Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.8230443E-4 | 0.0035008478 | 7.2585855 | 0.00302 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020654192 | 0.0060870955 | 2.9471478 | 0.00403 | 0.011683988 | 0.024849912 | 0.030466776 | 1.2260315 | 0.00576 | 0.11088423 | 0.21554512 | 0.22115397 | 1.0260217 | 0.00715 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.8230443E-4 | 0.0029711034 | 6.1602244 | 0.00249 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020654192 | 0.005378562 | 2.604102 | 0.00332 | 0.011683988 | 0.024849912 | 0.029364858 | 1.1816885 | 0.00463 | 0.11088423 | 0.21554512 | 0.2201028 | 1.0211449 | 0.00581 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.7302322E-4 | 0.0029518502 | 6.2403913 | 0.00248 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020257046 | 0.0053289994 | 2.6306894 | 0.00331 | 0.011405343 | 0.024377884 | 0.028885258 | 1.184896 | 0.00462 | 0.10837428 | 0.2119558 | 0.21652645 | 1.0215642 | 0.0058 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.6735135E-4 | 0.002936197 | 6.282633 | 0.00247 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.002001434 | 0.005284849 | 2.6405313 | 0.00329 | 0.011262234 | 0.024089953 | 0.028579138 | 1.186351 | 0.0046 | 0.107082725 | 0.20984441 | 0.21440361 | 1.0217266 | 0.00577 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0607064E-4 | 0.0023552787 | 5.8001704 | 0.00195 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017391568 | 0.0043645827 | 2.509597 | 0.00263 | 0.00974259 | 0.020966742 | 0.024667488 | 1.1765056 | 0.00378 | 0.093263686 | 0.18659714 | 0.19045267 | 1.0206623 | 0.00474 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.8018977E-4 | 0.0021795055 | 5.732678 | 0.0018 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016283798 | 0.004044439 | 2.4837198 | 0.00242 | 0.009034078 | 0.019645158 | 0.023096006 | 1.1756591 | 0.00352 | 0.086755216 | 0.17638399 | 0.1800079 | 1.0205456 | 0.0044 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.540676E-4 | 0.001953501 | 5.517311 | 0.0016 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0015165606 | 0.0037032394 | 2.441867 | 0.00219 | 0.008271996 | 0.018309431 | 0.021441024 | 1.1710372 | 0.00319 | 0.07970774 | 0.16573332 | 0.16907038 | 1.0201352 | 0.004 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2540393E-4 | 0.0017649353 | 5.423829 | 0.00144 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013938515 | 0.0033411335 | 2.3970513 | 0.00195 | 0.007417723 | 0.016839089 | 0.019601772 | 1.1640637 | 0.00281 | 0.07174956 | 0.15378477 | 0.15674652 | 1.0192591 | 0.0035 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9462008E-4 | 0.0015442518 | 5.2415023 | 0.00125 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012620528 | 0.00294992 | 2.337398 | 0.00169 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015258723 | 0.01767134 | 1.158114 | 0.00245 | 0.06264243 | 0.13999902 | 0.14264782 | 1.0189202 | 0.00308 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.657177E-4 | 0.0012854467 | 4.8376403 | 0.00102 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011382975 | 0.0025167267 | 2.2109568 | 0.00138 | 0.005298089 | 0.013771734 | 0.015803365 | 1.1475217 | 0.00206 | 0.05173543 | 0.12624897 | 0.12855567 | 1.0182711 | 0.00264 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.264277E-4 | 9.562624E-4 | 4.223257 | 7.3E-4 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.700468E-4 | 0.0020090379 | 2.0710733 | 0.00104 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011747088 | 0.01327888 | 1.1303976 | 0.00155 | 0.039192066 | 0.10826691 | 0.11005038 | 1.0164728 | 0.002 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2322981E-4 | 9.330713E-4 | 4.1798687 | 7.1E-4 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.5635164E-4 | 0.0019653856 | 2.0550869 | 0.00101 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011582134 | 0.013074645 | 1.1288632 | 0.00151 | 0.038443442 | 0.10682054 | 0.10856224 | 1.016305 | 0.00195 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0442826E-4 | 8.342995E-4 | 4.0811357 | 6.3E-4 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.7583E-4 | 0.0017550592 | 2.0038812 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010611747 | 0.011937528 | 1.1249352 | 0.00134 | 0.034803 | 0.09846978 | 0.09999336 | 1.0154727 | 0.00169 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.9064698E-4 | 7.705364E-4 | 4.0416923 | 5.8E-4 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.168056E-4 | 0.0016061603 | 1.9663924 | 7.9E-4 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009899865 | 0.011107787 | 1.122014 | 0.00122 | 0.03284188 | 0.0923351 | 0.09376013 | 1.0154333 | 0.00157 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2706876E-4 | 4.1703193E-4 | 3.2819388 | 2.9E-4 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.4446765E-4 | 9.64239E-4 | 1.7709757 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0023488526 | 0.0066089244 | 0.0072844303 | 1.1022111 | 6.8E-4 | 0.023241805 | 0.0631462 | 0.063951895 | 1.0127592 | 8.6E-4 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.487125E-5 | 3.0485133E-4 | 3.2133162 | 2.1E-4 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0652804E-4 | 6.9641013E-4 | 1.713068 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0017896603 | 0.00493831 | 0.0053761373 | 1.0886593 | 4.4E-4 | 0.01775316 | 0.0477343 | 0.048239004 | 1.0105731 | 5.3E-4 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.1793256E-5 | 1.7178607E-4 | 2.3927886 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0764923E-4 | 4.5760308E-4 | 1.4874183 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001354725 | 0.003739221 | 0.003998249 | 1.0692732 | 2.6E-4 | 0.013464959 | 0.03641197 | 0.03672032 | 1.0084683 | 3.2E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 5.0454913E-5 | 9.045289E-5 | 1.792747 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1621746E-4 | 2.762045E-4 | 1.2774384 | 6.0E-5 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0026292757 | 0.002788855 | 1.0606933 | 1.6E-4 | 0.008982267 | 0.025766555 | 0.025941918 | 1.0068058 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 4.057103E-5 | 7.056981E-5 | 1.7394139 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7386427E-4 | 2.1385732E-4 | 1.2300245 | 4.0E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.002114745 | 0.0022344915 | 1.0566244 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020829782 | 0.020957075 | 1.006111 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.9441304E-5 | 5.9440423E-5 | 2.0189466 | 3.0E-5 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2617093E-4 | 1.5616714E-4 | 1.2377427 | 3.0E-5 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0015350498 | 0.0016149268 | 1.0520356 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.015312179 | 0.015400801 | 1.0057877 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3868026E-5 | 5.386731E-5 | 2.2568817 | 3.0E-5 | 3.70726E-5 | 1.0228754E-4 | 1.3228446E-4 | 1.2932608 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012446402 | 0.0013245406 | 1.0641956 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.01248538 | 0.012574256 | 1.0071185 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.5743396E-6 | 1.7574264E-5 | 2.3202372 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.2461052E-5 | 4.2460728E-5 | 1.3080515 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.9514177E-4 | 4.1513387E-4 | 1.0505947 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0041229553 | 0.004142873 | 1.0048308 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.3129637E-6 | 2.3129637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.912665E-6 | 9.912665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.20680044E-4 | 1.20680044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0013153799 | 0.0013153799 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.8215358E-8 | 1.8215358E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.806582E-8 | 7.806582E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.504512E-7 | 9.504512E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.900502E-6 | 9.900502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.1374844E-4 | 0.0029824795 | 5.8053303 | 0.00247 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021999613 | 0.0054627676 | 2.4831197 | 0.00327 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026476434 | 0.03089623 | 1.1669333 | 0.00454 | 0.13367249 | 0.23078218 | 0.23517442 | 1.019032 | 0.00571 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.9385853E-4 | 0.0029626386 | 5.998962 | 0.00247 | 0.001086234 | 0.0021148587 | 0.005377943 | 2.5429325 | 0.00327 | 0.013144928 | 0.025451794 | 0.029876243 | 1.1738365 | 0.00454 | 0.123940155 | 0.22194196 | 0.22637689 | 1.0199823 | 0.0057 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.846856E-4 | 0.0029434932 | 6.072995 | 0.00246 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020756088 | 0.0053288424 | 2.5673635 | 0.00326 | 0.01286919 | 0.024985561 | 0.029402377 | 1.1767747 | 0.00453 | 0.12148927 | 0.21842386 | 0.22287102 | 1.0203602 | 0.00569 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.6539272E-4 | 0.002904257 | 6.240444 | 0.00244 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019930531 | 0.0052166153 | 2.6173992 | 0.00323 | 0.012036599 | 0.024002638 | 0.028394626 | 1.1829793 | 0.0045 | 0.11405133 | 0.21019356 | 0.21465597 | 1.02123 | 0.00565 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 4.050514E-4 | 0.0023242738 | 5.7382193 | 0.00192 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017347947 | 0.0043003364 | 2.4788733 | 0.00257 | 0.010539869 | 0.020927167 | 0.024520364 | 1.1717001 | 0.00367 | 0.100537635 | 0.1873341 | 0.1910805 | 1.0199984 | 0.00461 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.7578188E-4 | 0.0021451167 | 5.7084093 | 0.00177 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0016095126 | 0.003965714 | 2.4639225 | 0.00236 | 0.009633281 | 0.019426037 | 0.022769794 | 1.1721276 | 0.00341 | 0.0922623 | 0.17547423 | 0.1790032 | 1.0201111 | 0.00428 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.45733E-4 | 0.0019151901 | 5.539507 | 0.00157 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014808818 | 0.0036077276 | 2.436202 | 0.00213 | 0.008617763 | 0.017884566 | 0.02090948 | 1.1691356 | 0.00308 | 0.08291132 | 0.16281518 | 0.16606346 | 1.0199507 | 0.00388 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.1241035E-4 | 0.0017319667 | 5.543884 | 0.00142 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.001338223 | 0.0032356803 | 2.4178932 | 0.0019 | 0.0073952693 | 0.01617208 | 0.018838253 | 1.1648628 | 0.00271 | 0.07153955 | 0.1483286 | 0.15121576 | 1.0194646 | 0.00339 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.819011E-4 | 0.0015115544 | 5.3620024 | 0.00123 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0012075945 | 0.002845614 | 2.3564317 | 0.00164 | 0.0064067547 | 0.0146047855 | 0.016920464 | 1.1585561 | 0.00235 | 0.06225166 | 0.13454098 | 0.13711138 | 1.0191051 | 0.00297 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5315266E-4 | 0.0012528995 | 4.949186 | 0.001 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010844931 | 0.0024230399 | 2.2342603 | 0.00134 | 0.0051317946 | 0.0131247565 | 0.015068901 | 1.148128 | 0.00197 | 0.05014893 | 0.12063656 | 0.12287014 | 1.018515 | 0.00254 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1492963E-4 | 9.24777E-4 | 4.3026967 | 7.1E-4 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.2080503E-4 | 0.0019198842 | 2.0850062 | 0.001 | 0.003811904 | 0.011153874 | 0.012607478 | 1.1303228 | 0.00147 | 0.037471764 | 0.10299953 | 0.10471281 | 1.0166337 | 0.00191 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.1191392E-4 | 9.017677E-4 | 4.2553487 | 6.9E-4 | 3.0750787E-4 | 9.078897E-4 | 0.001877009 | 2.0674417 | 9.7E-4 | 0.003737482 | 0.010998227 | 0.012412499 | 1.128591 | 0.00143 | 0.03675245 | 0.101625524 | 0.103296496 | 1.0164425 | 0.00186 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9352103E-4 | 8.134011E-4 | 4.203166 | 6.2E-4 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.291153E-4 | 0.0016884023 | 2.0363903 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0033683628 | 0.01004839 | 0.011315528 | 1.1261036 | 0.00128 | 0.033177625 | 0.09341105 | 0.094879724 | 1.0157228 | 0.00162 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.8014856E-4 | 7.500459E-4 | 4.163485 | 5.7E-4 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.7183975E-4 | 0.0015412454 | 1.9968464 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009357246 | 0.0105063915 | 1.1228081 | 0.00116 | 0.031268585 | 0.087432116 | 0.08880097 | 1.0156561 | 0.0015 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1670974E-4 | 3.9667706E-4 | 3.3988342 | 2.8E-4 | 1.7995955E-4 | 5.000896E-4 | 8.9988956E-4 | 1.7994566 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0021888057 | 0.006071767 | 0.006688002 | 1.1014919 | 6.2E-4 | 0.02167372 | 0.058152586 | 0.058896642 | 1.012795 | 7.9E-4 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.468004E-5 | 2.846631E-4 | 3.3616319 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.628643E-4 | 6.327663E-4 | 1.7438098 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0016321153 | 0.004408985 | 0.0047873096 | 1.0858077 | 3.8E-4 | 0.016201803 | 0.042739924 | 0.04318026 | 1.0103028 | 4.6E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.1938255E-5 | 1.5193268E-4 | 2.45297 | 9.0E-5 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.654228E-4 | 3.9538828E-4 | 1.4896547 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0032267577 | 0.0034261125 | 1.0617818 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011967761 | 0.031525414 | 0.031767532 | 1.00768 | 2.5E-4 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.1005747E-5 | 7.100452E-5 | 1.7315748 | 3.0E-5 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7572711E-4 | 2.1572008E-4 | 1.2275857 | 4.0E-5 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.002137384 | 0.0022371702 | 1.0466862 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007582182 | 0.021031447 | 0.021148924 | 1.0055858 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.1677748E-5 | 5.1677114E-5 | 1.631338 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3575472E-4 | 1.55752E-4 | 1.1473045 | 2.0E-5 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016515631 | 0.0017214476 | 1.042314 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.016344095 | 0.016422788 | 1.0048147 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.271147E-5 | 4.2711017E-5 | 1.8805923 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.733124E-5 | 1.173293E-4 | 1.2054639 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011843648 | 0.0012343056 | 1.0421667 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.011878822 | 0.011938109 | 1.004991 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8486959E-5 | 3.848659E-5 | 2.0818236 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.922742E-5 | 9.922584E-5 | 1.2524178 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.641678E-4 | 0.0010141196 | 1.0518082 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009725027 | 0.009784443 | 1.0061096 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.594867E-6 | 6.594867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.826341E-5 | 2.826341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.4405282E-4 | 3.5404938E-4 | 1.0290554 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017874148 | 0.003592379 | 0.003602343 | 1.0027736 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 2.0196983E-6 | 2.0196983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.655821E-6 | 8.655821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0537956E-4 | 1.0537956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011500585 | 0.0011500585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.5346739E-8 | 1.5346739E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.577174E-8 | 6.577174E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 8.0077086E-7 | 8.0077086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 8.339268E-6 | 8.339268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.3024378E-4 | 0.00127993 | 3.8757129 | 9.5E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014145676 | 0.0027327004 | 1.9318273 | 0.00132 | 0.0062038354 | 0.017087722 | 0.01901423 | 1.1127422 | 0.00196 | 0.060334753 | 0.15381852 | 0.15594244 | 1.0138079 | 0.00251 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.3024378E-4 | 0.00127993 | 3.8757129 | 9.5E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014145676 | 0.0027327004 | 1.9318273 | 0.00132 | 0.0062038354 | 0.017087722 | 0.01901423 | 1.1127422 | 0.00196 | 0.060334753 | 0.15381852 | 0.15594244 | 1.0138079 | 0.00251 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0523204E-4 | 0.0012449451 | 4.0786843 | 9.4E-4 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0013074855 | 0.002585812 | 1.9776983 | 0.00128 | 0.005590286 | 0.015803568 | 0.01767354 | 1.1183261 | 0.0019 | 0.05451731 | 0.14301176 | 0.14506853 | 1.0143819 | 0.0024 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0468495E-4 | 0.0012443985 | 4.0842137 | 9.4E-4 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0013051432 | 0.0025834728 | 1.9794552 | 0.00128 | 0.005577586 | 0.015775464 | 0.017645491 | 1.1185402 | 0.0019 | 0.054396555 | 0.1427803 | 0.14483763 | 1.0144091 | 0.0024 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.967621E-4 | 0.0012364831 | 4.16658 | 9.4E-4 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012712217 | 0.0025495945 | 2.0056255 | 0.00128 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015368366 | 0.01722932 | 1.1210899 | 0.00189 | 0.052604496 | 0.13933374 | 0.14139074 | 1.0147631 | 0.00239 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.939552E-4 | 0.0012336789 | 4.1968265 | 9.4E-4 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012592038 | 0.0025375918 | 2.0152354 | 0.00128 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015224102 | 0.017085329 | 1.1222552 | 0.00189 | 0.051971316 | 0.13810754 | 0.14015883 | 1.014853 | 0.00238 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.9161153E-4 | 0.0012313374 | 4.2225266 | 9.4E-4 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012491691 | 0.0025275701 | 2.0234013 | 0.00128 | 0.0052651367 | 0.01510363 | 0.016965084 | 1.1232455 | 0.00189 | 0.051421247 | 0.13708581 | 0.13913955 | 1.0149814 | 0.00238 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.9019636E-4 | 0.0012199265 | 4.2037964 | 9.3E-4 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012431099 | 0.002511531 | 2.0203612 | 0.00127 | 0.005230834 | 0.0150308795 | 0.016882623 | 1.1231959 | 0.00188 | 0.051094085 | 0.13647045 | 0.138517 | 1.0149964 | 0.00237 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8822725E-4 | 0.0012179592 | 4.225691 | 9.3E-4 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012346788 | 0.0025031108 | 2.0273376 | 0.00127 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014929643 | 0.016781576 | 1.124044 | 0.00188 | 0.050728295 | 0.13562095 | 0.13766953 | 1.0151051 | 0.00237 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8317544E-4 | 0.0011929178 | 4.2126455 | 9.1E-4 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012130486 | 0.0024515444 | 2.020978 | 0.00124 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014669871 | 0.016492732 | 1.1242588 | 0.00185 | 0.049738888 | 0.13344495 | 0.1354727 | 1.0151954 | 0.00234 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.5036334E-4 | 9.801806E-4 | 3.9150324 | 7.3E-4 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010725479 | 0.0021114324 | 1.9686137 | 0.00104 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012980876 | 0.014510755 | 1.1178564 | 0.00155 | 0.04338823 | 0.11924895 | 0.12101045 | 1.0147716 | 0.002 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.463602E-4 | 9.561853E-4 | 3.881249 | 7.1E-4 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010554055 | 0.0020643396 | 1.9559681 | 0.00101 | 0.004331963 | 0.012774635 | 0.014265345 | 1.116693 | 0.00151 | 0.042484846 | 0.11745929 | 0.11918024 | 1.0146515 | 0.00195 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2676474E-4 | 8.566219E-4 | 3.7775798 | 6.3E-4 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.7149E-4 | 0.001850635 | 1.904945 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011764449 | 0.013088685 | 1.1125625 | 0.00134 | 0.03870018 | 0.108845696 | 0.11035174 | 1.0138366 | 0.00169 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.0982775E-4 | 7.897061E-4 | 3.763592 | 5.8E-4 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.989548E-4 | 0.0016882446 | 1.8780084 | 7.9E-4 | 0.0036891096 | 0.0108904885 | 0.012097202 | 1.1108043 | 0.00122 | 0.03628465 | 0.10133827 | 0.10274916 | 1.0139227 | 0.00157 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4480406E-4 | 4.3476207E-4 | 3.0024164 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.2044215E-4 | 0.0010401815 | 1.6765167 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0075279134 | 0.008202794 | 1.0896505 | 6.8E-4 | 0.02649557 | 0.07175379 | 0.072552085 | 1.0111254 | 8.6E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.11218105E-4 | 3.2119476E-4 | 2.8879719 | 2.1E-4 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.7656227E-4 | 7.6642405E-4 | 1.6082349 | 2.9E-4 | 0.002099857 | 0.0057867817 | 0.0062242355 | 1.0755954 | 4.4E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.055813603 | 0.05631402 | 1.0089658 | 5.3E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.592485E-5 | 1.8591626E-4 | 2.1637077 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.681975E-4 | 5.1814225E-4 | 1.40724 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0016250437 | 0.0044736178 | 0.0047324547 | 1.0578585 | 2.6E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.04350209 | 0.043808166 | 1.007036 | 3.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.370474E-5 | 1.03702194E-4 | 1.6278567 | 4.0E-5 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.729918E-4 | 3.329754E-4 | 1.2197268 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.0033186164 | 0.0034780854 | 1.0480529 | 1.6E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.032497734 | 0.032671884 | 1.0053588 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.2933967E-5 | 8.2932376E-5 | 1.5667138 | 3.0E-5 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2684014E-4 | 2.6683108E-4 | 1.1762956 | 4.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.002758284 | 0.002877953 | 1.0433853 | 1.2E-4 | 0.009081938 | 0.027156701 | 0.027283171 | 1.004657 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.914106E-5 | 6.913989E-5 | 1.7664285 | 3.0E-5 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6773662E-4 | 1.977316E-4 | 1.1788218 | 3.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.002040282 | 0.0021201186 | 1.0391302 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.020332724 | 0.020420894 | 1.0043364 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1848886E-5 | 6.184793E-5 | 1.9419181 | 3.0E-5 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3648809E-4 | 1.66484E-4 | 1.2197694 | 3.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016604769 | 0.0017403441 | 1.0480989 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.016643515 | 0.016732017 | 1.0053176 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 9.286597E-6 | 1.9286503E-5 | 2.0768108 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.979909E-5 | 4.9798695E-5 | 1.251252 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.8444635E-4 | 5.0443667E-4 | 1.0412643 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002658026 | 0.0050734268 | 0.005093325 | 1.0039221 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.9113291E-6 | 2.9113291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.2477066E-5 | 1.2477066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.5189772E-4 | 1.5189772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0016618285 | 0.0016618285 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 6.1549734E-8 | 6.1549734E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.6378456E-7 | 2.6378456E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.2115724E-6 | 3.2115724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.3716326E-5 | 3.3716326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elmore Ranch
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.102099E-5 | 8.985221E-5 | 0.0011097606 | 12.350954 | 0.00102 | 3.9003167E-4 | 3.850306E-4 | 0.00181448 | 4.71256 | 0.00143 | 0.0047383 | 0.004678322 | 0.006569433 | 1.4042286 | 0.0019 | 0.046385348 | 0.04599528 | 0.04815133 | 1.0468755 | 0.00226 |
6.1 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1652904E-5 | 4.616354E-4 | 11.082911 | 4.2E-4 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.7850264E-4 | 7.3840265E-4 | 4.1366487 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0021715492 | 0.002939877 | 1.3538156 | 7.7E-4 | 0.019789828 | 0.02168169 | 0.022611093 | 1.0428658 | 9.5E-4 |
6.2 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1652904E-5 | 4.616354E-4 | 11.082911 | 4.2E-4 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.7850264E-4 | 7.3840265E-4 | 4.1366487 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0021715492 | 0.002939877 | 1.3538156 | 7.7E-4 | 0.019789828 | 0.02168169 | 0.022611093 | 1.0428658 | 9.5E-4 |
6.3 | 3.3197924E-5 | 3.6686484E-5 | 3.9667328E-4 | 10.812518 | 3.6E-4 | 1.4226905E-4 | 1.5722112E-4 | 6.3714565E-4 | 4.052545 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0017307495 | 0.0019130312 | 0.0025817496 | 1.3495595 | 6.7E-4 | 0.017173318 | 0.019131834 | 0.019936146 | 1.0420405 | 8.2E-4 |
6.4 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.7518634E-5 | 3.2751038E-4 | 11.901403 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1793534E-4 | 5.078894E-4 | 4.3065066 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014355684 | 0.0019548219 | 1.3617059 | 5.2E-4 | 0.01303681 | 0.014421306 | 0.015061933 | 1.0444221 | 6.5E-4 |
6.5 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.7518634E-5 | 3.2751038E-4 | 11.901403 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1793534E-4 | 5.078894E-4 | 4.3065066 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014355684 | 0.0019548219 | 1.3617059 | 5.2E-4 | 0.01303681 | 0.014421306 | 0.015061933 | 1.0444221 | 6.5E-4 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3643793E-4 | 7.763103E-4 | 3.2833574 | 5.4E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010129065 | 0.0017621468 | 1.7396934 | 7.5E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012262329 | 0.013408106 | 1.0934386 | 0.00116 | 0.042463828 | 0.11364798 | 0.11493319 | 1.0113087 | 0.00145 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3643793E-4 | 7.763103E-4 | 3.2833574 | 5.4E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010129065 | 0.0017621468 | 1.7396934 | 7.5E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012262329 | 0.013408106 | 1.0934386 | 0.00116 | 0.042463828 | 0.11364798 | 0.11493319 | 1.0113087 | 0.00145 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3643793E-4 | 7.763103E-4 | 3.2833574 | 5.4E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010129065 | 0.0017621468 | 1.7396934 | 7.5E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012262329 | 0.013408106 | 1.0934386 | 0.00116 | 0.042463828 | 0.11364798 | 0.11493319 | 1.0113087 | 0.00145 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3643793E-4 | 7.763103E-4 | 3.2833574 | 5.4E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010129065 | 0.0017621468 | 1.7396934 | 7.5E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012262329 | 0.013408106 | 1.0934386 | 0.00116 | 0.042463828 | 0.11364798 | 0.11493319 | 1.0113087 | 0.00145 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3199944E-4 | 7.7187415E-4 | 3.3270519 | 5.4E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.939035E-4 | 0.001743158 | 1.7538505 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.012033877 | 0.013179918 | 1.0952345 | 0.00116 | 0.041180745 | 0.11162587 | 0.11291401 | 1.0115398 | 0.00145 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3199944E-4 | 7.7187415E-4 | 3.3270519 | 5.4E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.939035E-4 | 0.001743158 | 1.7538505 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.012033877 | 0.013179918 | 1.0952345 | 0.00116 | 0.041180745 | 0.11162587 | 0.11291401 | 1.0115398 | 0.00145 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.244252E-4 | 7.64304E-4 | 3.405607 | 5.4E-4 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.6147007E-4 | 0.001710749 | 1.7793055 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011643628 | 0.012790121 | 1.0984653 | 0.00116 | 0.03897764 | 0.10815799 | 0.10945117 | 1.0119563 | 0.00145 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.2117831E-4 | 7.610589E-4 | 3.440929 | 5.4E-4 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.47565E-4 | 0.0016968544 | 1.7907524 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011476126 | 0.012622814 | 1.0999194 | 0.00116 | 0.038081564 | 0.10666611 | 0.10796144 | 1.0121439 | 0.00145 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1964352E-4 | 7.5952493E-4 | 3.457989 | 5.4E-4 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.4099215E-4 | 0.0016902863 | 1.7962811 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011396943 | 0.012543722 | 1.1006217 | 0.00116 | 0.03774495 | 0.10596558 | 0.107261926 | 1.0122337 | 0.00145 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1732651E-4 | 7.5720914E-4 | 3.4842005 | 5.4E-4 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.3106914E-4 | 0.0016803709 | 1.8047756 | 7.5E-4 | 0.003789323 | 0.011277387 | 0.012424306 | 1.1017007 | 0.00116 | 0.037253562 | 0.1049117 | 0.106209576 | 1.0123712 | 0.00145 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1315612E-4 | 7.53041E-4 | 3.5328145 | 5.4E-4 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.1320864E-4 | 0.0016625237 | 1.82053 | 7.5E-4 | 0.003699303 | 0.011062162 | 0.01220933 | 1.103702 | 0.00116 | 0.03638325 | 0.103011206 | 0.104311846 | 1.0126262 | 0.00145 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.1150513E-4 | 7.5139094E-4 | 3.5525897 | 5.4E-4 | 3.0118722E-4 | 9.061379E-4 | 0.0016554584 | 1.8269385 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010976947 | 0.012124213 | 1.104516 | 0.00116 | 0.036010686 | 0.10225195 | 0.10355368 | 1.0127307 | 0.00145 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0757235E-4 | 7.374623E-4 | 3.5527966 | 5.3E-4 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.892947E-4 | 0.0016186455 | 1.8201452 | 7.3E-4 | 0.003567883 | 0.010773924 | 0.011901642 | 1.104671 | 0.00114 | 0.035111405 | 0.10044127 | 0.101727635 | 1.0128071 | 0.00143 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.998109E-4 | 7.0970895E-4 | 3.5519035 | 5.1E-4 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.5605355E-4 | 0.0015554543 | 1.8170059 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010373136 | 0.011471622 | 1.1058972 | 0.00111 | 0.033966612 | 0.09692712 | 0.098191425 | 1.0130439 | 0.0014 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.490288E-4 | 4.2898708E-4 | 2.8785515 | 2.8E-4 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.3853944E-4 | 0.0010482776 | 1.6416804 | 4.1E-4 | 0.002660276 | 0.0077467035 | 0.008411513 | 1.0858184 | 6.7E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.073786825 | 0.074574105 | 1.0106697 | 8.5E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.13162016E-4 | 3.1313938E-4 | 2.7671776 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.8489025E-4 | 7.647545E-4 | 1.5771703 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0058876304 | 0.0063150986 | 1.0726044 | 4.3E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.056831196 | 0.057321645 | 1.0086299 | 5.2E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.653761E-5 | 1.7652982E-4 | 2.03992 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.708229E-4 | 5.10771E-4 | 1.3773987 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0015564259 | 0.004505449 | 0.004754323 | 1.0552384 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043902226 | 0.044198617 | 1.0067512 | 3.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.490172E-5 | 9.489977E-5 | 1.4622073 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.781206E-4 | 3.281067E-4 | 1.1797282 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033808665 | 0.0035303594 | 1.0442173 | 1.5E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.033198386 | 0.033372413 | 1.005242 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.6889374E-5 | 8.688767E-5 | 1.5273093 | 3.0E-5 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.4378883E-4 | 2.8377908E-4 | 1.1640364 | 4.0E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0029640927 | 0.0030837369 | 1.0403646 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.029258547 | 0.029384743 | 1.0043131 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.267122E-5 | 7.266994E-5 | 1.70302 | 3.0E-5 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.8286385E-4 | 2.1285836E-4 | 1.1640265 | 3.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0022240956 | 0.0023039177 | 1.0358896 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.022222888 | 0.022310888 | 1.0039599 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.0735053E-5 | 6.073413E-5 | 1.9760542 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.31715E-4 | 1.6171105E-4 | 1.2277344 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0016024517 | 0.0016823235 | 1.0498435 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.016125033 | 0.016213581 | 1.0054914 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.6388615E-6 | 1.7638786E-5 | 2.3090856 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.273757E-5 | 4.2737243E-5 | 1.3054495 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.9850714E-4 | 4.1849917E-4 | 1.0501673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0042505236 | 0.004270439 | 1.0046853 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.8575555E-6 | 2.8575555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.2246609E-5 | 1.2246609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.490923E-4 | 1.490923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0016629879 | 0.0016629879 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.342902E-7 | 3.342902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.4326716E-6 | 1.4326716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.7442651E-5 | 1.7442651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 2.059293E-4 | 2.059293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0307236E-4 | 4.9301476E-4 | 1.6267229 | 1.9E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012982613 | 0.0015778978 | 1.2153931 | 2.8E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015696783 | 0.016100347 | 1.02571 | 4.1E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14414817 | 0.1445761 | 1.0029687 | 5.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0307236E-4 | 4.9301476E-4 | 1.6267229 | 1.9E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012982613 | 0.0015778978 | 1.2153931 | 2.8E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015696783 | 0.016100347 | 1.02571 | 4.1E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14414817 | 0.1445761 | 1.0029687 | 5.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0307236E-4 | 4.9301476E-4 | 1.6267229 | 1.9E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012982613 | 0.0015778978 | 1.2153931 | 2.8E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015696783 | 0.016100347 | 1.02571 | 4.1E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14414817 | 0.1445761 | 1.0029687 | 5.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.909264E-4 | 4.8087112E-4 | 1.6528962 | 1.9E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012462576 | 0.0015259086 | 1.2243927 | 2.8E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.015072516 | 0.015476337 | 1.0267918 | 4.1E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13885416 | 0.13928473 | 1.0031009 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.909264E-4 | 4.8087112E-4 | 1.6528962 | 1.9E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012462576 | 0.0015259086 | 1.2243927 | 2.8E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.015072516 | 0.015476337 | 1.0267918 | 4.1E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13885416 | 0.13928473 | 1.0031009 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.7100524E-4 | 4.6095374E-4 | 1.7009035 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.001160959 | 0.0014406339 | 1.2408999 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.014047733 | 0.014451973 | 1.0287762 | 4.1E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.13010821 | 0.13054316 | 1.003343 | 5.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5340615E-4 | 4.43358E-4 | 1.7495944 | 1.9E-4 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010855981 | 0.001355305 | 1.2484409 | 2.7E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.013141467 | 0.01353621 | 1.030038 | 4.0E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.12225532 | 0.12268542 | 1.003518 | 4.9E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3406722E-4 | 4.2402276E-4 | 1.8115426 | 1.9E-4 | 3.7524657E-4 | 0.001002782 | 0.0012725113 | 1.268981 | 2.7E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.012144654 | 0.012539796 | 1.0325363 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.11353066 | 0.11396503 | 1.003826 | 4.9E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2964511E-4 | 4.1960148E-4 | 1.8271736 | 1.9E-4 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.838445E-4 | 0.0012535789 | 1.2741636 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.011916627 | 0.01231186 | 1.0331665 | 4.0E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.11153982 | 0.11197516 | 1.003903 | 4.9E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7324586E-4 | 3.6321295E-4 | 2.0965173 | 1.9E-4 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.4227183E-4 | 0.0010020789 | 1.350016 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008999925 | 0.009386416 | 1.0429437 | 3.9E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.08528844 | 0.085718356 | 1.0050408 | 4.7E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6751072E-4 | 3.574789E-4 | 2.1340659 | 1.9E-4 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.1770634E-4 | 9.775198E-4 | 1.3620051 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008703266 | 0.009089872 | 1.0444207 | 3.9E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.08259794 | 0.08302912 | 1.0052202 | 4.7E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.6167016E-4 | 3.5163944E-4 | 2.1750424 | 1.9E-4 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.926889E-4 | 9.4251573E-4 | 1.3606623 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008401062 | 0.00877787 | 1.0448524 | 3.8E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.079884976 | 0.08030823 | 1.0052983 | 4.6E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4767786E-4 | 3.376498E-4 | 2.2863941 | 1.9E-4 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.32752E-4 | 8.825938E-4 | 1.3948495 | 2.5E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.007676651 | 0.008053733 | 1.0491208 | 3.8E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.07331877 | 0.07374504 | 1.005814 | 4.6E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3956826E-4 | 3.2954174E-4 | 2.361151 | 1.9E-4 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.9801294E-4 | 8.4786344E-4 | 1.4178011 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0072565908 | 0.007633833 | 1.0519862 | 3.8E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.06958425 | 0.07001224 | 1.0061507 | 4.6E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.336088E-4 | 3.235834E-4 | 2.4218721 | 1.9E-4 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.724838E-4 | 8.2234066E-4 | 1.4364436 | 2.5E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.0069477973 | 0.007325157 | 1.0543135 | 3.8E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.066825435 | 0.06725469 | 1.0064236 | 4.6E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2591327E-4 | 3.1588934E-4 | 2.5087852 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.39517E-4 | 7.8938215E-4 | 1.4631274 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.0065489104 | 0.0069264215 | 1.057645 | 3.8E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.063210495 | 0.06364142 | 1.0068172 | 4.6E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 1.0043632E-4 | 1.8042828E-4 | 1.7964445 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.3037048E-4 | 5.4032315E-4 | 1.2554837 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005227199 | 0.0054261535 | 1.0380614 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.050939642 | 0.05117691 | 1.0046577 | 2.5E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.439889E-5 | 1.1439635E-4 | 1.3554249 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.616594E-4 | 4.0164494E-4 | 1.1105613 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004394323 | 0.004523752 | 1.0294536 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.043122705 | 0.043266237 | 1.0033284 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.6407625E-5 | 1.06405336E-4 | 1.392601 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.274202E-4 | 3.6740708E-4 | 1.1221272 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.003979061 | 0.0040985835 | 1.0300379 | 1.2E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.039232176 | 0.039357074 | 1.0031836 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.9346246E-5 | 8.934447E-5 | 1.505478 | 3.0E-5 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.5431628E-4 | 2.8430865E-4 | 1.1179334 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030919076 | 0.0031716602 | 1.025794 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011140184 | 0.030818896 | 0.030906124 | 1.0028303 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.2140626E-5 | 6.213966E-5 | 1.9333682 | 3.0E-5 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3773827E-4 | 1.6773414E-4 | 1.2177744 | 3.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016756746 | 0.0017555405 | 1.047662 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.016904814 | 0.016993294 | 1.0052339 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 8.119046E-6 | 1.8118964E-5 | 2.2316618 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.4795445E-5 | 4.4795095E-5 | 1.2873839 | 1.0E-5 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.2355232E-4 | 4.4354386E-4 | 1.0471997 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002563781 | 0.0045331507 | 0.00455306 | 1.0043919 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 3.0428391E-6 | 3.0428391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.3040674E-5 | 1.3040674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5875869E-4 | 1.5875869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017763507 | 0.0017763507 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.394981E-7 | 3.394981E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.4549911E-6 | 1.4549911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.7714387E-5 | 1.7714387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.09167E-4 | 2.09167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.2043943E-4 | 3.704234E-4 | 1.1559857 | 5.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.001372595 | 0.001442499 | 1.0509282 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01658482 | 0.016752 | 1.0100803 | 1.7E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15204613 | 0.1522242 | 1.0011711 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.2043943E-4 | 3.704234E-4 | 1.1559857 | 5.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.001372595 | 0.001442499 | 1.0509282 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01658482 | 0.016752 | 1.0100803 | 1.7E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15204613 | 0.1522242 | 1.0011711 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.2043943E-4 | 3.704234E-4 | 1.1559857 | 5.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.001372595 | 0.001442499 | 1.0509282 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01658482 | 0.016752 | 1.0100803 | 1.7E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15204613 | 0.1522242 | 1.0011711 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0946604E-4 | 3.5945058E-4 | 1.1615186 | 5.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013256146 | 0.0013955218 | 1.0527357 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.01602135 | 0.016178787 | 1.0098267 | 1.6E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14734924 | 0.14751977 | 1.0011573 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0946604E-4 | 3.5945058E-4 | 1.1615186 | 5.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013256146 | 0.0013955218 | 1.0527357 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.01602135 | 0.016178787 | 1.0098267 | 1.6E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14734924 | 0.14751977 | 1.0011573 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.9357936E-4 | 3.435647E-4 | 1.1702617 | 5.0E-5 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012575957 | 0.0013275078 | 1.0555918 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015205006 | 0.015362573 | 1.0103629 | 1.6E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.14047612 | 0.14064804 | 1.0012237 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5788503E-4 | 3.0787213E-4 | 1.1938349 | 5.0E-5 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0011047558 | 0.0011746784 | 1.0632924 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005788839 | 0.013368098 | 0.013525959 | 1.0118088 | 1.6E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.12482304 | 0.12499808 | 1.0014023 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3920357E-4 | 2.891916E-4 | 1.208977 | 5.0E-5 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010247568 | 0.001094685 | 1.0682389 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0053192247 | 0.0124054765 | 0.012563491 | 1.0127375 | 1.6E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.116615385 | 0.11679206 | 1.001515 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2440616E-4 | 2.7439493E-4 | 1.2227603 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.613869E-4 | 0.0010313196 | 1.0727415 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011642342 | 0.01180048 | 1.013583 | 1.6E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.10997692 | 0.11015492 | 1.0016185 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1894442E-4 | 2.6893348E-4 | 1.2283185 | 5.0E-5 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.3799643E-4 | 0.0010079307 | 1.0745572 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011360563 | 0.011518746 | 1.0139238 | 1.6E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.10756058 | 0.10773907 | 1.0016594 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.1218756E-4 | 2.6217694E-4 | 1.2355906 | 5.0E-5 | 3.900265E-4 | 9.0905896E-4 | 9.789953E-4 | 1.0769327 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0047382377 | 0.01101186 | 0.011170099 | 1.0143698 | 1.6E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.1045299 | 0.104709 | 1.0017133 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0390356E-4 | 2.5389338E-4 | 1.2451639 | 5.0E-5 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.735803E-4 | 9.335279E-4 | 1.0686228 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010584177 | 0.01073259 | 1.0140221 | 1.5E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.100835234 | 0.101006076 | 1.0016943 | 1.9E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8789594E-4 | 2.3788655E-4 | 1.2660547 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4636928E-4 | 8.0502E-4 | 8.6497166E-4 | 1.0744723 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009757184 | 0.009905721 | 1.0152233 | 1.5E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.09354925 | 0.09372148 | 1.0018411 | 1.9E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7726197E-4 | 2.2725311E-4 | 1.2820184 | 5.0E-5 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.5947307E-4 | 8.194275E-4 | 1.0789422 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009207467 | 0.009356086 | 1.0161412 | 1.5E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.08879897 | 0.0889721 | 1.0019497 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6940947E-4 | 2.19401E-4 | 1.2950929 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.2583865E-4 | 7.857951E-4 | 1.082603 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0039163795 | 0.00880135 | 0.0089500295 | 1.0168928 | 1.5E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.08524325 | 0.085417055 | 1.002039 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.622353E-4 | 2.1222718E-4 | 1.3081443 | 5.0E-5 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.951089E-4 | 7.550672E-4 | 1.0862575 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003788775 | 0.008430173 | 0.008578909 | 1.0176432 | 1.5E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.0819465 | 0.082120925 | 1.0021286 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5790135E-4 | 2.0789345E-4 | 1.3166034 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.765446E-4 | 7.3650404E-4 | 1.0886259 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008205878 | 0.008354647 | 1.0181296 | 1.5E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.07992648 | 0.0801013 | 1.0021871 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4687856E-4 | 1.7687416E-4 | 1.2042204 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.293277E-4 | 6.693026E-4 | 1.0635198 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003495157 | 0.007635189 | 0.007764197 | 1.0168965 | 1.3E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07471497 | 0.07486302 | 1.0019815 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.355166E-4 | 1.6551252E-4 | 1.2213451 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.8065617E-4 | 6.2063296E-4 | 1.0688475 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0032823787 | 0.007046605 | 0.0071657593 | 1.0169095 | 1.2E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.069294184 | 0.06941518 | 1.001746 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.9978875E-5 | 1.2997587E-4 | 1.3000333 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.2841054E-4 | 4.583977E-4 | 1.0699962 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0052034357 | 0.005283019 | 1.0152944 | 8.0E-5 | 0.025666296 | 0.051925916 | 0.052011244 | 1.0016432 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.4925804E-5 | 8.4924155E-5 | 1.5461614 | 3.0E-5 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.3537508E-4 | 2.65368E-4 | 1.1274261 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0028619275 | 0.0029416985 | 1.0278732 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.02915042 | 0.029237797 | 1.0029974 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.9576099E-5 | 2.9575904E-5 | 1.510817 | 1.0E-5 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.389487E-5 | 9.389403E-5 | 1.1191868 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0926304E-4 | 0.0010209421 | 0.0010409217 | 1.0195698 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010874523 | 0.010894305 | 1.0018191 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.431537E-6 | 5.431537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.327781E-5 | 2.327781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.8337055E-4 | 2.8337055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0031919868 | 0.0031919868 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.1618333E-7 | 8.1618333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.258641E-5 | 4.258641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0070725E-4 | 5.0070725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.6455646E-5 | 1.2645275E-4 | 1.3109938 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.133206E-4 | 4.433082E-4 | 1.0725529 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.005021973 | 0.0051413705 | 1.023775 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03294174 | 0.04904791 | 0.049219083 | 1.0034899 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.6455646E-5 | 1.2645275E-4 | 1.3109938 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.133206E-4 | 4.433082E-4 | 1.0725529 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.005021973 | 0.0051413705 | 1.023775 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03294174 | 0.04904791 | 0.049219083 | 1.0034899 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.357701E-5 | 1.0357534E-4 | 1.2392802 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.581471E-4 | 3.7813996E-4 | 1.055823 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002971072 | 0.0043533714 | 0.0044628927 | 1.0251578 | 1.1E-4 | 0.029316625 | 0.04271959 | 0.042872757 | 1.0035853 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.342213E-5 | 1.03420454E-4 | 1.2397245 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.574835E-4 | 3.7747636E-4 | 1.0559267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002966728 | 0.0043453244 | 0.0044548465 | 1.0252045 | 1.1E-4 | 0.029274331 | 0.04264286 | 0.042796038 | 1.0035921 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.790686E-5 | 9.79053E-5 | 1.2566968 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.3385312E-4 | 3.5384644E-4 | 1.0598866 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028226813 | 0.004058738 | 0.004158332 | 1.0245382 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02787096 | 0.039928705 | 0.040063117 | 1.0033662 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.68066E-5 | 6.680603E-5 | 1.1760259 | 1.0E-5 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.4344078E-4 | 2.5343834E-4 | 1.0410677 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0029610402 | 0.0030308329 | 1.0235703 | 7.0E-5 | 0.022570757 | 0.029432498 | 0.029529555 | 1.0032976 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.5855194E-5 | 3.5854937E-5 | 1.3867595 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.1080338E-4 | 1.2080227E-4 | 1.09024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014454646 | 0.001348216 | 0.001388162 | 1.0296289 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014360986 | 0.013731495 | 0.013780807 | 1.0035913 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.5064433E-5 | 3.5064182E-5 | 1.3989617 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.07414686E-4 | 1.1741361E-4 | 1.0930872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0013070087 | 0.0013469564 | 1.0305642 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014053487 | 0.013324155 | 0.013373489 | 1.0037026 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.2520853E-5 | 3.2520627E-5 | 1.4440229 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.6514435E-5 | 1.0651347E-4 | 1.1036015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001328425 | 0.001174442 | 0.0011944185 | 1.0170094 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0132051185 | 0.012008561 | 0.012038201 | 1.0024682 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.7956223E-5 | 2.7956043E-5 | 1.5569 | 1.0E-5 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.6952994E-5 | 8.695223E-5 | 1.1299394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011036064 | 9.365039E-4 | 9.464945E-4 | 1.010668 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010981417 | 0.009619697 | 0.009629601 | 1.0010295 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.6477443E-5 | 1.6477443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 7.0615715E-5 | 7.0615715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.5940975E-4 | 8.5940975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738087 | 0.008835639 | 0.008835639 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6402306E-5 | 1.6402306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 7.029371E-5 | 7.029371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.554925E-4 | 8.554925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009698939 | 0.008796479 | 0.008796479 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.5693702E-5 | 1.5693702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.725701E-5 | 6.725701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.185487E-4 | 8.185487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009247236 | 0.008426288 | 0.008426288 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.4839357E-5 | 1.4839357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.3595704E-5 | 6.3595704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.7400473E-4 | 7.7400473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00861587 | 0.007979798 | 0.007979798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4703678E-5 | 1.4703678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.301425E-5 | 6.301425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.669305E-4 | 7.669305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008514405 | 0.007908892 | 0.007908892 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.4341376E-5 | 1.4341376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.146161E-5 | 6.146161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.4804015E-4 | 7.4804015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008205604 | 0.0077179386 | 0.0077179386 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.3350202E-5 | 1.3350202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.7213903E-5 | 5.7213903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.9635845E-4 | 6.9635845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007407237 | 0.0071952813 | 0.0071952813 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.1186989E-5 | 1.1186989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.7943362E-5 | 4.7943362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.835549E-4 | 5.835549E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006005941 | 0.0060591386 | 0.0060591386 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.786647E-6 | 9.786647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.19421E-5 | 4.19421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767588E-4 | 5.1052606E-4 | 5.1052606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573727 | 0.0053200796 | 0.0053200796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.6244696E-6 | 7.6244696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.2675893E-5 | 3.2675893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.9775693E-4 | 3.9775693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036318225 | 0.004179489 | 0.004179489 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.481688E-6 | 6.481688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.777837E-5 | 2.777837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.3814972E-4 | 3.3814972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030029714 | 0.003570431 | 0.003570431 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.697998E-6 | 5.697998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.4419765E-5 | 2.4419765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.972706E-4 | 2.972706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0031472328 | 0.0031472328 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.618803E-7 | 5.618803E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.4080564E-6 | 2.4080564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.9317716E-5 | 2.9317716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.2918027E-4 | 3.2918027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.740131E-9 | 4.740131E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 2.0314847E-8 | 2.0314847E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.4733328E-7 | 2.4733328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.7664073E-6 | 2.7664073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.8030285E-4 | 7.202756E-4 | 1.0587573 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029124543 | 0.0029623087 | 1.0171176 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.03485181 | 0.03498693 | 1.003877 | 1.4E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28851047 | 0.28863144 | 1.0004193 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.8030285E-4 | 7.202756E-4 | 1.0587573 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029124543 | 0.0029623087 | 1.0171176 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.03485181 | 0.03498693 | 1.003877 | 1.4E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28851047 | 0.28863144 | 1.0004193 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.8030285E-4 | 7.202756E-4 | 1.0587573 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029124543 | 0.0029623087 | 1.0171176 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.03485181 | 0.03498693 | 1.003877 | 1.4E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28851047 | 0.28863144 | 1.0004193 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.8030285E-4 | 7.202756E-4 | 1.0587573 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029124543 | 0.0029623087 | 1.0171176 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.03485181 | 0.03498693 | 1.003877 | 1.4E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28851047 | 0.28863144 | 1.0004193 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.372194E-4 | 4.772019E-4 | 1.0914472 | 4.0E-5 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.00187248 | 0.0019223865 | 1.0266526 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010316478 | 0.022565337 | 0.022702178 | 1.0060642 | 1.4E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.19901425 | 0.19915043 | 1.0006843 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.92684E-4 | 3.326723E-4 | 1.1366261 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012537598 | 0.0013036971 | 1.0398301 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015158538 | 0.015296415 | 1.0090957 | 1.4E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.14012453 | 0.14027071 | 1.0010432 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.92684E-4 | 3.326723E-4 | 1.1366261 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012537598 | 0.0013036971 | 1.0398301 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015158538 | 0.015296415 | 1.0090957 | 1.4E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.14012453 | 0.14027071 | 1.0010432 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4841944E-4 | 2.884095E-4 | 1.160978 | 4.0E-5 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010642209 | 0.0011141676 | 1.0469327 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0056198016 | 0.0128802275 | 0.013018425 | 1.0107294 | 1.4E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.121318266 | 0.121467635 | 1.0012313 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.4358188E-4 | 2.8357212E-4 | 1.1641759 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010435052 | 0.001093453 | 1.0478654 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012630956 | 0.012769189 | 1.0109439 | 1.4E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.1192669 | 0.11941662 | 1.0012554 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3726645E-4 | 2.7725697E-4 | 1.1685468 | 4.0E-5 | 4.4537184E-4 | 0.0010164604 | 0.0010664096 | 1.0491403 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012305447 | 0.012443724 | 1.011237 | 1.4E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.11655873 | 0.11670892 | 1.0012885 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.3093997E-4 | 2.7093073E-4 | 1.1731652 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.893677E-4 | 0.0010393183 | 1.0504873 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005285311 | 0.011979262 | 0.012117585 | 1.0115469 | 1.4E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.11382082 | 0.11397147 | 1.0013236 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.2379962E-4 | 2.637907E-4 | 1.1786913 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.58789E-4 | 0.0010087411 | 1.0520991 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0051451353 | 0.0116109885 | 0.011749363 | 1.0119176 | 1.4E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.11070383 | 0.11085501 | 1.0013657 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1740654E-4 | 2.5739786E-4 | 1.1839471 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.3140994E-4 | 9.813634E-4 | 1.053632 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005018219 | 0.011281148 | 0.011419568 | 1.0122701 | 1.4E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.10789276 | 0.108044416 | 1.0014056 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.995596E-4 | 2.395516E-4 | 1.2004014 | 4.0E-5 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.5497514E-4 | 9.0493244E-4 | 1.0584313 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004746591 | 0.010359762 | 0.010498311 | 1.0133739 | 1.4E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.10005939 | 0.10021238 | 1.001529 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.9199077E-4 | 2.3198308E-4 | 1.2083033 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.225582E-4 | 8.7251706E-4 | 1.060736 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009968765 | 0.010107369 | 1.0139039 | 1.4E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.09668354 | 0.0968371 | 1.0015883 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8525509E-4 | 2.2524768E-4 | 1.2158785 | 4.0E-5 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.937089E-4 | 8.4366923E-4 | 1.0629454 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004516484 | 0.009620682 | 0.009759335 | 1.0144119 | 1.4E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.09363491 | 0.093789 | 1.0016456 | 1.7E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7907054E-4 | 2.1906338E-4 | 1.2233356 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.672195E-4 | 8.171812E-4 | 1.0651203 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009300973 | 0.0094396705 | 1.0149122 | 1.4E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.090774424 | 0.090928994 | 1.0017028 | 1.7E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.7424121E-4 | 2.04236E-4 | 1.1721451 | 3.0E-5 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.4653444E-4 | 7.865046E-4 | 1.053541 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004300386 | 0.009051253 | 0.009180076 | 1.0142326 | 1.3E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.08850703 | 0.088652864 | 1.0016477 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5704986E-4 | 1.8704514E-4 | 1.1909921 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.728972E-4 | 7.1287033E-4 | 1.0594045 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0038772223 | 0.008161803 | 0.008280824 | 1.0145826 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.080172166 | 0.08029174 | 1.0014915 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0294494E-4 | 1.3294184E-4 | 1.2913879 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.4111803E-4 | 4.7110478E-4 | 1.067979 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005357399 | 0.0054369704 | 1.0148526 | 8.0E-5 | 0.027066574 | 0.05354309 | 0.053628273 | 1.0015908 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.5752047E-5 | 8.575038E-5 | 1.5380669 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3891547E-4 | 2.689083E-4 | 1.1255374 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0029049178 | 0.0029846856 | 1.0274595 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.029655144 | 0.029742476 | 1.0029448 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 2.0101308E-5 | 3.0101108E-5 | 1.49747 | 1.0E-5 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.614562E-5 | 9.614476E-5 | 1.1160725 | 1.0E-5 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.001048319 | 0.001068298 | 1.0190581 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.0112125855 | 0.011232361 | 1.0017637 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.7615766E-6 | 5.7615766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.4692237E-5 | 2.4692237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 3.005866E-4 | 3.005866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0034050504 | 0.0034050504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.1618333E-7 | 8.1618333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.258641E-5 | 4.258641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0070725E-4 | 5.0070725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9910929E-4 | 2.291033E-4 | 1.1506411 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.530466E-4 | 8.930125E-4 | 1.0468508 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010336521 | 0.010455281 | 1.0114893 | 1.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10054455 | 0.10066148 | 1.001163 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9910929E-4 | 2.291033E-4 | 1.1506411 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.530466E-4 | 8.930125E-4 | 1.0468508 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010336521 | 0.010455281 | 1.0114893 | 1.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10054455 | 0.10066148 | 1.001163 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9910929E-4 | 2.291033E-4 | 1.1506411 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.530466E-4 | 8.930125E-4 | 1.0468508 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010336521 | 0.010455281 | 1.0114893 | 1.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10054455 | 0.10066148 | 1.001163 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9910929E-4 | 2.291033E-4 | 1.1506411 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.530466E-4 | 8.930125E-4 | 1.0468508 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010336521 | 0.010455281 | 1.0114893 | 1.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10054455 | 0.10066148 | 1.001163 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9910929E-4 | 2.291033E-4 | 1.1506411 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.530466E-4 | 8.930125E-4 | 1.0468508 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010336521 | 0.010455281 | 1.0114893 | 1.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10054455 | 0.10066148 | 1.001163 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9884543E-4 | 2.2883946E-4 | 1.150841 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.5191656E-4 | 8.9188246E-4 | 1.0469129 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010322893 | 0.010441654 | 1.0115047 | 1.2E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.10042209 | 0.10053904 | 1.0011646 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9884543E-4 | 2.2883946E-4 | 1.150841 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.5191656E-4 | 8.9188246E-4 | 1.0469129 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010322893 | 0.010441654 | 1.0115047 | 1.2E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.10042209 | 0.10053904 | 1.0011646 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9874437E-4 | 2.2873841E-4 | 1.1509176 | 3.0E-5 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.514838E-4 | 8.914497E-4 | 1.0469369 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010317674 | 0.010436436 | 1.0115105 | 1.2E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.10037501 | 0.10049196 | 1.0011652 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9859454E-4 | 2.2858859E-4 | 1.1510315 | 3.0E-5 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.5084204E-4 | 8.90808E-4 | 1.0469723 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010309936 | 0.010428698 | 1.0115193 | 1.2E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.10030446 | 0.10042142 | 1.0011661 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9827193E-4 | 2.2826598E-4 | 1.1512773 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.494603E-4 | 8.8942633E-4 | 1.0470487 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010293271 | 0.010412036 | 1.0115381 | 1.2E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.10015267 | 0.10026965 | 1.001168 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9757981E-4 | 2.2757388E-4 | 1.1518074 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.4649597E-4 | 8.8646216E-4 | 1.0472137 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005091073 | 0.010257522 | 0.01037629 | 1.0115787 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.099827275 | 0.09994429 | 1.0011723 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9658907E-4 | 2.2658317E-4 | 1.1525726 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.4225275E-4 | 8.8221906E-4 | 1.0474517 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005055068 | 0.0102063455 | 0.010325121 | 1.0116374 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.09936157 | 0.09947865 | 1.0011784 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9589132E-4 | 2.2588544E-4 | 1.1531161 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.392643E-4 | 8.7923073E-4 | 1.0476208 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050299936 | 0.010170301 | 0.01028908 | 1.011679 | 1.2E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.09903296 | 0.09915009 | 1.0011827 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9540939E-4 | 2.2540352E-4 | 1.1534939 | 3.0E-5 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.372002E-4 | 8.771667E-4 | 1.0477383 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050112694 | 0.010145405 | 0.010264187 | 1.011708 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.09880375 | 0.098920904 | 1.0011858 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.9479942E-4 | 2.2479356E-4 | 1.1539745 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.345877E-4 | 8.7455433E-4 | 1.0478878 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0049933824 | 0.010113894 | 0.0102326805 | 1.0117449 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.09851944 | 0.09863663 | 1.0011896 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.942531E-4 | 2.2424725E-4 | 1.1544077 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.3224784E-4 | 8.722145E-4 | 1.0480226 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0049769743 | 0.010085669 | 0.01020446 | 1.0117781 | 1.2E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.098263435 | 0.09838066 | 1.0011929 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.9073422E-4 | 2.207285E-4 | 1.157257 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0357444E-4 | 8.171765E-4 | 8.571438E-4 | 1.0489091 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004902454 | 0.009903858 | 0.010022669 | 1.0119965 | 1.2E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.096631825 | 0.09674926 | 1.0012153 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6480158E-4 | 1.9479664E-4 | 1.1820071 | 3.0E-5 | 3.51473E-4 | 7.0610136E-4 | 7.460731E-4 | 1.056609 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00427079 | 0.00856296 | 0.008681932 | 1.0138938 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.08427935 | 0.0843984 | 1.0014125 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4929732E-4 | 1.7929284E-4 | 1.2009113 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.396888E-4 | 6.796632E-4 | 1.0624905 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003794643 | 0.0077604447 | 0.007879513 | 1.0153431 | 1.2E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.07658174 | 0.07670178 | 1.0015675 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.03368366E-4 | 1.3336526E-4 | 1.2901942 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.4293207E-4 | 4.729188E-4 | 1.0677005 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028072202 | 0.005379376 | 0.005458946 | 1.0147916 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02772022 | 0.053783745 | 0.053868905 | 1.0015833 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.595444E-5 | 8.595276E-5 | 1.5361205 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.397827E-4 | 2.697755E-4 | 1.1250833 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0029154483 | 0.002995215 | 1.0273601 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.029776916 | 0.029864235 | 1.0029324 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 2.0202866E-5 | 3.0202664E-5 | 1.4949692 | 1.0E-5 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.658084E-5 | 9.657998E-5 | 1.115489 | 1.0E-5 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010536127 | 0.0010735916 | 1.0189623 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.011274719 | 0.011294493 | 1.0017539 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7766533E-6 | 5.7766533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4756851E-5 | 2.4756851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.0137307E-4 | 3.0137307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0034135224 | 0.0034135224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.1618333E-7 | 8.1618333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.258641E-5 | 4.258641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0070725E-4 | 5.0070725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0570417E-4 | 2.35698E-4 | 1.1458105 | 3.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.812925E-4 | 9.2125725E-4 | 1.0453479 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.0106772445 | 0.010776176 | 1.0092657 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10360314 | 0.10370175 | 1.0009518 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0570417E-4 | 2.35698E-4 | 1.1458105 | 3.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.812925E-4 | 9.2125725E-4 | 1.0453479 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.0106772445 | 0.010776176 | 1.0092657 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10360314 | 0.10370175 | 1.0009518 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0570417E-4 | 2.35698E-4 | 1.1458105 | 3.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.812925E-4 | 9.2125725E-4 | 1.0453479 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.0106772445 | 0.010776176 | 1.0092657 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10360314 | 0.10370175 | 1.0009518 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0570417E-4 | 2.35698E-4 | 1.1458105 | 3.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.812925E-4 | 9.2125725E-4 | 1.0453479 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.0106772445 | 0.010776176 | 1.0092657 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10360314 | 0.10370175 | 1.0009518 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8918118E-4 | 2.191755E-4 | 1.1585481 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.105248E-4 | 8.504924E-4 | 1.0493107 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009823616 | 0.009922634 | 1.0100795 | 1.0E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.095914714 | 0.096014164 | 1.0010369 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8918118E-4 | 2.191755E-4 | 1.1585481 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.105248E-4 | 8.504924E-4 | 1.0493107 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009823616 | 0.009922634 | 1.0100795 | 1.0E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.095914714 | 0.096014164 | 1.0010369 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8723952E-4 | 2.172339E-4 | 1.1601926 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8748336E-4 | 8.022085E-4 | 8.4217644E-4 | 1.0498223 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009723271 | 0.009822299 | 1.0101846 | 1.0E-4 | 0.046089325 | 0.095008716 | 0.09510826 | 1.0010477 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8637886E-4 | 2.1637327E-4 | 1.1609324 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.9852226E-4 | 8.384903E-4 | 1.0500525 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00467679 | 0.00967879 | 0.0097778225 | 1.0102319 | 1.0E-4 | 0.045795817 | 0.09460205 | 0.09470164 | 1.0010527 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8584216E-4 | 2.1583658E-4 | 1.1613973 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.9622347E-4 | 8.3619164E-4 | 1.0501971 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004657841 | 0.009651051 | 0.009750085 | 1.0102615 | 1.0E-4 | 0.04561414 | 0.09434744 | 0.09444706 | 1.001056 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.846541E-4 | 2.1464856E-4 | 1.1624359 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.911349E-4 | 8.311033E-4 | 1.0505203 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004611638 | 0.009589644 | 0.009688685 | 1.0103279 | 1.0E-4 | 0.04517103 | 0.09378504 | 0.09388472 | 1.0010629 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.8303006E-4 | 2.1302457E-4 | 1.1638775 | 3.0E-5 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.8417896E-4 | 8.241476E-4 | 1.0509688 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004551957 | 0.009505697 | 0.0096047465 | 1.01042 | 1.0E-4 | 0.044598386 | 0.09301544 | 0.09311521 | 1.0010726 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.8214199E-4 | 2.1213653E-4 | 1.1646767 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.803752E-4 | 8.20344E-4 | 1.0512174 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0045216335 | 0.00945979 | 0.009558843 | 1.0104711 | 1.0E-4 | 0.04430731 | 0.09259464 | 0.092694454 | 1.001078 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.810405E-4 | 2.1103508E-4 | 1.1656787 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.7565736E-4 | 8.156263E-4 | 1.0515292 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009402847 | 0.009501906 | 1.0105351 | 1.0E-4 | 0.043916024 | 0.09207327 | 0.09217314 | 1.0010847 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.8045167E-4 | 2.1044625E-4 | 1.1662195 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.731352E-4 | 8.131043E-4 | 1.0516974 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009372405 | 0.009471468 | 1.0105696 | 1.0E-4 | 0.043725148 | 0.091790795 | 0.0918907 | 1.0010884 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.8007179E-4 | 2.1006638E-4 | 1.1665702 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.7150814E-4 | 8.114773E-4 | 1.0518064 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004447999 | 0.009352765 | 0.00945183 | 1.010592 | 1.0E-4 | 0.043600157 | 0.091608755 | 0.091708675 | 1.0010908 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7874547E-4 | 2.0874011E-4 | 1.1678064 | 3.0E-5 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.658273E-4 | 8.057967E-4 | 1.0521911 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009284193 | 0.009383264 | 1.010671 | 1.0E-4 | 0.043280575 | 0.09097979 | 0.09107979 | 1.0010991 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.7312063E-4 | 2.0311543E-4 | 1.1732596 | 3.0E-5 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.4173475E-4 | 7.817051E-4 | 1.0538876 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008993324 | 0.009092424 | 1.0110193 | 1.0E-4 | 0.042091176 | 0.088328406 | 0.08842869 | 1.0011353 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4630899E-4 | 1.763046E-4 | 1.2050155 | 3.0E-5 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.268879E-4 | 6.668628E-4 | 1.0637673 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0076056942 | 0.0077049336 | 1.013048 | 1.0E-4 | 0.035888977 | 0.075434625 | 0.075536326 | 1.0013483 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.335406E-4 | 1.6353659E-4 | 1.2246208 | 3.0E-5 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.721914E-4 | 6.1216846E-4 | 1.0698667 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0069442103 | 0.007043516 | 1.0143005 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03292141 | 0.06899511 | 0.06909752 | 1.0014843 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.6192736E-5 | 1.2618986E-4 | 1.3118439 | 3.0E-5 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.121895E-4 | 4.4217712E-4 | 1.0727521 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0050068693 | 0.005086469 | 1.015898 | 8.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.050216127 | 0.050301608 | 1.0017023 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.3894888E-5 | 8.3893276E-5 | 1.556609 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.3095765E-4 | 2.6095074E-4 | 1.129864 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0028082854 | 0.0028880609 | 1.0284071 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.028740516 | 0.02882793 | 1.0030415 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9977042E-5 | 2.9976844E-5 | 1.5005646 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.561309E-5 | 9.561223E-5 | 1.1167946 | 1.0E-5 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0010418416 | 0.0010618208 | 1.0191767 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.011171028 | 0.011190805 | 1.0017704 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7766533E-6 | 5.7766533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4756851E-5 | 2.4756851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.0137307E-4 | 3.0137307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0034135224 | 0.0034135224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.1618333E-7 | 8.1618333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.258641E-5 | 4.258641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0070725E-4 | 5.0070725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5767524E-4 | 2.8766753E-4 | 1.1163956 | 3.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0011038568 | 0.0011338237 | 1.0271474 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013357173 | 0.013436104 | 1.0059093 | 8.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12672345 | 0.12680206 | 1.0006202 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5767524E-4 | 2.8766753E-4 | 1.1163956 | 3.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0011038568 | 0.0011338237 | 1.0271474 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013357173 | 0.013436104 | 1.0059093 | 8.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12672345 | 0.12680206 | 1.0006202 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5583603E-4 | 2.8582834E-4 | 1.1172326 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010959811 | 0.0011259482 | 1.0273427 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006347804 | 0.013262456 | 0.013341395 | 1.0059521 | 8.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.12591033 | 0.12598899 | 1.0006248 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.546915E-4 | 2.8468386E-4 | 1.1177596 | 3.0E-5 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.00109108 | 0.0011210473 | 1.0274657 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006316212 | 0.013203512 | 0.0132824555 | 1.005979 | 8.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12540431 | 0.12548302 | 1.0006276 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4971206E-4 | 2.7970457E-4 | 1.1201084 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010697573 | 0.0010997253 | 1.0280137 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006172335 | 0.012947017 | 0.013025981 | 1.006099 | 8.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.1231946 | 0.123273514 | 1.0006405 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4762176E-4 | 2.7761434E-4 | 1.1211225 | 3.0E-5 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010608062 | 0.0010907743 | 1.0282503 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006109677 | 0.012839324 | 0.012918297 | 1.0061508 | 8.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.12226561 | 0.1223446 | 1.0006461 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.4064505E-4 | 2.7063783E-4 | 1.124635 | 3.0E-5 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010309299 | 0.0010608989 | 1.0290699 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012479801 | 0.012558802 | 1.0063304 | 8.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.11916533 | 0.119244605 | 1.0006653 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3907505E-4 | 2.6906788E-4 | 1.1254536 | 3.0E-5 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010242066 | 0.0010541759 | 1.029261 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005864331 | 0.01239888 | 0.012477888 | 1.0063722 | 8.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.11846515 | 0.11854449 | 1.0006697 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3794606E-4 | 2.679389E-4 | 1.126049 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8068175E-4 | 0.0010193718 | 0.0010493413 | 1.0293999 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005836608 | 0.012340685 | 0.012419698 | 1.0064026 | 8.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.11795945 | 0.11803883 | 1.0006729 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3641904E-4 | 2.6641195E-4 | 1.1268634 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7763053E-4 | 0.0010128326 | 0.0010428022 | 1.0295899 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057996577 | 0.012261969 | 0.012340988 | 1.0064442 | 8.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.11727529 | 0.117354736 | 1.0006775 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.3260902E-4 | 2.6260206E-4 | 1.1289418 | 3.0E-5 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.965164E-4 | 0.0010264866 | 1.0300748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005705768 | 0.012065537 | 0.012144572 | 1.0065504 | 8.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.1155621 | 0.1156417 | 1.0006888 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.1059516E-4 | 2.4058884E-4 | 1.1424234 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2541555E-4 | 9.022395E-4 | 9.3221245E-4 | 1.0332206 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010929749 | 0.0110088745 | 1.0072395 | 8.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.105605334 | 0.10568583 | 1.0007622 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0560033E-4 | 2.3559417E-4 | 1.1458842 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.8084774E-4 | 9.108213E-4 | 1.034028 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00504711 | 0.010671884 | 0.01075103 | 1.0074164 | 8.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.10333697 | 0.103417665 | 1.0007809 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.998096E-4 | 2.2980361E-4 | 1.150113 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.5604686E-4 | 8.860212E-4 | 1.0350149 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010372847 | 0.010452017 | 1.0076325 | 8.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.10068591 | 0.100766845 | 1.0008038 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.9342023E-4 | 2.2341442E-4 | 1.1550727 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.2868146E-4 | 8.586566E-4 | 1.036172 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004799717 | 0.010042785 | 0.010121981 | 1.0078859 | 8.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09772771 | 0.09780891 | 1.0008309 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5615122E-4 | 1.8614654E-4 | 1.1920915 | 3.0E-5 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.6904805E-4 | 6.9902797E-4 | 1.0448098 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0040183207 | 0.008115314 | 0.0081946645 | 1.0097779 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.08023943 | 0.08032221 | 1.0010316 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.5269085E-4 | 1.8268626E-4 | 1.1964455 | 3.0E-5 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.542254E-4 | 6.842058E-4 | 1.0458257 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007936177 | 0.008015541 | 1.0100005 | 8.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07858263 | 0.078665555 | 1.0010552 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2746264E-4 | 1.5745882E-4 | 1.2353331 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.4615416E-4 | 5.761378E-4 | 1.0548996 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006629183 | 0.0067086527 | 1.0119878 | 8.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.066307254 | 0.06639129 | 1.0012673 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1768739E-4 | 1.4768387E-4 | 1.2548826 | 3.0E-5 | 2.512653E-4 | 5.0427706E-4 | 5.342619E-4 | 1.0594611 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003054864 | 0.006122313 | 0.0062018232 | 1.0129869 | 8.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.061273176 | 0.06135766 | 1.0013788 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.685251E-5 | 1.168499E-4 | 1.3453832 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.7217195E-4 | 4.0216077E-4 | 1.0805779 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0045217867 | 0.004601425 | 1.0176121 | 8.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.045583736 | 0.045669634 | 1.0018843 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.240836E-5 | 8.240678E-5 | 1.5723978 | 3.0E-5 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.2458791E-4 | 2.545812E-4 | 1.133548 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0027309312 | 0.0028107127 | 1.029214 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027984282 | 0.028071763 | 1.0031261 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9990388E-5 | 2.9990188E-5 | 1.5002304 | 1.0E-5 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.567028E-5 | 9.566943E-5 | 1.1167166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010425373 | 0.0010625165 | 1.019164 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.01118016 | 0.011199936 | 1.0017688 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7766533E-6 | 5.7766533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4756851E-5 | 2.4756851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.0137307E-4 | 3.0137307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0034135224 | 0.0034135224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.1618333E-7 | 8.1618333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.258641E-5 | 4.258641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0070725E-4 | 5.0070725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.488112E-4 | 2.7880372E-4 | 1.1205434 | 3.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010658996 | 0.0010958676 | 1.0281153 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012900615 | 0.012979583 | 1.0061213 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12296017 | 0.12303911 | 1.000642 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.488112E-4 | 2.7880372E-4 | 1.1205434 | 3.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010658996 | 0.0010958676 | 1.0281153 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012900615 | 0.012979583 | 1.0061213 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12296017 | 0.12303911 | 1.000642 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.488112E-4 | 2.7880372E-4 | 1.1205434 | 3.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010658996 | 0.0010958676 | 1.0281153 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012900615 | 0.012979583 | 1.0061213 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12296017 | 0.12303911 | 1.000642 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.488112E-4 | 2.7880372E-4 | 1.1205434 | 3.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010658996 | 0.0010958676 | 1.0281153 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012900615 | 0.012979583 | 1.0061213 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12296017 | 0.12303911 | 1.000642 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.488112E-4 | 2.7880372E-4 | 1.1205434 | 3.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010658996 | 0.0010958676 | 1.0281153 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012900615 | 0.012979583 | 1.0061213 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12296017 | 0.12303911 | 1.000642 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4198697E-4 | 2.7197972E-4 | 1.1239436 | 3.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010366765 | 0.0010666454 | 1.0289086 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012548963 | 0.012627958 | 1.0062951 | 8.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11992346 | 0.120002665 | 1.0006604 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4198697E-4 | 2.7197972E-4 | 1.1239436 | 3.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010366765 | 0.0010666454 | 1.0289086 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012548963 | 0.012627958 | 1.0062951 | 8.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11992346 | 0.120002665 | 1.0006604 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3888811E-4 | 2.6888095E-4 | 1.1255518 | 3.0E-5 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.001023406 | 0.0010533753 | 1.0292839 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012389241 | 0.01246825 | 1.0063772 | 8.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11854473 | 0.118624054 | 1.0006692 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3790299E-4 | 2.6789587E-4 | 1.1260718 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7578133E-4 | 0.0010191874 | 0.0010491569 | 1.0294052 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005777263 | 0.012338462 | 0.012417476 | 1.0064038 | 8.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.11810376 | 0.11818313 | 1.000672 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3681953E-4 | 2.6681242E-4 | 1.1266488 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7362508E-4 | 0.0010145475 | 0.0010445172 | 1.0295398 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012282611 | 0.012361628 | 1.0064332 | 8.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.117618226 | 0.11769764 | 1.0006752 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3582118E-4 | 2.658141E-4 | 1.127185 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7157376E-4 | 0.0010102723 | 0.0010402419 | 1.029665 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057263062 | 0.012231145 | 0.012310166 | 1.0064607 | 8.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.117167674 | 0.11724713 | 1.0006782 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.2081366E-4 | 2.5080703E-4 | 1.1358311 | 3.0E-5 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.460021E-4 | 9.7597373E-4 | 1.0316824 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011457084 | 0.011536167 | 1.0069026 | 8.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.1104065 | 0.11048657 | 1.0007252 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.1484986E-4 | 2.4484342E-4 | 1.1396024 | 3.0E-5 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.204612E-4 | 9.504336E-4 | 1.0325624 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052187922 | 0.011149346 | 0.011228454 | 1.0070953 | 8.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.10770144 | 0.10778175 | 1.0007457 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0952788E-4 | 2.3952159E-4 | 1.143149 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.976686E-4 | 9.2764164E-4 | 1.0333899 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005109493 | 0.010874649 | 0.010953779 | 1.0072765 | 8.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.10526596 | 0.105346486 | 1.000765 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 2.0312773E-4 | 2.3312162E-4 | 1.1476604 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.702579E-4 | 9.0023177E-4 | 1.0344425 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010544194 | 0.01062335 | 1.0075071 | 8.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10231649 | 0.102397285 | 1.0007896 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6571394E-4 | 1.9570896E-4 | 1.1810049 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4505792E-4 | 7.100094E-4 | 7.399882E-4 | 1.042223 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041929903 | 0.00861019 | 0.008689501 | 1.0092113 | 8.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.08484689 | 0.08492925 | 1.0009707 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.6219071E-4 | 1.9218585E-4 | 1.1849375 | 3.0E-5 | 3.384E-4 | 6.949181E-4 | 7.2489725E-4 | 1.0431405 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008427889 | 0.0085072145 | 1.0094123 | 8.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.08316808 | 0.0832506 | 1.0009922 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3685077E-4 | 1.6684666E-4 | 1.2191869 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.863715E-4 | 6.163539E-4 | 1.0511321 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003493839 | 0.00711574 | 0.007195171 | 1.0111626 | 8.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.0708989 | 0.070982516 | 1.0011795 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2568088E-4 | 1.5567712E-4 | 1.2386698 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.385212E-4 | 5.68505E-4 | 1.0556781 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0065368125 | 0.0066162897 | 1.0121584 | 8.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06520088 | 0.06528501 | 1.0012903 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 9.148584E-5 | 1.2148309E-4 | 1.3278896 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.9202327E-4 | 4.220115E-4 | 1.0764961 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0047624465 | 0.0048420657 | 1.016718 | 8.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.047891382 | 0.04797707 | 1.0017892 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.3806023E-5 | 8.380441E-5 | 1.5575284 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.3057687E-4 | 2.6056994E-4 | 1.1300784 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0028036614 | 0.002883437 | 1.0284541 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.028700305 | 0.028787723 | 1.0030458 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9990202E-5 | 2.9990004E-5 | 1.5002351 | 1.0E-5 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.566949E-5 | 9.5668634E-5 | 1.1167177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010425276 | 0.0010625068 | 1.0191641 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.011180035 | 0.011199811 | 1.001769 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7766533E-6 | 5.7766533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4756851E-5 | 2.4756851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.0137307E-4 | 3.0137307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0034135224 | 0.0034135224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.1618333E-7 | 8.1618333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.258641E-5 | 4.258641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0070725E-4 | 5.0070725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gorgonio Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3440826E-5 | 2.344069E-5 | 1.7439919 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7602316E-5 | 8.760059E-5 | 1.5207824 | 3.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.010912E-4 | 7.510561E-4 | 1.0712674 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069958977 | 0.007055478 | 1.0085164 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3440826E-5 | 2.344069E-5 | 1.7439919 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7602316E-5 | 8.760059E-5 | 1.5207824 | 3.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.010912E-4 | 7.510561E-4 | 1.0712674 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069958977 | 0.007055478 | 1.0085164 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3440826E-5 | 2.344069E-5 | 1.7439919 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7602316E-5 | 8.760059E-5 | 1.5207824 | 3.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.010912E-4 | 7.510561E-4 | 1.0712674 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069958977 | 0.007055478 | 1.0085164 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3440826E-5 | 2.344069E-5 | 1.7439919 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7602316E-5 | 8.760059E-5 | 1.5207824 | 3.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.010912E-4 | 7.510561E-4 | 1.0712674 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069958977 | 0.007055478 | 1.0085164 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3440826E-5 | 2.344069E-5 | 1.7439919 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7602316E-5 | 8.760059E-5 | 1.5207824 | 3.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.010912E-4 | 7.510561E-4 | 1.0712674 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069958977 | 0.007055478 | 1.0085164 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3440826E-5 | 2.344069E-5 | 1.7439919 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7602316E-5 | 8.760059E-5 | 1.5207824 | 3.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.010912E-4 | 7.510561E-4 | 1.0712674 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069958977 | 0.007055478 | 1.0085164 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3440826E-5 | 2.344069E-5 | 1.7439919 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7602316E-5 | 8.760059E-5 | 1.5207824 | 3.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 7.010912E-4 | 7.510561E-4 | 1.0712674 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069958977 | 0.007055478 | 1.0085164 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987586E-6 | 1.2744786E-5 | 2.2744658E-5 | 1.7846246 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9946454E-5 | 5.4619413E-5 | 8.461777E-5 | 1.5492252 | 3.0E-5 | 3.645371E-4 | 6.647967E-4 | 7.147634E-4 | 1.075161 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0036393967 | 0.006635135 | 0.006694737 | 1.0089828 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.987586E-6 | 1.2744786E-5 | 2.2744658E-5 | 1.7846246 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9946454E-5 | 5.4619413E-5 | 8.461777E-5 | 1.5492252 | 3.0E-5 | 3.645371E-4 | 6.647967E-4 | 7.147634E-4 | 1.075161 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0036393967 | 0.006635135 | 0.006694737 | 1.0089828 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.504702E-6 | 1.1174954E-5 | 2.1174843E-5 | 1.8948482 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3591367E-5 | 4.7891812E-5 | 7.789038E-5 | 1.6263819 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8718702E-4 | 5.8293197E-4 | 6.3290284E-4 | 1.0857233 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028681618 | 0.0058207805 | 0.0058804313 | 1.010248 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4825764E-6 | 1.1151283E-5 | 2.115117E-5 | 1.8967478 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3496545E-5 | 4.7790367E-5 | 7.778893E-5 | 1.6277115 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8603288E-4 | 5.816975E-4 | 6.3166843E-4 | 1.0859053 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00285665 | 0.0058085006 | 0.0058681522 | 1.0102696 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.4692787E-6 | 1.11369845E-5 | 2.1136873E-5 | 1.8978992 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3439556E-5 | 4.772909E-5 | 7.772766E-5 | 1.6285175 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8533922E-4 | 5.8095186E-4 | 6.3092285E-4 | 1.0860157 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028497311 | 0.0058010835 | 0.005860735 | 1.0102829 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.453661E-6 | 1.112E-5 | 2.111989E-5 | 1.8992705 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3372622E-5 | 4.76563E-5 | 7.765487E-5 | 1.6294775 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8452452E-4 | 5.800662E-4 | 6.3003716E-4 | 1.0861471 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002841605 | 0.0057922723 | 0.0058519244 | 1.0102986 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.4422303E-6 | 1.1106904E-5 | 2.1106793E-5 | 1.9003309 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3323635E-5 | 4.7600177E-5 | 7.759875E-5 | 1.6302197 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8392827E-4 | 5.793832E-4 | 6.2935427E-4 | 1.0862486 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028356577 | 0.0057854783 | 0.0058451314 | 1.0103108 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.398595E-6 | 1.1054029E-5 | 2.1053918E-5 | 1.9046376 | 1.0E-5 | 2.313663E-5 | 4.7373578E-5 | 7.7372155E-5 | 1.6332344 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8165206E-4 | 5.766258E-4 | 6.26597E-4 | 1.0866613 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028129534 | 0.0057580476 | 0.005817702 | 1.0103602 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.3578788E-6 | 1.0980276E-5 | 2.0980166E-5 | 1.9107139 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2962136E-5 | 4.7057507E-5 | 7.7056095E-5 | 1.6374879 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7952815E-4 | 5.727797E-4 | 6.22751E-4 | 1.0872436 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002791768 | 0.005719812 | 0.005779469 | 1.0104299 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8091474E-6 | 9.7173415E-6 | 1.9717245E-5 | 2.029078 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0610469E-5 | 4.164511E-5 | 7.164386E-5 | 1.7203426 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5090357E-4 | 5.069162E-4 | 5.5689085E-4 | 1.0985856 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0025062046 | 0.005064617 | 0.0051243133 | 1.0117869 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5991155E-6 | 3.4132127E-6 | 3.4132127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853334E-6 | 1.4627974E-5 | 2.4627827E-5 | 1.6836116 | 1.0E-5 | 8.343615E-5 | 1.7808129E-4 | 1.9807773E-4 | 1.1122882 | 2.0E-5 | 8.340483E-4 | 0.0017848964 | 0.0018148429 | 1.0167778 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.258398E-7 | 2.1030216E-6 | 2.1030216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.967879E-6 | 9.012919E-6 | 9.012919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8307855E-5 | 1.0972678E-4 | 1.0972678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8297356E-4 | 0.0011021876 | 0.0011021876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.975575E-7 | 1.2617296E-6 | 1.2617296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5609581E-6 | 5.4074017E-6 | 5.4074017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117922E-5 | 6.5833134E-5 | 6.5833134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1174847E-4 | 6.632181E-4 | 6.632181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.4413725E-7 | 6.909585E-7 | 6.909585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4748731E-6 | 2.9612472E-6 | 2.9612472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7956432E-5 | 3.6052596E-5 | 3.6052596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7954981E-4 | 3.6395242E-4 | 3.6395242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.1787731E-8 | 1.0135107E-8 | 1.0135107E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0518846E-8 | 4.3436174E-8 | 4.3436174E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506677E-7 | 5.288353E-7 | 5.288353E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506507E-6 | 5.508756E-6 | 5.508756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 8.336867E-4 | 8.5367E-4 | 1.0239698 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0035687012 | 0.00358863 | 1.0055842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.042918574 | 0.04296643 | 1.001115 | 5.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.3454281 | 0.34546083 | 1.0000948 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.1860365E-4 | 3.3859728E-4 | 1.0627539 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013648425 | 0.0013848153 | 1.0146337 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0099994885 | 0.01655385 | 0.016603025 | 1.0029705 | 5.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.15352166 | 0.15356398 | 1.0002757 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.868877E-4 | 2.0688397E-4 | 1.1069962 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0410945E-4 | 8.007027E-4 | 8.206867E-4 | 1.024958 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009705182 | 0.009754697 | 1.0051019 | 5.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09377936 | 0.09382468 | 1.0004832 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.8383513E-4 | 2.0383144E-4 | 1.1087731 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.876282E-4 | 8.0761244E-4 | 1.0253727 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009547418 | 0.009596941 | 1.005187 | 5.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09242896 | 0.09247434 | 1.0004909 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.8142724E-4 | 2.0142361E-4 | 1.110217 | 2.0E-5 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.773148E-4 | 7.9729926E-4 | 1.0257096 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009422945 | 0.009472474 | 1.0052562 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.09132314 | 0.09136857 | 1.0004975 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7898169E-4 | 1.989781E-4 | 1.1117233 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.6684006E-4 | 7.8682473E-4 | 1.026061 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009296521 | 0.009346056 | 1.0053283 | 5.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.09020442 | 0.09024991 | 1.0005043 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7573703E-4 | 1.9573352E-4 | 1.1137865 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.5294246E-4 | 7.729274E-4 | 1.0265424 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045870654 | 0.009128762 | 0.009178306 | 1.0054272 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.08871696 | 0.08876252 | 1.0005136 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7439568E-4 | 1.943922E-4 | 1.1146617 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.4719713E-4 | 7.671822E-4 | 1.0267467 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045492216 | 0.009059446 | 0.009108992 | 1.0054691 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.08811367 | 0.08815926 | 1.0005175 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.7384085E-4 | 1.9383736E-4 | 1.1150278 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.4482063E-4 | 7.6480577E-4 | 1.0268321 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045347405 | 0.009030761 | 0.009080309 | 1.0054866 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.08785782 | 0.08790343 | 1.0005192 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.7324171E-4 | 1.9323824E-4 | 1.1154256 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.4225443E-4 | 7.6223956E-4 | 1.026925 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008999776 | 0.009049325 | 1.0055057 | 5.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.08758097 | 0.0876266 | 1.000521 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.707351E-4 | 1.9073169E-4 | 1.1171205 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.3151785E-4 | 7.515032E-4 | 1.0273204 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004455241 | 0.008870129 | 0.008919685 | 1.0055869 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.08641759 | 0.08646327 | 1.0005286 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.553859E-4 | 1.753828E-4 | 1.1286918 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.657704E-4 | 6.85757E-4 | 1.0300204 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040752706 | 0.008075807 | 0.008125404 | 1.0061413 | 5.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.0792844 | 0.07933044 | 1.0005807 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.5272778E-4 | 1.7272471E-4 | 1.130932 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.5438414E-4 | 6.743711E-4 | 1.0305431 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004005129 | 0.007938198 | 0.007987801 | 1.0062487 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07804782 | 0.078093916 | 1.0005907 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4964197E-4 | 1.6963898E-4 | 1.1336323 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.411659E-4 | 6.6115306E-4 | 1.0311732 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003934157 | 0.007778425 | 0.007828036 | 1.006378 | 5.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.076595105 | 0.07664128 | 1.0006028 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4659775E-4 | 1.6659482E-4 | 1.1364077 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.2812556E-4 | 6.48113E-4 | 1.0318208 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003865065 | 0.0076207803 | 0.0076703993 | 1.006511 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.07514958 | 0.07519582 | 1.0006154 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1533194E-4 | 1.3532964E-4 | 1.1733925 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.9418624E-4 | 5.141763E-4 | 1.0404506 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032037178 | 0.006000153 | 0.006049853 | 1.0082831 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.06013484 | 0.060181834 | 1.0007814 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.135876E-4 | 1.3358533E-4 | 1.1760556 | 2.0E-5 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.8671328E-4 | 5.0670357E-4 | 1.041072 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005909667 | 0.0059593716 | 1.0084107 | 5.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.059283976 | 0.05933101 | 1.0007935 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.479759E-5 | 1.14795694E-4 | 1.2109559 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2134806E-4 | 4.0621217E-4 | 4.2620403E-4 | 1.0492153 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.004934429 | 0.0049841823 | 1.0100828 | 5.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.04996708 | 0.05001458 | 1.0009507 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.8406196E-5 | 1.0840443E-4 | 1.2262084 | 2.0E-5 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.788287E-4 | 3.9882114E-4 | 1.0527743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0046024946 | 0.0046522645 | 1.0108137 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.04662441 | 0.04667208 | 1.0010225 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.969843E-5 | 8.969703E-5 | 1.2869306 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.9867335E-4 | 3.186674E-4 | 1.0669428 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0036302889 | 0.0036801074 | 1.013723 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.03693115 | 0.036979306 | 1.0013039 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.2100837E-5 | 6.209999E-5 | 1.47503 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.804197E-4 | 2.0041608E-4 | 1.1108327 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015111357 | 0.002194398 | 0.0022442883 | 1.0227352 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.022710433 | 0.022759298 | 1.0021516 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.9472536E-5 | 2.9472341E-5 | 1.5135338 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.345106E-5 | 9.3450224E-5 | 1.1198207 | 1.0E-5 | 9.823717E-4 | 0.0010155437 | 0.0010355234 | 1.019674 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.010903031 | 0.010922813 | 1.0018144 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7766533E-6 | 5.7766533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4756851E-5 | 2.4756851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.0137307E-4 | 3.0137307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0034135224 | 0.0034135224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.1618333E-7 | 8.1618333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.258641E-5 | 4.258641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0070725E-4 | 5.0070725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3931547E-5 | 3.393131E-5 | 1.4178485 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0255975E-4 | 1.225577E-4 | 1.1949883 | 2.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012479532 | 0.0012779158 | 1.0240093 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012452588 | 0.0124920895 | 1.0031722 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3931547E-5 | 3.393131E-5 | 1.4178485 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0255975E-4 | 1.225577E-4 | 1.1949883 | 2.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012479532 | 0.0012779158 | 1.0240093 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012452588 | 0.0124920895 | 1.0031722 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3931547E-5 | 3.393131E-5 | 1.4178485 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0255975E-4 | 1.225577E-4 | 1.1949883 | 2.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012479532 | 0.0012779158 | 1.0240093 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012452588 | 0.0124920895 | 1.0031722 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3931547E-5 | 3.393131E-5 | 1.4178485 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0255975E-4 | 1.225577E-4 | 1.1949883 | 2.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012479532 | 0.0012779158 | 1.0240093 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012452588 | 0.0124920895 | 1.0031722 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3931547E-5 | 3.393131E-5 | 1.4178485 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0255975E-4 | 1.225577E-4 | 1.1949883 | 2.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012479532 | 0.0012779158 | 1.0240093 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012452588 | 0.0124920895 | 1.0031722 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.3920502E-5 | 3.3920263E-5 | 1.4180415 | 1.0E-5 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.0251242E-4 | 1.2251038E-4 | 1.1950783 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012473776 | 0.0012773401 | 1.0240204 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.012446896 | 0.012486398 | 1.0031737 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3534638E-5 | 3.35344E-5 | 1.4248956 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6032466E-5 | 1.0085885E-4 | 1.20856836E-4 | 1.1982769 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012272681 | 0.0012572313 | 1.0244145 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.012248031 | 0.01228754 | 1.0032258 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.350991E-5 | 3.3509674E-5 | 1.4253426 | 1.0E-5 | 5.59283E-5 | 1.00752884E-4 | 1.2075087E-4 | 1.1984855 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012259794 | 0.0012559426 | 1.0244403 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012235286 | 0.012274796 | 1.0032293 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.3358238E-5 | 3.3358003E-5 | 1.4281045 | 1.0E-5 | 5.530571E-5 | 1.0010291E-4 | 1.2010091E-4 | 1.1997744 | 2.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0012180748 | 0.0012480383 | 1.0245991 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.012157107 | 0.01219662 | 1.0032502 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.3317582E-5 | 3.331735E-5 | 1.4288509 | 1.0E-5 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.9928686E-5 | 1.19926684E-4 | 1.2001227 | 2.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.001215956 | 0.0012459195 | 1.024642 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.01213615 | 0.012175665 | 1.003256 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2714908E-5 | 3.271468E-5 | 1.4402295 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.734599E-5 | 1.1734405E-4 | 1.2054328 | 2.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.001184546 | 0.0012145104 | 1.0252962 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011825404 | 0.011864931 | 1.0033425 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.265986E-5 | 3.2659635E-5 | 1.441299 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.711008E-5 | 1.17108146E-4 | 1.2059318 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.001181677 | 0.0012116415 | 1.0253576 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011797019 | 0.011836547 | 1.0033507 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.2036322E-5 | 3.2036103E-5 | 1.4537863 | 1.0E-5 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.443798E-5 | 1.1443609E-4 | 1.2117592 | 2.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011491786 | 0.0011791441 | 1.0260756 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.011475442 | 0.011514983 | 1.0034457 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1905716E-5 | 3.1905496E-5 | 1.4564918 | 1.0E-5 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.387828E-5 | 1.13876406E-4 | 1.2130219 | 2.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011423716 | 0.0011723372 | 1.0262312 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011408101 | 0.011447645 | 1.0034662 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.1275568E-5 | 3.1275355E-5 | 1.4700127 | 1.0E-5 | 4.975841E-5 | 9.117783E-5 | 1.1117601E-4 | 1.2193316 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0011095274 | 0.0011394941 | 1.0270085 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.011083626 | 0.011123183 | 1.0035689 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9961497E-5 | 2.9961297E-5 | 1.5009544 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.5546475E-5 | 1.05544765E-4 | 1.2337711 | 2.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.001041033 | 0.0010710018 | 1.0287875 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.010404086 | 0.010443669 | 1.0038047 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.9398609E-5 | 2.9398416E-5 | 1.5154909 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.313426E-5 | 1.03132596E-4 | 1.2405547 | 2.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 0.0010116919 | 0.0010416615 | 1.0296233 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.010113393 | 0.010152988 | 1.0039152 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6826263E-5 | 2.6826096E-5 | 1.5942991 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.2110575E-5 | 9.210913E-5 | 1.2773318 | 2.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.775943E-4 | 9.0756797E-4 | 1.0341544 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.0087836655 | 0.008823314 | 1.0045139 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.144175E-5 | 1.144175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.903515E-5 | 4.903515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.968395E-4 | 5.968395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0059942994 | 0.0059942994 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.748124E-6 | 8.748124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.7491423E-5 | 3.7491423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.5636256E-4 | 4.5636256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002444295 | 0.0045936373 | 0.0045936373 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.992959E-6 | 4.992959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.139822E-5 | 2.139822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.604922E-4 | 2.604922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015417566 | 0.0026256128 | 0.0026256128 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.2736078E-6 | 2.2736078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.743997E-6 | 9.743997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.18626725E-4 | 1.18626725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0012006465 | 0.0012006465 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.775908E-7 | 4.775908E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 2.046816E-6 | 2.046816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.4919702E-5 | 2.4919702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.5788677E-4 | 2.5788677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.8503114E-8 | 8.8503114E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.7929902E-7 | 3.7929902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.617956E-6 | 4.617956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.8442904E-5 | 4.8442904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Superstition Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6865185E-5 | 1.4321948E-5 | 2.4321804E-5 | 1.6982191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8653358E-4 | 6.137842E-5 | 7.1377806E-5 | 1.1629137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034829667 | 7.470425E-4 | 7.8701257E-4 | 1.0535045 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03428881 | 0.007616759 | 0.007656454 | 1.0052116 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.544851E-5 | 1.4321948E-5 | 2.4321804E-5 | 1.6982191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8046346E-4 | 6.137842E-5 | 7.1377806E-5 | 1.1629137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034092965 | 7.470425E-4 | 7.8701257E-4 | 1.0535045 | 4.0E-5 | 0.033574644 | 0.007616758 | 0.007656453 | 1.0052116 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.544851E-5 | 1.4321948E-5 | 2.4321804E-5 | 1.6982191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8046346E-4 | 6.137842E-5 | 7.1377806E-5 | 1.1629137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034092965 | 7.470425E-4 | 7.8701257E-4 | 1.0535045 | 4.0E-5 | 0.033574644 | 0.007616758 | 0.007656453 | 1.0052116 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.2402065E-5 | 1.4321946E-5 | 2.4321802E-5 | 1.6982192 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2456095E-4 | 6.1378414E-5 | 7.13778E-5 | 1.1629137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027306017 | 7.4704236E-4 | 7.870125E-4 | 1.0535045 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02697292 | 0.0076167504 | 0.0076564457 | 1.0052116 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.542238E-5 | 1.4321945E-5 | 2.4321802E-5 | 1.6982192 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9465282E-4 | 6.1378414E-5 | 7.13778E-5 | 1.1629137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023673223 | 7.470423E-4 | 7.8701245E-4 | 1.0535045 | 4.0E-5 | 0.023422617 | 0.007616746 | 0.007656441 | 1.0052116 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9672969E-5 | 1.4321943E-5 | 2.43218E-5 | 1.6982193 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2716366E-4 | 6.13784E-5 | 7.137779E-5 | 1.1629138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015471181 | 7.4704224E-4 | 7.8701234E-4 | 1.0535045 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015363912 | 0.0076167374 | 0.0076564327 | 1.0052116 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6056105E-5 | 1.3986432E-5 | 2.3986293E-5 | 1.7149686 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1166424E-4 | 5.994057E-5 | 6.993997E-5 | 1.166822 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013586642 | 7.2954834E-4 | 7.6951913E-4 | 1.0547885 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013503874 | 0.0074404683 | 0.0074801706 | 1.005336 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4611248E-5 | 1.3565349E-5 | 2.3565213E-5 | 1.7371624 | 1.0E-5 | 6.261813E-5 | 5.8136007E-5 | 6.813543E-5 | 1.1720004 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6210906E-4 | 7.075922E-4 | 7.4756384E-4 | 1.0564897 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0075950073 | 0.0072211237 | 0.007260835 | 1.0054994 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.30607E-5 | 1.115285E-5 | 2.1152739E-5 | 1.8966218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.597323E-5 | 4.77971E-5 | 5.7796624E-5 | 1.2092077 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8126095E-4 | 5.817832E-4 | 6.017716E-4 | 1.0343571 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006791762 | 0.005965858 | 0.0059857387 | 1.0033324 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0443096E-5 | 8.353669E-6 | 1.8353585E-5 | 2.197069 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4755358E-5 | 3.580096E-5 | 4.58006E-5 | 1.2793121 | 1.0E-5 | 5.447602E-4 | 4.357919E-4 | 4.4578756E-4 | 1.0229367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005434267 | 0.0044924216 | 0.0045023765 | 1.002216 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.045912E-6 | 6.88401E-6 | 6.88401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4482026E-5 | 2.9502571E-5 | 2.9502571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.197378E-4 | 3.5913568E-4 | 3.5913568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041894587 | 0.0037090986 | 0.0037090986 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.045912E-6 | 6.88401E-6 | 6.88401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4482026E-5 | 2.9502571E-5 | 2.9502571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.197378E-4 | 3.5913568E-4 | 3.5913568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041894587 | 0.0037090986 | 0.0037090986 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.375506E-6 | 6.388349E-6 | 6.388349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1608928E-5 | 2.7378355E-5 | 2.7378355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8477074E-4 | 3.332814E-4 | 3.332814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003841052 | 0.0034483136 | 0.0034483136 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.6063913E-6 | 5.9385097E-6 | 5.9385097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8312797E-5 | 2.5450512E-5 | 2.5450512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.446538E-4 | 3.0981668E-4 | 3.0981668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034411973 | 0.0032113844 | 0.0032113844 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.4313126E-6 | 5.819479E-6 | 5.819479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7562477E-5 | 2.4940391E-5 | 2.4940391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.355215E-4 | 3.036077E-4 | 3.036077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033501536 | 0.0031489043 | 0.0031489043 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.0742927E-6 | 5.6136114E-6 | 5.6136114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6032423E-5 | 2.4058118E-5 | 2.4058118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1689866E-4 | 2.928689E-4 | 2.928689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031644711 | 0.003039881 | 0.003039881 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.6987187E-6 | 5.43006E-6 | 5.43006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4422852E-5 | 2.3271481E-5 | 2.3271481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9730765E-4 | 2.8329415E-4 | 2.8329415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002969102 | 0.0029422292 | 0.0029422292 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.1658035E-6 | 5.0583735E-6 | 5.0583735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2138971E-5 | 2.1678567E-5 | 2.1678567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6950863E-4 | 2.6390524E-4 | 2.6390524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00269182 | 0.0027459175 | 0.0027459175 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.6864697E-6 | 4.3241535E-6 | 4.3241535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.579906E-5 | 1.8531957E-5 | 1.8531957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9233658E-4 | 2.2560373E-4 | 2.2560373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019217018 | 0.0023564277 | 0.0023564277 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.0265903E-6 | 3.6823012E-6 | 3.6823012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2971037E-5 | 1.5781197E-5 | 1.5781197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5791094E-4 | 1.9211961E-4 | 1.9211961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015779877 | 0.002015804 | 0.002015804 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.5271493E-6 | 3.195984E-6 | 3.195984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0830595E-5 | 1.3697005E-5 | 1.3697005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3185451E-4 | 1.6674872E-4 | 1.6674872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013177631 | 0.0017547973 | 0.0017547973 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.3749135E-6 | 3.0221145E-6 | 3.0221145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0178161E-5 | 1.2951858E-5 | 1.2951858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2391206E-4 | 1.576779E-4 | 1.576779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012384299 | 0.0016600003 | 0.0016600003 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7186406E-9 | 1.1947605E-9 | 1.1947605E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3656024E-9 | 5.120402E-9 | 5.120402E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9676206E-8 | 6.2340895E-8 | 6.2340895E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9676166E-7 | 6.661809E-7 | 6.661809E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012341097 | 0.001254085 | 1.016186 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025631124 | 0.0052734814 | 0.005293376 | 1.0037726 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030762846 | 0.061525654 | 0.061563194 | 1.0006101 | 4.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42760915 | 0.42763203 | 1.0000535 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010271154 | 0.0010470948 | 1.019452 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00214792 | 0.004390679 | 0.004410591 | 1.0045351 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025839351 | 0.051513314 | 0.051551253 | 1.0007365 | 4.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37444618 | 0.37447122 | 1.0000669 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1597606E-4 | 8.3595974E-4 | 1.0244905 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034896224 | 0.0035095527 | 1.0057113 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021034058 | 0.041196752 | 0.041235104 | 1.0009309 | 4.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.31475732 | 0.3147847 | 1.000087 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.7916117E-4 | 6.991476E-4 | 1.0294281 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0029054629 | 0.0029254046 | 1.0068636 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017915873 | 0.0344551 | 0.03449372 | 1.0011209 | 4.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27314484 | 0.27317393 | 1.0001065 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.59693E-4 | 5.796819E-4 | 1.0357139 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023951384 | 0.0024150906 | 1.0083302 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.028532656 | 0.028571514 | 1.0013618 | 4.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.23491533 | 0.23494594 | 1.0001303 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2620342E-4 | 4.461949E-4 | 1.046906 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018245982 | 0.0018445617 | 1.0109413 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.021857591 | 0.021896716 | 1.00179 | 4.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18887047 | 0.18890291 | 1.0001718 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5594857E-4 | 2.7594343E-4 | 1.0781207 | 2.0E-5 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.001096452 | 0.00111643 | 1.0182207 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.013266207 | 0.013305676 | 1.0029752 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12534074 | 0.12537573 | 1.0002792 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.5130057E-4 | 2.7129555E-4 | 1.079566 | 2.0E-5 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010765519 | 0.0010965304 | 1.0185578 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.013027451 | 0.01306693 | 1.0030304 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.12336774 | 0.123402804 | 1.0002842 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4952707E-4 | 2.6952208E-4 | 1.0801316 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010689582 | 0.0010889368 | 1.0186898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.012936259 | 0.012975741 | 1.0030521 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.12259594 | 0.12263104 | 1.0002862 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.4057453E-4 | 2.605697E-4 | 1.0831143 | 2.0E-5 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010306283 | 0.0010506078 | 1.0193857 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.012476252 | 0.012515753 | 1.0031661 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.118658386 | 0.118693635 | 1.0002971 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2906094E-4 | 2.4905635E-4 | 1.087293 | 2.0E-5 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.813225E-4 | 0.0010013029 | 1.0203607 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011882669 | 0.011922194 | 1.0033263 | 4.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.1134832 | 0.11351866 | 1.0003124 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6725426E-4 | 1.872509E-4 | 1.1195585 | 2.0E-5 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.166079E-4 | 7.3659356E-4 | 1.0278893 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.008690013 | 0.008729665 | 1.004563 | 4.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.08564439 | 0.08568096 | 1.000427 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.5032949E-4 | 1.7032649E-4 | 1.1330211 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.4411096E-4 | 6.640981E-4 | 1.0310305 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.007814032 | 0.007853719 | 1.005079 | 4.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.077494785 | 0.07753168 | 1.0004761 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.3148299E-4 | 1.5148036E-4 | 1.1520909 | 2.0E-5 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.633775E-4 | 5.8336626E-4 | 1.0354801 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.0068376902 | 0.0068774167 | 1.0058099 | 4.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.06816532 | 0.06820259 | 1.0005468 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.20513694E-4 | 1.4051129E-4 | 1.1659362 | 2.0E-5 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.1638565E-4 | 5.3637533E-4 | 1.0387107 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.006268998 | 0.0063087475 | 1.0063406 | 4.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.06275645 | 0.06279394 | 1.0005974 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.300231E-5 | 1.1300045E-4 | 1.2150284 | 2.0E-5 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.9852055E-4 | 4.1851256E-4 | 1.0501657 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.004841216 | 0.0048810225 | 1.0082223 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.049278937 | 0.049316965 | 1.0007718 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.548382E-5 | 1.0548211E-4 | 1.2339424 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.6630788E-4 | 3.8630055E-4 | 1.0545789 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0044506984 | 0.0044905203 | 1.0089474 | 4.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.04526811 | 0.0453063 | 1.0008436 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.8993635E-5 | 8.899225E-5 | 1.2898618 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.956535E-4 | 3.156476E-4 | 1.0676267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0035936448 | 0.0036335012 | 1.0110908 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.036945347 | 0.03698387 | 1.0010427 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.3802116E-5 | 8.380084E-5 | 1.3134493 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.7340898E-4 | 2.9340351E-4 | 1.0731305 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0033236772 | 0.0033635444 | 1.0119948 | 4.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.034181245 | 0.034219876 | 1.0011302 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.1978073E-5 | 7.197703E-5 | 1.3847576 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.2274416E-4 | 2.427397E-4 | 1.0897691 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0027085396 | 0.0027484314 | 1.0147281 | 4.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.027927103 | 0.027965985 | 1.0013922 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.259444E-5 | 5.2593787E-5 | 1.6135815 | 2.0E-5 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3968298E-4 | 1.5968019E-4 | 1.1431614 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016993146 | 0.0017392467 | 1.0234989 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.01780595 | 0.017845238 | 1.0022064 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.8152658E-5 | 2.8152475E-5 | 1.5508735 | 1.0E-5 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.7794786E-5 | 8.779401E-5 | 1.1285334 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.4674056E-4 | 9.667216E-4 | 1.0211052 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009317525 | 0.010193869 | 0.010213665 | 1.0019419 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7766533E-6 | 5.7766533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4756851E-5 | 2.4756851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.0137307E-4 | 3.0137307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0034135224 | 0.0034135224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.1618333E-7 | 8.1618333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.258641E-5 | 4.258641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0070725E-4 | 5.0070725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2731747E-5 | 3.2731517E-5 | 1.4399034 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.741846E-5 | 1.1741651E-4 | 1.20528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011854825 | 0.001215447 | 1.0252762 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011797436 | 0.011836964 | 1.0033506 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2731747E-5 | 3.2731517E-5 | 1.4399034 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.741846E-5 | 1.1741651E-4 | 1.20528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011854825 | 0.001215447 | 1.0252762 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011797436 | 0.011836964 | 1.0033506 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2731747E-5 | 3.2731517E-5 | 1.4399034 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.741846E-5 | 1.1741651E-4 | 1.20528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011854825 | 0.001215447 | 1.0252762 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011797436 | 0.011836964 | 1.0033506 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2359533E-5 | 1.2359533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2968422E-5 | 6.296789E-5 | 1.1887817 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.447122E-4 | 6.646993E-4 | 1.0310016 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064296667 | 0.0064594736 | 1.0046359 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2359533E-5 | 1.2359533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2968422E-5 | 6.296789E-5 | 1.1887817 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.447122E-4 | 6.646993E-4 | 1.0310016 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064296667 | 0.0064594736 | 1.0046359 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.486047E-6 | 9.486047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0653907E-5 | 5.06535E-5 | 1.2459688 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.948581E-4 | 5.1484816E-4 | 1.0403956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004938471 | 0.0049583726 | 1.0040299 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.793871E-6 | 7.793871E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.340192E-5 | 4.340159E-5 | 1.299374 | 1.0E-5 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0660053E-4 | 4.265924E-4 | 1.0491683 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.004059358 | 0.004079277 | 1.0049069 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.658196E-6 | 6.658196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8534856E-5 | 3.853457E-5 | 1.3504386 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4736402E-4 | 3.5736055E-4 | 1.0287782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034689521 | 0.0034789175 | 1.0028727 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.8577875E-6 | 5.8577875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5104604E-5 | 3.5104353E-5 | 1.3983233 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0561298E-4 | 3.156099E-4 | 1.0327111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030526435 | 0.003062613 | 1.0032659 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.06774E-6 | 5.06774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1718744E-5 | 3.1718526E-5 | 1.4604218 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6440067E-4 | 2.7439801E-4 | 1.0378114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026415538 | 0.0026515273 | 1.0037756 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.1203866E-6 | 4.1203866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.765872E-5 | 2.7658543E-5 | 1.5662825 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.149806E-4 | 2.2497844E-4 | 1.0465058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021484026 | 0.002158381 | 1.0046446 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0111205E-6 | 3.0111205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2904776E-5 | 2.2904647E-5 | 1.774897 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.571109E-4 | 1.6710933E-4 | 1.0636393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015706441 | 0.0015806283 | 1.0063568 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.543992E-5 | 2.8405118E-5 | 3.8404836E-5 | 1.3520392 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5187653E-4 | 1.2173061E-4 | 1.317294E-4 | 1.0821387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018475284 | 0.0014810751 | 0.0015010454 | 1.0134838 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018322436 | 0.015119783 | 0.015149329 | 1.0019542 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.542281E-5 | 2.8405118E-5 | 3.8404836E-5 | 1.3520392 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5180321E-4 | 1.2173061E-4 | 1.317294E-4 | 1.0821387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018466372 | 0.0014810751 | 0.0015010454 | 1.0134838 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018313672 | 0.015119783 | 0.015149329 | 1.0019542 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4688688E-5 | 2.8405118E-5 | 3.8404836E-5 | 1.3520392 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4865733E-4 | 1.2173061E-4 | 1.317294E-4 | 1.0821387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018084005 | 0.0014810751 | 0.0015010454 | 1.0134838 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017937548 | 0.015119782 | 0.015149329 | 1.0019542 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2087122E-5 | 2.8250222E-5 | 3.824994E-5 | 1.3539696 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3750899E-4 | 1.21066834E-4 | 1.3106562E-4 | 1.082589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016728862 | 0.0014730045 | 0.001492975 | 1.0135577 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016603488 | 0.015040837 | 0.015070386 | 1.0019646 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 2.821711E-5 | 3.8216825E-5 | 1.3543849 | 1.0E-5 | 1.364017E-4 | 1.2092493E-4 | 1.3092373E-4 | 1.082686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0014712792 | 0.0014912498 | 1.0135736 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016470885 | 0.0150239905 | 0.01505354 | 1.0019668 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 2.795593E-5 | 3.7955648E-5 | 1.3576958 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3526545E-4 | 1.1980569E-4 | 1.298045E-4 | 1.0834585 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0014576707 | 0.0014776415 | 1.0137005 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0163348 | 0.014889639 | 0.0149191925 | 1.0019848 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 2.7799471E-5 | 3.7799193E-5 | 1.359709 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3485427E-4 | 1.1913522E-4 | 1.2913403E-4 | 1.0839282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0014495186 | 0.0014694897 | 1.0137777 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016285548 | 0.014809488 | 0.014839045 | 1.0019957 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 2.741666E-5 | 3.7416386E-5 | 1.3647318 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3380898E-4 | 1.1749475E-4 | 1.2749358E-4 | 1.0851002 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016279068 | 0.0014295721 | 0.0014495435 | 1.0139703 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01616033 | 0.01461358 | 0.014643141 | 1.0020229 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 2.7236756E-5 | 3.7236485E-5 | 1.3671409 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3291716E-4 | 1.1672381E-4 | 1.2672263E-4 | 1.0856624 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001617065 | 0.0014201982 | 0.0014401698 | 1.0140625 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016053487 | 0.014520421 | 0.0145499855 | 1.0020361 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 2.2632677E-5 | 3.263245E-5 | 1.441829 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1417485E-4 | 9.699361E-5 | 1.0699264E-4 | 1.1030896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013891924 | 0.0011802615 | 0.0011902497 | 1.0084627 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0138054015 | 0.012117185 | 0.012127064 | 1.0008153 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 2.0912792E-5 | 2.0912792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.02228936E-4 | 8.962319E-5 | 8.962319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012439266 | 0.0010906187 | 0.0010906187 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012369866 | 0.01121012 | 0.01121012 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 2.0748881E-5 | 2.0748881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0145135E-4 | 8.892076E-5 | 8.892076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012344702 | 0.0010820752 | 0.0010820752 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0122763505 | 0.011125127 | 0.011125127 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.9972982E-5 | 1.9972982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.735599E-5 | 8.55957E-5 | 8.55957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011846646 | 0.0010416318 | 0.0010416318 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01178369 | 0.010720975 | 0.010720975 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.8809153E-5 | 1.8809153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.006634E-5 | 8.060818E-5 | 8.060818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001096006 | 9.809649E-4 | 9.809649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010906163 | 0.010113818 | 0.010113818 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.8610543E-5 | 1.8610543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.86411E-5 | 7.975705E-5 | 7.975705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001078671 | 9.706115E-4 | 9.706115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010734501 | 0.01000997 | 0.01000997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.8201958E-5 | 1.8201958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.568561E-5 | 7.800607E-5 | 7.800607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001042723 | 9.493122E-4 | 9.493122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010378438 | 0.009795072 | 0.009795072 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 1.6840479E-5 | 1.6840479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.666772E-5 | 7.21715E-5 | 7.21715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3302975E-4 | 8.7833556E-4 | 8.7833556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00929122 | 0.009079378 | 0.009079378 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 1.4630279E-5 | 1.4630279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4823165E-5 | 6.269969E-5 | 6.269969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.889362E-4 | 7.6310226E-4 | 7.6310226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007861412 | 0.007920847 | 0.007920847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 1.3007681E-5 | 1.3007681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3574146E-5 | 5.574602E-5 | 5.574602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5207E-4 | 6.784971E-4 | 6.784971E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006501599 | 0.0070664315 | 0.0070664315 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 1.0085332E-5 | 1.0085332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0975072E-5 | 4.322214E-5 | 4.322214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.987573E-4 | 5.261031E-4 | 5.261031E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049763937 | 0.005526867 | 0.005526867 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 8.5937945E-6 | 8.5937945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4358076E-5 | 3.683003E-5 | 3.683003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1822926E-4 | 4.4831395E-4 | 4.4831395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041744304 | 0.0047321054 | 0.0047321054 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 6.706271E-6 | 6.706271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8036617E-5 | 2.8740847E-5 | 2.8740847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4129233E-4 | 3.4986416E-4 | 3.4986416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0037103079 | 0.0037103079 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 8.4350773E-7 | 8.4350773E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 3.6150282E-6 | 3.6150282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 4.4012104E-5 | 4.4012104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 4.972366E-4 | 4.972366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 5.251747E-8 | 5.251747E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 2.2507486E-7 | 2.2507486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 2.7402834E-6 | 2.7402834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 3.1732423E-5 | 3.1732423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cerro Prieto
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9101528E-4 | 6.027398E-4 | 6.027398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025808597 | 0.002590834 | 1.0038646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015072231 | 0.031120598 | 0.031139977 | 1.0006226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14089979 | 0.25577185 | 0.2557942 | 1.0000873 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9101528E-4 | 6.027398E-4 | 6.027398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025808597 | 0.002590834 | 1.0038646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015072231 | 0.031120598 | 0.031139977 | 1.0006226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14089979 | 0.25577185 | 0.2557942 | 1.0000873 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9101528E-4 | 6.027398E-4 | 6.027398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025808597 | 0.002590834 | 1.0038646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015072231 | 0.031120598 | 0.031139977 | 1.0006226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14089979 | 0.25577185 | 0.2557942 | 1.0000873 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9101528E-4 | 6.027398E-4 | 6.027398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025808597 | 0.002590834 | 1.0038646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015072231 | 0.031120598 | 0.031139977 | 1.0006226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14089979 | 0.25577185 | 0.2557942 | 1.0000873 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.199265E-4 | 5.199265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022265562 | 0.002236534 | 1.0044812 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013006088 | 0.026938701 | 0.026958162 | 1.0007224 | 2.0E-5 | 0.12270685 | 0.22621883 | 0.22624204 | 1.0001026 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.199265E-4 | 5.199265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022265562 | 0.002236534 | 1.0044812 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013006088 | 0.026938701 | 0.026958162 | 1.0007224 | 2.0E-5 | 0.12270685 | 0.22621883 | 0.22624204 | 1.0001026 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.294914E-4 | 4.7693582E-4 | 4.7693582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.831638E-4 | 0.002042601 | 0.0020525805 | 1.0048857 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011904482 | 0.024694882 | 0.024714388 | 1.0007899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11286586 | 0.21035893 | 0.21037473 | 1.0000751 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9621674E-4 | 4.096586E-4 | 4.096586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4065786E-4 | 0.0017546606 | 0.0017546606 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010187071 | 0.021175375 | 0.021185163 | 1.0004623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.09732539 | 0.18460616 | 0.18461432 | 1.0000442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5476145E-4 | 3.1017457E-4 | 3.1017457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6309475E-4 | 0.0013287473 | 0.0013287473 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008043335 | 0.01605542 | 0.016065259 | 1.0006129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07758363 | 0.14485504 | 0.14486359 | 1.000059 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.20509176E-4 | 2.2950333E-4 | 2.2950333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1636563E-4 | 9.832801E-4 | 9.832801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006268645 | 0.011921005 | 0.011930886 | 1.0008289 | 1.0E-5 | 0.060947374 | 0.11072865 | 0.11073755 | 1.0000803 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.3269155E-5 | 1.7012183E-4 | 1.7012183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9966372E-4 | 7.2893436E-4 | 7.2893436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048550544 | 0.008846574 | 0.008856486 | 1.0011203 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04750344 | 0.08418259 | 0.084191754 | 1.0001088 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.029709E-5 | 8.338939E-5 | 8.338939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1554115E-4 | 3.5735418E-4 | 3.5735418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026210553 | 0.0043456587 | 0.0043556155 | 1.0022912 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025903556 | 0.043054204 | 0.043063775 | 1.0002222 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.5445185E-8 | 7.149468E-8 | 7.149468E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8047933E-7 | 3.0640578E-7 | 3.0640578E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4148304E-6 | 3.7304903E-6 | 3.7304903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.414778E-5 | 3.7304904E-5 | 3.7304904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7980608E-5 | 6.797965E-5 | 1.416815 | 2.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0561588E-4 | 2.2561177E-4 | 1.0972488 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025006633 | 0.0025206134 | 1.0079778 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024742821 | 0.02477208 | 1.0011824 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7980608E-5 | 6.797965E-5 | 1.416815 | 2.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0561588E-4 | 2.2561177E-4 | 1.0972488 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025006633 | 0.0025206134 | 1.0079778 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024742821 | 0.02477208 | 1.0011824 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7980608E-5 | 6.797965E-5 | 1.416815 | 2.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0561588E-4 | 2.2561177E-4 | 1.0972488 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025006633 | 0.0025206134 | 1.0079778 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024742821 | 0.02477208 | 1.0011824 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7980608E-5 | 6.797965E-5 | 1.416815 | 2.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0561588E-4 | 2.2561177E-4 | 1.0972488 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025006633 | 0.0025206134 | 1.0079778 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024742821 | 0.02477208 | 1.0011824 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.971784E-5 | 5.9717047E-5 | 1.503532 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.7020873E-4 | 1.9020532E-4 | 1.1174828 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020704153 | 0.0020903738 | 1.0096399 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020521322 | 0.020550705 | 1.001432 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.971784E-5 | 5.9717047E-5 | 1.503532 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.7020873E-4 | 1.9020532E-4 | 1.1174828 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020704153 | 0.0020903738 | 1.0096399 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020521322 | 0.020550705 | 1.001432 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.1308195E-5 | 4.130788E-5 | 1.3193952 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3417126E-4 | 1.4416993E-4 | 1.0745217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015748127 | 0.001632346 | 0.0016423296 | 1.0061162 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016207445 | 0.01622712 | 1.001214 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0917203E-5 | 4.0916893E-5 | 1.3234345 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3249577E-4 | 1.4249443E-4 | 1.0754641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015567453 | 0.001611977 | 0.0016219609 | 1.0061935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.016006703 | 0.016026383 | 1.0012295 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5105117E-5 | 3.5104866E-5 | 1.3983152 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0758904E-4 | 1.17587966E-4 | 1.0929363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013091312 | 0.0013191181 | 1.0076287 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.013016572 | 0.013036312 | 1.0015165 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3432012E-5 | 3.3431777E-5 | 1.4267566 | 1.0E-5 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0041916E-4 | 1.1041815E-4 | 1.0995725 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001215622 | 0.001221938 | 0.0012319257 | 1.0081737 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.012154396 | 0.012174152 | 1.0016255 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1853986E-5 | 3.1853768E-5 | 1.4575725 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.365669E-5 | 1.0365575E-4 | 1.1067629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011396937 | 0.0011496822 | 1.0087643 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011320163 | 0.011340601 | 0.011360375 | 1.0017436 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.063253E-5 | 3.0632324E-5 | 1.4846616 | 1.0E-5 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.842224E-5 | 9.8421355E-5 | 1.1130837 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010760288 | 0.001086018 | 1.0092834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010722724 | 0.010710248 | 0.010730034 | 1.0018474 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9144696E-5 | 2.9144505E-5 | 1.5223279 | 1.0E-5 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.204622E-5 | 9.2045404E-5 | 1.1218725 | 1.0E-5 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.984744E-4 | 0.0010084645 | 1.0100052 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009859995 | 0.009941893 | 0.0099616945 | 1.0019917 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4992908E-5 | 2.4992758E-5 | 1.666972 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.425381E-5 | 7.425317E-5 | 1.1556228 | 1.0E-5 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.820222E-4 | 7.9201435E-4 | 1.0127773 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006934359 | 0.0077940105 | 0.007813854 | 1.0025461 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1944148E-5 | 2.194403E-5 | 1.8372201 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.1188257E-5 | 6.118775E-5 | 1.1953473 | 1.0E-5 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.2304834E-4 | 6.330421E-4 | 1.0160401 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049001034 | 0.006213971 | 0.006233847 | 1.0031985 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.238849E-6 | 1.9238758E-5 | 2.0823758 | 1.0E-5 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9594514E-5 | 4.9594117E-5 | 1.2525502 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.8196444E-4 | 4.919596E-4 | 1.0207384 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037550807 | 0.0048099738 | 0.0048298775 | 1.004138 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.624136E-6 | 1.462409E-5 | 3.162556 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9817584E-5 | 2.9817385E-5 | 1.5045924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.4125383E-4 | 2.5125142E-4 | 1.0414401 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0024100628 | 0.0024300145 | 1.0082785 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.6597155E-6 | 1.3659679E-5 | 3.7324429 | 1.0E-5 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5684409E-5 | 2.5684252E-5 | 1.6375659 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.9094233E-4 | 2.0094041E-4 | 1.0523618 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0019079186 | 0.0019178996 | 1.0052313 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.4119383E-4 | 1.511924E-4 | 1.0708146 | 1.0E-5 | 7.378611E-4 | 6.049781E-4 | 6.149721E-4 | 1.0165195 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008946515 | 0.00734112 | 0.007360973 | 1.0027044 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.072144404 | 0.07216296 | 1.0002573 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.4119383E-4 | 1.511924E-4 | 1.0708146 | 1.0E-5 | 7.378611E-4 | 6.049781E-4 | 6.149721E-4 | 1.0165195 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008946515 | 0.00734112 | 0.007360973 | 1.0027044 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.072144404 | 0.07216296 | 1.0002573 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.4119383E-4 | 1.511924E-4 | 1.0708146 | 1.0E-5 | 7.378611E-4 | 6.049781E-4 | 6.149721E-4 | 1.0165195 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008946515 | 0.00734112 | 0.007360973 | 1.0027044 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.072144404 | 0.07216296 | 1.0002573 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.716926E-4 | 1.4038067E-4 | 1.5037926E-4 | 1.0712249 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3561794E-4 | 6.014948E-4 | 6.1148877E-4 | 1.0166153 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008919428 | 0.0072989943 | 0.0073188483 | 1.0027201 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08569809 | 0.07175385 | 0.07177242 | 1.0002587 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 1.3906146E-4 | 1.4906007E-4 | 1.0719006 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02367E-4 | 5.9584365E-4 | 6.058377E-4 | 1.016773 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008517839 | 0.007230649 | 0.007250504 | 1.002746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08198654 | 0.07093809 | 0.07095666 | 1.0002619 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 1.295556E-4 | 1.3955431E-4 | 1.0771769 | 1.0E-5 | 6.745133E-4 | 5.5512186E-4 | 5.6511635E-4 | 1.0180041 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00818132 | 0.0067379843 | 0.0067578494 | 1.0029483 | 2.0E-5 | 0.078865945 | 0.06634907 | 0.06636774 | 1.0002815 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 1.1867029E-4 | 1.286691E-4 | 1.0842571 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5865536E-4 | 5.0848915E-4 | 5.1848404E-4 | 1.0196561 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006780438 | 0.0061735166 | 0.006193393 | 1.0032196 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0657725 | 0.06063674 | 0.060655527 | 1.0003098 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 1.1591514E-4 | 1.2591398E-4 | 1.08626 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5135164E-4 | 4.966859E-4 | 5.066809E-4 | 1.0201235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066920654 | 0.0060306154 | 0.0060504945 | 1.0032964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06494093 | 0.05934038 | 0.059359193 | 1.0003171 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 1.152861E-4 | 1.2528495E-4 | 1.0867307 | 1.0E-5 | 5.485117E-4 | 4.93991E-4 | 5.039861E-4 | 1.0202333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066577005 | 0.0059980014 | 0.0060178814 | 1.0033145 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06461738 | 0.059052516 | 0.059071336 | 1.0003186 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 1.1369615E-4 | 1.2369502E-4 | 1.0879437 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4380763E-4 | 4.8717952E-4 | 4.971747E-4 | 1.0205163 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006600777 | 0.005915525 | 0.0059354063 | 1.003361 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06408122 | 0.0583204 | 0.058339234 | 1.0003229 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 1.1094925E-4 | 1.2094814E-4 | 1.0901213 | 1.0E-5 | 5.154837E-4 | 4.7541145E-4 | 4.854067E-4 | 1.0210245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006257969 | 0.005773016 | 0.0057929005 | 1.0034444 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06084648 | 0.056966014 | 0.056984875 | 1.000331 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 5.5995617E-5 | 6.599505E-5 | 1.1785754 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4493793E-4 | 2.3995934E-4 | 2.4995694E-4 | 1.0416638 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041915346 | 0.002917628 | 0.0029375697 | 1.0068349 | 2.0E-5 | 0.041133516 | 0.030645171 | 0.03066456 | 1.0006326 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 4.476928E-5 | 5.4768832E-5 | 1.2233574 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0399222E-4 | 1.9185437E-4 | 2.0185245E-4 | 1.0521128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036948253 | 0.0023333493 | 0.0023533024 | 1.0085514 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03633994 | 0.02486198 | 0.024881484 | 1.0007844 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 3.0273995E-5 | 4.027369E-5 | 1.3303065 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6541698E-4 | 1.2973926E-4 | 1.3973795E-4 | 1.0770677 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032266637 | 0.0015784327 | 0.0015984012 | 1.0126508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031802133 | 0.017223986 | 0.01724364 | 1.0011412 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 2.8332019E-5 | 3.8331735E-5 | 1.3529476 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5311083E-4 | 1.21417295E-4 | 1.3141608E-4 | 1.0823506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030772698 | 0.0014772547 | 0.0014972251 | 1.0135186 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030350044 | 0.016162068 | 0.016181745 | 1.0012175 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 2.5887997E-5 | 3.588774E-5 | 1.3862693 | 1.0E-5 | 2.324491E-4 | 1.1094385E-4 | 1.2094274E-4 | 1.0901257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002826395 | 0.0013499057 | 0.0013698788 | 1.0147959 | 2.0E-5 | 0.027907165 | 0.014805287 | 0.014824991 | 1.0013309 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 2.0876096E-5 | 3.0875886E-5 | 1.4790068 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8987931E-4 | 8.946592E-5 | 9.946502E-5 | 1.1117644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023093296 | 0.0010887035 | 0.0011086817 | 1.0183505 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022854783 | 0.01193181 | 0.01195157 | 1.0016562 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 1.9867122E-5 | 2.9866924E-5 | 1.5033342 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7647797E-4 | 8.514203E-5 | 9.514118E-5 | 1.1174408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002146502 | 0.0010361115 | 0.0010560908 | 1.0192829 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021258866 | 0.011367807 | 0.01138758 | 1.0017394 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 1.9471956E-5 | 2.9471761E-5 | 1.5135491 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5174363E-4 | 8.344857E-5 | 9.3447736E-5 | 1.1198243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018459131 | 0.0010155131 | 0.0010354928 | 1.0196744 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018306552 | 0.011135852 | 0.0111556295 | 1.001776 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 1.8142675E-5 | 2.8142493E-5 | 1.5511767 | 1.0E-5 | 1.10827445E-4 | 7.7752E-5 | 8.775123E-5 | 1.128604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001348489 | 9.462198E-4 | 9.6620084E-4 | 1.0211167 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013403354 | 0.010345182 | 0.010364976 | 1.0019133 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 1.5546932E-5 | 2.5546775E-5 | 1.6432037 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4757245E-5 | 6.6628E-5 | 7.662734E-5 | 1.150077 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010314309 | 8.1089424E-4 | 8.3087804E-4 | 1.0246441 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010266567 | 0.008883683 | 0.008903505 | 1.0022314 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 1.268826E-5 | 2.2688133E-5 | 1.7881202 | 1.0E-5 | 6.293394E-5 | 5.4377124E-5 | 6.437658E-5 | 1.1838908 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6595135E-4 | 6.618406E-4 | 6.8182737E-4 | 1.0301988 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0076331664 | 0.007278287 | 0.0072981413 | 1.0027279 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 5.770688E-6 | 5.770688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7021015E-5 | 2.4731287E-5 | 2.4731287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5063766E-4 | 3.010619E-4 | 3.010619E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004497249 | 0.0034104204 | 0.0034104204 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.1618333E-7 | 8.1618333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.258641E-5 | 4.258641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0070725E-4 | 5.0070725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.17762E-5 | 8.17762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.504256E-4 | 3.504256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042585824 | 0.0042784973 | 1.0046763 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041824866 | 0.04184403 | 1.0004582 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.17762E-5 | 8.17762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.504256E-4 | 3.504256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042585824 | 0.0042784973 | 1.0046763 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041824866 | 0.04184403 | 1.0004582 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.651625E-5 | 4.651625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9934046E-4 | 1.9934046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.002424321 | 0.002424321 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020349167 | 0.023985364 | 0.023985364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.7976763E-5 | 3.7976763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6274757E-4 | 1.6274757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019796807 | 0.0019796807 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01686163 | 0.019624239 | 0.019624239 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.413893E-5 | 3.413893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4630164E-4 | 1.4630164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017797932 | 0.0017797932 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.017658565 | 0.017658565 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2285843E-5 | 3.2285843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3836069E-4 | 1.3836069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016832653 | 0.0016832653 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016708173 | 0.016708173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5791313E-5 | 2.5791313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.105296E-4 | 1.105296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.001344882 | 0.001344882 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.0133691495 | 0.0133691495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2690836E-5 | 2.2690836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.7242875E-5 | 9.7242875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011833003 | 0.0011833003 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.011771292 | 0.011771292 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.8997462E-5 | 1.8997462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.141521E-5 | 8.141521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.907887E-4 | 9.907887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009864744 | 0.009864744 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7287135E-5 | 1.7287135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.408566E-5 | 7.408566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.016285E-4 | 9.016285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008980652 | 0.008980652 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4047161E-5 | 1.4047161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.020077E-5 | 6.020077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.327055E-4 | 7.327055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0073036854 | 0.0073036854 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.238756E-5 | 1.238756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.30885E-5 | 5.30885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.461682E-4 | 6.461682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.006443641 | 0.006443641 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0855842E-5 | 1.0855842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6524252E-5 | 4.6524252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.662927E-4 | 5.662927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.005649222 | 0.005649222 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.093127E-6 | 9.093127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8970004E-5 | 3.8970004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7436357E-4 | 4.7436357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047342144 | 0.0047342144 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.365879E-6 | 3.365879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.44251435E-5 | 1.44251435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7561702E-4 | 1.7561702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017552786 | 0.0017552786 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley (So Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.7136968E-5 | 4.7136597E-5 | 1.2692635 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5915127E-4 | 1.6914967E-4 | 1.0628233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019364589 | 0.0019464395 | 1.005154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.019246267 | 0.01926588 | 1.0010191 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.7136968E-5 | 4.7136597E-5 | 1.2692635 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5915127E-4 | 1.6914967E-4 | 1.0628233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019364589 | 0.0019464395 | 1.005154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.019246267 | 0.01926588 | 1.0010191 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.7136968E-5 | 4.7136597E-5 | 1.2692635 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5915127E-4 | 1.6914967E-4 | 1.0628233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019364589 | 0.0019464395 | 1.005154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.019246267 | 0.01926588 | 1.0010191 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8470795E-5 | 1.8470795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.915878E-5 | 7.915878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.6344313E-4 | 9.6344313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008207959 | 0.009603587 | 0.009613491 | 1.0010313 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8470795E-5 | 1.8470795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.915878E-5 | 7.915878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.6344313E-4 | 9.6344313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008207959 | 0.009603587 | 0.009613491 | 1.0010313 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8470795E-5 | 1.8470795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.915878E-5 | 7.915878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.6344313E-4 | 9.6344313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008207959 | 0.009603587 | 0.009613491 | 1.0010313 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8470795E-5 | 1.8470795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.915878E-5 | 7.915878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.6344313E-4 | 9.6344313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008207959 | 0.009603587 | 0.009613491 | 1.0010313 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1363076E-5 | 1.3154489E-5 | 1.3154489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8697988E-5 | 5.6375597E-5 | 5.6375597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.927367E-4 | 6.8623305E-4 | 6.8623305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059115817 | 0.0068486314 | 0.0068585626 | 1.0014502 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1608466E-5 | 1.1608466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.975003E-5 | 4.975003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.056116E-4 | 6.056116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052300454 | 0.0060468065 | 0.006056746 | 1.0016438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1608466E-5 | 1.1608466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.975003E-5 | 4.975003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.056116E-4 | 6.056116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052300454 | 0.0060468065 | 0.006056746 | 1.0016438 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1608466E-5 | 1.1608466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.975003E-5 | 4.975003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.056116E-4 | 6.056116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052300454 | 0.0060468065 | 0.006056746 | 1.0016438 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.140254E-6 | 9.39493E-6 | 9.39493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4886336E-5 | 4.026374E-5 | 4.026374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2465836E-4 | 4.9016805E-4 | 4.9016805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042384774 | 0.004897461 | 0.004907412 | 1.0020319 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.673835E-7 | 1.4181036E-7 | 1.4181036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.173577E-7 | 6.077585E-7 | 6.077585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733795E-6 | 7.399439E-6 | 7.399439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733451E-5 | 7.3992276E-5 | 7.3992276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6632116E-7 | 1.407918E-7 | 1.407918E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1280476E-7 | 6.0339335E-7 | 6.0339335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.678364E-6 | 7.3462925E-6 | 7.3462925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6780245E-5 | 7.3460855E-5 | 7.3460855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6569169E-7 | 1.402375E-7 | 1.402375E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1010703E-7 | 6.0101775E-7 | 6.0101775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645519E-6 | 7.3173705E-6 | 7.3173705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645182E-5 | 7.317165E-5 | 7.317165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1764555E-7 | 1.01175665E-7 | 1.01175665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.041951E-7 | 4.3360993E-7 | 4.3360993E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.138558E-6 | 5.27919E-6 | 5.27919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1383886E-5 | 5.2790863E-5 | 5.2790863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.07927605E-7 | 9.2813096E-8 | 9.2813096E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6254678E-7 | 3.9777035E-7 | 3.9777035E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6314925E-6 | 4.8428456E-6 | 4.8428456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.63135E-5 | 4.842761E-5 | 4.842761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1826905E-8 | 1.12119425E-8 | 1.12119425E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3543875E-8 | 4.805118E-8 | 4.805118E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388961E-6 | 5.8502303E-7 | 5.8502303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388902E-5 | 5.85022E-6 | 5.85022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6169649E-9 | 1.2001865E-9 | 1.2001865E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1215564E-8 | 5.1436566E-9 | 5.1436566E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3654947E-7 | 6.262402E-8 | 6.262402E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.365494E-6 | 6.2624014E-7 | 6.2624014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.515171E-5 | 2.515171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.07789E-4 | 1.07789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013116132 | 0.0013116132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00870863 | 0.0131496815 | 0.013169419 | 1.001501 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.515171E-5 | 2.515171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.07789E-4 | 1.07789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013116132 | 0.0013116132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00870863 | 0.0131496815 | 0.013169419 | 1.001501 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.515171E-5 | 2.515171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.07789E-4 | 1.07789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013116132 | 0.0013116132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00870863 | 0.0131496815 | 0.013169419 | 1.001501 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.515171E-5 | 2.515171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.07789E-4 | 1.07789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013116132 | 0.0013116132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00870863 | 0.0131496815 | 0.013169419 | 1.001501 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.515171E-5 | 2.515171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.07789E-4 | 1.07789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013116132 | 0.0013116132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00870863 | 0.0131496815 | 0.013169419 | 1.001501 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.515171E-5 | 2.515171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.07789E-4 | 1.07789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013116132 | 0.0013116132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00870863 | 0.0131496815 | 0.013169419 | 1.001501 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7596654E-5 | 1.7596654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.541208E-5 | 7.541208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.17759E-4 | 9.17759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009244235 | 0.009254143 | 1.0010718 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7596654E-5 | 1.7596654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.541208E-5 | 7.541208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.17759E-4 | 9.17759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009244235 | 0.009254143 | 1.0010718 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.585519E-5 | 1.585519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.7949055E-5 | 6.7949055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.269672E-4 | 8.269672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004321559 | 0.008343292 | 0.008343292 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5726233E-5 | 1.5726233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.739641E-5 | 6.739641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.202438E-4 | 8.202438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042607468 | 0.00827656 | 0.00827656 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4508496E-5 | 1.4508496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.217779E-5 | 6.217779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.567522E-4 | 7.567522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037367654 | 0.007645637 | 0.007645637 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4498814E-5 | 1.4498814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.21363E-5 | 6.21363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.5624743E-4 | 7.5624743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037327618 | 0.007640624 | 0.007640624 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.4344869E-5 | 1.4344869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 6.147657E-5 | 6.147657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.4822066E-4 | 7.4822066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0075607705 | 0.0075607705 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.4287603E-5 | 1.4287603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 6.123115E-5 | 6.123115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.4523484E-4 | 7.4523484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036566744 | 0.007530906 | 0.007530906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.4246757E-5 | 1.4246757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 6.1056104E-5 | 6.1056104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.431051E-4 | 7.431051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0075096367 | 0.0075096367 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.4203353E-5 | 1.4203353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 6.0870098E-5 | 6.0870098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.4084196E-4 | 7.4084196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036195726 | 0.00748711 | 0.00748711 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.4161893E-5 | 1.4161893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 6.069242E-5 | 6.069242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.386802E-4 | 7.386802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036078666 | 0.0074655763 | 0.0074655763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.3025107E-5 | 1.3025107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.5820696E-5 | 5.5820696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.794054E-4 | 6.794054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0068764077 | 0.0068764077 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1861915E-5 | 1.1861915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 5.0835788E-5 | 5.0835788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.1875023E-4 | 6.1875023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0062663057 | 0.0062663057 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.3118163E-6 | 7.3118163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.133598E-5 | 3.133598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.8144895E-4 | 3.8144895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019374699 | 0.003867992 | 0.003867992 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.3316754E-6 | 1.3316754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.707168E-6 | 5.707168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.948257E-5 | 6.948257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 7.171596E-4 | 7.171596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1801753E-7 | 1.1801753E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 5.0578933E-7 | 5.0578933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 6.157968E-6 | 6.157968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.870359E-5 | 6.870359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.6329552E-9 | 2.6329552E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.1284094E-8 | 1.1284094E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.3738384E-7 | 1.3738384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.557197E-6 | 1.557197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.6535507E-5 | 3.6535243E-5 | 1.3768436 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.13718655E-4 | 1.2371752E-4 | 1.0879263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0013836471 | 0.0014036194 | 1.0144346 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.015496013 | 0.015515703 | 1.0012707 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.6535507E-5 | 3.6535243E-5 | 1.3768436 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.13718655E-4 | 1.2371752E-4 | 1.0879263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0013836471 | 0.0014036194 | 1.0144346 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.015496013 | 0.015515703 | 1.0012707 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.6535507E-5 | 3.6535243E-5 | 1.3768436 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.13718655E-4 | 1.2371752E-4 | 1.0879263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0013836471 | 0.0014036194 | 1.0144346 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.015496013 | 0.015515703 | 1.0012707 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.551163E-5 | 2.6217784E-5 | 3.621752E-5 | 1.3814105 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6642692E-4 | 1.123571E-4 | 1.2235598E-4 | 1.088992 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004452125 | 0.0013670911 | 0.0013870636 | 1.0146096 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.015318711 | 0.015338405 | 1.0012856 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.551163E-5 | 2.6217784E-5 | 3.621752E-5 | 1.3814105 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6642692E-4 | 1.123571E-4 | 1.2235598E-4 | 1.088992 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004452125 | 0.0013670911 | 0.0013870636 | 1.0146096 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.015318711 | 0.015338405 | 1.0012856 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.511146E-5 | 2.6033742E-5 | 3.603348E-5 | 1.3841069 | 1.0E-5 | 3.647124E-4 | 1.1156841E-4 | 1.215673E-4 | 1.0896211 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004431336 | 0.0013575008 | 0.0013774737 | 1.0147129 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04344007 | 0.015215599 | 0.015235295 | 1.0012945 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.4985084E-5 | 2.5962658E-5 | 3.59624E-5 | 1.3851585 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6417096E-4 | 1.112638E-4 | 1.2126269E-4 | 1.0898665 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044247704 | 0.0013537968 | 0.0013737697 | 1.0147532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043376986 | 0.01517718 | 0.015196877 | 1.0012977 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.462618E-5 | 2.578644E-5 | 3.5786183E-5 | 1.3877907 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6263323E-4 | 1.10508634E-4 | 1.2050753E-4 | 1.0904807 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004406125 | 0.0013446141 | 0.0013645871 | 1.0148542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043197807 | 0.015079509 | 0.015099207 | 1.0013063 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.42337E-5 | 2.5678472E-5 | 3.5678215E-5 | 1.3894213 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6095164E-4 | 1.10045956E-4 | 1.2004485E-4 | 1.0908611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004385734 | 0.0013389878 | 0.001358961 | 1.0149167 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043001823 | 0.015018186 | 0.015037885 | 1.0013117 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.365989E-5 | 2.5477473E-5 | 3.5477216E-5 | 1.3924936 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5849313E-4 | 1.09184606E-4 | 1.1918352E-4 | 1.091578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004355922 | 0.0013285137 | 0.0013484872 | 1.0150344 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04271523 | 0.014907785 | 0.014927487 | 1.0013216 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.30936E-5 | 2.5233829E-5 | 3.5233577E-5 | 1.3962834 | 1.0E-5 | 3.560668E-4 | 1.08140506E-4 | 1.18139425E-4 | 1.0924623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004326499 | 0.0013158172 | 0.001335791 | 1.0151796 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042432297 | 0.014776129 | 0.014795833 | 1.0013335 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.041264E-5 | 2.4908932E-5 | 3.4908684E-5 | 1.4014524 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4458007E-4 | 1.0674821E-4 | 1.1674714E-4 | 1.0936683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041871946 | 0.0012988863 | 0.0013188603 | 1.0153778 | 2.0E-5 | 0.041091725 | 0.014592257 | 0.014611966 | 1.0013506 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.8427016E-5 | 2.4318344E-5 | 3.4318102E-5 | 1.4112022 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3607247E-4 | 1.04217324E-4 | 1.1421628E-4 | 1.0959433 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004084008 | 0.0012681091 | 0.0012880837 | 1.0157515 | 2.0E-5 | 0.040097635 | 0.014268162 | 0.014287877 | 1.0013818 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.721087E-5 | 2.4098117E-5 | 3.4097877E-5 | 1.4149601 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3086175E-4 | 1.0327357E-4 | 1.1327254E-4 | 1.0968202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004020803 | 0.0012566322 | 0.001276607 | 1.0158956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03948827 | 0.014149121 | 0.014168838 | 1.0013936 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.3536525E-5 | 2.2142272E-5 | 3.2142052E-5 | 1.4516149 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1511846E-4 | 9.4892006E-5 | 1.04891056E-4 | 1.1053729 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038298194 | 0.0011546992 | 0.0011746762 | 1.0173005 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037644852 | 0.013070357 | 0.0130900955 | 1.0015101 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.806207E-5 | 1.984817E-5 | 2.9847972E-5 | 1.5038148 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9166197E-4 | 8.506082E-5 | 9.5059964E-5 | 1.117553 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035452035 | 0.0010351246 | 0.001055104 | 1.0193013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.034891766 | 0.011772469 | 0.011792233 | 1.0016788 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6731416E-5 | 1.5014718E-5 | 2.5014568E-5 | 1.6660032 | 1.0E-5 | 2.43112E-4 | 6.43472E-5 | 7.4346564E-5 | 1.1553969 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029558712 | 7.831458E-4 | 8.031301E-4 | 1.0255181 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02916862 | 0.008957274 | 0.008977095 | 1.0022128 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.946994E-5 | 1.4021169E-5 | 2.4021028E-5 | 1.7131974 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1199681E-4 | 6.0089336E-5 | 7.008874E-5 | 1.1664089 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002578006 | 7.313423E-4 | 7.5132767E-4 | 1.027327 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02548303 | 0.008343585 | 0.008363418 | 1.002377 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9718198E-5 | 1.37270035E-5 | 2.3726867E-5 | 1.728481 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7020974E-4 | 5.882869E-5 | 6.88281E-5 | 1.169975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020703338 | 7.1600405E-4 | 7.359898E-4 | 1.0279129 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020511515 | 0.008133596 | 0.008153433 | 1.0024389 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4115114E-5 | 1.284498E-5 | 2.2844852E-5 | 1.7785043 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0334639E-4 | 5.5048753E-5 | 6.50482E-5 | 1.1816472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001257516 | 6.700126E-4 | 6.899992E-4 | 1.0298302 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012504238 | 0.0075178915 | 0.0075377407 | 1.0026404 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.7756569E-5 | 1.2004813E-5 | 2.2004693E-5 | 1.8329892 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6097356E-5 | 5.1448184E-5 | 6.144767E-5 | 1.1943604 | 1.0E-5 | 9.260915E-4 | 6.2620174E-4 | 6.4618926E-4 | 1.0319186 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009222416 | 0.0069794226 | 0.006999283 | 1.0028455 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.3159258E-5 | 1.0249791E-5 | 2.0249689E-5 | 1.9756197 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6395602E-5 | 4.3926935E-5 | 5.3926495E-5 | 1.2276407 | 1.0E-5 | 6.864001E-4 | 5.3467933E-4 | 5.5466866E-4 | 1.0373856 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0068428386 | 0.005960505 | 0.005980386 | 1.0033355 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.635426E-6 | 5.7684224E-6 | 5.7684224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.700844E-5 | 2.4721578E-5 | 2.4721578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5048463E-4 | 3.009437E-4 | 3.009437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004495725 | 0.00340917 | 0.00340917 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.1618333E-7 | 8.1618333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 3.497924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.258641E-5 | 4.258641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 5.0070725E-4 | 5.0070725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.655038E-5 | 6.655038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8519004E-4 | 2.8519004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003467551 | 0.0034775164 | 1.0028739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02591553 | 0.03423714 | 0.0342468 | 1.000282 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.655038E-5 | 6.655038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8519004E-4 | 2.8519004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003467551 | 0.0034775164 | 1.0028739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02591553 | 0.03423714 | 0.0342468 | 1.000282 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.1085234E-5 | 3.1085234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3321587E-4 | 1.3321587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016208735 | 0.0016308574 | 1.0061595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012509781 | 0.016123667 | 0.016133506 | 1.0006102 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2441678E-5 | 2.2441678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.617549E-5 | 9.617549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011704507 | 0.001180439 | 1.0085337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116728395 | 0.011682723 | 1.0008467 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2441678E-5 | 2.2441678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.617549E-5 | 9.617549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011704507 | 0.001180439 | 1.0085337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116728395 | 0.011682723 | 1.0008467 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9509085E-5 | 1.9509085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3608065E-5 | 8.3608065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010175928 | 0.0010275827 | 1.0098171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0078909 | 0.010159189 | 0.010169087 | 1.0009743 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.604258E-6 | 8.604258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6874902E-5 | 3.6874902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4886518E-4 | 4.4886518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0044968096 | 0.0044968096 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.536629E-6 | 8.536629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6585072E-5 | 3.6585072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.453379E-4 | 4.453379E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044616447 | 0.0044616447 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.382879E-6 | 8.382879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.592616E-5 | 3.592616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.373189E-4 | 4.373189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034261728 | 0.004381707 | 0.004381707 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.055477E-6 | 8.055477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4523047E-5 | 3.4523047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.202427E-4 | 4.202427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0042114053 | 0.0042114053 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.686939E-6 | 7.686939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.294364E-5 | 3.294364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2002592E-4 | 4.0102057E-4 | 4.0102057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0040196977 | 0.0040196977 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.1963914E-6 | 7.1963914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0841344E-5 | 3.0841344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7543412E-4 | 3.7543412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037646967 | 0.0037646967 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.4038665E-6 | 5.4038665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.3159246E-5 | 2.3159246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.8193142E-4 | 2.8193142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028318772 | 0.0028318772 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.745487E-6 | 2.745487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1766321E-5 | 1.1766321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.432457E-4 | 1.432457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014413489 | 0.0014413489 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.338522E-6 | 2.338522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 1.00222005E-5 | 1.00222005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2201356E-4 | 1.2201356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012281552 | 0.0012281552 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1977187E-6 | 2.1977187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.418761E-6 | 9.418761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1466748E-4 | 1.1466748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011544873 | 0.0011544873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.9017974E-6 | 1.9017974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.150535E-6 | 8.150535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.922833E-5 | 9.922833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001199845 | 9.999514E-4 | 9.999514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3680157E-6 | 1.3680157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.8629116E-6 | 5.8629116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.137865E-5 | 7.137865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.212817E-4 | 7.212817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.5902525E-7 | 8.5902525E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6815316E-6 | 3.6815316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.4821747E-5 | 4.4821747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.5345482E-4 | 4.5345482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.8447564E-7 | 3.8447564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6477518E-6 | 1.6477518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 2.0061203E-5 | 2.0061203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 2.022119E-4 | 2.022119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.451328E-8 | 3.451328E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4791406E-7 | 1.4791406E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.8008528E-6 | 1.8008528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.82092E-5 | 1.82092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
La Panza 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7188014E-6 | 4.7188014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0223288E-5 | 2.0223288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4619268E-4 | 2.4619268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.002459394 | 0.0024693694 | 1.0040561 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7188014E-6 | 4.7188014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0223288E-5 | 2.0223288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4619268E-4 | 2.4619268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.002459394 | 0.0024693694 | 1.0040561 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7188014E-6 | 4.7188014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0223288E-5 | 2.0223288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4619268E-4 | 2.4619268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.002459394 | 0.0024693694 | 1.0040561 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7188014E-6 | 4.7188014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0223288E-5 | 2.0223288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4619268E-4 | 2.4619268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.002459394 | 0.0024693694 | 1.0040561 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7188014E-6 | 4.7188014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0223288E-5 | 2.0223288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4619268E-4 | 2.4619268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.002459394 | 0.0024693694 | 1.0040561 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.5016063E-6 | 2.5016063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0721128E-5 | 1.0721128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.305223E-4 | 1.305223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013044948 | 0.0013144817 | 1.0076559 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.5016063E-6 | 2.5016063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0721128E-5 | 1.0721128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.305223E-4 | 1.305223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013044948 | 0.0013144817 | 1.0076559 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5108508E-6 | 1.5155565E-6 | 1.5155565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4750584E-6 | 6.4952264E-6 | 6.4952264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8830984E-5 | 7.907662E-5 | 7.907662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.880303E-4 | 7.9049566E-4 | 8.0048776E-4 | 1.0126402 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3865837E-6 | 1.3894148E-6 | 1.3894148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.942488E-6 | 5.954622E-6 | 5.954622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.234739E-5 | 7.249521E-5 | 7.249521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.232384E-4 | 7.247254E-4 | 7.3471817E-4 | 1.0137883 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.826583E-7 | 9.804951E-7 | 9.804951E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2113857E-6 | 4.2021156E-6 | 4.2021156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1272415E-5 | 5.1159608E-5 | 5.1159608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.126059E-4 | 5.114837E-4 | 5.214786E-4 | 1.019541 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.7797646E-7 | 6.7185766E-7 | 6.7185766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9056102E-6 | 2.879387E-6 | 2.879387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.537523E-5 | 3.5056004E-5 | 3.5056004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5369597E-4 | 3.5050785E-4 | 3.6050435E-4 | 1.02852 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.4979826E-7 | 3.395434E-7 | 3.395434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4991346E-6 | 1.4551852E-6 | 1.4551852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825181E-5 | 1.7716748E-5 | 1.7716748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825031E-4 | 1.7715452E-4 | 1.8715275E-4 | 1.0564378 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5088332E-7 | 2.3911193E-7 | 2.3911193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0752137E-6 | 1.0247651E-6 | 1.0247651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3090649E-5 | 1.2476452E-5 | 1.2476452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089878E-4 | 1.2475837E-4 | 1.3475712E-4 | 1.080145 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0159086E-7 | 8.721915E-8 | 8.721915E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3538932E-7 | 3.737963E-7 | 3.737963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300852E-6 | 4.550961E-6 | 4.550961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3007258E-5 | 4.5508717E-5 | 4.5508717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5006252E-8 | 1.9652493E-8 | 1.9652493E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5002678E-7 | 8.4224965E-8 | 8.4224965E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265745E-6 | 1.0254386E-6 | 1.0254386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265595E-5 | 1.025434E-5 | 1.025434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.592274E-8 | 1.0424432E-8 | 1.0424432E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1109746E-7 | 4.4676135E-8 | 4.4676135E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526106E-6 | 5.439318E-7 | 5.439318E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526024E-5 | 5.439306E-6 | 5.439306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.9016717E-8 | 5.363858E-9 | 5.363858E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.150022E-8 | 2.2987962E-8 | 2.2987962E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922647E-7 | 2.7987838E-7 | 2.7987838E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922603E-6 | 2.7987805E-6 | 2.7987805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.17738495E-8 | 1.2915403E-9 | 1.2915403E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0459356E-8 | 5.535172E-9 | 5.535172E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1434247E-7 | 6.7390715E-8 | 6.7390715E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.143408E-6 | 6.73907E-7 | 6.73907E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.489079E-9 | 2.1474011E-10 | 2.1474011E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3524624E-8 | 9.203138E-10 | 9.203138E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641225E-7 | 1.120482E-8 | 1.120482E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641189E-6 | 1.1204819E-7 | 1.1204819E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5081048E-9 | 7.201795E-11 | 7.201795E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0749021E-8 | 3.0864789E-10 | 3.0864789E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086932E-7 | 3.7577865E-9 | 3.7577865E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086925E-6 | 3.7577866E-8 | 3.7577866E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.670599E-5 | 1.670599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.159527E-5 | 7.159527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7134744E-4 | 8.7134744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008681692 | 0.008691605 | 1.0011419 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.670599E-5 | 1.670599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.159527E-5 | 7.159527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7134744E-4 | 8.7134744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008681692 | 0.008691605 | 1.0011419 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.670599E-5 | 1.670599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.159527E-5 | 7.159527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7134744E-4 | 8.7134744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008681692 | 0.008691605 | 1.0011419 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1896758E-5 | 1.1896758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0985145E-5 | 5.0985145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.205733E-4 | 6.205733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061890124 | 0.0061989506 | 1.0016057 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1896758E-5 | 1.1896758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0985145E-5 | 5.0985145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.205733E-4 | 6.205733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061890124 | 0.0061989506 | 1.0016057 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0627341E-5 | 1.0627341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.5544977E-5 | 4.5544977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5437395E-4 | 5.5437395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048150513 | 0.00553041 | 0.0055403546 | 1.0017982 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.165958E-6 | 9.165958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.9282106E-5 | 3.9282106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7815865E-4 | 4.7815865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0047716955 | 0.0047716955 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.413236E-6 | 8.413236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6056248E-5 | 3.6056248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3890005E-4 | 4.3890005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003753043 | 0.004380702 | 0.004380702 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.847836E-6 | 7.847836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.363317E-5 | 3.363317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0941048E-4 | 4.0941048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003487206 | 0.00408692 | 0.00408692 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1358936E-6 | 7.1358936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.058206E-5 | 3.058206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7227638E-4 | 3.7227638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031477278 | 0.003716866 | 0.003716866 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0845756E-6 | 5.0845756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1790866E-5 | 2.1790866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.6527303E-4 | 2.6527303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021547892 | 0.002649717 | 0.002649717 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.635903E-6 | 4.635903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9868014E-5 | 1.9868014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4186773E-4 | 2.4186773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024161956 | 0.0024161956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.1604812E-6 | 4.1604812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7830522E-5 | 1.7830522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1706647E-4 | 2.1706647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021686929 | 0.0021686929 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6325553E-6 | 3.6325553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.556801E-5 | 1.556801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8952551E-4 | 1.8952551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018937842 | 0.0018937842 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8907127E-6 | 2.8907127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.23887185E-5 | 1.23887185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5082365E-4 | 1.5082365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015073544 | 0.0015073544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5145861E-6 | 1.5145861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.491074E-6 | 6.491074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.902721E-5 | 7.902721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.901138E-4 | 7.901138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6046433E-7 | 2.6046433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162754E-6 | 1.1162754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590597E-5 | 1.3590597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3590047E-4 | 1.3590047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.742716E-6 | 1.4742669E-5 | 3.1084864 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.03258E-5 | 3.0325597E-5 | 1.4919755 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4744406E-4 | 2.5744157E-4 | 1.0404031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.00247223 | 0.0024822054 | 1.0040349 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.742716E-6 | 1.4742669E-5 | 3.1084864 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.03258E-5 | 3.0325597E-5 | 1.4919755 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4744406E-4 | 2.5744157E-4 | 1.0404031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.00247223 | 0.0024822054 | 1.0040349 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.788347E-6 | 2.788347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.195001E-5 | 1.195001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4548274E-4 | 1.4548274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014539809 | 0.0014539809 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.788347E-6 | 2.788347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.195001E-5 | 1.195001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4548274E-4 | 1.4548274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014539809 | 0.0014539809 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3237321E-6 | 2.3237321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.958818E-6 | 9.958818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.2124267E-4 | 1.2124267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012118447 | 0.0012118447 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.3056064E-6 | 2.3056064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.881138E-6 | 9.881138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.20297016E-4 | 1.20297016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0012023983 | 0.0012023983 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.6025215E-6 | 1.6025215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.8679324E-6 | 6.8679324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.361405E-5 | 8.361405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.358447E-4 | 8.358447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.3833725E-6 | 1.3833725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.9287263E-6 | 5.9287263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.2179995E-5 | 7.2179995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.215794E-4 | 7.215794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2928031E-6 | 1.2928031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.5405735E-6 | 5.5405735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.745453E-5 | 6.745453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.7435397E-4 | 6.7435397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.2466019E-6 | 1.2466019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.3425692E-6 | 5.3425692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.5043976E-5 | 6.5043976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.502625E-4 | 6.502625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.0370429E-6 | 1.0370429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.4444623E-6 | 4.4444623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.411009E-5 | 5.411009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.4097926E-4 | 5.4097926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.5950916E-7 | 8.5950916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.6836059E-6 | 3.6836059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.4847067E-5 | 4.4847067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.483888E-4 | 4.483888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 6.031904E-7 | 6.031904E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.5850995E-6 | 2.5850995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1473202E-5 | 3.1473202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.1469413E-4 | 3.1469413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.20513E-5 | 4.8726968E-5 | 4.8726968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8020741E-4 | 2.0881601E-4 | 2.0881601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021918174 | 0.002539882 | 0.002539882 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021703249 | 0.02515977 | 0.025169518 | 1.0003874 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.20513E-5 | 4.8726968E-5 | 4.8726968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8020741E-4 | 2.0881601E-4 | 2.0881601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021918174 | 0.002539882 | 0.002539882 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021703249 | 0.02515977 | 0.025169518 | 1.0003874 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.4740439E-5 | 2.4740439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0034139E-4 | 1.0602669E-4 | 1.0602669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0012901968 | 0.0012901968 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012142851 | 0.012835726 | 0.012845598 | 1.000769 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.4740439E-5 | 2.4740439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0034139E-4 | 1.0602669E-4 | 1.0602669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0012901968 | 0.0012901968 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012142851 | 0.012835726 | 0.012845598 | 1.000769 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.6598056E-5 | 1.6598056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 7.113281E-5 | 7.113281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.657346E-4 | 8.657346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0087768035 | 0.008627278 | 0.008637191 | 1.001149 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.6598056E-5 | 1.6598056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 7.113281E-5 | 7.113281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.657346E-4 | 8.657346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0087768035 | 0.008627278 | 0.008637191 | 1.001149 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1910969E-5 | 1.0550663E-5 | 1.0550663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1046012E-5 | 4.5216424E-5 | 4.5216424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.21308E-4 | 5.5038405E-4 | 5.5038405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061957375 | 0.0054915114 | 0.0055014566 | 1.001811 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.1486E-6 | 7.2175894E-6 | 7.2175894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9207694E-5 | 3.093218E-5 | 3.093218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7724912E-4 | 3.7653805E-4 | 3.7653805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047622547 | 0.0037593814 | 0.0037593814 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.90441E-6 | 5.7416814E-6 | 5.7416814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875604E-5 | 2.4606981E-5 | 2.4606981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235742E-4 | 2.995501E-4 | 2.995501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041159308 | 0.0029915925 | 0.0029915925 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.77015E-6 | 5.595538E-6 | 5.595538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3300217E-5 | 2.3980663E-5 | 2.3980663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0535472E-4 | 2.9192676E-4 | 2.9192676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004046161 | 0.0029155603 | 0.0029155603 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.675798E-6 | 5.4923235E-6 | 5.4923235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.289586E-5 | 2.3538323E-5 | 2.3538323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.004335E-4 | 2.8654266E-4 | 2.8654266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003997127 | 0.002861859 | 0.002861859 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.447814E-6 | 5.251083E-6 | 5.251083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.191881E-5 | 2.2504455E-5 | 2.2504455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8854225E-4 | 2.7395855E-4 | 2.7395855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003878636 | 0.002736333 | 0.002736333 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.128185E-6 | 4.917676E-6 | 4.917676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0549007E-5 | 2.1075592E-5 | 2.1075592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7187067E-4 | 2.565663E-4 | 2.565663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00371249 | 0.00256282 | 0.00256282 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.0913875E-6 | 4.8863303E-6 | 4.8863303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0391306E-5 | 2.0941256E-5 | 2.0941256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6995133E-4 | 2.5493113E-4 | 2.5493113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036933604 | 0.0025465058 | 0.0025465058 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.051521E-6 | 4.8501647E-6 | 4.8501647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0220453E-5 | 2.0786261E-5 | 2.0786261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6787192E-4 | 2.5304453E-4 | 2.5304453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036726352 | 0.0025276828 | 0.0025276828 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.910666E-6 | 4.745504E-6 | 4.745504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9616802E-5 | 2.0337724E-5 | 2.0337724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.605249E-4 | 2.4758483E-4 | 2.4758483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035994058 | 0.0024732086 | 0.0024732086 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.341753E-6 | 4.3179875E-6 | 4.3179875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7178658E-5 | 1.8505536E-5 | 1.8505536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3084993E-4 | 2.2528277E-4 | 2.2528277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033035777 | 0.0022506597 | 0.0022506597 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.9205916E-6 | 2.2507763E-6 | 2.2507763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6802427E-5 | 9.646153E-6 | 9.646153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0455034E-4 | 1.1743633E-4 | 1.1743633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020436216 | 0.001173816 | 0.001173816 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.0846227E-7 | 8.5104226E-8 | 8.5104226E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9340944E-7 | 3.6473236E-7 | 3.6473236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0877206E-5 | 4.4406106E-6 | 4.4406106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0876673E-4 | 4.4405548E-5 | 4.4405548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4969806E-9 | 2.2738487E-9 | 2.2738487E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9272775E-8 | 9.745066E-9 | 9.745066E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464601E-7 | 1.1864618E-7 | 1.1864618E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464577E-6 | 1.1864612E-6 | 1.1864612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Laguna Salada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6465593E-5 | 4.6483863E-5 | 4.6483863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9912305E-4 | 1.9920224E-4 | 1.9920224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024216278 | 0.0024226657 | 0.0024226657 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02395408 | 0.024025995 | 0.024035756 | 1.0004063 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.982297E-5 | 3.735915E-5 | 3.735915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.706587E-4 | 1.6010145E-4 | 1.6010145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020757897 | 0.001947585 | 0.001947585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020565065 | 0.019370446 | 0.019380253 | 1.0005063 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.6067784E-5 | 3.2705335E-5 | 3.2705335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5456705E-4 | 1.4015877E-4 | 1.4015877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018802295 | 0.0017051884 | 0.0017051884 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018644003 | 0.017007079 | 0.01701691 | 1.000578 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2859112E-5 | 2.894255E-5 | 2.894255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4081717E-4 | 1.2403412E-4 | 1.2403412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017131006 | 0.001509159 | 0.001509159 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016999546 | 0.015070689 | 0.015070689 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9132116E-5 | 2.4935809E-5 | 2.4935809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2484594E-4 | 1.0686389E-4 | 1.0686389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015189396 | 0.001300379 | 0.001300379 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015085992 | 0.012998138 | 0.012998138 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.7075037E-5 | 2.2902675E-5 | 2.2902675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1603071E-4 | 9.8151126E-5 | 9.8151126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014117584 | 0.0011944235 | 0.0011944235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014028233 | 0.011946277 | 0.011946277 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2367465E-5 | 1.8635004E-5 | 1.8635004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5857045E-5 | 7.986232E-5 | 7.986232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011664346 | 9.719727E-4 | 9.719727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011603311 | 0.009730581 | 0.009730581 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9458053E-5 | 1.5970358E-5 | 1.5970358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.338899E-5 | 6.8443056E-5 | 6.8443056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001014788 | 8.330563E-4 | 8.330563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010101665 | 0.008345439 | 0.008345439 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0767866E-5 | 9.196893E-6 | 9.196893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.614718E-5 | 3.941505E-5 | 3.941505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6169706E-4 | 4.7984143E-4 | 4.7984143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056027942 | 0.004815596 | 0.004815596 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.1384765E-6 | 1.7925354E-6 | 1.7925354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.164866E-6 | 7.682274E-6 | 7.682274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1157654E-4 | 9.352806E-5 | 9.352806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011152053 | 9.3492534E-4 | 9.3492534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.0952946E-6 | 1.7504613E-6 | 1.7504613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.979802E-6 | 7.5019575E-6 | 7.5019575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0932361E-4 | 9.133289E-5 | 9.133289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010926984 | 9.129918E-4 | 9.129918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7887576E-6 | 1.4510863E-6 | 1.4510863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.666081E-6 | 6.2189283E-6 | 6.2189283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.333054E-5 | 7.571313E-5 | 7.571313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.329135E-4 | 7.569038E-4 | 7.569038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.723109E-7 | 7.142754E-7 | 7.142754E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.16704E-6 | 3.0611777E-6 | 3.0611777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.073253E-5 | 3.726937E-5 | 3.726937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.072095E-4 | 3.7264745E-4 | 3.7264745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.977826E-6 | 9.977826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.276146E-5 | 4.276146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.205052E-4 | 5.3049996E-4 | 1.0192021 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051937317 | 0.0052036797 | 1.0019155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.977826E-6 | 9.977826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.276146E-5 | 4.276146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.205052E-4 | 5.3049996E-4 | 1.0192021 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051937317 | 0.0052036797 | 1.0019155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.977826E-6 | 9.977826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.276146E-5 | 4.276146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.205052E-4 | 5.3049996E-4 | 1.0192021 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051937317 | 0.0052036797 | 1.0019155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.0974805E-6 | 8.0974805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.4703062E-5 | 3.4703062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2243415E-4 | 4.2243415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00921966 | 0.0042169355 | 0.0042169355 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.0974805E-6 | 8.0974805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.4703062E-5 | 3.4703062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2243415E-4 | 4.2243415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00921966 | 0.0042169355 | 0.0042169355 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.6108155E-6 | 6.6108155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8331786E-5 | 2.8331786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.448896E-4 | 3.448896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034440088 | 0.0034440088 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.6108155E-6 | 6.6108155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8331786E-5 | 2.8331786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.448896E-4 | 3.448896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034440088 | 0.0034440088 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.428471E-5 | 5.4765537E-6 | 5.4765537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.121875E-5 | 2.3470755E-5 | 2.3470755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.450834E-4 | 2.8572293E-4 | 2.8572293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007425902 | 0.0028539447 | 0.0028539447 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3490684E-5 | 5.0794974E-6 | 5.0794974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7815934E-5 | 2.1769116E-5 | 2.1769116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0368167E-4 | 2.6501063E-4 | 2.6501063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007014576 | 0.002647328 | 0.002647328 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2235421E-5 | 4.2949987E-6 | 4.2949987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2436466E-5 | 1.8407029E-5 | 1.8407029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.38227E-4 | 2.2408614E-4 | 2.2408614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063639707 | 0.002238957 | 0.002238957 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1009851E-5 | 3.7240159E-6 | 3.7240159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7184225E-5 | 1.595999E-5 | 1.595999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.743165E-4 | 1.94299E-4 | 1.94299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005728345 | 0.0019416299 | 0.0019416299 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.726373E-6 | 3.216261E-6 | 3.216261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.168379E-5 | 1.37839215E-5 | 1.37839215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.07382E-4 | 1.678097E-4 | 1.678097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050622504 | 0.001677162 | 0.001677162 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.9335127E-6 | 1.1543822E-6 | 1.1543822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6857803E-5 | 4.9473433E-6 | 4.9473433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0522442E-4 | 6.0232298E-5 | 6.0232298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00205035 | 6.021657E-4 | 6.021657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.661632E-6 | 6.9248995E-7 | 6.9248995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14069435E-5 | 2.9678108E-6 | 2.9678108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3887069E-4 | 3.6132507E-5 | 3.6132507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013878393 | 3.6126736E-4 | 3.6126736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.4727434E-7 | 5.4727434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3454593E-6 | 2.3454593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8555598E-5 | 2.8555598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8551984E-4 | 2.8551984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6100758E-7 | 3.6100758E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5471744E-6 | 1.5471744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.883669E-5 | 1.883669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.883514E-4 | 1.883514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.142478E-8 | 7.142478E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0610616E-7 | 3.0610616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7268378E-6 | 3.7268378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7267913E-5 | 3.7267913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.5296023E-5 | 4.529567E-5 | 1.283308 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5125991E-4 | 1.612584E-4 | 1.0661013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018400358 | 0.0018500175 | 1.0054246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018988231 | 0.01899804 | 1.0005167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.5296023E-5 | 4.529567E-5 | 1.283308 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5125991E-4 | 1.612584E-4 | 1.0661013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018400358 | 0.0018500175 | 1.0054246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018988231 | 0.01899804 | 1.0005167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.5296023E-5 | 4.529567E-5 | 1.283308 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5125991E-4 | 1.612584E-4 | 1.0661013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018400358 | 0.0018500175 | 1.0054246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018988231 | 0.01899804 | 1.0005167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.5296023E-5 | 4.529567E-5 | 1.283308 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5125991E-4 | 1.612584E-4 | 1.0661013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018400358 | 0.0018500175 | 1.0054246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018988231 | 0.01899804 | 1.0005167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.5217396E-5 | 4.5217042E-5 | 1.2839406 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.5092298E-4 | 1.6092147E-4 | 1.066249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.001835941 | 0.0018459227 | 1.0054368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018948028 | 0.018957838 | 1.0005177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.5217396E-5 | 4.5217042E-5 | 1.2839406 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.5092298E-4 | 1.6092147E-4 | 1.066249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.001835941 | 0.0018459227 | 1.0054368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018948028 | 0.018957838 | 1.0005177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.5180692E-5 | 4.518034E-5 | 1.2842368 | 1.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.5076569E-4 | 1.6076418E-4 | 1.066318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0018340293 | 0.001844011 | 1.0054425 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.01892926 | 0.01893907 | 1.0005183 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.5166227E-5 | 4.5165874E-5 | 1.2843537 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.5070371E-4 | 1.607022E-4 | 1.0663453 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0018332761 | 0.0018432578 | 1.0054448 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.018921867 | 0.018931678 | 1.0005184 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.5135196E-5 | 4.5134842E-5 | 1.2846049 | 1.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.5057073E-4 | 1.6056922E-4 | 1.066404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0018316598 | 0.0018416415 | 1.0054495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.018905984 | 0.018915795 | 1.0005189 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.5095505E-5 | 4.5095156E-5 | 1.2849268 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.5040067E-4 | 1.6039915E-4 | 1.0664791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0018295927 | 0.0018395744 | 1.0054557 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.01888567 | 0.01889548 | 1.0005195 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.4977194E-5 | 4.497684E-5 | 1.2858906 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4989366E-4 | 1.5989215E-4 | 1.0667039 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0018234304 | 0.0018334122 | 1.0054742 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.018825112 | 0.018834922 | 1.0005212 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.4933386E-5 | 4.4933036E-5 | 1.2862492 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4970593E-4 | 1.5970443E-4 | 1.0667876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 0.0018211487 | 0.0018311305 | 1.005481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.018802667 | 0.01881248 | 1.0005219 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.486735E-5 | 4.4867E-5 | 1.2867913 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4942295E-4 | 1.5942146E-4 | 1.0669141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 0.0018177092 | 0.001827691 | 1.0054914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018768823 | 0.018778635 | 1.0005229 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.4754794E-5 | 4.4754448E-5 | 1.2877201 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4894064E-4 | 1.5893915E-4 | 1.0671308 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0018118467 | 0.0018218287 | 1.0055093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.018710978 | 0.01872079 | 1.0005244 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.470188E-5 | 4.470153E-5 | 1.2881589 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4871387E-4 | 1.5871238E-4 | 1.0672332 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0018090905 | 0.0018190724 | 1.0055176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.018683773 | 0.018693587 | 1.0005252 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.450932E-5 | 4.4508975E-5 | 1.2897668 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4788871E-4 | 1.5788723E-4 | 1.0676084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017990608 | 0.0018090429 | 1.0055485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.018583713 | 0.018593527 | 1.0005281 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.3010074E-5 | 3.3010074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.4146409E-4 | 1.4146409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001713488 | 0.0017209668 | 0.0017209668 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017003361 | 0.017792117 | 0.017792117 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 3.0083878E-5 | 3.0083878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2892454E-4 | 1.2892454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015685273 | 0.0015685273 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014957713 | 0.016269466 | 0.016269466 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.7340871E-5 | 2.7340871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.17169904E-4 | 1.17169904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013010362 | 0.001425611 | 0.001425611 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012934455 | 0.014833968 | 0.014833968 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.2233573E-5 | 2.2233573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.528326E-5 | 9.528326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011594573 | 0.0011594573 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010320415 | 0.012155 | 0.012155 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.65231E-5 | 1.65231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6996516E-5 | 7.0811366E-5 | 7.0811366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.617881E-4 | 8.617881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00812392 | 0.009118915 | 0.009118915 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.64511E-6 | 8.64511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.7049947E-5 | 3.7049947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.509903E-4 | 4.509903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052278144 | 0.004843776 | 0.004843776 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.6652706E-6 | 1.6652706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 7.1368545E-6 | 7.1368545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.6887776E-5 | 8.6887776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 0.0010051953 | 0.0010051953 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.8818231E-7 | 3.8818231E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.6636374E-6 | 1.6636374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.0254602E-5 | 2.0254602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.4317011E-4 | 2.4317011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.772457E-6 | 8.772457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7595728E-5 | 3.7595728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5763666E-4 | 4.5763666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004520337 | 0.004567487 | 0.0045774416 | 1.0021794 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.772457E-6 | 8.772457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7595728E-5 | 3.7595728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5763666E-4 | 4.5763666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004520337 | 0.004567487 | 0.0045774416 | 1.0021794 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.772457E-6 | 8.772457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7595728E-5 | 3.7595728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5763666E-4 | 4.5763666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004520337 | 0.004567487 | 0.0045774416 | 1.0021794 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.305173E-6 | 6.305173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.7021899E-5 | 2.7021899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2894337E-4 | 3.2894337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003284684 | 0.003284768 | 0.0032947352 | 1.0030344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.134012E-6 | 6.134012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.6288364E-5 | 2.6288364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.200152E-4 | 3.200152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032033534 | 0.0031957433 | 0.0032057115 | 1.0031191 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.156168E-6 | 5.156168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.209768E-5 | 2.209768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.69007E-4 | 2.69007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027121378 | 0.0026869709 | 0.002696944 | 1.0037117 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.4293415E-6 | 4.4293415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.8982759E-5 | 1.8982759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.3109137E-4 | 2.3109137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0023086509 | 0.0023186277 | 1.0043216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.832667E-6 | 3.832667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6425618E-5 | 1.6425618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9996421E-4 | 1.9996421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002055947 | 0.0019979707 | 0.0020079508 | 1.0049951 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.3286585E-6 | 3.3286585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4265605E-5 | 1.4265605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.7367052E-4 | 1.7367052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018004322 | 0.0017354699 | 0.0017454525 | 1.0057521 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.9238067E-6 | 2.9238067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.2530542E-5 | 1.2530542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5254926E-4 | 1.5254926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015245631 | 0.0015345479 | 1.0065492 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.5031354E-6 | 2.5031354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0727683E-5 | 1.0727683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.3060225E-4 | 1.3060225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013820052 | 0.00130537 | 0.0013153569 | 1.0076506 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.043017E-6 | 2.043017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.755761E-6 | 8.755761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.0659671E-4 | 1.0659671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011493203 | 0.0010655689 | 0.0010755582 | 1.0093746 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.8495744E-7 | 8.8495744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.792669E-6 | 3.792669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.617478E-5 | 4.617478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.6171393E-4 | 4.7170933E-4 | 1.0216484 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.917442E-7 | 4.917442E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 2.1074734E-6 | 2.1074734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.5658186E-5 | 2.5658186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.5658694E-4 | 2.5658694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.299197E-7 | 3.299197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.4139408E-6 | 1.4139408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.7214594E-5 | 1.7214594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.721655E-4 | 1.721655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.7549265E-7 | 2.7549265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.1806824E-6 | 1.1806824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.4374713E-5 | 1.4374713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.437684E-4 | 1.437684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.2334419E-7 | 2.2334419E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 9.571891E-7 | 9.571891E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.1653715E-5 | 1.1653715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.1655638E-4 | 1.1655638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 5.4599813E-8 | 5.4599813E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 2.339992E-7 | 2.339992E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.8489364E-6 | 2.8489364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.8498445E-5 | 2.8498445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 1.2712423E-8 | 1.2712423E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 5.4481823E-8 | 5.4481823E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 6.63316E-7 | 6.63316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 6.63964E-6 | 6.63964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 4.451027E-9 | 4.451027E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.907583E-8 | 1.907583E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 2.3224817E-7 | 2.3224817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 2.3283023E-6 | 2.3283023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 3.6546877E-10 | 3.6546877E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 1.5662932E-9 | 1.5662932E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 1.9069603E-8 | 1.9069603E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 1.9539549E-7 | 1.9539549E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 1.1980472E-10 | 1.1980472E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 5.1344884E-10 | 5.1344884E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 6.2512395E-9 | 6.2512395E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 6.38577E-8 | 6.38577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6800393E-5 | 3.6800393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5770979E-4 | 1.5770979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001919012 | 0.001919012 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019082017 | 0.019091826 | 1.000514 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6800393E-5 | 3.6800393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5770979E-4 | 1.5770979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001919012 | 0.001919012 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019082017 | 0.019091826 | 1.000514 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6800393E-5 | 3.6800393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5770979E-4 | 1.5770979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001919012 | 0.001919012 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019082017 | 0.019091826 | 1.000514 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6800393E-5 | 3.6800393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5770979E-4 | 1.5770979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001919012 | 0.001919012 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019082017 | 0.019091826 | 1.000514 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4861409E-5 | 1.4861409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3690226E-5 | 6.3690226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.751577E-4 | 7.751577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077250903 | 0.0077250903 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4861409E-5 | 1.4861409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3690226E-5 | 6.3690226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.751577E-4 | 7.751577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077250903 | 0.0077250903 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3021918E-5 | 1.3021918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5807035E-5 | 5.5807035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.792406E-4 | 6.792406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067718565 | 0.0067718565 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2638112E-5 | 1.2638112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.416222E-5 | 5.416222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.592272E-4 | 6.592272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00647886 | 0.006572915 | 0.006572915 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2240261E-5 | 1.2240261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2457213E-5 | 5.2457213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.38481E-4 | 6.38481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062912325 | 0.0063666548 | 0.0063666548 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1166003E-5 | 1.1166003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.7853428E-5 | 4.7853428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.8246095E-4 | 5.8246095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058094896 | 0.0058094896 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0589926E-5 | 1.0589926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.5384615E-5 | 4.5384615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.524188E-4 | 5.524188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0055105947 | 0.0055105947 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.9888575E-6 | 9.9888575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.2808693E-5 | 4.2808693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.2107236E-4 | 5.2107236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005198639 | 0.005198639 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.7558765E-6 | 8.7558765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7524653E-5 | 3.7524653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5676794E-4 | 4.5676794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046197 | 0.004558409 | 0.004558409 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5109056E-6 | 7.5109056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2189204E-5 | 3.2189204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.918341E-4 | 3.918341E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039115394 | 0.0039115394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.187847E-6 | 6.187847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.651908E-5 | 2.651908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.228229E-4 | 3.228229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.003223637 | 0.003223637 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4440003E-6 | 4.4440003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9045581E-5 | 1.9045581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3185597E-4 | 2.3185597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023162102 | 0.0023162102 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.301372E-6 | 1.301372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.577297E-6 | 5.577297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.790154E-5 | 6.790154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.788149E-4 | 6.788149E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.614411E-7 | 5.614411E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4061742E-6 | 2.4061742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9294812E-5 | 2.9294812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.929131E-4 | 2.929131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8045084E-8 | 4.8045084E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0590748E-7 | 2.0590748E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5069207E-6 | 2.5069207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5068935E-5 | 2.5068935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Burnt Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1760776E-5 | 1.1760776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.040308E-5 | 5.040308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1361387E-4 | 6.236077E-4 | 1.0162868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0061318595 | 0.006141798 | 1.0016208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1760776E-5 | 1.1760776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.040308E-5 | 5.040308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1361387E-4 | 6.236077E-4 | 1.0162868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0061318595 | 0.006141798 | 1.0016208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1760776E-5 | 1.1760776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.040308E-5 | 5.040308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1361387E-4 | 6.236077E-4 | 1.0162868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0061318595 | 0.006141798 | 1.0016208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1760776E-5 | 1.1760776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.040308E-5 | 5.040308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1361387E-4 | 6.236077E-4 | 1.0162868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0061318595 | 0.006141798 | 1.0016208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1760776E-5 | 1.1760776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.040308E-5 | 5.040308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1361387E-4 | 6.236077E-4 | 1.0162868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0061318595 | 0.006141798 | 1.0016208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.36191375E-5 | 1.008755E-5 | 1.008755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8366426E-5 | 4.3232358E-5 | 4.3232358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.103795E-4 | 5.2635395E-4 | 5.3634867E-4 | 1.0189886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070811296 | 0.0052635395 | 0.005273487 | 1.0018898 | 1.0E-5 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0621965E-5 | 7.0621965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.026308E-4 | 3.026308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036783696 | 0.0036783696 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028357591 | 0.03627183 | 0.036281466 | 1.0002657 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0621965E-5 | 7.0621965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.026308E-4 | 3.026308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036783696 | 0.0036783696 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028357591 | 0.03627183 | 0.036281466 | 1.0002657 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.2004885E-5 | 5.2004885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2285922E-4 | 2.2285922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0027099664 | 0.0027099664 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021759989 | 0.026847247 | 0.026847247 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.2004885E-5 | 5.2004885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2285922E-4 | 2.2285922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0027099664 | 0.0027099664 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021759989 | 0.026847247 | 0.026847247 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.444078E-5 | 4.444078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.9044674E-4 | 1.9044674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0023162486 | 0.0023162486 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019048655 | 0.023005497 | 0.023005497 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0342544E-5 | 4.0342544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7288528E-4 | 1.7288528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0021028684 | 0.0021028684 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017543508 | 0.020919599 | 0.020919599 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9795643E-5 | 3.9795643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.7054174E-4 | 1.7054174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020743902 | 0.0020743902 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017365133 | 0.020640235 | 0.020640235 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8409835E-5 | 3.8409835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6460332E-4 | 1.6460332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016985617 | 0.002002225 | 0.002002225 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016856372 | 0.0199385 | 0.0199385 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.783511E-5 | 3.783511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6214052E-4 | 1.6214052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016780337 | 0.001972295 | 0.001972295 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016654192 | 0.019644381 | 0.019644381 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.7037666E-5 | 3.7037666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5872333E-4 | 1.5872333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019307651 | 0.0019307651 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01638118 | 0.019234786 | 0.019234786 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5939473E-5 | 3.5939473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5401734E-4 | 1.5401734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018735698 | 0.0018735698 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015996104 | 0.018671716 | 0.018671716 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4703204E-5 | 3.4703204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4871966E-4 | 1.4871966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0018091793 | 0.0018091793 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01556781 | 0.018038224 | 0.018038224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1581283E-5 | 3.1581283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3534144E-4 | 1.3534144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016465563 | 0.0016465563 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014481937 | 0.016436381 | 0.016436381 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6996106E-5 | 2.6996106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1569255E-4 | 1.1569255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0014076615 | 0.0014076615 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012712469 | 0.014071834 | 0.014071834 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5472506E-5 | 2.5472506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.091634E-4 | 1.091634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013282686 | 0.0013282686 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012045753 | 0.013285294 | 0.013285294 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2743397E-5 | 2.2743397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.746813E-5 | 9.746813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011860403 | 0.0011860403 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010886264 | 0.011873043 | 0.011873043 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6229029E-5 | 1.6229029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.955117E-5 | 6.955117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.464644E-4 | 8.464644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007854558 | 0.008505501 | 0.008505501 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0899026E-5 | 1.0899026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.670928E-5 | 4.670928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.6853745E-4 | 5.6853745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00517007 | 0.0057418067 | 0.0057418067 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.608232E-6 | 8.608232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.68919E-5 | 3.68919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.4906646E-4 | 4.4906646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004539832 | 0.004539832 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.479929E-6 | 5.479929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3485198E-5 | 2.3485198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8589487E-4 | 2.8589487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028900374 | 0.0028900374 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.1148132E-6 | 2.1148132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.063454E-6 | 9.063454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.10342E-4 | 1.10342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011162217 | 0.0011162217 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.202092E-7 | 3.202092E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3723245E-6 | 1.3723245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.670794E-5 | 1.670794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6919167E-4 | 1.6919167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.891709E-6 | 9.891709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2392407E-5 | 4.2392407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.16016E-4 | 5.260108E-4 | 1.0193692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051623723 | 0.0051723206 | 1.0019271 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.891709E-6 | 9.891709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2392407E-5 | 4.2392407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.16016E-4 | 5.260108E-4 | 1.0193692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051623723 | 0.0051723206 | 1.0019271 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.891709E-6 | 9.891709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2392407E-5 | 4.2392407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.16016E-4 | 5.260108E-4 | 1.0193692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051623723 | 0.0051723206 | 1.0019271 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.891709E-6 | 9.891709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2392407E-5 | 4.2392407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.16016E-4 | 5.260108E-4 | 1.0193692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051623723 | 0.0051723206 | 1.0019271 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.1503138E-6 | 6.1503138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6358228E-5 | 2.6358228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.208652E-4 | 3.208652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0032172878 | 0.0032172878 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.1503138E-6 | 6.1503138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6358228E-5 | 2.6358228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.208652E-4 | 3.208652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0032172878 | 0.0032172878 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.832617E-6 | 5.832617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4996696E-5 | 2.4996696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.042932E-4 | 3.042932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105855 | 0.0030520281 | 0.0030520281 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.125882E-6 | 5.125882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.1967884E-5 | 2.1967884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.6742648E-4 | 2.6742648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026842526 | 0.0026842526 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 5.047746E-6 | 5.047746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.1633019E-5 | 2.1633019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.633505E-4 | 2.633505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026435899 | 0.0026435899 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.7490125E-6 | 4.7490125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0352754E-5 | 2.0352754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.4776687E-4 | 2.4776687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00158057 | 0.00248811 | 0.00248811 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.4272265E-6 | 4.4272265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8973691E-5 | 1.8973691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.3098044E-4 | 2.3098044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001473467 | 0.0023206056 | 0.0023206056 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.1217577E-6 | 4.1217577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7664557E-5 | 1.7664557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1504499E-4 | 2.1504499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021615706 | 0.0021615706 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.7313382E-6 | 3.7313382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5991352E-5 | 1.5991352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9467752E-4 | 1.9467752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019582927 | 0.0019582927 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.2879066E-6 | 3.2879066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.4090953E-5 | 1.4090953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.71544E-4 | 1.71544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017274023 | 0.0017274023 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.8761215E-6 | 2.8761215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.2326177E-5 | 1.2326177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.5006102E-4 | 1.5006102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0015130097 | 0.0015130097 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.4743545E-6 | 2.4743545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.06043335E-5 | 1.06043335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.2910021E-4 | 1.2910021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0013037032 | 0.0013037032 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9492618E-6 | 1.9492618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.353953E-6 | 8.353953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 1.01704674E-4 | 1.01704674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010300701 | 0.0010300701 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.676801E-6 | 1.676801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 7.1862705E-6 | 7.1862705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.748936E-5 | 8.748936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.880784E-4 | 8.880784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.568616E-6 | 1.568616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.722623E-6 | 6.722623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 8.184488E-5 | 8.184488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.313387E-4 | 8.313387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.8290435E-7 | 7.8290435E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.3553001E-6 | 3.3553001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 4.0850024E-5 | 4.0850024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.168406E-4 | 4.168406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 6.149548E-8 | 6.149548E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.63552E-7 | 2.63552E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.2087412E-6 | 3.2087412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.4394903E-5 | 3.4394903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.39561465E-8 | 1.39561465E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.981206E-8 | 5.981206E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 7.2821155E-7 | 7.2821155E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 8.309356E-6 | 8.309356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.9589363E-9 | 3.9589363E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.696687E-8 | 1.696687E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 2.0657164E-7 | 2.0657164E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.4255255E-6 | 2.4255255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6160138E-5 | 4.6159777E-5 | 1.2765377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5496282E-4 | 1.6496128E-4 | 1.0645216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018850409 | 0.0018950221 | 1.0052949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019446721 | 0.019456526 | 1.0005043 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6160138E-5 | 4.6159777E-5 | 1.2765377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5496282E-4 | 1.6496128E-4 | 1.0645216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018850409 | 0.0018950221 | 1.0052949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019446721 | 0.019456526 | 1.0005043 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6160138E-5 | 4.6159777E-5 | 1.2765377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5496282E-4 | 1.6496128E-4 | 1.0645216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018850409 | 0.0018950221 | 1.0052949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019446721 | 0.019456526 | 1.0005043 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6160138E-5 | 4.6159777E-5 | 1.2765377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5496282E-4 | 1.6496128E-4 | 1.0645216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018850409 | 0.0018950221 | 1.0052949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019446721 | 0.019456526 | 1.0005043 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.6031688E-5 | 4.6031328E-5 | 1.2775235 | 1.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.544124E-4 | 1.6441086E-4 | 1.0647516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018783524 | 0.0018883336 | 1.0053139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.019381141 | 0.019390946 | 1.0005059 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.6031688E-5 | 4.6031328E-5 | 1.2775235 | 1.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.544124E-4 | 1.6441086E-4 | 1.0647516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018783524 | 0.0018883336 | 1.0053139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.019381141 | 0.019390946 | 1.0005059 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.597688E-5 | 4.5976518E-5 | 1.2779464 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5417753E-4 | 1.6417597E-4 | 1.0648503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018754981 | 0.0018854794 | 1.0053219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.019353155 | 0.019362962 | 1.0005068 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.5945865E-5 | 4.5945504E-5 | 1.2781861 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5404462E-4 | 1.6404309E-4 | 1.0649062 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018738832 | 0.0018838645 | 1.0053265 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.019337317 | 0.019347124 | 1.0005071 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.5917234E-5 | 4.5916877E-5 | 1.2784078 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5392194E-4 | 1.639204E-4 | 1.064958 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018723921 | 0.0018823734 | 1.0053308 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.01932264 | 0.019332446 | 1.0005075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.5879602E-5 | 4.5879246E-5 | 1.2786999 | 1.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.5376069E-4 | 1.6375915E-4 | 1.0650262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018704323 | 0.0018804135 | 1.0053364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.019303322 | 0.019313129 | 1.0005081 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.5759516E-5 | 4.575916E-5 | 1.2796358 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.5324609E-4 | 1.6324455E-4 | 1.0652446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018641778 | 0.0018741592 | 1.0053543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.019241625 | 0.019251434 | 1.0005097 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.573787E-5 | 4.5737514E-5 | 1.2798052 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.5315332E-4 | 1.631518E-4 | 1.065284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018630504 | 0.0018730317 | 1.0053575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.019230444 | 0.01924025 | 1.00051 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.5641897E-5 | 4.564154E-5 | 1.2805587 | 1.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.5274207E-4 | 1.6274053E-4 | 1.0654598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018580519 | 0.0018680332 | 1.0053719 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.019180963 | 0.019190772 | 1.0005114 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.546631E-5 | 4.5465957E-5 | 1.2819477 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.5198963E-4 | 1.6198811E-4 | 1.065784 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018489066 | 0.0018588881 | 1.0053986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.019087924 | 0.019097732 | 1.0005139 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.5350015E-5 | 4.534966E-5 | 1.2828753 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.5149127E-4 | 1.6148976E-4 | 1.0660003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0018428494 | 0.001852831 | 1.0054164 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.019026201 | 0.019036012 | 1.0005156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.4400942E-5 | 4.44006E-5 | 1.2906797 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4742429E-4 | 1.5742282E-4 | 1.0678214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017934162 | 0.0018033982 | 1.005566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018519267 | 0.018529084 | 1.00053 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.21497E-5 | 3.21497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3777716E-4 | 1.3777716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016761486 | 0.0016761486 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01704153 | 0.017335907 | 0.017335907 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.869285E-5 | 2.869285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.2296357E-4 | 1.2296357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014960543 | 0.0014960543 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014625421 | 0.015535684 | 0.015535684 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.598305E-5 | 2.598305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.1135118E-4 | 1.1135118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013548584 | 0.0013548584 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012614589 | 0.014116379 | 0.014116379 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.1115497E-5 | 2.1115497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301561E-5 | 9.0491856E-5 | 9.0491856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0011011823 | 0.0011011823 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011562081 | 0.011562081 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.6469756E-5 | 1.6469756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6782646E-5 | 7.058276E-5 | 7.058276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.59007E-4 | 8.59007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008098091 | 0.009088928 | 0.009088928 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.635063E-6 | 8.635063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.700689E-5 | 3.700689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.504663E-4 | 4.504663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052172043 | 0.004837708 | 0.004837708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.6603784E-6 | 1.6603784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 7.115888E-6 | 7.115888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.663252E-5 | 8.663252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 0.0010021761 | 0.0010021761 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.878791E-7 | 3.878791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.662338E-6 | 1.662338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.0238782E-5 | 2.0238782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.4299009E-4 | 2.4299009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.312886E-5 | 6.312886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.705267E-4 | 2.705267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032891354 | 0.0032991027 | 1.0030303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023254504 | 0.03250016 | 0.032509834 | 1.0002977 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.312886E-5 | 6.312886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.705267E-4 | 2.705267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032891354 | 0.0032991027 | 1.0030303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023254504 | 0.03250016 | 0.032509834 | 1.0002977 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4696535E-5 | 3.4696535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4869115E-4 | 1.4869115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018088449 | 0.0018088449 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01382215 | 0.017975735 | 0.017975735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4696535E-5 | 3.4696535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4869115E-4 | 1.4869115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018088449 | 0.0018088449 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01382215 | 0.017975735 | 0.017975735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2522166E-5 | 3.2522166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3937344E-4 | 1.3937344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016955804 | 0.0016955804 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013121112 | 0.016872877 | 0.016872877 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2522166E-5 | 3.2522166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3937344E-4 | 1.3937344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016955804 | 0.0016955804 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013121112 | 0.016872877 | 0.016872877 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.830393E-5 | 2.830393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2129705E-4 | 1.2129705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014758148 | 0.0014758148 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011653901 | 0.014707585 | 0.014707585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7972888E-5 | 2.7972888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1987843E-4 | 1.1987843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014585664 | 0.0014585664 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011538187 | 0.014536803 | 0.014536803 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.4054896E-5 | 2.4054896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.03088445E-4 | 1.03088445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010184698 | 0.001254399 | 0.001254399 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010138147 | 0.012515117 | 0.012515117 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.532867E-5 | 1.532867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.569267E-5 | 6.569267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.995206E-4 | 7.995206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069254204 | 0.008006446 | 0.008006446 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3233277E-5 | 1.3233277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6712837E-5 | 5.6712837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.9026515E-4 | 6.9026515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061178906 | 0.0069210706 | 0.0069210706 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.1024372E-5 | 1.1024372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.724647E-5 | 4.724647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.750775E-4 | 5.750775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057761166 | 0.0057761166 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0619441E-5 | 1.0619441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.5511115E-5 | 4.5511115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.539605E-4 | 5.539605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055659055 | 0.0055659055 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 1.0061678E-5 | 1.0061678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.3120785E-5 | 4.3120785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.2487256E-4 | 5.2487256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052758222 | 0.0052758222 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.603425E-6 | 9.603425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.1156905E-5 | 4.1156905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7072413E-4 | 5.009735E-4 | 5.009735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004697283 | 0.005036973 | 0.005036973 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.1882196E-6 | 7.1882196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0806295E-5 | 3.0806295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.7500286E-4 | 3.7500286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037764697 | 0.0037764697 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 6.052117E-6 | 6.052117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5937388E-5 | 2.5937388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1574222E-4 | 3.1574222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031839567 | 0.0031839567 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.8452343E-6 | 4.8452343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0765125E-5 | 2.0765125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.527862E-4 | 2.527862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024999576 | 0.002555074 | 0.002555074 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 4.0570744E-6 | 4.0570744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7387347E-5 | 1.7387347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.1167046E-4 | 2.1167046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021420412 | 0.0021420412 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.43909E-6 | 3.43909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4738875E-5 | 1.4738875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.794311E-4 | 1.794311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0018158501 | 0.0018158501 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.7036048E-6 | 1.7036048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.301143E-6 | 7.301143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.888782E-5 | 8.888782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.9934684E-4 | 8.9934684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.202092E-7 | 3.202092E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3723245E-6 | 1.3723245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.670794E-5 | 1.670794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6919167E-4 | 1.6919167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4332788E-5 | 5.4332344E-5 | 1.2255567 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.899839E-4 | 1.99982E-4 | 1.052626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023106125 | 0.0023205895 | 1.0043179 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023829542 | 0.023839304 | 1.0004096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4332788E-5 | 5.4332344E-5 | 1.2255567 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.899839E-4 | 1.99982E-4 | 1.052626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023106125 | 0.0023205895 | 1.0043179 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023829542 | 0.023839304 | 1.0004096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4332788E-5 | 5.4332344E-5 | 1.2255567 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.899839E-4 | 1.99982E-4 | 1.052626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023106125 | 0.0023205895 | 1.0043179 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023829542 | 0.023839304 | 1.0004096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4332788E-5 | 5.4332344E-5 | 1.2255567 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.899839E-4 | 1.99982E-4 | 1.052626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023106125 | 0.0023205895 | 1.0043179 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023829542 | 0.023839304 | 1.0004096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4332788E-5 | 5.4332344E-5 | 1.2255567 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.899839E-4 | 1.99982E-4 | 1.052626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023106125 | 0.0023205895 | 1.0043179 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023829542 | 0.023839304 | 1.0004096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.1062944E-5 | 5.1062532E-5 | 1.2435186 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.759722E-4 | 1.8597044E-4 | 1.0568172 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0021403623 | 0.002150341 | 1.0046622 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.022104623 | 0.022114402 | 1.0004424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.1062944E-5 | 5.1062532E-5 | 1.2435186 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.759722E-4 | 1.8597044E-4 | 1.0568172 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0021403623 | 0.002150341 | 1.0046622 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.022104623 | 0.022114402 | 1.0004424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 4.0475603E-5 | 5.0475195E-5 | 1.2470524 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.7345537E-4 | 1.8345362E-4 | 1.0576417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0021097793 | 0.0021197582 | 1.0047299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021789256 | 0.02179904 | 1.000449 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 4.0330113E-5 | 5.0329712E-5 | 1.2479436 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.7283193E-4 | 1.828302E-4 | 1.0578496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0021022037 | 0.0021121826 | 1.0047469 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.021712555 | 0.021722337 | 1.0004506 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 4.002809E-5 | 5.002769E-5 | 1.2498145 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.7153771E-4 | 1.81536E-4 | 1.0582862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.002086477 | 0.002096456 | 1.0047828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021549786 | 0.02155957 | 1.0004541 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.8867816E-5 | 4.8867427E-5 | 1.2572722 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6656575E-4 | 1.7656408E-4 | 1.0600264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0020260569 | 0.0020360365 | 1.0049257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.020926774 | 0.020936564 | 1.0004679 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.7297337E-5 | 4.7296962E-5 | 1.2681056 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5983595E-4 | 1.6983435E-4 | 1.0625541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0019442702 | 0.0019542507 | 1.0051333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.020084292 | 0.020094091 | 1.0004879 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.56122E-5 | 4.5611847E-5 | 1.2807926 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.5261481E-4 | 1.6261329E-4 | 1.0655144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018565055 | 0.0018664869 | 1.0053765 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.01918344 | 0.019193247 | 1.0005113 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.4682816E-5 | 4.468247E-5 | 1.2883172 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.486322E-4 | 1.586307E-4 | 1.0672702 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0018080985 | 0.0018180804 | 1.0055207 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018677598 | 0.01868741 | 1.0005254 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.4313067E-5 | 4.4312725E-5 | 1.2914242 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4704774E-4 | 1.5704626E-4 | 1.0679951 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017888396 | 0.0017988217 | 1.0055802 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018478032 | 0.018487848 | 1.0005312 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.300758E-5 | 4.3007254E-5 | 1.3029507 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.4145342E-4 | 1.51452E-4 | 1.0706847 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0017208381 | 0.0017308209 | 1.0058011 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.017784517 | 0.017794339 | 1.0005523 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 3.02871E-5 | 3.02871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2979541E-4 | 1.2979541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001668642 | 0.001579116 | 0.001579116 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01656168 | 0.01635427 | 0.01635427 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6853151E-5 | 2.6853151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.1507986E-4 | 1.1507986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001424336 | 0.0014001979 | 0.0014001979 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014152412 | 0.014564012 | 0.014564012 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.4233083E-5 | 2.4233083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0385194E-4 | 1.0385194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012636648 | 0.0012636648 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012169928 | 0.013189943 | 0.013189943 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.9559344E-5 | 1.9559344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.382307E-5 | 8.382307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7068126E-4 | 0.0010200688 | 0.0010200688 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010735564 | 0.010735564 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.6319102E-5 | 1.6319102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.993714E-5 | 6.993714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.5115276E-4 | 8.5115276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008034821 | 0.009007342 | 0.009007342 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.611144E-6 | 8.611144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.6904385E-5 | 3.6904385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.4921882E-4 | 4.4921882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051959283 | 0.0048235054 | 0.0048235054 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.6517622E-6 | 1.6517622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 7.0789615E-6 | 7.0789615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.618298E-5 | 8.618298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.968746E-4 | 9.968746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.878791E-7 | 3.878791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.662338E-6 | 1.662338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.0238782E-5 | 2.0238782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.4299009E-4 | 2.4299009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Frontal (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5323188E-4 | 2.6322936E-4 | 1.0394795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025295794 | 0.0025395541 | 1.0039432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5323188E-4 | 2.6322936E-4 | 1.0394795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025295794 | 0.0025395541 | 1.0039432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5323188E-4 | 2.6322936E-4 | 1.0394795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025295794 | 0.0025395541 | 1.0039432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5323188E-4 | 2.6322936E-4 | 1.0394795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025295794 | 0.0025395541 | 1.0039432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5323188E-4 | 2.6322936E-4 | 1.0394795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025295794 | 0.0025395541 | 1.0039432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5323188E-4 | 2.6322936E-4 | 1.0394795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025295794 | 0.0025395541 | 1.0039432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 4.8537504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 2.080163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5323188E-4 | 2.6322936E-4 | 1.0394795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025295794 | 0.0025395541 | 1.0039432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6317422E-6 | 3.6317422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5564521E-5 | 1.5564521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8948234E-4 | 1.9948045E-4 | 1.0527654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018932848 | 0.001903266 | 1.0052718 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6317422E-6 | 3.6317422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5564521E-5 | 1.5564521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8948234E-4 | 1.9948045E-4 | 1.0527654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018932848 | 0.001903266 | 1.0052718 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.0428037E-6 | 3.1235181E-6 | 3.1235181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.30405215E-5 | 1.3386441E-5 | 1.3386441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5875678E-4 | 1.6296841E-4 | 1.6296841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015864341 | 0.0016285562 | 0.0016285562 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.538778E-6 | 2.6067491E-6 | 2.6067491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0880432E-5 | 1.1171737E-5 | 1.1171737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.324612E-4 | 1.3600789E-4 | 1.3600789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013238228 | 0.0013592932 | 0.0013592932 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2418935E-6 | 2.3018035E-6 | 2.3018035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.60808E-6 | 9.864838E-6 | 9.864838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1697209E-4 | 1.2009823E-4 | 1.2009823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011691054 | 0.0012003772 | 0.0012003772 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6526745E-6 | 1.6929281E-6 | 1.6929281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.082872E-6 | 7.255387E-6 | 7.255387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623055E-5 | 8.833101E-5 | 8.833101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.61971E-4 | 8.8298414E-4 | 8.8298414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0246019E-6 | 1.0445104E-6 | 1.0445104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391144E-6 | 4.4764665E-6 | 4.4764665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3460866E-5 | 5.449973E-5 | 5.449973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.344801E-4 | 5.4487516E-4 | 5.4487516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.9045164E-7 | 9.059055E-7 | 9.059055E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8162157E-6 | 3.882447E-6 | 3.882447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.646144E-5 | 4.7267877E-5 | 4.7267877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6451724E-4 | 4.725891E-4 | 4.725891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.3357E-7 | 6.404528E-7 | 6.404528E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7152971E-6 | 2.7447952E-6 | 2.7447952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.305824E-5 | 3.3417436E-5 | 3.3417436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3053322E-4 | 3.341307E-4 | 3.341307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5087024E-7 | 2.4368362E-7 | 2.4368362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0751578E-6 | 1.0443581E-6 | 1.0443581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089967E-5 | 1.2715006E-5 | 1.2715006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089196E-4 | 1.2714484E-4 | 1.2714484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.282987E-8 | 2.2884043E-8 | 2.2884043E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4069944E-7 | 9.8074466E-8 | 9.8074466E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7130144E-6 | 1.194056E-6 | 1.194056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7130013E-5 | 1.1940505E-5 | 1.1940505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.77499E-9 | 5.685356E-9 | 5.685356E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7607098E-8 | 2.4365812E-8 | 2.4365812E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.578663E-7 | 2.9665375E-7 | 2.9665375E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5786537E-6 | 2.9665348E-6 | 2.9665348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.522856E-5 | 2.522856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0811874E-4 | 1.0811874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013156962 | 0.0013156962 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011341401 | 0.013093462 | 0.013103331 | 1.0007538 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.522856E-5 | 2.522856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0811874E-4 | 1.0811874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013156962 | 0.0013156962 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011341401 | 0.013093462 | 0.013103331 | 1.0007538 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.522856E-5 | 2.522856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0811874E-4 | 1.0811874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013156962 | 0.0013156962 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011341401 | 0.013093462 | 0.013103331 | 1.0007538 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.522856E-5 | 2.522856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0811874E-4 | 1.0811874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013156962 | 0.0013156962 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011341401 | 0.013093462 | 0.013103331 | 1.0007538 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.522856E-5 | 2.522856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0811874E-4 | 1.0811874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013156962 | 0.0013156962 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011341401 | 0.013093462 | 0.013103331 | 1.0007538 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.522856E-5 | 2.522856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0811874E-4 | 1.0811874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013156962 | 0.0013156962 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011341401 | 0.013093462 | 0.013103331 | 1.0007538 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.597E-5 | 1.8378052E-5 | 1.8378052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8441055E-5 | 7.87612E-5 | 7.87612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329513E-4 | 9.5858326E-4 | 9.5858326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008298361 | 0.009553113 | 0.009563018 | 1.0010368 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.597E-5 | 1.8378052E-5 | 1.8378052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8441055E-5 | 7.87612E-5 | 7.87612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329513E-4 | 9.5858326E-4 | 9.5858326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008298361 | 0.009553113 | 0.009563018 | 1.0010368 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5315149E-5 | 1.7622997E-5 | 1.7622997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5634704E-5 | 7.552544E-5 | 7.552544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.988095E-4 | 9.1922114E-4 | 9.1922114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007959441 | 0.00916275 | 0.009172658 | 1.0010813 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3634728E-5 | 1.5694579E-5 | 1.5694579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8433237E-5 | 6.726121E-5 | 6.726121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1119244E-4 | 8.186798E-4 | 8.186798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007089207 | 0.008164729 | 0.008174648 | 1.0012147 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3496271E-5 | 1.553644E-5 | 1.553644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.783988E-5 | 6.65835E-5 | 6.65835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.03973E-4 | 8.104349E-4 | 8.104349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007017471 | 0.008082882 | 0.008092801 | 1.0012271 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.242798E-6 | 9.484244E-6 | 9.484244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.53258E-5 | 4.0646508E-5 | 4.0646508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.300067E-4 | 4.9482606E-4 | 4.9482606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004291756 | 0.004943835 | 0.004953786 | 1.0020127 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.6506527E-7 | 2.2603479E-7 | 2.2603479E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1359936E-6 | 9.687202E-7 | 9.687202E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3830633E-5 | 1.1794108E-5 | 1.1794108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829772E-4 | 1.1793524E-4 | 1.1793524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5810488E-7 | 2.1998152E-7 | 2.1998152E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1061633E-6 | 9.427776E-7 | 9.427776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3467455E-5 | 1.14782615E-5 | 1.14782615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3466639E-4 | 1.14777096E-4 | 1.14777096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2676066E-7 | 1.9151862E-7 | 1.9151862E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.71831E-7 | 8.2079384E-7 | 8.2079384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1831979E-5 | 9.993124E-6 | 9.993124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1831349E-4 | 9.9927136E-5 | 9.9927136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5553917E-7 | 1.3146362E-7 | 1.3146362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6659624E-7 | 5.634154E-7 | 5.634154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115779E-6 | 6.8595637E-6 | 6.8595637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115482E-5 | 6.8593734E-5 | 6.8593734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3448629E-7 | 1.1319289E-7 | 1.1319289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7636964E-7 | 4.851123E-7 | 4.851123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.017278E-6 | 5.9062286E-6 | 5.9062286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0170565E-5 | 5.9060927E-5 | 5.9060927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9719402E-8 | 1.4622896E-8 | 1.4622896E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2736886E-7 | 6.266955E-8 | 6.266955E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5507147E-6 | 7.6300154E-7 | 7.6300154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.550704E-5 | 7.629995E-6 | 7.629995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.4390196E-9 | 3.2587069E-9 | 3.2587069E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1881513E-8 | 1.3965886E-8 | 1.3965886E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8815733E-7 | 1.7003465E-7 | 1.7003465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8815665E-6 | 1.7003455E-6 | 1.7003455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.5373532E-9 | 8.456379E-10 | 8.456379E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5886567E-9 | 3.6241623E-9 | 3.6241623E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021689E-8 | 4.4124175E-8 | 4.4124175E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0216864E-7 | 4.4124172E-7 | 4.4124172E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1657015E-5 | 3.16568E-5 | 1.4617342 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.281253E-5 | 1.028116E-4 | 1.1077341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011294163 | 0.0011394051 | 1.0088441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.01176709 | 0.011776973 | 1.0008398 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1657015E-5 | 3.16568E-5 | 1.4617342 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.281253E-5 | 1.028116E-4 | 1.1077341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011294163 | 0.0011394051 | 1.0088441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.01176709 | 0.011776973 | 1.0008398 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1657015E-5 | 3.16568E-5 | 1.4617342 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.281253E-5 | 1.028116E-4 | 1.1077341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011294163 | 0.0011394051 | 1.0088441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.01176709 | 0.011776973 | 1.0008398 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1657015E-5 | 3.16568E-5 | 1.4617342 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.281253E-5 | 1.028116E-4 | 1.1077341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011294163 | 0.0011394051 | 1.0088441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.01176709 | 0.011776973 | 1.0008398 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1657015E-5 | 3.16568E-5 | 1.4617342 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.281253E-5 | 1.028116E-4 | 1.1077341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011294163 | 0.0011394051 | 1.0088441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.01176709 | 0.011776973 | 1.0008398 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7805369E-5 | 2.780519E-5 | 1.5616183 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.630652E-5 | 8.630575E-5 | 1.1310405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 9.2864054E-4 | 9.3863124E-4 | 1.0107584 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009729056 | 0.009738958 | 1.0010178 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7805369E-5 | 2.780519E-5 | 1.5616183 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.630652E-5 | 8.630575E-5 | 1.1310405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 9.2864054E-4 | 9.3863124E-4 | 1.0107584 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009729056 | 0.009738958 | 1.0010178 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 1.7044254E-5 | 2.7044085E-5 | 1.5866979 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5444479E-4 | 7.304479E-5 | 8.3044055E-5 | 1.1368923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018787434 | 8.889618E-4 | 8.989529E-4 | 1.011239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.009323911 | 0.009333817 | 1.0010625 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 1.6665392E-5 | 2.6665226E-5 | 1.6000359 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5012783E-4 | 7.142118E-5 | 8.142046E-5 | 1.1400045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018262739 | 8.692102E-4 | 8.792015E-4 | 1.0114948 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.009119267 | 0.009129176 | 1.0010866 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 1.6491655E-5 | 2.649149E-5 | 1.6063573 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4721078E-4 | 7.067663E-5 | 8.067593E-5 | 1.1414795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017908178 | 8.6015253E-4 | 8.7014394E-4 | 1.0116159 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.009026353 | 0.009036263 | 1.0010979 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 1.4725735E-5 | 2.4725587E-5 | 1.6790732 | 1.0E-5 | 1.241074E-4 | 6.310878E-5 | 7.310815E-5 | 1.1584466 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015099603 | 7.6808146E-4 | 7.780738E-4 | 1.0130094 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.008071528 | 0.008081447 | 1.0012289 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 1.3184798E-5 | 2.3184666E-5 | 1.7584392 | 1.0E-5 | 1.11436144E-4 | 5.650507E-5 | 6.65045E-5 | 1.1769652 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013558907 | 6.877343E-4 | 6.977274E-4 | 1.0145305 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.007233594 | 0.0072435215 | 1.0013725 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 1.1581853E-5 | 2.1581738E-5 | 1.8634096 | 1.0E-5 | 9.661716E-5 | 4.963558E-5 | 5.9635084E-5 | 1.2014583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001175679 | 6.041471E-4 | 6.1414106E-4 | 1.0165423 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.0063640736 | 0.00637401 | 1.0015613 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 1.1110581E-5 | 2.1110469E-5 | 1.900033 | 1.0E-5 | 7.514098E-5 | 4.7615915E-5 | 5.7615438E-5 | 1.2100039 | 1.0E-5 | 9.144575E-4 | 5.79571E-4 | 5.895652E-4 | 1.0172441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.0060923793 | 0.0061023184 | 1.0016314 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 1.0903722E-5 | 2.0903613E-5 | 1.917108 | 1.0E-5 | 6.82463E-5 | 4.6729405E-5 | 5.672894E-5 | 1.2139881 | 1.0E-5 | 8.305819E-4 | 5.6878343E-4 | 5.7877775E-4 | 1.0175713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.005976037 | 0.0059859776 | 1.0016633 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 1.01293135E-5 | 2.0129211E-5 | 1.9872237 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7551293E-5 | 4.341063E-5 | 5.3410193E-5 | 1.2303483 | 1.0E-5 | 7.004617E-4 | 5.2839733E-4 | 5.3839205E-4 | 1.0189152 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.0055536986 | 0.0055636433 | 1.0017906 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 8.8712895E-6 | 8.8712895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5808283E-5 | 3.8019258E-5 | 3.8019258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5757316E-4 | 4.6278664E-4 | 4.6278664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005561762 | 0.0048777326 | 0.0048777326 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 7.714597E-6 | 7.714597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.776671E-5 | 3.306214E-5 | 3.306214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.597127E-4 | 4.0245746E-4 | 4.0245746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045876284 | 0.0042657563 | 0.0042657563 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 6.9294047E-6 | 6.9294047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3344273E-5 | 2.9697112E-5 | 2.9697112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0589093E-4 | 3.6150255E-4 | 3.6150255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040515037 | 0.003846839 | 0.003846839 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 5.9974245E-6 | 5.9974245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8044553E-5 | 2.5702995E-5 | 2.5702995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4138895E-4 | 3.1288923E-4 | 3.1288923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0033503042 | 0.0033503042 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 5.005651E-6 | 5.005651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3351862E-5 | 2.1452615E-5 | 2.1452615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8427184E-4 | 2.6115443E-4 | 2.6115443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0028137357 | 0.0028137357 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 1.4433508E-6 | 1.4433508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.217019E-5 | 6.1857745E-6 | 6.1857745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816198E-4 | 7.530922E-5 | 7.530922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014806325 | 8.5441204E-4 | 8.5441204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 6.7630344E-7 | 6.7630344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 2.89844E-6 | 2.89844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 3.5287943E-5 | 3.5287943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 4.2069724E-4 | 4.2069724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 3.142385E-7 | 3.142385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.3467356E-6 | 1.3467356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 1.6396389E-5 | 1.6396389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 1.9847737E-4 | 1.9847737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2612996E-5 | 2.2612996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.690992E-5 | 9.690992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011793596 | 0.0011793596 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010080142 | 0.011742868 | 0.011752751 | 1.0008416 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2612996E-5 | 2.2612996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.690992E-5 | 9.690992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011793596 | 0.0011793596 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010080142 | 0.011742868 | 0.011752751 | 1.0008416 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2612996E-5 | 2.2612996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.690992E-5 | 9.690992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011793596 | 0.0011793596 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010080142 | 0.011742868 | 0.011752751 | 1.0008416 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2612996E-5 | 2.2612996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.690992E-5 | 9.690992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011793596 | 0.0011793596 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010080142 | 0.011742868 | 0.011752751 | 1.0008416 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2612996E-5 | 2.2612996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.690992E-5 | 9.690992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011793596 | 0.0011793596 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010080142 | 0.011742868 | 0.011752751 | 1.0008416 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9389157E-5 | 2.2581547E-5 | 2.2581547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.309374E-5 | 9.6775155E-5 | 9.6775155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010111968 | 0.0011777206 | 0.0011777206 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010066078 | 0.011726651 | 0.011736535 | 1.0008428 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9389157E-5 | 2.2581547E-5 | 2.2581547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.309374E-5 | 9.6775155E-5 | 9.6775155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010111968 | 0.0011777206 | 0.0011777206 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010066078 | 0.011726651 | 0.011736535 | 1.0008428 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4925434E-5 | 1.7229047E-5 | 1.7229047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.396457E-5 | 7.383716E-5 | 7.383716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7849044E-4 | 8.9868193E-4 | 8.9868193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007757689 | 0.008958873 | 0.008968784 | 1.0011063 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3570335E-5 | 1.5635549E-5 | 1.5635549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8157282E-5 | 6.700824E-5 | 6.700824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0783484E-4 | 8.156022E-4 | 8.156022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070558446 | 0.008134179 | 0.008144097 | 1.0012194 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3570335E-5 | 1.5635549E-5 | 1.5635549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8157282E-5 | 6.700824E-5 | 6.700824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0783484E-4 | 8.156022E-4 | 8.156022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070558446 | 0.008134179 | 0.008144097 | 1.0012194 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3433392E-5 | 1.5478923E-5 | 1.5478923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.757041E-5 | 6.6337016E-5 | 6.6337016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0069433E-4 | 8.074361E-4 | 8.074361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006984891 | 0.008053112 | 0.008063031 | 1.0012318 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.181609E-6 | 9.428446E-6 | 9.428446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5063567E-5 | 4.0407376E-5 | 4.0407376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.268153E-4 | 4.9191597E-4 | 4.9191597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042599645 | 0.0049148635 | 0.004924814 | 1.0020247 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0663983E-7 | 1.7301953E-7 | 1.7301953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.855989E-7 | 7.415121E-7 | 7.415121E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0782113E-5 | 9.027876E-6 | 9.027876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.07815904E-4 | 9.0275455E-5 | 9.0275455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0462376E-7 | 1.7117267E-7 | 1.7117267E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7695867E-7 | 7.33597E-7 | 7.33597E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0676919E-5 | 8.931511E-6 | 8.931511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0676406E-4 | 8.931188E-5 | 8.931188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0171088E-7 | 1.689938E-7 | 1.689938E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.644749E-7 | 7.2425894E-7 | 7.2425894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0524931E-5 | 8.81782E-6 | 8.81782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05244326E-4 | 8.817507E-5 | 8.817507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4847944E-7 | 1.2592008E-7 | 1.2592008E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.363403E-7 | 5.396574E-7 | 5.396574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.747416E-6 | 6.570311E-6 | 6.570311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.747146E-5 | 6.570139E-5 | 6.570139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3185847E-7 | 1.1153638E-7 | 1.1153638E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6510765E-7 | 4.7801296E-7 | 4.7801296E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8801637E-6 | 5.8197948E-6 | 5.8197948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8799505E-5 | 5.8196634E-5 | 5.8196634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8609954E-8 | 1.421049E-8 | 1.421049E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2261408E-7 | 6.0902096E-8 | 6.0902096E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4928254E-6 | 7.4148284E-7 | 7.4148284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4928154E-5 | 7.414809E-6 | 7.414809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.527266E-9 | 2.9308795E-9 | 2.9308795E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7973995E-8 | 1.2560912E-8 | 1.2560912E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4058334E-7 | 1.5292909E-7 | 1.5292909E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4058282E-6 | 1.5292901E-6 | 1.5292901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2898267E-9 | 7.14121E-10 | 7.14121E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.527829E-9 | 3.0605185E-9 | 3.0605185E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7301315E-8 | 3.7261813E-8 | 3.7261813E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7301295E-7 | 3.7261813E-7 | 3.7261813E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6457478E-5 | 1.6457478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.053022E-5 | 7.053022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5838226E-4 | 8.6837367E-4 | 1.0116398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008578415 | 0.008588329 | 1.0011557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6457478E-5 | 1.6457478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.053022E-5 | 7.053022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5838226E-4 | 8.6837367E-4 | 1.0116398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008578415 | 0.008588329 | 1.0011557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6457478E-5 | 1.6457478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.053022E-5 | 7.053022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5838226E-4 | 8.6837367E-4 | 1.0116398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008578415 | 0.008588329 | 1.0011557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6457478E-5 | 1.6457478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.053022E-5 | 7.053022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5838226E-4 | 8.6837367E-4 | 1.0116398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008578415 | 0.008588329 | 1.0011557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6457478E-5 | 1.6457478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.053022E-5 | 7.053022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5838226E-4 | 8.6837367E-4 | 1.0116398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008578415 | 0.008588329 | 1.0011557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6457478E-5 | 1.6457478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.053022E-5 | 7.053022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5838226E-4 | 8.6837367E-4 | 1.0116398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008578415 | 0.008588329 | 1.0011557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.397971E-5 | 1.397971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.991172E-5 | 5.991172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.291901E-4 | 7.291901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004790339 | 0.007295145 | 0.007295145 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3785292E-5 | 1.3785292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.907854E-5 | 5.907854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.1905286E-4 | 7.1905286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004695036 | 0.0071944315 | 0.0071944315 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3407118E-5 | 1.3407118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.7457863E-5 | 5.7457863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.993338E-4 | 6.993338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045155324 | 0.006998485 | 0.006998485 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1610318E-5 | 1.1610318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9757597E-5 | 4.9757597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.653022E-4 | 6.056372E-4 | 6.056372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036470229 | 0.006066838 | 0.006066838 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.800891E-6 | 9.800891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.2003172E-5 | 4.2003172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.1127316E-4 | 5.1127316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030459496 | 0.0051277294 | 0.0051277294 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.454912E-6 | 9.454912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 4.052045E-5 | 4.052045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.9322925E-4 | 4.9322925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0049480987 | 0.0049480987 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.801435E-6 | 7.801435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.3434313E-5 | 3.3434313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0699038E-4 | 4.0699038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022852682 | 0.0040892023 | 0.0040892023 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 7.032959E-6 | 7.032959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 3.0140922E-5 | 3.0140922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.669073E-4 | 3.669073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0036897568 | 0.0036897568 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.137806E-6 | 5.137806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.2018983E-5 | 2.2018983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6804834E-4 | 2.6804834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0027037796 | 0.0027037796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.7259387E-6 | 4.7259387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 2.0253867E-5 | 2.0253867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4656305E-4 | 2.4656305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024897354 | 0.0024897354 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.230515E-6 | 4.230515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.8130655E-5 | 1.8130655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.2071844E-4 | 2.2071844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.002232351 | 0.002232351 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.1494777E-6 | 4.1494777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.7783355E-5 | 1.7783355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1649094E-4 | 2.1649094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021902795 | 0.0021902795 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.8095648E-6 | 3.8095648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.6326605E-5 | 1.6326605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9875835E-4 | 1.9875835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0020125676 | 0.0020125676 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 3.0313129E-6 | 3.0313129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2991277E-5 | 1.2991277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5815737E-4 | 1.5815737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0016042567 | 0.0016042567 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.7269017E-7 | 5.7269017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.4543842E-6 | 2.4543842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.9881723E-5 | 2.9881723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0513899E-4 | 3.0925413E-4 | 3.0925413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.2071241E-7 | 1.2071241E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 5.1733883E-7 | 5.1733883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 6.2985823E-6 | 6.2985823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.9252346E-5 | 6.9252346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.7202173E-8 | 2.7202173E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.1658073E-7 | 1.1658073E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.4193695E-6 | 1.4193695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.5929023E-5 | 1.5929023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5130306E-5 | 2.5130306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.07697815E-4 | 1.07697815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013106005 | 0.0013106005 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011586686 | 0.013045343 | 0.013055212 | 1.0007565 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5130306E-5 | 2.5130306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.07697815E-4 | 1.07697815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013106005 | 0.0013106005 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011586686 | 0.013045343 | 0.013055212 | 1.0007565 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5130306E-5 | 2.5130306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.07697815E-4 | 1.07697815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013106005 | 0.0013106005 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011586686 | 0.013045343 | 0.013055212 | 1.0007565 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5130306E-5 | 2.5130306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.07697815E-4 | 1.07697815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013106005 | 0.0013106005 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011586686 | 0.013045343 | 0.013055212 | 1.0007565 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3793858E-5 | 1.3793858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9115722E-5 | 5.9115722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.195902E-4 | 7.195902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071818247 | 0.007191753 | 1.0013824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3793858E-5 | 1.3793858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9115722E-5 | 5.9115722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.195902E-4 | 7.195902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071818247 | 0.007191753 | 1.0013824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.642752E-6 | 9.642752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.1325897E-5 | 4.1325897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.0311E-4 | 5.0311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044683935 | 0.0050278855 | 0.0050378353 | 1.0019789 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.095845E-6 | 8.095845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.469648E-5 | 3.469648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2242967E-4 | 4.2242967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042242967 | 0.0042342544 | 1.0023572 | 1.0E-5 |
Pilarcitos 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.9150476E-6 | 3.2373164E-6 | 1.3237284E-5 | 4.0889683 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1064321E-5 | 1.3874141E-5 | 2.3874003E-5 | 1.7207553 | 1.0E-5 | 2.564279E-4 | 1.6890488E-4 | 1.789032E-4 | 1.0591949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025613222 | 0.0017001827 | 0.0017101656 | 1.0058718 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.9150476E-6 | 3.2373164E-6 | 1.3237284E-5 | 4.0889683 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1064321E-5 | 1.3874141E-5 | 2.3874003E-5 | 1.7207553 | 1.0E-5 | 2.564279E-4 | 1.6890488E-4 | 1.789032E-4 | 1.0591949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025613222 | 0.0017001827 | 0.0017101656 | 1.0058718 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.162343E-6 | 2.4655592E-6 | 2.4655592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.783849E-5 | 1.05666395E-5 | 1.05666395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716199E-4 | 1.2864132E-4 | 1.2864132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002169499 | 0.0012980681 | 0.0012980681 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 4.162343E-6 | 2.4655592E-6 | 2.4655592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.783849E-5 | 1.05666395E-5 | 1.05666395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716199E-4 | 1.2864132E-4 | 1.2864132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002169499 | 0.0012980681 | 0.0012980681 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 3.8768926E-6 | 2.172923E-6 | 2.172923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6615148E-5 | 9.312494E-6 | 9.312494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0227065E-4 | 1.1337376E-4 | 1.1337376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020208664 | 0.0011455569 | 0.0011455569 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.7137002E-6 | 2.006227E-6 | 2.006227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.591576E-5 | 8.598088E-6 | 8.598088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9375715E-4 | 1.0467672E-4 | 1.0467672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001935883 | 0.0010586719 | 0.0010586719 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.5048733E-6 | 1.7911252E-6 | 1.7911252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5020799E-5 | 7.676228E-6 | 7.676228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8286289E-4 | 9.3454095E-5 | 9.3454095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018271249 | 9.4654615E-4 | 9.4654615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.3908584E-6 | 1.674759E-6 | 1.674759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.453217E-5 | 7.1775185E-6 | 7.1775185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7691481E-4 | 8.73828E-5 | 8.73828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017677402 | 8.858829E-4 | 8.858829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.2451449E-6 | 1.5279013E-6 | 1.5279013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3907689E-5 | 6.548132E-6 | 6.548132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6931296E-4 | 7.97206E-5 | 7.97206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016918402 | 8.0931874E-4 | 8.0931874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.1239128E-6 | 1.4043579E-6 | 1.4043579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3388129E-5 | 6.0186626E-6 | 6.0186626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6298829E-4 | 7.3274765E-5 | 7.3274765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001628688 | 7.449052E-4 | 7.449052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.9940109E-6 | 1.2755612E-6 | 1.2755612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2831412E-5 | 5.4666793E-6 | 5.4666793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5621124E-4 | 6.655479E-5 | 6.655479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015610148 | 6.77748E-4 | 6.77748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.7471217E-6 | 1.1864365E-6 | 1.1864365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1773326E-5 | 5.084718E-6 | 5.084718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4333082E-4 | 6.1904684E-5 | 6.1904684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001432384 | 6.312177E-4 | 6.312177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.592675E-6 | 1.0521048E-6 | 1.0521048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1111417E-5 | 4.509013E-6 | 4.509013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3527309E-4 | 5.489585E-5 | 5.489585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013519078 | 5.611669E-4 | 5.611669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.4518663E-6 | 9.4273946E-7 | 9.4273946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0507956E-5 | 4.0403056E-6 | 4.0403056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792686E-4 | 4.918961E-5 | 4.918961E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012785323 | 5.0412986E-4 | 5.0412986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.3349535E-6 | 9.0448304E-7 | 9.0448304E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0006905E-5 | 3.87635E-6 | 3.87635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2182725E-4 | 4.719354E-5 | 4.719354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012176048 | 4.8415153E-4 | 4.8415153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.1358665E-6 | 8.5542024E-7 | 8.5542024E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.15368E-6 | 3.6660815E-6 | 3.6660815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11440364E-4 | 4.463363E-5 | 4.463363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011138449 | 4.5846548E-4 | 4.5846548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6445446E-6 | 7.062107E-7 | 7.062107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.048029E-6 | 3.0266137E-6 | 3.0266137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.580638E-5 | 3.68484E-5 | 3.68484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5773255E-4 | 3.8057193E-4 | 3.8057193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3650961E-6 | 6.031764E-7 | 6.031764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.850399E-6 | 2.585039E-6 | 2.585039E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.122628E-5 | 3.1472395E-5 | 3.1472395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.120345E-4 | 3.2670918E-4 | 3.2670918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.0500993E-6 | 5.733362E-7 | 5.733362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5004176E-6 | 2.457153E-6 | 2.457153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4791206E-5 | 2.9915427E-5 | 2.9915427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.47777E-4 | 3.1100327E-4 | 3.1100327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.856431E-7 | 5.350843E-7 | 5.350843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5098966E-6 | 2.2932163E-6 | 2.2932163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0557563E-5 | 2.7919554E-5 | 2.7919554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.055336E-4 | 2.902754E-4 | 2.902754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.4768265E-7 | 5.0406504E-7 | 5.0406504E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9186384E-6 | 2.160277E-6 | 2.160277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3359173E-5 | 2.6301057E-5 | 2.6301057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3356717E-4 | 2.7354108E-4 | 2.7354108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6692538E-7 | 3.491136E-7 | 3.491136E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1439654E-6 | 1.4962003E-6 | 1.4962003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.392769E-5 | 1.8216087E-5 | 1.8216087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3926817E-4 | 1.8947097E-4 | 1.8947097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.3198862E-8 | 1.1340766E-8 | 1.1340766E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.656655E-8 | 4.8603283E-8 | 4.8603283E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.886975E-7 | 5.917448E-7 | 5.917448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8869535E-6 | 6.1526466E-6 | 6.1526466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |