Start 2012, 500 yr, kCOV=1.5, MaxPtSrcM=6, No Faults, Scale Factor 1.19, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog, RedoLarger Results

Start 2012, 500 yr, kCOV=1.5, MaxPtSrcM=6, No Faults, Scale Factor 1.19, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog, RedoLarger
Num Simulations5000
Start Time2012/01/01 00:00:00 UTC
Start Time Epoch Milliseconds1325376000000
Duration500 Years
Includes Spontaneous?true
Trigger Ruptures(none)
Trigger Ruptures60366 Trigger Ruptures
First: M7.3 at 1852/01/05 04:40:39 UTC
Last: M3.2 at 2011/12/31 19:14:44 UTC
Largest: M7.9 at 1857/01/09 16:25:39 UTC
Config Generated Withu3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2012 --num-simulations 5000 --duration-years 500 --gridded-only --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --etas-k-cov 1.5 --max-point-src-mag 6 --scale-factor 1.19 --name-add RedoLarger --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 36 --hours 24 --queue scec

Table Of Contents

Magnitude Frequency Distribution

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Magnitude Frequency Distribution, Including Spontaneous

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Note: This section includes both spontaneous and triggered events

Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianModeLong-Term Fault System Solution500 yr Probability500 yr Prob 95% Conf500 yr Supra-Seis Prob
M≥58.5695.64414.9327.9487.0188.2611.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥5.16.8064.47211.8866.3105.9746.5611.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥5.25.4053.5629.4465.0144.5525.2101.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥5.34.2922.8107.4923.9863.6744.1371.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥5.43.4092.2225.9703.1642.6223.2851.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥5.52.7071.7604.7402.5122.1862.6081.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥5.62.1501.3903.7742.0001.7482.0701.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥5.71.7071.0983.0121.5881.3901.6431.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥5.81.3550.8642.3961.2601.1781.3031.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥5.91.0750.6781.8961.0020.9181.0201.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥60.8540.5341.5120.7940.6800.8281.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥6.10.6770.4181.2040.6300.5440.6561.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥6.20.5370.3280.9580.5000.4560.5271.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥6.30.4260.2560.7680.3980.3600.4191.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥6.40.3370.1980.6100.3140.2920.3321.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥6.50.2670.1520.4880.2480.2140.2601.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥6.60.2110.1180.3900.1960.1820.2051.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥6.70.1670.0900.3120.1560.1280.1601.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥6.80.1320.0680.2460.1220.1100.1271.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥6.90.1040.0520.1960.0960.0860.1001.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥70.0810.0380.1580.0760.0660.0781.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥7.10.0640.0280.1240.0600.0520.0601.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥7.20.0500.0200.1000.0460.0380.0451.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥7.30.0390.0140.0800.0360.0300.0351.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥7.40.0300.0100.0640.0280.0260.0271.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥7.50.0236.00E-30.0480.0200.0180.0191.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥7.60.0174.00E-30.0380.0160.0140.0140.998 (99.76%)[99.57% 99.87%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥7.70.0132.00E-30.0300.0120.0109.58E-30.991 (99.14%)[98.83% 99.37%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥7.89.28E-30.0000.0248.00E-36.00E-36.19E-30.974 (97.42%)[96.93% 97.83%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥7.96.50E-30.0000.0186.00E-34.00E-33.51E-30.927 (92.70%)[91.94% 93.40%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥84.27E-30.0000.0124.00E-32.00E-32.03E-30.836 (83.60%)[82.54% 84.61%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.12.52E-30.0008.00E-32.00E-32.00E-31.02E-30.677 (67.74%)[66.42% 69.03%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.21.12E-30.0006.00E-30.0000.0004.48E-40.417 (41.66%)[40.29% 43.04%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0001.02E-40.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)

Magnitude Frequency Distribution, Including Spontaneous, Triggered Events

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Note: This section only includes triggered events, spontaneous were calculated but filtered out here

Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianModeLong-Term Fault System Solution500 yr Probability500 yr Prob 95% Conf500 yr Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥50.4270.1441.6720.2840.2228.2611.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.092
M≥5.10.3390.1121.3320.2260.1866.5611.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.073
M≥5.20.2700.0861.0660.1800.1465.2101.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.058
M≥5.30.2140.0660.8460.1420.0964.1371.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.046
M≥5.40.1700.0500.6820.1140.1003.2851.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.037
M≥5.50.1350.0380.5400.0900.0722.6081.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.029
M≥5.60.1070.0300.4320.0720.0622.0701.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.023
M≥5.70.0850.0220.3460.0560.0501.6431.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.018
M≥5.80.0670.0160.2760.0440.0321.3031.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.015
M≥5.90.0530.0120.2260.0360.0221.0201.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.012
M≥60.0428.00E-30.1800.0280.0200.8281.000 (100.00%)[99.90% 100.00%]0.000 (0.00%)9.25E-3
M≥6.10.0346.00E-30.1460.0220.0160.6561.000 (99.96%)[99.84% 99.99%]0.000 (0.00%)7.35E-3
M≥6.20.0274.00E-30.1160.0180.0100.5270.997 (99.68%)[99.47% 99.81%]0.000 (0.00%)5.80E-3
M≥6.30.0212.00E-30.0940.0148.00E-30.4190.991 (99.12%)[98.81% 99.35%]0.000 (0.00%)4.59E-3
M≥6.40.0172.00E-30.0740.0106.00E-30.3320.977 (97.72%)[97.26% 98.11%]0.000 (0.00%)3.61E-3
M≥6.50.0130.0000.0628.00E-36.00E-30.2600.957 (95.74%)[95.13% 96.27%]0.000 (0.00%)2.87E-3
M≥6.60.0110.0000.0506.00E-34.00E-30.2050.920 (91.98%)[91.18% 92.71%]0.000 (0.00%)2.27E-3
M≥6.78.37E-30.0000.0406.00E-32.00E-30.1600.869 (86.92%)[85.95% 87.84%]0.000 (0.00%)1.79E-3
M≥6.86.56E-30.0000.0324.00E-32.00E-30.1270.813 (81.28%)[80.16% 82.35%]0.000 (0.00%)1.40E-3
M≥6.95.22E-30.0000.0262.00E-30.0000.1000.746 (74.64%)[73.41% 75.84%]0.000 (0.00%)1.10E-3
M≥74.10E-30.0000.0222.00E-30.0000.0780.671 (67.06%)[65.73% 68.36%]0.000 (0.00%)8.66E-4
M≥7.13.21E-30.0000.0182.00E-30.0000.0600.591 (59.12%)[57.74% 60.49%]0.000 (0.00%)6.79E-4
M≥7.22.49E-30.0000.0142.00E-30.0000.0450.516 (51.60%)[50.20% 52.99%]0.000 (0.00%)5.30E-4
M≥7.31.93E-30.0000.0120.0000.0000.0350.441 (44.10%)[42.72% 45.49%]0.000 (0.00%)4.12E-4
M≥7.41.48E-30.0000.0100.0000.0000.0270.374 (37.42%)[36.08% 38.78%]0.000 (0.00%)3.17E-4
M≥7.51.13E-30.0008.00E-30.0000.0000.0190.311 (31.12%)[29.84% 32.43%]0.000 (0.00%)2.36E-4
M≥7.68.59E-40.0006.00E-30.0000.0000.0140.257 (25.74%)[24.54% 26.98%]0.000 (0.00%)1.82E-4
M≥7.76.30E-40.0004.00E-30.0000.0009.58E-30.203 (20.34%)[19.24% 21.49%]0.000 (0.00%)1.29E-4
M≥7.84.62E-40.0004.00E-30.0000.0006.19E-30.161 (16.12%)[15.12% 17.18%]0.000 (0.00%)9.20E-5
M≥7.93.26E-40.0002.00E-30.0000.0003.51E-30.123 (12.32%)[11.43% 13.27%]0.000 (0.00%)7.08E-5
M≥82.17E-40.0002.00E-30.0000.0002.03E-30.087 (8.72%)[7.96% 9.54%]0.000 (0.00%)4.64E-5
M≥8.11.33E-40.0002.00E-30.0000.0001.02E-30.056 (5.64%)[5.02% 6.32%]0.000 (0.00%)2.76E-5
M≥8.25.48E-50.0000.0000.0000.0004.48E-40.025 (2.48%)[2.07% 2.96%]0.000 (0.00%)1.24E-5
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0001.02E-40.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

Long Term Rate Variability

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162 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.08.564947.53086425.83333353.85975465.02469165.88888910.91975318.209877
5.16.8022875.98148164.59259273.0716253.97530874.67901238.69135814.481482
5.25.40250444.75308663.83333332.44434743.12962963.70987656.901234611.5
5.34.2901613.77777773.06172851.94583212.46296292.93827155.49382739.12963
5.43.4076513.02.46913581.55043731.93827162.32716064.36419777.2530866
5.52.70576452.3827162.12345671.23748461.53086421.83950613.46913585.7901235
5.62.14912961.89506171.59876540.98711691.19753091.45679012.75925924.611111
5.71.70613961.50617291.30246910.78912910.93827161.14814822.19753073.6666667
5.81.35456791.19753091.12345680.63011010.728395040.90740741.75308642.919753
5.91.07482960.95061730.83333330.503464040.567901250.71604941.39506172.3271606
6.00.85307120.753086450.709876540.40368140.444444450.56172841.11111121.8703704
6.10.676751850.598765430.53086420.324265780.345679010.43827160.882716061.4876543
6.20.53679920.475308660.40740740.260900170.26543210.345679010.70370371.191358
6.30.42541440.376543220.32716050.209746520.20370370.271604930.56172840.9506173
6.40.336867060.29629630.26543210.169096450.154320990.209876540.450617280.7654321
6.50.266609460.23456790.216049390.136832330.111111110.160493820.35802470.6111111
6.60.210919750.185185180.154320990.11064420.0864197540.123456790.290123460.48765433
6.70.166713580.148148150.111111110.090243780.0617283960.098765430.228395060.3888889
6.80.131497110.117283950.098765430.0738132750.0432098770.0740740750.185185180.3148148
6.90.103436220.092592590.0740740750.0603553020.0308641980.0555555560.148148150.25308642
7.00.081239510.0740740750.0617283960.0495361350.0246913580.0432098770.117283950.2037037
7.10.0636255150.0555555560.0432098770.040561620.0123456790.0308641980.092592590.16666667
7.20.0496251020.0432098770.0308641980.0333323370.00617283960.0246913580.0740740750.12962963
7.30.0384831280.0308641980.0246913580.0273913130.00617283960.0123456790.0617283960.10493827
7.40.0295909460.0246913580.0185185190.022402890.00.0123456790.0493827160.086419754
7.50.0226395060.0185185190.0123456790.0184025620.00.00617283960.0370370370.06790123
7.60.0171201640.0123456790.00617283960.015086520.00.00617283960.0308641980.055555556
7.70.0127197530.0123456790.00617283960.0122220050.00.00.0246913580.043209877
7.80.0092786010.00617283960.00617283960.0099285990.00.00.0185185190.037037037
7.90.00650041130.00617283960.00.0078161830.00.00.0123456790.024691358
8.00.00426666670.00.00.0060025140.00.00.00617283960.018518519
8.10.00251604940.00.00.00438573860.00.00.00617283960.012345679
8.20.00111851850.00.00.0027658630.00.00.00.0061728396
8.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

80 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.08.5653957.25.76254.94401454.65.52511.02521.0875
5.16.8025835.71254.78753.93502833.6254.3758.77516.7375
5.25.40272144.53753.6753.13248922.853.46256.962513.3125
5.34.290293.61252.952.4949492.23752.73755.5510.6125
5.43.40776822.8752.3751.98894121.752.16254.41258.425
5.52.70590262.2751.83751.58865231.36251.71253.5256.7125
5.62.1492491.81251.551.26874651.06251.352.85.3375
5.71.70630541.43751.2251.01522650.8251.06252.23754.2375
5.81.35475171.150.96250.811309930.63750.83751.7753.375
5.91.07495880.91250.78750.64909890.48750.651.4252.7
6.00.853207950.7250.550.521227660.3750.51251.13752.15
6.10.676793750.5750.46250.419071760.28750.40.91251.7125
6.20.53684460.450.36250.337951240.21250.31250.7251.375
6.30.425440.36250.2750.272406040.16250.23750.58751.1
6.40.33689210.28750.2250.22011030.11250.18750.46250.8875
6.50.26663750.2250.18750.178567050.08750.13750.3750.7125
6.60.210941260.1750.150.144892470.06250.10.30.575
6.70.166731670.13750.10.118390240.03750.0750.23750.45
6.80.13150250.11250.0750.0970187860.0250.06250.20.375
6.90.103451670.08750.06250.079717030.01250.03750.16250.3
7.00.081256250.06250.050.0657789860.01250.0250.1250.2375
7.10.063639580.050.03750.0540978870.00.0250.10.2
7.20.0496391650.03750.0250.0446921770.00.01250.08750.1625
7.30.0384995830.0250.01250.0368645560.00.01250.06250.125
7.40.0295904170.0250.01250.0303111640.00.00.050.1
7.50.0226358320.01250.01250.0250171670.00.00.03750.0875
7.60.017116250.01250.00.020662910.00.00.03750.075
7.70.01271750.01250.00.0168143850.00.00.0250.05
7.80.0092766670.00.00.0137187420.00.00.0250.05
7.90.006501250.00.00.0108598740.00.00.01250.0375
8.00.00426833330.00.00.0083951920.00.00.01250.025
8.10.00251666670.00.00.00615001140.00.00.01250.025
8.20.00111958340.00.00.003929280.00.00.00.0125
8.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

28 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.08.5618196.6785715.8214297.259794.04.96428611.07142825.035715
5.16.79977275.3214294.4285715.78066443.1071433.92857158.82142819.928572
5.25.4005714.2142863.254.6020492.42857153.07142857.015.857142
5.34.28860863.3571432.67857153.6674711.85714282.42857155.60714312.607142
5.43.40645342.67857152.17857152.92558071.42857151.89285724.46428610.071428
5.52.70484832.1071431.67857152.33835171.10714281.53.57142858.035714
5.62.14838241.67857151.39285721.86849160.82142861.17857152.8571436.392857
5.71.7056261.35714281.14285721.49707590.642857130.892857132.28571445.107143
5.81.35416011.07142850.892857131.1978990.46428570.714285731.82142854.107143
5.91.0744870.857142870.642857130.959984540.357142870.535714271.46428573.2857144
6.00.852806750.67857140.535714270.77146080.250.428571431.17857152.642857
6.10.676467660.535714270.392857130.62178530.178571430.321428570.964285732.107143
6.20.536547060.428571430.321428570.503198560.107142860.250.751.6785715
6.30.425234470.321428570.250.406498130.0714285750.178571430.607142871.3571428
6.40.33669790.250.178571430.33006380.0357142870.142857150.51.1071428
6.50.26649580.214285720.142857150.268450170.0357142870.107142860.392857130.89285713
6.60.210810080.142857150.107142860.219396580.00.0714285750.321428570.71428573
6.70.166633190.107142860.0714285750.180223930.00.0357142870.250.60714287
6.80.13143360.107142860.0714285750.148596550.00.0357142870.214285720.5
6.90.103400420.0714285750.0357142870.122824010.00.0357142870.178571430.39285713
7.00.0812155460.0714285750.0357142870.1019987760.00.00.142857150.32142857
7.10.063596220.0357142870.00.084535750.00.00.107142860.2857143
7.20.0496075640.0357142870.00.070243840.00.00.107142860.21428572
7.30.038470590.0357142870.00.0583514160.00.00.0714285750.17857143
7.40.0295680670.00.00.0482199040.00.00.0714285750.14285715
7.50.0226121840.00.00.0400882960.00.00.0357142870.14285715
7.60.017097060.00.00.0333506730.00.00.0357142870.10714286
7.70.012698320.00.00.0273763950.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.80.0092558820.00.00.022344520.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.90.0064882350.00.00.017850690.00.00.00.071428575
8.00.00425630250.00.00.0138704030.00.00.00.035714287
8.10.0025126050.00.00.0102879390.00.00.00.035714287
8.20.00111890760.00.00.00657349450.00.00.00.035714287
8.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Variability Duration Dependence

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Duration Dependence Plot

Download CSV Here

Duration (years)MeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
1.08.5688795.04.023.6432671.03.011.033.0
4.08.5688795.754.514.5053582.53.7510.531.75
8.08.5673676.1255.011.4218513.1254.2510.7529.875
12.08.5664946.255.259.8128563.41666674.510.83333328.416666
16.08.5673676.43755.1258.8789623.6254.687510.937527.125
20.08.5688796.55.38.1874423.84.7511.026.35
24.08.5653956.58333355.57.6657573.91666674.87511.025.625
28.08.5618196.6785715.8214297.259794.04.96428611.07142825.035715
32.08.5653956.755.6256.87335824.06255.0312511.062524.5625
36.08.5624476.77777775.72222236.63016464.1388895.083333511.08333324.027779
40.08.5653956.855.356.37657834.25.12511.12523.6
44.08.5656766.88636355.6590916.14504244.27272755.204545511.13636423.363636
48.08.5653956.93755.72916655.97783144.31255.2511.08333323.020834
52.08.5624476.96153835.7307695.7870944.36538465.288461711.11538522.711538
56.08.5638497.0178575.5714295.65179974.4107145.32142911.10714222.375
60.08.5653957.055.75.52844244.455.3511.06666722.133333
64.08.5638497.093755.8755.36488344.468755.39062511.07812521.859375
68.08.5618197.1029416.1029415.2344624.55.426470811.04411821.67647
72.08.5564947.1256.1111115.15203954.55555535.458333511.06944521.222221
76.08.5632987.1447376.07894755.05099154.57894755.48684211.07894721.289474
80.08.5653957.25.76254.94401454.65.52511.02521.0875
84.08.55678757.2142866.1071434.8512984.6428575.54761911.02380920.666666
88.08.5626337.256.52272754.78681374.6590915.56818211.01136420.488636
92.08.5627987.2717396.4021744.72688344.6956525.59782611.04347820.467392
96.08.5653957.281256.32291654.6355794.72916655.62511.01041720.520834
100.08.5688797.316.534.604334.765.6410.9820.04
200.08.555537.6256.453.49825845.1556.0110.8717.63
300.08.5433387.70666656.70333343.04685435.436.273333510.63666616.42
400.08.555537.84756.712.75915985.5556.41510.5315.5375
500.08.5688797.9487.0182.5634155.6446.52610.4514.932

Simulation Stationarity

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Stationarity Plot

Moment Rate Plot

Gridded Nucleation

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Min MagComplete Catalog (including spontaneous)Ratio WRT Long-Term ModelTriggered Ruptures (no spontaneous)Triggered Ruptures (primary aftershocks only)
M≥5Nucleation PlotNucleation PlotNucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥6Nucleation PlotNucleation PlotNucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥7Nucleation PlotNucleation PlotNucleation PlotNucleation Plot

JSON Input File

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{
  "numSimulations": 5000,
  "duration": 500.0,
  "startYear": 2012,
  "includeSpontaneous": true,
  "randomSeed": 1615935393903,
  "binaryOutput": true,
  "binaryOutputFilters": [
    {
      "prefix": "results_complete",
      "descendantsOnly": false
    },
    {
      "prefix": "results_m5_preserve_chain",
      "minMag": 5.0,
      "preserveChainBelowMag": true,
      "descendantsOnly": false
    },
    {
      "prefix": "results_triggered_descendants",
      "descendantsOnly": true
    }
  ],
  "forceRecalc": false,
  "simulationName": "Start 2012, 500 yr, kCOV\u003d1.5, MaxPtSrcM\u003d6, No Faults, Scale Factor 1.19, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog, RedoLarger",
  "numRetries": 3,
  "outputDir": "${ETAS_SIM_DIR}/2021_03_16-Start2012_500yr_kCOV1p5_MaxPtSrcM6_NoFaults_ScaleFactor1p19_Spontaneous_HistoricalCatalog",
  "triggerCatalog": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog.txt",
  "triggerCatalogSurfaceMappings": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog_finite_fault_mappings.xml",
  "treatTriggerCatalogAsSpontaneous": false,
  "cacheDir": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/cache_fm3p1_ba",
  "fssFile": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/2013_05_10-ucerf3p3-production-10runs_COMPOUND_SOL_FM3_1_SpatSeisU3_MEAN_BRANCH_AVG_SOL.zip",
  "probModel": "POISSON",
  "applySubSeisForSupraNucl": true,
  "totRateScaleFactor": 1.19,
  "gridSeisCorr": true,
  "timeIndependentERF": false,
  "griddedOnly": true,
  "imposeGR": false,
  "includeIndirectTriggering": true,
  "gridSeisDiscr": 0.1,
  "catalogCompletenessModel": "RELAXED",
  "etas_k_cov": 1.5,
  "maxPointSourceMag": 6.0,
  "configCommand": "u3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2012 --num-simulations 5000 --duration-years 500 --gridded-only --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --etas-k-cov 1.5 --max-point-src-mag 6 --scale-factor 1.19 --name-add RedoLarger --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 36 --hours 24 --queue scec",
  "configTime": 1615935393903
}