Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7098253E-5 | 1.6709343E-4 | 4.5040784 | 1.3E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5898557E-4 | 3.789506E-4 | 2.3835535 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019344076 | 0.0022937113 | 1.1857435 | 3.6E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019222243 | 0.019732248 | 1.0265319 | 5.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7098253E-5 | 1.6709343E-4 | 4.5040784 | 1.3E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5898557E-4 | 3.789506E-4 | 2.3835535 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019344076 | 0.0022937113 | 1.1857435 | 3.6E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019222243 | 0.019732248 | 1.0265319 | 5.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7098253E-5 | 1.6709343E-4 | 4.5040784 | 1.3E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5898557E-4 | 3.789506E-4 | 2.3835535 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019344076 | 0.0022937113 | 1.1857435 | 3.6E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019222243 | 0.019732248 | 1.0265319 | 5.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7098253E-5 | 1.6709343E-4 | 4.5040784 | 1.3E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5898557E-4 | 3.789506E-4 | 2.3835535 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019344076 | 0.0022937113 | 1.1857435 | 3.6E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019222243 | 0.019732248 | 1.0265319 | 5.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1231957E-5 | 9.1230475E-5 | 4.296847 | 7.0E-5 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.099191E-5 | 1.9098281E-4 | 2.0988986 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011074357 | 0.0012672585 | 1.1443179 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010006315 | 0.011036023 | 0.011243705 | 1.0188186 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1231957E-5 | 9.1230475E-5 | 4.296847 | 7.0E-5 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.099191E-5 | 1.9098281E-4 | 2.0988986 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011074357 | 0.0012672585 | 1.1443179 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010006315 | 0.011036023 | 0.011243705 | 1.0188186 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.674E-6 | 4.9673614E-5 | 5.134754 | 4.0E-5 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.145938E-5 | 9.145731E-5 | 2.2059495 | 5.0E-5 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.046583E-4 | 5.946129E-4 | 1.1782485 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050358484 | 0.005135345 | 1.0197576 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.661563E-6 | 4.9661176E-5 | 5.1400766 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.1406085E-5 | 9.1404014E-5 | 2.2075021 | 5.0E-5 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.040097E-4 | 5.9396436E-4 | 1.178478 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0051012407 | 0.0050293915 | 0.0051288884 | 1.0197831 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.779714E-6 | 3.7779482E-5 | 4.8561525 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3341235E-5 | 7.33399E-5 | 2.1996756 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.058589E-4 | 4.758305E-4 | 1.1724037 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004218856 | 0.004051672 | 0.004131348 | 1.0196649 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.48558E-6 | 2.548547E-5 | 4.6459026 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3509421E-5 | 4.350895E-5 | 1.8507028 | 2.0E-5 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8619036E-4 | 3.1618177E-4 | 1.1047953 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031688702 | 0.002858296 | 0.0028882101 | 1.0104657 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9865366E-6 | 2.4986437E-5 | 5.01078 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1370699E-5 | 4.1370273E-5 | 1.9358408 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.6015786E-4 | 2.9015006E-4 | 1.1152846 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025986005 | 0.0026285227 | 1.0115147 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0905043E-6 | 2.4090423E-5 | 5.889353 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7530616E-5 | 3.7530266E-5 | 2.1408412 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1341477E-4 | 2.4340836E-4 | 1.1405413 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021321396 | 0.0021620756 | 1.0140404 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9802231E-6 | 1.2980193E-5 | 4.3554435 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2772322E-5 | 2.2772196E-5 | 1.782933 | 1.0E-5 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5549205E-4 | 1.6549049E-4 | 1.064302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015538437 | 0.0015638282 | 1.0064256 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0970137E-6 | 2.0970137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.987171E-6 | 8.987171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.09413384E-4 | 1.09413384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010936024 | 0.0010936024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0284014E-6 | 1.0284014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.4074272E-6 | 4.4074272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3659132E-5 | 5.3659132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.3646474E-4 | 5.3646474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.921525E-7 | 4.921525E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1092235E-6 | 2.1092235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5679508E-5 | 2.5679508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5676697E-4 | 2.5676697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4799687E-7 | 2.4799687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0628432E-6 | 1.0628432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2940043E-5 | 1.2940043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2939327E-4 | 1.2939327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.3980246E-8 | 7.3980246E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1705818E-7 | 3.1705818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8601775E-6 | 3.8601775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.860122E-5 | 3.860122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7647848E-8 | 1.7647848E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.563363E-8 | 7.563363E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.208392E-7 | 9.208392E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.208369E-6 | 9.208369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7335914E-5 | 1.173326E-4 | 2.4787226 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0285427E-4 | 3.7281978E-4 | 1.8378701 | 1.7E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024672758 | 0.0027166589 | 1.1010764 | 2.5E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.024432767 | 0.024735194 | 1.0123779 | 3.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7335914E-5 | 1.173326E-4 | 2.4787226 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0285427E-4 | 3.7281978E-4 | 1.8378701 | 1.7E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024672758 | 0.0027166589 | 1.1010764 | 2.5E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.024432767 | 0.024735194 | 1.0123779 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7335914E-5 | 1.173326E-4 | 2.4787226 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0285427E-4 | 3.7281978E-4 | 1.8378701 | 1.7E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024672758 | 0.0027166589 | 1.1010764 | 2.5E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.024432767 | 0.024735194 | 1.0123779 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.8316035E-5 | 3.831567E-5 | 2.0919194 | 2.0E-5 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.8495046E-5 | 1.3849033E-4 | 1.7643194 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010231105 | 9.5527724E-4 | 0.0010352008 | 1.0836654 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01018413 | 0.009514809 | 0.009603952 | 1.0093689 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.36454555E-5 | 1.36454555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.8479247E-5 | 7.847808E-5 | 1.3419816 | 2.0E-5 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.117583E-4 | 7.3174405E-4 | 1.0280794 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070965593 | 0.0071164174 | 1.0027983 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3141709E-5 | 1.3141709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.632043E-5 | 7.63193E-5 | 1.355091 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.854914E-4 | 7.0547767E-4 | 1.0291562 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007874036 | 0.0068355273 | 0.0068553905 | 1.0029058 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0414641E-5 | 1.0414641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.4633427E-5 | 5.463298E-5 | 1.2240373 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.432784E-4 | 5.53273E-4 | 1.0183967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006737438 | 0.005420896 | 0.005430842 | 1.0018348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.93253E-6 | 9.93253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.25673E-5 | 5.2566873E-5 | 1.2349122 | 1.0E-5 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.181355E-4 | 5.2813033E-4 | 1.01929 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006522954 | 0.005170667 | 0.0051806155 | 1.001924 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.527406E-6 | 9.527406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.0831113E-5 | 5.0830702E-5 | 1.2449013 | 1.0E-5 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.970073E-4 | 5.070023E-4 | 1.0201105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063434686 | 0.004960296 | 0.0049702465 | 1.002006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.803118E-6 | 8.803118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.7727114E-5 | 4.7726735E-5 | 1.2650514 | 1.0E-5 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5923245E-4 | 4.6922785E-4 | 1.0217655 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045841266 | 0.0045940806 | 1.0021714 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.110849E-6 | 8.110849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4760327E-5 | 4.4759978E-5 | 1.2876743 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.2312633E-4 | 4.331221E-4 | 1.0236236 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004224521 | 0.004234479 | 1.0023571 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.3512692E-6 | 7.3512692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1505067E-5 | 4.150475E-5 | 1.3173993 | 1.0E-5 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8350798E-4 | 3.9350416E-4 | 1.0260651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038296634 | 0.003839625 | 1.0026011 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.566069E-6 | 6.566069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8139997E-5 | 2.8139997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4255182E-4 | 3.4255182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034213662 | 0.0034213662 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.6175845E-6 | 5.6175845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.4075145E-5 | 2.4075145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.9307653E-4 | 2.9307653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029272207 | 0.0029272207 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.0430513E-6 | 5.0430513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1612903E-5 | 2.1612903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.6310634E-4 | 2.6310634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.002628064 | 0.002628064 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9458387E-6 | 3.9458387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6910632E-5 | 1.6910632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.058684E-4 | 2.058684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020568667 | 0.0020568667 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.4056611E-6 | 3.4056611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4595613E-5 | 1.4595613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7768792E-4 | 1.7768792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017755396 | 0.0017755396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3409061E-6 | 2.3409061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.00324205E-5 | 1.00324205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2213862E-4 | 1.2213862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012207883 | 0.0012207883 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.4148746E-8 | 9.4148746E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.034946E-7 | 4.034946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9125388E-6 | 4.9125388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9124632E-5 | 4.9124632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.447578E-9 | 3.447578E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4775335E-8 | 1.4775335E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.798897E-7 | 1.798897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7988956E-6 | 1.7988956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5826212E-5 | 9.5824944E-5 | 6.054825 | 8.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7825E-5 | 1.8781687E-4 | 2.769139 | 1.2E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2548166E-4 | 0.0010552919 | 1.2783952 | 2.3E-4 | 0.007877788 | 0.008226657 | 0.008504353 | 1.0337557 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5826212E-5 | 9.5824944E-5 | 6.054825 | 8.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7825E-5 | 1.8781687E-4 | 2.769139 | 1.2E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2548166E-4 | 0.0010552919 | 1.2783952 | 2.3E-4 | 0.007877788 | 0.008226657 | 0.008504353 | 1.0337557 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5826212E-5 | 9.5824944E-5 | 6.054825 | 8.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7825E-5 | 1.8781687E-4 | 2.769139 | 1.2E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2548166E-4 | 0.0010552919 | 1.2783952 | 2.3E-4 | 0.007877788 | 0.008226657 | 0.008504353 | 1.0337557 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5826212E-5 | 9.5824944E-5 | 6.054825 | 8.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7825E-5 | 1.8781687E-4 | 2.769139 | 1.2E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2548166E-4 | 0.0010552919 | 1.2783952 | 2.3E-4 | 0.007877788 | 0.008226657 | 0.008504353 | 1.0337557 | 2.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4469469E-5 | 7.4468604E-5 | 5.146602 | 6.0E-5 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.2010666E-5 | 1.4200571E-4 | 2.2900207 | 8.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.547417E-4 | 8.946361E-4 | 1.1853539 | 1.4E-4 | 0.007248361 | 0.007524103 | 0.0077027488 | 1.0237432 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4469469E-5 | 7.4468604E-5 | 5.146602 | 6.0E-5 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.2010666E-5 | 1.4200571E-4 | 2.2900207 | 8.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.547417E-4 | 8.946361E-4 | 1.1853539 | 1.4E-4 | 0.007248361 | 0.007524103 | 0.0077027488 | 1.0237432 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0682314E-5 | 3.06821E-5 | 2.8722336 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5780573E-5 | 7.57792E-5 | 1.6552699 | 3.0E-5 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.572414E-4 | 6.1720796E-4 | 1.1076133 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055589834 | 0.005628594 | 1.0125222 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0682314E-5 | 3.06821E-5 | 2.8722336 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5780573E-5 | 7.57792E-5 | 1.6552699 | 3.0E-5 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.572414E-4 | 6.1720796E-4 | 1.1076133 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055589834 | 0.005628594 | 1.0125222 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.0187564E-5 | 2.0187463E-5 | 1.981579 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.366029E-5 | 6.365941E-5 | 1.4580622 | 2.0E-5 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.314397E-4 | 5.714185E-4 | 1.0752273 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052453685 | 0.005302219 | 0.005351954 | 1.00938 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.5572766E-6 | 7.5572766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.2387932E-5 | 3.2387932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.9425294E-4 | 3.9425294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040209293 | 0.003935649 | 0.003935649 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.9191847E-6 | 6.9191847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.9653318E-5 | 2.9653318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.609704E-4 | 3.609704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037173668 | 0.0036039392 | 0.0036039392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.3062404E-6 | 5.3062404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2740833E-5 | 2.2740833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.7683467E-4 | 2.7683467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0027649093 | 0.0027649093 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.5328165E-6 | 4.5328165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.9426212E-5 | 1.9426212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.364886E-4 | 2.364886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025721465 | 0.0023623714 | 0.0023623714 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.8113153E-6 | 3.8113153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.6334106E-5 | 1.6334106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9884971E-4 | 1.9884971E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019867164 | 0.0019867164 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 3.0488598E-6 | 3.0488598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.3066477E-5 | 1.3066477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5907282E-4 | 1.5907282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015895852 | 0.0015895852 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.3062648E-6 | 2.3062648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.8839555E-6 | 9.8839555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.2033057E-4 | 1.2033057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0012026485 | 0.0012026485 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.4453146E-6 | 1.4453146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.1941914E-6 | 6.1941914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.541171E-5 | 7.541171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.538526E-4 | 7.538526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.6677077E-7 | 7.6677077E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.2861562E-6 | 3.2861562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 4.0008235E-5 | 4.0008235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.9999935E-4 | 3.9999935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.3405626E-7 | 4.3405626E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.8602398E-6 | 1.8602398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.264819E-5 | 2.264819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.2644673E-4 | 2.2644673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.341452E-8 | 5.341452E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.2891936E-7 | 2.2891936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.787091E-6 | 2.787091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.787069E-5 | 2.787069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.8086415E-4 | 7.208369E-4 | 1.0587089 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029148546 | 0.0029946214 | 1.0273656 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.035038315 | 0.035125162 | 1.0024786 | 9.0E-5 | 0.1496549 | 0.28869057 | 0.2887688 | 1.0002711 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.8086415E-4 | 7.208369E-4 | 1.0587089 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029148546 | 0.0029946214 | 1.0273656 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.035038315 | 0.035125162 | 1.0024786 | 9.0E-5 | 0.1496549 | 0.28869057 | 0.2887688 | 1.0002711 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.8086415E-4 | 7.208369E-4 | 1.0587089 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029148546 | 0.0029946214 | 1.0273656 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.035038315 | 0.035125162 | 1.0024786 | 9.0E-5 | 0.1496549 | 0.28869057 | 0.2887688 | 1.0002711 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.8086415E-4 | 7.208369E-4 | 1.0587089 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029148546 | 0.0029946214 | 1.0273656 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.035038315 | 0.035125162 | 1.0024786 | 9.0E-5 | 0.1496549 | 0.28869057 | 0.2887688 | 1.0002711 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.377542E-4 | 4.6774108E-4 | 1.0685016 | 3.0E-5 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018747689 | 0.0019346564 | 1.0319439 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010316478 | 0.022592627 | 0.022661045 | 1.0030284 | 7.0E-5 | 0.098504856 | 0.19919975 | 0.19925581 | 1.0002815 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9318998E-4 | 3.131841E-4 | 1.0681951 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012559262 | 0.001295876 | 1.031809 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015184546 | 0.015233787 | 1.0032429 | 5.0E-5 | 0.065152965 | 0.14034276 | 0.14038573 | 1.0003062 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9318998E-4 | 3.131841E-4 | 1.0681951 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012559262 | 0.001295876 | 1.031809 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015184546 | 0.015233787 | 1.0032429 | 5.0E-5 | 0.065152965 | 0.14034276 | 0.14038573 | 1.0003062 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.489184E-4 | 2.489184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010663576 | 0.0010863362 | 1.0187354 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012905935 | 0.012925676 | 1.0015297 | 2.0E-5 | 0.054797906 | 0.1215238 | 0.121541366 | 1.0001446 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.440796E-4 | 2.440796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010456366 | 0.0010656157 | 1.0191071 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012656606 | 0.012676353 | 1.0015602 | 2.0E-5 | 0.053930566 | 0.11947301 | 0.119490616 | 1.0001473 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3776249E-4 | 2.3776249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537184E-4 | 0.0010185846 | 0.0010385643 | 1.019615 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012331016 | 0.01235077 | 1.0016019 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05279156 | 0.11677103 | 0.11678869 | 1.0001513 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.3143429E-4 | 2.3143429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.914846E-4 | 0.0010114647 | 1.0201517 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005285311 | 0.012004751 | 0.012024511 | 1.001646 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05161361 | 0.114032425 | 0.11405014 | 1.0001553 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.2429155E-4 | 2.2429155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.6089573E-4 | 9.808765E-4 | 1.0207939 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011636364 | 0.011656132 | 1.0016987 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05027629 | 0.110916175 | 0.11093396 | 1.0001603 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1789627E-4 | 2.1789627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.335073E-4 | 9.5348863E-4 | 1.0214046 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005018219 | 0.011306418 | 0.011326192 | 1.0017489 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049064007 | 0.10810399 | 0.10812183 | 1.000165 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 2.000369E-4 | 2.000369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.5701945E-4 | 8.770023E-4 | 1.0233167 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004746591 | 0.010384413 | 0.010404206 | 1.0019059 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046464786 | 0.10026799 | 0.10028599 | 1.0001794 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.9246341E-4 | 1.9246341E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.2458253E-4 | 8.4456604E-4 | 1.0242347 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009993186 | 0.010012986 | 1.0019814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.045316286 | 0.096888036 | 0.0969061 | 1.0001864 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8572317E-4 | 1.8572317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.957137E-4 | 8.156978E-4 | 1.0251147 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004516484 | 0.009644874 | 0.009664682 | 1.0020536 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04425787 | 0.093835026 | 0.09385315 | 1.0001931 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7953276E-4 | 1.7953276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.691993E-4 | 7.7919156E-4 | 1.0129905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044011753 | 0.00932487 | 0.009334777 | 1.0010624 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04315024 | 0.09097369 | 0.09098278 | 1.0000999 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.7469852E-4 | 1.7469852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.484932E-4 | 7.584857E-4 | 1.0133501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004300386 | 0.009074902 | 0.009084811 | 1.001092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042181134 | 0.088704854 | 0.08871397 | 1.0001028 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5746753E-4 | 1.5746753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.7468634E-4 | 6.846796E-4 | 1.0148118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038772223 | 0.0081834225 | 0.008193341 | 1.001212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03810269 | 0.08035444 | 0.08036364 | 1.0001144 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.03232436E-4 | 1.03232436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.4234973E-4 | 4.523453E-4 | 1.0225966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027402006 | 0.0053723212 | 0.0053822673 | 1.0018514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027066574 | 0.053674404 | 0.053683866 | 1.0001763 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.5917186E-5 | 5.5917186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3962308E-4 | 2.4962067E-4 | 1.0417222 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.00291351 | 0.002923481 | 1.0034223 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.029735703 | 0.029745406 | 1.0003263 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 2.0179004E-5 | 2.0179004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.647858E-5 | 8.647858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010523689 | 0.0010523689 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009693642 | 0.011253043 | 0.011253043 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.791576E-6 | 5.791576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.4820803E-5 | 2.4820803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 3.0215146E-4 | 3.0215146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0034214593 | 0.0034214593 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.214791E-7 | 8.214791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2862725E-5 | 4.2862725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0374464E-4 | 5.0374464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Puente Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.110188E-6 | 3.8109945E-5 | 4.6990213 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.4757515E-5 | 7.475613E-5 | 2.1507902 | 4.0E-5 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2309624E-4 | 5.030624E-4 | 1.1890023 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0042234682 | 0.004313088 | 1.0212195 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.110188E-6 | 3.8109945E-5 | 4.6990213 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.4757515E-5 | 7.475613E-5 | 2.1507902 | 4.0E-5 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2309624E-4 | 5.030624E-4 | 1.1890023 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0042234682 | 0.004313088 | 1.0212195 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.110188E-6 | 3.8109945E-5 | 4.6990213 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.4757515E-5 | 7.475613E-5 | 2.1507902 | 4.0E-5 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2309624E-4 | 5.030624E-4 | 1.1890023 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0042234682 | 0.004313088 | 1.0212195 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.110188E-6 | 3.8109945E-5 | 4.6990213 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.4757515E-5 | 7.475613E-5 | 2.1507902 | 4.0E-5 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2309624E-4 | 5.030624E-4 | 1.1890023 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0042234682 | 0.004313088 | 1.0212195 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.110188E-6 | 3.8109945E-5 | 4.6990213 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.4757515E-5 | 7.475613E-5 | 2.1507902 | 4.0E-5 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2309624E-4 | 5.030624E-4 | 1.1890023 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0042234682 | 0.004313088 | 1.0212195 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.110188E-6 | 3.8109945E-5 | 4.6990213 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.4757515E-5 | 7.475613E-5 | 2.1507902 | 4.0E-5 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2309624E-4 | 5.030624E-4 | 1.1890023 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0042234682 | 0.004313088 | 1.0212195 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.409728E-6 | 2.64096E-5 | 4.1202374 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.7469987E-5 | 4.746944E-5 | 1.7280474 | 2.0E-5 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.3439824E-4 | 3.7438486E-4 | 1.1195779 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0053197746 | 0.003339196 | 0.0033790625 | 1.0119389 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.409728E-6 | 2.64096E-5 | 4.1202374 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.7469987E-5 | 4.746944E-5 | 1.7280474 | 2.0E-5 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.3439824E-4 | 3.7438486E-4 | 1.1195779 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0053197746 | 0.003339196 | 0.0033790625 | 1.0119389 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.6367845E-6 | 5.03772E-6 | 2.503762E-5 | 4.9700303 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7014266E-5 | 2.159005E-5 | 4.158962E-5 | 1.9263326 | 2.0E-5 | 4.505555E-4 | 2.6282773E-4 | 2.9281984E-4 | 1.1141132 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004496431 | 0.0026252253 | 0.0026551464 | 1.0113976 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.066481E-6 | 4.8453385E-6 | 2.4845242E-5 | 5.127659 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4570177E-5 | 2.0765574E-5 | 4.0765157E-5 | 1.9631126 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2081063E-4 | 2.5279206E-4 | 2.72787E-4 | 1.0790964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042001465 | 0.002525099 | 0.0025450485 | 1.0079005 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.393828E-6 | 4.4261587E-6 | 2.442607E-5 | 5.518571 | 2.0E-5 | 3.168745E-5 | 1.8969116E-5 | 3.8968737E-5 | 2.0543253 | 2.0E-5 | 3.857264E-4 | 2.3092497E-4 | 2.5092033E-4 | 1.0865883 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038505755 | 0.0023068956 | 0.0023268496 | 1.0086497 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.4660953E-6 | 3.8120893E-6 | 2.3812014E-5 | 6.2464466 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7711543E-5 | 1.6337426E-5 | 3.63371E-5 | 2.224163 | 2.0E-5 | 3.373358E-4 | 1.9889035E-4 | 2.1888639E-4 | 1.1005379 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033682417 | 0.0019871595 | 0.0020071198 | 1.0100446 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.143232E-6 | 2.7926853E-6 | 1.2792657E-5 | 4.580773 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2042237E-5 | 1.19685965E-5 | 2.1968477E-5 | 1.8355099 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6833118E-4 | 1.4570802E-4 | 1.5570656E-4 | 1.0686204 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002680074 | 0.0014561346 | 0.00146612 | 1.0068575 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.928255E-6 | 2.0967113E-6 | 2.0967113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.683527E-5 | 8.985875E-6 | 8.985875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0495013E-4 | 1.093976E-4 | 1.093976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002047612 | 0.0010934442 | 0.0010934442 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.7894434E-6 | 1.3591625E-6 | 1.3591625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1954703E-5 | 5.8249693E-6 | 5.8249693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4553878E-4 | 7.0916736E-5 | 7.0916736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001454435 | 7.089455E-4 | 7.089455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.041735E-6 | 8.821427E-7 | 8.821427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.750263E-6 | 3.7806062E-6 | 3.7806062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06529245E-4 | 4.6027944E-5 | 4.6027944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010647819 | 4.601875E-4 | 4.601875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6959062E-6 | 6.72575E-7 | 6.72575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.268149E-6 | 2.8824613E-6 | 2.8824613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.848612E-5 | 3.509343E-5 | 3.509343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84509E-4 | 3.5088178E-4 | 3.5088178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.4767965E-6 | 5.428319E-7 | 5.428319E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3291122E-6 | 2.3264206E-6 | 2.3264206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.705422E-5 | 2.832383E-5 | 2.832383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.702751E-4 | 2.8320478E-4 | 2.8320478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8432911E-7 | 7.305762E-8 | 7.305762E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8998164E-7 | 3.1310407E-7 | 3.1310407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617985E-6 | 3.8120388E-6 | 3.8120388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617568E-5 | 3.8120063E-5 | 3.8120063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9475012E-4 | 3.047472E-4 | 1.0339171 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012626933 | 0.001282668 | 1.0158192 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015286629 | 0.015335865 | 1.0032208 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14014979 | 0.14019279 | 1.0003067 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9475012E-4 | 3.047472E-4 | 1.0339171 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012626933 | 0.001282668 | 1.0158192 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015286629 | 0.015335865 | 1.0032208 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14014979 | 0.14019279 | 1.0003067 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9475012E-4 | 3.047472E-4 | 1.0339171 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012626933 | 0.001282668 | 1.0158192 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015286629 | 0.015335865 | 1.0032208 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14014979 | 0.14019279 | 1.0003067 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7764566E-4 | 1.7764566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.612338E-4 | 7.712262E-4 | 1.0131266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009249451 | 0.009279173 | 1.0032134 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08725381 | 0.08728119 | 1.0003139 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7764566E-4 | 1.7764566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.612338E-4 | 7.712262E-4 | 1.0131266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009249451 | 0.009279173 | 1.0032134 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08725381 | 0.08728119 | 1.0003139 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6601643E-5 | 4.6601643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.997081E-4 | 2.0970611E-4 | 1.0500631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024290998 | 0.0024390754 | 1.0041068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.02387014 | 0.023879902 | 1.0004089 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6242824E-5 | 2.6242824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1246465E-4 | 1.2246352E-4 | 1.0889069 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013684419 | 0.0013784282 | 1.0072976 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.013610357 | 0.013620222 | 1.0007248 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2150347E-5 | 2.2150347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.492681E-5 | 1.0492586E-4 | 1.1053343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011551578 | 0.0011651462 | 1.0086468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.011502261 | 0.011512146 | 1.0008594 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4484415E-5 | 1.4484415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.2074614E-5 | 7.207399E-5 | 1.1610864 | 1.0E-5 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.5550156E-4 | 7.65494E-4 | 1.0132263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075346804 | 0.007544605 | 1.0013171 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2372254E-5 | 1.2372254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.3022883E-5 | 6.302235E-5 | 1.1885878 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4536557E-4 | 6.553591E-4 | 1.015485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007818509 | 0.0064392383 | 0.006449174 | 1.0015429 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1488997E-5 | 1.1488997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.923765E-5 | 5.9237154E-5 | 1.2030866 | 1.0E-5 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.993064E-4 | 6.093004E-4 | 1.016676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059811007 | 0.0059910407 | 1.0016619 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0279073E-5 | 1.0279073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.405244E-5 | 5.4052E-5 | 1.2269921 | 1.0E-5 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.3620903E-4 | 5.462037E-4 | 1.0186394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053527206 | 0.005362667 | 1.0018582 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.534183E-6 | 8.534183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6574565E-5 | 3.6574565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4520607E-4 | 4.4520607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.004444639 | 0.004444639 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.263651E-6 | 7.263651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1129566E-5 | 3.1129566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.78938E-4 | 3.78938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.0037833184 | 0.0037833184 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.3714992E-6 | 6.3714992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7306147E-5 | 2.7306147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.32403E-4 | 3.32403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033192125 | 0.0033192125 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.241151E-6 | 5.241151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.246189E-5 | 2.246189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7344047E-4 | 2.7344047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027311656 | 0.0027311656 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.7012986E-6 | 4.7012986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0148274E-5 | 2.0148274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.452788E-4 | 2.452788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024501977 | 0.0024501977 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3372443E-6 | 2.3372443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 1.0016727E-5 | 1.0016727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.21947574E-4 | 1.21947574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.00121888 | 0.00121888 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.4148746E-8 | 9.4148746E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.034946E-7 | 4.034946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9125388E-6 | 4.9125388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9124632E-5 | 4.9124632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.447578E-9 | 3.447578E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4775335E-8 | 1.4775335E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.798897E-7 | 1.798897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7988956E-6 | 1.7988956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Lower CFM)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1766498E-6 | 2.1043684E-6 | 2.1043684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.328466E-6 | 9.018699E-6 | 1.9018607E-5 | 2.1087976 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1356815E-4 | 1.09798566E-4 | 1.3979527E-4 | 1.2731977 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011351013 | 0.0010975851 | 0.0011475303 | 1.0455046 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1766498E-6 | 2.1043684E-6 | 2.1043684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.328466E-6 | 9.018699E-6 | 1.9018607E-5 | 2.1087976 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1356815E-4 | 1.09798566E-4 | 1.3979527E-4 | 1.2731977 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011351013 | 0.0010975851 | 0.0011475303 | 1.0455046 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0031182E-6 | 9.19102E-7 | 9.19102E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.299071E-6 | 3.939003E-6 | 1.3938964E-5 | 3.5387034 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2339932E-5 | 4.7956404E-5 | 7.795497E-5 | 1.6255381 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2327604E-4 | 4.7947036E-4 | 5.294464E-4 | 1.1042317 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0031182E-6 | 9.19102E-7 | 9.19102E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.299071E-6 | 3.939003E-6 | 1.3938964E-5 | 3.5387034 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2339932E-5 | 4.7956404E-5 | 7.795497E-5 | 1.6255381 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2327604E-4 | 4.7947036E-4 | 5.294464E-4 | 1.1042317 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.9606244E-7 | 6.096549E-7 | 6.096549E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9831212E-6 | 2.6128039E-6 | 1.2612778E-5 | 4.827296 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6318896E-5 | 3.1810425E-5 | 5.1809788E-5 | 1.6287047 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6312963E-4 | 3.1805897E-4 | 3.5804624E-4 | 1.1257229 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.901879E-7 | 6.0372275E-7 | 6.0372275E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9579448E-6 | 2.5873805E-6 | 1.2587355E-5 | 4.8649025 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6012385E-5 | 3.1500906E-5 | 5.1500276E-5 | 1.6348825 | 2.0E-5 | 3.600655E-4 | 3.1496462E-4 | 3.5495203E-4 | 1.1269584 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.4198554E-7 | 5.5511765E-7 | 5.5511765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7513638E-6 | 2.3790735E-6 | 2.3790735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3497337E-5 | 2.8964836E-5 | 3.8964547E-5 | 1.3452362 | 1.0E-5 | 3.349229E-4 | 2.8961076E-4 | 3.0960495E-4 | 1.0690382 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.138733E-7 | 5.267966E-7 | 5.267966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6308828E-6 | 2.2576978E-6 | 2.2576978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.203053E-5 | 2.7487125E-5 | 3.748685E-5 | 1.3637967 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2025913E-4 | 2.7483737E-4 | 2.8483462E-4 | 1.0363752 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.84778E-7 | 5.0074556E-7 | 5.0074556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.506189E-6 | 2.1460505E-6 | 2.1460505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0512423E-5 | 2.6127855E-5 | 3.6127592E-5 | 1.3827233 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0508233E-4 | 2.6124794E-4 | 2.712453E-4 | 1.0382679 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.322785E-7 | 4.584483E-7 | 4.584483E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2811914E-6 | 1.9647769E-6 | 1.9647769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7773152E-5 | 2.3920897E-5 | 2.3920897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7769682E-4 | 2.3918333E-4 | 2.3918333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.8147206E-7 | 4.116745E-7 | 4.116745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.06345E-6 | 1.764318E-6 | 1.764318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5122214E-5 | 2.148036E-5 | 2.148036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5119373E-4 | 2.1478294E-4 | 2.1478294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.1932955E-7 | 3.5494907E-7 | 3.5494907E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7971255E-6 | 1.5212092E-6 | 1.5212092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1879783E-5 | 1.8520566E-5 | 1.8520566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1877629E-4 | 1.8519028E-4 | 1.8519028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.426051E-7 | 2.7843262E-7 | 2.7843262E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4683067E-6 | 1.1932821E-6 | 1.1932821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7876488E-5 | 1.4528112E-5 | 1.4528112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.787505E-4 | 1.4527165E-4 | 1.4527165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.7771645E-7 | 2.2125184E-7 | 2.2125184E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1902127E-6 | 9.482218E-7 | 9.482218E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4490744E-5 | 1.1544539E-5 | 1.1544539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4489799E-4 | 1.1543942E-4 | 1.1543942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2756493E-7 | 1.786563E-7 | 1.786563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752779E-7 | 7.656696E-7 | 7.656696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1873944E-5 | 9.321987E-6 | 9.321987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18733085E-4 | 9.321598E-5 | 9.321598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7874558E-7 | 1.3564004E-7 | 1.3564004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.660522E-7 | 5.813143E-7 | 5.813143E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.326646E-6 | 7.0774786E-6 | 7.0774786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.326255E-5 | 7.077255E-5 | 7.077255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3124549E-7 | 9.267911E-8 | 9.267911E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.624805E-7 | 3.9719612E-7 | 3.9719612E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8481786E-6 | 4.835852E-6 | 4.835852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8479676E-5 | 4.8357484E-5 | 4.8357484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.439993E-8 | 5.1039862E-8 | 5.1039862E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6171392E-7 | 2.1874226E-7 | 2.1874226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.403858E-6 | 2.6631837E-6 | 2.6631837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4037708E-5 | 2.6631533E-5 | 2.6631533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2591407E-8 | 7.2497093E-9 | 7.2497093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3963173E-8 | 3.1070186E-8 | 3.1070186E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.570014E-7 | 3.7827945E-7 | 3.7827945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5699946E-6 | 3.782788E-6 | 3.782788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.8324232E-11 | 2.1454616E-11 | 2.1454616E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138957E-10 | 9.194834E-11 | 9.194834E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-9 | 1.1194702E-9 | 1.1194702E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-8 | 1.1194701E-8 | 1.1194701E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.9092196E-5 | 4.9092196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.10381E-4 | 2.2037889E-4 | 1.0475228 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020537362 | 0.00255889 | 0.0025888132 | 1.0116938 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025348658 | 0.02539739 | 1.0019225 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6980115E-5 | 2.6980115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1562457E-4 | 1.2562341E-4 | 1.0864768 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014069302 | 0.001426902 | 1.0141953 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013994548 | 0.014014267 | 1.0014092 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6980115E-5 | 2.6980115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1562457E-4 | 1.2562341E-4 | 1.0864768 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014069302 | 0.001426902 | 1.0141953 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013994548 | 0.014014267 | 1.0014092 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8250987E-5 | 1.8250987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.821643E-5 | 7.821643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.5191464E-4 | 9.5191464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009486241 | 0.009486241 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8250987E-5 | 1.8250987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.821643E-5 | 7.821643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.5191464E-4 | 9.5191464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009486241 | 0.009486241 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6735557E-5 | 1.6735557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.172209E-5 | 7.172209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.729108E-4 | 8.729108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067696036 | 0.00870253 | 0.00870253 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.209179E-5 | 1.209179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.1821124E-5 | 5.1821124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.307737E-4 | 6.307737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.0062956274 | 0.0062956274 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.04490755E-5 | 1.04490755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4781165E-5 | 4.4781165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.4510677E-4 | 5.4510677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.005443966 | 0.005443966 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.827179E-6 | 3.827179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6402106E-5 | 1.6402106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9967943E-4 | 1.9967943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.001996619 | 0.001996619 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.1621222E-6 | 2.1621222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.266207E-6 | 9.266207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1281044E-4 | 1.1281044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011281482 | 0.0011281482 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5491661E-6 | 1.5491661E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.6392663E-6 | 6.6392663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.083013E-5 | 8.083013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.0849783E-4 | 8.0849783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4792938E-6 | 1.4792938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.3398156E-6 | 6.3398156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.718458E-5 | 7.718458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.720629E-4 | 7.720629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3629768E-6 | 1.3629768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.8413166E-6 | 5.8413166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.111576E-5 | 7.111576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.114026E-4 | 7.114026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1264915E-6 | 1.1264915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8278116E-6 | 4.8278116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.877707E-5 | 5.877707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8777805E-4 | 5.8777805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.2685843E-7 | 9.2685843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9722445E-6 | 3.9722445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.8361042E-5 | 4.8361042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.835249E-4 | 4.835249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.649762E-7 | 7.649762E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2784656E-6 | 3.2784656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9914623E-5 | 3.9914623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9907795E-4 | 3.9907795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.9048923E-7 | 6.9048923E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9592363E-6 | 2.9592363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.602814E-5 | 3.602814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.6022617E-4 | 3.6022617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4247867E-7 | 1.4247867E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.106228E-7 | 6.106228E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.434317E-6 | 7.434317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.4341646E-5 | 7.4341646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hollywood
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2603189E-5 | 3.2602937E-5 | 2.58688 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.4012577E-5 | 7.40115E-5 | 1.3702642 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.574094E-4 | 6.8738963E-4 | 1.0456036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065551344 | 0.006594872 | 1.006062 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2603189E-5 | 3.2602937E-5 | 2.58688 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.4012577E-5 | 7.40115E-5 | 1.3702642 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.574094E-4 | 6.8738963E-4 | 1.0456036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065551344 | 0.006594872 | 1.006062 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2603189E-5 | 3.2602937E-5 | 2.58688 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.4012577E-5 | 7.40115E-5 | 1.3702642 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.574094E-4 | 6.8738963E-4 | 1.0456036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065551344 | 0.006594872 | 1.006062 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2603189E-5 | 3.2602937E-5 | 2.58688 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.4012577E-5 | 7.40115E-5 | 1.3702642 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.574094E-4 | 6.8738963E-4 | 1.0456036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065551344 | 0.006594872 | 1.006062 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.2583788E-5 | 3.2583535E-5 | 2.5893266 | 2.0E-5 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.392943E-5 | 7.392835E-5 | 1.3708351 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.5639766E-4 | 6.86378E-4 | 1.045674 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064653796 | 0.006545077 | 0.006584815 | 1.0060714 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1327154E-5 | 3.1326927E-5 | 2.7656486 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.854406E-5 | 6.8543086E-5 | 1.4119768 | 2.0E-5 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.908664E-4 | 6.208486E-4 | 1.0507429 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058488925 | 0.0058932407 | 0.005933005 | 1.0067475 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.1318261E-5 | 3.1318035E-5 | 2.7670357 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.850595E-5 | 6.850498E-5 | 1.4123006 | 2.0E-5 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.904026E-4 | 6.203849E-4 | 1.0507828 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005844661 | 0.005888628 | 0.0059283925 | 1.0067527 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1313E-5 | 3.1312775E-5 | 2.7678578 | 2.0E-5 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.8483398E-5 | 6.8482426E-5 | 1.4124924 | 2.0E-5 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.901282E-4 | 6.201105E-4 | 1.0508064 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058422405 | 0.005885898 | 0.005925663 | 1.006756 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.022677E-5 | 3.0226565E-5 | 2.9556315 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.382829E-5 | 6.3827414E-5 | 1.4563062 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.3348095E-4 | 5.6346494E-4 | 1.0562044 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005335517 | 0.005322229 | 0.005362016 | 1.0074756 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 9.117632E-6 | 2.911745E-5 | 3.193532 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.907499E-5 | 5.9074206E-5 | 1.5118164 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.7563578E-4 | 5.056215E-4 | 1.0630435 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048161 | 0.0047463514 | 0.0047861617 | 1.0083876 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.264899E-6 | 2.8264734E-5 | 3.4198523 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.5420522E-5 | 5.5419816E-5 | 1.5646244 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.3116097E-4 | 4.6114804E-4 | 1.0695496 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004412184 | 0.0043033953 | 0.004333266 | 1.0069412 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.2734416E-6 | 2.6273316E-5 | 4.1880226 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.6885904E-5 | 4.6885365E-5 | 1.7438642 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.2728713E-4 | 3.572773E-4 | 1.0916326 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034605677 | 0.0032680973 | 0.0032979993 | 1.0091497 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 5.112963E-6 | 1.51129125E-5 | 2.955803 | 1.0E-5 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.1912518E-5 | 3.19123E-5 | 1.4563502 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.6675238E-4 | 2.7674972E-4 | 1.037478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028912104 | 0.0026643383 | 0.0026743116 | 1.0037433 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.9634215E-6 | 3.9634215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6985983E-5 | 1.6985983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.0678481E-4 | 2.0678481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022442779 | 0.002065934 | 0.002065934 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.7041212E-6 | 2.7041212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.1589041E-5 | 1.1589041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.4108748E-4 | 1.4108748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014886294 | 0.0014099842 | 0.0014099842 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.8998073E-6 | 1.8998073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.540134E-6 | 8.142006E-6 | 8.142006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.912445E-5 | 9.912445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010392254 | 9.90806E-4 | 9.90806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.2230894E-6 | 1.2230894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.2418013E-6 | 5.2418013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.381708E-5 | 6.381708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159987E-4 | 6.3798955E-4 | 6.3798955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.288895E-7 | 6.288895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.695238E-6 | 2.695238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.2814045E-5 | 3.2814045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0083472E-4 | 3.2809345E-4 | 3.2809345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.4627218E-7 | 2.4627218E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5669474E-6 | 1.0554518E-6 | 1.0554518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.2850053E-5 | 1.2850053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.907578E-4 | 1.2849347E-4 | 1.2849347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 5.4009433E-8 | 5.4009433E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.3146899E-7 | 2.3146899E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.91466E-6 | 2.8181325E-6 | 2.8181325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9145907E-5 | 2.8181099E-5 | 2.8181099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Monica alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1488363E-5 | 2.148825E-5 | 1.870436 | 1.0E-5 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9234994E-5 | 5.92345E-5 | 1.2030976 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.992851E-4 | 6.1927317E-4 | 1.0333531 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005757478 | 0.0059780795 | 0.0060079 | 1.0049883 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1488363E-5 | 2.148825E-5 | 1.870436 | 1.0E-5 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9234994E-5 | 5.92345E-5 | 1.2030976 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.992851E-4 | 6.1927317E-4 | 1.0333531 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005757478 | 0.0059780795 | 0.0060079 | 1.0049883 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1488363E-5 | 2.148825E-5 | 1.870436 | 1.0E-5 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9234994E-5 | 5.92345E-5 | 1.2030976 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.992851E-4 | 6.1927317E-4 | 1.0333531 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005757478 | 0.0059780795 | 0.0060079 | 1.0049883 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1488363E-5 | 2.148825E-5 | 1.870436 | 1.0E-5 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9234994E-5 | 5.92345E-5 | 1.2030976 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.992851E-4 | 6.1927317E-4 | 1.0333531 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005757478 | 0.0059780795 | 0.0060079 | 1.0049883 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1488363E-5 | 2.148825E-5 | 1.870436 | 1.0E-5 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9234994E-5 | 5.92345E-5 | 1.2030976 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.992851E-4 | 6.1927317E-4 | 1.0333531 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005757478 | 0.0059780795 | 0.0060079 | 1.0049883 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.183544E-6 | 8.3410905E-6 | 1.8341007E-5 | 2.198874 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5071862E-5 | 3.574705E-5 | 4.5746692E-5 | 1.2797334 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2691626E-4 | 4.3513498E-4 | 4.5512628E-4 | 1.0459428 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042609703 | 0.0043429956 | 0.0043728654 | 1.0068777 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.1543285E-6 | 8.309281E-6 | 1.8309198E-5 | 2.2034636 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4946657E-5 | 3.5610727E-5 | 4.561037E-5 | 1.2808043 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2539247E-4 | 4.3347594E-4 | 4.5346728E-4 | 1.0461186 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042457907 | 0.0043264697 | 0.00435634 | 1.006904 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.110878E-6 | 8.262649E-6 | 1.8262566E-5 | 2.2102556 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4760444E-5 | 3.541088E-5 | 4.541053E-5 | 1.282389 | 1.0E-5 | 4.231262E-4 | 4.310438E-4 | 4.5103516E-4 | 1.046379 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042232145 | 0.004302243 | 0.0043321135 | 1.0069431 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.644036E-6 | 7.756311E-6 | 1.7756234E-5 | 2.2892628 | 1.0E-5 | 3.275974E-5 | 3.3240918E-5 | 4.3240583E-5 | 1.300824 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9877684E-4 | 4.0463443E-4 | 4.2462634E-4 | 1.0494074 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00398062 | 0.004039123 | 0.0040690023 | 1.0073974 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.3698293E-6 | 7.4607783E-6 | 1.7460703E-5 | 2.3403327 | 1.0E-5 | 3.15846E-5 | 3.197438E-5 | 4.197406E-5 | 1.3127404 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8447464E-4 | 3.8921993E-4 | 4.0921214E-4 | 1.0513648 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038381014 | 0.0038855262 | 0.0039154096 | 1.0076909 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.209872E-6 | 7.290594E-6 | 1.729052E-5 | 2.3716204 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0899086E-5 | 3.1245036E-5 | 4.1244723E-5 | 1.3200408 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7613141E-4 | 3.803433E-4 | 4.003357E-4 | 1.052564 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037549543 | 0.0037970664 | 0.0038169904 | 1.0052472 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.603456E-6 | 5.527433E-6 | 1.5527377E-5 | 2.809148 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4014591E-5 | 2.3688786E-5 | 3.368855E-5 | 1.4221307 | 1.0E-5 | 2.923384E-4 | 2.8837318E-4 | 3.0836742E-4 | 1.0693346 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029195412 | 0.0028800317 | 0.0028999741 | 1.0069244 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.7483613E-6 | 4.5939605E-6 | 4.5939605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0349962E-5 | 1.9688254E-5 | 1.9688254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4773262E-4 | 2.3967825E-4 | 2.3967825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024745662 | 0.0023942117 | 0.0023942117 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.829015E-6 | 3.6364684E-6 | 3.6364684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6409962E-5 | 1.5584772E-5 | 1.5584772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9977297E-4 | 1.8972816E-4 | 1.8972816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019959346 | 0.0018956707 | 0.0018956707 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.610755E-6 | 2.50119E-6 | 2.50119E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1188902E-5 | 1.0719342E-5 | 1.0719342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3621636E-4 | 1.3050022E-4 | 1.3050022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001361329 | 0.0013042403 | 0.0013042403 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.792146E-6 | 1.7595534E-6 | 1.7595534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.680603E-6 | 7.540921E-6 | 7.540921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3507326E-5 | 9.1806876E-5 | 9.1806876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3467993E-4 | 9.1769267E-4 | 9.1769267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1473018E-6 | 1.1036461E-6 | 1.1036461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9169985E-6 | 4.729903E-6 | 4.729903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.986281E-5 | 5.7585068E-5 | 5.7585068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.984669E-4 | 5.757031E-4 | 5.757031E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.330919E-7 | 4.7493475E-7 | 4.7493475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2846775E-6 | 2.0354332E-6 | 2.0354332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7815593E-5 | 2.4781128E-5 | 2.4781128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812112E-4 | 2.4778477E-4 | 2.4778477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1668574E-7 | 8.3172374E-8 | 8.3172374E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.000816E-7 | 3.5645297E-7 | 3.5645297E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0884768E-6 | 4.3398068E-6 | 4.3398068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.08831E-5 | 4.3397253E-5 | 4.3397253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1636773E-10 | 6.1636773E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6415758E-9 | 2.6415758E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.2161186E-8 | 3.2161186E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.2161182E-7 | 3.2161182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0334745E-4 | 3.0334745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012994391 | 0.0013194132 | 1.0153712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.01571092 | 0.015730606 | 1.001253 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14429398 | 0.14431109 | 1.0001186 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0334745E-4 | 3.0334745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012994391 | 0.0013194132 | 1.0153712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.01571092 | 0.015730606 | 1.001253 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14429398 | 0.14431109 | 1.0001186 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0334745E-4 | 3.0334745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012994391 | 0.0013194132 | 1.0153712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.01571092 | 0.015730606 | 1.001253 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14429398 | 0.14431109 | 1.0001186 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.911987E-4 | 2.911987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012474235 | 0.0012673985 | 1.016013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.015086518 | 0.015106216 | 1.0013057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.13896461 | 0.13898183 | 1.000124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.911987E-4 | 2.911987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012474235 | 0.0012673985 | 1.016013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.015086518 | 0.015106216 | 1.0013057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.13896461 | 0.13898183 | 1.000124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.712729E-4 | 2.712729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011621051 | 0.0011820819 | 1.0171901 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.0140615115 | 0.01408123 | 1.0014024 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05425003 | 0.13021794 | 0.13023534 | 1.0001336 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5366907E-4 | 2.5366907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010867241 | 0.0011067024 | 1.018384 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.013155013 | 0.01317475 | 1.0015004 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049677886 | 0.122364104 | 0.12238166 | 1.0001434 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3432574E-4 | 2.3432574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7524657E-4 | 0.0010038891 | 0.001023869 | 1.0199025 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.012157986 | 0.012177742 | 1.0016251 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04466656 | 0.113638476 | 0.1136562 | 1.000156 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2990174E-4 | 2.2990174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.849436E-4 | 0.0010049238 | 1.0202857 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.011929865 | 0.011949626 | 1.0016564 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043698758 | 0.11164717 | 0.11166493 | 1.0001591 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7347814E-4 | 1.7347814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.432667E-4 | 7.6325185E-4 | 1.0268883 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.009011938 | 0.009031758 | 1.0021993 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031450346 | 0.08538843 | 0.08540672 | 1.0002142 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6774052E-4 | 1.6774052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.1869075E-4 | 7.3867635E-4 | 1.0278084 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008715156 | 0.008734981 | 1.0022749 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03011414 | 0.08269658 | 0.08271492 | 1.0002218 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.618976E-4 | 1.618976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.9366314E-4 | 7.1364926E-4 | 1.0288124 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008412832 | 0.008432664 | 1.0023574 | 2.0E-5 | 0.028868021 | 0.079987705 | 0.08000611 | 1.0002301 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4790017E-4 | 1.4790017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.337043E-4 | 6.5369165E-4 | 1.0315405 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.007688163 | 0.0077080093 | 1.0025814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025707912 | 0.07341804 | 0.07343657 | 1.0002524 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3978592E-4 | 1.3978592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.9894525E-4 | 6.189333E-4 | 1.033372 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0072678663 | 0.0072877207 | 1.0027318 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024434982 | 0.06968052 | 0.06969913 | 1.000267 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3382315E-4 | 1.3382315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.7340204E-4 | 5.933906E-4 | 1.0348595 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.0069589056 | 0.0069787665 | 1.002854 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023491086 | 0.06691908 | 0.066937745 | 1.0002788 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2612333E-4 | 1.2612333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.4041686E-4 | 5.60406E-4 | 1.0369885 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.0065598004 | 0.006579669 | 1.0030289 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022230545 | 0.06330038 | 0.06331911 | 1.000296 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 1.0062954E-4 | 1.0062954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.3119828E-4 | 4.41194E-4 | 1.0231812 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005237229 | 0.0052471766 | 1.0018994 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017628696 | 0.051023025 | 0.051032513 | 1.000186 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.458051E-5 | 8.458051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.6243757E-4 | 3.7243395E-4 | 1.027581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004403759 | 0.0044137146 | 1.0022608 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01466633 | 0.043201815 | 0.043211386 | 1.0002215 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.657766E-5 | 7.657766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.281487E-4 | 3.3814542E-4 | 1.0304639 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.003987898 | 0.003997858 | 1.0024976 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013589768 | 0.03930657 | 0.039316177 | 1.0002444 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.9488815E-5 | 5.9488815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.5492717E-4 | 2.649246E-4 | 1.0392169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030993242 | 0.0031092933 | 1.0032165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011140184 | 0.030881818 | 0.03089151 | 1.0003138 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.2220036E-5 | 3.2220036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3807855E-4 | 1.4807718E-4 | 1.0724125 | 1.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016798112 | 0.0016897945 | 1.0059431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01694208 | 0.016951911 | 1.0005802 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 8.148271E-6 | 8.148271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.4920697E-5 | 3.4920697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.250767E-4 | 4.250767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.004547835 | 0.004547835 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 3.0565784E-6 | 3.0565784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.3099556E-5 | 1.3099556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5947547E-4 | 1.5947547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017835622 | 0.0017835622 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.4162554E-7 | 3.4162554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.4641088E-6 | 1.4641088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.7825392E-5 | 1.7825392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.1038702E-4 | 2.1038702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.7610959E-5 | 1.7610959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.5473465E-5 | 7.5473465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6436566E-4 | 9.1852096E-4 | 9.285118E-4 | 1.010877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0086101135 | 0.009149183 | 0.009168999 | 1.002166 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.7610959E-5 | 1.7610959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.5473465E-5 | 7.5473465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6436566E-4 | 9.1852096E-4 | 9.285118E-4 | 1.010877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0086101135 | 0.009149183 | 0.009168999 | 1.002166 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1085717E-5 | 1.156492E-5 | 1.156492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.750935E-5 | 4.956302E-5 | 4.956302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.782728E-4 | 6.0326623E-4 | 6.132602E-4 | 1.0165664 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057677035 | 0.0060166577 | 0.0060365372 | 1.0033041 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0208568E-5 | 1.0599199E-5 | 1.0599199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.375027E-5 | 4.5424367E-5 | 4.5424367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.325294E-4 | 5.5290427E-4 | 5.6289876E-4 | 1.0180763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053125503 | 0.005515595 | 0.0055354848 | 1.0036061 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.0682315E-6 | 9.348595E-6 | 9.348595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8863272E-5 | 4.0064806E-5 | 4.0064806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.730576E-4 | 4.876819E-4 | 4.97677E-4 | 1.0204952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047205184 | 0.0048663304 | 0.0048862332 | 1.0040898 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.605796E-6 | 7.753342E-6 | 7.753342E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.259586E-5 | 3.3228192E-5 | 3.3228192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9678233E-4 | 4.044795E-4 | 4.1447545E-4 | 1.0247132 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039607463 | 0.004037571 | 0.0040574903 | 1.0049335 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.889873E-6 | 5.882896E-6 | 5.882896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5242069E-5 | 2.5212166E-5 | 2.5212166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0727885E-4 | 3.06915E-4 | 3.1691193E-4 | 1.0325723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003068543 | 0.0030649242 | 0.0030848628 | 1.0065055 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.66586E-6 | 5.644875E-6 | 5.644875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.428203E-5 | 2.4192097E-5 | 2.4192097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.955936E-4 | 2.9449907E-4 | 3.0449612E-4 | 1.0339459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029520073 | 0.0029411 | 0.0029610412 | 1.0067801 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.521556E-6 | 5.4925904E-6 | 5.4925904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3663597E-5 | 2.353946E-5 | 2.353946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.880662E-4 | 2.8655533E-4 | 2.9655246E-4 | 1.0348873 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028769306 | 0.00286187 | 0.0028818129 | 1.0069684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.29752E-6 | 5.252956E-6 | 5.252956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.270346E-5 | 2.2512473E-5 | 2.2512473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637955E-4 | 2.7405497E-4 | 2.8405222E-4 | 1.036479 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027603607 | 0.0027371803 | 0.0027571258 | 1.0072868 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.106743E-6 | 5.0506E-6 | 5.0506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1885859E-5 | 2.164525E-5 | 2.164525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6642776E-4 | 2.6349913E-4 | 2.734965E-4 | 1.0379407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026610855 | 0.0026318766 | 0.0026418502 | 1.0037895 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8469647E-6 | 4.773137E-6 | 4.773137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0772539E-5 | 2.0456142E-5 | 2.0456142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.528763E-4 | 2.4902512E-4 | 2.5902264E-4 | 1.0401466 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025258875 | 0.0024874688 | 0.002497444 | 1.0040102 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.545514E-6 | 4.45077E-6 | 4.45077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9480629E-5 | 1.9074589E-5 | 1.9074589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3715083E-4 | 2.3220843E-4 | 2.3220843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023689792 | 0.0023196654 | 0.0023196654 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.794097E-6 | 3.6539982E-6 | 3.6539982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6260314E-5 | 1.5659898E-5 | 1.5659898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9795135E-4 | 1.9064263E-4 | 1.9064263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001977751 | 0.0019047955 | 0.0019047955 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.808217E-6 | 2.7206718E-6 | 2.7206718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.203516E-5 | 1.16599695E-5 | 1.16599695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4651821E-4 | 1.419509E-4 | 1.419509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014642165 | 0.0014186051 | 0.0014186051 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.83809E-6 | 1.8201205E-6 | 1.8201205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.877505E-6 | 7.800493E-6 | 7.800493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.59044E-5 | 9.496688E-5 | 9.496688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5863023E-4 | 9.49265E-4 | 9.49265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1292672E-6 | 1.1008021E-6 | 1.1008021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.839708E-6 | 4.717715E-6 | 4.717715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8921847E-5 | 5.7436682E-5 | 5.7436682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.890623E-4 | 5.7422003E-4 | 5.7422003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.065272E-7 | 4.6124705E-7 | 4.6124705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.170829E-6 | 1.9767717E-6 | 1.9767717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6429525E-5 | 2.406694E-5 | 2.406694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642638E-4 | 2.4064447E-4 | 2.4064447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.952991E-8 | 6.7208525E-8 | 6.7208525E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8369956E-7 | 2.8803652E-7 | 2.8803652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.671532E-6 | 3.5068392E-6 | 3.5068392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.671434E-5 | 3.5067857E-5 | 3.5067857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1636773E-10 | 6.1636773E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6415758E-9 | 2.6415758E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.2161186E-8 | 3.2161186E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.2161182E-7 | 3.2161182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6470785E-5 | 1.6470785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.058725E-5 | 9.058584E-5 | 1.2833173 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5907604E-4 | 8.7905885E-4 | 1.0232608 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008585066 | 0.008604893 | 1.0023097 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6470785E-5 | 1.6470785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.058725E-5 | 9.058584E-5 | 1.2833173 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5907604E-4 | 8.7905885E-4 | 1.0232608 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008585066 | 0.008604893 | 1.0023097 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6470785E-5 | 1.6470785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.058725E-5 | 9.058584E-5 | 1.2833173 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5907604E-4 | 8.7905885E-4 | 1.0232608 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008585066 | 0.008604893 | 1.0023097 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6470785E-5 | 1.6470785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.058725E-5 | 9.058584E-5 | 1.2833173 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5907604E-4 | 8.7905885E-4 | 1.0232608 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008585066 | 0.008604893 | 1.0023097 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6470785E-5 | 1.6470785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.058725E-5 | 9.058584E-5 | 1.2833173 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5907604E-4 | 8.7905885E-4 | 1.0232608 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008585066 | 0.008604893 | 1.0023097 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6470785E-5 | 1.6470785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.058725E-5 | 9.058584E-5 | 1.2833173 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5907604E-4 | 8.7905885E-4 | 1.0232608 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008585066 | 0.008604893 | 1.0023097 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3992914E-5 | 1.3992914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9968308E-5 | 7.996711E-5 | 1.3334895 | 2.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.2987867E-4 | 7.4986403E-4 | 1.0273818 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.007301751 | 0.007321605 | 1.002719 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3798488E-5 | 1.3798488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.913509E-5 | 7.9133904E-5 | 1.3381886 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.197409E-4 | 7.397265E-4 | 1.0277678 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.007201033 | 0.0072208894 | 1.0027574 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.34202855E-5 | 1.34202855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.751429E-5 | 7.751314E-5 | 1.3477197 | 2.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 7.000204E-4 | 7.200064E-4 | 1.0285506 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0070050736 | 0.0070249336 | 1.002835 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1623384E-5 | 1.1623384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9813592E-5 | 6.9812595E-5 | 1.4014769 | 2.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 6.063186E-4 | 6.2630646E-4 | 1.0329659 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.00607338 | 0.006093258 | 1.003273 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.813302E-6 | 9.813302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.205636E-5 | 6.2055515E-5 | 1.4755323 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.119204E-4 | 5.319102E-4 | 1.0390486 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.0051339376 | 0.005153835 | 1.0038756 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.467278E-6 | 9.467278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 4.0573443E-5 | 6.057263E-5 | 1.4929132 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.938742E-4 | 5.1386433E-4 | 1.0404762 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0049542845 | 0.004974185 | 1.0040169 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.813257E-6 | 7.813257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.348498E-5 | 5.348431E-5 | 1.5972627 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0760703E-4 | 4.2759886E-4 | 1.0490469 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.0040950268 | 0.004114945 | 1.004864 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 7.0445485E-6 | 7.0445485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 3.0190591E-5 | 5.018999E-5 | 1.662438 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6751182E-4 | 3.8750446E-4 | 1.0544 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0036954696 | 0.0037153957 | 1.0053921 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.1490547E-6 | 5.1490547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.2067192E-5 | 4.206675E-5 | 1.9063028 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6863514E-4 | 2.8862976E-4 | 1.0744305 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0027093175 | 0.0027292634 | 1.0073619 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.7368844E-6 | 4.7368844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 2.0300777E-5 | 4.030037E-5 | 1.985164 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4713407E-4 | 2.6712913E-4 | 1.0809077 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024951624 | 0.0025151125 | 1.0079955 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.2410907E-6 | 4.2410907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.8175977E-5 | 2.8175797E-5 | 1.5501667 | 1.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.2127014E-4 | 2.3126793E-4 | 1.0451837 | 1.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0022375614 | 0.002247539 | 1.0044591 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.1599837E-6 | 4.1599837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.782838E-5 | 2.7828202E-5 | 1.5608934 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.17039E-4 | 2.2703684E-4 | 1.0460646 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021954535 | 0.0022054317 | 1.0045449 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.8193525E-6 | 3.8193525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.636855E-5 | 2.6368387E-5 | 1.6109177 | 1.0E-5 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9926895E-4 | 2.0926696E-4 | 1.0501734 | 1.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.002017396 | 0.0020273759 | 1.0049468 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 3.0393487E-6 | 3.0393487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.3025716E-5 | 2.3025585E-5 | 1.7677021 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5857661E-4 | 1.6857502E-4 | 1.063051 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.001608172 | 0.0016181559 | 1.0062082 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.7468225E-7 | 5.7468225E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.4629217E-6 | 1.2462897E-5 | 5.0602083 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.9985666E-5 | 3.9985367E-5 | 1.3334826 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0513899E-4 | 3.1028778E-4 | 3.2028466E-4 | 1.0322181 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.2141793E-7 | 1.2141793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 5.2036245E-7 | 5.2036245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 6.3353946E-6 | 6.3353946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.963747E-5 | 6.963747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.7381907E-8 | 2.7381907E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.1735102E-7 | 1.1735102E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.4287479E-6 | 1.4287479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.602701E-5 | 1.602701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.346984E-5 | 7.34692E-5 | 1.1575452 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7198828E-4 | 2.9198284E-4 | 1.0735126 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033070343 | 0.003326968 | 1.0060277 | 2.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.032639917 | 0.032659262 | 1.0005927 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.346984E-5 | 7.34692E-5 | 1.1575452 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7198828E-4 | 2.9198284E-4 | 1.0735126 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033070343 | 0.003326968 | 1.0060277 | 2.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.032639917 | 0.032659262 | 1.0005927 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6676746E-5 | 2.6676746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1432415E-4 | 1.24323E-4 | 1.0874606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013910548 | 0.0014010409 | 1.0071788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012027155 | 0.013828351 | 0.013838213 | 1.0007131 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6676746E-5 | 2.6676746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1432415E-4 | 1.24323E-4 | 1.0874606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013910548 | 0.0014010409 | 1.0071788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012027155 | 0.013828351 | 0.013838213 | 1.0007131 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.2490874E-5 | 2.2490874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.6386124E-5 | 1.0638516E-4 | 1.1037394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011729095 | 0.0011828978 | 1.0085158 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010206259 | 0.011671287 | 0.01168117 | 1.0008469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9768668E-5 | 1.9768668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.472032E-5 | 9.471947E-5 | 1.1180254 | 1.0E-5 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010310188 | 0.0010410085 | 1.0096891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009008561 | 0.010266087 | 0.010275984 | 1.000964 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6341583E-5 | 1.6341583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170443E-5 | 7.003366E-5 | 8.003296E-5 | 1.1427785 | 1.0E-5 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.523584E-4 | 8.623499E-4 | 1.0117222 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008494102 | 0.008504018 | 1.0011673 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.430151E-5 | 1.430151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.129092E-5 | 6.129092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.45992E-4 | 7.45992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006571059 | 0.007437907 | 0.007437907 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.29476875E-5 | 1.29476875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.548908E-5 | 5.548908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.7539996E-4 | 6.7539996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067364206 | 0.0067364206 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0246178E-5 | 1.0246178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.3911612E-5 | 4.3911612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.3452083E-4 | 5.3452083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0053351126 | 0.0053351126 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.5905333E-6 | 6.5905333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.8244971E-5 | 2.8244971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4385195E-4 | 3.4385195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.003435522 | 0.003435522 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2104496E-6 | 2.2104496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.473322E-6 | 9.473322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.1533175E-4 | 1.1533175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011527343 | 0.0011527343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1787864E-6 | 2.1787864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.337624E-6 | 9.337624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1367979E-4 | 1.1367979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011362317 | 0.0011362317 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7448751E-6 | 1.7448751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.4780155E-6 | 7.4780155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.1041125E-5 | 9.1041125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.100474E-4 | 9.100474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4646663E-6 | 1.4646663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.277127E-6 | 6.277127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.642141E-5 | 7.642141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.639586E-4 | 7.639586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2935728E-6 | 1.2935728E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5438722E-6 | 5.5438722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.749462E-5 | 6.749462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.747483E-4 | 6.747483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.771704E-7 | 6.771704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.902156E-6 | 2.902156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.5333236E-5 | 3.5333236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.532819E-4 | 3.532819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.5721347E-8 | 4.5721347E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.959486E-7 | 1.959486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.385672E-6 | 2.385672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3856484E-5 | 2.3856484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5171167E-9 | 1.5171167E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.5019283E-9 | 6.5019283E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.9160976E-8 | 7.9160976E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.916098E-7 | 7.916098E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 8.3903E-4 | 8.3903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0035915487 | 0.0036015126 | 1.0027744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.043038562 | 0.043048132 | 1.0002223 | 1.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.34612313 | 0.34612966 | 1.0000188 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.201144E-4 | 3.201144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013713122 | 0.0013812984 | 1.0072823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0099994885 | 0.016628224 | 0.016638057 | 1.0005914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.15388139 | 0.15388985 | 1.000055 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.873546E-4 | 1.873546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 8.027025E-4 | 8.126945E-4 | 1.012448 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009729327 | 0.009739229 | 1.0010178 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09397087 | 0.09397993 | 1.0000964 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.8430065E-4 | 1.8430065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.896221E-4 | 7.996142E-4 | 1.0126543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009571484 | 0.009581388 | 1.0010347 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09262014 | 0.09262922 | 1.000098 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.8189015E-4 | 1.8189015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.7929755E-4 | 7.892897E-4 | 1.012822 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009446885 | 0.009456791 | 1.0010486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.09151354 | 0.09152262 | 1.0000993 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7944216E-4 | 1.7944216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.688124E-4 | 7.7880465E-4 | 1.012997 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009320338 | 0.009330245 | 1.0010629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.0903939 | 0.090403 | 1.0001006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7619217E-4 | 1.7619217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.54892E-4 | 7.6488446E-4 | 1.0132369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045870654 | 0.009152313 | 0.009162221 | 1.0010827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.08890463 | 0.08891373 | 1.0001025 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7484956E-4 | 1.7484956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.491412E-4 | 7.591337E-4 | 1.0133386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045492216 | 0.009082918 | 0.009092827 | 1.001091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.08830065 | 0.08830977 | 1.0001032 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.7429376E-4 | 1.7429376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.467606E-4 | 7.5675314E-4 | 1.0133811 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045347405 | 0.009054184 | 0.009064093 | 1.0010945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.08804453 | 0.08805365 | 1.0001036 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.7369377E-4 | 1.7369377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.4419065E-4 | 7.541832E-4 | 1.0134274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045191357 | 0.009023154 | 0.009033064 | 1.0010983 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.08776732 | 0.087776445 | 1.000104 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.7118378E-4 | 1.7118378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.334397E-4 | 7.434324E-4 | 1.0136244 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004455241 | 0.008893337 | 0.008903248 | 1.0011145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.08660345 | 0.08661258 | 1.0001055 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5581743E-4 | 1.5581743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.676189E-4 | 6.776122E-4 | 1.0149686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040752706 | 0.008098146 | 0.008108065 | 1.0012249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.07946059 | 0.0794698 | 1.0001159 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.531508E-4 | 1.531508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.561962E-4 | 6.6618965E-4 | 1.0152293 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004005129 | 0.0079601 | 0.00797002 | 1.0012462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07822214 | 0.078231364 | 1.0001179 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.5005824E-4 | 1.5005824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.4294896E-4 | 6.529426E-4 | 1.0155433 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003934157 | 0.0077999798 | 0.0078099016 | 1.0012721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.076762296 | 0.07677153 | 1.0001203 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4700864E-4 | 1.4700864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.2988565E-4 | 6.398794E-4 | 1.0158659 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003865065 | 0.0076420596 | 0.0076519833 | 1.0012985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.07531487 | 0.07532412 | 1.0001228 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1568785E-4 | 1.1568785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.9571093E-4 | 5.05706E-4 | 1.020163 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032037178 | 0.006018614 | 0.006028554 | 1.0016515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.06029217 | 0.060301565 | 1.0001558 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.13939874E-4 | 1.13939874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.8822246E-4 | 4.982176E-4 | 1.0204724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0059279418 | 0.0059378822 | 1.0016769 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.05943972 | 0.059449125 | 1.0001582 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.5116025E-5 | 9.5116025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 4.0757644E-4 | 4.175724E-4 | 1.0245253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.004950964 | 0.0049609146 | 1.0020097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.05010779 | 0.050117288 | 1.0001895 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.8698136E-5 | 8.8698136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.800795E-4 | 3.900757E-4 | 1.0263003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0046176584 | 0.0046276124 | 1.0021555 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.04675455 | 0.046764083 | 1.0002038 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.9922935E-5 | 6.9922935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.996353E-4 | 3.0963233E-4 | 1.0333639 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0036419618 | 0.0036519254 | 1.0027357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.03703726 | 0.03704689 | 1.00026 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.22409E-5 | 4.22409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.8101987E-4 | 1.9101806E-4 | 1.0552325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0022016906 | 0.0022116685 | 1.004532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.022780072 | 0.022789843 | 1.000429 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.9550189E-5 | 1.9550189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.378384E-5 | 8.378384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 0.0010195915 | 0.0010195915 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010943641 | 0.010943641 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.806758E-6 | 5.806758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4885869E-5 | 2.4885869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.029434E-4 | 3.029434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0034299882 | 0.0034299882 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.214791E-7 | 8.214791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2862725E-5 | 4.2862725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0374464E-4 | 5.0374464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.062051E-4 | 2.062051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.834379E-4 | 8.934291E-4 | 1.0113094 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010703109 | 0.010713002 | 1.0009243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10381868 | 0.10382764 | 1.0000863 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.062051E-4 | 2.062051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.834379E-4 | 8.934291E-4 | 1.0113094 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010703109 | 0.010713002 | 1.0009243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10381868 | 0.10382764 | 1.0000863 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.062051E-4 | 2.062051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.834379E-4 | 8.934291E-4 | 1.0113094 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010703109 | 0.010713002 | 1.0009243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10381868 | 0.10382764 | 1.0000863 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.062051E-4 | 2.062051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.834379E-4 | 8.934291E-4 | 1.0113094 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010703109 | 0.010713002 | 1.0009243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10381868 | 0.10382764 | 1.0000863 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.896727E-4 | 1.896727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.1263E-4 | 8.2262186E-4 | 1.0122957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009849016 | 0.009858917 | 1.0010053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09612811 | 0.09613716 | 1.000094 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.896727E-4 | 1.896727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.1263E-4 | 8.2262186E-4 | 1.0122957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009849016 | 0.009858917 | 1.0010053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09612811 | 0.09613716 | 1.000094 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8772986E-4 | 1.8772986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 8.043087E-4 | 8.1430067E-4 | 1.012423 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047074095 | 0.0097486125 | 0.009758515 | 1.0010158 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.095222056 | 0.0952311 | 1.000095 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8686875E-4 | 1.8686875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 8.006205E-4 | 8.1061246E-4 | 1.0124803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00467679 | 0.009704108 | 0.009714012 | 1.0010206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.09481526 | 0.094824314 | 1.0000955 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8633161E-4 | 1.8633161E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.983199E-4 | 8.083119E-4 | 1.0125163 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004657841 | 0.0096763475 | 0.009686251 | 1.0010234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.09456053 | 0.09456958 | 1.0000957 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.851428E-4 | 1.851428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.9322804E-4 | 8.032201E-4 | 1.0125967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004611638 | 0.009614903 | 0.009624807 | 1.0010301 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.0939979 | 0.09400696 | 1.0000964 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.8351755E-4 | 1.8351755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.8626693E-4 | 7.9625903E-4 | 1.0127083 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004551957 | 0.009530895 | 0.0095408 | 1.0010393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.093228176 | 0.09323724 | 1.0000973 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.8262873E-4 | 1.8262873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.8246E-4 | 7.9245213E-4 | 1.0127702 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045216335 | 0.00948495 | 0.009494856 | 1.0010443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09280713 | 0.0928162 | 1.0000978 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.815265E-4 | 1.815265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.777389E-4 | 7.8773114E-4 | 1.0128478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009427971 | 0.009437877 | 1.0010507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.09228515 | 0.09229423 | 1.0000983 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.8093681E-4 | 1.8093681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.7521324E-4 | 7.8520546E-4 | 1.0128896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009397486 | 0.009407392 | 1.0010542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.092002355 | 0.09201144 | 1.0000987 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.8055637E-4 | 1.8055637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.735837E-4 | 7.8357593E-4 | 1.0129168 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004447999 | 0.009377818 | 0.009387724 | 1.0010563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.09182012 | 0.0918292 | 1.000099 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7922836E-4 | 1.7922836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.678956E-4 | 7.7788794E-4 | 1.0130126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009309159 | 0.009319066 | 1.0010642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.09118839 | 0.091197476 | 1.0000997 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.735957E-4 | 1.735957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.4376963E-4 | 7.537622E-4 | 1.013435 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042910352 | 0.009017893 | 0.009027803 | 1.0010989 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.088536024 | 0.08854514 | 1.000103 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4674108E-4 | 1.4674108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.287388E-4 | 6.387325E-4 | 1.0158949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.007628071 | 0.007637995 | 1.0013009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.07562504 | 0.075634286 | 1.0001222 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.3392982E-4 | 1.3392982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.738587E-4 | 5.8385293E-4 | 1.0174159 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0069643804 | 0.006974311 | 1.0014259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.06916757 | 0.06917688 | 1.0001346 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.647165E-5 | 9.647165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.1338443E-4 | 4.2338032E-4 | 1.0241805 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025743195 | 0.005021351 | 0.0050313007 | 1.0019815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.050343815 | 0.05035331 | 1.0001886 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.4059263E-5 | 5.4059263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.3166198E-4 | 2.4165967E-4 | 1.0431564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0028168387 | 0.0028268103 | 1.00354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.028820809 | 0.02883052 | 1.000337 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 2.0055959E-5 | 2.0055959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.595128E-5 | 8.595128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0010459551 | 0.0010459551 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009919235 | 0.011212316 | 0.011212316 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.806758E-6 | 5.806758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4885869E-5 | 2.4885869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.029434E-4 | 3.029434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0034299882 | 0.0034299882 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.214791E-7 | 8.214791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2862725E-5 | 4.2862725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0374464E-4 | 5.0374464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.2085713E-4 | 3.2085713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013743833 | 0.0013943558 | 1.014532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01660626 | 0.01662593 | 1.0011843 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07177748 | 0.15225767 | 0.15227462 | 1.0001113 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.2085713E-4 | 3.2085713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013743833 | 0.0013943558 | 1.014532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01660626 | 0.01662593 | 1.0011843 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07177748 | 0.15225767 | 0.15227462 | 1.0001113 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.2085713E-4 | 3.2085713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013743833 | 0.0013943558 | 1.014532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01660626 | 0.01662593 | 1.0011843 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07177748 | 0.15225767 | 0.15227462 | 1.0001113 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0988187E-4 | 3.0988187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013273949 | 0.0013473684 | 1.0150471 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.016042706 | 0.016062384 | 1.0012267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06914291 | 0.14756176 | 0.1475788 | 1.0001155 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0988187E-4 | 3.0988187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013273949 | 0.0013473684 | 1.0150471 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.016042706 | 0.016062384 | 1.0012267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06914291 | 0.14756176 | 0.1475788 | 1.0001155 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.9399197E-4 | 2.9399197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012593623 | 0.0012793372 | 1.015861 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015226214 | 0.01524591 | 1.0012935 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06530788 | 0.14070204 | 0.14071922 | 1.0001222 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.582899E-4 | 2.582899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0011064894 | 0.0011264673 | 1.0180552 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005788839 | 0.013388947 | 0.013408679 | 1.0014738 | 2.0E-5 | 0.056403454 | 0.12499834 | 0.12501584 | 1.00014 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3960546E-4 | 2.3960546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010264779 | 0.0010464573 | 1.0194641 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012426192 | 0.012445943 | 1.0015895 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051936906 | 0.11679116 | 0.116808824 | 1.0001513 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2480304E-4 | 2.2480304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.6308655E-4 | 9.830673E-4 | 1.0207466 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011662815 | 0.011682581 | 1.0016948 | 2.0E-5 | 0.048912346 | 0.110151954 | 0.11016975 | 1.0001615 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1933982E-4 | 2.1933982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.396898E-4 | 9.5967104E-4 | 1.0212636 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011380965 | 0.011400738 | 1.0017374 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04780577 | 0.10773701 | 0.10775486 | 1.0001656 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.1258077E-4 | 2.1258077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.900265E-4 | 9.107429E-4 | 9.307247E-4 | 1.0219401 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047382377 | 0.011032156 | 0.011051935 | 1.0017929 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046384744 | 0.10470482 | 0.10472272 | 1.0001711 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.04294E-4 | 2.04294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.752525E-4 | 8.95235E-4 | 1.0228306 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010604339 | 0.010624127 | 1.001866 | 2.0E-5 | 0.044737056 | 0.101010576 | 0.101028554 | 1.000178 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8828048E-4 | 1.8828048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4636928E-4 | 8.0666697E-4 | 8.266508E-4 | 1.0247734 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009777057 | 0.009796862 | 1.0020256 | 2.0E-5 | 0.041300658 | 0.09372269 | 0.09374082 | 1.0001934 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7764003E-4 | 1.7764003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.6109235E-4 | 7.8107713E-4 | 1.026258 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009227015 | 0.009246831 | 1.0021476 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03971748 | 0.08897015 | 0.088988364 | 1.0002048 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6978299E-4 | 1.6978299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.2743854E-4 | 7.4742397E-4 | 1.0274737 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008820671 | 0.008840495 | 1.0022475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.038480744 | 0.0854099 | 0.0854282 | 1.0002142 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.6260428E-4 | 1.6260428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.966894E-4 | 7.166755E-4 | 1.0286872 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003788775 | 0.008449267 | 0.008469097 | 1.0023471 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03724827 | 0.08210883 | 0.08212719 | 1.0002236 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.582674E-4 | 1.582674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.7811256E-4 | 6.881058E-4 | 1.0147368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008224824 | 0.008234742 | 1.0012058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.036463667 | 0.08008648 | 0.08009568 | 1.0001149 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4723594E-4 | 1.4723594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.308586E-4 | 6.408523E-4 | 1.0158414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003495157 | 0.0076536965 | 0.00766362 | 1.0012965 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034406938 | 0.07487261 | 0.07488187 | 1.0001235 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3585592E-4 | 1.3585592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.821098E-4 | 5.92104E-4 | 1.0171689 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032823787 | 0.007064188 | 0.007074117 | 1.0014056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032343175 | 0.069445334 | 0.06945464 | 1.000134 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 1.0024862E-4 | 1.0024862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.295662E-4 | 4.395619E-4 | 1.0232693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025967648 | 0.005217438 | 0.005227386 | 1.0019066 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025666296 | 0.052048694 | 0.052058175 | 1.0001822 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.5084187E-5 | 5.5084187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.3605373E-4 | 2.4605138E-4 | 1.0423533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0028701685 | 0.00288014 | 1.0034741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.029227287 | 0.029236995 | 1.0003321 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.9649533E-5 | 1.9649533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.420957E-5 | 8.420957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 0.00102477 | 0.00102477 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009055517 | 0.010912514 | 0.010912514 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.459096E-6 | 5.459096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.3395916E-5 | 2.3395916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.8480813E-4 | 2.8480813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0032069779 | 0.0032069779 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.214791E-7 | 8.214791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2862725E-5 | 4.2862725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0374464E-4 | 5.0374464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Verdugo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.220011E-6 | 4.220011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8085639E-5 | 1.8085639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2017088E-4 | 2.3016868E-4 | 1.0454093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021995753 | 0.0022095533 | 1.0045364 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.220011E-6 | 4.220011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8085639E-5 | 1.8085639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2017088E-4 | 2.3016868E-4 | 1.0454093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021995753 | 0.0022095533 | 1.0045364 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.220011E-6 | 4.220011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8085639E-5 | 1.8085639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2017088E-4 | 2.3016868E-4 | 1.0454093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021995753 | 0.0022095533 | 1.0045364 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.220011E-6 | 4.220011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8085639E-5 | 1.8085639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2017088E-4 | 2.3016868E-4 | 1.0454093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021995753 | 0.0022095533 | 1.0045364 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.220011E-6 | 4.220011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8085639E-5 | 1.8085639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2017088E-4 | 2.3016868E-4 | 1.0454093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021995753 | 0.0022095533 | 1.0045364 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.7258158E-6 | 3.7258158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5967686E-5 | 1.5967686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.9438943E-4 | 2.0438748E-4 | 1.0514331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002561549 | 0.0019422148 | 0.0019521954 | 1.0051388 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.7258158E-6 | 3.7258158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5967686E-5 | 1.5967686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.9438943E-4 | 2.0438748E-4 | 1.0514331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002561549 | 0.0019422148 | 0.0019521954 | 1.0051388 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.817006E-6 | 3.6239737E-6 | 3.6239737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0644147E-5 | 1.5531225E-5 | 1.5531225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.513135E-4 | 1.8907644E-4 | 1.9907455E-4 | 1.0528786 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025102948 | 0.0018891754 | 0.0018991565 | 1.0052834 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.507407E-6 | 3.3102885E-6 | 3.3102885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9317316E-5 | 1.4186875E-5 | 1.4186875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3516294E-4 | 1.7271165E-4 | 1.7271165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023491425 | 0.0017257886 | 0.0017257886 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.3573054E-6 | 3.1641323E-6 | 3.1641323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8674033E-5 | 1.3560498E-5 | 1.3560498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2733262E-4 | 1.6508668E-4 | 1.6508668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022710022 | 0.0016496527 | 0.0016496527 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.171527E-6 | 2.9867172E-6 | 2.9867172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.787785E-5 | 1.2800155E-5 | 1.2800155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1764109E-4 | 1.5583084E-4 | 1.5583084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021742806 | 0.0015572271 | 0.0015572271 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0405484E-6 | 2.885249E-6 | 2.885249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.731652E-5 | 1.2365294E-5 | 1.2365294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1080824E-4 | 1.5053718E-4 | 1.5053718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021060838 | 0.001504363 | 0.001504363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.8306007E-6 | 2.7047317E-6 | 2.7047317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6416758E-5 | 1.1591656E-5 | 1.1591656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9985568E-4 | 1.4111938E-4 | 1.4111938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019967605 | 0.0014103085 | 0.0014103085 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.5750938E-6 | 2.5149502E-6 | 2.5149502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.532174E-5 | 1.0778314E-5 | 1.0778314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8652623E-4 | 1.3121817E-4 | 1.3121817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018636974 | 0.0013114176 | 0.0013114176 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.3510041E-6 | 2.343484E-6 | 2.343484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4361368E-5 | 1.0043465E-5 | 1.0043465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7483562E-4 | 1.2227242E-4 | 1.2227242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017469813 | 0.001222062 | 0.001222062 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.948287E-6 | 2.0412501E-6 | 2.0412501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2635454E-5 | 8.748186E-6 | 8.748186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.538258E-4 | 1.06504056E-4 | 1.06504056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015371935 | 0.0010645404 | 0.0010645404 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0134323E-6 | 1.448484E-6 | 1.448484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.628967E-6 | 6.2077743E-6 | 6.2077743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05052604E-4 | 7.557712E-5 | 7.557712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010500296 | 7.5552304E-4 | 7.5552304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.726436E-7 | 4.0496883E-7 | 4.0496883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4541846E-6 | 1.7355796E-6 | 1.7355796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9879287E-5 | 2.1130503E-5 | 2.1130503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.987527E-4 | 2.112875E-4 | 2.112875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.6248204E-7 | 1.0715933E-7 | 1.0715933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.963514E-7 | 4.5925418E-7 | 4.5925418E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.478045E-6 | 5.5914056E-6 | 5.5914056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.477722E-5 | 5.5912686E-5 | 5.5912686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4475744E-8 | 3.0390144E-8 | 3.0390144E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9061031E-7 | 1.3024346E-7 | 1.3024346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.320678E-6 | 1.5857132E-6 | 1.5857132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3206538E-5 | 1.5857033E-5 | 1.5857033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2569015E-6 | 1.625684E-5 | 2.598225 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6815042E-5 | 3.6814774E-5 | 1.372915 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264287E-4 | 3.3642544E-4 | 1.0306245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003259934 | 0.0032699015 | 1.0030576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2569015E-6 | 1.625684E-5 | 2.598225 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6815042E-5 | 3.6814774E-5 | 1.372915 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264287E-4 | 3.3642544E-4 | 1.0306245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003259934 | 0.0032699015 | 1.0030576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2569015E-6 | 1.625684E-5 | 2.598225 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6815042E-5 | 3.6814774E-5 | 1.372915 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264287E-4 | 3.3642544E-4 | 1.0306245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003259934 | 0.0032699015 | 1.0030576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2569015E-6 | 1.625684E-5 | 2.598225 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6815042E-5 | 3.6814774E-5 | 1.372915 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264287E-4 | 3.3642544E-4 | 1.0306245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003259934 | 0.0032699015 | 1.0030576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2569015E-6 | 1.625684E-5 | 2.598225 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6815042E-5 | 3.6814774E-5 | 1.372915 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264287E-4 | 3.3642544E-4 | 1.0306245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003259934 | 0.0032699015 | 1.0030576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2569015E-6 | 1.625684E-5 | 2.598225 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6815042E-5 | 3.6814774E-5 | 1.372915 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264287E-4 | 3.3642544E-4 | 1.0306245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003259934 | 0.0032699015 | 1.0030576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2569015E-6 | 1.625684E-5 | 2.598225 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6815042E-5 | 3.6814774E-5 | 1.372915 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264287E-4 | 3.3642544E-4 | 1.0306245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.003259934 | 0.0032699015 | 1.0030576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.527088E-6 | 5.527088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3687327E-5 | 2.3687327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8835912E-4 | 2.8835912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028802531 | 0.0028802531 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.527088E-6 | 5.527088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3687327E-5 | 2.3687327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8835912E-4 | 2.8835912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028802531 | 0.0028802531 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.744377E-6 | 4.9411324E-6 | 4.9411324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0332885E-5 | 2.117613E-5 | 2.117613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4752476E-4 | 2.5779262E-4 | 2.5779262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024724922 | 0.0025753034 | 0.0025753034 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.722209E-6 | 4.9181685E-6 | 4.9181685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0237881E-5 | 2.1077714E-5 | 2.1077714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4636835E-4 | 2.565947E-4 | 2.565947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002460954 | 0.0025633518 | 0.0025633518 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.611174E-6 | 4.8030693E-6 | 4.8030693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9762025E-5 | 2.058444E-5 | 2.058444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4057609E-4 | 2.5059047E-4 | 2.5059047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002403158 | 0.0025034463 | 0.0025034463 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.043994E-6 | 4.213494E-6 | 4.213494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7331287E-5 | 1.8057726E-5 | 1.8057726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10988E-4 | 2.1983421E-4 | 2.1983421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002107878 | 0.0021965185 | 0.0021965185 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.1233036E-6 | 2.2307233E-6 | 2.2307233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.099841E-6 | 9.560208E-6 | 9.560208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1078493E-4 | 1.16389376E-4 | 1.16389376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011072971 | 0.0011632898 | 0.0011632898 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9051884E-6 | 2.002344E-6 | 2.002344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.165067E-6 | 8.581446E-6 | 8.581446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.940516E-5 | 1.0447416E-4 | 1.0447416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.93607E-4 | 0.0010442557 | 0.0010442557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2408497E-6 | 1.3044385E-6 | 1.3044385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.317916E-6 | 5.590439E-6 | 5.590439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4743705E-5 | 6.806148E-5 | 6.806148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4724847E-4 | 6.804086E-4 | 6.804086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.5440025E-7 | 6.8897384E-7 | 6.8897384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8045695E-6 | 2.9527419E-6 | 2.9527419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4145098E-5 | 3.594905E-5 | 3.594905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4139853E-4 | 3.594338E-4 | 3.594338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.985963E-7 | 4.194903E-7 | 4.194903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7082689E-6 | 1.7978144E-6 | 1.7978144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0797976E-5 | 2.1888183E-5 | 2.1888183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0796029E-4 | 2.1886145E-4 | 2.1886145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.706329E-8 | 3.8605105E-8 | 3.8605105E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5884267E-7 | 1.6545043E-7 | 1.6545043E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9339077E-6 | 2.0143573E-6 | 2.0143573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.933891E-5 | 2.0143403E-5 | 2.0143403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1621985E-5 | 4.1621668E-5 | 1.3162256 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3551652E-4 | 1.4551517E-4 | 1.0737817 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016488014 | 0.0016587849 | 1.006055 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.01637944 | 0.016389277 | 1.0006006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1621985E-5 | 4.1621668E-5 | 1.3162256 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3551652E-4 | 1.4551517E-4 | 1.0737817 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016488014 | 0.0016587849 | 1.006055 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.01637944 | 0.016389277 | 1.0006006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1621985E-5 | 4.1621668E-5 | 1.3162256 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3551652E-4 | 1.4551517E-4 | 1.0737817 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016488014 | 0.0016587849 | 1.006055 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.01637944 | 0.016389277 | 1.0006006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7814913E-5 | 2.7814736E-5 | 1.5613174 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.6347496E-5 | 8.6346736E-5 | 1.13097 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2915265E-4 | 9.3914336E-4 | 1.0107524 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009254553 | 0.009264461 | 1.0010705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7814913E-5 | 2.7814736E-5 | 1.5613174 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.6347496E-5 | 8.6346736E-5 | 1.13097 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2915265E-4 | 9.3914336E-4 | 1.0107524 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009254553 | 0.009264461 | 1.0010705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3050247E-5 | 1.3050247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5928453E-5 | 5.5928453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8071985E-4 | 6.8071985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063656955 | 0.0067867464 | 0.0067867464 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1162647E-5 | 1.1162647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7839054E-5 | 4.7839054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.8228703E-4 | 5.8228703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005458487 | 0.0058078547 | 0.0058078547 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.241633E-6 | 9.241633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9606402E-5 | 3.9606402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.821018E-4 | 4.821018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.004810627 | 0.004810627 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.821501E-6 | 8.821501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7805887E-5 | 3.7805887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.6018988E-4 | 4.6018988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.004592423 | 0.004592423 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.569379E-6 | 8.569379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.6725396E-5 | 3.6725396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4704037E-4 | 4.4704037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044614626 | 0.0044614626 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.078794E-6 | 8.078794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4622946E-5 | 3.4622946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2145324E-4 | 4.2145324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.004206587 | 0.004206587 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.549608E-6 | 7.549608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.2355067E-5 | 3.2355067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9385207E-4 | 3.9385207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.003931584 | 0.003931584 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.830875E-6 | 6.830875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9274852E-5 | 2.9274852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5636328E-4 | 3.5636328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035579465 | 0.0035579465 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8229457E-6 | 5.8229457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4955243E-5 | 2.4955243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.0378794E-4 | 3.0378794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030337498 | 0.0030337498 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.31437E-6 | 4.31437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8490027E-5 | 1.8490027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.250929E-4 | 2.250929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.002248658 | 0.002248658 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4763933E-6 | 2.4763933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0613072E-5 | 1.0613072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2920653E-4 | 1.2920653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012913191 | 0.0012913191 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.864575E-7 | 9.864575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2276683E-6 | 4.2276683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.147066E-5 | 5.147066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1458867E-4 | 5.1458867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6423928E-7 | 2.6423928E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1324536E-6 | 1.1324536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3787536E-5 | 1.3787536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3786687E-4 | 1.3786687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.966511E-8 | 3.966511E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6999331E-7 | 1.6999331E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0696668E-6 | 2.0696668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0696498E-5 | 2.0696498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.949131E-10 | 5.949131E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5496276E-9 | 2.5496276E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1041715E-8 | 3.1041715E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.1041714E-7 | 3.1041714E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Salt Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9565114E-6 | 1.9565114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.385033E-6 | 8.385033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.0208501E-4 | 1.0208501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.646297E-4 | 0.0010205791 | 0.001030569 | 1.0097884 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9565114E-6 | 1.9565114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.385033E-6 | 8.385033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.0208501E-4 | 1.0208501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.646297E-4 | 0.0010205791 | 0.001030569 | 1.0097884 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9565114E-6 | 1.9565114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.385033E-6 | 8.385033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.0208501E-4 | 1.0208501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.646297E-4 | 0.0010205791 | 0.001030569 | 1.0097884 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9565114E-6 | 1.9565114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.385033E-6 | 8.385033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.0208501E-4 | 1.0208501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.646297E-4 | 0.0010205791 | 0.001030569 | 1.0097884 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7803909E-6 | 1.8870087E-6 | 1.8870087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.630225E-6 | 8.087166E-6 | 8.087166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.289402E-5 | 9.845881E-5 | 9.845881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.28552E-4 | 9.843493E-4 | 9.943395E-4 | 1.010149 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.303623E-7 | 6.303623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.70155E-6 | 2.70155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.289092E-5 | 3.289092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2886444E-4 | 3.3886114E-4 | 1.0303977 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.303623E-7 | 6.303623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.70155E-6 | 2.70155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.289092E-5 | 3.289092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2886444E-4 | 3.3886114E-4 | 1.0303977 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.303623E-7 | 6.303623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.70155E-6 | 2.70155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.289092E-5 | 3.289092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2886444E-4 | 3.3886114E-4 | 1.0303977 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.7536267E-7 | 5.068815E-7 | 5.068815E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.037267E-6 | 2.1723476E-6 | 2.1723476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4803443E-5 | 2.6448037E-5 | 2.6448037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4800675E-4 | 2.6445134E-4 | 2.744487E-4 | 1.0378041 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.6345344E-7 | 3.8771583E-7 | 3.8771583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5576567E-6 | 1.6616383E-6 | 1.6616383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8964305E-5 | 2.0230276E-5 | 2.0230276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8962687E-4 | 2.0228604E-4 | 2.1228402E-4 | 1.049425 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4087325E-7 | 2.5723864E-7 | 2.5723864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0323135E-6 | 1.1024509E-6 | 1.1024509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25683455E-5 | 1.342227E-5 | 1.342227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2567634E-4 | 1.3421586E-4 | 1.3421586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.551555E-8 | 9.0488584E-8 | 9.0488584E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6649516E-7 | 3.8780817E-7 | 3.8780817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4620692E-6 | 4.7215553E-6 | 4.7215553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.46198E-5 | 4.7214668E-5 | 4.7214668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.475279E-8 | 2.5903203E-8 | 2.5903203E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0608338E-7 | 1.1101372E-7 | 1.1101372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915643E-6 | 1.3515913E-6 | 1.3515913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915569E-5 | 1.3515837E-5 | 1.3515837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5212393E-8 | 1.5853058E-8 | 1.5853058E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.519597E-8 | 6.794167E-8 | 6.794167E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9376065E-7 | 8.271896E-7 | 8.271896E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.937579E-6 | 8.271868E-6 | 8.271868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.182E-9 | 8.449589E-9 | 8.449589E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5065714E-8 | 3.6212523E-8 | 3.6212523E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.26925E-7 | 4.4088736E-7 | 4.4088736E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.269242E-6 | 4.408865E-6 | 4.408865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.479913E-9 | 5.6696727E-9 | 5.6696727E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3485342E-8 | 2.4298597E-8 | 2.4298597E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.85934E-7 | 2.9583538E-7 | 2.9583538E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8593363E-6 | 2.9583503E-6 | 2.9583503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.6813562E-10 | 2.773991E-10 | 2.773991E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1491527E-9 | 1.1888532E-9 | 1.1888532E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990933E-8 | 1.4474288E-8 | 1.4474288E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990932E-7 | 1.4474287E-7 | 1.4474287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5824137E-4 | 2.5824137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0011062811 | 0.00111627 | 1.0090293 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013386326 | 0.013396191 | 1.0007371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12696213 | 0.12697086 | 1.0000688 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5824137E-4 | 2.5824137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0011062811 | 0.00111627 | 1.0090293 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013386326 | 0.013396191 | 1.0007371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12696213 | 0.12697086 | 1.0000688 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5640157E-4 | 2.5640157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010984029 | 0.0011083919 | 1.0090941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006347804 | 0.013291582 | 0.01330145 | 1.0007423 | 1.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.12614898 | 0.12615773 | 1.0000693 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.5525666E-4 | 2.5525666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010935002 | 0.0011034892 | 1.0091349 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006316212 | 0.013232619 | 0.013242486 | 1.0007457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12564212 | 0.12565087 | 1.0000696 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.502743E-4 | 2.502743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010721649 | 0.0010821541 | 1.0093169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006172335 | 0.012975981 | 0.012985852 | 1.0007607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.123429015 | 0.12343778 | 1.000071 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4818178E-4 | 2.4818178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010632043 | 0.0010731936 | 1.0093955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006109677 | 0.012868177 | 0.012878048 | 1.0007671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.12249924 | 0.12250801 | 1.0000716 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.4119885E-4 | 2.4119885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010333015 | 0.0010432911 | 1.0096678 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012508344 | 0.012518219 | 1.0007895 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.11939638 | 0.11940519 | 1.0000738 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3962758E-4 | 2.3962758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010265728 | 0.0010365625 | 1.0097312 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005864331 | 0.01242736 | 0.012437236 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.118695915 | 0.11870473 | 1.0000743 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3849739E-4 | 2.3849739E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 0.0010217329 | 0.0010317226 | 1.0097773 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005836608 | 0.012369105 | 0.012378981 | 1.0007985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.118189804 | 0.11819862 | 1.0000746 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3696883E-4 | 2.3696883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 0.001015187 | 0.0010251768 | 1.0098404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057996577 | 0.012290311 | 0.012300188 | 1.0008036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.11750621 | 0.11751504 | 1.0000751 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.3315453E-4 | 2.3315453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.988525E-4 | 0.0010088426 | 1.0100015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005705768 | 0.012093665 | 0.012103544 | 1.0008168 | 1.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.115794286 | 0.11580312 | 1.0000764 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.1112399E-4 | 2.1112399E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 9.045044E-4 | 9.144954E-4 | 1.0110458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010957047 | 0.010966938 | 1.0009027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.10582224 | 0.10583118 | 1.0000845 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0612575E-4 | 2.0612575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.830981E-4 | 8.930893E-4 | 1.0113138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00504711 | 0.010699013 | 0.010708907 | 1.0009247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.10355334 | 0.1035623 | 1.0000865 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 2.0032581E-4 | 2.0032581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.5825776E-4 | 8.6824916E-4 | 1.0116415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010399509 | 0.0104094045 | 1.0009515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.1008892 | 0.10089819 | 1.0000892 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.9392761E-4 | 1.9392761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.308546E-4 | 8.408463E-4 | 1.0120258 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004799717 | 0.010068999 | 0.010078898 | 1.0009831 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09792848 | 0.0979375 | 1.0000921 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.565962E-4 | 1.565962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.709542E-4 | 6.8094744E-4 | 1.0148941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040183207 | 0.008138347 | 0.008148266 | 1.0012188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.0804343 | 0.080443494 | 1.0001143 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.5313021E-4 | 1.5313021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.5610744E-4 | 6.661009E-4 | 1.0152314 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039388672 | 0.0079589235 | 0.007968844 | 1.0012465 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07877534 | 0.078784555 | 1.000117 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2785947E-4 | 1.2785947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.478541E-4 | 5.578486E-4 | 1.0182431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006649754 | 0.0066596875 | 1.0014938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.06648202 | 0.06649136 | 1.0001404 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.18047225E-4 | 1.18047225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 5.0581864E-4 | 5.158136E-4 | 1.0197599 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003054864 | 0.0061409757 | 0.0061509144 | 1.0016184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.06143295 | 0.061442334 | 1.0001528 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.711439E-5 | 8.711439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.7329397E-4 | 3.8329026E-4 | 1.0267786 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0045353905 | 0.0045453454 | 1.0021949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.04570435 | 0.04571389 | 1.0002089 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.256993E-5 | 5.256993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.2528025E-4 | 2.35278E-4 | 1.0443791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0027393391 | 0.0027493117 | 1.0036405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.02806336 | 0.02807308 | 1.0003463 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 2.0069418E-5 | 2.0069418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.600896E-5 | 8.600896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010466566 | 0.0010466566 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009956728 | 0.011221517 | 0.011221517 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.806758E-6 | 5.806758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4885869E-5 | 2.4885869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.029434E-4 | 3.029434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0034299882 | 0.0034299882 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.214791E-7 | 8.214791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2862725E-5 | 4.2862725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0374464E-4 | 5.0374464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Anaheim
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9254998E-6 | 2.5132902E-6 | 2.5132902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25377965E-5 | 1.0771212E-5 | 1.0771212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5263697E-4 | 1.3113396E-4 | 1.3113396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015253217 | 0.0013107961 | 0.001320783 | 1.0076189 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6729715E-6 | 1.2345166E-6 | 1.2345166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1698582E-6 | 5.290777E-6 | 5.290777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7289525E-5 | 6.4413725E-5 | 6.4413725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7255245E-4 | 6.439915E-4 | 6.539851E-4 | 1.0155182 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6729715E-6 | 1.2345166E-6 | 1.2345166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1698582E-6 | 5.290777E-6 | 5.290777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7289525E-5 | 6.4413725E-5 | 6.4413725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7255245E-4 | 6.439915E-4 | 6.539851E-4 | 1.0155182 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1444064E-6 | 6.9667027E-7 | 6.9667027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9045893E-6 | 2.9857267E-6 | 2.9857267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.971174E-5 | 3.6350673E-5 | 3.6350673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.96957E-4 | 3.6345277E-4 | 3.7344915E-4 | 1.0275038 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1444064E-6 | 6.9667027E-7 | 6.9667027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9045893E-6 | 2.9857267E-6 | 2.9857267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.971174E-5 | 3.6350673E-5 | 3.6350673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.96957E-4 | 3.6345277E-4 | 3.7344915E-4 | 1.0275038 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1385318E-6 | 6.9073815E-7 | 6.9073815E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879413E-6 | 2.9603034E-6 | 2.9603034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9405233E-5 | 3.6041154E-5 | 3.6041154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.938936E-4 | 3.603586E-4 | 3.70355E-4 | 1.0277401 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1165511E-6 | 6.6852334E-7 | 6.6852334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.78521E-6 | 2.8650973E-6 | 2.8650973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8258374E-5 | 3.4882054E-5 | 3.4882054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8243104E-4 | 3.4877125E-4 | 3.5876778E-4 | 1.0286621 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1098243E-6 | 6.617423E-7 | 6.617423E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7563813E-6 | 2.8360357E-6 | 2.8360357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7907404E-5 | 3.4528242E-5 | 3.4528242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7892315E-4 | 3.4523424E-4 | 3.4523424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1077587E-6 | 6.596625E-7 | 6.596625E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7475287E-6 | 2.8271222E-6 | 2.8271222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779963E-5 | 3.4419725E-5 | 3.4419725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.77846E-4 | 3.441494E-4 | 3.441494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1024468E-6 | 6.5431993E-7 | 6.5431993E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7247636E-6 | 2.8042255E-6 | 2.8042255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.752248E-5 | 3.414097E-5 | 3.414097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.750759E-4 | 3.4136267E-4 | 3.4136267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0993066E-6 | 6.5173015E-7 | 6.5173015E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7113053E-6 | 2.7931267E-6 | 2.7931267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7358633E-5 | 3.400584E-5 | 3.400584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.734383E-4 | 3.4001181E-4 | 3.4001181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.334877E-7 | 4.4107452E-7 | 4.4107452E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5720855E-6 | 1.8903181E-6 | 1.8903181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.348927E-5 | 2.3014403E-5 | 2.3014403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3480762E-4 | 2.3012243E-4 | 2.3012243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.794411E-7 | 4.0030005E-7 | 4.0030005E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3404576E-6 | 1.7155706E-6 | 1.7155706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0669314E-5 | 2.0886893E-5 | 2.0886893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.066187E-4 | 2.0885134E-4 | 2.0885134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.01704E-7 | 2.5607147E-7 | 2.5607147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.150158E-6 | 1.0974488E-6 | 1.0974488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.617786E-5 | 1.336137E-5 | 1.336137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6174777E-4 | 1.3360691E-4 | 1.3360691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4008182E-7 | 1.2383285E-7 | 1.2383285E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0289217E-6 | 5.3071216E-7 | 5.3071216E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.252705E-5 | 6.461409E-6 | 6.461409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2526344E-4 | 6.461298E-5 | 6.461298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.0263876E-8 | 1.6128023E-8 | 1.6128023E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.684518E-8 | 6.9120105E-8 | 6.9120105E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0573395E-6 | 8.41537E-7 | 8.41537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0573345E-5 | 8.415347E-6 | 8.415347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.4871431E-9 | 1.5085984E-9 | 1.5085984E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.37347E-9 | 6.4654215E-9 | 6.4654215E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7596994E-8 | 7.87165E-8 | 7.87165E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759697E-7 | 7.8716477E-7 | 7.8716477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.5093293E-10 | 1.5335555E-10 | 1.5335555E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4685546E-10 | 6.572385E-10 | 6.572385E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.875465E-9 | 8.001877E-9 | 8.001877E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8754645E-8 | 8.0018765E-8 | 8.0018765E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4937186E-4 | 2.4937186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010683006 | 0.0010782898 | 1.0093507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0129295 | 0.012939371 | 1.0007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12318187 | 0.12319064 | 1.0000712 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4937186E-4 | 2.4937186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010683006 | 0.0010782898 | 1.0093507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0129295 | 0.012939371 | 1.0007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12318187 | 0.12319064 | 1.0000712 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4937186E-4 | 2.4937186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010683006 | 0.0010782898 | 1.0093507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0129295 | 0.012939371 | 1.0007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12318187 | 0.12319064 | 1.0000712 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4937186E-4 | 2.4937186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010683006 | 0.0010782898 | 1.0093507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0129295 | 0.012939371 | 1.0007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12318187 | 0.12319064 | 1.0000712 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4937186E-4 | 2.4937186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010683006 | 0.0010782898 | 1.0093507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0129295 | 0.012939371 | 1.0007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12318187 | 0.12319064 | 1.0000712 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4254486E-4 | 2.4254486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010390654 | 0.001049055 | 1.009614 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012577714 | 0.012587588 | 1.0007851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.12015595 | 0.12016475 | 1.0000732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4254486E-4 | 2.4254486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010390654 | 0.001049055 | 1.009614 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012577714 | 0.012587588 | 1.0007851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.12015595 | 0.12016475 | 1.0000732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3944507E-4 | 2.3944507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010257912 | 0.0010357809 | 1.0097386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058011734 | 0.01241795 | 0.0124278255 | 1.0007952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11877363 | 0.118782446 | 1.0000741 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3845941E-4 | 2.3845941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 0.0010215702 | 0.00103156 | 1.0097789 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005777263 | 0.012367144 | 0.012377021 | 1.0007986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.11833256 | 0.11834137 | 1.0000745 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3737512E-4 | 2.3737512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 0.0010169268 | 0.0010269167 | 1.0098236 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012311253 | 0.012321129 | 1.0008023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.11784774 | 0.11785656 | 1.0000749 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3637607E-4 | 2.3637607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 0.0010126486 | 0.0010226384 | 1.009865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057263062 | 0.012259752 | 0.012269628 | 1.0008057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.11739794 | 0.11740677 | 1.0000752 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.2135951E-4 | 2.2135951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.4833976E-4 | 9.583303E-4 | 1.0105348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011485246 | 0.011495131 | 1.0008607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.110631995 | 0.11064089 | 1.0000803 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.1539196E-4 | 2.1539196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.227829E-4 | 9.327737E-4 | 1.0108268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052187922 | 0.011177324 | 0.011187212 | 1.0008847 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.107926 | 0.10793493 | 1.0000826 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.1006404E-4 | 2.1006404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.999649E-4 | 9.099559E-4 | 1.0111016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005109493 | 0.0109023275 | 0.010912218 | 1.0009072 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.105478644 | 0.105487585 | 1.0000848 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 2.0365516E-4 | 2.0365516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.7251683E-4 | 8.825081E-4 | 1.0114511 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049778637 | 0.01057143 | 0.010581325 | 1.0009359 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10252677 | 0.10253574 | 1.0000875 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6617888E-4 | 1.6617888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 7.1200106E-4 | 7.219939E-4 | 1.0140349 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008634246 | 0.008644159 | 1.0011482 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.08505147 | 0.08506062 | 1.0001075 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.6265009E-4 | 1.6265009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.968858E-4 | 7.0687884E-4 | 1.0143396 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041122385 | 0.00845166 | 0.008461575 | 1.0011733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.083370455 | 0.08337962 | 1.0001099 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3726752E-4 | 1.3726752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.881568E-4 | 5.981509E-4 | 1.0169922 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003493839 | 0.007137334 | 0.0071472623 | 1.001391 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.07108357 | 0.07109286 | 1.0001307 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2605738E-4 | 1.2605738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.401341E-4 | 5.501287E-4 | 1.0185039 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0065563316 | 0.006566266 | 1.0015153 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06536849 | 0.06537784 | 1.0001429 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 9.175671E-5 | 9.175671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.9318381E-4 | 4.0317987E-4 | 1.0254234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004776514 | 0.0047864667 | 1.0020835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.048015792 | 0.048025314 | 1.0001982 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.3970572E-5 | 5.3970572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.3128196E-4 | 2.4127965E-4 | 1.0432273 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0028122237 | 0.0028221956 | 1.0035459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.028780736 | 0.02879045 | 1.0003375 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 2.006923E-5 | 2.006923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.6008156E-5 | 8.6008156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.001046647 | 0.001046647 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009955673 | 0.011221391 | 0.011221391 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.806758E-6 | 5.806758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4885869E-5 | 2.4885869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.029434E-4 | 3.029434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0034299882 | 0.0034299882 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.214791E-7 | 8.214791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2862725E-5 | 4.2862725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0374464E-4 | 5.0374464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.638065E-5 | 8.637989E-5 | 1.1309133 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2730744E-4 | 3.3730417E-4 | 1.0305424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039782226 | 0.003988183 | 1.0025036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039126594 | 0.039136205 | 1.0002456 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.638065E-5 | 8.637989E-5 | 1.1309133 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2730744E-4 | 3.3730417E-4 | 1.0305424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039782226 | 0.003988183 | 1.0025036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039126594 | 0.039136205 | 1.0002456 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.638065E-5 | 8.637989E-5 | 1.1309133 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2730744E-4 | 3.3730417E-4 | 1.0305424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039782226 | 0.003988183 | 1.0025036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039126594 | 0.039136205 | 1.0002456 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9840182E-5 | 5.9839684E-5 | 1.2006313 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1358405E-4 | 2.2358191E-4 | 1.04681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025974945 | 0.0026074685 | 1.0038399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025693016 | 0.02570276 | 1.0003792 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9840182E-5 | 5.9839684E-5 | 1.2006313 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1358405E-4 | 2.2358191E-4 | 1.04681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025974945 | 0.0026074685 | 1.0038399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025693016 | 0.02570276 | 1.0003792 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6622714E-5 | 4.6622346E-5 | 1.2730446 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5694564E-4 | 1.6694407E-4 | 1.0637063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019092541 | 0.0019192351 | 1.0052277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.018940464 | 0.018950274 | 1.000518 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5214103E-5 | 4.521375E-5 | 1.2839671 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5090943E-4 | 1.6090792E-4 | 1.0662549 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018358872 | 0.0018458689 | 1.005437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018218838 | 0.018228656 | 1.0005388 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.729229E-5 | 3.729202E-5 | 1.3663938 | 1.0E-5 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.16962234E-4 | 1.2696107E-4 | 1.0854877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001192729 | 0.001423177 | 0.0014331627 | 1.0070165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011863477 | 0.014149891 | 0.014159749 | 1.0006968 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5473199E-5 | 3.547294E-5 | 1.3925595 | 1.0E-5 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0916679E-4 | 1.191657E-4 | 1.0915929 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013283858 | 0.0013383726 | 1.0075179 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011065915 | 0.013213521 | 0.013223388 | 1.0007468 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2649752E-5 | 3.2649525E-5 | 1.4414959 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.706725E-5 | 1.0706628E-4 | 1.1030114 | 1.0E-5 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011812407 | 0.0011912289 | 1.0084556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009869894 | 0.011758334 | 0.011768216 | 1.0008404 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0351705E-5 | 3.03515E-5 | 1.4913493 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.721916E-5 | 9.721829E-5 | 1.1146437 | 1.0E-5 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010614615 | 0.0010714509 | 1.009411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008882134 | 0.010572379 | 0.010582274 | 1.0009359 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.9025018E-5 | 2.9024826E-5 | 1.5256137 | 1.0E-5 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.153372E-5 | 9.15329E-5 | 1.1226387 | 1.0E-5 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.923059E-4 | 0.001002296 | 1.0100676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008304977 | 0.009887142 | 0.009897044 | 1.0010014 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7224671E-5 | 2.7224498E-5 | 1.5805527 | 1.0E-5 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.38184E-5 | 8.3817664E-5 | 1.1354576 | 1.0E-5 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.984527E-4 | 9.0844376E-4 | 1.0111202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007520827 | 0.008956501 | 0.008966412 | 1.0011065 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.212895E-6 | 6.212895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6626618E-5 | 2.6626618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.2416589E-4 | 3.2416589E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032403648 | 0.0032403648 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.4094404E-7 | 8.4094404E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6040412E-6 | 3.6040412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3878394E-5 | 4.3878394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.387045E-4 | 4.387045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.668141E-7 | 6.668141E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8577722E-6 | 2.8577722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4792887E-5 | 3.4792887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4788102E-4 | 3.4788102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.562514E-7 | 3.562514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.526791E-6 | 1.526791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.858857E-5 | 1.858857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8587474E-4 | 1.8587474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2200182E-7 | 1.2200182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.2286487E-7 | 5.2286487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.3658617E-6 | 6.3658617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.365683E-5 | 6.365683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1032545E-8 | 3.1032545E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3299662E-7 | 1.3299662E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6192329E-6 | 1.6192329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6192233E-5 | 1.6192233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.044662E-5 | 3.044662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3048168E-4 | 1.3048168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015879436 | 0.0015879436 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015361829 | 0.015813723 | 0.015823565 | 1.0006224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.044662E-5 | 3.044662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3048168E-4 | 1.3048168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015879436 | 0.0015879436 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015361829 | 0.015813723 | 0.015823565 | 1.0006224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.044662E-5 | 3.044662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3048168E-4 | 1.3048168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015879436 | 0.0015879436 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015361829 | 0.015813723 | 0.015823565 | 1.0006224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.044662E-5 | 3.044662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3048168E-4 | 1.3048168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015879436 | 0.0015879436 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015361829 | 0.015813723 | 0.015823565 | 1.0006224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.02806835E-5 | 1.02806835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4059354E-5 | 4.4059354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.3629477E-4 | 5.3629477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005350431 | 0.005350431 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.02806835E-5 | 1.02806835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4059354E-5 | 4.4059354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.3629477E-4 | 5.3629477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005350431 | 0.005350431 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.6683085E-6 | 8.6683085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.7149373E-5 | 3.7149373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.5220146E-4 | 4.5220146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005855706 | 0.004512991 | 0.004512991 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.905528E-6 | 7.905528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.3880402E-5 | 3.3880402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.1241705E-4 | 4.1241705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054662596 | 0.004116647 | 0.004116647 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.886901E-6 | 7.886901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.3800574E-5 | 3.3800574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.114455E-4 | 4.114455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005451347 | 0.0041069677 | 0.0041069677 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.494293E-6 | 6.494293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.7832388E-5 | 2.7832388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.3880697E-4 | 3.3880697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004724967 | 0.003382942 | 0.003382942 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.2166137E-6 | 6.2166137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.664236E-5 | 2.664236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.2432273E-4 | 3.2432273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045489795 | 0.0032385257 | 0.0032385257 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.9602366E-6 | 5.9602366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.5543623E-5 | 2.5543623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.109495E-4 | 3.109495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368907 | 0.0031051736 | 0.0031051736 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.5007326E-6 | 5.5007326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.3574356E-5 | 2.3574356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.8698018E-4 | 2.8698018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040600533 | 0.00286612 | 0.00286612 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.6512655E-6 | 4.6512655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9933843E-5 | 1.9933843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.4266767E-4 | 2.4266767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033722918 | 0.0024240436 | 0.0024240436 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.8885787E-6 | 3.8885787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.666523E-5 | 1.666523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8079396E-4 | 2.0288043E-4 | 2.0288043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028043943 | 0.0020269668 | 0.0020269668 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.5759552E-6 | 2.5759552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.1039762E-5 | 1.1039762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.3440092E-4 | 1.3440092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019017943 | 0.0013432069 | 0.0013432069 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.5490313E-6 | 1.5490313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.638689E-6 | 6.638689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1951787E-4 | 8.0823105E-5 | 8.0823105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011945361 | 8.079438E-4 | 8.079438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.3997173E-7 | 3.3997173E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.4570211E-6 | 1.4570211E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.7739101E-5 | 1.7739101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1552566E-4 | 1.7737823E-4 | 1.7737823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.7840065E-9 | 9.7840065E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1931457E-8 | 4.1931457E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.105155E-7 | 5.105155E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.1051547E-6 | 5.1051547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jose
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.1307267E-6 | 1.41306855E-5 | 3.4208715 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.770301E-5 | 2.7702832E-5 | 1.5648657 | 1.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.1551545E-4 | 2.255133E-4 | 1.0463904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0021533757 | 0.002163354 | 1.0046339 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.1307267E-6 | 1.41306855E-5 | 3.4208715 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.770301E-5 | 2.7702832E-5 | 1.5648657 | 1.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.1551545E-4 | 2.255133E-4 | 1.0463904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0021533757 | 0.002163354 | 1.0046339 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.1307267E-6 | 1.41306855E-5 | 3.4208715 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.770301E-5 | 2.7702832E-5 | 1.5648657 | 1.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.1551545E-4 | 2.255133E-4 | 1.0463904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0021533757 | 0.002163354 | 1.0046339 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.1307267E-6 | 1.41306855E-5 | 3.4208715 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.770301E-5 | 2.7702832E-5 | 1.5648657 | 1.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.1551545E-4 | 2.255133E-4 | 1.0463904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0021533757 | 0.002163354 | 1.0046339 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.3285924E-6 | 1.3328559E-5 | 4.004263 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.426533E-5 | 2.4265188E-5 | 1.7009903 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.7366876E-4 | 1.8366703E-4 | 1.0575709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0017356001 | 0.0017455828 | 1.0057517 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.3285924E-6 | 1.3328559E-5 | 4.004263 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.426533E-5 | 2.4265188E-5 | 1.7009903 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.7366876E-4 | 1.8366703E-4 | 1.0575709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0017356001 | 0.0017455828 | 1.0057517 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.110396E-6 | 2.0844263E-6 | 2.0844263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.933226E-6 | 8.933226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0875688E-4 | 1.0875688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016216465 | 0.0010871164 | 0.0010871164 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.110396E-6 | 2.0844263E-6 | 2.0844263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.933226E-6 | 8.933226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0875688E-4 | 1.0875688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016216465 | 0.0010871164 | 0.0010871164 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.856651E-6 | 1.906772E-6 | 1.906772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2242733E-5 | 8.171856E-6 | 8.171856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4904508E-4 | 9.9488054E-5 | 9.9488054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014894515 | 9.94512E-4 | 9.94512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.1618725E-6 | 1.4227189E-6 | 1.4227189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.265135E-6 | 6.097353E-6 | 6.097353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12797185E-4 | 7.4232834E-5 | 7.4232834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011273995 | 7.421414E-4 | 7.421414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.9684312E-6 | 1.3296193E-6 | 1.3296193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.436106E-6 | 5.6983563E-6 | 5.6983563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.02704755E-4 | 6.937537E-5 | 6.937537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001026573 | 6.935976E-4 | 6.935976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6070337E-6 | 1.1193048E-6 | 1.1193048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.887269E-6 | 4.797012E-6 | 4.797012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.384928E-5 | 5.8402118E-5 | 5.8402118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3817646E-4 | 5.839262E-4 | 5.839262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0631658E-6 | 6.432279E-7 | 6.432279E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.556417E-6 | 2.7566882E-6 | 2.7566882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5472963E-5 | 3.3562177E-5 | 3.3562177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545912E-4 | 3.3562476E-4 | 3.3562476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.060711E-7 | 4.6057812E-7 | 4.6057812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0260155E-6 | 1.9739048E-6 | 1.9739048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6841117E-5 | 2.4032035E-5 | 2.4032035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6835007E-4 | 2.4034757E-4 | 2.4034757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.3677085E-7 | 2.3404434E-7 | 2.3404434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4433028E-6 | 1.0030468E-6 | 1.0030468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.757207E-5 | 1.2212029E-5 | 1.2212029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7570681E-4 | 1.221662E-4 | 1.221662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.129161E-7 | 1.9673338E-7 | 1.9673338E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3410682E-6 | 8.431428E-7 | 8.431428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6327383E-5 | 1.02652175E-5 | 1.02652175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6326184E-4 | 1.02699996E-4 | 1.02699996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8008668E-7 | 1.4344963E-7 | 1.4344963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2003709E-6 | 6.1478397E-7 | 6.1478397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46144175E-5 | 7.484971E-6 | 7.484971E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4613457E-4 | 7.489978E-5 | 7.489978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.7852005E-7 | 1.4118302E-7 | 1.4118302E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1936568E-6 | 6.0506994E-7 | 6.0506994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4532674E-5 | 7.366704E-6 | 7.366704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4531724E-4 | 7.371719E-5 | 7.371719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1810797E-7 | 7.568903E-8 | 7.568903E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0617695E-7 | 3.2438152E-7 | 3.2438152E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1626865E-6 | 3.9493384E-6 | 3.9493384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.162516E-5 | 3.953383E-5 | 3.953383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5189865E-5 | 2.5189865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0795251E-4 | 1.1795143E-4 | 1.0926234 | 1.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013136015 | 0.0013235884 | 1.0076027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013168582 | 0.01317845 | 1.0007493 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5189865E-5 | 2.5189865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0795251E-4 | 1.1795143E-4 | 1.0926234 | 1.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013136015 | 0.0013235884 | 1.0076027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013168582 | 0.01317845 | 1.0007493 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5189865E-5 | 2.5189865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0795251E-4 | 1.1795143E-4 | 1.0926234 | 1.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013136015 | 0.0013235884 | 1.0076027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013168582 | 0.01317845 | 1.0007493 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5189865E-5 | 2.5189865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0795251E-4 | 1.1795143E-4 | 1.0926234 | 1.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013136015 | 0.0013235884 | 1.0076027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013168582 | 0.01317845 | 1.0007493 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5189865E-5 | 2.5189865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0795251E-4 | 1.1795143E-4 | 1.0926234 | 1.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013136015 | 0.0013235884 | 1.0076027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013168582 | 0.01317845 | 1.0007493 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5189865E-5 | 2.5189865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0795251E-4 | 1.1795143E-4 | 1.0926234 | 1.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013136015 | 0.0013235884 | 1.0076027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013168582 | 0.01317845 | 1.0007493 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7634235E-5 | 1.7634235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.557312E-5 | 8.557236E-5 | 1.1323122 | 1.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.1971806E-4 | 9.297089E-4 | 1.010863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009262911 | 0.009272818 | 1.0010695 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7634235E-5 | 1.7634235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.557312E-5 | 8.557236E-5 | 1.1323122 | 1.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.1971806E-4 | 9.297089E-4 | 1.010863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009262911 | 0.009272818 | 1.0010695 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5892663E-5 | 1.5892663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.810964E-5 | 7.810896E-5 | 1.1468121 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.289209E-4 | 8.389126E-4 | 1.0120538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.00836193 | 0.008371847 | 1.0011859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.576369E-5 | 1.576369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.755693E-5 | 7.755625E-5 | 1.1480134 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.2219666E-4 | 8.3218847E-4 | 1.0121526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008295191 | 0.008305108 | 1.0011955 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.454547E-5 | 1.454547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.233624E-5 | 7.233562E-5 | 1.1604103 | 1.0E-5 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.5868E-4 | 7.6867244E-4 | 1.0131708 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0076642395 | 0.0076741627 | 1.0012947 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.45357835E-5 | 1.45357835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.2294734E-5 | 7.229411E-5 | 1.1605172 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.58175E-4 | 7.6816743E-4 | 1.0131795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.007659224 | 0.0076691476 | 1.0012956 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.4381719E-5 | 1.4381719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 6.1634484E-5 | 7.163387E-5 | 1.1622368 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.5014203E-4 | 7.6013454E-4 | 1.0133208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0075793015 | 0.0075892257 | 1.0013094 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.4324382E-5 | 1.4324382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 6.138877E-5 | 7.138815E-5 | 1.1628863 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.471525E-4 | 7.5714506E-4 | 1.0133741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0075494032 | 0.007559328 | 1.0013146 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.4283496E-5 | 1.4283496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 6.121355E-5 | 7.121294E-5 | 1.1633525 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.450207E-4 | 7.550132E-4 | 1.0134125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.007528114 | 0.007538039 | 1.0013183 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.4240061E-5 | 1.4240061E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 6.102741E-5 | 7.10268E-5 | 1.1638508 | 1.0E-5 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.4275595E-4 | 7.527485E-4 | 1.0134534 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.007505572 | 0.007515497 | 1.0013224 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.4198545E-5 | 1.4198545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 6.084949E-5 | 7.084888E-5 | 1.1643299 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.4059126E-4 | 7.5058383E-4 | 1.0134927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.007484008 | 0.007493933 | 1.0013262 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.3060234E-5 | 1.3060234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.597123E-5 | 6.597067E-5 | 1.1786532 | 1.0E-5 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.81237E-4 | 6.9123023E-4 | 1.0146692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0068939817 | 0.006903913 | 1.0014405 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1894004E-5 | 1.1894004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 5.0973307E-5 | 6.0972798E-5 | 1.1961712 | 1.0E-5 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.204235E-4 | 6.304173E-4 | 1.016108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0062824767 | 0.006292414 | 1.0015818 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.3312517E-6 | 7.3312517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.1419273E-5 | 4.141896E-5 | 1.318266 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.8246266E-4 | 3.9245884E-4 | 1.0261364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0038777643 | 0.0038877255 | 1.0025688 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.3359684E-6 | 1.3359684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.725566E-6 | 1.5725509E-5 | 2.7465422 | 1.0E-5 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.9706555E-5 | 7.970585E-5 | 1.1434486 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6878536E-4 | 7.1942015E-4 | 7.29413E-4 | 1.01389 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1876144E-7 | 1.1876144E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 5.089775E-7 | 5.089775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 6.1967835E-6 | 6.1967835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.911509E-5 | 6.911509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.6508435E-9 | 2.6508435E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.1360759E-8 | 1.1360759E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.3831723E-7 | 1.3831723E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.5666853E-6 | 1.5666853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4281117E-5 | 2.4280975E-5 | 1.7002153 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.120356E-5 | 7.120294E-5 | 1.1633792 | 1.0E-5 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.449352E-4 | 7.549277E-4 | 1.013414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.007429219 | 0.0074391444 | 1.001336 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.537937E-6 | 1.9537842E-5 | 2.0484347 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.087636E-5 | 5.0875948E-5 | 1.2446302 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.9757777E-4 | 5.075728E-4 | 1.0200874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0043435963 | 0.0049679987 | 0.004977949 | 1.0020028 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.993186E-6 | 1.7993107E-5 | 2.2510555 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4256173E-5 | 4.425583E-5 | 1.2919081 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1700833E-4 | 4.2700415E-4 | 1.0239704 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041653733 | 0.0041753314 | 1.0023907 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.447184E-6 | 3.447184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4773567E-5 | 1.4773567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.798542E-4 | 1.798542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017983973 | 0.0017983973 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4314685E-6 | 3.4314685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4706216E-5 | 1.4706216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7903434E-4 | 1.7903434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017902118 | 0.0017902118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.4138034E-6 | 3.4138034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4630508E-5 | 1.4630508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7811275E-4 | 1.7811275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017810108 | 0.0017810108 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.383807E-6 | 3.383807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4501954E-5 | 1.4501954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7654787E-4 | 1.7654787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017653867 | 0.0017653867 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3538176E-6 | 3.3538176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.437343E-5 | 1.437343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7498333E-4 | 1.7498333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017497662 | 0.0017497662 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8771503E-6 | 2.8771503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.233059E-5 | 1.233059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.5011533E-4 | 1.5011533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0015014363 | 0.0015014363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0902112E-6 | 2.0902112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.958018E-6 | 8.958018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0905869E-4 | 1.0905869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.001091304 | 0.001091304 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5736524E-6 | 1.5736524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.7442083E-6 | 6.7442083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.21078E-5 | 8.21078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.220155E-4 | 8.220155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4493647E-6 | 1.4493647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.211549E-6 | 6.211549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.562314E-5 | 7.562314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.5721473E-4 | 7.5721473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0290088E-6 | 1.0290088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.4100307E-6 | 4.4100307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.3690845E-5 | 5.3690845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.3800916E-4 | 5.3800916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.3927025E-7 | 9.3927025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 4.025438E-6 | 4.025438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.900865E-5 | 4.900865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.912085E-4 | 4.912085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.526261E-7 | 8.526261E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.6541069E-6 | 3.6541069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.4487882E-5 | 4.4487882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.4601117E-4 | 4.4601117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.272218E-7 | 8.272218E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.545232E-6 | 3.545232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.316238E-5 | 4.316238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.3274165E-4 | 4.3274165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.889861E-7 | 7.889861E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.3813649E-6 | 3.3813649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.116738E-5 | 4.116738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.1277063E-4 | 4.1277063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.198725E-7 | 5.198725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.2280233E-6 | 2.2280233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.7125858E-5 | 2.7125858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.724154E-4 | 2.724154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.2266658E-7 | 1.2266658E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.257138E-7 | 5.257138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.4005485E-6 | 6.4005485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.442748E-5 | 6.442748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.221136E-9 | 4.221136E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.8090581E-8 | 1.8090581E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.2025283E-7 | 2.2025283E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.251055E-6 | 2.251055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9961945E-4 | 1.9961945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.552316E-4 | 8.6522306E-4 | 1.0116827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010362871 | 0.010372767 | 1.000955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10076486 | 0.100773856 | 1.0000893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9961945E-4 | 1.9961945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.552316E-4 | 8.6522306E-4 | 1.0116827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010362871 | 0.010372767 | 1.000955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10076486 | 0.100773856 | 1.0000893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9961945E-4 | 1.9961945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.552316E-4 | 8.6522306E-4 | 1.0116827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010362871 | 0.010372767 | 1.000955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10076486 | 0.100773856 | 1.0000893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9961945E-4 | 1.9961945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.552316E-4 | 8.6522306E-4 | 1.0116827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010362871 | 0.010372767 | 1.000955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10076486 | 0.100773856 | 1.0000893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9961945E-4 | 1.9961945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.552316E-4 | 8.6522306E-4 | 1.0116827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010362871 | 0.010372767 | 1.000955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10076486 | 0.100773856 | 1.0000893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9935543E-4 | 1.9935543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.541009E-4 | 8.640924E-4 | 1.0116982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0103492355 | 0.010359132 | 1.0009563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050156746 | 0.100642376 | 0.10065137 | 1.0000894 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9935543E-4 | 1.9935543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.541009E-4 | 8.640924E-4 | 1.0116982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0103492355 | 0.010359132 | 1.0009563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050156746 | 0.100642376 | 0.10065137 | 1.0000894 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9925433E-4 | 1.9925433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.5366785E-4 | 8.636593E-4 | 1.0117042 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010344014 | 0.01035391 | 1.0009568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050125998 | 0.10059528 | 0.10060427 | 1.0000894 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9910434E-4 | 1.9910434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.5302547E-4 | 8.6301693E-4 | 1.011713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010336266 | 0.010346163 | 1.0009575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05008251 | 0.1005248 | 0.10053379 | 1.0000895 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9878146E-4 | 1.9878146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.516426E-4 | 8.616341E-4 | 1.011732 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051141046 | 0.01031959 | 0.010329486 | 1.000959 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049980022 | 0.100372754 | 0.100381754 | 1.0000896 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9808876E-4 | 1.9808876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.4867585E-4 | 8.5866736E-4 | 1.0117731 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005091073 | 0.010283811 | 0.010293708 | 1.0009624 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04976007 | 0.10004721 | 0.10005621 | 1.00009 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9709727E-4 | 1.9709727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.444293E-4 | 8.544209E-4 | 1.0118324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005055068 | 0.010232597 | 0.010242494 | 1.0009673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04941613 | 0.09958126 | 0.09959026 | 1.0000905 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9639896E-4 | 1.9639896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.414385E-4 | 8.514301E-4 | 1.0118744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050299936 | 0.010196525 | 0.010206423 | 1.0009707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049176537 | 0.09925248 | 0.099261485 | 1.0000907 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9591635E-4 | 1.9591635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.3937147E-4 | 8.493631E-4 | 1.0119036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050112694 | 0.010171594 | 0.010181492 | 1.0009731 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04899759 | 0.09902299 | 0.099032 | 1.000091 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.9530563E-4 | 1.9530563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.3675585E-4 | 8.467475E-4 | 1.011941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049933824 | 0.010140046 | 0.010149945 | 1.0009762 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04882661 | 0.098738566 | 0.09874758 | 1.0000913 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.9475863E-4 | 1.9475863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.3441305E-4 | 8.444047E-4 | 1.0119745 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049769743 | 0.010111787 | 0.010121685 | 1.000979 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048669744 | 0.0984822 | 0.098491214 | 1.0000916 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.9123564E-4 | 1.9123564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0357444E-4 | 8.1932405E-4 | 8.2931586E-4 | 1.0121952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004902454 | 0.009929767 | 0.009939668 | 1.0009971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047957025 | 0.096850164 | 0.096859194 | 1.0000932 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6526297E-4 | 1.6526297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.51473E-4 | 7.080777E-4 | 7.180706E-4 | 1.0141127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00427079 | 0.008586832 | 0.008596746 | 1.0011545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04189639 | 0.08448113 | 0.084490284 | 1.0001084 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4971205E-4 | 1.4971205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.4146536E-4 | 6.51459E-4 | 1.0155793 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003794643 | 0.00778192 | 0.0077918423 | 1.0012751 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037304975 | 0.07676435 | 0.076773584 | 1.0001203 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.0366004E-4 | 1.0366004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.4418167E-4 | 4.5417724E-4 | 1.0225033 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0053945147 | 0.0054044607 | 1.0018437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02772022 | 0.053917233 | 0.053926695 | 1.0001755 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.6121626E-5 | 5.6121626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.404991E-4 | 2.504967E-4 | 1.0415702 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0029241468 | 0.0029341176 | 1.0034097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.029858619 | 0.02986832 | 1.000325 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 2.0281437E-5 | 2.0281437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.691756E-5 | 8.691756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010577082 | 0.0010577082 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009943757 | 0.011315673 | 0.011315673 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.806758E-6 | 5.806758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4885869E-5 | 2.4885869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.029434E-4 | 3.029434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0034299882 | 0.0034299882 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.214791E-7 | 8.214791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 3.52062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2862725E-5 | 4.2862725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0374464E-4 | 5.0374464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.836423E-5 | 9.836334E-5 | 1.113158 | 1.0E-5 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7865143E-4 | 3.8864766E-4 | 1.0263995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0046009016 | 0.0046108556 | 1.0021635 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03752231 | 0.045120314 | 0.04512986 | 1.0002116 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4954613E-5 | 4.4954613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.926487E-4 | 1.926487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023430542 | 0.0023430542 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019602431 | 0.023192119 | 0.023192119 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3342614E-5 | 3.3342614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4288921E-4 | 1.4288921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017383088 | 0.0017383088 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.01724975 | 0.01724975 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3342614E-5 | 3.3342614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4288921E-4 | 1.4288921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017383088 | 0.0017383088 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.01724975 | 0.01724975 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.547977E-5 | 2.547977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.091945E-4 | 1.091945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013286415 | 0.0013286415 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011519298 | 0.013208148 | 0.013208148 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4053903E-5 | 2.4053903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0308413E-4 | 1.0308413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012543355 | 0.0012543355 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010900296 | 0.012473639 | 0.012473639 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0728796E-5 | 2.0728796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.88347E-5 | 8.88347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010810312 | 0.0010810312 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.010758397 | 0.010758397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.8003706E-5 | 1.8003706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.7156474E-5 | 7.7156474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.38978E-4 | 9.38978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.009350473 | 0.009350473 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.621889E-5 | 1.621889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.950769E-5 | 6.950769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.4592955E-4 | 8.4592955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008427363 | 0.008427363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4221366E-5 | 1.4221366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0947295E-5 | 6.0947295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.4178213E-4 | 7.4178213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007393248 | 0.007393248 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2302632E-5 | 1.2302632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2724507E-5 | 5.2724507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.4173277E-4 | 6.4173277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.006398925 | 0.006398925 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0618576E-5 | 1.0618576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.5507393E-5 | 4.5507393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.539125E-4 | 5.539125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005525415 | 0.005525415 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.268805E-6 | 9.268805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.972285E-5 | 3.972285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8351908E-4 | 4.8351908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004824751 | 0.004824751 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.0975466E-6 | 7.0975466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0417703E-5 | 3.0417703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.7027302E-4 | 3.7027302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.003696607 | 0.003696607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6489507E-6 | 5.6489507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4209567E-5 | 2.4209567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.94712E-4 | 2.94712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029432531 | 0.0029432531 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9717854E-6 | 1.9717854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.450483E-6 | 8.450483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02879996E-4 | 1.02879996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010283457 | 0.0010283457 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7538527E-7 | 1.7538527E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5165093E-7 | 7.5165093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.151314E-6 | 9.151314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1509566E-5 | 9.1509566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3995897E-5 | 4.3995897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8854119E-4 | 1.8854119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022932447 | 0.002303222 | 1.0043507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019349206 | 0.022713844 | 0.022723617 | 1.0004302 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3995897E-5 | 4.3995897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8854119E-4 | 1.8854119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022932447 | 0.002303222 | 1.0043507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019349206 | 0.022713844 | 0.022723617 | 1.0004302 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3995897E-5 | 4.3995897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8854119E-4 | 1.8854119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022932447 | 0.002303222 | 1.0043507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019349206 | 0.022713844 | 0.022723617 | 1.0004302 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.536896E-5 | 2.536896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.08719694E-4 | 1.08719694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013228785 | 0.0013228785 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010939079 | 0.013152255 | 0.013152255 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.536896E-5 | 2.536896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.08719694E-4 | 1.08719694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013228785 | 0.0013228785 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010939079 | 0.013152255 | 0.013152255 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0675698E-5 | 2.0675698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.860719E-5 | 8.860719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010782704 | 0.0010782704 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009036654 | 0.010731681 | 0.010731681 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7691826E-5 | 1.7691826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.581995E-5 | 7.581995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.227249E-4 | 9.227249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007902439 | 0.009189799 | 0.009189799 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5274305E-5 | 1.5274305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.5459695E-5 | 6.5459695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.966862E-4 | 7.966862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006928845 | 0.007938933 | 0.007938933 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3039296E-5 | 1.3039296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5881526E-5 | 5.5881526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.801495E-4 | 6.801495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00599574 | 0.00678113 | 0.00678113 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1521985E-5 | 1.1521985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9379018E-5 | 4.9379018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.0102734E-4 | 6.0102734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053360825 | 0.005994398 | 0.005994398 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.997775E-6 | 8.997775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8561335E-5 | 3.8561335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6938553E-4 | 4.6938553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046841893 | 0.0046841893 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5214944E-6 | 7.5214944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2234588E-5 | 3.2234588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.923876E-4 | 3.923876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003541148 | 0.003917164 | 0.003917164 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.2852455E-6 | 6.2852455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.69365E-5 | 2.69365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.279045E-4 | 3.279045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032744056 | 0.0032744056 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.7095805E-6 | 4.7095805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.018377E-5 | 2.018377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.457115E-4 | 2.457115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024545796 | 0.0024545796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8526167E-6 | 2.8526167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2225452E-5 | 1.2225452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4883636E-4 | 1.4883636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014875291 | 0.0014875291 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.564587E-8 | 4.564587E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9562515E-7 | 1.9562515E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.381734E-6 | 2.381734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3817141E-5 | 2.3817141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |