Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.057858E-5 | 4.905489E-4 | 6.950394 | 4.2E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.024449E-4 | 0.0019919337 | 6.5861044 | 0.00169 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036761141 | 0.013798765 | 3.753628 | 0.01016 | 0.028357591 | 0.03631432 | 0.06640059 | 1.828496 | 0.03122 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.057858E-5 | 4.905489E-4 | 6.950394 | 4.2E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.024449E-4 | 0.0019919337 | 6.5861044 | 0.00169 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036761141 | 0.013798765 | 3.753628 | 0.01016 | 0.028357591 | 0.03631432 | 0.06640059 | 1.828496 | 0.03122 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.196355E-5 | 3.31949E-4 | 6.388112 | 2.8E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2268211E-4 | 0.0012624505 | 5.669295 | 0.00104 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0027078155 | 0.008940891 | 3.3018837 | 0.00625 | 0.021759989 | 0.026879298 | 0.04560214 | 1.6965525 | 0.01924 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.196355E-5 | 3.31949E-4 | 6.388112 | 2.8E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2268211E-4 | 0.0012624505 | 5.669295 | 0.00104 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0027078155 | 0.008940891 | 3.3018837 | 0.00625 | 0.021759989 | 0.026879298 | 0.04560214 | 1.6965525 | 0.01924 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.44014E-5 | 2.8439076E-4 | 6.404995 | 2.4E-4 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.9027798E-4 | 0.0010901068 | 5.729022 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0023141985 | 0.007402396 | 3.1986868 | 0.0051 | 0.019048655 | 0.023018122 | 0.037995253 | 1.650667 | 0.01533 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.030441E-5 | 2.4029634E-4 | 5.962036 | 2.0E-4 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7272186E-4 | 9.725837E-4 | 5.6309237 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0021008826 | 0.0066213654 | 3.1517067 | 0.00453 | 0.017543508 | 0.020908693 | 0.034312453 | 1.6410615 | 0.01369 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9757542E-5 | 2.3974958E-4 | 6.030292 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.7037845E-4 | 9.7024214E-4 | 5.694629 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0017502342 | 0.002072406 | 0.006593018 | 3.181335 | 0.00453 | 0.017365133 | 0.020629391 | 0.034007594 | 1.6485021 | 0.01366 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8372338E-5 | 2.3836466E-4 | 6.211888 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6444264E-4 | 9.4431435E-4 | 5.7425156 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0020002723 | 0.006351551 | 3.1753433 | 0.00436 | 0.016856372 | 0.019919652 | 0.032758705 | 1.644542 | 0.0131 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.779775E-5 | 2.3779018E-4 | 6.2911205 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6198041E-4 | 9.218573E-4 | 5.6911654 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019703493 | 0.006241916 | 3.1679237 | 0.00428 | 0.016654192 | 0.019625759 | 0.032262783 | 1.6438999 | 0.01289 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.7000453E-5 | 2.2699342E-4 | 6.134882 | 1.9E-4 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5856385E-4 | 8.784497E-4 | 5.540037 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019288271 | 0.006060842 | 3.1422422 | 0.00414 | 0.01638118 | 0.01921778 | 0.031487364 | 1.6384497 | 0.01251 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5902507E-5 | 2.2589568E-4 | 6.291919 | 1.9E-4 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5385894E-4 | 8.337543E-4 | 5.4189525 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018716445 | 0.005854177 | 3.127825 | 0.00399 | 0.015996104 | 0.01865348 | 0.030498333 | 1.6349943 | 0.01207 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4666533E-5 | 1.8466133E-4 | 5.32679 | 1.5E-4 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4856251E-4 | 7.684704E-4 | 5.1727076 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0018072692 | 0.005570456 | 3.08225 | 0.00377 | 0.01556781 | 0.018020079 | 0.029361947 | 1.6294017 | 0.01155 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1545424E-5 | 1.71541E-4 | 5.4379044 | 1.4E-4 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3518779E-4 | 7.051107E-4 | 5.2157874 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016446883 | 0.0048094746 | 2.9242468 | 0.00317 | 0.014481937 | 0.01641832 | 0.02589021 | 1.5769099 | 0.00963 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6962367E-5 | 1.1695994E-4 | 4.337896 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1554797E-4 | 5.155018E-4 | 4.4613657 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0014059035 | 0.0035628667 | 2.5342185 | 0.00216 | 0.012712469 | 0.014054408 | 0.020778557 | 1.478437 | 0.00682 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5439564E-5 | 9.543778E-5 | 3.7515495 | 7.0E-5 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0902223E-4 | 4.4898517E-4 | 4.11829 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013265519 | 0.0032639785 | 2.460498 | 0.00194 | 0.012045753 | 0.0132684 | 0.019356534 | 1.4588447 | 0.00617 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.271218E-5 | 8.2710816E-5 | 3.6416943 | 6.0E-5 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.733435E-5 | 4.0730418E-4 | 4.1845884 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011844133 | 0.00277253 | 2.3408468 | 0.00159 | 0.010886264 | 0.011857372 | 0.016709153 | 1.4091784 | 0.00491 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6199887E-5 | 3.6199563E-5 | 2.2345564 | 2.0E-5 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.9426285E-5 | 2.1941587E-4 | 3.160415 | 1.5E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.449451E-4 | 0.0016742438 | 1.9814824 | 8.3E-4 | 0.007854558 | 0.008490652 | 0.011237132 | 1.3234712 | 0.00277 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0871839E-5 | 2.087173E-5 | 1.9197977 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.6592762E-5 | 7.6591365E-5 | 1.6438469 | 3.0E-5 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.671196E-4 | 8.169779E-4 | 1.440574 | 2.5E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.005727273 | 0.0064530917 | 1.1267303 | 7.3E-4 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.58595E-6 | 8.58595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.679641E-5 | 4.679604E-5 | 1.2717557 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.4790437E-4 | 5.8784167E-4 | 1.3124267 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.00452793 | 0.004936074 | 1.0901392 | 4.1E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.4659104E-6 | 5.4659104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.342512E-5 | 3.3424887E-5 | 1.4268821 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.851636E-4 | 3.7513796E-4 | 1.3155183 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028825481 | 0.0031118852 | 1.0795605 | 2.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.1100361E-6 | 2.1100361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.04298E-6 | 1.9042891E-5 | 2.1058202 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.1009276E-4 | 1.5008837E-4 | 1.36329 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001113534 | 0.001183456 | 1.0627929 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1956307E-7 | 3.1956307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3695554E-6 | 1.3695554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6674227E-5 | 1.6674227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.68791E-4 | 1.68791E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.8042635E-5 | 2.0803393E-4 | 3.5841572 | 1.5E-4 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.487343E-4 | 8.985726E-4 | 3.6125805 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030248046 | 0.008548047 | 2.8259833 | 0.00554 | 0.02488006 | 0.029903652 | 0.04900485 | 1.638758 | 0.01969 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.089788E-5 | 7.089684E-5 | 3.3925374 | 5.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.955948E-5 | 3.1953887E-4 | 3.5678957 | 2.3E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010898793 | 0.0028779283 | 2.6405938 | 0.00179 | 0.009242975 | 0.010849605 | 0.017961597 | 1.655507 | 0.00719 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.089788E-5 | 7.089684E-5 | 3.3925374 | 5.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.955948E-5 | 3.1953887E-4 | 3.5678957 | 2.3E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010898793 | 0.0028779283 | 2.6405938 | 0.00179 | 0.009242975 | 0.010849605 | 0.017961597 | 1.655507 | 0.00719 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5777481E-5 | 3.5777168E-5 | 2.2676094 | 2.0E-5 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.7616165E-5 | 2.3760466E-4 | 3.5140216 | 1.7E-4 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.229395E-4 | 0.0020819027 | 2.5298367 | 0.00126 | 0.007027647 | 0.008201704 | 0.013249957 | 1.6155127 | 0.00509 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2632003E-5 | 3.263175E-5 | 2.5832603 | 2.0E-5 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4136133E-5 | 1.6413018E-4 | 3.0318046 | 1.1E-4 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.5892586E-4 | 0.0016382801 | 2.486289 | 9.8E-4 | 0.005655863 | 0.006571902 | 0.010515811 | 1.600117 | 0.00397 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.206025E-6 | 1.9205934E-5 | 2.086235 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.945386E-5 | 9.945149E-5 | 2.5207038 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.8025543E-4 | 0.0010599769 | 2.2071106 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0041473247 | 0.0047936444 | 0.007202044 | 1.5024151 | 0.00242 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.6203164E-6 | 7.6203164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.2658143E-5 | 7.265683E-5 | 2.2247694 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.975494E-4 | 8.5736654E-4 | 2.1566288 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0034543579 | 0.003969702 | 0.0058721197 | 1.4792345 | 0.00191 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4362345E-6 | 5.4362345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3297964E-5 | 4.3297496E-5 | 1.8584242 | 2.0E-5 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.8362017E-4 | 5.735379E-4 | 2.0222042 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028334402 | 0.0039203516 | 1.3836014 | 0.00109 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.974201E-6 | 4.974201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1317854E-5 | 4.1317428E-5 | 1.9381608 | 2.0E-5 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5951825E-4 | 5.1945075E-4 | 2.0015965 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025929902 | 0.003590397 | 1.3846551 | 0.001 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.076899E-6 | 3.076899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3186651E-5 | 1.3186651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6053687E-4 | 2.605208E-4 | 1.6228099 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016043904 | 0.0020436845 | 1.2738074 | 4.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.129461E-6 | 2.129461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.1262345E-6 | 9.1262345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.11106936E-4 | 1.7110027E-4 | 1.5399603 | 6.0E-5 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011105826 | 0.0013702939 | 1.2338513 | 2.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6654067E-6 | 1.6654067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.137441E-6 | 7.137441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.689547E-5 | 1.3689112E-4 | 1.575354 | 5.0E-5 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.686728E-4 | 0.0010285338 | 1.184029 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1833652E-6 | 1.1833652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.071558E-6 | 5.071558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.1745006E-5 | 8.174377E-5 | 1.3238928 | 2.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.173308E-4 | 6.972814E-4 | 1.1295102 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.774191E-7 | 9.774191E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.188935E-6 | 4.188935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.099961E-5 | 7.099859E-5 | 1.3921399 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.099301E-4 | 5.798944E-4 | 1.1372037 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.512335E-7 | 8.512335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6481415E-6 | 3.6481415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4415734E-5 | 5.441529E-5 | 1.2251354 | 1.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4411945E-4 | 4.9409724E-4 | 1.1125324 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.3071167E-7 | 6.3071167E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.70305E-6 | 2.70305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2909633E-5 | 3.2909633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2909634E-4 | 3.4908977E-4 | 1.0607525 | 2.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1227864E-5 | 8.12263E-5 | 2.6010842 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3382759E-4 | 3.9379278E-4 | 2.9425383 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016282665 | 0.005042698 | 3.0969732 | 0.00342 | 0.014722223 | 0.01617679 | 0.02825814 | 1.7468323 | 0.01228 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1227864E-5 | 8.12263E-5 | 2.6010842 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3382759E-4 | 3.9379278E-4 | 2.9425383 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016282665 | 0.005042698 | 3.0969732 | 0.00342 | 0.014722223 | 0.01617679 | 0.02825814 | 1.7468323 | 0.01228 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1227864E-5 | 8.12263E-5 | 2.6010842 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3382759E-4 | 3.9379278E-4 | 2.9425383 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016282665 | 0.005042698 | 3.0969732 | 0.00342 | 0.014722223 | 0.01617679 | 0.02825814 | 1.7468323 | 0.01228 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6091673E-5 | 3.609135E-5 | 2.242859 | 2.0E-5 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.896265E-5 | 2.1895231E-4 | 3.1749406 | 1.5E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.39325E-4 | 0.0030574617 | 3.6427624 | 0.00222 | 0.007737305 | 0.008364373 | 0.016297458 | 1.9484375 | 0.008 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6091673E-5 | 3.609135E-5 | 2.242859 | 2.0E-5 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.896265E-5 | 2.1895231E-4 | 3.1749406 | 1.5E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.39325E-4 | 0.0030574617 | 3.6427624 | 0.00222 | 0.007737305 | 0.008364373 | 0.016297458 | 1.9484375 | 0.008 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3774161E-5 | 3.3773886E-5 | 2.4519742 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.903093E-5 | 1.9902266E-4 | 3.371498 | 1.4E-4 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.184903E-4 | 0.0027670173 | 3.8511548 | 0.00205 | 0.006655392 | 0.0071642273 | 0.014441714 | 2.015809 | 0.00733 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0295105E-5 | 3.02949E-5 | 2.9426508 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.412123E-5 | 1.5411638E-4 | 3.493021 | 1.1E-4 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.370598E-4 | 0.0022761254 | 4.2381225 | 0.00174 | 0.005028777 | 0.005359226 | 0.011486214 | 2.1432598 | 0.00616 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.204312E-6 | 2.8204147E-5 | 3.4377227 | 2.0E-5 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5160938E-5 | 1.4515707E-4 | 4.1283617 | 1.1E-4 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.280141E-4 | 0.0019173763 | 4.479704 | 0.00149 | 0.004044977 | 0.004273251 | 0.009630261 | 2.2536147 | 0.00538 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.7394935E-6 | 6.7394935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8883298E-5 | 1.0888099E-4 | 3.769687 | 8.0E-5 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5161024E-4 | 0.0015411918 | 4.3832393 | 0.00119 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035118014 | 0.0077070165 | 2.1946049 | 0.00421 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.113504E-6 | 3.113504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3343529E-5 | 5.3342996E-5 | 3.9976678 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6244686E-4 | 8.523348E-4 | 5.246853 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016234296 | 0.004159306 | 2.562049 | 0.00254 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2296822E-6 | 2.2296822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.555752E-6 | 2.955556E-5 | 3.0929604 | 2.0E-5 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1633611E-4 | 5.262884E-4 | 4.5238614 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011628544 | 0.0027310287 | 2.348556 | 0.00157 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1783018E-6 | 1.1783018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.049859E-6 | 2.5049758E-5 | 4.960487 | 2.0E-5 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.1481E-5 | 2.614687E-4 | 4.2528377 | 2.0E-4 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.147084E-4 | 0.0013342658 | 2.170567 | 7.2E-4 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0946953E-7 | 3.0946953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3262973E-6 | 1.3262973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6147556E-5 | 4.614707E-5 | 2.8578362 | 3.0E-5 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6146437E-4 | 2.2145468E-4 | 1.371539 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3124183E-7 | 2.3124183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.91036E-7 | 9.91036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2065797E-5 | 3.2065556E-5 | 2.657558 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2065149E-4 | 1.7064546E-4 | 1.4143667 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.97039E-7 | 1.97039E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.444526E-7 | 8.444526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0281162E-5 | 3.0280957E-5 | 2.9452853 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0280693E-4 | 1.4280282E-4 | 1.3890388 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4440438E-7 | 1.4440438E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.188758E-7 | 6.188758E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.534787E-6 | 2.7534636E-5 | 3.654335 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.534537E-5 | 1.1534236E-4 | 1.5308486 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.579901E-8 | 7.579901E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.2485283E-7 | 3.2485283E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9550764E-6 | 1.3955037E-5 | 3.528386 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9550097E-5 | 4.95497E-5 | 1.2528338 | 1.0E-5 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.652899E-5 | 1.6652234E-4 | 2.503004 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.850965E-4 | 7.0497673E-4 | 2.4727654 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003466393 | 0.00618693 | 1.7848321 | 0.00273 | 0.02591553 | 0.034226652 | 0.04287032 | 1.2525421 | 0.00895 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.652899E-5 | 1.6652234E-4 | 2.503004 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.850965E-4 | 7.0497673E-4 | 2.4727654 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003466393 | 0.00618693 | 1.7848321 | 0.00273 | 0.02591553 | 0.034226652 | 0.04287032 | 1.2525421 | 0.00895 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.107353E-5 | 1.3107042E-4 | 4.2180734 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3316664E-4 | 4.931187E-4 | 3.7030199 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016202683 | 0.0038666227 | 2.3864088 | 0.00225 | 0.012509781 | 0.01611841 | 0.023054773 | 1.4303381 | 0.00705 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.24323E-5 | 1.1243028E-4 | 5.011982 | 9.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.613577E-5 | 4.0610597E-4 | 4.224296 | 3.1E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011699618 | 0.003107692 | 2.6562338 | 0.00194 | 0.009055373 | 0.011668704 | 0.017707407 | 1.5175128 | 0.00611 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.24323E-5 | 1.1243028E-4 | 5.011982 | 9.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.613577E-5 | 4.0610597E-4 | 4.224296 | 3.1E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011699618 | 0.003107692 | 2.6562338 | 0.00194 | 0.009055373 | 0.011668704 | 0.017707407 | 1.5175128 | 0.00611 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9500441E-5 | 9.949888E-5 | 5.1023912 | 8.0E-5 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3571496E-5 | 3.8354643E-4 | 4.589441 | 3.0E-4 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.001017144 | 0.0028952318 | 2.8464327 | 0.00188 | 0.0078909 | 0.010155436 | 0.016005417 | 1.5760443 | 0.00591 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.598442E-6 | 7.859784E-5 | 9.14094 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6849975E-5 | 2.7684114E-4 | 7.5126543 | 2.4E-4 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.485618E-4 | 0.001947889 | 4.3425207 | 0.0015 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0044944873 | 0.008834892 | 1.9657172 | 0.00436 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.530819E-6 | 7.853022E-5 | 9.205473 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6560174E-5 | 2.765514E-4 | 7.5642805 | 2.4E-4 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4503488E-4 | 0.0019343718 | 4.346562 | 0.00149 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044593667 | 0.008789969 | 1.9711249 | 0.00435 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.377101E-6 | 7.837651E-5 | 9.356043 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5901397E-5 | 2.758928E-4 | 7.6847363 | 2.4E-4 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3701753E-4 | 0.0019263664 | 4.4079843 | 0.00149 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043794424 | 0.008690479 | 1.9843804 | 0.00433 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.049769E-6 | 7.8049205E-5 | 9.695831 | 7.0E-5 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4498586E-5 | 2.6449066E-4 | 7.66671 | 2.3E-4 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.19945E-4 | 0.0018993234 | 4.5227914 | 0.00148 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0042091804 | 0.008481123 | 2.0149107 | 0.00429 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.681314E-6 | 7.768078E-5 | 10.112954 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.291953E-5 | 2.6291196E-4 | 7.986503 | 2.3E-4 | 3.2002592E-4 | 4.0072715E-4 | 0.0018801341 | 4.691806 | 0.00148 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0040175533 | 0.008280358 | 2.0610452 | 0.00428 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.1908908E-6 | 6.7190456E-5 | 9.34383 | 6.0E-5 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.081777E-5 | 2.50811E-4 | 8.138518 | 2.2E-4 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.751472E-4 | 0.001774622 | 4.7304683 | 0.0014 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037626002 | 0.007867098 | 2.0908675 | 0.00412 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.39887E-6 | 5.53986E-5 | 10.2611475 | 5.0E-5 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.3137833E-5 | 2.0313366E-4 | 8.779287 | 1.8E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.8167077E-4 | 0.0012414004 | 4.4072742 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0024867293 | 0.002829749 | 0.0055819387 | 1.9725915 | 0.00276 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7417677E-6 | 1.2741741E-5 | 4.6472716 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1750381E-5 | 7.174967E-5 | 6.1061573 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4305167E-4 | 4.1301304E-4 | 2.88716 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014394716 | 0.0022582912 | 1.5688335 | 8.2E-4 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3350146E-6 | 1.2334991E-5 | 5.2826185 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1684469E-5 | 1.00071675E-5 | 6.0006667E-5 | 5.996369 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.21830555E-4 | 3.218062E-4 | 2.6414242 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012264142 | 0.0017857275 | 1.4560558 | 5.6E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1944213E-6 | 2.1944213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.404629E-6 | 4.9404254E-5 | 5.253185 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1449544E-4 | 3.0447368E-4 | 2.6592648 | 1.9E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011529144 | 0.0016723148 | 1.4505109 | 5.2E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8986369E-6 | 1.8986369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.13699E-6 | 2.8136828E-5 | 3.4578912 | 2.0E-5 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.9063436E-5 | 2.2905057E-4 | 2.3121605 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.98372E-4 | 0.0013779926 | 1.3802396 | 3.8E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3650815E-6 | 1.3650815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.8503365E-6 | 5.8503365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.122556E-5 | 1.21221994E-4 | 1.7019452 | 5.0E-5 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.1988E-4 | 9.0974325E-4 | 1.2637429 | 1.9E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.569296E-7 | 8.569296E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6725505E-6 | 3.6725505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.4712408E-5 | 5.471196E-5 | 1.2236415 | 1.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.5238933E-4 | 5.323531E-4 | 1.1767589 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.8353832E-7 | 3.8353832E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6437347E-6 | 1.6437347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 2.0012296E-5 | 3.0012097E-5 | 1.4996828 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 2.0175563E-4 | 2.217516E-4 | 1.0991098 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.4413024E-8 | 3.4413024E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4748439E-7 | 1.4748439E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7956215E-6 | 1.7956215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.8159348E-5 | 1.8159348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3108226E-5 | 3.3107965E-5 | 2.5257394 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6177065E-5 | 2.2616751E-4 | 4.025976 | 1.7E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837695E-4 | 0.0032120396 | 4.697547 | 0.00253 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006819469 | 0.016274547 | 2.3864832 | 0.00952 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3108226E-5 | 3.3107965E-5 | 2.5257394 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6177065E-5 | 2.2616751E-4 | 4.025976 | 1.7E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837695E-4 | 0.0032120396 | 4.697547 | 0.00253 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006819469 | 0.016274547 | 2.3864832 | 0.00952 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3108226E-5 | 3.3107965E-5 | 2.5257394 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6177065E-5 | 2.2616751E-4 | 4.025976 | 1.7E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837695E-4 | 0.0032120396 | 4.697547 | 0.00253 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006819469 | 0.016274547 | 2.3864832 | 0.00952 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3108226E-5 | 3.3107965E-5 | 2.5257394 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6177065E-5 | 2.2616751E-4 | 4.025976 | 1.7E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837695E-4 | 0.0032120396 | 4.697547 | 0.00253 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006819469 | 0.016274547 | 2.3864832 | 0.00952 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3108226E-5 | 3.3107965E-5 | 2.5257394 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6177065E-5 | 2.2616751E-4 | 4.025976 | 1.7E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837695E-4 | 0.0032120396 | 4.697547 | 0.00253 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006819469 | 0.016274547 | 2.3864832 | 0.00952 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3876995E-6 | 1.7387625E-5 | 2.3535912 | 1.0E-5 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1661217E-5 | 1.616571E-4 | 5.1058397 | 1.3E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8541257E-4 | 0.0022346994 | 5.798201 | 0.00185 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038479792 | 0.01073139 | 2.7888377 | 0.00691 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3876995E-6 | 1.7387625E-5 | 2.3535912 | 1.0E-5 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1661217E-5 | 1.616571E-4 | 5.1058397 | 1.3E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8541257E-4 | 0.0022346994 | 5.798201 | 0.00185 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038479792 | 0.01073139 | 2.7888377 | 0.00691 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7882507E-6 | 1.5788193E-5 | 2.7276278 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4806575E-5 | 1.3480385E-4 | 5.4341984 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0198207E-4 | 0.0019814747 | 6.561564 | 0.00168 | 0.0028538927 | 0.0030161014 | 0.009137583 | 3.0296006 | 0.00614 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.22067E-6 | 4.22067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8088474E-5 | 9.8087025E-5 | 5.4226255 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2020769E-4 | 0.001439939 | 6.5390043 | 0.00122 | 0.0020823893 | 0.002200166 | 0.006710221 | 3.0498705 | 0.00452 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1241975E-6 | 3.1241975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3389362E-5 | 6.3388696E-5 | 4.7342577 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6300556E-4 | 0.0010228654 | 6.275034 | 8.6E-4 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016290825 | 0.004863804 | 2.9856095 | 0.00324 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5414117E-6 | 1.5414117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.6060393E-6 | 2.6605907E-5 | 4.0275126 | 2.0E-5 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.0426566E-5 | 4.203992E-4 | 5.2271185 | 3.4E-4 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.040736E-4 | 0.0022429158 | 2.7894409 | 0.00144 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4119055E-7 | 7.4119055E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.176531E-6 | 2.3176468E-5 | 7.296157 | 2.0E-5 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.8674265E-5 | 2.0866768E-4 | 5.395518 | 1.7E-4 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.8674264E-4 | 0.0010364912 | 2.6800542 | 6.5E-4 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4029665E-5 | 1.1402694E-4 | 3.3508103 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4583343E-4 | 5.3577655E-4 | 3.673894 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017741056 | 0.003990167 | 2.2491148 | 0.00222 | 0.015640736 | 0.017605498 | 0.025160111 | 1.4291054 | 0.00769 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4029665E-5 | 1.1402694E-4 | 3.3508103 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4583343E-4 | 5.3577655E-4 | 3.673894 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017741056 | 0.003990167 | 2.2491148 | 0.00222 | 0.015640736 | 0.017605498 | 0.025160111 | 1.4291054 | 0.00769 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4029665E-5 | 1.1402694E-4 | 3.3508103 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4583343E-4 | 5.3577655E-4 | 3.673894 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017741056 | 0.003990167 | 2.2491148 | 0.00222 | 0.015640736 | 0.017605498 | 0.025160111 | 1.4291054 | 0.00769 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.214556E-5 | 1.1214299E-4 | 3.4885995 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3775956E-4 | 5.277058E-4 | 3.8306293 | 3.9E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016759603 | 0.0038023905 | 2.268783 | 0.00213 | 0.01479908 | 0.016639384 | 0.023768747 | 1.4284633 | 0.00725 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.214556E-5 | 1.1214299E-4 | 3.4885995 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3775956E-4 | 5.277058E-4 | 3.8306293 | 3.9E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016759603 | 0.0038023905 | 2.268783 | 0.00213 | 0.01479908 | 0.016639384 | 0.023768747 | 1.4284633 | 0.00725 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0869785E-5 | 1.1086732E-4 | 3.591451 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3229252E-4 | 5.1224226E-4 | 3.8720424 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016094989 | 0.0036861512 | 2.2902477 | 0.00208 | 0.014230782 | 0.015984492 | 0.02284308 | 1.4290776 | 0.00697 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9291785E-5 | 1.09289445E-4 | 3.7310612 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2553034E-4 | 4.9548387E-4 | 3.9471247 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0013628257 | 0.001527287 | 0.0035042628 | 2.2944365 | 0.00198 | 0.013544982 | 0.015173857 | 0.021742648 | 1.4329019 | 0.00667 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7378781E-5 | 1.0737659E-4 | 3.921891 | 8.0E-5 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1733249E-4 | 4.6729142E-4 | 3.982626 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014276122 | 0.0033248996 | 2.3289938 | 0.0019 | 0.012701893 | 0.014190151 | 0.02046976 | 1.4425329 | 0.00637 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4970412E-5 | 1.04968414E-4 | 4.203712 | 8.0E-5 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0701179E-4 | 4.469754E-4 | 4.1768804 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013021117 | 0.003099768 | 2.38057 | 0.0018 | 0.011539802 | 0.01295015 | 0.018793486 | 1.4512175 | 0.00592 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.232254E-5 | 1.0232075E-4 | 4.5837417 | 8.0E-5 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.5664625E-5 | 4.1563401E-4 | 4.344699 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0010379635 | 0.001164113 | 0.0027622504 | 2.372837 | 0.0016 | 0.010331288 | 0.011584716 | 0.016764013 | 1.4470801 | 0.00524 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0596377E-5 | 1.0059473E-4 | 4.8840985 | 8.0E-5 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.82673E-5 | 4.0823905E-4 | 4.6250315 | 3.2E-4 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010741423 | 0.0026224775 | 2.4414618 | 0.00155 | 0.009531168 | 0.010693865 | 0.015581037 | 1.4570072 | 0.00494 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9801088E-5 | 8.97997E-5 | 4.5350895 | 7.0E-5 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.485914E-5 | 3.848337E-4 | 4.5349703 | 3.0E-4 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.001032688 | 0.0025411285 | 2.4606936 | 0.00151 | 0.009176437 | 0.010283208 | 0.014984363 | 1.4571681 | 0.00475 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8184082E-5 | 8.818281E-5 | 4.8494506 | 7.0E-5 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.792955E-5 | 3.6790696E-4 | 4.7210197 | 2.9E-4 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.483966E-4 | 0.0022471638 | 2.3694346 | 0.0013 | 0.008511325 | 0.009447577 | 0.013528653 | 1.4319706 | 0.00412 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5987736E-5 | 7.5986776E-5 | 4.752816 | 6.0E-5 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.851717E-5 | 3.0850072E-4 | 4.502532 | 2.4E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.338935E-4 | 0.001883018 | 2.2581036 | 0.00105 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008310191 | 0.011711687 | 1.4093162 | 0.00343 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4164019E-5 | 6.416331E-5 | 4.5300217 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.0701615E-5 | 2.9068766E-4 | 4.788796 | 2.3E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.3880743E-4 | 0.0017180834 | 2.3254821 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0073658675 | 0.010611781 | 1.4406695 | 0.00327 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2854699E-5 | 6.285406E-5 | 4.8895783 | 5.0E-5 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.509049E-5 | 2.7507838E-4 | 4.99321 | 2.2E-4 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.705361E-4 | 0.0016198991 | 2.415827 | 9.5E-4 | 0.006054099 | 0.0066874665 | 0.009826334 | 1.4693657 | 0.00316 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3399556E-6 | 1.3339922E-5 | 3.994042 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4314058E-5 | 1.0431277E-4 | 7.2874355 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7426703E-4 | 5.542008E-4 | 3.1801817 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017423298 | 0.003169838 | 1.8193102 | 0.00143 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.310824E-5 | 1.2310444E-4 | 1.9506875 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.7043835E-4 | 5.0037616E-4 | 1.8502411 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003288063 | 0.004962539 | 1.5092591 | 0.00168 | 0.023254504 | 0.03242827 | 0.038233697 | 1.1790237 | 0.006 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.310824E-5 | 1.2310444E-4 | 1.9506875 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.7043835E-4 | 5.0037616E-4 | 1.8502411 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003288063 | 0.004962539 | 1.5092591 | 0.00168 | 0.023254504 | 0.03242827 | 0.038233697 | 1.1790237 | 0.006 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4676657E-5 | 8.4674924E-5 | 2.441842 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4860596E-4 | 3.2857922E-4 | 2.211077 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018078095 | 0.003125423 | 1.7288455 | 0.00132 | 0.01382215 | 0.017962063 | 0.022233928 | 1.2378271 | 0.00435 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4676657E-5 | 8.4674924E-5 | 2.441842 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4860596E-4 | 3.2857922E-4 | 2.211077 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018078095 | 0.003125423 | 1.7288455 | 0.00132 | 0.01382215 | 0.017962063 | 0.022233928 | 1.2378271 | 0.00435 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2502354E-5 | 8.250073E-5 | 2.5383003 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3928853E-4 | 3.1926346E-4 | 2.2921016 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016945483 | 0.0030023283 | 1.7717574 | 0.00131 | 0.013121112 | 0.016860645 | 0.02105865 | 1.2489824 | 0.00427 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2502354E-5 | 8.250073E-5 | 2.5383003 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3928853E-4 | 3.1926346E-4 | 2.2921016 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016945483 | 0.0030023283 | 1.7717574 | 0.00131 | 0.013121112 | 0.016860645 | 0.02105865 | 1.2489824 | 0.00427 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8285176E-5 | 7.828376E-5 | 2.7676604 | 5.0E-5 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2121669E-4 | 3.0119487E-4 | 2.484764 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014748378 | 0.0026930384 | 1.8259896 | 0.00122 | 0.011653901 | 0.014698163 | 0.018629517 | 1.2674725 | 0.00399 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7954165E-5 | 7.795277E-5 | 2.788592 | 5.0E-5 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.197982E-4 | 2.9977664E-4 | 2.5023468 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014575908 | 0.0026758127 | 1.8357775 | 0.00122 | 0.011538187 | 0.014528612 | 0.018450787 | 1.2699622 | 0.00398 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.4037432E-5 | 7.403623E-5 | 3.0800393 | 5.0E-5 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.03013605E-4 | 2.8299505E-4 | 2.747162 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012534888 | 0.0023820724 | 1.9003539 | 0.00113 | 0.010138147 | 0.012507851 | 0.016181322 | 1.2936932 | 0.00372 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5313039E-5 | 5.5312426E-5 | 3.612113 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.5625696E-5 | 2.1561584E-4 | 3.28554 | 1.5E-4 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.987057E-4 | 0.001827883 | 2.2885563 | 0.00103 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007999039 | 0.011203202 | 1.4005685 | 0.00323 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3218162E-5 | 5.3217635E-5 | 4.026099 | 4.0E-5 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6648063E-5 | 1.9664013E-4 | 3.4712596 | 1.4E-4 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8947696E-4 | 0.0016787944 | 2.434881 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006913889 | 0.009952732 | 1.4395274 | 0.00306 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.1009684E-5 | 4.1009353E-5 | 3.7248437 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.718353E-5 | 1.6717787E-4 | 3.5431404 | 1.2E-4 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.743116E-4 | 0.0015037775 | 2.6184 | 9.3E-4 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057680565 | 0.008641386 | 1.4981453 | 0.00289 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0604849E-5 | 4.0604533E-5 | 3.8288646 | 3.0E-5 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.544858E-5 | 1.6544313E-4 | 3.6402264 | 1.2E-4 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.5319956E-4 | 0.0014826851 | 2.6801994 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055579212 | 0.008382137 | 1.5081425 | 0.00284 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 1.0047351E-5 | 4.004705E-5 | 3.9858317 | 3.0E-5 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.3059383E-5 | 1.6305421E-4 | 3.786729 | 1.2E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.2412535E-4 | 0.0013536903 | 2.5827606 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052679833 | 0.007834392 | 1.487171 | 0.00258 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.5893765E-6 | 2.9589184E-5 | 3.0856214 | 2.0E-5 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.10967E-5 | 1.2109341E-4 | 2.9465482 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7072413E-4 | 5.002408E-4 | 0.0012398707 | 2.4785473 | 7.4E-4 | 0.004697283 | 0.005029266 | 0.0073375977 | 1.45898 | 0.00232 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.175628E-6 | 1.7175556E-5 | 2.3935962 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0752333E-5 | 8.07508E-5 | 2.6258428 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.7434607E-4 | 7.841926E-4 | 2.0948331 | 4.1E-4 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037698066 | 0.0048855846 | 1.2959775 | 0.00112 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 6.040112E-6 | 1.6040052E-5 | 2.6555884 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.588594E-5 | 6.58849E-5 | 2.5452003 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.15116E-4 | 5.7503406E-4 | 1.824833 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031774591 | 0.0038951712 | 1.2258762 | 7.2E-4 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.8337565E-6 | 1.4833708E-5 | 3.0687745 | 1.0E-5 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0715936E-5 | 5.0715313E-5 | 2.4481306 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.5218746E-4 | 4.0214963E-4 | 1.5946456 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.00254887 | 0.0029179268 | 1.1447923 | 3.7E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 4.0468203E-6 | 4.0468203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.73434E-5 | 2.7343227E-5 | 1.5765783 | 1.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.1113551E-4 | 2.9111863E-4 | 1.3788235 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021365932 | 0.0023062301 | 1.0793959 | 1.7E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.4303039E-6 | 3.4303039E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.470122E-5 | 2.4701072E-5 | 1.6802057 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7897271E-4 | 2.2896376E-4 | 1.2793221 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0018112196 | 0.001940984 | 1.0716449 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6997093E-6 | 1.6997093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.284448E-6 | 1.7284376E-5 | 2.3727775 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.868458E-5 | 1.1868192E-4 | 1.3382475 | 3.0E-5 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.972002E-4 | 9.4715535E-4 | 1.055679 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1956307E-7 | 3.1956307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3695554E-6 | 1.3695554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6674227E-5 | 1.6674227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.68791E-4 | 1.68791E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3206327E-5 | 9.3204704E-5 | 4.016349 | 7.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.945235E-5 | 3.494275E-4 | 3.5135167 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012102398 | 0.0024487393 | 2.0233502 | 0.00124 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044483 | 0.015778955 | 1.3100567 | 0.00378 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3206327E-5 | 9.3204704E-5 | 4.016349 | 7.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.945235E-5 | 3.494275E-4 | 3.5135167 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012102398 | 0.0024487393 | 2.0233502 | 0.00124 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044483 | 0.015778955 | 1.3100567 | 0.00378 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3206327E-5 | 9.3204704E-5 | 4.016349 | 7.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.945235E-5 | 3.494275E-4 | 3.5135167 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012102398 | 0.0024487393 | 2.0233502 | 0.00124 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044483 | 0.015778955 | 1.3100567 | 0.00378 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0752107E-5 | 4.0751784E-5 | 3.7901206 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.607972E-5 | 1.660742E-4 | 3.6040623 | 1.2E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.608894E-4 | 0.0011005866 | 1.9622166 | 5.4E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.005596052 | 0.0070379376 | 1.2576612 | 0.00145 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0752107E-5 | 4.0751784E-5 | 3.7901206 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.607972E-5 | 1.660742E-4 | 3.6040623 | 1.2E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.608894E-4 | 0.0011005866 | 1.9622166 | 5.4E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.005596052 | 0.0070379376 | 1.2576612 | 0.00145 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.46018E-6 | 1.7460105E-5 | 2.3404403 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.1971857E-5 | 1.0196962E-4 | 3.1893556 | 7.0E-5 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.891965E-4 | 7.590525E-4 | 1.9503065 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038860042 | 0.004872157 | 1.2537704 | 9.9E-4 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3492295E-6 | 1.5349176E-5 | 2.8694181 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2925105E-5 | 8.292373E-5 | 3.6171582 | 6.0E-5 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.790841E-4 | 5.1901717E-4 | 1.8597158 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027879956 | 0.0034760719 | 1.2467996 | 6.9E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.9264983E-6 | 1.3926458E-5 | 3.5467887 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6827773E-5 | 4.6827266E-5 | 2.782737 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0486461E-4 | 3.8482773E-4 | 1.8784491 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.002047321 | 0.0025662566 | 1.2534704 | 5.2E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7462515E-6 | 1.27462245E-5 | 4.641317 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.17696245E-5 | 2.1769507E-5 | 1.8496348 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4329072E-4 | 2.7327207E-4 | 1.9071165 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014324686 | 0.0018318957 | 1.2788383 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8977918E-6 | 1.1897773E-5 | 6.269272 | 1.0E-5 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.133393E-6 | 1.8133313E-5 | 2.229489 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.902406E-5 | 1.9901416E-4 | 2.0097556 | 1.0E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.902406E-4 | 0.0012899436 | 1.3026567 | 3.0E-4 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3113087E-5 | 6.311209E-5 | 1.9059563 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4190628E-4 | 4.418637E-4 | 3.1137714 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017264766 | 0.0030941113 | 1.7921536 | 0.00137 | 0.015895851 | 0.017144492 | 0.020761399 | 1.2109662 | 0.00368 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3113087E-5 | 6.311209E-5 | 1.9059563 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4190628E-4 | 4.418637E-4 | 3.1137714 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017264766 | 0.0030941113 | 1.7921536 | 0.00137 | 0.015895851 | 0.017144492 | 0.020761399 | 1.2109662 | 0.00368 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2551127E-5 | 2.2551001E-5 | 1.7967312 | 1.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.378949E-5 | 1.9378196E-4 | 3.602599 | 1.4E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5469986E-4 | 0.0012243267 | 1.870058 | 5.7E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065286835 | 0.007969216 | 1.2206469 | 0.00145 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2551127E-5 | 2.2551001E-5 | 1.7967312 | 1.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.378949E-5 | 1.9378196E-4 | 3.602599 | 1.4E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5469986E-4 | 0.0012243267 | 1.870058 | 5.7E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065286835 | 0.007969216 | 1.2206469 | 0.00145 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.484039E-6 | 1.8483956E-5 | 2.1786737 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6359685E-5 | 1.3635604E-4 | 3.7501988 | 1.0E-4 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.425933E-4 | 7.7244727E-4 | 1.7452755 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.004417524 | 0.005343416 | 1.2095952 | 9.3E-4 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.28887E-6 | 1.6288806E-5 | 2.5901008 | 1.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6952035E-5 | 1.1694961E-4 | 4.3391757 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2809417E-4 | 5.8800884E-4 | 1.7921954 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032763511 | 0.0039740577 | 1.2129523 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.28887E-6 | 1.6288806E-5 | 2.5901008 | 1.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6952035E-5 | 1.1694961E-4 | 4.3391757 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2809417E-4 | 5.8800884E-4 | 1.7921954 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032763511 | 0.0039740577 | 1.2129523 | 7.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2829666E-6 | 1.3282934E-5 | 4.0460157 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.40697875E-5 | 7.406894E-5 | 5.2643967 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7128736E-4 | 3.4125824E-4 | 1.9923142 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017116681 | 0.0020910176 | 1.2216257 | 3.8E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4298727E-6 | 1.24298485E-5 | 5.115432 | 1.0E-5 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0413704E-5 | 6.0413182E-5 | 5.801316 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2678039E-4 | 2.7676136E-4 | 2.1829984 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012671709 | 0.0015568034 | 1.2285663 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0658508E-6 | 1.0658508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.567927E-6 | 2.4567835E-5 | 5.3783336 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5613607E-5 | 1.1561027E-4 | 2.0788126 | 6.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.560476E-4 | 6.5599196E-4 | 1.1797407 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.077974E-7 | 5.077974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1762746E-6 | 2.1762746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6496142E-5 | 4.6495614E-5 | 1.7548069 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6496142E-4 | 3.2494552E-4 | 1.2263881 | 6.0E-5 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.465566E-5 | 1.0465292E-4 | 1.9147683 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3421834E-4 | 4.6416448E-4 | 1.9817597 | 2.3E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028480575 | 0.003875124 | 1.36062 | 0.00103 | 0.023260195 | 0.028135348 | 0.031468846 | 1.1184807 | 0.00343 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.465566E-5 | 1.0465292E-4 | 1.9147683 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3421834E-4 | 4.6416448E-4 | 1.9817597 | 2.3E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028480575 | 0.003875124 | 1.36062 | 0.00103 | 0.023260195 | 0.028135348 | 0.031468846 | 1.1184807 | 0.00343 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.713455E-5 | 9.713219E-5 | 2.060743 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0199007E-4 | 4.3194363E-4 | 2.13844 | 2.3E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024565908 | 0.0034740851 | 1.4141896 | 0.00102 | 0.020330196 | 0.024309548 | 0.02764641 | 1.1372654 | 0.00342 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.713455E-5 | 9.713219E-5 | 2.060743 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0199007E-4 | 4.3194363E-4 | 2.13844 | 2.3E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024565908 | 0.0034740851 | 1.4141896 | 0.00102 | 0.020330196 | 0.024309548 | 0.02764641 | 1.1372654 | 0.00342 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.8005594E-5 | 8.800369E-5 | 2.3155458 | 5.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6287135E-4 | 3.928339E-4 | 2.4119275 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019812242 | 0.0029892232 | 1.5087758 | 0.00101 | 0.016718714 | 0.01964383 | 0.022967236 | 1.1691833 | 0.00339 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.8005594E-5 | 8.800369E-5 | 2.3155458 | 5.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6287135E-4 | 3.928339E-4 | 2.4119275 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019812242 | 0.0029892232 | 1.5087758 | 0.00101 | 0.016718714 | 0.01964383 | 0.022967236 | 1.1691833 | 0.00339 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4230106E-5 | 8.42284E-5 | 2.4606524 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4669256E-4 | 3.7665883E-4 | 2.5676749 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017845806 | 0.0027927782 | 1.5649493 | 0.00101 | 0.015175272 | 0.017709855 | 0.02103982 | 1.1880288 | 0.00339 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2389547E-5 | 8.238793E-5 | 2.543658 | 5.0E-5 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.388053E-4 | 3.6877338E-4 | 2.6567674 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.001688705 | 0.0026969993 | 1.5970814 | 0.00101 | 0.014414776 | 0.016765863 | 0.020089192 | 1.1982201 | 0.00338 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6903374E-5 | 7.6902026E-5 | 2.858453 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1529534E-4 | 3.4526884E-4 | 2.9946468 | 2.3E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014028643 | 0.0024014616 | 1.7118273 | 0.001 | 0.01213047 | 0.013945739 | 0.017249022 | 1.2368667 | 0.00335 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3601788E-5 | 7.360061E-5 | 3.1184335 | 5.0E-5 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.01146805E-4 | 3.3112353E-4 | 3.2736926 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012308029 | 0.002229572 | 1.8114778 | 0.001 | 0.010738871 | 0.012244329 | 0.015543433 | 1.2694393 | 0.00334 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9659532E-5 | 6.965855E-5 | 3.5432456 | 5.0E-5 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.425255E-5 | 3.1423316E-4 | 3.729658 | 2.3E-4 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010253147 | 0.0020242895 | 1.9743103 | 0.001 | 0.009070295 | 0.010208907 | 0.013495013 | 1.3218862 | 0.00332 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6463411E-5 | 6.646259E-5 | 4.036988 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.055566E-5 | 3.0053942E-4 | 4.259608 | 2.3E-4 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.5869315E-4 | 0.001847843 | 2.1519246 | 9.9E-4 | 0.007696735 | 0.0085561685 | 0.0118378475 | 1.3835454 | 0.00331 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5719083E-5 | 6.57183E-5 | 4.180797 | 5.0E-5 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.736585E-5 | 2.9735034E-4 | 4.413963 | 2.3E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.198868E-4 | 0.0018090751 | 2.2064936 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008171 | 0.011444036 | 1.4005673 | 0.0033 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.519219E-5 | 6.519143E-5 | 4.291115 | 5.0E-5 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.510785E-5 | 2.9509288E-4 | 4.53237 | 2.3E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.924159E-4 | 0.0017816315 | 2.248354 | 9.9E-4 | 0.007138774 | 0.0078982655 | 0.01116228 | 1.4132571 | 0.00329 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4127763E-5 | 6.412706E-5 | 4.5390806 | 5.0E-5 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.054624E-5 | 2.905323E-4 | 4.798519 | 2.3E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.36917E-4 | 0.0017062023 | 2.3153248 | 9.7E-4 | 0.006661878 | 0.007347058 | 0.01057318 | 1.439104 | 0.00325 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2818444E-5 | 6.28178E-5 | 4.9005795 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4935117E-5 | 2.7492302E-4 | 5.004504 | 2.2E-4 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.6864555E-4 | 0.001608017 | 2.4048872 | 9.4E-4 | 0.006032217 | 0.006668644 | 0.009787705 | 1.4677204 | 0.00314 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.332057E-6 | 1.3332024E-5 | 4.001139 | 1.0E-5 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4280207E-5 | 1.0427892E-4 | 7.3023396 | 9.0E-5 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7385496E-4 | 5.537889E-4 | 3.18535 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017382046 | 0.0031657189 | 1.821258 | 0.00143 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5461668E-5 | 4.5461158E-5 | 1.7854745 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0911689E-4 | 2.0910597E-4 | 1.9163485 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013131002 | 0.001327692 | 0.0020966697 | 1.5791838 | 7.7E-4 | 0.013053683 | 0.0132773835 | 0.015477775 | 1.1657248 | 0.00223 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5362662E-5 | 4.5362154E-5 | 1.7885407 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0869261E-4 | 2.0868174E-4 | 1.9199257 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013225327 | 0.0020915144 | 1.5814463 | 7.7E-4 | 0.013000126 | 0.013226406 | 0.015426911 | 1.1663721 | 0.00223 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.5244166E-5 | 4.524366E-5 | 1.7922423 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.0818482E-4 | 2.08174E-4 | 1.9242442 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013163578 | 0.0020853442 | 1.5841774 | 7.7E-4 | 0.012932341 | 0.013165389 | 0.015366031 | 1.1671535 | 0.00223 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.5063213E-5 | 4.5062712E-5 | 1.7979623 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.0740937E-4 | 2.0739863E-4 | 1.9309175 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012897556 | 0.001306928 | 0.0020759217 | 1.5883979 | 7.7E-4 | 0.012822957 | 0.013072206 | 0.015273054 | 1.168361 | 0.00223 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.343988E-5 | 4.343941E-5 | 1.8532268 | 2.0E-5 | 9.958477E-5 | 1.0045277E-4 | 2.0044272E-4 | 1.9953927 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012223292 | 0.001991388 | 1.6291748 | 7.7E-4 | 0.012051838 | 0.012235805 | 0.014418764 | 1.1784074 | 0.00221 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.3253517E-5 | 4.325305E-5 | 1.860065 | 2.0E-5 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.9654135E-5 | 1.9964417E-4 | 2.0033705 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0012126167 | 0.0019816828 | 1.6342205 | 7.7E-4 | 0.011791403 | 0.012139746 | 0.014322917 | 1.1798366 | 0.00221 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.2031056E-5 | 4.2030617E-5 | 1.9077895 | 2.0E-5 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.441541E-5 | 1.9440596E-4 | 2.0590491 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011489037 | 0.0019080306 | 1.6607401 | 7.6E-4 | 0.011062649 | 0.011509362 | 0.013684041 | 1.1889488 | 0.0022 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0645006E-5 | 4.0644594E-5 | 1.9687372 | 2.0E-5 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.847561E-5 | 1.8846676E-4 | 2.130155 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.00107666 | 0.0018358417 | 1.7051268 | 7.6E-4 | 0.010230771 | 0.010794125 | 0.012970378 | 1.2016146 | 0.0022 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 2.0149642E-5 | 4.014924E-5 | 1.9925535 | 2.0E-5 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.635276E-5 | 1.8634413E-4 | 2.1579406 | 1.0E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010508394 | 0.0018100408 | 1.7224714 | 7.6E-4 | 0.009733009 | 0.01053839 | 0.012705311 | 1.2056216 | 0.00219 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.9200035E-5 | 3.919965E-5 | 2.0416448 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.228328E-5 | 1.8227505E-4 | 2.2152138 | 1.0E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 0.00100134 | 0.001760579 | 1.7582229 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0091206245 | 0.0100480085 | 0.012216004 | 1.2157636 | 0.00219 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8459863E-5 | 3.8459493E-5 | 2.0834117 | 2.0E-5 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.9111305E-5 | 1.7910339E-4 | 2.2639418 | 1.0E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.6275593E-4 | 0.0017220243 | 1.7886405 | 7.6E-4 | 0.008724891 | 0.009665433 | 0.011824363 | 1.223366 | 0.00218 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.795938E-5 | 3.7959024E-5 | 2.113604 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.696651E-5 | 1.7695881E-4 | 2.2991662 | 1.0E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.366658E-4 | 0.001695954 | 1.8106287 | 7.6E-4 | 0.008488664 | 0.009406569 | 0.011556158 | 1.2285198 | 0.00217 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.7407101E-5 | 3.7406753E-5 | 2.1489365 | 2.0E-5 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.459974E-5 | 1.7459228E-4 | 2.3403873 | 1.0E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 9.0787467E-4 | 0.0016671846 | 1.83636 | 7.6E-4 | 0.008200042 | 0.009120966 | 0.011271173 | 1.2357434 | 0.00217 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6858427E-5 | 3.6858088E-5 | 2.1863303 | 2.0E-5 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.2248404E-5 | 1.7224118E-4 | 2.3840137 | 1.0E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.7927055E-4 | 0.0016386023 | 1.8635929 | 7.6E-4 | 0.00782677 | 0.008836802 | 0.010967803 | 1.2411507 | 0.00215 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6693646E-5 | 3.6693313E-5 | 2.1980407 | 2.0E-5 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.154224E-5 | 1.715351E-4 | 2.3976755 | 1.0E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.7067997E-4 | 0.0016200269 | 1.8606458 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008751383 | 0.010842918 | 1.2389947 | 0.00211 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6283904E-5 | 2.628374E-5 | 1.6140933 | 1.0E-5 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.97863E-5 | 1.5978001E-4 | 2.2895615 | 9.0E-5 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.4931817E-4 | 0.0015587151 | 1.8352547 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008538836 | 0.010521758 | 1.232224 | 0.002 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4274064E-5 | 2.427392E-5 | 1.7005614 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.117313E-5 | 1.21169454E-4 | 1.9807628 | 6.0E-5 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.44529E-4 | 0.001194194 | 1.603959 | 4.5E-4 | 0.006634211 | 0.0074966527 | 0.008826607 | 1.1774064 | 0.00134 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.1669305E-5 | 2.166919E-5 | 1.856939 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4266326E-5 | 5.0010352E-5 | 8.000885E-5 | 1.5998458 | 3.0E-5 | 5.388092E-4 | 6.087064E-4 | 8.585542E-4 | 1.410457 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.00614605 | 0.0068715634 | 1.1180454 | 7.3E-4 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 9.066803E-6 | 9.066803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8857146E-5 | 4.8856757E-5 | 1.2573429 | 1.0E-5 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.7298323E-4 | 6.12917E-4 | 1.2958536 | 1.4E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.0047815205 | 0.00518956 | 1.0853368 | 4.1E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.5621704E-6 | 5.5621704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3837656E-5 | 3.3837416E-5 | 1.4194944 | 1.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.901849E-4 | 3.8015877E-4 | 1.310057 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0029341162 | 0.0031634413 | 1.0781581 | 2.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.1100361E-6 | 2.1100361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.04298E-6 | 1.9042891E-5 | 2.1058202 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.1009276E-4 | 1.5008837E-4 | 1.36329 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001113534 | 0.001183456 | 1.0627929 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1956307E-7 | 3.1956307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3695554E-6 | 1.3695554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6674227E-5 | 1.6674227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.68791E-4 | 1.68791E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8509778E-5 | 3.850941E-5 | 2.0804899 | 2.0E-5 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.932549E-5 | 1.3932072E-4 | 1.7563174 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.654085E-4 | 0.001355032 | 1.403584 | 3.9E-4 | 0.009017491 | 0.009616992 | 0.011310547 | 1.1761003 | 0.00171 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.595946E-6 | 2.9595754E-5 | 3.0841935 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1124884E-5 | 6.112406E-5 | 1.4863036 | 2.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.005893E-4 | 7.004892E-4 | 1.3993291 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049955007 | 0.005881055 | 1.1772703 | 8.9E-4 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.595946E-6 | 2.9595754E-5 | 3.0841935 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1124884E-5 | 6.112406E-5 | 1.4863036 | 2.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.005893E-4 | 7.004892E-4 | 1.3993291 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049955007 | 0.005881055 | 1.1772703 | 8.9E-4 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.67061E-6 | 1.7670534E-5 | 2.3036673 | 1.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.287367E-5 | 4.287334E-5 | 1.3041848 | 1.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0017057E-4 | 5.101265E-4 | 1.2747728 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003995205 | 0.004652568 | 1.164538 | 6.6E-4 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.67061E-6 | 1.7670534E-5 | 2.3036673 | 1.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.287367E-5 | 4.287334E-5 | 1.3041848 | 1.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0017057E-4 | 5.101265E-4 | 1.2747728 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003995205 | 0.004652568 | 1.164538 | 6.6E-4 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.406266E-6 | 1.6406202E-5 | 2.5609617 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7455173E-5 | 3.7454898E-5 | 1.36422 | 1.0E-5 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3422196E-4 | 4.2419188E-4 | 1.2691921 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033378322 | 0.0038560964 | 1.1552697 | 5.2E-4 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.9124636E-6 | 1.5912405E-5 | 2.6913323 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5338919E-5 | 3.5338664E-5 | 1.3946398 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0846408E-4 | 3.884394E-4 | 1.2592695 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030809888 | 0.0035395713 | 1.1488427 | 4.6E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5412265E-6 | 1.554117E-5 | 2.8046446 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3747934E-5 | 3.3747696E-5 | 1.4210793 | 1.0E-5 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.890991E-4 | 3.6907595E-4 | 1.2766417 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028878544 | 0.0033365549 | 1.155375 | 4.5E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.248485E-6 | 1.4248442E-5 | 3.3537703 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8207698E-5 | 2.8207518E-5 | 1.5492082 | 1.0E-5 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2166215E-4 | 2.7165105E-4 | 1.2255185 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022149954 | 0.00256422 | 1.1576638 | 3.5E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1420516E-7 | 7.1420516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0608774E-6 | 3.0608774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7265865E-5 | 3.7265865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7262743E-4 | 4.2260878E-4 | 1.1341323 | 5.0E-5 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1492105E-5 | 4.1491792E-5 | 1.3175299 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3496041E-4 | 2.0495098E-4 | 1.5186006 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.001642122 | 0.002051449 | 1.249267 | 4.1E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016321493 | 0.017846195 | 1.0934168 | 0.00155 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1492105E-5 | 4.1491792E-5 | 1.3175299 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3496041E-4 | 2.0495098E-4 | 1.5186006 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.001642122 | 0.002051449 | 1.249267 | 4.1E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016321493 | 0.017846195 | 1.0934168 | 0.00155 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3644875E-5 | 1.3644875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.847679E-5 | 8.847504E-5 | 1.512994 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.117343E-4 | 8.116631E-4 | 1.1404018 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070957514 | 0.007463126 | 1.0517739 | 3.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3644875E-5 | 1.3644875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.847679E-5 | 8.847504E-5 | 1.512994 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.117343E-4 | 8.116631E-4 | 1.1404018 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070957514 | 0.007463126 | 1.0517739 | 3.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0696834E-5 | 1.0696834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.58428E-5 | 6.584189E-5 | 1.4362535 | 2.0E-5 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.57999E-4 | 6.2795996E-4 | 1.1253783 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0065179965 | 0.00556657 | 0.005825123 | 1.0464474 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.089549E-6 | 9.089549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.895465E-5 | 5.8953872E-5 | 1.5133975 | 2.0E-5 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7417372E-4 | 5.341453E-4 | 1.1264759 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047320276 | 0.004911176 | 1.0378586 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.5364965E-6 | 7.5364965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2298885E-5 | 5.229824E-5 | 1.6191964 | 2.0E-5 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.931705E-4 | 4.331548E-4 | 1.101697 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039250064 | 0.0040246136 | 1.0253776 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.7537085E-6 | 6.7537085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8944156E-5 | 4.8943577E-5 | 1.6909658 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.523403E-4 | 3.9232624E-4 | 1.1134866 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035180382 | 0.0036176865 | 1.028325 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.119491E-6 | 5.119491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1940501E-5 | 2.1940501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6709423E-4 | 2.870889E-4 | 1.07486 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026678706 | 0.0027077638 | 1.0149533 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.9101365E-6 | 3.9101365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6757625E-5 | 1.6757625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0400598E-4 | 2.2400191E-4 | 1.0980164 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020382854 | 0.0020682241 | 1.0146883 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6077971E-6 | 2.6077971E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.11762265E-5 | 1.11762265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3606231E-4 | 1.4606095E-4 | 1.0734857 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013598154 | 0.0013797882 | 1.0146879 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.1001495E-6 | 2.1001495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 9.000611E-6 | 9.000611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.09577144E-4 | 1.1957605E-4 | 1.09125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002313479 | 0.001095253 | 0.0011152312 | 1.0182406 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2628926E-6 | 1.2628926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.4123866E-6 | 5.4123866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.5893895E-5 | 7.589324E-5 | 1.1517491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264982 | 6.587518E-4 | 6.7873864E-4 | 1.0303404 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.1301633E-7 | 7.1301633E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.0557808E-6 | 3.0557808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7203517E-5 | 4.7203146E-5 | 1.2687818 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013357349 | 3.719749E-4 | 3.9196745E-4 | 1.053747 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.314279E-7 | 5.314279E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2775462E-6 | 2.2775462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.7728776E-5 | 3.77285E-5 | 1.3606262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010622547 | 2.772537E-4 | 2.9724816E-4 | 1.0721161 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6094733E-7 | 3.6094733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5469162E-6 | 1.5469162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8833547E-5 | 1.8833547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8831997E-4 | 1.983181E-4 | 1.0530912 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.141902E-8 | 7.141902E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0608146E-7 | 3.0608146E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.726537E-6 | 3.726537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7264905E-5 | 3.7264905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0403824E-5 | 4.040352E-5 | 1.328896 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.302967E-4 | 1.8029018E-4 | 1.3836895 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015854046 | 0.0018749449 | 1.1826286 | 2.9E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015760478 | 0.017059673 | 1.0824338 | 0.00132 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0403824E-5 | 4.040352E-5 | 1.328896 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.302967E-4 | 1.8029018E-4 | 1.3836895 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015854046 | 0.0018749449 | 1.1826286 | 2.9E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015760478 | 0.017059673 | 1.0824338 | 0.00132 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6110504E-5 | 1.6110504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.9043745E-5 | 1.0904098E-4 | 1.5793029 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.403822E-4 | 9.7027293E-4 | 1.1545615 | 1.3E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008381756 | 0.009036223 | 1.0780824 | 6.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6110504E-5 | 1.6110504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.9043745E-5 | 1.0904098E-4 | 1.5793029 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.403822E-4 | 9.7027293E-4 | 1.1545615 | 1.3E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008381756 | 0.009036223 | 1.0780824 | 6.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5021732E-5 | 1.5021732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.437782E-5 | 9.4375886E-5 | 1.465969 | 3.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8361627E-4 | 9.035222E-4 | 1.1530162 | 1.2E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.007818175 | 0.008433327 | 1.0786824 | 6.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5021732E-5 | 1.5021732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.437782E-5 | 9.4375886E-5 | 1.465969 | 3.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8361627E-4 | 9.035222E-4 | 1.1530162 | 1.2E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.007818175 | 0.008433327 | 1.0786824 | 6.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2866608E-5 | 1.2866608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.514198E-5 | 7.514087E-5 | 1.3626801 | 2.0E-5 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7124265E-4 | 7.811688E-4 | 1.1637652 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0067015574 | 0.007168408 | 1.0696629 | 4.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.833328E-6 | 9.833328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2142663E-5 | 5.214224E-5 | 1.2372792 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.130568E-4 | 6.0301065E-4 | 1.1753292 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045039062 | 0.005127618 | 0.0054658744 | 1.0659676 | 3.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.176499E-6 | 1.176499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.0421295E-6 | 5.0421295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.1386316E-5 | 6.1386316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.1370485E-4 | 6.236987E-4 | 1.0162845 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.292292E-7 | 9.292292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9824054E-6 | 3.9824054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.8484777E-5 | 4.8484777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8474898E-4 | 4.8474898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.755948E-7 | 8.755948E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7525442E-6 | 3.7525442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5686338E-5 | 4.5686338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.567761E-4 | 4.567761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.719428E-7 | 7.719428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3083222E-6 | 3.3083222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.027814E-5 | 4.027814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0271436E-4 | 4.0271436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.596425E-7 | 7.596425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2556068E-6 | 3.2556068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.9636354E-5 | 3.9636354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.962988E-4 | 3.962988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.904436E-7 | 6.904436E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.959041E-6 | 2.959041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.6025787E-5 | 3.6025787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.602052E-4 | 3.602052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.20104E-7 | 6.20104E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.657586E-6 | 2.657586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.235569E-5 | 3.235569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2351533E-4 | 3.2351533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3560797E-7 | 5.3560797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.295461E-6 | 2.295461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7946933E-5 | 2.7946933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.794395E-4 | 2.794395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6045777E-7 | 2.6045777E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162472E-6 | 1.1162472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590254E-5 | 1.3590254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3589705E-4 | 1.3589705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.796259E-4 | 6.796259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029095598 | 0.0029394724 | 1.0102808 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.034975898 | 0.035275057 | 1.0085533 | 3.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28823972 | 0.2889159 | 1.0023459 | 9.5E-4 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.796259E-4 | 6.796259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029095598 | 0.0029394724 | 1.0102808 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.034975898 | 0.035275057 | 1.0085533 | 3.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28823972 | 0.2889159 | 1.0023459 | 9.5E-4 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.796259E-4 | 6.796259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029095598 | 0.0029394724 | 1.0102808 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.034975898 | 0.035275057 | 1.0085533 | 3.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28823972 | 0.2889159 | 1.0023459 | 9.5E-4 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.796259E-4 | 6.796259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029095598 | 0.0029394724 | 1.0102808 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.034975898 | 0.035275057 | 1.0085533 | 3.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28823972 | 0.2889159 | 1.0023459 | 9.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3657242E-4 | 4.3657242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018697113 | 0.0018896739 | 1.0106769 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010316478 | 0.022532325 | 0.022806017 | 1.0121466 | 2.8E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.19888629 | 0.19955121 | 1.0033432 | 8.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9207143E-4 | 2.9207143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012511371 | 0.001271112 | 1.0159655 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015127049 | 0.015333872 | 1.0136725 | 2.1E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13989982 | 0.1405191 | 1.0044266 | 7.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9207143E-4 | 2.9207143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012511371 | 0.001271112 | 1.0159655 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015127049 | 0.015333872 | 1.0136725 | 2.1E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13989982 | 0.1405191 | 1.0044266 | 7.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4781653E-4 | 2.4781653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010616392 | 0.0010816179 | 1.0188187 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012849167 | 0.013056468 | 1.0161334 | 2.1E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.12105957 | 0.121657245 | 1.004937 | 6.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.4298058E-4 | 2.4298058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010409303 | 0.0010609095 | 1.0191935 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055285925 | 0.01259997 | 0.012807324 | 1.0164567 | 2.1E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.11900814 | 0.1195984 | 1.0049598 | 6.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3666742E-4 | 2.3666742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537184E-4 | 0.0010138951 | 0.0010338748 | 1.0197059 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012274566 | 0.012481988 | 1.0168985 | 2.1E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.11630327 | 0.11688651 | 1.0050148 | 6.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.3034362E-4 | 2.3034362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.868138E-4 | 0.0010067942 | 1.0202472 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005285311 | 0.01194851 | 0.012156001 | 1.0173655 | 2.1E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.11356599 | 0.11415103 | 1.0051516 | 6.6E-4 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.2320617E-4 | 2.2320617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.562475E-4 | 9.762284E-4 | 1.0208951 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011580375 | 0.011787943 | 1.0179241 | 2.1E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.11045392 | 0.11104102 | 1.0053153 | 6.6E-4 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1681597E-4 | 2.1681597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.288807E-4 | 9.488621E-4 | 1.0215113 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005018219 | 0.011250672 | 0.011458309 | 1.0184555 | 2.1E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.10764235 | 0.10822239 | 1.0053885 | 6.5E-4 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9898474E-4 | 1.9898474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.525131E-4 | 8.7249605E-4 | 1.02344 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004746591 | 0.010330071 | 0.010537902 | 1.020119 | 2.1E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.09981976 | 0.10039587 | 1.0057715 | 6.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.9142301E-4 | 1.9142301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.2012644E-4 | 8.4011006E-4 | 1.0243665 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009939429 | 0.010147342 | 1.020918 | 2.1E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.09643953 | 0.09699974 | 1.005809 | 6.2E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8469337E-4 | 1.8469337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.91303E-4 | 8.012951E-4 | 1.0126274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004516484 | 0.009591648 | 0.00978973 | 1.0206515 | 2.0E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.09338984 | 0.093942866 | 1.0059217 | 6.1E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7851614E-4 | 1.7851614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.648449E-4 | 7.748373E-4 | 1.0130645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009272308 | 0.0094704535 | 1.0213696 | 2.0E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.09053121 | 0.09108598 | 1.006128 | 6.1E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.7369275E-4 | 1.7369275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.441852E-4 | 7.5417774E-4 | 1.0134275 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004300386 | 0.009022888 | 0.0092210835 | 1.0219659 | 2.0E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.088267855 | 0.08882401 | 1.0063008 | 6.1E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5654907E-4 | 1.5654907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.7075214E-4 | 6.807454E-4 | 1.0148987 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038772223 | 0.008135882 | 0.008314418 | 1.0219442 | 1.8E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.07995336 | 0.08041338 | 1.0057536 | 5.0E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.02601385E-4 | 1.02601385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.3964613E-4 | 4.4964172E-4 | 1.0227356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027402006 | 0.0053395666 | 0.005458926 | 1.0223538 | 1.2E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.053380866 | 0.053655386 | 1.0051427 | 2.9E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.5551136E-5 | 5.5551136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3805458E-4 | 2.480522E-4 | 1.0419972 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028944644 | 0.0029542907 | 1.0206692 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.029556267 | 0.029643606 | 1.0029551 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 2.0004074E-5 | 2.0004074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.5728934E-5 | 8.5728934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010432507 | 0.0010532403 | 1.0095754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.011161634 | 0.011171522 | 1.000886 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.724981E-6 | 5.724981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.45354E-5 | 2.45354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.9867765E-4 | 2.9867765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.003385238 | 0.003385238 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.100844E-7 | 8.100844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.226819E-5 | 4.226819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.972291E-4 | 4.972291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083667E-5 | 2.1083555E-5 | 1.9022185 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7500638E-5 | 7.7499215E-5 | 1.6315405 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7817955E-4 | 9.279772E-4 | 1.6049982 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005768023 | 0.0068815625 | 1.193054 | 0.00112 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083667E-5 | 2.1083555E-5 | 1.9022185 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7500638E-5 | 7.7499215E-5 | 1.6315405 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7817955E-4 | 9.279772E-4 | 1.6049982 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005768023 | 0.0068815625 | 1.193054 | 0.00112 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083667E-5 | 2.1083555E-5 | 1.9022185 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7500638E-5 | 7.7499215E-5 | 1.6315405 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7817955E-4 | 9.279772E-4 | 1.6049982 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005768023 | 0.0068815625 | 1.193054 | 0.00112 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083667E-5 | 2.1083555E-5 | 1.9022185 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7500638E-5 | 7.7499215E-5 | 1.6315405 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7817955E-4 | 9.279772E-4 | 1.6049982 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005768023 | 0.0068815625 | 1.193054 | 0.00112 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083667E-5 | 2.1083555E-5 | 1.9022185 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7500638E-5 | 7.7499215E-5 | 1.6315405 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7817955E-4 | 9.279772E-4 | 1.6049982 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005768023 | 0.0068815625 | 1.193054 | 0.00112 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083667E-5 | 2.1083555E-5 | 1.9022185 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7500638E-5 | 7.7499215E-5 | 1.6315405 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7817955E-4 | 9.279772E-4 | 1.6049982 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005768023 | 0.0068815625 | 1.193054 | 0.00112 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.938382E-6 | 6.938382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.97356E-5 | 4.9735005E-5 | 1.6725744 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.619737E-4 | 5.5190496E-4 | 1.5247099 | 1.9E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036141332 | 0.0041322536 | 1.1433595 | 5.2E-4 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.938382E-6 | 6.938382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.97356E-5 | 4.9735005E-5 | 1.6725744 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.619737E-4 | 5.5190496E-4 | 1.5247099 | 1.9E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036141332 | 0.0041322536 | 1.1433595 | 5.2E-4 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1816373E-6 | 5.1816373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2206836E-5 | 4.220639E-5 | 1.9006037 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7033585E-4 | 4.2029528E-4 | 1.5547154 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.002700186 | 0.003069187 | 1.1366576 | 3.7E-4 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2544184E-6 | 4.2544184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8233097E-5 | 3.8232734E-5 | 2.0968864 | 2.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2196608E-4 | 3.61935E-4 | 1.630587 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022175163 | 0.002526829 | 1.1394861 | 3.1E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7157683E-6 | 3.7157683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5924628E-5 | 2.5924468E-5 | 1.6279482 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9386574E-4 | 3.038444E-4 | 1.567293 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019370291 | 0.002206506 | 1.1391187 | 2.7E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1136494E-6 | 3.1136494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3344146E-5 | 2.3344013E-5 | 1.7493823 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6245343E-4 | 2.2244369E-4 | 1.3692766 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016234029 | 0.0018031107 | 1.1106982 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6069804E-6 | 2.6069804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1172728E-5 | 2.1172616E-5 | 1.8950266 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3601997E-4 | 1.9601181E-4 | 1.4410517 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017829615 | 0.001359417 | 0.0015191995 | 1.1175375 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8297443E-6 | 1.8297443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.841739E-6 | 7.841739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.546929E-5 | 1.3546547E-4 | 1.4189429 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013866565 | 9.5431163E-4 | 0.0010841877 | 1.1360939 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4376385E-6 | 1.4376385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.1612946E-6 | 6.1612946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.5011434E-5 | 1.15008435E-4 | 1.5332121 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001177395 | 7.498862E-4 | 8.5980375E-4 | 1.1465789 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.363251E-7 | 7.363251E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1556751E-6 | 3.1556751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8419672E-5 | 6.841852E-5 | 1.78082 | 3.0E-5 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8413075E-4 | 4.5410384E-4 | 1.1821597 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6664996E-7 | 4.6664996E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9999268E-6 | 1.9999268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.434884E-5 | 4.4348355E-5 | 1.8213744 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4346198E-4 | 2.7345467E-4 | 1.1231925 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5614506E-7 | 1.5614506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6919296E-7 | 6.6919296E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.1473945E-6 | 8.1473945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.147107E-5 | 9.147026E-5 | 1.122733 | 1.0E-5 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5667878E-5 | 2.5667878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.1000065E-4 | 1.1999955E-4 | 1.0908985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013384521 | 0.0015781309 | 1.1790717 | 2.4E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01330583 | 0.014253056 | 1.0711888 | 9.6E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5667878E-5 | 2.5667878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.1000065E-4 | 1.1999955E-4 | 1.0908985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013384521 | 0.0015781309 | 1.1790717 | 2.4E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01330583 | 0.014253056 | 1.0711888 | 9.6E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5667878E-5 | 2.5667878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.1000065E-4 | 1.1999955E-4 | 1.0908985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013384521 | 0.0015781309 | 1.1790717 | 2.4E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01330583 | 0.014253056 | 1.0711888 | 9.6E-4 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5167541E-5 | 2.5167541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.07856526E-4 | 1.17855445E-4 | 1.0927057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001312379 | 0.001552064 | 1.182634 | 2.4E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013048178 | 0.013975913 | 1.0711007 | 9.4E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5167541E-5 | 2.5167541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.07856526E-4 | 1.17855445E-4 | 1.0927057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001312379 | 0.001552064 | 1.182634 | 2.4E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013048178 | 0.013975913 | 1.0711007 | 9.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4856545E-5 | 2.4856545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0652379E-4 | 1.1652273E-4 | 1.0938658 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012961724 | 0.0015358613 | 1.1849205 | 2.4E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.012887999 | 0.013796143 | 1.0704643 | 9.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3352131E-5 | 2.3352131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115732E-5 | 1.000768E-4 | 1.100758E-4 | 1.0999132 | 1.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012177686 | 0.0014375008 | 1.1804383 | 2.2E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012112778 | 0.012952482 | 1.0693238 | 8.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2952121E-5 | 2.2952121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.836261E-5 | 1.0836162E-4 | 1.1016546 | 1.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011969213 | 0.001416658 | 1.1835849 | 2.2E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011906561 | 0.012746441 | 1.0705392 | 8.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1841899E-5 | 2.1841899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.360486E-5 | 1.03603925E-4 | 1.106822 | 1.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011390575 | 0.0013288411 | 1.1666145 | 1.9E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011334991 | 0.012096263 | 1.0671612 | 7.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.532003E-5 | 1.532003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.565566E-5 | 7.5655E-5 | 1.1522998 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.990709E-4 | 9.4895106E-4 | 1.187568 | 1.5E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007963419 | 0.0084991185 | 1.06727 | 5.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.31666175E-5 | 1.31666175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6427172E-5 | 5.6427172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.867901E-4 | 7.867214E-4 | 1.145505 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068479134 | 0.007205448 | 1.0522108 | 3.6E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0874152E-5 | 1.0874152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.66027E-5 | 4.66027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.672444E-4 | 6.272104E-4 | 1.1057146 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005658463 | 0.0058573317 | 1.0351453 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0294518E-5 | 1.0294518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4118642E-5 | 4.4118642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.370163E-4 | 5.969841E-4 | 1.1116685 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053576184 | 0.005516761 | 1.029704 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.815685E-6 | 9.815685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2066567E-5 | 4.2066567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.120443E-4 | 5.620187E-4 | 1.0975978 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.0051090727 | 0.005248357 | 1.0272622 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.714656E-6 | 9.714656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1633597E-5 | 4.1633597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0677534E-4 | 5.5675E-4 | 1.098613 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.005056624 | 0.005195916 | 1.0275464 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.612251E-6 | 9.612251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1194737E-5 | 4.1194737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.014347E-4 | 5.4141466E-4 | 1.0797311 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.0050034593 | 0.005132809 | 1.025852 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.291149E-6 | 9.291149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.9818624E-5 | 3.9818624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8468812E-4 | 5.146736E-4 | 1.0618654 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.004836735 | 0.004956154 | 1.0246902 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.35172E-6 | 8.35172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5792615E-5 | 3.5792615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.35692E-4 | 4.6567892E-4 | 1.068826 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043487838 | 0.004468262 | 1.0274739 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6496058E-7 | 3.6496058E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5641159E-6 | 1.5641159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.904295E-5 | 1.904295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9041362E-4 | 1.9041362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.670443E-9 | 2.670443E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444756E-8 | 1.1444756E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.393399E-7 | 1.393399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.393399E-6 | 1.393399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0404953E-5 | 4.0404953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7315405E-4 | 1.8315231E-4 | 1.057742 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.00210637 | 0.0022760117 | 1.0805376 | 1.7E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020890022 | 0.02167331 | 1.0374959 | 8.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0404953E-5 | 4.0404953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7315405E-4 | 1.8315231E-4 | 1.057742 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.00210637 | 0.0022760117 | 1.0805376 | 1.7E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020890022 | 0.02167331 | 1.0374959 | 8.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1080008E-5 | 2.1080008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.034034E-5 | 1.00339435E-4 | 1.1106825 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010994409 | 0.001179353 | 1.0726843 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010950121 | 0.011395194 | 1.0406455 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1080008E-5 | 2.1080008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.034034E-5 | 1.00339435E-4 | 1.1106825 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010994409 | 0.001179353 | 1.0726843 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010950121 | 0.011395194 | 1.0406455 | 4.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9583902E-5 | 1.9583902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.392887E-5 | 9.3928036E-5 | 1.1191385 | 1.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010214557 | 0.0010913842 | 1.0684596 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008894307 | 0.010177544 | 0.010603168 | 1.0418199 | 4.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6852964E-5 | 1.6852964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.222552E-5 | 8.22248E-5 | 1.1384453 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.7908463E-4 | 9.390319E-4 | 1.0681928 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007664232 | 0.008765286 | 0.00916178 | 1.0452346 | 4.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3737134E-5 | 1.3737134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.8872603E-5 | 6.887202E-5 | 1.1698483 | 1.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.16627E-4 | 7.7658397E-4 | 1.0836656 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071518705 | 0.0074596535 | 1.0430353 | 3.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1544515E-5 | 1.1544515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9476042E-5 | 5.9475547E-5 | 1.202108 | 1.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.022915E-4 | 6.5226137E-4 | 1.0829663 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005253921 | 0.006015135 | 0.0062835105 | 1.0446168 | 2.7E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9850013E-4 | 2.0849815E-4 | 1.0503678 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.504377E-4 | 8.804122E-4 | 1.0352459 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010305058 | 0.010611864 | 1.0297723 | 3.1E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.100268915 | 0.10104269 | 1.0077169 | 8.6E-4 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9850013E-4 | 2.0849815E-4 | 1.0503678 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.504377E-4 | 8.804122E-4 | 1.0352459 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010305058 | 0.010611864 | 1.0297723 | 3.1E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.100268915 | 0.10104269 | 1.0077169 | 8.6E-4 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9850013E-4 | 2.0849815E-4 | 1.0503678 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.504377E-4 | 8.804122E-4 | 1.0352459 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010305058 | 0.010611864 | 1.0297723 | 3.1E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.100268915 | 0.10104269 | 1.0077169 | 8.6E-4 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9850013E-4 | 2.0849815E-4 | 1.0503678 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.504377E-4 | 8.804122E-4 | 1.0352459 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010305058 | 0.010611864 | 1.0297723 | 3.1E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.100268915 | 0.10104269 | 1.0077169 | 8.6E-4 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9850013E-4 | 2.0849815E-4 | 1.0503678 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.504377E-4 | 8.804122E-4 | 1.0352459 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010305058 | 0.010611864 | 1.0297723 | 3.1E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.100268915 | 0.10104269 | 1.0077169 | 8.6E-4 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9823643E-4 | 2.0823444E-4 | 1.0504348 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.493083E-4 | 8.792828E-4 | 1.0352929 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010291438 | 0.010598247 | 1.0298121 | 3.1E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.10014649 | 0.100920364 | 1.0077274 | 8.6E-4 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9823643E-4 | 2.0823444E-4 | 1.0504348 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.493083E-4 | 8.792828E-4 | 1.0352929 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010291438 | 0.010598247 | 1.0298121 | 3.1E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.10014649 | 0.100920364 | 1.0077274 | 8.6E-4 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9813543E-4 | 2.0813345E-4 | 1.0504606 | 1.0E-5 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.4887573E-4 | 8.7885023E-4 | 1.0353109 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010286221 | 0.010593032 | 1.0298274 | 3.1E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.100099586 | 0.1008735 | 1.0077314 | 8.6E-4 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9798578E-4 | 2.079838E-4 | 1.0504987 | 1.0E-5 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.4823475E-4 | 8.782093E-4 | 1.0353376 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010278491 | 0.010585304 | 1.0298501 | 3.1E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.10002896 | 0.100802936 | 1.0077375 | 8.6E-4 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.976635E-4 | 2.0766152E-4 | 1.050581 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.468544E-4 | 8.76829E-4 | 1.0353953 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010261844 | 0.010568663 | 1.029899 | 3.1E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.09987709 | 0.1006512 | 1.0077506 | 8.6E-4 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9697206E-4 | 2.069701E-4 | 1.0507586 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.438931E-4 | 8.738678E-4 | 1.0355195 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005091073 | 0.010226129 | 0.010532958 | 1.0300045 | 3.1E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.09955188 | 0.10032626 | 1.0077788 | 8.6E-4 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.959823E-4 | 2.0598034E-4 | 1.051015 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.3965395E-4 | 8.696288E-4 | 1.035699 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005055068 | 0.010175001 | 0.0104818465 | 1.0301569 | 3.1E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.09908635 | 0.09986114 | 1.0078193 | 8.6E-4 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9528519E-4 | 2.0528323E-4 | 1.0511972 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.3666825E-4 | 8.6664315E-4 | 1.0358266 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050299936 | 0.0101389885 | 0.010445845 | 1.0302651 | 3.1E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.09875812 | 0.099533185 | 1.0078481 | 8.6E-4 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9480409E-4 | 2.0480214E-4 | 1.0513237 | 1.0E-5 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.3460775E-4 | 8.645827E-4 | 1.035915 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050112694 | 0.010114135 | 0.010421 | 1.0303402 | 3.1E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.09852931 | 0.09930457 | 1.0078684 | 8.6E-4 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.9419508E-4 | 2.0419313E-4 | 1.0514846 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.3199935E-4 | 8.619744E-4 | 1.0360277 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0049933824 | 0.010082672 | 0.010389547 | 1.0304358 | 3.1E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.09824557 | 0.09901206 | 1.0078018 | 8.5E-4 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.9364961E-4 | 2.0364767E-4 | 1.0516297 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.296631E-4 | 8.596382E-4 | 1.0361292 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0049769743 | 0.010054491 | 0.010361374 | 1.030522 | 3.1E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.09798962 | 0.09875633 | 1.0078244 | 8.5E-4 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.9013588E-4 | 2.0013397E-4 | 1.0525839 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0357444E-4 | 8.146137E-4 | 8.4458926E-4 | 1.0367973 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004902454 | 0.009872939 | 0.010179879 | 1.031089 | 3.1E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.09635942 | 0.09712751 | 1.0079712 | 8.5E-4 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6425355E-4 | 1.7425191E-4 | 1.0608715 | 1.0E-5 | 3.51473E-4 | 7.037539E-4 | 7.337328E-4 | 1.0425985 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00427079 | 0.008534604 | 0.008822129 | 1.0336893 | 2.9E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.08403897 | 0.084771745 | 1.0087194 | 8.0E-4 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4880362E-4 | 1.4880362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.37574E-4 | 6.475676E-4 | 1.0156745 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003794643 | 0.00773488 | 0.007913488 | 1.0230912 | 1.8E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.07636562 | 0.0768182 | 1.0059265 | 4.9E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.03021135E-4 | 1.03021135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.4144446E-4 | 4.5144002E-4 | 1.0226429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0053613535 | 0.0054807104 | 1.0222625 | 1.2E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.05361959 | 0.053894043 | 1.0051185 | 2.9E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.57516E-5 | 5.57516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3891356E-4 | 2.4891118E-4 | 1.0418462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0029048945 | 0.0029647204 | 1.0205948 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.02967695 | 0.02976428 | 1.0029427 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 2.0104671E-5 | 2.0104671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.6160035E-5 | 8.6160035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010484942 | 0.0010584838 | 1.0095274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.011223204 | 0.011233092 | 1.000881 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7399284E-6 | 5.7399284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4599462E-5 | 2.4599462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9945737E-4 | 2.9945737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033936372 | 0.0033936372 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.100844E-7 | 8.100844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.226819E-5 | 4.226819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.972291E-4 | 4.972291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0194174E-5 | 2.0194073E-5 | 1.9809424 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3688648E-5 | 5.3688207E-5 | 1.2288824 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.317898E-4 | 6.917047E-4 | 1.3007108 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053062006 | 0.005992539 | 1.1293466 | 6.9E-4 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0194174E-5 | 2.0194073E-5 | 1.9809424 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3688648E-5 | 5.3688207E-5 | 1.2288824 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.317898E-4 | 6.917047E-4 | 1.3007108 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053062006 | 0.005992539 | 1.1293466 | 6.9E-4 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6972564E-6 | 1.469721E-5 | 3.1288924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.013095E-5 | 3.0130748E-5 | 1.4967376 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4506802E-4 | 3.2504843E-4 | 1.32636 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024481039 | 0.0028471246 | 1.1629918 | 4.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6972564E-6 | 1.469721E-5 | 3.1288924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.013095E-5 | 3.0130748E-5 | 1.4967376 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4506802E-4 | 3.2504843E-4 | 1.32636 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024481039 | 0.0028471246 | 1.1629918 | 4.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5106393E-6 | 3.5106393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5045514E-5 | 1.5045514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8316458E-4 | 2.1315909E-4 | 1.1637571 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018302192 | 0.0021196883 | 1.1581609 | 2.9E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9284968E-6 | 2.9284968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2550644E-5 | 1.2550644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5279413E-4 | 1.8278955E-4 | 1.1963127 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015269646 | 0.0018065372 | 1.1830903 | 2.8E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3296052E-6 | 2.3296052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.983988E-6 | 9.983988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.21548896E-4 | 1.3154768E-4 | 1.0822614 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011741214 | 0.001214886 | 0.001414643 | 1.1644245 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9596114E-6 | 1.9596114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.398311E-6 | 8.398311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0224523E-4 | 1.0224523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010220393 | 0.0011618963 | 1.136841 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5442223E-6 | 1.5442223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.618082E-6 | 6.618082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.057269E-5 | 8.057269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.054859E-4 | 9.054053E-4 | 1.1240487 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1420516E-7 | 7.1420516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0608774E-6 | 3.0608774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7265865E-5 | 3.7265865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7262743E-4 | 4.2260878E-4 | 1.1341323 | 5.0E-5 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.398853E-5 | 4.398853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8850961E-4 | 1.8850961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002292861 | 0.0023926317 | 1.0435137 | 1.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02271008 | 0.02328668 | 1.0253897 | 5.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.398853E-5 | 4.398853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8850961E-4 | 1.8850961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002292861 | 0.0023926317 | 1.0435137 | 1.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02271008 | 0.02328668 | 1.0253897 | 5.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.398853E-5 | 4.398853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8850961E-4 | 1.8850961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002292861 | 0.0023926317 | 1.0435137 | 1.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02271008 | 0.02328668 | 1.0253897 | 5.9E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5365125E-5 | 2.5365125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.08703265E-4 | 1.08703265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013226788 | 0.001352639 | 1.0226512 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.013150279 | 0.013327912 | 1.013508 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5365125E-5 | 2.5365125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.08703265E-4 | 1.08703265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013226788 | 0.001352639 | 1.0226512 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.013150279 | 0.013327912 | 1.013508 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0672202E-5 | 2.0672202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.8592205E-5 | 8.8592205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010780882 | 0.0010980666 | 1.0185313 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009036654 | 0.010729876 | 0.010868374 | 1.0129076 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7688464E-5 | 1.7688464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.580555E-5 | 7.580555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.2254963E-4 | 9.3254045E-4 | 1.0108296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007902439 | 0.009188062 | 0.009287143 | 1.0107837 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.527227E-5 | 1.527227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.545098E-5 | 6.545098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9658016E-4 | 8.065722E-4 | 1.0125437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006928845 | 0.007937879 | 0.008017244 | 1.0099982 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3038343E-5 | 1.3038343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.587744E-5 | 5.587744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.8009977E-4 | 6.900929E-4 | 1.0146937 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00599574 | 0.006780636 | 0.0068501616 | 1.0102535 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1521234E-5 | 1.1521234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9375805E-5 | 4.9375805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.009882E-4 | 6.1098224E-4 | 1.0166292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059940093 | 0.0060536494 | 1.00995 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.997198E-6 | 8.997198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8558865E-5 | 3.8558865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6935547E-4 | 4.793508E-4 | 1.0212958 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046838904 | 0.004723703 | 1.0084999 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5210214E-6 | 7.5210214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.223256E-5 | 3.223256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.923629E-4 | 3.923629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003541148 | 0.0039169183 | 0.00393684 | 1.0050861 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.284861E-6 | 6.284861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6934851E-5 | 2.6934851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2788445E-4 | 3.2788445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032742056 | 0.00329414 | 1.0060884 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.7093436E-6 | 4.7093436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0182755E-5 | 2.0182755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4569916E-4 | 2.4569916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024544564 | 0.0024744072 | 1.0081284 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.852483E-6 | 2.852483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2224879E-5 | 1.2224879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.488294E-4 | 1.488294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014874594 | 0.0014974446 | 1.0067129 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5642512E-8 | 4.5642512E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9561075E-7 | 1.9561075E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.381559E-6 | 2.381559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3815388E-5 | 2.3815388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8949543E-6 | 3.8949543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669258E-5 | 3.6692247E-5 | 2.1981173 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321757E-4 | 3.431891E-4 | 1.6887769 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307465 | 0.0026395079 | 1.2997721 | 6.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8949543E-6 | 3.8949543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669258E-5 | 3.6692247E-5 | 2.1981173 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321757E-4 | 3.431891E-4 | 1.6887769 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307465 | 0.0026395079 | 1.2997721 | 6.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8949543E-6 | 3.8949543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669258E-5 | 3.6692247E-5 | 2.1981173 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321757E-4 | 3.431891E-4 | 1.6887769 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307465 | 0.0026395079 | 1.2997721 | 6.1E-4 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8949543E-6 | 3.8949543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669258E-5 | 3.6692247E-5 | 2.1981173 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321757E-4 | 3.431891E-4 | 1.6887769 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307465 | 0.0026395079 | 1.2997721 | 6.1E-4 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8949543E-6 | 3.8949543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669258E-5 | 3.6692247E-5 | 2.1981173 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321757E-4 | 3.431891E-4 | 1.6887769 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307465 | 0.0026395079 | 1.2997721 | 6.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2032133E-6 | 1.2032133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.156619E-6 | 5.156619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.278015E-5 | 7.277952E-5 | 1.159276 | 1.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2763586E-4 | 6.975919E-4 | 1.1114596 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2032133E-6 | 1.2032133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.156619E-6 | 5.156619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.278015E-5 | 7.277952E-5 | 1.159276 | 1.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2763586E-4 | 6.975919E-4 | 1.1114596 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.411998E-7 | 8.411998E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6051372E-6 | 3.6051372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.389172E-5 | 4.389172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.388362E-4 | 4.8881426E-4 | 1.1138877 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.393328E-7 | 6.393328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7399951E-6 | 2.7399951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.335897E-5 | 3.335897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.3354343E-4 | 3.7353009E-4 | 1.1198844 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.346421E-7 | 5.346421E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2913214E-6 | 2.2913214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7896514E-5 | 2.7896514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.7893344E-4 | 3.1892228E-4 | 1.1433634 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.533343E-7 | 3.533343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5142889E-6 | 1.5142889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.843632E-5 | 1.843632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8434876E-4 | 1.9434691E-4 | 1.054235 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0010574E-7 | 3.0010574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2861668E-6 | 1.2861668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5658976E-5 | 1.5658976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5657948E-4 | 1.5657948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0224503E-7 | 2.0224503E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.667642E-7 | 8.667642E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0552808E-5 | 1.0552808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.05523526E-4 | 1.05523526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.06410596E-7 | 1.06410596E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5604534E-7 | 4.5604534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.55234E-6 | 5.55234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5522214E-5 | 5.5522214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1992653E-4 | 3.1992653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013703991 | 0.0013903718 | 1.0145743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016558493 | 0.016725678 | 1.0100967 | 1.7E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15177791 | 0.15216808 | 1.0025707 | 4.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1992653E-4 | 3.1992653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013703991 | 0.0013903718 | 1.0145743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016558493 | 0.016725678 | 1.0100967 | 1.7E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15177791 | 0.15216808 | 1.0025707 | 4.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1992653E-4 | 3.1992653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013703991 | 0.0013903718 | 1.0145743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016558493 | 0.016725678 | 1.0100967 | 1.7E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15177791 | 0.15216808 | 1.0025707 | 4.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0895628E-4 | 3.0895628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013234322 | 0.0013434057 | 1.0150923 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015995167 | 0.01616245 | 1.0104582 | 1.7E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14707439 | 0.14746673 | 1.0026677 | 4.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0895628E-4 | 3.0895628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013234322 | 0.0013434057 | 1.0150923 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015995167 | 0.01616245 | 1.0104582 | 1.7E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14707439 | 0.14746673 | 1.0026677 | 4.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.9307336E-4 | 2.9307336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012554292 | 0.0012754041 | 1.0159109 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015178995 | 0.015346415 | 1.0110297 | 1.7E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.14023587 | 0.14062276 | 1.0027589 | 4.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5738866E-4 | 2.5738866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0011026303 | 0.0011226082 | 1.0181185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005788839 | 0.013342538 | 0.013500403 | 1.0118318 | 1.6E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.124537915 | 0.12492312 | 1.003093 | 4.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3871062E-4 | 2.3871062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010226459 | 0.0010426254 | 1.0195371 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012380067 | 0.012538087 | 1.012764 | 1.6E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.11635562 | 0.11674442 | 1.0033416 | 4.4E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2391867E-4 | 2.2391867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.592992E-4 | 9.7928E-4 | 1.0208286 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011617197 | 0.011775338 | 1.0136126 | 1.6E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.10975867 | 0.110150374 | 1.0035688 | 4.4E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1845906E-4 | 2.1845906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.3591784E-4 | 9.5589913E-4 | 1.0213494 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048866454 | 0.01133552 | 0.011493706 | 1.0139549 | 1.6E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.10734048 | 0.107724324 | 1.0035759 | 4.3E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.1170525E-4 | 2.1170525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.900265E-4 | 9.0699334E-4 | 9.2697516E-4 | 1.0220308 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047382377 | 0.010986965 | 0.011145208 | 1.0144027 | 1.6E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.104312755 | 0.1046979 | 1.0036923 | 4.3E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0342453E-4 | 2.0342453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.7152864E-4 | 8.915112E-4 | 1.0229282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045664064 | 0.0105594415 | 0.010717752 | 1.0149924 | 1.6E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.10062581 | 0.10101254 | 1.0038433 | 4.3E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.874265E-4 | 1.874265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4636928E-4 | 8.0300926E-4 | 8.229932E-4 | 1.0248864 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042088944 | 0.0097329235 | 0.009891367 | 1.0162791 | 1.6E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.0933429 | 0.0937237 | 1.0040796 | 4.2E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7679998E-4 | 1.7679998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.5749424E-4 | 7.774791E-4 | 1.0263828 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009183578 | 0.009342109 | 1.0172625 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.08859915 | 0.08898194 | 1.0043205 | 4.2E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6895439E-4 | 1.6895439E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.2388933E-4 | 7.438749E-4 | 1.0276085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008777808 | 0.008936404 | 1.0180678 | 1.6E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.08503886 | 0.085414 | 1.0044113 | 4.1E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.6178614E-4 | 1.6178614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.9318496E-4 | 7.0317806E-4 | 1.0144162 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003788775 | 0.00840693 | 0.008555669 | 1.0176924 | 1.5E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.08174139 | 0.08210869 | 1.0044935 | 4.0E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5745593E-4 | 1.5745593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.746366E-4 | 6.846299E-4 | 1.0148128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008182824 | 0.008331596 | 1.0181811 | 1.5E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.079721965 | 0.080090076 | 1.0046175 | 4.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4644366E-4 | 1.4644366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.274648E-4 | 6.3745846E-4 | 1.0159272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003495157 | 0.007612666 | 0.0077615245 | 1.019554 | 1.5E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07451612 | 0.074886315 | 1.0049679 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3510321E-4 | 1.3510321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.788853E-4 | 5.888795E-4 | 1.0172646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0070251836 | 0.00717413 | 1.0212017 | 1.5E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.069104746 | 0.0694771 | 1.0053883 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.965154E-5 | 9.965154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.2700814E-4 | 4.3700388E-4 | 1.0234088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0051864428 | 0.00530582 | 1.0230173 | 1.2E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.051771525 | 0.05204651 | 1.0053115 | 2.9E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.473172E-5 | 5.473172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.3454345E-4 | 2.445411E-4 | 1.042626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0028518292 | 0.002911658 | 1.0209792 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.029055262 | 0.029142648 | 1.0030075 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.9483738E-5 | 1.9483738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.349906E-5 | 8.349906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 0.0010161276 | 0.0010261175 | 1.0098313 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010826334 | 0.010836226 | 1.0009136 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.397963E-6 | 5.397963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.3133922E-5 | 2.3133922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.8161917E-4 | 2.8161917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0031738747 | 0.0031738747 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.100844E-7 | 8.100844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.226819E-5 | 4.226819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.972291E-4 | 4.972291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.211574E-5 | 2.211574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.477906E-5 | 1.2477623E-4 | 1.3164957 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011534594 | 0.0012833095 | 1.1125745 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.01148806 | 0.011942775 | 1.0395815 | 4.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.211574E-5 | 2.211574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.477906E-5 | 1.2477623E-4 | 1.3164957 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011534594 | 0.0012833095 | 1.1125745 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.01148806 | 0.011942775 | 1.0395815 | 4.6E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1265122E-5 | 1.1265122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8278496E-5 | 7.827705E-5 | 1.6213646 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.876843E-4 | 6.776314E-4 | 1.1530534 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0052028033 | 0.0058664153 | 0.0061348313 | 1.0457547 | 2.7E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0807457E-5 | 1.0807457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6317142E-5 | 7.631575E-5 | 1.6476784 | 3.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.638173E-4 | 6.537665E-4 | 1.1595362 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056289663 | 0.005877559 | 1.0441631 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0807457E-5 | 1.0807457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6317142E-5 | 7.631575E-5 | 1.6476784 | 3.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.638173E-4 | 6.537665E-4 | 1.1595362 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056289663 | 0.005877559 | 1.0441631 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.29111E-6 | 6.29111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6961772E-5 | 3.6961505E-5 | 1.3708855 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2823707E-4 | 3.8821736E-4 | 1.1827347 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032801635 | 0.003459573 | 1.0546954 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.518126E-6 | 5.518126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3649045E-5 | 3.364881E-5 | 1.4228401 | 1.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8791532E-4 | 3.4789805E-4 | 1.2083346 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028779965 | 0.003037536 | 1.0554342 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5198835E-6 | 4.5198835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.937093E-5 | 2.9370736E-5 | 1.5162275 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3584107E-4 | 2.8582927E-4 | 1.2119572 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023584107 | 0.0024980805 | 1.059222 | 1.4E-4 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.670487E-5 | 1.670487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.159046E-5 | 7.159046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7128894E-4 | 9.012628E-4 | 1.0344018 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008681112 | 0.009097465 | 1.0479609 | 4.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.670487E-5 | 1.670487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.159046E-5 | 7.159046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7128894E-4 | 9.012628E-4 | 1.0344018 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008681112 | 0.009097465 | 1.0479609 | 4.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.670487E-5 | 1.670487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.159046E-5 | 7.159046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7128894E-4 | 9.012628E-4 | 1.0344018 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008681112 | 0.009097465 | 1.0479609 | 4.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.189602E-5 | 1.189602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.098198E-5 | 5.098198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2053476E-4 | 6.2053476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006188629 | 0.0063774535 | 1.0305115 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.189602E-5 | 1.189602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.098198E-5 | 5.098198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2053476E-4 | 6.2053476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006188629 | 0.0063774535 | 1.0305115 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0626694E-5 | 1.0626694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.554221E-5 | 4.554221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5434025E-4 | 5.5434025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055300742 | 0.0056693 | 1.0251762 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.1654265E-6 | 9.1654265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.927983E-5 | 3.927983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.781309E-4 | 4.781309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0047714193 | 0.0048609897 | 1.0187724 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.412759E-6 | 8.412759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.60542E-5 | 3.60542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3887517E-4 | 4.3887517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003753043 | 0.004380454 | 0.0044601033 | 1.018183 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.847397E-6 | 7.847397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3631288E-5 | 3.3631288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0938758E-4 | 4.0938758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003487206 | 0.004086692 | 0.0041564056 | 1.0170587 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.135501E-6 | 7.135501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.058038E-5 | 3.058038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7225592E-4 | 3.7225592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031477278 | 0.003716662 | 0.0037565134 | 1.0107224 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.084305E-6 | 5.084305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1789707E-5 | 2.1789707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.6525892E-4 | 2.6525892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026495762 | 0.0026595497 | 1.0037642 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.6356604E-6 | 4.6356604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9866975E-5 | 1.9866975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4185509E-4 | 2.4185509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024160694 | 0.0024260452 | 1.0041289 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.1602652E-6 | 4.1602652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7829594E-5 | 1.7829594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.170552E-4 | 2.170552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021685802 | 0.0021785586 | 1.0046014 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6323804E-6 | 3.6323804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.556726E-5 | 1.556726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8951639E-4 | 1.8951639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018936931 | 0.0019036742 | 1.0052707 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8905931E-6 | 2.8905931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.23882055E-5 | 1.23882055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.508174E-4 | 1.508174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015072922 | 0.0015072922 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5145297E-6 | 1.5145297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.490832E-6 | 6.490832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.902427E-5 | 7.902427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.9008436E-4 | 7.9008436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6045777E-7 | 2.6045777E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162472E-6 | 1.1162472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590254E-5 | 1.3590254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3589705E-4 | 1.3589705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8791963E-5 | 1.8791963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.053516E-5 | 8.053516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.801921E-4 | 0.0010900842 | 1.1121129 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009770252 | 0.010136637 | 1.0375 | 3.7E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0981941E-5 | 1.0981941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7065016E-5 | 4.7065016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7293696E-4 | 6.329026E-4 | 1.1046636 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057215677 | 0.0059502516 | 1.0399687 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0981941E-5 | 1.0981941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7065016E-5 | 4.7065016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7293696E-4 | 6.329026E-4 | 1.1046636 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057215677 | 0.0059502516 | 1.0399687 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781444E-6 | 4.781444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0491872E-5 | 2.0491872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4948304E-4 | 2.8947307E-4 | 1.1602916 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024942914 | 0.0026239671 | 1.051989 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781444E-6 | 4.781444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0491872E-5 | 2.0491872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4948304E-4 | 2.8947307E-4 | 1.1602916 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024942914 | 0.0026239671 | 1.051989 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781444E-6 | 4.781444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0491872E-5 | 2.0491872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4948304E-4 | 2.8947307E-4 | 1.1602916 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024942914 | 0.0026239671 | 1.051989 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.7643002E-6 | 4.7643002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.04184E-5 | 2.04184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4858874E-4 | 2.8857877E-4 | 1.1608683 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.002485368 | 0.0026150448 | 1.0521761 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.274103E-6 | 4.274103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8317583E-5 | 1.8317583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2301658E-4 | 2.6300768E-4 | 1.1793189 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022301658 | 0.002359876 | 1.0581616 | 1.3E-4 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0274302E-4 | 3.0274302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012968512 | 0.0013168253 | 1.015402 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015679859 | 0.015797976 | 1.0075331 | 1.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14391795 | 0.14417477 | 1.0017846 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0274302E-4 | 3.0274302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012968512 | 0.0013168253 | 1.015402 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015679859 | 0.015797976 | 1.0075331 | 1.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14391795 | 0.14417477 | 1.0017846 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0274302E-4 | 3.0274302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012968512 | 0.0013168253 | 1.015402 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015679859 | 0.015797976 | 1.0075331 | 1.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14391795 | 0.14417477 | 1.0017846 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.906E-4 | 2.906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012448601 | 0.0012648351 | 1.016046 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.015055733 | 0.015173926 | 1.0078504 | 1.2E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13862881 | 0.13888721 | 1.0018641 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.906E-4 | 2.906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012448601 | 0.0012648351 | 1.016046 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.015055733 | 0.015173926 | 1.0078504 | 1.2E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13862881 | 0.13888721 | 1.0018641 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.70685E-4 | 2.70685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011595878 | 0.0011795646 | 1.0172275 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.01403125 | 0.014149566 | 1.0084324 | 1.2E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.12990399 | 0.13015632 | 1.0019424 | 2.9E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5309066E-4 | 2.5309066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010842473 | 0.0011042255 | 1.018426 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.013125215 | 0.013233771 | 1.0082709 | 1.1E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.12205168 | 0.1222975 | 1.0020142 | 2.8E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3375626E-4 | 2.3375626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7524657E-4 | 0.0010014503 | 0.0010214304 | 1.019951 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.012128618 | 0.012237283 | 1.0089594 | 1.1E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.11340168 | 0.11364993 | 1.002189 | 2.8E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2933695E-4 | 2.2933695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.825248E-4 | 0.0010025052 | 1.0203357 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.011900731 | 0.012009422 | 1.0091331 | 1.1E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.1114021 | 0.11165091 | 1.0022334 | 2.8E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7296214E-4 | 1.7296214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.4105663E-4 | 7.6104177E-4 | 1.0269685 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008985252 | 0.009074443 | 1.0099264 | 9.0E-5 | 0.031450346 | 0.08515664 | 0.0853945 | 1.0027932 | 2.6E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6722977E-4 | 1.6722977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.1650295E-4 | 7.364886E-4 | 1.0278933 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008688731 | 0.008777949 | 1.0102682 | 9.0E-5 | 0.03011414 | 0.08246965 | 0.08270821 | 1.0028927 | 2.6E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.6139173E-4 | 1.6139173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.9149624E-4 | 7.114824E-4 | 1.0289028 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008386653 | 0.008475899 | 1.0106413 | 9.0E-5 | 0.028868021 | 0.079765014 | 0.080004275 | 1.0029995 | 2.6E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4740821E-4 | 1.4740821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.315969E-4 | 6.5158424E-4 | 1.0316458 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.007662686 | 0.007742073 | 1.0103602 | 8.0E-5 | 0.025707912 | 0.07320168 | 0.07343338 | 1.0031652 | 2.5E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3930415E-4 | 1.3930415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.968815E-4 | 6.1686954E-4 | 1.0334874 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.007242907 | 0.0073223272 | 1.0109653 | 8.0E-5 | 0.024434982 | 0.06947398 | 0.06970662 | 1.0033485 | 2.5E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3334962E-4 | 1.3334962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.713735E-4 | 5.9136207E-4 | 1.0349834 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.0069343653 | 0.0070138103 | 1.0114567 | 8.0E-5 | 0.023491086 | 0.06671272 | 0.06693671 | 1.0033575 | 2.4E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.256596E-4 | 1.256596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.3843035E-4 | 5.4842496E-4 | 1.0185626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.0065357597 | 0.006605302 | 1.0106403 | 7.0E-5 | 0.022230545 | 0.06309762 | 0.06331311 | 1.0034151 | 2.3E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 1.00203324E-4 | 1.00203324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.2937224E-4 | 4.3936793E-4 | 1.0232798 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0052151033 | 0.0052847383 | 1.0133525 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017628696 | 0.050833944 | 0.051052254 | 1.0042945 | 2.3E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.417994E-5 | 8.417994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.6072134E-4 | 3.7071772E-4 | 1.0277122 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004382948 | 0.004452641 | 1.015901 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01466633 | 0.043022756 | 0.04324286 | 1.005116 | 2.3E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.620284E-5 | 7.620284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.2654277E-4 | 3.365395E-4 | 1.0306139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.003968417 | 0.0040381392 | 1.0175693 | 7.0E-5 | 0.013589768 | 0.039138146 | 0.039359145 | 1.0056466 | 2.3E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.917481E-5 | 5.917481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.5358167E-4 | 2.6357916E-4 | 1.039425 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030829895 | 0.0031428044 | 1.0194017 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011140184 | 0.03073917 | 0.030903945 | 1.0053604 | 1.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.20449E-5 | 3.20449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3732805E-4 | 1.4732669E-4 | 1.0728084 | 1.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016706879 | 0.001710621 | 1.0239022 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.016860247 | 0.016919235 | 1.0034987 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 8.083828E-6 | 8.083828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.4644516E-5 | 3.4644516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.217155E-4 | 4.217155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.004515599 | 0.004515599 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 3.0266087E-6 | 3.0266087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2971116E-5 | 1.2971116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5791194E-4 | 1.5791194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017678972 | 0.0017678972 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.3727702E-7 | 3.3727702E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.4454722E-6 | 1.4454722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.7598495E-5 | 1.7598495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.0792257E-4 | 2.0792257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8684987E-5 | 1.8684987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.00761E-5 | 8.00761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.744981E-4 | 0.0010644104 | 1.0922652 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009703103 | 0.010000193 | 1.030618 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8684987E-5 | 1.8684987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.00761E-5 | 8.00761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.744981E-4 | 0.0010644104 | 1.0922652 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009703103 | 0.010000193 | 1.030618 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8684987E-5 | 1.8684987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.00761E-5 | 8.00761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.744981E-4 | 0.0010644104 | 1.0922652 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009703103 | 0.010000193 | 1.030618 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8684987E-5 | 1.8684987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.00761E-5 | 8.00761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.744981E-4 | 0.0010644104 | 1.0922652 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009703103 | 0.010000193 | 1.030618 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7351882E-5 | 1.7351882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.436312E-5 | 7.436312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0500107E-4 | 9.849287E-4 | 1.0883176 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009013842 | 0.009271498 | 1.0285845 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7351882E-5 | 1.7351882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.436312E-5 | 7.436312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0500107E-4 | 9.849287E-4 | 1.0883176 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009013842 | 0.009271498 | 1.0285845 | 2.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.68224E-5 | 1.68224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.209404E-5 | 7.209404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.7739737E-4 | 9.5732714E-4 | 1.0910988 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00781795 | 0.008739989 | 0.008977892 | 1.02722 | 2.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6368926E-5 | 1.6368926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.015069E-5 | 7.015069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.537557E-4 | 9.23696E-4 | 1.0819206 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007607299 | 0.008505396 | 0.008723524 | 1.025646 | 2.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5894599E-5 | 1.5894599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.811796E-5 | 6.811796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.290263E-4 | 8.989682E-4 | 1.0843664 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007386771 | 0.008259952 | 0.0084583005 | 1.0240132 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5416783E-5 | 1.5416783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6070286E-5 | 6.6070286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0411433E-4 | 8.7405805E-4 | 1.0869823 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008012644 | 0.008201121 | 1.0235225 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5200188E-5 | 1.5200188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.514206E-5 | 6.514206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.928215E-4 | 8.5277396E-4 | 1.0756191 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.007900523 | 0.008079101 | 1.0226033 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.499322E-5 | 1.499322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.42551E-5 | 6.42551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.820306E-4 | 8.4198365E-4 | 1.0766634 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007793376 | 0.007962051 | 1.0216434 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.46912225E-5 | 1.46912225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.296089E-5 | 6.296089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.662847E-4 | 8.262388E-4 | 1.0782399 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.0076370095 | 0.007795788 | 1.0207906 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4465288E-5 | 1.4465288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.199264E-5 | 6.199264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.545045E-4 | 8.0446684E-4 | 1.0662186 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.0075200107 | 0.007668883 | 1.0197967 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4295148E-5 | 1.4295148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.126351E-5 | 6.126351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4563344E-4 | 7.9559616E-4 | 1.0670071 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0074318964 | 0.007580782 | 1.0200332 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4023206E-5 | 1.4023206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.00981E-5 | 6.00981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.314542E-4 | 7.714249E-4 | 1.0546455 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072910436 | 0.007430023 | 1.0190617 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2658266E-5 | 1.2658266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4248616E-5 | 5.4248616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.6028204E-4 | 6.9026224E-4 | 1.0454051 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.006583756 | 0.0067129 | 1.0196155 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02915765E-5 | 1.02915765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4106037E-5 | 4.4106037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3686375E-4 | 5.668476E-4 | 1.0558501 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.00535618 | 0.0054854834 | 1.0241411 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6496058E-7 | 3.6496058E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5641159E-6 | 1.5641159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.904295E-5 | 1.904295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9041362E-4 | 1.9041362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.670443E-9 | 2.670443E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444756E-8 | 1.1444756E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.393399E-7 | 1.393399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.393399E-6 | 1.393399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1720705E-5 | 2.1720705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.308582E-5 | 1.03084894E-4 | 1.1074177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011328028 | 0.0012227008 | 1.0793589 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011277471 | 0.011534539 | 1.0227948 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1720705E-5 | 2.1720705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.308582E-5 | 1.03084894E-4 | 1.1074177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011328028 | 0.0012227008 | 1.0793589 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011277471 | 0.011534539 | 1.0227948 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1720705E-5 | 2.1720705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.308582E-5 | 1.03084894E-4 | 1.1074177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011328028 | 0.0012227008 | 1.0793589 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011277471 | 0.011534539 | 1.0227948 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6831496E-5 | 1.6831496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2133334E-5 | 8.213262E-5 | 1.1386222 | 1.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7793084E-4 | 9.478694E-4 | 1.0796629 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008750678 | 0.008968753 | 1.024921 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6831496E-5 | 1.6831496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2133334E-5 | 8.213262E-5 | 1.1386222 | 1.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7793084E-4 | 9.478694E-4 | 1.0796629 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008750678 | 0.008968753 | 1.024921 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5568028E-5 | 1.5568028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.6718756E-5 | 7.671808E-5 | 1.1498729 | 1.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.1205845E-4 | 8.820016E-4 | 1.0861307 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008096862 | 0.00831508 | 1.0269511 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4781136E-5 | 1.4781136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.3346524E-5 | 7.3345895E-5 | 1.1578518 | 1.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7103113E-4 | 8.409771E-4 | 1.0907176 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.007689472 | 0.00790778 | 1.0283905 | 2.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4290944E-5 | 1.4290944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.12458E-5 | 7.124519E-5 | 1.1632665 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.454723E-4 | 8.154202E-4 | 1.0938302 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.007435601 | 0.0076539656 | 1.0293673 | 2.2E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.228285E-6 | 6.228285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6692547E-5 | 2.6692547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2496333E-4 | 3.4495682E-4 | 1.0615255 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029673933 | 0.003247826 | 0.0032976635 | 1.0153449 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7960334E-6 | 4.7960334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.055443E-5 | 2.055443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.502502E-4 | 2.702452E-4 | 1.0799 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025025017 | 0.0025424017 | 1.015944 | 4.0E-5 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8109395E-5 | 1.8109395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7609504E-5 | 7.7609504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4450684E-4 | 9.744785E-4 | 1.0317326 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009407047 | 0.009605166 | 1.0210607 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8109395E-5 | 1.8109395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7609504E-5 | 7.7609504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4450684E-4 | 9.744785E-4 | 1.0317326 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009407047 | 0.009605166 | 1.0210607 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8109395E-5 | 1.8109395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7609504E-5 | 7.7609504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4450684E-4 | 9.744785E-4 | 1.0317326 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009407047 | 0.009605166 | 1.0210607 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1138684E-5 | 1.1138684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.773636E-5 | 4.773636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.81038E-4 | 6.010264E-4 | 1.0344012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005795485 | 0.0059247315 | 1.0223012 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1138684E-5 | 1.1138684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.773636E-5 | 4.773636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.81038E-4 | 6.010264E-4 | 1.0344012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005795485 | 0.0059247315 | 1.0223012 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.172853E-6 | 9.172853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9311646E-5 | 3.9311646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7851572E-4 | 4.985061E-4 | 1.041776 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004775018 | 0.0048844926 | 1.0229266 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.717763E-6 | 7.717763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.3075714E-5 | 3.3075714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.026234E-4 | 4.1261938E-4 | 1.0248271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.0040190467 | 0.004108685 | 1.0223033 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.7399733E-6 | 6.7399733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8885284E-5 | 2.8885284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5162235E-4 | 3.5162235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033650869 | 0.003510742 | 0.0035605663 | 1.014192 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.837655E-6 | 5.837655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5018286E-5 | 2.5018286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.0455564E-4 | 3.0455564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003041444 | 0.0030912922 | 1.0163896 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.0409058E-6 | 5.0409058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1603706E-5 | 2.1603706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6299385E-4 | 2.6299385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026268736 | 0.0026667686 | 1.0151873 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.846263E-6 | 3.846263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6483882E-5 | 1.6483882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0067308E-4 | 2.0067308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0020049503 | 0.0020249102 | 1.0099553 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8986328E-6 | 2.8986328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2422654E-5 | 1.2422654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5123554E-4 | 1.5123554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015113477 | 0.0015213325 | 1.0066066 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2546167E-6 | 2.2546167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.662608E-6 | 9.662608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1763608E-4 | 1.1763608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011757563 | 0.0011857447 | 1.0084952 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5426267E-6 | 1.5426267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6112416E-6 | 6.6112416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.0489044E-5 | 8.0489044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.0461404E-4 | 8.1460597E-4 | 1.0124183 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4121222E-7 | 4.4121222E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8909085E-6 | 1.8909085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3021614E-5 | 2.3021614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.301968E-4 | 2.301968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9432907E-8 | 5.9432907E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5471243E-7 | 2.5471243E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1011202E-6 | 3.1011202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1010848E-5 | 3.1010848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.979455E-6 | 6.979455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.991181E-5 | 2.991181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.641513E-4 | 4.141331E-4 | 1.1372555 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036390643 | 0.003798482 | 1.0438074 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.979455E-6 | 6.979455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.991181E-5 | 2.991181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.641513E-4 | 4.141331E-4 | 1.1372555 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036390643 | 0.003798482 | 1.0438074 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.979455E-6 | 6.979455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.991181E-5 | 2.991181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.641513E-4 | 4.141331E-4 | 1.1372555 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036390643 | 0.003798482 | 1.0438074 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.979455E-6 | 6.979455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.991181E-5 | 2.991181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.641513E-4 | 4.141331E-4 | 1.1372555 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036390643 | 0.003798482 | 1.0438074 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.979455E-6 | 6.979455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.991181E-5 | 2.991181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.641513E-4 | 4.141331E-4 | 1.1372555 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036390643 | 0.003798482 | 1.0438074 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.979455E-6 | 6.979455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.991181E-5 | 2.991181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.641513E-4 | 4.141331E-4 | 1.1372555 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036390643 | 0.003798482 | 1.0438074 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6162674E-6 | 1.6162674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9268417E-6 | 6.9268417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.433107E-5 | 1.1432854E-4 | 1.3557107 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013833415 | 8.4299414E-4 | 9.4290986E-4 | 1.1185248 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5515877E-6 | 1.5515877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.649645E-6 | 6.649645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.0956444E-5 | 1.1095402E-4 | 1.3705397 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013506424 | 8.092725E-4 | 9.091916E-4 | 1.1234678 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5483816E-6 | 1.5483816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.635905E-6 | 6.635905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.078917E-5 | 1.1078675E-4 | 1.3713069 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013481114 | 8.07601E-4 | 9.0752024E-4 | 1.1237235 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4234254E-6 | 1.4234254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.1003802E-6 | 6.1003802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.426962E-5 | 1.0426739E-4 | 1.4039037 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012818627 | 7.4244995E-4 | 8.423757E-4 | 1.1345892 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.400375E-6 | 1.400375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 6.0015936E-6 | 6.0015936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.306697E-5 | 1.03064776E-4 | 1.4105523 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012692984 | 7.304314E-4 | 8.3035836E-4 | 1.1368054 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3352873E-6 | 1.3352873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.722647E-6 | 5.722647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.967102E-5 | 9.966893E-5 | 1.4305651 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012333926 | 6.9649343E-4 | 7.964238E-4 | 1.1434764 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2515465E-6 | 1.2515465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.3637596E-6 | 5.3637596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.530183E-5 | 9.5299874E-5 | 1.4593751 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011848784 | 6.528279E-4 | 7.4276916E-4 | 1.1377717 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1431872E-6 | 1.1431872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.8993647E-6 | 4.8993647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9648144E-5 | 8.964635E-5 | 1.5029194 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001115068 | 5.963225E-4 | 6.8626885E-4 | 1.150835 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.586702E-7 | 9.586702E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.10858E-6 | 4.10858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9385186E-5 | 5.002082E-5 | 8.0019316E-5 | 1.5997202 | 3.0E-5 | 9.934074E-4 | 5.000963E-4 | 5.800563E-4 | 1.1598892 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.569713E-7 | 7.569713E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2441587E-6 | 3.2441587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.949692E-5 | 6.9495734E-5 | 1.7595229 | 3.0E-5 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9489949E-4 | 4.6487185E-4 | 1.1771903 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6664996E-7 | 4.6664996E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9999268E-6 | 1.9999268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.434884E-5 | 4.4348355E-5 | 1.8213744 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4346198E-4 | 2.7345467E-4 | 1.1231925 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5614506E-7 | 1.5614506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6919296E-7 | 6.6919296E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.1473945E-6 | 8.1473945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.147107E-5 | 9.147026E-5 | 1.122733 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0511168E-4 | 2.0511168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7875495E-4 | 8.7875495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.0106466515 | 0.010706013 | 1.0055755 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10332472 | 0.10348612 | 1.0015621 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0511168E-4 | 2.0511168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7875495E-4 | 8.7875495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.0106466515 | 0.010706013 | 1.0055755 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10332472 | 0.10348612 | 1.0015621 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0511168E-4 | 2.0511168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7875495E-4 | 8.7875495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.0106466515 | 0.010706013 | 1.0055755 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10332472 | 0.10348612 | 1.0015621 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0511168E-4 | 2.0511168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7875495E-4 | 8.7875495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.0106466515 | 0.010706013 | 1.0055755 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10332472 | 0.10348612 | 1.0015621 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8859812E-4 | 1.8859812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.080275E-4 | 8.080275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047704205 | 0.0097934855 | 0.009852897 | 1.0060666 | 6.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.0956559 | 0.095773466 | 1.001229 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8859812E-4 | 1.8859812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.080275E-4 | 8.080275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047704205 | 0.0097934855 | 0.009852897 | 1.0060666 | 6.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.0956559 | 0.095773466 | 1.001229 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.866585E-4 | 1.866585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.9971994E-4 | 7.9971994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009693243 | 0.009742758 | 1.0051082 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.09474329 | 0.094851926 | 1.0011466 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8579827E-4 | 1.8579827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.960355E-4 | 7.960355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00467679 | 0.009648782 | 0.0096983 | 1.005132 | 5.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.0943367 | 0.094436325 | 1.0010561 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8526208E-4 | 1.8526208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.9373893E-4 | 7.9373893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004657841 | 0.009621069 | 0.009670587 | 1.005147 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.09408225 | 0.0941819 | 1.0010592 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.8407495E-4 | 1.8407495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.886543E-4 | 7.886543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004611638 | 0.009559708 | 0.00960923 | 1.0051802 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.09352024 | 0.09361089 | 1.0009693 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.8245235E-4 | 1.8245235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.817045E-4 | 7.817045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004551957 | 0.009475833 | 0.009515454 | 1.0041813 | 4.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.0927512 | 0.09283285 | 1.0008804 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.8156519E-4 | 1.8156519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.779047E-4 | 7.779047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009429972 | 0.009469595 | 1.0042018 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.0923309 | 0.09241259 | 1.0008848 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.8046472E-4 | 1.8046472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.731912E-4 | 7.731912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044808835 | 0.00937308 | 0.009412705 | 1.0042275 | 4.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.091809005 | 0.091890745 | 1.0008903 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7987688E-4 | 1.7987688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.706734E-4 | 7.706734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009342688 | 0.009382315 | 1.0042415 | 4.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.091527194 | 0.09160896 | 1.0008934 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.794977E-4 | 1.794977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.690493E-4 | 7.690493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004447999 | 0.009323085 | 0.009362712 | 1.0042504 | 4.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.09134549 | 0.09141818 | 1.0007958 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7817337E-4 | 1.7817337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.633769E-4 | 7.633769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009254612 | 0.009294243 | 1.0042821 | 4.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.09071775 | 0.09079049 | 1.0008018 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.7255738E-4 | 1.7255738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.393222E-4 | 7.393222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008964193 | 0.009003835 | 1.0044222 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.08807034 | 0.0881433 | 1.0008284 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4579951E-4 | 1.4579951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.2470546E-4 | 6.2470546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036482112 | 0.007579308 | 0.0076190047 | 1.0052376 | 4.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.0752103 | 0.07527504 | 1.0008607 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.3308012E-4 | 1.3308012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.702188E-4 | 5.702188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0069203465 | 0.0069600698 | 1.00574 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.06879301 | 0.0688582 | 1.0009476 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.5861935E-5 | 9.5861935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.1077216E-4 | 4.1077216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025743195 | 0.004989693 | 0.005019543 | 1.0059824 | 3.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.05005961 | 0.050116606 | 1.0011386 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.3695574E-5 | 5.3695574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.301036E-4 | 2.301036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027979142 | 0.0028178582 | 1.0071282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.028642297 | 0.028661724 | 1.0006783 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9878482E-5 | 1.9878482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.519072E-5 | 8.519072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0010367042 | 0.0010466938 | 1.0096359 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.0111192865 | 0.011129175 | 1.0008893 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7399284E-6 | 5.7399284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4599462E-5 | 2.4599462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9945737E-4 | 2.9945737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033936372 | 0.0033936372 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.100844E-7 | 8.100844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.226819E-5 | 4.226819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.972291E-4 | 4.972291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2518358E-5 | 2.2518358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.650372E-5 | 9.650372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001046937 | 0.001174307 | 0.0012242482 | 1.0425283 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681932 | 0.011849946 | 1.0143824 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2518358E-5 | 2.2518358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.650372E-5 | 9.650372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001046937 | 0.001174307 | 0.0012242482 | 1.0425283 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681932 | 0.011849946 | 1.0143824 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2518358E-5 | 2.2518358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.650372E-5 | 9.650372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001046937 | 0.001174307 | 0.0012242482 | 1.0425283 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681932 | 0.011849946 | 1.0143824 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1354166E-5 | 2.1354166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.151468E-5 | 9.151468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011136285 | 0.001153584 | 1.0358787 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011081305 | 0.011239532 | 1.0142788 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1354166E-5 | 2.1354166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.151468E-5 | 9.151468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011136285 | 0.001153584 | 1.0358787 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011081305 | 0.011239532 | 1.0142788 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0577525E-5 | 2.0577525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.818645E-5 | 8.818645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010731478 | 0.0011131049 | 1.0372335 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010680443 | 0.010838734 | 1.0148207 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9926856E-5 | 1.9926856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.539805E-5 | 8.539805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010392318 | 0.0010791902 | 1.03845 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.010344479 | 0.010502824 | 1.0153072 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9058607E-5 | 1.9058607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.1677215E-5 | 8.1677215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.939726E-4 | 0.0010339329 | 1.0402025 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.00989599 | 0.010054406 | 1.0160081 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8527344E-5 | 1.8527344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.9400525E-5 | 7.9400525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.662788E-4 | 0.0010062401 | 1.041356 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.009621478 | 0.0097799385 | 1.0164695 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8102133E-5 | 1.8102133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.75783E-5 | 7.75783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.441126E-4 | 9.840749E-4 | 1.0423279 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009401712 | 0.009560208 | 1.0168582 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7819928E-5 | 1.7819928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.6368924E-5 | 7.6368924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.294011E-4 | 9.693639E-4 | 1.0429984 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.009255832 | 0.009414352 | 1.0171264 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7497656E-5 | 1.7497656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.498784E-5 | 7.498784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.126006E-4 | 9.5256406E-4 | 1.0437908 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.009089213 | 0.009247758 | 1.0174433 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7184524E-5 | 1.7184524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.364591E-5 | 7.364591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.962762E-4 | 9.3624037E-4 | 1.044589 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008927292 | 0.009085864 | 1.0177625 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6315586E-5 | 1.6315586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.99221E-5 | 6.99221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.5097493E-4 | 8.909409E-4 | 1.0469649 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008477809 | 0.008616622 | 1.0163738 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5820671E-5 | 1.5820671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.780114E-5 | 6.780114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.251721E-4 | 8.651391E-4 | 1.0484347 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008221717 | 0.008360566 | 1.016888 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5138491E-5 | 1.5138491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.487767E-5 | 6.487767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.8960514E-4 | 8.1958144E-4 | 1.0379636 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007868622 | 0.007997599 | 1.0163913 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.263644E-5 | 1.263644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.415508E-5 | 5.415508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.5914396E-4 | 6.8912416E-4 | 1.0454836 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.006572442 | 0.0067015877 | 1.0196495 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02915765E-5 | 1.02915765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4106037E-5 | 4.4106037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3686375E-4 | 5.668476E-4 | 1.0558501 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.00535618 | 0.0054854834 | 1.0241411 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6496058E-7 | 3.6496058E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5641159E-6 | 1.5641159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.904295E-5 | 1.904295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9041362E-4 | 1.9041362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.670443E-9 | 2.670443E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444756E-8 | 1.1444756E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.393399E-7 | 1.393399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.393399E-6 | 1.393399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.945629E-4 | 2.945629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.00126192 | 0.00126192 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015277376 | 0.015346306 | 1.004512 | 7.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14008172 | 0.1401935 | 1.000798 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.945629E-4 | 2.945629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.00126192 | 0.00126192 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015277376 | 0.015346306 | 1.004512 | 7.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14008172 | 0.1401935 | 1.000798 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.945629E-4 | 2.945629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.00126192 | 0.00126192 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015277376 | 0.015346306 | 1.004512 | 7.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14008172 | 0.1401935 | 1.000798 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7752429E-4 | 1.7752429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.607139E-4 | 7.607139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009243164 | 0.00930261 | 1.0064313 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08720605 | 0.0872882 | 1.000942 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7752429E-4 | 1.7752429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.607139E-4 | 7.607139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009243164 | 0.00930261 | 1.0064313 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08720605 | 0.0872882 | 1.000942 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6514644E-5 | 4.6514644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9933529E-4 | 1.9933529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.002424568 | 0.0024544953 | 1.0123433 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.02383452 | 0.023883328 | 1.0020478 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6225784E-5 | 2.6225784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1239163E-4 | 1.1239163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.001367554 | 0.0013975129 | 1.021907 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.013606459 | 0.013645914 | 1.0028998 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2135499E-5 | 2.2135499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.486318E-5 | 9.486318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011543839 | 0.0011843492 | 1.025958 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.011499633 | 0.011539172 | 1.0034384 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4476357E-5 | 1.4476357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.204008E-5 | 6.204008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.550814E-4 | 7.850588E-4 | 1.0397009 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008652439 | 0.007530745 | 0.007560519 | 1.0039537 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2365332E-5 | 1.2365332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2993222E-5 | 5.2993222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.450046E-4 | 6.749853E-4 | 1.0464813 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007818509 | 0.006435838 | 0.006465645 | 1.0046314 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.148249E-5 | 1.148249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9209757E-5 | 4.9209757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.98967E-4 | 6.289491E-4 | 1.0500562 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059778052 | 0.006007626 | 1.0049886 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0273251E-5 | 1.0273251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.402749E-5 | 4.402749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.359054E-4 | 5.658893E-4 | 1.05595 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053496566 | 0.005379496 | 1.0055778 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.529374E-6 | 8.529374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6553956E-5 | 3.6553956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4495522E-4 | 4.6494632E-4 | 1.0449283 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006032603 | 0.0044421135 | 0.0044620247 | 1.0044824 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.259671E-6 | 7.259671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.111251E-5 | 3.111251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.7873044E-4 | 3.8872665E-4 | 1.026394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005282581 | 0.0037812393 | 0.0037912014 | 1.0026346 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.3684365E-6 | 6.3684365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7293021E-5 | 2.7293021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3224325E-4 | 3.3224325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033176148 | 0.0033176148 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.238733E-6 | 5.238733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2451528E-5 | 2.2451528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.733143E-4 | 2.733143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027299074 | 0.0027299074 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.699159E-6 | 4.699159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0139103E-5 | 2.0139103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4516718E-4 | 2.4516718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024490838 | 0.0024490838 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3361129E-6 | 2.3361129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 1.0011878E-5 | 1.0011878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2188854E-4 | 1.2188854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012182903 | 0.0012182903 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.4087454E-8 | 9.4087454E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.032319E-7 | 4.032319E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9093405E-6 | 4.9093405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.909265E-5 | 4.909265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4459755E-9 | 3.4459755E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4768467E-8 | 1.4768467E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7980608E-7 | 1.7980608E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7980595E-6 | 1.7980595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3616083E-4 | 2.3616083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010117227 | 0.0010217126 | 1.0098741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0122480905 | 0.01232711 | 1.0064516 | 8.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.113533124 | 0.113666095 | 1.0011712 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3616083E-4 | 2.3616083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010117227 | 0.0010217126 | 1.0098741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0122480905 | 0.01232711 | 1.0064516 | 8.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.113533124 | 0.113666095 | 1.0011712 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3616083E-4 | 2.3616083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010117227 | 0.0010217126 | 1.0098741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0122480905 | 0.01232711 | 1.0064516 | 8.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.113533124 | 0.113666095 | 1.0011712 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3616083E-4 | 2.3616083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010117227 | 0.0010217126 | 1.0098741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0122480905 | 0.01232711 | 1.0064516 | 8.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.113533124 | 0.113666095 | 1.0011712 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3172388E-4 | 2.3172388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.927269E-4 | 0.001002717 | 1.0100633 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.012019717 | 0.012098756 | 1.0065757 | 8.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11151143 | 0.11164471 | 1.0011952 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3172388E-4 | 2.3172388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.927269E-4 | 0.001002717 | 1.0100633 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.012019717 | 0.012098756 | 1.0065757 | 8.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11151143 | 0.11164471 | 1.0011952 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2415296E-4 | 2.2415296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.603042E-4 | 9.702946E-4 | 1.0104034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011629584 | 0.01169877 | 1.0059491 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03897764 | 0.10804431 | 0.108160265 | 1.0010732 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.2090669E-4 | 2.2090669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.4640173E-4 | 9.5639226E-4 | 1.0105563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038750346 | 0.01146211 | 0.011531308 | 1.0060371 | 7.0E-5 | 0.038081564 | 0.10655223 | 0.10666838 | 1.00109 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1937223E-4 | 2.1937223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.3983026E-4 | 9.4982085E-4 | 1.0106302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011382944 | 0.011452147 | 1.0060796 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03774495 | 0.105852 | 0.10596824 | 1.0010982 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1705564E-4 | 2.1705564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.299091E-4 | 9.398998E-4 | 1.0107437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003789323 | 0.011263409 | 0.011332621 | 1.0061448 | 7.0E-5 | 0.037253562 | 0.104798205 | 0.10491458 | 1.0011104 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1288641E-4 | 2.1288641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.120536E-4 | 9.220445E-4 | 1.0109543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003699303 | 0.0110482415 | 0.011117468 | 1.0062659 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03638325 | 0.10289849 | 0.10301512 | 1.0011333 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.1123595E-4 | 2.1123595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0118722E-4 | 9.049851E-4 | 9.1497606E-4 | 1.0110399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036607897 | 0.0109630525 | 0.011032285 | 1.0063151 | 7.0E-5 | 0.036010686 | 0.102139525 | 0.10225625 | 1.0011427 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0730447E-4 | 2.0730447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.8814745E-4 | 8.981386E-4 | 1.0112494 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003567883 | 0.010760094 | 0.010829341 | 1.0064355 | 7.0E-5 | 0.035111405 | 0.100329176 | 0.10044613 | 1.0011657 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9954653E-4 | 1.9954653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.5492135E-4 | 8.6491276E-4 | 1.011687 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010359482 | 0.0104287565 | 1.006687 | 7.0E-5 | 0.033966612 | 0.09681574 | 0.096933156 | 1.0012127 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.488003E-4 | 1.488003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.375607E-4 | 6.475543E-4 | 1.0156748 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002660276 | 0.007734871 | 0.0078043295 | 1.0089799 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02628654 | 0.073685475 | 0.0738059 | 1.0016342 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.12962516E-4 | 1.12962516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.8403555E-4 | 4.940307E-4 | 1.0206497 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0058772806 | 0.005936928 | 1.0101488 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020299247 | 0.056741193 | 0.056854382 | 1.0019948 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.6361324E-5 | 8.6361324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.7006757E-4 | 3.8006387E-4 | 1.0270121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015564259 | 0.004496291 | 0.004556021 | 1.0132843 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0154556995 | 0.04382107 | 0.043935813 | 1.0026184 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.474687E-5 | 6.474687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.774571E-4 | 2.874543E-4 | 1.0360316 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033728133 | 0.003432611 | 1.0177293 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010967582 | 0.033127747 | 0.03324377 | 1.0035024 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.6747245E-5 | 5.6747245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.4317982E-4 | 2.531774E-4 | 1.0411118 | 1.0E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.002956698 | 0.0030165205 | 1.0202329 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.02919351 | 0.029310007 | 1.0039905 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.2553987E-5 | 4.2553987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.8236149E-4 | 1.9235966E-4 | 1.0548261 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0022179917 | 0.0022678808 | 1.0224929 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.022169221 | 0.022267004 | 1.0044107 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.0646483E-5 | 3.0646483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.3133546E-4 | 1.4133415E-4 | 1.0761309 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015978374 | 0.0016377735 | 1.0249938 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.016084157 | 0.016143192 | 1.0036703 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.606915E-6 | 7.606915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.2600656E-5 | 3.2600656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.9684086E-4 | 3.9684086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0042347508 | 0.0042347508 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.842727E-6 | 2.842727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.2183059E-5 | 1.2183059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.483187E-4 | 1.483187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0016553268 | 0.0016553268 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.3211748E-7 | 3.3211748E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.42336E-6 | 1.42336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.7329283E-5 | 1.7329283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 2.0471076E-4 | 2.0471076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 8.2741457E-4 | 8.2741457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0035418821 | 0.0035518468 | 1.0028133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.04249177 | 0.042510923 | 1.0004507 | 2.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.34442514 | 0.34450382 | 1.0002284 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.1675168E-4 | 3.1675168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013569115 | 0.0013569115 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0099994885 | 0.01646264 | 0.016472477 | 1.0005975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.15306525 | 0.15311606 | 1.000332 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8635635E-4 | 1.8635635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.9842686E-4 | 7.9842686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009677751 | 0.009687655 | 1.0010233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09353965 | 0.09358497 | 1.0004846 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.8330537E-4 | 1.8330537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.853592E-4 | 7.853592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009520058 | 0.009529962 | 1.0010405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09218919 | 0.09223458 | 1.0004923 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.8090096E-4 | 1.8090096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.750607E-4 | 7.750607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009395757 | 0.009405663 | 1.0010543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.091084465 | 0.09112991 | 1.0004989 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.784588E-4 | 1.784588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.646004E-4 | 7.646004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009269493 | 0.0092794 | 1.0010688 | 1.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08996053 | 0.09000603 | 1.0005058 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7522063E-4 | 1.7522063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.507306E-4 | 7.507306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045870654 | 0.009102064 | 0.009111973 | 1.0010886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.088475116 | 0.08852069 | 1.0005151 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7388066E-4 | 1.7388066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.449912E-4 | 7.449912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045492216 | 0.009032811 | 0.00904272 | 1.0010971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.087872915 | 0.08791852 | 1.000519 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.7332697E-4 | 1.7332697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.426196E-4 | 7.426196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045347405 | 0.009004184 | 0.009014094 | 1.0011005 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.08761742 | 0.08766304 | 1.0005207 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.7272886E-4 | 1.7272886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.4005773E-4 | 7.4005773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045191357 | 0.00897325 | 0.00898316 | 1.0011045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.0873408 | 0.08738644 | 1.0005225 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.7022651E-4 | 1.7022651E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.293394E-4 | 7.293394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004455241 | 0.008843821 | 0.008853733 | 1.0011207 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.08617837 | 0.086224064 | 1.0005302 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5489633E-4 | 1.5489633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.636733E-4 | 6.636733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040752706 | 0.008050464 | 0.008060384 | 1.0012321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.07905063 | 0.079096675 | 1.0005825 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.5224118E-4 | 1.5224118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.522998E-4 | 6.522998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004005129 | 0.007913006 | 0.007922926 | 1.0012537 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07781495 | 0.07786106 | 1.0005926 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4916142E-4 | 1.4916142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.391074E-4 | 6.391074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003934157 | 0.007753541 | 0.0077634635 | 1.0012797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.0763604 | 0.07639734 | 1.0004839 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4612367E-4 | 1.4612367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.260947E-4 | 6.260947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003865065 | 0.007596227 | 0.007606151 | 1.0013064 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.07491715 | 0.07495416 | 1.0004939 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1492167E-4 | 1.1492167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.924286E-4 | 4.924286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005978871 | 0.005988811 | 1.0016626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.05993851 | 0.05996671 | 1.0004705 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.1318092E-4 | 1.1318092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.8497104E-4 | 4.8497104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0058885696 | 0.005898511 | 1.0016882 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.05908881 | 0.059117038 | 1.0004777 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.443234E-5 | 9.443234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 4.046473E-4 | 4.046473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002691582 | 0.004915463 | 0.0049254135 | 1.0020244 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.04978977 | 0.049818277 | 1.0005726 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.806966E-5 | 8.806966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.7738684E-4 | 3.7738684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0045850137 | 0.0045949677 | 1.002171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.04646153 | 0.046490137 | 1.0006157 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.943464E-5 | 6.943464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.975431E-4 | 2.975431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.0036165738 | 0.0036265377 | 1.002755 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.036804948 | 0.036833845 | 1.0007851 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.1931347E-5 | 4.1931347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7969341E-4 | 1.7969341E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021855733 | 0.0021855733 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015009012 | 0.022625843 | 0.022625843 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.9375459E-5 | 1.9375459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.303504E-5 | 8.303504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 0.0010104834 | 0.0010104834 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010852252 | 0.010852252 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7399284E-6 | 5.7399284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4599462E-5 | 2.4599462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9945737E-4 | 2.9945737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033936372 | 0.0033936372 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.100844E-7 | 8.100844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.226819E-5 | 4.226819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.972291E-4 | 4.972291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4814773E-4 | 2.4814773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010630585 | 0.0010630585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012866433 | 0.012905918 | 1.0030689 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.122645795 | 0.1227423 | 1.0007869 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4814773E-4 | 2.4814773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010630585 | 0.0010630585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012866433 | 0.012905918 | 1.0030689 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.122645795 | 0.1227423 | 1.0007869 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4814773E-4 | 2.4814773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010630585 | 0.0010630585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012866433 | 0.012905918 | 1.0030689 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.122645795 | 0.1227423 | 1.0007869 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4814773E-4 | 2.4814773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010630585 | 0.0010630585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012866433 | 0.012905918 | 1.0030689 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.122645795 | 0.1227423 | 1.0007869 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4814773E-4 | 2.4814773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010630585 | 0.0010630585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012866433 | 0.012905918 | 1.0030689 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.122645795 | 0.1227423 | 1.0007869 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4132636E-4 | 2.4132636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010338475 | 0.0010338475 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012514915 | 0.012554415 | 1.0031562 | 4.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11961396 | 0.1197108 | 1.0008097 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4132636E-4 | 2.4132636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010338475 | 0.0010338475 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012514915 | 0.012554415 | 1.0031562 | 4.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11961396 | 0.1197108 | 1.0008097 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3822876E-4 | 2.3822876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010205825 | 0.0010205825 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012355254 | 0.01239476 | 1.0031974 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11823708 | 0.11833407 | 1.0008203 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3724465E-4 | 2.3724465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 0.001016368 | 0.001016368 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777263 | 0.012304525 | 0.0123440325 | 1.0032108 | 4.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.117795624 | 0.11789267 | 1.0008239 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3616209E-4 | 2.3616209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 0.0010117322 | 0.0010117322 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012248718 | 0.012288229 | 1.0032257 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.11730961 | 0.1174067 | 1.0008277 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3516461E-4 | 2.3516461E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 0.0010074605 | 0.0010074605 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057263062 | 0.012197295 | 0.0122368075 | 1.0032394 | 4.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.11685992 | 0.11695706 | 1.0008312 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.2017151E-4 | 2.2017151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.43252E-4 | 9.43252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011423953 | 0.011463496 | 1.0034614 | 4.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.11010052 | 0.11019841 | 1.0008891 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.1421308E-4 | 2.1421308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.1773405E-4 | 9.1773405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052187922 | 0.011116481 | 0.011156037 | 1.0035583 | 4.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.10739701 | 0.107495196 | 1.0009142 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0889944E-4 | 2.0889944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.949771E-4 | 8.949771E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005109493 | 0.010842206 | 0.010881772 | 1.0036492 | 4.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.10495849 | 0.10504799 | 1.0008527 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 2.0250915E-4 | 2.0250915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.6760864E-4 | 8.6760864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049778637 | 0.0105122505 | 0.01055183 | 1.0037651 | 4.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10202413 | 0.102113925 | 1.0008801 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6516565E-4 | 1.6516565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 7.076609E-4 | 7.076609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008581823 | 0.008621479 | 1.004621 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.08459564 | 0.084668875 | 1.0008657 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.6164832E-4 | 1.6164832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.9259474E-4 | 6.9259474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041122385 | 0.00839982 | 0.008439484 | 1.004722 | 4.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.08291964 | 0.08299301 | 1.0008848 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3636098E-4 | 1.3636098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.8427337E-4 | 5.8427337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003493839 | 0.007090362 | 0.007130078 | 1.0056014 | 4.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.070682146 | 0.0707472 | 1.0009203 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2523658E-4 | 1.2523658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.366178E-4 | 5.366178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032027436 | 0.006513778 | 0.0065535177 | 1.0061008 | 4.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06500521 | 0.06507066 | 1.0010068 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 9.116514E-5 | 9.116514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.9064922E-4 | 3.9064922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0047457907 | 0.0047756485 | 1.0062914 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.04773909 | 0.047796227 | 1.0011969 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.3606596E-5 | 5.3606596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2972234E-4 | 2.2972234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0027932841 | 0.0028132282 | 1.00714 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.028601978 | 0.028621405 | 1.0006793 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9891502E-5 | 1.9891502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.524652E-5 | 8.524652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010373829 | 0.0010473725 | 1.0096296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.011128205 | 0.011138094 | 1.0008886 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7399284E-6 | 5.7399284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4599462E-5 | 2.4599462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9945737E-4 | 2.9945737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033936372 | 0.0033936372 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.100844E-7 | 8.100844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.226819E-5 | 4.226819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.972291E-4 | 4.972291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.733583E-5 | 4.733583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0285373E-4 | 2.0285373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002467204 | 0.0024971298 | 1.0121295 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024423864 | 0.024531178 | 1.0043938 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.733583E-5 | 4.733583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0285373E-4 | 2.0285373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002467204 | 0.0024971298 | 1.0121295 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024423864 | 0.024531178 | 1.0043938 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.733583E-5 | 4.733583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0285373E-4 | 2.0285373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002467204 | 0.0024971298 | 1.0121295 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024423864 | 0.024531178 | 1.0043938 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.365195E-5 | 3.365195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.442151E-4 | 1.442151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017544737 | 0.001784421 | 1.0170691 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.01741339 | 0.017521476 | 1.006207 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.365195E-5 | 3.365195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.442151E-4 | 1.442151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017544737 | 0.001784421 | 1.0170691 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.01741339 | 0.017521476 | 1.006207 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8640565E-5 | 2.8640565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2273976E-4 | 1.2273976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014933788 | 0.0015233341 | 1.0200586 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014838327 | 0.0149466945 | 1.0073032 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4686424E-5 | 2.4686424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.0579486E-4 | 1.0579486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012873244 | 0.0013172857 | 1.0232742 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.0128021045 | 0.012910697 | 1.0084823 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.180294E-5 | 2.180294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.343797E-5 | 9.343797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011370393 | 0.0011670052 | 1.0263543 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011314883 | 0.011423638 | 1.0096117 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.903623E-5 | 1.903623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.1581384E-5 | 8.1581384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.928177E-4 | 0.0010227879 | 1.030187 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009885584 | 0.009994497 | 1.0110173 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6403857E-5 | 1.6403857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.03004E-5 | 7.03004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.555801E-4 | 8.855544E-4 | 1.035034 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008523795 | 0.008632857 | 1.0127951 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4550011E-5 | 1.4550011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.2355735E-5 | 6.2355735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.589224E-4 | 7.8889966E-4 | 1.0394998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.0075639253 | 0.007673093 | 1.0144327 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4089753E-5 | 1.4089753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.038329E-5 | 6.038329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.3492416E-4 | 7.649021E-4 | 1.0407906 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.007325532 | 0.007434726 | 1.0149059 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4027164E-5 | 1.4027164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0115064E-5 | 6.0115064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.3166075E-4 | 7.616388E-4 | 1.0409726 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.007293112 | 0.00740231 | 1.0149727 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.389119E-5 | 1.389119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9532347E-5 | 5.9532347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.245709E-4 | 7.5454917E-4 | 1.0413738 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0072226766 | 0.007331882 | 1.0151198 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3659053E-5 | 1.3659053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.853752E-5 | 5.853752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.1246683E-4 | 7.4244547E-4 | 1.0420772 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.007102417 | 0.0072116354 | 1.0153776 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3156336E-5 | 1.3156336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.638311E-5 | 5.638311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.862537E-4 | 7.1623316E-4 | 1.0436856 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.0068419296 | 0.006951177 | 1.0159674 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1589096E-5 | 1.1589096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.966664E-5 | 4.966664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.0452876E-4 | 6.345106E-4 | 1.0495955 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.006029375 | 0.0061387117 | 1.018134 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0030933E-5 | 1.0030933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.298903E-5 | 4.298903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.232708E-4 | 5.5325514E-4 | 1.0573016 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0052208975 | 0.0053303232 | 1.0209591 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.285909E-7 | 3.285909E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.4082459E-6 | 1.4082459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7145263E-5 | 1.7145263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7143978E-4 | 1.7143978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.670443E-9 | 2.670443E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444756E-8 | 1.1444756E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.393399E-7 | 1.393399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.393399E-6 | 1.393399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5700455E-4 | 2.5700455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0011009848 | 0.0011009848 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013322633 | 0.013352233 | 1.0022218 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12644269 | 0.12653878 | 1.00076 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5700455E-4 | 2.5700455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0011009848 | 0.0011009848 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013322633 | 0.013352233 | 1.0022218 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12644269 | 0.12653878 | 1.00076 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5516626E-4 | 2.5516626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.001093113 | 0.001093113 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006347804 | 0.013227961 | 0.013257564 | 1.0022379 | 3.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.12562789 | 0.12572406 | 1.0007656 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.5402228E-4 | 2.5402228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010882143 | 0.0010882143 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006316212 | 0.013169043 | 0.013198648 | 1.002248 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12512188 | 0.12521811 | 1.0007691 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4904733E-4 | 2.4904733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010669107 | 0.0010669107 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006172335 | 0.01291277 | 0.012942382 | 1.0022932 | 3.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.12290405 | 0.123000525 | 1.000785 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4696017E-4 | 2.4696017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.001057973 | 0.001057973 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006109677 | 0.012805236 | 0.012834852 | 1.0023128 | 3.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.1219699 | 0.12206648 | 1.0007919 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3999174E-4 | 2.3999174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010281322 | 0.0010281322 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012446128 | 0.012475754 | 1.0023804 | 3.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.1188617 | 0.11894981 | 1.0007414 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3842332E-4 | 2.3842332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010214156 | 0.0010214156 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005864331 | 0.012365285 | 0.012394914 | 1.0023961 | 3.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.11816283 | 0.11825102 | 1.0007463 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3729602E-4 | 2.3729602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 0.0010165882 | 0.0010165882 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005836608 | 0.012307175 | 0.012336806 | 1.0024076 | 3.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.11765758 | 0.11774582 | 1.00075 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3577071E-4 | 2.3577071E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 0.0010100561 | 0.0010100561 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057996577 | 0.012228545 | 0.012258179 | 1.0024233 | 3.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.11697369 | 0.117061995 | 1.000755 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.3196598E-4 | 2.3196598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.937627E-4 | 9.937627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005705768 | 0.01203238 | 0.012062019 | 1.0024632 | 3.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.115263365 | 0.11535183 | 1.0007676 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0997795E-4 | 2.0997795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.995962E-4 | 8.995962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010897889 | 0.010927562 | 1.0027229 | 3.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.1053117 | 0.105401166 | 1.0008496 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0498804E-4 | 2.0498804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.7822543E-4 | 8.7822543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00504711 | 0.010640269 | 0.010669949 | 1.0027895 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.10304044 | 0.10313014 | 1.0008705 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9920651E-4 | 1.9920651E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.534639E-4 | 8.534639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010341698 | 0.010371388 | 1.0028709 | 3.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.10038636 | 0.100467324 | 1.0008066 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.92827E-4 | 1.92827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.2614063E-4 | 8.2614063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004799717 | 0.010012135 | 0.010041834 | 1.0029664 | 3.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09744331 | 0.09752454 | 1.0008336 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.556281E-4 | 1.556281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.668073E-4 | 6.668073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040183207 | 0.008088236 | 0.008117993 | 1.003679 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.07999656 | 0.08006097 | 1.000805 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.5217351E-4 | 1.5217351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.5200933E-4 | 6.5200933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007909392 | 0.007939155 | 1.003763 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07834272 | 0.078407235 | 1.0008235 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.269978E-4 | 1.269978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.4416276E-4 | 5.4416276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006605085 | 0.006634887 | 1.004512 | 3.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.06609907 | 0.066155106 | 1.0008477 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.17264186E-4 | 1.17264186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 5.02464E-4 | 5.02464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003054864 | 0.006100363 | 0.00613018 | 1.0048877 | 3.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.06108492 | 0.061141253 | 1.0009222 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.654292E-5 | 8.654292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.708455E-4 | 3.708455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023949358 | 0.004505704 | 0.004535569 | 1.0066283 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.045436032 | 0.045493305 | 1.0012605 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.2212617E-5 | 5.2212617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.2374917E-4 | 2.2374917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0027207448 | 0.0027406905 | 1.0073309 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027887575 | 0.027907018 | 1.0006971 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9891686E-5 | 1.9891686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.5247295E-5 | 8.5247295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010373923 | 0.001047382 | 1.0096296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.011128329 | 0.011138217 | 1.0008886 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7399284E-6 | 5.7399284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4599462E-5 | 2.4599462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9945737E-4 | 2.9945737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033936372 | 0.0033936372 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.100844E-7 | 8.100844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.226819E-5 | 4.226819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.972291E-4 | 4.972291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4717727E-5 | 1.4717727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.307455E-5 | 7.307391E-5 | 1.1585326 | 1.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.676795E-4 | 7.976565E-4 | 1.0390488 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007652034 | 0.0077413456 | 1.0116715 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4717727E-5 | 1.4717727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.307455E-5 | 7.307391E-5 | 1.1585326 | 1.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.676795E-4 | 7.976565E-4 | 1.0390488 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007652034 | 0.0077413456 | 1.0116715 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4717727E-5 | 1.4717727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.307455E-5 | 7.307391E-5 | 1.1585326 | 1.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.676795E-4 | 7.976565E-4 | 1.0390488 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007652034 | 0.0077413456 | 1.0116715 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1798456E-5 | 1.1798456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0563893E-5 | 6.0563387E-5 | 1.1977596 | 1.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.154519E-4 | 6.354396E-4 | 1.0324764 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061385157 | 0.006208086 | 1.0113335 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1798456E-5 | 1.1798456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0563893E-5 | 6.0563387E-5 | 1.1977596 | 1.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.154519E-4 | 6.354396E-4 | 1.0324764 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061385157 | 0.006208086 | 1.0113335 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.04590845E-5 | 1.04590845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.482393E-5 | 5.482348E-5 | 1.2230852 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.45604E-4 | 5.655931E-4 | 1.0366366 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.005443572 | 0.0055131908 | 1.0127892 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.417953E-6 | 9.417953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0362083E-5 | 5.036168E-5 | 1.2477473 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.913065E-4 | 5.112966E-4 | 1.0406878 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.004903086 | 0.0049727424 | 1.0142068 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.408427E-6 | 9.408427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0321258E-5 | 5.0320854E-5 | 1.2479981 | 1.0E-5 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.908096E-4 | 5.107998E-4 | 1.040729 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.0048981397 | 0.0049677966 | 1.0142212 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.383524E-6 | 7.383524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.1643336E-5 | 4.164302E-5 | 1.3160123 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8519767E-4 | 4.0519E-4 | 1.0519013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.003846106 | 0.0038959135 | 1.0129502 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.2733853E-6 | 5.2733853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2600061E-5 | 3.2599834E-5 | 1.4424666 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7512718E-4 | 2.851244E-4 | 1.0363368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027484712 | 0.0027783888 | 1.0108851 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5917712E-6 | 3.5917712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5393238E-5 | 1.5393238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8740066E-4 | 1.8740066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018728293 | 0.0018927918 | 1.010659 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2940992E-6 | 1.2940992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.546137E-6 | 5.546137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.752376E-5 | 6.752376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7519274E-4 | 6.7519274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.553294E-6 | 8.553294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.665656E-5 | 4.665619E-5 | 1.2727925 | 1.0E-5 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.462201E-4 | 4.8620225E-4 | 1.0896019 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.0044549997 | 0.004534643 | 1.0178773 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.776183E-6 | 3.776183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6183567E-5 | 2.6183407E-5 | 1.6179007 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9702189E-4 | 2.0701991E-4 | 1.0507457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019689396 | 0.0019988806 | 1.0152066 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.776183E-6 | 3.776183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6183567E-5 | 2.6183407E-5 | 1.6179007 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9702189E-4 | 2.0701991E-4 | 1.0507457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019689396 | 0.0019988806 | 1.0152066 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4414532E-6 | 1.4414532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1776495E-6 | 1.6177588E-5 | 2.6187286 | 1.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5211705E-5 | 8.521095E-5 | 1.132948 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.520013E-4 | 7.819788E-4 | 1.0398636 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4414532E-6 | 1.4414532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1776495E-6 | 1.6177588E-5 | 2.6187286 | 1.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5211705E-5 | 8.521095E-5 | 1.132948 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.520013E-4 | 7.819788E-4 | 1.0398636 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0224301E-6 | 1.0224301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.381843E-6 | 4.381843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.334894E-5 | 5.334894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.334894E-4 | 5.534787E-4 | 1.037469 | 2.0E-5 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1873193E-5 | 2.1873193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.37394E-5 | 9.37394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407706 | 0.0011707364 | 1.026268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011358175 | 0.011437266 | 1.0069634 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1873193E-5 | 2.1873193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.37394E-5 | 9.37394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407706 | 0.0011707364 | 1.026268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011358175 | 0.011437266 | 1.0069634 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1873193E-5 | 2.1873193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.37394E-5 | 9.37394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407706 | 0.0011707364 | 1.026268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011358175 | 0.011437266 | 1.0069634 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.21843495E-5 | 1.21843495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2217772E-5 | 5.2217772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.355975E-4 | 6.555848E-4 | 1.0314465 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063409065 | 0.006400526 | 1.0094024 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.21843495E-5 | 1.21843495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2217772E-5 | 5.2217772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.355975E-4 | 6.555848E-4 | 1.0314465 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063409065 | 0.006400526 | 1.0094024 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.676185E-6 | 6.676185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.861198E-5 | 2.861198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4830775E-4 | 3.6830077E-4 | 1.0574005 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034788537 | 0.0035187146 | 1.011458 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3696757E-6 | 6.3696757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7298396E-5 | 2.7298396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3231973E-4 | 3.523131E-4 | 1.060163 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033194516 | 0.0033593187 | 1.0120102 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3439053E-6 | 5.3439053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2902317E-5 | 2.2902317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7881184E-4 | 2.8880904E-4 | 1.0358565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027857772 | 0.0028156936 | 1.010739 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9410836E-6 | 1.9410836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.3189125E-6 | 8.3189125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.0127963E-4 | 1.1127861E-4 | 1.0987265 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010124895 | 0.0010324692 | 1.0197333 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.302621E-7 | 8.302621E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5582632E-6 | 3.5582632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3321328E-5 | 4.3321328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3316185E-4 | 4.3316185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.5468483E-7 | 7.5468483E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2343614E-6 | 3.2343614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.937797E-5 | 3.937797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9374243E-4 | 3.9374243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8357973E-6 | 5.8357973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010344E-5 | 2.5010344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044624E-4 | 3.244563E-4 | 1.0656695 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408485 | 0.0031206051 | 1.0262284 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8357973E-6 | 5.8357973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010344E-5 | 2.5010344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044624E-4 | 3.244563E-4 | 1.0656695 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408485 | 0.0031206051 | 1.0262284 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8357973E-6 | 5.8357973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010344E-5 | 2.5010344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044624E-4 | 3.244563E-4 | 1.0656695 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408485 | 0.0031206051 | 1.0262284 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3842489E-6 | 3.3842489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4503847E-5 | 1.4503847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.765705E-4 | 1.9656697E-4 | 1.1132492 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017643492 | 0.0018342256 | 1.0396047 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3842489E-6 | 3.3842489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4503847E-5 | 1.4503847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.765705E-4 | 1.9656697E-4 | 1.1132492 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017643492 | 0.0018342256 | 1.0396047 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8563509E-6 | 2.8563509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.22414485E-5 | 1.22414485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4902977E-4 | 1.6902678E-4 | 1.1341814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.001489331 | 0.0015592268 | 1.0469309 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.3813686E-6 | 2.3813686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0205827E-5 | 1.0205827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2424905E-4 | 1.3424782E-4 | 1.0804735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012418162 | 0.0013017417 | 1.0482563 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0969142E-6 | 2.0969142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.986744E-6 | 8.986744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.0940829E-4 | 1.19407196E-4 | 1.0913907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010935604 | 0.0011534947 | 1.0548067 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8919179E-6 | 1.8919179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.108195E-6 | 8.108195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.8712946E-5 | 1.0871196E-4 | 1.1012938 | 1.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.86705E-4 | 0.0010366556 | 1.0506237 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6835712E-6 | 1.6835712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.215286E-6 | 7.215286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.784268E-5 | 9.78418E-5 | 1.1138299 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.7809085E-4 | 9.180557E-4 | 1.0455134 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2511823E-6 | 1.2511823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3621993E-6 | 5.3621993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.5282846E-5 | 7.528219E-5 | 1.1531696 | 1.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.5263896E-4 | 6.926129E-4 | 1.0612496 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0954611E-6 | 1.0954611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.6948253E-6 | 4.6948253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7158006E-5 | 6.715744E-5 | 1.1749436 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.714339E-4 | 6.1141106E-4 | 1.0699594 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0490662E-6 | 1.0490662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4959907E-6 | 4.4959907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4737317E-5 | 6.473677E-5 | 1.1826807 | 1.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.472392E-4 | 5.8721734E-4 | 1.0730542 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.770592E-7 | 9.770592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.18739E-6 | 4.18739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.098029E-5 | 6.097978E-5 | 1.1961442 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.096867E-4 | 5.3967146E-4 | 1.0588297 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.210449E-7 | 9.210449E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.9473293E-6 | 3.9473293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.8057682E-5 | 5.80572E-5 | 1.2080733 | 1.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8047365E-4 | 5.1045924E-4 | 1.0624084 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6772866E-7 | 8.6772866E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7188317E-6 | 3.7188317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5275843E-5 | 5.527539E-5 | 1.2208583 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5266692E-4 | 4.8265335E-4 | 1.0662439 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.917012E-7 | 7.917012E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.393001E-6 | 3.393001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.130901E-5 | 4.130901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1301403E-4 | 4.3300577E-4 | 1.0484045 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.8550855E-7 | 6.8550855E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9378907E-6 | 2.9378907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5768237E-5 | 3.5768237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5762548E-4 | 3.7761833E-4 | 1.0559044 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6496058E-7 | 3.6496058E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5641159E-6 | 1.5641159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.904295E-5 | 1.904295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9041362E-4 | 1.9041362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.670443E-9 | 2.670443E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444756E-8 | 1.1444756E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.393399E-7 | 1.393399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.393399E-6 | 1.393399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2990237E-4 | 3.2990237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001413106 | 0.0014230919 | 1.0070666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.017070206 | 0.017129181 | 1.0034549 | 6.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.1536683 | 0.15373601 | 1.0004406 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2990237E-4 | 3.2990237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001413106 | 0.0014230919 | 1.0070666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.017070206 | 0.017129181 | 1.0034549 | 6.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.1536683 | 0.15373601 | 1.0004406 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0489333E-4 | 3.0489333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0013060354 | 0.0013160224 | 1.0076468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005590286 | 0.015786167 | 0.01584522 | 1.0037408 | 6.0E-5 | 0.05451731 | 0.14284645 | 0.14291503 | 1.00048 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0434626E-4 | 3.0434626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0013036932 | 0.0013136802 | 1.0076605 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005577586 | 0.015758064 | 0.015817119 | 1.0037476 | 6.0E-5 | 0.054396555 | 0.14261495 | 0.14268354 | 1.000481 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9642382E-4 | 2.9642382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012697733 | 0.0012797606 | 1.0078654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015350981 | 0.015410059 | 1.0038486 | 6.0E-5 | 0.052604496 | 0.13917857 | 0.13924745 | 1.0004948 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9361708E-4 | 2.9361708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.001257756 | 0.0012677434 | 1.0079406 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015206722 | 0.015265809 | 1.0038856 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051971316 | 0.13795802 | 0.13802698 | 1.0004998 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.9127352E-4 | 2.9127352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.001247722 | 0.0012577095 | 1.0080047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052651367 | 0.015086254 | 0.015145348 | 1.0039171 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051421247 | 0.13693617 | 0.13700521 | 1.0005043 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8985846E-4 | 2.8985846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012416631 | 0.0012516507 | 1.0080438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005230834 | 0.015013508 | 0.0150726065 | 1.0039364 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051094085 | 0.13632174 | 0.13639084 | 1.0005069 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.878897E-4 | 2.878897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012332336 | 0.0012432212 | 1.0080987 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014912288 | 0.014971392 | 1.0039635 | 6.0E-5 | 0.050728295 | 0.13547218 | 0.13554133 | 1.0005106 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8284002E-4 | 2.8284002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012116124 | 0.0012216002 | 1.0082434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050888555 | 0.01465262 | 0.01471174 | 1.0040349 | 6.0E-5 | 0.049738888 | 0.13329682 | 0.13336615 | 1.0005201 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.500444E-4 | 2.500444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010711821 | 0.0010811713 | 1.0093255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012964445 | 0.013023667 | 1.0045681 | 6.0E-5 | 0.04338823 | 0.11911206 | 0.119182535 | 1.0005916 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.460445E-4 | 2.460445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010540537 | 0.001064043 | 1.0094771 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004331963 | 0.012758368 | 0.012817602 | 1.0046428 | 6.0E-5 | 0.042484846 | 0.11732341 | 0.11739402 | 1.0006019 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.264576E-4 | 2.264576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.7017473E-4 | 9.80165E-4 | 1.0102974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011748608 | 0.011807903 | 1.005047 | 6.0E-5 | 0.03870018 | 0.10871092 | 0.108782224 | 1.0006559 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.095312E-4 | 2.095312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.976847E-4 | 9.076757E-4 | 1.0111297 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036891096 | 0.0108751785 | 0.010934526 | 1.0054572 | 6.0E-5 | 0.03628465 | 0.10120734 | 0.101279244 | 1.0007105 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4455518E-4 | 1.4455518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.1937596E-4 | 6.293698E-4 | 1.0161353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026816884 | 0.007515022 | 0.0075745713 | 1.007924 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02649557 | 0.07163921 | 0.071713485 | 1.0010368 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.1099711E-4 | 1.1099711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.7561552E-4 | 4.8561077E-4 | 1.0210154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002099857 | 0.0057753157 | 0.005825027 | 1.0086075 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020801254 | 0.055711534 | 0.055777635 | 1.0011865 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.5726075E-5 | 8.5726075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.6734587E-4 | 3.773422E-4 | 1.0272123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016250437 | 0.0044632917 | 0.0045130686 | 1.0111525 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016132116 | 0.043408584 | 0.043475542 | 1.0015426 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.3528256E-5 | 6.3528256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.7223557E-4 | 2.8223285E-4 | 1.0367229 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.0033094375 | 0.003359272 | 1.0150583 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.032415017 | 0.032482747 | 1.0020895 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.2804702E-5 | 5.2804702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2628625E-4 | 2.3628399E-4 | 1.0441818 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0027515574 | 0.00280142 | 1.0181215 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.027097108 | 0.027165212 | 1.0025133 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.9034847E-5 | 3.9034847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6728147E-4 | 1.772798E-4 | 1.0597695 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0020347508 | 0.0020846492 | 1.024523 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.020283861 | 0.020342642 | 1.002898 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1757507E-5 | 3.1757507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3609651E-4 | 1.4609515E-4 | 1.0734673 | 1.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016557167 | 0.0016956504 | 1.0241188 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.01660119 | 0.01665036 | 1.0029619 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 9.2493365E-6 | 9.2493365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.963941E-5 | 3.963941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.825031E-4 | 4.825031E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.005055128 | 0.005055128 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.8963857E-6 | 2.8963857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.2413023E-5 | 1.2413023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.511181E-4 | 1.511181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0016541962 | 0.0016541962 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 6.113341E-8 | 6.113341E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.6200033E-7 | 2.6200033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.1898494E-6 | 3.1898494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.349454E-5 | 3.349454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6681872E-6 | 3.6681872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5720714E-5 | 1.5720714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.913839E-4 | 2.2137816E-4 | 1.156723 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.001942751 | 0.002012615 | 1.0359614 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6681872E-6 | 3.6681872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5720714E-5 | 1.5720714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.913839E-4 | 2.2137816E-4 | 1.156723 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.001942751 | 0.002012615 | 1.0359614 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6681872E-6 | 3.6681872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5720714E-5 | 1.5720714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.913839E-4 | 2.2137816E-4 | 1.156723 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.001942751 | 0.002012615 | 1.0359614 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.176232E-6 | 3.176232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3612356E-5 | 1.3612356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.6571858E-4 | 1.8571527E-4 | 1.1206665 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016721602 | 0.0017320599 | 1.0358217 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.176232E-6 | 3.176232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3612356E-5 | 1.3612356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.6571858E-4 | 1.8571527E-4 | 1.1206665 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016721602 | 0.0017320599 | 1.0358217 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9859432E-6 | 2.9859432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2796841E-5 | 1.2796841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018023965 | 1.557911E-4 | 1.7578798E-4 | 1.128357 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015621253 | 0.0016220316 | 1.0383493 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8843097E-6 | 2.8843097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2361273E-5 | 1.2361273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016229092 | 1.5048879E-4 | 1.7048579E-4 | 1.1328802 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015069155 | 0.0015668251 | 1.0397564 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8179238E-6 | 2.8179238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.20767645E-5 | 1.20767645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001463541 | 1.4702538E-4 | 1.6702243E-4 | 1.1360109 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.00146962 | 0.0015295319 | 1.0407668 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2418674E-6 | 2.2418674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.607969E-6 | 9.607969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013164099 | 1.16971045E-4 | 1.3696871E-4 | 1.1709625 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011693307 | 0.0012292605 | 1.0512514 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6129584E-6 | 1.6129584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.9126604E-6 | 6.9126604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011840039 | 8.415841E-5 | 1.0415673E-4 | 1.237627 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.4143184E-4 | 9.0138137E-4 | 1.071247 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5440833E-6 | 1.5440833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.617483E-6 | 6.617483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010884746 | 8.0564896E-5 | 1.0056329E-4 | 1.2482271 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.05479E-4 | 8.654307E-4 | 1.0744299 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3902825E-6 | 1.3902825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.95834E-6 | 5.95834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010143308 | 7.254039E-5 | 9.253893E-5 | 1.2756885 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.252747E-4 | 7.852311E-4 | 1.0826672 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2522986E-6 | 1.2522986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.366983E-6 | 5.366983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.534107E-5 | 8.533976E-5 | 1.3060663 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.5331376E-4 | 7.132746E-4 | 1.0917795 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1146553E-6 | 1.1146553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.777086E-6 | 4.777086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.8159476E-5 | 7.8158315E-5 | 1.343862 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.815328E-4 | 6.4149784E-4 | 1.1031156 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.57499E-7 | 8.57499E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6749905E-6 | 3.6749905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4742097E-5 | 6.47412E-5 | 1.4469863 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.4738065E-4 | 4.9735827E-4 | 1.1117116 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.086151E-7 | 6.086151E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6083478E-6 | 2.6083478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1756175E-5 | 5.175554E-5 | 1.6297787 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.175167E-4 | 3.6750082E-4 | 1.1574221 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.2052083E-7 | 3.2052083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.37366E-6 | 1.37366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6724183E-5 | 2.6724016E-5 | 1.5979265 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6722945E-4 | 1.8722609E-4 | 1.1195762 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.9977696E-8 | 8.9977696E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8561865E-7 | 3.8561865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.6948976E-6 | 4.6948976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.6948055E-5 | 5.6947585E-5 | 1.2129914 | 1.0E-5 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6803875E-5 | 1.6803875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.2014926E-5 | 7.2014926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.76484E-4 | 8.9646643E-4 | 1.0227984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008735705 | 0.008805093 | 1.007943 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6803875E-5 | 1.6803875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.2014926E-5 | 7.2014926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.76484E-4 | 8.9646643E-4 | 1.0227984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008735705 | 0.008805093 | 1.007943 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3689236E-5 | 1.3689236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8667112E-5 | 5.8667112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1408675E-4 | 7.3407247E-4 | 1.0279878 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071227234 | 0.007172367 | 1.0069698 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3689236E-5 | 1.3689236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8667112E-5 | 5.8667112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1408675E-4 | 7.3407247E-4 | 1.0279878 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071227234 | 0.007172367 | 1.0069698 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0175579E-5 | 1.0175579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3609125E-5 | 4.3609125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.3085294E-4 | 5.408476E-4 | 1.0188276 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.005299889 | 0.00532973 | 1.0056305 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0122983E-5 | 1.0122983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3383723E-5 | 4.3383723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2810996E-4 | 5.381047E-4 | 1.0189254 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.00527259 | 0.005302432 | 1.0056598 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.4464655E-6 | 8.4464655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.619886E-5 | 3.619886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4067195E-4 | 4.5066755E-4 | 1.0226827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.004401903 | 0.004431771 | 1.0067853 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.444775E-6 | 2.444775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0477566E-5 | 1.0477566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.275571E-4 | 1.275571E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012748574 | 0.0012748574 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2071165E-6 | 2.2071165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.459037E-6 | 9.459037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1515786E-4 | 1.1515786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011509988 | 0.0011509988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9817862E-6 | 1.9817862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.493343E-6 | 8.493343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.03401704E-4 | 1.03401704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010335519 | 0.0010335519 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6208772E-6 | 1.6208772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.946599E-6 | 6.946599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.4571686E-5 | 8.4571686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.454075E-4 | 8.454075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1501796E-6 | 1.1501796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9293326E-6 | 4.9293326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 6.001307E-5 | 6.001307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9997843E-4 | 5.9997843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.389535E-7 | 6.389535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7383696E-6 | 2.7383696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3339213E-5 | 3.3339213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3334893E-4 | 3.3334893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6829777E-5 | 3.6829777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5783236E-4 | 1.5783236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.001919917 | 0.0019298978 | 1.0051986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019780872 | 0.019839687 | 1.0029732 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6829777E-5 | 3.6829777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5783236E-4 | 1.5783236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.001919917 | 0.0019298978 | 1.0051986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019780872 | 0.019839687 | 1.0029732 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6829777E-5 | 3.6829777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5783236E-4 | 1.5783236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.001919917 | 0.0019298978 | 1.0051986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019780872 | 0.019839687 | 1.0029732 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6829777E-5 | 3.6829777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5783236E-4 | 1.5783236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.001919917 | 0.0019298978 | 1.0051986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019780872 | 0.019839687 | 1.0029732 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.6722264E-5 | 3.6722264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5737164E-4 | 1.5737164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0019143176 | 0.0019242985 | 1.0052137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017588645 | 0.019725887 | 0.019784704 | 1.0029817 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5981684E-5 | 3.5981684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.541981E-4 | 1.541981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018757468 | 0.0018857281 | 1.0053213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017284546 | 0.019346979 | 0.01939601 | 1.0025344 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5918794E-5 | 3.5918794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5392862E-4 | 1.5392862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018724714 | 0.0018824526 | 1.0053306 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017258976 | 0.019314803 | 0.019363837 | 1.0025387 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.590855E-5 | 3.590855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5388471E-4 | 1.5388471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018719379 | 0.0018819191 | 1.0053321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017256035 | 0.019309588 | 0.019358624 | 1.0025394 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.5802423E-5 | 3.5802423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.5342994E-4 | 1.5342994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0018664105 | 0.0018763918 | 1.0053478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017213784 | 0.019255286 | 0.019304322 | 1.0025467 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.5743255E-5 | 3.5743255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.5317638E-4 | 1.5317638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018633289 | 0.0018733102 | 1.0053568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017192734 | 0.019225106 | 0.019274145 | 1.0025507 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.5683042E-5 | 3.5683042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.5291838E-4 | 1.5291838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018601929 | 0.0018701742 | 1.0053657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017172894 | 0.019194426 | 0.019243468 | 1.0025549 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.5562938E-5 | 3.5562938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.5240369E-4 | 1.5240369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018539373 | 0.0018639187 | 1.005384 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017138338 | 0.019133378 | 0.019182421 | 1.0025632 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.5430112E-5 | 3.5430112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.5183451E-4 | 1.5183451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018470193 | 0.0018570008 | 1.0054041 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017089253 | 0.019065663 | 0.01911471 | 1.0025725 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.5297155E-5 | 3.5297155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.5126476E-4 | 1.5126476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0018400943 | 0.0018500759 | 1.0054245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017049557 | 0.01899809 | 0.019047141 | 1.0025818 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.5218378E-5 | 3.5218378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.5092718E-4 | 1.5092718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0018359913 | 0.001845973 | 1.0054367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017028693 | 0.01895814 | 0.019007191 | 1.0025874 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.508256E-5 | 3.508256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.5034518E-4 | 1.5034518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0018289172 | 0.0018388989 | 1.0054578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016978411 | 0.018888691 | 0.018937746 | 1.0025971 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.4805264E-5 | 3.4805264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4915688E-4 | 1.4915688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016955109 | 0.001814474 | 0.0018244559 | 1.0055013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.01874522 | 0.018794281 | 1.0026174 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.327861E-5 | 3.327861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.4261484E-4 | 1.4261484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015791537 | 0.001734954 | 0.0017449366 | 1.0057539 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.017950788 | 0.017999891 | 1.0027354 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 3.0457697E-5 | 3.0457697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.3052646E-4 | 1.3052646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015880022 | 0.0015979863 | 1.0062872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.016476672 | 0.016525848 | 1.0029846 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.4105826E-5 | 2.4105826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.0330659E-4 | 1.0330659E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010827117 | 0.001257033 | 0.0012670204 | 1.0079453 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.013148098 | 0.013187572 | 1.0030023 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6551132E-5 | 1.6551132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.744926E-5 | 7.09315E-5 | 7.09315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.632496E-4 | 8.7324093E-4 | 1.0115741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.009137904 | 0.009147814 | 1.0010843 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.632059E-6 | 8.632059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.6994013E-5 | 3.6994013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.503096E-4 | 4.6030508E-4 | 1.0221969 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.0048390813 | 0.004849033 | 1.0020565 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.6667104E-6 | 1.6667104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 7.143025E-6 | 7.143025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.696289E-5 | 8.696289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 0.0010070397 | 0.0010070397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.849088E-7 | 3.849088E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.6496081E-6 | 1.6496081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.0083797E-5 | 2.0083797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.4125617E-4 | 2.4125617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0756236E-5 | 5.0756236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1751088E-4 | 2.275087E-4 | 1.0459647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026453754 | 0.0026653227 | 1.0075403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026179222 | 0.026237652 | 1.0022318 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0756236E-5 | 5.0756236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1751088E-4 | 2.275087E-4 | 1.0459647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026453754 | 0.0026653227 | 1.0075403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026179222 | 0.026237652 | 1.0022318 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0756236E-5 | 5.0756236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1751088E-4 | 2.275087E-4 | 1.0459647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026453754 | 0.0026653227 | 1.0075403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026179222 | 0.026237652 | 1.0022318 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0112817E-5 | 3.0112817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2904874E-4 | 1.3904745E-4 | 1.0774801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015700695 | 0.0015800537 | 1.0063591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015593453 | 0.015622986 | 1.0018939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0112817E-5 | 3.0112817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2904874E-4 | 1.3904745E-4 | 1.0774801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015700695 | 0.0015800537 | 1.0063591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015593453 | 0.015622986 | 1.0018939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.533206E-5 | 2.533206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0856155E-4 | 1.1856046E-4 | 1.0921036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013209525 | 0.0013309394 | 1.0075603 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010529719 | 0.013132944 | 0.01316255 | 1.0022544 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5313E-5 | 2.5313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.0847987E-4 | 1.1847878E-4 | 1.092173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013199593 | 0.0013299461 | 1.007566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010520565 | 0.013123129 | 0.013152735 | 1.002256 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2554574E-5 | 2.2554574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.665896E-5 | 1.0665799E-4 | 1.1034465 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011762021 | 0.0011861903 | 1.008492 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.011701381 | 0.0117310295 | 1.0025338 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1855665E-5 | 2.1855665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.366385E-5 | 1.0366292E-4 | 1.1067548 | 1.0E-5 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011397754 | 0.0011497639 | 1.0087637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.011340882 | 0.0113705415 | 1.0026153 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.903779E-5 | 1.903779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.1588056E-5 | 8.1588056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.92895E-4 | 9.92895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008018291 | 0.009885988 | 0.009895889 | 1.0010015 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8041861E-5 | 1.8041861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.7320045E-5 | 7.7320045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.40978E-4 | 9.40978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009371304 | 0.00938121 | 1.001057 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6211134E-5 | 1.6211134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.947451E-5 | 6.947451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.455365E-4 | 8.455365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008424493 | 0.008434408 | 1.0011771 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3875593E-5 | 1.3875593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9465536E-5 | 5.9465536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.237633E-4 | 7.237633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057893298 | 0.0072151697 | 0.0072250976 | 1.0013759 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2182697E-5 | 1.2182697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2210573E-5 | 5.2210573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.3548906E-4 | 6.3548906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0063377945 | 0.006347731 | 1.0015678 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.796086E-6 | 9.796086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1982603E-5 | 4.1982603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.110278E-4 | 5.110278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0050994684 | 0.0050994684 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7752345E-6 | 5.7752345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4750812E-5 | 2.4750812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0130713E-4 | 3.0130713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.003009739 | 0.003009739 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6045777E-7 | 2.6045777E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162472E-6 | 1.1162472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590254E-5 | 1.3590254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3589705E-4 | 1.3589705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7203197E-5 | 4.7203197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.022886E-4 | 2.022886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021730233 | 0.002460912 | 0.002480863 | 1.0081071 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021518968 | 0.024418658 | 0.024467437 | 1.0019976 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6870603E-5 | 1.6870603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.230064E-5 | 7.230064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.7991543E-4 | 8.7991543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009028391 | 0.008765588 | 0.008765588 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.368636E-5 | 1.368636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.8654532E-5 | 5.8654532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.1388885E-4 | 7.1388885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007600669 | 0.0071165287 | 0.0071165287 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2494357E-5 | 1.2494357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.3546166E-5 | 5.3546166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.517327E-4 | 6.517327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00704657 | 0.006498707 | 0.006498707 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1990953E-5 | 1.1990953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.13888E-5 | 5.13888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.2548206E-4 | 6.2548206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006810953 | 0.0062376913 | 0.0062376913 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1059974E-5 | 1.1059974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.739904E-5 | 4.739904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.7693326E-4 | 5.7693326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006372592 | 0.0057547945 | 0.0057547945 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0074078E-5 | 1.0074078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3173917E-5 | 4.3173917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.255178E-4 | 5.255178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059059616 | 0.005243127 | 0.005243127 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.527126E-6 | 9.527126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0829913E-5 | 4.0829913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.9699284E-4 | 4.9699284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005652734 | 0.004959177 | 0.004959177 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.309733E-6 | 9.309733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.989826E-5 | 3.989826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8565504E-4 | 4.8565504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005550127 | 0.004846299 | 0.004846299 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.601394E-6 | 8.601394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.6862606E-5 | 3.6862606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4871162E-4 | 4.4871162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005224364 | 0.004478397 | 0.004478397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.033893E-6 | 8.033893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.4430526E-5 | 3.4430526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1911274E-4 | 4.1911274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00496445 | 0.0041835527 | 0.0041835527 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.660836E-6 | 7.660836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.2831747E-5 | 3.2831747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.9965493E-4 | 3.9965493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004792784 | 0.003989688 | 0.003989688 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.937715E-6 | 5.937715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5447102E-5 | 2.5447102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.0977474E-4 | 3.0977474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030936159 | 0.0030936159 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.6023664E-6 | 5.6023664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.4009922E-5 | 2.4009922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9228188E-4 | 2.9228188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.00291916 | 0.00291916 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9239593E-6 | 4.9239593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1102513E-5 | 2.1102513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.5689302E-4 | 2.5689302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025661348 | 0.0025661348 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0884474E-6 | 4.0884474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7521801E-5 | 1.7521801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1330714E-4 | 2.1330714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021310353 | 0.0021310353 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.091538E-6 | 3.091538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.32493815E-5 | 1.32493815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6129937E-4 | 1.6129937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016118309 | 0.0016118309 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8302821E-6 | 1.8302821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.8440435E-6 | 7.8440435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.5497104E-5 | 9.5497104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.545668E-4 | 9.545668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.513231E-7 | 3.513231E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5056696E-6 | 1.5056696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8331375E-5 | 1.8331375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8329875E-4 | 1.8329875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.27061615E-8 | 1.27061615E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.445498E-8 | 5.445498E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.629891E-7 | 6.629891E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.6298726E-6 | 6.6298726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0392783E-9 | 2.0392783E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.7397645E-9 | 8.7397645E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.06406624E-7 | 1.06406624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0640658E-6 | 1.0640658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012334608 | 0.0012334608 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025631124 | 0.0052704895 | 0.0052704895 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030762846 | 0.061490998 | 0.06150038 | 1.0001526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42743328 | 0.4274562 | 1.0000535 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010265985 | 0.0010265985 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00214792 | 0.004388264 | 0.004388264 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025839351 | 0.051485013 | 0.051494498 | 1.0001842 | 1.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37428072 | 0.3742995 | 1.0000502 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1546034E-4 | 8.1546034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034872442 | 0.0034872442 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021034058 | 0.04116865 | 0.041178238 | 1.0002329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.31457767 | 0.31459823 | 1.0000653 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.786485E-4 | 6.786485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014837692 | 0.00290308 | 0.00290308 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017915873 | 0.03442675 | 0.034436405 | 1.0002805 | 1.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27295396 | 0.27297577 | 1.0000799 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.591704E-4 | 5.591704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023927356 | 0.0023927356 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015200248 | 0.028503995 | 0.028513711 | 1.0003408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.2347137 | 0.23473667 | 1.0000979 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2567152E-4 | 4.2567152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018221919 | 0.0018221919 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012141965 | 0.021828668 | 0.021838449 | 1.0004481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18865642 | 0.18868075 | 1.000129 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5538506E-4 | 2.5538506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010940386 | 0.0010940386 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0082328 | 0.013237189 | 0.013247056 | 1.0007454 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12511091 | 0.12513717 | 1.0002098 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.5073826E-4 | 2.5073826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010741439 | 0.0010741439 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012998487 | 0.013008357 | 1.0007594 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.12313794 | 0.12316425 | 1.0002136 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.489661E-4 | 2.489661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010665557 | 0.0010665557 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008075596 | 0.012907359 | 0.01291723 | 1.0007647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.1223664 | 0.12239273 | 1.0002152 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.4001842E-4 | 2.4001842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010282467 | 0.0010282467 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007876333 | 0.012447586 | 0.012457461 | 1.0007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.118429676 | 0.11845612 | 1.0002233 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2851142E-4 | 2.2851142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.78969E-4 | 9.78969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011854328 | 0.01186421 | 1.0008336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.11325565 | 0.11328225 | 1.0002348 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6675855E-4 | 1.6675855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.1448466E-4 | 7.1448466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006016669 | 0.008664367 | 0.00867428 | 1.0011442 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.085428655 | 0.085456096 | 1.0003211 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4985653E-4 | 1.4985653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.420849E-4 | 6.420849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005408933 | 0.0077895415 | 0.007799464 | 1.0012738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.077286854 | 0.07731453 | 1.0003582 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.3106101E-4 | 1.3106101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.615698E-4 | 5.615698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006815819 | 0.0068257507 | 1.0014572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.06797475 | 0.068002716 | 1.0004114 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.20105346E-4 | 1.20105346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.146362E-4 | 5.146362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004513991 | 0.0062478213 | 0.006257759 | 1.0015906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.06257121 | 0.06259933 | 1.0004494 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.265564E-5 | 9.265564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.9703527E-4 | 3.9703527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038038217 | 0.004823213 | 0.0048331646 | 1.0020633 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.04911477 | 0.04913379 | 1.0003872 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.51619E-5 | 8.51619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.649286E-4 | 3.649286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004433974 | 0.0044439295 | 1.0022453 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.045115292 | 0.045134388 | 1.0004233 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.8707035E-5 | 6.8707035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.944255E-4 | 2.944255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028683927 | 0.003578743 | 0.0035887072 | 1.0027843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.036807347 | 0.03682661 | 1.0005233 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.353953E-5 | 6.353953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.7228388E-4 | 2.7228388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0033100205 | 0.0033199876 | 1.0030111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.034054544 | 0.034073863 | 1.0005673 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.1765623E-5 | 5.1765623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.218338E-4 | 2.218338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026974836 | 0.0027074567 | 1.0036972 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.02782351 | 0.027842952 | 1.0006988 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.245226E-5 | 3.245226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.390737E-4 | 1.390737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016919081 | 0.0016919081 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014149235 | 0.01773384 | 0.01773384 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.8060391E-5 | 1.8060391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.739938E-5 | 7.739938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.4193063E-4 | 9.4193063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.010145578 | 0.010145578 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7399284E-6 | 5.7399284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4599462E-5 | 2.4599462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9945737E-4 | 2.9945737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033936372 | 0.0033936372 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.100844E-7 | 8.100844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 3.4717857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.226819E-5 | 4.226819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.972291E-4 | 4.972291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0140607E-6 | 3.0140607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2917357E-5 | 1.2917357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5726064E-4 | 2.0725279E-4 | 1.3178935 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015718053 | 0.001631711 | 1.0381126 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5495023E-6 | 1.5495023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.64071E-6 | 6.64071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.084814E-5 | 9.084733E-5 | 1.1236787 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0823613E-4 | 8.282199E-4 | 1.0247252 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5495023E-6 | 1.5495023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.64071E-6 | 6.64071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.084814E-5 | 9.084733E-5 | 1.1236787 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0823613E-4 | 8.282199E-4 | 1.0247252 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5495023E-6 | 1.5495023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.64071E-6 | 6.64071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.084814E-5 | 9.084733E-5 | 1.1236787 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0823613E-4 | 8.282199E-4 | 1.0247252 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5495023E-6 | 1.5495023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.64071E-6 | 6.64071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.084814E-5 | 9.084733E-5 | 1.1236787 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0823613E-4 | 8.282199E-4 | 1.0247252 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4914201E-6 | 1.4914201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.391788E-6 | 6.391788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.7817735E-5 | 8.781695E-5 | 1.1284955 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.7795354E-4 | 7.97938E-4 | 1.0256885 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 9.000387E-7 | 9.000387E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.8573035E-6 | 3.8573035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6961748E-5 | 5.696128E-5 | 1.2129292 | 1.0E-5 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.695269E-4 | 4.8951746E-4 | 1.0425761 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.596788E-7 | 7.596788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2557627E-6 | 3.2557627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.963826E-5 | 4.9637863E-5 | 1.2522715 | 1.0E-5 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9631888E-4 | 4.1631097E-4 | 1.0504444 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.5026074E-7 | 6.5026074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.786829E-6 | 2.786829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.3929176E-5 | 4.3928838E-5 | 1.2947216 | 1.0E-5 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3924606E-4 | 3.5923926E-4 | 1.0589342 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.633632E-7 | 5.633632E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.4144117E-6 | 2.4144117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9395125E-5 | 2.9395125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9391804E-4 | 3.039151E-4 | 1.034013 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.115047E-7 | 4.115047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7635906E-6 | 1.7635906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1471544E-5 | 2.1471544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1469855E-4 | 2.246964E-4 | 1.046567 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.522682E-7 | 3.522682E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.50972E-6 | 1.50972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8380722E-5 | 1.8380722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8379552E-4 | 1.9379368E-4 | 1.0543983 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.1227252E-8 | 3.1227252E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3383107E-7 | 1.3383107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6293922E-6 | 1.6293922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.6293809E-5 | 1.6293809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5974377E-8 | 1.5974377E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.846162E-8 | 6.846162E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.3351983E-7 | 8.3351983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.335171E-6 | 8.335171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.880601E-9 | 4.880601E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0916861E-8 | 2.0916861E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5466278E-7 | 2.5466278E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5466259E-6 | 2.5466259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3666082E-5 | 2.3666082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.01422374E-4 | 1.01422374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012341621 | 0.0012441498 | 1.0080926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012277597 | 0.0123368595 | 1.0048269 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3666082E-5 | 2.3666082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.01422374E-4 | 1.01422374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012341621 | 0.0012441498 | 1.0080926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012277597 | 0.0123368595 | 1.0048269 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1369786E-5 | 1.1369786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8726768E-5 | 4.8726768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9309095E-4 | 6.0308503E-4 | 1.0168508 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059155 | 0.0059353816 | 1.003361 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1369786E-5 | 1.1369786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8726768E-5 | 4.8726768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9309095E-4 | 6.0308503E-4 | 1.0168508 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059155 | 0.0059353816 | 1.003361 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.240715E-6 | 8.240715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.531688E-5 | 3.531688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2989958E-4 | 4.398953E-4 | 1.0232513 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.004290826 | 0.00431074 | 1.004641 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.853405E-6 | 6.853405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9371411E-5 | 2.9371411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.575392E-4 | 3.675356E-4 | 1.027959 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035697357 | 0.0035896644 | 1.0055827 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.88815E-6 | 5.88815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5234687E-5 | 2.5234687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0718974E-4 | 3.1718667E-4 | 1.0325432 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030677244 | 0.003087663 | 1.0064995 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9422233E-6 | 4.9422233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.118079E-5 | 2.118079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5784614E-4 | 2.5784614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025755262 | 0.0025855005 | 1.0038728 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7533837E-6 | 3.7533837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6085833E-5 | 1.6085833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9582783E-4 | 1.9582783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019565937 | 0.0019565937 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.671978E-6 | 2.671978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1451287E-5 | 1.1451287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3941077E-4 | 1.3941077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013932608 | 0.0013932608 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8026044E-6 | 1.8026044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.725425E-6 | 7.725425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.405316E-5 | 9.405316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.401501E-4 | 9.401501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1501796E-6 | 1.1501796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9293326E-6 | 4.9293326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 6.001307E-5 | 6.001307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9997843E-4 | 5.9997843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.389535E-7 | 6.389535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7383696E-6 | 2.7383696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3339213E-5 | 3.3339213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3334893E-4 | 3.3334893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.5039778E-5 | 5.5039778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3586511E-4 | 2.3586511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028681438 | 0.002878115 | 1.0034766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.028339364 | 0.028387947 | 1.0017143 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.5039778E-5 | 5.5039778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3586511E-4 | 2.3586511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028681438 | 0.0028681438 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024405818 | 0.028339364 | 0.02837823 | 1.0013715 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3959917E-5 | 3.3959917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4553459E-4 | 1.4553459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017704776 | 0.0017704776 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015745522 | 0.017567663 | 0.017597135 | 1.0016776 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3959917E-5 | 3.3959917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4553459E-4 | 1.4553459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017704776 | 0.0017704776 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015745522 | 0.017567663 | 0.017597135 | 1.0016776 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7938699E-5 | 2.7938699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1973189E-4 | 1.1973189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014567795 | 0.0014567795 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013192902 | 0.014474467 | 0.014504033 | 1.0020427 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5150654E-5 | 2.5150654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.07784144E-4 | 1.07784144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013114964 | 0.0013114964 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012003611 | 0.013039234 | 0.013068843 | 1.0022707 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.037079E-5 | 2.037079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.7300505E-5 | 8.7300505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010623733 | 0.0010623733 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00992627 | 0.010573859 | 0.0106035415 | 1.0028071 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8160297E-5 | 1.8160297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.782756E-5 | 7.782756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.471442E-4 | 9.471442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008949154 | 0.009431722 | 0.009461438 | 1.0031507 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.593801E-5 | 1.593801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.8304E-5 | 6.8304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3128817E-4 | 8.3128817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007960589 | 0.008282275 | 0.008312026 | 1.0035923 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3338418E-5 | 1.3338418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.7163412E-5 | 5.7163412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.9574453E-4 | 6.9574453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069359248 | 0.0069557857 | 1.0028635 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1940334E-5 | 1.1940334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1171864E-5 | 5.1171864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.2284106E-4 | 6.2284106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062111476 | 0.0062210853 | 1.0016 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.054861E-5 | 1.054861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.520755E-5 | 4.520755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.502641E-4 | 5.502641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055142213 | 0.005489147 | 0.005499092 | 1.0018117 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.464991E-6 | 9.464991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0563624E-5 | 4.0563624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.9375126E-4 | 4.9375126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049266615 | 0.004936612 | 1.0020198 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.384891E-6 | 8.384891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.5934758E-5 | 3.5934758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3741887E-4 | 4.3741887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004470094 | 0.0043656905 | 0.004375647 | 1.0022806 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9560747E-6 | 6.9560747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9811414E-5 | 2.9811414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.628945E-4 | 3.628945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036231193 | 0.003633083 | 1.00275 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.254773E-6 | 5.254773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2520266E-5 | 2.2520266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7415046E-4 | 2.7415046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027381945 | 0.0027381945 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0617663E-6 | 2.0617663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.836111E-6 | 8.836111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0757443E-4 | 1.0757443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010752322 | 0.0010752322 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1021176E-6 | 1.1021176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.723353E-6 | 4.723353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7505327E-5 | 5.7505327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.749069E-4 | 5.749069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.0739205E-7 | 6.0739205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6031062E-6 | 2.6031062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1692372E-5 | 3.1692372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.1687986E-4 | 3.1687986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.091632E-9 | 5.091632E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.182128E-8 | 2.182128E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6567406E-7 | 2.6567406E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6567384E-6 | 2.6567384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.743794E-6 | 9.743794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175852E-5 | 4.175852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.083045E-4 | 5.3828926E-4 | 1.0589898 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005072712 | 0.005122458 | 1.0098066 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.743794E-6 | 9.743794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175852E-5 | 4.175852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.083045E-4 | 5.3828926E-4 | 1.0589898 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005072712 | 0.005122458 | 1.0098066 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.743794E-6 | 9.743794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175852E-5 | 4.175852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.083045E-4 | 5.3828926E-4 | 1.0589898 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005072712 | 0.005122458 | 1.0098066 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.743794E-6 | 9.743794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175852E-5 | 4.175852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.083045E-4 | 5.3828926E-4 | 1.0589898 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005072712 | 0.005122458 | 1.0098066 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3011518E-6 | 5.3011518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2719043E-5 | 2.2719043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7657268E-4 | 2.9656716E-4 | 1.0722938 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027626255 | 0.0027925426 | 1.0108292 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3011518E-6 | 5.3011518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2719043E-5 | 2.2719043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7657268E-4 | 2.9656716E-4 | 1.0722938 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027626255 | 0.0027925426 | 1.0108292 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4994594E-6 | 3.4994594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4997606E-5 | 1.4997606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8258215E-4 | 1.8258215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018244793 | 0.0018244793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4863247E-6 | 3.4863247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.49413145E-5 | 1.49413145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8189693E-4 | 1.8189693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018176382 | 0.0018176382 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7342196E-6 | 2.7342196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.171804E-5 | 1.171804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4265913E-4 | 1.4265913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014258077 | 0.0014258077 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.474799E-6 | 2.474799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0606245E-5 | 1.0606245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.291247E-4 | 1.291247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012906265 | 0.0012906265 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7432649E-6 | 1.7432649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4711197E-6 | 7.4711197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.0958136E-5 | 9.0958136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.093118E-4 | 9.093118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5719606E-7 | 3.5719606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5308393E-6 | 1.5308393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8637811E-5 | 1.8637811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.8636274E-4 | 1.8636274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2753501E-7 | 2.2753501E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.751496E-7 | 9.751496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1872384E-5 | 1.1872384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.18717595E-4 | 1.18717595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.606297E-7 | 1.606297E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.884128E-7 | 6.884128E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.381395E-6 | 8.381395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.3810846E-5 | 8.3810846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.14331726E-7 | 1.14331726E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.8999306E-7 | 4.8999306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.9656495E-6 | 5.9656495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9654936E-5 | 5.9654936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9794117E-8 | 4.9794117E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1340334E-7 | 2.1340334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5981826E-6 | 2.5981826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.598154E-5 | 2.598154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5319751E-9 | 1.5319751E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5656076E-9 | 6.5656076E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.993627E-8 | 7.993627E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.9936274E-7 | 7.9936274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3780747E-5 | 3.3780747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4476804E-4 | 1.4476804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017613833 | 0.0017713656 | 1.0056673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017499708 | 0.017539008 | 1.0022458 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3780747E-5 | 3.3780747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4476804E-4 | 1.4476804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017613833 | 0.0017713656 | 1.0056673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017499708 | 0.017539008 | 1.0022458 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3780747E-5 | 3.3780747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4476804E-4 | 1.4476804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017613833 | 0.0017713656 | 1.0056673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017499708 | 0.017539008 | 1.0022458 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3780747E-5 | 3.3780747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4476804E-4 | 1.4476804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017613833 | 0.0017713656 | 1.0056673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017499708 | 0.017539008 | 1.0022458 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7047343E-5 | 1.7047343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.305812E-5 | 7.305812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.891428E-4 | 8.991339E-4 | 1.0112368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008858092 | 0.008877914 | 1.0022378 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7047343E-5 | 1.7047343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.305812E-5 | 7.305812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.891428E-4 | 8.991339E-4 | 1.0112368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008858092 | 0.008877914 | 1.0022378 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2146244E-5 | 1.2146244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.2054307E-5 | 5.2054307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.335792E-4 | 6.435729E-4 | 1.0157733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063178837 | 0.006337757 | 1.0031456 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2146244E-5 | 1.2146244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.2054307E-5 | 5.2054307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.335792E-4 | 6.435729E-4 | 1.0157733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063178837 | 0.006337757 | 1.0031456 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.136779E-5 | 1.136779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8718197E-5 | 4.8718197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.929846E-4 | 6.0297863E-4 | 1.0168538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007104293 | 0.005914137 | 0.0059340186 | 1.0033617 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1345874E-5 | 1.1345874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8624275E-5 | 4.8624275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.918417E-4 | 6.018358E-4 | 1.0168864 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007094092 | 0.005902769 | 0.005922651 | 1.0033683 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1265366E-5 | 1.1265366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8279257E-5 | 4.8279257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.876434E-4 | 5.976375E-4 | 1.0170071 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007055073 | 0.005861008 | 0.005880891 | 1.0033923 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.07412425E-5 | 1.07412425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.6033096E-5 | 4.6033096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.6031067E-4 | 5.7030504E-4 | 1.0178373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0055890824 | 0.0056089703 | 1.0035584 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 1.001286E-5 | 1.001286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.291156E-5 | 4.291156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.2232476E-4 | 5.2232476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005211061 | 0.005221009 | 1.001909 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.85866E-6 | 8.85866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7965143E-5 | 3.7965143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6212916E-4 | 4.6212916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0046117445 | 0.0046216985 | 1.0021584 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.43781E-6 | 8.43781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.616155E-5 | 3.616155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.401795E-4 | 4.401795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0043931347 | 0.004403091 | 1.0022663 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.310409E-6 | 7.310409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1329957E-5 | 3.1329957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8137686E-4 | 3.8137686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.0038072646 | 0.0038172265 | 1.0026165 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.877292E-6 | 3.877292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.661686E-5 | 1.661686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0229162E-4 | 2.0229162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020210885 | 0.002031068 | 1.0049379 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.1290945E-6 | 3.1290945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3410336E-5 | 1.3410336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.632587E-4 | 1.632587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016313969 | 0.0016413806 | 1.0061197 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0312448E-6 | 2.0312448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.705306E-6 | 8.705306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.05981984E-4 | 1.05981984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010593191 | 0.0010593191 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2780036E-7 | 3.2780036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.404858E-6 | 1.404858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7104016E-5 | 1.7104016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7102729E-4 | 1.7102729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.686443E-9 | 5.686443E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4370468E-8 | 2.4370468E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9671045E-7 | 2.9671045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9671025E-6 | 2.9671025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7935835E-5 | 4.7935835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0542405E-4 | 2.0542405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024983329 | 0.002508308 | 1.0039927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02472003 | 0.024768794 | 1.0019727 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7935835E-5 | 4.7935835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0542405E-4 | 2.0542405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024983329 | 0.002508308 | 1.0039927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02472003 | 0.024768794 | 1.0019727 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7935835E-5 | 4.7935835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0542405E-4 | 2.0542405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024983329 | 0.002508308 | 1.0039927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02472003 | 0.024768794 | 1.0019727 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7935835E-5 | 4.7935835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0542405E-4 | 2.0542405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024983329 | 0.002508308 | 1.0039927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02472003 | 0.024768794 | 1.0019727 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9674567E-5 | 3.9674567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.7002331E-4 | 1.7002331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.002068162 | 0.002078141 | 1.0048252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.0204992 | 0.020548174 | 1.0023891 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9674567E-5 | 3.9674567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.7002331E-4 | 1.7002331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.002068162 | 0.002078141 | 1.0048252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.0204992 | 0.020548174 | 1.0023891 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.1266347E-5 | 3.1266347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3399195E-4 | 1.3399195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.001630166 | 0.001630166 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015636992 | 0.01618596 | 0.016205635 | 1.0012157 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0875402E-5 | 3.0875402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3231664E-4 | 1.3231664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016097993 | 0.0016097993 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458848 | 0.015985236 | 0.016004916 | 1.0012312 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5064137E-5 | 2.5064137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0741343E-4 | 1.0741343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013069956 | 0.0013069956 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012867244 | 0.012995464 | 0.013005333 | 1.0007595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.33912E-5 | 2.33912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.00244266E-4 | 1.00244266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.001219811 | 0.001219811 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012089936 | 0.012133354 | 0.012143233 | 1.0008142 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1813315E-5 | 2.1813315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.34824E-5 | 9.34824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011375739 | 0.0011375739 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011320163 | 0.011319616 | 0.011329503 | 1.0008734 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0591991E-5 | 2.0591991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.824852E-5 | 8.824852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010739157 | 0.0010739157 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010722724 | 0.010689318 | 0.010699211 | 1.0009255 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.91043E-5 | 1.91043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.187311E-5 | 8.187311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.963687E-4 | 9.963687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009859995 | 0.00992102 | 0.009930921 | 1.000998 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4953084E-5 | 1.4953084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.408315E-5 | 6.408315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.799458E-4 | 7.799458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.007773389 | 0.007783311 | 1.0012765 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1904634E-5 | 1.1904634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.1018917E-5 | 5.1018917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.2098773E-4 | 6.2098773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.006193477 | 0.0062034153 | 1.0016046 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.200854E-6 | 9.200854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.943168E-5 | 3.943168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.799828E-4 | 4.799828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.00479024 | 0.004800192 | 1.0020776 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.586425E-6 | 4.586425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9655967E-5 | 1.9655967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3928654E-4 | 2.3928654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023904291 | 0.0023904291 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.6228187E-6 | 3.6228187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.552628E-5 | 1.552628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8901742E-4 | 1.8901742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018886992 | 0.0018886992 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9869108E-5 | 4.9869108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1370733E-4 | 2.1370733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025989793 | 0.0026289013 | 1.011513 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025749685 | 0.025788656 | 1.0015134 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9869108E-5 | 4.9869108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1370733E-4 | 2.1370733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025989793 | 0.0026189273 | 1.0076753 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025749685 | 0.02576917 | 1.0007567 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9776384E-5 | 2.9776384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2760697E-4 | 1.2760697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.001552535 | 0.001552535 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015457809 | 0.015457809 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3256045E-5 | 2.3256045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.9665034E-5 | 9.9665034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012127599 | 0.0012127599 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012017938 | 0.012095373 | 0.012095373 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9731844E-5 | 1.9731844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.4562365E-5 | 8.4562365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010290706 | 0.0010290706 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.01027439 | 0.01027439 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7159042E-5 | 1.7159042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.353672E-5 | 7.353672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.9494884E-4 | 8.9494884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008943692 | 0.008943692 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4364633E-5 | 1.4364633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.156129E-5 | 6.156129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.4925617E-4 | 7.4925617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.0074865473 | 0.0074865473 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1688193E-5 | 1.1688193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0091316E-5 | 5.0091316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.096954E-4 | 6.096954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.0061005456 | 0.0061005456 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0622017E-5 | 1.0622017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5522156E-5 | 4.5522156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.540954E-4 | 5.540954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0055510774 | 0.0055510774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.887489E-6 | 7.887489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3803102E-5 | 3.3803102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1147802E-4 | 4.1147802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004123955 | 0.004123955 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.111564E-6 | 5.111564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.190652E-5 | 2.190652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.666794E-4 | 2.666794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026636093 | 0.0026636093 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.18082E-6 | 4.18082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7917677E-5 | 1.7917677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1812598E-4 | 2.1812598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021791304 | 0.0021791304 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2850403E-6 | 3.2850403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4078669E-5 | 1.4078669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7139441E-4 | 1.7139441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017126317 | 0.0017126317 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4427197E-6 | 2.4427197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0468758E-5 | 1.0468758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2744973E-4 | 1.2744973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012737735 | 0.0012737735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7696425E-6 | 1.7696425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.5841604E-6 | 7.5841604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.233329E-5 | 9.233329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.229547E-4 | 9.229547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.3912166E-7 | 9.3912166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.024801E-6 | 4.024801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.900089E-5 | 4.900089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.8990437E-4 | 4.8990437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.415716E-7 | 6.415716E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7495898E-6 | 2.7495898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.3475764E-5 | 3.3475764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3470936E-4 | 3.3470936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.451584E-8 | 6.451584E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7649642E-7 | 2.7649642E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3663391E-6 | 3.3663391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.366291E-5 | 3.366291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6055077E-5 | 3.6055077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5451263E-4 | 1.5451263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018795693 | 0.0018895505 | 1.0053104 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019391399 | 0.01944043 | 1.0025284 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6055077E-5 | 3.6055077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5451263E-4 | 1.5451263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018795693 | 0.0018895505 | 1.0053104 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019391399 | 0.01944043 | 1.0025284 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6055077E-5 | 3.6055077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5451263E-4 | 1.5451263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018795693 | 0.0018895505 | 1.0053104 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019391399 | 0.01944043 | 1.0025284 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6055077E-5 | 3.6055077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5451263E-4 | 1.5451263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018795693 | 0.0018895505 | 1.0053104 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019391399 | 0.01944043 | 1.0025284 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5926674E-5 | 3.5926674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5396239E-4 | 1.5396239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021150648 | 0.001872883 | 0.0018828642 | 1.0053294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.019325837 | 0.019374872 | 1.0025373 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5926674E-5 | 3.5926674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5396239E-4 | 1.5396239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021150648 | 0.001872883 | 0.0018828642 | 1.0053294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.019325837 | 0.019374872 | 1.0025373 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.5871883E-5 | 3.5871883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.537276E-4 | 1.537276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018700296 | 0.0018800109 | 1.0053375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.019297859 | 0.019346895 | 1.002541 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.584088E-5 | 3.584088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5359475E-4 | 1.5359475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018684153 | 0.0018783966 | 1.0053421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.019282024 | 0.01933106 | 1.0025431 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.581226E-5 | 3.581226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.534721E-4 | 1.534721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018669247 | 0.001876906 | 1.0053464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.01926735 | 0.019316388 | 1.0025451 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.5774643E-5 | 3.5774643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.533109E-4 | 1.533109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018649655 | 0.0018749469 | 1.005352 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.019248042 | 0.01929708 | 1.0025476 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.5654608E-5 | 3.5654608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.5279652E-4 | 1.5279652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018587137 | 0.0018686951 | 1.00537 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.01918637 | 0.01923541 | 1.002556 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.563297E-5 | 3.563297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.527038E-4 | 1.527038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018575868 | 0.0018675682 | 1.0053734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.019175194 | 0.019224236 | 1.0025575 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.553704E-5 | 3.553704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.5229273E-4 | 1.5229273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018525906 | 0.001862572 | 1.0053879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.019125734 | 0.019174777 | 1.0025643 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.53617E-5 | 3.53617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.5154136E-4 | 1.5154136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018434582 | 0.0018534397 | 1.0054146 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.019032812 | 0.019081859 | 1.0025771 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.5245565E-5 | 3.5245565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.510437E-4 | 1.510437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0018374093 | 0.0018473909 | 1.0054325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.01897115 | 0.019020202 | 1.0025855 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.429826E-5 | 3.429826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4698428E-4 | 1.4698428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017880677 | 0.0017980499 | 1.0055826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018465225 | 0.018514302 | 1.0026578 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.2049495E-5 | 3.2049495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3734776E-4 | 1.3734776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016709286 | 0.0016809119 | 1.0059747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.017283194 | 0.017332328 | 1.002843 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.8595177E-5 | 2.8595177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.2254501E-4 | 1.2254501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014909655 | 0.0015009505 | 1.006697 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.015484084 | 0.015533309 | 1.0031791 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5889187E-5 | 2.5889187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.10948946E-4 | 1.10948946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013499673 | 0.0013599538 | 1.0073975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.014066591 | 0.014115887 | 1.0035045 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.1030502E-5 | 2.1030502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301561E-5 | 9.012762E-5 | 9.012762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010967522 | 0.0011067413 | 1.0091078 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011516981 | 0.01155652 | 1.0034331 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.639757E-5 | 1.639757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6782646E-5 | 7.02734E-5 | 7.02734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.552436E-4 | 8.6523505E-4 | 1.0116826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.0090503795 | 0.009060289 | 1.0010949 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.591595E-6 | 8.591595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.6820606E-5 | 3.6820606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.4819922E-4 | 4.5819476E-4 | 1.0223016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0048139105 | 0.0048238626 | 1.0020673 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.6481252E-6 | 1.6481252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 7.0633746E-6 | 7.0633746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.5993226E-5 | 8.5993226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.952436E-4 | 9.952436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.8460766E-7 | 3.8460766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.6483175E-6 | 1.6483175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.0068086E-5 | 2.0068086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.4107732E-4 | 2.4107732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.5189412E-5 | 3.5189412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5080305E-4 | 1.5080305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018344829 | 0.0018444646 | 1.0054411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018932575 | 0.018981628 | 1.0025909 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.5189412E-5 | 3.5189412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5080305E-4 | 1.5080305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018344829 | 0.0018444646 | 1.0054411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018932575 | 0.018981628 | 1.0025909 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.5189412E-5 | 3.5189412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5080305E-4 | 1.5080305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018344829 | 0.0018444646 | 1.0054411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018932575 | 0.018981628 | 1.0025909 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.5189412E-5 | 3.5189412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5080305E-4 | 1.5080305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018344829 | 0.0018444646 | 1.0054411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018932575 | 0.018981628 | 1.0025909 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.511081E-5 | 3.511081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.5046622E-4 | 1.5046622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0018303893 | 0.0018403709 | 1.0054533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018892383 | 0.018941438 | 1.0025966 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.511081E-5 | 3.511081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.5046622E-4 | 1.5046622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0018303893 | 0.0018403709 | 1.0054533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018892383 | 0.018941438 | 1.0025966 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.5074114E-5 | 3.5074114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.5030897E-4 | 1.5030897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0018284782 | 0.00183846 | 1.0054591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.018873619 | 0.018922675 | 1.0025992 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.5059653E-5 | 3.5059653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.5024703E-4 | 1.5024703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0018277252 | 0.0018377069 | 1.0054613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.018866228 | 0.018915284 | 1.0026002 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.5028632E-5 | 3.5028632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.501141E-4 | 1.501141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0018261095 | 0.0018360913 | 1.0054661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.018850349 | 0.018899407 | 1.0026025 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4988956E-5 | 3.4988956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4994407E-4 | 1.4994407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0018240431 | 0.0018340248 | 1.0054723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.018830042 | 0.0188791 | 1.0026053 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.4870685E-5 | 3.4870685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4943724E-4 | 1.4943724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0018178829 | 0.0018278647 | 1.0054909 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.018769499 | 0.018818561 | 1.0026139 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.4826884E-5 | 3.4826884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4924955E-4 | 1.4924955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001890278 | 0.0018156016 | 0.0018255834 | 1.0054978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.018747063 | 0.018796125 | 1.0026171 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.4760866E-5 | 3.4760866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4896665E-4 | 1.4896665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001887647 | 0.001812163 | 0.0018221448 | 1.0055083 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018713234 | 0.018762298 | 1.0026219 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.464837E-5 | 3.464837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4848457E-4 | 1.4848457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0018063034 | 0.0018162853 | 1.0055262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.018655414 | 0.018704481 | 1.0026302 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.4595483E-5 | 3.4595483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4825795E-4 | 1.4825795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0018035489 | 0.0018135308 | 1.0055346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.018628228 | 0.018677296 | 1.002634 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.4403085E-5 | 3.4403085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4743347E-4 | 1.4743347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017935274 | 0.0018035095 | 1.0055656 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.018528238 | 0.018577311 | 1.0026486 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.2905748E-5 | 3.2905748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.4101702E-4 | 1.4101702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001713488 | 0.0017155323 | 0.0017255151 | 1.0058191 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.017737584 | 0.017786698 | 1.0027689 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9981697E-5 | 2.9981697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2848666E-4 | 1.2848666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015632038 | 0.0015731881 | 1.0063871 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.016215771 | 0.01626496 | 1.0030334 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.7242551E-5 | 2.7242551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1674857E-4 | 1.1674857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013010362 | 0.001420488 | 0.0014304738 | 1.0070299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.014782104 | 0.014831364 | 1.0033325 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.2144824E-5 | 2.2144824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.490294E-5 | 9.490294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011548317 | 0.0011648202 | 1.0086492 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.012108166 | 0.012147681 | 1.0032636 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.6450631E-5 | 1.6450631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6996516E-5 | 7.0500806E-5 | 7.0500806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.5801E-4 | 8.680014E-4 | 1.0116448 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.00908022 | 0.009090129 | 1.0010912 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.601564E-6 | 8.601564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.686333E-5 | 3.686333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.4871916E-4 | 4.587147E-4 | 1.0222757 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0048199347 | 0.0048298864 | 1.0020647 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.652976E-6 | 1.652976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 7.084164E-6 | 7.084164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.624631E-5 | 8.624631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.98239E-4 | 9.98239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.849088E-7 | 3.849088E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.6496081E-6 | 1.6496081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.0083797E-5 | 2.0083797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.4125617E-4 | 2.4125617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.9066508E-5 | 4.9066508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.1027103E-4 | 2.1027103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025575585 | 0.0025874819 | 1.0116999 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025339605 | 0.025378592 | 1.0015385 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6963111E-5 | 2.6963111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.155517E-4 | 1.155517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014060447 | 0.0014060447 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.013989829 | 0.01399969 | 1.0007048 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6963111E-5 | 2.6963111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.155517E-4 | 1.155517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014060447 | 0.0014060447 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.013989829 | 0.01399969 | 1.0007048 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.823703E-5 | 1.823703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.815661E-5 | 7.815661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.511869E-4 | 9.511869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009483072 | 0.009492977 | 1.0010445 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.823703E-5 | 1.823703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.815661E-5 | 7.815661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.511869E-4 | 9.511869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009483072 | 0.009492977 | 1.0010445 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6722077E-5 | 1.6722077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.1664326E-5 | 7.1664326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.72208E-4 | 8.72208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008699605 | 0.008709518 | 1.0011395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2080989E-5 | 1.2080989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.177483E-5 | 5.177483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.3021044E-4 | 6.3021044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.006294886 | 0.0063048233 | 1.0015786 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0439213E-5 | 1.0439213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.47389E-5 | 4.47389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.445924E-4 | 5.445924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054436037 | 0.0054535493 | 1.001827 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8234566E-6 | 3.8234566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6386151E-5 | 1.6386151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9948522E-4 | 1.9948522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019946436 | 0.0019946436 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.1593057E-6 | 2.1593057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.254136E-6 | 9.254136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.12663496E-4 | 1.12663496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011266532 | 0.0011266532 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.548224E-6 | 1.548224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.6352286E-6 | 6.6352286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.078098E-5 | 8.078098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.079798E-4 | 8.079798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4783867E-6 | 1.4783867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.335928E-6 | 6.335928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.713725E-5 | 7.713725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.7155663E-4 | 7.7155663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3621344E-6 | 1.3621344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.8377063E-6 | 5.8377063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.107181E-5 | 7.107181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.109265E-4 | 7.109265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1258111E-6 | 1.1258111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8248958E-6 | 4.8248958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.874157E-5 | 5.874157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8738736E-4 | 5.8738736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.264206E-7 | 9.264206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.970368E-6 | 3.970368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.83382E-5 | 4.83382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8329178E-4 | 4.8329178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.646277E-7 | 7.646277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2769722E-6 | 3.2769722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.989644E-5 | 3.989644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9889617E-4 | 3.9889617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.901818E-7 | 6.901818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.957919E-6 | 2.957919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.60121E-5 | 3.60121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.6006584E-4 | 3.6006584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4239487E-7 | 1.4239487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.102636E-7 | 6.102636E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.429944E-6 | 7.429944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.429792E-5 | 7.429792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9805631E-5 | 1.9805631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.487864E-5 | 8.487864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010329271 | 0.0010628961 | 1.0290136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010288523 | 0.010328111 | 1.0038478 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9805631E-5 | 1.9805631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.487864E-5 | 8.487864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010329271 | 0.0010628961 | 1.0290136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010288523 | 0.010328111 | 1.0038478 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9805631E-5 | 1.9805631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.487864E-5 | 8.487864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010329271 | 0.0010628961 | 1.0290136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010288523 | 0.010328111 | 1.0038478 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7784283E-5 | 1.7784283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.621622E-5 | 7.621622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.275522E-4 | 9.5752435E-4 | 1.0323132 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.00924356 | 0.009283191 | 1.0042874 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7784283E-5 | 1.7784283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.621622E-5 | 7.621622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.275522E-4 | 9.5752435E-4 | 1.0323132 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.00924356 | 0.009283191 | 1.0042874 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7784283E-5 | 1.7784283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.621622E-5 | 7.621622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.275522E-4 | 9.5752435E-4 | 1.0323132 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.00924356 | 0.009283191 | 1.0042874 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.7044744E-5 | 1.7044744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2234634E-5 | 7.304695E-5 | 7.304695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010007467 | 8.89E-4 | 9.1897335E-4 | 1.0337157 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00996252 | 0.008861387 | 0.008901033 | 1.0044739 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.4769095E-5 | 1.4769095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546184E-5 | 6.329464E-5 | 6.329464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.703496E-4 | 8.0032647E-4 | 1.0389134 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009145746 | 0.0076841214 | 0.0077238143 | 1.0051656 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.3817545E-5 | 1.3817545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.9216753E-5 | 5.9216753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8517193E-4 | 7.207342E-4 | 7.507125E-4 | 1.0415943 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008816543 | 0.0071906107 | 0.0072303233 | 1.0055228 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.2879246E-5 | 1.2879246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.5195647E-5 | 5.5195647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.718076E-4 | 7.017874E-4 | 1.0446256 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008315775 | 0.00670402 | 0.006733819 | 1.004445 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 1.0476204E-5 | 1.0476204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.489726E-5 | 4.489726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.944992E-4 | 5.464897E-4 | 5.7647337E-4 | 1.0548658 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006923327 | 0.00545593 | 0.005485766 | 1.0054686 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.964885E-6 | 9.964885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5136024E-5 | 4.2705968E-5 | 4.2705968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.710743E-4 | 5.1982363E-4 | 5.498081E-4 | 1.0576819 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0066905143 | 0.0051895827 | 0.005219427 | 1.0057508 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 8.658106E-6 | 8.658106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.710565E-5 | 3.710565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.5166942E-4 | 4.716604E-4 | 1.0442601 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060604266 | 0.004508993 | 0.004528903 | 1.0044156 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 7.2216667E-6 | 7.2216667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2893007E-5 | 3.0949643E-5 | 3.0949643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.7674818E-4 | 3.8674442E-4 | 1.0265329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005208723 | 0.0037614845 | 0.0037714469 | 1.0026485 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 6.425937E-6 | 6.425937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.7539447E-5 | 2.7539447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.3524257E-4 | 3.3524257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00474572 | 0.003347519 | 0.003347519 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 5.3958006E-6 | 5.3958006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.3124661E-5 | 2.3124661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.8150767E-4 | 2.8150767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0028116377 | 0.0028116377 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.6892114E-6 | 4.6892114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.990303E-5 | 2.0096471E-5 | 2.0096471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.4464825E-4 | 2.4464825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003634129 | 0.002443906 | 0.002443906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.334917E-6 | 2.334917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835715E-5 | 1.0006754E-5 | 1.0006754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.2182616E-4 | 1.2182616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021691616 | 0.0012176672 | 0.0012176672 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.4087454E-8 | 9.4087454E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.032319E-7 | 4.032319E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9093405E-6 | 4.9093405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.909265E-5 | 4.909265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4459755E-9 | 3.4459755E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4768467E-8 | 1.4768467E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7980608E-7 | 1.7980608E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7980595E-6 | 1.7980595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3850926E-5 | 2.3850926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0221426E-4 | 1.0221426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012437516 | 0.0012737142 | 1.0240905 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.01240926 | 0.0124487635 | 1.0031834 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3850926E-5 | 2.3850926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0221426E-4 | 1.0221426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012437516 | 0.0012737142 | 1.0240905 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.01240926 | 0.0124487635 | 1.0031834 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3850926E-5 | 2.3850926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0221426E-4 | 1.0221426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012437516 | 0.0012737142 | 1.0240905 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.01240926 | 0.0124487635 | 1.0031834 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3850926E-5 | 2.3850926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0221426E-4 | 1.0221426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012437516 | 0.0012737142 | 1.0240905 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.01240926 | 0.0124487635 | 1.0031834 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3850926E-5 | 2.3850926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0221426E-4 | 1.0221426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012437516 | 0.0012737142 | 1.0240905 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.01240926 | 0.0124487635 | 1.0031834 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.383988E-5 | 2.383988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.0216694E-4 | 1.0216694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.001243176 | 0.0012731387 | 1.0241017 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.012403568 | 0.012443072 | 1.0031849 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3454035E-5 | 2.3454035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6032466E-5 | 1.0051343E-4 | 1.0051343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012230674 | 0.0012530307 | 1.0244985 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.012204703 | 0.012244214 | 1.0032374 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3429307E-5 | 2.3429307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.59283E-5 | 1.0040747E-4 | 1.0040747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012217787 | 0.001251742 | 1.0245243 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012191958 | 0.01223147 | 1.0032408 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.3277646E-5 | 2.3277646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.975755E-5 | 9.975755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0012138747 | 0.0012438382 | 1.0246842 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.012113781 | 0.012153296 | 1.003262 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.3236997E-5 | 2.3236997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.958334E-5 | 9.958334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0012117561 | 0.0012417198 | 1.0247275 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.012092826 | 0.012132342 | 1.0032678 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2634686E-5 | 2.2634686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.70022E-5 | 9.70022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011803649 | 0.0012103295 | 1.0253859 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011782254 | 0.011821782 | 1.0033549 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.257965E-5 | 2.257965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.676636E-5 | 9.676636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011774965 | 0.0012074612 | 1.0254477 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011753875 | 0.011793404 | 1.0033631 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.195632E-5 | 2.195632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.4095136E-5 | 9.4095136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.001145009 | 0.0011749746 | 1.0261706 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.01143239 | 0.011471933 | 1.0034589 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1825756E-5 | 2.1825756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.3535615E-5 | 9.3535615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011382039 | 0.0011681698 | 1.0263274 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011365077 | 0.011404622 | 1.0034796 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.1196081E-5 | 2.1196081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975841E-5 | 9.08372E-5 | 9.08372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0011053844 | 0.0011353513 | 1.0271099 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.01104101 | 0.011080568 | 1.0035828 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9883662E-5 | 1.9883662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.521292E-5 | 8.521292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010369759 | 0.0010669447 | 1.0289003 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.010364038 | 0.010403624 | 1.0038195 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.9321336E-5 | 1.9321336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.280311E-5 | 8.280311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.592486E-4 | 0.0010076639 | 0.0010376336 | 1.0297419 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.010073623 | 0.01011322 | 1.0039308 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6751623E-5 | 1.6751623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.17907E-5 | 7.17907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.73703E-4 | 9.036768E-4 | 1.0343066 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008745222 | 0.0087848725 | 1.0045339 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.1406712E-5 | 1.1406712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.888499E-5 | 4.888499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.9501233E-4 | 6.249945E-4 | 1.0503892 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0059763254 | 0.0060160863 | 1.0066531 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.718846E-6 | 8.718846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.736595E-5 | 3.736595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.548356E-4 | 4.8482194E-4 | 1.0659279 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.0045786514 | 0.004618468 | 1.0086962 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.9752607E-6 | 4.9752607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.1322372E-5 | 2.1322372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5956897E-4 | 2.6956637E-4 | 1.0385154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.0026163955 | 0.002636343 | 1.0076241 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.2642912E-6 | 2.2642912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.704069E-6 | 9.704069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.18140655E-4 | 1.18140655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011959035 | 0.0011959035 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.7463573E-7 | 4.7463573E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 2.0341515E-6 | 2.0341515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.4765515E-5 | 2.4765515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.5632794E-4 | 2.5632794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.789878E-8 | 8.789878E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.76709E-7 | 3.76709E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.586423E-6 | 4.586423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.812212E-5 | 4.812212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3803215E-5 | 3.3803215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4486356E-4 | 1.4486356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.001762408 | 0.0017723903 | 1.0056641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01749666 | 0.01753596 | 1.0022461 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3803215E-5 | 3.3803215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4486356E-4 | 1.4486356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.001762408 | 0.0017723903 | 1.0056641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01749666 | 0.01753596 | 1.0022461 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3803215E-5 | 3.3803215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4486356E-4 | 1.4486356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.001762408 | 0.0017723903 | 1.0056641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01749666 | 0.01753596 | 1.0022461 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.592453E-5 | 1.592453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.824628E-5 | 6.824628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3059596E-4 | 8.3059596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008276376 | 0.008276376 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.592453E-5 | 1.592453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.824628E-5 | 6.824628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3059596E-4 | 8.3059596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008276376 | 0.008276376 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1342245E-5 | 1.1342245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8608756E-5 | 4.8608756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.916579E-4 | 5.916579E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006966323 | 0.0059015327 | 0.0059015327 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.62987E-6 | 8.62987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6984657E-5 | 3.6984657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.5019953E-4 | 4.5019953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005629168 | 0.004493312 | 0.004493312 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.8060244E-6 | 6.8060244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.9168368E-5 | 2.9168368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.550702E-4 | 3.550702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035453462 | 0.0035453462 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.939017E-6 | 4.939017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.116705E-5 | 2.116705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.576795E-4 | 2.576795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.00257392 | 0.00257392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8343824E-6 | 3.8343824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6432967E-5 | 1.6432967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 2.0005353E-4 | 2.0005353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019987873 | 0.0019987873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.681389E-6 | 2.681389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1491618E-5 | 1.1491618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3990173E-4 | 1.3990173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013981629 | 0.0013981629 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8874399E-6 | 1.8874399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.089004E-6 | 8.089004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.84793E-5 | 9.84793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.843694E-4 | 9.843694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2834038E-6 | 1.2834038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.500291E-6 | 5.500291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.696409E-5 | 6.696409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.6944916E-4 | 6.6944916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.070592E-7 | 6.070592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.6016799E-6 | 2.6016799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.167503E-5 | 3.167503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.167089E-4 | 3.167089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1204243E-7 | 3.1204243E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.337324E-6 | 1.337324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.62818E-5 | 1.62818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6280619E-4 | 1.6280619E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8323745E-7 | 1.8323745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.853031E-7 | 7.853031E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.561024E-6 | 9.561024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.560621E-5 | 9.560621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.9157016E-8 | 4.9157016E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.1067291E-7 | 2.1067291E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5649401E-6 | 2.5649401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.564914E-5 | 2.564914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2605405E-5 | 2.2605405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.6876836E-5 | 9.6876836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011788595 | 0.0012088241 | 1.0254183 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.011737196 | 0.011776727 | 1.003368 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2605405E-5 | 2.2605405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.6876836E-5 | 9.6876836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011788595 | 0.0012088241 | 1.0254183 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.011737196 | 0.011776727 | 1.003368 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2605405E-5 | 2.2605405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.6876836E-5 | 9.6876836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011788595 | 0.0012088241 | 1.0254183 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.011737196 | 0.011776727 | 1.003368 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8461858E-5 | 1.8461858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.911995E-5 | 7.911995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.6287695E-4 | 9.928481E-4 | 1.0311266 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.009593457 | 0.009633073 | 1.0041295 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8461858E-5 | 1.8461858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.911995E-5 | 7.911995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.6287695E-4 | 9.928481E-4 | 1.0311266 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.009593457 | 0.009633073 | 1.0041295 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.4789053E-5 | 1.4789053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8592806E-5 | 6.338017E-5 | 6.338017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.713891E-4 | 8.01366E-4 | 1.0388609 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009523412 | 0.007689563 | 0.0077292556 | 1.0051619 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.4651435E-5 | 1.4651435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.809766E-5 | 6.27904E-5 | 6.27904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.504242E-4 | 7.642138E-4 | 7.9419086E-4 | 1.039226 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009463696 | 0.007618303 | 0.0076579982 | 1.0052105 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.4062124E-5 | 1.4062124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.505249E-5 | 6.02649E-5 | 6.02649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.13381E-4 | 7.334868E-4 | 7.634648E-4 | 1.0408705 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00909636 | 0.0073176087 | 0.007357316 | 1.0054263 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.39858475E-5 | 1.39858475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4642754E-5 | 5.993802E-5 | 5.993802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.083966E-4 | 7.2950963E-4 | 7.5948774E-4 | 1.0410935 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009046922 | 0.007278038 | 0.007317747 | 1.005456 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.3021586E-5 | 1.3021586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.5805645E-5 | 5.5805645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.792296E-4 | 7.0920924E-4 | 1.0441377 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008522186 | 0.00677769 | 0.0068074865 | 1.0043963 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 1.090774E-5 | 1.090774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.6746634E-5 | 4.6746634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.689944E-4 | 5.989773E-4 | 1.0526946 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0072331014 | 0.0056798514 | 0.005709681 | 1.0052519 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 1.035565E-5 | 1.035565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.4380617E-5 | 4.4380617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9922156E-4 | 5.4020266E-4 | 5.701864E-4 | 1.0555047 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069702556 | 0.0053924057 | 0.005422244 | 1.0055333 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 9.021814E-6 | 9.021814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.866435E-5 | 3.866435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.706386E-4 | 4.906292E-4 | 1.0424755 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0063146 | 0.0046978993 | 0.0047178054 | 1.0042372 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 7.5931825E-6 | 7.5931825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019697E-5 | 3.2541815E-5 | 3.2541815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797693E-4 | 3.96126E-4 | 4.0612207E-4 | 1.0252345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005466277 | 0.003954591 | 0.0039645517 | 1.0025187 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.8035392E-6 | 6.8035392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.9157707E-5 | 2.9157707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.5493865E-4 | 3.5493865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005009353 | 0.00354387 | 0.00354387 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.649143E-6 | 5.649143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.4210396E-5 | 2.4210396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.94723E-4 | 2.94723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004277392 | 0.0029434497 | 0.0029434497 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.6876476E-6 | 4.6876476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9892764E-5 | 2.008977E-5 | 2.008977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.4456668E-4 | 2.4456668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036328835 | 0.002443092 | 0.002443092 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.3335676E-6 | 2.3335676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7826753E-5 | 1.000097E-5 | 1.000097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.2175576E-4 | 1.2175576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021680726 | 0.0012169639 | 0.0012169639 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.4087454E-8 | 9.4087454E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.032319E-7 | 4.032319E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9093405E-6 | 4.9093405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.909265E-5 | 4.909265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4459755E-9 | 3.4459755E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4768467E-8 | 1.4768467E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7980608E-7 | 1.7980608E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7980595E-6 | 1.7980595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764451E-5 | 4.764451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0417568E-4 | 2.0417568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.00248317 | 0.0024931452 | 1.0040171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02457188 | 0.024601143 | 1.0011909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764451E-5 | 4.764451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0417568E-4 | 2.0417568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.00248317 | 0.0024931452 | 1.0040171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02457188 | 0.024601143 | 1.0011909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764451E-5 | 4.764451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0417568E-4 | 2.0417568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.00248317 | 0.0024931452 | 1.0040171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02457188 | 0.024601143 | 1.0011909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764451E-5 | 4.764451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0417568E-4 | 2.0417568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.00248317 | 0.0024931452 | 1.0040171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02457188 | 0.024601143 | 1.0011909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764451E-5 | 4.764451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0417568E-4 | 2.0417568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.00248317 | 0.0024931452 | 1.0040171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02457188 | 0.024601143 | 1.0011909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5398596E-5 | 3.5398596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5169996E-4 | 1.5169996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018454747 | 0.0018554563 | 1.0054086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632528 | 0.018311162 | 0.018340612 | 1.0016084 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5387966E-5 | 3.5387966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5165441E-4 | 1.5165441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018449211 | 0.0018549027 | 1.0054103 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632056 | 0.018305715 | 0.018335167 | 1.0016088 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.150333E-5 | 3.150333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3500775E-4 | 1.3500775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016425654 | 0.001652549 | 1.006078 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014641452 | 0.016313031 | 0.016342541 | 1.001809 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1441155E-5 | 3.1441155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3474133E-4 | 1.3474133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016393266 | 0.0016493101 | 1.00609 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014613459 | 0.016281119 | 0.016310629 | 1.0018126 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6735257E-5 | 2.6735257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1457507E-4 | 1.1457507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.001394135 | 0.0014041209 | 1.0071629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012562336 | 0.013861597 | 0.01389118 | 1.0021342 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.586303E-5 | 2.586303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10837274E-4 | 1.10837274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013486843 | 0.0013586709 | 1.0074047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012179627 | 0.013412646 | 0.013442243 | 1.0022067 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4488527E-5 | 2.4488527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.0494703E-4 | 1.0494703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012770562 | 0.0012870434 | 1.0078205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01157452 | 0.01270471 | 0.012734328 | 1.0023314 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7688053E-5 | 1.7688053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.58041E-5 | 7.58041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.225877E-4 | 9.225877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008590161 | 0.009193869 | 0.009213685 | 1.0021553 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5575048E-5 | 1.5575048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.674884E-5 | 6.674884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.124259E-4 | 8.124259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076425658 | 0.0081006475 | 0.008120486 | 1.0024489 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5329224E-6 | 5.5329224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3712313E-5 | 2.3712313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.8865968E-4 | 2.8865968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028829018 | 0.002892873 | 1.0034587 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.3424433E-6 | 5.3424433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2895987E-5 | 2.2895987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.787235E-4 | 2.787235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027837933 | 0.0027937654 | 1.0035822 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.318684E-6 | 4.318684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8508517E-5 | 1.8508517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2531825E-4 | 2.2531825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022509326 | 0.00226091 | 1.0044326 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.855166E-6 | 2.855166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.223637E-5 | 1.223637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4896788E-4 | 1.4896788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014887066 | 0.0014986916 | 1.0067072 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0131336E-6 | 1.0131336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.3419936E-6 | 4.3419936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.286252E-5 | 5.286252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.285024E-4 | 5.285024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8627243E-7 | 1.8627243E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.9831017E-7 | 7.9831017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.719386E-6 | 9.719386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.71899E-5 | 9.71899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.313829E-5 | 2.313829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.91632E-5 | 9.91632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.001207152 | 0.001227128 | 1.0165479 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055835 | 0.012095353 | 1.0032779 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.313829E-5 | 2.313829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.91632E-5 | 9.91632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.001207152 | 0.001227128 | 1.0165479 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055835 | 0.012095353 | 1.0032779 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.313829E-5 | 2.313829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.91632E-5 | 9.91632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.001207152 | 0.001227128 | 1.0165479 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055835 | 0.012095353 | 1.0032779 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.313829E-5 | 2.313829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.91632E-5 | 9.91632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.001207152 | 0.001227128 | 1.0165479 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055835 | 0.012095353 | 1.0032779 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.313829E-5 | 2.313829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.91632E-5 | 9.91632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.001207152 | 0.001227128 | 1.0165479 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055835 | 0.012095353 | 1.0032779 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0072874E-5 | 2.0072874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.60266E-5 | 8.60266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010473737 | 0.0010673527 | 1.0190754 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010473703 | 0.010503389 | 1.0028343 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0072874E-5 | 2.0072874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.60266E-5 | 8.60266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010473737 | 0.0010673527 | 1.0190754 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010473703 | 0.010503389 | 1.0028343 | 3.0E-5 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2880172E-5 | 1.2880172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5199696E-5 | 5.5199696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.7187124E-4 | 6.818645E-4 | 1.0148739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006702868 | 0.0067426 | 1.0059276 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2880172E-5 | 1.2880172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5199696E-5 | 5.5199696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.7187124E-4 | 6.818645E-4 | 1.0148739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006702868 | 0.0067426 | 1.0059276 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2880172E-5 | 1.2880172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5199696E-5 | 5.5199696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.7187124E-4 | 6.818645E-4 | 1.0148739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006702868 | 0.0067426 | 1.0059276 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.174246E-6 | 8.174246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.5032033E-5 | 3.5032033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.2643474E-4 | 4.3643048E-4 | 1.0234402 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.0042587644 | 0.0042985943 | 1.0093524 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.158533E-6 | 8.158533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.496469E-5 | 3.496469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2561517E-4 | 4.356109E-4 | 1.0234854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.0042506005 | 0.0042904303 | 1.0093704 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.4833297E-6 | 7.4833297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.2071035E-5 | 3.2071035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.9039768E-4 | 4.0039376E-4 | 1.025605 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038996767 | 0.0039395206 | 1.0102173 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.9430685E-6 | 6.9430685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.9755682E-5 | 2.9755682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.6221766E-4 | 3.7221404E-4 | 1.0275977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0036187985 | 0.0036586537 | 1.0110134 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 6.0526954E-6 | 6.0526954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.5939873E-5 | 2.5939873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.1577374E-4 | 3.2577058E-4 | 1.0316583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0031556848 | 0.0031855903 | 1.0094767 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.757845E-6 | 5.757845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4676254E-5 | 2.4676254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8089297E-4 | 3.0039344E-4 | 3.1039043E-4 | 1.0332797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0030022995 | 0.0030322094 | 1.0099623 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.876616E-6 | 4.876616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.089962E-5 | 2.089962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5442394E-4 | 2.644214E-4 | 1.0392945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014436257 | 0.0025436834 | 0.0025636326 | 1.0078427 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 4.0317345E-6 | 4.0317345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.727875E-5 | 1.727875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.1034903E-4 | 2.1034903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0021038172 | 0.0021137963 | 1.0047432 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3873782E-6 | 3.3873782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4517256E-5 | 1.4517256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7673362E-4 | 1.7673362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017682206 | 0.001778203 | 1.0056454 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.834635E-6 | 2.834635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.2148381E-5 | 1.2148381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4789673E-4 | 1.4789673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014802429 | 0.0014902281 | 1.0067457 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.6482517E-6 | 2.6482517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1349603E-5 | 1.1349603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3817287E-4 | 1.3817287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.0013829338 | 0.00139292 | 1.007221 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.519793E-6 | 2.519793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.079907E-5 | 1.079907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.3147097E-4 | 1.3147097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0013157664 | 0.0013157664 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.4423723E-6 | 2.4423723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.0467269E-5 | 1.0467269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2743176E-4 | 1.2743176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012752321 | 0.0012752321 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.0759874E-6 | 2.0759874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.897059E-6 | 8.897059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.083165E-4 | 1.083165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010843534 | 0.0010843534 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1826628E-6 | 1.1826628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 5.0685453E-6 | 5.0685453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.170783E-5 | 6.170783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.1975897E-4 | 6.1975897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.6415563E-7 | 2.6415563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1320951E-6 | 1.1320951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3783175E-5 | 1.3783175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3889518E-4 | 1.3889518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.229045E-8 | 4.229045E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.8124477E-7 | 1.8124477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.206653E-6 | 2.206653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.240674E-5 | 2.240674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6349635E-5 | 7.6349635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2717505E-4 | 3.2717505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003976611 | 0.003976611 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.03911107 | 0.039139897 | 1.0007371 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6349635E-5 | 7.6349635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2717505E-4 | 3.2717505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003976611 | 0.003976611 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.03911107 | 0.039139897 | 1.0007371 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6349635E-5 | 7.6349635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2717505E-4 | 3.2717505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003976611 | 0.003976611 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.03911107 | 0.039139897 | 1.0007371 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.982181E-5 | 4.982181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1350585E-4 | 2.1350585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025965448 | 0.0025965448 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.025683748 | 0.02569349 | 1.0003793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.982181E-5 | 4.982181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1350585E-4 | 2.1350585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025965448 | 0.0025965448 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.025683748 | 0.02569349 | 1.0003793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6610436E-5 | 3.6610436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.568931E-4 | 1.568931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019086166 | 0.0019086166 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015794903 | 0.018934196 | 0.018944006 | 1.0005182 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5202105E-5 | 3.5202105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.508581E-4 | 1.508581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018352644 | 0.0018352644 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015149189 | 0.018212708 | 0.018222526 | 1.0005391 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.7283471E-5 | 2.7283471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.1692444E-4 | 1.1692444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014227174 | 0.0014227174 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011863477 | 0.014145348 | 0.014155207 | 1.0006969 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5464919E-5 | 2.5464919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0913131E-4 | 1.0913131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013279543 | 0.0013279543 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011065915 | 0.013209251 | 0.013219119 | 1.0007471 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2642498E-5 | 2.2642498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.7036165E-5 | 9.7036165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011808625 | 0.0011808625 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009869894 | 0.011754587 | 0.01176447 | 1.0008408 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0345224E-5 | 2.0345224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.719138E-5 | 8.719138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010611236 | 0.0010611236 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008882134 | 0.010569027 | 0.010578921 | 1.0009362 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.9018955E-5 | 1.9018955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.150774E-5 | 8.150774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.919899E-4 | 9.919899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008304977 | 0.0098840045 | 0.009893905 | 1.0010017 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7219174E-5 | 1.7219174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.379484E-5 | 7.379484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.981661E-4 | 8.981661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007520827 | 0.008953653 | 0.0089635635 | 1.0011069 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.2110475E-6 | 6.2110475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6618702E-5 | 2.6618702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.240695E-4 | 3.240695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032394014 | 0.0032394014 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.4092216E-7 | 8.4092216E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6039473E-6 | 3.6039473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.387725E-5 | 4.387725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.386931E-4 | 4.386931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.6679587E-7 | 6.6679587E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.857694E-6 | 2.857694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4791934E-5 | 3.4791934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.478715E-4 | 3.478715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5624117E-7 | 3.5624117E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5267473E-6 | 1.5267473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8588036E-5 | 1.8588036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8586942E-4 | 1.8586942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2199821E-7 | 1.2199821E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.2284935E-7 | 5.2284935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.365673E-6 | 6.365673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.3654945E-5 | 6.3654945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1031554E-8 | 3.1031554E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3299237E-7 | 1.3299237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.619181E-6 | 1.619181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6191714E-5 | 1.6191714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.06866E-6 | 6.06866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.600832E-5 | 2.600832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1661193E-4 | 3.2660874E-4 | 1.0315744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031622609 | 0.0032021343 | 1.0126091 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.06866E-6 | 6.06866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.600832E-5 | 2.600832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1661193E-4 | 3.2660874E-4 | 1.0315744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031622609 | 0.0032021343 | 1.0126091 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.06866E-6 | 6.06866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.600832E-5 | 2.600832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1661193E-4 | 3.2660874E-4 | 1.0315744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031622609 | 0.0032021343 | 1.0126091 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.06866E-6 | 6.06866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.600832E-5 | 2.600832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1661193E-4 | 3.2660874E-4 | 1.0315744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031622609 | 0.0032021343 | 1.0126091 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5584103E-6 | 3.5584103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5250247E-5 | 1.5250247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8565703E-4 | 1.9565519E-4 | 1.0538528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018551277 | 0.0018950535 | 1.0215218 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.5003284E-6 | 3.5003284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.5001327E-5 | 1.5001327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8262694E-4 | 1.9262511E-4 | 1.0547464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018248769 | 0.0018648038 | 1.0218793 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3335356E-6 | 2.3335356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 1.0000831E-5 | 1.0000831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.2175375E-4 | 1.3175253E-4 | 1.082123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012169129 | 0.0012368886 | 1.016415 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6490743E-6 | 1.6490743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.067443E-6 | 7.067443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.604291E-5 | 9.604205E-5 | 1.116211 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002060454 | 8.601145E-4 | 8.8009733E-4 | 1.0232327 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2251227E-6 | 1.2251227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.250516E-6 | 5.250516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.3923246E-5 | 7.392261E-5 | 1.1564276 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017921652 | 6.390577E-4 | 6.5904495E-4 | 1.0312761 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0039038E-6 | 1.0039038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.302438E-6 | 4.302438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2381E-5 | 5.2381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016353652 | 5.236942E-4 | 5.3368893E-4 | 1.0190852 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.433173E-7 | 7.433173E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1856418E-6 | 3.1856418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.878455E-5 | 3.878455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014754693 | 3.877828E-4 | 3.9777893E-4 | 1.0257776 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4263694E-7 | 5.4263694E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.325585E-6 | 2.325585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.831367E-5 | 2.831367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.831047E-4 | 2.9310185E-4 | 1.0353127 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.0760083E-7 | 1.0760083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6114636E-7 | 4.6114636E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.6144436E-6 | 5.6144436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6143133E-5 | 5.6143133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0118974E-8 | 5.0118974E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1479558E-7 | 2.1479558E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6151336E-6 | 2.6151336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6151074E-5 | 2.6151074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.880601E-9 | 4.880601E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0916861E-8 | 2.0916861E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5466278E-7 | 2.5466278E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5466259E-6 | 2.5466259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.064643E-5 | 7.064643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0273717E-4 | 3.0273717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028321352 | 0.003679596 | 0.0036995225 | 1.0054153 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02796312 | 0.036188107 | 0.03621702 | 1.0007991 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.8337348E-5 | 5.8337348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.499945E-4 | 2.499945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030394273 | 0.0030593665 | 1.0065602 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023502063 | 0.029978106 | 0.030007206 | 1.0009707 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4799086E-5 | 3.4799086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4913059E-4 | 1.4913059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018141228 | 0.0018141228 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.017990015 | 0.017990015 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8261858E-5 | 2.8261858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.2111668E-4 | 1.2111668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0014735792 | 0.0014735792 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.014636138 | 0.014636138 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.2158109E-5 | 2.2158109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.495991E-5 | 9.495991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011555244 | 0.0011555244 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.011495017 | 0.011495017 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6825132E-5 | 1.6825132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.21059E-5 | 7.21059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.775491E-4 | 8.775491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008741892 | 0.008741892 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.1255201E-5 | 1.1255201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8235703E-5 | 4.8235703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.871153E-4 | 5.871153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.005856032 | 0.005856032 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.029516E-6 | 9.029516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.8697366E-5 | 3.8697366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7104096E-4 | 4.7104096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.004700671 | 0.004700671 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.459861E-6 | 7.459861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1970452E-5 | 3.1970452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.8917275E-4 | 3.8917275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.003885117 | 0.003885117 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.9037208E-6 | 4.9037208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.1015785E-5 | 2.1015785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5583853E-4 | 2.5583853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025555778 | 0.0025555778 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.5230952E-6 | 1.5230952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.527535E-6 | 6.527535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.946993E-5 | 7.946993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.9442386E-4 | 7.9442386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.461864E-7 | 7.461864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.197938E-6 | 3.197938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8934242E-5 | 3.8934242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8927834E-4 | 3.8927834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.461864E-7 | 7.461864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.197938E-6 | 3.197938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8934242E-5 | 3.8934242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8927834E-4 | 3.8927834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.5851424E-7 | 6.5851424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.822201E-6 | 2.822201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.4359797E-5 | 3.4359797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.435489E-4 | 3.435489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0787835E-7 | 6.0787835E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6051905E-6 | 2.6051905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.1717773E-5 | 3.1717773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.171365E-4 | 3.171365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0787835E-7 | 6.0787835E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6051905E-6 | 2.6051905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.1717773E-5 | 3.1717773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.171365E-4 | 3.171365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3271502E-6 | 4.3271502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544815E-5 | 1.8544815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.257627E-4 | 2.3576045E-4 | 1.0442843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556272 | 0.0022855597 | 1.01327 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3271502E-6 | 4.3271502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544815E-5 | 1.8544815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.257627E-4 | 2.3576045E-4 | 1.0442843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556272 | 0.0022855597 | 1.01327 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3271502E-6 | 4.3271502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544815E-5 | 1.8544815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.257627E-4 | 2.3576045E-4 | 1.0442843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556272 | 0.0022855597 | 1.01327 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3271502E-6 | 4.3271502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544815E-5 | 1.8544815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.257627E-4 | 2.3576045E-4 | 1.0442843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556272 | 0.0022855597 | 1.01327 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3271502E-6 | 4.3271502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544815E-5 | 1.8544815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.257627E-4 | 2.3576045E-4 | 1.0442843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556272 | 0.0022855597 | 1.01327 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3271502E-6 | 4.3271502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544815E-5 | 1.8544815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.257627E-4 | 2.3576045E-4 | 1.0442843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556272 | 0.0022855597 | 1.01327 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.532665E-6 | 2.532665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0854235E-5 | 1.0854235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321428E-4 | 1.4214148E-4 | 1.0756657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013206905 | 0.0013506508 | 1.0226854 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.532665E-6 | 2.532665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0854235E-5 | 1.0854235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321428E-4 | 1.4214148E-4 | 1.0756657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013206905 | 0.0013506508 | 1.0226854 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8328398E-6 | 1.8328398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.855005E-6 | 7.855005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.563061E-5 | 1.0562966E-4 | 1.1045591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010282523 | 9.559075E-4 | 9.858789E-4 | 1.0313538 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7435583E-6 | 1.7435583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4723716E-6 | 7.4723716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.097245E-5 | 1.0097154E-4 | 1.1099133 | 1.0E-5 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.0936414E-4 | 9.3933684E-4 | 1.03296 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.385413E-6 | 1.385413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.937471E-6 | 5.937471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.228636E-5 | 8.2285645E-5 | 1.1383287 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.226337E-4 | 7.5261196E-4 | 1.0414848 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1629136E-6 | 1.1629136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.983906E-6 | 4.983906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0677394E-5 | 7.067679E-5 | 1.164796 | 1.0E-5 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.066115E-4 | 6.3659326E-4 | 1.049425 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.4133566E-7 | 9.4133566E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.0342898E-6 | 4.0342898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.911639E-5 | 5.9115897E-5 | 1.203588 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.910572E-4 | 5.2104244E-4 | 1.0610627 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2376173E-7 | 7.2376173E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1018324E-6 | 3.1018324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7764166E-5 | 4.7763788E-5 | 1.2647913 | 1.0E-5 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.775786E-4 | 4.0756728E-4 | 1.0794237 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.021129E-7 | 5.021129E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1519108E-6 | 2.1519108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6199203E-5 | 3.619894E-5 | 1.381681 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.619616E-4 | 2.9195374E-4 | 1.1144906 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6836147E-7 | 3.6836147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.5786911E-6 | 1.5786911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9220397E-5 | 2.9220204E-5 | 1.5202706 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9218755E-4 | 2.1218372E-4 | 1.104045 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3463079E-7 | 2.3463079E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0055601E-6 | 1.0055601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2242627E-5 | 2.2242504E-5 | 1.8168081 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.2241965E-4 | 1.3241843E-4 | 1.0816762 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.8601324E-8 | 6.8601324E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.9400564E-7 | 2.9400564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.579513E-6 | 3.579513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5794605E-5 | 3.5794605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.8161976E-4 | 4.8161976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020624895 | 0.0020624895 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.02481635 | 0.024835853 | 1.000786 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21531217 | 0.21533571 | 1.0001093 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.8161976E-4 | 4.8161976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020624895 | 0.0020624895 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.02481635 | 0.024835853 | 1.000786 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21531217 | 0.21533571 | 1.0001093 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.723519E-4 | 4.723519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.002022832 | 0.002022832 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011405343 | 0.0243452 | 0.024364714 | 1.0008016 | 2.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.21172555 | 0.2117492 | 1.0001117 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.666872E-4 | 4.666872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.001998592 | 0.001998592 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011262234 | 0.024057686 | 0.024077205 | 1.0008113 | 2.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.20961557 | 0.20963928 | 1.0001131 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.054241E-4 | 4.054241E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017363896 | 0.0017363896 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00974259 | 0.020935902 | 0.020955482 | 1.0009353 | 2.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.18636607 | 0.18639047 | 1.000131 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7956654E-4 | 3.7956654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016257121 | 0.0016257121 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009034078 | 0.019615069 | 0.019634677 | 1.0009996 | 2.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17615625 | 0.17618097 | 1.0001403 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.534745E-4 | 3.534745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0015140215 | 0.0015140215 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008271996 | 0.018278543 | 0.018298177 | 1.0010742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16551241 | 0.16553745 | 1.0001513 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2485966E-4 | 3.2485966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013915213 | 0.0013915213 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007417723 | 0.016811403 | 0.016831066 | 1.0011697 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15356725 | 0.15359266 | 1.0001653 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9415154E-4 | 2.9415154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012600467 | 0.0012600467 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015234636 | 0.015254332 | 1.0012928 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13980529 | 0.1398311 | 1.0001845 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.653497E-4 | 2.653497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011367217 | 0.0011367217 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005298089 | 0.013752789 | 0.013772515 | 1.0014342 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.12609269 | 0.1261189 | 1.0002079 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2614424E-4 | 2.2614424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.688329E-4 | 9.688329E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011732467 | 0.011752233 | 1.0016847 | 2.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.108143285 | 0.10817004 | 1.0002474 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2294949E-4 | 2.2294949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.5515116E-4 | 9.5515116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011567673 | 0.011587441 | 1.001709 | 2.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.10669804 | 0.10672484 | 1.0002512 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0415637E-4 | 2.0415637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.7466557E-4 | 8.7466557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010597708 | 0.0106174955 | 1.0018672 | 2.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.09834852 | 0.09837557 | 1.000275 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.903847E-4 | 1.903847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.1568223E-4 | 8.1568223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009886311 | 0.009906113 | 1.002003 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.092217654 | 0.092244886 | 1.0002953 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.268537E-4 | 1.268537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.4354634E-4 | 5.4354634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023488526 | 0.0065977746 | 0.006617643 | 1.0030113 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.063045666 | 0.06307378 | 1.0004458 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.468353E-5 | 9.468353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0572378E-4 | 4.0572378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004928563 | 0.0049385135 | 1.002019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.047646552 | 0.0476656 | 1.0003997 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.1626724E-5 | 7.1626724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.069357E-4 | 3.069357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001354725 | 0.0037305637 | 0.0037405265 | 1.0026705 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.036332723 | 0.036351997 | 1.0005305 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 5.0310184E-5 | 5.0310184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1559729E-4 | 2.1559729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0026217431 | 0.002631717 | 1.0038042 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025698142 | 0.025717627 | 1.0007583 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 4.047242E-5 | 4.047242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7344172E-4 | 1.7344172E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0021096105 | 0.0021195894 | 1.0047302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020784173 | 0.020803759 | 1.0009422 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.936122E-5 | 2.936122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2582773E-4 | 1.2582773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0015308772 | 0.0015408619 | 1.0065222 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.015275233 | 0.01528508 | 1.0006447 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3799175E-5 | 2.3799175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 1.0199248E-4 | 1.0199248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012410519 | 0.0012510396 | 1.0080477 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012453477 | 0.012463353 | 1.000793 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.544603E-6 | 7.544603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.233361E-5 | 3.233361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.9359074E-4 | 3.9359074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.004108454 | 0.004108454 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.301396E-6 | 2.301396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.863089E-6 | 9.863089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.20076525E-4 | 1.20076525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0013095172 | 0.0013095172 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.8091505E-8 | 1.8091505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.753502E-8 | 7.753502E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.4398877E-7 | 9.4398877E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.834933E-6 | 9.834933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.721634E-5 | 1.721634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.378243E-5 | 7.378243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.979664E-4 | 8.979664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008946932 | 0.008976663 | 1.0033231 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.721634E-5 | 1.721634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.378243E-5 | 7.378243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.979664E-4 | 8.979664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008946932 | 0.008976663 | 1.0033231 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.721634E-5 | 1.721634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.378243E-5 | 7.378243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.979664E-4 | 8.979664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008946932 | 0.008976663 | 1.0033231 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0126179E-5 | 1.0126179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3397216E-5 | 4.3397216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.28238E-4 | 5.28238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052703302 | 0.0052902247 | 1.0037749 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0126179E-5 | 1.0126179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3397216E-5 | 4.3397216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.28238E-4 | 5.28238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052703302 | 0.0052902247 | 1.0037749 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.332776E-6 | 7.332776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.1425814E-5 | 3.1425814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.825437E-4 | 3.825437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036884616 | 0.0038190137 | 0.0038289756 | 1.0026084 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.06219E-6 | 6.06219E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5980562E-5 | 2.5980562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.1626827E-4 | 3.1626827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030598943 | 0.0031582692 | 0.0031682376 | 1.0031563 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.11804E-6 | 5.11804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1934276E-5 | 2.1934276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6701757E-4 | 2.6701757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026670163 | 0.0026769897 | 1.0037395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.5129195E-6 | 4.5129195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9340941E-5 | 1.9340941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3545086E-4 | 2.3545086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023520496 | 0.002362026 | 1.0042416 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.6030042E-6 | 3.6030042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5441356E-5 | 1.5441356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8798246E-4 | 1.8798246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018379007 | 0.0018782506 | 0.0018882318 | 1.0053141 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.2752291E-6 | 3.2752291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.4036622E-5 | 1.4036622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.708826E-4 | 1.708826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0017075263 | 0.0017175091 | 1.0058464 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.5422817E-6 | 2.5422817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0895448E-5 | 1.0895448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3264407E-4 | 1.3264407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013256549 | 0.0013356417 | 1.0075334 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.063151E-6 | 2.063151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.842046E-6 | 8.842046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.07646636E-4 | 1.07646636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010759492 | 0.0010859384 | 1.0092841 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6784809E-6 | 1.6784809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.19347E-6 | 7.19347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.7577006E-5 | 8.7577006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.754278E-4 | 8.85419E-4 | 1.011413 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3342873E-6 | 1.3342873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.718362E-6 | 5.718362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.961885E-5 | 6.961885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.9597265E-4 | 7.059657E-4 | 1.0143584 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.297275E-7 | 9.297275E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.9845404E-6 | 3.9845404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.8510716E-5 | 4.8510716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.8500297E-4 | 4.8500297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.7805787E-7 | 4.7805787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.0488178E-6 | 2.0488178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.494408E-5 | 2.494408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.4941354E-4 | 2.4941354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5769543E-7 | 2.5769543E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1044085E-6 | 1.1044085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.3446091E-5 | 1.3446091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.344528E-4 | 1.344528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.545481E-7 | 1.545481E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.6234884E-7 | 6.6234884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.0640675E-6 | 8.0640675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.063777E-5 | 8.063777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.092752E-8 | 4.092752E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7540366E-7 | 1.7540366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1355374E-6 | 2.1355374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1355174E-5 | 2.1355174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.884801E-6 | 9.884801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2362804E-5 | 4.2362804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1565573E-4 | 5.2565057E-4 | 1.0193828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051588365 | 0.0051886817 | 1.0057852 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.884801E-6 | 9.884801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2362804E-5 | 4.2362804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1565573E-4 | 5.2565057E-4 | 1.0193828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051588365 | 0.0051886817 | 1.0057852 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.884801E-6 | 9.884801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2362804E-5 | 4.2362804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1565573E-4 | 5.2565057E-4 | 1.0193828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051588365 | 0.0051886817 | 1.0057852 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.884801E-6 | 9.884801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2362804E-5 | 4.2362804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1565573E-4 | 5.2565057E-4 | 1.0193828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051588365 | 0.0051886817 | 1.0057852 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.1435585E-6 | 6.1435585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6329277E-5 | 2.6329277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.205128E-4 | 3.205128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0032138242 | 0.0032337601 | 1.0062032 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.1435585E-6 | 6.1435585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6329277E-5 | 2.6329277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.205128E-4 | 3.205128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0032138242 | 0.0032337601 | 1.0062032 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.8258743E-6 | 5.8258743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.49678E-5 | 2.49678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.039415E-4 | 3.039415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105855 | 0.0030485706 | 0.0030585402 | 1.0032703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.119168E-6 | 5.119168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.1939108E-5 | 2.1939108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.6707622E-4 | 2.6707622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026808085 | 0.0026907816 | 1.0037202 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 5.0410367E-6 | 5.0410367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.1604266E-5 | 2.1604266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.630005E-4 | 2.630005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026401484 | 0.002650122 | 1.0037776 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.7423378E-6 | 4.7423378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0324149E-5 | 2.0324149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.4741868E-4 | 2.4741868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024846857 | 0.002494661 | 1.0040146 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.420652E-6 | 4.420652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8945517E-5 | 1.8945517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.3063748E-4 | 2.3063748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001473467 | 0.0023172332 | 0.00232721 | 1.0043055 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.1152434E-6 | 4.1152434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.763664E-5 | 1.763664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1470514E-4 | 2.1470514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021582376 | 0.002168216 | 1.0046234 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.7249154E-6 | 3.7249154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5963828E-5 | 1.5963828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9434244E-4 | 1.9434244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012122744 | 0.001955005 | 0.001955005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.281696E-6 | 3.281696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.4064337E-5 | 1.4064337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.7122002E-4 | 1.7122002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017242257 | 0.0017242257 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.870136E-6 | 2.870136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.2300527E-5 | 1.2300527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4974875E-4 | 1.4974875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0015099674 | 0.0015099674 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.4684698E-6 | 2.4684698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.0579114E-5 | 1.0579114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.287932E-4 | 1.287932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0013007151 | 0.0013007151 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9434447E-6 | 1.9434447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.329022E-6 | 8.329022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 1.0140117E-4 | 1.0140117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010271147 | 0.0010271147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6710526E-6 | 1.6710526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 7.1616346E-6 | 7.1616346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.718944E-5 | 8.718944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.851559E-4 | 8.851559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.5630685E-6 | 1.5630685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.6988478E-6 | 6.6988478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 8.1555445E-5 | 8.1555445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.2854315E-4 | 8.2854315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.798561E-7 | 7.798561E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.3422364E-6 | 3.3422364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 4.069098E-5 | 4.069098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.153131E-4 | 4.153131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 6.112472E-8 | 6.112472E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.6196307E-7 | 2.6196307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.1893958E-6 | 3.1893958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.4193185E-5 | 3.4193185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.3831263E-8 | 1.3831263E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.9276843E-8 | 5.9276843E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 7.216953E-7 | 7.216953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 8.238278E-6 | 8.238278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.920137E-9 | 3.920137E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.6800588E-8 | 1.6800588E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 2.0454713E-7 | 2.0454713E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.4032643E-6 | 2.4032643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.44088E-6 | 6.44088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603568E-5 | 2.7603568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603754E-4 | 3.4603418E-4 | 1.0297486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356857 | 0.0033867564 | 1.008907 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.44088E-6 | 6.44088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603568E-5 | 2.7603568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603754E-4 | 3.4603418E-4 | 1.0297486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356857 | 0.0033867564 | 1.008907 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.44088E-6 | 6.44088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603568E-5 | 2.7603568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603754E-4 | 3.4603418E-4 | 1.0297486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356857 | 0.0033867564 | 1.008907 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.44088E-6 | 6.44088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603568E-5 | 2.7603568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603754E-4 | 3.4603418E-4 | 1.0297486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356857 | 0.0033867564 | 1.008907 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.44088E-6 | 6.44088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603568E-5 | 2.7603568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603754E-4 | 3.4603418E-4 | 1.0297486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356857 | 0.0033867564 | 1.008907 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9528555E-6 | 2.9528555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2655083E-5 | 1.2655083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5407345E-4 | 1.6407191E-4 | 1.0648941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.00154052 | 0.0015604892 | 1.0129626 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9528555E-6 | 2.9528555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2655083E-5 | 1.2655083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5407345E-4 | 1.6407191E-4 | 1.0648941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.00154052 | 0.0015604892 | 1.0129626 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6299692E-6 | 2.6299692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1271297E-5 | 1.1271297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3722804E-4 | 1.3722804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013722804 | 0.0013822666 | 1.0072771 | 1.0E-5 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.273027E-5 | 2.273027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7412136E-5 | 9.7412136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011854055 | 0.0011854055 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011796673 | 0.01182632 | 1.002513 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.273027E-5 | 2.273027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7412136E-5 | 9.7412136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011854055 | 0.0011854055 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011796673 | 0.01182632 | 1.002513 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.273027E-5 | 2.273027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7412136E-5 | 9.7412136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011854055 | 0.0011854055 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011796673 | 0.01182632 | 1.002513 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2358807E-5 | 1.2358807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2965308E-5 | 5.2965308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.446743E-4 | 6.446743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.00642929 | 0.00642929 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2358807E-5 | 1.2358807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2965308E-5 | 5.2965308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.446743E-4 | 6.446743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.00642929 | 0.00642929 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.485508E-6 | 9.485508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0651594E-5 | 4.0651594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.9482996E-4 | 4.9482996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046494175 | 0.0049381913 | 0.0049381913 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.7934355E-6 | 7.7934355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3400054E-5 | 3.3400054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.065778E-4 | 4.065778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040591317 | 0.0040591317 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.6578264E-6 | 6.6578264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8533272E-5 | 2.8533272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4734473E-4 | 3.4734473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.00346876 | 0.00346876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.857463E-6 | 5.857463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5103212E-5 | 2.5103212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0559604E-4 | 3.0559604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030524747 | 0.0030524747 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0674585E-6 | 5.0674585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1717538E-5 | 2.1717538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.64386E-4 | 2.64386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026414073 | 0.0026414073 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.1201565E-6 | 4.1201565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7657732E-5 | 1.7657732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1496858E-4 | 2.1496858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021482825 | 0.0021482825 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0109502E-6 | 3.0109502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2904045E-5 | 1.2904045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5710201E-4 | 1.5710201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015705553 | 0.0015705553 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.182208E-6 | 4.182208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923647E-5 | 1.7923647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1820227E-4 | 2.1820227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802462 | 0.0022101807 | 1.0137299 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.182208E-6 | 4.182208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923647E-5 | 1.7923647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1820227E-4 | 2.1820227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802462 | 0.0022101807 | 1.0137299 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.182208E-6 | 4.182208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923647E-5 | 1.7923647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1820227E-4 | 2.1820227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802462 | 0.0022101807 | 1.0137299 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.182208E-6 | 4.182208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923647E-5 | 1.7923647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1820227E-4 | 2.1820227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802462 | 0.0022101807 | 1.0137299 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.182208E-6 | 4.182208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923647E-5 | 1.7923647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1820227E-4 | 2.1820227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802462 | 0.0022101807 | 1.0137299 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3735624E-6 | 2.3735624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.01723745E-5 | 1.01723745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.238424E-4 | 1.238424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012378098 | 0.001257785 | 1.0161376 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3735624E-6 | 2.3735624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.01723745E-5 | 1.01723745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.238424E-4 | 1.238424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012378098 | 0.001257785 | 1.0161376 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7501151E-6 | 1.7501151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.5004746E-6 | 7.5004746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.1314985E-5 | 9.1314985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.1282726E-4 | 9.32809E-4 | 1.0218899 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3302043E-6 | 1.3302043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.7008656E-6 | 5.7008656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.940627E-5 | 6.940627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.938893E-4 | 7.138754E-4 | 1.028803 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.1187126E-7 | 6.1187126E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6223029E-6 | 2.6223029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1926113E-5 | 3.1926113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.1921937E-4 | 3.1921937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.833465E-7 | 4.833465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0714836E-6 | 2.0714836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5220059E-5 | 2.5220059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5217567E-4 | 2.5217567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.9884276E-7 | 3.9884276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7093251E-6 | 1.7093251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0810869E-5 | 2.0810869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0809256E-4 | 2.0809256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.762916E-7 | 3.762916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6126775E-6 | 1.6126775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9634204E-5 | 1.9634204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9632802E-4 | 1.9632802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.5075007E-7 | 3.5075007E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5032139E-6 | 1.5032139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.8301509E-5 | 1.8301509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8300331E-4 | 1.8300331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1176018E-7 | 3.1176018E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3361146E-6 | 1.3361146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6267108E-5 | 1.6267108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6266244E-4 | 1.6266244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.501733E-7 | 1.501733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.4359983E-7 | 6.4359983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.835828E-6 | 7.835828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.835828E-5 | 7.835828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.97654E-6 | 9.97654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.275595E-5 | 4.275595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.204381E-4 | 5.304329E-4 | 1.0192046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.005193064 | 0.005222908 | 1.005747 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.97654E-6 | 9.97654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.275595E-5 | 4.275595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.204381E-4 | 5.304329E-4 | 1.0192046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.005193064 | 0.005222908 | 1.005747 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.97654E-6 | 9.97654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.275595E-5 | 4.275595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.204381E-4 | 5.304329E-4 | 1.0192046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.005193064 | 0.005222908 | 1.005747 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.096406E-6 | 8.096406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.4698456E-5 | 3.4698456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.223781E-4 | 4.323739E-4 | 1.0236654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00921966 | 0.004216377 | 0.0042362926 | 1.0047234 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.096406E-6 | 8.096406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.4698456E-5 | 3.4698456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.223781E-4 | 4.323739E-4 | 1.0236654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00921966 | 0.004216377 | 0.0042362926 | 1.0047234 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.609868E-6 | 6.609868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8327724E-5 | 2.8327724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4484017E-4 | 3.5483672E-4 | 1.028989 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034435159 | 0.0034634469 | 1.005788 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.609868E-6 | 6.609868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8327724E-5 | 2.8327724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4484017E-4 | 3.5483672E-4 | 1.028989 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034435159 | 0.0034634469 | 1.005788 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.428471E-5 | 5.475704E-6 | 5.475704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.121875E-5 | 2.3467112E-5 | 2.3467112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.450834E-4 | 2.8567857E-4 | 2.956757E-4 | 1.0349944 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007425902 | 0.0028535023 | 0.0028734452 | 1.0069889 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3490684E-5 | 5.0786844E-6 | 5.0786844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7815934E-5 | 2.1765629E-5 | 2.1765629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0368167E-4 | 2.649682E-4 | 2.7496554E-4 | 1.0377303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007014576 | 0.0026469044 | 0.0026668515 | 1.007536 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2235421E-5 | 4.294236E-6 | 4.294236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2436466E-5 | 1.840376E-5 | 1.840376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.38227E-4 | 2.2404635E-4 | 2.340441E-4 | 1.0446236 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063639707 | 0.0022385598 | 0.002258515 | 1.0089144 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1009851E-5 | 3.723273E-6 | 3.723273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7184225E-5 | 1.5956806E-5 | 1.5956806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.743165E-4 | 1.9426024E-4 | 2.042583E-4 | 1.0514673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005728345 | 0.0019412428 | 0.001961204 | 1.0102826 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.726373E-6 | 3.2155401E-6 | 3.2155401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.168379E-5 | 1.3780833E-5 | 1.3780833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.07382E-4 | 1.677721E-4 | 1.7777043E-4 | 1.0595946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050622504 | 0.0016767865 | 0.001696753 | 1.0119076 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.9335127E-6 | 1.1540386E-6 | 1.1540386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6857803E-5 | 4.945871E-6 | 4.945871E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0522442E-4 | 6.0214374E-5 | 7.021377E-5 | 1.1660633 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00205035 | 6.0198654E-4 | 6.219745E-4 | 1.0332034 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.661632E-6 | 6.9230913E-7 | 6.9230913E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14069435E-5 | 2.967036E-6 | 2.967036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3887069E-4 | 3.6123074E-5 | 4.612271E-5 | 1.2768214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013878393 | 3.6117306E-4 | 3.8116582E-4 | 1.0553551 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.47147E-7 | 5.47147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3449136E-6 | 2.3449136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8548955E-5 | 3.8548667E-5 | 1.3502655 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8545343E-4 | 3.054477E-4 | 1.0700439 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6094733E-7 | 3.6094733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5469162E-6 | 1.5469162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8833547E-5 | 1.8833547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8831997E-4 | 1.983181E-4 | 1.0530912 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.141902E-8 | 7.141902E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0608146E-7 | 3.0608146E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.726537E-6 | 3.726537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7264905E-5 | 3.7264905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.420712E-5 | 4.420712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.894454E-4 | 1.894454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023040702 | 0.0023140472 | 1.0043302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023761325 | 0.023790613 | 1.0012325 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.420712E-5 | 4.420712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.894454E-4 | 1.894454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023040702 | 0.0023140472 | 1.0043302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023761325 | 0.023790613 | 1.0012325 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.420712E-5 | 4.420712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.894454E-4 | 1.894454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023040702 | 0.0023140472 | 1.0043302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023761325 | 0.023790613 | 1.0012325 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.420712E-5 | 4.420712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.894454E-4 | 1.894454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023040702 | 0.0023140472 | 1.0043302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023761325 | 0.023790613 | 1.0012325 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.420712E-5 | 4.420712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.894454E-4 | 1.894454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023040702 | 0.0023140472 | 1.0043302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023761325 | 0.023790613 | 1.0012325 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.094484E-5 | 4.094484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7546612E-4 | 1.7546612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0021342128 | 0.0021441914 | 1.0046756 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.022039687 | 0.022069026 | 1.0013312 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.094484E-5 | 4.094484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7546612E-4 | 1.7546612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0021342128 | 0.0021441914 | 1.0046756 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.022039687 | 0.022069026 | 1.0013312 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 4.0357903E-5 | 4.0357903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.7295101E-4 | 1.7295101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0021036507 | 0.0021136296 | 1.0047437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.0217277 | 0.021757048 | 1.0013508 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 4.0212744E-5 | 4.0212744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.7232898E-4 | 1.7232898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029681553 | 0.002096092 | 0.002106071 | 1.0047607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.021651158 | 0.021680508 | 1.0013556 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9911898E-5 | 3.9911898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.7103982E-4 | 1.7103982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020804266 | 0.0020904057 | 1.0047967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021487655 | 0.02151701 | 1.0013661 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.8753635E-5 | 3.8753635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6607647E-4 | 1.6607647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0020201108 | 0.0020300907 | 1.0049403 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.020871658 | 0.020901032 | 1.0014074 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.7187623E-5 | 3.7187623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5936581E-4 | 1.5936581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0019385563 | 0.001948537 | 1.0051485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.020029511 | 0.02005891 | 1.0014678 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.5509165E-5 | 3.5509165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.5217329E-4 | 1.5217329E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024938055 | 0.001851139 | 0.0018611205 | 1.0053921 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.019127354 | 0.01915678 | 1.0015384 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.4582426E-5 | 3.4582426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.48202E-4 | 1.48202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002196605 | 0.0018028696 | 0.0018128515 | 1.0055367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018624568 | 0.018654011 | 1.0015808 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.421367E-5 | 3.421367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.466218E-4 | 1.466218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017836622 | 0.0017936444 | 1.0055964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.01842552 | 0.018454967 | 1.0015981 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2910335E-5 | 3.2910335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.4103668E-4 | 1.4103668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0017157724 | 0.0017257552 | 1.0058182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.017733186 | 0.017762654 | 1.0016618 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 3.0192832E-5 | 3.0192832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2939145E-4 | 1.2939145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015742048 | 0.001584189 | 1.0063424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.016304513 | 0.016334025 | 1.00181 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6761403E-5 | 2.6761403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.1468669E-4 | 1.1468669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013954173 | 0.0014054033 | 1.0071564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.01451537 | 0.014544935 | 1.0020368 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.4144987E-5 | 2.4144987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0347441E-4 | 1.0347441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012590737 | 0.0012690612 | 1.0079323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.013142996 | 0.013172601 | 1.0022526 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.9479601E-5 | 1.9479601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.348134E-5 | 8.348134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7068126E-4 | 0.0010159122 | 0.001025902 | 1.0098333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010693066 | 0.010712853 | 1.0018504 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.6247755E-5 | 1.6247755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.963138E-5 | 6.963138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.4743305E-4 | 8.574246E-4 | 1.0117904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.008969241 | 0.008979151 | 1.001105 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.567869E-6 | 8.567869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.6718928E-5 | 3.6718928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.4696179E-4 | 4.5695732E-4 | 1.0223633 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.0047998144 | 0.0048097665 | 1.0020734 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.6395902E-6 | 1.6395902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 7.026796E-6 | 7.026796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.5547916E-5 | 8.5547916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.899886E-4 | 9.899886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.8460766E-7 | 3.8460766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.6483175E-6 | 1.6483175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.0068086E-5 | 2.0068086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.4107732E-4 | 2.4107732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1270982E-4 | 2.0079491E-4 | 2.0079491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8295266E-4 | 8.601946E-4 | 8.601946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058641075 | 0.010412515 | 0.01042241 | 1.0009503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057117578 | 0.098263174 | 0.09828121 | 1.0001836 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1239393E-4 | 2.002749E-4 | 2.002749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8159933E-4 | 8.579675E-4 | 8.579675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058477195 | 0.010385686 | 0.010395582 | 1.0009528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056962132 | 0.098021075 | 0.09803911 | 1.000184 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.596265E-5 | 1.2969464E-4 | 1.2969464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2551357E-4 | 5.5569405E-4 | 5.5569405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039559277 | 0.0067398576 | 0.0067398576 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.038862433 | 0.06475572 | 0.06476507 | 1.0001445 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.78794E-5 | 1.1480694E-4 | 1.1480694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9087928E-4 | 4.919139E-4 | 4.919139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003535705 | 0.005969292 | 0.005969292 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.034799766 | 0.057614792 | 0.057624213 | 1.0001636 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.0465248E-4 | 1.0465248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.4841383E-4 | 4.4841383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032385332 | 0.005443048 | 0.005443048 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03191742 | 0.052691724 | 0.052701198 | 1.0001798 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.096658E-5 | 9.096658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.8978364E-4 | 3.8978364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028329059 | 0.0047332826 | 0.0047332826 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027970633 | 0.046003874 | 0.046013415 | 1.0002074 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.869464E-5 | 7.869464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.3720574E-4 | 3.3720574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002465034 | 0.004096317 | 0.004096317 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02437869 | 0.039957926 | 0.039957926 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.063069E-5 | 6.063069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.5981155E-4 | 2.5981155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019222875 | 0.003157906 | 0.003157906 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019057442 | 0.030982155 | 0.030982155 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.905184E-5 | 2.905184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.2450191E-4 | 1.2450191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0015147437 | 0.0015147437 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010532344 | 0.015016462 | 0.015016462 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.453457E-5 | 2.453457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.0514392E-4 | 1.0514392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0012793747 | 0.0012793747 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009281595 | 0.0127109755 | 0.0127109755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.1950364E-5 | 2.1950364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.406959E-5 | 9.406959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011446967 | 0.0011446967 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008528882 | 0.011387172 | 0.011387172 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.0388912E-5 | 2.0388912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.737813E-5 | 8.737813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.0010633122 | 0.0010633122 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00800848 | 0.010582591 | 0.010582591 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.9095398E-5 | 1.9095398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.183487E-5 | 8.183487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.958872E-4 | 9.958872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075360634 | 0.009914833 | 0.009914833 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.785993E-5 | 1.785993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.654033E-5 | 7.654033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.3148305E-4 | 9.3148305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070790765 | 0.009276278 | 0.009276278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.605602E-5 | 1.605602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.880971E-5 | 6.880971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.374391E-4 | 8.374391E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063729943 | 0.008343272 | 0.008343272 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.4266045E-5 | 1.4266045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.113877E-5 | 6.113877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.4411306E-4 | 7.4411306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056782532 | 0.0074167177 | 0.0074167177 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.1254222E-5 | 1.1254222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.82315E-5 | 4.82315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.870629E-4 | 5.870629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00448937 | 0.00585548 | 0.00585548 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.6676066E-6 | 2.6676066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.143255E-5 | 1.143255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3918248E-4 | 1.3918248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948193 | 0.0013909083 | 0.0013909083 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1745088E-7 | 2.1745088E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.31932E-7 | 9.31932E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.13462165E-5 | 1.13462165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.1344933E-4 | 1.1344933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.410477E-5 | 1.0410383E-4 | 1.1062546 | 1.0E-5 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.0324795E-4 | 4.1324392E-4 | 1.0247886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039233007 | 0.0048991125 | 0.0049090637 | 1.0020312 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.047980122 | 0.047999162 | 1.0003968 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0563627E-5 | 5.0563627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1668371E-4 | 2.1668371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026350121 | 0.0026350121 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026046924 | 0.026056664 | 1.000374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0563627E-5 | 5.0563627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1668371E-4 | 2.1668371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026350121 | 0.0026350121 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026046924 | 0.026056664 | 1.000374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7758597E-5 | 3.7758597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6181268E-4 | 1.6181268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019683214 | 0.0019683214 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016452603 | 0.01951276 | 0.019522564 | 1.0005025 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5379468E-5 | 3.5379468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5161767E-4 | 1.5161767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018444142 | 0.0018444142 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015469253 | 0.018294822 | 0.018304639 | 1.0005366 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8797916E-5 | 2.8797916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2341395E-4 | 1.2341395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0015015558 | 0.0015015558 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012709012 | 0.01491707 | 0.014926921 | 1.0006604 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4935121E-5 | 2.4935121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0686055E-4 | 1.0686055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0013002729 | 0.0013002729 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.012929063 | 0.012929063 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.165899E-5 | 2.165899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.282106E-5 | 9.282106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011295311 | 0.0011295311 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011240067 | 0.011240067 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8439672E-5 | 1.8439672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.902488E-5 | 7.902488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.617225E-4 | 9.617225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009577593 | 0.009577593 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5111665E-5 | 1.5111665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.476277E-5 | 6.476277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.882196E-4 | 7.882196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007856067 | 0.007856067 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.27339445E-5 | 1.27339445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.4573004E-5 | 5.4573004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.642414E-4 | 6.642414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006624313 | 0.006624313 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0174963E-5 | 1.0174963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3606353E-5 | 4.3606353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.307953E-4 | 5.307953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.0052969786 | 0.0052969786 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.335619E-7 | 8.335619E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5724033E-6 | 3.5724033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.3493153E-5 | 4.3493153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.348475E-4 | 4.348475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.7014925E-7 | 3.7014925E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5863529E-6 | 1.5863529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9313677E-5 | 1.9313677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9312004E-4 | 1.9312004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9681539E-7 | 1.9681539E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4349426E-7 | 8.4349426E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0269494E-5 | 1.0269494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.0269023E-4 | 1.0269023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.281352E-8 | 6.281352E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6920077E-7 | 2.6920077E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2775147E-6 | 3.2775147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.277467E-5 | 3.277467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.5324505E-9 | 5.5324505E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3710502E-8 | 2.3710502E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8867532E-7 | 2.8867532E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8867505E-6 | 2.8867505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elmore Ranch
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.102099E-5 | 8.981698E-5 | 8.981698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9003167E-4 | 3.848847E-4 | 3.848847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047383 | 0.0046764985 | 0.0046864515 | 1.0021284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046385348 | 0.046048936 | 0.046068013 | 1.0004144 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1634423E-5 | 4.1634423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.7842346E-4 | 1.7842346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.002170635 | 0.0021806133 | 1.004597 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019789828 | 0.021745471 | 0.021765037 | 1.0008997 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1634423E-5 | 4.1634423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.7842346E-4 | 1.7842346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.002170635 | 0.0021806133 | 1.004597 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019789828 | 0.021745471 | 0.021765037 | 1.0008997 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3197924E-5 | 3.667062E-5 | 3.667062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4226905E-4 | 1.5715431E-4 | 1.5715431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017307495 | 0.0019122484 | 0.0019222293 | 1.0052195 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017173318 | 0.019197052 | 0.019216668 | 1.0010219 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.7506028E-5 | 2.7506028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1788132E-4 | 1.1788132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014349109 | 0.0014448966 | 1.0069591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01303681 | 0.014486534 | 0.014506243 | 1.0013605 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.7506028E-5 | 2.7506028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1788132E-4 | 1.1788132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014349109 | 0.0014448966 | 1.0069591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01303681 | 0.014486534 | 0.014506243 | 1.0013605 | 2.0E-5 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4275018E-5 | 1.4275018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.117742E-5 | 6.117742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.4461714E-4 | 7.546097E-4 | 1.0134197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.007426091 | 0.0074459426 | 1.0026731 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.532522E-6 | 9.532522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.085315E-5 | 4.085315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.9729535E-4 | 4.9729535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043435963 | 0.0049652187 | 0.004975169 | 1.002004 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.987998E-6 | 7.987998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4233937E-5 | 3.4233937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1673775E-4 | 4.1673775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003606286 | 0.004162709 | 0.0041726674 | 1.0023923 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.442626E-6 | 3.442626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4754032E-5 | 1.4754032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7961641E-4 | 1.7961641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017960557 | 0.0017960557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4269121E-6 | 3.4269121E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4686689E-5 | 1.4686689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7879663E-4 | 1.7879663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017878711 | 0.0017878711 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.409249E-6 | 3.409249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4610991E-5 | 1.4610991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7787516E-4 | 1.7787516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.001778671 | 0.001778671 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.379256E-6 | 3.379256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4482451E-5 | 1.4482451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7631044E-4 | 1.7631044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017630488 | 0.0017630488 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3492697E-6 | 3.3492697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4353939E-5 | 1.4353939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7474606E-4 | 1.7474606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017474297 | 0.0017474297 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8726274E-6 | 2.8726274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2311206E-5 | 1.2311206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4987936E-4 | 1.4987936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014991123 | 0.0014991123 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.085885E-6 | 2.085885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.939478E-6 | 8.939478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0883298E-4 | 1.0883298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010890818 | 0.0010890818 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5697856E-6 | 1.5697856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.727636E-6 | 6.727636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.1906044E-5 | 8.1906044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.200321E-4 | 8.200321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4455538E-6 | 1.4455538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.195217E-6 | 6.195217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.542431E-5 | 7.542431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.5526035E-4 | 7.5526035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0254519E-6 | 1.0254519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.3947866E-6 | 4.3947866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.3505257E-5 | 5.3505257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.361868E-4 | 5.361868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.3581946E-7 | 9.3581946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 4.010649E-6 | 4.010649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.88286E-5 | 4.88286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.8944156E-4 | 4.8944156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.492835E-7 | 8.492835E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.6397817E-6 | 3.6397817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.4313478E-5 | 4.4313478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.4429966E-4 | 4.4429966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.2395303E-7 | 8.2395303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.5312228E-6 | 3.5312228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.299183E-5 | 4.299183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.3106472E-4 | 4.3106472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.8583327E-7 | 7.8583327E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.3678527E-6 | 3.3678527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.1002873E-5 | 4.1002873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.1115613E-4 | 4.1115613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.174602E-7 | 5.174602E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.2176848E-6 | 2.2176848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6999987E-5 | 2.6999987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.7120512E-4 | 2.7120512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.2209476E-7 | 1.2209476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.2326317E-7 | 5.2326317E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.370712E-6 | 6.370712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.4135864E-5 | 6.4135864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.1964863E-9 | 4.1964863E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.7984942E-8 | 1.7984942E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1896663E-7 | 2.1896663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.2374795E-6 | 2.2374795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5104837E-5 | 2.5104837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0758812E-4 | 1.0758812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013091705 | 0.0013191574 | 1.0076284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013125775 | 0.013145513 | 1.0015037 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5104837E-5 | 2.5104837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0758812E-4 | 1.0758812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013091705 | 0.0013191574 | 1.0076284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013125775 | 0.013145513 | 1.0015037 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5104837E-5 | 2.5104837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0758812E-4 | 1.0758812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013091705 | 0.0013191574 | 1.0076284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013125775 | 0.013145513 | 1.0015037 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5104837E-5 | 2.5104837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0758812E-4 | 1.0758812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013091705 | 0.0013191574 | 1.0076284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013125775 | 0.013145513 | 1.0015037 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5104837E-5 | 2.5104837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0758812E-4 | 1.0758812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013091705 | 0.0013191574 | 1.0076284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013125775 | 0.013145513 | 1.0015037 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5104837E-5 | 2.5104837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0758812E-4 | 1.0758812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013091705 | 0.0013191574 | 1.0076284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013125775 | 0.013145513 | 1.0015037 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7550488E-5 | 1.7550488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.521424E-5 | 7.521424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.153523E-4 | 9.253432E-4 | 1.0109148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009220603 | 0.00923051 | 1.0010746 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7550488E-5 | 1.7550488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.521424E-5 | 7.521424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.153523E-4 | 9.253432E-4 | 1.0109148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009220603 | 0.00923051 | 1.0010746 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5809155E-5 | 1.5809155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.775177E-5 | 6.775177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.2456705E-4 | 8.345588E-4 | 1.0121176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008319706 | 0.008329622 | 1.001192 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5680218E-5 | 1.5680218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.719922E-5 | 6.719922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.1784476E-4 | 8.278366E-4 | 1.0122173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008252983 | 0.008262901 | 1.0012016 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4463044E-5 | 1.4463044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.198301E-5 | 6.198301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.5438234E-4 | 7.643748E-4 | 1.0132458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.007622534 | 0.0076324577 | 1.0013019 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4453371E-5 | 1.4453371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.194155E-5 | 6.194155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.53878E-4 | 7.638704E-4 | 1.0132548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.007617525 | 0.0076274485 | 1.0013027 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.4299575E-5 | 1.4299575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 6.128246E-5 | 6.128246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.45859E-4 | 7.5585156E-4 | 1.0133973 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.007537741 | 0.007547666 | 1.0013167 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.4242397E-5 | 1.4242397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 6.103742E-5 | 6.103742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.428777E-4 | 7.528703E-4 | 1.0134512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0075079156 | 0.0075178407 | 1.0013219 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.4201602E-5 | 1.4201602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 6.0862592E-5 | 6.0862592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.4075063E-4 | 7.5074326E-4 | 1.0134898 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.007486671 | 0.0074965963 | 1.0013257 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.4158236E-5 | 1.4158236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 6.0676746E-5 | 6.0676746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.384895E-4 | 7.484821E-4 | 1.0135312 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0074641635 | 0.0074740886 | 1.0013298 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.4116845E-5 | 1.4116845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 6.0499362E-5 | 6.0499362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.3633133E-4 | 7.4632396E-4 | 1.0135708 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.0074426634 | 0.007452589 | 1.0013336 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.2981944E-5 | 1.2981944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.563572E-5 | 5.563572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.771547E-4 | 6.871479E-4 | 1.0147576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0068544163 | 0.0068643475 | 1.0014489 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1822455E-5 | 1.1822455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 5.0666684E-5 | 5.0666684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.1669253E-4 | 6.266863E-4 | 1.0162055 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.006246276 | 0.006256214 | 1.001591 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.2878383E-6 | 7.2878383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.123322E-5 | 3.123322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.8019824E-4 | 3.9019444E-4 | 1.0262921 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019374699 | 0.003855836 | 0.0038657975 | 1.0025835 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.3262184E-6 | 1.3262184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.6837807E-6 | 5.6837807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.919785E-5 | 6.919785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 7.1429537E-4 | 7.1429537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1707564E-7 | 1.1707564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 5.0175265E-7 | 5.0175265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 6.1088217E-6 | 6.1088217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.817627E-5 | 6.817627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.6111828E-9 | 2.6111828E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.1190784E-8 | 1.1190784E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.3624779E-7 | 1.3624779E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.5449851E-6 | 1.5449851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.353975E-5 | 5.353975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2944165E-4 | 2.2944165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027908448 | 0.0027908448 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021611776 | 0.02765247 | 0.027662193 | 1.0003517 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.353975E-5 | 5.353975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2944165E-4 | 2.2944165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027908448 | 0.0027908448 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021611776 | 0.02765247 | 0.027662193 | 1.0003517 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2194872E-5 | 2.2194872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.511974E-5 | 9.511974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011578543 | 0.0011578543 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009013915 | 0.0115559725 | 0.011565857 | 1.0008553 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2194872E-5 | 2.2194872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.511974E-5 | 9.511974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011578543 | 0.0011578543 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009013915 | 0.0115559725 | 0.011565857 | 1.0008553 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4028824E-5 | 1.7933473E-5 | 1.7933473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0122147E-5 | 7.6857745E-5 | 7.6857745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3174125E-4 | 9.3572174E-4 | 9.3572174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072933645 | 0.009355024 | 0.009355024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.940016E-5 | 6.802453E-5 | 6.802453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1169778E-4 | 2.914994E-4 | 2.914994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002574374 | 0.003543086 | 0.0035530506 | 1.0028124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025447546 | 0.034850482 | 0.034869786 | 1.0005538 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.940016E-5 | 6.802453E-5 | 6.802453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1169778E-4 | 2.914994E-4 | 2.914994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002574374 | 0.003543086 | 0.0035530506 | 1.0028124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025447546 | 0.034850482 | 0.034869786 | 1.0005538 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.472471E-5 | 6.1142055E-5 | 6.1142055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.620091E-4 | 2.620091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023310026 | 0.0031851993 | 0.0031951675 | 1.0031295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02306703 | 0.031385053 | 0.031404424 | 1.0006173 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.472471E-5 | 6.1142055E-5 | 6.1142055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.620091E-4 | 2.620091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023310026 | 0.0031851993 | 0.0031951675 | 1.0031295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02306703 | 0.031385053 | 0.031404424 | 1.0006173 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0001003E-5 | 5.4223223E-5 | 5.4223223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.714216E-4 | 2.3236484E-4 | 2.3236484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020850603 | 0.0028253207 | 0.0028352924 | 1.0035294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02065605 | 0.02788789 | 0.027897611 | 1.0003486 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.8033053E-5 | 5.1377567E-5 | 5.1377567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6298861E-4 | 2.2017125E-4 | 2.2017125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019825802 | 0.0026772628 | 0.002687236 | 1.0037252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019649856 | 0.026446495 | 0.026456231 | 1.0003681 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.653754E-5 | 4.923526E-5 | 4.923526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5658008E-4 | 2.1099143E-4 | 2.1099143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019046954 | 0.0025657897 | 0.0025657897 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018884527 | 0.02535984 | 0.02535984 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.372024E-5 | 4.5236124E-5 | 4.5236124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4450731E-4 | 1.9385487E-4 | 1.9385487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017579567 | 0.0023576461 | 0.0023576461 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017441148 | 0.023326743 | 0.023326743 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.9650024E-5 | 3.949221E-5 | 3.949221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2706534E-4 | 1.6924134E-4 | 1.6924134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015459227 | 0.0020585556 | 0.0020585556 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015352124 | 0.02039218 | 0.02039218 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.860775E-5 | 3.7887745E-5 | 3.7887745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2259888E-4 | 1.6236598E-4 | 1.6236598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014916194 | 0.0019750197 | 0.0019750197 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014816469 | 0.019573988 | 0.019573988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6696067E-5 | 3.513635E-5 | 3.513635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.144067E-4 | 1.505757E-4 | 1.505757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013920115 | 0.0018317259 | 0.0018317259 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013833242 | 0.018166665 | 0.018166665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.456087E-5 | 3.20774E-5 | 3.20774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525662E-4 | 1.3746739E-4 | 1.3746739E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001280746 | 0.0016723895 | 0.0016723895 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733897 | 0.016599381 | 0.016599381 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.295761E-5 | 2.9883342E-5 | 2.9883342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8386045E-5 | 1.2806522E-4 | 1.2806522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011971919 | 0.0015580882 | 0.0015580882 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011907627 | 0.015473149 | 0.015473149 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.1256936E-5 | 2.759345E-5 | 2.759345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.109797E-5 | 1.18252334E-4 | 1.18252334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011085535 | 0.0014387802 | 0.0014387802 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011030397 | 0.014295974 | 0.014295974 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8784336E-5 | 2.4351384E-5 | 2.4351384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.050181E-5 | 1.04358944E-4 | 1.04358944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.796688E-4 | 0.0012698373 | 0.0012698373 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009753612 | 0.012626901 | 0.012626901 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7248298E-5 | 2.2308244E-5 | 2.2308244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.391918E-5 | 9.5603296E-5 | 9.5603296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9959445E-4 | 0.0011633561 | 0.0011633561 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008959615 | 0.011573767 | 0.011573767 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0653709E-5 | 1.3745472E-5 | 1.3745472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5657955E-5 | 5.890785E-5 | 5.890785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.557438E-4 | 7.169698E-4 | 7.169698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055435603 | 0.00714696 | 0.00714696 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.286316E-6 | 4.097321E-6 | 4.097321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4084137E-5 | 1.755983E-5 | 1.755983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7146087E-4 | 2.1377012E-4 | 2.1377012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017132863 | 0.0021356093 | 0.0021356093 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.1855085E-7 | 5.9826647E-7 | 5.9826647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.222359E-6 | 2.5639968E-6 | 2.5639968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7056883E-5 | 3.1216223E-5 | 3.1216223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.705359E-4 | 3.1211195E-4 | 3.1211195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.065358E-4 | 3.065358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013124845 | 0.0013124845 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007891912 | 0.015764013 | 0.015773855 | 1.0006243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.076174594 | 0.13903065 | 0.13904788 | 1.0001239 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.0347178E-4 | 3.0347178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.0012993667 | 0.0012993667 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078097614 | 0.015607077 | 0.015616921 | 1.0006307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.075409345 | 0.13769847 | 0.13771571 | 1.0001253 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.5442272E-4 | 2.5442272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010895035 | 0.0010895035 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013112906 | 0.013122776 | 1.0007526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.064337276 | 0.11779568 | 0.11781333 | 1.0001497 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.2727458E-4 | 2.2727458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.733529E-4 | 9.733529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011733878 | 0.011743761 | 1.0008422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058367174 | 0.106916025 | 0.10693389 | 1.000167 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0967633E-4 | 2.0967633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.9805824E-4 | 8.9805824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055782744 | 0.010838432 | 0.010848324 | 1.0009127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0544031 | 0.09974 | 0.09975801 | 1.0001805 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.885882E-4 | 1.885882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.077949E-4 | 8.077949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009759036 | 0.009768939 | 1.0010147 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04933773 | 0.09062645 | 0.090644635 | 1.0002006 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.519457E-4 | 1.519457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.509903E-4 | 6.509903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041944524 | 0.007890452 | 0.007900372 | 1.0012573 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04116161 | 0.07540244 | 0.07542093 | 1.0002452 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.473405E-4 | 1.473405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.312674E-4 | 6.312674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004070005 | 0.007652725 | 0.007662649 | 1.0012968 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039962657 | 0.07324876 | 0.073267296 | 1.0002531 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2837323E-4 | 1.2837323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.500374E-4 | 5.500374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036279052 | 0.006672893 | 0.0066828267 | 1.0014886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03569247 | 0.06431449 | 0.06433321 | 1.000291 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.0245882E-4 | 1.0245882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.3903576E-4 | 4.3903576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030218933 | 0.005332259 | 0.005342206 | 1.0018654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029811295 | 0.05197199 | 0.05199095 | 1.0003648 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.6621585E-5 | 8.6621585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.7118304E-4 | 3.7118304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025986114 | 0.0045098797 | 0.0045198346 | 1.0022074 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025684336 | 0.044220664 | 0.044239778 | 1.0004323 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.19588E-5 | 7.19588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.083587E-4 | 3.083587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0037478618 | 0.0037578244 | 1.0026581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022105146 | 0.03713186 | 0.037151117 | 1.0005187 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.6563546E-5 | 5.6563546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.4239284E-4 | 2.4239284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017986323 | 0.002947169 | 0.0029571394 | 1.003383 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017841442 | 0.029454207 | 0.029473618 | 1.000659 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.121635E-5 | 4.121635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.7662963E-4 | 1.7662963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0021483623 | 0.0021583408 | 1.0046448 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013325208 | 0.021600278 | 0.021619845 | 1.0009059 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.895906E-5 | 2.895906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2410436E-4 | 1.2410436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0015099258 | 0.0015199106 | 1.0066129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009349857 | 0.015269082 | 0.015288777 | 1.0012898 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.6249274E-5 | 2.6249274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.1249205E-4 | 1.1249205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0013687325 | 0.0013787189 | 1.0072961 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008104719 | 0.013858298 | 0.01387802 | 1.0014231 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.958736E-5 | 1.958736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.394314E-5 | 8.394314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010215299 | 0.0010315197 | 1.0097792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057804612 | 0.010380348 | 0.010400141 | 1.0019068 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.07178685E-5 | 1.07178685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.5932913E-5 | 4.5932913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.590898E-4 | 5.6908425E-4 | 1.0178763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032371588 | 0.0057567777 | 0.0057766624 | 1.0034542 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.684299E-6 | 9.684299E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.1503477E-5 | 4.1503477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 5.051878E-4 | 5.1518274E-4 | 1.0197846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027645302 | 0.005196273 | 0.0052161687 | 1.0038289 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.571785E-6 | 7.571785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.24501E-5 | 3.24501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.9500845E-4 | 4.050045E-4 | 1.0253059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017534926 | 0.004038403 | 0.004058322 | 1.0049324 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.520667E-6 | 4.520667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.9374145E-5 | 1.9374145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.3585474E-4 | 2.3585474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.002403293 | 0.002403293 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.4352698E-6 | 2.4352698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.0436829E-5 | 1.0436829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.2706102E-4 | 1.2706102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0013002323 | 0.0013002323 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.74254E-6 | 4.74254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0325044E-5 | 2.0325044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4743486E-4 | 2.4743486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024721383 | 0.0024920888 | 1.0080701 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.74254E-6 | 4.74254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0325044E-5 | 2.0325044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4743486E-4 | 2.4743486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024721383 | 0.0024920888 | 1.0080701 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7882315E-6 | 2.7882315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1949515E-5 | 1.1949515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4547672E-4 | 1.4547672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014539207 | 0.0014539207 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7882315E-6 | 2.7882315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1949515E-5 | 1.1949515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4547672E-4 | 1.4547672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014539207 | 0.0014539207 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3236287E-6 | 2.3236287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.958375E-6 | 9.958375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.2123727E-4 | 1.2123727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012117907 | 0.0012117907 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.3055036E-6 | 2.3055036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.880697E-6 | 9.880697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.20291654E-4 | 1.20291654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0012023448 | 0.0012023448 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.6024451E-6 | 1.6024451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.867605E-6 | 6.867605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.361007E-5 | 8.361007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.358049E-4 | 8.358049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.3833054E-6 | 1.3833054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.928439E-6 | 5.928439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.2176495E-5 | 7.2176495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.2154443E-4 | 7.2154443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2927402E-6 | 1.2927402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.5403043E-6 | 5.5403043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.7451256E-5 | 6.7451256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.7432114E-4 | 6.7432114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.2465413E-6 | 1.2465413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.3423096E-6 | 5.3423096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.504081E-5 | 6.504081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.502309E-4 | 6.502309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.0369927E-6 | 1.0369927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.444247E-6 | 4.444247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.410747E-5 | 5.410747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.409531E-4 | 5.409531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.594676E-7 | 8.594676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.683428E-6 | 3.683428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.4844903E-5 | 4.4844903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.4836715E-4 | 4.4836715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 6.0316125E-7 | 6.0316125E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.5849747E-6 | 2.5849747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.147168E-5 | 3.147168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.1467894E-4 | 3.1467894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley Keough Hot Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9589794E-6 | 4.9589794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1252625E-5 | 2.1252625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.587251E-4 | 2.587251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025848486 | 0.0026047968 | 1.0077174 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9589794E-6 | 4.9589794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1252625E-5 | 2.1252625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.587251E-4 | 2.587251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025848486 | 0.0026047968 | 1.0077174 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9589794E-6 | 4.9589794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1252625E-5 | 2.1252625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.587251E-4 | 2.587251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025848486 | 0.0026047968 | 1.0077174 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9589794E-6 | 4.9589794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1252625E-5 | 2.1252625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.587251E-4 | 2.587251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025848486 | 0.0026047968 | 1.0077174 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4622509E-5 | 3.7338023E-6 | 3.7338023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266639E-5 | 1.600193E-5 | 1.600193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.626962E-4 | 1.9480938E-4 | 1.9480938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007600839 | 0.0019468165 | 0.001956797 | 1.0051266 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3335527E-5 | 2.28378E-6 | 2.28378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7151006E-5 | 9.787596E-6 | 9.787596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.955913E-4 | 1.19158154E-4 | 1.19158154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069341804 | 0.0011911152 | 0.0012011033 | 1.0083855 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3332855E-5 | 2.280928E-6 | 2.280928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7139558E-5 | 9.775373E-6 | 9.775373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9545204E-4 | 1.1900935E-4 | 1.1900935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069327964 | 0.0011896288 | 0.0011996169 | 1.008396 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3318214E-5 | 2.2701417E-6 | 2.2701417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.707681E-5 | 9.729147E-6 | 9.729147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946886E-4 | 1.184466E-4 | 1.184466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069252094 | 0.0011840073 | 0.0011939955 | 1.0084358 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2441338E-5 | 1.6829205E-6 | 1.6829205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.331893E-5 | 7.212498E-6 | 7.212498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.489646E-4 | 8.780893E-5 | 8.780893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064707273 | 8.778772E-4 | 8.8786834E-4 | 1.0113811 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1130476E-5 | 1.0338632E-6 | 1.0338632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7701167E-5 | 4.430835E-6 | 4.430835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.806069E-4 | 5.3944095E-5 | 5.3944095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057909233 | 5.3941424E-4 | 5.4940884E-4 | 1.0185286 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0986073E-5 | 9.612725E-7 | 9.612725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7082318E-5 | 4.1197327E-6 | 4.1197327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730765E-4 | 5.0156603E-5 | 5.0156603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057160086 | 5.0155615E-4 | 5.1155116E-4 | 1.019928 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0451338E-5 | 8.0275646E-7 | 8.0275646E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4790682E-5 | 3.4403804E-6 | 3.4403804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.451901E-4 | 4.1885833E-5 | 4.1885833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005438545 | 4.1887883E-4 | 4.2887463E-4 | 1.0238632 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.989061E-6 | 6.5682036E-7 | 6.5682036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.280956E-5 | 2.8149414E-6 | 2.8149414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2108173E-4 | 3.4271376E-5 | 3.4271376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051986156 | 3.427556E-4 | 3.527522E-4 | 1.0291653 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.465365E-6 | 5.481687E-7 | 5.481687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.056522E-5 | 2.3492923E-6 | 2.3492923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.937696E-4 | 2.860226E-5 | 2.860226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049267393 | 2.8607555E-4 | 2.960727E-4 | 1.0349458 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3824805E-6 | 4.0342604E-7 | 4.0342604E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.73532E-5 | 1.7289676E-6 | 1.7289676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3297433E-4 | 2.1049978E-5 | 2.1049978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033247585 | 2.1052937E-4 | 2.2052726E-4 | 1.0474893 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.6192645E-6 | 2.5270265E-7 | 2.5270265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9396865E-6 | 1.0830109E-6 | 1.0830109E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.448741E-5 | 1.31855795E-5 | 1.31855795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4455294E-4 | 1.3184811E-4 | 1.4184679E-4 | 1.0758349 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.7062545E-7 | 1.0836029E-7 | 1.0836029E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4455355E-6 | 4.6440118E-7 | 4.6440118E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9773988E-5 | 5.6540707E-6 | 5.6540707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.977E-4 | 5.653935E-5 | 6.6538785E-5 | 1.176858 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5988817E-7 | 4.5632323E-8 | 4.5632323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.113806E-6 | 1.9556708E-7 | 1.9556708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3560503E-5 | 2.3810271E-6 | 2.3810271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3559677E-4 | 2.381006E-5 | 3.380982E-5 | 1.4199805 | 1.0E-5 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1044275E-5 | 1.1044275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7332043E-5 | 4.7332043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7616795E-4 | 5.861622E-4 | 1.017346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057519106 | 0.0057717953 | 1.0034571 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1044275E-5 | 1.1044275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7332043E-5 | 4.7332043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7616795E-4 | 5.861622E-4 | 1.017346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057519106 | 0.0057717953 | 1.0034571 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2089296E-6 | 2.2089296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.46683E-6 | 9.46683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1525676E-4 | 1.1525676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011523815 | 0.0011523815 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2089296E-6 | 2.2089296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.46683E-6 | 9.46683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1525676E-4 | 1.1525676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011523815 | 0.0011523815 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8114727E-6 | 1.8114727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.763454E-6 | 7.763454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.452006E-5 | 9.452006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.4520056E-4 | 9.4520056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5010907E-4 | 2.4961418E-4 | 2.4961418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4316596E-4 | 0.0010693052 | 0.0010693052 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078024664 | 0.012932328 | 0.012942199 | 1.0007633 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07534136 | 0.12108813 | 0.12110571 | 1.0001452 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4521465E-4 | 2.4120789E-4 | 2.4120789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.222001E-4 | 0.0010333225 | 0.0010333225 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075490056 | 0.012500721 | 0.012510597 | 1.00079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07297657 | 0.11735462 | 0.117372274 | 1.0001504 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.429998E-4 | 2.4049888E-4 | 2.4049888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.127123E-4 | 0.0010302867 | 0.0010302867 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007434286 | 0.012464229 | 0.012474105 | 1.0007923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07190444 | 0.116997555 | 0.11701521 | 1.0001509 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3536277E-4 | 2.3375043E-4 | 2.3375043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.799972E-4 | 0.001001394 | 0.001001394 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070386264 | 0.012117346 | 0.012127225 | 1.0008153 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0681982 | 0.11388334 | 0.11390106 | 1.0001556 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.2793151E-4 | 2.2793151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.7647513E-4 | 9.7647513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006757223 | 0.011817356 | 0.011827238 | 1.0008363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06555412 | 0.11113909 | 0.111156866 | 1.00016 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.811447E-4 | 1.811447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.761021E-4 | 7.761021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005463498 | 0.009408015 | 0.009417921 | 1.001053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.053311124 | 0.08978654 | 0.08980474 | 1.0002028 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.7600252E-4 | 1.7600252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.5407716E-4 | 7.5407716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052862884 | 0.009142177 | 0.0091520855 | 1.0010839 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05162293 | 0.087357916 | 0.08737616 | 1.000209 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.6857027E-4 | 1.6857027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.222431E-4 | 7.222431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050282106 | 0.008757816 | 0.008767728 | 1.0011319 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049159497 | 0.083838314 | 0.08385664 | 1.0002185 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.5765603E-4 | 1.5765603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.7549257E-4 | 6.7549257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047319788 | 0.008193077 | 0.008202994 | 1.0012106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046324775 | 0.07870892 | 0.07872734 | 1.0002341 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.2398936E-4 | 1.2398936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.312753E-4 | 5.312753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038295772 | 0.006449216 | 0.006459152 | 1.0015405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037642512 | 0.06266304 | 0.06268179 | 1.0002992 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 9.478093E-5 | 9.478093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4623662E-4 | 4.0614113E-4 | 4.0614113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029938098 | 0.0049336297 | 0.0049435804 | 1.0020169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02953797 | 0.048405714 | 0.048424747 | 1.0003932 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 8.131944E-5 | 8.131944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.123707E-4 | 3.484657E-4 | 3.484657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025825473 | 0.0042343806 | 0.0042443383 | 1.0023516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0255274 | 0.041749787 | 0.041768953 | 1.0004591 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 6.0218197E-5 | 6.0218197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5803022E-4 | 2.5805263E-4 | 2.5805263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0031372942 | 0.0031472628 | 1.0031774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01905776 | 0.031215051 | 0.031234428 | 1.0006207 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 4.301778E-5 | 4.301778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.8434899E-4 | 1.8434899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0022421565 | 0.0022521343 | 1.00445 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013396223 | 0.022439308 | 0.02245886 | 1.0008713 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 3.0305937E-5 | 3.0305937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6060016E-5 | 1.2987613E-4 | 1.2987613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.001580098 | 0.0015900822 | 1.0063187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009217911 | 0.015888287 | 0.01590797 | 1.0012388 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 2.65889E-5 | 2.65889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.378478E-5 | 1.1394747E-4 | 1.1394747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76303E-4 | 0.0013864303 | 0.0013964165 | 1.0072027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0077359667 | 0.01396977 | 0.01398949 | 1.0014117 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 1.5215467E-5 | 1.5215467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 6.5207525E-5 | 6.5207525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 7.936138E-4 | 8.036058E-4 | 1.0125906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004252361 | 0.008061939 | 0.008081777 | 1.0024608 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 6.42425E-6 | 6.42425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 2.7532209E-5 | 2.7532209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 3.3515316E-4 | 3.451498E-4 | 1.0298271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017651088 | 0.0034720066 | 0.0034919372 | 1.0057404 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 5.512613E-6 | 5.512613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 2.362527E-5 | 2.362527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 2.8759975E-4 | 2.9759688E-4 | 1.0347606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014454306 | 0.0029790334 | 0.002998974 | 1.0066936 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 4.2361094E-6 | 4.2361094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 1.8154627E-5 | 1.8154627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 2.2101021E-4 | 2.31008E-4 | 1.0452368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010292825 | 0.002275832 | 0.0022957865 | 1.008768 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 2.6183675E-6 | 2.6183675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 1.1221527E-5 | 1.1221527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 1.3661354E-4 | 1.3661354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1381224E-4 | 0.0013970517 | 0.0013970517 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 1.5798539E-6 | 1.5798539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 6.770785E-6 | 6.770785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 8.2431216E-5 | 8.2431216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9185135E-4 | 8.4252056E-4 | 8.4252056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015413626 | 0.0015513472 | 1.0064777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015311137 | 0.015330831 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015413626 | 0.0015513472 | 1.0064777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015311137 | 0.015330831 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015413626 | 0.0015513472 | 1.0064777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015311137 | 0.015330831 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015413626 | 0.0015513472 | 1.0064777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015311137 | 0.015330831 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015413626 | 0.0015513472 | 1.0064777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015311137 | 0.015330831 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015413626 | 0.0015513472 | 1.0064777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015311137 | 0.015330831 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 2.9561716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.2668713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015413626 | 0.0015513472 | 1.0064777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015311137 | 0.015330831 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.8899127E-5 | 2.8899127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.2384774E-4 | 1.2384774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016156785 | 0.001506841 | 0.001516826 | 1.0066264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016039822 | 0.014970592 | 0.0149902925 | 1.001316 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.827366E-5 | 2.827366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.2116741E-4 | 1.2116741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015875935 | 0.0014742522 | 0.0014842375 | 1.0067731 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015762992 | 0.014649004 | 0.014668711 | 1.0013453 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4249792E-5 | 2.4249792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.0392367E-4 | 1.0392367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012645578 | 0.0012745451 | 1.0078979 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012576246 | 0.012595994 | 1.0015703 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1889726E-5 | 2.1889726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.380984E-5 | 9.380984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011415541 | 0.0011515428 | 1.00875 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012905477 | 0.011359096 | 0.0113788685 | 1.0017407 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7377804E-5 | 1.7377804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.447421E-5 | 7.447421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010923136 | 9.06351E-4 | 9.1634196E-4 | 1.0110233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0108696 | 0.009027385 | 0.009047205 | 1.0021955 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.6832251E-5 | 1.6832251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.213625E-5 | 7.213625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010659413 | 8.779097E-4 | 8.779097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010608427 | 0.008745238 | 0.008755151 | 1.0011334 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5401578E-5 | 1.5401578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.6005116E-5 | 6.6005116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.033204E-4 | 8.033204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009587734 | 0.008004933 | 0.008014853 | 1.0012392 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4535391E-5 | 1.4535391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.229307E-5 | 6.229307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.5815816E-4 | 7.5815816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009157699 | 0.0075564217 | 0.007566346 | 1.0013133 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.1178445E-5 | 1.1178445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.7906757E-5 | 4.7906757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.831112E-4 | 5.831112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007068595 | 0.005815979 | 0.005825921 | 1.0017093 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.6407084E-6 | 5.6407084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.4174244E-5 | 2.4174244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.9428207E-4 | 2.9428207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036401073 | 0.002938968 | 0.0029489384 | 1.0033926 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2860996E-6 | 3.2860996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4083209E-5 | 1.4083209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.714497E-4 | 1.714497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017131878 | 0.0017231706 | 1.0058271 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.4379874E-6 | 1.4379874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.162789E-6 | 6.162789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.50294E-5 | 7.50294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.500435E-4 | 7.500435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.262833E-7 | 2.262833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.697852E-7 | 9.697852E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1807075E-5 | 1.1807075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1806475E-4 | 1.1806475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.133519E-9 | 5.133519E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.2000796E-8 | 2.2000796E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.6785966E-7 | 2.6785966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.6785935E-6 | 2.6785935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.833395E-5 | 8.833395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7852052E-4 | 3.7852052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0045993277 | 0.0046092817 | 1.0021642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03752231 | 0.045105256 | 0.045124356 | 1.0004234 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4940596E-5 | 4.4940596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.925889E-4 | 1.925889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023423284 | 0.0023423284 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019602431 | 0.023185031 | 0.023185031 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.333338E-5 | 3.333338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4284968E-4 | 1.4284968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017378305 | 0.0017378305 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017245045 | 0.017245045 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.333338E-5 | 3.333338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4284968E-4 | 1.4284968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017378305 | 0.0017378305 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017245045 | 0.017245045 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.547347E-5 | 2.547347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.091675E-4 | 1.091675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013283134 | 0.0013283134 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011519298 | 0.013204905 | 0.013204905 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.404805E-5 | 2.404805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0305905E-4 | 1.0305905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012540306 | 0.0012540306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010900296 | 0.012470625 | 0.012470625 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0723988E-5 | 2.0723988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.88141E-5 | 8.88141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010807806 | 0.0010807806 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.010755915 | 0.010755915 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.799969E-5 | 1.799969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.713926E-5 | 7.713926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.3876856E-4 | 9.3876856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.009348396 | 0.009348396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6215321E-5 | 1.6215321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.949239E-5 | 6.949239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.457434E-4 | 8.457434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008425515 | 0.008425515 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4218255E-5 | 1.4218255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0933966E-5 | 6.0933966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.416199E-4 | 7.416199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.0073916367 | 0.0073916367 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.22999545E-5 | 1.22999545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2713032E-5 | 5.2713032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.415931E-4 | 6.415931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.0063975365 | 0.0063975365 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.06162615E-5 | 1.06162615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.5497476E-5 | 4.5497476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.5379176E-4 | 5.5379176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005524214 | 0.005524214 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.266767E-6 | 9.266767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9714112E-5 | 3.9714112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8341273E-4 | 4.8341273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004823692 | 0.004823692 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.095978E-6 | 7.095978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0410982E-5 | 3.0410982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.701912E-4 | 3.701912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.0036957916 | 0.0036957916 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.647695E-6 | 5.647695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4204184E-5 | 2.4204184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.946465E-4 | 2.946465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029425998 | 0.0029425998 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9713634E-6 | 1.9713634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.448674E-6 | 8.448674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0285797E-4 | 1.0285797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010281256 | 0.0010281256 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7537586E-7 | 1.7537586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.516106E-7 | 7.516106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.150823E-6 | 9.150823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1504655E-5 | 9.1504655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.679454E-5 | 3.679454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5768441E-4 | 1.5768441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019187036 | 0.0019187036 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019078968 | 0.019098587 | 1.0010283 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.679454E-5 | 3.679454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5768441E-4 | 1.5768441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019187036 | 0.0019187036 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019078968 | 0.019098587 | 1.0010283 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.679454E-5 | 3.679454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5768441E-4 | 1.5768441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019187036 | 0.0019187036 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019078968 | 0.019098587 | 1.0010283 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.679454E-5 | 3.679454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5768441E-4 | 1.5768441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019187036 | 0.0019187036 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019078968 | 0.019098587 | 1.0010283 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4860048E-5 | 1.4860048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.36844E-5 | 6.36844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7508675E-4 | 7.7508675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077243857 | 0.0077343085 | 1.0012846 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4860048E-5 | 1.4860048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.36844E-5 | 6.36844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7508675E-4 | 7.7508675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077243857 | 0.0077343085 | 1.0012846 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3020807E-5 | 1.3020807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5802273E-5 | 5.5802273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.791827E-4 | 6.791827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067712804 | 0.006781213 | 1.0014669 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.26370405E-5 | 1.26370405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.415763E-5 | 5.415763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.591714E-4 | 6.591714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00647886 | 0.0065723592 | 0.0065822937 | 1.0015116 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2239225E-5 | 1.2239225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2452775E-5 | 5.2452775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.3842704E-4 | 6.3842704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062912325 | 0.0063661183 | 0.0063760546 | 1.0015608 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1165052E-5 | 1.1165052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.784935E-5 | 4.784935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.8241136E-4 | 5.8241136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777207 | 0.005808996 | 0.005818938 | 1.0017115 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0589024E-5 | 1.0589024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.5380748E-5 | 4.5380748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.523718E-4 | 5.523718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0055101267 | 0.0055200714 | 1.0018048 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.988001E-6 | 9.988001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.2805023E-5 | 4.2805023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.210277E-4 | 5.210277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005198194 | 0.0052081426 | 1.0019138 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.755115E-6 | 8.755115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.752139E-5 | 3.752139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5672824E-4 | 4.5672824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046197 | 0.004558014 | 0.0045679687 | 1.0021839 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.510306E-6 | 7.510306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2186636E-5 | 3.2186636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9180284E-4 | 3.9180284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039319694 | 0.003911228 | 0.003921189 | 1.0025468 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.1873557E-6 | 6.1873557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6516975E-5 | 2.6516975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.227973E-4 | 3.227973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032233817 | 0.0032333494 | 1.0030923 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4436565E-6 | 4.4436565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9044106E-5 | 1.9044106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3183803E-4 | 2.3183803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023160311 | 0.0023160311 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.301304E-6 | 1.301304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.577005E-6 | 5.577005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.789799E-5 | 6.789799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.787794E-4 | 6.787794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.614135E-7 | 5.614135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.406056E-6 | 2.406056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9293373E-5 | 2.9293373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9289868E-4 | 2.9289868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.804327E-8 | 4.804327E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.058997E-7 | 2.058997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.506826E-6 | 2.506826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5067988E-5 | 2.5067988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2533034E-6 | 4.2533034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8228318E-5 | 1.8228318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.219077E-4 | 2.3190548E-4 | 1.0450538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.002216914 | 0.0022368697 | 1.0090015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2533034E-6 | 4.2533034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8228318E-5 | 1.8228318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.219077E-4 | 2.3190548E-4 | 1.0450538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.002216914 | 0.0022368697 | 1.0090015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2533034E-6 | 4.2533034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8228318E-5 | 1.8228318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.219077E-4 | 2.3190548E-4 | 1.0450538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.002216914 | 0.0022368697 | 1.0090015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2533034E-6 | 4.2533034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8228318E-5 | 1.8228318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.219077E-4 | 2.3190548E-4 | 1.0450538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.002216914 | 0.0022368697 | 1.0090015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6846993E-6 | 3.6846993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5791475E-5 | 1.5791475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.922446E-4 | 2.0224268E-4 | 1.0520071 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019208178 | 0.0019407794 | 1.0103922 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6846993E-6 | 3.6846993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5791475E-5 | 1.5791475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.922446E-4 | 2.0224268E-4 | 1.0520071 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019208178 | 0.0019407794 | 1.0103922 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4268824E-6 | 3.4268824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4686558E-5 | 1.4686558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7879448E-4 | 1.8879269E-4 | 1.0559201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036712566 | 0.001786538 | 0.0018065022 | 1.0111748 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.3648355E-6 | 3.3648355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4420646E-5 | 1.4420646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7555752E-4 | 1.8555578E-4 | 1.0569514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017542195 | 0.0017741845 | 1.011381 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.120379E-6 | 3.120379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3372986E-5 | 1.3372986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6280422E-4 | 1.728026E-4 | 1.0614134 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016268783 | 0.0016468457 | 1.0122734 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.9354953E-6 | 2.9354953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.25806355E-5 | 1.25806355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5315875E-4 | 1.6315721E-4 | 1.0652817 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015305597 | 0.0015505292 | 1.0130471 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.643948E-6 | 2.643948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1331158E-5 | 1.1331158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3794837E-4 | 1.47947E-4 | 1.0724809 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013786526 | 0.0013986251 | 1.0144869 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1360304E-6 | 2.1360304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.154385E-6 | 9.154385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.1144917E-4 | 1.2144805E-4 | 1.089717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011139547 | 0.0011339324 | 1.0179341 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.295137E-6 | 1.295137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.5505757E-6 | 5.5505757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.757625E-5 | 7.7575576E-5 | 1.147971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019903728 | 6.755652E-4 | 6.9555175E-4 | 1.0295849 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.395176E-7 | 7.395176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.1693573E-6 | 3.1693573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.8586262E-5 | 4.8585876E-5 | 1.2591496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8579764E-4 | 4.057899E-4 | 1.0518206 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.47147E-7 | 5.47147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3449136E-6 | 2.3449136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8548955E-5 | 3.8548667E-5 | 1.3502655 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8545343E-4 | 3.054477E-4 | 1.0700439 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6094733E-7 | 3.6094733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5469162E-6 | 1.5469162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8833547E-5 | 1.8833547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8831997E-4 | 1.983181E-4 | 1.0530912 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.141902E-8 | 7.141902E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0608146E-7 | 3.0608146E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.726537E-6 | 3.726537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7264905E-5 | 3.7264905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7318354E-5 | 4.7318354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.02779E-4 | 2.02779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024663617 | 0.0024863125 | 1.0080891 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024424512 | 0.024444023 | 1.0007988 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7318354E-5 | 4.7318354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.02779E-4 | 2.02779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024663617 | 0.0024863125 | 1.0080891 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024424512 | 0.024444023 | 1.0007988 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7318354E-5 | 4.7318354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.02779E-4 | 2.02779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024663617 | 0.0024863125 | 1.0080891 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024424512 | 0.024444023 | 1.0007988 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.8305247E-5 | 1.8305247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.844881E-5 | 7.844881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.547147E-4 | 9.746956E-4 | 1.0209286 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01018413 | 0.009509939 | 0.009529748 | 1.0020831 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3635918E-5 | 1.3635918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.843837E-5 | 5.843837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.1126095E-4 | 7.312467E-4 | 1.0280991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008112748 | 0.007092327 | 0.007112185 | 1.0028 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3132251E-5 | 1.3132251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.6279896E-5 | 5.6279896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8499823E-4 | 7.0498453E-4 | 1.0291772 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007874036 | 0.006831336 | 0.006851199 | 1.0029076 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.04073615E-5 | 1.04073615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.4602224E-5 | 4.4602224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.428987E-4 | 5.628879E-4 | 1.0368193 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006737438 | 0.005416998 | 0.00543689 | 1.0036721 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.925389E-6 | 9.925389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.25367E-5 | 4.25367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.1776314E-4 | 5.3775276E-4 | 1.0386077 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006522954 | 0.0051668393 | 0.005186736 | 1.0038508 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.520644E-6 | 9.520644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.0802133E-5 | 4.0802133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.966546E-4 | 5.166447E-4 | 1.0402495 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049566445 | 0.0049765455 | 1.004015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.796674E-6 | 8.796674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.7699498E-5 | 3.7699498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5889636E-4 | 4.7888717E-4 | 1.0435628 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045805727 | 0.004600481 | 1.0043463 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.106314E-6 | 8.106314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4740893E-5 | 3.4740893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.2288983E-4 | 4.4288137E-4 | 1.0472736 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004221849 | 0.0042417645 | 1.0047172 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.347128E-6 | 7.347128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1487318E-5 | 3.1487318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8329198E-4 | 4.032843E-4 | 1.0521595 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005323986 | 0.003827523 | 0.0038474465 | 1.0052053 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.562271E-6 | 6.562271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8123723E-5 | 2.8123723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4235377E-4 | 3.623469E-4 | 1.0583991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034194016 | 0.0034393333 | 1.005829 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.6144627E-6 | 5.6144627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.4061766E-5 | 2.4061766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.929137E-4 | 3.0291075E-4 | 1.0341297 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029256183 | 0.002935589 | 1.0034081 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.0405897E-6 | 5.0405897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1602353E-5 | 2.1602353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.6297793E-4 | 2.6297793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026267779 | 0.0026267779 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9439833E-6 | 3.9439833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6902683E-5 | 1.6902683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.0577162E-4 | 2.0577162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020559006 | 0.0020559006 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.404078E-6 | 3.404078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4588828E-5 | 1.4588828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7760533E-4 | 1.7760533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017747149 | 0.0017747149 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3397745E-6 | 2.3397745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.0027571E-5 | 1.0027571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2207958E-4 | 1.2207958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012201986 | 0.0012201986 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.4087454E-8 | 9.4087454E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.032319E-7 | 4.032319E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9093405E-6 | 4.9093405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.909265E-5 | 4.909265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4459755E-9 | 3.4459755E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4768467E-8 | 1.4768467E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7980608E-7 | 1.7980608E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7980595E-6 | 1.7980595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5950744E-4 | 3.0859225E-4 | 3.0859225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.834242E-4 | 0.0013216792 | 0.0013216792 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00828899 | 0.015933184 | 0.015943026 | 1.0006176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.079865426 | 0.14499515 | 0.14501226 | 1.0001179 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3584697E-4 | 2.617199E-4 | 2.617199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8207137E-4 | 0.0011210566 | 0.0011210566 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007063716 | 0.013531773 | 0.013541638 | 1.000729 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06843361 | 0.124601305 | 0.124618806 | 1.0001405 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.14676266E-4 | 2.1844756E-4 | 2.1844756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9137714E-4 | 9.3578844E-4 | 9.3578844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059661185 | 0.011311909 | 0.011321796 | 1.000874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058084648 | 0.1055757 | 0.10559359 | 1.0001694 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.6108928E-4 | 1.6108928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.901552E-4 | 6.901552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004525038 | 0.008363537 | 0.008373453 | 1.0011857 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044339992 | 0.079870716 | 0.07988912 | 1.0002304 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5813715E-4 | 1.5813715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.7750976E-4 | 6.7750976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044306475 | 0.008210746 | 0.008220663 | 1.001208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04343345 | 0.07847082 | 0.07848925 | 1.0002348 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.5637718E-4 | 1.5637718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.699713E-4 | 6.699713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004376863 | 0.008119746 | 0.008129666 | 1.0012215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042916555 | 0.07764072 | 0.07765917 | 1.0002376 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.5272338E-4 | 1.5272338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.5432314E-4 | 6.5432314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042669317 | 0.007931005 | 0.007940926 | 1.0012509 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04185927 | 0.07592207 | 0.07594056 | 1.0002434 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.4939294E-4 | 1.4939294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.400595E-4 | 6.400595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004172157 | 0.007759026 | 0.007768948 | 1.0012789 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040946912 | 0.07436113 | 0.07437964 | 1.0002489 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.2990092E-4 | 1.2990092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.565818E-4 | 5.565818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037082357 | 0.0067520672 | 0.006762 | 1.001471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.036469642 | 0.06517415 | 0.06519284 | 1.0002868 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 1.00134945E-4 | 1.00134945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.2907946E-4 | 4.2907946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029876942 | 0.0052116057 | 0.0052215536 | 1.0019088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02947844 | 0.050948594 | 0.050967574 | 1.0003725 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.3711006E-5 | 8.3711006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.5871248E-4 | 3.5871248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025403565 | 0.0043586465 | 0.0043686028 | 1.0022843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025115121 | 0.042891316 | 0.04291046 | 1.0004463 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.342976E-5 | 7.342976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.1466133E-4 | 3.1466133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002241108 | 0.0038243334 | 0.0038342953 | 1.0026048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022186412 | 0.037793666 | 0.03781291 | 1.0005091 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.458874E-5 | 5.458874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.3393093E-4 | 2.3393093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016794393 | 0.002844418 | 0.0028543896 | 1.0035057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016668037 | 0.028362127 | 0.02838156 | 1.0006852 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 4.001478E-5 | 4.001478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.7148074E-4 | 1.7148074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0020857963 | 0.0020957754 | 1.0047843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012319452 | 0.020905234 | 0.020924816 | 1.0009367 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.771034E-5 | 2.771034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.1875322E-4 | 1.1875322E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.001444864 | 0.0014548495 | 1.006911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008312687 | 0.014554592 | 0.014574301 | 1.0013541 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.5138093E-5 | 2.5138093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9202768E-5 | 1.0773025E-4 | 1.0773025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.0013108291 | 0.001320816 | 1.0076188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007182234 | 0.013227 | 0.013246735 | 1.001492 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.672006E-5 | 1.672006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 7.165544E-5 | 7.165544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 8.7205716E-4 | 8.8204845E-4 | 1.0114571 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004590199 | 0.0088601 | 0.008879923 | 1.0022373 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 7.91512E-6 | 7.91512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 3.39215E-5 | 3.39215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 4.1291607E-4 | 4.2291195E-4 | 1.024208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021033096 | 0.004266868 | 0.0042867824 | 1.0046673 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 6.969228E-6 | 6.969228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 2.9867779E-5 | 2.9867779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 3.635796E-4 | 3.7357595E-4 | 1.0274943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0037551564 | 0.0037750814 | 1.005306 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 5.4142456E-6 | 5.4142456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 2.3203704E-5 | 2.3203704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 2.8246854E-4 | 2.924657E-4 | 1.0353922 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0029001094 | 0.0029200513 | 1.0068763 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 3.3697863E-6 | 3.3697863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 1.4441862E-5 | 1.4441862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.7581551E-4 | 1.7581551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.944594E-4 | 0.0017957418 | 0.0017957418 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 2.0966509E-6 | 2.0966509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 8.985616E-6 | 8.985616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 1.09394416E-4 | 1.09394416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 0.001117903 | 0.001117903 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9150708E-5 | 2.9150708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2492578E-4 | 1.2492578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015199374 | 0.0015199374 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015099211 | 0.01510906 | 1.0006523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9150708E-5 | 2.9150708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2492578E-4 | 1.2492578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015199374 | 0.0015199374 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015099211 | 0.01510906 | 1.0006523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9150708E-5 | 2.9150708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2492578E-4 | 1.2492578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015199374 | 0.0015199374 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015099211 | 0.01510906 | 1.0006523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2660137E-5 | 2.2660137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.711128E-5 | 9.711128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011816935 | 0.0011816935 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011885363 | 0.011755513 | 0.011765395 | 1.0008407 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9713081E-5 | 1.9713081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.448191E-5 | 8.448191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010532405 | 0.0010280838 | 0.0010280838 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010482626 | 0.010234336 | 0.0102442335 | 1.0009671 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9425377E-5 | 1.9425377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.3248975E-5 | 8.3248975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010130869 | 0.0010130869 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010342481 | 0.010085734 | 0.010095634 | 1.0009815 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.747376E-5 | 1.747376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.48854E-5 | 7.48854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.113497E-4 | 9.113497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009398366 | 0.009077079 | 0.009086988 | 1.0010917 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6057586E-5 | 1.6057586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.8816415E-5 | 6.8816415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.375189E-4 | 8.375189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008707017 | 0.008344543 | 0.00835446 | 1.0011884 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4628271E-5 | 1.4628271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.2691084E-5 | 6.2691084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.6299754E-4 | 7.6299754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008003947 | 0.007604655 | 0.0076145786 | 1.001305 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2703289E-5 | 1.2703289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.444153E-5 | 5.444153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.6262454E-4 | 6.6262454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007053386 | 0.0066073043 | 0.0066172383 | 1.0015035 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1108539E-5 | 1.1108539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.760716E-5 | 4.760716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.794631E-4 | 5.794631E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257884 | 0.0057802936 | 0.0057902355 | 1.0017201 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0034264E-5 | 1.0034264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.300328E-5 | 4.300328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.2343926E-4 | 5.2343926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057090693 | 0.0052228263 | 0.005232774 | 1.0019047 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.046468E-6 | 9.046468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.8770002E-5 | 3.8770002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.719226E-4 | 4.719226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00518453 | 0.004709962 | 0.004719915 | 1.0021131 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.839378E-6 | 7.839378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.35969E-5 | 3.35969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.0896554E-4 | 4.0896554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00452975 | 0.00408288 | 0.004092839 | 1.0024393 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 7.0096985E-6 | 7.0096985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 3.004122E-5 | 3.004122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6569047E-4 | 3.6569047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036516355 | 0.003661599 | 1.0027285 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.9702793E-6 | 5.9702793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.558666E-5 | 2.558666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.114731E-4 | 3.114731E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035616932 | 0.0031111115 | 0.0031210803 | 1.0032042 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.6052805E-6 | 4.6052805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9736768E-5 | 1.9736768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.4026867E-4 | 2.4026867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.0024008332 | 0.002410809 | 1.0041553 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.6611544E-6 | 2.6611544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1404897E-5 | 1.1404897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.3884579E-4 | 1.3884579E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0013883327 | 0.0013983188 | 1.0071929 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1434764E-6 | 1.1434764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.900604E-6 | 4.900604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.966322E-5 | 5.966322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.972131E-4 | 5.972131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.3512696E-7 | 5.3512696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.2933991E-6 | 2.2933991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.7921777E-5 | 2.7921777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.7988642E-4 | 2.7988642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 2.7518317E-7 | 2.7518317E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.1793559E-6 | 1.1793559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.4358564E-5 | 1.4358564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 1.4415015E-4 | 1.4415015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.609121E-8 | 6.609121E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.83248E-7 | 2.83248E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.4485392E-6 | 3.4485392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.4498382E-5 | 3.4498382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6441189E-5 | 1.6441189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.046042E-5 | 7.046042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.57533E-4 | 8.675244E-4 | 1.0116514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008570353 | 0.008590181 | 1.0023136 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6441189E-5 | 1.6441189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.046042E-5 | 7.046042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.57533E-4 | 8.675244E-4 | 1.0116514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008570353 | 0.008590181 | 1.0023136 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6441189E-5 | 1.6441189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.046042E-5 | 7.046042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.57533E-4 | 8.675244E-4 | 1.0116514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008570353 | 0.008590181 | 1.0023136 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6441189E-5 | 1.6441189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.046042E-5 | 7.046042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.57533E-4 | 8.675244E-4 | 1.0116514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008570353 | 0.008590181 | 1.0023136 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6441189E-5 | 1.6441189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.046042E-5 | 7.046042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.57533E-4 | 8.675244E-4 | 1.0116514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008570353 | 0.008590181 | 1.0023136 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6441189E-5 | 1.6441189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.046042E-5 | 7.046042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.57533E-4 | 8.675244E-4 | 1.0116514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008570353 | 0.008590181 | 1.0023136 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3963548E-5 | 1.3963548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9842452E-5 | 5.9842452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.283474E-4 | 7.383401E-4 | 1.0137197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072871386 | 0.0073069925 | 1.0027245 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.376914E-5 | 1.376914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.900932E-5 | 5.900932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.1821065E-4 | 7.282035E-4 | 1.0139135 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.007186429 | 0.0072062854 | 1.002763 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3391001E-5 | 1.3391001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.738879E-5 | 5.738879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.984934E-4 | 7.084864E-4 | 1.0143065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.006990499 | 0.0070103593 | 1.002841 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1594326E-5 | 1.1594326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.968906E-5 | 4.968906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.653022E-4 | 6.0480327E-4 | 6.147972E-4 | 1.0165243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.006058909 | 0.0060787876 | 1.0032809 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.785703E-6 | 9.785703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.1938078E-5 | 4.1938078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.10481E-4 | 5.204759E-4 | 1.0195794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.005120211 | 0.0051401085 | 1.0038861 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.439777E-6 | 9.439777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 4.0455587E-5 | 4.0455587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.9243995E-4 | 5.02435E-4 | 1.020297 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.004940607 | 0.004960508 | 1.0040281 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.786985E-6 | 7.786985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.3372387E-5 | 3.3372387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0623674E-4 | 4.1623268E-4 | 1.0246062 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.0040820157 | 0.0041019344 | 1.0048796 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 7.0187916E-6 | 7.0187916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 3.0080208E-5 | 3.0080208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6616833E-4 | 3.7616468E-4 | 1.0272999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0036826918 | 0.0037026182 | 1.0054108 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.124061E-6 | 5.124061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1960077E-5 | 2.1960077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.673313E-4 | 2.7732865E-4 | 1.0373968 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.002696924 | 0.00271687 | 1.0073959 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.7125714E-6 | 4.7125714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 2.0196578E-5 | 2.0196578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4586573E-4 | 2.5586327E-4 | 1.0406626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024829668 | 0.002502917 | 1.0080348 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.2176002E-6 | 4.2176002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.8075305E-5 | 1.8075305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.2004469E-4 | 2.300425E-4 | 1.0454353 | 1.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0022258218 | 0.0022457773 | 1.0089655 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.136648E-6 | 4.136648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.7728371E-5 | 1.7728371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1582162E-4 | 2.2581947E-4 | 1.0463246 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021837847 | 0.002203741 | 1.0091385 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.7976165E-6 | 3.7976165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.6275399E-5 | 1.6275399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9813504E-4 | 2.0813305E-4 | 1.0504606 | 1.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0020064826 | 0.0020264424 | 1.0099477 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 3.0215233E-6 | 3.0215233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2949322E-5 | 1.2949322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5764665E-4 | 1.6764508E-4 | 1.063423 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015992988 | 0.0016192668 | 1.0124855 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.7027813E-7 | 5.7027813E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.444047E-6 | 2.444047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.9755869E-5 | 2.9755869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0513899E-4 | 3.07985E-4 | 3.07985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.1986099E-7 | 1.1986099E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 5.136898E-7 | 5.136898E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 6.2541562E-6 | 6.2541562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.87839E-5 | 6.87839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.698495E-8 | 2.698495E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.15649776E-7 | 1.15649776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.4080351E-6 | 1.4080351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.5806736E-5 | 1.5806736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.1281333E-4 | 5.1281333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021959604 | 0.0021959604 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026411567 | 0.026431037 | 1.0007372 | 2.0E-5 | 0.13367249 | 0.23046327 | 0.23047866 | 1.0000668 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.930309E-4 | 4.930309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001086234 | 0.0021113174 | 0.0021113174 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013144928 | 0.025403086 | 0.025422579 | 1.0007674 | 2.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.22166327 | 0.22167884 | 1.0000702 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.8387126E-4 | 4.8387126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020721245 | 0.0020721245 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01286919 | 0.024937725 | 0.024957225 | 1.000782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.21814764 | 0.21816327 | 1.0000716 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.6465415E-4 | 4.6465415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019898927 | 0.0019898927 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012036599 | 0.02395865 | 0.023978172 | 1.0008148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.20993792 | 0.20995373 | 1.0000752 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 4.0433044E-4 | 4.0433044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.001731709 | 0.001731709 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010539869 | 0.020884566 | 0.020904148 | 1.0009377 | 2.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.18707559 | 0.18709184 | 1.0000869 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.7510533E-4 | 3.7510533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0016066165 | 0.0016066165 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009633281 | 0.019393178 | 0.01941279 | 1.0010113 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.1752253 | 0.1752418 | 1.0000942 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4511462E-4 | 3.4511462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014782347 | 0.0014782347 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008617763 | 0.017852355 | 0.017871998 | 1.0011003 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16258228 | 0.16259903 | 1.000103 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.1187639E-4 | 3.1187639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.001335937 | 0.001335937 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073952693 | 0.016144907 | 0.016164584 | 1.0012188 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.148112 | 0.14812903 | 1.000115 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.8144429E-4 | 2.8144429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0012056386 | 0.0012056386 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014581287 | 0.014600995 | 1.0013516 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13434972 | 0.13436703 | 1.0001289 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5280387E-4 | 2.5280387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010829996 | 0.0010829996 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051317946 | 0.01310679 | 0.013126528 | 1.001506 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.12048701 | 0.1205046 | 1.000146 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1466646E-4 | 2.1466646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.19678E-4 | 9.19678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003811904 | 0.011140292 | 0.011160068 | 1.0017753 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.10288368 | 0.10290162 | 1.0001744 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.1165388E-4 | 2.1165388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 9.0677594E-4 | 9.0677594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003737482 | 0.010984803 | 0.011004583 | 1.0018007 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.10151084 | 0.1015288 | 1.000177 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9326936E-4 | 1.9326936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.280374E-4 | 8.280374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033683628 | 0.010035387 | 0.010055186 | 1.0019729 | 2.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.09329772 | 0.093315855 | 1.0001943 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7990636E-4 | 1.7990636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.708024E-4 | 7.708024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009344723 | 0.009364536 | 1.0021203 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.087322615 | 0.08734087 | 1.0002091 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1651471E-4 | 1.1651471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.992541E-4 | 4.992541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021888057 | 0.0060616503 | 0.006081529 | 1.0032794 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.058060367 | 0.058079205 | 1.0003245 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.45123E-5 | 8.45123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.6214563E-4 | 3.6214563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0044002705 | 0.0044102264 | 1.0022626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.04266068 | 0.042670254 | 1.0002244 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.179157E-5 | 6.179157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6479427E-4 | 2.6479427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0032191284 | 0.003229096 | 1.0030965 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.031454746 | 0.03146443 | 1.0003079 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0880186E-5 | 4.0880186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7518907E-4 | 1.7518907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.002130846 | 0.0021408247 | 1.004683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.02097143 | 0.020981222 | 1.0004668 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.1597683E-5 | 3.1597683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3541162E-4 | 1.3541162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016473923 | 0.0016573757 | 1.0060602 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.016306741 | 0.016316578 | 1.0006032 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2646806E-5 | 2.2646806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.705413E-5 | 9.705413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011809946 | 0.0011909828 | 1.0084574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.01184883 | 0.011858711 | 1.000834 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8431158E-5 | 1.8431158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.898829E-5 | 7.898829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.6125895E-4 | 9.712493E-4 | 1.010393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036135751 | 0.00969907 | 0.009708973 | 1.001021 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.56875E-6 | 6.56875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.8151482E-5 | 2.8151482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.426905E-4 | 3.426905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0035796354 | 0.0035796354 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 2.0095413E-6 | 2.0095413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.612291E-6 | 8.612291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.04849634E-4 | 1.04849634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011449227 | 0.0011449227 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.5241953E-8 | 1.5241953E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.532265E-8 | 6.532265E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.953033E-7 | 7.953033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 8.283859E-6 | 8.283859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
La Panza 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7186545E-6 | 4.7186545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.022266E-5 | 2.022266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4618502E-4 | 2.4618502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024593177 | 0.002469293 | 1.0040562 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7186545E-6 | 4.7186545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.022266E-5 | 2.022266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4618502E-4 | 2.4618502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024593177 | 0.002469293 | 1.0040562 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7186545E-6 | 4.7186545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.022266E-5 | 2.022266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4618502E-4 | 2.4618502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024593177 | 0.002469293 | 1.0040562 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7186545E-6 | 4.7186545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.022266E-5 | 2.022266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4618502E-4 | 2.4618502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024593177 | 0.002469293 | 1.0040562 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7186545E-6 | 4.7186545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.022266E-5 | 2.022266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4618502E-4 | 2.4618502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024593177 | 0.002469293 | 1.0040562 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.5014847E-6 | 2.5014847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0720607E-5 | 1.0720607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3051595E-4 | 1.3051595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013044315 | 0.0013044315 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.5014847E-6 | 2.5014847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0720607E-5 | 1.0720607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3051595E-4 | 1.3051595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013044315 | 0.0013044315 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5108508E-6 | 1.5154455E-6 | 1.5154455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4750584E-6 | 6.4947512E-6 | 6.4947512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8830984E-5 | 7.907084E-5 | 7.907084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.880303E-4 | 7.9043786E-4 | 7.9043786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3865837E-6 | 1.3893057E-6 | 1.3893057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.942488E-6 | 5.954154E-6 | 5.954154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.234739E-5 | 7.2489514E-5 | 7.2489514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.232384E-4 | 7.246685E-4 | 7.246685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.826583E-7 | 9.803906E-7 | 9.803906E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2113857E-6 | 4.2016673E-6 | 4.2016673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1272415E-5 | 5.1154155E-5 | 5.1154155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.126059E-4 | 5.1142916E-4 | 5.1142916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.7797646E-7 | 6.717568E-7 | 6.717568E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9056102E-6 | 2.8789548E-6 | 2.8789548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.537523E-5 | 3.5050743E-5 | 3.5050743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5369597E-4 | 3.5045523E-4 | 3.5045523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.4979826E-7 | 3.3944636E-7 | 3.3944636E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4991346E-6 | 1.4547693E-6 | 1.4547693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825181E-5 | 1.7711685E-5 | 1.7711685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825031E-4 | 1.771039E-4 | 1.771039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.5088332E-7 | 2.3901632E-7 | 2.3901632E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0752137E-6 | 1.0243552E-6 | 1.0243552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3090649E-5 | 1.24714625E-5 | 1.24714625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089878E-4 | 1.2470849E-4 | 1.2470849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0159086E-7 | 8.7125954E-8 | 8.7125954E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3538932E-7 | 3.733969E-7 | 3.733969E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300852E-6 | 4.546098E-6 | 4.546098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3007258E-5 | 4.5460092E-5 | 4.5460092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5006252E-8 | 1.9622068E-8 | 1.9622068E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5002678E-7 | 8.409457E-8 | 8.409457E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265745E-6 | 1.0238509E-6 | 1.0238509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265595E-5 | 1.0238465E-5 | 1.0238465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.592274E-8 | 1.0401567E-8 | 1.0401567E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1109746E-7 | 4.457814E-8 | 4.457814E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526106E-6 | 5.4273875E-7 | 5.4273875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526024E-5 | 5.427375E-6 | 5.427375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.9016717E-8 | 5.3490807E-9 | 5.3490807E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.150022E-8 | 2.292463E-8 | 2.292463E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922647E-7 | 2.7910733E-7 | 2.7910733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922603E-6 | 2.79107E-6 | 2.79107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.17738495E-8 | 1.2849616E-9 | 1.2849616E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0459356E-8 | 5.5069753E-9 | 5.5069753E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1434247E-7 | 6.7047424E-8 | 6.7047424E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.143408E-6 | 6.704741E-7 | 6.704741E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.489079E-9 | 2.1301672E-10 | 2.1301672E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3524624E-8 | 9.129263E-10 | 9.129263E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641225E-7 | 1.1114878E-8 | 1.1114878E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641189E-6 | 1.1114878E-7 | 1.1114878E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5081048E-9 | 7.1355144E-11 | 7.1355144E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0749021E-8 | 3.0580694E-10 | 3.0580694E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086932E-7 | 3.723199E-9 | 3.723199E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086925E-6 | 3.7231988E-8 | 3.7231988E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4896683E-6 | 4.4896683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001045009 | 5.466039E-5 | 5.466039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010401085 | 5.4647453E-4 | 5.564691E-4 | 1.0182891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4896683E-6 | 4.4896683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001045009 | 5.466039E-5 | 5.466039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010401085 | 5.4647453E-4 | 5.564691E-4 | 1.0182891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4896683E-6 | 4.4896683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001045009 | 5.466039E-5 | 5.466039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010401085 | 5.4647453E-4 | 5.564691E-4 | 1.0182891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4896683E-6 | 4.4896683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001045009 | 5.466039E-5 | 5.466039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010401085 | 5.4647453E-4 | 5.564691E-4 | 1.0182891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.4896683E-6 | 4.4896683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.466039E-5 | 5.466039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005891764 | 5.4647453E-4 | 5.564691E-4 | 1.0182891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.4896683E-6 | 4.4896683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.466039E-5 | 5.466039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005891764 | 5.4647453E-4 | 5.564691E-4 | 1.0182891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.347473E-6 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.047591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0059982E-5 | 4.4896683E-6 | 4.4896683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8762115E-4 | 5.466039E-5 | 5.466039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048655253 | 5.4647453E-4 | 5.564691E-4 | 1.0182891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.842647E-6 | 1.0054719E-6 | 1.0054719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.361091E-5 | 4.3091586E-6 | 4.3091586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0913603E-4 | 5.2462794E-5 | 5.2462794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004083836 | 5.2450906E-4 | 5.345038E-4 | 1.0190555 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.26597E-6 | 9.74083E-7 | 9.74083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.685388E-5 | 4.174635E-6 | 4.174635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2689696E-4 | 5.0825045E-5 | 5.0825045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003264165 | 5.0813914E-4 | 5.1813404E-4 | 1.0196697 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.258436E-6 | 9.188845E-7 | 9.188845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535958E-5 | 3.9380707E-6 | 3.9380707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7434074E-4 | 4.7945006E-5 | 4.7945006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027400232 | 4.793514E-4 | 4.893466E-4 | 1.0208515 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.675028E-6 | 8.666416E-7 | 8.666416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.003568E-5 | 3.714173E-6 | 3.714173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4390711E-4 | 4.5219167E-5 | 4.5219167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024363957 | 4.5210437E-4 | 4.6209985E-4 | 1.0221088 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8270078E-6 | 6.878429E-7 | 6.878429E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2115692E-5 | 2.9478952E-6 | 2.9478952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4749856E-4 | 3.5890072E-5 | 3.5890072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001474007 | 3.5884685E-4 | 3.688433E-4 | 1.0278571 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6881406E-6 | 2.2728044E-7 | 2.2728044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2348685E-6 | 9.740587E-7 | 9.740587E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.808096E-5 | 1.18591015E-5 | 1.18591015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8046055E-4 | 1.1858484E-4 | 1.1858484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.086107E-7 | 1.5279592E-7 | 1.5279592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8940398E-6 | 6.548395E-7 | 6.548395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7408903E-5 | 7.972642E-6 | 7.972642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.739879E-4 | 7.972365E-5 | 7.972365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9717383E-7 | 9.007526E-8 | 9.007526E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.450304E-7 | 3.8603676E-7 | 3.8603676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0288197E-5 | 4.6999876E-6 | 4.6999876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.028772E-4 | 4.6998914E-5 | 4.6998914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.086975E-7 | 6.661621E-8 | 6.661621E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6584634E-7 | 2.85498E-7 | 2.85498E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6716644E-6 | 3.4759328E-6 | 3.4759328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6715195E-5 | 3.475881E-5 | 3.475881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4217808E-8 | 1.5824662E-8 | 1.5824662E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03790605E-7 | 6.781998E-8 | 6.781998E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636499E-6 | 8.25708E-7 | 8.25708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636427E-5 | 8.257054E-6 | 8.257054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Verdugo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.219373E-6 | 4.219373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8082903E-5 | 1.8082903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2013758E-4 | 2.3013538E-4 | 1.0454161 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021992428 | 0.002209221 | 1.004537 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.219373E-6 | 4.219373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8082903E-5 | 1.8082903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2013758E-4 | 2.3013538E-4 | 1.0454161 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021992428 | 0.002209221 | 1.004537 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.219373E-6 | 4.219373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8082903E-5 | 1.8082903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2013758E-4 | 2.3013538E-4 | 1.0454161 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021992428 | 0.002209221 | 1.004537 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.219373E-6 | 4.219373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8082903E-5 | 1.8082903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2013758E-4 | 2.3013538E-4 | 1.0454161 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021992428 | 0.002209221 | 1.004537 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.219373E-6 | 4.219373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8082903E-5 | 1.8082903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2013758E-4 | 2.3013538E-4 | 1.0454161 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021992428 | 0.002209221 | 1.004537 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.725206E-6 | 3.725206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5965072E-5 | 1.5965072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.9435762E-4 | 1.9435762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002561549 | 0.0019418973 | 0.0019418973 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.725206E-6 | 3.725206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5965072E-5 | 1.5965072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.9435762E-4 | 1.9435762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002561549 | 0.0019418973 | 0.0019418973 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.817006E-6 | 3.6233696E-6 | 3.6233696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0644147E-5 | 1.5528636E-5 | 1.5528636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.513135E-4 | 1.8904493E-4 | 1.8904493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025102948 | 0.0018888608 | 0.0018888608 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.507407E-6 | 3.3097122E-6 | 3.3097122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9317316E-5 | 1.4184404E-5 | 1.4184404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3516294E-4 | 1.7268157E-4 | 1.7268157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023491425 | 0.0017254882 | 0.0017254882 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.3573054E-6 | 3.1635684E-6 | 3.1635684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8674033E-5 | 1.3558081E-5 | 1.3558081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2733262E-4 | 1.6505725E-4 | 1.6505725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022710022 | 0.001649359 | 0.001649359 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.171527E-6 | 2.9861676E-6 | 2.9861676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.787785E-5 | 1.2797799E-5 | 1.2797799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1764109E-4 | 1.5580218E-4 | 1.5580218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021742806 | 0.0015569407 | 0.0015569407 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0405484E-6 | 2.8847114E-6 | 2.8847114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.731652E-5 | 1.2362991E-5 | 1.2362991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1080824E-4 | 1.5050912E-4 | 1.5050912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021060838 | 0.0015040829 | 0.0015040829 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.8306007E-6 | 2.7042122E-6 | 2.7042122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6416758E-5 | 1.158943E-5 | 1.158943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9985568E-4 | 1.4109229E-4 | 1.4109229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019967605 | 0.0014100377 | 0.0014100377 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.5750938E-6 | 2.5144527E-6 | 2.5144527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.532174E-5 | 1.07761825E-5 | 1.07761825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8652623E-4 | 1.3119222E-4 | 1.3119222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018636974 | 0.0013111583 | 0.0013111583 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.3510041E-6 | 2.3430075E-6 | 2.3430075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4361368E-5 | 1.0041423E-5 | 1.0041423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7483562E-4 | 1.2224757E-4 | 1.2224757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017469813 | 0.0012218136 | 0.0012218136 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.948287E-6 | 2.0408204E-6 | 2.0408204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2635454E-5 | 8.746345E-6 | 8.746345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.538258E-4 | 1.06481646E-4 | 1.06481646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015371935 | 0.0010643165 | 0.0010643165 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0134323E-6 | 1.448184E-6 | 1.448184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.628967E-6 | 6.2064883E-6 | 6.2064883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05052604E-4 | 7.556147E-5 | 7.556147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010500296 | 7.553666E-4 | 7.553666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.726436E-7 | 4.0486006E-7 | 4.0486006E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4541846E-6 | 1.7351135E-6 | 1.7351135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9879287E-5 | 2.112483E-5 | 2.112483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.987527E-4 | 2.1123076E-4 | 2.1123076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.6248204E-7 | 1.070826E-7 | 1.070826E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.963514E-7 | 4.5892534E-7 | 4.5892534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.478045E-6 | 5.587402E-6 | 5.587402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.477722E-5 | 5.587265E-5 | 5.587265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4475744E-8 | 3.0388296E-8 | 3.0388296E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9061031E-7 | 1.3023555E-7 | 1.3023555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.320678E-6 | 1.5856168E-6 | 1.5856168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3206538E-5 | 1.5856069E-5 | 1.5856069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7942608E-5 | 2.7942608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.1974878E-4 | 1.1974878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014570095 | 0.0014570095 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016536033 | 0.014479128 | 0.014488983 | 1.0006807 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7583377E-5 | 1.7583377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.535521E-5 | 7.535521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011033333 | 9.1707293E-4 | 9.1707293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010978713 | 0.009133894 | 0.009143802 | 1.0010848 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3333861E-5 | 1.3333861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.714388E-5 | 5.714388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.955073E-4 | 6.955073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069335997 | 0.0069435304 | 1.0014323 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.118443E-5 | 1.118443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7932397E-5 | 4.7932397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.834216E-4 | 5.834216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070501505 | 0.005819018 | 0.00582896 | 1.0017085 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0005534E-5 | 1.0005534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2880158E-5 | 4.2880158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.2194134E-4 | 5.2194134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006304447 | 0.0052072224 | 0.0052171703 | 1.0019104 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.371697E-6 | 9.371697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.01638E-5 | 4.01638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.88885E-4 | 4.88885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059054173 | 0.004878154 | 0.004888105 | 1.0020399 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.139049E-6 | 8.139049E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.488117E-5 | 3.488117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2459572E-4 | 4.2459572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051267436 | 0.004237877 | 0.004247835 | 1.0023496 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.3217566E-6 | 7.3217566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1378582E-5 | 3.1378582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8196743E-4 | 3.8196743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038131345 | 0.0038230964 | 1.0026125 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.3947064E-6 | 6.3947064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.7405598E-5 | 2.7405598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3361223E-4 | 3.3361223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.003331135 | 0.0033411018 | 1.002992 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.4609322E-6 | 5.4609322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3403787E-5 | 2.3403787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8490397E-4 | 2.8490397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.002845404 | 0.002845404 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.5721868E-6 | 4.5721868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.959494E-5 | 1.959494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3854239E-4 | 2.3854239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023828773 | 0.0023828773 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7543932E-6 | 3.7543932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6090158E-5 | 1.6090158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9588016E-4 | 1.9588016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.001957087 | 0.001957087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.4266756E-6 | 2.4266756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0399997E-5 | 1.0399997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2661262E-4 | 1.2661262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012654072 | 0.0012654072 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7702943E-6 | 1.7702943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.586953E-6 | 7.586953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.236724E-5 | 9.236724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.2329027E-4 | 9.2329027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4394042E-6 | 1.4394042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.16886E-6 | 6.16886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.5103286E-5 | 7.5103286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.507807E-4 | 7.507807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1315692E-6 | 1.1315692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.849573E-6 | 4.849573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.9041955E-5 | 5.9041955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.9026416E-4 | 5.9026416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.689551E-7 | 7.689551E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2955177E-6 | 3.2955177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.012219E-5 | 4.012219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0115087E-4 | 4.0115087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0150604E-7 | 4.0150604E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7207391E-6 | 1.7207391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0949798E-5 | 2.0949798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0947956E-4 | 2.0947956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5368246E-7 | 1.5368246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.5863895E-7 | 6.5863895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 8.018899E-6 | 8.018899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 8.018741E-5 | 8.018741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.6658876E-8 | 4.6658876E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9996659E-7 | 1.9996659E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.4345904E-6 | 2.4345904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4346935E-5 | 2.4346935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.179806E-10 | 9.179806E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.9342E-9 | 3.9342E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.7898887E-8 | 4.7898887E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.8009963E-7 | 4.8009963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6071993E-5 | 3.6071993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5458616E-4 | 1.5458616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018806483 | 0.0018806483 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016139153 | 0.01866611 | 0.018675921 | 1.0005257 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6071993E-5 | 3.6071993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5458616E-4 | 1.5458616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018806483 | 0.0018806483 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016139153 | 0.01866611 | 0.018675921 | 1.0005257 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6071993E-5 | 3.6071993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5458616E-4 | 1.5458616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018806483 | 0.0018806483 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016139153 | 0.01866611 | 0.018675921 | 1.0005257 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3871498E-5 | 2.3871498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.0230259E-4 | 1.0230259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012448535 | 0.0012448535 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010933585 | 0.012382057 | 0.012382057 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3871498E-5 | 2.3871498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.0230259E-4 | 1.0230259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012448535 | 0.0012448535 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010933585 | 0.012382057 | 0.012382057 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.9389783E-5 | 2.190393E-5 | 2.190393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.309642E-5 | 9.387077E-5 | 9.387077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010112294 | 0.0011423052 | 0.0011423052 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010066401 | 0.011367215 | 0.011367215 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.9370193E-5 | 2.1883849E-5 | 2.1883849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301247E-5 | 9.378471E-5 | 9.378471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010102082 | 0.0011412585 | 0.0011412585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010056281 | 0.011356855 | 0.011356855 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.6723505E-5 | 1.8814966E-5 | 1.8814966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.16702E-5 | 8.063319E-5 | 8.063319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.722353E-4 | 9.812864E-4 | 9.812864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008688197 | 0.009771547 | 0.009771547 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.426937E-5 | 1.6010223E-5 | 1.6010223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115301E-5 | 6.861352E-5 | 6.861352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4428355E-4 | 8.3506387E-4 | 8.3506387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007417957 | 0.00832074 | 0.00832074 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2469891E-5 | 1.3968104E-5 | 1.3968104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3441294E-5 | 5.9862E-5 | 5.9862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.504535E-4 | 7.285882E-4 | 7.285882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006485529 | 0.0072632213 | 0.0072632213 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.7746275E-6 | 9.7993525E-6 | 9.7993525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7605005E-5 | 4.199659E-5 | 4.199659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5774475E-4 | 5.111959E-4 | 5.111959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00456803 | 0.005100934 | 0.005100934 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.1067153E-6 | 6.81902E-6 | 6.81902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6171374E-5 | 2.9224077E-5 | 2.9224077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1858988E-4 | 3.5575064E-4 | 3.5575064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031813353 | 0.0035523633 | 0.0035523633 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.939283E-6 | 3.276611E-6 | 3.276611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2596866E-5 | 1.4042554E-5 | 1.4042554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5335606E-4 | 1.7095642E-4 | 1.7095642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015325027 | 0.0017084215 | 0.0017084215 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.2387763E-7 | 8.0142564E-7 | 8.0142564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.102329E-6 | 3.4346792E-6 | 3.4346792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.77702E-5 | 4.181688E-5 | 4.181688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7763783E-4 | 4.1813514E-4 | 4.1813514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.2074894E-8 | 3.2074894E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3746383E-7 | 1.3746383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6736209E-6 | 1.6736209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.673609E-5 | 1.673609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.801499E-5 | 7.801499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4942236E-4 | 9.5941284E-4 | 1.0105227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009454705 | 0.00946461 | 1.0010477 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.801499E-5 | 7.801499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4942236E-4 | 9.5941284E-4 | 1.0105227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009454705 | 0.00946461 | 1.0010477 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.801499E-5 | 7.801499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4942236E-4 | 9.5941284E-4 | 1.0105227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009454705 | 0.00946461 | 1.0010477 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.801499E-5 | 7.801499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4942236E-4 | 9.5941284E-4 | 1.0105227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009454705 | 0.00946461 | 1.0010477 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.801499E-5 | 7.801499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4942236E-4 | 9.5941284E-4 | 1.0105227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009454705 | 0.00946461 | 1.0010477 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.801499E-5 | 7.801499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4942236E-4 | 9.5941284E-4 | 1.0105227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009454705 | 0.00946461 | 1.0010477 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.801499E-5 | 7.801499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4942236E-4 | 9.5941284E-4 | 1.0105227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009454705 | 0.00946461 | 1.0010477 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.8204038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.801499E-5 | 7.801499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4942236E-4 | 9.5941284E-4 | 1.0105227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009454705 | 0.00946461 | 1.0010477 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7971435E-5 | 1.7971435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.701819E-5 | 7.701819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012120095 | 9.3729666E-4 | 9.472873E-4 | 1.010659 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012054204 | 0.009334212 | 0.00934412 | 1.0010613 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.7466358E-5 | 1.7466358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.485369E-5 | 7.485369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011869454 | 9.1096613E-4 | 9.2095707E-4 | 1.0109674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011806256 | 0.009073073 | 0.009082982 | 1.0010922 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7099785E-5 | 1.7099785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.3282754E-5 | 7.3282754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011682777 | 8.918557E-4 | 9.018468E-4 | 1.0112026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011621549 | 0.008883501 | 0.008893413 | 1.0011157 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.6616996E-5 | 1.6616996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.121378E-5 | 7.121378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011405671 | 8.6668617E-4 | 8.6668617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011347309 | 0.008633785 | 0.008633785 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.5592212E-5 | 1.5592212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.682207E-5 | 6.682207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010802611 | 8.132583E-4 | 8.132583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010750249 | 0.008103517 | 0.008103517 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.40204E-5 | 1.40204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8890735E-5 | 6.0086062E-5 | 6.0086062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.313053E-4 | 7.313053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009559342 | 0.0072896183 | 0.0072896183 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.287144E-5 | 1.287144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.5162163E-5 | 5.5162163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.713953E-4 | 6.713953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00875714 | 0.0066942503 | 0.0066942503 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.594931E-6 | 9.594931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.1120493E-5 | 4.1120493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.688548E-4 | 5.005286E-4 | 5.005286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006668452 | 0.0049940795 | 0.0049940795 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.8598027E-6 | 3.8598027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6541906E-5 | 1.6541906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0137921E-4 | 2.0137921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319301 | 0.002011978 | 0.002011978 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3438681E-6 | 2.3438681E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0045111E-5 | 1.0045111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2229243E-4 | 1.2229243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012222588 | 0.0012222588 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0576285E-6 | 1.0576285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.532686E-6 | 4.532686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.5184075E-5 | 5.5184075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.517058E-4 | 5.517058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.7000093E-7 | 1.7000093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.285752E-7 | 7.285752E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.870367E-6 | 8.870367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.8700166E-5 | 8.8700166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.6961002E-8 | 2.6961002E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.15547145E-7 | 1.15547145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4067857E-6 | 1.4067857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.4067772E-5 | 1.4067772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2069034E-5 | 3.2069034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.374326E-4 | 1.374326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016722302 | 0.0016722302 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014804244 | 0.016623342 | 0.016633177 | 1.0005915 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2069034E-5 | 3.2069034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.374326E-4 | 1.374326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016722302 | 0.0016722302 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014804244 | 0.016623342 | 0.016633177 | 1.0005915 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2069034E-5 | 3.2069034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.374326E-4 | 1.374326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016722302 | 0.0016722302 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014804244 | 0.016623342 | 0.016633177 | 1.0005915 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0393587E-5 | 2.0393587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.7398796E-5 | 8.7398796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010636733 | 0.0010636733 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010090181 | 0.010597199 | 0.010597199 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0393587E-5 | 2.0393587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.7398796E-5 | 8.7398796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010636733 | 0.0010636733 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010090181 | 0.010597199 | 0.010597199 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0393587E-5 | 2.0393587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.7398796E-5 | 8.7398796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010636733 | 0.0010636733 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010090181 | 0.010597199 | 0.010597199 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0393587E-5 | 2.0393587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.7398796E-5 | 8.7398796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010636733 | 0.0010636733 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010090181 | 0.010597199 | 0.010597199 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 2.038099E-5 | 2.038099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.734481E-5 | 8.734481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010119933 | 0.0010630167 | 0.0010630167 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010073971 | 0.010590695 | 0.010590695 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1604623E-5 | 1.1604623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9733244E-5 | 4.9733244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.053509E-4 | 6.053509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063546924 | 0.0060389843 | 0.0060389843 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1604623E-5 | 1.1604623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9733244E-5 | 4.9733244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.053509E-4 | 6.053509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063546924 | 0.0060389843 | 0.0060389843 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 8.065732E-6 | 8.065732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.4566983E-5 | 3.4566983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.207752E-4 | 4.207752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048284214 | 0.004200425 | 0.004200425 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 7.948813E-6 | 7.948813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.4065913E-5 | 3.4065913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7629757E-4 | 4.1467702E-4 | 4.1467702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00475278 | 0.0041396716 | 0.0041396716 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.747803E-6 | 7.747803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.3204466E-5 | 3.3204466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6172875E-4 | 4.041928E-4 | 4.041928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046077054 | 0.0040352126 | 0.0040352126 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.5561497E-6 | 7.5561497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.2383115E-5 | 3.2383115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.941965E-4 | 3.941965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004463301 | 0.0039355997 | 0.0039355997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.8225145E-6 | 6.8225145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.9239038E-5 | 2.9239038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.5593018E-4 | 3.5593018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040888423 | 0.003554164 | 0.003554164 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.2817983E-6 | 4.2817983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.8350445E-5 | 1.8350445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.2339541E-4 | 2.2339541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025466895 | 0.0022317676 | 0.0022317676 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.1573954E-6 | 1.1573954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.960258E-6 | 4.960258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.249717E-5 | 6.038969E-5 | 6.038969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.247352E-4 | 6.037546E-4 | 6.037546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.37526E-7 | 2.37526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2824837E-6 | 1.0179682E-6 | 1.0179682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.23937E-5 | 1.23937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5613029E-4 | 1.239308E-4 | 1.239308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.655673E-8 | 2.655673E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.1381456E-7 | 1.1381456E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.3856915E-6 | 1.3856915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5143789E-5 | 1.3856837E-5 | 1.3856837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.769211E-9 | 2.769211E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.1868048E-8 | 1.1868048E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.4449348E-7 | 1.4449348E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632817E-6 | 1.4449348E-6 | 1.4449348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.640192E-5 | 9.640192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1309246E-4 | 4.1309246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0050192284 | 0.005029178 | 1.0019823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.04902099 | 0.0490305 | 1.000194 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.640192E-5 | 9.640192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1309246E-4 | 4.1309246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0050192284 | 0.005029178 | 1.0019823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.04902099 | 0.0490305 | 1.000194 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.35273E-5 | 8.35273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.5793445E-4 | 3.5793445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002971072 | 0.004350791 | 0.0043607475 | 1.0022885 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029316625 | 0.042693976 | 0.04270355 | 1.0002242 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.337241E-5 | 8.337241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.5727085E-4 | 3.5727085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002966728 | 0.0043427437 | 0.0043527004 | 1.0022926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029274331 | 0.042617243 | 0.042626817 | 1.0002246 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.785777E-5 | 7.785777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.336428E-4 | 3.336428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0040561864 | 0.0040661455 | 1.0024554 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02787096 | 0.039902974 | 0.039912574 | 1.0002406 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.6758763E-5 | 5.6758763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.432358E-4 | 2.432358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0029585513 | 0.0029685216 | 1.00337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022570757 | 0.029409088 | 0.029418794 | 1.0003301 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.5809579E-5 | 2.5809579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.106079E-4 | 1.106079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013458389 | 0.0013558255 | 1.0074203 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014360986 | 0.013705836 | 0.013715698 | 1.0007197 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.5019015E-5 | 2.5019015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.07220054E-4 | 1.07220054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0013046418 | 0.0013146288 | 1.0076549 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014053487 | 0.013298622 | 0.013308489 | 1.000742 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.2476455E-5 | 2.2476455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.632418E-5 | 9.632418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001328425 | 0.001172128 | 0.0011821163 | 1.0085214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0132051185 | 0.011983427 | 0.011993308 | 1.0008245 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.791491E-5 | 1.791491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.677595E-5 | 7.677595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011036064 | 9.343502E-4 | 9.443409E-4 | 1.0106926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010981417 | 0.009597097 | 0.009607 | 1.001032 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.6437798E-5 | 1.6437798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 7.044582E-5 | 7.044582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.573429E-4 | 8.673343E-4 | 1.0116539 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738087 | 0.008813983 | 0.008823895 | 1.0011246 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6362683E-5 | 1.6362683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 7.012391E-5 | 7.012391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.5342675E-4 | 8.634182E-4 | 1.0117074 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009698939 | 0.008774868 | 0.00878478 | 1.0011296 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.5654483E-5 | 1.5654483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.708893E-5 | 6.708893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.165039E-4 | 8.2649576E-4 | 1.0122373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009247236 | 0.008404759 | 0.008414675 | 1.0011798 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.480057E-5 | 1.480057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.3429485E-5 | 6.3429485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.719824E-4 | 7.819747E-4 | 1.0129436 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00861587 | 0.007958539 | 0.007968459 | 1.0012466 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4664957E-5 | 1.4664957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.284832E-5 | 6.284832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.6491165E-4 | 7.74904E-4 | 1.0130634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008514405 | 0.007887664 | 0.007897585 | 1.0012578 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.4303031E-5 | 1.4303031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.129728E-5 | 6.129728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.4604084E-4 | 7.5603335E-4 | 1.0133941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008205604 | 0.007696884 | 0.007706807 | 1.0012892 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.331276E-5 | 1.331276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.7053447E-5 | 5.7053447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.944061E-4 | 7.0439914E-4 | 1.0143908 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007407237 | 0.00717478 | 0.0071847085 | 1.0013838 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.1150918E-5 | 1.1150918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.778878E-5 | 4.778878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.8167387E-4 | 5.9166807E-4 | 1.0171818 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006005941 | 0.006039468 | 0.006049408 | 1.0016458 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.751944E-6 | 9.751944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.179338E-5 | 4.179338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767588E-4 | 5.087162E-4 | 5.187111E-4 | 1.0196474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047573727 | 0.0053010206 | 0.0053109676 | 1.0018765 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.5932185E-6 | 7.5932185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.254196E-5 | 3.254196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.961269E-4 | 4.0612297E-4 | 1.0252345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0041624405 | 0.004172399 | 1.0023924 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.452848E-6 | 6.452848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.7654774E-5 | 2.7654774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.3664537E-4 | 3.4664202E-4 | 1.0296948 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030029714 | 0.0035547216 | 0.003564686 | 1.0028032 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.671439E-6 | 5.671439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.4305942E-5 | 2.4305942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.9588517E-4 | 3.0588222E-4 | 1.0337869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0031327386 | 0.0031427075 | 1.003182 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.5833175E-7 | 5.5833175E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.3928483E-6 | 2.3928483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.9132561E-5 | 2.9132561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.2719097E-4 | 3.2719097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.707178E-9 | 4.707178E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 2.0173621E-8 | 2.0173621E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.4561382E-7 | 2.4561382E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.7471715E-6 | 2.7471715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Green Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.9629346E-5 | 1.7348281E-4 | 1.7348281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2691303E-4 | 7.4327196E-4 | 7.4327196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051852856 | 0.009010236 | 0.009010236 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.050659515 | 0.08572711 | 0.08573625 | 1.0001067 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.88615E-5 | 1.7195153E-4 | 1.7195153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2362334E-4 | 7.3671306E-4 | 7.3671306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051454236 | 0.0089310445 | 0.0089310445 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.050279044 | 0.08501305 | 0.085022196 | 1.0001076 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.696895E-5 | 1.683315E-4 | 1.683315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.15515E-4 | 7.212074E-4 | 7.212074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050471667 | 0.008743879 | 0.008743879 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04934063 | 0.0833175 | 0.08332667 | 1.00011 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.275224E-5 | 1.6009885E-4 | 1.6009885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9744904E-4 | 6.8594335E-4 | 6.8594335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048282105 | 0.0083178645 | 0.0083178645 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047246475 | 0.07944519 | 0.0794544 | 1.0001159 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.391499E-5 | 1.4401907E-4 | 1.4401907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.595861E-4 | 6.170653E-4 | 6.170653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004369175 | 0.0074856537 | 0.0074856537 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04284265 | 0.071797095 | 0.07180638 | 1.0001292 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9519385E-5 | 9.957223E-5 | 9.957223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5505814E-4 | 4.2665596E-4 | 4.2665596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031009112 | 0.005180958 | 0.005180958 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030579966 | 0.050261416 | 0.05027091 | 1.000189 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5361558E-5 | 7.422831E-5 | 7.422831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9439218E-4 | 3.1806892E-4 | 3.1806892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023641558 | 0.003864592 | 0.003864592 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023391623 | 0.03776673 | 0.03776673 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.8808106E-5 | 6.2832485E-5 | 6.2832485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6630985E-4 | 2.69246E-4 | 2.69246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020229418 | 0.003272444 | 0.003272444 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020046256 | 0.03209806 | 0.03209806 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.2284667E-5 | 3.136289E-5 | 3.136289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.550222E-5 | 1.3440549E-4 | 1.3440549E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011621192 | 0.0016351572 | 0.0016351572 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011560607 | 0.016206646 | 0.016206646 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8050168E-5 | 2.4512512E-5 | 2.4512512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.735557E-5 | 1.0504942E-4 | 1.0504942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4139716E-4 | 0.0012782288 | 0.0012782288 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009374191 | 0.012699698 | 0.012699698 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4763166E-5 | 1.962566E-5 | 1.962566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.326917E-5 | 8.4107276E-5 | 8.4107276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7002996E-4 | 0.0010235263 | 0.0010235263 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007673672 | 0.010186853 | 0.010186853 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2399713E-5 | 1.6339402E-5 | 1.6339402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3140546E-5 | 7.002414E-5 | 7.002414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.467941E-4 | 8.522124E-4 | 8.522124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006449148 | 0.008489714 | 0.008489714 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0584195E-5 | 1.3955646E-5 | 1.3955646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5360044E-5 | 5.980855E-5 | 5.980855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521186E-4 | 7.279274E-4 | 7.279274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055074887 | 0.007255956 | 0.007255956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.998173E-6 | 1.0562423E-5 | 1.0562423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277433E-5 | 4.526675E-5 | 4.526675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1724785E-4 | 5.509844E-4 | 5.509844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004164653 | 0.0054965625 | 0.0054965625 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.7571127E-6 | 8.948616E-6 | 8.948616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8958733E-5 | 3.8350652E-5 | 3.8350652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5251552E-4 | 4.668201E-4 | 4.668201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035195686 | 0.004658594 | 0.004658594 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.69878E-6 | 7.528159E-6 | 7.528159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4423114E-5 | 3.2263146E-5 | 3.2263146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9731085E-4 | 3.9273387E-4 | 3.9273387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002969134 | 0.0039206776 | 0.0039206776 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.503664E-6 | 5.9450654E-6 | 5.9450654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9301275E-5 | 2.5478606E-5 | 2.5478606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3496768E-4 | 3.101587E-4 | 3.101587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002347194 | 0.0030974275 | 0.0030974275 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0873546E-6 | 1.4137244E-6 | 1.4137244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6600826E-6 | 6.058805E-6 | 6.058805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6735033E-5 | 7.3763484E-5 | 7.3763484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.672055E-4 | 7.3734066E-4 | 7.3734066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9373917E-8 | 6.2329896E-8 | 6.2329896E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1160248E-7 | 2.671281E-7 | 2.671281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762572E-6 | 3.2522812E-6 | 3.2522812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762274E-5 | 3.251506E-5 | 3.251506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mono Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.385551E-5 | 2.385551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.02236896E-4 | 1.02236896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012445558 | 0.0012445558 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012428047 | 0.012437923 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.385551E-5 | 2.385551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.02236896E-4 | 1.02236896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012445558 | 0.0012445558 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012428047 | 0.012437923 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.385551E-5 | 2.385551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.02236896E-4 | 1.02236896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012445558 | 0.0012445558 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012428047 | 0.012437923 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.385551E-5 | 2.385551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.02236896E-4 | 1.02236896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012445558 | 0.0012445558 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012428047 | 0.012437923 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0514452E-5 | 2.0514452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.791908E-5 | 8.791908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010704146 | 0.0010704146 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009088841 | 0.010704099 | 0.010713992 | 1.0009242 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0514452E-5 | 2.0514452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.791908E-5 | 8.791908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010704146 | 0.0010704146 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009088841 | 0.010704099 | 0.010713992 | 1.0009242 | 1.0E-5 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75841E-6 | 6.75841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896434E-5 | 2.896434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5259177E-4 | 3.5259177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035211123 | 0.003531077 | 1.00283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75841E-6 | 6.75841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896434E-5 | 2.896434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5259177E-4 | 3.5259177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035211123 | 0.003531077 | 1.00283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75841E-6 | 6.75841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896434E-5 | 2.896434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5259177E-4 | 3.5259177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035211123 | 0.003531077 | 1.00283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75841E-6 | 6.75841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896434E-5 | 2.896434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5259177E-4 | 3.5259177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035211123 | 0.003531077 | 1.00283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75841E-6 | 6.75841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896434E-5 | 2.896434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5259177E-4 | 3.5259177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035211123 | 0.003531077 | 1.00283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2575535E-6 | 3.2575535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3960873E-5 | 1.3960873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6996117E-4 | 1.6996117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016983916 | 0.0017083747 | 1.005878 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2575535E-6 | 3.2575535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3960873E-5 | 1.3960873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6996117E-4 | 1.6996117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016983916 | 0.0017083747 | 1.005878 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2074157E-6 | 2.2074157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.46032E-6 | 9.46032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.15173505E-4 | 1.15173505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011511575 | 0.0011511575 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7367772E-6 | 1.7367772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.4433106E-6 | 7.4433106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.061863E-5 | 9.061863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.058266E-4 | 9.058266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3690366E-6 | 1.3690366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.8672867E-6 | 5.8672867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.143192E-5 | 7.143192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.1409415E-4 | 7.1409415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1415259E-6 | 1.1415259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.892245E-6 | 4.892245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.9561487E-5 | 5.9561487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.954584E-4 | 5.954584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.303883E-7 | 9.303883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.9873726E-6 | 3.9873726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.8545196E-5 | 4.8545196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.853477E-4 | 4.853477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.7201785E-7 | 6.7201785E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8800732E-6 | 2.8800732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.506434E-5 | 3.506434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.5058893E-4 | 3.5058893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.9399586E-7 | 4.9399586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1171236E-6 | 2.1171236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5775678E-5 | 2.5775678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5772737E-4 | 2.5772737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.300049E-7 | 3.300049E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.414306E-6 | 1.414306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7219041E-5 | 1.7219041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7217732E-4 | 1.7217732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4752374E-7 | 1.4752374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.3224445E-7 | 6.3224445E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.697549E-6 | 7.697549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.697291E-5 | 7.697291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7356637E-8 | 1.7356637E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.438559E-8 | 7.438559E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0564424E-7 | 9.0564424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.056411E-6 | 9.056411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Shoreline
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.0487453E-6 | 4.0487453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7351682E-5 | 1.7351682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1124184E-4 | 2.1124184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020791737 | 0.0021109595 | 0.0021209384 | 1.0047271 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.0487453E-6 | 4.0487453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7351682E-5 | 1.7351682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1124184E-4 | 2.1124184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020791737 | 0.0021109595 | 0.0021209384 | 1.0047271 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.4105441E-6 | 1.4105441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 6.0451753E-6 | 6.0451753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.3597585E-5 | 7.3597585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.357381E-4 | 7.4573077E-4 | 1.0135818 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.4105441E-6 | 1.4105441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 6.0451753E-6 | 6.0451753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.3597585E-5 | 7.3597585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.357381E-4 | 7.4573077E-4 | 1.0135818 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3314152E-6 | 1.3366061E-6 | 1.3366061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7060524E-6 | 5.7282996E-6 | 5.7282996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946897E-5 | 6.973987E-5 | 6.973987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9447263E-4 | 6.971852E-4 | 7.0717826E-4 | 1.0143334 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1187026E-6 | 1.1207886E-6 | 1.1207886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.794431E-6 | 4.803371E-6 | 4.803371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370628E-5 | 5.84795E-5 | 5.84795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.83553E-4 | 5.846436E-4 | 5.9463776E-4 | 1.0170945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.793089E-7 | 9.788997E-7 | 9.788997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1970316E-6 | 4.195278E-6 | 4.195278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1097657E-5 | 5.1076324E-5 | 5.1076324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.108591E-4 | 5.1064714E-4 | 5.2064203E-4 | 1.019573 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.995986E-7 | 8.976775E-7 | 8.976775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8554167E-6 | 3.8471835E-6 | 3.8471835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.693869E-5 | 4.6838464E-5 | 4.6838464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6928777E-4 | 4.682869E-4 | 4.782822E-4 | 1.0213444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.931612E-7 | 7.8841856E-7 | 7.8841856E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3992578E-6 | 3.3789322E-6 | 3.3789322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1385178E-5 | 4.113773E-5 | 4.113773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1377472E-4 | 4.1130168E-4 | 4.2129756E-4 | 1.0243031 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.1465956E-7 | 7.0816697E-7 | 7.0816697E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.062823E-6 | 3.0349977E-6 | 3.0349977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289232E-5 | 3.6950474E-5 | 3.6950474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7282976E-4 | 3.6944367E-4 | 3.6944367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.389046E-7 | 6.3029773E-7 | 6.3029773E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7381598E-6 | 2.7012732E-6 | 2.7012732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336586E-5 | 3.2887507E-5 | 3.2887507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3331584E-4 | 3.2882666E-4 | 3.2882666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.4300875E-7 | 5.314447E-7 | 5.314447E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3271782E-6 | 2.2776183E-6 | 2.2776183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8333026E-5 | 2.772965E-5 | 2.772965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8329415E-4 | 2.77262E-4 | 2.77262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.6768855E-7 | 4.5380523E-7 | 4.5380523E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0043778E-6 | 1.944878E-6 | 1.944878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4403027E-5 | 2.3678633E-5 | 2.3678633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400349E-4 | 2.3676116E-4 | 2.3676116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.0966103E-7 | 3.9416125E-7 | 3.9416125E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7556889E-6 | 1.6892614E-6 | 1.6892614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1375303E-5 | 2.0566564E-5 | 2.0566564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1373246E-4 | 2.0564663E-4 | 2.0564663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5105785E-7 | 3.339332E-7 | 3.339332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5045327E-6 | 1.4311414E-6 | 1.4311414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8317533E-5 | 1.7424009E-5 | 1.7424009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8316023E-4 | 1.7422644E-4 | 1.7422644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.8737534E-7 | 2.684817E-7 | 2.684817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2316079E-6 | 1.1506353E-6 | 1.1506353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4994724E-5 | 1.4008894E-5 | 1.4008894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4993713E-4 | 1.4008014E-4 | 1.4008014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0924051E-7 | 1.8805535E-7 | 1.8805535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967448E-7 | 8.0595123E-7 | 8.0595123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917813E-5 | 9.812412E-6 | 9.812412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917276E-4 | 9.8119795E-5 | 9.8119795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.392265E-7 | 1.15683E-7 | 1.15683E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9668486E-7 | 4.957842E-7 | 4.957842E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2646135E-6 | 6.036156E-6 | 6.036156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2643765E-5 | 6.0359922E-5 | 6.0359922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.1080074E-8 | 5.6089448E-8 | 5.6089448E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4748598E-7 | 2.4038334E-7 | 2.4038334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2306337E-6 | 2.926663E-6 | 2.926663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.230553E-5 | 2.9266246E-5 | 2.9266246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.0859036E-8 | 2.744977E-8 | 2.744977E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1796728E-7 | 1.17641875E-7 | 1.17641875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537484E-6 | 1.4322889E-6 | 1.4322889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537167E-5 | 1.4322797E-5 | 1.4322797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.1760536E-8 | 1.3736949E-8 | 1.3736949E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3611657E-7 | 5.8872637E-8 | 5.8872637E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572179E-6 | 7.1677414E-7 | 7.1677414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572056E-5 | 7.167718E-6 | 7.167718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2947896E-8 | 5.7330007E-9 | 5.7330007E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5490982E-8 | 2.4570003E-8 | 2.4570003E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.756025E-7 | 2.9913974E-7 | 2.9913974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7560045E-6 | 2.9913938E-6 | 2.9913938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
South Cuyama
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.688652E-5 | 7.688585E-5 | 1.1494969 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6867087E-4 | 6.7866413E-4 | 1.014945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.688652E-5 | 7.688585E-5 | 1.1494969 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6867087E-4 | 6.7866413E-4 | 1.014945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.688652E-5 | 7.688585E-5 | 1.1494969 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6867087E-4 | 6.7866413E-4 | 1.014945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.688652E-5 | 7.688585E-5 | 1.1494969 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6867087E-4 | 6.7866413E-4 | 1.014945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.688652E-5 | 7.688585E-5 | 1.1494969 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6867087E-4 | 6.7866413E-4 | 1.014945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.688652E-5 | 7.688585E-5 | 1.1494969 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6867087E-4 | 6.7866413E-4 | 1.014945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.688652E-5 | 7.688585E-5 | 1.1494969 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6867087E-4 | 6.7866413E-4 | 1.014945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.688652E-5 | 7.688585E-5 | 1.1494969 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6867087E-4 | 6.7866413E-4 | 1.014945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.2819178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 5.493922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.688652E-5 | 7.688585E-5 | 1.1494969 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6867087E-4 | 6.7866413E-4 | 1.014945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.4566324E-7 | 8.5082274E-7 | 8.5082274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.624266E-6 | 3.6463782E-6 | 3.6463782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4124543E-5 | 4.439376E-5 | 5.4393317E-5 | 1.2252469 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4115784E-4 | 4.4384995E-4 | 4.538455E-4 | 1.0225202 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.2277904E-7 | 8.2781565E-7 | 8.2781565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.526191E-6 | 3.5477767E-6 | 3.5477767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.293053E-5 | 4.3193333E-5 | 5.3192904E-5 | 1.2315072 | 1.0E-5 | 4.292224E-4 | 4.3185038E-4 | 4.4184606E-4 | 1.0231462 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7661887E-7 | 6.809419E-7 | 6.809419E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.899792E-6 | 2.9183193E-6 | 2.9183193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5304394E-5 | 3.552996E-5 | 3.552996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5298787E-4 | 3.552432E-4 | 3.552432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.783336E-7 | 5.8214454E-7 | 5.8214454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4785702E-6 | 2.494903E-6 | 2.494903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0176174E-5 | 3.0375022E-5 | 3.0375022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0172078E-4 | 3.0370895E-4 | 3.0370895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.136759E-7 | 5.171168E-7 | 5.171168E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2014663E-6 | 2.216213E-6 | 2.216213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6802521E-5 | 2.6982061E-5 | 2.6982061E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.679929E-4 | 2.6978806E-4 | 2.6978806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.3370295E-7 | 4.366735E-7 | 4.366735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8587256E-6 | 1.8714564E-6 | 1.8714564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2629749E-5 | 2.2784747E-5 | 2.2784747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2627445E-4 | 2.2782428E-4 | 2.2782428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.3242574E-7 | 3.347804E-7 | 3.347804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4246809E-6 | 1.4347723E-6 | 1.4347723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7345352E-5 | 1.7468215E-5 | 1.7468215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7343998E-4 | 1.7466854E-4 | 1.7466854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0627535E-7 | 2.077992E-7 | 2.077992E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840369E-7 | 8.905677E-7 | 8.905677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0763096E-5 | 1.0842608E-5 | 1.0842608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0762575E-4 | 1.0842088E-4 | 1.0842088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.15236E-8 | 6.198614E-8 | 6.198614E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6367252E-7 | 2.6565488E-7 | 2.6565488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2102084E-6 | 3.2343435E-6 | 3.2343435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.210162E-5 | 3.2342974E-5 | 3.2342974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1765573E-8 | 1.1874143E-8 | 1.1874143E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0423886E-8 | 5.088918E-8 | 5.088918E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1391063E-7 | 6.195756E-7 | 6.195756E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1390897E-6 | 6.19574E-6 | 6.19574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.0381755E-10 | 6.101001E-10 | 6.101001E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5877895E-9 | 2.6147147E-9 | 2.6147147E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1506335E-8 | 3.183415E-8 | 3.183415E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1506332E-7 | 3.183415E-7 | 3.183415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Round Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.3682778E-5 | 1.3682778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.8639383E-5 | 5.8639383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.1374007E-4 | 7.237329E-4 | 1.0140007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008252576 | 0.0071183704 | 0.007128299 | 1.0013949 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.3682778E-5 | 1.3682778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.8639383E-5 | 5.8639383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.1374007E-4 | 7.237329E-4 | 1.0140007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008252576 | 0.0071183704 | 0.007128299 | 1.0013949 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.3682778E-5 | 1.3682778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.8639383E-5 | 5.8639383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.1374007E-4 | 7.237329E-4 | 1.0140007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008252576 | 0.0071183704 | 0.007128299 | 1.0013949 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.3682778E-5 | 1.3682778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.8639383E-5 | 5.8639383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.1374007E-4 | 7.237329E-4 | 1.0140007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008252576 | 0.0071183704 | 0.007128299 | 1.0013949 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.3682778E-5 | 1.3682778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.8639383E-5 | 5.8639383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.1374007E-4 | 7.237329E-4 | 1.0140007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008252576 | 0.0071183704 | 0.007128299 | 1.0013949 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0646776E-5 | 7.961568E-6 | 7.961568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5628243E-5 | 3.412061E-5 | 3.412061E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.553823E-4 | 4.1534763E-4 | 4.253435E-4 | 1.0240662 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005539963 | 0.0041465433 | 0.004156502 | 1.0024016 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.632956E-6 | 5.776036E-6 | 5.776036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6997862E-5 | 2.4754227E-5 | 2.4754227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5035584E-4 | 3.0134487E-4 | 3.0134487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044944426 | 0.003009741 | 0.003009741 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.632956E-6 | 5.776036E-6 | 5.776036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6997862E-5 | 2.4754227E-5 | 2.4754227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5035584E-4 | 3.0134487E-4 | 3.0134487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044944426 | 0.003009741 | 0.003009741 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.143895E-6 | 4.2082656E-6 | 4.2082656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0616335E-5 | 1.8035309E-5 | 1.8035309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.726901E-4 | 2.1955944E-4 | 2.1955944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037206567 | 0.0021935904 | 0.0021935904 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.5120694E-6 | 3.6704898E-6 | 3.6704898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.790857E-5 | 1.5730584E-5 | 1.5730584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3973387E-4 | 1.9150454E-4 | 1.9150454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033921495 | 0.0019135446 | 0.0019135446 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.0614435E-6 | 2.688679E-6 | 2.688679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.169172E-5 | 1.1522865E-5 | 1.1522865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6406467E-4 | 1.4028288E-4 | 1.4028288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026375111 | 0.0014020449 | 0.0014020449 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.41728E-6 | 2.3619984E-6 | 2.3619984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8931061E-5 | 1.0122816E-5 | 1.0122816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.304613E-4 | 1.2323931E-4 | 1.2323931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023022245 | 0.0012318065 | 0.0012318065 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.535495E-6 | 1.1239782E-6 | 1.1239782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0866362E-5 | 4.8170436E-6 | 4.8170436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3228992E-4 | 5.8646452E-5 | 5.8646452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013221119 | 5.8636116E-4 | 5.8636116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.900015E-7 | 4.0945625E-7 | 4.0945625E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3857161E-6 | 1.7548125E-6 | 1.7548125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1220315E-5 | 2.1364842E-5 | 2.1364842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.121267E-4 | 2.1364843E-4 | 2.1364843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4111041E-5 | 2.4111041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03329505E-4 | 1.03329505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012574116 | 0.0012673989 | 1.0079428 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012513011 | 0.012522886 | 1.0007892 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4111041E-5 | 2.4111041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03329505E-4 | 1.03329505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012574116 | 0.0012673989 | 1.0079428 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012513011 | 0.012522886 | 1.0007892 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4111041E-5 | 2.4111041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03329505E-4 | 1.03329505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012574116 | 0.0012673989 | 1.0079428 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012513011 | 0.012522886 | 1.0007892 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.364798E-5 | 1.364798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8490125E-5 | 5.8490125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.119009E-4 | 7.2189374E-4 | 1.0140369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.007097832 | 0.0071077608 | 1.0013989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.364798E-5 | 1.364798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8490125E-5 | 5.8490125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.119009E-4 | 7.2189374E-4 | 1.0140369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.007097832 | 0.0071077608 | 1.0013989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0484383E-5 | 1.0484383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4932352E-5 | 4.4932352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.469241E-4 | 5.469241E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008994718 | 0.0054567773 | 0.0054567773 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.420052E-6 | 8.420052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.6085476E-5 | 3.6085476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3925937E-4 | 4.3925937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043846294 | 0.0043846294 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.415846E-6 | 6.415846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.749622E-5 | 2.749622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3471972E-4 | 3.3471972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033426161 | 0.0033426161 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.336774E-6 | 4.336774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8586048E-5 | 1.8586048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.262625E-4 | 2.262625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.0022604081 | 0.0022604081 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5837568E-6 | 3.5837568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.535887E-5 | 1.535887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8697878E-4 | 1.8697878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018682732 | 0.0018682732 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5702066E-6 | 2.5702066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.1015126E-5 | 1.1015126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3410122E-4 | 1.3410122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013402342 | 0.0013402342 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2295792E-6 | 2.2295792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.555306E-6 | 9.555306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1632993E-4 | 1.1632993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011627194 | 0.0011627194 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6292712E-6 | 1.6292712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.9825733E-6 | 6.9825733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.500975E-5 | 8.500975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.497956E-4 | 8.497956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.355016E-7 | 8.355016E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.580717E-6 | 3.580717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3594508E-5 | 4.3594508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3587404E-4 | 4.3587404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.769656E-6 | 8.769656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7583726E-5 | 3.7583726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5749062E-4 | 4.5749062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004520337 | 0.0045660306 | 0.0045759846 | 1.0021801 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.769656E-6 | 8.769656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7583726E-5 | 3.7583726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5749062E-4 | 4.5749062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004520337 | 0.0045660306 | 0.0045759846 | 1.0021801 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.769656E-6 | 8.769656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7583726E-5 | 3.7583726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5749062E-4 | 4.5749062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004520337 | 0.0045660306 | 0.0045759846 | 1.0021801 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.302458E-6 | 6.302458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.7010263E-5 | 2.7010263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2880175E-4 | 3.2880175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003284684 | 0.0032833538 | 0.0032833538 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.1316664E-6 | 6.1316664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.6278312E-5 | 2.6278312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.1989286E-4 | 3.1989286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032033534 | 0.0031945214 | 0.0031945214 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.153897E-6 | 5.153897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.2087946E-5 | 2.2087946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.688885E-4 | 2.688885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027121378 | 0.002685787 | 0.002685787 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.4276358E-6 | 4.4276358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.8975448E-5 | 1.8975448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.3100238E-4 | 2.3100238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0023077605 | 0.0023077605 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.83114E-6 | 3.83114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6419073E-5 | 1.6419073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9988454E-4 | 1.9988454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002055947 | 0.0019971735 | 0.0019971735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.3271945E-6 | 3.3271945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.425933E-5 | 1.425933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.7359412E-4 | 1.7359412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018004322 | 0.0017347051 | 0.0017347051 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.9224072E-6 | 2.9224072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.2524545E-5 | 1.2524545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5247623E-4 | 1.5247623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015238319 | 0.0015238319 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.5018126E-6 | 2.5018126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0722013E-5 | 1.0722013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.3053323E-4 | 1.3053323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013820052 | 0.0013046784 | 0.0013046784 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.0419395E-6 | 2.0419395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.7511435E-6 | 8.7511435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.0654049E-4 | 1.0654049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011493203 | 0.0010650051 | 0.0010650051 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.840294E-7 | 8.840294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.7886919E-6 | 3.7886919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.612636E-5 | 4.612636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.612279E-4 | 4.612279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.9115465E-7 | 4.9115465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 2.1049468E-6 | 2.1049468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.5627427E-5 | 2.5627427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.5627966E-4 | 2.5627966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.2947767E-7 | 3.2947767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.4120463E-6 | 1.4120463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.7191529E-5 | 1.7191529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.7193517E-4 | 1.7193517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.7511152E-7 | 2.7511152E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.1790489E-6 | 1.1790489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.4354826E-5 | 1.4354826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.4356979E-4 | 1.4356979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.2303978E-7 | 2.2303978E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 9.558844E-7 | 9.558844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.16378305E-5 | 1.16378305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.16397365E-4 | 1.16397365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 5.4478868E-8 | 5.4478868E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 2.3348086E-7 | 2.3348086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.8426257E-6 | 2.8426257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.8435252E-5 | 2.8435252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 1.267639E-8 | 1.267639E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 5.4327405E-8 | 5.4327405E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 6.6143593E-7 | 6.6143593E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 6.6207112E-6 | 6.6207112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 4.432168E-9 | 4.432168E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.8995022E-8 | 1.8995022E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 2.3126438E-7 | 2.3126438E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 2.318342E-6 | 2.318342E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 3.6197267E-10 | 3.6197267E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 1.551321E-9 | 1.551321E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 1.8887341E-8 | 1.8887341E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 1.9346543E-7 | 1.9346543E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 1.1897316E-10 | 1.1897316E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 5.0988636E-10 | 5.0988636E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 6.207868E-9 | 6.207868E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 6.3356E-8 | 6.3356E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.708561E-5 | 3.708561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5893139E-4 | 1.5893139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019337458 | 0.0019337458 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.01921572 | 0.019225528 | 1.0005105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.708561E-5 | 3.708561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5893139E-4 | 1.5893139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019337458 | 0.0019337458 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.01921572 | 0.019225528 | 1.0005105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.708561E-5 | 3.708561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5893139E-4 | 1.5893139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019337458 | 0.0019337458 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.01921572 | 0.019225528 | 1.0005105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.708561E-5 | 3.708561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5893139E-4 | 1.5893139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019337458 | 0.0019337458 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.01921572 | 0.019225528 | 1.0005105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.122599E-5 | 2.122599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0966336E-5 | 9.0966336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011071238 | 0.0011071238 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011032925 | 0.011032925 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.122599E-5 | 2.122599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0966336E-5 | 9.0966336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011071238 | 0.0011071238 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011032925 | 0.011032925 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.672244E-6 | 9.672244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1451858E-5 | 4.1451858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.0456676E-4 | 5.0456676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050349366 | 0.0050349366 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.659809E-6 | 9.659809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.1398565E-5 | 4.1398565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.039182E-4 | 5.039182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051012407 | 0.00502848 | 0.00502848 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.778297E-6 | 7.778297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3335164E-5 | 3.3335164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.05785E-4 | 4.05785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004218856 | 0.004050935 | 0.004050935 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.48468E-6 | 5.48468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3505565E-5 | 2.3505565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8614342E-4 | 2.8614342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028578278 | 0.0028578278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9857117E-6 | 4.9857117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1367165E-5 | 2.1367165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.6011484E-4 | 2.6011484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025981711 | 0.0025981711 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.089811E-6 | 4.089811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7527645E-5 | 1.7527645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1337859E-4 | 2.1337859E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021317785 | 0.0021317785 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9796959E-6 | 2.9796959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2770063E-5 | 1.2770063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5546454E-4 | 1.5546454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015535691 | 0.0015535691 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0967266E-6 | 2.0967266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.98594E-6 | 8.98594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0939841E-4 | 1.0939841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010934528 | 0.0010934528 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0282487E-6 | 1.0282487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.406773E-6 | 4.406773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.365117E-5 | 5.365117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.363851E-4 | 5.363851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.920806E-7 | 4.920806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1089152E-6 | 2.1089152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5675754E-5 | 2.5675754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5672946E-4 | 2.5672946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4795398E-7 | 2.4795398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0626595E-6 | 1.0626595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2937806E-5 | 1.2937806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.293709E-4 | 1.293709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.395691E-8 | 7.395691E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1695816E-7 | 3.1695816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8589596E-6 | 3.8589596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8589045E-5 | 3.8589045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7631233E-8 | 1.7631233E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.5562426E-8 | 7.5562426E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.199723E-7 | 9.199723E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.1997E-6 | 9.1997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356964 | 0.0010356964 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312515 | 0.0103224125 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356964 | 0.0010356964 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312515 | 0.0103224125 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356964 | 0.0010356964 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312515 | 0.0103224125 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356964 | 0.0010356964 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312515 | 0.0103224125 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356964 | 0.0010356964 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312515 | 0.0103224125 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356964 | 0.0010356964 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312515 | 0.0103224125 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356964 | 0.0010356964 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312515 | 0.0103224125 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.9858386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 8.51048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356964 | 0.0010356964 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312515 | 0.0103224125 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2504397E-5 | 1.2504397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.35892E-5 | 5.35892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.52258E-4 | 6.52258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006164385 | 0.00650394 | 0.00650394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2504397E-5 | 1.2504397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.35892E-5 | 5.35892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.52258E-4 | 6.52258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006164385 | 0.00650394 | 0.00650394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.719786E-6 | 1.0239129E-5 | 1.0239129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1655563E-5 | 4.3881253E-5 | 4.3881253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0703844E-4 | 5.341256E-4 | 5.341256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005058831 | 0.0053286655 | 0.0053286655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.523418E-6 | 8.97261E-6 | 8.97261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.652842E-5 | 3.8453487E-5 | 3.8453487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464276E-4 | 4.6807216E-4 | 4.6807216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044375416 | 0.0046710265 | 0.0046710265 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.378894E-6 | 7.763808E-6 | 7.763808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.162345E-5 | 3.327304E-5 | 3.327304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8494746E-4 | 4.0502488E-4 | 4.0502488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038428132 | 0.004042963 | 0.004042963 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.4640294E-6 | 6.7947562E-6 | 6.7947562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7702688E-5 | 2.9120063E-5 | 2.9120063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3722803E-4 | 3.5447977E-4 | 3.5447977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033671674 | 0.0035392134 | 0.0035392134 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9959093E-6 | 6.3009325E-6 | 6.3009325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5696501E-5 | 2.700372E-5 | 2.700372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1280998E-4 | 3.2872127E-4 | 3.2872127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031237002 | 0.0032824124 | 0.0032824124 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.929265E-6 | 5.1781344E-6 | 5.1781344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.112525E-5 | 2.2191818E-5 | 2.2191818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5716957E-4 | 2.7015226E-4 | 2.7015226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025687215 | 0.0026982795 | 0.0026982795 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8982403E-6 | 4.0902655E-6 | 4.0902655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6706637E-5 | 1.7529594E-5 | 1.7529594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0338432E-4 | 2.1340216E-4 | 2.1340216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020319829 | 0.0021320002 | 0.0021320002 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.820968E-6 | 2.9581672E-6 | 2.9581672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2089806E-5 | 1.2677799E-5 | 1.2677799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4718344E-4 | 1.5434144E-4 | 1.5434144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00147086 | 0.0015423602 | 0.0015423602 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9314455E-6 | 2.026682E-6 | 2.026682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.277597E-6 | 8.685752E-6 | 8.685752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0077508E-4 | 1.0574403E-4 | 1.0574403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010072939 | 0.0010569501 | 0.0010569501 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.2207537E-7 | 5.2207537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.237464E-6 | 2.237464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.7240805E-5 | 2.7240805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5870028E-4 | 2.7237675E-4 | 2.7237675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Homestead Valley 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.3201346E-6 | 6.3201346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.7086127E-5 | 2.7086127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2974448E-4 | 3.3974118E-4 | 1.0303165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008002302 | 0.00329459 | 0.003304557 | 1.0030253 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.3201346E-6 | 6.3201346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.7086127E-5 | 2.7086127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2974448E-4 | 3.3974118E-4 | 1.0303165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008002302 | 0.00329459 | 0.003304557 | 1.0030253 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.3201346E-6 | 6.3201346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.7086127E-5 | 2.7086127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2974448E-4 | 3.3974118E-4 | 1.0303165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008002302 | 0.00329459 | 0.003304557 | 1.0030253 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.3201346E-6 | 6.3201346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.7086127E-5 | 2.7086127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2974448E-4 | 3.3974118E-4 | 1.0303165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008002302 | 0.00329459 | 0.003304557 | 1.0030253 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.3201346E-6 | 6.3201346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.7086127E-5 | 2.7086127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2974448E-4 | 3.3974118E-4 | 1.0303165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008002302 | 0.00329459 | 0.003304557 | 1.0030253 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0265258E-5 | 2.9106966E-6 | 2.9106966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3993223E-5 | 1.2474394E-5 | 1.2474394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3548586E-4 | 1.5187227E-4 | 1.6187076E-4 | 1.0658348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005341973 | 0.0015183825 | 0.0015283673 | 1.006576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.664671E-6 | 5.399946E-7 | 5.399946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8562565E-5 | 2.314261E-6 | 2.314261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.476937E-4 | 2.8175886E-5 | 3.8175604E-5 | 1.3549035 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003471502 | 2.8173506E-4 | 2.9173226E-4 | 1.0354843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5954046E-6 | 5.399946E-7 | 5.399946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8265715E-5 | 2.314261E-6 | 2.314261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4408073E-4 | 2.8175886E-5 | 3.8175604E-5 | 1.3549035 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034354846 | 2.8173506E-4 | 2.9173226E-4 | 1.0354843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.648189E-6 | 2.3412687E-7 | 2.3412687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9920659E-5 | 1.0034005E-6 | 1.0034005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4250703E-4 | 1.2216337E-5 | 2.2216216E-5 | 1.818566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024224254 | 1.2215714E-4 | 1.3215592E-4 | 1.0818517 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.1428534E-6 | 1.944269E-7 | 1.944269E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7754966E-5 | 8.332579E-7 | 8.332579E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614527E-4 | 1.0144871E-5 | 2.014477E-5 | 1.9857098 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021593515 | 1.01444384E-4 | 1.1144337E-4 | 1.0985662 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.0673707E-6 | 1.54155E-7 | 1.54155E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3145808E-5 | 6.606641E-7 | 6.606641E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6003846E-4 | 8.0435575E-6 | 1.8043476E-5 | 2.243221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015992324 | 8.0432765E-5 | 9.043196E-5 | 1.1243174 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.340854E-6 | 1.4726064E-7 | 1.4726064E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0032193E-5 | 6.3111685E-7 | 6.3111685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.221351E-4 | 7.683821E-6 | 1.7683744E-5 | 2.3014257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00122068 | 7.6835655E-5 | 8.683489E-5 | 1.1301379 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3754182E-6 | 1.3950306E-7 | 1.3950306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8946357E-6 | 5.978701E-7 | 5.978701E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.176483E-5 | 7.2790453E-6 | 1.7278973E-5 | 2.3737965 | 1.0E-5 | 7.174166E-4 | 7.278816E-5 | 8.278743E-5 | 1.137375 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2573237E-6 | 1.385453E-7 | 1.385453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.388519E-6 | 5.9376544E-7 | 5.9376544E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.560324E-5 | 7.2290713E-6 | 1.7228998E-5 | 2.3832936 | 1.0E-5 | 6.558388E-4 | 7.228845E-5 | 8.2287734E-5 | 1.1383247 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0994207E-6 | 1.313173E-7 | 1.313173E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7117946E-6 | 5.627883E-7 | 5.627883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.736459E-5 | 6.8519266E-6 | 1.6851858E-5 | 2.4594336 | 1.0E-5 | 5.734978E-4 | 6.851724E-5 | 7.851656E-5 | 1.1459386 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.5569126E-7 | 6.785629E-8 | 6.785629E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3815317E-6 | 2.9081266E-7 | 2.9081266E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8994764E-5 | 3.540639E-6 | 3.540639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.899098E-4 | 3.540589E-5 | 3.540589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos extension
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021305075 | 0.0021404861 | 1.0046837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021305075 | 0.0021404861 | 1.0046837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021305075 | 0.0021404861 | 1.0046837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021305075 | 0.0021404861 | 1.0046837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021305075 | 0.0021404861 | 1.0046837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021305075 | 0.0021404861 | 1.0046837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021305075 | 0.0021404861 | 1.0046837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 4.087225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.7516568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 2.1324444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021305075 | 0.0021404861 | 1.0046837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6584688E-6 | 3.7198477E-6 | 3.7198477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5679057E-5 | 1.5942112E-5 | 1.5942112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9087581E-4 | 1.9407886E-4 | 1.9407886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019071194 | 0.0019391861 | 0.0019491668 | 1.0051469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.644631E-6 | 3.7055545E-6 | 3.7055545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5619753E-5 | 1.5880856E-5 | 1.5880856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.901539E-4 | 1.9333321E-4 | 1.9333321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018999127 | 0.0019317425 | 0.0019417233 | 1.0051666 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6318522E-6 | 3.6923118E-6 | 3.6923118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5564989E-5 | 1.5824104E-5 | 1.5824104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8948725E-4 | 1.9264236E-4 | 1.9264236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018932576 | 0.0019248461 | 0.0019348268 | 1.0051852 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5001724E-6 | 3.556353E-6 | 3.556353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5000653E-5 | 1.52414295E-5 | 1.52414295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8261763E-4 | 1.8554952E-4 | 1.8554952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018246764 | 0.0018540367 | 0.0018640182 | 1.0053836 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5204702E-6 | 2.5444263E-6 | 2.5444263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.080197E-5 | 1.0904639E-5 | 1.0904639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3150605E-4 | 1.3275594E-4 | 1.3275594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013142825 | 0.001326772 | 0.001326772 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.1399692E-6 | 2.1507733E-6 | 2.1507733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1712645E-6 | 9.217567E-6 | 9.217567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1165442E-4 | 1.12218135E-4 | 1.12218135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011159834 | 0.001121618 | 0.001121618 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9660122E-6 | 1.9708368E-6 | 1.9708368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.42574E-6 | 8.446416E-6 | 8.446416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257855E-4 | 1.028303E-4 | 1.028303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010253121 | 0.0010278303 | 0.0010278303 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7204633E-6 | 1.7156322E-6 | 1.7156322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.373393E-6 | 7.3526885E-6 | 7.3526885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.976737E-5 | 8.9515335E-5 | 8.9515335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9731114E-4 | 8.9479575E-4 | 8.9479575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3717638E-6 | 1.3540166E-6 | 1.3540166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.878974E-6 | 5.8029154E-6 | 5.8029154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.157416E-5 | 7.064823E-5 | 7.064823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1551115E-4 | 7.062603E-4 | 7.062603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.272564E-7 | 7.960392E-7 | 7.960392E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5453797E-6 | 3.4115924E-6 | 3.4115924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3164142E-5 | 4.1535346E-5 | 4.1535346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.315576E-4 | 4.15276E-4 | 4.15276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.9708277E-7 | 3.6732334E-7 | 3.6732334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7017821E-6 | 1.574242E-6 | 1.574242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0719E-5 | 1.9166228E-5 | 1.9166228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.071707E-4 | 1.9164581E-4 | 1.9164581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.292528E-8 | 7.892111E-8 | 7.892111E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9825116E-7 | 3.3823326E-7 | 3.3823326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.848697E-6 | 4.1179824E-6 | 4.1179824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8485912E-5 | 4.117907E-5 | 4.117907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.237799E-11 | 8.237799E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5304837E-10 | 3.5304837E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.2983634E-9 | 4.2983634E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2983636E-8 | 4.2983636E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Las Positas
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0659424E-5 | 1.1597899E-5 | 1.1597899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568245E-5 | 4.9705282E-5 | 4.9705282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.560419E-4 | 6.051618E-4 | 6.051618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005546526 | 0.006051618 | 0.0060615577 | 1.0016425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0659424E-5 | 1.1597899E-5 | 1.1597899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568245E-5 | 4.9705282E-5 | 4.9705282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.560419E-4 | 6.051618E-4 | 6.051618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005546526 | 0.006051618 | 0.0060615577 | 1.0016425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0659424E-5 | 1.1597899E-5 | 1.1597899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568245E-5 | 4.9705282E-5 | 4.9705282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.560419E-4 | 6.051618E-4 | 6.051618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005546526 | 0.006051618 | 0.0060615577 | 1.0016425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0659424E-5 | 1.1597899E-5 | 1.1597899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568245E-5 | 4.9705282E-5 | 4.9705282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.560419E-4 | 6.051618E-4 | 6.051618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005546526 | 0.006051618 | 0.0060615577 | 1.0016425 | 1.0E-5 |
Pitas Point (Lower)-Montalvo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025225107 | 0.0025324854 | 1.0039543 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025225107 | 0.0025324854 | 1.0039543 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025225107 | 0.0025324854 | 1.0039543 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025225107 | 0.0025324854 | 1.0039543 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025225107 | 0.0025324854 | 1.0039543 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025225107 | 0.0025324854 | 1.0039543 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025225107 | 0.0025324854 | 1.0039543 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025225107 | 0.0025324854 | 1.0039543 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025225107 | 0.0025324854 | 1.0039543 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025225107 | 0.0025324854 | 1.0039543 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025225107 | 0.0025324854 | 1.0039543 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 4.840411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 2.0744455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 2.5253478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025225107 | 0.0025324854 | 1.0039543 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.2458695E-6 | 4.8315624E-6 | 4.8315624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2482105E-5 | 2.0706533E-5 | 2.0706533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7368523E-4 | 2.520732E-4 | 2.520732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027334841 | 0.002517905 | 0.00252788 | 1.0039616 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.22665E-6 | 4.8114734E-6 | 4.8114734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2399736E-5 | 2.062044E-5 | 2.062044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7268266E-4 | 2.5102525E-4 | 2.5102525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002723483 | 0.0025074494 | 0.0025174243 | 1.0039781 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.210642E-6 | 4.7946805E-6 | 4.7946805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.233113E-5 | 2.054847E-5 | 2.054847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718476E-4 | 2.5014923E-4 | 2.5014923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002715153 | 0.002498709 | 0.0025086838 | 1.0039921 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.1226016E-6 | 4.7025387E-6 | 4.7025387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1953823E-5 | 2.0153582E-5 | 2.0153582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.67255E-4 | 2.4534255E-4 | 2.4534255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026693381 | 0.0024507486 | 0.0024607242 | 1.0040704 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8796987E-6 | 4.4473504E-6 | 4.4473504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0912828E-5 | 1.9059935E-5 | 1.9059935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5458392E-4 | 2.3203029E-4 | 2.3203029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025429246 | 0.002317911 | 0.0023278878 | 1.0043042 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0834398E-6 | 3.6112074E-6 | 3.6112074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500339E-5 | 1.5476513E-5 | 1.5476513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1304579E-4 | 1.8841047E-4 | 1.8841047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021284167 | 0.0018825312 | 0.0018925123 | 1.005302 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.5445438E-6 | 2.122623E-6 | 2.122623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0905142E-5 | 9.096924E-6 | 9.096924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3276201E-4 | 1.1074947E-4 | 1.1074947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013268272 | 0.0011069474 | 0.0011069474 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.1677114E-7 | 3.3309354E-7 | 3.3309354E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861609E-6 | 1.4275429E-6 | 1.4275429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1746291E-5 | 1.73802E-5 | 1.73802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1744163E-4 | 1.737887E-4 | 1.737887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.686443E-9 | 5.686443E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4370468E-8 | 2.4370468E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9671045E-7 | 2.9671045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9671025E-6 | 2.9671025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kickapoo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4610633E-6 | 4.5716558E-8 | 4.5716558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9118703E-5 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3274534E-4 | 2.3854222E-6 | 1.2385399E-5 | 5.19212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023250172 | 2.3853994E-5 | 3.3853757E-5 | 1.419207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4610633E-6 | 4.5716558E-8 | 4.5716558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9118703E-5 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3274534E-4 | 2.3854222E-6 | 1.2385399E-5 | 5.19212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023250172 | 2.3853994E-5 | 3.3853757E-5 | 1.419207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4610633E-6 | 4.5716558E-8 | 4.5716558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9118703E-5 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3274534E-4 | 2.3854222E-6 | 1.2385399E-5 | 5.19212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023250172 | 2.3853994E-5 | 3.3853757E-5 | 1.419207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4610633E-6 | 4.5716558E-8 | 4.5716558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9118703E-5 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3274534E-4 | 2.3854222E-6 | 1.2385399E-5 | 5.19212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023250172 | 2.3853994E-5 | 3.3853757E-5 | 1.419207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.4610633E-6 | 4.5716558E-8 | 4.5716558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9118703E-5 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3274534E-4 | 2.3854222E-6 | 1.2385399E-5 | 5.19212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023250172 | 2.3853994E-5 | 3.3853757E-5 | 1.419207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.4610633E-6 | 4.5716558E-8 | 4.5716558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9118703E-5 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3274534E-4 | 2.3854222E-6 | 1.2385399E-5 | 5.19212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023250172 | 2.3853994E-5 | 3.3853757E-5 | 1.419207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.236531E-6 | 4.5716558E-8 | 4.5716558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8156434E-5 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2103215E-4 | 2.3854222E-6 | 1.2385399E-5 | 5.19212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022081244 | 2.3853994E-5 | 3.3853757E-5 | 1.419207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.236531E-6 | 4.5716558E-8 | 4.5716558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8156434E-5 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2103215E-4 | 2.3854222E-6 | 1.2385399E-5 | 5.19212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022081244 | 2.3853994E-5 | 3.3853757E-5 | 1.419207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3202913E-6 | 4.5716558E-8 | 4.5716558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.944068E-6 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.210623E-4 | 2.3854222E-6 | 1.2385399E-5 | 5.19212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012099637 | 2.3853994E-5 | 3.3853757E-5 | 1.419207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2111808E-6 | 4.5716558E-8 | 4.5716558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4764555E-6 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1536973E-4 | 2.3854222E-6 | 1.2385399E-5 | 5.19212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011530985 | 2.3853994E-5 | 3.3853757E-5 | 1.419207 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8222031E-6 | 4.5716558E-8 | 4.5716558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.809419E-6 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.507552E-5 | 2.3854222E-6 | 1.2385399E-5 | 5.19212 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5034856E-4 | 2.3853994E-5 | 3.3853757E-5 | 1.419207 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3163254E-6 | 4.5716558E-8 | 4.5716558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6413824E-6 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.959281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.868167E-5 | 2.3854222E-6 | 1.2385399E-5 | 5.19212 | 1.0E-5 | 6.866045E-4 | 2.3853994E-5 | 3.3853757E-5 | 1.419207 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.8603634E-7 | 4.5715627E-8 | 4.5715627E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9401524E-6 | 1.959241E-7 | 1.959241E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.579577E-5 | 2.3853736E-6 | 1.238535E-5 | 5.1922054 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5790002E-4 | 2.3853509E-5 | 3.385327E-5 | 1.4192156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.4299127E-7 | 4.5699306E-8 | 4.5699306E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.755674E-6 | 1.9585416E-7 | 1.9585416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3549815E-5 | 2.384522E-6 | 1.2384498E-5 | 5.1937027 | 1.0E-5 | 3.354475E-4 | 2.3844992E-5 | 3.3844753E-5 | 1.4193653 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.8856347E-7 | 4.4671783E-8 | 4.4671783E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5224124E-6 | 1.9145048E-7 | 1.9145048E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.070994E-5 | 2.3309074E-6 | 1.2330884E-5 | 5.2901645 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0705697E-4 | 2.3308858E-5 | 3.3308625E-5 | 1.4290115 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.435626E-7 | 2.5429529E-8 | 2.5429529E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4724103E-6 | 1.08983684E-7 | 1.08983684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7926448E-5 | 1.3268757E-6 | 1.3268757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7925001E-4 | 1.3268695E-5 | 1.3268695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8770423E-5 | 1.6316235E-5 | 1.6316235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.044219E-5 | 6.992487E-5 | 6.992487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.789435E-4 | 8.5100654E-4 | 8.5100654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009746423 | 0.0084903175 | 0.008500233 | 1.0011678 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8770423E-5 | 1.6316235E-5 | 1.6316235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.044219E-5 | 6.992487E-5 | 6.992487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.789435E-4 | 8.5100654E-4 | 8.5100654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009746423 | 0.0084903175 | 0.008500233 | 1.0011678 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7508692E-5 | 1.4934871E-5 | 1.4934871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5035096E-5 | 6.4005035E-5 | 6.4005035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1316935E-4 | 7.7898573E-4 | 7.7898573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00909426 | 0.0077753095 | 0.0077852313 | 1.0012761 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7508692E-5 | 1.4934871E-5 | 1.4934871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5035096E-5 | 6.4005035E-5 | 6.4005035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1316935E-4 | 7.7898573E-4 | 7.7898573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00909426 | 0.0077753095 | 0.0077852313 | 1.0012761 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6004591E-5 | 1.3283636E-5 | 1.3283636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.85893E-5 | 5.692863E-5 | 5.692863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347548E-4 | 6.928867E-4 | 6.928867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008316261 | 0.0069198203 | 0.0069297515 | 1.0014352 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6004591E-5 | 1.3283636E-5 | 1.3283636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.85893E-5 | 5.692863E-5 | 5.692863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347548E-4 | 6.928867E-4 | 6.928867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008316261 | 0.0069198203 | 0.0069297515 | 1.0014352 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5442201E-5 | 1.2667879E-5 | 1.2667879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.617918E-5 | 5.4289783E-5 | 5.4289783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0543366E-4 | 6.6077855E-4 | 6.6077855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008025207 | 0.0066006766 | 0.0066106105 | 1.001505 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.489921E-5 | 1.2076033E-5 | 1.2076033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3852196E-5 | 5.1753406E-5 | 5.1753406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7712315E-4 | 6.2991626E-4 | 6.2991626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077441116 | 0.006293832 | 0.0063037686 | 1.0015788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3876024E-5 | 1.09542625E-5 | 1.09542625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9467322E-5 | 4.6945996E-5 | 4.6945996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.237741E-4 | 5.71418E-4 | 5.71418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072142133 | 0.005711977 | 0.0057219197 | 1.0017407 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.33922495E-5 | 1.0425435E-5 | 1.0425435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7394092E-5 | 4.467967E-5 | 4.467967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9854903E-4 | 5.438395E-4 | 5.438395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069635725 | 0.0054375674 | 0.005447513 | 1.001829 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2807324E-5 | 9.784989E-6 | 9.784989E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4887376E-5 | 4.1934993E-5 | 4.1934993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680489E-4 | 5.104391E-4 | 5.104391E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006660442 | 0.00510514 | 0.005115089 | 1.0019488 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2191438E-5 | 9.093299E-6 | 9.093299E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.224797E-5 | 3.8970702E-5 | 3.8970702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3593336E-4 | 4.7436508E-4 | 4.7436508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063411663 | 0.0047459905 | 0.004755943 | 1.002097 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1769438E-5 | 8.613044E-6 | 8.613044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0439474E-5 | 3.6912523E-5 | 3.6912523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1392755E-4 | 4.4931736E-4 | 4.4931736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061223423 | 0.0044965534 | 0.0045065084 | 1.002214 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.150374E-5 | 8.328316E-6 | 8.328316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9300812E-5 | 3.5692294E-5 | 3.5692294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0007203E-4 | 4.3446707E-4 | 4.3446707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059845424 | 0.004348629 | 0.004358586 | 1.0022895 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.12514E-5 | 8.073855E-6 | 8.073855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8219394E-5 | 3.4601773E-5 | 3.4601773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8691297E-4 | 4.2119523E-4 | 4.2119523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005853653 | 0.004216403 | 0.0042263605 | 1.0023617 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.059696E-5 | 7.423422E-6 | 7.423422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5414752E-5 | 3.1814277E-5 | 3.1814277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5278436E-4 | 3.8727006E-4 | 3.8727006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055141128 | 0.003878303 | 0.0038882643 | 1.0025685 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.018592E-6 | 5.8650744E-6 | 5.8650744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8650534E-5 | 2.513579E-5 | 2.513579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7046866E-4 | 3.059853E-4 | 3.059853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004694739 | 0.003067624 | 0.0030775934 | 1.0032499 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.243489E-6 | 3.2619898E-6 | 3.2619898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6757538E-5 | 1.3979881E-5 | 1.3979881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.257243E-4 | 1.7019178E-4 | 1.7019178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003252473 | 0.0017109583 | 0.0017209412 | 1.0058347 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.1941963E-6 | 1.3947628E-6 | 1.3947628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.368934E-5 | 5.9775407E-6 | 5.9775407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6665498E-4 | 7.277413E-5 | 7.277413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016653005 | 7.336333E-4 | 7.336333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0098398E-6 | 7.0168545E-7 | 7.0168545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6135715E-6 | 3.0072197E-6 | 3.0072197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0486518E-4 | 3.6612284E-5 | 3.6612284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010481571 | 3.710937E-4 | 3.710937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 8.353119E-7 | 3.2087485E-7 | 3.2087485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.579903E-6 | 1.3751771E-6 | 1.3751771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.358445E-5 | 1.6742653E-5 | 1.6742653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3575902E-4 | 1.686268E-4 | 1.686268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.609121E-8 | 6.609121E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.83248E-7 | 2.83248E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.4485392E-6 | 3.4485392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.4498382E-5 | 3.4498382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770882 | 0.0024870634 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770882 | 0.0024870634 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770882 | 0.0024870634 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770882 | 0.0024870634 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770882 | 0.0024870634 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770882 | 0.0024870634 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 4.7528392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 2.0369162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 2.4796807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770882 | 0.0024870634 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1673234E-6 | 4.1673234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.7859844E-5 | 1.7859844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1742343E-4 | 2.1742343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021722568 | 0.002182235 | 1.0045935 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1673234E-6 | 4.1673234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.7859844E-5 | 1.7859844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1742343E-4 | 2.1742343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021722568 | 0.002182235 | 1.0045935 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2936077E-6 | 3.3737624E-6 | 3.3737624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4115385E-5 | 1.4458907E-5 | 1.4458907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7184127E-4 | 1.7602391E-4 | 1.7602391E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017170844 | 0.0017589375 | 0.0017689199 | 1.0056752 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.1687898E-6 | 3.245597E-6 | 3.245597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3580457E-5 | 1.3909633E-5 | 1.3909633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6532952E-4 | 1.6933755E-4 | 1.6933755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016520657 | 0.0016921768 | 0.0017021599 | 1.0058995 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.9379228E-6 | 3.0080619E-6 | 3.0080619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25910365E-5 | 1.2891635E-5 | 1.2891635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5328509E-4 | 1.5694526E-4 | 1.5694526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001531794 | 0.0015684334 | 0.0015784177 | 1.0063658 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0020686E-6 | 2.0421598E-6 | 2.0421598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.580266E-6 | 8.752085E-6 | 8.752085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0445973E-4 | 1.06551466E-4 | 1.06551466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010441064 | 0.0010650082 | 0.0010650082 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7364243E-6 | 1.7683544E-6 | 1.7683544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.441797E-6 | 7.57864E-6 | 7.57864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0600115E-5 | 9.226607E-5 | 9.226607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0563187E-4 | 9.222808E-4 | 9.222808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5718434E-6 | 1.5987575E-6 | 1.5987575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7364545E-6 | 6.8517998E-6 | 6.8517998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.201325E-5 | 8.34175E-5 | 8.34175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.198299E-4 | 8.338649E-4 | 8.338649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3841119E-6 | 1.4046755E-6 | 1.4046755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9318945E-6 | 6.0200236E-6 | 6.0200236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.221842E-5 | 7.3291354E-5 | 7.3291354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2194956E-4 | 7.3267467E-4 | 7.3267467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0843726E-6 | 1.0937612E-6 | 1.0937612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.647303E-6 | 4.68754E-6 | 4.68754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6579443E-5 | 5.7069326E-5 | 5.7069326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.656504E-4 | 5.705493E-4 | 5.705493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.544814E-7 | 5.5035684E-7 | 5.5035684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3763469E-6 | 2.3586701E-6 | 2.3586701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8931638E-5 | 2.8716431E-5 | 2.8716431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8927872E-4 | 2.8712736E-4 | 2.8712736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.0707465E-7 | 1.9785223E-7 | 1.9785223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.874625E-7 | 8.479379E-7 | 8.479379E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08048025E-5 | 1.0323595E-5 | 1.0323595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0804277E-4 | 1.032312E-4 | 1.032312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.9821284E-8 | 3.4343177E-8 | 3.4343177E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7066264E-7 | 1.4718503E-7 | 1.4718503E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0778157E-6 | 1.7919763E-6 | 1.7919763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0777963E-5 | 1.7919625E-5 | 1.7919625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.237799E-11 | 8.237799E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5304837E-10 | 3.5304837E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.2983634E-9 | 4.2983634E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2983636E-8 | 4.2983636E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.713693E-5 | 4.713693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0200088E-4 | 2.0200088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024567838 | 0.0024567838 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021239553 | 0.024316918 | 0.024326677 | 1.0004013 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3886338E-5 | 2.3886338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0236617E-4 | 1.0236617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012456245 | 0.0012456245 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012389473 | 0.012399348 | 1.0007972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3886338E-5 | 2.3886338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0236617E-4 | 1.0236617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012456245 | 0.0012456245 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012389473 | 0.012399348 | 1.0007972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7088949E-5 | 1.7088949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.323636E-5 | 7.323636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.913E-4 | 8.913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007878214 | 0.008878507 | 0.008888418 | 1.0011163 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.386434E-5 | 1.386434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9417293E-5 | 5.9417293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.231736E-4 | 7.231736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006419184 | 0.0072090407 | 0.0072090407 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0124983E-5 | 1.0124983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3392098E-5 | 4.3392098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.28176E-4 | 5.28176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004716845 | 0.0052697463 | 0.0052697463 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.40716E-6 | 8.40716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.603021E-5 | 3.603021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.385838E-4 | 4.385838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003929756 | 0.004377613 | 0.004377613 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.0917646E-6 | 6.0917646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.610732E-5 | 2.610732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.178135E-4 | 3.178135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031739122 | 0.0031739122 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0857253E-6 | 4.0857253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7510147E-5 | 1.7510147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1316767E-4 | 2.1316767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021298777 | 0.0021298777 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.630523E-6 | 2.630523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1273622E-5 | 1.1273622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3724773E-4 | 1.3724773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013716326 | 0.0013716326 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.483922E-6 | 2.483922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0645335E-5 | 1.0645335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2959927E-4 | 1.2959927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012952392 | 0.0012952392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.374321E-6 | 2.374321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0175621E-5 | 1.0175621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2388117E-4 | 1.2388117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.001238123 | 0.001238123 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.277172E-6 | 2.277172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.759272E-6 | 9.759272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1881268E-4 | 1.1881268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011874934 | 0.0011874934 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1096523E-6 | 2.1096523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.041336E-6 | 9.041336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.1007272E-4 | 1.1007272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0011001838 | 0.0011001838 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8053638E-6 | 1.8053638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.737251E-6 | 7.737251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.419697E-5 | 9.419697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.4157207E-4 | 9.4157207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.51603E-7 | 9.51603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0782925E-6 | 4.0782925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9652088E-5 | 4.9652088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.964111E-4 | 4.964111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0542352E-7 | 4.0542352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7375282E-6 | 1.7375282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1154206E-5 | 2.1154206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.115226E-4 | 2.115226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.3406304E-8 | 6.3406304E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7174124E-7 | 2.7174124E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3084448E-6 | 3.3084448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.308396E-5 | 3.308396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3965923E-9 | 1.3965923E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.9853953E-9 | 5.9853953E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.287219E-8 | 7.287219E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.287217E-7 | 7.287217E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3224565E-5 | 4.3224565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.8523508E-4 | 1.8523508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026203706 | 0.0022529182 | 0.0022529182 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02589687 | 0.02237646 | 0.022386236 | 1.0004369 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3224565E-5 | 4.3224565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.8523508E-4 | 1.8523508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026203706 | 0.0022529182 | 0.0022529182 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02589687 | 0.02237646 | 0.022386236 | 1.0004369 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.45922E-5 | 3.45922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4824394E-4 | 1.4824394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0018033882 | 0.0018033882 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022186736 | 0.017961849 | 0.017971668 | 1.0005467 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.45922E-5 | 3.45922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4824394E-4 | 1.4824394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0018033882 | 0.0018033882 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022186736 | 0.017961849 | 0.017971668 | 1.0005467 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1101295E-5 | 3.247332E-5 | 3.247332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7613651E-4 | 1.3916401E-4 | 1.3916401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021423528 | 0.0016930184 | 0.0016930184 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02121817 | 0.016875578 | 0.01688541 | 1.0005826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.1032585E-5 | 3.2391243E-5 | 3.2391243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7584208E-4 | 1.388123E-4 | 1.388123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021387753 | 0.001688743 | 0.001688743 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021183075 | 0.016833479 | 0.01684331 | 1.000584 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.011629E-5 | 3.1411015E-5 | 3.1411015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7191563E-4 | 1.3461176E-4 | 1.3461176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020910634 | 0.0016376799 | 0.0016376799 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020714961 | 0.01632997 | 0.016339807 | 1.0006024 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8583938E-5 | 2.959461E-5 | 2.959461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6534925E-4 | 1.2682796E-4 | 1.2682796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020112682 | 0.001543051 | 0.001543051 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019931622 | 0.015396442 | 0.015406288 | 1.0006396 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.44341E-5 | 2.4582852E-5 | 2.4582852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4756636E-4 | 1.0535089E-4 | 1.0535089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017951399 | 0.0012819029 | 0.0012819029 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017807078 | 0.0128173325 | 0.012827205 | 1.0007702 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.221199E-5 | 2.190197E-5 | 2.190197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804408E-4 | 9.386225E-5 | 9.386225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016793909 | 0.001142182 | 0.001142182 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01666756 | 0.011437798 | 0.011447683 | 1.0008643 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.9186718E-5 | 1.8262812E-5 | 1.8262812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2507994E-4 | 7.8266865E-5 | 7.8266865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015217843 | 9.52487E-4 | 9.52487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015114053 | 0.009557906 | 0.00956781 | 1.0010363 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6840138E-5 | 1.5395228E-5 | 1.5395228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1502409E-4 | 6.597789E-5 | 6.597789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013995186 | 8.0298673E-4 | 8.0298673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013907375 | 0.008074385 | 0.008084305 | 1.0012285 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.453002E-5 | 1.2714103E-5 | 1.2714103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05124425E-4 | 5.448788E-5 | 5.448788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012791384 | 6.631886E-4 | 6.631886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012718005 | 0.006684707 | 0.00669464 | 1.001486 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3330727E-5 | 1.1593809E-5 | 1.1593809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9985E-5 | 4.9686812E-5 | 4.9686812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012166376 | 6.0476945E-4 | 6.0476945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012099981 | 0.006102488 | 0.006112427 | 1.0016286 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.2136466E-5 | 1.0471649E-5 | 1.0471649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.486712E-5 | 4.4877725E-5 | 4.4877725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011543952 | 5.4624956E-4 | 5.4624956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011484168 | 0.0055188667 | 0.0055288114 | 1.001802 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.0994974E-5 | 9.526161E-6 | 9.526161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997535E-5 | 4.0825766E-5 | 4.0825766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948994 | 4.9694057E-4 | 4.9694057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010895205 | 0.0050262595 | 0.0050362092 | 1.0019796 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.7091823E-5 | 6.9732378E-6 | 6.9732378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3248615E-5 | 2.9884963E-5 | 2.9884963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9143694E-4 | 3.6378877E-4 | 3.6378877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008878695 | 0.0036910577 | 0.0037010207 | 1.0026993 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.2772179E-5 | 4.0765663E-6 | 4.0765663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.473676E-5 | 1.7470882E-5 | 1.7470882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6621625E-4 | 2.1268724E-4 | 2.1268724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006642225 | 0.0021671688 | 0.0021771472 | 1.0046043 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.041923E-6 | 1.9766824E-6 | 1.9766824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.017932E-5 | 8.471468E-6 | 8.471468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6737128E-4 | 1.03135244E-4 | 1.03135244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036676454 | 0.0010575932 | 0.0010575932 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.946768E-6 | 1.0245178E-6 | 1.0245178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2628945E-5 | 4.390783E-6 | 4.390783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5374656E-4 | 5.3456475E-5 | 5.3456475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015364023 | 5.45281E-4 | 5.45281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1433375E-6 | 5.302699E-7 | 5.302699E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9000087E-6 | 2.2725833E-6 | 2.2725833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.965597E-5 | 2.7668351E-5 | 2.7668351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.963996E-4 | 2.803567E-4 | 2.803567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6675295E-7 | 1.67486E-7 | 1.67486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1432264E-6 | 7.177969E-7 | 7.177969E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3918692E-5 | 8.739143E-6 | 8.739143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.391782E-4 | 8.879353E-5 | 8.879353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.2704569E-8 | 9.844015E-9 | 9.844015E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.444815E-8 | 4.218864E-8 | 4.218864E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629061E-7 | 5.1364657E-7 | 5.1364657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629041E-6 | 5.331159E-6 | 5.331159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.797922E-6 | 6.797922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9133627E-5 | 2.9133627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.5464426E-4 | 3.5464426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036207798 | 0.0036307436 | 1.0027518 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.797922E-6 | 6.797922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9133627E-5 | 2.9133627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.5464426E-4 | 3.5464426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036207798 | 0.0036307436 | 1.0027518 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.797922E-6 | 6.797922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9133627E-5 | 2.9133627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.5464426E-4 | 3.5464426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036207798 | 0.0036307436 | 1.0027518 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.797922E-6 | 6.797922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9133627E-5 | 2.9133627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.5464426E-4 | 3.5464426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036207798 | 0.0036307436 | 1.0027518 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.797922E-6 | 6.797922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9133627E-5 | 2.9133627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.5464426E-4 | 3.5464426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036207798 | 0.0036307436 | 1.0027518 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.7581263E-6 | 6.7581263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8963077E-5 | 2.8963077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.525685E-4 | 3.525685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0036000896 | 0.0036100536 | 1.0027677 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.7581263E-6 | 6.7581263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8963077E-5 | 2.8963077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.525685E-4 | 3.525685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0036000896 | 0.0036100536 | 1.0027677 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.6772704E-6 | 6.6772704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.861656E-5 | 2.861656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.48351E-4 | 3.48351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0035580501 | 0.0035680146 | 1.0028006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.6717525E-6 | 6.6717525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.859291E-5 | 2.859291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4806316E-4 | 3.4806316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034252026 | 0.003555181 | 0.0035651454 | 1.0028028 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.663127E-6 | 6.663127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.8555945E-5 | 2.8555945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4761324E-4 | 3.4761324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0035506962 | 0.0035606606 | 1.0028063 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.653225E-6 | 6.653225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.8513508E-5 | 2.8513508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.4709673E-4 | 3.4709673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0035455478 | 0.0035555123 | 1.0028105 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.641913E-6 | 6.641913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.846503E-5 | 2.846503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.465067E-4 | 3.465067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034157229 | 0.003539668 | 0.0035496324 | 1.0028151 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.6238335E-6 | 6.6238335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.838755E-5 | 2.838755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.455637E-4 | 3.455637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0035302711 | 0.0035402358 | 1.0028226 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.6045322E-6 | 6.6045322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.830483E-5 | 2.830483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.445569E-4 | 3.445569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003404813 | 0.0035202496 | 0.0035302145 | 1.0028307 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.585519E-6 | 6.585519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.8223347E-5 | 2.8223347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.4356516E-4 | 3.4356516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0035103827 | 0.0035203476 | 1.0028387 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.5616864E-6 | 6.5616864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.812121E-5 | 2.812121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.4232202E-4 | 3.4232202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034980003 | 0.0035079652 | 1.0028487 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.520629E-6 | 6.520629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7945254E-5 | 2.7945254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.401804E-4 | 3.401804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0034766477 | 0.0034866128 | 1.0028664 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.3120247E-6 | 6.3120247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.7051254E-5 | 2.7051254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.292993E-4 | 3.292993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0033677046 | 0.003377671 | 1.0029594 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.869077E-6 | 5.869077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.5152945E-5 | 2.5152945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.871688E-4 | 3.0619412E-4 | 3.0619412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0031357368 | 0.0031457054 | 1.0031791 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.1840185E-6 | 4.1840185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7931385E-5 | 1.7931385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.1829277E-4 | 2.1829277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0022502767 | 0.0022502767 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.6056775E-6 | 2.6056775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.1167142E-5 | 1.1167142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.359515E-4 | 1.359515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0014149732 | 0.0014149732 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2581892E-6 | 1.2581892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.392228E-6 | 5.392228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.5648426E-5 | 6.5648426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.905002E-4 | 6.905002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.2986765E-7 | 2.2986765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.851467E-7 | 9.851467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1994095E-5 | 1.1994095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.3443912E-4 | 1.3443912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 5.0499423E-8 | 5.0499423E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.1642607E-7 | 2.1642607E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.6349844E-6 | 2.6349844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 3.0381489E-5 | 3.0381489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.1759375E-5 | 8.1759375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.5035226E-4 | 3.5035226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425771 | 0.00425771 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03426291 | 0.041816514 | 0.041826095 | 1.0002291 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.1759375E-5 | 8.1759375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.5035226E-4 | 3.5035226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425771 | 0.00425771 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03426291 | 0.041816514 | 0.041826095 | 1.0002291 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6508445E-5 | 4.6508445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9930703E-4 | 1.9930703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024239179 | 0.0024239179 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020349167 | 0.023981424 | 0.023991184 | 1.000407 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.797097E-5 | 3.797097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6272276E-4 | 1.6272276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.00197938 | 0.00197938 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01686163 | 0.019621283 | 0.019631088 | 1.0004996 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.413393E-5 | 3.413393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4628023E-4 | 1.4628023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.001779533 | 0.001779533 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.017656006 | 0.017665828 | 1.0005563 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2281183E-5 | 3.2281183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3834074E-4 | 1.3834074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016830227 | 0.0016830227 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016705783 | 0.016715618 | 1.0005885 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5787842E-5 | 2.5787842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.10514724E-4 | 1.10514724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.001344701 | 0.001344701 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013367361 | 0.013377228 | 1.0007381 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2687873E-5 | 2.2687873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.7230186E-5 | 9.7230186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011831459 | 0.0011831459 | 1.0 | 0.0 |