Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.467163E-5 | 0.0012146082 | 22.216427 | 0.00116 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3428713E-4 | 0.0016039661 | 6.8461556 | 0.00137 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028488871 | 0.004643759 | 1.6300256 | 0.0018 | 0.023260195 | 0.028144121 | 0.030330796 | 1.0776956 | 0.00225 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.467163E-5 | 0.0012146082 | 22.216427 | 0.00116 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3428713E-4 | 0.0016039661 | 6.8461556 | 0.00137 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028488871 | 0.004643759 | 1.6300256 | 0.0018 | 0.023260195 | 0.028144121 | 0.030330796 | 1.0776956 | 0.00225 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7147958E-5 | 0.0011370966 | 24.11762 | 0.00109 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.020479E-4 | 0.0015017852 | 7.432818 | 0.0013 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024572932 | 0.004183042 | 1.7022967 | 0.00173 | 0.020330196 | 0.024317121 | 0.026405083 | 1.0858638 | 0.00214 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7147958E-5 | 0.0011370966 | 24.11762 | 0.00109 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.020479E-4 | 0.0015017852 | 7.432818 | 0.0013 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024572932 | 0.004183042 | 1.7022967 | 0.00173 | 0.020330196 | 0.024317121 | 0.026405083 | 1.0858638 | 0.00214 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.8016264E-5 | 0.0011079756 | 29.14478 | 0.00107 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6291707E-4 | 0.0014327102 | 8.794107 | 0.00127 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019817792 | 0.0036484697 | 1.8410071 | 0.00167 | 0.016718714 | 0.019649994 | 0.021689123 | 1.1037724 | 0.00208 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.8016264E-5 | 0.0011079756 | 29.14478 | 0.00107 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6291707E-4 | 0.0014327102 | 8.794107 | 0.00127 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019817792 | 0.0036484697 | 1.8410071 | 0.00167 | 0.016718714 | 0.019649994 | 0.021689123 | 1.1037724 | 0.00208 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.423972E-5 | 0.0010842037 | 31.665087 | 0.00105 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4673376E-4 | 0.0013965503 | 9.51758 | 0.00125 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017850817 | 0.0034321363 | 1.9226774 | 0.00165 | 0.015175272 | 0.017715504 | 0.01973901 | 1.1142223 | 0.00206 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2398682E-5 | 0.0010823647 | 33.407677 | 0.00105 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3884445E-4 | 0.0013886709 | 10.001631 | 0.00125 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016891808 | 0.0033264107 | 1.9692448 | 0.00164 | 0.014414776 | 0.016771268 | 0.018777054 | 1.1195966 | 0.00204 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6911097E-5 | 0.0010568834 | 39.273144 | 0.00103 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1532845E-4 | 0.0013451866 | 11.663962 | 0.00123 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014032669 | 0.0030209937 | 2.152829 | 0.00162 | 0.01213047 | 0.013950434 | 0.015932392 | 1.1420715 | 0.00201 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3608709E-5 | 0.0010235851 | 43.35625 | 0.001 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0117646E-4 | 0.001291056 | 12.760439 | 0.00119 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012311636 | 0.0028092184 | 2.2817588 | 0.00158 | 0.010738871 | 0.012248617 | 0.014154977 | 1.1556388 | 0.00193 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.966551E-5 | 0.001009646 | 51.340958 | 9.9E-4 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.427816E-5 | 0.0012541795 | 14.881431 | 0.00117 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010256262 | 0.0025840262 | 2.5194619 | 0.00156 | 0.009070295 | 0.010212715 | 0.01209331 | 1.1841426 | 0.0019 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6468679E-5 | 8.8645436E-4 | 53.826683 | 8.7E-4 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.057824E-5 | 0.0010705077 | 15.167674 | 0.001 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.589678E-4 | 0.0021978167 | 2.558672 | 0.00134 | 0.007696735 | 0.008559615 | 0.010175664 | 1.1887991 | 0.00163 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.57242E-5 | 7.857121E-4 | 49.968334 | 7.7E-4 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.738778E-5 | 9.573278E-4 | 14.206253 | 8.9E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.201536E-4 | 0.0020291612 | 2.4741232 | 0.00121 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008174371 | 0.009662109 | 1.1820004 | 0.0015 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.519708E-5 | 7.45186E-4 | 49.034813 | 7.3E-4 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.512881E-5 | 9.1507344E-4 | 14.05021 | 8.5E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.926709E-4 | 0.0019517514 | 2.462247 | 0.00116 | 0.007138774 | 0.00790152 | 0.009340063 | 1.182059 | 0.00145 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4132411E-5 | 6.541234E-4 | 46.285336 | 6.4E-4 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0566155E-5 | 8.205201E-4 | 13.547502 | 7.6E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3715934E-4 | 0.0017863853 | 2.4233367 | 0.00105 | 0.006661878 | 0.007350188 | 0.008650559 | 1.1769167 | 0.00131 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.28223255E-5 | 6.028148E-4 | 47.012905 | 5.9E-4 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4951754E-5 | 7.549133E-4 | 13.737747 | 7.0E-4 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.6884793E-4 | 0.0016082192 | 2.4044616 | 9.4E-4 | 0.006032217 | 0.0066713803 | 0.007843507 | 1.175695 | 0.00118 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.333252E-6 | 1.2333285E-4 | 37.00076 | 1.2E-4 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4285329E-5 | 1.842829E-4 | 12.900151 | 1.7E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.739173E-4 | 4.0387732E-4 | 2.3222375 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017394703 | 0.0020389485 | 1.1721663 | 3.0E-4 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4045723E-5 | 9.1401575E-4 | 26.846712 | 8.8E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4590225E-4 | 0.0011457563 | 7.852904 | 0.001 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017749422 | 0.0031125636 | 1.7536142 | 0.00134 | 0.015640736 | 0.017614853 | 0.01926526 | 1.0936941 | 0.00168 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4045723E-5 | 9.1401575E-4 | 26.846712 | 8.8E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4590225E-4 | 0.0011457563 | 7.852904 | 0.001 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017749422 | 0.0031125636 | 1.7536142 | 0.00134 | 0.015640736 | 0.017614853 | 0.01926526 | 1.0936941 | 0.00168 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4045723E-5 | 9.1401575E-4 | 26.846712 | 8.8E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4590225E-4 | 0.0011457563 | 7.852904 | 0.001 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017749422 | 0.0031125636 | 1.7536142 | 0.00134 | 0.015640736 | 0.017614853 | 0.01926526 | 1.0936941 | 0.00168 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2161344E-5 | 9.0213335E-4 | 28.050238 | 8.7E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3782721E-4 | 0.0011276908 | 8.181917 | 9.9E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016767825 | 0.0029945693 | 1.7859019 | 0.00132 | 0.01479908 | 0.016648117 | 0.018270647 | 1.0974603 | 0.00165 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2161344E-5 | 9.0213335E-4 | 28.050238 | 8.7E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3782721E-4 | 0.0011276908 | 8.181917 | 9.9E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016767825 | 0.0029945693 | 1.7859019 | 0.00132 | 0.01479908 | 0.016648117 | 0.018270647 | 1.0974603 | 0.00165 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0885272E-5 | 9.008584E-4 | 29.167896 | 8.7E-4 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3235888E-4 | 0.0011222279 | 8.478674 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016103057 | 0.0029281802 | 1.8184001 | 0.00132 | 0.014230782 | 0.015993075 | 0.017616687 | 1.1015197 | 0.00165 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9307048E-5 | 8.8928186E-4 | 30.343618 | 8.6E-4 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2559573E-4 | 0.0011054727 | 8.801833 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015280821 | 0.0028360803 | 1.8559737 | 0.00131 | 0.013544982 | 0.015182037 | 0.016797138 | 1.1063824 | 0.00164 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7392905E-5 | 8.773696E-4 | 32.029083 | 8.5E-4 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1739303E-4 | 0.0010872792 | 9.261872 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014283481 | 0.0027264913 | 1.9088422 | 0.0013 | 0.012701893 | 0.014197755 | 0.015804613 | 1.113177 | 0.00163 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4984418E-5 | 8.5496367E-4 | 34.219875 | 8.3E-4 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.07071806E-4 | 0.0010569701 | 9.8716 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013028416 | 0.002581174 | 1.9811878 | 0.00128 | 0.011539802 | 0.012957699 | 0.014546837 | 1.1226405 | 0.00161 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2336217E-5 | 8.2231837E-4 | 36.81547 | 8.0E-4 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.572324E-5 | 0.0010156352 | 10.610122 | 9.2E-4 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011648259 | 0.00241337 | 2.0718718 | 0.00125 | 0.010331288 | 0.011592417 | 0.013144217 | 1.1338633 | 0.00157 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0602583E-5 | 8.205861E-4 | 39.82928 | 8.0E-4 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.82939E-5 | 0.0010082127 | 11.418826 | 9.2E-4 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010744658 | 0.0023231227 | 2.1621187 | 0.00125 | 0.009531168 | 0.010697773 | 0.012241084 | 1.1442647 | 0.00156 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9807216E-5 | 8.1979134E-4 | 41.38852 | 8.0E-4 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.48854E-5 | 0.0010048073 | 11.837221 | 9.2E-4 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010330075 | 0.002281716 | 2.208809 | 0.00125 | 0.009176437 | 0.010287075 | 0.011831027 | 1.1500866 | 0.00156 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8189925E-5 | 7.881759E-4 | 43.330357 | 7.7E-4 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.795459E-5 | 9.678852E-4 | 12.416014 | 8.9E-4 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.487012E-4 | 0.0021575533 | 2.2742178 | 0.00121 | 0.008511325 | 0.009451272 | 0.010956906 | 1.159305 | 0.00152 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5992806E-5 | 7.459811E-4 | 46.64479 | 7.3E-4 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.853889E-5 | 9.184806E-4 | 13.400868 | 8.5E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.3415775E-4 | 0.0019931903 | 2.3894641 | 0.00116 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008313525 | 0.0097613875 | 1.1741575 | 0.00146 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4168686E-5 | 6.5415964E-4 | 46.16939 | 6.4E-4 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.0721617E-5 | 8.2067546E-4 | 13.515376 | 7.6E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.390508E-4 | 0.0017882747 | 2.4196913 | 0.00105 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0073690135 | 0.008669361 | 1.1764615 | 0.00131 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2858601E-5 | 6.0285104E-4 | 46.883095 | 5.9E-4 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5107215E-5 | 7.550686E-4 | 13.701811 | 7.0E-4 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.707395E-4 | 0.001610109 | 2.4004982 | 9.4E-4 | 0.006054099 | 0.0066902186 | 0.007862324 | 1.1751969 | 0.00118 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3411543E-6 | 1.2334075E-4 | 36.91561 | 1.2E-4 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.43191955E-5 | 1.8431676E-4 | 12.872005 | 1.7E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7432957E-4 | 4.042895E-4 | 2.3191102 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017435976 | 0.0020430745 | 1.171758 | 3.0E-4 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.063089E-5 | 4.2060617E-4 | 5.9549885 | 3.5E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.026691E-4 | 7.3253893E-4 | 2.4202635 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003678834 | 0.0042666635 | 1.1597869 | 5.9E-4 | 0.028357591 | 0.036260188 | 0.037011903 | 1.0207312 | 7.8E-4 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.063089E-5 | 4.2060617E-4 | 5.9549885 | 3.5E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.026691E-4 | 7.3253893E-4 | 2.4202635 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003678834 | 0.0042666635 | 1.1597869 | 5.9E-4 | 0.028357591 | 0.036260188 | 0.037011903 | 1.0207312 | 7.8E-4 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.2011834E-5 | 4.0199363E-4 | 7.728888 | 3.5E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.22889E-4 | 6.427954E-4 | 2.8839262 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002710328 | 0.0032887561 | 1.2134162 | 5.8E-4 | 0.021759989 | 0.026862672 | 0.027611988 | 1.0278943 | 7.7E-4 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.2011834E-5 | 4.0199363E-4 | 7.728888 | 3.5E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.22889E-4 | 6.427954E-4 | 2.8839262 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002710328 | 0.0032887561 | 1.2134162 | 5.8E-4 | 0.021759989 | 0.026862672 | 0.027611988 | 1.0278943 | 7.7E-4 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4447625E-5 | 3.9443208E-4 | 8.874086 | 3.5E-4 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.9047606E-4 | 6.1039603E-4 | 3.2045815 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0023166048 | 0.0028952612 | 1.2497864 | 5.8E-4 | 0.019048655 | 0.023007669 | 0.023759952 | 1.0326971 | 7.7E-4 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0349314E-5 | 3.903352E-4 | 9.673899 | 3.5E-4 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.729143E-4 | 5.9284165E-4 | 3.428529 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0017683565 | 0.002103221 | 0.0026820009 | 1.2751875 | 5.8E-4 | 0.017543508 | 0.020924093 | 0.02167798 | 1.0360297 | 7.7E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.980241E-5 | 3.8978847E-4 | 9.793088 | 3.5E-4 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.7057073E-4 | 5.904991E-4 | 3.4619017 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020747425 | 0.0026435598 | 1.2741629 | 5.7E-4 | 0.017365133 | 0.020644484 | 0.021388793 | 1.0360537 | 7.6E-4 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.841658E-5 | 3.8840313E-4 | 10.110299 | 3.5E-4 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6463222E-4 | 5.8456307E-4 | 3.550721 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0020025764 | 0.0025714347 | 1.2840633 | 5.7E-4 | 0.016856372 | 0.01994233 | 0.020687174 | 1.0373499 | 7.6E-4 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7841837E-5 | 3.878286E-4 | 10.2486725 | 3.5E-4 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6216935E-4 | 5.8210123E-4 | 3.5894651 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019726455 | 0.002541521 | 1.288382 | 5.7E-4 | 0.016654192 | 0.01964801 | 0.02039308 | 1.0379207 | 7.6E-4 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.704437E-5 | 3.870314E-4 | 10.44778 | 3.5E-4 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5875204E-4 | 5.786854E-4 | 3.6452153 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019311142 | 0.0025000134 | 1.2945964 | 5.7E-4 | 0.01638118 | 0.019238524 | 0.019974096 | 1.0382342 | 7.5E-4 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5946123E-5 | 3.8593356E-4 | 10.7364435 | 3.5E-4 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5404585E-4 | 5.7398115E-4 | 3.726041 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018739161 | 0.002442848 | 1.3036058 | 5.7E-4 | 0.015996104 | 0.018675724 | 0.019411718 | 1.039409 | 7.5E-4 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4709796E-5 | 3.8469766E-4 | 11.083259 | 3.5E-4 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.487479E-4 | 5.686854E-4 | 3.8231492 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0018095226 | 0.0023784912 | 1.3144302 | 5.7E-4 | 0.01556781 | 0.018042132 | 0.0187786 | 1.0408194 | 7.5E-4 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1587715E-5 | 3.7157699E-4 | 11.763338 | 3.4E-4 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.35369E-4 | 5.453135E-4 | 4.0283484 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016468914 | 0.002205969 | 1.3394746 | 5.6E-4 | 0.014481937 | 0.016440364 | 0.017168198 | 1.0442711 | 7.4E-4 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.7002154E-5 | 3.66993E-4 | 13.591248 | 3.4E-4 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1571847E-4 | 5.25671E-4 | 4.5426717 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0014079766 | 0.0019572023 | 1.3900815 | 5.5E-4 | 0.012712469 | 0.014075522 | 0.014795247 | 1.051133 | 7.3E-4 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.547843E-5 | 3.6546978E-4 | 14.344281 | 3.4E-4 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0918878E-4 | 5.19144E-4 | 4.7545543 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013285773 | 0.0018778465 | 1.4134266 | 5.5E-4 | 0.012045753 | 0.013288977 | 0.013999409 | 1.0534602 | 7.2E-4 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2749035E-5 | 3.627413E-4 | 15.945349 | 3.4E-4 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.749229E-5 | 5.074523E-4 | 5.205051 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011863342 | 0.0017356817 | 1.463063 | 5.5E-4 | 0.010886264 | 0.011877114 | 0.012588562 | 1.0599008 | 7.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6234293E-5 | 1.3623235E-4 | 8.39164 | 1.2E-4 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.957373E-5 | 2.3956191E-4 | 3.443281 | 1.7E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.467389E-4 | 0.0010765442 | 1.2714003 | 2.3E-4 | 0.007854558 | 0.00850939 | 0.008806837 | 1.0349551 | 3.0E-4 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0903878E-5 | 1.0903878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.6730074E-5 | 4.6730074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.6879054E-4 | 5.6879054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00517007 | 0.0057446966 | 0.0057446966 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.612179E-6 | 8.612179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.690882E-5 | 3.690882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.492724E-4 | 4.492724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035191406 | 0.0045422725 | 0.0045422725 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.4823436E-6 | 5.4823436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3495546E-5 | 2.3495546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8602083E-4 | 2.8602083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028915755 | 0.0028915755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.1156393E-6 | 2.1156393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.066995E-6 | 9.066995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.103851E-4 | 1.103851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011168963 | 0.0011168963 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.203544E-7 | 3.203544E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3729467E-6 | 1.3729467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6715516E-5 | 1.6715516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6924525E-4 | 1.6924525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3208271E-5 | 2.632027E-4 | 11.3409 | 2.4E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.946068E-5 | 3.6943384E-4 | 3.7143705 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012103412 | 0.0016398208 | 1.3548417 | 4.3E-4 | 0.011179381 | 0.012045487 | 0.012687657 | 1.0533121 | 6.5E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3208271E-5 | 2.632027E-4 | 11.3409 | 2.4E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.946068E-5 | 3.6943384E-4 | 3.7143705 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012103412 | 0.0016398208 | 1.3548417 | 4.3E-4 | 0.011179381 | 0.012045487 | 0.012687657 | 1.0533121 | 6.5E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3208271E-5 | 2.632027E-4 | 11.3409 | 2.4E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.946068E-5 | 3.6943384E-4 | 3.7143705 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012103412 | 0.0016398208 | 1.3548417 | 4.3E-4 | 0.011179381 | 0.012045487 | 0.012687657 | 1.0533121 | 6.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0752954E-5 | 1.1075188E-4 | 10.29967 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.608335E-5 | 1.6607782E-4 | 3.6038573 | 1.2E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.609336E-4 | 7.50827E-4 | 1.338531 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055964915 | 0.0058649806 | 1.0479745 | 2.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0752954E-5 | 1.1075188E-4 | 10.29967 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.608335E-5 | 1.6607782E-4 | 3.6038573 | 1.2E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.609336E-4 | 7.50827E-4 | 1.338531 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055964915 | 0.0058649806 | 1.0479745 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.46076E-6 | 5.7460387E-5 | 7.70168 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.1974345E-5 | 9.1972426E-5 | 2.8764446 | 6.0E-5 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8922677E-4 | 4.8918783E-4 | 1.2568196 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.003886306 | 0.004025762 | 1.0358839 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.349645E-6 | 3.5349483E-5 | 6.6078186 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2926888E-5 | 5.29262E-5 | 2.3084774 | 3.0E-5 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7910582E-4 | 3.4908627E-4 | 1.250731 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027882122 | 0.0028879333 | 1.0357653 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.9268048E-6 | 2.3926726E-5 | 6.093179 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6829088E-5 | 3.682875E-5 | 2.1883986 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0488062E-4 | 2.5487036E-4 | 1.2439946 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019095168 | 0.002047481 | 0.002107358 | 1.0292443 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7464687E-6 | 2.2746413E-5 | 8.282058 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1770555E-5 | 3.177032E-5 | 2.6991353 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4330204E-4 | 1.9329487E-4 | 1.3488634 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014325818 | 0.0014924959 | 1.0418224 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8979425E-6 | 1.8979425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.1340395E-6 | 8.1340395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.9031924E-5 | 1.2902895E-4 | 1.3029026 | 3.0E-5 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.903193E-4 | 0.0010302797 | 1.040351 | 4.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.8062673E-5 | 2.0805397E-4 | 3.5832653 | 1.5E-4 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4882014E-4 | 4.4877038E-4 | 1.8035934 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030258426 | 0.0033847531 | 1.1186152 | 3.6E-4 | 0.02488006 | 0.029913437 | 0.030466385 | 1.018485 | 5.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0909018E-5 | 6.090818E-5 | 2.9130104 | 4.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.960721E-5 | 1.4960184E-4 | 1.669529 | 6.0E-5 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010904602 | 0.0012003402 | 1.1007649 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009242975 | 0.010855018 | 0.011023173 | 1.015491 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0909018E-5 | 6.090818E-5 | 2.9130104 | 4.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.960721E-5 | 1.4960184E-4 | 1.669529 | 6.0E-5 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010904602 | 0.0012003402 | 1.1007649 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009242975 | 0.010855018 | 0.011023173 | 1.015491 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5787533E-5 | 5.5786903E-5 | 3.5336046 | 4.0E-5 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.765923E-5 | 1.2765518E-4 | 1.8867369 | 6.0E-5 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.234636E-4 | 9.233813E-4 | 1.1213382 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007027647 | 0.008206566 | 0.008345417 | 1.0169195 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2641411E-5 | 4.264103E-5 | 3.373123 | 3.0E-5 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4176446E-5 | 8.417482E-5 | 1.5537162 | 3.0E-5 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.594164E-4 | 7.293702E-4 | 1.1060845 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005655863 | 0.006576437 | 0.006685714 | 1.0166163 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.21477E-6 | 3.9214494E-5 | 4.255613 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.949133E-5 | 6.949015E-5 | 1.7596304 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.807115E-4 | 5.4068264E-4 | 1.124755 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004797841 | 0.004897361 | 1.0207427 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.628751E-6 | 3.762852E-5 | 4.9324617 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.2694286E-5 | 6.26933E-5 | 1.9175615 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9798932E-4 | 4.5796545E-4 | 1.1506978 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039737406 | 0.0040733432 | 1.0250652 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.444245E-6 | 3.544408E-5 | 6.510376 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3332293E-5 | 5.3331594E-5 | 2.2857416 | 3.0E-5 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.8403805E-4 | 3.44021E-4 | 1.2111793 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028372628 | 0.002936979 | 1.0351453 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.982137E-6 | 3.498199E-5 | 7.0214825 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1351865E-5 | 5.1351224E-5 | 2.4049995 | 3.0E-5 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5993225E-4 | 3.1991664E-4 | 1.2307694 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025967704 | 0.0026965106 | 1.0384094 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0845638E-6 | 3.308447E-5 | 10.725819 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3219499E-5 | 4.32191E-5 | 3.269345 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6093675E-4 | 2.2092709E-4 | 1.3727573 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016083439 | 0.0016981992 | 1.0558681 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1297105E-6 | 3.2129647E-5 | 15.086392 | 3.0E-5 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.127302E-6 | 3.912703E-5 | 4.286812 | 3.0E-5 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1111994E-4 | 1.7111328E-4 | 1.5398971 | 6.0E-5 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011107125 | 0.0012006125 | 1.080939 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6656194E-6 | 3.1665568E-5 | 19.011288 | 3.0E-5 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.1383524E-6 | 3.713814E-5 | 5.2026205 | 3.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.690656E-5 | 1.4690135E-4 | 1.6903366 | 6.0E-5 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.687837E-4 | 9.587055E-4 | 1.1035031 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1835472E-6 | 3.118351E-5 | 26.347504 | 3.0E-5 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.072338E-6 | 3.5072186E-5 | 6.9144025 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.17545E-5 | 1.21750796E-4 | 1.9715291 | 6.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1742566E-4 | 7.073701E-4 | 1.1456765 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.774582E-7 | 3.097743E-5 | 31.69182 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.1891026E-6 | 3.4188975E-5 | 8.161408 | 3.0E-5 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.100165E-5 | 1.1099859E-4 | 2.1763725 | 6.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.099505E-4 | 5.999046E-4 | 1.1763977 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.5126663E-7 | 3.0851243E-5 | 36.241573 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6482834E-6 | 3.3648175E-5 | 9.223016 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4417462E-5 | 1.044148E-4 | 2.35076 | 6.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4413673E-4 | 5.3409673E-4 | 1.2025503 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.307356E-7 | 3.0630716E-5 | 48.56348 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7031526E-6 | 3.2703072E-5 | 12.098123 | 3.0E-5 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2910884E-5 | 9.290891E-5 | 2.8230453 | 6.0E-5 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2910882E-4 | 4.190792E-4 | 1.2733757 | 9.0E-5 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.895021E-6 | 1.0389463E-4 | 26.673702 | 1.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6692866E-5 | 1.766902E-4 | 10.584773 | 1.6E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0322106E-4 | 4.2317636E-4 | 2.082345 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307815 | 0.002340152 | 1.1523407 | 3.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.895021E-6 | 1.0389463E-4 | 26.673702 | 1.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6692866E-5 | 1.766902E-4 | 10.584773 | 1.6E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0322106E-4 | 4.2317636E-4 | 2.082345 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307815 | 0.002340152 | 1.1523407 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.895021E-6 | 1.0389463E-4 | 26.673702 | 1.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6692866E-5 | 1.766902E-4 | 10.584773 | 1.6E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0322106E-4 | 4.2317636E-4 | 2.082345 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307815 | 0.002340152 | 1.1523407 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.895021E-6 | 1.0389463E-4 | 26.673702 | 1.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6692866E-5 | 1.766902E-4 | 10.584773 | 1.6E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0322106E-4 | 4.2317636E-4 | 2.082345 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307815 | 0.002340152 | 1.1523407 | 3.1E-4 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.895021E-6 | 1.0389463E-4 | 26.673702 | 1.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6692866E-5 | 1.766902E-4 | 10.584773 | 1.6E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0322106E-4 | 4.2317636E-4 | 2.082345 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307815 | 0.002340152 | 1.1523407 | 3.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2032389E-6 | 2.1203216E-5 | 17.621782 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1567285E-6 | 2.5156625E-5 | 4.878408 | 2.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.278148E-5 | 9.27796E-5 | 1.4778179 | 3.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.276492E-4 | 6.776178E-4 | 1.0796124 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2032389E-6 | 2.1203216E-5 | 17.621782 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1567285E-6 | 2.5156625E-5 | 4.878408 | 2.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.278148E-5 | 9.27796E-5 | 1.4778179 | 3.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.276492E-4 | 6.776178E-4 | 1.0796124 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.4122064E-7 | 2.0841204E-5 | 24.774954 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6052268E-6 | 2.3605155E-5 | 6.547481 | 2.0E-5 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.389281E-5 | 6.389193E-5 | 1.4556355 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.388471E-4 | 4.5883833E-4 | 1.0455539 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.393512E-7 | 1.06393445E-5 | 16.640846 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7400738E-6 | 1.2740046E-5 | 4.6495266 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3359927E-5 | 4.3359592E-5 | 1.2997508 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.33553E-4 | 3.4354968E-4 | 1.0299703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.346591E-7 | 5.346591E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2913941E-6 | 2.2913941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.78974E-5 | 2.78974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.7894232E-4 | 2.7894232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5334853E-7 | 3.5334853E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.51435E-6 | 1.51435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8437064E-5 | 1.8437064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8435618E-4 | 1.8435618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.001186E-7 | 3.001186E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.286222E-6 | 1.286222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5659647E-5 | 1.5659647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5658619E-4 | 1.5658619E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0225542E-7 | 2.0225542E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.668087E-7 | 8.668087E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.055335E-5 | 1.055335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0552895E-4 | 1.0552895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0641699E-7 | 1.0641699E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5607277E-7 | 4.5607277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.552674E-6 | 5.552674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.552555E-5 | 5.552555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.655444E-5 | 1.2655045E-4 | 1.9014575 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8520823E-4 | 3.5518827E-4 | 1.2453647 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034677635 | 0.0036471393 | 1.0517267 | 1.8E-4 | 0.02591553 | 0.034239266 | 0.034509677 | 1.0078977 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.655444E-5 | 1.2655045E-4 | 1.9014575 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8520823E-4 | 3.5518827E-4 | 1.2453647 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034677635 | 0.0036471393 | 1.0517267 | 1.8E-4 | 0.02591553 | 0.034239266 | 0.034509677 | 1.0078977 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.1087136E-5 | 7.1085895E-5 | 2.286666 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3322473E-4 | 1.8321807E-4 | 1.3752557 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016209835 | 0.0017108376 | 1.0554318 | 9.0E-5 | 0.012509781 | 0.016124826 | 0.016262569 | 1.0085423 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2443252E-5 | 4.2442804E-5 | 1.8911164 | 2.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.618272E-5 | 1.16180796E-4 | 1.2079176 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011705392 | 0.0012204807 | 1.0426654 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116737895 | 0.011762739 | 1.0076196 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2443252E-5 | 4.2442804E-5 | 1.8911164 | 2.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.618272E-5 | 1.16180796E-4 | 1.2079176 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011705392 | 0.0012204807 | 1.0426654 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116737895 | 0.011762739 | 1.0076196 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9510511E-5 | 3.9510123E-5 | 2.0250685 | 2.0E-5 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.361466E-5 | 1.0361298E-4 | 1.2391725 | 2.0E-5 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010176739 | 0.0010476434 | 1.029449 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0078909 | 0.010160067 | 0.010229356 | 1.0068197 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.605295E-6 | 1.860521E-5 | 2.1620653 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6879348E-5 | 4.6878977E-5 | 1.2711445 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4891925E-4 | 4.5891476E-4 | 1.0222657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0044974256 | 0.0045173354 | 1.004427 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.537662E-6 | 1.8537577E-5 | 2.1712708 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.65895E-5 | 4.6589135E-5 | 1.2732924 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.453918E-4 | 4.5538734E-4 | 1.0224421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003480947 | 0.004462283 | 0.004482194 | 1.004462 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.3839095E-6 | 1.8383826E-5 | 2.192751 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5930578E-5 | 4.5930217E-5 | 1.2783045 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3737266E-4 | 4.4736828E-4 | 1.0228539 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043823537 | 0.004402266 | 1.0045438 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.056499E-6 | 1.8056418E-5 | 2.241224 | 1.0E-5 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4527424E-5 | 4.4527078E-5 | 1.2896148 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.2029595E-4 | 4.3029175E-4 | 1.0237827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0042120675 | 0.004222025 | 1.0023642 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.687941E-6 | 1.7687866E-5 | 2.3007283 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2947937E-5 | 4.2947606E-5 | 1.3034991 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2002592E-4 | 4.0107284E-4 | 4.1106885E-4 | 1.0249231 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031956544 | 0.004020363 | 0.004030323 | 1.0024773 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.1973677E-6 | 1.7197295E-5 | 2.389387 | 1.0E-5 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0845527E-5 | 4.0845218E-5 | 1.3241861 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7548505E-4 | 3.8548128E-4 | 1.0266222 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037653022 | 0.0037752644 | 1.0026459 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.4047478E-6 | 5.4047478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.3163022E-5 | 2.3163022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.8197738E-4 | 2.8197738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028324237 | 0.0028324237 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7461329E-6 | 2.7461329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1769089E-5 | 1.1769089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.432794E-4 | 1.432794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014416412 | 0.0014416412 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3391226E-6 | 2.3391226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 1.00247735E-5 | 1.00247735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2204488E-4 | 1.2204488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012284999 | 0.0012284999 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1983078E-6 | 2.1983078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.4212855E-6 | 9.4212855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1469821E-4 | 1.1469821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011548955 | 0.0011548955 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.9023682E-6 | 1.9023682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.1529815E-6 | 8.1529815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.925812E-5 | 9.925812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001199845 | 0.0010002874 | 0.0010002874 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3685444E-6 | 1.3685444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.8651776E-6 | 5.8651776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.140624E-5 | 7.140624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.2162447E-4 | 7.2162447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.5940013E-7 | 8.5940013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6831382E-6 | 3.6831382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.484131E-5 | 4.484131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.5374813E-4 | 4.5374813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.846287E-7 | 3.846287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6484078E-6 | 1.6484078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 2.006919E-5 | 2.006919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 2.0238098E-4 | 2.0238098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.451824E-8 | 3.451824E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4793532E-7 | 1.4793532E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.8011117E-6 | 1.8011117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.8213705E-5 | 1.8213705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.314054E-5 | 7.313991E-5 | 1.1583668 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.7057677E-4 | 2.8057408E-4 | 1.0369481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032897436 | 0.0033794474 | 1.0272678 | 9.0E-5 | 0.023254504 | 0.032504078 | 0.03265888 | 1.0047624 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.314054E-5 | 7.313991E-5 | 1.1583668 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.7057677E-4 | 2.8057408E-4 | 1.0369481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032897436 | 0.0033794474 | 1.0272678 | 9.0E-5 | 0.023254504 | 0.032504078 | 0.03265888 | 1.0047624 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4701345E-5 | 3.4701345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4871176E-4 | 1.4871176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018090953 | 0.0018590048 | 1.0275881 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.017976224 | 0.018044967 | 1.003824 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4701345E-5 | 3.4701345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4871176E-4 | 1.4871176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018090953 | 0.0018590048 | 1.0275881 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.017976224 | 0.018044967 | 1.003824 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2526925E-5 | 3.2526925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3939383E-4 | 1.3939383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016958283 | 0.0017457436 | 1.0294341 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.016874753 | 0.016943572 | 1.0040781 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2526925E-5 | 3.2526925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3939383E-4 | 1.3939383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016958283 | 0.0017457436 | 1.0294341 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.016874753 | 0.016943572 | 1.0040781 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8308556E-5 | 2.8308556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2131687E-4 | 1.2131687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011715472 | 0.001476056 | 0.0015259822 | 1.0338241 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011653901 | 0.014711758 | 0.014780728 | 1.0046881 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7977509E-5 | 2.7977509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.19898235E-4 | 1.19898235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014588071 | 0.0015087343 | 1.0342246 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011538187 | 0.01454099 | 0.014609972 | 1.0047439 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.4059489E-5 | 2.4059489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.03108134E-4 | 1.03108134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012546384 | 0.0012945882 | 1.0318416 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010138147 | 0.0125188315 | 0.01257808 | 1.0047327 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5331498E-5 | 1.5331498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.570479E-5 | 6.570479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.99668E-4 | 8.1965205E-4 | 1.0249903 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069254204 | 0.008008159 | 0.008037918 | 1.0037162 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3236016E-5 | 1.3236016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6724577E-5 | 5.6724577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.9040793E-4 | 7.103941E-4 | 1.0289484 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006922618 | 0.00695241 | 1.0043036 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.10269475E-5 | 1.10269475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.725751E-5 | 4.725751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.7521183E-4 | 5.852061E-4 | 1.0173749 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057769897 | 0.005786932 | 1.001721 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.062199E-5 | 1.062199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.5522043E-5 | 4.5522043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.5409345E-4 | 5.6408794E-4 | 1.0180374 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050842804 | 0.005566985 | 0.005576929 | 1.0017864 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 1.0064183E-5 | 1.0064183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.3131517E-5 | 4.3131517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.250032E-4 | 5.250032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048639905 | 0.005276883 | 0.005276883 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.605878E-6 | 9.605878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.1167423E-5 | 4.1167423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7072413E-4 | 5.011015E-4 | 5.011015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004697283 | 0.0050379634 | 0.0050379634 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.1904083E-6 | 7.1904083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0815678E-5 | 3.0815678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.7511703E-4 | 3.7511703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037777817 | 0.0037777817 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 6.054188E-6 | 6.054188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5946263E-5 | 2.5946263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1585022E-4 | 3.1585022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031853362 | 0.0031853362 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.8472043E-6 | 4.8472043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0773568E-5 | 2.0773568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.5288897E-4 | 2.5288897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025564567 | 0.0025564567 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 4.0588325E-6 | 4.0588325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.739488E-5 | 1.739488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.1176216E-4 | 2.1176216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021432617 | 0.0021432617 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.4405898E-6 | 3.4405898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4745302E-5 | 1.4745302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7950933E-4 | 1.7950933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013519945 | 0.001816796 | 0.001816796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.704289E-6 | 1.704289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.304076E-6 | 7.304076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.892352E-5 | 8.892352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.9986145E-4 | 8.9986145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.203544E-7 | 3.203544E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3729467E-6 | 1.3729467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6715516E-5 | 1.6715516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6924525E-4 | 1.6924525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5673402E-5 | 3.5673143E-5 | 1.3894982 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.1002432E-4 | 1.2002322E-4 | 1.090879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.00133874 | 0.0013786864 | 1.0298388 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.013309009 | 0.013368211 | 1.0044482 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5673402E-5 | 3.5673143E-5 | 1.3894982 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.1002432E-4 | 1.2002322E-4 | 1.090879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.00133874 | 0.0013786864 | 1.0298388 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.013309009 | 0.013368211 | 1.0044482 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5673402E-5 | 3.5673143E-5 | 1.3894982 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.1002432E-4 | 1.2002322E-4 | 1.090879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.00133874 | 0.0013786864 | 1.0298388 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.013309009 | 0.013368211 | 1.0044482 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5172994E-5 | 3.5172743E-5 | 1.3972411 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.07879896E-4 | 1.17878815E-4 | 1.0926857 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013126632 | 0.0013526106 | 1.0304323 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.013051323 | 0.01311054 | 1.0045372 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5172994E-5 | 3.5172743E-5 | 1.3972411 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.07879896E-4 | 1.17878815E-4 | 1.0926857 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013126632 | 0.0013526106 | 1.0304323 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.013051323 | 0.01311054 | 1.0045372 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4861958E-5 | 3.486171E-5 | 1.402211 | 1.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0654699E-4 | 1.16545925E-4 | 1.0938452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012964545 | 0.0013364026 | 1.0308133 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010362327 | 0.012891124 | 0.0129503505 | 1.0045943 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3357297E-5 | 3.3357064E-5 | 1.4281217 | 1.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 1.0009894E-4 | 1.1009794E-4 | 1.0998912 | 1.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012180379 | 0.0012579892 | 1.0327997 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009832645 | 0.012116009 | 0.012175282 | 1.0048921 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2957234E-5 | 3.2957003E-5 | 1.4355825 | 1.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.838452E-5 | 1.0838353E-4 | 1.101632 | 1.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011971878 | 0.0012371399 | 1.0333717 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009669261 | 0.011909775 | 0.011969061 | 1.0049778 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1846654E-5 | 3.1846434E-5 | 1.457726 | 1.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.362523E-5 | 1.036243E-4 | 1.1067988 | 1.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011393053 | 0.0011792597 | 1.0350691 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009260561 | 0.0113370335 | 0.011396353 | 1.0052323 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5322663E-5 | 2.532251E-5 | 1.652618 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.566694E-5 | 7.5666285E-5 | 1.1522737 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.9920824E-4 | 8.2918425E-4 | 1.0375072 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006830362 | 0.007964179 | 0.00800386 | 1.0049825 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3168657E-5 | 2.3168524E-5 | 1.7593689 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.643591E-5 | 6.643535E-5 | 1.1771822 | 1.0E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.868964E-4 | 7.168758E-4 | 1.0436447 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0059864987 | 0.006848286 | 0.006888012 | 1.0058008 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.087561E-5 | 2.0875501E-5 | 1.9194787 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6608948E-5 | 5.6608482E-5 | 1.2145411 | 1.0E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.6732044E-4 | 5.873091E-4 | 1.0352335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050568148 | 0.00565903 | 0.0056789164 | 1.0035142 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.029586E-5 | 1.029586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4124394E-5 | 4.4124394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.3708634E-4 | 5.4708094E-4 | 1.0186089 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.005358315 | 0.0053682616 | 1.0018562 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.816917E-6 | 9.816917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2071846E-5 | 4.2071846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1210856E-4 | 5.1210856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005109712 | 0.005109712 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.71588E-6 | 9.71588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1638847E-5 | 4.1638847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0683925E-4 | 5.0683925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004533812 | 0.00505726 | 0.00505726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.613469E-6 | 9.613469E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1199954E-5 | 4.1199954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.014982E-4 | 5.014982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004483909 | 0.005004091 | 0.005004091 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.292333E-6 | 9.292333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.98237E-5 | 3.98237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8474988E-4 | 4.8474988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048373495 | 0.0048373495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.352792E-6 | 8.352792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.579721E-5 | 3.579721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3574793E-4 | 4.3574793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00389112 | 0.004349341 | 0.004349341 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6498258E-7 | 3.6498258E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5642103E-6 | 1.5642103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9044097E-5 | 1.9044097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.904251E-4 | 1.904251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.670569E-9 | 2.670569E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1445296E-8 | 1.1445296E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3934648E-7 | 1.3934648E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3934649E-6 | 1.3934649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8511113E-5 | 1.8511113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.93312E-5 | 8.933041E-5 | 1.1260438 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.654781E-4 | 9.954491E-4 | 1.0310427 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009017491 | 0.009617683 | 0.009657297 | 1.004119 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.59656E-6 | 9.59656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1127518E-5 | 4.1127518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0062133E-4 | 5.1061634E-4 | 1.0199652 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049958196 | 0.0050157197 | 1.0039834 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.59656E-6 | 9.59656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1127518E-5 | 4.1127518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0062133E-4 | 5.1061634E-4 | 1.0199652 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049958196 | 0.0050157197 | 1.0039834 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.671085E-6 | 7.671085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2875705E-5 | 3.2875705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0019533E-4 | 4.0019533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039954516 | 0.004005412 | 1.0024929 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.671085E-6 | 7.671085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2875705E-5 | 3.2875705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0019533E-4 | 4.0019533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039954516 | 0.004005412 | 1.0024929 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.406657E-6 | 6.406657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.745685E-5 | 2.745685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3424236E-4 | 3.3424236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033380357 | 0.0033480022 | 1.0029857 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.912824E-6 | 5.912824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5340463E-5 | 2.5340463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0848285E-4 | 3.0848285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030811762 | 0.0030911453 | 1.0032355 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5415644E-6 | 5.5415644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3749382E-5 | 2.3749382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.891167E-4 | 2.891167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028880301 | 0.0028980013 | 1.0034525 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2487436E-6 | 4.2487436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8208808E-5 | 1.8208808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2167564E-4 | 2.2167564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020970714 | 0.00221513 | 0.002225108 | 1.0045044 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.142399E-7 | 7.142399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0610263E-6 | 3.0610263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7267677E-5 | 3.7267677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7264553E-4 | 3.7264553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1823178E-6 | 4.1823178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7924118E-5 | 3.792376E-5 | 2.1157951 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.18208E-4 | 2.4820145E-4 | 1.1374536 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021803032 | 0.002220216 | 1.018306 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1823178E-6 | 4.1823178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7924118E-5 | 3.792376E-5 | 2.1157951 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.18208E-4 | 2.4820145E-4 | 1.1374536 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021803032 | 0.002220216 | 1.018306 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1823178E-6 | 4.1823178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7924118E-5 | 3.792376E-5 | 2.1157951 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.18208E-4 | 2.4820145E-4 | 1.1374536 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021803032 | 0.002220216 | 1.018306 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1823178E-6 | 4.1823178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7924118E-5 | 3.792376E-5 | 2.1157951 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.18208E-4 | 2.4820145E-4 | 1.1374536 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021803032 | 0.002220216 | 1.018306 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1823178E-6 | 4.1823178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7924118E-5 | 3.792376E-5 | 2.1157951 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.18208E-4 | 2.4820145E-4 | 1.1374536 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021803032 | 0.002220216 | 1.018306 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3736286E-6 | 2.3736286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0172659E-5 | 1.0172659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2384585E-4 | 1.3384462E-4 | 1.0807356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012378443 | 0.001247832 | 1.0080686 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3736286E-6 | 2.3736286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0172659E-5 | 1.0172659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2384585E-4 | 1.3384462E-4 | 1.0807356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012378443 | 0.001247832 | 1.0080686 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7501679E-6 | 1.7501679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.500701E-6 | 7.500701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.131775E-5 | 9.131775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.128549E-4 | 9.128549E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3302479E-6 | 1.3302479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.7010525E-6 | 5.7010525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.940855E-5 | 6.940855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.9391204E-4 | 6.9391204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.118994E-7 | 6.118994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6224234E-6 | 2.6224234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.192758E-5 | 3.192758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.1923404E-4 | 3.1923404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.8337023E-7 | 4.8337023E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0715854E-6 | 2.0715854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5221298E-5 | 2.5221298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5218804E-4 | 2.5218804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.988637E-7 | 3.988637E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.709415E-6 | 1.709415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0811962E-5 | 2.0811962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0810349E-4 | 2.0810349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7631173E-7 | 3.7631173E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6127638E-6 | 1.6127638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9635256E-5 | 1.9635256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9633851E-4 | 1.9633851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.5076894E-7 | 3.5076894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5032947E-6 | 1.5032947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.8302493E-5 | 1.8302493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8301317E-4 | 1.8301317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1177686E-7 | 3.1177686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3361861E-6 | 1.3361861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6267977E-5 | 1.6267977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6267115E-4 | 1.6267115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5018117E-7 | 1.5018117E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.4363354E-7 | 6.4363354E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.836238E-6 | 7.836238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.8362384E-5 | 7.8362384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3115906E-5 | 3.3115906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4191837E-4 | 1.4191837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017266236 | 0.0017366064 | 1.0057817 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015895851 | 0.017145941 | 0.017175427 | 1.0017197 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3115906E-5 | 3.3115906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4191837E-4 | 1.4191837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017266236 | 0.0017366064 | 1.0057817 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015895851 | 0.017145941 | 0.017175427 | 1.0017197 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.255211E-5 | 1.255211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.37937E-5 | 5.37937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5475114E-4 | 6.5475114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006090366 | 0.006529193 | 0.006539128 | 1.0015216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.255211E-5 | 1.255211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.37937E-5 | 5.37937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5475114E-4 | 6.5475114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006090366 | 0.006529193 | 0.006539128 | 1.0015216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.484684E-6 | 8.484684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.636245E-5 | 3.636245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.4262694E-4 | 4.4262694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041288356 | 0.004417859 | 0.004417859 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.289341E-6 | 6.289341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6954054E-5 | 2.6954054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2811874E-4 | 3.2811874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032765963 | 0.0032765963 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.289341E-6 | 6.289341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6954054E-5 | 2.6954054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2811874E-4 | 3.2811874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032765963 | 0.0032765963 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2832122E-6 | 3.2832122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.407084E-5 | 1.407084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7130017E-4 | 1.7130017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016013865 | 0.001711796 | 0.001711796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.430056E-6 | 2.430056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0414489E-5 | 1.0414489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2678995E-4 | 1.2678995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012672663 | 0.0012672663 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.065933E-6 | 1.065933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.568279E-6 | 4.568279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5617897E-5 | 5.5617897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.5609044E-4 | 5.5609044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.078369E-7 | 5.078369E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1764438E-6 | 2.1764438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6498205E-5 | 2.6498205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6498205E-4 | 2.6498205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3806376E-5 | 3.3806376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.448771E-4 | 1.5487566E-4 | 1.0690141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017625726 | 0.0017825373 | 1.011327 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017498283 | 0.017517932 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3806376E-5 | 3.3806376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.448771E-4 | 1.5487566E-4 | 1.0690141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017625726 | 0.0017825373 | 1.011327 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017498283 | 0.017517932 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3806376E-5 | 3.3806376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.448771E-4 | 1.5487566E-4 | 1.0690141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017625726 | 0.0017825373 | 1.011327 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017498283 | 0.017517932 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5925942E-5 | 1.5925942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.825233E-5 | 6.825233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.306696E-4 | 8.406613E-4 | 1.0120285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008277106 | 0.008287024 | 1.0011982 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5925942E-5 | 1.5925942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.825233E-5 | 6.825233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.306696E-4 | 8.406613E-4 | 1.0120285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008277106 | 0.008287024 | 1.0011982 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1343209E-5 | 1.1343209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.861289E-5 | 4.861289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.917082E-4 | 5.917082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006966323 | 0.005902033 | 0.005902033 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.630612E-6 | 8.630612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6987836E-5 | 3.6987836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.502382E-4 | 4.502382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005629168 | 0.004493697 | 0.004493697 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.8066283E-6 | 6.8066283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.9170957E-5 | 2.9170957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.551017E-4 | 3.551017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035456603 | 0.0035456603 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9394744E-6 | 4.9394744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1169011E-5 | 2.1169011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5770336E-4 | 2.5770336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025741584 | 0.0025741584 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.834758E-6 | 3.834758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6434577E-5 | 1.6434577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 2.0007312E-4 | 2.0007312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019989826 | 0.0019989826 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6817083E-6 | 2.6817083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1492986E-5 | 1.1492986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3991838E-4 | 1.3991838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013983292 | 0.0013983292 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8877257E-6 | 1.8877257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.090228E-6 | 8.090228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.849421E-5 | 9.849421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.845183E-4 | 9.845183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2836628E-6 | 1.2836628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.5014007E-6 | 5.5014007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.69776E-5 | 6.69776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.695842E-4 | 6.695842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.072786E-7 | 6.072786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.60262E-6 | 2.60262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1686475E-5 | 3.1686475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1682334E-4 | 3.1682334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1223595E-7 | 3.1223595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3381534E-6 | 1.3381534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6291897E-5 | 1.6291897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6290716E-4 | 1.6290716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8337255E-7 | 1.8337255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.858821E-7 | 7.858821E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.568073E-6 | 9.568073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.5676696E-5 | 9.5676696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.919266E-8 | 4.919266E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.1082566E-7 | 2.1082566E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5667998E-6 | 2.5667998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.566774E-5 | 2.566774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6706204E-5 | 1.6706204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.159619E-5 | 8.159547E-5 | 1.1396623 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.713586E-4 | 8.913412E-4 | 1.0229326 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008681803 | 0.008701629 | 1.0022837 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6706204E-5 | 1.6706204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.159619E-5 | 8.159547E-5 | 1.1396623 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.713586E-4 | 8.913412E-4 | 1.0229326 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008681803 | 0.008701629 | 1.0022837 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6706204E-5 | 1.6706204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.159619E-5 | 8.159547E-5 | 1.1396623 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.713586E-4 | 8.913412E-4 | 1.0229326 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008681803 | 0.008701629 | 1.0022837 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1896901E-5 | 1.1896901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0985756E-5 | 6.0985247E-5 | 1.1961232 | 1.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2058074E-4 | 6.405683E-4 | 1.0322078 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061890865 | 0.0062089628 | 1.0032115 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1896901E-5 | 1.1896901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0985756E-5 | 6.0985247E-5 | 1.1961232 | 1.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2058074E-4 | 6.405683E-4 | 1.0322078 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061890865 | 0.0062089628 | 1.0032115 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.06274665E-5 | 1.06274665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.554552E-5 | 5.554506E-5 | 1.2195506 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.543805E-4 | 5.743694E-4 | 1.0360563 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048150513 | 0.005530475 | 0.0055503645 | 1.0035963 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.166062E-6 | 9.166062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.9282553E-5 | 3.9282553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.781641E-4 | 4.781641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0047717495 | 0.0047717495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.41333E-6 | 8.41333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6056652E-5 | 3.6056652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3890497E-4 | 4.3890497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003753043 | 0.004380751 | 0.004380751 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.847923E-6 | 7.847923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3633543E-5 | 3.3633543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0941502E-4 | 4.0941502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003487206 | 0.004086965 | 0.004086965 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1359723E-6 | 7.1359723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.05824E-5 | 3.05824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7228048E-4 | 3.7228048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031477278 | 0.003716907 | 0.003716907 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.084632E-6 | 5.084632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1791107E-5 | 2.1791107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.6527597E-4 | 2.6527597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026497464 | 0.0026497464 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.6359537E-6 | 4.6359537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.986823E-5 | 1.986823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4187037E-4 | 2.4187037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.002416222 | 0.002416222 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.1605254E-6 | 4.1605254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.783071E-5 | 1.783071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1706877E-4 | 2.1706877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021687157 | 0.0021687157 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.632591E-6 | 3.632591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5568163E-5 | 1.5568163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8952737E-4 | 1.8952737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018938029 | 0.0018938029 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8907345E-6 | 2.8907345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2388812E-5 | 1.2388812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5082478E-4 | 1.5082478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015073657 | 0.0015073657 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5145934E-6 | 1.5145934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.491105E-6 | 6.491105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.902759E-5 | 7.902759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.901176E-4 | 7.901176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6046433E-7 | 2.6046433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162754E-6 | 1.1162754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590597E-5 | 1.3590597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3590047E-4 | 1.3590047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.252135E-5 | 4.25209E-5 | 1.8880262 | 2.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6516545E-5 | 1.1651461E-4 | 1.2071984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011744628 | 0.0011944394 | 1.017009 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011683475 | 0.011703242 | 1.0016918 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.252135E-5 | 4.25209E-5 | 1.8880262 | 2.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6516545E-5 | 1.1651461E-4 | 1.2071984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011744628 | 0.0011944394 | 1.017009 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011683475 | 0.011703242 | 1.0016918 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.252135E-5 | 4.25209E-5 | 1.8880262 | 2.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6516545E-5 | 1.1651461E-4 | 1.2071984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011744628 | 0.0011944394 | 1.017009 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011683475 | 0.011703242 | 1.0016918 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1356986E-5 | 4.1356558E-5 | 1.9364418 | 2.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.152676E-5 | 1.1152493E-4 | 1.2184954 | 2.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011137754 | 0.0011337532 | 1.017937 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.01108276 | 0.011102539 | 1.0017846 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1356986E-5 | 4.1356558E-5 | 1.9364418 | 2.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.152676E-5 | 1.1152493E-4 | 1.2184954 | 2.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011137754 | 0.0011337532 | 1.017937 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.01108276 | 0.011102539 | 1.0017846 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.058023E-5 | 4.0579816E-5 | 1.9717865 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.819804E-5 | 1.0819628E-4 | 1.2267424 | 2.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010732887 | 0.0010932672 | 1.0186143 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.01068184 | 0.010701626 | 1.0018524 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9929465E-5 | 3.9929066E-5 | 2.0035193 | 2.0E-5 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.540923E-5 | 1.0540752E-4 | 1.2341467 | 2.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010393678 | 0.001059347 | 1.0192225 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.010345826 | 0.010365619 | 1.0019132 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9061092E-5 | 3.906071E-5 | 2.0492377 | 2.0E-5 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.168787E-5 | 1.0168624E-4 | 1.2448144 | 2.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.941022E-4 | 0.0010140823 | 1.0200987 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009897274 | 0.009917076 | 1.0020008 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8529767E-5 | 3.8529397E-5 | 2.0793242 | 2.0E-5 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.941091E-5 | 9.940932E-5 | 1.2518346 | 2.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.664051E-4 | 9.863857E-4 | 1.0206753 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.00962273 | 0.009642538 | 1.0020584 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8104514E-5 | 3.8104154E-5 | 2.104677 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.75885E-5 | 9.758695E-5 | 1.2577502 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.442367E-4 | 9.642178E-4 | 1.0211611 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009402943 | 0.009422755 | 1.002107 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7822284E-5 | 3.7821927E-5 | 2.1221707 | 2.0E-5 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.637901E-5 | 9.637748E-5 | 1.261832 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.2952384E-4 | 9.4950525E-4 | 1.0214964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.009257049 | 0.009276864 | 1.0021405 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7499973E-5 | 3.7499623E-5 | 2.142839 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.499777E-5 | 9.499627E-5 | 1.2666546 | 2.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.127214E-4 | 9.3270314E-4 | 1.0218925 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.0090904115 | 0.00911023 | 1.0021801 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7186798E-5 | 3.7186455E-5 | 2.1636639 | 2.0E-5 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.365566E-5 | 9.365419E-5 | 1.2715138 | 2.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.963948E-4 | 9.163769E-4 | 1.0222915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008928469 | 0.008948291 | 1.00222 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6317736E-5 | 2.6317573E-5 | 1.6128201 | 1.0E-5 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.993131E-5 | 7.9930614E-5 | 1.1429875 | 1.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.5108704E-4 | 8.610785E-4 | 1.0117397 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008478921 | 0.008488837 | 1.0011694 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5822752E-5 | 2.5822594E-5 | 1.6319914 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.781006E-5 | 7.780938E-5 | 1.1474607 | 1.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.252806E-4 | 8.3527237E-4 | 1.0121071 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008222794 | 0.008232712 | 1.0012062 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5140488E-5 | 2.5140338E-5 | 1.6604706 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.4886226E-5 | 7.488558E-5 | 1.1541059 | 1.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.8970933E-4 | 7.9970143E-4 | 1.0126529 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007869656 | 0.007879578 | 1.0012608 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2638096E-5 | 1.2638096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4162178E-5 | 5.4162178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.592303E-4 | 6.592303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005868405 | 0.006573301 | 0.006573301 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0292922E-5 | 1.0292922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4111803E-5 | 4.4111803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3693395E-4 | 5.3693395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004783291 | 0.0053568785 | 0.0053568785 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6498258E-7 | 3.6498258E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5642103E-6 | 1.5642103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9044097E-5 | 1.9044097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.904251E-4 | 1.904251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.670569E-9 | 2.670569E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1445296E-8 | 1.1445296E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3934648E-7 | 1.3934648E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3934649E-6 | 1.3934649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8687397E-5 | 3.8687023E-5 | 2.07022 | 2.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.008643E-5 | 1.0008483E-4 | 1.2497102 | 2.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.746237E-4 | 9.946042E-4 | 1.0205008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.00970435 | 0.009724155 | 1.002041 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8687397E-5 | 3.8687023E-5 | 2.07022 | 2.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.008643E-5 | 1.0008483E-4 | 1.2497102 | 2.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.746237E-4 | 9.946042E-4 | 1.0205008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.00970435 | 0.009724155 | 1.002041 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8687397E-5 | 3.8687023E-5 | 2.07022 | 2.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.008643E-5 | 1.0008483E-4 | 1.2497102 | 2.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.746237E-4 | 9.946042E-4 | 1.0205008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.00970435 | 0.009724155 | 1.002041 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8687397E-5 | 3.8687023E-5 | 2.07022 | 2.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.008643E-5 | 1.0008483E-4 | 1.2497102 | 2.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.746237E-4 | 9.946042E-4 | 1.0205008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.00970435 | 0.009724155 | 1.002041 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.735412E-5 | 3.7353773E-5 | 2.1524441 | 2.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.437271E-5 | 9.437122E-5 | 1.2688959 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.051177E-4 | 9.250996E-4 | 1.0220766 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009014999 | 0.009034818 | 1.0021986 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.735412E-5 | 3.7353773E-5 | 2.1524441 | 2.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.437271E-5 | 9.437122E-5 | 1.2688959 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.051177E-4 | 9.250996E-4 | 1.0220766 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009014999 | 0.009034818 | 1.0021986 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.682457E-5 | 2.6824402E-5 | 1.5943588 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.2103336E-5 | 8.210262E-5 | 1.1386799 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.7751047E-4 | 8.875017E-4 | 1.0113859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00781795 | 0.0087411115 | 0.0087510245 | 1.001134 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.637104E-5 | 2.6370875E-5 | 1.6108247 | 1.0E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.0159746E-5 | 8.015904E-5 | 1.1425219 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5386593E-4 | 8.638574E-4 | 1.0117015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007607299 | 0.008506489 | 0.008516404 | 1.0011656 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5896654E-5 | 2.5896496E-5 | 1.6290532 | 1.0E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.812677E-5 | 7.812609E-5 | 1.1467751 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.291334E-4 | 8.391251E-4 | 1.0120507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007386771 | 0.008261016 | 0.008270933 | 1.0012006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.541878E-5 | 2.5418625E-5 | 1.6485498 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.607884E-5 | 7.6078184E-5 | 1.1513244 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.042184E-4 | 8.142104E-4 | 1.0124245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008013677 | 0.008023597 | 1.0012379 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5202157E-5 | 2.5202005E-5 | 1.6577914 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.51505E-5 | 7.514985E-5 | 1.1534808 | 1.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.929242E-4 | 8.029163E-4 | 1.0126015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.007901544 | 0.007911464 | 1.0012556 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4995166E-5 | 2.4995015E-5 | 1.6668717 | 1.0E-5 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.426344E-5 | 7.4262796E-5 | 1.1555995 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8213203E-4 | 7.921242E-4 | 1.0127755 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.0077943834 | 0.0078043053 | 1.0012729 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4693132E-5 | 1.4693132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.296908E-5 | 6.296908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.663843E-4 | 7.663843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006825765 | 0.0076379986 | 0.0076379986 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.446717E-5 | 1.446717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.200071E-5 | 6.200071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.546027E-4 | 7.546027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006720101 | 0.0075209863 | 0.0075209863 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.429701E-5 | 1.429701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.1271494E-5 | 6.1271494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4573053E-4 | 7.4573053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0074328613 | 0.0074328613 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4025039E-5 | 1.4025039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.0105955E-5 | 6.0105955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.3154975E-4 | 7.3154975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072919927 | 0.0072919927 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2659923E-5 | 1.2659923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4255714E-5 | 5.4255714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.603684E-4 | 6.603684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058794282 | 0.0065846145 | 0.0065846145 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0292922E-5 | 1.0292922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4111803E-5 | 4.4111803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3693395E-4 | 5.3693395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004783291 | 0.0053568785 | 0.0053568785 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6498258E-7 | 3.6498258E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5642103E-6 | 1.5642103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9044097E-5 | 1.9044097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.904251E-4 | 1.904251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.670569E-9 | 2.670569E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1445296E-8 | 1.1445296E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3934648E-7 | 1.3934648E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3934649E-6 | 1.3934649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0408266E-5 | 3.0408266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3031573E-4 | 1.4031444E-4 | 1.0767267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015856362 | 0.0016056044 | 1.0125933 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.015762765 | 0.01578245 | 1.0012488 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0408266E-5 | 3.0408266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3031573E-4 | 1.4031444E-4 | 1.0767267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015856362 | 0.0016056044 | 1.0125933 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.015762765 | 0.01578245 | 1.0012488 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.611274E-5 | 1.611274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.905333E-5 | 7.905264E-5 | 1.1448057 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.4049883E-4 | 8.60482E-4 | 1.0237753 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007380498 | 0.008382916 | 0.008402748 | 1.0023658 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.611274E-5 | 1.611274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.905333E-5 | 7.905264E-5 | 1.1448057 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.4049883E-4 | 8.60482E-4 | 1.0237753 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007380498 | 0.008382916 | 0.008402748 | 1.0023658 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.50238075E-5 | 1.50238075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.438671E-5 | 7.4386066E-5 | 1.1553016 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.837245E-4 | 8.037088E-4 | 1.0254992 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006884126 | 0.007819252 | 0.007839096 | 1.0025378 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.50238075E-5 | 1.50238075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.438671E-5 | 7.4386066E-5 | 1.1553016 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.837245E-4 | 8.037088E-4 | 1.0254992 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006884126 | 0.007819252 | 0.007839096 | 1.0025378 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2868383E-5 | 1.2868383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.514959E-5 | 5.514959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7133526E-4 | 6.813286E-4 | 1.0148857 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006702481 | 0.006712414 | 1.001482 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.8346645E-6 | 9.8346645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2148393E-5 | 4.2148393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.131266E-4 | 5.2312145E-4 | 1.0194783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051283147 | 0.0051382636 | 1.00194 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1765696E-6 | 1.1765696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.0424323E-6 | 5.0424323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.139E-5 | 6.139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.137417E-4 | 6.137417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.29277E-7 | 9.29277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.98261E-6 | 3.98261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.848727E-5 | 4.848727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8477392E-4 | 4.8477392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7563814E-7 | 8.7563814E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7527298E-6 | 3.7527298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5688597E-5 | 4.5688597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5679868E-4 | 4.5679868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.71978E-7 | 7.71978E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3084732E-6 | 3.3084732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0279978E-5 | 4.0279978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0273275E-4 | 4.0273275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.5967665E-7 | 7.5967665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2557534E-6 | 3.2557534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.9638137E-5 | 3.9638137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9631664E-4 | 3.9631664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.9047667E-7 | 6.9047667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.959183E-6 | 2.959183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.602751E-5 | 3.602751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.6022248E-4 | 3.6022248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.201315E-7 | 6.201315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6577043E-6 | 2.6577043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2357126E-5 | 3.2357126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.235297E-4 | 3.235297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3563076E-7 | 5.3563076E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2955585E-6 | 2.2955585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7948121E-5 | 2.7948121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7945137E-4 | 2.7945137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6046433E-7 | 2.6046433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162754E-6 | 1.1162754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590597E-5 | 1.3590597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3590047E-4 | 1.3590047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 8.348066E-4 | 8.348066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0035734898 | 0.0035734898 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028586963 | 0.042932622 | 0.042942192 | 1.0002229 | 1.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.34565046 | 0.34566355 | 1.0000379 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.1896413E-4 | 3.1896413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013663863 | 0.0013663863 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0099994885 | 0.016571585 | 0.016571585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.095613256 | 0.15361404 | 0.15361404 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8698632E-4 | 1.8698632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 8.011251E-4 | 8.011251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009710313 | 0.009710313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.048019063 | 0.093829185 | 0.093829185 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.839333E-4 | 1.839333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.8804867E-4 | 7.8804867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009552514 | 0.009552514 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047285385 | 0.09247862 | 0.09247862 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.8152507E-4 | 1.8152507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.7773386E-4 | 7.7773386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009428016 | 0.009428016 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.046568092 | 0.09137272 | 0.09137272 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7907927E-4 | 1.7907927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.6725805E-4 | 7.6725805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009301576 | 0.009301576 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.045878403 | 0.09024788 | 0.09024788 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7583337E-4 | 1.7583337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.533551E-4 | 7.533551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045870654 | 0.009133753 | 0.009133753 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04493529 | 0.088759884 | 0.088759884 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7449172E-4 | 1.7449172E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.4760854E-4 | 7.4760854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045492216 | 0.009064413 | 0.009064413 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04457213 | 0.088156685 | 0.088156685 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.7393669E-4 | 1.7393669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.4523117E-4 | 7.4523117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045347405 | 0.009035717 | 0.009035717 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04443313 | 0.08790071 | 0.08790071 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.733374E-4 | 1.733374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.426642E-4 | 7.426642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045191357 | 0.009004723 | 0.009004723 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.044283327 | 0.08762371 | 0.08762371 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.7083013E-4 | 1.7083013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.319249E-4 | 7.319249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004455241 | 0.008875044 | 0.008875044 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.043669727 | 0.08645952 | 0.08645952 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5547956E-4 | 1.5547956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.6617155E-4 | 6.6617155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040752706 | 0.008080656 | 0.008080656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.040013418 | 0.079315886 | 0.079315886 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.5282094E-4 | 1.5282094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.547833E-4 | 6.547833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004005129 | 0.007943022 | 0.007943022 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0393371 | 0.0780792 | 0.0780792 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4973458E-4 | 1.4973458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.4156257E-4 | 6.4156257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003934157 | 0.00778322 | 0.00778322 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.038652334 | 0.076622665 | 0.076622665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.466892E-4 | 1.466892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.2851724E-4 | 6.2851724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003865065 | 0.0076255156 | 0.0076255156 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03798529 | 0.07517666 | 0.07517666 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.15409544E-4 | 1.15409544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.9451867E-4 | 4.9451867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032037178 | 0.0060041784 | 0.0060041784 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03157923 | 0.060167756 | 0.060167756 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.1366455E-4 | 1.1366455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.8704294E-4 | 4.8704294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005913659 | 0.005913659 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031148417 | 0.059316617 | 0.059316617 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.4867835E-5 | 9.4867835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 4.065131E-4 | 4.065131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002691582 | 0.0049380763 | 0.0049380763 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.026592141 | 0.049993247 | 0.049993247 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.847087E-5 | 8.847087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.791058E-4 | 3.791058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004605854 | 0.004605854 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024781305 | 0.04664918 | 0.04664918 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.974801E-5 | 6.974801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.9888583E-4 | 2.9888583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.0036328672 | 0.0036328672 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020503636 | 0.036954835 | 0.036954835 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.2132087E-5 | 4.2132087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.8055359E-4 | 1.8055359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.002196025 | 0.002196025 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015009012 | 0.02272607 | 0.02272607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.9490319E-5 | 1.9490319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.352727E-5 | 8.352727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 0.0010164707 | 0.0010164707 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010912466 | 0.010912466 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7835905E-6 | 5.7835905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4786581E-5 | 2.4786581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.0173492E-4 | 3.0173492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0034173038 | 0.0034173038 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.1732236E-7 | 8.1732236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.5028056E-6 | 3.5028056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2645843E-5 | 4.2645843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.01369E-4 | 5.01369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1722992E-5 | 2.1722992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.3095616E-5 | 9.3095616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011329219 | 0.0011429106 | 1.0088167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011278652 | 0.011288539 | 1.0008767 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1722992E-5 | 2.1722992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.3095616E-5 | 9.3095616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011329219 | 0.0011429106 | 1.0088167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011278652 | 0.011288539 | 1.0008767 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1722992E-5 | 2.1722992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.3095616E-5 | 9.3095616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011329219 | 0.0011429106 | 1.0088167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011278652 | 0.011288539 | 1.0008767 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.683327E-5 | 1.683327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.214093E-5 | 7.214093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.780232E-4 | 8.8801445E-4 | 1.0113792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008751596 | 0.008761509 | 1.0011326 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.683327E-5 | 1.683327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.214093E-5 | 7.214093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.780232E-4 | 8.8801445E-4 | 1.0113792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008751596 | 0.008761509 | 1.0011326 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.556967E-5 | 1.556967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.67258E-5 | 6.67258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.121442E-4 | 8.2213606E-4 | 1.0123031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008097714 | 0.008107632 | 1.0012249 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.47827E-5 | 1.47827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.335323E-5 | 6.335323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.711127E-4 | 7.81105E-4 | 1.0129583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076902835 | 0.0077002067 | 1.0012903 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4292449E-5 | 1.4292449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.1252256E-5 | 6.1252256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.4555085E-4 | 7.555434E-4 | 1.0134029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074363826 | 0.007446308 | 1.0013348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.228918E-6 | 6.228918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.669526E-5 | 2.669526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2499633E-4 | 3.2499633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032481558 | 0.0032481558 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.796521E-6 | 4.796521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.055652E-5 | 2.055652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5027563E-4 | 2.5027563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025027562 | 0.0025027562 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 08 (Quinto)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.257327E-6 | 8.257327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5388173E-5 | 4.5387816E-5 | 1.2825702 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3078468E-4 | 4.407804E-4 | 1.0232035 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004301351 | 0.0043113083 | 1.0023148 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.257327E-6 | 8.257327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5388173E-5 | 4.5387816E-5 | 1.2825702 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3078468E-4 | 4.407804E-4 | 1.0232035 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004301351 | 0.0043113083 | 1.0023148 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.257327E-6 | 8.257327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5388173E-5 | 4.5387816E-5 | 1.2825702 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3078468E-4 | 4.407804E-4 | 1.0232035 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004301351 | 0.0043113083 | 1.0023148 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.7537195E-6 | 5.7537195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4658628E-5 | 3.465838E-5 | 1.4055276 | 1.0E-5 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.0018858E-4 | 3.1018557E-4 | 1.0333024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028001624 | 0.0029989253 | 0.0030088953 | 1.0033245 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.7537195E-6 | 5.7537195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4658628E-5 | 3.465838E-5 | 1.4055276 | 1.0E-5 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.0018858E-4 | 3.1018557E-4 | 1.0333024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028001624 | 0.0029989253 | 0.0030088953 | 1.0033245 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.65427E-6 | 3.943737E-6 | 3.943737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5661062E-5 | 1.690166E-5 | 1.690166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9065675E-4 | 2.0576533E-4 | 2.0576533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019049325 | 0.0020564406 | 0.0020564406 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6143538E-6 | 3.900899E-6 | 3.900899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5489995E-5 | 1.6718073E-5 | 1.6718073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8857437E-4 | 2.0353058E-4 | 2.0353058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018841444 | 0.0020341342 | 0.0020341342 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.4821015E-6 | 2.6874238E-6 | 2.6874238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0637535E-5 | 1.1517512E-5 | 1.1517512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2950429E-4 | 1.4022234E-4 | 1.4022234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942884 | 0.0014018943 | 0.0014018943 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.7110538E-7 | 5.197159E-7 | 5.197159E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0190216E-6 | 2.227352E-6 | 2.227352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.458131E-5 | 2.7117692E-5 | 2.7117692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.457859E-4 | 2.7114566E-4 | 2.7114566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.958685E-7 | 4.3738848E-7 | 4.3738848E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6965782E-6 | 1.8745208E-6 | 1.8745208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0655643E-5 | 2.2822069E-5 | 2.2822069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0653724E-4 | 2.2819887E-4 | 2.2819887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.70294E-7 | 2.9944925E-7 | 2.9944925E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1584025E-6 | 1.2833534E-6 | 1.2833534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4103458E-5 | 1.5624728E-5 | 1.5624728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4102564E-4 | 1.5623758E-4 | 1.5623758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4828602E-7 | 1.6483294E-7 | 1.6483294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3551136E-7 | 7.064267E-7 | 7.064267E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737323E-6 | 8.600719E-6 | 8.600719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737054E-5 | 8.600467E-5 | 8.600467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0194489E-5 | 1.0194489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.368999E-5 | 4.368999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3180614E-4 | 5.4180087E-4 | 1.0187938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053063636 | 0.0053163106 | 1.0018746 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0194489E-5 | 1.0194489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.368999E-5 | 4.368999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3180614E-4 | 5.4180087E-4 | 1.0187938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053063636 | 0.0053163106 | 1.0018746 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6974105E-6 | 4.6974105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.013161E-5 | 2.013161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4507608E-4 | 2.4507608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024481842 | 0.0024481842 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6974105E-6 | 4.6974105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.013161E-5 | 2.013161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4507608E-4 | 2.4507608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024481842 | 0.0024481842 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5107605E-6 | 3.5107605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5046035E-5 | 1.5046035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8317091E-4 | 1.8317091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018302824 | 0.0018302824 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9286016E-6 | 2.9286016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2551093E-5 | 1.2551093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5279959E-4 | 1.5279959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015270193 | 0.0015270193 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3296932E-6 | 2.3296932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.984365E-6 | 9.984365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2155349E-4 | 1.2155349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012149318 | 0.0012149318 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9596887E-6 | 1.9596887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.3986415E-6 | 8.3986415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0224925E-4 | 1.0224925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010220796 | 0.0010220796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5442864E-6 | 1.5442864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6183566E-6 | 6.6183566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.0576036E-5 | 8.0576036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.055193E-4 | 8.055193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.142399E-7 | 7.142399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0610263E-6 | 3.0610263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7267677E-5 | 3.7267677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7264553E-4 | 3.7264553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.273202E-5 | 3.2731794E-5 | 1.4398981 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.741964E-5 | 1.0741866E-4 | 1.1026387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011854968 | 0.001195485 | 1.0084252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011797577 | 0.0118074585 | 1.0008377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.273202E-5 | 3.2731794E-5 | 1.4398981 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.741964E-5 | 1.0741866E-4 | 1.1026387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011854968 | 0.001195485 | 1.0084252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011797577 | 0.0118074585 | 1.0008377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.273202E-5 | 3.2731794E-5 | 1.4398981 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.741964E-5 | 1.0741866E-4 | 1.1026387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011854968 | 0.001195485 | 1.0084252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011797577 | 0.0118074585 | 1.0008377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2359668E-5 | 1.2359668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2969E-5 | 5.2969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.447192E-4 | 6.447192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064297365 | 0.0064297365 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2359668E-5 | 1.2359668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2969E-5 | 5.2969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.447192E-4 | 6.447192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064297365 | 0.0064297365 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.486147E-6 | 9.486147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0654337E-5 | 4.0654337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.948633E-4 | 4.948633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046494175 | 0.0049385233 | 0.0049385233 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.793952E-6 | 7.793952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.340227E-5 | 3.340227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0660475E-4 | 4.0660475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040594004 | 0.0040594004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.6582647E-6 | 6.6582647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.853515E-5 | 2.853515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.473676E-4 | 3.473676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.003468988 | 0.003468988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.857848E-6 | 5.857848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5104862E-5 | 2.5104862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0561612E-4 | 3.0561612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.003052675 | 0.003052675 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.067792E-6 | 5.067792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1718968E-5 | 2.1718968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.644034E-4 | 2.644034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.002641581 | 0.002641581 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.1204294E-6 | 4.1204294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7658904E-5 | 1.7658904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1498282E-4 | 2.1498282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.002148425 | 0.002148425 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0111523E-6 | 3.0111523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2904911E-5 | 1.2904911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5711255E-4 | 1.5711255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015706606 | 0.0015706606 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.441125E-6 | 6.441125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.760462E-5 | 2.760462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3605035E-4 | 3.3605035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033569846 | 0.0033669511 | 1.0029689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.441125E-6 | 6.441125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.760462E-5 | 2.760462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3605035E-4 | 3.3605035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033569846 | 0.0033669511 | 1.0029689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.441125E-6 | 6.441125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.760462E-5 | 2.760462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3605035E-4 | 3.3605035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033569846 | 0.0033669511 | 1.0029689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.441125E-6 | 6.441125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.760462E-5 | 2.760462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3605035E-4 | 3.3605035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033569846 | 0.0033669511 | 1.0029689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.441125E-6 | 6.441125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.760462E-5 | 2.760462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3605035E-4 | 3.3605035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033569846 | 0.0033669511 | 1.0029689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9529679E-6 | 2.9529679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2655565E-5 | 1.2655565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5407932E-4 | 1.5407932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015405787 | 0.0015405787 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9529679E-6 | 2.9529679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2655565E-5 | 1.2655565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5407932E-4 | 1.5407932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015405787 | 0.0015405787 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6300693E-6 | 2.6300693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1271725E-5 | 1.1271725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3723326E-4 | 1.3723326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013723326 | 0.0013723326 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.879444E-5 | 1.879444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.0545775E-5 | 8.0545775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.803212E-4 | 9.903115E-4 | 1.0101907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008707083 | 0.009771535 | 0.009781437 | 1.0010134 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0983309E-5 | 1.0983309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7070876E-5 | 4.7070876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.730083E-4 | 5.830026E-4 | 1.0174417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005722279 | 0.005732222 | 1.0017376 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0983309E-5 | 1.0983309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7070876E-5 | 4.7070876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.730083E-4 | 5.830026E-4 | 1.0174417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005722279 | 0.005732222 | 1.0017376 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7820035E-6 | 4.7820035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.049427E-5 | 2.049427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4951223E-4 | 2.5950975E-4 | 1.0400681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.002494583 | 0.002504558 | 1.0039986 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7820035E-6 | 4.7820035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.049427E-5 | 2.049427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4951223E-4 | 2.5950975E-4 | 1.0400681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.002494583 | 0.002504558 | 1.0039986 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7820035E-6 | 4.7820035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.049427E-5 | 2.049427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4951223E-4 | 2.5950975E-4 | 1.0400681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.002494583 | 0.002504558 | 1.0039986 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.7648573E-6 | 4.7648573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0420788E-5 | 2.0420788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4861778E-4 | 2.586153E-4 | 1.0402124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024856585 | 0.0024956337 | 1.0040131 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.274601E-6 | 4.274601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8319719E-5 | 1.8319719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2304257E-4 | 2.3304035E-4 | 1.0448245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022304258 | 0.0022404036 | 1.0044734 | 1.0E-5 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3667528E-5 | 2.3667528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.01428566E-4 | 1.1142755E-4 | 1.0985816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012342373 | 0.0012442251 | 1.0080922 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012278342 | 0.012288218 | 1.0008044 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3667528E-5 | 2.3667528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.01428566E-4 | 1.1142755E-4 | 1.0985816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012342373 | 0.0012442251 | 1.0080922 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012278342 | 0.012288218 | 1.0008044 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1370461E-5 | 1.1370461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.872966E-5 | 4.872966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.931261E-4 | 5.931261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.00591585 | 0.00591585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1370461E-5 | 1.1370461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.872966E-5 | 4.872966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.931261E-4 | 5.931261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.00591585 | 0.00591585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.241203E-6 | 8.241203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.5318975E-5 | 3.5318975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2992507E-4 | 4.2992507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040691774 | 0.00429108 | 0.00429108 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.853812E-6 | 6.853812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9373154E-5 | 2.9373154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.575604E-4 | 3.575604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003385164 | 0.003569947 | 0.003569947 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8885007E-6 | 5.8885007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5236192E-5 | 2.5236192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0720804E-4 | 3.0720804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029084706 | 0.003067907 | 0.003067907 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9425175E-6 | 4.9425175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1182048E-5 | 2.1182048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5786148E-4 | 2.5786148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025756792 | 0.0025756792 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7536072E-6 | 3.7536072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6086791E-5 | 1.6086791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9583949E-4 | 1.9583949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019567101 | 0.0019567101 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6721377E-6 | 2.6721377E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.145197E-5 | 1.145197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3941909E-4 | 1.3941909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013933439 | 0.0013933439 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8027125E-6 | 1.8027125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.725889E-6 | 7.725889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.405881E-5 | 9.405881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.4020646E-4 | 9.4020646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.150248E-6 | 1.150248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9296254E-6 | 4.9296254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 6.0016635E-5 | 6.0016635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 6.0001406E-4 | 6.0001406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.3899046E-7 | 6.3899046E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.738528E-6 | 2.738528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3341137E-5 | 3.3341137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3336823E-4 | 3.3336823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.177939E-5 | 8.177939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.504393E-4 | 3.504393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.004258745 | 0.004268702 | 1.002338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04182642 | 0.041836 | 1.0002291 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.177939E-5 | 8.177939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.504393E-4 | 3.504393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.004258745 | 0.004268702 | 1.002338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04182642 | 0.041836 | 1.0002291 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6517696E-5 | 4.6517696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9934667E-4 | 1.9934667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024243959 | 0.0024243959 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020349167 | 0.023986096 | 0.023986096 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.7977836E-5 | 3.7977836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6275219E-4 | 1.6275219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019797368 | 0.0019797368 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01686163 | 0.019624788 | 0.019624788 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.4139855E-5 | 3.4139855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4630561E-4 | 1.4630561E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017798415 | 0.0017798415 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.01765904 | 0.01765904 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2286705E-5 | 3.2286705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.383644E-4 | 1.383644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016833104 | 0.0016833104 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016708618 | 0.016708618 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5791958E-5 | 2.5791958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1053237E-4 | 1.1053237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013449156 | 0.0013449156 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013369481 | 0.013369481 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2691385E-5 | 2.2691385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.724524E-5 | 9.724524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.001183329 | 0.001183329 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.0117715765 | 0.0117715765 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.8997907E-5 | 1.8997907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.1417114E-5 | 8.1417114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.90812E-4 | 9.90812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009864974 | 0.009864974 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7287533E-5 | 1.7287533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.408738E-5 | 7.408738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.0164936E-4 | 9.0164936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008980859 | 0.008980859 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4047479E-5 | 1.4047479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.020214E-5 | 6.020214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.3272217E-4 | 7.3272217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0073038507 | 0.0073038507 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.238784E-5 | 1.238784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.30897E-5 | 5.30897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.461828E-4 | 6.461828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064437864 | 0.0064437864 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0856088E-5 | 1.0856088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6525303E-5 | 4.6525303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.6630553E-4 | 5.6630553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.00564935 | 0.00564935 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.0933345E-6 | 9.0933345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.897089E-5 | 3.897089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.743744E-4 | 4.743744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004734322 | 0.004734322 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3659578E-6 | 3.3659578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4425482E-5 | 1.4425482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7562114E-4 | 1.7562114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017553197 | 0.0017553197 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7347552E-5 | 5.734708E-5 | 1.2111942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0290317E-4 | 2.1290114E-4 | 1.0492746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024678006 | 0.0024777758 | 1.0040421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024429683 | 0.024439437 | 1.0003994 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7347552E-5 | 5.734708E-5 | 1.2111942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0290317E-4 | 2.1290114E-4 | 1.0492746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024678006 | 0.0024777758 | 1.0040421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024429683 | 0.024439437 | 1.0003994 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7347552E-5 | 5.734708E-5 | 1.2111942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0290317E-4 | 2.1290114E-4 | 1.0492746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024678006 | 0.0024777758 | 1.0040421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024429683 | 0.024439437 | 1.0003994 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3658882E-5 | 4.3658547E-5 | 1.2970884 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.442447E-4 | 1.5424326E-4 | 1.0693166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017548333 | 0.0017648158 | 1.0056885 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017416926 | 0.017426752 | 1.0005641 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3658882E-5 | 4.3658547E-5 | 1.2970884 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.442447E-4 | 1.5424326E-4 | 1.0693166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017548333 | 0.0017648158 | 1.0056885 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017416926 | 0.017426752 | 1.0005641 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8645949E-5 | 3.8645663E-5 | 1.3490795 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2276284E-4 | 1.3276162E-4 | 1.0814478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.00149366 | 0.0015036452 | 1.006685 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.0148411 | 0.014850952 | 1.0006638 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4690746E-5 | 3.46905E-5 | 1.4050001 | 1.0E-5 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.05813364E-4 | 1.15812305E-4 | 1.094496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012875492 | 0.0012975363 | 1.0077567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.0128043275 | 0.0128142 | 1.0007709 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.180653E-5 | 3.180631E-5 | 1.4585682 | 1.0E-5 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.345335E-5 | 1.0345242E-4 | 1.1069952 | 1.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011372264 | 0.0011472149 | 1.0087833 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011316735 | 0.011326622 | 1.0008737 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9039158E-5 | 2.9038967E-5 | 1.5252234 | 1.0E-5 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.1593935E-5 | 9.1593116E-5 | 1.1225481 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.929703E-4 | 0.0010029604 | 1.0100608 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009887097 | 0.009896999 | 1.0010015 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6406202E-5 | 2.6406038E-5 | 1.6095157 | 1.0E-5 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.0310445E-5 | 8.030974E-5 | 1.1422163 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.557023E-4 | 8.656937E-4 | 1.0116763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008525007 | 0.008534922 | 1.001163 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4551982E-5 | 2.4551837E-5 | 1.6871816 | 1.0E-5 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.236418E-5 | 7.236355E-5 | 1.1603384 | 1.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.5902516E-4 | 7.690176E-4 | 1.0131648 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.0075649465 | 0.0075748707 | 1.0013119 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4091643E-5 | 2.4091501E-5 | 1.7096305 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.039139E-5 | 7.0390786E-5 | 1.1655766 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.350227E-4 | 7.450154E-4 | 1.013595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.007326511 | 0.007336438 | 1.0013549 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4029045E-5 | 2.4028905E-5 | 1.7127969 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0123126E-5 | 7.012252E-5 | 1.1663153 | 1.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.3175883E-4 | 7.417515E-4 | 1.0136557 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.0072940867 | 0.0073040137 | 1.001361 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3893053E-5 | 2.3892913E-5 | 1.7197742 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.954033E-5 | 6.953973E-5 | 1.1679434 | 1.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2466803E-4 | 7.346608E-4 | 1.0137894 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.007223642 | 0.00723357 | 1.0013744 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3660885E-5 | 2.3660748E-5 | 1.732007 | 1.0E-5 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8545367E-5 | 6.854478E-5 | 1.1707977 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.1256235E-4 | 7.225552E-4 | 1.0140239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.007103366 | 0.0071132947 | 1.0013977 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3158107E-5 | 2.3157976E-5 | 1.7599777 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.63907E-5 | 6.639014E-5 | 1.1773242 | 1.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.863461E-4 | 6.9633924E-4 | 1.0145599 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006842848 | 0.0068527795 | 1.0014514 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1590648E-5 | 1.1590648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9673286E-5 | 4.9673286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.046096E-4 | 6.046096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060301796 | 0.0060301796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0032268E-5 | 1.0032268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.2994754E-5 | 4.2994754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.233405E-4 | 5.233405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046527605 | 0.005221591 | 0.005221591 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.286114E-7 | 3.286114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.4083339E-6 | 1.4083339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7146334E-5 | 1.7146334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7145049E-4 | 1.7145049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.670569E-9 | 2.670569E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1445296E-8 | 1.1445296E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3934648E-7 | 1.3934648E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3934649E-6 | 1.3934649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9891587E-5 | 4.9891587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1380492E-4 | 2.1380492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0026001625 | 0.0026001625 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023677798 | 0.025779713 | 0.025789455 | 1.0003779 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9891587E-5 | 4.9891587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1380492E-4 | 2.1380492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0026001625 | 0.0026001625 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023677798 | 0.025779713 | 0.025779713 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.978648E-5 | 2.978648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.276503E-4 | 1.276503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015530632 | 0.0015530632 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015464799 | 0.015464799 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3261857E-5 | 2.3261857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.968994E-5 | 9.968994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012130628 | 0.0012130628 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012017938 | 0.0121071655 | 0.0121071655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9736164E-5 | 1.9736164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.4580875E-5 | 8.4580875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010292958 | 0.0010292958 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.010285878 | 0.010285878 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7162729E-5 | 1.7162729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.3552525E-5 | 7.3552525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.9514104E-4 | 8.9514104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008942414 | 0.008942414 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4367753E-5 | 1.4367753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.157466E-5 | 6.157466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.4941886E-4 | 7.4941886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.007487542 | 0.007487542 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1690823E-5 | 1.1690823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.010259E-5 | 5.010259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.098326E-4 | 6.098326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.0061010495 | 0.0061010495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0624544E-5 | 1.0624544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.553299E-5 | 4.553299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.542272E-4 | 5.542272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0055421595 | 0.0055421595 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.888092E-6 | 7.888092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3805685E-5 | 3.3805685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1150945E-4 | 4.1150945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0041242684 | 0.0041242684 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.1119796E-6 | 5.1119796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1908301E-5 | 2.1908301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6670107E-4 | 2.6670107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026638256 | 0.0026638256 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.1811463E-6 | 4.1811463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7919077E-5 | 1.7919077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1814303E-4 | 2.1814303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021793006 | 0.0021793006 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2853093E-6 | 3.2853093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4079822E-5 | 1.4079822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7140844E-4 | 1.7140844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017127718 | 0.0017127718 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4429178E-6 | 2.4429178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0469606E-5 | 1.0469606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2746007E-4 | 1.2746007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012738766 | 0.0012738766 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7697893E-6 | 1.7697893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.5847897E-6 | 7.5847897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.234095E-5 | 9.234095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.230312E-4 | 9.230312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.392028E-7 | 9.392028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.025149E-6 | 4.025149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.900512E-5 | 4.900512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.899467E-4 | 4.899467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4163874E-7 | 6.4163874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7498775E-6 | 2.7498775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.3479264E-5 | 3.3479264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3474437E-4 | 3.3474437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.45187E-8 | 6.45187E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7650867E-7 | 2.7650867E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3664883E-6 | 3.3664883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.36644E-5 | 3.36644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |