Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.055966E-5 | 2.2054907E-4 | 3.1257105 | 1.5E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0236386E-4 | 0.0011820978 | 3.9095209 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036751307 | 0.011934664 | 3.2474122 | 0.00829 | 0.028357591 | 0.036276776 | 0.06332849 | 1.7457033 | 0.02807 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.055966E-5 | 2.2054907E-4 | 3.1257105 | 1.5E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0236386E-4 | 0.0011820978 | 3.9095209 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036751307 | 0.011934664 | 3.2474122 | 0.00829 | 0.028357591 | 0.036276776 | 0.06332849 | 1.7457033 | 0.02807 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1945583E-5 | 1.3194143E-4 | 2.5399933 | 8.0E-5 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2260511E-4 | 7.4248936E-4 | 3.3354552 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0027068804 | 0.007822994 | 2.8900406 | 0.00513 | 0.021759989 | 0.026871255 | 0.043716114 | 1.6268728 | 0.01731 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1945583E-5 | 1.3194143E-4 | 2.5399933 | 8.0E-5 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2260511E-4 | 7.4248936E-4 | 3.3354552 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0027068804 | 0.007822994 | 2.8900406 | 0.00513 | 0.021759989 | 0.026871255 | 0.043716114 | 1.6268728 | 0.01731 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.43837E-5 | 1.1438059E-4 | 2.5770855 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.9020213E-4 | 6.101222E-4 | 3.2077572 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0019213937 | 0.002313277 | 0.006294047 | 2.720836 | 0.00399 | 0.019048655 | 0.02301312 | 0.03641738 | 1.5824616 | 0.01372 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0286784E-5 | 1.1028397E-4 | 2.7374725 | 7.0E-5 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7264635E-4 | 5.5258075E-4 | 3.2006512 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020999648 | 0.005662468 | 2.6964583 | 0.00357 | 0.017543508 | 0.020901285 | 0.033091065 | 1.5832071 | 0.01245 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9739996E-5 | 1.09737215E-4 | 2.7613795 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.7030328E-4 | 5.5023853E-4 | 3.2309334 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020714924 | 0.0056340974 | 2.719825 | 0.00357 | 0.017365133 | 0.020619731 | 0.03279343 | 1.5903907 | 0.01243 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.835481E-5 | 1.0835213E-4 | 2.8249943 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6436754E-4 | 5.443051E-4 | 3.3115122 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019993596 | 0.0054724016 | 2.7370775 | 0.00348 | 0.016856372 | 0.01991007 | 0.031641744 | 1.5892334 | 0.01197 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7780264E-5 | 1.0777762E-4 | 2.8527493 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.619055E-4 | 5.4184394E-4 | 3.3466682 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019694387 | 0.005382703 | 2.7331154 | 0.00342 | 0.016654192 | 0.019616049 | 0.031145364 | 1.5877491 | 0.01176 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.6983027E-5 | 1.06980435E-4 | 2.8926902 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5848917E-4 | 5.3842895E-4 | 3.3972602 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019279195 | 0.0052814414 | 2.7394514 | 0.00336 | 0.01638118 | 0.019208534 | 0.030526867 | 1.5892346 | 0.01154 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.588515E-5 | 1.0588264E-4 | 2.9505975 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5378455E-4 | 5.337261E-4 | 3.4706094 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018707404 | 0.0051146606 | 2.73403 | 0.00325 | 0.015996104 | 0.018644467 | 0.029645463 | 1.5900407 | 0.01121 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4649296E-5 | 1.04646875E-4 | 3.020173 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4848866E-4 | 5.2843225E-4 | 3.558738 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0018063715 | 0.004960663 | 2.7462032 | 0.00316 | 0.01556781 | 0.018011104 | 0.028538026 | 1.5844684 | 0.01072 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.152853E-5 | 9.1526636E-5 | 2.9029782 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3511539E-4 | 4.450735E-4 | 3.2940254 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016438082 | 0.004309419 | 2.621607 | 0.00267 | 0.014481937 | 0.01640941 | 0.025183039 | 1.5346705 | 0.00892 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6947504E-5 | 5.6946697E-5 | 2.1132457 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.15484276E-4 | 3.154612E-4 | 2.7316375 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012785783 | 0.001405129 | 0.0032425434 | 2.3076484 | 0.00184 | 0.012712469 | 0.014046825 | 0.020209031 | 1.4386904 | 0.00625 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5427149E-5 | 5.5426386E-5 | 2.1798112 | 3.0E-5 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0896902E-4 | 2.889494E-4 | 2.6516657 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0012111551 | 0.001325905 | 0.0030336375 | 2.2879753 | 0.00171 | 0.012045753 | 0.013262111 | 0.018886518 | 1.4240959 | 0.0057 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2700398E-5 | 4.2699943E-5 | 1.8810219 | 2.0E-5 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.728386E-5 | 2.3727024E-4 | 2.4389477 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011837994 | 0.00259213 | 2.1896703 | 0.00141 | 0.010886264 | 0.011851477 | 0.016337672 | 1.3785346 | 0.00454 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6188887E-5 | 1.6188887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.9379144E-5 | 1.3937429E-4 | 2.0088787 | 7.0E-5 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.443716E-4 | 0.0015237975 | 1.8046526 | 6.8E-4 | 0.007854558 | 0.008484942 | 0.010914154 | 1.2862968 | 0.00245 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.08615595E-5 | 1.08615595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.654871E-5 | 8.654685E-5 | 1.8592749 | 4.0E-5 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.665836E-4 | 8.0644764E-4 | 1.4233515 | 2.4E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.005722254 | 0.006438134 | 1.1251045 | 7.2E-4 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.5775555E-6 | 8.5775555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6760433E-5 | 5.6759698E-5 | 1.5440432 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.4746653E-4 | 6.0739496E-4 | 1.3574086 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.0045237946 | 0.0049916683 | 1.103425 | 4.7E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.460785E-6 | 5.460785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3403154E-5 | 2.3403154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8489626E-4 | 3.6487347E-4 | 1.2807239 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028799523 | 0.003169117 | 1.1004062 | 2.9E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.1082947E-6 | 2.1082947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.035517E-6 | 9.035517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.1000191E-4 | 1.2999971E-4 | 1.181795 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011127756 | 0.0011727089 | 1.0538592 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1931154E-7 | 3.1931154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3684775E-6 | 1.3684775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6661103E-5 | 1.6661103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6862304E-4 | 1.6862304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.803876E-5 | 1.8803122E-4 | 3.2397525 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.487172E-4 | 7.885829E-4 | 3.1706007 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030245932 | 0.008208865 | 2.7140396 | 0.0052 | 0.02488006 | 0.029901378 | 0.049051125 | 1.6404302 | 0.01974 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0896707E-5 | 6.0895873E-5 | 2.9141371 | 4.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.955446E-5 | 2.7953743E-4 | 3.1214242 | 1.9E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010898182 | 0.0029877475 | 2.7415102 | 0.0019 | 0.009242975 | 0.010848783 | 0.017753059 | 1.6364101 | 0.00698 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0896707E-5 | 6.0895873E-5 | 2.9141371 | 4.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.955446E-5 | 2.7953743E-4 | 3.1214242 | 1.9E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010898182 | 0.0029877475 | 2.7415102 | 0.0019 | 0.009242975 | 0.010848783 | 0.017753059 | 1.6364101 | 0.00698 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.577667E-5 | 4.5776196E-5 | 2.901512 | 3.0E-5 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.761267E-5 | 1.9760389E-4 | 2.9225864 | 1.3E-4 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2289707E-4 | 0.0021917697 | 2.6634798 | 0.00137 | 0.007027647 | 0.0082010655 | 0.0132592395 | 1.6167704 | 0.0051 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2631403E-5 | 4.263102E-5 | 3.375003 | 3.0E-5 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4133554E-5 | 1.641276E-4 | 3.0319014 | 1.1E-4 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.588945E-4 | 0.0017082026 | 2.5925283 | 0.00105 | 0.005655863 | 0.0065713716 | 0.010366269 | 1.5774894 | 0.00382 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.205642E-6 | 2.9205457E-5 | 3.172561 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.945221E-5 | 9.944985E-5 | 2.5207672 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.8023538E-4 | 0.0011898944 | 2.4777317 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004793225 | 0.0071916734 | 1.500383 | 0.00241 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.620036E-6 | 2.7619883E-5 | 3.6246395 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.265694E-5 | 8.265531E-5 | 2.5310183 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9753478E-4 | 9.07332E-4 | 2.2823966 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0034543579 | 0.003969336 | 0.0057024295 | 1.4366205 | 0.00174 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4360894E-6 | 1.5436035E-5 | 2.8395476 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3297342E-5 | 5.3296644E-5 | 2.2876706 | 3.0E-5 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.836126E-4 | 5.635332E-4 | 1.9869822 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028331445 | 0.003780453 | 1.3343664 | 9.5E-4 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.974086E-6 | 1.4974036E-5 | 3.0104096 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1317363E-5 | 5.131672E-5 | 2.4072735 | 3.0E-5 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5951225E-4 | 5.0944736E-4 | 1.9630957 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025927173 | 0.0034205653 | 1.3192974 | 8.3E-4 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0768329E-6 | 3.0768329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3186367E-5 | 2.3186236E-5 | 1.758349 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6053341E-4 | 3.2050774E-4 | 1.9965172 | 1.6E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016042126 | 0.0021133944 | 1.317403 | 5.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.129422E-6 | 2.129422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.126066E-6 | 9.126066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1110489E-4 | 1.9109601E-4 | 1.7199603 | 8.0E-5 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011105622 | 0.0013502956 | 1.2158668 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6653829E-6 | 1.6653829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.137339E-6 | 7.137339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.689422E-5 | 1.1689162E-4 | 1.3452173 | 3.0E-5 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.686604E-4 | 9.985475E-4 | 1.1495258 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1833507E-6 | 1.1833507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0714966E-6 | 5.0714966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.174425E-5 | 6.174425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1732327E-4 | 6.5729854E-4 | 1.0647559 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.774099E-7 | 9.774099E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.188895E-6 | 4.188895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0999126E-5 | 5.0999126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.099253E-4 | 5.299151E-4 | 1.0392014 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.51226E-7 | 8.51226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6481092E-6 | 3.6481092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.441534E-5 | 4.441534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4411552E-4 | 4.6410665E-4 | 1.0450133 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.307093E-7 | 6.307093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7030396E-6 | 2.7030396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.290951E-5 | 3.290951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2909508E-4 | 3.3909178E-4 | 1.0303763 | 1.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1226675E-5 | 1.21223864E-4 | 3.8820615 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3382248E-4 | 4.937743E-4 | 3.689771 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016282045 | 0.0052522942 | 3.2258198 | 0.00363 | 0.014722223 | 0.016176179 | 0.028769122 | 1.778487 | 0.0128 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1226675E-5 | 1.21223864E-4 | 3.8820615 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3382248E-4 | 4.937743E-4 | 3.689771 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016282045 | 0.0052522942 | 3.2258198 | 0.00363 | 0.014722223 | 0.016176179 | 0.028769122 | 1.778487 | 0.0128 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1226675E-5 | 1.21223864E-4 | 3.8820615 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3382248E-4 | 4.937743E-4 | 3.689771 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016282045 | 0.0052522942 | 3.2258198 | 0.00363 | 0.014722223 | 0.016176179 | 0.028769122 | 1.778487 | 0.0128 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6091119E-5 | 9.608983E-5 | 5.9716063 | 8.0E-5 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8960275E-5 | 3.2894235E-4 | 4.7700267 | 2.6E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.392962E-4 | 0.003337198 | 3.9761863 | 0.0025 | 0.007737305 | 0.008364087 | 0.016802909 | 2.0089352 | 0.00851 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6091119E-5 | 9.608983E-5 | 5.9716063 | 8.0E-5 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8960275E-5 | 3.2894235E-4 | 4.7700267 | 2.6E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.392962E-4 | 0.003337198 | 3.9761863 | 0.0025 | 0.007737305 | 0.008364087 | 0.016802909 | 2.0089352 | 0.00851 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3773699E-5 | 8.3772735E-5 | 6.08208 | 7.0E-5 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.9028946E-5 | 2.8901536E-4 | 4.8961635 | 2.3E-4 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.184662E-4 | 0.0030268065 | 4.2128725 | 0.00231 | 0.006655392 | 0.0071639875 | 0.014908108 | 2.080979 | 0.0078 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0294779E-5 | 6.0294264E-5 | 5.856781 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.4119828E-5 | 2.5411055E-4 | 5.759555 | 2.1E-4 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.3704274E-4 | 0.0025459633 | 4.740709 | 0.00201 | 0.005028777 | 0.0053590564 | 0.011903794 | 2.2212481 | 0.00658 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.204062E-6 | 5.8203652E-5 | 7.0944915 | 5.0E-5 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5159872E-5 | 2.1515354E-4 | 6.1192927 | 1.8E-4 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.280011E-4 | 0.0021972435 | 5.1337333 | 0.00177 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042731212 | 0.010068252 | 2.356182 | 0.00582 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.7392916E-6 | 4.6739024E-5 | 6.935302 | 4.0E-5 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.888243E-5 | 1.3887926E-4 | 4.8084335 | 1.1E-4 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.515997E-4 | 0.001721118 | 4.895107 | 0.00137 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035116961 | 0.008085578 | 2.3024707 | 0.00459 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.113432E-6 | 3.3113338E-5 | 10.635638 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.334322E-5 | 5.3342686E-5 | 3.997737 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6244312E-4 | 0.0011322856 | 6.970351 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016233921 | 0.0045186845 | 2.783483 | 0.0029 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2296279E-6 | 2.2296279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.555519E-6 | 1.9555424E-5 | 2.0465057 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1633327E-4 | 7.0626463E-4 | 6.071046 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0011944914 | 0.001162826 | 0.0030606166 | 2.6320505 | 0.0019 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1782679E-6 | 1.1782679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.0497133E-6 | 1.5049663E-5 | 2.9803004 | 1.0E-5 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.147922E-5 | 3.514614E-4 | 5.7167506 | 2.9E-4 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.146907E-4 | 0.0015241314 | 2.4795094 | 9.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.094532E-7 | 3.094532E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3262273E-6 | 1.3262273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6146705E-5 | 2.6146543E-5 | 1.6193115 | 1.0E-5 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6145586E-4 | 2.014494E-4 | 1.2477057 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3122676E-7 | 2.3122676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.909714E-7 | 9.909714E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2065012E-5 | 1.2065012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2064364E-4 | 1.5064001E-4 | 1.2486362 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9702487E-7 | 1.9702487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.4439205E-7 | 8.4439205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0280425E-5 | 1.0280425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0279956E-4 | 1.3279647E-4 | 1.2918 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4439416E-7 | 1.4439416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1883196E-7 | 6.1883196E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.534254E-6 | 7.534254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.534004E-5 | 1.0533778E-4 | 1.3981646 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.5794375E-8 | 7.5794375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.24833E-7 | 3.24833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.954835E-6 | 3.954835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.954768E-5 | 4.9547285E-5 | 1.2528493 | 1.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107954E-5 | 7.310717E-5 | 5.5773134 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175897E-5 | 3.8615736E-4 | 6.8740754 | 3.3E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837553E-4 | 0.003961513 | 5.7937574 | 0.00328 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006819328 | 0.017317247 | 2.539436 | 0.01057 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107954E-5 | 7.310717E-5 | 5.5773134 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175897E-5 | 3.8615736E-4 | 6.8740754 | 3.3E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837553E-4 | 0.003961513 | 5.7937574 | 0.00328 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006819328 | 0.017317247 | 2.539436 | 0.01057 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107954E-5 | 7.310717E-5 | 5.5773134 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175897E-5 | 3.8615736E-4 | 6.8740754 | 3.3E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837553E-4 | 0.003961513 | 5.7937574 | 0.00328 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006819328 | 0.017317247 | 2.539436 | 0.01057 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107954E-5 | 7.310717E-5 | 5.5773134 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175897E-5 | 3.8615736E-4 | 6.8740754 | 3.3E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837553E-4 | 0.003961513 | 5.7937574 | 0.00328 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006819328 | 0.017317247 | 2.539436 | 0.01057 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107954E-5 | 7.310717E-5 | 5.5773134 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175897E-5 | 3.8615736E-4 | 6.8740754 | 3.3E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837553E-4 | 0.003961513 | 5.7937574 | 0.00328 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006819328 | 0.017317247 | 2.539436 | 0.01057 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.387551E-6 | 6.738711E-5 | 9.121712 | 6.0E-5 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1660576E-5 | 2.7165297E-4 | 8.580165 | 2.4E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.854048E-4 | 0.0028844413 | 7.4841866 | 0.0025 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038479017 | 0.011906772 | 3.0943546 | 0.00809 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.387551E-6 | 6.738711E-5 | 9.121712 | 6.0E-5 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1660576E-5 | 2.7165297E-4 | 8.580165 | 2.4E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.854048E-4 | 0.0028844413 | 7.4841866 | 0.0025 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038479017 | 0.011906772 | 3.0943546 | 0.00809 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7881334E-6 | 5.5787845E-5 | 9.638313 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4806071E-5 | 2.3480086E-4 | 9.465459 | 2.1E-4 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0197596E-4 | 0.0024813176 | 8.216937 | 0.00218 | 0.0028538927 | 0.0030160404 | 0.009955049 | 3.3007014 | 0.00696 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2205847E-6 | 5.4220374E-5 | 12.84665 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.808811E-5 | 1.5808558E-4 | 8.739751 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2020325E-4 | 0.0018798377 | 8.53683 | 0.00166 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0022001218 | 0.007388681 | 3.3583057 | 0.0052 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1241345E-6 | 4.3124008E-5 | 13.803506 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3389092E-5 | 8.338816E-5 | 6.2280664 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6300227E-4 | 0.0013928018 | 8.544677 | 0.00123 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016290497 | 0.0053829243 | 3.3043342 | 0.00376 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5413796E-6 | 1.5413796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.605901E-6 | 1.6605834E-5 | 2.513788 | 1.0E-5 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.0424885E-5 | 6.2038144E-4 | 7.7137995 | 5.4E-4 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0405676E-4 | 0.0025826255 | 3.211994 | 0.00178 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.411748E-7 | 7.411748E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1764635E-6 | 1.3176432E-5 | 4.148145 | 1.0E-5 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.8673443E-5 | 3.186626E-4 | 8.239831 | 2.8E-4 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.8673443E-4 | 0.0012364057 | 3.1970408 | 8.5E-4 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6519984E-5 | 1.26516E-4 | 1.9019246 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8506076E-4 | 5.3498946E-4 | 1.8767561 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034659498 | 0.0058875275 | 1.6986766 | 0.00243 | 0.02591553 | 0.03422227 | 0.042634193 | 1.2458026 | 0.00871 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6519984E-5 | 1.26516E-4 | 1.9019246 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8506076E-4 | 5.3498946E-4 | 1.8767561 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034659498 | 0.0058875275 | 1.6986766 | 0.00243 | 0.02591553 | 0.03422227 | 0.042634193 | 1.2458026 | 0.00871 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.1069096E-5 | 7.106785E-5 | 2.287413 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3314761E-4 | 3.6311697E-4 | 2.7271762 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0012580766 | 0.00162004 | 0.003467043 | 2.1400971 | 0.00185 | 0.012509781 | 0.016116057 | 0.022708079 | 1.4090345 | 0.0067 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.242875E-5 | 6.2427855E-5 | 2.7833853 | 4.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.612057E-5 | 2.9610135E-4 | 3.0805202 | 2.0E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.001169779 | 0.0028278371 | 2.4174116 | 0.00166 | 0.009055373 | 0.011666788 | 0.017399121 | 1.4913377 | 0.0058 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.242875E-5 | 6.2427855E-5 | 2.7833853 | 4.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.612057E-5 | 2.9610135E-4 | 3.0805202 | 2.0E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.001169779 | 0.0028278371 | 2.4174116 | 0.00166 | 0.009055373 | 0.011666788 | 0.017399121 | 1.4913377 | 0.0058 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9497204E-5 | 5.9496422E-5 | 3.0515363 | 4.0E-5 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.355762E-5 | 2.7354175E-4 | 3.27369 | 1.9E-4 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010169768 | 0.0025753903 | 2.5323982 | 0.00156 | 0.0078909 | 0.010153669 | 0.015578027 | 1.5342264 | 0.00548 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.596324E-6 | 3.8596067E-5 | 4.489834 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.68409E-5 | 1.7683575E-4 | 4.7999845 | 1.4E-4 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4845132E-4 | 0.0016379177 | 3.6523867 | 0.00119 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0044932766 | 0.008714225 | 1.9393921 | 0.00424 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.5287065E-6 | 3.852845E-5 | 4.5175023 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.655112E-5 | 1.76546E-4 | 4.830112 | 1.4E-4 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4492472E-4 | 0.0016343952 | 3.6734197 | 0.00119 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044581583 | 0.008679256 | 1.9468254 | 0.00424 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.374993E-6 | 3.8374743E-5 | 4.5820627 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5892364E-5 | 1.7588734E-4 | 4.900411 | 1.4E-4 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.369076E-4 | 0.0016263877 | 3.722498 | 0.00119 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043781856 | 0.008589665 | 1.9619237 | 0.00423 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.047686E-6 | 3.8047445E-5 | 4.72775 | 3.0E-5 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4489658E-5 | 1.7448483E-4 | 5.0590477 | 1.4E-4 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1983632E-4 | 0.0015993409 | 3.8094392 | 0.00118 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0042079412 | 0.008400226 | 1.9962794 | 0.00421 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.67927E-6 | 3.767904E-5 | 4.9065914 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.291077E-5 | 1.7290616E-4 | 5.253786 | 1.4E-4 | 3.2002592E-4 | 4.0062054E-4 | 0.0015501599 | 3.8693967 | 0.00115 | 0.0031956544 | 0.004016293 | 0.008149626 | 2.0291412 | 0.00415 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.188906E-6 | 3.718869E-5 | 5.1730666 | 3.0E-5 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0809264E-5 | 1.7080495E-4 | 5.5439477 | 1.4E-4 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.750437E-4 | 0.0015046198 | 4.0118523 | 0.00113 | 0.0030441214 | 0.003761272 | 0.007766152 | 2.0647674 | 0.00402 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.3970957E-6 | 3.5396934E-5 | 6.5585155 | 3.0E-5 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.3130227E-5 | 1.2312792E-4 | 5.323247 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.8157822E-4 | 0.001031367 | 3.6628084 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028284474 | 0.0054908954 | 1.9413108 | 0.00267 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7404358E-6 | 2.7404358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1744673E-5 | 2.1744556E-5 | 1.8514398 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4298217E-4 | 3.029593E-4 | 2.1188605 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.001438747 | 0.0020778263 | 1.4441915 | 6.4E-4 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.333764E-6 | 2.333764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 1.0001809E-5 | 2.000171E-5 | 1.9998091 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2176532E-4 | 2.517495E-4 | 2.0674975 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012257583 | 0.001665219 | 1.3585215 | 4.4E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.19319E-6 | 2.19319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.399352E-6 | 1.9399258E-5 | 2.063893 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.14431205E-4 | 2.3441747E-4 | 2.0485451 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011522855 | 0.0015218592 | 1.3207309 | 3.7E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8974466E-6 | 1.8974466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.131889E-6 | 8.131889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.9001336E-5 | 1.7899342E-4 | 1.80799 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001199845 | 9.977517E-4 | 0.0012275223 | 1.2302883 | 2.3E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3639835E-6 | 1.3639835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.8456308E-6 | 5.8456308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.116827E-5 | 1.1116543E-4 | 1.5620081 | 4.0E-5 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.1929226E-4 | 8.292131E-4 | 1.1528181 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.5615636E-7 | 8.5615636E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6692365E-6 | 3.6692365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.4672062E-5 | 5.4671615E-5 | 1.2238436 | 1.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.5198566E-4 | 4.819721E-4 | 1.0663438 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.8320715E-7 | 3.8320715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6423154E-6 | 1.6423154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9995017E-5 | 2.9994817E-5 | 1.5001146 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 2.0156057E-4 | 2.1155855E-4 | 1.0496029 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.4402397E-8 | 3.4402397E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4743884E-7 | 1.4743884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7950671E-6 | 1.7950671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.8153196E-5 | 1.8153196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.309675E-5 | 9.309485E-5 | 1.4754304 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.7038914E-4 | 4.5034045E-4 | 1.6655272 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032874655 | 0.0049519753 | 1.5063201 | 0.00167 | 0.023254504 | 0.03239275 | 0.038024224 | 1.1738498 | 0.00582 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.309675E-5 | 9.309485E-5 | 1.4754304 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.7038914E-4 | 4.5034045E-4 | 1.6655272 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032874655 | 0.0049519753 | 1.5063201 | 0.00167 | 0.023254504 | 0.03239275 | 0.038024224 | 1.1738498 | 0.00582 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.466546E-5 | 5.4664768E-5 | 1.5769231 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4855799E-4 | 2.985357E-4 | 2.0095568 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018072262 | 0.0030549672 | 1.6904176 | 0.00125 | 0.01382215 | 0.017979732 | 0.021986375 | 1.2228422 | 0.00408 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.466546E-5 | 5.4664768E-5 | 1.5769231 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4855799E-4 | 2.985357E-4 | 2.0095568 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018072262 | 0.0030549672 | 1.6904176 | 0.00125 | 0.01382215 | 0.017979732 | 0.021986375 | 1.2228422 | 0.00408 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2491993E-5 | 5.249134E-5 | 1.6155163 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3924413E-4 | 2.8922324E-4 | 2.0770948 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016940086 | 0.002941891 | 1.7366447 | 0.00125 | 0.013121112 | 0.01684929 | 0.020811388 | 1.2351491 | 0.00403 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2491993E-5 | 5.249134E-5 | 1.6155163 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3924413E-4 | 2.8922324E-4 | 2.0770948 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016940086 | 0.002941891 | 1.7366447 | 0.00125 | 0.013121112 | 0.01684929 | 0.020811388 | 1.2351491 | 0.00403 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8274884E-5 | 4.827432E-5 | 1.7073215 | 2.0E-5 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.21172576E-4 | 2.711544E-4 | 2.2377539 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014743014 | 0.0026725323 | 1.8127447 | 0.0012 | 0.011653901 | 0.014686707 | 0.018391484 | 1.2522538 | 0.00376 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7943894E-5 | 4.7943337E-5 | 1.7156999 | 2.0E-5 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1975418E-4 | 2.6973622E-4 | 2.252416 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014570557 | 0.002645322 | 1.8155255 | 0.00119 | 0.011538187 | 0.014517212 | 0.018212773 | 1.254564 | 0.00375 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.4027477E-5 | 4.4026994E-5 | 1.8323604 | 2.0E-5 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.02970946E-4 | 2.529555E-4 | 2.4565716 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012529701 | 0.0023615793 | 1.884785 | 0.00111 | 0.010138147 | 0.012503569 | 0.015949931 | 1.2756304 | 0.00349 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5303718E-5 | 3.5303412E-5 | 2.3068519 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.558575E-5 | 1.9557722E-4 | 2.982008 | 1.3E-4 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.982197E-4 | 0.0017874294 | 2.23927 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007994238 | 0.011089297 | 1.387161 | 0.00312 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3209062E-5 | 3.32088E-5 | 2.514092 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6609068E-5 | 1.8660171E-4 | 3.2963219 | 1.3E-4 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.890025E-4 | 0.0016483411 | 2.3923585 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0061178906 | 0.0069091897 | 0.009967909 | 1.4427031 | 0.00308 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.1000825E-5 | 3.1000603E-5 | 2.8180256 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.714556E-5 | 1.7713943E-4 | 3.7572877 | 1.3E-4 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.7384954E-4 | 0.0015033159 | 2.6197038 | 9.3E-4 | 0.005237907 | 0.005763481 | 0.008636825 | 1.498543 | 0.00289 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.05960335E-5 | 3.059582E-5 | 2.8874786 | 2.0E-5 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.54108E-5 | 1.6540535E-4 | 3.642423 | 1.2E-4 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.527398E-4 | 0.0014422479 | 2.6092708 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055533135 | 0.008317876 | 1.497822 | 0.00278 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 1.0039895E-5 | 3.0039695E-5 | 2.9920328 | 2.0E-5 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.302743E-5 | 1.6302227E-4 | 3.7887986 | 1.2E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.237365E-4 | 0.0013333124 | 2.545769 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052640876 | 0.007820559 | 1.4856437 | 0.00257 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.584212E-6 | 2.958402E-5 | 3.086745 | 2.0E-5 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.107457E-5 | 1.5107005E-4 | 3.677946 | 1.1E-4 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.999715E-4 | 0.0012196115 | 2.439362 | 7.2E-4 | 0.004697283 | 0.0050265864 | 0.007315025 | 1.455267 | 0.0023 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.1710615E-6 | 1.7170989E-5 | 2.3944838 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.073276E-5 | 1.0073061E-4 | 3.2776296 | 7.0E-5 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.7410788E-4 | 8.339358E-4 | 2.229132 | 4.6E-4 | 0.003688092 | 0.003767497 | 0.00502275 | 1.3331796 | 0.00126 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 6.035764E-6 | 6.035764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5867304E-5 | 5.586653E-5 | 2.1597352 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1488918E-4 | 5.348199E-4 | 1.6984385 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031753457 | 0.0039030276 | 1.2291663 | 7.3E-4 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.829621E-6 | 4.829621E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0698213E-5 | 4.06978E-5 | 1.9662471 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.5197174E-4 | 3.9193645E-4 | 1.5554779 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025468944 | 0.002935901 | 1.1527376 | 3.9E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 4.0431296E-6 | 4.0431296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7327584E-5 | 1.7327584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.1094299E-4 | 3.109219E-4 | 1.4739617 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021348589 | 0.0023743466 | 1.1121796 | 2.4E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.4271932E-6 | 3.4271932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4687888E-5 | 1.4687888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7881043E-4 | 2.487979E-4 | 1.391406 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0018096096 | 0.0019892838 | 1.099289 | 1.8E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6982823E-6 | 1.6982823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.2783323E-6 | 7.2783323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.8610126E-5 | 1.0860835E-4 | 1.2256879 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.965556E-4 | 9.565018E-4 | 1.0668628 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1931154E-7 | 3.1931154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3684775E-6 | 1.3684775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6661103E-5 | 1.6661103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6862304E-4 | 1.6862304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4027576E-5 | 6.402656E-5 | 1.8816079 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4582448E-4 | 3.2579823E-4 | 2.2341807 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017739969 | 0.00351091 | 1.979096 | 0.00174 | 0.015640736 | 0.017604718 | 0.02382328 | 1.3532327 | 0.00633 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4027576E-5 | 6.402656E-5 | 1.8816079 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4582448E-4 | 3.2579823E-4 | 2.2341807 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017739969 | 0.00351091 | 1.979096 | 0.00174 | 0.015640736 | 0.017604718 | 0.02382328 | 1.3532327 | 0.00633 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4027576E-5 | 6.402656E-5 | 1.8816079 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4582448E-4 | 3.2579823E-4 | 2.2341807 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017739969 | 0.00351091 | 1.979096 | 0.00174 | 0.015640736 | 0.017604718 | 0.02382328 | 1.3532327 | 0.00633 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2143587E-5 | 6.214262E-5 | 1.9332821 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.377511E-4 | 3.077277E-4 | 2.23394 | 1.7E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016758575 | 0.0033230924 | 1.9829206 | 0.00165 | 0.01479908 | 0.016638173 | 0.022518676 | 1.3534344 | 0.00598 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2143587E-5 | 6.214262E-5 | 1.9332821 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.377511E-4 | 3.077277E-4 | 2.23394 | 1.7E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016758575 | 0.0033230924 | 1.9829206 | 0.00165 | 0.01479908 | 0.016638173 | 0.022518676 | 1.3534344 | 0.00598 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.086786E-5 | 6.0866936E-5 | 1.9718547 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3228427E-4 | 2.8226443E-4 | 2.1337717 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016093986 | 0.0032068237 | 1.9925601 | 0.0016 | 0.014230782 | 0.015983306 | 0.021661082 | 1.3552316 | 0.00577 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9289931E-5 | 5.9289054E-5 | 2.0242128 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2552239E-4 | 2.7550355E-4 | 2.194856 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015271903 | 0.0030947926 | 2.0264616 | 0.00157 | 0.013544982 | 0.015172789 | 0.02069767 | 1.3641309 | 0.00561 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7376955E-5 | 5.7376135E-5 | 2.095782 | 3.0E-5 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1732467E-4 | 2.5730825E-4 | 2.19313 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0012775084 | 0.001427517 | 0.0029253757 | 2.0492756 | 0.0015 | 0.012701893 | 0.014189103 | 0.01947305 | 1.3723947 | 0.00536 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4968662E-5 | 5.4967913E-5 | 2.201476 | 3.0E-5 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0700428E-4 | 2.3699037E-4 | 2.2147746 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013020204 | 0.0027101845 | 2.0815222 | 0.00141 | 0.011539802 | 0.012949151 | 0.017864665 | 1.3796012 | 0.00498 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2320957E-5 | 5.2320287E-5 | 2.3439984 | 3.0E-5 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.565784E-5 | 2.1564636E-4 | 2.2543511 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011640305 | 0.0024924823 | 2.1412518 | 0.00133 | 0.010331288 | 0.0115838805 | 0.01607129 | 1.3873839 | 0.00454 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.059483E-5 | 5.0594215E-5 | 2.4566462 | 3.0E-5 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.826068E-5 | 1.9825097E-4 | 2.2461982 | 1.1E-4 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010740617 | 0.0023027407 | 2.1439555 | 0.00123 | 0.009531168 | 0.010693215 | 0.014828517 | 1.3867221 | 0.00418 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.979971E-5 | 4.9799117E-5 | 2.5151436 | 3.0E-5 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.485324E-5 | 1.948439E-4 | 2.2962458 | 1.1E-4 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010326162 | 0.0021914183 | 2.1222003 | 0.00116 | 0.009176437 | 0.010282646 | 0.014211824 | 1.3821174 | 0.00397 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8182795E-5 | 3.8182432E-5 | 2.099921 | 2.0E-5 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.7924036E-5 | 1.579178E-4 | 2.0265608 | 8.0E-5 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.483295E-4 | 0.0019973337 | 2.1061602 | 0.00105 | 0.008511325 | 0.009447087 | 0.01289421 | 1.3648875 | 0.00348 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5986683E-5 | 3.5986362E-5 | 2.2510214 | 2.0E-5 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.851264E-5 | 1.2850853E-4 | 1.8756907 | 6.0E-5 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.338385E-4 | 0.0016631464 | 1.9945666 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008309769 | 0.0111757545 | 1.3448935 | 0.00289 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4163079E-5 | 3.4162797E-5 | 2.4121025 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.0697585E-5 | 1.1069455E-4 | 1.823706 | 5.0E-5 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.387584E-4 | 0.00154816 | 2.0956242 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0066837464 | 0.007365501 | 0.010144878 | 1.3773507 | 0.0028 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2853794E-5 | 3.2853535E-5 | 2.5559409 | 2.0E-5 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5086613E-5 | 9.508441E-5 | 1.7260892 | 4.0E-5 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.7048887E-4 | 0.0014599592 | 2.1774547 | 7.9E-4 | 0.006054099 | 0.006687118 | 0.009408795 | 1.407003 | 0.00274 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.339613E-6 | 3.339613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.431259E-5 | 3.4312303E-5 | 2.3973513 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7424916E-4 | 5.041917E-4 | 2.8935099 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017419796 | 0.0029498718 | 1.693402 | 0.00121 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3205688E-5 | 6.320476E-5 | 2.7236753 | 4.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.9449615E-5 | 2.494347E-4 | 2.5081515 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012102065 | 0.0023288513 | 1.9243418 | 0.00112 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044153 | 0.015768746 | 1.309245 | 0.00377 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3205688E-5 | 6.320476E-5 | 2.7236753 | 4.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.9449615E-5 | 2.494347E-4 | 2.5081515 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012102065 | 0.0023288513 | 1.9243418 | 0.00112 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044153 | 0.015768746 | 1.309245 | 0.00377 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3205688E-5 | 6.320476E-5 | 2.7236753 | 4.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.9449615E-5 | 2.494347E-4 | 2.5081515 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012102065 | 0.0023288513 | 1.9243418 | 0.00112 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044153 | 0.015768746 | 1.309245 | 0.00377 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.075183E-5 | 2.0751722E-5 | 1.9300642 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.607853E-5 | 8.607669E-5 | 1.8680432 | 4.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6087493E-4 | 0.001020617 | 1.8196871 | 4.6E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055959076 | 0.00712729 | 1.2736611 | 0.00154 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.075183E-5 | 2.0751722E-5 | 1.9300642 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.607853E-5 | 8.607669E-5 | 1.8680432 | 4.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6087493E-4 | 0.001020617 | 1.8196871 | 4.6E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055959076 | 0.00712729 | 1.2736611 | 0.00154 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.4599893E-6 | 7.4599893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.197104E-5 | 5.19704E-5 | 1.6255461 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8918658E-4 | 6.6907756E-4 | 1.7191693 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.003885905 | 0.004882019 | 1.2563403 | 0.001 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.349093E-6 | 5.349093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.292452E-5 | 3.292429E-5 | 1.4362042 | 1.0E-5 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.79077E-4 | 5.1901E-4 | 1.8597378 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027879246 | 0.0035956663 | 1.2897288 | 8.1E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.9263973E-6 | 3.9263973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6827342E-5 | 2.6827172E-5 | 1.5942609 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0485936E-4 | 3.5482863E-4 | 1.7320596 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020472687 | 0.0026560198 | 1.2973479 | 6.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7461804E-6 | 2.7461804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1769319E-5 | 2.1769201E-5 | 1.8496568 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4328699E-4 | 2.4327266E-4 | 1.6978 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014324314 | 0.0018418442 | 1.2858167 | 4.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8977423E-6 | 1.8977423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.133181E-6 | 1.81331E-5 | 2.2295213 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.902148E-5 | 1.8901257E-4 | 1.9088037 | 9.0E-5 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.902148E-4 | 0.0012899177 | 1.3026645 | 3.0E-4 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.311216E-5 | 3.6310122E-4 | 10.965797 | 3.3E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4190232E-4 | 6.3183275E-4 | 4.45259 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017264284 | 0.002954305 | 1.7112236 | 0.00123 | 0.015895851 | 0.017144015 | 0.020613497 | 1.2023728 | 0.00353 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.311216E-5 | 3.6310122E-4 | 10.965797 | 3.3E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4190232E-4 | 6.3183275E-4 | 4.45259 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017264284 | 0.002954305 | 1.7112236 | 0.00123 | 0.015895851 | 0.017144015 | 0.020613497 | 1.2023728 | 0.00353 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2550805E-5 | 1.5254905E-4 | 12.154523 | 1.4E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3788106E-5 | 2.637768E-4 | 4.903999 | 2.1E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5468304E-4 | 0.001204323 | 1.8395512 | 5.5E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065285163 | 0.00794918 | 1.217609 | 0.00143 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2550805E-5 | 1.5254905E-4 | 12.154523 | 1.4E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3788106E-5 | 2.637768E-4 | 4.903999 | 2.1E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5468304E-4 | 0.001204323 | 1.8395512 | 5.5E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065285163 | 0.00794918 | 1.217609 | 0.00143 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.4838275E-6 | 1.284828E-4 | 15.144439 | 1.2E-4 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.635878E-5 | 2.1635223E-4 | 5.9504814 | 1.8E-4 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.4258227E-4 | 8.72392E-4 | 1.9711409 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.004417414 | 0.005383129 | 1.2186155 | 9.7E-4 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.288715E-6 | 1.1628802E-4 | 18.491539 | 1.1E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6951371E-5 | 1.7694733E-4 | 6.565429 | 1.5E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2808608E-4 | 6.87968E-4 | 2.0969129 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032762708 | 0.004013846 | 1.2251265 | 7.4E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.288715E-6 | 1.1628802E-4 | 18.491539 | 1.1E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6951371E-5 | 1.7694733E-4 | 6.565429 | 1.5E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2808608E-4 | 6.87968E-4 | 2.0969129 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032762708 | 0.004013846 | 1.2251265 | 7.4E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.282886E-6 | 4.3282755E-5 | 13.184361 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4069442E-5 | 6.4068736E-5 | 4.553751 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7128316E-4 | 3.0126088E-4 | 1.7588471 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017116261 | 0.0020210955 | 1.1808044 | 3.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4298126E-6 | 3.242974E-5 | 13.3466015 | 3.0E-5 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0413446E-5 | 5.041303E-5 | 4.8411474 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2677725E-4 | 2.2676458E-4 | 1.7886851 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012671396 | 0.0014968481 | 1.1812812 | 2.3E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0658239E-6 | 2.1065802E-5 | 19.764807 | 2.0E-5 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5678116E-6 | 3.4567674E-5 | 7.5676665 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5612203E-5 | 8.561053E-5 | 1.53942 | 3.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.560335E-4 | 6.459835E-4 | 1.1617707 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.077844E-7 | 2.0507774E-5 | 40.386772 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.176219E-6 | 2.2176175E-5 | 10.190231 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6495465E-5 | 4.6494937E-5 | 1.7548262 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6495467E-4 | 3.0494406E-4 | 1.1509292 | 4.0E-5 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4651115E-5 | 7.465002E-5 | 1.3659378 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3419887E-4 | 2.941848E-4 | 1.2561325 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028478196 | 0.003695399 | 1.297624 | 8.5E-4 | 0.023260195 | 0.028133176 | 0.030990465 | 1.101563 | 0.00294 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4651115E-5 | 7.465002E-5 | 1.3659378 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3419887E-4 | 2.941848E-4 | 1.2561325 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028478196 | 0.003695399 | 1.297624 | 8.5E-4 | 0.023260195 | 0.028133176 | 0.030990465 | 1.101563 | 0.00294 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.713073E-5 | 6.712979E-5 | 1.4243315 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0197408E-4 | 2.6196198E-4 | 1.2970078 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024563945 | 0.0033043067 | 1.3451856 | 8.5E-4 | 0.020330196 | 0.02430777 | 0.027176306 | 1.118009 | 0.00294 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.713073E-5 | 6.712979E-5 | 1.4243315 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0197408E-4 | 2.6196198E-4 | 1.2970078 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024563945 | 0.0033043067 | 1.3451856 | 8.5E-4 | 0.020330196 | 0.02430777 | 0.027176306 | 1.118009 | 0.00294 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.800274E-5 | 5.800198E-5 | 1.5262579 | 2.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6285913E-4 | 2.2284935E-4 | 1.3683566 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001981076 | 0.0028293922 | 1.4282098 | 8.5E-4 | 0.016718714 | 0.019642517 | 0.022514965 | 1.1462362 | 0.00293 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.800274E-5 | 5.800198E-5 | 1.5262579 | 2.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6285913E-4 | 2.2284935E-4 | 1.3683566 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001981076 | 0.0028293922 | 1.4282098 | 8.5E-4 | 0.016718714 | 0.019642517 | 0.022514965 | 1.1462362 | 0.00293 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4227603E-5 | 5.422692E-5 | 1.5843037 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4668184E-4 | 2.0667304E-4 | 1.4089886 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017844503 | 0.0026129691 | 1.4642992 | 8.3E-4 | 0.015175272 | 0.017708715 | 0.02055736 | 1.1608611 | 0.0029 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2387205E-5 | 5.2386556E-5 | 1.6175078 | 2.0E-5 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3879525E-4 | 1.9878693E-4 | 1.4322314 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016885828 | 0.0025171812 | 1.4907064 | 8.3E-4 | 0.014414776 | 0.016764801 | 0.019606352 | 1.169495 | 0.00289 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6901493E-5 | 4.6900954E-5 | 1.7434332 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1528728E-4 | 1.7528037E-4 | 1.5203791 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014027663 | 0.002231602 | 1.590858 | 8.3E-4 | 0.01213047 | 0.013944914 | 0.016774893 | 1.2029397 | 0.00287 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.360017E-5 | 4.35997E-5 | 1.8474315 | 2.0E-5 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0113987E-4 | 1.6113381E-4 | 1.5931778 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012307186 | 0.0020596972 | 1.6735728 | 8.3E-4 | 0.010738871 | 0.012243639 | 0.0150785 | 1.2315375 | 0.00287 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9658226E-5 | 3.9657833E-5 | 2.017366 | 2.0E-5 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.4246945E-5 | 1.3424273E-4 | 1.5934434 | 5.0E-5 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010252466 | 0.0018344162 | 1.7892438 | 8.1E-4 | 0.009070295 | 0.010208376 | 0.013019384 | 1.275363 | 0.00284 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6462336E-5 | 3.6462006E-5 | 2.2148743 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.0551054E-5 | 1.2054753E-4 | 1.7086567 | 5.0E-5 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.5863716E-4 | 0.0016679417 | 1.9425454 | 8.1E-4 | 0.007696735 | 0.008555757 | 0.011361544 | 1.3279414 | 0.00283 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5718057E-5 | 3.571774E-5 | 2.2724018 | 2.0E-5 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.7361456E-5 | 1.1735808E-4 | 1.7422143 | 5.0E-5 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.1983337E-4 | 0.0016291693 | 1.9871956 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008170613 | 0.010977491 | 1.3435333 | 0.00283 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5191196E-5 | 3.5190893E-5 | 2.316532 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.5103595E-5 | 1.1510034E-4 | 1.7679567 | 5.0E-5 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.923641E-4 | 0.0016017223 | 2.0214472 | 8.1E-4 | 0.007138774 | 0.007897896 | 0.010695623 | 1.3542372 | 0.00282 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4126829E-5 | 3.4126548E-5 | 2.415726 | 2.0E-5 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.054224E-5 | 1.10539215E-4 | 1.8258197 | 5.0E-5 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3686836E-4 | 0.0015462715 | 2.0984366 | 8.1E-4 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073467186 | 0.010126147 | 1.3783226 | 0.0028 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2817544E-5 | 3.2817286E-5 | 2.5603414 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4931264E-5 | 9.492907E-5 | 1.7281427 | 4.0E-5 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.6859863E-4 | 0.0014580705 | 2.180786 | 7.9E-4 | 0.006032217 | 0.0066683223 | 0.0093900515 | 1.408158 | 0.00274 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3317156E-6 | 3.3317156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4278744E-5 | 3.427846E-5 | 2.4006634 | 2.0E-5 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7383715E-4 | 5.037798E-4 | 2.8979986 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017378795 | 0.0029457768 | 1.6950408 | 0.00121 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5448546E-5 | 3.544829E-5 | 1.3929398 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0906065E-4 | 2.1904866E-4 | 2.008503 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013270081 | 0.0020859996 | 1.5719569 | 7.6E-4 | 0.013053683 | 0.013270521 | 0.015549866 | 1.1717601 | 0.00231 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5349542E-5 | 3.534929E-5 | 1.3944744 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0863639E-4 | 2.1862444E-4 | 2.012442 | 1.1E-4 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013218491 | 0.0020808445 | 1.5741922 | 7.6E-4 | 0.013000126 | 0.013219545 | 0.015499007 | 1.1724312 | 0.00231 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.5231053E-5 | 3.52308E-5 | 1.396327 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.0812862E-4 | 2.1811672E-4 | 2.017197 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013156744 | 0.0020746745 | 1.5768906 | 7.6E-4 | 0.012932341 | 0.01315853 | 0.015438134 | 1.1732415 | 0.00231 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.5050103E-5 | 3.5049852E-5 | 1.39919 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.0735319E-4 | 2.1734138E-4 | 2.0245452 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0013062449 | 0.002065252 | 1.5810604 | 7.6E-4 | 0.012822957 | 0.013065348 | 0.015345167 | 1.1744936 | 0.00231 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3426857E-5 | 3.3426622E-5 | 1.4268504 | 1.0E-5 | 9.958477E-5 | 1.0039697E-4 | 2.1038593E-4 | 2.0955405 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012216505 | 0.0019707342 | 1.6131735 | 7.5E-4 | 0.012051838 | 0.012228987 | 0.014481106 | 1.1841623 | 0.00228 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.32405E-5 | 3.3240267E-5 | 1.4302733 | 1.0E-5 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.959836E-5 | 2.095874E-4 | 2.104326 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0012119382 | 0.0019610294 | 1.6180934 | 7.5E-4 | 0.011791403 | 0.01213293 | 0.014385266 | 1.1856383 | 0.00228 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.2018105E-5 | 3.2017884E-5 | 1.4541618 | 1.0E-5 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.43599E-5 | 2.0434952E-4 | 2.1656394 | 1.1E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011482288 | 0.0018973675 | 1.6524299 | 7.5E-4 | 0.011062649 | 0.011502574 | 0.013756349 | 1.1959364 | 0.00228 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0632167E-5 | 3.063196E-5 | 1.48467 | 1.0E-5 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.842059E-5 | 1.9841087E-4 | 2.2439442 | 1.1E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010759907 | 0.0018251837 | 1.696282 | 7.5E-4 | 0.010230771 | 0.010787391 | 0.0130427955 | 1.2090778 | 0.00228 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 2.0136873E-5 | 3.0136673E-5 | 1.4965914 | 1.0E-5 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.6298045E-5 | 1.9628854E-4 | 2.2745423 | 1.1E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010501739 | 0.0017993863 | 1.7134174 | 7.5E-4 | 0.009733009 | 0.010531693 | 0.01278768 | 1.2142094 | 0.00228 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.9187348E-5 | 2.9187157E-5 | 1.5211668 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.222891E-5 | 1.9221986E-4 | 2.337619 | 1.1E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 0.0010006786 | 0.0017499281 | 1.7487414 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0091206245 | 0.0100413365 | 0.012298442 | 1.2247814 | 0.00228 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.844727E-5 | 2.8447086E-5 | 1.5420756 | 1.0E-5 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.905735E-5 | 1.8904865E-4 | 2.3912852 | 1.1E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.620995E-4 | 0.001711378 | 1.7787951 | 7.5E-4 | 0.008724891 | 0.00965879 | 0.011896961 | 1.2317238 | 0.00226 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7946855E-5 | 2.7946675E-5 | 1.5571907 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.691283E-5 | 1.8690438E-4 | 2.4300804 | 1.1E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.3601283E-4 | 0.0016753202 | 1.7898475 | 7.4E-4 | 0.008488664 | 0.009400095 | 0.011609132 | 1.2350017 | 0.00223 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.7394636E-5 | 2.739446E-5 | 1.5748799 | 1.0E-5 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.454631E-5 | 1.8453812E-4 | 2.4754827 | 1.1E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 9.072248E-4 | 0.0016465534 | 1.8149344 | 7.4E-4 | 0.008200042 | 0.009114524 | 0.011324199 | 1.2424345 | 0.00223 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.684606E-5 | 2.684589E-5 | 1.5936006 | 1.0E-5 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.2195406E-5 | 1.8218746E-4 | 2.5235326 | 1.1E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.7862584E-4 | 0.0016079844 | 1.8301128 | 7.3E-4 | 0.00782677 | 0.0088304095 | 0.011001071 | 1.2458166 | 0.00219 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6681324E-5 | 2.6681157E-5 | 1.5994629 | 1.0E-5 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.1489434E-5 | 1.8148158E-4 | 2.538579 | 1.1E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.7003753E-4 | 0.0015994024 | 1.8383143 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008744974 | 0.010895997 | 1.2459725 | 0.00217 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6271659E-5 | 2.6271495E-5 | 1.6145555 | 1.0E-5 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.973382E-5 | 1.7972615E-4 | 2.5773168 | 1.1E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.4867975E-4 | 0.0015181111 | 1.7887915 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008532463 | 0.010515397 | 1.2323989 | 0.002 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4262281E-5 | 1.4262281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.1122635E-5 | 1.11119574E-4 | 1.8179775 | 5.0E-5 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.439146E-4 | 0.0011036468 | 1.4835665 | 3.6E-4 | 0.006634211 | 0.0074906154 | 0.0087312525 | 1.1656255 | 0.00125 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.1658212E-5 | 1.1658212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.996281E-5 | 8.996081E-5 | 1.8005555 | 4.0E-5 | 5.388092E-4 | 6.0812786E-4 | 8.479819E-4 | 1.3944138 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.006140608 | 0.006856187 | 1.1165322 | 7.2E-4 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 9.057908E-6 | 9.057908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8819027E-5 | 5.881825E-5 | 1.5151913 | 2.0E-5 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.725193E-4 | 6.324437E-4 | 1.3384506 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.0047771293 | 0.0052448837 | 1.0979154 | 4.7E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.5569503E-6 | 5.5569503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3815284E-5 | 2.3815284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8991263E-4 | 3.6988943E-4 | 1.2758652 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0029314694 | 0.0032206192 | 1.0986365 | 2.9E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.1082947E-6 | 2.1082947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.035517E-6 | 9.035517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.1000191E-4 | 1.2999971E-4 | 1.181795 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011127756 | 0.0011727089 | 1.0538592 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1931154E-7 | 3.1931154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3684775E-6 | 1.3684775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6661103E-5 | 1.6661103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6862304E-4 | 1.6862304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8509341E-5 | 1.8509341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.932361E-5 | 1.3931884E-4 | 1.7563353 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.653857E-4 | 0.0013150478 | 1.3621994 | 3.5E-4 | 0.009017491 | 0.009616765 | 0.011161763 | 1.1606567 | 0.00156 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.595745E-6 | 9.595745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.112402E-5 | 8.112237E-5 | 1.9726275 | 4.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0057884E-4 | 7.304637E-4 | 1.459238 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004995396 | 0.0058909003 | 1.1792659 | 9.0E-4 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.595745E-6 | 9.595745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.112402E-5 | 8.112237E-5 | 1.9726275 | 4.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0057884E-4 | 7.304637E-4 | 1.459238 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004995396 | 0.0058909003 | 1.1792659 | 9.0E-4 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.670455E-6 | 7.670455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2873002E-5 | 5.2872347E-5 | 1.608382 | 2.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0016245E-4 | 5.800904E-4 | 1.4496373 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003995124 | 0.004642527 | 1.1620483 | 6.5E-4 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.670455E-6 | 7.670455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2873002E-5 | 5.2872347E-5 | 1.608382 | 2.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0016245E-4 | 5.800904E-4 | 1.4496373 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003995124 | 0.004642527 | 1.1620483 | 6.5E-4 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.406138E-6 | 6.406138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7454624E-5 | 4.7454076E-5 | 1.7284547 | 2.0E-5 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3421526E-4 | 5.0415844E-4 | 1.5084842 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033377653 | 0.0039158296 | 1.1731889 | 5.8E-4 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.9123454E-6 | 5.9123454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5338413E-5 | 3.533816E-5 | 1.3946477 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.084579E-4 | 4.384178E-4 | 1.4213214 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.003080927 | 0.0035893559 | 1.1650246 | 5.1E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5411156E-6 | 5.5411156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3747458E-5 | 3.374722E-5 | 1.4210877 | 1.0E-5 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.890933E-4 | 3.6907016E-4 | 1.2766473 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028877966 | 0.0033065837 | 1.1450197 | 4.2E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2484003E-6 | 4.2484003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8207335E-5 | 1.8207335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2165771E-4 | 2.7164663E-4 | 1.225523 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022149512 | 0.0025142867 | 1.1351432 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1419373E-7 | 7.1419373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0608285E-6 | 3.0608285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.726527E-5 | 3.726527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7262146E-4 | 4.0261028E-4 | 1.0804807 | 3.0E-5 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1490606E-5 | 6.148966E-5 | 1.952635 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.34954E-4 | 1.8494725E-4 | 1.3704467 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016420439 | 0.0019615185 | 1.1945591 | 3.2E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016320722 | 0.017786404 | 1.089805 | 0.00149 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1490606E-5 | 6.148966E-5 | 1.952635 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.34954E-4 | 1.8494725E-4 | 1.3704467 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016420439 | 0.0019615185 | 1.1945591 | 3.2E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016320722 | 0.017786404 | 1.089805 | 0.00149 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3644333E-5 | 3.364406E-5 | 2.46579 | 2.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.847447E-5 | 9.8472134E-5 | 1.6840192 | 4.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.11706E-4 | 8.316206E-4 | 1.168489 | 1.2E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070954706 | 0.007591923 | 1.0699675 | 5.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3644333E-5 | 3.364406E-5 | 2.46579 | 2.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.847447E-5 | 9.8472134E-5 | 1.6840192 | 4.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.11706E-4 | 8.316206E-4 | 1.168489 | 1.2E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070954706 | 0.007591923 | 1.0699675 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0696427E-5 | 3.0696214E-5 | 2.8697631 | 2.0E-5 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.584106E-5 | 7.5839685E-5 | 1.6544051 | 3.0E-5 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.579778E-4 | 6.57922E-4 | 1.1791186 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.0055663595 | 0.0059343 | 1.0661007 | 3.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.089211E-6 | 9.089211E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.89532E-5 | 4.895281E-5 | 1.2567083 | 1.0E-5 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7415606E-4 | 5.441229E-4 | 1.1475607 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047318516 | 0.0050204797 | 1.0609968 | 2.9E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.5362163E-6 | 7.5362163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2297685E-5 | 3.2297685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.931559E-4 | 4.231441E-4 | 1.0762756 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039248606 | 0.0040643113 | 1.0355301 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.753455E-6 | 6.753455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8943072E-5 | 2.8943072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5232713E-4 | 3.8231656E-4 | 1.0851182 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035179066 | 0.0036275196 | 1.0311586 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.119292E-6 | 5.119292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1939646E-5 | 2.1939646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6708384E-4 | 2.870785E-4 | 1.0748628 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026677668 | 0.0027176335 | 1.0186923 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.909972E-6 | 3.909972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.675692E-5 | 1.675692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0399739E-4 | 2.1399536E-4 | 1.0490103 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020381997 | 0.0020681384 | 1.0146888 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6076705E-6 | 2.6076705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1175684E-5 | 1.1175684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.360557E-4 | 1.360557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013597495 | 0.0013697358 | 1.0073442 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.1000371E-6 | 2.1000371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 9.0001295E-6 | 9.0001295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.09571294E-4 | 1.09571294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010951946 | 0.0011051836 | 1.0091208 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2627974E-6 | 1.2627974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.411978E-6 | 5.411978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.5888926E-5 | 6.5888926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.587021E-4 | 6.686955E-4 | 1.0151714 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.129295E-7 | 7.129295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.0554086E-6 | 3.0554086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7198985E-5 | 3.7198985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7192958E-4 | 3.8192587E-4 | 1.0268768 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.3135034E-7 | 5.3135034E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2772138E-6 | 2.2772138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.772473E-5 | 2.772473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7721326E-4 | 2.8721048E-4 | 1.0360633 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6088096E-7 | 3.6088096E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5466319E-6 | 1.5466319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8830086E-5 | 1.8830086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8828535E-4 | 1.9828348E-4 | 1.0531008 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.141681E-8 | 7.141681E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.06072E-7 | 3.06072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.726422E-6 | 3.726422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.726375E-5 | 4.726338E-5 | 1.2683473 | 1.0E-5 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0402369E-5 | 3.0402369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3029047E-4 | 1.6028655E-4 | 1.2302247 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015853288 | 0.0017949959 | 1.1322546 | 2.1E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015759727 | 0.016980186 | 1.0774416 | 0.00124 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0402369E-5 | 3.0402369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3029047E-4 | 1.6028655E-4 | 1.2302247 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015853288 | 0.0017949959 | 1.1322546 | 2.1E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015759727 | 0.016980186 | 1.0774416 | 0.00124 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6109772E-5 | 1.6109772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.904061E-5 | 8.9039226E-5 | 1.2896646 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.4034406E-4 | 9.502516E-4 | 1.1307888 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008381376 | 0.008976348 | 1.0709873 | 6.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6109772E-5 | 1.6109772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.904061E-5 | 8.9039226E-5 | 1.2896646 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.4034406E-4 | 9.502516E-4 | 1.1307888 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008381376 | 0.008976348 | 1.0709873 | 6.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5021054E-5 | 1.5021054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.437491E-5 | 8.437363E-5 | 1.31066 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.835809E-4 | 8.8350254E-4 | 1.1275192 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078178225 | 0.008383366 | 1.0723404 | 5.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5021054E-5 | 1.5021054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.437491E-5 | 8.437363E-5 | 1.31066 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.835809E-4 | 8.8350254E-4 | 1.1275192 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078178225 | 0.008383366 | 1.0723404 | 5.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2866028E-5 | 1.2866028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5139495E-5 | 7.513839E-5 | 1.3626964 | 2.0E-5 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.712124E-4 | 7.411654E-4 | 1.1042188 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006701256 | 0.0071879723 | 1.0726306 | 4.9E-4 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.832892E-6 | 9.832892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2140797E-5 | 6.213995E-5 | 1.4745795 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.130341E-4 | 5.730033E-4 | 1.1168913 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0045039062 | 0.005127391 | 0.005545237 | 1.081493 | 4.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1764788E-6 | 1.1764788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.042043E-6 | 5.042043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.138526E-5 | 6.138526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.136943E-4 | 6.436759E-4 | 1.0488542 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.292164E-7 | 9.292164E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9823503E-6 | 3.9823503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.848411E-5 | 4.848411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8474234E-4 | 4.8474234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7558357E-7 | 8.7558357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.752496E-6 | 3.752496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.568575E-5 | 4.568575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.567702E-4 | 4.567702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.7193414E-7 | 7.7193414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3082852E-6 | 3.3082852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.027769E-5 | 4.027769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0270985E-4 | 4.0270985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.596342E-7 | 7.596342E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2555713E-6 | 3.2555713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.963592E-5 | 3.963592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9629446E-4 | 3.9629446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.904355E-7 | 6.904355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9590062E-6 | 2.9590062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.6025365E-5 | 3.6025365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.60201E-4 | 3.60201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.20097E-7 | 6.20097E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6575563E-6 | 2.6575563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2355325E-5 | 3.2355325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.235117E-4 | 3.235117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.356036E-7 | 5.356036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2954423E-6 | 2.2954423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7946706E-5 | 2.7946706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7943723E-4 | 2.7943723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6045635E-7 | 2.6045635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162413E-6 | 1.1162413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590181E-5 | 1.3590181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.358963E-4 | 1.358963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083455E-5 | 2.1083344E-5 | 1.9022357 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.749973E-5 | 6.749878E-5 | 1.421035 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7816855E-4 | 9.0797775E-4 | 1.5704378 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767913 | 0.0070305876 | 1.2189137 | 0.00127 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083455E-5 | 2.1083344E-5 | 1.9022357 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.749973E-5 | 6.749878E-5 | 1.421035 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7816855E-4 | 9.0797775E-4 | 1.5704378 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767913 | 0.0070305876 | 1.2189137 | 0.00127 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083455E-5 | 2.1083344E-5 | 1.9022357 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.749973E-5 | 6.749878E-5 | 1.421035 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7816855E-4 | 9.0797775E-4 | 1.5704378 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767913 | 0.0070305876 | 1.2189137 | 0.00127 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083455E-5 | 2.1083344E-5 | 1.9022357 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.749973E-5 | 6.749878E-5 | 1.421035 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7816855E-4 | 9.0797775E-4 | 1.5704378 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767913 | 0.0070305876 | 1.2189137 | 0.00127 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083455E-5 | 2.1083344E-5 | 1.9022357 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.749973E-5 | 6.749878E-5 | 1.421035 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7816855E-4 | 9.0797775E-4 | 1.5704378 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767913 | 0.0070305876 | 1.2189137 | 0.00127 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083455E-5 | 2.1083344E-5 | 1.9022357 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.749973E-5 | 6.749878E-5 | 1.421035 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7816855E-4 | 9.0797775E-4 | 1.5704378 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767913 | 0.0070305876 | 1.2189137 | 0.00127 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.938239E-6 | 1.693817E-5 | 2.441278 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9734987E-5 | 3.9734692E-5 | 1.3362942 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6196626E-4 | 5.518975E-4 | 1.5247208 | 1.9E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036140587 | 0.0043015652 | 1.1902311 | 6.9E-4 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.938239E-6 | 1.693817E-5 | 2.441278 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9734987E-5 | 3.9734692E-5 | 1.3362942 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6196626E-4 | 5.518975E-4 | 1.5247208 | 1.9E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036140587 | 0.0043015652 | 1.1902311 | 6.9E-4 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1815214E-6 | 1.5181469E-5 | 2.929925 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2206337E-5 | 3.2206117E-5 | 1.4503119 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.703298E-4 | 4.2028923E-4 | 1.5547278 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0027001258 | 0.0032386677 | 1.1994507 | 5.4E-4 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2543156E-6 | 1.4254273E-5 | 3.3505442 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8232658E-5 | 2.8232476E-5 | 1.5484564 | 1.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2196073E-4 | 3.6192965E-4 | 1.6306022 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0026117235 | 0.002217463 | 0.002676443 | 1.2069843 | 4.6E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.715673E-6 | 1.3715636E-5 | 3.6912925 | 1.0E-5 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5924219E-5 | 2.592406E-5 | 1.6279643 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9386076E-4 | 3.0383942E-4 | 1.5673076 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019369795 | 0.002326224 | 1.2009544 | 3.9E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1135626E-6 | 1.3113531E-5 | 4.211745 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3343774E-5 | 2.3343642E-5 | 1.7494031 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6244891E-4 | 2.3243754E-4 | 1.4308347 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016233578 | 0.0019328545 | 1.1906523 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6069006E-6 | 1.2606874E-5 | 4.835963 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1172386E-5 | 2.1172275E-5 | 1.895054 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.360158E-4 | 1.8600901E-4 | 1.3675543 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013593754 | 0.0015990492 | 1.1763117 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8296748E-6 | 1.1829657E-5 | 6.4654417 | 1.0E-5 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.841441E-6 | 1.7841363E-5 | 2.2752657 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.5465664E-5 | 1.3546184E-4 | 1.4189588 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013866565 | 9.542755E-4 | 0.0011440942 | 1.1989139 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4375755E-6 | 1.1437561E-5 | 7.9561462 | 1.0E-5 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.161025E-6 | 1.6160962E-5 | 2.6230967 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.5008145E-5 | 1.1500515E-4 | 1.5332354 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001177395 | 7.498534E-4 | 9.197259E-4 | 1.226541 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.3627575E-7 | 7.3627575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1554637E-6 | 3.1554637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.84171E-5 | 4.8416714E-5 | 1.2602907 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8410502E-4 | 4.540781E-4 | 1.1821718 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6661393E-7 | 4.6661393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9997724E-6 | 1.9997724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.434696E-5 | 3.4346718E-5 | 1.4107189 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.434432E-4 | 2.734359E-4 | 1.1232021 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5612837E-7 | 1.5612837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6912145E-7 | 6.6912145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.146524E-6 | 1.8146442E-5 | 2.2275074 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.146237E-5 | 9.146156E-5 | 1.1227461 | 1.0E-5 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0402767E-5 | 5.0402363E-5 | 1.2474978 | 1.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7314468E-4 | 1.8314295E-4 | 1.0577452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002106256 | 0.002295856 | 1.0900174 | 1.9E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020888902 | 0.021740729 | 1.0407789 | 8.7E-4 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0402767E-5 | 5.0402363E-5 | 1.2474978 | 1.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7314468E-4 | 1.8314295E-4 | 1.0577452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002106256 | 0.002295856 | 1.0900174 | 1.9E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020888902 | 0.021740729 | 1.0407789 | 8.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1078922E-5 | 3.107871E-5 | 1.4743975 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0335685E-5 | 1.0033478E-4 | 1.1106882 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010993843 | 0.0011593183 | 1.054516 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.0109495595 | 0.011394632 | 1.0406475 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1078922E-5 | 3.107871E-5 | 1.4743975 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0335685E-5 | 1.0033478E-4 | 1.1106882 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010993843 | 0.0011593183 | 1.054516 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.0109495595 | 0.011394632 | 1.0406475 | 4.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9582896E-5 | 2.9582701E-5 | 1.5106397 | 1.0E-5 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.392457E-5 | 9.392373E-5 | 1.1191447 | 1.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010214034 | 0.0010813421 | 1.0586827 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008894307 | 0.010177025 | 0.01059275 | 1.0408494 | 4.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6852106E-5 | 2.6851936E-5 | 1.5933877 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.222183E-5 | 8.2221115E-5 | 1.1384523 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.790398E-4 | 9.2899584E-4 | 1.0568303 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007664232 | 0.008764841 | 0.009121685 | 1.0407132 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3736433E-5 | 2.3736296E-5 | 1.727981 | 1.0E-5 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.88696E-5 | 6.886901E-5 | 1.1698569 | 1.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.1659044E-4 | 7.5656176E-4 | 1.0557799 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071515064 | 0.007449361 | 1.0416492 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1543923E-5 | 2.1543809E-5 | 1.8662466 | 1.0E-5 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.947351E-5 | 5.9473015E-5 | 1.2021184 | 1.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.0226064E-4 | 6.322426E-4 | 1.0497823 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005253921 | 0.006014827 | 0.006283203 | 1.0446191 | 2.7E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7929906E-4 | 6.8929227E-4 | 1.014711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002908162 | 0.002938075 | 1.0102857 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.034959428 | 0.035219986 | 1.0074532 | 2.7E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28803268 | 0.28863785 | 1.0021011 | 8.5E-4 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7929906E-4 | 6.8929227E-4 | 1.014711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002908162 | 0.002938075 | 1.0102857 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.034959428 | 0.035219986 | 1.0074532 | 2.7E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28803268 | 0.28863785 | 1.0021011 | 8.5E-4 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7929906E-4 | 6.8929227E-4 | 1.014711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002908162 | 0.002938075 | 1.0102857 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.034959428 | 0.035219986 | 1.0074532 | 2.7E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28803268 | 0.28863785 | 1.0021011 | 8.5E-4 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7929906E-4 | 6.8929227E-4 | 1.014711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002908162 | 0.002938075 | 1.0102857 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.034959428 | 0.035219986 | 1.0074532 | 2.7E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28803268 | 0.28863785 | 1.0021011 | 8.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3625818E-4 | 4.4625383E-4 | 1.0229123 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018683666 | 0.0018983105 | 1.0160269 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010316478 | 0.022516292 | 0.022750888 | 1.0104189 | 2.4E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.19864634 | 0.19924736 | 1.0030255 | 7.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9176398E-4 | 2.9176398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012498206 | 0.0012697956 | 1.0159823 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015111243 | 0.01531807 | 1.0136869 | 2.1E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13980336 | 0.1404141 | 1.0043685 | 7.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9176398E-4 | 2.9176398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012498206 | 0.0012697956 | 1.0159823 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015111243 | 0.01531807 | 1.0136869 | 2.1E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13980336 | 0.1404141 | 1.0043685 | 7.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4751274E-4 | 2.4751274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010603382 | 0.0010803171 | 1.0188419 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012833514 | 0.013040819 | 1.0161535 | 2.1E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.12095248 | 0.12152386 | 1.004724 | 6.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.4267759E-4 | 2.4267759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010396327 | 0.0010596119 | 1.0192176 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012584356 | 0.012781839 | 1.0156927 | 2.0E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.11890121 | 0.11946511 | 1.0047426 | 6.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.363655E-4 | 2.363655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537184E-4 | 0.0010126021 | 0.0010325819 | 1.019731 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012259002 | 0.01245655 | 1.0161146 | 2.0E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.116196916 | 0.11676255 | 1.0048679 | 6.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.3004302E-4 | 2.3004302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.855266E-4 | 0.0010055068 | 1.0202737 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005285311 | 0.011933009 | 0.012130622 | 1.0165602 | 2.0E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.11345132 | 0.11401871 | 1.0050012 | 6.4E-4 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.2290647E-4 | 2.2290647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.54964E-4 | 9.749449E-4 | 1.0209231 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011564914 | 0.011762601 | 1.0170937 | 2.0E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.11033041 | 0.1108998 | 1.0051608 | 6.4E-4 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1651713E-4 | 2.1651713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.276009E-4 | 9.4758236E-4 | 1.021541 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005018219 | 0.011235251 | 0.011433004 | 1.0176011 | 2.0E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.10752136 | 0.108092554 | 1.0053123 | 6.4E-4 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9869221E-4 | 1.9869221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.5126027E-4 | 8.712432E-4 | 1.0234746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004746591 | 0.010314962 | 0.010512899 | 1.0191894 | 2.0E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.09968619 | 0.10026239 | 1.0057801 | 6.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.9113309E-4 | 1.9113309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.188847E-4 | 8.388683E-4 | 1.0244035 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009924449 | 0.010122464 | 1.0199523 | 2.0E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.096308246 | 0.096886605 | 1.0060053 | 6.4E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.844066E-4 | 1.844066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.900747E-4 | 8.100589E-4 | 1.0252941 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004516484 | 0.009576825 | 0.00977491 | 1.0206838 | 2.0E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.093260564 | 0.09383181 | 1.0061252 | 6.3E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7823212E-4 | 1.7823212E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.636284E-4 | 7.836131E-4 | 1.0261707 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009257623 | 0.009455772 | 1.0214038 | 2.0E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.09040836 | 0.09098141 | 1.0063384 | 6.3E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.7341145E-4 | 1.7341145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.429803E-4 | 7.629654E-4 | 1.0268986 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004300386 | 0.00900834 | 0.009206538 | 1.0220016 | 2.0E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.08814439 | 0.08870974 | 1.0064139 | 6.2E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.56298E-4 | 1.56298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.696767E-4 | 6.896633E-4 | 1.0298451 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038772223 | 0.0081228865 | 0.008291505 | 1.0207585 | 1.7E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.07984187 | 0.08032955 | 1.0061082 | 5.3E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.02436694E-4 | 1.02436694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.3894054E-4 | 4.3894054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005331018 | 0.0054105916 | 1.0149266 | 8.0E-5 | 0.027066574 | 0.05330753 | 0.05361994 | 1.0058604 | 3.3E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.5453507E-5 | 5.5453507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3763625E-4 | 2.3763625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028893847 | 0.002909327 | 1.0069019 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.029510397 | 0.029568627 | 1.0019732 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9966586E-5 | 1.9966586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.556828E-5 | 8.556828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010412966 | 0.0010412966 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009693642 | 0.011142442 | 0.011142442 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.710184E-6 | 5.710184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.4471987E-5 | 2.4471987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.979058E-4 | 2.979058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0033771489 | 0.0033771489 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077313E-7 | 8.077313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2145413E-5 | 4.2145413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9589813E-4 | 4.9589813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9822195E-4 | 1.9822195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.492463E-4 | 8.892123E-4 | 1.0470606 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.01029069 | 0.01052822 | 1.023082 | 2.4E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10015862 | 0.10094148 | 1.0078162 | 8.7E-4 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9822195E-4 | 1.9822195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.492463E-4 | 8.892123E-4 | 1.0470606 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.01029069 | 0.01052822 | 1.023082 | 2.4E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10015862 | 0.10094148 | 1.0078162 | 8.7E-4 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9822195E-4 | 1.9822195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.492463E-4 | 8.892123E-4 | 1.0470606 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.01029069 | 0.01052822 | 1.023082 | 2.4E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10015862 | 0.10094148 | 1.0078162 | 8.7E-4 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9822195E-4 | 1.9822195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.492463E-4 | 8.892123E-4 | 1.0470606 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.01029069 | 0.01052822 | 1.023082 | 2.4E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10015862 | 0.10094148 | 1.0078162 | 8.7E-4 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9822195E-4 | 1.9822195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.492463E-4 | 8.892123E-4 | 1.0470606 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.01029069 | 0.01052822 | 1.023082 | 2.4E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.10015862 | 0.10094148 | 1.0078162 | 8.7E-4 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9795836E-4 | 1.9795836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.4811734E-4 | 8.880834E-4 | 1.0471233 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010277075 | 0.010514609 | 1.0231129 | 2.4E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.10003621 | 0.10081918 | 1.0078268 | 8.7E-4 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9795836E-4 | 1.9795836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.4811734E-4 | 8.880834E-4 | 1.0471233 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010277075 | 0.010514609 | 1.0231129 | 2.4E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.10003621 | 0.10081918 | 1.0078268 | 8.7E-4 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.978574E-4 | 1.978574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.476849E-4 | 8.8765105E-4 | 1.0471474 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051293927 | 0.01027186 | 0.010509395 | 1.0231248 | 2.4E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.09998932 | 0.10077232 | 1.007831 | 8.7E-4 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9770778E-4 | 1.9770778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.470441E-4 | 8.8701025E-4 | 1.047183 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010264131 | 0.010501668 | 1.0231423 | 2.4E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.09991915 | 0.10070222 | 1.007837 | 8.7E-4 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9738557E-4 | 1.9738557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.456641E-4 | 8.8563026E-4 | 1.04726 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051141046 | 0.0102474885 | 0.010485029 | 1.0231804 | 2.4E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.099767774 | 0.10055097 | 1.0078503 | 8.7E-4 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9669443E-4 | 1.9669443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.42704E-4 | 8.826703E-4 | 1.0474262 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005091073 | 0.010211787 | 0.010449337 | 1.0232623 | 2.4E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.09944244 | 0.100225925 | 1.0078788 | 8.7E-4 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9570503E-4 | 1.9570503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.3846645E-4 | 8.784329E-4 | 1.0476662 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005055068 | 0.010160677 | 0.010398239 | 1.0233805 | 2.4E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.09897676 | 0.09976065 | 1.0079199 | 8.7E-4 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.950082E-4 | 1.950082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.354819E-4 | 8.7544846E-4 | 1.0478365 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050299936 | 0.01012468 | 0.010362249 | 1.0234644 | 2.4E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.098648556 | 0.09943274 | 1.0079492 | 8.7E-4 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9452747E-4 | 1.9452747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.33423E-4 | 8.7338965E-4 | 1.0479548 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050112694 | 0.010099845 | 0.010337421 | 1.0235227 | 2.4E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.098419756 | 0.09920413 | 1.0079697 | 8.7E-4 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.9391891E-4 | 1.9391891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.308165E-4 | 8.707833E-4 | 1.0481054 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0049933824 | 0.0100684045 | 0.010305988 | 1.023597 | 2.4E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.098135225 | 0.098919846 | 1.0079954 | 8.7E-4 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.9337382E-4 | 1.9337382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.284819E-4 | 8.684488E-4 | 1.048241 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0049769743 | 0.010040243 | 0.010277834 | 1.0236638 | 2.4E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.09787939 | 0.09866423 | 1.0080185 | 8.7E-4 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.8986166E-4 | 1.8986166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0357444E-4 | 8.1343926E-4 | 8.5340673E-4 | 1.0491339 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004902454 | 0.00985877 | 0.010096404 | 1.0241038 | 2.4E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.096254535 | 0.097040795 | 1.0081686 | 8.7E-4 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6400055E-4 | 1.6400055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.51473E-4 | 7.0267025E-4 | 7.426421E-4 | 1.0568857 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00427079 | 0.008521513 | 0.008759468 | 1.0279241 | 2.4E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.08392585 | 0.08463123 | 1.0084047 | 7.7E-4 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4857267E-4 | 1.4857267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.365847E-4 | 6.5657194E-4 | 1.0313977 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003794643 | 0.0077229207 | 0.0078916075 | 1.0218424 | 1.7E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.07626111 | 0.076750696 | 1.0064198 | 5.3E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.0285469E-4 | 1.0285469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.4073135E-4 | 4.4073135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0053527146 | 0.0054322863 | 1.0148656 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02772022 | 0.053545285 | 0.053857613 | 1.005833 | 3.3E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.5652887E-5 | 5.5652887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3849057E-4 | 2.3849057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028997585 | 0.0029197005 | 1.0068772 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.029630445 | 0.029688666 | 1.0019649 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 2.0066449E-5 | 2.0066449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.599623E-5 | 8.599623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010465019 | 0.0010465019 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009943757 | 0.011203583 | 0.011203583 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.725082E-6 | 5.725082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4535833E-5 | 2.4535833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9868292E-4 | 2.9868292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003385521 | 0.003385521 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077313E-7 | 8.077313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2145413E-5 | 4.2145413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9589813E-4 | 4.9589813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5666062E-5 | 2.5666062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0999287E-4 | 1.19991775E-4 | 1.090905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013383576 | 0.0015281033 | 1.141775 | 1.9E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013306415 | 0.014115503 | 1.0608044 | 8.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5666062E-5 | 2.5666062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0999287E-4 | 1.19991775E-4 | 1.090905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013383576 | 0.0015281033 | 1.141775 | 1.9E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013306415 | 0.014115503 | 1.0608044 | 8.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5666062E-5 | 2.5666062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0999287E-4 | 1.19991775E-4 | 1.090905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013383576 | 0.0015281033 | 1.141775 | 1.9E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013306415 | 0.014115503 | 1.0608044 | 8.2E-4 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5165748E-5 | 2.5165748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0784884E-4 | 1.1784776E-4 | 1.0927124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013122855 | 0.0015020362 | 1.1445955 | 1.9E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013048775 | 0.013788988 | 1.0567267 | 7.5E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5165748E-5 | 2.5165748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0784884E-4 | 1.1784776E-4 | 1.0927124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013122855 | 0.0015020362 | 1.1445955 | 1.9E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013048775 | 0.013788988 | 1.0567267 | 7.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4854766E-5 | 2.4854766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0651617E-4 | 1.16515104E-4 | 1.0938724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012960796 | 0.0014758464 | 1.1387004 | 1.8E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.012888603 | 0.013599323 | 1.0551434 | 7.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3350423E-5 | 2.3350423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115732E-5 | 1.0006948E-4 | 1.1006848E-4 | 1.0999205 | 1.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012176797 | 0.0013874726 | 1.1394398 | 1.7E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012113309 | 0.012794951 | 1.0562721 | 6.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.295043E-5 | 2.295043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.835536E-5 | 1.08354376E-4 | 1.1016622 | 1.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011968333 | 0.0013666298 | 1.1418715 | 1.7E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011907108 | 0.012579012 | 1.0564288 | 6.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1840342E-5 | 2.1840342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.359819E-5 | 1.0359725E-4 | 1.1068296 | 1.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011389763 | 0.001298794 | 1.1403171 | 1.6E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011335045 | 0.01196779 | 1.055822 | 6.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5319105E-5 | 1.5319105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.565169E-5 | 6.565169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.990227E-4 | 8.9894276E-4 | 1.1250529 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007962975 | 0.0084391525 | 1.059799 | 4.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3165909E-5 | 1.3165909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6424138E-5 | 5.6424138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.8675313E-4 | 7.467119E-4 | 1.0873077 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0059864987 | 0.006847578 | 0.0072349072 | 1.0565645 | 3.9E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.08736795E-5 | 1.08736795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6600675E-5 | 4.6600675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.672198E-4 | 5.772141E-4 | 1.0176198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005658261 | 0.0058074123 | 1.0263599 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0294077E-5 | 1.0294077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.411675E-5 | 4.411675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.3699326E-4 | 5.469879E-4 | 1.0186123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.005357389 | 0.005486693 | 1.0241356 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.815281E-6 | 9.815281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2064836E-5 | 4.2064836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.120232E-4 | 5.220181E-4 | 1.0195204 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.0051088626 | 0.0052282494 | 1.0233686 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.714254E-6 | 9.714254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1631873E-5 | 4.1631873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.067544E-4 | 5.1674934E-4 | 1.0197234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.005056415 | 0.005165859 | 1.0216446 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.611852E-6 | 9.611852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1193027E-5 | 4.1193027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.014139E-4 | 5.1140884E-4 | 1.0199336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.0050032516 | 0.0051127016 | 1.0218757 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.29076E-6 | 9.29076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.981696E-5 | 3.981696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8466786E-4 | 4.94663E-4 | 1.0206227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048365328 | 0.004946001 | 1.0226336 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.351368E-6 | 8.351368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5791105E-5 | 3.5791105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3567363E-4 | 4.4566928E-4 | 1.022943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.004348601 | 0.004458123 | 1.0251855 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6495337E-7 | 3.6495337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9040985E-4 | 2.0040794E-4 | 1.0525082 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933774E-6 | 1.3933774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0194071E-5 | 1.0194071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3688204E-5 | 5.3687767E-5 | 1.2288847 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3178443E-4 | 6.9169933E-4 | 1.3007138 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005306147 | 0.00604222 | 1.1387209 | 7.4E-4 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0194071E-5 | 1.0194071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3688204E-5 | 5.3687767E-5 | 1.2288847 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3178443E-4 | 6.9169933E-4 | 1.3007138 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005306147 | 0.00604222 | 1.1387209 | 7.4E-4 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6972054E-6 | 4.6972054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0130734E-5 | 2.0130734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4506537E-4 | 3.2504578E-4 | 1.3263634 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024480775 | 0.0027473432 | 1.1222452 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6972054E-6 | 4.6972054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0130734E-5 | 2.0130734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4506537E-4 | 3.2504578E-4 | 1.3263634 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024480775 | 0.0027473432 | 1.1222452 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5105993E-6 | 3.5105993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5045343E-5 | 1.5045343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.831625E-4 | 2.3315335E-4 | 1.2729317 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018301983 | 0.0020597775 | 1.1254394 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9284624E-6 | 2.9284624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2550497E-5 | 1.2550497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5279233E-4 | 2.027847E-4 | 1.3271916 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015269467 | 0.001736626 | 1.1373193 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3295763E-6 | 2.3295763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.983864E-6 | 9.983864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2154739E-4 | 1.4154497E-4 | 1.1645249 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011741214 | 0.001214871 | 0.0013347251 | 1.0986559 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9595861E-6 | 1.9595861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.398202E-6 | 8.398202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.022439E-4 | 1.2224185E-4 | 1.1955907 | 2.0E-5 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010220262 | 0.0011119342 | 1.0879704 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5442013E-6 | 1.5442013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6179914E-6 | 6.6179914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.057159E-5 | 9.0570786E-5 | 1.1241032 | 1.0E-5 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.054749E-4 | 8.8541047E-4 | 1.0992403 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1419373E-7 | 7.1419373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0608285E-6 | 3.0608285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.726527E-5 | 3.726527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7262146E-4 | 4.0261028E-4 | 1.0804807 | 3.0E-5 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894931E-6 | 1.3894893E-5 | 3.5674293 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669248E-5 | 3.6692145E-5 | 2.1981244 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321636E-4 | 3.531859E-4 | 1.7379795 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307347 | 0.0027193334 | 1.3390886 | 6.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894931E-6 | 1.3894893E-5 | 3.5674293 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669248E-5 | 3.6692145E-5 | 2.1981244 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321636E-4 | 3.531859E-4 | 1.7379795 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307347 | 0.0027193334 | 1.3390886 | 6.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894931E-6 | 1.3894893E-5 | 3.5674293 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669248E-5 | 3.6692145E-5 | 2.1981244 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321636E-4 | 3.531859E-4 | 1.7379795 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307347 | 0.0027193334 | 1.3390886 | 6.9E-4 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894931E-6 | 1.3894893E-5 | 3.5674293 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669248E-5 | 3.6692145E-5 | 2.1981244 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321636E-4 | 3.531859E-4 | 1.7379795 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307347 | 0.0027193334 | 1.3390886 | 6.9E-4 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894931E-6 | 1.3894893E-5 | 3.5674293 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669248E-5 | 3.6692145E-5 | 2.1981244 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321636E-4 | 3.531859E-4 | 1.7379795 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307347 | 0.0027193334 | 1.3390886 | 6.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2032037E-6 | 1.2032037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.156578E-6 | 1.5156526E-5 | 2.9392607 | 1.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277965E-5 | 9.2777766E-5 | 1.4778318 | 3.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2763086E-4 | 7.5754925E-4 | 1.2069981 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2032037E-6 | 1.2032037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.156578E-6 | 1.5156526E-5 | 2.9392607 | 1.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277965E-5 | 9.2777766E-5 | 1.4778318 | 3.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2763086E-4 | 7.5754925E-4 | 1.2069981 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.411917E-7 | 8.411917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6051026E-6 | 1.3605067E-5 | 3.7738361 | 1.0E-5 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3891298E-5 | 6.3890424E-5 | 1.4556512 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.38832E-4 | 5.287925E-4 | 1.2049999 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.393256E-7 | 6.393256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7399642E-6 | 1.2739937E-5 | 4.6496725 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3358592E-5 | 5.3357926E-5 | 1.5995257 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.3353965E-4 | 3.9351964E-4 | 1.1798286 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.346353E-7 | 5.346353E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2912923E-6 | 1.229127E-5 | 5.3643394 | 1.0E-5 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7896162E-5 | 4.7895603E-5 | 1.7169245 | 2.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.7892992E-4 | 2.9892434E-4 | 1.0716826 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.533284E-7 | 3.533284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5142638E-6 | 1.1514248E-5 | 7.603859 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8436014E-5 | 3.8435646E-5 | 2.084813 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8434568E-4 | 2.0434201E-4 | 1.1084719 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.001003E-7 | 3.001003E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2861436E-6 | 1.1286131E-5 | 8.775171 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5658694E-5 | 3.565838E-5 | 2.2772257 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5657666E-4 | 1.7657352E-4 | 1.127713 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0224054E-7 | 2.0224054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.6674487E-7 | 8.6674487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0552572E-5 | 2.0552467E-5 | 1.9476262 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.05521176E-4 | 1.15520124E-4 | 1.0947577 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0640794E-7 | 1.0640794E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5603397E-7 | 4.5603397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.5522014E-6 | 5.5522014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5520828E-5 | 5.5520828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3987504E-5 | 6.398663E-5 | 1.4546546 | 2.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8850522E-4 | 2.1849957E-4 | 1.1591167 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022928077 | 0.002482372 | 1.0826778 | 1.9E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022709556 | 0.023305703 | 1.026251 | 6.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3987504E-5 | 6.398663E-5 | 1.4546546 | 2.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8850522E-4 | 2.1849957E-4 | 1.1591167 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022928077 | 0.002482372 | 1.0826778 | 1.9E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022709556 | 0.023305703 | 1.026251 | 6.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3987504E-5 | 6.398663E-5 | 1.4546546 | 2.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8850522E-4 | 2.1849957E-4 | 1.1591167 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022928077 | 0.002482372 | 1.0826778 | 1.9E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022709556 | 0.023305703 | 1.026251 | 6.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5364858E-5 | 3.5364606E-5 | 1.3942362 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0870212E-4 | 1.2869995E-4 | 1.183969 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013226648 | 0.0013725987 | 1.0377525 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.013150142 | 0.013327775 | 1.0135081 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5364858E-5 | 3.5364606E-5 | 1.3942362 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0870212E-4 | 1.2869995E-4 | 1.183969 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013226648 | 0.0013725987 | 1.0377525 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.013150142 | 0.013327775 | 1.0135081 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0672003E-5 | 3.0671796E-5 | 1.483736 | 1.0E-5 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.859136E-5 | 1.08589586E-4 | 1.2257357 | 2.0E-5 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010780778 | 0.0011180347 | 1.0370631 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009036654 | 0.010729774 | 0.010848487 | 1.0110638 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7688297E-5 | 2.7688118E-5 | 1.5653356 | 1.0E-5 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.5804826E-5 | 9.5803305E-5 | 1.2638154 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.2254084E-4 | 9.6250395E-4 | 1.0433185 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007902439 | 0.009187974 | 0.009296963 | 1.0118622 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5272128E-5 | 2.5271975E-5 | 1.6547776 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.545037E-5 | 8.544906E-5 | 1.3055551 | 2.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.965727E-4 | 8.2654884E-4 | 1.0376314 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006928845 | 0.007937805 | 0.008037011 | 1.0124979 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3038227E-5 | 2.3038096E-5 | 1.7669655 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5876942E-5 | 7.5875825E-5 | 1.3579094 | 2.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.8009365E-4 | 7.100733E-4 | 1.0440816 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067805755 | 0.0068699652 | 1.0131832 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1521136E-5 | 2.152102E-5 | 1.86796 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9375383E-5 | 6.937439E-5 | 1.4050401 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.009831E-4 | 6.209711E-4 | 1.0332588 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.005993958 | 0.0060535986 | 1.00995 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.997129E-6 | 1.899704E-5 | 2.1114557 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.855857E-5 | 4.8558184E-5 | 1.2593358 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6935186E-4 | 4.7934716E-4 | 1.021296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.004683854 | 0.00473362 | 1.010625 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5209696E-6 | 7.5209696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.223234E-5 | 3.223234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9236023E-4 | 3.9236023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003541148 | 0.0039168913 | 0.003946774 | 1.0076292 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.2848235E-6 | 6.2848235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6934691E-5 | 2.6934691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.278825E-4 | 3.278825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032741863 | 0.0032941208 | 1.0060884 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.7093235E-6 | 4.7093235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0182668E-5 | 2.0182668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4569812E-4 | 2.4569812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024544457 | 0.0024644213 | 1.0040642 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8524778E-6 | 2.8524778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2224857E-5 | 1.2224857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4882912E-4 | 1.4882912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014874566 | 0.0014874566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.564179E-8 | 4.564179E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9560767E-7 | 1.9560767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3815212E-6 | 2.3815212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3815013E-5 | 2.3815013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1962927E-4 | 3.1962927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013691266 | 0.001379113 | 1.0072939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016543234 | 0.016661247 | 1.0071337 | 1.2E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15180719 | 0.15218888 | 1.0025142 | 4.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1962927E-4 | 3.1962927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013691266 | 0.001379113 | 1.0072939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016543234 | 0.016661247 | 1.0071337 | 1.2E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15180719 | 0.15218888 | 1.0025142 | 4.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1962927E-4 | 3.1962927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013691266 | 0.001379113 | 1.0072939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016543234 | 0.016661247 | 1.0071337 | 1.2E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15180719 | 0.15218888 | 1.0025142 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0865966E-4 | 3.0865966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013221621 | 0.0013321489 | 1.0075533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015979933 | 0.016098015 | 1.0073894 | 1.2E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14710937 | 0.14749317 | 1.0026089 | 4.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0865966E-4 | 3.0865966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013221621 | 0.0013321489 | 1.0075533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015979933 | 0.016098015 | 1.0073894 | 1.2E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14710937 | 0.14749317 | 1.0026089 | 4.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.9277802E-4 | 2.9277802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012541647 | 0.0012641521 | 1.0079634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015163814 | 0.015281995 | 1.0077935 | 1.2E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.14024444 | 0.14062272 | 1.0026973 | 4.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5709916E-4 | 2.5709916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0011013907 | 0.0011113796 | 1.0090694 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005788839 | 0.01332763 | 0.01344603 | 1.0088838 | 1.2E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.12449476 | 0.124871224 | 1.003024 | 4.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3842313E-4 | 2.3842313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010214146 | 0.0010314045 | 1.0097803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012365249 | 0.012483764 | 1.0095847 | 1.2E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.11626491 | 0.1166184 | 1.0030404 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2363261E-4 | 2.2363261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.580742E-4 | 9.680646E-4 | 1.0104276 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011602441 | 0.011711164 | 1.0093708 | 1.1E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.10965912 | 0.110006355 | 1.0031664 | 3.9E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.181738E-4 | 2.181738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.346962E-4 | 9.446868E-4 | 1.0106887 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048866454 | 0.0113208005 | 0.011429556 | 1.0096066 | 1.1E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.10724443 | 0.107592605 | 1.0032465 | 3.9E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.1142152E-4 | 2.1142152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.900265E-4 | 9.057782E-4 | 9.1576914E-4 | 1.0110302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047382377 | 0.01097232 | 0.0110811135 | 1.0099152 | 1.1E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.10420709 | 0.10455645 | 1.0033525 | 3.9E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0314254E-4 | 2.0314254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.7032095E-4 | 8.8031223E-4 | 1.01148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045664064 | 0.01054488 | 0.01065372 | 1.0103216 | 1.1E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.100509115 | 0.10085992 | 1.0034902 | 3.9E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8714606E-4 | 1.8714606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4636928E-4 | 8.0180814E-4 | 8.118001E-4 | 1.0124618 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042088944 | 0.00971843 | 0.009827361 | 1.0112087 | 1.1E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.09322709 | 0.09358073 | 1.0037934 | 3.9E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7652339E-4 | 1.7652339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.5630954E-4 | 7.66302E-4 | 1.0132121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009169276 | 0.009278268 | 1.0118866 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.088478684 | 0.08883418 | 1.0040178 | 3.9E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.686805E-4 | 1.686805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.227162E-4 | 7.32709E-4 | 1.0138267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008763641 | 0.008872677 | 1.0124419 | 1.1E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.0849217 | 0.08527858 | 1.0042025 | 3.9E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.6151537E-4 | 1.6151537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.920252E-4 | 7.0201827E-4 | 1.0144403 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003788775 | 0.008392918 | 0.008501995 | 1.0129963 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.081626266 | 0.08197525 | 1.0042753 | 3.8E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5718711E-4 | 1.5718711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.734852E-4 | 6.834785E-4 | 1.0148381 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037076178 | 0.00816891 | 0.008278011 | 1.0133557 | 1.1E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.07960819 | 0.07995794 | 1.0043933 | 3.8E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4620222E-4 | 1.4620222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.2643056E-4 | 6.364243E-4 | 1.0159534 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003495157 | 0.007600162 | 0.007709326 | 1.0143634 | 1.1E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07441225 | 0.07476397 | 1.0047266 | 3.8E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3488678E-4 | 1.3488678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.779582E-4 | 5.879524E-4 | 1.0172923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0070139687 | 0.007123197 | 1.015573 | 1.1E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.06900974 | 0.06936352 | 1.0051265 | 3.8E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.9494035E-5 | 9.9494035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.2633334E-4 | 4.2633334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0051782657 | 0.0052578514 | 1.0153692 | 8.0E-5 | 0.025666296 | 0.051701598 | 0.052005053 | 1.0058694 | 3.2E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.4637687E-5 | 5.4637687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.3414052E-4 | 2.3414052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0028469362 | 0.0028668793 | 1.0070051 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.029011382 | 0.029069642 | 1.0020082 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.9449124E-5 | 1.9449124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.335073E-5 | 8.335073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 0.0010143233 | 0.0010143233 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009055517 | 0.0108088115 | 0.0108088115 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.3848103E-6 | 5.3848103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.3077555E-5 | 2.3077555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.8093308E-4 | 2.8093308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0031667468 | 0.0031667468 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077313E-7 | 8.077313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2145413E-5 | 4.2145413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9589813E-4 | 4.9589813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6704418E-5 | 1.6704418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.158853E-5 | 8.1587816E-5 | 1.1396772 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.712654E-4 | 9.511957E-4 | 1.0917405 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008680878 | 0.0091269715 | 1.051388 | 4.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6704418E-5 | 1.6704418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.158853E-5 | 8.1587816E-5 | 1.1396772 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.712654E-4 | 9.511957E-4 | 1.0917405 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008680878 | 0.0091269715 | 1.051388 | 4.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6704418E-5 | 1.6704418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.158853E-5 | 8.1587816E-5 | 1.1396772 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.712654E-4 | 9.511957E-4 | 1.0917405 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008680878 | 0.0091269715 | 1.051388 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1895718E-5 | 1.1895718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0980685E-5 | 5.0980685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2051904E-4 | 6.405066E-4 | 1.0322111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061884727 | 0.006377297 | 1.0305122 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1895718E-5 | 1.1895718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0980685E-5 | 5.0980685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2051904E-4 | 6.405066E-4 | 1.0322111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061884727 | 0.006377297 | 1.0305122 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0626428E-5 | 1.0626428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.5541066E-5 | 4.5541066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5432634E-4 | 5.7431526E-4 | 1.0360599 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055299364 | 0.005639328 | 1.0197817 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.165205E-6 | 9.165205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.9278882E-5 | 3.9278882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7811936E-4 | 4.7811936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0047713043 | 0.004831018 | 1.0125152 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.412558E-6 | 8.412558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.605334E-5 | 3.605334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3886472E-4 | 4.3886472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003753043 | 0.0043803495 | 0.0044301306 | 1.0113646 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.847212E-6 | 7.847212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3630495E-5 | 3.3630495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0937794E-4 | 4.0937794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003487206 | 0.004086596 | 0.0041363914 | 1.0121851 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1353356E-6 | 7.1353356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.057967E-5 | 3.057967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.722473E-4 | 3.722473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037165761 | 0.003726539 | 1.0026807 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0841873E-6 | 5.0841873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1789201E-5 | 2.1789201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.6525278E-4 | 2.6525278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021547892 | 0.002649515 | 0.0026594885 | 1.0037643 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.635555E-6 | 4.635555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9866522E-5 | 1.9866522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4184957E-4 | 2.4184957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024160144 | 0.0024259903 | 1.004129 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.1601697E-6 | 4.1601697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7829185E-5 | 1.7829185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1705021E-4 | 2.1705021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021685304 | 0.0021785088 | 1.0046014 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6322974E-6 | 3.6322974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5566904E-5 | 1.5566904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8951205E-4 | 1.8951205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018936499 | 0.0019036309 | 1.0052708 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8905272E-6 | 2.8905272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2387923E-5 | 1.2387923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5081395E-4 | 1.5081395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015072577 | 0.0015172426 | 1.0066246 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5144946E-6 | 1.5144946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4906817E-6 | 6.4906817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.902244E-5 | 7.902244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.900661E-4 | 7.900661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6045635E-7 | 2.6045635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162413E-6 | 1.1162413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590181E-5 | 1.3590181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.358963E-4 | 1.358963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2114738E-5 | 3.2114516E-5 | 1.4521772 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.477477E-5 | 1.0477382E-4 | 1.1055033 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011534072 | 0.0012433034 | 1.0779396 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.011487541 | 0.011892831 | 1.0352808 | 4.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2114738E-5 | 3.2114516E-5 | 1.4521772 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.477477E-5 | 1.0477382E-4 | 1.1055033 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011534072 | 0.0012433034 | 1.0779396 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.011487541 | 0.011892831 | 1.0352808 | 4.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1264613E-5 | 2.12645E-5 | 1.8877258 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8276313E-5 | 5.827583E-5 | 1.2071309 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.876577E-4 | 6.276342E-4 | 1.0680268 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052028033 | 0.0058661504 | 0.006124625 | 1.0440621 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0806967E-5 | 2.080686E-5 | 1.925319 | 1.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6315046E-5 | 5.631458E-5 | 1.2159026 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.637917E-4 | 6.037692E-4 | 1.0709082 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056287115 | 0.005887248 | 1.0459317 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0806967E-5 | 2.080686E-5 | 1.925319 | 1.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6315046E-5 | 5.631458E-5 | 1.2159026 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.637917E-4 | 6.037692E-4 | 1.0709082 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056287115 | 0.005887248 | 1.0459317 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.290814E-6 | 1.629075E-5 | 2.5896094 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6960504E-5 | 3.6960235E-5 | 1.3709029 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2822162E-4 | 3.4821505E-4 | 1.0609144 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032800091 | 0.0034394844 | 1.0486203 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.517866E-6 | 1.5517811E-5 | 2.8122847 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3647932E-5 | 3.3647695E-5 | 1.42286 | 1.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8790176E-4 | 2.978989E-4 | 1.0347241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002540112 | 0.002877861 | 0.0030174581 | 1.0485072 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5196703E-6 | 1.45196245E-5 | 3.2125409 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9370014E-5 | 2.9369821E-5 | 1.5162519 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3582992E-4 | 2.4582757E-4 | 1.0423934 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023582992 | 0.0024780163 | 1.0507641 | 1.2E-4 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.879115E-5 | 1.879115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.0531674E-5 | 9.053087E-5 | 1.1241647 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.801497E-4 | 0.0010700615 | 1.0917327 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008707083 | 0.00976983 | 0.010126313 | 1.0364882 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0981493E-5 | 1.0981493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.706309E-5 | 4.706309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7291356E-4 | 6.3287915E-4 | 1.1046679 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005721334 | 0.005979846 | 1.0451839 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0981493E-5 | 1.0981493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.706309E-5 | 4.706309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7291356E-4 | 6.3287915E-4 | 1.1046679 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005721334 | 0.005979846 | 1.0451839 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781261E-6 | 4.781261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0491087E-5 | 2.0491087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4947347E-4 | 2.894635E-4 | 1.1602976 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024941955 | 0.0026039213 | 1.0439924 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781261E-6 | 4.781261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0491087E-5 | 2.0491087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4947347E-4 | 2.894635E-4 | 1.1602976 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024941955 | 0.0026039213 | 1.0439924 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781261E-6 | 4.781261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0491087E-5 | 2.0491087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4947347E-4 | 2.894635E-4 | 1.1602976 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024941955 | 0.0026039213 | 1.0439924 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.7641174E-6 | 4.7641174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0417616E-5 | 2.0417616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.485792E-4 | 2.7857174E-4 | 1.1206559 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024852727 | 0.002585024 | 1.040137 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.2739393E-6 | 4.2739393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8316883E-5 | 1.8316883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2300806E-4 | 2.5300137E-4 | 1.1344943 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022300805 | 0.0023298576 | 1.0447414 | 1.0E-4 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8684195E-5 | 1.8684195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0072714E-5 | 8.0072714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.744569E-4 | 0.0010543789 | 1.0820171 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009702695 | 0.010039396 | 1.0347018 | 3.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8684195E-5 | 1.8684195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0072714E-5 | 8.0072714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.744569E-4 | 0.0010543789 | 1.0820171 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009702695 | 0.010039396 | 1.0347018 | 3.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8684195E-5 | 1.8684195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0072714E-5 | 8.0072714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.744569E-4 | 0.0010543789 | 1.0820171 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009702695 | 0.010039396 | 1.0347018 | 3.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8684195E-5 | 1.8684195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0072714E-5 | 8.0072714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.744569E-4 | 0.0010543789 | 1.0820171 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009702695 | 0.010039396 | 1.0347018 | 3.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7351147E-5 | 1.7351147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4359974E-5 | 7.4359974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0496277E-4 | 9.6490845E-4 | 1.066241 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009013462 | 0.009290938 | 1.0307846 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7351147E-5 | 1.7351147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4359974E-5 | 7.4359974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0496277E-4 | 9.6490845E-4 | 1.066241 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009013462 | 0.009290938 | 1.0307846 | 2.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6821687E-5 | 1.6821687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.209099E-5 | 7.209099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.7736023E-4 | 9.273164E-4 | 1.0569391 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00781795 | 0.00873962 | 0.008997348 | 1.0294895 | 2.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6368233E-5 | 1.6368233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.014771E-5 | 7.014771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5371954E-4 | 9.0367685E-4 | 1.0585172 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007607299 | 0.008505037 | 0.008742996 | 1.0279785 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5893924E-5 | 1.5893924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.811507E-5 | 6.811507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.2899106E-4 | 8.7894965E-4 | 1.0602642 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007386771 | 0.008259603 | 0.008467869 | 1.0252149 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5416128E-5 | 1.5416128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.606748E-5 | 6.606748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.040802E-4 | 8.5404E-4 | 1.0621328 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008012305 | 0.008210702 | 1.0247616 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5199541E-5 | 1.5199541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.513929E-5 | 6.513929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.9278776E-4 | 8.3275605E-4 | 1.0504149 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.007900189 | 0.008088687 | 1.0238601 | 1.9E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4992582E-5 | 1.4992582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.425237E-5 | 6.425237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.819973E-4 | 8.119738E-4 | 1.0383333 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.0077930456 | 0.00796172 | 1.0216444 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4690596E-5 | 1.4690596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.295821E-5 | 6.295821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.6625205E-4 | 7.9622905E-4 | 1.0391216 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.007636685 | 0.007805387 | 1.0220909 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4464669E-5 | 1.4464669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.1989995E-5 | 6.1989995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.5447233E-4 | 7.844497E-4 | 1.0397329 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.007519691 | 0.0076884124 | 1.0224373 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4294536E-5 | 1.4294536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.126089E-5 | 6.126089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4560154E-4 | 7.755792E-4 | 1.040206 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0074315798 | 0.0075903907 | 1.0213697 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4022605E-5 | 1.4022605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.0095525E-5 | 6.0095525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.314228E-4 | 7.614009E-4 | 1.040986 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.007290732 | 0.0074495655 | 1.0217856 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2657722E-5 | 1.2657722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4246284E-5 | 5.4246284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.602537E-4 | 6.802405E-4 | 1.0302714 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.006583474 | 0.0067126183 | 1.0196164 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02911345E-5 | 1.02911345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4104145E-5 | 4.4104145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.368407E-4 | 5.4683536E-4 | 1.0186175 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0053559504 | 0.005475308 | 1.022285 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6495337E-7 | 3.6495337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9040985E-4 | 2.0040794E-4 | 1.0525082 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933774E-6 | 1.3933774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.024046E-4 | 3.024046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012954022 | 0.0012954022 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006416472 | 0.01566247 | 0.015701843 | 1.0025139 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14369501 | 0.14389196 | 1.0013707 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.024046E-4 | 3.024046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012954022 | 0.0012954022 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006416472 | 0.01566247 | 0.015701843 | 1.0025139 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14369501 | 0.14389196 | 1.0013707 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.024046E-4 | 3.024046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012954022 | 0.0012954022 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006416472 | 0.01566247 | 0.015701843 | 1.0025139 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14369501 | 0.14389196 | 1.0013707 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.9026184E-4 | 2.9026184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012434121 | 0.0012434121 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006093008 | 0.015038347 | 0.015077746 | 1.0026199 | 4.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.1384105 | 0.13860866 | 1.0014317 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.9026184E-4 | 2.9026184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012434121 | 0.0012434121 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006093008 | 0.015038347 | 0.015077746 | 1.0026199 | 4.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.1384105 | 0.13860866 | 1.0014317 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.703495E-4 | 2.703495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011581512 | 0.0011581512 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055621783 | 0.014013984 | 0.014053424 | 1.0028143 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05425003 | 0.12964065 | 0.12984084 | 1.0015441 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5275873E-4 | 2.5275873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010828258 | 0.0010828258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005082469 | 0.013108117 | 0.013147592 | 1.0030116 | 4.0E-5 | 0.049677886 | 0.12174878 | 0.12195078 | 1.0016592 | 2.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3342851E-4 | 2.3342851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7524657E-4 | 0.0010000468 | 0.0010000468 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00455906 | 0.012111719 | 0.012151235 | 1.0032626 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04466656 | 0.113020256 | 0.11322427 | 1.0018051 | 2.3E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.290101E-4 | 2.290101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.81125E-4 | 9.81125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004458263 | 0.011883875 | 0.0119234 | 1.0033259 | 4.0E-5 | 0.043698758 | 0.11102089 | 0.11122536 | 1.0018417 | 2.3E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7263682E-4 | 1.7263682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.3966314E-4 | 7.3966314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008968426 | 0.009008067 | 1.00442 | 4.0E-5 | 0.031450346 | 0.085036956 | 0.08523825 | 1.0023671 | 2.2E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6690616E-4 | 1.6690616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.1511685E-4 | 7.1511685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030530186 | 0.00867199 | 0.008711643 | 1.0045725 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03011414 | 0.08234749 | 0.08254937 | 1.0024517 | 2.2E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.6107046E-4 | 1.6107046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.901201E-4 | 6.901201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008370027 | 0.008409692 | 1.0047389 | 4.0E-5 | 0.028868021 | 0.07963573 | 0.07983821 | 1.0025426 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4708862E-4 | 1.4708862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.3022785E-4 | 6.3022785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002601025 | 0.007646135 | 0.007685829 | 1.0051914 | 4.0E-5 | 0.025707912 | 0.07306912 | 0.07327305 | 1.0027908 | 2.2E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3898755E-4 | 1.3898755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.9552526E-4 | 5.9552526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024707897 | 0.007226504 | 0.007266215 | 1.0054952 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024434982 | 0.06933537 | 0.06954012 | 1.0029529 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3303493E-4 | 1.3303493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.700254E-4 | 5.700254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002374317 | 0.0069180564 | 0.0069577796 | 1.005742 | 4.0E-5 | 0.023491086 | 0.066576764 | 0.06678212 | 1.0030844 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2534914E-4 | 1.2534914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.371003E-4 | 5.371003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022456115 | 0.006519663 | 0.006559402 | 1.0060953 | 4.0E-5 | 0.022230545 | 0.06296403 | 0.06316081 | 1.0031252 | 2.1E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.998712E-5 | 9.998712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.2844593E-4 | 4.2844593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0052038794 | 0.0052436716 | 1.0076466 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017628696 | 0.05074207 | 0.050941415 | 1.0039285 | 2.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.402056E-5 | 8.402056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.6003845E-4 | 3.6003845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004374667 | 0.0044144923 | 1.0091035 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01466633 | 0.042955972 | 0.04315695 | 1.0046787 | 2.1E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.606492E-5 | 7.606492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.259518E-4 | 3.259518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013673597 | 0.003961249 | 0.0040010903 | 1.0100578 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013589768 | 0.0390801 | 0.03928189 | 1.0051636 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.907623E-5 | 5.907623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.531593E-4 | 2.531593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030778612 | 0.003117738 | 1.012956 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011140184 | 0.030697161 | 0.030881329 | 1.0059994 | 1.9E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1987744E-5 | 3.1987744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3708313E-4 | 1.3708313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016677105 | 0.0016876771 | 1.0119725 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.016834196 | 0.016893184 | 1.0035042 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 8.070221E-6 | 8.070221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.4586203E-5 | 3.4586203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.210058E-4 | 4.210058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.0045088236 | 0.0045088236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 3.0202493E-6 | 3.0202493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2943861E-5 | 1.2943861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5758017E-4 | 1.5758017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017645783 | 0.0017645783 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.3642414E-7 | 3.3642414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.441817E-6 | 1.441817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.7553994E-5 | 1.7553994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.0746006E-4 | 2.0746006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1719956E-5 | 2.1719956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.3082606E-5 | 9.3082606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011327637 | 0.0011926957 | 1.0529078 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011277083 | 0.01150449 | 1.0201653 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1719956E-5 | 2.1719956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.3082606E-5 | 9.3082606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011327637 | 0.0011926957 | 1.0529078 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011277083 | 0.01150449 | 1.0201653 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1719956E-5 | 2.1719956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.3082606E-5 | 9.3082606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011327637 | 0.0011926957 | 1.0529078 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011277083 | 0.01150449 | 1.0201653 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6830914E-5 | 1.6830914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2130846E-5 | 7.2130846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.779005E-4 | 9.378478E-4 | 1.0682849 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008750377 | 0.008948627 | 1.0226562 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6830914E-5 | 1.6830914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2130846E-5 | 7.2130846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.779005E-4 | 9.378478E-4 | 1.0682849 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008750377 | 0.008948627 | 1.0226562 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5567488E-5 | 1.5567488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.671644E-5 | 6.671644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.1203034E-4 | 8.6198974E-4 | 1.061524 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008096581 | 0.008285044 | 1.0232767 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4780622E-5 | 1.4780622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.334433E-5 | 6.334433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.710043E-4 | 8.1097346E-4 | 1.0518404 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076892055 | 0.0078678215 | 1.0232295 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4290449E-5 | 1.4290449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.1243685E-5 | 6.1243685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.4544654E-4 | 7.8541675E-4 | 1.0536191 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.007435345 | 0.0076140063 | 1.0240287 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2280774E-6 | 6.2280774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6691656E-5 | 2.6691656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2495247E-4 | 3.3494923E-4 | 1.0307637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032477176 | 0.00327762 | 1.0092072 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.795874E-6 | 4.795874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0553744E-5 | 2.0553744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5024184E-4 | 2.5024184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025024184 | 0.0025223682 | 1.0079722 | 2.0E-5 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.810909E-5 | 2.810891E-5 | 1.5521989 | 1.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.76082E-5 | 8.760742E-5 | 1.1288424 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4449095E-4 | 9.7446266E-4 | 1.0317332 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.00940689 | 0.009595102 | 1.020008 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.810909E-5 | 2.810891E-5 | 1.5521989 | 1.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.76082E-5 | 8.760742E-5 | 1.1288424 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4449095E-4 | 9.7446266E-4 | 1.0317332 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.00940689 | 0.009595102 | 1.020008 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.810909E-5 | 2.810891E-5 | 1.5521989 | 1.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.76082E-5 | 8.760742E-5 | 1.1288424 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4449095E-4 | 9.7446266E-4 | 1.0317332 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.00940689 | 0.009595102 | 1.020008 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1138509E-5 | 2.1138398E-5 | 1.8977762 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.773561E-5 | 5.7735135E-5 | 1.2094772 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.810289E-4 | 6.0101727E-4 | 1.0344017 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005795394 | 0.0059246407 | 1.0223016 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1138509E-5 | 2.1138398E-5 | 1.8977762 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.773561E-5 | 5.7735135E-5 | 1.2094772 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.810289E-4 | 6.0101727E-4 | 1.0344017 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005795394 | 0.0059246407 | 1.0223016 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.172711E-6 | 9.172711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.931103E-5 | 3.931103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7850827E-4 | 4.885035E-4 | 1.0208883 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004774944 | 0.0048943707 | 1.0250112 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.717643E-6 | 7.717643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.30752E-5 | 3.30752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.0261718E-4 | 4.1261315E-4 | 1.0248275 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.0040189843 | 0.0041185827 | 1.024782 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.739869E-6 | 6.739869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8884837E-5 | 2.8884837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5161694E-4 | 3.5161694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033650869 | 0.0035106877 | 0.0035904068 | 1.0227076 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.8375667E-6 | 5.8375667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5017907E-5 | 2.5017907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.0455104E-4 | 3.0455104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029177975 | 0.0030413982 | 0.0031111853 | 1.0229458 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.0408307E-6 | 5.0408307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1603384E-5 | 2.1603384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6298992E-4 | 2.6298992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026268347 | 0.0026767033 | 1.0189843 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.8462063E-6 | 3.8462063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6483638E-5 | 1.6483638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0067013E-4 | 2.0067013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0020049207 | 0.0020448405 | 1.0199109 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.898591E-6 | 2.898591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2422475E-5 | 1.2422475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5123335E-4 | 1.5123335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015113258 | 0.0015312956 | 1.0132134 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2545842E-6 | 2.2545842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.662469E-6 | 9.662469E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.17634394E-4 | 1.17634394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011757395 | 0.001195716 | 1.0169905 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5426043E-6 | 1.5426043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6111456E-6 | 6.6111456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.048788E-5 | 8.048788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.046024E-4 | 8.145943E-4 | 1.0124185 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4120554E-7 | 4.4120554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8908797E-6 | 1.8908797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3021264E-5 | 2.3021264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3019333E-4 | 2.3019333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.943198E-8 | 5.943198E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5470845E-7 | 2.5470845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1010718E-6 | 3.1010718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1010364E-5 | 3.1010364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2517375E-5 | 2.2517375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.649951E-5 | 9.649951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011742557 | 0.0012042205 | 1.0255181 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681425 | 0.01184944 | 1.0143831 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2517375E-5 | 2.2517375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.649951E-5 | 9.649951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011742557 | 0.0012042205 | 1.0255181 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681425 | 0.01184944 | 1.0143831 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2517375E-5 | 2.2517375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.649951E-5 | 9.649951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011742557 | 0.0012042205 | 1.0255181 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681425 | 0.01184944 | 1.0143831 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.135324E-5 | 2.135324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1510716E-5 | 9.1510716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011135803 | 0.0011435469 | 1.0269102 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011080828 | 0.011248943 | 1.0151718 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.135324E-5 | 2.135324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1510716E-5 | 9.1510716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011135803 | 0.0011435469 | 1.0269102 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011080828 | 0.011248943 | 1.0151718 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0576637E-5 | 2.0576637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.818265E-5 | 8.818265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010731015 | 0.0011030693 | 1.0279263 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010679984 | 0.010838276 | 1.0148213 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9926001E-5 | 1.9926001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.5394386E-5 | 8.5394386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010391872 | 0.001069156 | 1.0288388 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.010344037 | 0.010502382 | 1.0153079 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.905779E-5 | 1.905779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.167372E-5 | 8.167372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.939302E-4 | 0.0010239003 | 1.0301532 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009895568 | 0.010053985 | 1.0160089 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8526549E-5 | 1.8526549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.939711E-5 | 7.939711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.662373E-4 | 9.962083E-4 | 1.0310183 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.009621067 | 0.009779528 | 1.0164702 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8101353E-5 | 1.8101353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.757495E-5 | 7.757495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.4407186E-4 | 9.7404356E-4 | 1.0317472 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009401308 | 0.009559804 | 1.0168589 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7819157E-5 | 1.7819157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.636561E-5 | 7.636561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.293608E-4 | 9.593329E-4 | 1.0322503 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.0092554325 | 0.009413952 | 1.0171272 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7496895E-5 | 1.7496895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.498458E-5 | 7.498458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.125609E-4 | 9.4253354E-4 | 1.0328445 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.00908882 | 0.009247365 | 1.017444 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7183776E-5 | 1.7183776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.364271E-5 | 7.364271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.9623727E-4 | 9.2621037E-4 | 1.0334433 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008926907 | 0.009085478 | 1.0177634 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.631488E-5 | 1.631488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.991908E-5 | 6.991908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.5093814E-4 | 8.809126E-4 | 1.0352252 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008477444 | 0.008636087 | 1.0187136 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5819987E-5 | 1.5819987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.779822E-5 | 6.779822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.251365E-4 | 8.5511175E-4 | 1.0363276 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008221364 | 0.008380048 | 1.0193015 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5137835E-5 | 1.5137835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.4874854E-5 | 6.4874854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.89571E-4 | 8.195473E-4 | 1.0379653 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.0078682825 | 0.008027024 | 1.0201749 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2635897E-5 | 1.2635897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.415275E-5 | 5.415275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.591156E-4 | 6.7910244E-4 | 1.0303237 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.0065721604 | 0.006701306 | 1.0196505 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02911345E-5 | 1.02911345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4104145E-5 | 4.4104145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.368407E-4 | 5.4683536E-4 | 1.0186175 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0053559504 | 0.005475308 | 1.022285 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6495337E-7 | 3.6495337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9040985E-4 | 2.0040794E-4 | 1.0525082 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933774E-6 | 1.3933774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 8.2485576E-4 | 8.2485576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0035309407 | 0.0035309407 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028586963 | 0.042263877 | 0.042283032 | 1.0004532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.3440776 | 0.34416285 | 1.0002478 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.1599513E-4 | 3.1599513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013536717 | 0.0013536717 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0099994885 | 0.016425379 | 0.016435215 | 1.0005988 | 1.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.15298787 | 0.15304716 | 1.0003875 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.861328E-4 | 1.861328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.974694E-4 | 7.974694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009666181 | 0.009676085 | 1.0010245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09348271 | 0.0935371 | 1.0005819 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.8308284E-4 | 1.8308284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.8440603E-4 | 7.8440603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009508546 | 0.009518451 | 1.0010417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09213308 | 0.09218756 | 1.0005913 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.806807E-4 | 1.806807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.7411724E-4 | 7.7411724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009384364 | 0.00939427 | 1.0010556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.091023944 | 0.09107848 | 1.0005991 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7823988E-4 | 1.7823988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.6366274E-4 | 7.6366274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046854047 | 0.00925818 | 0.009268087 | 1.0010701 | 1.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08990046 | 0.08995506 | 1.0006074 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7500429E-4 | 1.7500429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.4980396E-4 | 7.4980396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045870654 | 0.009090884 | 0.009100792 | 1.00109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.08841605 | 0.08846163 | 1.0005155 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7366493E-4 | 1.7366493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.4406713E-4 | 7.4406713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045492216 | 0.009021652 | 0.009031562 | 1.0010984 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.08781381 | 0.087859415 | 1.0005194 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.7311174E-4 | 1.7311174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.416977E-4 | 7.416977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008993052 | 0.009002962 | 1.001102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.087558515 | 0.087604135 | 1.0005211 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.7251402E-4 | 1.7251402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.3913747E-4 | 7.3913747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008962139 | 0.008972049 | 1.0011058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.08728213 | 0.08732776 | 1.0005229 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.700133E-4 | 1.700133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.2842615E-4 | 7.2842615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004455241 | 0.008832792 | 0.008842704 | 1.0011221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.08612067 | 0.08616637 | 1.0005306 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5469188E-4 | 1.5469188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.6279754E-4 | 6.6279754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040752706 | 0.00803988 | 0.008049799 | 1.0012338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.078992106 | 0.07902894 | 1.0004663 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.5203781E-4 | 1.5203781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.514287E-4 | 6.514287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004005129 | 0.007902476 | 0.007912397 | 1.0012554 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07775686 | 0.07779375 | 1.0004745 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4896083E-4 | 1.4896083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.382481E-4 | 6.382481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003934157 | 0.0077431533 | 0.0077530756 | 1.0012815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.07630326 | 0.076340206 | 1.0004842 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4592556E-4 | 1.4592556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.252461E-4 | 6.252461E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003865065 | 0.007585967 | 0.0075958907 | 1.0013082 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.0748609 | 0.07489791 | 1.0004944 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1475068E-4 | 1.1475068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.9169606E-4 | 4.9169606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005970001 | 0.0059799417 | 1.001665 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.0598689 | 0.0599065 | 1.0006281 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.13011316E-4 | 1.13011316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.842444E-4 | 4.842444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005879771 | 0.0058897124 | 1.0016907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.05902002 | 0.05905766 | 1.0006378 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.427852E-5 | 9.427852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 4.0398823E-4 | 4.0398823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002691582 | 0.0049074753 | 0.004917426 | 1.0020278 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.04972435 | 0.049762364 | 1.0007645 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.7927336E-5 | 8.7927336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.7677705E-4 | 3.7677705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004577621 | 0.004587575 | 1.0021745 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.046399675 | 0.04643782 | 1.0008221 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.932288E-5 | 6.932288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.9706425E-4 | 2.9706425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.0036107632 | 0.0036107632 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020503636 | 0.036751606 | 0.036780503 | 1.0007863 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.1856994E-5 | 4.1856994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.793748E-4 | 1.793748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.002181702 | 0.002181702 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015009012 | 0.022589289 | 0.022589289 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.9336963E-5 | 1.9336963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.287007E-5 | 8.287007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 0.0010084767 | 0.0010084767 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010832143 | 0.010832143 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.725082E-6 | 5.725082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4535833E-5 | 2.4535833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9868292E-4 | 2.9868292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003385521 | 0.003385521 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077313E-7 | 8.077313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2145413E-5 | 4.2145413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9589813E-4 | 4.9589813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0484244E-4 | 2.0484244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.776018E-4 | 8.776018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.01063275 | 0.0106525365 | 1.001861 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10327539 | 0.10339196 | 1.0011288 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0484244E-4 | 2.0484244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.776018E-4 | 8.776018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.01063275 | 0.0106525365 | 1.001861 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10327539 | 0.10339196 | 1.0011288 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0484244E-4 | 2.0484244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.776018E-4 | 8.776018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.01063275 | 0.0106525365 | 1.001861 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10327539 | 0.10339196 | 1.0011288 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0484244E-4 | 2.0484244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.776018E-4 | 8.776018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.01063275 | 0.0106525365 | 1.001861 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10327539 | 0.10339196 | 1.0011288 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8833634E-4 | 1.8833634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.069063E-4 | 8.069063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009779957 | 0.009789859 | 1.0010124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09554195 | 0.09559622 | 1.000568 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8833634E-4 | 1.8833634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.069063E-4 | 8.069063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009779957 | 0.009789859 | 1.0010124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09554195 | 0.09559622 | 1.000568 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.86397E-4 | 1.86397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.985999E-4 | 7.985999E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009679727 | 0.009689631 | 1.001023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.09463653 | 0.09469085 | 1.000574 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8553702E-4 | 1.8553702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.9491653E-4 | 7.9491653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00467679 | 0.00963528 | 0.009645183 | 1.0010278 | 1.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.09423001 | 0.094284356 | 1.0005767 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8500096E-4 | 1.8500096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.926206E-4 | 7.926206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004657841 | 0.009607572 | 0.009617477 | 1.0010308 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.09397642 | 0.09403079 | 1.0005784 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.8381415E-4 | 1.8381415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.8753725E-4 | 7.8753725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004611638 | 0.009546227 | 0.009556131 | 1.0010375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.093414985 | 0.09346938 | 1.0005823 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.8219216E-4 | 1.8219216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.8059005E-4 | 7.8059005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004551957 | 0.009462383 | 0.009472288 | 1.0010468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.09264615 | 0.09270059 | 1.0005876 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.8130538E-4 | 1.8130538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.767919E-4 | 7.767919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045216335 | 0.00941654 | 0.009426446 | 1.0010519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09222558 | 0.092280045 | 1.0005906 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.8020518E-4 | 1.8020518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.720795E-4 | 7.720795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044808835 | 0.0093596615 | 0.009369568 | 1.0010585 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.09170428 | 0.09175877 | 1.0005943 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.796178E-4 | 1.796178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.6956366E-4 | 7.6956366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009329294 | 0.0093392 | 1.0010619 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.0914227 | 0.091477215 | 1.0005963 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.7923888E-4 | 1.7923888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.679407E-4 | 7.679407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004447999 | 0.0093097035 | 0.00931961 | 1.0010642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.09124101 | 0.09129554 | 1.0005976 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7791583E-4 | 1.7791583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.622738E-4 | 7.622738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009241296 | 0.009251203 | 1.001072 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.090614215 | 0.09066878 | 1.0006021 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.7230409E-4 | 1.7230409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.3823734E-4 | 7.3823734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008951093 | 0.008961003 | 1.0011072 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.08797222 | 0.08802694 | 1.000622 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4556863E-4 | 1.4556863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.2371645E-4 | 6.2371645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0075673503 | 0.0075772745 | 1.0013114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.07510517 | 0.07516066 | 1.0007389 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.3286925E-4 | 1.3286925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.693154E-4 | 5.693154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033419547 | 0.006909418 | 0.006919349 | 1.0014373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.06869589 | 0.06875177 | 1.0008134 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.5701536E-5 | 9.5701536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.10085E-4 | 4.10085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0049813646 | 0.0049813646 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025447013 | 0.049987737 | 0.05002574 | 1.0007602 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.3597396E-5 | 5.3597396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2968292E-4 | 2.2968292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027928054 | 0.0027928054 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017302496 | 0.028595768 | 0.028595768 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9839401E-5 | 1.9839401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.502323E-5 | 8.502323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.001034667 | 0.001034667 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009919235 | 0.011099173 | 0.011099173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.725082E-6 | 5.725082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4535833E-5 | 2.4535833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9868292E-4 | 2.9868292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003385521 | 0.003385521 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077313E-7 | 8.077313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2145413E-5 | 4.2145413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9589813E-4 | 4.9589813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.733197E-5 | 4.733197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0283723E-4 | 2.0283723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024670076 | 0.0024869584 | 1.008087 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024421955 | 0.024539024 | 1.0047936 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.733197E-5 | 4.733197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0283723E-4 | 2.0283723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024670076 | 0.0024869584 | 1.008087 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024421955 | 0.024539024 | 1.0047936 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.733197E-5 | 4.733197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0283723E-4 | 2.0283723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024670076 | 0.0024869584 | 1.008087 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024421955 | 0.024539024 | 1.0047936 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3649667E-5 | 3.3649667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4420533E-4 | 1.4420533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017543557 | 0.0017743206 | 1.0113802 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017412232 | 0.017530143 | 1.0067717 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3649667E-5 | 3.3649667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4420533E-4 | 1.4420533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017543557 | 0.0017743206 | 1.0113802 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017412232 | 0.017530143 | 1.0067717 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8638786E-5 | 2.8638786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2273216E-4 | 1.2273216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014932866 | 0.0015132567 | 1.0133733 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014837416 | 0.014955636 | 1.0079677 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4685005E-5 | 2.4685005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.05788786E-4 | 1.05788786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012872505 | 0.0013072247 | 1.015517 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012801375 | 0.012919839 | 1.009254 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1801763E-5 | 2.1801763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.343292E-5 | 9.343292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011369778 | 0.0011569551 | 1.0175705 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011314275 | 0.011432917 | 1.0104861 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.903527E-5 | 1.903527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.157727E-5 | 8.157727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.927676E-4 | 0.0010127478 | 1.0201257 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009885088 | 0.010003901 | 1.0120195 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6403088E-5 | 1.6403088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.02971E-5 | 7.02971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5554E-4 | 8.7552285E-4 | 1.023357 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008523396 | 0.008642374 | 1.0139589 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4549364E-5 | 1.4549364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.2352956E-5 | 6.2352956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.5888867E-4 | 7.788735E-4 | 1.0263343 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.00756359 | 0.0076826825 | 1.0157455 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.40891325E-5 | 1.40891325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.038063E-5 | 6.038063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.348918E-4 | 7.548771E-4 | 1.0271949 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.0073252106 | 0.0074443314 | 1.0162618 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.40265465E-5 | 1.40265465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0112416E-5 | 6.0112416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.3162856E-4 | 7.5161393E-4 | 1.0273163 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.007292792 | 0.007411917 | 1.0163347 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3890579E-5 | 1.3890579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9529724E-5 | 5.9529724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.24539E-4 | 7.445245E-4 | 1.0275837 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.00722236 | 0.0073414934 | 1.0164951 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3658452E-5 | 1.3658452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8534944E-5 | 5.8534944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.124355E-4 | 7.3242123E-4 | 1.0280527 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.0071021053 | 0.007221253 | 1.0167764 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.31557545E-5 | 1.31557545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.6380617E-5 | 5.6380617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.862234E-4 | 7.062097E-4 | 1.029125 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.0068416283 | 0.0069608074 | 1.0174197 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1588587E-5 | 1.1588587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9664457E-5 | 4.9664457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.045022E-4 | 6.244901E-4 | 1.0330651 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.006029111 | 0.006148387 | 1.0197834 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0030495E-5 | 1.0030495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.2987154E-5 | 4.2987154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.23248E-4 | 5.3324277E-4 | 1.0191014 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0052206703 | 0.005330096 | 1.0209601 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.2858412E-7 | 3.2858412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.408217E-6 | 1.408217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.714491E-5 | 1.714491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7143626E-4 | 1.8143455E-4 | 1.0583208 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933774E-6 | 1.3933774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.979291E-6 | 1.6979222E-5 | 2.4328003 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9911105E-5 | 3.9910807E-5 | 1.334314 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6414273E-4 | 4.1412452E-4 | 1.1372588 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389786 | 0.003758542 | 1.0328562 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.979291E-6 | 1.6979222E-5 | 2.4328003 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9911105E-5 | 3.9910807E-5 | 1.334314 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6414273E-4 | 4.1412452E-4 | 1.1372588 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389786 | 0.003758542 | 1.0328562 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.979291E-6 | 1.6979222E-5 | 2.4328003 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9911105E-5 | 3.9910807E-5 | 1.334314 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6414273E-4 | 4.1412452E-4 | 1.1372588 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389786 | 0.003758542 | 1.0328562 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.979291E-6 | 1.6979222E-5 | 2.4328003 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9911105E-5 | 3.9910807E-5 | 1.334314 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6414273E-4 | 4.1412452E-4 | 1.1372588 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389786 | 0.003758542 | 1.0328562 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.979291E-6 | 1.6979222E-5 | 2.4328003 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9911105E-5 | 3.9910807E-5 | 1.334314 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6414273E-4 | 4.1412452E-4 | 1.1372588 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389786 | 0.003758542 | 1.0328562 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.979291E-6 | 1.6979222E-5 | 2.4328003 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9911105E-5 | 3.9910807E-5 | 1.334314 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6414273E-4 | 4.1412452E-4 | 1.1372588 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389786 | 0.003758542 | 1.0328562 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6161956E-6 | 1.1616179E-5 | 7.18736 | 1.0E-5 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9265343E-6 | 1.6926466E-5 | 2.4437134 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.432733E-5 | 1.0432564E-4 | 1.237151 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013833415 | 8.429567E-4 | 9.3288085E-4 | 1.106677 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5515167E-6 | 1.1551501E-5 | 7.4452963 | 1.0E-5 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.6493403E-6 | 1.6649274E-5 | 2.5038986 | 1.0E-5 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.095274E-5 | 1.00951125E-4 | 1.2470378 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013506424 | 8.092355E-4 | 8.9916267E-4 | 1.1111261 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5483109E-6 | 1.1548295E-5 | 7.458641 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.635602E-6 | 1.6635535E-5 | 2.5070124 | 1.0E-5 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.078549E-5 | 1.0078387E-4 | 1.2475492 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013481114 | 8.075642E-4 | 8.9749147E-4 | 1.1113563 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4233569E-6 | 1.1423343E-5 | 8.025635 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.100087E-6 | 1.6100026E-5 | 2.6393108 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.426605E-5 | 9.426456E-5 | 1.2692821 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012818627 | 7.424142E-4 | 8.3234743E-4 | 1.1211361 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.4003069E-6 | 1.1400293E-5 | 8.141282 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0432016E-5 | 6.0013017E-6 | 1.6001242E-5 | 2.6662953 | 1.0E-5 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.306341E-5 | 9.306196E-5 | 1.2737148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012692984 | 7.3039584E-4 | 8.203301E-4 | 1.1231308 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3352201E-6 | 1.1335207E-5 | 8.489392 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.722359E-6 | 1.5722302E-5 | 2.747521 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.966751E-5 | 8.966612E-5 | 1.2870579 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012333926 | 6.9645845E-4 | 7.8639574E-4 | 1.1291353 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.251481E-6 | 1.1251468E-5 | 8.990523 | 1.0E-5 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.363479E-6 | 1.5363425E-5 | 2.8644516 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.5298416E-5 | 8.5297106E-5 | 1.3062662 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011848784 | 6.527938E-4 | 7.42735E-4 | 1.137779 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1431239E-6 | 1.1143113E-5 | 9.747949 | 1.0E-5 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.8990933E-6 | 1.4899044E-5 | 3.0411842 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9644837E-5 | 7.964364E-5 | 1.3352982 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001115068 | 5.9628946E-4 | 6.8623584E-4 | 1.1508434 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.586104E-7 | 1.0958601E-5 | 11.431757 | 1.0E-5 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.1083235E-6 | 1.4108283E-5 | 3.4340727 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9385186E-5 | 5.00177E-5 | 7.00167E-5 | 1.3998384 | 2.0E-5 | 9.934074E-4 | 5.000651E-4 | 5.900201E-4 | 1.1798866 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.5692014E-7 | 7.5692014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2439393E-6 | 3.2439393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.949425E-5 | 4.9493858E-5 | 1.2531914 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.948728E-4 | 4.6484516E-4 | 1.1772022 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6661393E-7 | 4.6661393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9997724E-6 | 1.9997724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.434696E-5 | 3.4346718E-5 | 1.4107189 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.434432E-4 | 2.734359E-4 | 1.1232021 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5612837E-7 | 1.5612837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6912145E-7 | 6.6912145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.146524E-6 | 1.8146442E-5 | 2.2275074 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.146237E-5 | 9.146156E-5 | 1.1227461 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.358364E-4 | 2.358364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010103338 | 0.0010103338 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.012231318 | 0.012251074 | 1.0016152 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11340001 | 0.11347981 | 1.0007037 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.358364E-4 | 2.358364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010103338 | 0.0010103338 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.012231318 | 0.012251074 | 1.0016152 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11340001 | 0.11347981 | 1.0007037 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.358364E-4 | 2.358364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010103338 | 0.0010103338 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.012231318 | 0.012251074 | 1.0016152 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11340001 | 0.11347981 | 1.0007037 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.358364E-4 | 2.358364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010103338 | 0.0010103338 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.012231318 | 0.012251074 | 1.0016152 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11340001 | 0.11347981 | 1.0007037 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3140077E-4 | 2.3140077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.913385E-4 | 9.913385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041964394 | 0.012002974 | 0.012022734 | 1.0016463 | 2.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.111378275 | 0.11145826 | 1.000718 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3140077E-4 | 2.3140077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.913385E-4 | 9.913385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041964394 | 0.012002974 | 0.012022734 | 1.0016463 | 2.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.111378275 | 0.11145826 | 1.000718 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.238292E-4 | 2.238292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.5891766E-4 | 9.5891766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011612883 | 0.01163265 | 1.0017022 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03897764 | 0.1079108 | 0.107991084 | 1.000744 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.2058317E-4 | 2.2058317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.4501616E-4 | 9.4501616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011445418 | 0.011465189 | 1.0017275 | 2.0E-5 | 0.038081564 | 0.1064186 | 0.106499024 | 1.0007557 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1904884E-4 | 2.1904884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.384453E-4 | 9.384453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011366257 | 0.01138603 | 1.0017396 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03774495 | 0.10571821 | 0.10579869 | 1.0007613 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.167339E-4 | 2.167339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.2853117E-4 | 9.2853117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003789323 | 0.011246806 | 0.011266581 | 1.0017583 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037253562 | 0.104665056 | 0.10474564 | 1.0007699 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1256556E-4 | 2.1256556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.1067946E-4 | 9.1067946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003699303 | 0.01103168 | 0.011051459 | 1.0017929 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03638325 | 0.1027649 | 0.10284565 | 1.0007858 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.109162E-4 | 2.109162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0118722E-4 | 9.036157E-4 | 9.036157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010946547 | 0.010966328 | 1.0018071 | 2.0E-5 | 0.036010686 | 0.10200603 | 0.10208685 | 1.0007923 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0698566E-4 | 2.0698566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.867821E-4 | 8.867821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003567883 | 0.010743634 | 0.010763419 | 1.0018415 | 2.0E-5 | 0.035111405 | 0.100195564 | 0.10027655 | 1.0008082 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9922953E-4 | 1.9922953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.535636E-4 | 8.535636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010343108 | 0.010362901 | 1.0019137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.033966612 | 0.096683845 | 0.096765146 | 1.0008409 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4849757E-4 | 1.4849757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.3626387E-4 | 6.3626387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002660276 | 0.007719194 | 0.0077390396 | 1.002571 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02628654 | 0.07355501 | 0.07363839 | 1.0011336 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1267375E-4 | 1.1267375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.8279844E-4 | 4.8279844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0058622994 | 0.005882182 | 1.0033916 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020299247 | 0.05661544 | 0.056700345 | 1.0014997 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.616879E-5 | 8.616879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6924265E-4 | 3.6924265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015564259 | 0.004486289 | 0.004506199 | 1.004438 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0154556995 | 0.04373818 | 0.043824244 | 1.0019677 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.46133E-5 | 6.46133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.7688476E-4 | 2.7688476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033658668 | 0.0033857995 | 1.005922 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010967582 | 0.033070896 | 0.03315792 | 1.0026314 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.663461E-5 | 5.663461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.4269719E-4 | 2.4269719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0029508378 | 0.0029707788 | 1.0067577 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.029145256 | 0.029232632 | 1.002998 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.2476982E-5 | 4.2476982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.8203152E-4 | 1.8203152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0022139824 | 0.0022339383 | 1.0090135 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.022135181 | 0.02222319 | 1.0039759 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.0592215E-5 | 3.0592215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.311029E-4 | 1.311029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015950102 | 0.0016149783 | 1.0125191 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.016059551 | 0.01610875 | 1.0030634 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.594659E-6 | 7.594659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.2548134E-5 | 3.2548134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.962016E-4 | 3.962016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.004228649 | 0.004228649 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.8369934E-6 | 2.8369934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.2158486E-5 | 1.2158486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4801956E-4 | 1.4801956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0016523149 | 0.0016523149 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.312823E-7 | 3.312823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.4197807E-6 | 1.4197807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.7285705E-5 | 1.7285705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 2.0424783E-4 | 2.0424783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.567131E-4 | 2.567131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010997369 | 0.0010997369 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.0133076245 | 0.013317491 | 1.0007415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12634593 | 0.12642455 | 1.0006223 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.567131E-4 | 2.567131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010997369 | 0.0010997369 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.0133076245 | 0.013317491 | 1.0007415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12634593 | 0.12642455 | 1.0006223 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5487505E-4 | 2.5487505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010918659 | 0.0010918659 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006347804 | 0.013212963 | 0.01322283 | 1.0007468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.1255329 | 0.1256116 | 1.0006269 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.5373118E-4 | 2.5373118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010869679 | 0.0010869679 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006316212 | 0.013154049 | 0.013163919 | 1.0007502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12502763 | 0.12510638 | 1.0006298 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4875818E-4 | 2.4875818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010656725 | 0.0010656725 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006172335 | 0.012897873 | 0.012907744 | 1.0007653 | 1.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.12281436 | 0.1228933 | 1.0006428 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4667213E-4 | 2.4667213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010567396 | 0.0010567396 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006109677 | 0.012790395 | 0.012800267 | 1.0007719 | 1.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.12188054 | 0.12195957 | 1.0006484 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3970616E-4 | 2.3970616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010269092 | 0.0010269092 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012431408 | 0.012441284 | 1.0007944 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.11878677 | 0.118857265 | 1.0005934 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3813832E-4 | 2.3813832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010201952 | 0.0010201952 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005864331 | 0.012350595 | 0.01236047 | 1.0007997 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.1180882 | 0.11815875 | 1.0005975 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3701155E-4 | 2.3701155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 0.0010153699 | 0.0010153699 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005836608 | 0.012292511 | 0.012302388 | 1.0008035 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.11758299 | 0.117653586 | 1.0006003 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3548692E-4 | 2.3548692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 0.0010088409 | 0.0010088409 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057996577 | 0.012213914 | 0.012223792 | 1.0008087 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.116899915 | 0.11697057 | 1.0006044 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.3168405E-4 | 2.3168405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.925554E-4 | 9.925554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005705768 | 0.012017842 | 0.012027723 | 1.0008221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.11519183 | 0.11526262 | 1.0006145 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0970633E-4 | 2.0970633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.9843286E-4 | 8.9843286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010883866 | 0.010893757 | 1.0009087 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.10524769 | 0.10531033 | 1.0005951 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0471879E-4 | 2.0471879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.770722E-4 | 8.770722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00504711 | 0.010626365 | 0.010636259 | 1.000931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.102976054 | 0.10303885 | 1.0006098 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9894204E-4 | 1.9894204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.5233117E-4 | 8.5233117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010328038 | 0.010337935 | 1.0009582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.100325525 | 0.100388505 | 1.0006278 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.9256836E-4 | 1.9256836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.2503294E-4 | 8.2503294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004799717 | 0.009998771 | 0.010008671 | 1.0009902 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09737239 | 0.09742655 | 1.0005562 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5540278E-4 | 1.5540278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.6584215E-4 | 6.6584215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040183207 | 0.008076572 | 0.008086491 | 1.0012281 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.0799092 | 0.07996441 | 1.0006908 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.5195161E-4 | 1.5195161E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.510588E-4 | 6.510588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007897903 | 0.007907825 | 1.0012561 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07825577 | 0.07831108 | 1.0007067 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2679759E-4 | 1.2679759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.433051E-4 | 5.433051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006594707 | 0.0066046407 | 1.0015063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.066006616 | 0.06606266 | 1.000849 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.17080686E-4 | 1.17080686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 5.016779E-4 | 5.016779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003054864 | 0.0060908454 | 0.0061007845 | 1.0016319 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.06099924 | 0.061055582 | 1.0009236 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.6403255E-5 | 8.6403255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.7024711E-4 | 3.7024711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023949358 | 0.004498449 | 0.004498449 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023692891 | 0.045372434 | 0.045410622 | 1.0008416 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.2117946E-5 | 5.2117946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.2334352E-4 | 2.2334352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0027158184 | 0.0027158184 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017046256 | 0.027842531 | 0.027842531 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9852481E-5 | 1.9852481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.507929E-5 | 8.507929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010353489 | 0.0010353489 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009956728 | 0.0111081395 | 0.0111081395 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.725082E-6 | 5.725082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4535833E-5 | 2.4535833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9868292E-4 | 2.9868292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003385521 | 0.003385521 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077313E-7 | 8.077313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2145413E-5 | 4.2145413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9589813E-4 | 4.9589813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012331178 | 0.0012331178 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025631124 | 0.0052692373 | 0.0052692373 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030762846 | 0.061475627 | 0.061503783 | 1.000458 | 3.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42736378 | 0.42740387 | 1.0000938 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010263129 | 0.0010263129 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00214792 | 0.00438723 | 0.00438723 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025839351 | 0.051473346 | 0.0515018 | 1.0005528 | 3.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.3742155 | 0.37425932 | 1.0001171 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1518776E-4 | 8.1518776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034862112 | 0.0034862112 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021034058 | 0.04115698 | 0.041185748 | 1.0006989 | 3.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.31450856 | 0.31455654 | 1.0001526 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.783846E-4 | 6.783846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0029020547 | 0.0029020547 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017915873 | 0.03441502 | 0.03444399 | 1.0008417 | 3.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27288115 | 0.27293205 | 1.0001866 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.589072E-4 | 5.589072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.002391713 | 0.002391713 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015200248 | 0.028492162 | 0.028521307 | 1.0010229 | 3.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.23463684 | 0.23468277 | 1.0001957 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2541538E-4 | 4.2541538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018211722 | 0.0018211722 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012141965 | 0.021816758 | 0.021846103 | 1.001345 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18857482 | 0.1886235 | 1.0002582 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5515343E-4 | 2.5515343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010930465 | 0.0010930465 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0082328 | 0.013225261 | 0.013244997 | 1.0014923 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12502414 | 0.12505914 | 1.0002799 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.5050712E-4 | 2.5050712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.001073154 | 0.001073154 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012986578 | 0.013006318 | 1.00152 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.12305111 | 0.123086184 | 1.000285 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4873545E-4 | 2.4873545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010655681 | 0.0010655681 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008075596 | 0.012895478 | 0.01291522 | 1.0015309 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.12227973 | 0.12231484 | 1.0002872 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3979E-4 | 2.3979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010272687 | 0.0010272687 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007876333 | 0.012435814 | 0.012455565 | 1.0015882 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.11834353 | 0.118378796 | 1.000298 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.282856E-4 | 2.282856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.78002E-4 | 9.78002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011842682 | 0.011862445 | 1.0016688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.11317009 | 0.11320556 | 1.0003134 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6655662E-4 | 1.6655662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.136197E-4 | 7.136197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006016669 | 0.008653919 | 0.008663833 | 1.0011456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.08534282 | 0.08537026 | 1.0003215 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.496634E-4 | 1.496634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.4125773E-4 | 6.4125773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005408933 | 0.0077795424 | 0.007789464 | 1.0012754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.07720531 | 0.077232994 | 1.0003586 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.3089353E-4 | 1.3089353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.6085235E-4 | 5.6085235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006807138 | 0.0068170703 | 1.001459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.06790465 | 0.06793261 | 1.0004117 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.19943244E-4 | 1.19943244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.139418E-4 | 5.139418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004513991 | 0.0062394147 | 0.0062493524 | 1.0015928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.0625034 | 0.06253152 | 1.00045 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.251764E-5 | 9.251764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.9644403E-4 | 3.9644403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0048160465 | 0.004825998 | 1.0020664 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.04905096 | 0.04907949 | 1.0005816 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.503383E-5 | 8.503383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.643799E-4 | 3.643799E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004427321 | 0.0044372766 | 1.0022486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.045056105 | 0.045084752 | 1.0006359 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.8594585E-5 | 6.8594585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.9394368E-4 | 2.9394368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0035728961 | 0.0035828603 | 1.0027889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.03675289 | 0.036781788 | 1.0007863 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.3436375E-5 | 6.3436375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.7184188E-4 | 2.7184188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0033046557 | 0.0033146224 | 1.003016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.03400443 | 0.034033414 | 1.0008522 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.1682196E-5 | 5.1682196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.2147634E-4 | 2.2147634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.002693142 | 0.002693142 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019260362 | 0.027782803 | 0.027802248 | 1.0006999 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.239617E-5 | 3.239617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3883335E-4 | 1.3883335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016889863 | 0.0016889863 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014149235 | 0.017705536 | 0.017705536 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.8023777E-5 | 1.8023777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.7242476E-5 | 7.7242476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.4002194E-4 | 9.4002194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.0101263495 | 0.0101263495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.725082E-6 | 5.725082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4535833E-5 | 2.4535833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9868292E-4 | 2.9868292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003385521 | 0.003385521 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077313E-7 | 8.077313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2145413E-5 | 4.2145413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9589813E-4 | 4.9589813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.553185E-6 | 8.553185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6656093E-5 | 3.6656093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.462144E-4 | 4.5620993E-4 | 1.0224007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004454943 | 0.004534587 | 1.0178776 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7761363E-6 | 3.7761363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6183369E-5 | 1.6183369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9701946E-4 | 1.9701946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019689153 | 0.001988876 | 1.0101379 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7761363E-6 | 3.7761363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6183369E-5 | 1.6183369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9701946E-4 | 1.9701946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019689153 | 0.001988876 | 1.0101379 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4414351E-6 | 1.4414351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1775722E-6 | 6.1775722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.521076E-5 | 7.521076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.519919E-4 | 7.519919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4414351E-6 | 1.4414351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1775722E-6 | 6.1775722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.521076E-5 | 7.521076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.519919E-4 | 7.519919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0224172E-6 | 1.0224172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.381788E-6 | 4.381788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.334827E-5 | 5.334827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.334827E-4 | 5.334827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9455047E-4 | 2.9455047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012618644 | 0.0012618644 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.01527636 | 0.015286208 | 1.0006446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14007363 | 0.14012522 | 1.0003684 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9455047E-4 | 2.9455047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012618644 | 0.0012618644 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.01527636 | 0.015286208 | 1.0006446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14007363 | 0.14012522 | 1.0003684 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9455047E-4 | 2.9455047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012618644 | 0.0012618644 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.01527636 | 0.015286208 | 1.0006446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14007363 | 0.14012522 | 1.0003684 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7751132E-4 | 1.7751132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.606583E-4 | 7.606583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009242492 | 0.009242492 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0513964 | 0.08720041 | 0.087236926 | 1.0004187 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7751132E-4 | 1.7751132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.606583E-4 | 7.606583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009242492 | 0.009242492 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0513964 | 0.08720041 | 0.087236926 | 1.0004187 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6508783E-5 | 4.6508783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9931018E-4 | 1.9931018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024242632 | 0.0024242632 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01892915 | 0.023828616 | 0.023838378 | 1.0004097 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6220669E-5 | 2.6220669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1236971E-4 | 1.1236971E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013672874 | 0.0013672874 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012986525 | 0.013601027 | 0.013610891 | 1.0007253 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2130924E-5 | 2.2130924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.484357E-5 | 9.484357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011541453 | 0.0011541453 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511663 | 0.011494471 | 0.011504356 | 1.00086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4472508E-5 | 1.4472508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.202359E-5 | 6.202359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.548808E-4 | 7.548808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075283838 | 0.0075383084 | 1.0013183 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2361725E-5 | 1.2361725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.297776E-5 | 5.297776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.448165E-4 | 6.448165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.0064335894 | 0.0064435247 | 1.0015444 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1478983E-5 | 1.1478983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.919473E-5 | 4.919473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.987842E-4 | 5.987842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059755975 | 0.0059855375 | 1.0016634 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.026986E-5 | 1.026986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.4012955E-5 | 4.4012955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.357285E-4 | 5.357285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.005347824 | 0.0053577707 | 1.0018599 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.526176E-6 | 8.526176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6540256E-5 | 3.6540256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.447885E-4 | 4.447885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.004440408 | 0.004440408 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2566904E-6 | 7.2566904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.109974E-5 | 3.109974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.78575E-4 | 3.78575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.003779691 | 0.003779691 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.367494E-6 | 6.367494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7288983E-5 | 2.7288983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.321941E-4 | 3.321941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033171296 | 0.0033171296 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.2381715E-6 | 5.2381715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2449121E-5 | 2.2449121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7328503E-4 | 2.7328503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027296152 | 0.0027296152 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.698654E-6 | 4.698654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0136938E-5 | 2.0136938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4514084E-4 | 2.4514084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024488207 | 0.0024488207 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3358723E-6 | 2.3358723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 1.0010847E-5 | 1.0010847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2187599E-4 | 1.2187599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012181649 | 0.0012181649 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.406988E-8 | 9.406988E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.031566E-7 | 4.031566E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9084238E-6 | 4.9084238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9083483E-5 | 4.9083483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4456322E-9 | 3.4456322E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4766996E-8 | 1.4766996E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7978816E-7 | 1.7978816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7978803E-6 | 1.7978803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1872414E-5 | 2.1872414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.373607E-5 | 1.1373419E-4 | 1.213345 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407301 | 0.0011906731 | 1.0437815 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011357773 | 0.011426979 | 1.0060931 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1872414E-5 | 2.1872414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.373607E-5 | 1.1373419E-4 | 1.213345 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407301 | 0.0011906731 | 1.0437815 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011357773 | 0.011426979 | 1.0060931 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1872414E-5 | 2.1872414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.373607E-5 | 1.1373419E-4 | 1.213345 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407301 | 0.0011906731 | 1.0437815 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011357773 | 0.011426979 | 1.0060931 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2183932E-5 | 1.2183932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2215986E-5 | 7.221494E-5 | 1.3830044 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3557574E-4 | 6.55563E-4 | 1.0314475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.00634069 | 0.006380436 | 1.0062685 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2183932E-5 | 1.2183932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2215986E-5 | 7.221494E-5 | 1.3830044 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3557574E-4 | 6.55563E-4 | 1.0314475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.00634069 | 0.006380436 | 1.0062685 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.6759612E-6 | 6.6759612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8611019E-5 | 3.8610735E-5 | 1.3495057 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4829607E-4 | 3.5829257E-4 | 1.0287012 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034787373 | 0.0034887025 | 1.0028646 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.36946E-6 | 6.36946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.729747E-5 | 3.72972E-5 | 1.3663243 | 1.0E-5 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3230847E-4 | 3.4230517E-4 | 1.0300825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033193391 | 0.0033293061 | 1.0030026 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.343726E-6 | 5.343726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.290155E-5 | 3.290132E-5 | 1.4366417 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7880247E-4 | 2.887997E-4 | 1.0358577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027856838 | 0.002795656 | 1.0035797 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9410204E-6 | 1.9410204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.318641E-6 | 1.8318558E-5 | 2.2021093 | 1.0E-5 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.0127633E-4 | 1.11275316E-4 | 1.0987297 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010124566 | 0.0010224464 | 1.009867 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.302324E-7 | 8.302324E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5581359E-6 | 3.5581359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.331978E-5 | 4.331978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3314634E-4 | 4.3314634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.546578E-7 | 7.546578E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2342455E-6 | 3.2342455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.937656E-5 | 3.937656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9372832E-4 | 3.9372832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6792007E-5 | 3.6792007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5767378E-4 | 1.5767378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019185722 | 0.0019185722 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.01907767 | 0.019136526 | 1.003085 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6792007E-5 | 3.6792007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5767378E-4 | 1.5767378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019185722 | 0.0019185722 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.01907767 | 0.019136526 | 1.003085 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6792007E-5 | 3.6792007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5767378E-4 | 1.5767378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019185722 | 0.0019185722 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.01907767 | 0.019136526 | 1.003085 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6792007E-5 | 3.6792007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5767378E-4 | 1.5767378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019185722 | 0.0019185722 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.01907767 | 0.019136526 | 1.003085 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4859299E-5 | 1.4859299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.368119E-5 | 6.368119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.750477E-4 | 7.750477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007723998 | 0.0077339206 | 1.0012847 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4859299E-5 | 1.4859299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.368119E-5 | 6.368119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.750477E-4 | 7.750477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007723998 | 0.0077339206 | 1.0012847 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3020155E-5 | 1.3020155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.579948E-5 | 5.579948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.791487E-4 | 6.791487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067709424 | 0.006780875 | 1.0014669 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2636404E-5 | 1.2636404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.41549E-5 | 5.41549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.5913814E-4 | 6.5913814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00647886 | 0.006572029 | 0.0065819635 | 1.0015116 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2238603E-5 | 1.2238603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.245011E-5 | 5.245011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.3839456E-4 | 6.3839456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006365795 | 0.0063757314 | 1.0015609 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1164461E-5 | 1.1164461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.784682E-5 | 4.784682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.8238057E-4 | 5.8238057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058086896 | 0.0058186315 | 1.0017116 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0588454E-5 | 1.0588454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.5378303E-5 | 4.5378303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.52342E-4 | 5.52342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0055098305 | 0.005519775 | 1.001805 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.987448E-6 | 9.987448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.2802654E-5 | 4.2802654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.209989E-4 | 5.209989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052155964 | 0.0051979073 | 0.0052078553 | 1.0019139 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.7546E-6 | 8.7546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.751918E-5 | 3.751918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5670138E-4 | 4.5670138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046197 | 0.0045577465 | 0.004567701 | 1.002184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5100033E-6 | 7.5100033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2185337E-5 | 3.2185337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9178703E-4 | 3.9178703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039110705 | 0.0039210315 | 1.0025468 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.187189E-6 | 6.187189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.651626E-5 | 2.651626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2278858E-4 | 3.2278858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032232949 | 0.0032332626 | 1.0030924 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4435455E-6 | 4.4435455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9043631E-5 | 1.9043631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3183224E-4 | 2.3183224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023159734 | 0.0023159734 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.301277E-6 | 1.301277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.57689E-6 | 5.57689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.789659E-5 | 6.789659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7876535E-4 | 6.7876535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.6140277E-7 | 5.6140277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.40601E-6 | 2.40601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9292814E-5 | 2.9292814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.928931E-4 | 2.928931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.804256E-8 | 4.804256E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0589667E-7 | 2.0589667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.506789E-6 | 2.506789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5067618E-5 | 2.5067618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4785142E-4 | 2.4785142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010617897 | 0.0010617897 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012851167 | 0.012861039 | 1.0007682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12260555 | 0.12266696 | 1.0005009 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4785142E-4 | 2.4785142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010617897 | 0.0010617897 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012851167 | 0.012861039 | 1.0007682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12260555 | 0.12266696 | 1.0005009 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4785142E-4 | 2.4785142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010617897 | 0.0010617897 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012851167 | 0.012861039 | 1.0007682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12260555 | 0.12266696 | 1.0005009 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4785142E-4 | 2.4785142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010617897 | 0.0010617897 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012851167 | 0.012861039 | 1.0007682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12260555 | 0.12266696 | 1.0005009 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4785142E-4 | 2.4785142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010617897 | 0.0010617897 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012851167 | 0.012861039 | 1.0007682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12260555 | 0.12266696 | 1.0005009 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4103107E-4 | 2.4103107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.001032583 | 0.001032583 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012499696 | 0.012509571 | 1.00079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.119568504 | 0.119630136 | 1.0005155 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4103107E-4 | 2.4103107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.001032583 | 0.001032583 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012499696 | 0.012509571 | 1.00079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.119568504 | 0.119630136 | 1.0005155 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3793396E-4 | 2.3793396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.00101932 | 0.00101932 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012340057 | 0.012349933 | 1.0008004 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11818991 | 0.11825164 | 1.0005223 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3695E-4 | 2.3695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 0.0010151063 | 0.0010151063 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777263 | 0.012289336 | 0.012299213 | 1.0008037 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.117748395 | 0.11781015 | 1.0005245 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3586782E-4 | 2.3586782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 0.001010472 | 0.001010472 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012233548 | 0.0122434255 | 1.0008074 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.11726286 | 0.11732466 | 1.0005269 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3487055E-4 | 2.3487055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 0.0010062013 | 0.0010062013 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057263062 | 0.012182134 | 0.012192013 | 1.0008109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.116814196 | 0.11687602 | 1.0005293 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1988436E-4 | 2.1988436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.420223E-4 | 9.420223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011409137 | 0.011419023 | 1.0008665 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.11003465 | 0.11009695 | 1.0005661 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.1392875E-4 | 2.1392875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.1651635E-4 | 9.1651635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052187922 | 0.0111018075 | 0.011111696 | 1.0008907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.107326105 | 0.10738859 | 1.0005822 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0861957E-4 | 2.0861957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.937786E-4 | 8.937786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005109493 | 0.010827758 | 0.010837651 | 1.0009135 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.1048912 | 0.10495386 | 1.0005974 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 2.0223514E-4 | 2.0223514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.6643506E-4 | 8.6643506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010498099 | 0.010507994 | 1.0009426 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10194677 | 0.102000654 | 1.0005286 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6492518E-4 | 1.6492518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 7.066309E-4 | 7.066309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041929903 | 0.00856938 | 0.008579294 | 1.0011569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.084501915 | 0.08455685 | 1.00065 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.6141127E-4 | 1.6141127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.9157936E-4 | 6.9157936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041122385 | 0.0083875535 | 0.008397469 | 1.0011822 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.08282639 | 0.08288142 | 1.0006644 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3614574E-4 | 1.3614574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.833513E-4 | 5.833513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003493839 | 0.0070792087 | 0.007089138 | 1.0014026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.07058318 | 0.07063895 | 1.0007901 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2503997E-4 | 1.2503997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.3577556E-4 | 5.3577556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032027436 | 0.006503585 | 0.0065135197 | 1.0015277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06491372 | 0.06496982 | 1.0008643 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 9.101594E-5 | 9.101594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.9001E-4 | 3.9001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004738042 | 0.004738042 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024550365 | 0.047671787 | 0.047709882 | 1.0007991 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.3508236E-5 | 5.3508236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2930087E-4 | 2.2930087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0027881658 | 0.0027881658 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017356034 | 0.028555317 | 0.028555317 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.98523E-5 | 1.98523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.5078515E-5 | 8.5078515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010353394 | 0.0010353394 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009955673 | 0.011108017 | 0.011108017 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.725082E-6 | 5.725082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4535833E-5 | 2.4535833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9868292E-4 | 2.9868292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003385521 | 0.003385521 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077313E-7 | 8.077313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2145413E-5 | 4.2145413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9589813E-4 | 4.9589813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2956904E-4 | 3.2956904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001411679 | 0.001411679 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062038354 | 0.017053101 | 0.017072761 | 1.0011528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.1535202 | 0.15357944 | 1.000386 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2956904E-4 | 3.2956904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001411679 | 0.001411679 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062038354 | 0.017053101 | 0.017072761 | 1.0011528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.1535202 | 0.15357944 | 1.000386 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0456227E-4 | 3.0456227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.001304618 | 0.001304618 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005590286 | 0.01576916 | 0.015788844 | 1.0012482 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05451731 | 0.14269659 | 0.14274803 | 1.0003605 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.040152E-4 | 3.040152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0013022758 | 0.0013022758 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005577586 | 0.015741056 | 0.015760742 | 1.0012505 | 2.0E-5 | 0.054396555 | 0.14246503 | 0.14251646 | 1.0003612 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9609283E-4 | 2.9609283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012683562 | 0.0012683562 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015333969 | 0.015353662 | 1.0012842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.052604496 | 0.13902684 | 0.13907848 | 1.0003716 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.932861E-4 | 2.932861E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012563389 | 0.0012563389 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015189709 | 0.015209405 | 1.0012966 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051971316 | 0.13781233 | 0.13786405 | 1.0003754 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.909426E-4 | 2.909426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012463051 | 0.0012463051 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052651367 | 0.015069242 | 0.01508894 | 1.0013072 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051421247 | 0.13679151 | 0.13684331 | 1.0003786 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8952758E-4 | 2.8952758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012402465 | 0.0012402465 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005230834 | 0.014996496 | 0.015016196 | 1.0013137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051094085 | 0.13617669 | 0.13622853 | 1.0003806 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8755897E-4 | 2.8755897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012318175 | 0.0012318175 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014895282 | 0.014914984 | 1.0013227 | 2.0E-5 | 0.050728295 | 0.13532689 | 0.13537876 | 1.0003834 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8251013E-4 | 2.8251013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012101999 | 0.0012101999 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014635652 | 0.01465536 | 1.0013465 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049738888 | 0.13315041 | 0.13320243 | 1.0003906 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.497208E-4 | 2.497208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010697963 | 0.0010697963 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012947774 | 0.012967515 | 1.0015247 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04338823 | 0.11898104 | 0.1190339 | 1.0004443 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4572219E-4 | 2.4572219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010526732 | 0.0010526732 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004331963 | 0.012741758 | 0.012761503 | 1.0015496 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042484846 | 0.11719278 | 0.11724575 | 1.0004519 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2613858E-4 | 2.2613858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.688085E-4 | 9.688085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011732153 | 0.011751917 | 1.0016847 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03870018 | 0.10858031 | 0.10862489 | 1.0004104 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.0921623E-4 | 2.0921623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.963358E-4 | 8.963358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036891096 | 0.0108589195 | 0.010878702 | 1.0018218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03628465 | 0.10107913 | 0.10112408 | 1.0004447 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4425917E-4 | 1.4425917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.18108E-4 | 6.18108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074996906 | 0.007519541 | 1.0026468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02649557 | 0.07150946 | 0.07155588 | 1.0006492 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.1071349E-4 | 1.1071349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.7440044E-4 | 4.7440044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002099857 | 0.0057606 | 0.0057804845 | 1.0034518 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020801254 | 0.055587463 | 0.05563468 | 1.0008495 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.553789E-5 | 8.553789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.6653958E-4 | 3.6653958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004453515 | 0.004473426 | 1.0044708 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016132116 | 0.043326974 | 0.04337481 | 1.001104 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.3399166E-5 | 6.3399166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.7168245E-4 | 2.7168245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001152546 | 0.0033027234 | 0.0033226574 | 1.0060356 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.032359526 | 0.03240791 | 1.0014951 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.269795E-5 | 5.269795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2582882E-4 | 2.2582882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0027460023 | 0.0027659473 | 1.0072633 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.027050909 | 0.027089827 | 1.0014387 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8962844E-5 | 3.8962844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6697294E-4 | 1.6697294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0020310015 | 0.002050961 | 1.0098274 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.020251561 | 0.020290751 | 1.0019351 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1702075E-5 | 3.1702075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3585897E-4 | 1.3585897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016528289 | 0.0016727957 | 1.0120804 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.01657591 | 0.016615247 | 1.0023731 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 9.234984E-6 | 9.234984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.9577902E-5 | 3.9577902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.8175454E-4 | 4.8175454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.0050479644 | 0.0050479644 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.8905936E-6 | 2.8905936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.23882E-5 | 1.23882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.5081593E-4 | 1.5081593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0016511627 | 0.0016511627 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 6.0972404E-8 | 6.0972404E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.6131028E-7 | 2.6131028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.1814482E-6 | 3.1814482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.3409204E-5 | 3.3409204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6803355E-5 | 1.6803355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.20127E-5 | 7.20127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.764569E-4 | 8.764569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008038137 | 0.008735436 | 0.008794912 | 1.0068085 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6803355E-5 | 1.6803355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.20127E-5 | 7.20127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.764569E-4 | 8.764569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008038137 | 0.008735436 | 0.008794912 | 1.0068085 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3688823E-5 | 1.3688823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.866534E-5 | 5.866534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.140652E-4 | 7.140652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071225087 | 0.007172153 | 1.00697 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3688823E-5 | 1.3688823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.866534E-5 | 5.866534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.140652E-4 | 7.140652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071225087 | 0.007172153 | 1.00697 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0175286E-5 | 1.0175286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.360787E-5 | 4.360787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.308376E-4 | 5.308376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052997367 | 0.0053295777 | 1.0056306 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.01226915E-5 | 1.01226915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.338247E-5 | 4.338247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.280947E-4 | 5.280947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052724383 | 0.00530228 | 1.0056599 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.446216E-6 | 8.446216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.619779E-5 | 3.619779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4065897E-4 | 4.4065897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0044017737 | 0.004421686 | 1.0045236 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4447245E-6 | 2.4447245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.047735E-5 | 1.047735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2755445E-4 | 1.2755445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.001274831 | 0.001274831 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2070717E-6 | 2.2070717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.458845E-6 | 9.458845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.15155526E-4 | 1.15155526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011509754 | 0.0011509754 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9817467E-6 | 1.9817467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.4931735E-6 | 8.4931735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0339964E-4 | 1.0339964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010335313 | 0.0010335313 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6208453E-6 | 1.6208453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.946462E-6 | 6.946462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.457002E-5 | 8.457002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.453908E-4 | 8.453908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1501572E-6 | 1.1501572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.929236E-6 | 4.929236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 6.00119E-5 | 6.00119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9996673E-4 | 5.9996673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.389414E-7 | 6.389414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7383178E-6 | 2.7383178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.333858E-5 | 3.333858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.333426E-4 | 3.333426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3831997E-5 | 2.3831997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.02133155E-4 | 1.02133155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012427652 | 0.0012427652 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012397973 | 0.012457229 | 1.0047795 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3831997E-5 | 2.3831997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.02133155E-4 | 1.02133155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012427652 | 0.0012427652 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012397973 | 0.012457229 | 1.0047795 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3831997E-5 | 2.3831997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.02133155E-4 | 1.02133155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012427652 | 0.0012427652 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012397973 | 0.012457229 | 1.0047795 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3831997E-5 | 2.3831997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.02133155E-4 | 1.02133155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012427652 | 0.0012427652 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012397973 | 0.012457229 | 1.0047795 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3831997E-5 | 2.3831997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.02133155E-4 | 1.02133155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012427652 | 0.0012427652 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012397973 | 0.012457229 | 1.0047795 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.3820954E-5 | 2.3820954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.02085825E-4 | 1.02085825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012421897 | 0.0012421897 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006993862 | 0.012392282 | 0.012451538 | 1.0047817 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3435114E-5 | 2.3435114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6032466E-5 | 1.0043236E-4 | 1.0043236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012220812 | 0.0012220812 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006798926 | 0.012193417 | 0.012252686 | 1.0048606 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3410388E-5 | 2.3410388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.59283E-5 | 1.0032639E-4 | 1.0032639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012207926 | 0.0012207926 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012180673 | 0.012239941 | 1.0048659 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.325873E-5 | 2.325873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.967648E-5 | 9.967648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0012128887 | 0.0012128887 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067110364 | 0.012102496 | 0.01216177 | 1.0048977 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.3218081E-5 | 2.3218081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.9502286E-5 | 9.9502286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0012107703 | 0.0012107703 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006691564 | 0.012081542 | 0.012140817 | 1.0049063 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2615883E-5 | 2.2615883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.692163E-5 | 9.692163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011793849 | 0.0011793849 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011771024 | 0.011830318 | 1.0050373 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2560853E-5 | 2.2560853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.6685806E-5 | 9.6685806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011765169 | 0.0011765169 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011742648 | 0.011801943 | 1.0050496 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.19377E-5 | 2.19377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.401534E-5 | 9.401534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011440384 | 0.0011440384 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006243344 | 0.011421226 | 0.011480541 | 1.0051934 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1807153E-5 | 2.1807153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.345589E-5 | 9.345589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011372343 | 0.0011372343 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011353898 | 0.011413217 | 1.0052246 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.117765E-5 | 2.117765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975841E-5 | 9.075821E-5 | 9.075821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0011044237 | 0.0011044237 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006039923 | 0.011029713 | 0.011089051 | 1.0053798 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9865722E-5 | 1.9865722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.513604E-5 | 8.513604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010360406 | 0.0010360406 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005742567 | 0.0103547685 | 0.010414147 | 1.0057344 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.930361E-5 | 1.930361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.272714E-5 | 8.272714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.592486E-4 | 0.0010067398 | 0.0010067398 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005578433 | 0.010064462 | 0.010123858 | 1.0059016 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6734692E-5 | 1.6734692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.171814E-5 | 7.171814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.7282027E-4 | 8.7282027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008736717 | 0.008796192 | 1.0068076 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.1393203E-5 | 1.1393203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.88271E-5 | 4.88271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.943079E-4 | 5.943079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0059695924 | 0.0060192943 | 1.0083258 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.707586E-6 | 8.707586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.731769E-5 | 3.731769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.542483E-4 | 4.542483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002444295 | 0.0045729927 | 0.004622764 | 1.0108838 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.968336E-6 | 4.968336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.1292693E-5 | 2.1292693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5920774E-4 | 2.5920774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015417566 | 0.0026129303 | 0.0026129303 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.2606591E-6 | 2.2606591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.688503E-6 | 9.688503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1795116E-4 | 1.1795116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.001193991 | 0.001193991 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.7348638E-7 | 4.7348638E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 2.0292257E-6 | 2.0292257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.4705545E-5 | 2.4705545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.5570308E-4 | 2.5570308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.766501E-8 | 8.766501E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.7570715E-7 | 3.7570715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.574225E-6 | 4.574225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.7996393E-5 | 4.7996393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.835746E-6 | 5.835746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010122E-5 | 2.5010122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044597E-4 | 3.1445664E-4 | 1.0328351 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408215 | 0.0031006392 | 1.0196716 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.835746E-6 | 5.835746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010122E-5 | 2.5010122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044597E-4 | 3.1445664E-4 | 1.0328351 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408215 | 0.0031006392 | 1.0196716 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.835746E-6 | 5.835746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010122E-5 | 2.5010122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044597E-4 | 3.1445664E-4 | 1.0328351 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408215 | 0.0031006392 | 1.0196716 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3842177E-6 | 3.3842177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4503712E-5 | 1.4503712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7656886E-4 | 1.865671E-4 | 1.0566251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017643329 | 0.0018142447 | 1.0282893 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3842177E-6 | 3.3842177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4503712E-5 | 1.4503712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7656886E-4 | 1.865671E-4 | 1.0566251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017643329 | 0.0018142447 | 1.0282893 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8563234E-6 | 2.8563234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.224133E-5 | 1.224133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4902833E-4 | 1.5902685E-4 | 1.0670913 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014893168 | 0.0015292572 | 1.0268179 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.3813445E-6 | 2.3813445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0205724E-5 | 1.0205724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.242478E-4 | 1.242478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012418036 | 0.0012717664 | 1.0241284 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0968919E-6 | 2.0968919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.98665E-6 | 8.98665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.0940713E-4 | 1.0940713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010935488 | 0.001123516 | 1.0274036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.891897E-6 | 1.891897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.108105E-6 | 8.108105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.8711855E-5 | 9.8711855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.86694E-4 | 0.0010166644 | 1.0303745 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6835517E-6 | 1.6835517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.215202E-6 | 7.215202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.784166E-5 | 8.784166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.7808067E-4 | 9.080543E-4 | 1.0341355 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2511654E-6 | 1.2511654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3621266E-6 | 5.3621266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.528196E-5 | 6.528196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.526301E-4 | 6.8261055E-4 | 1.0459379 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.095445E-6 | 1.095445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.694756E-6 | 4.694756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7157165E-5 | 5.7157165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.7142554E-4 | 6.0140836E-4 | 1.0524703 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0490504E-6 | 1.0490504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4959224E-6 | 4.4959224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.473649E-5 | 5.473649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.4723094E-4 | 5.772145E-4 | 1.0547915 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.770438E-7 | 9.770438E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.187324E-6 | 4.187324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.0979485E-5 | 5.0979485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.096787E-4 | 5.2966847E-4 | 1.0392205 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.210299E-7 | 9.210299E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.947265E-6 | 3.947265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.80569E-5 | 4.80569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8046585E-4 | 5.0045626E-4 | 1.0416063 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.677142E-7 | 8.677142E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.71877E-6 | 3.71877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.527509E-5 | 4.527509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5265938E-4 | 4.7265034E-4 | 1.0441633 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9168757E-7 | 7.9168757E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3929423E-6 | 3.3929423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.1308296E-5 | 4.1308296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.130069E-4 | 4.3299864E-4 | 1.0484053 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.854963E-7 | 6.854963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.937838E-6 | 2.937838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5767596E-5 | 3.5767596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5761905E-4 | 3.776119E-4 | 1.0559055 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6495337E-7 | 3.6495337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9040985E-4 | 2.0040794E-4 | 1.0525082 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933774E-6 | 1.3933774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47173705E-5 | 1.47173705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.307302E-5 | 7.3072384E-5 | 1.1585364 | 1.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.676609E-4 | 7.876456E-4 | 1.0260332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076518496 | 0.0077113905 | 1.0077813 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47173705E-5 | 1.47173705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.307302E-5 | 7.3072384E-5 | 1.1585364 | 1.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.676609E-4 | 7.876456E-4 | 1.0260332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076518496 | 0.0077113905 | 1.0077813 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47173705E-5 | 1.47173705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.307302E-5 | 7.3072384E-5 | 1.1585364 | 1.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.676609E-4 | 7.876456E-4 | 1.0260332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076518496 | 0.0077113905 | 1.0077813 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1798171E-5 | 1.1798171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0562667E-5 | 6.056216E-5 | 1.1977644 | 1.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.15437E-4 | 6.2543084E-4 | 1.0162386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061383676 | 0.0061681834 | 1.0048573 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1798171E-5 | 1.1798171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0562667E-5 | 6.056216E-5 | 1.1977644 | 1.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.15437E-4 | 6.2543084E-4 | 1.0162386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061383676 | 0.0061681834 | 1.0048573 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0458828E-5 | 1.0458828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.482283E-5 | 5.4822383E-5 | 1.2230905 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.4559065E-4 | 5.555852E-4 | 1.0183188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054434394 | 0.0054732757 | 1.0054812 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.417721E-6 | 9.417721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0361087E-5 | 5.0360683E-5 | 1.2477534 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.912943E-4 | 5.0128944E-4 | 1.0203444 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.004902965 | 0.004922867 | 1.0040592 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.408195E-6 | 9.408195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0320265E-5 | 5.031986E-5 | 1.2480042 | 1.0E-5 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.907975E-4 | 5.0079264E-4 | 1.020365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.004898019 | 0.004917921 | 1.0040632 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3833385E-6 | 7.3833385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.1642543E-5 | 4.1642226E-5 | 1.3160203 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8518803E-4 | 3.9518418E-4 | 1.0259514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038460095 | 0.0038659326 | 1.0051802 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.273255E-6 | 5.273255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2599503E-5 | 2.2599503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7512037E-4 | 2.7512037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027484035 | 0.002758376 | 1.0036285 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5916778E-6 | 3.5916778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5392838E-5 | 1.5392838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8739578E-4 | 1.8739578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018727805 | 0.0018727805 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.294066E-6 | 1.294066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.545995E-6 | 5.545995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.752203E-5 | 6.752203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7517546E-4 | 6.7517546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0753813E-5 | 5.0753813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.175005E-4 | 2.175005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026452504 | 0.002655224 | 1.0037704 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026177995 | 0.026236424 | 1.002232 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0753813E-5 | 5.0753813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.175005E-4 | 2.175005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026452504 | 0.002655224 | 1.0037704 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026177995 | 0.026236424 | 1.002232 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0753813E-5 | 5.0753813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.175005E-4 | 2.175005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026452504 | 0.002655224 | 1.0037704 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026177995 | 0.026236424 | 1.002232 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0112013E-5 | 3.0112013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.290453E-4 | 1.290453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015700276 | 0.0015700276 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01257003 | 0.015593041 | 0.015632417 | 1.0025252 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0112013E-5 | 3.0112013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.290453E-4 | 1.290453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015700276 | 0.0015700276 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01257003 | 0.015593041 | 0.015632417 | 1.0025252 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5331567E-5 | 2.5331567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.08559434E-4 | 1.08559434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013209268 | 0.0013209268 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010529719 | 0.0131326895 | 0.013172164 | 1.0030059 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5312507E-5 | 2.5312507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.08477754E-4 | 1.08477754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013199336 | 0.0013199336 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010520565 | 0.013122874 | 0.013162349 | 1.0030081 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2554197E-5 | 2.2554197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.665734E-5 | 9.665734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011761824 | 0.0011761824 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009347493 | 0.011701186 | 0.011740719 | 1.0033785 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1855301E-5 | 2.1855301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.36623E-5 | 9.36623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011397564 | 0.0011397564 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009068459 | 0.0113406945 | 0.011380241 | 1.0034871 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9037472E-5 | 1.9037472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.158669E-5 | 8.158669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.928785E-4 | 9.928785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008018291 | 0.009885823 | 0.009915527 | 1.0030047 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8041559E-5 | 1.8041559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.731875E-5 | 7.731875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.409623E-4 | 9.409623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009371148 | 0.00939096 | 1.0021142 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6210883E-5 | 1.6210883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.947343E-5 | 6.947343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.455234E-4 | 8.455234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008424362 | 0.008444194 | 1.002354 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3875393E-5 | 1.3875393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9464677E-5 | 5.9464677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.2375283E-4 | 7.2375283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007215066 | 0.0072349217 | 1.002752 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2182526E-5 | 1.2182526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.220984E-5 | 5.220984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.3548016E-4 | 6.3548016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051047057 | 0.006337706 | 0.006357579 | 1.0031357 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.795939E-6 | 9.795939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1981973E-5 | 4.1981973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.1102013E-4 | 5.1102013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0050993925 | 0.00511929 | 1.0039021 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7751668E-6 | 5.7751668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4750521E-5 | 2.4750521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.013036E-4 | 3.013036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030097037 | 0.0030196737 | 1.0033126 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6045635E-7 | 2.6045635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162413E-6 | 1.1162413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590181E-5 | 1.3590181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.358963E-4 | 1.358963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7931135E-5 | 4.7931135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0540389E-4 | 2.0540389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024980882 | 0.002508063 | 1.003993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024717635 | 0.0247664 | 1.0019728 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7931135E-5 | 4.7931135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0540389E-4 | 2.0540389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024980882 | 0.002508063 | 1.003993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024717635 | 0.0247664 | 1.0019728 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7931135E-5 | 4.7931135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0540389E-4 | 2.0540389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024980882 | 0.002508063 | 1.003993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024717635 | 0.0247664 | 1.0019728 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7931135E-5 | 4.7931135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0540389E-4 | 2.0540389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024980882 | 0.002508063 | 1.003993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024717635 | 0.0247664 | 1.0019728 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.967045E-5 | 3.967045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.7000566E-4 | 1.7000566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020679473 | 0.0020679473 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019274427 | 0.020497093 | 0.020536272 | 1.0019115 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.967045E-5 | 3.967045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.7000566E-4 | 1.7000566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020679473 | 0.0020679473 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019274427 | 0.020497093 | 0.020536272 | 1.0019115 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.1262785E-5 | 3.1262785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3397667E-4 | 1.3397667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016299803 | 0.0016299803 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015636992 | 0.016184129 | 0.01622348 | 1.0024315 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0871855E-5 | 3.0871855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3230144E-4 | 1.3230144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016096146 | 0.0016096146 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458848 | 0.015983414 | 0.016022775 | 1.0024626 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.506091E-5 | 2.506091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.073996E-4 | 1.073996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013068275 | 0.0013068275 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012867244 | 0.012993801 | 0.013023411 | 1.0022788 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3388038E-5 | 2.3388038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0023072E-4 | 1.0023072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012196462 | 0.0012196462 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012089936 | 0.0121317245 | 0.012161361 | 1.0024428 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1810209E-5 | 2.1810209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.346908E-5 | 9.346908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011374119 | 0.0011374119 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011320163 | 0.011318013 | 0.011347674 | 1.0026207 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.058894E-5 | 2.058894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8235436E-5 | 8.8235436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010737566 | 0.0010737566 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010722724 | 0.010687742 | 0.010717422 | 1.002777 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9101308E-5 | 1.9101308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.1860286E-5 | 8.1860286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.962127E-4 | 9.962127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009859995 | 0.009919474 | 0.009949176 | 1.0029943 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4950289E-5 | 1.4950289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.4071166E-5 | 6.4071166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.798001E-4 | 7.798001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.007771942 | 0.0078017083 | 1.0038301 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1901968E-5 | 1.1901968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.100749E-5 | 5.100749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.2084873E-4 | 6.2084873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.006192094 | 0.0062219086 | 1.0048149 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.198239E-6 | 9.198239E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9420476E-5 | 3.9420476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.798464E-4 | 4.798464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.0047888816 | 0.004818738 | 1.0062345 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.5839156E-6 | 4.5839156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9645211E-5 | 1.9645211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3915562E-4 | 2.3915562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023891225 | 0.0024090747 | 1.0083513 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.6204326E-6 | 3.6204326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5516054E-5 | 1.5516054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8889294E-4 | 1.8889294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018874564 | 0.0018974375 | 1.0052881 | 1.0E-5 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.906203E-5 | 4.906203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.1025178E-4 | 2.1025178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025573252 | 0.0025573252 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020348595 | 0.025335658 | 0.02538439 | 1.0019236 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6960497E-5 | 2.6960497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15540424E-4 | 1.15540424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014059073 | 0.0014059073 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.01398679 | 0.0139966495 | 1.000705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6960497E-5 | 2.6960497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15540424E-4 | 1.15540424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014059073 | 0.0014059073 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.01398679 | 0.0139966495 | 1.000705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8235045E-5 | 1.8235045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.8148114E-5 | 7.8148114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.510835E-4 | 9.510835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009480354 | 0.009480354 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8235045E-5 | 1.8235045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.8148114E-5 | 7.8148114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.510835E-4 | 9.510835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009480354 | 0.009480354 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6720196E-5 | 1.6720196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.1656264E-5 | 7.1656264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.721099E-4 | 8.721099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008696939 | 0.008696939 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.20797395E-5 | 1.20797395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.176948E-5 | 5.176948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.3014525E-4 | 6.3014525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.0062918873 | 0.0062918873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0438172E-5 | 1.0438172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4734436E-5 | 4.4734436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.445381E-4 | 5.445381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054407157 | 0.0054407157 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.822996E-6 | 3.822996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6384176E-5 | 1.6384176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9946118E-4 | 1.9946118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019944343 | 0.0019944343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.159038E-6 | 2.159038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.252989E-6 | 9.252989E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1264953E-4 | 1.1264953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011264805 | 0.0011264805 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5480134E-6 | 1.5480134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.6343264E-6 | 6.6343264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.076999E-5 | 8.076999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.0783264E-4 | 8.0783264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4781822E-6 | 1.4781822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.3350512E-6 | 6.3350512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.712658E-5 | 7.712658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.714189E-4 | 7.714189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3619415E-6 | 1.3619415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.8368796E-6 | 5.8368796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.1061746E-5 | 7.1061746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.1079424E-4 | 7.1079424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1256469E-6 | 1.1256469E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8241923E-6 | 4.8241923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.8733003E-5 | 5.8733003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8733067E-4 | 5.8733067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.2628187E-7 | 9.2628187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.969774E-6 | 3.969774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.833096E-5 | 4.833096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8322443E-4 | 4.8322443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.645076E-7 | 7.645076E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2764574E-6 | 3.2764574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9890172E-5 | 3.9890172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9883354E-4 | 3.9883354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.9006956E-7 | 6.9006956E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9574378E-6 | 2.9574378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.6006244E-5 | 3.6006244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.6000728E-4 | 3.6000728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4238246E-7 | 1.4238246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.1021046E-7 | 6.1021046E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4292966E-6 | 7.4292966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.429145E-5 | 7.429145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0140227E-6 | 3.0140227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2917194E-5 | 1.2917194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5725866E-4 | 1.672571E-4 | 1.0635796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015717855 | 0.001621707 | 1.0317609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5494786E-6 | 1.5494786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.0846905E-5 | 8.0846905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.082238E-4 | 8.182157E-4 | 1.0123628 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5494786E-6 | 1.5494786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.0846905E-5 | 8.0846905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.082238E-4 | 8.182157E-4 | 1.0123628 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5494786E-6 | 1.5494786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.0846905E-5 | 8.0846905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.082238E-4 | 8.182157E-4 | 1.0123628 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5494786E-6 | 1.5494786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.0846905E-5 | 8.0846905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.082238E-4 | 8.182157E-4 | 1.0123628 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4913974E-6 | 1.4913974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.39169E-6 | 6.39169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.781655E-5 | 7.781655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.7794166E-4 | 7.879339E-4 | 1.0128444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 9.000242E-7 | 9.000242E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.857241E-6 | 3.857241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6960988E-5 | 4.6960988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.695193E-4 | 4.695193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.5966614E-7 | 7.5966614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2557084E-6 | 3.2557084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.96376E-5 | 3.96376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.963123E-4 | 3.963123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.5024955E-7 | 6.5024955E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7867811E-6 | 2.7867811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.3928594E-5 | 3.3928594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.392402E-4 | 3.392402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.6335307E-7 | 5.6335307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.4143683E-6 | 2.4143683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9394596E-5 | 2.9394596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9391277E-4 | 2.9391277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.1149642E-7 | 4.1149642E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7635551E-6 | 1.7635551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.147111E-5 | 2.147111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1469423E-4 | 2.1469423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5226054E-7 | 3.5226054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5096873E-6 | 1.5096873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8380324E-5 | 1.8380324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8379153E-4 | 1.8379153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.122542E-8 | 3.122542E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3382322E-7 | 1.3382322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6292965E-6 | 1.6292965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.6292854E-5 | 1.6292854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.597314E-8 | 1.597314E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.84563E-8 | 6.84563E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.334552E-7 | 8.334552E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.334524E-6 | 8.334524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.880312E-9 | 4.880312E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0915623E-8 | 2.0915623E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.546477E-7 | 2.546477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5464751E-6 | 2.5464751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2729695E-5 | 2.2729695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.740967E-5 | 9.740967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011853756 | 0.0012053519 | 1.0168523 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011796377 | 0.011845787 | 1.0041885 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2729695E-5 | 2.2729695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.740967E-5 | 9.740967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011853756 | 0.0012053519 | 1.0168523 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011796377 | 0.011845787 | 1.0041885 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2729695E-5 | 2.2729695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.740967E-5 | 9.740967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011853756 | 0.0012053519 | 1.0168523 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011796377 | 0.011845787 | 1.0041885 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2358524E-5 | 1.2358524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2964097E-5 | 5.2964097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4465957E-4 | 6.546531E-4 | 1.0155021 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064291432 | 0.006439079 | 1.0015454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2358524E-5 | 1.2358524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2964097E-5 | 5.2964097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4465957E-4 | 6.546531E-4 | 1.0155021 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064291432 | 0.006439079 | 1.0015454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.485298E-6 | 9.485298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0650695E-5 | 4.0650695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.9481896E-4 | 5.0481403E-4 | 1.0201994 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004938082 | 0.0049480326 | 1.0020151 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.793266E-6 | 7.793266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.339933E-5 | 3.339933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.06569E-4 | 4.165649E-4 | 1.0245861 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040590437 | 0.0040690033 | 1.0024537 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.6576827E-6 | 6.6576827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8532655E-5 | 2.8532655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4733725E-4 | 3.5733377E-4 | 1.0287805 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032701963 | 0.003468685 | 0.0034786505 | 1.002873 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.857337E-6 | 5.857337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.510267E-5 | 2.510267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0558943E-4 | 3.155864E-4 | 1.0327137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030524088 | 0.0030623784 | 1.0032661 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.067349E-6 | 5.067349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.171707E-5 | 2.171707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.643803E-4 | 2.7437764E-4 | 1.0378143 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026413503 | 0.002651324 | 1.003776 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.1200665E-6 | 4.1200665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7657349E-5 | 1.7657349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.149639E-4 | 2.2496175E-4 | 1.0465094 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020241356 | 0.002148236 | 0.0021582143 | 1.004645 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.010884E-6 | 3.010884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2903762E-5 | 1.2903762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5709855E-4 | 1.6709698E-4 | 1.0636443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015705207 | 0.0015805049 | 1.0063573 | 1.0E-5 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3270984E-6 | 1.4327055E-5 | 3.3110075 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544592E-5 | 2.8544408E-5 | 1.5392307 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576E-4 | 2.3575775E-4 | 1.0442848 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556002 | 0.0023054874 | 1.022117 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3270984E-6 | 1.4327055E-5 | 3.3110075 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544592E-5 | 2.8544408E-5 | 1.5392307 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576E-4 | 2.3575775E-4 | 1.0442848 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556002 | 0.0023054874 | 1.022117 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3270984E-6 | 1.4327055E-5 | 3.3110075 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544592E-5 | 2.8544408E-5 | 1.5392307 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576E-4 | 2.3575775E-4 | 1.0442848 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556002 | 0.0023054874 | 1.022117 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3270984E-6 | 1.4327055E-5 | 3.3110075 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544592E-5 | 2.8544408E-5 | 1.5392307 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576E-4 | 2.3575775E-4 | 1.0442848 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556002 | 0.0023054874 | 1.022117 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3270984E-6 | 1.4327055E-5 | 3.3110075 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544592E-5 | 2.8544408E-5 | 1.5392307 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576E-4 | 2.3575775E-4 | 1.0442848 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556002 | 0.0023054874 | 1.022117 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3270984E-6 | 1.4327055E-5 | 3.3110075 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544592E-5 | 2.8544408E-5 | 1.5392307 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576E-4 | 2.3575775E-4 | 1.0442848 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556002 | 0.0023054874 | 1.022117 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5326262E-6 | 1.25326005E-5 | 4.9484606 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.085407E-5 | 2.085396E-5 | 1.9213034 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3214078E-4 | 1.4213946E-4 | 1.0756669 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013206702 | 0.0013706043 | 1.0378096 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5326262E-6 | 1.25326005E-5 | 4.9484606 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.085407E-5 | 2.085396E-5 | 1.9213034 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3214078E-4 | 1.4213946E-4 | 1.0756669 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013206702 | 0.0013706043 | 1.0378096 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8328062E-6 | 1.1832788E-5 | 6.4561043 | 1.0E-5 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.854861E-6 | 1.7854782E-5 | 2.273087 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.5628864E-5 | 1.0562791E-4 | 1.104561 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010282523 | 9.5589005E-4 | 0.0010058422 | 1.0522573 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.743526E-6 | 1.1743508E-5 | 6.7354937 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4722334E-6 | 1.7472159E-5 | 2.338278 | 1.0E-5 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.097077E-5 | 1.0096985E-4 | 1.1099154 | 1.0E-5 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.093473E-4 | 9.5930183E-4 | 1.0549345 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.385386E-6 | 1.1385372E-5 | 8.218195 | 1.0E-5 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.937355E-6 | 1.5937296E-5 | 2.6842415 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.228496E-5 | 8.2284234E-5 | 1.1383314 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.226196E-4 | 7.725834E-4 | 1.0691427 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1628896E-6 | 1.1162878E-5 | 9.599258 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.983803E-6 | 1.4983753E-5 | 3.0064898 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0676146E-5 | 7.067554E-5 | 1.1647995 | 1.0E-5 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.06599E-4 | 6.565687E-4 | 1.0823767 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.41315E-7 | 1.0941306E-5 | 11.623426 | 1.0E-5 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.034201E-6 | 1.4034161E-5 | 3.4787955 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.9115308E-5 | 5.9114816E-5 | 1.2035925 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.910464E-4 | 5.410219E-4 | 1.1017734 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2374525E-7 | 1.0723738E-5 | 14.817006 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1017619E-6 | 1.31017305E-5 | 4.223964 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7763308E-5 | 4.776293E-5 | 1.2647973 | 1.0E-5 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7757002E-4 | 4.2755113E-4 | 1.1323757 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0210343E-7 | 1.0502098E-5 | 20.916206 | 1.0E-5 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1518701E-6 | 1.2151849E-5 | 5.647111 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6198708E-5 | 3.6198446E-5 | 1.3816882 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6195665E-4 | 3.1194356E-4 | 1.1908213 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6835547E-7 | 3.6835547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.5786653E-6 | 1.5786653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9220082E-5 | 1.9220082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9218442E-4 | 2.3217674E-4 | 1.2080934 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3462762E-7 | 2.3462762E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0055466E-6 | 1.0055466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2242462E-5 | 1.2242462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.22418E-4 | 1.3241677E-4 | 1.0816773 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.860075E-8 | 6.860075E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.9400317E-7 | 2.9400317E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5794833E-6 | 3.5794833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5794306E-5 | 3.5794306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4110112E-5 | 2.4110112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03325525E-4 | 1.03325525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012573631 | 0.0012673505 | 1.0079432 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012512531 | 0.01255203 | 1.0031568 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4110112E-5 | 2.4110112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03325525E-4 | 1.03325525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012573631 | 0.0012673505 | 1.0079432 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012512531 | 0.01255203 | 1.0031568 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4110112E-5 | 2.4110112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03325525E-4 | 1.03325525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012573631 | 0.0012673505 | 1.0079432 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012512531 | 0.01255203 | 1.0031568 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3647568E-5 | 1.3647568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8488356E-5 | 5.8488356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1187934E-4 | 7.1187934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.007097618 | 0.007107547 | 1.0013989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3647568E-5 | 1.3647568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8488356E-5 | 5.8488356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1187934E-4 | 7.1187934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.007097618 | 0.007107547 | 1.0013989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0484094E-5 | 1.0484094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4931116E-5 | 4.4931116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.46909E-4 | 5.46909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008994718 | 0.0054566273 | 0.005466573 | 1.0018226 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.419837E-6 | 8.419837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.608456E-5 | 3.608456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.392482E-4 | 4.392482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.004384518 | 0.004394474 | 1.0022707 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.415706E-6 | 6.415706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.749562E-5 | 2.749562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3471241E-4 | 3.3471241E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033425433 | 0.0033525098 | 1.0029818 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3366426E-6 | 4.3366426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8585484E-5 | 1.8585484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2625565E-4 | 2.2625565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.0022603397 | 0.0022603397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5836388E-6 | 3.5836388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5358364E-5 | 1.5358364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8697264E-4 | 1.8697264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018682118 | 0.0018682118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.570123E-6 | 2.570123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.1014768E-5 | 1.1014768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3409686E-4 | 1.3409686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013401905 | 0.0013401905 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2295033E-6 | 2.2295033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.55498E-6 | 9.55498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1632597E-4 | 1.1632597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011626799 | 0.0011626799 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6292048E-6 | 1.6292048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.982289E-6 | 6.982289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.500629E-5 | 8.500629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.49761E-4 | 8.49761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.3546576E-7 | 8.3546576E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5805635E-6 | 3.5805635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3592634E-5 | 4.3592634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3585533E-4 | 4.3585533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Robinson Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5296166E-5 | 1.5296166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5554996E-5 | 6.5554996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.981321E-4 | 8.2810817E-4 | 1.0375577 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007981321 | 0.008021002 | 1.0049717 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5296166E-5 | 1.5296166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5554996E-5 | 6.5554996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.981321E-4 | 8.2810817E-4 | 1.0375577 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007981321 | 0.008021002 | 1.0049717 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5296166E-5 | 1.5296166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5554996E-5 | 6.5554996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.981321E-4 | 8.2810817E-4 | 1.0375577 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007981321 | 0.008021002 | 1.0049717 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5296166E-5 | 1.5296166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5554996E-5 | 6.5554996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.981321E-4 | 8.2810817E-4 | 1.0375577 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007981321 | 0.008021002 | 1.0049717 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5296166E-5 | 1.5296166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5554996E-5 | 6.5554996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.981321E-4 | 8.2810817E-4 | 1.0375577 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007981321 | 0.008021002 | 1.0049717 | 4.0E-5 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.0527643E-4 | 1.0527643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.5111132E-4 | 4.5111132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004016016 | 0.0054795565 | 0.0054795565 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039442103 | 0.05356365 | 0.053592045 | 1.0005301 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.035452E-5 | 6.035452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.586384E-4 | 2.586384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031446714 | 0.0031446714 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.031032516 | 0.031051897 | 1.0006245 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.035452E-5 | 6.035452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.586384E-4 | 2.586384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031446714 | 0.0031446714 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.031032516 | 0.031051897 | 1.0006245 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.2550833E-5 | 4.2550833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8234926E-4 | 1.8234926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0022180846 | 0.0022180846 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017212452 | 0.021983614 | 0.022003174 | 1.0008898 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.5058056E-5 | 3.5058056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.5024122E-4 | 1.5024122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.001827887 | 0.001827887 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014366428 | 0.018151464 | 0.018171102 | 1.0010818 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.5007815E-5 | 3.5007815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.5002592E-4 | 1.5002592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018252702 | 0.0018252702 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014344421 | 0.018125724 | 0.018145362 | 1.0010834 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.876509E-5 | 2.876509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.2327441E-4 | 1.2327441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0015000711 | 0.0015000711 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011917574 | 0.014922794 | 0.014942495 | 1.0013202 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4945854E-5 | 2.4945854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.0690783E-4 | 1.0690783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0013010673 | 0.0013010673 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010315218 | 0.0129582165 | 0.012977958 | 1.0015234 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.613149E-6 | 7.613149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2627388E-5 | 3.2627388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9716891E-4 | 3.9716891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.0039648786 | 0.0039847996 | 1.0050243 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.508291E-6 | 6.508291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.789239E-5 | 2.789239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3953955E-4 | 3.3953955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0033904652 | 0.0034103973 | 1.0058789 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.489224E-6 | 4.489224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9239402E-5 | 1.9239402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.3421666E-4 | 2.3421666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023399068 | 0.0023399068 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8589184E-6 | 1.8589184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.966775E-6 | 7.966775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.699224E-5 | 9.699224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6960395E-4 | 9.6960395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012571262 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510751 | 0.012550252 | 1.0031573 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012571262 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510751 | 0.012550252 | 1.0031573 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012571262 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510751 | 0.012550252 | 1.0031573 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012571262 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510751 | 0.012550252 | 1.0031573 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012571262 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510751 | 0.012550252 | 1.0031573 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012571262 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510751 | 0.012550252 | 1.0031573 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 2.4105446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0330556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012571262 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510751 | 0.012550252 | 1.0031573 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1384904E-5 | 1.1384904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.879156E-5 | 4.879156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.9388025E-4 | 5.9388025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005516363 | 0.005923434 | 0.005933375 | 1.0016782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.1001835E-5 | 1.1001835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7149897E-5 | 4.7149897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.739036E-4 | 5.739036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053323656 | 0.0057247058 | 0.0057247058 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.704126E-6 | 9.704126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.158847E-5 | 4.158847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.062261E-4 | 5.062261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047108172 | 0.005051147 | 0.005051147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.278882E-6 | 9.278882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9766055E-5 | 3.9766055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8404824E-4 | 4.8404824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004505487 | 0.0048303516 | 0.0048303516 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.997079E-6 | 8.997079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8558363E-5 | 3.8558363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.69351E-4 | 4.69351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368766 | 0.004684008 | 0.004684008 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.3745106E-6 | 6.3745106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7319047E-5 | 2.7319047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.325592E-4 | 3.325592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033206735 | 0.0033206735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.208292E-6 | 5.208292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2321063E-5 | 2.2321063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.717255E-4 | 2.717255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027139788 | 0.0027139788 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.143676E-6 | 4.143676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7758493E-5 | 1.7758493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1618862E-4 | 2.1618862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024039 | 0.0021598248 | 0.0021598248 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4283814E-6 | 1.4283814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.1216206E-6 | 6.1216206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.452822E-5 | 7.452822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.4503623E-4 | 7.4503623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.35635E-7 | 6.35635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7241472E-6 | 2.7241472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.3166005E-5 | 3.3166005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.3161216E-4 | 3.3161216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2616335E-7 | 2.2616335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.692711E-7 | 9.692711E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1800824E-5 | 1.1800824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.1800308E-4 | 1.1800308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5471628E-8 | 1.5471628E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.6306974E-8 | 6.6306974E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.0728717E-7 | 8.0728717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.07285E-6 | 8.07285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.713447E-5 | 4.713447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0199035E-4 | 2.0199035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024566555 | 0.0024566555 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021239553 | 0.024315663 | 0.02435469 | 1.001605 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.388519E-5 | 2.388519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0236124E-4 | 1.0236124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012455647 | 0.0012455647 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.01238888 | 0.012408633 | 1.0015943 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.388519E-5 | 2.388519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0236124E-4 | 1.0236124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012455647 | 0.0012455647 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.01238888 | 0.012408633 | 1.0015943 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7088169E-5 | 1.7088169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.3233015E-5 | 7.3233015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.912593E-4 | 8.912593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007878214 | 0.0088781025 | 0.0088781025 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3863726E-5 | 1.3863726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9414662E-5 | 5.9414662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.231416E-4 | 7.231416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006419184 | 0.0072087226 | 0.0072087226 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0124557E-5 | 1.0124557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3390264E-5 | 4.3390264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.2815373E-4 | 5.2815373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004716845 | 0.005269524 | 0.005269524 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.406814E-6 | 8.406814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.602873E-5 | 3.602873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.385658E-4 | 4.385658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043774336 | 0.0043774336 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.091529E-6 | 6.091529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6106309E-5 | 2.6106309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1780123E-4 | 3.1780123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031737897 | 0.0031737897 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.085586E-6 | 4.085586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7509552E-5 | 1.7509552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1316043E-4 | 2.1316043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021298053 | 0.0021298053 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6304558E-6 | 2.6304558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1273333E-5 | 1.1273333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.372442E-4 | 1.372442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013715975 | 0.0013715975 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4838603E-6 | 2.4838603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.06450725E-5 | 1.06450725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2959607E-4 | 1.2959607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012952072 | 0.0012952072 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3742634E-6 | 2.3742634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0175375E-5 | 1.0175375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2387817E-4 | 1.2387817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012380931 | 0.0012380931 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2771173E-6 | 2.2771173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.759037E-6 | 9.759037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1880982E-4 | 1.1880982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011874649 | 0.0011874649 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.109602E-6 | 2.109602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.04112E-6 | 9.04112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.10070105E-4 | 1.10070105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0011001576 | 0.0011001576 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8053213E-6 | 1.8053213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.737069E-6 | 7.737069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.419475E-5 | 9.419475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.4154995E-4 | 9.4154995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.515825E-7 | 9.515825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0782043E-6 | 4.0782043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.965102E-5 | 4.965102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.964004E-4 | 4.964004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0541647E-7 | 4.0541647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7374981E-6 | 1.7374981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.115384E-5 | 2.115384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1151891E-4 | 2.1151891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.34054E-8 | 6.34054E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7173738E-7 | 2.7173738E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3083977E-6 | 3.3083977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3083492E-5 | 3.3083492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3965827E-9 | 1.3965827E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.9853544E-9 | 5.9853544E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.287169E-8 | 7.287169E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.2871677E-7 | 7.2871677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4702368E-5 | 1.4702368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.300885E-5 | 6.300885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6690107E-4 | 7.6690107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008531413 | 0.007646344 | 0.007686038 | 1.0051912 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4702368E-5 | 1.4702368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.300885E-5 | 6.300885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6690107E-4 | 7.6690107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008531413 | 0.007646344 | 0.007686038 | 1.0051912 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4702368E-5 | 1.4702368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.300885E-5 | 6.300885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6690107E-4 | 7.6690107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008531413 | 0.007646344 | 0.007686038 | 1.0051912 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.869423E-6 | 9.869423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.229697E-5 | 4.229697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.148672E-4 | 5.148672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051390277 | 0.0051489766 | 1.0019358 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.869423E-6 | 9.869423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.229697E-5 | 4.229697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.148672E-4 | 5.148672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051390277 | 0.0051489766 | 1.0019358 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.885289E-6 | 7.885289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3793774E-5 | 3.3793774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1138224E-4 | 4.1138224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005331118 | 0.0041082413 | 0.0041182 | 1.0024241 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.182889E-6 | 7.182889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.078356E-5 | 3.078356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7474578E-4 | 3.7474578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037431382 | 0.0037431382 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.1287133E-6 | 6.1287133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.626576E-5 | 2.626576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.1975823E-4 | 3.1975823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031948958 | 0.0031948958 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.5656518E-6 | 2.5656518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0995627E-5 | 1.0995627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3386754E-4 | 1.3386754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013382613 | 0.0013382613 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3464745E-6 | 2.3464745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0056302E-5 | 1.0056302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2243258E-4 | 1.2243258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012240411 | 0.0012240411 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6899133E-6 | 1.6899133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.2424855E-6 | 7.2424855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.8177265E-5 | 8.8177265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.817726E-4 | 8.817726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.5036086E-5 | 5.5036086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3584928E-4 | 2.3584928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028679546 | 0.0028679546 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024405818 | 0.028337523 | 0.028356956 | 1.0006858 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.5036086E-5 | 5.5036086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3584928E-4 | 2.3584928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028679546 | 0.0028679546 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024405818 | 0.028337523 | 0.028356956 | 1.0006858 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3958102E-5 | 3.3958102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4552682E-4 | 1.4552682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017703834 | 0.0017703834 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015745522 | 0.017566737 | 0.017586386 | 1.0011185 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3958102E-5 | 3.3958102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4552682E-4 | 1.4552682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017703834 | 0.0017703834 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015745522 | 0.017566737 | 0.017586386 | 1.0011185 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7937347E-5 | 2.7937347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1972611E-4 | 1.1972611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014567093 | 0.0014567093 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013192902 | 0.014473774 | 0.014493485 | 1.0013618 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5149511E-5 | 2.5149511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0777925E-4 | 1.0777925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013114369 | 0.0013114369 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012003611 | 0.0130386455 | 0.013058385 | 1.001514 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0369967E-5 | 2.0369967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.729698E-5 | 8.729698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010623306 | 0.0010623306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00992627 | 0.010573436 | 0.010593224 | 1.0018716 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8159611E-5 | 1.8159611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.782461E-5 | 7.782461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.471084E-4 | 9.471084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008949154 | 0.009431367 | 0.009451178 | 1.0021006 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5937454E-5 | 1.5937454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.830161E-5 | 6.830161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.312592E-4 | 8.312592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007960589 | 0.008281987 | 0.008301822 | 1.0023949 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3338009E-5 | 1.3338009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.716166E-5 | 5.716166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.957232E-4 | 6.957232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069357124 | 0.006955574 | 1.0028636 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1939991E-5 | 1.1939991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.11704E-5 | 5.11704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.228232E-4 | 6.228232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062109698 | 0.0062308456 | 1.0032 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0548329E-5 | 1.0548329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5206347E-5 | 4.5206347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.502494E-4 | 5.502494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0054890006 | 0.005508891 | 1.0036236 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.46474E-6 | 9.46474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0562547E-5 | 4.0562547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.9373816E-4 | 4.9373816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004992037 | 0.004926531 | 0.0049464325 | 1.0040396 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.384669E-6 | 8.384669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.5933805E-5 | 3.5933805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.374073E-4 | 4.374073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004470094 | 0.004365575 | 0.0043854876 | 1.0045613 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9558946E-6 | 6.9558946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.981064E-5 | 2.981064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6288507E-4 | 3.6288507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036230255 | 0.003642953 | 1.0055002 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2546443E-6 | 5.2546443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2519715E-5 | 2.2519715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7414373E-4 | 2.7414373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027381275 | 0.0027481 | 1.0036421 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0617217E-6 | 2.0617217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.835921E-6 | 8.835921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0757211E-4 | 1.0757211E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.001075209 | 0.001075209 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1020934E-6 | 1.1020934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7232493E-6 | 4.7232493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7504065E-5 | 5.7504065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.7489425E-4 | 5.7489425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.073781E-7 | 6.073781E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6030466E-6 | 2.6030466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1691645E-5 | 3.1691645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.1687258E-4 | 3.1687258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.09162E-9 | 5.09162E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1821227E-8 | 2.1821227E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6567344E-7 | 2.6567344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.656732E-6 | 2.656732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.72394E-5 | 4.3300035E-5 | 4.3300035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5958765E-4 | 1.8555927E-4 | 1.8555927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019412481 | 0.002257 | 0.002257 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019243775 | 0.022357201 | 0.022376753 | 1.0008745 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.152276E-5 | 3.152276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3509087E-4 | 1.3509087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016435464 | 0.0016435464 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014143906 | 0.016319854 | 0.016339527 | 1.0012054 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.152276E-5 | 3.152276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3509087E-4 | 1.3509087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016435464 | 0.0016435464 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014143906 | 0.016319854 | 0.016339527 | 1.0012054 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3653995E-5 | 2.3653995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0137043E-4 | 1.0137043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012335052 | 0.0012335052 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010663681 | 0.012268652 | 0.0122884065 | 1.0016102 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3653995E-5 | 2.3653995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0137043E-4 | 1.0137043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012335052 | 0.0012335052 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010663681 | 0.012268652 | 0.0122884065 | 1.0016102 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.0466467E-5 | 2.0466467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.7710556E-5 | 8.7710556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010673665 | 0.0010673665 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009234319 | 0.010623869 | 0.010643656 | 1.0018625 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8732822E-5 | 1.8732822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 8.028112E-5 | 8.028112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.769966E-4 | 9.769966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008454733 | 0.009728318 | 0.009748124 | 1.0020359 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5053315E-5 | 1.5053315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.4512664E-5 | 6.4512664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.851682E-4 | 7.851682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006786986 | 0.007824927 | 0.007844769 | 1.0025359 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1998613E-5 | 1.1998613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.1421655E-5 | 5.1421655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.2588626E-4 | 6.2588626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054262993 | 0.006241991 | 0.0062618665 | 1.0031841 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.799909E-6 | 8.799909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.7713384E-5 | 3.7713384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.590696E-4 | 4.590696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003978506 | 0.0045818 | 0.0046017086 | 1.004345 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.537901E-6 | 4.537901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.9448014E-5 | 1.9448014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.3675596E-4 | 2.3675596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0023652464 | 0.0023652464 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8589184E-6 | 1.8589184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.966775E-6 | 7.966775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.699224E-5 | 9.699224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6960395E-4 | 9.6960395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.508644E-5 | 2.508644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0750929E-4 | 1.0750929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013082118 | 0.0013181987 | 1.007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013116875 | 0.013136612 | 1.0015048 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.508644E-5 | 2.508644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0750929E-4 | 1.0750929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013082118 | 0.0013181987 | 1.007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013116875 | 0.013136612 | 1.0015048 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.508644E-5 | 2.508644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0750929E-4 | 1.0750929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013082118 | 0.0013181987 | 1.007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013116875 | 0.013136612 | 1.0015048 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.508644E-5 | 2.508644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0750929E-4 | 1.0750929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013082118 | 0.0013181987 | 1.007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013116875 | 0.013136612 | 1.0015048 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.508644E-5 | 2.508644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0750929E-4 | 1.0750929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013082118 | 0.0013181987 | 1.007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013116875 | 0.013136612 | 1.0015048 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.508644E-5 | 2.508644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0750929E-4 | 1.0750929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013082118 | 0.0013181987 | 1.007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013116875 | 0.013136612 | 1.0015048 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7532368E-5 | 1.7532368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.513657E-5 | 7.513657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.1440766E-4 | 9.243985E-4 | 1.010926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009211809 | 0.009221718 | 1.0010755 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7532368E-5 | 1.7532368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.513657E-5 | 7.513657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.1440766E-4 | 9.243985E-4 | 1.010926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009211809 | 0.009221718 | 1.0010755 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5791084E-5 | 1.5791084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.767433E-5 | 6.767433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.2362496E-4 | 8.336167E-4 | 1.0121315 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.00831093 | 0.0083208475 | 1.0011933 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5662157E-5 | 1.5662157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.712181E-5 | 6.712181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.169031E-4 | 8.268949E-4 | 1.0122313 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008244212 | 0.008254129 | 1.001203 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4445207E-5 | 1.4445207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.190656E-5 | 6.190656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.534523E-4 | 7.634448E-4 | 1.0132623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0076138307 | 0.0076237544 | 1.0013034 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.44355345E-5 | 1.44355345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.186511E-5 | 6.186511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.52948E-4 | 7.6294044E-4 | 1.0132711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.007608822 | 0.007618746 | 1.0013043 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.4281795E-5 | 1.4281795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 6.1206265E-5 | 6.1206265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.44932E-4 | 7.5492455E-4 | 1.013414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0075290655 | 0.00753899 | 1.0013182 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.4224652E-5 | 1.4224652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 6.096137E-5 | 6.096137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.4195245E-4 | 7.519451E-4 | 1.0134679 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.007499265 | 0.00750919 | 1.0013235 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.41838755E-5 | 1.41838755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 6.0786624E-5 | 6.0786624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.398264E-4 | 7.49819E-4 | 1.0135067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.007478032 | 0.007487957 | 1.0013273 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.41405235E-5 | 1.41405235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 6.060084E-5 | 6.060084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.37566E-4 | 7.475586E-4 | 1.0135481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0074555306 | 0.007465456 | 1.0013313 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.409916E-5 | 1.409916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 6.0423572E-5 | 6.0423572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.354092E-4 | 7.454019E-4 | 1.0135878 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.007434044 | 0.0074439696 | 1.0013351 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.2965002E-5 | 1.2965002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.5563112E-5 | 5.5563112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.762713E-4 | 6.862645E-4 | 1.014777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.006846149 | 0.0068560806 | 1.0014507 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.18069875E-5 | 1.18069875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 5.0600396E-5 | 5.0600396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.158859E-4 | 6.2587974E-4 | 1.0162268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.006238674 | 0.0062486115 | 1.0015929 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.27837E-6 | 7.27837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.119264E-5 | 3.119264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.797044E-4 | 3.797044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0038513602 | 0.0038513602 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.3241662E-6 | 1.3241662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.6749855E-6 | 5.6749855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.909077E-5 | 6.909077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 7.132272E-4 | 7.132272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1672277E-7 | 1.1672277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 5.0024033E-7 | 5.0024033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 6.0904094E-6 | 6.0904094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.7990484E-5 | 6.7990484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.6027573E-9 | 2.6027573E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.1154675E-8 | 1.1154675E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.3580816E-7 | 1.3580816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.5400763E-6 | 1.5400763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6616805E-6 | 3.6616805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5692827E-5 | 1.5692827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.9104444E-4 | 2.0104254E-4 | 1.0523338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019454758 | 0.0019754174 | 1.0153904 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6616805E-6 | 3.6616805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5692827E-5 | 1.5692827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.9104444E-4 | 2.0104254E-4 | 1.0523338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019454758 | 0.0019754174 | 1.0153904 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6616805E-6 | 3.6616805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5692827E-5 | 1.5692827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.9104444E-4 | 2.0104254E-4 | 1.0523338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019454758 | 0.0019754174 | 1.0153904 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.175827E-6 | 3.175827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.361062E-5 | 1.361062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.6569743E-4 | 1.7569578E-4 | 1.060341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016680396 | 0.0016880062 | 1.0119702 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.175827E-6 | 3.175827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.361062E-5 | 1.361062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.6569743E-4 | 1.7569578E-4 | 1.060341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016680396 | 0.0016880062 | 1.0119702 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.985538E-6 | 2.985538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2795104E-5 | 1.2795104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5576996E-4 | 1.657684E-4 | 1.0641873 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015619368 | 0.0015819055 | 1.0127846 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8839208E-6 | 2.8839208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.23596055E-5 | 1.23596055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016229092 | 1.504685E-4 | 1.60467E-4 | 1.066449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015067342 | 0.001526704 | 1.0132537 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8175357E-6 | 2.8175357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.20751E-5 | 1.20751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001463541 | 1.4700512E-4 | 1.5700365E-4 | 1.0680149 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.001469439 | 0.0014894096 | 1.0135907 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2415345E-6 | 2.2415345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.606542E-6 | 9.606542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013164099 | 1.16953684E-4 | 1.2695251E-4 | 1.0854939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011691783 | 0.0011891549 | 1.017086 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6127108E-6 | 1.6127108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.9115995E-6 | 6.9115995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011840039 | 8.414549E-5 | 9.414465E-5 | 1.1188318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.413241E-4 | 8.6130726E-4 | 1.0237521 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5438458E-6 | 1.5438458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.6164653E-6 | 6.6164653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010884746 | 8.0552505E-5 | 9.05517E-5 | 1.1241326 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.053766E-4 | 8.2536053E-4 | 1.024813 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3900826E-6 | 1.3900826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.9574836E-6 | 5.9574836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010143308 | 7.252996E-5 | 8.252923E-5 | 1.1378641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.2519225E-4 | 7.451778E-4 | 1.0275589 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2521265E-6 | 1.2521265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.366245E-6 | 5.366245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.533208E-5 | 7.533143E-5 | 1.1530541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.5322686E-4 | 6.732138E-4 | 1.0305972 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1144966E-6 | 1.1144966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.7764056E-6 | 4.7764056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.8151192E-5 | 6.8150606E-5 | 1.1719555 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.814527E-4 | 6.014411E-4 | 1.0343766 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.573709E-7 | 8.573709E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6744416E-6 | 3.6744416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.473541E-5 | 5.4734966E-5 | 1.2235266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.4731834E-4 | 4.6730938E-4 | 1.0446908 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.0852045E-7 | 6.0852045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6079422E-6 | 2.6079422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.175124E-5 | 4.175092E-5 | 1.3149383 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.1746735E-4 | 3.3746098E-4 | 1.0629786 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.2047433E-7 | 3.2047433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.3734607E-6 | 1.3734607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6721757E-5 | 2.672159E-5 | 1.5980133 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6720517E-4 | 1.8720183E-4 | 1.1195935 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.996152E-8 | 8.996152E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.855493E-7 | 3.855493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.6940536E-6 | 1.46940065E-5 | 3.1303449 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.693961E-5 | 5.693914E-5 | 1.2130297 | 1.0E-5 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136903E-5 | 2.3136903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.915726E-5 | 9.915726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012070799 | 0.0012170677 | 1.0082744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055114 | 0.012084752 | 1.0024586 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136903E-5 | 2.3136903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.915726E-5 | 9.915726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012070799 | 0.0012170677 | 1.0082744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055114 | 0.012084752 | 1.0024586 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136903E-5 | 2.3136903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.915726E-5 | 9.915726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012070799 | 0.0012170677 | 1.0082744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055114 | 0.012084752 | 1.0024586 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136903E-5 | 2.3136903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.915726E-5 | 9.915726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012070799 | 0.0012170677 | 1.0082744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055114 | 0.012084752 | 1.0024586 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136903E-5 | 2.3136903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.915726E-5 | 9.915726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012070799 | 0.0012170677 | 1.0082744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055114 | 0.012084752 | 1.0024586 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0071675E-5 | 2.0071675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.602146E-5 | 8.602146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010473111 | 0.0010573006 | 1.0095383 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010473077 | 0.010502763 | 1.0028344 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0071675E-5 | 2.0071675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.602146E-5 | 8.602146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010473111 | 0.0010573006 | 1.0095383 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010473077 | 0.010502763 | 1.0028344 | 3.0E-5 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6434866E-5 | 1.6434866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.043332E-5 | 7.043332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.572033E-4 | 8.671948E-4 | 1.0116558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008566717 | 0.008596459 | 1.003472 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6434866E-5 | 1.6434866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.043332E-5 | 7.043332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.572033E-4 | 8.671948E-4 | 1.0116558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008566717 | 0.008596459 | 1.003472 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6434866E-5 | 1.6434866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.043332E-5 | 7.043332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.572033E-4 | 8.671948E-4 | 1.0116558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008566717 | 0.008596459 | 1.003472 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6434866E-5 | 1.6434866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.043332E-5 | 7.043332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.572033E-4 | 8.671948E-4 | 1.0116558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008566717 | 0.008596459 | 1.003472 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6434866E-5 | 1.6434866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.043332E-5 | 7.043332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.572033E-4 | 8.671948E-4 | 1.0116558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008566717 | 0.008596459 | 1.003472 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6434866E-5 | 1.6434866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.043332E-5 | 7.043332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.572033E-4 | 8.671948E-4 | 1.0116558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008566717 | 0.008596459 | 1.003472 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3957273E-5 | 1.3957273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9815564E-5 | 5.9815564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.280202E-4 | 7.3801295E-4 | 1.0137259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072835227 | 0.0073133046 | 1.0040889 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.376287E-5 | 1.376287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.898245E-5 | 5.898245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.1788375E-4 | 7.2787656E-4 | 1.0139198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.0071828156 | 0.0072125997 | 1.0041466 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3384743E-5 | 1.3384743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.7361976E-5 | 5.7361976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.9816713E-4 | 7.0816017E-4 | 1.0143132 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.006986892 | 0.007016682 | 1.0042638 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1588118E-5 | 1.1588118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9662453E-5 | 4.9662453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.653022E-4 | 6.044795E-4 | 6.144735E-4 | 1.0165331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.0060553234 | 0.0060851416 | 1.0049243 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.779806E-6 | 9.779806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.1912805E-5 | 4.1912805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.101735E-4 | 5.201684E-4 | 1.0195912 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.0051167835 | 0.00514663 | 1.005833 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.433902E-6 | 9.433902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 4.043041E-5 | 4.043041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.921335E-4 | 5.0212856E-4 | 1.0203097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.00493719 | 0.004967042 | 1.0060463 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.781362E-6 | 7.781362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.3348286E-5 | 3.3348286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0594343E-4 | 4.1593937E-4 | 1.024624 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.004078693 | 0.0041085705 | 1.0073253 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 7.01328E-6 | 7.01328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 3.0056588E-5 | 3.0056588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6588087E-4 | 3.758772E-4 | 1.0273213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0036794394 | 0.003709329 | 1.0081234 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.11871E-6 | 5.11871E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1937145E-5 | 2.1937145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6705218E-4 | 2.7704952E-4 | 1.0374359 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026937502 | 0.0027236694 | 1.0111068 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.707359E-6 | 4.707359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 2.017424E-5 | 2.017424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4559384E-4 | 2.5559138E-4 | 1.0407076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024800233 | 0.002509949 | 1.0120666 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.212566E-6 | 4.212566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.8053732E-5 | 1.8053732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.1978209E-4 | 2.297799E-4 | 1.0454897 | 1.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0022229122 | 0.0022528456 | 1.0134658 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.131648E-6 | 4.131648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.7706943E-5 | 1.7706943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.155608E-4 | 2.2555864E-4 | 1.0463806 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021808904 | 0.002210825 | 1.0137259 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.7929562E-6 | 3.7929562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.6255426E-5 | 1.6255426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9789192E-4 | 2.0788994E-4 | 1.0505227 | 1.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.00200379 | 0.0020337298 | 1.0149416 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 3.0177002E-6 | 3.0177002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2932937E-5 | 1.2932937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.574472E-4 | 1.6744563E-4 | 1.0635034 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015970499 | 0.0016270019 | 1.0187546 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.693252E-7 | 5.693252E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.4399628E-6 | 2.4399628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.9706149E-5 | 2.9706149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0513899E-4 | 3.0750272E-4 | 3.1749965E-4 | 1.03251 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.195286E-7 | 1.195286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 5.1226533E-7 | 5.1226533E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 6.2368126E-6 | 6.2368126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.861507E-5 | 6.861507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.6899576E-8 | 2.6899576E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.15283896E-7 | 1.15283896E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.4035805E-6 | 1.4035805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.5762413E-5 | 1.5762413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.14652E-4 | 2.2464986E-4 | 1.046577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445106 | 0.0021744464 | 1.0139592 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.14652E-4 | 2.2464986E-4 | 1.046577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445106 | 0.0021744464 | 1.0139592 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.14652E-4 | 2.2464986E-4 | 1.046577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445106 | 0.0021744464 | 1.0139592 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.14652E-4 | 2.2464986E-4 | 1.046577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445106 | 0.0021744464 | 1.0139592 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.14652E-4 | 2.2464986E-4 | 1.046577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445106 | 0.0021744464 | 1.0139592 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9735124E-6 | 2.9735124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2743563E-5 | 1.2743563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5514198E-4 | 1.5514198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015563103 | 0.001550352 | 0.0015603364 | 1.0064402 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9735124E-6 | 2.9735124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2743563E-5 | 1.2743563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5514198E-4 | 1.5514198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015563103 | 0.001550352 | 0.0015603364 | 1.0064402 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6585421E-6 | 2.6585421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1393703E-5 | 1.1393703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3870961E-4 | 1.3870961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013862413 | 0.0013862413 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3050607E-6 | 2.3050607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.878795E-6 | 9.878795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2026776E-4 | 1.2026776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001214175 | 0.0012020342 | 0.0012020342 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0698972E-6 | 2.0698972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.870958E-6 | 8.870958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0799861E-4 | 1.0799861E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010794671 | 0.0010794671 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.678915E-6 | 1.678915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.195331E-6 | 7.195331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.759967E-5 | 8.759967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.756552E-4 | 8.756552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3817515E-6 | 1.3817515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.921779E-6 | 5.921779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.20953E-5 | 7.20953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.2072184E-4 | 7.2072184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.604932E-7 | 8.604932E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6878225E-6 | 3.6878225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4898326E-5 | 4.4898326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.4889364E-4 | 4.4889364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.629005E-7 | 5.629005E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4124283E-6 | 2.4124283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9370924E-5 | 2.9370924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.9367092E-4 | 2.9367092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5733768E-7 | 3.5733768E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5314463E-6 | 1.5314463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8645202E-5 | 1.8645202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8643662E-4 | 1.8643662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5833321E-7 | 1.5833321E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.785707E-7 | 6.785707E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.261568E-6 | 8.261568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.261269E-5 | 8.261269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7356326E-8 | 1.7356326E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.438425E-8 | 7.438425E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.05628E-7 | 9.05628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.056248E-6 | 9.056248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6784306E-5 | 3.6784306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5763752E-4 | 1.5763752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.001917549 | 0.0019375106 | 1.01041 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019757908 | 0.019787315 | 1.0014883 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6784306E-5 | 3.6784306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5763752E-4 | 1.5763752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.001917549 | 0.0019375106 | 1.01041 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019757908 | 0.019787315 | 1.0014883 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6784306E-5 | 3.6784306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5763752E-4 | 1.5763752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.001917549 | 0.0019375106 | 1.01041 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019757908 | 0.019787315 | 1.0014883 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6784306E-5 | 3.6784306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5763752E-4 | 1.5763752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.001917549 | 0.0019375106 | 1.01041 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019757908 | 0.019787315 | 1.0014883 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.6676804E-5 | 3.6676804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5717684E-4 | 1.5717684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017729428 | 0.00191195 | 0.0019319118 | 1.0104405 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017588645 | 0.019702924 | 0.019732334 | 1.0014926 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.593629E-5 | 3.593629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5400357E-4 | 1.5400357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018733825 | 0.001893345 | 1.0106559 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017284546 | 0.01932404 | 0.01935346 | 1.0015224 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5873403E-5 | 3.5873403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5373412E-4 | 1.5373412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018701074 | 0.00189007 | 1.0106746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017258976 | 0.019291867 | 0.019321289 | 1.001525 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5863162E-5 | 3.5863162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5369021E-4 | 1.5369021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017391514 | 0.001869574 | 0.0018895365 | 1.0106776 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017256035 | 0.019286653 | 0.019316074 | 1.0015255 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.5757046E-5 | 3.5757046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.5323548E-4 | 1.5323548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017348597 | 0.001864047 | 0.0018840098 | 1.0107093 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017213784 | 0.019232353 | 0.019261777 | 1.0015298 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.5697885E-5 | 3.5697885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.5298197E-4 | 1.5298197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018609657 | 0.0018809285 | 1.0107272 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017192734 | 0.019202176 | 0.019231599 | 1.0015323 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.563768E-5 | 3.563768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.5272398E-4 | 1.5272398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018578301 | 0.001877793 | 1.0107453 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017172894 | 0.0191715 | 0.019200925 | 1.0015348 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.551759E-5 | 3.551759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.5220937E-4 | 1.5220937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018515754 | 0.0018715383 | 1.0107816 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017138338 | 0.019110454 | 0.01913988 | 1.0015398 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.538478E-5 | 3.538478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.5164024E-4 | 1.5164024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017222111 | 0.001844658 | 0.0018646212 | 1.0108222 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017089253 | 0.019042753 | 0.01907218 | 1.0015454 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.525195E-5 | 3.525195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.5107104E-4 | 1.5107104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0018377397 | 0.001857703 | 1.010863 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017049557 | 0.018975241 | 0.01900467 | 1.001551 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.5173212E-5 | 3.5173212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.5073364E-4 | 1.5073364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0018336389 | 0.0018536021 | 1.0108873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017028693 | 0.018935313 | 0.018964745 | 1.0015544 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.503751E-5 | 3.503751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.501521E-4 | 1.501521E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0018265706 | 0.0018465341 | 1.0109295 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016978411 | 0.018865924 | 0.01889536 | 1.0015602 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.4760968E-5 | 3.4760968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4896707E-4 | 1.4896707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0018121668 | 0.0018321306 | 1.0110165 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.01872287 | 0.018752309 | 1.0015724 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.32361E-5 | 3.32361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.4243266E-4 | 1.4243266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0017327395 | 0.0017527048 | 1.0115224 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.017929435 | 0.017958896 | 1.0016432 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 3.0416739E-5 | 3.0416739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.3035095E-4 | 1.3035095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015858684 | 0.0016058367 | 1.0125914 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.016456248 | 0.016485754 | 1.001793 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.4070032E-5 | 2.4070032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.0315321E-4 | 1.0315321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012551676 | 0.0012751425 | 1.0159141 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.013130184 | 0.01315979 | 1.0022548 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6524298E-5 | 1.6524298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.744926E-5 | 7.08165E-5 | 7.08165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.6185057E-4 | 8.6185057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008178596 | 0.009124332 | 0.009124332 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.616439E-6 | 8.616439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.6927075E-5 | 3.6927075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.4949495E-4 | 4.4949495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005259227 | 0.004831082 | 0.004831082 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.6620108E-6 | 1.6620108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 7.122884E-6 | 7.122884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.671769E-5 | 8.671769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 0.0010043726 | 0.0010043726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.8364234E-7 | 3.8364234E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.6441805E-6 | 1.6441805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.0017718E-5 | 2.0017718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.4051307E-4 | 2.4051307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.743679E-6 | 9.743679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.005072652 | 0.0050925505 | 1.0039227 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.743679E-6 | 9.743679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.005072652 | 0.0050925505 | 1.0039227 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.743679E-6 | 9.743679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.005072652 | 0.0050925505 | 1.0039227 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.743679E-6 | 9.743679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.005072652 | 0.0050925505 | 1.0039227 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.301094E-6 | 5.301094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2718796E-5 | 2.2718796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7656968E-4 | 2.7656968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027625954 | 0.0027725678 | 1.0036098 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.301094E-6 | 5.301094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2718796E-5 | 2.2718796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7656968E-4 | 2.7656968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027625954 | 0.0027725678 | 1.0036098 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4994232E-6 | 3.4994232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4997451E-5 | 1.4997451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8258028E-4 | 1.8258028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018244605 | 0.0018344423 | 1.0054711 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4862885E-6 | 3.4862885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.494116E-5 | 1.494116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8189504E-4 | 1.8189504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018176194 | 0.0018276012 | 1.0054917 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7341919E-6 | 2.7341919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.171792E-5 | 1.171792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4265768E-4 | 1.4265768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014257932 | 0.0014357789 | 1.0070037 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.4747737E-6 | 2.4747737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0606137E-5 | 1.0606137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.291234E-4 | 1.291234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012906133 | 0.0013006004 | 1.0077382 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7432473E-6 | 1.7432473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4710442E-6 | 7.4710442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.095721E-5 | 9.095721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.093027E-4 | 9.1929355E-4 | 1.0109874 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5719347E-7 | 3.5719347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5308283E-6 | 1.5308283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8637678E-5 | 1.8637678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.863614E-4 | 1.863614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2753343E-7 | 2.2753343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.751429E-7 | 9.751429E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1872302E-5 | 1.1872302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.1871677E-4 | 1.1871677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.606286E-7 | 1.606286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.884081E-7 | 6.884081E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.3813375E-6 | 8.3813375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.381027E-5 | 8.381027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.14330945E-7 | 1.14330945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.8998965E-7 | 4.8998965E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.965608E-6 | 5.965608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9654525E-5 | 5.9654525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9793773E-8 | 4.9793773E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1340186E-7 | 2.1340186E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5981649E-6 | 2.5981649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5981362E-5 | 2.5981362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5319652E-9 | 1.5319652E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.565565E-9 | 6.565565E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.993575E-8 | 7.993575E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.9935757E-7 | 7.9935757E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7313097E-5 | 4.7313097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0275643E-4 | 2.0275643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024660875 | 0.0024760629 | 1.004045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024421332 | 0.024440844 | 1.000799 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7313097E-5 | 4.7313097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0275643E-4 | 2.0275643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024660875 | 0.0024760629 | 1.004045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024421332 | 0.024440844 | 1.000799 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7313097E-5 | 4.7313097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0275643E-4 | 2.0275643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024660875 | 0.0024760629 | 1.004045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024421332 | 0.024440844 | 1.000799 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.8301427E-5 | 1.8301427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.8432444E-5 | 7.8432444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.5451565E-4 | 9.645061E-4 | 1.0104666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01018413 | 0.009507464 | 0.009527274 | 1.0020837 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3632368E-5 | 1.3632368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.8423157E-5 | 5.8423157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.1107585E-4 | 7.210687E-4 | 1.0140532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008112748 | 0.007089986 | 0.0071098446 | 1.0028008 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3128719E-5 | 1.3128719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.626476E-5 | 5.626476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8481406E-4 | 6.948072E-4 | 1.0145925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007874036 | 0.006829003 | 0.0068488666 | 1.0029087 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0404059E-5 | 1.0404059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.4588072E-5 | 4.4588072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.4272654E-4 | 5.4272654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006737438 | 0.0054155886 | 0.0054255347 | 1.0018365 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.922118E-6 | 9.922118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.252268E-5 | 4.252268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.1759253E-4 | 5.1759253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006522954 | 0.0051654433 | 0.0051753917 | 1.001926 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.517415E-6 | 9.517415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.078829E-5 | 4.078829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.9648614E-4 | 4.9648614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063434686 | 0.004955263 | 0.004965213 | 1.0020081 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.793505E-6 | 8.793505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.7685917E-5 | 3.7685917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5873108E-4 | 4.5873108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045792833 | 0.0045892373 | 1.0021738 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.1032E-6 | 8.1032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.472755E-5 | 3.472755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.227274E-4 | 4.227274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004220568 | 0.004230526 | 1.0023594 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.3441106E-6 | 7.3441106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1474385E-5 | 3.1474385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8313458E-4 | 3.8313458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038259542 | 0.0038359158 | 1.0026038 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5593326E-6 | 6.5593326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.811113E-5 | 2.811113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4220048E-4 | 3.4220048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034178735 | 0.0034178735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.6116787E-6 | 5.6116787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.4049838E-5 | 2.4049838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.9276847E-4 | 2.9276847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029241552 | 0.0029241552 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.0397825E-6 | 5.0397825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1598895E-5 | 2.1598895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.6293585E-4 | 2.6293585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.002626363 | 0.002626363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.943551E-6 | 3.943551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6900827E-5 | 1.6900827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.0574905E-4 | 2.0574905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020556753 | 0.0020556753 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.4037005E-6 | 3.4037005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4587211E-5 | 1.4587211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7758564E-4 | 1.7758564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017745184 | 0.0017745184 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.339534E-6 | 2.339534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.002654E-5 | 1.002654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2206703E-4 | 1.2206703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012200732 | 0.0012200732 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.406988E-8 | 9.406988E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.031566E-7 | 4.031566E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9084238E-6 | 4.9084238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9083483E-5 | 4.9083483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4456322E-9 | 3.4456322E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4766996E-8 | 1.4766996E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7978816E-7 | 1.7978816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7978803E-6 | 1.7978803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hollywood
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2600792E-5 | 1.2600792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.40023E-5 | 5.40023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5728434E-4 | 6.5728434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006553891 | 0.0065737604 | 1.0030316 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2600792E-5 | 1.2600792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.40023E-5 | 5.40023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5728434E-4 | 6.5728434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006553891 | 0.0065737604 | 1.0030316 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2600792E-5 | 1.2600792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.40023E-5 | 5.40023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5728434E-4 | 6.5728434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006553891 | 0.0065737604 | 1.0030316 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2600792E-5 | 1.2600792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.40023E-5 | 5.40023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5728434E-4 | 6.5728434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006553891 | 0.0065737604 | 1.0030316 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.2581393E-5 | 1.2581393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.391917E-5 | 5.391917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.562728E-4 | 6.562728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064653796 | 0.0065438356 | 0.006563705 | 1.0030363 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1324905E-5 | 1.1324905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.853442E-5 | 4.853442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.90749E-4 | 5.90749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058488925 | 0.0058920737 | 0.0059119556 | 1.0033743 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.1316014E-5 | 1.1316014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.8496317E-5 | 4.8496317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.9028534E-4 | 5.9028534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005844661 | 0.005887462 | 0.0059073437 | 1.0033771 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1310753E-5 | 1.1310753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.847377E-5 | 4.847377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.90011E-4 | 5.90011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058422405 | 0.0058847326 | 0.005904615 | 1.0033786 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.0224771E-5 | 1.0224771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.3819724E-5 | 4.3819724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.3337665E-4 | 5.3337665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005335517 | 0.005321191 | 0.005331138 | 1.0018693 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 9.115875E-6 | 9.115875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.906746E-5 | 3.906746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.755442E-4 | 4.755442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048161 | 0.0047454396 | 0.0047454396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.263309E-6 | 8.263309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.541371E-5 | 3.541371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.3107805E-4 | 4.3107805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004412184 | 0.0043025687 | 0.0043025687 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.2722343E-6 | 6.2722343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.6880729E-5 | 2.6880729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.2722414E-4 | 3.2722414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034605677 | 0.0032674694 | 0.0032674694 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 5.111954E-6 | 5.111954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.190819E-5 | 2.190819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.6669973E-4 | 2.6669973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028912104 | 0.002663813 | 0.002663813 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.9625866E-6 | 3.9625866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6982403E-5 | 1.6982403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.0674124E-4 | 2.0674124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022442779 | 0.0020654993 | 0.0020654993 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.7034587E-6 | 2.7034587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.15862E-5 | 1.15862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.4105291E-4 | 1.4105291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014886294 | 0.0014096388 | 0.0014096388 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.8992814E-6 | 1.8992814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.540134E-6 | 8.139752E-6 | 8.139752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.909701E-5 | 9.909701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010392254 | 9.905319E-4 | 9.905319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.2227188E-6 | 1.2227188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.240213E-6 | 5.240213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.379774E-5 | 6.379774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159987E-4 | 6.3779624E-4 | 6.3779624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.286077E-7 | 6.286077E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.6940304E-6 | 2.6940304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.279934E-5 | 3.279934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0083472E-4 | 3.2794647E-4 | 3.2794647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.460355E-7 | 2.460355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5669474E-6 | 1.0544375E-6 | 1.0544375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.2837705E-5 | 1.2837705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.907578E-4 | 1.2837001E-4 | 1.2837001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 5.3961774E-8 | 5.3961774E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.3126472E-7 | 2.3126472E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.91466E-6 | 2.8156458E-6 | 2.8156458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9145907E-5 | 2.8156232E-5 | 2.8156232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.8007906E-5 | 7.8007906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.493361E-4 | 9.493361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453625 | 0.0094734365 | 1.0020956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.8007906E-5 | 7.8007906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.493361E-4 | 9.493361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453625 | 0.0094734365 | 1.0020956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.8007906E-5 | 7.8007906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.493361E-4 | 9.493361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453625 | 0.0094734365 | 1.0020956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.8007906E-5 | 7.8007906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.493361E-4 | 9.493361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453625 | 0.0094734365 | 1.0020956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.8007906E-5 | 7.8007906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.493361E-4 | 9.493361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453625 | 0.0094734365 | 1.0020956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.8007906E-5 | 7.8007906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.493361E-4 | 9.493361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453625 | 0.0094734365 | 1.0020956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.8007906E-5 | 7.8007906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.493361E-4 | 9.493361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453625 | 0.0094734365 | 1.0020956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.8202383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.8007906E-5 | 7.8007906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.493361E-4 | 9.493361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453625 | 0.0094734365 | 1.0020956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7969793E-5 | 1.7969793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.7011144E-5 | 7.7011144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012120095 | 9.3721104E-4 | 9.3721104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012054204 | 0.009333331 | 0.009353144 | 1.0021229 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.7464743E-5 | 1.7464743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.484677E-5 | 7.484677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011869454 | 9.1088196E-4 | 9.1088196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011806256 | 0.009072205 | 0.009092024 | 1.0021845 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.709818E-5 | 1.709818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.327588E-5 | 7.327588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011682777 | 8.917721E-4 | 8.917721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011621549 | 0.00888264 | 0.008902462 | 1.0022316 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.6615411E-5 | 1.6615411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.120698E-5 | 7.120698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011405671 | 8.666035E-4 | 8.666035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011347309 | 0.008632933 | 0.00865276 | 1.0022967 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.5590724E-5 | 1.5590724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.681569E-5 | 6.681569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010802611 | 8.1318076E-4 | 8.1318076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010750249 | 0.008102715 | 0.008122553 | 1.0024483 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.4019319E-5 | 1.4019319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8890735E-5 | 6.0081427E-5 | 6.0081427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.312489E-4 | 7.312489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009559342 | 0.007289027 | 0.0073088813 | 1.0027238 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.2870547E-5 | 1.2870547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.515834E-5 | 5.515834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.713487E-4 | 6.713487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00875714 | 0.0066937846 | 0.0067136507 | 1.0029678 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.594163E-6 | 9.594163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.1117204E-5 | 4.1117204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.688548E-4 | 5.0048856E-4 | 5.0048856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006668452 | 0.004993817 | 0.005003767 | 1.0019925 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.8592716E-6 | 3.8592716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.653963E-5 | 1.653963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.013515E-4 | 2.013515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0020117015 | 0.0020216815 | 1.0049609 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3436398E-6 | 2.3436398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0044132E-5 | 1.0044132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2228051E-4 | 1.2228051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012221398 | 0.0012221398 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0575145E-6 | 1.0575145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.532197E-6 | 4.532197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.5178127E-5 | 5.5178127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.516463E-4 | 5.516463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6998678E-7 | 1.6998678E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.285146E-7 | 7.285146E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.869629E-6 | 8.869629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.869279E-5 | 8.869279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.6955503E-8 | 2.6955503E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.1552358E-7 | 1.1552358E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4064987E-6 | 1.4064987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.4064902E-5 | 1.4064902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.634286E-5 | 7.634286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2714597E-4 | 3.2714597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039762645 | 0.0039762645 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.039107736 | 0.039126955 | 1.0004914 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.634286E-5 | 7.634286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2714597E-4 | 3.2714597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039762645 | 0.0039762645 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.039107736 | 0.039126955 | 1.0004914 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.634286E-5 | 7.634286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2714597E-4 | 3.2714597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039762645 | 0.0039762645 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.039107736 | 0.039126955 | 1.0004914 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.981788E-5 | 4.981788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1348897E-4 | 2.1348897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025963408 | 0.0025963408 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.025681758 | 0.025701243 | 1.0007588 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.981788E-5 | 4.981788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1348897E-4 | 2.1348897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025963408 | 0.0025963408 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.025681758 | 0.025701243 | 1.0007588 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6607827E-5 | 3.6607827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5688188E-4 | 1.5688188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019084798 | 0.0019084798 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015794903 | 0.01893285 | 0.018942662 | 1.0005182 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.519956E-5 | 3.519956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5084715E-4 | 1.5084715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018351307 | 0.0018351307 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015149189 | 0.018211393 | 0.01822121 | 1.0005391 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.728158E-5 | 2.728158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.1691634E-4 | 1.1691634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014226187 | 0.0014226187 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011863477 | 0.014144373 | 0.014144373 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5463143E-5 | 2.5463143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.091237E-4 | 1.091237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013278618 | 0.0013278618 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011065915 | 0.013208335 | 0.013208335 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2640941E-5 | 2.2640941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.702949E-5 | 9.702949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011807814 | 0.0011807814 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009869894 | 0.011753783 | 0.011753783 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0343832E-5 | 2.0343832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.718542E-5 | 8.718542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.001061051 | 0.001061051 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008882134 | 0.010568308 | 0.010568308 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.9017654E-5 | 1.9017654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.150216E-5 | 8.150216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.919221E-4 | 9.919221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008304977 | 0.009883331 | 0.009883331 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7217993E-5 | 1.7217993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.378979E-5 | 7.378979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.981046E-4 | 8.981046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007520827 | 0.008953041 | 0.008953041 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.2106515E-6 | 6.2106515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6617003E-5 | 2.6617003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.240488E-4 | 3.240488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032391946 | 0.0032391946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.4091744E-7 | 8.4091744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6039273E-6 | 3.6039273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3877004E-5 | 4.3877004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3869065E-4 | 4.3869065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.6679195E-7 | 6.6679195E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8576771E-6 | 2.8576771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.479173E-5 | 3.479173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4786947E-4 | 3.4786947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5623896E-7 | 3.5623896E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5267378E-6 | 1.5267378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8587922E-5 | 1.8587922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8586827E-4 | 1.8586827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2199743E-7 | 1.2199743E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.2284605E-7 | 5.2284605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.3656325E-6 | 6.3656325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.3654545E-5 | 6.3654545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.103134E-8 | 3.103134E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3299146E-7 | 1.3299146E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.61917E-6 | 1.61917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6191603E-5 | 1.6191603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3665609E-5 | 2.3665609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.01420344E-4 | 1.01420344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012341373 | 0.0012441251 | 1.0080929 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012277352 | 0.012297106 | 1.001609 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3665609E-5 | 2.3665609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.01420344E-4 | 1.01420344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012341373 | 0.0012441251 | 1.0080929 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012277352 | 0.012297106 | 1.001609 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1369565E-5 | 1.1369565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.872582E-5 | 4.872582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.930794E-4 | 5.930794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.005915385 | 0.005915385 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1369565E-5 | 1.1369565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.872582E-5 | 4.872582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.930794E-4 | 5.930794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.005915385 | 0.005915385 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.240555E-6 | 8.240555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.5316192E-5 | 3.5316192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2989122E-4 | 4.2989122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040691774 | 0.004290743 | 0.004290743 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.8532718E-6 | 6.8532718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.937084E-5 | 2.937084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.575322E-4 | 3.575322E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035696663 | 0.0035696663 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8880346E-6 | 5.8880346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5234194E-5 | 2.5234194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.071837E-4 | 3.071837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030676643 | 0.0030676643 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.942127E-6 | 4.942127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1180374E-5 | 2.1180374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.578411E-4 | 2.578411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024420423 | 0.002575476 | 0.002575476 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7533102E-6 | 3.7533102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.608552E-5 | 1.608552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.95824E-4 | 1.95824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019565555 | 0.0019565555 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6719258E-6 | 2.6719258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1451062E-5 | 1.1451062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3940805E-4 | 1.3940805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013932335 | 0.0013932335 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8025689E-6 | 1.8025689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.7252735E-6 | 7.7252735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.405131E-5 | 9.405131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.401316E-4 | 9.401316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1501572E-6 | 1.1501572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.929236E-6 | 4.929236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 6.00119E-5 | 6.00119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9996673E-4 | 5.9996673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.389414E-7 | 6.389414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7383178E-6 | 2.7383178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.333858E-5 | 3.333858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.333426E-4 | 3.333426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4273684E-5 | 1.4273684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.1171704E-5 | 6.1171704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.4454764E-4 | 7.545402E-4 | 1.0134209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.007425365 | 0.0074452166 | 1.0026735 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.531335E-6 | 9.531335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.0848063E-5 | 4.0848063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.972334E-4 | 5.072285E-4 | 1.0201013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0043435963 | 0.0049645673 | 0.0049745175 | 1.0020043 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.9868605E-6 | 7.9868605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4229062E-5 | 3.4229062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.166784E-4 | 4.2667423E-4 | 1.0239893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041620824 | 0.004172041 | 1.0023926 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4416232E-6 | 3.4416232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4749736E-5 | 1.4749736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.795641E-4 | 1.795641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.001795498 | 0.001795498 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4259099E-6 | 3.4259099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4682393E-5 | 1.4682393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7874435E-4 | 1.7874435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017873135 | 0.0017873135 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.408247E-6 | 3.408247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4606697E-5 | 1.4606697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7782289E-4 | 1.7782289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017781138 | 0.0017781138 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3782549E-6 | 3.3782549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.447816E-5 | 1.447816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7625821E-4 | 1.7625821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017624918 | 0.0017624918 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3482693E-6 | 3.3482693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4349651E-5 | 1.4349651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7469387E-4 | 1.7469387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.001746873 | 0.001746873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8716322E-6 | 2.8716322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2306941E-5 | 1.2306941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4982744E-4 | 1.4982744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014985584 | 0.0014985584 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0849398E-6 | 2.0849398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.935427E-6 | 8.935427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.08783664E-4 | 1.08783664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010885535 | 0.0010885535 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5689457E-6 | 1.5689457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.724036E-6 | 6.724036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.186222E-5 | 8.186222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.195586E-4 | 8.195586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4447269E-6 | 1.4447269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1916726E-6 | 6.1916726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.538116E-5 | 7.538116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.5479364E-4 | 7.5479364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0246765E-6 | 1.0246765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.391464E-6 | 4.391464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.3464806E-5 | 5.3464806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.35747E-4 | 5.35747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.350672E-7 | 9.350672E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 4.0074246E-6 | 4.0074246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.878935E-5 | 4.878935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.8901414E-4 | 4.8901414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.485538E-7 | 8.485538E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.6366544E-6 | 3.6366544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.4275406E-5 | 4.4275406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.4388458E-4 | 4.4388458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.23239E-7 | 8.23239E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.5281628E-6 | 3.5281628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.2954573E-5 | 4.2954573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.3065642E-4 | 4.3065642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.8514415E-7 | 7.8514415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.3648994E-6 | 3.3648994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.096692E-5 | 4.096692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.1076157E-4 | 4.1076157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.1694417E-7 | 5.1694417E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.2154732E-6 | 2.2154732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6973063E-5 | 2.6973063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.7089968E-4 | 2.7089968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.2197404E-7 | 1.2197404E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.2274584E-7 | 5.2274584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.3644134E-6 | 6.3644134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.403757E-5 | 6.403757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.191584E-9 | 4.191584E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.796393E-8 | 1.796393E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1871084E-7 | 2.1871084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.2353777E-6 | 2.2353777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.721599E-5 | 1.721599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.378093E-5 | 7.378093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9794816E-4 | 8.9794816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008946751 | 0.008956661 | 1.0011077 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.721599E-5 | 1.721599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.378093E-5 | 7.378093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9794816E-4 | 8.9794816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008946751 | 0.008956661 | 1.0011077 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.721599E-5 | 1.721599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.378093E-5 | 7.378093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9794816E-4 | 8.9794816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008946751 | 0.008956661 | 1.0011077 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0125994E-5 | 1.0125994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3396423E-5 | 4.3396423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2822835E-4 | 5.2822835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052702343 | 0.0052702343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0125994E-5 | 1.0125994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3396423E-5 | 4.3396423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2822835E-4 | 5.2822835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052702343 | 0.0052702343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.332643E-6 | 7.332643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.1425243E-5 | 3.1425243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8253673E-4 | 3.8253673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036884616 | 0.0038189446 | 0.0038189446 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.06208E-6 | 6.06208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5980089E-5 | 2.5980089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.1626254E-4 | 3.1626254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030598943 | 0.0031582122 | 0.0031582122 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.117947E-6 | 5.117947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1933876E-5 | 2.1933876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6701269E-4 | 2.6701269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026669677 | 0.0026669677 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.5128363E-6 | 4.5128363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9340587E-5 | 1.9340587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3544654E-4 | 2.3544654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023520063 | 0.0023520063 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.602936E-6 | 3.602936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5441063E-5 | 1.5441063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8797889E-4 | 1.8797889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018379007 | 0.001878215 | 0.001878215 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.275166E-6 | 3.275166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.4036351E-5 | 1.4036351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.7087931E-4 | 1.7087931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0017074933 | 0.0017074933 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.54223E-6 | 2.54223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0895226E-5 | 1.0895226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3264136E-4 | 1.3264136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013085462 | 0.001325628 | 0.001325628 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0631073E-6 | 2.0631073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.841858E-6 | 8.841858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0764435E-4 | 1.0764435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010759264 | 0.0010759264 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6784437E-6 | 1.6784437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.193311E-6 | 7.193311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.757507E-5 | 8.757507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.754084E-4 | 8.754084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3342576E-6 | 1.3342576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.7182347E-6 | 5.7182347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.96173E-5 | 6.96173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.9595716E-4 | 6.9595716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.297058E-7 | 9.297058E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.984447E-6 | 3.984447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.8509584E-5 | 4.8509584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.8499164E-4 | 4.8499164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.7804707E-7 | 4.7804707E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.0487714E-6 | 2.0487714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4943514E-5 | 2.4943514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.494079E-4 | 2.494079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5769003E-7 | 2.5769003E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1043854E-6 | 1.1043854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.344581E-5 | 1.344581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.3444999E-4 | 1.3444999E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5454468E-7 | 1.5454468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.623342E-7 | 6.623342E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.063888E-6 | 8.063888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.063598E-5 | 8.063598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.092632E-8 | 4.092632E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.753985E-7 | 1.753985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1354747E-6 | 2.1354747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1354546E-5 | 2.1354546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3802222E-5 | 3.3802222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.448593E-4 | 1.448593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017623561 | 0.0017623561 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018115403 | 0.01749615 | 0.017515799 | 1.0011231 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3802222E-5 | 3.3802222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.448593E-4 | 1.448593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017623561 | 0.0017623561 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018115403 | 0.01749615 | 0.017515799 | 1.0011231 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3802222E-5 | 3.3802222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.448593E-4 | 1.448593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017623561 | 0.0017623561 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018115403 | 0.01749615 | 0.017515799 | 1.0011231 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.592411E-5 | 1.592411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.824448E-5 | 6.824448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.305741E-4 | 8.305741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008276158 | 0.008295992 | 1.0023966 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.592411E-5 | 1.592411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.824448E-5 | 6.824448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.305741E-4 | 8.305741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008276158 | 0.008295992 | 1.0023966 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1341956E-5 | 1.1341956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.860752E-5 | 4.860752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.916428E-4 | 5.916428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006966323 | 0.005901383 | 0.005921265 | 1.0033691 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.629654E-6 | 8.629654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6983733E-5 | 3.6983733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.5018826E-4 | 4.5018826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044931998 | 0.00451311 | 1.0044311 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.805854E-6 | 6.805854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.9167639E-5 | 2.9167639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.5506132E-4 | 3.5506132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035452577 | 0.0035552224 | 1.0028107 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9388946E-6 | 4.9388946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1166526E-5 | 2.1166526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5767312E-4 | 2.5767312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025738564 | 0.0025838306 | 1.0038753 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.834284E-6 | 3.834284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6432547E-5 | 1.6432547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 2.0004842E-4 | 2.0004842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.001998736 | 0.002008716 | 1.0049932 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6813043E-6 | 2.6813043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.14912555E-5 | 1.14912555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3989731E-4 | 1.3989731E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013981187 | 0.0013981187 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8873586E-6 | 1.8873586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.088656E-6 | 8.088656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.847506E-5 | 9.847506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.84327E-4 | 9.84327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2833266E-6 | 1.2833266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.49996E-6 | 5.49996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.6960056E-5 | 6.6960056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.694089E-4 | 6.694089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.0698716E-7 | 6.0698716E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.601371E-6 | 2.601371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1671272E-5 | 3.1671272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1667133E-4 | 3.1667133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1197976E-7 | 3.1197976E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3370556E-6 | 1.3370556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.627853E-5 | 1.627853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.627735E-4 | 1.627735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8319358E-7 | 1.8319358E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.851151E-7 | 7.851151E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.558736E-6 | 9.558736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.5583324E-5 | 9.5583324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.914508E-8 | 4.914508E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.1062176E-7 | 2.1062176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5643174E-6 | 2.5643174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5642914E-5 | 2.5642914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5822343E-5 | 1.5822343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.780842E-5 | 6.780842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.252799E-4 | 8.252799E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007877788 | 0.00822469 | 0.008244526 | 1.0024117 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5822343E-5 | 1.5822343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.780842E-5 | 6.780842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.252799E-4 | 8.252799E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007877788 | 0.00822469 | 0.008244526 | 1.0024117 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5822343E-5 | 1.5822343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.780842E-5 | 6.780842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.252799E-4 | 8.252799E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007877788 | 0.00822469 | 0.008244526 | 1.0024117 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5822343E-5 | 1.5822343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.780842E-5 | 6.780842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.252799E-4 | 8.252799E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007877788 | 0.00822469 | 0.008244526 | 1.0024117 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4465917E-5 | 1.4465917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.1995444E-5 | 6.1995444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.545565E-4 | 7.545565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075222994 | 0.007532224 | 1.0013194 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4465917E-5 | 1.4465917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.1995444E-5 | 6.1995444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.545565E-4 | 7.545565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075222994 | 0.007532224 | 1.0013194 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.06796315E-5 | 1.06796315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5769077E-5 | 4.5769077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.571015E-4 | 5.571015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055576283 | 0.0055576283 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.06796315E-5 | 1.06796315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5769077E-5 | 4.5769077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.571015E-4 | 5.571015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055576283 | 0.0055576283 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.0184951E-5 | 1.0184951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.364909E-5 | 4.364909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.3130346E-4 | 5.3130346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052453685 | 0.0053008995 | 0.0053008995 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.555283E-6 | 7.555283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.2379387E-5 | 3.2379387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.9414896E-4 | 3.9414896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040209293 | 0.0039346498 | 0.0039346498 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.9173107E-6 | 6.9173107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.9645285E-5 | 2.9645285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.6087265E-4 | 3.6087265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037173668 | 0.0036030018 | 0.0036030018 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.3046533E-6 | 5.3046533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2734032E-5 | 2.2734032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.7675187E-4 | 2.7675187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0027641205 | 0.0027641205 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.531361E-6 | 4.531361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.9419975E-5 | 1.9419975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.3641267E-4 | 2.3641267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025721465 | 0.0023616508 | 0.0023616508 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.809971E-6 | 3.809971E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.6328346E-5 | 1.6328346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9877958E-4 | 1.9877958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019860535 | 0.0019860535 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 3.0476542E-6 | 3.0476542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.3061311E-5 | 1.3061311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5900993E-4 | 1.5900993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015889943 | 0.0015889943 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.3052232E-6 | 2.3052232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.879492E-6 | 9.879492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.20276236E-4 | 1.20276236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0012021428 | 0.0012021428 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.444574E-6 | 1.444574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.191017E-6 | 6.191017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.5373064E-5 | 7.5373064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.535035E-4 | 7.535035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.661786E-7 | 7.661786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.2836183E-6 | 3.2836183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.9977338E-5 | 3.9977338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.9972758E-4 | 3.9972758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.335475E-7 | 4.335475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.8580595E-6 | 1.8580595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.2621645E-5 | 2.2621645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.2621614E-4 | 2.2621614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.336688E-8 | 5.336688E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.2871518E-7 | 2.2871518E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.7846052E-6 | 2.7846052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.7845832E-5 | 2.7845832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.0647212E-4 | 3.0647212E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013122562 | 0.0013122562 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007891912 | 0.015761338 | 0.01577118 | 1.0006244 | 1.0E-5 | 0.076174594 | 0.13901474 | 0.13903196 | 1.0001239 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.0340746E-4 | 3.0340746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.0012991386 | 0.0012991386 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078097614 | 0.01560442 | 0.015614264 | 1.0006309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.075409345 | 0.13768268 | 0.13769992 | 1.0001253 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.5435764E-4 | 2.5435764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010892724 | 0.0010892724 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013110317 | 0.0131201865 | 1.0007528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.064337276 | 0.11778019 | 0.11779784 | 1.0001498 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.2721119E-4 | 2.2721119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.731267E-4 | 9.731267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011731321 | 0.011741203 | 1.0008425 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058367174 | 0.10690057 | 0.10691843 | 1.0001671 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0961814E-4 | 2.0961814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.978382E-4 | 8.978382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055782744 | 0.0108359 | 0.010845792 | 1.0009129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0544031 | 0.09972463 | 0.09974263 | 1.0001806 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.885338E-4 | 1.885338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.0758316E-4 | 8.0758316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009756578 | 0.00976648 | 1.001015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04933773 | 0.090611525 | 0.09062971 | 1.0002007 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.5189676E-4 | 1.5189676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.507896E-4 | 6.507896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041944524 | 0.007888015 | 0.007888015 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04116161 | 0.07538742 | 0.075396664 | 1.0001227 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4729227E-4 | 1.4729227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.3106994E-4 | 6.3106994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004070005 | 0.007650317 | 0.007650317 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039962657 | 0.07323393 | 0.0732432 | 1.0001266 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2833055E-4 | 1.2833055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.4985436E-4 | 5.4985436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036279052 | 0.006670683 | 0.006670683 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03569247 | 0.0643011 | 0.06431046 | 1.0001456 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.0242065E-4 | 1.0242065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.3887235E-4 | 4.3887235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030218933 | 0.005330279 | 0.005330279 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029811295 | 0.05196037 | 0.051969852 | 1.0001825 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.658454E-5 | 8.658454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.7102433E-4 | 3.7102433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025986114 | 0.004507955 | 0.004507955 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025684336 | 0.044208836 | 0.044218395 | 1.0002162 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.192514E-5 | 7.192514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.082145E-4 | 3.082145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022328163 | 0.003746112 | 0.003746112 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022105146 | 0.03712017 | 0.0371298 | 1.0002594 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.6531728E-5 | 5.6531728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.422565E-4 | 2.422565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0029455135 | 0.0029455135 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017841442 | 0.02944424 | 0.029453946 | 1.0003296 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.118898E-5 | 4.118898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.7651236E-4 | 1.7651236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0021469372 | 0.0021469372 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013325208 | 0.021591313 | 0.021601098 | 1.0004531 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.8934088E-5 | 2.8934088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2399735E-4 | 1.2399735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0015086246 | 0.0015086246 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009349857 | 0.015259979 | 0.015269827 | 1.0006453 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.6225374E-5 | 2.6225374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.1238963E-4 | 1.1238963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0013674871 | 0.0013674871 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008104719 | 0.013849086 | 0.013858948 | 1.000712 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.9566303E-5 | 1.9566303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.3852894E-5 | 8.3852894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010204322 | 0.0010204322 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057804612 | 0.010372436 | 0.010382332 | 1.0009542 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.0703091E-5 | 1.0703091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.5869583E-5 | 4.5869583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.583192E-4 | 5.583192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032371588 | 0.005749537 | 0.00575948 | 1.0017292 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.671035E-6 | 9.671035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.1446634E-5 | 4.1446634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 5.0449604E-4 | 5.0449604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027645302 | 0.0051898607 | 0.005199809 | 1.0019169 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.561899E-6 | 7.561899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.2407737E-5 | 3.2407737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.9449285E-4 | 3.9449285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.0040337993 | 0.0040437593 | 1.0024691 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.514993E-6 | 4.514993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.9349827E-5 | 1.9349827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.3555872E-4 | 2.3555872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.0024007114 | 0.0024007114 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.432312E-6 | 2.432312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.0424153E-5 | 1.0424153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.269067E-4 | 1.269067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0012988967 | 0.0012988967 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1616575E-5 | 3.1616575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3549335E-4 | 1.3549335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016485197 | 0.0016485197 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016376657 | 0.01639633 | 1.0012013 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1616575E-5 | 3.1616575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3549335E-4 | 1.3549335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016485197 | 0.0016485197 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016376657 | 0.01639633 | 1.0012013 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1616575E-5 | 3.1616575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3549335E-4 | 1.3549335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016485197 | 0.0016485197 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016376657 | 0.01639633 | 1.0012013 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7812346E-5 | 1.7812346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.63365E-5 | 7.63365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2901883E-4 | 9.2901883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.009253225 | 0.00927304 | 1.0021414 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7812346E-5 | 1.7812346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.63365E-5 | 7.63365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2901883E-4 | 9.2901883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.009253225 | 0.00927304 | 1.0021414 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3048484E-5 | 1.3048484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5920897E-5 | 5.5920897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8062794E-4 | 6.8062794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063656955 | 0.0067858323 | 0.0067957644 | 1.0014637 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1161185E-5 | 1.1161185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.783279E-5 | 4.783279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.8221084E-4 | 5.8221084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005458487 | 0.005807096 | 0.005807096 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.240453E-6 | 9.240453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9601346E-5 | 3.9601346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.8204028E-4 | 4.8204028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.0048100147 | 0.0048100147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.820383E-6 | 8.820383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7801095E-5 | 3.7801095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.601316E-4 | 4.601316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.004591842 | 0.004591842 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.5683E-6 | 8.5683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.672077E-5 | 3.672077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4698408E-4 | 4.4698408E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044609015 | 0.0044609015 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.07779E-6 | 8.07779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4618643E-5 | 3.4618643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2140085E-4 | 4.2140085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.004206065 | 0.004206065 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5486796E-6 | 7.5486796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.2351083E-5 | 3.2351083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9380364E-4 | 3.9380364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.003931101 | 0.003931101 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.830026E-6 | 6.830026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9271214E-5 | 2.9271214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5631898E-4 | 3.5631898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.003557505 | 0.003557505 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.822228E-6 | 5.822228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4952169E-5 | 2.4952169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.037505E-4 | 3.037505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030333763 | 0.0030333763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.313856E-6 | 4.313856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8487824E-5 | 1.8487824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2506609E-4 | 2.2506609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022483903 | 0.0022483903 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4761298E-6 | 2.4761298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0611942E-5 | 1.0611942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2919279E-4 | 1.2919279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012911819 | 0.0012911819 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.863688E-7 | 9.863688E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2272886E-6 | 4.2272886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1466035E-5 | 5.1466035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1454245E-4 | 5.1454245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6422146E-7 | 2.6422146E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1323772E-6 | 1.1323772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3786606E-5 | 1.3786606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3785758E-4 | 1.3785758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.9663078E-8 | 3.9663078E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6998462E-7 | 1.6998462E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0695609E-6 | 2.0695609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0695437E-5 | 2.0695437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.94895E-10 | 5.94895E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.54955E-9 | 2.54955E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.104077E-8 | 3.104077E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.1040764E-7 | 3.1040764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.7905116E-6 | 6.7905116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9101868E-5 | 2.9101868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.5425773E-4 | 3.7425064E-4 | 1.0564361 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036169963 | 0.003636924 | 1.0055095 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.7905116E-6 | 6.7905116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9101868E-5 | 2.9101868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.5425773E-4 | 3.7425064E-4 | 1.0564361 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036169963 | 0.003636924 | 1.0055095 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.7905116E-6 | 6.7905116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9101868E-5 | 2.9101868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.5425773E-4 | 3.7425064E-4 | 1.0564361 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036169963 | 0.003636924 | 1.0055095 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.7905116E-6 | 6.7905116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9101868E-5 | 2.9101868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.5425773E-4 | 3.7425064E-4 | 1.0564361 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036169963 | 0.003636924 | 1.0055095 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.7905116E-6 | 6.7905116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9101868E-5 | 2.9101868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.5425773E-4 | 3.7425064E-4 | 1.0564361 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0036169963 | 0.003636924 | 1.0055095 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.7507162E-6 | 6.7507162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8931321E-5 | 2.8931321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.52182E-4 | 3.7217495E-4 | 1.0567688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035963065 | 0.0036162345 | 1.0055412 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.7507162E-6 | 6.7507162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8931321E-5 | 2.8931321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.52182E-4 | 3.7217495E-4 | 1.0567688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035963065 | 0.0036162345 | 1.0055412 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.669862E-6 | 6.669862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8584811E-5 | 2.8584811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.4796458E-4 | 3.679576E-4 | 1.0574571 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0035542676 | 0.0035741965 | 1.005607 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.6643447E-6 | 6.6643447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8561164E-5 | 2.8561164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4767677E-4 | 3.6766983E-4 | 1.0575047 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0035513989 | 0.0035713278 | 1.0056115 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.65572E-6 | 6.65572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.8524202E-5 | 2.8524202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4722692E-4 | 3.6721997E-4 | 1.0575793 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0035469146 | 0.0035668437 | 1.0056187 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.645819E-6 | 6.645819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.8481772E-5 | 2.8481772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.4671047E-4 | 3.6670355E-4 | 1.057665 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0035417667 | 0.003561696 | 1.0056269 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.6345087E-6 | 6.6345087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.84333E-5 | 2.84333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.461205E-4 | 3.6611359E-4 | 1.0577633 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.003535887 | 0.0035558164 | 1.0056363 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.6164316E-6 | 6.6164316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.8355827E-5 | 2.8355827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.451776E-4 | 3.6517068E-4 | 1.0579212 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0035264927 | 0.003546422 | 1.0056514 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.5971344E-6 | 6.5971344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.8273127E-5 | 2.8273127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.44171E-4 | 3.6416415E-4 | 1.0580907 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0035164692 | 0.0035363988 | 1.0056676 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.578127E-6 | 6.578127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.819167E-5 | 2.819167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.431796E-4 | 3.6317273E-4 | 1.0582585 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.003506598 | 0.003526528 | 1.0056835 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.5543E-6 | 6.5543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.8089557E-5 | 2.8089557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.4193674E-4 | 3.619299E-4 | 1.0584704 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034942203 | 0.0035141506 | 1.0057037 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.5132513E-6 | 6.5132513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7913637E-5 | 2.7913637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.397956E-4 | 3.597888E-4 | 1.058839 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0034728711 | 0.0034928017 | 1.005739 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.304706E-6 | 6.304706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.7019887E-5 | 2.7019887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2891755E-4 | 3.4891095E-4 | 1.0607855 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0033639574 | 0.0033838903 | 1.0059254 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.8620035E-6 | 5.8620035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.512263E-5 | 2.512263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.871688E-4 | 3.0582515E-4 | 3.25819E-4 | 1.0653769 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0031321282 | 0.0031520657 | 1.0063654 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.1782682E-6 | 4.1782682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7906741E-5 | 1.7906741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.179928E-4 | 2.3798844E-4 | 1.0917262 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0022473817 | 0.0022673367 | 1.0088793 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.601682E-6 | 2.601682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.1150018E-5 | 1.1150018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3574303E-4 | 1.3574303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0014129495 | 0.0014129495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2560324E-6 | 1.2560324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.382985E-6 | 5.382985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.553589E-5 | 6.553589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.893984E-4 | 6.893984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.2922183E-7 | 2.2922183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.823789E-7 | 9.823789E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1960397E-5 | 1.1960397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.3409072E-4 | 1.3409072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 5.03372E-8 | 5.03372E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.1573084E-7 | 2.1573084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.62652E-6 | 2.62652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 3.0287772E-5 | 3.0287772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2817534E-5 | 3.2817534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4063957E-4 | 1.4063957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017110477 | 0.0017210306 | 1.0058343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016989555 | 0.017009215 | 1.0011572 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2817534E-5 | 3.2817534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4063957E-4 | 1.4063957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017110477 | 0.0017210306 | 1.0058343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016989555 | 0.017009215 | 1.0011572 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2817534E-5 | 3.2817534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4063957E-4 | 1.4063957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017110477 | 0.0017210306 | 1.0058343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016989555 | 0.017009215 | 1.0011572 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8340232E-5 | 1.8340232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.859873E-5 | 7.859873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5653813E-4 | 9.5653813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009526135 | 0.009536041 | 1.0010397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8340232E-5 | 1.8340232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.859873E-5 | 7.859873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5653813E-4 | 9.5653813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009526135 | 0.009536041 | 1.0010397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3700074E-5 | 1.3700074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.8713344E-5 | 5.8713344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.1461085E-4 | 7.1461085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066292146 | 0.007124183 | 0.0071341116 | 1.0013937 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.369216E-5 | 1.369216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.8679423E-5 | 5.8679423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.1419816E-4 | 7.1419816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066252467 | 0.007120082 | 0.007130011 | 1.0013945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0891E-5 | 1.0891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.667492E-5 | 4.667492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.6812604E-4 | 5.6812604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005287399 | 0.0056674485 | 0.005677392 | 1.0017544 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.936855E-6 | 8.936855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.8300277E-5 | 3.8300277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.6621176E-4 | 4.6621176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004347378 | 0.0046529025 | 0.004662856 | 1.0021392 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.5390633E-6 | 5.5390633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.3738645E-5 | 2.3738645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.889829E-4 | 2.889829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027063051 | 0.0028863926 | 0.0028863926 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.6456E-6 | 4.6456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.990958E-5 | 1.990958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.4237514E-4 | 2.4237514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022720827 | 0.0024214012 | 0.0024214012 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.232647E-6 | 3.232647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.3854143E-5 | 1.3854143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6866376E-4 | 1.6866376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001584897 | 0.0016856154 | 0.0016856154 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7342388E-6 | 1.7342388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.4324425E-6 | 7.4324425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 9.04883E-5 | 9.04883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5658056E-4 | 9.047174E-4 | 9.047174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.2978542E-7 | 3.2978542E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.4133653E-6 | 1.4133653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.7207589E-5 | 1.7207589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.7206265E-4 | 1.7206265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.1030264E-7 | 2.1030264E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 9.012967E-7 | 9.012967E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.0973233E-5 | 1.0973233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.0972694E-4 | 1.0972694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.07171545E-7 | 1.07171545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.5930653E-7 | 4.5930653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.5920427E-6 | 5.5920427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.5919034E-5 | 5.5919034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.3534143E-8 | 3.3534143E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.4371774E-7 | 1.4371774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.7497621E-6 | 1.7497621E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.7497485E-5 | 1.7497485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 8.094505E-9 | 8.094505E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 3.4690732E-8 | 3.4690732E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 4.223596E-7 | 4.223596E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 4.2235883E-6 | 4.2235883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 7.795996E-10 | 7.795996E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 3.3411411E-9 | 3.3411411E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 4.0678394E-8 | 4.0678394E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 4.067839E-7 | 4.067839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1660622E-4 | 3.1660622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003162204 | 0.0031821409 | 1.0063047 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1660622E-4 | 3.1660622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003162204 | 0.0031821409 | 1.0063047 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1660622E-4 | 3.1660622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003162204 | 0.0031821409 | 1.0063047 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1660622E-4 | 3.1660622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003162204 | 0.0031821409 | 1.0063047 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.558342E-6 | 3.558342E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5249955E-5 | 1.5249955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8565348E-4 | 1.8565348E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018550922 | 0.0018750551 | 1.0107611 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.500261E-6 | 3.500261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.5001038E-5 | 1.5001038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8262344E-4 | 1.8262344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018248418 | 0.0018448053 | 1.0109398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3334849E-6 | 2.3334849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 1.0000614E-5 | 1.0000614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.21751094E-4 | 1.21751094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012168863 | 0.0012268742 | 1.0082077 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6490337E-6 | 1.6490337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.067269E-6 | 7.067269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.604079E-5 | 8.604079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060454 | 8.6009334E-4 | 8.7008474E-4 | 1.0116166 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.225089E-6 | 1.225089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.2503715E-6 | 5.2503715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.3921485E-5 | 6.3921485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017921652 | 6.3904014E-4 | 6.4903375E-4 | 1.0156385 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0038736E-6 | 1.0038736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.302309E-6 | 4.302309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2379433E-5 | 5.2379433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016353652 | 5.236785E-4 | 5.336733E-4 | 1.0190856 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.432917E-7 | 7.432917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1855323E-6 | 3.1855323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8783215E-5 | 3.8783215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8776948E-4 | 3.977656E-4 | 1.0257785 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.426174E-7 | 5.426174E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.325501E-6 | 2.325501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.831265E-5 | 2.831265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.8309447E-4 | 2.8309447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.0759148E-7 | 1.0759148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6110628E-7 | 4.6110628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.6139556E-6 | 5.6139556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.613825E-5 | 5.613825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.011449E-8 | 5.011449E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1477638E-7 | 2.1477638E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6148998E-6 | 2.6148998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6148737E-5 | 2.6148737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.880312E-9 | 4.880312E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0915623E-8 | 2.0915623E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.546477E-7 | 2.546477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5464751E-6 | 2.5464751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.1224866E-4 | 5.1224866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021935443 | 0.0021935443 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026387203 | 0.026387203 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.13367249 | 0.23029637 | 0.23031177 | 1.0000669 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.9251405E-4 | 4.9251405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001086234 | 0.002109106 | 0.002109106 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013144928 | 0.025370395 | 0.025370395 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.123940155 | 0.22150089 | 0.22151646 | 1.0000703 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.833596E-4 | 4.833596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010633124 | 0.002069935 | 0.002069935 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01286919 | 0.024905259 | 0.024905259 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.12148927 | 0.2179861 | 0.21800175 | 1.0000718 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.6418802E-4 | 4.6418802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019878978 | 0.0019878978 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012036599 | 0.023923615 | 0.023923615 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11405133 | 0.2097631 | 0.20977889 | 1.0000753 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 4.03871E-4 | 4.03871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017297426 | 0.0017297426 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010539869 | 0.02084924 | 0.02084924 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.100537635 | 0.18689734 | 0.18691361 | 1.000087 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.746606E-4 | 3.746606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0016047129 | 0.0016047129 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009633281 | 0.019359175 | 0.019359175 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0922623 | 0.17504962 | 0.17506611 | 1.0000943 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4469E-4 | 3.4469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.001476417 | 0.001476417 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008617763 | 0.017829387 | 0.017829387 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08291132 | 0.16241018 | 0.16242693 | 1.0001031 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.1147627E-4 | 3.1147627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013342238 | 0.0013342238 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073952693 | 0.016123172 | 0.016123172 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07153955 | 0.14795466 | 0.14797169 | 1.0001152 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.8107315E-4 | 2.8107315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0012040496 | 0.0012040496 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014562197 | 0.014562197 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06225166 | 0.13420439 | 0.1342217 | 1.000129 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5247285E-4 | 2.5247285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010815822 | 0.0010815822 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051317946 | 0.013089739 | 0.013089739 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05014893 | 0.12035583 | 0.12037342 | 1.0001462 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1436662E-4 | 2.1436662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.1839384E-4 | 9.1839384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003811904 | 0.011124816 | 0.011124816 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037471764 | 0.10276075 | 0.10277869 | 1.0001746 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.1135523E-4 | 2.1135523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 9.0549694E-4 | 9.0549694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003737482 | 0.010969387 | 0.010969387 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03675245 | 0.1013882 | 0.10140617 | 1.0001773 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9297395E-4 | 1.9297395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.267722E-4 | 8.267722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033683628 | 0.010020124 | 0.010020124 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.033177625 | 0.093175285 | 0.09318435 | 1.0000973 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7961462E-4 | 1.7961462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.695528E-4 | 7.695528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009329639 | 0.009329639 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031268585 | 0.0872026 | 0.08721173 | 1.0001047 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1624175E-4 | 1.1624175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.980847E-4 | 4.980847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021888057 | 0.0060474914 | 0.0060474914 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02167372 | 0.057938967 | 0.05794839 | 1.0001626 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.42514E-5 | 8.42514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.6102775E-4 | 3.6102775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0043867147 | 0.0043867147 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016201803 | 0.042545125 | 0.0425547 | 1.0002251 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.1625615E-5 | 6.1625615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6408318E-4 | 2.6408318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012032706 | 0.003210496 | 0.003210496 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011967761 | 0.031381864 | 0.03139155 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.077305E-5 | 4.077305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7472997E-4 | 1.7472997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0021252674 | 0.0021252674 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007582182 | 0.020925004 | 0.020934794 | 1.0004679 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.1511983E-5 | 3.1511983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3504438E-4 | 1.3504438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016429278 | 0.0016429278 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053875 | 0.01626945 | 0.01626945 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2592449E-5 | 2.2592449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.682119E-5 | 9.682119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011781616 | 0.0011781616 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004237258 | 0.01182428 | 0.01182428 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.839056E-5 | 1.839056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.881431E-5 | 7.881431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.591426E-4 | 9.591426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009680447 | 0.009680447 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.558741E-6 | 6.558741E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.8108589E-5 | 2.8108589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.4216847E-4 | 3.4216847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0035746922 | 0.0035746922 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 2.0056139E-6 | 2.0056139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.59546E-6 | 8.59546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0464473E-4 | 1.0464473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.001142868 | 0.001142868 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.5202582E-8 | 1.5202582E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.515392E-8 | 6.515392E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.93249E-7 | 7.93249E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 8.26273E-6 | 8.26273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7941865E-5 | 2.7941865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.197456E-4 | 1.197456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014569708 | 0.0014669563 | 1.0068536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.014478746 | 0.014498456 | 1.0013614 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7582934E-5 | 1.7582934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.535331E-5 | 7.535331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011033333 | 9.1704977E-4 | 9.1704977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010978713 | 0.009133664 | 0.009133664 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.333353E-5 | 1.333353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7142464E-5 | 5.7142464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.9549E-4 | 6.9549E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069334283 | 0.0069334283 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1184154E-5 | 1.1184154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.793121E-5 | 4.793121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.834072E-4 | 5.834072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070501505 | 0.0058188746 | 0.0058188746 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0005289E-5 | 1.0005289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.287911E-5 | 4.287911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.219286E-4 | 5.219286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006304447 | 0.0052070958 | 0.0052070958 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.371466E-6 | 9.371466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.016281E-5 | 4.016281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.8887293E-4 | 4.8887293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059054173 | 0.004878034 | 0.004878034 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.1388425E-6 | 8.1388425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.488029E-5 | 3.488029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2458499E-4 | 4.2458499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051267436 | 0.00423777 | 0.00423777 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.3215638E-6 | 7.3215638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1377753E-5 | 3.1377753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8195736E-4 | 3.8195736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038130344 | 0.0038130344 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.394538E-6 | 6.394538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.7404878E-5 | 2.7404878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3360344E-4 | 3.3360344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.0033310477 | 0.0033310477 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.460797E-6 | 5.460797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3403207E-5 | 2.3403207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.848969E-4 | 2.848969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0028453337 | 0.0028453337 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.572062E-6 | 4.572062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9594405E-5 | 1.9594405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3853588E-4 | 2.3853588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023828123 | 0.0023828123 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.754274E-6 | 3.754274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6089647E-5 | 1.6089647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9587394E-4 | 1.9587394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.0019570251 | 0.0019570251 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.4265632E-6 | 2.4265632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0399515E-5 | 1.0399515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2660676E-4 | 1.2660676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012653489 | 0.0012653489 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.770188E-6 | 1.770188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.5864978E-6 | 7.5864978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.23617E-5 | 9.23617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.23235E-4 | 9.23235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4393269E-6 | 1.4393269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.168529E-6 | 6.168529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.5099255E-5 | 7.5099255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.507405E-4 | 7.507405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1314946E-6 | 1.1314946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.8492534E-6 | 4.8492534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.9038062E-5 | 5.9038062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.9022545E-4 | 5.9022545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.688838E-7 | 7.688838E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.295212E-6 | 3.295212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.011847E-5 | 4.011847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.011138E-4 | 4.011138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0145895E-7 | 4.0145895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7205372E-6 | 1.7205372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0947338E-5 | 2.0947338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0945512E-4 | 2.0945512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5364103E-7 | 1.5364103E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.584614E-7 | 6.584614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 8.016737E-6 | 8.016737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 8.016592E-5 | 8.016592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.6635467E-8 | 4.6635467E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9986628E-7 | 1.9986628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.4333692E-6 | 2.4333692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4334848E-5 | 2.4334848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.1704644E-10 | 9.1704644E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.930198E-9 | 3.930198E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.785016E-8 | 4.785016E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.796307E-7 | 4.796307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896409E-5 | 3.89638E-5 | 1.3452451 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 3.725817E-4 | 1.0567033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003521082 | 0.0035410116 | 1.00566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896409E-5 | 3.89638E-5 | 1.3452451 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 3.725817E-4 | 1.0567033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003521082 | 0.0035410116 | 1.00566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896409E-5 | 3.89638E-5 | 1.3452451 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 3.725817E-4 | 1.0567033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003521082 | 0.0035410116 | 1.00566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896409E-5 | 3.89638E-5 | 1.3452451 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 3.725817E-4 | 1.0567033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003521082 | 0.0035410116 | 1.00566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896409E-5 | 3.89638E-5 | 1.3452451 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 3.725817E-4 | 1.0567033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003521082 | 0.0035410116 | 1.00566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2575285E-6 | 3.2575285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3960767E-5 | 1.3960767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.699599E-4 | 1.699599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016983787 | 0.0016983787 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2575285E-6 | 3.2575285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3960767E-5 | 1.3960767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.699599E-4 | 1.699599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016983787 | 0.0016983787 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2074E-6 | 2.2074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.460253E-6 | 9.460253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1517268E-4 | 1.1517268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011511494 | 0.0011511494 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7367653E-6 | 1.7367653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.4432587E-6 | 7.4432587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.061801E-5 | 9.061801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.058203E-4 | 9.058203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3690272E-6 | 1.3690272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.8672467E-6 | 5.8672467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.143143E-5 | 7.143143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.1408926E-4 | 7.1408926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1415182E-6 | 1.1415182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8922116E-6 | 4.8922116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.956108E-5 | 5.956108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.954543E-4 | 5.954543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.3038193E-7 | 9.3038193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.9873453E-6 | 3.9873453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.854486E-5 | 4.854486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8534435E-4 | 4.8534435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.7201313E-7 | 6.7201313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8800532E-6 | 2.8800532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.506409E-5 | 3.506409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.5058646E-4 | 3.5058646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.9399233E-7 | 4.9399233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1171084E-6 | 2.1171084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5775495E-5 | 2.5775495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5772554E-4 | 2.5772554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.3000245E-7 | 3.3000245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4142954E-6 | 1.4142954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7218914E-5 | 1.7218914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7217603E-4 | 1.7217603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4752247E-7 | 1.4752247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.3223905E-7 | 6.3223905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.697484E-6 | 7.697484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.6972254E-5 | 7.6972254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7356326E-8 | 1.7356326E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.438425E-8 | 7.438425E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.05628E-7 | 9.05628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.056248E-6 | 9.056248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.104408E-5 | 1.104408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7331207E-5 | 4.7331207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7615776E-4 | 5.7615776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005751809 | 0.0057617514 | 1.0017285 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.104408E-5 | 1.104408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7331207E-5 | 4.7331207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7615776E-4 | 5.7615776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005751809 | 0.0057617514 | 1.0017285 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2088905E-6 | 2.2088905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.466663E-6 | 9.466663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1525472E-4 | 1.1525472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011523612 | 0.0011523612 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2088905E-6 | 2.2088905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.466663E-6 | 9.466663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1525472E-4 | 1.1525472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011523612 | 0.0011523612 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8114407E-6 | 1.8114407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.763318E-6 | 7.763318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.4518386E-5 | 9.4518386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.4518386E-4 | 9.4518386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.8117276E-4 | 4.8117276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020605768 | 0.0020605768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024792729 | 0.024792729 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11088423 | 0.2151465 | 0.21516219 | 1.000073 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.8117276E-4 | 4.8117276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020605768 | 0.0020605768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024792729 | 0.024792729 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11088423 | 0.2151465 | 0.21516219 | 1.000073 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.719101E-4 | 4.719101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020209413 | 0.0020209413 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011405343 | 0.02432181 | 0.02432181 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.10837428 | 0.2115607 | 0.21157648 | 1.0000745 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.6624627E-4 | 4.6624627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019967053 | 0.0019967053 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011262234 | 0.024033653 | 0.024033653 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.107082725 | 0.20945013 | 0.20946594 | 1.0000755 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0498993E-4 | 4.0498993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017345313 | 0.0017345313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00974259 | 0.020911608 | 0.020911608 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.093263686 | 0.18619746 | 0.18621375 | 1.0000874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7913994E-4 | 3.7913994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.001623886 | 0.001623886 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009034078 | 0.019591484 | 0.019591484 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.086755216 | 0.1759883 | 0.17600478 | 1.0000937 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.5305854E-4 | 3.5305854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.001512241 | 0.001512241 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008271996 | 0.018256035 | 0.018256035 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07970774 | 0.16534516 | 0.16536185 | 1.000101 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2445433E-4 | 3.2445433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.001389786 | 0.001389786 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007417723 | 0.016789418 | 0.016789418 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07174956 | 0.15340978 | 0.1534267 | 1.0001104 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9377453E-4 | 2.9377453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012584325 | 0.0012584325 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015215256 | 0.015215256 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06264243 | 0.13965935 | 0.13967654 | 1.0001233 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.650092E-4 | 2.650092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011352637 | 0.0011352637 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005298089 | 0.013735261 | 0.013735261 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05173543 | 0.12595871 | 0.12597619 | 1.0001388 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2583439E-4 | 2.2583439E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.675059E-4 | 9.675059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011716484 | 0.011716484 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039192066 | 0.10801724 | 0.10803508 | 1.0001651 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2264084E-4 | 2.2264084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.538293E-4 | 9.538293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039125155 | 0.01155175 | 0.01155175 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.038443442 | 0.106572315 | 0.10659019 | 1.0001676 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0385098E-4 | 2.0385098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.7335764E-4 | 8.7335764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010581938 | 0.010581938 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.034803 | 0.09822296 | 0.09823198 | 1.0000918 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.9008302E-4 | 1.9008302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.1439014E-4 | 8.1439014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009870722 | 0.009870722 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03284188 | 0.092094444 | 0.09210352 | 1.0000986 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2657081E-4 | 1.2657081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.4233446E-4 | 5.4233446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006583109 | 0.006583109 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023241805 | 0.06292096 | 0.06293033 | 1.0001489 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.441282E-5 | 9.441282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0456394E-4 | 4.0456394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004914505 | 0.004914505 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01775316 | 0.047527622 | 0.047537148 | 1.0002004 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.145107E-5 | 7.145107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0618306E-4 | 3.0618306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001354725 | 0.0037214314 | 0.0037214314 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013464959 | 0.0362562 | 0.03626584 | 1.0002658 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 5.0193445E-5 | 5.0193445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1509705E-4 | 2.1509705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0026156674 | 0.0026156674 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008982267 | 0.025647929 | 0.025657672 | 1.0003799 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 4.03776E-5 | 4.03776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7303538E-4 | 1.7303538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0021046728 | 0.0021046728 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020743214 | 0.020743214 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.9299395E-5 | 2.9299395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.255628E-4 | 1.255628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0015276562 | 0.0015276562 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005308505 | 0.015247514 | 0.015247514 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.375252E-5 | 2.375252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 1.01792546E-4 | 1.01792546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012386205 | 0.0012386205 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012432176 | 0.012432176 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.533176E-6 | 7.533176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.2284643E-5 | 3.2284643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.9299476E-4 | 3.9299476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0041027917 | 0.0041027917 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2969148E-6 | 2.2969148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.843884E-6 | 9.843884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.1984273E-4 | 1.1984273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0013071761 | 0.0013071761 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.8044943E-8 | 1.8044943E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.7335464E-8 | 7.7335464E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.415592E-7 | 9.415592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.810135E-6 | 9.810135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1721256E-4 | 2.374117E-4 | 2.374117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.022428E-4 | 0.0010168718 | 0.0010168718 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060976758 | 0.012286383 | 0.01229626 | 1.000804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0593305 | 0.11312783 | 0.11314556 | 1.0001568 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3862428E-4 | 1.3862428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.9393345E-4 | 5.9393345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.007200976 | 0.007210904 | 1.0013787 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035825435 | 0.06804339 | 0.06805271 | 1.000137 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3862428E-4 | 1.3862428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.9393345E-4 | 5.9393345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.007200976 | 0.007210904 | 1.0013787 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035825435 | 0.06804339 | 0.06805271 | 1.000137 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.970908E-5 | 1.3830523E-4 | 1.3830523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9871898E-4 | 5.9256714E-4 | 5.9256714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036308395 | 0.0071844896 | 0.007194418 | 1.0013819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035720866 | 0.067892194 | 0.067901514 | 1.0001373 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.9517155E-5 | 1.3797385E-4 | 1.3797385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9789665E-4 | 5.911479E-4 | 5.911479E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036208609 | 0.0071673742 | 0.0071773026 | 1.0013852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03562429 | 0.06773603 | 0.06774536 | 1.0001377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.786248E-5 | 9.4624564E-5 | 9.4624564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0510878E-4 | 4.0547317E-4 | 4.0547317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024943394 | 0.004925904 | 0.0049358546 | 1.0020201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02466527 | 0.047110546 | 0.047120076 | 1.0002023 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.4662214E-5 | 8.927471E-5 | 8.927471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9139545E-4 | 3.8255242E-4 | 3.8255242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023277493 | 0.004648098 | 0.0046580513 | 1.0021415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02303517 | 0.044495128 | 0.044504683 | 1.0002147 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.884542E-5 | 7.9078396E-5 | 7.9078396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6646975E-4 | 3.388659E-4 | 3.388659E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024885 | 0.0041183373 | 0.004128296 | 1.0024182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020065336 | 0.03952378 | 0.039533388 | 1.0002431 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4221863E-5 | 6.893244E-5 | 6.893244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4665688E-4 | 2.9539366E-4 | 2.9539366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017840851 | 0.0035909126 | 0.0036008768 | 1.0027748 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017698295 | 0.03458925 | 0.034598906 | 1.0002791 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6927712E-5 | 3.0232468E-5 | 3.0232468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2545314E-5 | 1.2956161E-4 | 1.2956161E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.828813E-4 | 0.0015763288 | 0.001586313 | 1.0063338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008793819 | 0.015543452 | 0.0155532975 | 1.0006334 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2509653E-5 | 2.261318E-5 | 2.261318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611697E-5 | 9.6910284E-5 | 9.6910284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.525269E-4 | 0.0011792886 | 0.0011892768 | 1.0084697 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065061417 | 0.01165394 | 0.011663823 | 1.000848 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.751583E-6 | 1.5029173E-5 | 1.5029173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.750624E-5 | 6.4409185E-5 | 6.4409185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5654282E-4 | 7.8390556E-4 | 7.8390556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045560603 | 0.007813985 | 0.007813985 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.354379E-6 | 1.1592757E-5 | 1.1592757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7232769E-5 | 4.9682327E-5 | 4.9682327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3150852E-4 | 6.0471933E-4 | 6.0471933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033101442 | 0.006046403 | 0.006046403 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.645554E-6 | 8.896955E-6 | 8.896955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9909365E-5 | 3.812927E-5 | 3.812927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4236954E-4 | 4.6412897E-4 | 4.6412897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024210536 | 0.00464947 | 0.00464947 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.23437E-6 | 8.064392E-6 | 8.064392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8147173E-5 | 3.4561246E-5 | 3.4561246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2091944E-4 | 4.2070585E-4 | 4.2070585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022069993 | 0.0042174067 | 0.0042174067 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.2187417E-6 | 3.9895176E-6 | 3.9895176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.508858E-6 | 1.7097835E-5 | 1.7097835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.157642E-4 | 2.0814892E-4 | 2.0814892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011570391 | 0.0020921575 | 0.0020921575 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.7952495E-8 | 3.904571E-8 | 3.904571E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1979641E-7 | 1.6733874E-7 | 1.6733874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585203E-6 | 2.0373473E-6 | 2.0373473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585107E-5 | 2.0453888E-5 | 2.0453888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7192724E-8 | 2.3594975E-8 | 2.3594975E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.36831E-8 | 1.01121316E-7 | 1.01121316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9709135E-7 | 1.2311514E-6 | 1.2311514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.970877E-6 | 1.236885E-5 | 1.236885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.277896E-5 | 3.277896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.404741E-4 | 1.404741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017090025 | 0.0017289683 | 1.0116827 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016966157 | 0.016985817 | 1.0011588 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.277896E-5 | 3.277896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.404741E-4 | 1.404741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017090025 | 0.0017189854 | 1.0058414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016966157 | 0.016975986 | 1.0005794 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.11726E-5 | 2.11726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2418206E-5 | 9.073669E-5 | 9.073669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0011041826 | 0.0011141715 | 1.0090464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00998465 | 0.010989377 | 0.010999267 | 1.0008999 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.45575805E-5 | 1.45575805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.238819E-5 | 6.238819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.593207E-4 | 7.693131E-4 | 1.0131596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006888649 | 0.00756821 | 0.007578134 | 1.0013113 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.578076E-6 | 8.578076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.676268E-5 | 3.676268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.474971E-4 | 4.5749263E-4 | 1.0223365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004071363 | 0.004466301 | 0.004476256 | 1.002229 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.821341E-6 | 5.821341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4948376E-5 | 2.4948376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.0370627E-4 | 3.1370323E-4 | 1.0329165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027656353 | 0.0030331218 | 0.0030430914 | 1.003287 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.9509123E-6 | 3.9509123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6932381E-5 | 1.6932381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.061338E-4 | 2.1613174E-4 | 1.0485022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018768552 | 0.0020595803 | 0.0020695596 | 1.0048454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.785186E-6 | 2.785186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.1936464E-5 | 1.1936464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4531809E-4 | 1.4531809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013224703 | 0.0014523607 | 0.0014523607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.3322132E-6 | 1.3322132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.709478E-6 | 5.709478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.951165E-5 | 6.951165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.949943E-4 | 6.949943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4475854E-4 | 1.4475854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017612677 | 0.0017612677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.0174987 | 0.01751835 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4475854E-4 | 1.4475854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017612677 | 0.0017612677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.0174987 | 0.01751835 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4475854E-4 | 1.4475854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017612677 | 0.0017612677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.0174987 | 0.01751835 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4475854E-4 | 1.4475854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017612677 | 0.0017612677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.0174987 | 0.01751835 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7046083E-5 | 1.7046083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.3052724E-5 | 7.3052724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8907714E-4 | 8.8907714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008857573 | 0.008867485 | 1.001119 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7046083E-5 | 1.7046083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.3052724E-5 | 7.3052724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8907714E-4 | 8.8907714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008857573 | 0.008867485 | 1.001119 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2145187E-5 | 1.2145187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.2049774E-5 | 5.2049774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3352403E-4 | 6.3352403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063174693 | 0.0063174693 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2145187E-5 | 1.2145187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.2049774E-5 | 5.2049774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3352403E-4 | 6.3352403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063174693 | 0.0063174693 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1366764E-5 | 1.1366764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8713802E-5 | 4.8713802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.929311E-4 | 5.929311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007104293 | 0.005913739 | 0.005913739 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1344849E-5 | 1.1344849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8619884E-5 | 4.8619884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.9178827E-4 | 5.9178827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007094092 | 0.005902372 | 0.005902372 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1264346E-5 | 1.1264346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8274884E-5 | 4.8274884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.8759016E-4 | 5.8759016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007055073 | 0.0058606127 | 0.0058606127 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0740246E-5 | 1.0740246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.6028825E-5 | 4.6028825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.602587E-4 | 5.602587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0055886996 | 0.0055886996 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 1.0011943E-5 | 1.0011943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.290763E-5 | 4.290763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.2227697E-4 | 5.2227697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005210719 | 0.005210719 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.857955E-6 | 8.857955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7962123E-5 | 3.7962123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6209237E-4 | 4.6209237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.004611513 | 0.004611513 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.43713E-6 | 8.43713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.615864E-5 | 3.615864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.4014404E-4 | 4.4014404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0043929163 | 0.0043929163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.3097917E-6 | 7.3097917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1327312E-5 | 3.1327312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8134467E-4 | 3.8134467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.00380708 | 0.00380708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.8768335E-6 | 3.8768335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6614897E-5 | 1.6614897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.022677E-4 | 2.022677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020208498 | 0.0020208498 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.1288967E-6 | 3.1288967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3409488E-5 | 1.3409488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6324838E-4 | 1.6324838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016312939 | 0.0016312939 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0311334E-6 | 2.0311334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.704828E-6 | 8.704828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.05976185E-4 | 1.05976185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010592612 | 0.0010592612 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2779195E-7 | 3.2779195E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4048219E-6 | 1.4048219E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7103575E-5 | 1.7103575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7102291E-4 | 1.7102291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6861955E-9 | 5.6861955E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.436941E-8 | 2.436941E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9669752E-7 | 2.9669752E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9669734E-6 | 2.9669734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.708288E-5 | 3.708288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5891969E-4 | 1.5891969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001933605 | 0.001933605 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.01921433 | 0.019233948 | 1.0010209 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.708288E-5 | 3.708288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5891969E-4 | 1.5891969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001933605 | 0.001933605 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.01921433 | 0.019233948 | 1.0010209 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.708288E-5 | 3.708288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5891969E-4 | 1.5891969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001933605 | 0.001933605 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.01921433 | 0.019233948 | 1.0010209 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.708288E-5 | 3.708288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5891969E-4 | 1.5891969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001933605 | 0.001933605 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.01921433 | 0.019233948 | 1.0010209 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1224721E-5 | 2.1224721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.09609E-5 | 9.09609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011070579 | 0.0011070579 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011032271 | 0.011052051 | 1.0017929 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1224721E-5 | 2.1224721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.09609E-5 | 9.09609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011070579 | 0.0011070579 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011032271 | 0.011052051 | 1.0017929 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.671889E-6 | 9.671889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1450334E-5 | 4.1450334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.045482E-4 | 5.045482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050347517 | 0.005054651 | 1.0039524 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.659453E-6 | 9.659453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.139704E-5 | 4.139704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.0389965E-4 | 5.0389965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005028296 | 0.005048195 | 1.0039575 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.778014E-6 | 7.778014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.333395E-5 | 3.333395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.057702E-4 | 4.057702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004218856 | 0.004050788 | 0.0040607476 | 1.0024587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.4845077E-6 | 5.4845077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3504825E-5 | 2.3504825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8613443E-4 | 2.8613443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.002857738 | 0.002857738 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.985555E-6 | 4.985555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1366492E-5 | 2.1366492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.6010664E-4 | 2.6010664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025980894 | 0.0025980894 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.089683E-6 | 4.089683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7527098E-5 | 1.7527098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1337194E-4 | 2.1337194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021317122 | 0.0021317122 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9796063E-6 | 2.9796063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2769679E-5 | 1.2769679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5545987E-4 | 1.5545987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015535224 | 0.0015535224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0966643E-6 | 2.0966643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.985674E-6 | 8.985674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0939516E-4 | 1.0939516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010934203 | 0.0010934203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.028213E-6 | 1.028213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.4066196E-6 | 4.4066196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3649303E-5 | 5.3649303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.363665E-4 | 5.363665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.920652E-7 | 4.920652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1088495E-6 | 2.1088495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5674955E-5 | 2.5674955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5672145E-4 | 2.5672145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4794457E-7 | 2.4794457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0626192E-6 | 1.0626192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2937316E-5 | 1.2937316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.29366E-4 | 1.29366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.3951746E-8 | 7.3951746E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1693602E-7 | 3.1693602E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8586904E-6 | 3.8586904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.858635E-5 | 3.858635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7627602E-8 | 1.7627602E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.5546865E-8 | 7.5546865E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1978285E-7 | 9.1978285E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.197805E-6 | 9.197805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elmore Ranch
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.102099E-5 | 8.980654E-5 | 8.980654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9003167E-4 | 3.8483538E-4 | 3.8483538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047383 | 0.0046759965 | 0.0046759965 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.046385348 | 0.045968205 | 0.045987286 | 1.0004151 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1632993E-5 | 4.1632993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.7841607E-4 | 1.7841607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0021705069 | 0.0021705069 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019789828 | 0.021666091 | 0.021666091 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1632993E-5 | 4.1632993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.7841607E-4 | 1.7841607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0021705069 | 0.0021705069 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019789828 | 0.021666091 | 0.021666091 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.3197924E-5 | 3.667066E-5 | 3.667066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4226905E-4 | 1.5715245E-4 | 1.5715245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017307495 | 0.001912203 | 0.001912203 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017173318 | 0.019118285 | 0.019118285 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.7506028E-5 | 2.7506028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1788132E-4 | 1.1788132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014349109 | 0.0014349109 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01303681 | 0.014409314 | 0.014409314 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.7506028E-5 | 2.7506028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1788132E-4 | 1.1788132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014349109 | 0.0014349109 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01303681 | 0.014409314 | 0.014409314 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.253152E-6 | 4.253152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.218998E-4 | 2.218998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022168353 | 0.002236791 | 1.0090019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.253152E-6 | 4.253152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.218998E-4 | 2.218998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022168353 | 0.002236791 | 1.0090019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.253152E-6 | 4.253152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.218998E-4 | 2.218998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022168353 | 0.002236791 | 1.0090019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.253152E-6 | 4.253152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.218998E-4 | 2.218998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022168353 | 0.002236791 | 1.0090019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6845538E-6 | 3.6845538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.579085E-5 | 1.579085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.92237E-4 | 1.92237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041566887 | 0.001920742 | 0.0019407036 | 1.0103927 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6845538E-6 | 3.6845538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.579085E-5 | 1.579085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.92237E-4 | 1.92237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041566887 | 0.001920742 | 0.0019407036 | 1.0103927 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4267412E-6 | 3.4267412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4685952E-5 | 1.4685952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7878712E-4 | 1.7878712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017864645 | 0.0017964466 | 1.0055877 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.3646957E-6 | 3.3646957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4420046E-5 | 1.4420046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7555023E-4 | 1.7555023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017541468 | 0.0017641291 | 1.0056908 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.1202428E-6 | 3.1202428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.33724025E-5 | 1.33724025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6279712E-4 | 1.6279712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016268073 | 0.0016367909 | 1.006137 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.9353616E-6 | 2.9353616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.25800625E-5 | 1.25800625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5315178E-4 | 1.5315178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015304901 | 0.0015404748 | 1.0065238 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.643818E-6 | 2.643818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1330601E-5 | 1.1330601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3794159E-4 | 1.3794159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028730053 | 0.001378585 | 0.0013885712 | 1.0072439 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.135915E-6 | 2.135915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.1538905E-6 | 9.1538905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.1144314E-4 | 1.1144314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011138945 | 0.0011238833 | 1.0089675 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.295039E-6 | 1.295039E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.550156E-6 | 5.550156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.7571134E-5 | 6.7571134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019903728 | 6.7551417E-4 | 6.855074E-4 | 1.0147935 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.394287E-7 | 7.394287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.1689765E-6 | 3.1689765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.8581624E-5 | 3.8581624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8575128E-4 | 3.9574743E-4 | 1.0259135 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.470684E-7 | 5.470684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3445768E-6 | 2.3445768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8544855E-5 | 2.8544855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8541242E-4 | 2.9540955E-4 | 1.035027 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6088096E-7 | 3.6088096E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5466319E-6 | 1.5466319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8830086E-5 | 1.8830086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8828535E-4 | 1.9828348E-4 | 1.0531008 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.141681E-8 | 7.141681E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.06072E-7 | 3.06072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.726422E-6 | 3.726422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.726375E-5 | 4.726338E-5 | 1.2683473 | 1.0E-5 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.34455E-5 | 6.34455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.718844E-4 | 2.718844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033057735 | 0.0033057735 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027504366 | 0.032627646 | 0.03264699 | 1.000593 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.34455E-5 | 6.34455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.718844E-4 | 2.718844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033057735 | 0.0033057735 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027504366 | 0.032627646 | 0.03264699 | 1.000593 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.666849E-5 | 2.666849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.14288785E-4 | 1.14288785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013906249 | 0.0013906249 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.013824103 | 0.013833965 | 1.0007133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.666849E-5 | 2.666849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.14288785E-4 | 1.14288785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013906249 | 0.0013906249 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.013824103 | 0.013833965 | 1.0007133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.2484197E-5 | 2.2484197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.635751E-5 | 9.635751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011725614 | 0.0011725614 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010206259 | 0.01166784 | 0.01166784 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9762947E-5 | 1.9762947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.469581E-5 | 8.469581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010307207 | 0.0010307207 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009008561 | 0.01026313 | 0.01026313 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6336993E-5 | 1.6336993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170443E-5 | 7.001399E-5 | 7.001399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.521191E-4 | 8.521191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008491727 | 0.008491727 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4297568E-5 | 1.4297568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.127402E-5 | 6.127402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.457864E-4 | 7.457864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006571059 | 0.007435863 | 0.007435863 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2944162E-5 | 1.2944162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.547397E-5 | 5.547397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.752161E-4 | 6.752161E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067345914 | 0.0067345914 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0243463E-5 | 1.0243463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.3899974E-5 | 4.3899974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.3437916E-4 | 5.3437916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047417083 | 0.005333701 | 0.005333701 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.5889362E-6 | 6.5889362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.8238126E-5 | 2.8238126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4376862E-4 | 3.4376862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.00343469 | 0.00343469 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2102556E-6 | 2.2102556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.472491E-6 | 9.472491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.1532163E-4 | 1.1532163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011526332 | 0.0011526332 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1785947E-6 | 2.1785947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.336802E-6 | 9.336802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1366979E-4 | 1.1366979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011361318 | 0.0011361318 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7447331E-6 | 1.7447331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.4774066E-6 | 7.4774066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.103372E-5 | 9.103372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.099734E-4 | 9.099734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4645507E-6 | 1.4645507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2766308E-6 | 6.2766308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.6415374E-5 | 7.6415374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.6389825E-4 | 7.6389825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2934709E-6 | 1.2934709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5434352E-6 | 5.5434352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.74893E-5 | 6.74893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.746952E-4 | 6.746952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.7711693E-7 | 6.7711693E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.9019268E-6 | 2.9019268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.5330446E-5 | 3.5330446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.53254E-4 | 3.53254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.571674E-8 | 4.571674E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9592888E-7 | 1.9592888E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3854316E-6 | 2.3854316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3854082E-5 | 2.3854082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5162375E-9 | 1.5162375E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.4981607E-9 | 6.4981607E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.911511E-8 | 7.911511E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.911511E-7 | 7.911511E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.9761855E-6 | 9.9761855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.275443E-5 | 4.275443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.2041956E-4 | 5.2041956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051928796 | 0.0052028275 | 1.0019157 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.9761855E-6 | 9.9761855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.275443E-5 | 4.275443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.2041956E-4 | 5.2041956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051928796 | 0.0052028275 | 1.0019157 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.9761855E-6 | 9.9761855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.275443E-5 | 4.275443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.2041956E-4 | 5.2041956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051928796 | 0.0052028275 | 1.0019157 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.096118E-6 | 8.096118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.4697223E-5 | 3.4697223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2236308E-4 | 4.2236308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00921966 | 0.004216227 | 0.004226185 | 1.0023618 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.096118E-6 | 8.096118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.4697223E-5 | 3.4697223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2236308E-4 | 4.2236308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00921966 | 0.004216227 | 0.004226185 | 1.0023618 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.609629E-6 | 6.609629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.83267E-5 | 2.83267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.448277E-4 | 3.448277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034433918 | 0.0034533574 | 1.0028942 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.609629E-6 | 6.609629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.83267E-5 | 2.83267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.448277E-4 | 3.448277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034433918 | 0.0034533574 | 1.0028942 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.428471E-5 | 5.475503E-6 | 5.475503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.121875E-5 | 2.3466253E-5 | 2.3466253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.450834E-4 | 2.8566812E-4 | 2.8566812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007425902 | 0.0028533977 | 0.0028633692 | 1.0034946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3490684E-5 | 5.078498E-6 | 5.078498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7815934E-5 | 2.176483E-5 | 2.176483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0368167E-4 | 2.6495848E-4 | 2.6495848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007014576 | 0.0026468073 | 0.0026567809 | 1.0037681 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2235421E-5 | 4.2940633E-6 | 4.2940633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2436466E-5 | 1.8403018E-5 | 1.8403018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.38227E-4 | 2.2403733E-4 | 2.2403733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063639707 | 0.00223847 | 0.0022484474 | 1.0044574 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1009851E-5 | 3.7231491E-6 | 3.7231491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7184225E-5 | 1.5956275E-5 | 1.5956275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.743165E-4 | 1.9425378E-4 | 1.9425378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005728345 | 0.0019411783 | 0.001951159 | 1.0051415 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.726373E-6 | 3.2154214E-6 | 3.2154214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.168379E-5 | 1.3780324E-5 | 1.3780324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.07382E-4 | 1.677659E-4 | 1.677659E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050622504 | 0.0016767245 | 0.0016867077 | 1.005954 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.9335127E-6 | 1.1539385E-6 | 1.1539385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6857803E-5 | 4.9454416E-6 | 4.9454416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0522442E-4 | 6.0209146E-5 | 6.0209146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00205035 | 6.0193427E-4 | 6.119283E-4 | 1.0166031 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.661632E-6 | 6.9221824E-7 | 6.9221824E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14069435E-5 | 2.9666464E-6 | 2.9666464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3887069E-4 | 3.611833E-5 | 3.611833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013878393 | 3.6112565E-4 | 3.7112203E-4 | 1.0276812 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.470684E-7 | 5.470684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3445768E-6 | 2.3445768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8544855E-5 | 2.8544855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8541242E-4 | 2.9540955E-4 | 1.035027 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6088096E-7 | 3.6088096E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5466319E-6 | 1.5466319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8830086E-5 | 1.8830086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8828535E-4 | 1.9828348E-4 | 1.0531008 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.141681E-8 | 7.141681E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.06072E-7 | 3.06072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.726422E-6 | 3.726422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.726375E-5 | 4.726338E-5 | 1.2683473 | 1.0E-5 |
Johnson Valley (No) 2011 rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2911048E-5 | 1.2911048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.533211E-5 | 5.533211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.735E-4 | 6.735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013360229 | 0.0067185033 | 0.0067284363 | 1.0014784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2911048E-5 | 1.2911048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.533211E-5 | 5.533211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.735E-4 | 6.735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013360229 | 0.0067185033 | 0.0067284363 | 1.0014784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2911048E-5 | 1.2911048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.533211E-5 | 5.533211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.735E-4 | 6.735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013360229 | 0.0067185033 | 0.0067284363 | 1.0014784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2911048E-5 | 1.2911048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.533211E-5 | 5.533211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.735E-4 | 6.735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013360229 | 0.0067185033 | 0.0067284363 | 1.0014784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5296591E-5 | 7.5432586E-6 | 7.5432586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.555518E-5 | 3.2327956E-5 | 3.2327956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.97842E-4 | 3.9354057E-4 | 3.9354057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007949836 | 0.003930281 | 0.003940242 | 1.0025344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5296591E-5 | 7.5432586E-6 | 7.5432586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.555518E-5 | 3.2327956E-5 | 3.2327956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.97842E-4 | 3.9354057E-4 | 3.9354057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007949836 | 0.003930281 | 0.003940242 | 1.0025344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3289383E-5 | 5.997208E-6 | 5.997208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6953253E-5 | 2.5702162E-5 | 2.5702162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9318525E-4 | 3.128959E-4 | 3.128959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069102696 | 0.0031262205 | 0.0031361894 | 1.0031887 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3289383E-5 | 5.997208E-6 | 5.997208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6953253E-5 | 2.5702162E-5 | 2.5702162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9318525E-4 | 3.128959E-4 | 3.128959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069102696 | 0.0031262205 | 0.0031361894 | 1.0031887 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.330789E-6 | 2.924593E-6 | 2.924593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.570289E-5 | 1.2533941E-5 | 1.2533941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.34596E-4 | 1.5259578E-4 | 1.5259578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043374705 | 0.0015254712 | 0.0015254712 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.2359003E-6 | 2.3043924E-6 | 2.3043924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1010633E-5 | 9.87596E-6 | 9.87596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7748902E-4 | 1.2023853E-4 | 1.2023853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037684843 | 0.001202259 | 0.001202259 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.5149957E-6 | 2.0912958E-6 | 2.0912958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.792111E-5 | 8.962695E-6 | 8.962695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.398865E-4 | 1.09120665E-4 | 1.09120665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003393671 | 0.0010911919 | 0.0010911919 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.1662233E-6 | 2.8880732E-8 | 2.8880732E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9980904E-6 | 1.2377457E-7 | 1.2377457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0850052E-5 | 1.5069544E-6 | 1.5069544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.083339E-4 | 1.5069459E-5 | 1.5069459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.413881E-7 | 2.8880732E-8 | 2.8880732E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3202326E-6 | 1.2377457E-7 | 1.2377457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8248465E-5 | 1.5069544E-6 | 1.5069544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8244875E-4 | 1.5069459E-5 | 1.5069459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.076821E-7 | 2.8880732E-8 | 2.8880732E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1757785E-6 | 1.2377457E-7 | 1.2377457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.648978E-5 | 1.5069544E-6 | 1.5069544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6486625E-4 | 1.5069459E-5 | 1.5069459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.7568687E-7 | 2.886254E-8 | 2.886254E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0386565E-6 | 1.2369661E-7 | 1.2369661E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482036E-5 | 1.5060052E-6 | 1.5060052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4817587E-4 | 1.5059967E-5 | 1.5059967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.435626E-7 | 2.5424152E-8 | 2.5424152E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4724103E-6 | 1.0896065E-7 | 1.0896065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7926448E-5 | 1.3265952E-6 | 1.3265952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7925001E-4 | 1.326589E-5 | 1.326589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1369135E-5 | 1.2089164E-5 | 1.2089164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8723956E-5 | 5.1809802E-5 | 5.1809802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9305265E-4 | 6.3062453E-4 | 6.3062453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005914725 | 0.0062906006 | 0.006300538 | 1.0015796 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.3284414E-6 | 7.3284414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.140725E-5 | 3.140725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.8232034E-4 | 3.8232034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036120464 | 0.003817039 | 0.003817039 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.3284414E-6 | 7.3284414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.140725E-5 | 3.140725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.8232034E-4 | 3.8232034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036120464 | 0.003817039 | 0.003817039 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 4.5484676E-6 | 4.7720728E-6 | 4.7720728E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9493287E-5 | 2.0451584E-5 | 2.0451584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3730492E-4 | 2.4897E-4 | 2.4897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023705168 | 0.0024869533 | 0.0024869533 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.218095E-6 | 4.419455E-6 | 4.419455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8077424E-5 | 1.8940385E-5 | 1.8940385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2007042E-4 | 2.3057513E-4 | 2.3057513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002198526 | 0.0023033924 | 0.0023033924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.717374E-6 | 3.8862536E-6 | 3.8862536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5931506E-5 | 1.6655267E-5 | 1.6655267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9394881E-4 | 2.027592E-4 | 2.027592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019377962 | 0.0020257607 | 0.0020257607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.4605036E-6 | 3.610555E-6 | 3.610555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4830645E-5 | 1.5473717E-5 | 1.5473717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8054814E-4 | 1.8837635E-4 | 1.8837635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018040152 | 0.0018821814 | 0.0018821814 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.123439E-6 | 3.24865E-6 | 3.24865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33860985E-5 | 1.3922712E-5 | 1.3922712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6296357E-4 | 1.6949594E-4 | 1.6949594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001628441 | 0.0016936776 | 0.0016936776 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.8290783E-6 | 2.9324744E-6 | 2.9324744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2124565E-5 | 1.2567688E-5 | 1.2567688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4760658E-4 | 1.5300093E-4 | 1.5300093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014750857 | 0.0015289647 | 0.0015289647 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.454112E-6 | 2.5300687E-6 | 2.5300687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0517581E-5 | 1.0843107E-5 | 1.0843107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804402E-4 | 1.3200688E-4 | 1.3200688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012797028 | 0.0013192908 | 0.0013192908 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.1008145E-6 | 2.1514488E-6 | 2.1514488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.003459E-6 | 9.220463E-6 | 9.220463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.096116E-4 | 1.1225339E-4 | 1.1225339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010955755 | 0.0011219706 | 0.0011219706 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.744384E-6 | 1.7700459E-6 | 1.7700459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.47591E-6 | 7.585889E-6 | 7.585889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1015405E-5 | 9.23543E-5 | 9.23543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097813E-4 | 9.2316093E-4 | 9.2316093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.5456587E-6 | 1.5576068E-6 | 1.5576068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6242346E-6 | 6.6754405E-6 | 6.6754405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.064707E-5 | 8.127047E-5 | 8.127047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0617814E-4 | 8.1240875E-4 | 8.1240875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3775123E-6 | 1.3778487E-6 | 1.3778487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9036106E-6 | 5.9050526E-6 | 5.9050526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.187409E-5 | 7.1891656E-5 | 7.1891656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.185085E-4 | 7.18685E-4 | 7.18685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.214491E-6 | 1.2035105E-6 | 1.2035105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2049513E-6 | 5.157892E-6 | 5.157892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.336844E-5 | 6.279553E-5 | 6.279553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.335037E-4 | 6.277787E-4 | 6.277787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0101123E-6 | 9.852962E-7 | 9.852962E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3290456E-6 | 4.222691E-6 | 4.222691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2704854E-5 | 5.1410057E-5 | 5.1410057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2692357E-4 | 5.1398226E-4 | 5.1398226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.1558215E-7 | 7.7757977E-7 | 7.7757977E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4953473E-6 | 3.3324804E-6 | 3.3324804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.255502E-5 | 4.05722E-5 | 4.05722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2546875E-4 | 4.0564834E-4 | 4.0564834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.757816E-7 | 4.139115E-7 | 4.139115E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0390623E-6 | 1.7739052E-6 | 1.7739052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4825302E-5 | 2.1597083E-5 | 2.1597083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482253E-4 | 2.1594997E-4 | 2.1594997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.782787E-7 | 2.0119684E-7 | 2.0119684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1926223E-6 | 8.6227186E-7 | 8.6227186E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.452008E-5 | 1.049811E-5 | 1.049811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4519131E-4 | 1.0497617E-4 | 1.0497617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6948086E-7 | 9.307918E-8 | 9.307918E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2634634E-7 | 3.9891071E-7 | 3.9891071E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.843231E-6 | 4.856727E-6 | 4.856727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.842879E-5 | 4.8566217E-5 | 4.8566217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0225492E-7 | 4.519981E-8 | 4.519981E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382353E-7 | 1.9371345E-7 | 1.9371345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335502E-6 | 2.3584587E-6 | 2.3584587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335374E-5 | 2.358434E-5 | 2.358434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.43711345E-8 | 5.8592025E-9 | 5.8592025E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1590576E-8 | 2.5110866E-8 | 2.5110866E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986497E-7 | 3.0572477E-7 | 3.0572477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986247E-6 | 3.057244E-6 | 3.057244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Verdugo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2192482E-6 | 4.2192482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8082368E-5 | 1.8082368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2013107E-4 | 2.2013107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002199178 | 0.002209156 | 1.0045371 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2192482E-6 | 4.2192482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8082368E-5 | 1.8082368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2013107E-4 | 2.2013107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002199178 | 0.002209156 | 1.0045371 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2192482E-6 | 4.2192482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8082368E-5 | 1.8082368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2013107E-4 | 2.2013107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002199178 | 0.002209156 | 1.0045371 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2192482E-6 | 4.2192482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8082368E-5 | 1.8082368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2013107E-4 | 2.2013107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002199178 | 0.002209156 | 1.0045371 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2192482E-6 | 4.2192482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8082368E-5 | 1.8082368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2013107E-4 | 2.2013107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002199178 | 0.002209156 | 1.0045371 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.7250875E-6 | 3.7250875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5964564E-5 | 1.5964564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.9435144E-4 | 1.9435144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002561549 | 0.0019418356 | 0.0019518161 | 1.0051397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.7250875E-6 | 3.7250875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5964564E-5 | 1.5964564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.9435144E-4 | 1.9435144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002561549 | 0.0019418356 | 0.0019518161 | 1.0051397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.817006E-6 | 3.6232525E-6 | 3.6232525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0644147E-5 | 1.5528134E-5 | 1.5528134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.513135E-4 | 1.8903882E-4 | 1.8903882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025102948 | 0.0018887998 | 0.0018987809 | 1.0052843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.507407E-6 | 3.3096007E-6 | 3.3096007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9317316E-5 | 1.4183927E-5 | 1.4183927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3516294E-4 | 1.7267576E-4 | 1.7267576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023491425 | 0.0017254303 | 0.0017354131 | 1.0057857 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.3573054E-6 | 3.16346E-6 | 3.16346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8674033E-5 | 1.3557616E-5 | 1.3557616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2733262E-4 | 1.6505159E-4 | 1.6505159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022710022 | 0.0016493024 | 0.001659286 | 1.0060532 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.171527E-6 | 2.986062E-6 | 2.986062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.787785E-5 | 1.2797347E-5 | 1.2797347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1764109E-4 | 1.5579668E-4 | 1.5579668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021742806 | 0.0015568858 | 0.0015668703 | 1.0064131 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0405484E-6 | 2.8846084E-6 | 2.8846084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.731652E-5 | 1.236255E-5 | 1.236255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1080824E-4 | 1.5050375E-4 | 1.5050375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021060838 | 0.0015040294 | 0.0015140143 | 1.0066388 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.8306007E-6 | 2.7041135E-6 | 2.7041135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6416758E-5 | 1.1589007E-5 | 1.1589007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9985568E-4 | 1.4108713E-4 | 1.4108713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019967605 | 0.0014099863 | 0.0014199722 | 1.0070822 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.5750938E-6 | 2.514359E-6 | 2.514359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.532174E-5 | 1.07757805E-5 | 1.07757805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8652623E-4 | 1.3118733E-4 | 1.3118733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018636974 | 0.0013111095 | 0.0013210963 | 1.0076171 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.3510041E-6 | 2.342918E-6 | 2.342918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4361368E-5 | 1.0041039E-5 | 1.0041039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7483562E-4 | 1.222429E-4 | 1.222429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017469813 | 0.001221767 | 0.0012317548 | 1.0081749 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.948287E-6 | 2.0407394E-6 | 2.0407394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2635454E-5 | 8.745998E-6 | 8.745998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.538258E-4 | 1.06477426E-4 | 1.06477426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015371935 | 0.0010642742 | 0.0010742636 | 1.0093861 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0134323E-6 | 1.4481302E-6 | 1.4481302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.628967E-6 | 6.206258E-6 | 6.206258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05052604E-4 | 7.555866E-5 | 7.555866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010500296 | 7.553385E-4 | 7.65331E-4 | 1.0132291 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.726436E-7 | 4.048366E-7 | 4.048366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4541846E-6 | 1.735013E-6 | 1.735013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9879287E-5 | 2.1123604E-5 | 2.1123604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.987527E-4 | 2.1121852E-4 | 2.1121852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.6248204E-7 | 1.0707256E-7 | 1.0707256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.963514E-7 | 4.588823E-7 | 4.588823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.478045E-6 | 5.586878E-6 | 5.586878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.477722E-5 | 5.586741E-5 | 5.586741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4475744E-8 | 3.03877E-8 | 3.03877E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9061031E-7 | 1.3023299E-7 | 1.3023299E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.320678E-6 | 1.5855857E-6 | 1.5855857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3206538E-5 | 1.5855758E-5 | 1.5855758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hartley Springs 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.44463265E-5 | 1.44463265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.191229E-5 | 6.191229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.53686E-4 | 7.53686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007460968 | 0.007527442 | 0.0075373673 | 1.0013185 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.44463265E-5 | 1.44463265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.191229E-5 | 6.191229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.53686E-4 | 7.53686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007460968 | 0.007527442 | 0.0075373673 | 1.0013185 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.44463265E-5 | 1.44463265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.191229E-5 | 6.191229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.53686E-4 | 7.53686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007460968 | 0.007527442 | 0.0075373673 | 1.0013185 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.44463265E-5 | 1.44463265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.191229E-5 | 6.191229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.53686E-4 | 7.53686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007460968 | 0.007527442 | 0.0075373673 | 1.0013185 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.44463265E-5 | 1.44463265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.191229E-5 | 6.191229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.53686E-4 | 7.53686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007460968 | 0.007527442 | 0.0075373673 | 1.0013185 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2279858E-5 | 1.2143645E-5 | 1.2143645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.26269E-5 | 5.2044048E-5 | 5.2044048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4054417E-4 | 6.3361047E-4 | 6.3361047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063870098 | 0.006333573 | 0.006343509 | 1.0015689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2279858E-5 | 1.2143645E-5 | 1.2143645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.26269E-5 | 5.2044048E-5 | 5.2044048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4054417E-4 | 6.3361047E-4 | 6.3361047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063870098 | 0.006333573 | 0.006343509 | 1.0015689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1282601E-6 | 8.9236545E-7 | 8.9236545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.121083E-6 | 3.8244193E-6 | 3.8244193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11043526E-4 | 4.6561567E-5 | 4.6561567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011098806 | 4.6554353E-4 | 4.6554353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.00516E-6 | 8.545321E-7 | 8.545321E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.593515E-6 | 3.6622769E-6 | 3.6622769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04621024E-4 | 4.4587567E-5 | 4.4587567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010457177 | 4.4581146E-4 | 4.4581146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.00516E-6 | 8.545321E-7 | 8.545321E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.593515E-6 | 3.6622769E-6 | 3.6622769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04621024E-4 | 4.4587567E-5 | 4.4587567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010457177 | 4.4581146E-4 | 4.4581146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.8366732E-6 | 8.263737E-7 | 8.263737E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.871433E-6 | 3.541598E-6 | 3.541598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.583048E-5 | 4.311836E-5 | 4.311836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5789164E-4 | 4.3112508E-4 | 4.3112508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5097997E-6 | 7.2137254E-7 | 7.2137254E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.470554E-6 | 3.0915942E-6 | 3.0915942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.877615E-5 | 3.763975E-5 | 3.763975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.874823E-4 | 3.7635758E-4 | 3.7635758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.3490993E-6 | 6.4273763E-7 | 6.4273763E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7818415E-6 | 2.7545882E-6 | 2.7545882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0391645E-5 | 3.353683E-5 | 3.353683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0369354E-4 | 3.3534074E-4 | 3.3534074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.900015E-7 | 4.0942362E-7 | 4.0942362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3857161E-6 | 1.7546726E-6 | 1.7546726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1220315E-5 | 2.136314E-5 | 2.136314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.121267E-4 | 2.1363139E-4 | 2.1363139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mono Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3854047E-5 | 2.3854047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.022306E-4 | 1.022306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012444792 | 0.0012544667 | 1.0080255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012427283 | 0.012437159 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3854047E-5 | 2.3854047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.022306E-4 | 1.022306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012444792 | 0.0012544667 | 1.0080255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012427283 | 0.012437159 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3854047E-5 | 2.3854047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.022306E-4 | 1.022306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012444792 | 0.0012544667 | 1.0080255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012427283 | 0.012437159 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3854047E-5 | 2.3854047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.022306E-4 | 1.022306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012444792 | 0.0012544667 | 1.0080255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012427283 | 0.012437159 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0513198E-5 | 2.0513198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.7913686E-5 | 8.7913686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010703488 | 0.0010803381 | 1.0093328 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009088841 | 0.010703442 | 0.010713334 | 1.0009242 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0513198E-5 | 2.0513198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.7913686E-5 | 8.7913686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010703488 | 0.0010803381 | 1.0093328 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009088841 | 0.010703442 | 0.010713334 | 1.0009242 | 1.0E-5 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.1753235E-5 | 8.1753235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.503261E-4 | 3.503261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.004257373 | 0.0042673303 | 1.0023389 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041813266 | 0.041822847 | 1.0002291 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.1753235E-5 | 8.1753235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.503261E-4 | 3.503261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.004257373 | 0.0042673303 | 1.0023389 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041813266 | 0.041822847 | 1.0002291 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6505465E-5 | 4.6505465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9929414E-4 | 1.9929414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.002423761 | 0.002423761 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020349167 | 0.023979891 | 0.023979891 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.796871E-5 | 3.796871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.627131E-4 | 1.627131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019792626 | 0.0019792626 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01686163 | 0.019620134 | 0.019620134 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.4131983E-5 | 3.4131983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4627188E-4 | 1.4627188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017794318 | 0.0017794318 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.01765501 | 0.01765501 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2279368E-5 | 3.2279368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3833297E-4 | 1.3833297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016829283 | 0.0016829283 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016704854 | 0.016704854 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.578649E-5 | 2.578649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1050893E-4 | 1.1050893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013446306 | 0.0013446306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013366666 | 0.013366666 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2686721E-5 | 2.2686721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.7225246E-5 | 9.7225246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011830858 | 0.0011830858 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.01176917 | 0.01176917 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.8994133E-5 | 1.8994133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.140094E-5 | 8.140094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.906152E-4 | 9.906152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009863024 | 0.009863024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7284145E-5 | 1.7284145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.407286E-5 | 7.407286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.014727E-4 | 9.014727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008979106 | 0.008979106 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4044776E-5 | 1.4044776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.0190556E-5 | 6.0190556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.325812E-4 | 7.325812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.00730245 | 0.00730245 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2385466E-5 | 1.2385466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.307953E-5 | 5.307953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.46059E-4 | 6.46059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064425557 | 0.0064425557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0854004E-5 | 1.0854004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6516372E-5 | 4.6516372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.6619686E-4 | 5.6619686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056482684 | 0.0056482684 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.091575E-6 | 9.091575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.896335E-5 | 3.896335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.742826E-4 | 4.742826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004733408 | 0.004733408 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3652889E-6 | 3.3652889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4422616E-5 | 1.4422616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7558625E-4 | 1.7558625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017549711 | 0.0017549711 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5895154E-4 | 3.5895154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015374668 | 0.0015374668 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018560432 | 0.018570248 | 1.0005288 | 1.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.16745107 | 0.1674594 | 1.0000497 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5895154E-4 | 3.5895154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015374668 | 0.0015374668 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018560432 | 0.018570248 | 1.0005288 | 1.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.16745107 | 0.1674594 | 1.0000497 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5895154E-4 | 3.5895154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015374668 | 0.0015374668 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018560432 | 0.018570248 | 1.0005288 | 1.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.16745107 | 0.1674594 | 1.0000497 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.4447532E-4 | 3.4447532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014754973 | 0.0014754973 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0089988755 | 0.017818507 | 0.017828329 | 1.0005512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08643075 | 0.16138338 | 0.16139176 | 1.000052 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.2524028E-4 | 3.2524028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.001393151 | 0.001393151 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008487372 | 0.016831733 | 0.016841564 | 1.0005841 | 1.0E-5 | 0.081704415 | 0.15327771 | 0.15328619 | 1.0000552 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.1194105E-4 | 3.1194105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013362137 | 0.0013362137 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008107598 | 0.016148962 | 0.0161588 | 1.0006093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.078181036 | 0.1475417 | 0.14755023 | 1.0000578 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8199432E-4 | 2.8199432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012079942 | 0.0012079942 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073027555 | 0.0146096675 | 0.014619522 | 1.0006745 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07067384 | 0.13457566 | 0.13458432 | 1.0000643 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.342187E-4 | 2.342187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914658E-4 | 0.0010034135 | 0.0010034135 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012149205 | 0.012159084 | 1.0008131 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058094822 | 0.11336381 | 0.113372676 | 1.0000782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.8987115E-4 | 1.8987115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.134835E-4 | 8.134835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009859928 | 0.00986983 | 1.0010042 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047804173 | 0.09312319 | 0.09313226 | 1.0000974 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.08101165E-4 | 1.08101165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.6320906E-4 | 4.6320906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028927654 | 0.005625108 | 0.0056350515 | 1.0017678 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028553981 | 0.054608062 | 0.054617513 | 1.0001731 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.312925E-5 | 8.312925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.5621997E-4 | 3.5621997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022236328 | 0.004328428 | 0.0043383846 | 1.0023003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022015138 | 0.042375132 | 0.04238471 | 1.000226 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.3574815E-5 | 6.3574815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.7243514E-4 | 2.7243514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.003311872 | 0.003311872 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017101998 | 0.032717593 | 0.032717593 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.7536345E-5 | 5.7536345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.4656113E-4 | 2.4656113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0029977665 | 0.0029977665 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458403 | 0.02970386 | 0.02970386 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.6401536E-5 | 4.6401536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9884863E-4 | 1.9884863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0024183074 | 0.0024183074 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.02405682 | 0.02405682 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.5365305E-5 | 3.5365305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.5155684E-4 | 1.5155684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0018436529 | 0.0018436529 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.018413119 | 0.018413119 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.3547409E-5 | 2.3547409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 1.009136E-4 | 1.009136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012279365 | 0.0012279365 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.012317205 | 0.012317205 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.978384E-6 | 8.978384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.847823E-5 | 3.847823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6837298E-4 | 4.6837298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.0047269505 | 0.0047269505 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.2332384E-6 | 1.2332384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.285297E-6 | 5.285297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.43466E-5 | 6.43466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.6630536E-4 | 6.6630536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 1.0032591E-6 | 1.0032591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.2996744E-6 | 4.2996744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.2347285E-5 | 5.2347285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.437705E-4 | 5.437705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.562446E-7 | 7.562446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.2410442E-6 | 3.2410442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.9459002E-5 | 3.9459002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 4.0780226E-4 | 4.0780226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.595796E-7 | 5.595796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3981959E-6 | 2.3981959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.9197647E-5 | 2.9197647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.9953802E-4 | 2.9953802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.6621947E-7 | 2.6621947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1409401E-6 | 1.1409401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.3890857E-5 | 1.3890857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.4194091E-4 | 1.4194091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.4072558E-4 | 1.4072558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 6.029723E-4 | 6.029723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.0073168576 | 0.007326784 | 1.0013567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.0718891 | 0.07189838 | 1.0001291 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.4072558E-4 | 1.4072558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 6.029723E-4 | 6.029723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.0073168576 | 0.007326784 | 1.0013567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.0718891 | 0.07189838 | 1.0001291 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.4072558E-4 | 1.4072558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 6.029723E-4 | 6.029723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.0073168576 | 0.007326784 | 1.0013567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.0718891 | 0.07189838 | 1.0001291 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.716926E-4 | 1.399135E-4 | 1.399135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3561794E-4 | 5.994936E-4 | 5.994936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008919428 | 0.0072747874 | 0.0072847144 | 1.0013646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08569809 | 0.07149889 | 0.07150818 | 1.0001298 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 1.3860744E-4 | 1.3860744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02367E-4 | 5.9389876E-4 | 5.9389876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008517839 | 0.0072071212 | 0.007217049 | 1.0013775 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08198654 | 0.07069215 | 0.07070144 | 1.0001315 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 1.2911604E-4 | 1.2911604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.745133E-4 | 5.532389E-4 | 5.532389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00818132 | 0.0067151953 | 0.0067251283 | 1.0014791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.078865945 | 0.066126026 | 0.06613537 | 1.0001413 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 1.1827353E-4 | 1.1827353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5865536E-4 | 5.0678937E-4 | 5.0678937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006780438 | 0.006152934 | 0.0061628725 | 1.0016153 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0657725 | 0.060457505 | 0.0604669 | 1.0001554 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 1.15521696E-4 | 1.15521696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5135164E-4 | 4.9500033E-4 | 4.9500033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066920654 | 0.0060102018 | 0.0060201418 | 1.0016538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06494093 | 0.05916259 | 0.059171997 | 1.000159 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 1.1489323E-4 | 1.1489323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.485117E-4 | 4.9230794E-4 | 4.9230794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066577005 | 0.0059776213 | 0.005987562 | 1.0016629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06461738 | 0.058874965 | 0.058884375 | 1.0001599 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 1.13304704E-4 | 1.13304704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4380763E-4 | 4.855025E-4 | 4.855025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006600777 | 0.0058952165 | 0.0059051574 | 1.0016863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06408122 | 0.05814325 | 0.05815267 | 1.000162 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 1.1056455E-4 | 1.1056455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.154837E-4 | 4.737633E-4 | 4.737633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257969 | 0.005753055 | 0.0057629975 | 1.0017282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06084648 | 0.05679392 | 0.056803353 | 1.000166 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 5.568494E-5 | 5.568494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4493793E-4 | 2.3862813E-4 | 2.3862813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041915346 | 0.0029014635 | 0.0029014635 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.041133516 | 0.030492224 | 0.030492224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 4.4487955E-5 | 4.4487955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0399222E-4 | 1.9064886E-4 | 1.9064886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036948253 | 0.002318703 | 0.002318703 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03633994 | 0.024722653 | 0.024722653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 3.0063078E-5 | 3.0063078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6541698E-4 | 1.2883541E-4 | 1.2883541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032266637 | 0.0015674443 | 0.0015674443 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031802133 | 0.017114174 | 0.017114174 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 2.8129025E-5 | 2.8129025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5311083E-4 | 1.205474E-4 | 1.205474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030772698 | 0.001466678 | 0.001466678 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030350044 | 0.016055848 | 0.016055848 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 2.569657E-5 | 2.569657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.324491E-4 | 1.1012352E-4 | 1.1012352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002826395 | 0.0013399305 | 0.0013399305 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027907165 | 0.014704225 | 0.014704225 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 2.0715148E-5 | 2.0715148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8987931E-4 | 8.8776185E-5 | 8.8776185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023093296 | 0.0010803144 | 0.0010803144 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022854783 | 0.011846215 | 0.011846215 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 1.971207E-5 | 1.971207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7647797E-4 | 8.4477564E-5 | 8.4477564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002146502 | 0.0010280294 | 0.0010280294 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021258866 | 0.011285374 | 0.011285374 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 1.9320414E-5 | 1.9320414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5174363E-4 | 8.2799146E-5 | 8.2799146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018459131 | 0.0010076136 | 0.0010076136 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018306552 | 0.011055331 | 0.011055331 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 1.800371E-5 | 1.800371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10827445E-4 | 7.7156474E-5 | 7.7156474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001348489 | 9.389754E-4 | 9.389754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013403354 | 0.01027178 | 0.01027178 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 1.542696E-5 | 1.542696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4757245E-5 | 6.611387E-5 | 6.611387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010314309 | 8.0463936E-4 | 8.0463936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010266567 | 0.008820252 | 0.008820252 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 1.2589097E-5 | 1.2589097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.293394E-5 | 5.3952157E-5 | 5.3952157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6595135E-4 | 6.566698E-4 | 6.566698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076331664 | 0.0072256876 | 0.0072256876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 5.719144E-6 | 5.719144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7021015E-5 | 2.4510387E-5 | 2.4510387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5063766E-4 | 2.983732E-4 | 2.983732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004497249 | 0.0033824332 | 0.0033824332 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077313E-7 | 8.077313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 3.461701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2145413E-5 | 4.2145413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9589813E-4 | 4.9589813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5126308E-5 | 2.5126308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0768068E-4 | 1.0768068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013103922 | 0.0013103922 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043278 | 0.013053147 | 1.0007566 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5126308E-5 | 2.5126308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0768068E-4 | 1.0768068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013103922 | 0.0013103922 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043278 | 0.013053147 | 1.0007566 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5126308E-5 | 2.5126308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0768068E-4 | 1.0768068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013103922 | 0.0013103922 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043278 | 0.013053147 | 1.0007566 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5126308E-5 | 2.5126308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0768068E-4 | 1.0768068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013103922 | 0.0013103922 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043278 | 0.013053147 | 1.0007566 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3791709E-5 | 1.3791709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9106515E-5 | 5.9106515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.194781E-4 | 7.194781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071807085 | 0.007190637 | 1.0013826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3791709E-5 | 1.3791709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9106515E-5 | 5.9106515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.194781E-4 | 7.194781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071807085 | 0.007190637 | 1.0013826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.641239E-6 | 9.641239E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.131941E-5 | 4.131941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.03031E-4 | 5.03031E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044683935 | 0.0050270967 | 0.0050370465 | 1.0019792 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.094574E-6 | 8.094574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.469103E-5 | 3.469103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2236332E-4 | 4.2236332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037527776 | 0.004223633 | 0.004223633 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.063873E-5 | 7.063873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.027014E-4 | 3.027014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028321352 | 0.003679188 | 0.003679188 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02796312 | 0.03618422 | 0.03619386 | 1.0002663 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.8331443E-5 | 5.8331443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4996646E-4 | 2.4996646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030391014 | 0.0030391014 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023502063 | 0.029974978 | 0.029984677 | 1.0003237 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4795507E-5 | 3.4795507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4911548E-4 | 1.4911548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018139472 | 0.0018139472 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.017988311 | 0.017988311 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8259115E-5 | 2.8259115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.2110516E-4 | 1.2110516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0014734433 | 0.0014734433 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.014634812 | 0.014634812 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.2156146E-5 | 2.2156146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.495166E-5 | 9.495166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011554257 | 0.0011554257 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.011494051 | 0.011494051 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6823804E-5 | 1.6823804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.21002E-5 | 7.21002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.774817E-4 | 8.774817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008741231 | 0.008741231 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.125452E-5 | 1.125452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.823279E-5 | 4.823279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.8707985E-4 | 5.8707985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058556795 | 0.0058556795 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.028998E-6 | 9.028998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.8695143E-5 | 3.8695143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7101392E-4 | 4.7101392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.004700402 | 0.004700402 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.4594345E-6 | 7.4594345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1968626E-5 | 3.1968626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.8915052E-4 | 3.8915052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.003884895 | 0.003884895 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.903439E-6 | 4.903439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.1014575E-5 | 2.1014575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.558238E-4 | 2.558238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025554309 | 0.0025554309 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.5230144E-6 | 1.5230144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.527189E-6 | 6.527189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.946572E-5 | 7.946572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.943817E-4 | 7.943817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4614206E-7 | 7.4614206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1977481E-6 | 3.1977481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.893193E-5 | 3.893193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8925523E-4 | 3.8925523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4614206E-7 | 7.4614206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1977481E-6 | 3.1977481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.893193E-5 | 3.893193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8925523E-4 | 3.8925523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.584785E-7 | 6.584785E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.822048E-6 | 2.822048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.4357934E-5 | 3.4357934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.4353026E-4 | 3.4353026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0784777E-7 | 6.0784777E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6050595E-6 | 2.6050595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.171618E-5 | 3.171618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1712055E-4 | 3.1712055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0784777E-7 | 6.0784777E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6050595E-6 | 2.6050595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.171618E-5 | 3.171618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1712055E-4 | 3.1712055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Casmalia 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.263503E-6 | 4.263503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.8272027E-5 | 1.8272027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.2243943E-4 | 2.2243943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021737402 | 0.0022221887 | 0.0022321665 | 1.00449 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.263503E-6 | 4.263503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.8272027E-5 | 1.8272027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.2243943E-4 | 2.2243943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021737402 | 0.0022221887 | 0.0022321665 | 1.00449 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5379626E-6 | 3.5379626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5162609E-5 | 1.5162609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8458921E-4 | 1.8458921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001802353 | 0.0018443683 | 0.0018543499 | 1.0054119 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5379626E-6 | 3.5379626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5162609E-5 | 1.5162609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8458921E-4 | 1.8458921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001802353 | 0.0018443683 | 0.0018543499 | 1.0054119 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1701265E-6 | 3.1701265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.3586186E-5 | 1.3586186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6539931E-4 | 1.6539931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016140083 | 0.0016527682 | 0.0016627518 | 1.0060405 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1701265E-6 | 3.1701265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.3586186E-5 | 1.3586186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6539931E-4 | 1.6539931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016140083 | 0.0016527682 | 0.0016627518 | 1.0060405 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9459152E-6 | 3.0174576E-6 | 3.0174576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.262529E-5 | 1.2931897E-5 | 1.2931897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370206E-4 | 1.5743452E-4 | 1.5743452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015359579 | 0.0015732355 | 0.0015832199 | 1.0063463 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8634809E-6 | 2.9333444E-6 | 2.9333444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2272003E-5 | 1.2571415E-5 | 1.2571415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4940138E-4 | 1.5304628E-4 | 1.5304628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014930099 | 0.0015294142 | 0.0015393989 | 1.0065285 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7999822E-6 | 2.8684594E-6 | 2.8684594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1999869E-5 | 1.229334E-5 | 1.229334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.460886E-4 | 1.4966118E-4 | 1.4966118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001459926 | 0.0014956093 | 0.0015055944 | 1.0066762 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.551052E-6 | 2.6127839E-6 | 2.6127839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0933034E-5 | 1.1197598E-5 | 1.1197598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3310155E-4 | 1.3632227E-4 | 1.3632227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013302186 | 0.0013623905 | 0.0013723768 | 1.0073301 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3081875E-6 | 2.3631844E-6 | 2.3631844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.892195E-6 | 1.0127894E-5 | 1.0127894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20430814E-4 | 1.2330017E-4 | 1.2330017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012036557 | 0.0012323203 | 0.0012423081 | 1.0081048 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.093245E-6 | 2.1424626E-6 | 2.1424626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.971019E-6 | 9.18195E-6 | 9.18195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09216686E-4 | 1.11784524E-4 | 1.11784524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010916302 | 0.001117285 | 0.0011272738 | 1.0089402 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.9714576E-6 | 2.017225E-6 | 2.017225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449076E-6 | 8.645221E-6 | 8.645221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0286264E-4 | 1.052505E-4 | 1.052505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010281504 | 0.0010520084 | 0.0010619978 | 1.0094956 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6689512E-6 | 1.7053682E-6 | 1.7053682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1526288E-6 | 7.3087003E-6 | 7.3087003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7079774E-5 | 8.89798E-5 | 8.89798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7045657E-4 | 8.894425E-4 | 8.994336E-4 | 1.011233 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4490954E-6 | 1.4785003E-6 | 1.4785003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.210394E-6 | 6.3364146E-6 | 6.3364146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.560892E-5 | 7.714312E-5 | 7.714312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.55832E-4 | 7.711641E-4 | 7.8115636E-4 | 1.0129575 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.226873E-6 | 1.2487304E-6 | 1.2487304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2580162E-6 | 5.351691E-6 | 5.351691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.401447E-5 | 6.51549E-5 | 6.51549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399603E-4 | 6.5135845E-4 | 6.6135195E-4 | 1.0153425 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.2561345E-7 | 9.366823E-7 | 9.366823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.966909E-6 | 4.0143464E-6 | 4.0143464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8296046E-5 | 4.8873575E-5 | 4.8873575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.828555E-4 | 4.886287E-4 | 4.886287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.4367933E-7 | 5.396802E-7 | 5.396802E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3300522E-6 | 2.312913E-6 | 2.312913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8368017E-5 | 2.8159353E-5 | 2.8159353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8364395E-4 | 2.8155796E-4 | 2.8155796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8825742E-7 | 1.7371417E-7 | 1.7371417E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.068173E-7 | 7.4448906E-7 | 7.4448906E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822956E-6 | 9.064117E-6 | 9.064117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822522E-5 | 9.06375E-5 | 9.06375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.342771E-8 | 4.7002437E-8 | 4.7002437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7183304E-7 | 2.0143901E-7 | 2.0143901E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3095623E-6 | 2.452517E-6 | 2.452517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.309513E-5 | 2.4524905E-5 | 2.4524905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.2574819E-8 | 6.5337846E-9 | 6.5337846E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3892084E-8 | 2.8001933E-8 | 2.8001933E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.561359E-7 | 3.409235E-7 | 3.409235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56134E-6 | 3.4092297E-6 | 3.4092297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770563 | 0.0024870315 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770563 | 0.0024870315 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770563 | 0.0024870315 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770563 | 0.0024870315 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770563 | 0.0024870315 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770563 | 0.0024870315 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 4.752778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 2.03689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 2.479649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024770563 | 0.0024870315 | 1.004027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1672697E-6 | 4.1672697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.7859613E-5 | 1.7859613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.174206E-4 | 2.174206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021722286 | 0.0021822068 | 1.0045936 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1672697E-6 | 4.1672697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.7859613E-5 | 1.7859613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.174206E-4 | 2.174206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021722286 | 0.0021822068 | 1.0045936 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2936077E-6 | 3.3737174E-6 | 3.3737174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4115385E-5 | 1.4458714E-5 | 1.4458714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7184127E-4 | 1.7602157E-4 | 1.7602157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017170844 | 0.0017589141 | 0.0017688965 | 1.0056753 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.1687898E-6 | 3.2455534E-6 | 3.2455534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3580457E-5 | 1.3909446E-5 | 1.3909446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6532952E-4 | 1.6933528E-4 | 1.6933528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016520657 | 0.0016921541 | 0.0017021372 | 1.0058997 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.9379228E-6 | 3.0080207E-6 | 3.0080207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25910365E-5 | 1.2891459E-5 | 1.2891459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5328509E-4 | 1.569431E-4 | 1.569431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001531794 | 0.001568412 | 0.0015783962 | 1.0063659 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0020686E-6 | 2.0421298E-6 | 2.0421298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.580266E-6 | 8.751956E-6 | 8.751956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0445973E-4 | 1.06549895E-4 | 1.06549895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010441064 | 0.0010649925 | 0.0010749819 | 1.0093797 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.7364243E-6 | 1.7683274E-6 | 1.7683274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.441797E-6 | 7.5785238E-6 | 7.5785238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0600115E-5 | 9.226465E-5 | 9.226465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0563187E-4 | 9.222666E-4 | 9.322574E-4 | 1.0108329 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5718434E-6 | 1.5987322E-6 | 1.5987322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7364545E-6 | 6.8516915E-6 | 6.8516915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.201325E-5 | 8.3416184E-5 | 8.3416184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.198299E-4 | 8.338517E-4 | 8.438434E-4 | 1.0119826 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3841119E-6 | 1.4046525E-6 | 1.4046525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9318945E-6 | 6.0199254E-6 | 6.0199254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.221842E-5 | 7.329015E-5 | 7.329015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2194956E-4 | 7.3266274E-4 | 7.426554E-4 | 1.0136389 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0843726E-6 | 1.0937424E-6 | 1.0937424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.647303E-6 | 4.6874593E-6 | 4.6874593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6579443E-5 | 5.7068348E-5 | 5.7068348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.656504E-4 | 5.705395E-4 | 5.705395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.544814E-7 | 5.503462E-7 | 5.503462E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3763469E-6 | 2.3586244E-6 | 2.3586244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8931638E-5 | 2.8715876E-5 | 2.8715876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8927872E-4 | 2.871218E-4 | 2.871218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.0707465E-7 | 1.9784879E-7 | 1.9784879E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.874625E-7 | 8.479231E-7 | 8.479231E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08048025E-5 | 1.0323415E-5 | 1.0323415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0804277E-4 | 1.032294E-4 | 1.032294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.9821284E-8 | 3.434268E-8 | 3.434268E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7066264E-7 | 1.471829E-7 | 1.471829E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0778157E-6 | 1.7919504E-6 | 1.7919504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0777963E-5 | 1.7919365E-5 | 1.7919365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.237666E-11 | 8.237666E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.530426E-10 | 3.530426E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.298294E-9 | 4.298294E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.298294E-8 | 4.298294E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4894978E-6 | 4.4894978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001045009 | 5.4658318E-5 | 5.4658318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010401085 | 5.464538E-4 | 5.5644836E-4 | 1.0182898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4894978E-6 | 4.4894978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001045009 | 5.4658318E-5 | 5.4658318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010401085 | 5.464538E-4 | 5.5644836E-4 | 1.0182898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4894978E-6 | 4.4894978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001045009 | 5.4658318E-5 | 5.4658318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010401085 | 5.464538E-4 | 5.5644836E-4 | 1.0182898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4894978E-6 | 4.4894978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001045009 | 5.4658318E-5 | 5.4658318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010401085 | 5.464538E-4 | 5.5644836E-4 | 1.0182898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.4894978E-6 | 4.4894978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.4658318E-5 | 5.4658318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005891764 | 5.464538E-4 | 5.5644836E-4 | 1.0182898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.4894978E-6 | 4.4894978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.4658318E-5 | 5.4658318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005891764 | 5.464538E-4 | 5.5644836E-4 | 1.0182898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.347473E-6 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0475512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0059982E-5 | 4.4894978E-6 | 4.4894978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8762115E-4 | 5.4658318E-5 | 5.4658318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048655253 | 5.464538E-4 | 5.5644836E-4 | 1.0182898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.842647E-6 | 1.0054358E-6 | 1.0054358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.361091E-5 | 4.3090035E-6 | 4.3090035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0913603E-4 | 5.2460906E-5 | 5.2460906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004083836 | 5.244902E-4 | 5.344849E-4 | 1.0190561 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.26597E-6 | 9.740489E-7 | 9.740489E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.685388E-5 | 4.174489E-6 | 4.174489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2689696E-4 | 5.0823266E-5 | 5.0823266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003264165 | 5.0812133E-4 | 5.181162E-4 | 1.0196704 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.258436E-6 | 9.1885227E-7 | 9.1885227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535958E-5 | 3.937933E-6 | 3.937933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7434074E-4 | 4.7943326E-5 | 4.7943326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027400232 | 4.7933462E-4 | 4.893298E-4 | 1.0208522 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.675028E-6 | 8.66612E-7 | 8.66612E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.003568E-5 | 3.7140467E-6 | 3.7140467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4390711E-4 | 4.521763E-5 | 4.521763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024363957 | 4.5208898E-4 | 4.6208446E-4 | 1.0221095 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8270078E-6 | 6.8781986E-7 | 6.8781986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2115692E-5 | 2.9477962E-6 | 2.9477962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4749856E-4 | 3.5888872E-5 | 3.5888872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001474007 | 3.5883486E-4 | 3.5883486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6881406E-6 | 2.272684E-7 | 2.272684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2348685E-6 | 9.740071E-7 | 9.740071E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.808096E-5 | 1.1858473E-5 | 1.1858473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8046055E-4 | 1.1857856E-4 | 1.1857856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.086107E-7 | 1.5278927E-7 | 1.5278927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8940398E-6 | 6.54811E-7 | 6.54811E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7408903E-5 | 7.972296E-6 | 7.972296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.739879E-4 | 7.972018E-5 | 7.972018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9717383E-7 | 9.007362E-8 | 9.007362E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.450304E-7 | 3.8602977E-7 | 3.8602977E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0288197E-5 | 4.6999025E-6 | 4.6999025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.028772E-4 | 4.6998062E-5 | 4.6998062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.086975E-7 | 6.661509E-8 | 6.661509E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6584634E-7 | 2.854932E-7 | 2.854932E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6716644E-6 | 3.4758743E-6 | 3.4758743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6715195E-5 | 3.4758225E-5 | 3.4758225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4217808E-8 | 1.582436E-8 | 1.582436E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03790605E-7 | 6.781869E-8 | 6.781869E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636499E-6 | 8.2569227E-7 | 8.2569227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636427E-5 | 8.256897E-6 | 8.256897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412908 | 0.0015412908 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310423 | 0.01532027 | 1.0006431 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412908 | 0.0015412908 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310423 | 0.01532027 | 1.0006431 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412908 | 0.0015412908 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310423 | 0.01532027 | 1.0006431 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412908 | 0.0015412908 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310423 | 0.01532027 | 1.0006431 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412908 | 0.0015412908 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310423 | 0.01532027 | 1.0006431 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412908 | 0.0015412908 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310423 | 0.01532027 | 1.0006431 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 2.9560337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.2668122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412908 | 0.0015412908 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310423 | 0.01532027 | 1.0006431 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.8897792E-5 | 2.8897792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.2384201E-4 | 1.2384201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0015067714 | 0.0015067714 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016039822 | 0.014969901 | 0.014979751 | 1.000658 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.827236E-5 | 2.827236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.21161844E-4 | 1.21161844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015875935 | 0.0014741844 | 0.0014741844 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015762992 | 0.014648331 | 0.014658185 | 1.0006727 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4248722E-5 | 2.4248722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.03919076E-4 | 1.03919076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014067689 | 0.001264502 | 0.001264502 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0139789665 | 0.01257569 | 0.0125855645 | 1.0007852 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1888782E-5 | 2.1888782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.380579E-5 | 9.380579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011415049 | 0.0011415049 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012905477 | 0.011358603 | 0.01136849 | 1.0008703 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7377095E-5 | 1.7377095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.4471165E-5 | 7.4471165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010923136 | 9.06314E-4 | 9.06314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0108696 | 0.009027014 | 0.009036924 | 1.0010978 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.6831567E-5 | 1.6831567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.213332E-5 | 7.213332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010659413 | 8.7787403E-4 | 8.7787403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010608427 | 0.00874488 | 0.008754793 | 1.0011336 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5400967E-5 | 1.5400967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.6002496E-5 | 6.6002496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.032885E-4 | 8.032885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009587734 | 0.008004612 | 0.008014533 | 1.0012393 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4534829E-5 | 1.4534829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.229066E-5 | 6.229066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.581288E-4 | 7.581288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009157699 | 0.007556128 | 0.007566052 | 1.0013134 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.1177983E-5 | 1.1177983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.7904774E-5 | 4.7904774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.830871E-4 | 5.830871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007068595 | 0.0058158753 | 0.005825817 | 1.0017095 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.6404574E-6 | 5.6404574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.4173167E-5 | 2.4173167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.9426898E-4 | 2.9426898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0029388373 | 0.0029488078 | 1.0033927 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2858989E-6 | 3.2858989E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4082348E-5 | 1.4082348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7143923E-4 | 1.7143923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017130831 | 0.0017130831 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.4378992E-6 | 1.4378992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.162411E-6 | 6.162411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.50248E-5 | 7.50248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.499975E-4 | 7.499975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2627802E-7 | 2.2627802E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.697626E-7 | 9.697626E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1806798E-5 | 1.1806798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1806199E-4 | 1.1806199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.1328275E-9 | 5.1328275E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.1997833E-8 | 2.1997833E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.678236E-7 | 2.678236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.678233E-6 | 2.678233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7424714E-6 | 4.7424714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0324751E-5 | 2.0324751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4743128E-4 | 2.4743128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024721026 | 0.0024820778 | 1.0040351 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7424714E-6 | 4.7424714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0324751E-5 | 2.0324751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4743128E-4 | 2.4743128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024721026 | 0.0024820778 | 1.0040351 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7881865E-6 | 2.7881865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.19493225E-5 | 1.19493225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4547436E-4 | 1.4547436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014538973 | 0.0014538973 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7881865E-6 | 2.7881865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.19493225E-5 | 1.19493225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4547436E-4 | 1.4547436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014538973 | 0.0014538973 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3235882E-6 | 2.3235882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.958202E-6 | 9.958202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.2123517E-4 | 1.2123517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012117698 | 0.0012117698 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.3054636E-6 | 2.3054636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.880526E-6 | 9.880526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.20289566E-4 | 1.20289566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0012023239 | 0.0012023239 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.6024154E-6 | 1.6024154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.8674776E-6 | 6.8674776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.3608524E-5 | 8.3608524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.3578937E-4 | 8.3578937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.3832793E-6 | 1.3832793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.928327E-6 | 5.928327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.2175135E-5 | 7.2175135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.215308E-4 | 7.215308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2927158E-6 | 1.2927158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.5401993E-6 | 5.5401993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.7449975E-5 | 6.7449975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.743084E-4 | 6.743084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.2465177E-6 | 1.2465177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.3422086E-6 | 5.3422086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.503958E-5 | 6.503958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.5021863E-4 | 6.5021863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.0369731E-6 | 1.0369731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.4441636E-6 | 4.4441636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.410645E-5 | 5.410645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.409429E-4 | 5.409429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.5945146E-7 | 8.5945146E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.6833587E-6 | 3.6833587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.484406E-5 | 4.484406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.483587E-4 | 4.483587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 6.0314994E-7 | 6.0314994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.584926E-6 | 2.584926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.147109E-5 | 3.147109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.1467303E-4 | 3.1467303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9149518E-5 | 2.9149518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2492067E-4 | 1.2492067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015198754 | 0.0015198754 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015098602 | 0.01510845 | 1.0006523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9149518E-5 | 2.9149518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2492067E-4 | 1.2492067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015198754 | 0.0015198754 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015098602 | 0.01510845 | 1.0006523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9149518E-5 | 2.9149518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2492067E-4 | 1.2492067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015198754 | 0.0015198754 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015098602 | 0.01510845 | 1.0006523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.265917E-5 | 2.265917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.7107135E-5 | 9.7107135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011816431 | 0.0011816431 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011885363 | 0.011755017 | 0.011764899 | 1.0008407 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.97122E-5 | 1.97122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.447814E-5 | 8.447814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010532405 | 0.001028038 | 0.001028038 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010482626 | 0.010233885 | 0.010243782 | 1.0009671 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9424504E-5 | 1.9424504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.3245235E-5 | 8.3245235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010130414 | 0.0010130414 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010342481 | 0.010085286 | 0.010095185 | 1.0009816 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7472938E-5 | 1.7472938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.488188E-5 | 7.488188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.113068E-4 | 9.113068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009398366 | 0.009076655 | 0.009086564 | 1.0010917 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6056796E-5 | 1.6056796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.881303E-5 | 6.881303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.374778E-4 | 8.374778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008707017 | 0.008344137 | 0.008354054 | 1.0011884 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4627516E-5 | 1.4627516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.2687854E-5 | 6.2687854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.629582E-4 | 7.629582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008003947 | 0.0076042665 | 0.00761419 | 1.0013051 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.27026E-5 | 1.27026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.443858E-5 | 5.443858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.625886E-4 | 6.625886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007053386 | 0.0066069495 | 0.0066168834 | 1.0015036 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1107886E-5 | 1.1107886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.760436E-5 | 4.760436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.7942903E-4 | 5.7942903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257884 | 0.0057799574 | 0.0057898993 | 1.0017201 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0033633E-5 | 1.0033633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.3000575E-5 | 4.3000575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.234063E-4 | 5.234063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057090693 | 0.0052225012 | 0.0052324487 | 1.0019048 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.045853E-6 | 9.045853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.8767368E-5 | 3.8767368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7189055E-4 | 4.7189055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00518453 | 0.004709645 | 0.004719598 | 1.0021133 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.838783E-6 | 7.838783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.359435E-5 | 3.359435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.0893452E-4 | 4.0893452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00452975 | 0.0040825736 | 0.0040925327 | 1.0024394 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 7.0091423E-6 | 7.0091423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 3.0038835E-5 | 3.0038835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6566146E-4 | 3.6566146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036513489 | 0.0036613124 | 1.0027287 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.96974E-6 | 5.96974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.558435E-5 | 2.558435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.1144495E-4 | 3.1144495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035616932 | 0.0031108335 | 0.0031208023 | 1.0032046 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.604765E-6 | 4.604765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9734558E-5 | 1.9734558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.4024176E-4 | 2.4024176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.0024005673 | 0.0024005673 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.6606965E-6 | 2.6606965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1402935E-5 | 1.1402935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.388219E-4 | 1.388219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0013880967 | 0.0013880967 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1430881E-6 | 1.1430881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.8989396E-6 | 4.8989396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.964296E-5 | 5.964296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.97013E-4 | 5.97013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.348367E-7 | 5.348367E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.2921552E-6 | 2.2921552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.7906633E-5 | 2.7906633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.7973126E-4 | 2.7973126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 2.749825E-7 | 2.749825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.1784958E-6 | 1.1784958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.4348093E-5 | 1.4348093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 1.440483E-4 | 1.440483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.604708E-8 | 6.604708E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.8305888E-7 | 2.8305888E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.4462366E-6 | 3.4462366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.4480014E-5 | 3.4480014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Surprise Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.488283E-5 | 4.488283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.9234198E-4 | 1.9234198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105641 | 0.0023394588 | 0.0023394588 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020858008 | 0.02317007 | 0.023179838 | 1.0004216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.488283E-5 | 4.488283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.9234198E-4 | 1.9234198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105641 | 0.0023394588 | 0.0023394588 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020858008 | 0.02317007 | 0.023179838 | 1.0004216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2295266E-5 | 2.4415904E-5 | 2.4415904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.554764E-5 | 1.0463557E-4 | 1.0463557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011626717 | 0.0012732244 | 0.0012732244 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011566074 | 0.0126625355 | 0.0126625355 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.572643E-5 | 1.710627E-5 | 1.710627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7397246E-5 | 7.3310584E-5 | 7.3310584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.202525E-4 | 8.922013E-4 | 8.922013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008172315 | 0.008887302 | 0.008887302 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.5714395E-5 | 1.709409E-5 | 1.709409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.734567E-5 | 7.325839E-5 | 7.325839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1962504E-4 | 8.915664E-4 | 8.915664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008166086 | 0.008881004 | 0.008881004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.2733495E-5 | 1.3808951E-5 | 1.3808951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.457098E-5 | 5.917991E-5 | 5.917991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.641992E-4 | 7.202839E-4 | 7.202839E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066221743 | 0.0071801883 | 0.0071801883 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0983784E-5 | 1.1892756E-5 | 1.1892756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7072506E-5 | 5.0967992E-5 | 5.0967992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7295704E-4 | 6.203639E-4 | 6.203639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057148207 | 0.006186872 | 0.006186872 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.104806E-6 | 9.8445325E-6 | 9.8445325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.902001E-5 | 4.2190193E-5 | 4.2190193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7496508E-4 | 5.1354844E-4 | 5.1354844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004739512 | 0.0051240143 | 0.0051240143 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.2162403E-6 | 6.707477E-6 | 6.707477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6640759E-5 | 2.8746026E-5 | 2.8746026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2430296E-4 | 3.499289E-4 | 3.499289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003238301 | 0.0034940024 | 0.0034940024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.1792696E-6 | 4.50545E-6 | 4.50545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7911032E-5 | 1.9308936E-5 | 1.9308936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1804498E-4 | 2.350625E-4 | 2.350625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021783116 | 0.0023482922 | 0.0023482922 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.7478413E-6 | 2.9637133E-6 | 2.9637133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.177641E-5 | 1.2701573E-5 | 1.2701573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4336836E-4 | 1.5463193E-4 | 1.5463193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001432759 | 0.0015453659 | 0.0015453659 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.128648E-7 | 8.729015E-7 | 8.729015E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4837017E-6 | 3.7410045E-6 | 3.7410045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2413245E-5 | 4.5546378E-5 | 4.5546378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2405148E-4 | 4.554293E-4 | 4.554293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.8641045E-8 | 4.940696E-8 | 4.940696E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.084616E-7 | 2.117441E-7 | 2.117441E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.538017E-6 | 2.5779814E-6 | 2.5779814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.537988E-5 | 2.5779525E-5 | 2.5779525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3911844E-9 | 5.476358E-9 | 5.476358E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3105075E-8 | 2.3470106E-8 | 2.3470106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8130427E-7 | 2.857485E-7 | 2.857485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8130391E-6 | 2.857483E-6 | 2.857483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
East Huasna 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4716235E-6 | 1.4716235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.306943E-6 | 6.306943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6784396E-5 | 8.678363E-5 | 1.1302248 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6758565E-4 | 7.77578E-4 | 1.0130179 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4716235E-6 | 1.4716235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.306943E-6 | 6.306943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6784396E-5 | 8.678363E-5 | 1.1302248 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6758565E-4 | 7.77578E-4 | 1.0130179 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4716235E-6 | 1.4716235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.306943E-6 | 6.306943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6784396E-5 | 8.678363E-5 | 1.1302248 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6758565E-4 | 7.77578E-4 | 1.0130179 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4716235E-6 | 1.4716235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.306943E-6 | 6.306943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6784396E-5 | 8.678363E-5 | 1.1302248 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6758565E-4 | 7.77578E-4 | 1.0130179 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0488257E-6 | 1.0527975E-6 | 1.0527975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4949593E-6 | 4.511982E-6 | 4.511982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.472476E-5 | 5.4932014E-5 | 6.493146E-5 | 1.1820332 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4711284E-4 | 5.4918625E-4 | 5.5918074E-4 | 1.0181987 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0488257E-6 | 1.0527975E-6 | 1.0527975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4949593E-6 | 4.511982E-6 | 4.511982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.472476E-5 | 5.4932014E-5 | 6.493146E-5 | 1.1820332 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4711284E-4 | 5.4918625E-4 | 5.5918074E-4 | 1.0181987 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.463064E-7 | 8.494038E-7 | 8.494038E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6270226E-6 | 3.6402969E-6 | 3.6402969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4158103E-5 | 4.4319724E-5 | 5.431928E-5 | 1.2256231 | 1.0E-5 | 4.414933E-4 | 4.4310972E-4 | 4.5310528E-4 | 1.0225577 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.876149E-7 | 7.902912E-7 | 7.902912E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375488E-6 | 3.386958E-6 | 3.386958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109579E-5 | 4.123544E-5 | 5.1235027E-5 | 1.2424998 | 1.0E-5 | 4.108819E-4 | 4.1227852E-4 | 4.2227437E-4 | 1.0242455 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.9940785E-7 | 7.016932E-7 | 7.016932E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9974588E-6 | 3.007253E-6 | 3.007253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.649345E-5 | 3.6612695E-5 | 4.661233E-5 | 1.2731193 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6487455E-4 | 3.660671E-4 | 3.7606346E-4 | 1.0273074 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.899658E-7 | 5.915912E-7 | 5.915912E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5284223E-6 | 2.5353884E-6 | 2.5353884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0783107E-5 | 3.086792E-5 | 3.086792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0778843E-4 | 3.086366E-4 | 3.086366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.793814E-7 | 4.803544E-7 | 4.803544E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.05449E-6 | 2.0586601E-6 | 2.0586601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501313E-5 | 2.50639E-5 | 2.50639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5010316E-4 | 2.5061093E-4 | 2.5061093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.1256908E-7 | 4.1301791E-7 | 4.1301791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768152E-6 | 1.7700755E-6 | 1.7700755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1527037E-5 | 2.1550459E-5 | 2.1550459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1524953E-4 | 2.1548383E-4 | 2.1548383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.822599E-7 | 2.8163115E-7 | 2.8163115E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2096847E-6 | 1.2069901E-6 | 1.2069901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47278115E-5 | 1.4695006E-5 | 1.4695006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4726835E-4 | 1.4694042E-4 | 1.4694042E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5261652E-7 | 1.5075936E-7 | 1.5075936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.540707E-7 | 6.4611135E-7 | 6.4611135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.963281E-6 | 7.866378E-6 | 7.866378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.962996E-5 | 7.866101E-5 | 7.866101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.976414E-8 | 8.058387E-8 | 8.058387E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.418463E-7 | 3.4535935E-7 | 3.4535935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1619705E-6 | 4.2047423E-6 | 4.2047423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.161893E-5 | 4.204663E-5 | 4.204663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.2715055E-8 | 4.3205635E-8 | 4.3205635E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.830645E-7 | 1.8516698E-7 | 1.8516698E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.228808E-6 | 2.2544057E-6 | 2.2544057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2287857E-5 | 2.254383E-5 | 2.254383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.1807532E-8 | 2.2059076E-8 | 2.2059076E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.346085E-8 | 9.453889E-8 | 9.453889E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1378852E-6 | 1.1510105E-6 | 1.1510105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1378794E-5 | 1.1510046E-5 | 1.1510046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.7196043E-9 | 4.7675877E-9 | 4.7675877E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0226874E-8 | 2.0432518E-8 | 2.0432518E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4626218E-7 | 2.4876587E-7 | 2.4876587E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.462619E-6 | 2.4876563E-6 | 2.4876563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.465861E-11 | 7.465861E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.199656E-10 | 3.199656E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.895581E-9 | 3.895581E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.895581E-8 | 3.895581E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bear River fault zone
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3773342E-5 | 2.7003869E-5 | 2.7003869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0188177E-4 | 1.1572627E-4 | 1.1572627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012397047 | 0.0014081503 | 0.0014081503 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012328116 | 0.014001699 | 0.014011559 | 1.0007042 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3773342E-5 | 2.7003869E-5 | 2.7003869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0188177E-4 | 1.1572627E-4 | 1.1572627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012397047 | 0.0014081503 | 0.0014081503 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012328116 | 0.014001699 | 0.014011559 | 1.0007042 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5973403E-5 | 1.8077193E-5 | 1.8077193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.845564E-5 | 7.7471515E-5 | 7.7471515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3312875E-4 | 9.4283116E-4 | 9.4283116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008300122 | 0.009390709 | 0.009390709 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.5973403E-5 | 1.8077193E-5 | 1.8077193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.845564E-5 | 7.7471515E-5 | 7.7471515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3312875E-4 | 9.4283116E-4 | 9.4283116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008300122 | 0.009390709 | 0.009390709 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3027338E-5 | 1.4753407E-5 | 1.4753407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5830256E-5 | 6.322743E-5 | 6.322743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7952136E-4 | 7.6953595E-4 | 7.6953595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067744725 | 0.007670115 | 0.007670115 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.2489152E-5 | 1.4155668E-5 | 1.4155668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.352384E-5 | 6.0665818E-5 | 6.0665818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.514579E-4 | 7.3836965E-4 | 7.3836965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064955144 | 0.0073605413 | 0.0073605413 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1662849E-5 | 1.323949E-5 | 1.323949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9982682E-5 | 5.673951E-5 | 5.673951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.083692E-4 | 6.905975E-4 | 6.905975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006067064 | 0.006885817 | 0.006885817 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0667623E-5 | 1.2138671E-5 | 1.2138671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717585E-5 | 5.2021907E-5 | 5.2021907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5646943E-4 | 6.3319446E-4 | 6.3319446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055507803 | 0.006315087 | 0.006315087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 9.154534E-6 | 1.0468843E-5 | 1.0468843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.923313E-5 | 4.486576E-5 | 4.486576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7755867E-4 | 5.461143E-4 | 5.461143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004765337 | 0.0054487707 | 0.0054487707 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.68501E-6 | 8.85445E-6 | 8.85445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2935342E-5 | 3.7947142E-5 | 3.7947142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0091402E-4 | 4.6191784E-4 | 4.6191784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004001915 | 0.0046105003 | 0.0046105003 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.7315733E-6 | 6.710912E-6 | 6.710912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4563653E-5 | 2.876076E-5 | 2.876076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9902143E-4 | 3.5011026E-4 | 3.5011026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029861939 | 0.0034960092 | 0.0034960092 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.566844E-6 | 6.5191794E-6 | 6.5191794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3857683E-5 | 2.7939066E-5 | 2.7939066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9042858E-4 | 3.4010928E-4 | 3.4010928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002900493 | 0.003396309 | 0.003396309 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.011353E-6 | 4.6795208E-6 | 4.6795208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7191402E-5 | 2.0054953E-5 | 2.0054953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0928521E-4 | 2.4414514E-4 | 2.4414514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020908823 | 0.0024391075 | 0.0024391075 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0974871E-6 | 2.442111E-6 | 2.442111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.989199E-6 | 1.0466162E-5 | 1.0466162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09438006E-4 | 1.2742059E-4 | 1.2742059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010938413 | 0.001273721 | 0.001273721 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764163E-5 | 4.764163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0416339E-4 | 2.0416339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024830203 | 0.0024830203 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024570415 | 0.02458017 | 1.000397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764163E-5 | 4.764163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0416339E-4 | 2.0416339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024830203 | 0.0024830203 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024570415 | 0.02458017 | 1.000397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764163E-5 | 4.764163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0416339E-4 | 2.0416339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024830203 | 0.0024830203 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024570415 | 0.02458017 | 1.000397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764163E-5 | 4.764163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0416339E-4 | 2.0416339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024830203 | 0.0024830203 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024570415 | 0.02458017 | 1.000397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764163E-5 | 4.764163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0416339E-4 | 2.0416339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024830203 | 0.0024830203 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024570415 | 0.02458017 | 1.000397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5396562E-5 | 3.5396562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5169125E-4 | 1.5169125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018453689 | 0.0018453689 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632528 | 0.018310118 | 0.018319935 | 1.0005362 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5385932E-5 | 3.5385932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.516457E-4 | 1.516457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018448152 | 0.0018448152 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632056 | 0.018304674 | 0.01831449 | 1.0005363 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1501557E-5 | 3.1501557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3500017E-4 | 1.3500017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.001642473 | 0.001642473 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014641452 | 0.01631212 | 0.01631212 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1439387E-5 | 3.1439387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3473375E-4 | 1.3473375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016392344 | 0.0016392344 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014613459 | 0.01628021 | 0.01628021 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6733793E-5 | 2.6733793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1456879E-4 | 1.1456879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013940586 | 0.0013940586 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012562336 | 0.013860841 | 0.013860841 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.586162E-5 | 2.586162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10831235E-4 | 1.10831235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013486109 | 0.0013486109 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012179627 | 0.013411919 | 0.013411919 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.44872E-5 | 2.44872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.0494135E-4 | 1.0494135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.001276987 | 0.001276987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01157452 | 0.012704025 | 0.012704025 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7687156E-5 | 1.7687156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.580026E-5 | 7.580026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.2254096E-4 | 9.2254096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008590161 | 0.009193405 | 0.009193405 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.557427E-5 | 1.557427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.67455E-5 | 6.67455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.123853E-4 | 8.123853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008100243 | 0.008100243 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.53276E-6 | 5.53276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3711616E-5 | 2.3711616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.886512E-4 | 2.886512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028828173 | 0.0028828173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.3422864E-6 | 5.3422864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2895316E-5 | 2.2895316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.7871534E-4 | 2.7871534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027837118 | 0.0027837118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3185564E-6 | 4.3185564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.850797E-5 | 1.850797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2531157E-4 | 2.2531157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.002250866 | 0.002250866 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8550799E-6 | 2.8550799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2236E-5 | 1.2236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4896339E-4 | 1.4896339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014886616 | 0.0014886616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0131029E-6 | 1.0131029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.3418627E-6 | 4.3418627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.2860923E-5 | 5.2860923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.2848645E-4 | 5.2848645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8626751E-7 | 1.8626751E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.9828914E-7 | 7.9828914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.71913E-6 | 9.71913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.718734E-5 | 9.718734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jose
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.1294234E-6 | 4.1294234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7697424E-5 | 1.7697424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.1544746E-4 | 2.1544746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026498367 | 0.002152678 | 0.0021626565 | 1.0046353 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.1294234E-6 | 4.1294234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7697424E-5 | 1.7697424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.1544746E-4 | 2.1544746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026498367 | 0.002152678 | 0.0021626565 | 1.0046353 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.1294234E-6 | 4.1294234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7697424E-5 | 1.7697424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.1544746E-4 | 2.1544746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026498367 | 0.002152678 | 0.0021626565 | 1.0046353 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.1294234E-6 | 4.1294234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7697424E-5 | 1.7697424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.1544746E-4 | 2.1544746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026498367 | 0.002152678 | 0.0021626565 | 1.0046353 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.3273484E-6 | 3.3273484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.4259999E-5 | 1.4259999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.7360387E-4 | 1.7360387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0017349334 | 0.001744916 | 1.0057539 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.3273484E-6 | 3.3273484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.4259999E-5 | 1.4259999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.7360387E-4 | 1.7360387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0017349334 | 0.001744916 | 1.0057539 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.110396E-6 | 2.0832722E-6 | 2.0832722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.92828E-6 | 8.92828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0869667E-4 | 1.0869667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016216465 | 0.001086496 | 0.0010964852 | 1.0091939 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.110396E-6 | 2.0832722E-6 | 2.0832722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.92828E-6 | 8.92828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0869667E-4 | 1.0869667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016216465 | 0.001086496 | 0.0010964852 | 1.0091939 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.856651E-6 | 1.9056416E-6 | 1.9056416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2242733E-5 | 8.167011E-6 | 8.167011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4904508E-4 | 9.9429075E-5 | 9.9429075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014894515 | 9.939038E-4 | 0.0010038939 | 1.0100514 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1618725E-6 | 1.4216631E-6 | 1.4216631E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.265135E-6 | 6.092828E-6 | 6.092828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12797185E-4 | 7.417775E-5 | 7.417775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011273995 | 7.4157206E-4 | 7.4157206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.9684312E-6 | 1.3285853E-6 | 1.3285853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.436106E-6 | 5.6939252E-6 | 5.6939252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.02704755E-4 | 6.932142E-5 | 6.932142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001026573 | 6.9303956E-4 | 6.9303956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6070337E-6 | 1.118321E-6 | 1.118321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.887269E-6 | 4.792796E-6 | 4.792796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.384928E-5 | 5.8350794E-5 | 5.8350794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3817646E-4 | 5.833944E-4 | 5.833944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0631658E-6 | 6.4247246E-7 | 6.4247246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.556417E-6 | 2.7534504E-6 | 2.7534504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5472963E-5 | 3.352276E-5 | 3.352276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545912E-4 | 3.3521187E-4 | 3.3521187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.060711E-7 | 4.5995054E-7 | 4.5995054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0260155E-6 | 1.9712152E-6 | 1.9712152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6841117E-5 | 2.399929E-5 | 2.399929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6835007E-4 | 2.4000133E-4 | 2.4000133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.3677085E-7 | 2.3356878E-7 | 2.3356878E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4433028E-6 | 1.0010087E-6 | 1.0010087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.757207E-5 | 1.2187216E-5 | 1.2187216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7570681E-4 | 1.21899226E-4 | 1.21899226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.129161E-7 | 1.9632785E-7 | 1.9632785E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3410682E-6 | 8.4140476E-7 | 8.4140476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6327383E-5 | 1.0244057E-5 | 1.0244057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6326184E-4 | 1.0246955E-4 | 1.0246955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8008668E-7 | 1.4314122E-7 | 1.4314122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2003709E-6 | 6.1346225E-7 | 6.1346225E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46144175E-5 | 7.4688787E-6 | 7.4688787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4613457E-4 | 7.4719974E-5 | 7.4719974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.7852005E-7 | 1.408776E-7 | 1.408776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1936568E-6 | 6.03761E-7 | 6.03761E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4532674E-5 | 7.3507676E-6 | 7.3507676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4531724E-4 | 7.353894E-5 | 7.353894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1810797E-7 | 7.551707E-8 | 7.551707E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0617695E-7 | 3.2364454E-7 | 3.2364454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1626865E-6 | 3.940366E-6 | 3.940366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.162516E-5 | 3.9438874E-5 | 3.9438874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast (Extension) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.930738E-6 | 9.332736E-6 | 9.332736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.827403E-5 | 3.9996838E-5 | 3.9996838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6588664E-4 | 4.8685443E-4 | 4.8685443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046491115 | 0.004858061 | 0.0048680124 | 1.0020485 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.199952E-6 | 7.5333087E-6 | 7.5333087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0856572E-5 | 3.2285214E-5 | 3.2285214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.75614E-4 | 3.9300218E-4 | 3.9300218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037497976 | 0.0039231377 | 0.0039330986 | 1.002539 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3721413E-6 | 6.669568E-6 | 6.669568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7308892E-5 | 2.858355E-5 | 2.858355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3243504E-4 | 3.4794954E-4 | 3.4794954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033193815 | 0.0034740875 | 0.0034840526 | 1.0028684 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.016345E-6 | 6.2978297E-6 | 6.2978297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.578408E-5 | 2.6990421E-5 | 2.6990421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1387596E-4 | 3.2855917E-4 | 3.2855917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00313433 | 0.00328077 | 0.0032907373 | 1.003038 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.8104883E-6 | 6.0821512E-6 | 6.0821512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901856E-5 | 2.6066104E-5 | 2.6066104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.031379E-4 | 3.173089E-4 | 3.173089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030272473 | 0.0031685932 | 0.0031785616 | 1.0031459 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.476925E-6 | 5.7299962E-6 | 5.7299962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3472323E-5 | 2.4556897E-5 | 2.4556897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8573806E-4 | 2.989395E-4 | 2.989395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028537093 | 0.0029854057 | 0.0029953758 | 1.0033396 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.222387E-6 | 5.4609663E-6 | 5.4609663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2381464E-5 | 2.3403933E-5 | 2.3403933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7246025E-4 | 2.8490592E-4 | 2.8490592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027212645 | 0.0028454373 | 0.002855409 | 1.0035044 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.0337076E-6 | 5.2614173E-6 | 5.2614173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1572854E-5 | 2.2548738E-5 | 2.2548738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6261783E-4 | 2.744966E-4 | 2.744966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002623077 | 0.0027416055 | 0.002751578 | 1.0036376 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.5675624E-6 | 4.7607978E-6 | 4.7607978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9575122E-5 | 2.040326E-5 | 2.040326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3830103E-4 | 2.4838155E-4 | 2.4838155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023804565 | 0.0024810592 | 0.0024810592 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.2802412E-6 | 4.4539706E-6 | 4.4539706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8343762E-5 | 1.9088307E-5 | 1.9088307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2331243E-4 | 2.323755E-4 | 2.323755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022308815 | 0.002321342 | 0.002321342 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.9794063E-6 | 4.1319063E-6 | 4.1319063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7054486E-5 | 1.770805E-5 | 1.770805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0761859E-4 | 2.155743E-4 | 2.155743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020742472 | 0.0021536653 | 0.0021536653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.7730424E-6 | 3.9129395E-6 | 3.9129395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6170083E-5 | 1.6769634E-5 | 1.6769634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9685295E-4 | 2.0415129E-4 | 2.0415129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019667868 | 0.0020396505 | 0.0020396505 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.424985E-6 | 3.5429123E-6 | 3.5429123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4678424E-5 | 1.5183822E-5 | 1.5183822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869516E-4 | 1.8484748E-4 | 1.8484748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017855153 | 0.0018469492 | 0.0018469492 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.6966375E-6 | 2.7608655E-6 | 2.7608655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15569665E-5 | 1.1832228E-5 | 1.1832228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4069698E-4 | 1.440479E-4 | 1.440479E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014060794 | 0.0014395494 | 0.0014395494 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.215957E-6 | 2.2503793E-6 | 2.2503793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.496924E-6 | 9.644447E-6 | 9.644447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1561892E-4 | 1.1741486E-4 | 1.1741486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011555878 | 0.0011735319 | 0.0011735319 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2040218E-6 | 1.2224352E-6 | 1.2224352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.160083E-6 | 5.238998E-6 | 5.238998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2822204E-5 | 6.378295E-5 | 6.378295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.280445E-4 | 6.376483E-4 | 6.376483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.6157446E-7 | 6.681775E-7 | 6.681775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.835316E-6 | 2.8636148E-6 | 2.8636148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4519428E-5 | 3.486397E-5 | 3.486397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4514067E-4 | 3.485865E-4 | 3.485865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6012302E-7 | 2.436732E-7 | 2.436732E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148124E-6 | 1.0443134E-6 | 1.0443134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3572758E-5 | 1.2714453E-5 | 1.2714453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3571928E-4 | 1.2713832E-4 | 1.2713832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.8323132E-8 | 2.02756E-8 | 2.02756E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138484E-7 | 8.6895426E-8 | 8.6895426E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778595E-6 | 1.0579514E-6 | 1.0579514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778497E-5 | 1.0579472E-5 | 1.0579472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Northridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.5967228E-6 | 7.5967228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009524435 | 0.0039562923 | 0.003966253 | 1.0025176 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.5967228E-6 | 7.5967228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009524435 | 0.0039562923 | 0.003966253 | 1.0025176 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.5967228E-6 | 7.5967228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009524435 | 0.0039562923 | 0.003966253 | 1.0025176 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.5967228E-6 | 7.5967228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009524435 | 0.0039562923 | 0.003966253 | 1.0025176 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.5967228E-6 | 7.5967228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009018354 | 0.0039562923 | 0.003966253 | 1.0025176 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.5967228E-6 | 7.5967228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009018354 | 0.0039562923 | 0.003966253 | 1.0025176 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5458201E-5 | 7.5967228E-6 | 7.5967228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.624775E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 3.255699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0626784E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 3.9631143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008033488 | 0.0039562923 | 0.003966253 | 1.0025176 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2538368E-5 | 6.3889E-6 | 6.3889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3734755E-5 | 2.7380716E-5 | 2.7380716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5402425E-4 | 3.3330967E-4 | 3.3330967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065210275 | 0.0033281683 | 0.003338135 | 1.0029947 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1438097E-5 | 6.357489E-6 | 6.357489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9019498E-5 | 2.7246098E-5 | 2.7246098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9664896E-4 | 3.3167118E-4 | 3.3167118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005950495 | 0.0033118327 | 0.0033217994 | 1.0030094 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1204891E-5 | 6.2938566E-6 | 6.2938566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8020076E-5 | 2.6973394E-5 | 2.6973394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8448757E-4 | 3.2835203E-4 | 3.2835203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058295266 | 0.0032787393 | 0.0032887065 | 1.00304 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.061046E-5 | 6.1223495E-6 | 6.1223495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5472607E-5 | 2.6238378E-5 | 2.6238378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534883E-4 | 3.1940587E-4 | 3.1940587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055211177 | 0.0031895142 | 0.0031994823 | 1.0031253 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0266979E-5 | 6.0111306E-6 | 6.0111306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.40006E-5 | 2.5761736E-5 | 2.5761736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.355756E-4 | 3.1360443E-4 | 3.1360443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053428668 | 0.0031316644 | 0.0031416332 | 1.0031832 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.91273E-6 | 5.826701E-6 | 5.826701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.248244E-5 | 2.497134E-5 | 2.497134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.171009E-4 | 3.0398407E-4 | 3.0398407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051589934 | 0.0030357274 | 0.003045697 | 1.0032841 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.4959265E-6 | 5.1992242E-6 | 5.1992242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6410605E-5 | 2.2282202E-5 | 2.2282202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4320893E-4 | 2.7125227E-4 | 2.7125227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00442326 | 0.002709238 | 0.002719211 | 1.0036811 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.0847185E-6 | 4.987778E-6 | 4.987778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4648332E-5 | 2.1376018E-5 | 2.1376018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2176177E-4 | 2.6022218E-4 | 2.6022218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042096223 | 0.0025992005 | 0.0026091745 | 1.0038373 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.8220684E-6 | 4.257625E-6 | 4.257625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9237108E-5 | 1.8246837E-5 | 1.8246837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5590364E-4 | 2.221328E-4 | 2.221328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035533418 | 0.0022191287 | 0.0022291064 | 1.0044962 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.4224143E-6 | 2.902573E-6 | 2.902573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8953066E-5 | 1.243954E-5 | 1.243954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3072914E-4 | 1.5144098E-4 | 1.5144098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023048974 | 0.0015133895 | 0.0015233743 | 1.0065976 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5297056E-6 | 1.6061515E-6 | 1.6061515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0841551E-5 | 6.883489E-6 | 6.883489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.319879E-4 | 8.38033E-5 | 8.38033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013190953 | 8.377217E-4 | 8.377217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2508156E-6 | 8.787683E-7 | 8.787683E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3606273E-6 | 3.7661443E-6 | 3.7661443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.526368E-5 | 4.5851855E-5 | 4.5851855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.524452E-4 | 4.5842526E-4 | 4.5842526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.262199E-7 | 1.467591E-7 | 1.467591E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.695135E-7 | 6.289675E-7 | 6.289675E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1803763E-5 | 7.6576525E-6 | 7.6576525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1803136E-4 | 7.657397E-5 | 7.657397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.865362E-9 | 1.2793374E-9 | 1.2793374E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2280123E-8 | 5.4828746E-9 | 5.4828746E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951048E-7 | 6.6754E-8 | 6.6754E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951038E-6 | 6.6754E-7 | 6.6754E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.832733E-5 | 8.832733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7849395E-4 | 3.7849395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038171355 | 0.004598991 | 0.004598991 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03752231 | 0.045102026 | 0.045111574 | 1.0002117 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4937617E-5 | 4.4937617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9257602E-4 | 1.9257602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023421727 | 0.0023421727 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019602431 | 0.02318351 | 0.02318351 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3331453E-5 | 3.3331453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4284132E-4 | 1.4284132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017377278 | 0.0017377278 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017244037 | 0.017244037 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3331453E-5 | 3.3331453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4284132E-4 | 1.4284132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017377278 | 0.0017377278 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017244037 | 0.017244037 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5472122E-5 | 2.5472122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.09161716E-4 | 1.09161716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.001328243 | 0.001328243 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011519298 | 0.0132042095 | 0.0132042095 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.40468E-5 | 2.40468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0305368E-4 | 1.0305368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012539652 | 0.0012539652 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010900296 | 0.012469978 | 0.012469978 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0722957E-5 | 2.0722957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.880968E-5 | 8.880968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010807269 | 0.0010807269 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.0107553825 | 0.0107553825 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7998827E-5 | 1.7998827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.713556E-5 | 7.713556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.387236E-4 | 9.387236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.009347951 | 0.009347951 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6214555E-5 | 1.6214555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.9489106E-5 | 6.9489106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.457035E-4 | 8.457035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008425119 | 0.008425119 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4217588E-5 | 1.4217588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0931106E-5 | 6.0931106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.415851E-4 | 7.415851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007391291 | 0.007391291 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.229938E-5 | 1.229938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.271057E-5 | 5.271057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.415632E-4 | 6.415632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.006397239 | 0.006397239 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0615765E-5 | 1.0615765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.5495348E-5 | 4.5495348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.5376586E-4 | 5.5376586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005523956 | 0.005523956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.2663295E-6 | 9.2663295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.971224E-5 | 3.971224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8338991E-4 | 4.8338991E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004823465 | 0.004823465 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.0956416E-6 | 7.0956416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0409541E-5 | 3.0409541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.7017366E-4 | 3.7017366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.0036956167 | 0.0036956167 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6474255E-6 | 5.6474255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4203031E-5 | 2.4203031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9463245E-4 | 2.9463245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029424597 | 0.0029424597 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9712727E-6 | 1.9712727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.448285E-6 | 8.448285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0285324E-4 | 1.0285324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010280785 | 0.0010280785 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7537384E-7 | 1.7537384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5160193E-7 | 7.5160193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.150717E-6 | 9.150717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.15036E-5 | 9.15036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Quien Sabe 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.729899E-5 | 7.108889E-5 | 8.108818E-5 | 1.140659 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5984301E-4 | 3.0459397E-4 | 3.1459093E-4 | 1.0328206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019443515 | 0.0036928426 | 0.0037028058 | 1.002698 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274272 | 0.03541677 | 0.035426416 | 1.0002724 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7825725E-5 | 3.3284472E-5 | 4.3284137E-5 | 1.3004304 | 1.0E-5 | 7.639373E-5 | 1.4260241E-4 | 1.5260099E-4 | 1.0701151 | 1.0E-5 | 9.296967E-4 | 0.001730437 | 0.0017404197 | 1.0057689 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009258169 | 0.016732534 | 0.016742367 | 1.0005876 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.8865336E-6 | 7.831073E-6 | 7.831073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0942118E-5 | 3.3560125E-5 | 3.3560125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5494045E-4 | 4.0816906E-4 | 4.0816906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025464818 | 0.004025243 | 0.004025243 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.858491E-6 | 5.8097376E-6 | 5.8097376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6536285E-5 | 2.4898665E-5 | 2.4898665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0131067E-4 | 3.031038E-4 | 3.031038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002011284 | 0.0030119685 | 0.0030119685 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 3.0771805E-6 | 4.404076E-6 | 4.404076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.318785E-5 | 1.8874489E-5 | 1.8874489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6055023E-4 | 2.2977512E-4 | 2.2977512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001604343 | 0.002296149 | 0.002296149 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.5081235E-6 | 3.481222E-6 | 3.481222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0749056E-5 | 1.4919446E-5 | 1.4919446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.308619E-4 | 1.816306E-4 | 1.816306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013078486 | 0.001821211 | 0.001821211 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.7505364E-6 | 2.4163492E-6 | 2.4163492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.502277E-6 | 1.0355745E-5 | 1.0355745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.13364E-5 | 1.2607462E-4 | 1.2607462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.129886E-4 | 0.0012653461 | 0.0012653461 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.505737E-6 | 2.0767072E-6 | 2.0767072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4531428E-6 | 8.900147E-6 | 8.900147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8564175E-5 | 1.083545E-4 | 1.083545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.853641E-4 | 0.0010883634 | 0.0010883634 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2924105E-6 | 1.7601539E-6 | 1.7601539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5388905E-6 | 7.5434978E-6 | 7.5434978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.74339E-5 | 9.1838774E-5 | 9.1838774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.741344E-4 | 9.220755E-4 | 9.220755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.9075286E-7 | 1.134637E-6 | 1.134637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8175067E-6 | 4.8627226E-6 | 4.8627226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6477155E-5 | 5.9202266E-5 | 5.9202266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6467435E-4 | 5.9531437E-4 | 5.9531437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.6891175E-7 | 8.6045355E-7 | 8.6045355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8667614E-6 | 3.687654E-6 | 3.687654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4902263E-5 | 4.4896464E-5 | 4.4896464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4896782E-4 | 4.512705E-4 | 4.512705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4205015E-7 | 5.456353E-7 | 5.456353E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8944993E-6 | 2.338436E-6 | 2.338436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3065284E-5 | 2.847026E-5 | 2.847026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3062891E-4 | 2.860052E-4 | 2.860052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6620965E-7 | 1.6035531E-7 | 1.6035531E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.123269E-7 | 6.872369E-7 | 6.872369E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.672545E-6 | 8.367081E-6 | 8.367081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6722066E-5 | 8.3810744E-5 | 8.3810744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2142488E-7 | 1.17546946E-7 | 1.17546946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2039223E-7 | 5.037726E-7 | 5.037726E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.335757E-6 | 6.133417E-6 | 6.133417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3355765E-5 | 6.14107E-5 | 6.14107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4192937E-8 | 2.4590895E-8 | 2.4590895E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368401E-7 | 1.05389546E-7 | 1.05389546E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623522E-6 | 1.2831171E-6 | 1.2831171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623449E-5 | 1.285315E-5 | 1.285315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4432802E-8 | 1.4525135E-8 | 1.4525135E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.185486E-8 | 6.225058E-8 | 6.225058E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.530827E-7 | 7.579006E-7 | 7.579006E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.530801E-6 | 7.598881E-6 | 7.598881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.003775884 | 1.0026454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.003775884 | 1.0026454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.003775884 | 1.0026454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.003775884 | 1.0026454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.003775884 | 1.0026454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.003775884 | 1.0026454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.003775884 | 1.0026454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.401868E-6 | 6.401868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.7436301E-5 | 2.7436301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.3398796E-4 | 3.3398796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031709734 | 0.0033350794 | 0.003345046 | 1.0029885 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.955267E-6 | 5.955267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.5522335E-5 | 2.5522335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.1069218E-4 | 3.1069218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002945339 | 0.003102783 | 0.003112752 | 1.0032129 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.868275E-6 | 4.868275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0863878E-5 | 2.0863878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.5398956E-4 | 2.5398956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023981342 | 0.0025371371 | 0.0025471116 | 1.0039314 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.7518984E-6 | 4.7518984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9232413E-5 | 2.0365127E-5 | 2.0365127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4791868E-4 | 2.4791868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023388295 | 0.0024765648 | 0.0024865402 | 1.0040278 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.433611E-6 | 3.433611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4715397E-5 | 1.4715397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7914589E-4 | 1.7914589E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016703589 | 0.0017900812 | 0.0017900812 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.3819143E-6 | 2.3819143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4545085E-6 | 1.0208168E-5 | 1.0208168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.2427781E-4 | 1.2427781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011504296 | 0.001242128 | 0.001242128 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.5247359E-6 | 1.5247359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.5345666E-6 | 6.5345666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.955554E-5 | 7.955554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.9527975E-4 | 7.9527975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.2614867E-6 | 1.2614867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.4063607E-6 | 5.4063607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.582054E-5 | 6.582054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.580188E-4 | 6.580188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 9.302902E-7 | 9.302902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.9869524E-6 | 3.9869524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.8540132E-5 | 4.8540132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.853021E-4 | 4.853021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 6.026031E-7 | 6.026031E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.5825825E-6 | 2.5825825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 3.1442538E-5 | 3.1442538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5539953E-4 | 3.143858E-4 | 3.143858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.7898355E-8 | 6.7898355E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.9099294E-7 | 2.9099294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5428336E-6 | 3.5428336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.542782E-5 | 3.542782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.490239E-9 | 9.490239E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.067245E-8 | 4.067245E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.95187E-7 | 4.95187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.9518603E-6 | 4.9518603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5950744E-4 | 3.0853602E-4 | 3.1853296E-4 | 1.0324011 | 1.0E-5 | 6.834242E-4 | 0.0013214416 | 0.0013314284 | 1.0075575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00828899 | 0.015930282 | 0.015940122 | 1.0006177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.079865426 | 0.14497611 | 0.14498465 | 1.000059 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3584697E-4 | 2.616803E-4 | 2.7167768E-4 | 1.0382046 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8207137E-4 | 0.001120841 | 0.0011308298 | 1.0089118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007063716 | 0.013529128 | 0.013538993 | 1.0007292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06843361 | 0.12458372 | 0.124592476 | 1.0000702 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.14676266E-4 | 2.1840484E-4 | 2.1840484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9137714E-4 | 9.355884E-4 | 9.355884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059661185 | 0.01130944 | 0.01130944 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058084648 | 0.105559245 | 0.105559245 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.6104392E-4 | 1.6104392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.8997015E-4 | 6.8997015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004525038 | 0.008361278 | 0.008361278 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.044339992 | 0.07985561 | 0.07985561 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5809215E-4 | 1.5809215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.7732634E-4 | 6.7732634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044306475 | 0.008208506 | 0.008208506 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04343345 | 0.07845586 | 0.07845586 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.5633224E-4 | 1.5633224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.697886E-4 | 6.697886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004376863 | 0.008117516 | 0.008117516 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.042916555 | 0.07762584 | 0.07762584 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.5267913E-4 | 1.5267913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.5414206E-4 | 6.5414206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042669317 | 0.007928799 | 0.007928799 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04185927 | 0.075907245 | 0.075907245 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.4934906E-4 | 1.4934906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.398804E-4 | 6.398804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004172157 | 0.0077568395 | 0.0077568395 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.040946912 | 0.07434643 | 0.07434643 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.2986313E-4 | 1.2986313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.564197E-4 | 5.564197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037082357 | 0.006750111 | 0.006750111 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.036469642 | 0.065161146 | 0.065161146 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 1.0010216E-4 | 1.0010216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.2893915E-4 | 4.2893915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029876942 | 0.005209905 | 0.005209905 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02947844 | 0.050937448 | 0.050937448 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.367947E-5 | 8.367947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.5857738E-4 | 3.5857738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025403565 | 0.0043570083 | 0.0043570083 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025115121 | 0.042880025 | 0.042880025 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.3400886E-5 | 7.3400886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.1453764E-4 | 3.1453764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002241108 | 0.0038228328 | 0.0038228328 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022186412 | 0.037783142 | 0.037783142 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.4562064E-5 | 5.4562064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.3381662E-4 | 2.3381662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016794393 | 0.00284303 | 0.00284303 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016668037 | 0.028353622 | 0.028353622 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 3.99918E-5 | 3.99918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.7138226E-4 | 1.7138226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0020845998 | 0.0020845998 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012319452 | 0.020897603 | 0.020897603 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.7689612E-5 | 2.7689612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.18664386E-4 | 1.18664386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.0014437839 | 0.0014437839 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008312687 | 0.01454669 | 0.01454669 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.511804E-5 | 2.511804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9202768E-5 | 1.07644315E-4 | 1.07644315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.001309784 | 0.001309784 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007182234 | 0.013219488 | 0.013219488 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.6703283E-5 | 1.6703283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 7.158354E-5 | 7.158354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 8.7118254E-4 | 8.7118254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004590199 | 0.008854159 | 0.008854159 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 7.904496E-6 | 7.904496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 3.387597E-5 | 3.387597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 4.1236196E-4 | 4.1236196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021033096 | 0.004261548 | 0.004261548 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 6.959924E-6 | 6.959924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 2.9827905E-5 | 2.9827905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 3.630943E-4 | 3.630943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017793609 | 0.00375056 | 0.00375056 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 5.407335E-6 | 5.407335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 2.3174087E-5 | 2.3174087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 2.8210803E-4 | 2.8210803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0028968535 | 0.0028968535 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 3.365714E-6 | 3.365714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 1.44244095E-5 | 1.44244095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.7560307E-4 | 1.7560307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.944594E-4 | 0.0017938885 | 0.0017938885 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 2.0941511E-6 | 2.0941511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 8.974903E-6 | 8.974903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 1.09263994E-4 | 1.09263994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 0.0011168033 | 0.0011168033 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.4096344E-5 | 9.4096344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.0321157E-4 | 4.0321157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004898681 | 0.004908632 | 1.0020313 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.04797603 | 0.04798555 | 1.0001985 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.055994E-5 | 5.055994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1666766E-4 | 2.1666766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026348147 | 0.0026348147 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026045 | 0.026045 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.055994E-5 | 5.055994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1666766E-4 | 2.1666766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026348147 | 0.0026348147 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026045 | 0.026045 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7756035E-5 | 3.7756035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6180176E-4 | 1.6180176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019681884 | 0.0019681884 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016452603 | 0.019511456 | 0.019511456 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5377114E-5 | 3.5377114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.516076E-4 | 1.516076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018442919 | 0.0018442919 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015469253 | 0.018293621 | 0.018293621 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.87961E-5 | 2.87961E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2340618E-4 | 1.2340618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0015014611 | 0.0015014611 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012709012 | 0.014916137 | 0.014916137 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4933594E-5 | 2.4933594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.06854E-4 | 1.06854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0013001933 | 0.0013001933 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.012928276 | 0.012928276 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1657697E-5 | 2.1657697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.281551E-5 | 9.281551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011294635 | 0.0011294635 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011239399 | 0.011239399 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8438588E-5 | 1.8438588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.902023E-5 | 7.902023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.61666E-4 | 9.61666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009577032 | 0.009577032 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5110784E-5 | 1.5110784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.4759E-5 | 6.4759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.8817375E-4 | 7.8817375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007855611 | 0.007855611 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2733201E-5 | 1.2733201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.456982E-5 | 5.456982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.642027E-4 | 6.642027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006623928 | 0.006623928 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0174366E-5 | 1.0174366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3603795E-5 | 4.3603795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.3076417E-4 | 5.3076417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.0052966685 | 0.0052966685 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.3354246E-7 | 8.3354246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.57232E-6 | 3.57232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.349214E-5 | 4.349214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3483736E-4 | 4.3483736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.7014303E-7 | 3.7014303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5863262E-6 | 1.5863262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9313351E-5 | 1.9313351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.931168E-4 | 1.931168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9681275E-7 | 1.9681275E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.434829E-7 | 8.434829E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0269357E-5 | 1.0269357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.0268885E-4 | 1.0268885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.281299E-8 | 6.281299E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.691985E-7 | 2.691985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2774867E-6 | 3.2774867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.2774395E-5 | 3.2774395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.53244E-9 | 5.53244E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3710458E-8 | 2.3710458E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8867478E-7 | 2.8867478E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.886745E-6 | 2.886745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.96659E-6 | 8.96659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8427723E-5 | 3.8427723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6776497E-4 | 4.6776497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668587 | 0.00467854 | 1.0021319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.96659E-6 | 8.96659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8427723E-5 | 3.8427723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6776497E-4 | 4.6776497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668587 | 0.00467854 | 1.0021319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.96659E-6 | 8.96659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8427723E-5 | 3.8427723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6776497E-4 | 4.6776497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668587 | 0.00467854 | 1.0021319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.96659E-6 | 8.96659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8427723E-5 | 3.8427723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6776497E-4 | 4.6776497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668587 | 0.00467854 | 1.0021319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.9417146E-6 | 3.9417146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6892955E-5 | 1.6892955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0565258E-4 | 2.0565258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020378039 | 0.0020546515 | 0.0020546515 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.9417146E-6 | 3.9417146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6892955E-5 | 1.6892955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0565258E-4 | 2.0565258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020378039 | 0.0020546515 | 0.0020546515 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.0587726E-6 | 3.0758024E-6 | 3.0758024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3108959E-5 | 1.3181944E-5 | 1.3181944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.595899E-4 | 1.6047846E-4 | 1.6047846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015947534 | 0.0016036378 | 0.0016036378 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.6160574E-6 | 2.625493E-6 | 2.625493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1211626E-5 | 1.1252064E-5 | 1.1252064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3649299E-4 | 1.3698533E-4 | 1.3698533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013640919 | 0.0013690151 | 0.0013690151 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.5110312E-6 | 2.518493E-6 | 2.518493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0761518E-5 | 1.07934975E-5 | 1.07934975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.310136E-4 | 1.3140297E-4 | 1.3140297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013093639 | 0.0013132585 | 0.0013132585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8564405E-6 | 1.8527686E-6 | 1.8527686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.95615E-6 | 7.940413E-6 | 7.940413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.686181E-5 | 9.667026E-5 | 9.667026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.68196E-4 | 9.662841E-4 | 9.662841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.546127E-6 | 1.5372018E-6 | 1.5372018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626242E-6 | 6.587991E-6 | 6.587991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.06715E-5 | 8.020584E-5 | 8.020584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0642226E-4 | 8.0176967E-4 | 8.0176967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3368208E-6 | 1.323754E-6 | 1.323754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7292195E-6 | 5.673219E-6 | 5.673219E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.975101E-5 | 6.9069254E-5 | 6.9069254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.972912E-4 | 6.9047837E-4 | 6.9047837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0623363E-6 | 1.0456238E-6 | 1.0456238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5528623E-6 | 4.4812373E-6 | 4.4812373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5429686E-5 | 5.45577E-5 | 5.45577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5415864E-4 | 5.454433E-4 | 5.454433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.831679E-7 | 7.7289207E-7 | 7.7289207E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3564295E-6 | 3.3123902E-6 | 3.3123902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.086376E-5 | 4.0327606E-5 | 4.0327606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856248E-4 | 4.03203E-4 | 4.03203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9558846E-7 | 5.911935E-7 | 5.911935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5525194E-6 | 2.5336838E-6 | 2.5336838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.107648E-5 | 3.0847164E-5 | 3.0847164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1072134E-4 | 3.0842892E-4 | 3.0842892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.1616502E-7 | 4.1206914E-7 | 4.1206914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835631E-6 | 1.7660094E-6 | 1.7660094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1714664E-5 | 2.1500953E-5 | 2.1500953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1712543E-4 | 2.1498877E-4 | 2.1498877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3816014E-7 | 2.3384105E-7 | 2.3384105E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0206859E-6 | 1.0021755E-6 | 1.0021755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.242678E-5 | 1.2201419E-5 | 1.2201419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2426086E-4 | 1.2200751E-4 | 1.2200751E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.918777E-8 | 9.392207E-8 | 9.392207E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2509038E-7 | 4.0252309E-7 | 4.0252309E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1754632E-6 | 4.9007076E-6 | 4.9007076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1753424E-5 | 4.9005997E-5 | 4.9005997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4982556E-8 | 2.9731039E-8 | 2.9731039E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4992524E-7 | 1.2741873E-7 | 1.2741873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253382E-6 | 1.5513218E-6 | 1.5513218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253233E-5 | 1.5513111E-5 | 1.5513111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6624908E-8 | 1.1516723E-8 | 1.1516723E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.12496E-8 | 4.9357382E-8 | 4.9357382E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6746354E-7 | 6.0092594E-7 | 6.0092594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.674601E-6 | 6.0092434E-6 | 6.0092434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.3352315E-9 | 3.1129064E-9 | 3.1129064E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.715099E-8 | 1.3341028E-8 | 1.3341028E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056327E-7 | 1.6242699E-7 | 1.6242699E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056278E-6 | 1.6242686E-6 | 1.6242686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0022064E-6 | 4.0022064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0881003E-4 | 2.0881003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020863223 | 0.0020963014 | 1.0047832 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0022064E-6 | 4.0022064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0881003E-4 | 2.0881003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020863223 | 0.0020963014 | 1.0047832 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0022064E-6 | 4.0022064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0881003E-4 | 2.0881003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020863223 | 0.0020963014 | 1.0047832 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0022064E-6 | 4.0022064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0881003E-4 | 2.0881003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020863223 | 0.0020963014 | 1.0047832 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0022064E-6 | 4.0022064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0881003E-4 | 2.0881003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020863223 | 0.0020963014 | 1.0047832 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.5182358E-6 | 2.5182358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0792397E-5 | 1.0792397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3138984E-4 | 1.3138984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013131542 | 0.0013131542 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.9444194E-6 | 1.9444194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.3332E-6 | 8.3332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.01452075E-4 | 1.01452075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010140662 | 0.0010140662 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8837943E-6 | 1.8837943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.07338E-6 | 8.07338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.828905E-5 | 9.828905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011282542 | 9.82464E-4 | 9.82464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.5833983E-6 | 1.5833983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.7859755E-6 | 6.7859755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.261617E-5 | 8.261617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.258595E-4 | 8.258595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3067109E-6 | 1.3067109E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.6001777E-6 | 5.6001777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.818006E-5 | 6.818006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.815941E-4 | 6.815941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1212609E-6 | 1.1212609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.805395E-6 | 4.805395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8504134E-5 | 5.8504134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.848894E-4 | 5.848894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.76522E-7 | 8.76522E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7565173E-6 | 3.7565173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.5734654E-5 | 4.5734654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.5725374E-4 | 4.5725374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.902428E-7 | 5.902428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5296097E-6 | 2.5296097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.0797568E-5 | 3.0797568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.079336E-4 | 3.079336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.383137E-7 | 4.383137E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8784859E-6 | 1.8784859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.287033E-5 | 2.287033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2868015E-4 | 2.2868015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0070453E-7 | 3.0070453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2887331E-6 | 1.2887331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.5690215E-5 | 1.5690215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5689128E-4 | 1.5689128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4247489E-7 | 1.4247489E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.1060655E-7 | 6.1060655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.43411E-6 | 7.43411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.433869E-5 | 7.433869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7356326E-8 | 1.7356326E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.438425E-8 | 7.438425E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.05628E-7 | 9.05628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.056248E-6 | 9.056248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cucamonga
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1770741E-5 | 1.1770741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0445073E-5 | 5.0445073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1399845E-4 | 6.1399845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006124022 | 0.006133961 | 1.0016229 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1770741E-5 | 1.1770741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0445073E-5 | 5.0445073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1399845E-4 | 6.1399845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006124022 | 0.006133961 | 1.0016229 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1770741E-5 | 1.1770741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0445073E-5 | 5.0445073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1399845E-4 | 6.1399845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006124022 | 0.006133961 | 1.0016229 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1770741E-5 | 1.1770741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0445073E-5 | 5.0445073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1399845E-4 | 6.1399845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006124022 | 0.006133961 | 1.0016229 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1770741E-5 | 1.1770741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0445073E-5 | 5.0445073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1399845E-4 | 6.1399845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006124022 | 0.006133961 | 1.0016229 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.16096935E-5 | 1.16096935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9754897E-5 | 4.9754897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.056002E-4 | 6.056002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006085745 | 0.006040497 | 0.0060504368 | 1.0016454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.16096935E-5 | 1.16096935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9754897E-5 | 4.9754897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.056002E-4 | 6.056002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006085745 | 0.006040497 | 0.0060504368 | 1.0016454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 1.1147775E-5 | 1.1147775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.884383E-5 | 4.7775316E-5 | 4.7775316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9451134E-4 | 5.8151176E-4 | 5.8151176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005929234 | 0.0058008786 | 0.0058108205 | 1.0017139 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 9.814018E-6 | 9.814018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5358654E-5 | 4.2059404E-5 | 4.2059404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521017E-4 | 5.119541E-4 | 5.119541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00550732 | 0.005108581 | 0.00511853 | 1.0019475 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 8.606011E-6 | 8.606011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1528107E-5 | 3.6882386E-5 | 3.6882386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.054874E-4 | 4.4895092E-4 | 4.4895092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005043391 | 0.0044812006 | 0.0044812006 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 8.212965E-6 | 8.212965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.020564E-5 | 3.519795E-5 | 3.519795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.893937E-4 | 4.2845114E-4 | 4.2845114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048831734 | 0.0042770095 | 0.0042770095 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 7.807265E-6 | 7.807265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8341543E-5 | 3.3459284E-5 | 3.3459284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.667083E-4 | 4.0729094E-4 | 4.0729094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046572937 | 0.004066206 | 0.004066206 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 6.9990288E-6 | 6.9990288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.9995495E-5 | 2.9995495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3043532E-4 | 3.6513418E-4 | 3.6513418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042960253 | 0.0036461004 | 0.0036461004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 6.5093823E-6 | 6.5093823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.7897056E-5 | 2.7897056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026285E-4 | 3.3959394E-4 | 3.3959394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004018998 | 0.0033915197 | 0.0033915197 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 6.0541597E-6 | 6.0541597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.5946143E-5 | 2.5946143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7956095E-4 | 3.158487E-4 | 3.158487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037891332 | 0.0031547653 | 0.0031547653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 5.1203315E-6 | 5.1203315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7903774E-5 | 2.1944094E-5 | 2.1944094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.6713673E-4 | 2.6713673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033915674 | 0.0026689095 | 0.0026689095 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.92618E-6 | 3.92618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.6826378E-5 | 1.6826378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8430918E-4 | 2.0484196E-4 | 2.0484196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028394572 | 0.0020472826 | 0.0020472826 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 3.2161183E-6 | 3.2161183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.3783291E-5 | 1.3783291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.6779869E-4 | 1.6779869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002501296 | 0.0016774917 | 0.0016774917 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 2.0725222E-6 | 2.0725222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4546376E-5 | 8.882208E-6 | 8.882208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7708774E-4 | 1.0813554E-4 | 1.0813554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017694668 | 0.0010811083 | 0.0010811083 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 5.174384E-7 | 5.174384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.2175914E-6 | 2.2175914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.6998843E-5 | 2.6998843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.086407E-4 | 2.6995604E-4 | 2.6995604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 6.070066E-8 | 6.070066E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.6014564E-7 | 2.6014564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9162867E-6 | 3.167269E-6 | 3.167269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916129E-5 | 3.1672254E-5 | 3.1672254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5752368E-5 | 1.6278147E-5 | 1.6278147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.75084E-5 | 6.976164E-5 | 6.976164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2160486E-4 | 8.4902014E-4 | 8.4902014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008185739 | 0.008458146 | 0.008468061 | 1.0011723 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1325377E-5 | 1.1325377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.8536433E-5 | 4.8536433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.9077155E-4 | 5.9077155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057056635 | 0.005892107 | 0.0059020477 | 1.0016872 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1325377E-5 | 1.1325377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.8536433E-5 | 4.8536433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.9077155E-4 | 5.9077155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057056635 | 0.005892107 | 0.0059020477 | 1.0016872 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.926149E-6 | 9.214659E-6 | 9.214659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8254362E-5 | 3.9490802E-5 | 3.9490802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6564735E-4 | 4.8069475E-4 | 4.8069475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046467283 | 0.004796595 | 0.004806547 | 1.0020748 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.676955E-6 | 7.921794E-6 | 7.921794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.290082E-5 | 3.3950106E-5 | 3.3950106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0049385E-4 | 4.1326432E-4 | 4.1326432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039977287 | 0.0041249846 | 0.0041349432 | 1.0024142 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.1671026E-6 | 6.360222E-6 | 6.360222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6430173E-5 | 2.725781E-5 | 2.725781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2173982E-4 | 3.3181338E-4 | 3.3181338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003212744 | 0.0033131915 | 0.0033131915 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.553456E-6 | 5.7259454E-6 | 5.7259454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3800309E-5 | 2.4539537E-5 | 2.4539537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.897302E-4 | 2.9872794E-4 | 2.9872794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028935277 | 0.0029832725 | 0.0029832725 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.787857E-6 | 4.934273E-6 | 4.934273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0519226E-5 | 2.1146712E-5 | 2.1146712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4979294E-4 | 2.5743083E-4 | 2.5743083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024951235 | 0.002571332 | 0.002571332 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.9955166E-6 | 4.114259E-6 | 4.114259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7123532E-5 | 1.763242E-5 | 1.763242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0845905E-4 | 2.1465358E-4 | 2.1465358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002082636 | 0.0021444662 | 0.0021444662 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.4250072E-6 | 3.5230942E-6 | 3.5230942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46785205E-5 | 1.5098888E-5 | 1.5098888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869633E-4 | 1.8381346E-4 | 1.8381346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001785527 | 0.0018366168 | 0.0018366168 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.7712713E-6 | 2.8472034E-6 | 2.8472034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1876823E-5 | 1.2202243E-5 | 1.2202243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459073E-4 | 1.485522E-4 | 1.485522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014449668 | 0.0014845305 | 0.0014845305 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.227358E-6 | 2.2860902E-6 | 2.2860902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.545785E-6 | 9.797493E-6 | 9.797493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16213734E-4 | 1.19277945E-4 | 1.19277945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011615298 | 0.0011921404 | 0.0011921404 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.581796E-6 | 1.621167E-6 | 1.621167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779108E-6 | 6.9478406E-6 | 6.9478406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.253252E-5 | 8.458668E-5 | 8.458668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.250187E-4 | 8.455454E-4 | 8.455454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0306567E-6 | 1.054815E-6 | 1.054815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4170924E-6 | 4.520628E-6 | 4.520628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3776774E-5 | 5.5037257E-5 | 5.5037257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.376376E-4 | 5.502365E-4 | 5.502365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.535541E-7 | 6.6838123E-7 | 6.6838123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.800943E-6 | 2.864488E-6 | 2.864488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100947E-5 | 3.487458E-5 | 3.487458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4095717E-4 | 3.4869122E-4 | 3.4869122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.2656962E-7 | 3.3322118E-7 | 3.3322118E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995833E-6 | 1.42809E-6 | 1.42809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7039794E-5 | 1.7386858E-5 | 1.7386858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7038487E-4 | 1.73855E-4 | 1.73855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.754343E-8 | 9.8225634E-8 | 9.8225634E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.180432E-7 | 4.2096693E-7 | 4.2096693E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.089664E-6 | 5.12526E-6 | 5.12526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0895473E-5 | 5.125143E-5 | 5.125143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0001453E-9 | 5.8502465E-9 | 5.8502465E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5714908E-8 | 2.5072485E-8 | 2.5072485E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307894E-7 | 3.0525746E-7 | 3.0525746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307852E-6 | 3.0525705E-6 | 3.0525705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.465861E-11 | 7.465861E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.199656E-10 | 3.199656E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.895581E-9 | 3.895581E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.895581E-8 | 3.895581E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7236701E-5 | 2.7236701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1672414E-4 | 1.1672414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013947578 | 0.001420304 | 0.001420304 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013860362 | 0.01412397 | 0.014133829 | 1.000698 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7236701E-5 | 2.7236701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1672414E-4 | 1.1672414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013947578 | 0.001420304 | 0.001420304 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013860362 | 0.01412397 | 0.014133829 | 1.000698 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7236701E-5 | 2.7236701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1672414E-4 | 1.1672414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013947578 | 0.001420304 | 0.001420304 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013860362 | 0.01412397 | 0.014133829 | 1.000698 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7236701E-5 | 2.7236701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1672414E-4 | 1.1672414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013947578 | 0.001420304 | 0.001420304 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013860362 | 0.01412397 | 0.014133829 | 1.000698 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7236701E-5 | 2.7236701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1672414E-4 | 1.1672414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013947578 | 0.001420304 | 0.001420304 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013860362 | 0.01412397 | 0.014133829 | 1.000698 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7236701E-5 | 2.7236701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1672414E-4 | 1.1672414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013947578 | 0.001420304 | 0.001420304 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013860362 | 0.01412397 | 0.014133829 | 1.000698 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7112863E-5 | 2.7112863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.16193456E-4 | 1.16193456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014138513 | 0.0014138513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013808494 | 0.014060265 | 0.014070125 | 1.0007012 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7112863E-5 | 2.7112863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.16193456E-4 | 1.16193456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014138513 | 0.0014138513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013808494 | 0.014060265 | 0.014070125 | 1.0007012 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9073179E-5 | 1.7661063E-5 | 1.7661063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1739636E-5 | 7.568817E-5 | 7.568817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.947256E-4 | 9.211321E-4 | 9.211321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009902848 | 0.009175311 | 0.009185219 | 1.0010799 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9041876E-5 | 1.7643177E-5 | 1.7643177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.160549E-5 | 7.5611526E-5 | 7.5611526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.930939E-4 | 9.2019973E-4 | 9.2019973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0098866755 | 0.009166064 | 0.009175972 | 1.001081 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5917482E-5 | 1.38825135E-5 | 1.38825135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8215995E-5 | 5.9495156E-5 | 5.9495156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.302132E-4 | 7.2411745E-4 | 7.2411745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008271185 | 0.007218364 | 0.007228292 | 1.0013753 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.577788E-5 | 1.3762424E-5 | 1.3762424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.761774E-5 | 5.898051E-5 | 5.898051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2293496E-4 | 7.178558E-4 | 7.178558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008198941 | 0.007156152 | 0.0071660806 | 1.0013874 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5416446E-5 | 1.34882E-5 | 1.34882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.606882E-5 | 5.780532E-5 | 5.780532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0409093E-4 | 7.035571E-4 | 7.035571E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008011877 | 0.007014071 | 0.007024001 | 1.0014157 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4534083E-5 | 1.2734992E-5 | 1.2734992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.228744E-5 | 5.4577424E-5 | 5.4577424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.580857E-4 | 6.64282E-4 | 6.64282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007555048 | 0.0066236956 | 0.0066336296 | 1.0014998 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2858995E-5 | 1.124479E-5 | 1.124479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108816E-5 | 4.8191087E-5 | 4.8191087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7074323E-4 | 5.865725E-4 | 5.865725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066872234 | 0.005850916 | 0.005860857 | 1.0016991 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.827668E-6 | 7.817113E-6 | 7.817113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7832317E-5 | 3.35015E-5 | 3.35015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.605111E-4 | 4.078069E-4 | 4.078069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045955796 | 0.004070866 | 0.004080825 | 1.0024465 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2533426E-6 | 2.873602E-6 | 2.873602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3942822E-5 | 1.231538E-5 | 1.231538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6974064E-4 | 1.4992981E-4 | 1.4992981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016961104 | 0.0014983235 | 0.0015083085 | 1.0066642 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.2751709E-6 | 1.1501506E-6 | 1.1501506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4650063E-6 | 4.9292084E-6 | 4.9292084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653442E-5 | 6.001155E-5 | 6.001155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6514505E-4 | 5.9996237E-4 | 5.9996237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.067544E-7 | 3.241401E-7 | 3.241401E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3146611E-6 | 1.3891712E-6 | 1.3891712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.600588E-5 | 1.6913038E-5 | 1.6913038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6004729E-4 | 1.6911855E-4 | 1.6911855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.622999E-8 | 8.091235E-8 | 8.091235E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2669993E-7 | 3.4676717E-7 | 3.4676717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977564E-6 | 4.2218844E-6 | 4.2218844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977493E-5 | 4.221825E-5 | 4.221825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Shoreline
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.048702E-6 | 4.048702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7351496E-5 | 1.7351496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1123959E-4 | 2.1123959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020791737 | 0.002110937 | 0.0021209158 | 1.0047272 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.048702E-6 | 4.048702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7351496E-5 | 1.7351496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1123959E-4 | 2.1123959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020791737 | 0.002110937 | 0.0021209158 | 1.0047272 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.4105202E-6 | 1.4105202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 6.045073E-6 | 6.045073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.359634E-5 | 7.359634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.357257E-4 | 7.357257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.4105202E-6 | 1.4105202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 6.045073E-6 | 6.045073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.359634E-5 | 7.359634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.357257E-4 | 7.357257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3314152E-6 | 1.3365827E-6 | 1.3365827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7060524E-6 | 5.7281995E-6 | 5.7281995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946897E-5 | 6.973865E-5 | 6.973865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9447263E-4 | 6.9717306E-4 | 6.9717306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.1187026E-6 | 1.1207665E-6 | 1.1207665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.794431E-6 | 4.8032757E-6 | 4.8032757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370628E-5 | 5.847834E-5 | 5.847834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.83553E-4 | 5.8463204E-4 | 5.8463204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.793089E-7 | 9.788785E-7 | 9.788785E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1970316E-6 | 4.1951866E-6 | 4.1951866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1097657E-5 | 5.107521E-5 | 5.107521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.108591E-4 | 5.10636E-4 | 5.10636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.995986E-7 | 8.976568E-7 | 8.976568E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8554167E-6 | 3.847095E-6 | 3.847095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.693869E-5 | 4.683738E-5 | 4.683738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6928777E-4 | 4.6827606E-4 | 4.6827606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.931612E-7 | 7.8839884E-7 | 7.8839884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3992578E-6 | 3.3788476E-6 | 3.3788476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1385178E-5 | 4.11367E-5 | 4.11367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1377472E-4 | 4.112914E-4 | 4.112914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.1465956E-7 | 7.0814787E-7 | 7.0814787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.062823E-6 | 3.0349158E-6 | 3.0349158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289232E-5 | 3.6949477E-5 | 3.6949477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7282976E-4 | 3.6943372E-4 | 3.6943372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.389046E-7 | 6.3027943E-7 | 6.3027943E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7381598E-6 | 2.7011947E-6 | 2.7011947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336586E-5 | 3.288655E-5 | 3.288655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3331584E-4 | 3.2881708E-4 | 3.2881708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.4300875E-7 | 5.314275E-7 | 5.314275E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3271782E-6 | 2.2775444E-6 | 2.2775444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8333026E-5 | 2.772875E-5 | 2.772875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8329415E-4 | 2.77253E-4 | 2.77253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.6768855E-7 | 4.5378883E-7 | 4.5378883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0043778E-6 | 1.9448078E-6 | 1.9448078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4403027E-5 | 2.3677778E-5 | 2.3677778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400349E-4 | 2.3675262E-4 | 2.3675262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.0966103E-7 | 3.9414547E-7 | 3.9414547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7556889E-6 | 1.6891937E-6 | 1.6891937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1375303E-5 | 2.056574E-5 | 2.056574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1373246E-4 | 2.056384E-4 | 2.056384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5105785E-7 | 3.3391802E-7 | 3.3391802E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5045327E-6 | 1.4310764E-6 | 1.4310764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8317533E-5 | 1.7423215E-5 | 1.7423215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8316023E-4 | 1.7421853E-4 | 1.7421853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.8737534E-7 | 2.6846715E-7 | 2.6846715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2316079E-6 | 1.150573E-6 | 1.150573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4994724E-5 | 1.40081365E-5 | 1.40081365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4993713E-4 | 1.4007256E-4 | 1.4007256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0924051E-7 | 1.8804167E-7 | 1.8804167E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967448E-7 | 8.0589257E-7 | 8.0589257E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917813E-5 | 9.811698E-6 | 9.811698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917276E-4 | 9.811266E-5 | 9.811266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.392265E-7 | 1.15670204E-7 | 1.15670204E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9668486E-7 | 4.9572935E-7 | 4.9572935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2646135E-6 | 6.035488E-6 | 6.035488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2643765E-5 | 6.0353243E-5 | 6.0353243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.1080074E-8 | 5.6077496E-8 | 5.6077496E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4748598E-7 | 2.403321E-7 | 2.403321E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2306337E-6 | 2.9260393E-6 | 2.9260393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.230553E-5 | 2.9260009E-5 | 2.9260009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.0859036E-8 | 2.74386E-8 | 2.74386E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1796728E-7 | 1.17594E-7 | 1.17594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537484E-6 | 1.431706E-6 | 1.431706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537167E-5 | 1.4316968E-5 | 1.4316968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.1760536E-8 | 1.3728111E-8 | 1.3728111E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3611657E-7 | 5.883476E-8 | 5.883476E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572179E-6 | 7.1631297E-7 | 7.1631297E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572056E-5 | 7.163107E-6 | 7.163107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2947896E-8 | 5.729177E-9 | 5.729177E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5490982E-8 | 2.4553616E-8 | 2.4553616E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.756025E-7 | 2.9894025E-7 | 2.9894025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7560045E-6 | 2.9893986E-6 | 2.9893986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley Keough Hot Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9585365E-6 | 4.9585365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1250726E-5 | 2.1250726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.58702E-4 | 2.6869943E-4 | 1.0386446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025846404 | 0.0025946146 | 1.003859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9585365E-6 | 4.9585365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1250726E-5 | 2.1250726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.58702E-4 | 2.6869943E-4 | 1.0386446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025846404 | 0.0025946146 | 1.003859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9585365E-6 | 4.9585365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1250726E-5 | 2.1250726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.58702E-4 | 2.6869943E-4 | 1.0386446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025846404 | 0.0025946146 | 1.003859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9585365E-6 | 4.9585365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1250726E-5 | 2.1250726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.58702E-4 | 2.6869943E-4 | 1.0386446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025846404 | 0.0025946146 | 1.003859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4622509E-5 | 3.7334153E-6 | 3.7334153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266639E-5 | 1.6000271E-5 | 1.6000271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.626962E-4 | 1.947892E-4 | 2.0478725E-4 | 1.0513276 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007600839 | 0.0019466374 | 0.001956618 | 1.0051271 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3335527E-5 | 2.2834586E-6 | 2.2834586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7151006E-5 | 9.7862185E-6 | 9.7862185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.955913E-4 | 1.19141376E-4 | 1.2914019E-4 | 1.0839239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069341804 | 0.0011909702 | 0.0012009583 | 1.0083865 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3332855E-5 | 2.2806066E-6 | 2.2806066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7139558E-5 | 9.773996E-6 | 9.773996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9545204E-4 | 1.1899258E-4 | 1.2899139E-4 | 1.0840288 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069327964 | 0.0011894838 | 0.0011994719 | 1.008397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3318214E-5 | 2.269821E-6 | 2.269821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.707681E-5 | 9.727772E-6 | 9.727772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946886E-4 | 1.1842987E-4 | 1.2842868E-4 | 1.0844282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069252094 | 0.0011838627 | 0.0011938508 | 1.0084369 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2441338E-5 | 1.6826541E-6 | 1.6826541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.331893E-5 | 7.2113567E-6 | 7.2113567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.489646E-4 | 8.779503E-5 | 9.779415E-5 | 1.1138917 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064707273 | 8.7776076E-4 | 8.87752E-4 | 1.0113826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1130476E-5 | 1.0336804E-6 | 1.0336804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7701167E-5 | 4.430052E-6 | 4.430052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.806069E-4 | 5.3934556E-5 | 6.393402E-5 | 1.1853999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057909233 | 5.3934095E-4 | 5.4933556E-4 | 1.0185312 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0986073E-5 | 9.610967E-7 | 9.610967E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7082318E-5 | 4.118979E-6 | 4.118979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730765E-4 | 5.014743E-5 | 6.014693E-5 | 1.199402 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057160086 | 5.014864E-4 | 5.114814E-4 | 1.0199307 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0451338E-5 | 8.026163E-7 | 8.026163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4790682E-5 | 3.4397794E-6 | 3.4397794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.451901E-4 | 4.1878517E-5 | 5.1878098E-5 | 1.238776 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005438545 | 4.1882752E-4 | 4.2882332E-4 | 1.0238662 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.989061E-6 | 6.567051E-7 | 6.567051E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.280956E-5 | 2.8144473E-6 | 2.8144473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2108173E-4 | 3.4265362E-5 | 4.426502E-5 | 1.29183 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051986156 | 3.426983E-4 | 3.526949E-4 | 1.0291702 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.465365E-6 | 5.480628E-7 | 5.480628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.056522E-5 | 2.3488387E-6 | 2.3488387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.937696E-4 | 2.8596738E-5 | 3.8596452E-5 | 1.3496802 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049267393 | 2.8602307E-4 | 2.960202E-4 | 1.0349522 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3824805E-6 | 4.033427E-7 | 4.033427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.73532E-5 | 1.7286104E-6 | 1.7286104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3297433E-4 | 2.1045631E-5 | 3.104542E-5 | 1.475148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033247585 | 2.1049038E-4 | 2.2048828E-4 | 1.0474981 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.6192645E-6 | 2.5264356E-7 | 2.5264356E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9396865E-6 | 1.0827576E-6 | 1.0827576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.448741E-5 | 1.3182496E-5 | 2.3182365E-5 | 1.7585716 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4455294E-4 | 1.3181727E-4 | 1.4181595E-4 | 1.0758526 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.7062545E-7 | 1.0833716E-7 | 1.0833716E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4455355E-6 | 4.6430205E-7 | 4.6430205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9773988E-5 | 5.652864E-6 | 1.5652808E-5 | 2.7690048 | 1.0E-5 | 2.977E-4 | 5.6527282E-5 | 6.6526714E-5 | 1.1768957 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5988817E-7 | 4.562392E-8 | 4.562392E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.113806E-6 | 1.9553107E-7 | 1.9553107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3560503E-5 | 2.3805887E-6 | 1.2380565E-5 | 5.2006316 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3559677E-4 | 2.3805676E-5 | 3.3805438E-5 | 1.4200579 | 1.0E-5 |
Fitzhugh Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.1090436E-6 | 6.2108065E-6 | 6.2108065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6181353E-5 | 2.6617496E-5 | 2.6617496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1871133E-4 | 3.2402432E-4 | 3.2402432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031825465 | 0.003235963 | 0.0032459307 | 1.0030802 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9741811E-6 | 3.0218857E-6 | 3.0218857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2746428E-5 | 1.295088E-5 | 1.295088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5517672E-4 | 1.576665E-4 | 1.576665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001550684 | 0.0015756394 | 0.0015756394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.9741811E-6 | 3.0218857E-6 | 3.0218857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2746428E-5 | 1.295088E-5 | 1.295088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5517672E-4 | 1.576665E-4 | 1.576665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001550684 | 0.0015756394 | 0.0015756394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.4781198E-6 | 1.5014197E-6 | 1.5014197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3347834E-6 | 6.434641E-6 | 6.434641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.712326E-5 | 7.833914E-5 | 7.833914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70965E-4 | 7.831351E-4 | 7.831351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.4781198E-6 | 1.5014197E-6 | 1.5014197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3347834E-6 | 6.434641E-6 | 6.434641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.712326E-5 | 7.833914E-5 | 7.833914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70965E-4 | 7.831351E-4 | 7.831351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.5176676E-7 | 9.667014E-7 | 9.667014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.078994E-6 | 4.143E-6 | 4.143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9660623E-5 | 5.043996E-5 | 5.043996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.964952E-4 | 5.042955E-4 | 5.042955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 6.21145E-7 | 6.30921E-7 | 6.30921E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.662047E-6 | 2.7039448E-6 | 2.7039448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2409942E-5 | 3.2920096E-5 | 3.2920096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2405215E-4 | 3.291588E-4 | 3.291588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.2377962E-7 | 2.2736928E-7 | 2.2736928E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.590551E-7 | 9.744397E-7 | 9.744397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1676434E-5 | 1.186377E-5 | 1.186377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1675821E-4 | 1.186345E-4 | 1.186345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4785022E-7 | 1.5023012E-7 | 1.5023012E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3364365E-7 | 6.438434E-7 | 6.438434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.714584E-6 | 7.838793E-6 | 7.838793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.714316E-5 | 7.838793E-5 | 7.838793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain |
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