Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.044055413760.041930.0442.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.05623449226.387510.0560.00251630880.00302073360.0837760627.7336790.0810.024880060.0298636160.137548764.60589740.111
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.01602054767.51060.0167.626778E-58.945448E-50.021087576235.735280.0219.281647E-40.00108860240.03305376730.3634910.0320.0092429750.0108366420.0593056465.4726960.049
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.01602054767.51060.0167.626778E-58.945448E-50.021087576235.735280.0219.281647E-40.00108860240.03305376730.3634910.0320.0092429750.0108366420.0593056465.4726960.049
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.011015587698.973940.0115.792405E-56.7539746E-50.01606646237.881530.0167.049971E-48.2200987E-40.02480228230.172730.0240.0070276470.0081921570.0419136255.1163110.034
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.01101248872.75160.0114.658551E-55.4076605E-50.01405332259.8780.0145.67031E-46.582015E-40.01764701126.8109570.0170.0056558630.0065643820.0304068364.63209440.024
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.007009132762.178340.0073.4134522E-53.941168E-50.009039057229.34970.0094.1550855E-44.797421E-40.01147446523.9179860.0110.00414732470.0047882090.0197163864.11769530.015
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.0030075896395.091980.0032.8421264E-53.262412E-50.0040324936123.604670.0043.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.006394752316.10220.0060.00345435790.00396525160.0129295643.26071740.009
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-60.00200542369.263850.0022.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.003023205129.891070.0032.500958E-42.833398E-40.004282206315.1133260.0040.00249814520.00283031890.0088133373.11390230.006
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-60.0020049594403.467160.0021.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.003021233141.86220.0032.286638E-42.5926388E-40.004258226616.4242970.0040.00228428650.00259012330.0085745833.3104920.006
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-60.0010030705326.351840.0011.1698237E-51.3172453E-50.0020131462152.830020.0021.4241673E-41.6036403E-40.002160043213.46962450.0020.0014232550.00160248080.0045976732.86909720.003
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-62.126971E-61.00.08.137413E-69.115562E-60.0010091064110.701510.0019.90685E-51.1097702E-40.001110866110.0098750.0019.902435E-40.00110928460.00210817531.90048190.001
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-61.6641525E-61.00.06.398121E-67.132066E-67.132066E-61.00.07.789434E-58.6830034E-58.6830034E-51.00.07.786704E-48.6801895E-48.6801895E-41.00.0
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-61.1828765E-61.00.04.581772E-65.0694644E-65.0694644E-61.00.05.5781646E-56.171951E-56.171951E-51.00.05.576765E-46.1707594E-46.1707594E-41.00.0
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-79.770151E-71.00.03.7613736E-64.187204E-64.187204E-61.00.04.579376E-55.0978535E-55.0978535E-51.00.04.5784327E-45.097194E-45.097194E-41.00.0
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-78.5103835E-71.00.03.2388E-63.6473052E-63.6473052E-61.00.03.9431678E-54.4405555E-54.4405555E-51.00.03.942468E-44.4401767E-44.4401767E-41.00.0
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-76.305732E-71.00.02.3947114E-62.7024564E-62.7024564E-61.00.02.915522E-53.2902408E-53.2902408E-51.00.02.9151395E-43.2902407E-43.2902407E-41.00.0

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.059066102840.827330.0592.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.07827754260.03520.0780.00287260950.0036589060.11325642530.953630.110.0283575910.0361366570.165294354.57414630.134
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.059066102840.827330.0592.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.07827754260.03520.0780.00287260950.0036589060.11325642530.953630.110.0283575910.0361366570.165294354.57414630.134
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.04304944833.293460.0431.806837E-42.213891E-40.058208548262.92420.0580.00219760460.0026921120.0784875129.1546230.0760.0217599890.0267013180.11332494.24416880.089
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.04304944833.293460.0431.806837E-42.213891E-40.058208548262.92420.0580.00219760460.0026921120.0784875129.1546230.0760.0217599890.0267013180.11332494.24416880.089
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.036042523817.100650.0361.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.047180146249.590240.0470.00192139370.00229904130.062161127.0378340.060.0190486550.0228660980.093219744.0767660.072
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.031038778775.61220.0311.453629E-41.7149639E-40.041164465240.03110.0410.00176835650.00208599070.0539775225.8762020.0520.0175435080.0207587830.082450983.971860.063
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.031038249786.32430.0311.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.041162223243.336870.0410.00175023420.00205756720.05395057426.2205660.0520.0173651330.0204800420.081210283.96533750.062
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.030036947788.59860.031.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.038157027233.764390.0380.00169856170.00198551780.0508882325.62970.0490.0168563720.0197708740.077604393.92518780.059
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.029036429773.97010.0291.3793244E-41.60774E-40.037154824231.099730.0370.00167803370.00195568750.04986181525.49580.0480.0166541920.0194778780.075367643.8693970.057
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.02703573736.25210.0271.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.035151858223.377470.0350.00165032020.001914260.04782620424.9841750.0460.016381180.0190715180.073022583.82888150.055
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.025034735702.71150.0251.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.033147637217.11430.0330.00161124280.00185723820.0447773824.1096570.0430.0159961040.0185134930.069550793.75676230.052
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.022033636640.65840.0221.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.030142965204.5160.030.00156779590.00179297870.0417212623.2692430.040.015567810.017880990.06502273.63641520.048
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.018030718576.403560.0181.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.02413084180.00510.0240.00145771880.00163093450.03258037619.9765070.0310.0144819370.0162843520.0536655453.29552840.038
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.014026341525.043950.0141.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.018112425158.206180.0180.00127857830.0013929930.02635816918.9219670.0250.0127124690.013928610.0444968233.1946350.031
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.012024897477.19420.0129.95342E-51.0799204E-40.016106265149.143070.0160.00121115510.00131402440.02428380218.4804780.0230.0120457530.0131461960.0417649563.17696140.029
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.0090222815401.286220.0098.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.012095198125.52880.0120.00109399650.001172490.0171537314.6301720.0160.0108862640.01174065750.03249412.76765630.021
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.003015943188.602890.0036.476642E-56.8530964E-50.00406825759.3637730.0047.882459E-48.34053E-40.00682904858.1877880.0060.0078545580.0083838670.0163167961.94621360.008
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.001010667994.644910.0014.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.001045718622.8500940.0015.182138E-45.570383E-40.00155648122.79420880.0010.005170070.0056274190.0076161641.35340270.002
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-60.0010084199119.6459050.0012.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.00103608528.683660.0013.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.0014392463.27335210.0010.00351914060.0044464160.00643752331.44780040.002
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-60.0010053656187.182240.0011.7037546E-52.3018596E-50.001022995644.4421350.0012.0741238E-42.8021546E-40.00127993524.56768230.0010.0020721890.00283356690.00383073321.35191210.001
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-62.0775192E-61.00.07.169782E-68.903624E-68.903624E-61.00.08.7288594E-51.0839626E-41.0839626E-41.00.08.7254314E-40.0010968540.0010968541.00.0
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.1489736E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3495595E-61.3495595E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.643078E-51.643078E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.662928E-41.662928E-41.00.0

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0420298951346.86520.0421.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.053126644397.260.0530.00148206770.00162711250.0665213540.8830680.0650.0147222230.0161653980.0909368255.62539960.076
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0420298951346.86520.0421.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.053126644397.260.0530.00148206770.00162711250.0665213540.8830680.0650.0147222230.0161653980.0909368255.62539960.076
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0420298951346.86520.0421.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.053126644397.260.0530.00148206770.00162711250.0665213540.8830680.0650.0147222230.0161653980.0909368255.62539960.076
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0310155821928.66380.0316.379586E-56.8918554E-50.03906623566.84630.0397.7643775E-48.387886E-40.04779936456.9861870.0470.0077373050.0083590450.0619076567.4060680.054
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0310155821928.66380.0316.379586E-56.8918554E-50.03906623566.84630.0397.7643775E-48.387886E-40.04779936456.9861870.0470.0077373050.0083590450.0619076567.4060680.054
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.028013382035.03390.0285.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.03505693594.2450.0356.675408E-47.1804173E-40.04268788559.450420.0420.0066553920.0071597670.053823267.51745940.047
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.0250100332430.74680.0254.1407468E-54.40952E-50.032042686726.67060.0325.040193E-45.36743E-40.03751688569.8972850.0370.0050287770.00535607150.0471311178.7995680.042
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.0210080282562.05420.0213.329045E-53.5141096E-50.028034158797.759950.0284.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.03341365678.1107940.0330.0040449770.0042708430.042108559.859540.038
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.0150066342227.9120.0152.752908E-52.8867207E-50.021028262728.448060.0213.35115E-43.5141438E-40.0243429869.271440.0240.0033461010.00350984720.0314115738.9495550.028
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.00700309032250.22390.0071.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.011013191825.710630.0111.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.01216042974.889850.0120.00163100950.00162273720.0156000199.6133990.014
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.0030022221347.08750.0039.816834E-69.551441E-60.0050095036524.476260.0051.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.00611558652.591980.0060.00119449140.00116232990.0081541947.01538660.007
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.00200117541699.2560.0025.5443866E-65.047183E-60.003005032595.387940.0036.750081E-56.1448416E-50.00306126449.8184360.0036.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.0046119257.50659940.004
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-73.091732E-71.00.02.0210737E-61.3250274E-61.3250274E-61.00.02.4606294E-51.6132095E-51.6132095E-51.00.02.460357E-41.6130977E-41.6130977E-41.00.0
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-72.3096938E-71.00.01.6898966E-69.898685E-79.898685E-71.00.02.0574296E-51.2051582E-51.2051582E-51.00.02.0572392E-41.2050936E-41.2050936E-41.00.0
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-71.9678579E-71.00.01.5201948E-68.433674E-78.433674E-71.00.01.8508214E-51.02679505E-51.02679505E-51.00.01.8506673E-41.0267482E-41.0267482E-41.00.0
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-71.4422719E-71.00.01.129468E-66.1811636E-76.1811636E-71.00.01.3751187E-57.525541E-67.525541E-61.00.01.3750336E-47.5252916E-57.5252916E-51.00.0
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-87.572344E-81.00.05.4424834E-73.24529E-73.24529E-71.00.06.6262032E-63.9511337E-63.9511337E-61.00.06.626006E-53.9510673E-53.9510673E-51.00.0

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.033012672519.4440.0335.3086325E-55.615534E-50.042053796748.883360.0426.461343E-46.8350515E-40.05164864775.5643840.0510.00644258880.00681683930.0624350989.1589510.056
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.033012672519.4440.0335.3086325E-55.615534E-50.042053796748.883360.0426.461343E-46.8350515E-40.05164864775.5643840.0510.00644258880.00681683930.0624350989.1589510.056
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.033012672519.4440.0335.3086325E-55.615534E-50.042053796748.883360.0426.461343E-46.8350515E-40.05164864775.5643840.0510.00644258880.00681683930.0624350989.1589510.056
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.033012672519.4440.0335.3086325E-55.615534E-50.042053796748.883360.0426.461343E-46.8350515E-40.05164864775.5643840.0510.00644258880.00681683930.0624350989.1589510.056
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.033012672519.4440.0335.3086325E-55.615534E-50.042053796748.883360.0426.461343E-46.8350515E-40.05164864775.5643840.0510.00644258880.00681683930.0624350989.1589510.056
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0310071564198.70950.0312.996648E-53.1649324E-50.0390304141233.21470.0393.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.04736716122.946050.0470.0036418260.00384653660.05465036314.2076810.051
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0310071564198.70950.0312.996648E-53.1649324E-50.0390304141233.21470.0393.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.04736716122.946050.0470.0036418260.00384653660.05465036314.2076810.051
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.027005634667.3540.0272.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.0350239281412.41350.0352.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.04228919140.091550.0420.00285389270.0030149660.04787929415.8805420.045
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.0190041384504.32470.0191.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.025017631383.5890.0252.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.029213741132.714260.0290.00208238930.00219934180.03313116415.0641260.031
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.0120030863843.41720.0121.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.0170131571271.12460.0171.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.019159848117.585230.0190.0015417070.00162847120.02259427313.8745310.021
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.00300153621948.02230.0036.2402937E-66.603469E-60.0050065704758.17280.0057.597293E-58.039528E-50.00607991375.625250.0067.594696E-48.0376083E-40.00779813439.7020590.007
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-70.00200073932700.4270.0022.997936E-63.1752747E-60.0030031658945.79710.0033.649926E-53.865897E-50.00303854378.5986560.0033.6493264E-43.865897E-40.004385043411.3428870.004

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.01706523257.166530.0172.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02327782581.859160.0230.00262228120.0034575470.0313607349.0702270.0280.025915530.0341412950.071809782.10331180.039
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.01706523257.166530.0172.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02327782581.859160.0230.00262228120.0034575470.0313607349.0702270.0280.025915530.0341412950.071809782.10331180.039
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.013030577420.60560.0131.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.01713051129.025860.0170.00125807660.00161542520.02058473212.7426090.0190.0125097810.0160707550.0426368452.65307040.027
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.012022087537.76760.0127.471279E-59.580685E-50.01509437157.550.0159.0924866E-40.0011659620.0181461415.5632360.0170.0090553730.01162914650.0353500473.03978010.024
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.012022087537.76760.0127.471279E-59.580685E-50.01509437157.550.0159.0924866E-40.0011659620.0181461415.5632360.0170.0090553730.01162914650.0353500473.03978010.024
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.0120191965618.61270.0126.506727E-58.3266525E-50.0150820175181.129430.0157.919061E-40.00101343440.01799620717.7576430.0170.00789090.0101186780.032885953.25002430.023
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.0100084621170.92030.012.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.013036155355.87050.0133.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.01543921734.6243930.0150.00350399320.00446801870.0213920624.78781840.017
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.0100083951180.24070.012.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.01303587358.697720.0133.4864116E-44.423823E-40.01543574734.8923230.0150.0034809470.00443293250.0213575724.8179330.017
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.0100082431201.98540.012.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.01303522365.293580.0133.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.01542785935.517410.0150.00342617280.00435310560.0212791024.8882580.017
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.010007921251.0540.012.727151E-53.428354E-50.013033838380.17770.0133.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.01541106836.9279750.0150.00331484550.00418306470.0211119525.0470060.017
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.0100075561311.30040.012.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.013032282398.452420.0133.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.01539217138.6598630.0150.00319565440.0039917390.0209238795.24179550.017
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.0100070711401.09680.012.504087E-53.060958E-50.013030211425.690640.0133.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.01536702541.2412070.0150.00304412140.00373715950.0206736275.53190950.017
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.0070053211307.3340.0072.045011E-52.2964727E-50.008022781349.352330.0082.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.00827732729.6080150.0080.00248672930.00280862120.0117833444.19541930.009
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.00400269961476.81680.0041.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.004011569345.355680.0041.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.004140847429.2819670.0040.00158991990.00142310890.00541741633.80674770.004
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-60.002002301868.464970.0021.1684469E-59.880949E-60.0020098612203.407710.0021.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.002120053417.6239320.0020.00142158110.00121105780.00320863562.64944890.002
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-60.0020021612924.57150.0021.1181565E-59.2806895E-60.002009262216.499220.0021.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.002112760718.699210.0020.0013604370.00113781260.0031355372.75575850.002
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-61.8726826E-61.00.09.860858E-68.025758E-68.025758E-61.00.01.20049335E-49.770931E-59.770931E-51.00.00.0011998459.848307E-49.848307E-41.00.0
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-61.341808E-61.00.07.3646997E-65.750593E-65.750593E-61.00.08.966153E-57.0011265E-57.0011265E-51.00.08.962536E-47.0769014E-47.0769014E-41.00.0
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-78.4054994E-71.00.03.6262625E-63.602352E-63.602352E-61.00.04.4148852E-54.3857777E-54.3857777E-51.00.04.414008E-44.4386165E-44.4386165E-41.00.0
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-73.7681625E-71.00.01.1643157E-61.6149258E-61.6149258E-61.00.01.4175452E-51.9661555E-51.9661555E-51.00.01.4174548E-41.9829652E-41.9829652E-41.00.0
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-83.3853325E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4508568E-71.4508568E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.7664173E-61.7664173E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.7869768E-51.7869768E-51.00.0

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.008062402128.168270.0081.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01526552356.629850.0150.00235014970.0032774820.0281955458.6028070.0250.0232545040.032353770.0613831581.8972490.03
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.008062402128.168270.0081.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01526552356.629850.0150.00235014970.0032774820.0281955458.6028070.0250.0232545040.032353770.0613831581.8972490.03
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.0060343044174.848650.0061.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01214612482.124670.0120.00139088840.00179921140.01976682610.9863830.0180.013822150.0178727880.0394795872.20892140.022
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.0060343044174.848650.0061.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01214612482.124670.0120.00139088840.00179921140.01976682610.9863830.0180.013822150.0178727880.0394795872.20892140.022
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.0060321465186.520070.0061.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.012136931587.571330.0120.00131992370.00168611520.01965576611.6574270.0180.0131211120.0167722870.0384032952.28968760.022
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.0060321465186.520070.0061.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.012136931587.571330.0120.00131992370.00168611520.01965576611.6574270.0180.0131211120.0167722870.0384032952.28968760.022
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.006027966214.253850.0069.627742E-51.2057181E-40.012119125100.5137560.0120.00117154720.00146699690.01844205712.57130050.0170.0116539010.0146131690.0353062942.416060.021
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.0060276375216.786940.0069.531594E-51.1915654E-40.012117727101.695860.0120.00115985380.00144978890.01842514212.7088450.0170.0115381870.0144428290.035139532.43300870.021
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.0060237558252.050860.0068.369167E-51.0242024E-40.012101191118.152340.0120.00101846980.00124627280.01822508714.6236730.0170.0101381470.0124367230.0331755542.66754770.021
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.0060151075395.761540.0065.7078556E-56.51362E-50.0120643545185.217360.0126.9470983E-47.927504E-40.01777927422.4273280.0170.00692542040.0079407210.0277819063.49866320.02
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.006013029458.741850.0065.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.011055556196.807480.0116.134799E-46.8371464E-40.01667277524.3855760.0160.00611789060.0068574010.025727113.7517290.019
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.0060108374551.313350.0064.3133965E-54.67253E-50.009046305193.606140.0095.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.01456077325.602010.0140.0052379070.00571334730.022616223.95848870.017
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.0060104355572.49720.0064.186565E-54.499337E-50.009044589201.020480.0095.095951E-45.4766005E-40.01354054124.7243540.0130.00508428040.0055035840.020421033.71049670.015
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.0060098846604.35650.0064.004731E-54.2617627E-50.008042277188.707760.0084.8746695E-45.187495E-40.01251252524.1205520.0120.00486399050.0052152690.0191422553.67042520.014
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.0060094334633.209050.0063.867153E-54.0672705E-50.008040347197.684110.0084.7072413E-44.95081E-40.0124891425.2264580.0120.0046972830.00497872660.0189090243.7979640.014
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.0030070662424.283450.0033.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.004030253132.686630.0043.6942272E-43.697441E-40.005367895614.5178660.0050.0036880920.00372447450.0097021272.60496540.006
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.002005947336.628020.0022.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.00202548779.312430.0023.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.003309949310.6469640.0030.00318637070.00313591260.0061265051.95365930.003
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-60.0010047524211.210420.0012.055903E-52.0387479E-50.001020367150.0487140.0012.5027743E-42.481894E-40.00124794135.02818060.0010.00249995760.00250940650.00350689731.39750060.001
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-60.0010039744252.357930.0011.4583726E-51.7050066E-50.00101703359.64980.0011.775424E-42.0756487E-40.00120735735.8167710.0010.00177400620.00210121410.00309911281.47491540.001
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-60.0010033691297.520570.0011.1112129E-51.4453217E-50.001014438870.187750.0011.3528178E-41.7595377E-40.00117577796.6823110.0010.00135199450.00178124260.00277946141.56040590.001
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-61.6734741E-61.00.05.8901214E-67.1720124E-67.1720124E-61.00.07.1709874E-58.731578E-58.731578E-51.00.07.1686733E-48.837377E-48.837377E-41.00.0
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.1489736E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3495595E-61.3495595E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.643078E-51.643078E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.662928E-41.662928E-41.00.0

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.01103361324.668240.0111.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016143309110.844780.0160.00157519230.00177174060.0247309913.9585840.0230.0156407360.0175830030.0460730982.620320.029
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.01103361324.668240.0111.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016143309110.844780.0160.00157519230.00177174060.0247309913.9585840.0230.0156407360.0175830030.0460730982.620320.029
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.01103361324.668240.0111.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016143309110.844780.0160.00157519230.00177174060.0247309913.9585840.0230.0156407360.0175830030.0460730982.620320.029
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.01103175343.642030.0111.2245393E-41.375748E-40.0141356485102.748820.0140.0014898570.00167371410.0216402412.9294720.020.014799080.0166180380.042185972.5385650.026
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.01103175343.642030.0111.2245393E-41.375748E-40.0141356485102.748820.0140.0014898570.00167371410.0216402412.9294720.020.014799080.0166180380.042185972.5385650.026
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.011030489357.805880.0111.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.0141302645106.955040.0140.00143227450.00160732920.02157518313.4230010.020.0142307820.0159638820.0415488222.60267640.026
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.009028989308.660680.0091.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.01112398188.735950.0110.00136282570.00152522190.01849929212.1289190.0170.0135449820.0151543430.0368209482.4297290.022
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.009027095330.16640.0091.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.01111588294.869060.0110.00127750840.00142564590.0184014112.907420.0170.0127018930.0141715930.0358598162.53040150.022
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.008024736321.821350.0089.532935E-51.0686163E-40.01010579394.5689540.010.00116001690.00130028570.01628078112.5209260.0150.0115398020.0129329550.0326742982.5264370.02
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.007022134315.03260.0078.529431E-59.552596E-50.00909466795.206230.0090.00103796350.00116242650.01414731512.1705030.0130.0103312880.0115690210.0283723472.45244150.017
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.0060204426292.736940.0067.865712E-58.813734E-50.00808743291.759430.0089.5722964E-40.00107256160.01305969112.1761680.0120.0095311680.010679390.02551922.38957450.015
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.0060196538304.446750.0067.571623E-58.4736355E-50.00808405995.402480.0089.2145515E-40.00103119450.0130188212.6249910.0120.0091764370.01026959250.025115552.44562270.015
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.005018067276.355070.0057.020495E-57.781795E-50.007077273490.946530.0078.544101E-49.470391E-40.01093756911.5492260.010.0085113250.0094352690.0223126112.3648090.013
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.0040159025251.519420.0046.222919E-56.842646E-50.00606801688.679380.0067.57377E-48.327899E-40.00982529511.7980470.0090.00754800950.0083003990.0202007952.43371340.012
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.004014089283.77170.0045.5080065E-56.06222E-50.006060258599.967640.0066.7039346E-47.378411E-40.009731200513.1887470.0090.00668374640.0073574290.019269142.61900450.012
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.0040127854312.598480.0044.987555E-55.5014076E-50.006054684110.056990.0066.070656E-46.696062E-40.0096635814.4317350.0090.0060540990.00667938450.018599232.78457280.012
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.0010033298301.02340.0011.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.0020142558141.009750.0021.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.003173385718.2475620.0030.00156768350.00173979730.0057328383.29511830.004

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.00405435174.297610.0041.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00623244426.6517870.0060.0023507310.00284354620.01181795454.1560620.0090.0232601950.0280926250.040727421.4497550.013
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.00405435174.297610.0041.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00623244426.6517870.0060.0023507310.00284354620.01181795454.1560620.0090.0232601950.0280926250.040727421.4497550.013
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.004046874685.988980.0041.6868966E-42.016826E-40.006200472430.7437150.0060.0020518620.00245285340.0114307784.66019630.0090.0203301960.0242741870.0369586241.52254830.013
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.004046874685.988980.0041.6868966E-42.016826E-40.006200472430.7437150.0060.0020518620.00245285340.0114307784.66019630.0090.0203301960.0242741870.0369586241.52254830.013
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.0040377993106.394740.0041.384713E-41.6263791E-40.006161662337.8857650.0060.00168458430.0019783870.0109605825.54016070.0090.0167187140.0196171180.0323620961.64968660.013
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.0040377993106.394740.0041.384713E-41.6263791E-40.006161662337.8857650.0060.00168458430.0019783870.0109605825.54016070.0090.0167187140.0196171180.0323620961.64968660.013
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.004034045118.0167850.0041.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.00614560741.9534760.0060.00152799090.00178207270.0107660346.04129930.0090.0151752720.0176863240.0304564011.72203120.013
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.004032215124.665190.0041.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.0061377844.280410.0060.00145091420.00168635060.0106711736.32796860.0090.0144147760.0167438180.0295261481.76340590.013
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.0040267594149.87870.0041.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.00611444853.1051180.0060.001219720.0014009580.0103883497.41517540.0090.012130470.0139280670.025760931.84956970.012
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.004023476170.702470.0048.867737E-51.0101105E-40.00610040560.3934440.0060.00107911230.00122915190.0102180898.3131230.0090.0107388710.0122291580.0240824071.96926140.012
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.004019555204.728130.0047.483646E-58.414151E-50.006083636572.302440.0069.1075303E-40.00102396410.0100147489.7803710.0090.0090702950.0101966880.0220743272.16485290.012
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.004016376244.277970.0046.3460066E-57.046316E-50.0060700486.144880.0067.723524E-48.575678E-40.0098498511.4857970.0090.0076967350.0085461680.0204436152.39213820.012
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.0040156357255.798830.0046.077022E-56.727727E-50.006066873790.177170.0067.396263E-48.1880915E-40.0098114411.9825730.0090.00737169430.0081614690.0200635332.45832350.012
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.0040151114264.636930.0045.8843252E-56.502197E-50.00606463293.27050.0067.161811E-47.9137104E-40.00978424912.36366750.0090.0071387740.0078890580.019794392.50909420.012
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.004014053284.495880.0045.489925E-56.0467344E-50.0060601044100.2211150.0066.681934E-47.3595706E-40.00972933313.21997450.0090.0066618780.00733868960.0192506262.62316940.012
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.0040127495313.47810.0044.9694736E-55.485922E-50.00605453110.364850.0066.0486543E-46.67722E-40.00966171314.4696630.0090.0060322170.0066606320.0185807052.7896310.012
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.0010033218301.733920.0011.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.0020142223141.341320.0021.564034E-41.7349655E-40.00317297618.288410.0030.00156293370.00173569550.0057287533.30055170.004

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.0020184647109.0965960.0027.439883E-57.9290556E-50.00207913226.2216850.0029.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.0069591947.21172240.0060.0090174910.00961277450.0195166472.03028250.01
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-60.0010095827105.250440.0013.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001041067625.324690.0014.727685E-45.003936E-40.00349889256.99228050.0030.00471763960.0049935520.0109635912.19554950.006
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-60.0010095827105.250440.0013.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001041067625.324690.0014.727685E-45.003936E-40.00349889256.99228050.0030.00471763960.0049935520.0109635912.19554950.006
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-67.66771E-61.00.03.110341E-53.2861237E-53.2861237E-51.00.03.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00139961933.49887970.0010.00377973750.00399369650.00698171561.74818370.003
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-67.66771E-61.00.03.110341E-53.2861237E-53.2861237E-51.00.03.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00139961933.49887970.0010.00377973750.00399369650.00698171561.74818370.003
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-66.4038773E-61.00.02.5996113E-52.7444936E-52.7444936E-51.00.03.164567E-43.3409733E-43.3409733E-41.00.00.00316006430.00333658930.00433325261.29870720.001
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-65.910262E-61.00.02.3994397E-52.5329486E-52.5329486E-51.00.02.9209262E-43.0834923E-43.0834923E-41.00.00.00291708970.0030798430.0040767631.32369180.001
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-65.539162E-61.00.02.2486933E-52.3739085E-52.3739085E-51.00.02.73744E-42.8899137E-42.8899137E-41.00.00.00273407040.00288677960.0038838931.34540680.001
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-64.2469046E-61.00.01.7242342E-51.8200926E-51.8200926E-51.00.02.099053E-42.2157968E-42.2157968E-41.00.00.00209707140.0022141720.00321195791.45063610.001
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-77.1399285E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.0599674E-63.0599674E-61.00.03.56685E-53.7254784E-53.7254784E-51.00.03.5662777E-43.7251666E-43.7251666E-41.00.0

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.003032996691.6428150.0031.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.00514112336.2478750.0050.00160107140.00172557840.0097117745.62812660.0080.0158958510.0171356330.0289300051.68829510.012
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.003032996691.6428150.0031.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.00514112336.2478750.0050.00160107140.00172557840.0097117745.62812660.0080.0158958510.0171356330.0289300051.68829510.012
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.00201252160.422520.0025.017523E-55.3763757E-50.003053602556.7966730.0036.107122E-46.5438676E-40.006650460410.16288950.0060.0060903660.00652556960.013479892.06570340.007
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.00201252160.422520.0025.017523E-55.3763757E-50.003053602556.7966730.0036.107122E-46.5438676E-40.006650460410.16288950.0060.0060903660.00652556960.013479892.06570340.007
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-60.002008463236.844330.0023.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.003036233883.544310.0034.136527E-44.423877E-40.00544017612.2973030.0050.00412883560.00441547580.0103889832.35285690.006
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-60.0010062797160.082920.0012.521352E-52.6939697E-50.001026912738.1189420.0013.0693135E-43.27944E-40.0023272887.09660240.0020.00306507780.00327485380.00626502931.91307140.003
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-60.0010062797160.082920.0012.521352E-52.6939697E-50.001026912738.1189420.0013.0693135E-43.27944E-40.0023272887.09660240.0020.00306507780.00327485380.00626502931.91307140.003
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-60.0010032782305.74080.0011.3163528E-51.4063357E-50.001014049372.1057740.0011.6025416E-41.7120909E-40.002170866612.6796230.0020.00160138650.00171088640.00470575362.7504770.003
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-60.0010024264412.732820.0019.738084E-61.0408908E-50.001010398597.070560.0011.1855473E-41.26722E-40.002126468616.7805790.0020.0011849150.00126658760.00426278783.36556890.003
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-60.0010010643939.65860.0014.265307E-64.5657757E-60.0010045612220.019840.0015.1928873E-55.5587418E-50.001055531818.9886820.0015.191674E-45.557858E-40.00255467424.5965090.002
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-75.0755597E-71.00.02.0308057E-62.1752398E-62.1752398E-61.00.02.4724779E-52.6483543E-52.6483543E-51.00.02.4722028E-42.6483546E-42.6483546E-41.00.0

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-53.0376103E-51.00.01.1448149E-41.3017791E-41.3017791E-41.00.00.0013929210.00158396010.0035807922.2606580.0020.0138422220.0157462020.025588741.62507380.01
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-53.0376103E-51.00.01.1448149E-41.3017791E-41.3017791E-41.00.00.0013929210.00158396010.0035807922.2606580.0020.0138422220.0157462020.025588741.62507380.01
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-51.6096254E-51.00.06.0843064E-56.898268E-56.898268E-51.00.07.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00183879942.1899880.0010.0073804980.0083743640.0143241171.71047230.006
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-51.6096254E-51.00.06.0843064E-56.898268E-56.898268E-51.00.07.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00183879942.1899880.0010.0073804980.0083743640.0143241171.71047230.006
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-51.500847E-51.00.05.6737044E-56.432098E-56.432098E-51.00.06.9055456E-47.8292453E-47.8292453E-41.00.00.0068841260.0078112890.0127722321.63509930.005
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-51.500847E-51.00.05.6737044E-56.432098E-56.432098E-51.00.06.9055456E-47.8292453E-47.8292453E-41.00.00.0068841260.0078112890.0127722321.63509930.005
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-51.2855176E-51.00.04.8548856E-55.5092984E-55.5092984E-51.00.05.90922E-46.706464E-46.706464E-41.00.00.00589353130.00669561370.0116621361.74175750.005
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-69.824575E-61.00.03.707594E-54.2105148E-54.2105148E-51.00.04.5130608E-45.126002E-45.126002E-41.00.00.00450390620.00512305650.0091025641.7767840.004
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-61.1754802E-61.00.04.378012E-65.037763E-65.037763E-61.00.05.3300988E-56.133315E-56.133315E-51.00.05.3288206E-46.131735E-46.131735E-41.00.0
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-79.283496E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.9786355E-63.9786355E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.843888E-54.843888E-51.00.04.140076E-44.842902E-44.842902E-41.00.0
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-78.747428E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.7488926E-63.7488926E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.564188E-54.564188E-51.00.03.8804344E-44.563317E-44.563317E-41.00.0
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-77.711399E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3048816E-63.3048816E-61.00.03.376394E-54.023625E-54.023625E-51.00.03.375881E-44.022956E-44.022956E-41.00.0
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-77.588459E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.252193E-63.252193E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.959479E-53.959479E-51.00.03.3162883E-43.9588328E-43.9588328E-41.00.0
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-76.896648E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9557032E-62.9557032E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.598515E-53.598515E-51.00.03.0100282E-43.5979896E-43.5979896E-41.00.0
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-76.193583E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6543903E-62.6543903E-61.00.02.718283E-53.2316777E-53.2316777E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.2312635E-43.2312635E-41.00.0
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-75.3489487E-71.00.01.934122E-62.2924048E-62.2924048E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.7909726E-52.7909726E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.7906752E-42.7906752E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.002023148187.225540.0029.2335285E-59.940143E-50.003099103231.177650.0030.00112360230.00120962060.00720236265.9542330.0060.0111793810.0120383480.0219179651.82067870.01
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.002023148187.225540.0029.2335285E-59.940143E-50.003099103231.177650.0030.00112360230.00120962060.00720236265.9542330.0060.0111793810.0120383480.0219179651.82067870.01
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.002023148187.225540.0029.2335285E-59.940143E-50.003099103231.177650.0030.00112360230.00120962060.00720236265.9542330.0060.0111793810.0120383480.0219179651.82067870.01
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.001010736294.048790.0014.2965847E-54.605755E-50.001046011522.7109660.0015.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00255949844.5654810.0020.0052175450.00559336650.0085765861.53334960.003
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.001010736294.048790.0014.2965847E-54.605755E-50.001046011522.7109660.0015.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00255949844.5654810.0020.0052175450.00559336650.0085765861.53334960.003
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-67.456634E-61.00.02.9835655E-53.195666E-53.195666E-51.00.03.6318856E-43.8901155E-43.8901155E-41.00.00.00362595570.00388416020.0048802761.25645590.001
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-65.3466883E-61.00.02.1394015E-52.2914215E-52.2914215E-51.00.02.60441E-42.7895154E-42.7895154E-41.00.00.00260135970.00278667270.00278667271.00.0
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-63.924624E-61.00.01.5698786E-51.681974E-51.681974E-51.00.01.9111596E-42.0476682E-42.0476682E-41.00.00.00190951680.00204634460.00204634461.00.0
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-62.744925E-61.00.01.0971216E-51.1763939E-51.1763939E-51.00.01.3356637E-41.4322149E-41.4322149E-41.00.00.00133486130.00143177690.00143177691.00.0
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-61.8968707E-61.00.07.579223E-68.129446E-68.129446E-61.00.09.2273134E-59.8976E-59.8976E-51.00.09.223483E-49.8976E-49.8976E-41.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001025592740.0335730.0018.864371E-51.0978825E-40.00410934937.429770.0040.00107870290.00133586920.0083265186.2330340.0070.0107348170.0132799850.0221604651.66871170.009
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001025592740.0335730.0018.864371E-51.0978825E-40.00410934937.429770.0040.00107870290.00133586920.0083265186.2330340.0070.0107348170.0132799850.0221604651.66871170.009
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001025592740.0335730.0018.864371E-51.0978825E-40.00410934937.429770.0040.00107870290.00133586920.0083265186.2330340.0070.0107348170.0132799850.0221604651.66871170.009
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001025093340.8104550.0018.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.004107215438.1548580.0040.00105556260.0013098180.0083006496.3372540.0070.0105056280.0130225430.021905341.68210920.009
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001025093340.8104550.0018.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.004107215438.1548580.0040.00105556260.0013098180.0083006496.3372540.0070.0105056280.0130225430.021905341.68210920.009
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-50.001024782941.3091430.0018.55519E-51.0631427E-40.004105889238.62030.0040.00104109680.00129362440.0082845696.40415330.0070.0103623270.012862490.0217467271.6907090.009
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-50.001023288143.896350.0018.115732E-59.990252E-50.004099502741.035030.0049.876423E-40.00121564910.008207146.75124070.0070.0098326450.01209150350.020982681.73532430.009
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-50.001022889244.6440660.0017.980225E-59.8191085E-50.004097798441.7328950.0049.711593E-40.00119483540.0081864726.85154770.0070.0096692610.0118856250.0207786541.74821720.009
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-50.001021784346.857760.0017.641356E-59.3451374E-50.004093077543.7990070.0049.29938E-40.00113719070.0081292317.148520.0070.0092605610.011316090.0202142451.78632770.009
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-50.001015288866.341260.0015.6292425E-56.558709E-50.004065324661.9836160.0046.8514474E-47.982367E-40.00579424577.2588060.0050.0068303620.0079551580.0148994731.87293220.007
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-50.001013141177.020130.0014.9316975E-55.637412E-50.00305620554.212910.0036.002687E-46.861445E-40.00468346.82567550.0040.00598649870.00684149240.0128004441.87100160.006
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-50.001010854493.0352250.0014.1638916E-54.6564706E-50.001046518122.4744930.0015.068359E-45.667821E-40.00256564864.5266930.0020.00505681480.0056538340.0096312181.70348450.004
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-50.00101027698.215550.0013.9570554E-54.408348E-50.001044039423.6832330.0014.81665E-45.365884E-40.00153605192.86262580.0010.00480622330.00535335950.0073426531.37159720.002
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-60.0010097984102.954880.0013.7731446E-54.2034335E-50.001041992324.7890760.0014.592835E-45.1165203E-40.00151114042.95345330.0010.00458335460.0051051670.0070949571.38975990.002
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-60.0010096974104.015590.0013.7322676E-54.160154E-50.0010415625.0365720.0014.5430884E-45.0638523E-40.00150587892.9737810.0010.0045338120.00505273980.00704263431.39382480.002
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-60.0010095952105.113420.0013.6910955E-54.1162875E-50.001041121725.2927340.0014.492982E-45.01047E-40.00150054592.99482080.0010.0044839090.00499959850.00698959971.39803210.002
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-60.0010092746108.7121660.0013.5652476E-53.978763E-50.001039747826.132440.0014.3398244E-44.8431093E-40.00148382673.06378940.0010.00433135870.00483297840.00682331251.41182350.002
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-60.0010083368120.82880.0013.2021748E-53.5764548E-50.001035728728.9596520.0013.8979502E-44.353504E-40.0014349153.29600020.0010.003891120.00434538070.006336691.45825890.002
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Garlock (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.005025071199.429890.0051.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.006107335456.558060.0060.00131310020.00131390930.0083047126.3206130.0070.0130536830.0131417940.0220235181.6758380.009
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.005024973200.212280.0051.0747157E-41.075594E-40.00610691456.777130.0060.0013076810.00130875250.0082995916.3416050.0070.0130001260.0130908350.0219730181.67850390.009
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.005024855201.15580.0051.0690756E-41.070524E-40.0061064157.0413170.0060.00130082240.00130258720.0082934696.36692050.0070.0129323410.0130299060.0219126361.68171870.009
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.0050246753202.613780.0051.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.006105640457.449550.0060.00128975560.00129317360.0082841226.4060390.0070.0128229570.01293687150.021820441.68668590.009
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.0050230627216.711150.0059.958477E-59.933313E-50.00609873761.3968120.0060.00121177020.00120871260.00820025156.78428550.0070.0120518380.0121017310.0209928151.73469520.009
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.005022878218.452710.0059.742009E-59.8537625E-50.006097946361.884450.0060.00118544420.00119903810.0081906456.8310130.0070.0117914030.0120060350.020897981.7406230.009
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.0050216643230.635090.0059.136581E-59.3310395E-50.006092750565.295520.0060.0011118110.00113546430.0081275167.1578790.0070.0110626490.0113769520.0202745591.7820730.009
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.005020291246.176030.0058.446021E-58.739606E-50.006086871569.646980.0060.0010278180.00106352940.0080560857.57485870.0070.0102307710.01066468750.0195687061.83490660.009
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.005019801252.24150.0058.033094E-58.528626E-50.006084774671.3453140.0069.775903E-40.00103786720.0080306027.7376010.0070.0097330090.0104104950.01931681.85551230.009
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.0050188582264.803380.0057.5253614E-58.122527E-50.00608073874.862640.0069.158276E-49.884704E-40.0079815518.0746480.0070.00912062450.0099210730.0188317841.898160.009
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.005018125275.479460.0057.197421E-57.806611E-50.00607759877.851940.0068.759337E-49.5004175E-40.0079433928.3610970.0070.0087248910.0095399580.01845411.93440030.009
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.005017628283.21350.0057.0017246E-57.592681E-50.00607547180.017470.0068.521265E-49.2401815E-40.007917558.5686080.0070.0084886640.0092817210.0181981851.96064780.009
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.0050170794292.278660.0056.762685E-57.3563926E-50.006073122482.555720.0068.2304585E-48.952741E-40.0078890078.8118340.0070.0082000420.0089965590.017915591.99138250.009
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.0050165355301.864840.0056.45364E-57.122013E-50.006070792785.2398450.0067.854473E-48.667614E-40.0078606949.0690410.0070.007826770.0087132630.0176348442.02390810.009
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.005016372304.86410.0056.380382E-57.0517184E-50.00607009486.079640.0067.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.0078522029.1495140.0070.00773826750.0086281010.0175504482.03410320.009
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.005015966312.590030.0056.218123E-56.876877E-50.006068356388.2429050.0067.567935E-48.369394E-40.0078310819.3568080.0070.00754221340.0084164110.0173406622.06033950.009
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.0020140223143.34140.0025.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.002060094834.2122230.0026.6541E-47.328737E-40.0037306755.09047460.0030.0066342110.0073813740.0113518491.53790450.004
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.001011448988.256520.0014.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.001049065621.359470.0015.388092E-45.9780874E-40.0015972112.67177580.0010.00537504670.0060382860.0080262091.32921980.002
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-60.0010088907113.36440.0013.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.001038102227.2179760.0013.667837E-44.6425956E-40.00146379533.15296750.0010.0036617890.00469506670.00668567651.4239790.002
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-60.0010054599183.967820.0011.7402595E-52.3422985E-50.001023399543.692110.0012.11856E-42.8513762E-40.00128485254.50607820.0010.00211654140.0028841430.0038812591.34572340.001
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-62.0775192E-61.00.07.169782E-68.903624E-68.903624E-61.00.08.7288594E-51.0839626E-41.0839626E-41.00.08.7254314E-40.0010968540.0010968541.00.0
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.1489736E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3495595E-61.3495595E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.643078E-51.643078E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.662928E-41.662928E-41.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.001011068691.2548750.0014.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.001047435822.0590550.0016.024253E-45.779681E-40.00357623426.1875980.0030.0060079480.0057659180.0117313232.03459740.006
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.001011068691.2548750.0014.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.001047435822.0590550.0016.024253E-45.779681E-40.00357623426.1875980.0030.0060079480.0057659180.0117313232.03459740.006
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.001011068691.2548750.0014.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.001047435822.0590550.0016.024253E-45.779681E-40.00357623426.1875980.0030.0060079480.0057659180.0117313232.03459740.006
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.001011068691.2548750.0014.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.001047435822.0590550.0016.024253E-45.779681E-40.00357623426.1875980.0030.0060079480.0057659180.0117313232.03459740.006
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.001011068691.2548750.0014.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.001047435822.0590550.0016.024253E-45.779681E-40.00357623426.1875980.0030.0060079480.0057659180.0117313232.03459740.006
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.001011068691.2548750.0014.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.001047435822.0590550.0016.024253E-45.779681E-40.00357623426.1875980.0030.0060079480.0057659180.0117313232.03459740.006
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0010069286145.182540.0013.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.00102969434.6421930.0013.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00236110536.52547550.0020.0039510.00361268870.0075982382.10320850.004
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0010069286145.182540.0013.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.00102969434.6421930.0013.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00236110536.52547550.0020.0039510.00361268870.0075982382.10320850.004
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-60.0010051741194.072980.0012.5297022E-52.2197082E-50.001022174846.0499650.0013.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.00226967678.3994550.0020.00307521320.0026990020.0046936041.73901460.002
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-64.2523943E-61.00.02.1479358E-51.8224424E-51.8224424E-51.00.02.614798E-42.2186051E-40.00122163865.50633670.0010.00261172350.00221646270.00321424611.45016930.001
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-63.7138868E-61.00.01.925334E-51.5916565E-51.5916565E-51.00.02.3438422E-41.9376757E-40.00119357386.15982250.0010.00234137170.00193604910.00293411311.51551580.001
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-63.1119469E-61.00.01.6764936E-51.333685E-51.333685E-51.00.02.0409399E-41.6236462E-40.00116220227.1579770.0010.00203906630.00162251610.00262089351.61532680.001
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-62.6054236E-61.00.01.4657411E-51.11660565E-51.11660565E-51.00.01.7843937E-41.3593875E-41.3593875E-41.00.00.00178296150.00135860580.00135860581.00.0
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-61.8283897E-61.00.01.13972155E-57.8359335E-67.8359335E-61.00.01.3875226E-49.539862E-59.539862E-51.00.00.00138665659.536055E-49.536055E-41.00.0
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-61.4364078E-61.00.09.676246E-66.1560204E-66.1560204E-61.00.01.1780193E-47.4947224E-57.4947224E-51.00.00.0011773957.4924453E-47.4924453E-41.00.0
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-77.353661E-71.00.06.3827797E-63.1515651E-63.1515651E-61.00.07.770758E-53.8369635E-53.8369635E-51.00.07.7680405E-43.8363054E-43.8363054E-41.00.0
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-74.65941E-71.00.04.577273E-61.9968884E-61.9968884E-61.00.05.5726876E-52.4311848E-52.4311848E-51.00.05.5712904E-42.4309216E-42.4309216E-41.00.0
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.5578539E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.676515E-76.676515E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.128628E-68.128628E-61.00.02.8741814E-48.128342E-58.128342E-51.00.0

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.001031433132.7807240.0011.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.00213457315.8301020.0020.00159955990.001640690.0056341273.43399860.0040.0158809520.0163073370.0222094931.36193250.006
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.001031433132.7807240.0011.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.00213457315.8301020.0020.00159955990.001640690.0056341273.43399860.0040.0158809520.0163073370.0222094931.36193250.006
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-51.36352E-51.00.06.490707E-55.843533E-55.843533E-51.00.07.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00171051862.40501520.0010.0078715480.0070907370.0090765551.28005810.002
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-51.36352E-51.00.06.490707E-55.843533E-55.843533E-51.00.07.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00171051862.40501520.0010.0078715480.0070907370.0090765551.28005810.002
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-51.0689684E-51.00.05.37097E-54.581216E-54.581216E-51.00.06.537194E-45.5762613E-40.00155706862.79231620.0010.00651799650.0055628590.00755173341.35752740.002
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-69.083657E-61.00.04.7545094E-53.89294E-53.89294E-51.00.05.787078E-44.7386638E-40.00147339253.10929940.0010.00577203040.0047289670.0067195091.42092540.002
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-67.531688E-61.00.04.1520743E-53.227828E-53.227828E-51.00.05.053978E-43.9291973E-43.9291973E-41.00.00.00504249940.00392250670.00491858461.2539390.001
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-66.749406E-61.00.03.8462964E-52.8925719E-52.8925719E-51.00.04.6818596E-43.5211592E-43.5211592E-41.00.00.0046720080.0035158010.00451228531.28343020.001
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-65.1161865E-61.00.03.20482E-52.1926337E-52.1926337E-51.00.03.9011694E-42.6692182E-42.6692182E-41.00.00.00389432810.00266615050.00266615051.00.0
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-63.907489E-61.00.02.7175134E-51.674628E-51.674628E-51.00.03.3080703E-42.0386786E-42.0386786E-41.00.00.00330315020.00203690650.00203690651.00.0
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-62.6058492E-61.00.02.195953E-51.1167879E-51.1167879E-51.00.02.6732447E-41.359607E-41.359607E-41.00.00.00267003130.00135880050.00135880051.00.0
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-62.0984692E-61.00.01.9023713E-58.99341E-68.99341E-61.00.02.315891E-41.0948948E-41.0948948E-41.00.00.0023134790.00109437740.00109437741.00.0
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-61.2615715E-61.00.01.5015643E-55.406724E-65.406724E-61.00.01.8280011E-46.5824956E-56.5824956E-51.00.00.00182649826.580628E-46.580628E-41.00.0
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-77.118686E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.050862E-63.050862E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.7143633E-53.7143633E-51.00.00.00133573493.7137623E-43.7137623E-41.00.0
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-75.304471E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2733427E-62.2733427E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.76776E-52.76776E-51.00.00.00106225472.767421E-42.767421E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-51.0192255E-51.00.04.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.001043636723.8925510.0015.1713863E-45.316897E-40.0045295638.5191850.0040.00515936830.0053052040.0112733732.1249650.006
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-51.0192255E-51.00.04.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.001043636723.8925510.0015.1713863E-45.316897E-40.0045295638.5191850.0040.00515936830.0053052040.0112733732.1249650.006
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-64.696313E-61.00.01.954117E-52.0126909E-52.0126909E-51.00.02.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00124477395.0803190.0010.00237633290.00244761280.00444271741.81512270.002
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-64.696313E-61.00.01.954117E-52.0126909E-52.0126909E-51.00.02.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00124477395.0803190.0010.00237633290.00244761280.00444271741.81512270.002
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-63.5098972E-61.00.01.4582367E-51.5042335E-51.5042335E-51.00.01.7752586E-41.8312587E-41.8312587E-41.00.00.0017738410.00182983270.0028280031.5454980.001
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-62.927856E-61.00.01.2151207E-51.2547898E-51.2547898E-51.00.01.479309E-41.5276071E-41.5276071E-41.00.00.00147832460.00152663080.00252510421.65403720.001
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-62.3290677E-61.00.09.649328E-69.981683E-69.981683E-61.00.01.1747423E-41.2152085E-41.2152085E-41.00.00.00117412140.00121460580.0022133911.82231250.001
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-61.9591396E-61.00.08.105055E-68.39629E-68.39629E-61.00.09.867457E-51.0222061E-41.0222061E-41.00.09.863076E-40.00102179350.00202077161.97767140.001
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-61.5438305E-61.00.06.374905E-66.6164025E-66.6164025E-61.00.07.76117E-58.055224E-58.055224E-51.00.07.75846E-48.0528157E-48.0528157E-41.00.0
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-77.1399285E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.0599674E-63.0599674E-61.00.03.56685E-53.7254784E-53.7254784E-51.00.03.5662777E-43.7251666E-43.7251666E-41.00.0

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-54.0364317E-51.00.01.503772E-41.7297991E-41.7297991E-41.00.00.00182930470.00210425330.0031021491.47422790.0010.0181431940.0208692050.0257648581.23458740.005
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-54.0364317E-51.00.01.503772E-41.7297991E-41.7297991E-41.00.00.00182930470.00210425330.0031021491.47422790.0010.0181431940.0208692050.0257648581.23458740.005
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-52.1059794E-51.00.07.8935285E-59.025371E-59.025371E-51.00.09.606133E-40.00109838710.00209728861.90942590.0010.00956471450.0109396680.0148959091.36164180.004
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-52.1059794E-51.00.07.8935285E-59.025371E-59.025371E-51.00.09.606133E-40.00109838710.00209728861.90942590.0010.00956471450.0109396680.0148959091.36164180.004
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-51.9565212E-51.00.07.337798E-58.3848776E-58.3848776E-51.00.08.930107E-40.00102048130.00201946081.97892980.0010.0088943070.0101678710.01412721.38939610.004
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-51.6836972E-51.00.06.3191044E-57.215698E-57.215698E-51.00.07.6907943E-48.782507E-40.00187737242.13762710.0010.0076642320.0087569940.0127219671.45277770.004
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-51.3724089E-51.00.05.150401E-55.88167E-55.88167E-51.00.06.268809E-47.159466E-47.159466E-41.00.00.00625115450.00714509380.0101236591.41686860.003
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-51.1533517E-51.00.04.326618E-54.942891E-54.942891E-51.00.05.266384E-46.017178E-46.017178E-41.00.00.0052539210.00600941250.0089913841.49621690.003

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-50.001018651654.5600930.0017.160038E-58.001303E-50.00107993313.4969650.0018.71386E-49.737309E-40.00397080974.07793330.0030.008679770.0096954960.0146470191.51070330.005
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-50.001018651654.5600930.0017.160038E-58.001303E-50.00107993313.4969650.0018.71386E-49.737309E-40.00397080974.07793330.0030.008679770.0096954960.0146470191.51070330.005
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-50.001018651654.5600930.0017.160038E-58.001303E-50.00107993313.4969650.0018.71386E-49.737309E-40.00397080974.07793330.0030.008679770.0096954960.0146470191.51070330.005
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-50.001018651654.5600930.0017.160038E-58.001303E-50.00107993313.4969650.0018.71386E-49.737309E-40.00397080974.07793330.0030.008679770.0096954960.0146470191.51070330.005
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-50.001017320958.675070.0016.649377E-57.4304546E-50.001074230314.4571270.0018.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00390157574.3145250.0030.0080632020.0090067730.0139617391.55013780.005
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-50.001017320958.675070.0016.649377E-57.4304546E-50.001074230314.4571270.0018.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00390157574.3145250.0030.0080632020.0090067730.0139617391.55013780.005
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-50.001016792460.4904250.0016.4463384E-57.203723E-50.001071965214.880710.0017.8455906E-48.767063E-40.00387407634.41889860.0030.007817950.0087331320.0136894671.56753230.005
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-50.001016339662.138580.0016.271985E-57.009536E-50.001070025315.2652790.0017.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.00385052344.5136580.0030.0076072990.0084987150.0134562221.58332420.005
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-50.001015866263.9631730.0016.089497E-56.8064175E-50.001067996115.6910170.0017.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.00382588664.61856170.0030.0073867710.0082534560.0132121891.60080680.005
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-50.001015389265.91470.0015.9056227E-56.6018045E-50.00106595216.1463740.0017.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.00180267532.2435880.0010.00716451930.0080063320.0109823141.37170340.003
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-50.001015172966.839780.0015.8220405E-56.50905E-50.001065025516.3622250.0017.086029E-47.9219416E-40.0017914022.26131680.0010.0070634760.0078942930.0108706111.37702130.003
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-50.001014966467.74870.0015.742131E-56.420419E-50.0010641416.5743060.0016.9888023E-47.8141113E-40.00178062972.2787360.0010.00696686380.0077872240.0107638621.38224640.003
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-50.001014664969.1209260.0015.6254412E-56.291092E-50.00106284816.8944930.0016.846822E-47.6567667E-40.0017649112.30503440.0010.0068257650.007630970.0096157081.26008990.002
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-50.001014439470.185010.0015.5380664E-56.194336E-50.001061881417.1427780.0016.74051E-47.53905E-40.00175315112.3254270.0010.0067201010.0075140550.0094990261.26416790.002
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-50.001014269571.008520.0015.4722615E-56.1214756E-50.001061153617.334930.0016.660441E-47.4504025E-40.00174429522.34120940.0010.00664051440.00742600350.00941115151.26732390.002
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-50.001013998172.3663250.0015.366431E-56.005014E-50.001059990117.651750.0016.531671E-47.3087064E-40.00173013982.36723110.0010.0065125060.00728524570.00927067551.27252750.002
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-50.001012635580.061950.0014.8432343E-55.4205255E-50.001054151119.4473950.0015.895042E-46.5975444E-40.00165909472.51471540.0010.00587942820.006578510.0085653531.30202020.002
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-50.001010273198.24350.0013.93813E-54.407082E-50.001044026723.689750.0014.7936183E-45.3643517E-40.00153589882.86315820.0010.0047832910.0053519140.00734121031.37169810.002
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00131576234.16277170.0016.115894E-40.00135392450.00235257061.73759370.0010.00742070840.0163609390.017344581.06012120.0010.071777480.150211630.15191121.01131450.002
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00131576234.16277170.0016.115894E-40.00135392450.00235257061.73759370.0010.00742070840.0163609390.017344581.06012120.0010.071777480.150211630.15191121.01131450.002
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00131576234.16277170.0016.115894E-40.00135392450.00235257061.73759370.0010.00742070840.0163609390.017344581.06012120.0010.071777480.150211630.15191121.01131450.002
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00130482164.2763270.0015.883239E-40.0013070360.0023057291.76408980.0010.00713934420.0157984550.0167826561.06229730.0010.069142910.14551350.147222491.01174440.002
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00130482164.2763270.0015.883239E-40.0013070360.0023057291.76408980.0010.00713934420.0157984550.0167826561.06229730.0010.069142910.14551350.147222491.01174440.002
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-40.00128898224.45596080.0015.545738E-40.00123915090.00223791181.80600420.0010.00673105240.0149835480.0159685631.06573990.0010.065307880.138650880.140373571.01242470.002
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-40.00125340564.94129660.0014.767372E-40.00108666050.00208557371.91925060.0010.0057888390.01315046850.0141373171.0750430.0010.0564034540.123004960.1247589441.01425950.002
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-40.00123477445.25414940.0014.3796748E-40.00100679570.0020057891.99225020.0010.00531922470.0121892670.0131770771.08103940.0010.0519369060.1147927640.116563181.01542270.002
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-40.00122004775.5389250.0014.1181705E-49.436647E-40.00194272112.05869840.0010.00500235150.0114288590.012417431.08649780.0010.0489123460.108204690.109988281.01648350.002
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-40.00121460865.65398650.0014.0227012E-49.203475E-40.00191942722.0855460.0010.00488664540.0111479070.0121367591.08870290.0010.047805770.1057982740.1075866741.01690390.002
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-40.0012078855.80454250.0013.900265E-48.915232E-40.00189063162.12067580.0010.00473823770.01080049950.0117896991.09158830.0010.0463847440.102768150.104562621.01746130.002
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-40.00119963866.0030430.0013.758525E-48.5616973E-40.00185531352.16699270.0010.00456640640.0103742430.0113638691.09539260.0010.0447370560.099076440.100878281.01818650.002
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-40.00118371056.43690250.0013.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.00178709322.2682270.0010.00420889440.0095503680.0105408181.1037080.0010.0413006580.091805180.0936215741.01978530.002
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-40.00117315686.7683390.0013.328214E-47.426318E-40.00174188922.34556220.0010.00404457330.0090041380.0099951341.11006010.0010.039717480.087067610.088893481.02097070.002
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-40.00116536577.0401580.0013.2225347E-47.092266E-40.00170851732.40898660.0010.00391637950.0086007140.0095921121.11526940.0010.0384807440.083521570.085354521.0219460.002
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-40.00115824917.31183240.0013.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.0016780342.47237750.0010.0037887750.0082320760.0092238441.1204760.0010.037248270.080236540.0820760651.02292630.002
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-40.00115395177.4880460.0013.0504653E-46.602866E-40.00165962632.5134940.0010.00370761780.00800940950.00900141.12385320.0010.0364636670.078226610.080070161.02356670.002
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-40.0011430517.98252250.0012.8753807E-46.135452E-40.00161293162.6288720.0010.0034951570.00744436630.0084369221.13332970.0010.0344069380.073055580.074909471.02537640.002
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-40.00113190228.5727890.0012.7000686E-45.657386E-40.00156517292.76660080.0010.00328237870.0068661430.0078592781.14464210.0010.0323431750.067713850.069578421.0275360.002
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-50.001097143911.282720.0012.1354125E-44.1668097E-40.00141626423.39891770.0010.00259676480.00506130050.0060562391.19657770.0010.0256662960.0506505070.0515998561.01874320.001
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-55.3306234E-51.00.01.380421E-42.2843528E-42.2843528E-41.00.00.00167936690.00277765420.00277765421.00.00.0166673230.0283625680.0283625681.00.0
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-51.8823403E-51.00.07.471398E-58.066923E-58.066923E-51.00.09.0926304E-49.81706E-49.81706E-41.00.00.0090555170.0104839790.0104839791.00.0
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-65.1540533E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2088612E-52.2088612E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6889573E-42.6889573E-41.00.00.0040781030.00304136680.00304136681.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-52.2097078E-51.00.08.4091465E-59.4699084E-50.001094604411.5587640.0010.00102333270.00115248650.0021513341.86668910.0010.010186330.0114784080.0144439731.25836030.003
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-52.2097078E-51.00.08.4091465E-59.4699084E-50.001094604411.5587640.0010.00102333270.00115248650.0021513341.86668910.0010.010186330.0114784080.0144439731.25836030.003
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-51.125564E-51.00.04.2844134E-54.8237856E-54.8237856E-51.00.05.2150246E-45.871897E-45.871897E-41.00.00.00520280330.0058614870.0078497641.33921040.002
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-51.0798346E-51.00.04.10969E-54.62781E-54.62781E-51.00.05.002399E-45.6334207E-45.6334207E-41.00.00.00499115330.00562422960.00761298141.35360420.002
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-51.0798346E-51.00.04.10969E-54.62781E-54.62781E-51.00.05.002399E-45.6334207E-45.6334207E-41.00.00.00499115330.00562422960.00761298141.35360420.002
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-66.2856016E-61.00.02.3818526E-52.6938165E-52.6938165E-51.00.02.8995197E-43.279497E-43.279497E-41.00.00.00289573940.00327729340.00427401621.30412980.001
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-65.5132896E-61.00.02.0889667E-52.3628318E-52.3628318E-51.00.02.54302E-42.87663E-42.87663E-41.00.00.0025401120.00287547520.00387259971.34676860.001
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-64.5159104E-61.00.01.7104636E-51.9353902E-51.9353902E-51.00.02.0822904E-42.3563375E-42.3563375E-41.00.00.00208034040.00235633740.0033539811.42338740.001

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00167394982.48130630.0010.00133063760.0028881720.00388528381.34523980.0010.0160806050.0345655940.0364964641.0558610.0020.14965490.286545570.288685951.00746950.003
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00167394982.48130630.0010.00133063760.0028881720.00388528381.34523980.0010.0160806050.0345655940.0364964641.0558610.0020.14965490.286545570.288685951.00746950.003
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00167394982.48130630.0010.00133063760.0028881720.00388528381.34523980.0010.0160806050.0345655940.0364964641.0558610.0020.14965490.286545570.288685951.00746950.003
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00167394982.48130630.0010.00133063760.0028881720.00388528381.34523980.0010.0160806050.0345655940.0364964641.0558610.0020.14965490.286545570.288685951.00746950.003
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.00143137883.314830.0018.5138786E-40.00184933260.00284748341.53973560.0010.0103164780.022289310.0232670211.04386460.0010.0985048560.196868390.198474661.0081590.002
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00128725384.47676040.0015.5321335E-40.00123174090.00223050921.8108590.0010.0067145920.0148941550.015879261.06614040.0010.0651529650.138007920.139731911.0124920.002
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00128725384.47676040.0015.5321335E-40.00123174090.00223050921.8108590.0010.0067145920.0148941550.015879261.06614040.0010.0651529650.138007920.139731911.0124920.002
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.00124311025.1082480.0014.6278012E-40.00104252740.0020414851.95820750.0010.00561980160.01261920.0136065811.07824430.0010.0547979060.119184310.120945941.01478080.002
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.00123829155.19134330.0014.5525006E-40.00102187180.00202084981.97759630.0010.00552859250.0123705930.0133582221.07983680.0010.0539305660.117133080.118898821.01507460.002
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.00123200115.3050130.0014.4537184E-49.949068E-40.00199391182.00411940.0010.00540892870.0120459630.0130339171.08201540.0010.052791560.1144334450.116204581.01547740.002
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.00122570325.4251680.0014.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.00196694072.03215550.0010.0052853110.0117208380.01270911751.08431820.0010.051613610.111697450.1134740561.01590550.002
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.00121859445.5691080.0014.2359953E-49.374342E-40.00193649682.06574150.0010.00514513530.0113537330.0123423791.08707680.0010.050276290.108576070.1103589161.01642020.002
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.00121223055.7061460.0014.1312634E-49.101525E-40.00190924242.0977170.0010.0050182190.0110249870.0120139621.08970310.0010.0490640070.10576970.107558161.0169090.002
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.00119453186.1344060.0013.907156E-48.342756E-40.00183344132.19764470.0010.0047465910.0101101120.0111000021.09791090.0010.0464647860.097961760.099765841.01841620.002
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.00118702556.34052040.0013.8083247E-48.020931E-40.0018012912.2457380.0010.00462678170.0097218550.0107121331.1018610.0010.0453162860.0945938450.096404661.0191430.002
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.00118034756.53830670.0013.7173493E-47.734621E-40.00177268862.29188820.0010.0045164840.0093763270.010366951.10565160.0010.044257870.091556060.093372941.01984450.002
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.00117422946.7328180.0013.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.00174648382.3372740.0010.00440117530.0090596640.0100506041.10937940.0010.043150240.088714470.090537051.02054430.002
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.00116945556.8943540.0013.539135E-47.267622E-40.00172603552.3749660.0010.0043003860.00881250.0098036881.11247520.0010.0421811340.0864654260.08829251.02113070.002
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-40.00115269417.54149440.0013.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.00165423892.52596520.0010.00387722230.0079442310.0089362871.12487750.0010.038102690.0782938750.080137291.02354480.002
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-40.001099970210.99198150.0012.2535135E-44.2880196E-40.00142837323.3310790.0010.00274020060.0052081780.00620296971.19100570.0010.0270665740.0522015880.0531493871.01815650.001
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-55.4075565E-51.00.01.4484383E-42.3173184E-42.3173184E-41.00.00.00176204710.00281768660.00281768661.00.00.0174814090.0288359170.0288359171.00.0
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-51.9308145E-51.00.08.000444E-58.274657E-58.274657E-51.00.09.736188E-40.00100697450.00100697451.00.00.0096936420.0107986240.0107986241.00.0
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-65.4596358E-61.00.03.660622E-52.339823E-52.339823E-51.00.04.455896E-42.848363E-42.848363E-41.00.00.00444697170.0032402830.0032402831.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-66.066615E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.5999556E-51.00.04.289509E-43.1650523E-40.00131618874.15850540.0010.00428123870.00316119660.0051548741.63067190.002
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-66.066615E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.5999556E-51.00.04.289509E-43.1650523E-40.00131618874.15850540.0010.00428123870.00316119660.0051548741.63067190.002
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-66.066615E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.5999556E-51.00.04.289509E-43.1650523E-40.00131618874.15850540.0010.00428123870.00316119660.0051548741.63067190.002
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-66.066615E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.5999556E-51.00.04.289509E-43.1650523E-40.00131618874.15850540.0010.00428123870.00316119660.0051548741.63067190.002
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-63.5571256E-61.00.02.4950215E-51.5244741E-51.5244741E-51.00.03.0372653E-41.8559002E-41.8559002E-41.00.00.00303311760.00185445860.00185445861.00.0
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-63.4990599E-61.00.02.4711293E-51.49958905E-51.49958905E-51.00.03.0081844E-41.8256076E-41.8256076E-41.00.00.00300411580.00182421610.00182421611.00.0
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-62.3325733E-61.00.01.9900888E-59.9967065E-69.9967065E-61.00.02.4226638E-41.2170354E-41.2170354E-41.00.00.00242002420.00121641120.00121641121.00.0
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-61.6482975E-61.00.01.6940963E-57.064114E-67.064114E-61.00.02.0623671E-48.600239E-58.600239E-51.00.00.0020604548.597095E-48.597095E-41.00.0
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-61.2244764E-61.00.01.473314E-55.247746E-65.247746E-61.00.01.7936122E-46.388952E-56.388952E-51.00.00.00179216526.3872064E-46.3872064E-41.00.0
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-61.0033316E-61.00.01.3443062E-54.299986E-64.299986E-61.00.01.63657E-45.2351144E-55.2351144E-51.00.00.00163536525.233958E-45.233958E-41.00.0
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-77.4282326E-71.00.01.2127721E-53.1835248E-63.1835248E-61.00.01.47645E-43.8758775E-53.8758775E-51.00.00.00147546933.8752513E-43.8752513E-41.00.0
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-75.4223835E-71.00.01.03247E-52.3238767E-62.3238767E-61.00.01.2569598E-42.8292874E-52.8292874E-51.00.00.0012562492.8289677E-42.8289677E-41.00.0
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-71.0740268E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.6029712E-74.6029712E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604104E-65.604104E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.6039742E-55.6039742E-51.00.0
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-85.0002956E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1429837E-72.1429837E-71.00.03.681694E-52.60908E-62.60908E-61.00.03.681084E-42.609054E-52.609054E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-63.894542E-61.00.01.649873E-51.6690812E-51.6690812E-51.00.02.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002202789810.8407110.0020.00200672080.00203053190.00402647071.98296370.002
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-63.894542E-61.00.01.649873E-51.6690812E-51.6690812E-51.00.02.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002202789810.8407110.0020.00200672080.00203053190.00402647071.98296370.002
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-63.894542E-61.00.01.649873E-51.6690812E-51.6690812E-51.00.02.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002202789810.8407110.0020.00200672080.00203053190.00402647071.98296370.002
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-63.894542E-61.00.01.649873E-51.6690812E-51.6690812E-51.00.02.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002202789810.8407110.0020.00200672080.00203053190.00402647071.98296370.002
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-63.894542E-61.00.01.649873E-51.6690812E-51.6690812E-51.00.02.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002202789810.8407110.0020.00200672080.00203053190.00402647071.98296370.002
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.2030526E-61.00.05.1229376E-65.15593E-65.15593E-61.00.06.236998E-56.277176E-56.277176E-51.00.06.235248E-46.2755204E-46.2755204E-41.00.0
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.2030526E-61.00.05.1229376E-65.15593E-65.15593E-61.00.06.236998E-56.277176E-56.277176E-51.00.06.235248E-46.2755204E-46.2755204E-41.00.0
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-78.410676E-71.00.03.5896885E-63.6045708E-63.6045708E-61.00.04.370358E-54.3884826E-54.3884826E-51.00.04.3694986E-44.3876728E-44.3876728E-41.00.0
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-76.3921624E-71.00.02.7344586E-62.7394954E-62.7394954E-61.00.03.3291526E-53.3352884E-53.3352884E-51.00.03.3286537E-43.334826E-43.334826E-41.00.0
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-75.345339E-71.00.02.2911431E-62.2908578E-62.2908578E-61.00.02.789431E-52.7890868E-52.7890868E-51.00.02.789081E-42.78877E-42.78877E-41.00.0
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-73.5324283E-71.00.01.5247632E-61.513897E-61.513897E-61.00.01.8563835E-51.8431549E-51.8431549E-51.00.01.8562283E-41.8430105E-41.8430105E-41.00.0
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-73.0002275E-71.00.01.3019744E-61.2858112E-61.2858112E-61.00.01.5851423E-51.5654647E-51.5654647E-51.00.01.5850292E-41.5653619E-41.5653619E-41.00.0
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-72.0217735E-71.00.08.917818E-78.6647407E-78.6647407E-71.00.01.0857389E-51.0549275E-51.0549275E-51.00.01.0856859E-41.0548821E-41.0548821E-41.00.0
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-71.0636902E-71.00.04.7837443E-74.5586717E-74.5586717E-71.00.05.8241935E-65.5501705E-65.5501705E-61.00.05.8240406E-55.550052E-55.550052E-51.00.0

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-50.001022477645.443280.0018.603206E-59.642541E-50.00109632911.3697110.0010.0010469370.00117335450.00217218111.85125730.0010.0104201830.0116725060.0136491621.16934280.002
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-50.001022477645.443280.0018.603206E-59.642541E-50.00109632911.3697110.0010.0010469370.00117335450.00217218111.85125730.0010.0104201830.0116725060.0136491621.16934280.002
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-50.001022477645.443280.0018.603206E-59.642541E-50.00109632911.3697110.0010.0010469370.00117335450.00217218111.85125730.0010.0104201830.0116725060.0136491621.16934280.002
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-50.001021315647.8660620.0018.164292E-59.1440896E-50.001091349411.9350260.0019.935491E-40.0011127310.00211161841.89768980.0010.0098911880.0110724190.0130502741.1786290.002
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-50.001021315647.8660620.0018.164292E-59.1440896E-50.001091349411.9350260.0019.935491E-40.0011127310.00211161841.89768980.0010.0098911880.0110724190.0130502741.1786290.002
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-50.001020540549.6347470.0017.8713354E-58.811567E-50.001088027612.3477190.0019.5791375E-40.00107228690.00207121461.93158630.0010.0095379510.01067191550.0126505721.18540780.002
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-50.00101989151.2226750.0017.625944E-58.53298E-50.001085244512.7182360.0019.280632E-40.00103840150.00203736311.96201860.0010.0092419690.0103362530.012315581.19149370.002
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-50.001019024453.5105630.0017.296412E-58.161216E-50.001081530613.2520760.0018.87976E-49.931813E-40.00199218822.00586560.0010.0088443620.0098881450.0118683691.20026240.002
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-50.00101849455.0164220.0017.090568E-57.93371E-50.001079257813.6034430.0018.629347E-49.655073E-40.00196454192.0347250.0010.0085959150.0096138290.0115946011.20603370.002
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-50.001018069556.2855150.0016.9232934E-57.751599E-50.001077438513.8995640.0018.4258494E-49.433546E-40.00194241132.05904670.0010.0083939730.0093941960.0113754071.21089740.002
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-50.001017787757.1612660.0016.81167E-57.6307304E-50.00107623114.1039060.0018.2900526E-49.286515E-40.00192772282.07583020.0010.0082591950.0092483970.0112299011.21425370.002
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-50.001017466158.1957740.0016.6865134E-57.492718E-50.001074852314.3452910.0018.137789E-49.118627E-40.00191095092.09565640.0010.0081080520.0090818940.011063731.21821830.002
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-50.001017153559.237980.0016.56719E-57.358637E-50.001073512814.5884720.0017.99262E-48.9555193E-40.00189465632.115630.0010.0079639340.0089201070.0109022661.22221260.002
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-50.001016286262.3394550.0016.238227E-56.9865826E-50.001069795915.3121490.0017.592395E-48.5029035E-40.001849442.17506890.0010.00756650740.0084710140.0104540731.23409930.002
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-50.001015792164.258270.0016.0501097E-56.7746674E-50.001067678915.7598720.0017.363519E-48.245094E-40.00182368492.21184230.0010.00733916740.0082151380.0101987081.2414530.002
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-50.001015111167.109070.0015.7870053E-56.482538E-50.001064760516.4250580.0017.043401E-47.8896893E-40.001788182.2664770.0010.0070211190.0078623040.0098465791.25237830.002
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-50.001012613680.19860.0014.834127E-55.4111737E-50.001054057619.4792790.0015.88396E-46.5861654E-40.00165795792.51733420.0010.0058684050.0065671990.0085540641.30254390.002
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-50.001010273198.24350.0013.93813E-54.407082E-50.001044026723.689750.0014.7936183E-45.3643517E-40.00153589882.86315820.0010.0047832910.0053519140.00734121031.37169810.002
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00119382716.1530780.0014.2326056E-48.312543E-40.0018304232.20200130.0010.00514102770.0100736840.011063611.09826850.0010.050237080.098322450.100125811.01834120.002
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00119382716.1530780.0014.2326056E-48.312543E-40.0018304232.20200130.0010.00514102770.0100736840.011063611.09826850.0010.050237080.098322450.100125811.01834120.002
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00119382716.1530780.0014.2326056E-48.312543E-40.0018304232.20200130.0010.00514102770.0100736840.011063611.09826850.0010.050237080.098322450.100125811.01834120.002
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00119382716.1530780.0014.2326056E-48.312543E-40.0018304232.20200130.0010.00514102770.0100736840.011063611.09826850.0010.050237080.098322450.100125811.01834120.002
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00119382716.1530780.0014.2326056E-48.312543E-40.0018304232.20200130.0010.00514102770.0100736840.011063611.09826850.0010.050237080.098322450.100125811.01834120.002
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.00119356516.16005560.0014.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00182930072.20362950.0010.00513261320.01006013250.01105007251.09840230.0010.0501567460.098200350.100003951.01836660.002
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.00119356516.16005560.0014.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00182930072.20362950.0010.00513261320.01006013250.01105007251.09840230.0010.0501567460.098200350.100003951.01836660.002
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.00119346466.16273360.0014.223004E-48.2970044E-40.00182887072.20425420.0010.00512939270.0100549410.0110448861.09845360.0010.0501259980.098153560.099957251.01837620.002
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.00119331646.1666930.0014.219245E-48.290649E-40.00182823582.20517830.0010.00512483760.0100472760.0110372281.09852950.0010.050082510.098083780.099887611.01839080.002
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.00119299696.1752510.0014.2103877E-48.276947E-40.0018268672.2071750.0010.00511410460.0100307460.0110207151.09869350.0010.0499800220.0979329650.09973711.01842210.002
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.00119231126.1937060.0014.1913814E-48.247551E-40.00182393032.2114810.0010.0050910730.0099952850.0109852911.09904720.0010.049760070.097609120.09941391.01848980.002
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.00119132926.22036650.0014.1616702E-48.205452E-40.00181972472.2177020.0010.0050550680.00994449950.0109345551.09955810.0010.049416130.097145710.0989514141.01858760.002
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.00119063776.2393050.0014.1409794E-48.175807E-40.00181676312.2221210.0010.00502999360.0099087350.0108988271.09992110.0010.0491765370.096818830.098625191.01865710.002
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.00119016336.25237850.0014.125529E-48.1554666E-40.0018147312.22517130.0010.00501126940.0098841950.0108743111.10017160.0010.048997590.096592280.0983990951.01870560.002
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.00118956186.26904960.0014.1107697E-48.129676E-40.00181215472.22906140.0010.00499338240.0098530810.0108432281.1004910.0010.048826610.096309860.098117241.01876630.002
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.0011890236.2840690.0014.0972308E-48.106579E-40.00180984732.23256590.0010.00497697430.0098252150.0108153891.10077890.0010.0486697440.0960562450.0978641361.01882110.002
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.00118554926.38301850.0014.0357444E-47.95764E-40.00179496812.2556540.0010.0049024540.0096454990.0106358541.10267530.0010.0479570250.0944374650.096248591.0191780.002
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.00116006467.240230.0013.51473E-46.8649714E-40.00168581062.45567040.0010.004270790.0083261280.0093178021.11910380.0010.041896390.0822379140.084073441.02231970.002
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-40.00114503057.88720460.0013.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.00162141132.6066310.0010.0037946430.00754699860.0085394521.1315030.0010.0373049750.074727660.076578211.02476380.002
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-40.001100362210.95295050.0012.3087008E-44.3048308E-40.00143005263.32197170.0010.00280722020.00522854740.0062233191.19025770.0010.027720220.0524258840.0533734561.01807450.001
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-55.4261534E-51.00.01.4864317E-42.3252872E-42.3252872E-41.00.00.00180822830.00282736360.00282736361.00.00.0179358530.0289484620.0289484621.00.0
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-51.9401303E-51.00.08.207899E-58.3145795E-58.3145795E-51.00.09.988535E-40.00101183050.00101183051.00.00.0099437570.010855950.010855951.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-50.001043919523.7451480.0011.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00118821396.30679040.0010.00195197760.00229155710.00328926561.43538450.0010.0193492060.0226972810.0246518871.08611630.002
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-50.001043919523.7451480.0011.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00118821396.30679040.0010.00195197760.00229155710.00328926561.43538450.0010.0193492060.0226972810.0246518871.08611630.002
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-50.001043919523.7451480.0011.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00118821396.30679040.0010.00195197760.00229155710.00328926561.43538450.0010.0193492060.0226972810.0246518871.08611630.002
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-52.5354384E-51.00.09.0339665E-51.0865723E-41.0865723E-41.00.00.00109933040.00132211890.00132211891.00.00.0109390790.0131447470.0141316031.0750760.001
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-52.5354384E-51.00.09.0339665E-51.0865723E-41.0865723E-41.00.00.00109933040.00132211890.00132211891.00.00.0109390790.0131447470.0141316031.0750760.001
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-52.0663285E-51.00.07.455765E-58.8554E-58.8554E-51.00.09.073613E-40.00107762350.00107762351.00.00.0090366540.0107252730.0117145481.09223770.001
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-51.7680086E-51.00.06.51628E-57.576964E-57.576964E-51.00.07.9306826E-49.221128E-49.221128E-41.00.00.0079024390.0091837290.01017454451.10788820.001
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-51.5264379E-51.00.05.7106878E-56.541716E-56.541716E-51.00.06.950544E-47.9616875E-47.9616875E-41.00.00.0069288450.00793379450.0089258611.12504320.001
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-51.3031365E-51.00.04.9393333E-55.5847537E-55.5847537E-51.00.06.011979E-46.7973585E-46.7973585E-41.00.00.005995740.00677701920.0077702421.14655750.001
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-51.1514835E-51.00.04.3944583E-54.934838E-54.934838E-51.00.05.3489394E-46.006545E-46.006545E-41.00.00.00533608250.00599068960.0069846991.16592570.001
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-68.99143E-61.00.03.4733377E-53.853415E-53.853415E-51.00.04.2279682E-44.6905465E-44.6905465E-41.00.00.00421993340.00468089430.00567621371.21263440.001
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-67.5159796E-61.00.02.91366E-53.2210955E-53.2210955E-51.00.03.5468035E-43.9209996E-43.9209996E-41.00.00.0035411480.0039142980.0039142981.00.0
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-66.280132E-61.00.02.4382627E-52.6914584E-52.6914584E-51.00.02.9681803E-43.276378E-43.276378E-41.00.00.0029642190.0032717460.0032717461.00.0
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-64.707075E-61.00.01.8228506E-52.017303E-52.017303E-51.00.02.2190946E-42.455808E-42.455808E-41.00.00.002216880.00245327530.00245327531.00.0
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-62.8520594E-61.00.01.0906291E-51.2223064E-51.2223064E-51.00.01.3277601E-41.4880729E-41.4880729E-41.00.00.0013269670.00148723870.00148723871.00.0
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-84.562909E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-71.9555324E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-62.3808586E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-52.3808387E-51.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-50.001047218522.155990.0011.6594635E-42.0255324E-40.00120235075.93597360.0010.00201852460.00246356060.00346109711.40491650.0010.020002880.0243883380.026339561.08000640.002
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-50.001047218522.155990.0011.6594635E-42.0255324E-40.00120235075.93597360.0010.00201852460.00246356060.00346109711.40491650.0010.020002880.0243883380.026339561.08000640.002
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-50.001047218522.155990.0011.6594635E-42.0255324E-40.00120235075.93597360.0010.00201852460.00246356060.00346109711.40491650.0010.020002880.0243883380.026339561.08000640.002
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-50.001033576230.7522350.0011.2152165E-41.4403443E-40.00114389047.94178440.0010.00147852190.00175227880.00275052641.56968550.0010.0146872350.0173918160.0193570331.11299660.002
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-50.001033576230.7522350.0011.2152165E-41.4403443E-40.00114389047.94178440.0010.00147852190.00175227880.00275052641.56968550.0010.0146872350.0173918160.0193570331.11299660.002
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-50.00102857935.9547650.0011.0477588E-41.2259845E-40.00112247589.155710.0010.00127489980.00149166160.002490171.66939330.0010.0126761050.0148213920.0167917481.132940.002
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-50.001024635441.550360.0019.127464E-51.0568197E-40.001105576310.4613520.0010.00111070220.00128595120.00228466541.77663450.0010.0110516720.012788530.0147629531.15439010.002
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-50.001021759246.910520.0018.125345E-59.334406E-50.001093250711.7120540.0019.888117E-40.0011358970.0021347611.87936150.0010.0098442340.011303570.0132809631.17493520.002
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-50.001018999453.5797920.0017.153359E-58.150477E-50.001081423313.2682210.0018.7057345E-49.918857E-40.00199089392.00718070.0010.0086717080.0098763430.0118565911.20050410.002
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-50.001016373262.0135270.0016.216302E-57.0239046E-50.001070168815.2360960.0017.5657194E-48.5483363E-40.00185397882.16881820.0010.0075400130.0085163860.0104993531.23284140.002
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-50.001014523469.7843860.0015.545963E-56.230414E-50.001062241817.0492970.0016.750118E-47.5829466E-40.00175753642.31774850.0010.0067296510.00755768970.0095425741.26263120.002
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-50.001014064272.030770.0015.3761712E-56.0333812E-50.001060273517.5734540.0016.5435225E-47.343222E-40.00173358782.36080.0010.0065242880.0073195510.0093049121.27124080.002
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-50.001014001772.347690.0015.3524967E-56.0065824E-50.001060005717.6474020.0016.514716E-47.310616E-40.00173033052.36687370.0010.0064956510.00728715960.0092725861.27245530.002
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-50.001013865973.046080.0015.3005948E-55.9483587E-50.001059424117.810360.0016.451563E-47.2397763E-40.00172325362.3802580.0010.00643286530.0072167820.0092023481.27513180.002
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-50.001013634374.2705150.0015.212056E-55.8489582E-50.001058431118.0960620.0016.3438306E-47.118836E-40.00171117172.4037240.0010.0063257510.00709662070.0090824271.27982430.002
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-50.001013132477.070570.0015.0175953E-55.6336736E-50.001056280518.7494070.0016.10721E-46.856895E-40.00168500382.4573860.0010.00609045340.0068363210.0088226491.2905550.002
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-50.00101156887.3576050.0014.4225842E-54.9626036E-50.001049576421.1497120.0015.383166E-46.040347E-40.00160343062.6545340.0010.00537014430.00602446030.0080124111.32997990.002
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-50.0010100128100.771730.0013.830414E-54.295409E-50.001042911124.279670.0014.6625308E-45.228456E-40.00152232282.91161060.0010.00465276050.0052166640.0072062311.38138680.002
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-73.284654E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.407708E-61.407708E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7138715E-51.7138715E-51.00.01.6215823E-41.7137431E-41.7137431E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-53.598562E-51.00.01.461069E-41.5421498E-41.5421498E-41.00.00.00177740.00187595210.00187595211.00.00.017632510.0193499920.0203306431.05067960.001
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-53.598562E-51.00.01.461069E-41.5421498E-41.5421498E-41.00.00.00177740.00187595210.00187595211.00.00.017632510.0193499920.0203306431.05067960.001
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-53.598562E-51.00.01.461069E-41.5421498E-41.5421498E-41.00.00.00177740.00187595210.00187595211.00.00.017632510.0193499920.0203306431.05067960.001
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-53.598562E-51.00.01.461069E-41.5421498E-41.5421498E-41.00.00.00177740.00187595210.00187595211.00.00.017632510.0193499920.0203306431.05067960.001
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-53.5878285E-51.00.01.4574021E-41.5375503E-41.5375503E-41.00.00.00177294280.00187036190.00187036191.00.00.0175886450.0192950740.0202757791.05082670.001
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-53.5138914E-51.00.01.4319851E-41.5058667E-41.5058667E-41.00.00.00174204770.00183185220.00183185221.00.00.0172845460.0189166160.01989771.05186360.001
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-53.5076133E-51.00.01.4298483E-41.5031763E-41.5031763E-41.00.00.00173945010.00182858230.00182858231.00.00.0172589760.018884480.0198655971.05195360.001
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-53.5065907E-51.00.01.4296026E-41.5027382E-41.5027382E-41.00.00.00173915140.00182804970.00182804971.00.00.0172560350.0188792720.0198603921.05196810.001
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-53.4959972E-51.00.01.4260718E-41.4981985E-41.4981985E-41.00.00.00173485970.0018225320.0018225321.00.00.0172137840.0188250450.019806221.05212070.001
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-53.4900928E-51.00.01.4243131E-41.4956683E-41.4956683E-41.00.00.00173272170.00181945670.00181945671.00.00.0171927340.0187949110.0197761151.05220590.001
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-53.4840854E-51.00.01.422655E-41.4930942E-41.4930942E-41.00.00.00173070630.00181632780.00181632781.00.00.0171728940.018764290.0197455251.05229270.001
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-53.4721066E-51.00.01.4197677E-41.4879608E-41.4879608E-41.00.00.00172719660.00181008840.00181008841.00.00.0171383380.0187033660.0196846631.05246630.001
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-53.4588513E-51.00.01.4156665E-41.4822806E-41.4822806E-41.00.00.00172221110.00180318430.00180318431.00.00.0170892530.018635750.0196171141.05266030.001
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-53.4456265E-51.00.01.4123498E-41.4766137E-41.4766137E-41.00.00.00171817960.00179629610.00179629611.00.00.0170495570.0185684950.0195499271.05285470.001
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-53.4377957E-51.00.01.4106068E-41.473258E-41.473258E-41.00.00.00171606080.00179221730.00179221731.00.00.0170286930.0185287690.019510241.05297020.001
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-53.424287E-51.00.01.406406E-41.4674691E-41.4674691E-41.00.00.00171095420.00178518090.00178518091.00.00.0169784110.0184596520.0194411931.05317220.001
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-53.396782E-51.00.01.3937015E-41.4556825E-41.4556825E-41.00.00.00169551090.00177085420.00177085421.00.00.0168263280.0183172950.0192989781.05359320.001
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-53.245191E-51.00.01.297987E-41.3907222E-41.3907222E-41.00.00.00157915370.00169189030.00169189031.00.00.015679790.0175281990.0185106711.05605090.001
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-52.9662837E-51.00.01.1277862E-41.2712025E-41.2712025E-41.00.00.00137221490.00154659130.00154659131.00.00.0136377240.0160698780.0170538071.06122830.001
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-52.3417291E-51.00.08.897331E-51.0035596E-41.0035596E-41.00.00.00108271170.00122114980.00122114981.00.00.0107745170.0127932720.0127932721.00.0
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-51.6032505E-51.00.06.744926E-56.8708934E-56.8708934E-51.00.08.2088535E-48.3621085E-48.3621085E-41.00.00.0081785960.0088657410.0088657411.00.0
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-68.329479E-61.00.04.3309992E-53.569728E-53.569728E-51.00.05.2717153E-44.3452822E-44.3452822E-41.00.00.0052592270.00467687940.00467687941.00.0
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-61.577699E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-66.7615497E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.231879E-58.231879E-51.00.00.00218348589.562628E-49.562628E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-68.551265E-61.00.03.539214E-53.6647863E-53.6647863E-51.00.04.308141E-44.4611428E-44.4611428E-41.00.00.00429979850.0044539450.0054494911.223520.001
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-63.7753161E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6179853E-51.6179853E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9697666E-41.9697666E-41.00.00.00190270260.0019684880.0019684881.00.0
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-63.7753161E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6179853E-51.6179853E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9697666E-41.9697666E-41.00.00.00190270260.0019684880.0019684881.00.0
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-61.4411166E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.1762075E-66.1762075E-61.00.07.265574E-57.519415E-57.519415E-51.00.07.263199E-47.518258E-47.518258E-41.00.0
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-61.4411166E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.1762075E-66.1762075E-61.00.07.265574E-57.519415E-57.519415E-51.00.07.263199E-47.518258E-47.518258E-41.00.0
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-61.0221912E-61.00.04.2329125E-64.3808195E-64.3808195E-61.00.05.153449E-55.3336476E-55.3336476E-51.00.05.1522546E-45.333648E-45.333648E-41.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-64.1815365E-61.00.01.750178E-51.792077E-51.792077E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1816725E-40.00121794915.58263970.0010.00212859150.00217989650.00317771641.45773740.001
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-64.1815365E-61.00.01.750178E-51.792077E-51.792077E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1816725E-40.00121794915.58263970.0010.00212859150.00217989650.00317771641.45773740.001
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-64.1815365E-61.00.01.750178E-51.792077E-51.792077E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1816725E-40.00121794915.58263970.0010.00212859150.00217989650.00317771641.45773740.001
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-64.1815365E-61.00.01.750178E-51.792077E-51.792077E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1816725E-40.00121794915.58263970.0010.00212859150.00217989650.00317771641.45773740.001
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-64.1815365E-61.00.01.750178E-51.792077E-51.792077E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1816725E-40.00121794915.58263970.0010.00212859150.00217989650.00317771641.45773740.001
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-62.3731573E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.0170638E-51.0170638E-51.00.01.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.2382126E-41.00.00.00120686360.00123759860.00123759861.00.0
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-62.3731573E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.0170638E-51.0170638E-51.00.01.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.2382126E-41.00.00.00120686360.00123759860.00123759861.00.0
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-61.7497915E-61.00.07.2983503E-67.499088E-67.499088E-61.00.08.885379E-59.1298105E-59.1298105E-51.00.08.881827E-49.1265864E-49.1265864E-41.00.0
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-61.3299378E-61.00.05.534837E-65.6997237E-65.6997237E-61.00.06.738455E-56.939237E-56.939237E-51.00.06.736412E-46.9375033E-46.9375033E-41.00.0
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-76.1169936E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6215664E-62.6215664E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917145E-53.1917145E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.191297E-43.191297E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-74.832015E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708624E-62.0708624E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212494E-52.5212494E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210003E-42.5210003E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-73.987147E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-61.7087764E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-52.0804187E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-42.0802575E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-73.7616863E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-61.6121504E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.9627789E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-41.9626386E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-73.506347E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-61.5027196E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.829549E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294314E-41.8294314E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-73.1165817E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-61.3356774E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.6261785E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-41.6260923E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-71.5012525E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433939E-76.433939E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-67.8333205E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833321E-57.833321E-51.00.0

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-51.6694768E-51.00.06.364676E-57.154718E-57.154718E-51.00.07.7462377E-48.707624E-48.707624E-41.00.00.00771929140.0086758840.0096672081.1142620.001
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-51.6694768E-51.00.06.364676E-57.154718E-57.154718E-51.00.07.7462377E-48.707624E-48.707624E-41.00.00.00771929140.0086758840.0096672081.1142620.001
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-51.6694768E-51.00.06.364676E-57.154718E-57.154718E-51.00.07.7462377E-48.707624E-48.707624E-41.00.00.00771929140.0086758840.0096672081.1142620.001
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-51.1888697E-51.00.04.4685654E-55.09506E-55.09506E-51.00.05.43912E-46.201529E-46.201529E-41.00.00.00542582660.00618483170.00618483171.00.0
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-51.1888697E-51.00.04.4685654E-55.09506E-55.09506E-51.00.05.43912E-46.201529E-46.201529E-41.00.00.00542582660.00618483170.00618483171.00.0
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-51.0620037E-51.00.03.964341E-54.551368E-54.551368E-51.00.04.8255164E-45.5399304E-45.5399304E-41.00.00.00481505130.00552661950.00552661951.00.0
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-69.159602E-61.00.03.3875025E-53.925487E-53.925487E-51.00.04.1235037E-44.7782718E-44.7782718E-41.00.00.00411586040.0047683950.0047683951.00.0
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-68.407326E-61.00.03.088333E-53.603092E-53.603092E-51.00.03.7593965E-44.3859181E-44.3859181E-41.00.00.0037530430.0043776310.0043776311.00.0
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-67.842242E-61.00.02.8691995E-53.3609194E-53.3609194E-51.00.03.4926904E-44.091187E-44.091187E-41.00.00.0034872060.00408401250.00408401251.00.0
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-67.1306963E-61.00.02.5894467E-53.0559786E-53.0559786E-51.00.03.1521954E-43.7200528E-43.7200528E-41.00.00.00314772780.00371416380.00371416381.00.0
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-65.0803824E-61.00.01.7717413E-52.1772896E-52.1772896E-51.00.02.1568815E-42.650543E-42.650543E-41.00.00.00215478920.00264753470.00264753471.00.0
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-64.631936E-61.00.01.6146281E-51.9851012E-51.9851012E-51.00.01.9656324E-42.4166079E-42.4166079E-41.00.00.00196389460.00241413060.00241413061.00.0
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-64.156782E-61.00.01.4599351E-51.7814667E-51.7814667E-51.00.01.777326E-42.168735E-42.168735E-41.00.00.00177590530.00216676670.00216676671.00.0
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-63.6293673E-61.00.01.2829195E-51.5554348E-51.5554348E-51.00.01.5618425E-41.8935918E-41.8935918E-41.00.00.00156074530.00189212370.00189212371.00.0
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-62.8890186E-61.00.01.0307015E-51.2381457E-51.2381457E-51.00.01.2548068E-41.5073526E-41.5073526E-41.00.00.00125409850.00150647150.00150647151.00.0
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-61.5134859E-61.00.05.44717E-66.4863593E-66.4863593E-61.00.06.631728E-57.896981E-57.896981E-51.00.06.6297496E-47.895401E-47.895401E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-52.5106583E-51.00.09.571891E-51.0759615E-41.0759615E-41.00.00.00116475460.0013093640.0013093641.00.00.0115866860.0130330910.0140200571.07572780.001
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-52.5106583E-51.00.09.571891E-51.0759615E-41.0759615E-41.00.00.00116475460.0013093640.0013093641.00.00.0115866860.0130330910.0140200571.07572780.001
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-52.5106583E-51.00.09.571891E-51.0759615E-41.0759615E-41.00.00.00116475460.0013093640.0013093641.00.00.0115866860.0130330910.0140200571.07572780.001
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-52.5106583E-51.00.09.571891E-51.0759615E-41.0759615E-41.00.00.00116475460.0013093640.0013093641.00.00.0115866860.0130330910.0140200571.07572780.001
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-51.3781108E-51.00.05.2662188E-55.906108E-55.906108E-51.00.06.409735E-47.189252E-47.189252E-41.00.00.0063912790.00717520060.00717520061.00.0
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-51.3781108E-51.00.05.2662188E-55.906108E-55.906108E-51.00.06.409735E-47.189252E-47.189252E-41.00.00.0063912790.00717520060.00717520061.00.0
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-69.63377E-61.00.03.6782953E-54.12874E-54.12874E-51.00.04.4774043E-45.026414E-45.026414E-41.00.00.00446839350.0050232050.0050232051.00.0
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-68.088302E-61.00.03.088114E-53.466415E-53.466415E-51.00.03.7591302E-44.2203604E-44.2203604E-41.00.00.00375277760.00422036040.00422036041.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00129975194.33175660.0015.2857865E-40.00128532920.0022840441.77701080.0010.0064164720.0155415540.0165260141.06334360.0010.062343370.142946990.143804041.00599560.001
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00129975194.33175660.0015.2857865E-40.00128532920.0022840441.77701080.0010.0064164720.0155415540.0165260141.06334360.0010.062343370.142946990.143804041.00599560.001
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00129975194.33175660.0015.2857865E-40.00128532920.0022840441.77701080.0010.0064164720.0155415540.0165260141.06334360.0010.062343370.142946990.143804041.00599560.001
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-40.00128764674.472010.0015.018573E-40.00123344780.00223221441.80973550.0010.0060930080.0149186660.0159037471.06603010.0010.0592863220.137657790.138520121.00626440.001
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-40.00128764674.472010.0015.018573E-40.00123344780.00223221441.80973550.0010.0060930080.0149186660.0159037471.06603010.0010.0592863220.137657790.138520121.00626440.001
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-40.00126779614.729450.0014.5802278E-40.00114836530.0021472171.86980310.0010.00556217830.0138963350.0148824391.07096150.0010.054250030.12889890.129770011.0067580.001
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-40.00125026244.99081040.0014.1842813E-40.00107320860.00207213551.93078530.0010.0050824690.0129923990.0139794061.0759680.0010.0496778860.1210777460.121956671.00725910.001
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-40.00123099055.32385250.0013.7524657E-49.905964E-40.00198960582.0084930.0010.004559060.0119979020.0129859041.08234790.0010.044666560.1123730240.113260651.00789890.001
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-40.00122659375.4077710.0013.6693315E-49.7174826E-40.00197077662.0280730.0010.0044582630.0117709210.012759151.08395520.0010.0436987580.110378630.111268251.00805970.001
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-40.00117049826.85830.0012.6243398E-47.312337E-40.00173050252.36655190.0010.00319045270.0088666360.009857771.11178230.0010.0314503460.084202620.085118411.0108760.001
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-40.00116479447.06109950.0012.5111332E-47.067779E-40.00170607122.41387150.0010.00305301860.0085712650.00956269451.11566890.0010.030114140.081515620.08243411.01126750.001
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-40.00115898547.2825970.0012.4056983E-46.818704E-40.00168118862.46555420.0010.00292500390.0082703530.0092620821.11991380.0010.0288680210.078812680.079733871.01168840.001
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-40.00114506417.885610.0012.1389198E-46.221777E-40.00162155542.6062580.0010.0026010250.00754880630.0085412571.13147130.0010.0257079120.072261910.0731896461.01283860.001
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-40.00113701418.2902170.0012.0317009E-45.8765925E-40.00158707162.70066640.0010.00247078970.00713136560.0081242341.13922560.0010.0244349820.0685419440.06947341.01358960.001
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-40.00113109918.6191890.0011.952286E-45.6229485E-40.00156173252.77742650.0010.0023743170.00682452930.0078177051.14553020.0010.0234910860.065791430.0667256341.01419950.001
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-40.00112345999.09070.0011.8463485E-45.2953605E-40.00152900652.88744570.0010.00224561150.00642811460.00742168631.15456660.0010.0222305450.0621902830.063128091.01507970.001
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-50.001098266511.1652410.0011.4607502E-44.214953E-40.00142107383.37150570.0010.00177701250.0051196560.00611453641.19432560.0010.0176286960.050022440.0509724131.0189910.001
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-50.001082413213.120840.0011.2134742E-43.5350522E-40.00135315173.82781240.0010.00147640340.0042954420.0052911461.2318050.0010.014666330.0422724150.0432301421.02265610.001
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-50.001074564314.3968260.0011.1237934E-43.1984213E-40.00131952234.1255420.0010.00136735970.0038871310.0048832441.25625910.0010.0135897680.0384374750.0393990351.02501630.001
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-50.001057826918.274690.0019.200973E-52.4805416E-40.00124780615.0303780.0010.00111964280.003015880.0040128641.33057820.0010.0111401840.0301532650.0311231131.03216390.001
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-53.1321662E-51.00.05.322855E-51.342288E-41.342288E-41.00.06.478649E-40.00163301160.00163301161.00.00.00645979350.016523690.016523691.00.0
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-67.822525E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.3524673E-53.3524673E-51.00.02.566744E-44.080866E-44.080866E-41.00.00.0025637810.0043845570.0043845571.00.0
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-62.9065757E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.2456694E-51.2456694E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5164974E-41.5164974E-41.00.00.00133669340.0017049410.0017049411.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-73.2080476E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-61.3748769E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.673901E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986671E-41.986671E-41.00.0

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-51.8776833E-51.00.07.182667E-58.0470316E-58.0470316E-51.00.08.7413884E-49.794032E-49.794032E-41.00.00.0087070830.0097624130.0107526511.10143360.001
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-51.0973587E-51.00.04.222546E-54.702921E-54.702921E-51.00.05.139737E-45.7250116E-45.7250116E-41.00.00.0051278660.0057172210.0057172211.00.0
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-51.0973587E-51.00.04.222546E-54.702921E-54.702921E-51.00.05.139737E-45.7250116E-45.7250116E-41.00.00.0051278660.0057172210.0057172211.00.0
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.7780286E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0477235E-52.0477235E-51.00.02.2521814E-42.4930484E-42.4930484E-41.00.00.00224990030.002492510.002492511.00.0
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.7780286E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0477235E-52.0477235E-51.00.02.2521814E-42.4930484E-42.4930484E-41.00.00.00224990030.002492510.002492511.00.0
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.7780286E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0477235E-52.0477235E-51.00.02.2521814E-42.4930484E-42.4930484E-41.00.00.00224990030.002492510.002492511.00.0
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-64.760897E-61.00.01.8434059E-52.0403815E-52.0403815E-51.00.02.2441156E-42.4841115E-42.4841115E-41.00.00.00224185060.0024835930.0024835931.00.0
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-64.27106E-61.00.01.6542634E-51.8304541E-51.8304541E-51.00.02.0138794E-42.228578E-42.228578E-41.00.00.00201205540.0022285780.0022285781.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-50.001047089922.2137360.0011.7866064E-42.0200513E-40.00120180315.94936940.0010.00217302330.00245746570.00345500811.40592320.0010.0215189680.024384830.0253604451.04000910.001
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-51.6854203E-51.00.07.4489166E-57.223036E-57.223036E-51.00.09.065282E-48.790605E-48.790605E-41.00.00.0090283910.0087571280.0087571281.00.0
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-51.3673262E-51.00.06.2664985E-55.85984E-55.85984E-51.00.07.6267915E-47.132059E-47.132059E-41.00.00.0076006690.0071097670.0071097671.00.0
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-51.2482174E-51.00.05.8080568E-55.349395E-55.349395E-51.00.07.069015E-46.510974E-46.510974E-41.00.00.007046570.0064924150.0064924151.00.0
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-51.1979128E-51.00.05.613192E-55.133813E-55.133813E-51.00.06.831918E-46.2486547E-46.2486547E-41.00.00.0068109530.0062315840.0062315841.00.0
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-51.1048776E-51.00.05.2507727E-54.735105E-54.735105E-51.00.06.3909404E-45.7634927E-45.7634927E-41.00.00.0063725920.0057490090.0057490091.00.0
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-51.0063508E-51.00.04.8651553E-54.3128617E-54.3128617E-51.00.05.921717E-45.249665E-45.249665E-41.00.00.00590596160.00523766460.00523766461.00.0
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-69.517E-61.00.04.6559664E-54.0786515E-54.0786515E-51.00.05.667165E-44.964647E-44.964647E-41.00.00.0056527340.00495394370.00495394371.00.0
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-69.299752E-61.00.04.571219E-53.985548E-53.985548E-51.00.05.564038E-44.8513446E-44.8513446E-41.00.00.0055501270.004841140.004841141.00.0
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-68.592018E-61.00.04.302214E-53.682243E-53.682243E-51.00.05.236687E-44.4822265E-44.4822265E-41.00.00.0052243640.00447355070.00447355071.00.0
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-68.025047E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.439261E-53.439261E-51.00.04.975576E-44.1865133E-44.1865133E-41.00.00.004964450.004178980.004178981.00.0
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-67.652347E-61.00.03.945964E-53.2795375E-53.2795375E-51.00.04.803152E-43.992122E-43.992122E-41.00.00.0047927840.0039853010.0039853011.00.0
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-65.9310923E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.5418722E-52.5418722E-51.00.03.984668E-43.094293E-43.094293E-41.00.00.00397753060.00309019560.00309019561.00.0
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-65.596131E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3983199E-52.3983199E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.9195662E-42.9195662E-41.00.00.00377582150.00291594020.00291594021.00.0
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-64.9184864E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.1079059E-52.1079059E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.566075E-42.566075E-41.00.00.00332865420.0025633110.0025633111.00.0
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-64.0838477E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7502087E-51.7502087E-51.00.02.806312E-42.1306718E-42.1306718E-41.00.00.00280277080.00212864020.00212864021.00.0
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-63.0883373E-61.00.01.768732E-51.32356645E-51.32356645E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6113237E-41.6113237E-41.00.00.00215113330.00161016350.00161016351.00.0
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-61.8282044E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835139E-67.835139E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.53887E-59.53887E-51.00.00.00132481429.534837E-49.534837E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-73.509864E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-61.5042266E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-51.8313805E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.8312308E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-81.2688718E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438022E-85.438022E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207895E-76.6207895E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.620771E-66.620771E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-92.032067E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-98.7088585E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-71.0603035E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-61.0603031E-61.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-42.937271E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00125837780.00125837781.00.00.0084200970.01523461750.0162193831.06463990.0010.0810811450.139624540.140484911.0061620.001
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-42.937271E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00125837780.00125837781.00.00.0084200970.01523461750.0162193831.06463990.0010.0810811450.139624540.140484911.0061620.001
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-42.937271E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00125837780.00125837781.00.00.0084200970.01523461750.0162193831.06463990.0010.0810811450.139624540.140484911.0061620.001
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-41.7703463E-41.00.04.332882E-47.5861585E-47.5861585E-41.00.00.0052625310.00921772050.00921772051.00.00.05139640.087073930.087073931.00.0
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-41.7703463E-41.00.04.332882E-47.5861585E-47.5861585E-41.00.00.0052625310.00921772050.00921772051.00.00.05139640.087073930.087073931.00.0
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-54.6391986E-51.00.01.569536E-41.9880968E-41.9880968E-41.00.00.0019092350.00241818140.00241818141.00.00.018929150.0236970610.0236970611.00.0
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-52.6147465E-51.00.01.073584E-41.12056E-41.12056E-41.00.00.00130630470.00136347250.00136347251.00.00.0129865250.0135657590.0135657591.00.0
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-52.2072489E-51.00.09.509556E-59.459316E-59.459316E-51.00.00.00115717340.00115109960.00115109961.00.00.0115116630.01146632250.01146632251.00.0
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-51.44376E-51.00.07.137396E-56.187399E-56.187399E-51.00.08.686314E-47.5306057E-47.5306057E-41.00.00.0086524390.00751007630.00751007631.00.0
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-51.2331886E-51.00.06.446802E-55.2849886E-55.2849886E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.4326054E-46.4326054E-41.00.00.0078185090.0064179250.0064179251.00.0
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-51.1451172E-51.00.06.154734E-54.9075545E-54.9075545E-51.00.07.490812E-45.973339E-45.973339E-41.00.00.0074656120.0059609820.0059609821.00.0
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-51.0244736E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.3905282E-54.3905282E-51.00.06.919436E-45.344183E-45.344183E-41.00.00.0068979310.00533460030.00533460031.00.0
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-68.504847E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6448844E-53.6448844E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4367602E-44.4367602E-41.00.00.0060326030.0044293570.0044293571.00.0
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-67.238537E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.102194E-53.102194E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.776281E-43.776281E-41.00.00.0052825810.0037702710.0037702711.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-66.352307E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7223898E-52.7223898E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.314019E-43.314019E-41.00.00.0047269960.00330922570.00330922571.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-65.225419E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2394468E-52.2394468E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7261977E-42.7261977E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272297840.00272297841.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-64.687336E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0088435E-52.0088435E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.445504E-42.445504E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244292920.00244292921.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-62.329331E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.982813E-69.982813E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2153471E-41.2153471E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121475550.00121475551.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-55.497084E-51.00.02.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.3556968E-41.00.00.00246780760.0028645580.0028645581.00.00.0244058180.0283044560.0292761511.03433010.001
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-55.497084E-51.00.02.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.3556968E-41.00.00.00246780760.0028645580.0028645581.00.00.0244058180.0283044560.0292761511.03433010.001
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-53.3925004E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.4538495E-41.00.00.00158582120.00176865920.00176865921.00.00.0157455220.017549780.017549781.00.0
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-53.3925004E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.4538495E-41.00.00.00158582120.00176865920.00176865921.00.00.0157455220.017549780.017549781.00.0
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-52.7912318E-51.00.01.09075794E-41.1961885E-41.1961885E-41.00.00.00132718870.00145540560.00145540561.00.00.0131929020.014460910.014460911.00.0
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-52.5128133E-51.00.09.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.07687636E-41.00.00.00120689480.0013103230.0013103231.00.00.0120036110.0130276380.0130276381.00.0
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-52.0354244E-51.00.08.193392E-58.722961E-58.722961E-51.00.09.97089E-40.0010615110.0010615111.00.00.009926270.0105653170.0105653171.00.0
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-51.8146253E-51.00.07.3832496E-57.776737E-57.776737E-51.00.08.985399E-49.4641204E-49.4641204E-41.00.00.0089491540.0094244610.0094244611.00.0
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-51.5926391E-51.00.06.56442E-56.82542E-56.82542E-51.00.07.98925E-48.3068234E-48.3068234E-41.00.00.0079605890.0082762610.0082762611.00.0
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-51.332953E-51.00.05.6018336E-55.712532E-55.712532E-51.00.06.8180985E-46.952811E-46.952811E-41.00.00.00679721730.00693131840.00693131841.00.0
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-51.1932688E-51.00.05.0728955E-55.1139097E-55.1139097E-51.00.06.1745E-46.2244234E-46.2244234E-41.00.00.0061573720.00620718250.00620718251.00.0
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-51.0542107E-51.00.04.541565E-54.5179684E-54.5179684E-51.00.05.5279525E-45.4992497E-45.4992497E-41.00.00.00551422130.0054857720.0054857721.00.0
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-69.45905E-61.00.04.11042E-54.053816E-54.053816E-51.00.05.0032866E-44.934414E-44.934414E-41.00.00.0049920370.00492357650.00492357651.00.0
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-68.379489E-61.00.03.679698E-53.591161E-53.591161E-51.00.04.4791115E-44.3713715E-44.3713715E-41.00.00.0044700940.0043628840.0043628841.00.0
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-66.9514485E-61.00.03.112377E-52.9791589E-52.9791589E-51.00.03.78866E-43.6265317E-43.6265317E-41.00.00.00378220740.0036207140.0036207141.00.0
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-65.2514984E-61.00.02.411676E-52.2506232E-52.2506232E-51.00.02.9358198E-42.7397962E-42.7397962E-41.00.00.00293194430.00273649050.00273649051.00.0
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-62.0608632E-61.00.09.708152E-68.832241E-68.832241E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0752732E-41.0752732E-41.00.00.0011812750.00107476150.00107476151.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-61.1016228E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212325E-64.7212325E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7479516E-55.7479516E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7464885E-45.7464885E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-76.0710704E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.601885E-62.601885E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.16775E-53.16775E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167312E-43.167312E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-95.090092E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181468E-82.181468E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.655937E-72.655937E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559348E-62.6559348E-61.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-52.1706745E-51.00.08.486947E-59.302599E-59.302599E-51.00.00.00103279590.00113207510.00113207511.00.00.0102800910.0112702580.0122589881.08772910.001
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-52.1706745E-51.00.08.486947E-59.302599E-59.302599E-51.00.00.00103279590.00113207510.00113207511.00.00.0102800910.0112702580.0122589881.08772910.001
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-52.1706745E-51.00.08.486947E-59.302599E-59.302599E-51.00.00.00103279590.00113207510.00113207511.00.00.0102800910.0112702580.0122589881.08772910.001
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-51.682067E-51.00.06.576172E-57.2086936E-57.2086936E-51.00.08.003548E-48.773662E-48.773662E-41.00.00.0079747840.008745070.0097363241.11335020.001
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-51.682067E-51.00.06.576172E-57.2086936E-57.2086936E-51.00.08.003548E-48.773662E-48.773662E-41.00.00.0079747840.008745070.0097363241.11335020.001
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-51.5557987E-51.00.06.081157E-56.6675726E-56.6675726E-51.00.07.401293E-48.115349E-48.115349E-41.00.00.00737669130.0080916560.0090835641.12258410.001
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-51.4771577E-51.00.05.7724297E-56.330556E-56.330556E-51.00.07.025667E-47.7053264E-47.7053264E-41.00.00.00700349640.00768451440.008676831.12913180.001
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-51.4281745E-51.00.05.5832945E-56.120638E-56.120638E-51.00.06.7955407E-47.4499263E-47.4499263E-41.00.00.0067747980.00743082860.0084233981.13357450.001
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-66.2244176E-61.00.02.4408775E-52.6675973E-52.6675973E-51.00.02.971363E-43.2476155E-43.2476155E-41.00.00.00296739330.00324581050.00424256461.30708940.001
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-64.7930553E-61.00.01.879567E-52.0541665E-52.0541665E-51.00.02.2881327E-42.5009477E-42.5009477E-41.00.00.0022857780.00250094780.0034984471.39884840.001

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-50.001063306816.7792930.0012.2904722E-42.7156167E-40.00127129014.68140460.0010.00278508360.00330185150.00429854961.30186030.0010.0275043660.032589480.0335568931.02968480.001
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-50.001063306816.7792930.0012.2904722E-42.7156167E-40.00127129014.68140460.0010.00278508360.00330185150.00429854961.30186030.0010.0275043660.032589480.0335568931.02968480.001
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-50.001026616238.532550.0019.9379584E-51.1417881E-40.00111406469.7571930.0010.00120927490.00138928750.00238789831.71879340.0010.0120271550.013810890.0147970791.07140660.001
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-50.001026616238.532550.0019.9379584E-51.1417881E-40.00111406469.7571930.0010.00120927490.00138928750.00238789831.71879340.0010.0120271550.013810890.0147970791.07140660.001
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-50.00102244145.515820.0018.425682E-59.626848E-50.001096172311.3866170.0010.0010253440.00117147870.0021703071.8526220.0010.0102062590.0116571190.0126454621.08478450.001
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-50.001019725551.6443440.0017.4324824E-58.461954E-50.001084534912.8166010.0019.04529E-40.00102979290.0020287631.97006890.0010.0090085610.0102539320.0112436791.09652350.001
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-51.6322716E-51.00.06.170443E-56.99528E-56.99528E-51.00.07.509924E-48.513747E-48.513747E-41.00.00.00748459530.0084843330.0084843331.00.0
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-51.4285298E-51.00.05.414838E-56.122144E-56.122144E-51.00.06.590571E-47.451466E-47.451466E-41.00.00.0065710590.0074295020.0074295021.00.0
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-51.2933193E-51.00.04.911726E-55.542696E-55.542696E-51.00.05.9783855E-46.74644E-46.74644E-41.00.00.00596232760.00672889970.00672889971.00.0
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-51.0235013E-51.00.03.9038136E-54.386376E-54.386376E-51.00.04.7518566E-45.339384E-45.339384E-41.00.00.00474170830.00532930950.00532930951.00.0
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-66.583965E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.821682E-52.821682E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4350925E-43.4350925E-41.00.00.00309207060.00343209970.00343209971.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-62.2096492E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469892E-69.469892E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.15289986E-41.15289986E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115231720.00115231721.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-62.1779954E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334234E-69.334234E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13638525E-41.13638525E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113581950.00113581951.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-61.7442885E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.475501E-67.475501E-61.00.08.94604E-59.1010515E-59.1010515E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.0974156E-49.0974156E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-61.4641878E-61.00.06.200554E-66.275076E-66.275076E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639644E-57.639644E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6370913E-47.6370913E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-61.2931506E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5420624E-65.5420624E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747259E-56.747259E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745281E-46.745281E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-76.76947E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-62.9011985E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532158E-53.532158E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-43.5316538E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-84.5699714E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-71.9585592E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-62.3845432E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-52.3845198E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-91.5138054E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-96.4877375E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.89882E-87.89882E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.89882E-77.89882E-71.00.0

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7590016E-50.001047542422.011810.0011.7917668E-42.039422E-40.00120373835.902350.0010.00217929340.00248033340.0034778531.40217160.0010.0215804520.024544110.0255195671.0397430.001
6.14.1810763E-54.7590016E-50.001047542422.011810.0011.7917668E-42.039422E-40.00120373835.902350.0010.00217929340.00248033340.0034778531.40217160.0010.0215804520.024544110.0255195671.0397430.001
6.24.1810763E-54.7590016E-50.001047542422.011810.0011.7917668E-42.039422E-40.00120373835.902350.0010.00217929340.00248033340.0034778531.40217160.0010.0215804520.024544110.0255195671.0397430.001
6.34.1810763E-54.7590016E-50.001047542422.011810.0011.7917668E-42.039422E-40.00120373835.902350.0010.00217929340.00248033340.0034778531.40217160.0010.0215804520.024544110.0255195671.0397430.001
6.44.1810763E-54.7590016E-50.001047542422.011810.0011.7917668E-42.039422E-40.00120373835.902350.0010.00217929340.00248033340.0034778531.40217160.0010.0215804520.024544110.0255195671.0397430.001
6.53.154503E-53.5359757E-50.001035324429.2797370.0011.3518598E-41.5153353E-40.0011513827.59819940.0010.00164464670.00184345180.00284160841.54146060.0010.016325280.0182912440.0192729531.0536710.001
6.63.1535834E-53.5349138E-50.001035313829.2882330.0011.3514658E-41.5148803E-40.00115133667.60018160.0010.00164416760.00184289870.00284105591.54162350.0010.016320560.0182858050.019267521.05368720.001
6.72.8267326E-53.1469353E-50.001031437932.7759480.0011.2114006E-41.3486217E-40.00113472738.4139780.0010.00147388240.00164079540.00263915471.60846050.0010.0146414520.016295570.0172792771.06036640.001
6.82.8212884E-53.1407242E-50.001031375832.838790.0011.20906756E-41.3459599E-40.00113446148.4286410.0010.00147104570.00163755950.0026359221.60966480.0010.0146134590.0162636880.0172474241.06048670.001
6.92.4227871E-52.6706994E-50.001026680338.4423750.0011.03829596E-41.1445395E-40.00111433959.7361380.0010.00126339230.00139266210.00239126941.71704940.0010.0125623360.01384703350.0148331871.07121770.001
7.02.348524E-52.5835778E-50.001025809939.7050130.0011.0064714E-41.10720495E-40.001110609710.0307520.0010.00122469010.0013472640.00234591681.7412450.0010.0121796270.0133985980.0143851991.07363460.001
7.12.2311642E-52.4462845E-50.001024438441.877320.0019.561782E-51.04836974E-40.001104732210.537620.0010.00116352520.00127571760.00227444181.78287260.0010.011574520.012691460.0136787681.07779310.001
7.21.6533986E-51.7670362E-50.001017652757.5909350.0017.085802E-57.572828E-50.001075652514.2041050.0018.623549E-49.2166534E-40.00192074362.08399250.0010.0085901610.0091847070.0101755221.10787670.001
7.31.4703092E-51.5559537E-50.001015543965.2682650.0016.301173E-56.668237E-50.001066615715.9954670.0017.668978E-48.1161706E-40.00181080542.23110820.0010.00764256580.0080926040.0090845121.12256970.001
7.46.1331984E-65.5288874E-65.5288874E-61.00.02.6284872E-52.3695018E-52.3695018E-51.00.03.199713E-42.884492E-42.884492E-41.00.00.00319510980.00288080240.00288080241.00.0
7.55.954766E-65.338517E-65.338517E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.2879161E-52.2879161E-51.00.03.1066386E-42.785187E-42.785187E-41.00.00.0031022990.00278175040.00278175041.00.0
7.64.9726646E-64.315309E-64.315309E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.8494053E-51.8494053E-51.00.02.5943352E-42.2514217E-42.2514217E-41.00.00.00259130840.00224917540.00224917541.00.0
7.73.3613894E-62.8526886E-62.8526886E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.22257525E-51.22257525E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4883863E-41.4883863E-41.00.00.00175239080.00148741570.00148741571.00.0
7.81.1828961E-61.0122935E-61.0122935E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338394E-64.338394E-61.00.06.171996E-55.281869E-55.281869E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280643E-45.280643E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.861919E-71.861919E-71.00.09.843111E-77.97965E-77.97965E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715184E-69.715184E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.714788E-59.714788E-51.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-51.8103729E-51.00.07.412385E-57.7585224E-57.7585224E-51.00.09.0208417E-49.4421144E-49.4421144E-41.00.00.0089843110.0094041160.0103947121.10533640.001
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-51.8103729E-51.00.07.412385E-57.7585224E-57.7585224E-51.00.09.0208417E-49.4421144E-49.4421144E-41.00.00.0089843110.0094041160.0103947121.10533640.001
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-51.8103729E-51.00.07.412385E-57.7585224E-57.7585224E-51.00.09.0208417E-49.4421144E-49.4421144E-41.00.00.0089843110.0094041160.0103947121.10533640.001
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-51.1135425E-51.00.04.5723988E-54.772239E-54.772239E-51.00.05.5654737E-45.80868E-45.80868E-41.00.00.00555155570.00579379360.00678799951.17159840.001
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-51.1135425E-51.00.04.5723988E-54.772239E-54.772239E-51.00.05.5654737E-45.80868E-45.80868E-41.00.00.00555155570.00579379360.00678799951.17159840.001
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-69.170197E-61.00.03.767105E-53.930026E-53.930026E-51.00.04.585485E-44.7837716E-44.7837716E-41.00.00.00457603440.0047736380.0057688651.20848380.001
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-67.715537E-61.00.03.1700827E-53.3066175E-53.3066175E-51.00.03.858892E-44.025073E-44.025073E-41.00.00.0038521980.004017890.0050138721.24788690.001
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-66.738031E-61.00.02.7685543E-52.887696E-52.887696E-51.00.03.3701936E-43.5152107E-43.5152107E-41.00.00.00336508690.0035097320.00450622241.28392210.001
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-65.836009E-61.00.02.4000226E-52.5011232E-52.5011232E-51.00.02.9216358E-43.044698E-43.044698E-41.00.00.00291779750.0030405880.00403754741.32788370.001
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-65.0395092E-61.00.02.0738931E-52.159772E-52.159772E-51.00.02.5246723E-42.6292098E-42.6292098E-41.00.00.0025218060.0026261470.00362352071.3797860.001
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-63.845208E-61.00.01.5830317E-51.647936E-51.647936E-51.00.01.9271708E-42.0061806E-42.0061806E-41.00.00.00192550030.0020044010.00300239661.49790220.001
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-62.8978538E-61.00.01.1939455E-51.2419316E-51.2419316E-51.00.01.4535317E-41.511949E-41.511949E-41.00.00.00145258140.00151094180.00151094181.00.0
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-62.2540128E-61.00.09.2879945E-69.66002E-69.66002E-61.00.01.1307546E-41.1760458E-41.1760458E-41.00.00.00113017940.00117544170.00117544171.00.0
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-61.5422102E-61.00.06.3529114E-66.6094562E-66.6094562E-61.00.07.734395E-58.046731E-58.046731E-51.00.07.731704E-48.0439687E-48.0439687E-41.00.0
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-74.4108765E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8903745E-61.8903745E-61.00.02.2082493E-52.3015113E-52.3015113E-51.00.02.2080299E-42.3013182E-42.3013182E-41.00.0
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-85.9415648E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463845E-72.5463845E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-63.1002196E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-53.1001844E-51.00.0

Rinconada 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5752368E-51.6274716E-51.6274716E-51.00.06.75084E-56.974694E-56.974694E-51.00.08.2160486E-48.488413E-48.488413E-41.00.00.0081857390.008456370.0094479141.1172540.001
6.11.0966133E-51.1323029E-51.1323029E-51.00.04.6996865E-54.852637E-54.852637E-51.00.05.720366E-45.9064914E-45.9064914E-41.00.00.00570566350.0058908890.0068849981.16875360.001
6.21.0966133E-51.1323029E-51.1323029E-51.00.04.6996865E-54.852637E-54.852637E-51.00.05.720366E-45.9064914E-45.9064914E-41.00.00.00570566350.0058908890.0068849981.16875360.001
6.38.926149E-69.212772E-69.212772E-61.00.03.8254362E-53.948271E-53.948271E-51.00.04.6564735E-44.8059633E-44.8059633E-41.00.00.00464672830.00479561460.0057908191.20752380.001
6.47.676955E-67.920191E-67.920191E-61.00.03.290082E-53.3943234E-53.3943234E-51.00.04.0049385E-44.131807E-44.131807E-41.00.00.00399772870.0041241510.0041241511.00.0
6.56.1671026E-66.358955E-66.358955E-61.00.02.6430173E-52.725238E-52.725238E-51.00.03.2173982E-43.317473E-43.317473E-41.00.00.0032127440.00331253260.00331253261.00.0
6.65.553456E-65.7248126E-65.7248126E-61.00.02.3800309E-52.4534682E-52.4534682E-51.00.02.897302E-42.9866886E-42.9866886E-41.00.00.00289352770.00298268320.00298268321.00.0
6.74.787857E-64.93331E-64.93331E-61.00.02.0519226E-52.1142585E-52.1142585E-51.00.02.4979294E-42.573806E-42.573806E-41.00.00.00249512350.0025708310.0025708311.00.0
6.83.9955166E-64.1134763E-64.1134763E-61.00.01.7123532E-51.7629065E-51.7629065E-51.00.02.0845905E-42.1461275E-42.1461275E-41.00.00.0020826360.00214405870.00214405871.00.0
6.93.4250072E-63.5224466E-63.5224466E-61.00.01.46785205E-51.5096112E-51.5096112E-51.00.01.7869633E-41.8377969E-41.8377969E-41.00.00.0017855270.00183627950.00183627951.00.0
7.02.7712713E-62.8467002E-62.8467002E-61.00.01.1876823E-51.22000865E-51.22000865E-51.00.01.4459073E-41.4852594E-41.4852594E-41.00.00.00144496680.00148426830.00148426831.00.0
7.12.227358E-62.2856987E-62.2856987E-61.00.09.545785E-69.795815E-69.795815E-61.00.01.16213734E-41.1925753E-41.1925753E-41.00.00.00116152980.00119193630.00119193631.00.0
7.21.581796E-61.6209015E-61.6209015E-61.00.06.779108E-66.946702E-66.946702E-61.00.08.253252E-58.4572814E-58.4572814E-51.00.08.250187E-48.4540684E-48.4540684E-41.00.0
7.31.0306567E-61.054648E-61.054648E-61.00.04.4170924E-64.519912E-64.519912E-61.00.05.3776774E-55.502854E-55.502854E-51.00.05.376376E-45.501494E-45.501494E-41.00.0
7.46.535541E-76.682744E-76.682744E-71.00.02.800943E-62.8640302E-62.8640302E-61.00.03.4100947E-53.4869012E-53.4869012E-51.00.03.4095717E-43.486355E-43.486355E-41.00.0
7.53.2656962E-73.3316712E-73.3316712E-71.00.01.3995833E-61.4278584E-61.4278584E-61.00.01.7039794E-51.7384036E-51.7384036E-51.00.01.7038487E-41.738268E-41.738268E-41.00.0
7.69.754343E-89.821017E-89.821017E-81.00.04.180432E-74.2090065E-74.2090065E-71.00.05.089664E-65.1244533E-65.1244533E-61.00.05.0895473E-55.124336E-55.124336E-51.00.0
7.76.0001453E-95.8491207E-95.8491207E-91.00.02.5714908E-82.506766E-82.506766E-81.00.03.1307894E-73.051987E-73.051987E-71.00.03.1307852E-63.0519832E-63.0519832E-61.00.0
7.87.400003E-117.4654505E-117.4654505E-111.00.03.171432E-103.1994773E-103.1994773E-101.00.03.861218E-93.895363E-93.895363E-91.00.03.861218E-83.895363E-83.895363E-81.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-47.778562E-41.00.00.00237938480.00332995830.0043266281.29930410.0010.0285869630.0402350430.0411948081.02385390.0010.251762840.33719730.33786011.00196560.001
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-43.0278185E-41.00.08.2510663E-40.0012970850.0012970851.00.00.00999948850.015773930.015773931.00.00.0956132560.149758250.149758251.00.0
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-41.8243887E-41.00.04.0410945E-47.8164786E-47.8164786E-41.00.00.00490893840.0094752460.0094752461.00.00.0480190630.09185650.09185651.00.0
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-41.794041E-41.00.03.9778434E-47.686494E-47.686494E-41.00.00.00483227470.0093183550.0093183551.00.00.0472853850.0905094740.0905094741.00.0
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-41.7702584E-41.00.03.916052E-47.5846276E-47.5846276E-41.00.00.00475737450.0091953870.0091953871.00.00.0465680920.08941360.08941361.00.0
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-41.746064E-41.00.03.8566816E-47.4809964E-47.4809964E-41.00.00.00468540470.0090702840.0090702841.00.00.0458784030.088296080.088296081.00.0
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-41.7141816E-41.00.03.7755648E-47.3444354E-47.3444354E-41.00.00.00458706540.0089054040.0089054041.00.00.044935290.086827070.086827071.00.0
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-41.7008898E-41.00.03.7443507E-47.287503E-47.287503E-41.00.00.00454922160.0088366950.0088366951.00.00.044572130.08622680.08622681.00.0
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-41.6954402E-41.00.03.7324068E-47.26416E-47.26416E-41.00.00.00453474050.0088085130.0088085131.00.00.044433130.085974360.085974361.00.0
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-41.6895356E-41.00.03.7195362E-47.238869E-47.238869E-41.00.00.00451913570.00877796950.00877796951.00.00.0442833270.085700420.085700421.00.0
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-41.664819E-41.00.03.6668387E-47.132999E-47.132999E-41.00.00.0044552410.0086501030.0086501031.00.00.0436697270.084548360.084548361.00.0
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-41.5128969E-41.00.03.3535215E-46.4822397E-46.4822397E-41.00.00.00407527060.0078637380.0078637381.00.00.0400134180.0774604450.0774604451.00.0
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-41.4866212E-41.00.03.2956956E-46.369685E-46.369685E-41.00.00.0040051290.00772768260.00772768261.00.00.03933710.076233410.076233411.00.0
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-41.4562748E-41.00.03.2371894E-46.239692E-46.239692E-41.00.00.0039341570.00757052560.00757052561.00.00.0386523340.074797770.074797771.00.0
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-41.4263717E-41.00.03.1802364E-46.1115966E-46.1115966E-41.00.00.0038650650.00741564160.00741564161.00.00.037985290.073371520.073371521.00.0
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-41.1191443E-41.00.02.6352672E-44.795452E-44.795452E-41.00.00.00320371780.0058228650.0058228651.00.00.031579230.0585594620.0585594621.00.0
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-41.102009E-41.00.02.598746E-44.7220418E-44.7220418E-41.00.00.00315938280.0057339620.0057339621.00.00.0311484170.057720420.057720421.00.0
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-59.175265E-51.00.02.2134806E-43.9316638E-43.9316638E-41.00.00.0026915820.00477630460.00477630461.00.00.0265921410.048536410.048536411.00.0
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-58.560165E-51.00.02.060858E-43.6681266E-43.6681266E-41.00.00.00250620720.0044568070.0044568071.00.00.0247813050.0453022640.0453022641.00.0
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-56.7507375E-51.00.01.7014367E-42.8928524E-42.8928524E-41.00.00.0020695310.00351636340.00351636341.00.00.0205036360.035881760.035881761.00.0
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-54.0698153E-51.00.01.2420409E-41.7440901E-41.7440901E-41.00.00.00151113570.00212136280.00212136281.00.00.0150090120.022011180.022011181.00.0
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-51.867974E-51.00.08.0724014E-58.005358E-58.005358E-51.00.09.823717E-49.742171E-49.742171E-41.00.00.0097804030.0104877110.0104877111.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926368E-52.7926368E-51.00.01.3694567E-41.19679185E-41.19679185E-41.00.00.00166603840.00145616340.00245470721.68573620.0010.0165360330.014470770.0154562991.06810490.001
6.12.1156782E-51.7573117E-51.7573117E-51.00.09.066878E-57.531123E-57.531123E-51.00.00.00110333339.1653795E-49.1653795E-41.00.00.0109787130.0091285870.0091285871.00.0
6.21.6195117E-51.3327227E-51.3327227E-51.00.06.9405796E-55.7115452E-55.7115452E-51.00.08.44688E-46.9516135E-46.9516135E-41.00.00.0084148440.00693016170.00693016171.00.0
6.31.3559345E-51.1179013E-51.1179013E-51.00.05.811018E-54.7909183E-54.7909183E-51.00.07.072618E-45.8313913E-45.8313913E-41.00.00.00705015050.0058162080.0058162081.00.0
6.41.2120619E-51.0000874E-51.0000874E-51.00.05.1944477E-54.2860185E-54.2860185E-51.00.06.322405E-45.216983E-45.216983E-41.00.00.0063044470.0052048040.0052048041.00.0
6.51.13511915E-59.367378E-69.367378E-61.00.04.8647056E-54.0145293E-54.0145293E-51.00.05.9211696E-44.886598E-44.886598E-41.00.00.00590541730.00487591140.00487591141.00.0
6.69.850605E-68.1353155E-68.1353155E-61.00.04.2216197E-53.4865174E-53.4865174E-51.00.05.1386096E-44.2440102E-44.2440102E-41.00.00.00512674360.00423593770.00423593771.00.0
6.78.8558645E-67.318341E-67.318341E-61.00.03.7953152E-53.1363943E-53.1363943E-51.00.04.6198163E-43.8178926E-43.8178926E-41.00.00.0046102240.00381135920.00381135921.00.0
6.87.67136E-66.39169E-66.39169E-61.00.03.2876844E-52.739267E-52.739267E-51.00.04.0020206E-43.3345487E-43.3345487E-41.00.00.0039948210.00332956640.00332956641.00.0
6.96.534529E-65.458261E-65.458261E-61.00.02.8004823E-52.3392338E-52.3392338E-51.00.03.4090536E-42.8476462E-42.8476462E-41.00.00.00340382870.0028440140.0028440141.00.0
7.05.460525E-64.5699203E-64.5699203E-61.00.02.3402039E-51.9585226E-51.9585226E-51.00.02.8488258E-42.3842414E-42.3842414E-41.00.00.00284517650.00238169730.00238169731.00.0
7.14.4825083E-63.7524153E-63.7524153E-61.00.01.9210609E-51.6081682E-51.6081682E-51.00.02.3386406E-41.9577699E-41.9577699E-41.00.00.0023361810.0019560570.0019560571.00.0
7.22.821708E-62.424941E-62.424941E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0392562E-51.0392562E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.265221E-41.265221E-41.00.00.00147124570.00126450320.00126450321.00.0
7.32.0644757E-61.7687502E-61.7687502E-61.00.08.847723E-67.580336E-67.580336E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.228668E-59.228668E-51.00.00.0010766359.224854E-49.224854E-41.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4379966E-61.4379966E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1628284E-66.1628284E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.502986E-57.502986E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.5004686E-47.5004686E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1302697E-61.1302697E-61.00.05.844708E-64.844004E-64.844004E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.897415E-55.897415E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.8958656E-45.8958656E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.6772847E-77.6772847E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2902608E-63.2902608E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.005819E-54.005819E-51.00.05.113757E-44.0051117E-44.0051117E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0050708E-74.0050708E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7164577E-61.7164577E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0897673E-52.0897673E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0895849E-42.0895849E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5285202E-71.5285202E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.5507993E-76.5507993E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.975569E-67.975569E-61.00.01.522967E-47.97542E-57.97542E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.6208047E-84.6208047E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9803447E-71.9803447E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.411067E-62.411067E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4111772E-52.4111772E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0093144E-109.0093144E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8611354E-93.8611354E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7009323E-84.7009323E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.712806E-74.712806E-71.00.0