ComCat M4.0 (ci39838928), Point Sources, kCOV=1.5, MaxPtSrcM=6, No Faults Results

ComCat M4.0 (ci39838928), Point Sources, kCOV=1.5, MaxPtSrcM=6, No Faults
Num Simulations100000
Start Time2021/04/05 11:44:02 UTC
Start Time Epoch Milliseconds1617623042950
Duration10 Years
Includes Spontaneous?false
Trigger Ruptures(none)
Config Generated Withu3etas_comcat_event_config_builder.sh --event-id ci39838928 --radius 25 --num-simulations 100000 --days-before 7 --gridded-only --max-point-src-mag 6 --etas-k-cov 1.5 --finite-surf-shakemap --finite-surf-shakemap-min-mag 4.5 --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 32 --hours 24

Table Of Contents

Probabilities Summary Table

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Magnitude1 Hour Prob1 Day Prob1 Week Prob1 Month Prob1 Year Prob10 Year Prob
M≥30.105 (10.46%)0.213 (21.32%)0.266 (26.57%)0.298 (29.83%)0.344 (34.38%)0.376 (37.62%)
95% Conf[10.28% 10.66%][21.06% 21.57%][26.30% 26.85%][29.55% 30.11%][34.09% 34.68%][37.32% 37.92%]
M≥3.50.037 (3.71%)0.084 (8.42%)0.109 (10.92%)0.126 (12.61%)0.151 (15.11%)0.170 (16.99%)
95% Conf[3.60% 3.83%][8.25% 8.59%][10.73% 11.12%][12.40% 12.81%][14.89% 15.34%][16.75% 17.22%]
M≥40.012 (1.24%)0.030 (2.96%)0.039 (3.94%)0.046 (4.57%)0.057 (5.68%)0.066 (6.58%)
95% Conf[1.17% 1.31%][2.85% 3.07%][3.82% 4.06%][4.44% 4.70%][5.53% 5.82%][6.43% 6.73%]
M≥4.54.04E-3 (0.40%)9.63E-3 (0.96%)0.013 (1.33%)0.016 (1.59%)0.020 (2.03%)0.024 (2.41%)
95% Conf[0.37% 0.45%][0.90% 1.03%][1.26% 1.40%][1.52% 1.67%][1.94% 2.12%][2.31% 2.50%]
M≥51.31E-3 (0.13%)3.18E-3 (0.32%)4.34E-3 (0.43%)5.36E-3 (0.54%)6.90E-3 (0.69%)8.12E-3 (0.81%)
95% Conf[0.11% 0.16%][0.28% 0.36%][0.39% 0.48%][0.49% 0.58%][0.64% 0.74%][0.76% 0.87%]
M≥5.54.60E-4 (0.05%)9.80E-4 (0.10%)1.42E-3 (0.14%)1.72E-3 (0.17%)2.18E-3 (0.22%)2.69E-3 (0.27%)
95% Conf[0.03% 0.06%][0.08% 0.12%][0.12% 0.17%][0.15% 0.20%][0.19% 0.25%][0.24% 0.30%]
M≥61.10E-4 (0.01%)3.00E-4 (0.03%)4.20E-4 (0.04%)5.00E-4 (0.05%)6.40E-4 (0.06%)8.00E-4 (0.08%)
95% Conf[0.01% 0.02%][0.02% 0.04%][0.03% 0.06%][0.04% 0.07%][0.05% 0.08%][0.06% 0.10%]
M≥6.53.00E-5 (0.00%)8.00E-5 (0.01%)1.30E-4 (0.01%)1.80E-4 (0.02%)2.90E-4 (0.03%)3.70E-4 (0.04%)
95% Conf[0.00% 0.01%][0.00% 0.02%][0.01% 0.02%][0.01% 0.03%][0.02% 0.04%][0.03% 0.05%]
M≥70.000 (0.00%)0.000 (0.00%)4.00E-5 (0.00%)7.00E-5 (0.01%)1.30E-4 (0.01%)1.70E-4 (0.02%)
95% Conf[0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.01%][0.00% 0.02%][0.01% 0.02%][0.01% 0.03%]
M≥7.50.000 (0.00%)0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5 (0.00%)4.00E-5 (0.00%)4.00E-5 (0.00%)
95% Conf[0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.01%][0.00% 0.01%][0.00% 0.01%][0.00% 0.01%]
M≥80.000 (0.00%)0.000 (0.00%)0.000 (0.00%)0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5 (0.00%)
95% Conf[0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.01%][0.00% 0.01%]

Magnitude Number Distribution

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10 Year Magnitude Number Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode10 yr Probability10 yr Prob 95% Conf10 yr Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.57.7500.00017.0001.0000.0000.665 (66.52%)[66.23% 66.82%]0.000 (0.00%)1.874
M≥2.66.1560.00014.0001.0000.0000.606 (60.61%)[60.30% 60.91%]0.000 (0.00%)1.491
M≥2.74.8860.00011.0001.0000.0000.546 (54.63%)[54.32% 54.94%]0.000 (0.00%)1.184
M≥2.83.8790.0009.0000.0000.0000.487 (48.69%)[48.38% 49.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.941
M≥2.93.0840.0007.0000.0000.0000.429 (42.91%)[42.60% 43.22%]0.000 (0.00%)0.747
M≥32.4490.0006.0000.0000.0000.376 (37.62%)[37.32% 37.92%]0.000 (0.00%)0.594
M≥3.11.9430.0005.0000.0000.0000.326 (32.64%)[32.35% 32.93%]0.000 (0.00%)0.472
M≥3.21.5430.0004.0000.0000.0000.281 (28.05%)[27.78% 28.33%]0.000 (0.00%)0.375
M≥3.31.2240.0004.0000.0000.0000.238 (23.83%)[23.57% 24.10%]0.000 (0.00%)0.296
M≥3.40.9700.0003.0000.0000.0000.201 (20.09%)[19.84% 20.34%]0.000 (0.00%)0.234
M≥3.50.7710.0003.0000.0000.0000.170 (16.99%)[16.75% 17.22%]0.000 (0.00%)0.187
M≥3.60.6110.0002.0000.0000.0000.141 (14.15%)[13.93% 14.36%]0.000 (0.00%)0.148
M≥3.70.4870.0002.0000.0000.0000.118 (11.81%)[11.61% 12.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.118
M≥3.80.3880.0002.0000.0000.0000.098 (9.75%)[9.57% 9.94%]0.000 (0.00%)0.093
M≥3.90.3080.0001.0000.0000.0000.081 (8.07%)[7.90% 8.24%]0.000 (0.00%)0.074
M≥40.2440.0001.0000.0000.0000.066 (6.58%)[6.43% 6.73%]0.000 (0.00%)0.059
M≥4.10.1950.0001.0000.0000.0000.054 (5.39%)[5.25% 5.53%]0.000 (0.00%)0.046
M≥4.20.1550.0001.0000.0000.0000.044 (4.43%)[4.30% 4.56%]0.000 (0.00%)0.037
M≥4.30.1230.0001.0000.0000.0000.036 (3.63%)[3.52% 3.75%]0.000 (0.00%)0.029
M≥4.40.0970.0001.0000.0000.0000.030 (2.96%)[2.85% 3.07%]0.000 (0.00%)0.023
M≥4.50.0770.0000.0000.0000.0000.024 (2.41%)[2.31% 2.50%]0.000 (0.00%)0.018
M≥4.60.0610.0000.0000.0000.0000.019 (1.92%)[1.83% 2.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.014
M≥4.70.0480.0000.0000.0000.0000.015 (1.54%)[1.46% 1.62%]0.000 (0.00%)0.011
M≥4.80.0380.0000.0000.0000.0000.013 (1.26%)[1.20% 1.34%]0.000 (0.00%)8.99E-3
M≥4.90.0300.0000.0000.0000.0009.91E-3 (0.99%)[0.93% 1.05%]0.000 (0.00%)6.97E-3
M≥50.0240.0000.0000.0000.0008.12E-3 (0.81%)[0.76% 0.87%]0.000 (0.00%)5.66E-3
M≥5.10.0190.0000.0000.0000.0006.47E-3 (0.65%)[0.60% 0.70%]0.000 (0.00%)4.46E-3
M≥5.20.0160.0000.0000.0000.0005.27E-3 (0.53%)[0.48% 0.57%]0.000 (0.00%)3.53E-3
M≥5.30.0120.0000.0000.0000.0004.20E-3 (0.42%)[0.38% 0.46%]0.000 (0.00%)2.75E-3
M≥5.49.94E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.43E-3 (0.34%)[0.31% 0.38%]0.000 (0.00%)2.30E-3
M≥5.57.83E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.69E-3 (0.27%)[0.24% 0.30%]0.000 (0.00%)1.75E-3
M≥5.66.13E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.09E-3 (0.21%)[0.18% 0.24%]0.000 (0.00%)1.31E-3
M≥5.74.86E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.66E-3 (0.17%)[0.14% 0.19%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-3
M≥5.83.67E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.27E-3 (0.13%)[0.11% 0.15%]0.000 (0.00%)7.50E-4
M≥5.92.84E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-3 (0.10%)[0.08% 0.12%]0.000 (0.00%)5.30E-4
M≥62.22E-30.0000.0000.0000.0008.00E-4 (0.08%)[0.06% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)4.10E-4
M≥6.11.81E-30.0000.0000.0000.0006.60E-4 (0.07%)[0.05% 0.08%]0.000 (0.00%)3.10E-4
M≥6.21.42E-30.0000.0000.0000.0005.60E-4 (0.06%)[0.04% 0.07%]0.000 (0.00%)2.60E-4
M≥6.31.24E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.80E-4 (0.05%)[0.04% 0.06%]0.000 (0.00%)2.30E-4
M≥6.41.03E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.20E-4 (0.04%)[0.03% 0.06%]0.000 (0.00%)2.00E-4
M≥6.58.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.70E-4 (0.04%)[0.03% 0.05%]0.000 (0.00%)1.60E-4
M≥6.66.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.00E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)1.30E-4
M≥6.75.90E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.90E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)1.30E-4
M≥6.84.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.50E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-4
M≥6.93.90E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.20E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]0.000 (0.00%)8.00E-5
M≥73.30E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.70E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]0.000 (0.00%)5.00E-5
M≥7.12.50E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.20E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)3.00E-5
M≥7.22.30E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.20E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)3.00E-5
M≥7.31.50E-40.0000.0000.0000.0008.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥7.41.30E-40.0000.0000.0000.0007.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥7.59.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0004.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥7.66.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0004.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥7.74.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥7.84.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥7.91.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥81.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥8.11.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥8.21.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Year Magnitude Number Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 yr Probability1 yr Prob 95% Conf1 yr Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.55.2310.00014.0001.0000.0000.628 (62.82%)[62.52% 63.12%]0.000 (0.00%)1.647
M≥2.64.1540.00011.0001.0000.0000.568 (56.83%)[56.52% 57.14%]0.000 (0.00%)1.309
M≥2.73.2930.0009.0001.0000.0000.508 (50.81%)[50.50% 51.12%]0.000 (0.00%)1.039
M≥2.82.6160.0007.0000.0000.0000.450 (44.95%)[44.65% 45.26%]0.000 (0.00%)0.826
M≥2.92.0820.0006.0000.0000.0000.394 (39.40%)[39.10% 39.70%]0.000 (0.00%)0.657
M≥31.6550.0005.0000.0000.0000.344 (34.38%)[34.09% 34.68%]0.000 (0.00%)0.523
M≥3.11.3130.0004.0000.0000.0000.297 (29.69%)[29.41% 29.97%]0.000 (0.00%)0.415
M≥3.21.0430.0004.0000.0000.0000.253 (25.32%)[25.05% 25.59%]0.000 (0.00%)0.330
M≥3.30.8270.0003.0000.0000.0000.214 (21.40%)[21.15% 21.66%]0.000 (0.00%)0.261
M≥3.40.6550.0003.0000.0000.0000.179 (17.95%)[17.71% 18.19%]0.000 (0.00%)0.206
M≥3.50.5210.0002.0000.0000.0000.151 (15.11%)[14.89% 15.34%]0.000 (0.00%)0.165
M≥3.60.4130.0002.0000.0000.0000.125 (12.47%)[12.27% 12.68%]0.000 (0.00%)0.130
M≥3.70.3300.0002.0000.0000.0000.103 (10.35%)[10.16% 10.54%]0.000 (0.00%)0.103
M≥3.80.2620.0001.0000.0000.0000.085 (8.53%)[8.35% 8.70%]0.000 (0.00%)0.082
M≥3.90.2080.0001.0000.0000.0000.070 (7.01%)[6.85% 7.17%]0.000 (0.00%)0.065
M≥40.1650.0001.0000.0000.0000.057 (5.68%)[5.53% 5.82%]0.000 (0.00%)0.051
M≥4.10.1310.0001.0000.0000.0000.046 (4.62%)[4.49% 4.75%]0.000 (0.00%)0.040
M≥4.20.1040.0001.0000.0000.0000.038 (3.77%)[3.66% 3.89%]0.000 (0.00%)0.032
M≥4.30.0830.0001.0000.0000.0000.031 (3.07%)[2.96% 3.18%]0.000 (0.00%)0.025
M≥4.40.0660.0001.0000.0000.0000.025 (2.51%)[2.41% 2.61%]0.000 (0.00%)0.020
M≥4.50.0520.0000.0000.0000.0000.020 (2.03%)[1.94% 2.12%]0.000 (0.00%)0.016
M≥4.60.0410.0000.0000.0000.0000.016 (1.61%)[1.53% 1.69%]0.000 (0.00%)0.012
M≥4.70.0320.0000.0000.0000.0000.013 (1.29%)[1.22% 1.36%]0.000 (0.00%)9.76E-3
M≥4.80.0250.0000.0000.0000.0000.011 (1.06%)[1.00% 1.13%]0.000 (0.00%)7.82E-3
M≥4.90.0200.0000.0000.0000.0008.42E-3 (0.84%)[0.79% 0.90%]0.000 (0.00%)6.12E-3
M≥50.0160.0000.0000.0000.0006.90E-3 (0.69%)[0.64% 0.74%]0.000 (0.00%)4.96E-3
M≥5.10.0130.0000.0000.0000.0005.47E-3 (0.55%)[0.50% 0.60%]0.000 (0.00%)3.92E-3
M≥5.20.0100.0000.0000.0000.0004.45E-3 (0.45%)[0.41% 0.49%]0.000 (0.00%)3.11E-3
M≥5.38.02E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.48E-3 (0.35%)[0.31% 0.39%]0.000 (0.00%)2.38E-3
M≥5.46.42E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.82E-3 (0.28%)[0.25% 0.32%]0.000 (0.00%)2.02E-3
M≥5.55.06E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.18E-3 (0.22%)[0.19% 0.25%]0.000 (0.00%)1.50E-3
M≥5.63.96E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.72E-3 (0.17%)[0.15% 0.20%]0.000 (0.00%)1.14E-3
M≥5.73.13E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.34E-3 (0.13%)[0.11% 0.16%]0.000 (0.00%)8.70E-4
M≥5.82.37E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.04E-3 (0.10%)[0.09% 0.13%]0.000 (0.00%)6.50E-4
M≥5.91.83E-30.0000.0000.0000.0007.80E-4 (0.08%)[0.06% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)4.30E-4
M≥61.44E-30.0000.0000.0000.0006.40E-4 (0.06%)[0.05% 0.08%]0.000 (0.00%)3.40E-4
M≥6.11.14E-30.0000.0000.0000.0005.20E-4 (0.05%)[0.04% 0.07%]0.000 (0.00%)2.60E-4
M≥6.29.10E-40.0000.0000.0000.0004.50E-4 (0.04%)[0.03% 0.06%]0.000 (0.00%)2.20E-4
M≥6.38.10E-40.0000.0000.0000.0004.00E-4 (0.04%)[0.03% 0.06%]0.000 (0.00%)2.00E-4
M≥6.46.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.40E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.05%]0.000 (0.00%)1.70E-4
M≥6.55.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.90E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)1.30E-4
M≥6.64.50E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.60E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)1.20E-4
M≥6.74.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.50E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)1.20E-4
M≥6.83.40E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.10E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]0.000 (0.00%)9.00E-5
M≥6.92.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.80E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]0.000 (0.00%)7.00E-5
M≥72.20E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.30E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)4.00E-5
M≥7.11.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)3.00E-5
M≥7.21.50E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)3.00E-5
M≥7.31.10E-40.0000.0000.0000.0007.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥7.49.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0006.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥7.56.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0004.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥7.65.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0004.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥7.73.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥7.83.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥7.91.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥81.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥8.11.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥8.21.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Month Magnitude Number Distribution

(top)

Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 mo Probability1 mo Prob 95% Conf1 mo Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.52.5560.00010.0001.0000.0000.572 (57.17%)[56.86% 57.48%]0.000 (0.00%)1.355
M≥2.62.0310.0008.0001.0000.0000.512 (51.20%)[50.89% 51.51%]0.000 (0.00%)1.078
M≥2.71.6120.0007.0000.0000.0000.453 (45.32%)[45.01% 45.63%]0.000 (0.00%)0.855
M≥2.81.2810.0006.0000.0000.0000.397 (39.71%)[39.41% 40.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.679
M≥2.91.0200.0005.0000.0000.0000.345 (34.49%)[34.20% 34.79%]0.000 (0.00%)0.539
M≥30.8110.0004.0000.0000.0000.298 (29.83%)[29.55% 30.11%]0.000 (0.00%)0.429
M≥3.10.6420.0003.0000.0000.0000.255 (25.49%)[25.22% 25.76%]0.000 (0.00%)0.341
M≥3.20.5110.0003.0000.0000.0000.216 (21.57%)[21.31% 21.83%]0.000 (0.00%)0.271
M≥3.30.4050.0002.0000.0000.0000.181 (18.08%)[17.84% 18.32%]0.000 (0.00%)0.214
M≥3.40.3210.0002.0000.0000.0000.151 (15.07%)[14.85% 15.30%]0.000 (0.00%)0.170
M≥3.50.2560.0002.0000.0000.0000.126 (12.61%)[12.40% 12.81%]0.000 (0.00%)0.135
M≥3.60.2030.0001.0000.0000.0000.104 (10.35%)[10.16% 10.54%]0.000 (0.00%)0.107
M≥3.70.1620.0001.0000.0000.0000.085 (8.50%)[8.33% 8.67%]0.000 (0.00%)0.085
M≥3.80.1290.0001.0000.0000.0000.069 (6.95%)[6.79% 7.11%]0.000 (0.00%)0.067
M≥3.90.1020.0001.0000.0000.0000.057 (5.67%)[5.53% 5.81%]0.000 (0.00%)0.053
M≥40.0810.0001.0000.0000.0000.046 (4.57%)[4.44% 4.70%]0.000 (0.00%)0.042
M≥4.10.0640.0001.0000.0000.0000.037 (3.68%)[3.57% 3.80%]0.000 (0.00%)0.033
M≥4.20.0510.0001.0000.0000.0000.030 (2.99%)[2.89% 3.10%]0.000 (0.00%)0.026
M≥4.30.0400.0000.0000.0000.0000.024 (2.45%)[2.35% 2.54%]0.000 (0.00%)0.021
M≥4.40.0320.0000.0000.0000.0000.020 (1.99%)[1.90% 2.07%]0.000 (0.00%)0.017
M≥4.50.0250.0000.0000.0000.0000.016 (1.59%)[1.52% 1.67%]0.000 (0.00%)0.013
M≥4.60.0200.0000.0000.0000.0000.012 (1.25%)[1.18% 1.32%]0.000 (0.00%)0.010
M≥4.70.0160.0000.0000.0000.0000.010 (1.01%)[0.95% 1.07%]0.000 (0.00%)7.98E-3
M≥4.80.0130.0000.0000.0000.0008.22E-3 (0.82%)[0.77% 0.88%]0.000 (0.00%)6.40E-3
M≥4.90.0100.0000.0000.0000.0006.47E-3 (0.65%)[0.60% 0.70%]0.000 (0.00%)5.04E-3
M≥58.07E-30.0000.0000.0000.0005.36E-3 (0.54%)[0.49% 0.58%]0.000 (0.00%)4.13E-3
M≥5.16.41E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.24E-3 (0.42%)[0.39% 0.47%]0.000 (0.00%)3.24E-3
M≥5.25.08E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.45E-3 (0.34%)[0.31% 0.38%]0.000 (0.00%)2.59E-3
M≥5.33.87E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.65E-3 (0.27%)[0.23% 0.30%]0.000 (0.00%)1.97E-3
M≥5.43.12E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.23E-3 (0.22%)[0.20% 0.25%]0.000 (0.00%)1.70E-3
M≥5.52.45E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.72E-3 (0.17%)[0.15% 0.20%]0.000 (0.00%)1.31E-3
M≥5.61.91E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.39E-3 (0.14%)[0.12% 0.16%]0.000 (0.00%)1.03E-3
M≥5.71.47E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.06E-3 (0.11%)[0.09% 0.13%]0.000 (0.00%)7.60E-4
M≥5.81.15E-30.0000.0000.0000.0008.20E-4 (0.08%)[0.07% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)5.70E-4
M≥5.98.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0006.10E-4 (0.06%)[0.05% 0.08%]0.000 (0.00%)3.90E-4
M≥66.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0005.00E-4 (0.05%)[0.04% 0.07%]0.000 (0.00%)3.10E-4
M≥6.15.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.80E-4 (0.04%)[0.03% 0.05%]0.000 (0.00%)2.30E-4
M≥6.24.10E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.30E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.05%]0.000 (0.00%)2.00E-4
M≥6.33.50E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.90E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)1.80E-4
M≥6.42.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.30E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)1.50E-4
M≥6.52.10E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.80E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]0.000 (0.00%)1.10E-4
M≥6.61.90E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.70E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-4
M≥6.71.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.50E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.03%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-4
M≥6.81.30E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.20E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)7.00E-5
M≥6.91.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)6.00E-5
M≥77.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0007.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)3.00E-5
M≥7.15.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0005.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥7.25.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0005.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥7.33.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0003.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥7.42.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥7.51.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.61.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.71.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.81.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Week Magnitude Number Distribution

(top)

Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 wk Probability1 wk Prob 95% Conf1 wk Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.51.9030.0008.0001.0000.0000.528 (52.77%)[52.46% 53.08%]0.000 (0.00%)1.162
M≥2.61.5140.0007.0000.0000.0000.469 (46.89%)[46.59% 47.20%]0.000 (0.00%)0.925
M≥2.71.2010.0006.0000.0000.0000.412 (41.19%)[40.88% 41.49%]0.000 (0.00%)0.734
M≥2.80.9550.0005.0000.0000.0000.358 (35.82%)[35.52% 36.11%]0.000 (0.00%)0.582
M≥2.90.7600.0004.0000.0000.0000.309 (30.90%)[30.61% 31.18%]0.000 (0.00%)0.463
M≥30.6030.0003.0000.0000.0000.266 (26.57%)[26.30% 26.85%]0.000 (0.00%)0.368
M≥3.10.4790.0003.0000.0000.0000.226 (22.55%)[22.29% 22.81%]0.000 (0.00%)0.293
M≥3.20.3810.0002.0000.0000.0000.190 (18.99%)[18.74% 19.23%]0.000 (0.00%)0.233
M≥3.30.3010.0002.0000.0000.0000.158 (15.80%)[15.58% 16.03%]0.000 (0.00%)0.184
M≥3.40.2390.0002.0000.0000.0000.131 (13.14%)[12.93% 13.35%]0.000 (0.00%)0.146
M≥3.50.1900.0001.0000.0000.0000.109 (10.92%)[10.73% 11.12%]0.000 (0.00%)0.116
M≥3.60.1510.0001.0000.0000.0000.089 (8.92%)[8.74% 9.10%]0.000 (0.00%)0.092
M≥3.70.1210.0001.0000.0000.0000.073 (7.33%)[7.17% 7.49%]0.000 (0.00%)0.074
M≥3.80.0960.0001.0000.0000.0000.060 (5.97%)[5.83% 6.12%]0.000 (0.00%)0.058
M≥3.90.0760.0001.0000.0000.0000.049 (4.88%)[4.75% 5.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.046
M≥40.0600.0001.0000.0000.0000.039 (3.94%)[3.82% 4.06%]0.000 (0.00%)0.037
M≥4.10.0470.0001.0000.0000.0000.032 (3.16%)[3.05% 3.27%]0.000 (0.00%)0.029
M≥4.20.0370.0001.0000.0000.0000.025 (2.55%)[2.45% 2.65%]0.000 (0.00%)0.023
M≥4.30.0300.0000.0000.0000.0000.021 (2.07%)[1.98% 2.16%]0.000 (0.00%)0.018
M≥4.40.0240.0000.0000.0000.0000.017 (1.67%)[1.59% 1.75%]0.000 (0.00%)0.014
M≥4.50.0190.0000.0000.0000.0000.013 (1.33%)[1.26% 1.40%]0.000 (0.00%)0.011
M≥4.60.0150.0000.0000.0000.0000.010 (1.04%)[0.98% 1.11%]0.000 (0.00%)8.65E-3
M≥4.70.0120.0000.0000.0000.0008.37E-3 (0.84%)[0.78% 0.90%]0.000 (0.00%)6.86E-3
M≥4.89.17E-30.0000.0000.0000.0006.74E-3 (0.67%)[0.62% 0.73%]0.000 (0.00%)5.45E-3
M≥4.97.13E-30.0000.0000.0000.0005.23E-3 (0.52%)[0.48% 0.57%]0.000 (0.00%)4.28E-3
M≥55.83E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.34E-3 (0.43%)[0.39% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)3.53E-3
M≥5.14.63E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.42E-3 (0.34%)[0.31% 0.38%]0.000 (0.00%)2.77E-3
M≥5.23.75E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.80E-3 (0.28%)[0.25% 0.32%]0.000 (0.00%)2.22E-3
M≥5.32.84E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.16E-3 (0.22%)[0.19% 0.25%]0.000 (0.00%)1.68E-3
M≥5.42.35E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.84E-3 (0.18%)[0.16% 0.21%]0.000 (0.00%)1.44E-3
M≥5.51.83E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.42E-3 (0.14%)[0.12% 0.17%]0.000 (0.00%)1.10E-3
M≥5.61.42E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.13E-3 (0.11%)[0.09% 0.14%]0.000 (0.00%)8.50E-4
M≥5.71.11E-30.0000.0000.0000.0008.90E-4 (0.09%)[0.07% 0.11%]0.000 (0.00%)6.50E-4
M≥5.88.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0006.90E-4 (0.07%)[0.05% 0.09%]0.000 (0.00%)4.60E-4
M≥5.96.30E-40.0000.0000.0000.0005.00E-4 (0.05%)[0.04% 0.07%]0.000 (0.00%)3.00E-4
M≥65.30E-40.0000.0000.0000.0004.20E-4 (0.04%)[0.03% 0.06%]0.000 (0.00%)2.50E-4
M≥6.13.80E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.10E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)1.80E-4
M≥6.23.20E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.70E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)1.60E-4
M≥6.32.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.30E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)1.40E-4
M≥6.41.90E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.70E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]0.000 (0.00%)1.10E-4
M≥6.51.40E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.30E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)8.00E-5
M≥6.61.30E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.20E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)7.00E-5
M≥6.71.20E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.10E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)7.00E-5
M≥6.89.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0008.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)4.00E-5
M≥6.96.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0006.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)3.00E-5
M≥74.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0004.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥7.13.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0003.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.23.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0003.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.32.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.41.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.51.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.61.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.71.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.81.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Day Magnitude Number Distribution

(top)

Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 d Probability1 d Prob 95% Conf1 d Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.51.1780.0006.0000.0000.0000.451 (45.15%)[44.84% 45.46%]0.000 (0.00%)0.880
M≥2.60.9380.0005.0000.0000.0000.396 (39.60%)[39.29% 39.90%]0.000 (0.00%)0.701
M≥2.70.7450.0004.0000.0000.0000.343 (34.33%)[34.04% 34.63%]0.000 (0.00%)0.557
M≥2.80.5930.0004.0000.0000.0000.295 (29.49%)[29.21% 29.78%]0.000 (0.00%)0.442
M≥2.90.4720.0003.0000.0000.0000.251 (25.12%)[24.85% 25.39%]0.000 (0.00%)0.351
M≥30.3750.0003.0000.0000.0000.213 (21.32%)[21.06% 21.57%]0.000 (0.00%)0.280
M≥3.10.2980.0002.0000.0000.0000.180 (17.98%)[17.74% 18.22%]0.000 (0.00%)0.223
M≥3.20.2370.0002.0000.0000.0000.150 (15.01%)[14.79% 15.23%]0.000 (0.00%)0.177
M≥3.30.1870.0002.0000.0000.0000.124 (12.39%)[12.19% 12.60%]0.000 (0.00%)0.140
M≥3.40.1490.0001.0000.0000.0000.102 (10.21%)[10.03% 10.40%]0.000 (0.00%)0.111
M≥3.50.1190.0001.0000.0000.0000.084 (8.42%)[8.25% 8.59%]0.000 (0.00%)0.088
M≥3.60.0940.0001.0000.0000.0000.068 (6.81%)[6.66% 6.97%]0.000 (0.00%)0.070
M≥3.70.0760.0001.0000.0000.0000.056 (5.57%)[5.43% 5.71%]0.000 (0.00%)0.056
M≥3.80.0600.0001.0000.0000.0000.045 (4.50%)[4.37% 4.63%]0.000 (0.00%)0.044
M≥3.90.0480.0001.0000.0000.0000.037 (3.67%)[3.55% 3.79%]0.000 (0.00%)0.035
M≥40.0380.0001.0000.0000.0000.030 (2.96%)[2.85% 3.07%]0.000 (0.00%)0.028
M≥4.10.0300.0000.0000.0000.0000.024 (2.36%)[2.26% 2.45%]0.000 (0.00%)0.022
M≥4.20.0230.0000.0000.0000.0000.019 (1.88%)[1.80% 1.97%]0.000 (0.00%)0.017
M≥4.30.0180.0000.0000.0000.0000.015 (1.50%)[1.43% 1.58%]0.000 (0.00%)0.013
M≥4.40.0150.0000.0000.0000.0000.012 (1.21%)[1.14% 1.28%]0.000 (0.00%)0.011
M≥4.50.0120.0000.0000.0000.0009.63E-3 (0.96%)[0.90% 1.03%]0.000 (0.00%)8.37E-3
M≥4.68.94E-30.0000.0000.0000.0007.50E-3 (0.75%)[0.70% 0.81%]0.000 (0.00%)6.50E-3
M≥4.77.21E-30.0000.0000.0000.0006.05E-3 (0.60%)[0.56% 0.66%]0.000 (0.00%)5.18E-3
M≥4.85.69E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.86E-3 (0.49%)[0.44% 0.53%]0.000 (0.00%)4.12E-3
M≥4.94.51E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.85E-3 (0.39%)[0.35% 0.43%]0.000 (0.00%)3.27E-3
M≥53.72E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.18E-3 (0.32%)[0.28% 0.36%]0.000 (0.00%)2.68E-3
M≥5.12.91E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.53E-3 (0.25%)[0.22% 0.29%]0.000 (0.00%)2.12E-3
M≥5.22.34E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.03E-3 (0.20%)[0.18% 0.23%]0.000 (0.00%)1.69E-3
M≥5.31.73E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.54E-3 (0.15%)[0.13% 0.18%]0.000 (0.00%)1.25E-3
M≥5.41.39E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.28E-3 (0.13%)[0.11% 0.15%]0.000 (0.00%)1.06E-3
M≥5.51.06E-30.0000.0000.0000.0009.80E-4 (0.10%)[0.08% 0.12%]0.000 (0.00%)7.90E-4
M≥5.68.40E-40.0000.0000.0000.0007.80E-4 (0.08%)[0.06% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)6.10E-4
M≥5.76.80E-40.0000.0000.0000.0006.30E-4 (0.06%)[0.05% 0.08%]0.000 (0.00%)4.70E-4
M≥5.85.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0004.60E-4 (0.05%)[0.03% 0.06%]0.000 (0.00%)3.20E-4
M≥5.93.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.30E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.05%]0.000 (0.00%)2.10E-4
M≥63.30E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.00E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)1.90E-4
M≥6.12.40E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.30E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)1.40E-4
M≥6.21.90E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.90E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]0.000 (0.00%)1.20E-4
M≥6.31.50E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.50E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.03%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-4
M≥6.41.10E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.10E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)9.00E-5
M≥6.58.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0008.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)7.00E-5
M≥6.67.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0007.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)6.00E-5
M≥6.76.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0006.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)6.00E-5
M≥6.83.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0003.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)3.00E-5
M≥6.92.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Hour Magnitude Number Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 hr Probability1 hr Prob 95% Conf1 hr Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.50.4200.0003.0000.0000.0000.260 (26.01%)[25.74% 26.28%]0.000 (0.00%)0.378
M≥2.60.3350.0002.0000.0000.0000.220 (22.01%)[21.75% 22.27%]0.000 (0.00%)0.302
M≥2.70.2650.0002.0000.0000.0000.184 (18.45%)[18.21% 18.69%]0.000 (0.00%)0.240
M≥2.80.2100.0002.0000.0000.0000.153 (15.33%)[15.11% 15.56%]0.000 (0.00%)0.190
M≥2.90.1670.0001.0000.0000.0000.127 (12.70%)[12.49% 12.91%]0.000 (0.00%)0.151
M≥30.1330.0001.0000.0000.0000.105 (10.46%)[10.28% 10.66%]0.000 (0.00%)0.120
M≥3.10.1060.0001.0000.0000.0000.086 (8.60%)[8.43% 8.77%]0.000 (0.00%)0.096
M≥3.20.0840.0001.0000.0000.0000.070 (7.00%)[6.84% 7.16%]0.000 (0.00%)0.076
M≥3.30.0660.0001.0000.0000.0000.056 (5.64%)[5.50% 5.78%]0.000 (0.00%)0.060
M≥3.40.0530.0001.0000.0000.0000.046 (4.56%)[4.43% 4.69%]0.000 (0.00%)0.047
M≥3.50.0420.0001.0000.0000.0000.037 (3.71%)[3.60% 3.83%]0.000 (0.00%)0.038
M≥3.60.0340.0001.0000.0000.0000.030 (2.99%)[2.88% 3.10%]0.000 (0.00%)0.030
M≥3.70.0270.0000.0000.0000.0000.024 (2.45%)[2.35% 2.54%]0.000 (0.00%)0.025
M≥3.80.0220.0000.0000.0000.0000.019 (1.94%)[1.86% 2.03%]0.000 (0.00%)0.019
M≥3.90.0170.0000.0000.0000.0000.016 (1.56%)[1.48% 1.64%]0.000 (0.00%)0.015
M≥40.0130.0000.0000.0000.0000.012 (1.24%)[1.17% 1.31%]0.000 (0.00%)0.012
M≥4.10.0110.0000.0000.0000.0009.79E-3 (0.98%)[0.92% 1.04%]0.000 (0.00%)9.50E-3
M≥4.28.49E-30.0000.0000.0000.0007.94E-3 (0.79%)[0.74% 0.85%]0.000 (0.00%)7.63E-3
M≥4.36.53E-30.0000.0000.0000.0006.19E-3 (0.62%)[0.57% 0.67%]0.000 (0.00%)5.89E-3
M≥4.45.35E-30.0000.0000.0000.0005.08E-3 (0.51%)[0.47% 0.55%]0.000 (0.00%)4.83E-3
M≥4.54.25E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.04E-3 (0.40%)[0.37% 0.45%]0.000 (0.00%)3.81E-3
M≥4.63.37E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.19E-3 (0.32%)[0.29% 0.36%]0.000 (0.00%)3.02E-3
M≥4.72.72E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.57E-3 (0.26%)[0.23% 0.29%]0.000 (0.00%)2.41E-3
M≥4.82.11E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.01E-3 (0.20%)[0.17% 0.23%]0.000 (0.00%)1.85E-3
M≥4.91.71E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.64E-3 (0.16%)[0.14% 0.19%]0.000 (0.00%)1.51E-3
M≥51.37E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.31E-3 (0.13%)[0.11% 0.16%]0.000 (0.00%)1.21E-3
M≥5.11.14E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.10E-3 (0.11%)[0.09% 0.13%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-3
M≥5.29.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0009.30E-4 (0.09%)[0.08% 0.11%]0.000 (0.00%)8.60E-4
M≥5.37.10E-40.0000.0000.0000.0006.90E-4 (0.07%)[0.05% 0.09%]0.000 (0.00%)6.40E-4
M≥5.45.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0005.70E-4 (0.06%)[0.04% 0.07%]0.000 (0.00%)5.20E-4
M≥5.54.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0004.60E-4 (0.05%)[0.03% 0.06%]0.000 (0.00%)4.20E-4
M≥5.63.80E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.80E-4 (0.04%)[0.03% 0.05%]0.000 (0.00%)3.40E-4
M≥5.72.80E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.80E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)2.50E-4
M≥5.81.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.70E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]0.000 (0.00%)1.50E-4
M≥5.91.20E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.20E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)1.10E-4
M≥61.10E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.10E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-4
M≥6.16.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0006.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)6.00E-5
M≥6.26.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0006.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)6.00E-5
M≥6.35.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0005.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)5.00E-5
M≥6.45.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0005.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)5.00E-5
M≥6.53.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0003.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)3.00E-5
M≥6.63.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0003.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)3.00E-5
M≥6.73.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0003.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)3.00E-5
M≥6.82.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥6.92.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

Hazard Change Over Time

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These plots show how the probability of ruptures of various magnitudes within the region used to fetch ComCat trigger ruptures changes over time

M≥5.0 Hazard Change Over Time

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Hazard ChangeGain
Forecast DurationUCERF3-ETAS [95% Conf]UCERF3-ETAS Triggered OnlyUCERF3-TDUCERF3-ETAS/TD GainUCERF3-TI
1 Hour1.28E-3 [1.07E-3 - 1.52E-3]1.27E-37.50E-6170.447.36E-6
1 Day3.24E-3 [2.91E-3 - 3.61E-3]3.06E-31.80E-418.011.77E-4
1 Week5.41E-3 [5.03E-3 - 5.84E-3]4.16E-31.26E-34.31.24E-3
1 Month0.010 [0.010 - 0.011]5.14E-35.38E-31.955.28E-3
1 Year0.070 [0.069 - 0.070]6.59E-30.0641.10.062
10 Years0.486 [0.485 - 0.486]7.78E-30.4821.010.475
30 Years0.862 [0.862 - 0.862] **0.8611 *0.856
100 Years0.999 [0.999 - 0.999] **0.9991 *0.998

* forecast duration is longer than simulation length, only ETAS ruptures from the first 10 years are included

M≥6.0 Hazard Change Over Time

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Hazard ChangeGain
Forecast DurationUCERF3-ETAS [95% Conf]UCERF3-ETAS Triggered OnlyUCERF3-TDUCERF3-ETAS/TD GainUCERF3-TI
1 Hour1.01E-4 [5.21E-5 - 1.92E-4]1.00E-41.30E-677.731.17E-6
1 Day3.11E-4 [2.21E-4 - 4.42E-4]2.80E-43.13E-59.952.80E-5
1 Week6.19E-4 [5.08E-4 - 7.69E-4]4.00E-42.19E-42.831.96E-4
1 Month1.42E-3 [1.30E-3 - 1.58E-3]4.80E-49.38E-41.518.41E-4
1 Year0.012 [0.012 - 0.012]6.10E-40.0111.050.010
10 Years0.109 [0.109 - 0.109]7.60E-40.1081.010.097
30 Years0.292 [0.292 - 0.292] **0.2911 *0.265
100 Years0.687 [0.687 - 0.687] **0.6861 *0.641

* forecast duration is longer than simulation length, only ETAS ruptures from the first 10 years are included

M≥7.0 Hazard Change Over Time

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Hazard ChangeGain
Forecast DurationUCERF3-ETAS [95% Conf]UCERF3-ETAS Triggered OnlyUCERF3-TDUCERF3-ETAS/TD GainUCERF3-TI
1 Hour2.32E-7 [2.32E-7 - 4.81E-5]0.0002.32E-712.06E-7
1 Day5.58E-6 [5.58E-6 - 5.35E-5]0.0005.58E-614.93E-6
1 Week7.90E-5 [5.19E-5 - 1.49E-4]4.00E-53.90E-52.023.45E-5
1 Month2.37E-4 [1.98E-4 - 3.18E-4]7.00E-51.67E-41.421.48E-4
1 Year2.14E-3 [2.09E-3 - 2.24E-3]1.10E-42.03E-31.051.80E-3
10 Years0.020 [0.020 - 0.020]1.50E-40.0201.010.018
30 Years0.060 [0.060 - 0.060] **0.0591 *0.053
100 Years0.187 [0.187 - 0.187] **0.1871 *0.165

* forecast duration is longer than simulation length, only ETAS ruptures from the first 10 years are included

Trigger Rupture Fault Map

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Map

Fault Distances To Triggers

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Section NameStrike, Dip, Rake# Hypos In PolyMax Mag w/ Hypo In Poly# Surfs In PolyMax Mag w/ Surf In PolyMin Dist To Any (km)Min Poly Dist To Any (km)Min Dist To Largest (km)Min Poly Dist To Largest (km)
Compton304, 20, 9034.034.00.3740.0008.5890.000
Newport-Inglewood alt 1319, 88, 18034.034.04.5410.0004.5410.000
San Pedro Escarpment308, 17, 9024.024.01.9210.00010.1220.000
Elysian Park (Lower CFM)303, 22, 90004.1352.21614.89011.593
Puente Hills290, 25, 90008.2981.51018.86412.254
Elysian Park (Upper)285, 50, 900013.7019.09823.35216.788
Palos Verdes320, 90, 1800014.1821.09114.1821.091
San Vicente277, 66, 900014.9348.45519.4788.622
Santa Monica Bay314, 20, 900016.17616.07816.36416.307
Redondo Canyon alt 181, 90, 900016.5317.85916.5317.931
Raymond258, 79, 600017.4816.85025.28216.704
Whittier alt 1292, 70, 1500017.68313.55830.70723.910
Anaheim315, 71, 900018.55918.00528.10523.232
Hollywood255, 70, 300018.9399.29622.82711.477
Santa Monica alt 1253, 75, 300019.9388.48620.0598.717

Individual Simulated Catalog Maps

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These are map plots of individual catalogs from the simulations, selected as the closest catalog to each of the given percentiles in terms of total number of events.

Durationp0.0 %-ilep25.0 %-ilep50.0 %-ilep75.0 %-ilep90.0 %-ilep95.0 %-ilep97.5 %-ilep98.0 %-ilep99.0 %-ilep99.5 %-ilep99.9 %-ilep99.999 %-ile
1 WeekMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMap
1 MonthMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMap
1 YearMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMap
10 YearMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMap

ComCat Data Comparisons

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These plots compare simulated sequences with data from ComCat. All plots only consider events with hypocenters inside the ComCat region defined in the JSON input file.

Last updated at 2021/10/02 04:33:15 UTC, 179.7 days after the simulation start time.

Total matching ComCat events found: 170

ComCat Magnitude-Number Distributions

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Incremental MNDCumulative MND
Incremental MNDCumi MND

ComCat Magnitude-Time Functions

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These plots show the show the magnitude versus time probability function since simulation start. Observed event data lie on top, with those input to the simulation plotted as magenta circles and those that occurred after the simulation start time as cyan circles. Time is relative to the mainshock (M4, ci39838928, plotted as a brown circle). Probabilities are only shown above the minimum simulated magnitude, M=2.5.

One Week
One Month
Full Mag/Time

ComCat Time-Dependent Mc

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The following plots compare simulation results with ComCat data above a magnitude threshold. Plots labeled as M≥Mc(t) use the time-dependent magnitude of completeness (Mc) defined in Helmstetter et al. (2006), which is plotted below. In the case of multiple M≥5 ruptures, either as input to the simulation or in the comparison data, the maximum calculated time-dependent Mc is used. This time-dependent Mc function is plotted below.

TD MC

ComCat Cumulative Number Vs Time

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M≥Mc(t)M≥2.5M≥3M≥3.5M≥4M≥4.5M≥5
MNDMNDMNDMNDMNDMNDMND

ComCat Cumulative Number Simulation Percentiles

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MND

ComCat Probability Spatial Distribution

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Note: maps labeled 'Forecast' are for a duration that extends into the future, only forecasted values are plotted (ComCat data omitted)

1 Day1 Week1 MonthCurrent (179.7 Day)Forecast: 1 Year
M≥Mc(t)MapMapMapMapMap
Prob: 44.38%, Actual: 0Prob: 51.97%, Actual: 0Prob: 56.37%, Actual: 1Prob: 60.63%, Actual: 8Prob: 62.01%
M≥2.5MapMapMapMapMap
Prob: 44.41%, Actual: 0Prob: 51.99%, Actual: 0Prob: 56.39%, Actual: 1Prob: 60.65%, Actual: 8Prob: 62.03%
M≥3MapMapMapMapMap
Prob: 20.80%, Actual: 0Prob: 25.96%, Actual: 0Prob: 29.18%, Actual: 0Prob: 32.53%, Actual: 3Prob: 33.65%
M≥3.5MapMapMapMapMap
Prob: 8.16%, Actual: 0Prob: 10.59%, Actual: 0Prob: 12.22%, Actual: 0Prob: 13.98%, Actual: 1Prob: 14.65%
M≥4MapMapMapMapMap
Prob: 2.88%, Actual: 0Prob: 3.82%, Actual: 0Prob: 4.43%, Actual: 0Prob: 5.19%, Actual: 1Prob: 5.50%
M≥4.5MapMapMapMapMap
Prob: 0.94%, Actual: 0Prob: 1.28%, Actual: 0Prob: 1.53%, Actual: 0Prob: 1.83%, Actual: 0Prob: 1.95%
M≥5MapMapMapMapMap
Prob: 0.31%, Actual: 0Prob: 0.42%, Actual: 0Prob: 0.51%, Actual: 0Prob: 0.61%, Actual: 0Prob: 0.66%

ComCat Mean Expectation Spatial Distribution

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Note: maps labeled 'Forecast' are for a duration that extends into the future, only forecasted values are plotted (ComCat data omitted)

1 Day1 Week1 MonthCurrent (179.7 Day)Forecast: 1 Year
M≥Mc(t)MapMapMapMapMap
Mean: 1.132, Actual: 0Mean: 1.700, Actual: 0Mean: 2.216, Actual: 1Mean: 2.974, Actual: 8Mean: 3.306
M≥2.5MapMapMapMapMap
Mean: 1.133, Actual: 0Mean: 1.701, Actual: 0Mean: 2.217, Actual: 1Mean: 2.975, Actual: 8Mean: 3.307
M≥3MapMapMapMapMap
Mean: 0.361, Actual: 0Mean: 0.540, Actual: 0Mean: 0.704, Actual: 0Mean: 0.945, Actual: 3Mean: 1.051
M≥3.5MapMapMapMapMap
Mean: 0.114, Actual: 0Mean: 0.170, Actual: 0Mean: 0.222, Actual: 0Mean: 0.297, Actual: 1Mean: 0.331
M≥4MapMapMapMapMap
Mean: 0.037, Actual: 0Mean: 0.054, Actual: 0Mean: 0.070, Actual: 0Mean: 0.094, Actual: 1Mean: 0.105
M≥4.5MapMapMapMapMap
Mean: 0.011, Actual: 0Mean: 0.017, Actual: 0Mean: 0.022, Actual: 0Mean: 0.029, Actual: 0Mean: 0.033
M≥5MapMapMapMapMap
Mean: 3.55E-3, Actual: 0Mean: 5.18E-3, Actual: 0Mean: 6.97E-3, Actual: 0Mean: 9.13E-3, Actual: 0Mean: 0.010

ComCat Depth Distribution

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M≥Mc(t)M≥2.5M≥3M≥3.5M≥4M≥4.5M≥5
Depth DistributionDepth DistributionDepth DistributionDepth DistributionDepth DistributionDepth DistributionDepth Distribution

Gridded Nucleation

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Min MagTriggered Ruptures (no spontaneous)Triggered Ruptures (primary aftershocks only)
M≥2.5Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥5Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥6Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥7Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot

JSON Input File

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{
  "numSimulations": 100000,
  "duration": 10.0,
  "startTimeMillis": 1617623042950,
  "includeSpontaneous": false,
  "randomSeed": 1617986962364,
  "binaryOutput": true,
  "binaryOutputFilters": [
    {
      "prefix": "results_complete",
      "descendantsOnly": false
    },
    {
      "prefix": "results_m5_preserve_chain",
      "minMag": 5.0,
      "preserveChainBelowMag": true,
      "descendantsOnly": false
    }
  ],
  "forceRecalc": false,
  "simulationName": "ComCat M4.0 (ci39838928), Point Sources, kCOV\u003d1.5, MaxPtSrcM\u003d6, No Faults",
  "numRetries": 3,
  "outputDir": "${ETAS_SIM_DIR}/2021_04_09-ComCatM4p0_ci39838928_PointSources_kCOV1p5_MaxPtSrcM6_NoFaults",
  "treatTriggerCatalogAsSpontaneous": false,
  "triggerRuptures": [
    {
      "occurrenceTimeMillis": 1617281572740,
      "comcatEventID": "ci39597271",
      "mag": 2.95,
      "latitude": 33.9841667,
      "longitude": -118.2136667,
      "depth": 13.49
    },
    {
      "occurrenceTimeMillis": 1617621337460,
      "comcatEventID": "ci39838888",
      "mag": 3.03,
      "latitude": 33.9421667,
      "longitude": -118.33483330000001,
      "depth": 19.76
    },
    {
      "occurrenceTimeMillis": 1617623041950,
      "comcatEventID": "ci39838928",
      "mag": 4.0,
      "latitude": 33.9405,
      "longitude": -118.3333333,
      "depth": 19.34
    }
  ],
  "cacheDir": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/cache_fm3p1_ba",
  "fssFile": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/2013_05_10-ucerf3p3-production-10runs_COMPOUND_SOL_FM3_1_SpatSeisU3_MEAN_BRANCH_AVG_SOL.zip",
  "probModel": "POISSON",
  "applySubSeisForSupraNucl": true,
  "totRateScaleFactor": 1.0,
  "gridSeisCorr": true,
  "timeIndependentERF": false,
  "griddedOnly": true,
  "imposeGR": false,
  "includeIndirectTriggering": true,
  "gridSeisDiscr": 0.1,
  "catalogCompletenessModel": "RELAXED",
  "etas_k_cov": 1.5,
  "maxPointSourceMag": 6.0,
  "configCommand": "u3etas_comcat_event_config_builder.sh --event-id ci39838928 --radius 25 --num-simulations 100000 --days-before 7 --gridded-only --max-point-src-mag 6 --etas-k-cov 1.5 --finite-surf-shakemap --finite-surf-shakemap-min-mag 4.5 --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 32 --hours 24",
  "configTime": 1617986962364,
  "comcatMetadata": {
    "region": {
      "centerLatitude": 33.9405,
      "centerLongitude": -118.3333333,
      "radius": 25.0
    },
    "eventID": "ci39838928",
    "minDepth": -10.0,
    "maxDepth": 38.68,
    "minMag": 2.5,
    "startTime": 1617018241950,
    "endTime": 1617623041950
  }
}