Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0559676E-5 | 0.004220267 | 59.81131 | 0.00415 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0236391E-4 | 0.0063205436 | 20.903763 | 0.00602 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036751316 | 0.019267615 | 5.242701 | 0.01565 | 0.028357591 | 0.03627688 | 0.07176116 | 1.9781516 | 0.03682 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0559676E-5 | 0.004220267 | 59.81131 | 0.00415 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0236391E-4 | 0.0063205436 | 20.903763 | 0.00602 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036751316 | 0.019267615 | 5.242701 | 0.01565 | 0.028357591 | 0.03627688 | 0.07176116 | 1.9781516 | 0.03682 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.19456E-5 | 0.0025018184 | 48.162277 | 0.00245 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2260517E-4 | 0.0038517972 | 17.303268 | 0.00363 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0027068811 | 0.012260949 | 4.529548 | 0.00958 | 0.021759989 | 0.026871359 | 0.049165737 | 1.8296707 | 0.02291 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.19456E-5 | 0.0025018184 | 48.162277 | 0.00245 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2260517E-4 | 0.0038517972 | 17.303268 | 0.00363 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0027068811 | 0.012260949 | 4.529548 | 0.00958 | 0.021759989 | 0.026871359 | 0.049165737 | 1.8296707 | 0.02291 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4383716E-5 | 0.0019942971 | 44.933083 | 0.00195 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.902022E-4 | 0.0030396602 | 15.981204 | 0.00285 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0023132777 | 0.009795928 | 4.234653 | 0.0075 | 0.019048655 | 0.023013225 | 0.040511057 | 1.7603382 | 0.01791 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0286803E-5 | 0.0017702171 | 43.940372 | 0.00173 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7264643E-4 | 0.002722206 | 15.767522 | 0.00255 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020999657 | 0.008885686 | 4.231348 | 0.0068 | 0.017543508 | 0.02090139 | 0.03677258 | 1.7593366 | 0.01621 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.974001E-5 | 0.0017696712 | 44.53122 | 0.00173 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.7030335E-4 | 0.0027098707 | 15.912024 | 0.00254 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020714933 | 0.008847428 | 4.2710385 | 0.00679 | 0.017365133 | 0.020619836 | 0.036466207 | 1.7685013 | 0.01618 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.835483E-5 | 0.0017382896 | 45.321274 | 0.0017 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.643676E-4 | 0.00264396 | 16.085651 | 0.00248 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019993603 | 0.008626085 | 4.314422 | 0.00664 | 0.016856372 | 0.019910173 | 0.035219178 | 1.7689035 | 0.01562 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.778028E-5 | 0.0017277164 | 45.73064 | 0.00169 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6190555E-4 | 0.0026315057 | 16.253338 | 0.00247 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019694397 | 0.008456638 | 4.2939315 | 0.0065 | 0.016654192 | 0.019616155 | 0.034635637 | 1.765669 | 0.01532 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.698304E-5 | 0.0016569231 | 44.802242 | 0.00162 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5848925E-4 | 0.0025481104 | 16.077497 | 0.00239 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019279203 | 0.008215775 | 4.26147 | 0.0063 | 0.01638118 | 0.019208647 | 0.03386167 | 1.7628347 | 0.01494 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5885165E-5 | 0.0016058289 | 44.7491 | 0.00157 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5378463E-4 | 0.0024634295 | 16.018698 | 0.00231 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018707411 | 0.007999254 | 4.2759814 | 0.00614 | 0.015996104 | 0.018644582 | 0.032923304 | 1.7658376 | 0.01455 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4649314E-5 | 0.0015345974 | 44.289402 | 0.0015 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4848872E-4 | 0.002328165 | 15.6790695 | 0.00218 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0018063723 | 0.0076058772 | 4.2105813 | 0.00581 | 0.01556781 | 0.018011196 | 0.0316412 | 1.7567518 | 0.01388 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1528547E-5 | 0.0013214878 | 41.914013 | 0.00129 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3511545E-4 | 0.0020248601 | 14.986148 | 0.00189 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016438089 | 0.006585672 | 4.0063486 | 0.00495 | 0.014481937 | 0.0164095 | 0.028025704 | 1.707895 | 0.01181 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6947519E-5 | 8.769246E-4 | 32.541943 | 8.5E-4 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1548434E-4 | 0.00136534 | 11.822728 | 0.00125 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0014051298 | 0.004820324 | 3.4305189 | 0.00342 | 0.012712469 | 0.014046909 | 0.022190882 | 1.5797697 | 0.00826 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5427164E-5 | 7.754081E-4 | 30.495266 | 7.5E-4 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.08969085E-4 | 0.001238846 | 11.368783 | 0.00113 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013259057 | 0.0044517554 | 3.3575206 | 0.00313 | 0.012045753 | 0.013262187 | 0.020613384 | 1.5542974 | 0.00745 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2700413E-5 | 5.6268816E-4 | 24.787573 | 5.4E-4 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.7283926E-5 | 9.2720316E-4 | 9.530898 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011838 | 0.0035509944 | 2.9996572 | 0.00237 | 0.010886264 | 0.0118515575 | 0.017582819 | 1.4835871 | 0.0058 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6188904E-5 | 3.1618404E-4 | 19.530912 | 3.0E-4 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.937921E-5 | 5.493459E-4 | 7.918019 | 4.8E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.4437244E-4 | 0.0022331988 | 2.644803 | 0.00139 | 0.007854558 | 0.008484991 | 0.0116082635 | 1.3680937 | 0.00315 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0861573E-5 | 1.008606E-4 | 9.286002 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.6548772E-5 | 1.6654319E-4 | 3.5778213 | 1.2E-4 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.6658435E-4 | 9.663577E-4 | 1.7055849 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.005722312 | 0.0065276767 | 1.1407412 | 8.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.577569E-6 | 5.857714E-5 | 6.8291073 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.676049E-5 | 1.0675792E-4 | 2.904148 | 7.0E-5 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.4746726E-4 | 7.1734644E-4 | 1.6031262 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.0045238235 | 0.0050912453 | 1.1254296 | 5.7E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.4607926E-6 | 1.5460737E-5 | 2.831226 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3403187E-5 | 4.3402717E-5 | 1.8545644 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8489664E-4 | 4.1485962E-4 | 1.4561758 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.002879985 | 0.0031492072 | 1.0934805 | 2.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.1082974E-6 | 2.1082974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.03553E-6 | 9.03553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.1000205E-4 | 1.3999875E-4 | 1.2726922 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011127844 | 0.0011627288 | 1.0448823 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1931185E-7 | 3.1931185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3684787E-6 | 1.3684787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6661117E-5 | 1.6661117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6862573E-4 | 1.6862573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.8038768E-5 | 0.001947929 | 33.56255 | 0.00189 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4871723E-4 | 0.0031579935 | 12.697124 | 0.00291 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030245935 | 0.011468975 | 3.7919064 | 0.00847 | 0.02488006 | 0.02990139 | 0.05342628 | 1.7867491 | 0.02425 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0896709E-5 | 4.2088836E-4 | 20.14137 | 4.0E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.9554465E-5 | 9.2947925E-4 | 10.378926 | 8.4E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010898183 | 0.003906745 | 3.5847673 | 0.00282 | 0.009242975 | 0.010848793 | 0.019296145 | 1.7786443 | 0.00854 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0896709E-5 | 4.2088836E-4 | 20.14137 | 4.0E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.9554465E-5 | 9.2947925E-4 | 10.378926 | 8.4E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010898183 | 0.003906745 | 3.5847673 | 0.00282 | 0.009242975 | 0.010848793 | 0.019296145 | 1.7786443 | 0.00854 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5776672E-5 | 3.057721E-4 | 19.38128 | 2.9E-4 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.761268E-5 | 6.6757214E-4 | 9.873475 | 6.0E-4 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.228972E-4 | 0.0028911938 | 3.5134327 | 0.00207 | 0.007027647 | 0.008201075 | 0.014300639 | 1.7437516 | 0.00615 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.26314035E-5 | 2.02629E-4 | 16.041685 | 1.9E-4 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4133558E-5 | 4.841103E-4 | 8.942886 | 4.3E-4 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.588945E-4 | 0.0021179325 | 3.2143726 | 0.00146 | 0.005655863 | 0.0065713814 | 0.01125043 | 1.7120342 | 0.00471 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.205642E-6 | 1.4920435E-4 | 16.207926 | 1.4E-4 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.9452214E-5 | 3.4943997E-4 | 8.857297 | 3.1E-4 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.802354E-4 | 0.0014597648 | 3.039686 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0041473247 | 0.0047932346 | 0.007997801 | 1.6685601 | 0.00322 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.620036E-6 | 1.17619194E-4 | 15.435517 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.265694E-5 | 2.6264944E-4 | 8.042684 | 2.3E-4 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9753478E-4 | 0.0011472367 | 2.8858774 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039693452 | 0.006419581 | 1.6172895 | 0.00246 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4360894E-6 | 9.54356E-5 | 17.55593 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3297342E-5 | 1.5329431E-4 | 6.5799055 | 1.3E-4 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.836126E-4 | 6.73502E-4 | 2.374725 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028331536 | 0.0042989887 | 1.5173864 | 0.00147 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.974086E-6 | 9.4973635E-5 | 19.093685 | 9.0E-5 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1317363E-5 | 1.5131458E-4 | 7.0981855 | 1.3E-4 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5951225E-4 | 6.194188E-4 | 2.3868577 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025927266 | 0.0039392263 | 1.5193374 | 0.00135 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0768329E-6 | 4.307671E-5 | 14.000341 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3186367E-5 | 7.3185576E-5 | 5.550094 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6053341E-4 | 2.9051254E-4 | 1.8096702 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016042218 | 0.0022132432 | 1.3796366 | 6.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.129422E-6 | 2.129422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.126066E-6 | 1.9125975E-5 | 2.0957522 | 1.0E-5 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1110489E-4 | 1.5110045E-4 | 1.3599801 | 4.0E-5 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011105622 | 0.0013702734 | 1.2338556 | 2.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6653829E-6 | 1.6653829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.137339E-6 | 1.7137267E-5 | 2.4010725 | 1.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.689422E-5 | 1.1689162E-4 | 1.3452173 | 3.0E-5 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.686604E-4 | 0.0010085388 | 1.1610277 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1833507E-6 | 1.1833507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0714966E-6 | 5.0714966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.174425E-5 | 7.1743634E-5 | 1.1619484 | 1.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1732327E-4 | 6.7728624E-4 | 1.0971338 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.774099E-7 | 9.774099E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.188895E-6 | 4.188895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0999126E-5 | 6.0998616E-5 | 1.1960717 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.099253E-4 | 5.598998E-4 | 1.0980036 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.51226E-7 | 8.51226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6481092E-6 | 3.6481092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.441534E-5 | 5.4414897E-5 | 1.2251375 | 1.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4411552E-4 | 4.8409775E-4 | 1.0900266 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.307093E-7 | 6.307093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7030396E-6 | 2.7030396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.290951E-5 | 4.2909178E-5 | 1.3038535 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2909508E-4 | 3.590852E-4 | 1.0911291 | 3.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1226675E-5 | 1.0122449E-4 | 3.2416031 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.338225E-4 | 5.6376494E-4 | 4.2127814 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016282046 | 0.005222343 | 3.2074244 | 0.0036 | 0.014722223 | 0.016176179 | 0.028375596 | 1.7541592 | 0.0124 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1226675E-5 | 1.0122449E-4 | 3.2416031 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.338225E-4 | 5.6376494E-4 | 4.2127814 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016282046 | 0.005222343 | 3.2074244 | 0.0036 | 0.014722223 | 0.016176179 | 0.028375596 | 1.7541592 | 0.0124 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1226675E-5 | 1.0122449E-4 | 3.2416031 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.338225E-4 | 5.6376494E-4 | 4.2127814 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016282046 | 0.005222343 | 3.2074244 | 0.0036 | 0.014722223 | 0.016176179 | 0.028375596 | 1.7541592 | 0.0124 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.609112E-5 | 6.609032E-5 | 4.1072536 | 5.0E-5 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.896028E-5 | 3.889382E-4 | 5.6400323 | 3.2E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3929626E-4 | 0.0030774162 | 3.6666627 | 0.00224 | 0.007737305 | 0.008364087 | 0.016307091 | 1.9496558 | 0.00801 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.609112E-5 | 6.609032E-5 | 4.1072536 | 5.0E-5 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.896028E-5 | 3.889382E-4 | 5.6400323 | 3.2E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3929626E-4 | 0.0030774162 | 3.6666627 | 0.00224 | 0.007737305 | 0.008364087 | 0.016307091 | 1.9496558 | 0.00801 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.37737E-5 | 5.377315E-5 | 3.9040453 | 4.0E-5 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.902895E-5 | 3.5901123E-4 | 6.081952 | 3.0E-4 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1846624E-4 | 0.0027570005 | 3.837342 | 0.00204 | 0.006655392 | 0.007163988 | 0.014530831 | 2.028316 | 0.00742 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.029478E-5 | 4.029447E-5 | 3.9140682 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.4119828E-5 | 2.941088E-4 | 6.6661363 | 2.5E-4 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.370428E-4 | 0.0022761084 | 4.2382255 | 0.00174 | 0.005028777 | 0.005359057 | 0.011635241 | 2.171136 | 0.00631 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.204063E-6 | 2.8203898E-5 | 3.4377966 | 2.0E-5 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5159872E-5 | 2.651518E-4 | 7.541318 | 2.3E-4 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2800113E-4 | 0.0019573462 | 4.573227 | 0.00153 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042731217 | 0.009660004 | 2.2606432 | 0.00541 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.739292E-6 | 1.6739225E-5 | 2.4838254 | 1.0E-5 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8882432E-5 | 1.688784E-4 | 5.847097 | 1.4E-4 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.515997E-4 | 0.0014512129 | 4.1274576 | 0.0011 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035116964 | 0.007816526 | 2.2258546 | 0.00432 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1134323E-6 | 1.3113401E-5 | 4.2118793 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3343221E-5 | 7.3342424E-5 | 5.4966054 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6244312E-4 | 8.023392E-4 | 4.939201 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016233922 | 0.0040394636 | 2.4882858 | 0.00242 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2296279E-6 | 1.2229606E-5 | 5.4850435 | 1.0E-5 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.555519E-6 | 3.955523E-5 | 4.139517 | 3.0E-5 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1633327E-4 | 4.762914E-4 | 4.0941973 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0011944914 | 0.001162826 | 0.0027909307 | 2.4001274 | 0.00163 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1782679E-6 | 1.11782565E-5 | 9.487024 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.0497138E-6 | 1.50496635E-5 | 2.9803002 | 1.0E-5 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.147923E-5 | 2.214694E-4 | 3.602345 | 1.6E-4 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.146907E-4 | 0.0013542358 | 2.2031174 | 7.4E-4 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.094532E-7 | 3.094532E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3262274E-6 | 1.3262274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6146705E-5 | 1.6146705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6145586E-4 | 2.4144295E-4 | 1.4954115 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3122676E-7 | 2.3122676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.909716E-7 | 9.909716E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2065012E-5 | 1.2065012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2064364E-4 | 1.706376E-4 | 1.4143937 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9702487E-7 | 1.9702487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.4439205E-7 | 8.4439205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0280425E-5 | 1.0280425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0279956E-4 | 1.3279647E-4 | 1.2918 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4439416E-7 | 1.4439416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.18832E-7 | 6.18832E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.534254E-6 | 7.534254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.534004E-5 | 1.0533778E-4 | 1.3981646 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.5794375E-8 | 7.5794375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.24833E-7 | 3.24833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.954835E-6 | 3.954835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.954768E-5 | 5.954689E-5 | 1.5056987 | 2.0E-5 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.652E-5 | 0.0010464548 | 15.731432 | 9.8E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.850608E-4 | 0.0017246503 | 6.0501137 | 0.00144 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034659505 | 0.0077610123 | 2.239216 | 0.00431 | 0.02591553 | 0.03422227 | 0.04465267 | 1.3047839 | 0.0108 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.652E-5 | 0.0010464548 | 15.731432 | 9.8E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.850608E-4 | 0.0017246503 | 6.0501137 | 0.00144 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034659505 | 0.0077610123 | 2.239216 | 0.00431 | 0.02591553 | 0.03422227 | 0.04465267 | 1.3047839 | 0.0108 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.1069103E-5 | 8.4104395E-4 | 27.070107 | 8.1E-4 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3314762E-4 | 0.0013129906 | 9.861163 | 0.00118 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016200403 | 0.004974597 | 3.0706625 | 0.00336 | 0.012509781 | 0.016116055 | 0.024223257 | 1.5030514 | 0.00824 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2428754E-5 | 7.6241215E-4 | 33.992622 | 7.4E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.612059E-5 | 0.0011360206 | 11.818702 | 0.00104 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011697792 | 0.0041462933 | 3.5445094 | 0.00298 | 0.009055373 | 0.011666784 | 0.01880255 | 1.6116309 | 0.00722 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2428754E-5 | 7.6241215E-4 | 33.992622 | 7.4E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.612059E-5 | 0.0011360206 | 11.818702 | 0.00104 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011697792 | 0.0041462933 | 3.5445094 | 0.00298 | 0.009055373 | 0.011666784 | 0.01880255 | 1.6116309 | 0.00722 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9497207E-5 | 7.3948316E-4 | 37.927647 | 7.2E-4 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.355764E-5 | 0.0011034724 | 13.206122 | 0.00102 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.001016977 | 0.003844099 | 3.7799273 | 0.00283 | 0.0078909 | 0.010153665 | 0.016874721 | 1.661934 | 0.00679 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.596325E-6 | 6.085912E-4 | 70.79667 | 6.0E-4 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6840906E-5 | 8.868096E-4 | 24.071331 | 8.5E-4 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.484514E-4 | 0.0026874468 | 5.9927273 | 0.00224 | 0.0035039932 | 0.004493272 | 0.009580311 | 2.132146 | 0.00511 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.528708E-6 | 6.085236E-4 | 71.35003 | 6.0E-4 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6551126E-5 | 8.865201E-4 | 24.254248 | 8.5E-4 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.449248E-4 | 0.0026839282 | 6.0323186 | 0.00224 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044581536 | 0.009545373 | 2.1411045 | 0.00511 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.374995E-6 | 5.9837004E-4 | 71.44722 | 5.9E-4 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.589237E-5 | 8.758622E-4 | 24.402462 | 8.4E-4 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.369077E-4 | 0.0026659335 | 6.1018233 | 0.00223 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043781805 | 0.009455852 | 2.1597674 | 0.0051 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.0476875E-6 | 5.980429E-4 | 74.31239 | 5.9E-4 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4489665E-5 | 8.744607E-4 | 25.354282 | 8.4E-4 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.198364E-4 | 0.0026389044 | 6.285554 | 0.00222 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004207936 | 0.009256602 | 2.1997962 | 0.00507 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.679271E-6 | 5.9767475E-4 | 77.82961 | 5.9E-4 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.291078E-5 | 8.7288313E-4 | 26.522713 | 8.4E-4 | 3.2002592E-4 | 4.006206E-4 | 0.0026197312 | 6.539182 | 0.00222 | 0.0031956544 | 0.004016289 | 0.009036047 | 2.2498498 | 0.00504 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.188907E-6 | 5.9718464E-4 | 83.0703 | 5.9E-4 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0809268E-5 | 8.50784E-4 | 27.614546 | 8.2E-4 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7504375E-4 | 0.002474256 | 6.5972466 | 0.0021 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037612682 | 0.008503364 | 2.2607706 | 0.00476 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.397097E-6 | 4.353948E-4 | 80.672035 | 4.3E-4 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.3130233E-5 | 6.231163E-4 | 26.939476 | 6.0E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.8157828E-4 | 0.0017211728 | 6.112591 | 0.00144 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028284437 | 0.0060692513 | 2.1457918 | 0.00325 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7404371E-6 | 8.274022E-5 | 30.192343 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1744679E-5 | 1.3174328E-4 | 11.217273 | 1.2E-4 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4298224E-4 | 4.629365E-4 | 3.23772 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014387432 | 0.0022176208 | 1.5413599 | 7.8E-4 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3337655E-6 | 6.2333624E-5 | 26.709463 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1684469E-5 | 1.0001814E-5 | 9.000101E-5 | 8.998468 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2176539E-4 | 3.6173617E-4 | 2.9707634 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012257544 | 0.0018050435 | 1.472598 | 5.8E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1931912E-6 | 5.219308E-5 | 23.79778 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.399358E-6 | 5.9398888E-5 | 6.3194623 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1443127E-4 | 2.9441068E-4 | 2.5728166 | 1.8E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011522828 | 0.0016117528 | 1.3987476 | 4.6E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.897448E-6 | 5.1897354E-5 | 27.351133 | 5.0E-5 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.131895E-6 | 5.813149E-5 | 7.1485786 | 5.0E-5 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.900141E-5 | 2.5898556E-4 | 2.6159787 | 1.6E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.97749E-4 | 0.0013473998 | 1.3504397 | 3.5E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3639839E-6 | 4.1363928E-5 | 30.325819 | 4.0E-5 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.8456326E-6 | 4.5845398E-5 | 7.8426757 | 4.0E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.1168295E-5 | 1.8116046E-4 | 2.5455222 | 1.1E-4 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.19299E-4 | 9.3914074E-4 | 1.3056333 | 2.2E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.561567E-7 | 1.0856148E-5 | 12.680095 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.669238E-6 | 1.36692015E-5 | 3.7253516 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.4672077E-5 | 1.046694E-4 | 2.3430607 | 6.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.5199206E-4 | 5.719378E-4 | 1.2653714 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.832074E-7 | 3.832074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6423165E-6 | 1.6423165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9995032E-5 | 2.9994831E-5 | 1.5001142 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 2.0156632E-4 | 2.4155826E-4 | 1.1984059 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.4402397E-8 | 3.4402397E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4743884E-7 | 1.4743884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7950671E-6 | 1.1795049E-5 | 6.570812 | 1.0E-5 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.815319E-5 | 2.8153008E-5 | 1.5508574 | 1.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107954E-5 | 9.310691E-5 | 7.103084 | 8.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175897E-5 | 4.261551E-4 | 7.5860844 | 3.7E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837554E-4 | 0.0035218135 | 5.1506925 | 0.00284 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068193283 | 0.01667168 | 2.4447687 | 0.00992 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107954E-5 | 9.310691E-5 | 7.103084 | 8.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175897E-5 | 4.261551E-4 | 7.5860844 | 3.7E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837554E-4 | 0.0035218135 | 5.1506925 | 0.00284 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068193283 | 0.01667168 | 2.4447687 | 0.00992 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107954E-5 | 9.310691E-5 | 7.103084 | 8.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175897E-5 | 4.261551E-4 | 7.5860844 | 3.7E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837554E-4 | 0.0035218135 | 5.1506925 | 0.00284 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068193283 | 0.01667168 | 2.4447687 | 0.00992 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107954E-5 | 9.310691E-5 | 7.103084 | 8.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175897E-5 | 4.261551E-4 | 7.5860844 | 3.7E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837554E-4 | 0.0035218135 | 5.1506925 | 0.00284 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068193283 | 0.01667168 | 2.4447687 | 0.00992 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107954E-5 | 9.310691E-5 | 7.103084 | 8.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175897E-5 | 4.261551E-4 | 7.5860844 | 3.7E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837554E-4 | 0.0035218135 | 5.1506925 | 0.00284 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068193283 | 0.01667168 | 2.4447687 | 0.00992 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.387551E-6 | 6.738711E-5 | 9.121712 | 6.0E-5 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.166058E-5 | 3.216514E-4 | 10.159366 | 2.9E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.854048E-4 | 0.0025045876 | 6.49859 | 0.00212 | 0.003641826 | 0.003847902 | 0.0109703895 | 2.8510056 | 0.00715 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.387551E-6 | 6.738711E-5 | 9.121712 | 6.0E-5 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.166058E-5 | 3.216514E-4 | 10.159366 | 2.9E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.854048E-4 | 0.0025045876 | 6.49859 | 0.00212 | 0.003641826 | 0.003847902 | 0.0109703895 | 2.8510056 | 0.00715 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.788134E-6 | 5.5787845E-5 | 9.638313 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4806073E-5 | 2.7479988E-4 | 11.077927 | 2.5E-4 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.01976E-4 | 0.0020714414 | 6.8596234 | 0.00177 | 0.0028538927 | 0.0030160407 | 0.009027854 | 2.99328 | 0.00603 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2205847E-6 | 1.4220543E-5 | 3.36933 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.808811E-5 | 1.3808595E-4 | 7.634072 | 1.2E-4 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2020326E-4 | 0.0014599302 | 6.629921 | 0.00124 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0022001218 | 0.0066403314 | 3.0181653 | 0.00445 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1241348E-6 | 1.3124103E-5 | 4.200876 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3389093E-5 | 8.338816E-5 | 6.2280664 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6300227E-4 | 0.0010628556 | 6.5204954 | 9.0E-4 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016290498 | 0.004783902 | 2.9366212 | 0.00316 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5413796E-6 | 1.1541364E-5 | 7.4876847 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.6059015E-6 | 3.6605703E-5 | 5.5413637 | 3.0E-5 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.042489E-5 | 4.3039673E-4 | 5.3515363 | 3.5E-4 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.040568E-4 | 0.0023228347 | 2.8888936 | 0.00152 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4117486E-7 | 1.0741167E-5 | 14.492084 | 1.0E-5 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1764637E-6 | 1.3176432E-5 | 4.148145 | 1.0E-5 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.8673443E-5 | 1.9866726E-4 | 5.137046 | 1.6E-4 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.8673443E-4 | 0.0010364831 | 2.68009 | 6.5E-4 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4027576E-5 | 6.940051E-4 | 20.395374 | 6.6E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4582448E-4 | 0.0011456787 | 7.856559 | 0.001 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017739969 | 0.0047287457 | 2.6655886 | 0.00296 | 0.015640736 | 0.017604757 | 0.026073003 | 1.4810205 | 0.00862 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4027576E-5 | 6.940051E-4 | 20.395374 | 6.6E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4582448E-4 | 0.0011456787 | 7.856559 | 0.001 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017739969 | 0.0047287457 | 2.6655886 | 0.00296 | 0.015640736 | 0.017604757 | 0.026073003 | 1.4810205 | 0.00862 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4027576E-5 | 6.940051E-4 | 20.395374 | 6.6E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4582448E-4 | 0.0011456787 | 7.856559 | 0.001 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017739969 | 0.0047287457 | 2.6655886 | 0.00296 | 0.015640736 | 0.017604757 | 0.026073003 | 1.4810205 | 0.00862 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2143587E-5 | 6.72123E-4 | 20.910019 | 6.4E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.377511E-4 | 0.0010976188 | 7.968131 | 9.6E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016758575 | 0.0044811484 | 2.6739435 | 0.00281 | 0.01479908 | 0.016638212 | 0.024770614 | 1.4887786 | 0.00827 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2143587E-5 | 6.72123E-4 | 20.910019 | 6.4E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.377511E-4 | 0.0010976188 | 7.968131 | 9.6E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016758575 | 0.0044811484 | 2.6739435 | 0.00281 | 0.01479908 | 0.016638212 | 0.024770614 | 1.4887786 | 0.00827 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.086786E-5 | 6.608484E-4 | 21.408947 | 6.3E-4 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3228429E-4 | 0.0010821586 | 8.180553 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016093988 | 0.004354973 | 2.7059627 | 0.00275 | 0.014230782 | 0.015983343 | 0.023944039 | 1.4980619 | 0.00809 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9289931E-5 | 6.4927177E-4 | 22.167063 | 6.2E-4 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2552239E-4 | 0.0010454069 | 8.328449 | 9.2E-4 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015271903 | 0.004223067 | 2.7652526 | 0.0027 | 0.013544982 | 0.015172827 | 0.022943113 | 1.5121186 | 0.00789 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7376955E-5 | 6.4736E-4 | 23.646164 | 6.2E-4 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1732467E-4 | 0.0010372167 | 8.840568 | 9.2E-4 | 0.0012775084 | 0.001427517 | 0.004073734 | 2.8537202 | 0.00265 | 0.012701893 | 0.014189142 | 0.021622155 | 1.5238522 | 0.00754 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4968662E-5 | 6.3495344E-4 | 25.430016 | 6.1E-4 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.07004285E-4 | 0.001006908 | 9.409978 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013020204 | 0.0037887783 | 2.9099224 | 0.00249 | 0.011539802 | 0.012949192 | 0.019868419 | 1.5343366 | 0.00701 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2320957E-5 | 5.8230845E-4 | 26.08797 | 5.6E-4 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.565784E-5 | 9.2557847E-4 | 9.675929 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011640305 | 0.0034313882 | 2.9478507 | 0.00227 | 0.010331288 | 0.011583921 | 0.017741753 | 1.5315845 | 0.00623 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.059483E-5 | 5.305843E-4 | 25.762985 | 5.1E-4 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.826068E-5 | 8.5819274E-4 | 9.723387 | 7.7E-4 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010740617 | 0.0031718062 | 2.9530947 | 0.0021 | 0.009531168 | 0.010693246 | 0.01635208 | 1.5291971 | 0.00572 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.979971E-5 | 5.0979E-4 | 25.747345 | 4.9E-4 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.485324E-5 | 8.2479045E-4 | 9.7202 | 7.4E-4 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010326162 | 0.0031004788 | 3.0025468 | 0.00207 | 0.009176437 | 0.010282678 | 0.015726123 | 1.5293801 | 0.0055 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8182795E-5 | 4.7817442E-4 | 26.29818 | 4.6E-4 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.7924036E-5 | 7.678703E-4 | 9.854088 | 6.9E-4 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.483296E-4 | 0.0028265468 | 2.9805532 | 0.00188 | 0.008511325 | 0.009447116 | 0.014320637 | 1.5158738 | 0.00492 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5986683E-5 | 3.8598076E-4 | 24.143894 | 3.7E-4 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.851265E-5 | 6.284743E-4 | 9.173114 | 5.6E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.3383854E-4 | 0.002382546 | 2.8573232 | 0.00155 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008309799 | 0.012326145 | 1.4833264 | 0.00405 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4163079E-5 | 3.8415784E-4 | 27.123894 | 3.7E-4 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.0697585E-5 | 6.206636E-4 | 10.225507 | 5.6E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.387584E-4 | 0.0022676282 | 3.0695124 | 0.00153 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0073655313 | 0.0112467315 | 1.5269411 | 0.00391 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2853794E-5 | 3.8284904E-4 | 29.784906 | 3.7E-4 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5086613E-5 | 6.050563E-4 | 10.983727 | 5.5E-4 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.7048887E-4 | 0.0021594898 | 3.2207692 | 0.00149 | 0.006054099 | 0.006687148 | 0.010491536 | 1.5689104 | 0.00383 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.339613E-6 | 1.6333908E-4 | 48.909584 | 1.6E-4 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.431259E-5 | 2.943086E-4 | 20.562916 | 2.8E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7424916E-4 | 8.741272E-4 | 5.016536 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017419796 | 0.0033990878 | 1.9512788 | 0.00166 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.309676E-5 | 7.030564E-4 | 11.14251 | 6.4E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.703892E-4 | 0.0012301296 | 4.5494776 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032874665 | 0.006177933 | 1.8792382 | 0.0029 | 0.023254504 | 0.032392554 | 0.039649613 | 1.2240347 | 0.0075 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.309676E-5 | 7.030564E-4 | 11.14251 | 6.4E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.703892E-4 | 0.0012301296 | 4.5494776 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032874665 | 0.006177933 | 1.8792382 | 0.0029 | 0.023254504 | 0.032392554 | 0.039649613 | 1.2240347 | 0.0075 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4665478E-5 | 5.446478E-4 | 15.711534 | 5.1E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4855806E-4 | 9.1844366E-4 | 6.182389 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018072271 | 0.0039633233 | 2.193041 | 0.00216 | 0.01382215 | 0.017979534 | 0.023243165 | 1.2927567 | 0.00536 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4665478E-5 | 5.446478E-4 | 15.711534 | 5.1E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4855806E-4 | 9.1844366E-4 | 6.182389 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018072271 | 0.0039633233 | 2.193041 | 0.00216 | 0.01382215 | 0.017979534 | 0.023243165 | 1.2927567 | 0.00536 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.249201E-5 | 5.3247577E-4 | 16.3879 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.392442E-4 | 8.991384E-4 | 6.457277 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016940095 | 0.0038204012 | 2.2552419 | 0.00213 | 0.013121112 | 0.016849093 | 0.02204013 | 1.30809 | 0.00528 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.249201E-5 | 5.3247577E-4 | 16.3879 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.392442E-4 | 8.991384E-4 | 6.457277 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016940095 | 0.0038204012 | 2.2552419 | 0.00213 | 0.013121112 | 0.016849093 | 0.02204013 | 1.30809 | 0.00528 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.82749E-5 | 5.082613E-4 | 17.975706 | 4.8E-4 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.21172656E-4 | 8.410854E-4 | 6.941215 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014743024 | 0.0034913244 | 2.3681195 | 0.00202 | 0.011653901 | 0.014686508 | 0.019613076 | 1.3354485 | 0.005 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7943912E-5 | 5.079305E-4 | 18.176786 | 4.8E-4 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1975425E-4 | 8.3966804E-4 | 7.0115924 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014570566 | 0.003464128 | 2.3774834 | 0.00201 | 0.011538187 | 0.014517014 | 0.019434573 | 1.3387446 | 0.00499 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.4027493E-5 | 4.8401643E-4 | 20.144276 | 4.6E-4 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0297102E-4 | 7.929E-4 | 7.7002244 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012529709 | 0.0031805527 | 2.538409 | 0.00193 | 0.010138147 | 0.01250337 | 0.01713473 | 1.3704089 | 0.00469 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5303727E-5 | 4.352973E-4 | 28.443876 | 4.2E-4 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.558578E-5 | 6.6554645E-4 | 10.147724 | 6.0E-4 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.982201E-4 | 0.0025368312 | 3.17811 | 0.00174 | 0.0069254204 | 0.0079942765 | 0.012081341 | 1.5112487 | 0.00412 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3209069E-5 | 4.3320353E-4 | 32.795918 | 4.2E-4 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6609097E-5 | 6.5657514E-4 | 11.598403 | 6.0E-4 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8900286E-4 | 0.0023978245 | 3.4801376 | 0.00171 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006909227 | 0.010861728 | 1.5720613 | 0.00398 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.1000831E-5 | 4.1099644E-4 | 37.36049 | 4.0E-4 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.714559E-5 | 6.271182E-4 | 13.301738 | 5.8E-4 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.738499E-4 | 0.0022328973 | 3.8910825 | 0.00166 | 0.005237907 | 0.005763518 | 0.009412366 | 1.6330938 | 0.00367 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0596041E-5 | 4.005919E-4 | 37.805813 | 3.9E-4 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.541083E-5 | 6.1538495E-4 | 13.551501 | 5.7E-4 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.527401E-4 | 0.0021818392 | 3.9473145 | 0.00163 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055533503 | 0.0091333585 | 1.6446574 | 0.0036 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 1.0039902E-5 | 3.900361E-4 | 38.848595 | 3.8E-4 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.302746E-5 | 5.830042E-4 | 13.549585 | 5.4E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.237369E-4 | 0.002032946 | 3.881617 | 0.00151 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052641197 | 0.008546748 | 1.6235855 | 0.0033 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.584219E-6 | 3.0958134E-4 | 32.301155 | 3.0E-4 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.1074596E-5 | 5.010557E-4 | 12.198676 | 4.6E-4 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.9997185E-4 | 0.0018393019 | 3.6788108 | 0.00134 | 0.004697283 | 0.0050266096 | 0.007882183 | 1.5680914 | 0.00287 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.171068E-6 | 1.0717035E-4 | 14.944824 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.073279E-5 | 2.3072664E-4 | 7.5075073 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.7410823E-4 | 9.8388E-4 | 2.6299343 | 6.1E-4 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037675218 | 0.0050825486 | 1.3490429 | 0.00132 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 6.0357706E-6 | 6.6035405E-5 | 10.940676 | 6.0E-5 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5867334E-5 | 1.3586448E-4 | 5.252358 | 1.1E-4 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1488953E-4 | 7.247604E-4 | 2.3016338 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.003175371 | 0.0039728307 | 1.251139 | 8.0E-4 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.8296274E-6 | 2.4829531E-5 | 5.141086 | 2.0E-5 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.069824E-5 | 7.0697206E-5 | 3.4156144 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.5197206E-4 | 4.5192166E-4 | 1.7935388 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025469197 | 0.0028960283 | 1.1370709 | 3.5E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 4.043136E-6 | 1.4043096E-5 | 3.4733176 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7327611E-5 | 4.7327092E-5 | 2.7313108 | 3.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.1094331E-4 | 3.409159E-4 | 1.6161493 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021348842 | 0.0023843506 | 1.1168524 | 2.5E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.4271975E-6 | 3.4271975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.46879065E-5 | 2.468776E-5 | 1.6808223 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7881066E-4 | 2.5879635E-4 | 1.4473206 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0018096424 | 0.0019693528 | 1.0882553 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6982848E-6 | 1.6982848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.278343E-6 | 7.278343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.861026E-5 | 9.860937E-5 | 1.1128438 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.965633E-4 | 9.265364E-4 | 1.033431 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1931185E-7 | 3.1931185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3684787E-6 | 1.3684787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6661117E-5 | 1.6661117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6862573E-4 | 1.6862573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.320569E-5 | 1.3320314E-4 | 5.7401066 | 1.1E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.944962E-5 | 3.8942078E-4 | 3.9157593 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012102067 | 0.002638476 | 2.1801863 | 0.00143 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044154 | 0.016450437 | 1.3658441 | 0.00446 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.320569E-5 | 1.3320314E-4 | 5.7401066 | 1.1E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.944962E-5 | 3.8942078E-4 | 3.9157593 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012102067 | 0.002638476 | 2.1801863 | 0.00143 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044154 | 0.016450437 | 1.3658441 | 0.00446 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.320569E-5 | 1.3320314E-4 | 5.7401066 | 1.1E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.944962E-5 | 3.8942078E-4 | 3.9157593 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012102067 | 0.002638476 | 2.1801863 | 0.00143 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044154 | 0.016450437 | 1.3658441 | 0.00446 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.075183E-5 | 4.0751507E-5 | 3.7901926 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6078534E-5 | 1.0607577E-4 | 2.302065 | 6.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.60875E-4 | 0.0010306113 | 1.8375064 | 4.7E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.005595908 | 0.0071173464 | 1.2718841 | 0.00153 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.075183E-5 | 4.0751507E-5 | 3.7901926 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6078534E-5 | 1.0607577E-4 | 2.302065 | 6.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.60875E-4 | 0.0010306113 | 1.8375064 | 4.7E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.005595908 | 0.0071173464 | 1.2718841 | 0.00153 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.45999E-6 | 2.745984E-5 | 3.6809487 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.197104E-5 | 7.1969764E-5 | 2.2510922 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8918658E-4 | 6.590815E-4 | 1.6934847 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038859053 | 0.004862097 | 1.2512134 | 9.8E-4 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.349093E-6 | 1.534904E-5 | 2.8694658 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2924522E-5 | 4.2924064E-5 | 1.8724083 | 2.0E-5 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.79077E-4 | 4.5902678E-4 | 1.6448033 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027879246 | 0.0035358337 | 1.2682673 | 7.5E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.9263978E-6 | 3.9263978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6827342E-5 | 2.6827174E-5 | 1.5942609 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0485937E-4 | 3.3483273E-4 | 1.6344516 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.002047269 | 0.0026360608 | 1.2875988 | 5.9E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7461806E-6 | 2.7461806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.176932E-5 | 1.176932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.43287E-4 | 2.332741E-4 | 1.62802 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014324315 | 0.0018518299 | 1.2927878 | 4.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8977423E-6 | 1.8977423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.133182E-6 | 8.133182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.902148E-5 | 1.6901456E-4 | 1.7068473 | 7.0E-5 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.902149E-4 | 0.0012499574 | 1.2623093 | 2.6E-4 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3112163E-5 | 4.330989E-4 | 13.079754 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4190232E-4 | 8.917959E-4 | 6.284576 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017264284 | 0.0034634245 | 2.0061212 | 0.00174 | 0.015895851 | 0.017144017 | 0.021036126 | 1.2270244 | 0.00396 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3112163E-5 | 4.330989E-4 | 13.079754 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4190232E-4 | 8.917959E-4 | 6.284576 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017264284 | 0.0034634245 | 2.0061212 | 0.00174 | 0.015895851 | 0.017144017 | 0.021036126 | 1.2270244 | 0.00396 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2550805E-5 | 1.5254905E-4 | 12.154523 | 1.4E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.378811E-5 | 3.5377196E-4 | 6.577141 | 3.0E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.546831E-4 | 0.0013042575 | 1.9921968 | 6.5E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065285168 | 0.008058462 | 1.2343482 | 0.00154 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2550805E-5 | 1.5254905E-4 | 12.154523 | 1.4E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.378811E-5 | 3.5377196E-4 | 6.577141 | 3.0E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.546831E-4 | 0.0013042575 | 1.9921968 | 6.5E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065285168 | 0.008058462 | 1.2343482 | 0.00154 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.483828E-6 | 8.8483146E-5 | 10.4296255 | 8.0E-5 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.635878E-5 | 1.9635296E-4 | 5.400428 | 1.6E-4 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.4258227E-4 | 8.4240525E-4 | 1.9033867 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044174143 | 0.005393085 | 1.2208693 | 9.8E-4 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.288715E-6 | 7.628828E-5 | 12.13098 | 7.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6951373E-5 | 1.2694868E-4 | 4.710286 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.280861E-4 | 6.0799427E-4 | 1.8531544 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.003276271 | 0.004003879 | 1.2220843 | 7.3E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.288715E-6 | 7.628828E-5 | 12.13098 | 7.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6951373E-5 | 1.2694868E-4 | 4.710286 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.280861E-4 | 6.0799427E-4 | 1.8531544 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.003276271 | 0.004003879 | 1.2220843 | 7.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2828862E-6 | 6.328269E-5 | 19.27654 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4069443E-5 | 8.406846E-5 | 5.9752517 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7128316E-4 | 3.4125405E-4 | 1.9923385 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017116262 | 0.0020909756 | 1.221631 | 3.8E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4298126E-6 | 2.2429764E-5 | 9.231067 | 2.0E-5 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0413447E-5 | 4.0413135E-5 | 3.8808606 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2677726E-4 | 2.2676458E-4 | 1.788685 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012671396 | 0.0015068355 | 1.189163 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0658239E-6 | 1.0658239E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5678116E-6 | 4.5678116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5612203E-5 | 7.561109E-5 | 1.3596133 | 2.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.5603357E-4 | 6.559779E-4 | 1.1797453 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.077844E-7 | 5.077844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1762191E-6 | 2.1762191E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6495467E-5 | 4.6494937E-5 | 1.7548261 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6495467E-4 | 3.1494143E-4 | 1.1886616 | 5.0E-5 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4651122E-5 | 4.246309E-4 | 7.769848 | 3.7E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.341989E-4 | 7.9406775E-4 | 3.39057 | 5.6E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.00284782 | 0.0043934057 | 1.5427259 | 0.00155 | 0.023260195 | 0.028133208 | 0.032098424 | 1.1409444 | 0.00408 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4651122E-5 | 4.246309E-4 | 7.769848 | 3.7E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.341989E-4 | 7.9406775E-4 | 3.39057 | 5.6E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.00284782 | 0.0043934057 | 1.5427259 | 0.00155 | 0.023260195 | 0.028133208 | 0.032098424 | 1.1409444 | 0.00408 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7130736E-5 | 4.171133E-4 | 8.850133 | 3.7E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0197411E-4 | 7.61861E-4 | 3.7720726 | 5.6E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.002456395 | 0.003992612 | 1.625395 | 0.00154 | 0.020330196 | 0.024307804 | 0.028259357 | 1.1625632 | 0.00405 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7130736E-5 | 4.171133E-4 | 8.850133 | 3.7E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0197411E-4 | 7.61861E-4 | 3.7720726 | 5.6E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.002456395 | 0.003992612 | 1.625395 | 0.00154 | 0.020330196 | 0.024307804 | 0.028259357 | 1.1625632 | 0.00405 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.8002745E-5 | 4.0798867E-4 | 10.735769 | 3.7E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6285914E-4 | 7.2276796E-4 | 4.437994 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019810763 | 0.0035080453 | 1.7707775 | 0.00153 | 0.016718714 | 0.019642549 | 0.023573782 | 1.2001387 | 0.00401 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.8002745E-5 | 4.0798867E-4 | 10.735769 | 3.7E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6285914E-4 | 7.2276796E-4 | 4.437994 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019810763 | 0.0035080453 | 1.7707775 | 0.00153 | 0.016718714 | 0.019642549 | 0.023573782 | 1.2001387 | 0.00401 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4227607E-5 | 4.0421495E-4 | 11.809618 | 3.7E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4668185E-4 | 7.065997E-4 | 4.817227 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017844505 | 0.0033117202 | 1.8558768 | 0.00153 | 0.015175272 | 0.017708747 | 0.021608442 | 1.220213 | 0.00397 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2387205E-5 | 4.023752E-4 | 12.423894 | 3.7E-4 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3879527E-4 | 6.9871754E-4 | 5.0341597 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016885829 | 0.0032060163 | 1.898643 | 0.00152 | 0.014414776 | 0.016764833 | 0.020658443 | 1.2322488 | 0.00396 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6901494E-5 | 3.9689153E-4 | 14.753513 | 3.7E-4 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.15287294E-4 | 6.752227E-4 | 5.8568707 | 5.6E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014027664 | 0.0029206343 | 2.0820532 | 0.00152 | 0.01213047 | 0.013944944 | 0.017839862 | 1.2793068 | 0.00395 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3600172E-5 | 3.9359144E-4 | 16.677483 | 3.7E-4 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0113988E-4 | 6.6108326E-4 | 6.5363264 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012307187 | 0.002748848 | 2.2335308 | 0.00152 | 0.010738871 | 0.0122436695 | 0.01613543 | 1.3178589 | 0.00394 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9658226E-5 | 3.8965096E-4 | 19.821268 | 3.7E-4 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.4246945E-5 | 6.441998E-4 | 7.646565 | 5.6E-4 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010252466 | 0.0025436883 | 2.48105 | 0.00152 | 0.009070295 | 0.010208406 | 0.014098287 | 1.3810469 | 0.00393 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6462336E-5 | 3.8645623E-4 | 23.475176 | 3.7E-4 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.0551054E-5 | 6.3051155E-4 | 8.936954 | 5.6E-4 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.5863716E-4 | 0.002377332 | 2.768727 | 0.00152 | 0.007696735 | 0.008555787 | 0.012432333 | 1.4530907 | 0.00391 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5718057E-5 | 3.8571225E-4 | 24.539434 | 3.7E-4 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.7361456E-5 | 6.2732375E-4 | 9.312799 | 5.6E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.1983337E-4 | 0.0023385873 | 2.8525152 | 0.00152 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008170644 | 0.012048696 | 1.4746325 | 0.00391 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5191197E-5 | 3.851856E-4 | 25.35584 | 3.7E-4 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.5103595E-5 | 6.2506716E-4 | 9.601115 | 5.6E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.923642E-4 | 0.0023111599 | 2.91679 | 0.00152 | 0.007138774 | 0.007897926 | 0.011777044 | 1.4911567 | 0.00391 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4126829E-5 | 3.841216E-4 | 27.190928 | 3.7E-4 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.054224E-5 | 6.2050833E-4 | 10.249181 | 5.6E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3686836E-4 | 0.0022557483 | 3.0612638 | 0.00152 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073467484 | 0.011218096 | 1.5269471 | 0.0039 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2817544E-5 | 3.828128E-4 | 29.866314 | 3.7E-4 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4931264E-5 | 6.0490106E-4 | 11.011963 | 5.5E-4 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.6859863E-4 | 0.0021476091 | 3.212105 | 0.00148 | 0.006032217 | 0.0066683525 | 0.010462879 | 1.5690352 | 0.00382 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3317156E-6 | 1.6333118E-4 | 49.023148 | 1.6E-4 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4278744E-5 | 2.9427474E-4 | 20.609287 | 2.8E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7383715E-4 | 8.7371544E-4 | 5.0260572 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017378795 | 0.0033949947 | 1.9535271 | 0.00166 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5448564E-5 | 2.3544322E-4 | 9.251729 | 2.1E-4 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0906073E-4 | 4.8901926E-4 | 4.483917 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0013131002 | 0.001327009 | 0.0024654963 | 1.8579347 | 0.00114 | 0.013053683 | 0.013270563 | 0.015934734 | 1.2007579 | 0.0027 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.534956E-5 | 2.3534424E-4 | 9.2839575 | 2.1E-4 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0863647E-4 | 4.8859516E-4 | 4.4975247 | 3.8E-4 | 0.001307681 | 0.00132185 | 0.002460343 | 1.8612877 | 0.00114 | 0.013000126 | 0.0132195875 | 0.015883895 | 1.2015424 | 0.0027 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.5231071E-5 | 2.3522577E-4 | 9.322862 | 2.1E-4 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.081287E-4 | 4.880876E-4 | 4.513951 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013156753 | 0.0024541754 | 1.8653352 | 0.00114 | 0.012932341 | 0.013158573 | 0.015823044 | 1.2024894 | 0.0027 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.5050122E-5 | 2.3504486E-4 | 9.382982 | 2.1E-4 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.0735327E-4 | 4.8731247E-4 | 4.5393353 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0013062458 | 0.0024447567 | 1.87159 | 0.00114 | 0.012822957 | 0.013065391 | 0.015730115 | 1.2039528 | 0.0027 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3426875E-5 | 2.3342196E-4 | 9.963854 | 2.1E-4 | 9.958477E-5 | 1.0039705E-4 | 4.803589E-4 | 4.784592 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012216514 | 0.002350271 | 1.9238474 | 0.00113 | 0.012051838 | 0.01222903 | 0.014866379 | 1.215663 | 0.00267 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.3240516E-5 | 2.3323564E-4 | 10.035733 | 2.1E-4 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.959843E-5 | 4.7956058E-4 | 4.8149414 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0012119391 | 0.0023405696 | 1.93126 | 0.00113 | 0.011791403 | 0.012132972 | 0.014770577 | 1.2173915 | 0.00267 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.2018123E-5 | 2.320135E-4 | 10.537388 | 2.1E-4 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.435998E-5 | 4.7432413E-4 | 5.026751 | 3.8E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011482297 | 0.0022769321 | 1.9829937 | 0.00113 | 0.011062649 | 0.011502617 | 0.014141905 | 1.2294511 | 0.00267 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0632186E-5 | 2.3062785E-4 | 11.178062 | 2.1E-4 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.842066E-5 | 4.6838706E-4 | 5.297258 | 3.8E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010759917 | 0.0022047758 | 2.049064 | 0.00113 | 0.010230771 | 0.010787434 | 0.013418739 | 1.2439232 | 0.00266 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 2.0136891E-5 | 2.3013266E-4 | 11.428411 | 2.1E-4 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.629812E-5 | 4.6626534E-4 | 5.402961 | 3.8E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010501748 | 0.0021789882 | 2.0748813 | 0.00113 | 0.009733009 | 0.010531736 | 0.013163721 | 1.24991 | 0.00266 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.9187366E-5 | 2.2918334E-4 | 11.944492 | 2.1E-4 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.222898E-5 | 4.6219773E-4 | 5.6208615 | 3.8E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 0.0010006796 | 0.0021295487 | 2.1281028 | 0.00113 | 0.0091206245 | 0.01004138 | 0.012674671 | 1.2622439 | 0.00266 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8447288E-5 | 2.2844342E-4 | 12.383577 | 2.1E-4 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.905742E-5 | 4.590274E-4 | 5.806253 | 3.8E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.6210046E-4 | 0.0020910134 | 2.1733835 | 0.00113 | 0.008724891 | 0.009658835 | 0.012283239 | 1.2717102 | 0.00265 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7946872E-5 | 2.279431E-4 | 12.700994 | 2.1E-4 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.691291E-5 | 4.568837E-4 | 5.9402733 | 3.8E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.360137E-4 | 0.0020649561 | 2.2061172 | 0.00113 | 0.008488664 | 0.00940014 | 0.01202523 | 1.2792606 | 0.00265 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.7394652E-5 | 2.27391E-4 | 13.072466 | 2.1E-4 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.454639E-5 | 4.445188E-4 | 5.9629827 | 3.7E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 9.072257E-4 | 0.0020262096 | 2.233413 | 0.00112 | 0.008200042 | 0.009114569 | 0.011720598 | 1.2859191 | 0.00263 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6846076E-5 | 2.2684255E-4 | 13.465601 | 2.1E-4 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.219548E-5 | 4.321695E-4 | 5.9861016 | 3.6E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.786267E-4 | 0.0019876515 | 2.2622252 | 0.00111 | 0.00782677 | 0.008830455 | 0.011417408 | 1.292958 | 0.00261 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.668134E-5 | 2.2667783E-4 | 13.588706 | 2.1E-4 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.148951E-5 | 4.3146376E-4 | 6.035344 | 3.6E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.700384E-4 | 0.0019490988 | 2.2402444 | 0.00108 | 0.0077382675 | 0.00874502 | 0.011242983 | 1.285644 | 0.00252 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6271675E-5 | 1.9626875E-4 | 12.061988 | 1.8E-4 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.973389E-5 | 3.5971368E-4 | 5.158376 | 2.9E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.486807E-4 | 0.0018078659 | 2.1302075 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008532509 | 0.010753397 | 1.2602854 | 0.00224 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.42622985E-5 | 1.542603E-4 | 10.81595 | 1.4E-4 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.112271E-5 | 2.611105E-4 | 4.2719064 | 2.0E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.4391556E-4 | 0.0014334022 | 1.9268347 | 6.9E-4 | 0.006634211 | 0.007490661 | 0.008979425 | 1.1987493 | 0.0015 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.1658228E-5 | 1.0165718E-4 | 8.71978 | 9.0E-5 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9962877E-5 | 1.6995688E-4 | 3.401663 | 1.2E-4 | 5.388092E-4 | 6.0812867E-4 | 0.0010078854 | 1.6573555 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.006140664 | 0.0069456906 | 1.1310976 | 8.1E-4 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 9.057922E-6 | 5.905747E-5 | 6.5199795 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8819093E-5 | 1.0881638E-4 | 2.8031664 | 7.0E-5 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.7252013E-4 | 7.4239256E-4 | 1.5711342 | 2.7E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.0047771526 | 0.0053444295 | 1.118748 | 5.7E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.556958E-6 | 1.5556901E-5 | 2.7995358 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3815317E-5 | 4.381484E-5 | 1.8397757 | 2.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.89913E-4 | 4.1987532E-4 | 1.4482803 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.002931502 | 0.0032007105 | 1.091833 | 2.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.1082974E-6 | 2.1082974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.03553E-6 | 9.03553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.1000205E-4 | 1.3999875E-4 | 1.2726922 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011127844 | 0.0011627288 | 1.0448823 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1931185E-7 | 3.1931185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3684787E-6 | 1.3684787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6661117E-5 | 1.6661117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6862573E-4 | 1.6862573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8509341E-5 | 7.850823E-5 | 4.241546 | 6.0E-5 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.932361E-5 | 2.2931171E-4 | 2.890838 | 1.5E-4 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6538576E-4 | 0.0015947776 | 1.6519588 | 6.3E-4 | 0.009017491 | 0.009616766 | 0.011647051 | 1.2111194 | 0.00205 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.595745E-6 | 3.9595456E-5 | 4.1263556 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.112402E-5 | 1.0112156E-4 | 2.4589412 | 6.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0057884E-4 | 8.004287E-4 | 1.5990062 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049953964 | 0.006030201 | 1.2071517 | 0.00104 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.595745E-6 | 3.9595456E-5 | 4.1263556 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.112402E-5 | 1.0112156E-4 | 2.4589412 | 6.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0057884E-4 | 8.004287E-4 | 1.5990062 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049953964 | 0.006030201 | 1.2071517 | 0.00104 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.670455E-6 | 2.7670301E-5 | 3.6073873 | 2.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2873002E-5 | 8.287136E-5 | 2.5209548 | 5.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0016245E-4 | 6.600584E-4 | 1.6494762 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039951243 | 0.0048716087 | 1.2193885 | 8.8E-4 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.670455E-6 | 2.7670301E-5 | 3.6073873 | 2.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2873002E-5 | 8.287136E-5 | 2.5209548 | 5.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0016245E-4 | 6.600584E-4 | 1.6494762 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039951243 | 0.0048716087 | 1.2193885 | 8.8E-4 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4061383E-6 | 2.6406009E-5 | 4.121986 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7454626E-5 | 6.7453526E-5 | 2.4569094 | 4.0E-5 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.342153E-4 | 5.1415514E-4 | 1.538395 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033377656 | 0.0040055295 | 1.2000631 | 6.7E-4 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.9123454E-6 | 2.5912228E-5 | 4.3827324 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5338413E-5 | 6.53374E-5 | 2.5785909 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.084579E-4 | 4.884024E-4 | 1.5833681 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030809273 | 0.0037189554 | 1.2070897 | 6.4E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.541116E-6 | 2.5541005E-5 | 4.609361 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.374746E-5 | 6.374651E-5 | 2.6843507 | 4.0E-5 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.890933E-4 | 4.6904126E-4 | 1.6224563 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028877966 | 0.0034661219 | 1.2002652 | 5.8E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2484003E-6 | 2.4248315E-5 | 5.7076344 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8207336E-5 | 5.820661E-5 | 3.1968768 | 4.0E-5 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2165773E-4 | 3.7162448E-4 | 1.676569 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022149512 | 0.0026639544 | 1.2027148 | 4.5E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1419373E-7 | 7.1419373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0608285E-6 | 3.0608285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.726527E-5 | 7.726378E-5 | 2.0733454 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.726215E-4 | 4.5259166E-4 | 1.2146151 | 8.0E-5 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.149061E-5 | 1.4148715E-4 | 4.492995 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3495401E-4 | 3.1492973E-4 | 2.3336077 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016420442 | 0.0023209276 | 1.413438 | 6.8E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016320724 | 0.018012652 | 1.1036675 | 0.00172 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.149061E-5 | 1.4148715E-4 | 4.492995 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3495401E-4 | 3.1492973E-4 | 2.3336077 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016420442 | 0.0023209276 | 1.413438 | 6.8E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016320724 | 0.018012652 | 1.1036675 | 0.00172 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3644334E-5 | 3.364406E-5 | 2.4657898 | 2.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8474474E-5 | 8.847272E-5 | 1.5130143 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1170606E-4 | 9.1156375E-4 | 1.2808149 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007095471 | 0.0076514976 | 1.0783635 | 5.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3644334E-5 | 3.364406E-5 | 2.4657898 | 2.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8474474E-5 | 8.847272E-5 | 1.5130143 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1170606E-4 | 9.1156375E-4 | 1.2808149 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007095471 | 0.0076514976 | 1.0783635 | 5.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0696428E-5 | 3.0696214E-5 | 2.8697631 | 2.0E-5 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.584106E-5 | 7.5839685E-5 | 1.6544051 | 3.0E-5 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.579779E-4 | 7.0789416E-4 | 1.2686778 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.0055663595 | 0.005984022 | 1.0750333 | 4.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.089211E-6 | 2.908903E-5 | 3.200391 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8953203E-5 | 6.895204E-5 | 1.7701249 | 3.0E-5 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7415608E-4 | 5.9409917E-4 | 1.2529612 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.004731852 | 0.0050005745 | 1.0567901 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.536217E-6 | 1.7536142E-5 | 2.3269157 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2297685E-5 | 4.2297364E-5 | 1.3096097 | 1.0E-5 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9315593E-4 | 4.8312056E-4 | 1.2288268 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0050424994 | 0.003924861 | 0.0041041547 | 1.0456815 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.7534556E-6 | 6.7534556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8943074E-5 | 2.8943074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5232716E-4 | 4.223025E-4 | 1.198609 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035179069 | 0.0036574143 | 1.0396564 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.119292E-6 | 5.119292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1939646E-5 | 2.1939646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6708384E-4 | 3.0707318E-4 | 1.1497257 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.002667767 | 0.0027475534 | 1.0299076 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.9099723E-6 | 3.9099723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6756921E-5 | 1.6756921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.039974E-4 | 2.3399129E-4 | 1.1470307 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020381997 | 0.002108057 | 1.034274 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6076707E-6 | 2.6076707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1175684E-5 | 1.1175684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3605572E-4 | 1.5605299E-4 | 1.1469786 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013597495 | 0.0013797223 | 1.0146886 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.1000374E-6 | 2.1000374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 9.00013E-6 | 9.00013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.095713E-4 | 1.19570206E-4 | 1.0912548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010951946 | 0.0011051837 | 1.0091208 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2627975E-6 | 1.2627975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.4119782E-6 | 5.4119782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.5888926E-5 | 6.5888926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.5870216E-4 | 6.5870216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.129296E-7 | 7.129296E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.055409E-6 | 3.055409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.719899E-5 | 3.719899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7192964E-4 | 3.7192964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.313504E-7 | 5.313504E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.277214E-6 | 2.277214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.7724733E-5 | 2.7724733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.772133E-4 | 2.772133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6088096E-7 | 3.6088096E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5466319E-6 | 1.5466319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8830086E-5 | 1.8830086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8828535E-4 | 1.8828535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.141681E-8 | 7.141681E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.06072E-7 | 3.06072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.726422E-6 | 3.726422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.726375E-5 | 3.726375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.040237E-5 | 1.0040024E-4 | 3.302382 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3029047E-4 | 2.7027223E-4 | 2.074382 | 1.4E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.001585329 | 0.0020046632 | 1.2645092 | 4.2E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015759729 | 0.017344356 | 1.1005491 | 0.00161 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.040237E-5 | 1.0040024E-4 | 3.302382 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3029047E-4 | 2.7027223E-4 | 2.074382 | 1.4E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.001585329 | 0.0020046632 | 1.2645092 | 4.2E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015759729 | 0.017344356 | 1.1005491 | 0.00161 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6109772E-5 | 2.6109612E-5 | 1.6207312 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.9040616E-5 | 9.9038545E-5 | 1.4344969 | 3.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.403441E-4 | 0.0010301844 | 1.2259078 | 1.9E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008381377 | 0.00920442 | 1.0981991 | 8.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6109772E-5 | 2.6109612E-5 | 1.6207312 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.9040616E-5 | 9.9038545E-5 | 1.4344969 | 3.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.403441E-4 | 0.0010301844 | 1.2259078 | 1.9E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008381377 | 0.00920442 | 1.0981991 | 8.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5021055E-5 | 2.5020905E-5 | 1.6657221 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4374915E-5 | 9.437298E-5 | 1.4659901 | 3.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8358094E-4 | 9.634399E-4 | 1.2295346 | 1.8E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078178225 | 0.008581803 | 1.0977229 | 7.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5021055E-5 | 2.5020905E-5 | 1.6657221 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4374915E-5 | 9.437298E-5 | 1.4659901 | 3.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8358094E-4 | 9.634399E-4 | 1.2295346 | 1.8E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078178225 | 0.008581803 | 1.0977229 | 7.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2866029E-5 | 2.2865901E-5 | 1.7772306 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.51395E-5 | 7.51384E-5 | 1.3626964 | 2.0E-5 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7121245E-4 | 8.211118E-4 | 1.2233262 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0067012566 | 0.00727737 | 1.0859709 | 5.8E-4 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.832893E-6 | 1.9832794E-5 | 2.0169847 | 1.0E-5 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.21408E-5 | 6.213996E-5 | 1.4745795 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.130341E-4 | 6.329726E-4 | 1.2337825 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051273913 | 0.0055551864 | 1.0834333 | 4.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1764788E-6 | 1.1764788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.042043E-6 | 5.042043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.138526E-5 | 6.138526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.136943E-4 | 6.2368816E-4 | 1.0162847 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.2921647E-7 | 9.2921647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9823503E-6 | 3.9823503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.848411E-5 | 4.848411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8474234E-4 | 4.8474234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7558357E-7 | 8.7558357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.752496E-6 | 3.752496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.568575E-5 | 4.568575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.567702E-4 | 4.567702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.7193414E-7 | 7.7193414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3082852E-6 | 3.3082852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.027769E-5 | 4.027769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0270985E-4 | 4.0270985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.596342E-7 | 7.596342E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2555713E-6 | 3.2555713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.963592E-5 | 3.963592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9629446E-4 | 3.9629446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.904355E-7 | 6.904355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9590062E-6 | 2.9590062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.6025365E-5 | 3.6025365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.60201E-4 | 3.60201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.20097E-7 | 6.20097E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6575563E-6 | 2.6575563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2355325E-5 | 3.2355325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.235117E-4 | 3.235117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.356036E-7 | 5.356036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2954423E-6 | 2.2954423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7946706E-5 | 2.7946706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7943723E-4 | 2.7943723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6045635E-7 | 2.6045635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162413E-6 | 1.1162413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590181E-5 | 1.3590181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.358963E-4 | 1.358963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083455E-5 | 4.1083124E-5 | 3.706707 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7499732E-5 | 9.749736E-5 | 2.0525875 | 5.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7816855E-4 | 0.0010279084 | 1.7778697 | 4.5E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767913 | 0.0070703574 | 1.2258085 | 0.00131 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083455E-5 | 4.1083124E-5 | 3.706707 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7499732E-5 | 9.749736E-5 | 2.0525875 | 5.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7816855E-4 | 0.0010279084 | 1.7778697 | 4.5E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767913 | 0.0070703574 | 1.2258085 | 0.00131 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083455E-5 | 4.1083124E-5 | 3.706707 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7499732E-5 | 9.749736E-5 | 2.0525875 | 5.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7816855E-4 | 0.0010279084 | 1.7778697 | 4.5E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767913 | 0.0070703574 | 1.2258085 | 0.00131 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083455E-5 | 4.1083124E-5 | 3.706707 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7499732E-5 | 9.749736E-5 | 2.0525875 | 5.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7816855E-4 | 0.0010279084 | 1.7778697 | 4.5E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767913 | 0.0070703574 | 1.2258085 | 0.00131 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083455E-5 | 4.1083124E-5 | 3.706707 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7499732E-5 | 9.749736E-5 | 2.0525875 | 5.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7816855E-4 | 0.0010279084 | 1.7778697 | 4.5E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767913 | 0.0070703574 | 1.2258085 | 0.00131 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1083455E-5 | 4.1083124E-5 | 3.706707 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7499732E-5 | 9.749736E-5 | 2.0525875 | 5.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7816855E-4 | 0.0010279084 | 1.7778697 | 4.5E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767913 | 0.0070703574 | 1.2258085 | 0.00131 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.938239E-6 | 2.69381E-5 | 3.8825557 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9734989E-5 | 5.9734095E-5 | 2.0088825 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6196626E-4 | 5.818866E-4 | 1.6075715 | 2.2E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.003614059 | 0.0043015652 | 1.1902311 | 6.9E-4 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.938239E-6 | 2.69381E-5 | 3.8825557 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9734989E-5 | 5.9734095E-5 | 2.0088825 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6196626E-4 | 5.818866E-4 | 1.6075715 | 2.2E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.003614059 | 0.0043015652 | 1.1902311 | 6.9E-4 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1815214E-6 | 5.1815214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2206339E-5 | 3.2206117E-5 | 1.4503119 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.703298E-4 | 4.3028654E-4 | 1.5917096 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0027001258 | 0.0031788298 | 1.1772895 | 4.8E-4 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2543156E-6 | 4.2543156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8232658E-5 | 2.8232476E-5 | 1.5484563 | 1.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2196074E-4 | 3.419341E-4 | 1.5405161 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0026117235 | 0.002217463 | 0.0026065982 | 1.1754867 | 3.9E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7156733E-6 | 3.7156733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.592422E-5 | 1.592422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9386076E-4 | 2.5384914E-4 | 1.3094405 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019369795 | 0.0022663402 | 1.1700383 | 3.3E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1135628E-6 | 3.1135628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3343775E-5 | 1.3343775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6244892E-4 | 1.9244404E-4 | 1.1846434 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016233578 | 0.0018929195 | 1.166052 | 2.7E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6069006E-6 | 2.6069006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1172387E-5 | 1.1172387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3601582E-4 | 1.5601309E-4 | 1.1470218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013593754 | 0.0015990492 | 1.1763116 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8296749E-6 | 1.8296749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.841442E-6 | 7.841442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.546567E-5 | 1.05464715E-4 | 1.1047397 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013866565 | 9.5427554E-4 | 0.0011141228 | 1.1675065 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4375755E-6 | 1.4375755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.161025E-6 | 6.161025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.500815E-5 | 8.50074E-5 | 1.1333089 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001177395 | 7.498534E-4 | 8.597709E-4 | 1.1465853 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.362758E-7 | 7.362758E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.155464E-6 | 3.155464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.84171E-5 | 3.84171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8410502E-4 | 4.44082E-4 | 1.1561472 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6661395E-7 | 4.6661395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9997726E-6 | 1.9997726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.434696E-5 | 2.434696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.434432E-4 | 2.8343347E-4 | 1.1642693 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5612838E-7 | 1.5612838E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6912145E-7 | 6.6912145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.146524E-6 | 8.146524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.146237E-5 | 9.146156E-5 | 1.1227461 | 1.0E-5 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5666075E-5 | 5.5665303E-5 | 2.1688282 | 3.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0999292E-4 | 1.9998303E-4 | 1.8181444 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013383582 | 0.0017478094 | 1.3059355 | 4.1E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013306178 | 0.014500078 | 1.0897253 | 0.00121 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5666075E-5 | 5.5665303E-5 | 2.1688282 | 3.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0999292E-4 | 1.9998303E-4 | 1.8181444 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013383582 | 0.0017478094 | 1.3059355 | 4.1E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013306178 | 0.014500078 | 1.0897253 | 0.00121 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5666075E-5 | 5.5665303E-5 | 2.1688282 | 3.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0999292E-4 | 1.9998303E-4 | 1.8181444 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013383582 | 0.0017478094 | 1.3059355 | 4.1E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013306178 | 0.014500078 | 1.0897253 | 0.00121 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5165758E-5 | 4.5165256E-5 | 1.7947106 | 2.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.07848886E-4 | 1.8784025E-4 | 1.7416986 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013122861 | 0.0016917875 | 1.289191 | 3.8E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013048539 | 0.014183532 | 1.0869825 | 0.00115 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5165758E-5 | 4.5165256E-5 | 1.7947106 | 2.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.07848886E-4 | 1.8784025E-4 | 1.7416986 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013122861 | 0.0016917875 | 1.289191 | 3.8E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013048539 | 0.014183532 | 1.0869825 | 0.00115 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4854777E-5 | 4.4854278E-5 | 1.8046544 | 2.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.06516214E-4 | 1.8650769E-4 | 1.7509793 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012960802 | 0.0016755877 | 1.2928118 | 3.8E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.012888367 | 0.014023546 | 1.0880778 | 0.00115 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3350434E-5 | 4.3349966E-5 | 1.8564951 | 2.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 1.00069534E-4 | 1.8006153E-4 | 1.7993641 | 8.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012176803 | 0.0015472784 | 1.2706771 | 3.3E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012113073 | 0.013170112 | 1.0872643 | 0.00107 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2950442E-5 | 4.294998E-5 | 1.8714229 | 2.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8355405E-5 | 1.6834852E-4 | 1.7116346 | 7.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011968339 | 0.0014964748 | 1.2503613 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011906872 | 0.012894965 | 1.0829852 | 0.001 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1840353E-5 | 4.1839918E-5 | 1.9157162 | 2.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.359823E-5 | 1.6359169E-4 | 1.7478074 | 7.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011389769 | 0.0014286466 | 1.2543244 | 2.9E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011334809 | 0.012274041 | 1.0828626 | 9.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5319107E-5 | 2.5318954E-5 | 1.6527696 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.56517E-5 | 9.564973E-5 | 1.456927 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.990228E-4 | 9.289189E-4 | 1.1625687 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007962976 | 0.008578039 | 1.0772403 | 6.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.316591E-5 | 2.3165778E-5 | 1.7595273 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.642414E-5 | 8.642245E-5 | 1.5316573 | 3.0E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.867532E-4 | 7.866845E-4 | 1.1455127 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068475786 | 0.007334223 | 1.0710682 | 4.9E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.087368E-5 | 1.087368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.660068E-5 | 6.659975E-5 | 1.4291583 | 2.0E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.6721986E-4 | 6.371801E-4 | 1.1233389 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0050568148 | 0.0056582615 | 0.0058969036 | 1.0421759 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0294078E-5 | 1.0294078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4116754E-5 | 5.411631E-5 | 1.2266612 | 1.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.369933E-4 | 5.8696646E-4 | 1.093061 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053573893 | 0.005536425 | 1.0334184 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.815282E-6 | 9.815282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.206484E-5 | 5.2064417E-5 | 1.2377182 | 1.0E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.120233E-4 | 5.520028E-4 | 1.0780815 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005108863 | 0.0052779946 | 1.0331055 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.714254E-6 | 9.714254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1631876E-5 | 5.163146E-5 | 1.2401905 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0675444E-4 | 5.4673414E-4 | 1.0788937 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050564157 | 0.005225556 | 1.0334506 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.611853E-6 | 9.611853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.119303E-5 | 5.1192616E-5 | 1.2427496 | 1.0E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.0141395E-4 | 5.413939E-4 | 1.0797344 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.005003252 | 0.0051724017 | 1.0338079 | 1.7E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.290761E-6 | 9.290761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.981696E-5 | 4.9816565E-5 | 1.2511393 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.846679E-4 | 5.1465334E-4 | 1.0618681 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.004836533 | 0.0049758563 | 1.0288063 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.351368E-6 | 8.351368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.579111E-5 | 3.579111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.356737E-4 | 4.5566497E-4 | 1.0458859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.004348601 | 0.0044382103 | 1.0206063 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.649534E-7 | 3.649534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9040986E-4 | 1.9040986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933775E-6 | 1.3933775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0402774E-5 | 7.040156E-5 | 1.7424933 | 3.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7314471E-4 | 2.4313258E-4 | 1.4042162 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021062563 | 0.0024355613 | 1.1563461 | 3.3E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020888906 | 0.021877808 | 1.047341 | 0.00101 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0402774E-5 | 7.040156E-5 | 1.7424933 | 3.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7314471E-4 | 2.4313258E-4 | 1.4042162 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021062563 | 0.0024355613 | 1.1563461 | 3.3E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020888906 | 0.021877808 | 1.047341 | 0.00101 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1078924E-5 | 3.1078715E-5 | 1.4743975 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.033569E-5 | 1.1033389E-4 | 1.2213764 | 2.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010993844 | 0.0012192525 | 1.109032 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.01094956 | 0.011394634 | 1.0406475 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1078924E-5 | 3.1078715E-5 | 1.4743975 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.033569E-5 | 1.1033389E-4 | 1.2213764 | 2.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010993844 | 0.0012192525 | 1.109032 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.01094956 | 0.011394634 | 1.0406475 | 4.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9582898E-5 | 2.9582703E-5 | 1.5106397 | 1.0E-5 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.392458E-5 | 1.03922896E-4 | 1.2382892 | 2.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010214035 | 0.0011312912 | 1.107585 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.010177026 | 0.01060265 | 1.0418221 | 4.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6852107E-5 | 2.6851938E-5 | 1.5933876 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.222184E-5 | 9.22204E-5 | 1.2769046 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.790399E-4 | 9.789519E-4 | 1.1136605 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008764841 | 0.009161335 | 1.0452368 | 4.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3736435E-5 | 2.3736296E-5 | 1.727981 | 1.0E-5 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.8869606E-5 | 7.886843E-5 | 1.3397139 | 2.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.165905E-4 | 7.965332E-4 | 1.1115597 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0062511545 | 0.007151507 | 0.0074692187 | 1.0444258 | 3.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1543924E-5 | 2.1543809E-5 | 1.8662466 | 1.0E-5 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9473514E-5 | 6.9472524E-5 | 1.4042367 | 2.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.022607E-4 | 6.822125E-4 | 1.1327529 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005253921 | 0.006014828 | 0.0062533845 | 1.0396614 | 2.4E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.792995E-4 | 7.49252E-4 | 1.1029773 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029081642 | 0.0030078732 | 1.0342859 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03495945 | 0.035355117 | 1.0113178 | 4.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28803277 | 0.28871626 | 1.002373 | 9.6E-4 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.792995E-4 | 7.49252E-4 | 1.1029773 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029081642 | 0.0030078732 | 1.0342859 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03495945 | 0.035355117 | 1.0113178 | 4.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28803277 | 0.28871626 | 1.002373 | 9.6E-4 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.792995E-4 | 7.49252E-4 | 1.1029773 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029081642 | 0.0030078732 | 1.0342859 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03495945 | 0.035355117 | 1.0113178 | 4.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28803277 | 0.28871626 | 1.002373 | 9.6E-4 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.792995E-4 | 7.49252E-4 | 1.1029773 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029081642 | 0.0030078732 | 1.0342859 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03495945 | 0.035355117 | 1.0113178 | 4.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28803277 | 0.28871626 | 1.002373 | 9.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3625865E-4 | 5.062281E-4 | 1.1603853 | 7.0E-5 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018683686 | 0.0019582005 | 1.0480803 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010316478 | 0.022516314 | 0.022887759 | 1.0164967 | 3.8E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.19864646 | 0.19935967 | 1.0035903 | 8.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9176442E-4 | 3.5174692E-4 | 1.2055854 | 6.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012498226 | 0.0013297226 | 1.0639291 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015111267 | 0.015446129 | 1.0221598 | 3.4E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.1398035 | 0.14046584 | 1.0047377 | 7.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9176442E-4 | 3.5174692E-4 | 1.2055854 | 6.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012498226 | 0.0013297226 | 1.0639291 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015111267 | 0.015446129 | 1.0221598 | 3.4E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.1398035 | 0.14046584 | 1.0047377 | 7.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.475132E-4 | 3.0749835E-4 | 1.2423513 | 6.0E-5 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010603402 | 0.0011402554 | 1.0753675 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012833538 | 0.013169175 | 1.0261531 | 3.4E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.12095261 | 0.121620685 | 1.0055234 | 7.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.4267804E-4 | 3.0266348E-4 | 1.2471812 | 6.0E-5 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010396347 | 0.0011195516 | 1.0768701 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012584379 | 0.0129201 | 1.0266776 | 3.4E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.11890134 | 0.11957098 | 1.0056318 | 7.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3636594E-4 | 2.9635176E-4 | 1.2537837 | 6.0E-5 | 4.4537184E-4 | 0.0010126041 | 0.0010925231 | 1.0789242 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012259026 | 0.012594858 | 1.0273947 | 3.4E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.11619705 | 0.11686874 | 1.0057806 | 7.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.3004347E-4 | 2.9002968E-4 | 1.2607603 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.855285E-4 | 0.0010654497 | 1.0810947 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005285311 | 0.011933032 | 0.012268975 | 1.0281523 | 3.4E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.1134514 | 0.11411631 | 1.0058608 | 7.5E-4 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.2290694E-4 | 2.8289357E-4 | 1.2691107 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.54966E-4 | 0.0010348896 | 1.0836927 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011564938 | 0.011901006 | 1.0290592 | 3.4E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.110330485 | 0.11098884 | 1.0059671 | 7.4E-4 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.165176E-4 | 2.765046E-4 | 1.2770537 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.276029E-4 | 0.0010075286 | 1.0861638 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005018219 | 0.011235274 | 0.011571455 | 1.0299219 | 3.4E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.107521445 | 0.10818188 | 1.0061424 | 7.4E-4 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9869267E-4 | 2.5868075E-4 | 1.3019139 | 6.0E-5 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.512622E-4 | 9.311941E-4 | 1.093898 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004746591 | 0.010314985 | 0.010641581 | 1.0316623 | 3.3E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.09968626 | 0.10034349 | 1.006593 | 7.3E-4 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.9113354E-4 | 2.5112208E-4 | 1.3138566 | 6.0E-5 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.188867E-4 | 8.9882116E-4 | 1.0976136 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009924473 | 0.010251198 | 1.0329212 | 3.3E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.09630829 | 0.09695895 | 1.006756 | 7.2E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8440706E-4 | 2.44396E-4 | 1.3253071 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.900767E-4 | 8.700135E-4 | 1.101176 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004516484 | 0.00957685 | 0.009903689 | 1.0341281 | 3.3E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.09326062 | 0.09391347 | 1.0070003 | 7.2E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7823259E-4 | 2.3822188E-4 | 1.3365788 | 6.0E-5 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.636304E-4 | 8.435693E-4 | 1.1046827 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009257647 | 0.009584592 | 1.0353162 | 3.3E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.090408444 | 0.09106335 | 1.0072439 | 7.2E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.734119E-4 | 2.3340149E-4 | 1.345937 | 6.0E-5 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.429822E-4 | 8.229228E-4 | 1.1075941 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004300386 | 0.009008363 | 0.00933539 | 1.0363026 | 3.3E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.08814441 | 0.088800944 | 1.0074484 | 7.2E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5629835E-4 | 2.0629054E-4 | 1.319851 | 5.0E-5 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.6967815E-4 | 7.3963124E-4 | 1.1044579 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0038772223 | 0.008122904 | 0.008410548 | 1.0354115 | 2.9E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.079841994 | 0.08042169 | 1.0072606 | 6.3E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0243695E-4 | 1.12435926E-4 | 1.0976111 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.3894164E-4 | 4.5893286E-4 | 1.0455441 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027402006 | 0.0053310315 | 0.0054802317 | 1.0279871 | 1.5E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.05330765 | 0.053601123 | 1.0055053 | 3.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.5453664E-5 | 5.5453664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3763691E-4 | 2.3763691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017620471 | 0.002889393 | 0.0029292773 | 1.0138037 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.029510457 | 0.029588096 | 1.002631 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9966661E-5 | 1.9966661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.55686E-5 | 8.55686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010413005 | 0.0010512901 | 1.0095934 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.011142471 | 0.011152359 | 1.0008875 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.7102206E-6 | 5.7102206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.4472145E-5 | 2.4472145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.979077E-4 | 2.979077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0033771547 | 0.0033771547 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077337E-7 | 8.077337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.214554E-5 | 4.214554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.959092E-4 | 4.959092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9822243E-4 | 2.882046E-4 | 1.4539454 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.492484E-4 | 9.79138E-4 | 1.1529466 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010290715 | 0.010736085 | 1.0432787 | 4.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.100158595 | 0.10104944 | 1.0088943 | 9.9E-4 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9822243E-4 | 2.882046E-4 | 1.4539454 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.492484E-4 | 9.79138E-4 | 1.1529466 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010290715 | 0.010736085 | 1.0432787 | 4.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.100158595 | 0.10104944 | 1.0088943 | 9.9E-4 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9822243E-4 | 2.882046E-4 | 1.4539454 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.492484E-4 | 9.79138E-4 | 1.1529466 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010290715 | 0.010736085 | 1.0432787 | 4.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.100158595 | 0.10104944 | 1.0088943 | 9.9E-4 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9822243E-4 | 2.882046E-4 | 1.4539454 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.492484E-4 | 9.79138E-4 | 1.1529466 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010290715 | 0.010736085 | 1.0432787 | 4.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.100158595 | 0.10104944 | 1.0088943 | 9.9E-4 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9822243E-4 | 2.882046E-4 | 1.4539454 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.492484E-4 | 9.79138E-4 | 1.1529466 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010290715 | 0.010736085 | 1.0432787 | 4.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.100158595 | 0.10104944 | 1.0088943 | 9.9E-4 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9795886E-4 | 2.8794105E-4 | 1.4545499 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.4811944E-4 | 9.780092E-4 | 1.1531503 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0102771 | 0.010722475 | 1.0433366 | 4.5E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.10003619 | 0.10092715 | 1.0089064 | 9.9E-4 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9795886E-4 | 2.8794105E-4 | 1.4545499 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.4811944E-4 | 9.780092E-4 | 1.1531503 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0102771 | 0.010722475 | 1.0433366 | 4.5E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.10003619 | 0.10092715 | 1.0089064 | 9.9E-4 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.978579E-4 | 2.8784008E-4 | 1.4547819 | 9.0E-5 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.47687E-4 | 9.775768E-4 | 1.1532285 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010271885 | 0.010717263 | 1.0433589 | 4.5E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.099989295 | 0.10088031 | 1.008911 | 9.9E-4 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9770827E-4 | 2.8769046E-4 | 1.4551262 | 9.0E-5 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.470462E-4 | 9.769361E-4 | 1.1533445 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010264156 | 0.010709538 | 1.043392 | 4.5E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.09991913 | 0.100810215 | 1.008918 | 9.9E-4 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9738606E-4 | 2.8736828E-4 | 1.4558692 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.456662E-4 | 9.7555626E-4 | 1.153595 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010247514 | 0.010692902 | 1.0434631 | 4.5E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.09976776 | 0.10065898 | 1.0089331 | 9.9E-4 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9669492E-4 | 2.866772E-4 | 1.4574714 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.4270607E-4 | 9.725965E-4 | 1.154135 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.010211812 | 0.010657217 | 1.0436167 | 4.5E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.09944244 | 0.10033399 | 1.0089655 | 9.9E-4 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9570552E-4 | 2.8568791E-4 | 1.4597846 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.3846855E-4 | 9.683595E-4 | 1.1549146 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.010160703 | 0.010606131 | 1.0438383 | 4.5E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.09897676 | 0.099868774 | 1.0090123 | 9.9E-4 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9500867E-4 | 2.8499114E-4 | 1.4614279 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.35484E-4 | 9.653754E-4 | 1.1554685 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.010124705 | 0.010570148 | 1.0439957 | 4.5E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.098648556 | 0.09954089 | 1.0090456 | 9.9E-4 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9452797E-4 | 2.8451046E-4 | 1.4625684 | 9.0E-5 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.334251E-4 | 9.633167E-4 | 1.1558528 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.01009987 | 0.0105453245 | 1.044105 | 4.5E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.09841975 | 0.09931231 | 1.009069 | 9.9E-4 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.9391939E-4 | 2.8390193E-4 | 1.4640204 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.308186E-4 | 9.607106E-4 | 1.1563421 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.01006843 | 0.010513899 | 1.0442442 | 4.5E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.09813521 | 0.09901904 | 1.0090063 | 9.8E-4 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.933743E-4 | 2.833569E-4 | 1.4653286 | 9.0E-5 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.28484E-4 | 9.5837633E-4 | 1.1567831 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.010040268 | 0.010485751 | 1.0443695 | 4.5E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.09787938 | 0.09876346 | 1.0090324 | 9.8E-4 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.8986214E-4 | 2.7984506E-4 | 1.4739381 | 9.0E-5 | 4.0357444E-4 | 8.1344135E-4 | 9.433356E-4 | 1.1596849 | 1.3E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009858795 | 0.010304359 | 1.0451945 | 4.5E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.09625453 | 0.09714019 | 1.0092013 | 9.8E-4 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6400099E-4 | 2.5398625E-4 | 1.5486872 | 9.0E-5 | 3.51473E-4 | 7.026721E-4 | 8.225878E-4 | 1.1706567 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008521536 | 0.008937958 | 1.0488669 | 4.2E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.08392591 | 0.0847229 | 1.0094963 | 8.7E-4 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.48573E-4 | 1.9856558E-4 | 1.3364849 | 5.0E-5 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.365861E-4 | 7.065415E-4 | 1.1098915 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003794643 | 0.007722938 | 0.0080106985 | 1.0372605 | 2.9E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.07626128 | 0.07684323 | 1.0076311 | 6.3E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.0285495E-4 | 1.1285392E-4 | 1.0972143 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.407325E-4 | 4.6072368E-4 | 1.045359 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028072202 | 0.005352728 | 0.005501925 | 1.027873 | 1.5E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.0535454 | 0.0538388 | 1.0054795 | 3.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.5653047E-5 | 5.5653047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3849125E-4 | 2.3849125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018082283 | 0.002899767 | 0.0029396508 | 1.0137542 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.0296305 | 0.02970813 | 1.0026199 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 2.0066525E-5 | 2.0066525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.5996566E-5 | 8.5996566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.001046506 | 0.0010564955 | 1.0095456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.01120361 | 0.011213498 | 1.0008826 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7251186E-6 | 5.7251186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4535993E-5 | 2.4535993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9868484E-4 | 2.9868484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003385527 | 0.003385527 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077337E-7 | 8.077337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.214554E-5 | 4.214554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.959092E-4 | 4.959092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0194071E-5 | 2.019397E-5 | 1.9809523 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3688204E-5 | 5.3687767E-5 | 1.2288847 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3178443E-4 | 6.8170467E-4 | 1.2819192 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005306147 | 0.0061615836 | 1.1612161 | 8.6E-4 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0194071E-5 | 2.019397E-5 | 1.9809523 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3688204E-5 | 5.3687767E-5 | 1.2288847 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3178443E-4 | 6.8170467E-4 | 1.2819192 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005306147 | 0.0061615836 | 1.1612161 | 8.6E-4 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.697206E-6 | 1.4697159E-5 | 3.1289153 | 1.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0130734E-5 | 3.0130532E-5 | 1.4967428 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.450654E-4 | 3.3504333E-4 | 1.3671589 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024480775 | 0.0028271473 | 1.1548438 | 3.8E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.697206E-6 | 1.4697159E-5 | 3.1289153 | 1.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0130734E-5 | 3.0130532E-5 | 1.4967428 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.450654E-4 | 3.3504333E-4 | 1.3671589 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024480775 | 0.0028271473 | 1.1548438 | 3.8E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5105995E-6 | 1.3510565E-5 | 3.8485065 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5045344E-5 | 2.5045194E-5 | 1.6646475 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8316251E-4 | 2.4315152E-4 | 1.327518 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018301985 | 0.002109686 | 1.1527089 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9284624E-6 | 1.29284335E-5 | 4.414751 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2550497E-5 | 2.2550372E-5 | 1.7967712 | 1.0E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5279233E-4 | 2.1278317E-4 | 1.3926299 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015269468 | 0.0017565956 | 1.1503974 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3295763E-6 | 1.2329553E-5 | 5.292616 | 1.0E-5 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.983864E-6 | 1.9983765E-5 | 2.0016062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.215474E-4 | 1.7154132E-4 | 1.4113122 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011741214 | 0.001214871 | 0.0013746766 | 1.1315413 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9595861E-6 | 1.1959566E-5 | 6.1031084 | 1.0E-5 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.398202E-6 | 1.839812E-5 | 2.190721 | 1.0E-5 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.022439E-4 | 1.5223879E-4 | 1.4889767 | 5.0E-5 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010220262 | 0.0011718728 | 1.1466173 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5442013E-6 | 1.1544186E-5 | 7.4758296 | 1.0E-5 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.617992E-6 | 1.6617925E-5 | 2.5110223 | 1.0E-5 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.057159E-5 | 1.3056757E-4 | 1.6205162 | 5.0E-5 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0547493E-4 | 9.4536215E-4 | 1.1736705 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1419373E-7 | 7.1419373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0608285E-6 | 3.0608285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.726527E-5 | 7.726378E-5 | 2.0733454 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.726215E-4 | 4.5259166E-4 | 1.2146151 | 8.0E-5 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3987504E-5 | 8.3985746E-5 | 1.9093091 | 4.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8850523E-4 | 2.5849204E-4 | 1.3712724 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002292808 | 0.0025023264 | 1.0913807 | 2.1E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022709556 | 0.02343275 | 1.0318455 | 7.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3987504E-5 | 8.3985746E-5 | 1.9093091 | 4.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8850523E-4 | 2.5849204E-4 | 1.3712724 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002292808 | 0.0025023264 | 1.0913807 | 2.1E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022709556 | 0.02343275 | 1.0318455 | 7.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3987504E-5 | 8.3985746E-5 | 1.9093091 | 4.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8850523E-4 | 2.5849204E-4 | 1.3712724 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002292808 | 0.0025023264 | 1.0913807 | 2.1E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022709556 | 0.02343275 | 1.0318455 | 7.4E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.536486E-5 | 3.5364606E-5 | 1.3942362 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0870212E-4 | 1.3869886E-4 | 1.2759535 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013226648 | 0.0014125458 | 1.0679544 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.0131501425 | 0.013406723 | 1.0195117 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.536486E-5 | 3.5364606E-5 | 1.3942362 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0870212E-4 | 1.3869886E-4 | 1.2759535 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013226648 | 0.0014125458 | 1.0679544 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.0131501425 | 0.013406723 | 1.0195117 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0672003E-5 | 3.0671796E-5 | 1.483736 | 1.0E-5 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.859136E-5 | 1.185887E-4 | 1.3386035 | 3.0E-5 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010780778 | 0.0011480025 | 1.0648603 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009036654 | 0.010729774 | 0.010917735 | 1.0175177 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7688297E-5 | 2.768812E-5 | 1.5653356 | 1.0E-5 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.5804826E-5 | 1.0580255E-4 | 1.3957232 | 3.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.2254084E-4 | 9.924762E-4 | 1.0758075 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007902439 | 0.009187974 | 0.00936632 | 1.0194108 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5272128E-5 | 2.5271975E-5 | 1.6547776 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.545037E-5 | 9.5448406E-5 | 1.4583327 | 3.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.965727E-4 | 8.565249E-4 | 1.0752627 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006928845 | 0.007937806 | 0.008066773 | 1.0162473 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3038227E-5 | 2.3038096E-5 | 1.7669655 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5876942E-5 | 7.5875825E-5 | 1.3579094 | 2.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.8009365E-4 | 7.300597E-4 | 1.0734693 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067805755 | 0.0068699652 | 1.0131832 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1521136E-5 | 2.152102E-5 | 1.86796 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9375383E-5 | 6.93744E-5 | 1.4050401 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.009831E-4 | 6.309651E-4 | 1.0498883 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059939586 | 0.0060535986 | 1.00995 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.997129E-6 | 1.899704E-5 | 2.1114557 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.855857E-5 | 5.85578E-5 | 1.5186714 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.693519E-4 | 4.993378E-4 | 1.063888 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.004683854 | 0.0047137137 | 1.006375 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5209696E-6 | 1.7520895E-5 | 2.3296058 | 1.0E-5 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.223234E-5 | 5.2231695E-5 | 1.6204748 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9236023E-4 | 4.2234847E-4 | 1.0764303 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0039168918 | 0.003946774 | 1.0076292 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.2848235E-6 | 1.6284761E-5 | 2.5911245 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6934691E-5 | 4.6934154E-5 | 1.7425168 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.278825E-4 | 3.578727E-4 | 1.0914662 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032741863 | 0.003304088 | 1.0091326 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.7093235E-6 | 1.4709276E-5 | 3.1234374 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0182668E-5 | 4.0182265E-5 | 1.9909292 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4569812E-4 | 2.656932E-4 | 1.0813807 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024544457 | 0.0024743967 | 1.0081285 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8524778E-6 | 2.8524778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2224857E-5 | 1.2224857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4882912E-4 | 1.4882912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014874566 | 0.0014874566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5641794E-8 | 4.5641794E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9560767E-7 | 1.9560767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3815214E-6 | 2.3815214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3815013E-5 | 2.3815013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894931E-6 | 4.3894775E-5 | 11.269717 | 4.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669248E-5 | 7.669148E-5 | 4.5943727 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321638E-4 | 4.031757E-4 | 1.9839727 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307347 | 0.002729313 | 1.3440028 | 7.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894931E-6 | 4.3894775E-5 | 11.269717 | 4.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669248E-5 | 7.669148E-5 | 4.5943727 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321638E-4 | 4.031757E-4 | 1.9839727 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307347 | 0.002729313 | 1.3440028 | 7.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894931E-6 | 4.3894775E-5 | 11.269717 | 4.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669248E-5 | 7.669148E-5 | 4.5943727 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321638E-4 | 4.031757E-4 | 1.9839727 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307347 | 0.002729313 | 1.3440028 | 7.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894931E-6 | 4.3894775E-5 | 11.269717 | 4.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669248E-5 | 7.669148E-5 | 4.5943727 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321638E-4 | 4.031757E-4 | 1.9839727 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307347 | 0.002729313 | 1.3440028 | 7.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894931E-6 | 4.3894775E-5 | 11.269717 | 4.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669248E-5 | 7.669148E-5 | 4.5943727 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321638E-4 | 4.031757E-4 | 1.9839727 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307347 | 0.002729313 | 1.3440028 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2032037E-6 | 1.2032037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.156578E-6 | 5.156578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277965E-5 | 7.277902E-5 | 1.1592773 | 1.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2763086E-4 | 7.2756805E-4 | 1.1592293 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2032037E-6 | 1.2032037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.156578E-6 | 5.156578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277965E-5 | 7.277902E-5 | 1.1592773 | 1.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2763086E-4 | 7.2756805E-4 | 1.1592293 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.411917E-7 | 8.411917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6051026E-6 | 3.6051026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.38913E-5 | 5.389086E-5 | 1.2278256 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.38832E-4 | 5.088013E-4 | 1.1594443 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.393256E-7 | 6.393256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7399642E-6 | 2.7399642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3358592E-5 | 4.3358257E-5 | 1.2997628 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.3353968E-4 | 3.8352297E-4 | 1.1498572 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.346353E-7 | 5.346353E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2912925E-6 | 2.2912925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7896162E-5 | 2.7896162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.7892992E-4 | 3.0892156E-4 | 1.1075239 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.533284E-7 | 3.533284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5142638E-6 | 1.5142638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8436014E-5 | 1.8436014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.843457E-4 | 1.9434385E-4 | 1.0542359 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0010034E-7 | 3.0010034E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2861436E-6 | 1.2861436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5658694E-5 | 1.5658694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5657666E-4 | 1.6657509E-4 | 1.0638565 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0224054E-7 | 2.0224054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.667449E-7 | 8.667449E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0552572E-5 | 1.0552572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0552118E-4 | 1.15520124E-4 | 1.0947577 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0640794E-7 | 1.0640794E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5603397E-7 | 4.5603397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.5522014E-6 | 5.5522014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5520828E-5 | 6.5520275E-5 | 1.1801026 | 1.0E-5 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.211474E-5 | 3.211452E-5 | 1.452177 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4774776E-5 | 1.2477193E-4 | 1.31651 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011534073 | 0.0012932458 | 1.1212395 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011487542 | 0.011942258 | 1.0395833 | 4.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.211474E-5 | 3.211452E-5 | 1.452177 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4774776E-5 | 1.2477193E-4 | 1.31651 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011534073 | 0.0012932458 | 1.1212395 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011487542 | 0.011942258 | 1.0395833 | 4.6E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1264614E-5 | 2.12645E-5 | 1.8877257 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8276317E-5 | 6.827535E-5 | 1.4142618 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.8765773E-4 | 6.576166E-4 | 1.1190469 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0052028033 | 0.005866151 | 0.006104743 | 1.0406727 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0806968E-5 | 2.080686E-5 | 1.9253188 | 1.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.631505E-5 | 6.6314125E-5 | 1.4318051 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.637918E-4 | 6.337523E-4 | 1.1240894 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056287125 | 0.005857418 | 1.0406319 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0806968E-5 | 2.080686E-5 | 1.9253188 | 1.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.631505E-5 | 6.6314125E-5 | 1.4318051 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.637918E-4 | 6.337523E-4 | 1.1240894 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056287125 | 0.005857418 | 1.0406319 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.290815E-6 | 1.629075E-5 | 2.5896091 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6960506E-5 | 3.696024E-5 | 1.3709029 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2822165E-4 | 3.582118E-4 | 1.0913717 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032800094 | 0.0033996159 | 1.0364653 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5178666E-6 | 1.5517811E-5 | 2.8122847 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3647934E-5 | 3.3647695E-5 | 1.4228599 | 1.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8790178E-4 | 3.0789603E-4 | 1.0694481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028778613 | 0.0029775735 | 1.0346481 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5196707E-6 | 1.4519625E-5 | 3.2125406 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9370016E-5 | 2.9369823E-5 | 1.5162518 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3582995E-4 | 2.5582523E-4 | 1.0847869 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023582994 | 0.0024381108 | 1.0338428 | 8.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1962962E-4 | 3.4962004E-4 | 1.0938287 | 3.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013691281 | 0.0014090734 | 1.0291756 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01654325 | 0.016730107 | 1.0112951 | 1.9E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15180732 | 0.15220597 | 1.0026261 | 4.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1962962E-4 | 3.4962004E-4 | 1.0938287 | 3.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013691281 | 0.0014090734 | 1.0291756 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01654325 | 0.016730107 | 1.0112951 | 1.9E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15180732 | 0.15220597 | 1.0026261 | 4.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1962962E-4 | 3.4962004E-4 | 1.0938287 | 3.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013691281 | 0.0014090734 | 1.0291756 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01654325 | 0.016730107 | 1.0112951 | 1.9E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15180732 | 0.15220597 | 1.0026261 | 4.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0866E-4 | 3.3865075E-4 | 1.0971643 | 3.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013221636 | 0.0013621107 | 1.0302135 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.01597995 | 0.016166914 | 1.0116999 | 1.9E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14710951 | 0.14751036 | 1.0027249 | 4.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0866E-4 | 3.3865075E-4 | 1.0971643 | 3.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013221636 | 0.0013621107 | 1.0302135 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.01597995 | 0.016166914 | 1.0116999 | 1.9E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14710951 | 0.14751036 | 1.0027249 | 4.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.9277836E-4 | 3.2276957E-4 | 1.1024365 | 3.0E-5 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012541661 | 0.001294116 | 1.0318537 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015163831 | 0.015350951 | 1.0123398 | 1.9E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.14024457 | 0.14064865 | 1.0028813 | 4.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.570995E-4 | 2.870918E-4 | 1.1166563 | 3.0E-5 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0011013921 | 0.001141348 | 1.0362777 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005788839 | 0.013327648 | 0.013515116 | 1.0140661 | 1.9E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.124494895 | 0.12490638 | 1.0033052 | 4.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3842347E-4 | 2.6841633E-4 | 1.1257966 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010214162 | 0.0010613753 | 1.0391213 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012365267 | 0.012552917 | 1.0151756 | 1.9E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.11626504 | 0.1166804 | 1.0035725 | 4.7E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2363296E-4 | 2.5362626E-4 | 1.1341184 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.5807563E-4 | 9.980373E-4 | 1.0417104 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011602459 | 0.011790254 | 1.0161859 | 1.9E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.109659255 | 0.11005991 | 1.0036536 | 4.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1817414E-4 | 2.481676E-4 | 1.1374749 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.3469763E-4 | 9.746602E-4 | 1.0427545 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011320818 | 0.011498781 | 1.0157199 | 1.8E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.10724457 | 0.10763738 | 1.0036628 | 4.4E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.1142187E-4 | 2.4141552E-4 | 1.1418664 | 3.0E-5 | 3.900265E-4 | 9.0577966E-4 | 9.4574346E-4 | 1.0441209 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047382377 | 0.010972339 | 0.011150363 | 1.0162249 | 1.8E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.104207225 | 0.10459242 | 1.0036964 | 4.3E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0314289E-4 | 2.331368E-4 | 1.1476493 | 3.0E-5 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.7032246E-4 | 9.102876E-4 | 1.04592 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010544898 | 0.010723 | 1.0168898 | 1.8E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.100509256 | 0.10089603 | 1.0038482 | 4.3E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8714639E-4 | 2.1714078E-4 | 1.1602724 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4636928E-4 | 8.018096E-4 | 8.4177754E-4 | 1.0498471 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009718448 | 0.009896698 | 1.0183414 | 1.8E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.09322722 | 0.093617134 | 1.0041823 | 4.3E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7652372E-4 | 2.0651842E-4 | 1.1699188 | 3.0E-5 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.56311E-4 | 7.9628074E-4 | 1.0528483 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009169294 | 0.009347643 | 1.0194508 | 1.8E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.08847886 | 0.088870816 | 1.0044299 | 4.3E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6868084E-4 | 1.9867579E-4 | 1.1778207 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.2271767E-4 | 7.6268875E-4 | 1.0553067 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008763658 | 0.008942081 | 1.0203594 | 1.8E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.08492185 | 0.08531534 | 1.0046334 | 4.3E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.6151571E-4 | 1.9151086E-4 | 1.1857104 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.920266E-4 | 7.3199894E-4 | 1.0577612 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003788775 | 0.008392936 | 0.0085714245 | 1.0212666 | 1.8E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.08162643 | 0.08202133 | 1.0048379 | 4.3E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5718745E-4 | 1.8718273E-4 | 1.190825 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.734866E-4 | 7.134597E-4 | 1.0593524 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008168926 | 0.008347456 | 1.0218548 | 1.8E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.07960837 | 0.08000414 | 1.0049714 | 4.3E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4620255E-4 | 1.7619817E-4 | 1.2051648 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.2643195E-4 | 6.664069E-4 | 1.0638137 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003495157 | 0.0076001794 | 0.0077788113 | 1.0235037 | 1.8E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07441236 | 0.07481036 | 1.0053486 | 4.3E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3488709E-4 | 1.6488305E-4 | 1.2223783 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.7795946E-4 | 6.1793637E-4 | 1.069169 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0070139845 | 0.007192722 | 1.025483 | 1.8E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.06900986 | 0.06941019 | 1.005801 | 4.3E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.949428E-5 | 1.0949329E-4 | 1.1004983 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.263344E-4 | 4.4632587E-4 | 1.0468916 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025967648 | 0.005178279 | 0.005327502 | 1.0288172 | 1.5E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.051701706 | 0.05199568 | 1.0056859 | 3.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.463784E-5 | 5.463784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.3414116E-4 | 2.3414116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016793669 | 0.002846944 | 0.0028868301 | 1.0140102 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.029011436 | 0.029089116 | 1.0026776 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.9449195E-5 | 1.9449195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.3351035E-5 | 8.3351035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 0.001014327 | 0.0010243169 | 1.0098487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010808837 | 0.010818729 | 1.0009152 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.3848457E-6 | 5.3848457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.3077706E-5 | 2.3077706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.8093494E-4 | 2.8093494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.003166753 | 0.003166753 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077337E-7 | 8.077337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.214554E-5 | 4.214554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.959092E-4 | 4.959092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6704418E-5 | 2.670425E-5 | 1.598634 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.158853E-5 | 1.1158567E-4 | 1.5587087 | 4.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.712655E-4 | 9.811696E-4 | 1.1261431 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008680878 | 0.009146798 | 1.053672 | 4.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6704418E-5 | 2.670425E-5 | 1.598634 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.158853E-5 | 1.1158567E-4 | 1.5587087 | 4.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.712655E-4 | 9.811696E-4 | 1.1261431 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008680878 | 0.009146798 | 1.053672 | 4.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6704418E-5 | 2.670425E-5 | 1.598634 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.158853E-5 | 1.1158567E-4 | 1.5587087 | 4.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.712655E-4 | 9.811696E-4 | 1.1261431 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008680878 | 0.009146798 | 1.053672 | 4.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1895719E-5 | 1.1895719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.098069E-5 | 8.097916E-5 | 1.5884281 | 3.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2051904E-4 | 6.7048805E-4 | 1.0805277 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006188473 | 0.0064269877 | 1.0385418 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1895719E-5 | 1.1895719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.098069E-5 | 8.097916E-5 | 1.5884281 | 3.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2051904E-4 | 6.7048805E-4 | 1.0805277 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006188473 | 0.0064269877 | 1.0385418 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0626429E-5 | 1.0626429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.554107E-5 | 7.5539705E-5 | 1.6587161 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.543264E-4 | 6.0429866E-4 | 1.0901495 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055299364 | 0.0057586646 | 1.0413618 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.1652055E-6 | 9.1652055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.9278882E-5 | 5.9278096E-5 | 1.5091594 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.781194E-4 | 5.181003E-4 | 1.0836211 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0041158604 | 0.004771305 | 0.004860875 | 1.0187727 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.412559E-6 | 8.412559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6053345E-5 | 5.6052624E-5 | 1.5547136 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3886472E-4 | 4.7884719E-4 | 1.0911043 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003753043 | 0.00438035 | 0.0044599995 | 1.0181834 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.847212E-6 | 7.847212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.36305E-5 | 4.363016E-5 | 1.2973392 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0937794E-4 | 4.2936977E-4 | 1.0488346 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.004086596 | 0.004136392 | 1.0121851 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.135336E-6 | 7.135336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.057967E-5 | 3.057967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.722473E-4 | 3.722473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037165761 | 0.003736502 | 1.0053613 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0841877E-6 | 5.0841877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1789203E-5 | 2.1789203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.6525278E-4 | 2.6525278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026495152 | 0.0026594885 | 1.0037643 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.6355553E-6 | 4.6355553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9866522E-5 | 1.9866522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4184959E-4 | 2.4184959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024160147 | 0.0024259905 | 1.004129 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.1601697E-6 | 4.1601697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7829187E-5 | 1.7829187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1705021E-4 | 2.1705021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021685306 | 0.0021685306 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6322976E-6 | 3.6322976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5566906E-5 | 1.5566906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8951207E-4 | 1.8951207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.00189365 | 0.00189365 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8905272E-6 | 2.8905272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2387923E-5 | 1.2387923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5081395E-4 | 1.5081395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015072577 | 0.0015072577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5144946E-6 | 1.5144946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4906817E-6 | 6.4906817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.902244E-5 | 7.902244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.900661E-4 | 7.900661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6045635E-7 | 2.6045635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162413E-6 | 1.1162413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590181E-5 | 1.3590181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.358963E-4 | 1.358963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8684197E-5 | 2.8684011E-5 | 1.5352017 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.007272E-5 | 1.10070316E-4 | 1.3746295 | 3.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7445695E-4 | 0.0010843498 | 1.1127734 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0097026955 | 0.010059203 | 1.036743 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8684197E-5 | 2.8684011E-5 | 1.5352017 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.007272E-5 | 1.10070316E-4 | 1.3746295 | 3.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7445695E-4 | 0.0010843498 | 1.1127734 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0097026955 | 0.010059203 | 1.036743 | 3.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8684197E-5 | 2.8684011E-5 | 1.5352017 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.007272E-5 | 1.10070316E-4 | 1.3746295 | 3.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7445695E-4 | 0.0010843498 | 1.1127734 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0097026955 | 0.010059203 | 1.036743 | 3.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8684197E-5 | 2.8684011E-5 | 1.5352017 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.007272E-5 | 1.10070316E-4 | 1.3746295 | 3.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7445695E-4 | 0.0010843498 | 1.1127734 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0097026955 | 0.010059203 | 1.036743 | 3.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7351149E-5 | 2.7350974E-5 | 1.5763208 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.435998E-5 | 9.435849E-5 | 1.2689419 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.049628E-4 | 9.948814E-4 | 1.0993615 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009013463 | 0.009330578 | 1.0351825 | 3.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7351149E-5 | 2.7350974E-5 | 1.5763208 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.435998E-5 | 9.435849E-5 | 1.2689419 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.049628E-4 | 9.948814E-4 | 1.0993615 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009013463 | 0.009330578 | 1.0351825 | 3.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6821688E-5 | 2.682152E-5 | 1.5944606 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.2090996E-5 | 9.208955E-5 | 1.2774072 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.773603E-4 | 9.572901E-4 | 1.0911026 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00781795 | 0.008739621 | 0.009017174 | 1.031758 | 2.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6368234E-5 | 2.636807E-5 | 1.6109295 | 1.0E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.014772E-5 | 9.014631E-5 | 1.2850926 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.537196E-4 | 9.3365135E-4 | 1.0936276 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007607299 | 0.008505037 | 0.008782656 | 1.0326416 | 2.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5893926E-5 | 2.5893767E-5 | 1.6291612 | 1.0E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.811508E-5 | 8.811372E-5 | 1.2936008 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.289912E-4 | 9.0892485E-4 | 1.0964228 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007386771 | 0.008259604 | 0.008527374 | 1.0324192 | 2.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.541613E-5 | 2.5415975E-5 | 1.6486613 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6067485E-5 | 8.606617E-5 | 1.3027008 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.040803E-4 | 8.74024E-4 | 1.086986 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008012305 | 0.008260302 | 1.030952 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5199542E-5 | 2.519939E-5 | 1.6579045 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.51393E-5 | 8.5137995E-5 | 1.3070143 | 2.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.927879E-4 | 8.6273236E-4 | 1.088226 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.00790019 | 0.008148214 | 1.0313948 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4992583E-5 | 1.4992583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.4252374E-5 | 7.425173E-5 | 1.1556263 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8199734E-4 | 8.419505E-4 | 1.0766666 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007793046 | 0.0080311755 | 1.0305567 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4690597E-5 | 1.4690597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.2958214E-5 | 7.2957584E-5 | 1.1588255 | 1.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.662521E-4 | 8.262062E-4 | 1.0782433 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.007636686 | 0.007835158 | 1.0259894 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4464671E-5 | 1.4464671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.199E-5 | 7.198939E-5 | 1.1613064 | 1.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.544724E-4 | 8.144271E-4 | 1.0794657 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.0075196917 | 0.0077181878 | 1.0263969 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4294537E-5 | 1.4294537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.126089E-5 | 7.1260285E-5 | 1.1632262 | 1.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.456016E-4 | 7.955643E-4 | 1.0670099 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.00743158 | 0.0076201684 | 1.0253766 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4022606E-5 | 1.4022606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.0095528E-5 | 7.009493E-5 | 1.1663917 | 1.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.314229E-4 | 7.8138633E-4 | 1.0683099 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072907326 | 0.0074793473 | 1.0258704 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2657724E-5 | 1.2657724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.424629E-5 | 6.4245745E-5 | 1.1843344 | 1.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.6025375E-4 | 6.9023395E-4 | 1.045407 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.0065834746 | 0.006732487 | 1.0226343 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0291135E-5 | 1.0291135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.410415E-5 | 4.410415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3684076E-4 | 5.5683E-4 | 1.037235 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005355951 | 0.005445469 | 1.0167137 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.649534E-7 | 3.649534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9040986E-4 | 1.9040986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933775E-6 | 1.3933775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8791152E-5 | 1.8791152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.053168E-5 | 9.053088E-5 | 1.1241647 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.801497E-4 | 0.0010400909 | 1.0611551 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008707083 | 0.009769831 | 0.01010651 | 1.034461 | 3.4E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0981494E-5 | 1.0981494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7063095E-5 | 4.7063095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.729136E-4 | 5.929021E-4 | 1.0348892 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057213344 | 0.0059102476 | 1.0330191 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0981494E-5 | 1.0981494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7063095E-5 | 4.7063095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.729136E-4 | 5.929021E-4 | 1.0348892 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057213344 | 0.0059102476 | 1.0330191 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781261E-6 | 4.781261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0491088E-5 | 2.0491088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.494735E-4 | 2.494735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024941957 | 0.0025739963 | 1.0319945 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781261E-6 | 4.781261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0491088E-5 | 2.0491088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.494735E-4 | 2.494735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024941957 | 0.0025739963 | 1.0319945 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781261E-6 | 4.781261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0491088E-5 | 2.0491088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.494735E-4 | 2.494735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024941957 | 0.0025739963 | 1.0319945 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.764118E-6 | 4.764118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0417618E-5 | 2.0417618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.485792E-4 | 2.485792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022418506 | 0.002485273 | 0.002565074 | 1.0321096 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.27394E-6 | 4.27394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8316885E-5 | 1.8316885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2300807E-4 | 2.2300807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022300808 | 0.002289947 | 1.0268449 | 6.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.024048E-4 | 3.024048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012954032 | 0.0013053903 | 1.0077096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015662482 | 0.015751073 | 1.0056562 | 9.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14369518 | 0.14390069 | 1.0014302 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.024048E-4 | 3.024048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012954032 | 0.0013053903 | 1.0077096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015662482 | 0.015751073 | 1.0056562 | 9.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14369518 | 0.14390069 | 1.0014302 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.024048E-4 | 3.024048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012954032 | 0.0013053903 | 1.0077096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015662482 | 0.015751073 | 1.0056562 | 9.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14369518 | 0.14390069 | 1.0014302 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.9026208E-4 | 2.9026208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012434131 | 0.0012534007 | 1.0080323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.015038359 | 0.015127005 | 1.0058947 | 9.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.13841066 | 0.13861744 | 1.0014939 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.9026208E-4 | 2.9026208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012434131 | 0.0012534007 | 1.0080323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.015038359 | 0.015127005 | 1.0058947 | 9.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.13841066 | 0.13861744 | 1.0014939 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.7034973E-4 | 2.7034973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011581522 | 0.0011681407 | 1.0086244 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.014013996 | 0.014102736 | 1.0063322 | 9.0E-5 | 0.05425003 | 0.12964083 | 0.12984101 | 1.0015441 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5275897E-4 | 2.5275897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010828268 | 0.001092816 | 1.0092251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.013108129 | 0.013196949 | 1.006776 | 9.0E-5 | 0.049677886 | 0.121748954 | 0.12194217 | 1.001587 | 2.2E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3342874E-4 | 2.3342874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7524657E-4 | 0.0010000478 | 0.0010100378 | 1.0099895 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.012111731 | 0.012200641 | 1.0073408 | 9.0E-5 | 0.04466656 | 0.113020435 | 0.113215566 | 1.0017265 | 2.2E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2901033E-4 | 2.2901033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.811261E-4 | 9.911163E-4 | 1.0101824 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.011883887 | 0.011972818 | 1.0074832 | 9.0E-5 | 0.043698758 | 0.111021064 | 0.11121664 | 1.0017616 | 2.2E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7263705E-4 | 1.7263705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.3966413E-4 | 7.496567E-4 | 1.0135096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008968438 | 0.00903781 | 1.0077351 | 7.0E-5 | 0.031450346 | 0.085037135 | 0.08521098 | 1.0020443 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.669064E-4 | 1.669064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.1511784E-4 | 7.2511064E-4 | 1.0139737 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008672002 | 0.008741395 | 1.0080019 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03011414 | 0.08234751 | 0.08252186 | 1.0021173 | 1.9E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.6107068E-4 | 1.6107068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.901211E-4 | 7.001142E-4 | 1.0144802 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008370039 | 0.008439453 | 1.0082932 | 7.0E-5 | 0.028868021 | 0.079635754 | 0.07981063 | 1.0021958 | 1.9E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4708884E-4 | 1.4708884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.3022884E-4 | 6.4022257E-4 | 1.0158572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.0076461467 | 0.0077156117 | 1.0090849 | 7.0E-5 | 0.025707912 | 0.07306914 | 0.07324526 | 1.0024103 | 1.9E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3898777E-4 | 1.3898777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.9552625E-4 | 6.0552027E-4 | 1.0167819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0072265156 | 0.00729601 | 1.0096165 | 7.0E-5 | 0.024434982 | 0.069335446 | 0.06951227 | 1.0025502 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3303515E-4 | 1.3303515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.700264E-4 | 5.8002066E-4 | 1.0175331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.006918068 | 0.006987584 | 1.0100484 | 7.0E-5 | 0.023491086 | 0.06657681 | 0.066754155 | 1.0026639 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2534937E-4 | 1.2534937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.3710124E-4 | 5.470959E-4 | 1.0186085 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.006519675 | 0.006589218 | 1.0106667 | 7.0E-5 | 0.022230545 | 0.06296408 | 0.06314212 | 1.0028276 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.998728E-5 | 9.998728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.2844666E-4 | 4.3844237E-4 | 1.0233301 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0052038883 | 0.0052735237 | 1.0133815 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017628696 | 0.05074215 | 0.050913014 | 1.0033673 | 1.8E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.402073E-5 | 8.402073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.6003915E-4 | 3.7003556E-4 | 1.0277648 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004374676 | 0.0044443696 | 1.0159311 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01466633 | 0.042956006 | 0.043118704 | 1.0037875 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.606507E-5 | 7.606507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.2595248E-4 | 3.359492E-4 | 1.0306693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0039612567 | 0.0040309792 | 1.0176011 | 7.0E-5 | 0.013589768 | 0.03908015 | 0.039243504 | 1.0041801 | 1.7E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.9076352E-5 | 5.9076352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.5315981E-4 | 2.6315727E-4 | 1.0394907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030778677 | 0.0031476521 | 1.022673 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011140184 | 0.030697236 | 0.03084263 | 1.0047364 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1987816E-5 | 3.1987816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3708345E-4 | 1.3708345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016677143 | 0.0016976643 | 1.0179586 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.016834227 | 0.016893217 | 1.0035042 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 8.070248E-6 | 8.070248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.4586323E-5 | 3.4586323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.2100725E-4 | 4.3100305E-4 | 1.0237426 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002563781 | 0.0045088404 | 0.0045187953 | 1.0022079 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 3.0202636E-6 | 3.0202636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2943922E-5 | 1.2943922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5758091E-4 | 1.5758091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.00176458 | 0.00176458 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.3642414E-7 | 3.3642414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.4418171E-6 | 1.4418171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.7553995E-5 | 1.7553995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.0746855E-4 | 2.0746855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1719958E-5 | 2.1719958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.308261E-5 | 9.308261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011327638 | 0.0011527411 | 1.017636 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011277084 | 0.01150449 | 1.0201653 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1719958E-5 | 2.1719958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.308261E-5 | 9.308261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011327638 | 0.0011527411 | 1.017636 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011277084 | 0.01150449 | 1.0201653 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1719958E-5 | 2.1719958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.308261E-5 | 9.308261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011327638 | 0.0011527411 | 1.017636 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011277084 | 0.01150449 | 1.0201653 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6830916E-5 | 1.6830916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2130846E-5 | 7.2130846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.779006E-4 | 8.878918E-4 | 1.0113808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008750377 | 0.00891889 | 1.0192578 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6830916E-5 | 1.6830916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2130846E-5 | 7.2130846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.779006E-4 | 8.878918E-4 | 1.0113808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008750377 | 0.00891889 | 1.0192578 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.556749E-5 | 1.556749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.671644E-5 | 6.671644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.120304E-4 | 8.2202227E-4 | 1.0123048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008096582 | 0.008235449 | 1.0171512 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4780623E-5 | 1.4780623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.334433E-5 | 6.334433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7100436E-4 | 7.809967E-4 | 1.0129601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076892064 | 0.007818206 | 1.0167768 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.429045E-5 | 1.429045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.1243685E-5 | 6.1243685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.454466E-4 | 7.5543916E-4 | 1.0134047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074353456 | 0.0075445273 | 1.0146842 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.228078E-6 | 6.228078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6691658E-5 | 2.6691658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.249525E-4 | 3.3494926E-4 | 1.0307637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032477179 | 0.0032776203 | 1.0092072 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.795874E-6 | 4.795874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0553745E-5 | 2.0553745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5024184E-4 | 2.6023935E-4 | 1.0399513 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025024186 | 0.0025223684 | 1.0079722 | 2.0E-5 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.810909E-5 | 2.810891E-5 | 1.5521988 | 1.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.76082E-5 | 9.760665E-5 | 1.2576847 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.44491E-4 | 0.001034406 | 1.0951995 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.00940689 | 0.00962482 | 1.0231671 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.810909E-5 | 2.810891E-5 | 1.5521988 | 1.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.76082E-5 | 9.760665E-5 | 1.2576847 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.44491E-4 | 0.001034406 | 1.0951995 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.00940689 | 0.00962482 | 1.0231671 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.810909E-5 | 2.810891E-5 | 1.5521988 | 1.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.76082E-5 | 9.760665E-5 | 1.2576847 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.44491E-4 | 0.001034406 | 1.0951995 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.00940689 | 0.00962482 | 1.0231671 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.113851E-5 | 2.1138398E-5 | 1.8977761 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.773561E-5 | 6.7734654E-5 | 1.4189544 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.810289E-4 | 6.4099405E-4 | 1.1032051 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005795394 | 0.005944525 | 1.0257326 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.113851E-5 | 2.1138398E-5 | 1.8977761 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.773561E-5 | 6.7734654E-5 | 1.4189544 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.810289E-4 | 6.4099405E-4 | 1.1032051 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005795394 | 0.005944525 | 1.0257326 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.172711E-6 | 1.917262E-5 | 2.0901802 | 1.0E-5 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9311035E-5 | 5.931025E-5 | 1.508743 | 2.0E-5 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7850827E-4 | 5.1848916E-4 | 1.0835531 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004774944 | 0.0049043233 | 1.0270954 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.717644E-6 | 1.7717566E-5 | 2.2957222 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.30752E-5 | 5.307454E-5 | 1.6046627 | 2.0E-5 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.0261718E-4 | 4.4260107E-4 | 1.0993099 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.0040189847 | 0.0041484623 | 1.0322164 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.739869E-6 | 1.6739801E-5 | 2.4836984 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8884839E-5 | 4.888426E-5 | 1.6923848 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5161694E-4 | 3.9160287E-4 | 1.1137202 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.0035106877 | 0.0035904068 | 1.0227076 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.8375667E-6 | 1.5837508E-5 | 2.7130325 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5017907E-5 | 3.5017656E-5 | 1.3997037 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.0455104E-4 | 3.345419E-4 | 1.0984757 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.0030413982 | 0.0030912464 | 1.0163898 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.040831E-6 | 1.504078E-5 | 2.98379 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1603386E-5 | 3.160317E-5 | 1.4628804 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6298992E-4 | 2.8298466E-4 | 1.0760286 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026268347 | 0.0026667295 | 1.0151875 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.8462063E-6 | 1.3846168E-5 | 3.5999546 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6483638E-5 | 2.6483474E-5 | 1.6066521 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0067014E-4 | 2.2066612E-4 | 1.0996461 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0020049207 | 0.0020248808 | 1.0099554 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8985912E-6 | 1.2898562E-5 | 4.449942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2422475E-5 | 2.2422351E-5 | 1.8049825 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5123335E-4 | 1.7123033E-4 | 1.132226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.001511326 | 0.0015312957 | 1.0132134 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2545842E-6 | 1.2254562E-5 | 5.4353976 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.662469E-6 | 1.9662373E-5 | 2.0349221 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.17634394E-4 | 1.3763204E-4 | 1.1699983 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011757395 | 0.001195716 | 1.0169905 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5426044E-6 | 1.1542589E-5 | 7.4825335 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6111456E-6 | 1.661108E-5 | 2.512587 | 1.0E-5 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.048788E-5 | 9.0487076E-5 | 1.1242323 | 1.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.046024E-4 | 8.145944E-4 | 1.0124185 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4120554E-7 | 4.4120554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8908798E-6 | 1.8908798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3021264E-5 | 2.3021264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3019333E-4 | 2.3019333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.943198E-8 | 5.943198E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5470845E-7 | 2.5470845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.101072E-6 | 3.101072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1010364E-5 | 3.1010364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2517377E-5 | 3.2517153E-5 | 1.4440914 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.649952E-5 | 1.1649759E-4 | 1.2072349 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011742559 | 0.0012441736 | 1.0595422 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681426 | 0.011898857 | 1.0186133 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2517377E-5 | 3.2517153E-5 | 1.4440914 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.649952E-5 | 1.1649759E-4 | 1.2072349 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011742559 | 0.0012441736 | 1.0595422 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681426 | 0.011898857 | 1.0186133 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2517377E-5 | 3.2517153E-5 | 1.4440914 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.649952E-5 | 1.1649759E-4 | 1.2072349 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011742559 | 0.0012441736 | 1.0595422 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681426 | 0.011898857 | 1.0186133 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1353242E-5 | 2.1353242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.151072E-5 | 1.0150981E-4 | 1.1092668 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011135804 | 0.0011735136 | 1.0538203 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.0110808285 | 0.011288501 | 1.0187416 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1353242E-5 | 2.1353242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.151072E-5 | 1.0150981E-4 | 1.1092668 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011135804 | 0.0011735136 | 1.0538203 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.0110808285 | 0.011288501 | 1.0187416 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.057664E-5 | 2.057664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.8182656E-5 | 9.818177E-5 | 1.113391 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010731015 | 0.0011330371 | 1.0558527 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010679985 | 0.010887743 | 1.0194529 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9926001E-5 | 1.9926001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.539439E-5 | 9.539354E-5 | 1.1170937 | 1.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010391873 | 0.0010991249 | 1.0576774 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.010344038 | 0.010551866 | 1.0200915 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9057792E-5 | 1.9057792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.167373E-5 | 9.167291E-5 | 1.1224284 | 1.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.939303E-4 | 0.0010538705 | 1.0603064 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009895569 | 0.01010349 | 1.0210116 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.852655E-5 | 1.852655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.939712E-5 | 8.939633E-5 | 1.1259391 | 1.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.662374E-4 | 0.0010261794 | 1.0620365 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.009621068 | 0.009829047 | 1.021617 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8101353E-5 | 1.8101353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.757496E-5 | 8.757418E-5 | 1.1288975 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.44072E-4 | 0.0010040153 | 1.0634944 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009401309 | 0.009609335 | 1.0221273 | 2.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7819159E-5 | 1.7819159E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.636562E-5 | 8.636485E-5 | 1.130939 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.293609E-4 | 9.893051E-4 | 1.0645005 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.009255433 | 0.00946349 | 1.0224794 | 2.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7496897E-5 | 1.7496897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.4984586E-5 | 8.498383E-5 | 1.1333507 | 1.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.12561E-4 | 9.7250624E-4 | 1.0656891 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.009088821 | 0.0092870025 | 1.021805 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7183778E-5 | 1.7183778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.364272E-5 | 8.3641986E-5 | 1.1357807 | 1.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.962374E-4 | 9.561836E-4 | 1.0668865 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008926907 | 0.009125122 | 1.0222042 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6314882E-5 | 1.6314882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.991908E-5 | 7.991838E-5 | 1.1430125 | 1.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.509382E-4 | 9.1088715E-4 | 1.0704504 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008477445 | 0.008675749 | 1.023392 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.581999E-5 | 1.581999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.7798224E-5 | 7.7797544E-5 | 1.1474864 | 1.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.251366E-4 | 8.750953E-4 | 1.060546 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008221365 | 0.008409802 | 1.0229205 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5137836E-5 | 1.5137836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.487486E-5 | 7.487422E-5 | 1.154133 | 1.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.8957103E-4 | 8.3953154E-4 | 1.0632756 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007868283 | 0.008056789 | 1.0239576 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2635898E-5 | 1.2635898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4152755E-5 | 6.415221E-5 | 1.1846528 | 1.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.5911567E-4 | 6.890959E-4 | 1.0454855 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.006572161 | 0.0067211753 | 1.0226735 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0291135E-5 | 1.0291135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.410415E-5 | 4.410415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3684076E-4 | 5.5683E-4 | 1.037235 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005355951 | 0.005445469 | 1.0167137 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.649534E-7 | 3.649534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9040986E-4 | 1.9040986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933775E-6 | 1.3933775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 8.248561E-4 | 8.248561E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0035309424 | 0.0035309424 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028586963 | 0.04226448 | 0.042331524 | 1.0015862 | 7.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.3440781 | 0.34420273 | 1.0003622 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.159955E-4 | 3.159955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013536732 | 0.0013536732 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0099994885 | 0.016425392 | 0.0164549 | 1.0017965 | 3.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.15298784 | 0.15303867 | 1.0003322 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8613317E-4 | 1.8613317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.97471E-4 | 7.97471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009666195 | 0.009695905 | 1.0030736 | 3.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09348268 | 0.09353707 | 1.0005819 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.830832E-4 | 1.830832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.844076E-4 | 7.844076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009508561 | 0.009538276 | 1.0031251 | 3.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09213305 | 0.092187524 | 1.0005913 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.8068106E-4 | 1.8068106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.741188E-4 | 7.741188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009384381 | 0.009414099 | 1.0031668 | 3.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.091023915 | 0.09107845 | 1.0005991 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7824024E-4 | 1.7824024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.6366425E-4 | 7.6366425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009258197 | 0.009287919 | 1.0032104 | 3.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08990042 | 0.08995503 | 1.0006074 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7500465E-4 | 1.7500465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.4980553E-4 | 7.4980553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045870654 | 0.009090899 | 0.009120626 | 1.00327 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.08841595 | 0.088470645 | 1.0006186 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7366528E-4 | 1.7366528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.4406865E-4 | 7.4406865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045492216 | 0.009021671 | 0.0090514 | 1.0032953 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.08781371 | 0.087868445 | 1.0006232 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.7311209E-4 | 1.7311209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.416992E-4 | 7.416992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045347405 | 0.00899307 | 0.0090228 | 1.0033059 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.08755842 | 0.087613165 | 1.0006253 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.7251438E-4 | 1.7251438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.3913904E-4 | 7.3913904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008962157 | 0.008991888 | 1.0033174 | 3.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.08728203 | 0.0873368 | 1.0006274 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.7001366E-4 | 1.7001366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.2842767E-4 | 7.2842767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004455241 | 0.00883281 | 0.008862546 | 1.0033665 | 3.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.08612058 | 0.08617541 | 1.0006367 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5469224E-4 | 1.5469224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.6279905E-4 | 6.6279905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040752706 | 0.008039898 | 0.008069657 | 1.0037014 | 3.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.078991994 | 0.079047255 | 1.0006995 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.5203818E-4 | 1.5203818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.514302E-4 | 6.514302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004005129 | 0.007902495 | 0.007932258 | 1.0037663 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07775675 | 0.07781208 | 1.0007117 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4896118E-4 | 1.4896118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.382496E-4 | 6.382496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003934157 | 0.0077431714 | 0.0077729393 | 1.0038444 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.07630314 | 0.076358564 | 1.0007263 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4592592E-4 | 1.4592592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.252476E-4 | 6.252476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003865065 | 0.007585985 | 0.0076157576 | 1.0039246 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.07486079 | 0.074916296 | 1.0007415 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.14751005E-4 | 1.14751005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.9169746E-4 | 4.9169746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005970018 | 0.005999839 | 1.0049951 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.059868876 | 0.059925284 | 1.0009422 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.13011636E-4 | 1.13011636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.8424577E-4 | 4.8424577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0058797877 | 0.0059096115 | 1.0050722 | 3.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.05902 | 0.05907646 | 1.0009567 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.427879E-5 | 9.427879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 4.039894E-4 | 4.039894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002691582 | 0.0049074893 | 0.004927391 | 1.0040554 | 2.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.04972446 | 0.04976247 | 1.0007645 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.792758E-5 | 8.792758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.767781E-4 | 3.767781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0045776335 | 0.004597542 | 1.0043491 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.046399802 | 0.046437945 | 1.0008221 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.932308E-5 | 6.932308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.9706513E-4 | 2.9706513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.0036107737 | 0.0036307015 | 1.005519 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.03675169 | 0.03679022 | 1.0010483 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.185713E-5 | 4.185713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7937536E-4 | 1.7937536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021817088 | 0.002191687 | 1.0045736 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.02258933 | 0.022618653 | 1.0012981 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.933704E-5 | 1.933704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.28704E-5 | 8.28704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 0.0010084807 | 0.0010184706 | 1.0099059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.010832167 | 0.010842059 | 1.0009131 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7251186E-6 | 5.7251186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4535993E-5 | 2.4535993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9868484E-4 | 2.9868484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003385527 | 0.003385527 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077337E-7 | 8.077337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.214554E-5 | 4.214554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.959092E-4 | 4.959092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9792914E-6 | 6.9792914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9911107E-5 | 2.9911107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6414276E-4 | 3.8413546E-4 | 1.0549035 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389788 | 0.0037983966 | 1.0438083 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9792914E-6 | 6.9792914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9911107E-5 | 2.9911107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6414276E-4 | 3.8413546E-4 | 1.0549035 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389788 | 0.0037983966 | 1.0438083 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9792914E-6 | 6.9792914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9911107E-5 | 2.9911107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6414276E-4 | 3.8413546E-4 | 1.0549035 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389788 | 0.0037983966 | 1.0438083 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9792914E-6 | 6.9792914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9911107E-5 | 2.9911107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6414276E-4 | 3.8413546E-4 | 1.0549035 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389788 | 0.0037983966 | 1.0438083 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9792914E-6 | 6.9792914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9911107E-5 | 2.9911107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6414276E-4 | 3.8413546E-4 | 1.0549035 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389788 | 0.0037983966 | 1.0438083 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9792914E-6 | 6.9792914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9911107E-5 | 2.9911107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6414276E-4 | 3.8413546E-4 | 1.0549035 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389788 | 0.0037983966 | 1.0438083 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6161957E-6 | 1.6161957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9265348E-6 | 6.9265348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.432733E-5 | 8.432733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013833415 | 8.4295677E-4 | 9.5286407E-4 | 1.130383 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5515168E-6 | 1.5515168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.649341E-6 | 6.649341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.095275E-5 | 8.095275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013506424 | 8.0923556E-4 | 9.191465E-4 | 1.1358207 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5483112E-6 | 1.5483112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.6356024E-6 | 6.6356024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.0785496E-5 | 8.0785496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013481114 | 8.0756424E-4 | 9.174754E-4 | 1.1361021 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.423357E-6 | 1.423357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.1000874E-6 | 6.1000874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.426605E-5 | 7.426605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818627 | 7.4241427E-4 | 8.4234006E-4 | 1.1345956 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.400307E-6 | 1.400307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 6.001302E-6 | 6.001302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.306342E-5 | 7.306342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012692984 | 7.303959E-4 | 8.303229E-4 | 1.1368121 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3352202E-6 | 1.3352202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.7223597E-6 | 5.7223597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.966752E-5 | 6.966752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012333926 | 6.964585E-4 | 7.9638883E-4 | 1.1434835 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2514811E-6 | 1.2514811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.3634794E-6 | 5.3634794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.5298416E-5 | 6.5298416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011848784 | 6.5279385E-4 | 7.5272855E-4 | 1.1530877 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.143124E-6 | 1.143124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.8990937E-6 | 4.8990937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9644844E-5 | 5.9644844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001115068 | 5.962895E-4 | 6.862359E-4 | 1.1508434 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.586104E-7 | 9.586104E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.108324E-6 | 4.108324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9385186E-5 | 5.00177E-5 | 5.00177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.934074E-4 | 5.0006516E-4 | 5.700301E-4 | 1.1399118 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.5692014E-7 | 7.5692014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2439395E-6 | 3.2439395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9494254E-5 | 3.9494254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9487283E-4 | 4.5484913E-4 | 1.1518877 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6661395E-7 | 4.6661395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9997726E-6 | 1.9997726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.434696E-5 | 2.434696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.434432E-4 | 2.8343347E-4 | 1.1642693 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5612838E-7 | 1.5612838E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6912145E-7 | 6.6912145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.146524E-6 | 8.146524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.146237E-5 | 9.146156E-5 | 1.1227461 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.048429E-4 | 2.3483676E-4 | 1.1464237 | 3.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7760383E-4 | 9.075775E-4 | 1.0341539 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010632774 | 0.010711923 | 1.0074439 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.1032753 | 0.10340981 | 1.0013025 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.048429E-4 | 2.3483676E-4 | 1.1464237 | 3.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7760383E-4 | 9.075775E-4 | 1.0341539 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010632774 | 0.010711923 | 1.0074439 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.1032753 | 0.10340981 | 1.0013025 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.048429E-4 | 2.3483676E-4 | 1.1464237 | 3.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7760383E-4 | 9.075775E-4 | 1.0341539 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010632774 | 0.010711923 | 1.0074439 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.1032753 | 0.10340981 | 1.0013025 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.048429E-4 | 2.3483676E-4 | 1.1464237 | 3.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7760383E-4 | 9.075775E-4 | 1.0341539 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010632774 | 0.010711923 | 1.0074439 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.1032753 | 0.10340981 | 1.0013025 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8833681E-4 | 1.8833681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.069083E-4 | 8.069083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009779981 | 0.009829492 | 1.0050625 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09554186 | 0.09564135 | 1.0010413 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8833681E-4 | 1.8833681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.069083E-4 | 8.069083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009779981 | 0.009829492 | 1.0050625 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09554186 | 0.09564135 | 1.0010413 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8639748E-4 | 1.8639748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.9860195E-4 | 7.9860195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009679752 | 0.009719365 | 1.0040923 | 4.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.09463644 | 0.09472697 | 1.0009567 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.855375E-4 | 1.855375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.9491857E-4 | 7.9491857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00467679 | 0.009635304 | 0.009665015 | 1.0030836 | 3.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.09422992 | 0.094311446 | 1.0008651 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8500144E-4 | 1.8500144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.9262257E-4 | 7.9262257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004657841 | 0.009607597 | 0.009637309 | 1.0030925 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.09397634 | 0.09405788 | 1.0008677 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.8381461E-4 | 1.8381461E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.875393E-4 | 7.875393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004611638 | 0.009546251 | 0.009575965 | 1.0031126 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.0934149 | 0.093496494 | 1.0008734 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.8219263E-4 | 1.8219263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.805921E-4 | 7.805921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004551957 | 0.009462407 | 0.009492123 | 1.0031404 | 3.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.09264608 | 0.09272774 | 1.0008814 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.8130586E-4 | 1.8130586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.767939E-4 | 7.767939E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009416564 | 0.009446282 | 1.0031558 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09222551 | 0.09230721 | 1.0008858 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.8020565E-4 | 1.8020565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.7208155E-4 | 7.7208155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009359686 | 0.009389405 | 1.0031753 | 3.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.091704205 | 0.091785945 | 1.0008914 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7961828E-4 | 1.7961828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.695657E-4 | 7.695657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009329318 | 0.009359038 | 1.0031856 | 3.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.09142262 | 0.09150439 | 1.0008944 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.7923936E-4 | 1.7923936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.679427E-4 | 7.679427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004447999 | 0.009309728 | 0.009339448 | 1.0031924 | 3.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.09124093 | 0.09131363 | 1.0007968 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.779163E-4 | 1.779163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.622758E-4 | 7.622758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044147377 | 0.00924132 | 0.009271043 | 1.0032163 | 3.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.09061413 | 0.09068689 | 1.0008029 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.7230457E-4 | 1.7230457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.382393E-4 | 7.382393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008951117 | 0.008980849 | 1.0033215 | 3.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.08797214 | 0.088045105 | 1.0008293 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4556905E-4 | 1.4556905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.2371825E-4 | 6.2371825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036482112 | 0.007567372 | 0.0075872205 | 1.002623 | 2.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.075105175 | 0.07516067 | 1.0007389 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.3286957E-4 | 1.3286957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.6931673E-4 | 5.6931673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033419547 | 0.006909434 | 0.006929296 | 1.0028746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.06869603 | 0.06875191 | 1.0008134 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.5701784E-5 | 9.5701784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.1008607E-4 | 4.1008607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0049813776 | 0.005001278 | 1.003995 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.049987826 | 0.05002583 | 1.0007602 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.3597556E-5 | 5.3597556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2968359E-4 | 2.2968359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027928136 | 0.0028027857 | 1.0035707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.028595816 | 0.02862496 | 1.0010191 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9839477E-5 | 1.9839477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.502357E-5 | 8.502357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.001034671 | 0.0010446607 | 1.0096549 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.011099197 | 0.011109086 | 1.000891 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7251186E-6 | 5.7251186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4535993E-5 | 2.4535993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9868484E-4 | 2.9868484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003385527 | 0.003385527 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077337E-7 | 8.077337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.214554E-5 | 4.214554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.959092E-4 | 4.959092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.553185E-6 | 1.8553099E-5 | 2.169145 | 1.0E-5 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6656093E-5 | 5.665536E-5 | 1.5455918 | 2.0E-5 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4621443E-4 | 4.9619214E-4 | 1.1120038 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004454943 | 0.0045943195 | 1.0312858 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7761365E-6 | 1.3776099E-5 | 3.6481993 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6183369E-5 | 2.6183207E-5 | 1.6179084 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9701946E-4 | 2.3701158E-4 | 1.2029856 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019689153 | 0.0020687187 | 1.0506893 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7761365E-6 | 1.3776099E-5 | 3.6481993 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6183369E-5 | 2.6183207E-5 | 1.6179084 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9701946E-4 | 2.3701158E-4 | 1.2029856 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019689153 | 0.0020687187 | 1.0506893 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4414351E-6 | 1.4414351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1775722E-6 | 6.1775722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5210766E-5 | 8.521001E-5 | 1.1329497 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.5199193E-4 | 8.019543E-4 | 1.0664401 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4414351E-6 | 1.4414351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1775722E-6 | 6.1775722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5210766E-5 | 8.521001E-5 | 1.1329497 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.5199193E-4 | 8.019543E-4 | 1.0664401 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0224172E-6 | 1.0224172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.381788E-6 | 4.381788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.334827E-5 | 5.334827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.334827E-4 | 5.634667E-4 | 1.0562042 | 3.0E-5 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7331978E-5 | 4.7331978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0283725E-4 | 2.1283524E-4 | 1.0492907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002467008 | 0.0025069094 | 1.016174 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024421958 | 0.024548784 | 1.0051931 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7331978E-5 | 4.7331978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0283725E-4 | 2.1283524E-4 | 1.0492907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002467008 | 0.0025069094 | 1.016174 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024421958 | 0.024548784 | 1.0051931 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7331978E-5 | 4.7331978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0283725E-4 | 2.1283524E-4 | 1.0492907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002467008 | 0.0025069094 | 1.016174 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024421958 | 0.024548784 | 1.0051931 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.364967E-5 | 3.364967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4420535E-4 | 1.5420391E-4 | 1.0693356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.001754356 | 0.0017942857 | 1.0227604 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017412234 | 0.01753997 | 1.007336 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.364967E-5 | 3.364967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4420535E-4 | 1.5420391E-4 | 1.0693356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.001754356 | 0.0017942857 | 1.0227604 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017412234 | 0.01753997 | 1.007336 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.863879E-5 | 2.863879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2273218E-4 | 1.3273096E-4 | 1.0814682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014932867 | 0.001533227 | 1.0267465 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014837418 | 0.0149654895 | 1.0086316 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4685009E-5 | 2.4685009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.0578879E-4 | 1.15787734E-4 | 1.094518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012872507 | 0.0013271992 | 1.031034 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012801376 | 0.012929712 | 1.0100251 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1801765E-5 | 2.1801765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.343294E-5 | 1.03432E-4 | 1.1070186 | 1.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011369779 | 0.0011769325 | 1.035141 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011314276 | 0.011442805 | 1.0113599 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9035271E-5 | 1.9035271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.157728E-5 | 9.157646E-5 | 1.1225731 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.927677E-4 | 0.001032728 | 1.0402514 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009885089 | 0.010013804 | 1.0130211 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.640309E-5 | 1.640309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.029711E-5 | 8.0296406E-5 | 1.1422434 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5554004E-4 | 8.9550583E-4 | 1.0467141 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008523397 | 0.008652289 | 1.0151222 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4549365E-5 | 1.4549365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.235296E-5 | 7.235234E-5 | 1.1603673 | 1.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.588887E-4 | 7.988584E-4 | 1.0526687 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.007563591 | 0.0076926076 | 1.0170577 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4089133E-5 | 1.4089133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0380637E-5 | 7.038003E-5 | 1.165606 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.348919E-4 | 7.748625E-4 | 1.0543897 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.007325211 | 0.007454259 | 1.017617 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4026547E-5 | 1.4026547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0112423E-5 | 7.011182E-5 | 1.166345 | 1.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.316286E-4 | 7.7159936E-4 | 1.0546325 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.007292793 | 0.007421845 | 1.0176958 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.389058E-5 | 1.389058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.952973E-5 | 6.952914E-5 | 1.1679733 | 1.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2453904E-4 | 7.6451007E-4 | 1.0551676 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0072223605 | 0.0073514218 | 1.0178697 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3658454E-5 | 1.3658454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8534948E-5 | 6.853436E-5 | 1.1708281 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.124356E-4 | 7.5240707E-4 | 1.0561054 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.0071021058 | 0.0072311824 | 1.0181744 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3155755E-5 | 1.3155755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.638062E-5 | 6.638006E-5 | 1.1773559 | 1.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.8622344E-4 | 7.2619604E-4 | 1.0582501 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006841629 | 0.0069707395 | 1.0188713 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1588588E-5 | 1.1588588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.966446E-5 | 5.9663966E-5 | 1.2013413 | 1.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.045023E-4 | 6.344841E-4 | 1.0495976 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060291113 | 0.0061483877 | 1.0197834 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0030496E-5 | 1.0030496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.2987158E-5 | 4.2987158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.2324805E-4 | 5.4323755E-4 | 1.0382028 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0052206707 | 0.0053102006 | 1.0171492 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.2858415E-7 | 3.2858415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.408217E-6 | 1.408217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7144912E-5 | 1.7144912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7143627E-4 | 1.7143627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933775E-6 | 1.3933775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1872416E-5 | 2.1872416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3736075E-5 | 9.3736075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407302 | 0.001170696 | 1.026269 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011357774 | 0.0114764115 | 1.0104455 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1872416E-5 | 2.1872416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3736075E-5 | 9.3736075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407302 | 0.001170696 | 1.026269 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011357774 | 0.0114764115 | 1.0104455 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1872416E-5 | 2.1872416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3736075E-5 | 9.3736075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407302 | 0.001170696 | 1.026269 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011357774 | 0.0114764115 | 1.0104455 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2183933E-5 | 1.2183933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.221599E-5 | 5.221599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.355758E-4 | 6.555631E-4 | 1.0314475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063406904 | 0.0064301197 | 1.014104 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2183933E-5 | 1.2183933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.221599E-5 | 5.221599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.355758E-4 | 6.555631E-4 | 1.0314475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063406904 | 0.0064301197 | 1.014104 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.6759617E-6 | 6.6759617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8611023E-5 | 2.8611023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4829607E-4 | 3.6828913E-4 | 1.0574024 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034787375 | 0.003548494 | 1.0200522 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3694606E-6 | 6.3694606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7297472E-5 | 2.7297472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.323085E-4 | 3.5230187E-4 | 1.060165 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033193394 | 0.003389107 | 1.0210185 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3437266E-6 | 5.3437266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2901551E-5 | 2.2901551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.788025E-4 | 2.9879692E-4 | 1.0717154 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.002785684 | 0.002845517 | 1.0214787 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9410206E-6 | 1.9410206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.318642E-6 | 8.318642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.0127634E-4 | 1.0127634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010124566 | 0.0010224466 | 1.009867 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.3023247E-7 | 8.3023247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.558136E-6 | 3.558136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3319782E-5 | 4.3319782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3314637E-4 | 4.3314637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.5465783E-7 | 7.5465783E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2342457E-6 | 3.2342457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9376562E-5 | 3.9376562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9372835E-4 | 3.9372835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3665609E-5 | 3.3665372E-5 | 1.4225441 | 1.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.01420344E-4 | 1.1141933E-4 | 1.0985895 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012341375 | 0.001304051 | 1.0566498 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012277352 | 0.012395879 | 1.009654 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3665609E-5 | 3.3665372E-5 | 1.4225441 | 1.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.01420344E-4 | 1.1141933E-4 | 1.0985895 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012341375 | 0.001304051 | 1.0566498 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012277352 | 0.012395879 | 1.009654 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1369565E-5 | 1.1369565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8725822E-5 | 4.8725822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.930794E-4 | 6.230616E-4 | 1.0505534 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.005915385 | 0.005955149 | 1.006722 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1369565E-5 | 1.1369565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8725822E-5 | 4.8725822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.930794E-4 | 6.230616E-4 | 1.0505534 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.005915385 | 0.005955149 | 1.006722 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.240555E-6 | 8.240555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.5316196E-5 | 3.5316196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2989122E-4 | 4.4988265E-4 | 1.0465034 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.004290743 | 0.004320614 | 1.0069618 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.8532718E-6 | 6.8532718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.937084E-5 | 2.937084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5753223E-4 | 3.7752508E-4 | 1.055919 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035696665 | 0.0035995594 | 1.0083741 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.888035E-6 | 5.888035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5234196E-5 | 2.5234196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0718374E-4 | 3.1718065E-4 | 1.0325438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030676646 | 0.003077634 | 1.0032498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9421274E-6 | 4.9421274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1180376E-5 | 2.1180376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.578411E-4 | 2.6783854E-4 | 1.0387735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.002575476 | 0.0025854502 | 1.0038728 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7533105E-6 | 3.7533105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.608552E-5 | 1.608552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9582402E-4 | 2.0582206E-4 | 1.0510563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019565558 | 0.001966536 | 1.005101 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.671926E-6 | 2.671926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1451062E-5 | 1.1451062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3940805E-4 | 1.4940665E-4 | 1.0717219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013932335 | 0.0014032196 | 1.0071676 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.802569E-6 | 1.802569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.7252735E-6 | 7.7252735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.405131E-5 | 9.405131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.4013166E-4 | 9.4013166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1501572E-6 | 1.1501572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9292366E-6 | 4.9292366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 6.0011902E-5 | 6.0011902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9996673E-4 | 5.9996673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.389414E-7 | 6.389414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7383178E-6 | 2.7383178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.333858E-5 | 3.333858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3334264E-4 | 3.3334264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9455053E-4 | 3.0454758E-4 | 1.0339401 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012618646 | 0.0012918267 | 1.0237443 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015276362 | 0.015325598 | 1.0032231 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14007358 | 0.14015098 | 1.0005525 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9455053E-4 | 3.0454758E-4 | 1.0339401 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012618646 | 0.0012918267 | 1.0237443 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015276362 | 0.015325598 | 1.0032231 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14007358 | 0.14015098 | 1.0005525 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9455053E-4 | 3.0454758E-4 | 1.0339401 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012618646 | 0.0012918267 | 1.0237443 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015276362 | 0.015325598 | 1.0032231 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14007358 | 0.14015098 | 1.0005525 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7751133E-4 | 1.7751133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.606584E-4 | 7.806432E-4 | 1.026273 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009242493 | 0.009282123 | 1.0042878 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08720037 | 0.0872734 | 1.0008374 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7751133E-4 | 1.7751133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.606584E-4 | 7.806432E-4 | 1.026273 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009242493 | 0.009282123 | 1.0042878 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08720037 | 0.0872734 | 1.0008374 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.65088E-5 | 4.65088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9931026E-4 | 1.9931026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.002424264 | 0.002424264 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01892915 | 0.023828572 | 0.023857858 | 1.001229 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.622069E-5 | 2.622069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.12369795E-4 | 1.12369795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013672884 | 0.0013672884 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012986525 | 0.013601013 | 0.013610878 | 1.0007253 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2130942E-5 | 2.2130942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.484365E-5 | 9.484365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011541464 | 0.0011541464 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511663 | 0.011494498 | 0.011494498 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4472527E-5 | 1.4472527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.202367E-5 | 6.202367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.548817E-4 | 7.548817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.007528388 | 0.007528388 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2361743E-5 | 1.2361743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.297784E-5 | 5.297784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.448175E-4 | 6.448175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.0064335936 | 0.0064335936 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1479001E-5 | 1.1479001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.919481E-5 | 4.919481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.987851E-4 | 5.987851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059756017 | 0.0059756017 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0269878E-5 | 1.0269878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.401303E-5 | 4.401303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.3572946E-4 | 5.3572946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053478284 | 0.0053478284 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.526195E-6 | 8.526195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6540332E-5 | 3.6540332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4478945E-4 | 4.4478945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.00444041 | 0.00444041 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.256707E-6 | 7.256707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1099808E-5 | 3.1099808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.7857582E-4 | 3.7857582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.0037797017 | 0.0037797017 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.36751E-6 | 6.36751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.728905E-5 | 2.728905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.321949E-4 | 3.321949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.003317138 | 0.003317138 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.2381874E-6 | 5.2381874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2449189E-5 | 2.2449189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7328587E-4 | 2.7328587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027296233 | 0.0027296233 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.6986697E-6 | 4.6986697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0137008E-5 | 2.0137008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4514165E-4 | 2.4514165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024488291 | 0.0024488291 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3358875E-6 | 2.3358875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 1.0010913E-5 | 1.0010913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2187679E-4 | 1.2187679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.001218173 | 0.001218173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.406988E-8 | 9.406988E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.031566E-7 | 4.031566E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9084238E-6 | 4.9084238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9083483E-5 | 4.9083483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4456322E-9 | 3.4456322E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4766996E-8 | 1.4766996E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7978816E-7 | 1.7978816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7978803E-6 | 1.7978803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3583662E-4 | 2.3583662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010103347 | 0.0010203245 | 1.0098877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012231329 | 0.012270841 | 1.0032303 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11340027 | 0.11348006 | 1.0007037 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3583662E-4 | 2.3583662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010103347 | 0.0010203245 | 1.0098877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012231329 | 0.012270841 | 1.0032303 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11340027 | 0.11348006 | 1.0007037 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3583662E-4 | 2.3583662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010103347 | 0.0010203245 | 1.0098877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012231329 | 0.012270841 | 1.0032303 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11340027 | 0.11348006 | 1.0007037 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3583662E-4 | 2.3583662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010103347 | 0.0010203245 | 1.0098877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012231329 | 0.012270841 | 1.0032303 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11340027 | 0.11348006 | 1.0007037 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3140099E-4 | 2.3140099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.913394E-4 | 0.0010013295 | 1.0100774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.012002985 | 0.012042505 | 1.0032926 | 4.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.111378536 | 0.11145851 | 1.000718 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3140099E-4 | 2.3140099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.913394E-4 | 0.0010013295 | 1.0100774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.012002985 | 0.012042505 | 1.0032926 | 4.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.111378536 | 0.11145851 | 1.000718 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2382943E-4 | 2.2382943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.589186E-4 | 9.68909E-4 | 1.0104184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011612894 | 0.011652429 | 1.0034045 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03897764 | 0.10791106 | 0.107991345 | 1.000744 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.2058337E-4 | 2.2058337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.450171E-4 | 9.550076E-4 | 1.0105718 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011445429 | 0.011484971 | 1.0034548 | 4.0E-5 | 0.038081564 | 0.10641886 | 0.106499285 | 1.0007557 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1904905E-4 | 2.1904905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.384462E-4 | 9.484368E-4 | 1.0106459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011366269 | 0.0114058135 | 1.0034792 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03774495 | 0.10571847 | 0.10579895 | 1.0007613 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1673412E-4 | 2.1673412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.285321E-4 | 9.385228E-4 | 1.0107597 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003789323 | 0.011246817 | 0.011286367 | 1.0035166 | 4.0E-5 | 0.037253562 | 0.10466532 | 0.1047459 | 1.0007699 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1256578E-4 | 2.1256578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.106804E-4 | 9.206713E-4 | 1.0109708 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003699303 | 0.011031691 | 0.01107125 | 1.0035859 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03638325 | 0.102765 | 0.10284575 | 1.0007858 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.1091642E-4 | 2.1091642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0118722E-4 | 9.0361666E-4 | 9.136076E-4 | 1.0110567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010946558 | 0.0109861195 | 1.0036141 | 4.0E-5 | 0.036010686 | 0.10200614 | 0.102086954 | 1.0007923 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0698587E-4 | 2.0698587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.86783E-4 | 8.967741E-4 | 1.0112667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003567883 | 0.010743645 | 0.010783215 | 1.0036831 | 4.0E-5 | 0.035111405 | 0.100195676 | 0.10027666 | 1.0008082 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9922973E-4 | 1.9922973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.5356453E-4 | 8.63556E-4 | 1.0117055 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010343119 | 0.010382705 | 1.0038273 | 4.0E-5 | 0.033966612 | 0.09668398 | 0.09676528 | 1.0008409 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4849778E-4 | 1.4849778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.3626474E-4 | 6.4625836E-4 | 1.0157068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002660276 | 0.0077192043 | 0.007758896 | 1.0051419 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02628654 | 0.07355498 | 0.07363836 | 1.0011336 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1267394E-4 | 1.1267394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.8279925E-4 | 4.9279444E-4 | 1.0207026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0058623096 | 0.0059020747 | 1.0067832 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020299247 | 0.056615412 | 0.056700315 | 1.0014997 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.616892E-5 | 8.616892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6924324E-4 | 3.7923953E-4 | 1.0270724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015564259 | 0.004486296 | 0.0045261164 | 1.0088761 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043738227 | 0.04381473 | 1.001749 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.461343E-5 | 6.461343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.7688532E-4 | 2.8688257E-4 | 1.036106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033658736 | 0.0034057389 | 1.011844 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010967582 | 0.033070873 | 0.03313856 | 1.0020467 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.6634726E-5 | 5.6634726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.4269769E-4 | 2.5269526E-4 | 1.0411935 | 1.0E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.002950844 | 0.002990726 | 1.0135155 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.02914525 | 0.02921321 | 1.0023317 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.2477077E-5 | 4.2477077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.8203192E-4 | 1.920301E-4 | 1.0549254 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0022139875 | 0.002253899 | 1.018027 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.0221352 | 0.02220365 | 1.0030924 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.059228E-5 | 3.059228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.311032E-4 | 1.311032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015950138 | 0.0016249659 | 1.0187786 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.016059576 | 0.016108772 | 1.0030634 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.594684E-6 | 7.594684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.254824E-5 | 3.254824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.9620293E-4 | 4.0619896E-4 | 1.0252296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022677942 | 0.004228666 | 0.0042386237 | 1.0023549 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.8370068E-6 | 2.8370068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.2158544E-5 | 1.2158544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4802028E-4 | 1.4802028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0016523162 | 0.0016523162 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.3128234E-7 | 3.3128234E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.4197807E-6 | 1.4197807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.7285707E-5 | 1.7285707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 2.0425615E-4 | 2.0425615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4785192E-4 | 2.4785192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010617918 | 0.0010617918 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012851192 | 0.012880807 | 1.0023044 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12260532 | 0.122684285 | 1.0006441 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4785192E-4 | 2.4785192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010617918 | 0.0010617918 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012851192 | 0.012880807 | 1.0023044 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12260532 | 0.122684285 | 1.0006441 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4785192E-4 | 2.4785192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010617918 | 0.0010617918 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012851192 | 0.012880807 | 1.0023044 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12260532 | 0.122684285 | 1.0006441 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4785192E-4 | 2.4785192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010617918 | 0.0010617918 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012851192 | 0.012880807 | 1.0023044 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12260532 | 0.122684285 | 1.0006441 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4785192E-4 | 2.4785192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010617918 | 0.0010617918 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012851192 | 0.012880807 | 1.0023044 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12260532 | 0.122684285 | 1.0006441 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4103156E-4 | 2.4103156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.001032585 | 0.001032585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012499722 | 0.012529346 | 1.00237 | 3.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11956828 | 0.11964752 | 1.0006627 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.4103156E-4 | 2.4103156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.001032585 | 0.001032585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012499722 | 0.012529346 | 1.00237 | 3.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11956828 | 0.11964752 | 1.0006627 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3793445E-4 | 2.3793445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010193221 | 0.0010193221 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012340083 | 0.012369712 | 1.0024011 | 3.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11818968 | 0.11826904 | 1.0006715 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.369505E-4 | 2.369505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 0.0010151084 | 0.0010151084 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777263 | 0.012289361 | 0.012318992 | 1.0024111 | 3.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.11774816 | 0.117827564 | 1.0006744 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.358683E-4 | 2.358683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 0.001010474 | 0.001010474 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012233573 | 0.012263206 | 1.0024222 | 3.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.11726263 | 0.11734208 | 1.0006775 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3487103E-4 | 2.3487103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 0.0010062034 | 0.0010062034 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057263062 | 0.012182159 | 0.012211794 | 1.0024326 | 3.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.116813965 | 0.116893455 | 1.0006804 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1988485E-4 | 2.1988485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.420244E-4 | 9.420244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011409163 | 0.0114388205 | 1.0025995 | 3.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.11003442 | 0.110114515 | 1.0007279 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.1392923E-4 | 2.1392923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.1651845E-4 | 9.1651845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052187922 | 0.011101833 | 0.0111315 | 1.0026723 | 3.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.107325874 | 0.10739729 | 1.0006654 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0862007E-4 | 2.0862007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.9378067E-4 | 8.9378067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005109493 | 0.010827784 | 0.010857459 | 1.0027406 | 3.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.104890965 | 0.10496257 | 1.0006827 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 2.0223562E-4 | 2.0223562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.6643716E-4 | 8.6643716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010498124 | 0.01052781 | 1.0028276 | 3.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10194653 | 0.10201838 | 1.0007048 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6492563E-4 | 1.6492563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 7.0663285E-4 | 7.0663285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041929903 | 0.0085694045 | 0.008599147 | 1.0034708 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.084501766 | 0.084575005 | 1.0008668 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.6141174E-4 | 1.6141174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.9158134E-4 | 6.9158134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008387577 | 0.008417325 | 1.0035467 | 3.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.08282624 | 0.082899615 | 1.0008858 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3614615E-4 | 1.3614615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.8335304E-4 | 5.8335304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003493839 | 0.0070792297 | 0.0070990883 | 1.0028051 | 2.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.070583165 | 0.070638925 | 1.0007901 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2504027E-4 | 1.2504027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.3577684E-4 | 5.3577684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0065036 | 0.00652347 | 1.0030552 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06491386 | 0.064969964 | 1.0008643 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 9.101618E-5 | 9.101618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.9001106E-4 | 3.9001106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0047380547 | 0.00475796 | 1.0042012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.04767188 | 0.047709975 | 1.0007991 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.3508393E-5 | 5.3508393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2930154E-4 | 2.2930154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002788174 | 0.002798146 | 1.0035765 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.028555367 | 0.02858451 | 1.0010206 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9852378E-5 | 1.9852378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.507885E-5 | 8.507885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010353434 | 0.0010453331 | 1.0096487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.011108041 | 0.01111793 | 1.0008903 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7251186E-6 | 5.7251186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4535993E-5 | 2.4535993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9868484E-4 | 2.9868484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003385527 | 0.003385527 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077337E-7 | 8.077337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.214554E-5 | 4.214554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.959092E-4 | 4.959092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.567136E-4 | 2.567136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010997389 | 0.0010997389 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013307649 | 0.01333725 | 1.0022243 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12634577 | 0.12641567 | 1.0005531 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.567136E-4 | 2.567136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010997389 | 0.0010997389 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013307649 | 0.01333725 | 1.0022243 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12634577 | 0.12641567 | 1.0005531 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5487551E-4 | 2.5487551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.001091868 | 0.001091868 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006347804 | 0.013212987 | 0.013242591 | 1.0022405 | 3.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.12553275 | 0.12560269 | 1.0005573 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.5373168E-4 | 2.5373168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.00108697 | 0.00108697 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006316212 | 0.013154075 | 0.013183679 | 1.0022507 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12502748 | 0.12509747 | 1.0005598 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4875865E-4 | 2.4875865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010656746 | 0.0010656746 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006172335 | 0.012897898 | 0.012927511 | 1.002296 | 3.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.1228142 | 0.12288438 | 1.0005714 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4667263E-4 | 2.4667263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010567417 | 0.0010567417 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006109677 | 0.012790419 | 0.012820036 | 1.0023155 | 3.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.12188038 | 0.121950634 | 1.0005764 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3970666E-4 | 2.3970666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010269113 | 0.0010269113 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059092017 | 0.0124314325 | 0.01246106 | 1.0023832 | 3.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.11878654 | 0.118848234 | 1.0005193 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.381388E-4 | 2.381388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010201972 | 0.0010201972 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005864331 | 0.012350619 | 0.012380248 | 1.0023991 | 3.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.11808798 | 0.11814971 | 1.0005227 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3701203E-4 | 2.3701203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 0.001015372 | 0.001015372 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005836608 | 0.012292536 | 0.012322167 | 1.0024105 | 3.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.117582776 | 0.11764454 | 1.0005254 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.354874E-4 | 2.354874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 0.0010088428 | 0.0010088428 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057996577 | 0.012213939 | 0.012243573 | 1.0024263 | 3.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.1168997 | 0.11696152 | 1.0005288 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.3168453E-4 | 2.3168453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.925574E-4 | 9.925574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005705768 | 0.0120178675 | 0.012047507 | 1.0024663 | 3.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.115191616 | 0.11525355 | 1.0005376 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0970679E-4 | 2.0970679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.984349E-4 | 8.984349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051671406 | 0.01088389 | 0.010913564 | 1.0027263 | 3.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.10524746 | 0.10531009 | 1.0005951 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0471925E-4 | 2.0471925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.7707426E-4 | 8.7707426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00504711 | 0.01062639 | 0.010656071 | 1.0027932 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.10297582 | 0.10303862 | 1.0006098 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9894252E-4 | 1.9894252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.523332E-4 | 8.523332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010328063 | 0.010357752 | 1.0028747 | 3.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.10032529 | 0.100388266 | 1.0006278 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.9256884E-4 | 1.9256884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.25035E-4 | 8.25035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004799717 | 0.0099987965 | 0.010028496 | 1.0029703 | 3.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09737215 | 0.09743533 | 1.0006489 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5540324E-4 | 1.5540324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.6584407E-4 | 6.6584407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040183207 | 0.008076595 | 0.008106353 | 1.0036844 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.07990905 | 0.07997345 | 1.000806 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.5195204E-4 | 1.5195204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.510607E-4 | 6.510607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039388672 | 0.0078979265 | 0.00792769 | 1.0037684 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07825562 | 0.078320146 | 1.0008245 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2679798E-4 | 1.2679798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.433068E-4 | 5.433068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006594727 | 0.006614595 | 1.0030128 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.0660066 | 0.0660533 | 1.0007075 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1708097E-4 | 1.1708097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 5.0167914E-4 | 5.0167914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003054864 | 0.0060908603 | 0.0061107385 | 1.0032636 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.060999382 | 0.061046332 | 1.0007697 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.640349E-5 | 8.640349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.7024813E-4 | 3.7024813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0044984613 | 0.004518371 | 1.004426 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.045372523 | 0.04541071 | 1.0008416 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.2118103E-5 | 5.2118103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.2334418E-4 | 2.2334418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0027158263 | 0.002725799 | 1.0036721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027842583 | 0.027871748 | 1.0010475 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.985256E-5 | 1.985256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.507963E-5 | 8.507963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010353529 | 0.0010453425 | 1.0096486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.011108164 | 0.0111180525 | 1.0008903 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7251186E-6 | 5.7251186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4535993E-5 | 2.4535993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9868484E-4 | 2.9868484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003385527 | 0.003385527 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077337E-7 | 8.077337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.214554E-5 | 4.214554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.959092E-4 | 4.959092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3832034E-5 | 3.3831795E-5 | 1.4195933 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0213331E-4 | 1.12132286E-4 | 1.0979012 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012427671 | 0.0012727298 | 1.0241097 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012397972 | 0.012467104 | 1.0055761 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3832034E-5 | 3.3831795E-5 | 1.4195933 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0213331E-4 | 1.12132286E-4 | 1.0979012 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012427671 | 0.0012727298 | 1.0241097 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012397972 | 0.012467104 | 1.0055761 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3832034E-5 | 3.3831795E-5 | 1.4195933 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0213331E-4 | 1.12132286E-4 | 1.0979012 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012427671 | 0.0012727298 | 1.0241097 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012397972 | 0.012467104 | 1.0055761 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3832034E-5 | 3.3831795E-5 | 1.4195933 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0213331E-4 | 1.12132286E-4 | 1.0979012 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012427671 | 0.0012727298 | 1.0241097 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012397972 | 0.012467104 | 1.0055761 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3832034E-5 | 3.3831795E-5 | 1.4195933 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0213331E-4 | 1.12132286E-4 | 1.0979012 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012427671 | 0.0012727298 | 1.0241097 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012397972 | 0.012467104 | 1.0055761 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.382099E-5 | 3.382075E-5 | 1.4197879 | 1.0E-5 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.0208598E-4 | 1.12084956E-4 | 1.0979466 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012421915 | 0.0012721543 | 1.0241208 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.012392281 | 0.012461413 | 1.0055786 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.343515E-5 | 3.3434917E-5 | 1.4266994 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6032466E-5 | 1.0043251E-4 | 1.104315E-4 | 1.0995593 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012220832 | 0.0012520466 | 1.0245183 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.012193416 | 0.012262562 | 1.0056708 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3410423E-5 | 3.341019E-5 | 1.4271501 | 1.0E-5 | 5.59283E-5 | 1.0032655E-4 | 1.1032554E-4 | 1.0996646 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012207945 | 0.001250758 | 1.0245441 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012180671 | 0.012249818 | 1.0056769 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.3258766E-5 | 3.3258533E-5 | 1.4299355 | 1.0E-5 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.967663E-5 | 1.0967564E-4 | 1.1003144 | 1.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0012128907 | 0.0012428543 | 1.0247043 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.012102495 | 0.0121716475 | 1.0057139 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.3218117E-5 | 3.3217886E-5 | 1.4306881 | 1.0E-5 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.950244E-5 | 1.09501445E-4 | 1.1004901 | 1.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0012107722 | 0.0012407359 | 1.0247476 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.012081541 | 0.012150696 | 1.005724 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2615919E-5 | 3.261569E-5 | 1.4421564 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.692178E-5 | 1.0692081E-4 | 1.103166 | 1.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011793867 | 0.0012093515 | 1.025407 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011771023 | 0.011840199 | 1.0058768 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.256089E-5 | 3.2560663E-5 | 1.4432349 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.668596E-5 | 1.06684995E-4 | 1.1034176 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011765187 | 0.0012064835 | 1.025469 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011742647 | 0.0118118245 | 1.0058912 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1937736E-5 | 3.1937518E-5 | 1.4558256 | 1.0E-5 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.401549E-5 | 1.0401456E-4 | 1.1063554 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011440403 | 0.001174006 | 1.0261929 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.011421225 | 0.011490425 | 1.0060589 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.180719E-5 | 3.180697E-5 | 1.4585544 | 1.0E-5 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.3456045E-5 | 1.0345511E-4 | 1.1069921 | 1.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011372361 | 0.001167202 | 1.0263498 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011353896 | 0.011423102 | 1.0060953 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.1177684E-5 | 3.1177475E-5 | 1.4721851 | 1.0E-5 | 4.975841E-5 | 9.075837E-5 | 1.00757454E-4 | 1.1101726 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0011044255 | 0.0011343925 | 1.0271335 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.011029711 | 0.011098939 | 1.0062765 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9865756E-5 | 2.9865558E-5 | 1.5033687 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.5136184E-5 | 9.5135336E-5 | 1.1174488 | 1.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010360425 | 0.0010660114 | 1.0289264 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.010354762 | 0.010424037 | 1.0066901 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.9303643E-5 | 2.930345E-5 | 1.518027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.272729E-5 | 9.272646E-5 | 1.120869 | 1.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 0.0010067415 | 0.0010367114 | 1.0297691 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.010064456 | 0.010133751 | 1.0068852 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6734724E-5 | 2.6734557E-5 | 1.5975499 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.1718285E-5 | 8.171757E-5 | 1.1394244 | 1.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.72822E-4 | 9.027958E-4 | 1.0343412 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008736709 | 0.008806098 | 1.0079422 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.1393232E-5 | 2.1393118E-5 | 1.877704 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.8827224E-5 | 5.8826736E-5 | 1.2047938 | 1.0E-5 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.943094E-4 | 6.242916E-4 | 1.0504488 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0059695723 | 0.0060391547 | 1.0116562 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.7076105E-6 | 1.8707524E-5 | 2.1484108 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.7317797E-5 | 4.7317422E-5 | 1.2679586 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.5424956E-4 | 4.8423593E-4 | 1.066013 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.004572981 | 0.0046426607 | 1.0152373 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.968351E-6 | 4.968351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.1292759E-5 | 2.1292759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5920852E-4 | 2.5920852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015417566 | 0.002612928 | 0.002612928 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.2606675E-6 | 2.2606675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.68854E-6 | 9.68854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.17951604E-4 | 1.17951604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011939803 | 0.0011939803 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.7348848E-7 | 4.7348848E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 2.0292348E-6 | 2.0292348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.4705654E-5 | 2.4705654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.5570972E-4 | 2.5570972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.766541E-8 | 8.766541E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.7570885E-7 | 3.7570885E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.574246E-6 | 4.574246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.7996677E-5 | 4.7996677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6784404E-5 | 3.6784404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5763793E-4 | 1.5763793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.0019175538 | 0.0019474963 | 1.015615 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019757926 | 0.019826543 | 1.0034729 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6784404E-5 | 3.6784404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5763793E-4 | 1.5763793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.0019175538 | 0.0019474963 | 1.015615 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019757926 | 0.019826543 | 1.0034729 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6784404E-5 | 3.6784404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5763793E-4 | 1.5763793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.0019175538 | 0.0019474963 | 1.015615 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019757926 | 0.019826543 | 1.0034729 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6784404E-5 | 3.6784404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5763793E-4 | 1.5763793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.0019175538 | 0.0019474963 | 1.015615 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019757926 | 0.019826543 | 1.0034729 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.6676898E-5 | 3.6676898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5717724E-4 | 1.5717724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017729428 | 0.001911955 | 0.0019418976 | 1.0156608 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017588645 | 0.019702943 | 0.019771565 | 1.0034828 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5936384E-5 | 3.5936384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5400398E-4 | 1.5400398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018733875 | 0.0019033313 | 1.0159838 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017284546 | 0.01932406 | 0.019392706 | 1.0035524 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5873498E-5 | 3.5873498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5373451E-4 | 1.5373451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018701124 | 0.0019000563 | 1.0160118 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017258976 | 0.019291885 | 0.019360535 | 1.0035585 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5863257E-5 | 3.5863257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5369062E-4 | 1.5369062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018695788 | 0.0018995227 | 1.0160164 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017256035 | 0.019286672 | 0.019355321 | 1.0035595 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.5757137E-5 | 3.5757137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.5323589E-4 | 1.5323589E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0018640519 | 0.001893996 | 1.0160639 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017213784 | 0.019232372 | 0.019301027 | 1.0035697 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.569798E-5 | 3.569798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.5298238E-4 | 1.5298238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018609706 | 0.0018909149 | 1.0160906 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017192734 | 0.019202195 | 0.01927085 | 1.0035754 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.5637775E-5 | 3.5637775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.5272439E-4 | 1.5272439E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018578351 | 0.0018877793 | 1.0161178 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017172894 | 0.019171517 | 0.019240174 | 1.0035813 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.5517685E-5 | 3.5517685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.5220977E-4 | 1.5220977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018515803 | 0.0018815248 | 1.0161724 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017138338 | 0.019110471 | 0.019179134 | 1.003593 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.5384874E-5 | 3.5384874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.5164065E-4 | 1.5164065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017222111 | 0.001844663 | 0.0018746076 | 1.0162331 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017089253 | 0.01904277 | 0.019111436 | 1.003606 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.5252044E-5 | 3.5252044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.5107144E-4 | 1.5107144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0018377446 | 0.0018676894 | 1.0162944 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017049557 | 0.018975258 | 0.019043928 | 1.003619 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.5173307E-5 | 3.5173307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.5073405E-4 | 1.5073405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0018336438 | 0.0018635887 | 1.0163308 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017028693 | 0.01893533 | 0.019004006 | 1.0036268 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.5037603E-5 | 3.5037603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.5015251E-4 | 1.5015251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0018265755 | 0.0018565207 | 1.0163941 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016978411 | 0.018865943 | 0.018934622 | 1.0036404 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.476106E-5 | 3.476106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4896748E-4 | 1.4896748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0018121717 | 0.0018421173 | 1.0165247 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.018722888 | 0.018791577 | 1.0036688 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.3236196E-5 | 3.3236196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.4243307E-4 | 1.4243307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0017327444 | 0.0017626925 | 1.0172836 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.017929453 | 0.017998198 | 1.0038342 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 3.041683E-5 | 3.041683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.3035133E-4 | 1.3035133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015858732 | 0.0016158256 | 1.018887 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.01645627 | 0.016525118 | 1.0041837 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.4070108E-5 | 2.4070108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.03153536E-4 | 1.03153536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012551716 | 0.001285134 | 1.0238711 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.0131302085 | 0.013189421 | 1.0045096 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6524355E-5 | 1.6524355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.744926E-5 | 7.081674E-5 | 7.081674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.618535E-4 | 8.718449E-4 | 1.0115929 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.009124358 | 0.009144175 | 1.002172 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.616472E-6 | 8.616472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.6927217E-5 | 3.6927217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.4949664E-4 | 4.4949664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005259227 | 0.0048311013 | 0.0048311013 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.6620296E-6 | 1.6620296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 7.1229647E-6 | 7.1229647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.6718675E-5 | 8.6718675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 0.0010043699 | 0.0010043699 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.8364436E-7 | 3.8364436E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.6441892E-6 | 1.6441892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.0017824E-5 | 2.0017824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.4051538E-4 | 2.4051538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6616811E-6 | 3.6616811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.569283E-5 | 1.569283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.9104447E-4 | 1.9104447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019454762 | 0.0020053594 | 1.0307808 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6616811E-6 | 3.6616811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.569283E-5 | 1.569283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.9104447E-4 | 1.9104447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019454762 | 0.0020053594 | 1.0307808 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6616811E-6 | 3.6616811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.569283E-5 | 1.569283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.9104447E-4 | 1.9104447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019454762 | 0.0020053594 | 1.0307808 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1758275E-6 | 3.1758275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3610623E-5 | 1.3610623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.6569748E-4 | 1.6569748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020415364 | 0.00166804 | 0.0017279398 | 1.0359104 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1758275E-6 | 3.1758275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3610623E-5 | 1.3610623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.6569748E-4 | 1.6569748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020415364 | 0.00166804 | 0.0017279398 | 1.0359104 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9855387E-6 | 2.9855387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2795107E-5 | 1.2795107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5576999E-4 | 1.5576999E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015619372 | 0.0016218434 | 1.0383538 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8839213E-6 | 2.8839213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2359608E-5 | 1.2359608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016229092 | 1.5046854E-4 | 1.5046854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015067345 | 0.0015666441 | 1.0397612 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8175361E-6 | 2.8175361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2075103E-5 | 1.2075103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001463541 | 1.4700515E-4 | 1.4700515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014694394 | 0.0015293512 | 1.0407718 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2415352E-6 | 2.2415352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.606545E-6 | 9.606545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013164099 | 1.1695371E-4 | 1.1695371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011691786 | 0.0012291085 | 1.0512581 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6127112E-6 | 1.6127112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.9116013E-6 | 6.9116013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011840039 | 8.414551E-5 | 8.414551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011777153 | 8.4132433E-4 | 9.0127386E-4 | 1.0712562 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5438462E-6 | 1.5438462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.616467E-6 | 6.616467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010884746 | 8.055253E-5 | 8.055253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010831586 | 8.053769E-4 | 8.653286E-4 | 1.0744393 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3900831E-6 | 1.3900831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.957485E-6 | 5.957485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010143308 | 7.2529976E-5 | 7.2529976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010097133 | 7.251925E-4 | 7.85149E-4 | 1.0826766 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2521268E-6 | 1.2521268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.366247E-6 | 5.366247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.5332104E-5 | 6.5332104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009284316 | 6.5322703E-4 | 7.1318785E-4 | 1.0917916 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.114497E-6 | 1.114497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.776407E-6 | 4.776407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.815121E-5 | 5.815121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065626553 | 5.814529E-4 | 6.41418E-4 | 1.1031297 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.5737116E-7 | 8.5737116E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6744427E-6 | 3.6744427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4735425E-5 | 4.4735425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003899234 | 4.4731845E-4 | 4.972961E-4 | 1.1117272 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.085207E-7 | 6.085207E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6079433E-6 | 2.6079433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.175125E-5 | 3.175125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012897621 | 3.1746746E-4 | 3.5745476E-4 | 1.1259571 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.2047433E-7 | 3.2047433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.3734607E-6 | 1.3734607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6721759E-5 | 1.6721759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6720519E-4 | 1.8720185E-4 | 1.1195935 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.996152E-8 | 8.996152E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.855493E-7 | 3.855493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.6940536E-6 | 4.6940536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.693961E-5 | 5.693914E-5 | 1.2130297 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012331177 | 0.0012331177 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025631124 | 0.0052692383 | 0.0052692383 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030762846 | 0.06147622 | 0.061485607 | 1.0001527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42736435 | 0.4273987 | 1.0000803 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010263129 | 0.0010263129 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00214792 | 0.004387231 | 0.004387231 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025839351 | 0.05147336 | 0.051482845 | 1.0001843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37421566 | 0.37424067 | 1.0000669 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.151878E-4 | 8.151878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034862126 | 0.0034862126 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021034058 | 0.041156996 | 0.041166585 | 1.0002329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.31450868 | 0.3145361 | 1.0000871 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.783846E-4 | 6.783846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0029020566 | 0.0029020566 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017915873 | 0.03441504 | 0.034424696 | 1.0002806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.2728813 | 0.2729104 | 1.0001066 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.5890734E-4 | 5.5890734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023917146 | 0.0023917146 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015200248 | 0.028492179 | 0.028501894 | 1.0003409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.234637 | 0.23466763 | 1.0001305 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2541564E-4 | 4.2541564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018211738 | 0.0018211738 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012141965 | 0.021816775 | 0.021826558 | 1.0004483 | 1.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18857504 | 0.1886075 | 1.0001721 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5515383E-4 | 2.5515383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010930483 | 0.0010930483 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0082328 | 0.013225279 | 0.013235147 | 1.0007461 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12502427 | 0.12505928 | 1.0002799 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.5050752E-4 | 2.5050752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010731558 | 0.0010731558 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012986599 | 0.012996469 | 1.0007601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.12305125 | 0.123086326 | 1.000285 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4873586E-4 | 2.4873586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010655698 | 0.0010655698 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008075596 | 0.012895498 | 0.0129053695 | 1.0007654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.122279875 | 0.12231498 | 1.0002872 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.397904E-4 | 2.397904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010272705 | 0.0010272705 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007876333 | 0.012435834 | 0.01244571 | 1.0007942 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.11834369 | 0.11837895 | 1.000298 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2828598E-4 | 2.2828598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.780036E-4 | 9.780036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011842702 | 0.011852583 | 1.0008343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.11317027 | 0.113205746 | 1.0003134 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6655699E-4 | 1.6655699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.1362127E-4 | 7.1362127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006016669 | 0.008653938 | 0.008663852 | 1.0011456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.08534274 | 0.08537933 | 1.0004287 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4966376E-4 | 1.4966376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.4125925E-4 | 6.4125925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005408933 | 0.00777956 | 0.0077894824 | 1.0012754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.07720528 | 0.077242196 | 1.0004781 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.3089387E-4 | 1.3089387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.608538E-4 | 5.608538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006807156 | 0.006817088 | 1.001459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.06790458 | 0.06794186 | 1.0005491 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.1994358E-4 | 1.1994358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.1394326E-4 | 5.1394326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004513991 | 0.0062394324 | 0.00624937 | 1.0015928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.06250328 | 0.062540784 | 1.0006 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.251795E-5 | 9.251795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.964453E-4 | 3.964453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0048160623 | 0.004826014 | 1.0020664 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.049050946 | 0.04908898 | 1.0007755 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.503412E-5 | 8.503412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.6438112E-4 | 3.6438112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0044273357 | 0.0044372915 | 1.0022486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.045056067 | 0.045094267 | 1.0008478 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.859482E-5 | 6.859482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.939447E-4 | 2.939447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0035729085 | 0.0035828727 | 1.0027888 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.03675298 | 0.036781877 | 1.0007863 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.3436586E-5 | 6.3436586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.718428E-4 | 2.718428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0033046666 | 0.0033146334 | 1.003016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.034004543 | 0.034033526 | 1.0008522 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.1682367E-5 | 5.1682367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.2147706E-4 | 2.2147706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026931511 | 0.0027031242 | 1.0037031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.027782869 | 0.027812036 | 1.0010498 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.239629E-5 | 3.239629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3883384E-4 | 1.3883384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016889925 | 0.0016989756 | 1.0059106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.017705549 | 0.017735017 | 1.0016644 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.8023851E-5 | 1.8023851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.7242796E-5 | 7.7242796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.4002584E-4 | 9.500165E-4 | 1.010628 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009317525 | 0.010126367 | 0.010136266 | 1.0009775 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.7251186E-6 | 5.7251186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4535993E-5 | 2.4535993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9868484E-4 | 2.9868484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003385527 | 0.003385527 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077337E-7 | 8.077337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.214554E-5 | 4.214554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.959092E-4 | 4.959092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.075382E-5 | 5.075382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1750052E-4 | 2.1750052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026452506 | 0.0026751712 | 1.011311 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026177997 | 0.026236426 | 1.002232 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.075382E-5 | 5.075382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1750052E-4 | 2.1750052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026452506 | 0.0026751712 | 1.011311 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026177997 | 0.026236426 | 1.002232 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.075382E-5 | 5.075382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1750052E-4 | 2.1750052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026452506 | 0.0026751712 | 1.011311 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026177997 | 0.026236426 | 1.002232 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0112014E-5 | 3.0112014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.290453E-4 | 1.290453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015700277 | 0.0015700277 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01257003 | 0.015593042 | 0.01561273 | 1.0012627 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0112014E-5 | 3.0112014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.290453E-4 | 1.290453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015700277 | 0.0015700277 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01257003 | 0.015593042 | 0.01561273 | 1.0012627 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5331567E-5 | 2.5331567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.08559434E-4 | 1.08559434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013209268 | 0.0013209268 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010529719 | 0.0131326895 | 0.013152427 | 1.0015029 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5312507E-5 | 2.5312507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.0847776E-4 | 1.0847776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013199337 | 0.0013199337 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010520565 | 0.013122875 | 0.013142613 | 1.0015041 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2554197E-5 | 2.2554197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.665735E-5 | 9.665735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011761825 | 0.0011761825 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009347493 | 0.011701187 | 0.011720953 | 1.0016892 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1855301E-5 | 2.1855301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.36623E-5 | 9.36623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011397564 | 0.0011397564 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009068459 | 0.0113406945 | 0.011360468 | 1.0017436 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9037472E-5 | 1.9037472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.158669E-5 | 8.158669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.928785E-4 | 9.928785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008018291 | 0.009885823 | 0.009905626 | 1.0020031 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.804156E-5 | 1.804156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.731876E-5 | 7.731876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.409623E-4 | 9.409623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009371148 | 0.00939096 | 1.0021142 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6210883E-5 | 1.6210883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.947343E-5 | 6.947343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.455234E-4 | 8.455234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008424362 | 0.008444194 | 1.002354 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3875393E-5 | 1.3875393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9464677E-5 | 5.9464677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.2375283E-4 | 7.2375283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007215066 | 0.007215066 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2182526E-5 | 1.2182526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.220984E-5 | 5.220984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.3548016E-4 | 6.3548016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051047057 | 0.006337706 | 0.006337706 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.795939E-6 | 9.795939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1981973E-5 | 4.1981973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.1102013E-4 | 5.1102013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0050993925 | 0.0050993925 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7751668E-6 | 5.7751668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4750521E-5 | 2.4750521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.013036E-4 | 3.013036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030097037 | 0.0030097037 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6045635E-7 | 2.6045635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162413E-6 | 1.1162413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590181E-5 | 1.3590181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.358963E-4 | 1.358963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7931142E-5 | 4.7931142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0540392E-4 | 2.0540392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024980884 | 0.0025080636 | 1.003993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024717638 | 0.024776155 | 1.0023674 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7931142E-5 | 4.7931142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0540392E-4 | 2.0540392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024980884 | 0.0025080636 | 1.003993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024717638 | 0.024776155 | 1.0023674 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7931142E-5 | 4.7931142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0540392E-4 | 2.0540392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024980884 | 0.0025080636 | 1.003993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024717638 | 0.024776155 | 1.0023674 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7931142E-5 | 4.7931142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0540392E-4 | 2.0540392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024980884 | 0.0025080636 | 1.003993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024717638 | 0.024776155 | 1.0023674 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9670453E-5 | 3.9670453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.7000567E-4 | 1.7000567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020679475 | 0.0020779269 | 1.0048257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020497095 | 0.020536276 | 1.0019115 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9670453E-5 | 3.9670453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.7000567E-4 | 1.7000567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020679475 | 0.0020779269 | 1.0048257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020497095 | 0.020536276 | 1.0019115 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.126279E-5 | 3.126279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3397669E-4 | 1.3397669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016299805 | 0.0016399642 | 1.0061251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.01618413 | 0.016203808 | 1.0012158 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.087186E-5 | 3.087186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3230146E-4 | 1.3230146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016096148 | 0.0016195987 | 1.0062027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.015983416 | 0.016003096 | 1.0012313 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5060914E-5 | 2.5060914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0739962E-4 | 1.0739962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013068276 | 0.0013068276 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012867244 | 0.012993803 | 0.012993803 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3388042E-5 | 2.3388042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.00230725E-4 | 1.00230725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012196464 | 0.0012196464 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012089936 | 0.012131726 | 0.012131726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1810212E-5 | 2.1810212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.34691E-5 | 9.34691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.001137412 | 0.001137412 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011320163 | 0.011318015 | 0.011318015 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0588943E-5 | 2.0588943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.823545E-5 | 8.823545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010737568 | 0.0010737568 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010722724 | 0.010687743 | 0.010687743 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.910131E-5 | 1.910131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.18603E-5 | 8.18603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.962128E-4 | 9.962128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009859995 | 0.009919475 | 0.009919475 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4950292E-5 | 1.4950292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.407118E-5 | 6.407118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.7980023E-4 | 7.7980023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.0077719428 | 0.0077719428 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.19019705E-5 | 1.19019705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.10075E-5 | 5.10075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.2084885E-4 | 6.2084885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0061920956 | 0.0061920956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.198242E-6 | 9.198242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9420484E-5 | 3.9420484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7984655E-4 | 4.7984655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004788883 | 0.004788883 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.583918E-6 | 4.583918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9645222E-5 | 1.9645222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3915574E-4 | 2.3915574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.002389124 | 0.002389124 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.6204349E-6 | 3.6204349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5516065E-5 | 1.5516065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8889306E-4 | 1.8889306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018874576 | 0.0018874576 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0140227E-6 | 3.0140227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2917195E-5 | 1.2917195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5725868E-4 | 1.9725238E-4 | 1.254318 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015717855 | 0.0016316912 | 1.0381131 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5494787E-6 | 1.5494787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.084691E-5 | 8.084691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.082238E-4 | 8.082238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5494787E-6 | 1.5494787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.084691E-5 | 8.084691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.082238E-4 | 8.082238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5494787E-6 | 1.5494787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.084691E-5 | 8.084691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.082238E-4 | 8.082238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5494787E-6 | 1.5494787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 6.6406087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.084691E-5 | 8.084691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.082238E-4 | 8.082238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4913974E-6 | 1.4913974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.3916905E-6 | 6.3916905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.781655E-5 | 7.781655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.7794166E-4 | 7.7794166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 9.000242E-7 | 9.000242E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.857241E-6 | 3.857241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6960988E-5 | 4.6960988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6951932E-4 | 4.6951932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.596662E-7 | 7.596662E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2557084E-6 | 3.2557084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.96376E-5 | 3.96376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.963123E-4 | 3.963123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.5024955E-7 | 6.5024955E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7867811E-6 | 2.7867811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.3928594E-5 | 3.3928594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.392402E-4 | 3.392402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.6335307E-7 | 5.6335307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.4143683E-6 | 2.4143683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9394596E-5 | 2.9394596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9391277E-4 | 2.9391277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.1149642E-7 | 4.1149642E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7635551E-6 | 1.7635551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.147111E-5 | 2.147111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1469423E-4 | 2.1469423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5226054E-7 | 3.5226054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5096873E-6 | 1.5096873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8380324E-5 | 1.8380324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8379153E-4 | 1.8379153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.122542E-8 | 3.122542E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3382322E-7 | 1.3382322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6292965E-6 | 1.6292965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.6292854E-5 | 1.6292854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.597314E-8 | 1.597314E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.84563E-8 | 6.84563E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.334552E-7 | 8.334552E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.334524E-6 | 8.334524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.880312E-9 | 4.880312E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0915623E-8 | 2.0915623E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.546477E-7 | 2.546477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5464751E-6 | 2.5464751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6803357E-5 | 2.6803187E-5 | 1.5951092 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.201271E-5 | 8.201198E-5 | 1.1388544 | 1.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7645696E-4 | 8.964394E-4 | 1.0227991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008735436 | 0.008785 | 1.0056738 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6803357E-5 | 2.6803187E-5 | 1.5951092 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.201271E-5 | 8.201198E-5 | 1.1388544 | 1.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7645696E-4 | 8.964394E-4 | 1.0227991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008735436 | 0.008785 | 1.0056738 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3688824E-5 | 1.3688824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8665344E-5 | 5.8665344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.140652E-4 | 7.240581E-4 | 1.0139943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007122509 | 0.0071622245 | 1.005576 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3688824E-5 | 1.3688824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8665344E-5 | 5.8665344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.140652E-4 | 7.240581E-4 | 1.0139943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007122509 | 0.0071622245 | 1.005576 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0175286E-5 | 1.0175286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.360787E-5 | 4.360787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.308376E-4 | 5.4083235E-4 | 1.0188282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052997367 | 0.0053295777 | 1.0056306 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.01226915E-5 | 1.01226915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3382475E-5 | 4.3382475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2809477E-4 | 5.380895E-4 | 1.018926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052724383 | 0.00530228 | 1.0056599 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.446217E-6 | 8.446217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6197795E-5 | 3.6197795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.40659E-4 | 4.506546E-4 | 1.0226833 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0044017737 | 0.0044316417 | 1.0067854 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4447245E-6 | 2.4447245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.047735E-5 | 1.047735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2755446E-4 | 1.3755319E-4 | 1.0783879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012748311 | 0.0012848184 | 1.0078342 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2070717E-6 | 2.2070717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.458846E-6 | 9.458846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.15155526E-4 | 1.2515437E-4 | 1.0868291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011509755 | 0.0011609639 | 1.0086783 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9817467E-6 | 1.9817467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.4931735E-6 | 8.4931735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.03399645E-4 | 1.1339861E-4 | 1.0967021 | 1.0E-5 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010335314 | 0.001043521 | 1.0096656 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6208453E-6 | 1.6208453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9464622E-6 | 6.9464622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.457002E-5 | 8.457002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.4539084E-4 | 8.4539084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1501572E-6 | 1.1501572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9292366E-6 | 4.9292366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 6.0011902E-5 | 6.0011902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9996673E-4 | 5.9996673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.389414E-7 | 6.389414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7383178E-6 | 2.7383178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.333858E-5 | 3.333858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3334264E-4 | 3.3334264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.835746E-6 | 5.835746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010122E-5 | 5.5009372E-5 | 2.1994843 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044597E-4 | 3.4444753E-4 | 1.1313403 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408215 | 0.0030906696 | 1.016393 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.835746E-6 | 5.835746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010122E-5 | 5.5009372E-5 | 2.1994843 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044597E-4 | 3.4444753E-4 | 1.1313403 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408215 | 0.0030906696 | 1.016393 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.835746E-6 | 5.835746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010122E-5 | 5.5009372E-5 | 2.1994843 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044597E-4 | 3.4444753E-4 | 1.1313403 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408215 | 0.0030906696 | 1.016393 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3842177E-6 | 3.3842177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4503713E-5 | 2.4503568E-5 | 1.6894686 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7656886E-4 | 1.9656534E-4 | 1.1132503 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017643329 | 0.0017942799 | 1.0169736 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3842177E-6 | 3.3842177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4503713E-5 | 2.4503568E-5 | 1.6894686 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7656886E-4 | 1.9656534E-4 | 1.1132503 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017643329 | 0.0017942799 | 1.0169736 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8563236E-6 | 2.8563236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2241331E-5 | 2.2241209E-5 | 1.8168947 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4902835E-4 | 1.6902536E-4 | 1.1341827 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014893168 | 0.0015192721 | 1.0201135 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.3813445E-6 | 2.3813445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0205724E-5 | 2.0205622E-5 | 1.9798323 | 1.0E-5 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.242478E-4 | 1.4424532E-4 | 1.1609486 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012418036 | 0.0012617788 | 1.0160856 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0968919E-6 | 2.0968919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.98665E-6 | 1.898656E-5 | 2.1127517 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.09407134E-4 | 1.2940494E-4 | 1.1827835 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010935488 | 0.001113527 | 1.0182691 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.891897E-6 | 1.891897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.108106E-6 | 1.8108025E-5 | 2.2333236 | 1.0E-5 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.8711855E-5 | 1.1870988E-4 | 1.2025899 | 2.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.866941E-4 | 0.0010066744 | 1.0202497 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6835517E-6 | 1.6835517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.2152025E-6 | 1.721513E-5 | 2.3859525 | 1.0E-5 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.784166E-5 | 1.0783991E-4 | 1.2276624 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.7808067E-4 | 8.980631E-4 | 1.0227569 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2511655E-6 | 1.2511655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3621266E-6 | 1.5362073E-5 | 2.8649216 | 1.0E-5 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.528196E-5 | 8.5280655E-5 | 1.3063433 | 2.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.526302E-4 | 6.726171E-4 | 1.0306252 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0954451E-6 | 1.0954451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.694756E-6 | 1.46947095E-5 | 3.130026 | 1.0E-5 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7157165E-5 | 7.715602E-5 | 1.3498924 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.7142554E-4 | 5.914141E-4 | 1.0349802 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0490504E-6 | 1.0490504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.495923E-6 | 4.495923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.473649E-5 | 6.473594E-5 | 1.1826835 | 1.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.4723094E-4 | 5.572255E-4 | 1.0182638 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.770439E-7 | 9.770439E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.187324E-6 | 4.187324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.0979485E-5 | 6.0978975E-5 | 1.1961473 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.096787E-4 | 5.196736E-4 | 1.0196102 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.2102994E-7 | 9.2102994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.947265E-6 | 3.947265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.8056903E-5 | 5.8056423E-5 | 1.2080767 | 1.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8046585E-4 | 4.9046107E-4 | 1.0208031 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.677142E-7 | 8.677142E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.71877E-6 | 3.71877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.527509E-5 | 5.527464E-5 | 1.220862 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.526594E-4 | 4.626549E-4 | 1.0220816 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.916876E-7 | 7.916876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3929425E-6 | 3.3929425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.13083E-5 | 4.13083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.130069E-4 | 4.130069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.8549633E-7 | 6.8549633E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.937838E-6 | 2.937838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5767596E-5 | 3.5767596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5761908E-4 | 3.5761908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.649534E-7 | 3.649534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.564085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.9042573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9040986E-4 | 1.9040986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 2.6704017E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.1444579E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.3933774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933775E-6 | 1.3933775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.679201E-5 | 3.679201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5767381E-4 | 1.5767381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019185726 | 0.0019185726 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019077674 | 0.01911691 | 1.0020567 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.679201E-5 | 3.679201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5767381E-4 | 1.5767381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019185726 | 0.0019185726 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019077674 | 0.01911691 | 1.0020567 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.679201E-5 | 3.679201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5767381E-4 | 1.5767381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019185726 | 0.0019185726 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019077674 | 0.01911691 | 1.0020567 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.679201E-5 | 3.679201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5767381E-4 | 1.5767381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019185726 | 0.0019185726 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019077674 | 0.01911691 | 1.0020567 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4859302E-5 | 1.4859302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.36812E-5 | 6.36812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.750478E-4 | 7.750478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007723999 | 0.0077438443 | 1.0025693 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4859302E-5 | 1.4859302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.36812E-5 | 6.36812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.750478E-4 | 7.750478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007723999 | 0.0077438443 | 1.0025693 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3020157E-5 | 1.3020157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.579949E-5 | 5.579949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.7914877E-4 | 6.7914877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067709438 | 0.006780876 | 1.0014669 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2636406E-5 | 1.2636406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4154913E-5 | 5.4154913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.5913826E-4 | 6.5913826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00647886 | 0.00657203 | 0.0065819644 | 1.0015116 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.22386045E-5 | 1.22386045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2450116E-5 | 5.2450116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.383947E-4 | 6.383947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006365796 | 0.006375733 | 1.0015609 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1164463E-5 | 1.1164463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.784683E-5 | 4.784683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.823807E-4 | 5.823807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058086906 | 0.0058186324 | 1.0017116 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0588456E-5 | 1.0588456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.537831E-5 | 4.537831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.523421E-4 | 5.523421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0055098315 | 0.005519776 | 1.001805 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.98745E-6 | 9.98745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.280266E-5 | 4.280266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.2099896E-4 | 5.2099896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052155964 | 0.0051979083 | 0.005207856 | 1.0019139 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.754601E-6 | 8.754601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.751919E-5 | 3.751919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5670147E-4 | 4.5670147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046197 | 0.004557747 | 0.0045677014 | 1.002184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.510005E-6 | 7.510005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2185344E-5 | 3.2185344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9178712E-4 | 3.9178712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039110715 | 0.0039210324 | 1.0025468 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.1871906E-6 | 6.1871906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6516265E-5 | 2.6516265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2278866E-4 | 3.2278866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032232956 | 0.0032332635 | 1.0030924 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.443547E-6 | 4.443547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9043637E-5 | 1.9043637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3183231E-4 | 2.3183231E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.002315974 | 0.0023259511 | 1.0043079 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.301277E-6 | 1.301277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.57689E-6 | 5.57689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.789659E-5 | 6.789659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7876535E-4 | 6.8875856E-4 | 1.0147226 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.614028E-7 | 5.614028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.40601E-6 | 2.40601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9292814E-5 | 2.9292814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9289312E-4 | 2.9289312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8042562E-8 | 4.8042562E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0589667E-7 | 2.0589667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5067893E-6 | 2.5067893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5067618E-5 | 2.5067618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1660625E-4 | 3.2660307E-4 | 1.031575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003162204 | 0.003212046 | 1.0157617 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1660625E-4 | 3.2660307E-4 | 1.031575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003162204 | 0.003212046 | 1.0157617 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1660625E-4 | 3.2660307E-4 | 1.031575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003162204 | 0.003212046 | 1.0157617 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 6.068551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 2.6007854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1660625E-4 | 3.2660307E-4 | 1.031575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003162204 | 0.003212046 | 1.0157617 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5583423E-6 | 3.5583423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5249955E-5 | 1.5249955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8565348E-4 | 1.9565164E-4 | 1.0538538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018550922 | 0.0018750551 | 1.0107611 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.500261E-6 | 3.500261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.5001039E-5 | 1.5001039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8262344E-4 | 1.9262162E-4 | 1.0547475 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018248418 | 0.0018448054 | 1.0109398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3334849E-6 | 2.3334849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 1.0000614E-5 | 1.0000614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.21751094E-4 | 1.3174988E-4 | 1.0821248 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012168864 | 0.001236862 | 1.0164154 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6490337E-6 | 1.6490337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.067269E-6 | 7.067269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.6040796E-5 | 9.6039934E-5 | 1.1162139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002060454 | 8.6009334E-4 | 8.8007614E-4 | 1.0232333 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.225089E-6 | 1.225089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.2503715E-6 | 5.2503715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.392149E-5 | 6.392149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017921652 | 6.3904014E-4 | 6.3904014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0038736E-6 | 1.0038736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.302309E-6 | 4.302309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2379433E-5 | 5.2379433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016353652 | 5.236785E-4 | 5.236785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.432917E-7 | 7.432917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1855323E-6 | 3.1855323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8783215E-5 | 3.8783215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8776948E-4 | 3.8776948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.426174E-7 | 5.426174E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.325501E-6 | 2.325501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.831265E-5 | 2.831265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.8309447E-4 | 2.8309447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.0759148E-7 | 1.0759148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6110628E-7 | 4.6110628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.6139556E-6 | 5.6139556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.613825E-5 | 5.613825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.011449E-8 | 5.011449E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1477638E-7 | 2.1477638E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6148998E-6 | 2.6148998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6148737E-5 | 2.6148737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.880312E-9 | 4.880312E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0915623E-8 | 2.0915623E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.546477E-7 | 2.546477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5464751E-6 | 2.5464751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4717371E-5 | 1.4717371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.307302E-5 | 6.307302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6766097E-4 | 7.776533E-4 | 1.0130166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076518496 | 0.0077014673 | 1.0064844 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4717371E-5 | 1.4717371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.307302E-5 | 6.307302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6766097E-4 | 7.776533E-4 | 1.0130166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076518496 | 0.0077014673 | 1.0064844 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4717371E-5 | 1.4717371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.307302E-5 | 6.307302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6766097E-4 | 7.776533E-4 | 1.0130166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076518496 | 0.0077014673 | 1.0064844 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1798171E-5 | 1.1798171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.056267E-5 | 5.056267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.15437E-4 | 6.15437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061383676 | 0.006168184 | 1.0048573 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1798171E-5 | 1.1798171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.056267E-5 | 5.056267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.15437E-4 | 6.15437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061383676 | 0.006168184 | 1.0048573 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0458829E-5 | 1.0458829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4822835E-5 | 4.4822835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.4559065E-4 | 5.4559065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054434394 | 0.005473276 | 1.0054812 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.417721E-6 | 9.417721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.036109E-5 | 4.036109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9129437E-4 | 4.9129437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045864056 | 0.0049029654 | 0.0049328185 | 1.0060887 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.408196E-6 | 9.408196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0320265E-5 | 4.0320265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.9079757E-4 | 4.9079757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004581874 | 0.004898019 | 0.004927872 | 1.0060949 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.383339E-6 | 7.383339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.1642543E-5 | 3.1642543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8518803E-4 | 3.8518803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038460097 | 0.0038758942 | 1.0077703 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.2732553E-6 | 5.2732553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2599505E-5 | 2.2599505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.751204E-4 | 2.751204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027484037 | 0.002758376 | 1.0036285 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.591678E-6 | 3.591678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5392838E-5 | 1.5392838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.873958E-4 | 1.873958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018727806 | 0.0018827618 | 1.0053296 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2940661E-6 | 1.2940661E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.545995E-6 | 5.545995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.7522036E-5 | 6.7522036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7517546E-4 | 6.851687E-4 | 1.0148009 | 1.0E-5 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8964092E-5 | 2.8964092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035210822 | 0.0035709061 | 1.0141501 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8964092E-5 | 2.8964092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035210822 | 0.0035709061 | 1.0141501 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8964092E-5 | 2.8964092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035210822 | 0.0035709061 | 1.0141501 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8964092E-5 | 2.8964092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035210822 | 0.0035709061 | 1.0141501 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 6.7583524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8964092E-5 | 2.8964092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 3.5258874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035210822 | 0.0035709061 | 1.0141501 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2575288E-6 | 3.2575288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3960767E-5 | 1.3960767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.699599E-4 | 1.699599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016983788 | 0.0017183449 | 1.011756 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2575288E-6 | 3.2575288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3960767E-5 | 1.3960767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.699599E-4 | 1.699599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016983788 | 0.0017183449 | 1.011756 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2074E-6 | 2.2074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.460253E-6 | 9.460253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1517269E-4 | 1.1517269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011511494 | 0.0011511494 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7367653E-6 | 1.7367653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.443259E-6 | 7.443259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.061801E-5 | 9.061801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.058203E-4 | 9.058203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3690272E-6 | 1.3690272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.8672467E-6 | 5.8672467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.143143E-5 | 7.143143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.1408926E-4 | 7.1408926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1415182E-6 | 1.1415182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8922116E-6 | 4.8922116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.956108E-5 | 5.956108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.954543E-4 | 5.954543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.3038193E-7 | 9.3038193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.9873453E-6 | 3.9873453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.854486E-5 | 4.854486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8534435E-4 | 4.8534435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.7201313E-7 | 6.7201313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8800532E-6 | 2.8800532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.506409E-5 | 3.506409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.505865E-4 | 3.505865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.9399233E-7 | 4.9399233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1171084E-6 | 2.1171084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5775495E-5 | 2.5775495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5772554E-4 | 2.5772554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.3000245E-7 | 3.3000245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4142954E-6 | 1.4142954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7218914E-5 | 1.7218914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7217603E-4 | 1.7217603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4752247E-7 | 1.4752247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.3223905E-7 | 6.3223905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.697484E-6 | 7.697484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.6972254E-5 | 7.6972254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7356326E-8 | 1.7356326E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.438425E-8 | 7.438425E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.05628E-7 | 9.05628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.056248E-6 | 9.056248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.8117313E-4 | 4.8117313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020605784 | 0.0020605784 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024792913 | 0.024812417 | 1.0007867 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21514879 | 0.21518804 | 1.0001824 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.8117313E-4 | 4.8117313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020605784 | 0.0020605784 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024792913 | 0.024812417 | 1.0007867 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21514879 | 0.21518804 | 1.0001824 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.7191046E-4 | 4.7191046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.002020943 | 0.002020943 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011405343 | 0.024322003 | 0.024341518 | 1.0008023 | 2.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.21156302 | 0.21160245 | 1.0001863 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.6624665E-4 | 4.6624665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019967067 | 0.0019967067 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011262234 | 0.024033858 | 0.024053378 | 1.0008122 | 2.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.2094524 | 0.20949194 | 1.0001887 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0499028E-4 | 4.0499028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017345329 | 0.0017345329 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00974259 | 0.020911694 | 0.020921485 | 1.0004683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.18619978 | 0.18623233 | 1.0001749 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7914029E-4 | 3.7914029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016238876 | 0.0016238876 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009034078 | 0.019591525 | 0.019601328 | 1.0005004 | 1.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17599054 | 0.1760235 | 1.0001873 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.530589E-4 | 3.530589E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0015122425 | 0.0015122425 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008271996 | 0.018256053 | 0.01826587 | 1.0005378 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16534747 | 0.16538085 | 1.000202 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2445468E-4 | 3.2445468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013897875 | 0.0013897875 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007417723 | 0.016789462 | 0.016799295 | 1.0005856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15341212 | 0.15344597 | 1.0002208 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9377488E-4 | 2.9377488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.001258434 | 0.001258434 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015215274 | 0.015225122 | 1.0006472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13965978 | 0.1396942 | 1.0002464 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6500938E-4 | 2.6500938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011352645 | 0.0011352645 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005298089 | 0.013735271 | 0.013745134 | 1.000718 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.12595916 | 0.12599413 | 1.0002775 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2583456E-4 | 2.2583456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.6750667E-4 | 9.6750667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011716493 | 0.011726377 | 1.0008435 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.10801755 | 0.10805322 | 1.0003303 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2264101E-4 | 2.2264101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.538301E-4 | 9.538301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011551759 | 0.011561643 | 1.0008557 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.10657258 | 0.10660832 | 1.0003353 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0385116E-4 | 2.0385116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.733584E-4 | 8.733584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010581947 | 0.01059184 | 1.000935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.0982232 | 0.09825927 | 1.0003673 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.900832E-4 | 1.900832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.1439083E-4 | 8.1439083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009870731 | 0.009880632 | 1.0010031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.09209463 | 0.092130944 | 1.0003943 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2657099E-4 | 1.2657099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.4233515E-4 | 5.4233515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006583118 | 0.006593052 | 1.0015091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.06292092 | 0.062958404 | 1.0005957 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.441297E-5 | 9.441297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.045646E-4 | 4.045646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004914513 | 0.0049244636 | 1.0020248 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.047527567 | 0.047565665 | 1.0008016 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.145117E-5 | 7.145117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.061835E-4 | 3.061835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001354725 | 0.0037214367 | 0.0037313995 | 1.0026771 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.03625619 | 0.036285102 | 1.0007974 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 5.0193546E-5 | 5.0193546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1509749E-4 | 2.1509749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0026156728 | 0.0026256465 | 1.0038131 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025647847 | 0.025667334 | 1.0007598 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 4.0377687E-5 | 4.0377687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7303576E-4 | 1.7303576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0021046775 | 0.0021146564 | 1.0047413 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.02074317 | 0.020762756 | 1.0009441 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.9299466E-5 | 2.9299466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.255631E-4 | 1.255631E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0015276598 | 0.0015376447 | 1.006536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.015247482 | 0.015267177 | 1.0012916 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3752576E-5 | 2.3752576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 1.0179279E-4 | 1.0179279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012386235 | 0.0012486111 | 1.0080634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012432149 | 0.0124519 | 1.0015887 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.5332027E-6 | 7.5332027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.2284755E-5 | 3.2284755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.9299612E-4 | 4.029922E-4 | 1.0254356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020520731 | 0.004102779 | 0.004112738 | 1.0024273 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2969277E-6 | 2.2969277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.843939E-6 | 9.843939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.198434E-4 | 1.198434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0013071712 | 0.0013071712 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.8044943E-8 | 1.8044943E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.733547E-8 | 7.733547E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.415592E-7 | 9.415592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.810139E-6 | 9.810139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.7134476E-5 | 4.7134476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0199036E-4 | 2.0199036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024566557 | 0.0024566557 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021239553 | 0.024315666 | 0.024364451 | 1.0020063 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3885192E-5 | 2.3885192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0236125E-4 | 1.0236125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012455648 | 0.0012455648 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012388881 | 0.012398758 | 1.0007972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3885192E-5 | 2.3885192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0236125E-4 | 1.0236125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012455648 | 0.0012455648 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012388881 | 0.012398758 | 1.0007972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7088169E-5 | 1.7088169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.323302E-5 | 7.323302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9125935E-4 | 8.9125935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007878214 | 0.008878103 | 0.008888015 | 1.0011164 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3863728E-5 | 1.3863728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.941467E-5 | 5.941467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.2314165E-4 | 7.2314165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006419184 | 0.0072087236 | 0.0072186515 | 1.0013772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0124558E-5 | 1.0124558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3390268E-5 | 4.3390268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.281538E-4 | 5.281538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004716845 | 0.0052695246 | 0.005279472 | 1.0018877 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.406815E-6 | 8.406815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.6028734E-5 | 3.6028734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3856585E-4 | 4.3856585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043774336 | 0.0043774336 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.0915295E-6 | 6.0915295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6106312E-5 | 2.6106312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1780126E-4 | 3.1780126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.00317379 | 0.00317379 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0855866E-6 | 4.0855866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7509552E-5 | 1.7509552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1316044E-4 | 2.1316044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021298055 | 0.0021298055 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6304558E-6 | 2.6304558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1273333E-5 | 1.1273333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3724422E-4 | 1.3724422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013715975 | 0.0013715975 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4838605E-6 | 2.4838605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.06450725E-5 | 1.06450725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2959607E-4 | 1.2959607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012952073 | 0.0012952073 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3742634E-6 | 2.3742634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0175375E-5 | 1.0175375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2387817E-4 | 1.2387817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012380931 | 0.0012380931 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2771173E-6 | 2.2771173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.759038E-6 | 9.759038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.18809825E-4 | 1.18809825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.001187465 | 0.001187465 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1096023E-6 | 2.1096023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.041121E-6 | 9.041121E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.10070105E-4 | 1.10070105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0011001577 | 0.0011001577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8053214E-6 | 1.8053214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.737069E-6 | 7.737069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.419476E-5 | 9.419476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.4154995E-4 | 9.4154995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.5158254E-7 | 9.5158254E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0782047E-6 | 4.0782047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9651022E-5 | 4.9651022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.9640046E-4 | 4.9640046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.054165E-7 | 4.054165E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7374981E-6 | 1.7374981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.115384E-5 | 2.115384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1151893E-4 | 2.1151893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.34054E-8 | 6.34054E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.717374E-7 | 2.717374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.308398E-6 | 3.308398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3083492E-5 | 3.3083492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3965828E-9 | 1.3965828E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.9853544E-9 | 5.9853544E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.287169E-8 | 7.287169E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.2871677E-7 | 7.2871677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.104408E-5 | 1.104408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.733121E-5 | 4.733121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7615776E-4 | 5.961463E-4 | 1.0346928 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005751809 | 0.0058015217 | 1.0086429 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.104408E-5 | 1.104408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.733121E-5 | 4.733121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7615776E-4 | 5.961463E-4 | 1.0346928 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005751809 | 0.0058015217 | 1.0086429 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2088905E-6 | 2.2088905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.466663E-6 | 9.466663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1525473E-4 | 1.2525357E-4 | 1.0867543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011523612 | 0.0011723381 | 1.0173357 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2088905E-6 | 2.2088905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.466663E-6 | 9.466663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1525473E-4 | 1.2525357E-4 | 1.0867543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011523612 | 0.0011723381 | 1.0173357 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8114407E-6 | 1.8114407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.763318E-6 | 7.763318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.451839E-5 | 1.0451744E-4 | 1.1057895 | 1.0E-5 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.451839E-4 | 9.5517444E-4 | 1.0105699 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2956924E-4 | 3.2956924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014116799 | 0.0014116799 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062038354 | 0.017053112 | 0.017072773 | 1.0011528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.1535205 | 0.15356281 | 1.0002757 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2956924E-4 | 3.2956924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014116799 | 0.0014116799 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062038354 | 0.017053112 | 0.017072773 | 1.0011528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.1535205 | 0.15356281 | 1.0002757 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0456248E-4 | 3.0456248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0013046189 | 0.0013046189 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005590286 | 0.01576917 | 0.015788855 | 1.0012482 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05451731 | 0.1426969 | 0.14273977 | 1.0003004 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.040154E-4 | 3.040154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0013022767 | 0.0013022767 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005577586 | 0.015741067 | 0.015760751 | 1.0012505 | 2.0E-5 | 0.054396555 | 0.14246532 | 0.14250821 | 1.000301 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9609306E-4 | 2.9609306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012683572 | 0.0012683572 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053892885 | 0.01533398 | 0.015353673 | 1.0012842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.052604496 | 0.13902713 | 0.13907018 | 1.0003096 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.932863E-4 | 2.932863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012563398 | 0.0012563398 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053228354 | 0.01518972 | 0.015209416 | 1.0012966 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051971316 | 0.13781263 | 0.13785574 | 1.0003128 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.9094284E-4 | 2.9094284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.001246306 | 0.001246306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052651367 | 0.015069253 | 0.015088951 | 1.0013072 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051421247 | 0.13679181 | 0.13683498 | 1.0003155 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8952782E-4 | 2.8952782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012402474 | 0.0012402474 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005230834 | 0.014996507 | 0.0150162075 | 1.0013137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.051094085 | 0.13617714 | 0.13622032 | 1.0003172 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.875592E-4 | 2.875592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012318185 | 0.0012318185 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014895293 | 0.014914995 | 1.0013227 | 2.0E-5 | 0.050728295 | 0.13532732 | 0.13537055 | 1.0003195 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8251033E-4 | 2.8251033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012102007 | 0.0012102007 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050888555 | 0.0146356635 | 0.01465537 | 1.0013465 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049738888 | 0.13315088 | 0.13319422 | 1.0003256 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.49721E-4 | 2.49721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010697972 | 0.0010697972 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012947784 | 0.012967525 | 1.0015247 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04338823 | 0.11898134 | 0.119025394 | 1.0003703 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.457224E-4 | 2.457224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010526741 | 0.0010526741 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004331963 | 0.012741769 | 0.012761514 | 1.0015496 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042484846 | 0.11719304 | 0.11723718 | 1.0003767 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2613879E-4 | 2.2613879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.6880936E-4 | 9.6880936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011732163 | 0.011751928 | 1.0016847 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03870018 | 0.10858055 | 0.10862513 | 1.0004104 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.0921644E-4 | 2.0921644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.963367E-4 | 8.963367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036891096 | 0.01085893 | 0.010878712 | 1.0018218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03628465 | 0.10107932 | 0.10112427 | 1.0004447 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4425938E-4 | 1.4425938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.181089E-4 | 6.181089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026816884 | 0.007499701 | 0.007519551 | 1.0026468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02649557 | 0.07150943 | 0.07155585 | 1.0006492 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.1071367E-4 | 1.1071367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.7440123E-4 | 4.7440123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002099857 | 0.0057606096 | 0.0057804943 | 1.0034518 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020801254 | 0.05558741 | 0.055634633 | 1.0008495 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.553802E-5 | 8.553802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.6654013E-4 | 3.6654013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016250437 | 0.0044535217 | 0.004473433 | 1.0044708 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016132116 | 0.04332698 | 0.043365248 | 1.0008832 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.339929E-5 | 6.339929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.7168298E-4 | 2.7168298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001152546 | 0.00330273 | 0.003322664 | 1.0060356 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.032359462 | 0.032388493 | 1.000897 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.2698062E-5 | 5.2698062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.258293E-4 | 2.258293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.002746008 | 0.002765953 | 1.0072633 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.027050875 | 0.027080065 | 1.001079 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8962935E-5 | 3.8962935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6697333E-4 | 1.6697333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0020310062 | 0.0020509656 | 1.0098274 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.02025155 | 0.020280942 | 1.0014514 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1702148E-5 | 3.1702148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3585929E-4 | 1.3585929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016528327 | 0.0016727997 | 1.0120804 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.016575905 | 0.016605407 | 1.0017799 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 9.235016E-6 | 9.235016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.9578037E-5 | 3.9578037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.8175623E-4 | 4.917514E-4 | 1.0207474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002658026 | 0.0050479616 | 0.005057911 | 1.001971 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.8906088E-6 | 2.8906088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.23882655E-5 | 1.23882655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.5081672E-4 | 1.5081672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0016511616 | 0.0016511616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 6.09726E-8 | 6.09726E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.6131113E-7 | 2.6131113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.1814586E-6 | 3.1814586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.3409535E-5 | 3.3409535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3802222E-5 | 3.3802222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4485931E-4 | 1.4485931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017623563 | 0.0017723386 | 1.0056642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01749615 | 0.01753545 | 1.0022463 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3802222E-5 | 3.3802222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4485931E-4 | 1.4485931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017623563 | 0.0017723386 | 1.0056642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01749615 | 0.01753545 | 1.0022463 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3802222E-5 | 3.3802222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4485931E-4 | 1.4485931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017623563 | 0.0017723386 | 1.0056642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01749615 | 0.01753545 | 1.0022463 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.592411E-5 | 1.592411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.824448E-5 | 6.824448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3057414E-4 | 8.3057414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008276159 | 0.008286076 | 1.0011983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.592411E-5 | 1.592411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.824448E-5 | 6.824448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3057414E-4 | 8.3057414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008276159 | 0.008286076 | 1.0011983 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1341957E-5 | 1.1341957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8607522E-5 | 4.8607522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.9164286E-4 | 5.9164286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006966323 | 0.0059013832 | 0.005911324 | 1.0016845 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.629655E-6 | 8.629655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6983736E-5 | 3.6983736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.501883E-4 | 4.501883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044932 | 0.004503155 | 1.0022156 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.805855E-6 | 6.805855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.916764E-5 | 2.916764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.5506135E-4 | 3.5506135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.003545258 | 0.0035552226 | 1.0028107 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.938895E-6 | 4.938895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1166526E-5 | 2.1166526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5767312E-4 | 2.5767312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025738566 | 0.0025838309 | 1.0038753 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8342846E-6 | 3.8342846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6432548E-5 | 1.6432548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 2.0004844E-4 | 2.0004844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019987363 | 0.0019987363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6813047E-6 | 2.6813047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1491256E-5 | 1.1491256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3989733E-4 | 1.3989733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013981189 | 0.0013981189 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8873588E-6 | 1.8873588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.088657E-6 | 8.088657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.847507E-5 | 9.847507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.843272E-4 | 9.843272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2833268E-6 | 1.2833268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.499961E-6 | 5.499961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.696007E-5 | 6.696007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.69409E-4 | 6.69409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.069873E-7 | 6.069873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.601372E-6 | 2.601372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1671283E-5 | 3.1671283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1667145E-4 | 3.1667145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1198E-7 | 3.1198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3370563E-6 | 1.3370563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6278542E-5 | 1.6278542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6277362E-4 | 1.6277362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8319378E-7 | 1.8319378E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.8511596E-7 | 7.8511596E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.558746E-6 | 9.558746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.558343E-5 | 9.558343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.914508E-8 | 4.914508E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.1062176E-7 | 2.1062176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5643174E-6 | 2.5643174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5642914E-5 | 2.5642914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136907E-5 | 2.3136907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9157274E-5 | 1.0915628E-4 | 1.1008399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.00120708 | 0.0012270558 | 1.0165489 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055116 | 0.012094634 | 1.0032781 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136907E-5 | 2.3136907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9157274E-5 | 1.0915628E-4 | 1.1008399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.00120708 | 0.0012270558 | 1.0165489 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055116 | 0.012094634 | 1.0032781 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136907E-5 | 2.3136907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9157274E-5 | 1.0915628E-4 | 1.1008399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.00120708 | 0.0012270558 | 1.0165489 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055116 | 0.012094634 | 1.0032781 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136907E-5 | 2.3136907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9157274E-5 | 1.0915628E-4 | 1.1008399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.00120708 | 0.0012270558 | 1.0165489 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055116 | 0.012094634 | 1.0032781 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136907E-5 | 2.3136907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9157274E-5 | 1.0915628E-4 | 1.1008399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.00120708 | 0.0012270558 | 1.0165489 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012055116 | 0.012094634 | 1.0032781 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0071677E-5 | 2.0071677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.602147E-5 | 9.602061E-5 | 1.11624 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010473112 | 0.0010672903 | 1.0190765 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010473078 | 0.010512659 | 1.0037793 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0071677E-5 | 2.0071677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.602147E-5 | 9.602061E-5 | 1.11624 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010473112 | 0.0010672903 | 1.0190765 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010473078 | 0.010512659 | 1.0037793 | 4.0E-5 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.512631E-5 | 3.5126057E-5 | 1.3979793 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0768069E-4 | 1.17679614E-4 | 1.0928571 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013103923 | 0.0013303661 | 1.0152426 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043279 | 0.013082758 | 1.0030267 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.512631E-5 | 3.5126057E-5 | 1.3979793 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0768069E-4 | 1.17679614E-4 | 1.0928571 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013103923 | 0.0013303661 | 1.0152426 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043279 | 0.013082758 | 1.0030267 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.512631E-5 | 3.5126057E-5 | 1.3979793 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0768069E-4 | 1.17679614E-4 | 1.0928571 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013103923 | 0.0013303661 | 1.0152426 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043279 | 0.013082758 | 1.0030267 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.512631E-5 | 3.5126057E-5 | 1.3979793 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0768069E-4 | 1.17679614E-4 | 1.0928571 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013103923 | 0.0013303661 | 1.0152426 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043279 | 0.013082758 | 1.0030267 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.37917095E-5 | 2.3791572E-5 | 1.7250632 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9106518E-5 | 6.9105925E-5 | 1.1691761 | 1.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.1947824E-4 | 7.2947104E-4 | 1.013889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007180709 | 0.0072104936 | 1.0041479 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.37917095E-5 | 2.3791572E-5 | 1.7250632 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9106518E-5 | 6.9105925E-5 | 1.1691761 | 1.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.1947824E-4 | 7.2947104E-4 | 1.013889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007180709 | 0.0072104936 | 1.0041479 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.64124E-6 | 1.9641144E-5 | 2.037201 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.1319414E-5 | 5.1319E-5 | 1.242007 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.030311E-4 | 5.13026E-4 | 1.0198694 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.005027097 | 0.0050469968 | 1.0039585 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.094575E-6 | 1.8094493E-5 | 2.2353854 | 1.0E-5 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.4691035E-5 | 4.469069E-5 | 1.2882489 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2236334E-4 | 4.3235914E-4 | 1.0236663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042236336 | 0.004243549 | 1.0047152 | 2.0E-5 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.74368E-6 | 9.74368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050726524 | 0.005112449 | 1.0078454 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.74368E-6 | 9.74368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050726524 | 0.005112449 | 1.0078454 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.74368E-6 | 9.74368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050726524 | 0.005112449 | 1.0078454 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.74368E-6 | 9.74368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 4.175803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 5.082985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050726524 | 0.005112449 | 1.0078454 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.301094E-6 | 5.301094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2718796E-5 | 2.2718796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7656968E-4 | 2.7656968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027625954 | 0.0027725678 | 1.0036098 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.301094E-6 | 5.301094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2718796E-5 | 2.2718796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7656968E-4 | 2.7656968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027625954 | 0.0027725678 | 1.0036098 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4994232E-6 | 3.4994232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4997451E-5 | 1.4997451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8258028E-4 | 1.8258028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018244605 | 0.0018344423 | 1.0054711 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4862887E-6 | 3.4862887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4941161E-5 | 1.4941161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8189505E-4 | 1.8189505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018176194 | 0.0018276013 | 1.0054917 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7341919E-6 | 2.7341919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.171792E-5 | 1.171792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4265768E-4 | 1.4265768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014257932 | 0.0014357789 | 1.0070037 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.4747737E-6 | 2.4747737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0606138E-5 | 1.0606138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.291234E-4 | 1.291234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012906133 | 0.0013006005 | 1.0077382 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7432473E-6 | 1.7432473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4710442E-6 | 7.4710442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.095722E-5 | 9.095722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.093027E-4 | 9.1929355E-4 | 1.0109874 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.571935E-7 | 3.571935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5308283E-6 | 1.5308283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8637678E-5 | 1.8637678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.863614E-4 | 1.863614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2753343E-7 | 2.2753343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.751429E-7 | 9.751429E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1872302E-5 | 1.1872302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.1871678E-4 | 1.1871678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.606286E-7 | 1.606286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.8840814E-7 | 6.8840814E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.3813375E-6 | 8.3813375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.381027E-5 | 8.381027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.14330945E-7 | 1.14330945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.8998965E-7 | 4.8998965E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.965608E-6 | 5.965608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9654525E-5 | 5.9654525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9793773E-8 | 4.9793773E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1340188E-7 | 2.1340188E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5981649E-6 | 2.5981649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5981362E-5 | 2.5981362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5319652E-9 | 1.5319652E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.565565E-9 | 6.565565E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.993575E-8 | 7.993575E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.9935757E-7 | 7.9935757E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.8327346E-5 | 8.8327346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.78494E-4 | 3.78494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0045989915 | 0.0045989915 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03752231 | 0.045102034 | 0.04513068 | 1.0006351 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.493762E-5 | 4.493762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9257603E-4 | 1.9257603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.002342173 | 0.002342173 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019602431 | 0.023183513 | 0.023183513 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.333146E-5 | 3.333146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4284134E-4 | 1.4284134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.001737728 | 0.001737728 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.01724404 | 0.01724404 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.333146E-5 | 3.333146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4284134E-4 | 1.4284134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.001737728 | 0.001737728 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.01724404 | 0.01724404 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5472125E-5 | 2.5472125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0916172E-4 | 1.0916172E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013282431 | 0.0013282431 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011519298 | 0.01320421 | 0.01320421 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4046802E-5 | 2.4046802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0305369E-4 | 1.0305369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012539654 | 0.0012539654 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010900296 | 0.01246998 | 0.01246998 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0722959E-5 | 2.0722959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.8809684E-5 | 8.8809684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.001080727 | 0.001080727 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.010755383 | 0.010755383 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.799883E-5 | 1.799883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.713557E-5 | 7.713557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.387237E-4 | 9.387237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.009347952 | 0.009347952 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6214555E-5 | 1.6214555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.948911E-5 | 6.948911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.457036E-4 | 8.457036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008425119 | 0.008425119 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.42175895E-5 | 1.42175895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.093111E-5 | 6.093111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.415852E-4 | 7.415852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.0073912917 | 0.0073912917 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2299381E-5 | 1.2299381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2710573E-5 | 5.2710573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.4156327E-4 | 6.4156327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.0063972394 | 0.0063972394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0615766E-5 | 1.0615766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.549535E-5 | 4.549535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.537659E-4 | 5.537659E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.0055239564 | 0.0055239564 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.26633E-6 | 9.26633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9712242E-5 | 3.9712242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8338997E-4 | 4.8338997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.0048234654 | 0.0048234654 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.095642E-6 | 7.095642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0409543E-5 | 3.0409543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.701737E-4 | 3.701737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.003695617 | 0.003695617 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.647426E-6 | 5.647426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4203033E-5 | 2.4203033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9463248E-4 | 2.9463248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.00294246 | 0.00294246 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.971273E-6 | 1.971273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.448286E-6 | 8.448286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0285326E-4 | 1.0285326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010280786 | 0.0010280786 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7537384E-7 | 1.7537384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.51602E-7 | 7.51602E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.150717E-6 | 9.150717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.150361E-5 | 9.150361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.327099E-6 | 4.327099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544593E-5 | 1.8544593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576001E-4 | 2.2576001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556004 | 0.0022855327 | 1.0132703 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.327099E-6 | 4.327099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544593E-5 | 1.8544593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576001E-4 | 2.2576001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556004 | 0.0022855327 | 1.0132703 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.327099E-6 | 4.327099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544593E-5 | 1.8544593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576001E-4 | 2.2576001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556004 | 0.0022855327 | 1.0132703 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.327099E-6 | 4.327099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544593E-5 | 1.8544593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576001E-4 | 2.2576001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556004 | 0.0022855327 | 1.0132703 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.327099E-6 | 4.327099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544593E-5 | 1.8544593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576001E-4 | 2.2576001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556004 | 0.0022855327 | 1.0132703 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.327099E-6 | 4.327099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544593E-5 | 1.8544593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2576001E-4 | 2.2576001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022556004 | 0.0022855327 | 1.0132703 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5326265E-6 | 2.5326265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0854071E-5 | 1.0854071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3214079E-4 | 1.3214079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013206705 | 0.0013506308 | 1.0226858 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5326265E-6 | 2.5326265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0854071E-5 | 1.0854071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3214079E-4 | 1.3214079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013206705 | 0.0013506308 | 1.0226858 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8328066E-6 | 1.8328066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.854862E-6 | 7.854862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.562888E-5 | 9.562888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010282523 | 9.5589017E-4 | 9.858615E-4 | 1.0313543 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7435261E-6 | 1.7435261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.472234E-6 | 7.472234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.0970774E-5 | 9.0970774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.093474E-4 | 9.393201E-4 | 1.0329607 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3853861E-6 | 1.3853861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9373556E-6 | 5.9373556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.228496E-5 | 7.228496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.2261965E-4 | 7.5259793E-4 | 1.0414857 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1628897E-6 | 1.1628897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.9838036E-6 | 4.9838036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0676153E-5 | 6.0676153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.0659903E-4 | 6.3658087E-4 | 1.0494261 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.413151E-7 | 9.413151E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.0342015E-6 | 4.0342015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.9115315E-5 | 4.9115315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.9104646E-4 | 5.2103173E-4 | 1.061064 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2374536E-7 | 7.2374536E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1017623E-6 | 3.1017623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.776331E-5 | 3.776331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7757008E-4 | 4.0755875E-4 | 1.0794255 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0210343E-7 | 5.0210343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1518701E-6 | 2.1518701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6198708E-5 | 2.6198708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6195665E-4 | 2.919488E-4 | 1.1144928 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6835547E-7 | 3.6835547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.5786654E-6 | 1.5786654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9220084E-5 | 1.9220084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9218442E-4 | 2.2217867E-4 | 1.1560701 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3462762E-7 | 2.3462762E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0055466E-6 | 1.0055466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2242462E-5 | 1.2242462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.22418E-4 | 1.5241433E-4 | 1.245032 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.860075E-8 | 6.860075E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.9400317E-7 | 2.9400317E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5794833E-6 | 3.5794833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5794306E-5 | 3.5794306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.175325E-5 | 8.175325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.5032615E-4 | 3.6032265E-4 | 1.0285348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042573735 | 0.0042772884 | 1.0046778 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04181327 | 0.041842017 | 1.0006875 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.175325E-5 | 8.175325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.5032615E-4 | 3.6032265E-4 | 1.0285348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042573735 | 0.0042772884 | 1.0046778 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04181327 | 0.041832436 | 1.0004584 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.650547E-5 | 4.650547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9929417E-4 | 1.9929417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024237612 | 0.0024237612 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020349167 | 0.023979895 | 0.023979895 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.796872E-5 | 3.796872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6271311E-4 | 1.6271311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019792628 | 0.0019792628 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01686163 | 0.019620135 | 0.019620135 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.4131986E-5 | 3.4131986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.462719E-4 | 1.462719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.001779432 | 0.001779432 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.017655011 | 0.017655011 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.227937E-5 | 3.227937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3833298E-4 | 1.3833298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016829285 | 0.0016829285 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016704855 | 0.016704855 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5786494E-5 | 2.5786494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1050895E-4 | 1.1050895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013446307 | 0.0013446307 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013366668 | 0.013366668 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2686723E-5 | 2.2686723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.722525E-5 | 9.722525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.001183086 | 0.001183086 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.011769171 | 0.011769171 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.8994135E-5 | 1.8994135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.140095E-5 | 8.140095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.906153E-4 | 9.906153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009863025 | 0.009863025 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7284146E-5 | 1.7284146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.4072865E-5 | 7.4072865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.014728E-4 | 9.014728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008979107 | 0.008979107 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4044778E-5 | 1.4044778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.019056E-5 | 6.019056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.3258125E-4 | 7.3258125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.007302451 | 0.007302451 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2385467E-5 | 1.2385467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.3079537E-5 | 5.3079537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.4605905E-4 | 6.4605905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.006442556 | 0.006442556 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0854005E-5 | 1.0854005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6516376E-5 | 4.6516376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.661969E-4 | 5.661969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.005648269 | 0.005648269 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.0915755E-6 | 9.0915755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8963353E-5 | 3.8963353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7428266E-4 | 4.7428266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047334083 | 0.0047334083 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3652893E-6 | 3.3652893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4422617E-5 | 1.4422617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7558628E-4 | 1.7558628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017549713 | 0.0017549713 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2876754E-5 | 1.2876754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5185046E-5 | 5.5185046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.7169295E-4 | 6.816863E-4 | 1.0148778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0067007146 | 0.0067305136 | 1.0044471 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2876754E-5 | 1.2876754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5185046E-5 | 5.5185046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.7169295E-4 | 6.816863E-4 | 1.0148778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0067007146 | 0.0067305136 | 1.0044471 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2876754E-5 | 1.2876754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5185046E-5 | 5.5185046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.7169295E-4 | 6.816863E-4 | 1.0148778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0067007146 | 0.0067305136 | 1.0044471 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.1709295E-6 | 8.1709295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.501782E-5 | 3.501782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.2626174E-4 | 4.3625748E-4 | 1.0234498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.0042566587 | 0.0042865314 | 1.0070177 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.155216E-6 | 8.155216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.4950477E-5 | 3.4950477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.254422E-4 | 4.3543795E-4 | 1.023495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.0042484947 | 0.0042783674 | 1.0070313 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.4800273E-6 | 7.4800273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.205688E-5 | 3.205688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.9022544E-4 | 4.0022153E-4 | 1.0256162 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038975775 | 0.0039274604 | 1.0076671 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.9397765E-6 | 6.9397765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.9741574E-5 | 2.9741574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.6204598E-4 | 3.7204236E-4 | 1.0276108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0036167041 | 0.0036465956 | 1.0082649 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 6.0496614E-6 | 6.0496614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.592687E-5 | 2.592687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.156155E-4 | 3.156155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019270873 | 0.003153724 | 0.003173661 | 1.0063217 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.7549005E-6 | 5.7549005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4663634E-5 | 2.4663634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8089297E-4 | 3.0023983E-4 | 3.0023983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0030003847 | 0.0030203245 | 1.0066458 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.873913E-6 | 4.873913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0888037E-5 | 2.0888037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5428293E-4 | 2.5428293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014436257 | 0.0025418936 | 0.002551868 | 1.0039241 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 4.0292844E-6 | 4.0292844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.726825E-5 | 1.726825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.1022122E-4 | 2.1022122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0021021555 | 0.0021121346 | 1.004747 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3851247E-6 | 3.3851247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4507599E-5 | 1.4507599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7661607E-4 | 1.7661607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017666573 | 0.0017766397 | 1.0056504 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.8325076E-6 | 2.8325076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.2139263E-5 | 1.2139263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4778573E-4 | 1.4778573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014787471 | 0.0014887323 | 1.0067525 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.646244E-6 | 2.646244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1340998E-5 | 1.1340998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3806812E-4 | 1.3806812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.0013815075 | 0.0013914936 | 1.0072285 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.517866E-6 | 2.517866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.0790812E-5 | 1.0790812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.3137043E-4 | 1.3137043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0013143789 | 0.0013143789 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.4405024E-6 | 2.4405024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.04592555E-5 | 1.04592555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2733422E-4 | 1.2733422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012738758 | 0.0012738758 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.074329E-6 | 2.074329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.8899515E-6 | 8.8899515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.08229964E-4 | 1.08229964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010833283 | 0.0010833283 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1814965E-6 | 1.1814965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 5.0635467E-6 | 5.0635467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.1646984E-5 | 6.1646984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.1904057E-4 | 6.1904057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.638913E-7 | 2.638913E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1309623E-6 | 1.1309623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3769383E-5 | 1.3769383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.387161E-4 | 1.387161E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.2247173E-8 | 4.2247173E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.8105929E-7 | 1.8105929E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.2043948E-6 | 2.2043948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.2365437E-5 | 2.2365437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7199675E-5 | 4.7199675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0227351E-4 | 2.0227351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024607321 | 0.002480683 | 1.0081077 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021518968 | 0.024416775 | 0.02444604 | 1.0011986 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6869815E-5 | 1.6869815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.229727E-5 | 7.229727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.7987445E-4 | 8.7987445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009028391 | 0.008765063 | 0.008765063 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3685752E-5 | 1.3685752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.8651924E-5 | 5.8651924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.1385707E-4 | 7.1385707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007600669 | 0.0071160956 | 0.0071160956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2493798E-5 | 1.2493798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.3543765E-5 | 5.3543765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.517035E-4 | 6.517035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00704657 | 0.006498299 | 0.006498299 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1990412E-5 | 1.1990412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.1386483E-5 | 5.1386483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.254539E-4 | 6.254539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006810953 | 0.006237293 | 0.006237293 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.10594665E-5 | 1.10594665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.739687E-5 | 4.739687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.769068E-4 | 5.769068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006372592 | 0.0057544135 | 0.0057544135 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0073605E-5 | 1.0073605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.317189E-5 | 4.317189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.254931E-4 | 5.254931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059059616 | 0.005242763 | 0.005242763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.526677E-6 | 9.526677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.082799E-5 | 4.082799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.969694E-4 | 4.969694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005652734 | 0.004958826 | 0.004958826 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.309291E-6 | 9.309291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.9896364E-5 | 3.9896364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.85632E-4 | 4.85632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005550127 | 0.0048459517 | 0.0048459517 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.600985E-6 | 8.600985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.6860853E-5 | 3.6860853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.486903E-4 | 4.486903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005224364 | 0.004478066 | 0.004478066 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.033512E-6 | 8.033512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.4428893E-5 | 3.4428893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1909286E-4 | 4.1909286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00496445 | 0.0041832365 | 0.0041832365 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.660474E-6 | 7.660474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.28302E-5 | 3.28302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.9963608E-4 | 3.9963608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004792784 | 0.003989382 | 0.003989382 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.937454E-6 | 5.937454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5445985E-5 | 2.5445985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.0976112E-4 | 3.0976112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030933619 | 0.0030933619 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.6021245E-6 | 5.6021245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.4008887E-5 | 2.4008887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9226928E-4 | 2.9226928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029189158 | 0.0029189158 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.923769E-6 | 4.923769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1101698E-5 | 2.1101698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.568831E-4 | 2.568831E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025659176 | 0.0025659176 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.088296E-6 | 4.088296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7521152E-5 | 1.7521152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1329924E-4 | 2.1329924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021309566 | 0.0021309566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0914262E-6 | 3.0914262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.3248903E-5 | 1.3248903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6129353E-4 | 1.6129353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016117727 | 0.0016117727 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8302137E-6 | 1.8302137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.84375E-6 | 7.84375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.549353E-5 | 9.549353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.5453113E-4 | 9.5453113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.5131063E-7 | 3.5131063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5056162E-6 | 1.5056162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8330724E-5 | 1.8330724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8329224E-4 | 1.8329224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2705254E-8 | 1.2705254E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.445109E-8 | 5.445109E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6294183E-7 | 6.6294183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.629399E-6 | 6.629399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0387692E-9 | 2.0387692E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.737582E-9 | 8.737582E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0638006E-7 | 1.0638006E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0638001E-6 | 1.0638001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.5036093E-5 | 5.5036093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3584931E-4 | 2.3584931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002867955 | 0.002867955 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024405818 | 0.028337527 | 0.028366677 | 1.0010287 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.5036093E-5 | 5.5036093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3584931E-4 | 2.3584931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002867955 | 0.002867955 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024405818 | 0.028337527 | 0.028366677 | 1.0010287 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3958106E-5 | 3.3958106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4552684E-4 | 1.4552684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017703838 | 0.0017703838 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015745522 | 0.017566739 | 0.017596211 | 1.0016778 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3958106E-5 | 3.3958106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4552684E-4 | 1.4552684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017703838 | 0.0017703838 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015745522 | 0.017566739 | 0.017596211 | 1.0016778 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.793735E-5 | 2.793735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1972612E-4 | 1.1972612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014567095 | 0.0014567095 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013192902 | 0.014473776 | 0.014503342 | 1.0020428 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5149513E-5 | 2.5149513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0777926E-4 | 1.0777926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013114371 | 0.0013114371 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012003611 | 0.013038647 | 0.013068257 | 1.0022708 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0369971E-5 | 2.0369971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.7297E-5 | 8.7297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010623307 | 0.0010623307 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00992627 | 0.0105734365 | 0.01060312 | 1.0028073 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8159613E-5 | 1.8159613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.7824625E-5 | 7.7824625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.471085E-4 | 9.471085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008949154 | 0.009431368 | 0.00945118 | 1.0021006 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5937458E-5 | 1.5937458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.8301626E-5 | 6.8301626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.312593E-4 | 8.312593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007960589 | 0.008281988 | 0.0083018225 | 1.0023949 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3338011E-5 | 1.3338011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.7161666E-5 | 5.7161666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.9572334E-4 | 6.9572334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069357133 | 0.006945644 | 1.0014318 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1939993E-5 | 1.1939993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1170406E-5 | 5.1170406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.2282325E-4 | 6.2282325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062109707 | 0.006220909 | 1.0016 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.05483305E-5 | 1.05483305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5206354E-5 | 4.5206354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.502495E-4 | 5.502495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0054890015 | 0.0054989466 | 1.0018119 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.464742E-6 | 9.464742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0562554E-5 | 4.0562554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.937383E-4 | 4.937383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004992037 | 0.004926532 | 0.0049364828 | 1.0020199 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.384671E-6 | 8.384671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.5933812E-5 | 3.5933812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3740738E-4 | 4.3740738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004470094 | 0.004365576 | 0.0043755323 | 1.0022806 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.955896E-6 | 6.955896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9810648E-5 | 2.9810648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6288516E-4 | 3.6288516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036230264 | 0.0036329902 | 1.0027502 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2546457E-6 | 5.2546457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.251972E-5 | 2.251972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7414382E-4 | 2.7414382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027381284 | 0.002748101 | 1.0036421 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0617217E-6 | 2.0617217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.835921E-6 | 8.835921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.07572116E-4 | 1.07572116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.001075209 | 0.0010851983 | 1.0092906 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1020935E-6 | 1.1020935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7232493E-6 | 4.7232493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7504065E-5 | 5.7504065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.7489425E-4 | 5.7489425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.073781E-7 | 6.073781E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6030466E-6 | 2.6030466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1691645E-5 | 3.1691645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.1687258E-4 | 3.1687258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.09162E-9 | 5.09162E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1821227E-8 | 2.1821227E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6567344E-7 | 2.6567344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.656732E-6 | 2.656732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.161658E-5 | 3.161658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3549335E-4 | 1.3549335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016485198 | 0.0016585032 | 1.0060561 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.01637666 | 0.016406167 | 1.0018018 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.161658E-5 | 3.161658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3549335E-4 | 1.3549335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016485198 | 0.0016585032 | 1.0060561 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.01637666 | 0.016406167 | 1.0018018 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.161658E-5 | 3.161658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3549335E-4 | 1.3549335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016485198 | 0.0016585032 | 1.0060561 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.01637666 | 0.016406167 | 1.0018018 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7812348E-5 | 1.7812348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.63365E-5 | 7.63365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.290189E-4 | 9.390096E-4 | 1.010754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009253226 | 0.009273041 | 1.0021414 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7812348E-5 | 1.7812348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.63365E-5 | 7.63365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.290189E-4 | 9.390096E-4 | 1.010754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009253226 | 0.009273041 | 1.0021414 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3048484E-5 | 1.3048484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5920897E-5 | 5.5920897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8062794E-4 | 6.9062115E-4 | 1.0146823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006785833 | 0.006805697 | 1.0029273 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1161186E-5 | 1.1161186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.783279E-5 | 4.783279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.8221084E-4 | 5.8221084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005458487 | 0.0058070966 | 0.0058070966 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.240454E-6 | 9.240454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.960135E-5 | 3.960135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.820403E-4 | 4.820403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.0048100147 | 0.0048100147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.820383E-6 | 8.820383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.78011E-5 | 3.78011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.6013162E-4 | 4.6013162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045918426 | 0.0045918426 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.5683E-6 | 8.5683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.6720772E-5 | 3.6720772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4698408E-4 | 4.4698408E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.004460902 | 0.004460902 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.07779E-6 | 8.07779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4618643E-5 | 3.4618643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2140088E-4 | 4.2140088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042060656 | 0.0042060656 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5486796E-6 | 7.5486796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.2351087E-5 | 3.2351087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9380364E-4 | 3.9380364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.003931101 | 0.003931101 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8300265E-6 | 6.8300265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9271216E-5 | 2.9271216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.56319E-4 | 3.56319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035575053 | 0.0035575053 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.822228E-6 | 5.822228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4952169E-5 | 2.4952169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.037505E-4 | 3.037505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030333765 | 0.0030333765 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.313856E-6 | 4.313856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8487824E-5 | 1.8487824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2506609E-4 | 2.2506609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022483906 | 0.0022483906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.47613E-6 | 2.47613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0611942E-5 | 1.0611942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2919279E-4 | 1.2919279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012911819 | 0.0012911819 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.86369E-7 | 9.86369E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2272886E-6 | 4.2272886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1466035E-5 | 5.1466035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1454245E-4 | 5.1454245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6422148E-7 | 2.6422148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1323773E-6 | 1.1323773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3786606E-5 | 1.3786606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3785758E-4 | 1.3785758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.9663078E-8 | 3.9663078E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6998462E-7 | 1.6998462E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0695609E-6 | 2.0695609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0695437E-5 | 2.0695437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.94895E-10 | 5.94895E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.54955E-9 | 2.54955E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.104077E-8 | 3.104077E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.1040764E-7 | 3.1040764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9865983E-5 | 4.9865983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.136952E-4 | 2.136952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.002598822 | 0.002598822 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023677798 | 0.025712362 | 0.02574159 | 1.0011368 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9865983E-5 | 4.9865983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.136952E-4 | 2.136952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.002598822 | 0.002598822 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023677798 | 0.025712362 | 0.025731849 | 1.0007578 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9774974E-5 | 2.9774974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2760099E-4 | 1.2760099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015524622 | 0.0015524622 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015435122 | 0.015454813 | 1.0012758 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3255321E-5 | 2.3255321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.9661935E-5 | 9.9661935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012127222 | 0.0012127222 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012017938 | 0.0120704025 | 0.0120901605 | 1.001637 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9731202E-5 | 1.9731202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.455961E-5 | 8.455961E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.001029037 | 0.001029037 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.010256881 | 0.010256881 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7158425E-5 | 1.7158425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.353407E-5 | 7.353407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.9491665E-4 | 8.9491665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008927391 | 0.008927391 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4364197E-5 | 1.4364197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.155942E-5 | 6.155942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.4923347E-4 | 7.4923347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.0074816654 | 0.0074816654 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.168779E-5 | 1.168779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.008959E-5 | 5.008959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.096744E-4 | 6.096744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060978816 | 0.0060978816 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0621693E-5 | 1.0621693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.552077E-5 | 4.552077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.540785E-4 | 5.540785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0055486583 | 0.0055486583 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.887181E-6 | 7.887181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.380178E-5 | 3.380178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1146192E-4 | 4.1146192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004123795 | 0.004123795 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.111303E-6 | 5.111303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1905402E-5 | 2.1905402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6666577E-4 | 2.6666577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026634734 | 0.0026634734 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.180591E-6 | 4.180591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7916696E-5 | 1.7916696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1811404E-4 | 2.1811404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021790112 | 0.0021790112 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.284964E-6 | 3.284964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4078341E-5 | 1.4078341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.713904E-4 | 1.713904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017125919 | 0.0017125919 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4426613E-6 | 2.4426613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0468507E-5 | 1.0468507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2744669E-4 | 1.2744669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.001273743 | 0.001273743 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7695967E-6 | 1.7695967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.583964E-6 | 7.583964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.2330905E-5 | 9.2330905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.229308E-4 | 9.229308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.390889E-7 | 9.390889E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.024661E-6 | 4.024661E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.899918E-5 | 4.899918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.898873E-4 | 4.898873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.415474E-7 | 6.415474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.749486E-6 | 2.749486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.34745E-5 | 3.34745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3469673E-4 | 3.3469673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.451535E-8 | 6.451535E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7649432E-7 | 2.7649432E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3663134E-6 | 3.3663134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3662654E-5 | 3.3662654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.12249E-4 | 5.12249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011778869 | 0.002193546 | 0.002193546 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026387388 | 0.026397124 | 1.000369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.13367249 | 0.23029862 | 0.2303217 | 1.0001003 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.925144E-4 | 4.925144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001086234 | 0.0021091073 | 0.0021091073 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013144928 | 0.02537058 | 0.025380326 | 1.0003842 | 1.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.22150315 | 0.22152652 | 1.0001054 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.8335994E-4 | 4.8335994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020699364 | 0.0020699364 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01286919 | 0.024905453 | 0.024915203 | 1.0003915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.2179884 | 0.21801186 | 1.0001076 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.6418837E-4 | 4.6418837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019878994 | 0.0019878994 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012036599 | 0.02392382 | 0.023933582 | 1.0004079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.20976536 | 0.20978907 | 1.000113 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 4.0387135E-4 | 4.0387135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.001729744 | 0.001729744 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010539869 | 0.020849323 | 0.020849323 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.100537635 | 0.18689966 | 0.18691592 | 1.000087 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.7466094E-4 | 3.7466094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0016047143 | 0.0016047143 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009633281 | 0.019359214 | 0.019359214 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0922623 | 0.17505185 | 0.17506836 | 1.0000943 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4469034E-4 | 3.4469034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014764185 | 0.0014764185 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008617763 | 0.017829405 | 0.017829405 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08291132 | 0.1624125 | 0.16242924 | 1.0001031 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.114766E-4 | 3.114766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013342252 | 0.0013342252 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073952693 | 0.016123217 | 0.016123217 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07153955 | 0.147957 | 0.14797404 | 1.0001152 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.8107347E-4 | 2.8107347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0012040508 | 0.0012040508 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014562214 | 0.014562214 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06225166 | 0.13420483 | 0.13422215 | 1.000129 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5247302E-4 | 2.5247302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.001081583 | 0.001081583 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051317946 | 0.013089748 | 0.013089748 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05014893 | 0.12035628 | 0.120373875 | 1.0001462 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1436678E-4 | 2.1436678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.1839454E-4 | 9.1839454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003811904 | 0.011124824 | 0.011124824 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037471764 | 0.102761045 | 0.10277899 | 1.0001746 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.1135541E-4 | 2.1135541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 9.0549764E-4 | 9.0549764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003737482 | 0.010969396 | 0.010969396 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03675245 | 0.10138846 | 0.10140643 | 1.0001773 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9297411E-4 | 1.9297411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.267729E-4 | 8.267729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033683628 | 0.010020133 | 0.010020133 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.033177625 | 0.093175516 | 0.09319366 | 1.0001947 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7961478E-4 | 1.7961478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.695535E-4 | 7.695535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009329648 | 0.009329648 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031268585 | 0.08720278 | 0.08722104 | 1.0002093 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.162419E-4 | 1.162419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.9808534E-4 | 4.9808534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021888057 | 0.0060474994 | 0.0060474994 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02167372 | 0.057938922 | 0.057957765 | 1.0003252 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.425154E-5 | 8.425154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.6102836E-4 | 3.6102836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016321153 | 0.004386722 | 0.004386722 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016201803 | 0.04254506 | 0.04256421 | 1.0004501 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.16257E-5 | 6.16257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6408356E-4 | 2.6408356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0032105006 | 0.0032105006 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011967761 | 0.031381845 | 0.03139153 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.077314E-5 | 4.077314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7473035E-4 | 1.7473035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0021252718 | 0.0021252718 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007582182 | 0.020924916 | 0.020924916 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.1512056E-5 | 3.1512056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3504468E-4 | 1.3504468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016429316 | 0.0016429316 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053875 | 0.0162694 | 0.0162694 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2592507E-5 | 2.2592507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.682144E-5 | 9.682144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011781645 | 0.0011781645 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004237258 | 0.011824252 | 0.011824252 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8390609E-5 | 1.8390609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.881451E-5 | 7.881451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.591451E-4 | 9.591451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009680428 | 0.009680428 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.558765E-6 | 6.558765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.8108692E-5 | 2.8108692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.4216972E-4 | 3.4216972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0035746805 | 0.0035746805 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 2.0056261E-6 | 2.0056261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.595513E-6 | 8.595513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0464537E-4 | 1.0464537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011428625 | 0.0011428625 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.5202582E-8 | 1.5202582E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.515393E-8 | 6.515393E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.93249E-7 | 7.93249E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 8.262735E-6 | 8.262735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.906204E-5 | 4.906204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.1025182E-4 | 2.2024971E-4 | 1.047552 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025573256 | 0.0025673 | 1.0039003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025335567 | 0.025364807 | 1.0011541 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6960503E-5 | 2.6960503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1554045E-4 | 1.1554045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014059078 | 0.0014059078 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.013986695 | 0.014006415 | 1.0014099 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6960503E-5 | 2.6960503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1554045E-4 | 1.1554045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014059078 | 0.0014059078 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.013986695 | 0.014006415 | 1.0014099 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.823505E-5 | 1.823505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.8148136E-5 | 7.8148136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.510838E-4 | 9.510838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009480258 | 0.009490164 | 1.0010449 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.823505E-5 | 1.823505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.8148136E-5 | 7.8148136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.510838E-4 | 9.510838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009480258 | 0.009490164 | 1.0010449 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6720202E-5 | 1.6720202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.1656286E-5 | 7.1656286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.721102E-4 | 8.721102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008696843 | 0.008706756 | 1.0011399 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2079745E-5 | 1.2079745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.17695E-5 | 5.17695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.3014554E-4 | 6.3014554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.0062918225 | 0.0062918225 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0438174E-5 | 1.0438174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.473445E-5 | 4.473445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.4453826E-4 | 5.4453826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.005440732 | 0.005440732 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.822999E-6 | 3.822999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.638419E-5 | 1.638419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9946134E-4 | 1.9946134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019944282 | 0.0019944282 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.159041E-6 | 2.159041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.253002E-6 | 9.253002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1264969E-4 | 1.1264969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011264745 | 0.0011264745 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5480165E-6 | 1.5480165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.6343396E-6 | 6.6343396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.077015E-5 | 8.077015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.078266E-4 | 8.078266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4781853E-6 | 1.4781853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.3350644E-6 | 6.3350644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.712674E-5 | 7.712674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.714129E-4 | 7.714129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3619446E-6 | 1.3619446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.836893E-6 | 5.836893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.1061906E-5 | 7.1061906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.107883E-4 | 7.107883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1256475E-6 | 1.1256475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.824195E-6 | 4.824195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.873304E-5 | 5.873304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8733334E-4 | 5.8733334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.2628255E-7 | 9.2628255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9697766E-6 | 3.9697766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.8330996E-5 | 4.8330996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8322478E-4 | 4.8322478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.645083E-7 | 7.645083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2764601E-6 | 3.2764601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.989021E-5 | 3.989021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.988339E-4 | 3.988339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.9007024E-7 | 6.9007024E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9574408E-6 | 2.9574408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.6006277E-5 | 3.6006277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.6000763E-4 | 3.6000763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4238246E-7 | 1.4238246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.1021046E-7 | 6.1021046E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4292966E-6 | 7.4292966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.429145E-5 | 7.429145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
South Klamath Lake East
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5057472E-5 | 2.5057472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0738522E-4 | 1.0738522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013067141 | 0.0013067141 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012207527 | 0.01299866 | 0.01300853 | 1.0007594 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5057472E-5 | 2.5057472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0738522E-4 | 1.0738522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013067141 | 0.0013067141 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012207527 | 0.01299866 | 0.01300853 | 1.0007594 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5057472E-5 | 2.5057472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0738522E-4 | 1.0738522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013067141 | 0.0013067141 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012207527 | 0.01299866 | 0.01300853 | 1.0007594 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.0399992E-5 | 1.0399992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.457068E-5 | 4.457068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.425213E-4 | 5.425213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005104534 | 0.005412806 | 0.005422752 | 1.0018375 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.0399992E-5 | 1.0399992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.457068E-5 | 4.457068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.425213E-4 | 5.425213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005104534 | 0.005412806 | 0.005422752 | 1.0018375 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.191981E-6 | 6.5532436E-6 | 6.5532436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.653679E-5 | 2.8085044E-5 | 2.8085044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2303753E-4 | 3.4188456E-4 | 3.4188456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032256835 | 0.0034138642 | 0.00342383 | 1.0029192 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3693776E-6 | 4.618211E-6 | 4.618211E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8725768E-5 | 1.9792187E-5 | 1.9792187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2796239E-4 | 2.4094437E-4 | 2.4094437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022772867 | 0.002406944 | 0.00241692 | 1.0041447 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.360834E-6 | 3.5525138E-6 | 3.5525138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4403494E-5 | 1.5224975E-5 | 1.5224975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7534842E-4 | 1.8534911E-4 | 1.8534911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017521014 | 0.0018520252 | 0.0018620067 | 1.0053895 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.57873E-6 | 2.7261506E-6 | 2.7261506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1051653E-5 | 1.16834535E-5 | 1.16834535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3454557E-4 | 1.4223738E-4 | 1.4223738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013446413 | 0.0014215241 | 0.0014315099 | 1.0070246 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.987825E-7 | 1.0570086E-6 | 1.0570086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2804895E-6 | 4.5300308E-6 | 4.5300308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.211371E-5 | 5.5152057E-5 | 5.5152057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.210149E-4 | 5.514159E-4 | 5.614104E-4 | 1.0181252 | 1.0E-5 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6434877E-5 | 1.6434877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.043337E-5 | 7.043337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5720397E-4 | 8.6719537E-4 | 1.0116558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.00856674 | 0.008596483 | 1.003472 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6434877E-5 | 1.6434877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.043337E-5 | 7.043337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5720397E-4 | 8.6719537E-4 | 1.0116558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.00856674 | 0.008596483 | 1.003472 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6434877E-5 | 1.6434877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.043337E-5 | 7.043337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5720397E-4 | 8.6719537E-4 | 1.0116558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.00856674 | 0.008596483 | 1.003472 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6434877E-5 | 1.6434877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.043337E-5 | 7.043337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5720397E-4 | 8.6719537E-4 | 1.0116558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.00856674 | 0.008596483 | 1.003472 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6434877E-5 | 1.6434877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.043337E-5 | 7.043337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5720397E-4 | 8.6719537E-4 | 1.0116558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.00856674 | 0.008596483 | 1.003472 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6434877E-5 | 1.6434877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.043337E-5 | 7.043337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5720397E-4 | 8.6719537E-4 | 1.0116558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.00856674 | 0.008596483 | 1.003472 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3957285E-5 | 1.3957285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9815615E-5 | 5.9815615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.2802085E-4 | 7.380136E-4 | 1.0137259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.007283546 | 0.0073133274 | 1.0040889 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3762882E-5 | 1.3762882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.8982496E-5 | 5.8982496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.1788434E-4 | 7.2787714E-4 | 1.0139198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.0071828384 | 0.007212623 | 1.0041466 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3384755E-5 | 1.3384755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.7362027E-5 | 5.7362027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.981678E-4 | 7.081608E-4 | 1.0143132 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0069869147 | 0.0070167053 | 1.0042638 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1588129E-5 | 1.1588129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9662503E-5 | 4.9662503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.653022E-4 | 6.044801E-4 | 6.1447406E-4 | 1.0165331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.006055346 | 0.006085165 | 1.0049243 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.779817E-6 | 9.779817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.1912856E-5 | 4.1912856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.101741E-4 | 5.20169E-4 | 1.0195911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.005116807 | 0.005146653 | 1.005833 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.433914E-6 | 9.433914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 4.0430456E-5 | 4.0430456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.9213413E-4 | 5.021292E-4 | 1.0203097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.004937213 | 0.004967065 | 1.0060463 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.781373E-6 | 7.781373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.3348337E-5 | 3.3348337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0594404E-4 | 4.1593995E-4 | 1.024624 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.004078716 | 0.004108594 | 1.0073253 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 7.0132915E-6 | 7.0132915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 3.0056637E-5 | 3.0056637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6588145E-4 | 3.758778E-4 | 1.0273212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0036794625 | 0.003709352 | 1.0081234 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.118721E-6 | 5.118721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1937192E-5 | 2.1937192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.670528E-4 | 2.770501E-4 | 1.0374358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026937732 | 0.0027236925 | 1.0111068 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.7073704E-6 | 4.7073704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 2.017429E-5 | 2.017429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4559442E-4 | 2.5559196E-4 | 1.0407076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024800405 | 0.002509966 | 1.0120666 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.2125776E-6 | 4.2125776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.8053779E-5 | 1.8053779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.1978267E-4 | 2.2978047E-4 | 1.0454895 | 1.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0022229187 | 0.0022528518 | 1.0134658 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.131659E-6 | 4.131659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.770699E-5 | 1.770699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1556136E-4 | 2.2555921E-4 | 1.0463805 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021808997 | 0.0022108343 | 1.0137258 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.7929667E-6 | 3.7929667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.6255472E-5 | 1.6255472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9789247E-4 | 2.0789048E-4 | 1.0505224 | 1.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.002003798 | 0.002033738 | 1.0149416 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 3.017708E-6 | 3.017708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.293297E-5 | 1.293297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5744759E-4 | 1.6744602E-4 | 1.0635031 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015970672 | 0.0016270194 | 1.0187545 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.6932697E-7 | 5.6932697E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.4399706E-6 | 2.4399706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.9706243E-5 | 2.9706243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0513899E-4 | 3.0751314E-4 | 3.1751007E-4 | 1.032509 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.1952928E-7 | 1.1952928E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 5.1226823E-7 | 5.1226823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 6.2368485E-6 | 6.2368485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.8615904E-5 | 6.8615904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.6899725E-8 | 2.6899725E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.1528453E-7 | 1.1528453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.4035883E-6 | 1.4035883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.5762804E-5 | 1.5762804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.0527645E-4 | 1.0527645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.511114E-4 | 4.511114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004016016 | 0.005479558 | 0.005479558 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039442103 | 0.053563666 | 0.053582594 | 1.0003533 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.035453E-5 | 6.035453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5863847E-4 | 2.5863847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031446721 | 0.0031446721 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.031032523 | 0.031051902 | 1.0006245 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.035453E-5 | 6.035453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5863847E-4 | 2.5863847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031446721 | 0.0031446721 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.031032523 | 0.031051902 | 1.0006245 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.255084E-5 | 4.255084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8234931E-4 | 1.8234931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.002218085 | 0.002218085 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017212452 | 0.021983618 | 0.02200318 | 1.0008898 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.5058063E-5 | 3.5058063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.5024125E-4 | 1.5024125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018278874 | 0.0018278874 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014366428 | 0.018151468 | 0.018171106 | 1.0010818 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.5007823E-5 | 3.5007823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.5002595E-4 | 1.5002595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018252706 | 0.0018252706 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014344421 | 0.018125728 | 0.018145366 | 1.0010834 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.8765095E-5 | 2.8765095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.2327443E-4 | 1.2327443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0015000714 | 0.0015000714 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011917574 | 0.014922797 | 0.014932647 | 1.0006601 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4945859E-5 | 2.4945859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.0690785E-4 | 1.0690785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0013010675 | 0.0013010675 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010315218 | 0.012958219 | 0.012968089 | 1.0007617 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.61315E-6 | 7.61315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2627395E-5 | 3.2627395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9716897E-4 | 3.9716897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.003964879 | 0.003964879 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.508292E-6 | 6.508292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7892394E-5 | 2.7892394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3953958E-4 | 3.3953958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0033904656 | 0.0033904656 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4892245E-6 | 4.4892245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9239404E-5 | 1.9239404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.3421668E-4 | 2.3421668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.002339907 | 0.002339907 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8589186E-6 | 1.8589186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.966776E-6 | 7.966776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.699225E-5 | 9.699225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6960407E-4 | 9.6960407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2294182E-5 | 3.229396E-5 | 1.4485375 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.554324E-5 | 1.0554229E-4 | 1.1046547 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011626622 | 0.0011726505 | 1.0085909 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011570249 | 0.011590017 | 1.0017086 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2294182E-5 | 3.229396E-5 | 1.4485375 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.554324E-5 | 1.0554229E-4 | 1.1046547 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011626622 | 0.0011726505 | 1.0085909 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011570249 | 0.011590017 | 1.0017086 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6682916E-5 | 2.6682748E-5 | 1.5994056 | 1.0E-5 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.149642E-5 | 8.14957E-5 | 1.1398572 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.7015046E-4 | 8.8014174E-4 | 1.0114822 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.008670359 | 0.008690186 | 1.0022867 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6682916E-5 | 2.6682748E-5 | 1.5994056 | 1.0E-5 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.149642E-5 | 8.14957E-5 | 1.1398572 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.7015046E-4 | 8.8014174E-4 | 1.0114822 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.008670359 | 0.008690186 | 1.0022867 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4064883E-5 | 1.4064883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0276816E-5 | 6.0276816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.336481E-4 | 7.336481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076234564 | 0.00731474 | 0.007324667 | 1.0013571 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4064883E-5 | 1.4064883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0276816E-5 | 6.0276816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.336481E-4 | 7.336481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076234564 | 0.00731474 | 0.007324667 | 1.0013571 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3741679E-5 | 1.3741679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.889172E-5 | 5.889172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.1679574E-4 | 7.1679574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007474003 | 0.00714731 | 0.007157238 | 1.0013891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.3219245E-5 | 1.3219245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.6652818E-5 | 5.6652818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.8955455E-4 | 6.8955455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007217 | 0.0068766032 | 0.0068865344 | 1.0014442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.162599E-6 | 9.162599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.9267783E-5 | 3.9267783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.77997E-4 | 4.77997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052959146 | 0.004771325 | 0.0047812774 | 1.0020858 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.78278E-6 | 8.78278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.764004E-5 | 3.764004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.5818757E-4 | 4.5818757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005048454 | 0.0045740497 | 0.0045840037 | 1.0021763 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.5653235E-6 | 6.5653235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.8136868E-5 | 2.8136868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.425252E-4 | 3.425252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038563553 | 0.003421217 | 0.0034311828 | 1.0029129 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.7620865E-6 | 2.7620865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1837462E-5 | 1.1837462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4411181E-4 | 1.4411181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0014402071 | 0.0014501926 | 1.0069335 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.36995E-6 | 2.36995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4647229E-5 | 1.015689E-5 | 1.015689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.2365334E-4 | 1.2365334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0012358677 | 0.0012458554 | 1.0080814 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.4090004E-6 | 1.4090004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152474E-6 | 6.0385596E-6 | 6.0385596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.3517E-5 | 7.3517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.349291E-4 | 7.349291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.103937E-6 | 1.103937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.7311505E-6 | 4.7311505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.7600242E-5 | 5.7600242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.7585427E-4 | 5.7585427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.547942E-7 | 8.547942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.6633987E-6 | 3.6633987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.4600976E-5 | 4.4600976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.459212E-4 | 4.459212E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.804588E-7 | 4.804588E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9452417E-6 | 2.0591076E-6 | 2.0591076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.506935E-5 | 2.506935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.5066535E-4 | 2.5066535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.6840424E-7 | 3.6840424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.5788744E-6 | 1.5788744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.9222627E-5 | 1.9222627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.9220976E-4 | 1.9220976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 2.014756E-7 | 2.014756E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.6346654E-7 | 8.6346654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.05126555E-5 | 1.05126555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666233E-4 | 1.0512163E-4 | 1.0512163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.471291E-7 | 1.471291E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.305532E-7 | 6.305532E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.676958E-6 | 7.676958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.458566E-4 | 7.676697E-5 | 7.676697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.343941E-8 | 3.343941E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.4331175E-7 | 1.4331175E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.7448193E-6 | 1.7448193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.744807E-5 | 1.744807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2729697E-5 | 2.2729697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.740968E-5 | 9.740968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011853757 | 0.0011853757 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011796378 | 0.011816141 | 1.0016755 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2729697E-5 | 2.2729697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.740968E-5 | 9.740968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011853757 | 0.0011853757 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011796378 | 0.011816141 | 1.0016755 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2729697E-5 | 2.2729697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.740968E-5 | 9.740968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011853757 | 0.0011853757 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011796378 | 0.011816141 | 1.0016755 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2358524E-5 | 1.2358524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.29641E-5 | 5.29641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4465957E-4 | 6.4465957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064291432 | 0.0064291432 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2358524E-5 | 1.2358524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.29641E-5 | 5.29641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4465957E-4 | 6.4465957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064291432 | 0.0064291432 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.4852985E-6 | 9.4852985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0650695E-5 | 4.0650695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.94819E-4 | 4.94819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046494175 | 0.0049380823 | 0.0049380823 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.793266E-6 | 7.793266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.339933E-5 | 3.339933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.06569E-4 | 4.06569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040590437 | 0.0040590437 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.6576827E-6 | 6.6576827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8532657E-5 | 2.8532657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4733725E-4 | 3.4733725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034686853 | 0.0034686853 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.857337E-6 | 5.857337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5102672E-5 | 2.5102672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0558946E-4 | 3.0558946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.003052409 | 0.003052409 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0673493E-6 | 5.0673493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.171707E-5 | 2.171707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.643803E-4 | 2.643803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026413505 | 0.0026413505 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.120067E-6 | 4.120067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7657349E-5 | 1.7657349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.149639E-4 | 2.149639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.002148236 | 0.002148236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.010884E-6 | 3.010884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2903762E-5 | 1.2903762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5709856E-4 | 1.5709856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015705208 | 0.0015705208 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.196852E-5 | 2.3615616E-5 | 2.3615616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4147406E-5 | 1.0120636E-4 | 1.0120636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011456419 | 0.0012315799 | 0.0012315799 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011397537 | 0.012256416 | 0.012266293 | 1.0008059 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.071677E-5 | 1.071677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.5928307E-5 | 4.5928307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.5905204E-4 | 5.5905204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052005537 | 0.0055782683 | 0.0055882125 | 1.0017827 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.071677E-5 | 1.071677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.5928307E-5 | 4.5928307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.5905204E-4 | 5.5905204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052005537 | 0.0055782683 | 0.0055882125 | 1.0017827 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.9448945E-6 | 4.9448945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.1192258E-5 | 2.1192258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.5798965E-4 | 2.5798965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024039985 | 0.00257734 | 0.0025873142 | 1.00387 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.9448945E-6 | 4.9448945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.1192258E-5 | 2.1192258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.5798965E-4 | 2.5798965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024039985 | 0.00257734 | 0.0025873142 | 1.00387 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.716712E-6 | 2.91243E-6 | 2.91243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643E-5 | 1.2481797E-5 | 1.2481797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.417443E-4 | 1.519577E-4 | 1.519577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165393 | 0.0015187763 | 0.0015187763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.3818255E-6 | 1.4827494E-6 | 1.4827494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.922096E-6 | 6.354632E-6 | 6.354632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.209913E-5 | 7.736613E-5 | 7.736613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2075747E-4 | 7.73513E-4 | 7.73513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.0037858463 | 1.0052907 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.0037858463 | 1.0052907 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.0037858463 | 1.0052907 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.0037858463 | 1.0052907 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.0037858463 | 1.0052907 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.0037858463 | 1.0052907 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 7.2303483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 3.0986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 3.7720264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037659216 | 0.0037858463 | 1.0052907 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.401868E-6 | 6.401868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.7436301E-5 | 2.7436301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.3398796E-4 | 3.3398796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031709734 | 0.0033350794 | 0.0033550127 | 1.0059769 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.955267E-6 | 5.955267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.5522337E-5 | 2.5522337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.106922E-4 | 3.106922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002945339 | 0.003102783 | 0.003122721 | 1.0064259 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.8682755E-6 | 4.8682755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0863878E-5 | 2.0863878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.5398956E-4 | 2.5398956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023981342 | 0.0025371371 | 0.0025570863 | 1.0078629 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.7518984E-6 | 4.7518984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9232413E-5 | 2.0365129E-5 | 2.0365129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4791868E-4 | 2.4791868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023388295 | 0.002476565 | 0.0024965154 | 1.0080557 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.4336113E-6 | 3.4336113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4715397E-5 | 1.4715397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.791459E-4 | 1.791459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016703589 | 0.0017900812 | 0.0018000632 | 1.0055764 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.3819146E-6 | 2.3819146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4545085E-6 | 1.0208168E-5 | 1.0208168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.2427781E-4 | 1.2427781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011504296 | 0.001242128 | 0.0012521156 | 1.0080407 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.524736E-6 | 1.524736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.534567E-6 | 6.534567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.955554E-5 | 7.955554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.9527975E-4 | 8.0527185E-4 | 1.0125642 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.2614868E-6 | 1.2614868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.406361E-6 | 5.406361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.582054E-5 | 6.582054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.5801886E-4 | 6.6801225E-4 | 1.0151871 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 9.3029024E-7 | 9.3029024E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.9869524E-6 | 3.9869524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.8540132E-5 | 4.8540132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.8530212E-4 | 4.9529725E-4 | 1.0205957 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 6.026031E-7 | 6.026031E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.5825825E-6 | 2.5825825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 3.1442538E-5 | 3.1442538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5539953E-4 | 3.143858E-4 | 3.2438268E-4 | 1.031798 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.789836E-8 | 6.789836E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.9099294E-7 | 2.9099294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5428336E-6 | 3.5428336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.542782E-5 | 3.542782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.490239E-9 | 9.490239E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.067245E-8 | 4.067245E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.95187E-7 | 4.95187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.951861E-6 | 4.951861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.514728E-5 | 3.514728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5062252E-4 | 1.5062252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018322887 | 0.0018422703 | 1.0054476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018911462 | 0.018931085 | 1.0010376 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.514728E-5 | 3.514728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5062252E-4 | 1.5062252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018322887 | 0.0018422703 | 1.0054476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018911462 | 0.018931085 | 1.0010376 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.514728E-5 | 3.514728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5062252E-4 | 1.5062252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018322887 | 0.0018422703 | 1.0054476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018911462 | 0.018931085 | 1.0010376 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.514728E-5 | 3.514728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5062252E-4 | 1.5062252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018322887 | 0.0018422703 | 1.0054476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018911462 | 0.018931085 | 1.0010376 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.506869E-5 | 3.506869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.5028573E-4 | 1.5028573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0018281955 | 0.0018381772 | 1.0054599 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018871276 | 0.018890897 | 1.0010399 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.506869E-5 | 3.506869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.5028573E-4 | 1.5028573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0018281955 | 0.0018381772 | 1.0054599 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018871276 | 0.018890897 | 1.0010399 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.5031997E-5 | 3.5031997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.5012852E-4 | 1.5012852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0018262847 | 0.0018362664 | 1.0054656 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.018852511 | 0.018872134 | 1.0010408 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.501754E-5 | 3.501754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.5006655E-4 | 1.5006655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0018255317 | 0.0018355135 | 1.0054679 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.018845122 | 0.018864745 | 1.0010413 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4986522E-5 | 3.4986522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4993364E-4 | 1.4993364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0018239163 | 0.001833898 | 1.0054727 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.018829245 | 0.01884887 | 1.0010421 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4946854E-5 | 3.4946854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4976365E-4 | 1.4976365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0018218501 | 0.0018318319 | 1.005479 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.01880894 | 0.018828563 | 1.0010433 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.4828598E-5 | 3.4828598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4925688E-4 | 1.4925688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0018156907 | 0.0018256726 | 1.0054976 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.018748404 | 0.01876803 | 1.0010468 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.4784804E-5 | 3.4784804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4906922E-4 | 1.4906922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001890278 | 0.0018134096 | 0.0018233915 | 1.0055045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.018725973 | 0.0187456 | 1.0010481 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.4718792E-5 | 3.4718792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4878635E-4 | 1.4878635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001887647 | 0.0018099714 | 0.0018199533 | 1.005515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018692154 | 0.018711781 | 1.00105 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.460641E-5 | 3.460641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4830478E-4 | 1.4830478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018829206 | 0.001804118 | 0.0018141001 | 1.0055329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.018634392 | 0.018654019 | 1.0010533 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.4553566E-5 | 3.4553566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4807831E-4 | 1.4807831E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0018013654 | 0.0018113474 | 1.0055413 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.018607223 | 0.018626852 | 1.0010549 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.436131E-5 | 3.436131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4725445E-4 | 1.4725445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017913515 | 0.0018013336 | 1.0055723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.018507306 | 0.018526936 | 1.0010606 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.286544E-5 | 3.286544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.4084429E-4 | 1.4084429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001713488 | 0.0017134326 | 0.0017234155 | 1.0058262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.017717386 | 0.017737031 | 1.0011089 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.99435E-5 | 2.99435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2832298E-4 | 1.2832298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015612138 | 0.0015711981 | 1.0063952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.016196541 | 0.016216217 | 1.0012149 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.7205811E-5 | 2.7205811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1659112E-4 | 1.1659112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0014185735 | 0.0014285594 | 1.0070393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.014763781 | 0.014783486 | 1.0013347 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.211175E-5 | 2.211175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.4761206E-5 | 9.4761206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011531078 | 0.0011630964 | 1.0086622 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.012091657 | 0.012111415 | 1.001634 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.642408E-5 | 1.642408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6996516E-5 | 7.038702E-5 | 7.038702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.5662573E-4 | 8.666172E-4 | 1.0116637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.009066796 | 0.0090866145 | 1.0021858 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.586075E-6 | 8.586075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.6796948E-5 | 3.6796948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.479113E-4 | 4.479113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0048120115 | 0.0048120115 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.648341E-6 | 1.648341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 7.0643E-6 | 7.0643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.600449E-5 | 8.600449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.955976E-4 | 9.955976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.8364436E-7 | 3.8364436E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.6441892E-6 | 1.6441892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.0017824E-5 | 2.0017824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.4051538E-4 | 2.4051538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9626508E-5 | 1.8975788E-5 | 1.8975788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.411089E-5 | 8.1322345E-5 | 8.1322345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001023569 | 9.896624E-4 | 9.996525E-4 | 1.0100944 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010188672 | 0.009853895 | 0.0098736975 | 1.0020096 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.331886E-5 | 1.2225546E-5 | 1.2225546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.707958E-5 | 5.2394153E-5 | 5.2394153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.947222E-4 | 6.3771365E-4 | 6.3771365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006925544 | 0.006359014 | 0.0063689505 | 1.0015626 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2250852E-5 | 1.1082982E-5 | 1.1082982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2502597E-5 | 4.7497633E-5 | 4.7497633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3903164E-4 | 5.781313E-4 | 5.781313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006371971 | 0.0057663936 | 0.005776336 | 1.0017242 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2106258E-5 | 1.0925757E-5 | 1.0925757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1882926E-5 | 4.682384E-5 | 4.682384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3149154E-4 | 5.699321E-4 | 5.699321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062970007 | 0.005684822 | 0.0056947647 | 1.001749 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1348758E-5 | 1.0115876E-5 | 1.0115876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8636626E-5 | 4.335304E-5 | 4.335304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.919901E-4 | 5.276962E-4 | 5.276962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005904155 | 0.0052645276 | 0.0052645276 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.100837E-5 | 9.749729E-6 | 9.749729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7177873E-5 | 4.1783886E-5 | 4.1783886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7423924E-4 | 5.0860085E-4 | 5.0860085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005727576 | 0.00507446 | 0.00507446 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0634696E-5 | 9.35169E-6 | 9.35169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.557647E-5 | 4.007806E-5 | 4.007806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5475225E-4 | 4.8784187E-4 | 4.8784187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055336943 | 0.0048677963 | 0.0048677963 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.9780855E-6 | 8.673741E-6 | 8.673741E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.276252E-5 | 3.717265E-5 | 3.717265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.205093E-4 | 4.524837E-4 | 4.524837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051929182 | 0.0045157033 | 0.0045157033 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 9.59546E-6 | 8.278618E-6 | 8.278618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1122752E-5 | 3.5479312E-5 | 3.5479312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0055445E-4 | 4.318757E-4 | 4.318757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004994285 | 0.00431044 | 0.00431044 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.000614E-6 | 7.712192E-6 | 7.712192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.857349E-5 | 3.3051838E-5 | 3.3051838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6953102E-4 | 4.023325E-4 | 4.023325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004685402 | 0.0040161125 | 0.0040161125 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4070194E-6 | 6.1531573E-6 | 6.1531573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1743984E-5 | 2.637041E-5 | 2.637041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8641447E-4 | 3.210126E-4 | 3.210126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038574322 | 0.0032055087 | 0.0032055087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.299615E-6 | 5.0601925E-6 | 5.0601925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.699807E-5 | 2.1686361E-5 | 2.1686361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2865192E-4 | 2.6399957E-4 | 2.6399957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003281663 | 0.0026368743 | 0.0026368743 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.096653E-6 | 3.895917E-6 | 3.895917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1842614E-5 | 1.669668E-5 | 1.669668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6590136E-4 | 2.0326323E-4 | 2.0326323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026558342 | 0.0020307843 | 0.0020307843 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.9753018E-6 | 2.912332E-6 | 2.912332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7036897E-5 | 1.2481364E-5 | 1.2481364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0740448E-4 | 1.519501E-4 | 1.519501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00207211 | 0.0015184701 | 0.0015184701 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.0568392E-6 | 2.1467945E-6 | 2.1467945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3100675E-5 | 9.200517E-6 | 9.200517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5948903E-4 | 1.1201059E-4 | 1.1201059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015937461 | 0.0011195476 | 0.0011195476 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7279019E-6 | 1.1483417E-6 | 1.1483417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.405273E-6 | 4.921455E-6 | 4.921455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.015547E-5 | 5.9917107E-5 | 5.9917107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.01189E-4 | 5.990134E-4 | 5.990134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1156416E-6 | 7.227348E-7 | 7.227348E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7813123E-6 | 3.0974313E-6 | 3.0974313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.821092E-5 | 3.7710597E-5 | 3.7710597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8195676E-4 | 3.770443E-4 | 3.770443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.117973E-8 | 6.7364745E-8 | 6.7364745E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907702E-7 | 2.8870602E-7 | 2.8870602E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.757617E-6 | 3.5149903E-6 | 3.5149903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7575148E-5 | 3.5149376E-5 | 3.5149376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.064723E-4 | 3.064723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013122566 | 0.0013122566 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007891912 | 0.015761344 | 0.015771186 | 1.0006244 | 1.0E-5 | 0.076174594 | 0.13901472 | 0.13903195 | 1.0001239 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.034076E-4 | 3.034076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.001299139 | 0.001299139 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078097614 | 0.015604424 | 0.015614268 | 1.0006309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.075409345 | 0.13768266 | 0.1376999 | 1.0001253 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.5435787E-4 | 2.5435787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010892729 | 0.0010892729 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013110322 | 0.013120191 | 1.0007528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.064337276 | 0.11778018 | 0.11779782 | 1.0001498 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.2721133E-4 | 2.2721133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.731271E-4 | 9.731271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011731326 | 0.011741208 | 1.0008425 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058367174 | 0.10690055 | 0.10691842 | 1.0001671 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0961832E-4 | 2.0961832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.978386E-4 | 8.978386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055782744 | 0.010835905 | 0.010845796 | 1.0009129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0544031 | 0.099724606 | 0.099742614 | 1.0001806 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.88534E-4 | 1.88534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.075836E-4 | 8.075836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009756583 | 0.009766485 | 1.001015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04933773 | 0.0906115 | 0.0906206 | 1.0001004 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.5189683E-4 | 1.5189683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.5078994E-4 | 6.5078994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041944524 | 0.007888019 | 0.00789794 | 1.0012578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04116161 | 0.075387396 | 0.07539664 | 1.0001227 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4729235E-4 | 1.4729235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.3107035E-4 | 6.3107035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004070005 | 0.0076503213 | 0.007660245 | 1.0012971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039962657 | 0.07323391 | 0.07324318 | 1.0001266 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.283306E-4 | 1.283306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.498547E-4 | 5.498547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036279052 | 0.0066706873 | 0.0066806204 | 1.001489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03569247 | 0.06430108 | 0.06431044 | 1.0001456 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.0242072E-4 | 1.0242072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.3887264E-4 | 4.3887264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030218933 | 0.0053302823 | 0.0053402293 | 1.0018661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029811295 | 0.051960345 | 0.051969826 | 1.0001825 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.658461E-5 | 8.658461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.7102462E-4 | 3.7102462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025986114 | 0.004507959 | 0.004517914 | 1.0022084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025684336 | 0.04420881 | 0.044218365 | 1.0002162 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.19252E-5 | 7.19252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.0821475E-4 | 3.0821475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0037461151 | 0.0037461151 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022105146 | 0.0371202 | 0.0371202 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.6531782E-5 | 5.6531782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.4225673E-4 | 2.4225673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0029455165 | 0.0029455165 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017841442 | 0.029444253 | 0.029444253 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.1189032E-5 | 4.1189032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.7651258E-4 | 1.7651258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.00214694 | 0.00214694 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013325208 | 0.0215913 | 0.0215913 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.8934137E-5 | 2.8934137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2399757E-4 | 1.2399757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0015086272 | 0.0015086272 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009349857 | 0.01525994 | 0.01525994 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.6225422E-5 | 2.6225422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.1238983E-4 | 1.1238983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0013674896 | 0.0013674896 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008104719 | 0.013849073 | 0.013849073 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.956634E-5 | 1.956634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.3853054E-5 | 8.3853054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010204342 | 0.0010204342 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057804612 | 0.010372455 | 0.010372455 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.0703121E-5 | 1.0703121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.5869714E-5 | 4.5869714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.583208E-4 | 5.583208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032371588 | 0.0057495586 | 0.0057495586 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.671062E-6 | 9.671062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.144675E-5 | 4.144675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 5.0449744E-4 | 5.0449744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027645302 | 0.0051898784 | 0.0051898784 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.5619187E-6 | 7.5619187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.240782E-5 | 3.240782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.9449387E-4 | 3.9449387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.0040338137 | 0.0040338137 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.515003E-6 | 4.515003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.9349869E-5 | 1.9349869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.3555924E-4 | 2.3555924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.00240072 | 0.00240072 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.4323158E-6 | 2.4323158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.0424169E-5 | 1.0424169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.269069E-4 | 1.269069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0012989042 | 0.0012989042 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1270982E-4 | 2.0074911E-4 | 2.1074711E-4 | 1.0498034 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8295266E-4 | 8.60077E-4 | 8.700684E-4 | 1.0116168 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058641075 | 0.01041129 | 0.010421187 | 1.0009505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057117578 | 0.09825232 | 0.09827036 | 1.0001836 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1239393E-4 | 2.0022923E-4 | 2.1022723E-4 | 1.0499327 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8159933E-4 | 8.578504E-4 | 8.678418E-4 | 1.011647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058477195 | 0.010384466 | 0.010394362 | 1.000953 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056962132 | 0.09801025 | 0.098028295 | 1.000184 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.596265E-5 | 1.2968158E-4 | 1.3968028E-4 | 1.077102 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2551357E-4 | 5.5563374E-4 | 5.656282E-4 | 1.0179875 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039559277 | 0.0067390893 | 0.0067490223 | 1.0014739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038862433 | 0.064748086 | 0.06475744 | 1.0001445 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.78794E-5 | 1.147909E-4 | 1.2478975E-4 | 1.0871049 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9087928E-4 | 4.918582E-4 | 5.018533E-4 | 1.020321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003535705 | 0.005968621 | 0.005978561 | 1.0016655 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034799766 | 0.057607956 | 0.057617377 | 1.0001636 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.0463797E-4 | 1.14636925E-4 | 1.0955576 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.4836293E-4 | 4.5835847E-4 | 1.0222933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032385332 | 0.005442429 | 0.0054523745 | 1.0018274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03191742 | 0.052685585 | 0.05269506 | 1.0001798 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.095518E-5 | 1.00954276E-4 | 1.1099342 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.8974104E-4 | 3.9973712E-4 | 1.0256481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028329059 | 0.0047327382 | 0.004742691 | 1.002103 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027970633 | 0.045998547 | 0.046008084 | 1.0002074 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.868456E-5 | 8.868378E-5 | 1.1270797 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.371716E-4 | 3.471682E-4 | 1.0296485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002465034 | 0.0040958454 | 0.0041058045 | 1.0024315 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02437869 | 0.039953467 | 0.039963067 | 1.0002403 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.062147E-5 | 7.062087E-5 | 1.1649481 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.597829E-4 | 2.6978028E-4 | 1.0384837 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019222875 | 0.0031575542 | 0.0031675226 | 1.003157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019057442 | 0.030979108 | 0.0309888 | 1.0003128 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.9049987E-5 | 2.9049987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.2449392E-4 | 1.2449392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0015146462 | 0.0015146462 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010532344 | 0.015015667 | 0.015015667 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.4532961E-5 | 2.4532961E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.0513703E-4 | 1.0513703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0012792909 | 0.0012792909 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009281595 | 0.012710523 | 0.012710523 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.19489E-5 | 2.19489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.4063325E-5 | 9.4063325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011446204 | 0.0011446204 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008528882 | 0.011386621 | 0.011386621 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.0387517E-5 | 2.0387517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.7372166E-5 | 8.7372166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.0010632396 | 0.0010632396 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00800848 | 0.0105820475 | 0.0105820475 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.90941E-5 | 1.90941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.18293E-5 | 8.18293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.958195E-4 | 9.958195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075360634 | 0.009914278 | 0.009914278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.785867E-5 | 1.785867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.653493E-5 | 7.653493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.314174E-4 | 9.314174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070790765 | 0.0092757335 | 0.0092757335 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.6054884E-5 | 1.6054884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.880485E-5 | 6.880485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.373799E-4 | 8.373799E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063729943 | 0.00834281 | 0.00834281 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.4264992E-5 | 1.4264992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.113426E-5 | 6.113426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.440582E-4 | 7.440582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056782532 | 0.007416262 | 0.007416262 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.1253527E-5 | 1.1253527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.8228525E-5 | 4.8228525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.8702665E-4 | 5.8702665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00448937 | 0.005855188 | 0.005855188 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.66746E-6 | 2.66746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.1431922E-5 | 1.1431922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3917484E-4 | 1.3917484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948193 | 0.0013908566 | 0.0013908566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1744071E-7 | 2.1744071E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.3188845E-7 | 9.3188845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.1345687E-5 | 1.1345687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.1344403E-4 | 1.1344403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.508648E-5 | 2.508648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.07509455E-4 | 1.07509455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013082138 | 0.0013182007 | 1.007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013116925 | 0.0131366635 | 1.0015048 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.508648E-5 | 2.508648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.07509455E-4 | 1.07509455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013082138 | 0.0013182007 | 1.007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013116925 | 0.0131366635 | 1.0015048 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.508648E-5 | 2.508648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.07509455E-4 | 1.07509455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013082138 | 0.0013182007 | 1.007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013116925 | 0.0131366635 | 1.0015048 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.508648E-5 | 2.508648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.07509455E-4 | 1.07509455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013082138 | 0.0013182007 | 1.007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013116925 | 0.0131366635 | 1.0015048 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.508648E-5 | 2.508648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.07509455E-4 | 1.07509455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013082138 | 0.0013182007 | 1.007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013116925 | 0.0131366635 | 1.0015048 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.508648E-5 | 2.508648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.07509455E-4 | 1.07509455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013082138 | 0.0013182007 | 1.007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.013116925 | 0.0131366635 | 1.0015048 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7532408E-5 | 1.7532408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.513674E-5 | 7.513674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.144097E-4 | 9.244005E-4 | 1.010926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009211861 | 0.009221768 | 1.0010755 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7532408E-5 | 1.7532408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.513674E-5 | 7.513674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.144097E-4 | 9.244005E-4 | 1.010926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009211861 | 0.009221768 | 1.0010755 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5791124E-5 | 1.5791124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.76745E-5 | 6.76745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.23627E-4 | 8.3361875E-4 | 1.0121315 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008310981 | 0.008320898 | 1.0011933 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5662195E-5 | 1.5662195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.7121975E-5 | 6.7121975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.169051E-4 | 8.268969E-4 | 1.0122313 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008244263 | 0.008254181 | 1.001203 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4445246E-5 | 1.4445246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.190673E-5 | 6.190673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.5345434E-4 | 7.634468E-4 | 1.0132622 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.007613884 | 0.0076238075 | 1.0013034 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4435574E-5 | 1.4435574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.186528E-5 | 6.186528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.5295E-4 | 7.629425E-4 | 1.0132711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.007608875 | 0.007618799 | 1.0013043 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.4281834E-5 | 1.4281834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 6.120643E-5 | 6.120643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.44934E-4 | 7.549266E-4 | 1.013414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.007529115 | 0.0075390395 | 1.0013182 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.422469E-5 | 1.422469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 6.0961538E-5 | 6.0961538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.419545E-4 | 7.5194705E-4 | 1.0134679 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0074993144 | 0.007509239 | 1.0013235 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.4183915E-5 | 1.4183915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 6.078679E-5 | 6.078679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.398284E-4 | 7.49821E-4 | 1.0135067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0074780807 | 0.0074880063 | 1.0013273 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.4140563E-5 | 1.4140563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 6.0601007E-5 | 6.0601007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.37568E-4 | 7.4756064E-4 | 1.013548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.00745558 | 0.0074655055 | 1.0013313 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.4099198E-5 | 1.4099198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 6.042374E-5 | 6.042374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.3541125E-4 | 7.454039E-4 | 1.0135878 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.0074340925 | 0.007444018 | 1.0013351 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.296504E-5 | 1.296504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.5563276E-5 | 5.5563276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.7627325E-4 | 6.8626646E-4 | 1.014777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.006846153 | 0.006856085 | 1.0014507 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1807023E-5 | 1.1807023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 5.0600545E-5 | 5.0600545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.1588775E-4 | 6.258816E-4 | 1.0162268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0062386757 | 0.0062486134 | 1.0015929 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.278393E-6 | 7.278393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.119274E-5 | 3.119274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.7970557E-4 | 3.8970177E-4 | 1.0263262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019374699 | 0.00385136 | 0.0038613214 | 1.0025865 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.3241707E-6 | 1.3241707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.6750055E-6 | 5.6750055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.909102E-5 | 6.909102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 7.132357E-4 | 7.132357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1672434E-7 | 1.1672434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 5.0024704E-7 | 5.0024704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 6.0904913E-6 | 6.0904913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.7989815E-5 | 6.7989815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.6027616E-9 | 2.6027616E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.1154693E-8 | 1.1154693E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.3580838E-7 | 1.3580838E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.5401406E-6 | 1.5401406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Hills 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9074581E-5 | 1.9074581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.174759E-5 | 8.174759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.951664E-4 | 9.951664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009743992 | 0.009940833 | 0.009960634 | 1.0019919 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9074581E-5 | 1.9074581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.174759E-5 | 8.174759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.951664E-4 | 9.951664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009743992 | 0.009940833 | 0.009960634 | 1.0019919 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9074581E-5 | 1.9074581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.174759E-5 | 8.174759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.951664E-4 | 9.951664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009743992 | 0.009940833 | 0.009960634 | 1.0019919 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9074581E-5 | 1.9074581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.174759E-5 | 8.174759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.951664E-4 | 9.951664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009743992 | 0.009940833 | 0.009960634 | 1.0019919 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.5175125E-6 | 2.5175125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0789306E-5 | 1.0789306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.3135369E-4 | 1.3135369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002379829 | 0.0013129392 | 0.0013129392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.5175125E-6 | 2.5175125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0789306E-5 | 1.0789306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.3135369E-4 | 1.3135369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002379829 | 0.0013129392 | 0.0013129392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.5175125E-6 | 2.5175125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0789306E-5 | 1.0789306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.3135369E-4 | 1.3135369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002379829 | 0.0013129392 | 0.0013129392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.3266773E-6 | 1.3309023E-6 | 1.3309023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.971435E-6 | 5.7038546E-6 | 5.7038546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2139547E-4 | 6.944228E-5 | 6.944228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012132917 | 6.9421186E-4 | 6.9421186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.032735E-6 | 1.1905823E-6 | 1.1905823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.711692E-6 | 5.102486E-6 | 5.102486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06059684E-4 | 6.212104E-5 | 6.212104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010600908 | 6.210417E-4 | 6.210417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3186259E-6 | 1.0571136E-6 | 1.0571136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6512413E-6 | 4.530479E-6 | 4.530479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8801695E-5 | 5.515722E-5 | 5.515722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8780396E-4 | 5.5143825E-4 | 5.5143825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2726016E-6 | 1.0168294E-6 | 1.0168294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4539955E-6 | 4.357833E-6 | 4.357833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6400375E-5 | 5.3055355E-5 | 5.3055355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6380535E-4 | 5.304297E-4 | 5.304297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2063913E-6 | 9.57906E-7 | 9.57906E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.170238E-6 | 4.105305E-6 | 4.105305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.294583E-5 | 4.998097E-5 | 4.998097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2928005E-4 | 4.9969985E-4 | 4.9969985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.105806E-7 | 7.384627E-7 | 7.384627E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9024826E-6 | 3.1648365E-6 | 3.1648365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7511687E-5 | 3.853122E-5 | 3.853122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7501532E-4 | 3.8524694E-4 | 3.8524694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.020432E-7 | 5.717509E-7 | 5.717509E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0087533E-6 | 2.4503588E-6 | 2.4503588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6630954E-5 | 2.9832721E-5 | 2.9832721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6624918E-4 | 2.9828848E-4 | 2.9828848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.3900635E-7 | 4.4541414E-7 | 4.4541414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3100251E-6 | 1.9089164E-6 | 1.9089164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8124194E-5 | 2.3240822E-5 | 2.3240822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120633E-4 | 2.3238512E-4 | 2.3238512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.907075E-7 | 2.2922531E-7 | 2.2922531E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2458887E-6 | 9.823938E-7 | 9.823938E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5168589E-5 | 1.196058E-5 | 1.196058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5167553E-4 | 1.1959955E-4 | 1.1959955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6903675E-7 | 1.2383242E-7 | 1.2383242E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2444305E-7 | 5.307103E-7 | 5.307103E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.820059E-6 | 6.46138E-6 | 6.46138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8197085E-5 | 6.4612046E-5 | 6.4612046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.168073E-8 | 3.9382943E-8 | 3.9382943E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.072031E-7 | 1.6878403E-7 | 1.6878403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7401915E-6 | 2.0549437E-6 | 2.0549437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7401285E-5 | 2.0549258E-5 | 2.0549258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.564101E-8 | 3.406781E-8 | 3.406781E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813186E-7 | 1.460049E-7 | 1.460049E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4250486E-6 | 1.7776083E-6 | 1.7776083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424996E-5 | 1.7775952E-5 | 1.7775952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0029074E-8 | 3.7771146E-9 | 3.7771146E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2981743E-8 | 1.6187634E-8 | 1.6187634E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330256E-7 | 1.9708445E-7 | 1.9708445E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330133E-6 | 1.9708439E-6 | 1.9708439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.4072575E-4 | 1.4072575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 6.0297304E-4 | 6.0297304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.0073168664 | 0.0073267934 | 1.0013567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.071889296 | 0.071907856 | 1.0002582 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.4072575E-4 | 1.4072575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 6.0297304E-4 | 6.0297304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.0073168664 | 0.0073267934 | 1.0013567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.071889296 | 0.071907856 | 1.0002582 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.4072575E-4 | 1.4072575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 6.0297304E-4 | 6.0297304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.0073168664 | 0.0073267934 | 1.0013567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.071889296 | 0.071907856 | 1.0002582 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.716926E-4 | 1.3991368E-4 | 1.3991368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3561794E-4 | 5.994944E-4 | 5.994944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008919428 | 0.0072747963 | 0.0072847237 | 1.0013646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08569809 | 0.07149909 | 0.071517654 | 1.0002598 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 1.3860762E-4 | 1.3860762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02367E-4 | 5.938995E-4 | 5.938995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008517839 | 0.00720713 | 0.007217058 | 1.0013775 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08198654 | 0.070692345 | 0.070710935 | 1.0002629 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 1.2911622E-4 | 1.2911622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.745133E-4 | 5.5323966E-4 | 5.5323966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00818132 | 0.006715204 | 0.006725137 | 1.0014791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.078865945 | 0.066126294 | 0.066144966 | 1.0002824 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 1.182737E-4 | 1.182737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5865536E-4 | 5.067901E-4 | 5.067901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006780438 | 0.0061529432 | 0.006162882 | 1.0016153 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0657725 | 0.06045773 | 0.06047652 | 1.0003108 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 1.1552187E-4 | 1.1552187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5135164E-4 | 4.950011E-4 | 4.950011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066920654 | 0.006010211 | 0.0060201506 | 1.0016538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06494093 | 0.05916281 | 0.05918163 | 1.000318 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 1.1489341E-4 | 1.1489341E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.485117E-4 | 4.923087E-4 | 4.923087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066577005 | 0.0059776306 | 0.0059875706 | 1.0016629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06461738 | 0.05887519 | 0.05889401 | 1.0003197 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 1.1330487E-4 | 1.1330487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4380763E-4 | 4.8550326E-4 | 4.8550326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006600777 | 0.0058952253 | 0.0059051667 | 1.0016863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06408122 | 0.058143485 | 0.05816232 | 1.000324 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 1.10564695E-4 | 1.10564695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.154837E-4 | 4.7376394E-4 | 4.7376394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257969 | 0.0057530627 | 0.0057630055 | 1.0017282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06084648 | 0.056794185 | 0.05681305 | 1.0003321 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 5.5685075E-5 | 5.5685075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4493793E-4 | 2.386287E-4 | 2.386287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041915346 | 0.0029014703 | 0.0029114413 | 1.0034366 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041133516 | 0.03049224 | 0.03051163 | 1.0006359 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 4.4488075E-5 | 4.4488075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0399222E-4 | 1.9064939E-4 | 1.9064939E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036948253 | 0.0023187094 | 0.0023286862 | 1.0043027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03633994 | 0.024722708 | 0.024742214 | 1.0007889 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 3.006319E-5 | 3.006319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6541698E-4 | 1.2883589E-4 | 1.2883589E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032266637 | 0.0015674501 | 0.0015774345 | 1.0063698 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031802133 | 0.017114228 | 0.017133886 | 1.0011486 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 2.8129134E-5 | 2.8129134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5311083E-4 | 1.2054787E-4 | 1.2054787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030772698 | 0.0014666838 | 0.0014766691 | 1.0068082 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030350044 | 0.016055899 | 0.016075578 | 1.0012256 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 2.5696676E-5 | 2.5696676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.324491E-4 | 1.1012397E-4 | 1.1012397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002826395 | 0.001339936 | 0.0013499226 | 1.0074531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027907165 | 0.014704277 | 0.014723984 | 1.0013402 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 2.0715244E-5 | 2.0715244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8987931E-4 | 8.87766E-5 | 8.87766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023093296 | 0.0010803194 | 0.0010903087 | 1.0092465 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022854783 | 0.011846239 | 0.011866001 | 1.0016683 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 1.9712164E-5 | 1.9712164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7647797E-4 | 8.4477964E-5 | 8.4477964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002146502 | 0.0010280343 | 0.001038024 | 1.0097173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021258866 | 0.011285399 | 0.011305173 | 1.0017523 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 1.9320505E-5 | 1.9320505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5174363E-4 | 8.279954E-5 | 8.279954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018459131 | 0.0010076184 | 0.0010176083 | 1.0099144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018306552 | 0.011055357 | 0.011075135 | 1.0017891 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 1.8003793E-5 | 1.8003793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10827445E-4 | 7.715683E-5 | 7.715683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001348489 | 9.3897985E-4 | 9.489705E-4 | 1.0106399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013403354 | 0.010271809 | 0.010291603 | 1.001927 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 1.5427036E-5 | 1.5427036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4757245E-5 | 6.61142E-5 | 6.61142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010314309 | 8.046433E-4 | 8.1463525E-4 | 1.0124179 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010266567 | 0.00882028 | 0.008840105 | 1.0022475 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 1.2589162E-5 | 1.2589162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.293394E-5 | 5.3952437E-5 | 5.3952437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6595135E-4 | 6.5667316E-4 | 6.666666E-4 | 1.0152183 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076331664 | 0.0072257086 | 0.007235636 | 1.001374 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 5.719181E-6 | 5.719181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7021015E-5 | 2.4510546E-5 | 2.4510546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5063766E-4 | 2.9837512E-4 | 2.9837512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004497249 | 0.0033824393 | 0.0033824393 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077337E-7 | 8.077337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.214554E-5 | 4.214554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.959092E-4 | 4.959092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.002207E-6 | 4.002207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0881004E-4 | 2.0881004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020863223 | 0.0021062805 | 1.0095662 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.002207E-6 | 4.002207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0881004E-4 | 2.0881004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020863223 | 0.0021062805 | 1.0095662 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.002207E-6 | 4.002207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0881004E-4 | 2.0881004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020863223 | 0.0021062805 | 1.0095662 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.002207E-6 | 4.002207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0881004E-4 | 2.0881004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020863223 | 0.0021062805 | 1.0095662 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.002207E-6 | 4.002207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.7152212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0881004E-4 | 2.0881004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020863223 | 0.0021062805 | 1.0095662 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.518236E-6 | 2.518236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0792397E-5 | 1.0792397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3138984E-4 | 1.3138984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013131544 | 0.0013231412 | 1.0076052 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.9444194E-6 | 1.9444194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.3332E-6 | 8.3332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.01452075E-4 | 1.01452075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010140663 | 0.0010240561 | 1.0098513 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8837943E-6 | 1.8837943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.07338E-6 | 8.07338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.828905E-5 | 9.828905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011282542 | 9.82464E-4 | 9.924541E-4 | 1.0101684 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.5833983E-6 | 1.5833983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.7859755E-6 | 6.7859755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.261617E-5 | 8.261617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.258595E-4 | 8.258595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3067109E-6 | 1.3067109E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.6001777E-6 | 5.6001777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.818006E-5 | 6.818006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.815941E-4 | 6.815941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1212609E-6 | 1.1212609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.805395E-6 | 4.805395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8504134E-5 | 5.8504134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.848894E-4 | 5.848894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.76522E-7 | 8.76522E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7565176E-6 | 3.7565176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.5734654E-5 | 4.5734654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.5725377E-4 | 4.5725377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.9024285E-7 | 5.9024285E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5296097E-6 | 2.5296097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.0797568E-5 | 3.0797568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.079336E-4 | 3.079336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.3831372E-7 | 4.3831372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.878486E-6 | 1.878486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.287033E-5 | 2.287033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2868015E-4 | 2.2868015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0070453E-7 | 3.0070453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2887331E-6 | 1.2887331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.5690215E-5 | 1.5690215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5689128E-4 | 1.5689128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4247489E-7 | 1.4247489E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.1060655E-7 | 6.1060655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.43411E-6 | 7.43411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.433869E-5 | 7.433869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7356326E-8 | 1.7356326E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.438425E-8 | 7.438425E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.05628E-7 | 9.05628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.056248E-6 | 9.056248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1821722E-6 | 4.1821722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923492E-5 | 1.7923492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.182004E-4 | 2.2819822E-4 | 1.0458194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802273 | 0.0022001837 | 1.0091534 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1821722E-6 | 4.1821722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923492E-5 | 1.7923492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.182004E-4 | 2.2819822E-4 | 1.0458194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802273 | 0.0022001837 | 1.0091534 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1821722E-6 | 4.1821722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923492E-5 | 1.7923492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.182004E-4 | 2.2819822E-4 | 1.0458194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802273 | 0.0022001837 | 1.0091534 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1821722E-6 | 4.1821722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923492E-5 | 1.7923492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.182004E-4 | 2.2819822E-4 | 1.0458194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802273 | 0.0022001837 | 1.0091534 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1821722E-6 | 4.1821722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923492E-5 | 1.7923492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.182004E-4 | 2.2819822E-4 | 1.0458194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021802273 | 0.0022001837 | 1.0091534 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3735406E-6 | 2.3735406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0172282E-5 | 1.0172282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2384127E-4 | 1.2384127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012377985 | 0.0012377985 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3735406E-6 | 2.3735406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0172282E-5 | 1.0172282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2384127E-4 | 1.2384127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012377985 | 0.0012377985 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7500977E-6 | 1.7500977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.5004E-6 | 7.5004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.131408E-5 | 9.131408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.1281824E-4 | 9.1281824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.33019E-6 | 1.33019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.7008046E-6 | 5.7008046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.940553E-5 | 6.940553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.938818E-4 | 6.938818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.1186205E-7 | 6.1186205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6222635E-6 | 2.6222635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1925632E-5 | 3.1925632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.1921457E-4 | 3.1921457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.8333874E-7 | 4.8333874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0714504E-6 | 2.0714504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5219653E-5 | 2.5219653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5217162E-4 | 2.5217162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.9883588E-7 | 3.9883588E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7092957E-6 | 1.7092957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.081051E-5 | 2.081051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0808898E-4 | 2.0808898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7628502E-7 | 3.7628502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6126493E-6 | 1.6126493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.963386E-5 | 1.963386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9632457E-4 | 1.9632457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.5074387E-7 | 3.5074387E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5031874E-6 | 1.5031874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.8301185E-5 | 1.8301185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.830001E-4 | 1.830001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1175472E-7 | 3.1175472E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3360911E-6 | 1.3360911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6266822E-5 | 1.6266822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6265959E-4 | 1.6265959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5017072E-7 | 1.5017072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.435888E-7 | 6.435888E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.835693E-6 | 7.835693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.835694E-5 | 7.835694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.253152E-6 | 4.253152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2189981E-4 | 2.4189537E-4 | 1.0901108 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022168353 | 0.002236791 | 1.0090019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.253152E-6 | 4.253152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2189981E-4 | 2.4189537E-4 | 1.0901108 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022168353 | 0.002236791 | 1.0090019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.253152E-6 | 4.253152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2189981E-4 | 2.4189537E-4 | 1.0901108 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022168353 | 0.002236791 | 1.0090019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.253152E-6 | 4.253152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.8227669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2189981E-4 | 2.4189537E-4 | 1.0901108 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022168353 | 0.002236791 | 1.0090019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.684554E-6 | 3.684554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5790853E-5 | 1.5790853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9223701E-4 | 2.1223316E-4 | 1.1040182 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019207421 | 0.0019407037 | 1.0103927 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.684554E-6 | 3.684554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5790853E-5 | 1.5790853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9223701E-4 | 2.1223316E-4 | 1.1040182 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019207421 | 0.0019407037 | 1.0103927 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4267412E-6 | 3.4267412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4685953E-5 | 1.4685953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7878713E-4 | 1.9878354E-4 | 1.1118449 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017864646 | 0.0018064289 | 1.0111753 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.3646959E-6 | 3.3646959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4420047E-5 | 1.4420047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7555025E-4 | 1.9554673E-4 | 1.1139075 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017541468 | 0.0017741118 | 1.0113815 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.120243E-6 | 3.120243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.33724025E-5 | 1.33724025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6279712E-4 | 1.8279387E-4 | 1.1228323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016268074 | 0.0016467748 | 1.012274 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.9353619E-6 | 2.9353619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2580063E-5 | 1.2580063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5315179E-4 | 1.7314873E-4 | 1.1305695 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015304902 | 0.0015504595 | 1.0130477 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.6438183E-6 | 2.6438183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1330601E-5 | 1.1330601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.379416E-4 | 1.5793883E-4 | 1.1449689 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013785851 | 0.0013985574 | 1.0144876 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.135915E-6 | 2.135915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.153891E-6 | 9.153891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.1144315E-4 | 1.2144203E-4 | 1.0897218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011138945 | 0.0011238834 | 1.0089675 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2950392E-6 | 1.2950392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.5501564E-6 | 5.5501564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.757114E-5 | 6.757114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019903728 | 6.755142E-4 | 6.755142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.394288E-7 | 7.394288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.168977E-6 | 3.168977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.858163E-5 | 3.858163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8575134E-4 | 3.8575134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.4706845E-7 | 5.4706845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3445768E-6 | 2.3445768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8544855E-5 | 2.8544855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8541245E-4 | 2.8541245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6088096E-7 | 3.6088096E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5466319E-6 | 1.5466319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8830086E-5 | 1.8830086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8828535E-4 | 1.8828535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.141681E-8 | 7.141681E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.06072E-7 | 3.06072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.726422E-6 | 3.726422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.726375E-5 | 3.726375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6013542E-5 | 3.6013542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5433462E-4 | 1.5433462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018774058 | 0.001887387 | 1.0053165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019370751 | 0.019390365 | 1.0010124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6013542E-5 | 3.6013542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5433462E-4 | 1.5433462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018774058 | 0.001887387 | 1.0053165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019370751 | 0.019390365 | 1.0010124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6013542E-5 | 3.6013542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5433462E-4 | 1.5433462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018774058 | 0.001887387 | 1.0053165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019370751 | 0.019390365 | 1.0010124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6013542E-5 | 3.6013542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5433462E-4 | 1.5433462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018774058 | 0.001887387 | 1.0053165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019370751 | 0.019390365 | 1.0010124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5885154E-5 | 3.5885154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5378447E-4 | 1.5378447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018707203 | 0.0018807016 | 1.0053356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.019305196 | 0.019324811 | 1.001016 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5885154E-5 | 3.5885154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5378447E-4 | 1.5378447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018707203 | 0.0018807016 | 1.0053356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.019305196 | 0.019324811 | 1.001016 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.5830366E-5 | 3.5830366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.535497E-4 | 1.535497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018678674 | 0.0018778488 | 1.0053437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.019277222 | 0.019296836 | 1.0010175 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.579937E-5 | 3.579937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5341687E-4 | 1.5341687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018662533 | 0.0018762347 | 1.0053483 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.019261388 | 0.019281004 | 1.0010184 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.5770754E-5 | 3.5770754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5329424E-4 | 1.5329424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018647629 | 0.0018747442 | 1.0053526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.019246718 | 0.019266332 | 1.0010191 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.573314E-5 | 3.573314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.5313306E-4 | 1.5313306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018628039 | 0.0018727854 | 1.0053582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.01922741 | 0.019247025 | 1.0010202 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.5613124E-5 | 3.5613124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.5261877E-4 | 1.5261877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018565533 | 0.0018665347 | 1.0053763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.019165747 | 0.019185364 | 1.0010235 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.559149E-5 | 3.559149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.5252606E-4 | 1.5252606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018554265 | 0.0018654079 | 1.0053796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.019154577 | 0.019174194 | 1.0010241 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.549558E-5 | 3.549558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.5211506E-4 | 1.5211506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018504311 | 0.0018604125 | 1.0053941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.019105127 | 0.019124746 | 1.0010269 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.5320438E-5 | 3.5320438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.5136454E-4 | 1.5136454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018413089 | 0.0018512905 | 1.0054209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.019012304 | 0.019031923 | 1.001032 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.5204393E-5 | 3.5204393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.5086727E-4 | 1.5086727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0018352648 | 0.0018452465 | 1.0054388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.0189507 | 0.018970322 | 1.0010353 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.425785E-5 | 3.425785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.468111E-4 | 1.468111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017859628 | 0.001795945 | 1.0055892 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018445065 | 0.018464696 | 1.0010643 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.201078E-5 | 3.201078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3718187E-4 | 1.3718187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016689119 | 0.0016788952 | 1.0059819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.017263763 | 0.017283417 | 1.0011384 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.8558723E-5 | 2.8558723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.223888E-4 | 1.223888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014722579 | 0.001489066 | 0.0014990512 | 1.0067056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.015465693 | 0.015485384 | 1.0012732 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5854171E-5 | 2.5854171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.1079889E-4 | 1.1079889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013481426 | 0.0013581291 | 1.0074077 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.014049098 | 0.014068817 | 1.0014036 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.099888E-5 | 2.099888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.999209E-5 | 8.999209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010951038 | 0.0011050929 | 1.0091215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011501182 | 0.011520952 | 1.001719 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.6371128E-5 | 1.6371128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6782646E-5 | 7.0160095E-5 | 7.0160095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.538652E-4 | 8.6385664E-4 | 1.0117015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.009037015 | 0.0090568345 | 1.0021931 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.576137E-6 | 8.576137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.6754358E-5 | 3.6754358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.47393E-4 | 4.47393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052172043 | 0.004806005 | 0.004806005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.6435063E-6 | 1.6435063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 7.043579E-6 | 7.043579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.575223E-5 | 8.575223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.926113E-4 | 9.926113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.8334406E-7 | 3.8334406E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.6429021E-6 | 1.6429021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.0002155E-5 | 2.0002155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.4033699E-4 | 2.4033699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7941867E-5 | 2.7941867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.1974561E-4 | 1.1974561E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014569709 | 0.0014769417 | 1.0137072 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.014478747 | 0.014498457 | 1.0013614 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7582935E-5 | 1.7582935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.535331E-5 | 7.535331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011033333 | 9.170498E-4 | 9.2704064E-4 | 1.0108945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.009133665 | 0.009143573 | 1.0010848 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3333531E-5 | 1.3333531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7142464E-5 | 5.7142464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.9549005E-4 | 7.054831E-4 | 1.0143683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.006933429 | 0.006943359 | 1.0014323 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1184154E-5 | 1.1184154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7931215E-5 | 4.7931215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.8340724E-4 | 5.934014E-4 | 1.0171307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.005818875 | 0.005828817 | 1.0017085 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.000529E-5 | 1.000529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2879114E-5 | 4.2879114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.2192865E-4 | 5.3192343E-4 | 1.0191497 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006304447 | 0.0052070958 | 0.005217044 | 1.0019104 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.371466E-6 | 9.371466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.016281E-5 | 4.016281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.8887293E-4 | 4.9886806E-4 | 1.0204452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059054173 | 0.0048780343 | 0.0048879855 | 1.00204 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.1388425E-6 | 8.1388425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.488029E-5 | 3.488029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2458499E-4 | 4.3458075E-4 | 1.0235424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042377706 | 0.004247728 | 1.0023497 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.3215638E-6 | 7.3215638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1377756E-5 | 3.1377756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.819574E-4 | 3.9195357E-4 | 1.026171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038130344 | 0.0038229963 | 1.0026126 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.3945386E-6 | 6.3945386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.7404878E-5 | 2.7404878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3360347E-4 | 3.436001E-4 | 1.0299658 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003994821 | 0.0033310477 | 0.0033410145 | 1.002992 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.460797E-6 | 5.460797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3403207E-5 | 2.3403207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8489693E-4 | 2.9489407E-4 | 1.0350904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0028453337 | 0.0028553053 | 1.0035045 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.572062E-6 | 4.572062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9594405E-5 | 1.9594405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3853588E-4 | 2.485335E-4 | 1.0419124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023828126 | 0.0023927887 | 1.0041867 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7542743E-6 | 3.7542743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6089647E-5 | 1.6089647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9587396E-4 | 2.05872E-4 | 1.0510433 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002336181 | 0.0019570251 | 0.0019670057 | 1.0050998 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.4265632E-6 | 2.4265632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0399515E-5 | 1.0399515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2660676E-4 | 1.2660676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012653489 | 0.0012653489 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7701881E-6 | 1.7701881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.586498E-6 | 7.586498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.2361704E-5 | 9.2361704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.23235E-4 | 9.23235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.439327E-6 | 1.439327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1685296E-6 | 6.1685296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.509926E-5 | 7.509926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.507406E-4 | 7.507406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1314946E-6 | 1.1314946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.849254E-6 | 4.849254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.9038066E-5 | 5.9038066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.9022545E-4 | 5.9022545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.6888387E-7 | 7.6888387E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2952123E-6 | 3.2952123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.0118473E-5 | 4.0118473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0111385E-4 | 4.0111385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.01459E-7 | 4.01459E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7205374E-6 | 1.7205374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0947342E-5 | 2.0947342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0945516E-4 | 2.0945516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5364108E-7 | 1.5364108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.5846154E-7 | 6.5846154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 8.01674E-6 | 8.01674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 8.0165955E-5 | 8.0165955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.66355E-8 | 4.66355E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9986642E-7 | 1.9986642E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.4333708E-6 | 2.4333708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4334882E-5 | 2.4334882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.1704955E-10 | 9.1704955E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.9302113E-9 | 3.9302113E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.7850317E-8 | 4.7850317E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.7964915E-7 | 4.7964915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4475855E-4 | 1.4475855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017612679 | 0.0017612679 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.017498702 | 0.017518353 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4475855E-4 | 1.4475855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017612679 | 0.0017612679 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.017498702 | 0.017518353 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4475855E-4 | 1.4475855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017612679 | 0.0017612679 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.017498702 | 0.017518353 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 3.377853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4475855E-4 | 1.4475855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017612679 | 0.0017612679 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.017498702 | 0.017518353 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7046083E-5 | 1.7046083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.305273E-5 | 7.305273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.890772E-4 | 8.890772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008857574 | 0.008867485 | 1.001119 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7046083E-5 | 1.7046083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.305273E-5 | 7.305273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.890772E-4 | 8.890772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008857574 | 0.008867485 | 1.001119 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2145187E-5 | 1.2145187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.2049774E-5 | 5.2049774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.335241E-4 | 6.335241E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063174698 | 0.0063174698 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2145187E-5 | 1.2145187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.2049774E-5 | 5.2049774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.335241E-4 | 6.335241E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063174698 | 0.0063174698 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1366764E-5 | 1.1366764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8713806E-5 | 4.8713806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.929311E-4 | 5.929311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007104293 | 0.0059137396 | 0.0059137396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.134485E-5 | 1.134485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8619888E-5 | 4.8619888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.917883E-4 | 5.917883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007094092 | 0.005902372 | 0.005902372 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1264346E-5 | 1.1264346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8274887E-5 | 4.8274887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.8759016E-4 | 5.8759016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007055073 | 0.0058606127 | 0.0058606127 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0740247E-5 | 1.0740247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.6028825E-5 | 4.6028825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.6025875E-4 | 5.6025875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0055886996 | 0.0055886996 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 1.0011943E-5 | 1.0011943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.290763E-5 | 4.290763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.2227697E-4 | 5.2227697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.0052107195 | 0.0052107195 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.857955E-6 | 8.857955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7962123E-5 | 3.7962123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.620924E-4 | 4.620924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.004611513 | 0.004611513 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.43713E-6 | 8.43713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.615864E-5 | 3.615864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.4014407E-4 | 4.4014407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0043929163 | 0.0043929163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.309792E-6 | 7.309792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1327312E-5 | 3.1327312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.813447E-4 | 3.813447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.00380708 | 0.00380708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.8768335E-6 | 3.8768335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6614897E-5 | 1.6614897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.022677E-4 | 2.022677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020208498 | 0.0020208498 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.1288967E-6 | 3.1288967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3409488E-5 | 1.3409488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6324838E-4 | 1.6324838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016312939 | 0.0016312939 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0311334E-6 | 2.0311334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.704829E-6 | 8.704829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.05976185E-4 | 1.05976185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010592612 | 0.0010592612 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2779195E-7 | 3.2779195E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.404822E-6 | 1.404822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7103575E-5 | 1.7103575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7102291E-4 | 1.7102291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6861955E-9 | 5.6861955E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.436941E-8 | 2.436941E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9669752E-7 | 2.9669752E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9669734E-6 | 2.9669734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4162447E-5 | 4.4162447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8925397E-4 | 1.8925397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023017444 | 0.0023117214 | 1.0043346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023740087 | 0.023759613 | 1.0008224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4162447E-5 | 4.4162447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8925397E-4 | 1.8925397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023017444 | 0.0023117214 | 1.0043346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023740087 | 0.023759613 | 1.0008224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4162447E-5 | 4.4162447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8925397E-4 | 1.8925397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023017444 | 0.0023117214 | 1.0043346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023740087 | 0.023759613 | 1.0008224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4162447E-5 | 4.4162447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8925397E-4 | 1.8925397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023017444 | 0.0023117214 | 1.0043346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023740087 | 0.023759613 | 1.0008224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4162447E-5 | 4.4162447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8925397E-4 | 1.8925397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023017444 | 0.0023117214 | 1.0043346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023740087 | 0.023759613 | 1.0008224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0900166E-5 | 4.0900166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7527468E-4 | 1.7527468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0021318865 | 0.0021418652 | 1.0046806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.022018412 | 0.022037972 | 1.0008883 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0900166E-5 | 4.0900166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7527468E-4 | 1.7527468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0021318865 | 0.0021418652 | 1.0046806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.022018412 | 0.022037972 | 1.0008883 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 4.031444E-5 | 4.031444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.7276476E-4 | 1.7276476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0021013876 | 0.0021113665 | 1.0047487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021706201 | 0.021725766 | 1.0009013 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 4.0169285E-5 | 4.0169285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.7214275E-4 | 1.7214275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029681553 | 0.002093829 | 0.002103808 | 1.004766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.021629661 | 0.021649228 | 1.0009047 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.986845E-5 | 3.986845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.7085363E-4 | 1.7085363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029288116 | 0.002078164 | 0.0020881433 | 1.004802 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021466158 | 0.02148573 | 1.0009117 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.8710197E-5 | 3.8710197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6589033E-4 | 1.6589033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028337094 | 0.002017849 | 0.0020278287 | 1.0049458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.020850355 | 0.020869937 | 1.0009392 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.7145895E-5 | 3.7145895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5918701E-4 | 1.5918701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0019363834 | 0.0019463641 | 1.0051543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.020011008 | 0.020030607 | 1.0009794 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.546765E-5 | 3.546765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.5199537E-4 | 1.5199537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018489765 | 0.001858958 | 1.0053984 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.019108964 | 0.019128582 | 1.0010266 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.4542783E-5 | 3.4542783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.4803212E-4 | 1.4803212E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002196605 | 0.0018008046 | 0.0018107867 | 1.0055431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018604727 | 0.018624356 | 1.001055 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.4174398E-5 | 3.4174398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.464535E-4 | 1.464535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017816166 | 0.0017915989 | 1.0056028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018405883 | 0.018425515 | 1.0010666 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.287197E-5 | 3.287197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.4087227E-4 | 1.4087227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0017137738 | 0.0017237568 | 1.005825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.0177139 | 0.017733548 | 1.001109 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 3.0156361E-5 | 3.0156361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2923515E-4 | 1.2923515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015723048 | 0.001582289 | 1.00635 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.016286056 | 0.01630573 | 1.0012081 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6727184E-5 | 2.6727184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.1454005E-4 | 1.1454005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013936341 | 0.0014036201 | 1.0071654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.01449795 | 0.01451766 | 1.0013595 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.4112143E-5 | 2.4112143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0333367E-4 | 1.0333367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012573622 | 0.0012673496 | 1.0079432 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.013126481 | 0.013146219 | 1.0015036 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.9449948E-5 | 1.9449948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.3354265E-5 | 8.3354265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7068126E-4 | 0.0010143664 | 0.0010243563 | 1.0098484 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010678155 | 0.010697942 | 1.001853 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.6221578E-5 | 1.6221578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.95192E-5 | 6.95192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.460683E-4 | 8.5605984E-4 | 1.0118093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.008955993 | 0.008975814 | 1.0022131 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.552475E-6 | 8.552475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.6652957E-5 | 3.6652957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.461589E-4 | 4.461589E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051959283 | 0.0047919434 | 0.0047919434 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.6349982E-6 | 1.6349982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 7.007116E-6 | 7.007116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.530833E-5 | 8.530833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.8737E-4 | 9.8737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.8334406E-7 | 3.8334406E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.6429021E-6 | 1.6429021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.0002155E-5 | 2.0002155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.4033699E-4 | 2.4033699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Green Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.9629346E-5 | 1.7340084E-4 | 1.8339911E-4 | 1.0576599 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2691303E-4 | 7.4293575E-4 | 7.529284E-4 | 1.0134501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051852856 | 0.009006214 | 0.009016124 | 1.0011003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050659515 | 0.08568227 | 0.08570056 | 1.0002134 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.88615E-5 | 1.7186959E-4 | 1.8186787E-4 | 1.0581737 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2362334E-4 | 7.36377E-4 | 7.4636965E-4 | 1.01357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051454236 | 0.008927023 | 0.008936934 | 1.0011102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050279044 | 0.08496823 | 0.08498653 | 1.0002154 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.696895E-5 | 1.682495E-4 | 1.7824782E-4 | 1.0594256 | 1.0E-5 | 4.15515E-4 | 7.2087214E-4 | 7.308649E-4 | 1.0138621 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050471667 | 0.008739867 | 0.008749779 | 1.0011342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04934063 | 0.08327271 | 0.08329105 | 1.0002202 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.275224E-5 | 1.60017E-4 | 1.7001541E-4 | 1.0624833 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9744904E-4 | 6.856087E-4 | 6.9560186E-4 | 1.0145756 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048282105 | 0.008313858 | 0.008323775 | 1.0011928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047246475 | 0.07940085 | 0.07941006 | 1.000116 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.391499E-5 | 1.4393899E-4 | 1.5393754E-4 | 1.0694638 | 1.0E-5 | 3.595861E-4 | 6.16737E-4 | 6.267308E-4 | 1.0162044 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004369175 | 0.007481697 | 0.007491622 | 1.0013266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04284265 | 0.071749024 | 0.07175831 | 1.0001293 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9519385E-5 | 9.956049E-5 | 1.095595E-4 | 1.1004314 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5505814E-4 | 4.2661626E-4 | 4.36612E-4 | 1.0234302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031009112 | 0.0051804706 | 0.005190419 | 1.0019203 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030579966 | 0.050256535 | 0.05026603 | 1.000189 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5361558E-5 | 7.421742E-5 | 8.421668E-5 | 1.1347293 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9439218E-4 | 3.1803735E-4 | 3.2803416E-4 | 1.0314329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023641558 | 0.0038641754 | 0.0038741366 | 1.0025779 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023391623 | 0.037761156 | 0.037770778 | 1.0002549 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8808106E-5 | 6.282338E-5 | 7.282275E-5 | 1.1591665 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6630985E-4 | 2.692178E-4 | 2.792151E-4 | 1.0371346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020229418 | 0.0032720983 | 0.0032820655 | 1.0030462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020046256 | 0.03209346 | 0.03210314 | 1.0003016 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.2284667E-5 | 3.136113E-5 | 3.136113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.550222E-5 | 1.3439791E-4 | 1.3439791E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011621192 | 0.0016350645 | 0.0016350645 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011560607 | 0.016204258 | 0.016204258 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8050168E-5 | 2.4510917E-5 | 2.4510917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.735557E-5 | 1.05042585E-4 | 1.05042585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4139716E-4 | 0.0012781459 | 0.0012781459 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009374191 | 0.012700145 | 0.012700145 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4763166E-5 | 1.9624218E-5 | 1.9624218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.326917E-5 | 8.4101084E-5 | 8.4101084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7002996E-4 | 0.0010234509 | 0.0010234509 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007673672 | 0.010187054 | 0.010187054 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2399713E-5 | 1.6338063E-5 | 1.6338063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3140546E-5 | 7.00184E-5 | 7.00184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.467941E-4 | 8.5214264E-4 | 8.5214264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006449148 | 0.008489065 | 0.008489065 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0584195E-5 | 1.3954343E-5 | 1.3954343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5360044E-5 | 5.9802966E-5 | 5.9802966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521186E-4 | 7.278595E-4 | 7.278595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055074887 | 0.007255246 | 0.007255246 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.998173E-6 | 1.0562007E-5 | 1.0562007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277433E-5 | 4.526497E-5 | 4.526497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1724785E-4 | 5.509627E-4 | 5.509627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004164653 | 0.0054964023 | 0.0054964023 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.7571127E-6 | 8.948225E-6 | 8.948225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8958733E-5 | 3.8348975E-5 | 3.8348975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5251552E-4 | 4.6679968E-4 | 4.6679968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035195686 | 0.0046585156 | 0.0046585156 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.69878E-6 | 7.527809E-6 | 7.527809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4423114E-5 | 3.2261647E-5 | 3.2261647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9731085E-4 | 3.9271562E-4 | 3.9271562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002969134 | 0.0039205854 | 0.0039205854 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.503664E-6 | 5.9449176E-6 | 5.9449176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9301275E-5 | 2.5477973E-5 | 2.5477973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3496768E-4 | 3.1015102E-4 | 3.1015102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002347194 | 0.0030974194 | 0.0030974194 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0873546E-6 | 1.4136849E-6 | 1.4136849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6600826E-6 | 6.058636E-6 | 6.058636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6735033E-5 | 7.376142E-5 | 7.376142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.672055E-4 | 7.373448E-4 | 7.373448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9373917E-8 | 6.232803E-8 | 6.232803E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1160248E-7 | 2.6712007E-7 | 2.6712007E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762572E-6 | 3.2521834E-6 | 3.2521834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762274E-5 | 3.2514083E-5 | 3.2514083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Frontal (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9021333E-4 | 4.0020942E-4 | 1.025617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.0038972406 | 0.003917163 | 1.0051118 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9021333E-4 | 4.0020942E-4 | 1.025617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.0038972406 | 0.003917163 | 1.0051118 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9021333E-4 | 4.0020942E-4 | 1.025617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.0038972406 | 0.003917163 | 1.0051118 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9021333E-4 | 4.0020942E-4 | 1.025617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.0038972406 | 0.003917163 | 1.0051118 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9021333E-4 | 4.0020942E-4 | 1.025617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.0038972406 | 0.003917163 | 1.0051118 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9021333E-4 | 4.0020942E-4 | 1.025617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.0038972406 | 0.003917163 | 1.0051118 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9021333E-4 | 4.0020942E-4 | 1.025617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.0038972406 | 0.003917163 | 1.0051118 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 7.479444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 3.205448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9021333E-4 | 4.0020942E-4 | 1.025617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.0038972406 | 0.003917163 | 1.0051118 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.959142E-6 | 6.2385234E-6 | 6.2385234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.553893E-5 | 2.6736358E-5 | 2.6736358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.108921E-4 | 3.254846E-4 | 3.3548137E-4 | 1.0307134 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031045752 | 0.0032518534 | 0.0032717884 | 1.0061303 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2946929E-6 | 2.383038E-6 | 2.383038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.834361E-6 | 1.02129825E-5 | 1.02129825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1972676E-4 | 1.2433644E-4 | 1.2433644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011966228 | 0.0012427153 | 0.0012527028 | 1.0080369 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.2468673E-6 | 2.3327148E-6 | 2.3327148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.629396E-6 | 9.997313E-6 | 9.997313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1723159E-4 | 1.2171096E-4 | 1.2171096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011716976 | 0.0012164894 | 0.0012264772 | 1.0082104 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.9921076E-6 | 2.0650791E-6 | 2.0650791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.537577E-6 | 8.850311E-6 | 8.850311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0394004E-4 | 1.0774765E-4 | 1.0774765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010389143 | 0.0010769968 | 0.001086986 | 1.0092751 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4524545E-6 | 1.5048563E-6 | 1.5048563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2247905E-6 | 6.4493693E-6 | 6.4493693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5784184E-5 | 7.851849E-5 | 7.851849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.575835E-4 | 7.84932E-4 | 7.84932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.9802575E-7 | 9.310884E-7 | 9.310884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.848676E-6 | 3.9903734E-6 | 3.9903734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.685662E-5 | 4.8581827E-5 | 4.8581827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6846745E-4 | 4.8572337E-4 | 4.8572337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.776139E-7 | 8.062341E-7 | 8.062341E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3326266E-6 | 3.455285E-6 | 3.455285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0573974E-5 | 4.206739E-5 | 4.206739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0566566E-4 | 4.2060504E-4 | 4.2060504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.244417E-7 | 5.442512E-7 | 5.442512E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2476054E-6 | 2.3325033E-6 | 2.3325033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7364253E-5 | 2.8397924E-5 | 2.8397924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7360884E-4 | 2.8394948E-4 | 2.8394948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.5489647E-7 | 1.6093448E-7 | 1.6093448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6384183E-7 | 6.897191E-7 | 6.897191E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.082245E-6 | 8.397318E-6 | 8.397318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.08195E-5 | 8.397201E-5 | 8.397201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5752368E-5 | 1.6278147E-5 | 1.6278147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.75084E-5 | 6.976164E-5 | 6.976164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2160486E-4 | 8.4902014E-4 | 8.5901166E-4 | 1.0117683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008185739 | 0.008458146 | 0.008468061 | 1.0011723 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1325377E-5 | 1.1325377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.8536433E-5 | 4.8536433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.9077155E-4 | 6.0076563E-4 | 1.016917 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.005892107 | 0.005902048 | 1.0016872 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1325377E-5 | 1.1325377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.8536433E-5 | 4.8536433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.9077155E-4 | 6.0076563E-4 | 1.016917 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.005892107 | 0.005902048 | 1.0016872 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.926149E-6 | 9.214659E-6 | 9.214659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8254362E-5 | 3.9490802E-5 | 3.9490802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6564735E-4 | 4.8069478E-4 | 4.9068994E-4 | 1.0207932 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046467283 | 0.004796595 | 0.004806547 | 1.0020748 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.676955E-6 | 7.921794E-6 | 7.921794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.290082E-5 | 3.395011E-5 | 3.395011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0049385E-4 | 4.1326435E-4 | 4.232602E-4 | 1.0241876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039977287 | 0.0041249846 | 0.0041349432 | 1.0024142 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.1671026E-6 | 6.3602224E-6 | 6.3602224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6430173E-5 | 2.725781E-5 | 2.725781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2173982E-4 | 3.3181338E-4 | 3.4181008E-4 | 1.0301274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003212744 | 0.0033131917 | 0.0033231585 | 1.0030082 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.553456E-6 | 5.725946E-6 | 5.725946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3800309E-5 | 2.4539537E-5 | 2.4539537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.897302E-4 | 2.9872794E-4 | 3.0872496E-4 | 1.0334653 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028935277 | 0.0029832725 | 0.0029932428 | 1.003342 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.787857E-6 | 4.934273E-6 | 4.934273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0519226E-5 | 2.1146712E-5 | 2.1146712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4979294E-4 | 2.5743086E-4 | 2.674283E-4 | 1.0388354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024951235 | 0.0025713323 | 0.0025813065 | 1.0038791 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.9955166E-6 | 4.114259E-6 | 4.114259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7123532E-5 | 1.763242E-5 | 1.763242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0845905E-4 | 2.1465358E-4 | 2.2465143E-4 | 1.0465767 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002082636 | 0.0021444662 | 0.0021544448 | 1.0046532 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.4250072E-6 | 3.5230942E-6 | 3.5230942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46785205E-5 | 1.5098888E-5 | 1.5098888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869633E-4 | 1.8381348E-4 | 1.9381163E-4 | 1.0543929 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001785527 | 0.0018366168 | 0.0018465985 | 1.0054348 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.7712713E-6 | 2.8472034E-6 | 2.8472034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1876823E-5 | 1.2202244E-5 | 1.2202244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459073E-4 | 1.485522E-4 | 1.5855071E-4 | 1.0673064 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014449668 | 0.0014845305 | 0.0014945157 | 1.0067261 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.227358E-6 | 2.2860902E-6 | 2.2860902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.545785E-6 | 9.797493E-6 | 9.797493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16213734E-4 | 1.1927795E-4 | 1.2927676E-4 | 1.0838277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011615298 | 0.0011921404 | 0.0012021285 | 1.0083783 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.581796E-6 | 1.6211671E-6 | 1.6211671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779108E-6 | 6.9478406E-6 | 6.9478406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.253252E-5 | 8.458668E-5 | 8.458668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.250187E-4 | 8.455454E-4 | 8.455454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0306567E-6 | 1.054815E-6 | 1.054815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4170924E-6 | 4.520628E-6 | 4.520628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3776774E-5 | 5.5037257E-5 | 5.5037257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.376376E-4 | 5.502365E-4 | 5.502365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.535541E-7 | 6.683813E-7 | 6.683813E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.800943E-6 | 2.864488E-6 | 2.864488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100947E-5 | 3.4874585E-5 | 3.4874585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4095717E-4 | 3.4869125E-4 | 3.4869125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.2656962E-7 | 3.3322118E-7 | 3.3322118E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995833E-6 | 1.42809E-6 | 1.42809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7039794E-5 | 1.7386858E-5 | 1.7386858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7038487E-4 | 1.73855E-4 | 1.73855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.754343E-8 | 9.8225634E-8 | 9.8225634E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.180432E-7 | 4.2096693E-7 | 4.2096693E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.089664E-6 | 5.1252605E-6 | 5.1252605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0895473E-5 | 5.125143E-5 | 5.125143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0001453E-9 | 5.8502465E-9 | 5.8502465E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5714908E-8 | 2.5072485E-8 | 2.5072485E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307894E-7 | 3.0525746E-7 | 3.0525746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307852E-6 | 3.0525705E-6 | 3.0525705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.465861E-11 | 7.465861E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.199656E-10 | 3.199656E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.895581E-9 | 3.895581E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.895581E-8 | 3.895581E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Surprise Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.4882832E-5 | 4.4882832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.9234199E-4 | 1.9234199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105641 | 0.002339459 | 0.0023494356 | 1.0042645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020858008 | 0.023170073 | 0.02317984 | 1.0004216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.4882832E-5 | 4.4882832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.9234199E-4 | 1.9234199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105641 | 0.002339459 | 0.0023494356 | 1.0042645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020858008 | 0.023170073 | 0.02317984 | 1.0004216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2295266E-5 | 2.4415906E-5 | 2.4415906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.554764E-5 | 1.04635576E-4 | 1.04635576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011626717 | 0.0012732245 | 0.0012832117 | 1.0078441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011566074 | 0.012662536 | 0.01267241 | 1.0007797 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.572643E-5 | 1.710627E-5 | 1.710627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7397246E-5 | 7.3310584E-5 | 7.3310584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.202525E-4 | 8.922014E-4 | 8.922014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008172315 | 0.008887302 | 0.008887302 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.5714395E-5 | 1.7094091E-5 | 1.7094091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.734567E-5 | 7.3258394E-5 | 7.3258394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1962504E-4 | 8.9156645E-4 | 8.9156645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008166086 | 0.008881004 | 0.008881004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.2733495E-5 | 1.3808952E-5 | 1.3808952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.457098E-5 | 5.9179914E-5 | 5.9179914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.641992E-4 | 7.2028395E-4 | 7.2028395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066221743 | 0.007180189 | 0.007180189 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0983784E-5 | 1.1892757E-5 | 1.1892757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7072506E-5 | 5.0967992E-5 | 5.0967992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7295704E-4 | 6.20364E-4 | 6.20364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057148207 | 0.0061868723 | 0.0061868723 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.104806E-6 | 9.8445325E-6 | 9.8445325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.902001E-5 | 4.2190197E-5 | 4.2190197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7496508E-4 | 5.1354844E-4 | 5.1354844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004739512 | 0.005124015 | 0.005124015 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.2162403E-6 | 6.7074775E-6 | 6.7074775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6640759E-5 | 2.8746028E-5 | 2.8746028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2430296E-4 | 3.4992892E-4 | 3.4992892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003238301 | 0.0034940026 | 0.0034940026 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.1792696E-6 | 4.5054503E-6 | 4.5054503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7911032E-5 | 1.9308938E-5 | 1.9308938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1804498E-4 | 2.3506251E-4 | 2.3506251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021783116 | 0.0023482922 | 0.0023482922 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.7478413E-6 | 2.9637133E-6 | 2.9637133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.177641E-5 | 1.2701574E-5 | 1.2701574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4336836E-4 | 1.5463194E-4 | 1.5463194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001432759 | 0.001545366 | 0.001545366 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.128648E-7 | 8.729015E-7 | 8.729015E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4837017E-6 | 3.7410045E-6 | 3.7410045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2413245E-5 | 4.554638E-5 | 4.554638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2405148E-4 | 4.5542934E-4 | 4.5542934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.8641045E-8 | 4.940696E-8 | 4.940696E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.084616E-7 | 2.117441E-7 | 2.117441E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.538017E-6 | 2.5779814E-6 | 2.5779814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.537988E-5 | 2.5779525E-5 | 2.5779525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3911844E-9 | 5.476358E-9 | 5.476358E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3105075E-8 | 2.3470106E-8 | 2.3470106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8130427E-7 | 2.857485E-7 | 2.857485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8130391E-6 | 2.8574832E-6 | 2.8574832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.409636E-5 | 9.409636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.0321166E-4 | 4.0321166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004898682 | 0.004898682 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03854755 | 0.047976036 | 0.047985557 | 1.0001985 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0559946E-5 | 5.0559946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1666769E-4 | 2.1666769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026348152 | 0.0026348152 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026045004 | 0.026045004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0559946E-5 | 5.0559946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1666769E-4 | 2.1666769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026348152 | 0.0026348152 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026045004 | 0.026045004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.775604E-5 | 3.775604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6180177E-4 | 1.6180177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019681887 | 0.0019681887 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016452603 | 0.01951146 | 0.01951146 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.537712E-5 | 3.537712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5160762E-4 | 1.5160762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018442922 | 0.0018442922 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015469253 | 0.018293623 | 0.018293623 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8796103E-5 | 2.8796103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.234062E-4 | 1.234062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0015014614 | 0.0015014614 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012709012 | 0.014916139 | 0.014916139 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4933595E-5 | 2.4933595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.06854015E-4 | 1.06854015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0013001935 | 0.0013001935 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.012928277 | 0.012928277 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.16577E-5 | 2.16577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.281552E-5 | 9.281552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011294637 | 0.0011294637 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.0112394 | 0.0112394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.843859E-5 | 1.843859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.902024E-5 | 7.902024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.616661E-4 | 9.616661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009577033 | 0.009577033 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5110786E-5 | 1.5110786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.4759006E-5 | 6.4759006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.881738E-4 | 7.881738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007855612 | 0.007855612 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2733203E-5 | 1.2733203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.4569828E-5 | 5.4569828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.6420273E-4 | 6.6420273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006623929 | 0.006623929 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0174367E-5 | 1.0174367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.36038E-5 | 4.36038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.307642E-4 | 5.307642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005296669 | 0.005296669 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.335425E-7 | 8.335425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.57232E-6 | 3.57232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.3492142E-5 | 4.3492142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.348374E-4 | 4.348374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.7014303E-7 | 3.7014303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5863263E-6 | 1.5863263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9313353E-5 | 1.9313353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9311681E-4 | 1.9311681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9681275E-7 | 1.9681275E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4348295E-7 | 8.4348295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0269357E-5 | 1.0269357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.0268885E-4 | 1.0268885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.281299E-8 | 6.281299E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.691985E-7 | 2.691985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2774867E-6 | 3.2774867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.2774395E-5 | 3.2774395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.53244E-9 | 5.53244E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3710458E-8 | 2.3710458E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8867478E-7 | 2.8867478E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.886745E-6 | 2.886745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.063875E-5 | 7.063875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0270146E-4 | 3.0270146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036791887 | 0.0036791887 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02796312 | 0.03618423 | 0.03619387 | 1.0002663 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.8331458E-5 | 5.8331458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4996648E-4 | 2.4996648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754383 | 0.003039102 | 0.003039102 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023502063 | 0.029974984 | 0.029974984 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4795514E-5 | 3.4795514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4911551E-4 | 1.4911551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018139477 | 0.0018139477 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.017988315 | 0.017988315 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.825912E-5 | 2.825912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.2110518E-4 | 1.2110518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0014734437 | 0.0014734437 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.014634815 | 0.014634815 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.215615E-5 | 2.215615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.495168E-5 | 9.495168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011554259 | 0.0011554259 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.0114940535 | 0.0114940535 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6823806E-5 | 1.6823806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.2100214E-5 | 7.2100214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.774819E-4 | 8.774819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008741233 | 0.008741233 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.1254522E-5 | 1.1254522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8232796E-5 | 4.8232796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.8707997E-4 | 5.8707997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058556804 | 0.0058556804 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.028999E-6 | 9.028999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.869515E-5 | 3.869515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.71014E-4 | 4.71014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.0047004023 | 0.0047004023 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.459436E-6 | 7.459436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.196863E-5 | 3.196863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.8915058E-4 | 3.8915058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0038848957 | 0.0038848957 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.9034397E-6 | 4.9034397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.1014579E-5 | 2.1014579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5582386E-4 | 2.5582386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025554313 | 0.0025554313 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.5230149E-6 | 1.5230149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.5271906E-6 | 6.5271906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.946574E-5 | 7.946574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.9438195E-4 | 7.9438195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4614246E-7 | 7.4614246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1977497E-6 | 3.1977497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.893195E-5 | 3.893195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8925544E-4 | 3.8925544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4614246E-7 | 7.4614246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1977497E-6 | 3.1977497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.893195E-5 | 3.893195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8925544E-4 | 3.8925544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.584789E-7 | 6.584789E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.8220495E-6 | 2.8220495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.4357952E-5 | 3.4357952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.4353047E-4 | 3.4353047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0784816E-7 | 6.0784816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6050614E-6 | 2.6050614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.17162E-5 | 3.17162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1712075E-4 | 3.1712075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0784816E-7 | 6.0784816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6050614E-6 | 2.6050614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.17162E-5 | 3.17162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1712075E-4 | 3.1712075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Honey Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.9690246E-5 | 7.9690246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4148677E-4 | 3.4148677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032068014 | 0.004150128 | 0.004150128 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03160919 | 0.040774472 | 0.040784065 | 1.0002352 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.9690246E-5 | 7.9690246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4148677E-4 | 3.4148677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032068014 | 0.004150128 | 0.004150128 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03160919 | 0.040774472 | 0.040784065 | 1.0002352 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.2665862E-5 | 5.2665862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2569236E-4 | 2.2569236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027444914 | 0.0027444914 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021337535 | 0.027121998 | 0.027121998 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.2665862E-5 | 5.2665862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2569236E-4 | 2.2569236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027444914 | 0.0027444914 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021337535 | 0.027121998 | 0.027121998 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 3.2393702E-5 | 4.095463E-5 | 4.095463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3882275E-4 | 1.7550869E-4 | 1.7550869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016888566 | 0.0021348302 | 0.0021348302 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016760793 | 0.021154208 | 0.021154208 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.7205504E-5 | 3.426731E-5 | 3.426731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1658981E-4 | 1.4685215E-4 | 1.4685215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014185566 | 0.0017865518 | 0.0017865518 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014095354 | 0.017731402 | 0.017731402 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.069265E-5 | 2.5997195E-5 | 2.5997195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.867977E-5 | 1.1141222E-4 | 1.1141222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010791414 | 0.0013556835 | 0.0013556835 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010739161 | 0.013482519 | 0.013482519 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8060919E-5 | 2.269336E-5 | 2.269336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7401644E-5 | 9.725409E-5 | 9.725409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.419576E-4 | 0.0011835063 | 0.0011835063 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009379748 | 0.0117801 | 0.0117801 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4474663E-5 | 1.8210772E-5 | 1.8210772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.203279E-5 | 7.804426E-5 | 7.804426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5498753E-4 | 9.498512E-4 | 9.498512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007524277 | 0.0094654625 | 0.0094654625 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.564552E-6 | 1.0820191E-5 | 1.0820191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6704707E-5 | 4.6371795E-5 | 4.6371795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4678818E-4 | 5.6449685E-4 | 5.6449685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044589094 | 0.005637146 | 0.005637146 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7082882E-5 | 4.7082514E-5 | 1.2696562 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.589197E-4 | 1.6891812E-4 | 1.0629148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019336052 | 0.0019435858 | 1.0051616 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019214334 | 0.01922414 | 1.0005105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7082882E-5 | 4.7082514E-5 | 1.2696562 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.589197E-4 | 1.6891812E-4 | 1.0629148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019336052 | 0.0019435858 | 1.0051616 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019214334 | 0.01922414 | 1.0005105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7082882E-5 | 4.7082514E-5 | 1.2696562 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.589197E-4 | 1.6891812E-4 | 1.0629148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019336052 | 0.0019435858 | 1.0051616 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019214334 | 0.01922414 | 1.0005105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7082882E-5 | 4.7082514E-5 | 1.2696562 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.589197E-4 | 1.6891812E-4 | 1.0629148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019336052 | 0.0019435858 | 1.0051616 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019214334 | 0.01922414 | 1.0005105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1224723E-5 | 2.1224723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.096091E-5 | 9.096091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.001107058 | 0.001107058 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011032272 | 0.011032272 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1224723E-5 | 2.1224723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.096091E-5 | 9.096091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.001107058 | 0.001107058 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011032272 | 0.011032272 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.671889E-6 | 9.671889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1450334E-5 | 4.1450334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.0454825E-4 | 5.0454825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050347517 | 0.0050347517 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.659454E-6 | 9.659454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.1397045E-5 | 4.1397045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.038997E-4 | 5.038997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005028296 | 0.005028296 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.778014E-6 | 7.778014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.333395E-5 | 3.333395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0577023E-4 | 4.0577023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004218856 | 0.004050788 | 0.004050788 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.4845077E-6 | 5.4845077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3504826E-5 | 2.3504826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8613445E-4 | 2.8613445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028577382 | 0.0028577382 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.985555E-6 | 4.985555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1366492E-5 | 2.1366492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.6010667E-4 | 2.6010667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025980896 | 0.0025980896 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0896834E-6 | 4.0896834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7527098E-5 | 1.7527098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1337194E-4 | 2.1337194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021317122 | 0.0021317122 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9796065E-6 | 2.9796065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.276968E-5 | 1.276968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5545987E-4 | 1.5545987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015535224 | 0.0015535224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0966645E-6 | 2.0966645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.985674E-6 | 8.985674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.09395165E-4 | 1.09395165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010934203 | 0.0010934203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.028213E-6 | 1.028213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.4066196E-6 | 4.4066196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3649306E-5 | 5.3649306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.363665E-4 | 5.363665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.920653E-7 | 4.920653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1088495E-6 | 2.1088495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5674957E-5 | 2.5674957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5672148E-4 | 2.5672148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.479446E-7 | 2.479446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0626193E-6 | 1.0626193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2937317E-5 | 1.2937317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.29366E-4 | 1.29366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.3951746E-8 | 7.3951746E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1693602E-7 | 3.1693602E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8586904E-6 | 3.8586904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.858635E-5 | 3.858635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7627602E-8 | 1.7627602E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.5546865E-8 | 7.5546865E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1978285E-7 | 9.1978285E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.197805E-6 | 9.197805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Robinson Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5296167E-5 | 1.5296167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5555E-5 | 6.5555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.9813215E-4 | 7.9813215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007981322 | 0.007991242 | 1.0012429 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5296167E-5 | 1.5296167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5555E-5 | 6.5555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.9813215E-4 | 7.9813215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007981322 | 0.007991242 | 1.0012429 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5296167E-5 | 1.5296167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5555E-5 | 6.5555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.9813215E-4 | 7.9813215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007981322 | 0.007991242 | 1.0012429 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5296167E-5 | 1.5296167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5555E-5 | 6.5555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.9813215E-4 | 7.9813215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007981322 | 0.007991242 | 1.0012429 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5296167E-5 | 1.5296167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5555E-5 | 6.5555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.9813215E-4 | 7.9813215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007981322 | 0.007991242 | 1.0012429 | 1.0E-5 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2088454E-5 | 1.2088454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1806695E-5 | 5.1806695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.3057535E-4 | 6.3057535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006300088 | 0.006310025 | 1.0015773 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2088454E-5 | 1.2088454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1806695E-5 | 5.1806695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.3057535E-4 | 6.3057535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006300088 | 0.006310025 | 1.0015773 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2088454E-5 | 1.2088454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1806695E-5 | 5.1806695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.3057535E-4 | 6.3057535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006300088 | 0.006310025 | 1.0015773 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2088454E-5 | 1.2088454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1806695E-5 | 5.1806695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.3057535E-4 | 6.3057535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006300088 | 0.006310025 | 1.0015773 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2088454E-5 | 1.2088454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1806695E-5 | 5.1806695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.3057535E-4 | 6.3057535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006300088 | 0.006310025 | 1.0015773 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.819143E-6 | 7.819143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.351019E-5 | 3.351019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0791126E-4 | 4.0791126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003506398 | 0.0040828525 | 0.0040928116 | 1.0024393 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.819143E-6 | 7.819143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.351019E-5 | 3.351019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0791126E-4 | 4.0791126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003506398 | 0.0040828525 | 0.0040928116 | 1.0024393 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 7.347971E-6 | 7.347971E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6892068E-5 | 3.149093E-5 | 3.149093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2736175E-4 | 3.833356E-4 | 3.833356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032687993 | 0.003837964 | 0.0038479257 | 1.0025955 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 7.0606347E-6 | 7.0606347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5697784E-5 | 3.0259518E-5 | 3.0259518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.128256E-4 | 3.683483E-4 | 3.683483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003123856 | 0.0036885957 | 0.0036985588 | 1.002701 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 6.7252786E-6 | 6.7252786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4369761E-5 | 2.8822311E-5 | 2.8822311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9666146E-4 | 3.5085605E-4 | 3.5085605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029626573 | 0.0035142377 | 0.0035242026 | 1.0028355 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 6.248905E-6 | 6.248905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.242688E-5 | 2.678075E-5 | 2.678075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7301308E-4 | 3.2600763E-4 | 3.2600763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002726779 | 0.0032664982 | 0.0032764655 | 1.0030514 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 6.138767E-6 | 6.138767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2009834E-5 | 2.6308739E-5 | 2.6308739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6793676E-4 | 3.202626E-4 | 3.202626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026761394 | 0.0032092151 | 0.003219183 | 1.003106 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 5.971693E-6 | 5.971693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1381518E-5 | 2.5592723E-5 | 2.5592723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6028889E-4 | 3.1154763E-4 | 3.1154763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025998424 | 0.0031223132 | 0.0031322818 | 1.0031928 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 5.802845E-6 | 5.802845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0665291E-5 | 2.4869103E-5 | 2.4869103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5157086E-4 | 3.0274002E-4 | 3.0274002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025128627 | 0.003034481 | 0.003034481 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 5.6910385E-6 | 5.6910385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193436E-5 | 2.4389941E-5 | 2.4389941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4582737E-4 | 2.9690782E-4 | 2.9690782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002455556 | 0.0029763156 | 0.0029763156 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 5.535878E-6 | 5.535878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9502659E-5 | 2.3724979E-5 | 2.3724979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37419E-4 | 2.888141E-4 | 2.888141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002371655 | 0.0028955908 | 0.0028955908 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 5.327914E-6 | 5.327914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861545E-5 | 2.2833721E-5 | 2.2833721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2661954E-4 | 2.7796588E-4 | 2.7796588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022638857 | 0.0027873763 | 0.0027873763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 2.8106838E-6 | 2.8106838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2583803E-5 | 1.2045732E-5 | 1.2045732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5319703E-4 | 1.4664695E-4 | 1.4664695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015309147 | 0.0014729507 | 0.0014729507 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 9.394239E-7 | 9.394239E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.232116E-6 | 4.026096E-6 | 4.026096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.587337E-5 | 4.901662E-5 | 4.901662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.584747E-4 | 4.9515197E-4 | 4.9515197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 2.5215365E-7 | 2.5215365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 1.0806581E-6 | 1.0806581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 1.3156932E-5 | 1.3156932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2250296E-4 | 1.3480961E-4 | 1.3480961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 8.1627284E-8 | 8.1627284E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 3.4983114E-7 | 3.4983114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 4.259186E-6 | 4.259186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 4.483527E-5 | 4.483527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 4.4184358E-8 | 4.4184358E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 1.8936151E-7 | 1.8936151E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 2.3054738E-6 | 2.3054738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 2.44379E-5 | 2.44379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 1.48980925E-8 | 1.48980925E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 6.3848965E-8 | 6.3848965E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 7.7736087E-7 | 7.7736087E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 8.400521E-6 | 8.400521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012671137 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510752 | 0.012520627 | 1.0007893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012671137 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510752 | 0.012520627 | 1.0007893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012671137 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510752 | 0.012520627 | 1.0007893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012671137 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510752 | 0.012520627 | 1.0007893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012671137 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510752 | 0.012520627 | 1.0007893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012671137 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510752 | 0.012520627 | 1.0007893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 2.4105448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0330557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571262 | 0.0012671137 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012510752 | 0.012520627 | 1.0007893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1384905E-5 | 1.1384905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.8791564E-5 | 4.8791564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.9388025E-4 | 5.9388025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005516363 | 0.0059234346 | 0.0059234346 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.1001836E-5 | 1.1001836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.71499E-5 | 4.71499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.739036E-4 | 5.739036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005724706 | 0.005724706 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.704127E-6 | 9.704127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.158847E-5 | 4.158847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.0622615E-4 | 5.0622615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047108172 | 0.0050511477 | 0.0050511477 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.278883E-6 | 9.278883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.976606E-5 | 3.976606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8404827E-4 | 4.8404827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004505487 | 0.004830352 | 0.004830352 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.997079E-6 | 8.997079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8558366E-5 | 3.8558366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6935104E-4 | 4.6935104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368766 | 0.004684008 | 0.004684008 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.374511E-6 | 6.374511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7319049E-5 | 2.7319049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.325592E-4 | 3.325592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033206737 | 0.0033206737 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.208292E-6 | 5.208292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2321063E-5 | 2.2321063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.717255E-4 | 2.717255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025417898 | 0.002713979 | 0.002713979 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.1436765E-6 | 4.1436765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7758495E-5 | 1.7758495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1618864E-4 | 2.1618864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024039 | 0.002159825 | 0.002159825 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4283816E-6 | 1.4283816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.121621E-6 | 6.121621E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.452822E-5 | 7.452822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.450363E-4 | 7.450363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.3563505E-7 | 6.3563505E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7241474E-6 | 2.7241474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.3166005E-5 | 3.3166005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.3161216E-4 | 3.3161216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2616335E-7 | 2.2616335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.692712E-7 | 9.692712E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1800825E-5 | 1.1800825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.1800309E-4 | 1.1800309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5471628E-8 | 1.5471628E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.6306974E-8 | 6.6306974E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.0728717E-7 | 8.0728717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.07285E-6 | 8.07285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Las Positas
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0659424E-5 | 1.1597535E-5 | 1.1597535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568245E-5 | 4.9703725E-5 | 4.9703725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.560419E-4 | 6.0514285E-4 | 6.0514285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005546526 | 0.0060514286 | 0.006061368 | 1.0016425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0659424E-5 | 1.1597535E-5 | 1.1597535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568245E-5 | 4.9703725E-5 | 4.9703725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.560419E-4 | 6.0514285E-4 | 6.0514285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005546526 | 0.0060514286 | 0.006061368 | 1.0016425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0659424E-5 | 1.1597535E-5 | 1.1597535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568245E-5 | 4.9703725E-5 | 4.9703725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.560419E-4 | 6.0514285E-4 | 6.0514285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005546526 | 0.0060514286 | 0.006061368 | 1.0016425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0659424E-5 | 1.1597535E-5 | 1.1597535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568245E-5 | 4.9703725E-5 | 4.9703725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.560419E-4 | 6.0514285E-4 | 6.0514285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005546526 | 0.0060514286 | 0.006061368 | 1.0016425 | 1.0E-5 |
Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.390182E-5 | 1.3206866E-4 | 1.3206866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1668364E-4 | 5.6588586E-4 | 5.6588586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038488081 | 0.0068678497 | 0.0068678497 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037828278 | 0.066506565 | 0.0665159 | 1.0001403 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.318768E-5 | 1.3104652E-4 | 1.3104652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1362378E-4 | 5.615071E-4 | 5.615071E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038116854 | 0.0068148896 | 0.0068148896 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037469655 | 0.06601024 | 0.06601958 | 1.0001415 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.1379836E-5 | 1.2796962E-4 | 1.2796962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.058777E-4 | 5.48326E-4 | 5.48326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003717703 | 0.0066553988 | 0.0066553988 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0365612 | 0.064530425 | 0.06453978 | 1.000145 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.9255926E-5 | 1.2450587E-4 | 1.2450587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9677735E-4 | 5.3348765E-4 | 5.3348765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036072785 | 0.006475916 | 0.006475916 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.035492823 | 0.06285905 | 0.062868424 | 1.0001491 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6757144E-5 | 1.2026536E-4 | 1.2026536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8607066E-4 | 5.1532144E-4 | 5.1532144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034773487 | 0.006256063 | 0.006256063 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.034234364 | 0.060806133 | 0.060815524 | 1.0001545 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.5735134E-5 | 1.1875359E-4 | 1.1875359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8169158E-4 | 5.088451E-4 | 5.088451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003424202 | 0.0061776754 | 0.0061776754 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03371918 | 0.0600696 | 0.060078997 | 1.0001565 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.289601E-5 | 1.14101276E-4 | 1.14101276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6952647E-4 | 4.889142E-4 | 4.889142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032765474 | 0.005936365 | 0.005936365 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032286562 | 0.057804994 | 0.057814416 | 1.000163 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.115274E-5 | 1.1126759E-4 | 1.1126759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6205686E-4 | 4.7677432E-4 | 4.7677432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031858748 | 0.0057893577 | 0.0057893577 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031405866 | 0.056422196 | 0.056431632 | 1.0001673 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.9232367E-5 | 1.0793446E-4 | 1.0793446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.538283E-4 | 4.6249462E-4 | 4.6249462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030859804 | 0.005616411 | 0.005616411 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030434765 | 0.054786198 | 0.054795653 | 1.0001725 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.4030377E-5 | 9.883967E-5 | 9.883967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315382E-4 | 4.2353017E-4 | 4.2353017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028153337 | 0.005144355 | 0.005144355 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027799325 | 0.0503047 | 0.050314195 | 1.0001888 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8260714E-5 | 8.798303E-5 | 8.798303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0681522E-4 | 3.7701594E-4 | 3.7701594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025150678 | 0.004580563 | 0.004580563 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024867928 | 0.044942137 | 0.04495169 | 1.0002126 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0294493E-5 | 7.441453E-5 | 7.441453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7267925E-4 | 3.1888063E-4 | 3.1888063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021003427 | 0.003875499 | 0.003875499 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02080602 | 0.038174406 | 0.038184024 | 1.000252 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.096388E-5 | 5.7450277E-5 | 5.7450277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.326956E-4 | 2.4619236E-4 | 2.4619236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016143717 | 0.0029932945 | 0.0029932945 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01602694 | 0.029665705 | 0.02967541 | 1.0003271 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3615226E-5 | 4.3998676E-5 | 4.3998676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0120418E-4 | 1.885522E-4 | 1.885522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012314644 | 0.0022932203 | 0.0022932203 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0122466255 | 0.022818523 | 0.022828296 | 1.0004282 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8251132E-5 | 3.3827415E-5 | 3.3827415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.821679E-5 | 1.4496663E-4 | 1.4496663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.518733E-4 | 0.00176355 | 0.00176355 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009478063 | 0.01760625 | 0.01760625 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2411432E-5 | 2.2653929E-5 | 2.2653929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3190768E-5 | 9.708469E-5 | 9.708469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4740516E-4 | 0.001181371 | 0.001181371 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006455223 | 0.011839744 | 0.011839744 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.4771446E-6 | 8.152562E-6 | 8.152562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.918762E-5 | 3.4939094E-5 | 3.4939094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3358424E-4 | 4.2530167E-4 | 4.2530167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023333887 | 0.0042811017 | 0.0042811017 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.157941E-7 | 3.5968074E-7 | 3.5968074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.248315E-7 | 1.541488E-6 | 1.541488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1259765E-5 | 1.8767454E-5 | 1.8767454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1259195E-4 | 1.9374686E-4 | 1.9374686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.9623286E-8 | 2.0368665E-7 | 2.0368665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.269569E-7 | 8.7294245E-7 | 8.7294245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1981874E-6 | 1.0628023E-5 | 1.0628023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.198066E-5 | 1.1132122E-4 | 1.1132122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.6745257E-8 | 1.2062105E-7 | 1.2062105E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4319394E-7 | 5.1694724E-7 | 5.1694724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.960882E-6 | 6.2938147E-6 | 6.2938147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9608427E-5 | 6.611437E-5 | 6.611437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.8614323E-8 | 6.732976E-8 | 6.732976E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2263281E-7 | 2.8855607E-7 | 2.8855607E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4930534E-6 | 3.5131645E-6 | 3.5131645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4930434E-5 | 3.656656E-5 | 3.656656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.5045191E-9 | 9.157364E-9 | 9.157364E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5019367E-8 | 3.924584E-8 | 3.924584E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8286079E-7 | 4.77818E-7 | 4.77818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8286064E-6 | 4.923275E-6 | 4.923275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.157189E-5 | 2.157189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.2447735E-5 | 9.2447735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011249795 | 0.0011349682 | 1.0088791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011695713 | 0.011705596 | 1.000845 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.157189E-5 | 2.157189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.2447735E-5 | 9.2447735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011249795 | 0.0011349682 | 1.0088791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011695713 | 0.011705596 | 1.000845 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.157189E-5 | 2.157189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.2447735E-5 | 9.2447735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011249795 | 0.0011349682 | 1.0088791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011695713 | 0.011705596 | 1.000845 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.157189E-5 | 2.157189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.2447735E-5 | 9.2447735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011249795 | 0.0011349682 | 1.0088791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011695713 | 0.011705596 | 1.000845 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.157189E-5 | 2.157189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.2447735E-5 | 9.2447735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011249795 | 0.0011349682 | 1.0088791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011695713 | 0.011705596 | 1.000845 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7727049E-5 | 1.7727049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.597088E-5 | 7.597088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019441366 | 9.2455756E-4 | 9.345483E-4 | 1.010806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.0096813375 | 0.00969124 | 1.0010229 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7727049E-5 | 1.7727049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.597088E-5 | 7.597088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019441366 | 9.2455756E-4 | 9.345483E-4 | 1.010806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.0096813375 | 0.00969124 | 1.0010229 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 1.6966533E-5 | 1.6966533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5444479E-4 | 7.271171E-5 | 7.271171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018787434 | 8.8490976E-4 | 8.9490094E-4 | 1.0112906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.009284754 | 0.009294662 | 1.001067 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 1.6589394E-5 | 1.6589394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5012783E-4 | 7.109549E-5 | 7.109549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018262739 | 8.6524815E-4 | 8.752395E-4 | 1.0115473 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.009081007 | 0.009090916 | 1.0010912 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 1.6416678E-5 | 1.6416678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4721078E-4 | 7.035532E-5 | 7.035532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017908178 | 8.562436E-4 | 8.6623506E-4 | 1.0116689 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.008986236 | 0.008996145 | 1.0011028 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 1.4657713E-5 | 1.4657713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.241074E-4 | 6.281727E-5 | 6.281727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015099603 | 7.645348E-4 | 7.745272E-4 | 1.0130699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.0080413055 | 0.008051225 | 1.0012336 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 1.3122925E-5 | 1.3122925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11436144E-4 | 5.6239907E-5 | 5.6239907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013558907 | 6.8450795E-4 | 6.945011E-4 | 1.0145991 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.0072065494 | 0.0072164773 | 1.0013776 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 1.1526792E-5 | 1.1526792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.661716E-5 | 4.9399612E-5 | 4.9399612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001175679 | 6.012758E-4 | 6.112698E-4 | 1.0166214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.006335827 | 0.006345764 | 1.0015683 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 1.1059385E-5 | 1.1059385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.514098E-5 | 4.7396512E-5 | 4.7396512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.144575E-4 | 5.769012E-4 | 5.868954E-4 | 1.017324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.006065584 | 0.0060755233 | 1.0016387 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 1.085366E-5 | 1.085366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.82463E-5 | 4.6514862E-5 | 4.6514862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.305819E-4 | 5.661727E-4 | 5.76167E-4 | 1.0176525 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.0059498455 | 0.0059597865 | 1.0016707 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 1.0081632E-5 | 1.0081632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7551293E-5 | 4.3206284E-5 | 4.3206284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.004617E-4 | 5.259107E-4 | 5.359054E-4 | 1.0190046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.005528773 | 0.005538718 | 1.0017987 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 8.82679E-6 | 8.82679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5808283E-5 | 3.7828555E-5 | 3.7828555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5757316E-4 | 4.6046582E-4 | 4.704612E-4 | 1.0217072 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005561762 | 0.0048544323 | 0.004864384 | 1.0020499 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 7.672866E-6 | 7.672866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.776671E-5 | 3.2883294E-5 | 3.2883294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.597127E-4 | 4.0028078E-4 | 4.1027679E-4 | 1.0249724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045876284 | 0.0042437245 | 0.004253682 | 1.0023464 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 6.8899926E-6 | 6.8899926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3344273E-5 | 2.9528206E-5 | 2.9528206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0589093E-4 | 3.594468E-4 | 3.694432E-4 | 1.0278106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040515037 | 0.0038259611 | 0.0038359228 | 1.0026038 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 5.9606714E-6 | 5.9606714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8044553E-5 | 2.5545487E-5 | 2.5545487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4138895E-4 | 3.1097207E-4 | 3.2096897E-4 | 1.0321472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0033307846 | 0.0033407514 | 1.0029923 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 4.973034E-6 | 4.973034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3351862E-5 | 2.1312828E-5 | 2.1312828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8427184E-4 | 2.5945294E-4 | 2.6945036E-4 | 1.0385326 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0027963663 | 0.0028063385 | 1.003566 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 1.4303698E-6 | 1.4303698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.217019E-5 | 6.130142E-6 | 6.130142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816198E-4 | 7.4631935E-5 | 7.4631935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014806325 | 8.471859E-4 | 8.471859E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 6.6859457E-7 | 6.6859457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 2.8654022E-6 | 2.8654022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 3.488572E-5 | 3.488572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 4.162456E-4 | 4.162456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 3.1046795E-7 | 3.1046795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.3305763E-6 | 1.3305763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 1.619965E-5 | 1.619965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 1.9626087E-4 | 1.9626087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.20513E-5 | 4.8710866E-5 | 4.8710866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8020741E-4 | 2.0874741E-4 | 2.0874741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021918174 | 0.002539066 | 0.002539066 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021703249 | 0.025151813 | 0.025161562 | 1.0003875 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.20513E-5 | 4.8710866E-5 | 4.8710866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8020741E-4 | 2.0874741E-4 | 2.0874741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021918174 | 0.002539066 | 0.002539066 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021703249 | 0.025151813 | 0.025161562 | 1.0003875 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.473324E-5 | 2.473324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0034139E-4 | 1.0599583E-4 | 1.0599583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0012898248 | 0.0012898248 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012142851 | 0.012832052 | 0.012832052 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.473324E-5 | 2.473324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0034139E-4 | 1.0599583E-4 | 1.0599583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0012898248 | 0.0012898248 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012142851 | 0.012832052 | 0.012832052 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.6593456E-5 | 1.6593456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 7.11131E-5 | 7.11131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.654955E-4 | 8.654955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0087768035 | 0.008624906 | 0.008624906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.6593456E-5 | 1.6593456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 7.11131E-5 | 7.11131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.654955E-4 | 8.654955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0087768035 | 0.008624906 | 0.008624906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1910969E-5 | 1.0547713E-5 | 1.0547713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1046012E-5 | 4.520378E-5 | 4.520378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.21308E-4 | 5.5023027E-4 | 5.5023027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061957375 | 0.0054899817 | 0.0054899817 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.1486E-6 | 7.2155144E-6 | 7.2155144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9207694E-5 | 3.092329E-5 | 3.092329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7724912E-4 | 3.7642982E-4 | 3.7642982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047622547 | 0.0037583027 | 0.0037583027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.90441E-6 | 5.7399566E-6 | 5.7399566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875604E-5 | 2.4599589E-5 | 2.4599589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235742E-4 | 2.994601E-4 | 2.994601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041159308 | 0.002990695 | 0.002990695 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.77015E-6 | 5.5938294E-6 | 5.5938294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3300217E-5 | 2.3973342E-5 | 2.3973342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0535472E-4 | 2.918376E-4 | 2.918376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004046161 | 0.0029146713 | 0.0029146713 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.675798E-6 | 5.4906272E-6 | 5.4906272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.289586E-5 | 2.3531054E-5 | 2.3531054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.004335E-4 | 2.864542E-4 | 2.864542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003997127 | 0.0028609764 | 0.0028609764 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.447814E-6 | 5.249404E-6 | 5.249404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.191881E-5 | 2.2497257E-5 | 2.2497257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8854225E-4 | 2.7387094E-4 | 2.7387094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003878636 | 0.0027354592 | 0.0027354592 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.128185E-6 | 4.9160103E-6 | 4.9160103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0549007E-5 | 2.1068452E-5 | 2.1068452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7187067E-4 | 2.564794E-4 | 2.564794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00371249 | 0.002561953 | 0.002561953 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.0913875E-6 | 4.8846687E-6 | 4.8846687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0391306E-5 | 2.0934132E-5 | 2.0934132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6995133E-4 | 2.5484443E-4 | 2.5484443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036933604 | 0.0025456408 | 0.0025456408 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.051521E-6 | 4.8485053E-6 | 4.8485053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0220453E-5 | 2.077915E-5 | 2.077915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6787192E-4 | 2.5295798E-4 | 2.5295798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036726352 | 0.0025268192 | 0.0025268192 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.910666E-6 | 4.74387E-6 | 4.74387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9616802E-5 | 2.0330719E-5 | 2.0330719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.605249E-4 | 2.4749959E-4 | 2.4749959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035994058 | 0.0024723578 | 0.0024723578 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.341753E-6 | 4.3164637E-6 | 4.3164637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7178658E-5 | 1.8499006E-5 | 1.8499006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3084993E-4 | 2.2520329E-4 | 2.2520329E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033035777 | 0.0022498665 | 0.0022498665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.9205916E-6 | 2.2499762E-6 | 2.2499762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6802427E-5 | 9.642724E-6 | 9.642724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0455034E-4 | 1.17394586E-4 | 1.17394586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020436216 | 0.001173399 | 0.001173399 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.0846227E-7 | 8.506186E-8 | 8.506186E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9340944E-7 | 3.645508E-7 | 3.645508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0877206E-5 | 4.4384005E-6 | 4.4384005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0876673E-4 | 4.4383447E-5 | 4.4383447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4969806E-9 | 2.273035E-9 | 2.273035E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9272775E-8 | 9.741579E-9 | 9.741579E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464601E-7 | 1.18603715E-7 | 1.18603715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464577E-6 | 1.1860367E-6 | 1.1860367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.914952E-5 | 2.914952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2492068E-4 | 1.2492068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015198755 | 0.0015198755 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015098604 | 0.015108454 | 1.0006523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.914952E-5 | 2.914952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2492068E-4 | 1.2492068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015198755 | 0.0015198755 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015098604 | 0.015108454 | 1.0006523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.914952E-5 | 2.914952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2492068E-4 | 1.2492068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015198755 | 0.0015198755 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015098604 | 0.015108454 | 1.0006523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2659171E-5 | 2.2659171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.710714E-5 | 9.710714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011816432 | 0.0011816432 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011885363 | 0.011755019 | 0.011755019 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9712203E-5 | 1.9712203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.447814E-5 | 8.447814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010532405 | 0.0010280381 | 0.0010280381 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010482626 | 0.0102338875 | 0.0102338875 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9424506E-5 | 1.9424506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.3245235E-5 | 8.3245235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010130415 | 0.0010130415 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010342481 | 0.010085288 | 0.010085288 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.747294E-5 | 1.747294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.488188E-5 | 7.488188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.113069E-4 | 9.113069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009398366 | 0.009076658 | 0.009076658 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6056798E-5 | 1.6056798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.881304E-5 | 6.881304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.3747786E-4 | 8.3747786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008707017 | 0.00834414 | 0.00834414 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4627517E-5 | 1.4627517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.268786E-5 | 6.268786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.6295825E-4 | 7.6295825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008003947 | 0.007604269 | 0.007604269 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.27026005E-5 | 1.27026005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.4438584E-5 | 5.4438584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.6258863E-4 | 6.6258863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007053386 | 0.0066069523 | 0.0066069523 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1107887E-5 | 1.1107887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.7604364E-5 | 4.7604364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.794291E-4 | 5.794291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257884 | 0.0057799597 | 0.0057799597 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0033634E-5 | 1.0033634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.300058E-5 | 4.300058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.234063E-4 | 5.234063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057090693 | 0.0052225036 | 0.0052225036 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.045854E-6 | 9.045854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.876737E-5 | 3.876737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7189058E-4 | 4.7189058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00518453 | 0.0047096475 | 0.0047096475 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.838784E-6 | 7.838784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.3594355E-5 | 3.3594355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.0893455E-4 | 4.0893455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00452975 | 0.004082576 | 0.004082576 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 7.009143E-6 | 7.009143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 3.0038838E-5 | 3.0038838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6566152E-4 | 3.6566152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036513514 | 0.0036513514 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.969741E-6 | 5.969741E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5584353E-5 | 2.5584353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.11445E-4 | 3.11445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035616932 | 0.0031108358 | 0.0031108358 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.6047658E-6 | 4.6047658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.973456E-5 | 1.973456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.402418E-4 | 2.402418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.0024005696 | 0.0024005696 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.6606972E-6 | 2.6606972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1402938E-5 | 1.1402938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.3882194E-4 | 1.3882194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.001388099 | 0.001388099 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1430886E-6 | 1.1430886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.8989423E-6 | 4.8989423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.964299E-5 | 5.964299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.9701526E-4 | 5.9701526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.348371E-7 | 5.348371E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.292157E-6 | 2.292157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.7906653E-5 | 2.7906653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.7973315E-4 | 2.7973315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 2.7498277E-7 | 2.7498277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.178497E-6 | 1.178497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.4348107E-5 | 1.4348107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 1.4405014E-4 | 1.4405014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.6047114E-8 | 6.6047114E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.8305902E-7 | 2.8305902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.4462382E-6 | 3.4462382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.448113E-5 | 3.448113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
South Klamath Lake West
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.174025E-5 | 2.3050765E-5 | 2.3050765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3169176E-5 | 9.878562E-5 | 9.878562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011337444 | 0.0012021172 | 0.0012021172 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011279777 | 0.011962752 | 0.011972632 | 1.0008259 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.174025E-5 | 2.3050765E-5 | 2.3050765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3169176E-5 | 9.878562E-5 | 9.878562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011337444 | 0.0012021172 | 0.0012021172 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011279777 | 0.011962752 | 0.011972632 | 1.0008259 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.834929E-6 | 1.0397582E-5 | 1.0397582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2149015E-5 | 4.456035E-5 | 4.456035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1304343E-4 | 5.423963E-4 | 5.423963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051186057 | 0.0054116272 | 0.005421573 | 1.0018378 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.834929E-6 | 1.0397582E-5 | 1.0397582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2149015E-5 | 4.456035E-5 | 4.456035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1304343E-4 | 5.423963E-4 | 5.423963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051186057 | 0.0054116272 | 0.005421573 | 1.0018378 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.066321E-6 | 6.4026613E-6 | 6.4026613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5998259E-5 | 2.7439704E-5 | 2.7439704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1648282E-4 | 3.340299E-4 | 3.340299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031603249 | 0.0033355488 | 0.0033455153 | 1.002988 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.066321E-6 | 6.4026613E-6 | 6.4026613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5998259E-5 | 2.7439704E-5 | 2.7439704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1648282E-4 | 3.340299E-4 | 3.340299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031603249 | 0.0033355488 | 0.0033455153 | 1.002988 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.2321803E-6 | 4.46282E-6 | 4.46282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137789E-5 | 1.9126237E-5 | 1.9126237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.208052E-4 | 2.3283808E-4 | 2.3283808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022058594 | 0.0023260433 | 0.0023360199 | 1.0042892 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.186646E-6 | 3.3614642E-6 | 3.3614642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3656982E-5 | 1.44062E-5 | 1.44062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6626107E-4 | 1.7538204E-4 | 1.7538204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016613674 | 0.0017525034 | 0.001762486 | 1.0056962 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.380121E-6 | 2.5117804E-6 | 2.5117804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0200479E-5 | 1.0764731E-5 | 1.0764731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2418375E-4 | 1.3105318E-4 | 1.3105318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012411437 | 0.0013098049 | 0.0013197918 | 1.0076247 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.928287E-7 | 9.433606E-7 | 9.433606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.826403E-6 | 4.042969E-6 | 4.042969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.658546E-5 | 4.9222257E-5 | 4.9222257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6575698E-4 | 4.921352E-4 | 5.0213025E-4 | 1.0203096 | 1.0E-5 |
Hayward (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.3068506E-5 | 1.7491487E-4 | 1.7491487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9880406E-4 | 7.4942E-4 | 7.4942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048446343 | 0.009085894 | 0.009085894 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047403704 | 0.086805515 | 0.08681464 | 1.0001051 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.055486E-5 | 1.7041805E-4 | 1.7041805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.880345E-4 | 7.301588E-4 | 7.301588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047140904 | 0.008853529 | 0.008853529 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.046153355 | 0.08469539 | 0.08470455 | 1.0001081 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.006742E-5 | 1.6962201E-4 | 1.6962201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.859461E-4 | 7.267492E-4 | 7.267492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046887742 | 0.008812389 | 0.008812389 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0459107 | 0.08431887 | 0.084328026 | 1.0001086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8336754E-5 | 1.6641157E-4 | 1.6641157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7853114E-4 | 7.129981E-4 | 7.129981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004598882 | 0.0086463615 | 0.0086463615 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04504866 | 0.08281089 | 0.082820065 | 1.0001107 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.526157E-5 | 1.6066636E-4 | 1.6066636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6535555E-4 | 6.8838894E-4 | 6.8838894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044391346 | 0.00834909 | 0.00834909 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.043514993 | 0.08009821 | 0.08010741 | 1.0001148 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.152396E-5 | 1.5398396E-4 | 1.5398396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493416E-4 | 6.597649E-4 | 6.597649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042449418 | 0.008003206 | 0.008003206 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04164765 | 0.076927565 | 0.0769368 | 1.00012 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.987405E-5 | 1.510169E-4 | 1.510169E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227243E-4 | 6.4705545E-4 | 6.4705545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041592065 | 0.007849604 | 0.007849604 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04082218 | 0.07551662 | 0.075525865 | 1.0001224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.777665E-5 | 1.4739389E-4 | 1.4739389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.332859E-4 | 6.3153583E-4 | 6.3153583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004050208 | 0.0076619983 | 0.0076619983 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039771806 | 0.073786646 | 0.073795915 | 1.0001255 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3284005E-5 | 1.3884806E-4 | 1.3884806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.140365E-4 | 5.9492805E-4 | 5.9492805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038166929 | 0.007219332 | 0.007219332 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037518036 | 0.06967857 | 0.06968787 | 1.0001335 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.458263E-5 | 1.2207995E-4 | 1.2207995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7675333E-4 | 5.230953E-4 | 5.230953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033642664 | 0.0063501904 | 0.0063501904 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.033137884 | 0.06157739 | 0.06158678 | 1.0001523 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.3853604E-5 | 1.0092429E-4 | 1.0092429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3078074E-4 | 4.324613E-4 | 4.324613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028061352 | 0.0052525704 | 0.0052525704 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027709642 | 0.051273823 | 0.05128331 | 1.000185 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4308683E-5 | 8.229162E-5 | 8.229162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8988053E-4 | 3.5263092E-4 | 3.5263092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023093442 | 0.0042848717 | 0.0042848717 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022854926 | 0.042103127 | 0.042112704 | 1.0002276 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.295973E-5 | 6.128467E-5 | 6.128467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4124835E-4 | 2.6262226E-4 | 2.6262226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017183421 | 0.0031927612 | 0.0031927612 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017051157 | 0.03161736 | 0.031627044 | 1.0003062 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.452256E-5 | 4.5572117E-5 | 4.5572117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05092455E-4 | 1.9529453E-4 | 1.9529453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012787496 | 0.002375132 | 0.002375132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0127141625 | 0.023632599 | 0.023642363 | 1.0004132 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8829967E-5 | 3.4905235E-5 | 3.4905235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.069736E-5 | 1.4958535E-4 | 1.4958535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.820475E-4 | 0.0018196903 | 0.0018196903 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009777189 | 0.018167933 | 0.018167933 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.26374125E-5 | 2.312554E-5 | 2.312554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4159216E-5 | 9.9105724E-5 | 9.9105724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5918895E-4 | 0.0012059502 | 0.0012059502 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00657237 | 0.012090301 | 0.012090301 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.666429E-6 | 8.557362E-6 | 8.557362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9998828E-5 | 3.66739E-5 | 3.66739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4345852E-4 | 4.4641452E-4 | 4.4641452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024319198 | 0.004498758 | 0.004498758 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8399318E-7 | 7.2873837E-7 | 7.2873837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456839E-6 | 3.1231607E-6 | 3.1231607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.003602E-5 | 3.802382E-5 | 3.802382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0034213E-4 | 3.93628E-4 | 3.93628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.5637698E-7 | 5.498734E-7 | 5.498734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098758E-6 | 2.356598E-6 | 2.356598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3377297E-5 | 2.8691205E-5 | 2.8691205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3376492E-4 | 2.9887696E-4 | 2.9887696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.7141245E-7 | 3.819206E-7 | 3.819206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3462456E-7 | 1.6368014E-6 | 1.6368014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944017E-6 | 1.9927875E-5 | 1.9927875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.943657E-5 | 2.0681546E-4 | 2.0681546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1808895E-7 | 2.8139954E-7 | 2.8139954E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.060954E-7 | 1.2059974E-6 | 1.2059974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161694E-6 | 1.468292E-5 | 1.468292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161523E-5 | 1.5118124E-4 | 1.5118124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.138535E-8 | 1.1471163E-7 | 1.1471163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2022292E-7 | 4.9162117E-7 | 4.9162117E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6812106E-6 | 5.9854715E-6 | 5.9854715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6811784E-5 | 6.13393E-5 | 6.13393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4273687E-5 | 1.4273687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.117172E-5 | 6.117172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.4454775E-4 | 7.4454775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006608314 | 0.0074253646 | 0.0074352906 | 1.0013367 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.531337E-6 | 9.531337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.084807E-5 | 4.084807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.9723353E-4 | 4.9723353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043435963 | 0.004964567 | 0.004974517 | 1.0020043 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.986862E-6 | 7.986862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.422907E-5 | 3.422907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.166785E-4 | 4.166785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003606286 | 0.004162082 | 0.00417204 | 1.0023926 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4416248E-6 | 3.4416248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4749742E-5 | 1.4749742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7956419E-4 | 1.7956419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017954973 | 0.0017954973 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4259112E-6 | 3.4259112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.46823995E-5 | 1.46823995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7874442E-4 | 1.7874442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017873128 | 0.0017873128 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.4082486E-6 | 3.4082486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4606703E-5 | 1.4606703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7782296E-4 | 1.7782296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017781131 | 0.0017781131 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3782565E-6 | 3.3782565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4478166E-5 | 1.4478166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7625828E-4 | 1.7625828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017624912 | 0.0017624912 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3482706E-6 | 3.3482706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4349657E-5 | 1.4349657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7469394E-4 | 1.7469394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017468724 | 0.0017468724 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8716336E-6 | 2.8716336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2306948E-5 | 1.2306948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4982751E-4 | 1.4982751E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014985577 | 0.0014985577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0849411E-6 | 2.0849411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.935433E-6 | 8.935433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0878374E-4 | 1.0878374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010885528 | 0.0010885528 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.568947E-6 | 1.568947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.7240426E-6 | 6.7240426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.1862294E-5 | 8.1862294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.195579E-4 | 8.195579E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4447282E-6 | 1.4447282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.191679E-6 | 6.191679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.5381235E-5 | 7.5381235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.5479294E-4 | 7.5479294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.024678E-6 | 1.024678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.39147E-6 | 4.39147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.346488E-5 | 5.346488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.357462E-4 | 5.357462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.350686E-7 | 9.350686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 4.007431E-6 | 4.007431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.878942E-5 | 4.878942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.8901344E-4 | 4.8901344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.485552E-7 | 8.485552E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.6366603E-6 | 3.6366603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.427548E-5 | 4.427548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.4388382E-4 | 4.4388382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.2324044E-7 | 8.2324044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.5281687E-6 | 3.5281687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.295465E-5 | 4.295465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.3065564E-4 | 4.3065564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.851456E-7 | 7.851456E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.3649053E-6 | 3.3649053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0966992E-5 | 4.0966992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.107609E-4 | 4.107609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.169455E-7 | 5.169455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.2154788E-6 | 2.2154788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6973132E-5 | 2.6973132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.708996E-4 | 2.708996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.2197405E-7 | 1.2197405E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.227459E-7 | 5.227459E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.3644143E-6 | 6.3644143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.40384E-5 | 6.40384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.1915857E-9 | 4.1915857E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.796394E-8 | 1.796394E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1871095E-7 | 2.1871095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.2353609E-6 | 2.2353609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6342876E-5 | 7.6342876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2714603E-4 | 3.2714603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003976265 | 0.003976265 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.039107744 | 0.039117355 | 1.0002457 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6342876E-5 | 7.6342876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2714603E-4 | 3.2714603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003976265 | 0.003976265 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.039107744 | 0.039117355 | 1.0002457 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6342876E-5 | 7.6342876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2714603E-4 | 3.2714603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003976265 | 0.003976265 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.039107744 | 0.039117355 | 1.0002457 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.981789E-5 | 4.981789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.13489E-4 | 2.13489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025963413 | 0.0025963413 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.025681762 | 0.025691506 | 1.0003793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.981789E-5 | 4.981789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.13489E-4 | 2.13489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025963413 | 0.0025963413 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.025681762 | 0.025691506 | 1.0003793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6607835E-5 | 3.6607835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.568819E-4 | 1.568819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019084801 | 0.0019084801 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015794903 | 0.018932853 | 0.018942663 | 1.0005182 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5199566E-5 | 3.5199566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5084716E-4 | 1.5084716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.001835131 | 0.001835131 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015149189 | 0.018211395 | 0.018211395 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.7281583E-5 | 2.7281583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.1691635E-4 | 1.1691635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.001422619 | 0.001422619 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011863477 | 0.014144375 | 0.014144375 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5463147E-5 | 2.5463147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0912371E-4 | 1.0912371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013278619 | 0.0013278619 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011065915 | 0.013208337 | 0.013208337 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2640945E-5 | 2.2640945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.702951E-5 | 9.702951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011807816 | 0.0011807816 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009869894 | 0.0117537845 | 0.0117537845 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0343836E-5 | 2.0343836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.7185435E-5 | 8.7185435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010610513 | 0.0010610513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008882134 | 0.01056831 | 0.01056831 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.9017656E-5 | 1.9017656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.150218E-5 | 8.150218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.919222E-4 | 9.919222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008304977 | 0.009883332 | 0.009883332 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7217997E-5 | 1.7217997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.37898E-5 | 7.37898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.9810474E-4 | 8.9810474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007520827 | 0.008953043 | 0.008953043 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.210652E-6 | 6.210652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6617006E-5 | 2.6617006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.2404886E-4 | 3.2404886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.003239195 | 0.003239195 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.4091744E-7 | 8.4091744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6039273E-6 | 3.6039273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3877004E-5 | 4.3877004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3869065E-4 | 4.3869065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.6679195E-7 | 6.6679195E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8576771E-6 | 2.8576771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.479173E-5 | 3.479173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4786947E-4 | 3.4786947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5623898E-7 | 3.5623898E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5267378E-6 | 1.5267378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8587922E-5 | 1.8587922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8586827E-4 | 1.8586827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2199743E-7 | 1.2199743E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.2284605E-7 | 5.2284605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.3656325E-6 | 6.3656325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.3654545E-5 | 6.3654545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.103134E-8 | 3.103134E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3299146E-7 | 1.3299146E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.61917E-6 | 1.61917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6191603E-5 | 1.6191603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356734 | 0.001045663 | 1.0096456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312288 | 0.010322185 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356734 | 0.001045663 | 1.0096456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312288 | 0.010322185 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356734 | 0.001045663 | 1.0096456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312288 | 0.010322185 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356734 | 0.001045663 | 1.0096456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312288 | 0.010322185 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356734 | 0.001045663 | 1.0096456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312288 | 0.010322185 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356734 | 0.001045663 | 1.0096456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312288 | 0.010322185 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356734 | 0.001045663 | 1.0096456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312288 | 0.010322185 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.9857946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 8.510292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010356734 | 0.001045663 | 1.0096456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009709897 | 0.010312288 | 0.010322185 | 1.0009598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2504151E-5 | 1.2504151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.3588145E-5 | 5.3588145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.522452E-4 | 6.622387E-4 | 1.0153216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006164385 | 0.0065038125 | 0.0065137474 | 1.0015275 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2504151E-5 | 1.2504151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.3588145E-5 | 5.3588145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.522452E-4 | 6.622387E-4 | 1.0153216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006164385 | 0.0065038125 | 0.0065137474 | 1.0015275 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.719786E-6 | 1.0238933E-5 | 1.0238933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1655563E-5 | 4.3880416E-5 | 4.3880416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0703844E-4 | 5.341155E-4 | 5.4411014E-4 | 1.0187125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005058831 | 0.005328564 | 0.0053385105 | 1.0018667 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.523418E-6 | 8.972442E-6 | 8.972442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.652842E-5 | 3.8452763E-5 | 3.8452763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464276E-4 | 4.6806337E-4 | 4.780587E-4 | 1.0213547 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044375416 | 0.004670939 | 0.0046808925 | 1.0021309 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.378894E-6 | 7.763663E-6 | 7.763663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.162345E-5 | 3.3272423E-5 | 3.3272423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8494746E-4 | 4.0501734E-4 | 4.150133E-4 | 1.0246803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038428132 | 0.004042888 | 0.0040528476 | 1.0024635 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.4640294E-6 | 6.7946326E-6 | 6.7946326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7702688E-5 | 2.9119532E-5 | 2.9119532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3722803E-4 | 3.5447328E-4 | 3.6446974E-4 | 1.0282009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033671674 | 0.003539149 | 0.0035491136 | 1.0028155 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.9959093E-6 | 6.3008183E-6 | 6.3008183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5696501E-5 | 2.700323E-5 | 2.700323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1280998E-4 | 3.287153E-4 | 3.3871204E-4 | 1.0304115 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031237002 | 0.003282353 | 0.0032923203 | 1.0030366 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.929265E-6 | 5.178041E-6 | 5.178041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.112525E-5 | 2.2191418E-5 | 2.2191418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5716957E-4 | 2.701474E-4 | 2.701474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025687215 | 0.0026982308 | 0.0026982308 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8982403E-6 | 4.0901937E-6 | 4.0901937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6706637E-5 | 1.7529286E-5 | 1.7529286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0338432E-4 | 2.1339842E-4 | 2.1339842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020319829 | 0.002131963 | 0.002131963 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.820968E-6 | 2.9581158E-6 | 2.9581158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2089806E-5 | 1.2677579E-5 | 1.2677579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4718344E-4 | 1.5433876E-4 | 1.5433876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00147086 | 0.0015423335 | 0.0015423335 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9314455E-6 | 2.0266466E-6 | 2.0266466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.277597E-6 | 8.6856E-6 | 8.6856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0077508E-4 | 1.05742176E-4 | 1.05742176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010072939 | 0.0010569314 | 0.0010569314 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.2206553E-7 | 5.2206553E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.237422E-6 | 2.237422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.7240294E-5 | 2.7240294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5870028E-4 | 2.7237163E-4 | 2.7237163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Northridge Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869516 | 0.0018969327 | 1.0052896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869516 | 0.0018969327 | 1.0052896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869516 | 0.0018969327 | 1.0052896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869516 | 0.0018969327 | 1.0052896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869516 | 0.0018969327 | 1.0052896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869516 | 0.0018969327 | 1.0052896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869516 | 0.0018969327 | 1.0052896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869516 | 0.0018969327 | 1.0052896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 3.619719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.5512991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.888544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869516 | 0.0018969327 | 1.0052896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.0942654E-6 | 3.6179338E-6 | 3.6179338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1832384E-5 | 1.5505339E-5 | 1.5505339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6577685E-4 | 1.8876126E-4 | 1.8876126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002654592 | 0.0018860217 | 0.0018960028 | 1.0052922 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.851143E-6 | 3.363172E-6 | 3.363172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0790447E-5 | 1.4413515E-5 | 1.4413515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5309427E-4 | 1.7547044E-4 | 1.7547044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025280623 | 0.0017533235 | 0.0017633059 | 1.0056934 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.7910607E-6 | 3.301434E-6 | 3.301434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0532956E-5 | 1.4148926E-5 | 1.4148926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4996005E-4 | 1.722496E-4 | 1.722496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024967908 | 0.0017211649 | 0.0017311478 | 1.0058 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.580079E-6 | 3.1111495E-6 | 3.1111495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9628762E-5 | 1.333343E-5 | 1.333343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3895396E-4 | 1.6232244E-4 | 1.6232244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023869718 | 0.0016220423 | 0.001632026 | 1.006155 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.290062E-6 | 2.8724883E-6 | 2.8724883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.838585E-5 | 1.2310606E-5 | 1.2310606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2382473E-4 | 1.4987134E-4 | 1.4987134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022359942 | 0.0014977057 | 0.0014977057 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0259683E-6 | 2.6780601E-6 | 2.6780601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7254037E-5 | 1.147735E-5 | 1.147735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1004764E-4 | 1.3972781E-4 | 1.3972781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002098492 | 0.0013964024 | 0.0013964024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.5477108E-6 | 2.2891693E-6 | 2.2891693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5204386E-5 | 9.810688E-6 | 9.810688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8509767E-4 | 1.194386E-4 | 1.194386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018494357 | 0.0011937456 | 0.0011937456 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.9990608E-6 | 1.856444E-6 | 1.856444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2853055E-5 | 7.956164E-6 | 7.956164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.564747E-4 | 9.6862E-5 | 9.6862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015636457 | 9.6819864E-4 | 9.6819864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.4542855E-6 | 1.4493978E-6 | 1.4493978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05183235E-5 | 6.21169E-6 | 6.21169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2805307E-4 | 7.562471E-5 | 7.562471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001279793 | 7.559903E-4 | 7.559903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3623128E-6 | 8.034745E-7 | 8.034745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8384703E-6 | 3.4434574E-6 | 3.4434574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.108106E-5 | 4.192329E-5 | 4.192329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1058323E-4 | 4.1915404E-4 | 4.1915404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.716622E-7 | 4.2315753E-7 | 4.2315753E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3071194E-6 | 1.8135311E-6 | 1.8135311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0263436E-5 | 2.2079517E-5 | 2.2079517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0256142E-4 | 2.2077335E-4 | 2.2077335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.2117711E-7 | 6.638685E-8 | 6.638685E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1933034E-7 | 2.8451504E-7 | 2.8451504E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3228285E-6 | 3.4639654E-6 | 3.4639654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3226486E-5 | 3.463913E-5 | 3.463913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764164E-5 | 4.764164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.041634E-4 | 2.041634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024830205 | 0.0024830205 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024570419 | 0.024580173 | 1.000397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764164E-5 | 4.764164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.041634E-4 | 2.041634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024830205 | 0.0024830205 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024570419 | 0.024580173 | 1.000397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764164E-5 | 4.764164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.041634E-4 | 2.041634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024830205 | 0.0024830205 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024570419 | 0.024580173 | 1.000397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764164E-5 | 4.764164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.041634E-4 | 2.041634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024830205 | 0.0024830205 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024570419 | 0.024580173 | 1.000397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.764164E-5 | 4.764164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.041634E-4 | 2.041634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024830205 | 0.0024830205 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024570419 | 0.024580173 | 1.000397 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5396566E-5 | 3.5396566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5169126E-4 | 1.5169126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.001845369 | 0.001845369 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632528 | 0.01831012 | 0.018319936 | 1.0005362 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5385936E-5 | 3.5385936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5164573E-4 | 1.5164573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018448154 | 0.0018448154 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632056 | 0.018304676 | 0.018314492 | 1.0005363 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.150156E-5 | 3.150156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3500018E-4 | 1.3500018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016424733 | 0.0016424733 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014641452 | 0.016312122 | 0.016321959 | 1.0006031 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.143939E-5 | 3.143939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3473377E-4 | 1.3473377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016392346 | 0.0016392346 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014613459 | 0.016280212 | 0.016290048 | 1.0006043 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6733795E-5 | 2.6733795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1456881E-4 | 1.1456881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013940587 | 0.0013940587 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012562336 | 0.013860843 | 0.013870704 | 1.0007114 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5861622E-5 | 2.5861622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.1083124E-4 | 1.1083124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.001348611 | 0.001348611 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012179627 | 0.0134119205 | 0.013421786 | 1.0007356 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4487204E-5 | 2.4487204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.0494136E-4 | 1.0494136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012769873 | 0.0012769873 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01157452 | 0.012704027 | 0.0127139 | 1.0007771 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7687158E-5 | 1.7687158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.5800264E-5 | 7.5800264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.225411E-4 | 9.225411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008590161 | 0.0091934055 | 0.009203314 | 1.0010778 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.557427E-5 | 1.557427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.674551E-5 | 6.674551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.1238535E-4 | 8.1238535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008100244 | 0.008110163 | 1.0012245 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.53276E-6 | 5.53276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3711616E-5 | 2.3711616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.886512E-4 | 2.886512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028828175 | 0.0028828175 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.3422864E-6 | 5.3422864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2895316E-5 | 2.2895316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.7871534E-4 | 2.7871534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027837118 | 0.0027837118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3185564E-6 | 4.3185564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.850797E-5 | 1.850797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2531157E-4 | 2.2531157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.002250866 | 0.002250866 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8550799E-6 | 2.8550799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2236001E-5 | 1.2236001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4896339E-4 | 1.4896339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014886616 | 0.0014886616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.013103E-6 | 1.013103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.3418627E-6 | 4.3418627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.2860923E-5 | 5.2860923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.2848645E-4 | 5.2848645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8626753E-7 | 1.8626753E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.9828914E-7 | 7.9828914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.71913E-6 | 9.71913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.718734E-5 | 9.718734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.6330417E-5 | 2.6330417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.1283978E-4 | 1.1283978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0013729603 | 0.0013829465 | 1.0072736 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.015385668 | 0.015395514 | 1.0006399 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.6330417E-5 | 2.6330417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.1283978E-4 | 1.1283978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0013729603 | 0.0013829465 | 1.0072736 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.015385668 | 0.015395514 | 1.0006399 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.6330417E-5 | 2.6330417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.1283978E-4 | 1.1283978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0013729603 | 0.0013829465 | 1.0072736 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.015385668 | 0.015395514 | 1.0006399 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.551163E-5 | 2.6014455E-5 | 2.6014455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6642692E-4 | 1.11485766E-4 | 1.11485766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004452125 | 0.0013564959 | 0.0013664822 | 1.0073619 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.015208649 | 0.015218497 | 1.0006475 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.551163E-5 | 2.6014455E-5 | 2.6014455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6642692E-4 | 1.11485766E-4 | 1.11485766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004452125 | 0.0013564959 | 0.0013664822 | 1.0073619 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.015208649 | 0.015218497 | 1.0006475 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.511146E-5 | 2.5831388E-5 | 2.5831388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.647124E-4 | 1.10701265E-4 | 1.10701265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004431336 | 0.0013469564 | 0.0013569429 | 1.0074141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04344007 | 0.015106257 | 0.015116106 | 1.000652 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.4985084E-5 | 2.5760735E-5 | 2.5760735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6417096E-4 | 1.1039849E-4 | 1.1039849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044247704 | 0.0013432746 | 0.0013532612 | 1.0074345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043376986 | 0.015067564 | 0.015077413 | 1.0006536 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.462618E-5 | 2.5585374E-5 | 2.5585374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6263323E-4 | 1.0964701E-4 | 1.0964701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004406125 | 0.0013341366 | 0.0013441232 | 1.0074855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043197807 | 0.014970131 | 0.014979981 | 1.000658 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.42337E-5 | 2.5478066E-5 | 2.5478066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6095164E-4 | 1.0918715E-4 | 1.0918715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004385734 | 0.0013285447 | 0.0013385314 | 1.007517 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043001823 | 0.01490924 | 0.014919091 | 1.0006608 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.365989E-5 | 2.5277952E-5 | 2.5277952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5849313E-4 | 1.0832959E-4 | 1.0832959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004355922 | 0.0013181166 | 0.0013281034 | 1.0075766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04271523 | 0.014799129 | 0.014808982 | 1.0006657 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.30936E-5 | 2.5035097E-5 | 2.5035097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560668E-4 | 1.0728886E-4 | 1.0728886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004326499 | 0.0013054609 | 0.0013154479 | 1.0076501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042432297 | 0.0146678835 | 0.014677737 | 1.0006717 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.041264E-5 | 2.4712013E-5 | 2.4712013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4458007E-4 | 1.05904335E-4 | 1.05904335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041871946 | 0.0012886244 | 0.0012986115 | 1.0077503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041091725 | 0.014485184 | 0.014495039 | 1.0006803 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.8427016E-5 | 2.4123676E-5 | 2.4123676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3607247E-4 | 1.0338309E-4 | 1.0338309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004084008 | 0.0012579641 | 0.0012679516 | 1.0079393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040097635 | 0.014162493 | 0.014172351 | 1.0006961 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.721087E-5 | 2.3904237E-5 | 2.3904237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3086175E-4 | 1.0244272E-4 | 1.0244272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004020803 | 0.0012465282 | 0.0012565157 | 1.0080123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03948827 | 0.014043815 | 0.014053675 | 1.000702 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.3536525E-5 | 2.1956683E-5 | 2.1956683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1511846E-4 | 9.409668E-5 | 9.409668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038298194 | 0.0011450264 | 0.001155015 | 1.0087234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037644852 | 0.0129689975 | 0.012978868 | 1.000761 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.806207E-5 | 1.9674533E-5 | 1.9674533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9166197E-4 | 8.431671E-5 | 8.431671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035452035 | 0.0010260737 | 0.0010360634 | 1.009736 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034891766 | 0.011676785 | 0.011686668 | 1.0008464 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6731416E-5 | 1.4873004E-5 | 1.4873004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.43112E-4 | 6.373989E-5 | 6.373989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029558712 | 7.75757E-4 | 7.857493E-4 | 1.0128807 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02916862 | 0.008877858 | 0.008887769 | 1.0011164 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.946994E-5 | 1.3889105E-5 | 1.3889105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1199681E-4 | 5.9523376E-5 | 5.9523376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002578006 | 7.2445633E-4 | 7.344491E-4 | 1.0137935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02548303 | 0.008269603 | 0.00827952 | 1.0011992 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9718198E-5 | 1.3600333E-5 | 1.3600333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7020974E-4 | 5.8285837E-5 | 5.8285837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020703338 | 7.093992E-4 | 7.193921E-4 | 1.0140865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020511515 | 0.0080631925 | 0.008073112 | 1.0012302 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4115114E-5 | 1.2733161E-5 | 1.2733161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0334639E-4 | 5.456955E-5 | 5.456955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001257516 | 6.641819E-4 | 6.741753E-4 | 1.0150461 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012504238 | 0.0074572577 | 0.007467183 | 1.001331 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.7756569E-5 | 1.1903463E-5 | 1.1903463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6097356E-5 | 5.1013845E-5 | 5.1013845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.260915E-4 | 6.209167E-4 | 6.309105E-4 | 1.0160952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009222416 | 0.0069250567 | 0.0069349874 | 1.0014341 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.3159258E-5 | 1.0163531E-5 | 1.0163531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6395602E-5 | 4.3557266E-5 | 4.3557266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.864001E-4 | 5.301808E-4 | 5.4017553E-4 | 1.0188515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0068428386 | 0.005914266 | 0.0059242067 | 1.0016809 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.635426E-6 | 5.7169354E-6 | 5.7169354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.700844E-5 | 2.4500923E-5 | 2.4500923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5048463E-4 | 2.98258E-4 | 2.98258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004495725 | 0.0033811992 | 0.0033811992 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.077337E-7 | 8.077337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 3.4617115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.214554E-5 | 4.214554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.959092E-4 | 4.959092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 08 (Quinto)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.256527E-6 | 8.256527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.538474E-5 | 3.538474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3074292E-4 | 4.3074292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004029296 | 0.0043009347 | 0.0043108915 | 1.002315 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.256527E-6 | 8.256527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.538474E-5 | 3.538474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3074292E-4 | 4.3074292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004029296 | 0.0043009347 | 0.0043108915 | 1.002315 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.256527E-6 | 8.256527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.538474E-5 | 3.538474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3074292E-4 | 4.3074292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004029296 | 0.0043009347 | 0.0043108915 | 1.002315 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.753132E-6 | 5.753132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.465611E-5 | 2.465611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.0015793E-4 | 3.0015793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028001624 | 0.0029986193 | 0.0029986193 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.753132E-6 | 5.753132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.465611E-5 | 2.465611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.0015793E-4 | 3.0015793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028001624 | 0.0029986193 | 0.0029986193 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.65427E-6 | 3.943286E-6 | 3.943286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5661062E-5 | 1.6899729E-5 | 1.6899729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9065675E-4 | 2.0574183E-4 | 2.0574183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019049325 | 0.0020562059 | 0.0020562059 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6143538E-6 | 3.9004535E-6 | 3.9004535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5489995E-5 | 1.6716162E-5 | 1.6716162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8857437E-4 | 2.0350731E-4 | 2.0350731E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018841444 | 0.0020339016 | 0.0020339016 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.4821015E-6 | 2.6871032E-6 | 2.6871032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0637535E-5 | 1.1516137E-5 | 1.1516137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2950429E-4 | 1.4020562E-4 | 1.4020562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942884 | 0.0014017271 | 0.0014017271 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.7110538E-7 | 5.196386E-7 | 5.196386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0190216E-6 | 2.2270208E-6 | 2.2270208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.458131E-5 | 2.711366E-5 | 2.711366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.457859E-4 | 2.7110532E-4 | 2.7110532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.958685E-7 | 4.3732237E-7 | 4.3732237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6965782E-6 | 1.8742375E-6 | 1.8742375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0655643E-5 | 2.2818618E-5 | 2.2818618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0653724E-4 | 2.2816438E-4 | 2.2816438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.70294E-7 | 2.9940273E-7 | 2.9940273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1584025E-6 | 1.2831539E-6 | 1.2831539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4103458E-5 | 1.56223E-5 | 1.56223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4102564E-4 | 1.562133E-4 | 1.562133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4828602E-7 | 1.6480644E-7 | 1.6480644E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3551136E-7 | 7.063132E-7 | 7.063132E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737323E-6 | 8.599337E-6 | 8.599337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737054E-5 | 8.599085E-5 | 8.599085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.0442082E-4 | 1.0442082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.4744604E-4 | 4.4744604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004310982 | 0.005434499 | 0.005434499 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.042283054 | 0.05307389 | 0.05308336 | 1.0001785 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.7812995E-5 | 5.7812995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.477474E-4 | 2.477474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00244744 | 0.0030122036 | 0.0030122036 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024206603 | 0.029721329 | 0.029721329 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2196454E-5 | 4.2196454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8082967E-4 | 1.8082967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021993944 | 0.0021993944 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018137876 | 0.021778595 | 0.021778595 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2196454E-5 | 4.2196454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8082967E-4 | 1.8082967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021993944 | 0.0021993944 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018137876 | 0.021778595 | 0.021778595 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.2123942E-5 | 3.2123942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3766687E-4 | 1.3766687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016748167 | 0.0016748167 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014090929 | 0.016623527 | 0.016623527 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.0135523E-5 | 3.0135523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2914593E-4 | 1.2914593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.001571229 | 0.001571229 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013261181 | 0.015602731 | 0.015602731 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.5770334E-5 | 2.5770334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.1043966E-4 | 1.1043966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013437809 | 0.0013437809 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011431668 | 0.013357544 | 0.013357544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.2565078E-5 | 2.2565078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.670392E-5 | 9.670392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011767396 | 0.0011767396 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01006902 | 0.011705792 | 0.011705792 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.0423748E-5 | 2.0423748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.7527435E-5 | 8.7527435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010651299 | 0.0010651299 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009149387 | 0.010600816 | 0.010600816 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.8043771E-5 | 1.8043771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.732818E-5 | 7.732818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.4106747E-4 | 9.4106747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008117969 | 0.0093712695 | 0.0093712695 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.5462727E-5 | 1.5462727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.626716E-5 | 6.626716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.0650684E-4 | 8.0650684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006990582 | 0.008036133 | 0.008036133 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.4086191E-5 | 1.4086191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.036801E-5 | 6.036801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.347353E-4 | 7.347353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063810493 | 0.0073233666 | 0.0073233666 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2525153E-5 | 1.2525153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.3678137E-5 | 5.3678137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.533379E-4 | 6.533379E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056831064 | 0.0065144524 | 0.0065144524 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.9348303E-6 | 6.9348303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.9720364E-5 | 2.9720364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6178576E-4 | 3.6178576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.0036120133 | 0.0036120133 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.59429E-6 | 5.59429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.397531E-5 | 2.397531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.918607E-4 | 2.918607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.0029148152 | 0.0029148152 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.971273E-6 | 1.971273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.448286E-6 | 8.448286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0285326E-4 | 1.0285326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010280786 | 0.0010280786 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7537384E-7 | 1.7537384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.51602E-7 | 7.51602E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.150717E-6 | 9.150717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.150361E-5 | 9.150361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.638331E-5 | 9.638331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1301188E-4 | 4.1301188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0050182254 | 0.0050182254 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03294174 | 0.049015954 | 0.049025465 | 1.0001941 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.638331E-5 | 9.638331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1301188E-4 | 4.1301188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0050182254 | 0.0050182254 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03294174 | 0.049015954 | 0.049025465 | 1.0001941 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.350915E-5 | 8.350915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.5785633E-4 | 3.5785633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002971072 | 0.004349845 | 0.004349845 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029316625 | 0.04268943 | 0.042699 | 1.0002242 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.3354316E-5 | 8.3354316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.571929E-4 | 3.571929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002966728 | 0.0043418 | 0.0043418 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029274331 | 0.04261272 | 0.042622294 | 1.0002247 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.783982E-5 | 7.783982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.335659E-4 | 3.335659E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028226813 | 0.004055253 | 0.004055253 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02787096 | 0.039898507 | 0.039908107 | 1.0002407 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.674133E-5 | 5.674133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.431611E-4 | 2.431611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0029576442 | 0.0029576442 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022570757 | 0.029402798 | 0.029412504 | 1.0003301 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.5792913E-5 | 2.5792913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.10536486E-4 | 1.10536486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013449704 | 0.0013449704 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014360986 | 0.013698393 | 0.013698393 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.5002433E-5 | 2.5002433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.0714899E-4 | 1.0714899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0013037777 | 0.0013037777 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014053487 | 0.013291087 | 0.013291087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.2460286E-5 | 2.2460286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.625489E-5 | 9.625489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001328425 | 0.0011712853 | 0.0011712853 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0132051185 | 0.011976236 | 0.011976236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.7899934E-5 | 1.7899934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.671177E-5 | 7.671177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011036064 | 9.3356945E-4 | 9.3356945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010981417 | 0.009589758 | 0.009589758 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.642351E-5 | 1.642351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 7.038459E-5 | 7.038459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.5659797E-4 | 8.5659797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738087 | 0.008806914 | 0.008806914 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6348404E-5 | 1.6348404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 7.006272E-5 | 7.006272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.5268234E-4 | 8.5268234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009698939 | 0.008767767 | 0.008767767 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.5640333E-5 | 1.5640333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.702829E-5 | 6.702829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.1576617E-4 | 8.1576617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009247236 | 0.008397891 | 0.008397891 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.4786578E-5 | 1.4786578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.336952E-5 | 6.336952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.7125285E-4 | 7.7125285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00861587 | 0.0079517905 | 0.0079517905 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4650994E-5 | 1.4650994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.278847E-5 | 6.278847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.641836E-4 | 7.641836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008514405 | 0.007880929 | 0.007880929 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.4289212E-5 | 1.4289212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.123805E-5 | 6.123805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.453203E-4 | 7.453203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008205604 | 0.0076902173 | 0.0076902173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.329931E-5 | 1.329931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.6995807E-5 | 5.6995807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.937048E-4 | 6.937048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007407237 | 0.007168189 | 0.007168189 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.1137998E-5 | 1.1137998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.773341E-5 | 4.773341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.810001E-4 | 5.810001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006005941 | 0.0060329875 | 0.0060329875 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.739491E-6 | 9.739491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.174001E-5 | 4.174001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767588E-4 | 5.080668E-4 | 5.080668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573727 | 0.0052949553 | 0.0052949553 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.5820976E-6 | 7.5820976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.2494303E-5 | 3.2494303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.9554687E-4 | 3.9554687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0041570603 | 0.0041570603 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.442853E-6 | 6.442853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.7611939E-5 | 2.7611939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.36124E-4 | 3.36124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030029714 | 0.0035499071 | 0.0035499071 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.6623126E-6 | 5.6623126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.4266832E-5 | 2.4266832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.9540915E-4 | 2.9540915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0031283316 | 0.0031283316 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.569943E-7 | 5.569943E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.3871162E-6 | 2.3871162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.9062778E-5 | 2.9062778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.2646378E-4 | 3.2646378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.6942072E-9 | 4.6942072E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 2.0118032E-8 | 2.0118032E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.4493704E-7 | 2.4493704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.740769E-6 | 2.740769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5950744E-4 | 3.0853623E-4 | 3.0853623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.834242E-4 | 0.0013214421 | 0.0013214421 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00828899 | 0.015930288 | 0.015940128 | 1.0006177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.079865426 | 0.14497612 | 0.14498468 | 1.000059 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3584697E-4 | 2.6168048E-4 | 2.6168048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8207137E-4 | 0.0011208415 | 0.0011208415 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007063716 | 0.013529133 | 0.013538998 | 1.0007292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06843361 | 0.124583736 | 0.12459249 | 1.0000702 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.14676266E-4 | 2.1840501E-4 | 2.1840501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9137714E-4 | 9.355888E-4 | 9.355888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059661185 | 0.011309445 | 0.011319332 | 1.0008742 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058084648 | 0.10555925 | 0.1055682 | 1.0000848 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.61044E-4 | 1.61044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.899705E-4 | 6.899705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004525038 | 0.008361283 | 0.008371199 | 1.001186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044339992 | 0.0798556 | 0.0798648 | 1.0001153 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5809224E-4 | 1.5809224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.773267E-4 | 6.773267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044306475 | 0.0082085105 | 0.008218428 | 1.0012083 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04343345 | 0.07845584 | 0.07846506 | 1.0001174 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.5633232E-4 | 1.5633232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.69789E-4 | 6.69789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004376863 | 0.00811752 | 0.008127439 | 1.0012219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042916555 | 0.07762582 | 0.07763504 | 1.0001189 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.5267922E-4 | 1.5267922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.541424E-4 | 6.541424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042669317 | 0.007928804 | 0.007938724 | 1.0012512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04185927 | 0.07590722 | 0.07591646 | 1.0001217 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.4934913E-4 | 1.4934913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.398808E-4 | 6.398808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004172157 | 0.0077568437 | 0.007766766 | 1.0012792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040946912 | 0.0743464 | 0.074355654 | 1.0001245 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.2986318E-4 | 1.2986318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.5642E-4 | 5.5642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037082357 | 0.0067501147 | 0.0067600473 | 1.0014714 | 1.0E-5 | 0.036469642 | 0.06516111 | 0.06517046 | 1.0001434 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 1.00102225E-4 | 1.00102225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.289394E-4 | 4.289394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029876942 | 0.0052099084 | 0.0052198563 | 1.0019094 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02947844 | 0.05093741 | 0.050946902 | 1.0001863 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.367954E-5 | 8.367954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.5857764E-4 | 3.5857764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025403565 | 0.0043570115 | 0.004366968 | 1.0022851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025115121 | 0.042879988 | 0.04288956 | 1.0002232 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.340094E-5 | 7.340094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.1453787E-4 | 3.1453787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002241108 | 0.0038228354 | 0.0038228354 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022186412 | 0.037783165 | 0.037783165 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.4562115E-5 | 5.4562115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.3381684E-4 | 2.3381684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0028430326 | 0.0028430326 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016668037 | 0.028353628 | 0.028353628 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 3.9991843E-5 | 3.9991843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.7138245E-4 | 1.7138245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0020846021 | 0.0020846021 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012319452 | 0.020897586 | 0.020897586 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.7689655E-5 | 2.7689655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.1866457E-4 | 1.1866457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.0014437861 | 0.0014437861 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008312687 | 0.014546643 | 0.014546643 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.511808E-5 | 2.511808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9202768E-5 | 1.0764449E-4 | 1.0764449E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.0013097862 | 0.0013097862 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007182234 | 0.013219467 | 0.013219467 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.6703312E-5 | 1.6703312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 7.1583665E-5 | 7.1583665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 8.71184E-4 | 8.71184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004590199 | 0.0088541685 | 0.0088541685 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 7.904518E-6 | 7.904518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 3.3876066E-5 | 3.3876066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 4.1236312E-4 | 4.1236312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021033096 | 0.00426156 | 0.00426156 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 6.9599437E-6 | 6.9599437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 2.982799E-5 | 2.982799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 3.630953E-4 | 3.630953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0037505683 | 0.0037505683 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 5.407348E-6 | 5.407348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 2.3174143E-5 | 2.3174143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 2.8210873E-4 | 2.8210873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0028968607 | 0.0028968607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 3.3657216E-6 | 3.3657216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 1.442444E-5 | 1.442444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.7560346E-4 | 1.7560346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.944594E-4 | 0.0017938933 | 0.0017938933 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 2.0941545E-6 | 2.0941545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 8.974917E-6 | 8.974917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 1.09264176E-4 | 1.09264176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 0.0011168075 | 0.0011168075 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Fontana (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.554485E-6 | 7.554485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2376192E-5 | 3.2376192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9414965E-4 | 3.9414965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003738865 | 0.003938508 | 0.0039484687 | 1.002529 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.554485E-6 | 7.554485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2376192E-5 | 3.2376192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9414965E-4 | 3.9414965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003738865 | 0.003938508 | 0.0039484687 | 1.002529 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.554485E-6 | 7.554485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2376192E-5 | 3.2376192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9414965E-4 | 3.9414965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003738865 | 0.003938508 | 0.0039484687 | 1.002529 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.554485E-6 | 7.554485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2376192E-5 | 3.2376192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9414965E-4 | 3.9414965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003738865 | 0.003938508 | 0.0039484687 | 1.002529 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.554485E-6 | 7.554485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2376192E-5 | 3.2376192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9414965E-4 | 3.9414965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003738865 | 0.003938508 | 0.0039484687 | 1.002529 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.2611317E-6 | 5.5345336E-6 | 5.5345336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2547512E-5 | 2.3719429E-5 | 2.3719429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.744814E-4 | 2.8878404E-4 | 2.8878404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002741426 | 0.0028878404 | 0.0028978116 | 1.0034528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.2611317E-6 | 5.5345336E-6 | 5.5345336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2547512E-5 | 2.3719429E-5 | 2.3719429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.744814E-4 | 2.8878404E-4 | 2.8878404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002741426 | 0.0028878404 | 0.0028978116 | 1.0034528 | 1.0E-5 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4407996E-6 | 6.4407996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603224E-5 | 3.760295E-5 | 1.3622665 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603335E-4 | 3.4603E-4 | 1.0297489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356815 | 0.0033667816 | 1.002969 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4407996E-6 | 6.4407996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603224E-5 | 3.760295E-5 | 1.3622665 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603335E-4 | 3.4603E-4 | 1.0297489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356815 | 0.0033667816 | 1.002969 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4407996E-6 | 6.4407996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603224E-5 | 3.760295E-5 | 1.3622665 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603335E-4 | 3.4603E-4 | 1.0297489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356815 | 0.0033667816 | 1.002969 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4407996E-6 | 6.4407996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603224E-5 | 3.760295E-5 | 1.3622665 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603335E-4 | 3.4603E-4 | 1.0297489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356815 | 0.0033667816 | 1.002969 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4407996E-6 | 6.4407996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603224E-5 | 3.760295E-5 | 1.3622665 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603335E-4 | 3.4603E-4 | 1.0297489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356815 | 0.0033667816 | 1.002969 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9528187E-6 | 2.9528187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2654925E-5 | 1.2654925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5407153E-4 | 1.5407153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015405008 | 0.0015405008 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9528187E-6 | 2.9528187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2654925E-5 | 1.2654925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5407153E-4 | 1.5407153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015405008 | 0.0015405008 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6299365E-6 | 2.6299365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1271156E-5 | 1.1271156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3722632E-4 | 1.3722632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013722633 | 0.0013722633 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.721599E-5 | 1.721599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.378093E-5 | 7.378093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.979482E-4 | 8.979482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008946751 | 0.008956662 | 1.0011077 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.721599E-5 | 1.721599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.378093E-5 | 7.378093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.979482E-4 | 8.979482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008946751 | 0.008956662 | 1.0011077 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.721599E-5 | 1.721599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.378093E-5 | 7.378093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.979482E-4 | 8.979482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008946751 | 0.008956662 | 1.0011077 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0125995E-5 | 1.0125995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3396423E-5 | 4.3396423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.282284E-4 | 5.282284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052702343 | 0.0052801818 | 1.0018874 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0125995E-5 | 1.0125995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3396423E-5 | 4.3396423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.282284E-4 | 5.282284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052702343 | 0.0052801818 | 1.0018874 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.3326432E-6 | 7.3326432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.1425243E-5 | 3.1425243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8253676E-4 | 3.8253676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036884616 | 0.0038189446 | 0.0038289065 | 1.0026085 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0620805E-6 | 6.0620805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.598009E-5 | 2.598009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.1626254E-4 | 3.1626254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030598943 | 0.0031582122 | 0.0031681806 | 1.0031563 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.117947E-6 | 5.117947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1933876E-5 | 2.1933876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6701269E-4 | 2.6701269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025916274 | 0.002666968 | 0.0026769412 | 1.0037396 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.5128368E-6 | 4.5128368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9340587E-5 | 1.9340587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3544655E-4 | 2.3544655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023520065 | 0.0023619828 | 1.0042417 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.602936E-6 | 3.602936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5441065E-5 | 1.5441065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8797889E-4 | 1.8797889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018379007 | 0.001878215 | 0.0018881962 | 1.0053142 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.2751661E-6 | 3.2751661E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.4036351E-5 | 1.4036351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.7087931E-4 | 1.7087931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0017074933 | 0.0017174763 | 1.0058465 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.54223E-6 | 2.54223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0895227E-5 | 1.0895227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3264138E-4 | 1.3264138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013085462 | 0.001325628 | 0.0013356148 | 1.0075336 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0631073E-6 | 2.0631073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.841858E-6 | 8.841858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0764435E-4 | 1.0764435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010759265 | 0.0010859157 | 1.0092843 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6784438E-6 | 1.6784438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.193311E-6 | 7.193311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.757507E-5 | 8.757507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.7540847E-4 | 8.853997E-4 | 1.0114132 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3342576E-6 | 1.3342576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.7182347E-6 | 5.7182347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.961731E-5 | 6.961731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.959572E-4 | 7.0595025E-4 | 1.0143588 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.297058E-7 | 9.297058E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.984447E-6 | 3.984447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.8509584E-5 | 4.8509584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.8499164E-4 | 4.9498683E-4 | 1.0206089 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.7804707E-7 | 4.7804707E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.0487714E-6 | 2.0487714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4943514E-5 | 2.4943514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.494079E-4 | 2.594054E-4 | 1.040085 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5769003E-7 | 2.5769003E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1043854E-6 | 1.1043854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.344581E-5 | 1.344581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.3444999E-4 | 1.3444999E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5454468E-7 | 1.5454468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.623342E-7 | 6.623342E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.063889E-6 | 8.063889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.063598E-5 | 8.063598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.092632E-8 | 4.092632E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.753985E-7 | 1.753985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1354747E-6 | 2.1354747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1354546E-5 | 2.1354546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4110113E-5 | 2.4110113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0332553E-4 | 1.0332553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012573632 | 0.0012573632 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015655609 | 0.012512532 | 0.012522407 | 1.0007892 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4110113E-5 | 2.4110113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0332553E-4 | 1.0332553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012573632 | 0.0012573632 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015655609 | 0.012512532 | 0.012522407 | 1.0007892 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4110113E-5 | 2.4110113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0332553E-4 | 1.0332553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012573632 | 0.0012573632 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015655609 | 0.012512532 | 0.012522407 | 1.0007892 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3647568E-5 | 1.3647568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.848836E-5 | 5.848836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.118794E-4 | 7.118794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.007097618 | 0.007097618 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3647568E-5 | 1.3647568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.848836E-5 | 5.848836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.118794E-4 | 7.118794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.007097618 | 0.007097618 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0484095E-5 | 1.0484095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4931116E-5 | 4.4931116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.4690905E-4 | 5.4690905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008994718 | 0.005456628 | 0.005456628 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.419837E-6 | 8.419837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.608456E-5 | 3.608456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.392482E-4 | 4.392482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.004384518 | 0.004384518 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.415706E-6 | 6.415706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.749562E-5 | 2.749562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3471241E-4 | 3.3471241E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033425435 | 0.0033425435 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3366426E-6 | 4.3366426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8585484E-5 | 1.8585484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2625565E-4 | 2.2625565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.00226034 | 0.00226034 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5836388E-6 | 3.5836388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5358364E-5 | 1.5358364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8697264E-4 | 1.8697264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018682118 | 0.0018682118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.570123E-6 | 2.570123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.10147685E-5 | 1.10147685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3409686E-4 | 1.3409686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013401906 | 0.0013401906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2295033E-6 | 2.2295033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.55498E-6 | 9.55498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1632597E-4 | 1.1632597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011626799 | 0.0011626799 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6292048E-6 | 1.6292048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.982289E-6 | 6.982289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.500629E-5 | 8.500629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.49761E-4 | 8.49761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.3546576E-7 | 8.3546576E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5805635E-6 | 3.5805635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3592634E-5 | 4.3592634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3585533E-4 | 4.3585533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1465201E-4 | 2.1465201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445106 | 0.0021544893 | 1.0046531 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1465201E-4 | 2.1465201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445106 | 0.0021544893 | 1.0046531 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1465201E-4 | 2.1465201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445106 | 0.0021544893 | 1.0046531 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1465201E-4 | 2.1465201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445106 | 0.0021544893 | 1.0046531 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 4.114216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.763224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1465201E-4 | 2.1465201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445106 | 0.0021544893 | 1.0046531 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9735124E-6 | 2.9735124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2743563E-5 | 1.2743563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5514198E-4 | 1.5514198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015563103 | 0.001550352 | 0.0015603364 | 1.0064402 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9735124E-6 | 2.9735124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2743563E-5 | 1.2743563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5514198E-4 | 1.5514198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015563103 | 0.001550352 | 0.0015603364 | 1.0064402 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6585421E-6 | 2.6585421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1393703E-5 | 1.1393703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3870961E-4 | 1.3870961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013862413 | 0.0013962274 | 1.0072037 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3050607E-6 | 2.3050607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.878795E-6 | 9.878795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2026776E-4 | 1.2026776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001214175 | 0.0012020342 | 0.0012020342 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0698972E-6 | 2.0698972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.870958E-6 | 8.870958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0799862E-4 | 1.0799862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010794671 | 0.0010794671 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6789152E-6 | 1.6789152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.195331E-6 | 7.195331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.759967E-5 | 8.759967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.7565527E-4 | 8.7565527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3817515E-6 | 1.3817515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.921779E-6 | 5.921779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.20953E-5 | 7.20953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.2072184E-4 | 7.2072184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.604932E-7 | 8.604932E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6878228E-6 | 3.6878228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4898326E-5 | 4.4898326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.4889364E-4 | 4.4889364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.629005E-7 | 5.629005E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4124283E-6 | 2.4124283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9370925E-5 | 2.9370925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.9367095E-4 | 2.9367095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5733768E-7 | 3.5733768E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5314464E-6 | 1.5314464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8645202E-5 | 1.8645202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8643663E-4 | 1.8643663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5833321E-7 | 1.5833321E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.785707E-7 | 6.785707E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.261568E-6 | 8.261568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.261269E-5 | 8.261269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7356326E-8 | 1.7356326E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.438425E-8 | 7.438425E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.05628E-7 | 9.05628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.056248E-6 | 9.056248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.589517E-4 | 3.589517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015374675 | 0.0015374675 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.01856044 | 0.01856044 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.16745093 | 0.16745926 | 1.0000497 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.589517E-4 | 3.589517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015374675 | 0.0015374675 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.01856044 | 0.01856044 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.16745093 | 0.16745926 | 1.0000497 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.589517E-4 | 3.589517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015374675 | 0.0015374675 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.01856044 | 0.01856044 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.16745093 | 0.16745926 | 1.0000497 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.4447547E-4 | 3.4447547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014754978 | 0.0014754978 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0089988755 | 0.017818514 | 0.017818514 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08643075 | 0.16138324 | 0.16139163 | 1.000052 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.2524043E-4 | 3.2524043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013931517 | 0.0013931517 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008487372 | 0.01683174 | 0.01683174 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.081704415 | 0.1532776 | 0.15328607 | 1.0000552 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.119412E-4 | 3.119412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013362142 | 0.0013362142 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008107598 | 0.01614897 | 0.01614897 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.078181036 | 0.14754158 | 0.14755012 | 1.0000578 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8199443E-4 | 2.8199443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012079948 | 0.0012079948 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014609675 | 0.014609675 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07067384 | 0.13457565 | 0.1345843 | 1.0000643 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3421884E-4 | 2.3421884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914658E-4 | 0.001003414 | 0.001003414 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012149212 | 0.012149212 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058094822 | 0.1133638 | 0.11337267 | 1.0000782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.8987128E-4 | 1.8987128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.13484E-4 | 8.13484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009859935 | 0.009859935 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047804173 | 0.09312317 | 0.093132235 | 1.0000974 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.0810126E-4 | 1.0810126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.6320946E-4 | 4.6320946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028927654 | 0.005625113 | 0.005625113 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028553981 | 0.054608162 | 0.054617617 | 1.0001731 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.312933E-5 | 8.312933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.562203E-4 | 3.562203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022236328 | 0.004328432 | 0.004328432 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022015138 | 0.042375226 | 0.042384803 | 1.000226 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.357489E-5 | 6.357489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.7243546E-4 | 2.7243546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.0033118762 | 0.0033118762 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017101998 | 0.032717556 | 0.03272723 | 1.0002956 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.7536417E-5 | 5.7536417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.4656145E-4 | 2.4656145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0029977704 | 0.0029977704 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458403 | 0.029703844 | 0.029713547 | 1.0003266 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.6401605E-5 | 4.6401605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9884894E-4 | 1.9884894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0024183108 | 0.0024183108 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.024056748 | 0.024066508 | 1.0004057 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.5365374E-5 | 3.5365374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.5155713E-4 | 1.5155713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0018436564 | 0.0018436564 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.018413004 | 0.018413004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.354743E-5 | 2.354743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 1.0091369E-4 | 1.0091369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012279376 | 0.0012279376 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.012317173 | 0.012317173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.97839E-6 | 8.97839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.847825E-5 | 3.847825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6837324E-4 | 4.6837324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.0047269566 | 0.0047269566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.233241E-6 | 1.233241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.285308E-6 | 5.285308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.434673E-5 | 6.434673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.663089E-4 | 6.663089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 1.0032614E-6 | 1.0032614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.299685E-6 | 4.299685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.234741E-5 | 5.234741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.437727E-4 | 5.437727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.562464E-7 | 7.562464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.2410517E-6 | 3.2410517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.9459093E-5 | 3.9459093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 4.078036E-4 | 4.078036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.595808E-7 | 5.595808E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3982013E-6 | 2.3982013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.9197712E-5 | 2.9197712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.995386E-4 | 2.995386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.6621998E-7 | 2.6621998E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1409423E-6 | 1.1409423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.38908845E-5 | 1.38908845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.4194137E-4 | 1.4194137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9801417E-5 | 1.9801417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.486058E-5 | 8.486058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010327076 | 0.0010327076 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011126885 | 0.010285631 | 0.010295528 | 1.0009623 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9801417E-5 | 1.9801417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.486058E-5 | 8.486058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010327076 | 0.0010327076 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011126885 | 0.010285631 | 0.010295528 | 1.0009623 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9801417E-5 | 1.9801417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.486058E-5 | 8.486058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010327076 | 0.0010327076 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011126885 | 0.010285631 | 0.010295528 | 1.0009623 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7780209E-5 | 1.7780209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.619876E-5 | 7.619876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2733995E-4 | 9.2733995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010253254 | 0.009240737 | 0.009250645 | 1.0010722 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7780209E-5 | 1.7780209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.619876E-5 | 7.619876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2733995E-4 | 9.2733995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010253254 | 0.009240737 | 0.009250645 | 1.0010722 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7780209E-5 | 1.7780209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.619876E-5 | 7.619876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2733995E-4 | 9.2733995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010253254 | 0.009240737 | 0.009250645 | 1.0010722 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.7040753E-5 | 1.7040753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2234634E-5 | 7.302985E-5 | 7.302985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010007467 | 8.887919E-4 | 8.887919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00996252 | 0.008858604 | 0.0088685155 | 1.0011189 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.4765411E-5 | 1.4765411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546184E-5 | 6.327885E-5 | 6.327885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.701575E-4 | 7.701575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009145746 | 0.007681461 | 0.007681461 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.3813988E-5 | 1.3813988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.920151E-5 | 5.920151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8517193E-4 | 7.2054873E-4 | 7.2054873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008816543 | 0.007188105 | 0.007188105 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.2875744E-5 | 1.2875744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.5180633E-5 | 5.5180633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.7162496E-4 | 6.7162496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008315775 | 0.006701544 | 0.006701544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 1.047286E-5 | 1.047286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.488293E-5 | 4.488293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.944992E-4 | 5.463154E-4 | 5.463154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006923327 | 0.0054534688 | 0.0054534688 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.961564E-6 | 9.961564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5136024E-5 | 4.2691732E-5 | 4.2691732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.710743E-4 | 5.196504E-4 | 5.196504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066905143 | 0.005187775 | 0.005187775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 8.654925E-6 | 8.654925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.7092017E-5 | 3.7092017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.5150353E-4 | 4.5150353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060604266 | 0.0045072883 | 0.0045072883 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 7.218729E-6 | 7.218729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2893007E-5 | 3.093705E-5 | 3.093705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.7659495E-4 | 3.7659495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005208723 | 0.0037599609 | 0.0037599609 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 6.425024E-6 | 6.425024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.7535534E-5 | 2.7535534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.3519493E-4 | 3.3519493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00474572 | 0.0033470492 | 0.0033470492 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 5.3952535E-6 | 5.3952535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.3122318E-5 | 2.3122318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.8147912E-4 | 2.8147912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0028113532 | 0.0028113532 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.6887226E-6 | 4.6887226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.990303E-5 | 2.0094378E-5 | 2.0094378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.4462276E-4 | 2.4462276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003634129 | 0.0024436514 | 0.0024436514 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.334692E-6 | 2.334692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835715E-5 | 1.0005789E-5 | 1.0005789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.2181442E-4 | 1.2181442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021691616 | 0.0012175498 | 0.0012175498 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.406988E-8 | 9.406988E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.031566E-7 | 4.031566E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9084238E-6 | 4.9084238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9083483E-5 | 4.9083483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4456322E-9 | 3.4456322E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4766996E-8 | 1.4766996E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7978816E-7 | 1.7978816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7978803E-6 | 1.7978803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Redondo Canyon alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0988337E-5 | 1.0988337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.7092464E-5 | 4.7092464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.732789E-4 | 5.732789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005725748 | 0.0057356907 | 1.0017365 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0988337E-5 | 1.0988337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.7092464E-5 | 4.7092464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.732789E-4 | 5.732789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005725748 | 0.0057356907 | 1.0017365 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0988337E-5 | 1.0988337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.7092464E-5 | 4.7092464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.732789E-4 | 5.732789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005725748 | 0.0057356907 | 1.0017365 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.2389603E-6 | 3.2389603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.38812065E-5 | 1.38812065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6899456E-4 | 1.6899456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016890507 | 0.0016990339 | 1.0059105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.2389603E-6 | 3.2389603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.38812065E-5 | 1.38812065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6899456E-4 | 1.6899456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016890507 | 0.0016990339 | 1.0059105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.2389603E-6 | 3.2389603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.38812065E-5 | 1.38812065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6899456E-4 | 1.6899456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016890507 | 0.0016990339 | 1.0059105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.8306454E-6 | 1.8306454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.845608E-6 | 7.845608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.551759E-5 | 9.551759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010160941 | 9.5491257E-4 | 9.5491257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.8306454E-6 | 1.8306454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.845608E-6 | 7.845608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.551759E-5 | 9.551759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010160941 | 9.5491257E-4 | 9.5491257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1278219E-6 | 9.043345E-7 | 9.043345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.8757157E-6 | 3.8757157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.7186248E-5 | 4.7186248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.718044E-4 | 4.718044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1278219E-6 | 9.043345E-7 | 9.043345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.8757157E-6 | 3.8757157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.7186248E-5 | 4.7186248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.718044E-4 | 4.718044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1278219E-6 | 9.043345E-7 | 9.043345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.8757157E-6 | 3.8757157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.7186248E-5 | 4.7186248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.718044E-4 | 4.718044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.5787497E-7 | 8.5787497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.6766041E-6 | 3.6766041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.4762164E-5 | 4.4762164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.500792E-4 | 4.4757331E-4 | 4.4757331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.5787497E-7 | 8.5787497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.6766041E-6 | 3.6766041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.4762164E-5 | 4.4762164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.500792E-4 | 4.4757331E-4 | 4.4757331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.505161E-8 | 5.905134E-8 | 5.905134E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0736398E-7 | 2.5307716E-7 | 2.5307716E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.959645E-6 | 3.0812114E-6 | 3.0812114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9595343E-5 | 3.0811803E-5 | 3.0811803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.9520785E-8 | 2.7054323E-8 | 2.7054323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6937479E-7 | 1.15947095E-7 | 1.15947095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.062136E-6 | 1.4116553E-6 | 1.4116553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.062117E-5 | 1.411649E-5 | 1.411649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6133214E-9 | 3.7611834E-9 | 3.7611834E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4057092E-8 | 1.6119357E-8 | 1.6119357E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9289507E-7 | 1.9625315E-7 | 1.9625315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9289467E-6 | 1.96253E-6 | 1.96253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1064334E-9 | 2.6143459E-9 | 2.6143459E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7599E-8 | 1.120434E-8 | 1.120434E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.142678E-7 | 1.3641282E-7 | 1.3641282E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1426758E-6 | 1.3641276E-6 | 1.3641276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.361975E-9 | 6.374382E-10 | 6.374382E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.7318783E-9 | 2.7318783E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.3260616E-8 | 3.3260616E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106588E-7 | 3.3260613E-7 | 3.3260613E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.361975E-9 | 6.374382E-10 | 6.374382E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.7318783E-9 | 2.7318783E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.3260616E-8 | 3.3260616E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106588E-7 | 3.3260613E-7 | 3.3260613E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5010907E-4 | 2.495579E-4 | 2.495579E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4316596E-4 | 0.0010690509 | 0.0010690509 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078024664 | 0.012929129 | 0.012939 | 1.0007634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07534136 | 0.12106554 | 0.121074334 | 1.0000726 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4521465E-4 | 2.4115556E-4 | 2.4115556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.222001E-4 | 0.0010330699 | 0.0010330699 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075490056 | 0.012497574 | 0.012507449 | 1.0007901 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07297657 | 0.11733239 | 0.11734121 | 1.0000752 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.429998E-4 | 2.4044764E-4 | 2.4044764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.127123E-4 | 0.0010300388 | 0.0010300388 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007434286 | 0.01246114 | 0.012471016 | 1.0007925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07190444 | 0.11697598 | 0.11698481 | 1.0000755 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3536277E-4 | 2.3370207E-4 | 2.3370207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.799972E-4 | 0.0010011581 | 0.0010011581 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070386264 | 0.0121144 | 0.012124279 | 1.0008155 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0681982 | 0.11386298 | 0.113871835 | 1.0000778 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.2788557E-4 | 2.2788557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.7624946E-4 | 9.7624946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006757223 | 0.011814532 | 0.011824413 | 1.0008364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06555412 | 0.111119874 | 0.11112876 | 1.00008 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.8109454E-4 | 1.8109454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.758882E-4 | 7.758882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005463498 | 0.009405435 | 0.009415341 | 1.0010532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.053311124 | 0.08976923 | 0.08977833 | 1.0001014 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.7595303E-4 | 1.7595303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.538664E-4 | 7.538664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052862884 | 0.009139633 | 0.009149541 | 1.0010841 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05162293 | 0.08734073 | 0.087349854 | 1.0001045 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.6852176E-4 | 1.6852176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.220361E-4 | 7.220361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050282106 | 0.008755316 | 0.008765228 | 1.0011321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049159497 | 0.08382186 | 0.08383103 | 1.0001093 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.576103E-4 | 1.576103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.7529816E-4 | 6.7529816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047319788 | 0.008190726 | 0.0082006445 | 1.0012109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046324775 | 0.078688644 | 0.07869785 | 1.0001171 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.2395065E-4 | 1.2395065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.311096E-4 | 5.311096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038295772 | <