Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.8230443E-40.00350084787.25858550.003029.6485513E-40.00206541920.00608709552.94714780.004030.0116839880.0248499120.0304667761.22603150.005760.110884230.215545120.221153971.02602170.00715
6.12.2521618E-44.8230443E-40.00297110346.16022440.002499.6485513E-40.00206541920.0053785622.6041020.003320.0116839880.0248499120.0293648581.18168850.004630.110884230.215545120.22010281.02114490.00581
6.22.198148E-44.7302322E-40.00295185026.24039130.002489.417233E-40.00202570460.00532899942.63068940.003310.0114053430.0243778840.0288852581.1848960.004620.108374280.21195580.216526451.02156420.0058
6.32.1704129E-44.6735135E-40.0029361976.2826330.002479.298453E-40.0020014340.0052848492.64053130.003290.0112622340.0240899530.0285791381.1863510.00460.1070827250.209844410.214403611.02172660.00577
6.41.876142E-44.0607064E-40.00235527875.80017040.001958.038131E-40.00173915680.00436458272.5095970.002630.009742590.0209667420.0246674881.17650560.003780.0932636860.186597140.190452671.02066230.00474
6.51.7390939E-43.8018977E-40.00217950555.7326780.00187.45113E-40.00162837980.0040444392.48371980.002420.0090340780.0196451580.0230960061.17565910.003520.0867552160.176383990.18000791.02054560.0044
6.61.591791E-43.540676E-40.0019535015.5173110.00166.8201777E-40.00151656060.00370323942.4418670.002190.0082719960.0183094310.0214410241.17103720.003190.079707740.165733320.169070381.02013520.004
6.71.4268003E-43.2540393E-40.00176493535.4238290.001446.1134255E-40.00139385150.00334113352.39705130.001950.0074177230.0168390890.0196017721.16406370.002810.071749560.153784770.156746521.01925910.0035
6.81.239713E-42.9462008E-40.00154425185.24150230.001255.3119735E-40.00126205280.002949922.3373980.001690.00644816740.0152587230.017671341.1581140.002450.062642430.139999020.142647821.01892020.00308
6.91.0180238E-42.657177E-40.00128544674.83764030.001024.3622297E-40.00113829750.00251672672.21095680.001380.0052980890.0137717340.0158033651.14752170.002060.051735430.126248970.128555671.01827110.00264
7.07.6619996E-52.264277E-49.562624E-44.2232577.3E-43.283301E-49.700468E-40.00200903792.07107330.001040.00399009320.0117470880.013278881.13039760.001550.0391920660.108266910.110050381.01647280.002
7.17.5127435E-52.2322981E-49.330713E-44.17986877.1E-43.2193496E-49.5635164E-40.00196538562.05508690.001010.00391251550.0115821340.0130746451.12886320.001510.0384434420.106820540.108562241.0163050.00195
7.26.788582E-52.0442826E-48.342995E-44.08113576.3E-42.9090676E-48.7583E-40.00175505922.00388128.8E-40.00353603860.0106117470.0119375281.12493520.001340.0348030.098469780.099993361.01547270.00169
7.36.399602E-51.9064698E-47.705364E-44.04169235.8E-42.7423984E-48.168056E-40.00160616031.96639247.9E-40.00333375860.0098998650.0111077871.1220140.001220.032841880.09233510.093760131.01543330.00157
7.44.506759E-51.2706876E-44.1703193E-43.28193882.9E-41.9313251E-45.4446765E-49.64239E-41.77097574.2E-40.00234885260.00660892440.00728443031.10221116.8E-40.0232418050.06314620.0639518951.01275928.6E-4
7.53.43289E-59.487125E-53.0485133E-43.21331622.1E-41.4711556E-44.0652804E-46.9641013E-41.7130682.9E-40.00178966030.004938310.00537613731.08865934.4E-40.017753160.04773430.0482390041.01057315.3E-4
7.62.5980507E-57.1793256E-51.7178607E-42.39278861.0E-41.1134028E-43.0764923E-44.5760308E-41.48741831.5E-40.0013547250.0037392210.0039982491.06927322.6E-40.0134649590.036411970.036720321.00846833.2E-4
7.71.7292105E-55.0454913E-59.045289E-51.7927474.0E-57.4106916E-52.1621746E-42.762045E-41.27743846.0E-59.018782E-40.00262927570.0027888551.06069331.6E-40.0089822670.0257665550.0259419181.00680581.8E-4
7.81.2927471E-54.057103E-57.056981E-51.73941393.0E-55.5402274E-51.7386427E-42.1385732E-41.23002454.0E-56.743139E-40.0021147450.00223449151.05662441.2E-40.00672271430.0208297820.0209570751.0061111.3E-4
7.91.0200774E-52.9441304E-55.9440423E-52.01894663.0E-54.371687E-51.2617093E-41.5616714E-41.23774273.0E-55.321229E-40.00153504980.00161492681.05203568.0E-50.0053085050.0153121790.0154008011.00578779.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3868026E-55.386731E-52.25688173.0E-53.70726E-51.0228754E-41.3228446E-41.29326083.0E-54.5126543E-40.00124464020.00132454061.06419568.0E-50.00450350160.012485380.0125742561.00711859.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.5743396E-61.7574264E-52.32023721.0E-51.6871985E-53.2461052E-54.2460728E-51.30805151.0E-52.0539707E-43.9514177E-44.1513387E-41.05059472.0E-50.00205207310.00412295530.0041428731.00483082.0E-5
8.21.7101195E-62.3129637E-62.3129637E-61.00.07.329063E-69.912665E-69.912665E-61.00.08.922769E-51.20680044E-41.20680044E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.00131537990.00131537991.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.8215358E-81.8215358E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.806582E-87.806582E-81.00.01.5834444E-69.504512E-79.504512E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.900502E-69.900502E-61.00.0

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.1374844E-40.00298247955.80533030.002470.00117788690.00219996130.00546276762.48311970.003270.01424676550.0264764340.030896231.16693330.004540.133672490.230782180.235174421.0190320.00571
6.12.5356023E-44.9385853E-40.00296263865.9989620.002470.0010862340.00211485870.0053779432.54293250.003270.0131449280.0254517940.0298762431.17383650.004540.1239401550.221941960.226376891.01998230.0057
6.22.4820742E-44.846856E-40.00294349326.0729950.002460.00106331240.00207560880.00532884242.56736350.003260.012869190.0249855610.0294023771.17677470.004530.121489270.218423860.222871021.02036020.00569
6.32.3205351E-44.6539272E-40.0029042576.2404440.002449.94136E-40.00199305310.00521661532.61739920.003230.0120365990.0240026380.0283946261.18297930.00450.114051330.210193560.214655971.021230.00565
6.42.0304754E-44.050514E-40.00232427385.73821930.001928.6991355E-40.00173479470.00430033642.47887330.002570.0105398690.0209271670.0245203641.17170010.003670.1005376350.18733410.19108051.01999840.00461
6.51.854992E-43.7578188E-40.00214511675.70840930.001777.9475436E-40.00160951260.0039657142.46392250.002360.0096332810.0194260370.0227697941.17212760.003410.09226230.175474230.17900321.02011110.00428
6.61.6586106E-43.45733E-40.00191519015.5395070.001577.106394E-40.00148088180.00360772762.4362020.002130.0086177630.0178845660.020909481.16913560.003080.082911320.162815180.166063461.01995070.00388
6.71.4224656E-43.1241035E-40.00173196675.5438840.001426.094856E-40.0013382230.00323568032.41789320.00190.00739526930.016172080.0188382531.16486280.002710.071539550.14832860.151215761.01946460.00339
6.81.2317259E-42.819011E-40.00151155445.36200240.001235.2777573E-40.00120759450.0028456142.35643170.001640.00640675470.01460478550.0169204641.15855610.002350.062251660.134540980.137111381.01910510.00297
6.99.859898E-52.5315266E-40.00125289954.9491860.0014.2249862E-40.00108449310.00242303992.23426030.001340.00513179460.01312475650.0150689011.1481280.001970.050148930.120636560.122870141.0185150.00254
7.07.3191884E-52.1492963E-49.24777E-44.30269677.1E-43.136418E-49.2080503E-40.00191988422.08500620.0010.0038119040.0111538740.0126074781.13032280.001470.0374717640.102999530.104712811.01663370.00191
7.17.1760296E-52.1191392E-49.017677E-44.25534876.9E-43.0750787E-49.078897E-40.0018770092.06744179.7E-40.0037374820.0109982270.0124124991.1285910.001430.036752450.1016255240.1032964961.01644250.00186
7.26.46614E-51.9352103E-48.134011E-44.2031666.2E-42.7709085E-48.291153E-40.00168840232.03639038.6E-40.00336836280.010048390.0113155281.12610360.001280.0331776250.093411050.0948797241.01572280.00162
7.36.088115E-51.8014856E-47.500459E-44.1634855.7E-42.6089314E-47.7183975E-40.00154124541.99684647.7E-40.00317174760.0093572460.01050639151.12280810.001160.0312685850.0874321160.088800971.01565610.0015
7.44.199346E-51.1670974E-43.9667706E-43.39883422.8E-41.7995955E-45.000896E-48.9988956E-41.79945664.0E-40.00218880570.0060717670.0066880021.10149196.2E-40.021673720.0581525860.0588966421.0127957.9E-4
7.53.130448E-58.468004E-52.846631E-43.36163192.0E-41.3415517E-43.628643E-46.327663E-41.74380982.7E-40.00163211530.0044089850.00478730961.08580773.8E-40.0162018030.0427399240.043180261.01030284.6E-4
7.62.3074248E-56.1938255E-51.5193268E-42.452979.0E-59.888588E-52.654228E-43.9538828E-41.48965471.3E-40.00120327060.00322675770.00342611251.06178182.0E-40.0119677610.0315254140.0317675321.007682.5E-4
7.71.45864815E-54.1005747E-57.100452E-51.73157483.0E-56.2511994E-51.7572711E-42.1572008E-41.22758574.0E-57.608177E-40.0021373840.00223717021.04668621.0E-40.0075821820.0210314470.0211489241.00558581.2E-4
7.81.0352979E-53.1677748E-55.1677114E-51.6313382.0E-54.4369157E-51.3575472E-41.55752E-41.14730452.0E-55.400606E-40.00165156310.00172144761.0423147.0E-50.00538750.0163440950.0164227881.00481478.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.271147E-54.2711017E-51.88059232.0E-53.4876273E-59.733124E-51.173293E-41.20546392.0E-54.2453592E-40.00118436480.00123430561.04216675.0E-50.0042372580.0118788220.0119381091.0049916.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8486959E-53.848659E-52.08182362.0E-52.9733603E-57.922742E-59.922584E-51.25241782.0E-53.6194647E-49.641678E-40.00101411961.05180825.0E-50.00361357510.0097250270.0097844431.00610966.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.594867E-66.594867E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.826341E-52.826341E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.4405282E-43.5404938E-41.02905541.0E-50.00178741480.0035923790.0036023431.00277361.0E-5
8.21.4906886E-62.0196983E-62.0196983E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.655821E-68.655821E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.0537956E-41.0537956E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00115005850.00115005851.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.5346739E-81.5346739E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.577174E-86.577174E-81.00.01.3440151E-68.0077086E-78.0077086E-71.00.01.344007E-58.339268E-68.339268E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.3024378E-40.001279933.87571299.5E-45.110118E-40.00141456760.00273270041.93182730.001320.00620383540.0170877220.019014231.11274220.001960.0603347530.153818520.155942441.01380790.00251
6.11.1925945E-43.3024378E-40.001279933.87571299.5E-45.110118E-40.00141456760.00273270041.93182730.001320.00620383540.0170877220.019014231.11274220.001960.0603347530.153818520.155942441.01380790.00251
6.21.07432395E-43.0523204E-40.00124494514.07868439.4E-44.603433E-40.00130748550.0025858121.97769830.001280.0055902860.0158035680.017673541.11832610.00190.054517310.143011760.145068531.01438190.0024
6.31.0718766E-43.0468495E-40.00124439854.08421379.4E-44.592948E-40.00130514320.00258347281.97945520.001280.0055775860.0157754640.0176454911.11854020.00190.0543965550.14278030.144837631.01440910.0024
6.41.0355944E-42.967621E-40.00123648314.166589.4E-44.4375064E-40.00127122170.00254959452.00562550.001280.00538928850.0153683660.017229321.12108990.001890.0526044960.139333740.141390741.01476310.00239
6.51.0227914E-42.939552E-40.00123367894.19682659.4E-44.382655E-40.00125920380.00253759182.01523540.001280.00532283540.0152241020.0170853291.12225520.001890.0519713160.138107540.140158831.0148530.00238
6.61.0116757E-42.9161153E-40.00123133744.22252669.4E-44.3350324E-40.00124916910.00252757012.02340130.001280.00526513670.015103630.0169650841.12324550.001890.0514212470.137085810.139139551.01498140.00238
6.71.0050676E-42.9019636E-40.00121992654.20379649.3E-44.3067214E-40.00124310990.0025115312.02036120.001270.0052308340.01503087950.0168826231.12319590.001880.0510940850.136470450.1385171.01499640.00237
6.89.976819E-52.8822725E-40.00121795924.2256919.3E-44.2750788E-40.00123467880.00250311082.02733760.001270.00519249360.0149296430.0167815761.1240440.001880.0507282950.135620950.137669531.01510510.00237
6.99.77719E-52.8317544E-40.00119291784.21264559.1E-44.1895514E-40.00121304860.00245154442.0209780.001240.00508885550.0146698710.0164927321.12425880.001850.0497388880.133444950.13547271.01519540.00234
7.08.500761E-52.5036334E-49.801806E-43.91503247.3E-43.6426744E-40.00107254790.00211143241.96861370.001040.00442594060.0129808760.0145107551.11785640.001550.043388230.119248950.121010451.01477160.002
7.18.319876E-52.463602E-49.561853E-43.8812497.1E-43.5651738E-40.00105540550.00206433961.95596810.001010.0043319630.0127746350.0142653451.1166930.001510.0424848460.117459290.119180241.01465150.00195
7.27.563917E-52.2676474E-48.566219E-43.77757986.3E-43.2412758E-49.7149E-40.0018506351.9049458.8E-40.00393911450.0117644490.0130886851.11256250.001340.038700180.1088456960.110351741.01383660.00169
7.37.082985E-52.0982775E-47.897061E-43.7635925.8E-43.0352117E-48.989548E-40.00168824461.87800847.9E-40.00368910960.01089048850.0120972021.11080430.001220.036284650.101338270.102749161.01392270.00157
7.45.146215E-51.4480406E-44.3476207E-43.00241642.9E-42.2053342E-46.2044215E-40.00104018151.67651674.2E-40.00268168840.00752791340.0082027941.08965056.8E-40.026495570.071753790.0725520851.01112548.6E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.11218105E-43.2119476E-42.88797192.1E-41.7263928E-44.7656227E-47.6642405E-41.60823492.9E-40.0020998570.00578678170.00622423551.07559544.4E-40.0208012540.0558136030.056314021.00896585.3E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.592485E-51.8591626E-42.16370771.0E-41.3357346E-43.681975E-45.1814225E-41.407241.5E-40.00162504370.00447361780.00473245471.05785852.6E-40.0161321160.043502090.0438081661.0070363.2E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.370474E-51.03702194E-41.62785674.0E-59.4715084E-52.729918E-43.329754E-41.21972686.0E-50.0011525460.00331861640.00347808541.04805291.6E-40.0114658670.0324977340.0326718841.00535881.8E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.2933967E-58.2932376E-51.56671383.0E-57.493296E-52.2684014E-42.6683108E-41.17629564.0E-59.1192697E-40.0027582840.0028779531.04338531.2E-40.0090819380.0271567010.0272831711.0046571.3E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.914106E-56.913989E-51.76642853.0E-55.985842E-51.6773662E-41.977316E-41.17882183.0E-57.2853256E-40.0020402820.00212011861.03913028.0E-50.00726148770.0203327240.0204208941.00433649.0E-5
8.01.1887396E-53.1848886E-56.184793E-51.94191813.0E-55.094499E-51.3648809E-41.66484E-41.21976943.0E-56.200787E-40.00166047690.00174034411.04809898.0E-50.0061835130.0166435150.0167320171.00531769.0E-5
8.15.100864E-69.286597E-61.9286503E-52.07681081.0E-52.1860664E-53.979909E-54.9798695E-51.2512521.0E-52.6612106E-44.8444635E-45.0443667E-41.04126432.0E-50.0026580260.00507342680.0050933251.00392212.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.9113291E-62.9113291E-61.00.09.859027E-61.2477066E-51.2477066E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.5189772E-41.5189772E-41.00.00.00119962230.00166182850.00166182851.00.0
8.31.0424446E-76.1549734E-86.1549734E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.6378456E-72.6378456E-71.00.05.439312E-63.2115724E-63.2115724E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.3716326E-53.3716326E-51.00.0

Elmore Ranch

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.102099E-58.985221E-50.001109760612.3509540.001023.9003167E-43.850306E-40.001814484.712560.001430.00473830.0046783220.0065694331.40422860.00190.0463853480.045995280.048151331.04687550.00226
6.13.8306698E-54.1652904E-54.616354E-411.0829114.2E-41.6416123E-41.7850264E-47.3840265E-44.13664875.6E-40.00199683060.00217154920.0029398771.35381567.7E-40.0197898280.021681690.0226110931.04286589.5E-4
6.23.8306698E-54.1652904E-54.616354E-411.0829114.2E-41.6416123E-41.7850264E-47.3840265E-44.13664875.6E-40.00199683060.00217154920.0029398771.35381567.7E-40.0197898280.021681690.0226110931.04286589.5E-4
6.33.3197924E-53.6686484E-53.9667328E-410.8125183.6E-41.4226905E-41.5722112E-46.3714565E-44.0525454.8E-40.00173074950.00191303120.00258174961.34955956.7E-40.0171733180.0191318340.0199361461.04204058.2E-4
6.42.5148964E-52.7518634E-53.2751038E-411.9014033.0E-41.0777682E-41.1793534E-45.078894E-44.30650663.9E-40.00131139290.00143556840.00195482191.36170595.2E-40.013036810.0144213060.0150619331.04442216.5E-4
6.52.5148964E-52.7518634E-53.2751038E-411.9014033.0E-41.0777682E-41.1793534E-45.078894E-44.30650663.9E-40.00131139290.00143556840.00195482191.36170595.2E-40.013036810.0144213060.0150619331.04442216.5E-4

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3643793E-47.763103E-43.28335745.4E-43.5633717E-40.00101290650.00176214681.73969347.5E-40.0043297780.0122623290.0134081061.09343860.001160.0424638280.113647980.114933191.01130870.00145
6.18.31567E-52.3643793E-47.763103E-43.28335745.4E-43.5633717E-40.00101290650.00176214681.73969347.5E-40.0043297780.0122623290.0134081061.09343860.001160.0424638280.113647980.114933191.01130870.00145
6.28.31567E-52.3643793E-47.763103E-43.28335745.4E-43.5633717E-40.00101290650.00176214681.73969347.5E-40.0043297780.0122623290.0134081061.09343860.001160.0424638280.113647980.114933191.01130870.00145
6.38.31567E-52.3643793E-47.763103E-43.28335745.4E-43.5633717E-40.00101290650.00176214681.73969347.5E-40.0043297780.0122623290.0134081061.09343860.001160.0424638280.113647980.114933191.01130870.00145
6.48.059055E-52.3199944E-47.7187415E-43.32705195.4E-43.4534236E-49.939035E-40.0017431581.75385057.5E-40.00419643940.0120338770.0131799181.09523450.001160.0411807450.111625870.112914011.01153980.00145
6.58.059055E-52.3199944E-47.7187415E-43.32705195.4E-43.4534236E-49.939035E-40.0017431581.75385057.5E-40.00419643940.0120338770.0131799181.09523450.001160.0411807450.111625870.112914011.01153980.00145
6.67.619237E-52.244252E-47.64304E-43.4056075.4E-43.2649786E-49.6147007E-40.0017107491.77930557.5E-40.00396786770.0116436280.0127901211.09846530.001160.038977640.108157990.109451171.01195630.00145
6.77.440636E-52.2117831E-47.610589E-43.4409295.4E-43.188454E-49.47565E-40.00169685441.79075247.5E-40.00387503460.0114761260.0126228141.09991940.001160.0380815640.106666110.107961441.01214390.00145
6.87.3735864E-52.1964352E-47.5952493E-43.4579895.4E-43.1597257E-49.4099215E-40.00169028631.79628117.5E-40.00384018150.0113969430.0125437221.10062170.001160.037744950.105965580.1072619261.01223370.00145
6.97.27575E-52.1732651E-47.5720914E-43.48420055.4E-43.117806E-49.3106914E-40.00168037091.80477567.5E-40.0037893230.0112773870.0124243061.10170070.001160.0372535620.10491170.1062095761.01237120.00145
7.07.102591E-52.1315612E-47.53041E-43.53281455.4E-43.0436125E-49.1320864E-40.00166252371.820537.5E-40.0036993030.0110621620.012209331.1037020.001160.036383250.1030112060.1043118461.01262620.00145
7.17.028513E-52.1150513E-47.5139094E-43.55258975.4E-43.0118722E-49.061379E-40.00165545841.82693857.5E-40.00366078970.0109769470.0121242131.1045160.001160.0360106860.102251950.103553681.01273070.00145
7.26.8498244E-52.0757235E-47.374623E-43.55279665.3E-42.9353087E-48.892947E-40.00161864551.82014527.3E-40.0035678830.0107739240.0119016421.1046710.001140.0351114050.100441270.1017276351.01280710.00143
7.36.622592E-51.998109E-47.0970895E-43.55190355.1E-42.8379448E-48.5605355E-40.00155545431.81700597.0E-40.00344972430.0103731360.0114716221.10589720.001110.0339666120.096927120.0981914251.01304390.0014
7.45.1050705E-51.490288E-44.2898708E-42.87855152.8E-42.1877038E-46.3853944E-40.00104827761.64168044.1E-40.0026602760.00774670350.0084115131.08581846.7E-40.026286540.0737868250.0745741051.01066978.5E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.13162016E-43.1313938E-42.76717762.0E-41.6843023E-44.8489025E-47.647545E-41.57717032.8E-40.00204870920.00588763040.00631509861.07260444.3E-40.0202992470.0568311960.0573216451.00862995.2E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.653761E-51.7652982E-42.039929.0E-51.2792926E-43.708229E-45.10771E-41.37739871.4E-40.00155642590.0045054490.0047543231.05523842.5E-40.01545569950.0439022260.0441986171.00675123.1E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.490172E-59.489977E-51.46220733.0E-59.0576345E-52.781206E-43.281067E-41.17972825.0E-50.00110220910.00338086650.00353035941.04421731.5E-40.0109675820.0331983860.0333724131.0052421.8E-4
7.81.883379E-55.6889374E-58.688767E-51.52730933.0E-58.0713755E-52.4378883E-42.8377908E-41.16403644.0E-59.822468E-40.00296409270.00308373691.04036461.2E-40.00977916550.0292585470.0293847431.00431311.3E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.267122E-57.266994E-51.703023.0E-56.495346E-51.8286385E-42.1285836E-41.16402653.0E-57.9052144E-40.00222409560.00230391771.03588968.0E-50.0078771520.0222228880.0223108881.00395999.0E-5
8.01.1405907E-53.0735053E-56.073413E-51.97605423.0E-54.8881542E-51.31715E-41.6171105E-41.22773443.0E-55.9497025E-40.00160245170.00168232351.04984358.0E-50.0059337980.0161250330.0162135811.00549149.0E-5
8.14.3511436E-67.6388615E-61.7638786E-52.30908561.0E-51.8647626E-53.273757E-54.2737243E-51.30544951.0E-52.2701119E-43.9850714E-44.1849917E-41.05016732.0E-50.00226779420.00425052360.0042704391.00468532.0E-5
8.22.3042528E-62.8575555E-62.8575555E-61.00.09.875332E-61.2246609E-51.2246609E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.490923E-41.490923E-41.00.00.00120160510.00166298790.00166298791.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.342902E-73.342902E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.4326716E-61.4326716E-61.00.02.714798E-51.7442651E-51.7442651E-51.00.02.7144665E-42.059293E-42.059293E-41.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0307236E-44.9301476E-41.62672291.9E-45.2857865E-40.00129826130.00157789781.21539312.8E-40.0064164720.0156967830.0161003471.025714.1E-40.062343370.144148170.14457611.00296875.0E-4
6.11.2336002E-43.0307236E-44.9301476E-41.62672291.9E-45.2857865E-40.00129826130.00157789781.21539312.8E-40.0064164720.0156967830.0161003471.025714.1E-40.062343370.144148170.14457611.00296875.0E-4
6.21.2336002E-43.0307236E-44.9301476E-41.62672291.9E-45.2857865E-40.00129826130.00157789781.21539312.8E-40.0064164720.0156967830.0161003471.025714.1E-40.062343370.144148170.14457611.00296875.0E-4
6.31.1712257E-42.909264E-44.8087112E-41.65289621.9E-45.018573E-40.00124625760.00152590861.22439272.8E-40.0060930080.0150725160.0154763371.02679184.1E-40.0592863220.138854160.139284731.00310095.0E-4
6.41.1712257E-42.909264E-44.8087112E-41.65289621.9E-45.018573E-40.00124625760.00152590861.22439272.8E-40.0060930080.0150725160.0154763371.02679184.1E-40.0592863220.138854160.139284731.00310095.0E-4
6.51.0689076E-42.7100524E-44.6095374E-41.70090351.9E-44.5802278E-40.0011609590.00144063391.24089992.8E-40.00556217830.0140477330.0144519731.02877624.1E-40.054250030.130108210.130543161.0033435.0E-4
6.69.7648895E-52.5340615E-44.43358E-41.74959441.9E-44.1842813E-40.00108559810.0013553051.24844092.7E-40.0050824690.0131414670.013536211.0300384.0E-40.0496778860.122255320.122685421.0035184.9E-4
6.78.757013E-52.3406722E-44.2402276E-41.81154261.9E-43.7524657E-40.0010027820.00127251131.2689812.7E-40.004559060.0121446540.0125397961.03253634.0E-40.044666560.113530660.113965031.0038264.9E-4
6.88.562978E-52.2964511E-44.1960148E-41.82717361.9E-43.6693315E-49.838445E-40.00125357891.27416362.7E-40.0044582630.0119166270.012311861.03316654.0E-40.0436987580.111539820.111975161.0039034.9E-4
6.96.124075E-51.7324586E-43.6321295E-42.09651731.9E-42.6243398E-47.4227183E-40.00100207891.3500162.6E-40.00319045270.0089999250.0093864161.04294373.9E-40.0314503460.085288440.0857183561.00504084.7E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6751072E-43.574789E-42.13406591.9E-42.5111332E-47.1770634E-49.775198E-41.36200512.6E-40.00305301860.0087032660.0090898721.04442073.9E-40.030114140.082597940.083029121.00522024.7E-4
7.15.613814E-51.6167016E-43.5163944E-42.17504241.9E-42.4056983E-46.926889E-49.4251573E-41.36066232.5E-40.00292500390.0084010620.008777871.04485243.8E-40.0288680210.0798849760.080308231.00529834.6E-4
7.24.991222E-51.4767786E-43.376498E-42.28639411.9E-42.1389198E-46.32752E-48.825938E-41.39484952.5E-40.0026010250.0076766510.0080537331.04912083.8E-40.0257079120.073318770.073745041.0058144.6E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.3956826E-43.2954174E-42.3611511.9E-42.0317009E-45.9801294E-48.4786344E-41.41780112.5E-40.00247078970.00725659080.0076338331.05198623.8E-40.0244349820.069584250.070012241.00615074.6E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.336088E-43.235834E-42.42187211.9E-41.952286E-45.724838E-48.2234066E-41.43644362.5E-40.0023743170.00694779730.0073251571.05431353.8E-40.0234910860.0668254350.067254691.00642364.6E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2591327E-43.1588934E-42.50878521.9E-41.8463485E-45.39517E-47.8938215E-41.46312742.5E-40.00224561150.00654891040.00692642151.0576453.8E-40.0222305450.0632104950.063641421.00681724.6E-4
7.63.408608E-51.0043632E-41.8042828E-41.79644458.0E-51.4607502E-44.3037048E-45.4032315E-41.25548371.1E-40.00177701250.0052271990.00542615351.03806142.0E-40.0176286960.0509396420.051176911.00465772.5E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.439889E-51.1439635E-41.35542493.0E-51.2134742E-43.616594E-44.0164494E-41.11056134.0E-50.00147640340.0043943230.0045237521.02945361.3E-40.014666330.0431227050.0432662371.00332841.5E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.6407625E-51.06405336E-41.3926013.0E-51.1237934E-43.274202E-43.6740708E-41.12212724.0E-50.00136735970.0039790610.00409858351.03003791.2E-40.0135897680.0392321760.0393570741.00318361.3E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.9346246E-58.934447E-51.5054783.0E-59.200973E-52.5431628E-42.8430865E-41.11793343.0E-50.00111964280.00309190760.00317166021.0257948.0E-50.0111401840.0308188960.0309061241.00283039.0E-5
8.01.2420249E-53.2140626E-56.213966E-51.93336823.0E-55.322855E-51.3773827E-41.6773414E-41.21777443.0E-56.478649E-40.00167567460.00175554051.0476628.0E-50.00645979350.0169048140.0169932941.00523399.0E-5
8.14.9197724E-68.119046E-61.8118964E-52.23166181.0E-52.1084568E-53.4795445E-54.4795095E-51.28738391.0E-52.566744E-44.2355232E-44.4354386E-41.04719972.0E-50.0025637810.00453315070.004553061.00439192.0E-5
8.22.5634774E-63.0428391E-63.0428391E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.3040674E-51.3040674E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5875869E-41.5875869E-41.00.00.00133669340.00177635070.00177635071.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.394981E-73.394981E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.4549911E-61.4549911E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.7714387E-51.7714387E-51.00.02.7572823E-42.09167E-42.09167E-41.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.2043943E-43.704234E-41.15598575.0E-56.115894E-40.0013725950.0014424991.05092827.0E-50.00742070840.016584820.0167521.01008031.7E-40.071777480.152046130.15222421.00117112.1E-4
6.11.4273766E-43.2043943E-43.704234E-41.15598575.0E-56.115894E-40.0013725950.0014424991.05092827.0E-50.00742070840.016584820.0167521.01008031.7E-40.071777480.152046130.15222421.00117112.1E-4
6.21.4273766E-43.2043943E-43.704234E-41.15598575.0E-56.115894E-40.0013725950.0014424991.05092827.0E-50.00742070840.016584820.0167521.01008031.7E-40.071777480.152046130.15222421.00117112.1E-4
6.31.3730655E-43.0946604E-43.5945058E-41.16151865.0E-55.883239E-40.00132561460.00139552181.05273577.0E-50.00713934420.016021350.0161787871.00982671.6E-40.069142910.147349240.147519771.00115732.0E-4
6.41.3730655E-43.0946604E-43.5945058E-41.16151865.0E-55.883239E-40.00132561460.00139552181.05273577.0E-50.00713934420.016021350.0161787871.00982671.6E-40.069142910.147349240.147519771.00115732.0E-4
6.51.2942807E-42.9357936E-43.435647E-41.17026175.0E-55.545738E-40.00125759570.00132750781.05559187.0E-50.00673105240.0152050060.0153625731.01036291.6E-40.065307880.140476120.140648041.00122372.0E-4
6.61.1125901E-42.5788503E-43.0787213E-41.19383495.0E-54.767372E-40.00110475580.00117467841.06329247.0E-50.0057888390.0133680980.0135259591.01180881.6E-40.0564034540.124823040.124998081.00140232.0E-4
6.71.02209575E-42.3920357E-42.891916E-41.2089775.0E-54.3796748E-40.00102475680.0010946851.06823897.0E-50.00531922470.01240547650.0125634911.01273751.6E-40.0519369060.1166153850.116792061.0015152.0E-4
6.89.610582E-52.2440616E-42.7439493E-41.22276035.0E-54.1181705E-49.613869E-40.00103131961.07274157.0E-50.00500235150.0116423420.011800481.0135831.6E-40.0489123460.109976920.110154921.00161852.0E-4
6.99.3877505E-52.1894442E-42.6893348E-41.22831855.0E-54.0227012E-49.3799643E-40.00100793071.07455727.0E-50.00488664540.0113605630.0115187461.01392381.6E-40.047805770.107560580.107739071.00165942.0E-4
7.09.1019785E-52.1218756E-42.6217694E-41.23559065.0E-53.900265E-49.0905896E-49.789953E-41.07693277.0E-50.00473823770.011011860.0111700991.01436981.6E-40.0463847440.10452990.1047091.00171332.0E-4
7.18.771155E-52.0390356E-42.5389338E-41.24516395.0E-53.758525E-48.735803E-49.335279E-41.06862286.0E-50.00456640640.0105841770.010732591.01402211.5E-40.0447370560.1008352340.1010060761.00169431.9E-4
7.28.0830236E-51.8789594E-42.3788655E-41.26605475.0E-53.4636928E-48.0502E-48.6497166E-41.07447236.0E-50.00420889440.0097571840.0099057211.01522331.5E-40.0413006580.093549250.093721481.00184111.9E-4
7.37.7668235E-51.7726197E-42.2725311E-41.28201845.0E-53.328214E-47.5947307E-48.194275E-41.07894226.0E-50.00404457330.0092074670.0093560861.01614121.5E-40.039717480.088798970.08897211.00194971.9E-4
7.47.520177E-51.6940947E-42.19401E-41.29509295.0E-53.2225347E-47.2583865E-47.857951E-41.0826036.0E-50.00391637950.008801350.00895002951.01689281.5E-40.0384807440.085243250.0854170551.0020391.9E-4
7.57.274697E-51.622353E-42.1222718E-41.30814435.0E-53.1173544E-46.951089E-47.550672E-41.08625756.0E-50.0037887750.0084301730.0085789091.01764321.5E-40.037248270.08194650.0821209251.00212861.9E-4
7.67.1185845E-51.5790135E-42.0789345E-41.31660345.0E-53.0504653E-46.765446E-47.3650404E-41.08862596.0E-50.00370761780.0082058780.0083546471.01812961.5E-40.0364636670.079926480.08010131.00218711.9E-4
7.76.709961E-51.4687856E-41.7687416E-41.20422043.0E-52.8753807E-46.293277E-46.693026E-41.06351984.0E-50.0034951570.0076351890.0077641971.01689651.3E-40.0344069380.074714970.074863021.00198151.6E-4
7.86.300812E-51.355166E-41.6551252E-41.22134513.0E-52.7000686E-45.8065617E-46.2063296E-41.06884754.0E-50.00328237870.0070466050.00716575931.01690951.2E-40.0323431750.0692941840.069415181.0017461.3E-4
7.94.983037E-59.9978875E-51.2997587E-41.30003333.0E-52.1354125E-44.2841054E-44.583977E-41.06999623.0E-50.00259676480.00520343570.0052830191.01529448.0E-50.0256662960.0519259160.0520112441.00164329.0E-5
8.03.2211527E-55.4925804E-58.4924155E-51.54616143.0E-51.380421E-42.3537508E-42.65368E-41.12742613.0E-50.00167936690.00286192750.00294169851.02787328.0E-50.0166673230.029150420.0292377971.00299749.0E-5
8.11.743376E-51.9576099E-52.9575904E-51.5108171.0E-57.471398E-58.389487E-59.389403E-51.11918681.0E-59.0926304E-40.00102094210.00104092171.01956982.0E-50.0090555170.0108745230.0108943051.00181912.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.431537E-65.431537E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.327781E-52.327781E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.8337055E-42.8337055E-41.00.00.0040781030.00319198680.00319198681.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.1618333E-78.1618333E-71.00.08.498917E-63.497924E-63.497924E-61.00.01.034694E-44.258641E-54.258641E-51.00.00.00103421245.0070725E-45.0070725E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.4193904E-59.6455646E-51.2645275E-41.31099383.0E-52.7508775E-44.133206E-44.433082E-41.07255293.0E-50.00334405010.0050219730.00514137051.0237751.2E-40.032941740.049047910.0492190831.00348991.8E-4
6.16.4193904E-59.6455646E-51.2645275E-41.31099383.0E-52.7508775E-44.133206E-44.433082E-41.07255293.0E-50.00334405010.0050219730.00514137051.0237751.2E-40.032941740.049047910.0492190831.00348991.8E-4
6.25.7023593E-58.357701E-51.0357534E-41.23928022.0E-52.4436394E-43.581471E-43.7813996E-41.0558232.0E-50.0029710720.00435337140.00446289271.02515781.1E-40.0293166250.042719590.0428727571.00358531.6E-4
6.35.6940098E-58.342213E-51.03420454E-41.23972452.0E-52.4400617E-43.574835E-43.7747636E-41.05592672.0E-50.0029667280.00434532440.00445484651.02520451.1E-40.0292743310.042642860.0427960381.00359211.6E-4
6.45.4171585E-57.790686E-59.79053E-51.25669682.0E-52.3214328E-43.3385312E-43.5384644E-41.05988662.0E-50.00282268130.0040587380.0041583321.02453821.0E-40.027870960.0399287050.0400631171.00336621.4E-4
6.54.375144E-55.68066E-56.680603E-51.17602591.0E-51.874927E-42.4344078E-42.5343834E-41.04106771.0E-50.00228033380.00296104020.00303083291.02357037.0E-50.0225707570.0294324980.0295295551.00329761.0E-4
6.62.772192E-52.5855194E-53.5854937E-51.38675951.0E-51.1880282E-41.1080338E-41.2080227E-41.090241.0E-50.00144546460.0013482160.0013881621.02962894.0E-50.0143609860.0137314950.0137808071.00359135.0E-5
6.72.7124124E-52.5064433E-53.5064182E-51.39896171.0E-51.1624106E-41.07414686E-41.1741361E-41.09308721.0E-50.00141431610.00130700870.00134695641.03056424.0E-50.0140534870.0133241550.0133734891.00370265.0E-5
6.82.5475807E-52.2520853E-53.2520627E-51.44402291.0E-51.0917746E-49.6514435E-51.0651347E-41.10360151.0E-50.0013284250.0011744420.00119441851.01700942.0E-50.01320511850.0120085610.0120382011.00246823.0E-5
6.92.1162023E-51.7956223E-52.7956043E-51.55691.0E-59.069123E-57.6952994E-58.695223E-51.12993941.0E-50.00110360649.365039E-49.464945E-41.0106681.0E-50.0109814170.0096196970.0096296011.00102951.0E-5
7.01.8754288E-51.6477443E-51.6477443E-51.00.08.037304E-57.0615715E-57.0615715E-51.00.09.781026E-48.5940975E-48.5940975E-41.00.00.0097380870.0088356390.0088356391.00.0
7.11.8678527E-51.6402306E-51.6402306E-51.00.08.0048376E-57.029371E-57.029371E-51.00.09.7415317E-48.554925E-48.554925E-41.00.00.0096989390.0087964790.0087964791.00.0
7.21.7804578E-51.5693702E-51.5693702E-51.00.07.6303106E-56.725701E-56.725701E-51.00.09.285943E-48.185487E-48.185487E-41.00.00.0092472360.0084262880.0084262881.00.0
7.31.6583685E-51.4839357E-51.4839357E-51.00.07.1070994E-56.3595704E-56.3595704E-51.00.08.649459E-47.7400473E-47.7400473E-41.00.00.008615870.0079797980.0079797981.00.0
7.41.6387552E-51.4703678E-51.4703678E-51.00.07.023047E-56.301425E-56.301425E-51.00.08.5472054E-47.669305E-47.669305E-41.00.00.0085144050.0079088920.0079088921.00.0
7.51.5790754E-51.4341376E-51.4341376E-51.00.06.767291E-56.146161E-56.146161E-51.00.08.236062E-47.4804015E-47.4804015E-41.00.00.0082056040.00771793860.00771793861.00.0
7.61.4248672E-51.3350202E-51.3350202E-51.00.06.106431E-55.7213903E-55.7213903E-51.00.07.432043E-46.9635845E-46.9635845E-41.00.00.0074072370.00719528130.00719528131.00.0
7.71.15449975E-51.1186989E-51.1186989E-51.00.04.947762E-54.7943362E-54.7943362E-51.00.06.022235E-45.835549E-45.835549E-41.00.00.0060059410.00605913860.00605913861.00.0
7.89.1391985E-69.786647E-69.786647E-61.00.03.9167408E-54.19421E-54.19421E-51.00.04.767588E-45.1052606E-45.1052606E-41.00.00.00475737270.00532007960.00532007961.00.0
7.96.973017E-67.6244696E-67.6244696E-61.00.02.9884017E-53.2675893E-53.2675893E-51.00.03.6377716E-43.9775693E-43.9775693E-41.00.00.00363182250.0041794890.0041794891.00.0
8.05.7638235E-66.481688E-66.481688E-61.00.02.4701867E-52.777837E-52.777837E-51.00.03.0070372E-43.3814972E-43.3814972E-41.00.00.00300297140.0035704310.0035704311.00.0
8.15.1124434E-65.697998E-65.697998E-61.00.02.1910288E-52.4419765E-52.4419765E-51.00.02.6672508E-42.972706E-42.972706E-41.00.00.00266405170.00314723280.00314723281.00.0
8.21.1075938E-65.618803E-75.618803E-71.00.04.7468216E-62.4080564E-62.4080564E-61.00.05.779102E-52.9317716E-52.9317716E-51.00.05.777599E-43.2918027E-43.2918027E-41.00.0
8.31.3584393E-84.740131E-94.740131E-91.00.05.8218827E-82.0314847E-82.0314847E-81.00.07.0881396E-72.4733328E-72.4733328E-71.00.07.0881174E-62.7664073E-62.7664073E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.8030285E-47.202756E-41.05875734.0E-50.00133063760.00291245430.00296230871.01711765.0E-50.0160806050.034851810.034986931.0038771.4E-40.14965490.288510470.288631441.00041931.7E-4
6.13.1064058E-46.8030285E-47.202756E-41.05875734.0E-50.00133063760.00291245430.00296230871.01711765.0E-50.0160806050.034851810.034986931.0038771.4E-40.14965490.288510470.288631441.00041931.7E-4
6.23.1064058E-46.8030285E-47.202756E-41.05875734.0E-50.00133063760.00291245430.00296230871.01711765.0E-50.0160806050.034851810.034986931.0038771.4E-40.14965490.288510470.288631441.00041931.7E-4
6.33.1064058E-46.8030285E-47.202756E-41.05875734.0E-50.00133063760.00291245430.00296230871.01711765.0E-50.0160806050.034851810.034986931.0038771.4E-40.14965490.288510470.288631441.00041931.7E-4
6.41.9872203E-44.372194E-44.772019E-41.09144724.0E-58.5138786E-40.001872480.00192238651.02665265.0E-50.0103164780.0225653370.0227021781.00606421.4E-40.0985048560.199014250.199150431.00068431.7E-4
6.51.291105E-42.92684E-43.326723E-41.13662614.0E-55.5321335E-40.00125375980.00130369711.03983015.0E-50.0067145920.0151585380.0152964151.00909571.4E-40.0651529650.140124530.140270711.00104321.7E-4
6.61.291105E-42.92684E-43.326723E-41.13662614.0E-55.5321335E-40.00125375980.00130369711.03983015.0E-50.0067145920.0151585380.0152964151.00909571.4E-40.0651529650.140124530.140270711.00104321.7E-4
6.71.08001186E-42.4841944E-42.884095E-41.1609784.0E-54.6278012E-40.00106422090.00111416761.04693275.0E-50.00561980160.01288022750.0130184251.01072941.4E-40.0547979060.1213182660.1214676351.00123131.7E-4
6.81.0624356E-42.4358188E-42.8357212E-41.16417594.0E-54.5525006E-40.00104350520.0010934531.04786545.0E-50.00552859250.0126309560.0127691891.01094391.4E-40.0539305660.11926690.119416621.00125541.7E-4
6.91.0393785E-42.3726645E-42.7725697E-41.16854684.0E-54.4537184E-40.00101646040.00106640961.04914035.0E-50.00540892870.0123054470.0124437241.0112371.4E-40.052791560.116558730.116708921.00128851.7E-4
7.01.0155622E-42.3093997E-42.7093073E-41.17316524.0E-54.3516833E-49.893677E-40.00103931831.05048735.0E-50.0052853110.0119792620.0121175851.01154691.4E-40.051613610.113820820.113971471.00132361.7E-4
7.19.885595E-52.2379962E-42.637907E-41.17869134.0E-54.2359953E-49.58789E-40.00100874111.05209915.0E-50.00514513530.01161098850.0117493631.01191761.4E-40.050276290.110703830.110855011.00136571.7E-4
7.29.6411415E-52.1740654E-42.5739786E-41.18394714.0E-54.1312634E-49.3140994E-49.813634E-41.0536325.0E-50.0050182190.0112811480.0114195681.01227011.4E-40.0490640070.107892760.1080444161.00140561.7E-4
7.39.1180635E-51.995596E-42.395516E-41.20040144.0E-53.907156E-48.5497514E-49.0493244E-41.05843135.0E-50.0047465910.0103597620.0104983111.01337391.4E-40.0464647860.100059390.100212381.0015291.7E-4
7.48.887388E-51.9199077E-42.3198308E-41.20830334.0E-53.8083247E-48.225582E-48.7251706E-41.0607365.0E-50.00462678170.0099687650.0101073691.01390391.4E-40.0453162860.096683540.09683711.00158831.7E-4
7.58.6750515E-51.8525509E-42.2524768E-41.21587854.0E-53.7173493E-47.937089E-48.4366923E-41.06294545.0E-50.0045164840.0096206820.0097593351.01441191.4E-40.044257870.093634910.0937891.00164561.7E-4
7.68.453092E-51.7907054E-42.1906338E-41.22333564.0E-53.6222505E-47.672195E-48.171812E-41.06512035.0E-50.00440117530.0093009730.00943967051.01491221.4E-40.043150240.0907744240.0909289941.00170281.7E-4
7.78.259102E-51.7424121E-42.04236E-41.17214513.0E-53.539135E-47.4653444E-47.865046E-41.0535414.0E-50.0043003860.0090512530.0091800761.01423261.3E-40.0421811340.088507030.0886528641.00164771.6E-4
7.87.444844E-51.5704986E-41.8704514E-41.19099213.0E-53.1902574E-46.728972E-47.1287033E-41.05940454.0E-50.00387722230.0081618030.0082808241.01458261.2E-40.038102690.0801721660.080291741.00149151.3E-4
7.95.2586525E-51.0294494E-41.3294184E-41.29138793.0E-52.2535135E-44.4111803E-44.7110478E-41.0679793.0E-50.00274020060.0053573990.00543697041.01485268.0E-50.0270665740.053543090.0536282731.00159089.0E-5
8.03.379877E-55.5752047E-58.575038E-51.53806693.0E-51.4484383E-42.3891547E-42.689083E-41.12553743.0E-50.00176204710.00290491780.00298468561.02745958.0E-50.0174814090.0296551440.0297424761.00294489.0E-5
8.11.8668277E-52.0101308E-53.0101108E-51.497471.0E-58.000444E-58.614562E-59.614476E-51.11607251.0E-59.736188E-40.0010483190.0010682981.01905812.0E-50.0096936420.01121258550.0112323611.00176372.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.7615766E-65.7615766E-61.00.03.660622E-52.4692237E-52.4692237E-51.00.04.455896E-43.005866E-43.005866E-41.00.00.00444697170.00340505040.00340505041.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.1618333E-78.1618333E-71.00.08.498917E-63.497924E-63.497924E-61.00.01.034694E-44.258641E-54.258641E-51.00.00.00103421245.0070725E-45.0070725E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9910929E-42.291033E-41.15064113.0E-54.2326056E-48.530466E-48.930125E-41.04685084.0E-50.00514102770.0103365210.0104552811.01148931.2E-40.050237080.100544550.100661481.0011631.3E-4
6.19.877682E-51.9910929E-42.291033E-41.15064113.0E-54.2326056E-48.530466E-48.930125E-41.04685084.0E-50.00514102770.0103365210.0104552811.01148931.2E-40.050237080.100544550.100661481.0011631.3E-4
6.29.877682E-51.9910929E-42.291033E-41.15064113.0E-54.2326056E-48.530466E-48.930125E-41.04685084.0E-50.00514102770.0103365210.0104552811.01148931.2E-40.050237080.100544550.100661481.0011631.3E-4
6.39.877682E-51.9910929E-42.291033E-41.15064113.0E-54.2326056E-48.530466E-48.930125E-41.04685084.0E-50.00514102770.0103365210.0104552811.01148931.2E-40.050237080.100544550.100661481.0011631.3E-4
6.49.877682E-51.9910929E-42.291033E-41.15064113.0E-54.2326056E-48.530466E-48.930125E-41.04685084.0E-50.00514102770.0103365210.0104552811.01148931.2E-40.050237080.100544550.100661481.0011631.3E-4
6.59.861474E-51.9884543E-42.2883946E-41.1508413.0E-54.2256617E-48.5191656E-48.9188246E-41.04691294.0E-50.00513261320.0103228930.0104416541.01150471.2E-40.0501567460.100422090.100539041.00116461.3E-4
6.69.861474E-51.9884543E-42.2883946E-41.1508413.0E-54.2256617E-48.5191656E-48.9188246E-41.04691294.0E-50.00513261320.0103228930.0104416541.01150471.2E-40.0501567460.100422090.100539041.00116461.3E-4
6.79.8552715E-51.9874437E-42.2873841E-41.15091763.0E-54.223004E-48.514838E-48.914497E-41.04693694.0E-50.00512939270.0103176740.0104364361.01151051.2E-40.0501259980.100375010.100491961.00116521.3E-4
6.89.8464974E-51.9859454E-42.2858859E-41.15103153.0E-54.219245E-48.5084204E-48.90808E-41.04697234.0E-50.00512483760.0103099360.0104286981.01151931.2E-40.050082510.100304460.100421421.00116611.3E-4
6.99.825824E-51.9827193E-42.2826598E-41.15127733.0E-54.2103877E-48.494603E-48.8942633E-41.04704874.0E-50.00511410460.0102932710.0104120361.01153811.2E-40.0499800220.100152670.100269651.0011681.3E-4
7.09.781462E-51.9757981E-42.2757388E-41.15180743.0E-54.1913814E-48.4649597E-48.8646216E-41.04721374.0E-50.0050910730.0102575220.010376291.01157871.2E-40.049760070.0998272750.099944291.00117231.3E-4
7.19.7121134E-51.9658907E-42.2658317E-41.15257263.0E-54.1616702E-48.4225275E-48.8221906E-41.04745174.0E-50.0050550680.01020634550.0103251211.01163741.2E-40.049416130.099361570.099478651.00117841.3E-4
7.29.663819E-51.9589132E-42.2588544E-41.15311613.0E-54.1409794E-48.392643E-48.7923073E-41.04762084.0E-50.00502999360.0101703010.010289081.0116791.2E-40.0491765370.099032960.099150091.00118271.3E-4
7.39.6277574E-51.9540939E-42.2540352E-41.15349393.0E-54.125529E-48.372002E-48.771667E-41.04773834.0E-50.00501126940.0101454050.0102641871.0117081.2E-40.048997590.098803750.0989209041.00118581.3E-4
7.49.593308E-51.9479942E-42.2479356E-41.15397453.0E-54.1107697E-48.345877E-48.7455433E-41.04788784.0E-50.00499338240.0101138940.01023268051.01174491.2E-40.048826610.098519440.098636631.00118961.3E-4
7.59.561707E-51.942531E-42.2424725E-41.15440773.0E-54.0972308E-48.3224784E-48.722145E-41.04802264.0E-50.00497697430.0100856690.010204461.01177811.2E-40.0486697440.0982634350.098380661.00119291.3E-4
7.69.418194E-51.9073422E-42.207285E-41.1572573.0E-54.0357444E-48.171765E-48.571438E-41.04890914.0E-50.0049024540.0099038580.0100226691.01199651.2E-40.0479570250.0966318250.096749261.00121531.3E-4
7.78.202141E-51.6480158E-41.9479664E-41.18200713.0E-53.51473E-47.0610136E-47.460731E-41.0566094.0E-50.004270790.008562960.0086819321.01389381.2E-40.041896390.084279350.08439841.00141251.3E-4
7.87.2859846E-51.4929732E-41.7929284E-41.20091133.0E-53.1221908E-46.396888E-46.796632E-41.06249054.0E-50.0037946430.00776044470.0078795131.01534311.2E-40.0373049750.076581740.076701781.00156751.3E-4
7.95.3874453E-51.03368366E-41.3336526E-41.29019423.0E-52.3087008E-44.4293207E-44.729188E-41.06770053.0E-50.00280722020.0053793760.0054589461.01479168.0E-50.027720220.0537837450.0538689051.00158339.0E-5
8.03.468538E-55.595444E-58.595276E-51.53612053.0E-51.4864317E-42.397827E-42.697755E-41.12508333.0E-50.00180822830.00291544830.0029952151.02736018.0E-50.0179358530.0297769160.0298642351.00293249.0E-5
8.11.9152367E-52.0202866E-53.0202664E-51.49496921.0E-58.207899E-58.658084E-59.657998E-51.1154891.0E-59.988535E-40.00105361270.00107359161.01896232.0E-50.0099437570.0112747190.0112944931.00175392.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.7766533E-65.7766533E-61.00.03.704486E-52.4756851E-52.4756851E-51.00.04.5092785E-43.0137307E-43.0137307E-41.00.00.00450013950.00341352240.00341352241.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.1618333E-78.1618333E-71.00.08.498917E-63.497924E-63.497924E-61.00.01.034694E-44.258641E-54.258641E-51.00.00.00103421245.0070725E-45.0070725E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0570417E-42.35698E-41.14581053.0E-54.362114E-48.812925E-49.2125725E-41.04534794.0E-50.00529794860.01067724450.0107761761.00926571.0E-40.0517340970.103603140.103701751.00095181.1E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0570417E-42.35698E-41.14581053.0E-54.362114E-48.812925E-49.2125725E-41.04534794.0E-50.00529794860.01067724450.0107761761.00926571.0E-40.0517340970.103603140.103701751.00095181.1E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0570417E-42.35698E-41.14581053.0E-54.362114E-48.812925E-49.2125725E-41.04534794.0E-50.00529794860.01067724450.0107761761.00926571.0E-40.0517340970.103603140.103701751.00095181.1E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0570417E-42.35698E-41.14581053.0E-54.362114E-48.812925E-49.2125725E-41.04534794.0E-50.00529794860.01067724450.0107761761.00926571.0E-40.0517340970.103603140.103701751.00095181.1E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8918118E-42.191755E-41.15854813.0E-53.9268145E-48.105248E-48.504924E-41.04931074.0E-50.00477042050.0098236160.0099226341.01007951.0E-40.0466930640.0959147140.0960141641.00103691.1E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8918118E-42.191755E-41.15854813.0E-53.9268145E-48.105248E-48.504924E-41.04931074.0E-50.00477042050.0098236160.0099226341.01007951.0E-40.0466930640.0959147140.0960141641.00103691.1E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8723952E-42.172339E-41.16019263.0E-53.8748336E-48.022085E-48.4217644E-41.04982234.0E-50.00470740950.0097232710.0098222991.01018461.0E-40.0460893250.0950087160.095108261.00104771.1E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8637886E-42.1637327E-41.16093243.0E-53.8495753E-47.9852226E-48.384903E-41.05005254.0E-50.004676790.009678790.00977782251.01023191.0E-40.0457958170.094602050.094701641.00105271.1E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8584216E-42.1583658E-41.16139733.0E-53.8339442E-47.9622347E-48.3619164E-41.05019714.0E-50.0046578410.0096510510.0097500851.01026151.0E-40.045614140.094347440.094447061.0010561.1E-4
6.98.858234E-51.846541E-42.1464856E-41.16243593.0E-53.7958333E-47.911349E-48.311033E-41.05052034.0E-50.0046116380.0095896440.0096886851.01032791.0E-40.045171030.093785040.093884721.00106291.1E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.8303006E-42.1302457E-41.16387753.0E-53.746607E-47.8417896E-48.241476E-41.05096884.0E-50.0045519570.0095056970.00960474651.010421.0E-40.0445983860.093015440.093115211.00107261.1E-4
7.18.684964E-51.8214199E-42.1213653E-41.16467673.0E-53.7215967E-47.803752E-48.20344E-41.05121744.0E-50.00452163350.009459790.0095588431.01047111.0E-40.044307310.092594640.0926944541.0010781.1E-4
7.28.606521E-51.810405E-42.1103508E-41.16567873.0E-53.6879873E-47.7565736E-48.156263E-41.05152924.0E-50.00448088350.0094028470.0095019061.01053511.0E-40.0439160240.092073270.092173141.00108471.1E-4
7.38.568266E-51.8045167E-42.1044625E-41.16621953.0E-53.6715972E-47.731352E-48.131043E-41.05169744.0E-50.00446101050.0093724050.0094714681.01056961.0E-40.0437251480.0917907950.09189071.00108841.1E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.8007179E-42.1006638E-41.16657023.0E-53.6608664E-47.7150814E-48.114773E-41.05180644.0E-50.0044479990.0093527650.009451831.0105921.0E-40.0436001570.0916087550.0917086751.00109081.1E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7874547E-42.0874011E-41.16780643.0E-53.633435E-47.658273E-48.057967E-41.05219114.0E-50.00441473770.0092841930.0093832641.0106711.0E-40.0432805750.090979790.091079791.00109911.1E-4
7.68.241105E-51.7312063E-42.0311543E-41.17325963.0E-53.531424E-47.4173475E-47.817051E-41.05388764.0E-50.00429103520.0089933240.0090924241.01101931.0E-40.0420911760.0883284060.088428691.00113531.1E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4630899E-41.763046E-41.20501553.0E-53.001506E-46.268879E-46.668628E-41.06376734.0E-50.00364821120.00760569420.00770493361.0130481.0E-40.0358889770.0754346250.0755363261.00134831.1E-4
7.86.415362E-51.335406E-41.6353659E-41.22462083.0E-52.749151E-45.721914E-46.1216846E-41.06986674.0E-50.00334195470.00694421030.0070435161.01430051.0E-40.032921410.068995110.069097521.00148431.1E-4
7.94.939911E-59.6192736E-51.2618986E-41.31184393.0E-52.116933E-44.121895E-44.4217712E-41.07275213.0E-50.00257431950.00500686930.0050864691.0158988.0E-50.0254470130.0502161270.0503016081.00170239.0E-5
8.03.344983E-55.3894888E-58.3893276E-51.5566093.0E-51.4334853E-42.3095765E-42.6095074E-41.1298643.0E-50.00174387110.00280828540.00288806091.02840718.0E-50.0173024960.0287405160.028827931.00304159.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9977042E-52.9976844E-51.50056461.0E-58.1875565E-58.561309E-59.561223E-51.11679461.0E-59.963791E-40.00104184160.00106182081.01917672.0E-50.0099192350.0111710280.0111908051.00177042.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.7766533E-65.7766533E-61.00.03.704486E-52.4756851E-52.4756851E-51.00.04.5092785E-43.0137307E-43.0137307E-41.00.00.00450013950.00341352240.00341352241.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.1618333E-78.1618333E-71.00.08.498917E-63.497924E-63.497924E-61.00.01.034694E-44.258641E-54.258641E-51.00.00.00103421245.0070725E-45.0070725E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5767524E-42.8766753E-41.11639563.0E-55.27144E-40.00110385680.00113382371.02714743.0E-50.00639910860.0133571730.0134361041.00590938.0E-50.062179490.126723450.126802061.00062029.0E-5
6.11.2302514E-42.5767524E-42.8766753E-41.11639563.0E-55.27144E-40.00110385680.00113382371.02714743.0E-50.00639910860.0133571730.0134361041.00590938.0E-50.062179490.126723450.126802061.00062029.0E-5
6.21.2203569E-42.5583603E-42.8582834E-41.11723263.0E-55.2290526E-40.00109598110.00112594821.02734273.0E-50.0063478040.0132624560.0133413951.00595218.0E-50.0616951360.125910330.125988991.00062489.0E-5
6.31.2142645E-42.546915E-42.8468386E-41.11775963.0E-55.202953E-40.001091080.00112104731.02746573.0E-50.0063162120.0132035120.01328245551.0059798.0E-50.061396770.125404310.125483021.00062769.0E-5
6.41.1865206E-42.4971206E-42.7970457E-41.12010843.0E-55.0840975E-40.00106975730.00109972531.02801373.0E-50.0061723350.0129470170.0130259811.0060998.0E-50.0600368680.12319460.1232735141.00064059.0E-5
6.51.17443946E-42.4762176E-42.7761434E-41.12112253.0E-55.032341E-40.00106080620.00109077431.02825033.0E-50.0061096770.0128393240.0129182971.00615088.0E-50.0594440770.122265610.12234461.00064619.0E-5
6.61.13579066E-42.4064505E-42.7063783E-41.1246353.0E-54.866766E-40.00103092990.00106089891.02906993.0E-50.00590920170.0124798010.0125588021.00633048.0E-50.0575451850.119165330.1192446051.00066539.0E-5
6.71.1271412E-42.3907505E-42.6906788E-41.12545363.0E-54.829711E-40.00102420660.00105417591.0292613.0E-50.0058643310.012398880.0124778881.00637228.0E-50.0571196970.118465150.118544491.00066979.0E-5
6.81.1217975E-42.3794606E-42.679389E-41.1260493.0E-54.8068175E-40.00101937180.00104934131.02939993.0E-50.0058366080.0123406850.0124196981.00640268.0E-50.0568567250.117959450.118038831.00067299.0E-5
6.91.1146753E-42.3641904E-42.6641195E-41.12686343.0E-54.7763053E-40.00101283260.00104280221.02958993.0E-50.00579965770.0122619690.0123409881.00644428.0E-50.0565061270.117275290.1173547361.00067759.0E-5
7.01.0965793E-42.3260902E-42.6260206E-41.12894183.0E-54.698779E-49.965164E-40.00102648661.03007483.0E-50.0057057680.0120655370.0121445721.00655048.0E-50.0556147360.11556210.11564171.00068889.0E-5
7.19.927982E-52.1059516E-42.4058884E-41.14242343.0E-54.2541555E-49.022395E-49.3221245E-41.03322063.0E-50.00516714060.0109297490.01100887451.00723958.0E-50.050486340.1056053340.105685831.00076229.0E-5
7.29.696786E-52.0560033E-42.3559417E-41.14588423.0E-54.1551032E-48.8084774E-49.108213E-41.0340283.0E-50.005047110.0106718840.010751031.00741648.0E-50.049340090.103336970.1034176651.00078099.0E-5
7.39.4727984E-51.998096E-42.2980361E-41.1501133.0E-54.0591392E-48.5604686E-48.860212E-41.03501493.0E-50.00493080870.0103728470.0104520171.00763258.0E-50.0482282680.100685910.1007668451.00080389.0E-5
7.49.220358E-51.9342023E-42.2341442E-41.15507273.0E-53.9509835E-48.2868146E-48.586566E-41.0361723.0E-50.0047997170.0100427850.0101219811.00788598.0E-50.0469736530.097727710.097808911.00083099.0E-5
7.57.71631E-51.5615122E-41.8614654E-41.19209153.0E-53.306571E-46.6904805E-46.9902797E-41.04480983.0E-50.00401832070.0081153140.00819466451.00977798.0E-50.039464330.080239430.080322211.00103169.0E-5
7.67.5634416E-51.5269085E-41.8268626E-41.19644553.0E-53.241072E-46.542254E-46.842058E-41.04582573.0E-50.00393886720.0079361770.0080155411.01000058.0E-50.0386977940.078582630.0786655551.00105529.0E-5
7.76.3783E-51.2746264E-41.5745882E-41.23533313.0E-52.7332708E-45.4615416E-45.761378E-41.05489963.0E-50.00332267980.0066291830.00670865271.01198788.0E-50.0327343640.0663072540.066391291.00126739.0E-5
7.85.863422E-51.1768739E-41.4768387E-41.25488263.0E-52.512653E-45.0427706E-45.342619E-41.05946113.0E-50.0030548640.0061223130.00620182321.01298698.0E-50.0301320940.0612731760.061357661.00137889.0E-5
7.94.595283E-58.685251E-51.168499E-41.34538323.0E-51.9692584E-43.7217195E-44.0216077E-41.08057793.0E-50.00239493580.00452178670.0046014251.01761218.0E-50.0236928910.0455837360.0456696341.00188439.0E-5
8.03.2950178E-55.240836E-58.240678E-51.57239783.0E-51.412074E-42.2458791E-42.545812E-41.1335483.0E-50.00171784440.00273093120.00281071271.0292148.0E-50.0170462560.0279842820.0280717631.00312619.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9990388E-52.9990188E-51.50023041.0E-58.218658E-58.567028E-59.566943E-51.11671661.0E-50.00100016220.00104253730.00106251651.0191642.0E-50.0099567280.011180160.0111999361.00176882.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.7766533E-65.7766533E-61.00.03.704486E-52.4756851E-52.4756851E-51.00.04.5092785E-43.0137307E-43.0137307E-41.00.00.00450013950.00341352240.00341352241.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.1618333E-78.1618333E-71.00.08.498917E-63.497924E-63.497924E-61.00.01.034694E-44.258641E-54.258641E-51.00.00.00103421245.0070725E-45.0070725E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.488112E-42.7880372E-41.12054343.0E-55.002454E-40.00106589960.00109586761.02811533.0E-50.0060734930.0129006150.0129795831.00612138.0E-50.05910160.122960170.123039111.0006429.0E-5
6.11.1674632E-42.488112E-42.7880372E-41.12054343.0E-55.002454E-40.00106589960.00109586761.02811533.0E-50.0060734930.0129006150.0129795831.00612138.0E-50.05910160.122960170.123039111.0006429.0E-5
6.21.1674632E-42.488112E-42.7880372E-41.12054343.0E-55.002454E-40.00106589960.00109586761.02811533.0E-50.0060734930.0129006150.0129795831.00612138.0E-50.05910160.122960170.123039111.0006429.0E-5
6.31.1674632E-42.488112E-42.7880372E-41.12054343.0E-55.002454E-40.00106589960.00109586761.02811533.0E-50.0060734930.0129006150.0129795831.00612138.0E-50.05910160.122960170.123039111.0006429.0E-5
6.41.1674632E-42.488112E-42.7880372E-41.12054343.0E-55.002454E-40.00106589960.00109586761.02811533.0E-50.0060734930.0129006150.0129795831.00612138.0E-50.05910160.122960170.123039111.0006429.0E-5
6.51.13136164E-42.4198697E-42.7197972E-41.12394363.0E-54.847792E-40.00103667650.00106664541.02890863.0E-50.00588622550.0125489630.0126279581.00629518.0E-50.0573273340.119923460.1200026651.00066049.0E-5
6.61.13136164E-42.4198697E-42.7197972E-41.12394363.0E-54.847792E-40.00103667650.00106664541.02890863.0E-50.00588622550.0125489630.0126279581.00629518.0E-50.0573273340.119923460.1200026651.00066049.0E-5
6.71.1149675E-42.3888811E-42.6888095E-41.12555183.0E-54.777557E-40.0010234060.00105337531.02928393.0E-50.00580117340.0123892410.012468251.00637728.0E-50.056520510.118544730.1186240541.00066929.0E-5
6.81.1103589E-42.3790299E-42.6789587E-41.12607183.0E-54.7578133E-40.00101918740.00104915691.02940523.0E-50.0057772630.0123384620.0124174761.00640388.0E-50.0562935840.118103760.118183131.0006729.0E-5
6.91.1053259E-42.3681953E-42.6681242E-41.12664883.0E-54.7362508E-40.00101454750.00104451721.02953983.0E-50.00575114970.0122826110.0123616281.00643328.0E-50.056045690.1176182260.117697641.00067529.0E-5
7.01.1005377E-42.3582118E-42.658141E-41.1271853.0E-54.7157376E-40.00101027230.00104024191.0296653.0E-50.00572630620.0122311450.0123101661.00646078.0E-50.0558097960.1171676740.117247131.00067829.0E-5
7.11.0308142E-42.2081366E-42.5080703E-41.13583113.0E-54.417027E-49.460021E-49.7597373E-41.03168243.0E-50.00536447760.0114570840.0115361671.00690268.0E-50.0523681380.11040650.110486571.00072529.0E-5
7.21.0027479E-42.1484986E-42.4484342E-41.13960243.0E-54.296783E-49.204612E-49.504336E-41.03256243.0E-50.00521879220.0111493460.0112284541.00709538.0E-50.0509792120.107701440.107781751.00074579.0E-5
7.39.816942E-52.0952788E-42.3952159E-41.1431493.0E-54.2065824E-48.976686E-49.2764164E-41.03338993.0E-50.0051094930.0108746490.0109537791.00727658.0E-50.0499359850.105265960.1053464861.0007659.0E-5
7.49.5634205E-52.0312773E-42.3312162E-41.14766043.0E-54.0979648E-48.702579E-49.0023177E-41.03444253.0E-50.00497786370.0105441940.010623351.00750718.0E-50.0486782530.102316490.1023972851.00078969.0E-5
7.58.052417E-51.6571394E-41.9570896E-41.18100493.0E-53.4505792E-47.100094E-47.399882E-41.0422233.0E-50.00419299030.008610190.0086895011.00921138.0E-50.041147530.084846890.084929251.00097079.0E-5
7.67.897024E-51.6219071E-41.9218585E-41.18493753.0E-53.384E-46.949181E-47.2489725E-41.04314053.0E-50.00411223850.0084278890.00850721451.00941238.0E-50.0403696970.083168080.08325061.00099229.0E-5
7.76.707427E-51.3685077E-41.6684666E-41.21918693.0E-52.8742946E-45.863715E-46.163539E-41.05113213.0E-50.0034938390.007115740.0071951711.01116268.0E-50.0343941640.07089890.0709825161.00117959.0E-5
7.86.147705E-51.2568088E-41.5567712E-41.23866983.0E-52.6344648E-45.385212E-45.68505E-41.05567813.0E-50.00320274360.00653681250.00661628971.01215848.0E-50.0315697640.065200880.065285011.00129039.0E-5
7.94.7636717E-59.148584E-51.2148309E-41.32788963.0E-52.0414138E-43.9202327E-44.220115E-41.07649613.0E-50.00248258840.00476244650.00484206571.0167188.0E-50.0245503650.0478913820.047977071.00178929.0E-5
8.03.3554235E-55.3806023E-58.380441E-51.55752843.0E-51.4379594E-42.3057687E-42.6056994E-41.13007843.0E-50.00174930970.00280366140.0028834371.02845418.0E-50.0173560340.0287003050.0287877231.00304589.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.9990202E-52.9990004E-51.50023511.0E-58.217783E-58.566949E-59.5668634E-51.11671771.0E-50.00100005580.00104252760.00106250681.01916412.0E-50.0099556730.0111800350.0111998111.0017692.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.7766533E-65.7766533E-61.00.03.704486E-52.4756851E-52.4756851E-51.00.04.5092785E-43.0137307E-43.0137307E-41.00.00.00450013950.00341352240.00341352241.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.1618333E-78.1618333E-71.00.08.498917E-63.497924E-63.497924E-61.00.01.034694E-44.258641E-54.258641E-51.00.00.00103421245.0070725E-45.0070725E-41.00.0

San Gorgonio Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.644328E-61.3440826E-52.344069E-51.74399191.0E-53.2760996E-55.7602316E-58.760059E-51.52078243.0E-53.987921E-47.010912E-47.510561E-41.07126745.0E-50.0039807720.00699589770.0070554781.00851646.0E-5
6.17.644328E-61.3440826E-52.344069E-51.74399191.0E-53.2760996E-55.7602316E-58.760059E-51.52078243.0E-53.987921E-47.010912E-47.510561E-41.07126745.0E-50.0039807720.00699589770.0070554781.00851646.0E-5
6.27.644328E-61.3440826E-52.344069E-51.74399191.0E-53.2760996E-55.7602316E-58.760059E-51.52078243.0E-53.987921E-47.010912E-47.510561E-41.07126745.0E-50.0039807720.00699589770.0070554781.00851646.0E-5
6.37.644328E-61.3440826E-52.344069E-51.74399191.0E-53.2760996E-55.7602316E-58.760059E-51.52078243.0E-53.987921E-47.010912E-47.510561E-41.07126745.0E-50.0039807720.00699589770.0070554781.00851646.0E-5
6.47.644328E-61.3440826E-52.344069E-51.74399191.0E-53.2760996E-55.7602316E-58.760059E-51.52078243.0E-53.987921E-47.010912E-47.510561E-41.07126745.0E-50.0039807720.00699589770.0070554781.00851646.0E-5
6.57.644328E-61.3440826E-52.344069E-51.74399191.0E-53.2760996E-55.7602316E-58.760059E-51.52078243.0E-53.987921E-47.010912E-47.510561E-41.07126745.0E-50.0039807720.00699589770.0070554781.00851646.0E-5
6.67.644328E-61.3440826E-52.344069E-51.74399191.0E-53.2760996E-55.7602316E-58.760059E-51.52078243.0E-53.987921E-47.010912E-47.510561E-41.07126745.0E-50.0039807720.00699589770.0070554781.00851646.0E-5
6.76.987586E-61.2744786E-52.2744658E-51.78462461.0E-52.9946454E-55.4619413E-58.461777E-51.54922523.0E-53.645371E-46.647967E-47.147634E-41.0751615.0E-50.00363939670.0066351350.0066947371.00898286.0E-5
6.86.987586E-61.2744786E-52.2744658E-51.78462461.0E-52.9946454E-55.4619413E-58.461777E-51.54922523.0E-53.645371E-46.647967E-47.147634E-41.0751615.0E-50.00363939670.0066351350.0066947371.00898286.0E-5
6.95.504702E-61.1174954E-52.1174843E-51.89484821.0E-52.3591367E-54.7891812E-57.789038E-51.62638193.0E-52.8718702E-45.8293197E-46.3290284E-41.08572335.0E-50.00286816180.00582078050.00588043131.0102486.0E-5
7.05.4825764E-61.1151283E-52.115117E-51.89674781.0E-52.3496545E-54.7790367E-57.778893E-51.62771153.0E-52.8603288E-45.816975E-46.3166843E-41.08590535.0E-50.002856650.00580850060.00586815221.01026966.0E-5
7.15.4692787E-61.11369845E-52.1136873E-51.89789921.0E-52.3439556E-54.772909E-57.772766E-51.62851753.0E-52.8533922E-45.8095186E-46.3092285E-41.08601575.0E-50.00284973110.00580108350.0058607351.01028296.0E-5
7.25.453661E-61.112E-52.111989E-51.89927051.0E-52.3372622E-54.76563E-57.765487E-51.62947753.0E-52.8452452E-45.800662E-46.3003716E-41.08614715.0E-50.0028416050.00579227230.00585192441.01029866.0E-5
7.35.4422303E-61.1106904E-52.1106793E-51.90033091.0E-52.3323635E-54.7600177E-57.759875E-51.63021973.0E-52.8392827E-45.793832E-46.2935427E-41.08624865.0E-50.00283565770.00578547830.00584513141.01031086.0E-5
7.45.398595E-61.1054029E-52.1053918E-51.90463761.0E-52.313663E-54.7373578E-57.7372155E-51.63323443.0E-52.8165206E-45.766258E-46.26597E-41.08666135.0E-50.00281295340.00575804760.0058177021.01036026.0E-5
7.55.3578788E-61.0980276E-52.0980166E-51.91071391.0E-52.2962136E-54.7057507E-57.7056095E-51.63748793.0E-52.7952815E-45.727797E-46.22751E-41.08724365.0E-50.0027917680.0057198120.0057794691.01042996.0E-5
7.64.8091474E-69.7173415E-61.9717245E-52.0290781.0E-52.0610469E-54.164511E-57.164386E-51.72034263.0E-52.5090357E-45.069162E-45.5689085E-41.09858565.0E-50.00250620460.0050646170.00512431331.01178696.0E-5
7.71.5991155E-63.4132127E-63.4132127E-61.00.06.853334E-61.4627974E-52.4627827E-51.68361161.0E-58.343615E-51.7808129E-41.9807773E-41.11228822.0E-58.340483E-40.00178489640.00181484291.01677783.0E-5
7.89.258398E-72.1030216E-62.1030216E-61.00.03.967879E-69.012919E-69.012919E-61.00.04.8307855E-51.0972678E-41.0972678E-41.00.04.8297356E-40.00110218760.00110218761.00.0
7.95.975575E-71.2617296E-61.2617296E-61.00.02.5609581E-65.4074017E-65.4074017E-61.00.03.117922E-56.5833134E-56.5833134E-51.00.03.1174847E-46.632181E-46.632181E-41.00.0
8.03.4413725E-76.909585E-76.909585E-71.00.01.4748731E-62.9612472E-62.9612472E-61.00.01.7956432E-53.6052596E-53.6052596E-51.00.01.7954981E-43.6395242E-43.6395242E-41.00.0
8.11.1787731E-81.0135107E-81.0135107E-81.00.05.0518846E-84.3436174E-84.3436174E-81.00.06.1506677E-75.288353E-75.288353E-71.00.06.1506507E-65.508756E-65.508756E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-48.336867E-48.5367E-41.02396982.0E-50.00237938480.00356870120.003588631.00558422.0E-50.0285869630.0429185740.042966431.0011155.0E-50.251762840.34542810.345460831.00009485.0E-5
6.11.925858E-43.1860365E-43.3859728E-41.06275392.0E-58.2510663E-40.00136484250.00138481531.01463372.0E-50.00999948850.016553850.0166030251.00297055.0E-50.0956132560.153521660.153563981.00027575.0E-5
6.29.4306815E-51.868877E-42.0688397E-41.10699622.0E-54.0410945E-48.007027E-48.206867E-41.0249582.0E-50.00490893840.0097051820.0097546971.00510195.0E-50.0480190630.093779360.093824681.00048325.0E-5
6.39.283051E-51.8383513E-42.0383144E-41.10877312.0E-53.9778434E-47.876282E-48.0761244E-41.02537272.0E-50.00483227470.0095474180.0095969411.0051875.0E-50.0472853850.092428960.092474341.00049095.0E-5
6.49.138826E-51.8142724E-42.0142361E-41.1102172.0E-53.916052E-47.773148E-47.9729926E-41.02570962.0E-50.00475737450.0094229450.0094724741.00525625.0E-50.0465680920.091323140.091368571.00049755.0E-5
6.59.000255E-51.7898169E-41.989781E-41.11172332.0E-53.8566816E-47.6684006E-47.8682473E-41.0260612.0E-50.00468540470.0092965210.0093460561.00532835.0E-50.0458784030.090204420.090249911.00050435.0E-5
6.68.8109264E-51.7573703E-41.9573352E-41.11378652.0E-53.7755648E-47.5294246E-47.729274E-41.02654242.0E-50.00458706540.0091287620.0091783061.00542725.0E-50.044935290.088716960.088762521.00051365.0E-5
6.78.738073E-51.7439568E-41.943922E-41.11466172.0E-53.7443507E-47.4719713E-47.671822E-41.02674672.0E-50.00454922160.0090594460.0091089921.00546915.0E-50.044572130.088113670.088159261.00051755.0E-5
6.88.710195E-51.7384085E-41.9383736E-41.11502782.0E-53.7324068E-47.4482063E-47.6480577E-41.02683212.0E-50.00453474050.0090307610.0090803091.00548665.0E-50.044433130.087857820.087903431.00051925.0E-5
6.98.6801556E-51.7324171E-41.9323824E-41.11542562.0E-53.7195362E-47.4225443E-47.6223956E-41.0269252.0E-50.00451913570.0089997760.0090493251.00550575.0E-50.0442833270.087580970.08762661.0005215.0E-5
7.08.5571606E-51.707351E-41.9073169E-41.11712052.0E-53.6668387E-47.3151785E-47.515032E-41.02732042.0E-50.0044552410.0088701290.0089196851.00558695.0E-50.0436697270.086417590.086463271.00052865.0E-5
7.17.82589E-51.553859E-41.753828E-41.12869182.0E-53.3535215E-46.657704E-46.85757E-41.03002042.0E-50.00407527060.0080758070.0081254041.00614135.0E-50.0400134180.07928440.079330441.00058075.0E-5
7.27.690929E-51.5272778E-41.7272471E-41.1309322.0E-53.2956956E-46.5438414E-46.743711E-41.03054312.0E-50.0040051290.0079381980.0079878011.00624875.0E-50.03933710.078047820.0780939161.00059075.0E-5
7.37.5543794E-51.4964197E-41.6963898E-41.13363232.0E-53.2371894E-46.411659E-46.6115306E-41.03117322.0E-50.0039341570.0077784250.0078280361.0063785.0E-50.0386523340.0765951050.076641281.00060285.0E-5
7.47.4214564E-51.4659775E-41.6659482E-41.13640772.0E-53.1802364E-46.2812556E-46.48113E-41.03182082.0E-50.0038650650.00762078030.00767039931.0065115.0E-50.037985290.075149580.075195821.00061545.0E-5
7.56.149578E-51.1533194E-41.3532964E-41.17339252.0E-52.6352672E-44.9418624E-45.141763E-41.04045062.0E-50.00320371780.0060001530.0060498531.00828315.0E-50.031579230.060134840.0601818341.00078145.0E-5
7.66.0643448E-51.135876E-41.3358533E-41.17605562.0E-52.598746E-44.8671328E-45.0670357E-41.0410722.0E-50.00315938280.0059096670.00595937161.00841075.0E-50.0311484170.0592839760.059331011.00079355.0E-5
7.75.1652263E-59.479759E-51.14795694E-41.21095592.0E-52.2134806E-44.0621217E-44.2620403E-41.04921532.0E-50.0026915820.0049344290.00498418231.01008285.0E-50.0265921410.049967080.050014581.00095075.0E-5
7.84.8090482E-58.8406196E-51.0840443E-41.22620842.0E-52.060858E-43.788287E-43.9882114E-41.05277432.0E-50.00250620720.00460249460.00465226451.01081375.0E-50.0247813050.046624410.046672081.00102255.0E-5
7.93.970278E-56.969843E-58.969703E-51.28693062.0E-51.7014367E-42.9867335E-43.186674E-41.06694282.0E-50.0020695310.00363028890.00368010741.0137235.0E-50.0205036360.036931150.0369793061.00130395.0E-5
8.02.8982335E-54.2100837E-56.209999E-51.475032.0E-51.2420409E-41.804197E-42.0041608E-41.11083272.0E-50.00151113570.0021943980.00224428831.02273525.0E-50.0150090120.0227104330.0227592981.00215165.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.9472536E-52.9472341E-51.51353381.0E-58.0724014E-58.345106E-59.3450224E-51.11982071.0E-59.823717E-40.00101554370.00103552341.0196742.0E-50.0097804030.0109030310.0109228131.00181442.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.7766533E-65.7766533E-61.00.03.704486E-52.4756851E-52.4756851E-51.00.04.5092785E-43.0137307E-43.0137307E-41.00.00.00450013950.00341352240.00341352241.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.1618333E-78.1618333E-71.00.08.498917E-63.497924E-63.497924E-61.00.01.034694E-44.258641E-54.258641E-51.00.00.00103421245.0070725E-45.0070725E-41.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3931547E-53.393131E-51.41784851.0E-55.7689394E-51.0255975E-41.225577E-41.19498832.0E-57.02142E-40.00124795320.00127791581.02400933.0E-50.00699927660.0124525880.01249208951.00317224.0E-5
6.11.3461156E-52.3931547E-53.393131E-51.41784851.0E-55.7689394E-51.0255975E-41.225577E-41.19498832.0E-57.02142E-40.00124795320.00127791581.02400933.0E-50.00699927660.0124525880.01249208951.00317224.0E-5
6.21.3461156E-52.3931547E-53.393131E-51.41784851.0E-55.7689394E-51.0255975E-41.225577E-41.19498832.0E-57.02142E-40.00124795320.00127791581.02400933.0E-50.00699927660.0124525880.01249208951.00317224.0E-5
6.31.3461156E-52.3931547E-53.393131E-51.41784851.0E-55.7689394E-51.0255975E-41.225577E-41.19498832.0E-57.02142E-40.00124795320.00127791581.02400933.0E-50.00699927660.0124525880.01249208951.00317224.0E-5
6.41.3461156E-52.3931547E-53.393131E-51.41784851.0E-55.7689394E-51.0255975E-41.225577E-41.19498832.0E-57.02142E-40.00124795320.00127791581.02400933.0E-50.00699927660.0124525880.01249208951.00317224.0E-5
6.51.3450706E-52.3920502E-53.3920263E-51.41804151.0E-55.764461E-51.0251242E-41.2251038E-41.19507832.0E-57.0159714E-40.00124737760.00127734011.02402043.0E-50.0069938620.0124468960.0124863981.00317374.0E-5
6.61.3074523E-52.3534638E-53.35344E-51.42489561.0E-55.6032466E-51.0085885E-41.20856836E-41.19827692.0E-56.8198174E-40.00122726810.00125723131.02441453.0E-50.0067989260.0122480310.012287541.00322584.0E-5
6.71.3050216E-52.350991E-53.3509674E-51.42534261.0E-55.59283E-51.00752884E-41.2075087E-41.19848552.0E-56.8071426E-40.00122597940.00125594261.02444033.0E-50.00678632870.0122352860.0122747961.00322934.0E-5
6.81.29049395E-52.3358238E-53.3358003E-51.42810451.0E-55.530571E-51.0010291E-41.2010091E-41.19977442.0E-56.73139E-40.00121807480.00124803831.02459913.0E-50.00671103640.0121571070.012196621.00325024.0E-5
6.91.2867369E-52.3317582E-53.331735E-51.42885091.0E-55.51447E-59.9928686E-51.19926684E-41.20012272.0E-56.711799E-40.0012159560.00124591951.0246423.0E-50.0066915640.012136150.0121756651.0032564.0E-5
7.01.2495996E-52.2714908E-53.271468E-51.44022951.0E-55.3553173E-59.734599E-51.1734405E-41.20543282.0E-56.518148E-40.0011845460.00121451041.02529623.0E-50.00649906230.0118254040.0118649311.00334254.0E-5
7.11.2452067E-52.265986E-53.2659635E-51.4412991.0E-55.3364907E-59.711008E-51.17108146E-41.20593182.0E-56.4952404E-40.0011816770.00121164151.02535763.0E-50.00647628870.0117970190.0118365471.00335074.0E-5
7.21.2002777E-52.2036322E-53.2036103E-51.45378631.0E-55.143946E-59.443798E-51.1443609E-41.21175922.0E-56.2609545E-40.00114917860.00117914411.02607563.0E-50.0062433440.0114754420.0115149831.00344574.0E-5
7.31.1923425E-52.1905716E-53.1905496E-51.45649181.0E-55.109939E-59.387828E-51.13876406E-41.21302192.0E-56.219575E-40.00114237160.00117233721.02623123.0E-50.00620219620.0114081010.0114476451.00346624.0E-5
7.41.16105175E-52.1275568E-53.1275355E-51.47001271.0E-54.975841E-59.117783E-51.1117601E-41.21933162.0E-56.0564023E-40.00110952740.00113949411.02700853.0E-50.0060399230.0110836260.0111231831.00356894.0E-5
7.51.1037265E-51.9961497E-52.9961297E-51.50095441.0E-54.7301706E-58.5546475E-51.05544765E-41.23377112.0E-55.757461E-40.0010410330.00107100181.02878753.0E-50.0057425670.0104040860.0104436691.00380474.0E-5
7.61.0720915E-51.9398609E-52.9398416E-51.51549091.0E-54.5945973E-58.313426E-51.03132596E-41.24055472.0E-55.592486E-40.00101169190.00104166151.02962333.0E-50.0055784330.0101133930.0101529881.00391524.0E-5
7.79.276279E-61.6826263E-52.6826096E-51.59429911.0E-53.9754876E-57.2110575E-59.210913E-51.27733182.0E-54.839081E-48.775943E-49.0756797E-41.03415443.0E-50.00482855740.00878366550.0088233141.00451394.0E-5
7.85.8346777E-61.144175E-51.144175E-51.00.02.5005522E-54.903515E-54.903515E-51.00.03.043997E-45.968395E-45.968395E-41.00.00.00303983080.00599429940.00599429941.00.0
7.94.690204E-68.748124E-68.748124E-61.00.02.0100719E-53.7491423E-53.7491423E-51.00.02.4469878E-44.5636256E-44.5636256E-41.00.00.0024442950.00459363730.00459363731.00.0
8.02.9570454E-64.992959E-64.992959E-61.00.01.267299E-52.139822E-52.139822E-51.00.01.5428272E-42.604922E-42.604922E-41.00.00.00154175660.00262561280.00262561281.00.0
8.11.6376824E-62.2736078E-62.2736078E-61.00.07.01862E-69.743997E-69.743997E-61.00.08.544835E-51.18626725E-41.18626725E-41.00.08.54155E-40.00120064650.00120064651.00.0
8.26.9631557E-74.775908E-74.775908E-71.00.02.984206E-62.046816E-62.046816E-61.00.03.63321E-52.4919702E-52.4919702E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.5788677E-42.5788677E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.8503114E-88.8503114E-81.00.07.661199E-73.7929902E-73.7929902E-71.00.09.32747E-64.617956E-64.617956E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.8442904E-54.8442904E-51.00.0

Superstition Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6865185E-51.4321948E-52.4321804E-51.69821911.0E-52.8653358E-46.137842E-57.1377806E-51.16291371.0E-50.00348296677.470425E-47.8701257E-41.05350454.0E-50.034288810.0076167590.0076564541.00521164.0E-5
6.16.544851E-51.4321948E-52.4321804E-51.69821911.0E-52.8046346E-46.137842E-57.1377806E-51.16291371.0E-50.00340929657.470425E-47.8701257E-41.05350454.0E-50.0335746440.0076167580.0076564531.00521164.0E-5
6.26.544851E-51.4321948E-52.4321804E-51.69821911.0E-52.8046346E-46.137842E-57.1377806E-51.16291371.0E-50.00340929657.470425E-47.8701257E-41.05350454.0E-50.0335746440.0076167580.0076564531.00521164.0E-5
6.35.2402065E-51.4321946E-52.4321802E-51.69821921.0E-52.2456095E-46.1378414E-57.13778E-51.16291371.0E-50.00273060177.4704236E-47.870125E-41.05350454.0E-50.026972920.00761675040.00765644571.00521164.0E-5
6.44.542238E-51.4321945E-52.4321802E-51.69821921.0E-51.9465282E-46.1378414E-57.13778E-51.16291371.0E-50.00236732237.470423E-47.8701245E-41.05350454.0E-50.0234226170.0076167460.0076564411.00521164.0E-5
6.52.9672969E-51.4321943E-52.43218E-51.69821931.0E-51.2716366E-46.13784E-57.137779E-51.16291381.0E-50.00154711817.4704224E-47.8701234E-41.05350454.0E-50.0153639120.00761673740.00765643271.00521164.0E-5
6.62.6056105E-51.3986432E-52.3986293E-51.71496861.0E-51.1166424E-45.994057E-56.993997E-51.1668221.0E-50.00135866427.2954834E-47.6951913E-41.05478854.0E-50.0135038740.00744046830.00748017061.0053364.0E-5
6.71.4611248E-51.3565349E-52.3565213E-51.73716241.0E-56.261813E-55.8136007E-56.813543E-51.17200041.0E-57.6210906E-47.075922E-47.4756384E-41.05648974.0E-50.00759500730.00722112370.0072608351.00549944.0E-5
6.81.30607E-51.115285E-52.1152739E-51.89662181.0E-55.597323E-54.77971E-55.7796624E-51.20920771.0E-56.8126095E-45.817832E-46.017716E-41.03435712.0E-50.0067917620.0059658580.00598573871.00333242.0E-5
6.91.0443096E-58.353669E-61.8353585E-52.1970691.0E-54.4755358E-53.580096E-54.58006E-51.27931211.0E-55.447602E-44.357919E-44.4578756E-41.02293671.0E-50.0054342670.00449242160.00450237651.0022161.0E-5
7.08.045912E-66.88401E-66.88401E-61.00.03.4482026E-52.9502571E-52.9502571E-51.00.04.197378E-43.5913568E-43.5913568E-41.00.00.00418945870.00370909860.00370909861.00.0
7.18.045912E-66.88401E-66.88401E-61.00.03.4482026E-52.9502571E-52.9502571E-51.00.04.197378E-43.5913568E-43.5913568E-41.00.00.00418945870.00370909860.00370909861.00.0
7.27.375506E-66.388349E-66.388349E-61.00.03.1608928E-52.7378355E-52.7378355E-51.00.03.8477074E-43.332814E-43.332814E-41.00.00.0038410520.00344831360.00344831361.00.0
7.36.6063913E-65.9385097E-65.9385097E-61.00.02.8312797E-52.5450512E-52.5450512E-51.00.03.446538E-43.0981668E-43.0981668E-41.00.00.00344119730.00321138440.00321138441.00.0
7.46.4313126E-65.819479E-65.819479E-61.00.02.7562477E-52.4940391E-52.4940391E-51.00.03.355215E-43.036077E-43.036077E-41.00.00.00335015360.00314890430.00314890431.00.0
7.56.0742927E-65.6136114E-65.6136114E-61.00.02.6032423E-52.4058118E-52.4058118E-51.00.03.1689866E-42.928689E-42.928689E-41.00.00.00316447110.0030398810.0030398811.00.0
7.65.6987187E-65.43006E-65.43006E-61.00.02.4422852E-52.3271481E-52.3271481E-51.00.02.9730765E-42.8329415E-42.8329415E-41.00.00.0029691020.00294222920.00294222921.00.0
7.75.1658035E-65.0583735E-65.0583735E-61.00.02.2138971E-52.1678567E-52.1678567E-51.00.02.6950863E-42.6390524E-42.6390524E-41.00.00.002691820.00274591750.00274591751.00.0
7.83.6864697E-64.3241535E-64.3241535E-61.00.01.579906E-51.8531957E-51.8531957E-51.00.01.9233658E-42.2560373E-42.2560373E-41.00.00.00192170180.00235642770.00235642771.00.0
7.93.0265903E-63.6823012E-63.6823012E-61.00.01.2971037E-51.5781197E-51.5781197E-51.00.01.5791094E-41.9211961E-41.9211961E-41.00.00.00157798770.0020158040.0020158041.00.0
8.02.5271493E-63.195984E-63.195984E-61.00.01.0830595E-51.3697005E-51.3697005E-51.00.01.3185451E-41.6674872E-41.6674872E-41.00.00.00131776310.00175479730.00175479731.00.0
8.12.3749135E-63.0221145E-63.0221145E-61.00.01.0178161E-51.2951858E-51.2951858E-51.00.01.2391206E-41.576779E-41.576779E-41.00.00.00123842990.00166000030.00166000031.00.0
8.21.7186406E-91.1947605E-91.1947605E-91.00.07.3656024E-95.120402E-95.120402E-91.00.08.9676206E-86.2340895E-86.2340895E-81.00.08.9676166E-76.661809E-76.661809E-71.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00123410970.0012540851.0161862.0E-50.00256311240.00527348140.0052933761.00377262.0E-50.0307628460.0615256540.0615631941.00061014.0E-50.268354770.427609150.427632031.00005354.0E-5
6.15.015945E-40.00102711540.00104709481.0194522.0E-50.002147920.0043906790.0044105911.00453512.0E-50.0258393510.0515133140.0515512531.00073654.0E-50.230327760.374446180.374471221.00006694.0E-5
6.24.073338E-48.1597606E-48.3595974E-41.02449052.0E-50.00174454840.00348962240.00350955271.00571132.0E-50.0210340580.0411967520.0412351041.00093094.0E-50.191507820.314757320.31478471.0000874.0E-5
6.33.464099E-46.7916117E-46.991476E-41.02942812.0E-50.00148376920.00290546290.00292540461.00686362.0E-50.0179158730.03445510.034493721.00112094.0E-50.165383590.273144840.273173931.00010654.0E-5
6.42.935057E-45.59693E-45.796819E-41.03571392.0E-50.00125727510.00239513840.00241509061.00833022.0E-50.0152002480.0285326560.0285715141.00136184.0E-50.142015770.234915330.234945941.00013034.0E-5
6.52.3409708E-44.2620342E-44.461949E-41.0469062.0E-50.00100288750.00182459820.00184456171.01094132.0E-50.0121419650.0218575910.0218967161.001794.0E-50.114995730.188870470.188902911.00017184.0E-5
6.61.5842178E-42.5594857E-42.7594343E-41.07812072.0E-56.7877385E-40.0010964520.001116431.01822072.0E-50.00823280.0132662070.0133056761.00297524.0E-50.079343960.125340740.125375731.00027924.0E-5
6.71.5616413E-42.5130057E-42.7129555E-41.0795662.0E-56.691031E-40.00107655190.00109653041.01855782.0E-50.00811594350.0130274510.013066931.00303044.0E-50.07825860.123367740.1234028041.00028424.0E-5
6.81.5538467E-42.4952707E-42.6952208E-41.08013162.0E-56.6576427E-40.00106895820.00108893681.01868982.0E-50.0080755960.0129362590.0129757411.00305214.0E-50.077883580.122595940.122631041.00028624.0E-5
6.91.5153569E-42.4057453E-42.605697E-41.08311432.0E-56.49277E-40.00103062830.00105060781.01938572.0E-50.0078763330.0124762520.0125157531.00316614.0E-50.076029520.1186583860.1186936351.00029714.0E-5
7.01.4588932E-42.2906094E-42.4905635E-41.0872932.0E-56.250901E-49.813225E-40.00100130291.02036072.0E-50.00758394740.0118826690.0119221941.00332634.0E-50.0733028950.11348320.113518661.00031244.0E-5
7.11.1565079E-41.6725426E-41.872509E-41.11955852.0E-54.955521E-47.166079E-47.3659356E-41.02788932.0E-50.0060166690.0086900130.0087296651.0045634.0E-50.0585635380.085644390.085680961.0004274.0E-5
7.21.0393792E-41.5032949E-41.7032649E-41.13302112.0E-54.4537216E-46.4411096E-46.640981E-41.03103052.0E-50.0054089330.0078140320.0078537191.0050794.0E-50.0527915950.0774947850.077531681.00047614.0E-5
7.39.332884E-51.3148299E-41.5148036E-41.15209092.0E-53.999194E-45.633775E-45.8336626E-41.03548012.0E-50.00485815340.00683769020.00687741671.00580994.0E-50.0475331020.068165320.068202591.00054684.0E-5
7.48.670252E-51.20513694E-41.4051129E-41.16593622.0E-53.715293E-45.1638565E-45.3637533E-41.03871072.0E-50.0045139910.0062689980.00630874751.00634064.0E-50.0442339370.062756450.062793941.00059744.0E-5
7.57.3036405E-59.300231E-51.1300045E-41.21502842.0E-53.129756E-43.9852055E-44.1851256E-41.05016572.0E-50.00380382170.0048412160.00488102251.00822234.0E-50.037393670.0492789370.0493169651.00077184.0E-5
7.66.3935775E-58.548382E-51.0548211E-41.23394242.0E-52.7398168E-43.6630788E-43.8630055E-41.05457892.0E-50.00333062540.00445069840.00449052031.00894744.0E-50.0328114740.045268110.04530631.00084364.0E-5
7.75.5050095E-56.8993635E-58.899225E-51.28986182.0E-52.3590765E-42.956535E-43.156476E-41.06762672.0E-50.00286839270.00359364480.00363350121.01109084.0E-50.02831650.0369453470.036983871.00104274.0E-5
7.85.027131E-56.3802116E-58.380084E-51.31344932.0E-52.1543067E-42.7340898E-42.9340351E-41.07313052.0E-50.00261971350.00332367720.00336354441.01199484.0E-50.0258904530.0341812450.0342198761.00113024.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.1978073E-57.197703E-51.38475762.0E-51.5972654E-42.2274416E-42.427397E-41.08976912.0E-50.00194293590.00270853960.00274843141.01472814.0E-50.0192603620.0279271030.0279659851.00139224.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.259444E-55.2593787E-51.61358152.0E-51.17038646E-41.3968298E-41.5968019E-41.14316142.0E-50.00142401410.00169931460.00173924671.02349894.0E-50.0141492350.017805950.0178452381.00220644.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.8152658E-52.8152475E-51.55087351.0E-57.688579E-57.7794786E-58.779401E-51.12853341.0E-59.3568244E-49.4674056E-49.667216E-41.02110522.0E-50.0093175250.0101938690.0102136651.00194192.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.7766533E-65.7766533E-61.00.03.704486E-52.4756851E-52.4756851E-51.00.04.5092785E-43.0137307E-43.0137307E-41.00.00.00450013950.00341352240.00341352241.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.1618333E-78.1618333E-71.00.08.498917E-63.497924E-63.497924E-61.00.01.034694E-44.258641E-54.258641E-51.00.00.00103421245.0070725E-45.0070725E-41.00.0

Blue Cut

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2731747E-53.2731517E-51.43990341.0E-59.097391E-59.741846E-51.1741651E-41.205282.0E-50.00110704450.00118548250.0012154471.02527623.0E-50.0110154580.0117974360.0118369641.00335064.0E-5
6.12.1227985E-52.2731747E-53.2731517E-51.43990341.0E-59.097391E-59.741846E-51.1741651E-41.205282.0E-50.00110704450.00118548250.0012154471.02527623.0E-50.0110154580.0117974360.0118369641.00335064.0E-5
6.22.1227985E-52.2731747E-53.2731517E-51.43990341.0E-59.097391E-59.741846E-51.1741651E-41.205282.0E-50.00110704450.00118548250.0012154471.02527623.0E-50.0110154580.0117974360.0118369641.00335064.0E-5
6.31.1613981E-51.2359533E-51.2359533E-51.00.04.9773254E-55.2968422E-56.296789E-51.18878171.0E-56.0582085E-46.447122E-46.646993E-41.03100162.0E-50.00604171960.00642966670.00645947361.00463593.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2359533E-51.2359533E-51.00.04.9773254E-55.2968422E-56.296789E-51.18878171.0E-56.0582085E-46.447122E-46.646993E-41.03100162.0E-50.00604171960.00642966670.00645947361.00463593.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.486047E-69.486047E-61.00.03.8276554E-54.0653907E-55.06535E-51.24596881.0E-54.6591737E-44.948581E-45.1484816E-41.04039562.0E-50.00464941750.0049384710.00495837261.00402992.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.793871E-67.793871E-61.00.03.1479703E-53.340192E-54.340159E-51.2993741.0E-53.83198E-44.0660053E-44.265924E-41.04916832.0E-50.00382537880.0040593580.0040792771.00490692.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.658196E-66.658196E-61.00.02.690358E-52.8534856E-53.853457E-51.35043861.0E-53.2750185E-43.4736402E-43.5736055E-41.02877821.0E-50.00327019630.00346895210.00347891751.00287271.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.8577875E-65.8577875E-61.00.02.367154E-52.5104604E-53.5104353E-51.39832331.0E-52.8816288E-43.0561298E-43.156099E-41.03271111.0E-50.0028778950.00305264350.0030626131.00326591.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.06774E-65.06774E-61.00.02.0477004E-52.1718744E-53.1718526E-51.46042181.0E-52.4927902E-42.6440067E-42.7439801E-41.03781141.0E-50.00248999570.00264155380.00265152731.00377561.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.1203866E-64.1203866E-61.00.01.6642054E-51.765872E-52.7658543E-51.56628251.0E-52.0259817E-42.149806E-42.2497844E-41.04650581.0E-50.00202413560.00214840260.0021583811.00464461.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0111205E-63.0111205E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.2904776E-52.2904647E-51.7748971.0E-51.4795837E-41.571109E-41.6710933E-41.06363931.0E-50.0014785990.00157064410.00158062831.00635681.0E-5

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.8405118E-53.8404836E-51.35203921.0E-51.5187653E-41.2173061E-41.317294E-41.08213871.0E-50.00184752840.00148107510.00150104541.01348382.0E-50.0183224360.0151197830.0151493291.00195423.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.8405118E-53.8404836E-51.35203921.0E-51.5180321E-41.2173061E-41.317294E-41.08213871.0E-50.00184663720.00148107510.00150104541.01348382.0E-50.0183136720.0151197830.0151493291.00195423.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.8405118E-53.8404836E-51.35203921.0E-51.4865733E-41.2173061E-41.317294E-41.08213871.0E-50.00180840050.00148107510.00150104541.01348382.0E-50.0179375480.0151197820.0151493291.00195423.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.8250222E-53.824994E-51.35396961.0E-51.3750899E-41.21066834E-41.3106562E-41.0825891.0E-50.00167288620.00147300450.0014929751.01355772.0E-50.0166034880.0150408370.0150703861.00196463.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.821711E-53.8216825E-51.35438491.0E-51.364017E-41.2092493E-41.3092373E-41.0826861.0E-50.00165942540.00147127920.00149124981.01357362.0E-50.0164708850.01502399050.015053541.00196683.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.795593E-53.7955648E-51.35769581.0E-51.3526545E-41.1980569E-41.298045E-41.08345851.0E-50.00164561280.00145767070.00147764151.01370052.0E-50.01633480.0148896390.01491919251.00198483.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.7799471E-53.7799193E-51.3597091.0E-51.3485427E-41.1913522E-41.2913403E-41.08392821.0E-50.00164061420.00144951860.00146948971.01377772.0E-50.0162855480.0148094880.0148390451.00199573.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.741666E-53.7416386E-51.36473181.0E-51.3380898E-41.1749475E-41.2749358E-41.08510021.0E-50.00162790680.00142957210.00144954351.01397032.0E-50.016160330.014613580.0146431411.00202293.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.7236756E-53.7236485E-51.36714091.0E-51.3291716E-41.1672381E-41.2672263E-41.08566241.0E-50.0016170650.00142019820.00144016981.01406252.0E-50.0160534870.0145204210.01454998551.00203613.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.2632677E-53.263245E-51.4418291.0E-51.1417485E-49.699361E-51.0699264E-41.10308961.0E-50.00138919240.00118026150.00119024971.00846271.0E-50.01380540150.0121171850.0121270641.00081531.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.0912792E-52.0912792E-51.00.01.02228936E-48.962319E-58.962319E-51.00.00.00124392660.00109061870.00109061871.00.00.0123698660.011210120.011210121.00.0
7.12.3672901E-52.0748881E-52.0748881E-51.00.01.0145135E-48.892076E-58.892076E-51.00.00.00123447020.00108207520.00108207521.00.00.01227635050.0111251270.0111251271.00.0
7.22.2717244E-51.9972982E-51.9972982E-51.00.09.735599E-58.55957E-58.55957E-51.00.00.00118466460.00104163180.00104163181.00.00.011783690.0107209750.0107209751.00.0
7.32.1016205E-51.8809153E-51.8809153E-51.00.09.006634E-58.060818E-58.060818E-51.00.00.0010960069.809649E-49.809649E-41.00.00.0109061630.0101138180.0101138181.00.0
7.42.0683625E-51.8610543E-51.8610543E-51.00.08.86411E-57.975705E-57.975705E-51.00.00.0010786719.706115E-49.706115E-41.00.00.0107345010.010009970.010009971.00.0
7.51.9993966E-51.8201958E-51.8201958E-51.00.08.568561E-57.800607E-57.800607E-51.00.00.0010427239.493122E-49.493122E-41.00.00.0103784380.0097950720.0097950721.00.0
7.61.788966E-51.6840479E-51.6840479E-51.00.07.666772E-57.21715E-57.21715E-51.00.09.3302975E-48.7833556E-48.7833556E-41.00.00.009291220.0090793780.0090793781.00.0
7.71.5125781E-51.4630279E-51.4630279E-51.00.06.4823165E-56.269969E-56.269969E-51.00.07.889362E-47.6310226E-47.6310226E-41.00.00.0078614120.0079208470.0079208471.00.0
7.81.250089E-51.3007681E-51.3007681E-51.00.05.3574146E-55.574602E-55.574602E-51.00.06.5207E-46.784971E-46.784971E-41.00.00.0065015990.00706643150.00706643151.00.0
7.99.561E-61.0085332E-51.0085332E-51.00.04.0975072E-54.322214E-54.322214E-51.00.04.987573E-45.261031E-45.261031E-41.00.00.00497639370.0055268670.0055268671.00.0
8.08.01699E-68.5937945E-68.5937945E-61.00.03.4358076E-53.683003E-53.683003E-51.00.04.1822926E-44.4831395E-44.4831395E-41.00.00.00417443040.00473210540.00473210541.00.0
8.16.541947E-66.706271E-66.706271E-61.00.02.8036617E-52.8740847E-52.8740847E-51.00.03.4129233E-43.4986416E-43.4986416E-41.00.00.00340768650.00371030790.00371030791.00.0
8.21.7968189E-68.4350773E-78.4350773E-71.00.07.70063E-63.6150282E-63.6150282E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.4012104E-54.4012104E-51.00.09.371159E-44.972366E-44.972366E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-75.251747E-85.251747E-81.00.06.500522E-72.2507486E-72.2507486E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.7402834E-62.7402834E-61.00.07.914075E-53.1732423E-53.1732423E-51.00.0

Cerro Prieto

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9101528E-46.027398E-46.027398E-41.00.00.00124661220.00258085970.0025908341.00386461.0E-50.0150722310.0311205980.0311399771.00062262.0E-50.140899790.255771850.25579421.00008733.0E-5
6.12.9101528E-46.027398E-46.027398E-41.00.00.00124661220.00258085970.0025908341.00386461.0E-50.0150722310.0311205980.0311399771.00062262.0E-50.140899790.255771850.25579421.00008733.0E-5
6.22.9101528E-46.027398E-46.027398E-41.00.00.00124661220.00258085970.0025908341.00386461.0E-50.0150722310.0311205980.0311399771.00062262.0E-50.140899790.255771850.25579421.00008733.0E-5
6.32.9101528E-46.027398E-46.027398E-41.00.00.00124661220.00258085970.0025908341.00386461.0E-50.0150722310.0311205980.0311399771.00062262.0E-50.140899790.255771850.25579421.00008733.0E-5
6.42.508648E-45.199265E-45.199265E-41.00.00.00107469180.00222655620.0022365341.00448121.0E-50.0130060880.0269387010.0269581621.00072242.0E-50.122706850.226218830.226242041.00010263.0E-5
6.52.508648E-45.199265E-45.199265E-41.00.00.00107469180.00222655620.0022365341.00448121.0E-50.0130060880.0269387010.0269581621.00072242.0E-50.122706850.226218830.226242041.00010263.0E-5
6.62.294914E-44.7693582E-44.7693582E-41.00.09.831638E-40.0020426010.00205258051.00488571.0E-50.0119044820.0246948820.0247143881.00078992.0E-50.112865860.210358930.210374731.00007512.0E-5
6.71.9621674E-44.096586E-44.096586E-41.00.08.4065786E-40.00175466060.00175466061.00.00.0101870710.0211753750.0211851631.00046231.0E-50.097325390.184606160.184614321.00004421.0E-5
6.81.5476145E-43.1017457E-43.1017457E-41.00.06.6309475E-40.00132874730.00132874731.00.00.0080433350.016055420.0160652591.00061291.0E-50.077583630.144855040.144863591.0000591.0E-5
6.91.20509176E-42.2950333E-42.2950333E-41.00.05.1636563E-49.832801E-49.832801E-41.00.00.0062686450.0119210050.0119308861.00082891.0E-50.0609473740.110728650.110737551.00008031.0E-5
7.09.3269155E-51.7012183E-41.7012183E-41.00.03.9966372E-47.2893436E-47.2893436E-41.00.00.00485505440.0088465740.0088564861.00112031.0E-50.047503440.084182590.0841917541.00010881.0E-5
7.15.029709E-58.338939E-58.338939E-51.00.02.1554115E-43.5735418E-43.5735418E-41.00.00.00262105530.00434565870.00435561551.00229121.0E-50.0259035560.0430542040.0430637751.00022221.0E-5
7.26.5445185E-87.149468E-87.149468E-81.00.02.8047933E-73.0640578E-73.0640578E-71.00.03.4148304E-63.7304903E-63.7304903E-61.00.03.414778E-53.7304904E-53.7304904E-51.00.0

Pinto Mtn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7980608E-56.797965E-51.4168152.0E-51.893932E-42.0561588E-42.2561177E-41.09724882.0E-50.00230342360.00250066330.00252061341.00797782.0E-50.0227969380.0247428210.024772081.00118243.0E-5
6.14.4194956E-54.7980608E-56.797965E-51.4168152.0E-51.893932E-42.0561588E-42.2561177E-41.09724882.0E-50.00230342360.00250066330.00252061341.00797782.0E-50.0227969380.0247428210.024772081.00118243.0E-5
6.24.4194956E-54.7980608E-56.797965E-51.4168152.0E-51.893932E-42.0561588E-42.2561177E-41.09724882.0E-50.00230342360.00250066330.00252061341.00797782.0E-50.0227969380.0247428210.024772081.00118243.0E-5
6.34.4194956E-54.7980608E-56.797965E-51.4168152.0E-51.893932E-42.0561588E-42.2561177E-41.09724882.0E-50.00230342360.00250066330.00252061341.00797782.0E-50.0227969380.0247428210.024772081.00118243.0E-5
6.43.729929E-53.971784E-55.9717047E-51.5035322.0E-51.5984432E-41.7020873E-41.9020532E-41.11748282.0E-50.00194436730.00207041530.00209037381.00963992.0E-50.0192744270.0205213220.0205507051.0014323.0E-5
6.53.729929E-53.971784E-55.9717047E-51.5035322.0E-51.5984432E-41.7020873E-41.9020532E-41.11748282.0E-50.00194436730.00207041530.00209037381.00963992.0E-50.0192744270.0205213220.0205507051.0014323.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.1308195E-54.130788E-51.31939521.0E-51.2944164E-41.3417126E-41.4416993E-41.07452171.0E-50.00157481270.0016323460.00164232961.00611621.0E-50.0156369920.0162074450.016227121.0012142.0E-5
6.72.9857754E-53.0917203E-54.0916893E-51.32343451.0E-51.2795553E-41.3249577E-41.4249443E-41.07546411.0E-50.00155674530.0016119770.00162196091.00619351.0E-50.0154588480.0160067030.0160263831.00122952.0E-5
6.82.4819734E-52.5105117E-53.5104866E-51.39831521.0E-51.0636595E-41.0758904E-41.17587966E-41.09293631.0E-50.00129423620.00130913120.00131911811.00762871.0E-50.0128672440.0130165720.0130363121.00151652.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3432012E-53.3431777E-51.42675661.0E-59.990149E-51.0041916E-41.1041815E-41.09957251.0E-50.0012156220.0012219380.00123192571.00817371.0E-50.0120899360.0121543960.0121741521.00162552.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.1853986E-53.1853768E-51.45757251.0E-59.3504656E-59.365669E-51.0365575E-41.10676291.0E-50.00113782460.00113969370.00114968221.00876431.0E-50.0113201630.0113406010.0113603751.00174362.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.063253E-53.0632324E-51.48466161.0E-58.854332E-58.842224E-59.8421355E-51.11308371.0E-50.00107748180.00107602880.0010860181.00928341.0E-50.0107227240.0107102480.0107300341.00184742.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9144696E-52.9144505E-51.52232791.0E-58.138417E-58.204622E-59.2045404E-51.12187251.0E-59.904018E-49.984744E-40.00100846451.01000521.0E-50.0098599950.0099418930.00996169451.00199172.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4992908E-52.4992758E-51.6669721.0E-55.7152483E-56.425381E-57.425317E-51.15562281.0E-56.956093E-47.820222E-47.9201435E-41.01277731.0E-50.0069343590.00779401050.0078138541.00254612.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.1944148E-52.194403E-51.83722011.0E-54.0345374E-55.1188257E-56.118775E-51.19534731.0E-54.910942E-46.2304834E-46.330421E-41.01604011.0E-50.00490010340.0062139710.0062338471.00319852.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.238849E-61.9238758E-52.08237581.0E-53.090013E-53.9594514E-54.9594117E-51.25255021.0E-53.7614413E-44.8196444E-44.919596E-41.02073841.0E-50.00375508070.00480997380.00482987751.0041382.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.624136E-61.462409E-53.1625561.0E-51.4127245E-51.9817584E-52.9817385E-51.50459241.0E-51.7198564E-42.4125383E-42.5125142E-41.04144011.0E-50.00171852590.00241006280.00243001451.00827852.0E-5
7.72.5741092E-63.6597155E-61.3659679E-53.73244291.0E-51.103185E-51.5684409E-52.5684252E-51.63756591.0E-51.3430449E-41.9094233E-42.0094041E-41.05236181.0E-50.00134223350.00190791860.00191789961.00523131.0E-5

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.4119383E-41.511924E-41.07081461.0E-57.378611E-46.049781E-46.149721E-41.01651951.0E-50.0089465150.007341120.0073609731.00270442.0E-50.085947940.0721444040.072162961.00025732.0E-5
6.11.7221631E-41.4119383E-41.511924E-41.07081461.0E-57.378611E-46.049781E-46.149721E-41.01651951.0E-50.0089465150.007341120.0073609731.00270442.0E-50.085947940.0721444040.072162961.00025732.0E-5
6.21.7221631E-41.4119383E-41.511924E-41.07081461.0E-57.378611E-46.049781E-46.149721E-41.01651951.0E-50.0089465150.007341120.0073609731.00270442.0E-50.085947940.0721444040.072162961.00025732.0E-5
6.31.716926E-41.4038067E-41.5037926E-41.07122491.0E-57.3561794E-46.014948E-46.1148877E-41.01661531.0E-50.0089194280.00729899430.00731884831.00272012.0E-50.085698090.071753850.071772421.00025872.0E-5
6.41.6392978E-41.3906146E-41.4906007E-41.07190061.0E-57.02367E-45.9584365E-46.058377E-41.0167731.0E-50.0085178390.0072306490.0072505041.0027462.0E-50.081986540.070938090.070956661.00026192.0E-5
6.51.5742714E-41.295556E-41.3955431E-41.07717691.0E-56.745133E-45.5512186E-45.6511635E-41.01800411.0E-50.008181320.00673798430.00675784941.00294832.0E-50.0788659450.066349070.066367741.00028152.0E-5
6.61.3038084E-41.1867029E-41.286691E-41.08425711.0E-55.5865536E-45.0848915E-45.1848404E-41.01965611.0E-50.0067804380.00617351660.0061933931.00321962.0E-50.06577250.060636740.0606555271.00030982.0E-5
6.71.2867592E-41.1591514E-41.2591398E-41.086261.0E-55.5135164E-44.966859E-45.066809E-41.02012351.0E-50.00669206540.00603061540.00605049451.00329642.0E-50.064940930.059340380.0593591931.00031712.0E-5
6.81.2801298E-41.152861E-41.2528495E-41.08673071.0E-55.485117E-44.93991E-45.039861E-41.02023331.0E-50.00665770050.00599800140.00601788141.00331452.0E-50.064617380.0590525160.0590713361.00031862.0E-5
6.91.269149E-41.1369615E-41.2369502E-41.08794371.0E-55.4380763E-44.8717952E-44.971747E-41.02051631.0E-50.0066007770.0059155250.00593540631.0033612.0E-50.064081220.05832040.0583392341.00032292.0E-5
7.01.2030331E-41.1094925E-41.2094814E-41.09012131.0E-55.154837E-44.7541145E-44.854067E-41.02102451.0E-50.0062579690.0057730160.00579290051.00344442.0E-50.060846480.0569660140.0569848751.0003312.0E-5
7.18.049617E-55.5995617E-56.599505E-51.17857541.0E-53.4493793E-42.3995934E-42.4995694E-41.04166381.0E-50.00419153460.0029176280.00293756971.00683492.0E-50.0411335160.0306451710.030664561.00063262.0E-5
7.27.093979E-54.476928E-55.4768832E-51.22335741.0E-53.0399222E-41.9185437E-42.0185245E-41.05211281.0E-50.00369482530.00233334930.00235330241.00855142.0E-50.036339940.024861980.0248814841.00078442.0E-5
7.36.193693E-53.0273995E-54.027369E-51.33030651.0E-52.6541698E-41.2973926E-41.3973795E-41.07706771.0E-50.00322666370.00157843270.00159840121.01265082.0E-50.0318021330.0172239860.017243641.00114122.0E-5
7.45.906492E-52.8332019E-53.8331735E-51.35294761.0E-52.5311083E-41.21417295E-41.3141608E-41.08235061.0E-50.00307726980.00147725470.00149722511.01351862.0E-50.0303500440.0161620680.0161817451.00121752.0E-5
7.55.424296E-52.5887997E-53.588774E-51.38626931.0E-52.324491E-41.1094385E-41.2094274E-41.09012571.0E-50.0028263950.00134990570.00136987881.01479592.0E-50.0279071650.0148052870.0148249911.00133092.0E-5
7.64.43084E-52.0876096E-53.0875886E-51.47900681.0E-51.8987931E-48.946592E-59.946502E-51.11176441.0E-50.00230932960.00108870350.00110868171.01835052.0E-50.0228547830.011931810.011951571.00165622.0E-5
7.74.118098E-51.9867122E-52.9866924E-51.50333421.0E-51.7647797E-48.514203E-59.514118E-51.11744081.0E-50.0021465020.00103611150.00105609081.01928292.0E-50.0212588660.0113678070.011387581.00173942.0E-5
7.83.5408906E-51.9471956E-52.9471761E-51.51354911.0E-51.5174363E-48.344857E-59.3447736E-51.11982431.0E-50.00184591310.00101551310.00103549281.01967442.0E-50.0183065520.0111358520.01115562951.0017762.0E-5
7.92.5860836E-51.8142675E-52.8142493E-51.55117671.0E-51.10827445E-47.7752E-58.775123E-51.1286041.0E-50.0013484899.462198E-49.6620084E-41.02111672.0E-50.0134033540.0103451820.0103649761.00191332.0E-5
8.01.9777332E-51.5546932E-52.5546775E-51.64320371.0E-58.4757245E-56.6628E-57.662734E-51.1500771.0E-50.00103143098.1089424E-48.3087804E-41.02464412.0E-50.0102665670.0088836830.0089035051.00223142.0E-5
8.11.468494E-51.268826E-52.2688133E-51.78812021.0E-56.293394E-55.4377124E-56.437658E-51.18389081.0E-57.6595135E-46.618406E-46.8182737E-41.03019882.0E-50.00763316640.0072782870.00729814131.00272792.0E-5
8.28.63836E-65.770688E-65.770688E-61.00.03.7021015E-52.4731287E-52.4731287E-51.00.04.5063766E-43.010619E-43.010619E-41.00.00.0044972490.00341042040.00341042041.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.1618333E-78.1618333E-71.00.08.498917E-63.497924E-63.497924E-61.00.01.034694E-44.258641E-54.258641E-51.00.00.00103421245.0070725E-45.0070725E-41.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.17762E-58.17762E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.504256E-43.504256E-41.00.00.0034802940.00425858240.00427849731.00467632.0E-50.034262910.0418248660.041844031.00045822.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.17762E-58.17762E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.504256E-43.504256E-41.00.00.0034802940.00425858240.00427849731.00467632.0E-50.034262910.0418248660.041844031.00045822.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.651625E-54.651625E-51.00.01.6884868E-41.9934046E-41.9934046E-41.00.00.00205379450.0024243210.0024243211.00.00.0203491670.0239853640.0239853641.00.0
6.33.2590255E-53.7976763E-53.7976763E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.6274757E-41.6274757E-41.00.00.00169909560.00197968070.00197968071.00.00.016861630.0196242390.0196242391.00.0
6.42.9454652E-53.413893E-53.413893E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4630164E-41.4630164E-41.00.00.00153574380.00177979320.00177979321.00.00.0152517390.0176585650.0176585651.00.0
6.52.790836E-53.2285843E-53.2285843E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.3836069E-41.3836069E-41.00.00.0014551790.00168326530.00168326531.00.00.0144568680.0167081730.0167081731.00.0
6.62.2492153E-52.5791313E-52.5791313E-51.00.09.639138E-51.105296E-41.105296E-41.00.00.00117293310.0013448820.0013448821.00.00.0116676150.01336914950.01336914951.00.0
6.71.9862755E-52.2690836E-52.2690836E-51.00.08.512331E-59.7242875E-59.7242875E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118330030.00118330031.00.00.0103106820.0117712920.0117712921.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.8997462E-51.8997462E-51.00.07.155907E-58.141521E-58.141521E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.907887E-49.907887E-41.00.00.0086747840.0098647440.0098647441.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.7287135E-51.7287135E-51.00.06.522015E-57.408566E-57.408566E-51.00.07.93766E-49.016285E-49.016285E-41.00.00.0079093670.0089806520.0089806521.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4047161E-51.4047161E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.020077E-56.020077E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.327055E-47.327055E-41.00.00.00644564540.00730368540.00730368541.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.238756E-51.238756E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.30885E-55.30885E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.461682E-46.461682E-41.00.00.00568905850.0064436410.0064436411.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0855842E-51.0855842E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6524252E-54.6524252E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.662927E-45.662927E-41.00.00.00498619630.0056492220.0056492221.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.093127E-69.093127E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8970004E-53.8970004E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7436357E-44.7436357E-41.00.00.00417429860.00473421440.00473421441.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.365879E-63.365879E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.44251435E-51.44251435E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7561702E-41.7561702E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175527860.00175527861.00.0

Earthquake Valley (So Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0194888E-53.7136968E-54.7136597E-51.26926351.0E-51.2940024E-41.5915127E-41.6914967E-41.06282331.0E-50.00157430930.00193645890.00194643951.0051541.0E-50.015632030.0192462670.019265881.00101912.0E-5
6.13.0194888E-53.7136968E-54.7136597E-51.26926351.0E-51.2940024E-41.5915127E-41.6914967E-41.06282331.0E-50.00157430930.00193645890.00194643951.0051541.0E-50.015632030.0192462670.019265881.00101912.0E-5
6.23.0194888E-53.7136968E-54.7136597E-51.26926351.0E-51.2940024E-41.5915127E-41.6914967E-41.06282331.0E-50.00157430930.00193645890.00194643951.0051541.0E-50.015632030.0192462670.019265881.00101912.0E-5
6.31.5795305E-51.8470795E-51.8470795E-51.00.06.769241E-57.915878E-57.915878E-51.00.08.238434E-49.6344313E-49.6344313E-41.00.00.0082079590.0096035870.0096134911.00103131.0E-5
6.41.5795305E-51.8470795E-51.8470795E-51.00.06.769241E-57.915878E-57.915878E-51.00.08.238434E-49.6344313E-49.6344313E-41.00.00.0082079590.0096035870.0096134911.00103131.0E-5
6.51.5795305E-51.8470795E-51.8470795E-51.00.06.769241E-57.915878E-57.915878E-51.00.08.238434E-49.6344313E-49.6344313E-41.00.00.0082079590.0096035870.0096134911.00103131.0E-5
6.61.5795305E-51.8470795E-51.8470795E-51.00.06.769241E-57.915878E-57.915878E-51.00.08.238434E-49.6344313E-49.6344313E-41.00.00.0082079590.0096035870.0096134911.00103131.0E-5
6.71.1363076E-51.3154489E-51.3154489E-51.00.04.8697988E-55.6375597E-55.6375597E-51.00.05.927367E-46.8623305E-46.8623305E-41.00.00.00591158170.00684863140.00685856261.00145021.0E-5
6.81.0049611E-51.1608466E-51.1608466E-51.00.04.306905E-54.975003E-54.975003E-51.00.05.242395E-46.056116E-46.056116E-41.00.00.00523004540.00604680650.0060567461.00164381.0E-5
6.91.0049611E-51.1608466E-51.1608466E-51.00.04.306905E-54.975003E-54.975003E-51.00.05.242395E-46.056116E-46.056116E-41.00.00.00523004540.00604680650.0060567461.00164381.0E-5
7.01.0049611E-51.1608466E-51.1608466E-51.00.04.306905E-54.975003E-54.975003E-51.00.05.242395E-46.056116E-46.056116E-41.00.00.00523004540.00604680650.0060567461.00164381.0E-5
7.18.140254E-69.39493E-69.39493E-61.00.03.4886336E-54.026374E-54.026374E-51.00.04.2465836E-44.9016805E-44.9016805E-41.00.00.00423847740.0048974610.0049074121.00203191.0E-5
7.21.673835E-71.4181036E-71.4181036E-71.00.07.173577E-76.077585E-76.077585E-71.00.08.733795E-67.399439E-67.399439E-61.00.08.733451E-57.3992276E-57.3992276E-51.00.0
7.31.6632116E-71.407918E-71.407918E-71.00.07.1280476E-76.0339335E-76.0339335E-71.00.08.678364E-67.3462925E-67.3462925E-61.00.08.6780245E-57.3460855E-57.3460855E-51.00.0
7.41.6569169E-71.402375E-71.402375E-71.00.07.1010703E-76.0101775E-76.0101775E-71.00.08.645519E-67.3173705E-67.3173705E-61.00.08.645182E-57.317165E-57.317165E-51.00.0
7.51.1764555E-71.01175665E-71.01175665E-71.00.05.041951E-74.3360993E-74.3360993E-71.00.06.138558E-65.27919E-65.27919E-61.00.06.1383886E-55.2790863E-55.2790863E-51.00.0
7.61.07927605E-79.2813096E-89.2813096E-81.00.04.6254678E-73.9777035E-73.9777035E-71.00.05.6314925E-64.8428456E-64.8428456E-61.00.05.63135E-54.842761E-54.842761E-51.00.0
7.72.1826905E-81.12119425E-81.12119425E-81.00.09.3543875E-84.805118E-84.805118E-81.00.01.1388961E-65.8502303E-75.8502303E-71.00.01.1388902E-55.85022E-65.85022E-61.00.0
7.82.6169649E-91.2001865E-91.2001865E-91.00.01.1215564E-85.1436566E-95.1436566E-91.00.01.3654947E-76.262402E-86.262402E-81.00.01.365494E-66.2624014E-76.2624014E-71.00.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.515171E-52.515171E-51.00.07.183948E-51.07789E-41.07789E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00131161320.00131161321.00.00.008708630.01314968150.0131694191.0015012.0E-5
6.11.6763008E-52.515171E-52.515171E-51.00.07.183948E-51.07789E-41.07789E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00131161320.00131161321.00.00.008708630.01314968150.0131694191.0015012.0E-5
6.21.6763008E-52.515171E-52.515171E-51.00.07.183948E-51.07789E-41.07789E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00131161320.00131161321.00.00.008708630.01314968150.0131694191.0015012.0E-5
6.31.6763008E-52.515171E-52.515171E-51.00.07.183948E-51.07789E-41.07789E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00131161320.00131161321.00.00.008708630.01314968150.0131694191.0015012.0E-5
6.41.6763008E-52.515171E-52.515171E-51.00.07.183948E-51.07789E-41.07789E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00131161320.00131161321.00.00.008708630.01314968150.0131694191.0015012.0E-5
6.51.6763008E-52.515171E-52.515171E-51.00.07.183948E-51.07789E-41.07789E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00131161320.00131161321.00.00.008708630.01314968150.0131694191.0015012.0E-5
6.69.910213E-61.7596654E-51.7596654E-51.00.04.247165E-57.541208E-57.541208E-51.00.05.169696E-49.17759E-49.17759E-41.00.00.00515768630.0092442350.0092541431.00107181.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.7596654E-51.7596654E-51.00.04.247165E-57.541208E-57.541208E-51.00.05.169696E-49.17759E-49.17759E-41.00.00.00515768630.0092442350.0092541431.00107181.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.585519E-51.585519E-51.00.03.557164E-56.7949055E-56.7949055E-51.00.04.3299864E-48.269672E-48.269672E-41.00.00.0043215590.0083432920.0083432921.00.0
6.98.183114E-61.5726233E-51.5726233E-51.00.03.5070017E-56.739641E-56.739641E-51.00.04.2689382E-48.202438E-48.202438E-41.00.00.00426074680.008276560.008276561.00.0
7.07.1748823E-61.4508496E-51.4508496E-51.00.03.0749135E-56.217779E-56.217779E-51.00.03.743064E-47.567522E-47.567522E-41.00.00.00373676540.0076456370.0076456371.00.0
7.17.1671807E-61.4498814E-51.4498814E-51.00.03.0716128E-56.21363E-56.21363E-51.00.03.7390468E-47.5624743E-47.5624743E-41.00.00.00373276180.0076406240.0076406241.00.0
7.27.0649667E-61.4344869E-51.4344869E-51.00.03.0278077E-56.147657E-56.147657E-51.00.03.6857324E-47.4822066E-47.4822066E-41.00.00.00367962550.00756077050.00756077051.00.0
7.37.02082E-61.4287603E-51.4287603E-51.00.03.008888E-56.123115E-56.123115E-51.00.03.6627054E-47.4523484E-47.4523484E-41.00.00.00365667440.0075309060.0075309061.00.0
7.46.987146E-61.4246757E-51.4246757E-51.00.02.9944567E-56.1056104E-56.1056104E-51.00.03.6451413E-47.431051E-47.431051E-41.00.00.00363916790.00750963670.00750963671.00.0
7.56.9494554E-61.4203353E-51.4203353E-51.00.02.9783041E-56.0870098E-56.0870098E-51.00.03.625482E-47.4084196E-47.4084196E-41.00.00.00361957260.007487110.007487111.00.0
7.66.92694E-61.4161893E-51.4161893E-51.00.02.9686547E-56.069242E-56.069242E-51.00.03.6137376E-47.386802E-47.386802E-41.00.00.00360786660.00746557630.00746557631.00.0
7.76.395867E-61.3025107E-51.3025107E-51.00.02.741057E-55.5820696E-55.5820696E-51.00.03.336726E-46.794054E-46.794054E-41.00.00.00333172010.00687640770.00687640771.00.0
7.85.8664327E-61.1861915E-51.1861915E-51.00.02.5141611E-55.0835788E-55.0835788E-51.00.03.060561E-46.1875023E-46.1875023E-41.00.00.00305634950.00626630570.00626630571.00.0
7.93.7167474E-67.3118163E-67.3118163E-61.00.01.592882E-53.133598E-53.133598E-51.00.01.9391612E-43.8144895E-43.8144895E-41.00.00.00193746990.0038679920.0038679921.00.0
8.01.0903841E-61.3316754E-61.3316754E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.707168E-65.707168E-61.00.05.68931E-56.948257E-56.948257E-51.00.05.6878536E-47.171596E-47.171596E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.1801753E-71.1801753E-71.00.01.1526245E-65.0578933E-75.0578933E-71.00.01.4033113E-56.157968E-66.157968E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.870359E-56.870359E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.6329552E-92.6329552E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.1284094E-81.1284094E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.3738384E-71.3738384E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.557197E-61.557197E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.6200685E-52.6535507E-53.6535243E-51.37684361.0E-53.6937918E-41.13718655E-41.2371752E-41.08792631.0E-50.00448792150.00138364710.00140361941.01443462.0E-50.0439836120.0154960130.0155157031.00127072.0E-5
6.18.6200685E-52.6535507E-53.6535243E-51.37684361.0E-53.6937918E-41.13718655E-41.2371752E-41.08792631.0E-50.00448792150.00138364710.00140361941.01443462.0E-50.0439836120.0154960130.0155157031.00127072.0E-5
6.28.6200685E-52.6535507E-53.6535243E-51.37684361.0E-53.6937918E-41.13718655E-41.2371752E-41.08792631.0E-50.00448792150.00138364710.00140361941.01443462.0E-50.0439836120.0154960130.0155157031.00127072.0E-5
6.38.551163E-52.6217784E-53.621752E-51.38141051.0E-53.6642692E-41.123571E-41.2235598E-41.0889921.0E-50.0044521250.00136709110.00138706361.01460962.0E-50.0436397940.0153187110.0153384051.00128562.0E-5
6.48.551163E-52.6217784E-53.621752E-51.38141051.0E-53.6642692E-41.123571E-41.2235598E-41.0889921.0E-50.0044521250.00136709110.00138706361.01460962.0E-50.0436397940.0153187110.0153384051.00128562.0E-5
6.58.511146E-52.6033742E-53.603348E-51.38410691.0E-53.647124E-41.1156841E-41.215673E-41.08962111.0E-50.0044313360.00135750080.00137747371.01471292.0E-50.043440070.0152155990.0152352951.00129452.0E-5
6.68.4985084E-52.5962658E-53.59624E-51.38515851.0E-53.6417096E-41.112638E-41.2126269E-41.08986651.0E-50.00442477040.00135379680.00137376971.01475322.0E-50.0433769860.015177180.0151968771.00129772.0E-5
6.78.462618E-52.578644E-53.5786183E-51.38779071.0E-53.6263323E-41.10508634E-41.2050753E-41.09048071.0E-50.0044061250.00134461410.00136458711.01485422.0E-50.0431978070.0150795090.0150992071.00130632.0E-5
6.88.42337E-52.5678472E-53.5678215E-51.38942131.0E-53.6095164E-41.10045956E-41.2004485E-41.09086111.0E-50.0043857340.00133898780.0013589611.01491672.0E-50.0430018230.0150181860.0150378851.00131172.0E-5
6.98.365989E-52.5477473E-53.5477216E-51.39249361.0E-53.5849313E-41.09184606E-41.1918352E-41.0915781.0E-50.0043559220.00132851370.00134848721.01503442.0E-50.042715230.0149077850.0149274871.00132162.0E-5
7.08.30936E-52.5233829E-53.5233577E-51.39628341.0E-53.560668E-41.08140506E-41.18139425E-41.09246231.0E-50.0043264990.00131581720.0013357911.01517962.0E-50.0424322970.0147761290.0147958331.00133352.0E-5
7.18.041264E-52.4908932E-53.4908684E-51.40145241.0E-53.4458007E-41.0674821E-41.1674714E-41.09366831.0E-50.00418719460.00129888630.00131886031.01537782.0E-50.0410917250.0145922570.0146119661.00135062.0E-5
7.27.8427016E-52.4318344E-53.4318102E-51.41120221.0E-53.3607247E-41.04217324E-41.1421628E-41.09594331.0E-50.0040840080.00126810910.00128808371.01575152.0E-50.0400976350.0142681620.0142878771.00138182.0E-5
7.37.721087E-52.4098117E-53.4097877E-51.41496011.0E-53.3086175E-41.0327357E-41.1327254E-41.09682021.0E-50.0040208030.00125663220.0012766071.01589562.0E-50.039488270.0141491210.0141688381.00139362.0E-5
7.47.3536525E-52.2142272E-53.2142052E-51.45161491.0E-53.1511846E-49.4892006E-51.04891056E-41.10537291.0E-50.00382981940.00115469920.00117467621.01730052.0E-50.0376448520.0130703570.01309009551.00151012.0E-5
7.56.806207E-51.984817E-52.9847972E-51.50381481.0E-52.9166197E-48.506082E-59.5059964E-51.1175531.0E-50.00354520350.00103512460.0010551041.01930132.0E-50.0348917660.0117724690.0117922331.00167882.0E-5
7.65.6731416E-51.5014718E-52.5014568E-51.66600321.0E-52.43112E-46.43472E-57.4346564E-51.15539691.0E-50.00295587127.831458E-48.031301E-41.02551812.0E-50.029168620.0089572740.0089770951.00221282.0E-5
7.74.946994E-51.4021169E-52.4021028E-51.71319741.0E-52.1199681E-46.0089336E-57.008874E-51.16640891.0E-50.0025780067.313423E-47.5132767E-41.0273272.0E-50.025483030.0083435850.0083634181.0023772.0E-5
7.83.9718198E-51.37270035E-52.3726867E-51.7284811.0E-51.7020974E-45.882869E-56.88281E-51.1699751.0E-50.00207033387.1600405E-47.359898E-41.02791292.0E-50.0205115150.0081335960.0081534331.00243892.0E-5
7.92.4115114E-51.284498E-52.2844852E-51.77850431.0E-51.0334639E-45.5048753E-56.50482E-51.18164721.0E-50.0012575166.700126E-46.899992E-41.02983022.0E-50.0125042380.00751789150.00753774071.00264042.0E-5
8.01.7756569E-51.2004813E-52.2004693E-51.83298921.0E-57.6097356E-55.1448184E-56.144767E-51.19436041.0E-59.260915E-46.2620174E-46.4618926E-41.03191862.0E-50.0092224160.00697942260.0069992831.00284552.0E-5
8.11.3159258E-51.0249791E-52.0249689E-51.97561971.0E-55.6395602E-54.3926935E-55.3926495E-51.22764071.0E-56.864001E-45.3467933E-45.5466866E-41.03738562.0E-50.00684283860.0059605050.0059803861.00333552.0E-5
8.28.635426E-65.7684224E-65.7684224E-61.00.03.700844E-52.4721578E-52.4721578E-51.00.04.5048463E-43.009437E-43.009437E-41.00.00.0044957250.003409170.003409171.00.0
8.31.983087E-68.1618333E-78.1618333E-71.00.08.498917E-63.497924E-63.497924E-61.00.01.034694E-44.258641E-54.258641E-51.00.00.00103421245.0070725E-45.0070725E-41.00.0

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.655038E-56.655038E-51.00.02.1564208E-42.8519004E-42.8519004E-41.00.00.00262228120.0034675510.00347751641.00287391.0E-50.025915530.034237140.03424681.0002821.0E-5
6.15.0320643E-56.655038E-56.655038E-51.00.02.1564208E-42.8519004E-42.8519004E-41.00.00.00262228120.0034675510.00347751641.00287391.0E-50.025915530.034237140.03424681.0002821.0E-5
6.22.4125871E-53.1085234E-53.1085234E-51.00.01.0339249E-41.3321587E-41.3321587E-41.00.00.00125807660.00162087350.00163085741.00615951.0E-50.0125097810.0161236670.0161335061.00061021.0E-5
6.31.7433485E-52.2441678E-52.2441678E-51.00.07.471279E-59.617549E-59.617549E-51.00.09.0924866E-40.00117045070.0011804391.00853371.0E-50.0090553730.01167283950.0116827231.00084671.0E-5
6.41.7433485E-52.2441678E-52.2441678E-51.00.07.471279E-59.617549E-59.617549E-51.00.09.0924866E-40.00117045070.0011804391.00853371.0E-50.0090553730.01167283950.0116827231.00084671.0E-5
6.51.5182742E-51.9509085E-51.9509085E-51.00.06.506727E-58.3608065E-58.3608065E-51.00.07.919061E-40.00101759280.00102758271.00981711.0E-50.00789090.0101591890.0101690871.00097431.0E-5
6.66.7271576E-68.604258E-68.604258E-61.00.02.8830356E-53.6874902E-53.6874902E-51.00.03.5095305E-44.4886518E-44.4886518E-41.00.00.00350399320.00449680960.00449680961.00.0
6.76.682835E-68.536629E-68.536629E-61.00.02.8640408E-53.6585072E-53.6585072E-51.00.03.4864116E-44.453379E-44.453379E-41.00.00.0034809470.00446164470.00446164471.00.0
6.86.5774975E-68.382879E-68.382879E-61.00.02.8188972E-53.592616E-53.592616E-51.00.03.4314668E-44.373189E-44.373189E-41.00.00.00342617280.0043817070.0043817071.00.0
6.96.363419E-68.055477E-68.055477E-61.00.02.727151E-53.4523047E-53.4523047E-51.00.03.3198006E-44.202427E-44.202427E-41.00.00.00331484550.00421140530.00421140531.00.0
7.06.1342453E-67.686939E-67.686939E-61.00.02.6289357E-53.294364E-53.294364E-51.00.03.2002592E-44.0102057E-44.0102057E-41.00.00.00319565440.00401969770.00401969771.00.0
7.15.842926E-67.1963914E-67.1963914E-61.00.02.504087E-53.0841344E-53.0841344E-51.00.03.0482994E-43.7543412E-43.7543412E-41.00.00.00304412140.00376469670.00376469671.00.0
7.24.77173E-65.4038665E-65.4038665E-61.00.02.045011E-52.3159246E-52.3159246E-51.00.02.4895166E-42.8193142E-42.8193142E-41.00.00.00248672930.00283187720.00283187721.00.0
7.33.0494948E-62.745487E-62.745487E-61.00.01.3069198E-51.1766321E-51.1766321E-51.00.01.5910587E-41.432457E-41.432457E-41.00.00.00158991990.00144134890.00144134891.00.0
7.42.7263884E-62.338522E-62.338522E-61.00.01.1684469E-51.00222005E-51.00222005E-51.00.01.4224913E-41.2201356E-41.2201356E-41.00.00.00142158110.00122815520.00122815521.00.0
7.52.6090431E-62.1977187E-62.1977187E-61.00.01.1181565E-59.418761E-69.418761E-61.00.01.3612706E-41.1466748E-41.1466748E-41.00.00.0013604370.00115448730.00115448731.00.0
7.62.3008756E-61.9017974E-61.9017974E-61.00.09.860858E-68.150535E-68.150535E-61.00.01.20049335E-49.922833E-59.922833E-51.00.00.0011998459.999514E-49.999514E-41.00.0
7.71.7184348E-61.3680157E-61.3680157E-61.00.07.3646997E-65.8629116E-65.8629116E-61.00.08.966153E-57.137865E-57.137865E-51.00.08.962536E-47.212817E-47.212817E-41.00.0
7.88.4612907E-78.5902525E-78.5902525E-71.00.03.6262625E-63.6815316E-63.6815316E-61.00.04.4148852E-54.4821747E-54.4821747E-51.00.04.414008E-44.5345482E-44.5345482E-41.00.0
7.92.716738E-73.8447564E-73.8447564E-71.00.01.1643157E-61.6477518E-61.6477518E-61.00.01.4175452E-52.0061203E-52.0061203E-51.00.01.4174548E-42.022119E-42.022119E-41.00.0
8.02.1995428E-83.451328E-83.451328E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4791406E-71.4791406E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.8008528E-61.8008528E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.82092E-51.82092E-51.00.0

La Panza 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6754544E-64.7188014E-64.7188014E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.0223288E-52.0223288E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4619268E-42.4619268E-41.00.00.00243661760.0024593940.00246936941.00405611.0E-5
6.14.6754544E-64.7188014E-64.7188014E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.0223288E-52.0223288E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4619268E-42.4619268E-41.00.00.00243661760.0024593940.00246936941.00405611.0E-5
6.24.6754544E-64.7188014E-64.7188014E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.0223288E-52.0223288E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4619268E-42.4619268E-41.00.00.00243661760.0024593940.00246936941.00405611.0E-5
6.34.6754544E-64.7188014E-64.7188014E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.0223288E-52.0223288E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4619268E-42.4619268E-41.00.00.00243661760.0024593940.00246936941.00405611.0E-5
6.44.6754544E-64.7188014E-64.7188014E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.0223288E-52.0223288E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4619268E-42.4619268E-41.00.00.00243661760.0024593940.00246936941.00405611.0E-5
6.52.485343E-62.5016063E-62.5016063E-61.00.01.0651426E-51.0721128E-51.0721128E-51.00.01.296734E-41.305223E-41.305223E-41.00.00.00129597750.00130449480.00131448171.00765591.0E-5
6.62.485343E-62.5016063E-62.5016063E-61.00.01.0651426E-51.0721128E-51.0721128E-51.00.01.296734E-41.305223E-41.305223E-41.00.00.00129597750.00130449480.00131448171.00765591.0E-5
6.71.5108508E-61.5155565E-61.5155565E-61.00.06.4750584E-66.4952264E-66.4952264E-61.00.07.8830984E-57.907662E-57.907662E-51.00.07.880303E-47.9049566E-48.0048776E-41.01264021.0E-5
6.81.3865837E-61.3894148E-61.3894148E-61.00.05.942488E-65.954622E-65.954622E-61.00.07.234739E-57.249521E-57.249521E-51.00.07.232384E-47.247254E-47.3471817E-41.01378831.0E-5
6.99.826583E-79.804951E-79.804951E-71.00.04.2113857E-64.2021156E-64.2021156E-61.00.05.1272415E-55.1159608E-55.1159608E-51.00.05.126059E-45.114837E-45.214786E-41.0195411.0E-5
7.06.7797646E-76.7185766E-76.7185766E-71.00.02.9056102E-62.879387E-62.879387E-61.00.03.537523E-53.5056004E-53.5056004E-51.00.03.5369597E-43.5050785E-43.6050435E-41.028521.0E-5
7.13.4979826E-73.395434E-73.395434E-71.00.01.4991346E-61.4551852E-61.4551852E-61.00.01.825181E-51.7716748E-51.7716748E-51.00.01.825031E-41.7715452E-41.8715275E-41.05643781.0E-5
7.22.5088332E-72.3911193E-72.3911193E-71.00.01.0752137E-61.0247651E-61.0247651E-61.00.01.3090649E-51.2476452E-51.2476452E-51.00.01.3089878E-41.2475837E-41.3475712E-41.0801451.0E-5
7.31.0159086E-78.721915E-88.721915E-81.00.04.3538932E-73.737963E-73.737963E-71.00.05.300852E-64.550961E-64.550961E-61.00.05.3007258E-54.5508717E-54.5508717E-51.00.0
7.43.5006252E-81.9652493E-81.9652493E-81.00.01.5002678E-78.4224965E-88.4224965E-81.00.01.8265745E-61.0254386E-61.0254386E-61.00.01.8265595E-51.025434E-51.025434E-51.00.0
7.52.592274E-81.0424432E-81.0424432E-81.00.01.1109746E-74.4676135E-84.4676135E-81.00.01.3526106E-65.439318E-75.439318E-71.00.01.3526024E-55.439306E-65.439306E-61.00.0
7.61.9016717E-85.363858E-95.363858E-91.00.08.150022E-82.2987962E-82.2987962E-81.00.09.922647E-72.7987838E-72.7987838E-71.00.09.922603E-62.7987805E-62.7987805E-61.00.0
7.71.17738495E-81.2915403E-91.2915403E-91.00.05.0459356E-85.535172E-95.535172E-91.00.06.1434247E-76.7390715E-86.7390715E-81.00.06.143408E-66.73907E-76.73907E-71.00.0
7.85.489079E-92.1474011E-102.1474011E-101.00.02.3524624E-89.203138E-109.203138E-101.00.02.8641225E-71.120482E-81.120482E-81.00.02.8641189E-61.1204819E-71.1204819E-71.00.0
7.92.5081048E-97.201795E-117.201795E-111.00.01.0749021E-83.0864789E-103.0864789E-101.00.01.3086932E-73.7577865E-93.7577865E-91.00.01.3086925E-63.7577866E-83.7577866E-81.00.0

Paradise

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.670599E-51.670599E-51.00.06.364676E-57.159527E-57.159527E-51.00.07.7462377E-48.7134744E-48.7134744E-41.00.00.00771929140.0086816920.0086916051.00114191.0E-5
6.11.4851273E-51.670599E-51.670599E-51.00.06.364676E-57.159527E-57.159527E-51.00.07.7462377E-48.7134744E-48.7134744E-41.00.00.00771929140.0086816920.0086916051.00114191.0E-5
6.21.4851273E-51.670599E-51.670599E-51.00.06.364676E-57.159527E-57.159527E-51.00.07.7462377E-48.7134744E-48.7134744E-41.00.00.00771929140.0086816920.0086916051.00114191.0E-5
6.31.0426831E-51.1896758E-51.1896758E-51.00.04.4685654E-55.0985145E-55.0985145E-51.00.05.43912E-46.205733E-46.205733E-41.00.00.00542582660.00618901240.00619895061.00160571.0E-5
6.41.0426831E-51.1896758E-51.1896758E-51.00.04.4685654E-55.0985145E-55.0985145E-51.00.05.43912E-46.205733E-46.205733E-41.00.00.00542582660.00618901240.00619895061.00160571.0E-5
6.59.25027E-61.0627341E-51.0627341E-51.00.03.964341E-54.5544977E-54.5544977E-51.00.04.8255164E-45.5437395E-45.5437395E-41.00.00.00481505130.005530410.00554035461.00179821.0E-5
6.67.904275E-69.165958E-69.165958E-61.00.03.3875025E-53.9282106E-53.9282106E-51.00.04.1235037E-44.7815865E-44.7815865E-41.00.00.00411586040.00477169550.00477169551.00.0
6.77.2061953E-68.413236E-68.413236E-61.00.03.088333E-53.6056248E-53.6056248E-51.00.03.7593965E-44.3890005E-44.3890005E-41.00.00.0037530430.0043807020.0043807021.00.0
6.86.6948724E-67.847836E-67.847836E-61.00.02.8691995E-53.363317E-53.363317E-51.00.03.4926904E-44.0941048E-44.0941048E-41.00.00.0034872060.004086920.004086921.00.0
6.96.0421025E-67.1358936E-67.1358936E-61.00.02.5894467E-53.058206E-53.058206E-51.00.03.1521954E-43.7227638E-43.7227638E-41.00.00.00314772780.0037168660.0037168661.00.0
7.04.134091E-65.0845756E-65.0845756E-61.00.01.7717413E-52.1790866E-52.1790866E-51.00.02.1568815E-42.6527303E-42.6527303E-41.00.00.00215478920.0026497170.0026497171.00.0
7.13.7674888E-64.635903E-64.635903E-61.00.01.6146281E-51.9868014E-51.9868014E-51.00.01.9656324E-42.4186773E-42.4186773E-41.00.00.00196389460.00241619560.00241619561.00.0
7.23.4065345E-64.1604812E-64.1604812E-61.00.01.4599351E-51.7830522E-51.7830522E-51.00.01.777326E-42.1706647E-42.1706647E-41.00.00.00177590530.00216869290.00216869291.00.0
7.32.9934936E-63.6325553E-63.6325553E-61.00.01.2829195E-51.556801E-51.556801E-51.00.01.5618425E-41.8952551E-41.8952551E-41.00.00.00156074530.00189378420.00189378421.00.0
7.42.4049796E-62.8907127E-62.8907127E-61.00.01.0307015E-51.23887185E-51.23887185E-51.00.01.2548068E-41.5082365E-41.5082365E-41.00.00.00125409850.00150735440.00150735441.00.0
7.51.2710091E-61.5145861E-61.5145861E-61.00.05.44717E-66.491074E-66.491074E-61.00.06.631728E-57.902721E-57.902721E-51.00.06.6297496E-47.901138E-47.901138E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6046433E-72.6046433E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1162754E-61.1162754E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3590597E-51.3590597E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3590047E-41.3590047E-41.00.0

Sheephole

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.742716E-61.4742669E-53.10848641.0E-51.9534009E-52.03258E-53.0325597E-51.49197551.0E-52.3780059E-42.4744406E-42.5744157E-41.04040311.0E-50.00237546280.002472230.00248220541.00403491.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.742716E-61.4742669E-53.10848641.0E-51.9534009E-52.03258E-53.0325597E-51.49197551.0E-52.3780059E-42.4744406E-42.5744157E-41.04040311.0E-50.00237546280.002472230.00248220541.00403491.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.788347E-62.788347E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.195001E-51.195001E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.4548274E-41.4548274E-41.00.00.00139103640.00145398090.00145398091.00.0
6.32.6677674E-62.788347E-62.788347E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.195001E-51.195001E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.4548274E-41.4548274E-41.00.00.00139103640.00145398090.00145398091.00.0
6.42.2159759E-62.3237321E-62.3237321E-61.00.09.497005E-69.958818E-69.958818E-61.00.01.156199E-41.2124267E-41.2124267E-41.00.00.00115559760.00121184470.00121184471.00.0
6.52.1986082E-62.3056064E-62.3056064E-61.00.09.4225725E-69.881138E-69.881138E-61.00.01.1471378E-41.20297016E-41.20297016E-41.00.00.00114654580.00120239830.00120239831.00.0
6.61.5232331E-61.6025215E-61.6025215E-61.00.06.5281256E-66.8679324E-66.8679324E-61.00.07.947703E-58.361405E-58.361405E-51.00.07.9448614E-48.358447E-48.358447E-41.00.0
6.71.3137362E-61.3833725E-61.3833725E-61.00.05.6302856E-65.9287263E-65.9287263E-61.00.06.854657E-57.2179995E-57.2179995E-51.00.06.8525434E-47.215794E-47.215794E-41.00.0
6.81.2275751E-61.2928031E-61.2928031E-61.00.05.2610258E-65.5405735E-65.5405735E-61.00.06.4051106E-56.745453E-56.745453E-51.00.06.4032647E-46.7435397E-46.7435397E-41.00.0
6.91.1837088E-61.2466019E-61.2466019E-61.00.05.0730278E-65.3425692E-65.3425692E-61.00.06.176237E-56.5043976E-56.5043976E-51.00.06.17452E-46.502625E-46.502625E-41.00.0
7.09.849371E-71.0370429E-61.0370429E-61.00.04.2211523E-64.4444623E-64.4444623E-61.00.05.1391315E-55.411009E-55.411009E-51.00.05.137943E-45.4097926E-45.4097926E-41.00.0
7.18.1643645E-78.5950916E-78.5950916E-71.00.03.4990085E-63.6836059E-63.6836059E-61.00.04.2599597E-54.4847067E-54.4847067E-51.00.04.259143E-44.483888E-44.483888E-41.00.0
7.25.7295756E-76.031904E-76.031904E-71.00.02.45553E-62.5850995E-62.5850995E-61.00.02.9895667E-53.1473202E-53.1473202E-51.00.02.9891645E-43.1469413E-43.1469413E-41.00.0

Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.20513E-54.8726968E-54.8726968E-51.00.01.8020741E-42.0881601E-42.0881601E-41.00.00.00219181740.0025398820.0025398821.00.00.0217032490.025159770.0251695181.00038741.0E-5
6.14.20513E-54.8726968E-54.8726968E-51.00.01.8020741E-42.0881601E-42.0881601E-41.00.00.00219181740.0025398820.0025398821.00.00.0217032490.025159770.0251695181.00038741.0E-5
6.22.3413893E-52.4740439E-52.4740439E-51.00.01.0034139E-41.0602669E-41.0602669E-41.00.00.00122097180.00129019680.00129019681.00.00.0121428510.0128357260.0128455981.0007691.0E-5
6.32.3413893E-52.4740439E-52.4740439E-51.00.01.0034139E-41.0602669E-41.0602669E-41.00.00.00122097180.00129019680.00129019681.00.00.0121428510.0128357260.0128455981.0007691.0E-5
6.41.6894814E-51.6598056E-51.6598056E-51.00.07.240433E-57.113281E-57.113281E-51.00.08.811662E-48.657346E-48.657346E-41.00.00.00877680350.0086272780.0086371911.0011491.0E-5
6.51.6894814E-51.6598056E-51.6598056E-51.00.07.240433E-57.113281E-57.113281E-51.00.08.811662E-48.657346E-48.657346E-41.00.00.00877680350.0086272780.0086371911.0011491.0E-5
6.61.1910969E-51.0550663E-51.0550663E-51.00.05.1046012E-54.5216424E-54.5216424E-51.00.06.21308E-45.5038405E-45.5038405E-41.00.00.00619573750.00549151140.00550145661.0018111.0E-5
6.79.1486E-67.2175894E-67.2175894E-61.00.03.9207694E-53.093218E-53.093218E-51.00.04.7724912E-43.7653805E-43.7653805E-41.00.00.00476225470.00375938140.00375938141.00.0
6.87.90441E-65.7416814E-65.7416814E-61.00.03.3875604E-52.4606981E-52.4606981E-51.00.04.1235742E-42.995501E-42.995501E-41.00.00.00411593080.00299159250.00299159251.00.0
6.97.77015E-65.595538E-65.595538E-61.00.03.3300217E-52.3980663E-52.3980663E-51.00.04.0535472E-42.9192676E-42.9192676E-41.00.00.0040461610.00291556030.00291556031.00.0
7.07.675798E-65.4923235E-65.4923235E-61.00.03.289586E-52.3538323E-52.3538323E-51.00.04.004335E-42.8654266E-42.8654266E-41.00.00.0039971270.0028618590.0028618591.00.0
7.17.447814E-65.251083E-65.251083E-61.00.03.191881E-52.2504455E-52.2504455E-51.00.03.8854225E-42.7395855E-42.7395855E-41.00.00.0038786360.0027363330.0027363331.00.0
7.27.128185E-64.917676E-64.917676E-61.00.03.0549007E-52.1075592E-52.1075592E-51.00.03.7187067E-42.565663E-42.565663E-41.00.00.003712490.002562820.002562821.00.0
7.37.0913875E-64.8863303E-64.8863303E-61.00.03.0391306E-52.0941256E-52.0941256E-51.00.03.6995133E-42.5493113E-42.5493113E-41.00.00.00369336040.00254650580.00254650581.00.0
7.47.051521E-64.8501647E-64.8501647E-61.00.03.0220453E-52.0786261E-52.0786261E-51.00.03.6787192E-42.5304453E-42.5304453E-41.00.00.00367263520.00252768280.00252768281.00.0
7.56.910666E-64.745504E-64.745504E-61.00.02.9616802E-52.0337724E-52.0337724E-51.00.03.605249E-42.4758483E-42.4758483E-41.00.00.00359940580.00247320860.00247320861.00.0
7.66.341753E-64.3179875E-64.3179875E-61.00.02.7178658E-51.8505536E-51.8505536E-51.00.03.3084993E-42.2528277E-42.2528277E-41.00.00.00330357770.00225065970.00225065971.00.0
7.73.9205916E-62.2507763E-62.2507763E-61.00.01.6802427E-59.646153E-69.646153E-61.00.02.0455034E-41.1743633E-41.1743633E-41.00.00.00204362160.0011738160.0011738161.00.0
7.82.0846227E-78.5104226E-88.5104226E-81.00.08.9340944E-73.6473236E-73.6473236E-71.00.01.0877206E-54.4406106E-64.4406106E-61.00.01.0876673E-44.4405548E-54.4405548E-51.00.0
7.94.4969806E-92.2738487E-92.2738487E-91.00.01.9272775E-89.745066E-99.745066E-91.00.02.3464601E-71.1864618E-71.1864618E-71.00.02.3464577E-61.1864612E-61.1864612E-61.00.0

Laguna Salada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6465593E-54.6483863E-54.6483863E-51.00.01.9912305E-41.9920224E-41.9920224E-41.00.00.00242162780.00242266570.00242266571.00.00.023954080.0240259950.0240357561.00040631.0E-5
6.13.982297E-53.735915E-53.735915E-51.00.01.706587E-41.6010145E-41.6010145E-41.00.00.00207578970.0019475850.0019475851.00.00.0205650650.0193704460.0193802531.00050631.0E-5
6.23.6067784E-53.2705335E-53.2705335E-51.00.01.5456705E-41.4015877E-41.4015877E-41.00.00.00188022950.00170518840.00170518841.00.00.0186440030.0170070790.017016911.0005781.0E-5
6.33.2859112E-52.894255E-52.894255E-51.00.01.4081717E-41.2403412E-41.2403412E-41.00.00.00171310060.0015091590.0015091591.00.00.0169995460.0150706890.0150706891.00.0
6.42.9132116E-52.4935809E-52.4935809E-51.00.01.2484594E-41.0686389E-41.0686389E-41.00.00.00151893960.0013003790.0013003791.00.00.0150859920.0129981380.0129981381.00.0
6.52.7075037E-52.2902675E-52.2902675E-51.00.01.1603071E-49.8151126E-59.8151126E-51.00.00.00141175840.00119442350.00119442351.00.00.0140282330.0119462770.0119462771.00.0
6.62.2367465E-51.8635004E-51.8635004E-51.00.09.5857045E-57.986232E-57.986232E-51.00.00.00116643469.719727E-49.719727E-41.00.00.0116033110.0097305810.0097305811.00.0
6.71.9458053E-51.5970358E-51.5970358E-51.00.08.338899E-56.8443056E-56.8443056E-51.00.00.0010147888.330563E-48.330563E-41.00.00.0101016650.0083454390.0083454391.00.0
6.81.0767866E-59.196893E-69.196893E-61.00.04.614718E-53.941505E-53.941505E-51.00.05.6169706E-44.7984143E-44.7984143E-41.00.00.00560279420.0048155960.0048155961.00.0
6.92.1384765E-61.7925354E-61.7925354E-61.00.09.164866E-67.682274E-67.682274E-61.00.01.1157654E-49.352806E-59.352806E-51.00.00.00111520539.3492534E-49.3492534E-41.00.0
7.02.0952946E-61.7504613E-61.7504613E-61.00.08.979802E-67.5019575E-67.5019575E-61.00.01.0932361E-49.133289E-59.133289E-51.00.00.00109269849.129918E-49.129918E-41.00.0
7.11.7887576E-61.4510863E-61.4510863E-61.00.07.666081E-66.2189283E-66.2189283E-61.00.09.333054E-57.571313E-57.571313E-51.00.09.329135E-47.569038E-47.569038E-41.00.0
7.29.723109E-77.142754E-77.142754E-71.00.04.16704E-63.0611777E-63.0611777E-61.00.05.073253E-53.726937E-53.726937E-51.00.05.072095E-43.7264745E-43.7264745E-41.00.0

Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1364202E-59.977826E-69.977826E-61.00.09.1557646E-54.276146E-54.276146E-51.00.00.00111414425.205052E-45.3049996E-41.01920211.0E-50.0110857490.00519373170.00520367971.00191551.0E-5
6.12.1364202E-59.977826E-69.977826E-61.00.09.1557646E-54.276146E-54.276146E-51.00.00.00111414425.205052E-45.3049996E-41.01920211.0E-50.0110857490.00519373170.00520367971.00191551.0E-5
6.22.1364202E-59.977826E-69.977826E-61.00.09.1557646E-54.276146E-54.276146E-51.00.00.00111414425.205052E-45.3049996E-41.01920211.0E-50.0110857490.00519373170.00520367971.00191551.0E-5
6.31.7751237E-58.0974805E-68.0974805E-61.00.07.607452E-53.4703062E-53.4703062E-51.00.09.258136E-44.2243415E-44.2243415E-41.00.00.009219660.00421693550.00421693551.00.0
6.41.7751237E-58.0974805E-68.0974805E-61.00.07.607452E-53.4703062E-53.4703062E-51.00.09.258136E-44.2243415E-44.2243415E-41.00.00.009219660.00421693550.00421693551.00.0
6.51.5886664E-56.6108155E-66.6108155E-61.00.06.808392E-52.8331786E-52.8331786E-51.00.08.286065E-43.448896E-43.448896E-41.00.00.0082552370.00344400880.00344400881.00.0
6.61.5886664E-56.6108155E-66.6108155E-61.00.06.808392E-52.8331786E-52.8331786E-51.00.08.286065E-43.448896E-43.448896E-41.00.00.0082552370.00344400880.00344400881.00.0
6.71.428471E-55.4765537E-65.4765537E-61.00.06.121875E-52.3470755E-52.3470755E-51.00.07.450834E-42.8572293E-42.8572293E-41.00.00.0074259020.00285394470.00285394471.00.0
6.81.3490684E-55.0794974E-65.0794974E-61.00.05.7815934E-52.1769116E-52.1769116E-51.00.07.0368167E-42.6501063E-42.6501063E-41.00.00.0070145760.0026473280.0026473281.00.0
6.91.2235421E-54.2949987E-64.2949987E-61.00.05.2436466E-51.8407029E-51.8407029E-51.00.06.38227E-42.2408614E-42.2408614E-41.00.00.00636397070.0022389570.0022389571.00.0
7.01.1009851E-53.7240159E-63.7240159E-61.00.04.7184225E-51.595999E-51.595999E-51.00.05.743165E-41.94299E-41.94299E-41.00.00.0057283450.00194162990.00194162991.00.0
7.19.726373E-63.216261E-63.216261E-61.00.04.168379E-51.37839215E-51.37839215E-51.00.05.07382E-41.678097E-41.678097E-41.00.00.00506225040.0016771620.0016771621.00.0
7.23.9335127E-61.1543822E-61.1543822E-61.00.01.6857803E-54.9473433E-64.9473433E-61.00.02.0522442E-46.0232298E-56.0232298E-51.00.00.002050356.021657E-46.021657E-41.00.0
7.32.661632E-66.9248995E-76.9248995E-71.00.01.14069435E-52.9678108E-62.9678108E-61.00.01.3887069E-43.6132507E-53.6132507E-51.00.00.00138783933.6126736E-43.6126736E-41.00.0
7.42.0893426E-65.4727434E-75.4727434E-71.00.08.954295E-62.3454593E-62.3454593E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8555598E-52.8555598E-51.00.00.00108959622.8551984E-42.8551984E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6100758E-73.6100758E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.5471744E-61.5471744E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.883669E-51.883669E-51.00.06.093505E-41.883514E-41.883514E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.142478E-87.142478E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0610616E-73.0610616E-71.00.06.863748E-63.7268378E-63.7268378E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7267913E-53.7267913E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.5296023E-54.529567E-51.2833081.0E-51.5653463E-41.5125991E-41.612584E-41.06610131.0E-50.00190414310.00184003580.00185001751.00542461.0E-50.0188790990.0189882310.018998041.00051671.0E-5
6.13.652694E-53.5296023E-54.529567E-51.2833081.0E-51.5653463E-41.5125991E-41.612584E-41.06610131.0E-50.00190414310.00184003580.00185001751.00542461.0E-50.0188790990.0189882310.018998041.00051671.0E-5
6.23.652694E-53.5296023E-54.529567E-51.2833081.0E-51.5653463E-41.5125991E-41.612584E-41.06610131.0E-50.00190414310.00184003580.00185001751.00542461.0E-50.0188790990.0189882310.018998041.00051671.0E-5
6.33.652694E-53.5296023E-54.529567E-51.2833081.0E-51.5653463E-41.5125991E-41.612584E-41.06610131.0E-50.00190414310.00184003580.00185001751.00542461.0E-50.0188790990.0189882310.018998041.00051671.0E-5
6.43.646941E-53.5217396E-54.5217042E-51.28394061.0E-51.5628811E-41.5092298E-41.6092147E-41.0662491.0E-50.00190114680.0018359410.00184592271.00543681.0E-50.0188496450.0189480280.0189578381.00051771.0E-5
6.53.646941E-53.5217396E-54.5217042E-51.28394061.0E-51.5628811E-41.5092298E-41.6092147E-41.0662491.0E-50.00190114680.0018359410.00184592271.00543681.0E-50.0188496450.0189480280.0189578381.00051771.0E-5
6.63.6442503E-53.5180692E-54.518034E-51.28423681.0E-51.561728E-41.5076569E-41.6076418E-41.0663181.0E-50.00189974550.00183402930.0018440111.00544251.0E-50.0188358690.018929260.018939071.00051831.0E-5
6.73.6432113E-53.5166227E-54.5165874E-51.28435371.0E-51.5612828E-41.5070371E-41.607022E-41.06634531.0E-50.00189920440.00183327610.00184325781.00544481.0E-50.0188305490.0189218670.0189316781.00051841.0E-5
6.83.6409598E-53.5135196E-54.5134842E-51.28460491.0E-51.560318E-41.5057073E-41.6056922E-41.0664041.0E-50.00189803180.00183165980.00184164151.00544951.0E-50.0188190230.0189059840.0189157951.00051891.0E-5
6.93.638078E-53.5095505E-54.5095156E-51.28492681.0E-51.5590832E-41.5040067E-41.6039915E-41.06647911.0E-50.00189653110.00182959270.00183957441.00545571.0E-50.0188042690.018885670.018895481.00051951.0E-5
7.03.6294874E-53.4977194E-54.497684E-51.28589061.0E-51.5554018E-41.4989366E-41.5989215E-41.06670391.0E-50.00189205690.00182343040.00183341221.00547421.0E-50.0187602840.0188251120.0188349221.00052121.0E-5
7.13.6260717E-53.4933386E-54.4933036E-51.28624921.0E-51.5539382E-41.4970593E-41.5970443E-41.06678761.0E-50.0018902780.00182114870.00183113051.0054811.0E-50.0187427960.0188026670.018812481.00052191.0E-5
7.23.6210204E-53.486735E-54.4867E-51.28679131.0E-51.5517735E-41.4942295E-41.5942146E-41.06691411.0E-50.0018876470.00181770920.0018276911.00549141.0E-50.018716930.0187688230.0187786351.00052291.0E-5
7.33.6119454E-53.4754794E-54.4754448E-51.28772011.0E-51.5478847E-41.4894064E-41.5893915E-41.06713081.0E-50.00188292060.00181184670.00182182871.00550931.0E-50.0186704620.0187109780.018720791.00052441.0E-5
7.43.607848E-53.470188E-54.470153E-51.28815891.0E-51.5461289E-41.4871387E-41.5871238E-41.06723321.0E-50.00188078660.00180909050.00181907241.00551761.0E-50.0186494810.0186837730.0186935871.00052521.0E-5
7.53.5856774E-53.450932E-54.4508975E-51.28976681.0E-51.5366284E-41.4788871E-41.5788723E-41.06760841.0E-50.00186923960.00179906080.00180904291.00554851.0E-50.0185359440.0185837130.0185935271.00052811.0E-5
7.63.286655E-53.3010074E-53.3010074E-51.00.01.4084904E-41.4146409E-41.4146409E-41.00.00.0017134880.00172096680.00172096681.00.00.0170033610.0177921170.0177921171.00.0
7.72.8882527E-53.0083878E-53.0083878E-51.00.01.237764E-41.2892454E-41.2892454E-41.00.00.00150593570.00156852730.00156852731.00.00.0149577130.0162694660.0162694661.00.0
7.82.4950225E-52.7340871E-52.7340871E-51.00.01.0692515E-41.17169904E-41.17169904E-41.00.00.00130103620.0014256110.0014256111.00.00.0129344550.0148339680.0148339681.00.0
7.91.9881603E-52.2233573E-52.2233573E-51.00.08.520408E-59.528326E-59.528326E-51.00.00.0010368660.00115945730.00115945731.00.00.0103204150.0121550.0121551.00.0
8.01.563292E-51.65231E-51.65231E-51.00.06.6996516E-57.0811366E-57.0811366E-51.00.08.153773E-48.617881E-48.617881E-41.00.00.008123920.0091189150.0091189151.00.0
8.11.0045313E-58.64511E-68.64511E-61.00.04.305063E-53.7049947E-53.7049947E-51.00.05.2401534E-44.509903E-44.509903E-41.00.00.00522781440.0048437760.0048437761.00.0
8.24.1554413E-61.6652706E-61.6652706E-61.00.01.7808914E-57.1368545E-67.1368545E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.6887776E-58.6887776E-51.00.00.00216590540.00100519530.00100519531.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.8818231E-73.8818231E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.6636374E-61.6636374E-61.00.06.65684E-52.0254602E-52.0254602E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.4317011E-42.4317011E-41.00.0

San Juan

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.682808E-68.772457E-68.772457E-61.00.03.72115E-53.7595728E-53.7595728E-51.00.04.5295584E-44.5763666E-44.5763666E-41.00.00.0045203370.0045674870.00457744161.00217941.0E-5
6.18.682808E-68.772457E-68.772457E-61.00.03.72115E-53.7595728E-53.7595728E-51.00.04.5295584E-44.5763666E-44.5763666E-41.00.00.0045203370.0045674870.00457744161.00217941.0E-5
6.28.682808E-68.772457E-68.772457E-61.00.03.72115E-53.7595728E-53.7595728E-51.00.04.5295584E-44.5763666E-44.5763666E-41.00.00.0045203370.0045674870.00457744161.00217941.0E-5
6.36.3054235E-66.305173E-66.305173E-61.00.02.7022963E-52.7021899E-52.7021899E-51.00.03.2895492E-43.2894337E-43.2894337E-41.00.00.0032846840.0032847680.00329473521.00303441.0E-5
6.46.1490473E-66.134012E-66.134012E-61.00.02.6352795E-52.6288364E-52.6288364E-51.00.03.2079802E-43.200152E-43.200152E-41.00.00.00320335340.00319574330.00320571151.00311911.0E-5
6.55.204848E-65.156168E-65.156168E-61.00.02.23063E-52.209768E-52.209768E-51.00.02.7154534E-42.69007E-42.69007E-41.00.00.00271213780.00268697090.0026969441.00371171.0E-5
6.64.5179986E-64.4293415E-64.4293415E-61.00.01.9362706E-51.8982759E-51.8982759E-51.00.02.3571544E-42.3109137E-42.3109137E-41.00.00.00235465590.00230865090.00231862771.00432161.0E-5
6.73.9442616E-63.832667E-63.832667E-61.00.01.6903869E-51.6425618E-51.6425618E-51.00.02.0578515E-41.9996421E-41.9996421E-41.00.00.0020559470.00199797070.00200795081.00499511.0E-5
6.83.4536245E-63.3286585E-63.3286585E-61.00.01.4801163E-51.4265605E-51.4265605E-51.00.01.8018926E-41.7367052E-41.7367052E-41.00.00.00180043220.00173546990.00174545251.00575211.0E-5
6.93.059865E-62.9238067E-62.9238067E-61.00.01.3113641E-51.2530542E-51.2530542E-51.00.01.596469E-41.5254926E-41.5254926E-41.00.00.00159532240.00152456310.00153454791.00654921.0E-5
7.02.6504351E-62.5031354E-62.5031354E-61.00.01.1358958E-51.0727683E-51.0727683E-51.00.01.3828653E-41.3060225E-41.3060225E-41.00.00.00138200520.001305370.00131535691.00765061.0E-5
7.12.2039317E-62.043017E-62.043017E-61.00.09.445387E-68.755761E-68.755761E-61.00.01.1499152E-41.0659671E-41.0659671E-41.00.00.00114932030.00106556890.00107555821.00937461.0E-5
7.21.0786707E-68.8495744E-78.8495744E-71.00.04.622866E-63.792669E-63.792669E-61.00.05.628194E-54.617478E-54.617478E-51.00.05.6267687E-44.6171393E-44.7170933E-41.02164841.0E-5
7.36.846433E-74.917442E-74.917442E-71.00.02.9341822E-62.1074734E-62.1074734E-61.00.03.5723086E-52.5658186E-52.5658186E-51.00.03.571734E-42.5658694E-42.5658694E-41.00.0
7.45.23043E-73.299197E-73.299197E-71.00.02.2416111E-61.4139408E-61.4139408E-61.00.02.7291273E-51.7214594E-51.7214594E-51.00.02.7287923E-41.721655E-41.721655E-41.00.0
7.54.648444E-72.7549265E-72.7549265E-71.00.01.9921886E-61.1806824E-61.1806824E-61.00.02.4254627E-51.4374713E-51.4374713E-51.00.02.425198E-41.437684E-41.437684E-41.00.0
7.63.9906567E-72.2334419E-72.2334419E-71.00.01.7102802E-69.571891E-79.571891E-71.00.02.0822463E-51.1653715E-51.1653715E-51.00.02.0820512E-41.1655638E-41.1655638E-41.00.0
7.71.8784601E-75.4599813E-85.4599813E-81.00.08.0505407E-72.339992E-72.339992E-71.00.09.80149E-62.8489364E-62.8489364E-61.00.09.801057E-52.8498445E-52.8498445E-51.00.0
7.81.00154914E-71.2712423E-81.2712423E-81.00.04.2923529E-75.4481823E-85.4481823E-81.00.05.225927E-66.63316E-76.63316E-71.00.05.225804E-56.63964E-66.63964E-61.00.0
7.96.171429E-84.451027E-94.451027E-91.00.02.6448978E-71.907583E-81.907583E-81.00.03.2201583E-62.3224817E-72.3224817E-71.00.03.2201115E-52.3283023E-62.3283023E-61.00.0
8.01.3974572E-83.6546877E-103.6546877E-101.00.05.989102E-81.5662932E-91.5662932E-91.00.07.2917294E-71.9069603E-81.9069603E-81.00.07.2917055E-61.9539549E-71.9539549E-71.00.0
8.11.8403477E-91.1980472E-101.1980472E-101.00.07.887204E-95.1344884E-105.1344884E-101.00.09.602671E-86.2512395E-96.2512395E-91.00.09.602667E-76.38577E-86.38577E-81.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6800393E-53.6800393E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5770979E-41.5770979E-41.00.00.00168239790.0019190120.0019190121.00.00.0166971780.0190820170.0190918261.0005141.0E-5
6.13.2269712E-53.6800393E-53.6800393E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5770979E-41.5770979E-41.00.00.00168239790.0019190120.0019190121.00.00.0166971780.0190820170.0190918261.0005141.0E-5
6.23.2269712E-53.6800393E-53.6800393E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5770979E-41.5770979E-41.00.00.00168239790.0019190120.0019190121.00.00.0166971780.0190820170.0190918261.0005141.0E-5
6.33.2269712E-53.6800393E-53.6800393E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5770979E-41.5770979E-41.00.00.00168239790.0019190120.0019190121.00.00.0166971780.0190820170.0190918261.0005141.0E-5
6.41.4404779E-51.4861409E-51.4861409E-51.00.06.1733306E-56.3690226E-56.3690226E-51.00.07.513438E-47.751577E-47.751577E-41.00.00.00748808540.00772509030.00772509031.00.0
6.51.4404779E-51.4861409E-51.4861409E-51.00.06.1733306E-56.3690226E-56.3690226E-51.00.07.513438E-47.751577E-47.751577E-41.00.00.00748808540.00772509030.00772509031.00.0
6.61.280208E-51.3021918E-51.3021918E-51.00.05.4864904E-55.5807035E-55.5807035E-51.00.06.6777546E-46.792406E-46.792406E-41.00.00.0066577240.00677185650.00677185651.00.0
6.71.2457027E-51.2638112E-51.2638112E-51.00.05.3386164E-55.416222E-55.416222E-51.00.06.497827E-46.592272E-46.592272E-41.00.00.006478860.0065729150.0065729151.00.0
6.81.2095134E-51.2240261E-51.2240261E-51.00.05.1835254E-55.2457213E-55.2457213E-51.00.06.309115E-46.38481E-46.38481E-41.00.00.00629123250.00636665480.00636665481.00.0
6.91.1104036E-51.1166003E-51.1166003E-51.00.04.758786E-54.7853428E-54.7853428E-51.00.05.7922816E-45.8246095E-45.8246095E-41.00.00.0057772070.00580948960.00580948961.00.0
7.01.0577444E-51.0589926E-51.0589926E-51.00.04.5331115E-54.5384615E-54.5384615E-51.00.05.5176654E-45.524188E-45.524188E-41.00.00.00550398560.00551059470.00551059471.00.0
7.11.0021775E-59.9888575E-69.9888575E-61.00.04.294976E-54.2808693E-54.2808693E-51.00.05.2278786E-45.2107236E-45.2107236E-41.00.00.00521559640.0051986390.0051986391.00.0
7.28.874109E-68.7558765E-68.7558765E-61.00.03.8031343E-53.7524653E-53.7524653E-51.00.04.629332E-44.5676794E-44.5676794E-41.00.00.00461970.0045584090.0045584091.00.0
7.37.5504267E-67.5109056E-67.5109056E-61.00.03.235857E-53.2189204E-53.2189204E-51.00.03.9389438E-43.918341E-43.918341E-41.00.00.00393196940.00391153940.00391153941.00.0
7.46.309394E-66.187847E-66.187847E-61.00.02.703998E-52.651908E-52.651908E-51.00.03.2916202E-43.228229E-43.228229E-41.00.00.0032867490.0032236370.0032236371.00.0
7.54.6103073E-64.4440003E-64.4440003E-61.00.01.975831E-51.9045581E-51.9045581E-51.00.02.4053088E-42.3185597E-42.3185597E-41.00.00.0024027070.00231621020.00231621021.00.0
7.61.2858658E-61.301372E-61.301372E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.577297E-65.577297E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.790154E-56.790154E-51.00.06.707218E-46.788149E-46.788149E-41.00.0
7.75.3302307E-75.614411E-75.614411E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4061742E-62.4061742E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9294812E-52.9294812E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.929131E-42.929131E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.8045084E-84.8045084E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0590748E-72.0590748E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5069207E-62.5069207E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5068935E-52.5068935E-51.00.0

Burnt Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5673151E-51.1760776E-51.1760776E-51.00.06.716892E-55.040308E-55.040308E-51.00.08.1747473E-46.1361387E-46.236077E-41.01628681.0E-50.0081447410.00613185950.0061417981.00162081.0E-5
6.11.5673151E-51.1760776E-51.1760776E-51.00.06.716892E-55.040308E-55.040308E-51.00.08.1747473E-46.1361387E-46.236077E-41.01628681.0E-50.0081447410.00613185950.0061417981.00162081.0E-5
6.21.5673151E-51.1760776E-51.1760776E-51.00.06.716892E-55.040308E-55.040308E-51.00.08.1747473E-46.1361387E-46.236077E-41.01628681.0E-50.0081447410.00613185950.0061417981.00162081.0E-5
6.31.5673151E-51.1760776E-51.1760776E-51.00.06.716892E-55.040308E-55.040308E-51.00.08.1747473E-46.1361387E-46.236077E-41.01628681.0E-50.0081447410.00613185950.0061417981.00162081.0E-5
6.41.5673151E-51.1760776E-51.1760776E-51.00.06.716892E-55.040308E-55.040308E-51.00.08.1747473E-46.1361387E-46.236077E-41.01628681.0E-50.0081447410.00613185950.0061417981.00162081.0E-5
6.51.36191375E-51.008755E-51.008755E-51.00.05.8366426E-54.3232358E-54.3232358E-51.00.07.103795E-45.2635395E-45.3634867E-41.01898861.0E-50.00708112960.00526353950.0052734871.00188981.0E-5

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.0621965E-57.0621965E-51.00.02.3625491E-43.026308E-43.026308E-41.00.00.00287260950.00367836960.00367836961.00.00.0283575910.036271830.0362814661.00026571.0E-5
6.15.5131142E-57.0621965E-57.0621965E-51.00.02.3625491E-43.026308E-43.026308E-41.00.00.00287260950.00367836960.00367836961.00.00.0283575910.036271830.0362814661.00026571.0E-5
6.24.216245E-55.2004885E-55.2004885E-51.00.01.806837E-42.2285922E-42.2285922E-41.00.00.00219760460.00270996640.00270996641.00.00.0217599890.0268472470.0268472471.00.0
6.34.216245E-55.2004885E-55.2004885E-51.00.01.806837E-42.2285922E-42.2285922E-41.00.00.00219760460.00270996640.00270996641.00.00.0217599890.0268472470.0268472471.00.0
6.43.6858168E-54.444078E-54.444078E-51.00.01.5795401E-41.9044674E-41.9044674E-41.00.00.00192139370.00231624860.00231624861.00.00.0190486550.0230054970.0230054971.00.0
6.53.39199E-54.0342544E-54.0342544E-51.00.01.453629E-41.7288528E-41.7288528E-41.00.00.00176835650.00210286840.00210286841.00.00.0175435080.0209195990.0209195991.00.0
6.63.3571985E-53.9795643E-53.9795643E-51.00.01.4387199E-41.7054174E-41.7054174E-41.00.00.00175023420.00207439020.00207439021.00.00.0173651330.0206402350.0206402351.00.0
6.73.2580007E-53.8409835E-53.8409835E-51.00.01.3962112E-41.6460332E-41.6460332E-41.00.00.00169856170.0020022250.0020022251.00.00.0168563720.01993850.01993851.00.0
6.83.2185937E-53.783511E-53.783511E-51.00.01.3793244E-41.6214052E-41.6214052E-41.00.00.00167803370.0019722950.0019722951.00.00.0166541920.0196443810.0196443811.00.0
6.93.165394E-53.7037666E-53.7037666E-51.00.01.3565269E-41.5872333E-41.5872333E-41.00.00.00165032020.00193076510.00193076511.00.00.016381180.0192347860.0192347861.00.0
7.03.0903822E-53.5939473E-53.5939473E-51.00.01.3243823E-41.5401734E-41.5401734E-41.00.00.00161124280.00187356980.00187356981.00.00.0159961040.0186717160.0186717161.00.0
7.13.0069863E-53.4703204E-53.4703204E-51.00.01.2886449E-41.4871966E-41.4871966E-41.00.00.00156779590.00180917930.00180917931.00.00.015567810.0180382240.0180382241.00.0
7.22.7957109E-53.1581283E-53.1581283E-51.00.01.1981068E-41.3534144E-41.3534144E-41.00.00.00145771880.00164655630.00164655631.00.00.0144819370.0164363810.0164363811.00.0
7.32.4519275E-52.6996106E-52.6996106E-51.00.01.0507837E-41.1569255E-41.1569255E-41.00.00.00127857830.00140766150.00140766151.00.00.0127124690.0140718340.0140718341.00.0
7.42.3225532E-52.5472506E-52.5472506E-51.00.09.95342E-51.091634E-41.091634E-41.00.00.00121115510.00132826860.00132826861.00.00.0120457530.0132852940.0132852941.00.0
7.52.097765E-52.2743397E-52.2743397E-51.00.08.9901114E-59.746813E-59.746813E-51.00.00.00109399650.00118604030.00118604031.00.00.0108862640.0118730430.0118730431.00.0
7.61.511254E-51.6229029E-51.6229029E-51.00.06.476642E-56.955117E-56.955117E-51.00.07.882459E-48.464644E-48.464644E-41.00.00.0078545580.0085055010.0085055011.00.0
7.79.934069E-61.0899026E-51.0899026E-51.00.04.2573887E-54.670928E-54.670928E-51.00.05.182138E-45.6853745E-45.6853745E-41.00.00.005170070.00574180670.00574180671.00.0
7.86.7562896E-68.608232E-68.608232E-61.00.02.8955206E-53.68919E-53.68919E-51.00.03.5247262E-44.4906646E-44.4906646E-41.00.00.00351914060.0045398320.0045398321.00.0
7.93.975453E-65.479929E-65.479929E-61.00.01.7037546E-52.3485198E-52.3485198E-51.00.02.0741238E-42.8589487E-42.8589487E-41.00.00.0020721890.00289003740.00289003741.00.0
8.01.6729537E-62.1148132E-62.1148132E-61.00.07.169782E-69.063454E-69.063454E-61.00.08.7288594E-51.10342E-41.10342E-41.00.08.7254314E-40.00111622170.00111622171.00.0
8.13.6733252E-73.202092E-73.202092E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3723245E-61.3723245E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.670794E-51.670794E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.6919167E-41.6919167E-41.00.0

Cleghorn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.891709E-69.891709E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2392407E-54.2392407E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.16016E-45.260108E-41.01936921.0E-50.0041275220.00516237230.00517232061.00192711.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-69.891709E-69.891709E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2392407E-54.2392407E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.16016E-45.260108E-41.01936921.0E-50.0041275220.00516237230.00517232061.00192711.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-69.891709E-69.891709E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2392407E-54.2392407E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.16016E-45.260108E-41.01936921.0E-50.0041275220.00516237230.00517232061.00192711.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-69.891709E-69.891709E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2392407E-54.2392407E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.16016E-45.260108E-41.01936921.0E-50.0041275220.00516237230.00517232061.00192711.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-66.1503138E-66.1503138E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6358228E-52.6358228E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.208652E-43.208652E-41.00.00.00226434620.00321728780.00321728781.00.0
6.54.3445207E-66.1503138E-66.1503138E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6358228E-52.6358228E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.208652E-43.208652E-41.00.00.00226434620.00321728780.00321728781.00.0
6.64.040109E-65.832617E-65.832617E-61.00.01.7314638E-52.4996696E-52.4996696E-51.00.02.1078532E-43.042932E-43.042932E-41.00.00.0021058550.00305202810.00305202811.00.0
6.73.3632055E-65.125882E-65.125882E-61.00.01.4413658E-52.1967884E-52.1967884E-51.00.01.7547216E-42.6742648E-42.6742648E-41.00.00.00175333660.00268425260.00268425261.00.0
6.83.2902772E-65.047746E-65.047746E-61.00.01.4101111E-52.1633019E-52.1633019E-51.00.01.716675E-42.633505E-42.633505E-41.00.00.00171534950.00264358990.00264358991.00.0
6.93.031547E-64.7490125E-64.7490125E-61.00.01.299228E-52.0352754E-52.0352754E-51.00.01.5816953E-42.4776687E-42.4776687E-41.00.00.001580570.002488110.002488111.00.0
7.02.8259715E-64.4272265E-64.4272265E-61.00.01.211125E-51.8973691E-51.8973691E-51.00.01.4744449E-42.3098044E-42.3098044E-41.00.00.0014734670.00232060560.00232060561.00.0
7.12.5962665E-64.1217577E-64.1217577E-61.00.01.1126809E-51.7664557E-51.7664557E-51.00.01.3546048E-42.1504499E-42.1504499E-41.00.00.00135377930.00216157060.00216157061.00.0
7.22.3247253E-63.7313382E-63.7313382E-61.00.09.96307E-61.5991352E-51.5991352E-51.00.01.21293626E-41.9467752E-41.9467752E-41.00.00.00121227440.00195829270.00195829271.00.0
7.32.056928E-63.2879066E-63.2879066E-61.00.08.815376E-61.4090953E-51.4090953E-51.00.01.0732192E-41.71544E-41.71544E-41.00.00.0010727010.00172740230.00172740231.00.0
7.41.8055999E-62.8761215E-62.8761215E-61.00.07.738263E-61.2326177E-51.2326177E-51.00.09.4209274E-51.5006102E-41.5006102E-41.00.09.4169343E-40.00151300970.00151300971.00.0
7.51.4683443E-62.4743545E-62.4743545E-61.00.06.292889E-61.06043335E-51.06043335E-51.00.07.661323E-51.2910021E-41.2910021E-41.00.07.658682E-40.00130370320.00130370321.00.0
7.69.804088E-71.9492618E-61.9492618E-61.00.04.201745E-68.353953E-68.353953E-61.00.05.1155046E-51.01704674E-41.01704674E-41.00.05.114327E-40.00103007010.00103007011.00.0
7.77.3434086E-71.676801E-61.676801E-61.00.03.1471714E-67.1862705E-67.1862705E-61.00.03.831614E-58.748936E-58.748936E-51.00.03.8309532E-48.880784E-48.880784E-41.00.0
7.86.434184E-71.568616E-61.568616E-61.00.02.7575045E-66.722623E-66.722623E-61.00.03.35721E-58.184488E-58.184488E-51.00.03.3567028E-48.313387E-48.313387E-41.00.0
7.93.4943926E-77.8290435E-77.8290435E-71.00.01.497596E-63.3553001E-63.3553001E-61.00.01.8233079E-54.0850024E-54.0850024E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.168406E-44.168406E-41.00.0
8.06.717524E-86.149548E-86.149548E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.63552E-72.63552E-71.00.03.505102E-63.2087412E-63.2087412E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.4394903E-53.4394903E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.39561465E-81.39561465E-81.00.01.370782E-75.981206E-85.981206E-81.00.01.6689258E-67.2821155E-77.2821155E-71.00.01.6689133E-58.309356E-68.309356E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.9589363E-93.9589363E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.696687E-81.696687E-81.00.06.359922E-72.0657164E-72.0657164E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.4255255E-62.4255255E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.6160138E-54.6159777E-51.27653771.0E-51.742787E-41.5496282E-41.6496128E-41.06452161.0E-50.00211977820.00188504090.00189502211.00529491.0E-50.0209967140.0194467210.0194565261.00050431.0E-5
6.14.0667746E-53.6160138E-54.6159777E-51.27653771.0E-51.742787E-41.5496282E-41.6496128E-41.06452161.0E-50.00211977820.00188504090.00189502211.00529491.0E-50.0209967140.0194467210.0194565261.00050431.0E-5
6.24.0667746E-53.6160138E-54.6159777E-51.27653771.0E-51.742787E-41.5496282E-41.6496128E-41.06452161.0E-50.00211977820.00188504090.00189502211.00529491.0E-50.0209967140.0194467210.0194565261.00050431.0E-5
6.34.0667746E-53.6160138E-54.6159777E-51.27653771.0E-51.742787E-41.5496282E-41.6496128E-41.06452161.0E-50.00211977820.00188504090.00189502211.00529491.0E-50.0209967140.0194467210.0194565261.00050431.0E-5
6.44.0577226E-53.6031688E-54.6031328E-51.27752351.0E-51.738908E-41.544124E-41.6441086E-41.06475161.0E-50.00211506480.00187835240.00188833361.00531391.0E-50.0209504720.0193811410.0193909461.00050591.0E-5
6.54.0577226E-53.6031688E-54.6031328E-51.27752351.0E-51.738908E-41.544124E-41.6441086E-41.06475161.0E-50.00211506480.00187835240.00188833361.00531391.0E-50.0209504720.0193811410.0193909461.00050591.0E-5
6.64.053861E-53.597688E-54.5976518E-51.27794641.0E-51.7372532E-41.5417753E-41.6417597E-41.06485031.0E-50.00211305380.00187549810.00188547941.00532191.0E-50.0209307430.0193531550.0193629621.00050681.0E-5
6.74.0516545E-53.5945865E-54.5945504E-51.27818611.0E-51.7363077E-41.5404462E-41.6404309E-41.06490621.0E-50.0021119050.00187388320.00188386451.00532651.0E-50.0209194680.0193373170.0193471241.00050711.0E-5
6.84.049434E-53.5917234E-54.5916877E-51.27840781.0E-51.7353562E-41.5392194E-41.639204E-41.0649581.0E-50.00211074880.00187239210.00188237341.00533081.0E-50.0209081250.019322640.0193324461.00050751.0E-5
6.94.046386E-53.5879602E-54.5879246E-51.27869991.0E-51.73405E-41.5376069E-41.6375915E-41.06502621.0E-50.00210916160.00187043230.00188041351.00533641.0E-50.0208925530.0193033220.0193131291.00050811.0E-5
7.04.036382E-53.5759516E-54.575916E-51.27963581.0E-51.7297632E-41.5324609E-41.6324455E-41.06524461.0E-50.00210395250.00186417780.00187415921.00535431.0E-50.020841440.0192416250.0192514341.00050971.0E-5
7.14.0343282E-53.573787E-54.5737514E-51.27980521.0E-51.7288832E-41.5315332E-41.631518E-41.0652841.0E-50.0021028830.00186305040.00187303171.00535751.0E-50.0208309480.0192304440.019240251.000511.0E-5
7.24.0257353E-53.5641897E-54.564154E-51.28055871.0E-51.725201E-41.5274207E-41.6274053E-41.06545981.0E-50.00209840850.00185805190.00186803321.00537191.0E-50.0207870420.0191809630.0191907721.00051141.0E-5
7.33.9940667E-53.546631E-54.5465957E-51.28194771.0E-51.7116306E-41.5198963E-41.6198811E-41.0657841.0E-50.00208191850.00184890660.00185888811.00539861.0E-50.0206252170.0190879240.0190977321.00051391.0E-5
7.43.9721202E-53.5350015E-54.534966E-51.28287531.0E-51.7022261E-41.5149127E-41.6148976E-41.06600031.0E-50.00207049030.00184284940.0018528311.00541641.0E-50.0205130520.0190262010.0190360121.00051561.0E-5
7.53.7036873E-53.4400942E-54.44006E-51.29067971.0E-51.5871979E-41.4742429E-41.5742282E-41.06782141.0E-50.00193070060.00179341620.00180339821.0055661.0E-50.0191401240.0185192670.0185290841.000531.0E-5
7.63.2940967E-53.21497E-53.21497E-51.00.01.4116794E-41.3777716E-41.3777716E-41.00.00.00171736450.00167614860.00167614861.00.00.017041530.0173359070.0173359071.00.0
7.72.8236149E-52.869285E-52.869285E-51.00.01.2100645E-41.2296357E-41.2296357E-41.00.00.00147225790.00149605430.00149605431.00.00.0146254210.0155356840.0155356841.00.0
7.82.4329287E-52.598305E-52.598305E-51.00.01.042642E-41.1135118E-41.1135118E-41.00.00.00126867740.00135485840.00135485841.00.00.0126145890.0141163790.0141163791.00.0
7.91.9370926E-52.1115497E-52.1115497E-51.00.08.301561E-59.0491856E-59.0491856E-51.00.00.00101024650.00110118230.00110118231.00.00.01005666050.0115620810.0115620811.00.0
8.01.5583017E-51.6469756E-51.6469756E-51.00.06.6782646E-57.058276E-57.058276E-51.00.08.127754E-48.59007E-48.59007E-41.00.00.0080980910.0090889280.0090889281.00.0
8.11.0024873E-58.635063E-68.635063E-61.00.04.2963035E-53.700689E-53.700689E-51.00.05.229494E-44.504663E-44.504663E-41.00.00.00521720430.0048377080.0048377081.00.0
8.24.142796E-61.6603784E-61.6603784E-61.00.01.775472E-57.115888E-67.115888E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.663252E-58.663252E-51.00.00.00215932170.00100217610.00100217611.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.878791E-73.878791E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.662338E-61.662338E-61.00.06.653009E-52.0238782E-52.0238782E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.4299009E-42.4299009E-41.00.0

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.312886E-56.312886E-51.00.01.9323928E-42.705267E-42.705267E-41.00.00.00235014970.00328913540.00329910271.00303031.0E-50.0232545040.032500160.0325098341.00029771.0E-5
6.14.5092507E-56.312886E-56.312886E-51.00.01.9323928E-42.705267E-42.705267E-41.00.00.00235014970.00328913540.00329910271.00303031.0E-50.0232545040.032500160.0325098341.00029771.0E-5
6.22.6674514E-53.4696535E-53.4696535E-51.00.01.1431433E-41.4869115E-41.4869115E-41.00.00.00139088840.00180884490.00180884491.00.00.013822150.0179757350.0179757351.00.0
6.32.6674514E-53.4696535E-53.4696535E-51.00.01.1431433E-41.4869115E-41.4869115E-41.00.00.00139088840.00180884490.00180884491.00.00.013822150.0179757350.0179757351.00.0
6.42.5312667E-53.2522166E-53.2522166E-51.00.01.0847834E-41.3937344E-41.3937344E-41.00.00.00131992370.00169558040.00169558041.00.00.0131211120.0168728770.0168728771.00.0
6.52.5312667E-53.2522166E-53.2522166E-51.00.01.0847834E-41.3937344E-41.3937344E-41.00.00.00131992370.00169558040.00169558041.00.00.0131211120.0168728770.0168728771.00.0
6.62.246556E-52.830393E-52.830393E-51.00.09.627742E-51.2129705E-41.2129705E-41.00.00.00117154720.00147581480.00147581481.00.00.0116539010.0147075850.0147075851.00.0
6.72.2241198E-52.7972888E-52.7972888E-51.00.09.531594E-51.1987843E-41.1987843E-41.00.00.00115985380.00145856640.00145856641.00.00.0115381870.0145368030.0145368031.00.0
6.81.9528685E-52.4054896E-52.4054896E-51.00.08.369167E-51.03088445E-41.03088445E-41.00.00.00101846980.0012543990.0012543991.00.00.0101381470.0125151170.0125151171.00.0
6.91.3318621E-51.532867E-51.532867E-51.00.05.7078556E-56.569267E-56.569267E-51.00.06.9470983E-47.995206E-47.995206E-41.00.00.00692542040.0080064460.0080064461.00.0
7.01.1760853E-51.3233277E-51.3233277E-51.00.05.0402683E-55.6712837E-55.6712837E-51.00.06.134799E-46.9026515E-46.9026515E-41.00.00.00611789060.00692107060.00692107061.00.0
7.11.0064758E-51.1024372E-51.1024372E-51.00.04.3133965E-54.724647E-54.724647E-51.00.05.2502943E-45.750775E-45.750775E-41.00.00.0052379070.00577611660.00577611661.00.0
7.29.768808E-61.0619441E-51.0619441E-51.00.04.186565E-54.5511115E-54.5511115E-51.00.05.095951E-45.539605E-45.539605E-41.00.00.00508428040.00556590550.00556590551.00.0
7.39.344516E-61.0061678E-51.0061678E-51.00.04.004731E-54.3120785E-54.3120785E-51.00.04.8746695E-45.2487256E-45.2487256E-41.00.00.00486399050.00527582220.00527582221.00.0
7.49.023491E-69.603425E-69.603425E-61.00.03.867153E-54.1156905E-54.1156905E-51.00.04.7072413E-45.009735E-45.009735E-41.00.00.0046972830.0050369730.0050369731.00.0
7.57.081253E-67.1882196E-67.1882196E-61.00.03.0347876E-53.0806295E-53.0806295E-51.00.03.6942272E-43.7500286E-43.7500286E-41.00.00.0036880920.00377646970.00377646971.00.0
7.66.116396E-66.052117E-66.052117E-61.00.02.6212863E-52.5937388E-52.5937388E-51.00.03.1909486E-43.1574222E-43.1574222E-41.00.00.00318637070.00318395670.00318395671.00.0
7.74.797145E-64.8452343E-64.8452343E-61.00.02.055903E-52.0765125E-52.0765125E-51.00.02.5027743E-42.527862E-42.527862E-41.00.00.00249995760.0025550740.0025550741.00.0
7.83.4028885E-64.0570744E-64.0570744E-61.00.01.4583726E-51.7387347E-51.7387347E-51.00.01.775424E-42.1167046E-42.1167046E-41.00.00.00177400620.00214204120.00214204121.00.0
7.92.5928412E-63.43909E-63.43909E-61.00.01.1112129E-51.4738875E-51.4738875E-51.00.01.3528178E-41.794311E-41.794311E-41.00.00.00135199450.00181585010.00181585011.00.0
8.01.3743648E-61.7036048E-61.7036048E-61.00.05.8901214E-67.301143E-67.301143E-61.00.07.1709874E-58.888782E-58.888782E-51.00.07.1686733E-48.9934684E-48.9934684E-41.00.0
8.13.6733252E-73.202092E-73.202092E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3723245E-61.3723245E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.670794E-51.670794E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.6919167E-41.6919167E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.4332788E-55.4332344E-51.22555671.0E-52.7003905E-41.899839E-41.99982E-41.0526261.0E-50.00328276910.00231061250.00232058951.00431791.0E-50.0323469680.0238295420.0238393041.00040961.0E-5
6.16.3015636E-54.4332788E-55.4332344E-51.22555671.0E-52.7003905E-41.899839E-41.99982E-41.0526261.0E-50.00328276910.00231061250.00232058951.00431791.0E-50.0323469680.0238295420.0238393041.00040961.0E-5
6.26.3015636E-54.4332788E-55.4332344E-51.22555671.0E-52.7003905E-41.899839E-41.99982E-41.0526261.0E-50.00328276910.00231061250.00232058951.00431791.0E-50.0323469680.0238295420.0238393041.00040961.0E-5
6.36.3015636E-54.4332788E-55.4332344E-51.22555671.0E-52.7003905E-41.899839E-41.99982E-41.0526261.0E-50.00328276910.00231061250.00232058951.00431791.0E-50.0323469680.0238295420.0238393041.00040961.0E-5
6.46.3015636E-54.4332788E-55.4332344E-51.22555671.0E-52.7003905E-41.899839E-41.99982E-41.0526261.0E-50.00328276910.00231061250.00232058951.00431791.0E-50.0323469680.0238295420.0238393041.00040961.0E-5
6.55.811017E-54.1062944E-55.1062532E-51.24351861.0E-52.4901982E-41.759722E-41.8597044E-41.05681721.0E-50.00302760140.00214036230.0021503411.00466221.0E-50.029866840.0221046230.0221144021.00044241.0E-5
6.65.811017E-54.1062944E-55.1062532E-51.24351861.0E-52.4901982E-41.759722E-41.8597044E-41.05681721.0E-50.00302760140.00214036230.0021503411.00466221.0E-50.029866840.0221046230.0221144021.00044241.0E-5
6.75.712442E-54.0475603E-55.0475195E-51.24705241.0E-52.4479596E-41.7345537E-41.8345362E-41.05764171.0E-50.00297631770.00210977930.00211975821.00472991.0E-50.0293676930.0217892560.021799041.0004491.0E-5
6.85.6967532E-54.0330113E-55.0329712E-51.24794361.0E-52.4412372E-41.7283193E-41.828302E-41.05784961.0E-50.00296815530.00210220370.00211218261.00474691.0E-50.0292882290.0217125550.0217223371.00045061.0E-5
6.95.6211324E-54.002809E-55.002769E-51.24981451.0E-52.4088343E-41.7153771E-41.81536E-41.05828621.0E-50.00292881160.0020864770.0020964561.00478281.0E-50.0289051090.0215497860.021559571.00045411.0E-5
7.05.4383527E-53.8867816E-54.8867427E-51.25727221.0E-52.3305144E-41.6656575E-41.7656408E-41.06002641.0E-50.00283370940.00202605690.00203603651.00492571.0E-50.0279784650.0209267740.0209365641.00046791.0E-5
7.15.1393665E-53.7297337E-54.7296962E-51.26810561.0E-52.2023996E-41.5983595E-41.6983435E-41.06255411.0E-50.00267812420.00194427020.00195425071.00513331.0E-50.0264607820.0200842920.0200940911.00048791.0E-5
7.24.785222E-53.56122E-54.5611847E-51.28079261.0E-52.0506482E-41.5261481E-41.6261329E-41.06551441.0E-50.00249380550.00185650550.00186648691.00537651.0E-50.0246600490.019183440.0191932471.00051131.0E-5
7.34.2143256E-53.4682816E-54.468247E-51.28831721.0E-51.8060145E-41.486322E-41.586307E-41.06727021.0E-50.0021966050.00180809850.00181808041.00552071.0E-50.021750190.0186775980.018687411.00052541.0E-5
7.44.0264713E-53.4313067E-54.4312725E-51.29142421.0E-51.7255165E-41.4704774E-41.5704626E-41.06799511.0E-50.0020987920.00178883960.00179882171.00558021.0E-50.0207908040.0184780320.0184878481.00053121.0E-5
7.53.694492E-53.300758E-54.3007254E-51.30295071.0E-51.5832575E-41.4145342E-41.51452E-41.07068471.0E-50.00192591180.00172083810.00173082091.00580111.0E-50.019093060.0177845170.0177943391.00055231.0E-5
7.63.200565E-53.02871E-53.02871E-51.00.01.3715986E-41.2979541E-41.2979541E-41.00.00.0016686420.0015791160.0015791161.00.00.016561680.016354270.016354271.00.0
7.72.731642E-52.6853151E-52.6853151E-51.00.01.1706512E-41.1507986E-41.1507986E-41.00.00.0014243360.00140019790.00140019791.00.00.0141524120.0145640120.0145640121.00.0
7.82.3466424E-52.4233083E-52.4233083E-51.00.01.0056651E-41.0385194E-41.0385194E-41.00.00.00122370940.00126366480.00126366481.00.00.0121699280.0131899430.0131899431.00.0
7.91.8611925E-51.9559344E-51.9559344E-51.00.07.9762955E-58.382307E-58.382307E-51.00.09.7068126E-40.00102006880.00102006881.00.00.00966452250.0107355640.0107355641.00.0
8.01.5460775E-51.6319102E-51.6319102E-51.00.06.6258784E-56.993714E-56.993714E-51.00.08.0640207E-48.5115276E-48.5115276E-41.00.00.0080348210.0090073420.0090073421.00.0
8.19.983884E-68.611144E-68.611144E-61.00.04.2787375E-53.6904385E-53.6904385E-51.00.05.2081177E-44.4921882E-44.4921882E-41.00.00.00519592830.00482350540.00482350541.00.0
8.24.1226E-61.6517622E-61.6517622E-61.00.01.7668166E-57.0789615E-67.0789615E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.618298E-58.618298E-51.00.00.00214880649.968746E-49.968746E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.878791E-73.878791E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.662338E-61.662338E-61.00.06.653009E-52.0238782E-52.0238782E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.4299009E-42.4299009E-41.00.0

North Frontal (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7316266E-64.8537504E-64.8537504E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.080163E-52.080163E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5323188E-42.6322936E-41.03947951.0E-50.00246585580.00252957940.00253955411.00394321.0E-5
6.14.7316266E-64.8537504E-64.8537504E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.080163E-52.080163E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5323188E-42.6322936E-41.03947951.0E-50.00246585580.00252957940.00253955411.00394321.0E-5
6.24.7316266E-64.8537504E-64.8537504E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.080163E-52.080163E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5323188E-42.6322936E-41.03947951.0E-50.00246585580.00252957940.00253955411.00394321.0E-5
6.34.7316266E-64.8537504E-64.8537504E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.080163E-52.080163E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5323188E-42.6322936E-41.03947951.0E-50.00246585580.00252957940.00253955411.00394321.0E-5
6.44.7316266E-64.8537504E-64.8537504E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.080163E-52.080163E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5323188E-42.6322936E-41.03947951.0E-50.00246585580.00252957940.00253955411.00394321.0E-5
6.54.7316266E-64.8537504E-64.8537504E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.080163E-52.080163E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5323188E-42.6322936E-41.03947951.0E-50.00246585580.00252957940.00253955411.00394321.0E-5
6.64.7316266E-64.8537504E-64.8537504E-61.00.02.0278241E-52.080163E-52.080163E-51.00.02.4685962E-42.5323188E-42.6322936E-41.03947951.0E-50.00246585580.00252957940.00253955411.00394321.0E-5
6.73.5382777E-63.6317422E-63.6317422E-61.00.01.516396E-51.5564521E-51.5564521E-51.00.01.8460557E-41.8948234E-41.9948045E-41.05276541.0E-50.00184452290.00189328480.0019032661.00527181.0E-5
6.83.5382777E-63.6317422E-63.6317422E-61.00.01.516396E-51.5564521E-51.5564521E-51.00.01.8460557E-41.8948234E-41.9948045E-41.05276541.0E-50.00184452290.00189328480.0019032661.00527181.0E-5
6.93.0428037E-63.1235181E-63.1235181E-61.00.01.30405215E-51.3386441E-51.3386441E-51.00.01.5875678E-41.6296841E-41.6296841E-41.00.00.00158643410.00162855620.00162855621.00.0
7.02.538778E-62.6067491E-62.6067491E-61.00.01.0880432E-51.1171737E-51.1171737E-51.00.01.324612E-41.3600789E-41.3600789E-41.00.00.00132382280.00135929320.00135929321.00.0
7.12.2418935E-62.3018035E-62.3018035E-61.00.09.60808E-69.864838E-69.864838E-61.00.01.1697209E-41.2009823E-41.2009823E-41.00.00.00116910540.00120037720.00120037721.00.0
7.21.6526745E-61.6929281E-61.6929281E-61.00.07.082872E-67.255387E-67.255387E-61.00.08.623055E-58.833101E-58.833101E-51.00.08.61971E-48.8298414E-48.8298414E-41.00.0
7.31.0246019E-61.0445104E-61.0445104E-61.00.04.391144E-64.4764665E-64.4764665E-61.00.05.3460866E-55.449973E-55.449973E-51.00.05.344801E-45.4487516E-45.4487516E-41.00.0
7.48.9045164E-79.059055E-79.059055E-71.00.03.8162157E-63.882447E-63.882447E-61.00.04.646144E-54.7267877E-54.7267877E-51.00.04.6451724E-44.725891E-44.725891E-41.00.0
7.56.3357E-76.404528E-76.404528E-71.00.02.7152971E-62.7447952E-62.7447952E-61.00.03.305824E-53.3417436E-53.3417436E-51.00.03.3053322E-43.341307E-43.341307E-41.00.0
7.62.5087024E-72.4368362E-72.4368362E-71.00.01.0751578E-61.0443581E-61.0443581E-61.00.01.3089967E-51.2715006E-51.2715006E-51.00.01.3089196E-41.2714484E-41.2714484E-41.00.0
7.73.282987E-82.2884043E-82.2884043E-81.00.01.4069944E-79.8074466E-89.8074466E-81.00.01.7130144E-61.194056E-61.194056E-61.00.01.7130013E-51.1940505E-51.1940505E-51.00.0
7.88.77499E-95.685356E-95.685356E-91.00.03.7607098E-82.4365812E-82.4365812E-81.00.04.578663E-72.9665375E-72.9665375E-71.00.04.5786537E-62.9665348E-62.9665348E-61.00.0

Earthquake Valley (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1859703E-52.522856E-52.522856E-51.00.09.3681076E-51.0811874E-41.0811874E-41.00.00.00113997030.00131569620.00131569621.00.00.0113414010.0130934620.0131033311.00075381.0E-5
6.12.1859703E-52.522856E-52.522856E-51.00.09.3681076E-51.0811874E-41.0811874E-41.00.00.00113997030.00131569620.00131569621.00.00.0113414010.0130934620.0131033311.00075381.0E-5
6.22.1859703E-52.522856E-52.522856E-51.00.09.3681076E-51.0811874E-41.0811874E-41.00.00.00113997030.00131569620.00131569621.00.00.0113414010.0130934620.0131033311.00075381.0E-5
6.32.1859703E-52.522856E-52.522856E-51.00.09.3681076E-51.0811874E-41.0811874E-41.00.00.00113997030.00131569620.00131569621.00.00.0113414010.0130934620.0131033311.00075381.0E-5
6.42.1859703E-52.522856E-52.522856E-51.00.09.3681076E-51.0811874E-41.0811874E-41.00.00.00113997030.00131569620.00131569621.00.00.0113414010.0130934620.0131033311.00075381.0E-5
6.52.1859703E-52.522856E-52.522856E-51.00.09.3681076E-51.0811874E-41.0811874E-41.00.00.00113997030.00131569620.00131569621.00.00.0113414010.0130934620.0131033311.00075381.0E-5
6.61.597E-51.8378052E-51.8378052E-51.00.06.8441055E-57.87612E-57.87612E-51.00.08.329513E-49.5858326E-49.5858326E-41.00.00.0082983610.0095531130.0095630181.00103681.0E-5
6.71.597E-51.8378052E-51.8378052E-51.00.06.8441055E-57.87612E-57.87612E-51.00.08.329513E-49.5858326E-49.5858326E-41.00.00.0082983610.0095531130.0095630181.00103681.0E-5
6.81.5315149E-51.7622997E-51.7622997E-51.00.06.5634704E-57.552544E-57.552544E-51.00.07.988095E-49.1922114E-49.1922114E-41.00.00.0079594410.009162750.0091726581.00108131.0E-5
6.91.3634728E-51.5694579E-51.5694579E-51.00.05.8433237E-56.726121E-56.726121E-51.00.07.1119244E-48.186798E-48.186798E-41.00.00.0070892070.0081647290.0081746481.00121471.0E-5
7.01.3496271E-51.553644E-51.553644E-51.00.05.783988E-56.65835E-56.65835E-51.00.07.03973E-48.104349E-48.104349E-41.00.00.0070174710.0080828820.0080928011.00122711.0E-5
7.18.242798E-69.484244E-69.484244E-61.00.03.53258E-54.0646508E-54.0646508E-51.00.04.300067E-44.9482606E-44.9482606E-41.00.00.0042917560.0049438350.0049537861.00201271.0E-5
7.22.6506527E-72.2603479E-72.2603479E-71.00.01.1359936E-69.687202E-79.687202E-71.00.01.3830633E-51.1794108E-51.1794108E-51.00.01.3829772E-41.1793524E-41.1793524E-41.00.0
7.32.5810488E-72.1998152E-72.1998152E-71.00.01.1061633E-69.427776E-79.427776E-71.00.01.3467455E-51.14782615E-51.14782615E-51.00.01.3466639E-41.14777096E-41.14777096E-41.00.0
7.42.2676066E-71.9151862E-71.9151862E-71.00.09.71831E-78.2079384E-78.2079384E-71.00.01.1831979E-59.993124E-69.993124E-61.00.01.1831349E-49.9927136E-59.9927136E-51.00.0
7.51.5553917E-71.3146362E-71.3146362E-71.00.06.6659624E-75.634154E-75.634154E-71.00.08.115779E-66.8595637E-66.8595637E-61.00.08.115482E-56.8593734E-56.8593734E-51.00.0
7.61.3448629E-71.1319289E-71.1319289E-71.00.05.7636964E-74.851123E-74.851123E-71.00.07.017278E-65.9062286E-65.9062286E-61.00.07.0170565E-55.9060927E-55.9060927E-51.00.0
7.72.9719402E-81.4622896E-81.4622896E-81.00.01.2736886E-76.266955E-86.266955E-81.00.01.5507147E-67.6300154E-77.6300154E-71.00.01.550704E-57.629995E-67.629995E-61.00.0
7.87.4390196E-93.2587069E-93.2587069E-91.00.03.1881513E-81.3965886E-81.3965886E-81.00.03.8815733E-71.7003465E-71.7003465E-71.00.03.8815665E-61.7003455E-61.7003455E-61.00.0
7.91.5373532E-98.456379E-108.456379E-101.00.06.5886567E-93.6241623E-93.6241623E-91.00.08.021689E-84.4124175E-84.4124175E-81.00.08.0216864E-74.4124172E-74.4124172E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1657015E-53.16568E-51.46173421.0E-51.9209793E-49.281253E-51.028116E-41.10773411.0E-50.00233628340.00112941630.00113940511.00884411.0E-50.023118740.011767090.0117769731.00083981.0E-5
6.14.482615E-52.1657015E-53.16568E-51.46173421.0E-51.9209793E-49.281253E-51.028116E-41.10773411.0E-50.00233628340.00112941630.00113940511.00884411.0E-50.023118740.011767090.0117769731.00083981.0E-5
6.24.482615E-52.1657015E-53.16568E-51.46173421.0E-51.9209793E-49.281253E-51.028116E-41.10773411.0E-50.00233628340.00112941630.00113940511.00884411.0E-50.023118740.011767090.0117769731.00083981.0E-5
6.34.482615E-52.1657015E-53.16568E-51.46173421.0E-51.9209793E-49.281253E-51.028116E-41.10773411.0E-50.00233628340.00112941630.00113940511.00884411.0E-50.023118740.011767090.0117769731.00083981.0E-5
6.44.482615E-52.1657015E-53.16568E-51.46173421.0E-51.9209793E-49.281253E-51.028116E-41.10773411.0E-50.00233628340.00112941630.00113940511.00884411.0E-50.023118740.011767090.0117769731.00083981.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-51.7805369E-52.780519E-51.56161831.0E-51.5982533E-47.630652E-58.630575E-51.13104051.0E-50.00194413669.2864054E-49.3863124E-41.01075841.0E-50.019272160.0097290560.0097389581.00101781.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-51.7805369E-52.780519E-51.56161831.0E-51.5982533E-47.630652E-58.630575E-51.13104051.0E-50.00194413669.2864054E-49.3863124E-41.01075841.0E-50.019272160.0097290560.0097389581.00101781.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-51.7044254E-52.7044085E-51.58669791.0E-51.5444479E-47.304479E-58.3044055E-51.13689231.0E-50.00187874348.889618E-48.989529E-41.0112391.0E-50.018629390.0093239110.0093338171.00106251.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-51.6665392E-52.6665226E-51.60003591.0E-51.5012783E-47.142118E-58.142046E-51.14000451.0E-50.00182627398.692102E-48.792015E-41.01149481.0E-50.018113380.0091192670.0091291761.00108661.0E-5
6.93.435112E-51.6491655E-52.649149E-51.60635731.0E-51.4721078E-47.067663E-58.067593E-51.14147951.0E-50.00179081788.6015253E-48.7014394E-41.01161591.0E-50.0177645480.0090263530.0090362631.00109791.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-51.4725735E-52.4725587E-51.67907321.0E-51.241074E-46.310878E-57.310815E-51.15844661.0E-50.00150996037.6808146E-47.780738E-41.01300941.0E-50.0149974160.0080715280.0080814471.00122891.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-51.3184798E-52.3184666E-51.75843921.0E-51.11436144E-45.650507E-56.65045E-51.17696521.0E-50.00135589076.877343E-46.977274E-41.01453051.0E-50.0134764750.0072335940.00724352151.00137251.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-51.1581853E-52.1581738E-51.86340961.0E-59.661716E-54.963558E-55.9635084E-51.20145831.0E-50.0011756796.041471E-46.1414106E-41.01654231.0E-50.0116947850.00636407360.006374011.00156131.0E-5
7.31.75334E-51.1110581E-52.1110469E-51.9000331.0E-57.514098E-54.7615915E-55.7615438E-51.21000391.0E-59.144575E-45.79571E-45.895652E-41.01724411.0E-50.0091070360.00609237930.00610231841.00163141.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-51.0903722E-52.0903613E-51.9171081.0E-56.82463E-54.6729405E-55.672894E-51.21398811.0E-58.305819E-45.6878343E-45.7877775E-41.01757131.0E-50.0082748440.0059760370.00598597761.00166331.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-51.01293135E-52.0129211E-51.98722371.0E-55.7551293E-54.341063E-55.3410193E-51.23034831.0E-57.004617E-45.2839733E-45.3839205E-41.01891521.0E-50.0069825790.00555369860.00556364331.00179061.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-58.8712895E-68.8712895E-61.00.04.5808283E-53.8019258E-53.8019258E-51.00.05.5757316E-44.6278664E-44.6278664E-41.00.00.0055617620.00487773260.00487773261.00.0
7.78.81236E-67.714597E-67.714597E-61.00.03.776671E-53.306214E-53.306214E-51.00.04.597127E-44.0245746E-44.0245746E-41.00.00.00458762840.00426575630.00426575631.00.0
7.87.780431E-66.9294047E-66.9294047E-61.00.03.3344273E-52.9697112E-52.9697112E-51.00.04.0589093E-43.6150255E-43.6150255E-41.00.00.00405150370.0038468390.0038468391.00.0
7.96.5437994E-65.9974245E-65.9974245E-61.00.02.8044553E-52.5702995E-52.5702995E-51.00.03.4138895E-43.1288923E-43.1288923E-41.00.00.00340864950.00335030420.00335030421.00.0
8.05.4488164E-65.005651E-65.005651E-61.00.02.3351862E-52.1452615E-52.1452615E-51.00.02.8427184E-42.6115443E-42.6115443E-41.00.00.00283908450.00281373570.00281373571.00.0
8.12.8397242E-61.4433508E-61.4433508E-61.00.01.217019E-56.1857745E-66.1857745E-61.00.01.4816198E-47.530922E-57.530922E-51.00.00.00148063258.5441204E-48.5441204E-41.00.0
8.22.030244E-66.7630344E-76.7630344E-71.00.08.701017E-62.89844E-62.89844E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.5287943E-53.5287943E-51.00.00.00105879254.2069724E-44.2069724E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-63.142385E-73.142385E-71.00.04.568479E-61.3467356E-61.3467356E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.6396389E-51.6396389E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.9847737E-41.9847737E-41.00.0

Earthquake Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9416384E-52.2612996E-52.2612996E-51.00.08.321042E-59.690992E-59.690992E-51.00.00.0010126160.00117935960.00117935961.00.00.0100801420.0117428680.0117527511.00084161.0E-5
6.11.9416384E-52.2612996E-52.2612996E-51.00.08.321042E-59.690992E-59.690992E-51.00.00.0010126160.00117935960.00117935961.00.00.0100801420.0117428680.0117527511.00084161.0E-5
6.21.9416384E-52.2612996E-52.2612996E-51.00.08.321042E-59.690992E-59.690992E-51.00.00.0010126160.00117935960.00117935961.00.00.0100801420.0117428680.0117527511.00084161.0E-5
6.31.9416384E-52.2612996E-52.2612996E-51.00.08.321042E-59.690992E-59.690992E-51.00.00.0010126160.00117935960.00117935961.00.00.0100801420.0117428680.0117527511.00084161.0E-5
6.41.9416384E-52.2612996E-52.2612996E-51.00.08.321042E-59.690992E-59.690992E-51.00.00.0010126160.00117935960.00117935961.00.00.0100801420.0117428680.0117527511.00084161.0E-5
6.51.9389157E-52.2581547E-52.2581547E-51.00.08.309374E-59.6775155E-59.6775155E-51.00.00.00101119680.00117772060.00117772061.00.00.0100660780.0117266510.0117365351.00084281.0E-5
6.61.9389157E-52.2581547E-52.2581547E-51.00.08.309374E-59.6775155E-59.6775155E-51.00.00.00101119680.00117772060.00117772061.00.00.0100660780.0117266510.0117365351.00084281.0E-5
6.71.4925434E-51.7229047E-51.7229047E-51.00.06.396457E-57.383716E-57.383716E-51.00.07.7849044E-48.9868193E-48.9868193E-41.00.00.0077576890.0089588730.0089687841.00110631.0E-5
6.81.3570335E-51.5635549E-51.5635549E-51.00.05.8157282E-56.700824E-56.700824E-51.00.07.0783484E-48.156022E-48.156022E-41.00.00.00705584460.0081341790.0081440971.00121941.0E-5
6.91.3570335E-51.5635549E-51.5635549E-51.00.05.8157282E-56.700824E-56.700824E-51.00.07.0783484E-48.156022E-48.156022E-41.00.00.00705584460.0081341790.0081440971.00121941.0E-5
7.01.3433392E-51.5478923E-51.5478923E-51.00.05.757041E-56.6337016E-56.6337016E-51.00.07.0069433E-48.074361E-48.074361E-41.00.00.0069848910.0080531120.0080630311.00123181.0E-5
7.18.181609E-69.428446E-69.428446E-61.00.03.5063567E-54.0407376E-54.0407376E-51.00.04.268153E-44.9191597E-44.9191597E-41.00.00.00425996450.00491486350.0049248141.00202471.0E-5
7.22.0663983E-71.7301953E-71.7301953E-71.00.08.855989E-77.415121E-77.415121E-71.00.01.0782113E-59.027876E-69.027876E-61.00.01.07815904E-49.0275455E-59.0275455E-51.00.0
7.32.0462376E-71.7117267E-71.7117267E-71.00.08.7695867E-77.33597E-77.33597E-71.00.01.0676919E-58.931511E-68.931511E-61.00.01.0676406E-48.931188E-58.931188E-51.00.0
7.42.0171088E-71.689938E-71.689938E-71.00.08.644749E-77.2425894E-77.2425894E-71.00.01.0524931E-58.81782E-68.81782E-61.00.01.05244326E-48.817507E-58.817507E-51.00.0
7.51.4847944E-71.2592008E-71.2592008E-71.00.06.363403E-75.396574E-75.396574E-71.00.07.747416E-66.570311E-66.570311E-61.00.07.747146E-56.570139E-56.570139E-51.00.0
7.61.3185847E-71.1153638E-71.1153638E-71.00.05.6510765E-74.7801296E-74.7801296E-71.00.06.8801637E-65.8197948E-65.8197948E-61.00.06.8799505E-55.8196634E-55.8196634E-51.00.0
7.72.8609954E-81.421049E-81.421049E-81.00.01.2261408E-76.0902096E-86.0902096E-81.00.01.4928254E-67.4148284E-77.4148284E-71.00.01.4928154E-57.414809E-67.414809E-61.00.0
7.86.527266E-92.9308795E-92.9308795E-91.00.02.7973995E-81.2560912E-81.2560912E-81.00.03.4058334E-71.5292909E-71.5292909E-71.00.03.4058282E-61.5292901E-61.5292901E-61.00.0
7.91.2898267E-97.14121E-107.14121E-101.00.05.527829E-93.0605185E-93.0605185E-91.00.06.7301315E-83.7261813E-83.7261813E-81.00.06.7301295E-73.7261813E-73.7261813E-71.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6457478E-51.6457478E-51.00.04.9496433E-57.053022E-57.053022E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5838226E-48.6837367E-41.01163981.0E-50.0060082180.0085784150.0085883291.00115571.0E-5
6.11.1549387E-51.6457478E-51.6457478E-51.00.04.9496433E-57.053022E-57.053022E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5838226E-48.6837367E-41.01163981.0E-50.0060082180.0085784150.0085883291.00115571.0E-5
6.21.1549387E-51.6457478E-51.6457478E-51.00.04.9496433E-57.053022E-57.053022E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5838226E-48.6837367E-41.01163981.0E-50.0060082180.0085784150.0085883291.00115571.0E-5
6.31.1549387E-51.6457478E-51.6457478E-51.00.04.9496433E-57.053022E-57.053022E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5838226E-48.6837367E-41.01163981.0E-50.0060082180.0085784150.0085883291.00115571.0E-5
6.41.1549387E-51.6457478E-51.6457478E-51.00.04.9496433E-57.053022E-57.053022E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5838226E-48.6837367E-41.01163981.0E-50.0060082180.0085784150.0085883291.00115571.0E-5
6.51.1549387E-51.6457478E-51.6457478E-51.00.04.9496433E-57.053022E-57.053022E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5838226E-48.6837367E-41.01163981.0E-50.0060082180.0085784150.0085883291.00115571.0E-5
6.69.202681E-61.397971E-51.397971E-51.00.03.9439463E-55.991172E-55.991172E-51.00.04.800697E-47.291901E-47.291901E-41.00.00.0047903390.0072951450.0072951451.00.0
6.79.019164E-61.3785292E-51.3785292E-51.00.03.8652986E-55.907854E-55.907854E-51.00.04.7049852E-47.1905286E-47.1905286E-41.00.00.0046950360.00719443150.00719443151.00.0
6.88.673558E-61.3407118E-51.3407118E-51.00.03.717186E-55.7457863E-55.7457863E-51.00.04.524734E-46.993338E-46.993338E-41.00.00.00451553240.0069984850.0069984851.00.0
6.97.002255E-61.1610318E-51.1610318E-51.00.03.000932E-54.9757597E-54.9757597E-51.00.03.653022E-46.056372E-46.056372E-41.00.00.00364702290.0060668380.0060668381.00.0
7.05.84644E-69.800891E-69.800891E-61.00.02.5055931E-54.2003172E-54.2003172E-51.00.03.0501327E-45.1127316E-45.1127316E-41.00.00.00304594960.00512772940.00512772941.00.0
7.15.54703E-69.454912E-69.454912E-61.00.02.377277E-54.052045E-54.052045E-51.00.02.8939504E-44.9322925E-44.9322925E-41.00.00.00289018450.00494809870.00494809871.00.0
7.24.384709E-67.801435E-67.801435E-61.00.01.8791474E-53.3434313E-53.3434313E-51.00.02.2876218E-44.0699038E-44.0699038E-41.00.00.00228526820.00408920230.00408920231.00.0
7.33.7888456E-67.032959E-67.032959E-61.00.01.623781E-53.0140922E-53.0140922E-51.00.01.9767738E-43.669073E-43.669073E-41.00.00.00197501620.00368975680.00368975681.00.0
7.42.1982462E-65.137806E-65.137806E-61.00.09.421021E-62.2018983E-52.2018983E-51.00.01.1469489E-42.6804834E-42.6804834E-41.00.00.00114635720.00270377960.00270377961.00.0
7.52.051923E-64.7259387E-64.7259387E-61.00.08.793926E-62.0253867E-52.0253867E-51.00.01.0706078E-42.4656305E-42.4656305E-41.00.00.00107009220.00248973540.00248973541.00.0
7.61.8733427E-64.230515E-64.230515E-61.00.08.028587E-61.8130655E-51.8130655E-51.00.09.774366E-52.2071844E-42.2071844E-41.00.09.770069E-40.0022323510.0022323511.00.0
7.71.8411953E-64.1494777E-64.1494777E-61.00.07.890813E-61.7783355E-51.7783355E-51.00.09.606641E-52.1649094E-42.1649094E-41.00.09.6024893E-40.00219027950.00219027951.00.0
7.81.7194251E-63.8095648E-63.8095648E-61.00.07.368944E-61.6326605E-51.6326605E-51.00.08.97132E-51.9875835E-41.9875835E-41.00.08.967699E-40.00201256760.00201256761.00.0
7.91.4035052E-63.0313129E-63.0313129E-61.00.06.0150082E-61.2991277E-51.2991277E-51.00.07.3230265E-51.5815737E-41.5815737E-41.00.07.3206134E-40.00160425670.00160425671.00.0
8.03.9318823E-75.7269017E-75.7269017E-71.00.01.6850913E-62.4543842E-62.4543842E-61.00.02.0515794E-52.9881723E-52.9881723E-51.00.02.0513899E-43.0925413E-43.0925413E-41.00.0
8.11.596793E-71.2071241E-71.2071241E-71.00.06.8433974E-75.1733883E-75.1733883E-71.00.08.331805E-66.2985823E-66.2985823E-61.00.08.331492E-56.9252346E-56.9252346E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.7202173E-82.7202173E-81.00.02.10013E-71.1658073E-71.1658073E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.4193695E-61.4193695E-61.00.02.556876E-51.5929023E-51.5929023E-51.00.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5130306E-52.5130306E-51.00.09.571891E-51.07697815E-41.07697815E-41.00.00.00116475460.00131060050.00131060051.00.00.0115866860.0130453430.0130552121.00075651.0E-5
6.12.233523E-52.5130306E-52.5130306E-51.00.09.571891E-51.07697815E-41.07697815E-41.00.00.00116475460.00131060050.00131060051.00.00.0115866860.0130453430.0130552121.00075651.0E-5
6.22.233523E-52.5130306E-52.5130306E-51.00.09.571891E-51.07697815E-41.07697815E-41.00.00.00116475460.00131060050.00131060051.00.00.0115866860.0130453430.0130552121.00075651.0E-5
6.32.233523E-52.5130306E-52.5130306E-51.00.09.571891E-51.07697815E-41.07697815E-41.00.00.00116475460.00131060050.00131060051.00.00.0115866860.0130453430.0130552121.00075651.0E-5
6.41.2288092E-51.3793858E-51.3793858E-51.00.05.2662188E-55.9115722E-55.9115722E-51.00.06.409735E-47.195902E-47.195902E-41.00.00.0063912790.00718182470.0071917531.00138241.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.3793858E-51.3793858E-51.00.05.2662188E-55.9115722E-55.9115722E-51.00.06.409735E-47.195902E-47.195902E-41.00.00.0063912790.00718182470.0071917531.00138241.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.642752E-69.642752E-61.00.03.6782953E-54.1325897E-54.1325897E-51.00.04.4774043E-45.0311E-45.0311E-41.00.00.00446839350.00502788550.00503783531.00197891.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.095845E-68.095845E-61.00.03.088114E-53.469648E-53.469648E-51.00.03.7591302E-44.2242967E-44.2242967E-41.00.00.00375277760.00422429670.00423425441.00235721.0E-5

Pilarcitos 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.9150476E-63.2373164E-61.3237284E-54.08896831.0E-52.1064321E-51.3874141E-52.3874003E-51.72075531.0E-52.564279E-41.6890488E-41.789032E-41.05919491.0E-50.00256132220.00170018270.00171016561.00587181.0E-5
6.14.9150476E-63.2373164E-61.3237284E-54.08896831.0E-52.1064321E-51.3874141E-52.3874003E-51.72075531.0E-52.564279E-41.6890488E-41.789032E-41.05919491.0E-50.00256132220.00170018270.00171016561.00587181.0E-5
6.24.162343E-62.4655592E-62.4655592E-61.00.01.783849E-51.05666395E-51.05666395E-51.00.02.1716199E-41.2864132E-41.2864132E-41.00.00.0021694990.00129806810.00129806811.00.0
6.34.162343E-62.4655592E-62.4655592E-61.00.01.783849E-51.05666395E-51.05666395E-51.00.02.1716199E-41.2864132E-41.2864132E-41.00.00.0021694990.00129806810.00129806811.00.0
6.43.8768926E-62.172923E-62.172923E-61.00.01.6615148E-59.312494E-69.312494E-61.00.02.0227065E-41.1337376E-41.1337376E-41.00.00.00202086640.00114555690.00114555691.00.0
6.53.7137002E-62.006227E-62.006227E-61.00.01.591576E-58.598088E-68.598088E-61.00.01.9375715E-41.0467672E-41.0467672E-41.00.00.0019358830.00105867190.00105867191.00.0
6.63.5048733E-61.7911252E-61.7911252E-61.00.01.5020799E-57.676228E-67.676228E-61.00.01.8286289E-49.3454095E-59.3454095E-51.00.00.00182712499.4654615E-49.4654615E-41.00.0
6.73.3908584E-61.674759E-61.674759E-61.00.01.453217E-57.1775185E-67.1775185E-61.00.01.7691481E-48.73828E-58.73828E-51.00.00.00176774028.858829E-48.858829E-41.00.0
6.83.2451449E-61.5279013E-61.5279013E-61.00.01.3907689E-56.548132E-66.548132E-61.00.01.6931296E-47.97206E-57.97206E-51.00.00.00169184028.0931874E-48.0931874E-41.00.0
6.93.1239128E-61.4043579E-61.4043579E-61.00.01.3388129E-56.0186626E-66.0186626E-61.00.01.6298829E-47.3274765E-57.3274765E-51.00.00.0016286887.449052E-47.449052E-41.00.0
7.02.9940109E-61.2755612E-61.2755612E-61.00.01.2831412E-55.4666793E-65.4666793E-61.00.01.5621124E-46.655479E-56.655479E-51.00.00.00156101486.77748E-46.77748E-41.00.0
7.12.7471217E-61.1864365E-61.1864365E-61.00.01.1773326E-55.084718E-65.084718E-61.00.01.4333082E-46.1904684E-56.1904684E-51.00.00.0014323846.312177E-46.312177E-41.00.0
7.22.592675E-61.0521048E-61.0521048E-61.00.01.1111417E-54.509013E-64.509013E-61.00.01.3527309E-45.489585E-55.489585E-51.00.00.00135190785.611669E-45.611669E-41.00.0
7.32.4518663E-69.4273946E-79.4273946E-71.00.01.0507956E-54.0403056E-64.0403056E-61.00.01.2792686E-44.918961E-54.918961E-51.00.00.00127853235.0412986E-45.0412986E-41.00.0
7.42.3349535E-69.0448304E-79.0448304E-71.00.01.0006905E-53.87635E-63.87635E-61.00.01.2182725E-44.719354E-54.719354E-51.00.00.00121760484.8415153E-44.8415153E-41.00.0
7.52.1358665E-68.5542024E-78.5542024E-71.00.09.15368E-63.6660815E-63.6660815E-61.00.01.11440364E-44.463363E-54.463363E-51.00.00.00111384494.5846548E-44.5846548E-41.00.0
7.61.6445446E-67.062107E-77.062107E-71.00.07.048029E-63.0266137E-63.0266137E-61.00.08.580638E-53.68484E-53.68484E-51.00.08.5773255E-43.8057193E-43.8057193E-41.00.0
7.71.3650961E-66.031764E-76.031764E-71.00.05.850399E-62.585039E-62.585039E-61.00.07.122628E-53.1472395E-53.1472395E-51.00.07.120345E-43.2670918E-43.2670918E-41.00.0
7.81.0500993E-65.733362E-75.733362E-71.00.04.5004176E-62.457153E-62.457153E-61.00.05.4791206E-52.9915427E-52.9915427E-51.00.05.47777E-43.1100327E-43.1100327E-41.00.0
7.95.856431E-75.350843E-75.350843E-71.00.02.5098966E-62.2932163E-62.2932163E-61.00.03.0557563E-52.7919554E-52.7919554E-51.00.03.055336E-42.902754E-42.902754E-41.00.0
8.04.4768265E-75.0406504E-75.0406504E-71.00.01.9186384E-62.160277E-62.160277E-61.00.02.3359173E-52.6301057E-52.6301057E-51.00.02.3356717E-42.7354108E-42.7354108E-41.00.0
8.12.6692538E-73.491136E-73.491136E-71.00.01.1439654E-61.4962003E-61.4962003E-61.00.01.392769E-51.8216087E-51.8216087E-51.00.01.3926817E-41.8947097E-41.8947097E-41.00.0
8.21.3198862E-81.1340766E-81.1340766E-81.00.05.656655E-84.8603283E-84.8603283E-81.00.06.886975E-75.917448E-75.917448E-71.00.06.8869535E-66.1526466E-66.1526466E-61.00.0