Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.7964142E-5 | 0.005197666 | 89.67037 | 0.00514 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4839793E-4 | 0.006936736 | 27.925901 | 0.00669 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030207178 | 0.012830994 | 4.247664 | 0.00984 | 0.02488006 | 0.029863678 | 0.043377675 | 1.452523 | 0.01393 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873285E-5 | 0.0018308355 | 87.7119 | 0.00181 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.9454086E-5 | 0.002549234 | 28.49768 | 0.00246 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010885975 | 0.004624744 | 4.2483506 | 0.00354 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836816 | 0.016089274 | 1.4846863 | 0.00531 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873285E-5 | 0.0018308355 | 87.7119 | 0.00181 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.9454086E-5 | 0.002549234 | 28.49768 | 0.00246 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010885975 | 0.004624744 | 4.2483506 | 0.00354 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836816 | 0.016089274 | 1.4846863 | 0.00531 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5759586E-5 | 0.0012657399 | 80.31555 | 0.00125 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.753947E-5 | 0.0017374267 | 25.724613 | 0.00167 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2200643E-4 | 0.0032899762 | 4.0023727 | 0.00247 | 0.007027647 | 0.0081923455 | 0.011921542 | 1.4552051 | 0.00376 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2618064E-5 | 9.826059E-4 | 77.87295 | 9.7E-4 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4076394E-5 | 0.0013240078 | 24.484024 | 0.00127 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.5819896E-4 | 0.002576935 | 3.9151313 | 0.00192 | 0.005655863 | 0.0065645785 | 0.009385935 | 1.4297849 | 0.00284 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.19615E-6 | 6.7919E-4 | 73.8559 | 6.7E-4 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.9411534E-5 | 8.5937924E-4 | 21.805271 | 8.2E-4 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.7974035E-4 | 0.0017391358 | 3.6251607 | 0.00126 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004788422 | 0.006599707 | 1.3782635 | 0.00182 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.6123542E-6 | 5.176085E-4 | 67.99585 | 5.1E-4 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.262402E-5 | 6.4260414E-4 | 19.697271 | 6.1E-4 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.971341E-4 | 0.0013067727 | 3.2905076 | 9.1E-4 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039654695 | 0.005280235 | 1.3315536 | 0.00132 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4308466E-6 | 3.3542907E-4 | 61.76368 | 3.3E-4 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3274873E-5 | 4.132658E-4 | 17.755877 | 3.9E-4 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.8333912E-4 | 8.031918E-4 | 2.8347366 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028305429 | 0.00357842 | 1.2642168 | 7.5E-4 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.9693126E-6 | 2.9496787E-4 | 59.357883 | 2.9E-4 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1296904E-5 | 3.6128965E-4 | 16.964422 | 3.4E-4 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.592632E-4 | 7.2914135E-4 | 2.8123593 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025903475 | 0.003258612 | 1.2579826 | 6.7E-4 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0735741E-6 | 1.4307315E-4 | 46.549435 | 1.4E-4 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3172401E-5 | 2.031699E-4 | 15.423907 | 1.9E-4 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6036342E-4 | 4.0032493E-4 | 2.4963608 | 2.4E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016027166 | 0.0019621397 | 1.2242587 | 3.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1269682E-6 | 8.21268E-5 | 38.61214 | 8.0E-5 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.11555E-6 | 1.2911446E-4 | 14.164198 | 1.2E-4 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1097687E-4 | 2.5096134E-4 | 2.2613842 | 1.4E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011092832 | 0.0012990724 | 1.1710918 | 1.9E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6641504E-6 | 5.166407E-5 | 31.045311 | 5.0E-5 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.132057E-6 | 8.7131484E-5 | 12.21688 | 8.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.6829925E-5 | 1.6682298E-4 | 1.9212613 | 8.0E-5 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.6801784E-4 | 9.579397E-4 | 1.1035945 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.182876E-6 | 1.1182864E-5 | 9.453961 | 1.0E-5 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0694616E-6 | 1.506941E-5 | 2.9725862 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.171948E-5 | 7.171886E-5 | 1.1620134 | 1.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1707565E-4 | 6.270695E-4 | 1.0161954 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.77015E-7 | 9.77015E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.187203E-6 | 4.187203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0978528E-5 | 5.0978528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.0971936E-4 | 5.0971936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.510383E-7 | 8.510383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.647305E-6 | 3.647305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.440555E-5 | 4.440555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4401764E-4 | 4.4401764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.305732E-7 | 6.305732E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7024564E-6 | 2.7024564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2902408E-5 | 3.2902408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2902407E-4 | 3.2902407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0246155E-5 | 0.0056698527 | 80.714066 | 0.0056 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.010206E-4 | 0.007888736 | 26.206633 | 0.00759 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658831 | 0.014847742 | 4.0580564 | 0.01123 | 0.028357591 | 0.036142167 | 0.05117835 | 1.4160287 | 0.0156 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0246155E-5 | 0.0056698527 | 80.714066 | 0.0056 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.010206E-4 | 0.007888736 | 26.206633 | 0.00759 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658831 | 0.014847742 | 4.0580564 | 0.01123 | 0.028357591 | 0.036142167 | 0.05117835 | 1.4160287 | 0.0156 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1660383E-5 | 0.0039114607 | 75.714905 | 0.00386 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2138303E-4 | 0.0054302295 | 24.528664 | 0.00521 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026920382 | 0.010530879 | 3.911861 | 0.00786 | 0.021759989 | 0.026709503 | 0.0373573 | 1.3986521 | 0.01094 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1660383E-5 | 0.0039114607 | 75.714905 | 0.00386 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2138303E-4 | 0.0054302295 | 24.528664 | 0.00521 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026920382 | 0.010530879 | 3.911861 | 0.00786 | 0.021759989 | 0.026709503 | 0.0373573 | 1.3986521 | 0.01094 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4109085E-5 | 0.0032339683 | 73.31751 | 0.00319 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8902538E-4 | 0.00444822 | 23.532396 | 0.00426 | 0.0019213937 | 0.00229898 | 0.008694244 | 3.7817829 | 0.00641 | 0.019048655 | 0.022869706 | 0.03158571 | 1.3811157 | 0.00892 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.001738E-5 | 0.0030098986 | 75.214775 | 0.00297 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7149192E-4 | 0.0041508093 | 24.204111 | 0.00398 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020859365 | 0.007993587 | 3.8321338 | 0.00592 | 0.017543508 | 0.02075889 | 0.028788667 | 1.3868115 | 0.0082 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9471543E-5 | 0.0030093542 | 76.24111 | 0.00297 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.691529E-4 | 0.0041484796 | 24.525026 | 0.00398 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020575132 | 0.007965333 | 3.8713398 | 0.00592 | 0.017365133 | 0.020480096 | 0.02849257 | 1.3912321 | 0.00818 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8087983E-5 | 0.0028679802 | 75.29882 | 0.00283 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6322412E-4 | 0.003962604 | 24.277073 | 0.0038 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019854638 | 0.007624246 | 3.8400326 | 0.00565 | 0.016856372 | 0.019770922 | 0.027455918 | 1.3887019 | 0.00784 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.751518E-5 | 0.002787412 | 74.30091 | 0.00275 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6076956E-4 | 0.0038601747 | 24.010607 | 0.0037 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019556335 | 0.0074648387 | 3.8170946 | 0.00552 | 0.016654192 | 0.019477926 | 0.027008336 | 1.3866125 | 0.00768 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.6719717E-5 | 0.002726621 | 74.25495 | 0.00269 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5736085E-4 | 0.0037967882 | 24.127907 | 0.00364 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019142062 | 0.007333812 | 3.831255 | 0.00543 | 0.01638118 | 0.01907158 | 0.026418734 | 1.3852409 | 0.00749 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5624882E-5 | 0.0026555315 | 74.54148 | 0.00262 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5266925E-4 | 0.0036921287 | 24.18384 | 0.00354 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018571847 | 0.00713736 | 3.8431072 | 0.00529 | 0.015996104 | 0.018513601 | 0.025658824 | 1.3859444 | 0.00728 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4391156E-5 | 0.0025843035 | 75.144424 | 0.00255 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4738245E-4 | 0.0036068724 | 24.472876 | 0.00346 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017929256 | 0.006933692 | 3.8672502 | 0.00515 | 0.01556781 | 0.017881276 | 0.024864139 | 1.3905126 | 0.00711 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.128042E-5 | 0.0022012126 | 70.37031 | 0.00217 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3405216E-4 | 0.0030936555 | 23.078 | 0.00296 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016308826 | 0.0060336906 | 3.6996472 | 0.00441 | 0.014481937 | 0.016284546 | 0.022236025 | 1.3654679 | 0.00605 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.671366E-5 | 0.0016666699 | 62.39017 | 0.00164 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1448217E-4 | 0.0023042315 | 20.127426 | 0.00219 | 0.0012785783 | 0.001392944 | 0.004618445 | 3.3156 | 0.00323 | 0.012712469 | 0.013928749 | 0.018198436 | 1.3065379 | 0.00433 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5198244E-5 | 0.00154516 | 61.320145 | 0.00152 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0798809E-4 | 0.0021277699 | 19.703747 | 0.00202 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013139764 | 0.0042900606 | 3.264945 | 0.00298 | 0.012045753 | 0.013146298 | 0.017024633 | 1.2950134 | 0.00393 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2482514E-5 | 0.0012224555 | 54.373615 | 0.0012 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.635014E-5 | 0.0016761979 | 17.396942 | 0.00158 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011724435 | 0.0034897234 | 2.9764533 | 0.00232 | 0.010886264 | 0.011740618 | 0.014784457 | 1.2592571 | 0.00308 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.5990141E-5 | 6.4598006E-4 | 40.39865 | 6.3E-4 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.852741E-5 | 9.284685E-4 | 13.5488615 | 8.6E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.340097E-4 | 0.0021728922 | 2.6053557 | 0.00134 | 0.007854558 | 0.008383859 | 0.010178684 | 1.214081 | 0.00181 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0677792E-5 | 2.5067522E-4 | 23.476318 | 2.4E-4 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.576116E-5 | 3.7574605E-4 | 8.211025 | 3.3E-4 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.570001E-4 | 0.0010267383 | 1.843336 | 4.7E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.005627016 | 0.0062833023 | 1.1166313 | 6.6E-4 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.427758E-6 | 1.7842633E-4 | 21.171268 | 1.7E-4 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6118465E-5 | 2.561105E-4 | 7.0908475 | 2.2E-4 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.3965373E-4 | 7.395218E-4 | 1.6820552 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004446126 | 0.0048642587 | 1.0940442 | 4.2E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.3706963E-6 | 1.2537005E-4 | 23.343351 | 1.2E-4 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3017068E-5 | 1.7301361E-4 | 7.516753 | 1.5E-4 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8019687E-4 | 4.7014363E-4 | 1.6779047 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.002833258 | 0.0031024928 | 1.0950266 | 2.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.077398E-6 | 5.2077296E-5 | 25.068521 | 5.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903104E-6 | 6.890257E-5 | 7.7391624 | 6.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0838993E-4 | 1.8838127E-4 | 1.7379959 | 8.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010967436 | 0.0011866449 | 1.0819712 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1487303E-7 | 1.03148695E-5 | 32.758823 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3494553E-6 | 1.1349442E-5 | 8.410387 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.642951E-5 | 2.6429347E-5 | 1.6086509 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6628111E-4 | 1.7627944E-4 | 1.0601292 | 1.0E-5 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.635841E-5 | 0.0017462469 | 26.315384 | 0.00168 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8436191E-4 | 0.0026636852 | 9.367236 | 0.00238 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457515 | 0.0071945493 | 2.080844 | 0.00375 | 0.02591553 | 0.03414095 | 0.0391441 | 1.146544 | 0.00518 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.635841E-5 | 0.0017462469 | 26.315384 | 0.00168 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8436191E-4 | 0.0026636852 | 9.367236 | 0.00238 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457515 | 0.0071945493 | 2.080844 | 0.00375 | 0.02591553 | 0.03414095 | 0.0391441 | 1.146544 | 0.00518 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.09802E-5 | 0.0012409427 | 40.055992 | 0.00121 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.327667E-4 | 0.0018525383 | 13.953337 | 0.00172 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016154092 | 0.004390918 | 2.7181463 | 0.00278 | 0.012509781 | 0.016070558 | 0.019819329 | 1.2332695 | 0.00381 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355298E-5 | 0.0010923314 | 48.862305 | 0.00107 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.5805786E-5 | 0.0016156601 | 16.86391 | 0.00152 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011659492 | 0.0036031043 | 3.0902755 | 0.00244 | 0.009055373 | 0.011628982 | 0.014969676 | 1.2872732 | 0.00338 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355298E-5 | 0.0010923314 | 48.862305 | 0.00107 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.5805786E-5 | 0.0016156601 | 16.86391 | 0.00152 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011659492 | 0.0036031043 | 3.0902755 | 0.00244 | 0.009055373 | 0.011628982 | 0.014969676 | 1.2872732 | 0.00338 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9429051E-5 | 0.0010294095 | 52.982998 | 0.00101 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3265564E-5 | 0.0015131464 | 18.172537 | 0.00143 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010134227 | 0.0032911121 | 3.2475214 | 0.00228 | 0.0078909 | 0.010118514 | 0.013286135 | 1.3130519 | 0.0032 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.547377E-6 | 7.685409E-4 | 89.91541 | 7.6E-4 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6631132E-5 | 0.0010965923 | 29.936075 | 0.00106 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4589842E-4 | 0.0021451404 | 4.8108277 | 0.0017 | 0.0035039932 | 0.004467895 | 0.006916904 | 1.5481349 | 0.00246 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.47982E-6 | 7.5847347E-4 | 89.44453 | 7.5E-4 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.634161E-5 | 0.0010863035 | 29.89145 | 0.00105 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4237493E-4 | 0.0021316274 | 4.8185987 | 0.00169 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044328026 | 0.0068719424 | 1.5502478 | 0.00245 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.326286E-6 | 7.5832003E-4 | 91.075424 | 7.5E-4 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5683628E-5 | 0.0010856461 | 30.42421 | 0.00105 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.343672E-4 | 0.0021236332 | 4.8890276 | 0.00169 | 0.0034261728 | 0.00435297 | 0.0067923055 | 1.5603842 | 0.00245 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 7.99945E-6 | 7.5799343E-4 | 94.7557 | 7.5E-4 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4282937E-5 | 0.0010842469 | 31.62643 | 0.00105 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.173204E-4 | 0.002106615 | 5.047956 | 0.00169 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004182952 | 0.0066127456 | 1.58088 | 0.00244 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.63164E-6 | 7.576259E-4 | 99.27432 | 7.5E-4 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2706652E-5 | 0.0010826723 | 33.102512 | 0.00105 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.981362E-4 | 0.0020774673 | 5.2179813 | 0.00168 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0039916327 | 0.006401973 | 1.6038482 | 0.00242 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.1421773E-6 | 7.471369E-4 | 104.60912 | 7.4E-4 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0609E-5 | 0.0010705772 | 34.97589 | 0.00104 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.726063E-4 | 0.0020419841 | 5.480273 | 0.00167 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037371595 | 0.006138153 | 1.6424648 | 0.00241 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.3583553E-6 | 4.3535605E-4 | 81.24808 | 4.3E-4 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2964201E-5 | 6.629495E-4 | 28.868826 | 6.4E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.7955734E-4 | 0.0013492582 | 4.82641 | 0.00107 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028085853 | 0.0043941196 | 1.5645313 | 0.00159 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7102524E-6 | 1.327099E-4 | 48.965885 | 1.3E-4 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1615316E-5 | 1.9161323E-4 | 16.4966 | 1.8E-4 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4140746E-4 | 4.4136503E-4 | 3.1212287 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014230711 | 0.0018824164 | 1.3227845 | 4.6E-4 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3054622E-6 | 7.23053E-5 | 31.362606 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.880516E-6 | 9.9879624E-5 | 10.108747 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.20288736E-4 | 2.9026828E-4 | 2.4130962 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012110462 | 0.0014907072 | 1.2309251 | 2.8E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.165403E-6 | 7.2165254E-5 | 33.326477 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.280266E-6 | 9.927943E-5 | 10.697908 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1298147E-4 | 2.729634E-4 | 2.4160013 | 1.6E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011377857 | 0.0014074786 | 1.237033 | 2.7E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8725879E-6 | 5.1872496E-5 | 27.700966 | 5.0E-5 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.025352E-6 | 6.802487E-5 | 8.476247 | 6.0E-5 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.770437E-5 | 2.2769166E-4 | 2.3304143 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.84804E-4 | 0.0011945972 | 1.2130303 | 2.1E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3417229E-6 | 4.1341667E-5 | 30.812376 | 4.0E-5 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.7502284E-6 | 5.574994E-5 | 9.695257 | 5.0E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.000682E-5 | 1.6000052E-4 | 2.285499 | 9.0E-5 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.076213E-4 | 8.475222E-4 | 1.197706 | 1.4E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.404941E-7 | 4.084046E-5 | 48.59101 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6021129E-6 | 4.360197E-5 | 12.104553 | 4.0E-5 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.3854863E-5 | 1.0385223E-4 | 2.3680892 | 6.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.4375105E-4 | 5.237155E-4 | 1.1802013 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.767946E-7 | 3.0376783E-5 | 80.61895 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.614833E-6 | 3.1614785E-5 | 19.577744 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9660425E-5 | 4.9659837E-5 | 2.525878 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.981758E-4 | 2.2816985E-4 | 1.1513507 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.385256E-8 | 3.385256E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.450824E-7 | 1.450824E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7663774E-6 | 1.7663774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7869035E-5 | 1.7869035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.120563E-5 | 0.0018311494 | 58.680103 | 0.0018 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337323E-4 | 0.002513414 | 18.794369 | 0.00238 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271078 | 0.0052112667 | 3.2027788 | 0.00359 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165353 | 0.02075986 | 1.2842195 | 0.00467 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.120563E-5 | 0.0018311494 | 58.680103 | 0.0018 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337323E-4 | 0.002513414 | 18.794369 | 0.00238 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271078 | 0.0052112667 | 3.2027788 | 0.00359 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165353 | 0.02075986 | 1.2842195 | 0.00467 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.120563E-5 | 0.0018311494 | 58.680103 | 0.0018 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337323E-4 | 0.002513414 | 18.794369 | 0.00238 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271078 | 0.0052112667 | 3.2027788 | 0.00359 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165353 | 0.02075986 | 1.2842195 | 0.00467 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081343E-5 | 7.060702E-4 | 43.906174 | 6.9E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.891838E-5 | 0.0010088535 | 14.638382 | 9.4E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387865E-4 | 0.0022276205 | 2.655766 | 0.00139 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359024 | 0.010134061 | 1.2123499 | 0.00179 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081343E-5 | 7.060702E-4 | 43.906174 | 6.9E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.891838E-5 | 0.0010088535 | 14.638382 | 9.4E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387865E-4 | 0.0022276205 | 2.655766 | 0.00139 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359024 | 0.010134061 | 1.2123499 | 0.00179 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3765525E-5 | 6.2375714E-4 | 45.312992 | 6.1E-4 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.899392E-5 | 9.0894377E-4 | 15.407414 | 8.5E-4 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1804E-4 | 0.001997121 | 2.7813506 | 0.00128 | 0.006655392 | 0.0071597495 | 0.008807864 | 1.2301917 | 0.00166 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0289008E-5 | 5.3028367E-4 | 51.538853 | 5.2E-4 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.4095097E-5 | 7.640633E-4 | 17.327627 | 7.2E-4 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.367418E-4 | 0.0016061675 | 2.9924397 | 0.00107 | 0.005028777 | 0.005356059 | 0.0067286678 | 1.2562721 | 0.00138 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.199663E-6 | 4.781958E-4 | 58.31896 | 4.7E-4 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5141016E-5 | 6.751185E-4 | 19.211697 | 6.4E-4 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2777162E-4 | 0.0013673696 | 3.1964943 | 9.4E-4 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042708335 | 0.005475666 | 1.282107 | 0.00121 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.735724E-6 | 3.8673315E-4 | 57.41523 | 3.8E-4 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8867142E-5 | 5.4885214E-4 | 19.01304 | 5.2E-4 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5141362E-4 | 0.0011011501 | 3.1334872 | 7.5E-4 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035098395 | 0.00446647 | 1.2725568 | 9.6E-4 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.11217E-6 | 1.4311173E-4 | 45.98455 | 1.4E-4 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3337811E-5 | 2.0333528E-4 | 15.245027 | 1.9E-4 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6237726E-4 | 4.0233828E-4 | 2.4777994 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016227345 | 0.0019721666 | 1.2153354 | 3.5E-4 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2286722E-6 | 1.1222843E-4 | 50.356632 | 1.1E-4 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.551423E-6 | 1.3955017E-4 | 14.610407 | 1.3E-4 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.16283416E-4 | 2.7626482E-4 | 2.3757887 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011623278 | 0.0014020489 | 1.2062422 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1776749E-6 | 2.1177651E-5 | 17.982595 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.0471726E-6 | 3.504702E-5 | 6.943892 | 3.0E-5 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.144829E-5 | 1.1144522E-4 | 1.8136423 | 5.0E-5 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.143815E-4 | 7.1432005E-4 | 1.1626654 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0917207E-7 | 3.0917207E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3250225E-6 | 1.3250225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6132035E-5 | 1.6132035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6130917E-4 | 1.7130756E-4 | 1.0619828 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3096845E-7 | 2.3096845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.898645E-7 | 9.898645E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2051533E-5 | 1.2051533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2050887E-4 | 1.3050767E-4 | 1.0829715 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9678492E-7 | 1.9678492E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.433637E-7 | 8.433637E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0267905E-5 | 1.0267905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0267437E-4 | 1.1267335E-4 | 1.0973853 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.442265E-7 | 1.442265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1811346E-7 | 6.1811346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.525506E-6 | 7.525506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.525257E-5 | 8.525181E-5 | 1.1328758 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.572318E-8 | 7.572318E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.2452786E-7 | 3.2452786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.95112E-6 | 3.95112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9510534E-5 | 3.9510534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.290427E-5 | 0.0012428301 | 19.757483 | 0.00118 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.695644E-4 | 0.001969106 | 7.3047705 | 0.0017 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032774536 | 0.006088211 | 1.857604 | 0.00282 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235496 | 0.03608039 | 1.1151426 | 0.00385 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.290427E-5 | 0.0012428301 | 19.757483 | 0.00118 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.695644E-4 | 0.001969106 | 7.3047705 | 0.0017 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032774536 | 0.006088211 | 1.857604 | 0.00282 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235496 | 0.03608039 | 1.1151426 | 0.00385 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511064E-5 | 9.744786E-4 | 28.236702 | 9.4E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789637E-4 | 0.0015076952 | 10.194268 | 0.00136 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017991841 | 0.0039952258 | 2.2205765 | 0.0022 | 0.01382215 | 0.017874004 | 0.020771276 | 1.1620941 | 0.00295 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511064E-5 | 9.744786E-4 | 28.236702 | 9.4E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789637E-4 | 0.0015076952 | 10.194268 | 0.00136 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017991841 | 0.0039952258 | 2.2205765 | 0.0022 | 0.01382215 | 0.017874004 | 0.020771276 | 1.1620941 | 0.00295 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2339947E-5 | 9.7230956E-4 | 30.06528 | 9.4E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859257E-4 | 0.0014984041 | 10.811576 | 0.00136 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016860879 | 0.0038723955 | 2.2966745 | 0.00219 | 0.013121112 | 0.016773503 | 0.019654358 | 1.1717503 | 0.00293 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2339947E-5 | 9.7230956E-4 | 30.06528 | 9.4E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859257E-4 | 0.0014984041 | 10.811576 | 0.00136 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016860879 | 0.0038723955 | 2.2966745 | 0.00219 | 0.013121112 | 0.016773503 | 0.019654358 | 1.1717503 | 0.00293 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8134184E-5 | 9.481083E-4 | 33.699512 | 9.2E-4 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2056964E-4 | 0.0014404105 | 11.94671 | 0.00132 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014669704 | 0.0035738752 | 2.4362285 | 0.00211 | 0.011653901 | 0.014614102 | 0.017383037 | 1.18947 | 0.00281 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7803926E-5 | 9.4777835E-4 | 34.087933 | 9.2E-4 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1915438E-4 | 0.0014389971 | 12.076746 | 0.00132 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014497626 | 0.0035567037 | 2.4533007 | 0.00211 | 0.011538187 | 0.014443748 | 0.017203305 | 1.1910555 | 0.0028 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3898472E-5 | 9.138772E-4 | 38.239986 | 8.9E-4 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0241811E-4 | 0.00135229 | 13.203623 | 0.00125 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012462469 | 0.0031838291 | 2.554734 | 0.00194 | 0.010138147 | 0.012437571 | 0.015005234 | 1.206444 | 0.0026 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5198411E-5 | 8.1518624E-4 | 53.63628 | 8.0E-4 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.513445E-5 | 0.0011550635 | 17.733524 | 0.00109 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.9272914E-4 | 0.0024614052 | 3.1049764 | 0.00167 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007940531 | 0.010132982 | 1.276109 | 0.00221 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3107256E-5 | 8.1309676E-4 | 62.0341 | 8.0E-4 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6172772E-5 | 0.0011461115 | 20.40333 | 0.00109 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.836939E-4 | 0.0023225727 | 3.3970942 | 0.00164 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006857147 | 0.008992404 | 1.3113915 | 0.00215 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0902388E-5 | 7.9089386E-4 | 72.54318 | 7.8E-4 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.67237E-5 | 0.0010866751 | 23.257471 | 0.00104 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.687161E-4 | 0.002097846 | 3.6887403 | 0.00153 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057130987 | 0.007731501 | 1.3532938 | 0.00203 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.049826E-5 | 7.9049007E-4 | 75.29725 | 7.8E-4 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.4991786E-5 | 0.001084945 | 24.11429 | 0.00104 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.476408E-4 | 0.0020668083 | 3.7740219 | 0.00152 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055033076 | 0.0075022457 | 1.3632249 | 0.00201 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.943912E-6 | 7.5993646E-4 | 76.42228 | 7.5E-4 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.261609E-5 | 0.0010325739 | 24.229671 | 9.9E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.1873084E-4 | 0.001957984 | 3.7745662 | 0.00144 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052149626 | 0.0070752106 | 1.3567135 | 0.00187 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.490095E-6 | 7.1948336E-4 | 75.81413 | 7.1E-4 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.067122E-5 | 9.706334E-4 | 23.865362 | 9.3E-4 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.9506297E-4 | 0.0018443946 | 3.725576 | 0.00135 | 0.004697283 | 0.004978356 | 0.0066997437 | 1.3457743 | 0.00173 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.0870797E-6 | 4.1708417E-4 | 58.85135 | 4.1E-4 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0372848E-5 | 5.403574E-4 | 17.790804 | 5.1E-4 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.697274E-4 | 0.0010994575 | 2.9736977 | 7.3E-4 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037239692 | 0.004640543 | 1.2461282 | 9.2E-4 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.958634E-6 | 1.959575E-4 | 32.88631 | 1.9E-4 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5536756E-5 | 3.055296E-4 | 11.964308 | 2.8E-4 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.108659E-4 | 6.9074775E-4 | 2.222012 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.003135549 | 0.0036240125 | 1.1557825 | 4.9E-4 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.7568233E-6 | 1.347562E-4 | 28.329035 | 1.3E-4 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0386226E-5 | 1.9038277E-4 | 9.338794 | 1.7E-4 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.4817415E-4 | 4.881146E-4 | 1.9668227 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025091725 | 0.0028383445 | 1.1311874 | 3.3E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.9781057E-6 | 8.3977786E-5 | 21.109993 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7048915E-5 | 1.1704721E-4 | 6.865376 | 1.0E-4 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0755084E-4 | 3.4752177E-4 | 1.6743935 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.002101066 | 0.0023106248 | 1.0997393 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.3722088E-6 | 6.3372005E-5 | 18.792433 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4452244E-5 | 9.445109E-5 | 6.5353928 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7594192E-4 | 2.8592258E-4 | 1.6250963 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017811462 | 0.0019508434 | 1.0952742 | 1.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.673372E-6 | 4.1673306E-5 | 24.903791 | 4.0E-5 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.1715745E-6 | 5.7171215E-5 | 7.9719195 | 5.0E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.731045E-5 | 1.5730434E-4 | 1.8016667 | 7.0E-5 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.8365114E-4 | 9.6358045E-4 | 1.0904535 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1487303E-7 | 1.03148695E-5 | 32.758823 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3494553E-6 | 1.1349442E-5 | 8.410387 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.642951E-5 | 2.6429347E-5 | 1.6086509 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6628111E-4 | 1.7627944E-4 | 1.0601292 | 1.0E-5 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984004E-5 | 0.0015139338 | 44.54842 | 0.00148 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563776E-4 | 0.002115351 | 14.524741 | 0.00197 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717272 | 0.004656607 | 2.6282866 | 0.00289 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583862 | 0.02159212 | 1.2279509 | 0.00408 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984004E-5 | 0.0015139338 | 44.54842 | 0.00148 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563776E-4 | 0.002115351 | 14.524741 | 0.00197 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717272 | 0.004656607 | 2.6282866 | 0.00289 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583862 | 0.02159212 | 1.2279509 | 0.00408 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984004E-5 | 0.0015139338 | 44.54842 | 0.00148 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563776E-4 | 0.002115351 | 14.524741 | 0.00197 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717272 | 0.004656607 | 2.6282866 | 0.00289 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583862 | 0.02159212 | 1.2279509 | 0.00408 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102194E-5 | 0.0014320572 | 44.609325 | 0.0014 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3757373E-4 | 0.0019873192 | 14.445484 | 0.00185 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737011 | 0.0044190986 | 2.640315 | 0.00275 | 0.01479908 | 0.0166189 | 0.020404916 | 1.227814 | 0.00385 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102194E-5 | 0.0014320572 | 44.609325 | 0.0014 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3757373E-4 | 0.0019873192 | 14.445484 | 0.00185 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737011 | 0.0044190986 | 2.640315 | 0.00275 | 0.01479908 | 0.0166189 | 0.020404916 | 1.227814 | 0.00385 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0827894E-5 | 0.0014207851 | 46.087646 | 0.00139 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3211301E-4 | 0.0019518726 | 14.774265 | 0.00182 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016073164 | 0.004263041 | 2.6522725 | 0.00266 | 0.014230782 | 0.015964754 | 0.019654887 | 1.2311424 | 0.00375 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9251982E-5 | 0.0013992119 | 47.833065 | 0.00137 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2535976E-4 | 0.0019151354 | 15.277114 | 0.00179 | 0.0013628257 | 0.001525213 | 0.004101278 | 2.688987 | 0.00258 | 0.013544982 | 0.015155199 | 0.018720336 | 1.2352419 | 0.00362 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7340879E-5 | 0.0013473048 | 49.278038 | 0.00132 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1717007E-4 | 0.0018369686 | 15.677796 | 0.00172 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014256372 | 0.0039120875 | 2.7440975 | 0.00249 | 0.012701893 | 0.014172449 | 0.017622845 | 1.243458 | 0.0035 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4935209E-5 | 0.0012449048 | 49.925583 | 0.00122 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0686093E-4 | 0.0017166889 | 16.064701 | 0.00161 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013002771 | 0.0036372344 | 2.7972765 | 0.00234 | 0.011539802 | 0.012933811 | 0.016122036 | 1.246503 | 0.00323 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2290018E-5 | 0.0011022659 | 49.4511 | 0.00108 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.5525254E-5 | 0.0015453867 | 16.177782 | 0.00145 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011624179 | 0.0032499884 | 2.7958863 | 0.00209 | 0.010331288 | 0.011569883 | 0.014436331 | 1.2477508 | 0.0029 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0565898E-5 | 0.0010505447 | 51.08188 | 0.00103 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.813668E-5 | 0.0014780142 | 16.76957 | 0.00139 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010725536 | 0.00305043 | 2.8440816 | 0.00198 | 0.009531168 | 0.010680015 | 0.013351179 | 1.2501086 | 0.0027 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9772282E-5 | 0.0010097527 | 51.069103 | 9.9E-4 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.47357E-5 | 0.0014246221 | 16.812538 | 0.00134 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010311864 | 0.0029192376 | 2.8309503 | 0.00189 | 0.009176437 | 0.010270224 | 0.012823727 | 1.2486317 | 0.00258 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8157898E-5 | 8.9814194E-4 | 49.46288 | 8.8E-4 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.781734E-5 | 0.0012477263 | 16.034039 | 0.00117 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.470316E-4 | 0.0026254407 | 2.772284 | 0.00168 | 0.008511325 | 0.009435871 | 0.011684451 | 1.2383013 | 0.00227 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.596645E-5 | 6.959556E-4 | 43.588623 | 6.8E-4 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.842594E-5 | 9.883629E-4 | 14.444273 | 9.2E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.3278364E-4 | 0.0021716678 | 2.6077213 | 0.00134 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008300997 | 0.010105889 | 1.2174307 | 0.00182 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4145376E-5 | 6.7413604E-4 | 47.657696 | 6.6E-4 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.062172E-5 | 9.6056715E-4 | 15.8452635 | 9.0E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.378353E-4 | 0.0020468687 | 2.774154 | 0.00131 | 0.0066837464 | 0.007358031 | 0.009085228 | 1.2347363 | 0.00174 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2836758E-5 | 6.728283E-4 | 52.414192 | 6.6E-4 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5013606E-5 | 9.549641E-4 | 17.35869 | 9.0E-4 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.696005E-4 | 0.0019787233 | 2.9550805 | 0.00131 | 0.006054099 | 0.006679987 | 0.00839843 | 1.2572526 | 0.00173 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3329961E-6 | 3.1333196E-4 | 94.0091 | 3.1E-4 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4284232E-5 | 4.142785E-4 | 29.002506 | 4.0E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7390393E-4 | 8.337891E-4 | 4.794539 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017402826 | 0.0026087686 | 1.4990488 | 8.7E-4 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.309578E-5 | 9.03067E-4 | 27.28647 | 8.7E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183212E-4 | 0.0013816563 | 9.741491 | 0.00124 | 0.0016010714 | 0.001725575 | 0.0037420893 | 2.1686044 | 0.00202 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135598 | 0.020035047 | 1.1692063 | 0.00295 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.309578E-5 | 9.03067E-4 | 27.28647 | 8.7E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183212E-4 | 0.0013816563 | 9.741491 | 0.00124 | 0.0016010714 | 0.001725575 | 0.0037420893 | 2.1686044 | 0.00202 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135598 | 0.020035047 | 1.1692063 | 0.00295 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545098E-5 | 2.9254158E-4 | 23.319195 | 2.8E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.376365E-5 | 4.437427E-4 | 8.253581 | 3.9E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.543855E-4 | 0.0013639209 | 2.0842774 | 7.1E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.006525557 | 0.0075488356 | 1.1568109 | 0.00103 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545098E-5 | 2.9254158E-4 | 23.319195 | 2.8E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.376365E-5 | 4.437427E-4 | 8.253581 | 3.9E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.543855E-4 | 0.0013639209 | 2.0842774 | 7.1E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.006525557 | 0.0075488356 | 1.1568109 | 0.00103 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.480082E-6 | 1.7847864E-4 | 21.046804 | 1.7E-4 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6342728E-5 | 3.0633292E-4 | 8.429002 | 2.7E-4 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.423869E-4 | 9.12179E-4 | 2.0619485 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.004415468 | 0.0050725536 | 1.1488146 | 6.6E-4 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2859795E-6 | 1.16285286E-4 | 18.499151 | 1.1E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939648E-5 | 2.1693452E-4 | 8.052612 | 1.9E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.279434E-4 | 6.778286E-4 | 2.0669074 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748478 | 0.0037931448 | 1.158266 | 5.2E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2859795E-6 | 1.16285286E-4 | 18.499151 | 1.1E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939648E-5 | 2.1693452E-4 | 8.052612 | 1.9E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.279434E-4 | 6.778286E-4 | 2.0669074 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748478 | 0.0037931448 | 1.158266 | 5.2E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2814603E-6 | 7.328123E-5 | 22.331898 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4063332E-5 | 1.3406164E-4 | 9.532709 | 1.2E-4 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7120877E-4 | 3.7117454E-4 | 2.1679645 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017108832 | 0.00201037 | 1.175048 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4287492E-6 | 6.2428604E-5 | 25.704014 | 6.0E-5 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0408889E-5 | 1.1040785E-4 | 10.607074 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2672177E-4 | 2.8670148E-4 | 2.2624485 | 1.6E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012665853 | 0.0015162686 | 1.1971312 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0653469E-6 | 1.1065336E-5 | 10.386604 | 1.0E-5 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.565767E-6 | 2.4565676E-5 | 5.380405 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5587312E-5 | 1.05584535E-4 | 1.8994358 | 5.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.5578473E-4 | 6.3574023E-4 | 1.1438606 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.07555E-7 | 5.07555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1752357E-6 | 2.1752357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6483494E-5 | 4.6482965E-5 | 1.7551674 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6483493E-4 | 3.0482435E-4 | 1.1509975 | 4.0E-5 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146452E-5 | 5.5144815E-4 | 17.526031 | 5.2E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.348422E-4 | 8.647438E-4 | 6.413006 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016406843 | 0.0027887975 | 1.699777 | 0.00115 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307283 | 0.018077929 | 1.1085801 | 0.0018 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146452E-5 | 5.5144815E-4 | 17.526031 | 5.2E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.348422E-4 | 8.647438E-4 | 6.413006 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016406843 | 0.0027887975 | 1.699777 | 0.00115 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307283 | 0.018077929 | 1.1085801 | 0.0018 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3635164E-5 | 1.6363311E-4 | 12.000818 | 1.5E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8435176E-5 | 2.7842232E-4 | 4.7646356 | 2.2E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112279E-4 | 0.0010809647 | 1.519857 | 3.7E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090718 | 0.0076467474 | 1.0784165 | 5.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3635164E-5 | 1.6363311E-4 | 12.000818 | 1.5E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8435176E-5 | 2.7842232E-4 | 4.7646356 | 2.2E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112279E-4 | 0.0010809647 | 1.519857 | 3.7E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090718 | 0.0076467474 | 1.0784165 | 5.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0689658E-5 | 7.068901E-5 | 6.612842 | 6.0E-5 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.581205E-5 | 1.2580838E-4 | 2.7461855 | 8.0E-5 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5762473E-4 | 7.475188E-4 | 1.3405409 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.0055628456 | 0.0058611766 | 1.0536293 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.083636E-6 | 4.908327E-5 | 5.4034834 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8929305E-5 | 8.892736E-5 | 2.2843294 | 5.0E-5 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7386528E-4 | 5.738179E-4 | 1.2109305 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047289557 | 0.004898152 | 1.0357788 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.531671E-6 | 2.753152E-5 | 3.6554332 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2278207E-5 | 6.2277235E-5 | 1.9293897 | 3.0E-5 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9291885E-4 | 4.4289918E-4 | 1.1272027 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0050424994 | 0.003922498 | 0.004012145 | 1.0228546 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.749391E-6 | 1.6749324E-5 | 2.481605 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8925653E-5 | 3.8925366E-5 | 1.3457038 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5211514E-4 | 3.621116E-4 | 1.0283898 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035157932 | 0.0035556525 | 1.0113373 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1161755E-6 | 1.5116124E-5 | 2.954575 | 1.0E-5 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.192629E-5 | 3.192607E-5 | 1.4560635 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6692127E-4 | 2.7691858E-4 | 1.0374542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026661449 | 0.0026960648 | 1.0112222 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.9074807E-6 | 3.9074807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6746244E-5 | 1.6746244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0386743E-4 | 2.0386743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020369024 | 0.0020568615 | 1.0097989 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6058435E-6 | 2.6058435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1167855E-5 | 1.1167855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.359604E-4 | 1.359604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013587974 | 0.0013687839 | 1.0073495 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0984642E-6 | 2.0984642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.993388E-6 | 8.993388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0948922E-4 | 1.0948922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010943746 | 0.0011043637 | 1.0091276 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2615674E-6 | 1.2615674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.406707E-6 | 5.406707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.582475E-5 | 6.582475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.580607E-4 | 6.580607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.1186463E-7 | 7.1186463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.050845E-6 | 3.050845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7143425E-5 | 3.7143425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7137416E-4 | 3.7137416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.304434E-7 | 5.304434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.273327E-6 | 2.273327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.767741E-5 | 2.767741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7674017E-4 | 2.7674017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028206E-7 | 3.6028206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196375E-8 | 7.1196375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4568674E-5 | 7.3453155E-4 | 13.460682 | 6.8E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384552E-4 | 0.001133635 | 4.8477945 | 9.0E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435262 | 0.004179716 | 1.4699059 | 0.00134 | 0.023260195 | 0.028093081 | 0.029832795 | 1.0619267 | 0.00179 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4568674E-5 | 7.3453155E-4 | 13.460682 | 6.8E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384552E-4 | 0.001133635 | 4.8477945 | 9.0E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435262 | 0.004179716 | 1.4699059 | 0.00134 | 0.023260195 | 0.028093081 | 0.029832795 | 1.0619267 | 0.00179 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7062385E-5 | 7.270304E-4 | 15.448227 | 6.8E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0168122E-4 | 0.0011014997 | 5.461588 | 9.0E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528366 | 0.0037795743 | 1.5408994 | 0.00133 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274675 | 0.026011467 | 1.0715474 | 0.00178 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7062385E-5 | 7.270304E-4 | 15.448227 | 6.8E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0168122E-4 | 0.0011014997 | 5.461588 | 9.0E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528366 | 0.0037795743 | 1.5408994 | 0.00133 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274675 | 0.026011467 | 1.0715474 | 0.00178 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7950864E-5 | 7.079254E-4 | 18.653736 | 6.7E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263683E-4 | 0.0010524921 | 6.471425 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019783739 | 0.0032957625 | 1.6658946 | 0.00132 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617645 | 0.02135292 | 1.0884548 | 0.00177 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7950864E-5 | 7.079254E-4 | 18.653736 | 6.7E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263683E-4 | 0.0010524921 | 6.471425 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019783739 | 0.0032957625 | 1.6658946 | 0.00132 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617645 | 0.02135292 | 1.0884548 | 0.00177 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4181736E-5 | 6.941592E-4 | 20.307898 | 6.6E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4648527E-4 | 0.0010263564 | 7.00655 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017820608 | 0.003079744 | 1.7281924 | 0.0013 | 0.015175272 | 0.017686864 | 0.019405913 | 1.0971935 | 0.00175 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2344138E-5 | 6.923228E-4 | 21.404892 | 6.6E-4 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.386107E-4 | 0.0010184888 | 7.347836 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016863393 | 0.002984147 | 1.7696006 | 0.0013 | 0.014414776 | 0.016744364 | 0.018465063 | 1.1027628 | 0.00175 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.686661E-5 | 6.868489E-4 | 25.56515 | 6.6E-4 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.15137795E-4 | 9.950364E-4 | 8.642136 | 8.8E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014009486 | 0.0026991274 | 1.9266427 | 0.0013 | 0.01213047 | 0.013928632 | 0.015654257 | 1.1238905 | 0.00175 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3569948E-5 | 6.835544E-4 | 29.0011 | 6.6E-4 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0101035E-4 | 9.809214E-4 | 9.711099 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012291434 | 0.0025275454 | 2.0563471 | 0.0013 | 0.010738871 | 0.012229734 | 0.013958332 | 1.1413438 | 0.00175 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9633484E-5 | 6.7962054E-4 | 34.61538 | 6.6E-4 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.414092E-5 | 9.640669E-4 | 11.457766 | 8.8E-4 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010239568 | 0.0023226256 | 2.2682848 | 0.0013 | 0.009070295 | 0.010197277 | 0.011929432 | 1.1698644 | 0.00175 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6441705E-5 | 6.764309E-4 | 41.141163 | 6.6E-4 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.0462636E-5 | 9.5040066E-4 | 13.4880085 | 8.8E-4 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.575615E-4 | 0.0021564467 | 2.5146263 | 0.0013 | 0.007696735 | 0.008546768 | 0.010281811 | 1.2030058 | 0.00175 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5698295E-5 | 6.756879E-4 | 43.04212 | 6.6E-4 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.7276764E-5 | 9.472176E-4 | 14.079416 | 8.8E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.18803E-4 | 0.0021177386 | 2.5863836 | 0.0013 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008162071 | 0.009897787 | 1.2126564 | 0.00175 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5172035E-5 | 6.75162E-4 | 44.500427 | 6.6E-4 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.502148E-5 | 9.4496424E-4 | 14.53311 | 8.8E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9136505E-4 | 0.0020803441 | 2.6288047 | 0.00129 | 0.007138774 | 0.007889661 | 0.0096159335 | 1.2188017 | 0.00174 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4109242E-5 | 6.7409995E-4 | 47.77719 | 6.6E-4 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0466868E-5 | 9.404137E-4 | 15.552545 | 8.8E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3595124E-4 | 0.002025002 | 2.7515435 | 0.00129 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073392955 | 0.009046672 | 1.2326349 | 0.00172 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2800624E-5 | 6.727922E-4 | 52.559326 | 6.6E-4 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4858752E-5 | 9.348105E-4 | 17.040316 | 8.8E-4 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.677163E-4 | 0.001956855 | 2.9306684 | 0.00129 | 0.006032217 | 0.006661239 | 0.0083598485 | 1.254999 | 0.00171 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3251215E-6 | 3.133241E-4 | 94.22937 | 3.1E-4 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4250483E-5 | 4.1424477E-4 | 29.068823 | 4.0E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.734931E-4 | 8.333786E-4 | 4.803526 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017361854 | 0.002604675 | 1.5002285 | 8.7E-4 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.519625E-5 | 6.4518064E-4 | 25.606216 | 6.2E-4 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0797948E-4 | 9.2789094E-4 | 8.593215 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013138608 | 0.002512284 | 1.9121388 | 0.0012 | 0.013053683 | 0.013141131 | 0.01475958 | 1.123159 | 0.00164 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5097293E-5 | 6.4508175E-4 | 25.70324 | 6.2E-4 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0755541E-4 | 9.274672E-4 | 8.6231575 | 8.2E-4 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013087039 | 0.0025071334 | 1.9157377 | 0.0012 | 0.013000126 | 0.013090172 | 0.014708703 | 1.1236448 | 0.00164 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.4978985E-5 | 6.449635E-4 | 25.820244 | 6.2E-4 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.0704842E-4 | 9.2696067E-4 | 8.6592655 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013025387 | 0.0025009757 | 1.9200778 | 0.0012 | 0.012932341 | 0.013029243 | 0.014647875 | 1.1242307 | 0.00164 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4798346E-5 | 6.4478297E-4 | 26.001047 | 6.2E-4 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.0627432E-4 | 9.2618715E-4 | 8.715061 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012931252 | 0.0024915736 | 1.9267844 | 0.0012 | 0.012822957 | 0.012936208 | 0.014554993 | 1.1251359 | 0.00164 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3177683E-5 | 6.4316334E-4 | 27.749249 | 6.2E-4 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.932916E-5 | 9.192477E-4 | 9.25456 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012086645 | 0.0024072141 | 1.9916314 | 0.0012 | 0.012051838 | 0.012101071 | 0.013721225 | 1.1338851 | 0.00164 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.2992053E-5 | 6.429778E-4 | 27.96522 | 6.2E-4 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.853367E-5 | 9.1845286E-4 | 9.321209 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0011989899 | 0.0023975512 | 1.9996425 | 0.0012 | 0.011791403 | 0.012005375 | 0.013625686 | 1.1349655 | 0.00164 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1772283E-5 | 6.417588E-4 | 29.475954 | 6.2E-4 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.330646E-5 | 9.1322995E-4 | 9.787425 | 8.2E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011354164 | 0.0023240652 | 2.0468836 | 0.00119 | 0.011062649 | 0.011376292 | 0.01298775 | 1.1416504 | 0.00163 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0392179E-5 | 6.4037956E-4 | 31.403193 | 6.2E-4 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.739214E-5 | 9.073205E-4 | 10.382175 | 8.2E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010634817 | 0.002252216 | 2.1177762 | 0.00119 | 0.010230771 | 0.01066403 | 0.012276648 | 1.1512203 | 0.00163 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9899864E-5 | 6.398875E-4 | 32.155373 | 6.2E-4 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.528236E-5 | 9.052124E-4 | 10.614299 | 8.2E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010378198 | 0.0022265848 | 2.1454446 | 0.00119 | 0.009733009 | 0.010409822 | 0.012022854 | 1.1549529 | 0.00163 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8952243E-5 | 6.389405E-4 | 33.713184 | 6.2E-4 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.1221384E-5 | 9.0115477E-4 | 11.095043 | 8.2E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.884231E-4 | 0.0021772468 | 2.2027478 | 0.00119 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009920391 | 0.0115342215 | 1.162678 | 0.00163 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8215069E-5 | 6.3820375E-4 | 35.037132 | 6.2E-4 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.806226E-5 | 8.979982E-4 | 11.503616 | 8.2E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.4999495E-4 | 0.0021388645 | 2.2514482 | 0.00119 | 0.008724891 | 0.009539245 | 0.011153696 | 1.1692431 | 0.00163 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7715876E-5 | 6.2770507E-4 | 35.43178 | 6.1E-4 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.592298E-5 | 8.8586146E-4 | 11.667896 | 8.1E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.2397165E-4 | 0.0021028814 | 2.2759154 | 0.00118 | 0.008488664 | 0.009281053 | 0.010886018 | 1.1729292 | 0.00162 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.716451E-5 | 6.27154E-4 | 36.537834 | 6.1E-4 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.356012E-5 | 8.8350056E-4 | 12.0105915 | 8.1E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.952278E-4 | 0.0020741713 | 2.3169203 | 0.00118 | 0.008200042 | 0.008995891 | 0.0106013175 | 1.1784623 | 0.00162 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6617598E-5 | 6.2660745E-4 | 37.707462 | 6.1E-4 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.1216346E-5 | 8.8115863E-4 | 12.372984 | 8.1E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.667153E-4 | 0.0020456926 | 2.3602822 | 0.00118 | 0.00782677 | 0.008712597 | 0.010308569 | 1.1831799 | 0.00161 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.645357E-5 | 6.164437E-4 | 37.46565 | 6.0E-4 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.05134E-5 | 8.70457E-4 | 12.344561 | 8.0E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.5816375E-4 | 0.0020271598 | 2.3622062 | 0.00117 | 0.0077382675 | 0.0086274315 | 0.010183887 | 1.1804076 | 0.00157 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6045597E-5 | 5.9603626E-4 | 37.146408 | 5.8E-4 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.876503E-5 | 8.287128E-4 | 12.051369 | 7.6E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.368939E-4 | 0.0019359733 | 2.3132842 | 0.0011 | 0.0075422134 | 0.00841572 | 0.009893181 | 1.1755596 | 0.00149 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.40496895E-5 | 3.3404518E-4 | 23.775984 | 3.2E-4 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.021157E-5 | 5.201839E-4 | 8.639268 | 4.6E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.3282997E-4 | 0.0014123316 | 1.9272296 | 6.8E-4 | 0.006634211 | 0.007380847 | 0.008313909 | 1.1264167 | 9.4E-4 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.1459538E-5 | 2.5145678E-4 | 21.943012 | 2.4E-4 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9111382E-5 | 3.7909517E-4 | 7.7190895 | 3.3E-4 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.977675E-4 | 0.0010674865 | 1.7857889 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.006037873 | 0.006693888 | 1.10865 | 6.6E-4 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.89889E-6 | 1.7889738E-4 | 20.103336 | 1.7E-4 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8137543E-5 | 2.5812915E-4 | 6.768374 | 2.2E-4 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6422583E-4 | 7.6408655E-4 | 1.6459372 | 3.0E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.004694754 | 0.0051127817 | 1.0890416 | 4.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.46505E-6 | 1.254644E-4 | 22.957594 | 1.2E-4 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3421433E-5 | 1.7341792E-4 | 7.4042406 | 1.5E-4 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8511873E-4 | 4.7506456E-4 | 1.6661991 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0028838275 | 0.003153049 | 1.0933555 | 2.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.077398E-6 | 5.2077296E-5 | 25.068521 | 5.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903104E-6 | 6.890257E-5 | 7.7391624 | 6.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0838993E-4 | 1.8838127E-4 | 1.7379959 | 8.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010967436 | 0.0011866449 | 1.0819712 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1487303E-7 | 1.03148695E-5 | 32.758823 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3494553E-6 | 1.1349442E-5 | 8.410387 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.642951E-5 | 2.6429347E-5 | 1.6086509 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6628111E-4 | 1.7627944E-4 | 1.0601292 | 1.0E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.31944E-5 | 4.2318512E-4 | 18.245142 | 4.0E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940123E-5 | 7.093406E-4 | 7.1361346 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001209618 | 0.0021684568 | 1.792679 | 9.6E-4 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038324 | 0.013352313 | 1.1091505 | 0.00133 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.31944E-5 | 4.2318512E-4 | 18.245142 | 4.0E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940123E-5 | 7.093406E-4 | 7.1361346 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001209618 | 0.0021684568 | 1.792679 | 9.6E-4 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038324 | 0.013352313 | 1.1091505 | 0.00133 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.31944E-5 | 4.2318512E-4 | 18.245142 | 4.0E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940123E-5 | 7.093406E-4 | 7.1361346 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001209618 | 0.0021684568 | 1.792679 | 9.6E-4 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038324 | 0.013352313 | 1.1091505 | 0.00133 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746914E-5 | 1.9074498E-4 | 17.748816 | 1.8E-4 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6057463E-5 | 3.16045E-4 | 6.8619723 | 2.7E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606186E-4 | 9.803831E-4 | 1.7487525 | 4.2E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933557 | 0.0062098876 | 1.1102258 | 6.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746914E-5 | 1.9074498E-4 | 17.748816 | 1.8E-4 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6057463E-5 | 3.16045E-4 | 6.8619723 | 2.7E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606186E-4 | 9.803831E-4 | 1.7487525 | 4.2E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933557 | 0.0062098876 | 1.1102258 | 6.2E-4 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.45662E-6 | 1.174558E-4 | 15.751883 | 1.1E-4 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.19566E-5 | 1.9195149E-4 | 6.0066304 | 1.6E-4 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8901082E-4 | 6.78898E-4 | 1.7451906 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.003884153 | 0.0043025217 | 1.1077117 | 4.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3466783E-6 | 9.53462E-5 | 17.832792 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2914171E-5 | 1.6291096E-4 | 7.1096163 | 1.4E-4 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7895102E-4 | 5.188841E-4 | 1.8601261 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027866673 | 0.0031157478 | 1.118091 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.924616E-6 | 7.392434E-5 | 18.83607 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6819708E-5 | 1.2681786E-4 | 7.5398374 | 1.1E-4 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0476643E-4 | 4.047255E-4 | 1.9765226 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020463406 | 0.002315788 | 1.1316729 | 2.7E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7449198E-6 | 5.274478E-5 | 19.215418 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.17639165E-5 | 1.0176286E-4 | 8.650423 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4322122E-4 | 2.9319973E-4 | 2.047181 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014317741 | 0.0016115165 | 1.1255381 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.896867E-6 | 2.1896829E-5 | 11.543681 | 2.0E-5 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.12943E-6 | 5.8129022E-5 | 7.1504426 | 5.0E-5 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.897581E-5 | 1.789679E-4 | 1.8081983 | 8.0E-5 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.897582E-4 | 0.0010896592 | 1.1009347 | 1.0E-4 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8501594E-5 | 2.884966E-4 | 15.593066 | 2.7E-4 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.929042E-5 | 4.7925868E-4 | 6.044346 | 4.0E-4 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6498185E-4 | 0.0017742002 | 1.8385841 | 8.1E-4 | 0.009017491 | 0.009612758 | 0.0108507415 | 1.1287855 | 0.00125 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592179E-6 | 1.3959093E-4 | 14.552579 | 1.3E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.110874E-5 | 2.4110051E-4 | 5.8649454 | 2.0E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0039287E-4 | 9.5016765E-4 | 1.8988434 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993544 | 0.0056999987 | 1.1414735 | 7.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592179E-6 | 1.3959093E-4 | 14.552579 | 1.3E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.110874E-5 | 2.4110051E-4 | 5.8649454 | 2.0E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0039287E-4 | 9.5016765E-4 | 1.8988434 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993544 | 0.0056999987 | 1.1414735 | 7.1E-4 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.667698E-6 | 1.0766693E-4 | 14.041624 | 1.0E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.286119E-5 | 1.8285625E-4 | 5.5645056 | 1.5E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001865E-4 | 7.4987864E-4 | 1.8746092 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993691 | 0.0045414944 | 1.1371672 | 5.5E-4 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.667698E-6 | 1.0766693E-4 | 14.041624 | 1.0E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.286119E-5 | 1.8285625E-4 | 5.5645056 | 1.5E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001865E-4 | 7.4987864E-4 | 1.8746092 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993691 | 0.0045414944 | 1.1371672 | 5.5E-4 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4038677E-6 | 9.640329E-5 | 15.053917 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7444894E-5 | 1.6744105E-4 | 6.100991 | 1.4E-4 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3409684E-4 | 6.339966E-4 | 1.8976432 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033365842 | 0.0038149827 | 1.1433797 | 4.8E-4 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.9102535E-6 | 8.590978E-5 | 14.535719 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5329447E-5 | 1.5532615E-4 | 6.132236 | 1.3E-4 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0834877E-4 | 5.682686E-4 | 1.842941 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030798386 | 0.0035085143 | 1.1391877 | 4.3E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.539154E-6 | 7.553877E-5 | 13.637239 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.373905E-5 | 1.4373621E-4 | 6.054842 | 1.2E-4 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8899097E-4 | 5.189245E-4 | 1.7956426 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028867754 | 0.0032656784 | 1.1312548 | 3.8E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2468982E-6 | 7.42466E-5 | 17.482548 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8200899E-5 | 1.281989E-4 | 7.0435476 | 1.1E-4 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2157936E-4 | 4.3153283E-4 | 1.9475317 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022141687 | 0.002543438 | 1.1487101 | 3.3E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.13992E-7 | 7.13992E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599638E-6 | 3.0599638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.725474E-5 | 5.7253998E-5 | 1.5368245 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251622E-4 | 4.0250504E-4 | 1.0805035 | 3.0E-5 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0375995E-5 | 2.0037084E-4 | 6.5963545 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017745E-4 | 4.601345E-4 | 3.5346713 | 3.3E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839544 | 0.0022329248 | 1.4097153 | 6.5E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746146 | 0.016779613 | 1.0656329 | 0.00105 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0375995E-5 | 2.0037084E-4 | 6.5963545 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017745E-4 | 4.601345E-4 | 3.5346713 | 3.3E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839544 | 0.0022329248 | 1.4097153 | 6.5E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746146 | 0.016779613 | 1.0656329 | 0.00105 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096199E-5 | 1.2609443E-4 | 7.8338013 | 1.1E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.8982445E-5 | 2.7896796E-4 | 4.044043 | 2.1E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963625E-4 | 0.001199334 | 1.428397 | 3.6E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374335 | 0.008949478 | 1.0686792 | 5.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096199E-5 | 1.2609443E-4 | 7.8338013 | 1.1E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.8982445E-5 | 2.7896796E-4 | 4.044043 | 2.1E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963625E-4 | 0.001199334 | 1.428397 | 3.6E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374335 | 0.008949478 | 1.0686792 | 5.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5008418E-5 | 1.15006915E-4 | 7.6628275 | 1.0E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432076E-5 | 2.643079E-4 | 4.109216 | 2.0E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292185E-4 | 0.0011326479 | 1.4466933 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078112623 | 0.00837681 | 1.0724015 | 5.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5008418E-5 | 1.15006915E-4 | 7.6628275 | 1.0E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432076E-5 | 2.643079E-4 | 4.109216 | 2.0E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292185E-4 | 0.0011326479 | 1.4466933 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078112623 | 0.00837681 | 1.0724015 | 5.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2855132E-5 | 1.1285385E-4 | 8.778894 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5092798E-5 | 2.3508289E-4 | 4.2670345 | 1.8E-4 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7064405E-4 | 9.604496E-4 | 1.4321301 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006695591 | 0.007192243 | 1.074176 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.824541E-6 | 5.982405E-5 | 6.0892463 | 5.0E-5 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2105006E-5 | 1.5210037E-4 | 3.6124058 | 1.1E-4 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.1259843E-4 | 7.0250104E-4 | 1.3704705 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.005123039 | 0.005471246 | 1.0679688 | 3.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1754779E-6 | 1.1754779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.037753E-6 | 5.037753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.1333034E-5 | 7.133242E-5 | 1.1630343 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.131723E-4 | 6.431539E-4 | 1.0488958 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.2834784E-7 | 9.2834784E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.978628E-6 | 3.978628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.843879E-5 | 5.8438305E-5 | 1.2064362 | 1.0E-5 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.842893E-4 | 4.9428444E-4 | 1.0206388 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7474115E-7 | 8.7474115E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7488855E-6 | 3.7488855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5641795E-5 | 5.5641336E-5 | 1.2190875 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5633083E-4 | 4.6632628E-4 | 1.0219039 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.7113845E-7 | 7.7113845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3048752E-6 | 3.3048752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0236177E-5 | 4.0236177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0229486E-4 | 4.0229486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.5884446E-7 | 7.5884446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2521868E-6 | 3.2521868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.9594717E-5 | 3.9594717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9588255E-4 | 3.9588255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.8966335E-7 | 6.8966335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.955697E-6 | 2.955697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.598508E-5 | 3.598508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5979823E-4 | 3.5979823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.193571E-7 | 6.193571E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6543853E-6 | 2.6543853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.231672E-5 | 3.231672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2312574E-4 | 3.2312574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3489373E-7 | 5.3489373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2924E-6 | 2.2924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7909666E-5 | 2.7909666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.790669E-4 | 2.790669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3963413E-5 | 3.7394892E-4 | 8.505912 | 3.3E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840199E-4 | 6.5831345E-4 | 3.494196 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915532 | 0.0031296283 | 1.3657236 | 8.4E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697242 | 0.02369409 | 1.0439193 | 0.00102 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3963413E-5 | 3.7394892E-4 | 8.505912 | 3.3E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840199E-4 | 6.5831345E-4 | 3.494196 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915532 | 0.0031296283 | 1.3657236 | 8.4E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697242 | 0.02369409 | 1.0439193 | 0.00102 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3963413E-5 | 3.7394892E-4 | 8.505912 | 3.3E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840199E-4 | 6.5831345E-4 | 3.494196 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915532 | 0.0031296283 | 1.3657236 | 8.4E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697242 | 0.02369409 | 1.0439193 | 0.00102 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354364E-5 | 1.0535234E-4 | 4.155195 | 8.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865715E-4 | 2.3864303E-4 | 2.1962938 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001322118 | 0.0016516816 | 1.2492695 | 3.3E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144737 | 0.013608559 | 1.0352857 | 4.7E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354364E-5 | 1.0535234E-4 | 4.155195 | 8.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865715E-4 | 2.3864303E-4 | 2.1962938 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001322118 | 0.0016516816 | 1.2492695 | 3.3E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144737 | 0.013608559 | 1.0352857 | 4.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.066327E-5 | 9.066182E-5 | 4.3875833 | 7.0E-5 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.8553934E-5 | 1.9854419E-4 | 2.242071 | 1.1E-4 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776226 | 0.0013273533 | 1.2317421 | 2.5E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725265 | 0.0110517265 | 1.0304384 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7680073E-5 | 8.767883E-5 | 4.95919 | 7.0E-5 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.576958E-5 | 1.75762E-4 | 2.3196907 | 1.0E-4 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.2211214E-4 | 0.0011519 | 1.2491974 | 2.3E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.009183723 | 0.009480967 | 1.0323665 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.526437E-5 | 8.52633E-5 | 5.585773 | 7.0E-5 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.5417116E-5 | 1.5541122E-4 | 2.3756967 | 9.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.961682E-4 | 0.001006001 | 1.2635534 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.007933789 | 0.008211567 | 1.0350121 | 2.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.30313565E-5 | 7.303058E-5 | 5.604219 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5847497E-5 | 1.3584303E-4 | 2.4323924 | 8.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.797354E-4 | 8.3962665E-4 | 1.2352257 | 1.6E-4 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067770146 | 0.006995524 | 1.0322427 | 2.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1514828E-5 | 7.1514136E-5 | 6.2106133 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9348346E-5 | 1.293444E-4 | 2.6210482 | 8.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006541E-4 | 7.5056404E-4 | 1.2495778 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0053360825 | 0.005990686 | 0.006189488 | 1.0331851 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.991426E-6 | 5.8990976E-5 | 6.5608034 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8534123E-5 | 9.853181E-5 | 2.5570014 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.690544E-4 | 5.790028E-4 | 1.2344043 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046808915 | 0.0048301895 | 1.0318952 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.515976E-6 | 2.7515825E-5 | 3.6609783 | 2.0E-5 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.221094E-5 | 6.2209976E-5 | 1.9313306 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9209976E-4 | 4.5207623E-4 | 1.1529623 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0039142957 | 0.0040139044 | 1.0254474 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.280129E-6 | 2.6280004E-5 | 4.184628 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6914573E-5 | 5.6913766E-5 | 2.1146078 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2763765E-4 | 3.87618E-4 | 1.1830691 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032717446 | 0.0033614503 | 1.0274183 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.707073E-6 | 1.4707026E-5 | 3.1244524 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0173025E-5 | 3.0172823E-5 | 1.4957014 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4558074E-4 | 2.8557092E-4 | 1.1628392 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024532743 | 0.0025131272 | 1.0243971 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.852059E-6 | 2.852059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223062E-5 | 1.2223062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4880727E-4 | 1.5880578E-4 | 1.067191 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014872384 | 0.0015072087 | 1.0134277 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5629037E-8 | 4.5629037E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9555301E-7 | 1.9555301E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.380856E-6 | 2.380856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3808358E-5 | 2.3808358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 4.2309775E-4 | 32.289806 | 4.1E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 5.661266E-4 | 10.081454 | 5.1E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0014929505 | 2.1842597 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.007879535 | 1.1558945 | 0.00107 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 4.2309775E-4 | 32.289806 | 4.1E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 5.661266E-4 | 10.081454 | 5.1E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0014929505 | 2.1842597 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.007879535 | 1.1558945 | 0.00107 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 4.2309775E-4 | 32.289806 | 4.1E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 5.661266E-4 | 10.081454 | 5.1E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0014929505 | 2.1842597 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.007879535 | 1.1558945 | 0.00107 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 4.2309775E-4 | 32.289806 | 4.1E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 5.661266E-4 | 10.081454 | 5.1E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0014929505 | 2.1842597 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.007879535 | 1.1558945 | 0.00107 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 4.2309775E-4 | 32.289806 | 4.1E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 5.661266E-4 | 10.081454 | 5.1E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0014929505 | 2.1842597 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.007879535 | 1.1558945 | 0.00107 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384914E-6 | 2.8738283E-4 | 38.914852 | 2.8E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649277E-5 | 3.816382E-4 | 12.058354 | 3.5E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526725E-4 | 9.7503996E-4 | 2.5308144 | 5.9E-4 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465308 | 0.0046334923 | 1.2045898 | 7.9E-4 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384914E-6 | 2.8738283E-4 | 38.914852 | 2.8E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649277E-5 | 3.816382E-4 | 12.058354 | 3.5E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526725E-4 | 9.7503996E-4 | 2.5308144 | 5.9E-4 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465308 | 0.0046334923 | 1.2045898 | 7.9E-4 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.78606E-6 | 2.6578456E-4 | 45.93533 | 2.6E-4 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4797186E-5 | 3.54789E-4 | 14.307632 | 3.3E-4 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0186778E-4 | 8.417048E-4 | 2.7883227 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0028538927 | 0.0030149613 | 0.0037527303 | 1.2447026 | 7.4E-4 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.219081E-6 | 1.8421833E-4 | 43.663143 | 1.8E-4 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8081664E-5 | 2.580773E-4 | 14.272874 | 2.4E-4 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2012478E-4 | 6.2003674E-4 | 2.816751 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021993385 | 0.002758107 | 1.254062 | 5.6E-4 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1230197E-6 | 1.6312252E-4 | 52.232307 | 1.6E-4 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3384314E-5 | 2.233815E-4 | 16.689798 | 2.1E-4 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.629441E-4 | 4.6289523E-4 | 2.8408222 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016284687 | 0.0020677522 | 1.2697525 | 4.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5408096E-6 | 1.1154064E-4 | 72.39093 | 1.1E-4 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.6034586E-6 | 1.366026E-4 | 20.686523 | 1.3E-4 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.0395155E-5 | 2.4038229E-4 | 2.9900098 | 1.6E-4 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0375955E-4 | 0.0010335747 | 1.2859253 | 2.3E-4 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4089627E-7 | 2.0740881E-5 | 27.994312 | 2.0E-5 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1752697E-6 | 3.3175176E-5 | 10.447987 | 3.0E-5 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.865891E-5 | 8.8656976E-5 | 2.293313 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.865891E-4 | 4.765543E-4 | 1.2327154 | 9.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7460246E-4 | 9.843933E-4 | 1.4592199 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028880783 | 0.0033467498 | 1.1588155 | 4.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03456449 | 0.03518237 | 1.0178761 | 6.4E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28653982 | 0.28720334 | 1.0023156 | 9.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7460246E-4 | 9.843933E-4 | 1.4592199 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028880783 | 0.0033467498 | 1.1588155 | 4.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03456449 | 0.03518237 | 1.0178761 | 6.4E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28653982 | 0.28720334 | 1.0023156 | 9.3E-4 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7460246E-4 | 9.843933E-4 | 1.4592199 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028880783 | 0.0033467498 | 1.1588155 | 4.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03456449 | 0.03518237 | 1.0178761 | 6.4E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28653982 | 0.28720334 | 1.0023156 | 9.3E-4 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7460246E-4 | 9.843933E-4 | 1.4592199 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028880783 | 0.0033467498 | 1.1588155 | 4.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03456449 | 0.03518237 | 1.0178761 | 6.4E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28653982 | 0.28720334 | 1.0023156 | 9.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3178877E-4 | 7.0167216E-4 | 1.6250358 | 2.7E-4 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018492391 | 0.0022385179 | 1.2105075 | 3.9E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.022288196 | 0.022835715 | 1.0245655 | 5.6E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.1969439 | 0.19761044 | 1.0033844 | 8.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8752213E-4 | 5.274531E-4 | 1.8344784 | 2.4E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012316585 | 0.0015812274 | 1.2838197 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014893164 | 0.015395569 | 1.0337338 | 5.1E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13802564 | 0.13865489 | 1.0045589 | 7.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8752213E-4 | 5.274531E-4 | 1.8344784 | 2.4E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012316585 | 0.0015812274 | 1.2838197 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014893164 | 0.015395569 | 1.0337338 | 5.1E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13802564 | 0.13865489 | 1.0045589 | 7.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4333477E-4 | 4.732788E-4 | 1.9449699 | 2.3E-4 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.001042447 | 0.0013721031 | 1.3162328 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012618233 | 0.013082303 | 1.0367777 | 4.7E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.11918109 | 0.119771235 | 1.0049517 | 6.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3851135E-4 | 4.6845648E-4 | 1.9640847 | 2.3E-4 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010217916 | 0.0013514544 | 1.3226322 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012369626 | 0.012833813 | 1.0375262 | 4.7E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.11712997 | 0.11771266 | 1.0049747 | 6.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3221466E-4 | 4.6216126E-4 | 1.9902328 | 2.3E-4 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.948266E-4 | 0.0013244983 | 1.3313861 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012044998 | 0.012509337 | 1.0385504 | 4.7E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.11443017 | 0.11501464 | 1.0051078 | 6.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2591038E-4 | 4.5585842E-4 | 2.0178728 | 2.3E-4 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.678285E-4 | 0.0012975091 | 1.3406395 | 3.3E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.011719874 | 0.012184366 | 1.0396328 | 4.7E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.111694634 | 0.11228091 | 1.005249 | 6.6E-4 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.1879452E-4 | 4.487442E-4 | 2.0509846 | 2.3E-4 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.373542E-4 | 0.0012670449 | 1.3517247 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011352769 | 0.011817434 | 1.0409296 | 4.7E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.10857562 | 0.109163955 | 1.0054187 | 6.6E-4 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1242435E-4 | 4.423755E-4 | 2.0825083 | 2.3E-4 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.100727E-4 | 0.0012397724 | 1.3622783 | 3.3E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.011024025 | 0.011488844 | 1.0421642 | 4.7E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.10576863 | 0.10635882 | 1.0055801 | 6.6E-4 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9470933E-4 | 4.0466842E-4 | 2.0783207 | 2.1E-4 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.3420175E-4 | 0.0011339515 | 1.3593253 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.010109222 | 0.010544773 | 1.0430846 | 4.4E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.09795409 | 0.09852237 | 1.0058016 | 6.3E-4 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.8719549E-4 | 3.9715617E-4 | 2.1216118 | 2.1E-4 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.020198E-4 | 0.0011017792 | 1.3737556 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.00972097 | 0.010156693 | 1.0448229 | 4.4E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.09458639 | 0.0951568 | 1.0060306 | 6.3E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8051128E-4 | 3.9047337E-4 | 2.1631522 | 2.1E-4 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.733905E-4 | 0.0010731585 | 1.3876023 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.009375462 | 0.009811337 | 1.046491 | 4.4E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.09154962 | 0.092121944 | 1.0062515 | 6.3E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7438729E-4 | 3.8435066E-4 | 2.2040062 | 2.1E-4 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.4716005E-4 | 0.0010469359 | 1.4012204 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009058807 | 0.009494821 | 1.0481315 | 4.4E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.08870782 | 0.08928193 | 1.006472 | 6.3E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.6960864E-4 | 3.7957303E-4 | 2.2379344 | 2.1E-4 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.2669174E-4 | 0.0010264737 | 1.4125298 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.008811649 | 0.009247771 | 1.0494939 | 4.4E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.08645931 | 0.08703484 | 1.0066566 | 6.3E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5283158E-4 | 3.228056E-4 | 2.1121657 | 1.7E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.548281E-4 | 8.8467746E-4 | 1.3510072 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.007943437 | 0.008270816 | 1.0412138 | 3.3E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.078290515 | 0.07872372 | 1.0055333 | 4.7E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0006018E-4 | 2.2004817E-4 | 2.1991584 | 1.2E-4 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.2875885E-4 | 5.886902E-4 | 1.3730102 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.0052076555 | 0.005406614 | 1.038205 | 2.0E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.052197643 | 0.052472506 | 1.0052658 | 2.9E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.406992E-5 | 1.04067214E-4 | 1.9246786 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3170764E-4 | 3.016914E-4 | 1.3020349 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028173928 | 0.0029071392 | 1.0318544 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.028833257 | 0.028930373 | 1.0033683 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.930551E-5 | 2.9305316E-5 | 1.5179769 | 1.0E-5 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.273527E-5 | 9.2734444E-5 | 1.1208575 | 1.0E-5 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010068371 | 0.0010168271 | 1.0099221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.010797266 | 0.0108071575 | 1.0009161 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.458615E-6 | 5.458615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.3393854E-5 | 2.3393854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.8478302E-4 | 2.8478302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.003239759 | 0.003239759 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364153E-5 | 2.1035729E-4 | 5.211488 | 1.7E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297921E-4 | 4.5293078E-4 | 2.6184115 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002104245 | 0.002563277 | 1.2181457 | 4.6E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869121 | 0.021652427 | 1.0375341 | 8.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364153E-5 | 2.1035729E-4 | 5.211488 | 1.7E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297921E-4 | 4.5293078E-4 | 2.6184115 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002104245 | 0.002563277 | 1.2181457 | 4.6E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869121 | 0.021652427 | 1.0375341 | 8.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059712E-5 | 1.2105761E-4 | 5.748303 | 1.0E-4 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0253365E-5 | 2.5023893E-4 | 2.772627 | 1.6E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983829 | 0.0013181411 | 1.2000744 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939626 | 0.011364922 | 1.0388767 | 4.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059712E-5 | 1.2105761E-4 | 5.748303 | 1.0E-4 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0253365E-5 | 2.5023893E-4 | 2.772627 | 1.6E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983829 | 0.0013181411 | 1.2000744 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939626 | 0.011364922 | 1.0388767 | 4.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9565137E-5 | 1.1956318E-4 | 6.111032 | 1.0E-4 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.384846E-5 | 2.4383505E-4 | 2.9080443 | 1.6E-4 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010204775 | 0.001240253 | 1.2153654 | 2.2E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.0101678325 | 0.010573664 | 1.0399133 | 4.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6836908E-5 | 1.06835396E-4 | 6.3453097 | 9.0E-5 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.215671E-5 | 2.1214661E-4 | 2.9400816 | 1.4E-4 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.782473E-4 | 0.0010780717 | 1.2275263 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008756962 | 0.009133634 | 1.043014 | 3.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3724037E-5 | 9.372294E-5 | 6.8291087 | 8.0E-5 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.8816477E-5 | 1.6881E-4 | 2.8701143 | 1.1E-4 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.1594387E-4 | 8.8582217E-4 | 1.2372788 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071450667 | 0.0074627805 | 1.0444661 | 3.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1533472E-5 | 8.1532664E-5 | 7.069221 | 7.0E-5 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9428723E-5 | 1.3942427E-4 | 2.8207138 | 9.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.017155E-4 | 7.316373E-4 | 1.2159189 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.0060093896 | 0.0062479475 | 1.0396975 | 2.4E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 4.539533E-4 | 2.3399203 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 0.0012008724 | 1.4447803 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010617248 | 1.0540526 | 5.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831418 | 0.099026516 | 1.0072454 | 7.9E-4 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 4.539533E-4 | 2.3399203 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 0.0012008724 | 1.4447803 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010617248 | 1.0540526 | 5.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831418 | 0.099026516 | 1.0072454 | 7.9E-4 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 4.539533E-4 | 2.3399203 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 0.0012008724 | 1.4447803 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010617248 | 1.0540526 | 5.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831418 | 0.099026516 | 1.0072454 | 7.9E-4 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 4.539533E-4 | 2.3399203 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 0.0012008724 | 1.4447803 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010617248 | 1.0540526 | 5.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831418 | 0.099026516 | 1.0072454 | 7.9E-4 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 4.539533E-4 | 2.3399203 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 0.0012008724 | 1.4447803 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010617248 | 1.0540526 | 5.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831418 | 0.099026516 | 1.0072454 | 7.9E-4 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9374143E-4 | 4.5369106E-4 | 2.3417346 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3005644E-4 | 0.0011997493 | 1.4453828 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010059236 | 0.010603703 | 1.0541261 | 5.5E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.09819207 | 0.098904505 | 1.0072554 | 7.9E-4 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9374143E-4 | 4.5369106E-4 | 2.3417346 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3005644E-4 | 0.0011997493 | 1.4453828 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010059236 | 0.010603703 | 1.0541261 | 5.5E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.09819207 | 0.098904505 | 1.0072554 | 7.9E-4 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9364097E-4 | 4.5359062E-4 | 2.342431 | 2.6E-4 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.296261E-4 | 0.0011993191 | 1.4456141 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010054044 | 0.010598514 | 1.0541544 | 5.5E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.098145284 | 0.09885775 | 1.0072592 | 7.9E-4 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9349258E-4 | 4.5344228E-4 | 2.3434608 | 2.6E-4 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.2899054E-4 | 0.0011986839 | 1.445956 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010046378 | 0.010590852 | 1.0541961 | 5.5E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.09807551 | 0.09878802 | 1.007265 | 7.9E-4 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9317267E-4 | 4.5312245E-4 | 2.345686 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.2762045E-4 | 0.0011973142 | 1.4466949 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.0100298505 | 0.010574334 | 1.0542864 | 5.5E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.097924836 | 0.09863748 | 1.0072774 | 7.9E-4 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9248636E-4 | 4.524363E-4 | 2.350485 | 2.6E-4 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.246809E-4 | 0.0011943758 | 1.4482884 | 3.7E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.00999439 | 0.010538894 | 1.0544809 | 5.5E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.09760108 | 0.09831398 | 1.0073042 | 7.9E-4 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9150345E-4 | 4.5145367E-4 | 2.3574178 | 2.6E-4 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.2047115E-4 | 0.0011901675 | 1.4505904 | 3.7E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.009943605 | 0.010488137 | 1.0547619 | 5.5E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.09713763 | 0.0978509 | 1.0073428 | 7.9E-4 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9081132E-4 | 4.507617E-4 | 2.3623426 | 2.6E-4 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.175067E-4 | 0.0011872042 | 1.4522257 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009907843 | 0.0104523925 | 1.0549616 | 5.5E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.096810766 | 0.097524285 | 1.0073702 | 7.9E-4 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9033643E-4 | 4.5028696E-4 | 2.3657422 | 2.6E-4 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.1547274E-4 | 0.0011851711 | 1.4533546 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009883304 | 0.010427868 | 1.0550994 | 5.5E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.096584216 | 0.097297914 | 1.0073894 | 7.9E-4 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.897343E-4 | 4.4968497E-4 | 2.3700774 | 2.6E-4 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.128938E-4 | 0.0011825929 | 1.454794 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.00985219 | 0.010396771 | 1.0552752 | 5.5E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.096301794 | 0.097015716 | 1.0074134 | 7.9E-4 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.8919505E-4 | 4.4914585E-4 | 2.3739831 | 2.6E-4 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.1058417E-4 | 0.0011802843 | 1.4560909 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009824324 | 0.010368921 | 1.0554335 | 5.5E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.0960482 | 0.096762314 | 1.0074351 | 7.9E-4 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.857177E-4 | 4.456694E-4 | 2.3997142 | 2.6E-4 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.9569034E-4 | 0.001165396 | 1.464635 | 3.7E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009644611 | 0.010189307 | 1.0564767 | 5.5E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.094429545 | 0.09514495 | 1.007576 | 7.9E-4 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6020852E-4 | 4.101685E-4 | 2.5602162 | 2.5E-4 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.8642735E-4 | 0.001036187 | 1.5095364 | 3.5E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008325285 | 0.008840957 | 1.0619403 | 5.2E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.082231544 | 0.082910694 | 1.0082589 | 7.4E-4 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4516065E-4 | 3.1513596E-4 | 2.1709464 | 1.7E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.2196876E-4 | 8.518257E-4 | 1.3695635 | 2.3E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.007546219 | 0.007873729 | 1.0434005 | 3.3E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.07472429 | 0.075168416 | 1.0059437 | 4.8E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.00452475E-4 | 2.2044042E-4 | 2.1944747 | 1.2E-4 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3043957E-4 | 5.9037074E-4 | 1.3715531 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052280203 | 0.005426975 | 1.0380554 | 2.0E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.052421875 | 0.05269667 | 1.005242 | 2.9E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4255845E-5 | 1.0425313E-4 | 1.9215097 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3250433E-4 | 3.0248807E-4 | 1.3009996 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028270676 | 0.0029168131 | 1.0317451 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.02894576 | 0.029042866 | 1.0033548 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9398649E-5 | 2.9398456E-5 | 1.5154898 | 1.0E-5 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.313442E-5 | 9.313359E-5 | 1.1202772 | 1.0E-5 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010116922 | 0.0010216822 | 1.0098745 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.0108545665 | 0.010864458 | 1.0009112 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192248E-5 | 1.0019133E-4 | 9.830151 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.368039E-5 | 2.036734E-4 | 4.6628113 | 1.6E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316893E-4 | 9.414713E-4 | 1.770717 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053052 | 0.005921911 | 1.1162465 | 6.2E-4 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192248E-5 | 1.0019133E-4 | 9.830151 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.368039E-5 | 2.036734E-4 | 4.6628113 | 1.6E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316893E-4 | 9.414713E-4 | 1.770717 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053052 | 0.005921911 | 1.1162465 | 6.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696309E-6 | 4.469612E-5 | 9.517286 | 4.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126892E-5 | 9.012548E-5 | 4.477864 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501863E-4 | 4.3497208E-4 | 1.7752613 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.002447611 | 0.0027468766 | 1.1222686 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696309E-6 | 4.469612E-5 | 9.517286 | 4.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126892E-5 | 9.012548E-5 | 4.477864 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501863E-4 | 4.3497208E-4 | 1.7752613 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.002447611 | 0.0027468766 | 1.1222686 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5098942E-6 | 2.3509823E-5 | 6.6981573 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042322E-5 | 5.504172E-5 | 3.659124 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8312573E-4 | 3.0310373E-4 | 1.6551676 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018298312 | 0.0020194834 | 1.1036447 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9278535E-6 | 2.2927796E-5 | 7.8309226 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2547887E-5 | 4.2547512E-5 | 3.3908107 | 3.0E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276058E-4 | 2.527453E-4 | 1.6545192 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266296 | 0.00169637 | 1.1111864 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3290654E-6 | 1.2329042E-5 | 5.2935576 | 1.0E-5 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.981674E-6 | 2.9981475E-5 | 3.0036519 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152074E-4 | 1.9151223E-4 | 1.5759634 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146046 | 0.0013544345 | 1.1151239 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9591378E-6 | 1.1959119E-5 | 6.104276 | 1.0E-5 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.396281E-6 | 1.8396197E-5 | 2.1909935 | 1.0E-5 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222051E-4 | 1.522154E-4 | 1.4890887 | 5.0E-5 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010217924 | 0.0011316801 | 1.107544 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.543829E-6 | 1.1543813E-5 | 7.4773917 | 1.0E-5 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6163957E-6 | 1.661633E-5 | 2.5113869 | 1.0E-5 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055216E-5 | 1.3054814E-4 | 1.6206658 | 5.0E-5 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0528075E-4 | 9.151921E-4 | 1.1364883 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.13992E-7 | 7.13992E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599638E-6 | 3.0599638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.725474E-5 | 5.7253998E-5 | 1.5368245 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251622E-4 | 4.0250504E-4 | 1.0805035 | 3.0E-5 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618123E-5 | 1.8561403E-4 | 7.2454185 | 1.6E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09787434E-4 | 3.697589E-4 | 3.3679528 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358593 | 0.0018651512 | 1.3962184 | 5.3E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013281459 | 0.013982029 | 1.052748 | 7.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618123E-5 | 1.8561403E-4 | 7.2454185 | 1.6E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09787434E-4 | 3.697589E-4 | 3.3679528 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358593 | 0.0018651512 | 1.3962184 | 5.3E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013281459 | 0.013982029 | 1.052748 | 7.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618123E-5 | 1.8561403E-4 | 7.2454185 | 1.6E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09787434E-4 | 3.697589E-4 | 3.3679528 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358593 | 0.0018651512 | 1.3962184 | 5.3E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013281459 | 0.013982029 | 1.052748 | 7.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.511821E-5 | 1.7511444E-4 | 6.9716134 | 1.5E-4 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764512E-4 | 3.576182E-4 | 3.3221962 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013098082 | 0.0018091532 | 1.3812352 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013024019 | 0.013695163 | 1.0515312 | 6.8E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.511821E-5 | 1.7511444E-4 | 6.9716134 | 1.5E-4 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764512E-4 | 3.576182E-4 | 3.3221962 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013098082 | 0.0018091532 | 1.3812352 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013024019 | 0.013695163 | 1.0515312 | 6.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4807463E-5 | 1.7480375E-4 | 7.046417 | 1.5E-4 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0631346E-4 | 3.5628688E-4 | 3.3512866 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012936145 | 0.0017929678 | 1.3860139 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.012863967 | 0.013535218 | 1.0521809 | 6.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3311291E-5 | 1.733078E-4 | 7.4345 | 1.5E-4 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.990179E-5 | 3.4987682E-4 | 3.5022078 | 2.5E-4 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012156401 | 0.0017150323 | 1.410806 | 5.0E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012092689 | 0.012754587 | 1.0547354 | 6.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2911929E-5 | 1.7290849E-4 | 7.546658 | 1.5E-4 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8190365E-5 | 3.481658E-4 | 3.5458245 | 2.5E-4 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011948266 | 0.0016842411 | 1.4096113 | 4.9E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011886794 | 0.012529068 | 1.0540326 | 6.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1805923E-5 | 1.6180288E-4 | 7.420134 | 1.4E-4 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.345069E-5 | 3.2342918E-4 | 3.460961 | 2.3E-4 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011371822 | 0.0015966592 | 1.4040486 | 4.6E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011317186 | 0.011920283 | 1.0532904 | 6.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5303958E-5 | 6.53032E-5 | 4.2670784 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.5586784E-5 | 1.8557892E-4 | 2.829517 | 1.2E-4 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.9823297E-4 | 0.0010580254 | 1.3254595 | 2.6E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007955219 | 0.008282593 | 1.0411522 | 3.3E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3154176E-5 | 6.3153515E-5 | 4.8010244 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6373854E-5 | 1.6636765E-4 | 2.9511492 | 1.1E-4 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.861413E-4 | 9.1598346E-4 | 1.334978 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068414966 | 0.007099718 | 1.0377433 | 2.6E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0865248E-5 | 3.086503E-5 | 2.840711 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6564543E-5 | 8.656268E-5 | 1.8589827 | 4.0E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.667801E-4 | 6.667234E-4 | 1.1763352 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005653847 | 0.0057731685 | 1.0211045 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.028628E-5 | 2.0286177E-5 | 1.9721588 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4083336E-5 | 7.408201E-5 | 1.6804993 | 3.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.365867E-4 | 6.1654375E-4 | 1.1490105 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.005353342 | 0.00544286 | 1.016722 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.808134E-6 | 1.9808036E-5 | 2.019552 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2034208E-5 | 7.203295E-5 | 1.7136744 | 3.0E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.116505E-4 | 5.616249E-4 | 1.0976729 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005105152 | 0.0051648454 | 1.0116929 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.707145E-6 | 9.707145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.160141E-5 | 6.160058E-5 | 1.4807329 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0638366E-4 | 5.3636846E-4 | 1.0592136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050527244 | 0.005092522 | 1.0078765 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.604788E-6 | 9.604788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.116275E-5 | 6.1161925E-5 | 1.4858562 | 2.0E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.0104543E-4 | 5.310304E-4 | 1.0598449 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.004999583 | 0.005039383 | 1.0079607 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.283887E-6 | 9.283887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.9787505E-5 | 5.978671E-5 | 1.5026504 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8430942E-4 | 5.142949E-4 | 1.0619138 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048329635 | 0.00487277 | 1.0082365 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.345144E-6 | 8.345144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5764435E-5 | 5.5763718E-5 | 1.5591948 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3534904E-4 | 4.6533596E-4 | 1.0688802 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.004345367 | 0.0043851933 | 1.0091652 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 1.21078374E-4 | 10.92805 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 2.4747368E-4 | 5.2118173 | 2.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 9.377592E-4 | 1.6225127 | 3.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.0062729693 | 1.0879409 | 5.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 1.21078374E-4 | 10.92805 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 2.4747368E-4 | 5.2118173 | 2.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 9.377592E-4 | 1.6225127 | 3.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.0062729693 | 1.0879409 | 5.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 1.21078374E-4 | 10.92805 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 2.4747368E-4 | 5.2118173 | 2.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 9.377592E-4 | 1.6225127 | 3.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.0062729693 | 1.0879409 | 5.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 1.21078374E-4 | 10.92805 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 2.4747368E-4 | 5.2118173 | 2.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 9.377592E-4 | 1.6225127 | 3.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.0062729693 | 1.0879409 | 5.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 1.21078374E-4 | 10.92805 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 2.4747368E-4 | 5.2118173 | 2.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 9.377592E-4 | 1.6225127 | 3.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.0062729693 | 1.0879409 | 5.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 1.21078374E-4 | 10.92805 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 2.4747368E-4 | 5.2118173 | 2.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 9.377592E-4 | 1.6225127 | 3.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.0062729693 | 1.0879409 | 5.1E-4 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9355933E-6 | 9.693497E-5 | 13.976449 | 9.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.972365E-5 | 1.5971978E-4 | 5.373492 | 1.3E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182825E-4 | 5.11774E-4 | 1.4144113 | 1.5E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126832 | 0.0038318883 | 1.0606766 | 2.2E-4 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9355933E-6 | 9.693497E-5 | 13.976449 | 9.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.972365E-5 | 1.5971978E-4 | 5.373492 | 1.3E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182825E-4 | 5.11774E-4 | 1.4144113 | 1.5E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126832 | 0.0038318883 | 1.0606766 | 2.2E-4 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.179353E-6 | 4.5179146E-5 | 8.722933 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2197044E-5 | 8.2195715E-5 | 3.7030025 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7021667E-4 | 3.5019504E-4 | 1.2959787 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0026989973 | 0.0028186734 | 1.044341 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2523866E-6 | 4.2523866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8224391E-5 | 3.8224025E-5 | 2.0974104 | 2.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2186009E-4 | 2.5185343E-4 | 1.1351904 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022164586 | 0.0022763256 | 1.0270102 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7138793E-6 | 3.7138793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5916532E-5 | 2.5916373E-5 | 1.6282675 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9376719E-4 | 2.1376331E-4 | 1.1031966 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019360452 | 0.0019759678 | 1.0206207 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1119403E-6 | 3.1119403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3336821E-5 | 2.3336688E-5 | 1.7497939 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6236427E-4 | 1.7236265E-4 | 1.06158 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016225125 | 0.0016524638 | 1.0184598 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6054174E-6 | 2.6054174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1166029E-5 | 2.1165917E-5 | 1.8955635 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3593843E-4 | 1.4593707E-4 | 1.0735527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013586025 | 0.0013785753 | 1.014701 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8283843E-6 | 1.8283843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.835911E-6 | 1.7835833E-5 | 2.276166 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.539833E-5 | 1.05397376E-4 | 1.1048137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013866565 | 9.536027E-4 | 9.735836E-4 | 1.020953 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4364028E-6 | 1.4364028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.155999E-6 | 1.6155938E-5 | 2.6244218 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.494696E-5 | 8.4946216E-5 | 1.1334177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001177395 | 7.4924197E-4 | 7.692269E-4 | 1.0266737 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.353621E-7 | 7.353621E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.151548E-6 | 3.151548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8369424E-5 | 3.8369424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8362844E-4 | 3.9362462E-4 | 1.0260569 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.659381E-7 | 4.659381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.996876E-6 | 1.996876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311697E-5 | 2.4311697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309063E-4 | 2.4309063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578398E-7 | 1.5578398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6764545E-7 | 6.6764545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128554E-6 | 8.128554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1282684E-5 | 8.1282684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097003E-5 | 1.3209457E-4 | 5.9779406 | 1.1E-4 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.469877E-5 | 2.546836E-4 | 2.6894078 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524827 | 0.0013822176 | 1.1993392 | 2.3E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.01147837 | 0.011883664 | 1.0353093 | 4.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097003E-5 | 1.3209457E-4 | 5.9779406 | 1.1E-4 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.469877E-5 | 2.546836E-4 | 2.6894078 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524827 | 0.0013822176 | 1.1993392 | 2.3E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.01147837 | 0.011883664 | 1.0353093 | 4.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1255602E-5 | 8.125482E-5 | 7.2190557 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8237696E-5 | 1.6823191E-4 | 3.487561 | 1.2E-4 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.871877E-4 | 7.67082E-4 | 1.306366 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.005861467 | 0.0061597084 | 1.0508817 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.079831E-5 | 8.079755E-5 | 7.482426 | 7.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6277943E-5 | 1.662724E-4 | 3.592908 | 1.2E-4 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334015E-4 | 7.432388E-4 | 1.3193427 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005624211 | 0.0059225233 | 1.0530409 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.079831E-5 | 8.079755E-5 | 7.482426 | 7.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6277943E-5 | 1.662724E-4 | 3.592908 | 1.2E-4 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334015E-4 | 7.432388E-4 | 1.3193427 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005624211 | 0.0059225233 | 1.0530409 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2855797E-6 | 4.6285328E-5 | 7.363733 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.693807E-5 | 9.6936186E-5 | 3.5984828 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2794854E-4 | 4.479092E-4 | 1.3657911 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0028957394 | 0.003277282 | 0.003446725 | 1.0517023 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5132705E-6 | 3.5513105E-5 | 6.441386 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3628236E-5 | 8.3626815E-5 | 3.5392747 | 6.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.87662E-4 | 3.9763036E-4 | 1.3822832 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028754652 | 0.0030150625 | 1.0485477 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5158945E-6 | 3.451576E-5 | 7.6431723 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9353833E-5 | 6.9352864E-5 | 3.5834174 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3563292E-4 | 3.256117E-4 | 1.38186 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023563292 | 0.00246607 | 1.0465728 | 1.1E-4 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16063E-4 | 4.960061E-4 | 1.5693266 | 1.8E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013538585 | 0.0015935336 | 1.1770312 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360149 | 0.016665077 | 1.0186385 | 3.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.1502109 | 0.15056781 | 1.0023761 | 4.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16063E-4 | 4.960061E-4 | 1.5693266 | 1.8E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013538585 | 0.0015935336 | 1.1770312 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360149 | 0.016665077 | 1.0186385 | 3.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.1502109 | 0.15056781 | 1.0023761 | 4.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16063E-4 | 4.960061E-4 | 1.5693266 | 1.8E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013538585 | 0.0015935336 | 1.1770312 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360149 | 0.016665077 | 1.0186385 | 3.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.1502109 | 0.15056781 | 1.0023761 | 4.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.051113E-4 | 4.8505637E-4 | 1.5897686 | 1.8E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013069701 | 0.0015466565 | 1.1833909 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015797663 | 0.016102767 | 1.0193131 | 3.1E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14551277 | 0.14587167 | 1.0024663 | 4.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.051113E-4 | 4.8505637E-4 | 1.5897686 | 1.8E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013069701 | 0.0015466565 | 1.1833909 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015797663 | 0.016102767 | 1.0193131 | 3.1E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14551277 | 0.14587167 | 1.0024663 | 4.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.8925604E-4 | 4.5920687E-4 | 1.5875446 | 1.7E-4 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.001239085 | 0.0014688 | 1.1853908 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.014982755 | 0.015278261 | 1.019723 | 3.0E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.13865015 | 0.13900329 | 1.002547 | 4.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5364384E-4 | 4.1360327E-4 | 1.6306458 | 1.6E-4 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010865945 | 0.0013063555 | 1.2022474 | 2.2E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.013149675 | 0.013435862 | 1.0217638 | 2.9E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.123004206 | 0.12335501 | 1.002852 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3499398E-4 | 3.9495638E-4 | 1.6807085 | 1.6E-4 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010067298 | 0.0012265083 | 1.2183094 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012188473 | 0.012474938 | 1.023503 | 2.9E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.11479201 | 0.1151461 | 1.0030845 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2025258E-4 | 3.8021733E-4 | 1.7262787 | 1.6E-4 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.4359886E-4 | 0.0011633913 | 1.23293 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011428066 | 0.011714752 | 1.0250862 | 2.9E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.10820394 | 0.10856066 | 1.0032967 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1480804E-4 | 3.7477366E-4 | 1.7446911 | 1.6E-4 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.202817E-4 | 0.0011400792 | 1.2388372 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011147114 | 0.011433882 | 1.0257257 | 2.9E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.10579753 | 0.10615521 | 1.0033808 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.080777E-4 | 3.6804442E-4 | 1.7687836 | 1.6E-4 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.914574E-4 | 0.0011112613 | 1.2465669 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.010799707 | 0.011086575 | 1.0265626 | 2.9E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.102768935 | 0.10312783 | 1.0034922 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.998233E-4 | 3.5979133E-4 | 1.8005475 | 1.6E-4 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.56105E-4 | 0.0010759167 | 1.2567579 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010373463 | 0.010660455 | 1.027666 | 2.9E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.09907483 | 0.0994352 | 1.0036373 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8387941E-4 | 3.4385E-4 | 1.8699754 | 1.6E-4 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.878168E-4 | 0.0010076435 | 1.2790327 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009549593 | 0.009836823 | 1.0300778 | 2.9E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.091802835 | 0.09216611 | 1.0039572 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7331538E-4 | 3.232894E-4 | 1.8653243 | 1.5E-4 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.4256887E-4 | 9.524129E-4 | 1.282592 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009003378 | 0.009280858 | 1.0308194 | 2.8E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.087064296 | 0.087420344 | 1.0040895 | 3.9E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6551661E-4 | 3.1549178E-4 | 1.9061034 | 1.5E-4 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.091642E-4 | 9.1901526E-4 | 1.2959132 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008599959 | 0.008877551 | 1.0322783 | 2.8E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.083518505 | 0.08387593 | 1.0042796 | 3.9E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5839333E-4 | 3.0836958E-4 | 1.9468595 | 1.5E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.786521E-4 | 8.8850956E-4 | 1.3092269 | 2.1E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.008231343 | 0.008509038 | 1.0337363 | 2.8E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.080234535 | 0.08059324 | 1.0044707 | 3.9E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5409182E-4 | 3.040687E-4 | 1.9732956 | 1.5E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.602264E-4 | 8.7008777E-4 | 1.3178627 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008008682 | 0.00828644 | 1.034682 | 2.8E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.07822442 | 0.07858391 | 1.0045956 | 3.9E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4318043E-4 | 2.9315896E-4 | 2.0474792 | 1.5E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.134861E-4 | 8.2335726E-4 | 1.3420961 | 2.1E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.007443652 | 0.007721568 | 1.037336 | 2.8E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07305383 | 0.07341534 | 1.0049485 | 3.9E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3202122E-4 | 2.7200274E-4 | 2.0602956 | 1.4E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.6568254E-4 | 7.655694E-4 | 1.3533552 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0068654646 | 0.007133611 | 1.0390573 | 2.7E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.06771227 | 0.06806654 | 1.005232 | 3.8E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.723151E-5 | 2.1721984E-4 | 2.234048 | 1.2E-4 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1663993E-4 | 5.7657325E-4 | 1.3838646 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.005060803 | 0.005259791 | 1.0393194 | 2.0E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.050646737 | 0.05092205 | 1.005436 | 2.9E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3300802E-5 | 1.0329814E-4 | 1.9380221 | 5.0E-5 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2841203E-4 | 2.9839604E-4 | 1.3063937 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027773718 | 0.0028671217 | 1.0323148 | 9.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.028359966 | 0.028457131 | 1.0034261 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8820898E-5 | 2.8820708E-5 | 1.5313143 | 1.0E-5 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.06585E-5 | 9.065769E-5 | 1.1239696 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.815755E-4 | 9.915656E-4 | 1.0101777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010482702 | 0.010492598 | 1.0009439 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.153101E-6 | 5.153101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2084532E-5 | 2.2084532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.6884608E-4 | 2.6884608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0030408972 | 0.0030408972 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694737E-5 | 1.0669324E-4 | 6.3908305 | 9.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1547045E-5 | 1.8153917E-4 | 2.53734 | 1.1E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7076076E-4 | 0.0011305343 | 1.2983295 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675868 | 0.009082311 | 1.0468475 | 4.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694737E-5 | 1.0669324E-4 | 6.3908305 | 9.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1547045E-5 | 1.8153917E-4 | 2.53734 | 1.1E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7076076E-4 | 0.0011305343 | 1.2983295 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675868 | 0.009082311 | 1.0468475 | 4.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694737E-5 | 1.0669324E-4 | 6.3908305 | 9.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1547045E-5 | 1.8153917E-4 | 2.53734 | 1.1E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7076076E-4 | 0.0011305343 | 1.2983295 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675868 | 0.009082311 | 1.0468475 | 4.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888677E-5 | 7.188797E-5 | 6.0467587 | 6.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.095051E-5 | 1.10947454E-4 | 2.1775532 | 6.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2015187E-4 | 7.300837E-4 | 1.1772659 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006184821 | 0.006363708 | 1.0289235 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888677E-5 | 7.188797E-5 | 6.0467587 | 6.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.095051E-5 | 1.10947454E-4 | 2.1775532 | 6.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2015187E-4 | 7.300837E-4 | 1.1772659 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006184821 | 0.006363708 | 1.0289235 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.062002E-5 | 5.0619594E-5 | 4.7664313 | 4.0E-5 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.5513603E-5 | 8.551178E-5 | 1.8788182 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.539921E-4 | 6.1395887E-4 | 1.1082448 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0048150513 | 0.00552661 | 0.005645947 | 1.0215931 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.1595875E-6 | 4.915922E-5 | 5.3669686 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.925481E-5 | 7.925324E-5 | 2.0189435 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7782643E-4 | 5.278025E-4 | 1.1045905 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0041158604 | 0.004768387 | 0.004857958 | 1.0187843 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.407313E-6 | 4.8406975E-5 | 5.757723 | 4.0E-5 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6030862E-5 | 7.602942E-5 | 2.1101193 | 4.0E-5 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3859115E-4 | 4.885692E-4 | 1.1139514 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003753043 | 0.0043776245 | 0.0044672303 | 1.0204691 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.84223E-6 | 3.7841994E-5 | 4.8254128 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3609143E-5 | 6.360814E-5 | 1.8925842 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0911807E-4 | 4.491017E-4 | 1.0977312 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.0040840064 | 0.0041636797 | 1.0195086 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1306854E-6 | 3.713047E-5 | 5.207139 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0559742E-5 | 6.0558825E-5 | 1.9816537 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7200472E-4 | 4.1198987E-4 | 1.1074855 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037141584 | 0.0037739354 | 1.0160944 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0803756E-6 | 1.5080324E-5 | 2.9683485 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1772865E-5 | 3.1772648E-5 | 1.4592773 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.650539E-4 | 2.8504862E-4 | 1.0754364 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.002647531 | 0.0026874251 | 1.0150684 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.63193E-6 | 1.46318835E-5 | 3.1589172 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9850986E-5 | 2.9850788E-5 | 1.5037433 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4166047E-4 | 2.5165806E-4 | 1.0413704 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024141273 | 0.002444055 | 1.0123968 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.156776E-6 | 1.4156734E-5 | 3.4057004 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7814642E-5 | 2.7814463E-5 | 1.561326 | 1.0E-5 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1687317E-4 | 2.2687101E-4 | 1.0460999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021667634 | 0.0021966984 | 1.0138155 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6293627E-6 | 1.36293265E-5 | 3.7552948 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5554328E-5 | 2.555417E-5 | 1.642898 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8935895E-4 | 1.9935706E-4 | 1.0527997 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018921213 | 0.0019120835 | 1.0105501 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.889017E-6 | 2.889017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.238145E-5 | 1.238145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5073517E-4 | 1.5073517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015064707 | 0.0015164557 | 1.006628 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5134848E-6 | 1.5134848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4863543E-6 | 6.4863543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.896975E-5 | 7.896975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.8953954E-4 | 7.9953164E-4 | 1.0126556 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 5.3894346E-5 | 13.838435 | 5.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 8.668964E-5 | 5.193856 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 3.6316348E-4 | 1.7872572 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.0023199422 | 1.1425297 | 2.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 5.3894346E-5 | 13.838435 | 5.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 8.668964E-5 | 5.193856 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 3.6316348E-4 | 1.7872572 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.0023199422 | 1.1425297 | 2.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 5.3894346E-5 | 13.838435 | 5.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 8.668964E-5 | 5.193856 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 3.6316348E-4 | 1.7872572 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.0023199422 | 1.1425297 | 2.9E-4 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 5.3894346E-5 | 13.838435 | 5.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 8.668964E-5 | 5.193856 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 3.6316348E-4 | 1.7872572 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.0023199422 | 1.1425297 | 2.9E-4 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 5.3894346E-5 | 13.838435 | 5.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 8.668964E-5 | 5.193856 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 3.6316348E-4 | 1.7872572 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.0023199422 | 1.1425297 | 2.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030522E-6 | 1.120304E-5 | 9.312181 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.155928E-6 | 2.5155825E-5 | 4.8790097 | 2.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277174E-5 | 1.127686E-4 | 1.7964867 | 5.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275518E-4 | 6.8751414E-4 | 1.0955496 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030522E-6 | 1.120304E-5 | 9.312181 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.155928E-6 | 2.5155825E-5 | 4.8790097 | 2.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277174E-5 | 1.127686E-4 | 1.7964867 | 5.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275518E-4 | 6.8751414E-4 | 1.0955496 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.4106733E-7 | 1.0841059E-5 | 12.889645 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6045697E-6 | 2.3604498E-5 | 6.5484924 | 2.0E-5 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3884807E-5 | 7.388349E-5 | 1.6835779 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3876714E-4 | 4.6875398E-4 | 1.0683434 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.3921595E-7 | 1.063921E-5 | 16.644156 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7394944E-6 | 2.273944E-5 | 8.300597 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3352873E-5 | 5.3352207E-5 | 1.5996284 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.334825E-4 | 3.534758E-4 | 1.0599532 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.345337E-7 | 1.0534528E-5 | 19.707886 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2908569E-6 | 2.2290811E-5 | 9.730338 | 2.0E-5 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.789086E-5 | 4.7890302E-5 | 1.7170608 | 2.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.788769E-4 | 2.988713E-4 | 1.0716963 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.532427E-7 | 1.0353239E-5 | 29.309137 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5138964E-6 | 1.1513881E-5 | 7.6054616 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8431541E-5 | 2.8431357E-5 | 1.5425382 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430098E-4 | 1.9429914E-4 | 1.054249 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0002266E-7 | 1.0300019E-5 | 34.330807 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858108E-6 | 1.1285798E-5 | 8.7771845 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5654641E-5 | 2.5654484E-5 | 1.6387782 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5653613E-4 | 1.6653458E-4 | 1.063873 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0217729E-7 | 1.0202175E-5 | 50.46153 | 1.0E-5 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.6647384E-7 | 1.0866465E-5 | 12.541019 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0549273E-5 | 2.0549167E-5 | 1.9479227 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0548818E-4 | 1.1548713E-4 | 1.0947874 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0636901E-7 | 1.0636901E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.558671E-7 | 4.558671E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.55017E-6 | 5.55017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5500514E-5 | 5.5500514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103707E-5 | 9.810226E-5 | 5.4189043 | 8.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758512E-5 | 1.8757659E-4 | 2.4176877 | 1.1E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442103E-4 | 0.0011440214 | 1.2116172 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404104 | 0.009711189 | 1.0326543 | 3.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103707E-5 | 9.810226E-5 | 5.4189043 | 8.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758512E-5 | 1.8757659E-4 | 2.4176877 | 1.1E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442103E-4 | 0.0011440214 | 1.2116172 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404104 | 0.009711189 | 1.0326543 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103707E-5 | 9.810226E-5 | 5.4189043 | 8.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758512E-5 | 1.8757659E-4 | 2.4176877 | 1.1E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442103E-4 | 0.0011440214 | 1.2116172 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404104 | 0.009711189 | 1.0326543 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135411E-5 | 6.113485E-5 | 5.49013 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7722333E-5 | 1.0771947E-4 | 2.2572129 | 6.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.8086734E-4 | 7.007976E-4 | 1.2064676 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937866 | 0.005962802 | 1.0291718 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135411E-5 | 6.113485E-5 | 5.49013 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7722333E-5 | 1.0771947E-4 | 2.2572129 | 6.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.8086734E-4 | 7.007976E-4 | 1.2064676 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937866 | 0.005962802 | 1.0291718 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.170186E-6 | 5.9169728E-5 | 6.452402 | 5.0E-5 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9300216E-5 | 9.929786E-5 | 2.5266492 | 6.0E-5 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.783766E-4 | 5.88324E-4 | 1.2298343 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004773633 | 0.004932869 | 1.0333575 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715528E-6 | 5.7715144E-5 | 7.4803877 | 5.0E-5 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.3066135E-5 | 9.3064154E-5 | 2.8144853 | 6.0E-5 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.0250685E-4 | 5.124626E-4 | 1.2731773 | 1.1E-4 | 0.003852198 | 0.0040178853 | 0.0041772425 | 1.039662 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.7380233E-6 | 5.6737685E-5 | 8.420524 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8876928E-5 | 8.88752E-5 | 3.0777235 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5152066E-4 | 4.514855E-4 | 1.2843783 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033650869 | 0.003509728 | 0.0036592016 | 1.0425884 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.836003E-6 | 5.583571E-5 | 9.567458 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5011204E-5 | 8.5009706E-5 | 3.398865 | 6.0E-5 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.0446946E-4 | 3.844451E-4 | 1.2626722 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.0030405847 | 0.0031602199 | 1.0393461 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.039504E-6 | 5.503925E-5 | 10.921562 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1597696E-5 | 8.15964E-5 | 3.778014 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.629207E-4 | 3.4289967E-4 | 1.3041942 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026261439 | 0.0027458288 | 1.0455744 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.845204E-6 | 4.384505E-5 | 11.40253 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6479342E-5 | 6.647852E-5 | 4.0340514 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0061784E-4 | 2.7060378E-4 | 1.3488522 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0020043987 | 0.0021041983 | 1.0497903 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8978507E-6 | 2.2897793E-5 | 7.9016466 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419302E-5 | 4.241893E-5 | 3.4155645 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5119473E-4 | 1.8119019E-4 | 1.1983896 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015109401 | 0.0015708494 | 1.0396503 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2540103E-6 | 2.2253966E-5 | 9.873054 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.66001E-6 | 3.965972E-5 | 4.105557 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1760445E-4 | 1.4760092E-4 | 1.2550623 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754404 | 0.0012253816 | 1.0424873 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422086E-6 | 1.15421935E-5 | 7.484197 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6094494E-6 | 1.6609383E-5 | 2.5129755 | 1.0E-5 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.046723E-5 | 9.046642E-5 | 1.1242642 | 1.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.04396E-4 | 8.243799E-4 | 1.0248433 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4108717E-7 | 4.4108717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8903725E-6 | 1.8903725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3015087E-5 | 2.3015087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3013157E-4 | 2.3013157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9415576E-8 | 5.9415576E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5463817E-7 | 2.5463817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1002162E-6 | 3.1002162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1001808E-5 | 3.1001808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8776773E-5 | 5.8776022E-5 | 3.1302516 | 4.0E-5 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.047006E-5 | 1.5046443E-4 | 1.8698188 | 7.0E-5 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.794E-4 | 0.0011292531 | 1.153005 | 1.5E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009762382 | 0.010029746 | 1.0273871 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973554E-5 | 2.0973444E-5 | 1.9112718 | 1.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702907E-5 | 6.702813E-5 | 1.4252489 | 2.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.724994E-4 | 6.224708E-4 | 1.0872864 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717204 | 0.005846461 | 1.0226084 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973554E-5 | 2.0973444E-5 | 1.9112718 | 1.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702907E-5 | 6.702813E-5 | 1.4252489 | 2.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.724994E-4 | 6.224708E-4 | 1.0872864 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717204 | 0.005846461 | 1.0226084 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778015E-6 | 4.778015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477177E-5 | 2.0477177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930414E-4 | 2.5930163E-4 | 1.0401016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925028 | 0.0025523533 | 1.0240122 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778015E-6 | 4.778015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477177E-5 | 2.0477177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930414E-4 | 2.5930163E-4 | 1.0401016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925028 | 0.0025523533 | 1.0240122 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778015E-6 | 4.778015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477177E-5 | 2.0477177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930414E-4 | 2.5930163E-4 | 1.0401016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925028 | 0.0025523533 | 1.0240122 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.7608837E-6 | 4.7608837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0403757E-5 | 2.0403757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4841045E-4 | 2.5840796E-4 | 1.040246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.002483586 | 0.002543437 | 1.0240986 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.2710476E-6 | 4.2710476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.830449E-5 | 1.830449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2285717E-4 | 2.3285495E-4 | 1.0448618 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022285716 | 0.002288438 | 1.0268631 | 6.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0004286E-4 | 4.0001285E-4 | 1.3331857 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012852903 | 0.0014450847 | 1.1243255 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541089 | 0.015728137 | 1.0120356 | 1.9E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.1429477 | 0.14317054 | 1.0015589 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0004286E-4 | 4.0001285E-4 | 1.3331857 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012852903 | 0.0014450847 | 1.1243255 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541089 | 0.015728137 | 1.0120356 | 1.9E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.1429477 | 0.14317054 | 1.0015589 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0004286E-4 | 4.0001285E-4 | 1.3331857 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012852903 | 0.0014450847 | 1.1243255 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541089 | 0.015728137 | 1.0120356 | 1.9E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.1429477 | 0.14317054 | 1.0015589 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8792562E-4 | 3.8789684E-4 | 1.347212 | 1.0E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.001233409 | 0.0013932118 | 1.1295618 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918202 | 0.015105367 | 1.0125461 | 1.9E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765801 | 0.13786498 | 1.0015035 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8792562E-4 | 3.8789684E-4 | 1.347212 | 1.0E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.001233409 | 0.0013932118 | 1.1295618 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918202 | 0.015105367 | 1.0125461 | 1.9E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765801 | 0.13786498 | 1.0015035 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6805513E-4 | 3.6802833E-4 | 1.3729576 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011483267 | 0.0012981544 | 1.1304748 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.01389587 | 0.014073369 | 1.0127735 | 1.8E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.12889914 | 0.12909949 | 1.0015544 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.505039E-4 | 3.4048135E-4 | 1.3591858 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.00107317 | 0.0012130197 | 1.1303146 | 1.4E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.012991933 | 0.013149855 | 1.0121553 | 1.6E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.12107798 | 0.12126256 | 1.0015244 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3121275E-4 | 3.2119194E-4 | 1.389162 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.905577E-4 | 0.0011304191 | 1.1411945 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.011997437 | 0.012155518 | 1.0131762 | 1.6E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.11237316 | 0.11255956 | 1.0016588 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2681156E-4 | 3.1679115E-4 | 1.3967152 | 9.0E-5 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7170967E-4 | 0.0011115737 | 1.1439359 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.011770456 | 0.011928573 | 1.0134333 | 1.6E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.110378765 | 0.11056559 | 1.0016925 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7065984E-4 | 2.6064448E-4 | 1.5272748 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.3119515E-4 | 8.710928E-4 | 1.1913273 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.00886617 | 0.009024752 | 1.0178862 | 1.6E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.08420276 | 0.08439508 | 1.0022839 | 2.1E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6495038E-4 | 2.5493553E-4 | 1.5455287 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.067395E-4 | 8.4664056E-4 | 1.1979527 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.0085708015 | 0.00872943 | 1.0185081 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.08151641 | 0.08170929 | 1.0023662 | 2.1E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.591358E-4 | 2.4912148E-4 | 1.5654647 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.818331E-4 | 8.2173763E-4 | 1.2051889 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008269901 | 0.008428578 | 1.0191872 | 1.6E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.07881104 | 0.07900449 | 1.0024546 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4520068E-4 | 2.351876E-4 | 1.6197418 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.221406E-4 | 7.620535E-4 | 1.2248895 | 1.4E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075483583 | 0.00770715 | 1.0210366 | 1.6E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.07226014 | 0.07245497 | 1.0026962 | 2.1E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3714298E-4 | 2.1713202E-4 | 1.5832528 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.8762357E-4 | 7.175472E-4 | 1.2211001 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071309344 | 0.0072798645 | 1.0208851 | 1.5E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.068538874 | 0.06872516 | 1.0027181 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.312221E-4 | 2.1121159E-4 | 1.6095735 | 8.0E-5 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.622595E-4 | 6.921864E-4 | 1.2310799 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.006824102 | 0.006973078 | 1.0218309 | 1.5E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.065788716 | 0.065975554 | 1.00284 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2357533E-4 | 2.0356545E-4 | 1.6472983 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.2950135E-4 | 6.5943255E-4 | 1.245384 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.006427695 | 0.0065667955 | 1.0216408 | 1.4E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.06218917 | 0.062367354 | 1.0028652 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.835737E-5 | 1.6835048E-4 | 1.7116205 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.214636E-4 | 5.41413E-4 | 1.284602 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005119272 | 0.0052486067 | 1.0252643 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.05002095 | 0.050191946 | 1.0034184 | 1.8E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.248871E-5 | 1.5248294E-4 | 1.848531 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.534752E-4 | 4.7343277E-4 | 1.3393663 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004295077 | 0.004424519 | 1.0301372 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.042271324 | 0.042443715 | 1.0040781 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.463234E-5 | 1.4462712E-4 | 1.9378612 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.198137E-4 | 4.3977532E-4 | 1.3750985 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0038867863 | 0.004016281 | 1.0333166 | 1.3E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.03843662 | 0.038609702 | 1.004503 | 1.8E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.787948E-5 | 1.1787601E-4 | 2.0365767 | 6.0E-5 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4803134E-4 | 3.38009E-4 | 1.3627673 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.003015603 | 0.0031153015 | 1.0330609 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030151661 | 0.030297138 | 1.0048249 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1318876E-5 | 6.1317936E-5 | 1.9578588 | 3.0E-5 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3421685E-4 | 1.7421148E-4 | 1.2979852 | 4.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016328663 | 0.0016827846 | 1.030571 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01652268 | 0.016571853 | 1.0029762 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.8215E-6 | 7.8215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.3520282E-5 | 3.3520282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.0803317E-4 | 4.0803317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.0043841708 | 0.0043841708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.906094E-6 | 2.906094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.245463E-5 | 1.245463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5162461E-4 | 1.5162461E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017047176 | 0.0017047176 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2074206E-7 | 3.2074206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3746081E-6 | 1.3746081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.6735738E-5 | 1.6735738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.986336E-4 | 1.986336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867021E-5 | 9.8668716E-5 | 5.284821 | 8.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0012775E-5 | 1.9000398E-4 | 2.3746705 | 1.1E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737278E-4 | 0.0011535526 | 1.1846766 | 1.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695467 | 0.009943043 | 1.0255352 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867021E-5 | 9.8668716E-5 | 5.284821 | 8.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0012775E-5 | 1.9000398E-4 | 2.3746705 | 1.1E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737278E-4 | 0.0011535526 | 1.1846766 | 1.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695467 | 0.009943043 | 1.0255352 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867021E-5 | 9.8668716E-5 | 5.284821 | 8.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0012775E-5 | 1.9000398E-4 | 2.3746705 | 1.1E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737278E-4 | 0.0011535526 | 1.1846766 | 1.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695467 | 0.009943043 | 1.0255352 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867021E-5 | 9.8668716E-5 | 5.284821 | 8.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0012775E-5 | 1.9000398E-4 | 2.3746705 | 1.1E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737278E-4 | 0.0011535526 | 1.1846766 | 1.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695467 | 0.009943043 | 1.0255352 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.733816E-5 | 5.7337464E-5 | 3.30701 | 4.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.430431E-5 | 1.442991E-4 | 1.9420018 | 7.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0428564E-4 | 0.0010241772 | 1.1325815 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006744 | 0.009175213 | 1.0187048 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.733816E-5 | 5.7337464E-5 | 3.30701 | 4.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.430431E-5 | 1.442991E-4 | 1.9420018 | 7.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0428564E-4 | 0.0010241772 | 1.1325815 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006744 | 0.009175213 | 1.0187048 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6809092E-5 | 5.6808418E-5 | 3.3796246 | 4.0E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.203701E-5 | 1.4203196E-4 | 1.9716527 | 7.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.767036E-4 | 9.965984E-4 | 1.1367564 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00781795 | 0.008733105 | 0.00890162 | 1.0192962 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6355965E-5 | 5.635531E-5 | 3.445551 | 4.0E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.009514E-5 | 1.4009024E-4 | 1.9985727 | 7.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5307995E-4 | 9.6298615E-4 | 1.1288345 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007607299 | 0.008498689 | 0.008657329 | 1.0186664 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5881998E-5 | 4.588152E-5 | 2.8889012 | 3.0E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.806396E-5 | 1.2805988E-4 | 1.8814638 | 6.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.283693E-4 | 9.282864E-4 | 1.120619 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007386771 | 0.00825343 | 0.008392275 | 1.0168227 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5404545E-5 | 4.5404082E-5 | 2.9474473 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6017834E-5 | 1.2601388E-4 | 1.9087853 | 6.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.034762E-4 | 9.033959E-4 | 1.1243593 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008006307 | 0.008145187 | 1.0173463 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5188108E-5 | 4.518765E-5 | 2.9751997 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.5090295E-5 | 1.1508704E-4 | 1.7681136 | 5.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.9219165E-4 | 8.821204E-4 | 1.1135188 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.007894269 | 0.0080232425 | 1.0163376 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4981292E-5 | 3.4980992E-5 | 2.3349783 | 2.0E-5 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.420399E-5 | 1.0420142E-4 | 1.6229743 | 4.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.814087E-4 | 8.6134614E-4 | 1.1022992 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.0077871997 | 0.007906265 | 1.0152899 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4679515E-5 | 2.4679368E-5 | 1.6812115 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.2910716E-5 | 9.290883E-5 | 1.4768363 | 3.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.656743E-4 | 8.256283E-4 | 1.0783023 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.007630946 | 0.0077301827 | 1.0130045 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4453743E-5 | 2.4453597E-5 | 1.6918523 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.194317E-5 | 9.1941314E-5 | 1.4842849 | 3.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.5390254E-4 | 8.0386485E-4 | 1.0662715 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.007514031 | 0.0076033548 | 1.0118876 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4283726E-5 | 1.4283726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.121456E-5 | 8.121334E-5 | 1.3266996 | 2.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4503786E-4 | 7.750155E-4 | 1.0402364 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.00742598 | 0.00749546 | 1.0093564 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.401197E-5 | 1.401197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.004995E-5 | 8.004875E-5 | 1.3330361 | 2.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.308683E-4 | 7.608464E-4 | 1.041017 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.007285223 | 0.0073547126 | 1.0095385 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2648108E-5 | 1.2648108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4205084E-5 | 7.4204E-5 | 1.368949 | 2.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.5975235E-4 | 6.8973255E-4 | 1.0454416 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.006578489 | 0.006638095 | 1.0090606 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02833255E-5 | 1.02833255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407068E-5 | 6.40698E-5 | 1.4537965 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.364335E-4 | 5.6641735E-4 | 1.055895 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351897 | 0.0054016295 | 1.0092925 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170669E-5 | 5.1706036E-5 | 2.3820324 | 3.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302576E-5 | 1.4302111E-4 | 1.5374355 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320722 | 0.001201993 | 1.0617635 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.01127023 | 0.011428426 | 1.0140367 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170669E-5 | 5.1706036E-5 | 2.3820324 | 3.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302576E-5 | 1.4302111E-4 | 1.5374355 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320722 | 0.001201993 | 1.0617635 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.01127023 | 0.011428426 | 1.0140367 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170669E-5 | 5.1706036E-5 | 2.3820324 | 3.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302576E-5 | 1.4302111E-4 | 1.5374355 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320722 | 0.001201993 | 1.0617635 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.01127023 | 0.011428426 | 1.0140367 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6820626E-5 | 3.682029E-5 | 2.1889963 | 2.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086754E-5 | 9.2085305E-5 | 1.2774235 | 2.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.77364E-4 | 9.173289E-4 | 1.0455511 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745047 | 0.008854085 | 1.0124686 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6820626E-5 | 3.682029E-5 | 2.1889963 | 2.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086754E-5 | 9.2085305E-5 | 1.2774235 | 2.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.77364E-4 | 9.173289E-4 | 1.0455511 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745047 | 0.008854085 | 1.0124686 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5557947E-5 | 3.5557634E-5 | 2.2854967 | 2.0E-5 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.667555E-5 | 8.667422E-5 | 1.29994 | 2.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.115328E-4 | 8.515003E-4 | 1.0492494 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008091635 | 0.0081908265 | 1.0122584 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4771539E-5 | 2.4771392E-5 | 1.6769675 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.33054E-5 | 7.3304764E-5 | 1.1579545 | 1.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7053066E-4 | 8.0050755E-4 | 1.0389042 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076844944 | 0.007773803 | 1.011622 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4281708E-5 | 2.4281566E-5 | 1.7001864 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.120622E-5 | 7.120561E-5 | 1.163372 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.449907E-4 | 7.7496836E-4 | 1.040239 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074308095 | 0.007520141 | 1.0120218 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2244026E-6 | 1.622434E-5 | 2.60657 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6675907E-5 | 3.667564E-5 | 1.3748602 | 1.0E-5 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2476074E-4 | 3.4475425E-4 | 1.0615638 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032458024 | 0.003275705 | 1.0092127 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7930434E-6 | 1.4792996E-5 | 3.086347 | 1.0E-5 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0541615E-5 | 3.054141E-5 | 1.4868066 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5009416E-4 | 2.7008916E-4 | 1.0799499 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025009417 | 0.0025208916 | 1.007977 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.007218E-4 | 2.2071777E-4 | 1.0996203 | 2.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.599537E-4 | 8.999193E-4 | 1.0464741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010419957 | 0.01050902 | 1.0085473 | 9.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10145083 | 0.10156764 | 1.0011514 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.007218E-4 | 2.2071777E-4 | 1.0996203 | 2.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.599537E-4 | 8.999193E-4 | 1.0464741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010419957 | 0.01050902 | 1.0085473 | 9.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10145083 | 0.10156764 | 1.0011514 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.007218E-4 | 2.2071777E-4 | 1.0996203 | 2.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.599537E-4 | 8.999193E-4 | 1.0464741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010419957 | 0.01050902 | 1.0085473 | 9.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10145083 | 0.10156764 | 1.0011514 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.007218E-4 | 2.2071777E-4 | 1.0996203 | 2.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.599537E-4 | 8.999193E-4 | 1.0464741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010419957 | 0.01050902 | 1.0085473 | 9.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10145083 | 0.10156764 | 1.0011514 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8429171E-4 | 1.9428987E-4 | 1.0542518 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.895828E-4 | 8.195591E-4 | 1.0379647 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009570916 | 0.009640246 | 1.0072439 | 7.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378183 | 0.09387245 | 1.0009663 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8429171E-4 | 1.9428987E-4 | 1.0542518 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.895828E-4 | 8.195591E-4 | 1.0379647 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009570916 | 0.009640246 | 1.0072439 | 7.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378183 | 0.09387245 | 1.0009663 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8236267E-4 | 1.9236084E-4 | 1.0548258 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.813204E-4 | 8.112969E-4 | 1.0383666 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009471198 | 0.009540535 | 1.0073209 | 7.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.09287209 | 0.0929628 | 1.0009768 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8150604E-4 | 1.9150422E-4 | 1.0550846 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.776513E-4 | 8.0762804E-4 | 1.0385478 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00467679 | 0.009426914 | 0.009496254 | 1.0073556 | 7.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.09246637 | 0.092557125 | 1.0009815 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.809739E-4 | 1.9097209E-4 | 1.0552466 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.753721E-4 | 8.0534886E-4 | 1.0386611 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004657841 | 0.009399404 | 0.009468745 | 1.0073773 | 7.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.09221355 | 0.09230433 | 1.0009844 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.7979364E-4 | 1.8979184E-4 | 1.0556093 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.703168E-4 | 8.002937E-4 | 1.038915 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004611638 | 0.0093383845 | 0.009407731 | 1.0074259 | 7.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.09165367 | 0.091744505 | 1.0009911 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7818164E-4 | 1.8817987E-4 | 1.0561125 | 1.0E-5 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.6341233E-4 | 7.9338945E-4 | 1.0392673 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004551957 | 0.0092550395 | 0.009324391 | 1.0074935 | 7.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.09088798 | 0.09097889 | 1.0010003 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7730116E-4 | 1.8729939E-4 | 1.0563912 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.5964106E-4 | 7.8961824E-4 | 1.0394623 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009209513 | 0.009278868 | 1.0075308 | 7.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09046952 | 0.090560466 | 1.0010053 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7620731E-4 | 1.8620554E-4 | 1.0567414 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.549558E-4 | 7.8493316E-4 | 1.0397074 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009152951 | 0.00922231 | 1.0075778 | 7.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.08995003 | 0.09004104 | 1.0010117 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7562733E-4 | 1.8562557E-4 | 1.0569288 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.524716E-4 | 7.8244903E-4 | 1.0398387 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009122959 | 0.009192321 | 1.0076029 | 7.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.08967111 | 0.089762144 | 1.0010152 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.752532E-4 | 1.8525144E-4 | 1.0570503 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.508691E-4 | 7.808466E-4 | 1.0399237 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004447999 | 0.009103612 | 0.009172975 | 1.0076193 | 7.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.0894914 | 0.08958244 | 1.0010175 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7394664E-4 | 1.839449E-4 | 1.0574789 | 1.0E-5 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.452728E-4 | 7.7525043E-4 | 1.0402237 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009036045 | 0.009105411 | 1.0076767 | 7.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.088867545 | 0.08895866 | 1.0010253 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6840106E-4 | 1.7839938E-4 | 1.0593721 | 1.0E-5 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.215194E-4 | 7.5149775E-4 | 1.041549 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008749205 | 0.008818592 | 1.0079308 | 7.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.086243145 | 0.08633452 | 1.0010595 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4204094E-4 | 1.5203952E-4 | 1.0703923 | 1.0E-5 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.0860487E-4 | 6.2859274E-4 | 1.032842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0073846295 | 0.00743426 | 1.0067208 | 5.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.07351696 | 0.07358181 | 1.0008821 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.2968556E-4 | 1.2968556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.556769E-4 | 5.6567136E-4 | 1.017986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067444094 | 0.006774207 | 1.0044181 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.067252055 | 0.06729869 | 1.0006934 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.3407485E-5 | 9.3407485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.002564E-4 | 4.102524E-4 | 1.024974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025743195 | 0.004862242 | 0.0048721936 | 1.0020467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.048912104 | 0.048931126 | 1.0003889 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2222407E-5 | 5.2222407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2379112E-4 | 2.3378889E-4 | 1.0446745 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027212542 | 0.002731227 | 1.0036647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.027920531 | 0.027930252 | 1.0003482 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9169016E-5 | 1.9169016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.215035E-5 | 8.215035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 9.997222E-4 | 9.997222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009919235 | 0.010748157 | 0.010748157 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 4.6066365E-5 | 7.5934305 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999527E-5 | 1.05997446E-4 | 4.076899 | 8.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650488E-4 | 4.1647322E-4 | 1.3158509 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161193 | 0.0032808136 | 1.0378404 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 4.6066365E-5 | 7.5934305 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999527E-5 | 1.05997446E-4 | 4.076899 | 8.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650488E-4 | 4.1647322E-4 | 1.3158509 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161193 | 0.0032808136 | 1.0378404 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 4.6066365E-5 | 7.5934305 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999527E-5 | 1.05997446E-4 | 4.076899 | 8.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650488E-4 | 4.1647322E-4 | 1.3158509 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161193 | 0.0032808136 | 1.0378404 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 4.6066365E-5 | 7.5934305 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999527E-5 | 1.05997446E-4 | 4.076899 | 8.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650488E-4 | 4.1647322E-4 | 1.3158509 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161193 | 0.0032808136 | 1.0378404 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5571218E-6 | 1.3557086E-5 | 3.8112516 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5244725E-5 | 5.5244116E-5 | 3.6238184 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8558982E-4 | 2.3558053E-4 | 1.2693614 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018544566 | 0.0019143453 | 1.0322945 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.499056E-6 | 1.3499021E-5 | 3.8579037 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.4995874E-5 | 5.4995275E-5 | 3.6673603 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8256057E-4 | 2.3255144E-4 | 1.2738317 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018242141 | 0.0018841047 | 1.0328308 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3325706E-6 | 1.2332547E-5 | 5.2871056 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.996696E-6 | 2.9996496E-5 | 3.000641 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.217034E-4 | 1.5169974E-4 | 1.2464709 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024200242 | 0.00121641 | 0.0012563613 | 1.0328437 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6482956E-6 | 1.1648279E-5 | 7.066863 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.064106E-6 | 2.7063965E-5 | 3.8311946 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.6002285E-5 | 1.0600057E-4 | 1.232532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002060454 | 8.597085E-4 | 8.8968273E-4 | 1.0348655 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2244749E-6 | 1.2244749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.2477394E-6 | 1.5247687E-5 | 2.9055724 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.388945E-5 | 7.3888805E-5 | 1.1565104 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017921652 | 6.387199E-4 | 6.587071E-4 | 1.0312927 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0033302E-6 | 1.0033302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.29998E-6 | 1.4299937E-5 | 3.3255823 | 1.0E-5 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.235108E-5 | 6.2350555E-5 | 1.1910081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016353652 | 5.233951E-4 | 5.4338464E-4 | 1.038192 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.428222E-7 | 7.428222E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.18352E-6 | 1.3183488E-5 | 4.141167 | 1.0E-5 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8758717E-5 | 4.875833E-5 | 1.2579964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8752457E-4 | 3.975207E-4 | 1.0257949 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4223744E-7 | 5.4223744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.323873E-6 | 1.232385E-5 | 5.303151 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8292827E-5 | 3.8292546E-5 | 1.3534365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001256249 | 2.828963E-4 | 2.9289347E-4 | 1.0353386 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.07402464E-7 | 1.07402464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.602962E-7 | 4.602962E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.604093E-6 | 5.604093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6039633E-5 | 5.6039633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0002754E-8 | 5.0002754E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.142975E-7 | 2.142975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6090695E-6 | 2.6090695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6090434E-5 | 2.6090434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858672E-5 | 9.185714E-5 | 4.2023206 | 7.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.367717E-5 | 1.6367061E-4 | 1.7471771 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400137 | 0.0012398997 | 1.0876182 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350671 | 0.011459422 | 1.0095811 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858672E-5 | 9.185714E-5 | 4.2023206 | 7.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.367717E-5 | 1.6367061E-4 | 1.7471771 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400137 | 0.0012398997 | 1.0876182 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350671 | 0.011459422 | 1.0095811 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858672E-5 | 9.185714E-5 | 4.2023206 | 7.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.367717E-5 | 1.6367061E-4 | 1.7471771 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400137 | 0.0012398997 | 1.0876182 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350671 | 0.011459422 | 1.0095811 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176552E-5 | 7.217582E-5 | 5.927443 | 6.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184358E-5 | 1.1218123E-4 | 2.1497097 | 6.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3519087E-4 | 7.151401E-4 | 1.1258664 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368594 | 0.0064163525 | 1.0125445 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176552E-5 | 7.217582E-5 | 5.927443 | 6.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184358E-5 | 1.1218123E-4 | 2.1497097 | 6.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3519087E-4 | 7.151401E-4 | 1.1258664 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368594 | 0.0064163525 | 1.0125445 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672004E-6 | 6.66716E-5 | 9.992741 | 6.0E-5 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.859406E-5 | 8.8592344E-5 | 3.0982778 | 6.0E-5 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4808964E-4 | 4.0806874E-4 | 1.1723094 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.003476678 | 0.0035364693 | 1.0171978 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3656425E-6 | 6.636526E-5 | 10.42554 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.728111E-5 | 8.727947E-5 | 3.199264 | 6.0E-5 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3210934E-4 | 3.9208942E-4 | 1.1806034 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033173522 | 0.0033771533 | 1.0180267 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3405547E-6 | 6.534023E-5 | 12.234728 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2887958E-5 | 8.288658E-5 | 3.6214058 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7863705E-4 | 3.386203E-4 | 1.2152739 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027840321 | 0.0028438652 | 1.0214915 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9399033E-6 | 2.1939864E-5 | 11.3097725 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.313854E-6 | 2.8313687E-5 | 3.4056034 | 2.0E-5 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01218044E-4 | 1.2121602E-4 | 1.1975732 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010118741 | 0.0010318538 | 1.0197453 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.29707E-7 | 2.082969E-5 | 25.104874 | 2.0E-5 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5558842E-6 | 2.3555813E-5 | 6.62446 | 2.0E-5 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3292366E-5 | 6.32915E-5 | 1.4619552 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3287227E-4 | 4.528636E-4 | 1.046183 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.541796E-7 | 2.0754165E-5 | 27.518862 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2321961E-6 | 2.323213E-5 | 7.187723 | 2.0E-5 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.935161E-5 | 5.9350823E-5 | 1.5082184 | 2.0E-5 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9347887E-4 | 4.1347102E-4 | 1.0508087 | 2.0E-5 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.070417E-5 | 1.0070163E-4 | 1.9860622 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728777E-4 | 2.6727692E-4 | 1.2300596 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026426686 | 0.0027124835 | 1.0264183 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02615272 | 0.026259843 | 1.004096 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.070417E-5 | 1.0070163E-4 | 1.9860622 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728777E-4 | 2.6727692E-4 | 1.2300596 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026426686 | 0.0027124835 | 1.0264183 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02615272 | 0.026259843 | 1.004096 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.070417E-5 | 1.0070163E-4 | 1.9860622 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728777E-4 | 2.6727692E-4 | 1.2300596 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026426686 | 0.0027124835 | 1.0264183 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02615272 | 0.026259843 | 1.004096 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090901E-5 | 7.00897E-5 | 2.3292656 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2895482E-4 | 1.6894966E-4 | 1.3101462 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689277 | 0.001608865 | 1.0254551 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582195 | 0.015651103 | 1.0044223 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090901E-5 | 7.00897E-5 | 2.3292656 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2895482E-4 | 1.6894966E-4 | 1.3101462 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689277 | 0.001608865 | 1.0254551 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582195 | 0.015651103 | 1.0044223 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.531601E-5 | 6.5315E-5 | 2.5799878 | 4.0E-5 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0849277E-4 | 1.4848844E-4 | 1.3686482 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013201162 | 0.0013600634 | 1.0302603 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010529719 | 0.013124678 | 0.013193759 | 1.0052634 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.529696E-5 | 6.529595E-5 | 2.5811777 | 4.0E-5 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.08411135E-4 | 1.484068E-4 | 1.3689258 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013191235 | 0.0013590708 | 1.0302832 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010520565 | 0.013114868 | 0.0131839495 | 1.0052675 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2540898E-5 | 6.254E-5 | 2.774512 | 4.0E-5 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.660036E-5 | 1.365965E-4 | 1.4140371 | 4.0E-5 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011754894 | 0.0012154423 | 1.0339884 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.011694328 | 0.011763509 | 1.0059158 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1842547E-5 | 5.184189E-5 | 2.3734362 | 3.0E-5 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.360763E-5 | 1.2360483E-4 | 1.3204567 | 3.0E-5 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011390916 | 0.0011690573 | 1.0263067 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.011334113 | 0.0113934325 | 1.0052338 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9026254E-5 | 4.9025683E-5 | 2.5767386 | 3.0E-5 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.1538616E-5 | 1.1153617E-4 | 1.3678938 | 3.0E-5 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.922937E-4 | 0.0010222639 | 1.030203 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880027 | 0.009939434 | 1.0060129 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8031062E-5 | 4.803052E-5 | 2.6637654 | 3.0E-5 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.727376E-5 | 1.07271444E-4 | 1.3882 | 3.0E-5 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.40415E-4 | 9.703868E-4 | 1.0318708 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009365721 | 0.009425159 | 1.0063463 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6201364E-5 | 2.6201202E-5 | 1.617222 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.943264E-5 | 7.943194E-5 | 1.1440145 | 1.0E-5 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.450271E-4 | 8.550186E-4 | 1.0118239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419436 | 0.0084591 | 1.0047109 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867016E-5 | 2.3866876E-5 | 1.7211257 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9428774E-5 | 6.942818E-5 | 1.1682587 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.2331604E-4 | 7.333088E-4 | 1.0138152 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.0072107255 | 0.007250437 | 1.0055073 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2176565E-5 | 2.2176442E-5 | 1.8212397 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2184296E-5 | 6.2183775E-5 | 1.1916186 | 1.0E-5 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.351693E-4 | 6.4516295E-4 | 1.0157338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0063346145 | 0.0063544875 | 1.0031372 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.79233E-6 | 9.79233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1966505E-5 | 4.1966505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108319E-4 | 5.108319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0050975177 | 0.005107467 | 1.0019517 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.772962E-6 | 5.772962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4741075E-5 | 2.4741075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0118861E-4 | 3.0118861E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030085566 | 0.0030185266 | 1.0033139 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.632187E-4 | 1.0822089 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.0010819302 | 1.0383488 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012691691 | 1.0062628 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.12071467 | 1.0008019 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.632187E-4 | 1.0822089 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.0010819302 | 1.0383488 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012691691 | 1.0062628 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.12071467 | 1.0008019 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.632187E-4 | 1.0822089 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.0010819302 | 1.0383488 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012691691 | 1.0062628 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.12071467 | 1.0008019 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.632187E-4 | 1.0822089 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.0010819302 | 1.0383488 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012691691 | 1.0062628 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.12071467 | 1.0008019 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.632187E-4 | 1.0822089 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.0010819302 | 1.0383488 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012691691 | 1.0062628 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.12071467 | 1.0008019 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3642433E-4 | 2.564196E-4 | 1.0845736 | 2.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010128552 | 0.0010528147 | 1.0394523 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012262235 | 0.012341254 | 1.0064441 | 8.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11758334 | 0.11768041 | 1.0008255 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3642433E-4 | 2.564196E-4 | 1.0845736 | 2.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010128552 | 0.0010528147 | 1.0394523 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012262235 | 0.012341254 | 1.0064441 | 8.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11758334 | 0.11768041 | 1.0008255 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3333685E-4 | 2.5333217E-4 | 1.085693 | 2.0E-5 | 4.777557E-4 | 9.996332E-4 | 0.0010395932 | 1.0399747 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012103056 | 0.012182087 | 1.0065299 | 8.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11620166 | 0.11629888 | 1.0008366 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3235848E-4 | 2.523538E-4 | 1.0860538 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.954434E-4 | 0.0010354037 | 1.0401431 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005777263 | 0.01205261 | 0.012131646 | 1.0065576 | 8.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.11576148 | 0.11585875 | 1.0008402 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.312823E-4 | 2.5127767E-4 | 1.0864544 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.908348E-4 | 0.0010307952 | 1.04033 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0057511497 | 0.011997119 | 0.012076159 | 1.0065882 | 8.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.115277916 | 0.115375236 | 1.0008442 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3029075E-4 | 2.4028844E-4 | 1.0434134 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.865885E-4 | 0.001016559 | 1.0303779 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011945989 | 0.012015153 | 1.0057898 | 7.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.11483013 | 0.11491865 | 1.0007708 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1538913E-4 | 2.2538698E-4 | 1.0464176 | 1.0E-5 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.227707E-4 | 9.5274305E-4 | 1.0324808 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011177175 | 0.0112463925 | 1.0061928 | 7.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.108091824 | 0.108181015 | 1.0008252 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.0946808E-4 | 2.1946599E-4 | 1.04773 | 1.0E-5 | 4.296783E-4 | 8.974125E-4 | 9.273856E-4 | 1.0333995 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010871558 | 0.010940798 | 1.0063689 | 7.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.10539154 | 0.105481 | 1.0008489 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.042204E-4 | 2.1421837E-4 | 1.0489568 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.749377E-4 | 9.049115E-4 | 1.0342581 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005109493 | 0.010600623 | 0.010669881 | 1.0065334 | 7.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.10297247 | 0.103062175 | 1.0008712 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9791478E-4 | 2.079128E-4 | 1.0505168 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.4793137E-4 | 8.779059E-4 | 1.0353502 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010274961 | 0.010344242 | 1.0067427 | 7.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.100064956 | 0.10015495 | 1.0008993 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6112256E-4 | 1.7112095E-4 | 1.0620545 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.903427E-4 | 7.2032196E-4 | 1.0434266 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008372612 | 0.008442027 | 1.0082906 | 7.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.08281128 | 0.082903 | 1.0011076 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5765514E-4 | 1.6765358E-4 | 1.0634196 | 1.0E-5 | 3.384E-4 | 6.754901E-4 | 7.0546987E-4 | 1.0443822 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008193157 | 0.008262583 | 1.0084738 | 7.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.0811521 | 0.081243984 | 1.0011322 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3275658E-4 | 1.4275526E-4 | 1.0753158 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.688328E-4 | 5.888214E-4 | 1.0351397 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003493839 | 0.00690358 | 0.006953235 | 1.0071926 | 5.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.06904754 | 0.0691127 | 1.0009438 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2197082E-4 | 1.2197082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.226274E-4 | 5.3262216E-4 | 1.019124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0063444492 | 0.006374259 | 1.0046985 | 3.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06351423 | 0.06356106 | 1.0007372 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.879351E-5 | 8.879351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8048814E-4 | 3.9048432E-4 | 1.026272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004622611 | 0.0046325647 | 1.0021533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.046625797 | 0.046644863 | 1.0004089 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2132433E-5 | 5.2132433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2340559E-4 | 2.3340335E-4 | 1.0447516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002716572 | 0.0027265449 | 1.0036712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.027879264 | 0.027888985 | 1.0003487 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9180918E-5 | 1.9180918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.220134E-5 | 8.220134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010003424 | 0.0010003424 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009955673 | 0.010756371 | 0.010756371 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3378068E-4 | 2.8376898E-4 | 1.2138257 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010015318 | 0.0010614718 | 1.0598482 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121253645 | 0.012214273 | 1.0073324 | 9.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11255738 | 0.112655 | 1.0008672 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3378068E-4 | 2.8376898E-4 | 1.2138257 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010015318 | 0.0010614718 | 1.0598482 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121253645 | 0.012214273 | 1.0073324 | 9.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11255738 | 0.112655 | 1.0008672 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3378068E-4 | 2.8376898E-4 | 1.2138257 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010015318 | 0.0010614718 | 1.0598482 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121253645 | 0.012214273 | 1.0073324 | 9.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11255738 | 0.112655 | 1.0008672 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3378068E-4 | 2.8376898E-4 | 1.2138257 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010015318 | 0.0010614718 | 1.0598482 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121253645 | 0.012214273 | 1.0073324 | 9.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11255738 | 0.112655 | 1.0008672 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2935575E-4 | 2.7934427E-4 | 1.2179519 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.825854E-4 | 0.0010425264 | 1.0610034 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011897563 | 0.011976612 | 1.006644 | 8.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11053844 | 0.11062738 | 1.0008047 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2935575E-4 | 2.7934427E-4 | 1.2179519 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.825854E-4 | 0.0010425264 | 1.0610034 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011897563 | 0.011976612 | 1.006644 | 8.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11053844 | 0.11062738 | 1.0008047 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2180163E-4 | 2.7179054E-4 | 1.2253766 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.502344E-4 | 0.0010101774 | 1.0630823 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0039678677 | 0.01150828 | 0.01158736 | 1.0068715 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03897764 | 0.1070749 | 0.10716419 | 1.0008339 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1855978E-4 | 2.6854884E-4 | 1.2287203 | 5.0E-5 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.363508E-4 | 9.962947E-4 | 1.0640186 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011341016 | 0.011420108 | 1.0069741 | 8.0E-5 | 0.038081564 | 0.10558336 | 0.10567281 | 1.0008471 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1703144E-4 | 2.6702057E-4 | 1.2303314 | 5.0E-5 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.298054E-4 | 9.897497E-4 | 1.0644696 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011262154 | 0.011341253 | 1.0070235 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03774495 | 0.10488491 | 0.10497442 | 1.0008534 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1472113E-4 | 2.647104E-4 | 1.2328101 | 5.0E-5 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.1991114E-4 | 9.798559E-4 | 1.0651637 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003789323 | 0.01114293 | 0.011222038 | 1.0070994 | 8.0E-5 | 0.037253562 | 0.10383277 | 0.10392238 | 1.0008631 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1056154E-4 | 2.6055102E-4 | 1.2374103 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.0209674E-4 | 9.620426E-4 | 1.0664517 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003699303 | 0.010928233 | 0.011007359 | 1.0072405 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03638325 | 0.10193441 | 0.10202422 | 1.0008811 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0891799E-4 | 2.5890753E-4 | 1.2392783 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.950578E-4 | 9.5500407E-4 | 1.0669748 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010843391 | 0.010922523 | 1.0072978 | 8.0E-5 | 0.036010686 | 0.10117731 | 0.101267196 | 1.0008883 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0499669E-4 | 2.5498643E-4 | 1.2438564 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.782636E-4 | 9.382109E-4 | 1.0682566 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003567883 | 0.010640934 | 0.0107200835 | 1.0074382 | 8.0E-5 | 0.035111405 | 0.09936919 | 0.09945925 | 1.0009063 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9727086E-4 | 2.47261E-4 | 1.2534087 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.451747E-4 | 9.05124E-4 | 1.0709312 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010241933 | 0.010321113 | 1.0077311 | 8.0E-5 | 0.033966612 | 0.09586687 | 0.09595729 | 1.0009431 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4687212E-4 | 1.9686477E-4 | 1.3403822 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.29301E-4 | 6.892632E-4 | 1.0952839 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002660276 | 0.007635016 | 0.007714405 | 1.010398 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02628654 | 0.07285434 | 0.072947055 | 1.0012726 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1130129E-4 | 1.6129573E-4 | 1.4491811 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7691865E-4 | 5.3689E-4 | 1.1257476 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0020487092 | 0.005791095 | 0.0058606896 | 1.0120175 | 7.0E-5 | 0.020299247 | 0.05600946 | 0.056094423 | 1.0015168 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.49519E-5 | 1.2494849E-4 | 1.4708147 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6402888E-4 | 4.1401066E-4 | 1.1373017 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044230702 | 0.004482805 | 1.0135052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043193877 | 0.04327042 | 1.0017722 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.3530715E-5 | 1.03528175E-4 | 1.6295767 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.722461E-4 | 3.222325E-4 | 1.1836073 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.003309564 | 0.0033693654 | 1.0180693 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010967582 | 0.032582883 | 0.032660276 | 1.0023752 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.5641565E-5 | 9.563934E-5 | 1.718847 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3844207E-4 | 2.8843014E-4 | 1.2096446 | 5.0E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0028991706 | 0.0029589967 | 1.0206356 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028695542 | 0.028773246 | 1.0027078 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.1659005E-5 | 8.165734E-5 | 1.9601365 | 4.0E-5 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7852637E-4 | 2.2851746E-4 | 1.2800207 | 5.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021713933 | 0.002231263 | 1.027572 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.021759626 | 0.021837885 | 1.0035965 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 2.9974355E-5 | 5.9973456E-5 | 2.0008256 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.284552E-4 | 1.5845135E-4 | 1.2335144 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015628211 | 0.0016027587 | 1.0255548 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.015773011 | 0.01581238 | 1.002496 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.368541E-6 | 7.368541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.157908E-5 | 3.157908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.8440758E-4 | 3.8440758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0041162004 | 0.0041162004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7323963E-6 | 2.7323963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1710217E-5 | 1.1710217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4256261E-4 | 1.4256261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0015977557 | 0.0015977557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1584074E-7 | 3.1584074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.3536024E-6 | 1.3536024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6479999E-5 | 1.6479999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.9555954E-4 | 1.9555954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6425094E-5 | 1.16423165E-4 | 1.2073948 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733507 | 0.0012133038 | 1.0340505 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672469 | 0.011761419 | 1.0076205 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6425094E-5 | 1.16423165E-4 | 1.2073948 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733507 | 0.0012133038 | 1.0340505 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672469 | 0.011761419 | 1.0076205 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6425094E-5 | 1.16423165E-4 | 1.2073948 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733507 | 0.0012133038 | 1.0340505 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672469 | 0.011761419 | 1.0076205 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336878E-5 | 2.1336878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.14406E-5 | 1.1143877E-4 | 1.2187012 | 2.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011127274 | 0.0011526829 | 1.0359077 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072383 | 0.011161387 | 1.0080383 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336878E-5 | 2.1336878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.14406E-5 | 1.1143877E-4 | 1.2187012 | 2.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011127274 | 0.0011526829 | 1.0359077 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072383 | 0.011161387 | 1.0080383 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0560943E-5 | 2.0560943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.811538E-5 | 1.0811362E-4 | 1.2269552 | 2.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010722834 | 0.0011122405 | 1.0372635 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010671882 | 0.010760921 | 1.0083433 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9910865E-5 | 1.9910865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.532952E-5 | 1.0532782E-4 | 1.2343655 | 2.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010383982 | 0.0010783566 | 1.0384809 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.01033622 | 0.010425289 | 1.0086173 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9043366E-5 | 1.9043366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.16119E-5 | 1.0161027E-4 | 1.2450423 | 2.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.931781E-4 | 0.0010231483 | 1.030176 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009888114 | 0.009967323 | 1.0080105 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8512486E-5 | 1.8512486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.933685E-5 | 9.9335266E-5 | 1.2520697 | 2.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.655042E-4 | 9.954752E-4 | 1.0310419 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.009613798 | 0.009683126 | 1.0072112 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8087536E-5 | 1.8087536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.7515746E-5 | 9.7514196E-5 | 1.2579921 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.4335165E-4 | 9.733233E-4 | 1.0317715 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009394166 | 0.009463508 | 1.0073814 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7805492E-5 | 1.7805492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.630706E-5 | 9.630553E-5 | 1.262079 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.286485E-4 | 9.586206E-4 | 1.032275 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.0092483675 | 0.00931772 | 1.0074989 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7483448E-5 | 1.7483448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.492694E-5 | 9.492544E-5 | 1.2669067 | 2.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.118598E-4 | 9.4183243E-4 | 1.0328698 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.009081865 | 0.009151229 | 1.0076376 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7170574E-5 | 1.7170574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.358614E-5 | 9.358466E-5 | 1.2717704 | 2.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.95549E-4 | 9.255222E-4 | 1.033469 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008920078 | 0.008989453 | 1.0077775 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6302403E-5 | 1.6302403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.98656E-5 | 8.98642E-5 | 1.2862439 | 2.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.502876E-4 | 8.802621E-4 | 1.0352522 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008470987 | 0.008540395 | 1.0081935 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.580791E-5 | 1.580791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.7746456E-5 | 8.77451E-5 | 1.2951984 | 2.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.245068E-4 | 8.5448206E-4 | 1.0363554 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008215112 | 0.008284537 | 1.0084509 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.512624E-5 | 1.512624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.4825166E-5 | 8.482387E-5 | 1.3085022 | 2.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.889664E-4 | 8.1894273E-4 | 1.0379944 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007862279 | 0.007931729 | 1.0088333 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2626287E-5 | 1.2626287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4111566E-5 | 7.411048E-5 | 1.3695867 | 2.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.5861444E-4 | 6.885947E-4 | 1.0455202 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.006567178 | 0.0066267834 | 1.0090764 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02833255E-5 | 1.02833255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407068E-5 | 6.40698E-5 | 1.4537965 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.364335E-4 | 5.6641735E-4 | 1.055895 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351897 | 0.0054016295 | 1.0092925 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2724344E-4 | 3.7722706E-4 | 1.1527414 | 5.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014017228 | 0.0014616387 | 1.0427445 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016933769 | 0.017022245 | 1.0052248 | 9.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15264614 | 0.1527224 | 1.0004996 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2724344E-4 | 3.7722706E-4 | 1.1527414 | 5.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014017228 | 0.0014616387 | 1.0427445 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016933769 | 0.017022245 | 1.0052248 | 9.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15264614 | 0.1527224 | 1.0004996 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0225134E-4 | 3.4223925E-4 | 1.1323001 | 4.0E-5 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012947238 | 0.0013446591 | 1.0385683 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005590286 | 0.015650427 | 0.015729176 | 1.0050317 | 8.0E-5 | 0.05451731 | 0.14180507 | 0.14187373 | 1.0004841 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.017044E-4 | 3.4169233E-4 | 1.1325401 | 4.0E-5 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012923821 | 0.0013423174 | 1.0386382 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005577586 | 0.015622327 | 0.015701076 | 1.0050409 | 8.0E-5 | 0.054396555 | 0.1415733 | 0.14164197 | 1.0004851 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9378527E-4 | 3.3377353E-4 | 1.1361139 | 4.0E-5 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012584762 | 0.0013084132 | 1.0396806 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015215358 | 0.01529414 | 1.0051779 | 8.0E-5 | 0.052604496 | 0.13813514 | 0.13820408 | 1.0004991 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9097957E-4 | 3.3096792E-4 | 1.1374267 | 4.0E-5 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012464633 | 0.0012964009 | 1.0400635 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015071134 | 0.015149929 | 1.0052282 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051971316 | 0.1369198 | 0.13698885 | 1.0005043 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8863706E-4 | 3.2862552E-4 | 1.1385423 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012364335 | 0.0012863717 | 1.040389 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014950704 | 0.015029508 | 1.005271 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051421247 | 0.13589692 | 0.13596606 | 1.0005087 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.872227E-4 | 3.2721122E-4 | 1.1392248 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012303777 | 0.0012803162 | 1.0405879 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005230834 | 0.014877982 | 0.014956793 | 1.0052971 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051094085 | 0.13528185 | 0.13535102 | 1.0005114 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8525927E-4 | 3.2524785E-4 | 1.1401833 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012219709 | 0.0012719097 | 1.0408674 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014777023 | 0.014855841 | 1.0053338 | 8.0E-5 | 0.050728295 | 0.13443343 | 0.13450268 | 1.0005151 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8022839E-4 | 3.202172E-4 | 1.1427007 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.00120043 | 0.0012503699 | 1.0416018 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014518287 | 0.014597126 | 1.0054303 | 8.0E-5 | 0.049738888 | 0.1322617 | 0.13233112 | 1.0005249 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4757453E-4 | 2.8756465E-4 | 1.1615275 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010606055 | 0.0011105525 | 1.0470929 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012837193 | 0.012916165 | 1.0061519 | 8.0E-5 | 0.04338823 | 0.11811238 | 0.118182935 | 1.0005974 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4360199E-4 | 2.8359224E-4 | 1.1641623 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.001043594 | 0.0010935419 | 1.0478613 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004331963 | 0.0126324985 | 0.012711488 | 1.0062529 | 8.0E-5 | 0.042484846 | 0.11633272 | 0.116403416 | 1.0006077 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2408647E-4 | 2.640775E-4 | 1.1784625 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.600202E-4 | 9.999818E-4 | 1.0416257 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011626295 | 0.011695481 | 1.0059508 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03870018 | 0.10773813 | 0.10780059 | 1.0005797 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.072494E-4 | 2.472411E-4 | 1.1929642 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.8791223E-4 | 9.2787674E-4 | 1.0450095 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010757373 | 0.010826619 | 1.0064372 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03628465 | 0.10026088 | 0.10032386 | 1.0006282 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4271964E-4 | 1.8271393E-4 | 1.2802298 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.115131E-4 | 6.5148866E-4 | 1.0653715 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0026816884 | 0.007419945 | 0.0074894256 | 1.009364 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02649557 | 0.070839524 | 0.07090457 | 1.0009181 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.0941875E-4 | 1.4941437E-4 | 1.3655281 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.6885354E-4 | 5.088348E-4 | 1.0852745 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002099857 | 0.005693421 | 0.005753079 | 1.0104785 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020801254 | 0.05501138 | 0.05506808 | 1.0010307 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.439118E-5 | 1.1438865E-4 | 1.3554574 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.6162647E-4 | 3.916156E-4 | 1.0829285 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004393941 | 0.004443721 | 1.0113293 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016132116 | 0.04281056 | 0.042858418 | 1.001118 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.238918E-5 | 9.2387316E-5 | 1.4808226 | 3.0E-5 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6735486E-4 | 2.9734685E-4 | 1.1121805 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032501933 | 0.003300031 | 1.0153337 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.031900857 | 0.031949263 | 1.0015174 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.1796946E-5 | 8.179539E-5 | 1.5791547 | 3.0E-5 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2196803E-4 | 2.5196138E-4 | 1.1351246 | 3.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0026991146 | 0.0027489797 | 1.0184746 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.026640752 | 0.026689421 | 1.0018269 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.822304E-5 | 6.8221896E-5 | 1.7848369 | 3.0E-5 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6380275E-4 | 1.9379784E-4 | 1.1831172 | 3.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019924755 | 0.002042376 | 1.0250444 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019910011 | 0.019959016 | 1.0024613 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1065316E-5 | 6.1064384E-5 | 1.9656773 | 3.0E-5 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3313028E-4 | 1.6312629E-4 | 1.2253132 | 3.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016196569 | 0.0016695759 | 1.0308207 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.016279692 | 0.016328879 | 1.0030214 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 8.972689E-6 | 1.89726E-5 | 2.114483 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.8453814E-5 | 4.8453432E-5 | 1.2600422 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.6807475E-4 | 4.7807008E-4 | 1.0213541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002658026 | 0.0049177213 | 0.004927672 | 1.0020235 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.78591E-6 | 2.78591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.193956E-5 | 1.193956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4535447E-4 | 1.4535447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0015971703 | 0.0015971703 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.813156E-8 | 5.813156E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.491352E-7 | 2.491352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0332174E-6 | 3.0332174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.1893844E-5 | 3.1893844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.5512565E-6 | 1.855117E-5 | 2.1694088 | 1.0E-5 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.664783E-5 | 8.6645996E-5 | 2.3642874 | 5.0E-5 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4611385E-4 | 4.9609155E-4 | 1.112029 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004453941 | 0.004533584 | 1.0178816 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753127E-6 | 1.3775275E-5 | 3.6487772 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179838E-5 | 4.6179353E-5 | 2.8541296 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697649E-4 | 2.2697057E-4 | 1.1522725 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019684862 | 0.0020084074 | 1.0202802 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753127E-6 | 1.3775275E-5 | 3.6487772 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179838E-5 | 4.6179353E-5 | 2.8541296 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697649E-4 | 2.2697057E-4 | 1.1522725 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019684862 | 0.0020084074 | 1.0202802 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411153E-6 | 1.4411153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762016E-6 | 1.617614E-5 | 2.6191082 | 1.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5194075E-5 | 8.519332E-5 | 1.1329792 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518251E-4 | 7.6181756E-4 | 1.013291 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411153E-6 | 1.4411153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762016E-6 | 1.617614E-5 | 2.6191082 | 1.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5194075E-5 | 8.519332E-5 | 1.1329792 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518251E-4 | 7.6181756E-4 | 1.013291 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0221903E-6 | 1.0221903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3808154E-6 | 1.4380772E-5 | 3.28267 | 1.0E-5 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.333643E-5 | 6.3335894E-5 | 1.1874791 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.3336425E-4 | 5.4335897E-4 | 1.0187389 | 1.0E-5 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348332E-6 | 2.5834717E-5 | 4.42767 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006211E-5 | 4.5005712E-5 | 1.7997813 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044121E-4 | 3.5439688E-4 | 1.164201 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403468 | 0.0031201034 | 1.0262328 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348332E-6 | 2.5834717E-5 | 4.42767 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006211E-5 | 4.5005712E-5 | 1.7997813 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044121E-4 | 3.5439688E-4 | 1.164201 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403468 | 0.0031201034 | 1.0262328 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348332E-6 | 2.5834717E-5 | 4.42767 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006211E-5 | 4.5005712E-5 | 1.7997813 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044121E-4 | 3.5439688E-4 | 1.164201 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403468 | 0.0031201034 | 1.0262328 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3836648E-6 | 3.3836648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501343E-5 | 1.4501343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654001E-4 | 1.9653648E-4 | 1.1132687 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017640449 | 0.0017840095 | 1.0113176 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3836648E-6 | 3.3836648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501343E-5 | 1.4501343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654001E-4 | 1.9653648E-4 | 1.1132687 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017640449 | 0.0017840095 | 1.0113176 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8558384E-6 | 2.8558384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2239252E-5 | 1.2239252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900303E-4 | 1.5900155E-4 | 1.0671027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.001489064 | 0.0014990491 | 1.0067056 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.3809182E-6 | 2.3809182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0203897E-5 | 1.0203897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2422555E-4 | 1.3422432E-4 | 1.0804887 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012415814 | 0.001251569 | 1.0080442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0964987E-6 | 2.0964987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.984965E-6 | 8.984965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.09386616E-4 | 1.1938553E-4 | 1.0914088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933438 | 0.001103333 | 1.0091362 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8915271E-6 | 1.8915271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.10652E-6 | 8.10652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869256E-5 | 1.0869157E-4 | 1.1013148 | 1.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.865012E-4 | 9.964914E-4 | 1.0101268 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832057E-6 | 1.6832057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.2137195E-6 | 7.2137195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.782361E-5 | 9.782273E-5 | 1.1138546 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.779003E-4 | 8.878915E-4 | 1.0113808 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2508652E-6 | 1.2508652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3608405E-6 | 5.3608405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.52663E-5 | 7.526565E-5 | 1.1532084 | 1.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.5247365E-4 | 6.624671E-4 | 1.0153162 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0951596E-6 | 1.0951596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.693533E-6 | 4.693533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7142275E-5 | 6.71417E-5 | 1.1749917 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.712767E-4 | 5.8127096E-4 | 1.0174947 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0487698E-6 | 1.0487698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4947205E-6 | 4.4947205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4721855E-5 | 6.472131E-5 | 1.1827323 | 1.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.4708467E-4 | 5.570792E-4 | 1.0182687 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.767712E-7 | 9.767712E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.1861554E-6 | 4.1861554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.096526E-5 | 5.096526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.095365E-4 | 5.095365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.207652E-7 | 9.207652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.9461306E-6 | 3.9461306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.804309E-5 | 4.804309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.803278E-4 | 4.803278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.674585E-7 | 8.674585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.717674E-6 | 3.717674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.526175E-5 | 4.526175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5252603E-4 | 4.5252603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9144604E-7 | 7.9144604E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3919073E-6 | 3.3919073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.1295694E-5 | 4.1295694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.128809E-4 | 4.128809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.8527874E-7 | 6.8527874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9369057E-6 | 2.9369057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5756246E-5 | 3.5756246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.575056E-4 | 3.575056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.778346E-4 | 7.778346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033298659 | 0.0033398326 | 1.0029931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.040046964 | 0.04008536 | 1.0009588 | 4.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.3370342 | 0.33708724 | 1.0001574 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0276488E-4 | 3.0276488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0012970122 | 0.0013069992 | 1.0077001 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0099994885 | 0.01577305 | 0.015802577 | 1.001872 | 3.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.14968696 | 0.14972098 | 1.0002272 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.824223E-4 | 1.824223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.8157685E-4 | 7.9156907E-4 | 1.0127846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009474405 | 0.009504121 | 1.0031364 | 3.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09185756 | 0.09189388 | 1.0003954 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.7938759E-4 | 1.7938759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.685786E-4 | 7.7857095E-4 | 1.0130011 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009317504 | 0.009347225 | 1.0031898 | 3.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09051052 | 0.0905469 | 1.000402 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7700944E-4 | 1.7700944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.583925E-4 | 7.683849E-4 | 1.0131757 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009194541 | 0.009224266 | 1.0032328 | 3.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.089414164 | 0.08945058 | 1.0004073 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7459E-4 | 1.7459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.4802944E-4 | 7.5802195E-4 | 1.0133585 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046854047 | 0.0090694325 | 0.00909916 | 1.0032778 | 3.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08829737 | 0.08833383 | 1.0004131 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7140193E-4 | 1.7140193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.3437404E-4 | 7.4436667E-4 | 1.013607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008904563 | 0.008934296 | 1.003339 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.086828575 | 0.0868651 | 1.0004207 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7007279E-4 | 1.7007279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.286809E-4 | 7.386736E-4 | 1.0137135 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045492216 | 0.008835857 | 0.008865592 | 1.0033653 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.086228445 | 0.086265 | 1.0004239 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.6952785E-4 | 1.6952785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.2634674E-4 | 7.363395E-4 | 1.0137576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008807677 | 0.008837413 | 1.0033761 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.0859759 | 0.08601247 | 1.0004252 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6893743E-4 | 1.6893743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.238178E-4 | 7.3381054E-4 | 1.0138056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008777135 | 0.008806872 | 1.0033879 | 3.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.08570191 | 0.08573848 | 1.0004268 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6646592E-4 | 1.6646592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.1323145E-4 | 7.232243E-4 | 1.0140107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004455241 | 0.008649277 | 0.0086790165 | 1.0034385 | 3.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.084549636 | 0.084586255 | 1.0004331 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5127397E-4 | 1.5127397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.481567E-4 | 6.581502E-4 | 1.0154184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007862925 | 0.007892689 | 1.0037854 | 3.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.07746162 | 0.077498525 | 1.0004764 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4864646E-4 | 1.4864646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.369015E-4 | 6.468951E-4 | 1.015691 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004005129 | 0.0077268723 | 0.00775664 | 1.0038526 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07623468 | 0.07627163 | 1.0004847 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4561295E-4 | 1.4561295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.23907E-4 | 6.3390075E-4 | 1.016018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003934157 | 0.007569774 | 0.007599547 | 1.0039331 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.07479546 | 0.07483247 | 1.0004948 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4262283E-4 | 1.4262283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.110982E-4 | 6.210921E-4 | 1.016354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003865065 | 0.007414898 | 0.0074446755 | 1.0040159 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.0733692 | 0.073406264 | 1.0005052 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1190168E-4 | 1.1190168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.7949058E-4 | 4.894858E-4 | 1.0208454 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032037178 | 0.0058222036 | 0.0058520287 | 1.0051227 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.058556058 | 0.058593713 | 1.0006431 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.1018825E-4 | 1.1018825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7215E-4 | 4.8214526E-4 | 1.0211697 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0057333056 | 0.0057631335 | 1.0052025 | 3.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.057717044 | 0.057754736 | 1.000653 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.174102E-5 | 9.174102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.9311658E-4 | 4.0311264E-4 | 1.0254277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.0047757006 | 0.0047956053 | 1.0041679 | 2.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.048532683 | 0.04856123 | 1.0005882 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.559073E-5 | 8.559073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6676586E-4 | 3.7676218E-4 | 1.0272553 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0044562398 | 0.0044761505 | 1.0044681 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.045299396 | 0.04532804 | 1.0006323 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.74995E-5 | 6.74995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.892515E-4 | 2.992486E-4 | 1.034562 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035159541 | 0.003525919 | 1.0028342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.03587903 | 0.035888672 | 1.0002687 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.069344E-5 | 4.069344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7438881E-4 | 1.8438707E-4 | 1.0573331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021211174 | 0.0021310963 | 1.0047045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.022008745 | 0.022018524 | 1.0004444 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.867712E-5 | 1.867712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.004235E-5 | 8.004235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.740805E-4 | 9.740805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010486352 | 0.010486352 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5203943E-4 | 2.720344E-4 | 1.0793327 | 2.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010797235 | 0.0011196804 | 1.0370065 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.0130669065 | 0.013135992 | 1.005287 | 7.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.124393165 | 0.124463215 | 1.0005631 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5203943E-4 | 2.720344E-4 | 1.0793327 | 2.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010797235 | 0.0011196804 | 1.0370065 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.0130669065 | 0.013135992 | 1.005287 | 7.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.124393165 | 0.124463215 | 1.0005631 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.502073E-4 | 2.7020226E-4 | 1.0799137 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010718779 | 0.001111835 | 1.0372777 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006347804 | 0.012972526 | 0.013041618 | 1.005326 | 7.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.12358037 | 0.123650484 | 1.0005673 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.4906697E-4 | 2.6906197E-4 | 1.0802797 | 2.0E-5 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010669949 | 0.0011069521 | 1.0374485 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006316212 | 0.012913782 | 0.012982878 | 1.0053506 | 7.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12307438 | 0.12314454 | 1.00057 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4412213E-4 | 2.6411726E-4 | 1.0819062 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010458198 | 0.001085778 | 1.0382075 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006172335 | 0.0126589965 | 0.012728111 | 1.0054597 | 7.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.120867655 | 0.12093798 | 1.0005819 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4205542E-4 | 2.620506E-4 | 1.0826057 | 2.0E-5 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010369696 | 0.0010769281 | 1.0385339 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006109677 | 0.012552489 | 0.01262161 | 1.0055066 | 7.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.1199394 | 0.1200098 | 1.000587 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3514601E-4 | 2.5514132E-4 | 1.0850335 | 2.0E-5 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010073809 | 0.0010473406 | 1.0396669 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012196333 | 0.012265479 | 1.0056695 | 7.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.1168523 | 0.11692295 | 1.0006046 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.335892E-4 | 2.5358453E-4 | 1.0856004 | 2.0E-5 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.001000714 | 0.0010406739 | 1.0399314 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005864331 | 0.012116069 | 0.012185222 | 1.0057075 | 7.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.116155826 | 0.11622653 | 1.0006087 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3247355E-4 | 2.5246892E-4 | 1.0860113 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.959363E-4 | 0.0010358965 | 1.0401232 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005836608 | 0.012058547 | 0.012127702 | 1.005735 | 7.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.11565359 | 0.11572433 | 1.0006117 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3096106E-4 | 2.5095645E-4 | 1.0865747 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.894591E-4 | 0.0010294196 | 1.0403861 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0057996577 | 0.011980557 | 0.012049718 | 1.0057728 | 7.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.114974126 | 0.11504493 | 1.0006158 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2719476E-4 | 2.2719476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.7332994E-4 | 9.933105E-4 | 1.020528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005705768 | 0.011786325 | 0.011835736 | 1.0041922 | 5.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.11327481 | 0.11332802 | 1.0004697 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0538457E-4 | 2.0538457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.799237E-4 | 8.999061E-4 | 1.0227093 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010660741 | 0.010710208 | 1.0046401 | 5.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.10336789 | 0.10342168 | 1.0005205 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0042722E-4 | 2.0042722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.586921E-4 | 8.786749E-4 | 1.0232712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00504711 | 0.010404742 | 0.010454223 | 1.0047555 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.1011037 | 0.101157635 | 1.0005335 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9472018E-4 | 1.9472018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.342492E-4 | 8.5423246E-4 | 1.0239537 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0049308087 | 0.01010995 | 0.010159445 | 1.0048956 | 5.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.09847186 | 0.09852595 | 1.0005493 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8842531E-4 | 1.8842531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.0728804E-4 | 8.272719E-4 | 1.0247543 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004799717 | 0.009784685 | 0.009834196 | 1.0050601 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09555601 | 0.09561028 | 1.0005679 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.517759E-4 | 1.517759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.503062E-4 | 6.702932E-4 | 1.0307348 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007888806 | 0.007938412 | 1.006288 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.07828588 | 0.078341186 | 1.0007064 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.483708E-4 | 1.483708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.3572003E-4 | 6.557073E-4 | 1.0314404 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039388672 | 0.0077124913 | 0.0077621057 | 1.006433 | 5.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07664891 | 0.076704316 | 1.0007228 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2358253E-4 | 1.2358253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.29532E-4 | 5.395267E-4 | 1.0188746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0064280205 | 0.006457828 | 1.0046371 | 3.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.06453964 | 0.064577065 | 1.0005797 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1415685E-4 | 1.1415685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.891519E-4 | 4.9914705E-4 | 1.0204335 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059391838 | 0.0059590647 | 1.0033475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.059658356 | 0.059686568 | 1.0004729 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.4259045E-5 | 8.4259045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6106026E-4 | 3.7105664E-4 | 1.0276862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0043870546 | 0.004397011 | 1.0022694 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.04435963 | 0.044369187 | 1.0002154 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.0768474E-5 | 5.0768474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1756104E-4 | 2.2755886E-4 | 1.0459541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026455899 | 0.0026555634 | 1.0037699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027178457 | 0.027188186 | 1.000358 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9181087E-5 | 1.9181087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.220207E-5 | 8.220207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010003513 | 0.0010003513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009956728 | 0.010756486 | 0.010756486 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.5978872E-5 | 4.597851E-5 | 1.2779309 | 1.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5418605E-4 | 1.7418298E-4 | 1.1296934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018756005 | 0.0019155255 | 1.0212865 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019346233 | 0.01941488 | 1.0035483 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.5978872E-5 | 4.597851E-5 | 1.2779309 | 1.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5418605E-4 | 1.7418298E-4 | 1.1296934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018756005 | 0.0019155255 | 1.0212865 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019346233 | 0.01941488 | 1.0035483 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.5978872E-5 | 4.597851E-5 | 1.2779309 | 1.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5418605E-4 | 1.7418298E-4 | 1.1296934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018756005 | 0.0019155255 | 1.0212865 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019346233 | 0.01941488 | 1.0035483 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.5978872E-5 | 4.597851E-5 | 1.2779309 | 1.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5418605E-4 | 1.7418298E-4 | 1.1296934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018756005 | 0.0019155255 | 1.0212865 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019346233 | 0.01941488 | 1.0035483 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.5871537E-5 | 4.5871177E-5 | 1.2787626 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5372611E-4 | 1.7372303E-4 | 1.1300815 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018700104 | 0.0019099356 | 1.0213503 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017588645 | 0.019291315 | 0.019359965 | 1.0035585 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5132172E-5 | 4.513182E-5 | 1.2846293 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5055777E-4 | 1.7055476E-4 | 1.1328194 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017420477 | 0.001831501 | 0.0018714278 | 1.0218 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017284546 | 0.018912857 | 0.018981533 | 1.0036312 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5069388E-5 | 4.506904E-5 | 1.285139 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5028873E-4 | 1.7028573E-4 | 1.1330571 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018282312 | 0.001868158 | 1.021839 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017258976 | 0.018880721 | 0.0189494 | 1.0036374 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5059165E-5 | 4.5058812E-5 | 1.2852222 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5024492E-4 | 1.7024191E-4 | 1.133096 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018276984 | 0.0018676254 | 1.0218455 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017256035 | 0.018875511 | 0.01894419 | 1.0036385 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.495323E-5 | 4.495288E-5 | 1.2860866 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.4979097E-4 | 1.6978796E-4 | 1.1334994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0018221809 | 0.001862108 | 1.0219117 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017213784 | 0.018821284 | 0.018889965 | 1.0036492 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.4894183E-5 | 4.4893837E-5 | 1.2865707 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.4953794E-4 | 1.6953495E-4 | 1.1337253 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018191055 | 0.0018590328 | 1.0219488 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017192734 | 0.018791152 | 0.018859837 | 1.0036552 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.4834113E-5 | 4.4833767E-5 | 1.2870649 | 1.0E-5 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4928053E-4 | 1.6927754E-4 | 1.133956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018159767 | 0.0018559041 | 1.0219867 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017172894 | 0.018760532 | 0.018829219 | 1.0036613 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.4714325E-5 | 4.471398E-5 | 1.2880555 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.487672E-4 | 1.6876422E-4 | 1.1344182 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018097374 | 0.001849665 | 1.0220627 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017138338 | 0.01869961 | 0.018768301 | 1.0036734 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.458177E-5 | 4.4581426E-5 | 1.2891597 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4819918E-4 | 1.6819622E-4 | 1.1349335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018028333 | 0.0018427612 | 1.0221473 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017089253 | 0.018631995 | 0.018700691 | 1.003687 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.444953E-5 | 4.4449185E-5 | 1.2902697 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.476325E-4 | 1.6762954E-4 | 1.1354516 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0017959452 | 0.0018358734 | 1.0222324 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017049557 | 0.018564742 | 0.018633444 | 1.0037006 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.4371253E-5 | 4.4370907E-5 | 1.2909309 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.4729705E-4 | 1.6729411E-4 | 1.1357601 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017918679 | 0.0018317963 | 1.0222831 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017028693 | 0.01852503 | 0.018593734 | 1.0037087 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.4236204E-5 | 4.423586E-5 | 1.2920785 | 1.0E-5 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4671835E-4 | 1.6671541E-4 | 1.1362956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017848337 | 0.0018247623 | 1.022371 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016978411 | 0.018455938 | 0.018524645 | 1.0037228 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.3961413E-5 | 4.396107E-5 | 1.2944418 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4554079E-4 | 1.6553789E-4 | 1.1373985 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017705205 | 0.0018104496 | 1.0225523 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.018313715 | 0.018382434 | 1.0037522 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.2448777E-5 | 4.2448453E-5 | 1.308168 | 1.0E-5 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3905877E-4 | 1.59056E-4 | 1.1438041 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015791537 | 0.001691727 | 0.0017316593 | 1.0236045 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.017526435 | 0.017595207 | 1.003924 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9659845E-5 | 3.965955E-5 | 1.3371462 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2710743E-4 | 1.4710489E-4 | 1.1573272 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015464354 | 0.0015863735 | 1.025826 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.016068002 | 0.016136877 | 1.0042865 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.3414696E-5 | 3.341446E-5 | 1.4270722 | 1.0E-5 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.00344834E-4 | 1.2034283E-4 | 1.1992927 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012210145 | 0.0012509779 | 1.0245397 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.012791605 | 0.012840966 | 1.0038588 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6030555E-5 | 2.6030395E-5 | 1.6237987 | 1.0E-5 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.8700574E-5 | 8.86992E-5 | 1.2910984 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.3610916E-4 | 8.5609243E-4 | 1.0239003 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.00886444 | 0.008884262 | 1.0022362 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.328345E-6 | 8.328345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.569242E-5 | 3.569242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.3446908E-4 | 4.3446908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005259227 | 0.0046761446 | 0.0046761446 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.5773577E-6 | 1.5773577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.7600868E-6 | 6.7600868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.2300976E-5 | 8.2300976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.560642E-4 | 9.560642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6117652E-7 | 3.6117652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5478985E-6 | 1.5478985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8845505E-5 | 1.8845505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.273426E-4 | 2.273426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0133278E-6 | 3.301324E-5 | 10.95574 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2914216E-5 | 5.29137E-5 | 4.097322 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722241E-4 | 1.9721613E-4 | 1.2543766 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714234 | 0.0016413134 | 1.0444756 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387142E-6 | 1.6638647E-5 | 2.5063057 | 1.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082385E-5 | 9.0823036E-5 | 1.1237159 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0799335E-4 | 8.2797714E-4 | 1.0247327 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387142E-6 | 1.6638647E-5 | 2.5063057 | 1.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082385E-5 | 9.0823036E-5 | 1.1237159 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0799335E-4 | 8.2797714E-4 | 1.0247327 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387142E-6 | 1.6638647E-5 | 2.5063057 | 1.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082385E-5 | 9.0823036E-5 | 1.1237159 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0799335E-4 | 8.2797714E-4 | 1.0247327 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.5490366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387142E-6 | 1.6638647E-5 | 2.5063057 | 1.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082385E-5 | 9.0823036E-5 | 1.1237159 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0799335E-4 | 8.2797714E-4 | 1.0247327 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4909707E-6 | 1.4909707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.3898615E-6 | 1.6389798E-5 | 2.564969 | 1.0E-5 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.7794284E-5 | 8.779351E-5 | 1.1285342 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.777192E-4 | 7.9770363E-4 | 1.0256963 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.9974316E-7 | 8.9974316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.856037E-6 | 3.856037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6946323E-5 | 4.6946323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6937272E-4 | 4.7936803E-4 | 1.0212951 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.5941864E-7 | 7.5941864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2546475E-6 | 3.2546475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.9624683E-5 | 3.9624683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9618317E-4 | 4.0617923E-4 | 1.0252309 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.500273E-7 | 6.500273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7858287E-6 | 2.7858287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.3916996E-5 | 3.3916996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.391243E-4 | 3.491209E-4 | 1.0294777 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.631502E-7 | 5.631502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.4134988E-6 | 2.4134988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.938401E-5 | 2.938401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9380692E-4 | 3.0380397E-4 | 1.0340259 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.1132614E-7 | 4.1132614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7628253E-6 | 1.7628253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1462227E-5 | 2.1462227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1460539E-4 | 2.1460539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5210272E-7 | 3.5210272E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.509011E-6 | 1.509011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.837209E-5 | 1.837209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.837092E-4 | 1.837092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.117835E-8 | 3.117835E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3362148E-7 | 1.3362148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6268405E-6 | 1.6268405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.6268294E-5 | 1.6268294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5938921E-8 | 1.5938921E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.830967E-8 | 6.830967E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.3166987E-7 | 8.3166987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.316671E-6 | 8.316671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012275568 | 0.0012275568 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005245443 | 0.005255391 | 1.0018964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030762846 | 0.061203696 | 0.06123186 | 1.0004601 | 3.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42593017 | 0.42595312 | 1.0000539 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010217631 | 0.0010217631 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00214792 | 0.004367768 | 0.004377724 | 1.0022795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025839351 | 0.051247615 | 0.051276077 | 1.0005554 | 3.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37285197 | 0.37287706 | 1.0000672 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.107063E-4 | 8.107063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017445484 | 0.003467065 | 0.0034770304 | 1.0028743 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021034058 | 0.04093243 | 0.040961206 | 1.0007029 | 3.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.3130283 | 0.31305578 | 1.0000877 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.7388907E-4 | 6.7388907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028828874 | 0.0028928586 | 1.0034587 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017915873 | 0.034188833 | 0.03421781 | 1.0008475 | 3.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27131107 | 0.27134022 | 1.0001074 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.543981E-4 | 5.543981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023724644 | 0.0023824407 | 1.004205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.028263751 | 0.028292904 | 1.0010314 | 3.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.23297946 | 0.23301014 | 1.0001317 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2091837E-4 | 4.2091837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018019082 | 0.0018118902 | 1.0055397 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.021586698 | 0.02161605 | 1.0013597 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18681763 | 0.18685016 | 1.0001742 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5067857E-4 | 2.5067857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010738866 | 0.0010838759 | 1.009302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.01299481 | 0.01302442 | 1.0022786 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12314034 | 0.12317542 | 1.0002848 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.460442E-4 | 2.460442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010540439 | 0.0010640334 | 1.0094773 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.01275668 | 0.012786297 | 1.0023217 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.12116749 | 0.12120264 | 1.0002902 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4428288E-4 | 2.4428288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010465018 | 0.0010564914 | 1.0095457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.012666085 | 0.012695705 | 1.0023385 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.12039834 | 0.12043353 | 1.0002922 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3537583E-4 | 2.3537583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010083655 | 0.0010183555 | 1.009907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.012208263 | 0.012237897 | 1.0024273 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.116468415 | 0.11650375 | 1.0003034 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2394823E-4 | 2.2394823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.594271E-4 | 9.694175E-4 | 1.0104129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011618959 | 0.01164861 | 1.002552 | 3.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.111314535 | 0.11135008 | 1.0003194 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.628044E-4 | 1.628044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 6.9754745E-4 | 7.075404E-4 | 1.014326 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.008459772 | 0.0084895175 | 1.0035162 | 3.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.08366677 | 0.08370342 | 1.0004381 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4614522E-4 | 1.4614522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.261871E-4 | 6.361808E-4 | 1.0159596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.007597347 | 0.007627119 | 1.0039188 | 3.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.07561691 | 0.07565389 | 1.000489 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2779726E-4 | 1.2779726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.475882E-4 | 5.575827E-4 | 1.0182519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006646641 | 0.0066764415 | 1.0044836 | 3.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.06648109 | 0.06651843 | 1.0005617 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.1702097E-4 | 1.1702097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.014227E-4 | 5.1141763E-4 | 1.0199332 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.0060878536 | 0.006117671 | 1.0048978 | 3.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.06114961 | 0.061187163 | 1.0006142 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.0049005E-5 | 9.0049005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8586732E-4 | 3.9586346E-4 | 1.0259056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.004687836 | 0.0047176955 | 1.0063696 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.047874223 | 0.047912307 | 1.0007955 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.279483E-5 | 8.279483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5478684E-4 | 3.6478328E-4 | 1.028176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004310993 | 0.004340864 | 1.0069289 | 3.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.043989062 | 0.044027302 | 1.0008693 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.6610344E-5 | 6.6610344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.854417E-4 | 2.9543883E-4 | 1.0350235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0034697189 | 0.0034896496 | 1.0057441 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.035792835 | 0.035821762 | 1.0008081 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.162133E-5 | 6.162133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.640647E-4 | 2.7406204E-4 | 1.0378596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0032102512 | 0.003230187 | 1.0062101 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.033123713 | 0.033152718 | 1.0008757 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.0219067E-5 | 5.0219067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1520683E-4 | 2.2520468E-4 | 1.0464569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026169969 | 0.0026269706 | 1.0038111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.02706497 | 0.0270747 | 1.0003595 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.142378E-5 | 3.142378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3466639E-4 | 1.4466504E-4 | 1.0742476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016383311 | 0.0016483146 | 1.0060937 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.017211884 | 0.017221712 | 1.000571 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7396878E-5 | 1.7396878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.455592E-5 | 7.455592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.073409E-4 | 9.073409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.009797363 | 0.009797363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 5.349893E-5 | 2.2765856 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.3070584E-4 | 1.2978584 | 3.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.0012753827 | 1.0407516 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012296831 | 1.0056547 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 5.349893E-5 | 2.2765856 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.3070584E-4 | 1.2978584 | 3.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.0012753827 | 1.0407516 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012296831 | 1.0056547 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 5.349893E-5 | 2.2765856 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.3070584E-4 | 1.2978584 | 3.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.0012753827 | 1.0407516 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012296831 | 1.0056547 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 5.349893E-5 | 2.2765856 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.3070584E-4 | 1.2978584 | 3.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.0012753827 | 1.0407516 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012296831 | 1.0056547 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 5.349893E-5 | 2.2765856 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.3070584E-4 | 1.2978584 | 3.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.0012753827 | 1.0407516 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012296831 | 1.0056547 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.3488596E-5 | 5.3487893E-5 | 2.2771854 | 3.0E-5 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.0066155E-4 | 1.3065853E-4 | 1.2979984 | 3.0E-5 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012248686 | 0.0012748074 | 1.0407706 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.012221997 | 0.012291142 | 1.0056574 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.310288E-5 | 5.3102187E-5 | 2.2985094 | 3.0E-5 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.9008605E-5 | 1.2900564E-4 | 1.302974 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012047664 | 0.0012547062 | 1.0414518 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.012023162 | 0.012092321 | 1.0057521 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3078179E-5 | 5.3077485E-5 | 2.2998993 | 3.0E-5 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.890275E-5 | 1.2889977E-4 | 1.3032982 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.001203479 | 0.0012534189 | 1.0414963 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012010427 | 0.012079587 | 1.0057583 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.2926586E-5 | 5.2925898E-5 | 2.3084946 | 3.0E-5 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.825311E-5 | 1.2825016E-4 | 1.3053038 | 3.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0011955785 | 0.0012455187 | 1.0417708 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.0119322715 | 0.012001436 | 1.0057964 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.288599E-5 | 5.28853E-5 | 2.3108156 | 3.0E-5 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.807914E-5 | 1.280762E-4 | 1.3058454 | 3.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011934626 | 0.001243403 | 1.0418448 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.011911341 | 0.0119805075 | 1.0058068 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2286069E-5 | 5.2285402E-5 | 2.3461025 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.550824E-5 | 1.2550538E-4 | 1.314079 | 3.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011621955 | 0.0012121374 | 1.042972 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011601945 | 0.011671133 | 1.0059634 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2231143E-5 | 5.2230476E-5 | 2.3494284 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.527286E-5 | 1.2527E-4 | 1.3148551 | 3.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011593327 | 0.0012092747 | 1.0430783 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011573616 | 0.011642806 | 1.0059782 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1609669E-5 | 5.1609022E-5 | 2.3882375 | 3.0E-5 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.2609596E-5 | 1.2260681E-4 | 1.3239105 | 3.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011269413 | 0.0011768849 | 1.0443178 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.01125298 | 0.011322192 | 1.0061506 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.147951E-5 | 5.1478866E-5 | 2.3966498 | 3.0E-5 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.205181E-5 | 1.22049045E-4 | 1.3258734 | 3.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011201572 | 0.0011701012 | 1.0445865 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011185858 | 0.011255076 | 1.0061879 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0853473E-5 | 5.0852846E-5 | 2.4385793 | 3.0E-5 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.936898E-5 | 1.19366305E-4 | 1.3356569 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010875268 | 0.0011374725 | 1.0459259 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.010863296 | 0.010932535 | 1.0063738 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9553554E-5 | 4.9552968E-5 | 2.5342178 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.3798266E-5 | 1.1379575E-4 | 1.3579726 | 3.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010197685 | 0.0010697176 | 1.0489807 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.01019476 | 0.010264046 | 1.0067962 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.8995455E-5 | 4.8994883E-5 | 2.5792952 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.1406564E-5 | 1.1140412E-4 | 1.3684907 | 3.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.906765E-4 | 0.0010406269 | 1.0504205 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.009906478 | 0.009975784 | 1.006996 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6441258E-5 | 4.6440764E-5 | 2.824648 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.0460635E-5 | 1.0045853E-4 | 1.4257396 | 3.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.575223E-4 | 9.0747944E-4 | 1.0582576 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008585833 | 0.008655232 | 1.008083 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.115459E-5 | 4.1154253E-5 | 3.689446 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.7804508E-5 | 7.780307E-5 | 1.6275259 | 3.0E-5 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.8186456E-4 | 6.318355E-4 | 1.0858806 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058467295 | 0.0059163203 | 1.0119025 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.508639E-6 | 3.8508384E-5 | 4.525798 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.6465088E-5 | 6.6463996E-5 | 1.8226748 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.4387212E-4 | 4.938499E-4 | 1.1125951 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.0044707404 | 0.0045404276 | 1.0155873 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.8465567E-6 | 1.4846508E-5 | 3.0633106 | 1.0E-5 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.077079E-5 | 3.0770585E-5 | 1.4814353 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5285507E-4 | 2.7285E-4 | 1.0790766 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.002549722 | 0.0025796457 | 1.011736 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.1966046E-6 | 1.2196582E-5 | 5.5524707 | 1.0E-5 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.413985E-6 | 1.9413892E-5 | 2.0622394 | 1.0E-5 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1460926E-4 | 1.2460811E-4 | 1.087243 | 1.0E-5 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011606573 | 0.0011706457 | 1.0086058 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.5341665E-7 | 4.5341665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9432127E-6 | 1.9432127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.365836E-5 | 2.365836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.4506272E-4 | 2.4506272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.355595E-8 | 8.355595E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.5809688E-7 | 3.5809688E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.359821E-6 | 4.359821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.5795394E-5 | 4.5795394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711063E-5 | 4.471062E-5 | 3.0392516 | 3.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304599E-5 | 9.30441E-5 | 1.4758132 | 3.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673321E-4 | 8.073014E-4 | 1.0520886 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648582 | 0.0077180467 | 1.0090821 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711063E-5 | 4.471062E-5 | 3.0392516 | 3.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304599E-5 | 9.30441E-5 | 1.4758132 | 3.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673321E-4 | 8.073014E-4 | 1.0520886 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648582 | 0.0077180467 | 1.0090821 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711063E-5 | 4.471062E-5 | 3.0392516 | 3.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304599E-5 | 9.30441E-5 | 1.4758132 | 3.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673321E-4 | 8.073014E-4 | 1.0520886 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648582 | 0.0077180467 | 1.0090821 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793114E-5 | 3.179288E-5 | 2.695885 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0541E-5 | 7.053999E-5 | 1.3956983 | 2.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151733E-4 | 6.4515485E-4 | 1.0487367 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357445 | 0.006195376 | 1.0097188 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793114E-5 | 3.179288E-5 | 2.695885 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0541E-5 | 7.053999E-5 | 1.3956983 | 2.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151733E-4 | 6.4515485E-4 | 1.0487367 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357445 | 0.006195376 | 1.0097188 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.04543005E-5 | 3.0454092E-5 | 2.9130683 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.480343E-5 | 6.480253E-5 | 1.4463744 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.453545E-4 | 5.653436E-4 | 1.0366534 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054410887 | 0.0054908167 | 1.0091393 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.413611E-6 | 2.9413422E-5 | 3.1245632 | 2.0E-5 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.034347E-5 | 6.0342667E-5 | 1.4957231 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9108E-4 | 5.1107013E-4 | 1.0407065 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.0049008303 | 0.0049505853 | 1.0101523 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404091E-6 | 2.9403902E-5 | 3.126714 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0302675E-5 | 6.0301867E-5 | 1.496225 | 2.0E-5 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.905835E-4 | 5.105736E-4 | 1.0407478 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.004895887 | 0.0049456423 | 1.0101627 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3800625E-6 | 2.7379914E-5 | 3.7099843 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.16285E-5 | 5.1627867E-5 | 1.6323211 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.850171E-4 | 4.0500943E-4 | 1.0519258 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038443056 | 0.0038941135 | 1.0129563 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.270952E-6 | 2.5270847E-5 | 4.794361 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2589633E-5 | 4.258918E-5 | 1.8853419 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7500023E-4 | 2.9499474E-4 | 1.0727072 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027472044 | 0.0027970672 | 1.0181503 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.590023E-6 | 2.3589952E-5 | 6.570975 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5385745E-5 | 3.5385438E-5 | 2.2998846 | 2.0E-5 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8730946E-4 | 2.0730571E-4 | 1.1067551 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018719183 | 0.0019018622 | 1.0159963 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2934796E-6 | 1.2934796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.543481E-6 | 5.543481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.7491426E-5 | 6.7491426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7486946E-4 | 6.7486946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794165E-5 | 2.6793998E-5 | 1.5954349 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.1973314E-5 | 1.01971156E-4 | 1.4167911 | 3.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7597774E-4 | 9.1594266E-4 | 1.0456233 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730675 | 0.008780239 | 1.005677 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794165E-5 | 2.6793998E-5 | 1.5954349 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.1973314E-5 | 1.01971156E-4 | 1.4167911 | 3.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7597774E-4 | 9.1594266E-4 | 1.0456233 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730675 | 0.008780239 | 1.005677 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681514E-5 | 1.3681514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8634017E-5 | 6.863343E-5 | 1.1705395 | 1.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.13684E-4 | 7.236769E-4 | 1.0140018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007118716 | 0.0071485024 | 1.0041842 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681514E-5 | 1.3681514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8634017E-5 | 6.863343E-5 | 1.1705395 | 1.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.13684E-4 | 7.236769E-4 | 1.0140018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007118716 | 0.0071485024 | 1.0041842 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0170096E-5 | 1.0170096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3585627E-5 | 4.3585627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.305669E-4 | 5.305669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004901982 | 0.005297038 | 0.005297038 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0117523E-5 | 1.0117523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3360324E-5 | 4.3360324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2782515E-4 | 5.2782515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004876298 | 0.00526975 | 0.00526975 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.4418125E-6 | 8.4418125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.617892E-5 | 3.617892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4042926E-4 | 4.4042926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0043994808 | 0.0043994808 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.44383E-6 | 2.44383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0473515E-5 | 1.0473515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2750778E-4 | 1.2750778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012743649 | 0.0012743649 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2062789E-6 | 2.2062789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.455448E-6 | 9.455448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1511416E-4 | 1.1511416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011505622 | 0.0011505622 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9810482E-6 | 1.9810482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.490179E-6 | 8.490179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0336319E-4 | 1.0336319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010331671 | 0.0010331671 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6202783E-6 | 1.6202783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.944032E-6 | 6.944032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.4540436E-5 | 8.4540436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.4509526E-4 | 8.4509526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497604E-6 | 1.1497604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275354E-6 | 4.9275354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999119E-5 | 5.999119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9975975E-4 | 5.9975975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387269E-7 | 6.387269E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7373983E-6 | 2.7373983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327386E-5 | 3.3327386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332307E-4 | 3.332307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255202E-4 | 2.2254797E-4 | 1.0987201 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002463546 | 0.0024934723 | 1.0121475 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388196 | 0.024446731 | 1.0024002 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255202E-4 | 2.2254797E-4 | 1.0987201 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002463546 | 0.0024934723 | 1.0121475 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388196 | 0.024446731 | 1.0024002 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255202E-4 | 2.2254797E-4 | 1.0987201 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002463546 | 0.0024934723 | 1.0121475 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388196 | 0.024446731 | 1.0024002 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360962E-5 | 3.360962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403371E-4 | 1.6403083E-4 | 1.1388364 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.00175227 | 0.0017822175 | 1.0170907 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.01739173 | 0.017450687 | 1.00339 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360962E-5 | 3.360962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403371E-4 | 1.6403083E-4 | 1.1388364 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.00175227 | 0.0017822175 | 1.0170907 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.01739173 | 0.017450687 | 1.00339 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8607454E-5 | 2.8607454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2259788E-4 | 1.4259543E-4 | 1.1631149 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014916548 | 0.0015216101 | 1.0200819 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014821324 | 0.014880435 | 1.0039883 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.465998E-5 | 2.465998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.05681516E-4 | 1.256794E-4 | 1.1892278 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012859458 | 0.0013159072 | 1.0232991 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012788476 | 0.012847709 | 1.0046318 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.178094E-5 | 2.178094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.334368E-5 | 1.1334182E-4 | 1.214242 | 2.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011358925 | 0.0011658584 | 1.0263809 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011303525 | 0.011362847 | 1.0052481 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.901828E-5 | 1.901828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.150446E-5 | 1.0150283E-4 | 1.2453654 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.918819E-4 | 0.0010218523 | 1.0302155 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009876307 | 0.009935714 | 1.0060152 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6389482E-5 | 1.6389482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.02388E-5 | 9.0237394E-5 | 1.2847229 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5483067E-4 | 8.84805E-4 | 1.0350647 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008516356 | 0.0085758455 | 1.0069853 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4537924E-5 | 1.4537924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.230393E-5 | 8.2302686E-5 | 1.320987 | 2.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.5829215E-4 | 7.8826945E-4 | 1.0395325 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.007557665 | 0.0076172114 | 1.007879 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4078161E-5 | 1.4078161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0333616E-5 | 8.033241E-5 | 1.3314701 | 2.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.343198E-4 | 7.642978E-4 | 1.0408242 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.007319527 | 0.007379088 | 1.0081372 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4015628E-5 | 1.4015628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0065628E-5 | 8.006443E-5 | 1.3329492 | 2.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.3105923E-4 | 7.610373E-4 | 1.0410063 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.007287136 | 0.0073466985 | 1.0081737 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3879767E-5 | 1.3879767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.948339E-5 | 7.9482204E-5 | 1.3362083 | 2.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2397524E-4 | 7.539535E-4 | 1.0414078 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0072167586 | 0.0072763255 | 1.0082539 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3647823E-5 | 1.3647823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8489393E-5 | 7.848822E-5 | 1.3419224 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.1188126E-4 | 7.418599E-4 | 1.0421119 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070965975 | 0.007156172 | 1.0083947 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3145472E-5 | 1.3145472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.633655E-5 | 7.6335426E-5 | 1.3549893 | 2.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.8568724E-4 | 7.156667E-4 | 1.0437217 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006836299 | 0.0068958886 | 1.0087167 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1579585E-5 | 1.1579585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9625876E-5 | 6.962488E-5 | 1.4029956 | 2.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.040327E-4 | 6.340146E-4 | 1.0496361 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060244408 | 0.0060840794 | 1.0098994 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0022746E-5 | 1.0022746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.295395E-5 | 6.295309E-5 | 1.4655949 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.228439E-4 | 5.528282E-4 | 1.0573485 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0052166474 | 0.0052663865 | 1.0095347 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.284649E-7 | 3.284649E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.407706E-6 | 1.407706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.713869E-5 | 1.713869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7137405E-4 | 1.7137405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4394532E-5 | 4.4394186E-5 | 1.2907339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4739682E-4 | 1.6739387E-4 | 1.1356682 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017930809 | 0.0018230272 | 1.016701 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018522728 | 0.018571803 | 1.0026494 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4394532E-5 | 4.4394186E-5 | 1.2907339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4739682E-4 | 1.6739387E-4 | 1.1356682 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017930809 | 0.0018230272 | 1.016701 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018522728 | 0.018571803 | 1.0026494 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4394532E-5 | 4.4394186E-5 | 1.2907339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4739682E-4 | 1.6739387E-4 | 1.1356682 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017930809 | 0.0018230272 | 1.016701 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018522728 | 0.018571803 | 1.0026494 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4394532E-5 | 4.4394186E-5 | 1.2907339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4739682E-4 | 1.6739387E-4 | 1.1356682 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017930809 | 0.0018230272 | 1.016701 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018522728 | 0.018571803 | 1.0026494 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4316105E-5 | 4.4315762E-5 | 1.2913984 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4706074E-4 | 1.670578E-4 | 1.1359782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017889964 | 0.0018189427 | 1.0167391 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.01848261 | 0.018531686 | 1.0026553 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4316105E-5 | 4.4315762E-5 | 1.2913984 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4706074E-4 | 1.670578E-4 | 1.1359782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017889964 | 0.0018189427 | 1.0167391 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.01848261 | 0.018531686 | 1.0026553 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.4279492E-5 | 4.427915E-5 | 1.2917097 | 1.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4690385E-4 | 1.6690092E-4 | 1.1361234 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0017870895 | 0.001817036 | 1.0167571 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.018463878 | 0.018512955 | 1.002658 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.4265067E-5 | 4.4264725E-5 | 1.2918324 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4684204E-4 | 1.668391E-4 | 1.1361808 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017863383 | 0.0018162847 | 1.0167642 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.018456502 | 0.018505579 | 1.0026591 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4234123E-5 | 4.423378E-5 | 1.2920963 | 1.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4670944E-4 | 1.6670651E-4 | 1.1363039 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017847265 | 0.001814673 | 1.0167793 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.018440656 | 0.018489735 | 1.0026613 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.419455E-5 | 4.4194207E-5 | 1.2924343 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4653984E-4 | 1.6653692E-4 | 1.1364616 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017826651 | 0.0018126117 | 1.0167987 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.01842039 | 0.01846947 | 1.0026643 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.407657E-5 | 4.4076227E-5 | 1.2934468 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4603428E-4 | 1.6603136E-4 | 1.1369342 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017765199 | 0.0018064666 | 1.0168569 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.018359972 | 0.018409055 | 1.0026733 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.403285E-5 | 4.403251E-5 | 1.2938237 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4584693E-4 | 1.6584402E-4 | 1.1371101 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017742428 | 0.0018041896 | 1.0168786 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.018337566 | 0.01838665 | 1.0026766 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.396707E-5 | 4.396673E-5 | 1.2943928 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4556505E-4 | 1.6556215E-4 | 1.1373756 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017708165 | 0.0018007634 | 1.0169114 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018303836 | 0.01835292 | 1.0026816 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.385536E-5 | 4.385502E-5 | 1.2953643 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4508633E-4 | 1.6508343E-4 | 1.137829 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017649976 | 0.0017949446 | 1.0169672 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.018246388 | 0.018295476 | 1.0026903 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.3802888E-5 | 4.380255E-5 | 1.2958227 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4486148E-4 | 1.6485859E-4 | 1.1380429 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017622644 | 0.0017922116 | 1.0169935 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.0182194 | 0.01826849 | 1.0026944 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.3612705E-5 | 4.361237E-5 | 1.2974966 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4404651E-4 | 1.6404364E-4 | 1.138824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017523582 | 0.0017823057 | 1.0170898 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.01812053 | 0.018169623 | 1.0027093 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.213617E-5 | 4.213585E-5 | 1.3111658 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3771918E-4 | 1.5771644E-4 | 1.145203 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016754436 | 0.0017053933 | 1.0178757 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.017340416 | 0.017389549 | 1.0028335 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9232393E-5 | 3.92321E-5 | 1.3420763 | 1.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2527568E-4 | 1.4527317E-4 | 1.1596279 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015241653 | 0.0015541195 | 1.019653 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.015828714 | 0.015877923 | 1.0031089 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6523543E-5 | 3.6523277E-5 | 1.3770136 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1366738E-4 | 1.336651E-4 | 1.1759319 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0013830226 | 0.0014129812 | 1.0216616 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.014410028 | 0.014459307 | 1.0034198 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.1504095E-5 | 3.1503878E-5 | 1.4650177 | 1.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.2157155E-5 | 1.1215531E-4 | 1.2170006 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011214366 | 0.0011414142 | 1.0178143 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.011775419 | 0.011805066 | 1.0025177 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.5934353E-5 | 2.5934192E-5 | 1.6275649 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.82883E-5 | 8.828693E-5 | 1.292856 | 2.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.310935E-4 | 8.510769E-4 | 1.0240446 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.00880904 | 0.0088288635 | 1.0022504 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.299667E-6 | 8.299667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.556952E-5 | 3.556952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3297335E-4 | 4.3297335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052278144 | 0.004658037 | 0.004658037 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5644919E-6 | 1.5644919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.7049477E-6 | 6.7049477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.162971E-5 | 8.162971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.4777363E-4 | 9.4777363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6117652E-7 | 3.6117652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5478985E-6 | 1.5478985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8845505E-5 | 1.8845505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.273426E-4 | 2.273426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497057E-5 | 5.497057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556853E-4 | 2.3556853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864544 | 0.0028844867 | 1.006962 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.02830432 | 0.028333472 | 1.00103 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497057E-5 | 5.497057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556853E-4 | 2.3556853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864544 | 0.0028745155 | 1.0034809 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.02830432 | 0.028323755 | 1.0006866 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3924873E-5 | 3.3924873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.453844E-4 | 1.453844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686523 | 0.0017786347 | 1.005644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017549712 | 0.017569361 | 1.0011196 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3924873E-5 | 3.3924873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.453844E-4 | 1.453844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686523 | 0.0017786347 | 1.005644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017549712 | 0.017569361 | 1.0011196 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7912221E-5 | 2.7912221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1961844E-4 | 1.1961844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014554005 | 0.001465386 | 1.006861 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013192902 | 0.01446086 | 0.014480571 | 1.001363 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.512805E-5 | 2.512805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0768729E-4 | 1.0768729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013103187 | 0.0013203056 | 1.0076218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012003611 | 0.013027596 | 0.013047336 | 1.0015152 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0354188E-5 | 2.0354188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.722936E-5 | 8.722936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.001061508 | 0.001061508 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00992627 | 0.010565287 | 0.010575182 | 1.0009365 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8146206E-5 | 1.8146206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.776717E-5 | 7.776717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.4640953E-4 | 9.4640953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008949154 | 0.009424437 | 0.009424437 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5926353E-5 | 1.5926353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.8254034E-5 | 6.8254034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3068036E-4 | 8.3068036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007960589 | 0.008276241 | 0.008276241 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.33295025E-5 | 1.33295025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.7125202E-5 | 5.7125202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.952797E-4 | 6.952797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069313045 | 0.0069313045 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1932665E-5 | 1.1932665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1139003E-5 | 5.1139003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.224412E-4 | 6.224412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006157372 | 0.006207171 | 0.006207171 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.05420895E-5 | 1.05420895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5179608E-5 | 4.5179608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.4992404E-4 | 5.4992404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055142213 | 0.005485763 | 0.005485763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.459034E-6 | 9.459034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0538096E-5 | 4.0538096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.934406E-4 | 4.934406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049235686 | 0.0049235686 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.379476E-6 | 8.379476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.591155E-5 | 3.591155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3713645E-4 | 4.3713645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004470094 | 0.004362877 | 0.004362877 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9514385E-6 | 6.9514385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9791545E-5 | 2.9791545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6265264E-4 | 3.6265264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036207086 | 0.0036207086 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2514924E-6 | 5.2514924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2506205E-5 | 2.2506205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.739793E-4 | 2.739793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027364872 | 0.0027364872 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0608607E-6 | 2.0608607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.832231E-6 | 8.832231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.07527194E-4 | 1.07527194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010747602 | 0.0010747602 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1016216E-6 | 1.1016216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.721227E-6 | 4.721227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7479447E-5 | 5.7479447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.746482E-4 | 5.746482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.0710653E-7 | 6.0710653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6018827E-6 | 2.6018827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1677475E-5 | 3.1677475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.167309E-4 | 3.167309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.0900173E-9 | 5.0900173E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.181436E-8 | 2.181436E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6558982E-7 | 2.6558982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.655896E-6 | 2.655896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.821221E-5 | 1.0821045E-4 | 1.226706 | 2.0E-5 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7800116E-4 | 3.979936E-4 | 1.05289 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0045930236 | 0.004612932 | 1.0043344 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03752231 | 0.0450449 | 0.045083094 | 1.000848 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.488469E-5 | 4.488469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.923493E-4 | 1.923493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023394194 | 0.0023394194 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019602431 | 0.02315662 | 0.023176158 | 1.0008436 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3296576E-5 | 3.3296576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269195E-4 | 1.4269195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.001735913 | 0.001735913 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226191 | 0.017245848 | 1.0011411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3296576E-5 | 3.3296576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269195E-4 | 1.4269195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.001735913 | 0.001735913 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226191 | 0.017245848 | 1.0011411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.544822E-5 | 2.544822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0905929E-4 | 1.0905929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013269975 | 0.0013269975 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011519298 | 0.013191907 | 0.013201775 | 1.000748 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4024603E-5 | 2.4024603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0295857E-4 | 1.0295857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012528086 | 0.0012528086 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010900296 | 0.012458543 | 0.012468419 | 1.0007926 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0704714E-5 | 2.0704714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.8731496E-5 | 8.8731496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.001079776 | 0.001079776 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.010745966 | 0.010755858 | 1.0009205 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7983582E-5 | 1.7983582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.707023E-5 | 7.707023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.379289E-4 | 9.379289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.00934007 | 0.00934007 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6201007E-5 | 1.6201007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.943105E-5 | 6.943105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.4499724E-4 | 8.4499724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008418109 | 0.008418109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4205785E-5 | 1.4205785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0880524E-5 | 6.0880524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.409697E-4 | 7.409697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.0073851775 | 0.0073851775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2289219E-5 | 1.2289219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2667023E-5 | 5.2667023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.4103334E-4 | 6.4103334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.0063919704 | 0.0063919704 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0606983E-5 | 1.0606983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.545771E-5 | 4.545771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.533079E-4 | 5.533079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005519399 | 0.005519399 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.258593E-6 | 9.258593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9679086E-5 | 3.9679086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8298645E-4 | 4.8298645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.0048194476 | 0.0048194476 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.089691E-6 | 7.089691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0384037E-5 | 3.0384037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.6986326E-4 | 3.6986326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.0036925229 | 0.0036925229 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6426616E-6 | 5.6426616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4182613E-5 | 2.4182613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9438394E-4 | 2.9438394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.002939981 | 0.002939981 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.969671E-6 | 1.969671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.441422E-6 | 8.441422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02769685E-4 | 1.02769685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272437 | 0.0010272437 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533809E-7 | 1.7533809E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5144874E-7 | 7.5144874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.148852E-6 | 9.148852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.148495E-5 | 9.148495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622522E-5 | 8.6224456E-5 | 1.1311802 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2664195E-4 | 3.466354E-4 | 1.0612091 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003970148 | 0.004000029 | 1.0075264 | 3.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904884 | 0.03908728 | 1.0009843 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622522E-5 | 8.6224456E-5 | 1.1311802 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2664195E-4 | 3.466354E-4 | 1.0612091 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003970148 | 0.004000029 | 1.0075264 | 3.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904884 | 0.03908728 | 1.0009843 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622522E-5 | 8.6224456E-5 | 1.1311802 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2664195E-4 | 3.466354E-4 | 1.0612091 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003970148 | 0.004000029 | 1.0075264 | 3.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904884 | 0.03908728 | 1.0009843 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9748713E-5 | 5.9748218E-5 | 1.2010002 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319262E-4 | 2.3318836E-4 | 1.0937918 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025927392 | 0.0026226614 | 1.0115408 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646599 | 0.025685573 | 1.0015197 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9748713E-5 | 5.9748218E-5 | 1.2010002 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319262E-4 | 2.3318836E-4 | 1.0937918 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025927392 | 0.0026226614 | 1.0115408 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646599 | 0.025685573 | 1.0015197 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.65614E-5 | 4.6561032E-5 | 1.2735025 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5668297E-4 | 1.7667984E-4 | 1.1276263 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019060619 | 0.0019360047 | 1.0157093 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.018909073 | 0.018948317 | 1.0020754 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.51542E-5 | 4.515385E-5 | 1.284451 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5065282E-4 | 1.7064982E-4 | 1.1327356 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018327683 | 0.0018627134 | 1.0163387 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018188147 | 0.018227419 | 1.0021592 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.724814E-5 | 3.7247868E-5 | 1.3669876 | 1.0E-5 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.1677303E-4 | 1.3677069E-4 | 1.1712524 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001192729 | 0.001420876 | 0.0014508334 | 1.0210837 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011863477 | 0.0141271455 | 0.0141665805 | 1.0027914 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5431746E-5 | 3.543149E-5 | 1.3931993 | 1.0E-5 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0898915E-4 | 1.18988064E-4 | 1.0917423 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013262255 | 0.001346199 | 1.0150604 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011065915 | 0.013192143 | 0.013221748 | 1.0022441 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2613433E-5 | 3.2613207E-5 | 1.4422051 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.69116E-5 | 1.0691064E-4 | 1.1031768 | 1.0E-5 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011793475 | 0.0011993239 | 1.0169386 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009869894 | 0.011739573 | 0.011759338 | 1.0016836 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0319252E-5 | 3.031905E-5 | 1.4921341 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.708009E-5 | 9.707921E-5 | 1.1148268 | 1.0E-5 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010597695 | 0.0010797484 | 1.018852 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008882134 | 0.010555593 | 0.010575382 | 1.0018747 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.8994664E-5 | 1.8994664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.140364E-5 | 8.140364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.907234E-4 | 0.0010007134 | 1.0100837 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008304977 | 0.00987143 | 0.009881331 | 1.001003 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.719715E-5 | 1.719715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.370046E-5 | 7.370046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.9701766E-4 | 9.070087E-4 | 1.0111381 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007520827 | 0.008942238 | 0.008952149 | 1.0011083 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.203645E-6 | 6.203645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6586977E-5 | 2.6586977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.2368326E-4 | 3.2368326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032355408 | 0.0032355408 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.4083433E-7 | 8.4083433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.603571E-6 | 3.603571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3872667E-5 | 4.3872667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.386473E-4 | 4.386473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.667226E-7 | 6.667226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8573797E-6 | 2.8573797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.478811E-5 | 3.478811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.478333E-4 | 3.478333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5620013E-7 | 3.5620013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5265713E-6 | 1.5265713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8585893E-5 | 1.8585893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.85848E-4 | 1.85848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.219837E-7 | 1.219837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.227872E-7 | 5.227872E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.3649163E-6 | 6.3649163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.364738E-5 | 6.364738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1027568E-8 | 3.1027568E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3297529E-7 | 1.3297529E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6189731E-6 | 1.6189731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6189633E-5 | 1.6189633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050715944 | 0.0051113917 | 1.0078471 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050715944 | 0.0051113917 | 1.0078471 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050715944 | 0.0051113917 | 1.0078471 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050715944 | 0.0051113917 | 1.0078471 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000717E-6 | 5.3000717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714416E-5 | 2.2714416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7651637E-4 | 2.7651637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620634 | 0.0027820081 | 1.007221 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000717E-6 | 5.3000717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714416E-5 | 2.2714416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7651637E-4 | 2.7651637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620634 | 0.0027820081 | 1.007221 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4987834E-6 | 3.4987834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4994709E-5 | 1.4994709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.825469E-4 | 1.825469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241272 | 0.0018440906 | 1.0109441 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.48565E-6 | 3.48565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4938424E-5 | 1.4938424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186173E-4 | 1.8186173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018172868 | 0.0018372504 | 1.0109854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.733698E-6 | 2.733698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1715804E-5 | 1.1715804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263192E-4 | 1.4263192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255359 | 0.0014455074 | 1.0140098 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.474327E-6 | 2.474327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604223E-5 | 1.0604223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910008E-4 | 1.2910008E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012903805 | 0.0012903805 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429359E-6 | 1.7429359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4697095E-6 | 7.4697095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.0940965E-5 | 9.0940965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.091403E-4 | 9.091403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5714805E-7 | 3.5714805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306335E-6 | 1.5306335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635306E-5 | 1.8635306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.863377E-4 | 1.863377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2750562E-7 | 2.2750562E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750237E-7 | 9.750237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.187085E-5 | 1.187085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.18702264E-4 | 1.18702264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6060915E-7 | 1.6060915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.883247E-7 | 6.883247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380322E-6 | 8.380322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.380012E-5 | 8.380012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.14317004E-7 | 1.14317004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899299E-7 | 4.899299E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.964881E-6 | 5.964881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9647253E-5 | 5.9647253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.978771E-8 | 4.978771E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.133759E-7 | 2.133759E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5978486E-6 | 2.5978486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5978201E-5 | 2.5978201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5317896E-9 | 1.5317896E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5648122E-9 | 6.5648122E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992659E-8 | 7.992659E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.992659E-7 | 7.992659E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 4.3734723E-5 | 1.2964175 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.5457082E-4 | 1.0691595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759003 | 0.0017889503 | 1.0170251 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747628 | 0.017505754 | 1.0016866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 4.3734723E-5 | 1.2964175 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.5457082E-4 | 1.0691595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759003 | 0.0017889503 | 1.0170251 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747628 | 0.017505754 | 1.0016866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 4.3734723E-5 | 1.2964175 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.5457082E-4 | 1.0691595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759003 | 0.0017889503 | 1.0170251 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747628 | 0.017505754 | 1.0016866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 4.3734723E-5 | 1.2964175 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.5457082E-4 | 1.0691595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759003 | 0.0017889503 | 1.0170251 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747628 | 0.017505754 | 1.0016866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019538E-5 | 1.7019538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2938965E-5 | 7.2938965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.876932E-4 | 8.976843E-4 | 1.0112551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843759 | 0.00885367 | 1.0011207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019538E-5 | 1.7019538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2938965E-5 | 7.2938965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.876932E-4 | 8.976843E-4 | 1.0112551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843759 | 0.00885367 | 1.0011207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21222165E-5 | 1.21222165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951334E-5 | 5.1951334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3232624E-4 | 6.423199E-4 | 1.0158046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305476 | 0.006315413 | 1.001576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21222165E-5 | 1.21222165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951334E-5 | 5.1951334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3232624E-4 | 6.423199E-4 | 1.0158046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305476 | 0.006315413 | 1.001576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1344362E-5 | 1.1344362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.86178E-5 | 4.86178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.917629E-4 | 6.0175697E-4 | 1.0168886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007104293 | 0.005902036 | 0.005911977 | 1.0016843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1322462E-5 | 1.1322462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8523947E-5 | 4.8523947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.9062085E-4 | 6.0061493E-4 | 1.0169213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007094092 | 0.0058906763 | 0.0059006177 | 1.0016876 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1242029E-5 | 1.1242029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.817925E-5 | 4.817925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.864264E-4 | 5.9642055E-4 | 1.0170424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007055073 | 0.0058489535 | 0.005858895 | 1.0016997 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0720488E-5 | 1.0720488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.5944147E-5 | 4.5944147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.592283E-4 | 5.6922267E-4 | 1.0178717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0055783642 | 0.0055883084 | 1.0017827 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.995097E-6 | 9.995097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.2835436E-5 | 4.2835436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.213984E-4 | 5.313932E-4 | 1.0191692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005201892 | 0.00521184 | 1.0019124 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.84379E-6 | 8.84379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7901416E-5 | 3.7901416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.613536E-4 | 4.71349E-4 | 1.0216653 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056803077 | 0.004604073 | 0.0046140268 | 1.002162 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.423521E-6 | 8.423521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.610031E-5 | 3.610031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.394342E-4 | 4.494298E-4 | 1.0227466 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054116896 | 0.004385763 | 0.004395719 | 1.0022701 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.2975085E-6 | 7.2975085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.127467E-5 | 3.127467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.80704E-4 | 3.9070018E-4 | 1.0262572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004693329 | 0.0038006115 | 0.0038105734 | 1.0026212 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.874114E-6 | 3.874114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.660324E-5 | 1.660324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0212584E-4 | 2.121238E-4 | 1.0494641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020194335 | 0.0020294134 | 1.0049419 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.126756E-6 | 3.126756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3400314E-5 | 1.3400314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.631367E-4 | 1.7313506E-4 | 1.0612882 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016301788 | 0.0016401624 | 1.0061243 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0299E-6 | 2.0299E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.699543E-6 | 8.699543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0591184E-4 | 1.1591078E-4 | 1.0944082 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010586183 | 0.0010686077 | 1.0094362 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2765044E-7 | 3.2765044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4042155E-6 | 1.4042155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7096192E-5 | 2.709602E-5 | 1.5849155 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7094908E-4 | 1.8094736E-4 | 1.0584869 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6836047E-9 | 5.6836047E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4358307E-8 | 2.4358307E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9656238E-7 | 2.9656238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9656217E-6 | 2.9656217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040627E-5 | 2.1040516E-5 | 1.9057356 | 1.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731641E-5 | 6.7315465E-5 | 1.4226663 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7597767E-4 | 5.959662E-4 | 1.0347036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057500144 | 0.005779842 | 1.0051874 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040627E-5 | 2.1040516E-5 | 1.9057356 | 1.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731641E-5 | 6.7315465E-5 | 1.4226663 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7597767E-4 | 5.959662E-4 | 1.0347036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057500144 | 0.005779842 | 1.0051874 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2081995E-6 | 2.2081995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463702E-6 | 1.9463607E-5 | 2.056659 | 1.0E-5 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15218674E-4 | 1.2521751E-4 | 1.0867815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520007 | 0.0011719777 | 1.0173411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2081995E-6 | 2.2081995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463702E-6 | 1.9463607E-5 | 2.056659 | 1.0E-5 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15218674E-4 | 1.2521751E-4 | 1.0867815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520007 | 0.0011719777 | 1.0173411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8108747E-6 | 1.8108747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.760892E-6 | 1.7760814E-5 | 2.2885017 | 1.0E-5 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.448885E-5 | 1.0448791E-4 | 1.1058226 | 1.0E-5 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.4488857E-4 | 9.648696E-4 | 1.0211465 | 2.0E-5 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.713679E-5 | 5.713632E-5 | 1.2121385 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0200403E-4 | 2.2199999E-4 | 1.0989879 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024574527 | 0.0024973543 | 1.016237 | 4.0E-5 | 0.021518968 | 0.024384702 | 0.024423726 | 1.0016004 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.685415E-5 | 1.685415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.2230134E-5 | 7.2230134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.7905774E-4 | 8.7905774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009028391 | 0.008757101 | 0.008757101 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3673222E-5 | 1.3673222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.859823E-5 | 5.859823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.132038E-4 | 7.132038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007600669 | 0.0071097463 | 0.0071097463 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2482137E-5 | 1.2482137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.3493794E-5 | 5.3493794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.5109547E-4 | 6.5109547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00704657 | 0.006492396 | 0.006492396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1979094E-5 | 1.1979094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.133798E-5 | 5.133798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.2486366E-4 | 6.2486366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006810953 | 0.006231566 | 0.006231566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1048743E-5 | 1.1048743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.7350914E-5 | 4.7350914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.763476E-4 | 5.763476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006372592 | 0.005748992 | 0.005748992 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0063478E-5 | 1.0063478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.312849E-5 | 4.312849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.2496494E-4 | 5.2496494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0052376487 | 0.0052376487 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.516972E-6 | 9.516972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0786395E-5 | 4.0786395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.964632E-4 | 4.964632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049539288 | 0.0049539288 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.299723E-6 | 9.299723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.985536E-5 | 3.985536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.85133E-4 | 4.85133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005550127 | 0.0048411256 | 0.0048411256 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.591993E-6 | 8.591993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.682232E-5 | 3.682232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.482213E-4 | 4.482213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044735377 | 0.0044735377 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.025023E-6 | 8.025023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.4392513E-5 | 3.4392513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.186501E-4 | 4.186501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00496445 | 0.004178968 | 0.004178968 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.652326E-6 | 7.652326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.279528E-5 | 3.279528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.9921107E-4 | 3.9921107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004792784 | 0.0039852895 | 0.0039852895 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.931077E-6 | 5.931077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5418654E-5 | 2.5418654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.094285E-4 | 3.094285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030901874 | 0.0030901874 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.596116E-6 | 5.596116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3983135E-5 | 2.3983135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9195583E-4 | 2.9195583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029159326 | 0.0029159326 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9184723E-6 | 4.9184723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1078999E-5 | 2.1078999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.5660679E-4 | 2.5660679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025633036 | 0.0025633036 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0838345E-6 | 4.0838345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.750203E-5 | 1.750203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.130665E-4 | 2.130665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021286334 | 0.0021286334 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0883268E-6 | 3.0883268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.323562E-5 | 1.323562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6113183E-4 | 1.6113183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016101581 | 0.0016101581 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8281966E-6 | 1.8281966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.835105E-6 | 7.835105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.5388285E-5 | 9.5388285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.534796E-4 | 9.534796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.509852E-7 | 3.509852E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5042215E-6 | 1.5042215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8313744E-5 | 1.8313744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8312247E-4 | 1.8312247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2688697E-8 | 1.2688697E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.438013E-8 | 5.438013E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6207787E-7 | 6.6207787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.62076E-6 | 6.62076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0320647E-9 | 2.0320647E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.708849E-9 | 8.708849E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0603022E-7 | 1.0603022E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0603018E-6 | 1.0603018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5705362E-4 | 3.7704647E-4 | 1.055994 | 2.0E-5 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015293424 | 0.0015493118 | 1.0130575 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463185 | 0.01849263 | 1.0015949 | 3.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667642 | 0.16679753 | 1.0001999 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5705362E-4 | 3.7704647E-4 | 1.055994 | 2.0E-5 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015293424 | 0.0015493118 | 1.0130575 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463185 | 0.01849263 | 1.0015949 | 3.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667642 | 0.16679753 | 1.0001999 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5705362E-4 | 3.7704647E-4 | 1.055994 | 2.0E-5 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015293424 | 0.0015493118 | 1.0130575 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463185 | 0.01849263 | 1.0015949 | 3.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667642 | 0.16679753 | 1.0001999 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.426223E-4 | 3.6261545E-4 | 1.0583533 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014675646 | 0.0014875352 | 1.013608 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0089988755 | 0.017723488 | 0.017752957 | 1.0016626 | 3.0E-5 | 0.08643075 | 0.1607095 | 0.16074307 | 1.0002089 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.234388E-4 | 3.4343233E-4 | 1.0618155 | 2.0E-5 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013854386 | 0.0014054109 | 1.0144159 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008487372 | 0.016739268 | 0.016768765 | 1.0017622 | 3.0E-5 | 0.081704415 | 0.1526165 | 0.1526504 | 1.0002221 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.101854E-4 | 3.3017917E-4 | 1.0644575 | 2.0E-5 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.001328697 | 0.0013486705 | 1.0150323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008107598 | 0.016058786 | 0.016088305 | 1.0018381 | 3.0E-5 | 0.078181036 | 0.14689381 | 0.14692794 | 1.0002323 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8032728E-4 | 2.9032447E-4 | 1.0356625 | 1.0E-5 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012008563 | 0.0012108443 | 1.0083174 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014523915 | 0.014543624 | 1.0013571 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07067384 | 0.13398212 | 0.1340081 | 1.000194 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3271456E-4 | 2.4271224E-4 | 1.0429611 | 1.0E-5 | 4.914658E-4 | 9.96972E-4 | 0.001006962 | 1.0100204 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012071642 | 0.012091401 | 1.0016367 | 2.0E-5 | 0.058094822 | 0.112768225 | 0.11279485 | 1.000236 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.886147E-4 | 1.9861282E-4 | 1.0530081 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.0810196E-4 | 8.180939E-4 | 1.0123646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009794992 | 0.009814797 | 1.0020219 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047804173 | 0.09261915 | 0.0926373 | 1.000196 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.0729479E-4 | 1.0729479E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.5975437E-4 | 4.5975437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028927654 | 0.005583262 | 0.005583262 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028553981 | 0.054245863 | 0.054245863 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.246443E-5 | 8.246443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.5337152E-4 | 3.5337152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022236328 | 0.004293884 | 0.004293884 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022015138 | 0.042064138 | 0.042064138 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.301877E-5 | 6.301877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.7005258E-4 | 2.7005258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.003282952 | 0.003282952 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017101998 | 0.032452554 | 0.032452554 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.701329E-5 | 5.701329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.4431988E-4 | 2.4431988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.002970554 | 0.002970554 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458403 | 0.029453432 | 0.029453432 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.5990277E-5 | 4.5990277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9708637E-4 | 1.9708637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0023968988 | 0.0023968988 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.023856966 | 0.023856966 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.5048484E-5 | 3.5048484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.501992E-4 | 1.501992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0018271513 | 0.0018271513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.018257394 | 0.018257394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.3329112E-5 | 2.3329112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 9.997811E-5 | 9.997811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012165596 | 0.0012165596 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.0122079775 | 0.0122079775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.886334E-6 | 8.886334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.808374E-5 | 3.808374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6357213E-4 | 4.6357213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.004679598 | 0.004679598 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.2056432E-6 | 1.2056432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.1670318E-6 | 5.1670318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.29068E-5 | 6.29068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.529172E-4 | 6.529172E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 9.791959E-7 | 9.791959E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.196547E-6 | 4.196547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.1091763E-5 | 5.1091763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.3212955E-4 | 5.3212955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.3862E-7 | 7.3862E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.1655102E-6 | 3.1655102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.853941E-5 | 3.853941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 3.9930313E-4 | 3.9930313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.4714553E-7 | 5.4714553E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3449074E-6 | 2.3449074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.8548875E-5 | 2.8548875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.9354735E-4 | 2.9354735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.605856E-7 | 2.605856E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1167949E-6 | 1.1167949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.3596894E-5 | 1.3596894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.3917121E-4 | 1.3917121E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 5.785312E-5 | 1.2089607 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 2.150696E-4 | 1.0487535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940518 | 0.002523977 | 1.0119987 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678139 | 0.024717152 | 1.0015808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 5.785312E-5 | 1.2089607 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 2.150696E-4 | 1.0487535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940518 | 0.002523977 | 1.0119987 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678139 | 0.024717152 | 1.0015808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 5.785312E-5 | 1.2089607 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 2.150696E-4 | 1.0487535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940518 | 0.002523977 | 1.0119987 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678139 | 0.024717152 | 1.0015808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 5.785312E-5 | 1.2089607 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 2.150696E-4 | 1.0487535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940518 | 0.002523977 | 1.0119987 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678139 | 0.024717152 | 1.0015808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960321E-5 | 4.960281E-5 | 1.2524948 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971752E-4 | 1.7971582E-4 | 1.0589114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644458 | 0.0020943838 | 1.0145017 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462705 | 0.020501886 | 1.0019147 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960321E-5 | 4.960281E-5 | 1.2524948 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971752E-4 | 1.7971582E-4 | 1.0589114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644458 | 0.0020943838 | 1.0145017 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462705 | 0.020501886 | 1.0019147 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.120536E-5 | 4.1205047E-5 | 1.3204478 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.337306E-4 | 1.4372927E-4 | 1.0747672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016269886 | 0.0016469562 | 1.0122726 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016154641 | 0.016184157 | 1.001827 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0814746E-5 | 4.0814437E-5 | 1.32451 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3205671E-4 | 1.4205539E-4 | 1.0757151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016066392 | 0.0016266071 | 1.0124284 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.015954081 | 0.015983602 | 1.0018504 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.500945E-5 | 2.500945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.07179076E-4 | 1.07179076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013041458 | 0.0013041458 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012867244 | 0.012967292 | 0.012967292 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3337734E-5 | 2.3337734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.00015146E-4 | 1.00015146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012170245 | 0.0012170245 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012089936 | 0.012105788 | 0.012105788 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1760867E-5 | 2.1760867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.325764E-5 | 9.325764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011348402 | 0.0011348402 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011320163 | 0.011292553 | 0.011292553 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0540516E-5 | 2.0540516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8027926E-5 | 8.8027926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010712326 | 0.0010712326 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010722724 | 0.010662739 | 0.010662739 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9053807E-5 | 1.9053807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.165672E-5 | 8.165672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.937364E-4 | 9.937364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009859995 | 0.009894928 | 0.009894928 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.490653E-5 | 1.490653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.3883635E-5 | 6.3883635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.775185E-4 | 7.775185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.0077492814 | 0.0077492814 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1860794E-5 | 1.1860794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.0831037E-5 | 5.0831037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.1870157E-4 | 6.1870157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0061707394 | 0.0061707394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.158034E-6 | 9.158034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.924817E-5 | 3.924817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7774953E-4 | 4.7774953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004768 | 0.004768 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.5453544E-6 | 4.5453544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9479952E-5 | 1.9479952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.37144E-4 | 2.37144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023690467 | 0.0023690467 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.584271E-6 | 3.584271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5361078E-5 | 1.5361078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.870064E-4 | 1.870064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018686203 | 0.0018686203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.7090944E-5 | 4.7090944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0180384E-4 | 2.0180384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024543896 | 0.0024743406 | 1.0081286 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021239553 | 0.024293464 | 0.024322735 | 1.0012048 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864874E-5 | 2.3864874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.02274185E-4 | 1.02274185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445059 | 0.001264481 | 1.0160506 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.012378406 | 0.012408035 | 1.0023936 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864874E-5 | 2.3864874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.02274185E-4 | 1.02274185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445059 | 0.001264481 | 1.0160506 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.012378406 | 0.012408035 | 1.0023936 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.707436E-5 | 1.707436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.317385E-5 | 7.317385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9053944E-4 | 9.1052166E-4 | 1.0224383 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007878214 | 0.00887096 | 0.0088907825 | 1.0022346 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3852871E-5 | 1.3852871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9368143E-5 | 5.9368143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.225755E-4 | 7.425611E-4 | 1.0276588 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006419184 | 0.007203098 | 0.007222954 | 1.0027566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0117E-5 | 1.0117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.335788E-5 | 4.335788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.2775966E-4 | 5.377544E-4 | 1.0189381 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004716845 | 0.005265601 | 0.0052755484 | 1.0018891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.400708E-6 | 8.400708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.6002562E-5 | 3.6002562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3824734E-4 | 4.4824294E-4 | 1.0228082 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043742605 | 0.004384217 | 1.0022761 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.0873635E-6 | 6.0873635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6088457E-5 | 2.6088457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1758394E-4 | 3.1758394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031716225 | 0.0031716225 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.08313E-6 | 4.08313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7499025E-5 | 1.7499025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1303231E-4 | 2.1303231E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.002128526 | 0.002128526 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6292657E-6 | 2.6292657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1268233E-5 | 1.1268233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3718213E-4 | 1.3718213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013709774 | 0.0013709774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4827739E-6 | 2.4827739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0640416E-5 | 1.0640416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2953939E-4 | 1.2953939E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.001294641 | 0.001294641 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.373246E-6 | 2.373246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0171014E-5 | 1.0171014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2382507E-4 | 1.2382507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012375629 | 0.0012375629 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.27615E-6 | 2.27615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.754892E-6 | 9.754892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1875936E-4 | 1.1875936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011869608 | 0.0011869608 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1087155E-6 | 2.1087155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.0373205E-6 | 9.0373205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.10023844E-4 | 1.10023844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010996955 | 0.0010996955 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8045704E-6 | 1.8045704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.73385E-6 | 7.73385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.415557E-5 | 9.415557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.4115845E-4 | 9.4115845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.512201E-7 | 9.512201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0766513E-6 | 4.0766513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9632108E-5 | 4.9632108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962114E-4 | 4.962114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0529284E-7 | 4.0529284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7369682E-6 | 1.7369682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1147389E-5 | 2.1147389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1145442E-4 | 2.1145442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.339041E-8 | 6.339041E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7167314E-7 | 2.7167314E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3076155E-6 | 3.3076155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.307567E-5 | 3.307567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964147E-9 | 1.3964147E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.984634E-9 | 5.984634E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.286292E-8 | 7.286292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.28629E-7 | 7.28629E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4090827E-5 | 3.4090586E-5 | 1.4150858 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0324288E-4 | 1.1324185E-4 | 1.096849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563579 | 0.0012763328 | 1.0158991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502574 | 0.0125322 | 1.0023695 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4090827E-5 | 3.4090586E-5 | 1.4150858 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0324288E-4 | 1.1324185E-4 | 1.096849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563579 | 0.0012763328 | 1.0158991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502574 | 0.0125322 | 1.0023695 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4090827E-5 | 3.4090586E-5 | 1.4150858 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0324288E-4 | 1.1324185E-4 | 1.096849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563579 | 0.0012763328 | 1.0158991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502574 | 0.0125322 | 1.0023695 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638019E-5 | 1.3638019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447433E-5 | 5.8447433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.113814E-4 | 7.213743E-4 | 1.0140471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926677 | 0.0071125263 | 1.0027999 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638019E-5 | 1.3638019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447433E-5 | 5.8447433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.113814E-4 | 7.213743E-4 | 1.0140471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926677 | 0.0071125263 | 1.0027999 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0476945E-5 | 1.0476945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4900476E-5 | 4.4900476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.465362E-4 | 5.565307E-4 | 1.0182871 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008994718 | 0.005452916 | 0.005472807 | 1.0036478 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414112E-6 | 8.414112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.606002E-5 | 3.606002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3894956E-4 | 4.3894956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043815426 | 0.0043815426 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.4111982E-6 | 6.4111982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.74763E-5 | 2.74763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3447728E-4 | 3.3447728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033401987 | 0.0033401987 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3331297E-6 | 4.3331297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8570428E-5 | 1.8570428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2607238E-4 | 2.2607238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.0022585108 | 0.0022585108 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.580573E-6 | 3.580573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5345226E-5 | 1.5345226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.868127E-4 | 1.868127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.001866615 | 0.001866615 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.567426E-6 | 2.567426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.100321E-5 | 1.100321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3395616E-4 | 1.3395616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013387852 | 0.0013387852 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2273025E-6 | 2.2273025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.545549E-6 | 9.545549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1621116E-4 | 1.1621116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011615328 | 0.0011615328 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6274947E-6 | 1.6274947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.9749603E-6 | 6.9749603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.491707E-5 | 8.491707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.488694E-4 | 8.488694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.344683E-7 | 8.344683E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.576289E-6 | 3.576289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3540593E-5 | 4.3540593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.353351E-4 | 4.353351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719532E-5 | 4.271908E-5 | 1.8802798 | 2.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7366115E-5 | 1.273632E-4 | 1.3080854 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848459 | 0.0012148103 | 1.0252898 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179113 | 0.011820775 | 1.0025142 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719532E-5 | 4.271908E-5 | 1.8802798 | 2.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7366115E-5 | 1.273632E-4 | 1.3080854 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848459 | 0.0012148103 | 1.0252898 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179113 | 0.011820775 | 1.0025142 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719532E-5 | 4.271908E-5 | 1.8802798 | 2.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7366115E-5 | 1.273632E-4 | 1.3080854 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848459 | 0.0012148103 | 1.0252898 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179113 | 0.011820775 | 1.0025142 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353521E-5 | 3.2353273E-5 | 2.6189516 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942658E-5 | 7.29416E-5 | 1.3777472 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443987E-4 | 6.643858E-4 | 1.0310167 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006426548 | 0.0064464197 | 1.003092 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353521E-5 | 3.2353273E-5 | 2.6189516 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942658E-5 | 7.29416E-5 | 1.3777472 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443987E-4 | 6.643858E-4 | 1.0310167 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006426548 | 0.0064464197 | 1.003092 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.481584E-6 | 2.9481394E-5 | 3.109332 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.063478E-5 | 6.0633967E-5 | 1.4921693 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.946253E-4 | 5.146154E-4 | 1.0404147 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004936153 | 0.0049560545 | 1.0040318 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.790267E-6 | 2.779011E-5 | 3.5672863 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3386474E-5 | 5.3385807E-5 | 1.599025 | 2.0E-5 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0641252E-4 | 4.264044E-4 | 1.0491911 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.004057484 | 0.0040774033 | 1.0049092 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.6551383E-6 | 2.6655005E-5 | 4.0051765 | 2.0E-5 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8521752E-5 | 4.8521182E-5 | 1.7011992 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4720454E-4 | 3.671976E-4 | 1.057583 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034673614 | 0.0034872922 | 1.005748 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.855102E-6 | 2.5854984E-5 | 4.4158044 | 2.0E-5 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5093093E-5 | 4.509259E-5 | 1.7970121 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0547287E-4 | 3.2546677E-4 | 1.0654522 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030512456 | 0.0030711847 | 1.0065347 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0654126E-6 | 2.506531E-5 | 4.9483256 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1708769E-5 | 4.1708336E-5 | 1.9212667 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6427925E-4 | 2.8427396E-4 | 1.0756575 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026403419 | 0.0026602892 | 1.0075548 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.1184803E-6 | 2.4118399E-5 | 5.85614 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.765055E-5 | 3.7650196E-5 | 2.133089 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1488115E-4 | 2.3487685E-4 | 1.0930547 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021474094 | 0.0021673664 | 1.0092936 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.009711E-6 | 1.30096805E-5 | 4.3225684 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2898735E-5 | 2.2898606E-5 | 1.7752599 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5703736E-4 | 1.6703579E-4 | 1.0636691 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001478599 | 0.001569909 | 0.0015798934 | 1.0063598 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 2.0551989E-4 | 1.107783 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022763766 | 1.0088435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.02331479 | 1.0012584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 2.0551989E-4 | 1.107783 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022763766 | 1.0088435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.02331479 | 1.0012584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 2.0551989E-4 | 1.107783 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022763766 | 1.0088435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.02331479 | 1.0012584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 2.0551989E-4 | 1.107783 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022763766 | 1.0088435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.02331479 | 1.0012584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 2.0551989E-4 | 1.107783 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022763766 | 1.0088435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.02331479 | 1.0012584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.007384E-5 | 5.007344E-5 | 1.2495294 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7173376E-4 | 1.9173032E-4 | 1.1164393 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.002088859 | 0.0021088172 | 1.0095546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021582697 | 0.02161205 | 1.00136 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.007384E-5 | 5.007344E-5 | 1.2495294 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7173376E-4 | 1.9173032E-4 | 1.1164393 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.002088859 | 0.0021088172 | 1.0095546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021582697 | 0.02161205 | 1.00136 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.949657E-5 | 4.949617E-5 | 1.2531766 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6926005E-4 | 1.8925667E-4 | 1.1181414 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.002058799 | 0.0020787576 | 1.0096945 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021274779 | 0.02130414 | 1.0013801 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.9352853E-5 | 4.935246E-5 | 1.2541012 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6864421E-4 | 1.8864084E-4 | 1.1185728 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020513153 | 0.0020712742 | 1.0097299 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.02120038 | 0.021229744 | 1.0013851 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9057773E-5 | 4.905738E-5 | 1.256021 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6737974E-4 | 1.873764E-4 | 1.1194688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020359491 | 0.0020559083 | 1.0098034 | 2.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021039387 | 0.021068756 | 1.001396 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.7918566E-5 | 4.7918187E-5 | 1.263713 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6249805E-4 | 1.824948E-4 | 1.1230584 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0019766234 | 0.0019965838 | 1.0100982 | 2.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.02043281 | 0.020462196 | 1.0014383 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.6381425E-5 | 4.6381065E-5 | 1.2748555 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5591111E-4 | 1.7590799E-4 | 1.1282582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0018965693 | 0.0019165314 | 1.0105253 | 2.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.01960793 | 0.019637343 | 1.0015 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4732413E-5 | 4.4732067E-5 | 1.2879055 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4884473E-4 | 1.6884175E-4 | 1.1343482 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018106819 | 0.0018306456 | 1.0110255 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.018725147 | 0.018754585 | 1.0015721 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.3828E-5 | 4.3827662E-5 | 1.295603 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.449691E-4 | 1.6496622E-4 | 1.1379404 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017635735 | 0.0017835381 | 1.0113206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018233053 | 0.018262506 | 1.0016154 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.3466327E-5 | 4.3465992E-5 | 1.2987978 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4341925E-4 | 1.6341638E-4 | 1.1394314 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017447342 | 0.0017646994 | 1.011443 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018037783 | 0.01806724 | 1.0016332 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2180662E-5 | 4.218034E-5 | 1.3107356 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.3790985E-4 | 1.579071E-4 | 1.1450022 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016777625 | 0.0016977289 | 1.0119007 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.017354406 | 0.017383887 | 1.0016986 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9496878E-5 | 3.9496583E-5 | 1.3390089 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2640908E-4 | 1.4640656E-4 | 1.1581964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015379463 | 0.0015579155 | 1.0129844 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.015942672 | 0.015972195 | 1.0018518 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6088961E-5 | 3.60887E-5 | 1.3832939 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.1180505E-4 | 1.3180281E-4 | 1.1788628 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013603775 | 0.0013803503 | 1.0146818 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.014165312 | 0.014194887 | 1.0020878 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3501236E-5 | 3.3501E-5 | 1.4254996 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.007157E-4 | 1.2071368E-4 | 1.1985588 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012255247 | 0.0012455002 | 1.0162995 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.01280721 | 0.012836826 | 1.0023124 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.8904842E-5 | 2.8904653E-5 | 1.528955 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.101824E-5 | 1.0101662E-4 | 1.246838 | 2.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.859514E-4 | 0.0010059318 | 1.020265 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.01039224 | 0.010412033 | 1.0019045 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5738E-5 | 2.5737843E-5 | 1.6353947 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.744683E-5 | 8.7445485E-5 | 1.2965099 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2085654E-4 | 8.408401E-4 | 1.0243448 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.0087014325 | 0.0087212585 | 1.0022784 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.267833E-6 | 8.267833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.543309E-5 | 3.543309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.3131303E-4 | 4.3131303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051959283 | 0.004638954 | 0.004638954 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5519201E-6 | 1.5519201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.6510697E-6 | 6.6510697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.097379E-5 | 8.097379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.3998964E-4 | 9.3998964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6089054E-7 | 3.6089054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5466729E-6 | 1.5466729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8830584E-5 | 1.8830584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.271723E-4 | 2.271723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937252E-4 | 3.237164E-4 | 1.1021063 | 3.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583698 | 0.001288332 | 1.0238104 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015234572 | 0.015264115 | 1.0019392 | 3.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13948786 | 0.13951367 | 1.0001851 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937252E-4 | 3.237164E-4 | 1.1021063 | 3.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583698 | 0.001288332 | 1.0238104 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015234572 | 0.015264115 | 1.0019392 | 3.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13948786 | 0.13951367 | 1.0001851 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937252E-4 | 3.237164E-4 | 1.1021063 | 3.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583698 | 0.001288332 | 1.0238104 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015234572 | 0.015264115 | 1.0019392 | 3.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13948786 | 0.13951367 | 1.0001851 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703425E-4 | 1.970307E-4 | 1.1129525 | 2.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.586143E-4 | 7.785991E-4 | 1.0263438 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009217702 | 0.009237518 | 1.0021497 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08692913 | 0.08694739 | 1.00021 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703425E-4 | 1.970307E-4 | 1.1129525 | 2.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.586143E-4 | 7.785991E-4 | 1.0263438 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009217702 | 0.009237518 | 1.0021497 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08692913 | 0.08694739 | 1.00021 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.639161E-5 | 4.639161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9880808E-4 | 1.9880808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024181618 | 0.0024181618 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01892915 | 0.023697129 | 0.023697129 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.614718E-5 | 2.614718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.12054775E-4 | 1.12054775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013634576 | 0.0013634576 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012986525 | 0.0135658905 | 0.0135658905 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2072209E-5 | 2.2072209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.459196E-5 | 9.459196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.001151085 | 0.001151085 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511663 | 0.011466836 | 0.011466836 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.44374735E-5 | 1.44374735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.187345E-5 | 6.187345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.53054E-4 | 7.53054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075098155 | 0.0075098155 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2331781E-5 | 1.2331781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2849442E-5 | 5.2849442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4325513E-4 | 6.4325513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.006417556 | 0.006417556 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1451071E-5 | 1.1451071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9075115E-5 | 4.9075115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.9732865E-4 | 5.9732865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059606205 | 0.0059606205 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0244655E-5 | 1.0244655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.390494E-5 | 4.390494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.344141E-4 | 5.344141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053345314 | 0.0053345314 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.504791E-6 | 8.504791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6448608E-5 | 3.6448608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.436731E-4 | 4.436731E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.0044293273 | 0.0044293273 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2385E-6 | 7.2385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1021784E-5 | 3.1021784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.776262E-4 | 3.776262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.003770243 | 0.003770243 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.3522734E-6 | 6.3522734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7223752E-5 | 2.7223752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3140014E-4 | 3.3140014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033092108 | 0.0033092108 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.2253913E-6 | 5.2253913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2394348E-5 | 2.2394348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7261834E-4 | 2.7261834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.002722964 | 0.002722964 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.6873092E-6 | 4.6873092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.008832E-5 | 2.008832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4454904E-4 | 2.4454904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024429155 | 0.0024429155 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.329326E-6 | 2.329326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.982792E-6 | 9.982792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2153445E-4 | 1.2153445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012147529 | 0.0012147529 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384396E-8 | 9.384396E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966353E-6 | 4.8966353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.89656E-5 | 4.89656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5010907E-4 | 2.48034E-4 | 2.5803153E-4 | 1.040307 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4316596E-4 | 0.0010624757 | 0.0010724651 | 1.009402 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0078024664 | 0.0128501635 | 0.0128600355 | 1.0007682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07534136 | 0.1204081 | 0.12042569 | 1.0001462 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4521465E-4 | 2.3964873E-4 | 2.496463E-4 | 1.0417178 | 1.0E-5 | 6.222001E-4 | 0.001026572 | 0.0010365617 | 1.0097312 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075490056 | 0.012419487 | 0.012429363 | 1.0007952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07297657 | 0.11667962 | 0.11669729 | 1.0001514 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.429998E-4 | 2.3896115E-4 | 2.4895876E-4 | 1.0418378 | 1.0E-5 | 6.127123E-4 | 0.0010236278 | 0.0010336175 | 1.0097592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007434286 | 0.012384097 | 0.012393973 | 1.0007975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07190444 | 0.11633368 | 0.11635135 | 1.0001519 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3536277E-4 | 2.3227293E-4 | 2.422706E-4 | 1.0430428 | 1.0E-5 | 5.799972E-4 | 9.949915E-4 | 0.0010049816 | 1.0100403 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070386264 | 0.012040272 | 0.012050152 | 1.0008205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0681982 | 0.11324647 | 0.11326421 | 1.0001566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.2650881E-4 | 2.3650654E-4 | 1.0441384 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.7030716E-4 | 9.802975E-4 | 1.010296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006757223 | 0.0117430845 | 0.011752967 | 1.0008416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06555412 | 0.11052456 | 0.11054235 | 1.0001609 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.7981516E-4 | 1.8981336E-4 | 1.0556027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.704075E-4 | 7.803998E-4 | 1.0129701 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005463498 | 0.009339288 | 0.009349194 | 1.0010607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.053311124 | 0.08920434 | 0.08922256 | 1.0002042 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.7469049E-4 | 1.8468873E-4 | 1.057234 | 1.0E-5 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.484576E-4 | 7.584501E-4 | 1.0133508 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052862884 | 0.009074337 | 0.009084246 | 1.001092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05162293 | 0.08678174 | 0.08680001 | 1.0002104 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.6728343E-4 | 1.7728176E-4 | 1.0597688 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.167309E-4 | 7.2672375E-4 | 1.0139422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050282106 | 0.008691247 | 0.008701161 | 1.0011406 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049159497 | 0.08327085 | 0.08328918 | 1.0002202 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.5642813E-4 | 1.6642656E-4 | 1.0639172 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.7023304E-4 | 6.802263E-4 | 1.0149102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047319788 | 0.008129524 | 0.008139443 | 1.0012201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046324775 | 0.07815891 | 0.07817735 | 1.0002359 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.2295424E-4 | 1.2295424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.268409E-4 | 5.268409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038295772 | 0.0063955444 | 0.0063955444 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037642512 | 0.06218619 | 0.06219557 | 1.0001508 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 9.388761E-5 | 9.388761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4623662E-4 | 4.023138E-4 | 4.023138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029938098 | 0.0048872405 | 0.0048872405 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02953797 | 0.047984343 | 0.047993865 | 1.0001984 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 8.052448E-5 | 8.052448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.123707E-4 | 3.4505958E-4 | 3.4505958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025825473 | 0.004193071 | 0.004193071 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0255274 | 0.04137077 | 0.041380357 | 1.0002317 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 5.9523958E-5 | 5.9523958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5803022E-4 | 2.550779E-4 | 2.550779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0031011798 | 0.0031011798 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01905776 | 0.030881263 | 0.030890955 | 1.0003139 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 4.2471165E-5 | 4.2471165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.8200668E-4 | 1.8200668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0022136967 | 0.0022136967 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013396223 | 0.02217347 | 0.022183249 | 1.000441 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 2.9934954E-5 | 2.9934954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6060016E-5 | 1.2828637E-4 | 1.2828637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0015607704 | 0.0015607704 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009217911 | 0.015707172 | 0.015717015 | 1.0006267 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 2.6242093E-5 | 2.6242093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.378478E-5 | 1.1246128E-4 | 1.1246128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76303E-4 | 0.0013683588 | 0.0013683588 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077359667 | 0.013800219 | 0.0138100805 | 1.0007147 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 1.4961989E-5 | 1.4961989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 6.412124E-5 | 6.412124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 7.803978E-4 | 7.803978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004252361 | 0.007938044 | 0.007947965 | 1.0012498 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 6.253606E-6 | 6.253606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 2.6800893E-5 | 2.6800893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 3.2625208E-4 | 3.2625208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017651088 | 0.003388077 | 0.003398043 | 1.0029415 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 5.3661397E-6 | 5.3661397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 2.2997538E-5 | 2.2997538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 2.7995912E-4 | 2.7995912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454306 | 0.0029073718 | 0.0029173426 | 1.0034295 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 4.1283006E-6 | 4.1283006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 1.7692597E-5 | 1.7692597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 2.1538611E-4 | 2.1538611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010292825 | 0.0022235236 | 0.0022235236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 2.5544323E-6 | 2.5544323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 1.094752E-5 | 1.094752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 1.3327794E-4 | 1.3327794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1381224E-4 | 0.0013659992 | 0.0013659992 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 1.5409354E-6 | 1.5409354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 6.603992E-6 | 6.603992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 8.040066E-5 | 8.040066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9185135E-4 | 8.234908E-4 | 8.234908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001632E-6 | 4.001632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149749E-5 | 2.7149577E-5 | 1.5830889 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878005E-4 | 2.2877587E-4 | 1.0957747 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860229 | 0.0021159605 | 1.0143515 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001632E-6 | 4.001632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149749E-5 | 2.7149577E-5 | 1.5830889 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878005E-4 | 2.2877587E-4 | 1.0957747 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860229 | 0.0021159605 | 1.0143515 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001632E-6 | 4.001632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149749E-5 | 2.7149577E-5 | 1.5830889 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878005E-4 | 2.2877587E-4 | 1.0957747 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860229 | 0.0021159605 | 1.0143515 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001632E-6 | 4.001632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149749E-5 | 2.7149577E-5 | 1.5830889 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878005E-4 | 2.2877587E-4 | 1.0957747 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860229 | 0.0021159605 | 1.0143515 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001632E-6 | 4.001632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149749E-5 | 2.7149577E-5 | 1.5830889 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878005E-4 | 2.2877587E-4 | 1.0957747 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860229 | 0.0021159605 | 1.0143515 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.5178608E-6 | 2.5178608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.079079E-5 | 2.0790681E-5 | 1.9267062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3137028E-4 | 1.4136896E-4 | 1.0761107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013129589 | 0.0013329326 | 1.0152128 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.944118E-6 | 1.944118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.331908E-6 | 1.8331824E-5 | 2.2001953 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.01436344E-4 | 1.1143533E-4 | 1.098574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001159433 | 0.001013909 | 0.0010338888 | 1.0197057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8834979E-6 | 1.8834979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.072109E-6 | 1.8072029E-5 | 2.2388237 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.827358E-5 | 1.082726E-4 | 1.1017468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011282542 | 9.823095E-4 | 0.0010022898 | 1.0203402 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.5831371E-6 | 1.5831371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.7848555E-6 | 1.6784788E-5 | 2.4738607 | 1.0E-5 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.2602535E-5 | 9.260171E-5 | 1.1210517 | 1.0E-5 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.257232E-4 | 8.4570673E-4 | 1.0242012 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3064879E-6 | 1.3064879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.599222E-6 | 1.5599166E-5 | 2.7859523 | 1.0E-5 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.8168425E-5 | 7.816774E-5 | 1.1466855 | 1.0E-5 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.814778E-4 | 6.91471E-4 | 1.0146639 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1210674E-6 | 1.1210674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.8045654E-6 | 1.4804517E-5 | 3.0813437 | 1.0E-5 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8494035E-5 | 6.849345E-5 | 1.1709476 | 1.0E-5 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.8478845E-4 | 5.947826E-4 | 1.0170902 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.763745E-7 | 8.763745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7558852E-6 | 1.3755848E-5 | 3.6624782 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.5726956E-5 | 5.57265E-5 | 1.2186794 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.5717682E-4 | 4.6717224E-4 | 1.0218633 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.9014343E-7 | 5.9014343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5291838E-6 | 2.5291838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.0792384E-5 | 3.0792384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.0788177E-4 | 3.0788177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.3824227E-7 | 4.3824227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8781799E-6 | 1.8781799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2866603E-5 | 2.2866603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.286429E-4 | 2.286429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0065618E-7 | 3.0065618E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2885259E-6 | 1.2885259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.5687692E-5 | 1.5687692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5686607E-4 | 1.5686607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4244733E-7 | 1.4244733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.104884E-7 | 6.104884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.432672E-6 | 7.432672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.4324314E-5 | 7.4324314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352638E-8 | 1.7352638E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054355E-7 | 9.054355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.0543235E-6 | 9.0543235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657218E-5 | 5.365651E-5 | 2.268082 | 3.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138439E-4 | 1.3138134E-4 | 1.2958735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337001 | 0.001263663 | 1.0242871 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273024 | 0.012302656 | 1.0024143 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657218E-5 | 5.365651E-5 | 2.268082 | 3.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138439E-4 | 1.3138134E-4 | 1.2958735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337001 | 0.001263663 | 1.0242871 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273024 | 0.012302656 | 1.0024143 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365647E-5 | 1.1365647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.870903E-5 | 4.870903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.928751E-4 | 5.928751E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133526 | 0.0059133526 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365647E-5 | 1.1365647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.870903E-5 | 4.870903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.928751E-4 | 5.928751E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133526 | 0.0059133526 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.237717E-6 | 8.237717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.530403E-5 | 3.530403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.297432E-4 | 4.297432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042892685 | 0.0042892685 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.85091E-6 | 6.85091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9360717E-5 | 2.9360717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.57409E-4 | 3.57409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003385164 | 0.003568438 | 0.003568438 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.885997E-6 | 5.885997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5225461E-5 | 2.5225461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0707743E-4 | 3.0707743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030666045 | 0.0030666045 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9404202E-6 | 4.9404202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.117306E-5 | 2.117306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5775208E-4 | 2.5775208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025745875 | 0.0025745875 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7520128E-6 | 3.7520128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.607996E-5 | 1.607996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9575632E-4 | 1.9575632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019558799 | 0.0019558799 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6709995E-6 | 2.6709995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447092E-5 | 1.1447092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3935972E-4 | 1.3935972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013927508 | 0.0013927508 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8019413E-6 | 1.8019413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.722583E-6 | 7.722583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.4018564E-5 | 9.4018564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3980436E-4 | 9.3980436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497604E-6 | 1.1497604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275354E-6 | 4.9275354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999119E-5 | 5.999119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9975975E-4 | 5.9975975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387269E-7 | 6.387269E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7373983E-6 | 2.7373983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327386E-5 | 3.3327386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332307E-4 | 3.332307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.0520261E-4 | 3.0520261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013068002 | 0.0013068002 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007891912 | 0.015695969 | 0.01570581 | 1.0006272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.076174594 | 0.1384846 | 0.13850182 | 1.0001245 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.0214462E-4 | 3.0214462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.0012937093 | 0.0012937093 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078097614 | 0.015539361 | 0.015549206 | 1.0006335 | 1.0E-5 | 0.075409345 | 0.13715418 | 0.13717143 | 1.0001258 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.5312972E-4 | 2.5312972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010839769 | 0.0010839769 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013046647 | 0.013056517 | 1.0007565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.064337276 | 0.11725156 | 0.11726922 | 1.0001506 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.2598551E-4 | 2.2598551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.678517E-4 | 9.678517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011667848 | 0.011677731 | 1.0008471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058367174 | 0.10636757 | 0.10638545 | 1.0001681 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0839735E-4 | 2.0839735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.925907E-4 | 8.925907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055782744 | 0.010772728 | 0.01078262 | 1.0009183 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0544031 | 0.09919019 | 0.099208206 | 1.0001817 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8733864E-4 | 1.8733864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.024415E-4 | 8.024415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009694614 | 0.009704517 | 1.0010215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04933773 | 0.09008199 | 0.090100184 | 1.0002021 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.5070252E-4 | 1.5070252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.456723E-4 | 6.456723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041944524 | 0.0078262845 | 0.007836206 | 1.0012678 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04116161 | 0.07485166 | 0.07487016 | 1.0002472 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4610846E-4 | 1.4610846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.259958E-4 | 6.259958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004070005 | 0.0075890897 | 0.007599014 | 1.0013077 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039962657 | 0.07270118 | 0.07271972 | 1.0002551 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2722371E-4 | 1.2722371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.4511573E-4 | 5.4511573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036279052 | 0.006613387 | 0.006613387 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03569247 | 0.063796505 | 0.06380586 | 1.0001467 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.0143533E-4 | 1.0143533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.346509E-4 | 4.346509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030218933 | 0.0052791317 | 0.0052791317 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029811295 | 0.05150093 | 0.051510416 | 1.0001842 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.567664E-5 | 8.567664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.6713443E-4 | 3.6713443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025986114 | 0.0044607893 | 0.0044607893 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025684336 | 0.043780252 | 0.04378981 | 1.0002184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.112113E-5 | 7.112113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.0476955E-4 | 3.0476955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0037043123 | 0.0037043123 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022105146 | 0.036733795 | 0.03674343 | 1.0002623 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.577521E-5 | 5.577521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.3901489E-4 | 2.3901489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017986323 | 0.002906152 | 0.002906152 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017841442 | 0.029076809 | 0.029086519 | 1.0003339 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.0586976E-5 | 4.0586976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.7393267E-4 | 1.7393267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0021155905 | 0.0021155905 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013325208 | 0.021295162 | 0.02130495 | 1.0004596 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.8508479E-5 | 2.8508479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2217349E-4 | 1.2217349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0014864496 | 0.0014864496 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009349857 | 0.015050137 | 0.015059987 | 1.0006545 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.5820891E-5 | 2.5820891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.1065628E-4 | 1.1065628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0013464098 | 0.0013464098 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008104719 | 0.013650169 | 0.013660032 | 1.0007226 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.9220464E-5 | 1.9220464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.2370825E-5 | 8.2370825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010024047 | 0.0010024047 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057804612 | 0.010202107 | 0.010212005 | 1.0009702 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.04366445E-5 | 1.04366445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.472771E-5 | 4.472771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.444239E-4 | 5.444239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032371588 | 0.005619645 | 0.005629589 | 1.0017694 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.432705E-6 | 9.432705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.0425253E-5 | 4.0425253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 4.920664E-4 | 4.920664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027645302 | 0.0050742165 | 0.005084166 | 1.0019608 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.384745E-6 | 7.384745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.1648524E-5 | 3.1648524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.8525273E-4 | 3.8525273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.0039484617 | 0.0039484617 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.4130247E-6 | 4.4130247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.8912826E-5 | 1.8912826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.3023938E-4 | 2.3023938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.002351026 | 0.002351026 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.3750408E-6 | 2.3750408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.0178706E-5 | 1.0178706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.2391874E-4 | 1.2391874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0012704867 | 0.0012704867 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.049955E-5 | 9.0498135E-5 | 1.2836698 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0210742E-4 | 3.3209837E-4 | 1.0992724 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036719753 | 0.0037018652 | 1.00814 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02796312 | 0.036115557 | 0.036144473 | 1.0008006 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.8220034E-5 | 6.821945E-5 | 1.1717522 | 1.0E-5 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4949145E-4 | 2.6948645E-4 | 1.0801431 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023754383 | 0.003033331 | 0.00305327 | 1.0065734 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023502063 | 0.029919662 | 0.029939063 | 1.0006485 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4736157E-5 | 3.4736157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4886058E-4 | 1.4886058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018108446 | 0.0018108446 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.017958151 | 0.017958151 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8213142E-5 | 2.8213142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.20907556E-4 | 1.20907556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.001471041 | 0.001471041 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.014611357 | 0.014611357 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.2122744E-5 | 2.2122744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.480823E-5 | 9.480823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011536834 | 0.0011536834 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.011476952 | 0.011476952 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6801203E-5 | 1.6801203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.200301E-5 | 7.200301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.7629614E-4 | 8.7629614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008729532 | 0.008729532 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.1242511E-5 | 1.1242511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8181326E-5 | 4.8181326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.8645353E-4 | 5.8645353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058494504 | 0.0058494504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.019832E-6 | 9.019832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.8655864E-5 | 3.8655864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.705359E-4 | 4.705359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.004695641 | 0.004695641 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.451889E-6 | 7.451889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1936288E-5 | 3.1936288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.8875695E-4 | 3.8875695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0038809727 | 0.0038809727 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.8984475E-6 | 4.8984475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.0993186E-5 | 2.0993186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5556344E-4 | 2.5556344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.002552833 | 0.002552833 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.521583E-6 | 1.521583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.5210543E-6 | 6.5210543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.939103E-5 | 7.939103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.9363544E-4 | 7.9363544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4535575E-7 | 7.4535575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.194378E-6 | 3.194378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.88909E-5 | 3.88909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8884507E-4 | 3.8884507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4535575E-7 | 7.4535575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.194378E-6 | 3.194378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.88909E-5 | 3.88909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8884507E-4 | 3.8884507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.5786514E-7 | 6.5786514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.8194193E-6 | 2.8194193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.432593E-5 | 3.432593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.4321033E-4 | 3.4321033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737074E-7 | 6.0737074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.603015E-6 | 2.603015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169129E-5 | 3.169129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168717E-4 | 3.168717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737074E-7 | 6.0737074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.603015E-6 | 2.603015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169129E-5 | 3.169129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168717E-4 | 3.168717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5264533E-5 | 4.526418E-5 | 1.283561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5112499E-4 | 1.7112195E-4 | 1.1323208 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001838395 | 0.0018583583 | 1.010859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018982861 | 0.019012291 | 1.0015503 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5264533E-5 | 4.526418E-5 | 1.283561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5112499E-4 | 1.7112195E-4 | 1.1323208 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001838395 | 0.0018583583 | 1.010859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018982861 | 0.019012291 | 1.0015503 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5264533E-5 | 4.526418E-5 | 1.283561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5112499E-4 | 1.7112195E-4 | 1.1323208 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001838395 | 0.0018583583 | 1.010859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018982861 | 0.019012291 | 1.0015503 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5264533E-5 | 4.526418E-5 | 1.283561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5112499E-4 | 1.7112195E-4 | 1.1323208 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001838395 | 0.0018583583 | 1.010859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018982861 | 0.019012291 | 1.0015503 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5136447E-5 | 4.5136094E-5 | 1.2845948 | 1.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.505761E-4 | 1.7057308E-4 | 1.1328032 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018317249 | 0.0018516883 | 1.0108987 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018917428 | 0.018946862 | 1.0015558 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5136447E-5 | 4.5136094E-5 | 1.2845948 | 1.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.505761E-4 | 1.7057308E-4 | 1.1328032 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018317249 | 0.0018516883 | 1.0108987 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018917428 | 0.018946862 | 1.0015558 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.508179E-5 | 4.508144E-5 | 1.2850381 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5034188E-4 | 1.7033887E-4 | 1.1330101 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018288785 | 0.001848842 | 1.0109156 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.018889507 | 0.01891894 | 1.0015582 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.5050864E-5 | 4.5050514E-5 | 1.2852896 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5020935E-4 | 1.7020636E-4 | 1.1331275 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.001827268 | 0.0018472314 | 1.0109253 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.018873703 | 0.018903136 | 1.0015595 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.5022425E-5 | 4.5022076E-5 | 1.2855213 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.500875E-4 | 1.700845E-4 | 1.1332356 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018257869 | 0.0018457504 | 1.0109342 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.018859116 | 0.01888855 | 1.0015607 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.4984987E-5 | 4.4984637E-5 | 1.2858269 | 1.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.4992706E-4 | 1.6992407E-4 | 1.1333781 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018238368 | 0.0018438004 | 1.0109459 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.018839888 | 0.018869324 | 1.0015624 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.486556E-5 | 4.486521E-5 | 1.286806 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.4941528E-4 | 1.694123E-4 | 1.1338351 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018176165 | 0.0018375802 | 1.0109835 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.018778505 | 0.01880794 | 1.0015676 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.4844023E-5 | 4.4843673E-5 | 1.2869833 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.49323E-4 | 1.6932002E-4 | 1.1339178 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018164949 | 0.0018364585 | 1.0109903 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.018767375 | 0.018796813 | 1.0015686 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.4748526E-5 | 4.4748176E-5 | 1.287772 | 1.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.4891376E-4 | 1.6891079E-4 | 1.1342859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018115207 | 0.0018314845 | 1.0110204 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.018718114 | 0.018747553 | 1.0015727 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.4576202E-5 | 4.4575856E-5 | 1.2892063 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4817533E-4 | 1.6817237E-4 | 1.1349553 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018025452 | 0.0018225091 | 1.0110754 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.018626764 | 0.018656205 | 1.0015806 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.4461642E-5 | 4.44613E-5 | 1.2901677 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4768442E-4 | 1.6768146E-4 | 1.1354039 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0017965782 | 0.0018165422 | 1.0111123 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.018565914 | 0.018595356 | 1.0015858 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.352937E-5 | 4.3529035E-5 | 1.298236 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4368941E-4 | 1.6368653E-4 | 1.1391691 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017480177 | 0.0017679827 | 1.0114216 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018067606 | 0.018097064 | 1.0016304 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.13107E-5 | 4.1310388E-5 | 1.3193697 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3418183E-4 | 1.5417916E-4 | 1.1490315 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016324419 | 0.0016524092 | 1.0122316 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.016900703 | 0.016930196 | 1.0017451 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.7880007E-5 | 3.787973E-5 | 1.35867 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.1948028E-4 | 1.394779E-4 | 1.1673716 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014537028 | 0.0014736737 | 1.0137379 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.015113378 | 0.015142925 | 1.001955 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5203897E-5 | 3.5203644E-5 | 1.396754 | 1.0E-5 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.0801223E-4 | 1.2801007E-4 | 1.1851442 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013142565 | 0.0013342302 | 1.0151978 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.013710698 | 0.013740287 | 1.002158 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.041812E-5 | 3.0417916E-5 | 1.4897511 | 1.0E-5 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.75033E-5 | 1.07501546E-4 | 1.2285428 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010648328 | 0.0010848114 | 1.0187624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011197893 | 0.01121767 | 1.0017661 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.5883486E-5 | 2.5883328E-5 | 1.6295747 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.807031E-5 | 8.806895E-5 | 1.2937938 | 2.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.2844164E-4 | 8.48425E-4 | 1.0241218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.008780348 | 0.008800173 | 1.0022578 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.290274E-6 | 8.290274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.5529265E-5 | 3.5529265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3248344E-4 | 4.3248344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0046523367 | 0.0046523367 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5599394E-6 | 1.5599394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.6854377E-6 | 6.6854377E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.139219E-5 | 8.139219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.449501E-4 | 9.449501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6089054E-7 | 3.6089054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5466729E-6 | 1.5466729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8830584E-5 | 1.8830584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.271723E-4 | 2.271723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 2.6322165E-5 | 1.6126477 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 7.995035E-5 | 1.1429471 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.513362E-4 | 8.613277E-4 | 1.0117363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008509756 | 0.008529587 | 1.0023302 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 2.6322165E-5 | 1.6126477 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 7.995035E-5 | 1.1429471 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.513362E-4 | 8.613277E-4 | 1.0117363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008509756 | 0.008529587 | 1.0023302 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 2.6322165E-5 | 1.6126477 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 7.995035E-5 | 1.1429471 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.513362E-4 | 8.613277E-4 | 1.0117363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008509756 | 0.008529587 | 1.0023302 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 2.6322165E-5 | 1.6126477 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 7.995035E-5 | 1.1429471 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.513362E-4 | 8.613277E-4 | 1.0117363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008509756 | 0.008529587 | 1.0023302 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 2.6322165E-5 | 1.6126477 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 7.995035E-5 | 1.1429471 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.513362E-4 | 8.613277E-4 | 1.0117363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008509756 | 0.008529587 | 1.0023302 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 2.6322165E-5 | 1.6126477 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 7.995035E-5 | 1.1429471 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.513362E-4 | 8.613277E-4 | 1.0117363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008509756 | 0.008529587 | 1.0023302 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3845609E-5 | 2.384547E-5 | 1.7222407 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9337024E-5 | 6.9336435E-5 | 1.1685189 | 1.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.221979E-4 | 7.321906E-4 | 1.0138366 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072269416 | 0.007246797 | 1.0027474 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3651278E-5 | 2.3651142E-5 | 1.7325221 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.8504218E-5 | 6.8503636E-5 | 1.1709179 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.120651E-4 | 7.2205794E-4 | 1.0140337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.007126266 | 0.0071461233 | 1.0027865 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.327339E-5 | 2.3273256E-5 | 1.7533771 | 1.0E-5 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.6884768E-5 | 6.68842E-5 | 1.175784 | 1.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.923608E-4 | 7.023539E-4 | 1.0144334 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0069304546 | 0.006950316 | 1.0028658 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1477623E-5 | 2.1477508E-5 | 1.8712505 | 1.0E-5 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9188922E-5 | 5.918843E-5 | 1.2032878 | 1.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.987174E-4 | 6.0871145E-4 | 1.0166924 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.005999279 | 0.006019159 | 1.0033138 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.674926E-6 | 1.967483E-5 | 2.0335896 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.1463336E-5 | 5.146292E-5 | 1.241167 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.047037E-4 | 5.146987E-4 | 1.0198036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.0050636036 | 0.0050835023 | 1.0039297 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.329403E-6 | 1.9329309E-5 | 2.07187 | 1.0E-5 | 2.377277E-5 | 3.9982566E-5 | 4.998217E-5 | 1.250099 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.8668348E-4 | 4.9667864E-4 | 1.0205373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.004884198 | 0.0049041 | 1.0040748 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.681513E-6 | 1.7681436E-5 | 2.301817 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.2920376E-5 | 4.2920048E-5 | 1.3037533 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0073553E-4 | 4.1073153E-4 | 1.0249441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.004028155 | 0.0040480746 | 1.004945 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.9153903E-6 | 1.691532E-5 | 2.44604 | 1.0E-5 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9637069E-5 | 3.9636772E-5 | 1.3374053 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6077492E-4 | 3.707713E-4 | 1.0277082 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.003629908 | 0.0036498352 | 1.0054898 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.0237163E-6 | 1.50236665E-5 | 2.9905484 | 1.0E-5 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1530035E-5 | 3.152982E-5 | 1.4644574 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6209684E-4 | 2.720942E-4 | 1.0381439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026456737 | 0.0026656208 | 1.0075395 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.614947E-6 | 1.46149005E-5 | 3.1668622 | 1.0E-5 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9778196E-5 | 2.9777997E-5 | 1.5055974 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4077305E-4 | 2.5077065E-4 | 1.0415229 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024334798 | 0.002453431 | 1.0081987 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.1232965E-6 | 1.4123256E-5 | 3.4252338 | 1.0E-5 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7671153E-5 | 2.7670976E-5 | 1.5658841 | 1.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.1512512E-4 | 2.2512296E-4 | 1.0464746 | 1.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0021779903 | 0.0021979467 | 1.0091628 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.0429704E-6 | 1.404293E-5 | 3.4734187 | 1.0E-5 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.7326902E-5 | 2.7326729E-5 | 1.5771272 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.109347E-4 | 2.2093259E-4 | 1.0473981 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021362707 | 0.002156228 | 1.0093421 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.7103412E-6 | 1.3710304E-5 | 3.69516 | 1.0E-5 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5901365E-5 | 2.5901207E-5 | 1.6288668 | 1.0E-5 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.93582E-4 | 2.0358007E-4 | 1.0516477 | 1.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0019622566 | 0.0019822174 | 1.0101724 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.9499822E-6 | 1.2949953E-5 | 4.389841 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.264272E-5 | 2.2642595E-5 | 1.790959 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5391431E-4 | 1.6391277E-4 | 1.0649612 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015629107 | 0.0015828795 | 1.0127766 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.5278144E-7 | 5.5278144E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3690613E-6 | 2.3690613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.8842946E-5 | 2.8842946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0513899E-4 | 2.9905947E-4 | 2.9905947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.1375019E-7 | 1.1375019E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.875007E-7 | 4.875007E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.9353056E-6 | 5.9353056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.548086E-5 | 6.548086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5429568E-8 | 2.5429568E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.08983855E-7 | 1.08983855E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.3268777E-6 | 1.3268777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.4948596E-5 | 1.4948596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0468569E-6 | 1.1046846E-5 | 10.552394 | 1.0E-5 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.486522E-6 | 2.4486433E-5 | 5.457776 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001045009 | 5.4622087E-5 | 7.4621E-5 | 1.3661323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010401085 | 5.460917E-4 | 5.660808E-4 | 1.0366039 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0468569E-6 | 1.1046846E-5 | 10.552394 | 1.0E-5 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.486522E-6 | 2.4486433E-5 | 5.457776 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001045009 | 5.4622087E-5 | 7.4621E-5 | 1.3661323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010401085 | 5.460917E-4 | 5.660808E-4 | 1.0366039 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0468569E-6 | 1.1046846E-5 | 10.552394 | 1.0E-5 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.486522E-6 | 2.4486433E-5 | 5.457776 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001045009 | 5.4622087E-5 | 7.4621E-5 | 1.3661323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010401085 | 5.460917E-4 | 5.660808E-4 | 1.0366039 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0468569E-6 | 1.1046846E-5 | 10.552394 | 1.0E-5 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.486522E-6 | 2.4486433E-5 | 5.457776 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001045009 | 5.4622087E-5 | 7.4621E-5 | 1.3661323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010401085 | 5.460917E-4 | 5.660808E-4 | 1.0366039 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.0468569E-6 | 1.1046846E-5 | 10.552394 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.486522E-6 | 2.4486433E-5 | 5.457776 | 2.0E-5 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.4622087E-5 | 7.4621E-5 | 1.3661323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005891764 | 5.460917E-4 | 5.660808E-4 | 1.0366039 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.0468569E-6 | 1.1046846E-5 | 10.552394 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.486522E-6 | 2.4486433E-5 | 5.457776 | 2.0E-5 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.4622087E-5 | 7.4621E-5 | 1.3661323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005891764 | 5.460917E-4 | 5.660808E-4 | 1.0366039 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.347473E-6 | 1.0468569E-6 | 1.1046846E-5 | 10.552394 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0059982E-5 | 4.486522E-6 | 2.4486433E-5 | 5.457776 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8762115E-4 | 5.4622087E-5 | 7.4621E-5 | 1.3661323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048655253 | 5.460917E-4 | 5.660808E-4 | 1.0366039 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.842647E-6 | 1.0047759E-6 | 1.1004766E-5 | 10.952458 | 1.0E-5 | 3.361091E-5 | 4.3061755E-6 | 2.430609E-5 | 5.6444726 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0913603E-4 | 5.2426476E-5 | 7.242543E-5 | 1.3814666 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004083836 | 5.24146E-4 | 5.441356E-4 | 1.0381373 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.26597E-6 | 9.734274E-7 | 9.734274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.685388E-5 | 4.1718254E-6 | 1.4171784E-5 | 3.3970222 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2689696E-4 | 5.079084E-5 | 6.0790335E-5 | 1.1968759 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003264165 | 5.0779723E-4 | 5.177922E-4 | 1.0196829 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.258436E-6 | 9.1827206E-7 | 9.1827206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535958E-5 | 3.935446E-6 | 1.3935407E-5 | 3.540998 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7434074E-4 | 4.791305E-5 | 5.791257E-5 | 1.2087014 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027400232 | 4.79032E-4 | 4.890272E-4 | 1.0208654 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.675028E-6 | 8.6606906E-7 | 8.6606906E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.003568E-5 | 3.7117195E-6 | 1.3711682E-5 | 3.6941593 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4390711E-4 | 4.5189296E-5 | 5.5188844E-5 | 1.2212813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024363957 | 4.5180577E-4 | 4.6180125E-4 | 1.0221235 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8270078E-6 | 6.8737603E-7 | 6.8737603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2115692E-5 | 2.9458943E-6 | 1.2945865E-5 | 4.394545 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4749856E-4 | 3.5865713E-5 | 4.5865356E-5 | 1.2788079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001474007 | 3.5860334E-4 | 3.6859975E-4 | 1.027876 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6881406E-6 | 2.2703391E-7 | 2.2703391E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2348685E-6 | 9.730021E-7 | 9.730021E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.808096E-5 | 1.1846238E-5 | 1.1846238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8046055E-4 | 1.1845622E-4 | 1.1845622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.086107E-7 | 1.5264456E-7 | 1.5264456E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8940398E-6 | 6.5419084E-7 | 6.5419084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7408903E-5 | 7.964745E-6 | 7.964745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.739879E-4 | 7.964468E-5 | 7.964468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9717383E-7 | 9.003382E-8 | 9.003382E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.450304E-7 | 3.8585918E-7 | 3.8585918E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0288197E-5 | 4.6978257E-6 | 4.6978257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.028772E-4 | 4.6977297E-5 | 4.6977297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.086975E-7 | 6.659645E-8 | 6.659645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6584634E-7 | 2.8541334E-7 | 2.8541334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6716644E-6 | 3.474902E-6 | 3.474902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6715195E-5 | 3.47485E-5 | 3.47485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4217808E-8 | 1.5820849E-8 | 1.5820849E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03790605E-7 | 6.780364E-8 | 6.780364E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636499E-6 | 8.25509E-7 | 8.25509E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636427E-5 | 8.255064E-6 | 8.255064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4393753E-6 | 1.6439311E-5 | 2.5529356 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759712E-5 | 3.7596845E-5 | 1.3623466 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595905E-4 | 3.5595233E-4 | 1.0595111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560738 | 0.0033760066 | 1.0059394 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4393753E-6 | 1.6439311E-5 | 2.5529356 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759712E-5 | 3.7596845E-5 | 1.3623466 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595905E-4 | 3.5595233E-4 | 1.0595111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560738 | 0.0033760066 | 1.0059394 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4393753E-6 | 1.6439311E-5 | 2.5529356 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759712E-5 | 3.7596845E-5 | 1.3623466 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595905E-4 | 3.5595233E-4 | 1.0595111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560738 | 0.0033760066 | 1.0059394 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4393753E-6 | 1.6439311E-5 | 2.5529356 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759712E-5 | 3.7596845E-5 | 1.3623466 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595905E-4 | 3.5595233E-4 | 1.0595111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560738 | 0.0033760066 | 1.0059394 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4393753E-6 | 1.6439311E-5 | 2.5529356 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759712E-5 | 3.7596845E-5 | 1.3623466 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595905E-4 | 3.5595233E-4 | 1.0595111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560738 | 0.0033760066 | 1.0059394 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521657E-6 | 1.2952136E-5 | 4.387334 | 1.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652126E-5 | 2.2652E-5 | 1.790371 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5403745E-4 | 1.6403591E-4 | 1.0649092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401602 | 0.0015501447 | 1.0064828 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521657E-6 | 1.2952136E-5 | 4.387334 | 1.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652126E-5 | 2.2652E-5 | 1.790371 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5403745E-4 | 1.6403591E-4 | 1.0649092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401602 | 0.0015501447 | 1.0064828 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6293555E-6 | 1.2629329E-5 | 4.8032036 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1268666E-5 | 2.1268554E-5 | 1.8874065 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3719601E-4 | 1.4719465E-4 | 1.0728784 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013719602 | 0.0013819464 | 1.0072788 | 1.0E-5 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.0544227E-4 | 5.154372E-4 | 1.0197747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021644223 | 0.002184379 | 1.0092204 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026058238 | 0.026077716 | 1.0007476 | 2.0E-5 | 0.13367249 | 0.22804803 | 0.22806346 | 1.0000677 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.864932E-4 | 4.9648836E-4 | 1.0205452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001086234 | 0.0020833432 | 0.0021033015 | 1.0095799 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.025072256 | 0.025091754 | 1.0007777 | 2.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.21948382 | 0.21949942 | 1.0000712 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.7744758E-4 | 4.8744283E-4 | 1.0209347 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020446372 | 0.0020645964 | 1.0097617 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.024612322 | 0.02463183 | 1.0007926 | 2.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.21598965 | 0.21600533 | 1.0000726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.588405E-4 | 4.6883593E-4 | 1.0217841 | 1.0E-5 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019650143 | 0.0019849748 | 1.0101581 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.023659883 | 0.02367941 | 1.0008253 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.20792368 | 0.20793952 | 1.0000762 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.9870106E-4 | 4.086971E-4 | 1.0250715 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017076145 | 0.0017275803 | 1.0116923 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.02059353 | 0.020613117 | 1.0009512 | 2.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.18505521 | 0.18507151 | 1.0000881 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.6982604E-4 | 3.7982233E-4 | 1.0270298 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015840183 | 0.0016039867 | 1.0126061 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.01912025 | 0.019139867 | 1.001026 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.17328814 | 0.17330468 | 1.0000954 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.402928E-4 | 3.5028943E-4 | 1.0293765 | 1.0E-5 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014575928 | 0.0014775636 | 1.0137012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.017604336 | 0.017623983 | 1.001116 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16075848 | 0.16077527 | 1.0001044 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.076128E-4 | 3.1760972E-4 | 1.0324984 | 1.0E-5 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013176827 | 0.0013376563 | 1.0151582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.01592529 | 0.01594497 | 1.0012358 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.14646539 | 0.14648247 | 1.0001166 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.778561E-4 | 2.8785333E-4 | 1.0359799 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011902746 | 0.0012102508 | 1.0167829 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014396684 | 0.014416397 | 1.0013692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13291866 | 0.132936 | 1.0001304 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5009012E-4 | 2.600876E-4 | 1.0399756 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010713787 | 0.0010913573 | 1.0186476 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012966984 | 0.012986724 | 1.0015224 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.11938625 | 0.11940386 | 1.0001476 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1261652E-4 | 2.2261438E-4 | 1.047023 | 1.0E-5 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.108986E-4 | 9.308804E-4 | 1.0219363 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003811904 | 0.011034482 | 0.011054262 | 1.0017926 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.1020444 | 0.10206236 | 1.000176 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.0963016E-4 | 2.1962807E-4 | 1.047693 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.981088E-4 | 9.1809087E-4 | 1.022249 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003737482 | 0.0108803315 | 0.010900114 | 1.0018182 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.10068103 | 0.100699015 | 1.0001787 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9131559E-4 | 2.0131367E-4 | 1.0522597 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.196693E-4 | 8.296611E-4 | 1.01219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009934432 | 0.009944332 | 1.0009966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.09248776 | 0.092496835 | 1.0000981 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7803388E-4 | 1.880321E-4 | 1.0561591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.627821E-4 | 7.727745E-4 | 1.0130999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009247902 | 0.00925781 | 1.0010713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.086538635 | 0.08654777 | 1.0001055 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1508458E-4 | 1.2508343E-4 | 1.0868826 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.9312727E-4 | 5.0312234E-4 | 1.0202688 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021888057 | 0.005987466 | 0.0059974063 | 1.0016601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.057429686 | 0.05743911 | 1.0001642 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.33348E-5 | 9.333397E-5 | 1.1199878 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5710057E-4 | 3.67097E-4 | 1.0279933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016321153 | 0.004339092 | 0.0043490487 | 1.0022947 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.042132407 | 0.042141985 | 1.0002273 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.084606E-5 | 6.084606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.607429E-4 | 2.607429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012032706 | 0.003169947 | 0.003169947 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011967761 | 0.031026881 | 0.031026881 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.012569E-5 | 4.012569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7195594E-4 | 1.7195594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0020915589 | 0.0020915589 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007582182 | 0.0206284 | 0.0206284 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.096157E-5 | 3.096157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3268572E-4 | 1.3268572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016142539 | 0.0016142539 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053875 | 0.016017422 | 0.016017422 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2149336E-5 | 2.2149336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.492228E-5 | 9.492228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.001155067 | 0.001155067 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004237258 | 0.011618343 | 0.011618343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8008765E-5 | 1.8008765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.717814E-5 | 7.717814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.392395E-4 | 9.392395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009501954 | 0.009501954 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.3794105E-6 | 6.3794105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.7340044E-5 | 2.7340044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.3281432E-4 | 3.3281432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.003486159 | 0.003486159 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.9363238E-6 | 1.9363238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.298504E-6 | 8.298504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0102963E-4 | 1.0102963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011074151 | 0.0011074151 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4492432E-8 | 1.4492432E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.211042E-8 | 6.211042E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.561944E-7 | 7.561944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.885293E-6 | 7.885293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.762709E-4 | 4.8626616E-4 | 1.0209864 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020396016 | 0.0020595607 | 1.0097859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024541805 | 0.024561314 | 1.0007949 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21347821 | 0.21349393 | 1.0000737 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.762709E-4 | 4.8626616E-4 | 1.0209864 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020396016 | 0.0020595607 | 1.0097859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024541805 | 0.024561314 | 1.0007949 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21347821 | 0.21349393 | 1.0000737 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6711712E-4 | 4.7711245E-4 | 1.021398 | 1.0E-5 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020004313 | 0.0020203914 | 1.0099778 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.024076113 | 0.024095632 | 1.0008107 | 2.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.20991476 | 0.20993057 | 1.0000752 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.6147394E-4 | 4.7146934E-4 | 1.0216597 | 1.0E-5 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.001976283 | 0.0019962436 | 1.0101 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.023789674 | 0.023809198 | 1.0008208 | 2.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.20780581 | 0.20782167 | 1.0000763 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0039537E-4 | 4.1039137E-4 | 1.0249653 | 1.0E-5 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.001714866 | 0.0017348317 | 1.0116427 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.020675711 | 0.020695297 | 1.0009474 | 2.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.18455538 | 0.18457168 | 1.0000883 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.747172E-4 | 3.8471346E-4 | 1.0266768 | 1.0E-5 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016049546 | 0.0016249225 | 1.0124414 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.01936447 | 0.019384084 | 1.0010128 | 2.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17437775 | 0.17439426 | 1.0000947 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.4886636E-4 | 3.5886286E-4 | 1.0286542 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014942948 | 0.001514265 | 1.0133642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.018041687 | 0.018061327 | 1.0010885 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16378574 | 0.16380247 | 1.0001022 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2052814E-4 | 3.3052496E-4 | 1.0311885 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.001372977 | 0.0013929496 | 1.0145469 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.016588448 | 0.016608115 | 1.0011857 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15191332 | 0.15193027 | 1.0001117 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9048265E-4 | 3.0047973E-4 | 1.0344155 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012443379 | 0.001264313 | 1.0160528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015046005 | 0.0150657045 | 1.0013093 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13835827 | 0.1383755 | 1.0001246 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.624914E-4 | 2.7248877E-4 | 1.0380865 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011244824 | 0.0011444599 | 1.017766 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005298089 | 0.013605632 | 0.01362536 | 1.00145 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.124942064 | 0.124959566 | 1.0001401 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2394217E-4 | 2.3393994E-4 | 1.0446444 | 1.0E-5 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.594023E-4 | 9.793831E-4 | 1.0208263 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011618873 | 0.01163864 | 1.0017014 | 2.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.10724666 | 0.10726451 | 1.0001665 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.207738E-4 | 2.3077159E-4 | 1.0452852 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.458335E-4 | 9.658146E-4 | 1.0211253 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011455421 | 0.011475192 | 1.0017259 | 2.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.10581073 | 0.10582862 | 1.000169 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0205107E-4 | 2.1204905E-4 | 1.0494825 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6564885E-4 | 8.756402E-4 | 1.0115421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010488983 | 0.010498879 | 1.0009434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.0974804 | 0.09748943 | 1.0000926 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.883617E-4 | 1.983598E-4 | 1.0530794 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.070175E-4 | 8.170094E-4 | 1.0123813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009781763 | 0.009791665 | 1.0010123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.091375224 | 0.091384314 | 1.0000994 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2527342E-4 | 1.3527217E-4 | 1.0798154 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.367765E-4 | 5.467711E-4 | 1.0186198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006515845 | 0.00652578 | 1.0015247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.062353857 | 0.062363233 | 1.0001503 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.335652E-5 | 1.0335558E-4 | 1.1071062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0003832E-4 | 4.1003432E-4 | 1.0249876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004859652 | 0.004869603 | 1.0020478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.047055803 | 0.047065333 | 1.0002025 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.053283E-5 | 7.053283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0224866E-4 | 3.0224866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036736925 | 0.0036736925 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013464959 | 0.03584153 | 0.03584153 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.940868E-5 | 4.940868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1173434E-4 | 2.1173434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025748238 | 0.0025748238 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008982267 | 0.025291234 | 0.025291234 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9694296E-5 | 3.9694296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7010733E-4 | 1.7010733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020690921 | 0.0020690921 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020432515 | 0.020432515 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8746123E-5 | 2.8746123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2319186E-4 | 1.2319186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.00149883 | 0.00149883 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005308505 | 0.014992237 | 0.014992237 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3277493E-5 | 2.3277493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 9.975687E-5 | 9.975687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012138641 | 0.0012138641 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012211572 | 0.012211572 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3274655E-6 | 7.3274655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1403044E-5 | 3.1403044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8226513E-4 | 3.8226513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.004001267 | 0.004001267 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2174895E-6 | 2.2174895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.503492E-6 | 9.503492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.156989E-4 | 1.156989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0012665318 | 0.0012665318 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.720686E-8 | 1.720686E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.3743685E-8 | 7.3743685E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 8.9782924E-7 | 8.9782924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.364711E-6 | 9.364711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.1637845E-5 | 9.1637026E-5 | 1.1224822 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983282E-4 | 3.698258E-4 | 1.0571501 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.004251385 | 0.0042713 | 1.0046843 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041755788 | 0.041774955 | 1.000459 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.1637845E-5 | 9.1637026E-5 | 1.1224822 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983282E-4 | 3.698258E-4 | 1.0571501 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.004251385 | 0.0042713 | 1.0046843 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041755788 | 0.041774955 | 1.000459 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6452147E-5 | 4.6452147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.990658E-4 | 2.0906382E-4 | 1.0502247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024209868 | 0.0024309626 | 1.0041206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020349167 | 0.02395279 | 0.02396255 | 1.0004075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.7928952E-5 | 3.7928952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.625427E-4 | 1.7254108E-4 | 1.0615124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019771913 | 0.0019871716 | 1.0050477 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.019599797 | 0.0196096 | 1.0005002 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.409762E-5 | 3.409762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4612461E-4 | 1.5612316E-4 | 1.0684247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017776417 | 0.001787624 | 1.0056155 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015251739 | 0.017637396 | 0.01764722 | 1.000557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2247328E-5 | 3.2247328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3819565E-4 | 1.4819427E-4 | 1.0723512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016812593 | 0.0016912424 | 1.0059379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456868 | 0.016688416 | 0.016698249 | 1.0005893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5762602E-5 | 2.5762602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1040656E-4 | 1.2040546E-4 | 1.0905644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013433858 | 0.0013533724 | 1.0074339 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011667615 | 0.013354365 | 0.013364231 | 1.0007389 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2666338E-5 | 2.2666338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.713789E-5 | 1.0713692E-4 | 1.1029364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011820234 | 0.0011920116 | 1.00845 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010310682 | 0.011758656 | 0.011768539 | 1.0008404 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.897764E-5 | 1.897764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.133026E-5 | 9.132945E-5 | 1.1229454 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.897555E-4 | 9.997456E-4 | 1.0100935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008674784 | 0.009854501 | 0.009864403 | 1.0010048 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7269338E-5 | 1.7269338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.4009404E-5 | 8.400866E-5 | 1.135108 | 1.0E-5 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.0070075E-4 | 9.1069174E-4 | 1.0110924 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007909367 | 0.008971448 | 0.008981358 | 1.0011046 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4032966E-5 | 1.4032966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.013994E-5 | 7.013934E-5 | 1.1662688 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.3196535E-4 | 7.4195804E-4 | 1.0136518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072963308 | 0.007306258 | 1.0013605 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2375094E-5 | 1.2375094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.303508E-5 | 6.303455E-5 | 1.1885444 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.455181E-4 | 6.555117E-4 | 1.0154815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064371773 | 0.0064471127 | 1.0015435 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0844897E-5 | 1.0844897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6477344E-5 | 5.6476878E-5 | 1.2151486 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.6572194E-4 | 5.7571626E-4 | 1.0176666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056435415 | 0.005653485 | 1.0017619 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.083885E-6 | 9.083885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8930397E-5 | 4.8930007E-5 | 1.2568587 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7388155E-4 | 4.838768E-4 | 1.0210923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004729413 | 0.004739366 | 1.0021044 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.362367E-6 | 3.362367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4410093E-5 | 2.4409948E-5 | 1.693948 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.754338E-4 | 1.8543206E-4 | 1.0569916 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017534482 | 0.0017634307 | 1.0056931 | 1.0E-5 |
Northridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.587832E-6 | 7.587832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.958477E-4 | 4.1583978E-4 | 1.0505044 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009524435 | 0.0039516566 | 0.0039715776 | 1.0050411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.587832E-6 | 7.587832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.958477E-4 | 4.1583978E-4 | 1.0505044 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009524435 | 0.0039516566 | 0.0039715776 | 1.0050411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.587832E-6 | 7.587832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.958477E-4 | 4.1583978E-4 | 1.0505044 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009524435 | 0.0039516566 | 0.0039715776 | 1.0050411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.587832E-6 | 7.587832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.958477E-4 | 4.1583978E-4 | 1.0505044 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009524435 | 0.0039516566 | 0.0039715776 | 1.0050411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.587832E-6 | 7.587832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.958477E-4 | 4.1583978E-4 | 1.0505044 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009018354 | 0.0039516566 | 0.0039715776 | 1.0050411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.587832E-6 | 7.587832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.958477E-4 | 4.1583978E-4 | 1.0505044 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009018354 | 0.0039516566 | 0.0039715776 | 1.0050411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5458201E-5 | 7.587832E-6 | 7.587832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.624775E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 3.2518885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0626784E-4 | 3.958477E-4 | 4.1583978E-4 | 1.0505044 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008033488 | 0.0039516566 | 0.0039715776 | 1.0050411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2538368E-5 | 6.3814728E-6 | 6.3814728E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3734755E-5 | 2.7348884E-5 | 2.7348884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5402425E-4 | 3.3292224E-4 | 3.429189E-4 | 1.030027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065210275 | 0.0033242912 | 0.003334258 | 1.0029981 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1438097E-5 | 6.350132E-6 | 6.350132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9019498E-5 | 2.721457E-5 | 2.721457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9664896E-4 | 3.3128745E-4 | 3.4128415E-4 | 1.0301752 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005950495 | 0.0033079921 | 0.0033179591 | 1.003013 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1204891E-5 | 6.286588E-6 | 6.286588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8020076E-5 | 2.6942243E-5 | 2.6942243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8448757E-4 | 3.2797287E-4 | 3.379696E-4 | 1.0304804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058295266 | 0.0032749444 | 0.0032849116 | 1.0030435 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.061046E-5 | 6.1152455E-6 | 6.1152455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5472607E-5 | 2.6207934E-5 | 2.6207934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534883E-4 | 3.190353E-4 | 3.290321E-4 | 1.0313345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055211177 | 0.0031858194 | 0.0031957875 | 1.0031289 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0266979E-5 | 6.0041675E-6 | 6.0041675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.40006E-5 | 2.5731895E-5 | 2.5731895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.355756E-4 | 3.132412E-4 | 3.2323808E-4 | 1.0319142 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053428668 | 0.003128043 | 0.0031380116 | 1.003187 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.91273E-6 | 5.819883E-6 | 5.819883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.248244E-5 | 2.494212E-5 | 2.494212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.171009E-4 | 3.0362842E-4 | 3.1362538E-4 | 1.032925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051589934 | 0.0030321807 | 0.0030421503 | 1.0032879 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.4959265E-6 | 5.1929974E-6 | 5.1929974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6410605E-5 | 2.2255514E-5 | 2.2255514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4320893E-4 | 2.7092744E-4 | 2.8092472E-4 | 1.0369003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00442326 | 0.0027059978 | 0.0027159706 | 1.0036855 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.0847185E-6 | 4.9818777E-6 | 4.9818777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4648332E-5 | 2.135073E-5 | 2.135073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2176177E-4 | 2.5991438E-4 | 2.6991178E-4 | 1.0384642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042096223 | 0.0025961297 | 0.0026061037 | 1.0038419 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.8220684E-6 | 4.2532515E-6 | 4.2532515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9237108E-5 | 1.8228095E-5 | 1.8228095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5590364E-4 | 2.2190464E-4 | 2.3190242E-4 | 1.0450544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035533418 | 0.0022168516 | 0.0022268295 | 1.0045009 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.4224143E-6 | 2.8999207E-6 | 2.8999207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8953066E-5 | 1.2428173E-5 | 1.2428173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3072914E-4 | 1.513026E-4 | 1.613011E-4 | 1.0660827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023048974 | 0.0015120076 | 0.0015219925 | 1.0066037 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5297056E-6 | 1.6045888E-6 | 1.6045888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0841551E-5 | 6.8767913E-6 | 6.8767913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.319879E-4 | 8.372176E-5 | 9.3720926E-5 | 1.1194333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013190953 | 8.369069E-4 | 8.4689853E-4 | 1.0119388 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2508156E-6 | 8.7801374E-7 | 8.7801374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3606273E-6 | 3.7629106E-6 | 3.7629106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.526368E-5 | 4.5812485E-5 | 5.5812026E-5 | 1.2182711 | 1.0E-5 | 6.524452E-4 | 4.5803172E-4 | 4.6802714E-4 | 1.0218226 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.262199E-7 | 1.4664857E-7 | 1.4664857E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.695135E-7 | 6.2849375E-7 | 6.2849375E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1803763E-5 | 7.651885E-6 | 1.7651808E-5 | 2.3068576 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1803136E-4 | 7.651629E-5 | 8.651553E-5 | 1.1306812 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.865362E-9 | 1.27525E-9 | 1.27525E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2280123E-8 | 5.465357E-9 | 5.465357E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951048E-7 | 6.654072E-8 | 6.654072E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951038E-6 | 6.6540724E-7 | 6.6540724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.395107E-5 | 9.395107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.0258773E-4 | 4.0258773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004891089 | 0.004891089 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03854755 | 0.047903698 | 0.047922738 | 1.0003976 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0492818E-5 | 5.0492818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.163802E-4 | 2.163802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313218 | 0.0026313218 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.02601098 | 0.02602072 | 1.0003744 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0492818E-5 | 5.0492818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.163802E-4 | 2.163802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313218 | 0.0026313218 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.02601098 | 0.02602072 | 1.0003744 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7710935E-5 | 3.7710935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6160845E-4 | 1.6160845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019658392 | 0.0019658392 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016452603 | 0.019488398 | 0.019498203 | 1.0005032 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5335623E-5 | 3.5335623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5142979E-4 | 1.5142979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018421304 | 0.0018421304 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015469253 | 0.018272376 | 0.018282192 | 1.0005373 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8763967E-5 | 2.8763967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2326847E-4 | 1.2326847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0014997873 | 0.0014997873 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012709012 | 0.014899624 | 0.014909474 | 1.0006611 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4906556E-5 | 2.4906556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.06738145E-4 | 1.06738145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012987844 | 0.0012987844 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.012914349 | 0.0129242195 | 1.0007644 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1634785E-5 | 2.1634785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.271733E-5 | 9.271733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011282694 | 0.0011282694 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011227573 | 0.011237461 | 1.0008807 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8419396E-5 | 1.8419396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.8937985E-5 | 7.8937985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.606655E-4 | 9.606655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009567109 | 0.009577014 | 1.0010352 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.50952E-5 | 1.50952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.469221E-5 | 6.469221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.873612E-4 | 7.873612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007847539 | 0.0078574605 | 1.0012643 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.272005E-5 | 1.272005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.451346E-5 | 5.451346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.635168E-4 | 6.635168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006617107 | 0.0066270404 | 1.0015012 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0163789E-5 | 1.0163789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3558466E-5 | 4.3558466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.302125E-4 | 5.302125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005291174 | 0.005301121 | 1.0018799 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.3317616E-7 | 8.3317616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.57075E-6 | 3.57075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.3473025E-5 | 4.3473025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.346463E-4 | 4.346463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.7001016E-7 | 3.7001016E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5857568E-6 | 1.5857568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9306419E-5 | 1.9306419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9304748E-4 | 1.9304748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9674424E-7 | 1.9674424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.431893E-7 | 8.431893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0265781E-5 | 1.0265781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.026531E-4 | 1.026531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.279406E-8 | 6.279406E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6911735E-7 | 2.6911735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.276499E-6 | 3.276499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.2764518E-5 | 3.2764518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.531901E-9 | 5.531901E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708148E-8 | 2.3708148E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8864667E-7 | 2.8864667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.886464E-6 | 2.886464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2798693E-5 | 4.2798365E-5 | 1.3048803 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055884E-4 | 1.5055743E-4 | 1.0711346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100661 | 0.0017300319 | 1.0116755 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979877 | 0.016999537 | 1.0011579 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2798693E-5 | 4.2798365E-5 | 1.3048803 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055884E-4 | 1.5055743E-4 | 1.0711346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100661 | 0.0017300319 | 1.0116755 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979877 | 0.016999537 | 1.0011579 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2798693E-5 | 4.2798365E-5 | 1.3048803 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055884E-4 | 1.5055743E-4 | 1.0711346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100661 | 0.0017300319 | 1.0116755 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979877 | 0.016999537 | 1.0011579 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8330758E-5 | 1.8330758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.8558136E-5 | 7.8558136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.560443E-4 | 9.660347E-4 | 1.0104498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009521238 | 0.009531142 | 1.0010403 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8330758E-5 | 1.8330758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.8558136E-5 | 7.8558136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.560443E-4 | 9.660347E-4 | 1.0104498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009521238 | 0.009531142 | 1.0010403 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3693284E-5 | 1.3693284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.8684243E-5 | 5.8684243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.142568E-4 | 7.2424964E-4 | 1.0139905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066292146 | 0.0071206638 | 0.0071305926 | 1.0013944 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.3685371E-5 | 1.3685371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.865033E-5 | 5.865033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.138442E-4 | 7.2383706E-4 | 1.0139986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066252467 | 0.007116564 | 0.007126493 | 1.0013952 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0885733E-5 | 1.0885733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.6652345E-5 | 4.6652345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.6785136E-4 | 5.7784567E-4 | 1.0176003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005287399 | 0.005664715 | 0.0056746583 | 1.0017554 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.9325695E-6 | 8.9325695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.828191E-5 | 3.828191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.6598824E-4 | 4.7598357E-4 | 1.0214498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004347378 | 0.004650676 | 0.0046606297 | 1.0021403 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.5364194E-6 | 5.5364194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.3727313E-5 | 2.3727313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.88845E-4 | 2.9884212E-4 | 1.0346106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027063051 | 0.0028850166 | 0.0028949878 | 1.0034562 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.643357E-6 | 4.643357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9899966E-5 | 1.9899966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.4225812E-4 | 2.522557E-4 | 1.0412682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022720827 | 0.0024202333 | 0.002430209 | 1.0041218 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.231036E-6 | 3.231036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.3847239E-5 | 1.3847239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6857972E-4 | 1.7857803E-4 | 1.0593091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001584897 | 0.001684776 | 0.0016947591 | 1.0059255 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7333118E-6 | 1.7333118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.4284694E-6 | 7.4284694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 9.043993E-5 | 1.0043903E-4 | 1.1105607 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5658056E-4 | 9.0423395E-4 | 9.142249E-4 | 1.011049 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.2952312E-7 | 3.2952312E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.4122412E-6 | 1.4122412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.7193901E-5 | 1.7193901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.7192581E-4 | 1.7192581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.1006346E-7 | 2.1006346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 9.002717E-7 | 9.002717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.0960753E-5 | 1.0960753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.0960216E-4 | 1.0960216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.06959774E-7 | 1.06959774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.5839894E-7 | 4.5839894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.580993E-6 | 5.580993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.580854E-5 | 5.580854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.336394E-8 | 3.336394E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.429883E-7 | 1.429883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.7408811E-6 | 1.7408811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.7408676E-5 | 1.7408676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 8.002803E-9 | 8.002803E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 3.4297724E-8 | 3.4297724E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 4.175747E-7 | 4.175747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 4.1757394E-6 | 4.1757394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 7.6083606E-10 | 7.6083606E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 3.2607255E-9 | 3.2607255E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 3.969933E-8 | 3.969933E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 3.9699327E-7 | 3.9699327E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.655829E-5 | 3.655829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.566699E-4 | 1.6666834E-4 | 1.0638185 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00171175 | 0.0019059536 | 0.0019159345 | 1.0052367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016986247 | 0.018912975 | 0.018932598 | 1.0010375 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1659453E-5 | 2.1659453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.282304E-5 | 9.282304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011295547 | 0.0011295547 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240268 | 0.011250156 | 1.0008796 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1659453E-5 | 2.1659453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.282304E-5 | 9.282304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011295547 | 0.0011295547 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240268 | 0.011250156 | 1.0008796 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7033912E-5 | 1.7033912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300047E-5 | 7.300047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884244E-4 | 8.884244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008173222 | 0.008849408 | 0.008859319 | 1.00112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7033912E-5 | 1.7033912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300047E-5 | 7.300047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884244E-4 | 8.884244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008173222 | 0.008849408 | 0.008859319 | 1.00112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.479449E-5 | 1.479449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.340344E-5 | 6.340344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.71667E-4 | 7.71667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071270303 | 0.007690273 | 0.007690273 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3510192E-5 | 1.3510192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.789955E-5 | 5.789955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.540996E-4 | 7.047017E-4 | 7.047017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065217763 | 0.007024974 | 0.007024974 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.237735E-5 | 1.237735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.3044718E-5 | 5.3044718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.4563006E-4 | 6.4563006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005984721 | 0.006437773 | 0.006437773 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.087705E-5 | 1.087705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.6615103E-5 | 4.6615103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.673926E-4 | 5.673926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052704164 | 0.0056596086 | 0.0056596086 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.609099E-6 | 9.609099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.1181207E-5 | 4.1181207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6745385E-4 | 5.012669E-4 | 5.012669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046647177 | 0.005001482 | 0.005001482 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.61973E-6 | 8.61973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.694118E-5 | 3.694118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.4966684E-4 | 4.4966684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004189935 | 0.0044876602 | 0.0044876602 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.637642E-6 | 7.637642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.2732343E-5 | 3.2732343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.984441E-4 | 3.984441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037166206 | 0.0039773737 | 0.0039773737 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.8049458E-6 | 6.8049458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.9163732E-5 | 2.9163732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.5501123E-4 | 3.5501123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033141149 | 0.0035445094 | 0.0035445094 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.351705E-6 | 5.351705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.2935681E-5 | 2.2935681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.7920667E-4 | 2.7920667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002607669 | 0.0027886136 | 0.0027886136 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.7320456E-6 | 3.7320456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.5994385E-5 | 1.5994385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.9471462E-4 | 1.9471462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018194534 | 0.0019454787 | 0.0019454787 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.1893851E-6 | 1.1893851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.097355E-6 | 5.097355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.205856E-5 | 6.205856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.850142E-4 | 6.204154E-4 | 6.204154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 2.9951954E-7 | 2.9951954E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2836546E-6 | 1.2836546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.5628384E-5 | 1.5628384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4921463E-4 | 1.5627299E-4 | 1.5627299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.1744296E-7 | 2.1744296E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.3189806E-7 | 9.3189806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.1345801E-5 | 1.1345801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842913E-4 | 1.1345231E-4 | 1.1345231E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.7640977E-8 | 3.7640977E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.6131847E-7 | 1.6131847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.9640506E-6 | 1.9640506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861208E-5 | 1.9640345E-5 | 1.9640345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.46919765E-5 | 2.469183E-5 | 1.6806337 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296431E-5 | 7.296368E-5 | 1.1588101 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.663592E-4 | 7.7635155E-4 | 1.0130388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409574 | 0.007660805 | 1.0025975 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.46919765E-5 | 2.469183E-5 | 1.6806337 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296431E-5 | 7.296368E-5 | 1.1588101 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.663592E-4 | 7.7635155E-4 | 1.0130388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409574 | 0.007660805 | 1.0025975 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.46919765E-5 | 2.469183E-5 | 1.6806337 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296431E-5 | 7.296368E-5 | 1.1588101 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.663592E-4 | 7.7635155E-4 | 1.0130388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409574 | 0.007660805 | 1.0025975 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862235E-6 | 1.9862136E-5 | 2.013959 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.226617E-5 | 5.2265746E-5 | 1.2365859 | 1.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.144923E-4 | 5.244871E-4 | 1.0194266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005135293 | 0.0051551904 | 1.0038747 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862235E-6 | 1.9862136E-5 | 2.013959 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.226617E-5 | 5.2265746E-5 | 1.2365859 | 1.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.144923E-4 | 5.244871E-4 | 1.0194266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005135293 | 0.0051551904 | 1.0038747 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.879364E-6 | 1.7879285E-5 | 2.269128 | 1.0E-5 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.376838E-5 | 4.3768043E-5 | 1.296125 | 1.0E-5 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1107315E-4 | 4.2106907E-4 | 1.0243165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.004105159 | 0.004125077 | 1.0048519 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.177404E-6 | 7.177404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.0760053E-5 | 3.0760053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7445966E-4 | 3.7445966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00499945 | 0.003740284 | 0.0037502465 | 1.0026636 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.123916E-6 | 6.123916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6245201E-5 | 2.6245201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.1950796E-4 | 3.1950796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031923978 | 0.0031923978 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.563116E-6 | 2.563116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0984759E-5 | 1.0984759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3373523E-4 | 1.3373523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027033675 | 0.001336939 | 0.001336939 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3442778E-6 | 2.3442778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0046889E-5 | 1.0046889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2231797E-4 | 1.2231797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012228956 | 0.0012228956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6882176E-6 | 1.6882176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.235218E-6 | 7.235218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.808878E-5 | 8.808878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.8088785E-4 | 8.8088785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.7252816E-4 | 1.0567119 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035404777 | 1.0056609 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.7252816E-4 | 1.0567119 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035404777 | 1.0056609 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.7252816E-4 | 1.0567119 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035404777 | 1.0056609 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.7252816E-4 | 1.0567119 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035404777 | 1.0056609 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.7252816E-4 | 1.0567119 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035404777 | 1.0056609 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570897E-6 | 3.2570897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958886E-5 | 1.3958886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993699E-4 | 1.6993699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981501 | 0.0016981501 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570897E-6 | 3.2570897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958886E-5 | 1.3958886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993699E-4 | 1.6993699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981501 | 0.0016981501 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.207121E-6 | 2.207121E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459058E-6 | 9.459058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1515813E-4 | 1.1515813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011424901 | 0.001151004 | 0.001151004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7365521E-6 | 1.7365521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.4423456E-6 | 7.4423456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.060689E-5 | 9.060689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.057092E-4 | 9.057092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688617E-6 | 1.3688617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.8665373E-6 | 5.8665373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142279E-5 | 7.142279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.14003E-4 | 7.14003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.14138E-6 | 1.14138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8916195E-6 | 4.8916195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.9553873E-5 | 5.9553873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.953823E-4 | 5.953823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.302687E-7 | 9.302687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.98686E-6 | 3.98686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.8538957E-5 | 4.8538957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8528533E-4 | 4.8528533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.7192985E-7 | 6.7192985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8796962E-6 | 2.8796962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5059747E-5 | 3.5059747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.5054304E-4 | 3.5054304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.9392986E-7 | 4.9392986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1168405E-6 | 2.1168405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5772233E-5 | 2.5772233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5769294E-4 | 2.5769294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2995902E-7 | 3.2995902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141093E-6 | 1.4141093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7216647E-5 | 1.7216647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215338E-4 | 1.7215338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750049E-7 | 1.4750049E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.321448E-7 | 6.321448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696336E-6 | 7.696336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.696078E-5 | 7.696078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352638E-8 | 1.7352638E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054355E-7 | 9.054355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.0543235E-6 | 9.0543235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.063304E-5 | 1.0063213E-4 | 1.1103251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011029079 | 0.0011128968 | 1.0090569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011478677 | 0.0114984475 | 1.0017223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.063304E-5 | 1.0063213E-4 | 1.1103251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011029079 | 0.0011128968 | 1.0090569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011478677 | 0.0114984475 | 1.0017223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.063304E-5 | 1.0063213E-4 | 1.1103251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011029079 | 0.0011128968 | 1.0090569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011478677 | 0.0114984475 | 1.0017223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.063304E-5 | 1.0063213E-4 | 1.1103251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011029079 | 0.0011128968 | 1.0090569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011478677 | 0.0114984475 | 1.0017223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 2.1148431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.063304E-5 | 1.0063213E-4 | 1.1103251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011029079 | 0.0011128968 | 1.0090569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011478677 | 0.0114984475 | 1.0017223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.735004E-5 | 1.735004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.4355215E-5 | 8.435447E-5 | 1.1344795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 9.049032E-4 | 9.1489416E-4 | 1.0110409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009478857 | 0.009498667 | 1.00209 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.735004E-5 | 1.735004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.4355215E-5 | 8.435447E-5 | 1.1344795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 9.049032E-4 | 9.1489416E-4 | 1.0110409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009478857 | 0.009498667 | 1.00209 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 1.6598056E-5 | 1.6598056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5444479E-4 | 7.113261E-5 | 8.11319E-5 | 1.1405725 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018787434 | 8.6569955E-4 | 8.756909E-4 | 1.0115414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.00908114 | 0.009100959 | 1.0021824 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 1.6226495E-5 | 1.6226495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5012783E-4 | 6.954029E-5 | 7.95396E-5 | 1.1437916 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018262739 | 8.463283E-4 | 8.563198E-4 | 1.0118058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.0088817375 | 0.00890156 | 1.0022318 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 1.605703E-5 | 1.605703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4721078E-4 | 6.881406E-5 | 7.881337E-5 | 1.1453092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017908178 | 8.3749316E-4 | 8.474848E-4 | 1.0119303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.008789461 | 0.008809285 | 1.0022554 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 1.4330898E-5 | 1.4330898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.241074E-4 | 6.14167E-5 | 7.1416085E-5 | 1.1628121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015099603 | 7.4749463E-4 | 7.5748714E-4 | 1.013368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.007861273 | 0.007881116 | 1.0025241 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 1.2823071E-5 | 1.2823071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11436144E-4 | 5.4954875E-5 | 6.495433E-5 | 1.1819575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013558907 | 6.688723E-4 | 6.7886565E-4 | 1.0149405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.00704128 | 0.007061139 | 1.0028204 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 1.1255716E-5 | 1.1255716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.661716E-5 | 4.82379E-5 | 5.823742E-5 | 1.2072959 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001175679 | 5.871396E-4 | 5.9713377E-4 | 1.0170218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.0061900634 | 0.0062099397 | 1.003211 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 1.0805979E-5 | 1.0805979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.514098E-5 | 4.6310524E-5 | 5.6310062E-5 | 1.2159237 | 1.0E-5 | 9.144575E-4 | 5.636862E-4 | 5.736805E-4 | 1.0177304 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.0059307297 | 0.005950611 | 1.0033523 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 1.0605883E-5 | 1.0605883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.82463E-5 | 4.5453E-5 | 5.5452547E-5 | 1.2199975 | 1.0E-5 | 8.305819E-4 | 5.532511E-4 | 5.632456E-4 | 1.018065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.0058181193 | 0.005838003 | 1.0034175 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 9.84653E-6 | 9.84653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7551293E-5 | 4.219874E-5 | 5.2198317E-5 | 1.2369639 | 1.0E-5 | 7.004617E-4 | 5.136496E-4 | 5.2364444E-4 | 1.0194585 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.0054038092 | 0.0054237014 | 1.0036811 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 8.609963E-6 | 8.609963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5808283E-5 | 3.689932E-5 | 4.6898953E-5 | 1.2709976 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5757316E-4 | 4.491571E-4 | 4.591526E-4 | 1.0222539 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005561762 | 0.0047391006 | 0.0047590057 | 1.0042002 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 7.4664786E-6 | 7.4664786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.776671E-5 | 3.1998803E-5 | 4.1998483E-5 | 1.3125017 | 1.0E-5 | 4.597127E-4 | 3.8951598E-4 | 3.9951206E-4 | 1.0256629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045876284 | 0.0041340096 | 0.004153927 | 1.004818 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 6.695141E-6 | 6.695141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3344273E-5 | 2.8693148E-5 | 3.869286E-5 | 1.3485053 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0589093E-4 | 3.4928325E-4 | 3.5927977E-4 | 1.02862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040515037 | 0.0037221527 | 0.0037420783 | 1.0053532 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 5.7790494E-6 | 5.7790494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8044553E-5 | 2.4767121E-5 | 3.4766872E-5 | 1.4037511 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4138895E-4 | 3.0149813E-4 | 3.1149513E-4 | 1.0331577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0032338423 | 0.00324381 | 1.0030823 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 4.812146E-6 | 4.812146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3351862E-5 | 2.0623322E-5 | 3.0623116E-5 | 1.484878 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8427184E-4 | 2.5106015E-4 | 2.6105763E-4 | 1.0398211 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0027102758 | 0.002720249 | 1.0036796 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 1.3662986E-6 | 1.3662986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.217019E-5 | 5.855553E-6 | 5.855553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816198E-4 | 7.128903E-5 | 7.128903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014806325 | 8.111905E-4 | 8.111905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 6.3135167E-7 | 6.3135167E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 2.70579E-6 | 2.70579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 3.2942502E-5 | 3.2942502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 3.9462151E-4 | 3.9462151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 2.9222883E-7 | 2.9222883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.2524088E-6 | 1.2524088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 1.5247973E-5 | 1.5247973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 1.8551825E-4 | 1.8551825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476389 | 0.0016576224 | 1.0060593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016367963 | 0.016387636 | 1.0012019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476389 | 0.0016576224 | 1.0060593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016367963 | 0.016387636 | 1.0012019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476389 | 0.0016576224 | 1.0060593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016367963 | 0.016387636 | 1.0012019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7804325E-5 | 1.7804325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630212E-5 | 7.630212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2860067E-4 | 9.385914E-4 | 1.0107589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249076 | 0.009258984 | 1.0010712 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7804325E-5 | 1.7804325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630212E-5 | 7.630212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2860067E-4 | 9.385914E-4 | 1.0107589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249076 | 0.009258984 | 1.0010712 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3042973E-5 | 1.3042973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.589728E-5 | 5.589728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8034057E-4 | 6.8034057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006782976 | 0.006782976 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1156617E-5 | 1.1156617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.781321E-5 | 4.781321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.8197253E-4 | 5.8197253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005458487 | 0.005804726 | 0.005804726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.236767E-6 | 9.236767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9585546E-5 | 3.9585546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.81848E-4 | 4.81848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.0048081 | 0.0048081 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.81689E-6 | 8.81689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7786125E-5 | 3.7786125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.599494E-4 | 4.599494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.004590028 | 0.004590028 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.564925E-6 | 8.564925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.6706308E-5 | 3.6706308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4680806E-4 | 4.4680806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044591487 | 0.0044591487 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.074651E-6 | 8.074651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4605193E-5 | 3.4605193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2123714E-4 | 4.2123714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042044343 | 0.0042044343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.545776E-6 | 7.545776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.233864E-5 | 3.233864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9365218E-4 | 3.9365218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039295917 | 0.0039295917 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8273725E-6 | 6.8273725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9259842E-5 | 2.9259842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5618056E-4 | 3.5618056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035561253 | 0.0035561253 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8199853E-6 | 5.8199853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4942556E-5 | 2.4942556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.036335E-4 | 3.036335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030322096 | 0.0030322096 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3122495E-6 | 4.3122495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.848094E-5 | 1.848094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2498229E-4 | 2.2498229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.002247554 | 0.002247554 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4753065E-6 | 2.4753065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.06084135E-5 | 1.06084135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2914982E-4 | 1.2914982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012907528 | 0.0012907528 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.860922E-7 | 9.860922E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2261026E-6 | 4.2261026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1451596E-5 | 5.1451596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1439815E-4 | 5.1439815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.641661E-7 | 2.641661E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321399E-6 | 1.1321399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3783717E-5 | 1.3783717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3782868E-4 | 1.3782868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.9656964E-8 | 3.9656964E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6995841E-7 | 1.6995841E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0692419E-6 | 2.0692419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692247E-5 | 2.0692247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3056472E-5 | 4.3056472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.8451478E-4 | 1.8451478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026203706 | 0.0022441666 | 0.002254144 | 1.004446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02589687 | 0.022295559 | 0.022315113 | 1.000877 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3056472E-5 | 4.3056472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.8451478E-4 | 1.8451478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026203706 | 0.0022441666 | 0.002254144 | 1.004446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02589687 | 0.022295559 | 0.022315113 | 1.000877 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.44403E-5 | 3.44403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4759302E-4 | 1.4759302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0017954764 | 0.0018054585 | 1.0055596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022186736 | 0.01788455 | 0.017904194 | 1.0010983 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.44403E-5 | 3.44403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4759302E-4 | 1.4759302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0017954764 | 0.0018054585 | 1.0055596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022186736 | 0.01788455 | 0.017904194 | 1.0010983 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1101295E-5 | 3.232552E-5 | 3.232552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7613651E-4 | 1.3853065E-4 | 1.3853065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021423528 | 0.0016853192 | 0.0016953023 | 1.0059236 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02121817 | 0.016800292 | 0.016819956 | 1.0011704 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.1032585E-5 | 3.2243555E-5 | 3.2243555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7584208E-4 | 1.3817941E-4 | 1.3817941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021387753 | 0.0016810495 | 0.0016910327 | 1.0059386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021183075 | 0.016758244 | 0.01677791 | 1.0011735 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.011629E-5 | 3.126517E-5 | 3.126517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7191563E-4 | 1.3398677E-4 | 1.3398677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020910634 | 0.0016300819 | 0.0016400657 | 1.0061246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020714961 | 0.016257033 | 0.016276706 | 1.0012102 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8583938E-5 | 2.9452214E-5 | 2.9452214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6534925E-4 | 1.2621775E-4 | 1.2621775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020112682 | 0.0015356322 | 0.0015456169 | 1.006502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019931622 | 0.015325745 | 0.015345437 | 1.001285 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.44341E-5 | 2.4449519E-5 | 2.4449519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4756636E-4 | 1.04779494E-4 | 1.04779494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017951399 | 0.0012749543 | 0.0012849416 | 1.0078334 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017807078 | 0.012751221 | 0.012770966 | 1.0015485 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.221199E-5 | 2.1776708E-5 | 2.1776708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804408E-4 | 9.332545E-5 | 9.332545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016793909 | 0.0011356534 | 0.0011356534 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01666756 | 0.011372198 | 0.011382085 | 1.0008694 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.9186718E-5 | 1.8145574E-5 | 1.8145574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2507994E-4 | 7.776445E-5 | 7.776445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015217843 | 9.463754E-4 | 9.463754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015114053 | 0.00949631 | 0.009506214 | 1.0010431 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6840138E-5 | 1.5283229E-5 | 1.5283229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1502409E-4 | 6.5497916E-5 | 6.5497916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013995186 | 7.971474E-4 | 7.971474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013907375 | 0.008015209 | 0.008025129 | 1.0012376 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.453002E-5 | 1.2605388E-5 | 1.2605388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05124425E-4 | 5.4021973E-5 | 5.4021973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012791384 | 6.575197E-4 | 6.575197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012718005 | 0.0066270847 | 0.0066370186 | 1.0014989 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3330727E-5 | 1.14874E-5 | 1.14874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9985E-5 | 4.9230784E-5 | 4.9230784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012166376 | 5.9922045E-4 | 5.9922045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012099981 | 0.0060459822 | 0.006055922 | 1.001644 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.2136466E-5 | 1.03677085E-5 | 1.03677085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.486712E-5 | 4.443228E-5 | 4.443228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011543952 | 5.4082903E-4 | 5.4082903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011484168 | 0.0054636984 | 0.0054736435 | 1.0018202 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.0994974E-5 | 9.42596E-6 | 9.42596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997535E-5 | 4.0396346E-5 | 4.0396346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948994 | 4.9171475E-4 | 4.9171475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010895205 | 0.0049727894 | 0.0049827397 | 1.0020009 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.7091823E-5 | 6.892645E-6 | 6.892645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3248615E-5 | 2.9539573E-5 | 2.9539573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9143694E-4 | 3.5958504E-4 | 3.5958504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008878695 | 0.0036477887 | 0.0036577522 | 1.0027314 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.2772179E-5 | 4.019961E-6 | 4.019961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.473676E-5 | 1.722829E-5 | 1.722829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6621625E-4 | 2.0973428E-4 | 2.0973428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006642225 | 0.0021364253 | 0.002146404 | 1.0046707 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.041923E-6 | 1.9400902E-6 | 1.9400902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.017932E-5 | 8.314646E-6 | 8.314646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6737128E-4 | 1.0122611E-4 | 1.0122611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036676454 | 0.0010376205 | 0.0010376205 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.946768E-6 | 1.003095E-6 | 1.003095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2628945E-5 | 4.298972E-6 | 4.298972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5374656E-4 | 5.2338724E-5 | 5.2338724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015364023 | 5.3387607E-4 | 5.3387607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1433375E-6 | 5.180316E-7 | 5.180316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9000087E-6 | 2.2201334E-6 | 2.2201334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.965597E-5 | 2.7029788E-5 | 2.7029788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.963996E-4 | 2.7392255E-4 | 2.7392255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6675295E-7 | 1.6286147E-7 | 1.6286147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1432264E-6 | 6.9797755E-7 | 6.9797755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3918692E-5 | 8.497844E-6 | 8.497844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.391782E-4 | 8.6359694E-5 | 8.6359694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.2704569E-8 | 9.428103E-9 | 9.428103E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.444815E-8 | 4.0406153E-8 | 4.0406153E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629061E-7 | 4.9194483E-7 | 4.9194483E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629041E-6 | 5.1110637E-6 | 5.1110637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1721256E-4 | 2.3671667E-4 | 2.3671667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.022428E-4 | 0.0010138705 | 0.0010138705 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060976758 | 0.012250477 | 0.012260355 | 1.0008063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0593305 | 0.112844326 | 0.11286207 | 1.0001572 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3807825E-4 | 1.3807825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.915491E-4 | 5.915491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.0071722465 | 0.007182175 | 1.0013843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035825435 | 0.06780454 | 0.067813866 | 1.0001374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3807825E-4 | 1.3807825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.915491E-4 | 5.915491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.0071722465 | 0.007182175 | 1.0013843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035825435 | 0.06780454 | 0.067813866 | 1.0001374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.970908E-5 | 1.3775968E-4 | 1.3775968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9871898E-4 | 5.901847E-4 | 5.901847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036308395 | 0.007155783 | 0.0071657114 | 1.0013875 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035720866 | 0.0676535 | 0.06766283 | 1.0001378 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.9517155E-5 | 1.374289E-4 | 1.374289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9789665E-4 | 5.887679E-4 | 5.887679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036208609 | 0.0071386965 | 0.0071486253 | 1.0013908 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03562429 | 0.067497544 | 0.067506865 | 1.0001382 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.786248E-5 | 9.415065E-5 | 9.415065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0510878E-4 | 4.0344274E-4 | 4.0344274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024943394 | 0.0049012913 | 0.0049012913 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02466527 | 0.04690106 | 0.04690106 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.4662214E-5 | 8.881762E-5 | 8.881762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9139545E-4 | 3.8059402E-4 | 3.8059402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023277493 | 0.0046243514 | 0.0046243514 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02303517 | 0.044292454 | 0.044292454 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.884542E-5 | 7.864917E-5 | 7.864917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6646975E-4 | 3.3702684E-4 | 3.3702684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024885 | 0.004096026 | 0.004096026 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020065336 | 0.039332174 | 0.039332174 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4221863E-5 | 6.855756E-5 | 6.855756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4665688E-4 | 2.937874E-4 | 2.937874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017840851 | 0.003571416 | 0.003571416 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017698295 | 0.03441938 | 0.03441938 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.6927712E-5 | 3.0062087E-5 | 3.0062087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2545314E-5 | 1.2883147E-4 | 1.2883147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.828813E-4 | 0.0015674516 | 0.0015674516 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008793819 | 0.015463198 | 0.015463198 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2509653E-5 | 2.2462904E-5 | 2.2462904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611697E-5 | 9.626628E-5 | 9.626628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.525269E-4 | 0.0011714558 | 0.0011714558 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065061417 | 0.0115828235 | 0.0115828235 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.751583E-6 | 1.4925888E-5 | 1.4925888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.750624E-5 | 6.396655E-5 | 6.396655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5654282E-4 | 7.7852036E-4 | 7.7852036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045560603 | 0.0077639394 | 0.0077639394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.354379E-6 | 1.1498852E-5 | 1.1498852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7232769E-5 | 4.927989E-5 | 4.927989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3150852E-4 | 5.998223E-4 | 5.998223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033101442 | 0.006000782 | 0.006000782 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.645554E-6 | 8.818257E-6 | 8.818257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9909365E-5 | 3.7792004E-5 | 3.7792004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4236954E-4 | 4.6002446E-4 | 4.6002446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024210536 | 0.004611075 | 0.004611075 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.23437E-6 | 7.992597E-6 | 7.992597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8147173E-5 | 3.4253557E-5 | 3.4253557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2091944E-4 | 4.169611E-4 | 4.169611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022069993 | 0.0041823364 | 0.0041823364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.2187417E-6 | 3.9522592E-6 | 3.9522592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.508858E-6 | 1.6938158E-5 | 1.6938158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.157642E-4 | 2.0620518E-4 | 2.0620518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011570391 | 0.0020736444 | 0.0020736444 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.7952495E-8 | 3.8784922E-8 | 3.8784922E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1979641E-7 | 1.6622108E-7 | 1.6622108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585203E-6 | 2.0237399E-6 | 2.0237399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585107E-5 | 2.0318716E-5 | 2.0318716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7192724E-8 | 2.343621E-8 | 2.343621E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.36831E-8 | 1.0044089E-7 | 1.0044089E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9709135E-7 | 1.2228672E-6 | 1.2228672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.970877E-6 | 1.2286304E-5 | 1.2286304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.971441E-5 | 6.971342E-5 | 1.4022778 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.130457E-4 | 2.3304144E-4 | 1.0938566 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.002590938 | 0.002610886 | 1.0076993 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.02561842 | 0.025637908 | 1.0007607 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.971441E-5 | 5.971391E-5 | 1.201139 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.130457E-4 | 2.2304356E-4 | 1.0469283 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.002590938 | 0.002600912 | 1.0038496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.02561842 | 0.025628164 | 1.0003804 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9669607E-5 | 3.966931E-5 | 1.3370352 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2714945E-4 | 1.3714819E-4 | 1.0786376 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015469724 | 0.001556957 | 1.0064542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015364838 | 0.015374684 | 1.0006409 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.316239E-5 | 3.316216E-5 | 1.4317243 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.926369E-5 | 1.092627E-4 | 1.1007317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012078787 | 0.0012178667 | 1.008269 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012017938 | 0.012012135 | 0.012022015 | 1.0008225 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9668036E-5 | 2.9667839E-5 | 1.5084292 | 1.0E-5 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.428891E-5 | 9.428807E-5 | 1.1186296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010257445 | 0.0010357342 | 1.009739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010415946 | 0.010211463 | 0.01022136 | 1.0009693 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7115373E-5 | 2.7115202E-5 | 1.5842601 | 1.0E-5 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.3349576E-5 | 8.334884E-5 | 1.1363235 | 1.0E-5 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.9267216E-4 | 9.026632E-4 | 1.0111923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009229303 | 0.008874648 | 0.008884559 | 1.0011168 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4340845E-5 | 2.4340703E-5 | 1.697299 | 1.0E-5 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.1459345E-5 | 7.145874E-5 | 1.1626992 | 1.0E-5 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.480159E-4 | 7.580084E-4 | 1.0133587 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007914 | 0.007441019 | 0.0074509447 | 1.001334 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.167425E-5 | 2.1674134E-5 | 1.8565761 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0031565E-5 | 6.0031067E-5 | 1.1998638 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.089683E-4 | 6.189622E-4 | 1.0164112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060622953 | 0.006072235 | 1.0016395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0610358E-5 | 2.0610252E-5 | 1.9424653 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5472192E-5 | 5.5471737E-5 | 1.2199047 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.534874E-4 | 5.634818E-4 | 1.0180572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0055044 | 0.005514345 | 1.0018067 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.88226E-6 | 1.7882183E-5 | 2.2686615 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3780696E-5 | 4.3780357E-5 | 1.296017 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.112053E-4 | 4.212012E-4 | 1.0243088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004089502 | 0.0040994613 | 1.0024353 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.1074267E-6 | 5.1074267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1888789E-5 | 2.1888789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6646355E-4 | 2.6646355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026614561 | 0.0026614561 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.1773346E-6 | 4.1773346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7902741E-5 | 1.7902741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1794418E-4 | 2.1794418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.002177316 | 0.002177316 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2820874E-6 | 3.2820874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4066013E-5 | 1.4066013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7124035E-4 | 1.7124035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017110935 | 0.0017110935 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4404928E-6 | 2.4404928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0459213E-5 | 1.0459213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2733355E-4 | 1.2733355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012726128 | 0.0012726128 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7680296E-6 | 1.7680296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.577248E-6 | 7.577248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.2249145E-5 | 9.2249145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.2211383E-4 | 9.2211383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.378286E-7 | 9.378286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.0192594E-6 | 4.0192594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.893342E-5 | 4.893342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.8923E-4 | 4.8923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4113425E-7 | 6.4113425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7477154E-6 | 2.7477154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.3452943E-5 | 3.3452943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.344812E-4 | 3.344812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.4492745E-8 | 6.4492745E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7639746E-7 | 2.7639746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.365134E-6 | 3.365134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.365086E-5 | 3.365086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5950744E-4 | 3.0713103E-4 | 3.0713103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.834242E-4 | 0.0013153937 | 0.0013153937 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00828899 | 0.015858073 | 0.015867913 | 1.0006206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.079865426 | 0.14439669 | 0.14441381 | 1.0001185 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3584697E-4 | 2.6035146E-4 | 2.6035146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8207137E-4 | 0.0011151606 | 0.0011151606 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007063716 | 0.013461149 | 0.013471015 | 1.0007329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06843361 | 0.12402486 | 0.124042384 | 1.0001413 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.14676266E-4 | 2.1714337E-4 | 2.1714337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9137714E-4 | 9.3020935E-4 | 9.3020935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059661185 | 0.011244834 | 0.011254722 | 1.0008793 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058084648 | 0.105015434 | 0.10503334 | 1.0001705 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.5987532E-4 | 1.5987532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.8496366E-4 | 6.8496366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004525038 | 0.008300914 | 0.008310831 | 1.0011947 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044339992 | 0.07933137 | 0.079349786 | 1.0002321 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5693929E-4 | 1.5693929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.7238725E-4 | 6.7238725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044306475 | 0.008148949 | 0.008158866 | 1.0012171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04343345 | 0.07793759 | 0.07795603 | 1.0002366 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.5518344E-4 | 1.5518344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.648665E-4 | 6.648665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004376863 | 0.008058159 | 0.008068078 | 1.001231 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042916555 | 0.07710881 | 0.07712726 | 1.0002394 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.5154164E-4 | 1.5154164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.4926746E-4 | 6.4926746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042669317 | 0.0078700045 | 0.007879926 | 1.0012606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04185927 | 0.07539403 | 0.07541252 | 1.0002452 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.4822086E-4 | 1.4822086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.3504453E-4 | 6.3504453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004172157 | 0.007698498 | 0.0077084214 | 1.001289 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040946912 | 0.073836125 | 0.07385465 | 1.0002508 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.2881529E-4 | 1.2881529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.519339E-4 | 5.519339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037082357 | 0.0066958778 | 0.0066958778 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.036469642 | 0.064680636 | 0.06468999 | 1.0001446 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 9.9189514E-5 | 9.9189514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.2502902E-4 | 4.2502902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029876942 | 0.005162525 | 0.005162525 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02947844 | 0.050507598 | 0.050517093 | 1.000188 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.2847495E-5 | 8.2847495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.5501274E-4 | 3.5501274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025403565 | 0.0043137805 | 0.0043137805 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025115121 | 0.042482752 | 0.042492326 | 1.0002254 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.264887E-5 | 7.264887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.113155E-4 | 3.113155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002241108 | 0.003783739 | 0.003783739 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022186412 | 0.037421085 | 0.03743071 | 1.0002573 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.3904925E-5 | 5.3904925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.3100081E-4 | 2.3100081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0028088356 | 0.0028088356 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016668037 | 0.028033655 | 0.028043374 | 1.0003467 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 3.9470644E-5 | 3.9470644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.6914903E-4 | 1.6914903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0020574613 | 0.0020574613 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012319452 | 0.020641495 | 0.020651288 | 1.0004745 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.7339498E-5 | 2.7339498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.1716403E-4 | 1.1716403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.0014255411 | 0.0014255411 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008312687 | 0.014374586 | 0.014384442 | 1.0006857 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.4781242E-5 | 2.4781242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9202768E-5 | 1.0620101E-4 | 1.0620101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.0012922328 | 0.0012922328 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007182234 | 0.01305369 | 0.013063559 | 1.000756 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.6428305E-5 | 1.6428305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 7.040513E-5 | 7.040513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 8.568467E-4 | 8.568467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004590199 | 0.008718078 | 0.00872799 | 1.001137 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 7.706533E-6 | 7.706533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 3.3027583E-5 | 3.3027583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 4.020367E-4 | 4.020367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021033096 | 0.0041648396 | 0.0041747983 | 1.0023911 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 6.7865935E-6 | 6.7865935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 2.9085077E-5 | 2.9085077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 3.5405334E-4 | 3.5405334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0036662305 | 0.0036761938 | 1.0027176 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 5.2786727E-6 | 5.2786727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 2.2622688E-5 | 2.2622688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 2.7539645E-4 | 2.7539645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0028345648 | 0.0028345648 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 3.288654E-6 | 3.288654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 1.4094155E-5 | 1.4094155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.7158285E-4 | 1.7158285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.944594E-4 | 0.0017563011 | 0.0017563011 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 2.0455911E-6 | 2.0455911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 8.7667895E-6 | 8.7667895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 1.0673047E-4 | 1.0673047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 0.0010928642 | 0.0010928642 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.379178E-4 | 1.379178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.9094443E-4 | 6.0093857E-4 | 1.0169121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008946515 | 0.0071713845 | 0.007181313 | 1.0013844 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.07054137 | 0.070550665 | 1.0001317 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.379178E-4 | 1.379178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.9094443E-4 | 6.0093857E-4 | 1.0169121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008946515 | 0.0071713845 | 0.007181313 | 1.0013844 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.07054137 | 0.070550665 | 1.0001317 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.379178E-4 | 1.379178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.9094443E-4 | 6.0093857E-4 | 1.0169121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008946515 | 0.0071713845 | 0.007181313 | 1.0013844 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.07054137 | 0.070550665 | 1.0001317 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.716926E-4 | 1.3711234E-4 | 1.3711234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3561794E-4 | 5.87494E-4 | 5.9748814E-4 | 1.0170114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008919428 | 0.00712965 | 0.007139579 | 1.0013926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08569809 | 0.070153326 | 0.070162624 | 1.0001326 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 1.3587263E-4 | 1.3587263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02367E-4 | 5.8218336E-4 | 5.9217756E-4 | 1.0171667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008517839 | 0.0070654135 | 0.007075343 | 1.0014054 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08198654 | 0.069388375 | 0.06939768 | 1.0001341 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 1.264715E-4 | 1.264715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.745133E-4 | 5.4190983E-4 | 5.519044E-4 | 1.0184432 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00818132 | 0.0065780985 | 0.006588033 | 1.0015101 | 1.0E-5 | 0.078865945 | 0.06485445 | 0.0648638 | 1.0001442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 1.1587348E-4 | 1.1587348E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5865536E-4 | 4.965074E-4 | 5.065024E-4 | 1.0201306 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006780438 | 0.0060284454 | 0.006038385 | 1.0016488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0657725 | 0.05932435 | 0.059333757 | 1.0001585 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 1.13138485E-4 | 1.13138485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5135164E-4 | 4.847904E-4 | 4.9478555E-4 | 1.0206175 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066920654 | 0.005886569 | 0.00589651 | 1.0016888 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06494093 | 0.05803522 | 0.05804464 | 1.0001624 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 1.12514106E-4 | 1.12514106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.485117E-4 | 4.8211546E-4 | 4.921107E-4 | 1.0207319 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066577005 | 0.005854197 | 0.0058641382 | 1.0016981 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06461738 | 0.057749055 | 0.05775848 | 1.0001632 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 1.1093617E-4 | 1.1093617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4380763E-4 | 4.7535537E-4 | 4.853506E-4 | 1.0210268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006600777 | 0.0057723317 | 0.005782274 | 1.0017225 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06408122 | 0.057020895 | 0.057030328 | 1.0001653 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 1.08237255E-4 | 1.08237255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.154837E-4 | 4.6379273E-4 | 4.737881E-4 | 1.0215514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006257969 | 0.0056322925 | 0.005642236 | 1.0017655 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06084648 | 0.0556937 | 0.05570314 | 1.0001695 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 5.391909E-5 | 5.391909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4493793E-4 | 2.3106155E-4 | 2.4105924E-4 | 1.0432686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041915346 | 0.0028095802 | 0.002819552 | 1.0035492 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041133516 | 0.02961511 | 0.029624814 | 1.0003277 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 4.293074E-5 | 4.293074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0399222E-4 | 1.8397605E-4 | 1.939742E-4 | 1.0543449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036948253 | 0.0022376303 | 0.0022476078 | 1.004459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03633994 | 0.0239382 | 0.02394796 | 1.0004077 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 2.8887041E-5 | 2.8887041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6541698E-4 | 1.2379573E-4 | 1.337945E-4 | 1.0807682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032266637 | 0.0015061728 | 0.0015161578 | 1.0066293 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031802133 | 0.01649532 | 0.016505154 | 1.0005963 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 2.7016495E-5 | 2.7016495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5311083E-4 | 1.1577985E-4 | 1.257787E-4 | 1.0863608 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030772698 | 0.0014087096 | 0.0014186954 | 1.0070887 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030350044 | 0.015467231 | 0.015477076 | 1.0006366 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 2.4671448E-5 | 2.4671448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.324491E-4 | 1.057305E-4 | 1.1572944E-4 | 1.09457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002826395 | 0.0012865098 | 0.001296497 | 1.0077629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027907165 | 0.014159696 | 0.014169554 | 1.0006962 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 1.989833E-5 | 1.989833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8987931E-4 | 8.527577E-5 | 9.5274925E-5 | 1.1172566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023093296 | 0.0010377383 | 0.0010477279 | 1.0096264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022854783 | 0.011409574 | 0.01141946 | 1.0008664 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 1.893079E-5 | 1.893079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7647797E-4 | 8.112944E-5 | 9.1128626E-5 | 1.1232498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002146502 | 9.873036E-4 | 9.972937E-4 | 1.0101186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021258866 | 0.01086749 | 0.010877382 | 1.0009102 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 1.8559018E-5 | 1.8559018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5174363E-4 | 7.953622E-5 | 8.9535424E-5 | 1.1257188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018459131 | 9.6792355E-4 | 9.779138E-4 | 1.0103214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018306552 | 0.010649217 | 0.010659111 | 1.000929 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 1.7311211E-5 | 1.7311211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10827445E-4 | 7.41888E-5 | 8.4188054E-5 | 1.1347812 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001348489 | 9.0287457E-4 | 9.128655E-4 | 1.0110657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013403354 | 0.009905276 | 0.009915177 | 1.0009996 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 1.4835514E-5 | 1.4835514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4757245E-5 | 6.3579224E-5 | 7.357859E-5 | 1.1572741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010314309 | 7.7380234E-4 | 7.837946E-4 | 1.0129132 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010266567 | 0.008506939 | 0.008516854 | 1.0011655 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 1.2103912E-5 | 1.2103912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.293394E-5 | 5.1872878E-5 | 5.1872878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6595135E-4 | 6.313695E-4 | 6.313695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076331664 | 0.006967477 | 0.006967477 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 5.466843E-6 | 5.466843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7021015E-5 | 2.3429116E-5 | 2.3429116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5063766E-4 | 2.8521224E-4 | 2.8521224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004497249 | 0.003244636 | 0.003244636 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4028866E-5 | 3.4028624E-5 | 1.4161562 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.029768E-4 | 1.1297577E-4 | 1.0970993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012530241 | 0.0012630116 | 1.0079707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012868487 | 0.012878358 | 1.0007671 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4028866E-5 | 3.4028624E-5 | 1.4161562 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.029768E-4 | 1.1297577E-4 | 1.0970993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012530241 | 0.0012630116 | 1.0079707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012868487 | 0.012878358 | 1.0007671 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.3953988E-5 | 3.3953747E-5 | 1.417457 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.0265592E-4 | 1.12654896E-4 | 1.0974028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012491219 | 0.0012591094 | 1.0079956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.012829898 | 0.01283977 | 1.0007694 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3871207E-5 | 3.387097E-5 | 1.4189047 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0230118E-4 | 1.1230016E-4 | 1.0977405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012448078 | 0.0012547954 | 1.0080234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.012787037 | 0.012796909 | 1.000772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.379072E-5 | 3.3790482E-5 | 1.420322 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0195626E-4 | 1.1195525E-4 | 1.0980712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012406133 | 0.0012506009 | 1.0080506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.012745332 | 0.012755205 | 1.0007746 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3367753E-5 | 3.336752E-5 | 1.4279301 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0014368E-4 | 1.1014268E-4 | 1.0998465 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012185699 | 0.0012285578 | 1.0081964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012526683 | 0.012536556 | 1.0007883 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3193794E-5 | 3.3193563E-5 | 1.4311398 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.93982E-5 | 1.0939721E-4 | 1.1005955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012095039 | 0.0012194917 | 1.0082579 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.012436609 | 0.0124464845 | 1.000794 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2388584E-5 | 3.238836E-5 | 1.4466462 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.594756E-5 | 1.059466E-4 | 1.1042136 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011675379 | 0.0011775262 | 1.008555 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.01201761 | 0.012027489 | 1.0008221 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1120475E-5 | 3.1120264E-5 | 1.4734643 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.051319E-5 | 1.0051229E-4 | 1.1104711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 0.0011014431 | 0.0011114321 | 1.009069 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.011356557 | 0.011366443 | 1.0008706 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0850846E-5 | 3.085064E-5 | 1.4795868 | 1.0E-5 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.9357716E-5 | 9.9356825E-5 | 1.1118997 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010873893 | 0.0010973784 | 1.0091864 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011215675 | 0.011225562 | 1.0008816 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.0373802E-5 | 3.0373598E-5 | 1.4908164 | 1.0E-5 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.731338E-5 | 9.731251E-5 | 1.11452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 0.001062524 | 0.0010725134 | 1.0094016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.010965329 | 0.010975219 | 1.0009019 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.8960156E-5 | 2.8959965E-5 | 1.5274118 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.125529E-5 | 9.125447E-5 | 1.1230589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 9.888359E-4 | 9.98826E-4 | 1.0101029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.010223334 | 0.010233231 | 1.0009681 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6741575E-5 | 2.6741407E-5 | 1.5973054 | 1.0E-5 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.1747636E-5 | 8.174692E-5 | 1.1393675 | 1.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.731782E-4 | 8.831695E-4 | 1.0114424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.009061908 | 0.009071818 | 1.0010935 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.4988977E-5 | 2.4988827E-5 | 1.6671469 | 1.0E-5 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.423689E-5 | 7.4236246E-5 | 1.1556637 | 1.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8180415E-4 | 7.9179637E-4 | 1.0127809 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008140343 | 0.008150262 | 1.0012184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1643263E-5 | 2.1643145E-5 | 1.8588558 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7632562E-5 | 4.9898747E-5 | 5.9898248E-5 | 1.2003958 | 1.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.0734845E-4 | 6.1734236E-4 | 1.016455 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0063794446 | 0.006389381 | 1.0015576 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.897503E-6 | 1.9897405E-5 | 2.010346 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2417185E-5 | 5.241676E-5 | 1.2357435 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.1630737E-4 | 5.263022E-4 | 1.0193583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.0054491456 | 0.005459091 | 1.0018251 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.826148E-6 | 6.826148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9254594E-5 | 2.9254594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.5611697E-4 | 3.5611697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003658111 | 0.0037869003 | 0.0037869003 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 8.9895474E-7 | 8.9895474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.8526578E-6 | 3.8526578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.690512E-5 | 4.690512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.3228246E-4 | 5.3228246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.612408E-8 | 6.612408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.8338889E-7 | 2.8338889E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.4502548E-6 | 3.4502548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.0113817E-5 | 4.0113817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Salt Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.955568E-6 | 1.1955548E-5 | 6.113594 | 1.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.38099E-6 | 1.8380906E-5 | 2.1931665 | 1.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.0203579E-4 | 1.12034766E-4 | 1.0979948 | 1.0E-5 | 9.646297E-4 | 0.0010200872 | 0.001030077 | 1.009793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.955568E-6 | 1.1955548E-5 | 6.113594 | 1.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.38099E-6 | 1.8380906E-5 | 2.1931665 | 1.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.0203579E-4 | 1.12034766E-4 | 1.0979948 | 1.0E-5 | 9.646297E-4 | 0.0010200872 | 0.001030077 | 1.009793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.955568E-6 | 1.1955548E-5 | 6.113594 | 1.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.38099E-6 | 1.8380906E-5 | 2.1931665 | 1.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.0203579E-4 | 1.12034766E-4 | 1.0979948 | 1.0E-5 | 9.646297E-4 | 0.0010200872 | 0.001030077 | 1.009793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.955568E-6 | 1.1955548E-5 | 6.113594 | 1.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.38099E-6 | 1.8380906E-5 | 2.1931665 | 1.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.0203579E-4 | 1.12034766E-4 | 1.0979948 | 1.0E-5 | 9.646297E-4 | 0.0010200872 | 0.001030077 | 1.009793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7803909E-6 | 1.8860677E-6 | 1.1886049E-5 | 6.3020267 | 1.0E-5 | 7.630225E-6 | 8.083133E-6 | 1.8083052E-5 | 2.237134 | 1.0E-5 | 9.289402E-5 | 9.840972E-5 | 1.08408734E-4 | 1.101606 | 1.0E-5 | 9.28552E-4 | 9.838586E-4 | 9.938488E-4 | 1.010154 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.3001727E-7 | 6.3001727E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.7000715E-6 | 2.7000715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2872915E-5 | 3.2872915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2868446E-4 | 3.2868446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.3001727E-7 | 6.3001727E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.7000715E-6 | 2.7000715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2872915E-5 | 3.2872915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2868446E-4 | 3.2868446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.3001727E-7 | 6.3001727E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.7000715E-6 | 2.7000715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2872915E-5 | 3.2872915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2868446E-4 | 3.2868446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.7536267E-7 | 5.06601E-7 | 5.06601E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.037267E-6 | 2.1711455E-6 | 2.1711455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4803443E-5 | 2.6433401E-5 | 2.6433401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4800675E-4 | 2.64305E-4 | 2.64305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.6345344E-7 | 3.874998E-7 | 3.874998E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5576567E-6 | 1.6607124E-6 | 1.6607124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8964305E-5 | 2.0219004E-5 | 2.0219004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8962687E-4 | 2.0217334E-4 | 2.0217334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.4087325E-7 | 2.570929E-7 | 2.570929E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0323135E-6 | 1.1018262E-6 | 1.1018262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25683455E-5 | 1.3414665E-5 | 1.3414665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2567634E-4 | 1.3413982E-4 | 1.3413982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.551555E-8 | 9.044463E-8 | 9.044463E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6649516E-7 | 3.876198E-7 | 3.876198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4620692E-6 | 4.719262E-6 | 4.719262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.46198E-5 | 4.7191737E-5 | 4.7191737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.475279E-8 | 2.589314E-8 | 2.589314E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0608338E-7 | 1.109706E-7 | 1.109706E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915643E-6 | 1.3510663E-6 | 1.3510663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915569E-5 | 1.3510587E-5 | 1.3510587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5212393E-8 | 1.5847471E-8 | 1.5847471E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.519597E-8 | 6.791773E-8 | 6.791773E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9376065E-7 | 8.2689814E-7 | 8.2689814E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.937579E-6 | 8.268953E-6 | 8.268953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.182E-9 | 8.447286E-9 | 8.447286E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5065714E-8 | 3.6202657E-8 | 3.6202657E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.26925E-7 | 4.4076728E-7 | 4.4076728E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.269242E-6 | 4.4076646E-6 | 4.4076646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.479913E-9 | 5.668038E-9 | 5.668038E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3485342E-8 | 2.4291593E-8 | 2.4291593E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.85934E-7 | 2.957501E-7 | 2.957501E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8593363E-6 | 2.9574974E-6 | 2.9574974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.6813562E-10 | 2.7731917E-10 | 2.7731917E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1491527E-9 | 1.1885111E-9 | 1.1885111E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990933E-8 | 1.4470121E-8 | 1.4470121E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990932E-7 | 1.447012E-7 | 1.447012E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Robinson Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 2.5284813E-5 | 1.6542276 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 7.5506345E-5 | 1.1526455 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.975477E-4 | 8.0753973E-4 | 1.0125284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007975477 | 0.007985397 | 1.0012438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 2.5284813E-5 | 1.6542276 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 7.5506345E-5 | 1.1526455 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.975477E-4 | 8.0753973E-4 | 1.0125284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007975477 | 0.007985397 | 1.0012438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 2.5284813E-5 | 1.6542276 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 7.5506345E-5 | 1.1526455 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.975477E-4 | 8.0753973E-4 | 1.0125284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007975477 | 0.007985397 | 1.0012438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 2.5284813E-5 | 1.6542276 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 7.5506345E-5 | 1.1526455 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.975477E-4 | 8.0753973E-4 | 1.0125284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007975477 | 0.007985397 | 1.0012438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 2.5284813E-5 | 1.6542276 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 7.5506345E-5 | 1.1526455 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.975477E-4 | 8.0753973E-4 | 1.0125284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007975477 | 0.007985397 | 1.0012438 | 1.0E-5 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.8864195E-5 | 3.8863906E-5 | 1.34644 | 1.0E-5 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.2369803E-4 | 1.336968E-4 | 1.080832 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0015050209 | 0.0015150058 | 1.0066345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016039822 | 0.014952701 | 0.014962551 | 1.0006588 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.8239394E-5 | 3.823911E-5 | 1.3541052 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.21020574E-4 | 1.3101936E-4 | 1.0826206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015875935 | 0.0014724669 | 0.001482452 | 1.0067813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015762992 | 0.01463145 | 0.014641304 | 1.0006734 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4219813E-5 | 3.421957E-5 | 1.412875 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.0379519E-4 | 1.1379415E-4 | 1.0963336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012629954 | 0.0012729828 | 1.0079076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012560867 | 0.012570741 | 1.0007861 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1862092E-5 | 3.1861873E-5 | 1.4574028 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.3691415E-5 | 1.0369048E-4 | 1.1067233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011401138 | 0.0011501024 | 1.008761 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012905477 | 0.011344908 | 0.011354794 | 1.0008714 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7354554E-5 | 1.7354554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.437457E-5 | 7.437457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010923136 | 9.0513896E-4 | 9.0513896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0108696 | 0.009015434 | 0.009015434 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.6809494E-5 | 1.6809494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.2038725E-5 | 7.2038725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010659413 | 8.767232E-4 | 8.767232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010608427 | 0.008733539 | 0.008733539 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5381915E-5 | 1.5381915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.5920845E-5 | 6.5920845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.0229517E-4 | 8.0229517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009587734 | 0.007994827 | 0.007994827 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4516949E-5 | 1.4516949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.2214036E-5 | 6.2214036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.5719657E-4 | 7.5719657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009157699 | 0.0075469445 | 0.0075469445 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.1163342E-5 | 1.1163342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.784203E-5 | 4.784203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.823236E-4 | 5.823236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007068595 | 0.0058081965 | 0.0058081965 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.636704E-6 | 5.636704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.4157081E-5 | 2.4157081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.940732E-4 | 2.940732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0029368845 | 0.0029368845 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2832643E-6 | 3.2832643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4071058E-5 | 1.4071058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7130178E-4 | 1.7130178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017117109 | 0.0017117109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.4370586E-6 | 1.4370586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.158808E-6 | 6.158808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.498093E-5 | 7.498093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.4955914E-4 | 7.4955914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2616888E-7 | 2.2616888E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.692949E-7 | 9.692949E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1801104E-5 | 1.1801104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1800505E-4 | 1.1800505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.12048E-9 | 5.12048E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.1944917E-8 | 2.1944917E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.6717933E-7 | 2.6717933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.6717903E-6 | 2.6717903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249992E-6 | 4.249992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.00221519 | 0.0022251678 | 1.0045043 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249992E-6 | 4.249992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.00221519 | 0.0022251678 | 1.0045043 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249992E-6 | 4.249992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.00221519 | 0.0022251678 | 1.0045043 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249992E-6 | 4.249992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.00221519 | 0.0022251678 | 1.0045043 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.682029E-6 | 3.682029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5780031E-5 | 1.5780031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210529E-4 | 1.9210529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194271 | 0.0019294078 | 1.0051999 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.682029E-6 | 3.682029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5780031E-5 | 1.5780031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210529E-4 | 1.9210529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194271 | 0.0019294078 | 1.0051999 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4242933E-6 | 3.4242933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4675462E-5 | 1.4675462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7865942E-4 | 1.7865942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017851895 | 0.0017951716 | 1.0055916 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.362271E-6 | 3.362271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4409655E-5 | 1.4409655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7542373E-4 | 1.7542373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017528838 | 0.0017628663 | 1.0056949 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.117861E-6 | 3.117861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3362195E-5 | 1.3362195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6267286E-4 | 1.6267286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016255665 | 0.0016355502 | 1.0061417 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.933072E-6 | 2.933072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2570249E-5 | 1.2570249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5303232E-4 | 1.5303232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015292971 | 0.0015392818 | 1.006529 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.641904E-6 | 2.641904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1322398E-5 | 1.1322398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3784174E-4 | 1.3784174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013775876 | 0.0013875738 | 1.0072491 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1342557E-6 | 2.1342557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.14678E-6 | 9.14678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.11356574E-4 | 1.11356574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011130297 | 0.0011230186 | 1.0089744 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2937331E-6 | 1.2937331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.544559E-6 | 5.544559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.7502995E-5 | 6.7502995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019903728 | 6.748332E-4 | 6.748332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.3830375E-7 | 7.3830375E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.1641553E-6 | 3.1641553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.852293E-5 | 3.852293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8516452E-4 | 3.8516452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.461424E-7 | 5.461424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3406083E-6 | 2.3406083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8496537E-5 | 2.8496537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8492938E-4 | 2.8492938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028206E-7 | 3.6028206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196375E-8 | 7.1196375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Casmalia 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.26248E-6 | 4.26248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.8267647E-5 | 1.8267647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.223861E-4 | 2.223861E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021737402 | 0.0022216565 | 0.0022316342 | 1.0044911 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.26248E-6 | 4.26248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.8267647E-5 | 1.8267647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.223861E-4 | 2.223861E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021737402 | 0.0022216565 | 0.0022316342 | 1.0044911 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5370197E-6 | 3.5370197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5158568E-5 | 1.5158568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8454003E-4 | 1.8454003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001802353 | 0.0018438773 | 0.0018538588 | 1.0054134 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5370197E-6 | 3.5370197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5158568E-5 | 1.5158568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8454003E-4 | 1.8454003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001802353 | 0.0018438773 | 0.0018538588 | 1.0054134 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1692236E-6 | 3.1692236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.35823175E-5 | 1.35823175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6535222E-4 | 1.6535222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016140083 | 0.001652298 | 0.0016622815 | 1.0060421 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1692236E-6 | 3.1692236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.35823175E-5 | 1.35823175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6535222E-4 | 1.6535222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016140083 | 0.001652298 | 0.0016622815 | 1.0060421 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9459152E-6 | 3.0165731E-6 | 3.0165731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.262529E-5 | 1.2928107E-5 | 1.2928107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370206E-4 | 1.573884E-4 | 1.573884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015359579 | 0.0015727748 | 0.0015827591 | 1.0063481 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8634809E-6 | 2.9324708E-6 | 2.9324708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2272003E-5 | 1.2567672E-5 | 1.2567672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4940138E-4 | 1.530007E-4 | 1.530007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014930099 | 0.0015289591 | 0.0015389438 | 1.0065304 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7999822E-6 | 2.867595E-6 | 2.867595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1999869E-5 | 1.22896345E-5 | 1.22896345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.460886E-4 | 1.4961608E-4 | 1.4961608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001459926 | 0.0014951588 | 0.0015051438 | 1.0066782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.551052E-6 | 2.6119633E-6 | 2.6119633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0933034E-5 | 1.119408E-5 | 1.119408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3310155E-4 | 1.3627944E-4 | 1.3627944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013302186 | 0.0013619628 | 0.0013719491 | 1.0073323 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3081875E-6 | 2.3624075E-6 | 2.3624075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.892195E-6 | 1.0124564E-5 | 1.0124564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20430814E-4 | 1.2325963E-4 | 1.2325963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012036557 | 0.0012319154 | 0.001241903 | 1.0081074 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.093245E-6 | 2.141723E-6 | 2.141723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.971019E-6 | 9.178781E-6 | 9.178781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09216686E-4 | 1.1174594E-4 | 1.1174594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010916302 | 0.0011168995 | 0.0011268884 | 1.0089433 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.9714576E-6 | 2.016508E-6 | 2.016508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449076E-6 | 8.642148E-6 | 8.642148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0286264E-4 | 1.0521309E-4 | 1.0521309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010281504 | 0.0010516347 | 0.0010616241 | 1.009499 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6689512E-6 | 1.7047122E-6 | 1.7047122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1526288E-6 | 7.3058886E-6 | 7.3058886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7079774E-5 | 8.894557E-5 | 8.894557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7045657E-4 | 8.891005E-4 | 8.990916E-4 | 1.0112373 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4490954E-6 | 1.47789E-6 | 1.47789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.210394E-6 | 6.333799E-6 | 6.333799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.560892E-5 | 7.711128E-5 | 7.711128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.55832E-4 | 7.7084586E-4 | 7.8083813E-4 | 1.0129628 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.226873E-6 | 1.2481696E-6 | 1.2481696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2580162E-6 | 5.349287E-6 | 5.349287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.401447E-5 | 6.512563E-5 | 6.512563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399603E-4 | 6.5106596E-4 | 6.6105946E-4 | 1.0153494 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.2561345E-7 | 9.3619207E-7 | 9.3619207E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.966909E-6 | 4.0122454E-6 | 4.0122454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8296046E-5 | 4.8848E-5 | 4.8848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.828555E-4 | 4.8837304E-4 | 4.983681E-4 | 1.0204662 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.4367933E-7 | 5.39289E-7 | 5.39289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3300522E-6 | 2.3112366E-6 | 2.3112366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8368017E-5 | 2.8138942E-5 | 2.8138942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8364395E-4 | 2.8135392E-4 | 2.913511E-4 | 1.0355325 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.8825742E-7 | 1.7342346E-7 | 1.7342346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.068173E-7 | 7.432432E-7 | 7.432432E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822956E-6 | 9.048948E-6 | 9.048948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822522E-5 | 9.0485824E-5 | 9.0485824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.342771E-8 | 4.6789356E-8 | 4.6789356E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7183304E-7 | 2.0052579E-7 | 2.0052579E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3095623E-6 | 2.4413987E-6 | 2.4413987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.309513E-5 | 2.4413725E-5 | 2.4413725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.2574819E-8 | 6.4724883E-9 | 6.4724883E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3892084E-8 | 2.7739237E-8 | 2.7739237E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.561359E-7 | 3.3772517E-7 | 3.3772517E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56134E-6 | 3.3772467E-6 | 3.3772467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Reliz 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.6282776E-5 | 1.6282776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.978157E-5 | 6.978157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.492793E-4 | 8.592708E-4 | 1.0117646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008315164 | 0.008462534 | 0.008472449 | 1.0011717 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.6282776E-5 | 1.6282776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.978157E-5 | 6.978157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.492793E-4 | 8.592708E-4 | 1.0117646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008315164 | 0.008462534 | 0.008472449 | 1.0011717 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.6282776E-5 | 1.6282776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.978157E-5 | 6.978157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.492793E-4 | 8.592708E-4 | 1.0117646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008315164 | 0.008462534 | 0.008472449 | 1.0011717 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.792404E-6 | 7.803781E-6 | 7.803781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.339559E-5 | 3.344435E-5 | 3.344435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0651546E-4 | 4.0710968E-4 | 4.1710562E-4 | 1.0245534 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040577264 | 0.0040639164 | 0.004073876 | 1.0024507 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.792404E-6 | 7.803781E-6 | 7.803781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.339559E-5 | 3.344435E-5 | 3.344435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0651546E-4 | 4.0710968E-4 | 4.1710562E-4 | 1.0245534 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040577264 | 0.0040639164 | 0.004073876 | 1.0024507 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9659374E-6 | 5.9287186E-6 | 5.9287186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5568053E-5 | 2.5408548E-5 | 2.5408548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1124658E-4 | 3.0930535E-4 | 3.0930535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00310811 | 0.0030889676 | 0.0030889676 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.2350692E-6 | 5.1789666E-6 | 5.1789666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2435817E-5 | 2.2195383E-5 | 2.2195383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7312184E-4 | 2.7019545E-4 | 2.7019545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002727864 | 0.0026988804 | 0.0026988804 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.580206E-6 | 4.5061015E-6 | 4.5061015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9629308E-5 | 1.9311721E-5 | 1.9311721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.389606E-4 | 2.3509492E-4 | 2.3509492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002387038 | 0.0023486651 | 0.0023486651 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.0765017E-6 | 3.9882198E-6 | 3.9882198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7470604E-5 | 1.709226E-5 | 1.709226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1268385E-4 | 2.0807842E-4 | 2.0807842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002124804 | 0.0020790352 | 0.0020790352 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.5752896E-6 | 3.4724997E-6 | 3.4724997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.532258E-5 | 1.4882056E-5 | 1.4882056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8653645E-4 | 1.81174E-4 | 1.81174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018637994 | 0.0018104605 | 0.0018104605 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.0259848E-6 | 2.9079242E-6 | 2.9079242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2968442E-5 | 1.2462473E-5 | 1.2462473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5787935E-4 | 1.5172006E-4 | 1.5172006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015776722 | 0.001516361 | 0.001516361 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5861116E-6 | 2.45515E-6 | 2.45515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1083288E-5 | 1.0522029E-5 | 1.0522029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3493067E-4 | 1.2809818E-4 | 1.2809818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013484878 | 0.0012804391 | 0.0012804391 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1482588E-6 | 2.00322E-6 | 2.00322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20679E-6 | 8.585201E-6 | 8.585201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12086906E-4 | 1.0451981E-4 | 1.0451981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011203039 | 0.0010449018 | 0.0010449018 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7194744E-6 | 1.5611076E-6 | 1.5611076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3691554E-6 | 6.6904445E-6 | 6.6904445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.971577E-5 | 8.1453116E-5 | 8.1453116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967956E-4 | 8.144277E-4 | 8.144277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2755178E-6 | 1.1056137E-6 | 1.1056137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4664933E-6 | 4.7383355E-6 | 4.7383355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.655252E-5 | 5.768771E-5 | 5.768771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6532596E-4 | 5.7692226E-4 | 5.7692226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.8463224E-7 | 7.0578636E-7 | 7.0578636E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7912755E-6 | 3.024795E-6 | 3.024795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6157802E-5 | 3.682626E-5 | 3.682626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6148215E-4 | 3.6839634E-4 | 3.6839634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.291355E-7 | 3.5006036E-7 | 3.5006036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2677216E-6 | 1.5002578E-6 | 1.5002578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.760916E-5 | 1.8265486E-5 | 1.8265486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.760573E-4 | 1.8283357E-4 | 1.8283357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9663357E-7 | 1.3509494E-7 | 1.3509494E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2712861E-6 | 5.789782E-7 | 5.789782E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5477797E-5 | 7.0490364E-6 | 7.0490364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.547672E-4 | 7.067343E-5 | 7.067343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2509386E-7 | 2.7146973E-8 | 2.7146973E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611643E-7 | 1.1634416E-7 | 1.1634416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527198E-6 | 1.4164892E-6 | 1.4164892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527006E-5 | 1.4321116E-5 | 1.4321116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.213493E-8 | 1.1476478E-8 | 1.1476478E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6629255E-7 | 4.9184905E-8 | 4.9184905E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.242107E-6 | 5.9882603E-7 | 5.9882603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2420594E-5 | 6.1193923E-6 | 6.1193923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.92383E-9 | 1.6774425E-9 | 1.6774425E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5387841E-8 | 7.1890396E-9 | 7.1890396E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0909692E-7 | 8.752655E-8 | 8.752655E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090965E-6 | 8.9906746E-7 | 8.9906746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.196852E-5 | 2.360444E-5 | 2.360444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4147406E-5 | 1.0115846E-4 | 1.0115846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011456419 | 0.0012309974 | 0.001240985 | 1.0081135 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011397537 | 0.012250645 | 0.012260523 | 1.0008063 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.0711869E-5 | 1.0711869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.590731E-5 | 4.590731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.5879646E-4 | 5.5879646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052005537 | 0.005575724 | 0.005575724 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.0711869E-5 | 1.0711869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.590731E-5 | 4.590731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.5879646E-4 | 5.5879646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052005537 | 0.005575724 | 0.005575724 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.9426476E-6 | 4.9426476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.1182628E-5 | 2.1182628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.5787242E-4 | 2.5787242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024039985 | 0.0025761703 | 0.0025761703 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.9426476E-6 | 4.9426476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.1182628E-5 | 2.1182628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.5787242E-4 | 2.5787242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024039985 | 0.0025761703 | 0.0025761703 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.716712E-6 | 2.9111059E-6 | 2.9111059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643E-5 | 1.2476122E-5 | 1.2476122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.417443E-4 | 1.5188863E-4 | 1.5188863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165393 | 0.0015180861 | 0.0015180861 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.3818255E-6 | 1.4820661E-6 | 1.4820661E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.922096E-6 | 6.351703E-6 | 6.351703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.209913E-5 | 7.733047E-5 | 7.733047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2075747E-4 | 7.731565E-4 | 7.731565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Redondo Canyon alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0981297E-5 | 1.0981297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.7062298E-5 | 5.706183E-5 | 1.2124743 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.7291175E-4 | 5.82906E-4 | 1.0174447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005722087 | 0.0057320297 | 1.0017376 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0981297E-5 | 1.0981297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.7062298E-5 | 5.706183E-5 | 1.2124743 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.7291175E-4 | 5.82906E-4 | 1.0174447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005722087 | 0.0057320297 | 1.0017376 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0981297E-5 | 1.0981297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.7062298E-5 | 5.706183E-5 | 1.2124743 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.7291175E-4 | 5.82906E-4 | 1.0174447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005722087 | 0.0057320297 | 1.0017376 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.2360877E-6 | 3.2360877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.3868896E-5 | 2.3868757E-5 | 1.721028 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.688447E-4 | 1.7884301E-4 | 1.059216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016875537 | 0.0016975369 | 1.0059158 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.2360877E-6 | 3.2360877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.3868896E-5 | 2.3868757E-5 | 1.721028 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.688447E-4 | 1.7884301E-4 | 1.059216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016875537 | 0.0016975369 | 1.0059158 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.2360877E-6 | 3.2360877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.3868896E-5 | 2.3868757E-5 | 1.721028 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.688447E-4 | 1.7884301E-4 | 1.059216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016875537 | 0.0016975369 | 1.0059158 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.8288429E-6 | 1.8288429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.837883E-6 | 1.7837805E-5 | 2.2758448 | 1.0E-5 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.5423544E-5 | 1.0542259E-4 | 1.1047859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010160941 | 9.5397263E-4 | 9.639631E-4 | 1.0104725 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.8288429E-6 | 1.8288429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.837883E-6 | 1.7837805E-5 | 2.2758448 | 1.0E-5 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.5423544E-5 | 1.0542259E-4 | 1.1047859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010160941 | 9.5397263E-4 | 9.639631E-4 | 1.0104725 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1278219E-6 | 9.032855E-7 | 9.032855E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.8712205E-6 | 3.8712205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.7131518E-5 | 4.7131518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.7125723E-4 | 4.7125723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1278219E-6 | 9.032855E-7 | 9.032855E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.8712205E-6 | 3.8712205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.7131518E-5 | 4.7131518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.7125723E-4 | 4.7125723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1278219E-6 | 9.032855E-7 | 9.032855E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.8712205E-6 | 3.8712205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.7131518E-5 | 4.7131518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.7125723E-4 | 4.7125723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.5690635E-7 | 8.5690635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.672453E-6 | 3.672453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.471162E-5 | 4.471162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.500792E-4 | 4.47068E-4 | 4.47068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.5690635E-7 | 8.5690635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.672453E-6 | 3.672453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.471162E-5 | 4.471162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.500792E-4 | 4.47068E-4 | 4.47068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.505161E-8 | 5.8955596E-8 | 5.8955596E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0736398E-7 | 2.526668E-7 | 2.526668E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.959645E-6 | 3.0762153E-6 | 3.0762153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9595343E-5 | 3.0761847E-5 | 3.0761847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.9520785E-8 | 2.698693E-8 | 2.698693E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6937479E-7 | 1.1565827E-7 | 1.1565827E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.062136E-6 | 1.4081388E-6 | 1.4081388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.062117E-5 | 1.4081325E-5 | 1.4081325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6133214E-9 | 3.7367633E-9 | 3.7367633E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4057092E-8 | 1.6014699E-8 | 1.6014699E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9289507E-7 | 1.9497895E-7 | 1.9497895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9289467E-6 | 1.949788E-6 | 1.949788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1064334E-9 | 2.59572E-9 | 2.59572E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7599E-8 | 1.1124515E-8 | 1.1124515E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.142678E-7 | 1.3544096E-7 | 1.3544096E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1426758E-6 | 1.3544089E-6 | 1.3544089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.361975E-9 | 6.360521E-10 | 6.360521E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.7259377E-9 | 2.7259377E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.318829E-8 | 3.318829E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106588E-7 | 3.3188286E-7 | 3.3188286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.361975E-9 | 6.360521E-10 | 6.360521E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.7259377E-9 | 2.7259377E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.318829E-8 | 3.318829E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106588E-7 | 3.3188286E-7 | 3.3188286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.3442498E-5 | 5.3442498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2902492E-4 | 2.3902263E-4 | 1.0436534 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027857795 | 0.0027957517 | 1.0035796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.02760302 | 0.027612746 | 1.0003523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.3442498E-5 | 5.3442498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2902492E-4 | 2.3902263E-4 | 1.0436534 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027857795 | 0.0027957517 | 1.0035796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.02760302 | 0.027612746 | 1.0003523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2154509E-5 | 2.2154509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.494676E-5 | 1.0494581E-4 | 1.1053122 | 1.0E-5 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.001155749 | 0.0011657374 | 1.0086424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009013915 | 0.011535117 | 0.011545002 | 1.0008569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2154509E-5 | 2.2154509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.494676E-5 | 1.0494581E-4 | 1.1053122 | 1.0E-5 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.001155749 | 0.0011657374 | 1.0086424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009013915 | 0.011535117 | 0.011545002 | 1.0008569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4028824E-5 | 1.790093E-5 | 1.790093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0122147E-5 | 7.671827E-5 | 7.671827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3174125E-4 | 9.340235E-4 | 9.340235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072933645 | 0.009338144 | 0.009338144 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Frontal (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290172 | 0.0025389919 | 1.0039442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290172 | 0.0025389919 | 1.0039442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290172 | 0.0025389919 | 1.0039442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290172 | 0.0025389919 | 1.0039442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290172 | 0.0025389919 | 1.0039442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290172 | 0.0025389919 | 1.0039442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 4.8526704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 2.0797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 2.5317553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290172 | 0.0025389919 | 1.0039442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6308843E-6 | 3.6308843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5560845E-5 | 1.5560845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8943759E-4 | 1.8943759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018445229 | 0.001892838 | 0.0019028191 | 1.0052731 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6308843E-6 | 3.6308843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5560845E-5 | 1.5560845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8943759E-4 | 1.8943759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018445229 | 0.001892838 | 0.0019028191 | 1.0052731 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.0428037E-6 | 3.1227594E-6 | 3.1227594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.30405215E-5 | 1.3383189E-5 | 1.3383189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5875678E-4 | 1.6292883E-4 | 1.6292883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015864341 | 0.001628161 | 0.0016381446 | 1.0061319 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.538778E-6 | 2.6060895E-6 | 2.6060895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0880432E-5 | 1.116891E-5 | 1.116891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.324612E-4 | 1.3597346E-4 | 1.3597346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013238228 | 0.0013589495 | 0.0013589495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2418935E-6 | 2.3012067E-6 | 2.3012067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.60808E-6 | 9.8622795E-6 | 9.8622795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1697209E-4 | 1.2006708E-4 | 1.2006708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011691054 | 0.0012000661 | 0.0012000661 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6526745E-6 | 1.692485E-6 | 1.692485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.082872E-6 | 7.253488E-6 | 7.253488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623055E-5 | 8.83079E-5 | 8.83079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.61971E-4 | 8.827531E-4 | 8.827531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0246019E-6 | 1.0442265E-6 | 1.0442265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391144E-6 | 4.475249E-6 | 4.475249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3460866E-5 | 5.4484914E-5 | 5.4484914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.344801E-4 | 5.44727E-4 | 5.44727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.9045164E-7 | 9.056564E-7 | 9.056564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8162157E-6 | 3.881379E-6 | 3.881379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.646144E-5 | 4.7254878E-5 | 4.7254878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6451724E-4 | 4.7245919E-4 | 4.7245919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.3357E-7 | 6.402708E-7 | 6.402708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7152971E-6 | 2.744015E-6 | 2.744015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.305824E-5 | 3.3407938E-5 | 3.3407938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3053322E-4 | 3.3403575E-4 | 3.3403575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5087024E-7 | 2.436121E-7 | 2.436121E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0751578E-6 | 1.0440516E-6 | 1.0440516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089967E-5 | 1.2711275E-5 | 1.2711275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089196E-4 | 1.2710755E-4 | 1.2710755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.282987E-8 | 2.2875435E-8 | 2.2875435E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4069944E-7 | 9.8037575E-8 | 9.8037575E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7130144E-6 | 1.193607E-6 | 1.193607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7130013E-5 | 1.1936014E-5 | 1.1936014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.77499E-9 | 5.6817466E-9 | 5.6817466E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7607098E-8 | 2.4350342E-8 | 2.4350342E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.578663E-7 | 2.964654E-7 | 2.964654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5786537E-6 | 2.9646512E-6 | 2.9646512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181534E-6 | 1.4181493E-5 | 3.3914568 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920758E-5 | 2.7920578E-5 | 1.5580021 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181671E-4 | 2.2816492E-4 | 1.0458264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002179895 | 0.0021898733 | 1.0045774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181534E-6 | 1.4181493E-5 | 3.3914568 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920758E-5 | 2.7920578E-5 | 1.5580021 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181671E-4 | 2.2816492E-4 | 1.0458264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002179895 | 0.0021898733 | 1.0045774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181534E-6 | 1.4181493E-5 | 3.3914568 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920758E-5 | 2.7920578E-5 | 1.5580021 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181671E-4 | 2.2816492E-4 | 1.0458264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002179895 | 0.0021898733 | 1.0045774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181534E-6 | 1.4181493E-5 | 3.3914568 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920758E-5 | 2.7920578E-5 | 1.5580021 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181671E-4 | 2.2816492E-4 | 1.0458264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002179895 | 0.0021898733 | 1.0045774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181534E-6 | 1.4181493E-5 | 3.3914568 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920758E-5 | 2.7920578E-5 | 1.5580021 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181671E-4 | 2.2816492E-4 | 1.0458264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002179895 | 0.0021898733 | 1.0045774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731554E-6 | 1.23731315E-5 | 5.213789 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170631E-5 | 2.017053E-5 | 1.9832132 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382117E-4 | 1.3381994E-4 | 1.0807517 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012375978 | 0.0012475854 | 1.0080701 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731554E-6 | 1.23731315E-5 | 5.213789 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170631E-5 | 2.017053E-5 | 1.9832132 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382117E-4 | 1.3381994E-4 | 1.0807517 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012375978 | 0.0012475854 | 1.0080701 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7497902E-6 | 1.1749773E-5 | 6.714961 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.499082E-6 | 1.7499007E-5 | 2.3334866 | 1.0E-5 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.129804E-5 | 1.01297126E-4 | 1.1095214 | 1.0E-5 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.1265794E-4 | 9.226488E-4 | 1.010947 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3299368E-6 | 1.3299368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.699719E-6 | 5.699719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.9392314E-5 | 6.9392314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.937498E-4 | 6.937498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.116987E-7 | 6.116987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6215635E-6 | 2.6215635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.191711E-5 | 3.191711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.1912935E-4 | 3.1912935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.8320095E-7 | 4.8320095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0708599E-6 | 2.0708599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5212465E-5 | 2.5212465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5209974E-4 | 2.5209974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.9871418E-7 | 3.9871418E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7087742E-6 | 1.7087742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0804162E-5 | 2.0804162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0802549E-4 | 2.0802549E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7616815E-7 | 3.7616815E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6121484E-6 | 1.6121484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9627763E-5 | 1.9627763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9626362E-4 | 1.9626362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.5063425E-7 | 3.5063425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5027176E-6 | 1.5027176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.8295466E-5 | 1.8295466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8294291E-4 | 1.8294291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1165777E-7 | 3.1165777E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3356756E-6 | 1.3356756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6261763E-5 | 1.6261763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6260901E-4 | 1.6260901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5012505E-7 | 1.5012505E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.433931E-7 | 6.433931E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.8333105E-6 | 7.8333105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.8333105E-5 | 7.8333105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8770423E-5 | 1.627938E-5 | 1.627938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.044219E-5 | 6.9766924E-5 | 6.9766924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.789435E-4 | 8.490851E-4 | 8.490851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009746423 | 0.008471303 | 0.008481218 | 1.0011704 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8770423E-5 | 1.627938E-5 | 1.627938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.044219E-5 | 6.9766924E-5 | 6.9766924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.789435E-4 | 8.490851E-4 | 8.490851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009746423 | 0.008471303 | 0.008481218 | 1.0011704 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7508692E-5 | 1.4898888E-5 | 1.4898888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5035096E-5 | 6.3850835E-5 | 6.3850835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1316935E-4 | 7.7710964E-4 | 7.7710964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00909426 | 0.0077567324 | 0.0077666547 | 1.0012792 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7508692E-5 | 1.4898888E-5 | 1.4898888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5035096E-5 | 6.3850835E-5 | 6.3850835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1316935E-4 | 7.7710964E-4 | 7.7710964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00909426 | 0.0077567324 | 0.0077666547 | 1.0012792 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6004591E-5 | 1.324873E-5 | 1.324873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.85893E-5 | 5.677904E-5 | 5.677904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347548E-4 | 6.910666E-4 | 6.910666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008316261 | 0.0069017857 | 0.006911717 | 1.0014389 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6004591E-5 | 1.324873E-5 | 1.324873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.85893E-5 | 5.677904E-5 | 5.677904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347548E-4 | 6.910666E-4 | 6.910666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008316261 | 0.0069017857 | 0.006911717 | 1.0014389 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5442201E-5 | 1.26333625E-5 | 1.26333625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.617918E-5 | 5.4141863E-5 | 5.4141863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0543366E-4 | 6.589787E-4 | 6.589787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008025207 | 0.006582838 | 0.0065927724 | 1.0015091 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.489921E-5 | 1.2041874E-5 | 1.2041874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3852196E-5 | 5.160701E-5 | 5.160701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7712315E-4 | 6.2813493E-4 | 6.2813493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077441116 | 0.006276172 | 0.0062861093 | 1.0015833 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3876024E-5 | 1.0920827E-5 | 1.0920827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9467322E-5 | 4.6802703E-5 | 4.6802703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.237741E-4 | 5.696743E-4 | 5.696743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072142133 | 0.0056946827 | 0.0057046255 | 1.001746 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.33922495E-5 | 1.039233E-5 | 1.039233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7394092E-5 | 4.45378E-5 | 4.45378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9854903E-4 | 5.421131E-4 | 5.421131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069635725 | 0.005420441 | 0.0054303864 | 1.0018349 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2807324E-5 | 9.752293E-6 | 9.752293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4887376E-5 | 4.1794876E-5 | 4.1794876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680489E-4 | 5.0873397E-4 | 5.0873397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006660442 | 0.00508822 | 0.005098169 | 1.0019553 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2191438E-5 | 9.061184E-6 | 9.061184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.224797E-5 | 3.8833066E-5 | 3.8833066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3593336E-4 | 4.726901E-4 | 4.726901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063411663 | 0.004729365 | 0.0047393176 | 1.0021044 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1769438E-5 | 8.58138E-6 | 8.58138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0439474E-5 | 3.6776826E-5 | 3.6776826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1392755E-4 | 4.4766592E-4 | 4.4766592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061223423 | 0.0044801584 | 0.004490114 | 1.0022221 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.150374E-5 | 8.296808E-6 | 8.296808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9300812E-5 | 3.5557267E-5 | 3.5557267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0007203E-4 | 4.3282378E-4 | 4.3282378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059845424 | 0.0043323045 | 0.004342261 | 1.0022982 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.12514E-5 | 8.042549E-6 | 8.042549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8219394E-5 | 3.4467612E-5 | 3.4467612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8691297E-4 | 4.1956245E-4 | 4.1956245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005853653 | 0.004200194 | 0.004210152 | 1.0023708 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.059696E-5 | 7.3928336E-6 | 7.3928336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5414752E-5 | 3.168319E-5 | 3.168319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5278436E-4 | 3.856746E-4 | 3.856746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055141128 | 0.0038624431 | 0.0038724046 | 1.0025791 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.018592E-6 | 5.8365995E-6 | 5.8365995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8650534E-5 | 2.5013758E-5 | 2.5013758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7046866E-4 | 3.045E-4 | 3.045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004694739 | 0.0030528507 | 0.00306282 | 1.0032656 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.243489E-6 | 3.2392147E-6 | 3.2392147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6757538E-5 | 1.3882274E-5 | 1.3882274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.257243E-4 | 1.690036E-4 | 1.690036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003252473 | 0.0016989735 | 0.0017089566 | 1.005876 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.1941963E-6 | 1.3808259E-6 | 1.3808259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.368934E-5 | 5.9178114E-6 | 5.9178114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6665498E-4 | 7.2046976E-5 | 7.2046976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016653005 | 7.262342E-4 | 7.262342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0098398E-6 | 6.914685E-7 | 6.914685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6135715E-6 | 2.9634327E-6 | 2.9634327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0486518E-4 | 3.6079196E-5 | 3.6079196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010481571 | 3.6565514E-4 | 3.6565514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 8.353119E-7 | 3.1617253E-7 | 3.1617253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.579903E-6 | 1.3550244E-6 | 1.3550244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.358445E-5 | 1.6497297E-5 | 1.6497297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3575902E-4 | 1.6616378E-4 | 1.6616378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.526476E-8 | 6.526476E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.7970606E-7 | 2.7970606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.4054162E-6 | 3.4054162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.4072913E-5 | 3.4072913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1270982E-4 | 2.0028117E-4 | 2.1027916E-4 | 1.0499198 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8295266E-4 | 8.579866E-4 | 8.6797803E-4 | 1.0116452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058641075 | 0.010386083 | 0.0103959795 | 1.0009528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057117578 | 0.09803986 | 0.09804887 | 1.000092 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1239393E-4 | 1.997626E-4 | 1.997626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8159933E-4 | 8.557657E-4 | 8.557657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058477195 | 0.010359327 | 0.010359327 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.056962132 | 0.09779833 | 0.09779833 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 7.596265E-5 | 1.2933639E-4 | 1.2933639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2551357E-4 | 5.541514E-4 | 5.541514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039559277 | 0.006721304 | 0.006721304 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.038862433 | 0.064591914 | 0.064591914 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 6.78794E-5 | 1.1448412E-4 | 1.1448412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9087928E-4 | 4.905234E-4 | 4.905234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003535705 | 0.0059526134 | 0.0059526134 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.034799766 | 0.057465896 | 0.057465896 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.0434877E-4 | 1.0434877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.471078E-4 | 4.471078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032385332 | 0.0054273745 | 0.0054273745 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03191742 | 0.052551147 | 0.052551147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.070333E-5 | 9.070333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.8865174E-4 | 3.8865174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028329059 | 0.004719664 | 0.004719664 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027970633 | 0.045881007 | 0.045881007 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.847132E-5 | 7.847132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.3624543E-4 | 3.3624543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002465034 | 0.004084713 | 0.004084713 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02437869 | 0.039852608 | 0.039852608 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.044414E-5 | 6.044414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.5900805E-4 | 2.5900805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019222875 | 0.0031482463 | 0.0031482463 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019057442 | 0.030893631 | 0.030893631 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.89766E-5 | 2.89766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.2417947E-4 | 1.2417947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0015108241 | 0.0015108241 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010532344 | 0.014978971 | 0.014978971 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.447255E-5 | 2.447255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.0487814E-4 | 1.0487814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0012761431 | 0.0012761431 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009281595 | 0.012680401 | 0.012680401 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.1906475E-5 | 2.1906475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.388151E-5 | 9.388151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011424095 | 0.0011424095 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008528882 | 0.011364971 | 0.011364971 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.03465E-5 | 2.03465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.719638E-5 | 8.719638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.0010611017 | 0.0010611017 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00800848 | 0.010560882 | 0.010560882 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.9055107E-5 | 1.9055107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.1662205E-5 | 8.1662205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.93787E-4 | 9.93787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075360634 | 0.009894209 | 0.009894209 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.7826267E-5 | 1.7826267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.639606E-5 | 7.639606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.2972815E-4 | 9.2972815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070790765 | 0.009259084 | 0.009259084 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.6026384E-5 | 1.6026384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.868271E-5 | 6.868271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.35894E-4 | 8.35894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063729943 | 0.008328133 | 0.008328133 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.424122E-5 | 1.424122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.1032388E-5 | 6.1032388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.4281875E-4 | 7.4281875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056782532 | 0.0074039483 | 0.0074039483 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.1234731E-5 | 1.1234731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.814797E-5 | 4.814797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.8604643E-4 | 5.8604643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00448937 | 0.005845472 | 0.005845472 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.6626274E-6 | 2.6626274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.1411211E-5 | 1.1411211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3892271E-4 | 1.3892271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948193 | 0.0013884059 | 0.0013884059 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1674549E-7 | 2.1674549E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.2890895E-7 | 9.2890895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.1309411E-5 | 1.1309411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.1308134E-4 | 1.1308134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Holser alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.789962E-6 | 5.789962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4813951E-5 | 2.4813951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.020795E-4 | 3.120765E-4 | 1.0330938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0030178218 | 0.0030277916 | 1.0033036 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.789962E-6 | 5.789962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4813951E-5 | 2.4813951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.020795E-4 | 3.120765E-4 | 1.0330938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0030178218 | 0.0030277916 | 1.0033036 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.789962E-6 | 5.789962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4813951E-5 | 2.4813951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.020795E-4 | 3.120765E-4 | 1.0330938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0030178218 | 0.0030277916 | 1.0033036 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.789962E-6 | 5.789962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4813951E-5 | 2.4813951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.020795E-4 | 3.120765E-4 | 1.0330938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0030178218 | 0.0030277916 | 1.0033036 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.789962E-6 | 5.789962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4813951E-5 | 2.4813951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.020795E-4 | 3.120765E-4 | 1.0330938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0030178218 | 0.0030277916 | 1.0033036 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.789962E-6 | 5.789962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4813951E-5 | 2.4813951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.020795E-4 | 3.120765E-4 | 1.0330938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0030178218 | 0.0030277916 | 1.0033036 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.7711899E-6 | 2.7711899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.1876475E-5 | 1.1876475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.4458665E-4 | 1.5458521E-4 | 1.0691527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017599097 | 0.0014449428 | 0.0014549284 | 1.0069107 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.7711899E-6 | 2.7711899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.1876475E-5 | 1.1876475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.4458665E-4 | 1.5458521E-4 | 1.0691527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017599097 | 0.0014449428 | 0.0014549284 | 1.0069107 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.366533E-6 | 2.7615895E-6 | 2.7615895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4427919E-5 | 1.1835331E-5 | 1.1835331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7564575E-4 | 1.4408579E-4 | 1.5408435E-4 | 1.069393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017550698 | 0.0014399407 | 0.0014499263 | 1.0069348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.253174E-6 | 2.6438117E-6 | 2.6438117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.39421E-5 | 1.1330573E-5 | 1.1330573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6973184E-4 | 1.3794116E-4 | 1.4793978E-4 | 1.0724847 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016960226 | 0.0013785711 | 0.0013885574 | 1.0072439 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.9336593E-6 | 2.3117998E-6 | 2.3117998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2572766E-5 | 9.907676E-6 | 9.907676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5306266E-4 | 1.20619305E-4 | 1.306181E-4 | 1.0828955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015295728 | 0.0012055408 | 0.0012155288 | 1.008285 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.9087812E-6 | 2.2876523E-6 | 2.2876523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2466146E-5 | 9.804186E-6 | 9.804186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5176475E-4 | 1.1935946E-4 | 1.2935826E-4 | 1.0837705 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015166114 | 0.001192956 | 0.0012029441 | 1.0083725 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.8674524E-6 | 2.2475438E-6 | 2.2475438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2289024E-5 | 9.632295E-6 | 9.632295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4960859E-4 | 1.172669E-4 | 1.2726572E-4 | 1.0852655 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014950791 | 0.0011720526 | 0.0011820408 | 1.008522 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.8057775E-6 | 2.1954336E-6 | 2.1954336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2024705E-5 | 9.408967E-6 | 9.408967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4639096E-4 | 1.1454818E-4 | 1.2454703E-4 | 1.0872895 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014629456 | 0.0011448936 | 0.0011548821 | 1.0087245 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.683666E-6 | 2.109233E-6 | 2.109233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1501375E-5 | 9.039539E-6 | 9.039539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4002025E-4 | 1.10050845E-4 | 1.2004974E-4 | 1.0908571 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013993206 | 0.0010999657 | 0.0011099547 | 1.0090812 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.434495E-6 | 1.919542E-6 | 1.919542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0433508E-5 | 8.226583E-6 | 8.226583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2702055E-4 | 1.00154066E-4 | 1.1015306E-4 | 1.0998362 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012694797 | 0.0010010913 | 0.0010110813 | 1.0099791 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.9914562E-6 | 1.573149E-6 | 1.573149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.534785E-6 | 6.7420497E-6 | 6.7420497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03906044E-4 | 8.208138E-5 | 9.2080554E-5 | 1.1218203 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010385747 | 8.205122E-4 | 8.3050394E-4 | 1.0121775 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5229501E-6 | 1.1896087E-6 | 1.1896087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.526913E-6 | 5.098313E-6 | 5.098313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.946226E-5 | 6.2070205E-5 | 7.206958E-5 | 1.1610979 | 1.0E-5 | 7.943385E-4 | 6.2053E-4 | 6.305238E-4 | 1.0161053 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.3489426E-7 | 4.687828E-7 | 4.687828E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7209726E-6 | 2.0090674E-6 | 2.0090674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.312734E-5 | 2.4460123E-5 | 3.4459877E-5 | 1.4088187 | 1.0E-5 | 3.31224E-4 | 2.445745E-4 | 2.5457205E-4 | 1.0408773 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.5459432E-7 | 1.0193625E-7 | 1.0193625E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6254694E-7 | 4.3686956E-7 | 4.3686956E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.066479E-6 | 5.318874E-6 | 1.5318821E-5 | 2.8800871 | 1.0E-5 | 8.066186E-5 | 5.3187487E-5 | 6.3186955E-5 | 1.1880041 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.8307812E-8 | 9.690011E-9 | 9.690011E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.846205E-8 | 4.152862E-8 | 4.152862E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.55275E-7 | 5.056108E-7 | 5.056108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.552709E-6 | 5.056097E-6 | 5.056097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.001518768 | 0.001518768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015087658 | 0.015097506 | 1.0006528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.001518768 | 0.001518768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015087658 | 0.015097506 | 1.0006528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.001518768 | 0.001518768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015087658 | 0.015097506 | 1.0006528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2641834E-5 | 2.2641834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.7032855E-5 | 9.7032855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011807396 | 0.0011807396 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011885363 | 0.011746059 | 0.011755941 | 1.0008414 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9696432E-5 | 1.9696432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.441056E-5 | 8.441056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010532405 | 0.001027216 | 0.001027216 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010482626 | 0.010225722 | 0.01023562 | 1.000968 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9408853E-5 | 1.9408853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.317816E-5 | 8.317816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010122255 | 0.0010122255 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010342481 | 0.010077183 | 0.010087082 | 1.0009823 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7458176E-5 | 1.7458176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.4818614E-5 | 7.4818614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.1053726E-4 | 9.1053726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009398366 | 0.009069004 | 0.009078913 | 1.0010927 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6042643E-5 | 1.6042643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.875238E-5 | 6.875238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.367399E-4 | 8.367399E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008707017 | 0.0083367955 | 0.008346712 | 1.0011895 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4613964E-5 | 1.4613964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.262978E-5 | 6.262978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.622516E-4 | 7.622516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008003947 | 0.0075972304 | 0.0076071545 | 1.0013063 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2689852E-5 | 1.2689852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.438395E-5 | 5.438395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.619239E-4 | 6.619239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007053386 | 0.0066003236 | 0.0066102576 | 1.0015051 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1095849E-5 | 1.1095849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.7552774E-5 | 4.7552774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.788013E-4 | 5.788013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257884 | 0.0057736943 | 0.0057836366 | 1.001722 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0022069E-5 | 1.0022069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.295102E-5 | 4.295102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.228032E-4 | 5.228032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057090693 | 0.0052164807 | 0.0052264286 | 1.001907 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.034636E-6 | 9.034636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.8719292E-5 | 3.8719292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7130548E-4 | 4.7130548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00518453 | 0.004703801 | 0.0047137537 | 1.002116 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.827994E-6 | 7.827994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.3548113E-5 | 3.3548113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.0837174E-4 | 4.0837174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00452975 | 0.0040769484 | 0.0040869075 | 1.0024428 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 6.9986318E-6 | 6.9986318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 2.9993791E-5 | 2.9993791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6511326E-4 | 3.6511326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036458664 | 0.00365583 | 1.0027329 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.959588E-6 | 5.959588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5540841E-5 | 2.5540841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.109154E-4 | 3.109154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035616932 | 0.0031055345 | 0.0031155034 | 1.0032101 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.595135E-6 | 4.595135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9693289E-5 | 1.9693289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.3973943E-4 | 2.3973943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.0023955363 | 0.0024055124 | 1.0041645 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.6521004E-6 | 2.6521004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1366095E-5 | 1.1366095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.3837342E-4 | 1.3837342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0013835991 | 0.0013935853 | 1.0072175 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1360507E-6 | 1.1360507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.86878E-6 | 4.86878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.9275782E-5 | 5.9275782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.933247E-4 | 5.933247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.294548E-7 | 5.294548E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.2690897E-6 | 2.2690897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.7625818E-5 | 2.7625818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.7690132E-4 | 2.7690132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 2.7134917E-7 | 2.7134917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.1629244E-6 | 1.1629244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.4158512E-5 | 1.4158512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 1.4214648E-4 | 1.4214648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.526476E-8 | 6.526476E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.7970606E-7 | 2.7970606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.4054162E-6 | 3.4054162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.4072913E-5 | 3.4072913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Concord 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.7585034E-5 | 1.0758406E-4 | 1.1024647 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.1815932E-4 | 4.2815515E-4 | 1.0239043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030148525 | 0.005079729 | 0.0050896783 | 1.0019586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029742775 | 0.04926508 | 0.049274586 | 1.000193 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.7585034E-5 | 1.0758406E-4 | 1.1024647 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.1815932E-4 | 4.2815515E-4 | 1.0239043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030148525 | 0.005079729 | 0.0050896783 | 1.0019586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029742775 | 0.04926508 | 0.049274586 | 1.000193 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.6789337E-5 | 9.578763E-5 | 1.05786676E-4 | 1.1043876 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4336016E-4 | 4.104586E-4 | 4.2045448E-4 | 1.024353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029588845 | 0.004986456 | 0.0049964064 | 1.0019954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029197963 | 0.048381664 | 0.04839118 | 1.0001967 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.203322E-5 | 8.803223E-5 | 9.8031356E-5 | 1.1135848 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2298045E-4 | 3.7723084E-4 | 3.8722708E-4 | 1.0264989 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027114071 | 0.0045838975 | 0.0045938515 | 1.0021715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026785625 | 0.04455309 | 0.044562645 | 1.0002145 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.7120942E-5 | 7.897566E-5 | 8.897487E-5 | 1.1266112 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0193127E-4 | 3.384274E-4 | 3.4842402E-4 | 1.0295384 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024557412 | 0.004113314 | 0.0041232733 | 1.0024211 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024287801 | 0.040080875 | 0.040090475 | 1.0002395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9598437E-5 | 4.66757E-5 | 5.6675235E-5 | 1.2142342 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2684427E-4 | 2.0002456E-4 | 2.1002257E-4 | 1.0499839 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001543235 | 0.0024327897 | 0.0024427653 | 1.0041006 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015325619 | 0.023910154 | 0.023919914 | 1.0004083 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0443718E-5 | 2.9984803E-5 | 3.9984505E-5 | 1.3334923 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7613E-5 | 1.2850018E-4 | 1.3849889E-4 | 1.0778109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010661662 | 0.001563403 | 0.0015733874 | 1.0063863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010610655 | 0.015467058 | 0.015476903 | 1.0006366 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.798539E-5 | 2.5557814E-5 | 3.5557558E-5 | 1.3912598 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7077966E-5 | 1.0952901E-4 | 1.1952792E-4 | 1.09129 | 1.0E-5 | 9.380202E-4 | 0.0013327216 | 0.0013427081 | 1.0074935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009340706 | 0.013217647 | 0.013227515 | 1.0007466 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.613555E-5 | 2.1959573E-5 | 3.1959353E-5 | 1.4553722 | 1.0E-5 | 6.915052E-5 | 9.410914E-5 | 1.041082E-4 | 1.1062496 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4158237E-4 | 0.0011451904 | 0.001155179 | 1.0087222 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008384023 | 0.011378259 | 0.011388145 | 1.0008689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2916435E-5 | 1.7081307E-5 | 1.7081307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5354973E-5 | 7.3203584E-5 | 7.3203584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7373837E-4 | 8.90895E-4 | 8.90895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006716994 | 0.008867892 | 0.008867892 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.81129E-6 | 1.2631015E-5 | 1.2631015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2047708E-5 | 5.4131808E-5 | 5.4131808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118106E-4 | 6.588571E-4 | 6.588571E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005106334 | 0.006569786 | 0.006569786 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.0889195E-6 | 1.0418436E-5 | 1.0418436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4666336E-5 | 4.464968E-5 | 4.464968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.219809E-4 | 5.434754E-4 | 5.434754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004211805 | 0.0054220655 | 0.0054220655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.267438E-6 | 8.115864E-6 | 8.115864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6860173E-5 | 3.4781813E-5 | 3.4781813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2697353E-4 | 4.2338704E-4 | 4.2338704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032649285 | 0.0042262566 | 0.0042262566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.6761196E-6 | 4.840273E-6 | 4.840273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5754704E-5 | 2.0743862E-5 | 2.0743862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9179663E-4 | 2.5252748E-4 | 2.5252748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019163118 | 0.0025226732 | 0.0025226732 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.8044356E-6 | 3.7096947E-6 | 3.7096947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2018954E-5 | 1.5898595E-5 | 1.5898595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4632095E-4 | 1.9354833E-4 | 1.9354833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014622464 | 0.001934033 | 0.001934033 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.4578699E-6 | 3.2448263E-6 | 3.2448263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0533685E-5 | 1.3906325E-5 | 1.3906325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2824008E-4 | 1.6929646E-4 | 1.6929646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012816609 | 0.0016918896 | 0.0016918896 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.7713267E-6 | 2.3351856E-6 | 2.3351856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.591378E-6 | 1.00079005E-5 | 1.00079005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2421105E-5 | 1.2183947E-4 | 1.2183947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2382677E-4 | 0.001217858 | 0.001217858 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.1912366E-7 | 6.8293184E-7 | 6.8293184E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2248137E-6 | 2.9268476E-6 | 2.9268476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.708677E-5 | 3.56338E-5 | 3.56338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.708347E-4 | 3.5631418E-4 | 3.5631418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036473726 | 1.0027392 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036473726 | 1.0027392 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036473726 | 1.0027392 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036473726 | 1.0027392 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036473726 | 1.0027392 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036473726 | 1.0027392 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.614815E-6 | 1.614815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9206176E-6 | 6.9206176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.42553E-5 | 8.42553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013833415 | 8.42237E-4 | 8.5222855E-4 | 1.0118631 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5501486E-6 | 1.5501486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.6434773E-6 | 6.6434773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.0881364E-5 | 8.0881364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013506424 | 8.085222E-4 | 8.1851415E-4 | 1.0123582 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5469489E-6 | 1.5469489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.6297644E-6 | 6.6297644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.071442E-5 | 8.071442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013481114 | 8.06854E-4 | 8.168459E-4 | 1.0123838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4220233E-6 | 1.4220233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.094371E-6 | 6.094371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.419646E-5 | 7.419646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818627 | 7.4171886E-4 | 7.517115E-4 | 1.0134722 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3989873E-6 | 1.3989873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.9956456E-6 | 5.9956456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.299456E-5 | 7.299456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012692984 | 7.2970777E-4 | 7.3970045E-4 | 1.0136942 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3339372E-6 | 1.3339372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.7168613E-6 | 5.7168613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.960058E-5 | 6.960058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012333926 | 6.957895E-4 | 7.0578256E-4 | 1.0143622 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2502445E-6 | 1.2502445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.35818E-6 | 5.35818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.52339E-5 | 6.52339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011848784 | 6.52149E-4 | 6.621425E-4 | 1.0153239 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1419334E-6 | 1.1419334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.893991E-6 | 4.893991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.958272E-5 | 5.958272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001115068 | 5.956686E-4 | 6.056627E-4 | 1.0167779 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.574882E-7 | 9.574882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.1035146E-6 | 4.1035146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.995915E-5 | 4.995915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.994799E-4 | 5.094749E-4 | 1.0200108 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.559723E-7 | 7.559723E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.239877E-6 | 3.239877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9444796E-5 | 3.9444796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.943784E-4 | 4.0437447E-4 | 1.0253464 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.659381E-7 | 4.659381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.996876E-6 | 1.996876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311697E-5 | 2.4311697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309063E-4 | 2.4309063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578398E-7 | 1.5578398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6764545E-7 | 6.6764545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128554E-6 | 8.128554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1282684E-5 | 8.1282684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.275741E-5 | 4.275708E-5 | 1.3052645 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038174E-4 | 1.5038034E-4 | 1.0712243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017078797 | 0.0017178627 | 1.0058452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016955089 | 0.01696492 | 1.0005798 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.275741E-5 | 4.275708E-5 | 1.3052645 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038174E-4 | 1.5038034E-4 | 1.0712243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017078797 | 0.0017178627 | 1.0058452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016955089 | 0.01696492 | 1.0005798 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.1159109E-5 | 2.1159109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2418206E-5 | 9.067888E-5 | 9.067888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0011034793 | 0.0011034793 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00998465 | 0.010982411 | 0.010982411 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.45484955E-5 | 1.45484955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.234925E-5 | 6.234925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.58847E-4 | 7.58847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006888649 | 0.007563504 | 0.007563504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.572818E-6 | 8.572818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.674015E-5 | 3.674015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.4722288E-4 | 4.4722288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004071363 | 0.0044635693 | 0.0044635693 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.8177857E-6 | 5.8177857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4933142E-5 | 2.4933142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.0352082E-4 | 3.0352082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027656353 | 0.0030312722 | 0.0030312722 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.9484853E-6 | 3.9484853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6921978E-5 | 1.6921978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.0600717E-4 | 2.0600717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018768552 | 0.002058316 | 0.002058316 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.7834608E-6 | 2.7834608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.192907E-5 | 1.192907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4522807E-4 | 1.4522807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013224703 | 0.0014514616 | 0.0014514616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.3313763E-6 | 1.3313763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.7058915E-6 | 5.7058915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.9467984E-5 | 6.9467984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.945578E-4 | 6.945578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Greenville (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.279693E-5 | 5.5040175E-5 | 5.5040175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8340252E-4 | 2.3586708E-4 | 2.3586708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022306389 | 0.0028681497 | 0.0028781209 | 1.0034766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022083808 | 0.028338503 | 0.028348219 | 1.0003428 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.4037297E-5 | 4.31921E-5 | 4.31921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586597E-4 | 1.8509696E-4 | 1.8509696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017744715 | 0.002251385 | 0.0022613625 | 1.0044317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01760369 | 0.022302942 | 0.02231272 | 1.0004383 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4037297E-5 | 4.31921E-5 | 4.31921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586597E-4 | 1.8509696E-4 | 1.8509696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017744715 | 0.002251385 | 0.0022613625 | 1.0044317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01760369 | 0.022302942 | 0.02231272 | 1.0004383 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.5956324E-5 | 3.2429205E-5 | 3.2429205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11236644E-4 | 1.389753E-4 | 1.389753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013534647 | 0.0016907753 | 0.0017007584 | 1.0059044 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013452509 | 0.016786257 | 0.01679609 | 1.0005857 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.1145053E-5 | 2.6197658E-5 | 2.6197658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.061851E-5 | 1.12271E-4 | 1.12271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011027219 | 0.0013660737 | 0.0013760601 | 1.0073103 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01097266 | 0.013580541 | 0.013590406 | 1.0007263 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0030959E-5 | 2.4795796E-5 | 2.4795796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.584414E-5 | 1.0626355E-4 | 1.0626355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010446513 | 0.0012930218 | 0.0013030089 | 1.0077238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010397541 | 0.012858701 | 0.012868572 | 1.0007677 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8395405E-5 | 2.275447E-5 | 2.275447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8835066E-5 | 9.751567E-5 | 9.751567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5939427E-4 | 0.0011866351 | 0.0011966232 | 1.0084172 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009552629 | 0.011806407 | 0.011816289 | 1.000837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7883482E-5 | 2.2125516E-5 | 2.2125516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.664124E-5 | 9.482036E-5 | 9.482036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270757E-4 | 0.001153855 | 0.0011638436 | 1.0086566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009288026 | 0.011482056 | 0.011491941 | 1.0008609 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3373564E-5 | 1.6506008E-5 | 1.6506008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7314013E-5 | 7.07382E-5 | 7.07382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.975747E-4 | 8.609121E-4 | 8.709035E-4 | 1.0116056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069538904 | 0.0085777445 | 0.008587658 | 1.0011559 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.06692905E-5 | 1.3152646E-5 | 1.3152646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5724726E-5 | 5.6367327E-5 | 5.6367327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5655633E-4 | 6.860674E-4 | 6.9606054E-4 | 1.0145658 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005551645 | 0.006841092 | 0.0068510235 | 1.0014517 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.157512E-6 | 1.0062722E-5 | 1.0062722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4960296E-5 | 4.312526E-5 | 4.312526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2555845E-4 | 5.249272E-4 | 5.249272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004247444 | 0.0052377163 | 0.0052377163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.1467113E-6 | 7.6275282E-6 | 7.6275282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6342783E-5 | 3.2689004E-5 | 3.2689004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.206762E-4 | 3.9791677E-4 | 3.9791677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032021382 | 0.0039725974 | 0.0039725974 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.713467E-6 | 5.914258E-6 | 5.914258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0200418E-5 | 2.5346577E-5 | 2.5346577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4591232E-4 | 3.0855148E-4 | 3.0855148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024564038 | 0.0030817203 | 0.0030817203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.3266216E-6 | 2.9540624E-6 | 2.9540624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.971197E-6 | 1.2660207E-5 | 1.2660207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2139256E-4 | 1.5412726E-4 | 1.5412726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012132627 | 0.0015405101 | 0.0015405101 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3314E-6 | 1.7179856E-6 | 1.7179856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7059874E-6 | 7.362775E-6 | 7.362775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946818E-5 | 8.9638146E-5 | 8.9638146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9446466E-4 | 8.9630415E-4 | 8.9630415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0362941E-6 | 1.346915E-6 | 1.346915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4412527E-6 | 5.7724806E-6 | 5.7724806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.407091E-5 | 7.027773E-5 | 7.027773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.405776E-4 | 7.0282683E-4 | 7.0282683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.764784E-7 | 1.008888E-6 | 1.008888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3277602E-6 | 4.3237987E-6 | 4.3237987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0514726E-5 | 5.264102E-5 | 5.264102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.050734E-4 | 5.2651105E-4 | 5.2651105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.6927763E-7 | 2.2140175E-7 | 2.2140175E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2547533E-7 | 9.488643E-7 | 9.488643E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.832627E-6 | 1.1552364E-5 | 1.1552364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8322755E-5 | 1.155491E-4 | 1.155491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275311E-5 | 3.227509E-5 | 1.4489175 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.5462376E-5 | 1.0546142E-4 | 1.1047434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616786 | 0.0011716669 | 1.0085982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560508 | 0.011570392 | 1.000855 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275311E-5 | 3.227509E-5 | 1.4489175 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.5462376E-5 | 1.0546142E-4 | 1.1047434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616786 | 0.0011716669 | 1.0085982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560508 | 0.011570392 | 1.000855 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668448E-5 | 2.666828E-5 | 1.5999259 | 1.0E-5 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.1434406E-5 | 8.1433696E-5 | 1.1399785 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.693961E-4 | 8.793874E-4 | 1.0114923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.008662869 | 0.008672782 | 1.0011444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668448E-5 | 2.666828E-5 | 1.5999259 | 1.0E-5 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.1434406E-5 | 8.1433696E-5 | 1.1399785 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.693961E-4 | 8.793874E-4 | 1.0114923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.008662869 | 0.008672782 | 1.0011444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052439E-5 | 2.4052299E-5 | 1.7116102 | 1.0E-5 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223487E-5 | 7.0222886E-5 | 1.1660382 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.329992E-4 | 7.4299186E-4 | 1.0136325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073082903 | 0.0073182173 | 1.0013583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052439E-5 | 2.4052299E-5 | 1.7116102 | 1.0E-5 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223487E-5 | 7.0222886E-5 | 1.1660382 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.329992E-4 | 7.4299186E-4 | 1.0136325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073082903 | 0.0073182173 | 1.0013583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3729479E-5 | 2.3729343E-5 | 1.7283497 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.883944E-5 | 6.883885E-5 | 1.169944 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.161596E-4 | 7.2615244E-4 | 1.0139533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007474003 | 0.007140985 | 0.0071509136 | 1.0013903 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.320745E-5 | 2.3207318E-5 | 1.7571384 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.6602268E-5 | 6.66017E-5 | 1.1766614 | 1.0E-5 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.889394E-4 | 6.9893256E-4 | 1.014505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007217 | 0.006870486 | 0.0068804175 | 1.0014455 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.154065E-6 | 1.9153975E-5 | 2.0924008 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.9231214E-5 | 4.923082E-5 | 1.2548891 | 1.0E-5 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.7755192E-4 | 4.8754713E-4 | 1.0209302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052959146 | 0.0047668903 | 0.0047768424 | 1.0020878 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.774639E-6 | 1.8774552E-5 | 2.139638 | 1.0E-5 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.7605147E-5 | 4.760477E-5 | 1.2659111 | 1.0E-5 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.5776292E-4 | 4.6775833E-4 | 1.0218353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005048454 | 0.004569818 | 0.0045797722 | 1.0021783 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.5592662E-6 | 1.6559201E-5 | 2.5245507 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.811091E-5 | 3.811063E-5 | 1.3557237 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.4220924E-4 | 3.522058E-4 | 1.0292119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038563553 | 0.003418065 | 0.0034280308 | 1.0029156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.7594629E-6 | 2.7594629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1826218E-5 | 1.1826218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4397492E-4 | 1.4397492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0014388401 | 0.0014388401 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.3676068E-6 | 2.3676068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4647229E-5 | 1.0146849E-5 | 1.0146849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.235311E-4 | 1.235311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0012346467 | 0.0012346467 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.4073679E-6 | 1.4073679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152474E-6 | 6.031563E-6 | 6.031563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.3431824E-5 | 7.3431824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.340779E-4 | 7.340779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.1024721E-6 | 1.1024721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.724872E-6 | 4.724872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.752381E-5 | 5.752381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.750903E-4 | 5.750903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.5350433E-7 | 8.5350433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.6578708E-6 | 3.6578708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.4533674E-5 | 4.4533674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.4524847E-4 | 4.4524847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.793168E-7 | 4.793168E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9452417E-6 | 2.0542134E-6 | 2.0542134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.500976E-5 | 2.500976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.500696E-4 | 2.500696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.6730708E-7 | 3.6730708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.5741723E-6 | 1.5741723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.916538E-5 | 1.916538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.9163737E-4 | 1.9163737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 2.0075227E-7 | 2.0075227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.603666E-7 | 8.603666E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.0474913E-5 | 1.0474913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666233E-4 | 1.0474425E-4 | 1.0474425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.4648458E-7 | 1.4648458E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.2779094E-7 | 6.2779094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.643328E-6 | 7.643328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.458566E-4 | 7.64307E-5 | 7.64307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.335265E-8 | 3.335265E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.4293991E-7 | 1.4293991E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.7402922E-6 | 1.7402922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.74028E-5 | 1.74028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.967977E-6 | 9.967977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2719254E-5 | 4.2719254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.199915E-4 | 5.199915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051886174 | 0.005198566 | 1.0019172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.967977E-6 | 9.967977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2719254E-5 | 4.2719254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.199915E-4 | 5.199915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051886174 | 0.005198566 | 1.0019172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.967977E-6 | 9.967977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2719254E-5 | 4.2719254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.199915E-4 | 5.199915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051886174 | 0.005198566 | 1.0019172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.089092E-6 | 8.089092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.466711E-5 | 3.466711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2199664E-4 | 4.2199664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00921966 | 0.0042125755 | 0.0042125755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.089092E-6 | 8.089092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.466711E-5 | 3.466711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2199664E-4 | 4.2199664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00921966 | 0.0042125755 | 0.0042125755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.603731E-6 | 6.603731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8301425E-5 | 2.8301425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4452006E-4 | 3.4452006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034403238 | 0.0034403238 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.603731E-6 | 6.603731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8301425E-5 | 2.8301425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4452006E-4 | 3.4452006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034403238 | 0.0034403238 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.428471E-5 | 5.4702955E-6 | 5.4702955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.121875E-5 | 2.3443936E-5 | 2.3443936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.450834E-4 | 2.8539647E-4 | 2.8539647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007425902 | 0.0028506874 | 0.0028506874 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3490684E-5 | 5.0735807E-6 | 5.0735807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7815934E-5 | 2.1743757E-5 | 2.1743757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0368167E-4 | 2.6470196E-4 | 2.6470196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007014576 | 0.0026442474 | 0.0026442474 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2235421E-5 | 4.2895367E-6 | 4.2895367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2436466E-5 | 1.838362E-5 | 1.838362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.38227E-4 | 2.238012E-4 | 2.238012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063639707 | 0.0022361123 | 0.0022361123 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1009851E-5 | 3.7188272E-6 | 3.7188272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7184225E-5 | 1.5937752E-5 | 1.5937752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.743165E-4 | 1.940283E-4 | 1.940283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005728345 | 0.0019389268 | 0.0019389268 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.726373E-6 | 3.2115622E-6 | 3.2115622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.168379E-5 | 1.3763784E-5 | 1.3763784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.07382E-4 | 1.6756456E-4 | 1.6756456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050622504 | 0.0016747133 | 0.0016747133 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.9335127E-6 | 1.1524072E-6 | 1.1524072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6857803E-5 | 4.938879E-6 | 4.938879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0522442E-4 | 6.0129252E-5 | 6.0129252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00205035 | 6.011358E-4 | 6.011358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.661632E-6 | 6.91094E-7 | 6.91094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14069435E-5 | 2.961828E-6 | 2.961828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3887069E-4 | 3.605967E-5 | 3.605967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013878393 | 3.605392E-4 | 3.605392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.461424E-7 | 5.461424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3406083E-6 | 2.3406083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8496537E-5 | 2.8496537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8492938E-4 | 2.8492938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028206E-7 | 3.6028206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196375E-8 | 7.1196375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.5204163E-5 | 2.5204163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.0801337E-4 | 1.1801229E-4 | 1.0925711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0013142711 | 0.0013242579 | 1.0075988 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.014770032 | 0.014779884 | 1.0006671 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.5204163E-5 | 2.5204163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.0801337E-4 | 1.1801229E-4 | 1.0925711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0013142711 | 0.0013242579 | 1.0075988 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.014770032 | 0.014779884 | 1.0006671 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.5204163E-5 | 2.5204163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.0801337E-4 | 1.1801229E-4 | 1.0925711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0013142711 | 0.0013242579 | 1.0075988 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.014770032 | 0.014779884 | 1.0006671 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.551163E-5 | 2.489609E-5 | 2.489609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6642692E-4 | 1.0669317E-4 | 1.1669211E-4 | 1.0937167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004452125 | 0.001298217 | 0.001308204 | 1.0076928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.014596773 | 0.014606627 | 1.0006751 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.551163E-5 | 2.489609E-5 | 2.489609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6642692E-4 | 1.0669317E-4 | 1.1669211E-4 | 1.0937167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004452125 | 0.001298217 | 0.001308204 | 1.0076928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.014596773 | 0.014606627 | 1.0006751 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.511146E-5 | 2.4717585E-5 | 2.4717585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.647124E-4 | 1.0592821E-4 | 1.1592715E-4 | 1.0943936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004431336 | 0.0012889146 | 0.0012989017 | 1.0077485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04344007 | 0.014496665 | 0.014506521 | 1.0006799 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.4985084E-5 | 2.4648267E-5 | 2.4648267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6417096E-4 | 1.0563116E-4 | 1.1563011E-4 | 1.0946591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044247704 | 0.0012853022 | 0.0012952894 | 1.0077703 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043376986 | 0.014458634 | 0.01446849 | 1.0006816 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.462618E-5 | 2.4476805E-5 | 2.4476805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6263323E-4 | 1.0489638E-4 | 1.1489533E-4 | 1.0953221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004406125 | 0.0012763669 | 0.001286354 | 1.0078248 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043197807 | 0.0143634295 | 0.014373286 | 1.0006862 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.42337E-5 | 2.4372594E-5 | 2.4372594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6095164E-4 | 1.044498E-4 | 1.14448754E-4 | 1.0957298 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004385734 | 0.001270936 | 0.0012809233 | 1.0078582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043001823 | 0.014304068 | 0.014313924 | 1.0006891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.365989E-5 | 2.4177218E-5 | 2.4177218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5849313E-4 | 1.0361254E-4 | 1.136115E-4 | 1.0965034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004355922 | 0.0012607543 | 0.0012707417 | 1.0079218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04271523 | 0.014196618 | 0.0142064765 | 1.0006944 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.30936E-5 | 2.3938785E-5 | 2.3938785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560668E-4 | 1.0259076E-4 | 1.1258974E-4 | 1.0974647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004326499 | 0.0012483285 | 0.001258316 | 1.0080007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042432297 | 0.014067624 | 0.014077484 | 1.0007008 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.041264E-5 | 2.362525E-5 | 2.362525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4458007E-4 | 1.01247155E-4 | 1.1124615E-4 | 1.0987582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041871946 | 0.0012319887 | 0.0012419764 | 1.008107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041091725 | 0.013890685 | 0.013900545 | 1.0007099 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.8427016E-5 | 2.3049057E-5 | 2.3049057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3607247E-4 | 9.8777935E-5 | 1.0877695E-4 | 1.1012272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004084008 | 0.0012019594 | 0.0012119474 | 1.0083097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040097635 | 0.01357454 | 0.013584404 | 1.0007267 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.721087E-5 | 2.2833934E-5 | 2.2833934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3086175E-4 | 9.785605E-5 | 1.0785508E-4 | 1.102181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004020803 | 0.0011907478 | 0.0012007359 | 1.008388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03948827 | 0.013458274 | 0.01346814 | 1.000733 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.3536525E-5 | 2.0951748E-5 | 2.0951748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1511846E-4 | 8.979012E-5 | 9.978922E-5 | 1.1113608 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038298194 | 0.0010926477 | 0.0011026368 | 1.009142 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037644852 | 0.012415177 | 0.012425053 | 1.0007955 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.806207E-5 | 1.875828E-5 | 1.875828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9166197E-4 | 8.039016E-5 | 9.038935E-5 | 1.1243833 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035452035 | 9.783118E-4 | 9.883019E-4 | 1.0102117 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034891766 | 0.011168484 | 0.011178372 | 1.0008854 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6731416E-5 | 1.4170438E-5 | 1.4170438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.43112E-4 | 6.072903E-5 | 7.072843E-5 | 1.1646559 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029558712 | 7.391253E-4 | 7.491179E-4 | 1.0135195 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02916862 | 0.0084819095 | 0.008491825 | 1.001169 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.946994E-5 | 1.3239844E-5 | 1.3239844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1199681E-4 | 5.674095E-5 | 6.674039E-5 | 1.1762296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002578006 | 6.9060223E-4 | 7.005954E-4 | 1.0144701 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02548303 | 0.007904483 | 0.007914404 | 1.0012552 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9718198E-5 | 1.29766695E-5 | 1.29766695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7020974E-4 | 5.5613113E-5 | 6.5612556E-5 | 1.1798037 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020703338 | 6.768794E-4 | 6.868727E-4 | 1.0147637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020511515 | 0.007715339 | 0.0077252616 | 1.0012861 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4115114E-5 | 1.2181036E-5 | 1.2181036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0334639E-4 | 5.2203395E-5 | 6.2202875E-5 | 1.1915485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001257516 | 6.3539116E-4 | 6.453848E-4 | 1.0157284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012504238 | 0.0071567595 | 0.007166688 | 1.0013872 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.7756569E-5 | 1.1406198E-5 | 1.1406198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6097356E-5 | 4.8882786E-5 | 5.88823E-5 | 1.204561 | 1.0E-5 | 9.260915E-4 | 5.9498555E-4 | 6.0497964E-4 | 1.0167972 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009222416 | 0.006657558 | 0.0066674915 | 1.001492 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.3159258E-5 | 9.742948E-6 | 9.742948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6395602E-5 | 4.1754825E-5 | 4.1754825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.864001E-4 | 5.0824654E-4 | 5.0824654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0068428386 | 0.005687983 | 0.005687983 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.635426E-6 | 5.464695E-6 | 5.464695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.700844E-5 | 2.341991E-5 | 2.341991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5048463E-4 | 2.851002E-4 | 2.851002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004495725 | 0.0032434477 | 0.0032434477 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8694856E-5 | 6.747414E-5 | 6.747414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0867554E-4 | 2.891426E-4 | 2.891426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025376645 | 0.0035146426 | 0.0035146426 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02508881 | 0.034769647 | 0.0347793 | 1.0002776 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.8694856E-5 | 6.747414E-5 | 6.747414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0867554E-4 | 2.891426E-4 | 2.891426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025376645 | 0.0035146426 | 0.0035146426 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02508881 | 0.034769647 | 0.0347793 | 1.0002776 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.7541962E-5 | 6.58054E-5 | 6.58054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0373536E-4 | 2.819924E-4 | 2.819924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024776561 | 0.0034278852 | 0.0034278852 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024502134 | 0.033931077 | 0.03394074 | 1.0002847 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6717287E-5 | 6.4638996E-5 | 6.4638996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0020158E-4 | 2.769946E-4 | 2.769946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024347296 | 0.0033672366 | 0.0033672366 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024082264 | 0.033343595 | 0.03335326 | 1.0002899 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6276386E-5 | 6.4000655E-5 | 6.4000655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.983123E-4 | 2.742595E-4 | 2.742595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024117786 | 0.0033340475 | 0.0033340475 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02385771 | 0.03302247 | 0.03303214 | 1.0002928 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.5720994E-5 | 6.3202126E-5 | 6.3202126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9593239E-4 | 2.7083795E-4 | 2.7083795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002382867 | 0.0032925264 | 0.0032925264 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023574775 | 0.032620437 | 0.032630112 | 1.0002966 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.549134E-5 | 6.28552E-5 | 6.28552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.949483E-4 | 2.6935144E-4 | 2.6935144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023709119 | 0.0032744824 | 0.0032744824 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023457756 | 0.032445915 | 0.03245559 | 1.0002983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.701047E-5 | 5.0360202E-5 | 5.0360202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860666E-4 | 2.1581183E-4 | 2.1581183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019293258 | 0.0026243862 | 0.0026243862 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019126613 | 0.026123768 | 0.026133506 | 1.0003728 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5523568E-5 | 4.8341764E-5 | 4.8341764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5223498E-4 | 2.0716278E-4 | 2.0716278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018518851 | 0.0025193326 | 0.0025193326 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018365284 | 0.025096131 | 0.02510588 | 1.0003885 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2946147E-5 | 4.4663368E-5 | 4.4663368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4119013E-4 | 1.9140063E-4 | 1.9140063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017176344 | 0.0023278543 | 0.0023278543 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017044188 | 0.02321826 | 0.023228027 | 1.0004207 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.7682381E-5 | 3.7022768E-5 | 3.7022768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1863338E-4 | 1.5865952E-4 | 1.5865952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014434044 | 0.0019299983 | 0.0019299983 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01434065 | 0.019309688 | 0.019319495 | 1.0005078 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.471967E-5 | 3.3287153E-5 | 3.3287153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05937135E-4 | 1.426516E-4 | 1.426516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012890215 | 0.0017354285 | 0.0017354285 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0128157 | 0.017384807 | 0.017394632 | 1.0005652 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.9748062E-5 | 2.6775053E-5 | 2.6775053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.463181E-5 | 1.14745315E-4 | 1.14745315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010299052 | 0.0013961523 | 0.0013961523 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01025145 | 0.014029876 | 0.014039735 | 1.0007027 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1603734E-5 | 1.5783939E-5 | 1.5783939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9729337E-5 | 6.764378E-5 | 6.764378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.052865E-4 | 8.2326605E-4 | 8.2326605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060364045 | 0.008308387 | 0.008318304 | 1.0011936 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.885381E-6 | 6.03485E-6 | 6.03485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0937177E-5 | 2.5863386E-5 | 2.5863386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5488032E-4 | 3.148414E-4 | 3.148414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025458818 | 0.0032008204 | 0.0032107884 | 1.0031142 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.0571264E-6 | 4.155152E-6 | 4.155152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3101904E-5 | 1.7807673E-5 | 1.7807673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5950401E-4 | 2.1678694E-4 | 2.1678694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015938957 | 0.0022207722 | 0.00223075 | 1.0044929 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.764948E-6 | 2.7953924E-6 | 2.7953924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.564041E-6 | 1.1980199E-5 | 1.1980199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.208831E-5 | 1.4584923E-4 | 1.4584923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.205016E-4 | 0.0015122582 | 0.001522243 | 1.0066026 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.3173734E-6 | 2.0583066E-6 | 2.0583066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.645874E-6 | 8.821285E-6 | 8.821285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.873634E-5 | 1.0739387E-4 | 1.0739387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8715087E-4 | 0.0011260441 | 0.0011360329 | 1.0088706 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.4429885E-7 | 1.5488399E-6 | 1.5488399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0469886E-6 | 6.6378684E-6 | 6.6378684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9270973E-5 | 8.0813064E-5 | 8.0813064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.926005E-4 | 8.5009943E-4 | 8.6009095E-4 | 1.0117533 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.388233E-7 | 1.1148048E-6 | 1.1148048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7378112E-6 | 4.777726E-6 | 4.777726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3332344E-5 | 5.8167276E-5 | 5.8167276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3327343E-4 | 6.0958765E-4 | 6.0958765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.087986E-7 | 5.7541615E-7 | 5.7541615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.323422E-6 | 2.4660667E-6 | 2.4660667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6112543E-5 | 3.0023954E-5 | 3.0023954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6111376E-4 | 3.1098578E-4 | 3.1098578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6725647E-7 | 2.740806E-7 | 2.740806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.168133E-7 | 1.1746306E-6 | 1.1746306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7271665E-6 | 1.4301037E-5 | 1.4301037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.726824E-5 | 1.4845267E-4 | 1.4845267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.0425469E-4 | 1.0425469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.4673192E-4 | 4.4673192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004310982 | 0.005425877 | 0.005425877 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.042283054 | 0.05299269 | 0.05300216 | 1.0001787 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.7729918E-5 | 5.7729918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.4738914E-4 | 2.4738914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00244744 | 0.0030078678 | 0.0030078678 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024206603 | 0.02967946 | 0.029689163 | 1.000327 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2142394E-5 | 4.2142394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8059736E-4 | 1.8059736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021965753 | 0.0021965753 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018137876 | 0.021751072 | 0.021760855 | 1.0004498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2142394E-5 | 4.2142394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8059736E-4 | 1.8059736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021965753 | 0.0021965753 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018137876 | 0.021751072 | 0.021760855 | 1.0004498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.2086995E-5 | 3.2086995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3750845E-4 | 1.3750845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016728914 | 0.0016728914 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014090929 | 0.016604587 | 0.016604587 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.0101488E-5 | 3.0101488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.29E-4 | 1.29E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015694553 | 0.0015694553 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013261181 | 0.015585259 | 0.015585259 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.5742593E-5 | 2.5742593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.10320776E-4 | 1.10320776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013423351 | 0.0013423351 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011431668 | 0.013343264 | 0.013343264 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.2541662E-5 | 2.2541662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.660358E-5 | 9.660358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011755192 | 0.0011755192 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01006902 | 0.011693716 | 0.011693716 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.0403097E-5 | 2.0403097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.743894E-5 | 8.743894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010640535 | 0.0010640535 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009149387 | 0.010590154 | 0.010590154 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.8026041E-5 | 1.8026041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.725219E-5 | 7.725219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.4014313E-4 | 9.4014313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008117969 | 0.009362103 | 0.009362103 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.5448028E-5 | 1.5448028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.6204164E-5 | 6.6204164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.057404E-4 | 8.057404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006990582 | 0.008028523 | 0.008028523 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.4072974E-5 | 1.4072974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.031137E-5 | 6.031137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.3404616E-4 | 7.3404616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063810493 | 0.0073165204 | 0.0073165204 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2513514E-5 | 1.2513514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.3628257E-5 | 5.3628257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.52731E-4 | 6.52731E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056831064 | 0.0065084184 | 0.0065084184 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.9289E-6 | 6.9289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.969495E-5 | 2.969495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6147644E-4 | 3.6147644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.00360893 | 0.00360893 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.5895325E-6 | 5.5895325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3954923E-5 | 2.3954923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.9161252E-4 | 2.9161252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.00291234 | 0.00291234 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.969671E-6 | 1.969671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.441422E-6 | 8.441422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02769685E-4 | 1.02769685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272437 | 0.0010272437 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533809E-7 | 1.7533809E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5144874E-7 | 7.5144874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.148852E-6 | 9.148852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.148495E-5 | 9.148495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012913769 | 0.001301364 | 1.0077337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012953495 | 0.012963365 | 1.000762 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012913769 | 0.001301364 | 1.0077337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012953495 | 0.012963365 | 1.000762 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012913769 | 0.001301364 | 1.0077337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012953495 | 0.012963365 | 1.000762 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012913769 | 0.001301364 | 1.0077337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012953495 | 0.012963365 | 1.000762 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012913769 | 0.001301364 | 1.0077337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012953495 | 0.012963365 | 1.000762 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 2.476339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.06124906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012913769 | 0.001301364 | 1.0077337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012953495 | 0.012963365 | 1.000762 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7214195E-5 | 1.7214195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.377306E-5 | 7.377306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.978206E-4 | 8.978206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009050315 | 0.009050315 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7214195E-5 | 1.7214195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.377306E-5 | 7.377306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.978206E-4 | 8.978206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009050315 | 0.009050315 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5473808E-5 | 1.5473808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.631464E-5 | 6.631464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.0708315E-4 | 8.0708315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004321559 | 0.008149754 | 0.008149754 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5345024E-5 | 1.5345024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.576274E-5 | 6.576274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.0036867E-4 | 8.0036867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008083099 | 0.008083099 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.413199E-5 | 1.413199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.0564267E-5 | 6.0564267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.3712104E-4 | 7.3712104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0074546537 | 0.0074546537 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.412236E-5 | 1.412236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0522998E-5 | 6.0522998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.3661894E-4 | 7.3661894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037327618 | 0.007449666 | 0.007449666 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.396965E-5 | 1.396965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 5.986856E-5 | 5.986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.286564E-4 | 7.286564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0073704203 | 0.0073704203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3913106E-5 | 1.3913106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.9626236E-5 | 5.9626236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.2570815E-4 | 7.2570815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036566744 | 0.007340922 | 0.007340922 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3872668E-5 | 1.3872668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.9452937E-5 | 5.9452937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.2359963E-4 | 7.2359963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0073198583 | 0.0073198583 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.3829574E-5 | 1.3829574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.9268255E-5 | 5.9268255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.2135264E-4 | 7.2135264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0072974865 | 0.0072974865 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3788687E-5 | 1.3788687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.909304E-5 | 5.909304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.192208E-4 | 7.192208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036078666 | 0.00727624 | 0.00727624 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.266776E-5 | 1.266776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.428927E-5 | 5.428927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.6077174E-4 | 6.6077174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033317201 | 0.006694865 | 0.006694865 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1535436E-5 | 1.1535436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.9436647E-5 | 4.9436647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.017252E-4 | 6.017252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030563495 | 0.00610041 | 0.00610041 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.113836E-6 | 7.113836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.0487514E-5 | 3.0487514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.711224E-4 | 3.711224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037672876 | 0.0037672876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2877698E-6 | 1.2877698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.5190017E-6 | 5.5190017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.719179E-5 | 6.719179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.9408386E-4 | 6.9408386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1053666E-7 | 1.1053666E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.7372845E-7 | 4.7372845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.767629E-6 | 5.767629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.4533284E-5 | 6.4533284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.4562583E-9 | 2.4562583E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0526822E-8 | 1.0526822E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.2816405E-7 | 1.2816405E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4582747E-6 | 1.4582747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2134674E-5 | 4.2134674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.128795E-4 | 5.128795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132171 | 0.0051421192 | 1.0019385 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2134674E-5 | 4.2134674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.128795E-4 | 5.128795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132171 | 0.0051421192 | 1.0019385 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2134674E-5 | 4.2134674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.128795E-4 | 5.128795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132171 | 0.0051421192 | 1.0019385 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2134674E-5 | 4.2134674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.128795E-4 | 5.128795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132171 | 0.0051421192 | 1.0019385 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.091434E-6 | 6.091434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.610589E-5 | 2.610589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1779386E-4 | 3.1779386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031876834 | 0.0031976514 | 1.0031271 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.091434E-6 | 6.091434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.610589E-5 | 2.610589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1779386E-4 | 3.1779386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031876834 | 0.0031976514 | 1.0031271 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.773842E-6 | 5.773842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4744808E-5 | 2.4744808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.0122732E-4 | 3.0122732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105855 | 0.0030224733 | 0.003032443 | 1.0032985 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.0673398E-6 | 5.0673398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.171699E-5 | 2.171699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.643726E-4 | 2.643726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026548079 | 0.0026647812 | 1.0037568 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 4.9892474E-6 | 4.9892474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.1382315E-5 | 2.1382315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.602989E-4 | 2.602989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026141668 | 0.0026241406 | 1.0038153 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.69101E-6 | 4.69101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0104175E-5 | 2.0104175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.447411E-4 | 2.447411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024589403 | 0.0024689157 | 1.0040568 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.370579E-6 | 4.370579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8730922E-5 | 1.8730922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.2802534E-4 | 2.2802534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001473467 | 0.002292137 | 0.002292137 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.0658E-6 | 4.0658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7424743E-5 | 1.7424743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1212581E-4 | 2.1212581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021334658 | 0.0021334658 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.6763556E-6 | 3.6763556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5755715E-5 | 1.5755715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9180914E-4 | 1.9180914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019306875 | 0.0019306875 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.2350797E-6 | 3.2350797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.3864555E-5 | 1.3864555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.6878804E-4 | 1.6878804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017009112 | 0.0017009112 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.825487E-6 | 2.825487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.2109174E-5 | 1.2109174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4741936E-4 | 1.4741936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0014876479 | 0.0014876479 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.42473E-6 | 2.42473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.0391659E-5 | 1.0391659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.2651121E-4 | 1.2651121E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0012788613 | 0.0012788613 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9002471E-6 | 1.9002471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.143891E-6 | 8.143891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 9.914741E-5 | 9.914741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010055363 | 0.0010055363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6283949E-6 | 1.6283949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 6.9788166E-6 | 6.9788166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.496381E-5 | 8.496381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.638507E-4 | 8.638507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.521984E-6 | 1.521984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.5227723E-6 | 6.5227723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 7.941188E-5 | 7.941188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.080201E-4 | 8.080201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.574203E-7 | 7.574203E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.246083E-6 | 3.246083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 3.9520353E-5 | 3.9520353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.0402258E-4 | 4.0402258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 5.8364506E-8 | 5.8364506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.5013355E-7 | 2.5013355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.045372E-6 | 3.045372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.2745604E-5 | 3.2745604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.2946327E-8 | 1.2946327E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.5484257E-8 | 5.5484257E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 6.7552065E-7 | 6.7552065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 7.739309E-6 | 7.739309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.6460996E-9 | 3.6460996E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.5626142E-8 | 1.5626142E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.9024826E-7 | 1.9024826E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.2450613E-6 | 2.2450613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1379521E-5 | 1.1379521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.8768492E-5 | 5.8768004E-5 | 1.2050405 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.935995E-4 | 6.035936E-4 | 1.0168364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005516363 | 0.0059206416 | 0.0059305825 | 1.0016791 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0996648E-5 | 1.0996648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7127665E-5 | 5.7127192E-5 | 1.2121795 | 1.0E-5 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.7363306E-4 | 5.836273E-4 | 1.0174228 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005722014 | 0.0057319566 | 1.0017376 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.6996255E-6 | 9.6996255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1569187E-5 | 5.1568768E-5 | 1.2405528 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.059914E-4 | 5.1598635E-4 | 1.0197532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047108172 | 0.0050488105 | 0.0050587603 | 1.0019706 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.274585E-6 | 9.274585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.974764E-5 | 4.9747243E-5 | 1.2515773 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8382414E-4 | 4.938193E-4 | 1.0206586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004505487 | 0.00482812 | 0.0048380718 | 1.0020612 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.992907E-6 | 8.992907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8540486E-5 | 4.85401E-5 | 1.2594573 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6913346E-4 | 4.7912876E-4 | 1.0213059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046818415 | 0.0046917945 | 1.0021259 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.371684E-6 | 6.371684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7306933E-5 | 3.730666E-5 | 1.3661973 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3241173E-4 | 3.4240843E-4 | 1.0300732 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033192032 | 0.00332917 | 1.0030028 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.2059972E-6 | 5.2059972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2311227E-5 | 2.2311227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.716058E-4 | 2.716058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027127846 | 0.0027127846 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.1418552E-6 | 4.1418552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.775069E-5 | 1.775069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1609364E-4 | 2.1609364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024039 | 0.002158877 | 0.002158877 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4277881E-6 | 1.4277881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.1190776E-6 | 6.1190776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.4497264E-5 | 7.4497264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.4472686E-4 | 7.4472686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.35377E-7 | 6.35377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7230412E-6 | 2.7230412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.315254E-5 | 3.315254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.3147755E-4 | 3.3147755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2607891E-7 | 2.2607891E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.689093E-7 | 9.689093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1796418E-5 | 1.1796418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.1795903E-4 | 1.1795903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.070372E-7 | 8.070372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.07035E-6 | 8.07035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 7.786549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.575942E-4 | 1.010543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009446452 | 1.0010498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 7.786549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.575942E-4 | 1.010543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009446452 | 1.0010498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 7.786549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.575942E-4 | 1.010543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009446452 | 1.0010498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 7.786549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.575942E-4 | 1.010543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009446452 | 1.0010498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 7.786549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.575942E-4 | 1.010543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009446452 | 1.0010498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 7.786549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.575942E-4 | 1.010543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009446452 | 1.0010498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 7.786549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.575942E-4 | 1.010543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009446452 | 1.0010498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.8169152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786549E-5 | 7.786549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760366E-4 | 9.575942E-4 | 1.010543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436547 | 0.009446452 | 1.0010498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7936884E-5 | 1.7936884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.687011E-5 | 7.687011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012120095 | 9.3549537E-4 | 9.45486E-4 | 1.0106795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012054204 | 0.009316416 | 0.009326324 | 1.0010633 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.7432323E-5 | 1.7432323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.470784E-5 | 7.470784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011869454 | 9.091918E-4 | 9.191827E-4 | 1.0109888 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011806256 | 0.00905554 | 0.009065449 | 1.0010943 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7066077E-5 | 1.7066077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.31383E-5 | 7.31383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011682777 | 8.900984E-4 | 9.000895E-4 | 1.0112247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011621549 | 0.008866135 | 0.008876047 | 1.001118 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.6585966E-5 | 1.6585966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.108079E-5 | 7.108079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011405671 | 8.6506834E-4 | 8.750597E-4 | 1.0115498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011347309 | 0.008617799 | 0.008627712 | 1.0011504 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.5564516E-5 | 1.5564516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.670338E-5 | 6.670338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010802611 | 8.1181433E-4 | 8.2180626E-4 | 1.0123081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010750249 | 0.00808925 | 0.008099169 | 1.0012262 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3996794E-5 | 1.3996794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.9984897E-5 | 5.9984897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.300744E-4 | 7.400671E-4 | 1.0136873 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009559342 | 0.007277458 | 0.0072873854 | 1.0013641 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.2850027E-5 | 1.2850027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.50704E-5 | 5.50704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.702787E-4 | 6.80272E-4 | 1.0149091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00875714 | 0.006683225 | 0.0066931583 | 1.0014863 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.577392E-6 | 9.577392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.104533E-5 | 4.104533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.996139E-4 | 5.096089E-4 | 1.0200055 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006668452 | 0.004985026 | 0.0049949763 | 1.001996 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.8548847E-6 | 3.8548847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6520831E-5 | 1.6520831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0112265E-4 | 2.1112064E-4 | 1.0497109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0020094172 | 0.002019397 | 1.0049666 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3406994E-6 | 2.3406994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.003153E-5 | 1.003153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2212711E-4 | 1.3212589E-4 | 1.0818719 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012206073 | 0.0012305952 | 1.0081826 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0564368E-6 | 1.0564368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.5275788E-6 | 4.5275788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.5121895E-5 | 6.512134E-5 | 1.1814061 | 1.0E-5 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.5108423E-4 | 5.610787E-4 | 1.018136 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.697784E-7 | 1.697784E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.276215E-7 | 7.276215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.858756E-6 | 1.8858667E-5 | 2.1288166 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.858406E-5 | 9.858318E-5 | 1.1128771 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.6886624E-8 | 2.6886624E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.1522838E-7 | 1.1522838E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4029047E-6 | 1.4029047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.4028963E-5 | 1.4028963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2021515E-5 | 4.2021195E-5 | 1.31228 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3722944E-4 | 1.4722807E-4 | 1.0728607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016697609 | 0.0016797442 | 1.0059788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.01659906 | 0.016608894 | 1.0005925 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2021515E-5 | 4.2021195E-5 | 1.31228 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3722944E-4 | 1.4722807E-4 | 1.0728607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016697609 | 0.0016797442 | 1.0059788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.01659906 | 0.016608894 | 1.0005925 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2021515E-5 | 4.2021195E-5 | 1.31228 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3722944E-4 | 1.4722807E-4 | 1.0728607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016697609 | 0.0016797442 | 1.0059788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.01659906 | 0.016608894 | 1.0005925 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 3.0367048E-5 | 1.4909743 | 1.0E-5 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 9.728506E-5 | 1.114556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623002 | 0.0010722895 | 1.0094036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010583636 | 0.010593531 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 3.0367048E-5 | 1.4909743 | 1.0E-5 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 9.728506E-5 | 1.114556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623002 | 0.0010722895 | 1.0094036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010583636 | 0.010593531 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 3.0367048E-5 | 1.4909743 | 1.0E-5 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 9.728506E-5 | 1.114556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623002 | 0.0010722895 | 1.0094036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010583636 | 0.010593531 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 3.0367048E-5 | 1.4909743 | 1.0E-5 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 9.728506E-5 | 1.114556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623002 | 0.0010722895 | 1.0094036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010583636 | 0.010593531 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 2.0354675E-5 | 3.0354471E-5 | 1.4912777 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.723203E-5 | 9.723116E-5 | 1.1146268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010119933 | 0.0010616446 | 0.001071634 | 1.0094093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010073971 | 0.010577142 | 0.010587037 | 1.0009354 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1593124E-5 | 1.1593124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9683968E-5 | 4.9683968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.047512E-4 | 6.047512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063546924 | 0.006033087 | 0.006033087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1593124E-5 | 1.1593124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9683968E-5 | 4.9683968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.047512E-4 | 6.047512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063546924 | 0.006033087 | 0.006033087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 8.059261E-6 | 8.059261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.453925E-5 | 3.453925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.2043766E-4 | 4.2043766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048284214 | 0.0041971332 | 0.0041971332 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 7.942434E-6 | 7.942434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.403858E-5 | 3.403858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7629757E-4 | 4.1434434E-4 | 4.1434434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00475278 | 0.0041364282 | 0.0041364282 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.741596E-6 | 7.741596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.3177865E-5 | 3.3177865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6172875E-4 | 4.0386908E-4 | 4.0386908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046077054 | 0.004032058 | 0.004032058 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.55032E-6 | 7.55032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.235813E-5 | 3.235813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.9389243E-4 | 3.9389243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004463301 | 0.0039326404 | 0.0039326404 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.817847E-6 | 6.817847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.9219034E-5 | 2.9219034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.556867E-4 | 3.556867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040888423 | 0.0035518138 | 0.0035518138 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.27909E-6 | 4.27909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.8338837E-5 | 1.8338837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.2325412E-4 | 2.2325412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025466895 | 0.002230411 | 0.002230411 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.1568352E-6 | 1.1568352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.957857E-6 | 4.957857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.249717E-5 | 6.036046E-5 | 6.036046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.247352E-4 | 6.0346245E-4 | 6.0346245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.3719298E-7 | 2.3719298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2824837E-6 | 1.016541E-6 | 1.016541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.2376324E-5 | 1.2376324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5613029E-4 | 1.2375705E-4 | 1.2375705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.6321734E-8 | 2.6321734E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.1280743E-7 | 1.1280743E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.3734297E-6 | 1.3734297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5143789E-5 | 1.373422E-5 | 1.373422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.7681057E-9 | 2.7681057E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.186331E-8 | 1.186331E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.444358E-7 | 1.444358E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632817E-6 | 1.4443581E-6 | 1.4443581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 3.7197835E-5 | 1.3676627 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.2655758E-4 | 1.0857836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014282784 | 1.0070407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014114023 | 1.000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 3.7197835E-5 | 1.3676627 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.2655758E-4 | 1.0857836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014282784 | 1.0070407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014114023 | 1.000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 3.7197835E-5 | 1.3676627 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.2655758E-4 | 1.0857836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014282784 | 1.0070407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014114023 | 1.000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 3.7197835E-5 | 1.3676627 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.2655758E-4 | 1.0857836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014282784 | 1.0070407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014114023 | 1.000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 3.7197835E-5 | 1.3676627 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.2655758E-4 | 1.0857836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014282784 | 1.0070407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014114023 | 1.000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 3.7197835E-5 | 1.3676627 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.2655758E-4 | 1.0857836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014282784 | 1.0070407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014114023 | 1.000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7074446E-5 | 3.7074176E-5 | 1.369342 | 1.0E-5 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1602882E-4 | 1.2602766E-4 | 1.0861754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014118492 | 0.001421835 | 1.0070729 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014040549 | 0.014050409 | 1.0007023 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7074446E-5 | 3.7074176E-5 | 1.369342 | 1.0E-5 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1602882E-4 | 1.2602766E-4 | 1.0861754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014118492 | 0.001421835 | 1.0070729 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014040549 | 0.014050409 | 1.0007023 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9073179E-5 | 1.7637421E-5 | 1.7637421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1739636E-5 | 7.558686E-5 | 7.558686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.947256E-4 | 9.1989967E-4 | 9.1989967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009902848 | 0.009163169 | 0.009163169 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.9041876E-5 | 1.7619554E-5 | 1.7619554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.160549E-5 | 7.551029E-5 | 7.551029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.930939E-4 | 9.189682E-4 | 9.189682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0098866755 | 0.0091539305 | 0.0091539305 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5917482E-5 | 1.3864026E-5 | 1.3864026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8215995E-5 | 5.941593E-5 | 5.941593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.302132E-4 | 7.2315347E-4 | 7.2315347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008271185 | 0.0072088856 | 0.0072088856 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.577788E-5 | 1.3744033E-5 | 1.3744033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.761774E-5 | 5.8901696E-5 | 5.8901696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2293496E-4 | 7.1689684E-4 | 7.1689684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008198941 | 0.007146723 | 0.007146723 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.5416446E-5 | 1.3470108E-5 | 1.3470108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.606882E-5 | 5.7727782E-5 | 5.7727782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0409093E-4 | 7.0261373E-4 | 7.0261373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008011877 | 0.007004795 | 0.007004795 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.4534083E-5 | 1.2718011E-5 | 1.2718011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.228744E-5 | 5.450465E-5 | 5.450465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.580857E-4 | 6.633965E-4 | 6.633965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007555048 | 0.0066149924 | 0.0066149924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2858995E-5 | 1.1229797E-5 | 1.1229797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108816E-5 | 4.8126836E-5 | 4.8126836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7074323E-4 | 5.857906E-4 | 5.857906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066872234 | 0.005843214 | 0.005843214 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.827668E-6 | 7.805483E-6 | 7.805483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7832317E-5 | 3.3451655E-5 | 3.3451655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.605111E-4 | 4.0720025E-4 | 4.0720025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045955796 | 0.0040647383 | 0.0040647383 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.2533426E-6 | 2.8720037E-6 | 2.8720037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3942822E-5 | 1.2308531E-5 | 1.2308531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6974064E-4 | 1.4984643E-4 | 1.4984643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016961104 | 0.0014974908 | 0.0014974908 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.2751709E-6 | 1.1491329E-6 | 1.1491329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4650063E-6 | 4.9248465E-6 | 4.9248465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653442E-5 | 5.995845E-5 | 5.995845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6514505E-4 | 5.9943163E-4 | 5.9943163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.067544E-7 | 3.2400467E-7 | 3.2400467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3146611E-6 | 1.3885908E-6 | 1.3885908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.600588E-5 | 1.6905971E-5 | 1.6905971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6004729E-4 | 1.6904788E-4 | 1.6904788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.622999E-8 | 8.087958E-8 | 8.087958E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2669993E-7 | 3.4662673E-7 | 3.4662673E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977564E-6 | 4.2201746E-6 | 4.2201746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977493E-5 | 4.220115E-5 | 4.220115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311117 | 0.0019311117 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.01918976 | 0.019199567 | 1.0005112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311117 | 0.0019311117 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.01918976 | 0.019199567 | 1.0005112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311117 | 0.0019311117 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.01918976 | 0.019199567 | 1.0005112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311117 | 0.0019311117 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.01918976 | 0.019199567 | 1.0005112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120235E-5 | 2.120235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0865025E-5 | 9.0865025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058919 | 0.0011058919 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020696 | 0.011020696 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120235E-5 | 2.120235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0865025E-5 | 9.0865025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058919 | 0.0011058919 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020696 | 0.011020696 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.665563E-6 | 9.665563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1423224E-5 | 4.1423224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.0421833E-4 | 5.0421833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050314665 | 0.0050314665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.653133E-6 | 9.653133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.1369953E-5 | 4.1369953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.0357E-4 | 5.0357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005025013 | 0.005025013 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.772975E-6 | 7.772975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.331235E-5 | 3.331235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0550734E-4 | 4.0550734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004218856 | 0.004048168 | 0.004048168 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.4814295E-6 | 5.4814295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3491633E-5 | 2.3491633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8597386E-4 | 2.8597386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028561365 | 0.0028561365 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9827586E-6 | 4.9827586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1354508E-5 | 2.1354508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.599608E-4 | 2.599608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025966342 | 0.0025966342 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.087382E-6 | 4.087382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7517235E-5 | 1.7517235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1325189E-4 | 2.1325189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.002130514 | 0.002130514 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9779353E-6 | 2.9779353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2762518E-5 | 1.2762518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5537269E-4 | 1.5537269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015526518 | 0.0015526518 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0954517E-6 | 2.0954517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.980477E-6 | 8.980477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0933189E-4 | 1.0933189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010927882 | 0.0010927882 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.027504E-6 | 1.027504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.4035814E-6 | 4.4035814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3612315E-5 | 5.3612315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.359968E-4 | 5.359968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.91759E-7 | 4.91759E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.107537E-6 | 2.107537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5658977E-5 | 2.5658977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.565617E-4 | 2.565617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.477825E-7 | 2.477825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0619246E-6 | 1.0619246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2928859E-5 | 1.2928859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2928144E-4 | 1.2928144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.386387E-8 | 7.386387E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1655944E-7 | 3.1655944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8541057E-6 | 3.8541057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.756536E-8 | 1.756536E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.528011E-8 | 7.528011E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1653516E-7 | 9.1653516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.165329E-6 | 9.165329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6595903E-6 | 1.6659524E-5 | 2.5015838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.854079E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 1.3503658 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4742878E-4 | 3.574253E-4 | 1.0287728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035488552 | 0.0035588196 | 1.0028079 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6595903E-6 | 1.6659524E-5 | 2.5015838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.854079E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 1.3503658 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4742878E-4 | 3.574253E-4 | 1.0287728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035488552 | 0.0035588196 | 1.0028079 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6595903E-6 | 1.6659524E-5 | 2.5015838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.854079E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 1.3503658 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4742878E-4 | 3.574253E-4 | 1.0287728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035488552 | 0.0035588196 | 1.0028079 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6595903E-6 | 1.6659524E-5 | 2.5015838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.854079E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 1.3503658 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4742878E-4 | 3.574253E-4 | 1.0287728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035488552 | 0.0035588196 | 1.0028079 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6595903E-6 | 1.6659524E-5 | 2.5015838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.854079E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 1.3503658 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4742878E-4 | 3.574253E-4 | 1.0287728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035488552 | 0.0035588196 | 1.0028079 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.619808E-6 | 1.6619742E-5 | 2.5106077 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.83703E-5 | 3.8370013E-5 | 1.3524714 | 1.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4535374E-4 | 3.5535026E-4 | 1.0289458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035281708 | 0.0035381354 | 1.0028243 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.619808E-6 | 1.6619742E-5 | 2.5106077 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.83703E-5 | 3.8370013E-5 | 1.3524714 | 1.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4535374E-4 | 3.5535026E-4 | 1.0289458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035281708 | 0.0035381354 | 1.0028243 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.538985E-6 | 1.653892E-5 | 2.5292792 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8023922E-5 | 3.802364E-5 | 1.356828 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.411379E-4 | 3.5113448E-4 | 1.0293037 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0034861453 | 0.0034961104 | 1.0028585 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.533475E-6 | 1.653341E-5 | 2.530569 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8000306E-5 | 3.8000027E-5 | 1.357129 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4085047E-4 | 3.5084705E-4 | 1.0293283 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.00348328 | 0.0034932452 | 1.0028609 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.5248687E-6 | 1.6524804E-5 | 2.5325878 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.7963424E-5 | 3.7963146E-5 | 1.3576 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4040157E-4 | 3.503982E-4 | 1.0293671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.003478805 | 0.0034887702 | 1.0028646 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.5149898E-6 | 1.6514925E-5 | 2.5349119 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.7921087E-5 | 3.7920807E-5 | 1.3581423 | 1.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.398863E-4 | 3.4988287E-4 | 1.0294116 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0034736684 | 0.0034836335 | 1.0028688 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.5037016E-6 | 1.6503636E-5 | 2.537576 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.787271E-5 | 3.7872433E-5 | 1.3587638 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.3929746E-4 | 3.4929407E-4 | 1.0294627 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0034677996 | 0.003477765 | 1.0028737 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.485668E-6 | 1.6485603E-5 | 2.541851 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.7795426E-5 | 3.7795147E-5 | 1.3597615 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.3835683E-4 | 3.4835344E-4 | 1.0295446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034584268 | 0.0034683922 | 1.0028815 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.466454E-6 | 1.6466389E-5 | 2.5464327 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.771308E-5 | 3.77128E-5 | 1.3608304 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.3735458E-4 | 3.4735122E-4 | 1.0296324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0034484495 | 0.0034584152 | 1.0028899 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.4475407E-6 | 1.6447477E-5 | 2.550969 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7632026E-5 | 3.7631748E-5 | 1.3618889 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.3636804E-4 | 3.463647E-4 | 1.0297194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.003438632 | 0.0034485976 | 1.0028981 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.4238147E-6 | 1.642375E-5 | 2.5566974 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.7530345E-5 | 3.753007E-5 | 1.3632256 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.3513046E-4 | 3.451271E-4 | 1.0298291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.003426305 | 0.0034362709 | 1.0029086 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.382924E-6 | 1.638286E-5 | 2.5666702 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7355101E-5 | 3.735483E-5 | 1.3655525 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.3299756E-4 | 3.429942E-4 | 1.0300202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.003405038 | 0.0034150041 | 1.0029268 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.1754195E-6 | 1.6175358E-5 | 2.6193132 | 1.0E-5 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.6465816E-5 | 3.646555E-5 | 1.3778359 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2217373E-4 | 3.3217052E-4 | 1.0310291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0032966493 | 0.0033066163 | 1.0030234 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.736509E-6 | 1.5736452E-5 | 2.7432106 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.4584808E-5 | 3.4584562E-5 | 1.4067453 | 1.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 2.9927897E-4 | 3.09276E-4 | 1.0334036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0030667698 | 0.0030767391 | 1.0032507 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.0762266E-6 | 1.4076186E-5 | 3.4532394 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7469425E-5 | 2.746925E-5 | 1.5724187 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.1266953E-4 | 2.2266741E-4 | 1.0470113 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0021939029 | 0.0022038808 | 1.0045481 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.531063E-6 | 1.2531038E-5 | 4.950899 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0847369E-5 | 2.084726E-5 | 1.9218726 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3205873E-4 | 1.4205741E-4 | 1.0757139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013754078 | 0.001385394 | 1.0072606 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2183608E-6 | 1.2183608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.221536E-6 | 5.221536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.357037E-5 | 6.357037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.6903053E-4 | 6.6903053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.1797568E-7 | 2.1797568E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.341812E-7 | 9.341812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1373597E-5 | 1.1373597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.2776689E-4 | 1.2776689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.7504173E-8 | 4.7504173E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.035893E-7 | 2.035893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.4786968E-6 | 2.4786968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.8665521E-5 | 2.8665521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hollywood
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593198E-5 | 2.2593073E-5 | 1.7940694 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.396976E-5 | 6.396922E-5 | 1.1852789 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5688835E-4 | 6.668818E-4 | 1.0152133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006549955 | 0.0065598893 | 1.0015167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593198E-5 | 2.2593073E-5 | 1.7940694 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.396976E-5 | 6.396922E-5 | 1.1852789 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5688835E-4 | 6.668818E-4 | 1.0152133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006549955 | 0.0065598893 | 1.0015167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593198E-5 | 2.2593073E-5 | 1.7940694 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.396976E-5 | 6.396922E-5 | 1.1852789 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5688835E-4 | 6.668818E-4 | 1.0152133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006549955 | 0.0065598893 | 1.0015167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593198E-5 | 2.2593073E-5 | 1.7940694 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.396976E-5 | 6.396922E-5 | 1.1852789 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5688835E-4 | 6.668818E-4 | 1.0152133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006549955 | 0.0065598893 | 1.0015167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.2573812E-5 | 2.2573686E-5 | 1.7952938 | 1.0E-5 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.3886677E-5 | 6.388614E-5 | 1.1855646 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.5587746E-4 | 6.658709E-4 | 1.0152367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064653796 | 0.006539905 | 0.00654984 | 1.0015191 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1317775E-5 | 1.1317775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.850386E-5 | 4.850386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.903772E-4 | 5.903772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058488925 | 0.005888375 | 0.005888375 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.1308889E-5 | 1.1308889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.846578E-5 | 4.846578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.899138E-4 | 5.899138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005844661 | 0.0058837654 | 0.0058837654 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1303632E-5 | 1.1303632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.8443253E-5 | 4.8443253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.896397E-4 | 5.896397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058422405 | 0.0058810385 | 0.0058810385 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.0218422E-5 | 1.0218422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.3792515E-5 | 4.3792515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.3304556E-4 | 5.3304556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005335517 | 0.005317896 | 0.005317896 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 9.1102875E-6 | 9.1102875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.9043513E-5 | 3.9043513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.7525272E-4 | 4.7525272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048161 | 0.004742537 | 0.004742537 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.25824E-6 | 8.25824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.5391986E-5 | 3.5391986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.3081367E-4 | 4.3081367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004412184 | 0.0042999354 | 0.0042999354 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.2683553E-6 | 6.2683553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.6864105E-5 | 2.6864105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.2702181E-4 | 3.2702181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034605677 | 0.0032654519 | 0.0032654519 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 5.1086954E-6 | 5.1086954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.1894226E-5 | 2.1894226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.6652974E-4 | 2.6652974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028912104 | 0.0026621174 | 0.0026621174 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.959881E-6 | 3.959881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6970807E-5 | 1.6970807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.0660007E-4 | 2.0660007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022442779 | 0.0020640902 | 0.0020640902 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.701292E-6 | 2.701292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.1576914E-5 | 1.1576914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.4093987E-4 | 1.4093987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014886294 | 0.0014085099 | 0.0014085099 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.8976333E-6 | 1.8976333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.540134E-6 | 8.132689E-6 | 8.132689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.901103E-5 | 9.901103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010392254 | 9.896727E-4 | 9.896727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.2215977E-6 | 1.2215977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.235408E-6 | 5.235408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.373925E-5 | 6.373925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159987E-4 | 6.3721166E-4 | 6.3721166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.27767E-7 | 6.27767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.6904272E-6 | 2.6904272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.2755474E-5 | 3.2755474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0083472E-4 | 3.2750794E-4 | 3.2750794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.4534484E-7 | 2.4534484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5669474E-6 | 1.0514775E-6 | 1.0514775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.2801666E-5 | 1.2801666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.907578E-4 | 1.2800966E-4 | 1.2800966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 5.381607E-8 | 5.381607E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.306403E-7 | 2.306403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.91466E-6 | 2.8080433E-6 | 2.8080433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9145907E-5 | 2.8080207E-5 | 2.8080207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Hills 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9054518E-5 | 1.9054518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.16616E-5 | 8.16616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.941199E-4 | 0.00100411 | 1.0100491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009743992 | 0.009930393 | 0.009940293 | 1.0009971 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9054518E-5 | 1.9054518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.16616E-5 | 8.16616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.941199E-4 | 0.00100411 | 1.0100491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009743992 | 0.009930393 | 0.009940293 | 1.0009971 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9054518E-5 | 1.9054518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.16616E-5 | 8.16616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.941199E-4 | 0.00100411 | 1.0100491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009743992 | 0.009930393 | 0.009940293 | 1.0009971 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9054518E-5 | 1.9054518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.16616E-5 | 8.16616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.941199E-4 | 0.00100411 | 1.0100491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009743992 | 0.009930393 | 0.009940293 | 1.0009971 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.514784E-6 | 2.514784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0777611E-5 | 1.0777611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.3121133E-4 | 1.4121002E-4 | 1.0762029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002379829 | 0.0013115169 | 0.0013215038 | 1.0076147 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.514784E-6 | 2.514784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0777611E-5 | 1.0777611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.3121133E-4 | 1.4121002E-4 | 1.0762029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002379829 | 0.0013115169 | 0.0013215038 | 1.0076147 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.514784E-6 | 2.514784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0777611E-5 | 1.0777611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.3121133E-4 | 1.4121002E-4 | 1.0762029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002379829 | 0.0013115169 | 0.0013215038 | 1.0076147 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3266773E-6 | 1.3296107E-6 | 1.3296107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.971435E-6 | 5.6983195E-6 | 5.6983195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2139547E-4 | 6.937489E-5 | 6.937489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012132917 | 6.935384E-4 | 6.935384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.032735E-6 | 1.1894077E-6 | 1.1894077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.711692E-6 | 5.097452E-6 | 5.097452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06059684E-4 | 6.205976E-5 | 6.205976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010600908 | 6.204291E-4 | 6.204291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3186259E-6 | 1.0561976E-6 | 1.0561976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6512413E-6 | 4.5265533E-6 | 4.5265533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8801695E-5 | 5.5109424E-5 | 5.5109424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8780396E-4 | 5.5096054E-4 | 5.5096054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2726016E-6 | 1.0159281E-6 | 1.0159281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4539955E-6 | 4.3539703E-6 | 4.3539703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6400375E-5 | 5.300833E-5 | 5.300833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6380535E-4 | 5.2995974E-4 | 5.2995974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2063913E-6 | 9.570269E-7 | 9.570269E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.170238E-6 | 4.101538E-6 | 4.101538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.294583E-5 | 4.9935104E-5 | 4.9935104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2928005E-4 | 4.992414E-4 | 4.992414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.105806E-7 | 7.376765E-7 | 7.376765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9024826E-6 | 3.161467E-6 | 3.161467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7511687E-5 | 3.8490198E-5 | 3.8490198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7501532E-4 | 3.8483684E-4 | 3.8483684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.020432E-7 | 5.7103284E-7 | 5.7103284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0087533E-6 | 2.4472813E-6 | 2.4472813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6630954E-5 | 2.9795256E-5 | 2.9795256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6624918E-4 | 2.979139E-4 | 2.979139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.3900635E-7 | 4.4483198E-7 | 4.4483198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3100251E-6 | 1.9064214E-6 | 1.9064214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8124194E-5 | 2.3210447E-5 | 2.3210447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120633E-4 | 2.3208144E-4 | 2.3208144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.907075E-7 | 2.2875254E-7 | 2.2875254E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2458887E-6 | 9.803676E-7 | 9.803676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5168589E-5 | 1.1935913E-5 | 1.1935913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5167553E-4 | 1.19352895E-4 | 1.19352895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6903675E-7 | 1.2353345E-7 | 1.2353345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2444305E-7 | 5.2942903E-7 | 5.2942903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.820059E-6 | 6.4457804E-6 | 6.4457804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8197085E-5 | 6.445606E-5 | 6.445606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.168073E-8 | 3.9133845E-8 | 3.9133845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.072031E-7 | 1.6771648E-7 | 1.6771648E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7401915E-6 | 2.0419463E-6 | 2.0419463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7401285E-5 | 2.0419286E-5 | 2.0419286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.564101E-8 | 3.3834137E-8 | 3.3834137E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813186E-7 | 1.4500344E-7 | 1.4500344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4250486E-6 | 1.7654155E-6 | 1.7654155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424996E-5 | 1.7654025E-5 | 1.7654025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0029074E-8 | 3.7288577E-9 | 3.7288577E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2981743E-8 | 1.598082E-8 | 1.598082E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330256E-7 | 1.9456647E-7 | 1.9456647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330133E-6 | 1.945664E-6 | 1.945664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784054E-5 | 3.3784054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478144E-4 | 1.4478144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614097 | 0.0017713921 | 1.0056673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01748682 | 0.017496644 | 1.0005618 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784054E-5 | 3.3784054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478144E-4 | 1.4478144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614097 | 0.0017713921 | 1.0056673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01748682 | 0.017496644 | 1.0005618 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784054E-5 | 3.3784054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478144E-4 | 1.4478144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614097 | 0.0017713921 | 1.0056673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01748682 | 0.017496644 | 1.0005618 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591613E-5 | 1.591613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821028E-5 | 6.821028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.30158E-4 | 8.401497E-4 | 1.0120358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008272028 | 0.008281944 | 1.0011989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591613E-5 | 1.591613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821028E-5 | 6.821028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.30158E-4 | 8.401497E-4 | 1.0120358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008272028 | 0.008281944 | 1.0011989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1336354E-5 | 1.1336354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8583508E-5 | 4.8583508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.9135066E-4 | 6.0134474E-4 | 1.0169004 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.005898476 | 0.005908417 | 1.0016854 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.6254195E-6 | 8.6254195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6965583E-5 | 3.6965583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.499674E-4 | 4.499674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044909995 | 0.0044909995 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.802464E-6 | 6.802464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.915311E-5 | 2.915311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.548845E-4 | 3.548845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.003543495 | 0.003543495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9364203E-6 | 4.9364203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1155922E-5 | 2.1155922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5754404E-4 | 2.5754404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025725686 | 0.0025725686 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8322482E-6 | 3.8322482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.642382E-5 | 1.642382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.999422E-4 | 1.999422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019976757 | 0.0019976757 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6795587E-6 | 2.6795587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1483774E-5 | 1.1483774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3980624E-4 | 1.3980624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013972091 | 0.0013972091 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.885697E-6 | 1.885697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.081534E-6 | 8.081534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.8388366E-5 | 9.8388366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.834609E-4 | 9.834609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2818881E-6 | 1.2818881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.4937955E-6 | 5.4937955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.688501E-5 | 6.688501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.686588E-4 | 6.686588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.05664E-7 | 6.05664E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5957006E-6 | 2.5957006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1602234E-5 | 3.1602234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1598116E-4 | 3.1598116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1084303E-7 | 3.1084303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3321838E-6 | 1.3321838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6219217E-5 | 1.6219217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6218047E-4 | 1.6218047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8240732E-7 | 1.8240732E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.817454E-7 | 7.817454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.51771E-6 | 9.51771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.5173105E-5 | 9.5173105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.893735E-8 | 4.893735E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0973148E-7 | 2.0973148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.553478E-6 | 2.553478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5534524E-5 | 2.5534524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210222E-6 | 3.6210222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5518579E-5 | 1.5518579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.8892331E-4 | 1.8892331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019296809 | 0.0019396616 | 1.0051723 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210222E-6 | 3.6210222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5518579E-5 | 1.5518579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.8892331E-4 | 1.8892331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019296809 | 0.0019396616 | 1.0051723 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210222E-6 | 3.6210222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5518579E-5 | 1.5518579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.8892331E-4 | 1.8892331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019296809 | 0.0019396616 | 1.0051723 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530674E-6 | 3.15 |