.929244E-68.480082E-61.7847864E-421.0468041.7E-43.3982033E-53.6342728E-53.0633292E-48.4290022.7E-44.136527E-44.423869E-49.12179E-42.06194854.7E-40.00412883560.0044154680.00507255361.14881466.6E-4
6.55.8832115E-66.2859795E-61.16285286E-418.4991511.1E-42.521352E-52.6939648E-52.1693452E-48.0526121.9E-43.0693135E-43.279434E-46.778286E-42.06690743.5E-40.00306507780.00327484780.00379314481.1582665.2E-4
6.65.8832115E-66.2859795E-61.16285286E-418.4991511.1E-42.521352E-52.6939648E-52.1693452E-48.0526121.9E-43.0693135E-43.279434E-46.778286E-42.06690743.5E-40.00306507780.00327484780.00379314481.1582665.2E-4
6.73.0715053E-63.2814603E-67.328123E-522.3318987.0E-51.3163528E-51.4063332E-51.3406164E-49.5327091.2E-41.6025416E-41.7120877E-43.7117454E-42.16796452.0E-40.00160138650.00171088320.002010371.1750483.0E-4
6.82.2722281E-62.4287492E-66.2428604E-525.7040146.0E-59.738084E-61.0408889E-51.1040785E-410.6070741.0E-41.1855473E-41.2672177E-42.8670148E-42.26244851.6E-40.0011849150.00126658530.00151626861.19713122.5E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653469E-61.1065336E-510.3866041.0E-54.265307E-64.565767E-62.4565676E-55.3804052.0E-55.1928873E-55.5587312E-51.05584535E-41.89943585.0E-55.191674E-45.5578473E-46.3574023E-41.14386068.0E-5
7.04.7385504E-75.07555E-75.07555E-71.00.02.0308057E-62.1752357E-62.1752357E-61.00.02.4724779E-52.6483494E-54.6482965E-51.75516742.0E-52.4722028E-42.6483493E-43.0482435E-41.15099754.0E-5

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.146452E-55.5144815E-417.5260315.2E-41.3147724E-41.348422E-48.647438E-46.4130067.3E-40.00159955990.00164068430.00278879751.6997770.001150.0158809520.0163072830.0180779291.10858010.0018
6.13.0679566E-53.146452E-55.5144815E-417.5260315.2E-41.3147724E-41.348422E-48.647438E-46.4130067.3E-40.00159955990.00164068430.00278879751.6997770.001150.0158809520.0163072830.0180779291.10858010.0018
6.21.514536E-51.3635164E-51.6363311E-412.0008181.5E-46.490707E-55.8435176E-52.7842232E-44.76463562.2E-47.8995706E-47.112279E-40.00108096471.5198573.7E-40.0078715480.0070907180.00764674741.07841655.6E-4
6.31.514536E-51.3635164E-51.6363311E-412.0008181.5E-46.490707E-55.8435176E-52.7842232E-44.76463562.2E-47.8995706E-47.112279E-40.00108096471.5198573.7E-40.0078715480.0070907180.00764674741.07841655.6E-4
6.41.2532521E-51.0689658E-57.068901E-56.6128426.0E-55.37097E-54.581205E-51.2580838E-42.74618558.0E-56.537194E-45.5762473E-47.475188E-41.34054091.9E-40.00651799650.00556284560.00586117661.05362933.0E-4
6.51.1094058E-59.083636E-64.908327E-55.40348344.0E-54.7545094E-53.8929305E-58.892736E-52.28432945.0E-55.787078E-44.7386528E-45.738179E-41.21093051.0E-40.00577203040.00472895570.0048981521.03577881.7E-4
6.69.688328E-67.531671E-62.753152E-53.65543322.0E-54.1520743E-53.2278207E-56.2277235E-51.92938973.0E-55.053978E-43.9291885E-44.4289918E-41.12720275.0E-50.00504249940.0039224980.0040121451.02285469.0E-5
6.78.974824E-66.749391E-61.6749324E-52.4816051.0E-53.8462964E-52.8925653E-53.8925366E-51.34570381.0E-54.6818596E-43.5211514E-43.621116E-41.02838981.0E-50.0046720080.00351579320.00355565251.01133734.0E-5
6.87.4780046E-65.1161755E-61.5116124E-52.9545751.0E-53.20482E-52.192629E-53.192607E-51.45606351.0E-53.9011694E-42.6692127E-42.7691858E-41.03745421.0E-50.00389432810.00266614490.00269606481.01122223.0E-5
6.96.3409307E-63.9074807E-63.9074807E-61.00.02.7175134E-51.6746244E-51.6746244E-51.00.03.3080703E-42.0386743E-42.0386743E-41.00.00.00330315020.00203690240.00205686151.00979892.0E-5
7.05.1239335E-62.6058435E-62.6058435E-61.00.02.195953E-51.1167855E-51.1167855E-51.00.02.6732447E-41.359604E-41.359604E-41.00.00.00267003130.00135879740.00136878391.00734951.0E-5
7.14.438899E-62.0984642E-62.0984642E-61.00.01.9023713E-58.993388E-68.993388E-61.00.02.315891E-41.0948922E-41.0948922E-41.00.00.0023134790.00109437460.00110436371.00912761.0E-5
7.23.50367E-61.2615674E-61.2615674E-61.00.01.5015643E-55.406707E-65.406707E-61.00.01.8280011E-46.582475E-56.582475E-51.00.00.00182649826.580607E-46.580607E-41.00.0
7.32.561638E-67.1186463E-77.1186463E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.050845E-63.050845E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.7143425E-53.7143425E-51.00.00.00133573493.7137416E-43.7137416E-41.00.0
7.42.0368864E-65.304434E-75.304434E-71.00.08.729483E-62.273327E-62.273327E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.767741E-52.767741E-51.00.00.00106225472.7674017E-42.7674017E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028206E-73.6028206E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.5440651E-61.5440651E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.8798835E-51.8798835E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797291E-41.8797291E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196375E-87.1196375E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.051273E-73.051273E-71.00.06.863748E-63.71492E-63.71492E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148737E-53.7148737E-51.00.0

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.4568674E-57.3453155E-413.4606826.8E-41.9328714E-42.3384552E-40.0011336354.84779459.0E-40.0023507310.00284352620.0041797161.46990590.001340.0232601950.0280930810.0298327951.06192670.00179
6.14.5103672E-55.4568674E-57.3453155E-413.4606826.8E-41.9328714E-42.3384552E-40.0011336354.84779459.0E-40.0023507310.00284352620.0041797161.46990590.001340.0232601950.0280930810.0298327951.06192670.00179
6.23.9363465E-54.7062385E-57.270304E-415.4482276.8E-41.6868966E-42.0168122E-40.00110149975.4615889.0E-40.0020518620.00245283660.00377957431.54089940.001330.0203301960.0242746750.0260114671.07154740.00178
6.33.9363465E-54.7062385E-57.270304E-415.4482276.8E-41.6868966E-42.0168122E-40.00110149975.4615889.0E-40.0020518620.00245283660.00377957431.54089940.001330.0203301960.0242746750.0260114671.07154740.00178
6.43.2311684E-53.7950864E-57.079254E-418.6537366.7E-41.384713E-41.6263683E-40.00105249216.4714258.9E-40.00168458430.00197837390.00329576251.66589460.001320.0167187140.0196176450.021352921.08845480.00177
6.53.2311684E-53.7950864E-57.079254E-418.6537366.7E-41.384713E-41.6263683E-40.00105249216.4714258.9E-40.00168458430.00197837390.00329576251.66589460.001320.0167187140.0196176450.021352921.08845480.00177
6.62.9305844E-53.4181736E-56.941592E-420.3078986.6E-41.2559042E-41.4648527E-40.00102635647.006558.8E-40.00152799090.00178206080.0030797441.72819240.00130.0151752720.0176868640.0194059131.09719350.00175
6.72.7826512E-53.2344138E-56.923228E-421.4048926.6E-41.19251024E-41.386107E-40.00101848887.3478368.8E-40.00145091420.00168633930.0029841471.76960060.00130.0144147760.0167443640.0184650631.10276280.00175
6.82.3389874E-52.686661E-56.868489E-425.565156.6E-41.0023846E-41.15137795E-49.950364E-48.6421368.8E-40.001219720.00140094860.00269912741.92664270.00130.012130470.0139286320.0156542571.12389050.00175
6.92.069209E-52.3569948E-56.835544E-429.00116.6E-48.867737E-51.0101035E-49.809214E-49.7110998.8E-40.00107911230.00122914340.00252754542.05634710.00130.0107388710.0122297340.0139583321.14134380.00175
7.01.7462342E-51.9633484E-56.7962054E-434.615386.6E-47.483646E-58.414092E-59.640669E-411.4577668.8E-49.1075303E-40.00102395680.00232262562.26828480.00130.0090702950.0101972770.0119294321.16986440.00175
7.11.4807709E-51.6441705E-56.764309E-441.1411636.6E-46.3460066E-57.0462636E-59.5040066E-413.48800858.8E-47.723524E-48.575615E-40.00215644672.51462630.00130.0076967350.0085467680.0102818111.20300580.00175
7.21.4180048E-51.5698295E-56.756879E-443.042126.6E-46.077022E-56.7276764E-59.472176E-414.0794168.8E-47.396263E-48.18803E-40.00211773862.58638360.00130.00737169430.0081620710.0098977871.21265640.00175
7.31.3730402E-51.5172035E-56.75162E-444.5004276.6E-45.8843252E-56.502148E-59.4496424E-414.533118.8E-47.161811E-47.9136505E-40.00208034412.62880470.001290.0071387740.0078896610.00961593351.21880170.00174
7.41.2810095E-51.4109242E-56.7409995E-447.777196.6E-45.489925E-56.0466868E-59.404137E-415.5525458.8E-46.681934E-47.3595124E-40.0020250022.75154350.001290.0066618780.00733929550.0090466721.23263490.00172
7.51.1595659E-51.2800624E-56.727922E-452.5593266.6E-44.9694736E-55.4858752E-59.348105E-417.0403168.8E-46.0486543E-46.677163E-40.0019568552.93066840.001290.0060322170.0066612390.00835984851.2549990.00171
7.62.997694E-63.3251215E-63.133241E-494.229373.1E-41.28471975E-51.4250483E-54.1424477E-429.0688234.0E-41.564034E-41.734931E-48.333786E-44.8035266.6E-40.00156293370.00173618540.0026046751.50022858.7E-4

Garlock (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.519625E-56.4518064E-425.6062166.2E-41.0791722E-41.0797948E-49.2789094E-48.5932158.2E-40.00131310020.00131386080.0025122841.91213880.00120.0130536830.0131411310.014759581.1231590.00164
6.12.5077732E-52.5097293E-56.4508175E-425.703246.2E-41.0747157E-41.0755541E-49.274672E-48.62315758.2E-40.0013076810.00130870390.00250713341.91573770.00120.0130001260.0130901720.0147087031.12364480.00164
6.22.494612E-52.4978985E-56.449635E-425.8202446.2E-41.0690756E-41.0704842E-49.2696067E-48.65926558.2E-40.00130082240.00130253870.00250097571.92007780.00120.0129323410.0130292430.0146478751.12423070.00164
6.32.4733758E-52.4798346E-56.4478297E-426.0010476.2E-41.0599751E-41.0627432E-49.2618715E-48.7150618.2E-40.00128975560.00129312520.00249157361.92678440.00120.0128229570.0129362080.0145549931.12513590.00164
6.42.3237335E-52.3177683E-56.4316334E-427.7492496.2E-49.958477E-59.932916E-59.192477E-49.254568.2E-40.00121177020.00120866450.00240721411.99163140.00120.0120518380.0121010710.0137212251.13388510.00164
6.52.2732203E-52.2992053E-56.429778E-427.965226.2E-49.742009E-59.853367E-59.1845286E-49.3212098.2E-40.00118544420.00119898990.00239755121.99964250.00120.0117914030.0120053750.0136256861.13496550.00164
6.62.1319436E-52.1772283E-56.417588E-429.4759546.2E-49.136581E-59.330646E-59.1322995E-49.7874258.2E-40.0011118110.00113541640.00232406522.04688360.001190.0110626490.0113762920.012987751.14165040.00163
6.71.970802E-52.0392179E-56.4037956E-431.4031936.2E-48.446021E-58.739214E-59.073205E-410.3821758.2E-40.0010278180.00106348170.0022522162.11777620.001190.0102307710.010664030.0122766481.15122030.00163
6.81.8744462E-51.9899864E-56.398875E-432.1553736.2E-48.033094E-58.528236E-59.052124E-410.6142998.2E-49.775903E-40.00103781980.00222658482.14544460.001190.0097330090.0104098220.0120228541.15495290.00163
6.91.7559682E-51.8952243E-56.389405E-433.7131846.2E-47.5253614E-58.1221384E-59.0115477E-411.0950438.2E-49.158276E-49.884231E-40.00217724682.20274780.001190.00912062450.0099203910.01153422151.1626780.00163
7.01.6794445E-51.8215069E-56.3820375E-435.0371326.2E-47.197421E-57.806226E-58.979982E-411.5036168.2E-48.759337E-49.4999495E-40.00213886452.25144820.001190.0087248910.0095392450.0111536961.16924310.00163
7.11.6337795E-51.7715876E-56.2770507E-435.431786.1E-47.0017246E-57.592298E-58.8586146E-411.6678968.1E-48.521265E-49.2397165E-40.00210288142.27591540.001180.0084886640.0092810530.0108860181.17292920.00162
7.21.5780008E-51.716451E-56.27154E-436.5378346.1E-46.762685E-57.356012E-58.8350056E-412.01059158.1E-48.2304585E-48.952278E-40.00207417132.31692030.001180.0082000420.0089958910.01060131751.17846230.00162
7.31.5058865E-51.6617598E-56.2660745E-437.7074626.1E-46.45364E-57.1216346E-58.8115863E-412.3729848.1E-47.854473E-48.667153E-40.00204569262.36028220.001180.007826770.0087125970.0103085691.18317990.00161
7.41.4887923E-51.645357E-56.164437E-437.465656.0E-46.380382E-57.05134E-58.70457E-412.3445618.0E-47.7653467E-48.5816375E-40.00202715982.36220620.001170.00773826750.00862743150.0101838871.18040760.00157
7.51.4509299E-51.6045597E-55.9603626E-437.1464085.8E-46.218123E-56.876503E-58.287128E-412.0513697.6E-47.567935E-48.368939E-40.00193597332.31328420.00110.00754221340.008415720.0098931811.17555960.00149
7.61.2756717E-51.40496895E-53.3404518E-423.7759843.2E-45.4670498E-56.021157E-55.201839E-48.6392684.6E-46.6541E-47.3282997E-40.00141233161.92722966.8E-40.0066342110.0073808470.0083139091.12641679.4E-4
7.71.0328985E-51.1459538E-52.5145678E-421.9430122.4E-44.4266326E-54.9111382E-53.7909517E-47.71908953.3E-45.388092E-45.977675E-40.00106748651.78578894.7E-40.00537504670.0060378730.0066938881.108656.6E-4
7.87.0306583E-68.89889E-61.7889738E-420.1033361.7E-43.0131043E-53.8137543E-52.5812915E-46.7683742.2E-43.667837E-44.6422583E-47.6408655E-41.64593723.0E-40.0036617890.0046947540.00511278171.08904164.2E-4
7.94.060633E-65.46505E-61.254644E-422.9575941.2E-41.7402595E-52.3421433E-51.7341792E-47.40424061.5E-42.11856E-42.8511873E-44.7506456E-41.66619911.9E-40.00211654140.00288382750.0031530491.09335552.7E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.077398E-65.2077296E-525.0685215.0E-57.169782E-68.903104E-66.890257E-57.73916246.0E-58.7288594E-51.0838993E-41.8838127E-41.73799598.0E-58.7254314E-40.00109674360.00118664491.08197129.0E-5
8.13.6733252E-73.1487303E-71.03148695E-532.7588231.0E-51.5742813E-61.3494553E-61.1349442E-58.4103871.0E-51.9166706E-51.642951E-52.6429347E-51.60865091.0E-51.9165053E-41.6628111E-41.7627944E-41.06012921.0E-5

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.31944E-54.2318512E-418.2451424.0E-49.2335285E-59.940123E-57.093406E-47.13613466.1E-40.00112360230.0012096180.00216845681.7926799.6E-40.0111793810.0120383240.0133523131.10915050.00133
6.12.1545662E-52.31944E-54.2318512E-418.2451424.0E-49.2335285E-59.940123E-57.093406E-47.13613466.1E-40.00112360230.0012096180.00216845681.7926799.6E-40.0111793810.0120383240.0133523131.10915050.00133
6.22.1545662E-52.31944E-54.2318512E-418.2451424.0E-49.2335285E-59.940123E-57.093406E-47.13613466.1E-40.00112360230.0012096180.00216845681.7926799.6E-40.0111793810.0120383240.0133523131.10915050.00133
6.31.0025529E-51.0746914E-51.9074498E-417.7488161.8E-44.2965847E-54.6057463E-53.16045E-46.86197232.7E-45.229836E-45.606186E-49.803831E-41.74875254.2E-40.0052175450.00559335570.00620988761.11022586.2E-4
6.41.0025529E-51.0746914E-51.9074498E-417.7488161.8E-44.2965847E-54.6057463E-53.16045E-46.86197232.7E-45.229836E-45.606186E-49.803831E-41.74875254.2E-40.0052175450.00559335570.00620988761.11022586.2E-4
6.56.9617327E-67.45662E-61.174558E-415.7518831.1E-42.9835655E-53.19566E-51.9195149E-46.00663041.6E-43.6318856E-43.8901082E-46.78898E-41.74519062.9E-40.00362595570.0038841530.00430252171.10771174.2E-4
6.64.9919777E-65.3466783E-69.53462E-517.8327929.0E-52.1394015E-52.2914171E-51.6291096E-47.10961631.4E-42.60441E-42.7895102E-45.188841E-41.86012612.4E-40.00260135970.00278666730.00311574781.1180913.3E-4
6.73.6630722E-63.924616E-67.392434E-518.836077.0E-51.5698786E-51.6819708E-51.2681786E-47.53983741.1E-41.9111596E-42.0476643E-44.047255E-41.97652262.0E-40.00190951680.00204634060.0023157881.13167292.7E-4
6.82.5599613E-62.7449198E-65.274478E-519.2154185.0E-51.0971216E-51.17639165E-51.0176286E-48.6504239.0E-51.3356637E-41.4322122E-42.9319973E-42.0471811.5E-40.00133486130.00143177410.00161151651.12553811.8E-4
6.91.7684905E-61.896867E-62.1896829E-511.5436812.0E-57.579223E-68.12943E-65.8129022E-57.15044265.0E-59.2273134E-59.897581E-51.789679E-41.80819838.0E-59.223483E-49.897582E-40.00108965921.10093471.0E-4

McLean Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501594E-52.884966E-415.5930662.7E-47.439883E-57.929042E-54.7925868E-46.0443464.0E-49.0542925E-49.6498185E-40.00177420021.83858418.1E-40.0090174910.0096127580.01085074151.12878550.00125
6.19.062689E-69.592179E-61.3959093E-414.5525791.3E-43.8839516E-54.110874E-52.4110051E-45.86494542.0E-44.727685E-45.0039287E-49.5016765E-41.89884344.5E-40.00471763960.0049935440.00569999871.14147357.1E-4
6.29.062689E-69.592179E-61.3959093E-414.5525791.3E-43.8839516E-54.110874E-52.4110051E-45.86494542.0E-44.727685E-45.0039287E-49.5016765E-41.89884344.5E-40.00471763960.0049935440.00569999871.14147357.1E-4
6.37.2575485E-67.667698E-61.0766693E-414.0416241.0E-43.110341E-53.286119E-51.8285625E-45.56450561.5E-43.786182E-44.0001865E-47.4987864E-41.87460923.5E-40.00377973750.0039936910.00454149441.13716725.5E-4
6.47.2575485E-67.667698E-61.0766693E-414.0416241.0E-43.110341E-53.286119E-51.8285625E-45.56450561.5E-43.786182E-44.0001865E-47.4987864E-41.87460923.5E-40.00377973750.0039936910.00454149441.13716725.5E-4
6.56.06582E-66.4038677E-69.640329E-515.0539179.0E-52.5996113E-52.7444894E-51.6744105E-46.1009911.4E-43.164567E-43.3409684E-46.339966E-41.89764323.0E-40.00316006430.00333658420.00381498271.14337974.8E-4
6.65.598744E-65.9102535E-68.590978E-514.5357198.0E-52.3994397E-52.5329447E-51.5532615E-46.1322361.3E-42.9209262E-43.0834877E-45.682686E-41.8429412.6E-40.00291708970.00307983860.00350851431.13918774.3E-4
6.75.246996E-65.539154E-67.553877E-513.6372397.0E-52.2486933E-52.373905E-51.4373621E-46.0548421.2E-42.73744E-42.8899097E-45.189245E-41.79564262.3E-40.00273407040.00288677540.00326567841.13125483.8E-4
6.84.02324E-64.2468982E-67.42466E-517.4825487.0E-51.7242342E-51.8200899E-51.281989E-47.04354761.1E-42.099053E-42.2157936E-44.3153283E-41.94753172.1E-40.00209707140.00221416870.0025434381.14871013.3E-4
6.96.835972E-77.13992E-77.13992E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.0599638E-63.0599638E-61.00.03.56685E-53.725474E-55.7253998E-51.53682452.0E-53.5662777E-43.7251622E-44.0250504E-41.08050353.0E-5

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0375995E-52.0037084E-46.59635451.7E-41.1448149E-41.3017745E-44.601345E-43.53467133.3E-40.0013929210.00158395440.00223292481.40971536.5E-40.0138422220.0157461460.0167796131.06563290.00105
6.12.671352E-53.0375995E-52.0037084E-46.59635451.7E-41.1448149E-41.3017745E-44.601345E-43.53467133.3E-40.0013929210.00158395440.00223292481.40971536.5E-40.0138422220.0157461460.0167796131.06563290.00105
6.21.4197047E-51.6096199E-51.2609443E-47.83380131.1E-46.0843064E-56.8982445E-52.7896796E-44.0440432.1E-47.4051257E-48.3963625E-40.0011993341.4283973.6E-40.0073804980.0083743350.0089494781.06867925.8E-4
6.31.4197047E-51.6096199E-51.2609443E-47.83380131.1E-46.0843064E-56.8982445E-52.7896796E-44.0440432.1E-47.4051257E-48.3963625E-40.0011993341.4283973.6E-40.0073804980.0083743350.0089494781.06867925.8E-4
6.41.3238931E-51.5008418E-51.15006915E-47.66282751.0E-45.6737044E-56.432076E-52.643079E-44.1092162.0E-46.9055456E-47.8292185E-40.00113264791.44669333.5E-40.0068841260.00781126230.008376811.07240155.7E-4
6.51.3238931E-51.5008418E-51.15006915E-47.66282751.0E-45.6737044E-56.432076E-52.643079E-44.1092162.0E-46.9055456E-47.8292185E-40.00113264791.44669333.5E-40.0068841260.00781126230.008376811.07240155.7E-4
6.61.1328278E-51.2855132E-51.1285385E-48.7788941.0E-44.8548856E-55.5092798E-52.3508289E-44.26703451.8E-45.90922E-46.7064405E-49.604496E-41.43213012.9E-40.00589353130.0066955910.0071922431.0741765.0E-4
6.78.651175E-69.824541E-65.982405E-56.08924635.0E-53.707594E-54.2105006E-51.5210037E-43.61240581.1E-44.5130608E-45.1259843E-47.0250104E-41.37047051.9E-40.00450390620.0051230390.0054712461.06796883.5E-4
6.81.0215377E-61.1754779E-61.1754779E-61.00.04.378012E-65.037753E-65.037753E-61.00.05.3300988E-56.1333034E-57.133242E-51.16303431.0E-55.3288206E-46.131723E-46.431539E-41.04889583.0E-5
6.97.9360774E-79.2834784E-79.2834784E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.978628E-63.978628E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.843879E-55.8438305E-51.20643621.0E-54.140076E-44.842893E-44.9428444E-41.02063881.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.7474115E-78.7474115E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.7488855E-63.7488855E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.5641795E-55.5641336E-51.21908751.0E-53.8804344E-44.5633083E-44.6632628E-41.02190391.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.7113845E-77.7113845E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3048752E-63.3048752E-61.00.03.376394E-54.0236177E-54.0236177E-51.00.03.375881E-44.0229486E-44.0229486E-41.00.0
7.26.356704E-77.5884446E-77.5884446E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.2521868E-63.2521868E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.9594717E-53.9594717E-51.00.03.3162883E-43.9588255E-43.9588255E-41.00.0
7.35.7695723E-76.8966335E-76.8966335E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.955697E-62.955697E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.598508E-53.598508E-51.00.03.0100282E-43.5979823E-43.5979823E-41.00.0
7.45.209647E-76.193571E-76.193571E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6543853E-62.6543853E-61.00.02.718283E-53.231672E-53.231672E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.2312574E-43.2312574E-41.00.0
7.54.512955E-75.3489373E-75.3489373E-71.00.01.934122E-62.2924E-62.2924E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.7909666E-52.7909666E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.790669E-42.790669E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.3963413E-53.7394892E-48.5059123.3E-41.604705E-41.8840199E-46.5831345E-43.4941964.7E-40.00195197760.00229155320.00312962831.36572368.4E-40.0193492060.0226972420.023694091.04391930.00102
6.13.744542E-54.3963413E-53.7394892E-48.5059123.3E-41.604705E-41.8840199E-46.5831345E-43.4941964.7E-40.00195197760.00229155320.00312962831.36572368.4E-40.0193492060.0226972420.023694091.04391930.00102
6.23.744542E-54.3963413E-53.7394892E-48.5059123.3E-41.604705E-41.8840199E-46.5831345E-43.4941964.7E-40.00195197760.00229155320.00312962831.36572368.4E-40.0193492060.0226972420.023694091.04391930.00102
6.32.1079984E-52.5354364E-51.0535234E-44.1551958.0E-59.0339665E-51.0865715E-42.3864303E-42.19629381.3E-40.00109933040.0013221180.00165168161.24926953.3E-40.0109390790.0131447370.0136085591.03528574.7E-4
6.42.1079984E-52.5354364E-51.0535234E-44.1551958.0E-59.0339665E-51.0865715E-42.3864303E-42.19629381.3E-40.00109933040.0013221180.00165168161.24926953.3E-40.0109390790.0131447370.0136085591.03528574.7E-4
6.51.7397282E-52.066327E-59.066182E-54.38758337.0E-57.455765E-58.8553934E-51.9854419E-42.2420711.1E-49.073613E-40.00107762260.00132735331.23174212.5E-40.0090366540.0107252650.01105172651.03043843.3E-4
6.61.52050325E-51.7680073E-58.767883E-54.959197.0E-56.51628E-57.576958E-51.75762E-42.31969071.0E-47.9306826E-49.2211214E-40.00115191.24919742.3E-40.0079024390.0091837230.0094809671.03236653.0E-4
6.71.332523E-51.526437E-58.52633E-55.5857737.0E-55.7106878E-56.5417116E-51.5541122E-42.37569679.0E-56.950544E-47.961682E-40.0010060011.26355342.1E-40.0069288450.0079337890.0082115671.03501212.8E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.30313565E-57.303058E-55.6042196.0E-54.9393333E-55.5847497E-51.3584303E-42.43239248.0E-56.011979E-46.797354E-48.3962665E-41.23522571.6E-40.005995740.00677701460.0069955241.03224272.2E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1514828E-57.1514136E-56.21061336.0E-54.3944583E-54.9348346E-51.293444E-42.62104828.0E-55.3489394E-46.006541E-47.5056404E-41.24957781.5E-40.00533608250.0059906860.0061894881.03318512.0E-4
7.08.104563E-68.991426E-65.8990976E-56.56080345.0E-53.4733377E-53.8534123E-59.853181E-52.55700146.0E-54.2279682E-44.690544E-45.790028E-41.23440431.1E-40.00421993340.00468089150.00483018951.03189521.5E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.515976E-62.7515825E-53.66097832.0E-52.91366E-53.221094E-56.2209976E-51.93133063.0E-53.5468035E-43.9209976E-44.5207623E-41.15296236.0E-50.0035411480.00391429570.00401390441.02544741.0E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280129E-62.6280004E-54.1846282.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914573E-55.6913766E-52.11460783.0E-52.9681803E-43.2763765E-43.87618E-41.18306916.0E-50.0029642190.00327174460.00336145031.02741839.0E-5
7.34.253348E-64.707073E-61.4707026E-53.12445241.0E-51.8228506E-52.0173025E-53.0172823E-51.49570141.0E-52.2190946E-42.4558074E-42.8557092E-41.16283924.0E-50.002216880.00245327430.00251312721.02439716.0E-5
7.42.5448119E-62.852059E-62.852059E-61.00.01.0906291E-51.2223062E-51.2223062E-51.00.01.3277601E-41.4880727E-41.5880578E-41.0671911.0E-50.0013269670.00148723840.00150720871.01342772.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.5629037E-84.5629037E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555301E-71.9555301E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.380856E-62.380856E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808358E-52.3808358E-51.00.0

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103137E-54.2309775E-432.2898064.1E-45.3086325E-55.615525E-55.661266E-410.0814545.1E-46.461343E-46.835041E-40.00149295052.18425978.1E-40.00644258880.00681682860.0078795351.15589450.00107
6.11.2387061E-51.3103137E-54.2309775E-432.2898064.1E-45.3086325E-55.615525E-55.661266E-410.0814545.1E-46.461343E-46.835041E-40.00149295052.18425978.1E-40.00644258880.00681682860.0078795351.15589450.00107
6.21.2387061E-51.3103137E-54.2309775E-432.2898064.1E-45.3086325E-55.615525E-55.661266E-410.0814545.1E-46.461343E-46.835041E-40.00149295052.18425978.1E-40.00644258880.00681682860.0078795351.15589450.00107
6.31.2387061E-51.3103137E-54.2309775E-432.2898064.1E-45.3086325E-55.615525E-55.661266E-410.0814545.1E-46.461343E-46.835041E-40.00149295052.18425978.1E-40.00644258880.00681682860.0078795351.15589450.00107
6.41.2387061E-51.3103137E-54.2309775E-432.2898064.1E-45.3086325E-55.615525E-55.661266E-410.0814545.1E-46.461343E-46.835041E-40.00149295052.18425978.1E-40.00644258880.00681682860.0078795351.15589450.00107
6.56.9922594E-67.384914E-62.8738283E-438.9148522.8E-42.996648E-53.1649277E-53.816382E-412.0583543.5E-43.6478083E-43.8526725E-49.7503996E-42.53081445.9E-40.0036418260.00384653080.00463349231.20458987.9E-4
6.66.9922594E-67.384914E-62.8738283E-438.9148522.8E-42.996648E-53.1649277E-53.816382E-412.0583543.5E-43.6478083E-43.8526725E-49.7503996E-42.53081445.9E-40.0036418260.00384653080.00463349231.20458987.9E-4
6.75.477277E-65.78606E-62.6578456E-445.935332.6E-42.3473833E-52.4797186E-53.54789E-414.3076323.3E-42.8575645E-43.0186778E-48.417048E-42.78832275.4E-40.00285389270.00301496130.00375273031.24470267.4E-4
6.83.9950432E-64.219081E-61.8421833E-443.6631431.8E-41.7121502E-51.8081664E-52.580773E-414.2728742.4E-42.0843433E-42.2012478E-46.2003674E-42.8167514.0E-40.00208238930.00219933850.0027581071.2540625.6E-4
6.92.95695E-63.1230197E-61.6312252E-452.2323071.6E-41.2672582E-51.3384314E-52.233815E-416.6897982.1E-41.5427776E-41.629441E-44.6289523E-42.84082223.0E-40.0015417070.00162846870.00206775221.26975254.4E-4
7.01.456072E-61.5408096E-61.1154064E-472.390931.1E-46.2402937E-66.6034586E-61.366026E-420.6865231.3E-47.597293E-58.0395155E-52.4038229E-42.99000981.6E-47.594696E-48.0375955E-40.00103357471.28592532.3E-4
7.16.995192E-77.4089627E-72.0740881E-527.9943122.0E-52.997936E-63.1752697E-63.3175176E-510.4479873.0E-53.649926E-53.865891E-58.8656976E-52.2933135.0E-53.6493264E-43.865891E-44.765543E-41.23271549.0E-5

San Andreas (Mojave S)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7460246E-49.843933E-41.45921993.1E-40.00133063760.00288807830.00334674981.15881554.6E-40.0160806050.034564490.035182371.01787616.4E-40.14965490.286539820.287203341.00231569.3E-4
6.13.1064058E-46.7460246E-49.843933E-41.45921993.1E-40.00133063760.00288807830.00334674981.15881554.6E-40.0160806050.034564490.035182371.01787616.4E-40.14965490.286539820.287203341.00231569.3E-4
6.23.1064058E-46.7460246E-49.843933E-41.45921993.1E-40.00133063760.00288807830.00334674981.15881554.6E-40.0160806050.034564490.035182371.01787616.4E-40.14965490.286539820.287203341.00231569.3E-4
6.33.1064058E-46.7460246E-49.843933E-41.45921993.1E-40.00133063760.00288807830.00334674981.15881554.6E-40.0160806050.034564490.035182371.01787616.4E-40.14965490.286539820.287203341.00231569.3E-4
6.41.9872203E-44.3178877E-47.0167216E-41.62503582.7E-48.5138786E-40.00184923910.00223851791.21050753.9E-40.0103164780.0222881960.0228357151.02456555.6E-40.0985048560.19694390.197610441.00338448.3E-4
6.51.291105E-42.8752213E-45.274531E-41.83447842.4E-45.5321335E-40.00123165850.00158122741.28381973.5E-40.0067145920.0148931640.0153955691.03373385.1E-40.0651529650.138025640.138654891.00455897.3E-4
6.61.291105E-42.8752213E-45.274531E-41.83447842.4E-45.5321335E-40.00123165850.00158122741.28381973.5E-40.0067145920.0148931640.0153955691.03373385.1E-40.0651529650.138025640.138654891.00455897.3E-4
6.71.08001186E-42.4333477E-44.732788E-41.94496992.3E-44.6278012E-40.0010424470.00137210311.31623283.3E-40.00561980160.0126182330.0130823031.03677774.7E-40.0547979060.119181090.1197712351.00495176.7E-4
6.81.0624356E-42.3851135E-44.6845648E-41.96408472.3E-44.5525006E-40.00102179160.00135145441.32263223.3E-40.00552859250.0123696260.0128338131.03752624.7E-40.0539305660.117129970.117712661.00497476.6E-4
6.91.0393785E-42.3221466E-44.6216126E-41.99023282.3E-44.4537184E-49.948266E-40.00132449831.33138613.3E-40.00540892870.0120449980.0125093371.03855044.7E-40.052791560.114430170.115014641.00510786.6E-4
7.01.0155622E-42.2591038E-44.5585842E-42.01787282.3E-44.3516833E-49.678285E-40.00129750911.34063953.3E-40.0052853110.0117198740.0121843661.03963284.7E-40.051613610.1116946340.112280911.0052496.6E-4
7.19.885595E-52.1879452E-44.487442E-42.05098462.3E-44.2359953E-49.373542E-40.00126704491.35172473.3E-40.00514513530.0113527690.0118174341.04092964.7E-40.050276290.108575620.1091639551.00541876.6E-4
7.29.6411415E-52.1242435E-44.423755E-42.08250832.3E-44.1312634E-49.100727E-40.00123977241.36227833.3E-40.0050182190.0110240250.0114888441.04216424.7E-40.0490640070.105768630.106358821.00558016.6E-4
7.39.1180635E-51.9470933E-44.0466842E-42.07832072.1E-43.907156E-48.3420175E-40.00113395151.35932533.0E-40.0047465910.0101092220.0105447731.04308464.4E-40.0464647860.097954090.098522371.00580166.3E-4
7.48.887388E-51.8719549E-43.9715617E-42.12161182.1E-43.8083247E-48.020198E-40.00110177921.37375563.0E-40.00462678170.009720970.0101566931.04482294.4E-40.0453162860.094586390.09515681.00603066.3E-4
7.58.6750515E-51.8051128E-43.9047337E-42.16315222.1E-43.7173493E-47.733905E-40.00107315851.38760233.0E-40.0045164840.0093754620.0098113371.0464914.4E-40.044257870.091549620.0921219441.00625156.3E-4
7.68.453092E-51.7438729E-43.8435066E-42.20400622.1E-43.6222505E-47.4716005E-40.00104693591.40122043.0E-40.00440117530.0090588070.0094948211.04813154.4E-40.043150240.088707820.089281931.0064726.3E-4
7.78.259102E-51.6960864E-43.7957303E-42.23793442.1E-43.539135E-47.2669174E-40.00102647371.41252983.0E-40.0043003860.0088116490.0092477711.04949394.4E-40.0421811340.086459310.087034841.00665666.3E-4
7.87.444844E-51.5283158E-43.228056E-42.11216571.7E-43.1902574E-46.548281E-48.8467746E-41.35100722.3E-40.00387722230.0079434370.0082708161.04121383.3E-40.038102690.0782905150.078723721.00553334.7E-4
7.95.2586525E-51.0006018E-42.2004817E-42.19915841.2E-42.2535135E-44.2875885E-45.886902E-41.37301021.6E-40.00274020060.00520765550.0054066141.0382052.0E-40.0270665740.0521976430.0524725061.00526582.9E-4
8.03.379877E-55.406992E-51.04067214E-41.92467865.0E-51.4484383E-42.3170764E-43.016914E-41.30203497.0E-50.00176204710.00281739280.00290713921.03185449.0E-50.0174814090.0288332570.0289303731.00336831.0E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.930551E-52.9305316E-51.51797691.0E-58.000444E-58.273527E-59.2734444E-51.12085751.0E-59.736188E-40.00100683710.00101682711.00992211.0E-50.0096936420.0107972660.01080715751.00091611.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.458615E-65.458615E-61.00.03.660622E-52.3393854E-52.3393854E-51.00.04.455896E-42.8478302E-42.8478302E-41.00.00.00444697170.0032397590.0032397591.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6547434E-77.6547434E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2806004E-63.2806004E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9940594E-53.9940594E-51.00.00.00103421244.7170694E-44.7170694E-41.00.0

Coyote Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364153E-52.1035729E-45.2114881.7E-41.503772E-41.7297921E-44.5293078E-42.61841152.8E-40.00182930470.0021042450.0025632771.21814574.6E-40.0181431940.0208691210.0216524271.03753418.0E-4
6.13.5090034E-54.0364153E-52.1035729E-45.2114881.7E-41.503772E-41.7297921E-44.5293078E-42.61841152.8E-40.00182930470.0021042450.0025632771.21814574.6E-40.0181431940.0208691210.0216524271.03753418.0E-4
6.21.841879E-52.1059712E-51.2105761E-45.7483031.0E-47.8935285E-59.0253365E-52.5023893E-42.7726271.6E-49.606133E-40.00109838290.00131814111.20007442.2E-40.00956471450.0109396260.0113649221.03887674.3E-4
6.31.841879E-52.1059712E-51.2105761E-45.7483031.0E-47.8935285E-59.0253365E-52.5023893E-42.7726271.6E-49.606133E-40.00109838290.00131814111.20007442.2E-40.00956471450.0109396260.0113649221.03887674.3E-4
6.41.712201E-51.9565137E-51.1956318E-46.1110321.0E-47.337798E-58.384846E-52.4383505E-42.90804431.6E-48.930107E-40.00102047750.0012402531.21536542.2E-40.0088943070.01016783250.0105736641.03991334.1E-4
6.51.4744935E-51.6836908E-51.06835396E-46.34530979.0E-56.3191044E-57.215671E-52.1214661E-42.94008161.4E-47.6907943E-48.782473E-40.00107807171.22752632.0E-40.0076642320.0087569620.0091336341.0430143.8E-4
6.61.2017839E-51.3724037E-59.372294E-56.82910878.0E-55.150401E-55.8816477E-51.6881E-42.87011431.1E-46.268809E-47.1594387E-48.8582217E-41.23727881.7E-40.00625115450.00714506670.00746278051.04446613.2E-4
6.71.00956095E-51.1533472E-58.1532664E-57.0692217.0E-54.326618E-54.9428723E-51.3942427E-42.82071389.0E-55.266384E-46.017155E-47.316373E-41.21591891.3E-40.0052539210.00600938960.00624794751.03969752.4E-4

San Andreas (Mojave N)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9400376E-44.539533E-42.33992032.6E-44.2326056E-48.311799E-40.00120087241.44478033.7E-40.00514102770.0100727870.0106172481.05405265.5E-40.050237080.098314180.0990265161.00724547.9E-4
6.19.877682E-51.9400376E-44.539533E-42.33992032.6E-44.2326056E-48.311799E-40.00120087241.44478033.7E-40.00514102770.0100727870.0106172481.05405265.5E-40.050237080.098314180.0990265161.00724547.9E-4
6.29.877682E-51.9400376E-44.539533E-42.33992032.6E-44.2326056E-48.311799E-40.00120087241.44478033.7E-40.00514102770.0100727870.0106172481.05405265.5E-40.050237080.098314180.0990265161.00724547.9E-4
6.39.877682E-51.9400376E-44.539533E-42.33992032.6E-44.2326056E-48.311799E-40.00120087241.44478033.7E-40.00514102770.0100727870.0106172481.05405265.5E-40.050237080.098314180.0990265161.00724547.9E-4
6.49.877682E-51.9400376E-44.539533E-42.33992032.6E-44.2326056E-48.311799E-40.00120087241.44478033.7E-40.00514102770.0100727870.0106172481.05405265.5E-40.050237080.098314180.0990265161.00724547.9E-4
6.59.861474E-51.9374143E-44.5369106E-42.34173462.6E-44.2256617E-48.3005644E-40.00119974931.44538283.7E-40.00513261320.0100592360.0106037031.05412615.5E-40.0501567460.098192070.0989045051.00725547.9E-4
6.69.861474E-51.9374143E-44.5369106E-42.34173462.6E-44.2256617E-48.3005644E-40.00119974931.44538283.7E-40.00513261320.0100592360.0106037031.05412615.5E-40.0501567460.098192070.0989045051.00725547.9E-4
6.79.8552715E-51.9364097E-44.5359062E-42.3424312.6E-44.223004E-48.296261E-40.00119931911.44561413.7E-40.00512939270.0100540440.0105985141.05415445.5E-40.0501259980.0981452840.098857751.00725927.9E-4
6.89.8464974E-51.9349258E-44.5344228E-42.34346082.6E-44.219245E-48.2899054E-40.00119868391.4459563.7E-40.00512483760.0100463780.0105908521.05419615.5E-40.050082510.098075510.098788021.0072657.9E-4
6.99.825824E-51.9317267E-44.5312245E-42.3456862.6E-44.2103877E-48.2762045E-40.00119731421.44669493.7E-40.00511410460.01002985050.0105743341.05428645.5E-40.0499800220.0979248360.098637481.00727747.9E-4
7.09.781462E-51.9248636E-44.524363E-42.3504852.6E-44.1913814E-48.246809E-40.00119437581.44828843.7E-40.0050910730.009994390.0105388941.05448095.5E-40.049760070.097601080.098313981.00730427.9E-4
7.19.7121134E-51.9150345E-44.5145367E-42.35741782.6E-44.1616702E-48.2047115E-40.00119016751.45059043.7E-40.0050550680.0099436050.0104881371.05476195.5E-40.049416130.097137630.09785091.00734287.9E-4
7.29.663819E-51.9081132E-44.507617E-42.36234262.6E-44.1409794E-48.175067E-40.00118720421.45222573.7E-40.00502999360.0099078430.01045239251.05496165.5E-40.0491765370.0968107660.0975242851.00737027.9E-4
7.39.6277574E-51.9033643E-44.5028696E-42.36574222.6E-44.125529E-48.1547274E-40.00118517111.45335463.7E-40.00501126940.0098833040.0104278681.05509945.5E-40.048997590.0965842160.0972979141.00738947.9E-4
7.49.593308E-51.897343E-44.4968497E-42.37007742.6E-44.1107697E-48.128938E-40.00118259291.4547943.7E-40.00499338240.009852190.0103967711.05527525.5E-40.048826610.0963017940.0970157161.00741347.9E-4
7.59.561707E-51.8919505E-44.4914585E-42.37398312.6E-44.0972308E-48.1058417E-40.00118028431.45609093.7E-40.00497697430.0098243240.0103689211.05543355.5E-40.0486697440.09604820.0967623141.00743517.9E-4
7.69.418194E-51.857177E-44.456694E-42.39971422.6E-44.0357444E-47.9569034E-40.0011653961.4646353.7E-40.0049024540.0096446110.0101893071.05647675.5E-40.0479570250.0944295450.095144951.0075767.9E-4
7.78.202141E-51.6020852E-44.101685E-42.56021622.5E-43.51473E-46.8642735E-40.0010361871.50953643.5E-40.004270790.0083252850.0088409571.06194035.2E-40.041896390.0822315440.0829106941.00825897.4E-4
7.87.2859846E-51.4516065E-43.1513596E-42.17094641.7E-43.1221908E-46.2196876E-48.518257E-41.36956352.3E-40.0037946430.0075462190.0078737291.04340053.3E-40.0373049750.074724290.0751684161.00594374.8E-4
7.95.3874453E-51.00452475E-42.2044042E-42.19447471.2E-42.3087008E-44.3043957E-45.9037074E-41.37155311.6E-40.00280722020.00522802030.0054269751.03805542.0E-40.027720220.0524218750.052696671.0052422.9E-4
8.03.468538E-55.4255845E-51.0425313E-41.92150975.0E-51.4864317E-42.3250433E-43.0248807E-41.30099967.0E-50.00180822830.00282706760.00291681311.03174519.0E-50.0179358530.028945760.0290428661.00335481.0E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9398649E-52.9398456E-51.51548981.0E-58.207899E-58.313442E-59.313359E-51.12027721.0E-59.988535E-40.00101169220.00102168221.00987451.0E-50.0099437570.01085456650.0108644581.00091121.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.472644E-65.472644E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3453977E-52.3453977E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8551483E-42.8551483E-41.00.00.00450013950.0032476530.0032476531.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6547434E-77.6547434E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2806004E-63.2806004E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9940594E-53.9940594E-51.00.00.00103421244.7170694E-44.7170694E-41.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192248E-51.0019133E-49.8301519.0E-54.2485535E-54.368039E-52.036734E-44.66281131.6E-45.1713863E-45.316893E-49.414713E-41.7707174.1E-40.00515936830.00530520.0059219111.11624656.2E-4
6.19.913453E-61.0192248E-51.0019133E-49.8301519.0E-54.2485535E-54.368039E-52.036734E-44.66281131.6E-45.1713863E-45.316893E-49.414713E-41.7707174.1E-40.00515936830.00530520.0059219111.11624656.2E-4
6.24.5596407E-64.696309E-64.469612E-59.5172864.0E-51.954117E-52.0126892E-59.012548E-54.4778647.0E-52.3788778E-42.4501863E-44.3497208E-41.77526131.9E-40.00237633290.0024476110.00274687661.12226863.0E-4
6.34.5596407E-64.696309E-64.469612E-59.5172864.0E-51.954117E-52.0126892E-59.012548E-54.4778647.0E-52.3788778E-42.4501863E-44.3497208E-41.77526131.9E-40.00237633290.0024476110.00274687661.12226863.0E-4
6.43.4025713E-63.5098942E-62.3509823E-56.69815732.0E-51.4582367E-51.5042322E-55.504172E-53.6591244.0E-51.7752586E-41.8312573E-43.0310373E-41.65516761.2E-40.0017738410.00182983120.00201948341.10364471.9E-4
6.52.8352947E-62.9278535E-62.2927796E-57.83092262.0E-51.2151207E-51.2547887E-54.2547512E-53.39081073.0E-51.479309E-41.5276058E-42.527453E-41.65451921.0E-40.00147832460.00152662960.001696371.11118641.7E-4
6.62.251518E-62.3290654E-61.2329042E-55.29355761.0E-59.649328E-69.981674E-62.9981475E-53.00365192.0E-51.1747423E-41.2152074E-41.9151223E-41.57596347.0E-50.00117412140.00121460460.00135443451.11512391.4E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9591378E-61.1959119E-56.1042761.0E-58.105055E-68.396281E-61.8396197E-52.19099351.0E-59.867457E-51.0222051E-41.522154E-41.48908875.0E-59.863076E-40.00102179240.00113168011.1075441.1E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.543829E-61.1543813E-57.47739171.0E-56.374905E-66.6163957E-61.661633E-52.51138691.0E-57.76117E-58.055216E-51.3054814E-41.62066585.0E-57.75846E-48.0528075E-49.151921E-41.13648831.1E-4
6.96.835972E-77.13992E-77.13992E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.0599638E-63.0599638E-61.00.03.56685E-53.725474E-55.7253998E-51.53682452.0E-53.5662777E-43.7251622E-44.0250504E-41.08050353.0E-5

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618123E-51.8561403E-47.24541851.6E-48.864371E-51.09787434E-43.697589E-43.36795282.6E-40.00107870290.00133585930.00186515121.39621845.3E-40.0107348170.0132814590.0139820291.0527487.1E-4
6.12.0684236E-52.5618123E-51.8561403E-47.24541851.6E-48.864371E-51.09787434E-43.697589E-43.36795282.6E-40.00107870290.00133585930.00186515121.39621845.3E-40.0107348170.0132814590.0139820291.0527487.1E-4
6.22.0684236E-52.5618123E-51.8561403E-47.24541851.6E-48.864371E-51.09787434E-43.697589E-43.36795282.6E-40.00107870290.00133585930.00186515121.39621845.3E-40.0107348170.0132814590.0139820291.0527487.1E-4
6.32.0240292E-52.511821E-51.7511444E-46.97161341.5E-48.6741224E-51.0764512E-43.576182E-43.32219622.5E-40.00105556260.00130980820.00180915321.38123525.0E-40.0105056280.0130240190.0136951631.05153126.8E-4
6.42.0240292E-52.511821E-51.7511444E-46.97161341.5E-48.6741224E-51.0764512E-43.576182E-43.32219622.5E-40.00105556260.00130980820.00180915321.38123525.0E-40.0105056280.0130240190.0136951631.05153126.8E-4
6.51.9962767E-52.4807463E-51.7480375E-47.0464171.5E-48.55519E-51.0631346E-43.5628688E-43.35128662.5E-40.00104109680.00129361450.00179296781.38601395.0E-40.0103623270.0128639670.0135352181.05218096.8E-4
6.61.8937297E-52.3311291E-51.733078E-47.43451.5E-48.115732E-59.990179E-53.4987682E-43.50220782.5E-49.876423E-40.00121564010.00171503231.4108065.0E-40.0098326450.0120926890.0127545871.05473546.7E-4
6.71.8621096E-52.2911929E-51.7290849E-47.5466581.5E-47.980225E-59.8190365E-53.481658E-43.54582452.5E-49.711593E-40.00119482660.00168424111.40961134.9E-40.0096692610.0118867940.0125290681.05403266.5E-4
6.81.7830353E-52.1805923E-51.6180288E-47.4201341.4E-47.641356E-59.345069E-53.2342918E-43.4609612.3E-49.29938E-40.00113718220.00159665921.40404864.6E-40.0092605610.0113171860.0119202831.05329046.1E-4
6.91.3135183E-51.5303958E-56.53032E-54.26707845.0E-55.6292425E-56.5586784E-51.8557892E-42.8295171.2E-46.8514474E-47.9823297E-40.00105802541.32545952.6E-40.0068303620.0079552190.0082825931.04115223.3E-4
7.01.1507512E-51.3154176E-56.3153515E-54.80102445.0E-54.9316975E-55.6373854E-51.6636765E-42.95114921.1E-46.002687E-46.861413E-49.1598346E-41.3349782.3E-40.00598649870.00684149660.0070997181.03774332.6E-4
7.19.715903E-61.0865248E-53.086503E-52.8407112.0E-54.1638916E-54.6564543E-58.656268E-51.85898274.0E-55.068359E-45.667801E-46.667234E-41.17633521.0E-40.00505681480.0056538470.00577316851.02110451.2E-4
7.29.233269E-61.028628E-52.0286177E-51.97215881.0E-53.9570554E-54.4083336E-57.408201E-51.68049933.0E-54.81665E-45.365867E-46.1654375E-41.14901058.0E-50.00480622330.0053533420.005442861.0167229.0E-5
7.38.8041315E-69.808134E-61.9808036E-52.0195521.0E-53.7731446E-54.2034208E-57.203295E-51.71367443.0E-54.592835E-45.116505E-45.616249E-41.09767295.0E-50.00458335460.0051051520.00516484541.01169296.0E-5
7.48.708749E-69.707145E-69.707145E-61.00.03.7322676E-54.160141E-56.160058E-51.48073292.0E-54.5430884E-45.0638366E-45.3636846E-41.05921363.0E-50.0045338120.00505272440.0050925221.00787654.0E-5
7.58.612678E-69.604788E-69.604788E-61.00.03.6910955E-54.116275E-56.1161925E-51.48585622.0E-54.492982E-45.0104543E-45.310304E-41.05984493.0E-50.0044839090.0049995830.0050393831.00796074.0E-5
7.68.319024E-69.283887E-69.283887E-61.00.03.5652476E-53.9787505E-55.978671E-51.50265042.0E-54.3398244E-44.8430942E-45.142949E-41.06191383.0E-50.00433135870.00483296350.004872771.00823654.0E-5
7.77.4718328E-68.345144E-68.345144E-61.00.03.2021748E-53.5764435E-55.5763718E-51.55919482.0E-53.8979502E-44.3534904E-44.6533596E-41.06888023.0E-50.003891120.0043453670.00438519331.00916524.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.648256E-73.648256E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635374E-61.5635374E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035906E-51.9035906E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.903432E-41.903432E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696687E-92.6696687E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441437E-81.1441437E-81.00.01.335311E-71.392995E-71.392995E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929949E-61.3929949E-61.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079595E-51.21078374E-410.928051.1E-44.9494203E-54.7483187E-52.4747368E-45.21181732.0E-46.024253E-45.779672E-49.377592E-41.62251273.6E-40.0060079480.005765910.00627296931.08794095.1E-4
6.11.15488665E-51.1079595E-51.21078374E-410.928051.1E-44.9494203E-54.7483187E-52.4747368E-45.21181732.0E-46.024253E-45.779672E-49.377592E-41.62251273.6E-40.0060079480.005765910.00627296931.08794095.1E-4
6.21.15488665E-51.1079595E-51.21078374E-410.928051.1E-44.9494203E-54.7483187E-52.4747368E-45.21181732.0E-46.024253E-45.779672E-49.377592E-41.62251273.6E-40.0060079480.005765910.00627296931.08794095.1E-4
6.31.15488665E-51.1079595E-51.21078374E-410.928051.1E-44.9494203E-54.7483187E-52.4747368E-45.21181732.0E-46.024253E-45.779672E-49.377592E-41.62251273.6E-40.0060079480.005765910.00627296931.08794095.1E-4
6.41.15488665E-51.1079595E-51.21078374E-410.928051.1E-44.9494203E-54.7483187E-52.4747368E-45.21181732.0E-46.024253E-45.779672E-49.377592E-41.62251273.6E-40.0060079480.005765910.00627296931.08794095.1E-4
6.51.15488665E-51.1079595E-51.21078374E-410.928051.1E-44.9494203E-54.7483187E-52.4747368E-45.21181732.0E-46.024253E-45.779672E-49.377592E-41.62251273.6E-40.0060079480.005765910.00627296931.08794095.1E-4
6.67.587044E-66.9355933E-69.693497E-513.9764499.0E-53.2515498E-52.972365E-51.5971978E-45.3734921.3E-43.9580427E-43.6182825E-45.11774E-41.41441131.5E-40.0039510.00361268320.00383188831.06067662.2E-4
6.77.587044E-66.9355933E-69.693497E-513.9764499.0E-53.2515498E-52.972365E-51.5971978E-45.3734921.3E-43.9580427E-43.6182825E-45.11774E-41.41441131.5E-40.0039510.00361268320.00383188831.06067662.2E-4
6.85.9026956E-65.179353E-64.5179146E-58.7229334.0E-52.5297022E-52.2197044E-58.2195715E-53.70300256.0E-53.0794772E-42.7021667E-43.5019504E-41.29597878.0E-50.00307521320.00269899730.00281867341.0443411.2E-4
6.95.0118915E-64.2523866E-64.2523866E-61.00.02.1479358E-51.8224391E-53.8224025E-52.09741042.0E-52.614798E-42.2186009E-42.5185343E-41.13519043.0E-50.00261172350.00221645860.00227632561.02701026.0E-5
7.04.4924795E-63.7138793E-63.7138793E-61.00.01.925334E-51.5916532E-52.5916373E-51.62826751.0E-52.3438422E-41.9376719E-42.1376331E-41.10319662.0E-50.00234137170.00193604520.00197596781.02062074.0E-5
7.13.9118436E-63.1119403E-63.1119403E-61.00.01.6764936E-51.3336821E-52.3336688E-51.74979391.0E-52.0409399E-41.6236427E-41.7236265E-41.061581.0E-50.00203906630.00162251250.00165246381.01845983.0E-5
7.23.4200818E-62.6054174E-62.6054174E-61.00.01.4657411E-51.1166029E-52.1165917E-51.89556351.0E-51.7843937E-41.3593843E-41.4593707E-41.07355271.0E-50.00178296150.00135860250.00137857531.0147012.0E-5
7.32.6593618E-61.8283843E-61.8283843E-61.00.01.13972155E-57.835911E-61.7835833E-52.2761661.0E-51.3875226E-49.539833E-51.05397376E-41.10481371.0E-50.00138665659.536027E-49.735836E-41.0209532.0E-5
7.42.2577992E-61.4364028E-61.4364028E-61.00.09.676246E-66.155999E-61.6155938E-52.62442181.0E-51.1780193E-47.494696E-58.4946216E-51.13341771.0E-50.0011773957.4924197E-47.692269E-41.02667372.0E-5
7.51.489319E-67.353621E-77.353621E-71.00.06.3827797E-63.151548E-63.151548E-61.00.07.770758E-53.8369424E-53.8369424E-51.00.07.7680405E-43.8362844E-43.9362462E-41.02605691.0E-5
7.61.0680322E-64.659381E-74.659381E-71.00.04.577273E-61.996876E-61.996876E-61.00.05.5726876E-52.4311697E-52.4311697E-51.00.05.5712904E-42.4309063E-42.4309063E-41.00.0
7.75.509146E-71.5578398E-71.5578398E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.6764545E-76.6764545E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.128554E-68.128554E-61.00.02.8741814E-48.1282684E-58.1282684E-51.00.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097003E-51.3209457E-45.97794061.1E-48.4091465E-59.469877E-52.546836E-42.68940781.6E-40.00102333270.00115248270.00138221761.19933922.3E-40.010186330.011478370.0118836641.03530934.1E-4
6.11.9621975E-52.2097003E-51.3209457E-45.97794061.1E-48.4091465E-59.469877E-52.546836E-42.68940781.6E-40.00102333270.00115248270.00138221761.19933922.3E-40.010186330.011478370.0118836641.03530934.1E-4
6.29.9971285E-61.1255602E-58.125482E-57.21905577.0E-54.2844134E-54.8237696E-51.6823191E-43.4875611.2E-45.2150246E-45.871877E-47.67082E-41.3063661.8E-40.00520280330.0058614670.00615970841.05088173.0E-4
6.39.589428E-61.079831E-58.079755E-57.4824267.0E-54.10969E-54.6277943E-51.662724E-43.5929081.2E-45.002399E-45.6334015E-47.432388E-41.31934271.8E-40.00499115330.0056242110.00592252331.05304093.0E-4
6.49.589428E-61.079831E-58.079755E-57.4824267.0E-54.10969E-54.6277943E-51.662724E-43.5929081.2E-45.002399E-45.6334015E-47.432388E-41.31934271.8E-40.00499115330.0056242110.00592252331.05304093.0E-4
6.55.557707E-66.2855797E-64.6285328E-57.3637334.0E-52.3818526E-52.693807E-59.6936186E-53.59848287.0E-52.8995197E-43.2794854E-44.479092E-41.36579111.2E-40.00289573940.0032772820.0034467251.05170231.7E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5132705E-63.5513105E-56.4413863.0E-52.0889667E-52.3628236E-58.3626815E-53.53927476.0E-52.54302E-42.87662E-43.9763036E-41.38228321.1E-40.0025401120.00287546520.00301506251.04854771.4E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5158945E-63.451576E-57.64317233.0E-51.7104636E-51.9353833E-56.9352864E-53.58341745.0E-52.0822904E-42.3563292E-43.256117E-41.381869.0E-50.00208034040.00235632920.002466071.04657281.1E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.16063E-44.960061E-41.56932661.8E-46.115894E-40.00135385850.00159353361.17703122.4E-40.00742070840.0163601490.0166650771.01863853.1E-40.071777480.15021090.150567811.00237614.2E-4
6.11.4273766E-43.16063E-44.960061E-41.56932661.8E-46.115894E-40.00135385850.00159353361.17703122.4E-40.00742070840.0163601490.0166650771.01863853.1E-40.071777480.15021090.150567811.00237614.2E-4
6.21.4273766E-43.16063E-44.960061E-41.56932661.8E-46.115894E-40.00135385850.00159353361.17703122.4E-40.00742070840.0163601490.0166650771.01863853.1E-40.071777480.15021090.150567811.00237614.2E-4
6.31.3730655E-43.051113E-44.8505637E-41.58976861.8E-45.883239E-40.00130697010.00154665651.18339092.4E-40.00713934420.0157976630.0161027671.01931313.1E-40.069142910.145512770.145871671.00246634.2E-4
6.41.3730655E-43.051113E-44.8505637E-41.58976861.8E-45.883239E-40.00130697010.00154665651.18339092.4E-40.00713934420.0157976630.0161027671.01931313.1E-40.069142910.145512770.145871671.00246634.2E-4
6.51.2942807E-42.8925604E-44.5920687E-41.58754461.7E-45.545738E-40.0012390850.00146881.18539082.3E-40.00673105240.0149827550.0152782611.0197233.0E-40.065307880.138650150.139003291.0025474.1E-4
6.61.1125901E-42.5364384E-44.1360327E-41.63064581.6E-44.767372E-40.00108659450.00130635551.20224742.2E-40.0057888390.0131496750.0134358621.02176382.9E-40.0564034540.1230042060.123355011.0028524.0E-4
6.71.02209575E-42.3499398E-43.9495638E-41.68070851.6E-44.3796748E-40.00100672980.00122650831.21830942.2E-40.00531922470.0121884730.0124749381.0235032.9E-40.0519369060.114792010.11514611.00308454.0E-4
6.89.610582E-52.2025258E-43.8021733E-41.72627871.6E-44.1181705E-49.4359886E-40.00116339131.232932.2E-40.00500235150.0114280660.0117147521.02508622.9E-40.0489123460.108203940.108560661.00329674.0E-4
6.99.3877505E-52.1480804E-43.7477366E-41.74469111.6E-44.0227012E-49.202817E-40.00114007921.23883722.2E-40.00488664540.0111471140.0114338821.02572572.9E-40.047805770.105797530.106155211.00338084.0E-4
7.09.1019785E-52.080777E-43.6804442E-41.76878361.6E-43.900265E-48.914574E-40.00111126131.24656692.2E-40.00473823770.0107997070.0110865751.02656262.9E-40.0463847440.1027689350.103127831.00349224.0E-4
7.18.771155E-51.998233E-43.5979133E-41.80054751.6E-43.758525E-48.56105E-40.00107591671.25675792.2E-40.00456640640.0103734630.0106604551.0276662.9E-40.0447370560.099074830.09943521.00363734.0E-4
7.28.0830236E-51.8387941E-43.4385E-41.86997541.6E-43.4636928E-47.878168E-40.00100764351.27903272.2E-40.00420889440.0095495930.0098368231.03007782.9E-40.0413006580.0918028350.092166111.00395724.0E-4
7.37.7668235E-51.7331538E-43.232894E-41.86532431.5E-43.328214E-47.4256887E-49.524129E-41.2825922.1E-40.00404457330.0090033780.0092808581.03081942.8E-40.039717480.0870642960.0874203441.00408953.9E-4
7.47.520177E-51.6551661E-43.1549178E-41.90610341.5E-43.2225347E-47.091642E-49.1901526E-41.29591322.1E-40.00391637950.0085999590.0088775511.03227832.8E-40.0384807440.0835185050.083875931.00427963.9E-4
7.57.274697E-51.5839333E-43.0836958E-41.94685951.5E-43.1173544E-46.786521E-48.8850956E-41.30922692.1E-40.0037887750.0082313430.0085090381.03373632.8E-40.037248270.0802345350.080593241.00447073.9E-4
7.67.1185845E-51.5409182E-43.040687E-41.97329561.5E-43.0504653E-46.602264E-48.7008777E-41.31786272.1E-40.00370761780.0080086820.008286441.0346822.8E-40.0364636670.078224420.078583911.00459563.9E-4
7.76.709961E-51.4318043E-42.9315896E-42.04747921.5E-42.8753807E-46.134861E-48.2335726E-41.34209612.1E-40.0034951570.0074436520.0077215681.0373362.8E-40.0344069380.073053830.073415341.00494853.9E-4
7.86.300812E-51.3202122E-42.7200274E-42.06029561.4E-42.7000686E-45.6568254E-47.655694E-41.35335522.0E-40.00328237870.00686546460.0071336111.03905732.7E-40.0323431750.067712270.068066541.0052323.8E-4
7.94.983037E-59.723151E-52.1721984E-42.2340481.2E-42.1354125E-44.1663993E-45.7657325E-41.38386461.6E-40.00259676480.0050608030.0052597911.03931942.0E-40.0256662960.0506467370.050922051.0054362.9E-4
8.03.2211527E-55.3300802E-51.0329814E-41.93802215.0E-51.380421E-42.2841203E-42.9839604E-41.30639377.0E-50.00167936690.00277737180.00286712171.03231489.0E-50.0166673230.0283599660.0284571311.00342611.0E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8820898E-52.8820708E-51.53131431.0E-57.471398E-58.06585E-59.065769E-51.12396961.0E-59.0926304E-49.815755E-49.915656E-41.01017771.0E-50.0090555170.0104827020.0104925981.00094391.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.153101E-65.153101E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2084532E-52.2084532E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6884608E-42.6884608E-41.00.00.0040781030.00304089720.00304089721.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6547434E-77.6547434E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2806004E-63.2806004E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9940594E-53.9940594E-51.00.00.00103421244.7170694E-44.7170694E-41.00.0

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694737E-51.0669324E-46.39083059.0E-56.364676E-57.1547045E-51.8153917E-42.537341.1E-47.7462377E-48.7076076E-40.00113053431.29832952.6E-40.00771929140.0086758680.0090823111.04684754.1E-4
6.11.4851273E-51.6694737E-51.0669324E-46.39083059.0E-56.364676E-57.1547045E-51.8153917E-42.537341.1E-47.7462377E-48.7076076E-40.00113053431.29832952.6E-40.00771929140.0086758680.0090823111.04684754.1E-4
6.21.4851273E-51.6694737E-51.0669324E-46.39083059.0E-56.364676E-57.1547045E-51.8153917E-42.537341.1E-47.7462377E-48.7076076E-40.00113053431.29832952.6E-40.00771929140.0086758680.0090823111.04684754.1E-4
6.31.0426831E-51.1888677E-57.188797E-56.04675876.0E-54.4685654E-55.095051E-51.10947454E-42.17755326.0E-55.43912E-46.2015187E-47.300837E-41.17726591.1E-40.00542582660.0061848210.0063637081.02892351.8E-4
6.41.0426831E-51.1888677E-57.188797E-56.04675876.0E-54.4685654E-55.095051E-51.10947454E-42.17755326.0E-55.43912E-46.2015187E-47.300837E-41.17726591.1E-40.00542582660.0061848210.0063637081.02892351.8E-4
6.59.25027E-61.062002E-55.0619594E-54.76643134.0E-53.964341E-54.5513603E-58.551178E-51.87881824.0E-54.8255164E-45.539921E-46.1395887E-41.10824486.0E-50.00481505130.005526610.0056459471.02159311.2E-4
6.67.904275E-69.1595875E-64.915922E-55.36696864.0E-53.3875025E-53.925481E-57.925324E-52.01894354.0E-54.1235037E-44.7782643E-45.278025E-41.10459055.0E-50.00411586040.0047683870.0048579581.01878439.0E-5
6.77.2061953E-68.407313E-64.8406975E-55.7577234.0E-53.088333E-53.6030862E-57.602942E-52.11011934.0E-53.7593965E-44.3859115E-44.885692E-41.11395145.0E-50.0037530430.00437762450.00446723031.02046919.0E-5
6.86.6948724E-67.84223E-63.7841994E-54.82541283.0E-52.8691995E-53.3609143E-56.360814E-51.89258423.0E-53.4926904E-44.0911807E-44.491017E-41.09773124.0E-50.0034872060.00408400640.00416367971.01950868.0E-5
6.96.0421025E-67.1306854E-63.713047E-55.2071393.0E-52.5894467E-53.0559742E-56.0558825E-51.98165373.0E-53.1521954E-43.7200472E-44.1198987E-41.10748554.0E-50.00314772780.00371415840.00377393541.01609446.0E-5
7.04.134091E-65.0803756E-61.5080324E-52.96834851.0E-51.7717413E-52.1772865E-53.1772648E-51.45927731.0E-52.1568815E-42.650539E-42.8504862E-41.07543642.0E-50.00215478920.0026475310.00268742511.01506844.0E-5
7.13.7674888E-64.63193E-61.46318835E-53.15891721.0E-51.6146281E-51.9850986E-52.9850788E-51.50374331.0E-51.9656324E-42.4166047E-42.5165806E-41.04137041.0E-50.00196389460.00241412730.0024440551.01239683.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156776E-61.4156734E-53.40570041.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814642E-52.7814463E-51.5613261.0E-51.777326E-42.1687317E-42.2687101E-41.04609991.0E-50.00177590530.00216676340.00219669841.01381553.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293627E-61.36293265E-53.75529481.0E-51.2829195E-51.5554328E-52.555417E-51.6428981.0E-51.5618425E-41.8935895E-41.9935706E-41.05279971.0E-50.00156074530.00189212130.00191208351.01055012.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.889017E-62.889017E-61.00.01.0307015E-51.238145E-51.238145E-51.00.01.2548068E-41.5073517E-41.5073517E-41.00.00.00125409850.00150647070.00151645571.0066281.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.5134848E-61.5134848E-61.00.05.44717E-66.4863543E-66.4863543E-61.00.06.631728E-57.896975E-57.896975E-51.00.06.6297496E-47.8953954E-47.9953164E-41.01265561.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.8945404E-65.3894346E-513.8384355.0E-51.649873E-51.6690807E-58.668964E-55.1938567.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319599E-43.6316348E-41.78725721.6E-40.00200672080.0020305310.00231994221.14252972.9E-4
6.13.849728E-63.8945404E-65.3894346E-513.8384355.0E-51.649873E-51.6690807E-58.668964E-55.1938567.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319599E-43.6316348E-41.78725721.6E-40.00200672080.0020305310.00231994221.14252972.9E-4
6.23.849728E-63.8945404E-65.3894346E-513.8384355.0E-51.649873E-51.6690807E-58.668964E-55.1938567.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319599E-43.6316348E-41.78725721.6E-40.00200672080.0020305310.00231994221.14252972.9E-4
6.33.849728E-63.8945404E-65.3894346E-513.8384355.0E-51.649873E-51.6690807E-58.668964E-55.1938567.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319599E-43.6316348E-41.78725721.6E-40.00200672080.0020305310.00231994221.14252972.9E-4
6.43.849728E-63.8945404E-65.3894346E-513.8384355.0E-51.649873E-51.6690807E-58.668964E-55.1938567.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319599E-43.6316348E-41.78725721.6E-40.00200672080.0020305310.00231994221.14252972.9E-4
6.51.1953545E-61.2030522E-61.120304E-59.3121811.0E-55.1229376E-65.155928E-62.5155825E-54.87900972.0E-56.236998E-56.277174E-51.127686E-41.79648675.0E-56.235248E-46.275518E-46.8751414E-41.09554966.0E-5
6.61.1953545E-61.2030522E-61.120304E-59.3121811.0E-55.1229376E-65.155928E-62.5155825E-54.87900972.0E-56.236998E-56.277174E-51.127686E-41.79648675.0E-56.235248E-46.275518E-46.8751414E-41.09554966.0E-5
6.78.375951E-78.4106733E-71.0841059E-512.8896451.0E-53.5896885E-63.6045697E-62.3604498E-56.54849242.0E-54.370358E-54.3884807E-57.388349E-51.68357793.0E-54.3694986E-44.3876714E-44.6875398E-41.06834343.0E-5
6.86.38041E-76.3921595E-71.063921E-516.6441561.0E-52.7344586E-62.7394944E-62.273944E-58.3005972.0E-53.3291526E-53.3352873E-55.3352207E-51.59962842.0E-53.3286537E-43.334825E-43.534758E-41.05995322.0E-5
6.95.3460053E-75.345337E-71.0534528E-519.7078861.0E-52.2911431E-62.2908569E-62.2290811E-59.7303382.0E-52.789431E-52.789086E-54.7890302E-51.71706082.0E-52.789081E-42.788769E-42.988713E-41.07169632.0E-5
7.03.557783E-73.532427E-71.0353239E-529.3091371.0E-51.5247632E-61.5138964E-61.1513881E-57.60546161.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431541E-52.8431357E-51.54253821.0E-51.8562283E-41.8430098E-41.9429914E-41.0542491.0E-5
7.13.037942E-73.0002266E-71.0300019E-534.3308071.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858108E-61.1285798E-58.77718451.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654641E-52.5654484E-51.63877821.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653613E-41.6653458E-41.0638731.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217729E-71.0202175E-550.461531.0E-58.917818E-78.6647384E-71.0866465E-512.5410191.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549273E-52.0549167E-51.94792271.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548818E-41.1548713E-41.09478741.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636901E-71.0636901E-71.00.04.7837443E-74.558671E-74.558671E-71.00.05.8241935E-65.55017E-65.55017E-61.00.05.8240406E-55.5500514E-55.5500514E-51.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103707E-59.810226E-55.41890438.0E-57.412385E-57.758512E-51.8757659E-42.41768771.1E-49.0208417E-49.442103E-40.00114402141.21161722.0E-40.0089843110.0094041040.0097111891.03265433.1E-4
6.11.7296055E-51.8103707E-59.810226E-55.41890438.0E-57.412385E-57.758512E-51.8757659E-42.41768771.1E-49.0208417E-49.442103E-40.00114402141.21161722.0E-40.0089843110.0094041040.0097111891.03265433.1E-4
6.21.7296055E-51.8103707E-59.810226E-55.41890438.0E-57.412385E-57.758512E-51.8757659E-42.41768771.1E-49.0208417E-49.442103E-40.00114402141.21161722.0E-40.0089843110.0094041040.0097111891.03265433.1E-4
6.31.0669118E-51.1135411E-56.113485E-55.490135.0E-54.5723988E-54.7722333E-51.0771947E-42.25721296.0E-55.5654737E-45.8086734E-47.007976E-41.20646761.2E-40.00555155570.00579378660.0059628021.02917181.7E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135411E-56.113485E-55.490135.0E-54.5723988E-54.7722333E-51.0771947E-42.25721296.0E-55.5654737E-45.8086734E-47.007976E-41.20646761.2E-40.00555155570.00579378660.0059628021.02917181.7E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170186E-65.9169728E-56.4524025.0E-53.767105E-53.9300216E-59.929786E-52.52664926.0E-54.585485E-44.783766E-45.88324E-41.22983431.1E-40.00457603440.0047736330.0049328691.03335751.6E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715528E-65.7715144E-57.48038775.0E-53.1700827E-53.3066135E-59.3064154E-52.81448536.0E-53.858892E-44.0250685E-45.124626E-41.27317731.1E-40.0038521980.00401788530.00417724251.0396621.6E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.7380233E-65.6737685E-58.4205245.0E-52.7685543E-52.8876928E-58.88752E-53.07772356.0E-53.3701936E-43.5152066E-44.514855E-41.28437831.0E-40.00336508690.0035097280.00365920161.04258841.5E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836003E-65.583571E-59.5674585.0E-52.4000226E-52.5011204E-58.5009706E-53.3988656.0E-52.9216358E-43.0446946E-43.844451E-41.26267228.0E-50.00291779750.00304058470.00316021991.03934611.2E-4
6.94.839122E-65.039504E-65.503925E-510.9215625.0E-52.0738931E-52.1597696E-58.15964E-53.7780146.0E-52.5246723E-42.629207E-43.4289967E-41.30419428.0E-50.0025218060.00262614390.00274582881.04557441.2E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845204E-64.384505E-511.402534.0E-51.5830317E-51.6479342E-56.647852E-54.03405145.0E-51.9271708E-42.0061784E-42.7060378E-41.34885227.0E-50.00192550030.00200439870.00210419831.04979031.0E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978507E-62.2897793E-57.90164662.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419302E-54.241893E-53.41556453.0E-51.4535317E-41.5119473E-41.8119019E-41.19838963.0E-50.00145258140.00151094010.00157084941.03965036.0E-5
7.22.1672065E-62.2540103E-62.2253966E-59.8730542.0E-59.2879945E-69.66001E-63.965972E-54.1055573.0E-51.1307546E-41.1760445E-41.4760092E-41.25506233.0E-50.00113017940.00117544040.00122538161.04248735.0E-5
7.31.4823496E-61.5422086E-61.15421935E-57.4841971.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094494E-61.6609383E-52.51297551.0E-57.734395E-58.046723E-59.046642E-51.12426421.0E-57.731704E-48.04396E-48.243799E-41.02484332.0E-5
7.44.2321457E-74.4108717E-74.4108717E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8903725E-61.8903725E-61.00.02.2082493E-52.3015087E-52.3015087E-51.00.02.2080299E-42.3013157E-42.3013157E-41.00.0
7.55.6942316E-85.9415576E-85.9415576E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463817E-72.5463817E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002162E-63.1002162E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001808E-53.1001808E-51.00.0

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776773E-55.8776022E-53.13025164.0E-57.182667E-58.047006E-51.5046443E-41.86981887.0E-58.7413884E-49.794E-40.00112925311.1530051.5E-40.0087070830.0097623820.0100297461.02738712.7E-4
6.19.852767E-61.0973554E-52.0973444E-51.91127181.0E-54.222546E-54.702907E-56.702813E-51.42524892.0E-55.139737E-45.724994E-46.224708E-41.08728645.0E-50.0051278660.0057172040.0058464611.02260841.3E-4
6.29.852767E-61.0973554E-52.0973444E-51.91127181.0E-54.222546E-54.702907E-56.702813E-51.42524892.0E-55.139737E-45.724994E-46.224708E-41.08728645.0E-50.0051278660.0057172040.0058464611.02260841.3E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.778015E-64.778015E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0477177E-52.0477177E-51.00.02.2521814E-42.4930414E-42.5930163E-41.04010161.0E-50.00224990030.00249250280.00255235331.02401226.0E-5
6.44.3167724E-64.778015E-64.778015E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0477177E-52.0477177E-51.00.02.2521814E-42.4930414E-42.5930163E-41.04010161.0E-50.00224990030.00249250280.00255235331.02401226.0E-5
6.54.3167724E-64.778015E-64.778015E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0477177E-52.0477177E-51.00.02.2521814E-42.4930414E-42.5930163E-41.04010161.0E-50.00224990030.00249250280.00255235331.02401226.0E-5
6.64.301311E-64.7608837E-64.7608837E-61.00.01.8434059E-52.0403757E-52.0403757E-51.00.02.2441156E-42.4841045E-42.5840796E-41.0402461.0E-50.00224185060.0024835860.0025434371.02409866.0E-5
6.73.8599724E-64.2710476E-64.2710476E-61.00.01.6542634E-51.830449E-51.830449E-51.00.02.0138794E-42.2285717E-42.3285495E-41.04486181.0E-50.00201205540.00222857160.0022884381.02686316.0E-5

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0004286E-44.0001285E-41.33318571.0E-45.2857865E-40.00128529030.00144508471.12432551.6E-40.0064164720.0155410890.0157281371.01203561.9E-40.062343370.14294770.143170541.00155892.6E-4
6.11.2336002E-43.0004286E-44.0001285E-41.33318571.0E-45.2857865E-40.00128529030.00144508471.12432551.6E-40.0064164720.0155410890.0157281371.01203561.9E-40.062343370.14294770.143170541.00155892.6E-4
6.21.2336002E-43.0004286E-44.0001285E-41.33318571.0E-45.2857865E-40.00128529030.00144508471.12432551.6E-40.0064164720.0155410890.0157281371.01203561.9E-40.062343370.14294770.143170541.00155892.6E-4
6.31.1712257E-42.8792562E-43.8789684E-41.3472121.0E-45.018573E-40.0012334090.00139321181.12956181.6E-40.0060930080.0149182020.0151053671.01254611.9E-40.0592863220.137658010.137864981.00150352.4E-4
6.41.1712257E-42.8792562E-43.8789684E-41.3472121.0E-45.018573E-40.0012334090.00139321181.12956181.6E-40.0060930080.0149182020.0151053671.01254611.9E-40.0592863220.137658010.137864981.00150352.4E-4
6.51.0689076E-42.6805513E-43.6802833E-41.37295761.0E-44.5802278E-40.00114832670.00129815441.13047481.5E-40.00556217830.013895870.0140733691.01277351.8E-40.054250030.128899140.129099491.00155442.3E-4
6.69.7648895E-52.505039E-43.4048135E-41.35918589.0E-54.1842813E-40.001073170.00121301971.13031461.4E-40.0050824690.0129919330.0131498551.01215531.6E-40.0496778860.121077980.121262561.00152442.1E-4
6.78.757013E-52.3121275E-43.2119194E-41.3891629.0E-53.7524657E-49.905577E-40.00113041911.14119451.4E-40.004559060.0119974370.0121555181.01317621.6E-40.044666560.112373160.112559561.00165882.1E-4
6.88.562978E-52.2681156E-43.1679115E-41.39671529.0E-53.6693315E-49.7170967E-40.00111157371.14393591.4E-40.0044582630.0117704560.0119285731.01343331.6E-40.0436987580.1103787650.110565591.00169252.1E-4
6.96.124075E-51.7065984E-42.6064448E-41.52727489.0E-52.6243398E-47.3119515E-48.710928E-41.19132731.4E-40.00319045270.008866170.0090247521.01788621.6E-40.0314503460.084202760.084395081.00228392.1E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6495038E-42.5493553E-41.54552879.0E-52.5111332E-47.067395E-48.4664056E-41.19795271.4E-40.00305301860.00857080150.008729431.01850811.6E-40.030114140.081516410.081709291.00236622.1E-4
7.15.613814E-51.591358E-42.4912148E-41.56546479.0E-52.4056983E-46.818331E-48.2173763E-41.20518891.4E-40.00292500390.0082699010.0084285781.01918721.6E-40.0288680210.078811040.079004491.00245462.1E-4
7.24.991222E-51.4520068E-42.351876E-41.61974189.0E-52.1389198E-46.221406E-47.620535E-41.22488951.4E-40.0026010250.00754835830.007707151.02103661.6E-40.0257079120.072260140.072454971.00269622.1E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.3714298E-42.1713202E-41.58325288.0E-52.0317009E-45.8762357E-47.175472E-41.22110011.3E-40.00247078970.00713093440.00727986451.02088511.5E-40.0244349820.0685388740.068725161.00271812.0E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.312221E-42.1121159E-41.60957358.0E-51.952286E-45.622595E-46.921864E-41.23107991.3E-40.0023743170.0068241020.0069730781.02183091.5E-40.0234910860.0657887160.0659755541.002842.0E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2357533E-42.0356545E-41.64729838.0E-51.8463485E-45.2950135E-46.5943255E-41.2453841.3E-40.00224561150.0064276950.00656679551.02164081.4E-40.0222305450.062189170.0623673541.00286521.9E-4
7.63.408608E-59.835737E-51.6835048E-41.71162057.0E-51.4607502E-44.214636E-45.41413E-41.2846021.2E-40.00177701250.0051192720.00524860671.02526431.3E-40.0176286960.050020950.0501919461.00341841.8E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.248871E-51.5248294E-41.8485317.0E-51.2134742E-43.534752E-44.7343277E-41.33936631.2E-40.00147640340.0042950770.0044245191.03013721.3E-40.014666330.0422713240.0424437151.00407811.8E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.463234E-51.4462712E-41.93786127.0E-51.1237934E-43.198137E-44.3977532E-41.37509851.2E-40.00136735970.00388678630.0040162811.03331661.3E-40.0135897680.038436620.0386097021.0045031.8E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.787948E-51.1787601E-42.03657676.0E-59.200973E-52.4803134E-43.38009E-41.36276739.0E-50.00111964280.0030156030.00311530151.03306091.0E-40.0111401840.0301516610.0302971381.00482491.5E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1318876E-56.1317936E-51.95785883.0E-55.322855E-51.3421685E-41.7421148E-41.29798524.0E-56.478649E-40.00163286630.00168278461.0305715.0E-50.00645979350.016522680.0165718531.00297625.0E-5
8.14.9197724E-67.8215E-67.8215E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.3520282E-53.3520282E-51.00.02.566744E-44.0803317E-44.0803317E-41.00.00.0025637810.00438417080.00438417081.00.0
8.22.5634774E-62.906094E-62.906094E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.245463E-51.245463E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5162461E-41.5162461E-41.00.00.00133669340.00170471760.00170471761.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2074206E-73.2074206E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3746081E-61.3746081E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.6735738E-51.6735738E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986336E-41.986336E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867021E-59.8668716E-55.2848218.0E-57.160038E-58.0012775E-51.9000398E-42.37467051.1E-48.71386E-49.737278E-40.00115355261.18467661.8E-40.008679770.0096954670.0099430431.02553522.5E-4
6.11.6707214E-51.867021E-59.8668716E-55.2848218.0E-57.160038E-58.0012775E-51.9000398E-42.37467051.1E-48.71386E-49.737278E-40.00115355261.18467661.8E-40.008679770.0096954670.0099430431.02553522.5E-4
6.21.6707214E-51.867021E-59.8668716E-55.2848218.0E-57.160038E-58.0012775E-51.9000398E-42.37467051.1E-48.71386E-49.737278E-40.00115355261.18467661.8E-40.008679770.0096954670.0099430431.02553522.5E-4
6.31.6707214E-51.867021E-59.8668716E-55.2848218.0E-57.160038E-58.0012775E-51.9000398E-42.37467051.1E-48.71386E-49.737278E-40.00115355261.18467661.8E-40.008679770.0096954670.0099430431.02553522.5E-4
6.41.5515609E-51.733816E-55.7337464E-53.307014.0E-56.649377E-57.430431E-51.442991E-41.94200187.0E-58.0926094E-49.0428564E-40.00102417721.13258151.2E-40.0080632020.0090067440.0091752131.01870481.7E-4
6.51.5515609E-51.733816E-55.7337464E-53.307014.0E-56.649377E-57.430431E-51.442991E-41.94200187.0E-58.0926094E-49.0428564E-40.00102417721.13258151.2E-40.0080632020.0090067440.0091752131.01870481.7E-4
6.61.5041828E-51.6809092E-55.6808418E-53.37962464.0E-56.4463384E-57.203701E-51.4203196E-41.97165277.0E-57.8455906E-48.767036E-49.965984E-41.13675641.2E-40.007817950.0087331050.008901621.01929621.7E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.6355965E-55.635531E-53.4455514.0E-56.271985E-57.009514E-51.4009024E-41.99857277.0E-57.6334673E-48.5307995E-49.6298615E-41.12883451.1E-40.0076072990.0084986890.0086573291.01866641.6E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5881998E-54.588152E-52.88890123.0E-56.089497E-56.806396E-51.2805988E-41.88146386.0E-57.4114406E-48.283693E-49.282864E-41.1206191.0E-40.0073867710.008253430.0083922751.01682271.4E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.5404545E-54.5404082E-52.94744733.0E-55.9056227E-56.6017834E-51.2601388E-41.90878536.0E-57.1877235E-48.034762E-49.033959E-41.12435931.0E-40.00716451930.0080063070.0081451871.01734631.4E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188108E-54.518765E-52.97519973.0E-55.8220405E-56.5090295E-51.1508704E-41.76811365.0E-57.086029E-47.9219165E-48.821204E-41.11351889.0E-50.0070634760.0078942690.00802324251.01633761.3E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.4981292E-53.4980992E-52.33497832.0E-55.742131E-56.420399E-51.0420142E-41.62297434.0E-56.9888023E-47.814087E-48.6134614E-41.10229928.0E-50.00696686380.00778719970.0079062651.01528991.2E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679515E-52.4679368E-51.68121151.0E-55.6254412E-56.2910716E-59.290883E-51.47683633.0E-56.846822E-47.656743E-48.256283E-41.07830236.0E-50.0068257650.0076309460.00773018271.01300451.0E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453743E-52.4453597E-51.69185231.0E-55.5380664E-56.194317E-59.1941314E-51.48428493.0E-56.74051E-47.5390254E-48.0386485E-41.06627155.0E-50.0067201010.0075140310.00760335481.01188769.0E-5
7.41.2768878E-51.4283726E-51.4283726E-51.00.05.4722615E-56.121456E-58.121334E-51.32669962.0E-56.660441E-47.4503786E-47.750155E-41.04023643.0E-50.00664051440.007425980.007495461.00935647.0E-5
7.51.2521929E-51.401197E-51.401197E-51.00.05.366431E-56.004995E-58.004875E-51.33303612.0E-56.531671E-47.308683E-47.608464E-41.0410173.0E-50.0065125060.0072852230.00735471261.00953857.0E-5
7.61.1301089E-51.2648108E-51.2648108E-51.00.04.8432343E-55.4205084E-57.4204E-51.3689492.0E-55.895042E-46.5975235E-46.8973255E-41.04544163.0E-50.00587942820.0065784890.0066380951.00906066.0E-5
7.79.189108E-61.02833255E-51.02833255E-51.00.03.93813E-54.407068E-56.40698E-51.45379652.0E-54.7936183E-45.364335E-45.6641735E-41.0558953.0E-50.0047832910.0053518970.00540162951.00929255.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.648256E-73.648256E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635374E-61.5635374E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035906E-51.9035906E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.903432E-41.903432E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696687E-92.6696687E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441437E-81.1441437E-81.00.01.335311E-71.392995E-71.392995E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929949E-61.3929949E-61.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.170669E-55.1706036E-52.38203243.0E-58.486947E-59.302576E-51.4302111E-41.53743555.0E-50.00103279590.00113207220.0012019931.06176357.0E-50.0102800910.011270230.0114284261.01403671.6E-4
6.11.980352E-52.170669E-55.1706036E-52.38203243.0E-58.486947E-59.302576E-51.4302111E-41.53743555.0E-50.00103279590.00113207220.0012019931.06176357.0E-50.0102800910.011270230.0114284261.01403671.6E-4
6.21.980352E-52.170669E-55.1706036E-52.38203243.0E-58.486947E-59.302576E-51.4302111E-41.53743555.0E-50.00103279590.00113207220.0012019931.06176357.0E-50.0102800910.011270230.0114284261.01403671.6E-4
6.31.5344787E-51.6820626E-53.682029E-52.18899632.0E-56.576172E-57.2086754E-59.2085305E-51.27742352.0E-58.003548E-48.77364E-49.173289E-41.04555114.0E-50.0079747840.0087450470.0088540851.01246861.1E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.6820626E-53.682029E-52.18899632.0E-56.576172E-57.2086754E-59.2085305E-51.27742352.0E-58.003548E-48.77364E-49.173289E-41.04555114.0E-50.0079747840.0087450470.0088540851.01246861.1E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5557947E-53.5557634E-52.28549672.0E-56.081157E-56.667555E-58.667422E-51.299942.0E-57.401293E-48.115328E-48.515003E-41.04924944.0E-50.00737669130.0080916350.00819082651.01225841.0E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4771539E-52.4771392E-51.67696751.0E-55.7724297E-56.33054E-57.3304764E-51.15795451.0E-57.025667E-47.7053066E-48.0050755E-41.03890423.0E-50.00700349640.00768449440.0077738031.0116229.0E-5
6.71.3027966E-51.4281708E-52.4281566E-51.70018641.0E-55.5832945E-56.120622E-57.120561E-51.1633721.0E-56.7955407E-47.449907E-47.7496836E-41.0402393.0E-50.0067747980.00743080950.0075201411.01202189.0E-5
6.85.695434E-66.2244026E-61.622434E-52.606571.0E-52.4408775E-52.6675907E-53.667564E-51.37486021.0E-52.971363E-43.2476074E-43.4475425E-41.06156382.0E-50.00296739330.00324580240.0032757051.00921273.0E-5
6.94.385688E-64.7930434E-61.4792996E-53.0863471.0E-51.879567E-52.0541615E-53.054141E-51.48680661.0E-52.2881327E-42.5009416E-42.7008916E-41.07994992.0E-50.0022857780.00250094170.00252089161.0079772.0E-5

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.007218E-42.2071777E-41.09962032.0E-54.362114E-48.599537E-48.999193E-41.04647414.0E-50.00529794860.0104199570.010509021.00854739.0E-50.0517340970.101450830.101567641.00115141.3E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.007218E-42.2071777E-41.09962032.0E-54.362114E-48.599537E-48.999193E-41.04647414.0E-50.00529794860.0104199570.010509021.00854739.0E-50.0517340970.101450830.101567641.00115141.3E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.007218E-42.2071777E-41.09962032.0E-54.362114E-48.599537E-48.999193E-41.04647414.0E-50.00529794860.0104199570.010509021.00854739.0E-50.0517340970.101450830.101567641.00115141.3E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.007218E-42.2071777E-41.09962032.0E-54.362114E-48.599537E-48.999193E-41.04647414.0E-50.00529794860.0104199570.010509021.00854739.0E-50.0517340970.101450830.101567641.00115141.3E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8429171E-41.9428987E-41.05425181.0E-53.9268145E-47.895828E-48.195591E-41.03796473.0E-50.00477042050.0095709160.0096402461.00724397.0E-50.0466930640.093781830.093872451.00096631.0E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8429171E-41.9428987E-41.05425181.0E-53.9268145E-47.895828E-48.195591E-41.03796473.0E-50.00477042050.0095709160.0096402461.00724397.0E-50.0466930640.093781830.093872451.00096631.0E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8236267E-41.9236084E-41.05482581.0E-53.8748336E-47.813204E-48.112969E-41.03836663.0E-50.00470740950.0094711980.0095405351.00732097.0E-50.0460893250.092872090.09296281.00097681.0E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8150604E-41.9150422E-41.05508461.0E-53.8495753E-47.776513E-48.0762804E-41.03854783.0E-50.004676790.0094269140.0094962541.00735567.0E-50.0457958170.092466370.0925571251.00098151.0E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.809739E-41.9097209E-41.05524661.0E-53.8339442E-47.753721E-48.0534886E-41.03866113.0E-50.0046578410.0093994040.0094687451.00737737.0E-50.045614140.092213550.092304331.00098441.0E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7979364E-41.8979184E-41.05560931.0E-53.7958333E-47.703168E-48.002937E-41.0389153.0E-50.0046116380.00933838450.0094077311.00742597.0E-50.045171030.091653670.0917445051.00099111.0E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7818164E-41.8817987E-41.05611251.0E-53.746607E-47.6341233E-47.9338945E-41.03926733.0E-50.0045519570.00925503950.0093243911.00749357.0E-50.0445983860.090887980.090978891.00100031.0E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7730116E-41.8729939E-41.05639121.0E-53.7215967E-47.5964106E-47.8961824E-41.03946233.0E-50.00452163350.0092095130.0092788681.00753087.0E-50.044307310.090469520.0905604661.00100531.0E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7620731E-41.8620554E-41.05674141.0E-53.6879873E-47.549558E-47.8493316E-41.03970743.0E-50.00448088350.0091529510.009222311.00757787.0E-50.0439160240.089950030.090041041.00101171.0E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7562733E-41.8562557E-41.05692881.0E-53.6715972E-47.524716E-47.8244903E-41.03983873.0E-50.00446101050.0091229590.0091923211.00760297.0E-50.0437251480.089671110.0897621441.00101521.0E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752532E-41.8525144E-41.05705031.0E-53.6608664E-47.508691E-47.808466E-41.03992373.0E-50.0044479990.0091036120.0091729751.00761937.0E-50.0436001570.08949140.089582441.00101751.0E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7394664E-41.839449E-41.05747891.0E-53.633435E-47.452728E-47.7525043E-41.04022373.0E-50.00441473770.0090360450.0091054111.00767677.0E-50.0432805750.0888675450.088958661.00102531.0E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6840106E-41.7839938E-41.05937211.0E-53.531424E-47.215194E-47.5149775E-41.0415493.0E-50.00429103520.0087492050.0088185921.00793087.0E-50.0420911760.0862431450.086334521.00105951.0E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4204094E-41.5203952E-41.07039231.0E-53.001506E-46.0860487E-46.2859274E-41.0328422.0E-50.00364821120.00738462950.007434261.00672085.0E-50.0358889770.073516960.073581811.00088217.0E-5
7.86.415362E-51.2968556E-41.2968556E-41.00.02.749151E-45.556769E-45.6567136E-41.0179861.0E-50.00334195470.00674440940.0067742071.00441813.0E-50.032921410.0672520550.067298691.00069345.0E-5
7.94.939911E-59.3407485E-59.3407485E-51.00.02.116933E-44.002564E-44.102524E-41.0249741.0E-50.00257431950.0048622420.00487219361.00204671.0E-50.0254470130.0489121040.0489311261.00038892.0E-5
8.03.344983E-55.2222407E-55.2222407E-51.00.01.4334853E-42.2379112E-42.3378889E-41.04467451.0E-50.00174387110.00272125420.0027312271.00366471.0E-50.0173024960.0279205310.0279302521.00034821.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9169016E-51.9169016E-51.00.08.1875565E-58.215035E-58.215035E-51.00.09.963791E-49.997222E-49.997222E-41.00.00.0099192350.0107481570.0107481571.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.472644E-65.472644E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3453977E-52.3453977E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8551483E-42.8551483E-41.00.00.00450013950.0032476530.0032476531.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6547434E-77.6547434E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2806004E-63.2806004E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9940594E-53.9940594E-51.00.00.00103421244.7170694E-44.7170694E-41.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066608E-64.6066365E-57.59343054.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999527E-51.05997446E-44.0768998.0E-54.289509E-43.1650488E-44.1647322E-41.31585091.0E-40.00428123870.0031611930.00328081361.03784041.2E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066608E-64.6066365E-57.59343054.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999527E-51.05997446E-44.0768998.0E-54.289509E-43.1650488E-44.1647322E-41.31585091.0E-40.00428123870.0031611930.00328081361.03784041.2E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066608E-64.6066365E-57.59343054.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999527E-51.05997446E-44.0768998.0E-54.289509E-43.1650488E-44.1647322E-41.31585091.0E-40.00428123870.0031611930.00328081361.03784041.2E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066608E-64.6066365E-57.59343054.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999527E-51.05997446E-44.0768998.0E-54.289509E-43.1650488E-44.1647322E-41.31585091.0E-40.00428123870.0031611930.00328081361.03784041.2E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571218E-61.3557086E-53.81125161.0E-52.4950215E-51.5244725E-55.5244116E-53.62381844.0E-53.0372653E-41.8558982E-42.3558053E-41.26936145.0E-50.00303311760.00185445660.00191434531.03229456.0E-5
6.55.766023E-63.499056E-61.3499021E-53.85790371.0E-52.4711293E-51.4995874E-55.4995275E-53.66736034.0E-53.0081844E-41.8256057E-42.3255144E-41.27383175.0E-50.00300411580.00182421410.00188410471.03283086.0E-5
6.64.643576E-62.3325706E-61.2332547E-55.28710561.0E-51.9900888E-59.996696E-62.9996496E-53.0006412.0E-52.4226638E-41.217034E-41.5169974E-41.24647093.0E-50.00242002420.001216410.00125636131.03284374.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6482956E-61.1648279E-57.0668631.0E-51.6940963E-57.064106E-62.7063965E-53.83119462.0E-52.0623671E-48.6002285E-51.0600057E-41.2325322.0E-50.0020604548.597085E-48.8968273E-41.03486553.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244749E-61.2244749E-61.00.01.473314E-55.2477394E-61.5247687E-52.90557241.0E-51.7936122E-46.388945E-57.3888805E-51.15651041.0E-50.00179216526.387199E-46.587071E-41.03129272.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033302E-61.0033302E-61.00.01.3443062E-54.29998E-61.4299937E-53.32558231.0E-51.63657E-45.235108E-56.2350555E-51.19100811.0E-50.00163536525.233951E-45.4338464E-41.0381922.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.428222E-77.428222E-71.00.01.2127721E-53.18352E-61.3183488E-54.1411671.0E-51.47645E-43.8758717E-54.875833E-51.25799641.0E-50.00147546933.8752457E-43.975207E-41.02579491.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.4223744E-75.4223744E-71.00.01.03247E-52.323873E-61.232385E-55.3031511.0E-51.2569598E-42.8292827E-53.8292546E-51.35343651.0E-50.0012562492.828963E-42.9289347E-41.03533861.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.07402464E-71.07402464E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.602962E-74.602962E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604093E-65.604093E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.6039633E-55.6039633E-51.00.0
7.37.056077E-75.0002754E-85.0002754E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.142975E-72.142975E-71.00.03.681694E-52.6090695E-62.6090695E-61.00.03.681084E-42.6090434E-52.6090434E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858672E-59.185714E-54.20232067.0E-58.525106E-59.367717E-51.6367061E-41.74717717.0E-50.00103743740.00114001370.00123989971.08761821.0E-40.0103260750.0113506710.0114594221.00958111.1E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858672E-59.185714E-54.20232067.0E-58.525106E-59.367717E-51.6367061E-41.74717717.0E-50.00103743740.00114001370.00123989971.08761821.0E-40.0103260750.0113506710.0114594221.00958111.1E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858672E-59.185714E-54.20232067.0E-58.525106E-59.367717E-51.6367061E-41.74717717.0E-50.00103743740.00114001370.00123989971.08761821.0E-40.0103260750.0113506710.0114594221.00958111.1E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176552E-57.217582E-55.9274436.0E-54.764482E-55.2184358E-51.1218123E-42.14970976.0E-55.7992124E-46.3519087E-47.151401E-41.12586648.0E-50.00578410220.00633685940.00641635251.01254458.0E-5
6.41.1117327E-51.2176552E-57.217582E-55.9274436.0E-54.764482E-55.2184358E-51.1218123E-42.14970976.0E-55.7992124E-46.3519087E-47.151401E-41.12586648.0E-50.00578410220.00633685940.00641635251.01254458.0E-5
6.56.103093E-66.672004E-66.66716E-59.9927416.0E-52.615585E-52.859406E-58.8592344E-53.09827786.0E-53.1840094E-43.4808964E-44.0806874E-41.17230946.0E-50.00317945120.0034766780.00353646931.01719786.0E-5
6.65.817237E-66.3656425E-66.636526E-510.425546.0E-52.4930776E-52.728111E-58.727947E-53.1992646.0E-53.034899E-43.3210934E-43.9208942E-41.18060346.0E-50.00303075770.00331735220.00337715331.01802676.0E-5
6.74.8846314E-65.3405547E-66.534023E-512.2347286.0E-52.0933967E-52.2887958E-58.288658E-53.62140586.0E-52.5484123E-42.7863705E-43.386203E-41.21527396.0E-50.00254549180.00278403210.00284386521.02149156.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.9399033E-62.1939864E-511.30977252.0E-57.6237375E-68.313854E-62.8313687E-53.40560342.0E-59.281505E-51.01218044E-41.2121602E-41.19757322.0E-59.2776294E-40.00101187410.00103185381.01974532.0E-5
6.97.5455404E-78.29707E-72.082969E-525.1048742.0E-53.233799E-63.5558842E-62.3555813E-56.624462.0E-53.937079E-54.3292366E-56.32915E-51.46195522.0E-53.9363815E-44.3287227E-44.528636E-41.0461832.0E-5
7.06.8578805E-77.541796E-72.0754165E-527.5188622.0E-52.9390883E-63.2321961E-62.323213E-57.1877232.0E-53.578281E-53.935161E-55.9350823E-51.50821842.0E-53.577705E-43.9347887E-44.1347102E-41.05080872.0E-5

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.070417E-51.0070163E-41.98606225.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728777E-42.6727692E-41.23005965.0E-50.00213221580.00264266860.00271248351.02641837.0E-50.021118730.026152720.0262598431.0040961.1E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.070417E-51.0070163E-41.98606225.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728777E-42.6727692E-41.23005965.0E-50.00213221580.00264266860.00271248351.02641837.0E-50.021118730.026152720.0262598431.0040961.1E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.070417E-51.0070163E-41.98606225.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728777E-42.6727692E-41.23005965.0E-50.00213221580.00264266860.00271248351.02641837.0E-50.021118730.026152720.0262598431.0040961.1E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090901E-57.00897E-52.32926564.0E-51.0389358E-41.2895482E-41.6894966E-41.31014624.0E-50.00126417040.00156892770.0016088651.02545514.0E-50.012570030.0155821950.0156511031.00442237.0E-5
6.42.4242801E-53.0090901E-57.00897E-52.32926564.0E-51.0389358E-41.2895482E-41.6894966E-41.31014624.0E-50.00126417040.00156892770.0016088651.02545514.0E-50.012570030.0155821950.0156511031.00442237.0E-5
6.52.0286952E-52.531601E-56.5315E-52.57998784.0E-58.694118E-51.0849277E-41.4848844E-41.36864824.0E-50.00105799490.00132011620.00136006341.03026034.0E-50.0105297190.0131246780.0131937591.00526347.0E-5
6.62.0269223E-52.529696E-56.529595E-52.58117774.0E-58.6865206E-51.08411135E-41.484068E-41.36892584.0E-50.00105707070.00131912350.00135907081.03028324.0E-50.0105205650.0131148680.01318394951.00526757.0E-5
6.71.799852E-52.2540898E-56.254E-52.7745124.0E-57.713423E-59.660036E-51.365965E-41.41403714.0E-59.3870464E-40.00117548940.00121544231.03398844.0E-50.0093474930.0116943280.0117635091.00591587.0E-5
6.81.7458793E-52.1842547E-55.184189E-52.37343623.0E-57.4821255E-59.360763E-51.2360483E-41.32045673.0E-59.10568E-40.00113909160.00116905731.02630673.0E-50.0090684590.0113341130.01139343251.00523386.0E-5
6.91.542884E-51.9026254E-54.9025683E-52.57673863.0E-56.612192E-58.1538616E-51.1153617E-41.36789383.0E-58.04737E-49.922937E-40.00102226391.0302033.0E-50.0080182910.0098800270.0099394341.00601296.0E-5
7.01.468253E-51.8031062E-54.803052E-52.66376543.0E-56.292361E-57.727376E-51.07271444E-41.38823.0E-57.658257E-49.40415E-49.703868E-41.03187083.0E-50.00763191840.0093657210.0094251591.00634636.0E-5
7.11.3139281E-51.6201364E-52.6201202E-51.6172221.0E-55.6309986E-56.943264E-57.943194E-51.14401451.0E-56.853584E-48.450271E-48.550186E-41.01182391.0E-50.00683248560.0084194360.00845911.00471094.0E-5
7.21.1127404E-51.3867016E-52.3866876E-51.72112571.0E-54.7688E-55.9428774E-56.942818E-51.16825871.0E-55.8044674E-47.2331604E-47.333088E-41.01381521.0E-50.00578932980.00721072550.0072504371.00550734.0E-5
7.39.808154E-61.2176565E-52.2176442E-51.82123971.0E-54.2034266E-55.2184296E-56.2183775E-51.19161861.0E-55.11647E-46.351693E-46.4516295E-41.01573381.0E-50.00510470570.00633461450.00635448751.00313722.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.79233E-69.79233E-61.00.03.4038632E-54.1966505E-54.1966505E-51.00.04.1434157E-45.108319E-45.108319E-41.00.00.00413569850.00509751770.0051074671.00195171.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.772962E-65.772962E-61.00.02.019465E-52.4741075E-52.4741075E-51.00.02.4584212E-43.0118861E-43.0118861E-41.00.00.00245570320.00300855660.00301852661.00331391.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4322356E-42.632187E-41.08220892.0E-55.002454E-40.00104197180.00108193021.03834884.0E-50.0060734930.01261270.0126916911.00626288.0E-50.05910160.120617940.120714671.00080191.1E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4322356E-42.632187E-41.08220892.0E-55.002454E-40.00104197180.00108193021.03834884.0E-50.0060734930.01261270.0126916911.00626288.0E-50.05910160.120617940.120714671.00080191.1E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4322356E-42.632187E-41.08220892.0E-55.002454E-40.00104197180.00108193021.03834884.0E-50.0060734930.01261270.0126916911.00626288.0E-50.05910160.120617940.120714671.00080191.1E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4322356E-42.632187E-41.08220892.0E-55.002454E-40.00104197180.00108193021.03834884.0E-50.0060734930.01261270.0126916911.00626288.0E-50.05910160.120617940.120714671.00080191.1E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4322356E-42.632187E-41.08220892.0E-55.002454E-40.00104197180.00108193021.03834884.0E-50.0060734930.01261270.0126916911.00626288.0E-50.05910160.120617940.120714671.00080191.1E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3642433E-42.564196E-41.08457362.0E-54.847792E-40.00101285520.00105281471.03945234.0E-50.00588622550.0122622350.0123412541.00644418.0E-50.0573273340.117583340.117680411.00082551.1E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3642433E-42.564196E-41.08457362.0E-54.847792E-40.00101285520.00105281471.03945234.0E-50.00588622550.0122622350.0123412541.00644418.0E-50.0573273340.117583340.117680411.00082551.1E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3333685E-42.5333217E-41.0856932.0E-54.777557E-49.996332E-40.00103959321.03997474.0E-50.00580117340.0121030560.0121820871.00652998.0E-50.056520510.116201660.116298881.00083661.1E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3235848E-42.523538E-41.08605382.0E-54.7578133E-49.954434E-40.00103540371.04014314.0E-50.0057772630.012052610.0121316461.00655768.0E-50.0562935840.115761480.115858751.00084021.1E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.312823E-42.5127767E-41.08645442.0E-54.7362508E-49.908348E-40.00103079521.040334.0E-50.00575114970.0119971190.0120761591.00658828.0E-50.056045690.1152779160.1153752361.00084421.1E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3029075E-42.4028844E-41.04341341.0E-54.7157376E-49.865885E-40.0010165591.03037793.0E-50.00572630620.0119459890.0120151531.00578987.0E-50.0558097960.114830130.114918651.00077081.0E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1538913E-42.2538698E-41.04641761.0E-54.417027E-49.227707E-49.5274305E-41.03248083.0E-50.00536447760.0111771750.01124639251.00619287.0E-50.0523681380.1080918240.1081810151.00082521.0E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.0946808E-42.1946599E-41.047731.0E-54.296783E-48.974125E-49.273856E-41.03339953.0E-50.00521879220.0108715580.0109407981.00636897.0E-50.0509792120.105391540.1054811.00084891.0E-4
7.39.816942E-52.042204E-42.1421837E-41.04895681.0E-54.2065824E-48.749377E-49.049115E-41.03425813.0E-50.0051094930.0106006230.0106698811.00653347.0E-50.0499359850.102972470.1030621751.00087121.0E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9791478E-42.079128E-41.05051681.0E-54.0979648E-48.4793137E-48.779059E-41.03535023.0E-50.00497786370.0102749610.0103442421.00674277.0E-50.0486782530.1000649560.100154951.00089931.0E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6112256E-41.7112095E-41.06205451.0E-53.4505792E-46.903427E-47.2032196E-41.04342663.0E-50.00419299030.0083726120.0084420271.00829067.0E-50.041147530.082811280.0829031.00110761.0E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5765514E-41.6765358E-41.06341961.0E-53.384E-46.754901E-47.0546987E-41.04438223.0E-50.00411223850.0081931570.0082625831.00847387.0E-50.0403696970.08115210.0812439841.00113221.0E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3275658E-41.4275526E-41.07531581.0E-52.8742946E-45.688328E-45.888214E-41.03513972.0E-50.0034938390.006903580.0069532351.00719265.0E-50.0343941640.069047540.06911271.00094387.0E-5
7.86.147705E-51.2197082E-41.2197082E-41.00.02.6344648E-45.226274E-45.3262216E-41.0191241.0E-50.00320274360.00634444920.0063742591.00469853.0E-50.0315697640.063514230.063561061.00073725.0E-5
7.94.7636717E-58.879351E-58.879351E-51.00.02.0414138E-43.8048814E-43.9048432E-41.0262721.0E-50.00248258840.0046226110.00463256471.00215331.0E-50.0245503650.0466257970.0466448631.00040892.0E-5
8.03.3554235E-55.2132433E-55.2132433E-51.00.01.4379594E-42.2340559E-42.3340335E-41.04475161.0E-50.00174930970.0027165720.00272654491.00367121.0E-50.0173560340.0278792640.0278889851.00034871.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.9180918E-51.9180918E-51.00.08.217783E-58.220134E-58.220134E-51.00.00.00100005580.00100034240.00100034241.00.00.0099556730.0107563710.0107563711.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.472644E-65.472644E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3453977E-52.3453977E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8551483E-42.8551483E-41.00.00.00450013950.0032476530.0032476531.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6547434E-77.6547434E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2806004E-63.2806004E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9940594E-53.9940594E-51.00.00.00103421244.7170694E-44.7170694E-41.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3378068E-42.8376898E-41.21382575.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100153180.00106147181.05984826.0E-50.0043297780.01212536450.0122142731.00733249.0E-50.0424638280.112557380.1126551.00086721.1E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3378068E-42.8376898E-41.21382575.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100153180.00106147181.05984826.0E-50.0043297780.01212536450.0122142731.00733249.0E-50.0424638280.112557380.1126551.00086721.1E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3378068E-42.8376898E-41.21382575.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100153180.00106147181.05984826.0E-50.0043297780.01212536450.0122142731.00733249.0E-50.0424638280.112557380.1126551.00086721.1E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3378068E-42.8376898E-41.21382575.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100153180.00106147181.05984826.0E-50.0043297780.01212536450.0122142731.00733249.0E-50.0424638280.112557380.1126551.00086721.1E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2935575E-42.7934427E-41.21795195.0E-53.4534236E-49.825854E-40.00104252641.06100346.0E-50.00419643940.0118975630.0119766121.0066448.0E-50.0411807450.110538440.110627381.00080471.0E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2935575E-42.7934427E-41.21795195.0E-53.4534236E-49.825854E-40.00104252641.06100346.0E-50.00419643940.0118975630.0119766121.0066448.0E-50.0411807450.110538440.110627381.00080471.0E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2180163E-42.7179054E-41.22537665.0E-53.2649786E-49.502344E-40.00101017741.06308236.0E-50.00396786770.011508280.011587361.00687158.0E-50.038977640.10707490.107164191.00083391.0E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1855978E-42.6854884E-41.22872035.0E-53.188454E-49.363508E-49.962947E-41.06401866.0E-50.00387503460.0113410160.0114201081.00697418.0E-50.0380815640.105583360.105672811.00084711.0E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1703144E-42.6702057E-41.23033145.0E-53.1597257E-49.298054E-49.897497E-41.06446966.0E-50.00384018150.0112621540.0113412531.00702358.0E-50.037744950.104884910.104974421.00085341.0E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1472113E-42.647104E-41.23281015.0E-53.117806E-49.1991114E-49.798559E-41.06516376.0E-50.0037893230.011142930.0112220381.00709948.0E-50.0372535620.103832770.103922381.00086311.0E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1056154E-42.6055102E-41.23741035.0E-53.0436125E-49.0209674E-49.620426E-41.06645176.0E-50.0036993030.0109282330.0110073591.00724058.0E-50.036383250.101934410.102024221.00088111.0E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0891799E-42.5890753E-41.23927835.0E-53.0118722E-48.950578E-49.5500407E-41.06697486.0E-50.00366078970.0108433910.0109225231.00729788.0E-50.0360106860.101177310.1012671961.00088831.0E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.0499669E-42.5498643E-41.24385645.0E-52.9353087E-48.782636E-49.382109E-41.06825666.0E-50.0035678830.0106409340.01072008351.00743828.0E-50.0351114050.099369190.099459251.00090631.0E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9727086E-42.47261E-41.25340875.0E-52.8379448E-48.451747E-49.05124E-41.07093126.0E-50.00344972430.0102419330.0103211131.00773118.0E-50.0339666120.095866870.095957291.00094311.0E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4687212E-41.9686477E-41.34038225.0E-52.1877038E-46.29301E-46.892632E-41.09528396.0E-50.0026602760.0076350160.0077144051.0103988.0E-50.026286540.072854340.0729470551.00127261.0E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.1130129E-41.6129573E-41.44918115.0E-51.6843023E-44.7691865E-45.3689E-41.12574766.0E-50.00204870920.0057910950.00586068961.01201757.0E-50.0202992470.056009460.0560944231.00151689.0E-5
7.62.9851626E-58.49519E-51.2494849E-41.47081474.0E-51.2792926E-43.6402888E-44.1401066E-41.13730175.0E-50.00155642590.00442307020.0044828051.01350526.0E-50.01545569950.0431938770.043270421.00177228.0E-5
7.72.1135214E-56.3530715E-51.03528175E-41.62957674.0E-59.0576345E-52.722461E-43.222325E-41.18360735.0E-50.00110220910.0033095640.00336936541.01806936.0E-50.0109675820.0325828830.0326602761.00237528.0E-5
7.81.883379E-55.5641565E-59.563934E-51.7188474.0E-58.0713755E-52.3844207E-42.8843014E-41.20964465.0E-59.822468E-40.00289917060.00295899671.02063566.0E-50.00977916550.0286955420.0287732461.00270788.0E-5
7.91.5156185E-54.1659005E-58.165734E-51.96013654.0E-56.495346E-51.7852637E-42.2851746E-41.28002075.0E-57.9052144E-40.00217139330.0022312631.0275726.0E-50.0078771520.0217596260.0218378851.00359658.0E-5
8.01.1405907E-52.9974355E-55.9973456E-52.00082563.0E-54.8881542E-51.284552E-41.5845135E-41.23351443.0E-55.9497025E-40.00156282110.00160275871.02555484.0E-50.0059337980.0157730110.015812381.0024964.0E-5
8.14.3511436E-67.368541E-67.368541E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.157908E-53.157908E-51.00.02.2701119E-43.8440758E-43.8440758E-41.00.00.00226779420.00411620040.00411620041.00.0
8.22.3042528E-62.7323963E-62.7323963E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1710217E-51.1710217E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.4256261E-41.4256261E-41.00.00.00120160510.00159775570.00159775571.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1584074E-73.1584074E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.3536024E-61.3536024E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6479999E-51.6479999E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.9555954E-41.9555954E-41.00.0

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500011E-52.2500011E-51.00.08.603206E-59.6425094E-51.16423165E-41.20739482.0E-50.0010469370.00117335070.00121330381.03405054.0E-50.0104201830.0116724690.0117614191.00762059.0E-5
6.12.0074807E-52.2500011E-52.2500011E-51.00.08.603206E-59.6425094E-51.16423165E-41.20739482.0E-50.0010469370.00117335070.00121330381.03405054.0E-50.0104201830.0116724690.0117614191.00762059.0E-5
6.22.0074807E-52.2500011E-52.2500011E-51.00.08.603206E-59.6425094E-51.16423165E-41.20739482.0E-50.0010469370.00117335070.00121330381.03405054.0E-50.0104201830.0116724690.0117614191.00762059.0E-5
6.31.9050609E-52.1336878E-52.1336878E-51.00.08.164292E-59.14406E-51.1143877E-41.21870122.0E-59.935491E-40.00111272740.00115268291.03590774.0E-50.0098911880.0110723830.0111613871.00803839.0E-5
6.41.9050609E-52.1336878E-52.1336878E-51.00.08.164292E-59.14406E-51.1143877E-41.21870122.0E-59.935491E-40.00111272740.00115268291.03590774.0E-50.0098911880.0110723830.0111613871.00803839.0E-5
6.51.8367004E-52.0560943E-52.0560943E-51.00.07.8713354E-58.811538E-51.0811362E-41.22695522.0E-59.5791375E-40.00107228340.00111224051.03726354.0E-50.0095379510.0106718820.0107609211.00834339.0E-5
6.61.779439E-51.9910865E-51.9910865E-51.00.07.625944E-58.532952E-51.0532782E-41.23436552.0E-59.280632E-40.00103839820.00107835661.03848094.0E-50.0092419690.010336220.0104252891.00861739.0E-5
6.71.7025437E-51.9043366E-51.9043366E-51.00.07.296412E-58.16119E-51.0161027E-41.24504232.0E-58.87976E-49.931781E-40.00102314831.0301763.0E-50.0088443620.0098881140.0099673231.00801058.0E-5
6.81.6545107E-51.8512486E-51.8512486E-51.00.07.090568E-57.933685E-59.9335266E-51.25206972.0E-58.629347E-49.655042E-49.954752E-41.03104193.0E-50.0085959150.0096137980.0096831261.00721127.0E-5
6.91.615478E-51.8087536E-51.8087536E-51.00.06.9232934E-57.7515746E-59.7514196E-51.25799212.0E-58.4258494E-49.4335165E-49.733233E-41.03177153.0E-50.0083939730.0093941660.0094635081.00738147.0E-5
7.01.5894311E-51.7805492E-51.7805492E-51.00.06.81167E-57.630706E-59.630553E-51.2620792.0E-58.2900526E-49.286485E-49.586206E-41.0322753.0E-50.0082591950.00924836750.009317721.00749897.0E-5
7.11.5602263E-51.7483448E-51.7483448E-51.00.06.6865134E-57.492694E-59.492544E-51.26690672.0E-58.137789E-49.118598E-49.4183243E-41.03286983.0E-50.0081080520.0090818650.0091512291.00763767.0E-5
7.21.5323829E-51.7170574E-51.7170574E-51.00.06.56719E-57.358614E-59.358466E-51.27177042.0E-57.99262E-48.95549E-49.255222E-41.0334693.0E-50.0079639340.0089200780.0089894531.00777757.0E-5
7.31.4556212E-51.6302403E-51.6302403E-51.00.06.238227E-56.98656E-58.98642E-51.28624392.0E-57.592395E-48.502876E-48.802621E-41.03525223.0E-50.00756650740.0084709870.0085403951.00819357.0E-5
7.41.411725E-51.580791E-51.580791E-51.00.06.0501097E-56.7746456E-58.77451E-51.29519842.0E-57.363519E-48.245068E-48.5448206E-41.03635543.0E-50.00733916740.0082151120.0082845371.00845097.0E-5
7.51.3503312E-51.512624E-51.512624E-51.00.05.7870053E-56.4825166E-58.482387E-51.30850222.0E-57.043401E-47.889664E-48.1894273E-41.03799443.0E-50.0070211190.0078622790.0079317291.00883337.0E-5
7.61.1279839E-51.2626287E-51.2626287E-51.00.04.834127E-55.4111566E-57.411048E-51.36958672.0E-55.88396E-46.5861444E-46.885947E-41.04552023.0E-50.0058684050.0065671780.00662678341.00907646.0E-5
7.79.189108E-61.02833255E-51.02833255E-51.00.03.93813E-54.407068E-56.40698E-51.45379652.0E-54.7936183E-45.364335E-45.6641735E-41.0558953.0E-50.0047832910.0053518970.00540162951.00929255.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.648256E-73.648256E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635374E-61.5635374E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035906E-51.9035906E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.903432E-41.903432E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696687E-92.6696687E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441437E-81.1441437E-81.00.01.335311E-71.392995E-71.392995E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929949E-61.3929949E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.2724344E-43.7722706E-41.15274145.0E-55.110118E-40.00140172280.00146163871.04274456.0E-50.00620383540.0169337690.0170222451.00522489.0E-50.0603347530.152646140.15272241.00049969.0E-5
6.11.1925945E-43.2724344E-43.7722706E-41.15274145.0E-55.110118E-40.00140172280.00146163871.04274456.0E-50.00620383540.0169337690.0170222451.00522489.0E-50.0603347530.152646140.15272241.00049969.0E-5
6.21.07432395E-43.0225134E-43.4223925E-41.13230014.0E-54.603433E-40.00129472380.00134465911.03856835.0E-50.0055902860.0156504270.0157291761.00503178.0E-50.054517310.141805070.141873731.00048418.0E-5
6.31.0718766E-43.017044E-43.4169233E-41.13254014.0E-54.592948E-40.00129238210.00134231741.03863825.0E-50.0055775860.0156223270.0157010761.00504098.0E-50.0543965550.14157330.141641971.00048518.0E-5
6.41.0355944E-42.9378527E-43.3377353E-41.13611394.0E-54.4375064E-40.00125847620.00130841321.03968065.0E-50.00538928850.0152153580.015294141.00517798.0E-50.0526044960.138135140.138204081.00049918.0E-5
6.51.0227914E-42.9097957E-43.3096792E-41.13742674.0E-54.382655E-40.00124646330.00129640091.04006355.0E-50.00532283540.0150711340.0151499291.00522828.0E-50.0519713160.13691980.136988851.00050438.0E-5
6.61.0116757E-42.8863706E-43.2862552E-41.13854234.0E-54.3350324E-40.00123643350.00128637171.0403895.0E-50.00526513670.0149507040.0150295081.0052718.0E-50.0514212470.135896920.135966061.00050878.0E-5
6.71.0050676E-42.872227E-43.2721122E-41.13922484.0E-54.3067214E-40.00123037770.00128031621.04058795.0E-50.0052308340.0148779820.0149567931.00529718.0E-50.0510940850.135281850.135351021.00051148.0E-5
6.89.976819E-52.8525927E-43.2524785E-41.14018334.0E-54.2750788E-40.00122197090.00127190971.04086745.0E-50.00519249360.0147770230.0148558411.00533388.0E-50.0507282950.134433430.134502681.00051518.0E-5
6.99.77719E-52.8022839E-43.202172E-41.14270074.0E-54.1895514E-40.001200430.00125036991.04160185.0E-50.00508885550.0145182870.0145971261.00543038.0E-50.0497388880.13226170.132331121.00052498.0E-5
7.08.500761E-52.4757453E-42.8756465E-41.16152754.0E-53.6426744E-40.00106060550.00111055251.04709295.0E-50.00442594060.0128371930.0129161651.00615198.0E-50.043388230.118112380.1181829351.00059748.0E-5
7.18.319876E-52.4360199E-42.8359224E-41.16416234.0E-53.5651738E-40.0010435940.00109354191.04786135.0E-50.0043319630.01263249850.0127114881.00625298.0E-50.0424848460.116332720.1164034161.00060778.0E-5
7.27.563917E-52.2408647E-42.640775E-41.17846254.0E-53.2412758E-49.600202E-49.999818E-41.04162574.0E-50.00393911450.0116262950.0116954811.00595087.0E-50.038700180.107738130.107800591.00057977.0E-5
7.37.082985E-52.072494E-42.472411E-41.19296424.0E-53.0352117E-48.8791223E-49.2787674E-41.04500954.0E-50.00368910960.0107573730.0108266191.00643727.0E-50.036284650.100260880.100323861.00062827.0E-5
7.45.146215E-51.4271964E-41.8271393E-41.28022984.0E-52.2053342E-46.115131E-46.5148866E-41.06537154.0E-50.00268168840.0074199450.00748942561.0093647.0E-50.026495570.0708395240.070904571.00091817.0E-5
7.54.0285166E-51.0941875E-41.4941437E-41.36552814.0E-51.7263928E-44.6885354E-45.088348E-41.08527454.0E-50.0020998570.0056934210.0057530791.01047856.0E-50.0208012540.055011380.055068081.00103076.0E-5
7.63.1168736E-58.439118E-51.1438865E-41.35545743.0E-51.3357346E-43.6162647E-43.916156E-41.08292853.0E-50.00162504370.0043939410.0044437211.01132935.0E-50.0161321160.042810560.0428584181.0011185.0E-5
7.72.2100989E-56.238918E-59.2387316E-51.48082263.0E-59.4715084E-52.6735486E-42.9734685E-41.11218053.0E-50.0011525460.00325019330.0033000311.01533375.0E-50.0114658670.0319008570.0319492631.00151745.0E-5
7.81.7484861E-55.1796946E-58.179539E-51.57915473.0E-57.493296E-52.2196803E-42.5196138E-41.13512463.0E-59.1192697E-40.00269911460.00274897971.01847465.0E-50.0090819380.0266407520.0266894211.00182695.0E-5
7.91.3967285E-53.822304E-56.8221896E-51.78483693.0E-55.985842E-51.6380275E-41.9379784E-41.18311723.0E-57.2853256E-40.00199247550.0020423761.02504445.0E-50.00726148770.0199100110.0199590161.00246135.0E-5
8.01.1887396E-53.1065316E-56.1064384E-51.96567733.0E-55.094499E-51.3313028E-41.6312629E-41.22531323.0E-56.200787E-40.00161965690.00166957591.03082075.0E-50.0061835130.0162796920.0163288791.00302145.0E-5
8.15.100864E-68.972689E-61.89726E-52.1144831.0E-52.1860664E-53.8453814E-54.8453432E-51.26004221.0E-52.6612106E-44.6807475E-44.7807008E-41.02135411.0E-50.0026580260.00491772130.0049276721.00202351.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.78591E-62.78591E-61.00.09.859027E-61.193956E-51.193956E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.4535447E-41.4535447E-41.00.00.00119962230.00159717030.00159717031.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.813156E-85.813156E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.491352E-72.491352E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0332174E-63.0332174E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.1893844E-53.1893844E-51.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.5512565E-61.855117E-52.16940881.0E-53.539214E-53.664783E-58.6645996E-52.36428745.0E-54.308141E-44.4611385E-44.9609155E-41.1120295.0E-50.00429979850.0044539410.0045335841.01788168.0E-5
6.13.649988E-63.7753127E-61.3775275E-53.64877721.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179838E-54.6179353E-52.85412963.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697649E-42.2697057E-41.15227253.0E-50.00190270260.00196848620.00200840741.02028024.0E-5
6.23.649988E-63.7753127E-61.3775275E-53.64877721.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179838E-54.6179353E-52.85412963.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697649E-42.2697057E-41.15227253.0E-50.00190270260.00196848620.00200840741.02028024.0E-5
6.31.3924937E-61.4411153E-61.4411153E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.1762016E-61.617614E-52.61910821.0E-57.265574E-57.5194075E-58.519332E-51.13297921.0E-57.263199E-47.518251E-47.6181756E-41.0132911.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411153E-61.4411153E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.1762016E-61.617614E-52.61910821.0E-57.265574E-57.5194075E-58.519332E-51.13297921.0E-57.263199E-47.518251E-47.6181756E-41.0132911.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.0221903E-61.0221903E-61.00.04.2329125E-64.3808154E-61.4380772E-53.282671.0E-55.153449E-55.333643E-56.3335894E-51.18747911.0E-55.1522546E-45.3336425E-45.4335897E-41.01873891.0E-5

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348332E-62.5834717E-54.427672.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006211E-54.5005712E-51.79978132.0E-52.9714106E-43.044121E-43.5439688E-41.1642015.0E-50.00296744050.00304034680.00312010341.02623288.0E-5
6.15.695525E-65.8348332E-62.5834717E-54.427672.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006211E-54.5005712E-51.79978132.0E-52.9714106E-43.044121E-43.5439688E-41.1642015.0E-50.00296744050.00304034680.00312010341.02623288.0E-5
6.25.695525E-65.8348332E-62.5834717E-54.427672.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006211E-54.5005712E-51.79978132.0E-52.9714106E-43.044121E-43.5439688E-41.1642015.0E-50.00296744050.00304034680.00312010341.02623288.0E-5
6.33.2995713E-63.3836648E-63.3836648E-61.00.01.4140943E-51.4501343E-51.4501343E-51.00.01.7215237E-41.7654001E-41.9653648E-41.11326872.0E-50.00172019070.00176404490.00178400951.01131762.0E-5
6.43.2995713E-63.3836648E-63.3836648E-61.00.01.4140943E-51.4501343E-51.4501343E-51.00.01.7215237E-41.7654001E-41.9653648E-41.11326872.0E-50.00172019070.00176404490.00178400951.01131762.0E-5
6.52.782202E-62.8558384E-62.8558384E-61.00.01.1923668E-51.2239252E-51.2239252E-51.00.01.4516099E-41.4900303E-41.5900155E-41.06710271.0E-50.0014506620.0014890640.00149904911.00670561.0E-5
6.62.3163404E-62.3809182E-62.3809182E-61.00.09.927136E-61.0203897E-51.0203897E-51.00.01.20856166E-41.2422555E-41.3422432E-41.08048871.0E-50.00120790470.00124158140.0012515691.00804421.0E-5
6.72.037056E-62.0964987E-62.0964987E-61.00.08.7302105E-68.984965E-68.984965E-61.00.01.0628513E-41.09386616E-41.1938553E-41.09140881.0E-50.00106234310.00109334380.0011033331.00913621.0E-5
6.81.8356744E-61.8915271E-61.8915271E-61.00.07.867153E-68.10652E-68.10652E-61.00.09.577837E-59.869256E-51.0869157E-41.10131481.0E-59.57371E-49.865012E-49.964914E-41.01012681.0E-5
6.91.6310546E-61.6832057E-61.6832057E-61.00.06.9902153E-67.2137195E-67.2137195E-61.00.08.510255E-58.782361E-59.782273E-51.11385461.0E-58.5069967E-48.779003E-48.878915E-41.01138081.0E-5
7.01.2058036E-61.2508652E-61.2508652E-61.00.05.1677193E-65.3608405E-65.3608405E-61.00.06.291517E-56.52663E-57.526565E-51.15320841.0E-56.289736E-46.5247365E-46.624671E-41.01531621.0E-5
7.11.052382E-61.0951596E-61.0951596E-61.00.04.5102006E-64.693533E-64.693533E-61.00.05.491031E-55.7142275E-56.71417E-51.17499171.0E-55.4896745E-45.712767E-45.8127096E-41.01749471.0E-5
7.21.0067454E-61.0487698E-61.0487698E-61.00.04.3146156E-64.4947205E-64.4947205E-61.00.05.252918E-55.4721855E-56.472131E-51.18273231.0E-55.251676E-45.4708467E-45.570792E-41.01826871.0E-5
7.39.3596316E-79.767712E-79.767712E-71.00.04.0112645E-64.1861554E-64.1861554E-61.00.04.8836053E-55.096526E-55.096526E-51.00.04.8825322E-45.095365E-45.095365E-41.00.0
7.48.8117395E-79.207652E-79.207652E-71.00.03.7764542E-63.9461306E-63.9461306E-61.00.04.5977362E-54.804309E-54.804309E-51.00.04.596785E-44.803278E-44.803278E-41.00.0
7.58.292386E-78.674585E-78.674585E-71.00.03.5538749E-63.717674E-63.717674E-61.00.04.326757E-54.526175E-54.526175E-51.00.04.3259145E-44.5252603E-44.5252603E-41.00.0
7.67.553842E-77.9144604E-77.9144604E-71.00.03.2373566E-63.3919073E-63.3919073E-61.00.03.9414106E-54.1295694E-54.1295694E-51.00.03.9407116E-44.128809E-44.128809E-41.00.0
7.76.5285366E-76.8527874E-76.8527874E-71.00.02.797941E-62.9369057E-62.9369057E-61.00.03.40644E-53.5756246E-53.5756246E-51.00.03.405918E-43.575056E-43.575056E-41.00.0
7.83.4586725E-73.648256E-73.648256E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635374E-61.5635374E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035906E-51.9035906E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.903432E-41.903432E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696687E-92.6696687E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441437E-81.1441437E-81.00.01.335311E-71.392995E-71.392995E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929949E-61.3929949E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778346E-47.778346E-41.00.00.00237938480.00332986590.00333983261.00299311.0E-50.0285869630.0400469640.040085361.00095884.0E-50.251762840.33703420.337087241.00015748.0E-5
6.11.925858E-43.0276488E-43.0276488E-41.00.08.2510663E-40.00129701220.00130699921.00770011.0E-50.00999948850.015773050.0158025771.0018723.0E-50.0956132560.149686960.149720981.00022724.0E-5
6.29.4306815E-51.824223E-41.824223E-41.00.04.0410945E-47.8157685E-47.9156907E-41.01278461.0E-50.00490893840.0094744050.0095041211.00313643.0E-50.0480190630.091857560.091893881.00039544.0E-5
6.39.283051E-51.7938759E-41.7938759E-41.00.03.9778434E-47.685786E-47.7857095E-41.01300111.0E-50.00483227470.0093175040.0093472251.00318983.0E-50.0472853850.090510520.09054691.0004024.0E-5
6.49.138826E-51.7700944E-41.7700944E-41.00.03.916052E-47.583925E-47.683849E-41.01317571.0E-50.00475737450.0091945410.0092242661.00323283.0E-50.0465680920.0894141640.089450581.00040734.0E-5
6.59.000255E-51.7459E-41.7459E-41.00.03.8566816E-47.4802944E-47.5802195E-41.01335851.0E-50.00468540470.00906943250.009099161.00327783.0E-50.0458784030.088297370.088333831.00041314.0E-5
6.68.8109264E-51.7140193E-41.7140193E-41.00.03.7755648E-47.3437404E-47.4436667E-41.0136071.0E-50.00458706540.0089045630.0089342961.0033393.0E-50.044935290.0868285750.08686511.00042074.0E-5
6.78.738073E-51.7007279E-41.7007279E-41.00.03.7443507E-47.286809E-47.386736E-41.01371351.0E-50.00454922160.0088358570.0088655921.00336533.0E-50.044572130.0862284450.0862651.00042394.0E-5
6.88.710195E-51.6952785E-41.6952785E-41.00.03.7324068E-47.2634674E-47.363395E-41.01375761.0E-50.00453474050.0088076770.0088374131.00337613.0E-50.044433130.08597590.086012471.00042524.0E-5
6.98.6801556E-51.6893743E-41.6893743E-41.00.03.7195362E-47.238178E-47.3381054E-41.01380561.0E-50.00451913570.0087771350.0088068721.00338793.0E-50.0442833270.085701910.085738481.00042684.0E-5
7.08.5571606E-51.6646592E-41.6646592E-41.00.03.6668387E-47.1323145E-47.232243E-41.01401071.0E-50.0044552410.0086492770.00867901651.00343853.0E-50.0436697270.0845496360.0845862551.00043314.0E-5
7.17.82589E-51.5127397E-41.5127397E-41.00.03.3535215E-46.481567E-46.581502E-41.01541841.0E-50.00407527060.0078629250.0078926891.00378543.0E-50.0400134180.077461620.0774985251.00047644.0E-5
7.27.690929E-51.4864646E-41.4864646E-41.00.03.2956956E-46.369015E-46.468951E-41.0156911.0E-50.0040051290.00772687230.007756641.00385263.0E-50.03933710.076234680.076271631.00048474.0E-5
7.37.5543794E-51.4561295E-41.4561295E-41.00.03.2371894E-46.23907E-46.3390075E-41.0160181.0E-50.0039341570.0075697740.0075995471.00393313.0E-50.0386523340.074795460.074832471.00049484.0E-5
7.47.4214564E-51.4262283E-41.4262283E-41.00.03.1802364E-46.110982E-46.210921E-41.0163541.0E-50.0038650650.0074148980.00744467551.00401593.0E-50.037985290.07336920.0734062641.00050524.0E-5
7.56.149578E-51.1190168E-41.1190168E-41.00.02.6352672E-44.7949058E-44.894858E-41.02084541.0E-50.00320371780.00582220360.00585202871.00512273.0E-50.031579230.0585560580.0585937131.00064314.0E-5
7.66.0643448E-51.1018825E-41.1018825E-41.00.02.598746E-44.7215E-44.8214526E-41.02116971.0E-50.00315938280.00573330560.00576313351.00520253.0E-50.0311484170.0577170440.0577547361.0006534.0E-5
7.75.1652263E-59.174102E-59.174102E-51.00.02.2134806E-43.9311658E-44.0311264E-41.02542771.0E-50.0026915820.00477570060.00479560531.00416792.0E-50.0265921410.0485326830.048561231.00058823.0E-5
7.84.8090482E-58.559073E-58.559073E-51.00.02.060858E-43.6676586E-43.7676218E-41.02725531.0E-50.00250620720.00445623980.00447615051.00446812.0E-50.0247813050.0452993960.045328041.00063233.0E-5
7.93.970278E-56.74995E-56.74995E-51.00.01.7014367E-42.892515E-42.992486E-41.0345621.0E-50.0020695310.00351595410.0035259191.00283421.0E-50.0205036360.035879030.0358886721.00026871.0E-5
8.02.8982335E-54.069344E-54.069344E-51.00.01.2420409E-41.7438881E-41.8438707E-41.05733311.0E-50.00151113570.00212111740.00213109631.00470451.0E-50.0150090120.0220087450.0220185241.00044441.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867712E-51.867712E-51.00.08.0724014E-58.004235E-58.004235E-51.00.09.823717E-49.740805E-49.740805E-41.00.00.0097804030.0104863520.0104863521.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.472644E-65.472644E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3453977E-52.3453977E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8551483E-42.8551483E-41.00.00.00450013950.0032476530.0032476531.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6547434E-77.6547434E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2806004E-63.2806004E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9940594E-53.9940594E-51.00.00.00103421244.7170694E-44.7170694E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5203943E-42.720344E-41.07933272.0E-55.27144E-40.00107972350.00111968041.03700654.0E-50.00639910860.01306690650.0131359921.0052877.0E-50.062179490.1243931650.1244632151.00056318.0E-5
6.11.2302514E-42.5203943E-42.720344E-41.07933272.0E-55.27144E-40.00107972350.00111968041.03700654.0E-50.00639910860.01306690650.0131359921.0052877.0E-50.062179490.1243931650.1244632151.00056318.0E-5
6.21.2203569E-42.502073E-42.7020226E-41.07991372.0E-55.2290526E-40.00107187790.0011118351.03727774.0E-50.0063478040.0129725260.0130416181.0053267.0E-50.0616951360.123580370.1236504841.00056738.0E-5
6.31.2142645E-42.4906697E-42.6906197E-41.08027972.0E-55.202953E-40.00106699490.00110695211.03744854.0E-50.0063162120.0129137820.0129828781.00535067.0E-50.061396770.123074380.123144541.000578.0E-5
6.41.1865206E-42.4412213E-42.6411726E-41.08190622.0E-55.0840975E-40.00104581980.0010857781.03820754.0E-50.0061723350.01265899650.0127281111.00545977.0E-50.0600368680.1208676550.120937981.00058198.0E-5
6.51.17443946E-42.4205542E-42.620506E-41.08260572.0E-55.032341E-40.00103696960.00107692811.03853394.0E-50.0061096770.0125524890.012621611.00550667.0E-50.0594440770.11993940.12000981.0005878.0E-5
6.61.13579066E-42.3514601E-42.5514132E-41.08503352.0E-54.866766E-40.00100738090.00104734061.03966694.0E-50.00590920170.0121963330.0122654791.00566957.0E-50.0575451850.11685230.116922951.00060468.0E-5
6.71.1271412E-42.335892E-42.5358453E-41.08560042.0E-54.829711E-40.0010007140.00104067391.03993144.0E-50.0058643310.0121160690.0121852221.00570757.0E-50.0571196970.1161558260.116226531.00060878.0E-5
6.81.1217975E-42.3247355E-42.5246892E-41.08601132.0E-54.8068175E-49.959363E-40.00103589651.04012324.0E-50.0058366080.0120585470.0121277021.0057357.0E-50.0568567250.115653590.115724331.00061178.0E-5
6.91.1146753E-42.3096106E-42.5095645E-41.08657472.0E-54.7763053E-49.894591E-40.00102941961.04038614.0E-50.00579965770.0119805570.0120497181.00577287.0E-50.0565061270.1149741260.115044931.00061588.0E-5
7.01.0965793E-42.2719476E-42.2719476E-41.00.04.698779E-49.7332994E-49.933105E-41.0205282.0E-50.0057057680.0117863250.0118357361.00419225.0E-50.0556147360.113274810.113328021.00046976.0E-5
7.19.927982E-52.0538457E-42.0538457E-41.00.04.2541555E-48.799237E-48.999061E-41.02270932.0E-50.00516714060.0106607410.0107102081.00464015.0E-50.050486340.103367890.103421681.00052056.0E-5
7.29.696786E-52.0042722E-42.0042722E-41.00.04.1551032E-48.586921E-48.786749E-41.02327122.0E-50.005047110.0104047420.0104542231.00475555.0E-50.049340090.10110370.1011576351.00053356.0E-5
7.39.4727984E-51.9472018E-41.9472018E-41.00.04.0591392E-48.342492E-48.5423246E-41.02395372.0E-50.00493080870.010109950.0101594451.00489565.0E-50.0482282680.098471860.098525951.00054936.0E-5
7.49.220358E-51.8842531E-41.8842531E-41.00.03.9509835E-48.0728804E-48.272719E-41.02475432.0E-50.0047997170.0097846850.0098341961.00506015.0E-50.0469736530.095556010.095610281.00056796.0E-5
7.57.71631E-51.517759E-41.517759E-41.00.03.306571E-46.503062E-46.702932E-41.03073482.0E-50.00401832070.0078888060.0079384121.0062885.0E-50.039464330.078285880.0783411861.00070646.0E-5
7.67.5634416E-51.483708E-41.483708E-41.00.03.241072E-46.3572003E-46.557073E-41.03144042.0E-50.00393886720.00771249130.00776210571.0064335.0E-50.0386977940.076648910.0767043161.00072286.0E-5
7.76.3783E-51.2358253E-41.2358253E-41.00.02.7332708E-45.29532E-45.395267E-41.01887461.0E-50.00332267980.00642802050.0064578281.00463713.0E-50.0327343640.064539640.0645770651.00057974.0E-5
7.85.863422E-51.1415685E-41.1415685E-41.00.02.512653E-44.891519E-44.9914705E-41.02043351.0E-50.0030548640.00593918380.00595906471.00334752.0E-50.0301320940.0596583560.0596865681.00047293.0E-5
7.94.595283E-58.4259045E-58.4259045E-51.00.01.9692584E-43.6106026E-43.7105664E-41.02768621.0E-50.00239493580.00438705460.0043970111.00226941.0E-50.0236928910.044359630.0443691871.00021541.0E-5
8.03.2950178E-55.0768474E-55.0768474E-51.00.01.412074E-42.1756104E-42.2755886E-41.04595411.0E-50.00171784440.00264558990.00265556341.00376991.0E-50.0170462560.0271784570.0271881861.0003581.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9181087E-51.9181087E-51.00.08.218658E-58.220207E-58.220207E-51.00.00.00100016220.00100035130.00100035131.00.00.0099567280.0107564860.0107564861.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.472644E-65.472644E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3453977E-52.3453977E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8551483E-42.8551483E-41.00.00.00450013950.0032476530.0032476531.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6547434E-77.6547434E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2806004E-63.2806004E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9940594E-53.9940594E-51.00.00.00103421244.7170694E-44.7170694E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.5978872E-54.597851E-51.27793091.0E-51.461069E-41.5418605E-41.7418298E-41.12969342.0E-50.00177740.00187560050.00191552551.02128654.0E-50.017632510.0193462330.019414881.00354837.0E-5
6.13.409352E-53.5978872E-54.597851E-51.27793091.0E-51.461069E-41.5418605E-41.7418298E-41.12969342.0E-50.00177740.00187560050.00191552551.02128654.0E-50.017632510.0193462330.019414881.00354837.0E-5
6.23.409352E-53.5978872E-54.597851E-51.27793091.0E-51.461069E-41.5418605E-41.7418298E-41.12969342.0E-50.00177740.00187560050.00191552551.02128654.0E-50.017632510.0193462330.019414881.00354837.0E-5
6.33.409352E-53.5978872E-54.597851E-51.27793091.0E-51.461069E-41.5418605E-41.7418298E-41.12969342.0E-50.00177740.00187560050.00191552551.02128654.0E-50.017632510.0193462330.019414881.00354837.0E-5
6.43.400795E-53.5871537E-54.5871177E-51.27876261.0E-51.4574021E-41.5372611E-41.7372303E-41.13008152.0E-50.00177294280.00187001040.00190993561.02135034.0E-50.0175886450.0192913150.0193599651.00355857.0E-5
6.53.341482E-53.5132172E-54.513182E-51.28462931.0E-51.4319851E-41.5055777E-41.7055476E-41.13281942.0E-50.00174204770.0018315010.00187142781.02184.0E-50.0172845460.0189128570.0189815331.00363127.0E-5
6.63.3364955E-53.5069388E-54.506904E-51.2851391.0E-51.4298483E-41.5028873E-41.7028573E-41.13305712.0E-50.00173945010.00182823120.0018681581.0218394.0E-50.0172589760.0188807210.01894941.00363747.0E-5
6.73.335922E-53.5059165E-54.5058812E-51.28522221.0E-51.4296026E-41.5024492E-41.7024191E-41.1330962.0E-50.00173915140.00182769840.00186762541.02184554.0E-50.0172560350.0188755110.018944191.00363857.0E-5
6.83.327683E-53.495323E-54.495288E-51.28608661.0E-51.4260718E-41.4979097E-41.6978796E-41.13349942.0E-50.00173485970.00182218090.0018621081.02191174.0E-50.0172137840.0188212840.0188899651.00364927.0E-5
6.93.3235785E-53.4894183E-54.4893837E-51.28657071.0E-51.4243131E-41.4953794E-41.6953495E-41.13372532.0E-50.00173272170.00181910550.00185903281.02194884.0E-50.0171927340.0187911520.0188598371.00365527.0E-5
7.03.3197095E-53.4834113E-54.4833767E-51.28706491.0E-51.422655E-41.4928053E-41.6927754E-41.1339562.0E-50.00173070630.00181597670.00185590411.02198674.0E-50.0171728940.0187605320.0188292191.00366137.0E-5
7.13.3129716E-53.4714325E-54.471398E-51.28805551.0E-51.4197677E-41.487672E-41.6876422E-41.13441822.0E-50.00172719660.00180973740.0018496651.02206274.0E-50.0171383380.018699610.0187683011.00367347.0E-5
7.23.3034008E-53.458177E-54.4581426E-51.28915971.0E-51.4156665E-41.4819918E-41.6819622E-41.13493352.0E-50.00172221110.00180283330.00184276121.02214734.0E-50.0170892530.0186319950.0187006911.0036877.0E-5
7.33.2956614E-53.444953E-54.4449185E-51.29026971.0E-51.4123498E-41.476325E-41.6762954E-41.13545162.0E-50.00171817960.00179594520.00183587341.02223244.0E-50.0170495570.0185647420.0186334441.00370067.0E-5
7.43.2915937E-53.4371253E-54.4370907E-51.29093091.0E-51.4106068E-41.4729705E-41.6729411E-41.13576012.0E-50.00171606080.00179186790.00183179631.02228314.0E-50.0170286930.018525030.0185937341.00370877.0E-5
7.53.281791E-53.4236204E-54.423586E-51.29207851.0E-51.406406E-41.4671835E-41.6671541E-41.13629562.0E-50.00171095420.00178483370.00182476231.0223714.0E-50.0169784110.0184559380.0185246451.00372287.0E-5
7.63.2521442E-53.3961413E-54.396107E-51.29444181.0E-51.3937015E-41.4554079E-41.6553789E-41.13739852.0E-50.00169551090.00177052050.00181044961.02255234.0E-50.0168263280.0183137150.0183824341.00375227.0E-5
7.73.0287873E-53.2448777E-54.2448453E-51.3081681.0E-51.297987E-41.3905877E-41.59056E-41.14380412.0E-50.00157915370.0016917270.00173165931.02360454.0E-50.015679790.0175264350.0175952071.0039247.0E-5
7.82.6316151E-52.9659845E-53.965955E-51.33714621.0E-51.1277862E-41.2710743E-41.4710489E-41.15732722.0E-50.00137221490.00154643540.00158637351.0258264.0E-50.0136377240.0160680020.0161368771.00428657.0E-5
7.92.0761147E-52.3414696E-53.341446E-51.42707221.0E-58.897331E-51.00344834E-41.2034283E-41.19929272.0E-50.00108271170.00122101450.00125097791.02453973.0E-50.0107745170.0127916050.0128409661.00385885.0E-5
8.01.5738568E-51.6030555E-52.6030395E-51.62379871.0E-56.744926E-56.8700574E-58.86992E-51.29109842.0E-58.2088535E-48.3610916E-48.5609243E-41.02390032.0E-50.0081785960.008864440.0088842621.00223622.0E-5
8.11.0105832E-58.328345E-68.328345E-61.00.04.3309992E-53.569242E-53.569242E-51.00.05.2717153E-44.3446908E-44.3446908E-41.00.00.0052592270.00467614460.00467614461.00.0
8.24.189207E-61.5773577E-61.5773577E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7600868E-66.7600868E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.2300976E-58.2300976E-51.00.00.00218348589.560642E-49.560642E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.6117652E-73.6117652E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5478985E-61.5478985E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8845505E-51.8845505E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.273426E-42.273426E-41.00.0

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133278E-63.301324E-510.955743.0E-51.4108206E-51.2914216E-55.29137E-54.0973224.0E-51.7175387E-41.5722241E-41.9721613E-41.25437664.0E-50.00171621180.00157142340.00164131341.04447567.0E-5
6.11.8663811E-61.5490366E-61.5490366E-61.00.07.998751E-66.6387142E-61.6638647E-52.50630571.0E-59.738045E-58.082385E-59.0823036E-51.12371591.0E-59.7337784E-48.0799335E-48.2797714E-41.02473272.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490366E-61.5490366E-61.00.07.998751E-66.6387142E-61.6638647E-52.50630571.0E-59.738045E-58.082385E-59.0823036E-51.12371591.0E-59.7337784E-48.0799335E-48.2797714E-41.02473272.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490366E-61.5490366E-61.00.07.998751E-66.6387142E-61.6638647E-52.50630571.0E-59.738045E-58.082385E-59.0823036E-51.12371591.0E-59.7337784E-48.0799335E-48.2797714E-41.02473272.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490366E-61.5490366E-61.00.07.998751E-66.6387142E-61.6638647E-52.50630571.0E-59.738045E-58.082385E-59.0823036E-51.12371591.0E-59.7337784E-48.0799335E-48.2797714E-41.02473272.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4909707E-61.4909707E-61.00.07.759824E-66.3898615E-61.6389798E-52.5649691.0E-59.447177E-57.7794284E-58.779351E-51.12853421.0E-59.4431615E-47.777192E-47.9770363E-41.02569632.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.9974316E-78.9974316E-71.00.05.320566E-63.856037E-63.856037E-61.00.06.477596E-54.6946323E-54.6946323E-51.00.06.475708E-44.6937272E-44.7936803E-41.02129511.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.5941864E-77.5941864E-71.00.04.7409408E-63.2546475E-63.2546475E-61.00.05.7719422E-53.9624683E-53.9624683E-51.00.05.770443E-43.9618317E-44.0617923E-41.02523091.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.500273E-76.500273E-71.00.04.288594E-62.7858287E-62.7858287E-61.00.05.221238E-53.3916996E-53.3916996E-51.00.05.220012E-43.391243E-43.491209E-41.02947771.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.631502E-75.631502E-71.00.03.9288643E-62.4134988E-62.4134988E-61.00.04.7832873E-52.938401E-52.938401E-51.00.04.782258E-42.9380692E-43.0380397E-41.03402591.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.1132614E-74.1132614E-71.00.03.2994672E-61.7628253E-61.7628253E-61.00.04.0170275E-52.1462227E-52.1462227E-51.00.04.0163012E-42.1460539E-42.1460539E-41.00.0
7.17.1038727E-73.5210272E-73.5210272E-71.00.03.0445133E-61.509011E-61.509011E-61.00.03.706632E-51.837209E-51.837209E-51.00.03.7060137E-41.837092E-41.837092E-41.00.0
7.22.0799602E-73.117835E-83.117835E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362148E-71.3362148E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6268405E-61.6268405E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.6268294E-51.6268294E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5938921E-81.5938921E-81.00.06.449219E-76.830967E-86.830967E-81.00.07.851896E-68.3166987E-78.3166987E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316671E-68.316671E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122755680.00122755681.00.00.00256311240.0052454430.0052553911.00189641.0E-50.0307628460.0612036960.061231861.00046013.0E-50.268354770.425930170.425953121.00005394.0E-5
6.15.015945E-40.00102176310.00102176311.00.00.002147920.0043677680.0043777241.00227951.0E-50.0258393510.0512476150.0512760771.00055543.0E-50.230327760.372851970.372877061.00006724.0E-5
6.24.073338E-48.107063E-48.107063E-41.00.00.00174454840.0034670650.00347703041.00287431.0E-50.0210340580.040932430.0409612061.00070293.0E-50.191507820.31302830.313055781.00008774.0E-5
6.33.464099E-46.7388907E-46.7388907E-41.00.00.00148376920.00288288740.00289285861.00345871.0E-50.0179158730.0341888330.034217811.00084753.0E-50.165383590.271311070.271340221.00010744.0E-5
6.42.935057E-45.543981E-45.543981E-41.00.00.00125727510.00237246440.00238244071.0042051.0E-50.0152002480.0282637510.0282929041.00103143.0E-50.142015770.232979460.233010141.00013174.0E-5
6.52.3409708E-44.2091837E-44.2091837E-41.00.00.00100288750.00180190820.00181189021.00553971.0E-50.0121419650.0215866980.021616051.00135973.0E-50.114995730.186817630.186850161.00017424.0E-5
6.61.5842178E-42.5067857E-42.5067857E-41.00.06.7877385E-40.00107388660.00108387591.0093021.0E-50.00823280.012994810.013024421.00227863.0E-50.079343960.123140340.123175421.00028484.0E-5
6.71.5616413E-42.460442E-42.460442E-41.00.06.691031E-40.00105404390.00106403341.00947731.0E-50.00811594350.012756680.0127862971.00232173.0E-50.07825860.121167490.121202641.00029024.0E-5
6.81.5538467E-42.4428288E-42.4428288E-41.00.06.6576427E-40.00104650180.00105649141.00954571.0E-50.0080755960.0126660850.0126957051.00233853.0E-50.077883580.120398340.120433531.00029224.0E-5
6.91.5153569E-42.3537583E-42.3537583E-41.00.06.49277E-40.00100836550.00101835551.0099071.0E-50.0078763330.0122082630.0122378971.00242733.0E-50.076029520.1164684150.116503751.00030344.0E-5
7.01.4588932E-42.2394823E-42.2394823E-41.00.06.250901E-49.594271E-49.694175E-41.01041291.0E-50.00758394740.0116189590.011648611.0025523.0E-50.0733028950.1113145350.111350081.00031944.0E-5
7.11.1565079E-41.628044E-41.628044E-41.00.04.955521E-46.9754745E-47.075404E-41.0143261.0E-50.0060166690.0084597720.00848951751.00351623.0E-50.0585635380.083666770.083703421.00043814.0E-5
7.21.0393792E-41.4614522E-41.4614522E-41.00.04.4537216E-46.261871E-46.361808E-41.01595961.0E-50.0054089330.0075973470.0076271191.00391883.0E-50.0527915950.075616910.075653891.0004894.0E-5
7.39.332884E-51.2779726E-41.2779726E-41.00.03.999194E-45.475882E-45.575827E-41.01825191.0E-50.00485815340.0066466410.00667644151.00448363.0E-50.0475331020.066481090.066518431.00056174.0E-5
7.48.670252E-51.1702097E-41.1702097E-41.00.03.715293E-45.014227E-45.1141763E-41.01993321.0E-50.0045139910.00608785360.0061176711.00489783.0E-50.0442339370.061149610.0611871631.00061424.0E-5
7.57.3036405E-59.0049005E-59.0049005E-51.00.03.129756E-43.8586732E-43.9586346E-41.02590561.0E-50.00380382170.0046878360.00471769551.00636963.0E-50.037393670.0478742230.0479123071.00079554.0E-5
7.66.3935775E-58.279483E-58.279483E-51.00.02.7398168E-43.5478684E-43.6478328E-41.0281761.0E-50.00333062540.0043109930.0043408641.00692893.0E-50.0328114740.0439890620.0440273021.00086934.0E-5
7.75.5050095E-56.6610344E-56.6610344E-51.00.02.3590765E-42.854417E-42.9543883E-41.03502351.0E-50.00286839270.00346971890.00348964961.00574412.0E-50.02831650.0357928350.0358217621.00080813.0E-5
7.85.027131E-56.162133E-56.162133E-51.00.02.1543067E-42.640647E-42.7406204E-41.03785961.0E-50.00261971350.00321025120.0032301871.00621012.0E-50.0258904530.0331237130.0331527181.00087573.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.0219067E-55.0219067E-51.00.01.5972654E-42.1520683E-42.2520468E-41.04645691.0E-50.00194293590.00261699690.00262697061.00381111.0E-50.0192603620.027064970.02707471.00035951.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.142378E-53.142378E-51.00.01.17038646E-41.3466639E-41.4466504E-41.07424761.0E-50.00142401410.00163833110.00164831461.00609371.0E-50.0141492350.0172118840.0172217121.0005711.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7396878E-51.7396878E-51.00.07.688579E-57.455592E-57.455592E-51.00.09.3568244E-49.073409E-49.073409E-41.00.00.0093175250.0097973630.0097973631.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.472644E-65.472644E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3453977E-52.3453977E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8551483E-42.8551483E-41.00.00.00450013950.0032476530.0032476531.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6547434E-77.6547434E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2806004E-63.2806004E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9940594E-53.9940594E-51.00.00.00103421244.7170694E-44.7170694E-41.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3499637E-55.349893E-52.27658563.0E-55.7689394E-51.0070886E-41.3070584E-41.29785843.0E-57.02142E-40.0012254440.00127538271.04075165.0E-50.00699927660.0122276870.0122968311.00565477.0E-5
6.11.3461156E-52.3499637E-55.349893E-52.27658563.0E-55.7689394E-51.0070886E-41.3070584E-41.29785843.0E-57.02142E-40.0012254440.00127538271.04075165.0E-50.00699927660.0122276870.0122968311.00565477.0E-5
6.21.3461156E-52.3499637E-55.349893E-52.27658563.0E-55.7689394E-51.0070886E-41.3070584E-41.29785843.0E-57.02142E-40.0012254440.00127538271.04075165.0E-50.00699927660.0122276870.0122968311.00565477.0E-5
6.31.3461156E-52.3499637E-55.349893E-52.27658563.0E-55.7689394E-51.0070886E-41.3070584E-41.29785843.0E-57.02142E-40.0012254440.00127538271.04075165.0E-50.00699927660.0122276870.0122968311.00565477.0E-5
6.41.3461156E-52.3499637E-55.349893E-52.27658563.0E-55.7689394E-51.0070886E-41.3070584E-41.29785843.0E-57.02142E-40.0012254440.00127538271.04075165.0E-50.00699927660.0122276870.0122968311.00565477.0E-5
6.51.3450706E-52.3488596E-55.3487893E-52.27718543.0E-55.764461E-51.0066155E-41.3065853E-41.29799843.0E-57.0159714E-40.00122486860.00127480741.04077065.0E-50.0069938620.0122219970.0122911421.00565747.0E-5
6.61.3074523E-52.310288E-55.3102187E-52.29850943.0E-55.6032466E-59.9008605E-51.2900564E-41.3029743.0E-56.8198174E-40.00120476640.00125470621.04145185.0E-50.0067989260.0120231620.0120923211.00575217.0E-5
6.71.3050216E-52.3078179E-55.3077485E-52.29989933.0E-55.59283E-59.890275E-51.2889977E-41.30329823.0E-56.8071426E-40.0012034790.00125341891.04149635.0E-50.00678632870.0120104270.0120795871.00575837.0E-5
6.81.29049395E-52.2926586E-55.2925898E-52.30849463.0E-55.530571E-59.825311E-51.2825016E-41.30530383.0E-56.73139E-40.00119557850.00124551871.04177085.0E-50.00671103640.01193227150.0120014361.00579647.0E-5
6.91.2867369E-52.288599E-55.28853E-52.31081563.0E-55.51447E-59.807914E-51.280762E-41.30584543.0E-56.711799E-40.00119346260.0012434031.04184485.0E-50.0066915640.0119113410.01198050751.00580687.0E-5
7.01.2495996E-52.2286069E-55.2285402E-52.34610253.0E-55.3553173E-59.550824E-51.2550538E-41.3140793.0E-56.518148E-40.00116219550.00121213741.0429725.0E-50.00649906230.0116019450.0116711331.00596347.0E-5
7.11.2452067E-52.2231143E-55.2230476E-52.34942843.0E-55.3364907E-59.527286E-51.2527E-41.31485513.0E-56.4952404E-40.00115933270.00120927471.04307835.0E-50.00647628870.0115736160.0116428061.00597827.0E-5
7.21.2002777E-52.1609669E-55.1609022E-52.38823753.0E-55.143946E-59.2609596E-51.2260681E-41.32391053.0E-56.2609545E-40.00112694130.00117688491.04431785.0E-50.0062433440.011252980.0113221921.00615067.0E-5
7.31.1923425E-52.147951E-55.1478866E-52.39664983.0E-55.109939E-59.205181E-51.22049045E-41.32587343.0E-56.219575E-40.00112015720.00117010121.04458655.0E-50.00620219620.0111858580.0112550761.00618797.0E-5
7.41.16105175E-52.0853473E-55.0852846E-52.43857933.0E-54.975841E-58.936898E-51.19366305E-41.33565693.0E-56.0564023E-40.00108752680.00113747251.04592595.0E-50.0060399230.0108632960.0109325351.00637387.0E-5
7.51.1037265E-51.9553554E-54.9552968E-52.53421783.0E-54.7301706E-58.3798266E-51.1379575E-41.35797263.0E-55.757461E-40.00101976850.00106971761.04898075.0E-50.0057425670.010194760.0102640461.00679627.0E-5
7.61.0720915E-51.8995455E-54.8994883E-52.57929523.0E-54.5945973E-58.1406564E-51.1140412E-41.36849073.0E-55.592486E-49.906765E-40.00104062691.05042055.0E-50.0055784330.0099064780.0099757841.0069967.0E-5
7.79.276279E-61.6441258E-54.6440764E-52.8246483.0E-53.9754876E-57.0460635E-51.0045853E-41.42573963.0E-54.839081E-48.575223E-49.0747944E-41.05825765.0E-50.00482855740.0085858330.0086552321.0080837.0E-5
7.85.8346777E-61.115459E-54.1154253E-53.6894463.0E-52.5005522E-54.7804508E-57.780307E-51.62752593.0E-53.043997E-45.8186456E-46.318355E-41.08588065.0E-50.00303983080.00584672950.00591632031.01190257.0E-5
7.94.690204E-68.508639E-63.8508384E-54.5257983.0E-52.0100719E-53.6465088E-56.6463996E-51.82267483.0E-52.4469878E-44.4387212E-44.938499E-41.11259515.0E-50.0024442950.00447074040.00454042761.01558737.0E-5
8.02.9570454E-64.8465567E-61.4846508E-53.06331061.0E-51.267299E-52.077079E-53.0770585E-51.48143531.0E-51.5428272E-42.5285507E-42.7285E-41.07907662.0E-50.00154175660.0025497220.00257964571.0117363.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1966046E-61.2196582E-55.55247071.0E-57.01862E-69.413985E-61.9413892E-52.06223941.0E-58.544835E-51.1460926E-41.2460811E-41.0872431.0E-58.54155E-40.00116065730.00117064571.00860581.0E-5
8.26.9631557E-74.5341665E-74.5341665E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9432127E-61.9432127E-61.00.03.63321E-52.365836E-52.365836E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4506272E-42.4506272E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.355595E-88.355595E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5809688E-73.5809688E-71.00.09.32747E-64.359821E-64.359821E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5795394E-54.5795394E-51.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.4711063E-54.471062E-53.03925163.0E-55.906953E-56.304599E-59.30441E-51.47581323.0E-57.189342E-47.673321E-48.073014E-41.05208864.0E-50.00716612770.0076485820.00771804671.00908217.0E-5
6.11.3783202E-51.4711063E-54.471062E-53.03925163.0E-55.906953E-56.304599E-59.30441E-51.47581323.0E-57.189342E-47.673321E-48.073014E-41.05208864.0E-50.00716612770.0076485820.00771804671.00908217.0E-5
6.21.3783202E-51.4711063E-54.471062E-53.03925163.0E-55.906953E-56.304599E-59.30441E-51.47581323.0E-57.189342E-47.673321E-48.073014E-41.05208864.0E-50.00716612770.0076485820.00771804671.00908217.0E-5
6.31.10494875E-51.1793114E-53.179288E-52.6958852.0E-54.7354086E-55.0541E-57.053999E-51.39569832.0E-55.763835E-46.151733E-46.4515485E-41.04873673.0E-50.0057489080.00613574450.0061953761.00971886.0E-5
6.41.10494875E-51.1793114E-53.179288E-52.6958852.0E-54.7354086E-55.0541E-57.053999E-51.39569832.0E-55.763835E-46.151733E-46.4515485E-41.04873673.0E-50.0057489080.00613574450.0061953761.00971886.0E-5
6.59.788949E-61.04543005E-53.0454092E-52.91306832.0E-54.1951964E-54.480343E-56.480253E-51.44637442.0E-55.1064545E-45.453545E-45.653436E-41.03665342.0E-50.00509473630.00544108870.00549081671.00913935.0E-5
6.68.810006E-69.413611E-62.9413422E-53.12456322.0E-53.775662E-54.034347E-56.0342667E-51.49572312.0E-54.5958988E-44.9108E-45.1107013E-41.04070652.0E-50.00458640560.00490083030.00495058531.01015235.0E-5
6.78.80128E-69.404091E-62.9403902E-53.1267142.0E-53.7719226E-54.0302675E-56.0301867E-51.4962252.0E-54.591348E-44.905835E-45.105736E-41.04074782.0E-50.0045818740.0048958870.00494564231.01016275.0E-5
6.86.8994877E-67.3800625E-62.7379914E-53.70998432.0E-52.9568899E-53.16285E-55.1627867E-51.63232112.0E-53.5994186E-43.850171E-44.0500943E-41.05192582.0E-50.0035935940.00384430560.00389411351.01295635.0E-5
6.94.9328037E-65.270952E-62.5270847E-54.7943612.0E-52.1140417E-52.2589633E-54.258918E-51.88534192.0E-52.5735417E-42.7500023E-42.9499474E-41.07270722.0E-50.00257056350.00274720440.00279706721.01815035.0E-5
7.03.347973E-63.590023E-62.3589952E-56.5709752.0E-51.4348378E-51.5385745E-53.5385438E-52.29988462.0E-51.746775E-41.8730946E-42.0730571E-41.10675512.0E-50.00174540250.00187191830.00190186221.01599633.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.2934796E-61.2934796E-61.00.05.1743755E-65.543481E-65.543481E-61.00.06.29962E-56.7491426E-56.7491426E-51.00.06.297835E-46.7486946E-46.7486946E-41.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794165E-52.6793998E-51.59543491.0E-56.6286244E-57.1973314E-51.01971156E-41.41679113.0E-58.067362E-48.7597774E-49.1594266E-41.04562334.0E-50.0080381370.0087306750.0087802391.0056775.0E-5
6.11.5467183E-51.6794165E-52.6793998E-51.59543491.0E-56.6286244E-57.1973314E-51.01971156E-41.41679113.0E-58.067362E-48.7597774E-49.1594266E-41.04562334.0E-50.0080381370.0087306750.0087802391.0056775.0E-5
6.21.2624631E-51.3681514E-51.3681514E-51.00.05.410444E-55.8634017E-56.863343E-51.17053951.0E-56.585225E-47.13684E-47.236769E-41.01400181.0E-50.00656574450.0071187160.00714850241.00418423.0E-5
6.31.2624631E-51.3681514E-51.3681514E-51.00.05.410444E-55.8634017E-56.863343E-51.17053951.0E-56.585225E-47.13684E-47.236769E-41.01400181.0E-50.00656574450.0071187160.00714850241.00418423.0E-5
6.49.417684E-61.0170096E-51.0170096E-51.00.04.036088E-54.3585627E-54.3585627E-51.00.04.912829E-45.305669E-45.305669E-41.00.00.0049019820.0052970380.0052970381.00.0
6.59.368219E-61.0117523E-51.0117523E-51.00.04.014889E-54.3360324E-54.3360324E-51.00.04.8870314E-45.2782515E-45.2782515E-41.00.00.0048762980.005269750.005269751.00.0
6.67.803798E-68.4418125E-68.4418125E-61.00.03.3444423E-53.617892E-53.617892E-51.00.04.0710976E-44.4042926E-44.4042926E-41.00.00.00406364720.00439948080.00439948081.00.0
6.72.3108669E-62.44383E-62.44383E-61.00.09.903678E-61.0473515E-51.0473515E-51.00.01.205706E-41.2750778E-41.2750778E-41.00.00.0012050520.00127436490.00127436491.00.0
6.82.0882828E-62.2062789E-62.2062789E-61.00.08.949753E-69.455448E-69.455448E-61.00.01.08957785E-41.1511416E-41.1511416E-41.00.00.00108904380.00115056220.00115056221.00.0
6.91.876935E-61.9810482E-61.9810482E-61.00.08.043982E-68.490179E-68.490179E-61.00.09.7931086E-51.0336319E-41.0336319E-41.00.09.788794E-40.00103316710.00103316711.00.0
7.01.5357559E-61.6202783E-61.6202783E-61.00.06.5817944E-66.944032E-66.944032E-61.00.08.01304E-58.4540436E-58.4540436E-51.00.08.010151E-48.4509526E-48.4509526E-41.00.0
7.11.0905424E-61.1497604E-61.1497604E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275354E-64.9275354E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999119E-55.999119E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.9975975E-45.9975975E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.387269E-76.387269E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7373983E-62.7373983E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327386E-53.3327386E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.332307E-43.332307E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265417E-54.7265417E-51.00.01.6594635E-42.0255202E-42.2254797E-41.09872012.0E-50.00201852460.0024635460.00249347231.01214753.0E-50.020002880.0243881960.0244467311.00240026.0E-5
6.13.872328E-54.7265417E-54.7265417E-51.00.01.6594635E-42.0255202E-42.2254797E-41.09872012.0E-50.00201852460.0024635460.00249347231.01214753.0E-50.020002880.0243881960.0244467311.00240026.0E-5
6.23.872328E-54.7265417E-54.7265417E-51.00.01.6594635E-42.0255202E-42.2254797E-41.09872012.0E-50.00201852460.0024635460.00249347231.01214753.0E-50.020002880.0243881960.0244467311.00240026.0E-5
6.32.8356371E-53.360962E-53.360962E-51.00.01.2152165E-41.4403371E-41.6403083E-41.13883642.0E-50.00147852190.001752270.00178221751.01709073.0E-50.0146872350.017391730.0174506871.003396.0E-5
6.42.8356371E-53.360962E-53.360962E-51.00.01.2152165E-41.4403371E-41.6403083E-41.13883642.0E-50.00147852190.001752270.00178221751.01709073.0E-50.0146872350.017391730.0174506871.003396.0E-5
6.52.4448687E-52.8607454E-52.8607454E-51.00.01.0477588E-41.2259788E-41.4259543E-41.16311492.0E-50.00127489980.00149165480.00152161011.02008193.0E-50.0126761050.0148213240.0148804351.00398836.0E-5
6.62.1298161E-52.465998E-52.465998E-51.00.09.127464E-51.05681516E-41.256794E-41.18922782.0E-50.00111070220.00128594580.00131590721.02329913.0E-50.0110516720.0127884760.0128477091.00463186.0E-5
6.71.8959729E-52.178094E-52.178094E-51.00.08.125345E-59.334368E-51.1334182E-41.2142422.0E-59.888117E-40.00113589250.00116585841.02638093.0E-50.0098442340.0113035250.0113628471.00524816.0E-5
6.81.6691629E-51.901828E-51.901828E-51.00.07.153359E-58.150446E-51.0150283E-41.24536542.0E-58.7057345E-49.918819E-40.00102185231.03021553.0E-50.0086717080.0098763070.0099357141.00601526.0E-5
6.91.450505E-51.6389482E-51.6389482E-51.00.06.216302E-57.02388E-59.0237394E-51.28472292.0E-57.5657194E-48.5483067E-48.84805E-41.03506473.0E-50.0075400130.0085163560.00857584551.00698536.0E-5
7.01.2940855E-51.4537924E-51.4537924E-51.00.05.545963E-56.230393E-58.2302686E-51.3209872.0E-56.750118E-47.5829215E-47.8826945E-41.03953253.0E-50.0067296510.0075576650.00761721141.0078796.0E-5
7.11.2544658E-51.4078161E-51.4078161E-51.00.05.3761712E-56.0333616E-58.033241E-51.33147012.0E-56.5435225E-47.343198E-47.642978E-41.04082423.0E-50.0065242880.0073195270.0073790881.00813726.0E-5
7.21.2489416E-51.4015628E-51.4015628E-51.00.05.3524967E-56.0065628E-58.006443E-51.33294922.0E-56.514716E-47.3105923E-47.610373E-41.04100633.0E-50.0064956510.0072871360.00734669851.00817376.0E-5
7.31.2368307E-51.3879767E-51.3879767E-51.00.05.3005948E-55.948339E-57.9482204E-51.33620832.0E-56.451563E-47.2397524E-47.539535E-41.04140783.0E-50.00643286530.00721675860.00727632551.00825396.0E-5
7.41.2161707E-51.3647823E-51.3647823E-51.00.05.212056E-55.8489393E-57.848822E-51.34192242.0E-56.3438306E-47.1188126E-47.418599E-41.04211193.0E-50.0063257510.00709659750.0071561721.00839476.0E-5
7.51.1707948E-51.3145472E-51.3145472E-51.00.05.0175953E-55.633655E-57.6335426E-51.35498932.0E-56.10721E-46.8568724E-47.156667E-41.04372173.0E-50.00609045340.0068362990.00689588861.00871676.0E-5
7.61.0319538E-51.1579585E-51.1579585E-51.00.04.4225842E-54.9625876E-56.962488E-51.40299562.0E-55.383166E-46.040327E-46.340146E-41.04963613.0E-50.00537014430.00602444080.00608407941.00989946.0E-5
7.78.937764E-61.0022746E-51.0022746E-51.00.03.830414E-54.295395E-56.295309E-51.46559492.0E-54.6625308E-45.228439E-45.528282E-41.05734853.0E-50.00465276050.00521664740.00526638651.00953475.0E-5
7.83.108007E-73.284649E-73.284649E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.407706E-61.407706E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.713869E-51.713869E-51.00.01.6215823E-41.7137405E-41.7137405E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696687E-92.6696687E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441437E-81.1441437E-81.00.01.335311E-71.392995E-71.392995E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929949E-61.3929949E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4394532E-54.4394186E-51.29073391.0E-51.5653463E-41.4739682E-41.6739387E-41.13566822.0E-50.00190414310.00179308090.00182302721.0167013.0E-50.0188790990.0185227280.0185718031.00264945.0E-5
6.13.652694E-53.4394532E-54.4394186E-51.29073391.0E-51.5653463E-41.4739682E-41.6739387E-41.13566822.0E-50.00190414310.00179308090.00182302721.0167013.0E-50.0188790990.0185227280.0185718031.00264945.0E-5
6.23.652694E-53.4394532E-54.4394186E-51.29073391.0E-51.5653463E-41.4739682E-41.6739387E-41.13566822.0E-50.00190414310.00179308090.00182302721.0167013.0E-50.0188790990.0185227280.0185718031.00264945.0E-5
6.33.652694E-53.4394532E-54.4394186E-51.29073391.0E-51.5653463E-41.4739682E-41.6739387E-41.13566822.0E-50.00190414310.00179308090.00182302721.0167013.0E-50.0188790990.0185227280.0185718031.00264945.0E-5
6.43.646941E-53.4316105E-54.4315762E-51.29139841.0E-51.5628811E-41.4706074E-41.670578E-41.13597822.0E-50.00190114680.00178899640.00181894271.01673913.0E-50.0188496450.018482610.0185316861.00265535.0E-5
6.53.646941E-53.4316105E-54.4315762E-51.29139841.0E-51.5628811E-41.4706074E-41.670578E-41.13597822.0E-50.00190114680.00178899640.00181894271.01673913.0E-50.0188496450.018482610.0185316861.00265535.0E-5
6.63.6442503E-53.4279492E-54.427915E-51.29170971.0E-51.561728E-41.4690385E-41.6690092E-41.13612342.0E-50.00189974550.00178708950.0018170361.01675713.0E-50.0188358690.0184638780.0185129551.0026585.0E-5
6.73.6432113E-53.4265067E-54.4264725E-51.29183241.0E-51.5612828E-41.4684204E-41.668391E-41.13618082.0E-50.00189920440.00178633830.00181628471.01676423.0E-50.0188305490.0184565020.0185055791.00265915.0E-5
6.83.6409598E-53.4234123E-54.423378E-51.29209631.0E-51.560318E-41.4670944E-41.6670651E-41.13630392.0E-50.00189803180.00178472650.0018146731.01677933.0E-50.0188190230.0184406560.0184897351.00266135.0E-5
6.93.638078E-53.419455E-54.4194207E-51.29243431.0E-51.5590832E-41.4653984E-41.6653692E-41.13646162.0E-50.00189653110.00178266510.00181261171.01679873.0E-50.0188042690.018420390.018469471.00266435.0E-5
7.03.6294874E-53.407657E-54.4076227E-51.29344681.0E-51.5554018E-41.4603428E-41.6603136E-41.13693422.0E-50.00189205690.00177651990.00180646661.01685693.0E-50.0187602840.0183599720.0184090551.00267335.0E-5
7.13.6260717E-53.403285E-54.403251E-51.29382371.0E-51.5539382E-41.4584693E-41.6584402E-41.13711012.0E-50.0018902780.00177424280.00180418961.01687863.0E-50.0187427960.0183375660.018386651.00267665.0E-5
7.23.6210204E-53.396707E-54.396673E-51.29439281.0E-51.5517735E-41.4556505E-41.6556215E-41.13737562.0E-50.0018876470.00177081650.00180076341.01691143.0E-50.018716930.0183038360.018352921.00268165.0E-5
7.33.6119454E-53.385536E-54.385502E-51.29536431.0E-51.5478847E-41.4508633E-41.6508343E-41.1378292.0E-50.00188292060.00176499760.00179494461.01696723.0E-50.0186704620.0182463880.0182954761.00269035.0E-5
7.43.607848E-53.3802888E-54.380255E-51.29582271.0E-51.5461289E-41.4486148E-41.6485859E-41.13804292.0E-50.00188078660.00176226440.00179221161.01699353.0E-50.0186494810.01821940.018268491.00269445.0E-5
7.53.5856774E-53.3612705E-54.361237E-51.29749661.0E-51.5366284E-41.4404651E-41.6404364E-41.1388242.0E-50.00186923960.00175235820.00178230571.01708983.0E-50.0185359440.018120530.0181696231.00270935.0E-5
7.63.286655E-53.213617E-54.213585E-51.31116581.0E-51.4084904E-41.3771918E-41.5771644E-41.1452032.0E-50.0017134880.00167544360.00170539331.01787573.0E-50.0170033610.0173404160.0173895491.00283355.0E-5
7.72.8882527E-52.9232393E-53.92321E-51.34207631.0E-51.237764E-41.2527568E-41.4527317E-41.15962792.0E-50.00150593570.00152416530.00155411951.0196533.0E-50.0149577130.0158287140.0158779231.00310895.0E-5
7.82.4950225E-52.6523543E-53.6523277E-51.37701361.0E-51.0692515E-41.1366738E-41.336651E-41.17593192.0E-50.00130103620.00138302260.00141298121.02166163.0E-50.0129344550.0144100280.0144593071.00341985.0E-5
7.91.9881603E-52.1504095E-53.1503878E-51.46501771.0E-58.520408E-59.2157155E-51.1215531E-41.21700062.0E-50.0010368660.00112143660.00114141421.01781432.0E-50.0103204150.0117754190.0118050661.00251773.0E-5
8.01.563292E-51.5934353E-52.5934192E-51.62756491.0E-56.6996516E-56.82883E-58.828693E-51.2928562.0E-58.153773E-48.310935E-48.510769E-41.02404462.0E-50.008123920.008809040.00882886351.00225042.0E-5
8.11.0045313E-58.299667E-68.299667E-61.00.04.305063E-53.556952E-53.556952E-51.00.05.2401534E-44.3297335E-44.3297335E-41.00.00.00522781440.0046580370.0046580371.00.0
8.24.1554413E-61.5644919E-61.5644919E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.7049477E-66.7049477E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.162971E-58.162971E-51.00.00.00216590549.4777363E-49.4777363E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.6117652E-73.6117652E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5478985E-61.5478985E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8845505E-51.8845505E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.273426E-42.273426E-41.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497057E-55.497057E-51.00.02.0292461E-42.3556853E-42.3556853E-41.00.00.00246780760.0028645440.00288448671.0069622.0E-50.0244058180.028304320.0283334721.001033.0E-5
6.14.7352758E-55.497057E-55.497057E-51.00.02.0292461E-42.3556853E-42.3556853E-41.00.00.00246780760.0028645440.00287451551.00348091.0E-50.0244058180.028304320.0283237551.00068662.0E-5
6.23.0415853E-53.3924873E-53.3924873E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.453844E-41.453844E-41.00.00.00158582120.00176865230.00177863471.0056441.0E-50.0157455220.0175497120.0175693611.00111962.0E-5
6.33.0415853E-53.3924873E-53.3924873E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.453844E-41.453844E-41.00.00.00158582120.00176865230.00177863471.0056441.0E-50.0157455220.0175497120.0175693611.00111962.0E-5
6.42.5452082E-52.7912221E-52.7912221E-51.00.01.09075794E-41.1961844E-41.1961844E-41.00.00.00132718870.00145540050.0014653861.0068611.0E-50.0131929020.014460860.0144805711.0013632.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.512805E-52.512805E-51.00.09.9183875E-51.0768729E-41.0768729E-41.00.00.00120689480.00131031870.00132030561.00762181.0E-50.0120036110.0130275960.0130473361.00151522.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0354188E-52.0354188E-51.00.08.193392E-58.722936E-58.722936E-51.00.09.97089E-40.0010615080.0010615081.00.00.009926270.0105652870.0105751821.00093651.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8146206E-51.8146206E-51.00.07.3832496E-57.776717E-57.776717E-51.00.08.985399E-49.4640953E-49.4640953E-41.00.00.0089491540.0094244370.0094244371.00.0
6.81.5317364E-51.5926353E-51.5926353E-51.00.06.56442E-56.8254034E-56.8254034E-51.00.07.98925E-48.3068036E-48.3068036E-41.00.00.0079605890.0082762410.0082762411.00.0
6.91.3071226E-51.33295025E-51.33295025E-51.00.05.6018336E-55.7125202E-55.7125202E-51.00.06.8180985E-46.952797E-46.952797E-41.00.00.00679721730.00693130450.00693130451.00.0
7.01.1836986E-51.1932665E-51.1932665E-51.00.05.0728955E-55.1139003E-55.1139003E-51.00.06.1745E-46.224412E-46.224412E-41.00.00.0061573720.0062071710.0062071711.00.0
7.11.0597169E-51.05420895E-51.05420895E-51.00.04.541565E-54.5179608E-54.5179608E-51.00.05.5279525E-45.4992404E-45.4992404E-41.00.00.00551422130.0054857630.0054857631.00.0
7.29.59113E-69.459034E-69.459034E-61.00.04.11042E-54.0538096E-54.0538096E-51.00.05.0032866E-44.934406E-44.934406E-41.00.00.0049920370.00492356860.00492356861.00.0
7.38.586084E-68.379476E-68.379476E-61.00.03.679698E-53.591155E-53.591155E-51.00.04.4791115E-44.3713645E-44.3713645E-41.00.00.0044700940.0043628770.0043628771.00.0
7.47.2622997E-66.9514385E-66.9514385E-61.00.03.112377E-52.9791545E-52.9791545E-51.00.03.78866E-43.6265264E-43.6265264E-41.00.00.00378220740.00362070860.00362070861.00.0
7.55.627296E-65.2514924E-65.2514924E-61.00.02.411676E-52.2506205E-52.2506205E-51.00.02.9358198E-42.739793E-42.739793E-41.00.00.00293194430.00273648720.00273648721.00.0
7.62.265244E-62.0608607E-62.0608607E-61.00.09.708152E-68.832231E-68.832231E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.07527194E-41.07527194E-41.00.00.0011812750.00107476020.00107476021.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016216E-61.1016216E-61.00.05.61422E-64.721227E-64.721227E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7479447E-55.7479447E-51.00.06.832996E-45.746482E-45.746482E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0710653E-76.0710653E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.6018827E-62.6018827E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.1677475E-53.1677475E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167309E-43.167309E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.0900173E-95.0900173E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181436E-82.181436E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.6558982E-72.6558982E-71.00.03.691799E-62.655896E-62.655896E-61.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821221E-51.0821045E-41.2267062.0E-53.14073E-43.7800116E-43.979936E-41.052892.0E-50.00381713550.00459302360.0046129321.00433442.0E-50.037522310.04504490.0450830941.0008484.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.488469E-54.488469E-51.00.01.6259136E-41.923493E-41.923493E-41.00.00.00197775240.00233941940.00233941941.00.00.0196024310.023156620.0231761581.00084362.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.3296576E-53.3296576E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269195E-41.4269195E-41.00.00.00149357390.0017359130.0017359131.00.00.01483575350.0172261910.0172458481.00114112.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.3296576E-53.3296576E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269195E-41.4269195E-41.00.00.00149357390.0017359130.0017359131.00.00.01483575350.0172261910.0172458481.00114112.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.544822E-52.544822E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0905929E-41.0905929E-41.00.00.0011579450.00132699750.00132699751.00.00.0115192980.0131919070.0132017751.0007481.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.4024603E-52.4024603E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.0295857E-41.0295857E-41.00.00.00109541360.00125280860.00125280861.00.00.0109002960.0124585430.0124684191.00079261.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.0704714E-52.0704714E-51.00.07.802154E-58.8731496E-58.8731496E-51.00.09.4949827E-40.0010797760.0010797761.00.00.0094545160.0107459660.0107558581.00092051.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.7983582E-51.7983582E-51.00.06.807459E-57.707023E-57.707023E-51.00.08.284929E-49.379289E-49.379289E-41.00.00.0082541090.009340070.009340071.00.0
6.81.4331171E-51.6201007E-51.6201007E-51.00.06.141786E-56.943105E-56.943105E-51.00.07.4750587E-48.4499724E-48.4499724E-41.00.00.00744996450.0084181090.0084181091.00.0
6.91.2574203E-51.4205785E-51.4205785E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.0880524E-56.0880524E-51.00.06.558929E-47.409697E-47.409697E-41.00.00.00653960370.00738517750.00738517751.00.0
7.01.0883844E-51.2289219E-51.2289219E-51.00.04.664421E-55.2667023E-55.2667023E-51.00.05.677453E-46.4103334E-46.4103334E-41.00.00.005662970.00639197040.00639197041.00.0
7.19.393088E-61.0606983E-51.0606983E-51.00.04.025547E-54.545771E-54.545771E-51.00.04.900001E-45.533079E-45.533079E-41.00.00.00488921070.0055193990.0055193991.00.0
7.28.190791E-69.258593E-69.258593E-61.00.03.510292E-53.9679086E-53.9679086E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.8298645E-44.8298645E-41.00.00.00426473560.00481944760.00481944761.00.0
7.36.268162E-67.089691E-67.089691E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0384037E-53.0384037E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6986326E-43.6986326E-41.00.00.0032653050.00369252290.00369252291.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.6426616E-65.6426616E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4182613E-52.4182613E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9438394E-42.9438394E-41.00.00.0025978250.0029399810.0029399811.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969671E-61.969671E-61.00.07.495527E-68.441422E-68.441422E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02769685E-41.02769685E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724370.00102724371.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533809E-71.7533809E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144874E-77.5144874E-71.00.08.864449E-69.148852E-69.148852E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.148495E-59.148495E-51.00.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622522E-58.6224456E-51.13118021.0E-52.6251914E-43.2664195E-43.466354E-41.06120912.0E-50.00319148650.0039701480.0040000291.00752643.0E-50.0314603930.039048840.039087281.00098434.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.622522E-58.6224456E-51.13118021.0E-52.6251914E-43.2664195E-43.466354E-41.06120912.0E-50.00319148650.0039701480.0040000291.00752643.0E-50.0314603930.039048840.039087281.00098434.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.622522E-58.6224456E-51.13118021.0E-52.6251914E-43.2664195E-43.466354E-41.06120912.0E-50.00319148650.0039701480.0040000291.00752643.0E-50.0314603930.039048840.039087281.00098434.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.9748713E-55.9748218E-51.20100021.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319262E-42.3318836E-41.09379182.0E-50.00212864580.00259273920.00262266141.01154083.0E-50.0210837090.0256465990.0256855731.00151974.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9748713E-55.9748218E-51.20100021.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319262E-42.3318836E-41.09379182.0E-50.00212864580.00259273920.00262266141.01154083.0E-50.0210837090.0256465990.0256855731.00151974.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.65614E-54.6561032E-51.27350251.0E-51.3075917E-41.5668297E-41.7667984E-41.12762632.0E-50.00159083040.00190606190.00193600471.01570933.0E-50.0157949030.0189090730.0189483171.00207544.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.51542E-54.515385E-51.2844511.0E-51.2537291E-41.5065282E-41.7064982E-41.13273562.0E-50.00152534640.00183276830.00186271341.01633873.0E-50.0151491890.0181881470.0182274191.00215924.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724814E-53.7247868E-51.36698761.0E-59.801909E-51.1677303E-41.3677069E-41.17125242.0E-50.0011927290.0014208760.00145083341.02108373.0E-50.0118634770.01412714550.01416658051.00279144.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431746E-53.543149E-51.39319931.0E-59.139293E-51.0898915E-41.18988064E-41.09174231.0E-50.0011121410.00132622550.0013461991.01506042.0E-50.0110659150.0131921430.0132217481.00224413.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613433E-53.2613207E-51.44220511.0E-58.1466285E-59.69116E-51.0691064E-41.10317681.0E-59.914007E-40.00117934750.00119932391.01693862.0E-50.0098698940.0117395730.0117593381.00168362.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319252E-53.031905E-51.49213411.0E-57.3277115E-58.708009E-59.707921E-51.11482681.0E-58.917837E-40.00105976950.00107974841.0188522.0E-50.0088821340.0105555930.0105753821.00187472.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.8994664E-51.8994664E-51.00.06.849585E-58.140364E-58.140364E-51.00.08.336179E-49.907234E-40.00100071341.01008371.0E-50.0083049770.009871430.0098813311.0010031.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.719715E-51.719715E-51.00.06.200425E-57.370046E-57.370046E-51.00.07.546402E-48.9701766E-49.070087E-41.01113811.0E-50.0075208270.0089422380.0089521491.00110831.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.203645E-66.203645E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.6586977E-52.6586977E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.2368326E-43.2368326E-41.00.00.00275552830.00323554080.00323554081.00.0
7.48.279556E-78.4083433E-78.4083433E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.603571E-63.603571E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872667E-54.3872667E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.386473E-44.386473E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667226E-76.667226E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.8573797E-62.8573797E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.478811E-53.478811E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.478333E-43.478333E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620013E-73.5620013E-71.00.01.500812E-61.5265713E-61.5265713E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585893E-51.8585893E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.85848E-41.85848E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.219837E-71.219837E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.227872E-75.227872E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.3649163E-66.3649163E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364738E-56.364738E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027568E-83.1027568E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297529E-71.3297529E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189731E-61.6189731E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189633E-51.6189633E-51.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741643E-69.741643E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.1749303E-54.1749303E-51.00.04.920106E-45.081923E-45.081923E-41.00.00.0049092270.00507159440.00511139171.00784714.0E-5
6.19.431637E-69.741643E-69.741643E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.1749303E-54.1749303E-51.00.04.920106E-45.081923E-45.081923E-41.00.00.0049092270.00507159440.00511139171.00784714.0E-5
6.29.431637E-69.741643E-69.741643E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.1749303E-54.1749303E-51.00.04.920106E-45.081923E-45.081923E-41.00.00.0049092270.00507159440.00511139171.00784714.0E-5
6.39.431637E-69.741643E-69.741643E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.1749303E-54.1749303E-51.00.04.920106E-45.081923E-45.081923E-41.00.00.0049092270.00507159440.00511139171.00784714.0E-5
6.45.144063E-65.3000717E-65.3000717E-61.00.02.2045799E-52.2714416E-52.2714416E-51.00.02.6837454E-42.7651637E-42.7651637E-41.00.00.00268050660.00276206340.00278200811.0072212.0E-5
6.55.144063E-65.3000717E-65.3000717E-61.00.02.2045799E-52.2714416E-52.2714416E-51.00.02.6837454E-42.7651637E-42.7651637E-41.00.00.00268050660.00276206340.00278200811.0072212.0E-5
6.63.4009804E-63.4987834E-63.4987834E-61.00.01.4575549E-51.4994709E-51.4994709E-51.00.01.7744285E-41.825469E-41.825469E-41.00.00.00177301230.00182412720.00184409061.01094412.0E-5
6.73.3880428E-63.48565E-63.48565E-61.00.01.4520103E-51.4938424E-51.4938424E-51.00.01.767679E-41.8186173E-41.8186173E-41.00.00.00176627360.00181728680.00183725041.01098542.0E-5
6.82.6582E-62.733698E-62.733698E-61.00.01.1392236E-51.1715804E-51.1715804E-51.00.01.3869164E-41.4263192E-41.4263192E-41.00.00.00138605120.00142553590.00144550741.01400982.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.474327E-62.474327E-61.00.01.0311434E-51.0604223E-51.0604223E-51.00.01.2553448E-41.2910008E-41.2910008E-41.00.00.00125463590.00129038050.00129038051.00.0
7.01.6953097E-61.7429359E-61.7429359E-61.00.07.265593E-67.4697095E-67.4697095E-61.00.08.8455E-59.0940965E-59.0940965E-51.00.08.84198E-49.091403E-49.091403E-41.00.0
7.13.5013824E-73.5714805E-73.5714805E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306335E-61.5306335E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8635306E-51.8635306E-51.00.01.8268047E-41.863377E-41.863377E-41.00.0
7.22.2321095E-72.2750562E-72.2750562E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750237E-79.750237E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.187085E-51.187085E-51.00.01.1646151E-41.18702264E-41.18702264E-41.00.0
7.31.5760406E-71.6060915E-71.6060915E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.883247E-76.883247E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380322E-68.380322E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.380012E-58.380012E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.14317004E-71.14317004E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899299E-74.899299E-71.00.05.852591E-65.964881E-65.964881E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.9647253E-55.9647253E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.978771E-84.978771E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.133759E-72.133759E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.5978486E-62.5978486E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978201E-52.5978201E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317896E-91.5317896E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648122E-96.5648122E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992659E-87.992659E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992659E-77.992659E-71.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373506E-54.3734723E-51.29641751.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457226E-41.5457082E-41.06915951.0E-50.00172979620.0017590030.00178895031.01702513.0E-50.0171639320.017476280.0175057541.00168663.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.373506E-54.3734723E-51.29641751.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457226E-41.5457082E-41.06915951.0E-50.00172979620.0017590030.00178895031.01702513.0E-50.0171639320.017476280.0175057541.00168663.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.373506E-54.3734723E-51.29641751.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457226E-41.5457082E-41.06915951.0E-50.00172979620.0017590030.00178895031.01702513.0E-50.0171639320.017476280.0175057541.00168663.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.373506E-54.3734723E-51.29641751.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457226E-41.5457082E-41.06915951.0E-50.00172979620.0017590030.00178895031.01702513.0E-50.0171639320.017476280.0175057541.00168663.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7019538E-51.7019538E-51.00.08.037467E-57.2938965E-57.2938965E-51.00.09.781223E-48.876932E-48.976843E-41.01125511.0E-50.0097382820.0088437590.008853671.00112071.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019538E-51.7019538E-51.00.08.037467E-57.2938965E-57.2938965E-51.00.09.781223E-48.876932E-48.976843E-41.01125511.0E-50.0097382820.0088437590.008853671.00112071.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.21222165E-51.21222165E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951334E-55.1951334E-51.00.07.490902E-46.3232624E-46.423199E-41.01580461.0E-50.00746570160.0063054760.0063154131.0015761.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.21222165E-51.21222165E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951334E-55.1951334E-51.00.07.490902E-46.3232624E-46.423199E-41.01580461.0E-50.00746570160.0063054760.0063154131.0015761.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1344362E-51.1344362E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.86178E-54.86178E-51.00.07.127108E-45.917629E-46.0175697E-41.01688861.0E-50.0071042930.0059020360.0059119771.00168431.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1322462E-51.1322462E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.8523947E-54.8523947E-51.00.07.116841E-45.9062085E-46.0061493E-41.01692131.0E-50.0070940920.00589067630.00590061771.00168761.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.1242029E-51.1242029E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.817925E-54.817925E-51.00.07.077572E-45.864264E-45.9642055E-41.01704241.0E-50.0070550730.00584895350.0058588951.00169971.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.0720488E-51.0720488E-51.00.05.599474E-54.5944147E-54.5944147E-51.00.06.815227E-45.592283E-45.6922267E-41.01787171.0E-50.00679436370.00557836420.00558830841.00178271.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.995097E-69.995097E-61.00.05.2824813E-54.2835436E-54.2835436E-51.00.06.429523E-45.213984E-45.313932E-41.01916921.0E-50.00641095270.0052018920.005211841.00191241.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.84379E-68.84379E-61.00.04.678742E-53.7901416E-53.7901416E-51.00.05.69488E-44.613536E-44.71349E-41.02166531.0E-50.00568030770.0046040730.00461402681.0021621.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.423521E-68.423521E-61.00.04.456891E-53.610031E-53.610031E-51.00.05.424914E-44.394342E-44.494298E-41.02274661.0E-50.00541168960.0043857630.0043957191.00227011.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.2975085E-67.2975085E-61.00.03.86389E-53.127467E-53.127467E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.80704E-43.9070018E-41.02625721.0E-50.0046933290.00380061150.00381057341.00262121.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.874114E-63.874114E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.660324E-51.660324E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0212584E-42.121238E-41.04946411.0E-50.00255357470.00201943350.00202941341.00494191.0E-5
7.73.8850626E-63.126756E-63.126756E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400314E-51.3400314E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.631367E-41.7313506E-41.06128821.0E-50.0020251210.00163017880.00164016241.00612431.0E-5
7.82.4654719E-62.0299E-62.0299E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.699543E-68.699543E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.0591184E-41.1591078E-41.09440821.0E-50.00128562250.00105861830.00106860771.00943621.0E-5
7.94.095894E-73.2765044E-73.2765044E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042155E-61.4042155E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.7096192E-52.709602E-51.58491551.0E-52.1369511E-41.7094908E-41.8094736E-41.05848691.0E-5
8.07.791402E-95.6836047E-95.6836047E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358307E-82.4358307E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.9656238E-72.9656238E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656217E-62.9656217E-61.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040627E-52.1040516E-51.90573561.0E-54.509713E-54.731641E-56.7315465E-51.42266632.0E-55.4891926E-45.7597767E-45.959662E-41.03470362.0E-50.00547565330.00575001440.0057798421.00518743.0E-5
6.11.0522846E-51.1040627E-52.1040516E-51.90573561.0E-54.509713E-54.731641E-56.7315465E-51.42266632.0E-55.4891926E-45.7597767E-45.959662E-41.03470362.0E-50.00547565330.00575001440.0057798421.00518743.0E-5
6.22.1045846E-62.2081995E-62.2081995E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463702E-61.9463607E-52.0566591.0E-51.098083E-41.15218674E-41.2521751E-41.08678151.0E-50.00109754060.00115200070.00117197771.01734112.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2081995E-62.2081995E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463702E-61.9463607E-52.0566591.0E-51.098083E-41.15218674E-41.2521751E-41.08678151.0E-50.00109754060.00115200070.00117197771.01734112.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.8108747E-61.8108747E-61.00.07.3970905E-67.760892E-61.7760814E-52.28850171.0E-59.005586E-59.448885E-51.0448791E-41.10582261.0E-59.001937E-49.4488857E-49.648696E-41.02114652.0E-5

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.713679E-55.713632E-51.21213851.0E-51.7866064E-42.0200403E-42.2199999E-41.09898792.0E-50.00217302330.00245745270.00249735431.0162374.0E-50.0215189680.0243847020.0244237261.00160044.0E-5
6.11.73813E-51.685415E-51.685415E-51.00.07.4489166E-57.2230134E-57.2230134E-51.00.09.065282E-48.7905774E-48.7905774E-41.00.00.0090283910.0087571010.0087571011.00.0
6.21.4622182E-51.3673222E-51.3673222E-51.00.06.2664985E-55.859823E-55.859823E-51.00.07.6267915E-47.132038E-47.132038E-41.00.00.0076006690.00710974630.00710974631.00.0
6.31.3552434E-51.2482137E-51.2482137E-51.00.05.8080568E-55.3493794E-55.3493794E-51.00.07.069015E-46.5109547E-46.5109547E-41.00.00.007046570.0064923960.0064923961.00.0
6.41.30977305E-51.1979094E-51.1979094E-51.00.05.613192E-55.133798E-55.133798E-51.00.06.831918E-46.2486366E-46.2486366E-41.00.00.0068109530.0062315660.0062315661.00.0
6.51.225205E-51.1048743E-51.1048743E-51.00.05.2507727E-54.7350914E-54.7350914E-51.00.06.3909404E-45.763476E-45.763476E-41.00.00.0063725920.0057489920.0057489921.00.0
6.61.1352241E-51.0063478E-51.0063478E-51.00.04.8651553E-54.312849E-54.312849E-51.00.05.921717E-45.2496494E-45.2496494E-41.00.00.00590596160.00523764870.00523764871.00.0
6.71.0864116E-59.516972E-69.516972E-61.00.04.6559664E-54.0786395E-54.0786395E-51.00.05.667165E-44.964632E-44.964632E-41.00.00.0056527340.00495392880.00495392881.00.0
6.81.0666365E-59.299723E-69.299723E-61.00.04.571219E-53.985536E-53.985536E-51.00.05.564038E-44.85133E-44.85133E-41.00.00.0055501270.00484112560.00484112561.00.0
6.91.0038665E-58.591993E-68.591993E-61.00.04.302214E-53.682232E-53.682232E-51.00.05.236687E-44.482213E-44.482213E-41.00.00.0052243640.00447353770.00447353771.00.0
7.09.5379955E-68.025023E-68.025023E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.4392513E-53.4392513E-51.00.04.975576E-44.186501E-44.186501E-41.00.00.004964450.0041789680.0041789681.00.0
7.19.207389E-67.652326E-67.652326E-61.00.03.945964E-53.279528E-53.279528E-51.00.04.803152E-43.9921107E-43.9921107E-41.00.00.0047927840.00398528950.00398528951.00.0
7.27.638091E-65.931077E-65.931077E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.5418654E-52.5418654E-51.00.03.984668E-43.094285E-43.094285E-41.00.00.00397753060.00309018740.00309018741.00.0
7.37.2500147E-65.596116E-65.596116E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3983135E-52.3983135E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.9195583E-42.9195583E-41.00.00.00377582150.00291593260.00291593261.00.0
7.46.3899715E-64.9184723E-64.9184723E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.1078999E-52.1078999E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.5660679E-42.5660679E-41.00.00.00332865420.00256330360.00256330361.00.0
7.55.379025E-64.0838345E-64.0838345E-61.00.02.305276E-51.750203E-51.750203E-51.00.02.806312E-42.130665E-42.130665E-41.00.00.00280277080.00212863340.00212863341.00.0
7.64.1270696E-63.0883268E-63.0883268E-61.00.01.768732E-51.323562E-51.323562E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6113183E-41.6113183E-41.00.00.00215113330.00161015810.00161015811.00.0
7.72.5406805E-61.8281966E-61.8281966E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835105E-67.835105E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.5388285E-59.5388285E-51.00.00.00132481429.534796E-49.534796E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.509852E-73.509852E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042215E-61.5042215E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313744E-51.8313744E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312247E-41.8312247E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688697E-81.2688697E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438013E-85.438013E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207787E-76.6207787E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.62076E-66.62076E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.0320647E-92.0320647E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.708849E-98.708849E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603022E-71.0603022E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603018E-61.0603018E-61.00.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.5705362E-43.7704647E-41.0559942.0E-57.751381E-40.00152934240.00154931181.01305752.0E-50.009396540.0184631850.018492631.00159493.0E-50.0900900660.16676420.166797531.00019994.0E-5
6.11.8091932E-43.5705362E-43.7704647E-41.0559942.0E-57.751381E-40.00152934240.00154931181.01305752.0E-50.009396540.0184631850.018492631.00159493.0E-50.0900900660.16676420.166797531.00019994.0E-5
6.21.8091932E-43.5705362E-43.7704647E-41.0559942.0E-57.751381E-40.00152934240.00154931181.01305752.0E-50.009396540.0184631850.018492631.00159493.0E-50.0900900660.16676420.166797531.00019994.0E-5
6.31.7322872E-43.426223E-43.6261545E-41.05835332.0E-57.4219756E-40.00146756460.00148753521.0136082.0E-50.00899887550.0177234880.0177529571.00166263.0E-50.086430750.16070950.160743071.00020894.0E-5
6.41.6334097E-43.234388E-43.4343233E-41.06181552.0E-56.998449E-40.00138543860.00140541091.01441592.0E-50.0084873720.0167392680.0167687651.00176223.0E-50.0817044150.15261650.15265041.00022214.0E-5
6.51.5600289E-43.101854E-43.3017917E-41.06445752.0E-56.684125E-40.0013286970.00134867051.01503232.0E-50.0081075980.0160587860.0160883051.00183813.0E-50.0781810360.146893810.146927941.00023234.0E-5
6.61.4046066E-42.8032728E-42.9032447E-41.03566251.0E-56.018354E-40.00120085630.00121084431.00831741.0E-50.00730275550.0145239150.0145436241.00135712.0E-50.070673840.133982120.13400811.0001943.0E-5
6.71.14696966E-42.3271456E-42.4271224E-41.04296111.0E-54.914658E-49.96972E-40.0010069621.01002041.0E-50.00596719240.0120716420.0120914011.00163672.0E-50.0580948220.1127682250.112794851.0002363.0E-5
6.89.3874296E-51.886147E-41.9861282E-41.05300811.0E-54.0225635E-48.0810196E-48.180939E-41.01236461.0E-50.00488647870.0097949920.0098147971.00202192.0E-50.0478041730.092619150.09263731.0001962.0E-5
6.95.551852E-51.0729479E-41.0729479E-41.00.02.3791482E-44.5975437E-44.5975437E-41.00.00.00289276540.0055832620.0055832621.00.00.0285539810.0542458630.0542458631.00.0
7.04.2662363E-58.246443E-58.246443E-51.00.01.8282588E-43.5337152E-43.5337152E-41.00.00.00222363280.0042938840.0042938841.00.00.0220151380.0420641380.0420641381.00.0
7.13.305886E-56.301877E-56.301877E-51.00.01.4167312E-42.7005258E-42.7005258E-41.00.00.00172350560.0032829520.0032829521.00.00.0171019980.0324525540.0324525541.00.0
7.22.9856887E-55.701329E-55.701329E-51.00.01.2795182E-42.4431988E-42.4431988E-41.00.00.00155670010.0029705540.0029705541.00.00.0154584030.0294534320.0294534321.00.0
7.32.4559737E-54.5990277E-54.5990277E-51.00.01.0525176E-41.9708637E-41.9708637E-41.00.00.00128068690.00239689880.00239689881.00.00.0127333130.0238569660.0238569661.00.0
7.41.9002231E-53.5048484E-53.5048484E-51.00.08.143559E-51.501992E-41.501992E-41.00.09.910273E-40.00182715130.00182715131.00.00.0098661940.0182573940.0182573941.00.0
7.51.2783333E-52.3329112E-52.3329112E-51.00.05.4784563E-59.997811E-59.997811E-51.00.06.667979E-40.00121655960.00121655961.00.00.0066480070.01220797750.01220797751.00.0
7.64.8149627E-68.886334E-68.886334E-61.00.02.063539E-53.808374E-53.808374E-51.00.02.5120692E-44.6357213E-44.6357213E-41.00.00.00250923140.0046795980.0046795981.00.0
7.76.0838227E-71.2056432E-61.2056432E-61.00.02.6073499E-65.1670318E-65.1670318E-61.00.03.174402E-56.29068E-56.29068E-51.00.03.1739488E-46.529172E-46.529172E-41.00.0
7.84.5542808E-79.791959E-79.791959E-71.00.01.9518332E-64.196547E-64.196547E-61.00.02.376331E-55.1091763E-55.1091763E-51.00.02.3760769E-45.3212955E-45.3212955E-41.00.0
7.93.3016747E-77.3862E-77.3862E-71.00.01.4150027E-63.1655102E-63.1655102E-61.00.01.7227521E-53.853941E-53.853941E-51.00.01.7226185E-43.9930313E-43.9930313E-41.00.0
8.02.347038E-75.4714553E-75.4714553E-71.00.01.0058731E-62.3449074E-62.3449074E-61.00.01.2246436E-52.8548875E-52.8548875E-51.00.01.2245761E-42.9354735E-42.9354735E-41.00.0
8.11.18822804E-72.605856E-72.605856E-71.00.05.092405E-71.1167949E-61.1167949E-61.00.06.1999854E-61.3596894E-51.3596894E-51.00.06.199812E-51.3917121E-41.3917121E-41.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.78536E-55.785312E-51.20896071.0E-51.893932E-42.0507166E-42.150696E-41.04875351.0E-50.00230342360.00249405180.0025239771.01199873.0E-50.0227969380.0246781390.0247171521.00158084.0E-5
6.14.4194956E-54.78536E-55.785312E-51.20896071.0E-51.893932E-42.0507166E-42.150696E-41.04875351.0E-50.00230342360.00249405180.0025239771.01199873.0E-50.0227969380.0246781390.0247171521.00158084.0E-5
6.24.4194956E-54.78536E-55.785312E-51.20896071.0E-51.893932E-42.0507166E-42.150696E-41.04875351.0E-50.00230342360.00249405180.0025239771.01199873.0E-50.0227969380.0246781390.0247171521.00158084.0E-5
6.34.4194956E-54.78536E-55.785312E-51.20896071.0E-51.893932E-42.0507166E-42.150696E-41.04875351.0E-50.00230342360.00249405180.0025239771.01199873.0E-50.0227969380.0246781390.0247171521.00158084.0E-5
6.43.729929E-53.960321E-54.960281E-51.25249481.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971752E-41.7971582E-41.05891141.0E-50.00194436730.00206444580.00209438381.01450173.0E-50.0192744270.0204627050.0205018861.00191474.0E-5
6.53.729929E-53.960321E-54.960281E-51.25249481.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971752E-41.7971582E-41.05891141.0E-50.00194436730.00206444580.00209438381.01450173.0E-50.0192744270.0204627050.0205018861.00191474.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.120536E-54.1205047E-51.32044781.0E-51.2944164E-41.337306E-41.4372927E-41.07476721.0E-50.00157481270.00162698860.00164695621.01227262.0E-50.0156369920.0161546410.0161841571.0018273.0E-5
6.72.9857754E-53.0814746E-54.0814437E-51.324511.0E-51.2795553E-41.3205671E-41.4205539E-41.07571511.0E-50.00155674530.00160663920.00162660711.01242842.0E-50.0154588480.0159540810.0159836021.00185043.0E-5
6.82.4819734E-52.500945E-52.500945E-51.00.01.0636595E-41.07179076E-41.07179076E-41.00.00.00129423620.00130414580.00130414581.00.00.0128672440.0129672920.0129672921.00.0
6.92.331124E-52.3337734E-52.3337734E-51.00.09.990149E-51.00015146E-41.00015146E-41.00.00.0012156220.00121702450.00121702451.00.00.0120899360.0121057880.0121057881.00.0
7.02.1818534E-52.1760867E-52.1760867E-51.00.09.3504656E-59.325764E-59.325764E-51.00.00.00113782460.00113484020.00113484021.00.00.0113201630.0112925530.0112925531.00.0
7.12.066081E-52.0540516E-52.0540516E-51.00.08.854332E-58.8027926E-58.8027926E-51.00.00.00107748180.00107123260.00107123261.00.00.0107227240.0106627390.0106627391.00.0
7.21.8990233E-51.9053807E-51.9053807E-51.00.08.138417E-58.165672E-58.165672E-51.00.09.904018E-49.937364E-49.937364E-41.00.00.0098599950.0098949280.0098949281.00.0
7.31.3335872E-51.490653E-51.490653E-51.00.05.7152483E-56.3883635E-56.3883635E-51.00.06.956093E-47.775185E-47.775185E-41.00.00.0069343590.00774928140.00774928141.00.0
7.49.414066E-61.1860794E-51.1860794E-51.00.04.0345374E-55.0831037E-55.0831037E-51.00.04.910942E-46.1870157E-46.1870157E-41.00.00.00490010340.00617073940.00617073941.00.0
7.57.2101157E-69.158034E-69.158034E-61.00.03.090013E-53.924817E-53.924817E-51.00.03.7614413E-44.7774953E-44.7774953E-41.00.00.00375508070.0047680.0047681.00.0
7.63.296375E-64.5453544E-64.5453544E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.9479952E-51.9479952E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.37144E-42.37144E-41.00.00.00171852590.00236904670.00236904671.00.0
7.72.5741092E-63.584271E-63.584271E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5361078E-51.5361078E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.870064E-41.870064E-41.00.00.00134223350.00186862030.00186862031.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.7090944E-54.7090944E-51.00.01.7631594E-42.0180384E-42.0180384E-41.00.00.0021445330.00245438960.00247434061.00812862.0E-50.0212395530.0242934640.0243227351.00120483.0E-5
6.12.1061249E-52.3864874E-52.3864874E-51.00.09.0259375E-51.02274185E-41.02274185E-41.00.00.00109835390.00124450590.0012644811.01605062.0E-50.010929410.0123784060.0124080351.00239363.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3864874E-52.3864874E-51.00.09.0259375E-51.02274185E-41.02274185E-41.00.00.00109835390.00124450590.0012644811.01605062.0E-50.010929410.0123784060.0124080351.00239363.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.707436E-51.707436E-51.00.06.496225E-57.317385E-57.317385E-51.00.07.906284E-48.9053944E-49.1052166E-41.02243832.0E-50.0078782140.008870960.00889078251.00223462.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3852871E-51.3852871E-51.00.05.2892858E-55.9368143E-55.9368143E-51.00.06.437803E-47.225755E-47.425611E-41.02765882.0E-50.0064191840.0072030980.0072229541.00275662.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117E-51.0117E-51.00.03.883296E-54.335788E-54.335788E-51.00.04.726887E-45.2775966E-45.377544E-41.01893811.0E-50.0047168450.0052656010.00527554841.00188911.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400708E-68.400708E-61.00.03.2340322E-53.6002562E-53.6002562E-51.00.03.936723E-44.3824734E-44.4824294E-41.02280821.0E-50.0039297560.00437426050.0043842171.00227611.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.0873635E-66.0873635E-61.00.02.3581404E-52.6088457E-52.6088457E-51.00.02.8706578E-43.1758394E-43.1758394E-41.00.00.00286695220.00317162250.00317162251.00.0
6.83.7351679E-64.08313E-64.08313E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.7499025E-51.7499025E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1303231E-42.1303231E-41.00.00.00194706290.0021285260.0021285261.00.0
6.92.456366E-62.6292657E-62.6292657E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1268233E-51.1268233E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718213E-41.3718213E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137097740.00137097741.00.0
7.02.3245157E-62.4827739E-62.4827739E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640416E-51.0640416E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.2953939E-41.2953939E-41.00.00.00121216520.0012946410.0012946411.00.0
7.12.2248344E-62.373246E-62.373246E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171014E-51.0171014E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.2382507E-41.2382507E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123756290.00123756291.00.0
7.22.1350402E-62.27615E-62.27615E-61.00.09.150141E-69.754892E-69.754892E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.1875936E-41.1875936E-41.00.00.00111341440.00118696080.00118696081.00.0
7.31.9793572E-62.1087155E-62.1087155E-61.00.08.482932E-69.0373205E-69.0373205E-61.00.01.032748E-41.10023844E-41.10023844E-41.00.00.00103226820.00109969550.00109969551.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8045704E-61.8045704E-61.00.07.264777E-67.73385E-67.73385E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415557E-59.415557E-51.00.08.840988E-49.4115845E-49.4115845E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.512201E-79.512201E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0766513E-64.0766513E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9632108E-54.9632108E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962114E-44.962114E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529284E-74.0529284E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369682E-61.7369682E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147389E-52.1147389E-51.00.02.023439E-42.1145442E-42.1145442E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339041E-86.339041E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167314E-72.7167314E-71.00.03.225572E-63.3076155E-63.3076155E-61.00.03.225525E-53.307567E-53.307567E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964147E-91.3964147E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984634E-95.984634E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286292E-87.286292E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.28629E-77.28629E-71.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.4090827E-53.4090586E-51.41508581.0E-51.2959696E-41.0324288E-41.1324185E-41.0968491.0E-50.00157670080.00125635790.00127633281.01589912.0E-50.0156556090.0125025740.01253221.00236953.0E-5
6.13.0240792E-52.4090827E-53.4090586E-51.41508581.0E-51.2959696E-41.0324288E-41.1324185E-41.0968491.0E-50.00157670080.00125635790.00127633281.01589912.0E-50.0156556090.0125025740.01253221.00236953.0E-5
6.23.0240792E-52.4090827E-53.4090586E-51.41508581.0E-51.2959696E-41.0324288E-41.1324185E-41.0968491.0E-50.00157670080.00125635790.00127633281.01589912.0E-50.0156556090.0125025740.01253221.00236953.0E-5
6.32.0498217E-51.3638019E-51.3638019E-51.00.08.784654E-55.8447433E-55.8447433E-51.00.00.00106900697.113814E-47.213743E-41.01404711.0E-50.010638790.00709266770.00711252631.00279992.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638019E-51.3638019E-51.00.08.784654E-55.8447433E-55.8447433E-51.00.00.00106900697.113814E-47.213743E-41.01404711.0E-50.010638790.00709266770.00711252631.00279992.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.0476945E-51.0476945E-51.00.07.42101E-54.4900476E-54.4900476E-51.00.09.0313336E-45.465362E-45.565307E-41.01828711.0E-50.0089947180.0054529160.0054728071.00364782.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414112E-68.414112E-61.00.06.536012E-53.606002E-53.606002E-51.00.07.9546886E-44.3894956E-44.3894956E-41.00.00.0079262740.00438154260.00438154261.00.0
6.71.2997425E-56.4111982E-66.4111982E-61.00.05.570206E-52.74763E-52.74763E-51.00.06.7796157E-43.3447728E-43.3447728E-41.00.00.00675896930.00334019870.00334019871.00.0
6.81.035386E-54.3331297E-64.3331297E-61.00.04.437293E-51.8570428E-51.8570428E-51.00.05.401065E-42.2607238E-42.2607238E-41.00.00.00538795670.00225851080.00225851081.00.0
6.98.816252E-63.580573E-63.580573E-61.00.03.778339E-51.5345226E-51.5345226E-51.00.04.5991567E-41.868127E-41.868127E-41.00.00.004589650.0018666150.0018666151.00.0
7.06.8232207E-62.567426E-62.567426E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.100321E-51.100321E-51.00.03.5596377E-41.3395616E-41.3395616E-41.00.00.00355394110.00133878520.00133878521.00.0
7.15.837013E-62.2273025E-62.2273025E-61.00.02.501553E-59.545549E-69.545549E-61.00.03.045215E-41.1621116E-41.1621116E-41.00.00.00304104550.00116153280.00116153281.00.0
7.24.278052E-61.6274947E-61.6274947E-61.00.01.833438E-56.9749603E-66.9749603E-61.00.02.231982E-48.491707E-58.491707E-51.00.00.00222974188.488694E-48.488694E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.344683E-78.344683E-71.00.08.0587E-63.576289E-63.576289E-61.00.09.811026E-54.3540593E-54.3540593E-51.00.09.806695E-44.353351E-44.353351E-41.00.0

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719532E-54.271908E-51.88027982.0E-59.097391E-59.7366115E-51.273632E-41.30808543.0E-50.00110704450.00118484590.00121481031.02528983.0E-50.0110154580.011791130.0118207751.00251423.0E-5
6.12.1227985E-52.2719532E-54.271908E-51.88027982.0E-59.097391E-59.7366115E-51.273632E-41.30808543.0E-50.00110704450.00118484590.00121481031.02528983.0E-50.0110154580.011791130.0118207751.00251423.0E-5
6.22.1227985E-52.2719532E-54.271908E-51.88027982.0E-59.097391E-59.7366115E-51.273632E-41.30808543.0E-50.00110704450.00118484590.00121481031.02528983.0E-50.0110154580.011791130.0118207751.00251423.0E-5
6.31.1613981E-51.2353521E-53.2353273E-52.61895162.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942658E-57.29416E-51.37774722.0E-56.0582085E-46.443987E-46.643858E-41.03101672.0E-50.00604171960.0064265480.00644641971.0030922.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353521E-53.2353273E-52.61895162.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942658E-57.29416E-51.37774722.0E-56.0582085E-46.443987E-46.643858E-41.03101672.0E-50.00604171960.0064265480.00644641971.0030922.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.481584E-62.9481394E-53.1093322.0E-53.8276554E-54.063478E-56.0633967E-51.49216932.0E-54.6591737E-44.946253E-45.146154E-41.04041472.0E-50.00464941750.0049361530.00495605451.00403182.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.790267E-62.779011E-53.56728632.0E-53.1479703E-53.3386474E-55.3385807E-51.5990252.0E-53.83198E-44.0641252E-44.264044E-41.04919112.0E-50.00382537880.0040574840.00407740331.00490922.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.6551383E-62.6655005E-54.00517652.0E-52.690358E-52.8521752E-54.8521182E-51.70119922.0E-53.2750185E-43.4720454E-43.671976E-41.0575832.0E-50.00327019630.00346736140.00348729221.0057482.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.855102E-62.5854984E-54.41580442.0E-52.367154E-52.5093093E-54.509259E-51.79701212.0E-52.8816288E-43.0547287E-43.2546677E-41.06545222.0E-50.0028778950.00305124560.00307118471.00653472.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.0654126E-62.506531E-54.94832562.0E-52.0477004E-52.1708769E-54.1708336E-51.92126672.0E-52.4927902E-42.6427925E-42.8427396E-41.07565752.0E-50.00248999570.00264034190.00266028921.00755482.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.1184803E-62.4118399E-55.856142.0E-51.6642054E-51.765055E-53.7650196E-52.1330892.0E-52.0259817E-42.1488115E-42.3487685E-41.09305472.0E-50.00202413560.00214740940.00216736641.00929362.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.009711E-61.30096805E-54.32256841.0E-51.2153464E-51.2898735E-52.2898606E-51.77525991.0E-51.4795837E-41.5703736E-41.6703579E-41.06366911.0E-50.0014785990.0015699090.00157989341.00635981.0E-5

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3291904E-55.329147E-51.230981.0E-52.7003905E-41.8552359E-42.0551989E-41.1077832.0E-50.00328276910.00225642180.00227637661.00884352.0E-50.0323469680.023285490.023314791.00125843.0E-5
6.16.3015636E-54.3291904E-55.329147E-51.230981.0E-52.7003905E-41.8552359E-42.0551989E-41.1077832.0E-50.00328276910.00225642180.00227637661.00884352.0E-50.0323469680.023285490.023314791.00125843.0E-5
6.26.3015636E-54.3291904E-55.329147E-51.230981.0E-52.7003905E-41.8552359E-42.0551989E-41.1077832.0E-50.00328276910.00225642180.00227637661.00884352.0E-50.0323469680.023285490.023314791.00125843.0E-5
6.36.3015636E-54.3291904E-55.329147E-51.230981.0E-52.7003905E-41.8552359E-42.0551989E-41.1077832.0E-50.00328276910.00225642180.00227637661.00884352.0E-50.0323469680.023285490.023314791.00125843.0E-5
6.46.3015636E-54.3291904E-55.329147E-51.230981.0E-52.7003905E-41.8552359E-42.0551989E-41.1077832.0E-50.00328276910.00225642180.00227637661.00884352.0E-50.0323469680.023285490.023314791.00125843.0E-5
6.55.811017E-54.007384E-55.007344E-51.24952941.0E-52.4901982E-41.7173376E-41.9173032E-41.11643932.0E-50.00302760140.0020888590.00210881721.00955462.0E-50.029866840.0215826970.021612051.001363.0E-5
6.65.811017E-54.007384E-55.007344E-51.24952941.0E-52.4901982E-41.7173376E-41.9173032E-41.11643932.0E-50.00302760140.0020888590.00210881721.00955462.0E-50.029866840.0215826970.021612051.001363.0E-5
6.75.712442E-53.949657E-54.949617E-51.25317661.0E-52.4479596E-41.6926005E-41.8925667E-41.11814142.0E-50.00297631770.0020587990.00207875761.00969452.0E-50.0293676930.0212747790.021304141.00138013.0E-5
6.85.6967532E-53.9352853E-54.935246E-51.25410121.0E-52.4412372E-41.6864421E-41.8864084E-41.11857282.0E-50.00296815530.00205131530.00207127421.00972992.0E-50.0292882290.021200380.0212297441.00138513.0E-5
6.95.6211324E-53.9057773E-54.905738E-51.2560211.0E-52.4088343E-41.6737974E-41.873764E-41.11946882.0E-50.00292881160.00203594910.00205590831.00980342.0E-50.0289051090.0210393870.0210687561.0013963.0E-5
7.05.4383527E-53.7918566E-54.7918187E-51.2637131.0E-52.3305144E-41.6249805E-41.824948E-41.12305842.0E-50.00283370940.00197662340.00199658381.01009822.0E-50.0279784650.020432810.0204621961.00143833.0E-5
7.15.1393665E-53.6381425E-54.6381065E-51.27485551.0E-52.2023996E-41.5591111E-41.7590799E-41.12825822.0E-50.00267812420.00189656930.00191653141.01052532.0E-50.0264607820.019607930.0196373431.00153.0E-5
7.24.785222E-53.4732413E-54.4732067E-51.28790551.0E-52.0506482E-41.4884473E-41.6884175E-41.13434822.0E-50.00249380550.00181068190.00183064561.01102552.0E-50.0246600490.0187251470.0187545851.00157213.0E-5
7.34.2143256E-53.3828E-54.3827662E-51.2956031.0E-51.8060145E-41.449691E-41.6496622E-41.13794042.0E-50.0021966050.00176357350.00178353811.01132062.0E-50.021750190.0182330530.0182625061.00161543.0E-5
7.44.0264713E-53.3466327E-54.3465992E-51.29879781.0E-51.7255165E-41.4341925E-41.6341638E-41.13943142.0E-50.0020987920.00174473420.00176469941.0114432.0E-50.0207908040.0180377830.018067241.00163323.0E-5
7.53.694492E-53.2180662E-54.218034E-51.31073561.0E-51.5832575E-41.3790985E-41.579071E-41.14500222.0E-50.00192591180.00167776250.00169772891.01190072.0E-50.019093060.0173544060.0173838871.00169863.0E-5
7.63.200565E-52.9496878E-53.9496583E-51.33900891.0E-51.3715986E-41.2640908E-41.4640656E-41.15819642.0E-50.0016686420.00153794630.00155791551.01298442.0E-50.016561680.0159426720.0159721951.00185183.0E-5
7.72.731642E-52.6088961E-53.60887E-51.38329391.0E-51.1706512E-41.1180505E-41.3180281E-41.17886282.0E-50.0014243360.00136037750.00138035031.01468182.0E-50.0141524120.0141653120.0141948871.00208783.0E-5
7.82.3466424E-52.3501236E-53.3501E-51.42549961.0E-51.0056651E-41.007157E-41.2071368E-41.19855882.0E-50.00122370940.00122552470.00124550021.01629952.0E-50.0121699280.012807210.0128368261.00231243.0E-5
7.91.8611925E-51.8904842E-52.8904653E-51.5289551.0E-57.9762955E-58.101824E-51.0101662E-41.2468382.0E-59.7068126E-49.859514E-40.00100593181.0202652.0E-50.00966452250.010392240.0104120331.00190452.0E-5
8.01.5460775E-51.5738E-52.5737843E-51.63539471.0E-56.6258784E-56.744683E-58.7445485E-51.29650992.0E-58.0640207E-48.2085654E-48.408401E-41.02434482.0E-50.0080348210.00870143250.00872125851.00227842.0E-5
8.19.983884E-68.267833E-68.267833E-61.00.04.2787375E-53.543309E-53.543309E-51.00.05.2081177E-44.3131303E-44.3131303E-41.00.00.00519592830.0046389540.0046389541.00.0
8.24.1226E-61.5519201E-61.5519201E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6510697E-66.6510697E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.097379E-58.097379E-51.00.00.00214880649.3998964E-49.3998964E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.6089054E-73.6089054E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5466729E-61.5466729E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8830584E-51.8830584E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.271723E-42.271723E-41.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937252E-43.237164E-41.10210633.0E-56.94276E-40.00125836980.0012883321.02381043.0E-50.0084200970.0152345720.0152641151.00193923.0E-50.0810811450.139487860.139513671.00018513.0E-5
6.11.6204086E-42.937252E-43.237164E-41.10210633.0E-56.94276E-40.00125836980.0012883321.02381043.0E-50.0084200970.0152345720.0152641151.00193923.0E-50.0810811450.139487860.139513671.00018513.0E-5
6.21.6204086E-42.937252E-43.237164E-41.10210633.0E-56.94276E-40.00125836980.0012883321.02381043.0E-50.0084200970.0152345720.0152641151.00193923.0E-50.0810811450.139487860.139513671.00018513.0E-5
6.31.0111737E-41.7703425E-41.970307E-41.11295252.0E-54.332882E-47.586143E-47.785991E-41.02634382.0E-50.0052625310.0092177020.0092375181.00214972.0E-50.05139640.086929130.086947391.000212.0E-5
6.41.0111737E-41.7703425E-41.970307E-41.11295252.0E-54.332882E-47.586143E-47.785991E-41.02634382.0E-50.0052625310.0092177020.0092375181.00214972.0E-50.05139640.086929130.086947391.000212.0E-5
6.53.6624708E-54.639161E-54.639161E-51.00.01.569536E-41.9880808E-41.9880808E-41.00.00.0019092350.00241816180.00241816181.00.00.018929150.0236971290.0236971291.00.0
6.62.5051324E-52.614718E-52.614718E-51.00.01.073584E-41.12054775E-41.12054775E-41.00.00.00130630470.00136345760.00136345761.00.00.0129865250.01356589050.01356589051.00.0
6.72.2189772E-52.2072209E-52.2072209E-51.00.09.509556E-59.459196E-59.459196E-51.00.00.00115717340.0011510850.0011510851.00.00.0115116630.0114668360.0114668361.00.0
6.81.6654378E-51.44374735E-51.44374735E-51.00.07.137396E-56.187345E-56.187345E-51.00.08.686314E-47.53054E-47.53054E-41.00.00.0086524390.00750981550.00750981551.00.0
6.91.5042909E-51.2331781E-51.2331781E-51.00.06.446802E-55.2849442E-55.2849442E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.4325513E-46.4325513E-41.00.00.0078185090.0064175560.0064175561.00.0
7.01.4361385E-51.1451071E-51.1451071E-51.00.06.154734E-54.9075115E-54.9075115E-51.00.07.490812E-45.9732865E-45.9732865E-41.00.00.0074656120.00596062050.00596062051.00.0
7.11.3265571E-51.0244655E-51.0244655E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.390494E-54.390494E-51.00.06.919436E-45.344141E-45.344141E-41.00.00.0068979310.00533453140.00533453141.00.0
7.21.1596403E-58.504791E-68.504791E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6448608E-53.6448608E-51.00.06.049042E-44.436731E-44.436731E-41.00.00.0060326030.00442932730.00442932731.00.0
7.31.0150827E-57.2385E-67.2385E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.1021784E-53.1021784E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.776262E-43.776262E-41.00.00.0052825810.0037702430.0037702431.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.3522734E-66.3522734E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7223752E-52.7223752E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.3140014E-43.3140014E-41.00.00.0047269960.00330921080.00330921081.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.2253913E-65.2253913E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2394348E-52.2394348E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7261834E-42.7261834E-41.00.00.00399497060.0027229640.0027229641.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.6873092E-64.6873092E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.008832E-52.008832E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.4454904E-42.4454904E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244291550.00244291551.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.329326E-62.329326E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.982792E-69.982792E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2153445E-41.2153445E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121475290.00121475291.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384396E-89.384396E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218833E-74.0218833E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966353E-64.8966353E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.89656E-54.89656E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4396095E-93.4396095E-91.00.02.861498E-81.47411825E-81.47411825E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947389E-71.7947389E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7947376E-61.7947376E-61.00.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5010907E-42.48034E-42.5803153E-41.0403071.0E-56.4316596E-40.00106247570.00107246511.0094021.0E-50.00780246640.01285016350.01286003551.00076821.0E-50.075341360.12040810.120425691.00014622.0E-5
6.11.4521465E-42.3964873E-42.496463E-41.04171781.0E-56.222001E-40.0010265720.00103656171.00973121.0E-50.00754900560.0124194870.0124293631.00079521.0E-50.072976570.116679620.116697291.00015142.0E-5
6.21.429998E-42.3896115E-42.4895876E-41.04183781.0E-56.127123E-40.00102362780.00103361751.00975921.0E-50.0074342860.0123840970.0123939731.00079751.0E-50.071904440.116333680.116351351.00015192.0E-5
6.31.3536277E-42.3227293E-42.422706E-41.04304281.0E-55.799972E-49.949915E-40.00100498161.01004031.0E-50.00703862640.0120402720.0120501521.00082051.0E-50.06819820.113246470.113264211.00015662.0E-5
6.41.2993296E-42.2650881E-42.3650654E-41.04413841.0E-55.5673666E-49.7030716E-49.802975E-41.0102961.0E-50.0067572230.01174308450.0117529671.00084161.0E-50.065554120.110524560.110542351.00016092.0E-5
6.51.0498927E-41.7981516E-41.8981336E-41.05560271.0E-54.498764E-47.704075E-47.803998E-41.01297011.0E-50.0054634980.0093392880.0093491941.00106071.0E-50.0533111240.089204340.089222561.00020422.0E-5
6.61.0157505E-41.7469049E-41.8468873E-41.0572341.0E-54.35249E-47.484576E-47.584501E-41.01335081.0E-50.00528628840.0090743370.0090842461.0010921.0E-50.051622930.086781740.086800011.00021042.0E-5
6.79.660386E-51.6728343E-41.7728176E-41.05976881.0E-54.1395082E-47.167309E-47.2672375E-41.01394221.0E-50.00502821060.0086912470.0087011611.00114061.0E-50.0491594970.083270850.083289181.00022022.0E-5
6.89.089927E-51.5642813E-41.6642656E-41.06391721.0E-53.8951015E-46.7023304E-46.802263E-41.01491021.0E-50.00473197880.0081295240.0081394431.00122011.0E-50.0463247750.078158910.078177351.00023592.0E-5
6.97.353187E-51.2295424E-41.2295424E-41.00.03.150985E-45.268409E-45.268409E-41.00.00.00382957720.00639554440.00639554441.00.00.0376425120.062186190.062195571.00015081.0E-5
7.05.746064E-59.388761E-59.388761E-51.00.02.4623662E-44.023138E-44.023138E-41.00.00.00299380980.00488724050.00488724051.00.00.029537970.0479843430.0479938651.00019841.0E-5
7.14.9557195E-58.052448E-58.052448E-51.00.02.123707E-43.4505958E-43.4505958E-41.00.00.00258254730.0041930710.0041930711.00.00.02552740.041370770.0413803571.00023171.0E-5
7.23.687595E-55.9523958E-55.9523958E-51.00.01.5803022E-42.550779E-42.550779E-41.00.00.00192231990.00310117980.00310117981.00.00.019057760.0308812630.0308909551.00031391.0E-5
7.32.5846984E-54.2471165E-54.2471165E-51.00.01.1076809E-41.8200668E-41.8200668E-41.00.00.00134776710.00221369670.00221369671.00.00.0133962230.022173470.0221832491.0004411.0E-5
7.41.7747854E-52.9934954E-52.9934954E-51.00.07.6060016E-51.2828637E-41.2828637E-41.00.09.2563726E-40.00156077040.00156077041.00.00.0092179110.0157071720.0157170151.00062671.0E-5
7.51.4883479E-52.6242093E-52.6242093E-51.00.06.378478E-51.1246128E-41.1246128E-41.00.07.76303E-40.00136835880.00136835881.00.00.00773596670.0138002190.01381008051.00071471.0E-5
7.68.166975E-61.4961989E-51.4961989E-51.00.03.5000852E-56.412124E-56.412124E-51.00.04.2605202E-47.803978E-47.803978E-41.00.00.0042523610.0079380440.0079479651.00124981.0E-5
7.73.3858064E-66.253606E-66.253606E-61.00.01.4510518E-52.6800893E-52.6800893E-51.00.01.7665124E-43.2625208E-43.2625208E-41.00.00.00176510880.0033880770.0033980431.00294151.0E-5
7.82.7721615E-65.3661397E-65.3661397E-61.00.01.1880637E-52.2997538E-52.2997538E-51.00.01.4463716E-42.7995912E-42.7995912E-41.00.00.00144543060.00290737180.00291734261.00342951.0E-5
7.91.9736292E-64.1283006E-64.1283006E-61.00.08.4583835E-61.7692597E-51.7692597E-51.00.01.0297595E-42.1538611E-42.1538611E-41.00.00.00102928250.00222352360.00222352361.00.0
8.01.1767289E-62.5544323E-62.5544323E-61.00.05.0431145E-61.094752E-51.094752E-51.00.06.139818E-51.3327794E-41.3327794E-41.00.06.1381224E-40.00136599920.00136599921.00.0
8.17.5112825E-71.5409354E-61.5409354E-61.00.03.2191172E-66.603992E-66.603992E-61.00.03.9192048E-58.040066E-58.040066E-51.00.03.9185135E-48.234908E-48.234908E-41.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.001632E-64.001632E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.7149749E-52.7149577E-51.58308891.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878005E-42.2877587E-41.09577472.0E-50.00220927360.00208602290.00211596051.01435153.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.001632E-64.001632E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.7149749E-52.7149577E-51.58308891.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878005E-42.2877587E-41.09577472.0E-50.00220927360.00208602290.00211596051.01435153.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.001632E-64.001632E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.7149749E-52.7149577E-51.58308891.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878005E-42.2877587E-41.09577472.0E-50.00220927360.00208602290.00211596051.01435153.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-64.001632E-64.001632E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.7149749E-52.7149577E-51.58308891.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878005E-42.2877587E-41.09577472.0E-50.00220927360.00208602290.00211596051.01435153.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-64.001632E-64.001632E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.7149749E-52.7149577E-51.58308891.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878005E-42.2877587E-41.09577472.0E-50.00220927360.00208602290.00211596051.01435153.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.5178608E-62.5178608E-61.00.01.1938888E-51.079079E-52.0790681E-51.92670621.0E-51.4534626E-41.3137028E-41.4136896E-41.07611071.0E-50.00145251230.00131295890.00133293261.01521282.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944118E-61.944118E-61.00.09.528543E-68.331908E-61.8331824E-52.20019531.0E-51.1600384E-41.01436344E-41.1143533E-41.0985741.0E-50.0011594330.0010139090.00103388881.01970572.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8834979E-61.8834979E-61.00.09.272164E-68.072109E-61.8072029E-52.23882371.0E-51.1288274E-49.827358E-51.082726E-41.10174681.0E-50.00112825429.823095E-40.00100228981.02034022.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.5831371E-61.5831371E-61.00.08.008137E-66.7848555E-61.6784788E-52.47386071.0E-59.74947E-58.2602535E-59.260171E-51.12105171.0E-59.745194E-48.257232E-48.4570673E-41.02420122.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064879E-61.3064879E-61.00.06.77787E-65.599222E-61.5599166E-52.78595231.0E-58.251744E-56.8168425E-57.816774E-51.14668551.0E-58.248681E-46.814778E-46.91471E-41.01466391.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1210674E-61.1210674E-61.00.05.9025137E-64.8045654E-61.4804517E-53.08134371.0E-57.186073E-55.8494035E-56.849345E-51.17094761.0E-57.18375E-45.8478845E-45.947826E-41.01709021.0E-5
7.11.0916998E-68.763745E-78.763745E-71.00.04.678705E-63.7558852E-61.3755848E-53.66247821.0E-55.6961744E-54.5726956E-55.57265E-51.21867941.0E-55.6947145E-44.5717682E-44.6717224E-41.02186331.0E-5
7.27.6277024E-75.9014343E-75.9014343E-71.00.03.2690114E-62.5291838E-62.5291838E-61.00.03.9799485E-53.0792384E-53.0792384E-51.00.03.9792358E-43.0788177E-43.0788177E-41.00.0
7.35.3265916E-74.3824227E-74.3824227E-71.00.02.282823E-61.8781799E-61.8781799E-61.00.02.7793016E-52.2866603E-52.2866603E-51.00.02.778954E-42.286429E-42.286429E-41.00.0
7.43.4946007E-73.0065618E-73.0065618E-71.00.01.497685E-61.2885259E-61.2885259E-61.00.01.8234163E-51.5687692E-51.5687692E-51.00.01.8232666E-41.5686607E-41.5686607E-41.00.0
7.51.8317026E-71.4244733E-71.4244733E-71.00.07.850152E-76.104884E-76.104884E-71.00.09.557518E-67.432672E-67.432672E-61.00.09.5571064E-57.4324314E-57.4324314E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.7352638E-81.7352638E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.054355E-79.054355E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.0543235E-69.0543235E-61.00.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657218E-55.365651E-52.2680823.0E-59.602906E-51.0138439E-41.3138134E-41.29587353.0E-50.00116852670.00123370010.0012636631.02428713.0E-50.0116240130.0122730240.0123026561.00241433.0E-5
6.12.2407607E-52.3657218E-55.365651E-52.2680823.0E-59.602906E-51.0138439E-41.3138134E-41.29587353.0E-50.00116852670.00123370010.0012636631.02428713.0E-50.0116240130.0122730240.0123026561.00241433.0E-5
6.21.0781252E-51.1365647E-51.1365647E-51.00.04.620455E-54.870903E-54.870903E-51.00.05.623952E-45.928751E-45.928751E-41.00.00.005609740.00591335260.00591335261.00.0
6.31.0781252E-51.1365647E-51.1365647E-51.00.04.620455E-54.870903E-54.870903E-51.00.05.623952E-45.928751E-45.928751E-41.00.00.005609740.00591335260.00591335261.00.0
6.47.814439E-68.237717E-68.237717E-61.00.03.3490025E-53.530403E-53.530403E-51.00.04.0766477E-44.297432E-44.297432E-41.00.00.00406917740.00428926850.00428926851.00.0
6.56.4986366E-66.85091E-66.85091E-61.00.02.7851002E-52.9360717E-52.9360717E-51.00.03.390332E-43.57409E-43.57409E-41.00.00.0033851640.0035684380.0035684381.00.0
6.65.582177E-65.885997E-65.885997E-61.00.02.3923398E-52.5225461E-52.5225461E-51.00.02.9122844E-43.0707743E-43.0707743E-41.00.00.00290847060.00306660450.00306660451.00.0
6.74.6858763E-64.9404202E-64.9404202E-61.00.02.0082172E-52.117306E-52.117306E-51.00.02.4447302E-42.5775208E-42.5775208E-41.00.00.00244204230.00257458750.00257458751.00.0
6.83.5584908E-63.7520128E-63.7520128E-61.00.01.5250586E-51.607996E-51.607996E-51.00.01.8566006E-41.9575632E-41.9575632E-41.00.00.00185505020.00195587990.00195587991.00.0
6.92.532834E-62.6709995E-62.6709995E-61.00.01.0854958E-51.1447092E-51.1447092E-51.00.01.3215111E-41.3935972E-41.3935972E-41.00.00.00132072540.00139275080.00139275081.00.0
7.01.7083285E-61.8019413E-61.8019413E-61.00.07.3213873E-67.722583E-67.722583E-61.00.08.913424E-59.4018564E-59.4018564E-51.00.08.9098496E-49.3980436E-49.3980436E-41.00.0
7.11.0905424E-61.1497604E-61.1497604E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275354E-64.9275354E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999119E-55.999119E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.9975975E-45.9975975E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.387269E-76.387269E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7373983E-62.7373983E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327386E-53.3327386E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.332307E-43.332307E-41.00.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0520261E-43.0520261E-41.00.06.5056595E-40.00130680020.00130680021.00.00.0078919120.0156959690.015705811.00062721.0E-50.0761745940.13848460.138501821.00012452.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.0214462E-43.0214462E-41.00.06.437695E-40.00129370930.00129370931.00.00.00780976140.0155393610.0155492061.00063351.0E-50.0754093450.137154180.137171431.00012582.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.5312972E-42.5312972E-41.00.05.460538E-40.00108397690.00108397691.00.00.00662795830.0130466470.0130565171.00075651.0E-50.0643372760.117251560.117269221.00015062.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.2598551E-42.2598551E-41.00.04.9383997E-49.678517E-49.678517E-41.00.00.00599593860.0116678480.0116777311.00084711.0E-50.0583671740.106367570.106385451.00016812.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.0839735E-42.0839735E-41.00.04.5935164E-48.925907E-48.925907E-41.00.00.00557827440.0107727280.010782621.00091831.0E-50.05440310.099190190.0992082061.00018172.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8733864E-41.8733864E-41.00.04.1548995E-48.024415E-48.024415E-41.00.00.00504686260.0096946140.0097045171.00102151.0E-50.049337730.090081990.0901001841.00020212.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.5070252E-41.5070252E-41.00.03.4517853E-46.456723E-46.456723E-41.00.00.00419445240.00782628450.0078362061.00126781.0E-50.041161610.074851660.074870161.00024722.0E-5
6.77.815757E-51.4610846E-41.4610846E-41.00.03.34918E-46.259958E-46.259958E-41.00.00.0040700050.00758908970.0075990141.00130771.0E-50.0399626570.072701180.072719721.00025512.0E-5
6.86.965264E-51.2722371E-41.2722371E-41.00.02.9847719E-45.4511573E-45.4511573E-41.00.00.00362790520.0066133870.0066133871.00.00.035692470.0637965050.063805861.00014671.0E-5
6.95.8000453E-51.0143533E-41.0143533E-41.00.02.4854968E-44.346509E-44.346509E-41.00.00.00302189330.00527913170.00527913171.00.00.0298112950.051500930.0515104161.00018421.0E-5
7.04.9865852E-58.567664E-58.567664E-51.00.02.1369329E-43.6713443E-43.6713443E-41.00.00.00259861140.00446078930.00446078931.00.00.0256843360.0437802520.043789811.00021841.0E-5
7.14.283875E-57.112113E-57.112113E-51.00.01.8358172E-43.0476955E-43.0476955E-41.00.00.00223281630.00370431230.00370431231.00.00.0221051460.0367337950.036743431.00026231.0E-5
7.23.450115E-55.577521E-55.577521E-51.00.01.478537E-42.3901489E-42.3901489E-41.00.00.00179863230.0029061520.0029061521.00.00.0178414420.0290768090.0290865191.00033391.0E-5
7.32.5709045E-54.0586976E-54.0586976E-51.00.01.1017697E-41.7393267E-41.7393267E-41.00.00.00134057910.00211559050.00211559051.00.00.0133252080.0212951620.021304951.00045961.0E-5
7.41.8003093E-52.8508479E-52.8508479E-51.00.07.715383E-51.2217349E-41.2217349E-41.00.09.3894306E-40.00148644960.00148644961.00.00.0093498570.0150501370.0150599871.00065451.0E-5
7.51.5595824E-52.5820891E-52.5820891E-51.00.06.683753E-51.1065628E-41.1065628E-41.00.08.134431E-40.00134640980.00134640981.00.00.0081047190.0136501690.0136600321.00072261.0E-5
7.61.1110309E-51.9220464E-51.9220464E-51.00.04.761474E-58.2370825E-58.2370825E-51.00.05.795553E-40.00100240470.00100240471.00.00.00578046120.0102021070.0102120051.00097021.0E-5
7.76.2140443E-61.04366445E-51.04366445E-51.00.02.6631347E-54.472771E-54.472771E-51.00.03.241884E-45.444239E-45.444239E-41.00.00.00323715880.0056196450.0056295891.00176941.0E-5
7.85.305533E-69.432705E-69.432705E-61.00.02.27378E-54.0425253E-54.0425253E-51.00.02.7679754E-44.920664E-44.920664E-41.00.00.00276453020.00507421650.0050841661.00196081.0E-5
7.93.363505E-67.384745E-67.384745E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.1648524E-53.1648524E-51.00.01.7548777E-43.8525273E-43.8525273E-41.00.00.00175349260.00394846170.00394846171.00.0
8.02.0271132E-64.4130247E-64.4130247E-61.00.08.687599E-61.8912826E-51.8912826E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.3023938E-42.3023938E-41.00.00.00105716060.0023510260.0023510261.00.0
8.11.2206116E-62.3750408E-62.3750408E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.0178706E-51.0178706E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.2391874E-41.2391874E-41.00.06.366953E-40.00127048670.00127048671.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.049955E-59.0498135E-51.28366982.0E-52.3292181E-43.0210742E-43.3209837E-41.09927243.0E-50.00283213520.00367197530.00370186521.008143.0E-50.027963120.0361155570.0361444731.00080063.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.8220034E-56.821945E-51.17175221.0E-51.953209E-42.4949145E-42.6948645E-41.08014312.0E-50.00237543830.0030333310.003053271.00657342.0E-50.0235020630.0299196620.0299390631.00064852.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4736157E-53.4736157E-51.00.01.2229476E-41.4886058E-41.4886058E-41.00.00.00148792170.00181084460.00181084461.00.00.0147799860.0179581510.0179581511.00.0
6.32.3698774E-52.8213142E-52.8213142E-51.00.01.01562226E-41.20907556E-41.20907556E-41.00.00.00123581860.0014710410.0014710411.00.00.0122896860.0146113570.0146113571.00.0
6.41.9191197E-52.2122744E-52.2122744E-51.00.08.2245395E-59.480823E-59.480823E-51.00.00.00100087770.00115368340.00115368341.00.00.0099638180.0114769520.0114769521.00.0
6.51.5203241E-51.6801203E-51.6801203E-51.00.06.5155116E-57.200301E-57.200301E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.7629614E-48.7629614E-41.00.00.0079015120.0087295320.0087295321.00.0
6.61.0984925E-51.1242511E-51.1242511E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8181326E-54.8181326E-51.00.05.730166E-45.8645353E-45.8645353E-41.00.00.0057154130.00584945040.00584945041.00.0
6.79.134616E-69.019832E-69.019832E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.8655864E-53.8655864E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.705359E-44.705359E-41.00.00.0047549930.0046956410.0046956411.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.451889E-67.451889E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.1936288E-53.1936288E-51.00.04.0616E-43.8875695E-43.8875695E-41.00.00.00405418450.00388097270.00388097271.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.8984475E-64.8984475E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0993186E-52.0993186E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.5556344E-42.5556344E-41.00.00.0029068670.0025528330.0025528331.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.521583E-61.521583E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.5210543E-66.5210543E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939103E-57.939103E-51.00.00.00139827997.9363544E-47.9363544E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.4535575E-77.4535575E-71.00.08.55041E-63.194378E-63.194378E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.88909E-53.88909E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884507E-43.8884507E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.4535575E-77.4535575E-71.00.08.55041E-63.194378E-63.194378E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.88909E-53.88909E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884507E-43.8884507E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.5786514E-76.5786514E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.8194193E-62.8194193E-61.00.08.915652E-53.432593E-53.432593E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.4321033E-43.4321033E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0737074E-76.0737074E-71.00.05.916349E-62.603015E-62.603015E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169129E-53.169129E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168717E-43.168717E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0737074E-76.0737074E-71.00.05.916349E-62.603015E-62.603015E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169129E-53.169129E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168717E-43.168717E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5264533E-54.526418E-51.2835611.0E-51.742787E-41.5112499E-41.7112195E-41.13232082.0E-50.00211977820.0018383950.00185835831.0108592.0E-50.0209967140.0189828610.0190122911.00155033.0E-5
6.14.0667746E-53.5264533E-54.526418E-51.2835611.0E-51.742787E-41.5112499E-41.7112195E-41.13232082.0E-50.00211977820.0018383950.00185835831.0108592.0E-50.0209967140.0189828610.0190122911.00155033.0E-5
6.24.0667746E-53.5264533E-54.526418E-51.2835611.0E-51.742787E-41.5112499E-41.7112195E-41.13232082.0E-50.00211977820.0018383950.00185835831.0108592.0E-50.0209967140.0189828610.0190122911.00155033.0E-5
6.34.0667746E-53.5264533E-54.526418E-51.2835611.0E-51.742787E-41.5112499E-41.7112195E-41.13232082.0E-50.00211977820.0018383950.00185835831.0108592.0E-50.0209967140.0189828610.0190122911.00155033.0E-5
6.44.0577226E-53.5136447E-54.5136094E-51.28459481.0E-51.738908E-41.505761E-41.7057308E-41.13280322.0E-50.00211506480.00183172490.00185168831.01089872.0E-50.0209504720.0189174280.0189468621.00155583.0E-5
6.54.0577226E-53.5136447E-54.5136094E-51.28459481.0E-51.738908E-41.505761E-41.7057308E-41.13280322.0E-50.00211506480.00183172490.00185168831.01089872.0E-50.0209504720.0189174280.0189468621.00155583.0E-5
6.64.053861E-53.508179E-54.508144E-51.28503811.0E-51.7372532E-41.5034188E-41.7033887E-41.13301012.0E-50.00211305380.00182887850.0018488421.01091562.0E-50.0209307430.0188895070.018918941.00155823.0E-5
6.74.0516545E-53.5050864E-54.5050514E-51.28528961.0E-51.7363077E-41.5020935E-41.7020636E-41.13312752.0E-50.0021119050.0018272680.00184723141.01092532.0E-50.0209194680.0188737030.0189031361.00155953.0E-5
6.84.049434E-53.5022425E-54.5022076E-51.28552131.0E-51.7353562E-41.500875E-41.700845E-41.13323562.0E-50.00211074880.00182578690.00184575041.01093422.0E-50.0209081250.0188591160.018888551.00156073.0E-5
6.94.046386E-53.4984987E-54.4984637E-51.28582691.0E-51.73405E-41.4992706E-41.6992407E-41.13337812.0E-50.00210916160.00182383680.00184380041.01094592.0E-50.0208925530.0188398880.0188693241.00156243.0E-5
7.04.036382E-53.486556E-54.486521E-51.2868061.0E-51.7297632E-41.4941528E-41.694123E-41.13383512.0E-50.00210395250.00181761650.00183758021.01098352.0E-50.020841440.0187785050.018807941.00156763.0E-5
7.14.0343282E-53.4844023E-54.4843673E-51.28698331.0E-51.7288832E-41.49323E-41.6932002E-41.13391782.0E-50.0021028830.00181649490.00183645851.01099032.0E-50.0208309480.0187673750.0187968131.00156863.0E-5
7.24.0257353E-53.4748526E-54.4748176E-51.2877721.0E-51.725201E-41.4891376E-41.6891079E-41.13428592.0E-50.00209840850.00181152070.00183148451.01102042.0E-50.0207870420.0187181140.0187475531.00157273.0E-5
7.33.9940667E-53.4576202E-54.4575856E-51.28920631.0E-51.7116306E-41.4817533E-41.6817237E-41.13495532.0E-50.00208191850.00180254520.00182250911.01107542.0E-50.0206252170.0186267640.0186562051.00158063.0E-5
7.43.9721202E-53.4461642E-54.44613E-51.29016771.0E-51.7022261E-41.4768442E-41.6768146E-41.13540392.0E-50.00207049030.00179657820.00181654221.01111232.0E-50.0205130520.0185659140.0185953561.00158583.0E-5
7.53.7036873E-53.352937E-54.3529035E-51.2982361.0E-51.5871979E-41.4368941E-41.6368653E-41.13916912.0E-50.00193070060.00174801770.00176798271.01142162.0E-50.0191401240.0180676060.0180970641.00163043.0E-5
7.63.2940967E-53.13107E-54.1310388E-51.31936971.0E-51.4116794E-41.3418183E-41.5417916E-41.14903152.0E-50.00171736450.00163244190.00165240921.01223162.0E-50.017041530.0169007030.0169301961.00174513.0E-5
7.72.8236149E-52.7880007E-53.787973E-51.358671.0E-51.2100645E-41.1948028E-41.394779E-41.16737162.0E-50.00147225790.00145370280.00147367371.01373792.0E-50.0146254210.0151133780.0151429251.0019553.0E-5
7.82.4329287E-52.5203897E-53.5203644E-51.3967541.0E-51.042642E-41.0801223E-41.2801007E-41.18514422.0E-50.00126867740.00131425650.00133423021.01519782.0E-50.0126145890.0137106980.0137402871.0021583.0E-5
7.91.9370926E-52.041812E-53.0417916E-51.48975111.0E-58.301561E-58.75033E-51.07501546E-41.22854282.0E-50.00101024650.00106483280.00108481141.01876242.0E-50.01005666050.0111978930.011217671.00176612.0E-5
8.01.5583017E-51.5883486E-52.5883328E-51.62957471.0E-56.6782646E-56.807031E-58.806895E-51.29379382.0E-58.127754E-48.2844164E-48.48425E-41.02412182.0E-50.0080980910.0087803480.0088001731.00225782.0E-5
8.11.0024873E-58.290274E-68.290274E-61.00.04.2963035E-53.5529265E-53.5529265E-51.00.05.229494E-44.3248344E-44.3248344E-41.00.00.00521720430.00465233670.00465233671.00.0
8.24.142796E-61.5599394E-61.5599394E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6854377E-66.6854377E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.139219E-58.139219E-51.00.00.00215932179.449501E-49.449501E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.6089054E-73.6089054E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5466729E-61.5466729E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8830584E-51.8830584E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.271723E-42.271723E-41.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322329E-52.6322165E-51.61264771.0E-54.9496433E-56.995104E-57.995035E-51.14294711.0E-56.0245243E-48.513362E-48.613277E-41.01173631.0E-50.0060082180.0085097560.0085295871.00233022.0E-5
6.11.1549387E-51.6322329E-52.6322165E-51.61264771.0E-54.9496433E-56.995104E-57.995035E-51.14294711.0E-56.0245243E-48.513362E-48.613277E-41.01173631.0E-50.0060082180.0085097560.0085295871.00233022.0E-5
6.21.1549387E-51.6322329E-52.6322165E-51.61264771.0E-54.9496433E-56.995104E-57.995035E-51.14294711.0E-56.0245243E-48.513362E-48.613277E-41.01173631.0E-50.0060082180.0085097560.0085295871.00233022.0E-5
6.31.1549387E-51.6322329E-52.6322165E-51.61264771.0E-54.9496433E-56.995104E-57.995035E-51.14294711.0E-56.0245243E-48.513362E-48.613277E-41.01173631.0E-50.0060082180.0085097560.0085295871.00233022.0E-5
6.41.1549387E-51.6322329E-52.6322165E-51.61264771.0E-54.9496433E-56.995104E-57.995035E-51.14294711.0E-56.0245243E-48.513362E-48.613277E-41.01173631.0E-50.0060082180.0085097560.0085295871.00233022.0E-5
6.51.1549387E-51.6322329E-52.6322165E-51.61264771.0E-54.9496433E-56.995104E-57.995035E-51.14294711.0E-56.0245243E-48.513362E-48.613277E-41.01173631.0E-50.0060082180.0085097560.0085295871.00233022.0E-5
6.69.202681E-61.3845609E-52.384547E-51.72224071.0E-53.9439463E-55.9337024E-56.9336435E-51.16851891.0E-54.800697E-47.221979E-47.321906E-41.01383661.0E-50.0047903390.00722694160.0072467971.00274742.0E-5
6.79.019164E-61.3651278E-52.3651142E-51.73252211.0E-53.8652986E-55.8504218E-56.8503636E-51.17091791.0E-54.7049852E-47.120651E-47.2205794E-41.01403371.0E-50.0046950360.0071262660.00714612331.00278652.0E-5
6.88.673558E-61.327339E-52.3273256E-51.75337711.0E-53.717186E-55.6884768E-56.68842E-51.1757841.0E-54.524734E-46.923608E-47.023539E-41.01443341.0E-50.00451553240.00693045460.0069503161.00286582.0E-5
6.97.002255E-61.1477623E-52.1477508E-51.87125051.0E-53.000932E-54.9188922E-55.918843E-51.20328781.0E-53.653022E-45.987174E-46.0871145E-41.01669241.0E-50.00364702290.0059992790.0060191591.00331382.0E-5
7.05.84644E-69.674926E-61.967483E-52.03358961.0E-52.5055931E-54.1463336E-55.146292E-51.2411671.0E-53.0501327E-45.047037E-45.146987E-41.01980361.0E-50.00304594960.00506360360.00508350231.00392972.0E-5
7.15.54703E-69.329403E-61.9329309E-52.071871.0E-52.377277E-53.9982566E-54.998217E-51.2500991.0E-52.8939504E-44.8668348E-44.9667864E-41.02053731.0E-50.00289018450.0048841980.00490411.00407482.0E-5
7.24.384709E-67.681513E-61.7681436E-52.3018171.0E-51.8791474E-53.2920376E-54.2920048E-51.30375331.0E-52.2876218E-44.0073553E-44.1073153E-41.02494411.0E-50.00228526820.0040281550.00404807461.0049452.0E-5
7.33.7888456E-66.9153903E-61.691532E-52.446041.0E-51.623781E-52.9637069E-53.9636772E-51.33740531.0E-51.9767738E-43.6077492E-43.707713E-41.02770821.0E-50.00197501620.0036299080.00364983521.00548982.0E-5
7.42.1982462E-65.0237163E-61.50236665E-52.99054841.0E-59.421021E-62.1530035E-53.152982E-51.46445741.0E-51.1469489E-42.6209684E-42.720942E-41.03814391.0E-50.00114635720.00264567370.00266562081.00753952.0E-5
7.52.051923E-64.614947E-61.46149005E-53.16686221.0E-58.793926E-61.9778196E-52.9777997E-51.50559741.0E-51.0706078E-42.4077305E-42.5077065E-41.04152291.0E-50.00107009220.00243347980.0024534311.00819872.0E-5
7.61.8733427E-64.1232965E-61.4123256E-53.42523381.0E-58.028587E-61.7671153E-52.7670976E-51.56588411.0E-59.774366E-52.1512512E-42.2512296E-41.04647461.0E-59.770069E-40.00217799030.00219794671.00916282.0E-5
7.71.8411953E-64.0429704E-61.404293E-53.47341871.0E-57.890813E-61.7326902E-52.7326729E-51.57712721.0E-59.606641E-52.109347E-42.2093259E-41.04739811.0E-59.6024893E-40.00213627070.0021562281.00934212.0E-5
7.81.7194251E-63.7103412E-61.3710304E-53.695161.0E-57.368944E-61.5901365E-52.5901207E-51.62886681.0E-58.97132E-51.93582E-42.0358007E-41.05164771.0E-58.967699E-40.00196225660.00198221741.01017242.0E-5
7.91.4035052E-62.9499822E-61.2949953E-54.3898411.0E-56.0150082E-61.264272E-52.2642595E-51.7909591.0E-57.3230265E-51.5391431E-41.6391277E-41.06496121.0E-57.3206134E-40.00156291070.00158287951.01277662.0E-5
8.03.9318823E-75.5278144E-75.5278144E-71.00.01.6850913E-62.3690613E-62.3690613E-61.00.02.0515794E-52.8842946E-52.8842946E-51.00.02.0513899E-42.9905947E-42.9905947E-41.00.0
8.11.596793E-71.1375019E-71.1375019E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.875007E-74.875007E-71.00.08.331805E-65.9353056E-65.9353056E-61.00.08.331492E-56.548086E-56.548086E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5429568E-82.5429568E-81.00.02.10013E-71.08983855E-71.08983855E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3268777E-61.3268777E-61.00.02.556876E-51.4948596E-51.4948596E-51.00.0

White Wolf

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0037822E-51.0468569E-61.1046846E-510.5523941.0E-58.587355E-54.486522E-62.4486433E-55.4577762.0E-50.0010450095.4622087E-57.4621E-51.36613232.0E-50.0104010855.460917E-45.660808E-41.03660392.0E-5
6.12.0037822E-51.0468569E-61.1046846E-510.5523941.0E-58.587355E-54.486522E-62.4486433E-55.4577762.0E-50.0010450095.4622087E-57.4621E-51.36613232.0E-50.0104010855.460917E-45.660808E-41.03660392.0E-5
6.22.0037822E-51.0468569E-61.1046846E-510.5523941.0E-58.587355E-54.486522E-62.4486433E-55.4577762.0E-50.0010450095.4622087E-57.4621E-51.36613232.0E-50.0104010855.460917E-45.660808E-41.03660392.0E-5
6.32.0037822E-51.0468569E-61.1046846E-510.5523941.0E-58.587355E-54.486522E-62.4486433E-55.4577762.0E-50.0010450095.4622087E-57.4621E-51.36613232.0E-50.0104010855.460917E-45.660808E-41.03660392.0E-5
6.41.132487E-51.0468569E-61.1046846E-510.5523941.0E-54.8534253E-54.486522E-62.4486433E-55.4577762.0E-55.907443E-45.4622087E-57.4621E-51.36613232.0E-50.0058917645.460917E-45.660808E-41.03660392.0E-5
6.51.132487E-51.0468569E-61.1046846E-510.5523941.0E-54.8534253E-54.486522E-62.4486433E-55.4577762.0E-55.907443E-45.4622087E-57.4621E-51.36613232.0E-50.0058917645.460917E-45.660808E-41.03660392.0E-5
6.69.347473E-61.0468569E-61.1046846E-510.5523941.0E-54.0059982E-54.486522E-62.4486433E-55.4577762.0E-54.8762115E-45.4622087E-57.4621E-51.36613232.0E-50.00486552535.460917E-45.660808E-41.03660392.0E-5
6.77.842647E-61.0047759E-61.1004766E-510.9524581.0E-53.361091E-54.3061755E-62.430609E-55.64447262.0E-54.0913603E-45.2426476E-57.242543E-51.38146662.0E-50.0040838365.24146E-45.441356E-41.03813732.0E-5
6.86.26597E-69.734274E-79.734274E-71.00.02.685388E-54.1718254E-61.4171784E-53.39702221.0E-53.2689696E-45.079084E-56.0790335E-51.19687591.0E-50.0032641655.0779723E-45.177922E-41.01968291.0E-5
6.95.258436E-69.1827206E-79.1827206E-71.00.02.2535958E-53.935446E-61.3935407E-53.5409981.0E-52.7434074E-44.791305E-55.791257E-51.20870141.0E-50.00274002324.79032E-44.890272E-41.02086541.0E-5
7.04.675028E-68.6606906E-78.6606906E-71.00.02.003568E-53.7117195E-61.3711682E-53.69415931.0E-52.4390711E-44.5189296E-55.5188844E-51.22128131.0E-50.00243639574.5180577E-44.6180125E-41.02212351.0E-5
7.12.8270078E-66.8737603E-76.8737603E-71.00.01.2115692E-52.9458943E-61.2945865E-54.3945451.0E-51.4749856E-43.5865713E-54.5865356E-51.27880791.0E-50.0014740073.5860334E-43.6859975E-41.0278761.0E-5
7.21.6881406E-62.2703391E-72.2703391E-71.00.07.2348685E-69.730021E-79.730021E-71.00.08.808096E-51.1846238E-51.1846238E-51.00.08.8046055E-41.1845622E-41.1845622E-41.00.0
7.39.086107E-71.5264456E-71.5264456E-71.00.03.8940398E-66.5419084E-76.5419084E-71.00.04.7408903E-57.964745E-67.964745E-61.00.04.739879E-47.964468E-57.964468E-51.00.0
7.41.9717383E-79.003382E-89.003382E-81.00.08.450304E-73.8585918E-73.8585918E-71.00.01.0288197E-54.6978257E-64.6978257E-61.00.01.028772E-44.6977297E-54.6977297E-51.00.0
7.51.086975E-76.659645E-86.659645E-81.00.04.6584634E-72.8541334E-72.8541334E-71.00.05.6716644E-63.474902E-63.474902E-61.00.05.6715195E-53.47485E-53.47485E-51.00.0
7.62.4217808E-81.5820849E-81.5820849E-81.00.01.03790605E-76.780364E-86.780364E-81.00.01.2636499E-68.25509E-78.25509E-71.00.01.2636427E-58.255064E-68.255064E-61.00.0

Dry Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.4393753E-61.6439311E-52.55293561.0E-52.6668875E-52.759712E-53.7596845E-51.36234661.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595905E-43.5595233E-41.05951112.0E-50.00324171320.00335607380.00337600661.00593942.0E-5
6.16.222801E-66.4393753E-61.6439311E-52.55293561.0E-52.6668875E-52.759712E-53.7596845E-51.36234661.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595905E-43.5595233E-41.05951112.0E-50.00324171320.00335607380.00337600661.00593942.0E-5
6.26.222801E-66.4393753E-61.6439311E-52.55293561.0E-52.6668875E-52.759712E-53.7596845E-51.36234661.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595905E-43.5595233E-41.05951112.0E-50.00324171320.00335607380.00337600661.00593942.0E-5
6.36.222801E-66.4393753E-61.6439311E-52.55293561.0E-52.6668875E-52.759712E-53.7596845E-51.36234661.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595905E-43.5595233E-41.05951112.0E-50.00324171320.00335607380.00337600661.00593942.0E-5
6.46.222801E-66.4393753E-61.6439311E-52.55293561.0E-52.6668875E-52.759712E-53.7596845E-51.36234661.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595905E-43.5595233E-41.05951112.0E-50.00324171320.00335607380.00337600661.00593942.0E-5
6.52.8528623E-62.9521657E-61.2952136E-54.3873341.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652126E-52.2652E-51.7903711.0E-51.4884741E-41.5403745E-41.6403591E-41.06490921.0E-50.00148747740.00154016020.00155014471.00648281.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.9521657E-61.2952136E-54.3873341.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652126E-52.2652E-51.7903711.0E-51.4884741E-41.5403745E-41.6403591E-41.06490921.0E-50.00148747740.00154016020.00155014471.00648281.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6293555E-61.2629329E-54.80320361.0E-51.0889954E-51.1268666E-52.1268554E-51.88740651.0E-51.3257713E-41.3719601E-41.4719465E-41.07287841.0E-50.00132498060.00137196020.00138194641.00727881.0E-5

Imperial

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.0544227E-45.154372E-41.01977471.0E-50.00117788690.00216442230.0021843791.00922042.0E-50.01424676550.0260582380.0260777161.00074762.0E-50.133672490.228048030.228063461.00006772.0E-5
6.12.5356023E-44.864932E-44.9648836E-41.02054521.0E-50.0010862340.00208334320.00210330151.00957992.0E-50.0131449280.0250722560.0250917541.00077772.0E-50.1239401550.219483820.219499421.00007122.0E-5
6.22.4820742E-44.7744758E-44.8744283E-41.02093471.0E-50.00106331240.00204463720.00206459641.00976172.0E-50.012869190.0246123220.024631831.00079262.0E-50.121489270.215989650.216005331.00007262.0E-5
6.32.3205351E-44.588405E-44.6883593E-41.02178411.0E-59.94136E-40.00196501430.00198497481.01015812.0E-50.0120365990.0236598830.023679411.00082532.0E-50.114051330.207923680.207939521.00007622.0E-5
6.42.0304754E-43.9870106E-44.086971E-41.02507151.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170761450.00172758031.01169232.0E-50.0105398690.020593530.0206131171.00095122.0E-50.1005376350.185055210.185071511.00008812.0E-5
6.51.854992E-43.6982604E-43.7982233E-41.02702981.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158401830.00160398671.01260612.0E-50.0096332810.019120250.0191398671.0010262.0E-50.09226230.173288140.173304681.00009542.0E-5
6.61.6586106E-43.402928E-43.5028943E-41.02937651.0E-57.106394E-40.00145759280.00147756361.01370122.0E-50.0086177630.0176043360.0176239831.0011162.0E-50.082911320.160758480.160775271.00010442.0E-5
6.71.4224656E-43.076128E-43.1760972E-41.03249841.0E-56.094856E-40.00131768270.00133765631.01515822.0E-50.00739526930.015925290.015944971.00123582.0E-50.071539550.146465390.146482471.00011662.0E-5
6.81.2317259E-42.778561E-42.8785333E-41.03597991.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119027460.00121025081.01678292.0E-50.00640675470.0143966840.0144163971.00136922.0E-50.062251660.132918660.1329361.00013042.0E-5
6.99.859898E-52.5009012E-42.600876E-41.03997561.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107137870.00109135731.01864762.0E-50.00513179460.0129669840.0129867241.00152242.0E-50.050148930.119386250.119403861.00014762.0E-5
7.07.3191884E-52.1261652E-42.2261438E-41.0470231.0E-53.136418E-49.108986E-49.308804E-41.02193632.0E-50.0038119040.0110344820.0110542621.00179262.0E-50.0374717640.10204440.102062361.0001762.0E-5
7.17.1760296E-52.0963016E-42.1962807E-41.0476931.0E-53.0750787E-48.981088E-49.1809087E-41.0222492.0E-50.0037374820.01088033150.0109001141.00181822.0E-50.036752450.100681030.1006990151.00017872.0E-5
7.26.46614E-51.9131559E-42.0131367E-41.05225971.0E-52.7709085E-48.196693E-48.296611E-41.012191.0E-50.00336836280.0099344320.0099443321.00099661.0E-50.0331776250.092487760.0924968351.00009811.0E-5
7.36.088115E-51.7803388E-41.880321E-41.05615911.0E-52.6089314E-47.627821E-47.727745E-41.01309991.0E-50.00317174760.0092479020.009257811.00107131.0E-50.0312685850.0865386350.086547771.00010551.0E-5
7.44.199346E-51.1508458E-41.2508343E-41.08688261.0E-51.7995955E-44.9312727E-45.0312234E-41.02026881.0E-50.00218880570.0059874660.00599740631.00166011.0E-50.021673720.0574296860.057439111.00016421.0E-5
7.53.130448E-58.33348E-59.333397E-51.11998781.0E-51.3415517E-43.5710057E-43.67097E-41.02799331.0E-50.00163211530.0043390920.00434904871.00229471.0E-50.0162018030.0421324070.0421419851.00022731.0E-5
7.62.3074248E-56.084606E-56.084606E-51.00.09.888588E-52.607429E-42.607429E-41.00.00.00120327060.0031699470.0031699471.00.00.0119677610.0310268810.0310268811.00.0
7.71.45864815E-54.012569E-54.012569E-51.00.06.2511994E-51.7195594E-41.7195594E-41.00.07.608177E-40.00209155890.00209155891.00.00.0075821820.02062840.02062841.00.0
7.81.0352979E-53.096157E-53.096157E-51.00.04.4369157E-51.3268572E-41.3268572E-41.00.05.400606E-40.00161425390.00161425391.00.00.00538750.0160174220.0160174221.00.0
7.98.137906E-62.2149336E-52.2149336E-51.00.03.4876273E-59.492228E-59.492228E-51.00.04.2453592E-40.0011550670.0011550671.00.00.0042372580.0116183430.0116183431.00.0
8.06.93792E-61.8008765E-51.8008765E-51.00.02.9733603E-57.717814E-57.717814E-51.00.03.6194647E-49.392395E-49.392395E-41.00.00.00361357510.0095019540.0095019541.00.0
8.13.4286315E-66.3794105E-66.3794105E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.7340044E-52.7340044E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.3281432E-43.3281432E-41.00.00.00178741480.0034861590.0034861591.00.0
8.21.4906886E-61.9363238E-61.9363238E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.298504E-68.298504E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.0102963E-41.0102963E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00110741510.00110741511.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.4492432E-81.4492432E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.211042E-86.211042E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.561944E-77.561944E-71.00.01.344007E-57.885293E-67.885293E-61.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.762709E-44.8626616E-41.02098641.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203960160.00205956071.00978592.0E-50.0116839880.0245418050.0245613141.00079492.0E-50.110884230.213478210.213493931.00007372.0E-5
6.12.2521618E-44.762709E-44.8626616E-41.02098641.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203960160.00205956071.00978592.0E-50.0116839880.0245418050.0245613141.00079492.0E-50.110884230.213478210.213493931.00007372.0E-5
6.22.198148E-44.6711712E-44.7711245E-41.0213981.0E-59.417233E-40.00200043130.00202039141.00997782.0E-50.0114053430.0240761130.0240956321.00081072.0E-50.108374280.209914760.209930571.00007522.0E-5
6.32.1704129E-44.6147394E-44.7146934E-41.02165971.0E-59.298453E-40.0019762830.00199624361.01012.0E-50.0112622340.0237896740.0238091981.00082082.0E-50.1070827250.207805810.207821671.00007632.0E-5
6.41.876142E-44.0039537E-44.1039137E-41.02496531.0E-58.038131E-40.0017148660.00173483171.01164272.0E-50.009742590.0206757110.0206952971.00094742.0E-50.0932636860.184555380.184571681.00008832.0E-5
6.51.7390939E-43.747172E-43.8471346E-41.02667681.0E-57.45113E-40.00160495460.00162492251.01244142.0E-50.0090340780.019364470.0193840841.00101282.0E-50.0867552160.174377750.174394261.00009472.0E-5
6.61.591791E-43.4886636E-43.5886286E-41.02865421.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149429480.0015142651.01336422.0E-50.0082719960.0180416870.0180613271.00108852.0E-50.079707740.163785740.163802471.00010222.0E-5
6.71.4268003E-43.2052814E-43.3052496E-41.03118851.0E-56.1134255E-40.0013729770.00139294961.01454692.0E-50.0074177230.0165884480.0166081151.00118572.0E-50.071749560.151913320.151930271.00011172.0E-5
6.81.239713E-42.9048265E-43.0047973E-41.03441551.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124433790.0012643131.01605282.0E-50.00644816740.0150460050.01506570451.00130932.0E-50.062642430.138358270.13837551.00012462.0E-5
6.91.0180238E-42.624914E-42.7248877E-41.03808651.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112448240.00114445991.0177662.0E-50.0052980890.0136056320.013625361.001452.0E-50.051735430.1249420640.1249595661.00014012.0E-5
7.07.6619996E-52.2394217E-42.3393994E-41.04464441.0E-53.283301E-49.594023E-49.793831E-41.02082632.0E-50.00399009320.0116188730.011638641.00170142.0E-50.0391920660.107246660.107264511.00016652.0E-5
7.17.5127435E-52.207738E-42.3077159E-41.04528521.0E-53.2193496E-49.458335E-49.658146E-41.02112532.0E-50.00391251550.0114554210.0114751921.00172592.0E-50.0384434420.105810730.105828621.0001692.0E-5
7.26.788582E-52.0205107E-42.1204905E-41.04948251.0E-52.9090676E-48.6564885E-48.756402E-41.01154211.0E-50.00353603860.0104889830.0104988791.00094341.0E-50.0348030.09748040.097489431.00009261.0E-5
7.36.399602E-51.883617E-41.983598E-41.05307941.0E-52.7423984E-48.070175E-48.170094E-41.01238131.0E-50.00333375860.0097817630.0097916651.00101231.0E-50.032841880.0913752240.0913843141.00009941.0E-5
7.44.506759E-51.2527342E-41.3527217E-41.07981541.0E-51.9313251E-45.367765E-45.467711E-41.01861981.0E-50.00234885260.0065158450.006525781.00152471.0E-50.0232418050.0623538570.0623632331.00015031.0E-5
7.53.43289E-59.335652E-51.0335558E-41.10710621.0E-51.4711556E-44.0003832E-44.1003432E-41.02498761.0E-50.00178966030.0048596520.0048696031.00204781.0E-50.017753160.0470558030.0470653331.00020251.0E-5
7.62.5980507E-57.053283E-57.053283E-51.00.01.1134028E-43.0224866E-43.0224866E-41.00.00.0013547250.00367369250.00367369251.00.00.0134649590.035841530.035841531.00.0
7.71.7292105E-54.940868E-54.940868E-51.00.07.4106916E-52.1173434E-42.1173434E-41.00.09.018782E-40.00257482380.00257482381.00.00.0089822670.0252912340.0252912341.00.0
7.81.2927471E-53.9694296E-53.9694296E-51.00.05.5402274E-51.7010733E-41.7010733E-41.00.06.743139E-40.00206909210.00206909211.00.00.00672271430.0204325150.0204325151.00.0
7.91.0200774E-52.8746123E-52.8746123E-51.00.04.371687E-51.2319186E-41.2319186E-41.00.05.321229E-40.001498830.001498831.00.00.0053085050.0149922370.0149922371.00.0
8.08.650396E-62.3277493E-52.3277493E-51.00.03.70726E-59.975687E-59.975687E-51.00.04.5126543E-40.00121386410.00121386411.00.00.00450350160.0122115720.0122115721.00.0
8.13.9368224E-67.3274655E-67.3274655E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.1403044E-53.1403044E-51.00.02.0539707E-43.8226513E-43.8226513E-41.00.00.00205207310.0040012670.0040012671.00.0
8.21.7101195E-62.2174895E-62.2174895E-61.00.07.329063E-69.503492E-69.503492E-61.00.08.922769E-51.156989E-41.156989E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.00126653180.00126653181.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.720686E-81.720686E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.3743685E-87.3743685E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.9782924E-78.9782924E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.364711E-69.364711E-61.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.1637845E-59.1637026E-51.12248221.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983282E-43.698258E-41.05715012.0E-50.0034802940.0042513850.00427131.00468432.0E-50.034262910.0417557880.0417749551.0004592.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.1637845E-59.1637026E-51.12248221.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983282E-43.698258E-41.05715012.0E-50.0034802940.0042513850.00427131.00468432.0E-50.034262910.0417557880.0417749551.0004592.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6452147E-54.6452147E-51.00.01.6884868E-41.990658E-42.0906382E-41.05022471.0E-50.00205379450.00242098680.00243096261.00412061.0E-50.0203491670.023952790.023962551.00040751.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.7928952E-53.7928952E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.625427E-41.7254108E-41.06151241.0E-50.00169909560.00197719130.00198717161.00504771.0E-50.016861630.0195997970.01960961.00050021.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.409762E-53.409762E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4612461E-41.5612316E-41.06842471.0E-50.00153574380.00177764170.0017876241.00561551.0E-50.0152517390.0176373960.017647221.0005571.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2247328E-53.2247328E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.3819565E-41.4819427E-41.07235121.0E-50.0014551790.00168125930.00169124241.00593791.0E-50.0144568680.0166884160.0166982491.00058931.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5762602E-52.5762602E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1040656E-41.2040546E-41.09056441.0E-50.00117293310.00134338580.00135337241.00743391.0E-50.0116676150.0133543650.0133642311.00073891.0E-5
6.71.9862755E-52.2666338E-52.2666338E-51.00.08.512331E-59.713789E-51.0713692E-41.10293641.0E-50.00103588360.00118202340.00119201161.008451.0E-50.0103106820.0117586560.0117685391.00084041.0E-5
6.81.6697575E-51.897764E-51.897764E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133026E-59.132945E-51.12294541.0E-58.7088346E-49.897555E-49.997456E-41.01009351.0E-50.0086747840.0098545010.0098644031.00100481.0E-5
6.91.5218415E-51.7269338E-51.7269338E-51.00.06.522015E-57.4009404E-58.400866E-51.1351081.0E-57.93766E-49.0070075E-49.1069174E-41.01109241.0E-50.0079093670.0089714480.0089813581.00110461.0E-5
7.01.2392958E-51.4032966E-51.4032966E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.013994E-57.013934E-51.16626881.0E-56.4644177E-47.3196535E-47.4195804E-41.01365181.0E-50.00644564540.00729633080.0073062581.00136051.0E-5
7.11.0934128E-51.2375094E-51.2375094E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.303508E-56.303455E-51.18854441.0E-55.7036756E-46.455181E-46.555117E-41.01548151.0E-50.00568905850.00643717730.00644711271.00154351.0E-5
7.29.5798805E-61.0844897E-51.0844897E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6477344E-55.6476878E-51.21514861.0E-54.9974193E-45.6572194E-45.7571626E-41.01766661.0E-50.00498619630.00564354150.0056534851.00176191.0E-5
7.38.0167365E-69.083885E-69.083885E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8930397E-54.8930007E-51.25685871.0E-54.1821605E-44.7388155E-44.838768E-41.02109231.0E-50.00417429860.0047294130.0047393661.00210441.0E-5
7.42.9581017E-63.362367E-63.362367E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410093E-52.4409948E-51.6939481.0E-51.5433785E-41.754338E-41.8543206E-41.05699161.0E-50.0015423070.00175344820.00176343071.00569311.0E-5

Northridge

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8340852E-57.587832E-67.587832E-61.00.07.860128E-53.2518885E-53.2518885E-51.00.09.565505E-43.958477E-44.1583978E-41.05050442.0E-50.0095244350.00395165660.00397157761.00504112.0E-5
6.11.8340852E-57.587832E-67.587832E-61.00.07.860128E-53.2518885E-53.2518885E-51.00.09.565505E-43.958477E-44.1583978E-41.05050442.0E-50.0095244350.00395165660.00397157761.00504112.0E-5
6.21.8340852E-57.587832E-67.587832E-61.00.07.860128E-53.2518885E-53.2518885E-51.00.09.565505E-43.958477E-44.1583978E-41.05050442.0E-50.0095244350.00395165660.00397157761.00504112.0E-5
6.31.8340852E-57.587832E-67.587832E-61.00.07.860128E-53.2518885E-53.2518885E-51.00.09.565505E-43.958477E-44.1583978E-41.05050442.0E-50.0095244350.00395165660.00397157761.00504112.0E-5
6.41.7361892E-57.587832E-67.587832E-61.00.07.440598E-53.2518885E-53.2518885E-51.00.09.055163E-43.958477E-44.1583978E-41.05050442.0E-50.0090183540.00395165660.00397157761.00504112.0E-5
6.51.7361892E-57.587832E-67.587832E-61.00.07.440598E-53.2518885E-53.2518885E-51.00.09.055163E-43.958477E-44.1583978E-41.05050442.0E-50.0090183540.00395165660.00397157761.00504112.0E-5
6.61.5458201E-57.587832E-67.587832E-61.00.06.624775E-53.2518885E-53.2518885E-51.00.08.0626784E-43.958477E-44.1583978E-41.05050442.0E-50.0080334880.00395165660.00397157761.00504112.0E-5
6.71.2538368E-56.3814728E-66.3814728E-61.00.05.3734755E-52.7348884E-52.7348884E-51.00.06.5402425E-43.3292224E-43.429189E-41.0300271.0E-50.00652102750.00332429120.0033342581.00299811.0E-5
6.81.1438097E-56.350132E-66.350132E-61.00.04.9019498E-52.721457E-52.721457E-51.00.05.9664896E-43.3128745E-43.4128415E-41.03017521.0E-50.0059504950.00330799210.00331795911.0030131.0E-5
6.91.1204891E-56.286588E-66.286588E-61.00.04.8020076E-52.6942243E-52.6942243E-51.00.05.8448757E-43.2797287E-43.379696E-41.03048041.0E-50.00582952660.00327494440.00328491161.00304351.0E-5
7.01.061046E-56.1152455E-66.1152455E-61.00.04.5472607E-52.6207934E-52.6207934E-51.00.05.534883E-43.190353E-43.290321E-41.03133451.0E-50.00552111770.00318581940.00319578751.00312891.0E-5
7.11.0266979E-56.0041675E-66.0041675E-61.00.04.40006E-52.5731895E-52.5731895E-51.00.05.355756E-43.132412E-43.2323808E-41.03191421.0E-50.00534286680.0031280430.00313801161.0031871.0E-5
7.29.91273E-65.819883E-65.819883E-61.00.04.248244E-52.494212E-52.494212E-51.00.05.171009E-43.0362842E-43.1362538E-41.0329251.0E-50.00515899340.00303218070.00304215031.00328791.0E-5
7.38.4959265E-65.1929974E-65.1929974E-61.00.03.6410605E-52.2255514E-52.2255514E-51.00.04.4320893E-42.7092744E-42.8092472E-41.03690031.0E-50.004423260.00270599780.00271597061.00368551.0E-5
7.48.0847185E-64.9818777E-64.9818777E-61.00.03.4648332E-52.135073E-52.135073E-51.00.04.2176177E-42.5991438E-42.6991178E-41.03846421.0E-50.00420962230.00259612970.00260610371.00384191.0E-5
7.56.8220684E-64.2532515E-64.2532515E-61.00.02.9237108E-51.8228095E-51.8228095E-51.00.03.5590364E-42.2190464E-42.3190242E-41.04505441.0E-50.00355334180.00221685160.00222682951.00450091.0E-5
7.64.4224143E-62.8999207E-62.8999207E-61.00.01.8953066E-51.2428173E-51.2428173E-51.00.02.3072914E-41.513026E-41.613011E-41.06608271.0E-50.00230489740.00151200760.00152199251.00660371.0E-5
7.72.5297056E-61.6045888E-61.6045888E-61.00.01.0841551E-56.8767913E-66.8767913E-61.00.01.319879E-48.372176E-59.3720926E-51.11943331.0E-50.00131909538.369069E-48.4689853E-41.01193881.0E-5
7.81.2508156E-68.7801374E-78.7801374E-71.00.05.3606273E-63.7629106E-63.7629106E-61.00.06.526368E-54.5812485E-55.5812026E-51.21827111.0E-56.524452E-44.5803172E-44.6802714E-41.02182261.0E-5
7.92.262199E-71.4664857E-71.4664857E-71.00.09.695135E-76.2849375E-76.2849375E-71.00.01.1803763E-57.651885E-61.7651808E-52.30685761.0E-51.1803136E-47.651629E-58.651553E-51.13068121.0E-5
8.02.865362E-91.27525E-91.27525E-91.00.01.2280123E-85.465357E-95.465357E-91.00.01.4951048E-76.654072E-86.654072E-81.00.01.4951038E-66.6540724E-76.6540724E-71.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.395107E-59.395107E-51.00.03.22824E-44.0258773E-44.0258773E-41.00.00.00392330070.0048910890.0048910891.00.00.038547550.0479036980.0479227381.00039762.0E-5
6.14.1807285E-55.0492818E-55.0492818E-51.00.01.7916178E-42.163802E-42.163802E-41.00.00.00217911230.00263132180.00263132181.00.00.0215786770.026010980.026020721.00037441.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0492818E-55.0492818E-51.00.01.7916178E-42.163802E-42.163802E-41.00.00.00217911230.00263132180.00263132181.00.00.0215786770.026010980.026020721.00037441.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7710935E-53.7710935E-51.00.01.3624904E-41.6160845E-41.6160845E-41.00.00.00165756980.00196583920.00196583921.00.00.0164526030.0194883980.0194982031.00050321.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5335623E-53.5335623E-51.00.01.2804232E-41.5142979E-41.5142979E-41.00.00.00155780030.00184213040.00184213041.00.00.0154692530.0182723760.0182821921.00053731.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8763967E-52.8763967E-51.00.01.0504962E-41.2326847E-41.2326847E-41.00.00.00127822870.00149978730.00149978731.00.00.0127090120.0148996240.0149094741.00066111.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.4906556E-52.4906556E-51.00.09.135714E-51.06738145E-41.06738145E-41.00.00.00111170560.00129878440.00129878441.00.00.0110616050.0129143490.01292421951.00076441.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1634785E-52.1634785E-51.00.07.9650374E-59.271733E-59.271733E-51.00.09.6931186E-40.00112826940.00112826941.00.00.00965094750.0112275730.0112374611.00088071.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8419396E-51.8419396E-51.00.06.798199E-57.8937985E-57.8937985E-51.00.08.273665E-49.606655E-49.606655E-41.00.00.0082429280.0095671090.0095770141.00103521.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.50952E-51.50952E-51.00.05.5805274E-56.469221E-56.469221E-51.00.06.792174E-47.873612E-47.873612E-41.00.00.0067714520.0078475390.00785746051.00126431.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.272005E-51.272005E-51.00.04.7032172E-55.451346E-55.451346E-51.00.05.7246623E-46.635168E-46.635168E-41.00.00.00570993730.0066171070.00662704041.00150121.0E-5
7.18.766221E-61.0163789E-51.0163789E-51.00.03.7568978E-54.3558466E-54.3558466E-51.00.04.573063E-45.302125E-45.302125E-41.00.00.00456366360.0052911740.0053011211.00187991.0E-5
7.28.026024E-78.3317616E-78.3317616E-71.00.03.43972E-63.57075E-63.57075E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.3473025E-54.3473025E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.346463E-44.346463E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.7001016E-73.7001016E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5857568E-61.5857568E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306419E-51.9306419E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9304748E-41.9304748E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674424E-71.9674424E-71.00.08.810155E-78.431893E-78.431893E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.0265781E-51.0265781E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.026531E-41.026531E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.279406E-86.279406E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6911735E-72.6911735E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.276499E-63.276499E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.2764518E-53.2764518E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531901E-95.531901E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708148E-82.3708148E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864667E-72.8864667E-71.00.03.181591E-62.886464E-62.886464E-61.00.0

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0131365E-53.2798693E-54.2798365E-51.30488031.0E-51.2912804E-41.4055884E-41.5055743E-41.07113461.0E-50.0015710.00171006610.00173003191.01167552.0E-50.0155994020.0169798770.0169995371.00115792.0E-5
6.13.0131365E-53.2798693E-54.2798365E-51.30488031.0E-51.2912804E-41.4055884E-41.5055743E-41.07113461.0E-50.0015710.00171006610.00173003191.01167552.0E-50.0155994020.0169798770.0169995371.00115792.0E-5
6.23.0131365E-53.2798693E-54.2798365E-51.30488031.0E-51.2912804E-41.4055884E-41.5055743E-41.07113461.0E-50.0015710.00171006610.00173003191.01167552.0E-50.0155994020.0169798770.0169995371.00115792.0E-5
6.31.6998249E-51.8330758E-51.8330758E-51.00.07.28476E-57.8558136E-57.8558136E-51.00.08.865586E-49.560443E-49.660347E-41.01044981.0E-50.00883030050.0095212380.0095311421.00104031.0E-5
6.41.6998249E-51.8330758E-51.8330758E-51.00.07.28476E-57.8558136E-57.8558136E-51.00.08.865586E-49.560443E-49.660347E-41.01044981.0E-50.00883030050.0095212380.0095311421.00104031.0E-5
6.51.27470785E-51.3693284E-51.3693284E-51.00.05.4629192E-55.8684243E-55.8684243E-51.00.06.649074E-47.142568E-47.2424964E-41.01399051.0E-50.00662921460.00712066380.00713059261.00139441.0E-5
6.61.2739422E-51.3685371E-51.3685371E-51.00.05.4596385E-55.865033E-55.865033E-51.00.06.645082E-47.138442E-47.2383706E-41.01399861.0E-50.00662524670.0071165640.0071264931.00139521.0E-5
6.71.0160109E-51.0885733E-51.0885733E-51.00.04.35426E-54.6652345E-54.6652345E-51.00.05.300022E-45.6785136E-45.7784567E-41.01760031.0E-50.0052873990.0056647150.00567465831.00175541.0E-5
6.88.349859E-68.9325695E-68.9325695E-61.00.03.578462E-53.828191E-53.828191E-51.00.04.3559066E-44.6598824E-44.7598357E-41.02144981.0E-50.0043473780.0046506760.00466062971.00214031.0E-5
6.95.193639E-65.5364194E-65.5364194E-61.00.02.2258262E-52.3727313E-52.3727313E-51.00.02.7096065E-42.88845E-42.9884212E-41.03461061.0E-50.00270630510.00288501660.00289498781.00345621.0E-5
7.04.359381E-64.643357E-64.643357E-61.00.01.8682927E-51.9899966E-51.9899966E-51.00.02.274409E-42.4225812E-42.522557E-41.04126821.0E-50.00227208270.00242023330.0024302091.00412181.0E-5
7.13.0398533E-63.231036E-63.231036E-61.00.01.3027877E-51.3847239E-51.3847239E-51.00.01.5860285E-41.6857972E-41.7857803E-41.05930911.0E-50.0015848970.0016847760.00169475911.00592551.0E-5
7.21.642335E-61.7333118E-61.7333118E-61.00.07.0385595E-67.4284694E-67.4284694E-61.00.08.569109E-59.043993E-51.0043903E-41.11056071.0E-58.5658056E-49.0423395E-49.142249E-41.0110491.0E-5
7.33.356842E-73.2952312E-73.2952312E-71.00.01.4386458E-61.4122412E-61.4122412E-61.00.01.7515373E-51.7193901E-51.7193901E-51.00.01.7513991E-41.7192581E-41.7192581E-41.00.0
7.42.1973483E-72.1006346E-72.1006346E-71.00.09.417204E-79.002717E-79.002717E-71.00.01.1465385E-51.0960753E-51.0960753E-51.00.01.1464794E-41.0960216E-41.0960216E-41.00.0
7.51.1944135E-71.06959774E-71.06959774E-71.00.05.118914E-74.5839894E-74.5839894E-71.00.06.23226E-65.580993E-65.580993E-61.00.06.2320854E-55.580854E-55.580854E-51.00.0
7.64.636058E-83.336394E-83.336394E-81.00.01.9868818E-71.429883E-71.429883E-71.00.02.419026E-61.7408811E-61.7408811E-61.00.02.4189996E-51.7408676E-51.7408676E-51.00.0
7.71.8588572E-88.002803E-98.002803E-91.00.07.9665305E-83.4297724E-83.4297724E-81.00.09.699246E-74.175747E-74.175747E-71.00.09.699204E-64.1757394E-64.1757394E-61.00.0
7.82.7960154E-97.6083606E-107.6083606E-101.00.01.1982923E-83.2607255E-93.2607255E-91.00.01.4589209E-73.969933E-83.969933E-81.00.01.4589199E-63.9699327E-73.9699327E-71.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.655829E-53.655829E-51.00.01.4070606E-41.566699E-41.6666834E-41.06381851.0E-50.001711750.00190595360.00191593451.00523671.0E-50.0169862470.0189129750.0189325981.00103752.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1659453E-52.1659453E-51.00.08.500672E-59.282304E-59.282304E-51.00.00.00103446550.00112955470.00112955471.00.00.0102966320.0112402680.0112501561.00087961.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1659453E-52.1659453E-51.00.08.500672E-59.282304E-59.282304E-51.00.00.00103446550.00112955470.00112955471.00.00.0102966320.0112402680.0112501561.00087961.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.7033912E-51.7033912E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.300047E-57.300047E-51.00.08.2034385E-48.884244E-48.884244E-41.00.00.0081732220.0088494080.0088593191.001121.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.7033912E-51.7033912E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.300047E-57.300047E-51.00.08.2034385E-48.884244E-48.884244E-41.00.00.0081732220.0088494080.0088593191.001121.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.479449E-51.479449E-51.00.05.8746107E-56.340344E-56.340344E-51.00.07.1499916E-47.71667E-47.71667E-41.00.00.00712703030.0076902730.0076902731.00.0
6.61.2539813E-51.3510192E-51.3510192E-51.00.05.3740947E-55.789955E-55.789955E-51.00.06.540996E-47.047017E-47.047017E-41.00.00.00652177630.0070249740.0070249741.00.0
6.71.1504083E-51.237735E-51.237735E-51.00.04.930228E-55.3044718E-55.3044718E-51.00.06.0008996E-46.4563006E-46.4563006E-41.00.00.0059847210.0064377730.0064377731.00.0
6.81.012739E-51.087705E-51.087705E-51.00.04.340238E-54.6615103E-54.6615103E-51.00.05.282958E-45.673926E-45.673926E-41.00.00.00527041640.00565960860.00565960861.00.0
6.98.9607865E-69.609099E-69.609099E-61.00.03.8402806E-54.1181207E-54.1181207E-51.00.04.6745385E-45.012669E-45.012669E-41.00.00.00466471770.0050014820.0050014821.00.0
7.08.046829E-68.61973E-68.61973E-61.00.03.4485955E-53.694118E-53.694118E-51.00.04.1978562E-44.4966684E-44.4966684E-41.00.00.0041899350.00448766020.00448766021.00.0
7.17.136131E-67.637642E-67.637642E-61.00.03.0583058E-53.2732343E-53.2732343E-51.00.03.7228514E-43.984441E-43.984441E-41.00.00.00371662060.00397737370.00397737371.00.0
7.26.362014E-66.8049458E-66.8049458E-61.00.02.726549E-52.9163732E-52.9163732E-51.00.03.3190678E-43.5501123E-43.5501123E-41.00.00.00331411490.00354450940.00354450941.00.0
7.35.004101E-65.351705E-65.351705E-61.00.02.1445969E-52.2935681E-52.2935681E-51.00.02.6107338E-42.7920667E-42.7920667E-41.00.00.0026076690.00278861360.00278861361.00.0
7.43.4901443E-63.7320456E-63.7320456E-61.00.01.4957676E-51.5994385E-51.5994385E-51.00.01.8209449E-41.9471462E-41.9471462E-41.00.00.00181945340.00194547870.00194547871.00.0
7.51.1215045E-61.1893851E-61.1893851E-61.00.04.806439E-65.097355E-65.097355E-61.00.05.851682E-56.205856E-56.205856E-51.00.05.850142E-46.204154E-46.204154E-41.00.0
7.62.8599047E-72.9951954E-72.9951954E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.2836546E-61.2836546E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5628384E-51.5628384E-51.00.01.4921463E-41.5627299E-41.5627299E-41.00.0
7.72.0781519E-72.1744296E-72.1744296E-71.00.08.906362E-79.3189806E-79.3189806E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.1345801E-51.1345801E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1345231E-41.1345231E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.7640977E-83.7640977E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6131847E-71.6131847E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9640506E-61.9640506E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9640345E-51.9640345E-51.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.46919765E-52.469183E-51.68063371.0E-57.037136E-56.296431E-57.296368E-51.15881011.0E-58.5643446E-47.663592E-47.7635155E-41.01303881.0E-50.0085314130.00764095740.0076608051.00259752.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.46919765E-52.469183E-51.68063371.0E-57.037136E-56.296431E-57.296368E-51.15881011.0E-58.5643446E-47.663592E-47.7635155E-41.01303881.0E-50.0085314130.00764095740.0076608051.00259752.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.46919765E-52.469183E-51.68063371.0E-57.037136E-56.296431E-57.296368E-51.15881011.0E-58.5643446E-47.663592E-47.7635155E-41.01303881.0E-50.0085314130.00764095740.0076608051.00259752.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.862235E-61.9862136E-52.0139591.0E-55.1628023E-54.226617E-55.2265746E-51.23658591.0E-56.283899E-45.144923E-45.244871E-41.01942661.0E-50.00626615950.0051352930.00515519041.00387472.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.862235E-61.9862136E-52.0139591.0E-55.1628023E-54.226617E-55.2265746E-51.23658591.0E-56.283899E-45.144923E-45.244871E-41.01942661.0E-50.00626615950.0051352930.00515519041.00387472.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879364E-61.7879285E-52.2691281.0E-54.390359E-53.376838E-54.3768043E-51.2961251.0E-55.343951E-44.1107315E-44.2106907E-41.02431651.0E-50.0053311180.0041051590.0041250771.00485192.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.177404E-67.177404E-61.00.04.1165385E-53.0760053E-53.0760053E-51.00.05.010733E-43.7445966E-43.7445966E-41.00.00.004999450.0037402840.00375024651.00266361.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.123916E-66.123916E-61.00.03.687454E-52.6245201E-52.6245201E-51.00.04.48855E-43.1950796E-43.1950796E-41.00.00.0044794950.00319239780.00319239781.00.0
6.85.187994E-62.563116E-62.563116E-61.00.02.223407E-51.0984759E-51.0984759E-51.00.02.7066618E-41.3373523E-41.3373523E-41.00.00.00270336750.0013369390.0013369391.00.0
6.94.5302368E-62.3442778E-62.3442778E-61.00.01.9415156E-51.0046889E-51.0046889E-51.00.02.3635388E-41.2231797E-41.2231797E-41.00.00.00236102660.00122289560.00122289561.00.0
7.03.431668E-61.6882176E-61.6882176E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.235218E-67.235218E-61.00.01.7904381E-48.808878E-58.808878E-51.00.00.00178899628.8088785E-48.8088785E-41.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.757326E-66.757326E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959692E-52.8959692E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.5253522E-43.7252816E-41.05671192.0E-50.00345162770.0035205480.00354047771.00566092.0E-5
6.16.6264497E-66.757326E-66.757326E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959692E-52.8959692E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.5253522E-43.7252816E-41.05671192.0E-50.00345162770.0035205480.00354047771.00566092.0E-5
6.26.6264497E-66.757326E-66.757326E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959692E-52.8959692E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.5253522E-43.7252816E-41.05671192.0E-50.00345162770.0035205480.00354047771.00566092.0E-5
6.36.6264497E-66.757326E-66.757326E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959692E-52.8959692E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.5253522E-43.7252816E-41.05671192.0E-50.00345162770.0035205480.00354047771.00566092.0E-5
6.46.6264497E-66.757326E-66.757326E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959692E-52.8959692E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.5253522E-43.7252816E-41.05671192.0E-50.00345162770.0035205480.00354047771.00566092.0E-5
6.53.2162225E-63.2570897E-63.2570897E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.3958886E-51.3958886E-51.00.01.6780409E-41.6993699E-41.6993699E-41.00.00.00167677440.00169815010.00169815011.00.0
6.63.2162225E-63.2570897E-63.2570897E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.3958886E-51.3958886E-51.00.01.6780409E-41.6993699E-41.6993699E-41.00.00.00167677440.00169815010.00169815011.00.0
6.72.1908265E-62.207121E-62.207121E-61.00.09.389223E-69.459058E-69.459058E-61.00.01.1430779E-41.1515813E-41.1515813E-41.00.00.00114249010.0011510040.0011510041.00.0
6.81.7303895E-61.7365521E-61.7365521E-61.00.07.415934E-67.4423456E-67.4423456E-61.00.09.028525E-59.060689E-59.060689E-51.00.09.024858E-49.057092E-49.057092E-41.00.0
6.91.3700314E-61.3688617E-61.3688617E-61.00.05.87155E-65.8665373E-65.8665373E-61.00.07.148377E-57.142279E-57.142279E-51.00.07.146078E-47.14003E-47.14003E-41.00.0
7.01.1467797E-61.14138E-61.14138E-61.00.04.9147607E-64.8916195E-64.8916195E-61.00.05.983557E-55.9553873E-55.9553873E-51.00.05.981946E-45.953823E-45.953823E-41.00.0
7.19.3952065E-79.302687E-79.302687E-71.00.04.026511E-63.98686E-63.98686E-61.00.04.9021666E-54.8538957E-54.8538957E-51.00.04.901085E-44.8528533E-44.8528533E-41.00.0
7.26.858055E-76.7192985E-76.7192985E-71.00.02.939163E-62.8796962E-62.8796962E-61.00.03.5783723E-53.5059747E-53.5059747E-51.00.03.5777962E-43.5054304E-43.5054304E-41.00.0
7.35.1101983E-74.9392986E-74.9392986E-71.00.02.1900833E-62.1168405E-62.1168405E-61.00.02.6663936E-52.5772233E-52.5772233E-51.00.02.6660739E-42.5769294E-42.5769294E-41.00.0
7.43.4999414E-73.2995902E-73.2995902E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141093E-61.4141093E-61.00.01.8262032E-51.7216647E-51.7216647E-51.00.01.826053E-41.7215338E-41.7215338E-41.00.0
7.51.7021522E-71.4750049E-71.4750049E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.321448E-76.321448E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696336E-67.696336E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696078E-57.696078E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.7352638E-81.7352638E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.054355E-79.054355E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.0543235E-69.0543235E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1148431E-52.1148431E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.063304E-51.0063213E-41.11032511.0E-50.00233628340.00110290790.00111289681.00905691.0E-50.023118740.0114786770.01149844751.00172232.0E-5
6.14.482615E-52.1148431E-52.1148431E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.063304E-51.0063213E-41.11032511.0E-50.00233628340.00110290790.00111289681.00905691.0E-50.023118740.0114786770.01149844751.00172232.0E-5
6.24.482615E-52.1148431E-52.1148431E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.063304E-51.0063213E-41.11032511.0E-50.00233628340.00110290790.00111289681.00905691.0E-50.023118740.0114786770.01149844751.00172232.0E-5
6.34.482615E-52.1148431E-52.1148431E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.063304E-51.0063213E-41.11032511.0E-50.00233628340.00110290790.00111289681.00905691.0E-50.023118740.0114786770.01149844751.00172232.0E-5
6.44.482615E-52.1148431E-52.1148431E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.063304E-51.0063213E-41.11032511.0E-50.00233628340.00110290790.00111289681.00905691.0E-50.023118740.0114786770.01149844751.00172232.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-51.735004E-51.735004E-51.00.01.5982533E-47.4355215E-58.435447E-51.13447951.0E-50.00194413669.049032E-49.1489416E-41.01104091.0E-50.019272160.0094788570.0094986671.002092.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-51.735004E-51.735004E-51.00.01.5982533E-47.4355215E-58.435447E-51.13447951.0E-50.00194413669.049032E-49.1489416E-41.01104091.0E-50.019272160.0094788570.0094986671.002092.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-51.6598056E-51.6598056E-51.00.01.5444479E-47.113261E-58.11319E-51.14057251.0E-50.00187874348.6569955E-48.756909E-41.01154141.0E-50.018629390.009081140.0091009591.00218242.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-51.6226495E-51.6226495E-51.00.01.5012783E-46.954029E-57.95396E-51.14379161.0E-50.00182627398.463283E-48.563198E-41.01180581.0E-50.018113380.00888173750.008901561.00223182.0E-5
6.93.435112E-51.605703E-51.605703E-51.00.01.4721078E-46.881406E-57.881337E-51.14530921.0E-50.00179081788.3749316E-48.474848E-41.01193031.0E-50.0177645480.0087894610.0088092851.00225542.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-51.4330898E-51.4330898E-51.00.01.241074E-46.14167E-57.1416085E-51.16281211.0E-50.00150996037.4749463E-47.5748714E-41.0133681.0E-50.0149974160.0078612730.0078811161.00252412.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-51.2823071E-51.2823071E-51.00.01.11436144E-45.4954875E-56.495433E-51.18195751.0E-50.00135589076.688723E-46.7886565E-41.01494051.0E-50.0134764750.007041280.0070611391.00282042.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-51.1255716E-51.1255716E-51.00.09.661716E-54.82379E-55.823742E-51.20729591.0E-50.0011756795.871396E-45.9713377E-41.01702181.0E-50.0116947850.00619006340.00620993971.0032112.0E-5
7.31.75334E-51.0805979E-51.0805979E-51.00.07.514098E-54.6310524E-55.6310062E-51.21592371.0E-59.144575E-45.636862E-45.736805E-41.01773041.0E-50.0091070360.00593072970.0059506111.00335232.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-51.0605883E-51.0605883E-51.00.06.82463E-54.5453E-55.5452547E-51.21999751.0E-58.305819E-45.532511E-45.632456E-41.0180651.0E-50.0082748440.00581811930.0058380031.00341752.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-59.84653E-69.84653E-61.00.05.7551293E-54.219874E-55.2198317E-51.23696391.0E-57.004617E-45.136496E-45.2364444E-41.01945851.0E-50.0069825790.00540380920.00542370141.00368112.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-58.609963E-68.609963E-61.00.04.5808283E-53.689932E-54.6898953E-51.27099761.0E-55.5757316E-44.491571E-44.591526E-41.02225391.0E-50.0055617620.00473910060.00475900571.00420022.0E-5
7.78.81236E-67.4664786E-67.4664786E-61.00.03.776671E-53.1998803E-54.1998483E-51.31250171.0E-54.597127E-43.8951598E-43.9951206E-41.02566291.0E-50.00458762840.00413400960.0041539271.0048182.0E-5
7.87.780431E-66.695141E-66.695141E-61.00.03.3344273E-52.8693148E-53.869286E-51.34850531.0E-54.0589093E-43.4928325E-43.5927977E-41.028621.0E-50.00405150370.00372215270.00374207831.00535322.0E-5
7.96.5437994E-65.7790494E-65.7790494E-61.00.02.8044553E-52.4767121E-53.4766872E-51.40375111.0E-53.4138895E-43.0149813E-43.1149513E-41.03315771.0E-50.00340864950.00323384230.003243811.00308231.0E-5
8.05.4488164E-64.812146E-64.812146E-61.00.02.3351862E-52.0623322E-53.0623116E-51.4848781.0E-52.8427184E-42.5106015E-42.6105763E-41.03982111.0E-50.00283908450.00271027580.0027202491.00367961.0E-5
8.12.8397242E-61.3662986E-61.3662986E-61.00.01.217019E-55.855553E-65.855553E-61.00.01.4816198E-47.128903E-57.128903E-51.00.00.00148063258.111905E-48.111905E-41.00.0
8.22.030244E-66.3135167E-76.3135167E-71.00.08.701017E-62.70579E-62.70579E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.2942502E-53.2942502E-51.00.00.00105879253.9462151E-43.9462151E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-62.9222883E-72.9222883E-71.00.04.568479E-61.2524088E-61.2524088E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.5247973E-51.5247973E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.8551825E-41.8551825E-41.00.0

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1599673E-53.1599673E-51.00.01.2498499E-41.3542091E-41.3542091E-41.00.00.00152063010.00164763890.00165762241.00605931.0E-50.0151026670.0163679630.0163876361.00120192.0E-5
6.12.9164563E-53.1599673E-53.1599673E-51.00.01.2498499E-41.3542091E-41.3542091E-41.00.00.00152063010.00164763890.00165762241.00605931.0E-50.0151026670.0163679630.0163876361.00120192.0E-5
6.22.9164563E-53.1599673E-53.1599673E-51.00.01.2498499E-41.3542091E-41.3542091E-41.00.00.00152063010.00164763890.00165762241.00605931.0E-50.0151026670.0163679630.0163876361.00120192.0E-5
6.31.6635553E-51.7804325E-51.7804325E-51.00.07.1293274E-57.630212E-57.630212E-51.00.08.6765E-49.2860067E-49.385914E-41.01075891.0E-50.0086427010.0092490760.0092589841.00107121.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.7804325E-51.7804325E-51.00.07.1293274E-57.630212E-57.630212E-51.00.08.6765E-49.2860067E-49.385914E-41.01075891.0E-50.0086427010.0092490760.0092589841.00107121.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3042973E-51.3042973E-51.00.05.2450723E-55.589728E-55.589728E-51.00.06.3840044E-46.8034057E-46.8034057E-41.00.00.00636569550.0067829760.0067829761.00.0
6.61.0489767E-51.1156617E-51.1156617E-51.00.04.495537E-54.781321E-54.781321E-51.00.05.4719415E-45.8197253E-45.8197253E-41.00.00.0054584870.0058047260.0058047261.00.0
6.78.699222E-69.236767E-69.236767E-61.00.03.7281847E-53.9585546E-53.9585546E-51.00.04.5381195E-44.81848E-44.81848E-41.00.00.00452886340.00480810.00480811.00.0
6.88.307732E-68.81689E-68.81689E-61.00.03.560408E-53.7786125E-53.7786125E-51.00.04.3339343E-44.599494E-44.599494E-41.00.00.0043254920.0045900280.0045900281.00.0
6.98.073121E-68.564925E-68.564925E-61.00.03.459863E-53.6706308E-53.6706308E-51.00.04.2115687E-44.4680806E-44.4680806E-41.00.00.0042035960.00445914870.00445914871.00.0
7.07.617019E-68.074651E-68.074651E-61.00.03.264396E-53.4605193E-53.4605193E-51.00.03.9736772E-44.2123714E-44.2123714E-41.00.00.0039665790.00420443430.00420443431.00.0
7.17.1224836E-67.545776E-67.545776E-61.00.03.052457E-53.233864E-53.233864E-51.00.03.715733E-43.9365218E-43.9365218E-41.00.00.0037095260.00392959170.00392959171.00.0
7.26.441115E-66.8273725E-66.8273725E-61.00.02.7604487E-52.9259842E-52.9259842E-51.00.03.360328E-43.5618056E-43.5618056E-41.00.00.00335525120.00355612530.00355612531.00.0
7.35.494274E-65.8199853E-65.8199853E-61.00.02.3546674E-52.4942556E-52.4942556E-51.00.02.8664304E-43.036335E-43.036335E-41.00.00.0028627360.00303220960.00303220961.00.0
7.44.0802624E-64.3122495E-64.3122495E-61.00.01.7486722E-51.848094E-51.848094E-51.00.02.1288003E-42.2498229E-42.2498229E-41.00.00.00212676220.0022475540.0022475541.00.0
7.52.3584746E-62.4753065E-62.4753065E-61.00.01.0107709E-51.06084135E-51.06084135E-51.00.01.2305441E-41.2914982E-41.2914982E-41.00.00.00122986290.00129075280.00129075281.00.0
7.69.4981914E-79.860922E-79.860922E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.2261026E-64.2261026E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451596E-55.1451596E-51.00.04.954795E-45.1439815E-45.1439815E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.641661E-72.641661E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321399E-61.1321399E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783717E-51.3783717E-51.00.01.357257E-41.3782868E-41.3782868E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.9656964E-83.9656964E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995841E-71.6995841E-71.00.02.16657E-62.0692419E-62.0692419E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692247E-52.0692247E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475225E-105.9475225E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489382E-92.5489382E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033323E-83.1033323E-81.00.04.030379E-73.103332E-73.103332E-71.00.0

San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0283932E-54.3056472E-54.3056472E-51.00.02.1548476E-41.8451478E-41.8451478E-41.00.00.00262037060.00224416660.0022541441.0044461.0E-50.025896870.0222955590.0223151131.0008772.0E-5
6.15.0283932E-54.3056472E-54.3056472E-51.00.02.1548476E-41.8451478E-41.8451478E-41.00.00.00262037060.00224416660.0022541441.0044461.0E-50.025896870.0222955590.0223151131.0008772.0E-5
6.24.2998647E-53.44403E-53.44403E-51.00.01.842669E-41.4759302E-41.4759302E-41.00.00.00224114120.00179547640.00180545851.00555961.0E-50.0221867360.017884550.0179041941.00109832.0E-5
6.34.2998647E-53.44403E-53.44403E-51.00.01.842669E-41.4759302E-41.4759302E-41.00.00.00224114120.00179547640.00180545851.00555961.0E-50.0221867360.017884550.0179041941.00109832.0E-5
6.44.1101295E-53.232552E-53.232552E-51.00.01.7613651E-41.3853065E-41.3853065E-41.00.00.00214235280.00168531920.00169530231.00592361.0E-50.021218170.0168002920.0168199561.00117042.0E-5
6.54.1032585E-53.2243555E-53.2243555E-51.00.01.7584208E-41.3817941E-41.3817941E-41.00.00.00213877530.00168104950.00169103271.00593861.0E-50.0211830750.0167582440.016777911.00117352.0E-5
6.64.011629E-53.126517E-53.126517E-51.00.01.7191563E-41.3398677E-41.3398677E-41.00.00.00209106340.00163008190.00164006571.00612461.0E-50.0207149610.0162570330.0162767061.00121022.0E-5
6.73.8583938E-52.9452214E-52.9452214E-51.00.01.6534925E-41.2621775E-41.2621775E-41.00.00.00201126820.00153563220.00154561691.0065021.0E-50.0199316220.0153257450.0153454371.0012852.0E-5
6.83.44341E-52.4449519E-52.4449519E-51.00.01.4756636E-41.04779494E-41.04779494E-41.00.00.00179513990.00127495430.00128494161.00783341.0E-50.0178070780.0127512210.0127709661.00154852.0E-5
6.93.221199E-52.1776708E-52.1776708E-51.00.01.3804408E-49.332545E-59.332545E-51.00.00.00167939090.00113565340.00113565341.00.00.016667560.0113721980.0113820851.00086941.0E-5
7.02.9186718E-51.8145574E-51.8145574E-51.00.01.2507994E-47.776445E-57.776445E-51.00.00.00152178439.463754E-49.463754E-41.00.00.0151140530.009496310.0095062141.00104311.0E-5
7.12.6840138E-51.5283229E-51.5283229E-51.00.01.1502409E-46.5497916E-56.5497916E-51.00.00.00139951867.971474E-47.971474E-41.00.00.0139073750.0080152090.0080251291.00123761.0E-5
7.22.453002E-51.2605388E-51.2605388E-51.00.01.05124425E-45.4021973E-55.4021973E-51.00.00.00127913846.575197E-46.575197E-41.00.00.0127180050.00662708470.00663701861.00149891.0E-5
7.32.3330727E-51.14874E-51.14874E-51.00.09.9985E-54.9230784E-54.9230784E-51.00.00.00121663765.9922045E-45.9922045E-41.00.00.0120999810.00604598220.0060559221.0016441.0E-5
7.42.2136466E-51.03677085E-51.03677085E-51.00.09.486712E-54.443228E-54.443228E-51.00.00.00115439525.4082903E-45.4082903E-41.00.00.0114841680.00546369840.00547364351.00182021.0E-5
7.52.0994974E-59.42596E-69.42596E-61.00.08.997535E-54.0396346E-54.0396346E-51.00.00.00109489944.9171475E-44.9171475E-41.00.00.0108952050.00497278940.00498273971.00200091.0E-5
7.61.7091823E-56.892645E-66.892645E-61.00.07.3248615E-52.9539573E-52.9539573E-51.00.08.9143694E-43.5958504E-43.5958504E-41.00.00.0088786950.00364778870.00365775221.00273141.0E-5
7.71.2772179E-54.019961E-64.019961E-61.00.05.473676E-51.722829E-51.722829E-51.00.06.6621625E-42.0973428E-42.0973428E-41.00.00.0066422250.00213642530.0021464041.00467071.0E-5
7.87.041923E-61.9400902E-61.9400902E-61.00.03.017932E-58.314646E-68.314646E-61.00.03.6737128E-41.0122611E-41.0122611E-41.00.00.00366764540.00103762050.00103762051.00.0
7.92.946768E-61.003095E-61.003095E-61.00.01.2628945E-54.298972E-64.298972E-61.00.01.5374656E-45.2338724E-55.2338724E-51.00.00.00153640235.3387607E-45.3387607E-41.00.0
8.01.1433375E-65.180316E-75.180316E-71.00.04.9000087E-62.2201334E-62.2201334E-61.00.05.965597E-52.7029788E-52.7029788E-51.00.05.963996E-42.7392255E-42.7392255E-41.00.0
8.12.6675295E-71.6286147E-71.6286147E-71.00.01.1432264E-66.9797755E-76.9797755E-71.00.01.3918692E-58.497844E-68.497844E-61.00.01.391782E-48.6359694E-58.6359694E-51.00.0
8.21.2704569E-89.428103E-99.428103E-91.00.05.444815E-84.0406153E-84.0406153E-81.00.06.629061E-74.9194483E-74.9194483E-71.00.06.629041E-65.1110637E-65.1110637E-61.00.0

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1721256E-42.3671667E-42.3671667E-41.00.05.022428E-40.00101387050.00101387051.00.00.00609767580.0122504770.0122603551.00080631.0E-50.05933050.1128443260.112862071.00015722.0E-5
6.16.99169E-51.3807825E-41.3807825E-41.00.02.9960944E-45.915491E-45.915491E-41.00.00.00364164450.00717224650.0071821751.00138431.0E-50.0358254350.067804540.0678138661.00013741.0E-5
6.26.99169E-51.3807825E-41.3807825E-41.00.02.9960944E-45.915491E-45.915491E-41.00.00.00364164450.00717224650.0071821751.00138431.0E-50.0358254350.067804540.0678138661.00013741.0E-5
6.36.970908E-51.3775968E-41.3775968E-41.00.02.9871898E-45.901847E-45.901847E-41.00.00.00363083950.0071557830.00716571141.00138751.0E-50.0357208660.06765350.067662831.00013781.0E-5
6.46.9517155E-51.374289E-41.374289E-41.00.02.9789665E-45.887679E-45.887679E-41.00.00.00362086090.00713869650.00714862531.00139081.0E-50.035624290.0674975440.0675068651.00013821.0E-5
6.54.786248E-59.415065E-59.415065E-51.00.02.0510878E-44.0344274E-44.0344274E-41.00.00.00249433940.00490129130.00490129131.00.00.024665270.046901060.046901061.00.0
6.64.4662214E-58.881762E-58.881762E-51.00.01.9139545E-43.8059402E-43.8059402E-41.00.00.00232774930.00462435140.00462435141.00.00.023035170.0442924540.0442924541.00.0
6.73.884542E-57.864917E-57.864917E-51.00.01.6646975E-43.3702684E-43.3702684E-41.00.00.0020248850.0040960260.0040960261.00.00.0200653360.0393321740.0393321741.00.0
6.83.4221863E-56.855756E-56.855756E-51.00.01.4665688E-42.937874E-42.937874E-41.00.00.00178408510.0035714160.0035714161.00.00.0176982950.034419380.034419381.00.0
6.91.6927712E-53.0062087E-53.0062087E-51.00.07.2545314E-51.2883147E-41.2883147E-41.00.08.828813E-40.00156745160.00156745161.00.00.0087938190.0154631980.0154631981.00.0
7.01.2509653E-52.2462904E-52.2462904E-51.00.05.3611697E-59.626628E-59.626628E-51.00.06.525269E-40.00117145580.00117145581.00.00.00650614170.01158282350.01158282351.00.0
7.18.751583E-61.4925888E-51.4925888E-51.00.03.750624E-56.396655E-56.396655E-51.00.04.5654282E-47.7852036E-47.7852036E-41.00.00.00455606030.00776393940.00776393941.00.0
7.26.354379E-61.1498852E-51.1498852E-51.00.02.7232769E-54.927989E-54.927989E-51.00.03.3150852E-45.998223E-45.998223E-41.00.00.00331014420.0060007820.0060007821.00.0
7.34.645554E-68.818257E-68.818257E-61.00.01.9909365E-53.7792004E-53.7792004E-51.00.02.4236954E-44.6002446E-44.6002446E-41.00.00.00242105360.0046110750.0046110751.00.0
7.44.23437E-67.992597E-67.992597E-61.00.01.8147173E-53.4253557E-53.4253557E-51.00.02.2091944E-44.169611E-44.169611E-41.00.00.00220699930.00418233640.00418233641.00.0
7.52.2187417E-63.9522592E-63.9522592E-61.00.09.508858E-61.6938158E-51.6938158E-51.00.01.157642E-42.0620518E-42.0620518E-41.00.00.00115703910.00207364440.00207364441.00.0
7.62.7952495E-83.8784922E-83.8784922E-81.00.01.1979641E-71.6622108E-71.6622108E-71.00.01.4585203E-62.0237399E-62.0237399E-61.00.01.4585107E-52.0318716E-52.0318716E-51.00.0
7.71.7192724E-82.343621E-82.343621E-81.00.07.36831E-81.0044089E-71.0044089E-71.00.08.9709135E-71.2228672E-61.2228672E-61.00.08.970877E-61.2286304E-51.2286304E-51.00.0

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.971441E-56.971342E-51.40227782.0E-51.9679888E-42.130457E-42.3304144E-41.09385662.0E-50.00239339330.0025909380.0026108861.00769932.0E-50.0236777980.025618420.0256379081.00076072.0E-5
6.14.5923203E-54.971441E-55.971391E-51.2011391.0E-51.9679888E-42.130457E-42.2304356E-41.04692831.0E-50.00239339330.0025909380.0026009121.00384961.0E-50.0236777980.025618420.0256281641.00038041.0E-5
6.22.8844734E-52.9669607E-53.966931E-51.33703521.0E-51.2361443E-41.2714945E-41.3714819E-41.07863761.0E-50.00150396650.00154697240.0015569571.00645421.0E-50.01493828650.0153648380.0153746841.00064091.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.316239E-53.316216E-51.43172431.0E-59.9302975E-59.926369E-51.092627E-41.10073171.0E-50.00120834310.00120787870.00121786671.0082691.0E-50.0120179380.0120121350.0120220151.00082251.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668036E-52.9667839E-51.50842921.0E-58.599689E-58.428891E-59.428807E-51.11862961.0E-50.00104650920.00102574450.00103573421.0097391.0E-50.0104159460.0102114630.010221361.00096931.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115373E-52.7115202E-51.58426011.0E-57.615444E-57.3349576E-58.334884E-51.13632351.0E-59.267859E-48.9267216E-49.026632E-41.01119231.0E-50.0092293030.0088746480.0088845591.00111681.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340845E-52.4340703E-51.6972991.0E-56.52585E-56.1459345E-57.145874E-51.16269921.0E-57.942326E-47.480159E-47.580084E-41.01335871.0E-50.0079140.0074410190.00745094471.0013341.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.167425E-52.1674134E-51.85657611.0E-55.4444143E-55.0031565E-56.0031067E-51.19986381.0E-56.626558E-46.089683E-46.189622E-41.01641121.0E-50.0066068330.00606229530.0060722351.00163951.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610358E-52.0610252E-51.94246531.0E-54.9520135E-54.5472192E-55.5471737E-51.21990471.0E-56.0274085E-45.534874E-45.634818E-41.01805721.0E-50.00601108650.00550440.0055143451.00180671.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.88226E-61.7882183E-52.26866151.0E-53.7422655E-53.3780696E-54.3780357E-51.2960171.0E-54.5552556E-44.112053E-44.212012E-41.02430881.0E-50.00454592940.0040895020.00409946131.00243531.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-65.1074267E-65.1074267E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1888789E-52.1888789E-51.00.03.0956755E-42.6646355E-42.6646355E-41.00.00.00309136670.00266145610.00266145611.00.0
7.15.013409E-64.1773346E-64.1773346E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7902741E-51.7902741E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1794418E-42.1794418E-41.00.00.00261251330.0021773160.0021773161.00.0
7.24.120763E-63.2820874E-63.2820874E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066013E-51.4066013E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124035E-41.7124035E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171109350.00171109351.00.0
7.33.2081239E-62.4404928E-62.4404928E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459213E-51.0459213E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.2733355E-41.2733355E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127261280.00127261281.00.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7680296E-61.7680296E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.577248E-67.577248E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.2249145E-59.2249145E-51.00.00.00126165279.2211383E-49.2211383E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.378286E-79.378286E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.0192594E-64.0192594E-61.00.07.222766E-54.893342E-54.893342E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923E-44.8923E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4113425E-76.4113425E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477154E-62.7477154E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.3452943E-53.3452943E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.344812E-43.344812E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.4492745E-86.4492745E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.7639746E-72.7639746E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.365134E-63.365134E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.365086E-53.365086E-51.00.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5950744E-43.0713103E-43.0713103E-41.00.06.834242E-40.00131539370.00131539371.00.00.008288990.0158580730.0158679131.00062061.0E-50.0798654260.144396690.144413811.00011852.0E-5
6.11.3584697E-42.6035146E-42.6035146E-41.00.05.8207137E-40.00111516060.00111516061.00.00.0070637160.0134611490.0134710151.00073291.0E-50.068433610.124024860.1240423841.00014132.0E-5
6.21.14676266E-42.1714337E-42.1714337E-41.00.04.9137714E-49.3020935E-49.3020935E-41.00.00.00596611850.0112448340.0112547221.00087931.0E-50.0580846480.1050154340.105033341.00017052.0E-5
6.38.691518E-51.5987532E-41.5987532E-41.00.03.7244044E-46.8496366E-46.8496366E-41.00.00.0045250380.0083009140.0083108311.00119471.0E-50.0443399920.079331370.0793497861.00023212.0E-5
6.48.50982E-51.5693929E-41.5693929E-41.00.03.646556E-46.7238725E-46.7238725E-41.00.00.00443064750.0081489490.0081588661.00121711.0E-50.043433450.077937590.077956031.00023662.0E-5
6.58.4062965E-51.5518344E-41.5518344E-41.00.03.602201E-46.648665E-46.648665E-41.00.00.0043768630.0080581590.0080680781.0012311.0E-50.0429165550.077108810.077127261.00023942.0E-5
6.68.194716E-51.5154164E-41.5154164E-41.00.03.5115483E-46.4926746E-46.4926746E-41.00.00.00426693170.00787000450.0078799261.00126061.0E-50.041859270.075394030.075412521.00024522.0E-5
6.78.012326E-51.4822086E-41.4822086E-41.00.03.433402E-46.3504453E-46.3504453E-41.00.00.0041721570.0076984980.00770842141.0012891.0E-50.0409469120.0738361250.073854651.00025082.0E-5
6.87.119773E-51.2881529E-41.2881529E-41.00.03.0509746E-45.519339E-45.519339E-41.00.00.00370823570.00669587780.00669587781.00.00.0364696420.0646806360.064689991.00014461.0E-5
6.95.7343088E-59.9189514E-59.9189514E-51.00.02.4573295E-44.2502902E-44.2502902E-41.00.00.00298769420.0051625250.0051625251.00.00.029478440.0505075980.0505170931.0001881.0E-5
7.04.8746577E-58.2847495E-58.2847495E-51.00.02.0889717E-43.5501274E-43.5501274E-41.00.00.00254035650.00431378050.00431378051.00.00.0251151210.0424827520.0424923261.00022541.0E-5
7.14.2998014E-57.264887E-57.264887E-51.00.01.8426418E-43.113155E-43.113155E-41.00.00.0022411080.0037837390.0037837391.00.00.0221864120.0374210850.037430711.00025731.0E-5
7.23.221292E-55.3904925E-55.3904925E-51.00.01.3804805E-42.3100081E-42.3100081E-41.00.00.00167943930.00280883560.00280883561.00.00.0166680370.0280336550.0280433741.00034671.0E-5
7.32.3756531E-53.9470644E-53.9470644E-51.00.01.0180973E-41.6914903E-41.6914903E-41.00.00.00123882860.00205746130.00205746131.00.00.0123194520.0206414950.0206512881.00047451.0E-5
7.41.5997684E-52.7339498E-52.7339498E-51.00.06.8559704E-51.1716403E-41.1716403E-41.00.08.343947E-40.00142554110.00142554111.00.00.0083126870.0143745860.0143844421.00068571.0E-5
7.51.3814293E-52.4781242E-52.4781242E-51.00.05.9202768E-51.0620101E-41.0620101E-41.00.07.205553E-40.00129223280.00129223281.00.00.0071822340.013053690.0130635591.0007561.0E-5
7.68.817309E-61.6428305E-51.6428305E-51.00.03.7787922E-57.040513E-57.040513E-51.00.04.5997082E-48.568467E-48.568467E-41.00.00.0045901990.0087180780.008727991.0011371.0E-5
7.74.0352206E-67.706533E-67.706533E-61.00.01.7293689E-53.3027583E-53.3027583E-51.00.02.1053031E-44.020367E-44.020367E-41.00.00.00210330960.00416483960.00417479831.00239111.0E-5
7.83.413169E-66.7865935E-66.7865935E-61.00.01.4627784E-52.9085077E-52.9085077E-51.00.01.7807873E-43.5405334E-43.5405334E-41.00.00.00177936090.00366623050.00367619381.00271761.0E-5
7.92.4740732E-65.2786727E-65.2786727E-61.00.01.06031275E-52.2622688E-52.2622688E-51.00.01.2908543E-42.7539645E-42.7539645E-41.00.00.00129010470.00283456480.00283456481.00.0
8.01.5231818E-63.288654E-63.288654E-61.00.06.527906E-61.4094155E-51.4094155E-51.00.07.9474354E-51.7158285E-41.7158285E-41.00.07.944594E-40.00175630110.00175630111.00.0
8.11.0104524E-62.0455911E-62.0455911E-61.00.04.330503E-68.7667895E-68.7667895E-61.00.05.2722597E-51.0673047E-41.0673047E-41.00.05.271009E-40.00109286420.00109286421.00.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.379178E-41.379178E-41.00.07.378611E-45.9094443E-46.0093857E-41.01691211.0E-50.0089465150.00717138450.0071813131.00138441.0E-50.085947940.070541370.0705506651.00013171.0E-5
6.11.7221631E-41.379178E-41.379178E-41.00.07.378611E-45.9094443E-46.0093857E-41.01691211.0E-50.0089465150.00717138450.0071813131.00138441.0E-50.085947940.070541370.0705506651.00013171.0E-5
6.21.7221631E-41.379178E-41.379178E-41.00.07.378611E-45.9094443E-46.0093857E-41.01691211.0E-50.0089465150.00717138450.0071813131.00138441.0E-50.085947940.070541370.0705506651.00013171.0E-5
6.31.716926E-41.3711234E-41.3711234E-41.00.07.3561794E-45.87494E-45.9748814E-41.01701141.0E-50.0089194280.007129650.0071395791.00139261.0E-50.085698090.0701533260.0701626241.00013261.0E-5
6.41.6392978E-41.3587263E-41.3587263E-41.00.07.02367E-45.8218336E-45.9217756E-41.01716671.0E-50.0085178390.00706541350.0070753431.00140541.0E-50.081986540.0693883750.069397681.00013411.0E-5
6.51.5742714E-41.264715E-41.264715E-41.00.06.745133E-45.4190983E-45.519044E-41.01844321.0E-50.008181320.00657809850.0065880331.00151011.0E-50.0788659450.064854450.06486381.00014421.0E-5
6.61.3038084E-41.1587348E-41.1587348E-41.00.05.5865536E-44.965074E-45.065024E-41.02013061.0E-50.0067804380.00602844540.0060383851.00164881.0E-50.06577250.059324350.0593337571.00015851.0E-5
6.71.2867592E-41.13138485E-41.13138485E-41.00.05.5135164E-44.847904E-44.9478555E-41.02061751.0E-50.00669206540.0058865690.005896511.00168881.0E-50.064940930.058035220.058044641.00016241.0E-5
6.81.2801298E-41.12514106E-41.12514106E-41.00.05.485117E-44.8211546E-44.921107E-41.02073191.0E-50.00665770050.0058541970.00586413821.00169811.0E-50.064617380.0577490550.057758481.00016321.0E-5
6.91.269149E-41.1093617E-41.1093617E-41.00.05.4380763E-44.7535537E-44.853506E-41.02102681.0E-50.0066007770.00577233170.0057822741.00172251.0E-50.064081220.0570208950.0570303281.00016531.0E-5
7.01.2030331E-41.08237255E-41.08237255E-41.00.05.154837E-44.6379273E-44.737881E-41.02155141.0E-50.0062579690.00563229250.0056422361.00176551.0E-50.060846480.05569370.055703141.00016951.0E-5
7.18.049617E-55.391909E-55.391909E-51.00.03.4493793E-42.3106155E-42.4105924E-41.04326861.0E-50.00419153460.00280958020.0028195521.00354921.0E-50.0411335160.029615110.0296248141.00032771.0E-5
7.27.093979E-54.293074E-54.293074E-51.00.03.0399222E-41.8397605E-41.939742E-41.05434491.0E-50.00369482530.00223763030.00224760781.0044591.0E-50.036339940.02393820.023947961.00040771.0E-5
7.36.193693E-52.8887041E-52.8887041E-51.00.02.6541698E-41.2379573E-41.337945E-41.08076821.0E-50.00322666370.00150617280.00151615781.00662931.0E-50.0318021330.016495320.0165051541.00059631.0E-5
7.45.906492E-52.7016495E-52.7016495E-51.00.02.5311083E-41.1577985E-41.257787E-41.08636081.0E-50.00307726980.00140870960.00141869541.00708871.0E-50.0303500440.0154672310.0154770761.00063661.0E-5
7.55.424296E-52.4671448E-52.4671448E-51.00.02.324491E-41.057305E-41.1572944E-41.094571.0E-50.0028263950.00128650980.0012964971.00776291.0E-50.0279071650.0141596960.0141695541.00069621.0E-5
7.64.43084E-51.989833E-51.989833E-51.00.01.8987931E-48.527577E-59.5274925E-51.11725661.0E-50.00230932960.00103773830.00104772791.00962641.0E-50.0228547830.0114095740.011419461.00086641.0E-5
7.74.118098E-51.893079E-51.893079E-51.00.01.7647797E-48.112944E-59.1128626E-51.12324981.0E-50.0021465029.873036E-49.972937E-41.01011861.0E-50.0212588660.010867490.0108773821.00091021.0E-5
7.83.5408906E-51.8559018E-51.8559018E-51.00.01.5174363E-47.953622E-58.9535424E-51.12571881.0E-50.00184591319.6792355E-49.779138E-41.01032141.0E-50.0183065520.0106492170.0106591111.0009291.0E-5
7.92.5860836E-51.7311211E-51.7311211E-51.00.01.10827445E-47.41888E-58.4188054E-51.13478121.0E-50.0013484899.0287457E-49.128655E-41.01106571.0E-50.0134033540.0099052760.0099151771.00099961.0E-5
8.01.9777332E-51.4835514E-51.4835514E-51.00.08.4757245E-56.3579224E-57.357859E-51.15727411.0E-50.00103143097.7380234E-47.837946E-41.01291321.0E-50.0102665670.0085069390.0085168541.00116551.0E-5
8.11.468494E-51.2103912E-51.2103912E-51.00.06.293394E-55.1872878E-55.1872878E-51.00.07.6595135E-46.313695E-46.313695E-41.00.00.00763316640.0069674770.0069674771.00.0
8.28.63836E-65.466843E-65.466843E-61.00.03.7021015E-52.3429116E-52.3429116E-51.00.04.5063766E-42.8521224E-42.8521224E-41.00.00.0044972490.0032446360.0032446361.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6547434E-77.6547434E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2806004E-63.2806004E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9940594E-53.9940594E-51.00.00.00103421244.7170694E-44.7170694E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.4142788E-53.4142544E-51.41419241.0E-51.1731335E-41.03465E-41.1346396E-41.09664111.0E-50.00142735420.0012589610.00126894841.0079331.0E-50.014182210.0129271590.012937031.00076351.0E-5
6.12.7374346E-52.4142788E-53.4142544E-51.41419241.0E-51.1731335E-41.03465E-41.1346396E-41.09664111.0E-50.00142735420.0012589610.00126894841.0079331.0E-50.014182210.0129271590.012937031.00076351.0E-5
6.22.7374346E-52.4142788E-53.4142544E-51.41419241.0E-51.1731335E-41.03465E-41.1346396E-41.09664111.0E-50.00142735420.0012589610.00126894841.0079331.0E-50.014182210.0129271590.012937031.00076351.0E-5
6.32.7374346E-52.4142788E-53.4142544E-51.41419241.0E-51.1731335E-41.03465E-41.1346396E-41.09664111.0E-50.00142735420.0012589610.00126894841.0079331.0E-50.014182210.0129271590.012937031.00076351.0E-5
6.42.7374346E-52.4142788E-53.4142544E-51.41419241.0E-51.1731335E-41.03465E-41.1346396E-41.09664111.0E-50.00142735420.0012589610.00126894841.0079331.0E-50.014182210.0129271590.012937031.00076351.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-52.4028866E-53.4028624E-51.41615621.0E-51.16919524E-41.029768E-41.1297577E-41.09709931.0E-50.00142256570.00125302410.00126301161.00797071.0E-50.0141349340.0128684870.0128783581.00076711.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-52.4028866E-53.4028624E-51.41615621.0E-51.16919524E-41.029768E-41.1297577E-41.09709931.0E-50.00142256570.00125302410.00126301161.00797071.0E-50.0141349340.0128684870.0128783581.00076711.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-52.3953988E-53.3953747E-51.4174571.0E-51.1663563E-41.0265592E-41.12654896E-41.09740281.0E-50.00141911370.00124912190.00125910941.00799561.0E-50.0141008550.0128298980.012839771.00076941.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-52.3871207E-53.387097E-51.41890471.0E-51.1604605E-41.0230118E-41.1230016E-41.09774051.0E-50.0014119450.00124480780.00125479541.00802341.0E-50.0140300750.0127870370.0127969091.0007721.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-52.379072E-53.3790482E-51.4203221.0E-51.15636096E-41.0195626E-41.1195525E-41.09807121.0E-50.00140696020.00124061330.00125060091.00805061.0E-50.0139808560.0127453320.0127552051.00077461.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-52.3367753E-53.336752E-51.42793011.0E-51.1335209E-41.0014368E-41.1014268E-41.09984651.0E-50.0013791880.00121856990.00122855781.00819641.0E-50.01370659750.0125266830.0125365561.00078831.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-52.3193794E-53.3193563E-51.43113981.0E-51.1252879E-49.93982E-51.0939721E-41.10059551.0E-50.00136917690.00120950390.00121949171.00825791.0E-50.0136077170.0124366090.01244648451.0007941.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-52.2388584E-53.238836E-51.44664621.0E-51.0829568E-49.594756E-51.059466E-41.10421361.0E-50.00131770240.00116753790.00117752621.0085551.0E-50.0130991620.012017610.0120274891.00082211.0E-5
7.32.339701E-52.1120475E-53.1120264E-51.47346431.0E-51.0026905E-49.051319E-51.0051229E-41.11047111.0E-50.0012200920.00110144310.00111143211.0090691.0E-50.0121341490.0113565570.0113664431.00087061.0E-5
7.42.296333E-52.0850846E-53.085064E-51.47958681.0E-59.841056E-58.9357716E-59.9356825E-51.11189971.0E-50.00119748990.00108738930.00109737841.00918641.0E-50.0119105750.0112156750.0112255621.00088161.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-52.0373802E-53.0373598E-51.49081641.0E-59.50918E-58.731338E-59.731251E-51.114521.0E-50.00115712770.0010625240.00107251341.00940161.0E-50.0115112090.0109653290.0109752191.00090191.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.8960156E-52.8959965E-51.52741181.0E-58.5767984E-58.125529E-59.125447E-51.12305891.0E-50.0010437259.888359E-49.98826E-41.01010291.0E-50.0103883650.0102233340.0102332311.00096811.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-51.6741575E-52.6741407E-51.59730541.0E-57.384417E-57.1747636E-58.174692E-51.13936751.0E-58.986819E-48.731782E-48.831695E-41.01144241.0E-50.0089505620.0090619080.0090718181.00109351.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-51.4988977E-52.4988827E-51.66714691.0E-56.205057E-56.423689E-57.4236246E-51.15566371.0E-57.552038E-47.8180415E-47.9179637E-41.01278091.0E-50.00752642420.0081403430.0081502621.00121841.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-51.1643263E-52.1643145E-51.85885581.0E-54.7632562E-54.9898747E-55.9898248E-51.20039581.0E-55.797721E-46.0734845E-46.1734236E-41.0164551.0E-50.00578261870.00637944460.0063893811.00155761.0E-5
8.09.327402E-69.897503E-61.9897405E-52.0103461.0E-53.9973966E-54.2417185E-55.241676E-51.23574351.0E-54.8657437E-45.1630737E-45.263022E-41.01935831.0E-50.00485510330.00544914560.0054590911.00182511.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-66.826148E-66.826148E-61.00.03.0100724E-52.9254594E-52.9254594E-51.00.03.664147E-43.5611697E-43.5611697E-41.00.00.0036581110.00378690030.00378690031.00.0
8.22.0358202E-68.9895474E-78.9895474E-71.00.08.724915E-63.8526578E-63.8526578E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.690512E-54.690512E-51.00.00.0010616995.3228246E-45.3228246E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.612408E-86.612408E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8338889E-72.8338889E-71.00.01.046241E-53.4502548E-63.4502548E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.0113817E-54.0113817E-51.00.0

North Salt Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.849599E-61.955568E-61.1955548E-56.1135941.0E-57.926829E-68.38099E-61.8380906E-52.19316651.0E-59.650487E-51.0203579E-41.12034766E-41.09799481.0E-59.646297E-40.00102008720.0010300771.0097931.0E-5
6.11.849599E-61.955568E-61.1955548E-56.1135941.0E-57.926829E-68.38099E-61.8380906E-52.19316651.0E-59.650487E-51.0203579E-41.12034766E-41.09799481.0E-59.646297E-40.00102008720.0010300771.0097931.0E-5
6.21.849599E-61.955568E-61.1955548E-56.1135941.0E-57.926829E-68.38099E-61.8380906E-52.19316651.0E-59.650487E-51.0203579E-41.12034766E-41.09799481.0E-59.646297E-40.00102008720.0010300771.0097931.0E-5
6.31.849599E-61.955568E-61.1955548E-56.1135941.0E-57.926829E-68.38099E-61.8380906E-52.19316651.0E-59.650487E-51.0203579E-41.12034766E-41.09799481.0E-59.646297E-40.00102008720.0010300771.0097931.0E-5
6.41.7803909E-61.8860677E-61.1886049E-56.30202671.0E-57.630225E-68.083133E-61.8083052E-52.2371341.0E-59.289402E-59.840972E-51.08408734E-41.1016061.0E-59.28552E-49.838586E-49.938488E-41.0101541.0E-5
6.55.9157696E-76.3001727E-76.3001727E-71.00.02.5353274E-62.7000715E-62.7000715E-61.00.03.0867173E-53.2872915E-53.2872915E-51.00.03.0862886E-43.2868446E-43.2868446E-41.00.0
6.65.9157696E-76.3001727E-76.3001727E-71.00.02.5353274E-62.7000715E-62.7000715E-61.00.03.0867173E-53.2872915E-53.2872915E-51.00.03.0862886E-43.2868446E-43.2868446E-41.00.0
6.75.9157696E-76.3001727E-76.3001727E-71.00.02.5353274E-62.7000715E-62.7000715E-61.00.03.0867173E-53.2872915E-53.2872915E-51.00.03.0862886E-43.2868446E-43.2868446E-41.00.0
6.84.7536267E-75.06601E-75.06601E-71.00.02.037267E-62.1711455E-62.1711455E-61.00.02.4803443E-52.6433401E-52.6433401E-51.00.02.4800675E-42.64305E-42.64305E-41.00.0
6.93.6345344E-73.874998E-73.874998E-71.00.01.5576567E-61.6607124E-61.6607124E-61.00.01.8964305E-52.0219004E-52.0219004E-51.00.01.8962687E-42.0217334E-42.0217334E-41.00.0
7.02.4087325E-72.570929E-72.570929E-71.00.01.0323135E-61.1018262E-61.1018262E-61.00.01.25683455E-51.3414665E-51.3414665E-51.00.01.2567634E-41.3413982E-41.3413982E-41.00.0
7.18.551555E-89.044463E-89.044463E-81.00.03.6649516E-73.876198E-73.876198E-71.00.04.4620692E-64.719262E-64.719262E-61.00.04.46198E-54.7191737E-54.7191737E-51.00.0
7.22.475279E-82.589314E-82.589314E-81.00.01.0608338E-71.109706E-71.109706E-71.00.01.2915643E-61.3510663E-61.3510663E-61.00.01.2915569E-51.3510587E-51.3510587E-51.00.0
7.31.5212393E-81.5847471E-81.5847471E-81.00.06.519597E-86.791773E-86.791773E-81.00.07.9376065E-78.2689814E-78.2689814E-71.00.07.937579E-68.268953E-68.268953E-61.00.0
7.48.182E-98.447286E-98.447286E-91.00.03.5065714E-83.6202657E-83.6202657E-81.00.04.26925E-74.4076728E-74.4076728E-71.00.04.269242E-64.4076646E-64.4076646E-61.00.0
7.55.479913E-95.668038E-95.668038E-91.00.02.3485342E-82.4291593E-82.4291593E-81.00.02.85934E-72.957501E-72.957501E-71.00.02.8593363E-62.9574974E-62.9574974E-61.00.0
7.62.6813562E-102.7731917E-102.7731917E-101.00.01.1491527E-91.1885111E-91.1885111E-91.00.01.3990933E-81.4470121E-81.4470121E-81.00.01.3990932E-71.447012E-71.447012E-71.00.0

Robinson Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3705327E-51.5284966E-52.5284813E-51.65422761.0E-55.8735794E-56.5506996E-57.5506345E-51.15264551.0E-57.1487366E-47.975477E-48.0753973E-41.01252841.0E-50.00712578320.0079754770.0079853971.00124381.0E-5
6.11.3705327E-51.5284966E-52.5284813E-51.65422761.0E-55.8735794E-56.5506996E-57.5506345E-51.15264551.0E-57.1487366E-47.975477E-48.0753973E-41.01252841.0E-50.00712578320.0079754770.0079853971.00124381.0E-5
6.21.3705327E-51.5284966E-52.5284813E-51.65422761.0E-55.8735794E-56.5506996E-57.5506345E-51.15264551.0E-57.1487366E-47.975477E-48.0753973E-41.01252841.0E-50.00712578320.0079754770.0079853971.00124381.0E-5
6.31.3705327E-51.5284966E-52.5284813E-51.65422761.0E-55.8735794E-56.5506996E-57.5506345E-51.15264551.0E-57.1487366E-47.975477E-48.0753973E-41.01252841.0E-50.00712578320.0079754770.0079853971.00124381.0E-5
6.41.3705327E-51.5284966E-52.5284813E-51.65422761.0E-55.8735794E-56.5506996E-57.5506345E-51.15264551.0E-57.1487366E-47.975477E-48.0753973E-41.01252841.0E-50.00712578320.0079754770.0079853971.00124381.0E-5

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9525989E-53.9525694E-51.33867471.0E-51.3521002E-41.2653404E-41.3653276E-41.07902011.0E-50.0016449390.00153950120.00154948581.00648561.0E-50.016328160.0152928440.0153026911.00064381.0E-5
6.13.155064E-52.9525989E-53.9525694E-51.33867471.0E-51.3521002E-41.2653404E-41.3653276E-41.07902011.0E-50.0016449390.00153950120.00154948581.00648561.0E-50.016328160.0152928440.0153026911.00064381.0E-5
6.23.155064E-52.9525989E-53.9525694E-51.33867471.0E-51.3521002E-41.2653404E-41.3653276E-41.07902011.0E-50.0016449390.00153950120.00154948581.00648561.0E-50.016328160.0152928440.0153026911.00064381.0E-5
6.33.155064E-52.9525989E-53.9525694E-51.33867471.0E-51.3521002E-41.2653404E-41.3653276E-41.07902011.0E-50.0016449390.00153950120.00154948581.00648561.0E-50.016328160.0152928440.0153026911.00064381.0E-5
6.43.155064E-52.9525989E-53.9525694E-51.33867471.0E-51.3521002E-41.2653404E-41.3653276E-41.07902011.0E-50.0016449390.00153950120.00154948581.00648561.0E-50.016328160.0152928440.0153026911.00064381.0E-5
6.53.155064E-52.9525989E-53.9525694E-51.33867471.0E-51.3521002E-41.2653404E-41.3653276E-41.07902011.0E-50.0016449390.00153950120.00154948581.00648561.0E-50.016328160.0152928440.0153026911.00064381.0E-5
6.63.155064E-52.9525989E-53.9525694E-51.33867471.0E-51.3521002E-41.2653404E-41.3653276E-41.07902011.0E-50.0016449390.00153950120.00154948581.00648561.0E-50.016328160.0152928440.0153026911.00064381.0E-5
6.73.098897E-52.8864195E-53.8863906E-51.346441.0E-51.328031E-41.2369803E-41.336968E-41.0808321.0E-50.00161567850.00150502090.00151500581.00663451.0E-50.0160398220.0149527010.0149625511.00065881.0E-5
6.83.0449872E-52.8239394E-53.823911E-51.35410521.0E-51.3049292E-41.21020574E-41.3101936E-41.08262061.0E-50.00158759350.00147246690.0014824521.00678131.0E-50.0157629920.014631450.0146413041.00067341.0E-5
6.92.697928E-52.4219813E-53.421957E-51.4128751.0E-51.15620365E-41.0379519E-41.1379415E-41.09633361.0E-50.00140676890.00126299540.00127298281.00790761.0E-50.01397896650.0125608670.0125707411.00078611.0E-5
7.02.4893961E-52.1862092E-53.1861873E-51.45740281.0E-51.0668404E-49.3691415E-51.0369048E-41.10672331.0E-50.00129810430.00114011380.00115010241.0087611.0E-50.0129054770.0113449080.0113547941.00087141.0E-5
7.12.0945363E-51.7354554E-51.7354554E-51.00.08.976275E-57.437457E-57.437457E-51.00.00.00109231369.0513896E-49.0513896E-41.00.00.01086960.0090154340.0090154341.00.0
7.22.0439404E-51.6809494E-51.6809494E-51.00.08.7594504E-57.2038725E-57.2038725E-51.00.00.00106594138.767232E-48.767232E-41.00.00.0106084270.0087335390.0087335391.00.0
7.31.8463334E-51.5381915E-51.5381915E-51.00.07.912617E-56.5920845E-56.5920845E-51.00.09.6293533E-48.0229517E-48.0229517E-41.00.00.0095877340.0079948270.0079948271.00.0
7.41.763139E-51.4516949E-51.4516949E-51.00.07.556091E-56.2214036E-56.2214036E-51.00.09.1956573E-47.5719657E-47.5719657E-41.00.00.0091576990.00754694450.00754694451.00.0
7.51.3594944E-51.1163342E-51.1163342E-51.00.05.8262744E-54.784203E-54.784203E-51.00.07.0911803E-45.823236E-45.823236E-41.00.00.0070685950.00580819650.00580819651.00.0
7.66.9889534E-65.636704E-65.636704E-61.00.02.9952313E-52.4157081E-52.4157081E-51.00.03.646084E-42.940732E-42.940732E-41.00.00.00364010730.00293688450.00293688451.00.0
7.74.0824193E-63.2832643E-63.2832643E-61.00.01.7495966E-51.4071058E-51.4071058E-51.00.02.1299256E-41.7130178E-41.7130178E-41.00.00.00212788510.00171171090.00171171091.00.0
7.81.7023609E-61.4370586E-61.4370586E-61.00.07.295812E-66.158808E-66.158808E-61.00.08.882289E-57.498093E-57.498093E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.4955914E-47.4955914E-41.00.0
7.92.721225E-72.2616888E-72.2616888E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.692949E-79.692949E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1801104E-51.1801104E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.1800505E-41.1800505E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.12048E-95.12048E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.1944917E-82.1944917E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.6717933E-72.6717933E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.6717903E-62.6717903E-61.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.249992E-64.249992E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214127E-51.8214127E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2173495E-42.2173495E-41.00.00.0086816160.002215190.00222516781.00450431.0E-5
6.11.6710783E-54.249992E-64.249992E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214127E-51.8214127E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2173495E-42.2173495E-41.00.00.0086816160.002215190.00222516781.00450431.0E-5
6.21.6710783E-54.249992E-64.249992E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214127E-51.8214127E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2173495E-42.2173495E-41.00.00.0086816160.002215190.00222516781.00450431.0E-5
6.31.6710783E-54.249992E-64.249992E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214127E-51.8214127E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2173495E-42.2173495E-41.00.00.0086816160.002215190.00222516781.00450431.0E-5
6.47.982846E-63.682029E-63.682029E-61.00.03.421175E-51.5780031E-51.5780031E-51.00.04.1644843E-41.9210529E-41.9210529E-41.00.00.00415668870.00191942710.00192940781.00519991.0E-5
6.57.982846E-63.682029E-63.682029E-61.00.03.421175E-51.5780031E-51.5780031E-51.00.04.1644843E-41.9210529E-41.9210529E-41.00.00.00415668870.00191942710.00192940781.00519991.0E-5
6.67.048869E-63.4242933E-63.4242933E-61.00.03.0209088E-51.4675462E-51.4675462E-51.00.03.677336E-41.7865942E-41.7865942E-41.00.00.00367125660.00178518950.00179517161.00559161.0E-5
6.76.987307E-63.362271E-63.362271E-61.00.02.9945259E-51.4409655E-51.4409655E-51.00.03.6452254E-41.7542373E-41.7542373E-41.00.00.00363925170.00175288380.00176286631.00569491.0E-5
6.86.3737602E-63.117861E-63.117861E-61.00.02.731583E-51.3362195E-51.3362195E-51.00.03.3251947E-41.6267286E-41.6267286E-41.00.00.00332022370.00162556650.00163555021.00614171.0E-5
6.96.112211E-62.933072E-62.933072E-61.00.02.6194928E-51.2570249E-51.2570249E-51.00.03.1887658E-41.5303232E-41.5303232E-41.00.00.0031841940.00152929710.00153928181.0065291.0E-5
7.05.5140117E-62.641904E-62.641904E-61.00.02.3631264E-51.1322398E-51.1322398E-51.00.02.8767265E-41.3784174E-41.3784174E-41.00.00.00287300530.00137758760.00138757381.00724911.0E-5
7.14.8151105E-62.1342557E-62.1342557E-61.00.02.0636026E-59.14678E-69.14678E-61.00.02.5121463E-41.11356574E-41.11356574E-41.00.00.00250930830.00111302970.00112301861.00897441.0E-5
7.23.818335E-61.2937331E-61.2937331E-61.00.01.6364189E-55.544559E-65.544559E-61.00.01.9921579E-46.7502995E-56.7502995E-51.00.00.00199037286.748332E-46.748332E-41.00.0
7.32.7166698E-67.3830375E-77.3830375E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1641553E-63.1641553E-61.00.01.4174209E-43.852293E-53.852293E-51.00.00.00141651723.8516452E-43.8516452E-41.00.0
7.42.0893426E-65.461424E-75.461424E-71.00.08.954295E-62.3406083E-62.3406083E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8496537E-52.8496537E-51.00.00.00108959622.8492938E-42.8492938E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028206E-73.6028206E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.5440651E-61.5440651E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.8798835E-51.8798835E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797291E-41.8797291E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196375E-87.1196375E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.051273E-73.051273E-71.00.06.863748E-63.71492E-63.71492E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148737E-53.7148737E-51.00.0

Casmalia 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1704893E-64.26248E-64.26248E-61.00.01.7873403E-51.8267647E-51.8267647E-51.00.02.1758694E-42.223861E-42.223861E-41.00.00.00217374020.00222165650.00223163421.00449111.0E-5
6.14.1704893E-64.26248E-64.26248E-61.00.01.7873403E-51.8267647E-51.8267647E-51.00.02.1758694E-42.223861E-42.223861E-41.00.00.00217374020.00222165650.00223163421.00449111.0E-5
6.23.457312E-63.5370197E-63.5370197E-61.00.01.4816967E-51.5158568E-51.5158568E-51.00.01.8038164E-41.8454003E-41.8454003E-41.00.00.0018023530.00184387730.00185385881.00541341.0E-5
6.33.457312E-63.5370197E-63.5370197E-61.00.01.4816967E-51.5158568E-51.5158568E-51.00.01.8038164E-41.8454003E-41.8454003E-41.00.00.0018023530.00184387730.00185385881.00541341.0E-5
6.43.0957337E-63.1692236E-63.1692236E-61.00.01.3267363E-51.35823175E-51.35823175E-51.00.01.6151817E-41.6535222E-41.6535222E-41.00.00.00161400830.0016522980.00166228151.00604211.0E-5
6.53.0957337E-63.1692236E-63.1692236E-61.00.01.3267363E-51.35823175E-51.35823175E-51.00.01.6151817E-41.6535222E-41.6535222E-41.00.00.00161400830.0016522980.00166228151.00604211.0E-5
6.62.9459152E-63.0165731E-63.0165731E-61.00.01.262529E-51.2928107E-51.2928107E-51.00.01.5370206E-41.573884E-41.573884E-41.00.00.00153595790.00157277480.00158275911.00634811.0E-5
6.72.8634809E-62.9324708E-62.9324708E-61.00.01.2272003E-51.2567672E-51.2567672E-51.00.01.4940138E-41.530007E-41.530007E-41.00.00.00149300990.00152895910.00153894381.00653041.0E-5
6.82.7999822E-62.867595E-62.867595E-61.00.01.1999869E-51.22896345E-51.22896345E-51.00.01.460886E-41.4961608E-41.4961608E-41.00.00.0014599260.00149515880.00150514381.00667821.0E-5
6.92.551052E-62.6119633E-62.6119633E-61.00.01.0933034E-51.119408E-51.119408E-51.00.01.3310155E-41.3627944E-41.3627944E-41.00.00.00133021860.00136196280.00137194911.00733231.0E-5
7.02.3081875E-62.3624075E-62.3624075E-61.00.09.892195E-61.0124564E-51.0124564E-51.00.01.20430814E-41.2325963E-41.2325963E-41.00.00.00120365570.00123191540.0012419031.00810741.0E-5
7.12.093245E-62.141723E-62.141723E-61.00.08.971019E-69.178781E-69.178781E-61.00.01.09216686E-41.1174594E-41.1174594E-41.00.00.00109163020.00111689950.00112688841.00894331.0E-5
7.21.9714576E-62.016508E-62.016508E-61.00.08.449076E-68.642148E-68.642148E-61.00.01.0286264E-41.0521309E-41.0521309E-41.00.00.00102815040.00105163470.00106162411.0094991.0E-5
7.31.6689512E-61.7047122E-61.7047122E-61.00.07.1526288E-67.3058886E-67.3058886E-61.00.08.7079774E-58.894557E-58.894557E-51.00.08.7045657E-48.891005E-48.990916E-41.01123731.0E-5
7.41.4490954E-61.47789E-61.47789E-61.00.06.210394E-66.333799E-66.333799E-61.00.07.560892E-57.711128E-57.711128E-51.00.07.55832E-47.7084586E-47.8083813E-41.01296281.0E-5
7.51.226873E-61.2481696E-61.2481696E-61.00.05.2580162E-65.349287E-65.349287E-61.00.06.401447E-56.512563E-56.512563E-51.00.06.399603E-46.5106596E-46.6105946E-41.01534941.0E-5
7.69.2561345E-79.3619207E-79.3619207E-71.00.03.966909E-64.0122454E-64.0122454E-61.00.04.8296046E-54.8848E-54.8848E-51.00.04.828555E-44.8837304E-44.983681E-41.02046621.0E-5
7.75.4367933E-75.39289E-75.39289E-71.00.02.3300522E-62.3112366E-62.3112366E-61.00.02.8368017E-52.8138942E-52.8138942E-51.00.02.8364395E-42.8135392E-42.913511E-41.03553251.0E-5
7.81.8825742E-71.7342346E-71.7342346E-71.00.08.068173E-77.432432E-77.432432E-71.00.09.822956E-69.048948E-69.048948E-61.00.09.822522E-59.0485824E-59.0485824E-51.00.0
7.96.342771E-84.6789356E-84.6789356E-81.00.02.7183304E-72.0052579E-72.0052579E-71.00.03.3095623E-62.4413987E-62.4413987E-61.00.03.309513E-52.4413725E-52.4413725E-51.00.0
8.01.2574819E-86.4724883E-96.4724883E-91.00.05.3892084E-82.7739237E-82.7739237E-81.00.06.561359E-73.3772517E-73.3772517E-71.00.06.56134E-63.3772467E-63.3772467E-61.00.0

Reliz 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6002472E-51.6282776E-51.6282776E-51.00.06.8580215E-56.978157E-56.978157E-51.00.08.3464425E-48.492793E-48.592708E-41.01176461.0E-50.0083151640.0084625340.0084724491.00117171.0E-5
6.11.6002472E-51.6282776E-51.6282776E-51.00.06.8580215E-56.978157E-56.978157E-51.00.08.3464425E-48.492793E-48.592708E-41.01176461.0E-50.0083151640.0084625340.0084724491.00117171.0E-5
6.21.6002472E-51.6282776E-51.6282776E-51.00.06.8580215E-56.978157E-56.978157E-51.00.08.3464425E-48.492793E-48.592708E-41.01176461.0E-50.0083151640.0084625340.0084724491.00117171.0E-5
6.37.792404E-67.803781E-67.803781E-61.00.03.339559E-53.344435E-53.344435E-51.00.04.0651546E-44.0710968E-44.1710562E-41.02455341.0E-50.00405772640.00406391640.0040738761.00245071.0E-5
6.47.792404E-67.803781E-67.803781E-61.00.03.339559E-53.344435E-53.344435E-51.00.04.0651546E-44.0710968E-44.1710562E-41.02455341.0E-50.00405772640.00406391640.0040738761.00245071.0E-5
6.55.9659374E-65.9287186E-65.9287186E-61.00.02.5568053E-52.5408548E-52.5408548E-51.00.03.1124658E-43.0930535E-43.0930535E-41.00.00.003108110.00308896760.00308896761.00.0
6.65.2350692E-65.1789666E-65.1789666E-61.00.02.2435817E-52.2195383E-52.2195383E-51.00.02.7312184E-42.7019545E-42.7019545E-41.00.00.0027278640.00269888040.00269888041.00.0
6.74.580206E-64.5061015E-64.5061015E-61.00.01.9629308E-51.9311721E-51.9311721E-51.00.02.389606E-42.3509492E-42.3509492E-41.00.00.0023870380.00234866510.00234866511.00.0
6.84.0765017E-63.9882198E-63.9882198E-61.00.01.7470604E-51.709226E-51.709226E-51.00.02.1268385E-42.0807842E-42.0807842E-41.00.00.0021248040.00207903520.00207903521.00.0
6.93.5752896E-63.4724997E-63.4724997E-61.00.01.532258E-51.4882056E-51.4882056E-51.00.01.8653645E-41.81174E-41.81174E-41.00.00.00186379940.00181046050.00181046051.00.0
7.03.0259848E-62.9079242E-62.9079242E-61.00.01.2968442E-51.2462473E-51.2462473E-51.00.01.5787935E-41.5172006E-41.5172006E-41.00.00.00157767220.0015163610.0015163611.00.0
7.12.5861116E-62.45515E-62.45515E-61.00.01.1083288E-51.0522029E-51.0522029E-51.00.01.3493067E-41.2809818E-41.2809818E-41.00.00.00134848780.00128043910.00128043911.00.0
7.22.1482588E-62.00322E-62.00322E-61.00.09.20679E-68.585201E-68.585201E-61.00.01.12086906E-41.0451981E-41.0451981E-41.00.00.00112030390.00104490180.00104490181.00.0
7.31.7194744E-61.5611076E-61.5611076E-61.00.07.3691554E-66.6904445E-66.6904445E-61.00.08.971577E-58.1453116E-58.1453116E-51.00.08.967956E-48.144277E-48.144277E-41.00.0
7.41.2755178E-61.1056137E-61.1056137E-61.00.05.4664933E-64.7383355E-64.7383355E-61.00.06.655252E-55.768771E-55.768771E-51.00.06.6532596E-45.7692226E-45.7692226E-41.00.0
7.58.8463224E-77.0578636E-77.0578636E-71.00.03.7912755E-63.024795E-63.024795E-61.00.04.6157802E-53.682626E-53.682626E-51.00.04.6148215E-43.6839634E-43.6839634E-41.00.0
7.65.291355E-73.5006036E-73.5006036E-71.00.02.2677216E-61.5002578E-61.5002578E-61.00.02.760916E-51.8265486E-51.8265486E-51.00.02.760573E-41.8283357E-41.8283357E-41.00.0
7.72.9663357E-71.3509494E-71.3509494E-71.00.01.2712861E-65.789782E-75.789782E-71.00.01.5477797E-57.0490364E-67.0490364E-61.00.01.547672E-47.067343E-57.067343E-51.00.0
7.81.2509386E-72.7146973E-82.7146973E-81.00.05.3611643E-71.1634416E-71.1634416E-71.00.06.527198E-61.4164892E-61.4164892E-61.00.06.527006E-51.4321116E-51.4321116E-51.00.0
7.96.213493E-81.1476478E-81.1476478E-81.00.02.6629255E-74.9184905E-84.9184905E-81.00.03.242107E-65.9882603E-75.9882603E-71.00.03.2420594E-56.1193923E-66.1193923E-61.00.0
8.05.92383E-91.6774425E-91.6774425E-91.00.02.5387841E-87.1890396E-97.1890396E-91.00.03.0909692E-78.752655E-88.752655E-81.00.03.090965E-68.9906746E-78.9906746E-71.00.0

Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.196852E-52.360444E-52.360444E-51.00.09.4147406E-51.0115846E-41.0115846E-41.00.00.00114564190.00123099740.0012409851.00811351.0E-50.0113975370.0122506450.0122605231.00080631.0E-5
6.19.992795E-61.0711869E-51.0711869E-51.00.04.2825563E-54.590731E-54.590731E-51.00.05.2127644E-45.5879646E-45.5879646E-41.00.00.00520055370.0055757240.0055757241.00.0
6.29.992795E-61.0711869E-51.0711869E-51.00.04.2825563E-54.590731E-54.590731E-51.00.05.2127644E-45.5879646E-45.5879646E-41.00.00.00520055370.0055757240.0055757241.00.0
6.34.6127884E-64.9426476E-64.9426476E-61.00.01.9768944E-52.1182628E-52.1182628E-51.00.02.406603E-42.5787242E-42.5787242E-41.00.00.00240399850.00257617030.00257617031.00.0
6.44.6127884E-64.9426476E-64.9426476E-61.00.01.9768944E-52.1182628E-52.1182628E-51.00.02.406603E-42.5787242E-42.5787242E-41.00.00.00240399850.00257617030.00257617031.00.0
6.52.716712E-62.9111059E-62.9111059E-61.00.01.1643E-51.2476122E-51.2476122E-51.00.01.417443E-41.5188863E-41.5188863E-41.00.00.00141653930.00151808610.00151808611.00.0
6.61.3818255E-61.4820661E-61.4820661E-61.00.05.922096E-66.351703E-66.351703E-61.00.07.209913E-57.733047E-57.733047E-51.00.07.2075747E-47.731565E-47.731565E-41.00.0

Redondo Canyon alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0346246E-51.0981297E-51.0981297E-51.00.04.43403E-54.7062298E-55.706183E-51.21247431.0E-55.3970946E-45.7291175E-45.82906E-41.01744471.0E-50.00538400560.0057220870.00573202971.00173761.0E-5
6.11.0346246E-51.0981297E-51.0981297E-51.00.04.43403E-54.7062298E-55.706183E-51.21247431.0E-55.3970946E-45.7291175E-45.82906E-41.01744471.0E-50.00538400560.0057220870.00573202971.00173761.0E-5
6.21.0346246E-51.0981297E-51.0981297E-51.00.04.43403E-54.7062298E-55.706183E-51.21247431.0E-55.3970946E-45.7291175E-45.82906E-41.01744471.0E-50.00538400560.0057220870.00573202971.00173761.0E-5
6.33.2052794E-63.2360877E-63.2360877E-61.00.01.373684E-51.3868896E-52.3868757E-51.7210281.0E-51.6723319E-41.688447E-41.7884301E-41.0592161.0E-50.0016710740.00168755370.00169753691.00591581.0E-5
6.43.2052794E-63.2360877E-63.2360877E-61.00.01.373684E-51.3868896E-52.3868757E-51.7210281.0E-51.6723319E-41.688447E-41.7884301E-41.0592161.0E-50.0016710740.00168755370.00169753691.00591581.0E-5
6.53.2052794E-63.2360877E-63.2360877E-61.00.01.373684E-51.3868896E-52.3868757E-51.7210281.0E-51.6723319E-41.688447E-41.7884301E-41.0592161.0E-50.0016710740.00168755370.00169753691.00591581.0E-5
6.61.948328E-61.8288429E-61.8288429E-61.00.08.349951E-67.837883E-61.7837805E-52.27584481.0E-51.016559E-49.5423544E-51.0542259E-41.10478591.0E-50.00101609419.5397263E-49.639631E-41.01047251.0E-5
6.71.948328E-61.8288429E-61.8288429E-61.00.08.349951E-67.837883E-61.7837805E-52.27584481.0E-51.016559E-49.5423544E-51.0542259E-41.10478591.0E-50.00101609419.5397263E-49.639631E-41.01047251.0E-5
6.81.1278219E-69.032855E-79.032855E-71.00.04.8335132E-63.8712205E-63.8712205E-61.00.05.8846435E-54.7131518E-54.7131518E-51.00.05.8830855E-44.7125723E-44.7125723E-41.00.0
6.91.1278219E-69.032855E-79.032855E-71.00.04.8335132E-63.8712205E-63.8712205E-61.00.05.8846435E-54.7131518E-54.7131518E-51.00.05.8830855E-44.7125723E-44.7125723E-41.00.0
7.01.1278219E-69.032855E-79.032855E-71.00.04.8335132E-63.8712205E-63.8712205E-61.00.05.8846435E-54.7131518E-54.7131518E-51.00.05.8830855E-44.7125723E-44.7125723E-41.00.0
7.11.0545139E-68.5690635E-78.5690635E-71.00.04.5193374E-63.672453E-63.672453E-61.00.05.5021545E-54.471162E-54.471162E-51.00.05.500792E-44.47068E-44.47068E-41.00.0
7.21.0545139E-68.5690635E-78.5690635E-71.00.04.5193374E-63.672453E-63.672453E-61.00.05.5021545E-54.471162E-54.471162E-51.00.05.500792E-44.47068E-44.47068E-41.00.0
7.39.505161E-85.8955596E-85.8955596E-81.00.04.0736398E-72.526668E-72.526668E-71.00.04.959645E-63.0762153E-63.0762153E-61.00.04.9595343E-53.0761847E-53.0761847E-51.00.0
7.43.9520785E-82.698693E-82.698693E-81.00.01.6937479E-71.1565827E-71.1565827E-71.00.02.062136E-61.4081388E-61.4081388E-61.00.02.062117E-51.4081325E-51.4081325E-51.00.0
7.55.6133214E-93.7367633E-93.7367633E-91.00.02.4057092E-81.6014699E-81.6014699E-81.00.02.9289507E-71.9497895E-71.9497895E-71.00.02.9289467E-61.949788E-61.949788E-61.00.0
7.64.1064334E-92.59572E-92.59572E-91.00.01.7599E-81.1124515E-81.1124515E-81.00.02.142678E-71.3544096E-71.3544096E-71.00.02.1426758E-61.3544089E-61.3544089E-61.00.0
7.71.361975E-96.360521E-106.360521E-101.00.05.8370353E-92.7259377E-92.7259377E-91.00.07.1065905E-83.318829E-83.318829E-81.00.07.106588E-73.3188286E-73.3188286E-71.00.0
7.81.361975E-96.360521E-106.360521E-101.00.05.8370353E-92.7259377E-92.7259377E-91.00.07.1065905E-83.318829E-83.318829E-81.00.07.106588E-73.3188286E-73.3188286E-71.00.0

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.187212E-55.3442498E-55.3442498E-51.00.01.794396E-42.2902492E-42.3902263E-41.04365341.0E-50.0021824880.00278577950.00279575171.00357961.0E-50.0216117760.027603020.0276127461.00035231.0E-5
6.14.187212E-55.3442498E-55.3442498E-51.00.01.794396E-42.2902492E-42.3902263E-41.04365341.0E-50.0021824880.00278577950.00279575171.00357961.0E-50.0216117760.027603020.0276127461.00035231.0E-5
6.21.7353306E-52.2154509E-52.2154509E-51.00.07.436919E-59.494676E-51.0494581E-41.10531221.0E-59.050688E-40.0011557490.00116573741.00864241.0E-50.0090139150.0115351170.0115450021.00085691.0E-5
6.31.7353306E-52.2154509E-52.2154509E-51.00.07.436919E-59.494676E-51.0494581E-41.10531221.0E-59.050688E-40.0011557490.00116573741.00864241.0E-50.0090139150.0115351170.0115450021.00085691.0E-5
6.41.4028824E-51.790093E-51.790093E-51.00.06.0122147E-57.671827E-57.671827E-51.00.07.3174125E-49.340235E-49.340235E-41.00.00.00729336450.0093381440.0093381441.00.0

North Frontal (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7316266E-64.8526704E-64.8526704E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0797E-52.0797E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5317553E-42.5317553E-41.00.00.00246585580.00252901720.00253899191.00394421.0E-5
6.14.7316266E-64.8526704E-64.8526704E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0797E-52.0797E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5317553E-42.5317553E-41.00.00.00246585580.00252901720.00253899191.00394421.0E-5
6.24.7316266E-64.8526704E-64.8526704E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0797E-52.0797E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5317553E-42.5317553E-41.00.00.00246585580.00252901720.00253899191.00394421.0E-5
6.34.7316266E-64.8526704E-64.8526704E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0797E-52.0797E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5317553E-42.5317553E-41.00.00.00246585580.00252901720.00253899191.00394421.0E-5
6.44.7316266E-64.8526704E-64.8526704E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0797E-52.0797E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5317553E-42.5317553E-41.00.00.00246585580.00252901720.00253899191.00394421.0E-5
6.54.7316266E-64.8526704E-64.8526704E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0797E-52.0797E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5317553E-42.5317553E-41.00.00.00246585580.00252901720.00253899191.00394421.0E-5
6.64.7316266E-64.8526704E-64.8526704E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.0797E-52.0797E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5317553E-42.5317553E-41.00.00.00246585580.00252901720.00253899191.00394421.0E-5
6.73.5382777E-63.6308843E-63.6308843E-61.00.01.516396E-51.5560845E-51.5560845E-51.00.01.8460557E-41.8943759E-41.8943759E-41.00.00.00184452290.0018928380.00190281911.00527311.0E-5
6.83.5382777E-63.6308843E-63.6308843E-61.00.01.516396E-51.5560845E-51.5560845E-51.00.01.8460557E-41.8943759E-41.8943759E-41.00.00.00184452290.0018928380.00190281911.00527311.0E-5
6.93.0428037E-63.1227594E-63.1227594E-61.00.01.30405215E-51.3383189E-51.3383189E-51.00.01.5875678E-41.6292883E-41.6292883E-41.00.00.00158643410.0016281610.00163814461.00613191.0E-5
7.02.538778E-62.6060895E-62.6060895E-61.00.01.0880432E-51.116891E-51.116891E-51.00.01.324612E-41.3597346E-41.3597346E-41.00.00.00132382280.00135894950.00135894951.00.0
7.12.2418935E-62.3012067E-62.3012067E-61.00.09.60808E-69.8622795E-69.8622795E-61.00.01.1697209E-41.2006708E-41.2006708E-41.00.00.00116910540.00120006610.00120006611.00.0
7.21.6526745E-61.692485E-61.692485E-61.00.07.082872E-67.253488E-67.253488E-61.00.08.623055E-58.83079E-58.83079E-51.00.08.61971E-48.827531E-48.827531E-41.00.0
7.31.0246019E-61.0442265E-61.0442265E-61.00.04.391144E-64.475249E-64.475249E-61.00.05.3460866E-55.4484914E-55.4484914E-51.00.05.344801E-45.44727E-45.44727E-41.00.0
7.48.9045164E-79.056564E-79.056564E-71.00.03.8162157E-63.881379E-63.881379E-61.00.04.646144E-54.7254878E-54.7254878E-51.00.04.6451724E-44.7245919E-44.7245919E-41.00.0
7.56.3357E-76.402708E-76.402708E-71.00.02.7152971E-62.744015E-62.744015E-61.00.03.305824E-53.3407938E-53.3407938E-51.00.03.3053322E-43.3403575E-43.3403575E-41.00.0
7.62.5087024E-72.436121E-72.436121E-71.00.01.0751578E-61.0440516E-61.0440516E-61.00.01.3089967E-51.2711275E-51.2711275E-51.00.01.3089196E-41.2710755E-41.2710755E-41.00.0
7.73.282987E-82.2875435E-82.2875435E-81.00.01.4069944E-79.8037575E-89.8037575E-81.00.01.7130144E-61.193607E-61.193607E-61.00.01.7130013E-51.1936014E-51.1936014E-51.00.0
7.88.77499E-95.6817466E-95.6817466E-91.00.03.7607098E-82.4350342E-82.4350342E-81.00.04.578663E-72.964654E-72.964654E-71.00.04.5786537E-62.9646512E-62.9646512E-61.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.181534E-61.4181493E-53.39145681.0E-51.750178E-51.7920758E-52.7920578E-51.55800211.0E-52.1306332E-42.181671E-42.2816492E-41.04582641.0E-50.00212859150.0021798950.00218987331.00457741.0E-5
6.14.083776E-64.181534E-61.4181493E-53.39145681.0E-51.750178E-51.7920758E-52.7920578E-51.55800211.0E-52.1306332E-42.181671E-42.2816492E-41.04582641.0E-50.00212859150.0021798950.00218987331.00457741.0E-5
6.24.083776E-64.181534E-61.4181493E-53.39145681.0E-51.750178E-51.7920758E-52.7920578E-51.55800211.0E-52.1306332E-42.181671E-42.2816492E-41.04582641.0E-50.00212859150.0021798950.00218987331.00457741.0E-5
6.34.083776E-64.181534E-61.4181493E-53.39145681.0E-51.750178E-51.7920758E-52.7920578E-51.55800211.0E-52.1306332E-42.181671E-42.2816492E-41.04582641.0E-50.00212859150.0021798950.00218987331.00457741.0E-5
6.44.083776E-64.181534E-61.4181493E-53.39145681.0E-51.750178E-51.7920758E-52.7920578E-51.55800211.0E-52.1306332E-42.181671E-42.2816492E-41.04582641.0E-50.00212859150.0021798950.00218987331.00457741.0E-5
6.52.3143427E-62.3731554E-61.23731315E-55.2137891.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170631E-52.017053E-51.98321321.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382117E-41.3381994E-41.08075171.0E-50.00120686360.00123759780.00124758541.00807011.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731554E-61.23731315E-55.2137891.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170631E-52.017053E-51.98321321.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382117E-41.3381994E-41.08075171.0E-50.00120686360.00123759780.00124758541.00807011.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497902E-61.1749773E-56.7149611.0E-57.2983503E-67.499082E-61.7499007E-52.33348661.0E-58.885379E-59.129804E-51.01297126E-41.10952141.0E-58.881827E-49.1265794E-49.226488E-41.0109471.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299368E-61.3299368E-61.00.05.534837E-65.699719E-65.699719E-61.00.06.738455E-56.9392314E-56.9392314E-51.00.06.736412E-46.937498E-46.937498E-41.00.0
6.95.8708974E-76.116987E-76.116987E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6215635E-62.6215635E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.191711E-53.191711E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.1912935E-43.1912935E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.8320095E-74.8320095E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708599E-62.0708599E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212465E-52.5212465E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5209974E-42.5209974E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.9871418E-73.9871418E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087742E-61.7087742E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804162E-52.0804162E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802549E-42.0802549E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616815E-73.7616815E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121484E-61.6121484E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627763E-51.9627763E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626362E-41.9626362E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.5063425E-73.5063425E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027176E-61.5027176E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.8295466E-51.8295466E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294291E-41.8294291E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165777E-73.1165777E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356756E-61.3356756E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261763E-51.6261763E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260901E-41.6260901E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012505E-71.5012505E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433931E-76.433931E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333105E-67.8333105E-61.00.07.475195E-57.8333105E-57.8333105E-51.00.0

San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8770423E-51.627938E-51.627938E-51.00.08.044219E-56.9766924E-56.9766924E-51.00.09.789435E-48.490851E-48.490851E-41.00.00.0097464230.0084713030.0084812181.00117041.0E-5
6.11.8770423E-51.627938E-51.627938E-51.00.08.044219E-56.9766924E-56.9766924E-51.00.09.789435E-48.490851E-48.490851E-41.00.00.0097464230.0084713030.0084812181.00117041.0E-5
6.21.7508692E-51.4898888E-51.4898888E-51.00.07.5035096E-56.3850835E-56.3850835E-51.00.09.1316935E-47.7710964E-47.7710964E-41.00.00.009094260.00775673240.00776665471.00127921.0E-5
6.31.7508692E-51.4898888E-51.4898888E-51.00.07.5035096E-56.3850835E-56.3850835E-51.00.09.1316935E-47.7710964E-47.7710964E-41.00.00.009094260.00775673240.00776665471.00127921.0E-5
6.41.6004591E-51.324873E-51.324873E-51.00.06.85893E-55.677904E-55.677904E-51.00.08.347548E-46.910666E-46.910666E-41.00.00.0083162610.00690178570.0069117171.00143891.0E-5
6.51.6004591E-51.324873E-51.324873E-51.00.06.85893E-55.677904E-55.677904E-51.00.08.347548E-46.910666E-46.910666E-41.00.00.0083162610.00690178570.0069117171.00143891.0E-5
6.61.5442201E-51.26333625E-51.26333625E-51.00.06.617918E-55.4141863E-55.4141863E-51.00.08.0543366E-46.589787E-46.589787E-41.00.00.0080252070.0065828380.00659277241.00150911.0E-5
6.71.489921E-51.2041874E-51.2041874E-51.00.06.3852196E-55.160701E-55.160701E-51.00.07.7712315E-46.2813493E-46.2813493E-41.00.00.00774411160.0062761720.00628610931.00158331.0E-5
6.81.3876024E-51.0920827E-51.0920827E-51.00.05.9467322E-54.6802703E-54.6802703E-51.00.07.237741E-45.696743E-45.696743E-41.00.00.00721421330.00569468270.00570462551.0017461.0E-5
6.91.33922495E-51.039233E-51.039233E-51.00.05.7394092E-54.45378E-54.45378E-51.00.06.9854903E-45.421131E-45.421131E-41.00.00.00696357250.0054204410.00543038641.00183491.0E-5
7.01.2807324E-59.752293E-69.752293E-61.00.05.4887376E-54.1794876E-54.1794876E-51.00.06.680489E-45.0873397E-45.0873397E-41.00.00.0066604420.005088220.0050981691.00195531.0E-5
7.11.2191438E-59.061184E-69.061184E-61.00.05.224797E-53.8833066E-53.8833066E-51.00.06.3593336E-44.726901E-44.726901E-41.00.00.00634116630.0047293650.00473931761.00210441.0E-5
7.21.1769438E-58.58138E-68.58138E-61.00.05.0439474E-53.6776826E-53.6776826E-51.00.06.1392755E-44.4766592E-44.4766592E-41.00.00.00612234230.00448015840.0044901141.00222211.0E-5
7.31.150374E-58.296808E-68.296808E-61.00.04.9300812E-53.5557267E-53.5557267E-51.00.06.0007203E-44.3282378E-44.3282378E-41.00.00.00598454240.00433230450.0043422611.00229821.0E-5
7.41.12514E-58.042549E-68.042549E-61.00.04.8219394E-53.4467612E-53.4467612E-51.00.05.8691297E-44.1956245E-44.1956245E-41.00.00.0058536530.0042001940.0042101521.00237081.0E-5
7.51.059696E-57.3928336E-67.3928336E-61.00.04.5414752E-53.168319E-53.168319E-51.00.05.5278436E-43.856746E-43.856746E-41.00.00.00551411280.00386244310.00387240461.00257911.0E-5
7.69.018592E-65.8365995E-65.8365995E-61.00.03.8650534E-52.5013758E-52.5013758E-51.00.04.7046866E-43.045E-43.045E-41.00.00.0046947390.00305285070.003062821.00326561.0E-5
7.76.243489E-63.2392147E-63.2392147E-61.00.02.6757538E-51.3882274E-51.3882274E-51.00.03.257243E-41.690036E-41.690036E-41.00.00.0032524730.00169897350.00170895661.0058761.0E-5
7.83.1941963E-61.3808259E-61.3808259E-61.00.01.368934E-55.9178114E-65.9178114E-61.00.01.6665498E-47.2046976E-57.2046976E-51.00.00.00166530057.262342E-47.262342E-41.00.0
7.92.0098398E-66.914685E-76.914685E-71.00.08.6135715E-62.9634327E-62.9634327E-61.00.01.0486518E-43.6079196E-53.6079196E-51.00.00.00104815713.6565514E-43.6565514E-41.00.0
8.08.353119E-73.1617253E-73.1617253E-71.00.03.579903E-61.3550244E-61.3550244E-61.00.04.358445E-51.6497297E-51.6497297E-51.00.04.3575902E-41.6616378E-41.6616378E-41.00.0
8.11.5033264E-76.526476E-86.526476E-81.00.06.442826E-72.7970606E-72.7970606E-71.00.07.844113E-63.4054162E-63.4054162E-61.00.07.843835E-53.4072913E-53.4072913E-51.00.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-42.0028117E-42.1027916E-41.04991981.0E-54.8295266E-48.579866E-48.6797803E-41.01164521.0E-50.00586410750.0103860830.01039597951.00095281.0E-50.0571175780.098039860.098048871.0000921.0E-5
6.11.1239393E-41.997626E-41.997626E-41.00.04.8159933E-48.557657E-48.557657E-41.00.00.00584771950.0103593270.0103593271.00.00.0569621320.097798330.097798331.00.0
6.27.596265E-51.2933639E-41.2933639E-41.00.03.2551357E-45.541514E-45.541514E-41.00.00.00395592770.0067213040.0067213041.00.00.0388624330.0645919140.0645919141.00.0
6.36.78794E-51.1448412E-41.1448412E-41.00.02.9087928E-44.905234E-44.905234E-41.00.00.0035357050.00595261340.00595261341.00.00.0347997660.0574658960.0574658961.00.0
6.46.2165134E-51.0434877E-41.0434877E-41.00.02.6639478E-44.471078E-44.471078E-41.00.00.00323853320.00542737450.00542737451.00.00.031917420.0525511470.0525511471.00.0
6.55.4368087E-59.070333E-59.070333E-51.00.02.3298527E-43.8865174E-43.8865174E-41.00.00.00283290590.0047196640.0047196641.00.00.0279706330.0458810070.0458810071.00.0
6.64.729947E-57.847132E-57.847132E-51.00.02.0269625E-43.3624543E-43.3624543E-41.00.00.0024650340.0040847130.0040847131.00.00.024378690.0398526080.0398526081.00.0
6.73.6875328E-56.044414E-56.044414E-51.00.01.5802756E-42.5900805E-42.5900805E-41.00.00.00192228750.00314824630.00314824631.00.00.0190574420.0308936310.0308936311.00.0
6.82.0292036E-52.89766E-52.89766E-51.00.08.6962966E-51.2417947E-41.2417947E-41.00.00.00105825990.00151082410.00151082411.00.00.0105323440.0149789710.0149789711.00.0
6.91.7871042E-52.447255E-52.447255E-51.00.07.658793E-51.0487814E-41.0487814E-41.00.09.320591E-40.00127614310.00127614311.00.00.0092815950.0126804010.0126804011.00.0
7.01.6415532E-52.1906475E-52.1906475E-51.00.07.035038E-59.388151E-59.388151E-51.00.08.561793E-40.00114240950.00114240951.00.00.0085288820.0113649710.0113649711.00.0
7.11.5409885E-52.03465E-52.03465E-51.00.06.6040695E-58.719638E-58.719638E-51.00.08.0374884E-40.00106110170.00106110171.00.00.008008480.0105608820.0105608821.00.0
7.21.4497423E-51.9055107E-51.9055107E-51.00.06.213033E-58.1662205E-58.1662205E-51.00.07.5617427E-49.93787E-49.93787E-41.00.00.00753606340.0098942090.0098942091.00.0
7.31.3615175E-51.7826267E-51.7826267E-51.00.05.8349444E-57.639606E-57.639606E-51.00.07.101729E-49.2972815E-49.2972815E-41.00.00.00707907650.0092590840.0092590841.00.0
7.41.2252825E-51.6026384E-51.6026384E-51.00.05.251105E-56.868271E-56.868271E-51.00.06.391345E-48.35894E-48.35894E-41.00.00.00637299430.0083281330.0083281331.00.0
7.51.0913301E-51.424122E-51.424122E-51.00.04.6770452E-56.1032388E-56.1032388E-51.00.05.6928146E-47.4281875E-47.4281875E-41.00.00.00567825320.00740394830.00740394831.00.0
7.68.623192E-61.1234731E-51.1234731E-51.00.03.6956015E-54.814797E-54.814797E-51.00.04.4984656E-45.8604643E-45.8604643E-41.00.00.004489370.0058454720.0058454721.00.0
7.72.0993634E-62.6626274E-62.6626274E-61.00.08.997241E-61.1411211E-51.1411211E-51.00.01.09535904E-41.3892271E-41.3892271E-41.00.00.00109481930.00138840590.00138840591.00.0
7.81.8428308E-72.1674549E-72.1674549E-71.00.07.897844E-79.2890895E-79.2890895E-71.00.09.615583E-61.1309411E-51.1309411E-51.00.09.615166E-51.1308134E-41.1308134E-41.00.0

Holser alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.2746653E-65.789962E-65.789962E-61.00.02.6891146E-52.4813951E-52.4813951E-51.00.03.273505E-43.020795E-43.120765E-41.03309381.0E-50.00326868730.00301782180.00302779161.00330361.0E-5
6.16.2746653E-65.789962E-65.789962E-61.00.02.6891146E-52.4813951E-52.4813951E-51.00.03.273505E-43.020795E-43.120765E-41.03309381.0E-50.00326868730.00301782180.00302779161.00330361.0E-5
6.26.2746653E-65.789962E-65.789962E-61.00.02.6891146E-52.4813951E-52.4813951E-51.00.03.273505E-43.020795E-43.120765E-41.03309381.0E-50.00326868730.00301782180.00302779161.00330361.0E-5
6.36.2746653E-65.789962E-65.789962E-61.00.02.6891146E-52.4813951E-52.4813951E-51.00.03.273505E-43.020795E-43.120765E-41.03309381.0E-50.00326868730.00301782180.00302779161.00330361.0E-5
6.46.2746653E-65.789962E-65.789962E-61.00.02.6891146E-52.4813951E-52.4813951E-51.00.03.273505E-43.020795E-43.120765E-41.03309381.0E-50.00326868730.00301782180.00302779161.00330361.0E-5
6.56.2746653E-65.789962E-65.789962E-61.00.02.6891146E-52.4813951E-52.4813951E-51.00.03.273505E-43.020795E-43.120765E-41.03309381.0E-50.00326868730.00301782180.00302779161.00330361.0E-5
6.63.375825E-62.7711899E-62.7711899E-61.00.01.4467741E-51.1876475E-51.1876475E-51.00.01.761305E-41.4458665E-41.5458521E-41.06915271.0E-50.00175990970.00144494280.00145492841.00691071.0E-5
6.73.375825E-62.7711899E-62.7711899E-61.00.01.4467741E-51.1876475E-51.1876475E-51.00.01.761305E-41.4458665E-41.5458521E-41.06915271.0E-50.00175990970.00144494280.00145492841.00691071.0E-5
6.83.366533E-62.7615895E-62.7615895E-61.00.01.4427919E-51.1835331E-51.1835331E-51.00.01.7564575E-41.4408579E-41.5408435E-41.0693931.0E-50.00175506980.00143994070.00144992631.00693481.0E-5
6.93.253174E-62.6438117E-62.6438117E-61.00.01.39421E-51.1330573E-51.1330573E-51.00.01.6973184E-41.3794116E-41.4793978E-41.07248471.0E-50.00169602260.00137857110.00138855741.00724391.0E-5
7.02.9336593E-62.3117998E-62.3117998E-61.00.01.2572766E-59.907676E-69.907676E-61.00.01.5306266E-41.20619305E-41.306181E-41.08289551.0E-50.00152957280.00120554080.00121552881.0082851.0E-5
7.12.9087812E-62.2876523E-62.2876523E-61.00.01.2466146E-59.804186E-69.804186E-61.00.01.5176475E-41.1935946E-41.2935826E-41.08377051.0E-50.00151661140.0011929560.00120294411.00837251.0E-5
7.22.8674524E-62.2475438E-62.2475438E-61.00.01.2289024E-59.632295E-69.632295E-61.00.01.4960859E-41.172669E-41.2726572E-41.08526551.0E-50.00149507910.00117205260.00118204081.0085221.0E-5
7.32.8057775E-62.1954336E-62.1954336E-61.00.01.2024705E-59.408967E-69.408967E-61.00.01.4639096E-41.1454818E-41.2454703E-41.08728951.0E-50.00146294560.00114489360.00115488211.00872451.0E-5
7.42.683666E-62.109233E-62.109233E-61.00.01.1501375E-59.039539E-69.039539E-61.00.01.4002025E-41.10050845E-41.2004974E-41.09085711.0E-50.00139932060.00109996570.00110995471.00908121.0E-5
7.52.434495E-61.919542E-61.919542E-61.00.01.0433508E-58.226583E-68.226583E-61.00.01.2702055E-41.00154066E-41.1015306E-41.09983621.0E-50.00126947970.00100109130.00101108131.00997911.0E-5
7.61.9914562E-61.573149E-61.573149E-61.00.08.534785E-66.7420497E-66.7420497E-61.00.01.03906044E-48.208138E-59.2080554E-51.12182031.0E-50.00103857478.205122E-48.3050394E-41.01217751.0E-5
7.71.5229501E-61.1896087E-61.1896087E-61.00.06.526913E-65.098313E-65.098313E-61.00.07.946226E-56.2070205E-57.206958E-51.16109791.0E-57.943385E-46.2053E-46.305238E-41.01610531.0E-5
7.86.3489426E-74.687828E-74.687828E-71.00.02.7209726E-62.0090674E-62.0090674E-61.00.03.312734E-52.4460123E-53.4459877E-51.40881871.0E-53.31224E-42.445745E-42.5457205E-41.04087731.0E-5
7.91.5459432E-71.0193625E-71.0193625E-71.00.06.6254694E-74.3686956E-74.3686956E-71.00.08.066479E-65.318874E-61.5318821E-52.88008711.0E-58.066186E-55.3187487E-56.3186955E-51.18800411.0E-5
8.01.8307812E-89.690011E-99.690011E-91.00.07.846205E-84.152862E-84.152862E-81.00.09.55275E-75.056108E-75.056108E-71.00.09.552709E-65.056097E-65.056097E-61.00.0

Hosgri

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.883978E-52.9128265E-52.9128265E-51.00.01.235932E-41.248296E-41.248296E-41.00.00.00150370850.0015187680.0015187681.00.00.014935740.0150876580.0150975061.00065281.0E-5
6.12.883978E-52.9128265E-52.9128265E-51.00.01.235932E-41.248296E-41.248296E-41.00.00.00150370850.0015187680.0015187681.00.00.014935740.0150876580.0150975061.00065281.0E-5
6.22.883978E-52.9128265E-52.9128265E-51.00.01.235932E-41.248296E-41.248296E-41.00.00.00150370850.0015187680.0015187681.00.00.014935740.0150876580.0150975061.00065281.0E-5
6.32.2914428E-52.2641834E-52.2641834E-51.00.09.8200995E-59.7032855E-59.7032855E-51.00.00.00119494130.00118073960.00118073961.00.00.0118853630.0117460590.0117559411.00084141.0E-5
6.42.0195741E-51.9696432E-51.9696432E-51.00.08.65503E-58.441056E-58.441056E-51.00.00.00105324050.0010272160.0010272161.00.00.0104826260.0102257220.010235621.0009681.0E-5
6.51.9924333E-51.9408853E-51.9408853E-51.00.08.53872E-58.317816E-58.317816E-51.00.00.00103909340.00101222550.00101222551.00.00.0103424810.0100771830.0100870821.00098231.0E-5
6.61.809694E-51.7458176E-51.7458176E-51.00.07.7556004E-57.4818614E-57.4818614E-51.00.09.438353E-49.1053726E-49.1053726E-41.00.00.0093983660.0090690040.0090789131.00109271.0E-5
6.71.675989E-51.6042643E-51.6042643E-51.00.07.182612E-56.875238E-56.875238E-51.00.08.7413215E-48.367399E-48.367399E-41.00.00.0087070170.00833679550.0083467121.00118951.0E-5
6.81.5401129E-51.4613964E-51.4613964E-51.00.06.6003166E-56.262978E-56.262978E-51.00.08.032922E-47.622516E-47.622516E-41.00.00.0080039470.00759723040.00760715451.00130631.0E-5
6.91.356559E-51.2689852E-51.2689852E-51.00.05.8136946E-55.438395E-55.438395E-51.00.07.0758746E-46.619239E-46.619239E-41.00.00.0070533860.00660032360.00661025761.00150511.0E-5
7.01.2030819E-51.1095849E-51.1095849E-51.00.05.155963E-54.7552774E-54.7552774E-51.00.06.275577E-45.788013E-45.788013E-41.00.00.0062578840.00577369430.00578363661.0017221.0E-5
7.11.0972698E-51.0022069E-51.0022069E-51.00.04.7025E-54.295102E-54.295102E-51.00.05.72379E-45.228032E-45.228032E-41.00.00.00570906930.00521648070.00522642861.0019071.0E-5
7.29.961926E-69.034636E-69.034636E-61.00.04.2693267E-53.8719292E-53.8719292E-51.00.05.1966653E-44.7130548E-44.7130548E-41.00.00.005184530.0047038010.00471375371.0021161.0E-5
7.38.700929E-67.827994E-67.827994E-61.00.03.7289166E-53.3548113E-53.3548113E-51.00.04.53901E-44.0837174E-44.0837174E-41.00.00.004529750.00407694840.00408690751.00244281.0E-5
7.47.866285E-66.9986318E-66.9986318E-61.00.03.3712215E-52.9993791E-52.9993791E-51.00.04.103689E-43.6511326E-43.6511326E-41.00.00.0040961190.00364586640.003655831.00273291.0E-5
7.56.8381305E-65.959588E-65.959588E-61.00.02.9305946E-52.5540841E-52.5540841E-51.00.03.5674145E-43.109154E-43.109154E-41.00.00.00356169320.00310553450.00311550341.00321011.0E-5
7.65.503376E-64.595135E-64.595135E-61.00.02.3585684E-51.9693289E-51.9693289E-51.00.02.8711787E-42.3973943E-42.3973943E-41.00.00.0028674720.00239553630.00240551241.00416451.0E-5
7.73.6144982E-62.6521004E-62.6521004E-61.00.01.5490614E-51.1366095E-51.1366095E-51.00.01.8858191E-41.3837342E-41.3837342E-41.00.00.00188421960.00138359910.00139358531.00721751.0E-5
7.81.9853494E-61.1360507E-61.1360507E-61.00.08.508612E-64.86878E-64.86878E-61.00.01.0358743E-45.9275782E-55.9275782E-51.00.00.00103539165.933247E-45.933247E-41.00.0
7.91.1818757E-65.294548E-75.294548E-71.00.05.0651715E-62.2690897E-62.2690897E-61.00.06.1666724E-52.7625818E-52.7625818E-51.00.06.1649614E-42.7690132E-42.7690132E-41.00.0
8.06.962958E-72.7134917E-72.7134917E-71.00.02.9841215E-61.1629244E-61.1629244E-61.00.03.6331072E-51.4158512E-51.4158512E-51.00.03.6325134E-41.4214648E-41.4214648E-41.00.0
8.11.5033264E-76.526476E-86.526476E-81.00.06.442826E-72.7970606E-72.7970606E-71.00.07.844113E-63.4054162E-63.4054162E-61.00.07.843835E-53.4072913E-53.4072913E-51.00.0

Concord 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.7865112E-59.7585034E-51.0758406E-41.10246471.0E-52.4796976E-44.1815932E-44.2815515E-41.02390431.0E-50.00301485250.0050797290.00508967831.00195861.0E-50.0297427750.049265080.0492745861.0001931.0E-5
6.15.7865112E-59.7585034E-51.0758406E-41.10246471.0E-52.4796976E-44.1815932E-44.2815515E-41.02390431.0E-50.00301485250.0050797290.00508967831.00195861.0E-50.0297427750.049265080.0492745861.0001931.0E-5
6.25.6789337E-59.578763E-51.05786676E-41.10438761.0E-52.4336016E-44.104586E-44.2045448E-41.0243531.0E-50.00295888450.0049864560.00499640641.00199541.0E-50.0291979630.0483816640.048391181.00019671.0E-5
6.35.203322E-58.803223E-59.8031356E-51.11358481.0E-52.2298045E-43.7723084E-43.8722708E-41.02649891.0E-50.00271140710.00458389750.00459385151.00217151.0E-50.0267856250.044553090.0445626451.00021451.0E-5
6.44.7120942E-57.897566E-58.897487E-51.12661121.0E-52.0193127E-43.384274E-43.4842402E-41.02953841.0E-50.00245574120.0041133140.00412327331.00242111.0E-50.0242878010.0400808750.0400904751.00023951.0E-5
6.52.9598437E-54.66757E-55.6675235E-51.21423421.0E-51.2684427E-42.0002456E-42.1002257E-41.04998391.0E-50.0015432350.00243278970.00244276531.00410061.0E-50.0153256190.0239101540.0239199141.00040831.0E-5
6.62.0443718E-52.9984803E-53.9984505E-51.33349231.0E-58.7613E-51.2850018E-41.3849889E-41.07781091.0E-50.00106616620.0015634030.00157338741.00638631.0E-50.0106106550.0154670580.0154769031.00063661.0E-5
6.71.798539E-52.5557814E-53.5557558E-51.39125981.0E-57.7077966E-51.0952901E-41.1952792E-41.091291.0E-59.380202E-40.00133272160.00134270811.00749351.0E-50.0093407060.0132176470.0132275151.00074661.0E-5
6.81.613555E-52.1959573E-53.1959353E-51.45537221.0E-56.915052E-59.410914E-51.041082E-41.10624961.0E-58.4158237E-40.00114519040.0011551791.00872221.0E-50.0083840230.0113782590.0113881451.00086891.0E-5
6.91.2916435E-51.7081307E-51.7081307E-51.00.05.5354973E-57.3203584E-57.3203584E-51.00.06.7373837E-48.90895E-48.90895E-41.00.00.0067169940.0088678920.0088678921.00.0
7.09.81129E-61.2631015E-51.2631015E-51.00.04.2047708E-55.4131808E-55.4131808E-51.00.05.118106E-46.588571E-46.588571E-41.00.00.0051063340.0065697860.0065697861.00.0
7.18.0889195E-61.0418436E-51.0418436E-51.00.03.4666336E-54.464968E-54.464968E-51.00.04.219809E-45.434754E-45.434754E-41.00.00.0042118050.00542206550.00542206551.00.0
7.26.267438E-68.115864E-68.115864E-61.00.02.6860173E-53.4781813E-53.4781813E-51.00.03.2697353E-44.2338704E-44.2338704E-41.00.00.00326492850.00422625660.00422625661.00.0
7.33.6761196E-64.840273E-64.840273E-61.00.01.5754704E-52.0743862E-52.0743862E-51.00.01.9179663E-42.5252748E-42.5252748E-41.00.00.00191631180.00252267320.00252267321.00.0
7.42.8044356E-63.7096947E-63.7096947E-61.00.01.2018954E-51.5898595E-51.5898595E-51.00.01.4632095E-41.9354833E-41.9354833E-41.00.00.00146224640.0019340330.0019340331.00.0
7.52.4578699E-63.2448263E-63.2448263E-61.00.01.0533685E-51.3906325E-51.3906325E-51.00.01.2824008E-41.6929646E-41.6929646E-41.00.00.00128166090.00169188960.00169188961.00.0
7.61.7713267E-62.3351856E-62.3351856E-61.00.07.591378E-61.00079005E-51.00079005E-51.00.09.2421105E-51.2183947E-41.2183947E-41.00.09.2382677E-40.0012178580.0012178581.00.0
7.75.1912366E-76.8293184E-76.8293184E-71.00.02.2248137E-62.9268476E-62.9268476E-61.00.02.708677E-53.56338E-53.56338E-51.00.02.708347E-43.5631418E-43.5631418E-41.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.976276E-66.976276E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9898185E-52.9898185E-51.00.04.0529718E-43.6398545E-43.6398545E-41.00.00.0040455880.00363740880.00364737261.00273921.0E-5
6.17.7690465E-66.976276E-66.976276E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9898185E-52.9898185E-51.00.04.0529718E-43.6398545E-43.6398545E-41.00.00.0040455880.00363740880.00364737261.00273921.0E-5
6.27.7690465E-66.976276E-66.976276E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9898185E-52.9898185E-51.00.04.0529718E-43.6398545E-43.6398545E-41.00.00.0040455880.00363740880.00364737261.00273921.0E-5
6.37.7690465E-66.976276E-66.976276E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9898185E-52.9898185E-51.00.04.0529718E-43.6398545E-43.6398545E-41.00.00.0040455880.00363740880.00364737261.00273921.0E-5
6.47.7690465E-66.976276E-66.976276E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9898185E-52.9898185E-51.00.04.0529718E-43.6398545E-43.6398545E-41.00.00.0040455880.00363740880.00364737261.00273921.0E-5
6.57.7690465E-66.976276E-66.976276E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9898185E-52.9898185E-51.00.04.0529718E-43.6398545E-43.6398545E-41.00.00.0040455880.00363740880.00364737261.00273921.0E-5
6.62.653E-61.614815E-61.614815E-61.00.01.136995E-56.9206176E-66.9206176E-61.00.01.3842035E-48.42553E-58.42553E-51.00.00.00138334158.42237E-48.5222855E-41.01186311.0E-5
6.72.5902466E-61.5501486E-61.5501486E-61.00.01.11010095E-56.6434773E-66.6434773E-61.00.01.351464E-48.0881364E-58.0881364E-51.00.00.00135064248.085222E-48.1851415E-41.01235821.0E-5
6.82.5853892E-61.5469489E-61.5469489E-61.00.01.1080193E-56.6297644E-66.6297644E-61.00.01.34893E-48.071442E-58.071442E-51.00.00.00134811148.06854E-48.168459E-41.01238381.0E-5
6.92.458257E-61.4220233E-61.4220233E-61.00.01.0535345E-56.094371E-66.094371E-61.00.01.2826028E-47.419646E-57.419646E-51.00.00.00128186277.4171886E-47.517115E-41.01347221.0E-5
7.02.4341468E-61.3989873E-61.3989873E-61.00.01.0432016E-55.9956456E-65.9956456E-61.00.01.270024E-47.299456E-57.299456E-51.00.00.00126929847.2970777E-47.3970045E-41.01369421.0E-5
7.12.3652476E-61.3339372E-61.3339372E-61.00.01.0136736E-55.7168613E-65.7168613E-61.00.01.2340778E-46.960058E-56.960058E-51.00.00.00123339266.957895E-47.0578256E-41.01436221.0E-5
7.22.272158E-61.2502445E-61.2502445E-61.00.09.737784E-65.35818E-65.35818E-61.00.01.1855107E-46.52339E-56.52339E-51.00.00.00118487846.52149E-46.621425E-41.01532391.0E-5
7.32.1382127E-61.1419334E-61.1419334E-61.00.09.163737E-64.893991E-64.893991E-61.00.01.1156279E-45.958272E-55.958272E-51.00.00.0011150685.956686E-46.056627E-41.01677791.0E-5
7.41.9048055E-69.574882E-79.574882E-71.00.08.163426E-64.1035146E-64.1035146E-61.00.09.9385186E-54.995915E-54.995915E-51.00.09.934074E-44.994799E-45.094749E-41.02001081.0E-5
7.51.5373403E-67.559723E-77.559723E-71.00.06.5885843E-63.239877E-63.239877E-61.00.08.021306E-53.9444796E-53.9444796E-51.00.08.0184115E-43.943784E-44.0437447E-41.02534641.0E-5
7.61.0680322E-64.659381E-74.659381E-71.00.04.577273E-61.996876E-61.996876E-61.00.05.5726876E-52.4311697E-52.4311697E-51.00.05.5712904E-42.4309063E-42.4309063E-41.00.0
7.75.509146E-71.5578398E-71.5578398E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.6764545E-76.6764545E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.128554E-68.128554E-61.00.02.8741814E-48.1282684E-58.1282684E-51.00.0

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9687902E-53.275741E-54.275708E-51.30526451.0E-51.2722766E-41.4038174E-41.5038034E-41.07122431.0E-50.00154789610.00170787970.00171786271.00584521.0E-50.0153715850.0169550890.016964921.00057981.0E-5
6.12.9687902E-53.275741E-54.275708E-51.30526451.0E-51.2722766E-41.4038174E-41.5038034E-41.07122431.0E-50.00154789610.00170787970.00171786271.00584521.0E-50.0153715850.0169550890.016964921.00057981.0E-5
6.21.9231524E-52.1159109E-52.1159109E-51.00.08.2418206E-59.067888E-59.067888E-51.00.00.00100297970.00110347930.00110347931.00.00.009984650.0109824110.0109824111.00.0
6.31.324766E-51.45484955E-51.45484955E-51.00.05.6774446E-56.234925E-56.234925E-51.00.06.910097E-47.58847E-47.58847E-41.00.00.0068886490.0075635040.0075635041.00.0
6.47.818645E-68.572818E-68.572818E-61.00.03.3508048E-53.674015E-53.674015E-51.00.04.078841E-44.4722288E-44.4722288E-41.00.00.0040713630.00446356930.00446356931.00.0
6.55.3076565E-65.8177857E-65.8177857E-61.00.02.27469E-52.4933142E-52.4933142E-51.00.02.7690834E-43.0352082E-43.0352082E-41.00.00.00276563530.00303127220.00303127221.00.0
6.63.6003578E-63.9484853E-63.9484853E-61.00.01.5430012E-51.6921978E-51.6921978E-51.00.01.8784421E-42.0600717E-42.0600717E-41.00.00.00187685520.0020583160.0020583161.00.0
6.72.5361826E-62.7834608E-62.7834608E-61.00.01.0869308E-51.192907E-51.192907E-51.00.01.3232579E-41.4522807E-41.4522807E-41.00.00.00132247030.00145146160.00145146161.00.0
6.81.2115831E-61.3313763E-61.3313763E-61.00.05.1924885E-65.7058915E-65.7058915E-61.00.06.3216714E-56.9467984E-56.9467984E-51.00.06.3198735E-46.945578E-46.945578E-41.00.0

Greenville (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.279693E-55.5040175E-55.5040175E-51.00.01.8340252E-42.3586708E-42.3586708E-41.00.00.00223063890.00286814970.00287812091.00347661.0E-50.0220838080.0283385030.0283482191.00034281.0E-5
6.13.4037297E-54.31921E-54.31921E-51.00.01.4586597E-41.8509696E-41.8509696E-41.00.00.00177447150.0022513850.00226136251.00443171.0E-50.017603690.0223029420.022312721.00043831.0E-5
6.23.4037297E-54.31921E-54.31921E-51.00.01.4586597E-41.8509696E-41.8509696E-41.00.00.00177447150.0022513850.00226136251.00443171.0E-50.017603690.0223029420.022312721.00043831.0E-5
6.32.5956324E-53.2429205E-53.2429205E-51.00.01.11236644E-41.389753E-41.389753E-41.00.00.00135346470.00169077530.00170075841.00590441.0E-50.0134525090.0167862570.016796091.00058571.0E-5
6.42.1145053E-52.6197658E-52.6197658E-51.00.09.061851E-51.12271E-41.12271E-41.00.00.00110272190.00136607370.00137606011.00731031.0E-50.010972660.0135805410.0135904061.00072631.0E-5
6.52.0030959E-52.4795796E-52.4795796E-51.00.08.584414E-51.0626355E-41.0626355E-41.00.00.00104465130.00129302180.00130300891.00772381.0E-50.0103975410.0128587010.0128685721.00076771.0E-5
6.61.8395405E-52.275447E-52.275447E-51.00.07.8835066E-59.751567E-59.751567E-51.00.09.5939427E-40.00118663510.00119662321.00841721.0E-50.0095526290.0118064070.0118162891.0008371.0E-5
6.71.7883482E-52.2125516E-52.2125516E-51.00.07.664124E-59.482036E-59.482036E-51.00.09.3270757E-40.0011538550.00116384361.00865661.0E-50.0092880260.0114820560.0114919411.00086091.0E-5
6.81.3373564E-51.6506008E-51.6506008E-51.00.05.7314013E-57.07382E-57.07382E-51.00.06.975747E-48.609121E-48.709035E-41.01160561.0E-50.00695389040.00857774450.0085876581.00115591.0E-5
6.91.06692905E-51.3152646E-51.3152646E-51.00.04.5724726E-55.6367327E-55.6367327E-51.00.05.5655633E-46.860674E-46.9606054E-41.01456581.0E-50.0055516450.0068410920.00685102351.00145171.0E-5
7.08.157512E-61.0062722E-51.0062722E-51.00.03.4960296E-54.312526E-54.312526E-51.00.04.2555845E-45.249272E-45.249272E-41.00.00.0042474440.00523771630.00523771631.00.0
7.16.1467113E-67.6275282E-67.6275282E-61.00.02.6342783E-53.2689004E-53.2689004E-51.00.03.206762E-43.9791677E-43.9791677E-41.00.00.00320213820.00397259740.00397259741.00.0
7.24.713467E-65.914258E-65.914258E-61.00.02.0200418E-52.5346577E-52.5346577E-51.00.02.4591232E-43.0855148E-43.0855148E-41.00.00.00245640380.00308172030.00308172031.00.0
7.32.3266216E-62.9540624E-62.9540624E-61.00.09.971197E-61.2660207E-51.2660207E-51.00.01.2139256E-41.5412726E-41.5412726E-41.00.00.00121326270.00154051010.00154051011.00.0
7.41.3314E-61.7179856E-61.7179856E-61.00.05.7059874E-67.362775E-67.362775E-61.00.06.946818E-58.9638146E-58.9638146E-51.00.06.9446466E-48.9630415E-48.9630415E-41.00.0
7.51.0362941E-61.346915E-61.346915E-61.00.04.4412527E-65.7724806E-65.7724806E-61.00.05.407091E-57.027773E-57.027773E-51.00.05.405776E-47.0282683E-47.0282683E-41.00.0
7.67.764784E-71.008888E-61.008888E-61.00.03.3277602E-64.3237987E-64.3237987E-61.00.04.0514726E-55.264102E-55.264102E-51.00.04.050734E-45.2651105E-45.2651105E-41.00.0
7.71.6927763E-72.2140175E-72.2140175E-71.00.07.2547533E-79.488643E-79.488643E-71.00.08.832627E-61.1552364E-51.1552364E-51.00.08.8322755E-51.155491E-41.155491E-41.00.0

Simi-Santa Rosa

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.2275311E-53.227509E-51.44891751.0E-59.4235686E-59.5462376E-51.0546142E-41.10474341.0E-50.00114671560.00116167860.00117166691.00859821.0E-50.0114081630.0115605080.0115703921.0008551.0E-5
6.12.198912E-52.2275311E-53.227509E-51.44891751.0E-59.4235686E-59.5462376E-51.0546142E-41.10474341.0E-50.00114671560.00116167860.00117166691.00859821.0E-50.0114081630.0115605080.0115703921.0008551.0E-5
6.21.69983E-51.6668448E-52.666828E-51.59992591.0E-57.284782E-57.1434406E-58.1433696E-51.13997851.0E-58.865613E-48.693961E-48.793874E-41.01149231.0E-50.0088303270.0086628690.0086727821.00114441.0E-5
6.31.69983E-51.6668448E-52.666828E-51.59992591.0E-57.284782E-57.1434406E-58.1433696E-51.13997851.0E-58.865613E-48.693961E-48.793874E-41.01149231.0E-50.0088303270.0086628690.0086727821.00114441.0E-5
6.41.4666188E-51.4052439E-52.4052299E-51.71161021.0E-56.285358E-56.0223487E-57.0222886E-51.16603821.0E-57.6497364E-47.329992E-47.4299186E-41.01363251.0E-50.00762345640.00730829030.00731821731.00135831.0E-5
6.51.4666188E-51.4052439E-52.4052299E-51.71161021.0E-56.285358E-56.0223487E-57.0222886E-51.16603821.0E-57.6497364E-47.329992E-47.4299186E-41.01363251.0E-50.00762345640.00730829030.00731821731.00135831.0E-5
6.61.4377586E-51.3729479E-52.3729343E-51.72834971.0E-56.1616774E-55.883944E-56.883885E-51.1699441.0E-57.4992597E-47.161596E-47.2615244E-41.01395331.0E-50.0074740030.0071409850.00715091361.00139031.0E-5
6.71.3881404E-51.320745E-52.3207318E-51.75713841.0E-55.9490372E-55.6602268E-56.66017E-51.17666141.0E-57.240546E-46.889394E-46.9893256E-41.0145051.0E-50.0072170.0068704860.00688041751.00144551.0E-5
6.81.0176516E-59.154065E-61.9153975E-52.09240081.0E-54.3612912E-53.9231214E-54.923082E-51.25488911.0E-55.308578E-44.7755192E-44.8754713E-41.02093021.0E-50.00529591460.00476689030.00477684241.00208781.0E-5
6.99.699797E-68.774639E-61.8774552E-52.1396381.0E-54.15699E-53.7605147E-54.760477E-51.26591111.0E-55.05996E-44.5776292E-44.6775833E-41.02183531.0E-50.0050484540.0045698180.00457977221.00217831.0E-5
7.07.4049476E-66.5592662E-61.6559201E-52.52455071.0E-53.1735104E-52.811091E-53.811063E-51.35572371.0E-53.8630638E-43.4220924E-43.522058E-41.02921191.0E-50.00385635530.0034180650.00342803081.00291561.0E-5
7.13.873439E-62.7594629E-62.7594629E-61.00.01.6600346E-51.1826218E-51.1826218E-51.00.02.0209046E-41.4397492E-41.4397492E-41.00.00.00201906780.00143884010.00143884011.00.0
7.23.417706E-62.3676068E-62.3676068E-61.00.01.4647229E-51.0146849E-51.0146849E-51.00.01.7831543E-41.235311E-41.235311E-41.00.00.00178172420.00123464670.00123464671.00.0
7.31.90225E-61.4073679E-61.4073679E-61.00.08.152474E-66.031563E-66.031563E-61.00.09.9251854E-57.3431824E-57.3431824E-51.00.09.920754E-47.340779E-47.340779E-41.00.0
7.41.5170556E-61.1024721E-61.1024721E-61.00.06.5016507E-64.724872E-64.724872E-61.00.07.915472E-55.752381E-55.752381E-51.00.07.9126534E-45.750903E-45.750903E-41.00.0
7.51.178732E-68.5350433E-78.5350433E-71.00.05.0516987E-63.6578708E-63.6578708E-61.00.06.1502695E-54.4533674E-54.4533674E-51.00.06.148568E-44.4524847E-44.4524847E-41.00.0
7.66.8722386E-74.793168E-74.793168E-71.00.02.9452417E-62.0542134E-62.0542134E-61.00.03.5857727E-52.500976E-52.500976E-51.00.03.5851944E-42.500696E-42.500696E-41.00.0
7.75.5126515E-73.6730708E-73.6730708E-71.00.02.3625628E-61.5741723E-61.5741723E-61.00.02.8763823E-51.916538E-51.916538E-51.00.02.87601E-41.9163737E-41.9163737E-41.00.0
7.83.3860243E-72.0075227E-72.0075227E-71.00.01.4511525E-68.603666E-78.603666E-71.00.01.7667637E-51.0474913E-51.0474913E-51.00.01.7666233E-41.0474425E-41.0474425E-41.00.0
7.92.7955386E-71.4648458E-71.4648458E-71.00.01.1980875E-66.2779094E-76.2779094E-71.00.01.4586617E-57.643328E-67.643328E-61.00.01.458566E-47.64307E-57.64307E-51.00.0
8.05.6259015E-83.335265E-83.335265E-81.00.02.4111003E-71.4293991E-71.4293991E-71.00.02.9355108E-61.7402922E-61.7402922E-61.00.02.935472E-51.74028E-51.74028E-51.00.0

Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1364202E-59.967977E-69.967977E-61.00.09.1557646E-54.2719254E-54.2719254E-51.00.00.00111414425.199915E-45.199915E-41.00.00.0110857490.00518861740.0051985661.00191721.0E-5
6.12.1364202E-59.967977E-69.967977E-61.00.09.1557646E-54.2719254E-54.2719254E-51.00.00.00111414425.199915E-45.199915E-41.00.00.0110857490.00518861740.0051985661.00191721.0E-5
6.22.1364202E-59.967977E-69.967977E-61.00.09.1557646E-54.2719254E-54.2719254E-51.00.00.00111414425.199915E-45.199915E-41.00.00.0110857490.00518861740.0051985661.00191721.0E-5
6.31.7751237E-58.089092E-68.089092E-61.00.07.607452E-53.466711E-53.466711E-51.00.09.258136E-44.2199664E-44.2199664E-41.00.00.009219660.00421257550.00421257551.00.0
6.41.7751237E-58.089092E-68.089092E-61.00.07.607452E-53.466711E-53.466711E-51.00.09.258136E-44.2199664E-44.2199664E-41.00.00.009219660.00421257550.00421257551.00.0
6.51.5886664E-56.603731E-66.603731E-61.00.06.808392E-52.8301425E-52.8301425E-51.00.08.286065E-43.4452006E-43.4452006E-41.00.00.0082552370.00344032380.00344032381.00.0
6.61.5886664E-56.603731E-66.603731E-61.00.06.808392E-52.8301425E-52.8301425E-51.00.08.286065E-43.4452006E-43.4452006E-41.00.00.0082552370.00344032380.00344032381.00.0
6.71.428471E-55.4702955E-65.4702955E-61.00.06.121875E-52.3443936E-52.3443936E-51.00.07.450834E-42.8539647E-42.8539647E-41.00.00.0074259020.00285068740.00285068741.00.0
6.81.3490684E-55.0735807E-65.0735807E-61.00.05.7815934E-52.1743757E-52.1743757E-51.00.07.0368167E-42.6470196E-42.6470196E-41.00.00.0070145760.00264424740.00264424741.00.0
6.91.2235421E-54.2895367E-64.2895367E-61.00.05.2436466E-51.838362E-51.838362E-51.00.06.38227E-42.238012E-42.238012E-41.00.00.00636397070.00223611230.00223611231.00.0
7.01.1009851E-53.7188272E-63.7188272E-61.00.04.7184225E-51.5937752E-51.5937752E-51.00.05.743165E-41.940283E-41.940283E-41.00.00.0057283450.00193892680.00193892681.00.0
7.19.726373E-63.2115622E-63.2115622E-61.00.04.168379E-51.3763784E-51.3763784E-51.00.05.07382E-41.6756456E-41.6756456E-41.00.00.00506225040.00167471330.00167471331.00.0
7.23.9335127E-61.1524072E-61.1524072E-61.00.01.6857803E-54.938879E-64.938879E-61.00.02.0522442E-46.0129252E-56.0129252E-51.00.00.002050356.011358E-46.011358E-41.00.0
7.32.661632E-66.91094E-76.91094E-71.00.01.14069435E-52.961828E-62.961828E-61.00.01.3887069E-43.605967E-53.605967E-51.00.00.00138783933.605392E-43.605392E-41.00.0
7.42.0893426E-65.461424E-75.461424E-71.00.08.954295E-62.3406083E-62.3406083E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8496537E-52.8496537E-51.00.00.00108959622.8492938E-42.8492938E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028206E-73.6028206E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.5440651E-61.5440651E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.8798835E-51.8798835E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797291E-41.8797291E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196375E-87.1196375E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.051273E-73.051273E-71.00.06.863748E-63.71492E-63.71492E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148737E-53.7148737E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.6200685E-52.5204163E-52.5204163E-51.00.03.6937918E-41.0801337E-41.1801229E-41.09257111.0E-50.00448792150.00131427110.00132425791.00759881.0E-50.0439836120.0147700320.0147798841.00066711.0E-5
6.18.6200685E-52.5204163E-52.5204163E-51.00.03.6937918E-41.0801337E-41.1801229E-41.09257111.0E-50.00448792150.00131427110.00132425791.00759881.0E-50.0439836120.0147700320.0147798841.00066711.0E-5
6.28.6200685E-52.5204163E-52.5204163E-51.00.03.6937918E-41.0801337E-41.1801229E-41.09257111.0E-50.00448792150.00131427110.00132425791.00759881.0E-50.0439836120.0147700320.0147798841.00066711.0E-5
6.38.551163E-52.489609E-52.489609E-51.00.03.6642692E-41.0669317E-41.1669211E-41.09371671.0E-50.0044521250.0012982170.0013082041.00769281.0E-50.0436397940.0145967730.0146066271.00067511.0E-5
6.48.551163E-52.489609E-52.489609E-51.00.03.6642692E-41.0669317E-41.1669211E-41.09371671.0E-50.0044521250.0012982170.0013082041.00769281.0E-50.0436397940.0145967730.0146066271.00067511.0E-5
6.58.511146E-52.4717585E-52.4717585E-51.00.03.647124E-41.0592821E-41.1592715E-41.09439361.0E-50.0044313360.00128891460.00129890171.00774851.0E-50.043440070.0144966650.0145065211.00067991.0E-5
6.68.4985084E-52.4648267E-52.4648267E-51.00.03.6417096E-41.0563116E-41.1563011E-41.09465911.0E-50.00442477040.00128530220.00129528941.00777031.0E-50.0433769860.0144586340.014468491.00068161.0E-5
6.78.462618E-52.4476805E-52.4476805E-51.00.03.6263323E-41.0489638E-41.1489533E-41.09532211.0E-50.0044061250.00127636690.0012863541.00782481.0E-50.0431978070.01436342950.0143732861.00068621.0E-5
6.88.42337E-52.4372594E-52.4372594E-51.00.03.6095164E-41.044498E-41.14448754E-41.09572981.0E-50.0043857340.0012709360.00128092331.00785821.0E-50.0430018230.0143040680.0143139241.00068911.0E-5
6.98.365989E-52.4177218E-52.4177218E-51.00.03.5849313E-41.0361254E-41.136115E-41.09650341.0E-50.0043559220.00126075430.00127074171.00792181.0E-50.042715230.0141966180.01420647651.00069441.0E-5
7.08.30936E-52.3938785E-52.3938785E-51.00.03.560668E-41.0259076E-41.1258974E-41.09746471.0E-50.0043264990.00124832850.0012583161.00800071.0E-50.0424322970.0140676240.0140774841.00070081.0E-5
7.18.041264E-52.362525E-52.362525E-51.00.03.4458007E-41.01247155E-41.1124615E-41.09875821.0E-50.00418719460.00123198870.00124197641.0081071.0E-50.0410917250.0138906850.0139005451.00070991.0E-5
7.27.8427016E-52.3049057E-52.3049057E-51.00.03.3607247E-49.8777935E-51.0877695E-41.10122721.0E-50.0040840080.00120195940.00121194741.00830971.0E-50.0400976350.013574540.0135844041.00072671.0E-5
7.37.721087E-52.2833934E-52.2833934E-51.00.03.3086175E-49.785605E-51.0785508E-41.1021811.0E-50.0040208030.00119074780.00120073591.0083881.0E-50.039488270.0134582740.013468141.0007331.0E-5
7.47.3536525E-52.0951748E-52.0951748E-51.00.03.1511846E-48.979012E-59.978922E-51.11136081.0E-50.00382981940.00109264770.00110263681.0091421.0E-50.0376448520.0124151770.0124250531.00079551.0E-5
7.56.806207E-51.875828E-51.875828E-51.00.02.9166197E-48.039016E-59.038935E-51.12438331.0E-50.00354520359.783118E-49.883019E-41.01021171.0E-50.0348917660.0111684840.0111783721.00088541.0E-5
7.65.6731416E-51.4170438E-51.4170438E-51.00.02.43112E-46.072903E-57.072843E-51.16465591.0E-50.00295587127.391253E-47.491179E-41.01351951.0E-50.029168620.00848190950.0084918251.0011691.0E-5
7.74.946994E-51.3239844E-51.3239844E-51.00.02.1199681E-45.674095E-56.674039E-51.17622961.0E-50.0025780066.9060223E-47.005954E-41.01447011.0E-50.025483030.0079044830.0079144041.00125521.0E-5
7.83.9718198E-51.29766695E-51.29766695E-51.00.01.7020974E-45.5613113E-56.5612556E-51.17980371.0E-50.00207033386.768794E-46.868727E-41.01476371.0E-50.0205115150.0077153390.00772526161.00128611.0E-5
7.92.4115114E-51.2181036E-51.2181036E-51.00.01.0334639E-45.2203395E-56.2202875E-51.19154851.0E-50.0012575166.3539116E-46.453848E-41.01572841.0E-50.0125042380.00715675950.0071666881.00138721.0E-5
8.01.7756569E-51.1406198E-51.1406198E-51.00.07.6097356E-54.8882786E-55.88823E-51.2045611.0E-59.260915E-45.9498555E-46.0497964E-41.01679721.0E-50.0092224160.0066575580.00666749151.0014921.0E-5
8.11.3159258E-59.742948E-69.742948E-61.00.05.6395602E-54.1754825E-54.1754825E-51.00.06.864001E-45.0824654E-45.0824654E-41.00.00.00684283860.0056879830.0056879831.00.0
8.28.635426E-65.464695E-65.464695E-61.00.03.700844E-52.341991E-52.341991E-51.00.04.5048463E-42.851002E-42.851002E-41.00.00.0044957250.00324344770.00324344771.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6547434E-77.6547434E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2806004E-63.2806004E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9940594E-53.9940594E-51.00.00.00103421244.7170694E-44.7170694E-41.00.0

Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8694856E-56.747414E-56.747414E-51.00.02.0867554E-42.891426E-42.891426E-41.00.00.00253766450.00351464260.00351464261.00.00.025088810.0347696470.03477931.00027761.0E-5
6.14.8694856E-56.747414E-56.747414E-51.00.02.0867554E-42.891426E-42.891426E-41.00.00.00253766450.00351464260.00351464261.00.00.025088810.0347696470.03477931.00027761.0E-5
6.24.7541962E-56.58054E-56.58054E-51.00.02.0373536E-42.819924E-42.819924E-41.00.00.00247765610.00342788520.00342788521.00.00.0245021340.0339310770.033940741.00028471.0E-5
6.34.6717287E-56.4638996E-56.4638996E-51.00.02.0020158E-42.769946E-42.769946E-41.00.00.00243472960.00336723660.00336723661.00.00.0240822640.0333435950.033353261.00028991.0E-5
6.44.6276386E-56.4000655E-56.4000655E-51.00.01.983123E-42.742595E-42.742595E-41.00.00.00241177860.00333404750.00333404751.00.00.023857710.033022470.033032141.00029281.0E-5
6.54.5720994E-56.3202126E-56.3202126E-51.00.01.9593239E-42.7083795E-42.7083795E-41.00.00.0023828670.00329252640.00329252641.00.00.0235747750.0326204370.0326301121.00029661.0E-5
6.64.549134E-56.28552E-56.28552E-51.00.01.949483E-42.6935144E-42.6935144E-41.00.00.00237091190.00327448240.00327448241.00.00.0234577560.0324459150.032455591.00029831.0E-5
6.73.701047E-55.0360202E-55.0360202E-51.00.01.5860666E-42.1581183E-42.1581183E-41.00.00.00192932580.00262438620.00262438621.00.00.0191266130.0261237680.0261335061.00037281.0E-5
6.83.5523568E-54.8341764E-54.8341764E-51.00.01.5223498E-42.0716278E-42.0716278E-41.00.00.00185188510.00251933260.00251933261.00.00.0183652840.0250961310.025105881.00038851.0E-5
6.93.2946147E-54.4663368E-54.4663368E-51.00.01.4119013E-41.9140063E-41.9140063E-41.00.00.00171763440.00232785430.00232785431.00.00.0170441880.023218260.0232280271.00042071.0E-5
7.02.7682381E-53.7022768E-53.7022768E-51.00.01.1863338E-41.5865952E-41.5865952E-41.00.00.00144340440.00192999830.00192999831.00.00.014340650.0193096880.0193194951.00050781.0E-5
7.12.471967E-53.3287153E-53.3287153E-51.00.01.05937135E-41.426516E-41.426516E-41.00.00.00128902150.00173542850.00173542851.00.00.01281570.0173848070.0173946321.00056521.0E-5
7.21.9748062E-52.6775053E-52.6775053E-51.00.08.463181E-51.14745315E-41.14745315E-41.00.00.00102990520.00139615230.00139615231.00.00.010251450.0140298760.0140397351.00070271.0E-5
7.31.1603734E-51.5783939E-51.5783939E-51.00.04.9729337E-56.764378E-56.764378E-51.00.06.052865E-48.2326605E-48.2326605E-41.00.00.00603640450.0083083870.0083183041.00119361.0E-5
7.44.885381E-66.03485E-66.03485E-61.00.02.0937177E-52.5863386E-52.5863386E-51.00.02.5488032E-43.148414E-43.148414E-41.00.00.00254588180.00320082040.00321078841.00311421.0E-5
7.53.0571264E-64.155152E-64.155152E-61.00.01.3101904E-51.7807673E-51.7807673E-51.00.01.5950401E-42.1678694E-42.1678694E-41.00.00.00159389570.00222077220.002230751.00449291.0E-5
7.61.764948E-62.7953924E-62.7953924E-61.00.07.564041E-61.1980199E-51.1980199E-51.00.09.208831E-51.4584923E-41.4584923E-41.00.09.205016E-40.00151225820.0015222431.00660261.0E-5
7.71.3173734E-62.0583066E-62.0583066E-61.00.05.645874E-68.821285E-68.821285E-61.00.06.873634E-51.0739387E-41.0739387E-41.00.06.8715087E-40.00112604410.00113603291.00887061.0E-5
7.89.4429885E-71.5488399E-61.5488399E-61.00.04.0469886E-66.6378684E-66.6378684E-61.00.04.9270973E-58.0813064E-58.0813064E-51.00.04.926005E-48.5009943E-48.6009095E-41.01175331.0E-5
7.96.388233E-71.1148048E-61.1148048E-61.00.02.7378112E-64.777726E-64.777726E-61.00.03.3332344E-55.8167276E-55.8167276E-51.00.03.3327343E-46.0958765E-46.0958765E-41.00.0
8.03.087986E-75.7541615E-75.7541615E-71.00.01.323422E-62.4660667E-62.4660667E-61.00.01.6112543E-53.0023954E-53.0023954E-51.00.01.6111376E-43.1098578E-43.1098578E-41.00.0
8.11.6725647E-72.740806E-72.740806E-71.00.07.168133E-71.1746306E-61.1746306E-61.00.08.7271665E-61.4301037E-51.4301037E-51.00.08.726824E-51.4845267E-41.4845267E-41.00.0

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.0425469E-41.0425469E-41.00.03.5478722E-44.4673192E-44.4673192E-41.00.00.0043109820.0054258770.0054258771.00.00.0422830540.052992690.053002161.00017871.0E-5
6.14.6961468E-55.7729918E-55.7729918E-51.00.02.0124791E-42.4738914E-42.4738914E-41.00.00.002447440.00300786780.00300786781.00.00.0242066030.029679460.0296891631.0003271.0E-5
6.23.5079658E-54.2142394E-54.2142394E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8059736E-41.8059736E-41.00.00.00182876420.00219657530.00219657531.00.00.0181378760.0217510720.0217608551.00044981.0E-5
6.33.5079658E-54.2142394E-54.2142394E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8059736E-41.8059736E-41.00.00.00182876420.00219657530.00219657531.00.00.0181378760.0217510720.0217608551.00044981.0E-5
6.42.7196904E-53.2086995E-53.2086995E-51.00.01.16552954E-41.3750845E-41.3750845E-41.00.00.00141810850.00167289140.00167289141.00.00.0140909290.0166045870.0166045871.00.0
6.52.5584688E-53.0101488E-53.0101488E-51.00.01.0964406E-41.29E-41.29E-41.00.00.00133409890.00156945530.00156945531.00.00.0132611810.0155852590.0155852591.00.0
6.62.2034688E-52.5742593E-52.5742593E-51.00.09.443096E-51.10320776E-41.10320776E-41.00.00.00114909050.00134233510.00134233511.00.00.0114316680.0133432640.0133432641.00.0
6.71.9394853E-52.2541662E-52.2541662E-51.00.08.311815E-59.660358E-59.660358E-51.00.00.00101149360.00117551920.00117551921.00.00.010069020.0116937160.0116937161.00.0
6.81.7615313E-52.0403097E-52.0403097E-51.00.07.549201E-58.743894E-58.743894E-51.00.09.1872766E-40.00106405350.00106405351.00.00.0091493870.0105901540.0105901541.00.0
6.91.5621423E-51.8026041E-51.8026041E-51.00.06.6947236E-57.725219E-57.725219E-51.00.08.147778E-49.4014313E-49.4014313E-41.00.00.0081179690.0093621030.0093621031.00.0
7.01.3444376E-51.5448028E-51.5448028E-51.00.05.7617483E-56.6204164E-56.6204164E-51.00.07.0126704E-48.057404E-48.057404E-41.00.00.0069905820.0080285230.0080285231.00.0
7.11.2268361E-51.4072974E-51.4072974E-51.00.05.2577634E-56.031137E-56.031137E-51.00.06.399447E-47.3404616E-47.3404616E-41.00.00.00638104930.00731652040.00731652041.00.0
7.21.0922655E-51.2513514E-51.2513514E-51.00.04.681054E-55.3628257E-55.3628257E-51.00.05.697693E-46.52731E-46.52731E-41.00.00.00568310640.00650841840.00650841841.00.0
7.36.1106753E-66.9289E-66.9289E-61.00.02.6188345E-52.969495E-52.969495E-51.00.03.1879646E-43.6147644E-43.6147644E-41.00.00.00318339510.003608930.003608931.00.0
7.44.933187E-65.5895325E-65.5895325E-61.00.02.114206E-52.3954923E-52.3954923E-51.00.02.5737417E-42.9161252E-42.9161252E-41.00.00.0025707630.002912340.002912341.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969671E-61.969671E-61.00.07.495527E-68.441422E-68.441422E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02769685E-41.02769685E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724370.00102724371.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533809E-71.7533809E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144874E-77.5144874E-71.00.08.864449E-69.148852E-69.148852E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.148495E-59.148495E-51.00.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.476339E-52.476339E-51.00.07.183948E-51.06124906E-41.06124906E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129137690.0013013641.00773371.0E-50.008708630.0129534950.0129633651.0007621.0E-5
6.11.6763008E-52.476339E-52.476339E-51.00.07.183948E-51.06124906E-41.06124906E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129137690.0013013641.00773371.0E-50.008708630.0129534950.0129633651.0007621.0E-5
6.21.6763008E-52.476339E-52.476339E-51.00.07.183948E-51.06124906E-41.06124906E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129137690.0013013641.00773371.0E-50.008708630.0129534950.0129633651.0007621.0E-5
6.31.6763008E-52.476339E-52.476339E-51.00.07.183948E-51.06124906E-41.06124906E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129137690.0013013641.00773371.0E-50.008708630.0129534950.0129633651.0007621.0E-5
6.41.6763008E-52.476339E-52.476339E-51.00.07.183948E-51.06124906E-41.06124906E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129137690.0013013641.00773371.0E-50.008708630.0129534950.0129633651.0007621.0E-5
6.51.6763008E-52.476339E-52.476339E-51.00.07.183948E-51.06124906E-41.06124906E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129137690.0013013641.00773371.0E-50.008708630.0129534950.0129633651.0007621.0E-5
6.69.910213E-61.7214195E-51.7214195E-51.00.04.247165E-57.377306E-57.377306E-51.00.05.169696E-48.978206E-48.978206E-41.00.00.00515768630.0090503150.0090503151.00.0
6.79.910213E-61.7214195E-51.7214195E-51.00.04.247165E-57.377306E-57.377306E-51.00.05.169696E-48.978206E-48.978206E-41.00.00.00515768630.0090503150.0090503151.00.0
6.88.300162E-61.5473808E-51.5473808E-51.00.03.557164E-56.631464E-56.631464E-51.00.04.3299864E-48.0708315E-48.0708315E-41.00.00.0043215590.0081497540.0081497541.00.0
6.98.183114E-61.5345024E-51.5345024E-51.00.03.5070017E-56.576274E-56.576274E-51.00.04.2689382E-48.0036867E-48.0036867E-41.00.00.00426074680.0080830990.0080830991.00.0
7.07.1748823E-61.413199E-51.413199E-51.00.03.0749135E-56.0564267E-56.0564267E-51.00.03.743064E-47.3712104E-47.3712104E-41.00.00.00373676540.00745465370.00745465371.00.0
7.17.1671807E-61.412236E-51.412236E-51.00.03.0716128E-56.0522998E-56.0522998E-51.00.03.7390468E-47.3661894E-47.3661894E-41.00.00.00373276180.0074496660.0074496661.00.0
7.27.0649667E-61.396965E-51.396965E-51.00.03.0278077E-55.986856E-55.986856E-51.00.03.6857324E-47.286564E-47.286564E-41.00.00.00367962550.00737042030.00737042031.00.0
7.37.02082E-61.3913106E-51.3913106E-51.00.03.008888E-55.9626236E-55.9626236E-51.00.03.6627054E-47.2570815E-47.2570815E-41.00.00.00365667440.0073409220.0073409221.00.0
7.46.987146E-61.3872668E-51.3872668E-51.00.02.9944567E-55.9452937E-55.9452937E-51.00.03.6451413E-47.2359963E-47.2359963E-41.00.00.00363916790.00731985830.00731985831.00.0
7.56.9494554E-61.3829574E-51.3829574E-51.00.02.9783041E-55.9268255E-55.9268255E-51.00.03.625482E-47.2135264E-47.2135264E-41.00.00.00361957260.00729748650.00729748651.00.0
7.66.92694E-61.3788687E-51.3788687E-51.00.02.9686547E-55.909304E-55.909304E-51.00.03.6137376E-47.192208E-47.192208E-41.00.00.00360786660.007276240.007276241.00.0
7.76.395867E-61.266776E-51.266776E-51.00.02.741057E-55.428927E-55.428927E-51.00.03.336726E-46.6077174E-46.6077174E-41.00.00.00333172010.0066948650.0066948651.00.0
7.85.8664327E-61.1535436E-51.1535436E-51.00.02.5141611E-54.9436647E-54.9436647E-51.00.03.060561E-46.017252E-46.017252E-41.00.00.00305634950.006100410.006100411.00.0
7.93.7167474E-67.113836E-67.113836E-61.00.01.592882E-53.0487514E-53.0487514E-51.00.01.9391612E-43.711224E-43.711224E-41.00.00.00193746990.00376728760.00376728761.00.0
8.01.0903841E-61.2877698E-61.2877698E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.5190017E-65.5190017E-61.00.05.68931E-56.719179E-56.719179E-51.00.05.6878536E-46.9408386E-46.9408386E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.1053666E-71.1053666E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7372845E-74.7372845E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.767629E-65.767629E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.4533284E-56.4533284E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4562583E-92.4562583E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0526822E-81.0526822E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2816405E-71.2816405E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4582747E-61.4582747E-61.00.0

Cleghorn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.831569E-69.831569E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2134674E-54.2134674E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.128795E-45.128795E-41.00.00.0041275220.0051321710.00514211921.00193851.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-69.831569E-69.831569E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2134674E-54.2134674E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.128795E-45.128795E-41.00.00.0041275220.0051321710.00514211921.00193851.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-69.831569E-69.831569E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2134674E-54.2134674E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.128795E-45.128795E-41.00.00.0041275220.0051321710.00514211921.00193851.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-69.831569E-69.831569E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2134674E-54.2134674E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.128795E-45.128795E-41.00.00.0041275220.0051321710.00514211921.00193851.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-66.091434E-66.091434E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.610589E-52.610589E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1779386E-43.1779386E-41.00.00.00226434620.00318768340.00319765141.00312711.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-66.091434E-66.091434E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.610589E-52.610589E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1779386E-43.1779386E-41.00.00.00226434620.00318768340.00319765141.00312711.0E-5
6.64.040109E-65.773842E-65.773842E-61.00.01.7314638E-52.4744808E-52.4744808E-51.00.02.1078532E-43.0122732E-43.0122732E-41.00.00.0021058550.00302247330.0030324431.00329851.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-65.0673398E-65.0673398E-61.00.01.4413658E-52.171699E-52.171699E-51.00.01.7547216E-42.643726E-42.643726E-41.00.00.00175333660.00265480790.00266478121.00375681.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-64.9892474E-64.9892474E-61.00.01.4101111E-52.1382315E-52.1382315E-51.00.01.716675E-42.602989E-42.602989E-41.00.00.00171534950.00261416680.00262414061.00381531.0E-5
6.93.031547E-64.69101E-64.69101E-61.00.01.299228E-52.0104175E-52.0104175E-51.00.01.5816953E-42.447411E-42.447411E-41.00.00.001580570.00245894030.00246891571.00405681.0E-5
7.02.8259715E-64.370579E-64.370579E-61.00.01.211125E-51.8730922E-51.8730922E-51.00.01.4744449E-42.2802534E-42.2802534E-41.00.00.0014734670.0022921370.0022921371.00.0
7.12.5962665E-64.0658E-64.0658E-61.00.01.1126809E-51.7424743E-51.7424743E-51.00.01.3546048E-42.1212581E-42.1212581E-41.00.00.00135377930.00213346580.00213346581.00.0
7.22.3247253E-63.6763556E-63.6763556E-61.00.09.96307E-61.5755715E-51.5755715E-51.00.01.21293626E-41.9180914E-41.9180914E-41.00.00.00121227440.00193068750.00193068751.00.0
7.32.056928E-63.2350797E-63.2350797E-61.00.08.815376E-61.3864555E-51.3864555E-51.00.01.0732192E-41.6878804E-41.6878804E-41.00.00.0010727010.00170091120.00170091121.00.0
7.41.8055999E-62.825487E-62.825487E-61.00.07.738263E-61.2109174E-51.2109174E-51.00.09.4209274E-51.4741936E-41.4741936E-41.00.09.4169343E-40.00148764790.00148764791.00.0
7.51.4683443E-62.42473E-62.42473E-61.00.06.292889E-61.0391659E-51.0391659E-51.00.07.661323E-51.2651121E-41.2651121E-41.00.07.658682E-40.00127886130.00127886131.00.0
7.69.804088E-71.9002471E-61.9002471E-61.00.04.201745E-68.143891E-68.143891E-61.00.05.1155046E-59.914741E-59.914741E-51.00.05.114327E-40.00100553630.00100553631.00.0
7.77.3434086E-71.6283949E-61.6283949E-61.00.03.1471714E-66.9788166E-66.9788166E-61.00.03.831614E-58.496381E-58.496381E-51.00.03.8309532E-48.638507E-48.638507E-41.00.0
7.86.434184E-71.521984E-61.521984E-61.00.02.7575045E-66.5227723E-66.5227723E-61.00.03.35721E-57.941188E-57.941188E-51.00.03.3567028E-48.080201E-48.080201E-41.00.0
7.93.4943926E-77.574203E-77.574203E-71.00.01.497596E-63.246083E-63.246083E-61.00.01.8233079E-53.9520353E-53.9520353E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.0402258E-44.0402258E-41.00.0
8.06.717524E-85.8364506E-85.8364506E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.5013355E-72.5013355E-71.00.03.505102E-63.045372E-63.045372E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.2745604E-53.2745604E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2946327E-81.2946327E-81.00.01.370782E-75.5484257E-85.5484257E-81.00.01.6689258E-66.7552065E-76.7552065E-71.00.01.6689133E-57.739309E-67.739309E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6460996E-93.6460996E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.5626142E-81.5626142E-81.00.06.359922E-71.9024826E-71.9024826E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.2450613E-62.2450613E-61.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4091965E-52.4091965E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03247796E-41.13246766E-41.09684431.0E-50.00115542640.00125642350.0012664111.00794911.0E-50.0114943730.0125037920.0125136661.00078981.0E-5
6.12.2156251E-52.4091965E-52.4091965E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03247796E-41.13246766E-41.09684431.0E-50.00115542640.00125642350.0012664111.00794911.0E-50.0114943730.0125037920.0125136661.00078981.0E-5
6.22.2156251E-52.4091965E-52.4091965E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03247796E-41.13246766E-41.09684431.0E-50.00115542640.00125642350.0012664111.00794911.0E-50.0114943730.0125037920.0125136661.00078981.0E-5
6.32.2156251E-52.4091965E-52.4091965E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03247796E-41.13246766E-41.09684431.0E-50.00115542640.00125642350.0012664111.00794911.0E-50.0114943730.0125037920.0125136661.00078981.0E-5
6.42.2156251E-52.4091965E-52.4091965E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03247796E-41.13246766E-41.09684431.0E-50.00115542640.00125642350.0012664111.00794911.0E-50.0114943730.0125037920.0125136661.00078981.0E-5
6.52.2156251E-52.4091965E-52.4091965E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03247796E-41.13246766E-41.09684431.0E-50.00115542640.00125642350.0012664111.00794911.0E-50.0114943730.0125037920.0125136661.00078981.0E-5
6.62.2156251E-52.4091965E-52.4091965E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03247796E-41.13246766E-41.09684431.0E-50.00115542640.00125642350.0012664111.00794911.0E-50.0114943730.0125037920.0125136661.00078981.0E-5
6.71.0601296E-51.1379521E-51.1379521E-51.00.04.5433335E-54.8768492E-55.8768004E-51.20504051.0E-55.5301044E-45.935995E-46.035936E-41.01683641.0E-50.0055163630.00592064160.00593058251.00167911.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996648E-51.0996648E-51.00.04.391389E-54.7127665E-55.7127192E-51.21217951.0E-55.345204E-45.7363306E-45.836273E-41.01742281.0E-50.00533236560.0057220140.00573195661.00173761.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.6996255E-69.6996255E-61.00.03.878322E-54.1569187E-55.1568768E-51.24055281.0E-54.7208337E-45.059914E-45.1598635E-41.01975321.0E-50.00471081720.00504881050.00505876031.00197061.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274585E-69.274585E-61.00.03.7088983E-53.974764E-54.9747243E-51.25157731.0E-54.5146482E-44.8382414E-44.938193E-41.02065861.0E-50.0045054870.004828120.00483807181.00206121.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.992907E-68.992907E-61.00.03.5961057E-53.8540486E-54.85401E-51.25945731.0E-54.3773788E-44.6913346E-44.7912876E-41.02130591.0E-50.0043687660.00468184150.00469179451.00212591.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.371684E-66.371684E-61.00.02.556484E-52.7306933E-53.730666E-51.36619731.0E-53.1120746E-43.3241173E-43.4240843E-41.03007321.0E-50.003107720.00331920320.003329171.00300281.0E-5
7.34.877518E-65.2059972E-65.2059972E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.2311227E-52.2311227E-51.00.02.5447016E-42.716058E-42.716058E-41.00.00.00254178980.00271278460.00271278461.00.0
7.43.8829853E-64.1418552E-64.1418552E-61.00.01.664126E-51.775069E-51.775069E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1609364E-42.1609364E-41.00.00.0020240390.0021588770.0021588771.00.0
7.51.3489616E-61.4277881E-61.4277881E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.1190776E-66.1190776E-61.00.07.038446E-57.4497264E-57.4497264E-51.00.07.036218E-47.4472686E-47.4472686E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.35377E-76.35377E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230412E-62.7230412E-61.00.03.161029E-53.315254E-53.315254E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.3147755E-43.3147755E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.2607891E-72.2607891E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689093E-79.689093E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.1796418E-51.1796418E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.1795903E-41.1795903E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-81.5466837E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628645E-86.628645E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070372E-78.070372E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.07035E-68.07035E-61.00.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169152E-51.8169152E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786549E-57.786549E-51.00.00.00122422259.4760366E-49.575942E-41.0105431.0E-50.0121750020.0094365470.0094464521.00104981.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8169152E-51.8169152E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786549E-57.786549E-51.00.00.00122422259.4760366E-49.575942E-41.0105431.0E-50.0121750020.0094365470.0094464521.00104981.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8169152E-51.8169152E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786549E-57.786549E-51.00.00.00122422259.4760366E-49.575942E-41.0105431.0E-50.0121750020.0094365470.0094464521.00104981.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8169152E-51.8169152E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786549E-57.786549E-51.00.00.00122422259.4760366E-49.575942E-41.0105431.0E-50.0121750020.0094365470.0094464521.00104981.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8169152E-51.8169152E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786549E-57.786549E-51.00.00.00122422259.4760366E-49.575942E-41.0105431.0E-50.0121750020.0094365470.0094464521.00104981.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8169152E-51.8169152E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786549E-57.786549E-51.00.00.00122422259.4760366E-49.575942E-41.0105431.0E-50.0121750020.0094365470.0094464521.00104981.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8169152E-51.8169152E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786549E-57.786549E-51.00.00.00122422259.4760366E-49.575942E-41.0105431.0E-50.0121750020.0094365470.0094464521.00104981.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8169152E-51.8169152E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786549E-57.786549E-51.00.00.00122422259.4760366E-49.575942E-41.0105431.0E-50.0121750020.0094365470.0094464521.00104981.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7936884E-51.7936884E-51.00.09.960445E-57.687011E-57.687011E-51.00.00.00121200959.3549537E-49.45486E-41.01067951.0E-50.0120542040.0093164160.0093263241.00106331.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.7432323E-51.7432323E-51.00.09.7543525E-57.470784E-57.470784E-51.00.00.00118694549.091918E-49.191827E-41.01098881.0E-50.0118062560.009055540.0090654491.00109431.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7066077E-51.7066077E-51.00.09.600859E-57.31383E-57.31383E-51.00.00.00116827778.900984E-49.000895E-41.01122471.0E-50.0116215490.0088661350.0088760471.0011181.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.6585966E-51.6585966E-51.00.09.373015E-57.108079E-57.108079E-51.00.00.00114056718.6506834E-48.750597E-41.01154981.0E-50.0113473090.0086177990.0086277121.00115041.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.5564516E-51.5564516E-51.00.08.8771834E-56.670338E-56.670338E-51.00.00.00108026118.1181433E-48.2180626E-41.01230811.0E-50.0107502490.008089250.0080991691.00122621.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3996794E-51.3996794E-51.00.07.8890735E-55.9984897E-55.9984897E-51.00.09.600714E-47.300744E-47.400671E-41.01368731.0E-50.0095593420.0072774580.00728738541.00136411.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.2850027E-51.2850027E-51.00.07.2241404E-55.50704E-55.50704E-51.00.08.7918417E-46.702787E-46.80272E-41.01490911.0E-50.008757140.0066832250.00669315831.00148631.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577392E-69.577392E-61.00.05.495361E-54.104533E-54.104533E-51.00.06.688548E-44.996139E-45.096089E-41.02000551.0E-50.0066684520.0049850260.00499497631.0019961.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.8548847E-63.8548847E-61.00.02.4116642E-51.6520831E-51.6520831E-51.00.02.9358055E-42.0112265E-42.1112064E-41.04971091.0E-50.00293193010.00200941720.0020193971.00496661.0E-5
7.73.5261346E-62.3406994E-62.3406994E-61.00.01.5111918E-51.003153E-51.003153E-51.00.01.8397206E-41.2212711E-41.3212589E-41.08187191.0E-50.00183819840.00122060730.00123059521.00818261.0E-5
7.81.4826929E-61.0564368E-61.0564368E-61.00.06.354383E-64.5275788E-64.5275788E-61.00.07.736187E-55.5121895E-56.512134E-51.18140611.0E-57.733494E-45.5108423E-45.610787E-41.0181361.0E-5
7.92.7568166E-71.697784E-71.697784E-71.00.01.1814923E-67.276215E-77.276215E-71.00.01.4384574E-58.858756E-61.8858667E-52.12881661.0E-51.4383643E-48.858406E-59.858318E-51.11287711.0E-5
8.05.407832E-82.6886624E-82.6886624E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.1522838E-71.1522838E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4029047E-61.4029047E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.4028963E-51.4028963E-51.00.0

Santa Susana East (connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.858397E-53.2021515E-54.2021195E-51.312281.0E-51.2249697E-41.3722944E-41.4722807E-41.07286071.0E-50.00149038030.00166976090.00167974421.00597881.0E-50.0148042440.016599060.0166088941.00059251.0E-5
6.12.858397E-53.2021515E-54.2021195E-51.312281.0E-51.2249697E-41.3722944E-41.4722807E-41.07286071.0E-50.00149038030.00166976090.00167974421.00597881.0E-50.0148042440.016599060.0166088941.00059251.0E-5
6.22.858397E-53.2021515E-54.2021195E-51.312281.0E-51.2249697E-41.3722944E-41.4722807E-41.07286071.0E-50.00149038030.00166976090.00167974421.00597881.0E-50.0148042440.016599060.0166088941.00059251.0E-5
6.31.943582E-52.0367252E-53.0367048E-51.49097431.0E-58.329371E-58.728594E-59.728506E-51.1145561.0E-50.0010136290.00106230020.00107228951.00940361.0E-50.0100901810.0105836360.0105935311.00093481.0E-5
6.41.943582E-52.0367252E-53.0367048E-51.49097431.0E-58.329371E-58.728594E-59.728506E-51.1145561.0E-50.0010136290.00106230020.00107228951.00940361.0E-50.0100901810.0105836360.0105935311.00093481.0E-5
6.51.943582E-52.0367252E-53.0367048E-51.49097431.0E-58.329371E-58.728594E-59.728506E-51.1145561.0E-50.0010136290.00106230020.00107228951.00940361.0E-50.0100901810.0105836360.0105935311.00093481.0E-5
6.61.943582E-52.0367252E-53.0367048E-51.49097431.0E-58.329371E-58.728594E-59.728506E-51.1145561.0E-50.0010136290.00106230020.00107228951.00940361.0E-50.0100901810.0105836360.0105935311.00093481.0E-5
6.71.9404439E-52.0354675E-53.0354471E-51.49127771.0E-58.3159226E-58.723203E-59.723116E-51.11462681.0E-50.00101199330.00106164460.0010716341.00940931.0E-50.0100739710.0105771420.0105870371.00093541.0E-5
6.81.2217526E-51.1593124E-51.1593124E-51.00.05.2359774E-54.9683968E-54.9683968E-51.00.06.372938E-46.047512E-46.047512E-41.00.00.00635469240.0060330870.0060330871.00.0
6.91.2217526E-51.1593124E-51.1593124E-51.00.05.2359774E-54.9683968E-54.9683968E-51.00.06.372938E-46.047512E-46.047512E-41.00.00.00635469240.0060330870.0060330871.00.0
7.09.276017E-68.059261E-68.059261E-61.00.03.9753755E-53.453925E-53.453925E-51.00.04.8389446E-44.2043766E-44.2043766E-41.00.00.00482842140.00419713320.00419713321.00.0
7.19.130355E-67.942434E-67.942434E-61.00.03.9129503E-53.403858E-53.403858E-51.00.04.7629757E-44.1434434E-44.1434434E-41.00.00.004752780.00413642820.00413642821.00.0
7.28.851015E-67.741596E-67.741596E-61.00.03.7932372E-53.3177865E-53.3177865E-51.00.04.6172875E-44.0386908E-44.0386908E-41.00.00.00460770540.0040320580.0040320581.00.0
7.38.573006E-67.55032E-67.55032E-61.00.03.6740938E-53.235813E-53.235813E-51.00.04.472291E-43.9389243E-43.9389243E-41.00.00.0044633010.00393264040.00393264041.00.0
7.47.852282E-66.817847E-66.817847E-61.00.03.36522E-52.9219034E-52.9219034E-51.00.04.096385E-43.556867E-43.556867E-41.00.00.00408884230.00355181380.00355181381.00.0
7.54.8869324E-64.27909E-64.27909E-61.00.02.0943828E-51.8338837E-51.8338837E-51.00.02.5496128E-42.2325412E-42.2325412E-41.00.00.00254668950.0022304110.0022304111.00.0
7.61.3894544E-61.1568352E-61.1568352E-61.00.05.954791E-64.957857E-64.957857E-61.00.07.249717E-56.036046E-56.036046E-51.00.07.247352E-46.0346245E-46.0346245E-41.00.0
7.72.9924632E-72.3719298E-72.3719298E-71.00.01.2824837E-61.016541E-61.016541E-61.00.01.5614127E-51.2376324E-51.2376324E-51.00.01.5613029E-41.2375705E-41.2375705E-41.00.0
7.84.8188564E-82.6321734E-82.6321734E-81.00.02.065224E-71.1280743E-71.1280743E-71.00.02.5144072E-61.3734297E-61.3734297E-61.00.02.5143789E-51.373422E-51.373422E-51.00.0
7.92.6127251E-92.7681057E-92.7681057E-91.00.01.1197393E-81.186331E-81.186331E-81.00.01.3632825E-71.444358E-71.444358E-71.00.01.3632817E-61.4443581E-61.4443581E-61.00.0

Santa Susana alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.674877E-52.7198106E-53.7197835E-51.36766271.0E-51.1463255E-41.16558746E-41.2655758E-41.08578361.0E-50.00139475780.00141829250.00142827841.00704071.0E-50.0138603620.0141041640.0141140231.0006991.0E-5
6.12.674877E-52.7198106E-53.7197835E-51.36766271.0E-51.1463255E-41.16558746E-41.2655758E-41.08578361.0E-50.00139475780.00141829250.00142827841.00704071.0E-50.0138603620.0141041640.0141140231.0006991.0E-5
6.22.674877E-52.7198106E-53.7197835E-51.36766271.0E-51.1463255E-41.16558746E-41.2655758E-41.08578361.0E-50.00139475780.00141829250.00142827841.00704071.0E-50.0138603620.0141041640.0141140231.0006991.0E-5
6.32.674877E-52.7198106E-53.7197835E-51.36766271.0E-51.1463255E-41.16558746E-41.2655758E-41.08578361.0E-50.00139475780.00141829250.00142827841.00704071.0E-50.0138603620.0141041640.0141140231.0006991.0E-5
6.42.674877E-52.7198106E-53.7197835E-51.36766271.0E-51.1463255E-41.16558746E-41.2655758E-41.08578361.0E-50.00139475780.00141829250.00142827841.00704071.0E-50.0138603620.0141041640.0141140231.0006991.0E-5
6.52.674877E-52.7198106E-53.7197835E-51.36766271.0E-51.1463255E-41.16558746E-41.2655758E-41.08578361.0E-50.00139475780.00141829250.00142827841.00704071.0E-50.0138603620.0141041640.0141140231.0006991.0E-5
6.62.6647976E-52.7074446E-53.7074176E-51.3693421.0E-51.14200615E-41.1602882E-41.2602766E-41.08617541.0E-50.00138950560.00141184920.0014218351.00707291.0E-50.0138084940.0140405490.0140504091.00070231.0E-5
6.72.6647976E-52.7074446E-53.7074176E-51.3693421.0E-51.14200615E-41.1602882E-41.2602766E-41.08617541.0E-50.00138950560.00141184920.0014218351.00707291.0E-50.0138084940.0140405490.0140504091.00070231.0E-5
6.81.9073179E-51.7637421E-51.7637421E-51.00.08.1739636E-57.558686E-57.558686E-51.00.09.947256E-49.1989967E-49.1989967E-41.00.00.0099028480.0091631690.0091631691.00.0
6.91.9041876E-51.7619554E-51.7619554E-51.00.08.160549E-57.551029E-57.551029E-51.00.09.930939E-49.189682E-49.189682E-41.00.00.00988667550.00915393050.00915393051.00.0
7.01.5917482E-51.3864026E-51.3864026E-51.00.06.8215995E-55.941593E-55.941593E-51.00.08.302132E-47.2315347E-47.2315347E-41.00.00.0082711850.00720888560.00720888561.00.0
7.11.577788E-51.3744033E-51.3744033E-51.00.06.761774E-55.8901696E-55.8901696E-51.00.08.2293496E-47.1689684E-47.1689684E-41.00.00.0081989410.0071467230.0071467231.00.0
7.21.5416446E-51.3470108E-51.3470108E-51.00.06.606882E-55.7727782E-55.7727782E-51.00.08.0409093E-47.0261373E-47.0261373E-41.00.00.0080118770.0070047950.0070047951.00.0
7.31.4534083E-51.2718011E-51.2718011E-51.00.06.228744E-55.450465E-55.450465E-51.00.07.580857E-46.633965E-46.633965E-41.00.00.0075550480.00661499240.00661499241.00.0
7.41.2858995E-51.1229797E-51.1229797E-51.00.05.5108816E-54.8126836E-54.8126836E-51.00.06.7074323E-45.857906E-45.857906E-41.00.00.00668722340.0058432140.0058432141.00.0
7.58.827668E-67.805483E-67.805483E-61.00.03.7832317E-53.3451655E-53.3451655E-51.00.04.605111E-44.0720025E-44.0720025E-41.00.00.00459557960.00406473830.00406473831.00.0
7.63.2533426E-62.8720037E-62.8720037E-61.00.01.3942822E-51.2308531E-51.2308531E-51.00.01.6974064E-41.4984643E-41.4984643E-41.00.00.00169611040.00149749080.00149749081.00.0
7.71.2751709E-61.1491329E-61.1491329E-61.00.05.4650063E-64.9248465E-64.9248465E-61.00.06.653442E-55.995845E-55.995845E-51.00.06.6514505E-45.9943163E-45.9943163E-41.00.0
7.83.067544E-73.2400467E-73.2400467E-71.00.01.3146611E-61.3885908E-61.3885908E-61.00.01.600588E-51.6905971E-51.6905971E-51.00.01.6004729E-41.6904788E-41.6904788E-41.00.0
7.97.622999E-88.087958E-88.087958E-81.00.03.2669993E-73.4662673E-73.4662673E-71.00.03.977564E-64.2201746E-64.2201746E-61.00.03.977493E-54.220115E-54.220115E-51.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7035075E-53.7035075E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871483E-41.5871483E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193111170.00193111171.00.00.0164951590.019189760.0191995671.00051121.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.7035075E-53.7035075E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871483E-41.5871483E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193111170.00193111171.00.00.0164951590.019189760.0191995671.00051121.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.7035075E-53.7035075E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871483E-41.5871483E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193111170.00193111171.00.00.0164951590.019189760.0191995671.00051121.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.7035075E-53.7035075E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871483E-41.5871483E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193111170.00193111171.00.00.0164951590.019189760.0191995671.00051121.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.120235E-52.120235E-51.00.08.259794E-59.0865025E-59.0865025E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110589190.00110589191.00.00.0100063150.0110206960.0110206961.00.0
6.51.9273462E-52.120235E-52.120235E-51.00.08.259794E-59.0865025E-59.0865025E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110589190.00110589191.00.00.0100063150.0110206960.0110206961.00.0
6.69.813258E-69.665563E-69.665563E-61.00.04.205614E-54.1423224E-54.1423224E-51.00.05.119132E-45.0421833E-45.0421833E-41.00.00.0051073560.00503146650.00503146651.00.0
6.79.801478E-69.653133E-69.653133E-61.00.04.2005657E-54.1369953E-54.1369953E-51.00.05.112989E-45.0357E-45.0357E-41.00.00.00510124070.0050250130.0050250131.00.0
6.88.102489E-67.772975E-67.772975E-61.00.03.4724493E-53.331235E-53.331235E-51.00.04.2268867E-44.0550734E-44.0550734E-41.00.00.0042188560.0040481680.0040481681.00.0
6.96.08275E-65.4814295E-65.4814295E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.3491633E-52.3491633E-51.00.03.173398E-42.8597386E-42.8597386E-41.00.00.00316887020.00285613650.00285613651.00.0
7.05.5995934E-64.9827586E-64.9827586E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1354508E-52.1354508E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.599608E-42.599608E-41.00.00.00291753160.00259663420.00259663421.00.0
7.14.709881E-64.087382E-64.087382E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7517235E-51.7517235E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1325189E-42.1325189E-41.00.00.0024545370.0021305140.0021305141.00.0
7.23.6063436E-62.9779353E-62.9779353E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.2762518E-51.2762518E-51.00.01.881565E-41.5537269E-41.5537269E-41.00.00.00187997260.00155265180.00155265181.00.0
7.32.471135E-62.0954517E-62.0954517E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980477E-68.980477E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.0933189E-41.0933189E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109278820.00109278821.00.0
7.41.163943E-61.027504E-61.027504E-61.00.04.988318E-64.4035814E-64.4035814E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.3612315E-55.3612315E-51.00.06.071448E-45.359968E-45.359968E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.91759E-74.91759E-71.00.02.140537E-62.107537E-62.107537E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5658977E-52.5658977E-51.00.02.605767E-42.565617E-42.565617E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.477825E-72.477825E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619246E-61.0619246E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2928859E-51.2928859E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928144E-41.2928144E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.386387E-87.386387E-81.00.03.527691E-73.1655944E-73.1655944E-71.00.04.294955E-63.8541057E-63.8541057E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.8540504E-53.8540504E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.756536E-81.756536E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528011E-87.528011E-81.00.01.45157E-69.1653516E-79.1653516E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.165329E-69.165329E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.6595903E-61.6659524E-52.50158381.0E-52.8688235E-52.854079E-53.8540504E-51.35036581.0E-53.492233E-43.4742878E-43.574253E-41.02877281.0E-50.003486750.00354885520.00355881961.00280791.0E-5
6.16.693995E-66.6595903E-61.6659524E-52.50158381.0E-52.8688235E-52.854079E-53.8540504E-51.35036581.0E-53.492233E-43.4742878E-43.574253E-41.02877281.0E-50.003486750.00354885520.00355881961.00280791.0E-5
6.26.693995E-66.6595903E-61.6659524E-52.50158381.0E-52.8688235E-52.854079E-53.8540504E-51.35036581.0E-53.492233E-43.4742878E-43.574253E-41.02877281.0E-50.003486750.00354885520.00355881961.00280791.0E-5
6.36.693995E-66.6595903E-61.6659524E-52.50158381.0E-52.8688235E-52.854079E-53.8540504E-51.35036581.0E-53.492233E-43.4742878E-43.574253E-41.02877281.0E-50.003486750.00354885520.00355881961.00280791.0E-5
6.46.693995E-66.6595903E-61.6659524E-52.50158381.0E-52.8688235E-52.854079E-53.8540504E-51.35036581.0E-53.492233E-43.4742878E-43.574253E-41.02877281.0E-50.003486750.00354885520.00355881961.00280791.0E-5
6.56.6561875E-66.619808E-61.6619742E-52.51060771.0E-52.8526205E-52.83703E-53.8370013E-51.35247141.0E-53.472512E-43.4535374E-43.5535026E-41.02894581.0E-50.00346709070.00352817080.00353813541.00282431.0E-5
6.66.6561875E-66.619808E-61.6619742E-52.51060771.0E-52.8526205E-52.83703E-53.8370013E-51.35247141.0E-53.472512E-43.4535374E-43.5535026E-41.02894581.0E-50.00346709070.00352817080.00353813541.00282431.0E-5
6.76.5802237E-66.538985E-61.653892E-52.52927921.0E-52.8200653E-52.8023922E-53.802364E-51.3568281.0E-53.4328885E-43.411379E-43.5113448E-41.02930371.0E-50.00342759020.00348614530.00349611041.00285851.0E-5
6.86.575632E-66.533475E-61.653341E-52.5305691.0E-52.8180975E-52.8000306E-53.8000027E-51.3571291.0E-53.4304935E-43.4085047E-43.5084705E-41.02932831.0E-50.00342520260.003483280.00349324521.00286091.0E-5
6.96.570433E-66.5248687E-61.6524804E-52.53258781.0E-52.8158694E-52.7963424E-53.7963146E-51.35761.0E-53.4277816E-43.4040157E-43.503982E-41.02936711.0E-50.00342249920.0034788050.00348877021.00286461.0E-5
7.06.5643826E-66.5149898E-61.6514925E-52.53491191.0E-52.8132765E-52.7921087E-53.7920807E-51.35814231.0E-53.424626E-43.398863E-43.4988287E-41.02941161.0E-50.00341935320.00347366840.00348363351.00286881.0E-5
7.16.557402E-66.5037016E-61.6503636E-52.5375761.0E-52.8102848E-52.787271E-53.7872433E-51.35876381.0E-53.4209844E-43.3929746E-43.4929407E-41.02946271.0E-50.00341572290.00346779960.0034777651.00287371.0E-5
7.26.546394E-66.485668E-61.6485603E-52.5418511.0E-52.8055672E-52.7795426E-53.7795147E-51.35976151.0E-53.4152428E-43.3835683E-43.4835344E-41.02954461.0E-50.00340999870.00345842680.00346839221.00288151.0E-5
7.36.5364216E-66.466454E-61.6466389E-52.54643271.0E-52.8012933E-52.771308E-53.77128E-51.36083041.0E-53.4100408E-43.3735458E-43.4735122E-41.02963241.0E-50.0034048130.00344844950.00345841521.00288991.0E-5
7.46.5269523E-66.4475407E-61.6447477E-52.5509691.0E-52.7972354E-52.7632026E-53.7631748E-51.36188891.0E-53.4051016E-43.3636804E-43.463647E-41.02971941.0E-50.00339988880.0034386320.00344859761.00289811.0E-5
7.56.5111835E-66.4238147E-61.642375E-52.55669741.0E-52.7904773E-52.7530345E-53.753007E-51.36322561.0E-53.3968766E-43.3513046E-43.451271E-41.02982911.0E-50.00339168870.0034263050.00343627091.00290861.0E-5
7.66.4768806E-66.382924E-61.638286E-52.56667021.0E-52.7757764E-52.7355101E-53.735483E-51.36555251.0E-53.3789838E-43.3299756E-43.429942E-41.03002021.0E-50.00337385040.0034050380.00341500411.00292681.0E-5
7.76.1655364E-66.1754195E-61.6175358E-52.61931321.0E-52.642346E-52.6465816E-53.646555E-51.37783591.0E-53.2165812E-43.2217373E-43.3217052E-41.03102911.0E-50.00321192950.00329664930.00330661631.00302341.0E-5
7.85.5043524E-65.736509E-61.5736452E-52.74321061.0E-52.3589868E-52.4584808E-53.4584562E-51.40674531.0E-52.871688E-42.9927897E-43.09276E-41.03340361.0E-50.00286797970.00306676980.00307673911.00325071.0E-5
7.93.889249E-64.0762266E-61.4076186E-53.45323941.0E-51.6668104E-51.7469425E-52.746925E-51.57241871.0E-52.0291525E-42.1266953E-42.2266741E-41.04701131.0E-50.00202730070.00219390290.00220388081.00454811.0E-5
8.02.668535E-62.531063E-61.2531038E-54.9508991.0E-51.1436528E-51.0847369E-52.084726E-51.92187261.0E-51.3923083E-41.3205873E-41.4205741E-41.07571391.0E-50.00139143630.00137540780.0013853941.00726061.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2183608E-61.2183608E-61.00.06.8191785E-65.221536E-65.221536E-61.00.08.3020335E-56.357037E-56.357037E-51.00.08.298933E-46.6903053E-46.6903053E-41.00.0
8.26.1294963E-72.1797568E-72.1797568E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.341812E-79.341812E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1373597E-51.1373597E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2776689E-41.2776689E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7504173E-84.7504173E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.035893E-72.035893E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4786968E-62.4786968E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8665521E-52.8665521E-51.00.0

Hollywood

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.24487615E-51.2593198E-52.2593073E-51.79406941.0E-55.3350745E-55.396976E-56.396922E-51.18527891.0E-56.4935174E-46.5688835E-46.668818E-41.01521331.0E-50.00647457550.0065499550.00655988931.00151671.0E-5
6.11.24487615E-51.2593198E-52.2593073E-51.79406941.0E-55.3350745E-55.396976E-56.396922E-51.18527891.0E-56.4935174E-46.5688835E-46.668818E-41.01521331.0E-50.00647457550.0065499550.00655988931.00151671.0E-5
6.21.24487615E-51.2593198E-52.2593073E-51.79406941.0E-55.3350745E-55.396976E-56.396922E-51.18527891.0E-56.4935174E-46.5688835E-46.668818E-41.01521331.0E-50.00647457550.0065499550.00655988931.00151671.0E-5
6.31.24487615E-51.2593198E-52.2593073E-51.79406941.0E-55.3350745E-55.396976E-56.396922E-51.18527891.0E-56.4935174E-46.5688835E-46.668818E-41.01521331.0E-50.00647457550.0065499550.00655988931.00151671.0E-5
6.41.2431024E-51.2573812E-52.2573686E-51.79529381.0E-55.327473E-55.3886677E-56.388614E-51.18556461.0E-56.4842677E-46.5587746E-46.658709E-41.01523671.0E-50.00646537960.0065399050.006549841.00151911.0E-5
6.51.1242222E-51.1317775E-51.1317775E-51.00.04.8180063E-54.850386E-54.850386E-51.00.05.864344E-45.903772E-45.903772E-41.00.00.00584889250.0058883750.0058883751.00.0
6.61.1234066E-51.1308889E-51.1308889E-51.00.04.8145106E-54.846578E-54.846578E-51.00.05.86009E-45.899138E-45.899138E-41.00.00.0058446610.00588376540.00588376541.00.0
6.71.12294E-51.1303632E-51.1303632E-51.00.04.812511E-54.8443253E-54.8443253E-51.00.05.857657E-45.896397E-45.896397E-41.00.00.00584224050.00588103850.00588103851.00.0
6.81.0252819E-51.0218422E-51.0218422E-51.00.04.3939912E-54.3792515E-54.3792515E-51.00.05.3483713E-45.3304556E-45.3304556E-41.00.00.0053355170.0053178960.0053178961.00.0
6.99.252289E-69.1102875E-69.1102875E-61.00.03.9652066E-53.9043513E-53.9043513E-51.00.04.8265693E-44.7525272E-44.7525272E-41.00.00.00481610.0047425370.0047425371.00.0
7.08.474604E-68.25824E-68.25824E-61.00.03.6319227E-53.5391986E-53.5391986E-51.00.04.4209688E-44.3081367E-44.3081367E-41.00.00.0044121840.00429993540.00429993541.00.0
7.16.643643E-66.2683553E-66.2683553E-61.00.02.8472443E-52.6864105E-52.6864105E-51.00.03.4659685E-43.2702181E-43.2702181E-41.00.00.00346056770.00326545190.00326545191.00.0
7.25.549002E-65.1086954E-65.1086954E-61.00.02.378122E-52.1894226E-52.1894226E-51.00.02.8949787E-42.6652974E-42.6652974E-41.00.00.00289121040.00266211740.00266211741.00.0
7.34.3059727E-63.959881E-63.959881E-61.00.01.8454039E-51.6970807E-51.6970807E-51.00.02.2465475E-42.0660007E-42.0660007E-41.00.00.00224427790.00206409020.00206409021.00.0
7.42.8550733E-62.701292E-62.701292E-61.00.01.2235971E-51.1576914E-51.1576914E-51.00.01.4896276E-41.4093987E-41.4093987E-41.00.00.00148862940.00140850990.00140850991.00.0
7.51.9927045E-61.8976333E-61.8976333E-61.00.08.540134E-68.132689E-68.132689E-61.00.01.0397117E-49.901103E-59.901103E-51.00.00.00103922549.896727E-49.896727E-41.00.0
7.61.345084E-61.2215977E-61.2215977E-61.00.05.764633E-65.235408E-65.235408E-61.00.07.018215E-56.373925E-56.373925E-51.00.07.0159987E-46.3721166E-46.3721166E-41.00.0
7.77.6835164E-76.27767E-76.27767E-71.00.03.2929315E-62.6904272E-62.6904272E-61.00.04.00907E-53.2755474E-53.2755474E-51.00.04.0083472E-43.2750794E-43.2750794E-41.00.0
7.83.6562128E-72.4534484E-72.4534484E-71.00.01.5669474E-61.0514775E-61.0514775E-61.00.01.9077417E-51.2801666E-51.2801666E-51.00.01.907578E-41.2800966E-41.2800966E-41.00.0
7.97.5024424E-85.381607E-85.381607E-81.00.03.215332E-72.306403E-72.306403E-71.00.03.91466E-62.8080433E-62.8080433E-61.00.03.9145907E-52.8080207E-52.8080207E-51.00.0

Mission Hills 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8765717E-51.9054518E-51.9054518E-51.00.08.0422025E-58.16616E-58.16616E-51.00.09.786983E-49.941199E-40.001004111.01004911.0E-50.0097439920.0099303930.0099402931.00099711.0E-5
6.11.8765717E-51.9054518E-51.9054518E-51.00.08.0422025E-58.16616E-58.16616E-51.00.09.786983E-49.941199E-40.001004111.01004911.0E-50.0097439920.0099303930.0099402931.00099711.0E-5
6.21.8765717E-51.9054518E-51.9054518E-51.00.08.0422025E-58.16616E-58.16616E-51.00.09.786983E-49.941199E-40.001004111.01004911.0E-50.0097439920.0099303930.0099402931.00099711.0E-5
6.31.8765717E-51.9054518E-51.9054518E-51.00.08.0422025E-58.16616E-58.16616E-51.00.09.786983E-49.941199E-40.001004111.01004911.0E-50.0097439920.0099303930.0099402931.00099711.0E-5
6.44.566357E-62.514784E-62.514784E-61.00.01.9569954E-51.0777611E-51.0777611E-51.00.02.3823815E-41.3121133E-41.4121002E-41.07620291.0E-50.0023798290.00131151690.00132150381.00761471.0E-5
6.54.566357E-62.514784E-62.514784E-61.00.01.9569954E-51.0777611E-51.0777611E-51.00.02.3823815E-41.3121133E-41.4121002E-41.07620291.0E-50.0023798290.00131151690.00132150381.00761471.0E-5
6.64.566357E-62.514784E-62.514784E-61.00.01.9569954E-51.0777611E-51.0777611E-51.00.02.3823815E-41.3121133E-41.4121002E-41.07620291.0E-50.0023798290.00131151690.00132150381.00761471.0E-5
6.72.3266773E-61.3296107E-61.3296107E-61.00.09.971435E-65.6983195E-65.6983195E-61.00.01.2139547E-46.937489E-56.937489E-51.00.00.00121329176.935384E-46.935384E-41.00.0
6.82.032735E-61.1894077E-61.1894077E-61.00.08.711692E-65.097452E-65.097452E-61.00.01.06059684E-46.205976E-56.205976E-51.00.00.00106009086.204291E-46.204291E-41.00.0
6.91.3186259E-61.0561976E-61.0561976E-61.00.05.6512413E-64.5265533E-64.5265533E-61.00.06.8801695E-55.5109424E-55.5109424E-51.00.06.8780396E-45.5096054E-45.5096054E-41.00.0
7.01.2726016E-61.0159281E-61.0159281E-61.00.05.4539955E-64.3539703E-64.3539703E-61.00.06.6400375E-55.300833E-55.300833E-51.00.06.6380535E-45.2995974E-45.2995974E-41.00.0
7.11.2063913E-69.570269E-79.570269E-71.00.05.170238E-64.101538E-64.101538E-61.00.06.294583E-54.9935104E-54.9935104E-51.00.06.2928005E-44.992414E-44.992414E-41.00.0
7.29.105806E-77.376765E-77.376765E-71.00.03.9024826E-63.161467E-63.161467E-61.00.04.7511687E-53.8490198E-53.8490198E-51.00.04.7501532E-43.8483684E-43.8483684E-41.00.0
7.37.020432E-75.7103284E-75.7103284E-71.00.03.0087533E-62.4472813E-62.4472813E-61.00.03.6630954E-52.9795256E-52.9795256E-51.00.03.6624918E-42.979139E-42.979139E-41.00.0
7.45.3900635E-74.4483198E-74.4483198E-71.00.02.3100251E-61.9064214E-61.9064214E-61.00.02.8124194E-52.3210447E-52.3210447E-51.00.02.8120633E-42.3208144E-42.3208144E-41.00.0
7.52.907075E-72.2875254E-72.2875254E-71.00.01.2458887E-69.803676E-79.803676E-71.00.01.5168589E-51.1935913E-51.1935913E-51.00.01.5167553E-41.19352895E-41.19352895E-41.00.0
7.61.6903675E-71.2353345E-71.2353345E-71.00.07.2444305E-75.2942903E-75.2942903E-71.00.08.820059E-66.4457804E-66.4457804E-61.00.08.8197085E-56.445606E-56.445606E-51.00.0
7.77.168073E-83.9133845E-83.9133845E-81.00.03.072031E-71.6771648E-71.6771648E-71.00.03.7401915E-62.0419463E-62.0419463E-61.00.03.7401285E-52.0419286E-52.0419286E-51.00.0
7.86.564101E-83.3834137E-83.3834137E-81.00.02.813186E-71.4500344E-71.4500344E-71.00.03.4250486E-61.7654155E-61.7654155E-61.00.03.424996E-51.7654025E-51.7654025E-51.00.0
7.91.0029074E-83.7288577E-93.7288577E-91.00.04.2981743E-81.598082E-81.598082E-81.00.05.2330256E-71.9456647E-71.9456647E-71.00.05.2330133E-61.945664E-61.945664E-61.00.0

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784054E-53.3784054E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4478144E-41.4478144E-41.00.00.00182647960.00176140970.00177139211.00566731.0E-50.0181154030.017486820.0174966441.00056181.0E-5
6.13.503579E-53.3784054E-53.3784054E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4478144E-41.4478144E-41.00.00.00182647960.00176140970.00177139211.00566731.0E-50.0181154030.017486820.0174966441.00056181.0E-5
6.23.503579E-53.3784054E-53.3784054E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4478144E-41.4478144E-41.00.00.00182647960.00176140970.00177139211.00566731.0E-50.0181154030.017486820.0174966441.00056181.0E-5
6.31.7818425E-51.591613E-51.591613E-51.00.07.636245E-56.821028E-56.821028E-51.00.09.293162E-48.30158E-48.401497E-41.01203581.0E-50.0092543950.0082720280.0082819441.00119891.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591613E-51.591613E-51.00.07.636245E-56.821028E-56.821028E-51.00.09.293162E-48.30158E-48.401497E-41.01203581.0E-50.0092543950.0082720280.0082819441.00119891.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336354E-51.1336354E-51.00.05.741684E-54.8583508E-54.8583508E-51.00.06.988258E-45.9135066E-46.0134474E-41.01690041.0E-50.0069663230.0058984760.0059084171.00168541.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.6254195E-68.6254195E-61.00.04.6365014E-53.6965583E-53.6965583E-51.00.05.6434784E-44.499674E-44.499674E-41.00.00.0056291680.00449099950.00449099951.00.0
6.79.067908E-66.802464E-66.802464E-61.00.03.8861883E-52.915311E-52.915311E-51.00.04.7304068E-43.548845E-43.548845E-41.00.00.004720350.0035434950.0035434951.00.0
6.87.295947E-64.9364203E-64.9364203E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1155922E-52.1155922E-51.00.03.8062103E-42.5754404E-42.5754404E-41.00.00.00379969760.00257256860.00257256861.00.0
6.96.2243444E-63.8322482E-63.8322482E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.642382E-51.642382E-51.00.03.2472567E-41.999422E-41.999422E-41.00.00.00324251570.00199767570.00199767571.00.0
7.04.9878413E-62.6795587E-62.6795587E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1483774E-51.1483774E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3980624E-41.3980624E-41.00.00.0025992070.00139720910.00139720911.00.0
7.14.0252844E-61.885697E-61.885697E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081534E-68.081534E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.8388366E-59.8388366E-51.00.00.00209813599.834609E-49.834609E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2818881E-61.2818881E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.4937955E-65.4937955E-61.00.01.736567E-46.688501E-56.688501E-51.00.00.00173521076.686588E-46.686588E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.05664E-76.05664E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5957006E-62.5957006E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.1602234E-53.1602234E-51.00.00.00128184643.1598116E-43.1598116E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1084303E-73.1084303E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3321838E-61.3321838E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6219217E-51.6219217E-51.00.00.00102528131.6218047E-41.6218047E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8240732E-71.8240732E-71.00.05.148929E-67.817454E-77.817454E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.51771E-69.51771E-61.00.06.266873E-49.5173105E-59.5173105E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893735E-84.893735E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0973148E-72.0973148E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.553478E-62.553478E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.5534524E-52.5534524E-51.00.0

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210222E-63.6210222E-61.00.02.0733538E-41.5518579E-51.5518579E-51.00.00.0025213861.8892331E-41.8892331E-41.00.00.0249296910.00192968090.00193966161.00517231.0E-5
6.14.83821E-53.6210222E-63.6210222E-61.00.02.0733538E-41.5518579E-51.5518579E-51.00.00.0025213861.8892331E-41.8892331E-41.00.00.0249296910.00192968090.00193966161.00517231.0E-5
6.24.83821E-53.6210222E-63.6210222E-61.00.02.0733538E-41.5518579E-51.5518579E-51.00.00.0025213861.8892331E-41.8892331E-41.00.00.0249296910.00192968090.00193966161.00517231.0E-5
6.33.953008E-53.1530674E-63.15