Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9794714E-6 | 0.009146916 | 1310.5455 | 0.00914 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.991188E-5 | 0.011539567 | 385.78543 | 0.01151 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6415216E-4 | 0.015918486 | 43.713833 | 0.01556 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036390729 | 0.022948548 | 6.3061523 | 0.01938 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9794714E-6 | 0.009146916 | 1310.5455 | 0.00914 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.991188E-5 | 0.011539567 | 385.78543 | 0.01151 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6415216E-4 | 0.015918486 | 43.713833 | 0.01556 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036390729 | 0.022948548 | 6.3061523 | 0.01938 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9794714E-6 | 0.009146916 | 1310.5455 | 0.00914 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.991188E-5 | 0.011539567 | 385.78543 | 0.01151 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6415216E-4 | 0.015918486 | 43.713833 | 0.01556 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036390729 | 0.022948548 | 6.3061523 | 0.01938 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9794714E-6 | 0.009146916 | 1310.5455 | 0.00914 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.991188E-5 | 0.011539567 | 385.78543 | 0.01151 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6415216E-4 | 0.015918486 | 43.713833 | 0.01556 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036390729 | 0.022948548 | 6.3061523 | 0.01938 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9794714E-6 | 0.009146916 | 1310.5455 | 0.00914 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.991188E-5 | 0.011539567 | 385.78543 | 0.01151 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6415216E-4 | 0.015918486 | 43.713833 | 0.01556 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036390729 | 0.022948548 | 6.3061523 | 0.01938 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9794714E-6 | 0.009146916 | 1310.5455 | 0.00914 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.991188E-5 | 0.011539567 | 385.78543 | 0.01151 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6415216E-4 | 0.015918486 | 43.713833 | 0.01556 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036390729 | 0.022948548 | 6.3061523 | 0.01938 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6162755E-6 | 4.4161556E-4 | 273.23038 | 4.4E-4 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9268767E-6 | 5.8692286E-4 | 84.73124 | 5.8E-4 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.433149E-5 | 8.042708E-4 | 9.537016 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0013833415 | 8.429984E-4 | 0.001802189 | 2.1378322 | 9.6E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5515958E-6 | 3.91551E-4 | 252.35373 | 3.9E-4 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.6496796E-6 | 5.0664635E-4 | 76.19109 | 5.0E-4 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.095687E-5 | 6.909075E-4 | 8.534266 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0013506424 | 8.0927677E-4 | 0.001638605 | 2.0247772 | 8.3E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5483897E-6 | 3.9154777E-4 | 252.87419 | 3.9E-4 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.6359394E-6 | 5.066326E-4 | 76.34679 | 5.0E-4 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.078959E-5 | 6.907403E-4 | 8.549868 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0013481114 | 8.076052E-4 | 0.0016369349 | 2.0268998 | 8.3E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4234333E-6 | 3.5142293E-4 | 246.88402 | 3.5E-4 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.1004143E-6 | 4.2609786E-4 | 69.84736 | 4.2E-4 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.4270036E-5 | 5.6423363E-4 | 7.5970564 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0012818627 | 7.424541E-4 | 0.0013919715 | 1.874825 | 6.5E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.400383E-6 | 3.3139993E-4 | 236.64949 | 3.3E-4 | 1.0432016E-5 | 6.0016273E-6 | 4.0599922E-4 | 67.648186 | 4.0E-4 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.3067386E-5 | 5.4303306E-4 | 7.4319487 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0012692984 | 7.3043554E-4 | 0.0013299972 | 1.8208277 | 6.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3352951E-6 | 2.813349E-4 | 210.69121 | 2.8E-4 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.7226807E-6 | 3.5572067E-4 | 62.159798 | 3.5E-4 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.967143E-5 | 4.8964215E-4 | 7.0278764 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0012333926 | 6.9649756E-4 | 0.0012261284 | 1.7604203 | 5.3E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.251554E-6 | 2.4125125E-4 | 192.76137 | 2.4E-4 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.363792E-6 | 2.9536223E-4 | 55.06594 | 2.9E-4 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.530222E-5 | 4.0528E-4 | 6.206221 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0011848784 | 6.5283186E-4 | 0.0010625642 | 1.6276231 | 4.1E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1431946E-6 | 1.61143E-4 | 140.95851 | 1.6E-4 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.899396E-6 | 2.1489836E-4 | 43.862213 | 2.1E-4 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.964853E-5 | 3.1963302E-4 | 5.358607 | 2.6E-4 | 0.001115068 | 5.9632637E-4 | 9.061415E-4 | 1.5195396 | 3.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.58677E-7 | 7.095861E-5 | 74.01722 | 7.0E-5 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.1086096E-6 | 1.1410816E-4 | 27.77294 | 1.1E-4 | 9.9385186E-5 | 5.002118E-5 | 1.8001467E-4 | 3.5987692 | 1.3E-4 | 9.934074E-4 | 5.000999E-4 | 6.5002486E-4 | 1.29979 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.569775E-7 | 4.0756946E-5 | 53.84169 | 4.0E-5 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2441853E-6 | 6.324399E-5 | 19.494568 | 6.0E-5 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9497245E-5 | 1.0949448E-4 | 2.7722056 | 7.0E-5 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9490272E-4 | 4.7487114E-4 | 1.2025015 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6665494E-7 | 1.0466651E-5 | 22.4291 | 1.0E-5 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9999482E-6 | 2.1999907E-5 | 11.000238 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4349101E-5 | 4.4348613E-5 | 1.8213656 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4346459E-4 | 2.6345972E-4 | 1.0821275 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5614785E-7 | 1.0156146E-5 | 65.041855 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.692049E-7 | 2.0669191E-5 | 30.886192 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.14754E-6 | 2.8147377E-5 | 3.4547086 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1472535E-5 | 1.01470905E-4 | 1.2454615 | 2.0E-5 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6682077E-6 | 5.236663E-4 | 142.75809 | 5.2E-4 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5720801E-5 | 7.157098E-4 | 45.52629 | 7.0E-4 | 0.002521386 | 1.9138497E-4 | 0.0013211687 | 6.9031997 | 0.00113 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019449461 | 0.0033122816 | 1.7030197 | 0.00137 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6682077E-6 | 5.236663E-4 | 142.75809 | 5.2E-4 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5720801E-5 | 7.157098E-4 | 45.52629 | 7.0E-4 | 0.002521386 | 1.9138497E-4 | 0.0013211687 | 6.9031997 | 0.00113 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019449461 | 0.0033122816 | 1.7030197 | 0.00137 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6682077E-6 | 5.236663E-4 | 142.75809 | 5.2E-4 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5720801E-5 | 7.157098E-4 | 45.52629 | 7.0E-4 | 0.002521386 | 1.9138497E-4 | 0.0013211687 | 6.9031997 | 0.00113 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019449461 | 0.0033122816 | 1.7030197 | 0.00137 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1762527E-6 | 3.2317525E-4 | 101.74734 | 3.2E-4 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.36124445E-5 | 4.5360645E-4 | 33.322926 | 4.4E-4 | 0.002060538 | 1.6571964E-4 | 8.75602E-4 | 5.283634 | 7.1E-4 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016743559 | 0.0025129495 | 1.5008454 | 8.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1762527E-6 | 3.2317525E-4 | 101.74734 | 3.2E-4 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.36124445E-5 | 4.5360645E-4 | 33.322926 | 4.4E-4 | 0.002060538 | 1.6571964E-4 | 8.75602E-4 | 5.283634 | 7.1E-4 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016743559 | 0.0025129495 | 1.5008454 | 8.4E-4 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9859636E-6 | 1.4298555E-4 | 47.885895 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2796929E-5 | 2.4279399E-4 | 18.972834 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5579216E-4 | 5.5572984E-4 | 3.5671232 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015643054 | 0.0020235858 | 1.2936002 | 4.6E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8843301E-6 | 9.288407E-5 | 32.202995 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.236136E-5 | 1.623595E-4 | 13.134437 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0016229092 | 1.5048985E-4 | 4.204492E-4 | 2.793871 | 2.7E-4 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015069331 | 0.0017865112 | 1.1855278 | 2.8E-4 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.817944E-6 | 7.281775E-5 | 25.840734 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2076851E-5 | 1.2207552E-4 | 10.108224 | 1.1E-4 | 0.001463541 | 1.4702644E-4 | 3.1700142E-4 | 2.1560848 | 1.7E-4 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014696375 | 0.0016393877 | 1.1155047 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.241887E-6 | 6.224175E-5 | 27.76311 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.608053E-6 | 1.0960709E-4 | 11.407836 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013164099 | 1.1697207E-4 | 2.7695336E-4 | 2.367688 | 1.6E-4 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011693478 | 0.0013291606 | 1.1366684 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6129768E-6 | 5.1612897E-5 | 31.998535 | 5.0E-5 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.9127395E-6 | 9.691212E-5 | 14.01935 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0011840039 | 8.415937E-5 | 2.3414675E-4 | 2.7821827 | 1.5E-4 | 0.011777153 | 8.4144814E-4 | 9.913219E-4 | 1.178114 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5441011E-6 | 4.154404E-5 | 26.904999 | 4.0E-5 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.61756E-6 | 8.661703E-5 | 13.088968 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010884746 | 8.056583E-5 | 2.2055455E-4 | 2.7375693 | 1.4E-4 | 0.010831586 | 8.054944E-4 | 9.4538165E-4 | 1.1736664 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3902998E-6 | 4.1390245E-5 | 29.770733 | 4.0E-5 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.958414E-6 | 8.595794E-5 | 14.4263115 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010143308 | 7.254129E-5 | 2.1253113E-4 | 2.9297955 | 1.4E-4 | 0.010097133 | 7.2528963E-4 | 8.651881E-4 | 1.1928864 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2523143E-6 | 3.1252275E-5 | 24.955618 | 3.0E-5 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.3670506E-6 | 7.5366675E-5 | 14.042476 | 7.0E-5 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.534189E-5 | 1.753347E-4 | 2.683343 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009284316 | 6.533281E-4 | 7.632562E-4 | 1.1682587 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1146702E-6 | 3.1114636E-5 | 27.91376 | 3.0E-5 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.7771496E-6 | 7.477681E-5 | 15.65302 | 7.0E-5 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.8160247E-5 | 1.4815501E-4 | 2.5473588 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.8154645E-4 | 6.714941E-4 | 1.1546698 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.575122E-7 | 3.0857485E-5 | 35.984898 | 3.0E-5 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.675047E-6 | 5.3674863E-5 | 14.605218 | 5.0E-5 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4742785E-5 | 1.047401E-4 | 2.3409383 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.473931E-4 | 5.0736626E-4 | 1.1340503 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.086255E-7 | 3.0608608E-5 | 50.291367 | 3.0E-5 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6083924E-6 | 5.2608262E-5 | 20.168846 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1756717E-5 | 9.175481E-5 | 2.8893042 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.1752212E-4 | 3.7750308E-4 | 1.1889032 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.2052677E-7 | 1.0320524E-5 | 32.198635 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.3736853E-6 | 2.1373658E-5 | 15.559355 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6724493E-5 | 3.672416E-5 | 2.1958308 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6723253E-4 | 1.8722919E-4 | 1.119574 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.9980446E-8 | 1.008998E-5 | 112.13525 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8563041E-7 | 2.0385623E-5 | 52.863106 | 2.0E-5 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.695041E-6 | 2.4694948E-5 | 5.2597938 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.6949488E-5 | 6.6948545E-5 | 1.4259697 | 2.0E-5 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4656066E-5 | 3.1464186E-4 | 5.75676 | 2.6E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3422005E-4 | 5.6414277E-4 | 2.4086015 | 3.3E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028480785 | 0.0034363982 | 1.2065672 | 5.9E-4 | 0.023260195 | 0.028136695 | 0.029050248 | 1.0324683 | 9.4E-4 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4656066E-5 | 3.1464186E-4 | 5.75676 | 2.6E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3422005E-4 | 5.6414277E-4 | 2.4086015 | 3.3E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028480785 | 0.0034363982 | 1.2065672 | 5.9E-4 | 0.023260195 | 0.028136695 | 0.029050248 | 1.0324683 | 9.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7134883E-5 | 2.7712405E-4 | 5.8793836 | 2.3E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0199145E-4 | 4.9193285E-4 | 2.4354143 | 2.9E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.002456608 | 0.0029853059 | 1.2152146 | 5.3E-4 | 0.020330196 | 0.024310863 | 0.025130441 | 1.0337125 | 8.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7134883E-5 | 2.7712405E-4 | 5.8793836 | 2.3E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0199145E-4 | 4.9193285E-4 | 2.4354143 | 2.9E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.002456608 | 0.0029853059 | 1.2152146 | 5.3E-4 | 0.020330196 | 0.024310863 | 0.025130441 | 1.0337125 | 8.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.8005837E-5 | 2.2799862E-4 | 5.999042 | 1.9E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.628724E-4 | 3.9283495E-4 | 2.4119184 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001981237 | 0.0024403255 | 1.2317182 | 4.6E-4 | 0.016718714 | 0.019645108 | 0.020390177 | 1.0379264 | 7.6E-4 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.8005837E-5 | 2.2799862E-4 | 5.999042 | 1.9E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.628724E-4 | 3.9283495E-4 | 2.4119184 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001981237 | 0.0024403255 | 1.2317182 | 4.6E-4 | 0.016718714 | 0.019645108 | 0.020390177 | 1.0379264 | 7.6E-4 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.423032E-5 | 2.042245E-4 | 5.966187 | 1.7E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4669348E-4 | 3.5666267E-4 | 2.4313464 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017845918 | 0.00219386 | 1.2293345 | 4.1E-4 | 0.015175272 | 0.017711122 | 0.018408546 | 1.0393778 | 7.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2389748E-5 | 1.9238457E-4 | 5.939675 | 1.6E-4 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3880615E-4 | 3.387784E-4 | 2.4406583 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016887153 | 0.0020780568 | 1.2305548 | 3.9E-4 | 0.014414776 | 0.01676712 | 0.017416054 | 1.0387027 | 6.6E-4 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.690353E-5 | 1.469003E-4 | 5.4602613 | 1.2E-4 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1529602E-4 | 2.5527988E-4 | 2.2141256 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014028725 | 0.0017124376 | 1.2206652 | 3.1E-4 | 0.01213047 | 0.01394698 | 0.014489309 | 1.0388851 | 5.5E-4 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.360192E-5 | 1.13599795E-4 | 4.813159 | 9.0E-5 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0114737E-4 | 2.0113726E-4 | 1.9885564 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012308098 | 0.0014405514 | 1.1704093 | 2.1E-4 | 0.010738871 | 0.01224556 | 0.012630784 | 1.0314583 | 3.9E-4 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9659637E-5 | 8.9658264E-5 | 4.5605245 | 7.0E-5 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.425299E-5 | 1.6424626E-4 | 1.9494412 | 8.0E-5 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010253201 | 0.0011951459 | 1.1656319 | 1.7E-4 | 0.009070295 | 0.010210125 | 0.010507062 | 1.0290827 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6463495E-5 | 6.646267E-5 | 4.0369725 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.0556016E-5 | 1.3055178E-4 | 1.8503281 | 6.0E-5 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.586975E-4 | 9.785945E-4 | 1.1396265 | 1.2E-4 | 0.007696735 | 0.008557377 | 0.008755666 | 1.0231717 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.571916E-5 | 6.571838E-5 | 4.1807814 | 5.0E-5 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.7366185E-5 | 1.2736215E-4 | 1.8905946 | 6.0E-5 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.1989093E-4 | 9.19809E-4 | 1.1218674 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0073716943 | 0.0081722075 | 0.008320982 | 1.0182049 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5192266E-5 | 5.519166E-5 | 3.6328785 | 4.0E-5 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.510818E-5 | 1.1510492E-4 | 1.7679027 | 5.0E-5 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.924199E-4 | 8.8234857E-4 | 1.1134862 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007138774 | 0.007899472 | 0.008028445 | 1.0163268 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4127834E-5 | 5.4127268E-5 | 3.8312502 | 4.0E-5 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0546547E-5 | 1.10543515E-4 | 1.825761 | 5.0E-5 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3692075E-4 | 8.2685443E-4 | 1.1220398 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073482622 | 0.0074574538 | 1.0148596 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2818511E-5 | 5.2818E-5 | 4.120447 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4935408E-5 | 1.0493266E-4 | 1.9101098 | 5.0E-5 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.686491E-4 | 7.485956E-4 | 1.1195642 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006032217 | 0.0066698454 | 0.0067691784 | 1.0148928 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3320775E-6 | 1.3332045E-5 | 4.0011206 | 1.0E-5 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.42802955E-5 | 2.4280153E-5 | 1.7002556 | 1.0E-5 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7385604E-4 | 1.9385255E-4 | 1.1150177 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017390237 | 0.001758989 | 1.0114807 | 2.0E-5 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.327155E-6 | 4.143254E-4 | 95.75008 | 4.1E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544833E-5 | 5.48535E-4 | 29.578857 | 5.3E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576294E-4 | 8.8561396E-4 | 3.9227605 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556295 | 0.0031037123 | 1.3759849 | 8.5E-4 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.327155E-6 | 4.143254E-4 | 95.75008 | 4.1E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544833E-5 | 5.48535E-4 | 29.578857 | 5.3E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576294E-4 | 8.8561396E-4 | 3.9227605 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556295 | 0.0031037123 | 1.3759849 | 8.5E-4 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.327155E-6 | 4.143254E-4 | 95.75008 | 4.1E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544833E-5 | 5.48535E-4 | 29.578857 | 5.3E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576294E-4 | 8.8561396E-4 | 3.9227605 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556295 | 0.0031037123 | 1.3759849 | 8.5E-4 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.327155E-6 | 4.143254E-4 | 95.75008 | 4.1E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544833E-5 | 5.48535E-4 | 29.578857 | 5.3E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576294E-4 | 8.8561396E-4 | 3.9227605 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556295 | 0.0031037123 | 1.3759849 | 8.5E-4 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.327155E-6 | 4.143254E-4 | 95.75008 | 4.1E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544833E-5 | 5.48535E-4 | 29.578857 | 5.3E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576294E-4 | 8.8561396E-4 | 3.9227605 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556295 | 0.0031037123 | 1.3759849 | 8.5E-4 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.327155E-6 | 4.143254E-4 | 95.75008 | 4.1E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544833E-5 | 5.48535E-4 | 29.578857 | 5.3E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576294E-4 | 8.8561396E-4 | 3.9227605 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556295 | 0.0031037123 | 1.3759849 | 8.5E-4 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5326683E-6 | 3.9253169E-4 | 154.98741 | 3.9E-4 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.085425E-5 | 5.208487E-4 | 47.985695 | 5.1E-4 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3214297E-4 | 7.720584E-4 | 5.842599 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013206922 | 0.002149596 | 1.6276283 | 8.3E-4 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5326683E-6 | 3.9253169E-4 | 154.98741 | 3.9E-4 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.085425E-5 | 5.208487E-4 | 47.985695 | 5.1E-4 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3214297E-4 | 7.720584E-4 | 5.842599 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013206922 | 0.002149596 | 1.6276283 | 8.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8328424E-6 | 3.9183212E-4 | 213.78386 | 3.9E-4 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.855016E-6 | 5.1785103E-4 | 65.926155 | 5.1E-4 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.563075E-5 | 7.3556957E-4 | 7.691768 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0010282523 | 9.559089E-4 | 0.0017851155 | 1.8674536 | 8.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7435607E-6 | 3.6174295E-4 | 207.47366 | 3.6E-4 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.472382E-6 | 4.474691E-4 | 59.883057 | 4.4E-4 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.097258E-5 | 6.3092343E-4 | 6.9353147 | 5.4E-4 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.093654E-4 | 0.001588747 | 1.7470942 | 6.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3854152E-6 | 3.3138494E-4 | 239.1954 | 3.3E-4 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9374806E-6 | 4.1593504E-4 | 70.052444 | 4.1E-4 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.228648E-5 | 5.822496E-4 | 8.054751 | 5.1E-4 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.226348E-4 | 0.0013421868 | 1.8573514 | 6.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1629154E-6 | 2.811626E-4 | 241.77391 | 2.8E-4 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.9839136E-6 | 3.6498212E-4 | 73.23203 | 3.6E-4 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0677492E-5 | 5.1065016E-4 | 8.415809 | 4.5E-4 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.066124E-4 | 0.0011462849 | 1.8896495 | 5.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.413371E-7 | 2.3094112E-4 | 245.33307 | 2.3E-4 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.0342957E-6 | 2.9403312E-4 | 72.883385 | 2.9E-4 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.911646E-5 | 3.7910024E-4 | 7.718395 | 3.3E-4 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.9105793E-4 | 8.708713E-4 | 1.7734594 | 3.8E-4 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.237626E-7 | 1.5072366E-4 | 208.25012 | 1.5E-4 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1018362E-6 | 2.1310119E-4 | 68.70162 | 2.1E-4 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.776421E-5 | 2.6775553E-4 | 7.0901923 | 2.3E-4 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7757907E-4 | 6.374809E-4 | 1.6883376 | 2.6E-4 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0211355E-7 | 6.0502083E-5 | 120.49482 | 6.0E-5 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1519136E-6 | 9.215172E-5 | 42.82315 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6199237E-5 | 1.2619662E-4 | 4.816805 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6196195E-4 | 3.7193313E-4 | 1.4197984 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6836187E-7 | 3.036835E-5 | 82.44162 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.5786928E-6 | 4.157863E-5 | 26.337378 | 4.0E-5 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9220417E-5 | 5.921965E-5 | 3.0810802 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9218777E-4 | 2.3218009E-4 | 1.2080898 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3463103E-7 | 2.3463103E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0055611E-6 | 1.0055611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2242639E-5 | 1.2242639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.2241978E-4 | 1.2241978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.8601366E-8 | 6.8601366E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.9400582E-7 | 2.9400582E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5795156E-6 | 3.5795156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5794626E-5 | 3.5794626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3206385E-5 | 1.13204296E-4 | 4.878153 | 9.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.94526E-5 | 1.9944266E-4 | 2.0054042 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012102429 | 0.0014199887 | 1.1733088 | 2.1E-4 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044513 | 0.012291501 | 1.0205064 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3206385E-5 | 1.13204296E-4 | 4.878153 | 9.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.94526E-5 | 1.9944266E-4 | 2.0054042 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012102429 | 0.0014199887 | 1.1733088 | 2.1E-4 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044513 | 0.012291501 | 1.0205064 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3206385E-5 | 1.13204296E-4 | 4.878153 | 9.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.94526E-5 | 1.9944266E-4 | 2.0054042 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012102429 | 0.0014199887 | 1.1733088 | 2.1E-4 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044513 | 0.012291501 | 1.0205064 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0752133E-5 | 1.0075117E-4 | 9.370342 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.607983E-5 | 1.3607569E-4 | 2.9530423 | 9.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6089077E-4 | 7.008122E-4 | 1.249463 | 1.4E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.005596065 | 0.005735282 | 1.0248775 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0752133E-5 | 1.0075117E-4 | 9.370342 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.607983E-5 | 1.3607569E-4 | 2.9530423 | 9.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6089077E-4 | 7.008122E-4 | 1.249463 | 1.4E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.005596065 | 0.005735282 | 1.0248775 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.460197E-6 | 4.74599E-5 | 6.3617487 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.197193E-5 | 7.197065E-5 | 2.2510574 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.891974E-4 | 4.7916238E-4 | 1.2311552 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0036259557 | 0.003886013 | 0.0039756633 | 1.02307 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3492417E-6 | 1.534919E-5 | 2.8694139 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2925158E-5 | 3.292493E-5 | 1.436192 | 1.0E-5 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7908478E-4 | 3.290708E-4 | 1.1791071 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027880021 | 0.0028378626 | 1.017884 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.9265074E-6 | 1.3926468E-5 | 3.5467827 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6827811E-5 | 2.6827644E-5 | 1.5942444 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.048651E-4 | 2.3485895E-4 | 1.1464078 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019095168 | 0.002047326 | 0.0020772645 | 1.0146233 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7462581E-6 | 2.7462581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1769653E-5 | 1.1769653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4329105E-4 | 1.5328961E-4 | 1.0697781 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013348613 | 0.001432472 | 0.0014424577 | 1.0069709 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8977962E-6 | 1.8977962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.133413E-6 | 8.133413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.90243E-5 | 1.09023305E-4 | 1.1009753 | 1.0E-5 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.902429E-4 | 0.0010002331 | 1.0100886 | 1.0E-5 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4029825E-5 | 1.04027444E-4 | 3.0569491 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4583411E-4 | 2.2582246E-4 | 1.5484885 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.001774114 | 0.0019138656 | 1.0787727 | 1.4E-4 | 0.015640736 | 0.017606555 | 0.017803032 | 1.0111594 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4029825E-5 | 1.04027444E-4 | 3.0569491 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4583411E-4 | 2.2582246E-4 | 1.5484885 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.001774114 | 0.0019138656 | 1.0787727 | 1.4E-4 | 0.015640736 | 0.017606555 | 0.017803032 | 1.0111594 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4029825E-5 | 1.04027444E-4 | 3.0569491 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4583411E-4 | 2.2582246E-4 | 1.5484885 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.001774114 | 0.0019138656 | 1.0787727 | 1.4E-4 | 0.015640736 | 0.017606555 | 0.017803032 | 1.0111594 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2145712E-5 | 1.02143465E-4 | 3.1775143 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3776023E-4 | 2.177492E-4 | 1.5806391 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016759683 | 0.0018157336 | 1.0833938 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01479908 | 0.016640436 | 0.016837107 | 1.0118189 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2145712E-5 | 1.02143465E-4 | 3.1775143 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3776023E-4 | 2.177492E-4 | 1.5806391 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016759683 | 0.0018157336 | 1.0833938 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01479908 | 0.016640436 | 0.016837107 | 1.0118189 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0869935E-5 | 1.0086777E-4 | 3.2675085 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3229316E-4 | 2.1228258E-4 | 1.6046376 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016095067 | 0.0017492813 | 1.0868431 | 1.4E-4 | 0.014230782 | 0.015985543 | 0.016182346 | 1.0123113 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9291929E-5 | 9.928988E-5 | 3.3896668 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2553095E-4 | 2.055209E-4 | 1.6372131 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015272944 | 0.0016670806 | 1.0915253 | 1.4E-4 | 0.013544982 | 0.015174854 | 0.015371819 | 1.0129797 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7378921E-5 | 9.737701E-5 | 3.5566413 | 7.0E-5 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.173331E-4 | 1.9732371E-4 | 1.6817396 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014276195 | 0.0015574339 | 1.0909307 | 1.3E-4 | 0.012701893 | 0.01419115 | 0.014378454 | 1.0131986 | 1.9E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4970548E-5 | 8.496905E-5 | 3.4027708 | 6.0E-5 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0701237E-4 | 1.7700488E-4 | 1.65406 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013021188 | 0.0014219625 | 1.0920374 | 1.2E-4 | 0.011539802 | 0.01295115 | 0.013128818 | 1.0137184 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.232267E-5 | 8.2321334E-5 | 3.6877904 | 6.0E-5 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.5665186E-5 | 1.656585E-4 | 1.7316487 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011641199 | 0.0012839802 | 1.1029621 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010331288 | 0.011585725 | 0.011763639 | 1.0153563 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0596497E-5 | 8.059526E-5 | 3.9130569 | 6.0E-5 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.8267814E-5 | 1.5826164E-4 | 1.792971 | 7.0E-5 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010741486 | 0.0011940197 | 1.1115963 | 1.2E-4 | 0.009531168 | 0.010695001 | 0.0108730765 | 1.0166503 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9801206E-5 | 7.980002E-5 | 4.0300584 | 6.0E-5 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.485965E-5 | 1.5485371E-4 | 1.8248215 | 7.0E-5 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010326941 | 0.0011525702 | 1.1160809 | 1.2E-4 | 0.009176437 | 0.010284346 | 0.010462495 | 1.0173223 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8184188E-5 | 6.818328E-5 | 3.7495916 | 5.0E-5 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.793E-5 | 1.3792532E-4 | 1.7698617 | 6.0E-5 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.4840216E-4 | 0.0010582978 | 1.1158745 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008511325 | 0.009448774 | 0.009607262 | 1.0167735 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5987818E-5 | 5.5987177E-5 | 3.501865 | 4.0E-5 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.851751E-5 | 1.18514086E-4 | 1.7296904 | 5.0E-5 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.338977E-4 | 9.2382263E-4 | 1.107837 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0075480095 | 0.00831139 | 0.008440309 | 1.0155112 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.416409E-5 | 5.4163524E-5 | 3.824003 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.070192E-5 | 1.10698886E-4 | 1.8236471 | 5.0E-5 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.3881116E-4 | 8.2874467E-4 | 1.1217273 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0066837464 | 0.007367069 | 0.0074762586 | 1.0148213 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2854767E-5 | 5.285425E-5 | 4.111646 | 4.0E-5 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5090786E-5 | 1.0508803E-4 | 1.9075428 | 5.0E-5 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.705396E-4 | 7.50486E-4 | 1.1192269 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006054099 | 0.006688665 | 0.0067879963 | 1.0148506 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.339976E-6 | 1.3339943E-5 | 3.9940236 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4314145E-5 | 2.4314002E-5 | 1.6985997 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7426809E-4 | 1.942646E-4 | 1.1147457 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017431489 | 0.001763114 | 1.0114535 | 2.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.804301E-5 | 7.804185E-5 | 1.344552 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.487359E-4 | 2.7872843E-4 | 1.1205798 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0025163088 | 0.003024824 | 0.0031145518 | 1.0296638 | 9.0E-5 | 0.02488006 | 0.029903704 | 0.030020116 | 1.0038929 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.089799E-5 | 4.0897572E-5 | 1.9570098 | 2.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.955995E-5 | 1.0955816E-4 | 1.2232941 | 2.0E-5 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.001089885 | 0.0011498196 | 1.0549917 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009242975 | 0.010849522 | 0.010908871 | 1.0054702 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.089799E-5 | 4.0897572E-5 | 1.9570098 | 2.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.955995E-5 | 1.0955816E-4 | 1.2232941 | 2.0E-5 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.001089885 | 0.0011498196 | 1.0549917 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009242975 | 0.010849522 | 0.010908871 | 1.0054702 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.577756E-5 | 3.5777244E-5 | 2.2676032 | 2.0E-5 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.76165E-5 | 8.7615146E-5 | 1.2957658 | 2.0E-5 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.229436E-4 | 8.7290246E-4 | 1.0607074 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007027647 | 0.008201604 | 0.008251194 | 1.0060464 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2632061E-5 | 3.2631808E-5 | 2.583253 | 2.0E-5 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4136384E-5 | 7.41353E-5 | 1.3694173 | 2.0E-5 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.589289E-4 | 6.989025E-4 | 1.0606645 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005655863 | 0.0065717916 | 0.006611529 | 1.0060467 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.2060645E-6 | 1.9205972E-5 | 2.0862305 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.945403E-5 | 4.9453633E-5 | 1.2534496 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.8025747E-4 | 5.1024306E-4 | 1.0624365 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004793524 | 0.00482338 | 1.0062284 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.620347E-6 | 1.762027E-5 | 2.3122663 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.265827E-5 | 4.2657946E-5 | 1.3061911 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.97551E-4 | 4.1754302E-4 | 1.050288 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039695767 | 0.003989497 | 1.0050184 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4362526E-6 | 1.5436199E-5 | 2.8394923 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3298044E-5 | 3.329781E-5 | 1.4292105 | 1.0E-5 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.8362114E-4 | 3.0361547E-4 | 1.0704966 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028333087 | 0.002853252 | 1.0070388 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.974216E-6 | 1.4974166E-5 | 3.010357 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.131792E-5 | 3.1317708E-5 | 1.4690789 | 1.0E-5 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5951903E-4 | 2.7951386E-4 | 1.0770457 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025928607 | 0.002612809 | 1.0076935 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0769104E-6 | 1.3076879E-5 | 4.2500033 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3186699E-5 | 2.3186567E-5 | 1.7583299 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6053747E-4 | 1.8053425E-4 | 1.1245615 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016042638 | 0.0016242317 | 1.0124468 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1294622E-6 | 1.2129441E-5 | 5.696011 | 1.0E-5 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.126239E-6 | 1.9126148E-5 | 2.0957315 | 1.0E-5 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.11106994E-4 | 1.3110477E-4 | 1.1799867 | 2.0E-5 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011105832 | 0.001130561 | 1.0179886 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6654074E-6 | 1.1665391E-5 | 7.004527 | 1.0E-5 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.137444E-6 | 1.7137372E-5 | 2.4010518 | 1.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.68955E-5 | 1.0689377E-4 | 1.2301415 | 2.0E-5 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.686732E-4 | 8.8865584E-4 | 1.0230036 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1833654E-6 | 1.1833654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0715594E-6 | 5.0715594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.174502E-5 | 7.17444E-5 | 1.1619464 | 1.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.173309E-4 | 6.2732474E-4 | 1.0161887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.774192E-7 | 9.774192E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.1889352E-6 | 4.1889352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0999617E-5 | 5.0999617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.0993013E-4 | 5.0993013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.512336E-7 | 8.512336E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.648142E-6 | 3.648142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.441574E-5 | 4.441574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.441195E-4 | 4.441195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.3071167E-7 | 6.3071167E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.70305E-6 | 2.70305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2909633E-5 | 3.2909633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2909634E-4 | 3.2909634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7584156E-6 | 5.675808E-5 | 8.398133 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8964361E-5 | 7.896291E-5 | 2.7262094 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5259206E-4 | 4.4256033E-4 | 1.2551625 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003521115 | 0.0036207628 | 1.0283 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7584156E-6 | 5.675808E-5 | 8.398133 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8964361E-5 | 7.896291E-5 | 2.7262094 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5259206E-4 | 4.4256033E-4 | 1.2551625 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003521115 | 0.0036207628 | 1.0283 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7584156E-6 | 5.675808E-5 | 8.398133 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8964361E-5 | 7.896291E-5 | 2.7262094 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5259206E-4 | 4.4256033E-4 | 1.2551625 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003521115 | 0.0036207628 | 1.0283 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7584156E-6 | 5.675808E-5 | 8.398133 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8964361E-5 | 7.896291E-5 | 2.7262094 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5259206E-4 | 4.4256033E-4 | 1.2551625 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003521115 | 0.0036207628 | 1.0283 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7584156E-6 | 5.675808E-5 | 8.398133 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8964361E-5 | 7.896291E-5 | 2.7262094 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5259206E-4 | 4.4256033E-4 | 1.2551625 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003521115 | 0.0036207628 | 1.0283 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2575556E-6 | 3.3257456E-5 | 10.20933 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3960883E-5 | 4.3960463E-5 | 3.1488314 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6996129E-4 | 2.199528E-4 | 1.2941346 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016983928 | 0.0017483078 | 1.0293896 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2575556E-6 | 3.3257456E-5 | 10.20933 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3960883E-5 | 4.3960463E-5 | 3.1488314 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6996129E-4 | 2.199528E-4 | 1.2941346 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016983928 | 0.0017483078 | 1.0293896 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.207417E-6 | 1.2207395E-5 | 5.5301714 | 1.0E-5 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.4603265E-6 | 1.946023E-5 | 2.057036 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1517358E-4 | 1.3517127E-4 | 1.173631 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011511584 | 0.0011711352 | 1.0173538 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7367784E-6 | 1.1736761E-5 | 6.757777 | 1.0E-5 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.443315E-6 | 1.744324E-5 | 2.3434775 | 1.0E-5 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.061869E-5 | 1.1061688E-4 | 1.220685 | 2.0E-5 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.058271E-4 | 9.2580897E-4 | 1.0220593 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3690374E-6 | 1.3690374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.86729E-6 | 5.86729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.143196E-5 | 8.1431244E-5 | 1.1399834 | 1.0E-5 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.1409455E-4 | 7.240874E-4 | 1.0139937 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1415266E-6 | 1.1415266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.892248E-6 | 4.892248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.956152E-5 | 5.956152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.954587E-4 | 5.954587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.303888E-7 | 9.303888E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.987375E-6 | 3.987375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.8545222E-5 | 4.8545222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8534796E-4 | 4.8534796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.720182E-7 | 6.720182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8800748E-6 | 2.8800748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5064357E-5 | 3.5064357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.505891E-4 | 3.505891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.9399614E-7 | 4.9399614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1171245E-6 | 2.1171245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5775693E-5 | 2.5775693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5772752E-4 | 2.5772752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.3000507E-7 | 3.3000507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4143067E-6 | 1.4143067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.721905E-5 | 1.721905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.721774E-4 | 1.721774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4752379E-7 | 1.4752379E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.322447E-7 | 6.322447E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.697552E-6 | 7.697552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.697294E-5 | 7.697294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7356639E-8 | 1.7356639E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.438559E-8 | 7.438559E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0564424E-7 | 9.0564424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.056411E-6 | 9.056411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.652983E-5 | 7.652916E-5 | 1.1502985 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8509958E-4 | 3.1509102E-4 | 1.1051964 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003466434 | 0.0034963302 | 1.0086244 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02591553 | 0.03422698 | 0.034294587 | 1.0019752 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.652983E-5 | 7.652916E-5 | 1.1502985 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8509958E-4 | 3.1509102E-4 | 1.1051964 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003466434 | 0.0034963302 | 1.0086244 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02591553 | 0.03422698 | 0.034294587 | 1.0019752 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.107395E-5 | 3.107395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3316845E-4 | 1.3316845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016202899 | 0.0016202899 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012509781 | 0.016118553 | 0.01614807 | 1.0018312 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2432636E-5 | 2.2432636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.613722E-5 | 9.613722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011699792 | 0.0011699792 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009055373 | 0.011668809 | 0.011678692 | 1.000847 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2432636E-5 | 2.2432636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.613722E-5 | 9.613722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011699792 | 0.0011699792 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009055373 | 0.011668809 | 0.011678692 | 1.000847 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.950075E-5 | 1.950075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.357282E-5 | 8.357282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.00101716 | 0.00101716 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078909 | 0.010155534 | 0.0101654325 | 1.0009747 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.598649E-6 | 8.598649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6850866E-5 | 3.6850866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4857265E-4 | 4.4857265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035039932 | 0.004494536 | 0.004494536 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.531027E-6 | 8.531027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.656106E-5 | 3.656106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.450457E-4 | 4.450457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044594184 | 0.0044594184 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.377308E-6 | 8.377308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5902285E-5 | 3.5902285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3702836E-4 | 4.3702836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043794755 | 0.0043794755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.049976E-6 | 8.049976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4499473E-5 | 3.4499473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1995576E-4 | 4.1995576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004209191 | 0.004209191 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.68152E-6 | 7.68152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2920416E-5 | 3.2920416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2002592E-4 | 4.0073792E-4 | 4.0073792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031956544 | 0.004017558 | 0.004017558 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.1910945E-6 | 7.1910945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0818643E-5 | 3.0818643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7515783E-4 | 3.7515783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037625371 | 0.0037625371 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.399063E-6 | 5.399063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.3138658E-5 | 2.3138658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.8168084E-4 | 2.8168084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024867293 | 0.002829548 | 0.002829548 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7418996E-6 | 2.7418996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1750947E-5 | 1.1750947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4305855E-4 | 1.4305855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014394581 | 0.0014394581 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3351367E-6 | 2.3351367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 1.000769E-5 | 1.000769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2183693E-4 | 1.2183693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012264289 | 0.0012264289 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.194541E-6 | 2.194541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.405142E-6 | 9.405142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1450169E-4 | 1.1450169E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011529372 | 0.0011529372 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8987547E-6 | 1.8987547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.137495E-6 | 8.137495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.9069584E-5 | 9.9069584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001199845 | 9.983634E-4 | 9.983634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.365194E-6 | 1.365194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.8508185E-6 | 5.8508185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.123143E-5 | 7.123143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.1988726E-4 | 7.1988726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.5700964E-7 | 8.5700964E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6728934E-6 | 3.6728934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.4716584E-5 | 4.4716584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.5240665E-4 | 4.5240665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.8357362E-7 | 3.8357362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.643886E-6 | 1.643886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 2.0014138E-5 | 2.0014138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 2.0172361E-4 | 2.0172361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.4414203E-8 | 3.4414203E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4748943E-7 | 1.4748943E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7956831E-6 | 1.7956831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.8158173E-5 | 1.8158173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083687E-5 | 3.1083466E-5 | 2.8044336 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7500725E-5 | 7.74993E-5 | 1.6315393 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7818065E-4 | 6.4814015E-4 | 1.1209995 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057680337 | 0.0058575147 | 1.0155132 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083687E-5 | 3.1083466E-5 | 2.8044336 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7500725E-5 | 7.74993E-5 | 1.6315393 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7818065E-4 | 6.4814015E-4 | 1.1209995 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057680337 | 0.0058575147 | 1.0155132 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083687E-5 | 3.1083466E-5 | 2.8044336 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7500725E-5 | 7.74993E-5 | 1.6315393 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7818065E-4 | 6.4814015E-4 | 1.1209995 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057680337 | 0.0058575147 | 1.0155132 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083687E-5 | 3.1083466E-5 | 2.8044336 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7500725E-5 | 7.74993E-5 | 1.6315393 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7818065E-4 | 6.4814015E-4 | 1.1209995 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057680337 | 0.0058575147 | 1.0155132 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083687E-5 | 3.1083466E-5 | 2.8044336 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7500725E-5 | 7.74993E-5 | 1.6315393 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7818065E-4 | 6.4814015E-4 | 1.1209995 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057680337 | 0.0058575147 | 1.0155132 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083687E-5 | 3.1083466E-5 | 2.8044336 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7500725E-5 | 7.74993E-5 | 1.6315393 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7818065E-4 | 6.4814015E-4 | 1.1209995 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057680337 | 0.0058575147 | 1.0155132 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9383964E-6 | 2.6938258E-5 | 3.8824904 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9735664E-5 | 5.973477E-5 | 2.0088596 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6197447E-4 | 4.3194916E-4 | 1.1933138 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003951 | 0.0036141407 | 0.0037038154 | 1.0248122 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9383964E-6 | 2.6938258E-5 | 3.8824904 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9735664E-5 | 5.973477E-5 | 2.0088596 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6197447E-4 | 4.3194916E-4 | 1.1933138 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003951 | 0.0036141407 | 0.0037038154 | 1.0248122 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1816496E-6 | 2.5181545E-5 | 4.8597546 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2206887E-5 | 5.2206222E-5 | 2.3509023 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7033646E-4 | 3.4031755E-4 | 1.2588665 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0027001924 | 0.0027899495 | 1.0332409 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.254429E-6 | 2.4254345E-5 | 5.7009635 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8233144E-5 | 4.8232596E-5 | 2.6453252 | 3.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2196665E-4 | 2.9195112E-4 | 1.3152927 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0026117235 | 0.002217522 | 0.0023073223 | 1.0404959 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7157786E-6 | 2.3715704E-5 | 6.382432 | 2.0E-5 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5924672E-5 | 4.5924193E-5 | 2.8838394 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9386626E-4 | 2.6385268E-4 | 1.3610036 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019370344 | 0.0020268601 | 1.0463728 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1136587E-6 | 2.3113596E-5 | 7.423291 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3344187E-5 | 4.3343785E-5 | 3.2481399 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6245393E-4 | 2.3244256E-4 | 1.4308214 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016234078 | 0.0017132617 | 1.055349 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.606989E-6 | 2.2606937E-5 | 8.671665 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1172766E-5 | 4.117243E-5 | 3.6850708 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3602043E-4 | 2.0601091E-4 | 1.5145586 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013594215 | 0.0014492992 | 1.0661147 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8297521E-6 | 2.1829715E-5 | 11.930423 | 2.0E-5 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.8417725E-6 | 3.784154E-5 | 4.8256354 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.5469695E-5 | 1.6546302E-4 | 1.733147 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013866565 | 9.5431576E-4 | 0.0010442298 | 1.0942184 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4376457E-6 | 2.1437618E-5 | 14.911613 | 2.0E-5 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.1613255E-6 | 3.6161142E-5 | 5.8690524 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.501181E-5 | 1.1500881E-4 | 1.5332093 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001177395 | 7.4988994E-4 | 7.998525E-4 | 1.0666264 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.363312E-7 | 2.0736317E-5 | 28.16167 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1557013E-6 | 3.3155608E-5 | 10.506574 | 3.0E-5 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.841999E-5 | 7.841845E-5 | 2.0410848 | 4.0E-5 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8413392E-4 | 4.341147E-4 | 1.1301129 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6665494E-7 | 1.0466651E-5 | 22.4291 | 1.0E-5 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9999482E-6 | 2.1999907E-5 | 11.000238 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4349101E-5 | 4.4348613E-5 | 1.8213656 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4346459E-4 | 2.6345972E-4 | 1.0821275 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5614785E-7 | 1.0156146E-5 | 65.041855 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.692049E-7 | 2.0669191E-5 | 30.886192 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.14754E-6 | 2.8147377E-5 | 3.4547086 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1472535E-5 | 1.01470905E-4 | 1.2454615 | 2.0E-5 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2518447E-5 | 3.2518223E-5 | 1.4440703 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.65041E-5 | 1.0650314E-4 | 1.1036125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011743116 | 0.0012142647 | 1.0340226 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681978 | 0.01175116 | 1.0059221 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2518447E-5 | 3.2518223E-5 | 1.4440703 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.65041E-5 | 1.0650314E-4 | 1.1036125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011743116 | 0.0012142647 | 1.0340226 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681978 | 0.01175116 | 1.0059221 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2518447E-5 | 3.2518223E-5 | 1.4440703 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.65041E-5 | 1.0650314E-4 | 1.1036125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011743116 | 0.0012142647 | 1.0340226 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681978 | 0.01175116 | 1.0059221 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.135425E-5 | 3.1354037E-5 | 1.4682809 | 1.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1515045E-5 | 1.01514124E-4 | 1.1092616 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011136329 | 0.0011535883 | 1.0358784 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011081348 | 0.011150572 | 1.0062469 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.135425E-5 | 3.1354037E-5 | 1.4682809 | 1.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1515045E-5 | 1.01514124E-4 | 1.1092616 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011136329 | 0.0011535883 | 1.0358784 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011081348 | 0.011150572 | 1.0062469 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0577607E-5 | 3.05774E-5 | 1.4859551 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.8186796E-5 | 9.818591E-5 | 1.1133857 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.001073152 | 0.001113109 | 1.0372334 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010680485 | 0.010749737 | 1.006484 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9926934E-5 | 2.9926736E-5 | 1.5018233 | 1.0E-5 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.539839E-5 | 9.539753E-5 | 1.1170882 | 1.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010392359 | 0.0010791942 | 1.0384498 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.010344519 | 0.010413796 | 1.0066968 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.905868E-5 | 2.905849E-5 | 1.5246853 | 1.0E-5 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.1677535E-5 | 9.167672E-5 | 1.1224227 | 1.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.939765E-4 | 0.0010339367 | 1.0402024 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009896028 | 0.009965335 | 1.0070035 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8527417E-5 | 2.852723E-5 | 1.5397307 | 1.0E-5 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.940083E-5 | 8.940004E-5 | 1.1259333 | 1.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.6628256E-4 | 0.0010062439 | 1.0413557 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.009621515 | 0.009690842 | 1.0072054 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8102204E-5 | 2.8102024E-5 | 1.5524089 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.75786E-5 | 8.757783E-5 | 1.1288915 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.441163E-4 | 9.840785E-4 | 1.0423276 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009401749 | 0.0094710905 | 1.0073755 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7819999E-5 | 2.781982E-5 | 1.5611572 | 1.0E-5 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.636922E-5 | 8.636846E-5 | 1.1309328 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.2940475E-4 | 9.6936757E-4 | 1.0429983 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.009255868 | 0.00932522 | 1.0074928 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7497727E-5 | 2.7497552E-5 | 1.5714928 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.498814E-5 | 8.498738E-5 | 1.1333444 | 1.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.126042E-4 | 9.525677E-4 | 1.0437906 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.009089249 | 0.009158612 | 1.0076314 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7184591E-5 | 2.718442E-5 | 1.5819067 | 1.0E-5 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.36462E-5 | 8.3645464E-5 | 1.1357744 | 1.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.9627976E-4 | 9.362439E-4 | 1.0445889 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008927328 | 0.008996703 | 1.0077711 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6315651E-5 | 2.6315487E-5 | 1.6128985 | 1.0E-5 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.9922375E-5 | 7.992167E-5 | 1.1430057 | 1.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.509783E-4 | 8.8095275E-4 | 1.0352236 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008477842 | 0.008537333 | 1.0070173 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5820733E-5 | 2.5820575E-5 | 1.632072 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.780141E-5 | 7.780073E-5 | 1.1474795 | 1.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.251754E-4 | 8.5515063E-4 | 1.0363259 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008221749 | 0.008281256 | 1.0072377 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.513855E-5 | 2.5138399E-5 | 1.6605552 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.4877924E-5 | 7.487727E-5 | 1.1541257 | 1.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.896083E-4 | 8.195846E-4 | 1.0379635 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007868653 | 0.0079281805 | 1.0075651 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.263649E-5 | 1.263649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.415529E-5 | 5.415529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.591465E-4 | 6.7913334E-4 | 1.0303223 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.0065724677 | 0.006622139 | 1.0075575 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02916165E-5 | 1.02916165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.410621E-5 | 4.410621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3686585E-4 | 5.468605E-4 | 1.0186167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0053562005 | 0.00538604 | 1.005571 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6496124E-7 | 3.6496124E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5641187E-6 | 1.5641187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042984E-5 | 2.9042792E-5 | 1.5251178 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9041396E-4 | 2.0041206E-4 | 1.0525072 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704468E-9 | 2.6704468E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444772E-8 | 1.1444772E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.393401E-7 | 1.393401E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.393401E-6 | 1.393401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0579896E-5 | 1.0057778E-4 | 1.4250202 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.024506E-4 | 3.324415E-4 | 1.0991597 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036761828 | 0.003716036 | 1.0108409 | 4.0E-5 | 0.028357591 | 0.03632374 | 0.0363912 | 1.0018572 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0579896E-5 | 1.0057778E-4 | 1.4250202 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.024506E-4 | 3.324415E-4 | 1.0991597 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036761828 | 0.003716036 | 1.0108409 | 4.0E-5 | 0.028357591 | 0.03632374 | 0.0363912 | 1.0018572 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1964846E-5 | 7.1963805E-5 | 1.3848556 | 2.0E-5 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2268765E-4 | 2.4268319E-4 | 1.0897919 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0027078828 | 0.0027378015 | 1.0110488 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021759989 | 0.026888799 | 0.026947185 | 1.0021714 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1964846E-5 | 7.1963805E-5 | 1.3848556 | 2.0E-5 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2268765E-4 | 2.4268319E-4 | 1.0897919 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0027078828 | 0.0027378015 | 1.0110488 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021759989 | 0.026888799 | 0.026947185 | 1.0021714 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4402685E-5 | 6.44018E-5 | 1.4504032 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.9028349E-4 | 2.1027969E-4 | 1.1050863 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0023142654 | 0.002344196 | 1.0129331 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019048655 | 0.023019314 | 0.023077933 | 1.0025465 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0305695E-5 | 6.0304887E-5 | 1.4961878 | 2.0E-5 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7272738E-4 | 1.9272392E-4 | 1.1157694 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0021009494 | 0.0021308863 | 1.0142492 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017543508 | 0.020909896 | 0.02094906 | 1.001873 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9758826E-5 | 5.975803E-5 | 1.503013 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.7038397E-4 | 1.9038055E-4 | 1.1173619 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020724728 | 0.0021024107 | 1.0144454 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017365133 | 0.020630537 | 0.020669712 | 1.0018989 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8373608E-5 | 5.8372843E-5 | 1.5211716 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6444808E-4 | 1.8444478E-4 | 1.121599 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0020003384 | 0.0020302783 | 1.0149674 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016856372 | 0.019921156 | 0.019960359 | 1.0019679 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7799015E-5 | 5.779826E-5 | 1.5290943 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6198584E-4 | 1.819826E-4 | 1.1234475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019704152 | 0.002000356 | 1.0151953 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016654192 | 0.019627247 | 0.019666461 | 1.001998 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.700172E-5 | 5.700098E-5 | 1.5404954 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5856928E-4 | 1.7856612E-4 | 1.1261078 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016503202 | 0.001928893 | 0.0019588352 | 1.015523 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01638118 | 0.019219244 | 0.019258475 | 1.0020412 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.590377E-5 | 5.5903052E-5 | 1.5570246 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5386436E-4 | 1.7386128E-4 | 1.1299646 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018717102 | 0.0019016541 | 1.0159981 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015996104 | 0.018654937 | 0.018694192 | 1.0021042 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4667788E-5 | 5.4667093E-5 | 1.5768844 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.485679E-4 | 1.6856492E-4 | 1.1345986 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0018073346 | 0.0018372803 | 1.016569 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01556781 | 0.018021455 | 0.018060734 | 1.0021796 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.154665E-5 | 5.154602E-5 | 1.6339617 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3519304E-4 | 1.5519033E-4 | 1.1479167 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016447521 | 0.0016747027 | 1.0182098 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014481937 | 0.016419638 | 0.01645898 | 1.0023961 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6963497E-5 | 4.6962956E-5 | 1.7417235 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.155528E-4 | 1.355505E-4 | 1.173061 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0014059623 | 0.00143592 | 1.0213077 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012712469 | 0.014055904 | 0.014095342 | 1.0028058 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.544067E-5 | 4.544016E-5 | 1.7861228 | 2.0E-5 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.09026965E-4 | 1.2902477E-4 | 1.1834209 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013266095 | 0.0013565697 | 1.0225841 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012045753 | 0.013269987 | 0.013309456 | 1.0029743 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2713217E-5 | 4.2712763E-5 | 1.8805245 | 2.0E-5 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.7338794E-5 | 1.1733685E-4 | 1.2054479 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011844673 | 0.0012144318 | 1.0252979 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010886264 | 0.01185898 | 0.0118985055 | 1.003333 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.620084E-5 | 2.6200678E-5 | 1.617242 | 1.0E-5 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.943037E-5 | 7.942967E-5 | 1.1440192 | 1.0E-5 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.449948E-4 | 8.649779E-4 | 1.0236487 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007854558 | 0.008492058 | 0.008511888 | 1.0023352 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0872744E-5 | 1.0872744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.6596644E-5 | 4.6596644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.6716683E-4 | 5.6716683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00517007 | 0.005727792 | 0.005727792 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.5867E-6 | 8.5867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6799625E-5 | 3.6799625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.479435E-4 | 4.479435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035191406 | 0.0045282943 | 0.0045282943 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.466361E-6 | 5.466361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3427052E-5 | 2.3427052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8518712E-4 | 2.8518712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002072189 | 0.002882806 | 0.002882806 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.1101803E-6 | 2.1101803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.043599E-6 | 9.043599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.10100285E-4 | 1.10100285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011137542 | 0.0011137542 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.195813E-7 | 3.195813E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3696335E-6 | 1.3696335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6675176E-5 | 1.6675176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.68871E-4 | 1.68871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.868506E-5 | 2.8684872E-5 | 1.535177 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.007641E-5 | 9.0075606E-5 | 1.1248708 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.745019E-4 | 0.0010044726 | 1.0307549 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009703141 | 0.009762559 | 1.0061235 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.868506E-5 | 2.8684872E-5 | 1.535177 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.007641E-5 | 9.0075606E-5 | 1.1248708 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.745019E-4 | 0.0010044726 | 1.0307549 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009703141 | 0.009762559 | 1.0061235 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.868506E-5 | 2.8684872E-5 | 1.535177 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.007641E-5 | 9.0075606E-5 | 1.1248708 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.745019E-4 | 0.0010044726 | 1.0307549 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009703141 | 0.009762559 | 1.0061235 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.868506E-5 | 2.8684872E-5 | 1.535177 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.007641E-5 | 9.0075606E-5 | 1.1248708 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.745019E-4 | 0.0010044726 | 1.0307549 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009703141 | 0.009762559 | 1.0061235 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7351947E-5 | 2.7351774E-5 | 1.5762942 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.436341E-5 | 8.436266E-5 | 1.1344647 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.050045E-4 | 9.349774E-4 | 1.033119 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009013876 | 0.009073336 | 1.0065964 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7351947E-5 | 2.7351774E-5 | 1.5762942 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.436341E-5 | 8.436266E-5 | 1.1344647 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.050045E-4 | 9.349774E-4 | 1.033119 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009013876 | 0.009073336 | 1.0065964 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6822465E-5 | 2.6822296E-5 | 1.5944332 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.209431E-5 | 8.20936E-5 | 1.1386971 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.7740074E-4 | 9.0737443E-4 | 1.0341619 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00781795 | 0.008740023 | 0.008799498 | 1.006805 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.636899E-5 | 2.6368825E-5 | 1.6109012 | 1.0E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.0150956E-5 | 8.0150254E-5 | 1.1425397 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.53759E-4 | 8.837334E-4 | 1.0351087 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007607299 | 0.008505428 | 0.008564918 | 1.0069944 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.589466E-5 | 2.5894502E-5 | 1.6291322 | 1.0E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.811823E-5 | 7.811754E-5 | 1.1467936 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.290295E-4 | 8.5900456E-4 | 1.0361569 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007386771 | 0.008259984 | 0.008319489 | 1.0072039 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5416843E-5 | 2.541669E-5 | 1.6486312 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.607054E-5 | 7.606988E-5 | 1.1513433 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.041175E-4 | 8.340933E-4 | 1.0372779 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008012675 | 0.008072194 | 1.0074282 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5200246E-5 | 2.5200094E-5 | 1.6578741 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.514232E-5 | 7.514167E-5 | 1.1535001 | 1.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.9282455E-4 | 8.228008E-4 | 1.0378094 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.007900554 | 0.00796008 | 1.0075344 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.49932785E-5 | 2.4993129E-5 | 1.6669556 | 1.0E-5 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.425536E-5 | 7.425471E-5 | 1.155619 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.820336E-4 | 8.1201014E-4 | 1.0383315 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007793406 | 0.007852939 | 1.0076388 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.469128E-5 | 2.4691133E-5 | 1.6806659 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.296114E-5 | 7.296051E-5 | 1.1588181 | 1.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.6628773E-4 | 7.9626474E-4 | 1.0391198 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.0076370393 | 0.007696581 | 1.0077964 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4465343E-5 | 2.4465198E-5 | 1.6912974 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.199289E-5 | 7.199227E-5 | 1.1612989 | 1.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.545075E-4 | 7.8448484E-4 | 1.039731 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.00752004 | 0.007579589 | 1.0079187 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4295203E-5 | 2.4295061E-5 | 1.6995254 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.126375E-5 | 7.126314E-5 | 1.1632186 | 1.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4563635E-4 | 7.7561394E-4 | 1.040204 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0074319253 | 0.007491479 | 1.0080132 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4023261E-5 | 2.402312E-5 | 1.7130909 | 1.0E-5 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.0098337E-5 | 7.009773E-5 | 1.166384 | 1.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.31457E-4 | 7.614351E-4 | 1.040984 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.007291072 | 0.0073506343 | 1.0081693 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2658316E-5 | 1.2658316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4248827E-5 | 5.4248827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.6028466E-4 | 6.802714E-4 | 1.03027 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.0065837814 | 0.006633452 | 1.0075444 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02916165E-5 | 1.02916165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.410621E-5 | 4.410621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3686585E-4 | 5.468605E-4 | 1.0186167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0053562005 | 0.00538604 | 1.005571 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6496124E-7 | 3.6496124E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5641187E-6 | 1.5641187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042984E-5 | 2.9042792E-5 | 1.5251178 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9041396E-4 | 2.0041206E-4 | 1.0525072 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704468E-9 | 2.6704468E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444772E-8 | 1.1444772E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.393401E-7 | 1.393401E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.393401E-6 | 1.393401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4408873E-6 | 2.6440759E-5 | 4.105142 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.76036E-5 | 5.760277E-5 | 2.0867848 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603792E-4 | 3.6602785E-4 | 1.0892457 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033568607 | 0.0034166593 | 1.0178138 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4408873E-6 | 2.6440759E-5 | 4.105142 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.76036E-5 | 5.760277E-5 | 2.0867848 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603792E-4 | 3.6602785E-4 | 1.0892457 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033568607 | 0.0034166593 | 1.0178138 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4408873E-6 | 2.6440759E-5 | 4.105142 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.76036E-5 | 5.760277E-5 | 2.0867848 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603792E-4 | 3.6602785E-4 | 1.0892457 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033568607 | 0.0034166593 | 1.0178138 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4408873E-6 | 2.6440759E-5 | 4.105142 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.76036E-5 | 5.760277E-5 | 2.0867848 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603792E-4 | 3.6602785E-4 | 1.0892457 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033568607 | 0.0034166593 | 1.0178138 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4408873E-6 | 2.6440759E-5 | 4.105142 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.76036E-5 | 5.760277E-5 | 2.0867848 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603792E-4 | 3.6602785E-4 | 1.0892457 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033568607 | 0.0034166593 | 1.0178138 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.952859E-6 | 1.295283E-5 | 4.3865385 | 1.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2655098E-5 | 2.2654971E-5 | 1.7901855 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5407363E-4 | 1.6407209E-4 | 1.0648941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015405217 | 0.001560491 | 1.0129626 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.952859E-6 | 1.295283E-5 | 4.3865385 | 1.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2655098E-5 | 2.2654971E-5 | 1.7901855 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5407363E-4 | 1.6407209E-4 | 1.0648941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015405217 | 0.001560491 | 1.0129626 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6299722E-6 | 1.2629946E-5 | 4.8023114 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.127131E-5 | 2.1271197E-5 | 1.8871983 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.372282E-4 | 1.4722682E-4 | 1.0728613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013722819 | 0.0013922545 | 1.0145543 | 2.0E-5 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3803306E-5 | 4.3802967E-5 | 1.295819 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4486395E-4 | 1.6486105E-4 | 1.1380405 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017624127 | 0.0017923597 | 1.0169921 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017496707 | 0.017545832 | 1.0028077 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3803306E-5 | 4.3802967E-5 | 1.295819 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4486395E-4 | 1.6486105E-4 | 1.1380405 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017624127 | 0.0017923597 | 1.0169921 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017496707 | 0.017545832 | 1.0028077 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3803306E-5 | 4.3802967E-5 | 1.295819 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4486395E-4 | 1.6486105E-4 | 1.1380405 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017624127 | 0.0017923597 | 1.0169921 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017496707 | 0.017545832 | 1.0028077 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5924568E-5 | 2.5924408E-5 | 1.6279505 | 1.0E-5 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.8246445E-5 | 7.824576E-5 | 1.1465178 | 1.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3059794E-4 | 8.5058133E-4 | 1.024059 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082763955 | 0.0083061475 | 1.0035948 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5924568E-5 | 2.5924408E-5 | 1.6279505 | 1.0E-5 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.8246445E-5 | 7.824576E-5 | 1.1465178 | 1.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3059794E-4 | 8.5058133E-4 | 1.024059 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082763955 | 0.0083061475 | 1.0035948 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.134227E-5 | 1.134227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8608865E-5 | 4.8608865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.916592E-4 | 6.016533E-4 | 1.0168916 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.005901546 | 0.005911487 | 1.0016844 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.629889E-6 | 8.629889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.698474E-5 | 3.698474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.5020052E-4 | 4.6019602E-4 | 1.0222024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044933218 | 0.004503277 | 1.0022155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.8060394E-6 | 6.8060394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.9168432E-5 | 2.9168432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.5507098E-4 | 3.6506745E-4 | 1.0281534 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035453541 | 0.0035553188 | 1.0028106 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9390273E-6 | 4.9390273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1167096E-5 | 2.1167096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5768005E-4 | 2.6767747E-4 | 1.0387979 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025739255 | 0.0025838998 | 1.0038751 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.834391E-6 | 3.834391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6433005E-5 | 1.6433005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 2.0005398E-4 | 2.1005198E-4 | 1.0499765 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019987917 | 0.0020087718 | 1.0049931 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6813964E-6 | 2.6813964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.149165E-5 | 1.149165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3990213E-4 | 1.3990213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013981668 | 0.0013981668 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.887447E-6 | 1.887447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.089034E-6 | 8.089034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.847967E-5 | 9.847967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.843732E-4 | 9.843732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2834106E-6 | 1.2834106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.50032E-6 | 5.50032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.696444E-5 | 6.696444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.694527E-4 | 6.694527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.0706566E-7 | 6.0706566E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.6017074E-6 | 2.6017074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1675365E-5 | 3.1675365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1671225E-4 | 3.1671225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1204831E-7 | 3.1204831E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3373492E-6 | 1.3373492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6282105E-5 | 1.6282105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6280926E-4 | 1.6280926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8324162E-7 | 1.8324162E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.8532105E-7 | 7.8532105E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.561242E-6 | 9.561242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.56084E-5 | 9.56084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.915809E-8 | 4.915809E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.1067751E-7 | 2.1067751E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.564996E-6 | 2.564996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5649702E-5 | 2.5649702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.310886E-5 | 6.310886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.7044106E-4 | 2.7044106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032880958 | 0.003317997 | 1.0090939 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023254504 | 0.03243009 | 0.032478467 | 1.0014918 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.310886E-5 | 6.310886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.7044106E-4 | 2.7044106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032880958 | 0.003317997 | 1.0090939 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023254504 | 0.03243009 | 0.032478467 | 1.0014918 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.467726E-5 | 3.467726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4860855E-4 | 1.4860855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018078409 | 0.0018178228 | 1.0055214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.0179639 | 0.01797372 | 1.0005467 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.467726E-5 | 3.467726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4860855E-4 | 1.4860855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018078409 | 0.0018178228 | 1.0055214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.0179639 | 0.01797372 | 1.0005467 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2502958E-5 | 3.2502958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3929112E-4 | 1.3929112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016945797 | 0.0017045628 | 1.0058912 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.016862484 | 0.016872315 | 1.000583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2502958E-5 | 3.2502958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3929112E-4 | 1.3929112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016945797 | 0.0017045628 | 1.0058912 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.016862484 | 0.016872315 | 1.000583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.828578E-5 | 2.828578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2121927E-4 | 1.2121927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014748692 | 0.0014848545 | 1.0067703 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011653901 | 0.014699551 | 0.014709404 | 1.0006703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.795477E-5 | 2.795477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1980079E-4 | 1.1980079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014576223 | 0.0014676078 | 1.0068505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011538187 | 0.014530011 | 0.014539867 | 1.0006782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.4038018E-5 | 2.4038018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.03016115E-4 | 1.03016115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012535194 | 0.0012635068 | 1.0079676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010138147 | 0.012509332 | 0.012519207 | 1.0007894 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5313577E-5 | 1.5313577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.5627995E-5 | 6.5627995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.987337E-4 | 8.087257E-4 | 1.0125098 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007999232 | 0.0080091525 | 1.0012401 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3218689E-5 | 1.3218689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6650322E-5 | 5.6650322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8950444E-4 | 6.994976E-4 | 1.0144932 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0061178906 | 0.0069139395 | 0.0069238706 | 1.0014364 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.10101855E-5 | 1.10101855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.7185677E-5 | 4.7185677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.743377E-4 | 5.743377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057680993 | 0.0057680993 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0605346E-5 | 1.0605346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.545071E-5 | 4.545071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.532254E-4 | 5.532254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055579976 | 0.0055579976 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 1.00478355E-5 | 1.00478355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.306146E-5 | 4.306146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.241507E-4 | 5.241507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048639905 | 0.005268048 | 0.005268048 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.589853E-6 | 9.589853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.109874E-5 | 4.109874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7072413E-4 | 5.002657E-4 | 5.002657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004697283 | 0.0050293948 | 0.0050293948 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.176041E-6 | 7.176041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.07541E-5 | 3.07541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.743676E-4 | 3.743676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037699444 | 0.0037699444 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 6.0404914E-6 | 6.0404914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5887566E-5 | 2.5887566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1513578E-4 | 3.1513578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031778037 | 0.0031778037 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.8341203E-6 | 4.8341203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0717494E-5 | 2.0717494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.5220643E-4 | 2.5220643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025491233 | 0.0025491233 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 4.0471514E-6 | 4.0471514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7344819E-5 | 1.7344819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.1115279E-4 | 2.1115279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021367646 | 0.0021367646 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.4305735E-6 | 3.4305735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4702376E-5 | 1.4702376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7898678E-4 | 1.7898678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0018114197 | 0.0018114197 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6998252E-6 | 1.6998252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.284945E-6 | 7.284945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.869063E-5 | 8.869063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.9738966E-4 | 8.9738966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.195813E-7 | 3.195813E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3696335E-6 | 1.3696335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6675176E-5 | 1.6675176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.68871E-4 | 1.68871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.733618E-5 | 5.7335707E-5 | 1.211245 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0285523E-4 | 2.1285319E-4 | 1.0492862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024672218 | 0.0024871724 | 1.0080863 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024424039 | 0.024472818 | 1.0019971 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.733618E-5 | 5.7335707E-5 | 1.211245 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0285523E-4 | 2.1285319E-4 | 1.0492862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024672218 | 0.0024871724 | 1.0080863 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024424039 | 0.024472818 | 1.0019971 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.733618E-5 | 5.7335707E-5 | 1.211245 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0285523E-4 | 2.1285319E-4 | 1.0492862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024672218 | 0.0024871724 | 1.0080863 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024424039 | 0.024472818 | 1.0019971 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.365216E-5 | 4.3651824E-5 | 1.2971478 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4421598E-4 | 1.5421453E-4 | 1.0693305 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017544844 | 0.0017744494 | 1.0113794 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017413497 | 0.017462626 | 1.0028213 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.365216E-5 | 4.3651824E-5 | 1.2971478 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4421598E-4 | 1.5421453E-4 | 1.0693305 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017544844 | 0.0017744494 | 1.0113794 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017413497 | 0.017462626 | 1.0028213 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8640727E-5 | 3.864044E-5 | 1.3491431 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2274044E-4 | 1.3273921E-4 | 1.0814627 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014933873 | 0.0015133574 | 1.0133724 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.01483841 | 0.014887667 | 1.0033196 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4686553E-5 | 3.4686305E-5 | 1.4050689 | 1.0E-5 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.05795414E-4 | 1.15794355E-4 | 1.0945121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.001287331 | 0.0013073053 | 1.015516 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.0128021715 | 0.012851531 | 1.0038556 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1803047E-5 | 3.180283E-5 | 1.4586415 | 1.0E-5 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.343843E-5 | 1.03437495E-4 | 1.1070124 | 1.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011370449 | 0.0011570221 | 1.0175694 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011314938 | 0.0113544855 | 1.0034951 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9036317E-5 | 2.9036128E-5 | 1.5253017 | 1.0E-5 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.158176E-5 | 9.158094E-5 | 1.1225665 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.928222E-4 | 0.0010128024 | 1.0201246 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.00988563 | 0.009925234 | 1.0040063 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6403927E-5 | 2.6403763E-5 | 1.6096001 | 1.0E-5 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.03007E-5 | 8.03E-5 | 1.1422361 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5558376E-4 | 8.755666E-4 | 1.0233558 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008523831 | 0.00856349 | 1.0046527 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.455007E-5 | 1.455007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.235598E-5 | 6.235598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.5892545E-4 | 7.689179E-4 | 1.0131665 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.007563956 | 0.007593729 | 1.0039362 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4089809E-5 | 1.4089809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0383532E-5 | 6.0383532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.3492713E-4 | 7.4491976E-4 | 1.0135968 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.0073255613 | 0.0073553417 | 1.0040653 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.40272205E-5 | 1.40272205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0115304E-5 | 6.0115304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.3166366E-4 | 7.4165635E-4 | 1.0136575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.0072931414 | 0.0073229223 | 1.0040834 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.38912455E-5 | 1.38912455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9532584E-5 | 5.9532584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.245738E-4 | 7.3456654E-4 | 1.0137912 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0072227055 | 0.0072524888 | 1.0041236 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3659108E-5 | 1.3659108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8537753E-5 | 5.8537753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.124697E-4 | 7.224626E-4 | 1.0140257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.0071024452 | 0.007132232 | 1.0041939 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3156388E-5 | 1.3156388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.6383335E-5 | 5.6383335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.862565E-4 | 6.962496E-4 | 1.0145618 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006841957 | 0.006871752 | 1.0043547 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1589143E-5 | 1.1589143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9666836E-5 | 4.9666836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.0453115E-4 | 6.145251E-4 | 1.0165317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.006029399 | 0.006059218 | 1.0049456 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0030973E-5 | 1.0030973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.2989202E-5 | 4.2989202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.232729E-4 | 5.332677E-4 | 1.0191004 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0052209185 | 0.005240814 | 1.0038108 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.2859148E-7 | 3.2859148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.4082485E-6 | 1.4082485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7145294E-5 | 2.7145123E-5 | 1.5832404 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.714401E-4 | 1.8143839E-4 | 1.0583194 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704468E-9 | 2.6704468E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444772E-8 | 1.1444772E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.393401E-7 | 1.393401E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.393401E-6 | 1.393401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.122797E-5 | 4.122766E-5 | 1.3202157 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3382806E-4 | 1.438267E-4 | 1.0747128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016282721 | 0.001668207 | 1.0245259 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014722223 | 0.016176846 | 0.016226036 | 1.0030408 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.122797E-5 | 4.122766E-5 | 1.3202157 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3382806E-4 | 1.438267E-4 | 1.0747128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016282721 | 0.001668207 | 1.0245259 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014722223 | 0.016176846 | 0.016226036 | 1.0030408 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.122797E-5 | 4.122766E-5 | 1.3202157 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3382806E-4 | 1.438267E-4 | 1.0747128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016282721 | 0.001668207 | 1.0245259 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014722223 | 0.016176846 | 0.016226036 | 1.0030408 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6091723E-5 | 2.6091562E-5 | 1.6214275 | 1.0E-5 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8962865E-5 | 7.896217E-5 | 1.1449956 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3932764E-4 | 8.693025E-4 | 1.0357128 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007737305 | 0.008364399 | 0.008404064 | 1.0047421 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6091723E-5 | 2.6091562E-5 | 1.6214275 | 1.0E-5 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8962865E-5 | 7.896217E-5 | 1.1449956 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3932764E-4 | 8.693025E-4 | 1.0357128 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007737305 | 0.008364399 | 0.008404064 | 1.0047421 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3774203E-5 | 2.3774064E-5 | 1.7259848 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.9031107E-5 | 6.903052E-5 | 1.1693922 | 1.0E-5 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.184925E-4 | 7.484709E-4 | 1.0417241 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006655392 | 0.0071642487 | 0.007203962 | 1.0055432 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0295135E-5 | 2.0295032E-5 | 1.9713225 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.4121352E-5 | 5.4120912E-5 | 1.2266376 | 1.0E-5 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.370613E-4 | 5.6704524E-4 | 1.0558295 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005028777 | 0.0053592413 | 0.005399027 | 1.0074238 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.204334E-6 | 1.8204251E-5 | 2.218858 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5161036E-5 | 4.5160683E-5 | 1.2843957 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2801525E-4 | 4.580024E-4 | 1.070061 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042732623 | 0.0043130917 | 1.0093205 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.7395117E-6 | 1.6739445E-5 | 2.483777 | 1.0E-5 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8883374E-5 | 3.8883085E-5 | 1.3462099 | 1.0E-5 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5161118E-4 | 3.8160064E-4 | 1.0852915 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035118107 | 0.0035516701 | 1.0113502 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.11351E-6 | 1.3113478E-5 | 4.211799 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3343554E-5 | 2.334342E-5 | 1.7494155 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6244718E-4 | 1.924423E-4 | 1.1846454 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016234327 | 0.0016633677 | 1.0245992 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2296867E-6 | 1.2229664E-5 | 5.484925 | 1.0E-5 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.555771E-6 | 1.9555675E-5 | 2.046478 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1633634E-4 | 1.4633285E-4 | 1.257843 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011628567 | 0.0012028102 | 1.034358 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1783044E-6 | 1.1178293E-5 | 9.486761 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.04987E-6 | 1.504982E-5 | 2.980239 | 1.0E-5 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.1481136E-5 | 9.147929E-5 | 1.4879246 | 3.0E-5 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.147098E-4 | 6.546852E-4 | 1.0650314 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0947055E-7 | 1.0309467E-5 | 33.313244 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3263017E-6 | 1.1326289E-5 | 8.539753 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.614761E-5 | 4.6147125E-5 | 2.8578303 | 3.0E-5 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.614649E-4 | 2.0145843E-4 | 1.2476919 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3124271E-7 | 1.0231241E-5 | 44.244595 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.910399E-7 | 1.099103E-5 | 11.090402 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2065844E-5 | 4.2065483E-5 | 3.4863274 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2065196E-4 | 1.6064713E-4 | 1.3314921 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9703978E-7 | 1.0197038E-5 | 51.751163 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.444559E-7 | 1.0844447E-5 | 12.841934 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0281203E-5 | 2.02811E-5 | 1.9726388 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0280734E-4 | 1.1280631E-4 | 1.0972593 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4440506E-7 | 1.0144404E-5 | 70.24964 | 1.0E-5 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.188787E-7 | 1.0618873E-5 | 17.158245 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.5348225E-6 | 1.7534747E-5 | 2.3271613 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.534572E-5 | 8.534497E-5 | 1.1327115 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.579926E-8 | 7.579926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.2485391E-7 | 3.2485391E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9550896E-6 | 3.9550896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.955023E-5 | 3.955023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.566803E-5 | 2.566803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.10001296E-4 | 1.10001296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010787029 | 0.00133846 | 0.0013684198 | 1.0223838 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.013307605 | 0.01335694 | 1.0037073 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.566803E-5 | 2.566803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.10001296E-4 | 1.10001296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010787029 | 0.00133846 | 0.0013684198 | 1.0223838 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.013307605 | 0.01335694 | 1.0037073 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.566803E-5 | 2.566803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.10001296E-4 | 1.10001296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010787029 | 0.00133846 | 0.0013684198 | 1.0223838 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.013307605 | 0.01335694 | 1.0037073 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.516769E-5 | 2.516769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0785716E-4 | 1.0785716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013123867 | 0.0013423474 | 1.022829 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.013049953 | 0.0130993 | 1.0037814 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.516769E-5 | 2.516769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0785716E-4 | 1.0785716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013123867 | 0.0013423474 | 1.022829 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.013049953 | 0.0130993 | 1.0037814 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4856692E-5 | 2.4856692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0652443E-4 | 1.0652443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012961801 | 0.0013261412 | 1.0231149 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010362327 | 0.0128897745 | 0.01293913 | 1.003829 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3352279E-5 | 2.3352279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115732E-5 | 1.00077435E-4 | 1.00077435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012177763 | 0.0012477399 | 1.024605 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009832645 | 0.012114107 | 0.0121635 | 1.0040774 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2952267E-5 | 2.2952267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8363234E-5 | 9.8363234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.001196929 | 0.001226893 | 1.0250342 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009669261 | 0.011907901 | 0.011957305 | 1.0041488 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1842028E-5 | 2.1842028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.360541E-5 | 9.360541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011390642 | 0.0011690301 | 1.0263075 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009260561 | 0.011336422 | 0.011385854 | 1.0043606 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5320109E-5 | 1.5320109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.5656E-5 | 6.5656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.990751E-4 | 8.2905113E-4 | 1.0375134 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006830362 | 0.007963559 | 0.008013161 | 1.0062286 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.31666875E-5 | 1.31666875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.642747E-5 | 5.642747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.867937E-4 | 7.167731E-4 | 1.0436512 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068479124 | 0.00689757 | 1.0072515 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0874196E-5 | 1.0874196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.660289E-5 | 4.660289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.6724675E-4 | 5.872354E-4 | 1.035238 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050568148 | 0.0056584454 | 0.0056982194 | 1.007029 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0294558E-5 | 1.0294558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.411881E-5 | 4.411881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.3701835E-4 | 5.570076E-4 | 1.0372226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.005357639 | 0.0053974246 | 1.007426 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.8157225E-6 | 9.8157225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2066724E-5 | 4.2066724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.120462E-4 | 5.32036E-4 | 1.039039 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.0051090918 | 0.005148887 | 1.0077891 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.714692E-6 | 9.714692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1633753E-5 | 4.1633753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0677726E-4 | 5.267671E-4 | 1.039445 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.005056643 | 0.0050964407 | 1.0078704 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.612288E-6 | 9.612288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1194893E-5 | 4.1194893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.014366E-4 | 5.214266E-4 | 1.0398654 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.0050034784 | 0.005043278 | 1.0079545 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.291184E-6 | 9.291184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.9818777E-5 | 3.9818777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8468998E-4 | 5.0468027E-4 | 1.0412434 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.004836753 | 0.0048765596 | 1.00823 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.351752E-6 | 8.351752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5792753E-5 | 3.5792753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3569368E-4 | 4.456893E-4 | 1.022942 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043488005 | 0.0043786704 | 1.0068685 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6496124E-7 | 3.6496124E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5641187E-6 | 1.5641187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042984E-5 | 2.9042792E-5 | 1.5251178 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9041396E-4 | 2.0041206E-4 | 1.0525072 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704468E-9 | 2.6704468E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444772E-8 | 1.1444772E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.393401E-7 | 1.393401E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.393401E-6 | 1.393401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 8.274395E-4 | 8.274395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0035419886 | 0.0035419886 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028586963 | 0.042584505 | 0.042622805 | 1.0008993 | 4.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.3445468 | 0.34457955 | 1.0000951 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.1677127E-4 | 3.1677127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013569953 | 0.0013569953 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0099994885 | 0.016463663 | 0.0164735 | 1.0005974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.15315123 | 0.15316816 | 1.0001106 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8637527E-4 | 1.8637527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.9850794E-4 | 7.9850794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009678736 | 0.009678736 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.048019063 | 0.0935545 | 0.0935545 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.8332415E-4 | 1.8332415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.854396E-4 | 7.854396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009521024 | 0.009521024 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047285385 | 0.092204064 | 0.092204064 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.8091971E-4 | 1.8091971E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.75141E-4 | 7.75141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009396726 | 0.009396726 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.046568092 | 0.091099344 | 0.091099344 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7847748E-4 | 1.7847748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.6468044E-4 | 7.6468044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009270458 | 0.009270458 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.045878403 | 0.08997554 | 0.08997554 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.752391E-4 | 1.752391E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.5080973E-4 | 7.5080973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045870654 | 0.00910302 | 0.00910302 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04493529 | 0.08849018 | 0.08849018 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7389908E-4 | 1.7389908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.450701E-4 | 7.450701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045492216 | 0.009033764 | 0.009033764 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04457213 | 0.08788731 | 0.08788731 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.7334535E-4 | 1.7334535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.426983E-4 | 7.426983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045347405 | 0.009005135 | 0.009005135 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04443313 | 0.087631665 | 0.087631665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.727472E-4 | 1.727472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.4013625E-4 | 7.4013625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008974199 | 0.008974199 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.044283327 | 0.087355115 | 0.087355115 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.7024465E-4 | 1.7024465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.29417E-4 | 7.29417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004455241 | 0.008844758 | 0.008844758 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.043669727 | 0.08619308 | 0.08619308 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5491416E-4 | 1.5491416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.6374964E-4 | 6.6374964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040752706 | 0.008051387 | 0.008051387 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.040013418 | 0.07906545 | 0.07906545 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.5225892E-4 | 1.5225892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.523758E-4 | 6.523758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004005129 | 0.007913924 | 0.007913924 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0393371 | 0.07782969 | 0.07782969 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4917908E-4 | 1.4917908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.39183E-4 | 6.39183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003934157 | 0.0077544544 | 0.0077544544 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.038652334 | 0.07637509 | 0.07637509 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4614104E-4 | 1.4614104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.2616915E-4 | 6.2616915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003865065 | 0.0075971265 | 0.0075971265 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03798529 | 0.07493179 | 0.07493179 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1493622E-4 | 1.1493622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.9249094E-4 | 4.9249094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005979626 | 0.005979626 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03157923 | 0.059951484 | 0.059951484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.1319533E-4 | 1.1319533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.8503277E-4 | 4.8503277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0058893175 | 0.0058893175 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031148417 | 0.059101783 | 0.059101783 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.444534E-5 | 9.444534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 4.0470297E-4 | 4.0470297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002691582 | 0.0049161376 | 0.0049161376 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.026592141 | 0.049796436 | 0.049796436 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.808147E-5 | 8.808147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.7743742E-4 | 3.7743742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004585627 | 0.004585627 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024781305 | 0.04646752 | 0.04646752 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.94443E-5 | 6.94443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.9758448E-4 | 2.9758448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.003617076 | 0.003617076 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020503636 | 0.03680851 | 0.03680851 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.19374E-5 | 4.19374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7971934E-4 | 1.7971934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021858884 | 0.0021858884 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015009012 | 0.022629105 | 0.022629105 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.937893E-5 | 1.937893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.304991E-5 | 8.304991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 0.0010106643 | 0.0010106643 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010854308 | 0.010854308 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7413586E-6 | 5.7413586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.460559E-5 | 2.460559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9953197E-4 | 2.9953197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033943679 | 0.0033943679 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.102869E-7 | 8.102869E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2278756E-5 | 4.2278756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.973389E-4 | 4.973389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8509818E-5 | 1.8509818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.9325655E-5 | 8.9324865E-5 | 1.1260526 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.654106E-4 | 9.953816E-4 | 1.0310448 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009017491 | 0.009617013 | 0.009656628 | 1.0041193 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.595964E-6 | 9.595964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1124964E-5 | 4.1124964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.005903E-4 | 5.205803E-4 | 1.0399328 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049955104 | 0.0050154105 | 1.0039836 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.595964E-6 | 9.595964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1124964E-5 | 4.1124964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.005903E-4 | 5.205803E-4 | 1.0399328 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049955104 | 0.0050154105 | 1.0039836 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.670625E-6 | 7.670625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.287373E-5 | 3.287373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.001713E-4 | 4.201633E-4 | 1.0499586 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039952123 | 0.0040151323 | 1.004986 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.670625E-6 | 7.670625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.287373E-5 | 3.287373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.001713E-4 | 4.201633E-4 | 1.0499586 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039952123 | 0.0040151323 | 1.004986 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.406278E-6 | 6.406278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7455224E-5 | 2.7455224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3422257E-4 | 3.5421588E-4 | 1.0598204 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033378382 | 0.0033577716 | 1.0059719 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.912474E-6 | 5.912474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5338964E-5 | 2.5338964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0846463E-4 | 3.2845847E-4 | 1.0648173 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030809944 | 0.0031009326 | 1.0064714 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5412365E-6 | 5.5412365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3747976E-5 | 2.3747976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.890996E-4 | 2.9909672E-4 | 1.0345801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028878595 | 0.0028978307 | 1.0034528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2484926E-6 | 4.2484926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8207733E-5 | 1.8207733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2166254E-4 | 2.3166033E-4 | 1.0451037 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022149994 | 0.0022249771 | 1.0045047 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.142062E-7 | 7.142062E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.060882E-6 | 3.060882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7265916E-5 | 3.7265916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7262795E-4 | 3.7262795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.796509E-4 | 6.8964413E-4 | 1.0147034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029096669 | 0.0029296086 | 1.0068536 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.03497716 | 0.03499646 | 1.0005518 | 2.0E-5 | 0.1496549 | 0.28823167 | 0.288253 | 1.000074 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.796509E-4 | 6.8964413E-4 | 1.0147034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029096669 | 0.0029296086 | 1.0068536 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.03497716 | 0.03499646 | 1.0005518 | 2.0E-5 | 0.1496549 | 0.28823167 | 0.288253 | 1.000074 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.796509E-4 | 6.8964413E-4 | 1.0147034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029096669 | 0.0029296086 | 1.0068536 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.03497716 | 0.03499646 | 1.0005518 | 2.0E-5 | 0.1496549 | 0.28823167 | 0.288253 | 1.000074 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.796509E-4 | 6.8964413E-4 | 1.0147034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029096669 | 0.0029296086 | 1.0068536 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.03497716 | 0.03499646 | 1.0005518 | 2.0E-5 | 0.1496549 | 0.28823167 | 0.288253 | 1.000074 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3659593E-4 | 4.4659158E-4 | 1.0228945 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.001869812 | 0.0018897746 | 1.0106763 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010316478 | 0.022533525 | 0.022553075 | 1.0008676 | 2.0E-5 | 0.098504856 | 0.19886276 | 0.1988868 | 1.0001209 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9209195E-4 | 3.0208903E-4 | 1.0342258 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012512249 | 0.0012711998 | 1.0159644 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015128103 | 0.015147801 | 1.001302 | 2.0E-5 | 0.065152965 | 0.13991025 | 0.13993606 | 1.0001844 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9209195E-4 | 3.0208903E-4 | 1.0342258 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012512249 | 0.0012711998 | 1.0159644 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015128103 | 0.015147801 | 1.001302 | 2.0E-5 | 0.065152965 | 0.13991025 | 0.13993606 | 1.0001844 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4783704E-4 | 2.5783456E-4 | 1.0403391 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.001061727 | 0.0010817057 | 1.0188172 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012850223 | 0.012869965 | 1.0015364 | 2.0E-5 | 0.054797906 | 0.12107022 | 0.12109659 | 1.0002178 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.4300106E-4 | 2.5299864E-4 | 1.0411421 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.001041018 | 0.0010609973 | 1.019192 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012601026 | 0.012620774 | 1.0015671 | 2.0E-5 | 0.053930566 | 0.11901882 | 0.11904525 | 1.0002221 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.366879E-4 | 2.4668555E-4 | 1.0422398 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4537184E-4 | 0.0010139829 | 0.0010339626 | 1.0197042 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012275623 | 0.012295377 | 1.0016092 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05279156 | 0.116313905 | 0.11634041 | 1.0002279 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.3036411E-4 | 2.4036181E-4 | 1.0433996 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.869016E-4 | 0.0010068819 | 1.0202454 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005285311 | 0.011949567 | 0.011969328 | 1.0016537 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05161361 | 0.11357648 | 0.11359421 | 1.000156 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.2322666E-4 | 2.3322442E-4 | 1.0447875 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.563353E-4 | 9.763161E-4 | 1.0208932 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011581431 | 0.011601199 | 1.001707 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05027629 | 0.110462144 | 0.110479936 | 1.000161 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1683626E-4 | 2.2683409E-4 | 1.0461078 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.2896755E-4 | 9.48949E-4 | 1.0215093 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005018219 | 0.011251719 | 0.0112714935 | 1.0017575 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049064007 | 0.10765234 | 0.10767018 | 1.0001658 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9900466E-4 | 1.9900466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.5259846E-4 | 8.625899E-4 | 1.0117189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004746591 | 0.0103311 | 0.010340997 | 1.000958 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046464786 | 0.099829495 | 0.099838495 | 1.0000901 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.9144281E-4 | 1.9144281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.202113E-4 | 8.302031E-4 | 1.012182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009940453 | 0.009950354 | 1.000996 | 1.0E-5 | 0.045316286 | 0.09644854 | 0.09645758 | 1.0000937 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8471289E-4 | 1.8471289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.913866E-4 | 8.013787E-4 | 1.012626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004516484 | 0.009592657 | 0.009602562 | 1.0010325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04425787 | 0.093399644 | 0.093408704 | 1.000097 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7853554E-4 | 1.7853554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.64928E-4 | 7.7492034E-4 | 1.0130631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009273311 | 0.0092832185 | 1.0010684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04315024 | 0.090540454 | 0.09054955 | 1.0001005 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.7371196E-4 | 1.7371196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.442675E-4 | 7.5426005E-4 | 1.0134261 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004300386 | 0.009023882 | 0.009033792 | 1.0010982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042181134 | 0.08827726 | 0.08828637 | 1.0001032 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.565658E-4 | 1.565658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.708238E-4 | 6.708238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038772223 | 0.008136747 | 0.008136747 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03810269 | 0.07996198 | 0.07996198 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0261367E-4 | 1.0261367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.3969875E-4 | 4.3969875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005340204 | 0.005340204 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027066574 | 0.05338553 | 0.05338553 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.555818E-5 | 5.555818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3808476E-4 | 2.3808476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017620471 | 0.002894831 | 0.002894831 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017481409 | 0.029560179 | 0.029560179 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 2.000748E-5 | 2.000748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.574353E-5 | 8.574353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010434282 | 0.0010434282 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009693642 | 0.011163647 | 0.011163647 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.7264065E-6 | 5.7264065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.454151E-5 | 2.454151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.98752E-4 | 2.98752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0033859655 | 0.0033859655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.102869E-7 | 8.102869E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2278756E-5 | 4.2278756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.973389E-4 | 4.973389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894956E-6 | 3.894956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6692587E-5 | 2.669242E-5 | 1.5990583 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321767E-4 | 2.3321157E-4 | 1.1475949 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307477 | 0.0020706663 | 1.0196571 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894956E-6 | 3.894956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6692587E-5 | 2.669242E-5 | 1.5990583 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321767E-4 | 2.3321157E-4 | 1.1475949 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307477 | 0.0020706663 | 1.0196571 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894956E-6 | 3.894956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6692587E-5 | 2.669242E-5 | 1.5990583 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321767E-4 | 2.3321157E-4 | 1.1475949 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307477 | 0.0020706663 | 1.0196571 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894956E-6 | 3.894956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6692587E-5 | 2.669242E-5 | 1.5990583 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321767E-4 | 2.3321157E-4 | 1.1475949 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307477 | 0.0020706663 | 1.0196571 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894956E-6 | 3.894956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6692587E-5 | 2.669242E-5 | 1.5990583 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321767E-4 | 2.3321157E-4 | 1.1475949 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307477 | 0.0020706663 | 1.0196571 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.203214E-6 | 1.203214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1566217E-6 | 5.1566217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.2780186E-5 | 6.2780186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.276362E-4 | 6.276362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.203214E-6 | 1.203214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1566217E-6 | 5.1566217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.2780186E-5 | 6.2780186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.276362E-4 | 6.276362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.412003E-7 | 8.412003E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6051395E-6 | 3.6051395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.389175E-5 | 4.389175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.388365E-4 | 4.388365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.393333E-7 | 6.393333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7399972E-6 | 2.7399972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3358992E-5 | 3.3358992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.3354366E-4 | 3.3354366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.346425E-7 | 5.346425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2913232E-6 | 2.2913232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7896536E-5 | 2.7896536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.7893367E-4 | 2.7893367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.533346E-7 | 3.533346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5142904E-6 | 1.5142904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8436338E-5 | 1.8436338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8434893E-4 | 1.8434893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0010602E-7 | 3.0010602E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2861681E-6 | 1.2861681E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5658992E-5 | 1.5658992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5657963E-4 | 1.5657963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0224526E-7 | 2.0224526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.6676516E-7 | 8.6676516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.055282E-5 | 1.055282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0552365E-4 | 1.0552365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.06410596E-7 | 1.06410596E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5604534E-7 | 4.5604534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.55234E-6 | 5.55234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5522214E-5 | 5.5522214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0194184E-5 | 1.0194184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3688688E-5 | 4.3688688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3179025E-4 | 5.617743E-4 | 1.0563833 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053062052 | 0.005345993 | 1.0074984 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0194184E-5 | 1.0194184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3688688E-5 | 4.3688688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3179025E-4 | 5.617743E-4 | 1.0563833 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053062052 | 0.005345993 | 1.0074984 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.697261E-6 | 4.697261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.013097E-5 | 2.013097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4506825E-4 | 2.6506337E-4 | 1.0815899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024481062 | 0.0024680572 | 1.0081496 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.697261E-6 | 4.697261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.013097E-5 | 2.013097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4506825E-4 | 2.6506337E-4 | 1.0815899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024481062 | 0.0024680572 | 1.0081496 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.510643E-6 | 3.510643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.504553E-5 | 1.504553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8316477E-4 | 2.0316111E-4 | 1.1091713 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001773841 | 0.001830221 | 0.0018501844 | 1.0109076 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9285E-6 | 2.9285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2550658E-5 | 1.2550658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.527943E-4 | 1.7279123E-4 | 1.130875 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015269662 | 0.0015469358 | 1.0130779 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.329608E-6 | 2.329608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.983999E-6 | 9.983999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.21549034E-4 | 1.4154661E-4 | 1.1645226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012148874 | 0.0012348631 | 1.0164424 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9596137E-6 | 1.9596137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.3983205E-6 | 8.3983205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0224534E-4 | 1.1224432E-4 | 1.0977939 | 1.0E-5 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010220406 | 0.0010320303 | 1.0097743 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5442242E-6 | 1.5442242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.61809E-6 | 6.61809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.057279E-5 | 8.057279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0548687E-4 | 8.0548687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.142062E-7 | 7.142062E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.060882E-6 | 3.060882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7265916E-5 | 3.7265916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7262795E-4 | 3.7262795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.670491E-5 | 1.670491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1590635E-5 | 7.1590635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.712911E-4 | 8.9127367E-4 | 1.0229344 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008681132 | 0.008710872 | 1.0034257 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.670491E-5 | 1.670491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1590635E-5 | 7.1590635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.712911E-4 | 8.9127367E-4 | 1.0229344 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008681132 | 0.008710872 | 1.0034257 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.670491E-5 | 1.670491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1590635E-5 | 7.1590635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.712911E-4 | 8.9127367E-4 | 1.0229344 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008681132 | 0.008710872 | 1.0034257 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1896047E-5 | 1.1896047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0982097E-5 | 5.0982097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.205362E-4 | 6.405238E-4 | 1.0322102 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061886436 | 0.00620852 | 1.0032117 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1896047E-5 | 1.1896047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0982097E-5 | 5.0982097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.205362E-4 | 6.405238E-4 | 1.0322102 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061886436 | 0.00620852 | 1.0032117 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0626718E-5 | 1.0626718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.554231E-5 | 4.554231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.543415E-4 | 5.6433596E-4 | 1.0180295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048150513 | 0.005530087 | 0.0055400315 | 1.0017983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.1654465E-6 | 9.1654465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.9279916E-5 | 3.9279916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7813196E-4 | 4.8812717E-4 | 1.0209048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0047714296 | 0.004781382 | 1.0020858 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.412777E-6 | 8.412777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.605428E-5 | 3.605428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.388761E-4 | 4.4887172E-4 | 1.0227755 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003753043 | 0.004380463 | 0.0043904195 | 1.0022728 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.847413E-6 | 7.847413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.363136E-5 | 3.363136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0938845E-4 | 4.1938433E-4 | 1.0244167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.0040867007 | 0.00409666 | 1.002437 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.135516E-6 | 7.135516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0580446E-5 | 3.0580446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.722567E-4 | 3.82253E-4 | 1.0268532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031477278 | 0.00371667 | 0.0037266328 | 1.0026805 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.084316E-6 | 5.084316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1789752E-5 | 2.1789752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.652595E-4 | 2.7525684E-4 | 1.037689 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.002649582 | 0.0026595555 | 1.0037642 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.6356713E-6 | 4.6356713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9867019E-5 | 1.9867019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4185564E-4 | 2.4185564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.002416075 | 0.002416075 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.1602734E-6 | 4.1602734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.782963E-5 | 1.782963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1705564E-4 | 2.1705564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021685846 | 0.0021685846 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6323852E-6 | 3.6323852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.556728E-5 | 1.556728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8951664E-4 | 1.8951664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018936956 | 0.0018936956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8905974E-6 | 2.8905974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2388224E-5 | 1.2388224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5081762E-4 | 1.5081762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015072942 | 0.0015072942 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.514532E-6 | 1.514532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.490842E-6 | 6.490842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.902439E-5 | 7.902439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.900856E-4 | 7.900856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.604588E-7 | 2.604588E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162516E-6 | 1.1162516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590307E-5 | 1.3590307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3589757E-4 | 1.3589757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.398862E-5 | 6.398774E-5 | 1.454643 | 2.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8851002E-4 | 2.1850436E-4 | 1.1591127 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002292866 | 0.0023227972 | 1.013054 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019349206 | 0.022710128 | 0.022739446 | 1.001291 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.398862E-5 | 6.398774E-5 | 1.454643 | 2.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8851002E-4 | 2.1850436E-4 | 1.1591127 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002292866 | 0.0023227972 | 1.013054 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019349206 | 0.022710128 | 0.022739446 | 1.001291 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.398862E-5 | 6.398774E-5 | 1.454643 | 2.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8851002E-4 | 2.1850436E-4 | 1.1591127 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002292866 | 0.0023227972 | 1.013054 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019349206 | 0.022710128 | 0.022739446 | 1.001291 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.536515E-5 | 2.536515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0870337E-4 | 1.1870228E-4 | 1.0919834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.00132268 | 0.0013326667 | 1.0075504 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.0131502915 | 0.013160161 | 1.0007504 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.536515E-5 | 2.536515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0870337E-4 | 1.1870228E-4 | 1.0919834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.00132268 | 0.0013326667 | 1.0075504 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.0131502915 | 0.013160161 | 1.0007504 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.067222E-5 | 2.067222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.8592285E-5 | 9.8591394E-5 | 1.1128666 | 1.0E-5 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010780891 | 0.0010880784 | 1.0092657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009036654 | 0.010729886 | 0.010739778 | 1.000922 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.768848E-5 | 1.768848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.580561E-5 | 8.580486E-5 | 1.1319064 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.2255045E-4 | 9.325412E-4 | 1.0108296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007902439 | 0.009188069 | 0.009197977 | 1.0010784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5272282E-5 | 1.5272282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.545103E-5 | 7.545038E-5 | 1.152776 | 1.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.965808E-4 | 8.0657285E-4 | 1.0125437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006928845 | 0.007937886 | 0.007947806 | 1.0012498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3038354E-5 | 1.3038354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.587749E-5 | 6.587693E-5 | 1.1789529 | 1.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.801003E-4 | 6.900935E-4 | 1.0146937 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067806416 | 0.0067905737 | 1.0014648 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1521243E-5 | 1.1521243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.937584E-5 | 5.937535E-5 | 1.2025182 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.009887E-4 | 6.109827E-4 | 1.0166292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.005994014 | 0.006003954 | 1.0016583 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.9972045E-6 | 8.9972045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8558894E-5 | 4.8558508E-5 | 1.2593335 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6935581E-4 | 4.7935112E-4 | 1.0212958 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046838936 | 0.0046938467 | 1.002125 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.521026E-6 | 7.521026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2232583E-5 | 4.223226E-5 | 1.310235 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9236317E-4 | 4.0235923E-4 | 1.0254766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0039169206 | 0.0039268816 | 1.002543 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.284864E-6 | 6.284864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6934866E-5 | 3.6934594E-5 | 1.371256 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2788463E-4 | 3.3788136E-4 | 1.0304885 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032742075 | 0.0032841747 | 1.0030441 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.7093454E-6 | 4.7093454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0182764E-5 | 2.0182764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4569928E-4 | 2.4569928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024544573 | 0.0024544573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8524837E-6 | 2.8524837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2224882E-5 | 1.2224882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4882942E-4 | 1.4882942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014874598 | 0.0014874598 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5642576E-8 | 4.5642576E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9561104E-7 | 1.9561104E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3815624E-6 | 2.3815624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3815423E-5 | 2.3815423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0403957E-5 | 3.0403957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3029728E-4 | 1.4029598E-4 | 1.0767375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015854116 | 0.00160538 | 1.012595 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.015760547 | 0.015790073 | 1.0018735 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0403957E-5 | 3.0403957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3029728E-4 | 1.4029598E-4 | 1.0767375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015854116 | 0.00160538 | 1.012595 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.015760547 | 0.015790073 | 1.0018735 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.611057E-5 | 1.611057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.9044036E-5 | 6.9044036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.4038574E-4 | 8.503773E-4 | 1.0118893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007380498 | 0.008381791 | 0.008401623 | 1.0023661 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.611057E-5 | 1.611057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.9044036E-5 | 6.9044036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.4038574E-4 | 8.503773E-4 | 1.0118893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007380498 | 0.008381791 | 0.008401623 | 1.0023661 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5021796E-5 | 1.5021796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.437809E-5 | 6.437809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.836195E-4 | 7.936117E-4 | 1.0127513 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006884126 | 0.007818207 | 0.007838051 | 1.0025381 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5021796E-5 | 1.5021796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.437809E-5 | 6.437809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.836195E-4 | 7.936117E-4 | 1.0127513 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006884126 | 0.007818207 | 0.007838051 | 1.0025381 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2866662E-5 | 1.2866662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5142213E-5 | 5.5142213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.712455E-4 | 6.812388E-4 | 1.0148877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006701586 | 0.006721452 | 1.0029644 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.833369E-6 | 9.833369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.214284E-5 | 4.214284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.1305897E-4 | 5.2305387E-4 | 1.019481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051276395 | 0.0051475368 | 1.0038804 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1765025E-6 | 1.1765025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.0421445E-6 | 5.0421445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.138649E-5 | 7.138588E-5 | 1.1628923 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.1370665E-4 | 6.237005E-4 | 1.0162845 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.2923193E-7 | 9.2923193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9824167E-6 | 3.9824167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.848492E-5 | 5.8484435E-5 | 1.2062397 | 1.0E-5 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.847504E-4 | 4.9474556E-4 | 1.0206192 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7559744E-7 | 8.7559744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7525556E-6 | 3.7525556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5686473E-5 | 5.5686018E-5 | 1.2188731 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5677746E-4 | 4.6677288E-4 | 1.0218825 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.719451E-7 | 7.719451E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3083325E-6 | 3.3083325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0278264E-5 | 4.0278264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.027156E-4 | 4.027156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.596448E-7 | 7.596448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.255617E-6 | 3.255617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.9636474E-5 | 3.9636474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.963E-4 | 3.963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.904459E-7 | 6.904459E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.959051E-6 | 2.959051E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.6025907E-5 | 3.6025907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.602064E-4 | 3.602064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.2010633E-7 | 6.2010633E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.657596E-6 | 2.657596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.235581E-5 | 3.235581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2351655E-4 | 3.2351655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.356103E-7 | 5.356103E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.295471E-6 | 2.295471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7947055E-5 | 2.7947055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7944072E-4 | 2.7944072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.604588E-7 | 2.604588E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162516E-6 | 1.1162516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590307E-5 | 1.3590307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3589757E-4 | 1.3589757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0405153E-5 | 4.0405153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.731549E-4 | 1.8315317E-4 | 1.0577418 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021063802 | 0.0021163593 | 1.0047375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018143194 | 0.020890124 | 0.020909706 | 1.0009373 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0405153E-5 | 4.0405153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.731549E-4 | 1.8315317E-4 | 1.0577418 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021063802 | 0.0021163593 | 1.0047375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018143194 | 0.020890124 | 0.020909706 | 1.0009373 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1080106E-5 | 2.1080106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.034076E-5 | 9.034076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010994461 | 0.0010994461 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010950172 | 0.010960063 | 1.0009032 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1080106E-5 | 2.1080106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.034076E-5 | 9.034076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010994461 | 0.0010994461 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010950172 | 0.010960063 | 1.0009032 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9583993E-5 | 1.9583993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.392926E-5 | 8.392926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010214605 | 0.0010214605 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008894307 | 0.010177592 | 0.01018749 | 1.0009725 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6853042E-5 | 1.6853042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.2225856E-5 | 7.2225856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.790887E-4 | 8.790887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007664232 | 0.008765327 | 0.008775239 | 1.0011308 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3737198E-5 | 1.3737198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.8872876E-5 | 5.8872876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.166303E-4 | 7.166303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071519036 | 0.0071519036 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1544568E-5 | 1.1544568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9476275E-5 | 4.9476275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.022943E-4 | 6.022943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005253921 | 0.006015163 | 0.006015163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0513167E-4 | 2.0513167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7884057E-4 | 8.888318E-4 | 1.0113686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010647684 | 0.010667471 | 1.0018584 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10334604 | 0.103363976 | 1.0001736 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0513167E-4 | 2.0513167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7884057E-4 | 8.888318E-4 | 1.0113686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010647684 | 0.010667471 | 1.0018584 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10334604 | 0.103363976 | 1.0001736 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0513167E-4 | 2.0513167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7884057E-4 | 8.888318E-4 | 1.0113686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010647684 | 0.010667471 | 1.0018584 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10334604 | 0.103363976 | 1.0001736 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0513167E-4 | 2.0513167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7884057E-4 | 8.888318E-4 | 1.0113686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010647684 | 0.010667471 | 1.0018584 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10334604 | 0.103363976 | 1.0001736 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8861811E-4 | 1.8861811E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.0811314E-4 | 8.1810507E-4 | 1.0123645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009794518 | 0.009814323 | 1.0020219 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.0956774 | 0.09569549 | 1.0001891 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8861811E-4 | 1.8861811E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.0811314E-4 | 8.1810507E-4 | 1.0123645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009794518 | 0.009814323 | 1.0020219 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.0956774 | 0.09569549 | 1.0001891 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.866785E-4 | 1.866785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.998056E-4 | 8.097976E-4 | 1.012493 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009694276 | 0.009714083 | 1.0020431 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.09476462 | 0.094782725 | 1.0001911 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8581827E-4 | 1.8581827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.9612114E-4 | 8.061132E-4 | 1.012551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00467679 | 0.009649815 | 0.009669622 | 1.0020525 | 2.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.094358034 | 0.09437615 | 1.0001919 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8528206E-4 | 1.8528206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.9382455E-4 | 8.038166E-4 | 1.0125872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004657841 | 0.009622102 | 0.009641909 | 1.0020585 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.09410359 | 0.09412171 | 1.0001925 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.8409491E-4 | 1.8409491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.887398E-4 | 7.98732E-4 | 1.0126685 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004611638 | 0.00956074 | 0.009580549 | 1.0020719 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.093541585 | 0.09355971 | 1.0001938 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.8247227E-4 | 1.8247227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.817899E-4 | 7.9178205E-4 | 1.0127811 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004551957 | 0.009476863 | 0.009496673 | 1.0020905 | 2.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.09277249 | 0.09279063 | 1.0001956 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.8158511E-4 | 1.8158511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.7799003E-4 | 7.8798225E-4 | 1.0128436 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009431001 | 0.009450813 | 1.0021007 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09235182 | 0.09236997 | 1.0001966 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.804845E-4 | 1.804845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.732759E-4 | 7.832682E-4 | 1.012922 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009374103 | 0.009393915 | 1.0021136 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.091830514 | 0.09184868 | 1.0001978 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7989664E-4 | 1.7989664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.70758E-4 | 7.807503E-4 | 1.0129642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044610105 | 0.00934371 | 0.009363524 | 1.0021205 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.091548696 | 0.09156687 | 1.0001985 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.7951742E-4 | 1.7951742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.6913374E-4 | 7.791261E-4 | 1.0129917 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004447999 | 0.0093241045 | 0.0093439175 | 1.002125 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.09136705 | 0.09138522 | 1.0001988 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7819306E-4 | 1.7819306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.634612E-4 | 7.734536E-4 | 1.0130882 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044147377 | 0.00925563 | 0.009275445 | 1.0021409 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.090739325 | 0.090757504 | 1.0002004 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.7257693E-4 | 1.7257693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.39406E-4 | 7.4939855E-4 | 1.0135144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008965204 | 0.008985025 | 1.0022109 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.088091545 | 0.088109784 | 1.0002071 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4581752E-4 | 1.4581752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.2478264E-4 | 6.3477637E-4 | 1.0159956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0075802407 | 0.007590165 | 1.0013093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.07521914 | 0.075228386 | 1.0001229 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.3309556E-4 | 1.3309556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.7028484E-4 | 5.7028484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033419547 | 0.006921146 | 0.006921146 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03292141 | 0.06880103 | 0.06880103 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.5873875E-5 | 9.5873875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.1082333E-4 | 4.1082333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0049903127 | 0.0049903127 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025447013 | 0.05006407 | 0.05006407 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.3702646E-5 | 5.3702646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.301339E-4 | 2.301339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.002798282 | 0.002798282 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017302496 | 0.028646136 | 0.028646136 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9881998E-5 | 1.9881998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.5205786E-5 | 8.5205786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0010368874 | 0.0010368874 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009919235 | 0.011121329 | 0.011121329 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7413586E-6 | 5.7413586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.460559E-5 | 2.460559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9953197E-4 | 2.9953197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033943679 | 0.0033943679 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.102869E-7 | 8.102869E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2278756E-5 | 4.2278756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.973389E-4 | 4.973389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1142466E-6 | 2.4114164E-5 | 5.861137 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763237E-5 | 3.7632017E-5 | 2.1342573 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146536E-4 | 2.4464718E-4 | 1.1397301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445267 | 0.0021744622 | 1.013959 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1142466E-6 | 2.4114164E-5 | 5.861137 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763237E-5 | 3.7632017E-5 | 2.1342573 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146536E-4 | 2.4464718E-4 | 1.1397301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445267 | 0.0021744622 | 1.013959 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1142466E-6 | 2.4114164E-5 | 5.861137 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763237E-5 | 3.7632017E-5 | 2.1342573 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146536E-4 | 2.4464718E-4 | 1.1397301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445267 | 0.0021744622 | 1.013959 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1142466E-6 | 2.4114164E-5 | 5.861137 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763237E-5 | 3.7632017E-5 | 2.1342573 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146536E-4 | 2.4464718E-4 | 1.1397301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445267 | 0.0021744622 | 1.013959 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1142466E-6 | 2.4114164E-5 | 5.861137 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763237E-5 | 3.7632017E-5 | 2.1342573 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146536E-4 | 2.4464718E-4 | 1.1397301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445267 | 0.0021744622 | 1.013959 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973535E-6 | 2.2973476E-5 | 7.725981 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.274366E-5 | 3.2743406E-5 | 2.569388 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5514316E-4 | 1.851385E-4 | 1.1933398 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015503637 | 0.0015803172 | 1.0193202 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973535E-6 | 2.2973476E-5 | 7.725981 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.274366E-5 | 3.2743406E-5 | 2.569388 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5514316E-4 | 1.851385E-4 | 1.1933398 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015503637 | 0.0015803172 | 1.0193202 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6585624E-6 | 2.2658509E-5 | 8.522842 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.139379E-5 | 3.1393563E-5 | 2.7553222 | 2.0E-5 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3871067E-4 | 1.6870651E-4 | 1.2162476 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013862519 | 0.0014162102 | 1.0216111 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3050786E-6 | 1.2305056E-5 | 5.338237 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.878871E-6 | 1.9878773E-5 | 2.0122514 | 1.0E-5 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2026869E-4 | 1.4026629E-4 | 1.1662743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001214175 | 0.0012020435 | 0.0012220194 | 1.0166184 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0699133E-6 | 2.0699133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.871027E-6 | 8.871027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0799946E-4 | 1.1799838E-4 | 1.0925831 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010794756 | 0.0010894648 | 1.0092537 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6789286E-6 | 1.6789286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.1953887E-6 | 7.1953887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.760037E-5 | 8.760037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.7566226E-4 | 8.7566226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3817628E-6 | 1.3817628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.9218273E-6 | 5.9218273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.209589E-5 | 7.209589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.207277E-4 | 7.207277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.605007E-7 | 8.605007E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6878548E-6 | 3.6878548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.489872E-5 | 4.489872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.4889754E-4 | 4.4889754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.6290577E-7 | 5.6290577E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.412451E-6 | 2.412451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9371202E-5 | 2.9371202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.936737E-4 | 2.936737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.573412E-7 | 3.573412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5314614E-6 | 1.5314614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8645385E-5 | 1.8645385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8643847E-4 | 1.8643847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5833507E-7 | 1.5833507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.785787E-7 | 6.785787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.261665E-6 | 8.261665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.261367E-5 | 8.261367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7356639E-8 | 1.7356639E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.438559E-8 | 7.438559E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0564424E-7 | 9.0564424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.056411E-6 | 9.056411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2115832E-5 | 2.2115832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4779454E-5 | 9.4779454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011534642 | 0.0011634527 | 1.0086595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.011488107 | 0.011507877 | 1.0017209 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2115832E-5 | 2.2115832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4779454E-5 | 9.4779454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011534642 | 0.0011634527 | 1.0086595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.011488107 | 0.011507877 | 1.0017209 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1265169E-5 | 1.1265169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8278696E-5 | 4.8278696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.876867E-4 | 5.876867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052028033 | 0.0058664395 | 0.0058763805 | 1.0016946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0807502E-5 | 1.0807502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6317335E-5 | 4.6317335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.638196E-4 | 5.638196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056289895 | 0.0056389333 | 1.0017666 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0807502E-5 | 1.0807502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6317335E-5 | 4.6317335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.638196E-4 | 5.638196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056289895 | 0.0056389333 | 1.0017666 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2911367E-6 | 6.2911367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6961889E-5 | 2.6961889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2823847E-4 | 3.2823847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032801775 | 0.0032901447 | 1.0030386 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5181495E-6 | 5.5181495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3649147E-5 | 2.3649147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8791657E-4 | 2.8791657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028780089 | 0.0028780089 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.519903E-6 | 4.519903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9371013E-5 | 1.9371013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3584209E-4 | 2.3584209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023584208 | 0.0023584208 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8358023E-6 | 5.8358023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010364E-5 | 2.5010364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0446265E-4 | 3.1445958E-4 | 1.0328348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408509 | 0.00306079 | 1.0065571 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8358023E-6 | 5.8358023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010364E-5 | 2.5010364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0446265E-4 | 3.1445958E-4 | 1.0328348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408509 | 0.00306079 | 1.0065571 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8358023E-6 | 5.8358023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010364E-5 | 2.5010364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0446265E-4 | 3.1445958E-4 | 1.0328348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408509 | 0.00306079 | 1.0065571 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3842518E-6 | 3.3842518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4503858E-5 | 1.4503858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7657064E-4 | 1.8656888E-4 | 1.0566245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017643506 | 0.0017843153 | 1.0113156 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3842518E-6 | 3.3842518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4503858E-5 | 1.4503858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7657064E-4 | 1.8656888E-4 | 1.0566245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017643506 | 0.0017843153 | 1.0113156 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8563534E-6 | 2.8563534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.22414585E-5 | 1.22414585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.490299E-4 | 1.5902841E-4 | 1.0670906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014893323 | 0.0015093025 | 1.0134088 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.381371E-6 | 2.381371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0205837E-5 | 1.0205837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2424917E-4 | 1.3424794E-4 | 1.0804734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012418173 | 0.0012617925 | 1.0160854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0969162E-6 | 2.0969162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.9867535E-6 | 8.9867535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.0940839E-4 | 1.194073E-4 | 1.0913906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010935614 | 0.0011135396 | 1.0182688 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8919199E-6 | 1.8919199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.1082035E-6 | 8.1082035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.871305E-5 | 1.0871206E-4 | 1.1012937 | 1.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.86706E-4 | 0.0010066862 | 1.0202495 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.683573E-6 | 1.683573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.2152934E-6 | 7.2152934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.7842775E-5 | 9.784189E-5 | 1.1138297 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.780918E-4 | 8.980742E-4 | 1.0227567 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2511839E-6 | 1.2511839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3622057E-6 | 5.3622057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.5282926E-5 | 7.5282274E-5 | 1.1531694 | 1.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.526398E-4 | 6.726267E-4 | 1.0306247 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0954626E-6 | 1.0954626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.6948317E-6 | 4.6948317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7158082E-5 | 6.715751E-5 | 1.1749433 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.714347E-4 | 5.9142325E-4 | 1.0349796 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0490677E-6 | 1.0490677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4959966E-6 | 4.4959966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4737393E-5 | 6.473684E-5 | 1.1826805 | 1.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.4723996E-4 | 5.67229E-4 | 1.036527 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.770606E-7 | 9.770606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.187396E-6 | 4.187396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.098036E-5 | 6.097985E-5 | 1.196144 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.0968747E-4 | 5.2967726E-4 | 1.0392197 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.2104625E-7 | 9.2104625E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.9473352E-6 | 3.9473352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.805775E-5 | 5.805727E-5 | 1.208073 | 1.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8047435E-4 | 5.0046475E-4 | 1.0416055 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6772997E-7 | 8.6772997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7188374E-6 | 3.7188374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5275912E-5 | 5.527546E-5 | 1.220858 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5266762E-4 | 4.7265858E-4 | 1.0441625 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9170246E-7 | 7.9170246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3930062E-6 | 3.3930062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.1309075E-5 | 5.1308663E-5 | 1.2420676 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1301467E-4 | 4.330064E-4 | 1.0484045 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.855097E-7 | 6.855097E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9378955E-6 | 2.9378955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5768295E-5 | 4.5767938E-5 | 1.2795672 | 1.0E-5 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5762606E-4 | 3.776189E-4 | 1.0559044 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6496124E-7 | 3.6496124E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5641187E-6 | 1.5641187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042984E-5 | 2.9042792E-5 | 1.5251178 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9041396E-4 | 2.0041206E-4 | 1.0525072 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704468E-9 | 2.6704468E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444772E-8 | 1.1444772E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.393401E-7 | 1.393401E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.393401E-6 | 1.393401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.311317E-5 | 3.311317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4190664E-4 | 1.4190664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016010714 | 0.001726481 | 0.0017364637 | 1.0057821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015895851 | 0.017144535 | 0.017164191 | 1.0011466 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.311317E-5 | 3.311317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4190664E-4 | 1.4190664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016010714 | 0.001726481 | 0.0017364637 | 1.0057821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015895851 | 0.017144535 | 0.017164191 | 1.0011466 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2551157E-5 | 1.2551157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3789616E-5 | 5.3789616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5470143E-4 | 6.5470143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006090366 | 0.006528699 | 0.0065386333 | 1.0015217 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2551157E-5 | 1.2551157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3789616E-5 | 5.3789616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5470143E-4 | 6.5470143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006090366 | 0.006528699 | 0.0065386333 | 1.0015217 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.4840585E-6 | 8.4840585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.635977E-5 | 3.635977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.4259432E-4 | 4.4259432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041288356 | 0.004417534 | 0.004417534 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.288884E-6 | 6.288884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6952095E-5 | 2.6952095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.280949E-4 | 3.280949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032763586 | 0.0032763586 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.288884E-6 | 6.288884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6952095E-5 | 2.6952095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.280949E-4 | 3.280949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032763586 | 0.0032763586 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.282974E-6 | 3.282974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.40698185E-5 | 1.40698185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7128774E-4 | 1.7128774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017116719 | 0.0017116719 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4298781E-6 | 2.4298781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0413727E-5 | 1.0413727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2678068E-4 | 1.2678068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012671737 | 0.0012671737 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0658533E-6 | 1.0658533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5679376E-6 | 4.5679376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.561374E-5 | 5.561374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.560489E-4 | 5.560489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.077986E-7 | 5.077986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1762796E-6 | 2.1762796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6496204E-5 | 2.6496204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6496203E-4 | 2.6496203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hartley Springs 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.44469805E-5 | 1.44469805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.191509E-5 | 6.191509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.537201E-4 | 7.73705E-4 | 1.026515 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007460968 | 0.007527782 | 0.007547632 | 1.0026368 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.44469805E-5 | 1.44469805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.191509E-5 | 6.191509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.537201E-4 | 7.73705E-4 | 1.026515 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007460968 | 0.007527782 | 0.007547632 | 1.0026368 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.44469805E-5 | 1.44469805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.191509E-5 | 6.191509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.537201E-4 | 7.73705E-4 | 1.026515 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007460968 | 0.007527782 | 0.007547632 | 1.0026368 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.44469805E-5 | 1.44469805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.191509E-5 | 6.191509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.537201E-4 | 7.73705E-4 | 1.026515 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007460968 | 0.007527782 | 0.007547632 | 1.0026368 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.44469805E-5 | 1.44469805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.191509E-5 | 6.191509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.537201E-4 | 7.73705E-4 | 1.026515 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007460968 | 0.007527782 | 0.007547632 | 1.0026368 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2279858E-5 | 1.2144199E-5 | 1.2144199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.26269E-5 | 5.204642E-5 | 5.204642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4054417E-4 | 6.3363934E-4 | 6.536267E-4 | 1.0315437 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0063870098 | 0.006333861 | 0.0063537345 | 1.0031376 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2279858E-5 | 1.2144199E-5 | 1.2144199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.26269E-5 | 5.204642E-5 | 5.204642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4054417E-4 | 6.3363934E-4 | 6.536267E-4 | 1.0315437 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0063870098 | 0.006333861 | 0.0063537345 | 1.0031376 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1282601E-6 | 8.924451E-7 | 8.924451E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.121083E-6 | 3.8247604E-6 | 3.8247604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11043526E-4 | 4.656572E-5 | 4.656572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011098806 | 4.6558506E-4 | 4.6558506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.00516E-6 | 8.54605E-7 | 8.54605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.593515E-6 | 3.662589E-6 | 3.662589E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04621024E-4 | 4.459137E-5 | 4.459137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010457177 | 4.4584944E-4 | 4.4584944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.00516E-6 | 8.54605E-7 | 8.54605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.593515E-6 | 3.662589E-6 | 3.662589E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04621024E-4 | 4.459137E-5 | 4.459137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010457177 | 4.4584944E-4 | 4.4584944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.8366732E-6 | 8.2643913E-7 | 8.2643913E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.871433E-6 | 3.5418786E-6 | 3.5418786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.583048E-5 | 4.3121774E-5 | 4.3121774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5789164E-4 | 4.3115922E-4 | 4.3115922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5097997E-6 | 7.2141904E-7 | 7.2141904E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.470554E-6 | 3.0917936E-6 | 3.0917936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.877615E-5 | 3.764218E-5 | 3.764218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.874823E-4 | 3.7638185E-4 | 3.7638185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.3490993E-6 | 6.427777E-7 | 6.427777E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7818415E-6 | 2.75476E-6 | 2.75476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0391645E-5 | 3.3538923E-5 | 3.3538923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0369354E-4 | 3.3536163E-4 | 3.3536163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.900015E-7 | 4.0945625E-7 | 4.0945625E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3857161E-6 | 1.7548125E-6 | 1.7548125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1220315E-5 | 2.1364842E-5 | 2.1364842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.121267E-4 | 2.1364843E-4 | 2.1364843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1994595E-4 | 3.1994595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013704824 | 0.0013804686 | 1.0072867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01655949 | 0.016569324 | 1.0005939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07177748 | 0.1517536 | 0.15177056 | 1.0001118 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1994595E-4 | 3.1994595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013704824 | 0.0013804686 | 1.0072867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01655949 | 0.016569324 | 1.0005939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07177748 | 0.1517536 | 0.15177056 | 1.0001118 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1994595E-4 | 3.1994595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013704824 | 0.0013804686 | 1.0072867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01655949 | 0.016569324 | 1.0005939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07177748 | 0.1517536 | 0.15177056 | 1.0001118 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.089757E-4 | 3.089757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013235153 | 0.001333502 | 1.0075456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015996166 | 0.016006006 | 1.0006151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06914291 | 0.14704995 | 0.14706701 | 1.000116 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.089757E-4 | 3.089757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013235153 | 0.001333502 | 1.0075456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015996166 | 0.016006006 | 1.0006151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06914291 | 0.14704995 | 0.14706701 | 1.000116 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.9309277E-4 | 2.9309277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012555124 | 0.0012654997 | 1.0079548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015179994 | 0.015189841 | 1.0006487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06530788 | 0.14021124 | 0.14022844 | 1.0001227 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.574081E-4 | 2.574081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0011027134 | 0.0011127024 | 1.0090586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005788839 | 0.013343538 | 0.013353405 | 1.0007395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056403454 | 0.12451283 | 0.12453034 | 1.0001407 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3873003E-4 | 2.3873003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.001022729 | 0.0010327187 | 1.0097678 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012381068 | 0.012390944 | 1.0007976 | 1.0E-5 | 0.051936906 | 0.1163285 | 0.11634617 | 1.0001519 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2393807E-4 | 2.2393807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.5938233E-4 | 9.6937275E-4 | 1.0104134 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011618198 | 0.011628081 | 1.0008507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048912346 | 0.10973134 | 0.109749146 | 1.0001622 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1847844E-4 | 2.1847844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.3600084E-4 | 9.459915E-4 | 1.0106738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048866454 | 0.01133652 | 0.011346407 | 1.0008721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04780577 | 0.107313074 | 0.107330926 | 1.0001664 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.1172462E-4 | 2.1172462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.900265E-4 | 9.070763E-4 | 9.170672E-4 | 1.0110145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047382377 | 0.010987966 | 0.010997856 | 1.0009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046384744 | 0.104285136 | 0.1042941 | 1.000086 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.034439E-4 | 2.034439E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.716116E-4 | 8.816029E-4 | 1.011463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010560442 | 0.010570336 | 1.000937 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044737056 | 0.10059811 | 0.100607105 | 1.0000894 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8744284E-4 | 1.8744284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4636928E-4 | 8.030793E-4 | 8.1307127E-4 | 1.0124421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009733769 | 0.009743671 | 1.0010173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041300658 | 0.093348205 | 0.09335727 | 1.0000972 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7681606E-4 | 1.7681606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.5756316E-4 | 7.6755555E-4 | 1.0131903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040445733 | 0.00918441 | 0.009194318 | 1.0010788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03971748 | 0.08860564 | 0.08861476 | 1.0001029 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6897038E-4 | 1.6897038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.239579E-4 | 7.3395064E-4 | 1.013803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008778636 | 0.008788548 | 1.0011292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038480744 | 0.08504444 | 0.08505359 | 1.0001075 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.6180184E-4 | 1.6180184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.9325225E-4 | 7.0324534E-4 | 1.0144148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003788775 | 0.008407743 | 0.008417659 | 1.0011793 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03724827 | 0.08174776 | 0.08175694 | 1.0001123 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5747156E-4 | 1.5747156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.7470357E-4 | 6.8469683E-4 | 1.0148113 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008183632 | 0.008193551 | 1.001212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.036463667 | 0.07972813 | 0.07973733 | 1.0001154 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4645893E-4 | 1.4645893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.2753016E-4 | 6.375239E-4 | 1.0159255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003495157 | 0.0076134573 | 0.007623381 | 1.0013034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034406938 | 0.0745222 | 0.07453145 | 1.0001242 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3511773E-4 | 1.3511773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.7894754E-4 | 5.7894754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0070259366 | 0.0070259366 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032343175 | 0.06911056 | 0.06911056 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.966319E-5 | 9.966319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.2705808E-4 | 4.2705808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0051870476 | 0.0051870476 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025666296 | 0.051775835 | 0.051775835 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.4738444E-5 | 5.4738444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.3457225E-4 | 2.3457225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0028521789 | 0.0028521789 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016667323 | 0.029059028 | 0.029059028 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.9486879E-5 | 1.9486879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.3512525E-5 | 8.3512525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 0.0010162914 | 0.0010162914 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009055517 | 0.010828244 | 0.010828244 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.3992226E-6 | 5.3992226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.3139319E-5 | 2.3139319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.816849E-4 | 2.816849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0031745264 | 0.0031745264 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.102869E-7 | 8.102869E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2278756E-5 | 4.2278756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.973389E-4 | 4.973389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.945573E-4 | 2.945573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012619223 | 0.0012719097 | 1.0079144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015277428 | 0.015287275 | 1.0006446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14008208 | 0.14009067 | 1.0000614 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.945573E-4 | 2.945573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012619223 | 0.0012719097 | 1.0079144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015277428 | 0.015287275 | 1.0006446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14008208 | 0.14009067 | 1.0000614 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.945573E-4 | 2.945573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012619223 | 0.0012719097 | 1.0079144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015277428 | 0.015287275 | 1.0006446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14008208 | 0.14009067 | 1.0000614 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7752482E-4 | 1.7752482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.6071615E-4 | 7.6071615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009243192 | 0.009243192 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0513964 | 0.08720616 | 0.08720616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7752482E-4 | 1.7752482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.6071615E-4 | 7.6071615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009243192 | 0.009243192 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0513964 | 0.08720616 | 0.08720616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.651518E-5 | 4.651518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9933758E-4 | 1.9933758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024245956 | 0.0024245956 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01892915 | 0.023834638 | 0.023834638 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6226222E-5 | 2.6226222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1239351E-4 | 1.1239351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013675768 | 0.0013675768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012986525 | 0.013606885 | 0.013606885 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.213591E-5 | 2.213591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.486494E-5 | 9.486494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011544053 | 0.0011544053 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511663 | 0.011500131 | 0.011500131 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.44767055E-5 | 1.44767055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.2041574E-5 | 6.2041574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.550996E-4 | 7.550996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075312997 | 0.0075312997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2365674E-5 | 1.2365674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2994685E-5 | 5.2994685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4502243E-4 | 6.4502243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.006436211 | 0.006436211 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1482826E-5 | 1.1482826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.92112E-5 | 4.92112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.989846E-4 | 5.989846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059781843 | 0.0059781843 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0273579E-5 | 1.0273579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.4028897E-5 | 4.4028897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.3592253E-4 | 5.3592253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.005349818 | 0.005349818 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.529693E-6 | 8.529693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6555324E-5 | 3.6555324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.449719E-4 | 4.449719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.0044422206 | 0.0044422206 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2599737E-6 | 7.2599737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.111381E-5 | 3.111381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.7874625E-4 | 3.7874625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.003781417 | 0.003781417 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.3684965E-6 | 6.3684965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7293278E-5 | 2.7293278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3224636E-4 | 3.3224636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033176476 | 0.0033176476 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.238775E-6 | 5.238775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2451708E-5 | 2.2451708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7331652E-4 | 2.7331652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027299293 | 0.0027299293 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.6991986E-6 | 4.6991986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0139274E-5 | 2.0139274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4516924E-4 | 2.4516924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024491046 | 0.0024491046 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.336128E-6 | 2.336128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 1.0011943E-5 | 1.0011943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2188934E-4 | 1.2188934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012182982 | 0.0012182982 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.4087675E-8 | 9.4087675E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0323286E-7 | 4.0323286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9093524E-6 | 4.9093524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9092767E-5 | 4.9092767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4460004E-9 | 3.4460004E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4768574E-8 | 1.4768574E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7980737E-7 | 1.7980737E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7980724E-6 | 1.7980724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8792036E-5 | 1.8792036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.053548E-5 | 9.053467E-5 | 1.1241589 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.801959E-4 | 0.0010001763 | 1.0203841 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008707083 | 0.00977029 | 0.009790095 | 1.002027 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0981982E-5 | 1.0981982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.706519E-5 | 5.7064717E-5 | 1.2124612 | 1.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.729391E-4 | 5.8293337E-4 | 1.0174439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057215886 | 0.0057315314 | 1.0017377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0981982E-5 | 1.0981982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.706519E-5 | 5.7064717E-5 | 1.2124612 | 1.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.729391E-4 | 5.8293337E-4 | 1.0174439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057215886 | 0.0057315314 | 1.0017377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781461E-6 | 4.781461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0491945E-5 | 3.049174E-5 | 1.4879867 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.494839E-4 | 2.5948143E-4 | 1.0400728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024943 | 0.0025042752 | 1.0039991 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781461E-6 | 4.781461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0491945E-5 | 3.049174E-5 | 1.4879867 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.494839E-4 | 2.5948143E-4 | 1.0400728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024943 | 0.0025042752 | 1.0039991 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781461E-6 | 4.781461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0491945E-5 | 3.049174E-5 | 1.4879867 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.494839E-4 | 2.5948143E-4 | 1.0400728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024943 | 0.0025042752 | 1.0039991 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.764317E-6 | 4.764317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.041847E-5 | 3.0418267E-5 | 1.4897426 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4858958E-4 | 2.585871E-4 | 1.0402169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024853768 | 0.002495352 | 1.0040135 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.274118E-6 | 4.274118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8317647E-5 | 2.8317465E-5 | 1.5459117 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2301737E-4 | 2.3301513E-4 | 1.0448296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022301737 | 0.0022401514 | 1.0044739 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.98521E-4 | 1.98521E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.505271E-4 | 8.6051854E-4 | 1.0117474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010306137 | 0.01032593 | 1.0019206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10029132 | 0.10030931 | 1.0001794 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.98521E-4 | 1.98521E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.505271E-4 | 8.6051854E-4 | 1.0117474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010306137 | 0.01032593 | 1.0019206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10029132 | 0.10030931 | 1.0001794 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.98521E-4 | 1.98521E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.505271E-4 | 8.6051854E-4 | 1.0117474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010306137 | 0.01032593 | 1.0019206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10029132 | 0.10030931 | 1.0001794 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.98521E-4 | 1.98521E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.505271E-4 | 8.6051854E-4 | 1.0117474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010306137 | 0.01032593 | 1.0019206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10029132 | 0.10030931 | 1.0001794 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.98521E-4 | 1.98521E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.505271E-4 | 8.6051854E-4 | 1.0117474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010306137 | 0.01032593 | 1.0019206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10029132 | 0.10030931 | 1.0001794 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.982573E-4 | 1.982573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.493976E-4 | 8.5938914E-4 | 1.0117631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010292515 | 0.0103123095 | 1.0019232 | 2.0E-5 | 0.050156746 | 0.1001689 | 0.10018689 | 1.0001796 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.982573E-4 | 1.982573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.493976E-4 | 8.5938914E-4 | 1.0117631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010292515 | 0.0103123095 | 1.0019232 | 2.0E-5 | 0.050156746 | 0.1001689 | 0.10018689 | 1.0001796 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9815631E-4 | 1.9815631E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.489651E-4 | 8.589566E-4 | 1.011769 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010287299 | 0.010307093 | 1.0019242 | 2.0E-5 | 0.050125998 | 0.100121826 | 0.10013982 | 1.0001798 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9800662E-4 | 1.9800662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.4832404E-4 | 8.5831556E-4 | 1.011778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010279568 | 0.010299362 | 1.0019256 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05008251 | 0.100051306 | 0.10006931 | 1.0001799 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9768433E-4 | 1.9768433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.469437E-4 | 8.569352E-4 | 1.0117972 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051141046 | 0.0102629205 | 0.010282716 | 1.0019288 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049980022 | 0.099899225 | 0.099917226 | 1.0001802 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9699289E-4 | 1.9699289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.4398227E-4 | 8.5397385E-4 | 1.0118386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005091073 | 0.010227204 | 0.0102470005 | 1.0019356 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04976007 | 0.09957402 | 0.09959203 | 1.0001808 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9600311E-4 | 1.9600311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.3974306E-4 | 8.497347E-4 | 1.0118984 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005055068 | 0.010176076 | 0.010195872 | 1.0019454 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04941613 | 0.09910852 | 0.09912653 | 1.0001818 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9530598E-4 | 1.9530598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.367573E-4 | 8.4674894E-4 | 1.0119408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050299936 | 0.010140063 | 0.01015986 | 1.0019524 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049176537 | 0.098780304 | 0.098798335 | 1.0001825 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9482487E-4 | 1.9482487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.3469675E-4 | 8.446884E-4 | 1.0119704 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050112694 | 0.010115209 | 0.010135006 | 1.0019572 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04899759 | 0.09855151 | 0.09856954 | 1.000183 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.9421581E-4 | 1.9421581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.320882E-4 | 8.4207987E-4 | 1.012008 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049933824 | 0.010083744 | 0.010103542 | 1.0019634 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04882661 | 0.098267786 | 0.098285824 | 1.0001836 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.9367032E-4 | 1.9367032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.2975184E-4 | 8.3974353E-4 | 1.0120418 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049769743 | 0.0100555625 | 0.0100753615 | 1.001969 | 2.0E-5 | 0.048669744 | 0.09801184 | 0.098029874 | 1.000184 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.9015654E-4 | 1.9015654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0357444E-4 | 8.1470225E-4 | 8.246941E-4 | 1.0122644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004902454 | 0.009874008 | 0.00989381 | 1.0020056 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047957025 | 0.09638105 | 0.09639913 | 1.0001875 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.642728E-4 | 1.642728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.51473E-4 | 7.038364E-4 | 7.1382936E-4 | 1.0141978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00427079 | 0.0085356 | 0.008545515 | 1.0011616 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04189639 | 0.084048465 | 0.08405763 | 1.000109 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4882012E-4 | 1.4882012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.3764467E-4 | 6.3764467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003794643 | 0.0077357343 | 0.0077357343 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037304975 | 0.07637415 | 0.07637415 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.0303357E-4 | 1.0303357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.4149772E-4 | 4.4149772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028072202 | 0.005361999 | 0.005361999 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02772022 | 0.05362436 | 0.05362436 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.5758737E-5 | 5.5758737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3894414E-4 | 2.3894414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018082283 | 0.002905266 | 0.002905266 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017935853 | 0.029680934 | 0.029680934 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 2.0108138E-5 | 2.0108138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.617489E-5 | 8.617489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.001048675 | 0.001048675 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009943757 | 0.01122527 | 0.01122527 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7413586E-6 | 5.7413586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.460559E-5 | 2.460559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9953197E-4 | 2.9953197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033943679 | 0.0033943679 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.102869E-7 | 8.102869E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2278756E-5 | 4.2278756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.973389E-4 | 4.973389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1822113E-6 | 1.4182169E-5 | 3.3910697 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923661E-5 | 2.7923481E-5 | 1.5579118 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1820245E-4 | 2.2820025E-4 | 1.045819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802478 | 0.0022002042 | 1.0091532 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1822113E-6 | 1.4182169E-5 | 3.3910697 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923661E-5 | 2.7923481E-5 | 1.5579118 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1820245E-4 | 2.2820025E-4 | 1.045819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802478 | 0.0022002042 | 1.0091532 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1822113E-6 | 1.4182169E-5 | 3.3910697 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923661E-5 | 2.7923481E-5 | 1.5579118 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1820245E-4 | 2.2820025E-4 | 1.045819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802478 | 0.0022002042 | 1.0091532 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1822113E-6 | 1.4182169E-5 | 3.3910697 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923661E-5 | 2.7923481E-5 | 1.5579118 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1820245E-4 | 2.2820025E-4 | 1.045819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802478 | 0.0022002042 | 1.0091532 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1822113E-6 | 1.4182169E-5 | 3.3910697 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923661E-5 | 2.7923481E-5 | 1.5579118 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1820245E-4 | 2.2820025E-4 | 1.045819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802478 | 0.0022002042 | 1.0091532 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3735643E-6 | 2.3735643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0172384E-5 | 1.0172384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.238425E-4 | 1.238425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012378108 | 0.0012477984 | 1.0080688 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3735643E-6 | 2.3735643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0172384E-5 | 1.0172384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.238425E-4 | 1.238425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012378108 | 0.0012477984 | 1.0080688 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7501166E-6 | 1.7501166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.5004814E-6 | 7.5004814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.1315065E-5 | 9.1315065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.1282814E-4 | 9.2281896E-4 | 1.010945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3302056E-6 | 1.3302056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.700871E-6 | 5.700871E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.940634E-5 | 6.940634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.9389E-4 | 7.03883E-4 | 1.0144016 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.118721E-7 | 6.118721E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6223065E-6 | 2.6223065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1926156E-5 | 3.1926156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.192198E-4 | 3.192198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.833472E-7 | 4.833472E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0714867E-6 | 2.0714867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5220095E-5 | 2.5220095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5217605E-4 | 2.5217605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.9884338E-7 | 3.9884338E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7093279E-6 | 1.7093279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0810901E-5 | 2.0810901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.080929E-4 | 2.080929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.762922E-7 | 3.762922E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6126801E-6 | 1.6126801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9634237E-5 | 1.9634237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9632833E-4 | 1.9632833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.507506E-7 | 3.507506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5032163E-6 | 1.5032163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.8301538E-5 | 1.8301538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.830036E-4 | 1.830036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.117607E-7 | 3.117607E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3361167E-6 | 1.3361167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6267133E-5 | 1.6267133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.626627E-4 | 1.626627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5017353E-7 | 1.5017353E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.4360086E-7 | 6.4360086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.835841E-6 | 7.835841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.8358404E-5 | 7.8358404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3138417E-5 | 2.3138417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.916374E-5 | 9.916374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012071587 | 0.0012071587 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.0120559 | 0.012075659 | 1.0016389 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3138417E-5 | 2.3138417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.916374E-5 | 9.916374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012071587 | 0.0012071587 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.0120559 | 0.012075659 | 1.0016389 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3138417E-5 | 2.3138417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.916374E-5 | 9.916374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012071587 | 0.0012071587 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.0120559 | 0.012075659 | 1.0016389 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3138417E-5 | 2.3138417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.916374E-5 | 9.916374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012071587 | 0.0012071587 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.0120559 | 0.012075659 | 1.0016389 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3138417E-5 | 2.3138417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.916374E-5 | 9.916374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012071587 | 0.0012071587 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.0120559 | 0.012075659 | 1.0016389 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0072983E-5 | 2.0072983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.6027074E-5 | 8.6027074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010473795 | 0.0010473795 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008929676 | 0.01047376 | 0.010483655 | 1.0009447 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0072983E-5 | 2.0072983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.6027074E-5 | 8.6027074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010473795 | 0.0010473795 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008929676 | 0.01047376 | 0.010483655 | 1.0009447 | 1.0E-5 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5127529E-5 | 2.5127529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0768592E-4 | 1.0768592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013104558 | 0.0013204428 | 1.0076209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043908 | 0.013063648 | 1.0015132 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5127529E-5 | 2.5127529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0768592E-4 | 1.0768592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013104558 | 0.0013204428 | 1.0076209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043908 | 0.013063648 | 1.0015132 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5127529E-5 | 2.5127529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0768592E-4 | 1.0768592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013104558 | 0.0013204428 | 1.0076209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043908 | 0.013063648 | 1.0015132 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5127529E-5 | 2.5127529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0768592E-4 | 1.0768592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013104558 | 0.0013204428 | 1.0076209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043908 | 0.013063648 | 1.0015132 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3792365E-5 | 1.3792365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9109327E-5 | 5.9109327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.195124E-4 | 7.195124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006391279 | 0.00718105 | 0.0071909777 | 1.0013826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3792365E-5 | 1.3792365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9109327E-5 | 5.9109327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.195124E-4 | 7.195124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006391279 | 0.00718105 | 0.0071909777 | 1.0013826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.641702E-6 | 9.641702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.1321393E-5 | 4.1321393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.0305517E-4 | 5.0305517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044683935 | 0.005027338 | 0.005027338 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.094963E-6 | 8.094963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.4692697E-5 | 3.4692697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.223836E-4 | 4.223836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037527776 | 0.004223836 | 0.004223836 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.553304E-6 | 8.553304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6656602E-5 | 3.6656602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.462206E-4 | 4.462206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004455005 | 0.0044749156 | 1.0044693 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7761872E-6 | 3.7761872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6183585E-5 | 1.6183585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.970221E-4 | 1.970221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968942 | 0.0019789222 | 1.0050689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7761872E-6 | 3.7761872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6183585E-5 | 1.6183585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.970221E-4 | 1.970221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968942 | 0.0019789222 | 1.0050689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4414547E-6 | 1.4414547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.177657E-6 | 6.177657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.521179E-5 | 7.521179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.520022E-4 | 7.520022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4414547E-6 | 1.4414547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.177657E-6 | 6.177657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.521179E-5 | 7.521179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.520022E-4 | 7.520022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0224312E-6 | 1.0224312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.381848E-6 | 4.381848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3349E-5 | 5.3349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.3349E-4 | 5.3349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012334523 | 0.00124344 | 1.0080973 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025631124 | 0.0052705766 | 0.005280524 | 1.0018873 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030762846 | 0.061491832 | 0.06150122 | 1.0001526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.4274397 | 0.4274454 | 1.0000134 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010265831 | 0.0010365729 | 1.009731 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00214792 | 0.004388325 | 0.0043982808 | 1.0022688 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025839351 | 0.051486075 | 0.05149556 | 1.0001842 | 1.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37428635 | 0.37429258 | 1.0000167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.154492E-4 | 8.2544103E-4 | 1.0122532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034873085 | 0.0034972737 | 1.0028576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021034058 | 0.041169688 | 0.041179273 | 1.0002329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.31458375 | 0.3145906 | 1.0000218 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.786428E-4 | 6.886361E-4 | 1.0147253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0029031476 | 0.0029131186 | 1.0034345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017915873 | 0.03442778 | 0.034437437 | 1.0002805 | 1.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27296042 | 0.2729677 | 1.0000266 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.591719E-4 | 5.591719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.002392809 | 0.002392809 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015200248 | 0.028505048 | 0.028505048 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.14201577 | 0.23472054 | 0.23472054 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2567562E-4 | 4.2567562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018222678 | 0.0018222678 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012141965 | 0.021829734 | 0.021829734 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11499573 | 0.18866351 | 0.18866351 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5540552E-4 | 2.5540552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.001094127 | 0.001094127 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0082328 | 0.013238259 | 0.013238259 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07934396 | 0.12511846 | 0.12511846 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.507588E-4 | 2.507588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010742322 | 0.0010742322 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012999555 | 0.012999555 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0782586 | 0.12314546 | 0.12314546 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4898656E-4 | 2.4898656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010666437 | 0.0010666437 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008075596 | 0.012908419 | 0.012908419 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07788358 | 0.1223739 | 0.1223739 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.4003879E-4 | 2.4003879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.001028334 | 0.001028334 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007876333 | 0.012448637 | 0.012448637 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07602952 | 0.11843716 | 0.11843716 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2853156E-4 | 2.2853156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.790553E-4 | 9.790553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011855367 | 0.011855367 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.073302895 | 0.11326325 | 0.11326325 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6677665E-4 | 1.6677665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.145622E-4 | 7.145622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006016669 | 0.008665304 | 0.008665304 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058563538 | 0.0854368 | 0.0854368 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4987403E-4 | 1.4987403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.4215995E-4 | 6.4215995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005408933 | 0.0077904486 | 0.0077904486 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.052791595 | 0.07729458 | 0.07729458 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.3107712E-4 | 1.3107712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.6163885E-4 | 5.6163885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006816654 | 0.006816654 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047533102 | 0.06798244 | 0.06798244 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.2012087E-4 | 1.2012087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.1470276E-4 | 5.1470276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004513991 | 0.006248627 | 0.006248627 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.044233937 | 0.062578864 | 0.062578864 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.266812E-5 | 9.266812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.9708873E-4 | 3.9708873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038038217 | 0.004823861 | 0.004823861 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03739367 | 0.04912071 | 0.04912071 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.5173575E-5 | 8.5173575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.6497862E-4 | 3.6497862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0044345804 | 0.0044345804 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032811474 | 0.04512113 | 0.04512113 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.871735E-5 | 6.871735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.944697E-4 | 2.944697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0035792794 | 0.0035792794 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0283165 | 0.036812473 | 0.036812473 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.354895E-5 | 6.354895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.7232422E-4 | 2.7232422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0033105102 | 0.0033105102 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025890453 | 0.034059364 | 0.034059364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.177321E-5 | 5.177321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.2186633E-4 | 2.2186633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026978788 | 0.0026978788 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019260362 | 0.02782732 | 0.02782732 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.2457312E-5 | 3.2457312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3909535E-4 | 1.3909535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016921714 | 0.0016921714 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014149235 | 0.017736629 | 0.017736629 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.8063656E-5 | 1.8063656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.741337E-5 | 7.741337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.421009E-4 | 9.421009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.010147543 | 0.010147543 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7413586E-6 | 5.7413586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.460559E-5 | 2.460559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9953197E-4 | 2.9953197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033943679 | 0.0033943679 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.102869E-7 | 8.102869E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2278756E-5 | 4.2278756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.973389E-4 | 4.973389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley Keough Hot Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9590044E-6 | 1.4958955E-5 | 3.0165238 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.125273E-5 | 3.125252E-5 | 1.4705178 | 1.0E-5 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5872642E-4 | 2.6872382E-4 | 1.0386409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025848686 | 0.0025948426 | 1.0038587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9590044E-6 | 1.4958955E-5 | 3.0165238 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.125273E-5 | 3.125252E-5 | 1.4705178 | 1.0E-5 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5872642E-4 | 2.6872382E-4 | 1.0386409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025848686 | 0.0025948426 | 1.0038587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9590044E-6 | 1.4958955E-5 | 3.0165238 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.125273E-5 | 3.125252E-5 | 1.4705178 | 1.0E-5 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5872642E-4 | 2.6872382E-4 | 1.0386409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025848686 | 0.0025948426 | 1.0038587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9590044E-6 | 1.4958955E-5 | 3.0165238 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.125273E-5 | 3.125252E-5 | 1.4705178 | 1.0E-5 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5872642E-4 | 2.6872382E-4 | 1.0386409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025848686 | 0.0025948426 | 1.0038587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4622509E-5 | 3.733822E-6 | 1.3733785E-5 | 3.6782107 | 1.0E-5 | 6.266639E-5 | 1.6002015E-5 | 2.6001855E-5 | 1.6249113 | 1.0E-5 | 7.626962E-4 | 1.9481043E-4 | 2.0480849E-4 | 1.051322 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007600839 | 0.0019468338 | 0.0019568144 | 1.0051266 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3335527E-5 | 2.283794E-6 | 1.2283771E-5 | 5.378669 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7151006E-5 | 9.7876555E-6 | 1.9787558E-5 | 2.0216851 | 1.0E-5 | 6.955913E-4 | 1.19158874E-4 | 1.2915769E-4 | 1.0839115 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069341804 | 0.0011911294 | 0.0012011175 | 1.0083854 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3332855E-5 | 2.280942E-6 | 1.2280919E-5 | 5.384144 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7139558E-5 | 9.775433E-6 | 1.9775334E-5 | 2.0229626 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9545204E-4 | 1.19010074E-4 | 1.2900888E-4 | 1.0840164 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069327964 | 0.001189643 | 0.0011996311 | 1.0083959 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3318214E-5 | 2.2701554E-6 | 1.2270133E-5 | 5.404975 | 1.0E-5 | 5.707681E-5 | 9.729205E-6 | 1.9729108E-5 | 2.0278232 | 1.0E-5 | 6.946886E-4 | 1.18447315E-4 | 1.2844613E-4 | 1.0844157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069252094 | 0.0011840215 | 0.0011940096 | 1.0084358 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2441338E-5 | 1.6829338E-6 | 1.6829338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.331893E-5 | 7.212555E-6 | 7.212555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.489646E-4 | 8.780962E-5 | 8.780962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064707273 | 8.77891E-4 | 8.77891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1130476E-5 | 1.0338755E-6 | 1.0338755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7701167E-5 | 4.430887E-6 | 4.430887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.806069E-4 | 5.3944732E-5 | 5.3944732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057909233 | 5.394273E-4 | 5.394273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0986073E-5 | 9.612841E-7 | 9.612841E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7082318E-5 | 4.1197823E-6 | 4.1197823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730765E-4 | 5.0157207E-5 | 5.0157207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057160086 | 5.015683E-4 | 5.015683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0451338E-5 | 8.027679E-7 | 8.027679E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4790682E-5 | 3.4404293E-6 | 3.4404293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.451901E-4 | 4.1886426E-5 | 4.1886426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005438545 | 4.1889073E-4 | 4.1889073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.989061E-6 | 6.568307E-7 | 6.568307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.280956E-5 | 2.8149857E-6 | 2.8149857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2108173E-4 | 3.4271918E-5 | 3.4271918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051986156 | 3.4276713E-4 | 3.4276713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.465365E-6 | 5.481787E-7 | 5.481787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.056522E-5 | 2.3493353E-6 | 2.3493353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.937696E-4 | 2.8602784E-5 | 2.8602784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049267393 | 2.8608678E-4 | 2.8608678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3824805E-6 | 4.0343483E-7 | 4.0343483E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.73532E-5 | 1.7290052E-6 | 1.7290052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3297433E-4 | 2.1050439E-5 | 2.1050439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033247585 | 2.1053954E-4 | 2.1053954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.6192645E-6 | 2.5270924E-7 | 2.5270924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9396865E-6 | 1.0830391E-6 | 1.0830391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.448741E-5 | 1.3185922E-5 | 1.3185922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4455294E-4 | 1.3185153E-4 | 1.3185153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.7062545E-7 | 1.08363395E-7 | 1.08363395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4455355E-6 | 4.6441448E-7 | 4.6441448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9773988E-5 | 5.654232E-6 | 5.654232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.977E-4 | 5.654097E-5 | 5.654097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5988817E-7 | 4.5634035E-8 | 4.5634035E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.113806E-6 | 1.9557443E-7 | 1.9557443E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3560503E-5 | 2.3811165E-6 | 2.3811165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3559677E-4 | 2.3810953E-5 | 2.3810953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.481709E-4 | 2.481709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010631576 | 0.0010631576 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012867626 | 0.012877497 | 1.0007671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12265809 | 0.12266686 | 1.0000715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.481709E-4 | 2.481709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010631576 | 0.0010631576 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012867626 | 0.012877497 | 1.0007671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12265809 | 0.12266686 | 1.0000715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.481709E-4 | 2.481709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010631576 | 0.0010631576 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012867626 | 0.012877497 | 1.0007671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12265809 | 0.12266686 | 1.0000715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.481709E-4 | 2.481709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010631576 | 0.0010631576 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012867626 | 0.012877497 | 1.0007671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12265809 | 0.12266686 | 1.0000715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.481709E-4 | 2.481709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010631576 | 0.0010631576 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012867626 | 0.012877497 | 1.0007671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12265809 | 0.12266686 | 1.0000715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4134906E-4 | 2.4134906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010339447 | 0.0010339447 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012516085 | 0.01252596 | 1.0007889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11963239 | 0.11964119 | 1.0000736 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4134906E-4 | 2.4134906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010339447 | 0.0010339447 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012516085 | 0.01252596 | 1.0007889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11963239 | 0.11964119 | 1.0000736 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3825119E-4 | 2.3825119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010206786 | 0.0010206786 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058011734 | 0.01235641 | 0.0123662865 | 1.0007993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11825902 | 0.118267834 | 1.0000745 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3726706E-4 | 2.3726706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 0.0010164641 | 0.0010164641 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777263 | 0.012305681 | 0.012315557 | 1.0008026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.11781758 | 0.1178264 | 1.0000749 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3618451E-4 | 2.3618451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 0.0010118282 | 0.0010118282 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012249874 | 0.012259752 | 1.0008063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.117331244 | 0.11734007 | 1.0000752 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3518689E-4 | 2.3518689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 0.001007556 | 0.001007556 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057263062 | 0.0121984435 | 0.012208322 | 1.0008098 | 1.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.11688245 | 0.11689128 | 1.0000756 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.2019378E-4 | 2.2019378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.433474E-4 | 9.433474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011425102 | 0.011434987 | 1.0008652 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.110123225 | 0.11013212 | 1.0000808 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.142351E-4 | 2.142351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.178284E-4 | 9.178284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052187922 | 0.0111176185 | 0.011127507 | 1.0008894 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.10742005 | 0.107428975 | 1.0000831 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0892141E-4 | 2.0892141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.9507125E-4 | 8.9507125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005109493 | 0.010843341 | 0.010853233 | 1.0009122 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.10498151 | 0.10499047 | 1.0000852 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 2.0253085E-4 | 2.0253085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.677016E-4 | 8.677016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010513371 | 0.010523266 | 1.0009412 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10204685 | 0.102055825 | 1.000088 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6518452E-4 | 1.6518452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 7.077418E-4 | 7.077418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041929903 | 0.0085828 | 0.008592714 | 1.0011551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.08461696 | 0.08462611 | 1.0001081 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.6166705E-4 | 1.6166705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.92675E-4 | 6.92675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008400789 | 0.008410706 | 1.0011804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.08294094 | 0.082950115 | 1.0001106 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3637822E-4 | 1.3637822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.8434723E-4 | 5.8434723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003493839 | 0.0070912554 | 0.0070912554 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.034394164 | 0.07069086 | 0.07069086 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2525143E-4 | 1.2525143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.366815E-4 | 5.366815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0065145483 | 0.0065145483 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031569764 | 0.065013014 | 0.065013014 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 9.117673E-5 | 9.117673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.906989E-4 | 3.906989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004746393 | 0.004746393 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024550365 | 0.04774336 | 0.04774336 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.361368E-5 | 5.361368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2975268E-4 | 2.2975268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0027936527 | 0.0027936527 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017356034 | 0.02860582 | 0.02860582 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9895022E-5 | 1.9895022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.52616E-5 | 8.52616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010375663 | 0.0010375663 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009955673 | 0.011130248 | 0.011130248 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7413586E-6 | 5.7413586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.460559E-5 | 2.460559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9953197E-4 | 2.9953197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033943679 | 0.0033943679 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.102869E-7 | 8.102869E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2278756E-5 | 4.2278756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.973389E-4 | 4.973389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0275533E-4 | 3.0275533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012969039 | 0.001306891 | 1.0077007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015680492 | 0.015690334 | 1.0006278 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.1439416 | 0.14395016 | 1.0000595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0275533E-4 | 3.0275533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012969039 | 0.001306891 | 1.0077007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015680492 | 0.015690334 | 1.0006278 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.1439416 | 0.14395016 | 1.0000595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0275533E-4 | 3.0275533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012969039 | 0.001306891 | 1.0077007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015680492 | 0.015690334 | 1.0006278 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.1439416 | 0.14395016 | 1.0000595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.9061234E-4 | 2.9061234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012449129 | 0.0012549004 | 1.0080227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.015056366 | 0.015066216 | 1.0006542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.13865261 | 0.13866122 | 1.0000621 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.9061234E-4 | 2.9061234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012449129 | 0.0012549004 | 1.0080227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.015056366 | 0.015066216 | 1.0006542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.13865261 | 0.13866122 | 1.0000621 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.7069732E-4 | 2.7069732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011596406 | 0.0011696289 | 1.0086133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.014031884 | 0.014041744 | 1.0007026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05425003 | 0.12987849 | 0.1298872 | 1.000067 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.53103E-4 | 2.53103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010843 | 0.0010942891 | 1.0092125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.013125849 | 0.013135718 | 1.0007519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049677886 | 0.12202595 | 0.122034736 | 1.000072 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3376856E-4 | 2.3376856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7524657E-4 | 0.0010015031 | 0.001011493 | 1.009975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.012129252 | 0.01213913 | 1.0008144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04466656 | 0.11337417 | 0.11338304 | 1.0000782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2934924E-4 | 2.2934924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.825774E-4 | 9.925676E-4 | 1.0101674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.011901366 | 0.011911246 | 1.0008303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043698758 | 0.11137452 | 0.1113834 | 1.0000798 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7297443E-4 | 1.7297443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.411092E-4 | 7.511018E-4 | 1.0134833 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008985887 | 0.0089957975 | 1.0011028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031450346 | 0.08512826 | 0.08513741 | 1.0001075 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6724192E-4 | 1.6724192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.1655505E-4 | 7.2654785E-4 | 1.0139457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008689361 | 0.008699274 | 1.0011408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03011414 | 0.082441896 | 0.08245107 | 1.0001113 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.6140388E-4 | 1.6140388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.915483E-4 | 7.015414E-4 | 1.0144503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008387282 | 0.008397198 | 1.0011823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028868021 | 0.079737134 | 0.079746336 | 1.0001154 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4741751E-4 | 1.4741751E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.3163677E-4 | 6.4163044E-4 | 1.0158219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.0076631675 | 0.0076730913 | 1.001295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025707912 | 0.07320467 | 0.073213935 | 1.0001266 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3931339E-4 | 1.3931339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.969211E-4 | 6.069151E-4 | 1.0167426 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0072433855 | 0.007253313 | 1.0013705 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024434982 | 0.06947683 | 0.069486134 | 1.000134 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3335877E-4 | 1.3335877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.7141273E-4 | 5.81407E-4 | 1.0174905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.0069348398 | 0.0069447705 | 1.001432 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023491086 | 0.06671464 | 0.06672397 | 1.00014 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2566856E-4 | 1.2566856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.384687E-4 | 5.484633E-4 | 1.0185611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.006536224 | 0.006546159 | 1.0015199 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022230545 | 0.063100085 | 0.06310945 | 1.0001485 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 1.0021162E-4 | 1.0021162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.2940775E-4 | 4.3940346E-4 | 1.0232779 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005215534 | 0.005225482 | 1.0019073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017628696 | 0.050836213 | 0.0508457 | 1.0001867 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.418783E-5 | 8.418783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.607551E-4 | 3.707515E-4 | 1.0277096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.0043833577 | 0.0043933135 | 1.0022714 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01466633 | 0.043024547 | 0.043034118 | 1.0002224 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.62102E-5 | 7.62102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.2657429E-4 | 3.2657429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0039687995 | 0.0039687995 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013589768 | 0.03913974 | 0.03913974 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.918095E-5 | 5.918095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.53608E-4 | 2.53608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011196428 | 0.003083309 | 0.003083309 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011140184 | 0.030740509 | 0.030740509 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.204824E-5 | 3.204824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3734237E-4 | 1.3734237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016708618 | 0.0016708618 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064597935 | 0.016861977 | 0.016861977 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 8.085085E-6 | 8.085085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.4649904E-5 | 3.4649904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.2178106E-4 | 4.2178106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.0045162854 | 0.0045162854 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 3.0272156E-6 | 3.0272156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2973717E-5 | 1.2973717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.579436E-4 | 1.579436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017681952 | 0.0017681952 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.3733917E-7 | 3.3733917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.4457386E-6 | 1.4457386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.7601738E-5 | 1.7601738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.079702E-4 | 2.079702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.0443205E-4 | 1.1443101E-4 | 1.095746 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.474929E-4 | 4.5748844E-4 | 1.0223367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004310982 | 0.0054350314 | 0.005444977 | 1.0018299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042283054 | 0.05307889 | 0.05308836 | 1.0001785 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.7818394E-5 | 6.781781E-5 | 1.1729454 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.4776932E-4 | 2.5776683E-4 | 1.0403501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00244744 | 0.0030124704 | 0.0030224405 | 1.0033095 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024206603 | 0.029723905 | 0.029733608 | 1.0003264 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.219986E-5 | 5.2199437E-5 | 1.2369577 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8084422E-4 | 1.908424E-4 | 1.0552862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021995679 | 0.002209546 | 1.0045364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.02178029 | 0.021790072 | 1.0004492 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.219986E-5 | 5.2199437E-5 | 1.2369577 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8084422E-4 | 1.908424E-4 | 1.0552862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021995679 | 0.002209546 | 1.0045364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.02178029 | 0.021790072 | 1.0004492 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.212623E-5 | 4.212591E-5 | 1.3112621 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3767662E-4 | 1.4767525E-4 | 1.072624 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016749352 | 0.0016849185 | 1.0059603 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014090929 | 0.016624695 | 0.016634528 | 1.0005915 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.0137628E-5 | 4.0137325E-5 | 1.331801 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.291549E-4 | 1.391536E-4 | 1.0774164 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015713382 | 0.0015813225 | 1.006354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013261181 | 0.015603807 | 0.015613651 | 1.0006309 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.5772044E-5 | 3.5771787E-5 | 1.3880073 | 1.0E-5 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.1044699E-4 | 1.2044588E-4 | 1.0905312 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011490905 | 0.00134387 | 0.0013538565 | 1.0074311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011431668 | 0.013358424 | 0.01336829 | 1.0007386 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.256652E-5 | 2.256652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.67101E-5 | 9.67101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011768148 | 0.0011768148 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01006902 | 0.011706536 | 0.011706536 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.042502E-5 | 2.042502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.7532884E-5 | 8.7532884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010651962 | 0.0010651962 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009149387 | 0.010601473 | 0.010601473 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.8044864E-5 | 1.8044864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.733286E-5 | 7.733286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.411244E-4 | 9.411244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008117969 | 0.009371834 | 0.009371834 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.5463633E-5 | 1.5463633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.6271044E-5 | 6.6271044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.0655405E-4 | 8.0655405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006990582 | 0.008036601 | 0.008036601 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.4087005E-5 | 1.4087005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.0371498E-5 | 6.0371498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.347777E-4 | 7.347777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063810493 | 0.0073237885 | 0.0073237885 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.252587E-5 | 1.252587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.3681208E-5 | 5.3681208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.533753E-4 | 6.533753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056831064 | 0.006514824 | 0.006514824 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.9351954E-6 | 6.9351954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.972193E-5 | 2.972193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6180482E-4 | 3.6180482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.003612203 | 0.003612203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.594583E-6 | 5.594583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3976565E-5 | 2.3976565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.9187597E-4 | 2.9187597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.0029149675 | 0.0029149675 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9713716E-6 | 1.9713716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.448709E-6 | 8.448709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.028584E-4 | 1.028584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.00102813 | 0.00102813 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7537604E-7 | 1.7537604E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.516114E-7 | 7.516114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.150833E-6 | 9.150833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.150475E-5 | 9.150475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2880445E-5 | 1.2880445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5200864E-5 | 6.5200315E-5 | 1.1811466 | 1.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.7188544E-4 | 6.818787E-4 | 1.0148735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006702875 | 0.006712808 | 1.0014819 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2880445E-5 | 1.2880445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5200864E-5 | 6.5200315E-5 | 1.1811466 | 1.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.7188544E-4 | 6.818787E-4 | 1.0148735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006702875 | 0.006712808 | 1.0014819 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2880445E-5 | 1.2880445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5200864E-5 | 6.5200315E-5 | 1.1811466 | 1.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.7188544E-4 | 6.818787E-4 | 1.0148735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006702875 | 0.006712808 | 1.0014819 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.17451E-6 | 8.17451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.503316E-5 | 4.503281E-5 | 1.2854339 | 1.0E-5 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.2644847E-4 | 4.364442E-4 | 1.0234395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.004258767 | 0.0042687245 | 1.002338 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.158796E-6 | 8.158796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.496582E-5 | 4.496547E-5 | 1.2859836 | 1.0E-5 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2562888E-4 | 4.3562465E-4 | 1.0234846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.0042506023 | 0.00426056 | 1.0023426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.4835916E-6 | 7.4835916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.2072156E-5 | 4.2071835E-5 | 1.3117869 | 1.0E-5 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.9041133E-4 | 4.0040744E-4 | 1.025604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038996784 | 0.003909639 | 1.0025543 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.943329E-6 | 6.943329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.9756799E-5 | 3.97565E-5 | 1.3360476 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.6223128E-4 | 3.7222766E-4 | 1.0275967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0036187996 | 0.0036287634 | 1.0027534 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 6.0529496E-6 | 6.0529496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.5940964E-5 | 3.5940706E-5 | 1.3854806 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.15787E-4 | 3.2578385E-4 | 1.0316569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0031556827 | 0.003165651 | 1.0031589 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.758093E-6 | 5.758093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4677316E-5 | 3.467707E-5 | 1.4052205 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8089297E-4 | 3.0040636E-4 | 3.1040335E-4 | 1.0332782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0030022936 | 0.0030122637 | 1.0033208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.876846E-6 | 4.876846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0900605E-5 | 3.0900395E-5 | 1.478445 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5443593E-4 | 2.6443336E-4 | 1.0392926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014436257 | 0.0025436683 | 0.002553643 | 1.0039214 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 4.031946E-6 | 4.031946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.7279657E-5 | 2.7279484E-5 | 1.5787052 | 1.0E-5 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.1036007E-4 | 2.2035796E-4 | 1.0475276 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0021037955 | 0.0021137744 | 1.0047433 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3875806E-6 | 3.3875806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4518123E-5 | 2.4517978E-5 | 1.6887842 | 1.0E-5 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7674417E-4 | 1.8674241E-4 | 1.056569 | 1.0E-5 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017681926 | 0.001778175 | 1.0056455 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.8348284E-6 | 2.8348284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.2149209E-5 | 2.2149088E-5 | 1.8230888 | 1.0E-5 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4790682E-4 | 1.5790534E-4 | 1.0676001 | 1.0E-5 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014802197 | 0.001490205 | 1.0067457 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.6484352E-6 | 2.6484352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1350388E-5 | 2.1350275E-5 | 1.8810171 | 1.0E-5 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3818244E-4 | 1.4818106E-4 | 1.0723581 | 1.0E-5 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.0013829317 | 0.0013929178 | 1.007221 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.5199593E-6 | 2.5199593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.0799782E-5 | 2.0799675E-5 | 1.9259347 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.3147964E-4 | 1.4147832E-4 | 1.0760474 | 1.0E-5 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0013158029 | 0.0013257897 | 1.0075899 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.4425328E-6 | 2.4425328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.04679575E-5 | 2.0467853E-5 | 1.9552863 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2744014E-4 | 1.3743887E-4 | 1.0784582 | 1.0E-5 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012752672 | 0.0012852545 | 1.0078315 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.0761288E-6 | 2.0761288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.897665E-6 | 1.8897576E-5 | 2.1238804 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.0832387E-4 | 1.1832279E-4 | 1.0923058 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010843966 | 0.0010943859 | 1.0092117 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1827656E-6 | 1.1827656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 5.0689855E-6 | 1.5068935E-5 | 2.9727714 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.1713195E-5 | 7.171258E-5 | 1.1620299 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.1985216E-4 | 6.2984595E-4 | 1.0161229 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.6417842E-7 | 2.6417842E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1321928E-6 | 1.1321928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3784364E-5 | 1.3784364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3889528E-4 | 1.3889528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.2295746E-8 | 4.2295746E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.8126747E-7 | 1.8126747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.2069294E-6 | 2.2069294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.2402779E-5 | 2.2402779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6350254E-5 | 8.634949E-5 | 1.1309654 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.271777E-4 | 3.3717442E-4 | 1.0305544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003976642 | 0.0039866026 | 1.0025047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039111372 | 0.039120983 | 1.0002457 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6350254E-5 | 8.634949E-5 | 1.1309654 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.271777E-4 | 3.3717442E-4 | 1.0305544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003976642 | 0.0039866026 | 1.0025047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039111372 | 0.039120983 | 1.0002457 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6350254E-5 | 8.634949E-5 | 1.1309654 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.271777E-4 | 3.3717442E-4 | 1.0305544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003976642 | 0.0039866026 | 1.0025047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039111372 | 0.039120983 | 1.0002457 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.982217E-5 | 5.9821672E-5 | 1.2007039 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1350739E-4 | 2.2350525E-4 | 1.0468268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025965632 | 0.0026065374 | 1.0038413 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025683928 | 0.025693672 | 1.0003793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.982217E-5 | 5.9821672E-5 | 1.2007039 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1350739E-4 | 2.2350525E-4 | 1.0468268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025965632 | 0.0026065374 | 1.0038413 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025683928 | 0.025693672 | 1.0003793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6610676E-5 | 4.661031E-5 | 1.2731344 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5689414E-4 | 1.6689257E-4 | 1.0637273 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019086291 | 0.0019186101 | 1.0052294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.018934317 | 0.018944127 | 1.0005181 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.520234E-5 | 4.520199E-5 | 1.284062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5085911E-4 | 1.608576E-4 | 1.066277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018352766 | 0.0018452582 | 1.0054388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018212827 | 0.018222645 | 1.0005391 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.7283644E-5 | 3.728337E-5 | 1.3665099 | 1.0E-5 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.16925185E-4 | 1.2692402E-4 | 1.0855148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014227264 | 0.0014327122 | 1.0070188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011863477 | 0.014145437 | 0.014155296 | 1.0006969 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.546508E-5 | 3.5464825E-5 | 1.3926846 | 1.0E-5 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0913201E-4 | 1.1913091E-4 | 1.0916221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013279628 | 0.0013379495 | 1.0075203 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011065915 | 0.013209335 | 0.013219202 | 1.0007471 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.264264E-5 | 2.264264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.703677E-5 | 9.703677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.00118087 | 0.00118087 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009869894 | 0.01175466 | 0.01175466 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0345351E-5 | 2.0345351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.7191926E-5 | 8.7191926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010611302 | 0.0010611302 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008882134 | 0.010569093 | 0.010569093 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.9019073E-5 | 1.9019073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.1508246E-5 | 8.1508246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.91996E-4 | 9.91996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008304977 | 0.009884066 | 0.009884066 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7219281E-5 | 1.7219281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.379531E-5 | 7.379531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.9817174E-4 | 8.9817174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007520827 | 0.008953708 | 0.008953708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.211084E-6 | 6.211084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6618856E-5 | 2.6618856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.2407138E-4 | 3.2407138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.00323942 | 0.00323942 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.4092255E-7 | 8.4092255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6039494E-6 | 3.6039494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3877273E-5 | 4.3877273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.386933E-4 | 4.386933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.667962E-7 | 6.667962E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8576953E-6 | 2.8576953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4791952E-5 | 3.4791952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4787168E-4 | 3.4787168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5624137E-7 | 3.5624137E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5267481E-6 | 1.5267481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8588045E-5 | 1.8588045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8586952E-4 | 1.8586952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2199828E-7 | 1.2199828E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.228497E-7 | 5.228497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.3656767E-6 | 6.3656767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.365498E-5 | 6.365498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1031572E-8 | 3.1031572E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3299245E-7 | 1.3299245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6191821E-6 | 1.6191821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6191723E-5 | 1.6191723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3225264E-5 | 5.3224834E-5 | 1.2313362 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.8523808E-4 | 1.9523622E-4 | 1.0539746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026203706 | 0.0022529545 | 0.0022629318 | 1.0044286 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02589687 | 0.022376945 | 0.022386722 | 1.0004369 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3225264E-5 | 5.3224834E-5 | 1.2313362 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.8523808E-4 | 1.9523622E-4 | 1.0539746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026203706 | 0.0022529545 | 0.0022629318 | 1.0044286 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02589687 | 0.022376945 | 0.022386722 | 1.0004369 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.459283E-5 | 4.4592485E-5 | 1.2890673 | 1.0E-5 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4824665E-4 | 1.5824517E-4 | 1.0674452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022411412 | 0.001803421 | 0.001813403 | 1.005535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022186736 | 0.017962301 | 0.017972123 | 1.0005467 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.459283E-5 | 4.4592485E-5 | 1.2890673 | 1.0E-5 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4824665E-4 | 1.5824517E-4 | 1.0674452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022411412 | 0.001803421 | 0.001813403 | 1.005535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022186736 | 0.017962301 | 0.017972123 | 1.0005467 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1101295E-5 | 3.247393E-5 | 4.2473606E-5 | 1.3079293 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7613651E-4 | 1.3916664E-4 | 1.4916525E-4 | 1.0718462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021423528 | 0.0016930503 | 0.0017030333 | 1.0058964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02121817 | 0.016876023 | 0.016885854 | 1.0005826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.1032585E-5 | 3.2391858E-5 | 4.2391533E-5 | 1.3087095 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7584208E-4 | 1.3881494E-4 | 1.4881355E-4 | 1.0720284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021387753 | 0.0016887749 | 0.001698758 | 1.0059115 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021183075 | 0.016833924 | 0.016843755 | 1.000584 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.011629E-5 | 3.1411622E-5 | 4.1411306E-5 | 1.3183435 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7191563E-4 | 1.3461437E-4 | 1.4461302E-4 | 1.0742763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020910634 | 0.0016377114 | 0.0016476951 | 1.0060961 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020714961 | 0.01633042 | 0.016340256 | 1.0006024 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8583938E-5 | 2.95952E-5 | 3.9594903E-5 | 1.3378826 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6534925E-4 | 1.2683048E-4 | 1.3682921E-4 | 1.0788354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020112682 | 0.0015430817 | 0.0015530663 | 1.0064706 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019931622 | 0.015396904 | 0.01540675 | 1.0006394 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.44341E-5 | 2.4583405E-5 | 3.458316E-5 | 1.4067684 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4756636E-4 | 1.05353254E-4 | 1.153522E-4 | 1.0949087 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017951399 | 0.0012819316 | 0.0012919188 | 1.0077907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017807078 | 0.012817744 | 0.012827616 | 1.0007702 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.221199E-5 | 2.1902502E-5 | 2.1902502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804408E-4 | 9.386453E-5 | 9.386453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016793909 | 0.0011422099 | 0.0011422099 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01666756 | 0.011438196 | 0.011438196 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.9186718E-5 | 1.8263316E-5 | 1.8263316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2507994E-4 | 7.8269026E-5 | 7.8269026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015217843 | 9.5251325E-4 | 9.5251325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015114053 | 0.009558338 | 0.009558338 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.6840138E-5 | 1.5395708E-5 | 1.5395708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1502409E-4 | 6.597994E-5 | 6.597994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013995186 | 8.0301176E-4 | 8.0301176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013907375 | 0.008074802 | 0.008074802 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.453002E-5 | 1.2714572E-5 | 1.2714572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05124425E-4 | 5.4489887E-5 | 5.4489887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012791384 | 6.63213E-4 | 6.63213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012718005 | 0.006685031 | 0.006685031 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.3330727E-5 | 1.1594273E-5 | 1.1594273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9985E-5 | 4.9688795E-5 | 4.9688795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012166376 | 6.047936E-4 | 6.047936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012099981 | 0.0061027906 | 0.0061027906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2136466E-5 | 1.0472105E-5 | 1.0472105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.486712E-5 | 4.4879678E-5 | 4.4879678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011543952 | 5.4627337E-4 | 5.4627337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011484168 | 0.0055191084 | 0.0055191084 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.0994974E-5 | 9.5266E-6 | 9.5266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997535E-5 | 4.0827646E-5 | 4.0827646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948994 | 4.9696345E-4 | 4.9696345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010895205 | 0.005026524 | 0.005026524 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.7091823E-5 | 6.9735916E-6 | 6.9735916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3248615E-5 | 2.988648E-5 | 2.988648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9143694E-4 | 3.6380725E-4 | 3.6380725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008878695 | 0.0036912495 | 0.0036912495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.2772179E-5 | 4.0768227E-6 | 4.0768227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.473676E-5 | 1.747198E-5 | 1.747198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6621625E-4 | 2.1270063E-4 | 2.1270063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006642225 | 0.0021673099 | 0.0021673099 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.041923E-6 | 1.9768593E-6 | 1.9768593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.017932E-5 | 8.472226E-6 | 8.472226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6737128E-4 | 1.0314447E-4 | 1.0314447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036676454 | 0.0010576843 | 0.0010576843 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.946768E-6 | 1.0246164E-6 | 1.0246164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2628945E-5 | 4.3912055E-6 | 4.3912055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5374656E-4 | 5.3461616E-5 | 5.3461616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015364023 | 5.4534944E-4 | 5.4534944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1433375E-6 | 5.303282E-7 | 5.303282E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9000087E-6 | 2.272833E-6 | 2.272833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.965597E-5 | 2.767139E-5 | 2.767139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.963996E-4 | 2.803932E-4 | 2.803932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6675295E-7 | 1.6750839E-7 | 1.6750839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1432264E-6 | 7.1789293E-7 | 7.1789293E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3918692E-5 | 8.740311E-6 | 8.740311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.391782E-4 | 8.881127E-5 | 8.881127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.2704569E-8 | 9.846122E-9 | 9.846122E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.444815E-8 | 4.219767E-8 | 4.219767E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629061E-7 | 5.137565E-7 | 5.137565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629041E-6 | 5.333213E-6 | 5.333213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.149224E-5 | 3.149224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3496098E-4 | 1.3496098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015995599 | 0.001642129 | 0.001642129 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015880952 | 0.016321562 | 0.016331399 | 1.0006027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.149224E-5 | 3.149224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3496098E-4 | 1.3496098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015995599 | 0.001642129 | 0.001642129 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015880952 | 0.016321562 | 0.016331399 | 1.0006027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.364492E-5 | 1.364492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8476984E-5 | 5.8476984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.117366E-4 | 7.117366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070957746 | 0.007105704 | 1.0013993 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.364492E-5 | 1.364492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8476984E-5 | 5.8476984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.117366E-4 | 7.117366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070957746 | 0.007105704 | 1.0013993 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0696866E-5 | 1.0696866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.5842942E-5 | 4.5842942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.580007E-4 | 5.580007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005566587 | 0.0055765314 | 1.0017865 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.0895755E-6 | 9.0895755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8954764E-5 | 3.8954764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7417512E-4 | 4.7417512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047320416 | 0.004741994 | 1.0021032 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.536518E-6 | 7.536518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2298976E-5 | 3.2298976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9317165E-4 | 3.9317165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039250175 | 0.0039250175 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.753727E-6 | 6.753727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8944236E-5 | 2.8944236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.523413E-4 | 3.523413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004672008 | 0.003518048 | 0.003518048 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.119505E-6 | 5.119505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.194056E-5 | 2.194056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6709496E-4 | 2.6709496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026678778 | 0.0026678778 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.9101465E-6 | 3.9101465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6757669E-5 | 1.6757669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.040065E-4 | 2.040065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020382905 | 0.0020382905 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6078035E-6 | 2.6078035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1176255E-5 | 1.1176255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3606266E-4 | 1.3606266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013598187 | 0.0013598187 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.1001545E-6 | 2.1001545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 9.000632E-6 | 9.000632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0957741E-4 | 1.0957741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010952557 | 0.0010952557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2628963E-6 | 1.2628963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.4124016E-6 | 5.4124016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.589408E-5 | 6.589408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.587536E-4 | 6.587536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.130191E-7 | 7.130191E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.0557928E-6 | 3.0557928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7203663E-5 | 3.7203663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7197635E-4 | 3.7197635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.3143043E-7 | 5.3143043E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2775569E-6 | 2.2775569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.772891E-5 | 2.772891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7725502E-4 | 2.7725502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6094897E-7 | 3.6094897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5469233E-6 | 1.5469233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8833633E-5 | 1.8833633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8832083E-4 | 1.8832083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1419635E-8 | 7.1419635E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0608413E-7 | 3.0608413E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7265693E-6 | 3.7265693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.726523E-5 | 3.726523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4275124E-5 | 1.4275124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.1177874E-5 | 7.117727E-5 | 1.1634477 | 1.0E-5 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.446227E-4 | 7.546153E-4 | 1.0134196 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.0074261674 | 0.007436093 | 1.0013366 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.532615E-6 | 9.532615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.085355E-5 | 5.0853138E-5 | 1.2447668 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.973002E-4 | 5.072952E-4 | 1.0200986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0043435963 | 0.004965288 | 0.0049752383 | 1.002004 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.988087E-6 | 7.988087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.423432E-5 | 4.4233977E-5 | 1.2920946 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1674238E-4 | 4.267382E-4 | 1.0239856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041627763 | 0.0041727345 | 1.0023923 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4427023E-6 | 3.4427023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4754361E-5 | 2.4754212E-5 | 1.6777557 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.796204E-4 | 1.896186E-4 | 1.055663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017961164 | 0.0018060984 | 1.0055575 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4269885E-6 | 3.4269885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4687016E-5 | 2.468687E-5 | 1.6808635 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7880062E-4 | 1.8879883E-4 | 1.0559182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017879318 | 0.0017979139 | 1.005583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.4093255E-6 | 3.4093255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4611318E-5 | 2.4611172E-5 | 1.684391 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7787915E-4 | 1.8787736E-4 | 1.0562079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017787318 | 0.001788714 | 1.005612 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3793324E-6 | 3.3793324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4482777E-5 | 2.4482633E-5 | 1.6904653 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7631442E-4 | 1.8631265E-4 | 1.0567069 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017631095 | 0.0017730918 | 1.0056618 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.349346E-6 | 3.349346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4354266E-5 | 2.4354122E-5 | 1.696647 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7475004E-4 | 1.8474829E-4 | 1.0572146 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017474904 | 0.0017574729 | 1.0057125 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8727031E-6 | 2.8727031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2311531E-5 | 2.2311408E-5 | 1.8122367 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4988332E-4 | 1.598818E-4 | 1.0667086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014991728 | 0.0015091577 | 1.0066603 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0859566E-6 | 2.0859566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.9397845E-6 | 1.8939696E-5 | 2.118585 | 1.0E-5 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0883671E-4 | 1.18835625E-4 | 1.0918708 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.00108914 | 0.0010991291 | 1.0091716 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.569853E-6 | 1.569853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.7279248E-6 | 1.6727858E-5 | 2.4863324 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.190956E-5 | 9.190874E-5 | 1.1220759 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.2008814E-4 | 8.3007995E-4 | 1.0121838 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.44562E-6 | 1.44562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1955E-6 | 1.6195438E-5 | 2.6140647 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.542776E-5 | 8.5427004E-5 | 1.1325672 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.5531576E-4 | 7.653082E-4 | 1.0132295 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0255105E-6 | 1.0255105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.3950376E-6 | 1.4394994E-5 | 3.2752833 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.3508316E-5 | 6.350778E-5 | 1.1868769 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.362383E-4 | 5.46233E-4 | 1.0186384 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.358761E-7 | 9.358761E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 4.0108916E-6 | 1.4010851E-5 | 3.4932013 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8831553E-5 | 5.8831065E-5 | 1.2047756 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.894922E-4 | 4.9948733E-4 | 1.0204194 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.4933833E-7 | 8.4933833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.6400165E-6 | 1.363998E-5 | 3.7472303 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.431634E-5 | 5.4315897E-5 | 1.2256404 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.4434986E-4 | 4.543454E-4 | 1.0224948 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.240062E-7 | 8.240062E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.5314506E-6 | 1.3531415E-5 | 3.8316875 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.29946E-5 | 5.299417E-5 | 1.2325773 | 1.0E-5 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.3111635E-4 | 4.4111203E-4 | 1.0231856 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.858844E-7 | 7.858844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.368072E-6 | 1.3368039E-5 | 3.9690478 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.1005544E-5 | 5.1005136E-5 | 1.2438594 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.1120636E-4 | 4.2120225E-4 | 1.0243087 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.1750675E-7 | 5.1750675E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.2178842E-6 | 1.2217862E-5 | 5.5087914 | 1.0E-5 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.7002417E-5 | 3.7002148E-5 | 1.3703272 | 1.0E-5 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.7123324E-4 | 2.8123052E-4 | 1.0368587 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.2210619E-7 | 1.2210619E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.2331217E-7 | 5.2331217E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.3713082E-6 | 6.3713082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.4124026E-5 | 6.4124026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.1969193E-9 | 4.1969193E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.7986796E-8 | 1.7986796E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1898921E-7 | 2.1898921E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.2376344E-6 | 2.2376344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.570275E-4 | 2.570275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0011010831 | 0.0011010831 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013323815 | 0.013333682 | 1.0007405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.1264625 | 0.12647124 | 1.000069 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.570275E-4 | 2.570275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0011010831 | 0.0011010831 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013323815 | 0.013333682 | 1.0007405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.1264625 | 0.12647124 | 1.000069 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5518922E-4 | 2.5518922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010932114 | 0.0010932114 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006347804 | 0.013229144 | 0.013239011 | 1.0007459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.12564608 | 0.12565483 | 1.0000696 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.5404518E-4 | 2.5404518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010883124 | 0.0010883124 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006316212 | 0.013170222 | 0.01318009 | 1.0007492 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12513983 | 0.12514858 | 1.0000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.490702E-4 | 2.490702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010670087 | 0.0010670087 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006172335 | 0.01291395 | 0.01292382 | 1.0007644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.12292204 | 0.12293081 | 1.0000714 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.46983E-4 | 2.46983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010580708 | 0.0010580708 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006109677 | 0.012806412 | 0.012816284 | 1.0007708 | 1.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.121988036 | 0.12199681 | 1.000072 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.4001405E-4 | 2.4001405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010282277 | 0.0010282277 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012447277 | 0.012457153 | 1.0007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.11888388 | 0.11889269 | 1.0000741 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3844559E-4 | 2.3844559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.001021511 | 0.001021511 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005864331 | 0.012366433 | 0.012376309 | 1.0007986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.11818439 | 0.1181932 | 1.0000746 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3731825E-4 | 2.3731825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 0.0010166833 | 0.0010166833 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005836608 | 0.012308322 | 0.012318199 | 1.0008025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.11767873 | 0.11768755 | 1.000075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.357929E-4 | 2.357929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 0.0010101512 | 0.0010101512 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057996577 | 0.012229688 | 0.012239567 | 1.0008076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.11699481 | 0.11700364 | 1.0000755 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.3198778E-4 | 2.3198778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.938561E-4 | 9.938561E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005705768 | 0.012033504 | 0.012043384 | 1.000821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.11528615 | 0.115295 | 1.0000768 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.099995E-4 | 2.099995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.996885E-4 | 8.996885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010899001 | 0.010908891 | 1.0009075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.105334654 | 0.1053436 | 1.0000849 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0500945E-4 | 2.0500945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.783171E-4 | 8.783171E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00504711 | 0.010641374 | 0.010651267 | 1.0009297 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.10306313 | 0.1030721 | 1.000087 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9922781E-4 | 1.9922781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.535551E-4 | 8.535551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010342798 | 0.010352694 | 1.0009569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.100409046 | 0.100418046 | 1.0000896 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.9284803E-4 | 1.9284803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.2623074E-4 | 8.2623074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004799717 | 0.010013222 | 0.010023122 | 1.0009887 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09746566 | 0.09747468 | 1.0000926 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5564632E-4 | 1.5564632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.6688535E-4 | 6.6688535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040183207 | 0.008089178 | 0.008099098 | 1.0012262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.08001748 | 0.08002668 | 1.0001149 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.5219157E-4 | 1.5219157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.5208675E-4 | 6.5208675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007910328 | 0.007920248 | 1.0012542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.078363605 | 0.07837282 | 1.0001177 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2701437E-4 | 1.2701437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.442338E-4 | 5.442338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0066059446 | 0.0066059446 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032734364 | 0.066107295 | 0.066107295 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1727839E-4 | 1.1727839E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 5.025249E-4 | 5.025249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003054864 | 0.0061011 | 0.0061011 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030132094 | 0.061092254 | 0.061092254 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.65541E-5 | 8.65541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.7089342E-4 | 3.7089342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0045062853 | 0.0045062853 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023692891 | 0.0454402 | 0.0454402 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.2219566E-5 | 5.2219566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.2377896E-4 | 2.2377896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0027211066 | 0.0027211066 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017046256 | 0.027891366 | 0.027891366 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9895206E-5 | 1.9895206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.526238E-5 | 8.526238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010375758 | 0.0010375758 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009956728 | 0.011130372 | 0.011130372 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7413586E-6 | 5.7413586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.460559E-5 | 2.460559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9953197E-4 | 2.9953197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033943679 | 0.0033943679 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.102869E-7 | 8.102869E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 3.4726538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2278756E-5 | 4.2278756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.973389E-4 | 4.973389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1720774E-5 | 2.1720774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.308611E-5 | 1.03085185E-4 | 1.1074175 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011328064 | 0.0011427951 | 1.0088177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011277506 | 0.011287393 | 1.0008767 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1720774E-5 | 2.1720774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.308611E-5 | 1.03085185E-4 | 1.1074175 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011328064 | 0.0011427951 | 1.0088177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011277506 | 0.011287393 | 1.0008767 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1720774E-5 | 2.1720774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.308611E-5 | 1.03085185E-4 | 1.1074175 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011328064 | 0.0011427951 | 1.0088177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011277506 | 0.011287393 | 1.0008767 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.683155E-5 | 1.683155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.213357E-5 | 8.213284E-5 | 1.1386217 | 1.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.779336E-4 | 8.879248E-4 | 1.0113804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008750706 | 0.008760618 | 1.0011327 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.683155E-5 | 1.683155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.213357E-5 | 8.213284E-5 | 1.1386217 | 1.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.779336E-4 | 8.879248E-4 | 1.0113804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008750706 | 0.008760618 | 1.0011327 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5568077E-5 | 1.5568077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.671896E-5 | 7.6718294E-5 | 1.1498724 | 1.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.12061E-4 | 8.220529E-4 | 1.0123043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008096887 | 0.008106805 | 1.001225 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.47811825E-5 | 1.47811825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.334673E-5 | 7.334609E-5 | 1.1578513 | 1.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.710335E-4 | 7.8102585E-4 | 1.0129596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076894965 | 0.0076994193 | 1.0012904 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.42909885E-5 | 1.42909885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.124599E-5 | 7.1245384E-5 | 1.163266 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.4547465E-4 | 7.554672E-4 | 1.0134043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074356245 | 0.00744555 | 1.0013349 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.228304E-6 | 6.228304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6692627E-5 | 2.6692627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.249643E-4 | 3.249643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032478357 | 0.0032478357 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.796048E-6 | 4.796048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0554493E-5 | 2.0554493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5025095E-4 | 2.5025095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025025094 | 0.0025025094 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1873264E-5 | 2.1873264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.37397E-5 | 9.37397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407743 | 0.0011407743 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010326075 | 0.011358212 | 0.011368098 | 1.0008705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1873264E-5 | 2.1873264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.37397E-5 | 9.37397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407743 | 0.0011407743 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010326075 | 0.011358212 | 0.011368098 | 1.0008705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1873264E-5 | 2.1873264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.37397E-5 | 9.37397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407743 | 0.0011407743 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010326075 | 0.011358212 | 0.011368098 | 1.0008705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2184388E-5 | 1.2184388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2217936E-5 | 5.2217936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.355995E-4 | 6.355995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057841022 | 0.006340926 | 0.006350863 | 1.001567 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2184388E-5 | 1.2184388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2217936E-5 | 5.2217936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.355995E-4 | 6.355995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057841022 | 0.006340926 | 0.006350863 | 1.001567 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.6762054E-6 | 6.6762054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8612067E-5 | 2.8612067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.483088E-4 | 3.483088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034788644 | 0.0034888296 | 1.0028645 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3696957E-6 | 6.3696957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.729848E-5 | 2.729848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3232078E-4 | 3.3232078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033194618 | 0.0033294286 | 1.0030025 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3439217E-6 | 5.3439217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2902388E-5 | 2.2902388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.788127E-4 | 2.788127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027857858 | 0.0027857858 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9410893E-6 | 1.9410893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.318937E-6 | 8.318937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01279926E-4 | 1.01279926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010124925 | 0.0010124925 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.302648E-7 | 8.302648E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5582748E-6 | 3.5582748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.332147E-5 | 4.332147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3316325E-4 | 4.3316325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.546873E-7 | 7.546873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.234372E-6 | 3.234372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9378097E-5 | 3.9378097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.937437E-4 | 3.937437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.161762E-5 | 3.161762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3549782E-4 | 1.3549782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016485739 | 0.0016485739 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016377194 | 0.01638703 | 1.0006006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.161762E-5 | 3.161762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3549782E-4 | 1.3549782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016485739 | 0.0016485739 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016377194 | 0.01638703 | 1.0006006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.161762E-5 | 3.161762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3549782E-4 | 1.3549782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016485739 | 0.0016485739 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016377194 | 0.01638703 | 1.0006006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7812841E-5 | 1.7812841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.633862E-5 | 7.633862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.290447E-4 | 9.290447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.009253481 | 0.009253481 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7812841E-5 | 1.7812841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.633862E-5 | 7.633862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.290447E-4 | 9.290447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.009253481 | 0.009253481 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3048823E-5 | 1.3048823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.592235E-5 | 5.592235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8064564E-4 | 6.8064564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006786009 | 0.006786009 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1161467E-5 | 1.1161467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7833997E-5 | 4.7833997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.822255E-4 | 5.822255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005458487 | 0.0058072424 | 0.0058072424 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.240681E-6 | 9.240681E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.960232E-5 | 3.960232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.8205216E-4 | 4.8205216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.0048101326 | 0.0048101326 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.820599E-6 | 8.820599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.780202E-5 | 3.780202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.6014282E-4 | 4.6014282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045919544 | 0.0045919544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.568508E-6 | 8.568508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.672166E-5 | 3.672166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.469949E-4 | 4.469949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.00446101 | 0.00446101 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.077984E-6 | 8.077984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4619472E-5 | 3.4619472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2141095E-4 | 4.2141095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042061657 | 0.0042061657 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5488583E-6 | 7.5488583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.235185E-5 | 3.235185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9381298E-4 | 3.9381298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.003931194 | 0.003931194 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8301897E-6 | 6.8301897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9271914E-5 | 2.9271914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.563275E-4 | 3.563275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035575903 | 0.0035575903 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8223663E-6 | 5.8223663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4952762E-5 | 2.4952762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.0375773E-4 | 3.0375773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030334482 | 0.0030334482 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3139553E-6 | 4.3139553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8488248E-5 | 1.8488248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2507126E-4 | 2.2507126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.002248442 | 0.002248442 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4761807E-6 | 2.4761807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.061216E-5 | 1.061216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2919544E-4 | 1.2919544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012912083 | 0.0012912083 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.86386E-7 | 9.86386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2273614E-6 | 4.2273614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1466923E-5 | 5.1466923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1455136E-4 | 5.1455136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6422487E-7 | 2.6422487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1323918E-6 | 1.1323918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3786784E-5 | 1.3786784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3785936E-4 | 1.3785936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.9663394E-8 | 3.9663394E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6998595E-7 | 1.6998595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0695772E-6 | 2.0695772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0695601E-5 | 2.0695601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.948997E-10 | 5.948997E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5495699E-9 | 2.5495699E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.104101E-8 | 3.104101E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.104101E-7 | 3.104101E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |