Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.055416E-5 | 2.7054004E-4 | 3.8345015 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.023403E-4 | 0.0011020984 | 3.645225 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003674845 | 0.011774968 | 3.2042084 | 0.00813 | 0.028357591 | 0.03626529 | 0.06389557 | 1.761893 | 0.02867 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.055416E-5 | 2.7054004E-4 | 3.8345015 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.023403E-4 | 0.0011020984 | 3.645225 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003674845 | 0.011774968 | 3.2042084 | 0.00813 | 0.028357591 | 0.03626529 | 0.06389557 | 1.761893 | 0.02867 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1940602E-5 | 2.0193281E-4 | 3.8877642 | 1.5E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2258377E-4 | 7.824591E-4 | 3.5153468 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002706621 | 0.0076232776 | 2.8165293 | 0.00493 | 0.021759989 | 0.026845574 | 0.043982822 | 1.6383641 | 0.01761 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1940602E-5 | 2.0193281E-4 | 3.8877642 | 1.5E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2258377E-4 | 7.824591E-4 | 3.5153468 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002706621 | 0.0076232776 | 2.8165293 | 0.00493 | 0.021759989 | 0.026845574 | 0.043982822 | 1.6383641 | 0.01761 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4378758E-5 | 1.6437343E-4 | 3.7038763 | 1.2E-4 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.9018096E-4 | 5.901049E-4 | 3.10286 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0023130197 | 0.006134161 | 2.652014 | 0.00383 | 0.019048655 | 0.023006927 | 0.03646989 | 1.58517 | 0.01378 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0281848E-5 | 1.4027781E-4 | 3.4824078 | 1.0E-4 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7262518E-4 | 5.025682E-4 | 2.9113262 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020997077 | 0.0054925685 | 2.615873 | 0.0034 | 0.017543508 | 0.020895077 | 0.032928277 | 1.5758868 | 0.01229 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.973506E-5 | 1.3973108E-4 | 3.5165691 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.7028212E-4 | 5.002259E-4 | 2.9376304 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020712353 | 0.0054641934 | 2.6381323 | 0.0034 | 0.017365133 | 0.02061589 | 0.032613344 | 1.5819519 | 0.01225 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.834994E-5 | 1.383461E-4 | 3.607466 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6434665E-4 | 4.942924E-4 | 3.0076208 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019991058 | 0.0052725486 | 2.6374536 | 0.00328 | 0.016856372 | 0.019904999 | 0.031401515 | 1.5775692 | 0.01173 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7775408E-5 | 1.3777163E-4 | 3.647125 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6188467E-4 | 4.8183286E-4 | 2.9763958 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0016780337 | 0.001969186 | 0.005142924 | 2.6117005 | 0.00318 | 0.016654192 | 0.019611066 | 0.030905146 | 1.5759034 | 0.01152 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.6978225E-5 | 1.3697453E-4 | 3.7041943 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.584686E-4 | 4.6841946E-4 | 2.9559135 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019276693 | 0.0050216937 | 2.6050596 | 0.0031 | 0.01638118 | 0.019202875 | 0.030187802 | 1.572046 | 0.0112 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5880366E-5 | 1.158775E-4 | 3.2295516 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5376405E-4 | 4.4371947E-4 | 2.8857164 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018704912 | 0.00486488 | 2.6008568 | 0.003 | 0.015996104 | 0.018641997 | 0.029309358 | 1.5722221 | 0.01087 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4644563E-5 | 1.1464179E-4 | 3.3090847 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4846836E-4 | 4.1842827E-4 | 2.8182993 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0018061248 | 0.0046709413 | 2.5861673 | 0.00287 | 0.01556781 | 0.018008517 | 0.028142668 | 1.5627422 | 0.01032 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1523898E-5 | 1.0152169E-4 | 3.2204676 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3509554E-4 | 3.7506313E-4 | 2.7762806 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016435669 | 0.0040895403 | 2.4882104 | 0.00245 | 0.014481937 | 0.016407156 | 0.02502343 | 1.5251534 | 0.00876 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6943157E-5 | 8.694154E-5 | 3.2268505 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1546565E-4 | 3.054437E-4 | 2.6453211 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0014049024 | 0.003092528 | 2.2012405 | 0.00169 | 0.012712469 | 0.014044819 | 0.020138023 | 1.4338399 | 0.00618 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.542289E-5 | 5.542213E-5 | 2.180009 | 3.0E-5 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0895078E-4 | 2.6893333E-4 | 2.468393 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013256831 | 0.0028236946 | 2.1299922 | 0.0015 | 0.012045753 | 0.013260142 | 0.01880562 | 1.4182066 | 0.00562 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2696362E-5 | 5.269568E-5 | 2.3217678 | 3.0E-5 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.726656E-5 | 2.0725586E-4 | 2.1308029 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011835889 | 0.0023721803 | 2.0042267 | 0.00119 | 0.010886264 | 0.011849013 | 0.016157351 | 1.3636031 | 0.00436 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6185104E-5 | 2.6184942E-5 | 1.6178421 | 1.0E-5 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.936293E-5 | 1.2935877E-4 | 1.8649553 | 6.0E-5 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.4417436E-4 | 0.0015535749 | 1.8403485 | 7.1E-4 | 0.007854558 | 0.008482751 | 0.010882223 | 1.2828648 | 0.00242 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0858134E-5 | 1.0858134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.6534034E-5 | 5.653357E-5 | 1.2148864 | 1.0E-5 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.66405E-4 | 8.2625775E-4 | 1.4587755 | 2.6E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.005720354 | 0.006505835 | 1.1373134 | 7.9E-4 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.5747615E-6 | 8.5747615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.674846E-5 | 3.674846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.473208E-4 | 5.572716E-4 | 1.2457985 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004522274 | 0.0049403748 | 1.0924536 | 4.2E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.4590864E-6 | 5.4590864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3395876E-5 | 2.3395876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8480767E-4 | 3.147991E-4 | 1.1053042 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028790007 | 0.0030883963 | 1.072732 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.1077162E-6 | 2.1077162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.033039E-6 | 9.033039E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.09971734E-4 | 1.09971734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011123852 | 0.0011623296 | 1.0448985 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.19197E-7 | 3.19197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3679864E-6 | 1.3679864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6655125E-5 | 1.6655125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6867106E-4 | 1.98666E-4 | 1.1778309 | 3.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.803736E-5 | 1.1803387E-4 | 2.033757 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4871138E-4 | 7.6858205E-4 | 3.0902567 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030245208 | 0.007999429 | 2.6448581 | 0.00499 | 0.02488006 | 0.02990108 | 0.048711296 | 1.6290816 | 0.01939 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0896283E-5 | 5.089566E-5 | 2.435632 | 3.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.955264E-5 | 2.7953563E-4 | 3.121467 | 1.9E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010897961 | 0.0028878346 | 2.6498852 | 0.0018 | 0.009242975 | 0.01084898 | 0.017901627 | 1.6500746 | 0.00713 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0896283E-5 | 5.089566E-5 | 2.435632 | 3.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.955264E-5 | 2.7953563E-4 | 3.121467 | 1.9E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010897961 | 0.0028878346 | 2.6498852 | 0.0018 | 0.009242975 | 0.01084898 | 0.017901627 | 1.6500746 | 0.00713 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5776366E-5 | 4.5775894E-5 | 2.9015486 | 3.0E-5 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.761138E-5 | 2.3759989E-4 | 3.5141997 | 1.7E-4 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.228813E-4 | 0.0022517045 | 2.7363663 | 0.00143 | 0.007027647 | 0.008201324 | 0.0134181855 | 1.6360998 | 0.00526 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.263117E-5 | 4.2630792E-5 | 3.375047 | 3.0E-5 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.413256E-5 | 1.9412498E-4 | 3.586104 | 1.4E-4 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.588824E-4 | 0.0018281115 | 2.7745643 | 0.00117 | 0.005655863 | 0.006571668 | 0.010515579 | 1.6001384 | 0.00397 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.205481E-6 | 2.9205297E-5 | 3.1725986 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.9451526E-5 | 1.2944797E-4 | 3.2811906 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.8022703E-4 | 0.0012998332 | 2.7067058 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004793566 | 0.007401007 | 1.5439459 | 0.00262 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.6199103E-6 | 2.7619759E-5 | 3.624683 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.26564E-5 | 1.1265379E-4 | 3.4496694 | 8.0E-5 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9752823E-4 | 0.0010472698 | 2.634454 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039696954 | 0.005961756 | 1.501817 | 0.002 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.43601E-6 | 1.5435955E-5 | 2.8395746 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3297003E-5 | 7.3295836E-5 | 3.146149 | 5.0E-5 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.8360848E-4 | 6.635007E-4 | 2.3394954 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028335284 | 0.003910468 | 1.3800702 | 0.00108 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.9740183E-6 | 1.4973969E-5 | 3.0104368 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1317072E-5 | 5.1316434E-5 | 2.4072926 | 3.0E-5 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5950873E-4 | 5.994205E-4 | 2.3098278 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0022842865 | 0.002593097 | 0.0035206855 | 1.3577145 | 9.3E-4 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0768085E-6 | 1.3076778E-5 | 4.250111 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3186263E-5 | 3.3186E-5 | 2.51671 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6053214E-4 | 3.7049843E-4 | 2.3079393 | 2.1E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.001604395 | 0.0021235608 | 1.3235897 | 5.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1294147E-6 | 1.2129393E-5 | 5.696116 | 1.0E-5 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.1260345E-6 | 1.9125944E-5 | 2.095756 | 1.0E-5 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.11104506E-4 | 2.010945E-4 | 1.8099581 | 9.0E-5 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011105584 | 0.0013602807 | 1.224862 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6653767E-6 | 1.166536E-5 | 7.0046377 | 1.0E-5 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.1373124E-6 | 1.7137241E-5 | 2.4010777 | 1.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.68939E-5 | 1.6688695E-4 | 1.920583 | 8.0E-5 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.686572E-4 | 0.0010485008 | 1.2070364 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1833479E-6 | 1.1183336E-5 | 9.45059 | 1.0E-5 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0714843E-6 | 1.5071433E-5 | 2.9717994 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.1744104E-5 | 9.174225E-5 | 1.4858464 | 3.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1732176E-4 | 6.972724E-4 | 1.1295121 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.774085E-7 | 9.774085E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.1888898E-6 | 4.1888898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.099906E-5 | 6.099855E-5 | 1.1960721 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.099246E-4 | 5.69894E-4 | 1.1176045 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.5122497E-7 | 8.5122497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.648105E-6 | 3.648105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.441529E-5 | 5.4414846E-5 | 1.2251377 | 1.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4411502E-4 | 4.741017E-4 | 1.06752 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.307093E-7 | 6.307093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7030396E-6 | 2.7030396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.290951E-5 | 3.290951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2909508E-4 | 3.4908848E-4 | 1.0607527 | 2.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1226275E-5 | 1.6122221E-4 | 5.1630306 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3382078E-4 | 6.637499E-4 | 4.959991 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016281838 | 0.0053221593 | 3.268771 | 0.0037 | 0.014722223 | 0.016175974 | 0.028572157 | 1.766333 | 0.0126 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1226275E-5 | 1.6122221E-4 | 5.1630306 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3382078E-4 | 6.637499E-4 | 4.959991 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016281838 | 0.0053221593 | 3.268771 | 0.0037 | 0.014722223 | 0.016175974 | 0.028572157 | 1.766333 | 0.0126 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1226275E-5 | 1.6122221E-4 | 5.1630306 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3382078E-4 | 6.637499E-4 | 4.959991 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016281838 | 0.0053221593 | 3.268771 | 0.0037 | 0.014722223 | 0.016175974 | 0.028572157 | 1.766333 | 0.0126 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6090935E-5 | 1.2608916E-4 | 7.836037 | 1.1E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.895948E-5 | 4.3893396E-4 | 6.3650994 | 3.7E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3928654E-4 | 0.0032872304 | 3.916696 | 0.00245 | 0.007737305 | 0.008363991 | 0.016654069 | 1.9911629 | 0.00836 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6090935E-5 | 1.2608916E-4 | 7.836037 | 1.1E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.895948E-5 | 4.3893396E-4 | 6.3650994 | 3.7E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3928654E-4 | 0.0032872304 | 3.916696 | 0.00245 | 0.007737305 | 0.008363991 | 0.016654069 | 1.9911629 | 0.00836 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3773544E-5 | 9.377244E-5 | 6.8081565 | 8.0E-5 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.9028283E-5 | 3.790094E-4 | 6.42081 | 3.2E-4 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.184581E-4 | 0.0029268702 | 4.073822 | 0.00221 | 0.006655392 | 0.0071639074 | 0.014739247 | 2.0574312 | 0.00763 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.029467E-5 | 8.029395E-5 | 7.7995653 | 7.0E-5 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.411936E-5 | 3.24107E-4 | 7.3461404 | 2.8E-4 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.370371E-4 | 0.002426022 | 4.5174203 | 0.00189 | 0.005028777 | 0.0053589996 | 0.011824166 | 2.206413 | 0.0065 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.20398E-6 | 7.8203404E-5 | 9.532374 | 7.0E-5 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5159515E-5 | 2.8515072E-4 | 8.110201 | 2.5E-4 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2799677E-4 | 0.0021572562 | 5.0403566 | 0.00173 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042730784 | 0.010088123 | 2.3608563 | 0.00584 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.7392243E-6 | 5.673889E-5 | 8.419202 | 5.0E-5 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8882141E-5 | 2.3887608E-4 | 8.270719 | 2.1E-4 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.515962E-4 | 0.0017511039 | 4.9804406 | 0.0014 | 0.003346101 | 0.003511661 | 0.008105473 | 2.308159 | 0.00461 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1134084E-6 | 5.3113254E-5 | 17.05952 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3343119E-5 | 1.6334112E-4 | 12.2416 | 1.5E-4 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6244187E-4 | 0.0011022892 | 6.7857456 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016233798 | 0.004378899 | 2.6973968 | 0.00276 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.22961E-6 | 2.2229566E-5 | 9.97016 | 2.0E-5 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.5554415E-6 | 5.9554965E-5 | 6.2325706 | 5.0E-5 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1633233E-4 | 7.2626135E-4 | 6.242988 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011628165 | 0.0030905723 | 2.657833 | 0.00193 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1782568E-6 | 2.1178234E-5 | 17.974209 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.0496656E-6 | 3.5049514E-5 | 6.940957 | 3.0E-5 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.147865E-5 | 3.8145896E-4 | 6.2047396 | 3.2E-4 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.146849E-4 | 0.0014841501 | 2.4144893 | 8.7E-4 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0944798E-7 | 1.0309445E-5 | 33.3156 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3262049E-6 | 1.1326191E-5 | 8.540302 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.614643E-5 | 2.614627E-5 | 1.619322 | 1.0E-5 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6145312E-4 | 1.814499E-4 | 1.123855 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3122199E-7 | 2.3122199E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.90951E-7 | 9.90951E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2064763E-5 | 1.2064763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2064115E-4 | 1.3063994E-4 | 1.0828805 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9702041E-7 | 1.9702041E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.4437295E-7 | 8.4437295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0280192E-5 | 1.0280192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0279724E-4 | 1.1279621E-4 | 1.0972689 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4439073E-7 | 1.4439073E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1881724E-7 | 6.1881724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.534074E-6 | 7.534074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.533824E-5 | 8.533749E-5 | 1.1327248 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.579324E-8 | 7.579324E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.2482814E-7 | 3.2482814E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.954776E-6 | 3.954776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.954709E-5 | 3.954709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107863E-5 | 1.331063E-4 | 10.154691 | 1.2E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175504E-5 | 4.761519E-4 | 8.476149 | 4.2E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837506E-4 | 0.0037616447 | 5.501487 | 0.00308 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068192803 | 0.016780883 | 2.4607997 | 0.01003 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107863E-5 | 1.331063E-4 | 10.154691 | 1.2E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175504E-5 | 4.761519E-4 | 8.476149 | 4.2E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837506E-4 | 0.0037616447 | 5.501487 | 0.00308 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068192803 | 0.016780883 | 2.4607997 | 0.01003 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107863E-5 | 1.331063E-4 | 10.154691 | 1.2E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175504E-5 | 4.761519E-4 | 8.476149 | 4.2E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837506E-4 | 0.0037616447 | 5.501487 | 0.00308 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068192803 | 0.016780883 | 2.4607997 | 0.01003 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107863E-5 | 1.331063E-4 | 10.154691 | 1.2E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175504E-5 | 4.761519E-4 | 8.476149 | 4.2E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837506E-4 | 0.0037616447 | 5.501487 | 0.00308 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068192803 | 0.016780883 | 2.4607997 | 0.01003 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3107863E-5 | 1.331063E-4 | 10.154691 | 1.2E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6175504E-5 | 4.761519E-4 | 8.476149 | 4.2E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.837506E-4 | 0.0037616447 | 5.501487 | 0.00308 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068192803 | 0.016780883 | 2.4607997 | 0.01003 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.387501E-6 | 8.738691E-5 | 11.829022 | 8.0E-5 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1660365E-5 | 3.4165054E-4 | 10.791113 | 3.1E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8540218E-4 | 0.0027444926 | 7.1211133 | 0.00236 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038478759 | 0.011518247 | 2.9934042 | 0.0077 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.387501E-6 | 8.738691E-5 | 11.829022 | 8.0E-5 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1660365E-5 | 3.4165054E-4 | 10.791113 | 3.1E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8540218E-4 | 0.0027444926 | 7.1211133 | 0.00236 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038478759 | 0.011518247 | 2.9934042 | 0.0077 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7880943E-6 | 8.578763E-5 | 14.821395 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4805904E-5 | 3.147987E-4 | 12.690475 | 2.9E-4 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0197392E-4 | 0.0024113369 | 7.9852486 | 0.00211 | 0.0028538927 | 0.00301602 | 0.0097257225 | 3.2246876 | 0.00673 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.220556E-6 | 4.422039E-5 | 10.477384 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8087989E-5 | 2.2808419E-4 | 12.609704 | 2.1E-4 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2020176E-4 | 0.0018598406 | 8.446075 | 0.00164 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0022001069 | 0.0074385563 | 3.3809977 | 0.00525 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1241134E-6 | 4.312399E-5 | 13.803593 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3389002E-5 | 1.7338686E-4 | 12.949946 | 1.6E-4 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6300117E-4 | 0.0014127974 | 8.667407 | 0.00125 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016290387 | 0.0052431417 | 3.2185495 | 0.00362 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5413688E-6 | 1.1541353E-5 | 7.48773 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.605855E-6 | 4.660559E-5 | 7.0551944 | 4.0E-5 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.0424325E-5 | 6.703769E-4 | 8.335499 | 5.9E-4 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.040512E-4 | 0.0026225878 | 3.2617176 | 0.00182 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.411695E-7 | 1.0741162E-5 | 14.49218 | 1.0E-5 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.176441E-6 | 2.3176377E-5 | 7.296335 | 2.0E-5 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.8673166E-5 | 3.4866118E-4 | 9.015584 | 3.1E-4 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.8673167E-4 | 0.0012264068 | 3.1712086 | 8.4E-4 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6516746E-5 | 1.1651342E-4 | 1.7516403 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.850469E-4 | 4.450013E-4 | 1.5611511 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034657903 | 0.0056183045 | 1.6210744 | 0.00216 | 0.02591553 | 0.034220405 | 0.042352267 | 1.237632 | 0.00842 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6516746E-5 | 1.1651342E-4 | 1.7516403 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.850469E-4 | 4.450013E-4 | 1.5611511 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034657903 | 0.0056183045 | 1.6210744 | 0.00216 | 0.02591553 | 0.034220405 | 0.042352267 | 1.237632 | 0.00842 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.1067397E-5 | 7.1066155E-5 | 2.2874835 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3314033E-4 | 2.5312437E-4 | 1.9011847 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016199526 | 0.00334715 | 2.0662024 | 0.00173 | 0.012509781 | 0.01611486 | 0.022392048 | 1.3895279 | 0.00638 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2427354E-5 | 6.242646E-5 | 2.7834964 | 4.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.6114585E-5 | 2.0610401E-4 | 2.1443574 | 1.1E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011697068 | 0.002687929 | 2.297951 | 0.00152 | 0.009055373 | 0.011665736 | 0.017131224 | 1.4685078 | 0.00553 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2427354E-5 | 6.242646E-5 | 2.7834964 | 4.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.6114585E-5 | 2.0610401E-4 | 2.1443574 | 1.1E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011697068 | 0.002687929 | 2.297951 | 0.00152 | 0.009055373 | 0.011665736 | 0.017131224 | 1.4685078 | 0.00553 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.949591E-5 | 5.949513E-5 | 3.0516725 | 4.0E-5 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3552084E-5 | 1.9354289E-4 | 2.3164341 | 1.1E-4 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010169098 | 0.0025053946 | 2.4637332 | 0.00149 | 0.0078909 | 0.010152664 | 0.015349363 | 1.5118556 | 0.00525 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.595404E-6 | 2.8595232E-5 | 3.3268046 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6836962E-5 | 1.06834384E-4 | 2.9001954 | 7.0E-5 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.484034E-4 | 0.0015778966 | 3.5189223 | 0.00113 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0044924524 | 0.008434663 | 1.8775184 | 0.00396 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.527789E-6 | 2.8527618E-5 | 3.345254 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6547186E-5 | 1.0654463E-4 | 2.9152622 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4487684E-4 | 0.0015643786 | 3.5164306 | 0.00112 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044573597 | 0.008389753 | 1.8822249 | 0.00395 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.374086E-6 | 2.8373917E-5 | 3.3883004 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5888475E-5 | 1.0588596E-4 | 2.9504168 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3686028E-4 | 0.001556371 | 3.5626287 | 0.00112 | 0.0034261728 | 0.004377346 | 0.0083000995 | 1.8961488 | 0.00394 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.046791E-6 | 2.804663E-5 | 3.485443 | 2.0E-5 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.448582E-5 | 1.04483406E-4 | 3.0297499 | 7.0E-5 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.197896E-4 | 0.0015393194 | 3.6668832 | 0.00112 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0042071254 | 0.008100675 | 1.9254657 | 0.00391 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.6783845E-6 | 2.7678232E-5 | 3.6046944 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.290698E-5 | 1.02904676E-4 | 3.1271384 | 7.0E-5 | 3.2002592E-4 | 4.0057438E-4 | 0.0015201258 | 3.7948651 | 0.00112 | 0.0031956544 | 0.004015526 | 0.007879945 | 1.9623696 | 0.00388 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.1880445E-6 | 2.71879E-5 | 3.782378 | 2.0E-5 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.080557E-5 | 1.00803416E-4 | 3.2722464 | 7.0E-5 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7499875E-4 | 0.00146459 | 3.9055865 | 0.00109 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037604212 | 0.0074365456 | 1.977583 | 0.00369 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.3962985E-6 | 2.539619E-5 | 4.706224 | 2.0E-5 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.3126811E-5 | 7.312566E-5 | 3.1619427 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.8153663E-4 | 0.0010713142 | 3.8052392 | 7.9E-4 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028279487 | 0.0054006525 | 1.9097421 | 0.00258 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7398103E-6 | 1.27397825E-5 | 4.6498775 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1741992E-5 | 2.1741875E-5 | 1.8516343 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4294955E-4 | 4.1291094E-4 | 2.8885083 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014385155 | 0.0021075518 | 1.4650879 | 6.7E-4 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3331681E-6 | 2.3331681E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.999255E-6 | 9.999255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2173423E-4 | 2.9171354E-4 | 2.3963149 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012254671 | 0.0016449523 | 1.3423065 | 4.2E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1926076E-6 | 2.1926076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.3968565E-6 | 9.3968565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1440081E-4 | 2.6438365E-4 | 2.3110294 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011519832 | 0.0015015799 | 1.303474 | 3.5E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8968876E-6 | 1.8968876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.129494E-6 | 8.129494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.8972174E-5 | 2.2895931E-4 | 2.3133705 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.974219E-4 | 0.0012971227 | 1.3004755 | 3.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.363605E-6 | 1.363605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.8440082E-6 | 5.8440082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.114852E-5 | 1.5114283E-4 | 2.1243284 | 8.0E-5 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.191091E-4 | 8.989796E-4 | 1.2501297 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.558874E-7 | 8.558874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6680838E-6 | 3.6680838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.4658027E-5 | 6.4657135E-5 | 1.4478278 | 2.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.5180827E-4 | 4.917902E-4 | 1.0884931 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.8309756E-7 | 3.8309756E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6418456E-6 | 1.6418456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9989298E-5 | 1.9989298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 2.0148748E-4 | 2.0148748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.4398965E-8 | 3.4398965E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4742415E-7 | 1.4742415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7948881E-6 | 1.7948881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.8151863E-5 | 1.8151863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4026943E-5 | 9.40249E-5 | 2.7632487 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4582177E-4 | 3.3579406E-4 | 2.3027704 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017739638 | 0.0034609658 | 1.9509788 | 0.00169 | 0.015640736 | 0.017604958 | 0.023764577 | 1.3498796 | 0.00627 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4026943E-5 | 9.40249E-5 | 2.7632487 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4582177E-4 | 3.3579406E-4 | 2.3027704 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017739638 | 0.0034609658 | 1.9509788 | 0.00169 | 0.015640736 | 0.017604958 | 0.023764577 | 1.3498796 | 0.00627 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.4026943E-5 | 9.40249E-5 | 2.7632487 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4582177E-4 | 3.3579406E-4 | 2.3027704 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017739638 | 0.0034609658 | 1.9509788 | 0.00169 | 0.015640736 | 0.017604958 | 0.023764577 | 1.3498796 | 0.00627 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2142983E-5 | 9.2141054E-5 | 2.8665993 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3774853E-4 | 3.2772234E-4 | 2.3791351 | 1.9E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.001675826 | 0.0033130776 | 1.9769819 | 0.00164 | 0.01479908 | 0.01663843 | 0.022528766 | 1.35402 | 0.00599 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2142983E-5 | 9.2141054E-5 | 2.8665993 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3774853E-4 | 3.2772234E-4 | 2.3791351 | 1.9E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.001675826 | 0.0033130776 | 1.9769819 | 0.00164 | 0.01479908 | 0.01663843 | 0.022528766 | 1.35402 | 0.00599 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0867293E-5 | 8.086575E-5 | 2.6197875 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3228186E-4 | 3.0225937E-4 | 2.2849648 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016093692 | 0.0031968104 | 1.9863747 | 0.00159 | 0.014230782 | 0.015983587 | 0.021671202 | 1.3558409 | 0.00578 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.928939E-5 | 7.928792E-5 | 2.707053 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2552006E-4 | 2.9549873E-4 | 2.354195 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0013628257 | 0.001527162 | 0.0030448409 | 1.9937901 | 0.00152 | 0.013544982 | 0.015173084 | 0.020569935 | 1.3556858 | 0.00548 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7376434E-5 | 7.7375065E-5 | 2.8263383 | 5.0E-5 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1732244E-4 | 2.873025E-4 | 2.4488282 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014274899 | 0.0029353343 | 2.0562909 | 0.00151 | 0.012701893 | 0.014189408 | 0.01938463 | 1.3661338 | 0.00527 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4968156E-5 | 6.496716E-5 | 2.6020005 | 4.0E-5 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0700212E-4 | 2.5698607E-4 | 2.4016914 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013019941 | 0.0027301323 | 2.0968852 | 0.00143 | 0.011539802 | 0.012949455 | 0.017795872 | 1.3742566 | 0.00491 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.23205E-5 | 6.231961E-5 | 2.7920344 | 4.0E-5 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.565589E-5 | 2.1564441E-4 | 2.2543766 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011640068 | 0.0024225402 | 2.081208 | 0.00126 | 0.010331288 | 0.011583981 | 0.0160022 | 1.3814077 | 0.00447 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0594398E-5 | 6.0593575E-5 | 2.9422357 | 4.0E-5 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.825882E-5 | 1.9824911E-4 | 2.2462244 | 1.1E-4 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010740391 | 0.0022028254 | 2.0509732 | 0.00113 | 0.009531168 | 0.010693138 | 0.014788869 | 1.3830242 | 0.00414 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9799283E-5 | 5.979849E-5 | 3.020235 | 4.0E-5 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.485141E-5 | 1.9484208E-4 | 2.296274 | 1.1E-4 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.001032594 | 0.0021514376 | 2.083527 | 0.00112 | 0.009176437 | 0.010282581 | 0.014281039 | 1.3888575 | 0.00404 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.81824E-5 | 4.8181853E-5 | 2.6499171 | 3.0E-5 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.792234E-5 | 1.7791455E-4 | 2.283229 | 1.0E-4 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.483089E-4 | 0.0019173891 | 2.0219035 | 9.7E-4 | 0.008511325 | 0.009446988 | 0.012963451 | 1.3722311 | 0.00355 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5986368E-5 | 3.598605E-5 | 2.251046 | 2.0E-5 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.85113E-5 | 1.4850582E-4 | 2.1676106 | 8.0E-5 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.3382207E-4 | 0.0016031801 | 1.9226884 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008309664 | 0.011264902 | 1.3556386 | 0.00298 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4162808E-5 | 3.4162524E-5 | 2.4121294 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.0696428E-5 | 1.4069157E-4 | 2.3179548 | 8.0E-5 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.387443E-4 | 0.0014781976 | 2.0009599 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0073654177 | 0.010164647 | 1.3800503 | 0.00282 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2853534E-5 | 3.2853277E-5 | 2.5559723 | 2.0E-5 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.50855E-5 | 1.3508109E-4 | 2.4522078 | 8.0E-5 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.704753E-4 | 0.0013999859 | 2.08805 | 7.3E-4 | 0.006054099 | 0.006686995 | 0.009448405 | 1.4129523 | 0.00278 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.339516E-6 | 3.339516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4312175E-5 | 5.4311604E-5 | 3.7947834 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7424411E-4 | 5.041866E-4 | 2.8935647 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0015676835 | 0.001742112 | 0.0028901086 | 1.6589683 | 0.00115 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.3092404E-5 | 1.0308988E-4 | 1.6339507 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.703705E-4 | 3.9033807E-4 | 1.4437153 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032872395 | 0.0046826373 | 1.4244893 | 0.0014 | 0.023254504 | 0.032425053 | 0.037620932 | 1.1602427 | 0.00537 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.3092404E-5 | 1.0308988E-4 | 1.6339507 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.703705E-4 | 3.9033807E-4 | 1.4437153 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032872395 | 0.0046826373 | 1.4244893 | 0.0014 | 0.023254504 | 0.032425053 | 0.037620932 | 1.1602427 | 0.00537 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4662546E-5 | 7.466116E-5 | 2.1539433 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.485455E-4 | 2.6852768E-4 | 1.8077133 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018070744 | 0.0028252313 | 1.5634283 | 0.00102 | 0.01382215 | 0.017980015 | 0.021839352 | 1.214646 | 0.00393 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4662546E-5 | 7.466116E-5 | 2.1539433 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.485455E-4 | 2.6852768E-4 | 1.8077133 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018070744 | 0.0028252313 | 1.5634283 | 0.00102 | 0.01382215 | 0.017980015 | 0.021839352 | 1.214646 | 0.00393 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2489083E-5 | 7.248778E-5 | 2.231143 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3923165E-4 | 2.5921495E-4 | 1.861753 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016938569 | 0.002702146 | 1.5952623 | 0.00101 | 0.013121112 | 0.016849576 | 0.020664198 | 1.2263929 | 0.00388 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2489083E-5 | 7.248778E-5 | 2.231143 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3923165E-4 | 2.5921495E-4 | 1.861753 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016938569 | 0.002702146 | 1.5952623 | 0.00101 | 0.013121112 | 0.016849576 | 0.020664198 | 1.2263929 | 0.00388 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8272083E-5 | 6.827095E-5 | 2.4147832 | 4.0E-5 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2116058E-4 | 2.4114604E-4 | 1.9903011 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014741556 | 0.0024327403 | 1.6502603 | 9.6E-4 | 0.011653901 | 0.014684879 | 0.018300986 | 1.2462469 | 0.00367 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7941096E-5 | 6.793998E-5 | 2.431543 | 4.0E-5 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.19742195E-4 | 2.3972783E-4 | 2.002033 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014569099 | 0.0024155113 | 1.6579689 | 9.6E-4 | 0.011538187 | 0.014515391 | 0.018132119 | 1.249165 | 0.00367 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.4025265E-5 | 6.40243E-5 | 2.664874 | 4.0E-5 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0296147E-4 | 2.2294912E-4 | 2.1653645 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012528548 | 0.0021317522 | 1.7015158 | 8.8E-4 | 0.010138147 | 0.012504381 | 0.01587174 | 1.2692944 | 0.00341 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.53018E-5 | 4.530134E-5 | 2.9605236 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.557753E-5 | 1.6557098E-4 | 2.5248125 | 1.0E-4 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.981197E-4 | 0.0016074732 | 2.0140753 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0069254204 | 0.0079939095 | 0.011059208 | 1.3834543 | 0.00309 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3207221E-5 | 4.3206823E-5 | 3.2714548 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6601173E-5 | 1.5659552E-4 | 2.7666478 | 1.0E-4 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8890647E-4 | 0.0014883553 | 2.1604607 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006908612 | 0.009887886 | 1.4312407 | 0.003 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.09990215E-5 | 4.099869E-5 | 3.7274854 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.713783E-5 | 1.4713312E-4 | 3.1213384 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.737555E-4 | 0.001353308 | 2.358684 | 7.8E-4 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057629077 | 0.008616368 | 1.4951425 | 0.00287 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0594241E-5 | 4.0593924E-5 | 3.8316972 | 3.0E-5 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.5403118E-5 | 1.4539858E-4 | 3.2023919 | 1.0E-4 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.526463E-4 | 0.0013022318 | 2.3563566 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055527654 | 0.008337217 | 1.5014533 | 0.0028 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 1.0038134E-5 | 4.0037834E-5 | 3.9885733 | 3.0E-5 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.3019885E-5 | 1.4301558E-4 | 3.3244064 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.2364473E-4 | 0.0011633096 | 2.2215629 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052635367 | 0.007839904 | 1.4894745 | 0.00259 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.5824835E-6 | 1.9582387E-5 | 2.0435607 | 1.0E-5 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.1067156E-5 | 1.2106387E-4 | 2.9479487 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.9988134E-4 | 0.0010795913 | 2.1596954 | 5.8E-4 | 0.004697283 | 0.0050260895 | 0.007394127 | 1.4711492 | 0.00238 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.169532E-6 | 1.7169461E-5 | 2.394781 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.072621E-5 | 6.0725288E-5 | 1.9763352 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.740281E-4 | 6.539234E-4 | 1.7483268 | 2.8E-4 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037665064 | 0.0049320995 | 1.3094627 | 0.00117 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 6.0343054E-6 | 1.6034246E-5 | 2.6571815 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5861054E-5 | 4.586054E-5 | 1.7733437 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.148131E-4 | 4.7476275E-4 | 1.5080781 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031744232 | 0.0038522647 | 1.2135321 | 6.8E-4 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.8282227E-6 | 4.8282227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.069222E-5 | 3.0692012E-5 | 1.4832634 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.5189877E-4 | 3.518736E-4 | 1.3968848 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.002546011 | 0.0028951198 | 1.13712 | 3.5E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 4.0418768E-6 | 4.0418768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7322214E-5 | 1.7322214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.1087761E-4 | 2.208755E-4 | 1.0474108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021341045 | 0.0022837843 | 1.0701371 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.4261302E-6 | 3.4261302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4683333E-5 | 1.4683333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7875498E-4 | 1.887532E-4 | 1.0559325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0018090149 | 0.0019287979 | 1.0662144 | 1.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6978041E-6 | 1.6978041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.276283E-6 | 7.276283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.858518E-5 | 8.858518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.962816E-4 | 9.4623683E-4 | 1.0557361 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.19197E-7 | 3.19197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3679864E-6 | 1.3679864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6655125E-5 | 1.6655125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6867106E-4 | 1.98666E-4 | 1.1778309 | 3.0E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3205475E-5 | 5.3204778E-5 | 2.2927682 | 3.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.94487E-5 | 2.0943776E-4 | 2.105988 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012101955 | 0.0025685495 | 2.1224253 | 0.00136 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044043 | 0.016272495 | 1.3510824 | 0.00428 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3205475E-5 | 5.3204778E-5 | 2.2927682 | 3.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.94487E-5 | 2.0943776E-4 | 2.105988 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012101955 | 0.0025685495 | 2.1224253 | 0.00136 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044043 | 0.016272495 | 1.3510824 | 0.00428 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3205475E-5 | 5.3204778E-5 | 2.2927682 | 3.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.94487E-5 | 2.0943776E-4 | 2.105988 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012101955 | 0.0025685495 | 2.1224253 | 0.00136 | 0.011179381 | 0.012044043 | 0.016272495 | 1.3510824 | 0.00428 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0751736E-5 | 3.0751522E-5 | 2.8601446 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.607813E-5 | 1.3607398E-4 | 2.9531143 | 9.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.608701E-4 | 9.806345E-4 | 1.7484165 | 4.2E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055958596 | 0.0072366265 | 1.2932109 | 0.00165 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0751736E-5 | 3.0751522E-5 | 2.8601446 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.607813E-5 | 1.3607398E-4 | 2.9531143 | 9.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.608701E-4 | 9.806345E-4 | 1.7484165 | 4.2E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055958596 | 0.0072366265 | 1.2932109 | 0.00165 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.4599257E-6 | 1.7459852E-5 | 2.340486 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.1970765E-5 | 8.196917E-5 | 2.5638788 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8918323E-4 | 5.9910154E-4 | 1.5393816 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.003885872 | 0.0049019083 | 1.2614694 | 0.00102 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.349047E-6 | 1.5348995E-5 | 2.8694818 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2924325E-5 | 5.292364E-5 | 2.3086236 | 3.0E-5 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7907462E-4 | 4.1903555E-4 | 1.501518 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027879006 | 0.0034959214 | 1.2539619 | 7.1E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.9263637E-6 | 1.3926325E-5 | 3.546876 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6827196E-5 | 3.682686E-5 | 2.188532 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.048576E-4 | 3.2483303E-4 | 1.5856527 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020472512 | 0.0025861457 | 1.2632283 | 5.4E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7461565E-6 | 1.2746129E-5 | 4.6414433 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1769217E-5 | 3.176898E-5 | 2.6993284 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4328575E-4 | 2.4327142E-4 | 1.6978061 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.001432419 | 0.001801889 | 1.2579343 | 3.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8977257E-6 | 1.1897707E-5 | 6.2694554 | 1.0E-5 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.13311E-6 | 2.8132947E-5 | 3.4590638 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.902062E-5 | 1.9901071E-4 | 2.0097907 | 1.0E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.902061E-4 | 0.0012799191 | 1.2925783 | 2.9E-4 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4649703E-5 | 7.464861E-5 | 1.3659472 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3419259E-4 | 3.241715E-4 | 1.3842092 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028477423 | 0.0036753789 | 1.2906289 | 8.3E-4 | 0.023260195 | 0.028132472 | 0.031028638 | 1.1029474 | 0.00298 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4649703E-5 | 7.464861E-5 | 1.3659472 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3419259E-4 | 3.241715E-4 | 1.3842092 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028477423 | 0.0036753789 | 1.2906289 | 8.3E-4 | 0.023260195 | 0.028132472 | 0.031028638 | 1.1029474 | 0.00298 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.71295E-5 | 6.712855E-5 | 1.4243426 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0196881E-4 | 2.8195264E-4 | 1.3960208 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024563312 | 0.0032643415 | 1.32895 | 8.1E-4 | 0.020330196 | 0.0243072 | 0.02719525 | 1.1188146 | 0.00296 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.71295E-5 | 6.712855E-5 | 1.4243426 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0196881E-4 | 2.8195264E-4 | 1.3960208 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024563312 | 0.0032643415 | 1.32895 | 8.1E-4 | 0.020330196 | 0.0243072 | 0.02719525 | 1.1188146 | 0.00296 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.8001832E-5 | 5.800107E-5 | 1.5262704 | 2.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6285524E-4 | 2.428422E-4 | 1.4911538 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001981029 | 0.002769464 | 1.3979926 | 7.9E-4 | 0.016718714 | 0.019642103 | 0.022524355 | 1.1467385 | 0.00294 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.8001832E-5 | 5.800107E-5 | 1.5262704 | 2.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6285524E-4 | 2.428422E-4 | 1.4911538 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001981029 | 0.002769464 | 1.3979926 | 7.9E-4 | 0.016718714 | 0.019642103 | 0.022524355 | 1.1467385 | 0.00294 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.422681E-5 | 5.4226126E-5 | 1.5843172 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4667843E-4 | 2.266667E-4 | 1.5453308 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015279909 | 0.001784409 | 0.0025630172 | 1.4363395 | 7.8E-4 | 0.015175272 | 0.017708357 | 0.02057665 | 1.1619738 | 0.00292 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2386462E-5 | 5.2385818E-5 | 1.617522 | 2.0E-5 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.387921E-4 | 2.1878099E-4 | 1.5763217 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016885443 | 0.0024672272 | 1.4611564 | 7.8E-4 | 0.014414776 | 0.016764471 | 0.019625686 | 1.1706713 | 0.00291 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6900909E-5 | 4.690037E-5 | 1.7434493 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1528478E-4 | 1.9527556E-4 | 1.6938537 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00121972 | 0.001402736 | 0.002171656 | 1.5481572 | 7.7E-4 | 0.01213047 | 0.013944663 | 0.016784502 | 1.2036506 | 0.00288 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3599676E-5 | 4.3599204E-5 | 1.8474493 | 2.0E-5 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.01137746E-4 | 1.8112965E-4 | 1.7909204 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012306927 | 0.0019997451 | 1.6248939 | 7.7E-4 | 0.010738871 | 0.012243433 | 0.015088172 | 1.2323482 | 0.00288 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9657833E-5 | 3.965744E-5 | 2.0173862 | 2.0E-5 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.4245265E-5 | 1.6423853E-4 | 1.9495282 | 8.0E-5 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010252262 | 0.001784447 | 1.7405398 | 7.6E-4 | 0.009070295 | 0.010208222 | 0.013039027 | 1.2773063 | 0.00286 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6462023E-5 | 3.6461694E-5 | 2.2148976 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.0549715E-5 | 1.5054407E-4 | 2.1338723 | 8.0E-5 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.586208E-4 | 0.0016079769 | 1.8727438 | 7.5E-4 | 0.007696735 | 0.008555643 | 0.011371345 | 1.3291047 | 0.00284 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.571776E-5 | 3.5717447E-5 | 2.272426 | 2.0E-5 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.736018E-5 | 1.4735479E-4 | 2.1875653 | 8.0E-5 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.198179E-4 | 0.001569203 | 1.9140873 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008170509 | 0.010987305 | 1.3447516 | 0.00284 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5190911E-5 | 3.5190606E-5 | 2.3165567 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.5102366E-5 | 1.4509716E-4 | 2.228754 | 8.0E-5 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.923492E-4 | 0.0015317629 | 1.9331917 | 7.4E-4 | 0.007138774 | 0.007897796 | 0.010705446 | 1.3554978 | 0.00283 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4126563E-5 | 3.412628E-5 | 2.4157526 | 2.0E-5 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0541097E-5 | 1.4053626E-4 | 2.3213365 | 8.0E-5 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3685445E-4 | 0.0014663165 | 1.9899677 | 7.3E-4 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073466296 | 0.010126059 | 1.3783271 | 0.0028 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2817289E-5 | 3.281703E-5 | 2.5603724 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.493017E-5 | 1.3492578E-4 | 2.4563146 | 8.0E-5 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.685853E-4 | 0.0013881039 | 2.0761807 | 7.2E-4 | 0.006032217 | 0.006668194 | 0.00940979 | 1.4111452 | 0.00276 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3316205E-6 | 3.3316205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.42783365E-5 | 5.4277767E-5 | 3.8014066 | 4.0E-5 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7383219E-4 | 5.0377485E-4 | 2.8980525 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017380059 | 0.002886007 | 1.6605278 | 0.00115 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.311185E-5 | 4.311152E-5 | 1.3019967 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4190098E-4 | 1.6189815E-4 | 1.1409234 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017264122 | 0.0023553246 | 1.3642887 | 6.3E-4 | 0.015895851 | 0.017143857 | 0.019650139 | 1.1461914 | 0.00255 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.311185E-5 | 4.311152E-5 | 1.3019967 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4190098E-4 | 1.6189815E-4 | 1.1409234 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017264122 | 0.0023553246 | 1.3642887 | 6.3E-4 | 0.015895851 | 0.017143857 | 0.019650139 | 1.1461914 | 0.00255 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2550697E-5 | 1.2550697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3787644E-5 | 5.3787644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5467745E-4 | 9.145072E-4 | 1.3968822 | 2.6E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065284604 | 0.007482193 | 1.1460885 | 9.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2550697E-5 | 1.2550697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3787644E-5 | 5.3787644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5467745E-4 | 9.145072E-4 | 1.3968822 | 2.6E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065284604 | 0.007482193 | 1.1460885 | 9.6E-4 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.483757E-6 | 8.483757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6358473E-5 | 3.6358473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.4257857E-4 | 6.0250773E-4 | 1.3613577 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.004417377 | 0.004945036 | 1.1194507 | 5.3E-4 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2886634E-6 | 6.2886634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.695115E-5 | 2.695115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.280834E-4 | 4.5804074E-4 | 1.3961108 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032762438 | 0.0036350645 | 1.109522 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2886634E-6 | 6.2886634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.695115E-5 | 2.695115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.280834E-4 | 4.5804074E-4 | 1.3961108 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032762438 | 0.0036350645 | 1.109522 | 3.6E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.282859E-6 | 3.282859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4069326E-5 | 1.4069326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7128175E-4 | 2.2127318E-4 | 1.2918667 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016013865 | 0.001711612 | 0.0019112697 | 1.1166489 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4297924E-6 | 2.4297924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.041336E-5 | 1.041336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.267762E-4 | 1.7676986E-4 | 1.3943458 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012671291 | 0.001446901 | 1.1418734 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0658148E-6 | 1.0658148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.567773E-6 | 4.567773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.561173E-5 | 6.561117E-5 | 1.1798081 | 1.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.560288E-4 | 6.1599544E-4 | 1.107848 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.077801E-7 | 5.077801E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1762003E-6 | 2.1762003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.649524E-5 | 3.6494974E-5 | 1.3774163 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.649524E-4 | 2.849471E-4 | 1.0754652 | 2.0E-5 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5438156E-5 | 3.54379E-5 | 1.3931003 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0901613E-4 | 1.3901286E-4 | 1.2751586 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013264668 | 0.0019056974 | 1.4366719 | 5.8E-4 | 0.013053683 | 0.013264815 | 0.015366561 | 1.1584451 | 0.00213 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5339154E-5 | 3.53389E-5 | 1.3946362 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0859187E-4 | 1.3858861E-4 | 1.2762338 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013213076 | 0.0019005412 | 1.438379 | 5.8E-4 | 0.013000126 | 0.013213839 | 0.015315694 | 1.1590647 | 0.00213 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.5220665E-5 | 3.522041E-5 | 1.3964902 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.080841E-4 | 1.3808087E-4 | 1.2775316 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013151331 | 0.0018943703 | 1.44044 | 5.8E-4 | 0.012932341 | 0.013152826 | 0.0152548095 | 1.1598125 | 0.00213 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.5039804E-5 | 3.5039553E-5 | 1.3993541 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.07309046E-4 | 1.3730583E-4 | 1.2795364 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0013057081 | 0.0018849508 | 1.4436234 | 5.8E-4 | 0.012822957 | 0.013059688 | 0.01516187 | 1.1609674 | 0.00213 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3417488E-5 | 3.3417255E-5 | 1.4270213 | 1.0E-5 | 9.958477E-5 | 1.0035682E-4 | 1.303538E-4 | 1.2989033 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012211622 | 0.0018004539 | 1.4743774 | 5.8E-4 | 0.012051838 | 0.012223802 | 0.0143277645 | 1.1721202 | 0.00213 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.323113E-5 | 3.32309E-5 | 1.4304469 | 1.0E-5 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.95582E-5 | 1.2955522E-4 | 1.3013012 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011854442 | 0.00121145 | 0.0017907473 | 1.4781852 | 5.8E-4 | 0.011791403 | 0.012127743 | 0.014231912 | 1.1735004 | 0.00213 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.2009235E-5 | 3.2009015E-5 | 1.4543447 | 1.0E-5 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.432189E-5 | 1.2431906E-4 | 1.3180298 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011477665 | 0.0017271007 | 1.5047493 | 5.8E-4 | 0.011062649 | 0.011497643 | 0.013603153 | 1.1831254 | 0.00213 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.062679E-5 | 3.0626583E-5 | 1.4847964 | 1.0E-5 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.8397544E-5 | 1.1839489E-4 | 1.3393459 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010757105 | 0.0016550865 | 1.5385985 | 5.8E-4 | 0.010230771 | 0.010784259 | 0.012891289 | 1.1953801 | 0.00213 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 2.0132456E-5 | 3.0132256E-5 | 1.4967004 | 1.0E-5 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.627911E-5 | 1.16276526E-4 | 1.3476787 | 3.0E-5 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010499437 | 0.0016293348 | 1.5518305 | 5.8E-4 | 0.009733009 | 0.010529044 | 0.012636618 | 1.2001675 | 0.00213 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.9182966E-5 | 2.9182773E-5 | 1.5212859 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.221013E-5 | 1.1220766E-4 | 1.3648885 | 3.0E-5 | 9.158276E-4 | 0.0010004501 | 0.0015798699 | 1.579159 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0091206245 | 0.01003871 | 0.012147328 | 1.2100487 | 0.00213 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8442921E-5 | 2.8442737E-5 | 1.5422034 | 1.0E-5 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.9038706E-5 | 1.0903634E-4 | 1.3795309 | 3.0E-5 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.618728E-4 | 0.0015413149 | 1.6024103 | 5.8E-4 | 0.008724891 | 0.009656196 | 0.011755725 | 1.2174282 | 0.00212 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7942533E-5 | 2.7942353E-5 | 1.5573249 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.689431E-5 | 1.06892E-4 | 1.3901159 | 3.0E-5 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.357875E-4 | 0.0015152447 | 1.6192188 | 5.8E-4 | 0.008488664 | 0.009397421 | 0.011487592 | 1.2224197 | 0.00211 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.7390332E-5 | 2.7390159E-5 | 1.5750221 | 1.0E-5 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.4527874E-5 | 1.04525636E-4 | 1.402504 | 3.0E-5 | 8.2304585E-4 | 9.0700045E-4 | 0.0014864744 | 1.6388905 | 5.8E-4 | 0.008200042 | 0.0091118645 | 0.01119273 | 1.2283688 | 0.0021 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6841785E-5 | 2.6841615E-5 | 1.5937513 | 1.0E-5 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.2177085E-5 | 1.0217492E-4 | 1.4156144 | 3.0E-5 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.7840296E-4 | 0.0014578935 | 1.6597092 | 5.8E-4 | 0.00782677 | 0.008827761 | 0.0108894 | 1.2335403 | 0.00208 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6677059E-5 | 2.6676891E-5 | 1.5996162 | 1.0E-5 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.147116E-5 | 1.0146901E-4 | 1.4197197 | 3.0E-5 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.698152E-4 | 0.0014493107 | 1.6662283 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008742355 | 0.010774433 | 1.2324406 | 0.00205 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6267422E-5 | 2.626726E-5 | 1.6147156 | 1.0E-5 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.971567E-5 | 9.971358E-5 | 1.4302893 | 3.0E-5 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.4845896E-4 | 0.0013979923 | 1.6476841 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0075422134 | 0.0085298745 | 0.010403753 | 1.2196842 | 0.00189 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4258209E-5 | 2.4258066E-5 | 1.7013403 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.110519E-5 | 8.1103964E-5 | 1.3272845 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.4370235E-4 | 0.0011234197 | 1.5105771 | 3.8E-4 | 0.006634211 | 0.007488111 | 0.008748601 | 1.1683322 | 0.00127 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.165451E-5 | 1.165451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9946946E-5 | 5.9946447E-5 | 1.2002025 | 1.0E-5 | 5.388092E-4 | 6.0793484E-4 | 8.6777675E-4 | 1.4274174 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.0061385953 | 0.0069237454 | 1.1279039 | 7.9E-4 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 9.054944E-6 | 9.054944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8806324E-5 | 3.8806324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.7236474E-4 | 5.8231276E-4 | 1.2327609 | 1.1E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.0047755428 | 0.005193537 | 1.0875281 | 4.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.555221E-6 | 5.555221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3807872E-5 | 2.3807872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.898224E-4 | 3.198137E-4 | 1.1034817 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0029304933 | 0.003139878 | 1.0714502 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.1077162E-6 | 2.1077162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.033039E-6 | 9.033039E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.09971734E-4 | 1.09971734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011123852 | 0.0011623296 | 1.0448985 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.19197E-7 | 3.19197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3679864E-6 | 1.3679864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6655125E-5 | 1.6655125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6867106E-4 | 1.98666E-4 | 1.1778309 | 3.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8509194E-5 | 1.8509194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.932298E-5 | 1.093206E-4 | 1.3781706 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.653781E-4 | 0.0013450112 | 1.3932482 | 3.8E-4 | 0.009017491 | 0.00961669 | 0.011379572 | 1.1833149 | 0.00178 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.595677E-6 | 9.595677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.112373E-5 | 6.112291E-5 | 1.4863172 | 2.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.005753E-4 | 7.404552E-4 | 1.4792084 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004995361 | 0.0059804157 | 1.1971939 | 9.9E-4 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.595677E-6 | 9.595677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.112373E-5 | 6.112291E-5 | 1.4863172 | 2.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.005753E-4 | 7.404552E-4 | 1.4792084 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004995361 | 0.0059804157 | 1.1971939 | 9.9E-4 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.670403E-6 | 7.670403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.287278E-5 | 5.287212E-5 | 1.6083862 | 2.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.001597E-4 | 5.700917E-4 | 1.4246603 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003995097 | 0.004781941 | 1.1969523 | 7.9E-4 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.670403E-6 | 7.670403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.287278E-5 | 5.287212E-5 | 1.6083862 | 2.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.001597E-4 | 5.700917E-4 | 1.4246603 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003995097 | 0.004781941 | 1.1969523 | 7.9E-4 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.406095E-6 | 6.406095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.745444E-5 | 4.745389E-5 | 1.7284596 | 2.0E-5 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3421302E-4 | 4.7416624E-4 | 1.4187545 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.003337743 | 0.003945707 | 1.1821482 | 6.1E-4 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.912306E-6 | 5.912306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5338242E-5 | 4.5337736E-5 | 1.7893007 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0845584E-4 | 4.3841574E-4 | 1.4213241 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030809066 | 0.0036491505 | 1.1844405 | 5.7E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5410787E-6 | 5.5410787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.37473E-5 | 4.3746822E-5 | 1.8421811 | 2.0E-5 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8909137E-4 | 4.1905377E-4 | 1.4495548 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028877773 | 0.003436189 | 1.1899079 | 5.5E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2483716E-6 | 4.2483716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8207213E-5 | 2.8207032E-5 | 1.5492228 | 1.0E-5 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2165623E-4 | 3.1163628E-4 | 1.4059441 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022149363 | 0.0026040724 | 1.1756873 | 3.9E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.141899E-7 | 7.141899E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.060812E-6 | 3.060812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.726507E-5 | 4.7264697E-5 | 1.2683378 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7261948E-4 | 4.026083E-4 | 1.080481 | 3.0E-5 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0401881E-5 | 3.0401881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3028838E-4 | 1.4028707E-4 | 1.0767428 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015853035 | 0.0018448912 | 1.1637465 | 2.6E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015759477 | 0.017029148 | 1.0805655 | 0.00129 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0401881E-5 | 3.0401881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3028838E-4 | 1.4028707E-4 | 1.0767428 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015853035 | 0.0018448912 | 1.1637465 | 2.6E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015759477 | 0.017029148 | 1.0805655 | 0.00129 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6109527E-5 | 1.6109527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.903956E-5 | 6.903956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.4033125E-4 | 9.70222E-4 | 1.1545709 | 1.3E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008381249 | 0.0090456335 | 1.0792704 | 6.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6109527E-5 | 1.6109527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.903956E-5 | 6.903956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.4033125E-4 | 9.70222E-4 | 1.1545709 | 1.3E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008381249 | 0.0090456335 | 1.0792704 | 6.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5020827E-5 | 1.5020827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.437394E-5 | 6.437394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.83569E-4 | 9.1346714E-4 | 1.1657776 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.007817704 | 0.008462623 | 1.0824946 | 6.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5020827E-5 | 1.5020827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.437394E-5 | 6.437394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.83569E-4 | 9.1346714E-4 | 1.1657776 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.007817704 | 0.008462623 | 1.0824946 | 6.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2865833E-5 | 1.2865833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5138662E-5 | 5.5138662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7120226E-4 | 7.811284E-4 | 1.163775 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006701155 | 0.0072574024 | 1.0830077 | 5.6E-4 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.8327455E-6 | 9.8327455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2140167E-5 | 4.2140167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.1302643E-4 | 6.1297516E-4 | 1.1948217 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051273145 | 0.0055551096 | 1.0834346 | 4.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1764718E-6 | 1.1764718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.0420126E-6 | 5.0420126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.138489E-5 | 6.138489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.136906E-4 | 6.136906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.2921186E-7 | 9.2921186E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.982331E-6 | 3.982331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.848387E-5 | 4.848387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8473995E-4 | 4.8473995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.755795E-7 | 8.755795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7524785E-6 | 3.7524785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5685534E-5 | 4.5685534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.567681E-4 | 4.567681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.7193096E-7 | 7.7193096E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3082715E-6 | 3.3082715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0277522E-5 | 4.0277522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.027082E-4 | 4.027082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.596311E-7 | 7.596311E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.255558E-6 | 3.255558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.963576E-5 | 3.963576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9629286E-4 | 3.9629286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.904331E-7 | 6.904331E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.958996E-6 | 2.958996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.602524E-5 | 3.602524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.6019975E-4 | 3.6019975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.2009514E-7 | 6.2009514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6575483E-6 | 2.6575483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2355227E-5 | 3.2355227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2351073E-4 | 3.2351073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3560177E-7 | 5.3560177E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2954343E-6 | 2.2954343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.794661E-5 | 2.794661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7943627E-4 | 2.7943627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6045475E-7 | 2.6045475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162343E-6 | 1.1162343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590096E-5 | 1.3590096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3589548E-4 | 1.3589548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1490115E-5 | 3.1490115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3495187E-4 | 1.4495052E-4 | 1.0740905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016420183 | 0.0018816242 | 1.1459216 | 2.4E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016320467 | 0.017559905 | 1.0759437 | 0.00126 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1490115E-5 | 3.1490115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3495187E-4 | 1.4495052E-4 | 1.0740905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016420183 | 0.0018816242 | 1.1459216 | 2.4E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016320467 | 0.017559905 | 1.0759437 | 0.00126 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.364416E-5 | 1.364416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8473728E-5 | 5.8473728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.11697E-4 | 8.1162585E-4 | 1.1404092 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007095381 | 0.007502472 | 1.0573741 | 4.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.364416E-5 | 1.364416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8473728E-5 | 5.8473728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.11697E-4 | 8.1162585E-4 | 1.1404092 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007095381 | 0.007502472 | 1.0573741 | 4.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.06963E-5 | 1.06963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.5840512E-5 | 4.5840512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.579712E-4 | 6.279321E-4 | 1.1253846 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005566293 | 0.005804957 | 1.0428767 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.089105E-6 | 9.089105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8952752E-5 | 3.8952752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7415058E-4 | 5.141316E-4 | 1.0843214 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0057720304 | 0.004731797 | 0.0049109454 | 1.0378605 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.536131E-6 | 7.536131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2297317E-5 | 3.2297317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9315145E-4 | 4.1314357E-4 | 1.050851 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039248164 | 0.0040642666 | 1.0355304 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.753379E-6 | 6.753379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8942744E-5 | 2.8942744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5232314E-4 | 3.7231608E-4 | 1.0567461 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035178668 | 0.0035975855 | 1.0226611 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1192333E-6 | 5.1192333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1939395E-5 | 2.1939395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.670808E-4 | 2.8707544E-4 | 1.0748637 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026677363 | 0.0027275763 | 1.022431 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.9099255E-6 | 3.9099255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6756721E-5 | 1.6756721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0399499E-4 | 2.0399499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020381755 | 0.002078094 | 1.0195854 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6076366E-6 | 2.6076366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1175539E-5 | 1.1175539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3605395E-4 | 1.3605395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013597318 | 0.0013797047 | 1.0146887 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.1000076E-6 | 2.1000076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 9.000002E-6 | 9.000002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.09569744E-4 | 1.09569744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010951791 | 0.0011151572 | 1.0182419 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2627775E-6 | 1.2627775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.4118927E-6 | 5.4118927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.5887885E-5 | 6.5887885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.5869174E-4 | 6.7867857E-4 | 1.0303432 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.1291674E-7 | 7.1291674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.055354E-6 | 3.055354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7198322E-5 | 3.7198322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7192294E-4 | 3.8191924E-4 | 1.0268773 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.3133965E-7 | 5.3133965E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.277168E-6 | 2.277168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.7724174E-5 | 2.7724174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.772077E-4 | 2.772077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6087508E-7 | 3.6087508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5466065E-6 | 1.5466065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8829778E-5 | 1.8829778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8828228E-4 | 1.8828228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.141621E-8 | 7.141621E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0606947E-7 | 3.0606947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7263908E-6 | 3.7263908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7263442E-5 | 3.7263442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.10833835E-5 | 2.1083273E-5 | 1.9022415 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7499423E-5 | 7.7498E-5 | 1.6315566 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.781648E-4 | 7.980376E-4 | 1.3802943 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767876 | 0.00707032 | 1.22581 | 0.00131 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.10833835E-5 | 2.1083273E-5 | 1.9022415 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7499423E-5 | 7.7498E-5 | 1.6315566 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.781648E-4 | 7.980376E-4 | 1.3802943 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767876 | 0.00707032 | 1.22581 | 0.00131 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.10833835E-5 | 2.1083273E-5 | 1.9022415 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7499423E-5 | 7.7498E-5 | 1.6315566 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.781648E-4 | 7.980376E-4 | 1.3802943 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767876 | 0.00707032 | 1.22581 | 0.00131 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.10833835E-5 | 2.1083273E-5 | 1.9022415 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7499423E-5 | 7.7498E-5 | 1.6315566 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.781648E-4 | 7.980376E-4 | 1.3802943 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767876 | 0.00707032 | 1.22581 | 0.00131 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.10833835E-5 | 2.1083273E-5 | 1.9022415 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7499423E-5 | 7.7498E-5 | 1.6315566 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.781648E-4 | 7.980376E-4 | 1.3802943 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767876 | 0.00707032 | 1.22581 | 0.00131 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.10833835E-5 | 2.1083273E-5 | 1.9022415 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7499423E-5 | 7.7498E-5 | 1.6315566 | 3.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.781648E-4 | 7.980376E-4 | 1.3802943 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005767876 | 0.00707032 | 1.22581 | 0.00131 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.938191E-6 | 1.6938122E-5 | 2.441288 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.973478E-5 | 5.9733888E-5 | 2.0088894 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6196373E-4 | 5.2190584E-4 | 1.4418732 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036140336 | 0.0043413956 | 1.2012603 | 7.3E-4 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.938191E-6 | 1.6938122E-5 | 2.441288 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.973478E-5 | 5.9733888E-5 | 2.0088894 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6196373E-4 | 5.2190584E-4 | 1.4418732 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036140336 | 0.0043413956 | 1.2012603 | 7.3E-4 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1814823E-6 | 1.518143E-5 | 2.9299397 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.220617E-5 | 5.22055E-5 | 2.350946 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7032773E-4 | 4.002926E-4 | 1.4807677 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0027001053 | 0.0032087283 | 1.1883715 | 5.1E-4 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.254281E-6 | 1.42542385E-5 | 3.3505635 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.823251E-5 | 3.8232145E-5 | 2.0969217 | 2.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2195892E-4 | 3.1193893E-4 | 1.4053905 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022174448 | 0.00260658 | 1.1754881 | 3.9E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7156408E-6 | 1.3715604E-5 | 3.691316 | 1.0E-5 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.592408E-5 | 3.5923764E-5 | 2.2559395 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9385907E-4 | 2.8384163E-4 | 1.4641647 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019369626 | 0.0022962652 | 1.185498 | 3.6E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.113533E-6 | 1.3113502E-5 | 4.2117753 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3343648E-5 | 3.334338E-5 | 2.4988205 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6244737E-4 | 2.4243438E-4 | 1.4923872 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016233424 | 0.001892904 | 1.1660535 | 2.7E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6068733E-6 | 1.2606847E-5 | 4.836003 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1172269E-5 | 3.1172047E-5 | 2.7901266 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.360144E-4 | 2.0600487E-4 | 1.5145814 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013593612 | 0.0015890485 | 1.1689671 | 2.3E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8296511E-6 | 1.8296511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.84134E-6 | 7.84134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.546443E-5 | 1.2546156E-4 | 1.3142232 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013866565 | 9.542631E-4 | 0.0010541676 | 1.1046929 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4375537E-6 | 1.4375537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.1609317E-6 | 6.1609317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.500702E-5 | 1.05004765E-4 | 1.3999326 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001177395 | 7.4984203E-4 | 8.3977456E-4 | 1.1199353 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.3625847E-7 | 7.3625847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1553895E-6 | 3.1553895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8416194E-5 | 4.841581E-5 | 1.260297 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8409597E-4 | 4.2408062E-4 | 1.1041006 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6660182E-7 | 4.6660182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9997206E-6 | 1.9997206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.434633E-5 | 2.434633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4343688E-4 | 2.5343444E-4 | 1.0410684 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5612132E-7 | 1.5612132E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.690912E-7 | 6.690912E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.146156E-6 | 8.146156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.145869E-5 | 8.145869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9814109E-4 | 1.9814109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.4889994E-4 | 8.5889146E-4 | 1.01177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010286513 | 0.010583427 | 1.0288644 | 3.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.1001282 | 0.10097408 | 1.008448 | 9.4E-4 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9814109E-4 | 1.9814109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.4889994E-4 | 8.5889146E-4 | 1.01177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010286513 | 0.010583427 | 1.0288644 | 3.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.1001282 | 0.10097408 | 1.008448 | 9.4E-4 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9814109E-4 | 1.9814109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.4889994E-4 | 8.5889146E-4 | 1.01177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010286513 | 0.010583427 | 1.0288644 | 3.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.1001282 | 0.10097408 | 1.008448 | 9.4E-4 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9814109E-4 | 1.9814109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.4889994E-4 | 8.5889146E-4 | 1.01177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010286513 | 0.010583427 | 1.0288644 | 3.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.1001282 | 0.10097408 | 1.008448 | 9.4E-4 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9814109E-4 | 1.9814109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.4889994E-4 | 8.5889146E-4 | 1.01177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010286513 | 0.010583427 | 1.0288644 | 3.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.1001282 | 0.10097408 | 1.008448 | 9.4E-4 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9787753E-4 | 1.9787753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.477711E-4 | 8.5776264E-4 | 1.0117856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0102729 | 0.010569818 | 1.028903 | 3.0E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.10000549 | 0.10085148 | 1.0084594 | 9.4E-4 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9787753E-4 | 1.9787753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.477711E-4 | 8.5776264E-4 | 1.0117856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0102729 | 0.010569818 | 1.028903 | 3.0E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.10000549 | 0.10085148 | 1.0084594 | 9.4E-4 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9777658E-4 | 1.9777658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.4733876E-4 | 8.573303E-4 | 1.0117917 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010267685 | 0.010564605 | 1.0289179 | 3.0E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.09995859 | 0.100804634 | 1.0084639 | 9.4E-4 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9762701E-4 | 1.9762701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.466982E-4 | 8.566897E-4 | 1.0118005 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051248376 | 0.01025996 | 0.010556881 | 1.0289398 | 3.0E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.099888116 | 0.10073423 | 1.0084705 | 9.4E-4 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.973049E-4 | 1.973049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.453186E-4 | 8.553101E-4 | 1.0118198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010243321 | 0.010540248 | 1.0289874 | 3.0E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.0997366 | 0.10058285 | 1.0084848 | 9.4E-4 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9661384E-4 | 1.9661384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.423588E-4 | 8.523504E-4 | 1.0118614 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005091073 | 0.010207624 | 0.0105045615 | 1.0290898 | 3.0E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.09941159 | 0.10025814 | 1.0085156 | 9.4E-4 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9562457E-4 | 1.9562457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.381218E-4 | 8.4811344E-4 | 1.0119214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005055068 | 0.010156521 | 0.010453474 | 1.0292376 | 3.0E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.09894601 | 0.099793 | 1.0085602 | 9.4E-4 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9492784E-4 | 1.9492784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.3513773E-4 | 8.4512937E-4 | 1.0119641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050299936 | 0.010120528 | 0.010417491 | 1.0293428 | 3.0E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.098617725 | 0.09946503 | 1.0085918 | 9.4E-4 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9444722E-4 | 1.9444722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.330793E-4 | 8.43071E-4 | 1.0119936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050112694 | 0.010095699 | 0.01039267 | 1.0294156 | 3.0E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.09838897 | 0.09923648 | 1.008614 | 9.4E-4 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.9383874E-4 | 1.9383874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.3047315E-4 | 8.4046484E-4 | 1.0120313 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049933824 | 0.010064263 | 0.010361244 | 1.0295085 | 3.0E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.09810449 | 0.09895227 | 1.0086416 | 9.4E-4 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.9329374E-4 | 1.9329374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.2813896E-4 | 8.381307E-4 | 1.0120653 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049769743 | 0.010036106 | 0.010333096 | 1.029592 | 3.0E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.09784883 | 0.09869686 | 1.0086666 | 9.4E-4 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.8978301E-4 | 1.8978301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0357444E-4 | 8.131024E-4 | 8.230943E-4 | 1.0122886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004902454 | 0.009854706 | 0.0101517495 | 1.0301423 | 3.0E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.09621931 | 0.09706887 | 1.0088294 | 9.4E-4 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6392695E-4 | 1.6392695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.51473E-4 | 7.0235494E-4 | 7.123479E-4 | 1.0142279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00427079 | 0.008517705 | 0.008785405 | 1.0314287 | 2.7E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.08389409 | 0.08468194 | 1.0093911 | 8.6E-4 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4850611E-4 | 1.4850611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.3629955E-4 | 6.3629955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003794643 | 0.007719474 | 0.007838548 | 1.0154251 | 1.2E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.07623096 | 0.0766836 | 1.0059378 | 4.9E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.0280934E-4 | 1.0280934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.4053706E-4 | 4.4053706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0053503606 | 0.0053901463 | 1.0074362 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02772022 | 0.053521603 | 0.053758223 | 1.004421 | 2.5E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.562654E-5 | 5.562654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3837767E-4 | 2.3837767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028983876 | 0.0028983876 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017935853 | 0.02961738 | 0.029675605 | 1.0019659 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 2.005382E-5 | 2.005382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.594211E-5 | 8.594211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010458436 | 0.0010458436 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009943757 | 0.011196784 | 0.011226448 | 1.0026493 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.720284E-6 | 5.720284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4515275E-5 | 2.4515275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.984327E-4 | 2.984327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033828847 | 0.0033828847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.0693843E-7 | 8.0693843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2104046E-5 | 4.2104046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9541716E-4 | 4.9541716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0194037E-5 | 1.0194037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3688055E-5 | 6.3687185E-5 | 1.4577711 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.317826E-4 | 7.3167623E-4 | 1.3758935 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005306129 | 0.006161566 | 1.1612167 | 8.6E-4 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0194037E-5 | 1.0194037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3688055E-5 | 6.3687185E-5 | 1.4577711 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.317826E-4 | 7.3167623E-4 | 1.3758935 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005306129 | 0.006161566 | 1.1612167 | 8.6E-4 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6971886E-6 | 4.6971886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0130661E-5 | 3.0130459E-5 | 1.4967446 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.450645E-4 | 3.6503508E-4 | 1.489547 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024480687 | 0.0028171628 | 1.1507696 | 3.7E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6971886E-6 | 4.6971886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0130661E-5 | 3.0130459E-5 | 1.4967446 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.450645E-4 | 3.6503508E-4 | 1.489547 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024480687 | 0.0028171628 | 1.1507696 | 3.7E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.510586E-6 | 3.510586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5045287E-5 | 2.5045136E-5 | 1.66465 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8316181E-4 | 2.6314714E-4 | 1.4366922 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018301915 | 0.002109679 | 1.1527095 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9284508E-6 | 2.9284508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.25504475E-5 | 2.2550323E-5 | 1.7967744 | 1.0E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5279173E-4 | 2.027841E-4 | 1.3271928 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015269407 | 0.0017565895 | 1.150398 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3295668E-6 | 2.3295668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.983823E-6 | 1.9983723E-5 | 2.0016103 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2154689E-4 | 1.6154202E-4 | 1.3290511 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012148658 | 0.0013946472 | 1.1479845 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9595775E-6 | 1.9595775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.398166E-6 | 1.8398083E-5 | 2.1907263 | 1.0E-5 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0224346E-4 | 1.322404E-4 | 1.2933873 | 3.0E-5 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010220218 | 0.0011718684 | 1.1466179 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5441942E-6 | 1.5441942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6179614E-6 | 6.6179614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.057122E-5 | 1.0056961E-4 | 1.2482076 | 2.0E-5 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.054712E-4 | 9.0539065E-4 | 1.124051 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.141899E-7 | 7.141899E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.060812E-6 | 3.060812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.726507E-5 | 4.7264697E-5 | 1.2683378 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7261948E-4 | 4.026083E-4 | 1.080481 | 3.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.79204E-4 | 6.79204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029077556 | 0.0029077556 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016080605 | 0.03479643 | 0.034999125 | 1.005825 | 2.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28816622 | 0.2887357 | 1.0019761 | 8.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.79204E-4 | 6.79204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029077556 | 0.0029077556 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016080605 | 0.03479643 | 0.034999125 | 1.005825 | 2.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28816622 | 0.2887357 | 1.0019761 | 8.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.79204E-4 | 6.79204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029077556 | 0.0029077556 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016080605 | 0.03479643 | 0.034999125 | 1.005825 | 2.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28816622 | 0.2887357 | 1.0019761 | 8.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.79204E-4 | 6.79204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029077556 | 0.0029077556 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016080605 | 0.03479643 | 0.034999125 | 1.005825 | 2.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28816622 | 0.2887357 | 1.0019761 | 8.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.361691E-4 | 4.361691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018679852 | 0.0018679852 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010316478 | 0.022511745 | 0.022717018 | 1.0091184 | 2.1E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.19858526 | 0.1991783 | 1.0029863 | 7.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9168153E-4 | 2.9168153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012494677 | 0.0012494677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006714592 | 0.015107006 | 0.015303985 | 1.0130389 | 2.0E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13974136 | 0.14034353 | 1.0043093 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.9168153E-4 | 2.9168153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012494677 | 0.0012494677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006714592 | 0.015107006 | 0.015303985 | 1.0130389 | 2.0E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13974136 | 0.14034353 | 1.0043093 | 7.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4743075E-4 | 2.4743075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010599871 | 0.0010599871 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056198016 | 0.01282929 | 0.013016853 | 1.0146198 | 1.9E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.12091685 | 0.121514626 | 1.0049437 | 6.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.4259562E-4 | 2.4259562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010392817 | 0.0010392817 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012580132 | 0.012767741 | 1.0149132 | 1.9E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.11886528 | 0.11946446 | 1.0050408 | 6.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.362838E-4 | 2.362838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537184E-4 | 0.0010122523 | 0.0010122523 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012254791 | 0.012442462 | 1.0153141 | 1.9E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.11616031 | 0.11676132 | 1.0051739 | 6.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2996137E-4 | 2.2996137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.851769E-4 | 9.851769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005285311 | 0.011928799 | 0.012116532 | 1.0157379 | 1.9E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.11342019 | 0.11402306 | 1.0053154 | 6.8E-4 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.2282553E-4 | 2.2282553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.5461746E-4 | 9.5461746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011560739 | 0.011748543 | 1.0162449 | 1.9E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.11030827 | 0.11090436 | 1.0054039 | 6.7E-4 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1643688E-4 | 2.1643688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.272572E-4 | 9.272572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005018219 | 0.0112311095 | 0.011418976 | 1.0167273 | 1.9E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.10749096 | 0.10808893 | 1.0055631 | 6.7E-4 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9861401E-4 | 1.9861401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.5092534E-4 | 8.5092534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004746591 | 0.010310923 | 0.010498964 | 1.0182371 | 1.9E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.099661484 | 0.100264706 | 1.0060527 | 6.7E-4 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.9105594E-4 | 1.9105594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.185543E-4 | 8.185543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009920463 | 0.010108578 | 1.0189624 | 1.9E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.09627985 | 0.09687631 | 1.0061951 | 6.6E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8433033E-4 | 1.8433033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.8974804E-4 | 7.8974804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004516484 | 0.009572883 | 0.009761064 | 1.0196577 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.09323246 | 0.09383093 | 1.0064191 | 6.6E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7815753E-4 | 1.7815753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.633089E-4 | 7.633089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009253766 | 0.009442008 | 1.0203422 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.09037607 | 0.09097642 | 1.0066428 | 6.6E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.7333763E-4 | 1.7333763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.426641E-4 | 7.426641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004300386 | 0.009004522 | 0.009192811 | 1.0209105 | 1.9E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.08811367 | 0.088715516 | 1.0068303 | 6.6E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.562305E-4 | 1.562305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.693875E-4 | 6.693875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038772223 | 0.008119392 | 0.008238417 | 1.0146594 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.07981179 | 0.08026268 | 1.0056494 | 4.9E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.02391816E-4 | 1.02391816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.3874828E-4 | 4.3874828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005328689 | 0.005368476 | 1.0074666 | 4.0E-5 | 0.027066574 | 0.053284094 | 0.053511303 | 1.0042641 | 2.4E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.542741E-5 | 5.542741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3752442E-4 | 2.3752442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028880269 | 0.0028880269 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017481409 | 0.029497454 | 0.029555684 | 1.0019741 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9954081E-5 | 1.9954081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.551469E-5 | 8.551469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010406447 | 0.0010406447 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009693642 | 0.01113571 | 0.011165377 | 1.0026641 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.7054035E-6 | 5.7054035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.4451501E-5 | 2.4451501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.9765646E-4 | 2.9765646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0033745207 | 0.0033745207 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.0693843E-7 | 8.0693843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2104046E-5 | 4.2104046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9541716E-4 | 4.9541716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0402036E-5 | 4.0402036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7314155E-4 | 1.7314155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021062181 | 0.002265881 | 1.0758055 | 1.6E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020888528 | 0.021554325 | 1.0318737 | 6.8E-4 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0402036E-5 | 4.0402036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7314155E-4 | 1.7314155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021062181 | 0.002265881 | 1.0758055 | 1.6E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020888528 | 0.021554325 | 1.0318737 | 6.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1078558E-5 | 2.1078558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.033413E-5 | 9.033413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010993653 | 0.0011692883 | 1.0636032 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010949371 | 0.01130543 | 1.0325186 | 3.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1078558E-5 | 2.1078558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.033413E-5 | 9.033413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010993653 | 0.0011692883 | 1.0636032 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010949371 | 0.01130543 | 1.0325186 | 3.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.958256E-5 | 1.958256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.392313E-5 | 8.392313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010213859 | 0.0010813245 | 1.0586838 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008894307 | 0.0101768505 | 0.010503492 | 1.0320965 | 3.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6851816E-5 | 1.6851816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.22206E-5 | 7.22206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.790248E-4 | 9.3897205E-4 | 1.0681975 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007664232 | 0.008764691 | 0.009081886 | 1.0361902 | 3.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.37361985E-5 | 1.37361985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.8868594E-5 | 5.8868594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.1657816E-4 | 7.5654953E-4 | 1.0557809 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071513844 | 0.007409525 | 1.0360966 | 2.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1543725E-5 | 1.1543725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9472663E-5 | 4.9472663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.0225034E-4 | 6.322323E-4 | 1.0497832 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005253921 | 0.0060147243 | 0.006233401 | 1.0363569 | 2.2E-4 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5665418E-5 | 3.566516E-5 | 1.3896194 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09990106E-4 | 1.2998791E-4 | 1.1818146 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013383239 | 0.0014981098 | 1.1193925 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01330767 | 0.014037823 | 1.054867 | 7.4E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5665418E-5 | 3.566516E-5 | 1.3896194 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09990106E-4 | 1.2998791E-4 | 1.1818146 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013383239 | 0.0014981098 | 1.1193925 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01330767 | 0.014037823 | 1.054867 | 7.4E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5665418E-5 | 3.566516E-5 | 1.3896194 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09990106E-4 | 1.2998791E-4 | 1.1818146 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013383239 | 0.0014981098 | 1.1193925 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01330767 | 0.014037823 | 1.054867 | 7.4E-4 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.516511E-5 | 3.516486E-5 | 1.3973656 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0784611E-4 | 1.2784394E-4 | 1.1854295 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013122524 | 0.0014520687 | 1.1065468 | 1.4E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013050035 | 0.0137409 | 1.0529397 | 7.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.516511E-5 | 3.516486E-5 | 1.3973656 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0784611E-4 | 1.2784394E-4 | 1.1854295 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013122524 | 0.0014520687 | 1.1065468 | 1.4E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013050035 | 0.0137409 | 1.0529397 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4854133E-5 | 3.4853885E-5 | 1.4023376 | 1.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0651346E-4 | 1.2651132E-4 | 1.1877497 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012960467 | 0.0014358652 | 1.1078808 | 1.4E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.012889867 | 0.013561102 | 1.0520747 | 6.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.334982E-5 | 3.3349585E-5 | 1.4282589 | 1.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 1.0006689E-4 | 1.2006489E-4 | 1.1998463 | 2.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012176482 | 0.0013574777 | 1.1148357 | 1.4E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012114732 | 0.012727221 | 1.0505574 | 6.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2949831E-5 | 3.2949603E-5 | 1.4357231 | 1.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.835279E-5 | 1.1835083E-4 | 1.2033296 | 2.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.001196802 | 0.0013366345 | 1.1168385 | 1.4E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.01190854 | 0.012521156 | 1.0514435 | 6.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.183978E-5 | 3.183956E-5 | 1.4578701 | 1.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.359577E-5 | 1.135939E-4 | 1.2136649 | 2.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.001138947 | 0.001268799 | 1.1140106 | 1.3E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011336345 | 0.011919657 | 1.051455 | 5.9E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5318836E-5 | 2.5318683E-5 | 1.6527811 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.5650536E-5 | 8.564922E-5 | 1.3046234 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.9900865E-4 | 9.2890474E-4 | 1.1625717 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007963132 | 0.008369867 | 1.0510772 | 4.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3165714E-5 | 2.3165583E-5 | 1.7595387 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.64233E-5 | 7.642218E-5 | 1.3544434 | 2.0E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.8674295E-4 | 8.0666057E-4 | 1.1746179 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.006847491 | 0.007155368 | 1.044962 | 3.1E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0873522E-5 | 2.0873413E-5 | 1.9196552 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6600002E-5 | 6.659907E-5 | 1.4291645 | 2.0E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.672116E-4 | 6.5716053E-4 | 1.1585809 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005658171 | 0.0058272094 | 1.029875 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.029393E-5 | 2.0293828E-5 | 1.9714363 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4116125E-5 | 6.4115244E-5 | 1.453329 | 2.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.3698564E-4 | 6.069481E-4 | 1.1302873 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053573134 | 0.005486617 | 1.024136 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.815146E-6 | 1.9815048E-5 | 2.0188236 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2064257E-5 | 6.206342E-5 | 1.475443 | 2.0E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.120162E-4 | 5.7198544E-4 | 1.1171238 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.0051087923 | 0.0052082813 | 1.0194741 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.714119E-6 | 1.9714022E-5 | 2.0294194 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1631298E-5 | 6.163047E-5 | 1.4803878 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.067474E-4 | 5.6671695E-4 | 1.1183422 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050563454 | 0.0051558395 | 1.0196772 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.611718E-6 | 1.9611622E-5 | 2.0403867 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1192452E-5 | 6.1191626E-5 | 1.4855058 | 2.0E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.014069E-4 | 5.613768E-4 | 1.1196033 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.005003182 | 0.005092732 | 1.0178986 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.29063E-6 | 1.9290537E-5 | 2.0763433 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.98164E-5 | 5.9815608E-5 | 1.5022856 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8466108E-4 | 5.3463684E-4 | 1.1031148 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.004836465 | 0.004896175 | 1.0123458 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.35125E-6 | 1.8351166E-5 | 2.1974156 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5790603E-5 | 5.5789886E-5 | 1.5587859 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.356675E-4 | 4.7565007E-4 | 1.0917732 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043485397 | 0.004398322 | 1.0114481 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6495095E-7 | 3.6495095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5640746E-6 | 1.5640746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042447E-5 | 1.9042447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9040858E-4 | 1.9040858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6703877E-9 | 2.6703877E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444519E-8 | 1.1444519E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933702E-7 | 1.3933702E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933702E-6 | 1.3933702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.398716E-5 | 4.398716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8850375E-4 | 1.9850186E-4 | 1.0530393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022927898 | 0.0024723771 | 1.078327 | 1.8E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022709379 | 0.023276208 | 1.0249602 | 5.8E-4 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.398716E-5 | 4.398716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8850375E-4 | 1.9850186E-4 | 1.0530393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022927898 | 0.0024723771 | 1.078327 | 1.8E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022709379 | 0.023276208 | 1.0249602 | 5.8E-4 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.398716E-5 | 4.398716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8850375E-4 | 1.9850186E-4 | 1.0530393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022927898 | 0.0024723771 | 1.078327 | 1.8E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022709379 | 0.023276208 | 1.0249602 | 5.8E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5364769E-5 | 2.5364769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0870174E-4 | 1.0870174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013226601 | 0.0013925675 | 1.0528537 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.013150096 | 0.013347466 | 1.015009 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5364769E-5 | 2.5364769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0870174E-4 | 1.0870174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013226601 | 0.0013925675 | 1.0528537 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.013150096 | 0.013347466 | 1.015009 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0671938E-5 | 2.0671938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.859108E-5 | 8.859108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010780744 | 0.0011280205 | 1.046329 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009036654 | 0.010729739 | 0.010848452 | 1.0110638 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7688239E-5 | 1.7688239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.580458E-5 | 7.580458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.225379E-4 | 9.525102E-4 | 1.032489 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007902439 | 0.009187945 | 0.009257302 | 1.0075487 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.527208E-5 | 1.527208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.5450164E-5 | 6.5450164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.965702E-4 | 8.0656225E-4 | 1.0125438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006928845 | 0.007937781 | 0.007987384 | 1.006249 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3038188E-5 | 1.3038188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5876775E-5 | 5.5876775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.800916E-4 | 6.900848E-4 | 1.0146939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067805555 | 0.0068202843 | 1.0058593 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1521103E-5 | 1.1521103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.937524E-5 | 4.937524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.009814E-4 | 6.109754E-4 | 1.0166295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059939413 | 0.0060038813 | 1.0016583 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.997106E-6 | 8.997106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8558468E-5 | 3.8558468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6935066E-4 | 4.6935066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042199334 | 0.004683842 | 0.004683842 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5209523E-6 | 7.5209523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2232267E-5 | 3.2232267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9235933E-4 | 3.9235933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003541148 | 0.0039168824 | 0.0039168824 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.284811E-6 | 6.284811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6934638E-5 | 2.6934638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2788186E-4 | 3.2788186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032741798 | 0.0032741798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.7093167E-6 | 4.7093167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0182639E-5 | 2.0182639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4569777E-4 | 2.4569777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024544422 | 0.0024544422 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.852476E-6 | 2.852476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2224848E-5 | 1.2224848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4882901E-4 | 1.4882901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014874557 | 0.0014874557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.564155E-8 | 4.564155E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9560663E-7 | 1.9560663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3815087E-6 | 2.3815087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3814886E-5 | 2.3814886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894924E-6 | 3.894924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669245E-5 | 5.669178E-5 | 3.396253 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321598E-4 | 3.231916E-4 | 1.5903847 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307307 | 0.0025796138 | 1.2702885 | 5.5E-4 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894924E-6 | 3.894924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669245E-5 | 5.669178E-5 | 3.396253 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321598E-4 | 3.231916E-4 | 1.5903847 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307307 | 0.0025796138 | 1.2702885 | 5.5E-4 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894924E-6 | 3.894924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669245E-5 | 5.669178E-5 | 3.396253 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321598E-4 | 3.231916E-4 | 1.5903847 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307307 | 0.0025796138 | 1.2702885 | 5.5E-4 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894924E-6 | 3.894924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669245E-5 | 5.669178E-5 | 3.396253 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321598E-4 | 3.231916E-4 | 1.5903847 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307307 | 0.0025796138 | 1.2702885 | 5.5E-4 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894924E-6 | 3.894924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669245E-5 | 5.669178E-5 | 3.396253 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0321598E-4 | 3.231916E-4 | 1.5903847 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020307307 | 0.0025796138 | 1.2702885 | 5.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2032009E-6 | 1.2032009E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1565657E-6 | 5.1565657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.27795E-5 | 9.277762E-5 | 1.477833 | 3.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2762934E-4 | 7.1757287E-4 | 1.1433067 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2032009E-6 | 1.2032009E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1565657E-6 | 5.1565657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.27795E-5 | 9.277762E-5 | 1.477833 | 3.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2762934E-4 | 7.1757287E-4 | 1.1433067 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.411894E-7 | 8.411894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6050928E-6 | 3.6050928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3891177E-5 | 6.38903E-5 | 1.4556525 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3883082E-4 | 5.187957E-4 | 1.1822226 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.3932356E-7 | 6.3932356E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7399556E-6 | 2.7399556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3358487E-5 | 4.335815E-5 | 1.2997638 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.335386E-4 | 3.935186E-4 | 1.1798292 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.3463344E-7 | 5.3463344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2912843E-6 | 2.2912843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7896063E-5 | 3.7895785E-5 | 1.3584635 | 1.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.7892893E-4 | 3.28915E-4 | 1.1792071 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5332684E-7 | 3.5332684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5142571E-6 | 1.5142571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8435932E-5 | 1.8435932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8434487E-4 | 2.2433749E-4 | 1.2169446 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.000989E-7 | 3.000989E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2861376E-6 | 1.2861376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.565862E-5 | 1.565862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5657592E-4 | 1.9656966E-4 | 1.2554271 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0223935E-7 | 2.0223935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.667398E-7 | 8.667398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0552511E-5 | 1.0552511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.05520565E-4 | 1.4551634E-4 | 1.3790331 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0640694E-7 | 1.0640694E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5602968E-7 | 4.5602968E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.552149E-6 | 5.552149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5520304E-5 | 9.551808E-5 | 1.7204171 | 4.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1955924E-4 | 3.1955924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013688267 | 0.0013688267 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016539639 | 0.016618315 | 1.0047568 | 8.0E-5 | 0.07177748 | 0.15172064 | 0.15208541 | 1.0024042 | 4.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1955924E-4 | 3.1955924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013688267 | 0.0013688267 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016539639 | 0.016618315 | 1.0047568 | 8.0E-5 | 0.07177748 | 0.15172064 | 0.15208541 | 1.0024042 | 4.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1955924E-4 | 3.1955924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013688267 | 0.0013688267 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016539639 | 0.016618315 | 1.0047568 | 8.0E-5 | 0.07177748 | 0.15172064 | 0.15208541 | 1.0024042 | 4.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0859016E-4 | 3.0859016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013218645 | 0.0013218645 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015976362 | 0.016055085 | 1.0049274 | 8.0E-5 | 0.06914291 | 0.14702255 | 0.14738932 | 1.0024947 | 4.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0859016E-4 | 3.0859016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013218645 | 0.0013218645 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015976362 | 0.016055085 | 1.0049274 | 8.0E-5 | 0.06914291 | 0.14702255 | 0.14738932 | 1.0024947 | 4.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.9270898E-4 | 2.9270898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012538692 | 0.0012538692 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015160266 | 0.015239053 | 1.0051969 | 8.0E-5 | 0.06530788 | 0.14014897 | 0.14051011 | 1.0025768 | 4.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5703208E-4 | 2.5703208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0011011034 | 0.0011011034 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005788839 | 0.013324174 | 0.013403108 | 1.0059241 | 8.0E-5 | 0.056403454 | 0.12444533 | 0.1248043 | 1.0028846 | 4.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3835605E-4 | 2.3835605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010211274 | 0.0010211274 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012361791 | 0.0124408025 | 1.0063915 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051936906 | 0.1162698 | 0.116632126 | 1.0031163 | 4.1E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2356895E-4 | 2.2356895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.5780153E-4 | 9.5780153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011599156 | 0.011678228 | 1.0068171 | 8.0E-5 | 0.048912346 | 0.10963292 | 0.109997965 | 1.0033298 | 4.1E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1811046E-4 | 2.1811046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.344249E-4 | 9.344249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048866454 | 0.0113175325 | 0.011396628 | 1.0069886 | 8.0E-5 | 0.04780577 | 0.10721806 | 0.1075841 | 1.003414 | 4.1E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.1135861E-4 | 2.1135861E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.900265E-4 | 9.0550876E-4 | 9.0550876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047382377 | 0.0109690735 | 0.011048196 | 1.0072132 | 8.0E-5 | 0.046384744 | 0.10418137 | 0.10454866 | 1.0035255 | 4.1E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0308017E-4 | 2.0308017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.700538E-4 | 8.700538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010541659 | 0.010620816 | 1.007509 | 8.0E-5 | 0.044737056 | 0.10049235 | 0.100852154 | 1.0035805 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8708437E-4 | 1.8708437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4636928E-4 | 8.0154394E-4 | 8.0154394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009715242 | 0.009794465 | 1.0081545 | 8.0E-5 | 0.041300658 | 0.0932027 | 0.09356542 | 1.0038917 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7646253E-4 | 1.7646253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.5604895E-4 | 7.5604895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040445733 | 0.00916613 | 0.009245397 | 1.0086478 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03971748 | 0.08845279 | 0.08881742 | 1.0041221 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6862073E-4 | 1.6862073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.2246016E-4 | 7.2246016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008760548 | 0.0088398475 | 1.0090518 | 8.0E-5 | 0.038480744 | 0.08489192 | 0.08524881 | 1.004204 | 3.9E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.6145647E-4 | 1.6145647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.917729E-4 | 6.917729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003788775 | 0.008389871 | 0.008469199 | 1.0094553 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03724827 | 0.08159667 | 0.081945665 | 1.0042771 | 3.8E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5712871E-4 | 1.5712871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.7323504E-4 | 6.7323504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008165887 | 0.008245233 | 1.0097169 | 8.0E-5 | 0.036463667 | 0.07957908 | 0.07992884 | 1.0043951 | 3.8E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4614526E-4 | 1.4614526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.261865E-4 | 6.261865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003495157 | 0.007597212 | 0.007676604 | 1.0104501 | 8.0E-5 | 0.034406938 | 0.074385144 | 0.07473688 | 1.0047286 | 3.8E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3483249E-4 | 1.3483249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.777256E-4 | 5.777256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032823787 | 0.007011155 | 0.0070905946 | 1.0113304 | 8.0E-5 | 0.032343175 | 0.068984106 | 0.069328584 | 1.0049936 | 3.7E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.9451216E-5 | 9.9451216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.261499E-4 | 4.261499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025967648 | 0.005176043 | 0.005215836 | 1.0076879 | 4.0E-5 | 0.025666296 | 0.051679064 | 0.05190666 | 1.0044041 | 2.4E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.4612454E-5 | 5.4612454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.3403238E-4 | 2.3403238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0028456233 | 0.0028456233 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016667323 | 0.02899881 | 0.02905707 | 1.002009 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.9437206E-5 | 1.9437206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.329965E-5 | 8.329965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 0.0010137021 | 0.0010137021 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009055517 | 0.010802413 | 0.010832089 | 1.0027472 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.380389E-6 | 5.380389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.3058608E-5 | 2.3058608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.807025E-4 | 2.807025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0031643086 | 0.0031643086 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.0693843E-7 | 8.0693843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2104046E-5 | 4.2104046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9541716E-4 | 4.9541716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.670428E-5 | 1.670428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1587936E-5 | 7.1587936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7125826E-4 | 9.31206E-4 | 1.0688059 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.0086808065 | 0.009047595 | 1.0422528 | 3.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.670428E-5 | 1.670428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1587936E-5 | 7.1587936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7125826E-4 | 9.31206E-4 | 1.0688059 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.0086808065 | 0.009047595 | 1.0422528 | 3.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.670428E-5 | 1.670428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1587936E-5 | 7.1587936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7125826E-4 | 9.31206E-4 | 1.0688059 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.0086808065 | 0.009047595 | 1.0422528 | 3.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.189563E-5 | 1.189563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.098031E-5 | 5.098031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2051445E-4 | 6.504958E-4 | 1.048317 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006188427 | 0.0063971276 | 1.0337243 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.189563E-5 | 1.189563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.098031E-5 | 5.098031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2051445E-4 | 6.504958E-4 | 1.048317 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006188427 | 0.0063971276 | 1.0337243 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0626352E-5 | 1.0626352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.5540743E-5 | 4.5540743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.543224E-4 | 5.8430573E-4 | 1.0540901 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048150513 | 0.005529897 | 0.0056989565 | 1.0305719 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.165144E-6 | 9.165144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.927862E-5 | 3.927862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7811618E-4 | 4.881114E-4 | 1.0209054 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0047712727 | 0.0048907003 | 1.0250305 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.412504E-6 | 8.412504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6053112E-5 | 3.6053112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.388619E-4 | 4.488575E-4 | 1.0227762 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003753043 | 0.0043803216 | 0.0044699274 | 1.0204564 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.847163E-6 | 7.847163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3630284E-5 | 3.3630284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0937535E-4 | 4.1937127E-4 | 1.0244174 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.0040865703 | 0.004146325 | 1.0146222 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1352924E-6 | 7.1352924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0579486E-5 | 3.0579486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7224503E-4 | 3.822413E-4 | 1.026854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037165536 | 0.0037663677 | 1.0134033 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.08416E-6 | 5.08416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1789085E-5 | 2.1789085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.6525135E-4 | 2.752487E-4 | 1.03769 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026495007 | 0.0026694476 | 1.0075285 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.6355317E-6 | 4.6355317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9866422E-5 | 1.9866422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4184836E-4 | 2.4184836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024160023 | 0.0024259782 | 1.004129 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.1601497E-6 | 4.1601497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7829101E-5 | 1.7829101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1704918E-4 | 2.1704918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021685201 | 0.0021784985 | 1.0046015 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6322838E-6 | 3.6322838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5566846E-5 | 1.5566846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8951134E-4 | 1.8951134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018936428 | 0.0019036238 | 1.0052708 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.890522E-6 | 2.890522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.23879E-5 | 1.23879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5081369E-4 | 1.5081369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015072549 | 0.0015172398 | 1.0066246 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5144926E-6 | 1.5144926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4906735E-6 | 6.4906735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.9022335E-5 | 7.9022335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.900651E-4 | 8.000572E-4 | 1.0126472 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6045475E-7 | 2.6045475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162343E-6 | 1.1162343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590096E-5 | 1.3590096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3589548E-4 | 1.3589548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2114402E-5 | 2.2114402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.477333E-5 | 9.477333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011533897 | 0.0012133205 | 1.0519606 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.011487368 | 0.011783921 | 1.0258156 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2114402E-5 | 2.2114402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.477333E-5 | 9.477333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011533897 | 0.0012133205 | 1.0519606 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.011487368 | 0.011783921 | 1.0258156 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1264443E-5 | 1.1264443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8275582E-5 | 4.8275582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.876488E-4 | 6.2762527E-4 | 1.0680279 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052028033 | 0.005866062 | 0.0060052406 | 1.0237261 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0806803E-5 | 1.0806803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6314344E-5 | 4.6314344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6378316E-4 | 6.0376065E-4 | 1.0709093 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056286263 | 0.0057678386 | 1.0247328 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0806803E-5 | 1.0806803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6314344E-5 | 4.6314344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6378316E-4 | 6.0376065E-4 | 1.0709093 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056286263 | 0.0057678386 | 1.0247328 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2907147E-6 | 6.2907147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.696008E-5 | 2.696008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2821647E-4 | 3.582066E-4 | 1.0913731 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032799575 | 0.0033796295 | 1.0303882 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5177793E-6 | 5.5177793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3647559E-5 | 2.3647559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8789722E-4 | 3.0789146E-4 | 1.0694492 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028778156 | 0.0029675567 | 1.0311837 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.519599E-6 | 4.519599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9369709E-5 | 1.9369709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.358262E-4 | 2.5582148E-4 | 1.0847882 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.002358262 | 0.0024480498 | 1.0380737 | 9.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0476339E-4 | 2.0476339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7726326E-4 | 8.872545E-4 | 1.0113891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010628668 | 0.010668242 | 1.0037234 | 4.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10320238 | 0.10340865 | 1.0019987 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0476339E-4 | 2.0476339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7726326E-4 | 8.872545E-4 | 1.0113891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010628668 | 0.010668242 | 1.0037234 | 4.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10320238 | 0.10340865 | 1.0019987 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0476339E-4 | 2.0476339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7726326E-4 | 8.872545E-4 | 1.0113891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010628668 | 0.010668242 | 1.0037234 | 4.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10320238 | 0.10340865 | 1.0019987 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0476339E-4 | 2.0476339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.7726326E-4 | 8.872545E-4 | 1.0113891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010628668 | 0.010668242 | 1.0037234 | 4.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10320238 | 0.10340865 | 1.0019987 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8825928E-4 | 1.8825928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.065762E-4 | 8.1656815E-4 | 1.0123881 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009775975 | 0.009795778 | 1.0020258 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09551495 | 0.09565063 | 1.0014204 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8825928E-4 | 1.8825928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.065762E-4 | 8.1656815E-4 | 1.0123881 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009775975 | 0.009795778 | 1.0020258 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09551495 | 0.09565063 | 1.0014204 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8631993E-4 | 1.8631993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.982698E-4 | 8.0826186E-4 | 1.0125171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009675745 | 0.009695551 | 1.0020471 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.09460976 | 0.09474557 | 1.0014355 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8546001E-4 | 1.8546001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.945867E-4 | 8.0457877E-4 | 1.0125751 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00467679 | 0.0096312985 | 0.009651106 | 1.0020566 | 2.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.094203256 | 0.094330065 | 1.0013461 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8492404E-4 | 1.8492404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.922911E-4 | 8.022832E-4 | 1.0126116 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004657841 | 0.009603596 | 0.009623405 | 1.0020626 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.093949474 | 0.09406726 | 1.0012537 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.8373741E-4 | 1.8373741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.872087E-4 | 7.872087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004611638 | 0.009542261 | 0.009552166 | 1.001038 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.09338748 | 0.09349627 | 1.0011649 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.8211557E-4 | 1.8211557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.8026205E-4 | 7.8026205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004551957 | 0.009458424 | 0.009468329 | 1.0010473 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.09261854 | 0.09270928 | 1.0009797 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.8122894E-4 | 1.8122894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.7646447E-4 | 7.7646447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009412589 | 0.009422494 | 1.0010524 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09219794 | 0.09227964 | 1.0008862 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.8012885E-4 | 1.8012885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.7175256E-4 | 7.7175256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044808835 | 0.0093557155 | 0.009365622 | 1.0010588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.091677 | 0.09175875 | 1.0008917 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7954165E-4 | 1.7954165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.6923746E-4 | 7.6923746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009325356 | 0.009335263 | 1.0010624 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.09139519 | 0.09147697 | 1.0008948 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.7916282E-4 | 1.7916282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.676149E-4 | 7.676149E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004447999 | 0.0093057705 | 0.009315678 | 1.0010647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.09121352 | 0.0912953 | 1.0008967 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7783997E-4 | 1.7783997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.619489E-4 | 7.619489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009237374 | 0.009247282 | 1.0010725 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.09058641 | 0.09066826 | 1.0009035 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.7222985E-4 | 1.7222985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.379193E-4 | 7.379193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008947253 | 0.008957163 | 1.0011077 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.08793993 | 0.088022016 | 1.0009334 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4550005E-4 | 1.4550005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.234227E-4 | 6.234227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0075637987 | 0.007573723 | 1.0013121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.07507542 | 0.07514942 | 1.0009856 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.3280702E-4 | 1.3280702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.690488E-4 | 5.690488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0069061927 | 0.006916124 | 1.001438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.06866745 | 0.06873264 | 1.0009494 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.565825E-5 | 9.565825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.0989954E-4 | 4.0989954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0049791173 | 0.0049890676 | 1.0019984 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.049964994 | 0.050002996 | 1.0007606 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.3571504E-5 | 5.3571504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2957196E-4 | 2.2957196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.002791458 | 0.002791458 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017302496 | 0.028582973 | 0.028592687 | 1.0003399 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9826795E-5 | 1.9826795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.4969215E-5 | 8.4969215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0010340099 | 0.0010340099 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009919235 | 0.011092253 | 0.011092253 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.720284E-6 | 5.720284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4515275E-5 | 2.4515275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.984327E-4 | 2.984327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033828847 | 0.0033828847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.0693843E-7 | 8.0693843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2104046E-5 | 4.2104046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9541716E-4 | 4.9541716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.023625E-4 | 3.023625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.001295222 | 0.001295222 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006416472 | 0.015660306 | 0.015689837 | 1.0018857 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14365043 | 0.14384739 | 1.0013711 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.023625E-4 | 3.023625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.001295222 | 0.001295222 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006416472 | 0.015660306 | 0.015689837 | 1.0018857 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14365043 | 0.14384739 | 1.0013711 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.023625E-4 | 3.023625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.001295222 | 0.001295222 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006416472 | 0.015660306 | 0.015689837 | 1.0018857 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14365043 | 0.14384739 | 1.0013711 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.9022215E-4 | 2.9022215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012432422 | 0.0012432422 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006093008 | 0.015036306 | 0.015065855 | 1.0019652 | 3.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.13832043 | 0.13850138 | 1.0013082 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.9022215E-4 | 2.9022215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012432422 | 0.0012432422 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006093008 | 0.015036306 | 0.015065855 | 1.0019652 | 3.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.13832043 | 0.13850138 | 1.0013082 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.703098E-4 | 2.703098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011579812 | 0.0011579812 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055621783 | 0.014011942 | 0.014041522 | 1.0021111 | 3.0E-5 | 0.05425003 | 0.12958008 | 0.12976287 | 1.0014106 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5272023E-4 | 2.5272023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.001082661 | 0.001082661 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005082469 | 0.013106134 | 0.0131357405 | 1.002259 | 3.0E-5 | 0.049677886 | 0.12172632 | 0.12191076 | 1.0015152 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3339012E-4 | 2.3339012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.998824E-4 | 9.998824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00455906 | 0.01210974 | 0.012139376 | 1.0024474 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04466656 | 0.11300001 | 0.11317742 | 1.0015699 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2897172E-4 | 2.2897172E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.809608E-4 | 9.809608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004458263 | 0.011881896 | 0.01191154 | 1.0024948 | 3.0E-5 | 0.043698758 | 0.11100965 | 0.11118744 | 1.0016017 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.725987E-4 | 1.725987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.394998E-4 | 7.394998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008966454 | 0.008996185 | 1.0033158 | 3.0E-5 | 0.031450346 | 0.08502304 | 0.08520604 | 1.0021523 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6686867E-4 | 1.6686867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.1495626E-4 | 7.1495626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008670051 | 0.00869979 | 1.0034301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03011414 | 0.0823345 | 0.08251803 | 1.0022291 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.6103346E-4 | 1.6103346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.899616E-4 | 6.899616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008368112 | 0.008397861 | 1.003555 | 3.0E-5 | 0.028868021 | 0.07962774 | 0.07981181 | 1.0023117 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4705212E-4 | 1.4705212E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.3007156E-4 | 6.3007156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002601025 | 0.007644245 | 0.0076740156 | 1.0038946 | 3.0E-5 | 0.025707912 | 0.073057555 | 0.07323368 | 1.0024107 | 1.9E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3895179E-4 | 1.3895179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.953721E-4 | 5.953721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0072246515 | 0.0072544347 | 1.0041225 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024434982 | 0.06932292 | 0.06949975 | 1.0025508 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3300005E-4 | 1.3300005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.6987605E-4 | 5.6987605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002374317 | 0.006916249 | 0.0069460412 | 1.0043076 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023491086 | 0.06656054 | 0.06673789 | 1.0026646 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2531501E-4 | 1.2531501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.369541E-4 | 5.369541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022456115 | 0.0065178936 | 0.0065476983 | 1.0045727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022230545 | 0.06294792 | 0.063116595 | 1.0026795 | 1.8E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.9955876E-5 | 9.9955876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.2831208E-4 | 4.2831208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0052022575 | 0.005232102 | 1.0057367 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017628696 | 0.050726514 | 0.05088789 | 1.0031813 | 1.7E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.399137E-5 | 8.399137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5991336E-4 | 3.5991336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014764034 | 0.0043731504 | 0.0044030193 | 1.0068301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01466633 | 0.042940393 | 0.043103095 | 1.003789 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.603754E-5 | 7.603754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.258345E-4 | 3.258345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0039598253 | 0.0039897067 | 1.0075461 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013589768 | 0.039065223 | 0.03921897 | 1.0039357 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.9053324E-5 | 5.9053324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.5306112E-4 | 2.5306112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030766698 | 0.0031065773 | 1.0097208 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011140184 | 0.030683406 | 0.030809417 | 1.0041068 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1974785E-5 | 3.1974785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.370276E-4 | 1.370276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016670355 | 0.0016670355 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064597935 | 0.016828049 | 0.016847713 | 1.0011685 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 8.065133E-6 | 8.065133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.45644E-5 | 3.45644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.2074046E-4 | 4.2074046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.004506261 | 0.004506261 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 3.0179833E-6 | 3.0179833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2934151E-5 | 1.2934151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5746195E-4 | 1.5746195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017633715 | 0.0017633715 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.3613102E-7 | 3.3613102E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.4405608E-6 | 1.4405608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.7538701E-5 | 1.7538701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.0727777E-4 | 2.0727777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8790877E-5 | 1.8790877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.053051E-5 | 8.053051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.801355E-4 | 0.0010300865 | 1.0509634 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008707083 | 0.009769689 | 0.009977638 | 1.021285 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0981342E-5 | 1.0981342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7062447E-5 | 4.7062447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.729057E-4 | 6.2287704E-4 | 1.0872244 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057212557 | 0.005860455 | 1.0243301 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0981342E-5 | 1.0981342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7062447E-5 | 4.7062447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.729057E-4 | 6.2287704E-4 | 1.0872244 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057212557 | 0.005860455 | 1.0243301 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781199E-6 | 4.781199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0490823E-5 | 2.0490823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4947026E-4 | 2.694653E-4 | 1.0801499 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024941636 | 0.002563989 | 1.0279955 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781199E-6 | 4.781199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0490823E-5 | 2.0490823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4947026E-4 | 2.694653E-4 | 1.0801499 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024941636 | 0.002563989 | 1.0279955 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.781199E-6 | 4.781199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0490823E-5 | 2.0490823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4947026E-4 | 2.694653E-4 | 1.0801499 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024941636 | 0.002563989 | 1.0279955 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.764056E-6 | 4.764056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0417354E-5 | 2.0417354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.48576E-4 | 2.6857102E-4 | 1.0804383 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024852408 | 0.0025550667 | 1.0280963 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.2738848E-6 | 4.2738848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8316648E-5 | 1.8316648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.230052E-4 | 2.4300074E-4 | 1.089664 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.002230052 | 0.002299896 | 1.0313194 | 7.0E-5 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8683932E-5 | 2.8683744E-5 | 1.5352093 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.007158E-5 | 1.0006998E-4 | 1.2497566 | 2.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.744431E-4 | 0.0010343846 | 1.0615137 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009702558 | 0.009900617 | 1.0204132 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8683932E-5 | 2.8683744E-5 | 1.5352093 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.007158E-5 | 1.0006998E-4 | 1.2497566 | 2.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.744431E-4 | 0.0010343846 | 1.0615137 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009702558 | 0.009900617 | 1.0204132 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8683932E-5 | 2.8683744E-5 | 1.5352093 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.007158E-5 | 1.0006998E-4 | 1.2497566 | 2.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.744431E-4 | 0.0010343846 | 1.0615137 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009702558 | 0.009900617 | 1.0204132 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8683932E-5 | 2.8683744E-5 | 1.5352093 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.007158E-5 | 1.0006998E-4 | 1.2497566 | 2.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.744431E-4 | 0.0010343846 | 1.0615137 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009702558 | 0.009900617 | 1.0204132 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7350902E-5 | 2.7350727E-5 | 1.576329 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.435892E-5 | 9.4357434E-5 | 1.2689457 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0494996E-4 | 9.6489565E-4 | 1.066242 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009013334 | 0.009171892 | 1.0175915 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7350902E-5 | 2.7350727E-5 | 1.576329 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.435892E-5 | 9.4357434E-5 | 1.2689457 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0494996E-4 | 9.6489565E-4 | 1.066242 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009013334 | 0.009171892 | 1.0175915 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6821448E-5 | 2.682128E-5 | 1.5944691 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.208996E-5 | 9.208852E-5 | 1.2774111 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.773478E-4 | 9.3729515E-4 | 1.0683279 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00781795 | 0.0087394975 | 0.008898099 | 1.0181477 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6368E-5 | 2.6367836E-5 | 1.6109382 | 1.0E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.014672E-5 | 9.014532E-5 | 1.2850966 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5370743E-4 | 9.136562E-4 | 1.0702217 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007607299 | 0.008504917 | 0.008653641 | 1.0174868 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5893698E-5 | 2.589354E-5 | 1.6291702 | 1.0E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.81141E-5 | 8.811274E-5 | 1.293605 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.289793E-4 | 8.889296E-4 | 1.0723182 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007386771 | 0.008259486 | 0.0084082475 | 1.018011 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.541591E-5 | 2.5415755E-5 | 1.6486706 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.606654E-5 | 8.606522E-5 | 1.302705 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0406875E-4 | 8.6402055E-4 | 1.0745605 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008012191 | 0.008151069 | 1.0173334 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.51993245E-5 | 2.5199171E-5 | 1.657914 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.513837E-5 | 8.5137064E-5 | 1.3070188 | 2.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.927765E-4 | 8.5272896E-4 | 1.0756234 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.007900077 | 0.008029049 | 1.0163256 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4992368E-5 | 2.4992218E-5 | 1.666996 | 1.0E-5 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.425146E-5 | 8.425017E-5 | 1.311257 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8198616E-4 | 8.4193924E-4 | 1.0766677 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007792935 | 0.007921922 | 1.0165517 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4690386E-5 | 2.469024E-5 | 1.6807073 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.295731E-5 | 8.295605E-5 | 1.3176556 | 2.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.662411E-4 | 8.261952E-4 | 1.0782443 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.0076365764 | 0.0077457363 | 1.0142944 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4464463E-5 | 2.4464318E-5 | 1.6913396 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.1989114E-5 | 8.198787E-5 | 1.3226173 | 2.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.544615E-4 | 8.144163E-4 | 1.0794669 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.0075195837 | 0.0076287566 | 1.0145185 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4294332E-5 | 2.4294188E-5 | 1.699568 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.126001E-5 | 8.125879E-5 | 1.3264573 | 2.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.455909E-4 | 8.055461E-4 | 1.0804131 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0074314736 | 0.0075406563 | 1.014692 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4022404E-5 | 2.4022263E-5 | 1.7131345 | 1.0E-5 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.0094662E-5 | 8.009346E-5 | 1.3327882 | 2.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.314123E-4 | 7.913684E-4 | 1.0819731 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.007290628 | 0.007389899 | 1.0136162 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.26575405E-5 | 2.2657414E-5 | 1.7900329 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4245505E-5 | 7.424442E-5 | 1.3686742 | 2.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.602442E-4 | 7.102112E-4 | 1.0756795 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.0065833796 | 0.0066529186 | 1.0105628 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0290987E-5 | 2.0290883E-5 | 1.9717141 | 1.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.410351E-5 | 6.410263E-5 | 1.4534587 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.36833E-4 | 5.7681155E-4 | 1.0744711 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005355874 | 0.0054155528 | 1.0111426 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6495095E-7 | 3.6495095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5640746E-6 | 1.5640746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042447E-5 | 1.9042447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9040858E-4 | 1.9040858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6703877E-9 | 2.6703877E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444519E-8 | 1.1444519E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933702E-7 | 1.3933702E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933702E-6 | 1.3933702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1719705E-5 | 2.1719705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.308154E-5 | 1.030806E-4 | 1.1074227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011327507 | 0.001182694 | 1.0440904 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011276954 | 0.011464811 | 1.0166585 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1719705E-5 | 2.1719705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.308154E-5 | 1.030806E-4 | 1.1074227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011327507 | 0.001182694 | 1.0440904 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011276954 | 0.011464811 | 1.0166585 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1719705E-5 | 2.1719705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.308154E-5 | 1.030806E-4 | 1.1074227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011327507 | 0.001182694 | 1.0440904 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011276954 | 0.011464811 | 1.0166585 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.683072E-5 | 1.683072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.213001E-5 | 8.2129285E-5 | 1.1386286 | 1.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.778903E-4 | 9.278465E-4 | 1.0569047 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008750276 | 0.008918788 | 1.0192579 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.683072E-5 | 1.683072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.213001E-5 | 8.2129285E-5 | 1.1386286 | 1.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.778903E-4 | 9.278465E-4 | 1.0569047 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008750276 | 0.008918788 | 1.0192579 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5567308E-5 | 1.5567308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.6715664E-5 | 7.6715E-5 | 1.1498798 | 1.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.120209E-4 | 8.619803E-4 | 1.0615247 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008096488 | 0.008265112 | 1.0208268 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.478045E-5 | 1.478045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.334359E-5 | 7.3342955E-5 | 1.1578592 | 1.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7099534E-4 | 8.2095683E-4 | 1.0648012 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076891165 | 0.00785781 | 1.0219392 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4290284E-5 | 1.4290284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.124297E-5 | 7.1242364E-5 | 1.163274 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.454379E-4 | 7.9540064E-4 | 1.0670247 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.007435259 | 0.007603995 | 1.022694 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.228008E-6 | 6.228008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6691358E-5 | 2.6691358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2494884E-4 | 3.349456E-4 | 1.0307641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032476813 | 0.0032875515 | 1.0122765 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.79582E-6 | 4.79582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0553514E-5 | 2.0553514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5023904E-4 | 2.6023653E-4 | 1.0399518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025023904 | 0.0025223403 | 1.0079724 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 8.237599E-4 | 8.237599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0035262548 | 0.0035262548 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028586963 | 0.04241053 | 0.042429682 | 1.0004516 | 2.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.3440298 | 0.34412163 | 1.0002669 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.1579545E-4 | 3.1579545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013528165 | 0.0013528165 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0099994885 | 0.016415505 | 0.016435176 | 1.0011984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.1528384 | 0.1528977 | 1.000388 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8606734E-4 | 1.8606734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.97189E-4 | 7.97189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009662769 | 0.0096726725 | 1.0010248 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09342454 | 0.093478926 | 1.0005822 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.830176E-4 | 1.830176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.841266E-4 | 7.841266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009505147 | 0.009515052 | 1.001042 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09207459 | 0.09212907 | 1.0005916 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.8061556E-4 | 1.8061556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.738383E-4 | 7.738383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009380978 | 0.009390884 | 1.001056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.09097066 | 0.091025196 | 1.0005995 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7817484E-4 | 1.7817484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.633842E-4 | 7.633842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009254797 | 0.009264705 | 1.0010705 | 1.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08984725 | 0.08990186 | 1.0006078 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7494E-4 | 1.7494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.4952864E-4 | 7.4952864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045870654 | 0.009087541 | 0.00909745 | 1.0010904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.08836427 | 0.088418975 | 1.000619 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7360084E-4 | 1.7360084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.437926E-4 | 7.437926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045492216 | 0.009018339 | 0.0090282485 | 1.0010989 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.08776154 | 0.08781628 | 1.0006237 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.7304774E-4 | 1.7304774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.414236E-4 | 7.414236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008989742 | 0.008999652 | 1.0011023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.087506436 | 0.08756118 | 1.0006256 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.7245015E-4 | 1.7245015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.3886395E-4 | 7.3886395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008958835 | 0.008968745 | 1.0011063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.08723008 | 0.08728485 | 1.0006279 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6994996E-4 | 1.6994996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.2815485E-4 | 7.2815485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004455241 | 0.008829515 | 0.0088394275 | 1.0011226 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.08606832 | 0.08612315 | 1.0006372 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.546295E-4 | 1.546295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.6253025E-4 | 6.6253025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040752706 | 0.00803665 | 0.008046569 | 1.0012343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.078943804 | 0.07899907 | 1.0007 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.5197595E-4 | 1.5197595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.511637E-4 | 6.511637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004005129 | 0.007899273 | 0.007909195 | 1.001256 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.0777086 | 0.07776394 | 1.0007122 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4889929E-4 | 1.4889929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.379845E-4 | 6.379845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003934157 | 0.0077399667 | 0.007749889 | 1.001282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.07625501 | 0.07631043 | 1.0007268 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4586488E-4 | 1.4586488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.249862E-4 | 6.249862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003865065 | 0.007582824 | 0.0075927484 | 1.0013088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.0748129 | 0.07486841 | 1.000742 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1469837E-4 | 1.1469837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.914719E-4 | 4.914719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005967288 | 0.005977228 | 1.0016658 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.05984011 | 0.05989652 | 1.0009427 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.1295948E-4 | 1.1295948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.8402234E-4 | 4.8402234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0058770822 | 0.005887023 | 1.0016916 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.058991272 | 0.059047733 | 1.0009571 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.423189E-5 | 9.423189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 4.0378844E-4 | 4.0378844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002691582 | 0.0049050534 | 0.0049150046 | 1.0020287 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.049696505 | 0.04974402 | 1.000956 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.788436E-5 | 8.788436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.765929E-4 | 3.765929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004575388 | 0.0045853425 | 1.0021756 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.046373684 | 0.046421368 | 1.0010282 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.9288566E-5 | 6.9288566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.9691722E-4 | 2.9691722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.0036089788 | 0.0036189428 | 1.0027609 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.036734335 | 0.036763232 | 1.0007867 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.1834952E-5 | 4.1834952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7928034E-4 | 1.7928034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021805544 | 0.0021805544 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015009012 | 0.022578517 | 0.02258829 | 1.0004328 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.9324505E-5 | 1.9324505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.281668E-5 | 8.281668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 0.0010078273 | 0.0010078273 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010825688 | 0.010825688 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.720284E-6 | 5.720284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4515275E-5 | 2.4515275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.984327E-4 | 2.984327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033828847 | 0.0033828847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.0693843E-7 | 8.0693843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2104046E-5 | 4.2104046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9541716E-4 | 4.9541716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2517048E-5 | 3.2516822E-5 | 1.444098 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.64981E-5 | 1.1649617E-4 | 1.207238 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011742386 | 0.0012341682 | 1.051037 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681256 | 0.011809737 | 1.010999 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2517048E-5 | 3.2516822E-5 | 1.444098 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.64981E-5 | 1.1649617E-4 | 1.207238 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011742386 | 0.0012341682 | 1.051037 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681256 | 0.011809737 | 1.010999 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2517048E-5 | 3.2516822E-5 | 1.444098 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.64981E-5 | 1.1649617E-4 | 1.207238 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011742386 | 0.0012341682 | 1.051037 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011681256 | 0.011809737 | 1.010999 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1352931E-5 | 3.1352716E-5 | 1.4683098 | 1.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.150939E-5 | 1.1150756E-4 | 1.2185369 | 2.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011135641 | 0.0011734973 | 1.0538211 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011080667 | 0.011199338 | 1.0107096 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1352931E-5 | 3.1352716E-5 | 1.4683098 | 1.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.150939E-5 | 1.1150756E-4 | 1.2185369 | 2.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011135641 | 0.0011734973 | 1.0538211 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011080667 | 0.011199338 | 1.0107096 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.057634E-5 | 3.0576135E-5 | 1.485985 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.8181376E-5 | 1.0817961E-4 | 1.2267853 | 2.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.001073086 | 0.0011330217 | 1.0558535 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010679832 | 0.01079855 | 1.0111161 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9925714E-5 | 2.9925515E-5 | 1.5018541 | 1.0E-5 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.5393156E-5 | 1.0539145E-4 | 1.2341908 | 2.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010391722 | 0.0010991099 | 1.0576782 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.010343889 | 0.010462648 | 1.011481 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9057517E-5 | 2.9057326E-5 | 1.5247173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.167255E-5 | 1.0167092E-4 | 1.2448603 | 2.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.939158E-4 | 0.0010538562 | 1.0603073 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009895426 | 0.010014239 | 1.0120068 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8526283E-5 | 2.8526098E-5 | 1.5397637 | 1.0E-5 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.939598E-5 | 9.939438E-5 | 1.251882 | 2.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.662234E-4 | 0.0010261654 | 1.0620375 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.009620929 | 0.009739774 | 1.0123528 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8101091E-5 | 2.8100909E-5 | 1.5524429 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.757383E-5 | 9.757228E-5 | 1.2577989 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.4405824E-4 | 0.0010040016 | 1.0634954 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009401173 | 0.009520045 | 1.0126444 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7818897E-5 | 2.781872E-5 | 1.5611919 | 1.0E-5 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.63645E-5 | 9.636297E-5 | 1.2618818 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.2934736E-4 | 9.892916E-4 | 1.0645014 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.009255298 | 0.009374188 | 1.0128455 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.749664E-5 | 2.7496466E-5 | 1.5715283 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.498349E-5 | 9.498199E-5 | 1.2667054 | 2.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.1254764E-4 | 9.724929E-4 | 1.06569 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.0090886885 | 0.009207598 | 1.0130832 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7183527E-5 | 2.7183354E-5 | 1.5819427 | 1.0E-5 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.364164E-5 | 9.364017E-5 | 1.2715654 | 2.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.962242E-4 | 9.561705E-4 | 1.0668875 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008926777 | 0.009035795 | 1.0122125 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6314645E-5 | 2.6314481E-5 | 1.6129363 | 1.0E-5 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.991806E-5 | 8.991666E-5 | 1.2860291 | 2.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.509258E-4 | 9.1087475E-4 | 1.0704514 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008477322 | 0.008586389 | 1.0128658 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5819758E-5 | 2.5819601E-5 | 1.6321108 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.7797235E-5 | 8.779588E-5 | 1.2949773 | 2.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.251246E-4 | 8.850751E-4 | 1.0726563 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008221245 | 0.0083303405 | 1.01327 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5137616E-5 | 2.5137464E-5 | 1.660596 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.4873915E-5 | 8.487262E-5 | 1.3082703 | 2.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.895595E-4 | 8.3952E-4 | 1.0632764 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007868169 | 0.007957461 | 1.0113485 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2635715E-5 | 2.263559E-5 | 1.7913976 | 1.0E-5 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.415197E-5 | 7.4150885E-5 | 1.369311 | 2.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.591061E-4 | 7.0907315E-4 | 1.0758103 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.006572066 | 0.006641606 | 1.0105811 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0290987E-5 | 2.0290883E-5 | 1.9717141 | 1.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.410351E-5 | 6.410263E-5 | 1.4534587 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.36833E-4 | 5.7681155E-4 | 1.0744711 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005355874 | 0.0054155528 | 1.0111426 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6495095E-7 | 3.6495095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5640746E-6 | 1.5640746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042447E-5 | 1.9042447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9040858E-4 | 1.9040858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6703877E-9 | 2.6703877E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444519E-8 | 1.1444519E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933702E-7 | 1.3933702E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933702E-6 | 1.3933702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8108989E-5 | 1.8108989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7607765E-5 | 7.7607765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4448566E-4 | 9.744573E-4 | 1.0317333 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009406837 | 0.009515802 | 1.0115836 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8108989E-5 | 1.8108989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7607765E-5 | 7.7607765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4448566E-4 | 9.744573E-4 | 1.0317333 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009406837 | 0.009515802 | 1.0115836 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8108989E-5 | 1.8108989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7607765E-5 | 7.7607765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4448566E-4 | 9.744573E-4 | 1.0317333 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009406837 | 0.009515802 | 1.0115836 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1138451E-5 | 1.1138451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.773536E-5 | 4.773536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.810258E-4 | 6.010142E-4 | 1.0344019 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005795364 | 0.0058749 | 1.0137241 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1138451E-5 | 1.1138451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.773536E-5 | 4.773536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.810258E-4 | 6.010142E-4 | 1.0344019 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005795364 | 0.0058749 | 1.0137241 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.172662E-6 | 9.172662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9310828E-5 | 3.9310828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7850577E-4 | 4.984962E-4 | 1.0417768 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.0047749192 | 0.004844585 | 1.0145899 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.717603E-6 | 7.717603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.307503E-5 | 3.307503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.026151E-4 | 4.2260703E-4 | 1.0496552 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.004018964 | 0.0040787226 | 1.0148692 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.739834E-6 | 6.739834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8884688E-5 | 2.8884688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.516151E-4 | 3.616116E-4 | 1.0284302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.0035106696 | 0.003560494 | 1.0141923 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.837537E-6 | 5.837537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.501778E-5 | 2.501778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.045495E-4 | 3.1454646E-4 | 1.0328254 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.0030413829 | 0.0030812612 | 1.013112 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.0408057E-6 | 5.0408057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1603277E-5 | 2.1603277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6298861E-4 | 2.7298598E-4 | 1.0380144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026268216 | 0.0026367952 | 1.0037969 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.846187E-6 | 3.846187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6483556E-5 | 1.6483556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0066914E-4 | 2.0066914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019255003 | 0.002004911 | 0.002004911 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8985771E-6 | 2.8985771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2422415E-5 | 1.2422415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5123263E-4 | 1.5123263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015113186 | 0.0015113186 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2545732E-6 | 2.2545732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.662423E-6 | 9.662423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1763383E-4 | 1.1763383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011757337 | 0.0011757337 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5425968E-6 | 1.5425968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6111133E-6 | 6.6111133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.048749E-5 | 8.048749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.045985E-4 | 8.045985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.412033E-7 | 4.412033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8908702E-6 | 1.8908702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3021148E-5 | 2.3021148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3019215E-4 | 2.3019215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9431667E-8 | 5.9431667E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5470712E-7 | 2.5470712E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1010557E-6 | 3.1010557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.10102E-5 | 3.10102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012330343 | 0.0012330343 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005268866 | 0.005268866 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030762846 | 0.06147211 | 0.061490882 | 1.0003053 | 2.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42733613 | 0.42738765 | 1.0001206 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010262539 | 0.0010262539 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00214792 | 0.004386944 | 0.004386944 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025839351 | 0.051469766 | 0.051488735 | 1.0003686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.3741883 | 0.3742321 | 1.0001171 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.151192E-4 | 8.151192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017445484 | 0.003485941 | 0.003485941 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021034058 | 0.041153416 | 0.041172594 | 1.000466 | 2.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.3144785 | 0.31452647 | 1.0001526 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.783043E-4 | 6.783043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0029017758 | 0.0029017758 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017915873 | 0.03441142 | 0.03443073 | 1.0005612 | 2.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.272849 | 0.2728999 | 1.0001866 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.588278E-4 | 5.588278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.002391426 | 0.002391426 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015200248 | 0.02848853 | 0.02850796 | 1.000682 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.2346029 | 0.23465648 | 1.0002284 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.253352E-4 | 4.253352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018208773 | 0.0018208773 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012141965 | 0.021813102 | 0.021822885 | 1.0004485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18853875 | 0.18858744 | 1.0002582 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5508285E-4 | 2.5508285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010927448 | 0.0010927448 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0082328 | 0.013221614 | 0.013231481 | 1.0007464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12498474 | 0.12502849 | 1.00035 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.5043692E-4 | 2.5043692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010728531 | 0.0010728531 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012982957 | 0.012992828 | 1.0007602 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.12301167 | 0.12305552 | 1.0003564 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4866546E-4 | 2.4866546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010652677 | 0.0010652677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008075596 | 0.012891861 | 0.012901732 | 1.0007657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.122240335 | 0.122284226 | 1.000359 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.397204E-4 | 2.397204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010269707 | 0.0010269707 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007876333 | 0.012432227 | 0.012442103 | 1.0007944 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.118304186 | 0.11834827 | 1.0003726 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2821676E-4 | 2.2821676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.777072E-4 | 9.777072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011839132 | 0.011849013 | 1.0008347 | 1.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.11313069 | 0.113175035 | 1.000392 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6649444E-4 | 1.6649444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.133534E-4 | 7.133534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006016669 | 0.008650702 | 0.008660616 | 1.001146 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.08531328 | 0.08535902 | 1.0005361 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4960418E-4 | 1.4960418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.41004E-4 | 6.41004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005408933 | 0.007776475 | 0.0077863974 | 1.0012759 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.07717637 | 0.0772225 | 1.0005978 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.3083873E-4 | 1.3083873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.6061754E-4 | 5.6061754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048581534 | 0.0068042977 | 0.0068142293 | 1.0014597 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.067878515 | 0.067925125 | 1.0006866 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.1989022E-4 | 1.1989022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.137146E-4 | 5.137146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004513991 | 0.006236665 | 0.0062466026 | 1.0015935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.062477466 | 0.06252434 | 1.0007503 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.2473005E-5 | 9.2473005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.9625276E-4 | 3.9625276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038038217 | 0.004813728 | 0.00482368 | 1.0020674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.04902778 | 0.049075328 | 1.0009699 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.49921E-5 | 8.49921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.6420109E-4 | 3.6420109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0044251527 | 0.004435108 | 1.0022498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.04503457 | 0.045082316 | 1.0010602 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.855719E-5 | 6.855719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.9378347E-4 | 2.9378347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0035709518 | 0.003580916 | 1.0027903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.036735017 | 0.036773548 | 1.0010489 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.34021E-5 | 6.34021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.71695E-4 | 2.71695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0033028729 | 0.0033128397 | 1.0030177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.033988256 | 0.0340269 | 1.0011369 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.1654537E-5 | 5.1654537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.2135781E-4 | 2.2135781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026917027 | 0.0027016758 | 1.0037051 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.027769284 | 0.027798451 | 1.0010504 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.237767E-5 | 3.237767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3875407E-4 | 1.3875407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016880226 | 0.0016880226 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014149235 | 0.017696172 | 0.017705994 | 1.000555 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.8011886E-5 | 1.8011886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.7191515E-5 | 7.7191515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.3940203E-4 | 9.3940203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.010120202 | 0.010120202 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.720284E-6 | 5.720284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4515275E-5 | 2.4515275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.984327E-4 | 2.984327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033828847 | 0.0033828847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.0693843E-7 | 8.0693843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2104046E-5 | 4.2104046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9541716E-4 | 4.9541716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0685124E-6 | 6.0685124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6007689E-5 | 2.6007689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1660422E-4 | 3.2660106E-4 | 1.0315752 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003162184 | 0.0032518993 | 1.0283713 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0685124E-6 | 6.0685124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6007689E-5 | 2.6007689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1660422E-4 | 3.2660106E-4 | 1.0315752 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003162184 | 0.0032518993 | 1.0283713 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0685124E-6 | 6.0685124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6007689E-5 | 2.6007689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1660422E-4 | 3.2660106E-4 | 1.0315752 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003162184 | 0.0032518993 | 1.0283713 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0685124E-6 | 6.0685124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6007689E-5 | 2.6007689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1660422E-4 | 3.2660106E-4 | 1.0315752 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003162184 | 0.0032518993 | 1.0283713 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5583173E-6 | 3.5583173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5249848E-5 | 1.5249848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8565218E-4 | 1.8565218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018550793 | 0.0018950051 | 1.0215224 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.5002365E-6 | 3.5002365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.5000933E-5 | 1.5000933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8262216E-4 | 1.8262216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030041158 | 0.001824829 | 0.001864756 | 1.0218799 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3334658E-6 | 2.3334658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 1.0000532E-5 | 1.0000532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.217501E-4 | 1.217501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012168764 | 0.001236852 | 1.0164155 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6490176E-6 | 1.6490176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.0672E-6 | 7.0672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.603995E-5 | 8.603995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060454 | 8.600849E-4 | 8.800677E-4 | 1.0232335 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2250754E-6 | 1.2250754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.2503133E-6 | 5.2503133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.392078E-5 | 6.392078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017921652 | 6.3903304E-4 | 6.5902027E-4 | 1.0312773 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0038616E-6 | 1.0038616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.3022574E-6 | 4.3022574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.23788E-5 | 5.23788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016353652 | 5.236722E-4 | 5.336669E-4 | 1.0190859 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.4328096E-7 | 7.4328096E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.185486E-6 | 3.185486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8782655E-5 | 3.8782655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8776387E-4 | 3.8776387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4260767E-7 | 5.4260767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.3254597E-6 | 2.3254597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8312144E-5 | 2.8312144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.830894E-4 | 2.830894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.07586175E-7 | 1.07586175E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6108352E-7 | 4.6108352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.6136787E-6 | 5.6136787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6135483E-5 | 5.6135483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0112018E-8 | 5.0112018E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1476578E-7 | 2.1476578E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6147707E-6 | 2.6147707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6147447E-5 | 2.6147447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.88022E-9 | 4.88022E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0915227E-8 | 2.0915227E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5464288E-7 | 2.5464288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.546427E-6 | 2.546427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1872154E-5 | 2.1872154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3734954E-5 | 9.3734954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407166 | 0.0011706824 | 1.0262693 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011357639 | 0.011446617 | 1.0078342 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1872154E-5 | 2.1872154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3734954E-5 | 9.3734954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407166 | 0.0011706824 | 1.0262693 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011357639 | 0.011446617 | 1.0078342 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1872154E-5 | 2.1872154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3734954E-5 | 9.3734954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011407166 | 0.0011706824 | 1.0262693 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011357639 | 0.011446617 | 1.0078342 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2183793E-5 | 1.2183793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2215386E-5 | 5.2215386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3556846E-4 | 6.6554936E-4 | 1.0471718 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063406173 | 0.006400237 | 1.0094028 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2183793E-5 | 1.2183793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2215386E-5 | 5.2215386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3556846E-4 | 6.6554936E-4 | 1.0471718 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063406173 | 0.006400237 | 1.0094028 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.675886E-6 | 6.675886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8610699E-5 | 2.8610699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4829215E-4 | 3.5828867E-4 | 1.0287015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034786984 | 0.0034986287 | 1.0057293 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.369388E-6 | 6.369388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7297161E-5 | 2.7297161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.323047E-4 | 3.4230138E-4 | 1.0300828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033193016 | 0.0033392352 | 1.0060054 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.343666E-6 | 5.343666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2901291E-5 | 2.2901291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7879936E-4 | 2.8879655E-4 | 1.035858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027856526 | 0.002805597 | 1.0071596 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9409993E-6 | 1.9409993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.3185505E-6 | 8.3185505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01275225E-4 | 1.01275225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010124455 | 0.0010124455 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.3022246E-7 | 8.3022246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5580933E-6 | 3.5580933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.331926E-5 | 4.331926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3314116E-4 | 4.3314116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.5464874E-7 | 7.5464874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2342066E-6 | 3.2342066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9376086E-5 | 3.9376086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.937236E-4 | 3.937236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4776877E-4 | 2.4776877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010614357 | 0.0010614357 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012846908 | 0.012856779 | 1.0007684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12252341 | 0.12260239 | 1.0006446 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4776877E-4 | 2.4776877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010614357 | 0.0010614357 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012846908 | 0.012856779 | 1.0007684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12252341 | 0.12260239 | 1.0006446 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4776877E-4 | 2.4776877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010614357 | 0.0010614357 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012846908 | 0.012856779 | 1.0007684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12252341 | 0.12260239 | 1.0006446 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4776877E-4 | 2.4776877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010614357 | 0.0010614357 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012846908 | 0.012856779 | 1.0007684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12252341 | 0.12260239 | 1.0006446 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4776877E-4 | 2.4776877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010614357 | 0.0010614357 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012846908 | 0.012856779 | 1.0007684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12252341 | 0.12260239 | 1.0006446 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.409484E-4 | 2.409484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010322289 | 0.0010322289 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012495436 | 0.012505311 | 1.0007902 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11949806 | 0.1195773 | 1.0006632 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.409484E-4 | 2.409484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010322289 | 0.0010322289 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012495436 | 0.012505311 | 1.0007902 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11949806 | 0.1195773 | 1.0006632 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3785137E-4 | 2.3785137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010189663 | 0.0010189663 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058011734 | 0.0123358 | 0.012345676 | 1.0008006 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11811938 | 0.11819875 | 1.000672 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.368675E-4 | 2.368675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 0.001014753 | 0.001014753 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777263 | 0.0122850835 | 0.01229496 | 1.000804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.11767858 | 0.11775799 | 1.0006748 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3578534E-4 | 2.3578534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 0.0010101188 | 0.0010101188 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012229295 | 0.012239174 | 1.0008078 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.11719363 | 0.117273085 | 1.000678 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.347881E-4 | 2.347881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 0.0010058482 | 0.0010058482 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057263062 | 0.012177884 | 0.012187761 | 1.0008112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.11674599 | 0.11682549 | 1.0006809 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1980224E-4 | 2.1980224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.4167056E-4 | 9.4167056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053644776 | 0.0114049 | 0.011414786 | 1.0008668 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.109965116 | 0.11004522 | 1.0007285 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.1384688E-4 | 2.1384688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.1616577E-4 | 9.1616577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052187922 | 0.011097582 | 0.011107471 | 1.0008911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.10726189 | 0.107342236 | 1.0007491 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0853836E-4 | 2.0853836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.934307E-4 | 8.934307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005109493 | 0.010823566 | 0.010833457 | 1.0009139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.104825266 | 0.10490583 | 1.0007685 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 2.0215477E-4 | 2.0215477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.660909E-4 | 8.660909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010493949 | 0.010503844 | 1.000943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10189261 | 0.101973444 | 1.0007933 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6485319E-4 | 1.6485319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 7.0632255E-4 | 7.0632255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008565656 | 0.00857557 | 1.0011574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.084471606 | 0.084544845 | 1.000867 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.613398E-4 | 1.613398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.9127325E-4 | 6.9127325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008383855 | 0.008393771 | 1.0011828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.08279621 | 0.08286958 | 1.0008862 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3607976E-4 | 1.3607976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.830687E-4 | 5.830687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003493839 | 0.0070757903 | 0.0070857196 | 1.0014032 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.07055419 | 0.070619255 | 1.0009222 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2497988E-4 | 1.2497988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.355181E-4 | 5.355181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032027436 | 0.006500469 | 0.006510404 | 1.0015284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06488602 | 0.06495147 | 1.0010089 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 9.097398E-5 | 9.097398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8983024E-4 | 3.8983024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004735863 | 0.0047458154 | 1.0021015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.0476496 | 0.047687694 | 1.0007994 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.348234E-5 | 5.348234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.291899E-4 | 2.291899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0027868182 | 0.0027868182 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017356034 | 0.028542513 | 0.028552227 | 1.0003403 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.983968E-5 | 1.983968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.5024425E-5 | 8.5024425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010346815 | 0.0010346815 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009955673 | 0.011101084 | 0.011101084 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.720284E-6 | 5.720284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4515275E-5 | 2.4515275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.984327E-4 | 2.984327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033828847 | 0.0033828847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.0693843E-7 | 8.0693843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2104046E-5 | 4.2104046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9541716E-4 | 4.9541716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3580017E-4 | 2.3580017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010101808 | 0.0010101808 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.012229477 | 0.012239355 | 1.0008076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11338343 | 0.11346322 | 1.0007038 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3580017E-4 | 2.3580017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010101808 | 0.0010101808 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.012229477 | 0.012239355 | 1.0008076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11338343 | 0.11346322 | 1.0007038 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3580017E-4 | 2.3580017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010101808 | 0.0010101808 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.012229477 | 0.012239355 | 1.0008076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11338343 | 0.11346322 | 1.0007038 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3580017E-4 | 2.3580017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010101808 | 0.0010101808 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.012229477 | 0.012239355 | 1.0008076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11338343 | 0.11346322 | 1.0007038 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3136497E-4 | 2.3136497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.911874E-4 | 9.911874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041964394 | 0.012001143 | 0.012011023 | 1.0008233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11136175 | 0.111441724 | 1.0007182 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3136497E-4 | 2.3136497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.911874E-4 | 9.911874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041964394 | 0.012001143 | 0.012011023 | 1.0008233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11136175 | 0.111441724 | 1.0007182 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2379402E-4 | 2.2379402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.5876696E-4 | 9.5876696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011611067 | 0.011620951 | 1.0008513 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03897764 | 0.10789437 | 0.107974656 | 1.0007441 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.2054806E-4 | 2.2054806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.4486587E-4 | 9.4486587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038750346 | 0.0114436075 | 0.011453493 | 1.0008639 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038081564 | 0.106402285 | 0.106482714 | 1.0007558 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1901379E-4 | 2.1901379E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.3829515E-4 | 9.3829515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011364449 | 0.011374335 | 1.00087 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03774495 | 0.10570184 | 0.10578232 | 1.0007615 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.166989E-4 | 2.166989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.2838134E-4 | 9.2838134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003789323 | 0.011245 | 0.011254888 | 1.0008793 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037253562 | 0.104648635 | 0.10472922 | 1.00077 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1253082E-4 | 2.1253082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.105307E-4 | 9.105307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003699303 | 0.011029887 | 0.011039777 | 1.0008966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03638325 | 0.10274954 | 0.10283029 | 1.000786 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.1088154E-4 | 2.1088154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0118722E-4 | 9.0346724E-4 | 9.0346724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010944758 | 0.010954648 | 1.0009037 | 1.0E-5 | 0.036010686 | 0.101990566 | 0.10207138 | 1.0007924 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0695115E-4 | 2.0695115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.866343E-4 | 8.866343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003567883 | 0.010741852 | 0.010751745 | 1.0009209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035111405 | 0.100180365 | 0.10025235 | 1.0007186 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9919552E-4 | 1.9919552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.53418E-4 | 8.53418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010341352 | 0.010351248 | 1.000957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.033966612 | 0.09666809 | 0.09674036 | 1.0007476 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4846795E-4 | 1.4846795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.361369E-4 | 6.361369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002660276 | 0.0077176597 | 0.0077275825 | 1.0012857 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02628654 | 0.07354331 | 0.07361743 | 1.0010078 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1264735E-4 | 1.1264735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.8268537E-4 | 4.8268537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0058609303 | 0.0058708717 | 1.0016962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020299247 | 0.056605455 | 0.05667149 | 1.0011666 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.614541E-5 | 8.614541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6914248E-4 | 3.6914248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044850744 | 0.0044950293 | 1.0022197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043728497 | 0.04378587 | 1.0013121 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.459256E-5 | 6.459256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.767959E-4 | 2.767959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033647884 | 0.0033747547 | 1.002962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010967582 | 0.033061706 | 0.03311972 | 1.0017548 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.6615456E-5 | 5.6615456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.4261512E-4 | 2.4261512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0029498413 | 0.0029598118 | 1.0033801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.029136853 | 0.029195104 | 1.0019993 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.2461157E-5 | 4.2461157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.8196371E-4 | 1.8196371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0022131586 | 0.0022231364 | 1.0045084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.022127734 | 0.022186408 | 1.0026516 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.0580137E-5 | 3.0580137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.3105116E-4 | 1.3105116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.001594381 | 0.001594381 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005933798 | 0.016053874 | 0.016073553 | 1.0012258 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.58997E-6 | 7.58997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.2528038E-5 | 3.2528038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.9595706E-4 | 3.9595706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0042263335 | 0.0042263335 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.834884E-6 | 2.834884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.2149447E-5 | 1.2149447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4790952E-4 | 1.4790952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.001651215 | 0.001651215 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.3099272E-7 | 3.3099272E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.4185396E-6 | 1.4185396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.7270597E-5 | 1.7270597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 2.0407888E-4 | 2.0407888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.7133646E-5 | 4.7133646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0198681E-4 | 2.0198681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024566127 | 0.002466588 | 1.0040606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021239553 | 0.024315244 | 0.024383541 | 1.0028088 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3884804E-5 | 2.3884804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.023596E-4 | 1.023596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012455446 | 0.0012555321 | 1.0080186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.012388682 | 0.01241831 | 1.0023916 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3884804E-5 | 2.3884804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.023596E-4 | 1.023596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012455446 | 0.0012555321 | 1.0080186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.012388682 | 0.01241831 | 1.0023916 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7087907E-5 | 1.7087907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.3231895E-5 | 7.3231895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.912456E-4 | 9.012367E-4 | 1.0112102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007878214 | 0.0088779675 | 0.00889779 | 1.0022328 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.38635205E-5 | 1.38635205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9413782E-5 | 5.9413782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.231308E-4 | 7.331236E-4 | 1.0138187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006419184 | 0.0072086165 | 0.0072185444 | 1.0013772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0124413E-5 | 1.0124413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3389653E-5 | 4.3389653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.281463E-4 | 5.38141E-4 | 1.0189241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004716845 | 0.00526945 | 0.005279397 | 1.0018877 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.406699E-6 | 8.406699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.6028236E-5 | 3.6028236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3855977E-4 | 4.485554E-4 | 1.0227919 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043773735 | 0.0043873293 | 1.0022745 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.09145E-6 | 6.09145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6105972E-5 | 2.6105972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.177971E-4 | 3.177971E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031737487 | 0.0031737487 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.08554E-6 | 4.08554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7509352E-5 | 1.7509352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1315801E-4 | 2.1315801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.002129781 | 0.002129781 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.630433E-6 | 2.630433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1273237E-5 | 1.1273237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3724304E-4 | 1.3724304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013715858 | 0.0013715858 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4838398E-6 | 2.4838398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0644984E-5 | 1.0644984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2959499E-4 | 1.2959499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012951965 | 0.0012951965 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.374244E-6 | 2.374244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0175292E-5 | 1.0175292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2387715E-4 | 1.2387715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.001238083 | 0.001238083 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.277099E-6 | 2.277099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.758959E-6 | 9.758959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.18808864E-4 | 1.18808864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011874554 | 0.0011874554 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1095855E-6 | 2.1095855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.0410485E-6 | 9.0410485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.10069224E-4 | 1.10069224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0011001489 | 0.0011001489 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8053071E-6 | 1.8053071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.737008E-6 | 7.737008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.419401E-5 | 9.419401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.415425E-4 | 9.415425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.515756E-7 | 9.515756E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0781747E-6 | 4.0781747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.965066E-5 | 4.965066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.9639685E-4 | 4.9639685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.054141E-7 | 4.054141E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7374879E-6 | 1.7374879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1153717E-5 | 2.1153717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1151769E-4 | 2.1151769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.340509E-8 | 6.340509E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7173607E-7 | 2.7173607E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3083816E-6 | 3.3083816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.308333E-5 | 3.308333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3965796E-9 | 1.3965796E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.985341E-9 | 5.985341E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.287152E-8 | 7.287152E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.287151E-7 | 7.287151E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5663053E-4 | 2.5663053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010993832 | 0.0010993832 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013303372 | 0.0133132385 | 1.0007417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12627354 | 0.12634344 | 1.0005535 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5663053E-4 | 2.5663053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010993832 | 0.0010993832 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013303372 | 0.0133132385 | 1.0007417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12627354 | 0.12634344 | 1.0005535 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.547927E-4 | 2.547927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010915135 | 0.0010915135 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006347804 | 0.013208724 | 0.013218591 | 1.0007471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.12545839 | 0.12552835 | 1.0005577 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.5364902E-4 | 2.5364902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.001086616 | 0.001086616 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006316212 | 0.0131498175 | 0.013159686 | 1.0007504 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12495137 | 0.12502137 | 1.0005603 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4867614E-4 | 2.4867614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010653213 | 0.0010653213 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006172335 | 0.012893648 | 0.012903519 | 1.0007656 | 1.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.12274145 | 0.12281163 | 1.0005717 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.465902E-4 | 2.465902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010563887 | 0.0010563887 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006109677 | 0.012786172 | 0.012796044 | 1.0007721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.121807694 | 0.121877946 | 1.0005767 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.396255E-4 | 2.396255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010265638 | 0.0010265638 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059092017 | 0.01242725 | 0.012437126 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.11870811 | 0.118778616 | 1.0005939 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3805791E-4 | 2.3805791E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010198508 | 0.0010198508 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005864331 | 0.012346449 | 0.012356326 | 1.0007999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.118009515 | 0.11808008 | 1.000598 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3693126E-4 | 2.3693126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 0.0010150261 | 0.0010150261 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005836608 | 0.012288372 | 0.01229825 | 1.0008038 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.11750507 | 0.11757567 | 1.0006008 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3540677E-4 | 2.3540677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 0.0010084976 | 0.0010084976 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057996577 | 0.012209781 | 0.01221966 | 1.0008091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.1168227 | 0.11689335 | 1.0006047 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.3160441E-4 | 2.3160441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.922143E-4 | 9.922143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005705768 | 0.012013736 | 0.012023616 | 1.0008224 | 1.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.11511522 | 0.11518601 | 1.000615 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0962783E-4 | 2.0962783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.980967E-4 | 8.980967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010879814 | 0.010889705 | 1.0009091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.10518372 | 0.105255306 | 1.0006806 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0464066E-4 | 2.0464066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.7673764E-4 | 8.7673764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00504711 | 0.010622331 | 0.010632225 | 1.0009314 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.10291173 | 0.1029835 | 1.0006974 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.988646E-4 | 1.988646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.5199944E-4 | 8.5199944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010324038 | 0.010333934 | 1.0009586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.100259796 | 0.100331776 | 1.0007179 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.9249177E-4 | 1.9249177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.247049E-4 | 8.247049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004799717 | 0.009994814 | 0.010004714 | 1.0009905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09731859 | 0.0973908 | 1.0007421 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.553346E-4 | 1.553346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.6555E-4 | 6.6555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040183207 | 0.008073041 | 0.008082961 | 1.0012287 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.079879366 | 0.079943776 | 1.0008063 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.518839E-4 | 1.518839E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.5076875E-4 | 6.5076875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007894398 | 0.007904319 | 1.0012567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07822598 | 0.0782905 | 1.0008248 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2673535E-4 | 1.2673535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.430385E-4 | 5.430385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0065914798 | 0.0066014137 | 1.0015072 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.06597801 | 0.066034056 | 1.0008494 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.17023585E-4 | 1.17023585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 5.014333E-4 | 5.014333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003054864 | 0.006087884 | 0.006097823 | 1.0016326 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.060972072 | 0.061028417 | 1.0009241 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.636273E-5 | 8.636273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.7007348E-4 | 3.7007348E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0044963434 | 0.0045062983 | 1.0022141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.045350898 | 0.045389082 | 1.000842 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.209252E-5 | 5.209252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.2323457E-4 | 2.2323457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0027144952 | 0.0027144952 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017046256 | 0.027829928 | 0.02783965 | 1.0003493 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9839861E-5 | 1.9839861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.50252E-5 | 8.50252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.001034691 | 0.001034691 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009956728 | 0.011101207 | 0.011101207 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.720284E-6 | 5.720284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.4515275E-5 | 2.4515275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.984327E-4 | 2.984327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0033828847 | 0.0033828847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 8.0693843E-7 | 8.0693843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 3.4583031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.2104046E-5 | 4.2104046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.9541716E-4 | 4.9541716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.676986E-5 | 3.676986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5757562E-4 | 1.5757562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.0019167966 | 0.0019267773 | 1.0052071 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019750057 | 0.019818673 | 1.0034742 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.676986E-5 | 3.676986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5757562E-4 | 1.5757562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.0019167966 | 0.0019267773 | 1.0052071 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019750057 | 0.019818673 | 1.0034742 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.676986E-5 | 3.676986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5757562E-4 | 1.5757562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.0019167966 | 0.0019267773 | 1.0052071 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019750057 | 0.019818673 | 1.0034742 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.676986E-5 | 3.676986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5757562E-4 | 1.5757562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.0019167966 | 0.0019267773 | 1.0052071 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019750057 | 0.019818673 | 1.0034742 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.6662357E-5 | 3.6662357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5711495E-4 | 1.5711495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0019111978 | 0.0019211787 | 1.0052223 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017588645 | 0.019695075 | 0.019763697 | 1.0034841 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5921865E-5 | 3.5921865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5394179E-4 | 1.5394179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018726314 | 0.0018826127 | 1.0053301 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017284546 | 0.019316198 | 0.019384846 | 1.0035539 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5858986E-5 | 3.5858986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5367231E-4 | 1.5367231E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018693564 | 0.0018793377 | 1.0053394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017258976 | 0.019284025 | 0.019352676 | 1.00356 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.584874E-5 | 3.584874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5362843E-4 | 1.5362843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017391514 | 0.001868823 | 0.0018788043 | 1.0053409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017256035 | 0.01927881 | 0.019347461 | 1.0035609 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.574263E-5 | 3.574263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.531737E-4 | 1.531737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0018632963 | 0.0018732776 | 1.0053568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017213784 | 0.019224511 | 0.019293167 | 1.0035712 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.568347E-5 | 3.568347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.529202E-4 | 1.529202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018602151 | 0.0018701964 | 1.0053657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017192734 | 0.019194335 | 0.019262992 | 1.0035769 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.562327E-5 | 3.562327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.5266222E-4 | 1.5266222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018570796 | 0.001867061 | 1.0053748 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017172894 | 0.019163659 | 0.019232318 | 1.0035827 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.5503184E-5 | 3.5503184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.5214764E-4 | 1.5214764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018508252 | 0.0018608066 | 1.005393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017138338 | 0.019102624 | 0.019171286 | 1.0035944 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.5370376E-5 | 3.5370376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.5157854E-4 | 1.5157854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018439081 | 0.0018538896 | 1.0054133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017089253 | 0.019034926 | 0.019103592 | 1.0036074 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.5237557E-5 | 3.5237557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.5100936E-4 | 1.5100936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0018369901 | 0.0018469717 | 1.0054337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017049557 | 0.01896741 | 0.019036083 | 1.0036205 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.5158828E-5 | 3.5158828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.50672E-4 | 1.50672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0018328896 | 0.0018428713 | 1.0054458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017028693 | 0.018927481 | 0.018996155 | 1.0036284 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.502313E-5 | 3.502313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.500905E-4 | 1.500905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0018258218 | 0.0018358036 | 1.0054669 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016978411 | 0.018858105 | 0.018926784 | 1.003642 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.474662E-5 | 3.474662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4890559E-4 | 1.4890559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0018114196 | 0.0018214014 | 1.0055106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.01871504 | 0.018783731 | 1.0036703 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.3221902E-5 | 3.3221902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.4237182E-4 | 1.4237182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0017319999 | 0.0017419826 | 1.0057636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.017921839 | 0.017990585 | 1.0038358 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 3.0403087E-5 | 3.0403087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.3029244E-4 | 1.3029244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015851572 | 0.0015951414 | 1.0062985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.016448952 | 0.016517801 | 1.0041856 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.405808E-5 | 2.405808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.03101986E-4 | 1.03101986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012545447 | 0.0012545447 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010774517 | 0.013124094 | 0.013163569 | 1.0030079 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6515227E-5 | 1.6515227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.744926E-5 | 7.077763E-5 | 7.077763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.6137763E-4 | 8.6137763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008178596 | 0.009119633 | 0.009159268 | 1.0043461 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.611309E-6 | 8.611309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.690509E-5 | 3.690509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.4922737E-4 | 4.4922737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005259227 | 0.0048282226 | 0.0048580775 | 1.0061835 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.660461E-6 | 1.660461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 7.116242E-6 | 7.116242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.6636835E-5 | 8.6636835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 0.0010034618 | 0.0010034618 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.832211E-7 | 3.832211E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.6423752E-6 | 1.6423752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.999574E-5 | 1.999574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.4025669E-4 | 2.4025669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7330675E-5 | 5.7330202E-5 | 1.2112695 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.028317E-4 | 2.2282763E-4 | 1.0985839 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002466942 | 0.0025168187 | 1.020218 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024421316 | 0.024489606 | 1.0027963 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7330675E-5 | 5.7330202E-5 | 1.2112695 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.028317E-4 | 2.2282763E-4 | 1.0985839 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002466942 | 0.0025168187 | 1.020218 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024421316 | 0.024489606 | 1.0027963 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7330675E-5 | 5.7330202E-5 | 1.2112695 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.028317E-4 | 2.2282763E-4 | 1.0985839 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002466942 | 0.0025168187 | 1.020218 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024421316 | 0.024489606 | 1.0027963 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.36489E-5 | 4.3648564E-5 | 1.2971765 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4420204E-4 | 1.6419917E-4 | 1.1386743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017543162 | 0.0018042285 | 1.0284511 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017411845 | 0.017480625 | 1.0039502 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.36489E-5 | 4.3648564E-5 | 1.2971765 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4420204E-4 | 1.6419917E-4 | 1.1386743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017543162 | 0.0018042285 | 1.0284511 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017411845 | 0.017480625 | 1.0039502 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8638191E-5 | 3.8637903E-5 | 1.349174 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2272962E-4 | 1.4272716E-4 | 1.1629399 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014932556 | 0.001543181 | 1.0334339 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014837111 | 0.014906073 | 1.0046479 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.468453E-5 | 3.4684283E-5 | 1.405102 | 1.0E-5 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.0578675E-4 | 1.2578463E-4 | 1.1890396 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012872258 | 0.0013371614 | 1.0387932 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.01280113 | 0.012870234 | 1.0053983 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1801368E-5 | 3.180115E-5 | 1.4586768 | 1.0E-5 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.3431234E-5 | 1.1342936E-4 | 1.2140412 | 2.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011369573 | 0.0011869004 | 1.0439271 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011314071 | 0.011383279 | 1.006117 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9034947E-5 | 2.9034758E-5 | 1.5253395 | 1.0E-5 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.157589E-5 | 1.0157426E-4 | 1.2451504 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.927509E-4 | 0.0010427012 | 1.0503151 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009884922 | 0.00995423 | 1.0070115 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.640283E-5 | 2.6402666E-5 | 1.6096408 | 1.0E-5 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.0295995E-5 | 9.029459E-5 | 1.2844912 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5552654E-4 | 9.054837E-4 | 1.0583936 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008523263 | 0.008592666 | 1.0081428 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4549148E-5 | 2.4549003E-5 | 1.6873155 | 1.0E-5 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.235203E-5 | 8.235079E-5 | 1.3207394 | 2.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.588774E-4 | 8.0883945E-4 | 1.0658368 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.0075634783 | 0.0076329485 | 1.009185 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4088925E-5 | 2.4088784E-5 | 1.7097673 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.037974E-5 | 8.037853E-5 | 1.3312169 | 2.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.34881E-4 | 7.848443E-4 | 1.0679883 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.007325103 | 0.0073945904 | 1.0094862 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.402634E-5 | 2.40262E-5 | 1.7129344 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.011153E-5 | 8.011033E-5 | 1.3326949 | 2.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.3161774E-4 | 7.8158116E-4 | 1.0682917 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.007292685 | 0.007362175 | 1.0095286 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3890374E-5 | 2.3890236E-5 | 1.719913 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9528847E-5 | 7.952766E-5 | 1.3359516 | 2.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2452833E-4 | 7.744921E-4 | 1.0689604 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.007222254 | 0.007291748 | 1.0096222 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3658251E-5 | 2.3658115E-5 | 1.7321482 | 1.0E-5 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8534082E-5 | 7.853291E-5 | 1.3416613 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.1242504E-4 | 7.623894E-4 | 1.0701329 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.007102001 | 0.0071715037 | 1.0097864 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.315556E-5 | 2.3155428E-5 | 1.7601249 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.6379784E-5 | 7.637865E-5 | 1.3547171 | 2.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.8621326E-4 | 7.261858E-4 | 1.0582509 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.0068415273 | 0.006901117 | 1.00871 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1588417E-5 | 2.1588301E-5 | 1.8629206 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9663726E-5 | 6.966273E-5 | 1.4026884 | 2.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.044933E-4 | 6.444691E-4 | 1.0661311 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060290224 | 0.0060886606 | 1.0098919 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0030348E-5 | 2.0030247E-5 | 1.9969643 | 1.0E-5 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.2986525E-5 | 6.2985666E-5 | 1.465242 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.232403E-4 | 5.632194E-4 | 1.0764067 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.005220594 | 0.0052802805 | 1.0114329 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.2858188E-7 | 3.2858188E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.4082074E-6 | 1.4082074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7144794E-5 | 1.7144794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7143508E-4 | 1.7143508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6703877E-9 | 2.6703877E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444519E-8 | 1.1444519E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933702E-7 | 1.3933702E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933702E-6 | 1.3933702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6803182E-5 | 1.6803182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.201196E-5 | 7.201196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.764478E-4 | 8.964303E-4 | 1.0227994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008735346 | 0.008794822 | 1.0068086 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6803182E-5 | 1.6803182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.201196E-5 | 7.201196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.764478E-4 | 8.964303E-4 | 1.0227994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008735346 | 0.008794822 | 1.0068086 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3688685E-5 | 1.3688685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8664747E-5 | 5.8664747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.14058E-4 | 7.2405086E-4 | 1.0139945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007122437 | 0.0071621523 | 1.005576 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3688685E-5 | 1.3688685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8664747E-5 | 5.8664747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.14058E-4 | 7.2405086E-4 | 1.0139945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007122437 | 0.0071621523 | 1.005576 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.01751875E-5 | 1.01751875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3607448E-5 | 4.3607448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.308325E-4 | 5.308325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052996855 | 0.0053096325 | 1.001877 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0122593E-5 | 1.0122593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3382053E-5 | 4.3382053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2808964E-4 | 5.2808964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052723875 | 0.0052823345 | 1.0018867 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.446133E-6 | 8.446133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6197434E-5 | 3.6197434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4065464E-4 | 4.4065464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0044017304 | 0.004411686 | 1.0022619 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4447077E-6 | 2.4447077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0477277E-5 | 1.0477277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2755358E-4 | 1.2755358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012748223 | 0.0012748223 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2070567E-6 | 2.2070567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.458781E-6 | 9.458781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1515474E-4 | 1.1515474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011509676 | 0.0011509676 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9817335E-6 | 1.9817335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.493117E-6 | 8.493117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.03398954E-4 | 1.03398954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010335244 | 0.0010335244 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6208345E-6 | 1.6208345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.946416E-6 | 6.946416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.456946E-5 | 8.456946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.453852E-4 | 8.453852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1501497E-6 | 1.1501497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9292044E-6 | 4.9292044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 6.001151E-5 | 6.001151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9996283E-4 | 5.9996283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.389373E-7 | 6.389373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7383003E-6 | 2.7383003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3338365E-5 | 3.3338365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.333405E-4 | 3.333405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3825614E-5 | 2.3825614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.021058E-4 | 1.021058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012424325 | 0.0012624076 | 1.0160774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.01239751 | 0.012456766 | 1.0047797 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3825614E-5 | 2.3825614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.021058E-4 | 1.021058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012424325 | 0.0012624076 | 1.0160774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.01239751 | 0.012456766 | 1.0047797 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3825614E-5 | 2.3825614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.021058E-4 | 1.021058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012424325 | 0.0012624076 | 1.0160774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.01239751 | 0.012456766 | 1.0047797 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3825614E-5 | 2.3825614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.021058E-4 | 1.021058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012424325 | 0.0012624076 | 1.0160774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.01239751 | 0.012456766 | 1.0047797 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3825614E-5 | 2.3825614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.021058E-4 | 1.021058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012424325 | 0.0012624076 | 1.0160774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.01239751 | 0.012456766 | 1.0047797 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.381457E-5 | 2.381457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.0205847E-4 | 1.0205847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.001241857 | 0.0012618321 | 1.0160849 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.012391819 | 0.012451075 | 1.004782 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3428733E-5 | 2.3428733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6032466E-5 | 1.0040501E-4 | 1.0040501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012217488 | 0.0012417244 | 1.01635 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.012192955 | 0.012252224 | 1.0048609 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3404007E-5 | 2.3404007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.59283E-5 | 1.0029905E-4 | 1.0029905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012204602 | 0.0012404358 | 1.0163673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.01218021 | 0.012239479 | 1.004866 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.3252349E-5 | 2.3252349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.9649136E-5 | 9.9649136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0012125563 | 0.0012325321 | 1.0164741 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.012102035 | 0.012161308 | 1.0048978 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.3211704E-5 | 2.3211704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.947495E-5 | 9.947495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.001210438 | 0.0012304138 | 1.016503 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.012081082 | 0.012140357 | 1.0049064 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2609576E-5 | 2.2609576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.6894604E-5 | 9.6894604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011790562 | 0.0011990326 | 1.0169427 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.0117706 | 0.011829894 | 1.0050374 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.255455E-5 | 2.255455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.665879E-5 | 9.665879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011761884 | 0.0011961648 | 1.0169841 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011742225 | 0.01180152 | 1.0050497 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1931408E-5 | 2.1931408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.3988376E-5 | 9.3988376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011437105 | 0.0011636877 | 1.0174669 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.011420806 | 0.011480121 | 1.0051936 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1800875E-5 | 2.1800875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.342899E-5 | 9.342899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011369071 | 0.0011568844 | 1.0175716 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011353495 | 0.011412813 | 1.0052247 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.1171421E-5 | 2.1171421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975841E-5 | 9.073152E-5 | 9.073152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0011040991 | 0.001124077 | 1.0180943 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.011029404 | 0.011088742 | 1.00538 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9859795E-5 | 1.9859795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.5110645E-5 | 8.5110645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010357318 | 0.0010557111 | 1.01929 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.010351782 | 0.010411161 | 1.0057361 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.9297759E-5 | 1.9297759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.270207E-5 | 8.270207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.592486E-4 | 0.0010064348 | 0.0010264147 | 1.0198522 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.010061514 | 0.01012091 | 1.0059034 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6729131E-5 | 1.6729131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.169431E-5 | 7.169431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.725304E-4 | 8.9251297E-4 | 1.0229019 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008733705 | 0.00879318 | 1.00681 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.1388697E-5 | 1.1388697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.880779E-5 | 4.880779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.940729E-4 | 6.140611E-4 | 1.0336459 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.005967095 | 0.006026737 | 1.0099951 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.703817E-6 | 8.703817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.730154E-5 | 3.730154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.5405168E-4 | 4.6404716E-4 | 1.0220139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.004570953 | 0.004620725 | 1.0108887 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.9660453E-6 | 4.9660453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.1282878E-5 | 2.1282878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5908827E-4 | 2.5908827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015417566 | 0.0026116155 | 0.0026116155 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.2594509E-6 | 2.2594509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.683325E-6 | 9.683325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1788812E-4 | 1.1788812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011932084 | 0.0011932084 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.731013E-7 | 4.731013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 2.0275754E-6 | 2.0275754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.4685452E-5 | 2.4685452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.5550413E-4 | 2.5550413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.758651E-8 | 8.758651E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.753707E-7 | 3.753707E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.5701286E-6 | 4.5701286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.795399E-5 | 4.795399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0752995E-5 | 5.0752995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1749698E-4 | 2.1749698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002645208 | 0.0026751286 | 1.0113113 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02617758 | 0.026236009 | 1.0022321 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0752995E-5 | 5.0752995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1749698E-4 | 2.1749698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002645208 | 0.0026751286 | 1.0113113 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02617758 | 0.026236009 | 1.0022321 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0752995E-5 | 5.0752995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1749698E-4 | 2.1749698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002645208 | 0.0026751286 | 1.0113113 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02617758 | 0.026236009 | 1.0022321 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0111732E-5 | 3.0111732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2904409E-4 | 1.2904409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.001570013 | 0.001599966 | 1.0190781 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015592897 | 0.015642118 | 1.0031565 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0111732E-5 | 3.0111732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2904409E-4 | 1.2904409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.001570013 | 0.001599966 | 1.0190781 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015592897 | 0.015642118 | 1.0031565 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.533139E-5 | 2.533139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.08558685E-4 | 1.08558685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013209177 | 0.0013408912 | 1.015121 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010529719 | 0.013132599 | 0.013172073 | 1.0030059 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.531233E-5 | 2.531233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.08477005E-4 | 1.08477005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013199245 | 0.0013398981 | 1.0151324 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010520565 | 0.013122784 | 0.013162259 | 1.0030081 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.255406E-5 | 2.255406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.665676E-5 | 9.665676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011761754 | 0.0011961518 | 1.0169842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.011701116 | 0.011740648 | 1.0033785 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1855169E-5 | 2.1855169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.366173E-5 | 9.366173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011397495 | 0.0011597266 | 1.0175277 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.0113406265 | 0.011380172 | 1.0034871 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9037352E-5 | 1.9037352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.158617E-5 | 8.158617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.928722E-4 | 0.0010028622 | 1.0100617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009885761 | 0.009915465 | 1.0030047 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8041446E-5 | 1.8041446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.731826E-5 | 7.731826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.4095635E-4 | 9.5094694E-4 | 1.0106175 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009371089 | 0.009400808 | 1.0031713 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6210784E-5 | 1.6210784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.947301E-5 | 6.947301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.455183E-4 | 8.455183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008424312 | 0.008444143 | 1.002354 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3875313E-5 | 1.3875313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.946433E-5 | 5.946433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.2374864E-4 | 7.2374864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057893298 | 0.0072150244 | 0.007224952 | 1.001376 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2182455E-5 | 1.2182455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2209536E-5 | 5.2209536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.3547643E-4 | 6.3547643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051047057 | 0.006337669 | 0.006347606 | 1.0015678 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.795878E-6 | 9.795878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1981715E-5 | 4.1981715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.11017E-4 | 5.11017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041356985 | 0.005099361 | 0.0051093097 | 1.001951 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7751163E-6 | 5.7751163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4750307E-5 | 2.4750307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0130098E-4 | 3.0130098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030096776 | 0.0030196474 | 1.0033126 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6045475E-7 | 2.6045475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1162343E-6 | 1.1162343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3590096E-5 | 1.3590096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3589548E-4 | 1.3589548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7198464E-5 | 4.7198464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0226833E-4 | 2.0226833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024606702 | 0.002480621 | 1.0081079 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021518968 | 0.024416128 | 0.024474664 | 1.0023974 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6869528E-5 | 1.6869528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.229603E-5 | 7.229603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.7985944E-4 | 8.8985066E-4 | 1.0113554 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009028391 | 0.008764878 | 0.008784703 | 1.0022619 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3685522E-5 | 1.3685522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.865094E-5 | 5.865094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.1384513E-4 | 7.23838E-4 | 1.0139986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007600669 | 0.0071159406 | 0.007135798 | 1.0027906 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2493585E-5 | 1.2493585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.3542855E-5 | 5.3542855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.5169245E-4 | 6.6168595E-4 | 1.0153346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00704657 | 0.0064981524 | 0.006518022 | 1.0030578 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1990206E-5 | 1.1990206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.1385603E-5 | 5.1385603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.254431E-4 | 6.354369E-4 | 1.0159787 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006810953 | 0.0062371497 | 0.006257025 | 1.0031866 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1059273E-5 | 1.1059273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.7396035E-5 | 4.7396035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.7689665E-4 | 5.868909E-4 | 1.0173241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006372592 | 0.0057542757 | 0.005774161 | 1.0034556 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0073422E-5 | 1.0073422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3171105E-5 | 4.3171105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.2548357E-4 | 5.2548357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059059616 | 0.005242632 | 0.005252579 | 1.0018975 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.526502E-6 | 9.526502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.082724E-5 | 4.082724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.9696025E-4 | 4.9696025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049586985 | 0.004968649 | 1.0020066 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.309119E-6 | 9.309119E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.9895625E-5 | 3.9895625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8562302E-4 | 4.8562302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005550127 | 0.0048458255 | 0.004855777 | 1.0020536 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.600823E-6 | 8.600823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.686016E-5 | 3.686016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4868188E-4 | 4.4868188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044779456 | 0.004487901 | 1.0022231 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.03336E-6 | 8.03336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.442824E-5 | 3.442824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1908497E-4 | 4.1908497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00496445 | 0.004183121 | 0.004193079 | 1.0023806 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.660329E-6 | 7.660329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.282958E-5 | 3.282958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.996285E-4 | 3.996285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004792784 | 0.00398927 | 0.00399923 | 1.0024967 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.9373424E-6 | 5.9373424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5445506E-5 | 2.5445506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.097553E-4 | 3.097553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.003093267 | 0.0031032362 | 1.0032228 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.60202E-6 | 5.60202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.4008437E-5 | 2.4008437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.922638E-4 | 2.922638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029188248 | 0.0029287955 | 1.0034161 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9236733E-6 | 4.9236733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1101287E-5 | 2.1101287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.568781E-4 | 2.568781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025658307 | 0.0025658307 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0882146E-6 | 4.0882146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7520802E-5 | 1.7520802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1329499E-4 | 2.1329499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.002130914 | 0.002130914 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0913618E-6 | 3.0913618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.3248627E-5 | 1.3248627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6129017E-4 | 1.6129017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016117392 | 0.0016117392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8301791E-6 | 1.8301791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.843601E-6 | 7.843601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.549173E-5 | 9.549173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.545131E-4 | 9.545131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.5130245E-7 | 3.5130245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.505581E-6 | 1.505581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8330296E-5 | 1.8330296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8328796E-4 | 1.8328796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2704997E-8 | 1.2704997E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.4449988E-8 | 5.4449988E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.629284E-7 | 6.629284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.629265E-6 | 6.629265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.038671E-9 | 2.038671E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.737163E-9 | 8.737163E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0637495E-7 | 1.0637495E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0637491E-6 | 1.0637491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4273243E-5 | 1.4273243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.116981E-5 | 6.116981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.4452464E-4 | 7.4452464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006608314 | 0.007425206 | 0.00748476 | 1.0080206 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.530943E-6 | 9.530943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.0846382E-5 | 4.0846382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.97213E-4 | 4.97213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043435963 | 0.0049644327 | 0.005014185 | 1.0100217 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.986485E-6 | 7.986485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.422745E-5 | 3.422745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.166588E-4 | 4.166588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041619567 | 0.0041918317 | 1.0071782 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4412928E-6 | 3.4412928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.474832E-5 | 1.474832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7954687E-4 | 1.7954687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017953954 | 0.0018053774 | 1.0055598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4255795E-6 | 3.4255795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4680977E-5 | 1.4680977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7872712E-4 | 1.7872712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.001787211 | 0.0017971932 | 1.0055853 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.407917E-6 | 3.407917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4605282E-5 | 1.4605282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7780566E-4 | 1.7780566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017780113 | 0.0017879936 | 1.0056143 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.377925E-6 | 3.377925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.44767455E-5 | 1.44767455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.76241E-4 | 1.76241E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017623896 | 0.0017723719 | 1.0056641 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3479396E-6 | 3.3479396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4348238E-5 | 1.4348238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7467666E-4 | 1.7467666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017467709 | 0.0017567534 | 1.0057149 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8713043E-6 | 2.8713043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2305536E-5 | 1.2305536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4981034E-4 | 1.4981034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014984572 | 0.0015084421 | 1.0066636 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0846242E-6 | 2.0846242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.934075E-6 | 8.934075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.087672E-4 | 1.087672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010884587 | 0.0010984478 | 1.0091773 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5686633E-6 | 1.5686633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.7228257E-6 | 6.7228257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.184749E-5 | 8.184749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.1948104E-4 | 8.1948104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4444474E-6 | 1.4444474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1904752E-6 | 6.1904752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.536658E-5 | 7.536658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.547176E-4 | 7.547176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0244171E-6 | 1.0244171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.390352E-6 | 4.390352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.345127E-5 | 5.345127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.356813E-4 | 5.356813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.348143E-7 | 9.348143E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 4.006341E-6 | 4.006341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8776154E-5 | 4.8776154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.889518E-4 | 4.889518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.483095E-7 | 8.483095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.6356075E-6 | 3.6356075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.4262662E-5 | 4.4262662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.4382634E-4 | 4.4382634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.229997E-7 | 8.229997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.527137E-6 | 3.527137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.2942087E-5 | 4.2942087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.306054E-4 | 4.306054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.849131E-7 | 7.849131E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.3639092E-6 | 3.3639092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0954863E-5 | 4.0954863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.1071195E-4 | 4.1071195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.167696E-7 | 5.167696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.2147249E-6 | 2.2147249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6963953E-5 | 2.6963953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.7084813E-4 | 2.7084813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.2193009E-7 | 1.2193009E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.225574E-7 | 5.225574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.3621196E-6 | 6.3621196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.405522E-5 | 6.405522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.1899977E-9 | 4.1899977E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.7957134E-8 | 1.7957134E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1862809E-7 | 2.1862809E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.2343863E-6 | 2.2343863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.7436405E-6 | 9.7436405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1757867E-5 | 4.1757867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082965E-4 | 5.1829143E-4 | 1.0196636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005072632 | 0.0051223785 | 1.0098069 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.7436405E-6 | 9.7436405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1757867E-5 | 4.1757867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082965E-4 | 5.1829143E-4 | 1.0196636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005072632 | 0.0051223785 | 1.0098069 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.7436405E-6 | 9.7436405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1757867E-5 | 4.1757867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082965E-4 | 5.1829143E-4 | 1.0196636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005072632 | 0.0051223785 | 1.0098069 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.7436405E-6 | 9.7436405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1757867E-5 | 4.1757867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082965E-4 | 5.1829143E-4 | 1.0196636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005072632 | 0.0051223785 | 1.0098069 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3010745E-6 | 5.3010745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2718712E-5 | 2.2718712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7656867E-4 | 2.7656867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027625854 | 0.002802475 | 1.0144392 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3010745E-6 | 5.3010745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2718712E-5 | 2.2718712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7656867E-4 | 2.7656867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027625854 | 0.002802475 | 1.0144392 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4994112E-6 | 3.4994112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4997399E-5 | 1.4997399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8257964E-4 | 1.8257964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018244542 | 0.0018344359 | 1.0054711 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4862765E-6 | 3.4862765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4941109E-5 | 1.4941109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8189441E-4 | 1.8189441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018176131 | 0.0018275949 | 1.0054917 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7341825E-6 | 2.7341825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.171788E-5 | 1.171788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.426572E-4 | 1.426572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014257883 | 0.0014257883 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.4747653E-6 | 2.4747653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0606102E-5 | 1.0606102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2912296E-4 | 1.2912296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012906089 | 0.0012906089 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7432413E-6 | 1.7432413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4710188E-6 | 7.4710188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.0956906E-5 | 9.0956906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.092996E-4 | 9.092996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5719262E-7 | 3.5719262E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5308246E-6 | 1.5308246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8637633E-5 | 1.8637633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.8636095E-4 | 1.8636095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2753291E-7 | 2.2753291E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.751407E-7 | 9.751407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1872274E-5 | 1.1872274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.187165E-4 | 1.187165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6062823E-7 | 1.6062823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.8840654E-7 | 6.8840654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.3813175E-6 | 8.3813175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.381008E-5 | 8.381008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.14330675E-7 | 1.14330675E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899885E-7 | 4.899885E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.9655945E-6 | 5.9655945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9654387E-5 | 5.9654387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.979366E-8 | 4.979366E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1340138E-7 | 2.1340138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5981587E-6 | 2.5981587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5981302E-5 | 2.5981302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5319619E-9 | 1.5319619E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5655508E-9 | 6.5655508E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.993558E-8 | 7.993558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.993558E-7 | 7.993558E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0140084E-6 | 3.0140084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2917132E-5 | 1.2917132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5725792E-4 | 1.7725477E-4 | 1.1271596 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015717781 | 0.0016216994 | 1.031761 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5494691E-6 | 1.5494691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6405673E-6 | 6.6405673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.084641E-5 | 8.084641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.082188E-4 | 8.082188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5494691E-6 | 1.5494691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6405673E-6 | 6.6405673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.084641E-5 | 8.084641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.082188E-4 | 8.082188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5494691E-6 | 1.5494691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6405673E-6 | 6.6405673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.084641E-5 | 8.084641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.082188E-4 | 8.082188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5494691E-6 | 1.5494691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6405673E-6 | 6.6405673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.084641E-5 | 8.084641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.082188E-4 | 8.082188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.491388E-6 | 1.491388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.3916505E-6 | 6.3916505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.781606E-5 | 7.781606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.7793683E-4 | 7.7793683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 9.000176E-7 | 9.000176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.857213E-6 | 3.857213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6960646E-5 | 4.6960646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.695159E-4 | 4.695159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.596602E-7 | 7.596602E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2556832E-6 | 3.2556832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.9637293E-5 | 3.9637293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9630922E-4 | 3.9630922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.502441E-7 | 6.502441E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7867577E-6 | 2.7867577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.392831E-5 | 3.392831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3923736E-4 | 3.3923736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.63348E-7 | 5.63348E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.4143467E-6 | 2.4143467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9394332E-5 | 2.9394332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9391013E-4 | 2.9391013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.1149195E-7 | 4.1149195E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.763536E-6 | 1.763536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1470878E-5 | 2.1470878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.146919E-4 | 2.146919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5225628E-7 | 3.5225628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5096691E-6 | 1.5096691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8380102E-5 | 1.8380102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8378932E-4 | 1.8378932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.1224648E-8 | 3.1224648E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3381991E-7 | 1.3381991E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6292563E-6 | 1.6292563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.629245E-5 | 1.629245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5972645E-8 | 1.5972645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.845419E-8 | 6.845419E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.3342945E-7 | 8.3342945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.334267E-6 | 8.334267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.88022E-9 | 4.88022E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0915227E-8 | 2.0915227E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5464288E-7 | 2.5464288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.546427E-6 | 2.546427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.51339E-5 | 3.51339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5056519E-4 | 1.5056519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018315917 | 0.0018315917 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018879099 | 0.018903999 | 0.018953053 | 1.002595 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.51339E-5 | 3.51339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5056519E-4 | 1.5056519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018315917 | 0.0018315917 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018879099 | 0.018903999 | 0.018953053 | 1.002595 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.51339E-5 | 3.51339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5056519E-4 | 1.5056519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018315917 | 0.0018315917 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018879099 | 0.018903999 | 0.018953053 | 1.002595 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.51339E-5 | 3.51339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.5056519E-4 | 1.5056519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018315917 | 0.0018315917 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018879099 | 0.018903999 | 0.018953053 | 1.002595 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.5055313E-5 | 3.5055313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.5022841E-4 | 1.5022841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0018274988 | 0.0018274988 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018849645 | 0.01886381 | 0.018912869 | 1.0026006 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.5055313E-5 | 3.5055313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.5022841E-4 | 1.5022841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0018274988 | 0.0018274988 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018849645 | 0.01886381 | 0.018912869 | 1.0026006 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.5018624E-5 | 3.5018624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.500712E-4 | 1.500712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018997455 | 0.001825588 | 0.001825588 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018835869 | 0.018845048 | 0.018894106 | 1.0026032 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.5004166E-5 | 3.5004166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.5000925E-4 | 1.5000925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0018248352 | 0.0018248352 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018830549 | 0.018837659 | 0.018886717 | 1.0026042 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.497315E-5 | 3.497315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4987633E-4 | 1.4987633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0018232197 | 0.0018232197 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018819023 | 0.018821783 | 0.018870842 | 1.0026065 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4933484E-5 | 3.4933484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4970635E-4 | 1.4970635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0018211537 | 0.0018211537 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018804269 | 0.018801479 | 0.018850539 | 1.0026094 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.481523E-5 | 3.481523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4919961E-4 | 1.4919961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0018149945 | 0.0018149945 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018760284 | 0.018740946 | 0.018790009 | 1.002618 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.4771438E-5 | 3.4771438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4901195E-4 | 1.4901195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001890278 | 0.0018127136 | 0.0018127136 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018742796 | 0.018718516 | 0.01876758 | 1.0026212 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.470543E-5 | 3.470543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4872909E-4 | 1.4872909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001887647 | 0.0018092755 | 0.0018092755 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01871693 | 0.0186847 | 0.018733766 | 1.002626 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.4593057E-5 | 3.4593057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4824755E-4 | 1.4824755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0018034225 | 0.0018034225 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018670462 | 0.018626943 | 0.01867601 | 1.0026343 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.4540215E-5 | 3.4540215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.480211E-4 | 1.480211E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018807866 | 0.00180067 | 0.00180067 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018649481 | 0.018599775 | 0.018648844 | 1.0026382 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.434798E-5 | 3.434798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4719734E-4 | 1.4719734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017906572 | 0.0017906572 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018535944 | 0.018499874 | 0.018548949 | 1.0026528 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.2852335E-5 | 3.2852335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.4078812E-4 | 1.4078812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001713488 | 0.0017127498 | 0.0017127498 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017003361 | 0.01771009 | 0.017759204 | 1.0027733 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9930652E-5 | 2.9930652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2826793E-4 | 1.2826793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015605444 | 0.0015605444 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014957713 | 0.01618976 | 0.01623895 | 1.0030384 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.7193484E-5 | 2.7193484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.165383E-4 | 1.165383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0014179313 | 0.0014179313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012934455 | 0.014757281 | 0.0148065435 | 1.0033381 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.2100641E-5 | 2.2100641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.47136E-5 | 9.47136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011525289 | 0.0011525289 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010320415 | 0.012085943 | 0.012125459 | 1.0032697 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.6415035E-5 | 1.6415035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6996516E-5 | 7.034826E-5 | 7.034826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.561542E-4 | 8.561542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00812392 | 0.009062114 | 0.009101752 | 1.004374 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.580945E-6 | 8.580945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.6774964E-5 | 3.6774964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.4764375E-4 | 4.4764375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052278144 | 0.004809152 | 0.0048390077 | 1.0062081 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.6467884E-6 | 1.6467884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 7.0576457E-6 | 7.0576457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.592348E-5 | 8.592348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.946977E-4 | 9.946977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.832211E-7 | 3.832211E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.6423752E-6 | 1.6423752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.999574E-5 | 1.999574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.4025669E-4 | 2.4025669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2875589E-5 | 1.2875589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5180055E-5 | 6.5179505E-5 | 1.1812149 | 1.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.7163224E-4 | 6.816255E-4 | 1.0148791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0067004054 | 0.0067500705 | 1.0074122 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2875589E-5 | 1.2875589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5180055E-5 | 6.5179505E-5 | 1.1812149 | 1.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.7163224E-4 | 6.816255E-4 | 1.0148791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0067004054 | 0.0067500705 | 1.0074122 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2875589E-5 | 1.2875589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5180055E-5 | 6.5179505E-5 | 1.1812149 | 1.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.7163224E-4 | 6.816255E-4 | 1.0148791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0067004054 | 0.0067500705 | 1.0074122 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.169799E-6 | 8.169799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.5012974E-5 | 4.5012624E-5 | 1.2855984 | 1.0E-5 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.2620278E-4 | 4.3619852E-4 | 1.023453 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.004256367 | 0.0042961966 | 1.0093577 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.154086E-6 | 8.154086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.494563E-5 | 4.4945282E-5 | 1.2861488 | 1.0E-5 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2538324E-4 | 4.3537898E-4 | 1.0234982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.004248203 | 0.004288033 | 1.0093757 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.4789014E-6 | 7.4789014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.2052056E-5 | 4.2051735E-5 | 1.3119825 | 1.0E-5 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.901667E-4 | 4.001628E-4 | 1.0256201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025153751 | 0.003897288 | 0.003937132 | 1.0102235 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.938654E-6 | 6.938654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.9736764E-5 | 3.9736467E-5 | 1.336274 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.6198742E-4 | 3.719838E-4 | 1.0276153 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0036164166 | 0.0036562718 | 1.0110207 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 6.0485922E-6 | 6.0485922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.5922289E-5 | 3.5922032E-5 | 1.3857584 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.155597E-4 | 3.2555655E-4 | 1.0316797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0031534638 | 0.003183369 | 1.0094833 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.753857E-6 | 5.753857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.465916E-5 | 3.4658915E-5 | 1.4055188 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8089297E-4 | 3.0018538E-4 | 3.101824E-4 | 1.0333028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0030001376 | 0.0030200777 | 1.0066464 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.872943E-6 | 4.872943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0883877E-5 | 2.0883877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5423232E-4 | 2.5423232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014436257 | 0.0025416845 | 0.0025516592 | 1.0039244 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 4.028401E-6 | 4.028401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.7264463E-5 | 1.7264463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.1017512E-4 | 2.1017512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011197845 | 0.002101972 | 0.002101972 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3843478E-6 | 3.3843478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.45042695E-5 | 1.45042695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7657553E-4 | 1.7657553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017665284 | 0.0017665284 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.8317713E-6 | 2.8317713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.2136107E-5 | 1.2136107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4774733E-4 | 1.4774733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014786486 | 0.0014786486 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.6455446E-6 | 2.6455446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1338E-5 | 1.1338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3803162E-4 | 1.3803162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.0013814388 | 0.0013814388 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.5171964E-6 | 2.5171964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.0787941E-5 | 1.0787941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.3133549E-4 | 1.3133549E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0013143506 | 0.0013143506 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.439853E-6 | 2.439853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.0456472E-5 | 1.0456472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2730033E-4 | 1.2730033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012738534 | 0.0012738534 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.0737557E-6 | 2.0737557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.887495E-6 | 8.887495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.0820005E-4 | 1.0820005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010832181 | 0.0010832181 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1810853E-6 | 1.1810853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 5.0617846E-6 | 5.0617846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.162553E-5 | 6.162553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.1899587E-4 | 6.1899587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.637962E-7 | 2.637962E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1305547E-6 | 1.1305547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3764421E-5 | 1.3764421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3872853E-4 | 1.3872853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.223209E-8 | 4.223209E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.8099468E-7 | 1.8099468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.2036081E-6 | 2.2036081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.23662E-5 | 2.23662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1044014E-5 | 1.1044014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.733093E-5 | 4.733093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.761544E-4 | 5.9614284E-4 | 1.0346929 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005751775 | 0.005791545 | 1.0069144 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1044014E-5 | 1.1044014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.733093E-5 | 4.733093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.761544E-4 | 5.9614284E-4 | 1.0346929 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005751775 | 0.005791545 | 1.0069144 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2088773E-6 | 2.2088773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.466607E-6 | 9.466607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15254035E-4 | 1.15254035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011523543 | 0.0011623428 | 1.008668 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2088773E-6 | 2.2088773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.466607E-6 | 9.466607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15254035E-4 | 1.15254035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011523543 | 0.0011623428 | 1.008668 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.81143E-6 | 1.81143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.763271E-6 | 7.763271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.4517825E-5 | 9.4517825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.4517827E-4 | 9.4517827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6000336E-5 | 3.6000336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5427801E-4 | 1.5427801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018767178 | 0.0018767178 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020996714 | 0.019363467 | 0.019412497 | 1.0025321 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6000336E-5 | 3.6000336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5427801E-4 | 1.5427801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018767178 | 0.0018767178 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020996714 | 0.019363467 | 0.019412497 | 1.0025321 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6000336E-5 | 3.6000336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5427801E-4 | 1.5427801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018767178 | 0.0018767178 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020996714 | 0.019363467 | 0.019412497 | 1.0025321 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.6000336E-5 | 3.6000336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5427801E-4 | 1.5427801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018767178 | 0.0018767178 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020996714 | 0.019363467 | 0.019412497 | 1.0025321 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5871948E-5 | 3.5871948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5372787E-4 | 1.5372787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018700326 | 0.0018700326 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020950472 | 0.019297913 | 0.019346949 | 1.002541 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5871948E-5 | 3.5871948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5372787E-4 | 1.5372787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018700326 | 0.0018700326 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020950472 | 0.019297913 | 0.019346949 | 1.002541 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.5817164E-5 | 3.5817164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5349312E-4 | 1.5349312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018671799 | 0.0018671799 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020930743 | 0.01926994 | 0.019318976 | 1.0025448 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.5786168E-5 | 3.5786168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5336029E-4 | 1.5336029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018655658 | 0.0018655658 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020919468 | 0.019254107 | 0.019303145 | 1.0025469 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.575755E-5 | 3.575755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5323768E-4 | 1.5323768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018640754 | 0.0018640754 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020908125 | 0.019239435 | 0.019288473 | 1.0025488 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.5719942E-5 | 3.5719942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.5307651E-4 | 1.5307651E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018621166 | 0.0018621166 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020892553 | 0.019220129 | 0.019269167 | 1.0025514 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.5599936E-5 | 3.5599936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.5256225E-4 | 1.5256225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018558663 | 0.0018558663 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02084144 | 0.019158468 | 0.01920751 | 1.0025598 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.55783E-5 | 3.55783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.5246954E-4 | 1.5246954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018547395 | 0.0018547395 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020830948 | 0.019147301 | 0.019196343 | 1.0025613 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.5482397E-5 | 3.5482397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.5205858E-4 | 1.5205858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018497445 | 0.0018497445 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020787042 | 0.019097852 | 0.019146897 | 1.0025681 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.5307283E-5 | 3.5307283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.5130818E-4 | 1.5130818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018406239 | 0.0018406239 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020625217 | 0.019005055 | 0.019054104 | 1.0025809 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.5191268E-5 | 3.5191268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.5081101E-4 | 1.5081101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0018345811 | 0.0018345811 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020513052 | 0.01894346 | 0.018992513 | 1.0025895 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.424496E-5 | 3.424496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4675588E-4 | 1.4675588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017852915 | 0.0017852915 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019140124 | 0.01843791 | 0.018486988 | 1.0026618 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.199818E-5 | 3.199818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3712786E-4 | 1.3712786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016682555 | 0.0016682555 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01704153 | 0.017256826 | 0.017305965 | 1.0028474 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.8546441E-5 | 2.8546441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.2233616E-4 | 1.2233616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014884262 | 0.0014884262 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014625421 | 0.015459215 | 0.015508442 | 1.0031843 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5842402E-5 | 2.5842402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.1074846E-4 | 1.1074846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013475294 | 0.0013475294 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012614589 | 0.014042899 | 0.014092197 | 1.0035105 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.0988236E-5 | 2.0988236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.9946494E-5 | 8.9946494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010945492 | 0.0010945492 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011495715 | 0.011535255 | 1.0034395 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.636212E-5 | 1.636212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6782646E-5 | 7.012149E-5 | 7.012149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.533955E-4 | 8.533955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008098091 | 0.009032352 | 0.009071991 | 1.0043886 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.571017E-6 | 8.571017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.6732417E-5 | 3.6732417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.4712596E-4 | 4.4712596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052172043 | 0.004803151 | 0.0048330068 | 1.0062159 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.6419591E-6 | 1.6419591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 7.036949E-6 | 7.036949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.567151E-5 | 8.567151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.917144E-4 | 9.917144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.829212E-7 | 3.829212E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.6410897E-6 | 1.6410897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.998009E-5 | 1.998009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.4007849E-4 | 2.4007849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5080431E-5 | 2.5080431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0748354E-4 | 1.0748354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013078987 | 0.0013078987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00870863 | 0.01311382 | 0.013153295 | 1.0030103 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5080431E-5 | 2.5080431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0748354E-4 | 1.0748354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013078987 | 0.0013078987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00870863 | 0.01311382 | 0.013153295 | 1.0030103 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5080431E-5 | 2.5080431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0748354E-4 | 1.0748354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013078987 | 0.0013078987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00870863 | 0.01311382 | 0.013153295 | 1.0030103 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5080431E-5 | 2.5080431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0748354E-4 | 1.0748354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013078987 | 0.0013078987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00870863 | 0.01311382 | 0.013153295 | 1.0030103 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5080431E-5 | 2.5080431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0748354E-4 | 1.0748354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013078987 | 0.0013078987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00870863 | 0.01311382 | 0.013153295 | 1.0030103 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.5080431E-5 | 2.5080431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0748354E-4 | 1.0748354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0013078987 | 0.0013078987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00870863 | 0.01311382 | 0.013153295 | 1.0030103 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7526452E-5 | 1.7526452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.5111224E-5 | 7.5111224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.140992E-4 | 9.140992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051576863 | 0.00920879 | 0.009228606 | 1.0021518 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7526452E-5 | 1.7526452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.5111224E-5 | 7.5111224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.140992E-4 | 9.140992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051576863 | 0.00920879 | 0.009228606 | 1.0021518 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5785185E-5 | 1.5785185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.7649045E-5 | 6.7649045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.233174E-4 | 8.233174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004321559 | 0.008307917 | 0.008317834 | 1.0011936 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.565626E-5 | 1.565626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.709654E-5 | 6.709654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.165956E-4 | 8.165956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042607468 | 0.0082412 | 0.008251118 | 1.0012034 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4439377E-5 | 1.4439377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.188158E-5 | 6.188158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.5314834E-4 | 7.5314834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037367654 | 0.007610571 | 0.007610571 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4429705E-5 | 1.4429705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.184013E-5 | 6.184013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.5264403E-4 | 7.5264403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0076055625 | 0.0076055625 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.4275985E-5 | 1.4275985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 6.118136E-5 | 6.118136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.4462907E-4 | 7.4462907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0075258124 | 0.0075258124 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.4218853E-5 | 1.4218853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 6.093652E-5 | 6.093652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.416501E-4 | 7.416501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0074960175 | 0.0074960175 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.4178084E-5 | 1.4178084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 6.0761802E-5 | 6.0761802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.395244E-4 | 7.395244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036391679 | 0.007474786 | 0.007474786 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.4134736E-5 | 1.4134736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 6.0576036E-5 | 6.0576036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.372642E-4 | 7.372642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0074522877 | 0.0074522877 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.4093381E-5 | 1.4093381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 6.039881E-5 | 6.039881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.351079E-4 | 7.351079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036078666 | 0.007430805 | 0.007430805 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.2959463E-5 | 1.2959463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.5539374E-5 | 5.5539374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.759824E-4 | 6.759824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033317201 | 0.006843008 | 0.006843008 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.18019325E-5 | 1.18019325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 5.0578732E-5 | 5.0578732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.156223E-4 | 6.156223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0062358044 | 0.0062358044 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.2753314E-6 | 7.2753314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.117962E-5 | 3.117962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.795459E-4 | 3.795459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0038495164 | 0.0038495164 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.3234804E-6 | 1.3234804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.6720464E-6 | 5.6720464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.905499E-5 | 6.905499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 7.1289483E-4 | 7.1289483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1660609E-7 | 1.1660609E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.997403E-7 | 4.997403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 6.0843213E-6 | 6.0843213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.791743E-5 | 6.791743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.5999989E-9 | 2.5999989E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.1142852E-8 | 1.1142852E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.3566421E-7 | 1.3566421E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.5384724E-6 | 1.5384724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.543992E-5 | 2.8320976E-5 | 2.8320976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5187653E-4 | 1.2137003E-4 | 1.2137003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018475284 | 0.001476691 | 0.001476691 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018322436 | 0.015073451 | 0.015112849 | 1.0026137 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.542281E-5 | 2.8320976E-5 | 2.8320976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5180321E-4 | 1.2137003E-4 | 1.2137003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018466372 | 0.0014766909 | 0.0014766909 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018313672 | 0.015073451 | 0.015112849 | 1.0026137 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4688688E-5 | 2.8320976E-5 | 2.8320976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4865733E-4 | 1.2137003E-4 | 1.2137003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018084005 | 0.0014766909 | 0.0014766909 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017937548 | 0.015073451 | 0.015112848 | 1.0026137 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2087122E-5 | 2.8166129E-5 | 2.8166129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3750899E-4 | 1.2070646E-4 | 1.2070646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016728862 | 0.0014686228 | 0.0014686228 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016603488 | 0.014994527 | 0.015033928 | 1.0026276 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 2.8133032E-5 | 2.8133032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.364017E-4 | 1.2056464E-4 | 1.2056464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0014668985 | 0.0014668985 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016470885 | 0.014977689 | 0.015017089 | 1.0026306 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 2.7871898E-5 | 2.7871898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526545E-4 | 1.1944559E-4 | 1.1944559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0014532923 | 0.0014532923 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0163348 | 0.014844711 | 0.014884117 | 1.0026546 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 2.771548E-5 | 2.771548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3485427E-4 | 1.1877529E-4 | 1.1877529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0014451422 | 0.0014451422 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016285548 | 0.014764765 | 0.014804174 | 1.0026691 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 2.7332791E-5 | 2.7332791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3380898E-4 | 1.1713534E-4 | 1.1713534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016279068 | 0.0014252021 | 0.0014252021 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01616033 | 0.014568986 | 0.014608404 | 1.0027056 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 2.7153033E-5 | 2.7153033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3291716E-4 | 1.16365016E-4 | 1.16365016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001617065 | 0.0014158356 | 0.0014158356 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016053487 | 0.014475902 | 0.014515323 | 1.0027232 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 2.2553833E-5 | 2.2553833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1417485E-4 | 9.665573E-5 | 9.665573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013891924 | 0.0011761521 | 0.0011761521 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0138054015 | 0.012075041 | 0.012114558 | 1.0032727 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 2.0836642E-5 | 2.0836642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.02228936E-4 | 8.929685E-5 | 8.929685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012439266 | 0.0010866496 | 0.0010866496 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012369866 | 0.011169355 | 0.011208909 | 1.0035412 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 2.0672787E-5 | 2.0672787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0145135E-4 | 8.8594665E-5 | 8.8594665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012344702 | 0.0010781089 | 0.0010781089 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0122763505 | 0.011084393 | 0.01112395 | 1.0035686 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.9897485E-5 | 1.9897485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.735599E-5 | 8.5272164E-5 | 8.5272164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011846646 | 0.0010376965 | 0.0010376965 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01178369 | 0.010680607 | 0.010720179 | 1.0037051 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.8734696E-5 | 1.8734696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.006634E-5 | 8.02891E-5 | 8.02891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001096006 | 9.770835E-4 | 9.770835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010906163 | 0.0100740865 | 0.0101136835 | 1.0039306 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.8536293E-5 | 1.8536293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.86411E-5 | 7.9438854E-5 | 7.9438854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001078671 | 9.66741E-4 | 9.66741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010734501 | 0.009970341 | 0.010009943 | 1.0039719 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.8128343E-5 | 1.8128343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.568561E-5 | 7.7690594E-5 | 7.7690594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001042723 | 9.454746E-4 | 9.454746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010378438 | 0.009755764 | 0.009795374 | 1.0040601 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 1.6768628E-5 | 1.6768628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.666772E-5 | 7.186358E-5 | 7.186358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3302975E-4 | 8.7458966E-4 | 8.7458966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00929122 | 0.009041017 | 0.009080655 | 1.0043843 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 1.456055E-5 | 1.456055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4823165E-5 | 6.240087E-5 | 6.240087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.889362E-4 | 7.594666E-4 | 7.594666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007861412 | 0.007883663 | 0.007923348 | 1.0050337 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 1.2940466E-5 | 1.2940466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3574146E-5 | 5.5457964E-5 | 5.5457964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5207E-4 | 6.749922E-4 | 6.749922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006501599 | 0.0070306947 | 0.0070704133 | 1.0056493 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 1.0025306E-5 | 1.0025306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0975072E-5 | 4.2964894E-5 | 4.2964894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.987573E-4 | 5.2297267E-4 | 5.2297267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049763937 | 0.005495086 | 0.005524921 | 1.0054294 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 8.538954E-6 | 8.538954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4358076E-5 | 3.6595007E-5 | 3.6595007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1822926E-4 | 4.4545368E-4 | 4.4545368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041744304 | 0.004702998 | 0.0047328565 | 1.006349 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 6.660794E-6 | 6.660794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8036617E-5 | 2.854595E-5 | 2.854595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4129233E-4 | 3.4749205E-4 | 3.4749205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0036859685 | 0.0037158579 | 1.008109 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 8.352178E-7 | 8.352178E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 3.5795001E-6 | 3.5795001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 4.3579566E-5 | 4.3579566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 4.926463E-4 | 4.926463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 5.1926467E-8 | 5.1926467E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 2.2254198E-7 | 2.2254198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 2.7094459E-6 | 2.7094459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 3.1393472E-5 | 3.1393472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2952923E-4 | 3.2952923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014115085 | 0.0014115085 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062038354 | 0.01705106 | 0.01705106 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.060334753 | 0.1535168 | 0.15355065 | 1.0002205 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2952923E-4 | 3.2952923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014115085 | 0.0014115085 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062038354 | 0.01705106 | 0.01705106 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.060334753 | 0.1535168 | 0.15355065 | 1.0002205 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.045225E-4 | 3.045225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0013044477 | 0.0013044477 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005590286 | 0.015767116 | 0.015767116 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05451731 | 0.14268851 | 0.1427228 | 1.0002403 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0397542E-4 | 3.0397542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0013021055 | 0.0013021055 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005577586 | 0.015739013 | 0.015739013 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.054396555 | 0.14245696 | 0.14249127 | 1.0002408 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9605316E-4 | 2.9605316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012681864 | 0.0012681864 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053892885 | 0.01533193 | 0.01533193 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.052604496 | 0.1390176 | 0.13905203 | 1.0002477 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9324644E-4 | 2.9324644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.001256169 | 0.001256169 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053228354 | 0.01518767 | 0.01518767 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.051971316 | 0.13780306 | 0.13783756 | 1.0002502 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.9090297E-4 | 2.9090297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012461353 | 0.0012461353 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052651367 | 0.015067203 | 0.015067203 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.051421247 | 0.13678193 | 0.13681646 | 1.0002525 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8948794E-4 | 2.8948794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012400767 | 0.0012400767 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005230834 | 0.014994457 | 0.014994457 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.051094085 | 0.13616689 | 0.13620144 | 1.0002538 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.875194E-4 | 2.875194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.001231648 | 0.001231648 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014893246 | 0.014893246 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.050728295 | 0.13531743 | 0.13535202 | 1.0002556 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8247078E-4 | 2.8247078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012100314 | 0.0012100314 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014633629 | 0.014633629 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.049738888 | 0.13314123 | 0.13317591 | 1.0002605 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4968365E-4 | 2.4968365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010696371 | 0.0010696371 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012945859 | 0.012945859 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04338823 | 0.118968055 | 0.119003296 | 1.0002962 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4568546E-4 | 2.4568546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.001052516 | 0.001052516 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004331963 | 0.012739866 | 0.012739866 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.042484846 | 0.117179796 | 0.11721511 | 1.0003014 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.26103E-4 | 2.26103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.686561E-4 | 9.686561E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011730317 | 0.011730317 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03870018 | 0.108567335 | 0.10860299 | 1.0003284 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.0918222E-4 | 2.0918222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.961902E-4 | 8.961902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010857164 | 0.010857164 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03628465 | 0.10106385 | 0.101099804 | 1.0003558 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4423094E-4 | 1.4423094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.1798707E-4 | 6.1798707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026816884 | 0.007498228 | 0.007498228 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02649557 | 0.07150075 | 0.07153789 | 1.0005194 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.1068844E-4 | 1.1068844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.742931E-4 | 4.742931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002099857 | 0.0057593 | 0.0057593 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020801254 | 0.05557792 | 0.05560625 | 1.0005097 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.551573E-5 | 8.551573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.664446E-4 | 3.664446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016250437 | 0.0044523636 | 0.0044523636 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016132116 | 0.043317717 | 0.04333685 | 1.0004417 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.337969E-5 | 6.337969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.7159898E-4 | 2.7159898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001152546 | 0.0033017104 | 0.0033017104 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011465867 | 0.032350782 | 0.032370135 | 1.0005982 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.268044E-5 | 5.268044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.257538E-4 | 2.257538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.002745091 | 0.002745091 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009081938 | 0.027043264 | 0.027062723 | 1.0007195 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8948412E-5 | 3.8948412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.669111E-4 | 1.669111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0020302497 | 0.0020302497 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072614877 | 0.02024479 | 0.020264387 | 1.0009679 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1689597E-5 | 3.1689597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3580549E-4 | 1.3580549E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016521788 | 0.0016521788 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006183513 | 0.016570074 | 0.016589744 | 1.001187 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 9.229614E-6 | 9.229614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.955489E-5 | 3.955489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.814745E-4 | 4.814745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.005045174 | 0.005045174 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.8884815E-6 | 2.8884815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.2379148E-5 | 1.2379148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.5070573E-4 | 1.5070573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0016500821 | 0.0016500821 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 6.091777E-8 | 6.091777E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.6107614E-7 | 2.6107614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.1785976E-6 | 3.1785976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.3378452E-5 | 3.3378452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9792354E-6 | 6.9792354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9910867E-5 | 2.9910867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6413982E-4 | 3.741362E-4 | 1.027452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389497 | 0.0036788043 | 1.0109522 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9792354E-6 | 6.9792354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9910867E-5 | 2.9910867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6413982E-4 | 3.741362E-4 | 1.027452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389497 | 0.0036788043 | 1.0109522 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9792354E-6 | 6.9792354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9910867E-5 | 2.9910867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6413982E-4 | 3.741362E-4 | 1.027452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389497 | 0.0036788043 | 1.0109522 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9792354E-6 | 6.9792354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9910867E-5 | 2.9910867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6413982E-4 | 3.741362E-4 | 1.027452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389497 | 0.0036788043 | 1.0109522 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9792354E-6 | 6.9792354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9910867E-5 | 2.9910867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6413982E-4 | 3.741362E-4 | 1.027452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389497 | 0.0036788043 | 1.0109522 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9792354E-6 | 6.9792354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9910867E-5 | 2.9910867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6413982E-4 | 3.741362E-4 | 1.027452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036389497 | 0.0036788043 | 1.0109522 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6161708E-6 | 1.6161708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9264283E-6 | 6.9264283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.4326035E-5 | 9.4325194E-5 | 1.1185774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013833415 | 8.4294385E-4 | 8.829101E-4 | 1.0474128 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5514921E-6 | 1.5514921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.6492353E-6 | 6.6492353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.095146E-5 | 9.0950656E-5 | 1.1235209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013506424 | 8.0922275E-4 | 8.4919034E-4 | 1.0493902 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5482866E-6 | 1.5482866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.6354974E-6 | 6.6354974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.0784215E-5 | 9.0783404E-5 | 1.1237766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013481114 | 8.0755143E-4 | 8.4751914E-4 | 1.0494925 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.423333E-6 | 1.423333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.099984E-6 | 6.099984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.42648E-5 | 8.426405E-5 | 1.1346433 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012818627 | 7.4240175E-4 | 7.823721E-4 | 1.0538392 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.400283E-6 | 1.400283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 6.0011994E-6 | 6.0011994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.306217E-5 | 8.306144E-5 | 1.1368598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012692984 | 7.3038344E-4 | 7.703542E-4 | 1.0547258 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3351965E-6 | 1.3351965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.7222583E-6 | 5.7222583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.966628E-5 | 7.966559E-5 | 1.1435314 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012333926 | 6.9644616E-4 | 7.364183E-4 | 1.0573945 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2514579E-6 | 1.2514579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.36338E-6 | 5.36338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.529721E-5 | 7.529656E-5 | 1.1531359 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011848784 | 6.5278175E-4 | 6.927556E-4 | 1.0612363 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1431016E-6 | 1.1431016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.8989978E-6 | 4.8989978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9643673E-5 | 6.964308E-5 | 1.1676524 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001115068 | 5.962779E-4 | 6.3625403E-4 | 1.0670428 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.585891E-7 | 9.585891E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.1082326E-6 | 4.1082326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9385186E-5 | 5.001659E-5 | 6.001609E-5 | 1.1999236 | 1.0E-5 | 9.934074E-4 | 5.0005404E-4 | 5.4003403E-4 | 1.0799514 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.569017E-7 | 7.569017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2438604E-6 | 3.2438604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.949329E-5 | 4.9492897E-5 | 1.2531976 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.948632E-4 | 4.348474E-4 | 1.1012609 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6660182E-7 | 4.6660182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9997206E-6 | 1.9997206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.434633E-5 | 2.434633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4343688E-4 | 2.5343444E-4 | 1.0410684 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5612132E-7 | 1.5612132E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.690912E-7 | 6.690912E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.146156E-6 | 8.146156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.145869E-5 | 8.145869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3665449E-5 | 2.3665449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0141966E-4 | 1.0141966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012341291 | 0.0012341291 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011624013 | 0.01227727 | 0.012316778 | 1.003218 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3665449E-5 | 2.3665449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0141966E-4 | 1.0141966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012341291 | 0.0012341291 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011624013 | 0.01227727 | 0.012316778 | 1.003218 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.13694905E-5 | 1.13694905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8725502E-5 | 4.8725502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.930755E-4 | 5.930755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059153466 | 0.0059352284 | 1.003361 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.13694905E-5 | 1.13694905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8725502E-5 | 4.8725502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.930755E-4 | 5.930755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059153466 | 0.0059352284 | 1.003361 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.240501E-6 | 8.240501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.5315963E-5 | 3.5315963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2988843E-4 | 4.2988843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040691774 | 0.004290715 | 0.004300672 | 1.0023206 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.853227E-6 | 6.853227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9370647E-5 | 2.9370647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5752988E-4 | 3.5752988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003385164 | 0.003569643 | 0.0035796072 | 1.0027914 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.887996E-6 | 5.887996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5234029E-5 | 2.5234029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.071817E-4 | 3.071817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030676443 | 0.0030676443 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9420946E-6 | 4.9420946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1180236E-5 | 2.1180236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5783942E-4 | 2.5783942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025754592 | 0.0025754592 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7532857E-6 | 3.7532857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6085414E-5 | 1.6085414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9582272E-4 | 1.9582272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019565427 | 0.0019565427 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6719083E-6 | 2.6719083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1450987E-5 | 1.1450987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3940713E-4 | 1.3940713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013932243 | 0.0013932243 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8025571E-6 | 1.8025571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.7252225E-6 | 7.7252225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.4050694E-5 | 9.4050694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.4012544E-4 | 9.4012544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1501497E-6 | 1.1501497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9292044E-6 | 4.9292044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 6.001151E-5 | 6.001151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9996283E-4 | 5.9996283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.389373E-7 | 6.389373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7383003E-6 | 2.7383003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3338365E-5 | 3.3338365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.333405E-4 | 3.333405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7640664E-5 | 4.7640664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0415922E-4 | 2.0415922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.00248297 | 0.00248297 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024569921 | 0.024608938 | 1.001588 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7640664E-5 | 4.7640664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0415922E-4 | 2.0415922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.00248297 | 0.00248297 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024569921 | 0.024608938 | 1.001588 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7640664E-5 | 4.7640664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0415922E-4 | 2.0415922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.00248297 | 0.00248297 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024569921 | 0.024608938 | 1.001588 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7640664E-5 | 4.7640664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0415922E-4 | 2.0415922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.00248297 | 0.00248297 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024569921 | 0.024608938 | 1.001588 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7640664E-5 | 4.7640664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0415922E-4 | 2.0415922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.00248297 | 0.00248297 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021580452 | 0.024569921 | 0.024608938 | 1.001588 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5395875E-5 | 3.5395875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.516883E-4 | 1.516883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.001845333 | 0.001845333 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632528 | 0.018309766 | 0.018349033 | 1.0021446 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5385245E-5 | 3.5385245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5164276E-4 | 1.5164276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018447795 | 0.0018447795 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632056 | 0.018304322 | 0.018343588 | 1.0021453 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1500957E-5 | 3.1500957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.349976E-4 | 1.349976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016424418 | 0.0016424418 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014641452 | 0.016311813 | 0.01635116 | 1.0024122 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1438787E-5 | 3.1438787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3473119E-4 | 1.3473119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016392032 | 0.0016392032 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014613459 | 0.0162799 | 0.01631925 | 1.002417 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6733294E-5 | 2.6733294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1456666E-4 | 1.1456666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013940327 | 0.0013940327 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012562336 | 0.013860585 | 0.013900031 | 1.0028459 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5861142E-5 | 2.5861142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.1082918E-4 | 1.1082918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013485858 | 0.0013485858 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012179627 | 0.013411672 | 0.013451136 | 1.0029424 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4486751E-5 | 2.4486751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.0493942E-4 | 1.0493942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012769636 | 0.0012769636 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01157452 | 0.012703793 | 0.012743285 | 1.0031086 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.768685E-5 | 1.768685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.579894E-5 | 7.579894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.22525E-4 | 9.22525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008590161 | 0.009193246 | 0.009232878 | 1.004311 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5574002E-5 | 1.5574002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.674436E-5 | 6.674436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.123714E-4 | 8.123714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076425658 | 0.0081001045 | 0.008129862 | 1.0036737 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.532699E-6 | 5.532699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3711355E-5 | 2.3711355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.8864804E-4 | 2.8864804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028827856 | 0.0028827856 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.3422273E-6 | 5.3422273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2895061E-5 | 2.2895061E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.7871225E-4 | 2.7871225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.002783681 | 0.002783681 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3185073E-6 | 4.3185073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8507759E-5 | 1.8507759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.25309E-4 | 2.25309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022508404 | 0.0022508404 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8550444E-6 | 2.8550444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2235848E-5 | 1.2235848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4896152E-4 | 1.4896152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014886431 | 0.0014886431 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0130931E-6 | 1.0130931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.3418204E-6 | 4.3418204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.286041E-5 | 5.286041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.2848127E-4 | 5.2848127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8626635E-7 | 1.8626635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.9828413E-7 | 7.9828413E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.719069E-6 | 9.719069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.718673E-5 | 9.718673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4564028E-5 | 2.4564028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0527017E-4 | 1.0527017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012809134 | 0.0012809134 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.013146137 | 0.013185611 | 1.0030028 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4564028E-5 | 2.4564028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0527017E-4 | 1.0527017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012809134 | 0.0012809134 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.013146137 | 0.013185611 | 1.0030028 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4564028E-5 | 2.4564028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0527017E-4 | 1.0527017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012809134 | 0.0012809134 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.013146137 | 0.013185611 | 1.0030028 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4564028E-5 | 2.4564028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0527017E-4 | 1.0527017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012809134 | 0.0012809134 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.013146137 | 0.013185611 | 1.0030028 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4564028E-5 | 2.4564028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0527017E-4 | 1.0527017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012809134 | 0.0012809134 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.013146137 | 0.013185611 | 1.0030028 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4449937E-5 | 2.4449937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.04781255E-4 | 1.04781255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012749678 | 0.0012749678 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014134934 | 0.013087391 | 0.013126868 | 1.0030164 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4449937E-5 | 2.4449937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.04781255E-4 | 1.04781255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012749678 | 0.0012749678 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014134934 | 0.013087391 | 0.013126868 | 1.0030164 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.4374945E-5 | 2.4374945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.0445989E-4 | 1.0445989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012710599 | 0.0012710599 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014100855 | 0.013048754 | 0.013088232 | 1.0030254 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.4291938E-5 | 2.4291938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0410417E-4 | 1.0410417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001411945 | 0.001266734 | 0.001266734 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014030075 | 0.013005794 | 0.013045274 | 1.0030355 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.4211218E-5 | 2.4211218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0375825E-4 | 1.0375825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012625273 | 0.0012625273 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013980856 | 0.012963957 | 0.013003439 | 1.0030454 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3787365E-5 | 2.3787365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.01941885E-4 | 1.01941885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012404384 | 0.0012404384 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012744929 | 0.01278442 | 1.0030985 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3613005E-5 | 2.3613005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1252879E-4 | 1.0119468E-4 | 1.0119468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012313515 | 0.0012313515 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013607717 | 0.012654632 | 0.012694127 | 1.0031209 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2804943E-5 | 2.2804943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.773182E-5 | 9.773182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011892378 | 0.0011892378 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013099162 | 0.012234465 | 0.012273976 | 1.0032295 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1531598E-5 | 2.1531598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.227502E-5 | 9.227502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001220092 | 0.0011228715 | 0.0011228715 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012134149 | 0.01157084 | 0.011610378 | 1.003417 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.1260612E-5 | 2.1260612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.841056E-5 | 9.111374E-5 | 9.111374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0011087473 | 0.0011087473 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011910575 | 0.011429275 | 0.0114688175 | 1.0034598 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.0779697E-5 | 2.0779697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.905281E-5 | 8.905281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571277 | 0.0010836808 | 0.0010836808 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511209 | 0.011176956 | 0.011216509 | 1.0035388 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.935282E-5 | 1.935282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.293803E-5 | 8.293803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001043725 | 0.0010093045 | 0.0010093045 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010388365 | 0.010428271 | 0.010467853 | 1.0037957 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.712389E-5 | 1.712389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.3386036E-5 | 7.3386036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.931096E-4 | 8.931096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008950562 | 0.009261711 | 0.00930134 | 1.0042789 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.5356285E-5 | 1.5356285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.581099E-5 | 6.581099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.552038E-4 | 8.0095493E-4 | 8.0095493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008332811 | 0.008372478 | 1.0047603 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1964545E-5 | 1.1964545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7632562E-5 | 5.1275616E-5 | 5.1275616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.241024E-4 | 6.241024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0065482627 | 0.0065780664 | 1.0045514 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 1.01882115E-5 | 1.01882115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.3663036E-5 | 4.3663036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.3146837E-4 | 5.3146837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048551033 | 0.0056021647 | 0.005631997 | 1.0053251 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 7.039587E-6 | 7.039587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 3.0169314E-5 | 3.0169314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.6725003E-4 | 3.6725003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003658111 | 0.003900188 | 0.003930071 | 1.0076619 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 9.427716E-7 | 9.427716E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 4.0404434E-6 | 4.0404434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.9191312E-5 | 4.9191312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.569453E-4 | 5.569453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 7.0117096E-8 | 7.0117096E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 3.0050182E-7 | 3.0050182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.658604E-6 | 3.658604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.2409338E-5 | 4.2409338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5125932E-5 | 3.5125682E-5 | 1.3979852 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0767907E-4 | 1.17678E-4 | 1.0928586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013103726 | 0.0013203595 | 1.0076214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043084 | 0.013082562 | 1.0030267 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5125932E-5 | 3.5125682E-5 | 1.3979852 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0767907E-4 | 1.17678E-4 | 1.0928586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013103726 | 0.0013203595 | 1.0076214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043084 | 0.013082562 | 1.0030267 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5125932E-5 | 3.5125682E-5 | 1.3979852 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0767907E-4 | 1.17678E-4 | 1.0928586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013103726 | 0.0013203595 | 1.0076214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043084 | 0.013082562 | 1.0030267 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5125932E-5 | 3.5125682E-5 | 1.3979852 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0767907E-4 | 1.17678E-4 | 1.0928586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013103726 | 0.0013203595 | 1.0076214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013043084 | 0.013082562 | 1.0030267 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3791508E-5 | 1.3791508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.910565E-5 | 5.910565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.1946764E-4 | 7.1946764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071806037 | 0.00720046 | 1.0027653 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3791508E-5 | 1.3791508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.910565E-5 | 5.910565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.1946764E-4 | 7.1946764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071806037 | 0.00720046 | 1.0027653 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.641097E-6 | 9.641097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.13188E-5 | 4.13188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.030236E-4 | 5.030236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044683935 | 0.0050270227 | 0.0050469222 | 1.0039585 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.094455E-6 | 8.094455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.469052E-5 | 3.469052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.223571E-4 | 4.223571E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037527776 | 0.004223571 | 0.004233529 | 1.0023577 | 1.0E-5 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9454255E-4 | 2.9454255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012618598 | 0.0012618598 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015276185 | 0.015276185 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.081081145 | 0.13987032 | 0.13990472 | 1.0002459 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9454255E-4 | 2.9454255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012618598 | 0.0012618598 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015276185 | 0.015276185 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.081081145 | 0.13987032 | 0.13990472 | 1.0002459 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9454255E-4 | 2.9454255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012618598 | 0.0012618598 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015276185 | 0.015276185 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.081081145 | 0.13987032 | 0.13990472 | 1.0002459 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7751024E-4 | 1.7751024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.6065364E-4 | 7.6065364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009242435 | 0.009242435 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0513964 | 0.087198414 | 0.0872258 | 1.000314 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7751024E-4 | 1.7751024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.6065364E-4 | 7.6065364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009242435 | 0.009242435 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0513964 | 0.087198414 | 0.0872258 | 1.000314 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6507717E-5 | 4.6507717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9930553E-4 | 1.9930553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024242064 | 0.0024242064 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01892915 | 0.02382648 | 0.023836242 | 1.0004097 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.621977E-5 | 2.621977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1236585E-4 | 1.1236585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013672404 | 0.0013672404 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012986525 | 0.013599583 | 0.013609447 | 1.0007253 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.21302E-5 | 2.21302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.484047E-5 | 9.484047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011541076 | 0.0011541076 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511663 | 0.011493016 | 0.011502901 | 1.0008601 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4471965E-5 | 1.4471965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.202126E-5 | 6.202126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.5485243E-4 | 7.5485243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075282124 | 0.007538137 | 1.0013183 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2361259E-5 | 1.2361259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2975767E-5 | 5.2975767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.447922E-4 | 6.447922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.00643333 | 0.0064432654 | 1.0015444 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.147854E-5 | 1.147854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.919283E-5 | 4.919283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.987611E-4 | 5.987611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.005975361 | 0.0059853015 | 1.0016636 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0269483E-5 | 1.0269483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.4011344E-5 | 4.4011344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.357089E-4 | 5.357089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.005347572 | 0.0053575183 | 1.00186 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.525879E-6 | 8.525879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6538982E-5 | 3.6538982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4477297E-4 | 4.4477297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.0044403207 | 0.004450276 | 1.0022421 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.256452E-6 | 7.256452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1098716E-5 | 3.1098716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.7856254E-4 | 3.7856254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.0037795848 | 0.0037795848 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.3672974E-6 | 6.3672974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7288139E-5 | 2.7288139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3218382E-4 | 3.3218382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033170239 | 0.0033170239 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.2380155E-6 | 5.2380155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2448452E-5 | 2.2448452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7327688E-4 | 2.7327688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.002729534 | 0.002729534 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.698523E-6 | 4.698523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0136378E-5 | 2.0136378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.45134E-4 | 2.45134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024487528 | 0.0024487528 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3357952E-6 | 2.3357952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 1.0010517E-5 | 1.0010517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2187197E-4 | 1.2187197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012181248 | 0.0012181248 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.406629E-8 | 9.406629E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.031412E-7 | 4.031412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9082364E-6 | 4.9082364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.908161E-5 | 4.908161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4455256E-9 | 3.4455256E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4766538E-8 | 1.4766538E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7978259E-7 | 1.7978259E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7978246E-6 | 1.7978246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6791243E-5 | 3.6791243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5767055E-4 | 1.5767055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019185327 | 0.0019285135 | 1.0052023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019077279 | 0.019106707 | 1.0015426 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6791243E-5 | 3.6791243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5767055E-4 | 1.5767055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019185327 | 0.0019285135 | 1.0052023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019077279 | 0.019106707 | 1.0015426 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6791243E-5 | 3.6791243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5767055E-4 | 1.5767055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019185327 | 0.0019285135 | 1.0052023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019077279 | 0.019106707 | 1.0015426 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6791243E-5 | 3.6791243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5767055E-4 | 1.5767055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019185327 | 0.0019285135 | 1.0052023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019077279 | 0.019106707 | 1.0015426 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4859133E-5 | 1.4859133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3680476E-5 | 6.3680476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.750391E-4 | 7.850313E-4 | 1.0128926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007723912 | 0.007733835 | 1.0012847 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4859133E-5 | 1.4859133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3680476E-5 | 6.3680476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.750391E-4 | 7.850313E-4 | 1.0128926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007723912 | 0.007733835 | 1.0012847 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.30200215E-5 | 1.30200215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5798908E-5 | 5.5798908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.791417E-4 | 6.8913493E-4 | 1.0147145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067708734 | 0.0067808055 | 1.0014669 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2636276E-5 | 1.2636276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4154352E-5 | 5.4154352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.5913144E-4 | 6.691249E-4 | 1.0151615 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00647886 | 0.0065719625 | 0.006581897 | 1.0015116 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2238479E-5 | 1.2238479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2449577E-5 | 5.2449577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.3838816E-4 | 6.4838177E-4 | 1.0156544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062912325 | 0.0063657314 | 0.0063756676 | 1.0015609 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.11643485E-5 | 1.11643485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.7846337E-5 | 4.7846337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.823747E-4 | 5.923689E-4 | 1.0171611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058086314 | 0.0058185733 | 1.0017116 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0588347E-5 | 1.0588347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.537785E-5 | 4.537785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.5233645E-4 | 5.6233094E-4 | 1.0180949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055039856 | 0.005509775 | 0.0055197203 | 1.001805 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.987348E-6 | 9.987348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.2802225E-5 | 4.2802225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.2099366E-4 | 5.3098844E-4 | 1.0191841 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005197855 | 0.005207803 | 1.0019139 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.754512E-6 | 8.754512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7518803E-5 | 3.7518803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5669678E-4 | 4.666922E-4 | 1.0218863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046197 | 0.0045577004 | 0.004567655 | 1.002184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5099315E-6 | 7.5099315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2185028E-5 | 3.2185028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9178328E-4 | 4.0177937E-4 | 1.0255144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039319694 | 0.003911033 | 0.003920994 | 1.0025469 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.18713E-6 | 6.18713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6516009E-5 | 2.6516009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2278555E-4 | 3.327823E-4 | 1.0309703 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032232644 | 0.003233232 | 1.0030924 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4435083E-6 | 4.4435083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9043473E-5 | 1.9043473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.318303E-4 | 2.318303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.002315954 | 0.002315954 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3012635E-6 | 1.3012635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.576832E-6 | 5.576832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.789588E-5 | 6.789588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7875825E-4 | 6.7875825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.613992E-7 | 5.613992E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4059946E-6 | 2.4059946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9292627E-5 | 2.9292627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9289123E-4 | 2.9289123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8042324E-8 | 4.8042324E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0589565E-7 | 2.0589565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5067768E-6 | 2.5067768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5067495E-5 | 2.5067495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4147604E-5 | 4.4147604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8919037E-4 | 1.8919037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023009717 | 0.0023009717 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032346968 | 0.023731386 | 0.023770439 | 1.0016456 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4147604E-5 | 4.4147604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8919037E-4 | 1.8919037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023009717 | 0.0023009717 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032346968 | 0.023731386 | 0.023770439 | 1.0016456 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4147604E-5 | 4.4147604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8919037E-4 | 1.8919037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023009717 | 0.0023009717 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032346968 | 0.023731386 | 0.023770439 | 1.0016456 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4147604E-5 | 4.4147604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8919037E-4 | 1.8919037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023009717 | 0.0023009717 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032346968 | 0.023731386 | 0.023770439 | 1.0016456 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.4147604E-5 | 4.4147604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8919037E-4 | 1.8919037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0023009717 | 0.0023009717 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032346968 | 0.023731386 | 0.023770439 | 1.0016456 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0885323E-5 | 4.0885323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7521108E-4 | 1.7521108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0021311138 | 0.0021311138 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02986684 | 0.022009697 | 0.022048816 | 1.0017774 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0885323E-5 | 4.0885323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7521108E-4 | 1.7521108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0021311138 | 0.0021311138 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02986684 | 0.022009697 | 0.022048816 | 1.0017774 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 4.02996E-5 | 4.02996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.7270117E-4 | 1.7270117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0021006148 | 0.0021006148 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029367693 | 0.021697482 | 0.021736614 | 1.0018035 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 4.0154446E-5 | 4.0154446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.7207916E-4 | 1.7207916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020930562 | 0.0020930562 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029288229 | 0.021620942 | 0.021660078 | 1.0018101 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9853614E-5 | 3.9853614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.7079005E-4 | 1.7079005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020773914 | 0.0020773914 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028905109 | 0.021457437 | 0.021496579 | 1.0018241 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.8697166E-5 | 3.8697166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6583448E-4 | 1.6583448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0020171702 | 0.0020171702 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027978465 | 0.020836445 | 0.02087561 | 1.0018797 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.713287E-5 | 3.713287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5913119E-4 | 1.5913119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026781242 | 0.001935705 | 0.001935705 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.026460782 | 0.019998387 | 0.020037588 | 1.0019602 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.5454694E-5 | 3.5454694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.5193985E-4 | 1.5193985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018483017 | 0.0018483017 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024660049 | 0.019101033 | 0.01914027 | 1.0020541 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.453017E-5 | 3.453017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.4797806E-4 | 1.4797806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002196605 | 0.0018001477 | 0.0018001477 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02175019 | 0.018597778 | 0.018637035 | 1.0021108 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.4161894E-5 | 3.4161894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4639992E-4 | 1.4639992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017809654 | 0.0017809654 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020790804 | 0.018399002 | 0.018438267 | 1.0021341 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.285975E-5 | 3.285975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.408199E-4 | 1.408199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0017131373 | 0.0017131373 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01909306 | 0.017707154 | 0.017746445 | 1.002219 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 3.01445E-5 | 3.01445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2918432E-4 | 1.2918432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015716867 | 0.0015716867 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01656168 | 0.016279548 | 0.016318897 | 1.0024171 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.671564E-5 | 2.671564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.1449058E-4 | 1.1449058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013930325 | 0.0013930325 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014152412 | 0.014491901 | 0.014531321 | 1.0027201 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.410109E-5 | 2.410109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.032863E-4 | 1.032863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012567862 | 0.0012567862 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012169928 | 0.013120649 | 0.013160125 | 1.0030086 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.9439958E-5 | 1.9439958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.3311446E-5 | 8.3311446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7068126E-4 | 0.0010138457 | 0.0010138457 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010673022 | 0.010702701 | 1.0027808 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.6212649E-5 | 1.6212649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.9480935E-5 | 6.9480935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.456028E-4 | 8.456028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008034821 | 0.008951388 | 0.00898112 | 1.0033214 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.547378E-6 | 8.547378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.6631107E-5 | 3.6631107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.4589303E-4 | 4.4589303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051959283 | 0.004789102 | 0.004818958 | 1.0062342 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.6334603E-6 | 1.6334603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 7.0005253E-6 | 7.0005253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.5228094E-5 | 8.5228094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.864788E-4 | 9.864788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.829212E-7 | 3.829212E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.6410897E-6 | 1.6410897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.998009E-5 | 1.998009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.4007849E-4 | 2.4007849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.553148E-6 | 8.553148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6655936E-5 | 3.6655936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.462125E-4 | 4.462125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004454924 | 0.0044847904 | 1.0067041 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7761208E-6 | 3.7761208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6183301E-5 | 1.6183301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9701864E-4 | 1.9701864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019689072 | 0.0019689072 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7761208E-6 | 3.7761208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6183301E-5 | 1.6183301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9701864E-4 | 1.9701864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019689072 | 0.0019689072 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.441429E-6 | 1.441429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1775463E-6 | 6.1775463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5210446E-5 | 7.5210446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.5198873E-4 | 7.5198873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.441429E-6 | 1.441429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1775463E-6 | 6.1775463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5210446E-5 | 7.5210446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.5198873E-4 | 7.5198873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0224129E-6 | 1.0224129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3817695E-6 | 4.3817695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3348045E-5 | 5.3348045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.3348043E-4 | 5.3348043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6340606E-5 | 7.6340606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2713625E-4 | 3.2713625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039761486 | 0.0039861086 | 1.002505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039106622 | 0.03913545 | 1.0007372 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6340606E-5 | 7.6340606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2713625E-4 | 3.2713625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039761486 | 0.0039861086 | 1.002505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039106622 | 0.03913545 | 1.0007372 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6340606E-5 | 7.6340606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2713625E-4 | 3.2713625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039761486 | 0.0039861086 | 1.002505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039106622 | 0.03913545 | 1.0007372 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9816583E-5 | 4.9816583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1348333E-4 | 2.1348333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025962726 | 0.0026062469 | 1.0038416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025681091 | 0.025710322 | 1.0011382 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9816583E-5 | 4.9816583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1348333E-4 | 2.1348333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025962726 | 0.0026062469 | 1.0038416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025681091 | 0.025710322 | 1.0011382 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6606947E-5 | 3.6606947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5687813E-4 | 1.5687813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.001908434 | 0.001918415 | 1.00523 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.0189324 | 0.018961832 | 1.0015546 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.51987E-5 | 3.51987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5084348E-4 | 1.5084348E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018350859 | 0.0018450676 | 1.0054393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018210953 | 0.018240405 | 1.0016173 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.7280947E-5 | 2.7280947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.1691362E-4 | 1.1691362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014225858 | 0.0014325716 | 1.0070194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011863477 | 0.014144047 | 0.014163764 | 1.001394 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5462548E-5 | 2.5462548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0912115E-4 | 1.0912115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013278308 | 0.0013378175 | 1.007521 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011065915 | 0.013208028 | 0.0132277645 | 1.0014943 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.264042E-5 | 2.264042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.702726E-5 | 9.702726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011807543 | 0.0011907425 | 1.0084592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009869894 | 0.0117535135 | 0.011773279 | 1.0016816 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0343368E-5 | 2.0343368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.718343E-5 | 8.718343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010610268 | 0.0010710162 | 1.0094148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008882134 | 0.0105680665 | 0.010587855 | 1.0018725 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.9017218E-5 | 1.9017218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.15003E-5 | 8.15003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.918994E-4 | 0.0010018895 | 1.0100716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008304977 | 0.009883106 | 0.009902908 | 1.0020037 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7217599E-5 | 1.7217599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.37881E-5 | 7.37881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.98084E-4 | 9.080751E-4 | 1.0111248 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007520827 | 0.008952837 | 0.008972658 | 1.002214 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.2105187E-6 | 6.2105187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6616433E-5 | 2.6616433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.2404187E-4 | 3.2404187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032391255 | 0.0032391255 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.4091585E-7 | 8.4091585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6039205E-6 | 3.6039205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3876924E-5 | 4.3876924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.386898E-4 | 4.386898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.6679064E-7 | 6.6679064E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8576715E-6 | 2.8576715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.479166E-5 | 3.479166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4786877E-4 | 3.4786877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5623825E-7 | 3.5623825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5267346E-6 | 1.5267346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8587883E-5 | 1.8587883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8586787E-4 | 1.8586787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2199718E-7 | 1.2199718E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.228449E-7 | 5.228449E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.365619E-6 | 6.365619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.365441E-5 | 6.365441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.103127E-8 | 3.103127E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3299115E-7 | 1.3299115E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6191663E-6 | 1.6191663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6191565E-5 | 1.6191565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4407723E-6 | 6.4407723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603108E-5 | 2.7603108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603195E-4 | 3.3603195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356801 | 0.0033867003 | 1.0089071 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4407723E-6 | 6.4407723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603108E-5 | 2.7603108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603195E-4 | 3.3603195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356801 | 0.0033867003 | 1.0089071 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4407723E-6 | 6.4407723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603108E-5 | 2.7603108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603195E-4 | 3.3603195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356801 | 0.0033867003 | 1.0089071 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4407723E-6 | 6.4407723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603108E-5 | 2.7603108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603195E-4 | 3.3603195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356801 | 0.0033867003 | 1.0089071 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4407723E-6 | 6.4407723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7603108E-5 | 2.7603108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3603195E-4 | 3.3603195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356801 | 0.0033867003 | 1.0089071 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9528062E-6 | 2.9528062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2654872E-5 | 1.2654872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5407088E-4 | 1.5407088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015404944 | 0.001550479 | 1.0064814 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9528062E-6 | 2.9528062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2654872E-5 | 1.2654872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5407088E-4 | 1.5407088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015404944 | 0.001550479 | 1.0064814 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6299253E-6 | 2.6299253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1271109E-5 | 1.1271109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3722575E-4 | 1.3722575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013722575 | 0.0013822438 | 1.0072773 | 1.0E-5 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2531096E-6 | 4.2531096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8227489E-5 | 1.8227489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.218976E-4 | 2.218976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022168134 | 0.0022467468 | 1.013503 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2531096E-6 | 4.2531096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8227489E-5 | 1.8227489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.218976E-4 | 2.218976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022168134 | 0.0022467468 | 1.013503 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2531096E-6 | 4.2531096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8227489E-5 | 1.8227489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.218976E-4 | 2.218976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022168134 | 0.0022467468 | 1.013503 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2531096E-6 | 4.2531096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8227489E-5 | 1.8227489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.218976E-4 | 2.218976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022168134 | 0.0022467468 | 1.013503 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6845138E-6 | 3.6845138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.579068E-5 | 1.579068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9223492E-4 | 1.9223492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019207211 | 0.0019506635 | 1.0155891 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6845138E-6 | 3.6845138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.579068E-5 | 1.579068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9223492E-4 | 1.9223492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019207211 | 0.0019506635 | 1.0155891 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4267025E-6 | 3.4267025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.46857865E-5 | 1.46857865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.787851E-4 | 1.787851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017864443 | 0.0018163908 | 1.0167631 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.3646575E-6 | 3.3646575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4419883E-5 | 1.4419883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7554824E-4 | 1.7554824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017541269 | 0.0017840742 | 1.0170726 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.1202055E-6 | 3.1202055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3372242E-5 | 1.3372242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6279517E-4 | 1.6279517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016267878 | 0.0016567389 | 1.0184113 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.9353257E-6 | 2.9353257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2579909E-5 | 1.2579909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.531499E-4 | 1.531499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015304714 | 0.0015604255 | 1.0195718 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.643783E-6 | 2.643783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1330451E-5 | 1.1330451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3793977E-4 | 1.3793977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013785668 | 0.0013985392 | 1.0144879 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1358842E-6 | 2.1358842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.153759E-6 | 9.153759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.11441535E-4 | 1.11441535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011138784 | 0.0011338561 | 1.0179353 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2950181E-6 | 1.2950181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.550067E-6 | 5.550067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.757005E-5 | 6.757005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019903728 | 6.755033E-4 | 6.9548975E-4 | 1.0295875 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.394153E-7 | 7.394153E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.168919E-6 | 3.168919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.8580925E-5 | 3.8580925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165172 | 3.857443E-4 | 3.9574044E-4 | 1.025914 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.4705725E-7 | 5.4705725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.344529E-6 | 2.344529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8544273E-5 | 2.8544273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8540663E-4 | 2.8540663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6087508E-7 | 3.6087508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5466065E-6 | 1.5466065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8829778E-5 | 1.8829778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8828228E-4 | 1.8828228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.141621E-8 | 7.141621E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0606947E-7 | 3.0606947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7263908E-6 | 3.7263908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7263442E-5 | 3.7263442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2086503E-5 | 1.2086503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1798335E-5 | 5.1798335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.304736E-4 | 6.304736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062988847 | 0.0063187587 | 1.0031551 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2086503E-5 | 1.2086503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1798335E-5 | 5.1798335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.304736E-4 | 6.304736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062988847 | 0.0063187587 | 1.0031551 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2086503E-5 | 1.2086503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1798335E-5 | 5.1798335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.304736E-4 | 6.304736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062988847 | 0.0063187587 | 1.0031551 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2086503E-5 | 1.2086503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1798335E-5 | 5.1798335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.304736E-4 | 6.304736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062988847 | 0.0063187587 | 1.0031551 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2086503E-5 | 1.2086503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1798335E-5 | 5.1798335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.304736E-4 | 6.304736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062988847 | 0.0063187587 | 1.0031551 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.8172125E-6 | 7.8172125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3501918E-5 | 3.3501918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0781056E-4 | 4.0781056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003506398 | 0.0040816567 | 0.004091616 | 1.00244 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.8172125E-6 | 7.8172125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3501918E-5 | 3.3501918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0781056E-4 | 4.0781056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003506398 | 0.0040816567 | 0.004091616 | 1.00244 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 7.3460424E-6 | 7.3460424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6892068E-5 | 3.1482665E-5 | 3.1482665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2736175E-4 | 3.8323502E-4 | 3.8323502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032687993 | 0.0038367691 | 0.0038467308 | 1.0025964 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 7.0587075E-6 | 7.0587075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5697784E-5 | 3.0251258E-5 | 3.0251258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.128256E-4 | 3.6824777E-4 | 3.6824777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003123856 | 0.003687401 | 0.0036973644 | 1.0027019 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 6.723358E-6 | 6.723358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4369761E-5 | 2.881408E-5 | 2.881408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9666146E-4 | 3.5075587E-4 | 3.5075587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029626573 | 0.0035130465 | 0.0035230115 | 1.0028366 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 6.2469876E-6 | 6.2469876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.242688E-5 | 2.6772534E-5 | 2.6772534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7301308E-4 | 3.2590763E-4 | 3.2590763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002726779 | 0.0032653084 | 0.0032752757 | 1.0030525 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 6.136854E-6 | 6.136854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2009834E-5 | 2.6300542E-5 | 2.6300542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6793676E-4 | 3.2016283E-4 | 3.2016283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026761394 | 0.0032080277 | 0.0032179956 | 1.0031072 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 5.969789E-6 | 5.969789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1381518E-5 | 2.5584564E-5 | 2.5584564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6028889E-4 | 3.1144833E-4 | 3.1144833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025998424 | 0.0031211302 | 0.0031310988 | 1.003194 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 5.8009487E-6 | 5.8009487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0665291E-5 | 2.4860976E-5 | 2.4860976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5157086E-4 | 3.026411E-4 | 3.026411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025128627 | 0.0030333018 | 0.0030432714 | 1.0032867 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 5.689148E-6 | 5.689148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193436E-5 | 2.438184E-5 | 2.438184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4582737E-4 | 2.9680924E-4 | 2.9680924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002455556 | 0.0029751393 | 0.0029851096 | 1.0033512 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 5.5339965E-6 | 5.5339965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9502659E-5 | 2.3716917E-5 | 2.3716917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37419E-4 | 2.8871596E-4 | 2.8871596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002371655 | 0.002894419 | 0.0029043902 | 1.0034449 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 5.3260496E-6 | 5.3260496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861545E-5 | 2.282573E-5 | 2.282573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2661954E-4 | 2.778686E-4 | 2.778686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022638857 | 0.002786213 | 0.0027961852 | 1.0035791 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 2.809414E-6 | 2.809414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2583803E-5 | 1.2040289E-5 | 1.2040289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5319703E-4 | 1.465807E-4 | 1.465807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015309147 | 0.0014723362 | 0.0014823215 | 1.0067819 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 9.3890526E-7 | 9.3890526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.232116E-6 | 4.0238733E-6 | 4.0238733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.587337E-5 | 4.8989557E-5 | 4.8989557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.584747E-4 | 4.948714E-4 | 5.048665E-4 | 1.0201973 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 2.5194882E-7 | 2.5194882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 1.0797801E-6 | 1.0797801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 1.3146244E-5 | 1.3146244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2250296E-4 | 1.347058E-4 | 1.4470445E-4 | 1.0742259 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 8.1533344E-8 | 8.1533344E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 3.4942857E-7 | 3.4942857E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 4.2542842E-6 | 4.2542842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 4.4783188E-5 | 4.4783188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 4.4131923E-8 | 4.4131923E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 1.8913678E-7 | 1.8913678E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 2.3027378E-6 | 2.3027378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 2.4409375E-5 | 2.4409375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 1.4880735E-8 | 1.4880735E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 6.377457E-8 | 6.377457E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 7.764551E-7 | 7.764551E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 8.392335E-6 | 8.392335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.0636284E-5 | 7.0636284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.026903E-4 | 3.026903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036790525 | 0.0036790525 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02796312 | 0.036182925 | 0.036202203 | 1.0005327 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.8329162E-5 | 5.8329162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.499575E-4 | 2.499575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030389929 | 0.0030389929 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023502063 | 0.029973933 | 0.029983634 | 1.0003237 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4794317E-5 | 3.4794317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4911036E-4 | 1.4911036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018138888 | 0.0018138888 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.017987743 | 0.017987743 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8258193E-5 | 2.8258193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.2110123E-4 | 1.2110123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0014733982 | 0.0014733982 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.014634371 | 0.014634371 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.2155487E-5 | 2.2155487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.494886E-5 | 9.494886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011553928 | 0.0011553928 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.01149373 | 0.01149373 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6823364E-5 | 1.6823364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.2098315E-5 | 7.2098315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.7745936E-4 | 8.7745936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008741012 | 0.008741012 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.12542975E-5 | 1.12542975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8231836E-5 | 4.8231836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.8706827E-4 | 5.8706827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.005855564 | 0.005855564 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.028829E-6 | 9.028829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.869442E-5 | 3.869442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7100513E-4 | 4.7100513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.0047003143 | 0.0047003143 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.4592963E-6 | 7.4592963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1968033E-5 | 3.1968033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.891433E-4 | 3.891433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0038848233 | 0.0038848233 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.903349E-6 | 4.903349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.1014192E-5 | 2.1014192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5581912E-4 | 2.5581912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.002555384 | 0.002555384 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.5229921E-6 | 1.5229921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.527093E-6 | 6.527093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.9464546E-5 | 7.9464546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.943701E-4 | 7.943701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4613195E-7 | 7.4613195E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1977045E-6 | 3.1977045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.89314E-5 | 3.89314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8924994E-4 | 3.8924994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4613195E-7 | 7.4613195E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1977045E-6 | 3.1977045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.89314E-5 | 3.89314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8924994E-4 | 3.8924994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.5846945E-7 | 6.5846945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.822009E-6 | 2.822009E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.435746E-5 | 3.435746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.4352555E-4 | 3.4352555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.078403E-7 | 6.078403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6050277E-6 | 2.6050277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.171579E-5 | 3.171579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1711665E-4 | 3.1711665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.078403E-7 | 6.078403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6050277E-6 | 2.6050277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.171579E-5 | 3.171579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1711665E-4 | 3.1711665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7941562E-5 | 2.7941562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.197443E-4 | 1.197443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014569551 | 0.0014669405 | 1.0068536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.01447859 | 0.014488446 | 1.0006807 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.758273E-5 | 1.758273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.535244E-5 | 7.535244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011033333 | 9.170392E-4 | 9.2703E-4 | 1.0108947 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.009133559 | 0.009143467 | 1.0010848 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3333364E-5 | 1.3333364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7141755E-5 | 5.7141755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.954814E-4 | 6.954814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008414844 | 0.006933342 | 0.006933342 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1184006E-5 | 1.1184006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7930578E-5 | 4.7930578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.833995E-4 | 5.833995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070501505 | 0.005818798 | 0.005818798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0005151E-5 | 1.0005151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2878517E-5 | 4.2878517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.2192144E-4 | 5.2192144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006304447 | 0.005207024 | 0.005207024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.371333E-6 | 9.371333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0162242E-5 | 4.0162242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.88866E-4 | 4.88866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059054173 | 0.004877965 | 0.004877965 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.138719E-6 | 8.138719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.487976E-5 | 3.487976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2457855E-4 | 4.2457855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051267436 | 0.004237706 | 0.004237706 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.321445E-6 | 7.321445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1377247E-5 | 3.1377247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8195116E-4 | 3.8195116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038129727 | 0.0038129727 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.394441E-6 | 6.394441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.740446E-5 | 2.740446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3359838E-4 | 3.3359838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.003330997 | 0.003330997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.4607094E-6 | 5.4607094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3402832E-5 | 2.3402832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8489236E-4 | 2.8489236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.002845288 | 0.002845288 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.5719785E-6 | 4.5719785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9594047E-5 | 1.9594047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3853152E-4 | 2.3853152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023827688 | 0.0023827688 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7542025E-6 | 3.7542025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6089341E-5 | 1.6089341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9587022E-4 | 1.9587022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.0019569877 | 0.0019569877 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.4264948E-6 | 2.4264948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.03992215E-5 | 1.03992215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2660318E-4 | 1.2660318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.001265313 | 0.001265313 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7701676E-6 | 1.7701676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.5864104E-6 | 7.5864104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.2360635E-5 | 9.2360635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.2322426E-4 | 9.2322426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4393077E-6 | 1.4393077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.168447E-6 | 6.168447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.509825E-5 | 7.509825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.5073034E-4 | 7.5073034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1314762E-6 | 1.1314762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.8491747E-6 | 4.8491747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.9037106E-5 | 5.9037106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.902157E-4 | 5.902157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.688665E-7 | 7.688665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2951382E-6 | 3.2951382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.0117568E-5 | 4.0117568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0110468E-4 | 4.0110468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0144263E-7 | 4.0144263E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7204673E-6 | 1.7204673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0946489E-5 | 2.0946489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0944649E-4 | 2.0944649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5362643E-7 | 1.5362643E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.5839885E-7 | 6.5839885E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 8.015976E-6 | 8.015976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 8.0158185E-5 | 8.0158185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.6627374E-8 | 4.6627374E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9983158E-7 | 1.9983158E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.4329468E-6 | 2.4329468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4330508E-5 | 2.4330508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.167518E-10 | 9.167518E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.928937E-9 | 3.928937E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.783481E-8 | 4.783481E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.7949E-7 | 4.7949E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3801873E-5 | 3.3801873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4485781E-4 | 1.4485781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.001762338 | 0.001762338 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018115403 | 0.017495971 | 0.01751562 | 1.0011231 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3801873E-5 | 3.3801873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4485781E-4 | 1.4485781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.001762338 | 0.001762338 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018115403 | 0.017495971 | 0.01751562 | 1.0011231 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3801873E-5 | 3.3801873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4485781E-4 | 1.4485781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.001762338 | 0.001762338 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018115403 | 0.017495971 | 0.01751562 | 1.0011231 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5923953E-5 | 1.5923953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.8243804E-5 | 6.8243804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.305659E-4 | 8.305659E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008276077 | 0.008276077 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5923953E-5 | 1.5923953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.8243804E-5 | 6.8243804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.305659E-4 | 8.305659E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008276077 | 0.008276077 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1341844E-5 | 1.1341844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8607035E-5 | 4.8607035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.916369E-4 | 5.916369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006966323 | 0.0059013246 | 0.0059013246 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.629566E-6 | 8.629566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6983354E-5 | 3.6983354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.501837E-4 | 4.501837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005629168 | 0.004493154 | 0.004493154 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.805781E-6 | 6.805781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.9167326E-5 | 2.9167326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.550575E-4 | 3.550575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035452198 | 0.0035452198 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9388377E-6 | 4.9388377E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1166281E-5 | 2.1166281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5767015E-4 | 2.5767015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025738268 | 0.0025738268 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8342355E-6 | 3.8342355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6432337E-5 | 1.6432337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 2.0004586E-4 | 2.0004586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019987107 | 0.0019987107 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.681276E-6 | 2.681276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1491134E-5 | 1.1491134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3989584E-4 | 1.3989584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.001398104 | 0.001398104 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8873315E-6 | 1.8873315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.088538E-6 | 8.088538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.847364E-5 | 9.847364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.843129E-4 | 9.843129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2833005E-6 | 1.2833005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.4998486E-6 | 5.4998486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.69587E-5 | 6.69587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.693953E-4 | 6.693953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.0696266E-7 | 6.0696266E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.6012663E-6 | 2.6012663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1669995E-5 | 3.1669995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1665855E-4 | 3.1665855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1195788E-7 | 3.1195788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3369616E-6 | 1.3369616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6277389E-5 | 1.6277389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.627621E-4 | 1.627621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.831782E-7 | 1.831782E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.8504917E-7 | 7.8504917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.557933E-6 | 9.557933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.55753E-5 | 9.55753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.9141356E-8 | 4.9141356E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.1060579E-7 | 2.1060579E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.564123E-6 | 2.564123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.564097E-5 | 2.564097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.9060756E-5 | 4.9060756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.1024597E-4 | 2.1024597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025572532 | 0.0025572532 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020348595 | 0.02533338 | 0.025352875 | 1.0007695 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6959733E-5 | 2.6959733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1553717E-4 | 1.1553717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014058677 | 0.0014058677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.013984804 | 0.014004525 | 1.0014101 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6959733E-5 | 2.6959733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1553717E-4 | 1.1553717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014058677 | 0.0014058677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.013984804 | 0.014004525 | 1.0014101 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8234501E-5 | 1.8234501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.814578E-5 | 7.814578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.5105515E-4 | 9.5105515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009478473 | 0.009498283 | 1.0020901 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8234501E-5 | 1.8234501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.814578E-5 | 7.814578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.5105515E-4 | 9.5105515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009478473 | 0.009498283 | 1.0020901 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6719687E-5 | 1.6719687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.165408E-5 | 7.165408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.7208336E-4 | 8.7208336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008695073 | 0.008704986 | 1.0011401 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2079385E-5 | 1.2079385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.1767955E-5 | 5.1767955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.3012674E-4 | 6.3012674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.00629075 | 0.0063006873 | 1.0015796 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0437902E-5 | 1.0437902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4733282E-5 | 4.4733282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.44524E-4 | 5.44524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054395893 | 0.005449535 | 1.0018284 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.822869E-6 | 3.822869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6383634E-5 | 1.6383634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9945457E-4 | 1.9945457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019944918 | 0.0020044718 | 1.0050038 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.158976E-6 | 2.158976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.2527225E-6 | 9.2527225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.12646296E-4 | 1.12646296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011265128 | 0.0011365016 | 1.0088669 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5479587E-6 | 1.5479587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.634092E-6 | 6.634092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.076714E-5 | 8.076714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.078695E-4 | 8.178614E-4 | 1.0123682 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.47813E-6 | 1.47813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.334828E-6 | 6.334828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.7123856E-5 | 7.7123856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.714516E-4 | 7.8144396E-4 | 1.0129526 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3618927E-6 | 1.3618927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.83667E-6 | 5.83667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.10592E-5 | 7.10592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.108335E-4 | 7.2082644E-4 | 1.014058 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1256096E-6 | 1.1256096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8240327E-6 | 4.8240327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.873106E-5 | 5.873106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.873173E-4 | 5.873173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.262521E-7 | 9.262521E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.969646E-6 | 3.969646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.8329402E-5 | 4.8329402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.832054E-4 | 4.832054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.644837E-7 | 7.644837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2763546E-6 | 3.2763546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9888924E-5 | 3.9888924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9882105E-4 | 3.9882105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.9004744E-7 | 6.9004744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.957343E-6 | 2.957343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.6005087E-5 | 3.6005087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5999573E-4 | 3.5999573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4237517E-7 | 1.4237517E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.101792E-7 | 6.101792E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4289164E-6 | 7.4289164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.4287644E-5 | 7.4287644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.5034834E-5 | 5.5034834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3584392E-4 | 2.3584392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028678905 | 0.0028678905 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024405818 | 0.0283369 | 0.028356332 | 1.0006858 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.5034834E-5 | 5.5034834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3584392E-4 | 2.3584392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028678905 | 0.0028678905 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024405818 | 0.0283369 | 0.0283369 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.395748E-5 | 3.395748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4552416E-4 | 1.4552416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017703513 | 0.0017703513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015745522 | 0.01756642 | 0.01756642 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.395748E-5 | 3.395748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4552416E-4 | 1.4552416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017703513 | 0.0017703513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015745522 | 0.01756642 | 0.01756642 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7936881E-5 | 2.7936881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1972411E-4 | 1.1972411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014566851 | 0.0014566851 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013192902 | 0.014473535 | 0.014473535 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5149115E-5 | 2.5149115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0777755E-4 | 1.0777755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013114163 | 0.0013114163 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012003611 | 0.0130384425 | 0.0130384425 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.036968E-5 | 2.036968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.729575E-5 | 8.729575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010623155 | 0.0010623155 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00992627 | 0.010573287 | 0.010573287 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8159368E-5 | 1.8159368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.782357E-5 | 7.782357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.470957E-4 | 9.470957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008949154 | 0.009431241 | 0.009431241 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5937256E-5 | 1.5937256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.830076E-5 | 6.830076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3124876E-4 | 8.3124876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007960589 | 0.008281884 | 0.008281884 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3337859E-5 | 1.3337859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.716101E-5 | 5.716101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.9571537E-4 | 6.9571537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069356347 | 0.0069356347 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1939863E-5 | 1.1939863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.116985E-5 | 5.116985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.228165E-4 | 6.228165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062109036 | 0.0062109036 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0548221E-5 | 1.0548221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5205885E-5 | 4.5205885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.5024377E-4 | 5.5024377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055142213 | 0.005488945 | 0.005488945 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.464643E-6 | 9.464643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0562132E-5 | 4.0562132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.937331E-4 | 4.937331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049264804 | 0.0049264804 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.384582E-6 | 8.384582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.593343E-5 | 3.593343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3740272E-4 | 4.3740272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004470094 | 0.0043655294 | 0.0043655294 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.955821E-6 | 6.955821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9810326E-5 | 2.9810326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6288126E-4 | 3.6288126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036229873 | 0.0036229873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.25459E-6 | 5.25459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2519482E-5 | 2.2519482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.741409E-4 | 2.741409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027380993 | 0.0027380993 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.061691E-6 | 2.061691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.835789E-6 | 8.835789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0757051E-4 | 1.0757051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.001075193 | 0.001075193 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1020862E-6 | 1.1020862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7232184E-6 | 4.7232184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.750369E-5 | 5.750369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.748905E-4 | 5.748905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.073739E-7 | 6.073739E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6030286E-6 | 2.6030286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1691427E-5 | 3.1691427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.168704E-4 | 3.168704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.0916187E-9 | 5.0916187E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1821224E-8 | 2.1821224E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6567338E-7 | 2.6567338E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6567316E-6 | 2.6567316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8357286E-6 | 5.8357286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010047E-5 | 2.5010047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044588E-4 | 3.1445577E-4 | 1.0328351 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408127 | 0.0030607518 | 1.0065572 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8357286E-6 | 5.8357286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010047E-5 | 2.5010047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044588E-4 | 3.1445577E-4 | 1.0328351 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408127 | 0.0030607518 | 1.0065572 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8357286E-6 | 5.8357286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5010047E-5 | 2.5010047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044588E-4 | 3.1445577E-4 | 1.0328351 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030408127 | 0.0030607518 | 1.0065572 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3842073E-6 | 3.3842073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4503667E-5 | 1.4503667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7656831E-4 | 1.8656655E-4 | 1.0566252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017643274 | 0.0017743098 | 1.0056579 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3842073E-6 | 3.3842073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4503667E-5 | 1.4503667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7656831E-4 | 1.8656655E-4 | 1.0566252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017643274 | 0.0017743098 | 1.0056579 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8563143E-6 | 2.8563143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2241291E-5 | 1.2241291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4902787E-4 | 1.5902637E-4 | 1.0670916 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014893119 | 0.0014992971 | 1.0067046 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.3813366E-6 | 2.3813366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0205689E-5 | 1.0205689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2424738E-4 | 1.3424615E-4 | 1.0804746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012417994 | 0.001251787 | 1.0080428 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0968844E-6 | 2.0968844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.986618E-6 | 8.986618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.0940674E-4 | 1.19405646E-4 | 1.091392 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010935449 | 0.001103534 | 1.0091345 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8918901E-6 | 1.8918901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.108075E-6 | 8.108075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.871149E-5 | 1.08710505E-4 | 1.1012954 | 1.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.866904E-4 | 9.966806E-4 | 1.0101249 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6835451E-6 | 1.6835451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.2151743E-6 | 7.2151743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.784132E-5 | 9.784044E-5 | 1.1138316 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.7807723E-4 | 8.8806846E-4 | 1.0113785 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2511597E-6 | 1.2511597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.362102E-6 | 5.362102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.528166E-5 | 7.528101E-5 | 1.1531724 | 1.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.5262715E-4 | 6.6262065E-4 | 1.0153127 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0954396E-6 | 1.0954396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.694733E-6 | 4.694733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.715688E-5 | 6.715631E-5 | 1.174947 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.714227E-4 | 5.81417E-4 | 1.0174901 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0490451E-6 | 1.0490451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4958997E-6 | 4.4958997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4736214E-5 | 6.4735665E-5 | 1.1826844 | 1.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.472282E-4 | 5.572227E-4 | 1.0182639 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.770387E-7 | 9.770387E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.187302E-6 | 4.187302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.0979215E-5 | 6.0978706E-5 | 1.1961484 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.09676E-4 | 5.196709E-4 | 1.0196103 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.210249E-7 | 9.210249E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.947244E-6 | 3.947244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.8056638E-5 | 5.8056157E-5 | 1.2080778 | 1.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8046323E-4 | 4.9045845E-4 | 1.0208032 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6770933E-7 | 8.6770933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7187492E-6 | 3.7187492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.527484E-5 | 5.5274384E-5 | 1.2208632 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5265688E-4 | 4.6265236E-4 | 1.0220817 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.91683E-7 | 7.91683E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3929227E-6 | 3.3929227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.130806E-5 | 4.130806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.130045E-4 | 4.130045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.854922E-7 | 6.854922E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9378202E-6 | 2.9378202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.576738E-5 | 3.576738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5761693E-4 | 3.5761693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6495095E-7 | 3.6495095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5640746E-6 | 1.5640746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9042447E-5 | 1.9042447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9040858E-4 | 1.9040858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6703877E-9 | 2.6703877E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1444519E-8 | 1.1444519E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3933702E-7 | 1.3933702E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3933702E-6 | 1.3933702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7309735E-5 | 4.7309735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0274204E-4 | 2.0274204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024659126 | 0.0024659126 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02196019 | 0.024419706 | 0.024439218 | 1.0007991 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7309735E-5 | 4.7309735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0274204E-4 | 2.0274204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024659126 | 0.0024659126 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02196019 | 0.024419706 | 0.024439218 | 1.0007991 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7309735E-5 | 4.7309735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0274204E-4 | 2.0274204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024659126 | 0.0024659126 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02196019 | 0.024419706 | 0.024439218 | 1.0007991 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.8300887E-5 | 1.8300887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.843012E-5 | 7.843012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.544875E-4 | 9.544875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01018413 | 0.009507275 | 0.009527084 | 1.0020837 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3631917E-5 | 1.3631917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.842123E-5 | 5.842123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.1105233E-4 | 7.1105233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008112748 | 0.007089843 | 0.007099772 | 1.0014005 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3128274E-5 | 1.3128274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.6262852E-5 | 5.6262852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8479084E-4 | 6.8479084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007874036 | 0.0068288627 | 0.0068288627 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0403689E-5 | 1.0403689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.4586486E-5 | 4.4586486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.427072E-4 | 5.427072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006737438 | 0.005415457 | 0.005415457 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.921758E-6 | 9.921758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2521136E-5 | 4.2521136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.1757373E-4 | 5.1757373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006522954 | 0.0051652766 | 0.0051652766 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.517069E-6 | 9.517069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.0786814E-5 | 4.0786814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.9646816E-4 | 4.9646816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049551185 | 0.0049551185 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.7931985E-6 | 8.7931985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.76846E-5 | 3.76846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.587151E-4 | 4.587151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045790873 | 0.0045790873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.102914E-6 | 8.102914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4726323E-5 | 3.4726323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.2271247E-4 | 4.2271247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057049696 | 0.0042204093 | 0.0042204093 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.34386E-6 | 7.34386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1473315E-5 | 3.1473315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.831215E-4 | 3.831215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038258263 | 0.0038258263 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.559107E-6 | 6.559107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8110164E-5 | 2.8110164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4218872E-4 | 3.4218872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034177534 | 0.0034177534 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.6114914E-6 | 5.6114914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.4049032E-5 | 2.4049032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.9275866E-4 | 2.9275866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.002924064 | 0.002924064 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.0396147E-6 | 5.0396147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1598176E-5 | 2.1598176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.629271E-4 | 2.629271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.002626272 | 0.002626272 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9434217E-6 | 3.9434217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6900274E-5 | 1.6900274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.0574233E-4 | 2.0574233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020556082 | 0.0020556082 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.4035959E-6 | 3.4035959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.45867625E-5 | 1.45867625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7758018E-4 | 1.7758018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017744638 | 0.0017744638 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3394568E-6 | 2.3394568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.002621E-5 | 1.002621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2206301E-4 | 1.2206301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.001220033 | 0.001220033 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.406629E-8 | 9.406629E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.031412E-7 | 4.031412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9082364E-6 | 4.9082364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.908161E-5 | 4.908161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4455256E-9 | 3.4455256E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4766538E-8 | 1.4766538E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7978259E-7 | 1.7978259E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7978246E-6 | 1.7978246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.810942E-4 | 4.810942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020602406 | 0.0020602406 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024788687 | 0.024788687 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11088423 | 0.21511786 | 0.21513356 | 1.000073 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.810942E-4 | 4.810942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020602406 | 0.0020602406 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024788687 | 0.024788687 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11088423 | 0.21511786 | 0.21513356 | 1.000073 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.7183334E-4 | 4.7183334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.002020613 | 0.002020613 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011405343 | 0.024317855 | 0.024317855 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.10837428 | 0.21153222 | 0.21154799 | 1.0000745 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.661698E-4 | 4.661698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.001996378 | 0.001996378 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011262234 | 0.024029754 | 0.024029754 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.107082725 | 0.20942207 | 0.20943788 | 1.0000755 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0491554E-4 | 4.0491554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.001734213 | 0.001734213 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00974259 | 0.02090895 | 0.02090895 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.093263686 | 0.18616883 | 0.1861851 | 1.0000874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.790681E-4 | 3.790681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016235786 | 0.0016235786 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009034078 | 0.01958926 | 0.01958926 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.086755216 | 0.17596029 | 0.17597677 | 1.0000937 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.529901E-4 | 3.529901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.001511948 | 0.001511948 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008271996 | 0.01825601 | 0.01825601 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07970774 | 0.16531743 | 0.16533414 | 1.000101 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2438993E-4 | 3.2438993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013895102 | 0.0013895102 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007417723 | 0.016789813 | 0.016789813 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07174956 | 0.15338372 | 0.15340066 | 1.0001104 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9372083E-4 | 2.9372083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012582026 | 0.0012582026 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015212496 | 0.015212496 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06264243 | 0.13963424 | 0.13965145 | 1.0001233 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6496738E-4 | 2.6496738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011350847 | 0.0011350847 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005298089 | 0.013733109 | 0.013733109 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05173543 | 0.12594004 | 0.12595753 | 1.0001388 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2580191E-4 | 2.2580191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.673668E-4 | 9.673668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039900932 | 0.01171481 | 0.01171481 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039192066 | 0.10800577 | 0.108023606 | 1.0001652 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2260878E-4 | 2.2260878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.53692E-4 | 9.53692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011550096 | 0.011550096 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.038443442 | 0.106560916 | 0.10657878 | 1.0001677 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0382005E-4 | 2.0382005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.7322516E-4 | 8.7322516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035360386 | 0.01058034 | 0.01058034 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.034803 | 0.09821153 | 0.098229565 | 1.0001837 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.9005353E-4 | 1.9005353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.142638E-4 | 8.142638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009869197 | 0.009869197 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03284188 | 0.092080995 | 0.09209916 | 1.0001972 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2654702E-4 | 1.2654702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.4223253E-4 | 5.4223253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023488526 | 0.0065818755 | 0.0065818755 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023241805 | 0.06291421 | 0.06293295 | 1.0002979 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.4392155E-5 | 9.4392155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0447543E-4 | 4.0447543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004913432 | 0.004913432 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01775316 | 0.04751993 | 0.047529455 | 1.0002004 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.143316E-5 | 7.143316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0610632E-4 | 3.0610632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001354725 | 0.0037205005 | 0.0037205005 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013464959 | 0.036248814 | 0.03625845 | 1.0002658 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 5.0178158E-5 | 5.0178158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1503156E-4 | 2.1503156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0026148718 | 0.0026148718 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008982267 | 0.025641073 | 0.025650816 | 1.00038 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 4.036413E-5 | 4.036413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7297768E-4 | 1.7297768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0021039718 | 0.0021039718 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020737438 | 0.020747231 | 1.0004722 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.9288425E-5 | 2.9288425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2551578E-4 | 1.2551578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0015270846 | 0.0015270846 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005308505 | 0.015242332 | 0.0152521795 | 1.0006461 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3743036E-5 | 2.3743036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 1.017519E-4 | 1.017519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012381262 | 0.0012381262 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012427754 | 0.0124376295 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.5287844E-6 | 7.5287844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.226582E-5 | 3.226582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.9276568E-4 | 3.9276568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.004100451 | 0.004100451 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2952354E-6 | 2.2952354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.836686E-6 | 9.836686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.1975511E-4 | 1.1975511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0013063096 | 0.0013063096 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.8028098E-8 | 1.8028098E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.726327E-8 | 7.726327E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.4068025E-7 | 9.4068025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.8003475E-6 | 9.8003475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136441E-5 | 2.3136441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.915527E-5 | 9.915527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012070556 | 0.0012170436 | 1.0082747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012054873 | 0.012074632 | 1.0016391 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136441E-5 | 2.3136441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.915527E-5 | 9.915527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012070556 | 0.0012170436 | 1.0082747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012054873 | 0.012074632 | 1.0016391 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136441E-5 | 2.3136441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.915527E-5 | 9.915527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012070556 | 0.0012170436 | 1.0082747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012054873 | 0.012074632 | 1.0016391 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136441E-5 | 2.3136441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.915527E-5 | 9.915527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012070556 | 0.0012170436 | 1.0082747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012054873 | 0.012074632 | 1.0016391 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3136441E-5 | 2.3136441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.915527E-5 | 9.915527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012070556 | 0.0012170436 | 1.0082747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012054873 | 0.012074632 | 1.0016391 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0071273E-5 | 2.0071273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.601974E-5 | 8.601974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010472902 | 0.0010572796 | 1.0095384 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010472868 | 0.010492658 | 1.0018897 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0071273E-5 | 2.0071273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.601974E-5 | 8.601974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010472902 | 0.0010572796 | 1.0095384 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010472868 | 0.010492658 | 1.0018897 | 2.0E-5 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571128 | 0.0012671003 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.01251062 | 0.01253037 | 1.0015787 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571128 | 0.0012671003 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.01251062 | 0.01253037 | 1.0015787 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571128 | 0.0012671003 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.01251062 | 0.01253037 | 1.0015787 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571128 | 0.0012671003 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.01251062 | 0.01253037 | 1.0015787 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571128 | 0.0012671003 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.01251062 | 0.01253037 | 1.0015787 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571128 | 0.0012671003 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.01251062 | 0.01253037 | 1.0015787 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 2.410519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0330447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012571128 | 0.0012671003 | 1.0079447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.01251062 | 0.01253037 | 1.0015787 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1384802E-5 | 1.1384802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.8791124E-5 | 4.8791124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.938749E-4 | 5.938749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005516363 | 0.0059233815 | 0.005933322 | 1.0016782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.1001737E-5 | 1.1001737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.714948E-5 | 4.714948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.738985E-4 | 5.738985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005724655 | 0.005734598 | 1.0017369 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.704041E-6 | 9.704041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1588104E-5 | 4.1588104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.0622167E-4 | 5.0622167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047108172 | 0.005051103 | 0.0050610527 | 1.0019698 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.278801E-6 | 9.278801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9765706E-5 | 3.9765706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8404402E-4 | 4.8404402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004505487 | 0.0048303097 | 0.0048402613 | 1.0020603 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.997E-6 | 8.997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8558024E-5 | 3.8558024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.693469E-4 | 4.693469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368766 | 0.004683967 | 0.0046939203 | 1.0021249 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.374457E-6 | 6.374457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7318818E-5 | 2.7318818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.325564E-4 | 3.325564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033206455 | 0.0033306123 | 1.0030015 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.2082482E-6 | 5.2082482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2320875E-5 | 2.2320875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.7172323E-4 | 2.7172323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027139562 | 0.002723929 | 1.0036746 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.1436415E-6 | 4.1436415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7758346E-5 | 1.7758346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1618682E-4 | 2.1618682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024039 | 0.002159807 | 0.0021697853 | 1.0046201 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4283702E-6 | 1.4283702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.1215724E-6 | 6.1215724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.4527634E-5 | 7.4527634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.4503035E-4 | 7.550229E-4 | 1.0134122 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.3563004E-7 | 6.3563004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.724126E-6 | 2.724126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.3165747E-5 | 3.3165747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.3160957E-4 | 3.4160627E-4 | 1.030146 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2616169E-7 | 2.2616169E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.692641E-7 | 9.692641E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1800737E-5 | 1.1800737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.18002215E-4 | 1.2800103E-4 | 1.0847342 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5471455E-8 | 1.5471455E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.6306235E-8 | 6.6306235E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.072782E-7 | 8.072782E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.0727605E-6 | 8.0727605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412656 | 0.0015412656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310166 | 0.01532986 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412656 | 0.0015412656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310166 | 0.01532986 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412656 | 0.0015412656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310166 | 0.01532986 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412656 | 0.0015412656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310166 | 0.01532986 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412656 | 0.0015412656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310166 | 0.01532986 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412656 | 0.0015412656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310166 | 0.01532986 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 2.9559853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.2667915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015412656 | 0.0015412656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01632816 | 0.015310166 | 0.01532986 | 1.0012863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.8897322E-5 | 2.8897322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.2384E-4 | 1.2384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016156785 | 0.001506747 | 0.001506747 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016039822 | 0.014969651 | 0.014989351 | 1.0013161 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.8271903E-5 | 2.8271903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.2115988E-4 | 1.2115988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015875935 | 0.0014741607 | 0.0014741607 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015762992 | 0.014648086 | 0.014667793 | 1.0013454 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4248342E-5 | 2.4248342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.03917446E-4 | 1.03917446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012644822 | 0.0012644822 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012575485 | 0.012585359 | 1.0007852 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1888442E-5 | 2.1888442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.380434E-5 | 9.380434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011414872 | 0.0011414872 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012905477 | 0.011358419 | 0.011358419 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7376833E-5 | 1.7376833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.4470045E-5 | 7.4470045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010923136 | 9.0630044E-4 | 9.0630044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0108696 | 0.00902687 | 0.00902687 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.6831316E-5 | 1.6831316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.213224E-5 | 7.213224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010659413 | 8.778609E-4 | 8.778609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010608427 | 0.008744742 | 0.008744742 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5400743E-5 | 1.5400743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.600154E-5 | 6.600154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.032769E-4 | 8.032769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009587734 | 0.008004488 | 0.008004488 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4534622E-5 | 1.4534622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.228977E-5 | 6.228977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.5811805E-4 | 7.5811805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009157699 | 0.0075560114 | 0.0075560114 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.1177808E-5 | 1.1177808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.7904028E-5 | 4.7904028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.83078E-4 | 5.83078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007068595 | 0.00581578 | 0.00581578 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.6403587E-6 | 5.6403587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.4172743E-5 | 2.4172743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.9426382E-4 | 2.9426382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0029387858 | 0.0029387858 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2858668E-6 | 3.2858668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4082211E-5 | 1.4082211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7143755E-4 | 1.7143755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017130665 | 0.0017130665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.4378915E-6 | 1.4378915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.1623778E-6 | 6.1623778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.502439E-5 | 7.502439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.499934E-4 | 7.499934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2627621E-7 | 2.2627621E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.697549E-7 | 9.697549E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1806704E-5 | 1.1806704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1806105E-4 | 1.1806105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.132577E-9 | 5.132577E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.1996758E-8 | 2.1996758E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.678105E-7 | 2.678105E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.678102E-6 | 2.678102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.196852E-5 | 2.3615403E-5 | 2.3615403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4147406E-5 | 1.0120545E-4 | 1.11204434E-4 | 1.0987989 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011456419 | 0.0012315689 | 0.0012415565 | 1.0081097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011397537 | 0.012256306 | 0.012276061 | 1.0016118 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.0716677E-5 | 1.0716677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.5927907E-5 | 4.5927907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.5904716E-4 | 5.5904716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052005537 | 0.00557822 | 0.005588164 | 1.0017827 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.0716677E-5 | 1.0716677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.5927907E-5 | 4.5927907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.5904716E-4 | 5.5904716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052005537 | 0.00557822 | 0.005588164 | 1.0017827 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.9448518E-6 | 4.9448518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.1192074E-5 | 2.1192074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.579874E-4 | 2.579874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024039985 | 0.0025773176 | 0.0025773176 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.9448518E-6 | 4.9448518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.1192074E-5 | 2.1192074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.579874E-4 | 2.579874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024039985 | 0.0025773176 | 0.0025773176 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.716712E-6 | 2.9124049E-6 | 2.9124049E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643E-5 | 1.2481689E-5 | 1.2481689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.417443E-4 | 1.519564E-4 | 1.519564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165393 | 0.0015187631 | 0.0015187631 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.3818255E-6 | 1.4827365E-6 | 1.4827365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.922096E-6 | 6.3545763E-6 | 6.3545763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.209913E-5 | 7.7365454E-5 | 7.7365454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2075747E-4 | 7.7350624E-4 | 7.7350624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.175099E-5 | 8.175099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.503173E-4 | 3.503173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425726 | 0.00425726 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03426291 | 0.041812178 | 0.04183134 | 1.0004584 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.175099E-5 | 8.175099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.503173E-4 | 3.503173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425726 | 0.00425726 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03426291 | 0.041812178 | 0.041812178 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6504454E-5 | 4.6504454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9928985E-4 | 1.9928985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024237083 | 0.0024237083 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020349167 | 0.023979379 | 0.023979379 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.796796E-5 | 3.796796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6270985E-4 | 1.6270985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019792235 | 0.0019792235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01686163 | 0.019619748 | 0.019619748 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.413133E-5 | 3.413133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.462691E-4 | 1.462691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017793978 | 0.0017793978 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.017654676 | 0.017654676 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2278764E-5 | 3.2278764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3833036E-4 | 1.3833036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016828967 | 0.0016828967 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016704543 | 0.016704543 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5786037E-5 | 2.5786037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.10507E-4 | 1.10507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013446071 | 0.0013446071 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013366433 | 0.013366433 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2686334E-5 | 2.2686334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.722359E-5 | 9.722359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011830657 | 0.0011830657 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.011768971 | 0.011768971 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.899382E-5 | 1.899382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.13996E-5 | 8.13996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.905989E-4 | 9.905989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.0098628625 | 0.0098628625 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7283865E-5 | 1.7283865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.407166E-5 | 7.407166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.014581E-4 | 9.014581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008978962 | 0.008978962 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4044553E-5 | 1.4044553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.0189595E-5 | 6.0189595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.3256955E-4 | 7.3256955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.007302334 | 0.007302334 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.238527E-5 | 1.238527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.307869E-5 | 5.307869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.4604875E-4 | 6.4604875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064424537 | 0.0064424537 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0853832E-5 | 1.0853832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6515634E-5 | 4.6515634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.661879E-4 | 5.661879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056481785 | 0.0056481785 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.091429E-6 | 9.091429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8962728E-5 | 3.8962728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.74275E-4 | 4.74275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047333324 | 0.0047333324 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3652336E-6 | 3.3652336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4422379E-5 | 1.4422379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7558337E-4 | 1.7558337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017549422 | 0.0017549422 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6069276E-5 | 3.6069276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5457449E-4 | 1.5457449E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018805068 | 0.0018805068 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016139153 | 0.018664714 | 0.01868434 | 1.0010515 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6069276E-5 | 3.6069276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5457449E-4 | 1.5457449E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018805068 | 0.0018805068 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016139153 | 0.018664714 | 0.01868434 | 1.0010515 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6069276E-5 | 3.6069276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5457449E-4 | 1.5457449E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018805068 | 0.0018805068 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016139153 | 0.018664714 | 0.01868434 | 1.0010515 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.386998E-5 | 2.386998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.0229607E-4 | 1.0229607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012447742 | 0.0012447742 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010933585 | 0.012381272 | 0.012401025 | 1.0015954 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.386998E-5 | 2.386998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.0229607E-4 | 1.0229607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012447742 | 0.0012447742 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010933585 | 0.012381272 | 0.012401025 | 1.0015954 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9389783E-5 | 2.1902571E-5 | 2.1902571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.309642E-5 | 9.386495E-5 | 9.386495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010112294 | 0.0011422343 | 0.0011422343 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010066401 | 0.011366514 | 0.0113862865 | 1.0017395 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9370193E-5 | 2.188249E-5 | 2.188249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301247E-5 | 9.377889E-5 | 9.377889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010102082 | 0.0011411876 | 0.0011411876 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010056281 | 0.0113561535 | 0.011375926 | 1.0017412 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.6723505E-5 | 1.8813842E-5 | 1.8813842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.16702E-5 | 8.0628364E-5 | 8.0628364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.722353E-4 | 9.812278E-4 | 9.812278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008688197 | 0.009770966 | 0.009780868 | 1.0010134 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.426937E-5 | 1.600929E-5 | 1.600929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115301E-5 | 6.8609515E-5 | 6.8609515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4428355E-4 | 8.350152E-4 | 8.350152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007417957 | 0.008320258 | 0.008330175 | 1.0011919 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2469891E-5 | 1.3967303E-5 | 1.3967303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3441294E-5 | 5.9858565E-5 | 5.9858565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.504535E-4 | 7.285464E-4 | 7.285464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006485529 | 0.007262806 | 0.0072727334 | 1.0013669 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.7746275E-6 | 9.798806E-6 | 9.798806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7605005E-5 | 4.1994248E-5 | 4.1994248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5774475E-4 | 5.111674E-4 | 5.111674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00456803 | 0.0051006502 | 0.005110599 | 1.0019505 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.1067153E-6 | 6.8186405E-6 | 6.8186405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6171374E-5 | 2.922245E-5 | 2.922245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1858988E-4 | 3.5573082E-4 | 3.5573082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031813353 | 0.0035521656 | 0.0035521656 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.939283E-6 | 3.2764315E-6 | 3.2764315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2596866E-5 | 1.4041783E-5 | 1.4041783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5335606E-4 | 1.7094705E-4 | 1.7094705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015325027 | 0.0017083278 | 0.0017083278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.2387763E-7 | 8.013844E-7 | 8.013844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.102329E-6 | 3.4345026E-6 | 3.4345026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.77702E-5 | 4.1814725E-5 | 4.1814725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7763783E-4 | 4.1811363E-4 | 4.1811363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.2074425E-8 | 3.2074425E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3746183E-7 | 1.3746183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6735964E-6 | 1.6735964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6735847E-5 | 1.6735847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3777884E-5 | 3.3777884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4475577E-4 | 1.4475577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001761234 | 0.001761234 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.017498365 | 0.017518014 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3777884E-5 | 3.3777884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4475577E-4 | 1.4475577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001761234 | 0.001761234 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.017498365 | 0.017518014 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3777884E-5 | 3.3777884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4475577E-4 | 1.4475577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001761234 | 0.001761234 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.017498365 | 0.017518014 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3777884E-5 | 3.3777884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4475577E-4 | 1.4475577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001761234 | 0.001761234 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.017498365 | 0.017518014 | 1.001123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7045755E-5 | 1.7045755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.305133E-5 | 7.305133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.890601E-4 | 8.890601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008857401 | 0.008867313 | 1.001119 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7045755E-5 | 1.7045755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.305133E-5 | 7.305133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.890601E-4 | 8.890601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008857401 | 0.008867313 | 1.001119 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21449275E-5 | 1.21449275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.2048665E-5 | 5.2048665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.335105E-4 | 6.335105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063173315 | 0.0063173315 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21449275E-5 | 1.21449275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.2048665E-5 | 5.2048665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.335105E-4 | 6.335105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063173315 | 0.0063173315 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.13665155E-5 | 1.13665155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.871274E-5 | 4.871274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.9291814E-4 | 5.9291814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007104293 | 0.005913607 | 0.005913607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1344601E-5 | 1.1344601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8618822E-5 | 4.8618822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.9177534E-4 | 5.9177534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007094092 | 0.0059022396 | 0.0059022396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1264099E-5 | 1.1264099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.827383E-5 | 4.827383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.875773E-4 | 5.875773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007055073 | 0.0058604814 | 0.0058604814 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0740006E-5 | 1.0740006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.6027795E-5 | 4.6027795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.602462E-4 | 5.602462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067943637 | 0.005588571 | 0.005588571 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 1.0011712E-5 | 1.0011712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.2906642E-5 | 4.2906642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.222649E-4 | 5.222649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.0052105957 | 0.0052105957 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.857773E-6 | 8.857773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7961338E-5 | 3.7961338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6208283E-4 | 4.6208283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0046114144 | 0.0046114144 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.436955E-6 | 8.436955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6157886E-5 | 3.6157886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.4013487E-4 | 4.4013487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0043928213 | 0.0043928213 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.3096376E-6 | 7.3096376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.132665E-5 | 3.132665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8133663E-4 | 3.8133663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.0038069945 | 0.0038069945 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.8767475E-6 | 3.8767475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6614527E-5 | 1.6614527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0226323E-4 | 2.0226323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020208051 | 0.0020208051 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.1288703E-6 | 3.1288703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3409375E-5 | 1.3409375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6324701E-4 | 1.6324701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016312802 | 0.0016312802 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.031119E-6 | 2.031119E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.7047665E-6 | 8.7047665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0597543E-4 | 1.0597543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010592536 | 0.0010592536 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.277896E-7 | 3.277896E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4048118E-6 | 1.4048118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7103452E-5 | 1.7103452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7102167E-4 | 1.7102167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6860814E-9 | 5.6860814E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.436892E-8 | 2.436892E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9669158E-7 | 2.9669158E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9669138E-6 | 2.9669138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.659938E-6 | 3.659938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.568536E-5 | 1.568536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.9095355E-4 | 1.9095355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019469736 | 0.0019669347 | 1.0102524 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.659938E-6 | 3.659938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.568536E-5 | 1.568536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.9095355E-4 | 1.9095355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019469736 | 0.0019669347 | 1.0102524 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.659938E-6 | 3.659938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.568536E-5 | 1.568536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.9095355E-4 | 1.9095355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019469736 | 0.0019669347 | 1.0102524 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1740847E-6 | 3.1740847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3603153E-5 | 1.3603153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.6560654E-4 | 1.6560654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020415364 | 0.001669545 | 0.0016895115 | 1.0119593 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1740847E-6 | 3.1740847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3603153E-5 | 1.3603153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.6560654E-4 | 1.6560654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020415364 | 0.001669545 | 0.0016895115 | 1.0119593 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9840105E-6 | 2.9840105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2788558E-5 | 1.2788558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5569026E-4 | 1.5569026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015632898 | 0.0015832585 | 1.0127735 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8837837E-6 | 2.8837837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2359019E-5 | 1.2359019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016229092 | 1.5046136E-4 | 1.5046136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015066939 | 0.0015266638 | 1.013254 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8173988E-6 | 2.8173988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2074514E-5 | 1.2074514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001463541 | 1.4699799E-4 | 1.4699799E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014539397 | 0.001469399 | 0.0014893695 | 1.013591 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2414035E-6 | 2.2414035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.605981E-6 | 9.605981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013164099 | 1.1694685E-4 | 1.1694685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011691411 | 0.0011891178 | 1.0170866 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6126188E-6 | 1.6126188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.911205E-6 | 6.911205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011840039 | 8.4140695E-5 | 8.4140695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011777153 | 8.413076E-4 | 8.612908E-4 | 1.0237526 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5437583E-6 | 1.5437583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.61609E-6 | 6.61609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010884746 | 8.0547936E-5 | 8.0547936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010831586 | 8.0536254E-4 | 8.253464E-4 | 1.0248135 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3900053E-6 | 1.3900053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.957152E-6 | 5.957152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010143308 | 7.252592E-5 | 7.252592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010097133 | 7.251837E-4 | 7.451692E-4 | 1.0275592 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2520579E-6 | 1.2520579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.3659514E-6 | 5.3659514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.532851E-5 | 6.532851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009284316 | 6.5322156E-4 | 6.732085E-4 | 1.0305974 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1144318E-6 | 1.1144318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.7761278E-6 | 4.7761278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.814781E-5 | 5.814781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065626553 | 5.8144925E-4 | 6.0143764E-4 | 1.0343769 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.573165E-7 | 8.573165E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6742083E-6 | 3.6742083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4732573E-5 | 4.4732573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003899234 | 4.4732023E-4 | 4.6731127E-4 | 1.0446907 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.084867E-7 | 6.084867E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6077976E-6 | 2.6077976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1749474E-5 | 3.1749474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012897621 | 3.174497E-4 | 3.3744337E-4 | 1.0629821 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.2045898E-7 | 3.2045898E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.3733949E-6 | 1.3733949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6720956E-5 | 1.6720956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6719717E-4 | 1.771955E-4 | 1.0597997 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.995463E-8 | 8.995463E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.855198E-7 | 3.855198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.6936943E-6 | 4.6936943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.693602E-5 | 4.693602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cerro Prieto
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9101528E-4 | 6.0156244E-4 | 6.0156244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.002575823 | 0.002575823 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015072231 | 0.0310159 | 0.0310159 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.14089979 | 0.25553676 | 0.25555167 | 1.0000583 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9101528E-4 | 6.0156244E-4 | 6.0156244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.002575823 | 0.002575823 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015072231 | 0.0310159 | 0.0310159 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.14089979 | 0.25553676 | 0.25555167 | 1.0000583 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9101528E-4 | 6.0156244E-4 | 6.0156244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.002575823 | 0.002575823 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015072231 | 0.0310159 | 0.0310159 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.14089979 | 0.25553676 | 0.25555167 | 1.0000583 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9101528E-4 | 6.0156244E-4 | 6.0156244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.002575823 | 0.002575823 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015072231 | 0.0310159 | 0.0310159 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.14089979 | 0.25553676 | 0.25555167 | 1.0000583 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.1880785E-4 | 5.1880785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022217694 | 0.0022217694 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013006088 | 0.026695723 | 0.026695723 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.12270685 | 0.22589944 | 0.22591493 | 1.0000685 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.1880785E-4 | 5.1880785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022217694 | 0.0022217694 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013006088 | 0.026695723 | 0.026695723 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.12270685 | 0.22589944 | 0.22591493 | 1.0000685 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.294914E-4 | 4.758481E-4 | 4.758481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.831638E-4 | 0.002037946 | 0.002037946 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011904482 | 0.02452594 | 0.02452594 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11286586 | 0.21009225 | 0.21010804 | 1.0000752 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9621674E-4 | 4.086226E-4 | 4.086226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4065786E-4 | 0.0017502259 | 0.0017502259 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010187071 | 0.021132594 | 0.021132594 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.09732539 | 0.18434761 | 0.18436393 | 1.0000885 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5476145E-4 | 3.0930646E-4 | 3.0930646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6309475E-4 | 0.0013250301 | 0.0013250301 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008043335 | 0.016021047 | 0.016021047 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07758363 | 0.14463238 | 0.14464094 | 1.0000591 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.20509176E-4 | 2.2879335E-4 | 2.2879335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1636563E-4 | 9.802392E-4 | 9.802392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006268645 | 0.011884321 | 0.011884321 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.060947374 | 0.11054948 | 0.110558376 | 1.0000805 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.3269155E-5 | 1.695312E-4 | 1.695312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9966372E-4 | 7.264042E-4 | 7.264042E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048550544 | 0.0088159675 | 0.0088159675 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04750344 | 0.084148884 | 0.084148884 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.029709E-5 | 8.30545E-5 | 8.30545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1554115E-4 | 3.559192E-4 | 3.559192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026210553 | 0.0043282295 | 0.0043282295 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025903556 | 0.04299431 | 0.04299431 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.5445185E-8 | 7.0883964E-8 | 7.0883964E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8047933E-7 | 3.037884E-7 | 3.037884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4148304E-6 | 3.698624E-6 | 3.698624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.414778E-5 | 3.698624E-5 | 3.698624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1142066E-6 | 4.1142066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.76322E-5 | 1.76322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1465152E-4 | 2.1465152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445057 | 0.0021644628 | 1.0093062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1142066E-6 | 4.1142066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.76322E-5 | 1.76322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1465152E-4 | 2.1465152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445057 | 0.0021644628 | 1.0093062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1142066E-6 | 4.1142066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.76322E-5 | 1.76322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1465152E-4 | 2.1465152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445057 | 0.0021644628 | 1.0093062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1142066E-6 | 4.1142066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.76322E-5 | 1.76322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1465152E-4 | 2.1465152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445057 | 0.0021644628 | 1.0093062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1142066E-6 | 4.1142066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.76322E-5 | 1.76322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1465152E-4 | 2.1465152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021445057 | 0.0021644628 | 1.0093062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9735056E-6 | 2.9735056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2743534E-5 | 1.2743534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5514162E-4 | 1.5514162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015503484 | 0.0015703174 | 1.0128803 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9735056E-6 | 2.9735056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2743534E-5 | 1.2743534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5514162E-4 | 1.5514162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015503484 | 0.0015703174 | 1.0128803 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.658536E-6 | 2.658536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1393677E-5 | 1.1393677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3870929E-4 | 1.3870929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013951553 | 0.001386238 | 0.0014062104 | 1.0144075 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3050552E-6 | 2.3050552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.878771E-6 | 9.878771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.20267476E-4 | 1.20267476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001214175 | 0.0012020314 | 0.0012120194 | 1.0083092 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0698922E-6 | 2.0698922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.870937E-6 | 8.870937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.07998356E-4 | 1.07998356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010794646 | 0.0010894537 | 1.0092539 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.678911E-6 | 1.678911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.195313E-6 | 7.195313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.759945E-5 | 8.759945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.756531E-4 | 8.8564435E-4 | 1.01141 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3817481E-6 | 1.3817481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.9217646E-6 | 5.9217646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.209512E-5 | 7.209512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.2072004E-4 | 7.3071284E-4 | 1.013865 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.6049084E-7 | 8.6049084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6878128E-6 | 3.6878128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4898206E-5 | 4.4898206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.4889245E-4 | 4.5888795E-4 | 1.0222671 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.6289883E-7 | 5.6289883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4124215E-6 | 2.4124215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.937084E-5 | 2.937084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.936701E-4 | 3.0366716E-4 | 1.0340418 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5733652E-7 | 3.5733652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5314413E-6 | 1.5314413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8645142E-5 | 1.8645142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8643601E-4 | 1.8643601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5833244E-7 | 1.5833244E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.7856746E-7 | 6.7856746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.261528E-6 | 8.261528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.26123E-5 | 8.26123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7356268E-8 | 1.7356268E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.4384E-8 | 7.4384E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0562486E-7 | 9.0562486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.056217E-6 | 9.056217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.121461E-4 | 5.121461E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021931056 | 0.0021931056 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026379477 | 0.026379477 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.13367249 | 0.23022431 | 0.23023972 | 1.0000669 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.924139E-4 | 4.924139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001086234 | 0.0021086773 | 0.0021086773 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013144928 | 0.02538278 | 0.02538278 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.123940155 | 0.22144435 | 0.22145993 | 1.0000703 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.832612E-4 | 4.832612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010633124 | 0.002069514 | 0.002069514 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01286919 | 0.024917737 | 0.024917737 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.12148927 | 0.2179296 | 0.21794525 | 1.0000718 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.6408997E-4 | 4.6408997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019874782 | 0.0019874782 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012036599 | 0.023936167 | 0.023936167 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11405133 | 0.20973194 | 0.20974775 | 1.0000753 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 4.0377508E-4 | 4.0377508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.001729332 | 0.001729332 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010539869 | 0.02086308 | 0.02086308 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.100537635 | 0.18686552 | 0.18688178 | 1.000087 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.7457427E-4 | 3.7457427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0016043433 | 0.0016043433 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009633281 | 0.019365674 | 0.019365674 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0922623 | 0.17502043 | 0.17503692 | 1.0000943 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4461595E-4 | 3.4461595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014761 | 0.0014761 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008617763 | 0.017829077 | 0.017829077 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08291132 | 0.16237414 | 0.1623909 | 1.0001031 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.1141148E-4 | 3.1141148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013339465 | 0.0013339465 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073952693 | 0.01612355 | 0.01612355 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07153955 | 0.14793123 | 0.14794828 | 1.0001152 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.810191E-4 | 2.810191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.001203818 | 0.001203818 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014559416 | 0.014559416 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06225166 | 0.134182 | 0.13419932 | 1.0001291 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.524343E-4 | 2.524343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010814171 | 0.0010814171 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051317946 | 0.013087752 | 0.013087752 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05014893 | 0.12033839 | 0.120355986 | 1.0001462 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1433737E-4 | 2.1433737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.182686E-4 | 9.182686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003811904 | 0.011123306 | 0.011123306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037471764 | 0.10275056 | 0.10276851 | 1.0001746 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.1132642E-4 | 2.1132642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 9.053735E-4 | 9.053735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003737482 | 0.010967899 | 0.010967899 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03675245 | 0.101378106 | 0.101396084 | 1.0001773 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9294625E-4 | 1.9294625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.266535E-4 | 8.266535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033683628 | 0.010018692 | 0.010018692 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.033177625 | 0.09316515 | 0.093183294 | 1.0001947 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7958834E-4 | 1.7958834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.694402E-4 | 7.694402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009328281 | 0.009328281 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031268585 | 0.08719044 | 0.0872087 | 1.0002093 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1622116E-4 | 1.1622116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.979965E-4 | 4.979965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021888057 | 0.0060464237 | 0.0060464237 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02167372 | 0.05793357 | 0.05795241 | 1.0003252 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.4233936E-5 | 8.4233936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.6095295E-4 | 3.6095295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0043858076 | 0.0043858076 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016201803 | 0.042538796 | 0.04254837 | 1.0002251 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.161089E-5 | 6.161089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6402008E-4 | 2.6402008E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012032706 | 0.00320973 | 0.00320973 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011967761 | 0.031375844 | 0.031385534 | 1.0003088 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0760926E-5 | 4.0760926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7467802E-4 | 1.7467802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0021246362 | 0.0021246362 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007582182 | 0.020919526 | 0.020929318 | 1.000468 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.15016E-5 | 3.15016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.349999E-4 | 1.349999E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016423869 | 0.0016423869 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053875 | 0.016265027 | 0.016274864 | 1.0006049 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2584116E-5 | 2.2584116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.678549E-5 | 9.678549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011777272 | 0.0011777272 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004237258 | 0.011820246 | 0.011830128 | 1.000836 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8383407E-5 | 1.8383407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.8783654E-5 | 7.8783654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.5876964E-4 | 9.5876964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009677038 | 0.009686941 | 1.0010234 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.555431E-6 | 6.555431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.8094402E-5 | 2.8094402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.419958E-4 | 3.419958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0035728794 | 0.0035728794 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 2.0043035E-6 | 2.0043035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.589844E-6 | 8.589844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.04576364E-4 | 1.04576364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011421759 | 0.0011421759 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.5188306E-8 | 1.5188306E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.5092735E-8 | 6.5092735E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.9250407E-7 | 7.9250407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 8.254597E-6 | 8.254597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2293827E-5 | 2.2293827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.554173E-5 | 9.554173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011626437 | 0.0011626437 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011408163 | 0.011570065 | 0.011589834 | 1.0017086 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2293827E-5 | 2.2293827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.554173E-5 | 9.554173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011626437 | 0.0011626437 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011408163 | 0.011570065 | 0.011589834 | 1.0017086 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6682645E-5 | 1.6682645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.1495255E-5 | 7.1495255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.701363E-4 | 8.701363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008830327 | 0.008670219 | 0.008690045 | 1.0022868 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6682645E-5 | 1.6682645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.1495255E-5 | 7.1495255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.701363E-4 | 8.701363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008830327 | 0.008670219 | 0.008690045 | 1.0022868 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.406465E-5 | 1.406465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.027582E-5 | 6.027582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.3363597E-4 | 7.3363597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076234564 | 0.00731462 | 0.0073344735 | 1.0027143 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.406465E-5 | 1.406465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.027582E-5 | 6.027582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.3363597E-4 | 7.3363597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076234564 | 0.00731462 | 0.0073344735 | 1.0027143 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3741451E-5 | 1.3741451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.8890746E-5 | 5.8890746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.1678386E-4 | 7.1678386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007474003 | 0.0071471916 | 0.0071670488 | 1.0027783 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.3219025E-5 | 1.3219025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.6651876E-5 | 5.6651876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.89543E-4 | 6.89543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007217 | 0.0068764887 | 0.0068963515 | 1.0028884 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.162441E-6 | 9.162441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.9267106E-5 | 3.9267106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.7798874E-4 | 4.7798874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052959146 | 0.004771243 | 0.004791147 | 1.0041717 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.78263E-6 | 8.78263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.763939E-5 | 3.763939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.581797E-4 | 4.581797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005048454 | 0.0045739715 | 0.00459388 | 1.0043526 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.5652116E-6 | 6.5652116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.813639E-5 | 2.813639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.4251937E-4 | 3.4251937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038563553 | 0.003421159 | 0.0034311248 | 1.002913 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.7620404E-6 | 2.7620404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1837264E-5 | 1.1837264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4410939E-4 | 1.4410939E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020190678 | 0.001440183 | 0.0014501686 | 1.0069336 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.3699083E-6 | 2.3699083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4647229E-5 | 1.0156711E-5 | 1.0156711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.2365117E-4 | 1.2365117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017817242 | 0.001235846 | 0.0012458336 | 1.0080817 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.4089765E-6 | 1.4089765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152474E-6 | 6.038457E-6 | 6.038457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.351575E-5 | 7.351575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.349166E-4 | 7.449092E-4 | 1.013597 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.1039161E-6 | 1.1039161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.7310605E-6 | 4.7310605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.759915E-5 | 5.759915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.758433E-4 | 5.758433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.5477484E-7 | 8.5477484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.6633157E-6 | 3.6633157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.4599965E-5 | 4.4599965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.4591108E-4 | 4.4591108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.80443E-7 | 4.80443E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9452417E-6 | 2.05904E-6 | 2.05904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.5068524E-5 | 2.5068524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.506571E-4 | 2.506571E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.6838898E-7 | 3.6838898E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.578809E-6 | 1.578809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.9221832E-5 | 1.9221832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.922018E-4 | 1.922018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 2.0146723E-7 | 2.0146723E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.6343067E-7 | 8.6343067E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.0512218E-5 | 1.0512218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666233E-4 | 1.05117266E-4 | 1.05117266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.4712201E-7 | 1.4712201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.305227E-7 | 6.305227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.676587E-6 | 7.676587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.458566E-4 | 7.676327E-5 | 7.676327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.3438347E-8 | 3.3438347E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.433072E-7 | 1.433072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.744764E-6 | 1.744764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.7447515E-5 | 1.7447515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.471725E-5 | 1.471725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3072504E-5 | 6.3072504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.676547E-4 | 7.676547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076517877 | 0.0076716347 | 1.0025938 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.471725E-5 | 1.471725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3072504E-5 | 6.3072504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.676547E-4 | 7.676547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076517877 | 0.0076716347 | 1.0025938 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.471725E-5 | 1.471725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3072504E-5 | 6.3072504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.676547E-4 | 7.676547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076517877 | 0.0076716347 | 1.0025938 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1798075E-5 | 1.1798075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0562256E-5 | 5.0562256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.15432E-4 | 6.15432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061383178 | 0.0061482564 | 1.0016191 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1798075E-5 | 1.1798075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0562256E-5 | 5.0562256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.15432E-4 | 6.15432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061383178 | 0.0061482564 | 1.0016191 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.04587425E-5 | 1.04587425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4822464E-5 | 4.4822464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.4558617E-4 | 5.4558617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054433946 | 0.0054533402 | 1.0018271 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.417643E-6 | 9.417643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0360756E-5 | 4.0360756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.912903E-4 | 4.912903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045864056 | 0.004902925 | 0.0049128756 | 1.0020297 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.408118E-6 | 9.408118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.031993E-5 | 4.031993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.907935E-4 | 4.907935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004581874 | 0.0048979786 | 0.00490793 | 1.0020317 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3832766E-6 | 7.3832766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.1642277E-5 | 3.1642277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8518477E-4 | 3.8518477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038459771 | 0.0038559388 | 1.0025901 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.2732116E-6 | 5.2732116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2599317E-5 | 2.2599317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.751181E-4 | 2.751181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027483809 | 0.0027583533 | 1.0036285 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5916464E-6 | 3.5916464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5392703E-5 | 1.5392703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8739415E-4 | 1.8739415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018727642 | 0.0018827454 | 1.0053297 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.294055E-6 | 1.294055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.5459473E-6 | 5.5459473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.752145E-5 | 6.752145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7516963E-4 | 6.851629E-4 | 1.0148011 | 1.0E-5 |
Mono Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3853556E-5 | 2.3853556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0222851E-4 | 1.0222851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012444536 | 0.0012444536 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012427028 | 0.012436904 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3853556E-5 | 2.3853556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0222851E-4 | 1.0222851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012444536 | 0.0012444536 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012427028 | 0.012436904 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3853556E-5 | 2.3853556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0222851E-4 | 1.0222851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012444536 | 0.0012444536 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012427028 | 0.012436904 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3853556E-5 | 2.3853556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0222851E-4 | 1.0222851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012444536 | 0.0012444536 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012427028 | 0.012436904 | 1.0007946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0512776E-5 | 2.0512776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.791188E-5 | 8.791188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010703268 | 0.0010703268 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009088841 | 0.010703222 | 0.010713114 | 1.0009243 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0512776E-5 | 2.0512776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.791188E-5 | 8.791188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010703268 | 0.0010703268 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009088841 | 0.010703222 | 0.010713114 | 1.0009243 | 1.0E-5 |
Swain Ravine - Spenceville
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.6642193E-6 | 5.6642193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4275016E-5 | 2.4275016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.9551095E-4 | 2.9551095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00291575 | 0.0029514492 | 0.0029614198 | 1.0033782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.6642193E-6 | 5.6642193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4275016E-5 | 2.4275016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.9551095E-4 | 2.9551095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00291575 | 0.0029514492 | 0.0029614198 | 1.0033782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.6642193E-6 | 5.6642193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4275016E-5 | 2.4275016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.9551095E-4 | 2.9551095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00291575 | 0.0029514492 | 0.0029614198 | 1.0033782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.6642193E-6 | 5.6642193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4275016E-5 | 2.4275016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.9551095E-4 | 2.9551095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00291575 | 0.0029514492 | 0.0029614198 | 1.0033782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8426775E-6 | 2.8743414E-6 | 2.8743414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2182847E-5 | 1.231855E-5 | 1.231855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4831607E-4 | 1.4996841E-4 | 1.4996841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014821711 | 0.0014987106 | 0.0015086955 | 1.0066624 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9210793E-6 | 1.9415422E-6 | 1.9415422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.233172E-6 | 8.32087E-6 | 8.32087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0023425E-4 | 1.01302016E-4 | 1.01302016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010018905 | 0.0010125717 | 0.0010225617 | 1.0098659 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9210793E-6 | 1.9415422E-6 | 1.9415422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.233172E-6 | 8.32087E-6 | 8.32087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0023425E-4 | 1.01302016E-4 | 1.01302016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010018905 | 0.0010125717 | 0.0010225617 | 1.0098659 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4667394E-6 | 1.4819884E-6 | 1.4819884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.286011E-6 | 6.351364E-6 | 6.351364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.65295E-5 | 7.732519E-5 | 7.732519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6503144E-4 | 7.729905E-4 | 7.829828E-4 | 1.0129268 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1076943E-6 | 1.1190241E-6 | 1.1190241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.747252E-6 | 4.7958088E-6 | 4.7958088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7796264E-5 | 5.8387453E-5 | 5.8387453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.778124E-4 | 5.837256E-4 | 5.837256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.514296E-7 | 8.6006327E-7 | 8.6006327E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.648979E-6 | 3.6859803E-6 | 3.6859803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.442541E-5 | 4.4875917E-5 | 4.4875917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.441653E-4 | 4.486714E-4 | 4.486714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.8544706E-7 | 4.9036066E-7 | 4.9036066E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0804857E-6 | 2.101544E-6 | 2.101544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.532962E-5 | 2.558601E-5 | 2.558601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5326732E-4 | 2.5583195E-4 | 2.5583195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.829186E-7 | 3.8681208E-7 | 3.8681208E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6410787E-6 | 1.6577651E-6 | 1.6577651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.997995E-5 | 2.0183114E-5 | 2.0183114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9978154E-4 | 2.0181388E-4 | 2.0181388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4726595E-7 | 1.4880396E-7 | 1.4880396E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3113964E-7 | 6.3773115E-7 | 6.3773115E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.684098E-6 | 7.764354E-6 | 7.764354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6838325E-5 | 7.7641365E-5 | 7.7641365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.1880604E-8 | 4.2327088E-8 | 4.2327088E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7948828E-7 | 1.814018E-7 | 1.814018E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1852677E-6 | 2.208567E-6 | 2.208567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1852462E-5 | 2.2085671E-5 | 2.2085671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Northridge Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869076 | 0.0018968888 | 1.0052897 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869076 | 0.0018968888 | 1.0052897 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869076 | 0.0018968888 | 1.0052897 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869076 | 0.0018968888 | 1.0052897 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869076 | 0.0018968888 | 1.0052897 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869076 | 0.0018968888 | 1.0052897 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869076 | 0.0018968888 | 1.0052897 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869076 | 0.0018968888 | 1.0052897 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 3.6196348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.5512629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.8885001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018869076 | 0.0018968888 | 1.0052897 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.0942654E-6 | 3.6178492E-6 | 3.6178492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1832384E-5 | 1.5504977E-5 | 1.5504977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6577685E-4 | 1.8875687E-4 | 1.8875687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002654592 | 0.0018859778 | 0.0018959589 | 1.0052923 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.851143E-6 | 3.363089E-6 | 3.363089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0790447E-5 | 1.4413159E-5 | 1.4413159E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5309427E-4 | 1.7546612E-4 | 1.7546612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025280623 | 0.0017532803 | 0.0017632627 | 1.0056936 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.7910607E-6 | 3.3013514E-6 | 3.3013514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0532956E-5 | 1.41485725E-5 | 1.41485725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4996005E-4 | 1.7224529E-4 | 1.7224529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024967908 | 0.001721122 | 0.001721122 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.580079E-6 | 3.1110692E-6 | 3.1110692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9628762E-5 | 1.3333086E-5 | 1.3333086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3895396E-4 | 1.6231825E-4 | 1.6231825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023869718 | 0.0016220005 | 0.0016220005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.290062E-6 | 2.8724098E-6 | 2.8724098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.838585E-5 | 1.231027E-5 | 1.231027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2382473E-4 | 1.4986726E-4 | 1.4986726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022359942 | 0.001497665 | 0.001497665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0259683E-6 | 2.6779835E-6 | 2.6779835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7254037E-5 | 1.1477022E-5 | 1.1477022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1004764E-4 | 1.3972381E-4 | 1.3972381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002098492 | 0.0013963623 | 0.0013963623 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.5477108E-6 | 2.2890956E-6 | 2.2890956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5204386E-5 | 9.810374E-6 | 9.810374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8509767E-4 | 1.19434764E-4 | 1.19434764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018494357 | 0.0011937073 | 0.0011937073 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.9990608E-6 | 1.8563788E-6 | 1.8563788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2853055E-5 | 7.955885E-6 | 7.955885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.564747E-4 | 9.6858595E-5 | 9.6858595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015636457 | 9.6816465E-4 | 9.6816465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.4542855E-6 | 1.4493412E-6 | 1.4493412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05183235E-5 | 6.2114473E-6 | 6.2114473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2805307E-4 | 7.562175E-5 | 7.562175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001279793 | 7.5596076E-4 | 7.5596076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3623128E-6 | 8.0344597E-7 | 8.0344597E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8384703E-6 | 3.4433353E-6 | 3.4433353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.108106E-5 | 4.1921805E-5 | 4.1921805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1058323E-4 | 4.1913916E-4 | 4.1913916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.716622E-7 | 4.2314028E-7 | 4.2314028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3071194E-6 | 1.8134571E-6 | 1.8134571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0263436E-5 | 2.2078617E-5 | 2.2078617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0256142E-4 | 2.2076436E-4 | 2.2076436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.2117711E-7 | 6.638388E-8 | 6.638388E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1933034E-7 | 2.845023E-7 | 2.845023E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3228285E-6 | 3.4638103E-6 | 3.4638103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3226486E-5 | 3.4637582E-5 | 3.4637582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 02
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2243487E-6 | 2.2821384E-6 | 2.2821384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.532888E-6 | 9.78056E-6 | 9.78056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1605673E-4 | 1.1907231E-4 | 1.1907231E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011599615 | 0.001190135 | 0.0012001231 | 1.0083925 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2243487E-6 | 2.2821384E-6 | 2.2821384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.532888E-6 | 9.78056E-6 | 9.78056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1605673E-4 | 1.1907231E-4 | 1.1907231E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011599615 | 0.001190135 | 0.0012001231 | 1.0083925 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5787732E-6 | 1.6275675E-6 | 1.6275675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7661535E-6 | 6.975271E-6 | 6.975271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2374805E-5 | 8.492066E-5 | 8.492066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2344277E-4 | 8.4888685E-4 | 8.5887837E-4 | 1.0117701 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4850314E-6 | 1.5326019E-6 | 1.5326019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3644047E-6 | 6.5682775E-6 | 6.5682775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.748387E-5 | 7.996588E-5 | 7.996588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.745686E-4 | 7.9937495E-4 | 8.0936693E-4 | 1.0124998 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4266972E-6 | 1.4737382E-6 | 1.4737382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.114402E-6 | 6.3160055E-6 | 6.3160055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.44403E-5 | 7.6894685E-5 | 7.6894685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.441537E-4 | 7.6868426E-4 | 7.7867653E-4 | 1.0129993 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2728015E-6 | 1.3174135E-6 | 1.3174135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4548523E-6 | 5.646046E-6 | 5.646046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.64108E-5 | 6.873847E-5 | 6.873847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.639096E-4 | 6.871747E-4 | 6.971678E-4 | 1.0145423 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1857247E-6 | 1.2292202E-6 | 1.2292202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0816675E-6 | 5.2680757E-6 | 5.2680757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.186755E-5 | 6.413696E-5 | 6.413696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1850325E-4 | 6.4118695E-4 | 6.511805E-4 | 1.015586 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0550715E-6 | 1.095595E-6 | 1.095595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.521727E-6 | 4.695399E-6 | 4.695399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5050637E-5 | 5.7165005E-5 | 5.7165005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5037E-4 | 5.715051E-4 | 5.715051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.9881183E-7 | 9.3579473E-7 | 9.3579473E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8520448E-6 | 4.010543E-6 | 4.010543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.689764E-5 | 4.882728E-5 | 4.882728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688774E-4 | 4.8816728E-4 | 4.8816728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.5417256E-7 | 7.873228E-7 | 7.873228E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.232164E-6 | 3.3742363E-6 | 3.3742363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9350885E-5 | 4.1080566E-5 | 4.1080566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.934392E-4 | 4.1073115E-4 | 4.1073115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.909726E-7 | 6.179692E-7 | 6.179692E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5327372E-6 | 2.6484367E-6 | 2.6484367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.083564E-5 | 3.224425E-5 | 3.224425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.083136E-4 | 3.2239675E-4 | 3.2239675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4054178E-7 | 4.61847E-7 | 4.61847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8880348E-6 | 1.9793429E-6 | 1.9793429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2986582E-5 | 2.409824E-5 | 2.409824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2984203E-4 | 2.4095699E-4 | 2.4095699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.029834E-7 | 3.1831948E-7 | 3.1831948E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2984997E-6 | 1.3642257E-6 | 1.3642257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5809119E-5 | 1.6609325E-5 | 1.6609325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5807994E-4 | 1.6608128E-4 | 1.6608128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8700909E-7 | 1.9686593E-7 | 1.9686593E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0146725E-7 | 8.437109E-7 | 8.437109E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.75782E-6 | 1.0272134E-5 | 1.0272134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.757392E-5 | 1.0271687E-4 | 1.0271687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.2074425E-8 | 3.2074425E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3746183E-7 | 1.3746183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6735964E-6 | 1.6735964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6735847E-5 | 1.6735847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.409367E-5 | 9.409367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.031996E-4 | 4.031996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004898537 | 0.0049084877 | 1.0020314 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.047974657 | 0.04798418 | 1.0001985 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.055865E-5 | 5.055865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1666229E-4 | 2.1666229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026347486 | 0.0026447223 | 1.0037854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026044358 | 0.026054095 | 1.000374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.055865E-5 | 5.055865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1666229E-4 | 2.1666229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026347486 | 0.0026447223 | 1.0037854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026044358 | 0.026054095 | 1.000374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7755177E-5 | 3.7755177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6179807E-4 | 1.6179807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.001968144 | 0.0019781243 | 1.0050709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016452603 | 0.01951102 | 0.019520825 | 1.0005026 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5376328E-5 | 3.5376328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5160422E-4 | 1.5160422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018442511 | 0.0018542326 | 1.0054122 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015469253 | 0.018293219 | 0.018303035 | 1.0005367 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8795492E-5 | 2.8795492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2340356E-4 | 1.2340356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0015014295 | 0.0015114145 | 1.0066503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012709012 | 0.014915824 | 0.014925675 | 1.0006604 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.493308E-5 | 2.493308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0685181E-4 | 1.0685181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0013001666 | 0.0013101536 | 1.0076814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011061605 | 0.012928013 | 0.012937883 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1657263E-5 | 2.1657263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.281366E-5 | 9.281366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.001129441 | 0.001129441 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011239176 | 0.011239176 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8438224E-5 | 1.8438224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.9018675E-5 | 7.9018675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.616471E-4 | 9.616471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009576844 | 0.009576844 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.511049E-5 | 1.511049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.475773E-5 | 6.475773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.881584E-4 | 7.881584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007855458 | 0.007855458 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2732953E-5 | 1.2732953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.4568754E-5 | 5.4568754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.641897E-4 | 6.641897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006623799 | 0.006623799 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0174166E-5 | 1.0174166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.360294E-5 | 4.360294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.3075375E-4 | 5.3075375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.0052965647 | 0.0052965647 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.33536E-7 | 8.33536E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5722921E-6 | 3.5722921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.34918E-5 | 4.34918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.34834E-4 | 4.34834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.7014092E-7 | 3.7014092E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5863174E-6 | 1.5863174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9313242E-5 | 1.9313242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.931157E-4 | 1.931157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9681187E-7 | 1.9681187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4347914E-7 | 8.4347914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0269311E-5 | 1.0269311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.0268839E-4 | 1.0268839E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.2812816E-8 | 6.2812816E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6919776E-7 | 2.6919776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2774776E-6 | 3.2774776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.2774304E-5 | 3.2774304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.532413E-9 | 5.532413E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3710342E-8 | 2.3710342E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.886734E-7 | 2.886734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8867312E-6 | 2.8867312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3212312E-5 | 4.3212312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.851826E-4 | 1.851826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026203706 | 0.0022522812 | 0.0022522812 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02589687 | 0.022378461 | 0.022388237 | 1.0004369 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3212312E-5 | 4.3212312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.851826E-4 | 1.851826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026203706 | 0.0022522812 | 0.0022522812 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02589687 | 0.022378461 | 0.022388237 | 1.0004369 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.4581513E-5 | 3.4581513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4819815E-4 | 1.4819815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0018028318 | 0.0018028318 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022186736 | 0.017960334 | 0.017970154 | 1.0005468 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.4581513E-5 | 3.4581513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4819815E-4 | 1.4819815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0018028318 | 0.0018028318 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022186736 | 0.017960334 | 0.017970154 | 1.0005468 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1101295E-5 | 3.246286E-5 | 3.246286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7613651E-4 | 1.391192E-4 | 1.391192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021423528 | 0.0016924737 | 0.0016924737 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02121817 | 0.016874177 | 0.016884008 | 1.0005826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.1032585E-5 | 3.238079E-5 | 3.238079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7584208E-4 | 1.3876753E-4 | 1.3876753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021387753 | 0.0016881988 | 0.0016881988 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021183075 | 0.016832082 | 0.016841913 | 1.0005841 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.011629E-5 | 3.140073E-5 | 3.140073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7191563E-4 | 1.345677E-4 | 1.345677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020910634 | 0.0016371442 | 0.0016371442 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020714961 | 0.016327623 | 0.01633746 | 1.0006025 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8583938E-5 | 2.9584844E-5 | 2.9584844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6534925E-4 | 1.2678611E-4 | 1.2678611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020112682 | 0.0015425422 | 0.0015425422 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019931622 | 0.0153939 | 0.015403746 | 1.0006396 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.44341E-5 | 2.4574156E-5 | 2.4574156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4756636E-4 | 1.0531362E-4 | 1.0531362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017951399 | 0.0012814497 | 0.0012814497 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017807078 | 0.01281536 | 0.012825232 | 1.0007703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.221199E-5 | 2.1893757E-5 | 2.1893757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804408E-4 | 9.382706E-5 | 9.382706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016793909 | 0.0011417541 | 0.0011417541 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01666756 | 0.01143299 | 0.011442876 | 1.0008646 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.9186718E-5 | 1.8255023E-5 | 1.8255023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2507994E-4 | 7.823349E-5 | 7.823349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015217843 | 9.52081E-4 | 9.52081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015114053 | 0.009553633 | 0.009563536 | 1.0010368 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6840138E-5 | 1.5387785E-5 | 1.5387785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1502409E-4 | 6.594599E-5 | 6.594599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013995186 | 8.025986E-4 | 8.025986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013907375 | 0.0080703 | 0.008080219 | 1.0012292 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.453002E-5 | 1.2706858E-5 | 1.2706858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05124425E-4 | 5.445683E-5 | 5.445683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012791384 | 6.628108E-4 | 6.628108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012718005 | 0.006680783 | 0.006680783 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.3330727E-5 | 1.1586672E-5 | 1.1586672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9985E-5 | 4.9656224E-5 | 4.9656224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012166376 | 6.0439727E-4 | 6.0439727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012099981 | 0.0060986485 | 0.0060986485 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2136466E-5 | 1.0464634E-5 | 1.0464634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.486712E-5 | 4.4847664E-5 | 4.4847664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011543952 | 5.458838E-4 | 5.458838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011484168 | 0.005515097 | 0.005515097 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.0994974E-5 | 9.5193545E-6 | 9.5193545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997535E-5 | 4.0796593E-5 | 4.0796593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948994 | 4.9658556E-4 | 4.9658556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010895205 | 0.00502264 | 0.00502264 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.7091823E-5 | 6.9676653E-6 | 6.9676653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3248615E-5 | 2.9861081E-5 | 2.9861081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9143694E-4 | 3.634981E-4 | 3.634981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008878695 | 0.003688128 | 0.003688128 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.2772179E-5 | 4.072545E-6 | 4.072545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.473676E-5 | 1.7453647E-5 | 1.7453647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6621625E-4 | 2.1247746E-4 | 2.1247746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006642225 | 0.002165042 | 0.002165042 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.041923E-6 | 1.97406E-6 | 1.97406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.017932E-5 | 8.46023E-6 | 8.46023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6737128E-4 | 1.0299843E-4 | 1.0299843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036676454 | 0.0010561198 | 0.0010561198 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.946768E-6 | 1.0229776E-6 | 1.0229776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2628945E-5 | 4.384182E-6 | 4.384182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5374656E-4 | 5.337611E-5 | 5.337611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015364023 | 5.4442114E-4 | 5.4442114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1433375E-6 | 5.293973E-7 | 5.293973E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9000087E-6 | 2.2688437E-6 | 2.2688437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.965597E-5 | 2.762282E-5 | 2.762282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.963996E-4 | 2.7989785E-4 | 2.7989785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6675295E-7 | 1.6715374E-7 | 1.6715374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1432264E-6 | 7.1637305E-7 | 7.1637305E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3918692E-5 | 8.721807E-6 | 8.721807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.391782E-4 | 8.861723E-5 | 8.861723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.2704569E-8 | 9.813799E-9 | 9.813799E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.444815E-8 | 4.2059135E-8 | 4.2059135E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629061E-7 | 5.1206985E-7 | 5.1206985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629041E-6 | 5.316191E-6 | 5.316191E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5752368E-5 | 1.6278082E-5 | 1.6278082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.75084E-5 | 6.976136E-5 | 6.976136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2160486E-4 | 8.490167E-4 | 8.490167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008185739 | 0.008458111 | 0.008468027 | 1.0011723 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1325333E-5 | 1.1325333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.853624E-5 | 4.853624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.907692E-4 | 5.907692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057056635 | 0.0058920835 | 0.0058920835 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1325333E-5 | 1.1325333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.853624E-5 | 4.853624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.907692E-4 | 5.907692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057056635 | 0.0058920835 | 0.0058920835 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 8.926149E-6 | 9.214624E-6 | 9.214624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8254362E-5 | 3.949065E-5 | 3.949065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6564735E-4 | 4.806929E-4 | 4.806929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046467283 | 0.004796576 | 0.004796576 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 7.676955E-6 | 7.921764E-6 | 7.921764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.290082E-5 | 3.3949975E-5 | 3.3949975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0049385E-4 | 4.1326275E-4 | 4.1326275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039977287 | 0.004124969 | 0.004124969 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 6.1671026E-6 | 6.360198E-6 | 6.360198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6430173E-5 | 2.7257707E-5 | 2.7257707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2173982E-4 | 3.3181213E-4 | 3.3181213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003212744 | 0.0033131791 | 0.0033131791 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.553456E-6 | 5.725924E-6 | 5.725924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3800309E-5 | 2.4539444E-5 | 2.4539444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.897302E-4 | 2.9872684E-4 | 2.9872684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028935277 | 0.0029832614 | 0.0029832614 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.787857E-6 | 4.9342543E-6 | 4.9342543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0519226E-5 | 2.1146634E-5 | 2.1146634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4979294E-4 | 2.574299E-4 | 2.574299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024951235 | 0.0025713225 | 0.0025713225 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.9955166E-6 | 4.114244E-6 | 4.114244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7123532E-5 | 1.7632356E-5 | 1.7632356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0845905E-4 | 2.146528E-4 | 2.146528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002082636 | 0.0021444582 | 0.0021444582 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.4250072E-6 | 3.523082E-6 | 3.523082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46785205E-5 | 1.5098835E-5 | 1.5098835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869633E-4 | 1.8381282E-4 | 1.8381282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001785527 | 0.0018366104 | 0.0018366104 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.7712713E-6 | 2.8471939E-6 | 2.8471939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1876823E-5 | 1.2202202E-5 | 1.2202202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459073E-4 | 1.485517E-4 | 1.485517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014449668 | 0.0014845255 | 0.0014845255 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.227358E-6 | 2.2860827E-6 | 2.2860827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.545785E-6 | 9.797461E-6 | 9.797461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16213734E-4 | 1.1927756E-4 | 1.1927756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011615298 | 0.0011921364 | 0.0011921364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.581796E-6 | 1.621162E-6 | 1.621162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779108E-6 | 6.9478187E-6 | 6.9478187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.253252E-5 | 8.458641E-5 | 8.458641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.250187E-4 | 8.4554276E-4 | 8.4554276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0306567E-6 | 1.0548118E-6 | 1.0548118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4170924E-6 | 4.5206143E-6 | 4.5206143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3776774E-5 | 5.503709E-5 | 5.503709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.376376E-4 | 5.502348E-4 | 5.502348E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.535541E-7 | 6.683792E-7 | 6.683792E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.800943E-6 | 2.864479E-6 | 2.864479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100947E-5 | 3.4874476E-5 | 3.4874476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4095717E-4 | 3.4869017E-4 | 3.4869017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.2656962E-7 | 3.3322013E-7 | 3.3322013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995833E-6 | 1.4280855E-6 | 1.4280855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7039794E-5 | 1.7386803E-5 | 1.7386803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7038487E-4 | 1.7385447E-4 | 1.7385447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.754343E-8 | 9.8225314E-8 | 9.8225314E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.180432E-7 | 4.2096556E-7 | 4.2096556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.089664E-6 | 5.1252437E-6 | 5.1252437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0895473E-5 | 5.1251263E-5 | 5.1251263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0001453E-9 | 5.8502145E-9 | 5.8502145E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5714908E-8 | 2.5072348E-8 | 2.5072348E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307894E-7 | 3.0525578E-7 | 3.0525578E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307852E-6 | 3.052554E-6 | 3.052554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.465861E-11 | 7.465861E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1996528E-10 | 3.1996528E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.895577E-9 | 3.895577E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.895577E-8 | 3.895577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Maacama 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.368203E-4 | 2.5884114E-4 | 2.5884114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.862409E-4 | 0.0011087394 | 0.0011087394 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071141496 | 0.013397854 | 0.013397854 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06890667 | 0.124588266 | 0.12459702 | 1.0000702 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.368203E-4 | 2.5884114E-4 | 2.5884114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.862409E-4 | 0.0011087394 | 0.0011087394 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071141496 | 0.013397854 | 0.013397854 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06890667 | 0.124588266 | 0.12459702 | 1.0000702 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.360743E-4 | 2.5758488E-4 | 2.5758488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8304524E-4 | 0.0011033604 | 0.0011033604 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007075496 | 0.013333245 | 0.013333245 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06854413 | 0.12402157 | 0.12403033 | 1.0000706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1917239E-4 | 2.2447051E-4 | 2.2447051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1063887E-4 | 9.6157554E-4 | 9.6157554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061993203 | 0.011631634 | 0.011631634 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.060292065 | 0.10922346 | 0.10923237 | 1.0000815 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1859289E-4 | 2.23504E-4 | 2.23504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0815626E-4 | 9.574365E-4 | 9.574365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006169266 | 0.011581831 | 0.011581831 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06000784 | 0.10877944 | 0.10878835 | 1.0000819 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.09512424E-4 | 2.0600522E-4 | 2.0600522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6925453E-4 | 8.8252313E-4 | 8.8252313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005698218 | 0.010681658 | 0.010681658 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.055543028 | 0.10086115 | 0.10087014 | 1.0000892 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0502928E-4 | 1.9756347E-4 | 1.9756347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.500478E-4 | 8.4636954E-4 | 8.4636954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054655746 | 0.01024692 | 0.01024692 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.053330887 | 0.09700811 | 0.09701714 | 1.0000931 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.739358E-5 | 1.833706E-4 | 1.833706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.173343E-4 | 7.8559475E-4 | 7.8559475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050692135 | 0.0095154485 | 0.0095154485 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.049551267 | 0.090470694 | 0.09047978 | 1.0001005 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.969524E-5 | 1.6730156E-4 | 1.6730156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8435153E-4 | 7.167783E-4 | 7.167783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046694432 | 0.008686188 | 0.008686188 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.045725387 | 0.08298047 | 0.08298964 | 1.0001105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.838291E-5 | 1.448244E-4 | 1.448244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.358835E-4 | 6.2050467E-4 | 6.2050467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040817154 | 0.0075245732 | 0.0075245732 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04007554 | 0.07234799 | 0.07235727 | 1.0001283 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.961957E-5 | 1.2765446E-4 | 1.2765446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9833548E-4 | 5.469608E-4 | 5.469608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036261857 | 0.006636295 | 0.006636295 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.035675827 | 0.06414105 | 0.06415041 | 1.0001459 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.999398E-5 | 1.09559944E-4 | 1.09559944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.570917E-4 | 4.6944854E-4 | 4.6944854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031255994 | 0.0056990148 | 0.0056990148 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030820016 | 0.055380486 | 0.05538993 | 1.0001706 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.116532E-5 | 9.350197E-5 | 9.350197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1926152E-4 | 4.0065686E-4 | 4.0065686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002666241 | 0.0048663113 | 0.0048663113 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.026344774 | 0.047519613 | 0.04752914 | 1.0002004 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2087835E-5 | 7.6534096E-5 | 7.6534096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8036396E-4 | 3.279589E-4 | 3.279589E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021937196 | 0.003985094 | 0.003985094 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0217219 | 0.03908253 | 0.039092142 | 1.0002458 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.8991652E-5 | 5.1398587E-5 | 5.1398587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2424402E-4 | 2.2026048E-4 | 2.2026048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015116213 | 0.0026783047 | 0.0026783047 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015013801 | 0.026448889 | 0.026458625 | 1.0003681 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1292299E-6 | 1.4990876E-6 | 1.4990876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8395473E-6 | 6.4246524E-6 | 6.4246524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8919897E-5 | 7.821859E-5 | 7.821859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.890428E-4 | 7.825939E-4 | 7.825939E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.6535366E-7 | 3.4880964E-7 | 3.4880964E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1372296E-6 | 1.4948976E-6 | 1.4948976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3845682E-5 | 1.8200228E-5 | 1.8200228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3844819E-4 | 1.8249468E-4 | 1.8249468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.727789E-8 | 1.2376664E-7 | 1.2376664E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1690518E-7 | 5.3042834E-7 | 5.3042834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0758085E-6 | 6.457946E-6 | 6.457946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0756928E-5 | 6.494775E-5 | 6.494775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.1939325E-9 | 7.77867E-9 | 7.77867E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6545425E-8 | 3.333716E-8 | 3.333716E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.231905E-7 | 4.0587983E-7 | 4.0587983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2319003E-6 | 4.095323E-6 | 4.095323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.788061E-6 | 6.788061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9091367E-5 | 2.9091367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.541299E-4 | 3.541299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.003615619 | 0.003625583 | 1.0027558 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.788061E-6 | 6.788061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9091367E-5 | 2.9091367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.541299E-4 | 3.541299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.003615619 | 0.003625583 | 1.0027558 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.788061E-6 | 6.788061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9091367E-5 | 2.9091367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.541299E-4 | 3.541299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.003615619 | 0.003625583 | 1.0027558 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.788061E-6 | 6.788061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9091367E-5 | 2.9091367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.541299E-4 | 3.541299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.003615619 | 0.003625583 | 1.0027558 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.788061E-6 | 6.788061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.9091367E-5 | 2.9091367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.541299E-4 | 3.541299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00348675 | 0.003615619 | 0.003625583 | 1.0027558 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.7482665E-6 | 6.7482665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8920822E-5 | 2.8920822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.520542E-4 | 3.520542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035949291 | 0.003604893 | 1.0027717 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.7482665E-6 | 6.7482665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8920822E-5 | 2.8920822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.520542E-4 | 3.520542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035949291 | 0.003604893 | 1.0027717 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.667413E-6 | 6.667413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8574314E-5 | 2.8574314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.4783682E-4 | 3.4783682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0035528906 | 0.003562855 | 1.0028046 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.6618954E-6 | 6.6618954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8550667E-5 | 2.8550667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.47549E-4 | 3.47549E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034252026 | 0.003550022 | 0.0035599864 | 1.0028069 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.653271E-6 | 6.653271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.8513707E-5 | 2.8513707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4709915E-4 | 3.4709915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0035455378 | 0.0035555023 | 1.0028105 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.643371E-6 | 6.643371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.8471279E-5 | 2.8471279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.4658276E-4 | 3.4658276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0035403902 | 0.0035503546 | 1.0028145 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.6320604E-6 | 6.6320604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.8422806E-5 | 2.8422806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.459928E-4 | 3.459928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0035345105 | 0.0035444752 | 1.0028193 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.6139846E-6 | 6.6139846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.834534E-5 | 2.834534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.4504995E-4 | 3.4504995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0035251165 | 0.0035350812 | 1.0028268 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.5946883E-6 | 6.5946883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.8262644E-5 | 2.8262644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.4404345E-4 | 3.4404345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003404813 | 0.0035150985 | 0.0035250634 | 1.0028349 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.575683E-6 | 6.575683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.8181195E-5 | 2.8181195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.430521E-4 | 3.430521E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0035052155 | 0.0035151804 | 1.0028429 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.551858E-6 | 6.551858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.807909E-5 | 2.807909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.4180935E-4 | 3.4180935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033916887 | 0.003492841 | 0.003502806 | 1.002853 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.510812E-6 | 6.510812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7903183E-5 | 2.7903183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.3966836E-4 | 3.3966836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033738504 | 0.003471497 | 0.0034814624 | 1.0028706 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.302287E-6 | 6.302287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.7009522E-5 | 2.7009522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.287914E-4 | 3.287914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032119295 | 0.00336261 | 0.0033725763 | 1.0029639 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.8596506E-6 | 5.8596506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.5112546E-5 | 2.5112546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.871688E-4 | 3.0570242E-4 | 3.0570242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0031308294 | 0.003140798 | 1.0031841 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.1763387E-6 | 4.1763387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7898472E-5 | 1.7898472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.1789214E-4 | 2.1789214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020273007 | 0.002246337 | 0.0022563145 | 1.0044417 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.6003254E-6 | 2.6003254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.1144204E-5 | 1.1144204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3567226E-4 | 1.3567226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0014122286 | 0.0014222144 | 1.007071 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.255298E-6 | 1.255298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.3798376E-6 | 5.3798376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.549758E-5 | 6.549758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.890255E-4 | 6.990186E-4 | 1.0145032 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.2900713E-7 | 2.2900713E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.814587E-7 | 9.814587E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1949195E-5 | 1.1949195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.339666E-4 | 1.339666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 5.028267E-8 | 5.028267E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.1549714E-7 | 2.1549714E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.6236746E-6 | 2.6236746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 3.0256822E-5 | 3.0256822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.800644E-5 | 7.800644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4931823E-4 | 9.5930876E-4 | 1.0105239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453415 | 0.0094633205 | 1.0010478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.800644E-5 | 7.800644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4931823E-4 | 9.5930876E-4 | 1.0105239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453415 | 0.0094633205 | 1.0010478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.800644E-5 | 7.800644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4931823E-4 | 9.5930876E-4 | 1.0105239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453415 | 0.0094633205 | 1.0010478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.800644E-5 | 7.800644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4931823E-4 | 9.5930876E-4 | 1.0105239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453415 | 0.0094633205 | 1.0010478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.800644E-5 | 7.800644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4931823E-4 | 9.5930876E-4 | 1.0105239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453415 | 0.0094633205 | 1.0010478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.800644E-5 | 7.800644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4931823E-4 | 9.5930876E-4 | 1.0105239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453415 | 0.0094633205 | 1.0010478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.800644E-5 | 7.800644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4931823E-4 | 9.5930876E-4 | 1.0105239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453415 | 0.0094633205 | 1.0010478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.8202041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.800644E-5 | 7.800644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4931823E-4 | 9.5930876E-4 | 1.0105239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009453415 | 0.0094633205 | 1.0010478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7969454E-5 | 1.7969454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.7009696E-5 | 7.7009696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012120095 | 9.3719334E-4 | 9.47184E-4 | 1.0106602 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012054204 | 0.0093331225 | 0.009343029 | 1.0010614 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.7464414E-5 | 1.7464414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.484536E-5 | 7.484536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011869454 | 9.108648E-4 | 9.208557E-4 | 1.0109686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011806256 | 0.009072001 | 0.00908191 | 1.0010923 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7097862E-5 | 1.7097862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.327451E-5 | 7.327451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011682777 | 8.917555E-4 | 9.0174656E-4 | 1.0112039 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011621549 | 0.008882442 | 0.008892353 | 1.0011158 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.6615097E-5 | 1.6615097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.1205635E-5 | 7.1205635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011405671 | 8.6658716E-4 | 8.765785E-4 | 1.0115296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011347309 | 0.008632736 | 0.00864265 | 1.0011483 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.5590424E-5 | 1.5590424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.6814406E-5 | 6.6814406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010802611 | 8.131651E-4 | 8.2315697E-4 | 1.0122876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010750249 | 0.008102527 | 0.0081124455 | 1.0012242 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.401908E-5 | 1.401908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8890735E-5 | 6.0080405E-5 | 6.0080405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.312364E-4 | 7.412291E-4 | 1.0136654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009559342 | 0.0072888923 | 0.0072988197 | 1.001362 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.2870324E-5 | 1.2870324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.515738E-5 | 5.515738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.7133707E-4 | 6.8133033E-4 | 1.0148857 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00875714 | 0.0066936594 | 0.0067035924 | 1.0014839 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.593984E-6 | 9.593984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.1116436E-5 | 4.1116436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.688548E-4 | 5.004792E-4 | 5.004792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006668452 | 0.0049937186 | 0.0049937186 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.8591725E-6 | 3.8591725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6539207E-5 | 1.6539207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0134632E-4 | 2.0134632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319301 | 0.00201165 | 0.00201165 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3435816E-6 | 2.3435816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0043883E-5 | 1.0043883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2227749E-4 | 1.2227749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012221094 | 0.0012221094 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0574945E-6 | 1.0574945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.5321112E-6 | 4.5321112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.517708E-5 | 5.517708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.516358E-4 | 5.516358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6998298E-7 | 1.6998298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.284983E-7 | 7.284983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.869431E-6 | 8.869431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.869081E-5 | 8.869081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.6953947E-8 | 2.6953947E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.1551691E-7 | 1.1551691E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4064175E-6 | 1.4064175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.40640905E-5 | 1.40640905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
La Panza 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7185786E-6 | 4.7185786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0222333E-5 | 2.0222333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4618107E-4 | 2.4618107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024592779 | 0.0024692533 | 1.0040562 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7185786E-6 | 4.7185786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0222333E-5 | 2.0222333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4618107E-4 | 2.4618107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024592779 | 0.0024692533 | 1.0040562 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7185786E-6 | 4.7185786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0222333E-5 | 2.0222333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4618107E-4 | 2.4618107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024592779 | 0.0024692533 | 1.0040562 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7185786E-6 | 4.7185786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0222333E-5 | 2.0222333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4618107E-4 | 2.4618107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024592779 | 0.0024692533 | 1.0040562 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7185786E-6 | 4.7185786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0222333E-5 | 2.0222333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4618107E-4 | 2.4618107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024592779 | 0.0024692533 | 1.0040562 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.5014215E-6 | 2.5014215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0720336E-5 | 1.0720336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3051266E-4 | 1.3051266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013043985 | 0.0013043985 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.5014215E-6 | 2.5014215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0720336E-5 | 1.0720336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3051266E-4 | 1.3051266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013043985 | 0.0013043985 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5108508E-6 | 1.5153879E-6 | 1.5153879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4750584E-6 | 6.4945043E-6 | 6.4945043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8830984E-5 | 7.906783E-5 | 7.906783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.880303E-4 | 7.9040776E-4 | 7.9040776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3865837E-6 | 1.389249E-6 | 1.389249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.942488E-6 | 5.953911E-6 | 5.953911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.234739E-5 | 7.248655E-5 | 7.248655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.232384E-4 | 7.246389E-4 | 7.246389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.826583E-7 | 9.803363E-7 | 9.803363E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2113857E-6 | 4.2014344E-6 | 4.2014344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1272415E-5 | 5.115132E-5 | 5.115132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.126059E-4 | 5.114008E-4 | 5.114008E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.7797646E-7 | 6.7170436E-7 | 6.7170436E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9056102E-6 | 2.8787301E-6 | 2.8787301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.537523E-5 | 3.5048008E-5 | 3.5048008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5369597E-4 | 3.504279E-4 | 3.504279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.4979826E-7 | 3.393959E-7 | 3.393959E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4991346E-6 | 1.4545532E-6 | 1.4545532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825181E-5 | 1.7709053E-5 | 1.7709053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825031E-4 | 1.7707759E-4 | 1.7707759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.5088332E-7 | 2.389666E-7 | 2.389666E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0752137E-6 | 1.0241422E-6 | 1.0241422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3090649E-5 | 1.24688695E-5 | 1.24688695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089878E-4 | 1.2468254E-4 | 1.2468254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0159086E-7 | 8.707751E-8 | 8.707751E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3538932E-7 | 3.7318927E-7 | 3.7318927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300852E-6 | 4.54357E-6 | 4.54357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3007258E-5 | 4.5434812E-5 | 4.5434812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5006252E-8 | 1.960655E-8 | 1.960655E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5002678E-7 | 8.4028066E-8 | 8.4028066E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265745E-6 | 1.0230412E-6 | 1.0230412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265595E-5 | 1.02303675E-5 | 1.02303675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.592274E-8 | 1.0390002E-8 | 1.0390002E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1109746E-7 | 4.4528576E-8 | 4.4528576E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526106E-6 | 5.421353E-7 | 5.421353E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526024E-5 | 5.4213406E-6 | 5.4213406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.9016717E-8 | 5.3416676E-9 | 5.3416676E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.150022E-8 | 2.2892861E-8 | 2.2892861E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922647E-7 | 2.7872053E-7 | 2.7872053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922603E-6 | 2.7872022E-6 | 2.7872022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.17738495E-8 | 1.2818111E-9 | 1.2818111E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0459356E-8 | 5.493476E-9 | 5.493476E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1434247E-7 | 6.688307E-8 | 6.688307E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.143408E-6 | 6.6883047E-7 | 6.6883047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.489079E-9 | 2.1212909E-10 | 2.1212909E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3524624E-8 | 9.09125E-10 | 9.09125E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641225E-7 | 1.1068596E-8 | 1.1068596E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641189E-6 | 1.1068595E-7 | 1.1068595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5081048E-9 | 7.101597E-11 | 7.101597E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0749021E-8 | 3.043542E-10 | 3.043542E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086932E-7 | 3.705512E-9 | 3.705512E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086925E-6 | 3.705512E-8 | 3.705512E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Puente Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.106866E-6 | 8.106866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.474328E-5 | 3.474328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2292298E-4 | 4.2292298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004221742 | 0.0042316997 | 1.0023587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.106866E-6 | 8.106866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.474328E-5 | 3.474328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2292298E-4 | 4.2292298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004221742 | 0.0042316997 | 1.0023587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.106866E-6 | 8.106866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.474328E-5 | 3.474328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2292298E-4 | 4.2292298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004221742 | 0.0042316997 | 1.0023587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.106866E-6 | 8.106866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.474328E-5 | 3.474328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2292298E-4 | 4.2292298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004221742 | 0.0042316997 | 1.0023587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.106866E-6 | 8.106866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.474328E-5 | 3.474328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2292298E-4 | 4.2292298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004221742 | 0.0042316997 | 1.0023587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.106866E-6 | 8.106866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.474328E-5 | 3.474328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2292298E-4 | 4.2292298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004221742 | 0.0042316997 | 1.0023587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.4066344E-6 | 6.4066344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.7456728E-5 | 2.7456728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.3423686E-4 | 3.3423686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053197746 | 0.0033375872 | 0.0033375872 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.4066344E-6 | 6.4066344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.7456728E-5 | 2.7456728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.3423686E-4 | 3.3423686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053197746 | 0.0033375872 | 0.0033375872 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.6367845E-6 | 5.034935E-6 | 5.034935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7014266E-5 | 2.1578117E-5 | 2.1578117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.505555E-4 | 2.6268247E-4 | 2.6268247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004496431 | 0.002623776 | 0.002623776 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.066481E-6 | 4.8427046E-6 | 4.8427046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570177E-5 | 2.0754285E-5 | 2.0754285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2081063E-4 | 2.5265466E-4 | 2.5265466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042001465 | 0.0025237282 | 0.0025237282 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.393828E-6 | 4.4236112E-6 | 4.4236112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.168745E-5 | 1.8958199E-5 | 1.8958199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.857264E-4 | 2.3079207E-4 | 2.3079207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038505755 | 0.0023055694 | 0.0023055694 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4660953E-6 | 3.809837E-6 | 3.809837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7711543E-5 | 1.6327773E-5 | 1.6327773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.373358E-4 | 1.9877286E-4 | 1.9877286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033682417 | 0.0019859865 | 0.0019859865 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.143232E-6 | 2.7907931E-6 | 2.7907931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2042237E-5 | 1.1960487E-5 | 1.1960487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6833118E-4 | 1.456093E-4 | 1.456093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002680074 | 0.0014551487 | 0.0014551487 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.928255E-6 | 2.0951254E-6 | 2.0951254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.683527E-5 | 8.979078E-6 | 8.979078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0495013E-4 | 1.0931487E-4 | 1.0931487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002047612 | 0.0010926176 | 0.0010926176 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.7894434E-6 | 1.3579685E-6 | 1.3579685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1954703E-5 | 5.819852E-6 | 5.819852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4553878E-4 | 7.085444E-5 | 7.085444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001454435 | 7.083229E-4 | 7.083229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.041735E-6 | 8.813827E-7 | 8.813827E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.750263E-6 | 3.777349E-6 | 3.777349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06529245E-4 | 4.598829E-5 | 4.598829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010647819 | 4.597911E-4 | 4.597911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6959062E-6 | 6.7192974E-7 | 6.7192974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.268149E-6 | 2.8796958E-6 | 2.8796958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.848612E-5 | 3.5059762E-5 | 3.5059762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84509E-4 | 3.5054522E-4 | 3.5054522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.4767965E-6 | 5.422799E-7 | 5.422799E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3291122E-6 | 2.3240548E-6 | 2.3240548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.705422E-5 | 2.8295026E-5 | 2.8295026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.702751E-4 | 2.8291682E-4 | 2.8291682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8432911E-7 | 7.2990176E-8 | 7.2990176E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8998164E-7 | 3.1281502E-7 | 3.1281502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617985E-6 | 3.8085195E-6 | 3.8085195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617568E-5 | 3.8084872E-5 | 3.8084872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1616255E-5 | 3.1616255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3549198E-4 | 1.3549198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016485029 | 0.0016485029 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016376493 | 0.01638633 | 1.0006006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1616255E-5 | 3.1616255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3549198E-4 | 1.3549198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016485029 | 0.0016485029 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016376493 | 0.01638633 | 1.0006006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1616255E-5 | 3.1616255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3549198E-4 | 1.3549198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016485029 | 0.0016485029 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016376493 | 0.01638633 | 1.0006006 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7812195E-5 | 1.7812195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.633585E-5 | 7.633585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.29011E-4 | 9.29011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.009253147 | 0.009253147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7812195E-5 | 1.7812195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.633585E-5 | 7.633585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.29011E-4 | 9.29011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.009253147 | 0.009253147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.30483795E-5 | 1.30483795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.592045E-5 | 5.592045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8062247E-4 | 6.8062247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063656955 | 0.0067857783 | 0.0067857783 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1161099E-5 | 1.1161099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.783242E-5 | 4.783242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.822063E-4 | 5.822063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005458487 | 0.0058070514 | 0.0058070514 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.240384E-6 | 9.240384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9601047E-5 | 3.9601047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.8203664E-4 | 4.8203664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.0048099784 | 0.0048099784 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.820317E-6 | 8.820317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.780081E-5 | 3.780081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.6012815E-4 | 4.6012815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045918077 | 0.0045918077 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.568236E-6 | 8.568236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.6720496E-5 | 3.6720496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4698073E-4 | 4.4698073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044608684 | 0.0044608684 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.077731E-6 | 8.077731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4618388E-5 | 3.4618388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2139777E-4 | 4.2139777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042060344 | 0.0042060344 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5486246E-6 | 7.5486246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.235085E-5 | 3.235085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9380076E-4 | 3.9380076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.003931072 | 0.003931072 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.829976E-6 | 6.829976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9271E-5 | 2.9271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5631636E-4 | 3.5631636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.003557479 | 0.003557479 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.822186E-6 | 5.822186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4951987E-5 | 2.4951987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.037483E-4 | 3.037483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030333542 | 0.0030333542 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3138257E-6 | 4.3138257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8487694E-5 | 1.8487694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.250645E-4 | 2.250645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022483747 | 0.0022483747 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4761143E-6 | 2.4761143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0611875E-5 | 1.0611875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2919198E-4 | 1.2919198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012911737 | 0.0012911737 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.863636E-7 | 9.863636E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.227266E-6 | 4.227266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.146576E-5 | 5.146576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.145397E-4 | 5.145397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.642204E-7 | 2.642204E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1323727E-6 | 1.1323727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3786551E-5 | 1.3786551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3785703E-4 | 1.3785703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.966299E-8 | 3.966299E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6998423E-7 | 1.6998423E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0695563E-6 | 2.0695563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0695392E-5 | 2.0695392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.948949E-10 | 5.948949E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.54955E-9 | 2.54955E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.104077E-8 | 3.104077E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.1040764E-7 | 3.1040764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Superstition Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6865185E-5 | 1.4286777E-5 | 1.4286777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8653358E-4 | 6.12277E-5 | 6.12277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034829667 | 7.4520864E-4 | 7.4520864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03428881 | 0.007598365 | 0.007608289 | 1.001306 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.544851E-5 | 1.4286777E-5 | 1.4286777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8046346E-4 | 6.12277E-5 | 6.12277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034092965 | 7.452086E-4 | 7.452086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.033574644 | 0.0075983643 | 0.0076082884 | 1.001306 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.544851E-5 | 1.4286777E-5 | 1.4286777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8046346E-4 | 6.12277E-5 | 6.12277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034092965 | 7.452086E-4 | 7.452086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.033574644 | 0.0075983643 | 0.0076082884 | 1.001306 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.2402065E-5 | 1.4286775E-5 | 1.4286775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2456095E-4 | 6.122769E-5 | 6.122769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027306017 | 7.452085E-4 | 7.452085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02697292 | 0.0075983573 | 0.007608281 | 1.001306 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.542238E-5 | 1.4286774E-5 | 1.4286774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9465282E-4 | 6.1227685E-5 | 6.1227685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023673223 | 7.4520847E-4 | 7.4520847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023422617 | 0.007598353 | 0.0076082773 | 1.001306 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9672969E-5 | 1.4286772E-5 | 1.4286772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2716366E-4 | 6.122768E-5 | 6.122768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015471181 | 7.452084E-4 | 7.452084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015363912 | 0.0075983456 | 0.0076082693 | 1.001306 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6056105E-5 | 1.3951498E-5 | 1.3951498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1166424E-4 | 5.9790855E-5 | 5.9790855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013586642 | 7.277267E-4 | 7.277267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013503874 | 0.007422288 | 0.007432214 | 1.0013373 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4611248E-5 | 1.35306E-5 | 1.35306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.261813E-5 | 5.7987087E-5 | 5.7987087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6210906E-4 | 7.057802E-4 | 7.057802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075950073 | 0.0072030285 | 0.007212957 | 1.0013783 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.30607E-5 | 1.1119555E-5 | 1.1119555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.597323E-5 | 4.7654412E-5 | 4.7654412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8126095E-4 | 5.8004685E-4 | 5.8004685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006791762 | 0.005947958 | 0.0059578987 | 1.0016712 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0443096E-5 | 8.323376E-6 | 8.323376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4755358E-5 | 3.5671135E-5 | 3.5671135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.447602E-4 | 4.3421195E-4 | 4.3421195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005434267 | 0.0044760504 | 0.0044860058 | 1.0022241 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.045912E-6 | 6.856301E-6 | 6.856301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4482026E-5 | 2.9383822E-5 | 2.9383822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.197378E-4 | 3.5769035E-4 | 3.5769035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041894587 | 0.0036940635 | 0.0037040266 | 1.002697 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.045912E-6 | 6.856301E-6 | 6.856301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4482026E-5 | 2.9383822E-5 | 2.9383822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.197378E-4 | 3.5769035E-4 | 3.5769035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041894587 | 0.0036940635 | 0.0037040266 | 1.002697 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.375506E-6 | 6.361115E-6 | 6.361115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1608928E-5 | 2.7261642E-5 | 2.7261642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8477074E-4 | 3.3186082E-4 | 3.3186082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003841052 | 0.0034335998 | 0.0034435655 | 1.0029024 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.6063913E-6 | 5.911699E-6 | 5.911699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8312797E-5 | 2.5335612E-5 | 2.5335612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.446538E-4 | 3.0841815E-4 | 3.0841815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034411973 | 0.0031969158 | 0.003206884 | 1.003118 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.4313126E-6 | 5.792751E-6 | 5.792751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7562477E-5 | 2.4825842E-5 | 2.4825842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.355215E-4 | 3.0221345E-4 | 3.0221345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033501536 | 0.0031344753 | 0.003144444 | 1.0031804 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.0742927E-6 | 5.5872088E-6 | 5.5872088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6032423E-5 | 2.3944966E-5 | 2.3944966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1689866E-4 | 2.9149165E-4 | 2.9149165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031644711 | 0.0030255937 | 0.0030355635 | 1.0032952 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6987187E-6 | 5.4039847E-6 | 5.4039847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4422852E-5 | 2.3159731E-5 | 2.3159731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9730765E-4 | 2.8193396E-4 | 2.8193396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002969102 | 0.0029280887 | 0.0029380592 | 1.0034052 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1658035E-6 | 5.03271E-6 | 5.03271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2138971E-5 | 2.1568581E-5 | 2.1568581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6950863E-4 | 2.6256646E-4 | 2.6256646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00269182 | 0.0027319586 | 0.0027419312 | 1.0036504 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.6864697E-6 | 4.2994598E-6 | 4.2994598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.579906E-5 | 1.8426128E-5 | 1.8426128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9233658E-4 | 2.2431552E-4 | 2.2431552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019217018 | 0.0023429734 | 0.00235295 | 1.004258 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.0265903E-6 | 3.6592837E-6 | 3.6592837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2971037E-5 | 1.5682552E-5 | 1.5682552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5791094E-4 | 1.9091881E-4 | 1.9091881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015779877 | 0.00200334 | 0.00200334 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.5271493E-6 | 3.1746933E-6 | 3.1746933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0830595E-5 | 1.360576E-5 | 1.360576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3185451E-4 | 1.6563798E-4 | 1.6563798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013177631 | 0.0017432533 | 0.0017432533 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.3749135E-6 | 3.001651E-6 | 3.001651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0178161E-5 | 1.2864158E-5 | 1.2864158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2391206E-4 | 1.566103E-4 | 1.566103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012384299 | 0.0016488949 | 0.0016488949 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7186406E-9 | 1.185221E-9 | 1.185221E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3656024E-9 | 5.079519E-9 | 5.079519E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9676206E-8 | 6.184314E-8 | 6.184314E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9676166E-7 | 6.6113677E-7 | 6.6113677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Fickle Hill (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030372394 | 0.003047209 | 1.0032824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030372394 | 0.003047209 | 1.0032824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030372394 | 0.003047209 | 1.0032824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030372394 | 0.003047209 | 1.0032824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030372394 | 0.003047209 | 1.0032824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030372394 | 0.003047209 | 1.0032824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030372394 | 0.003047209 | 1.0032824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 5.8292253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 2.4982168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 3.0411768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030372394 | 0.003047209 | 1.0032824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.2207747E-6 | 5.547888E-6 | 5.547888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2374557E-5 | 2.377646E-5 | 2.377646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7237617E-4 | 2.8944213E-4 | 2.8944213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027204256 | 0.00289087 | 0.002900841 | 1.0034492 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.2186956E-6 | 5.545708E-6 | 5.545708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2365646E-5 | 2.3767116E-5 | 2.3767116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.722677E-4 | 2.8932843E-4 | 2.8932843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027193436 | 0.0028897356 | 0.0028997066 | 1.0034505 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.403045E-6 | 4.7004523E-6 | 4.7004523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8870056E-5 | 2.0144647E-5 | 2.0144647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.297187E-4 | 2.4523478E-4 | 2.4523478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022948137 | 0.002449772 | 0.002449772 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.5911396E-6 | 3.849676E-6 | 3.849676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5390508E-5 | 1.649851E-5 | 1.649851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8736332E-4 | 2.0085159E-4 | 2.0085159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018720542 | 0.002006774 | 0.002006774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.888171E-6 | 3.1156792E-6 | 3.1156792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2377816E-5 | 1.3352844E-5 | 1.3352844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5068949E-4 | 1.62559E-4 | 1.62559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015058735 | 0.0016244256 | 0.0016244256 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.275019E-6 | 2.4688227E-6 | 2.4688227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.750045E-6 | 1.0580627E-5 | 1.0580627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1870033E-4 | 1.2881166E-4 | 1.2881166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011863695 | 0.0012873838 | 0.0012873838 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.076662E-6 | 2.2588374E-6 | 2.2588374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8999495E-6 | 9.680696E-6 | 9.680696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08351494E-4 | 1.1785624E-4 | 1.1785624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010829868 | 0.0011779504 | 0.0011779504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.6450799E-6 | 1.796432E-6 | 1.796432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0503233E-6 | 7.698972E-6 | 7.698972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5834305E-5 | 9.3731025E-5 | 9.3731025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.580116E-4 | 9.369226E-4 | 9.369226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.168891E-6 | 1.2837311E-6 | 1.2837311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.009523E-6 | 5.501693E-6 | 5.501693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.098924E-5 | 6.698111E-5 | 6.698111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.09725E-4 | 6.696149E-4 | 6.696149E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.9871026E-7 | 4.4301825E-7 | 4.4301825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.708757E-6 | 1.8986483E-6 | 1.8986483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0803918E-5 | 2.3115806E-5 | 2.3115806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0801972E-4 | 2.3113487E-4 | 2.3113487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14295965E-7 | 1.2863774E-7 | 1.2863774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8983975E-7 | 5.513045E-7 | 5.513045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9637828E-6 | 6.7121127E-6 | 6.7121127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9636226E-5 | 6.7119254E-5 | 6.7119254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mad River (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.283086E-4 | 6.383023E-4 | 1.0159057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.0062667616 | 0.006276699 | 1.0015857 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.283086E-4 | 6.383023E-4 | 1.0159057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.0062667616 | 0.006276699 | 1.0015857 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.283086E-4 | 6.383023E-4 | 1.0159057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.0062667616 | 0.006276699 | 1.0015857 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.283086E-4 | 6.383023E-4 | 1.0159057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.0062667616 | 0.006276699 | 1.0015857 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.283086E-4 | 6.383023E-4 | 1.0159057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.0062667616 | 0.006276699 | 1.0015857 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.283086E-4 | 6.383023E-4 | 1.0159057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.0062667616 | 0.006276699 | 1.0015857 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.2044922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 5.1620154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.283086E-4 | 6.383023E-4 | 1.0159057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.0062667616 | 0.006276699 | 1.0015857 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.0564884E-6 | 7.609152E-6 | 7.609152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0241743E-5 | 3.2610256E-5 | 3.2610256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.68131E-4 | 3.9695972E-4 | 4.0695575E-4 | 1.0251815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036752177 | 0.0039627287 | 0.003972689 | 1.0025135 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.0564884E-6 | 7.609152E-6 | 7.609152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0241743E-5 | 3.2610256E-5 | 3.2610256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.68131E-4 | 3.9695972E-4 | 4.0695575E-4 | 1.0251815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036752177 | 0.0039627287 | 0.003972689 | 1.0025135 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.727494E-6 | 7.2608777E-6 | 7.2608777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8831799E-5 | 3.111769E-5 | 3.111769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.509706E-4 | 3.7879412E-4 | 3.8879036E-4 | 1.0263896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003504168 | 0.0037817003 | 0.0037916626 | 1.0026343 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.7021124E-6 | 7.233706E-6 | 7.233706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8723021E-5 | 3.100124E-5 | 3.100124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4964667E-4 | 3.7737688E-4 | 3.8737312E-4 | 1.0264887 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034909705 | 0.0037675758 | 0.0037775382 | 1.0026442 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.2784667E-6 | 5.735336E-6 | 5.735336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2621804E-5 | 2.4579786E-5 | 2.4579786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7538565E-4 | 2.992187E-4 | 2.992187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027504463 | 0.0029882505 | 0.0029882505 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.4085446E-6 | 4.822364E-6 | 4.822364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8893625E-5 | 2.0667112E-5 | 2.0667112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3000561E-4 | 2.5159345E-4 | 2.5159345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022976769 | 0.002513127 | 0.002513127 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.4060627E-6 | 3.7555687E-6 | 3.7555687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.459733E-5 | 1.6095197E-5 | 1.6095197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.77708E-4 | 1.9594163E-4 | 1.9594163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017756595 | 0.001957712 | 0.001957712 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.0570902E-6 | 3.3825313E-6 | 3.3825313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.310175E-5 | 1.4496483E-5 | 1.4496483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5950213E-4 | 1.7648061E-4 | 1.7648061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015938769 | 0.0017634261 | 0.0017634261 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.674048E-6 | 2.971315E-6 | 2.971315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1460155E-5 | 1.2734146E-5 | 1.2734146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3951845E-4 | 1.550274E-4 | 1.550274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013943089 | 0.0015492121 | 0.0015492121 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8806261E-6 | 2.1061694E-6 | 2.1061694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.059801E-6 | 9.026409E-6 | 9.026409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.812366E-5 | 1.0989112E-4 | 1.0989112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.808034E-4 | 0.0010983802 | 0.0010983802 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.461283E-7 | 7.3470045E-7 | 7.3470045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7691183E-6 | 3.1487125E-6 | 3.1487125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.371349E-5 | 3.8334914E-5 | 3.8334914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.370838E-4 | 3.8328453E-4 | 3.8328453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0785324E-7 | 3.5322128E-7 | 3.5322128E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3193703E-6 | 1.5138047E-6 | 1.5138047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6063215E-5 | 1.8430423E-5 | 1.8430423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6062055E-4 | 1.8428959E-4 | 1.8428959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Del Valle
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.776956E-6 | 8.776956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.7615093E-5 | 3.7615093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.578873E-4 | 4.6788272E-4 | 1.0218295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055759475 | 0.004571359 | 0.0045813136 | 1.0021775 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.776956E-6 | 8.776956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.7615093E-5 | 3.7615093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.578873E-4 | 4.6788272E-4 | 1.0218295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055759475 | 0.004571359 | 0.0045813136 | 1.0021775 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.776956E-6 | 8.776956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.7615093E-5 | 3.7615093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.578873E-4 | 4.6788272E-4 | 1.0218295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055759475 | 0.004571359 | 0.0045813136 | 1.0021775 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.8727666E-6 | 4.8727666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.055412E-5 | 2.0883122E-5 | 2.0883122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.542231E-4 | 2.6422055E-4 | 1.0393255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0025393723 | 0.002549347 | 1.003928 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.8727666E-6 | 4.8727666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.055412E-5 | 2.0883122E-5 | 2.0883122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.542231E-4 | 2.6422055E-4 | 1.0393255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0025393723 | 0.002549347 | 1.003928 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.8727666E-6 | 4.8727666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.055412E-5 | 2.0883122E-5 | 2.0883122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.542231E-4 | 2.6422055E-4 | 1.0393255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0025393723 | 0.002549347 | 1.003928 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.8727666E-6 | 4.8727666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.055412E-5 | 2.0883122E-5 | 2.0883122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.542231E-4 | 2.6422055E-4 | 1.0393255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0025393723 | 0.002549347 | 1.003928 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.12272E-6 | 4.870139E-6 | 4.870139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0525585E-5 | 2.0871861E-5 | 2.0871861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7158563E-4 | 2.5408602E-4 | 2.6408347E-4 | 1.0393467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003709649 | 0.002538005 | 0.0025479796 | 1.0039301 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.7558703E-6 | 4.5660554E-6 | 4.5660554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.895341E-5 | 1.9568666E-5 | 1.9568666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5245073E-4 | 2.3822309E-4 | 2.4822072E-4 | 1.0419675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035189227 | 0.0023797164 | 0.0023896925 | 1.0041922 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.6700386E-6 | 4.5090665E-6 | 4.5090665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8585566E-5 | 1.932443E-5 | 1.932443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.479737E-4 | 2.3525018E-4 | 2.4524782E-4 | 1.042498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003474293 | 0.0023500503 | 0.0023600268 | 1.0042453 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.3181424E-6 | 4.1048365E-6 | 4.1048365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7077473E-5 | 1.7592041E-5 | 1.7592041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2961834E-4 | 2.1416247E-4 | 2.2416034E-4 | 1.0466835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032912986 | 0.0021395793 | 0.002149558 | 1.0046638 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.248759E-6 | 4.039945E-6 | 4.039945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.678012E-5 | 1.7313938E-5 | 1.7313938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2599916E-4 | 2.1077723E-4 | 2.2077512E-4 | 1.0474335 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032552136 | 0.0021057914 | 0.0021157702 | 1.0047388 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.0411944E-6 | 3.8754883E-6 | 3.8754883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5890577E-5 | 1.6609132E-5 | 1.6609132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1517216E-4 | 2.0219784E-4 | 2.1219582E-4 | 1.0494465 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031472554 | 0.0020201558 | 0.0020301356 | 1.0049402 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.7691183E-6 | 3.0824356E-6 | 3.0824356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0438918E-5 | 1.3210372E-5 | 1.3210372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.488154E-4 | 1.6082462E-4 | 1.7082303E-4 | 1.0621696 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00248537 | 0.0016070864 | 0.0016170703 | 1.0062125 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.5524722E-6 | 2.1922951E-6 | 2.1922951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5224792E-5 | 9.395517E-6 | 9.395517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8534607E-4 | 1.143845E-4 | 1.2438335E-4 | 1.0874144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018519156 | 0.0011432645 | 0.0011532531 | 1.0087368 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.7133442E-6 | 1.593932E-6 | 1.593932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1628566E-5 | 6.831119E-6 | 6.831119E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.415686E-4 | 8.3165716E-5 | 8.3165716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014147845 | 8.313479E-4 | 8.313479E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.915338E-6 | 1.1754963E-6 | 1.1754963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.208566E-6 | 5.0378317E-6 | 5.0378317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.993471E-5 | 6.1333885E-5 | 6.1333885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988978E-4 | 6.131705E-4 | 6.131705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.2120448E-6 | 7.191455E-7 | 7.191455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.194467E-6 | 3.0820484E-6 | 3.0820484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3240805E-5 | 3.7523296E-5 | 3.7523296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322281E-4 | 3.7517E-4 | 3.7517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.272381E-7 | 3.9386407E-7 | 3.9386407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6881603E-6 | 1.6879877E-6 | 1.6879877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.272786E-5 | 2.0551059E-5 | 2.0551059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.272304E-4 | 2.0549174E-4 | 2.0549174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0292627E-7 | 1.2022718E-7 | 1.2022718E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6968373E-7 | 5.152593E-7 | 5.152593E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0588348E-5 | 6.273264E-6 | 6.273264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0587843E-4 | 6.273089E-5 | 6.273089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.374492E-8 | 2.195304E-8 | 2.195304E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8747821E-7 | 9.4084456E-8 | 9.4084456E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2825448E-6 | 1.1454777E-6 | 1.1454777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2825214E-5 | 1.1454722E-5 | 1.1454722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 08 (Quinto)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.256459E-6 | 8.256459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5384455E-5 | 3.5384455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3073943E-4 | 4.3073943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004029296 | 0.0043009 | 0.004310857 | 1.002315 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.256459E-6 | 8.256459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5384455E-5 | 3.5384455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3073943E-4 | 4.3073943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004029296 | 0.0043009 | 0.004310857 | 1.002315 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.256459E-6 | 8.256459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5384455E-5 | 3.5384455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3073943E-4 | 4.3073943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004029296 | 0.0043009 | 0.004310857 | 1.002315 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.7530833E-6 | 5.7530833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4655901E-5 | 2.4655901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.0015537E-4 | 3.0015537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028001624 | 0.002998594 | 0.002998594 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.7530833E-6 | 5.7530833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4655901E-5 | 2.4655901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.0015537E-4 | 3.0015537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028001624 | 0.002998594 | 0.002998594 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.65427E-6 | 3.943249E-6 | 3.943249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5661062E-5 | 1.6899568E-5 | 1.6899568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9065675E-4 | 2.0573987E-4 | 2.0573987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019049325 | 0.0020561863 | 0.0020561863 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6143538E-6 | 3.9004162E-6 | 3.9004162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5489995E-5 | 1.6716001E-5 | 1.6716001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8857437E-4 | 2.0350538E-4 | 2.0350538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018841444 | 0.0020338823 | 0.0020338823 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.4821015E-6 | 2.6870764E-6 | 2.6870764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0637535E-5 | 1.1516023E-5 | 1.1516023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2950429E-4 | 1.4020423E-4 | 1.4020423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942884 | 0.0014017131 | 0.0014017131 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.7110538E-7 | 5.196322E-7 | 5.196322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0190216E-6 | 2.2269933E-6 | 2.2269933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.458131E-5 | 2.7113325E-5 | 2.7113325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.457859E-4 | 2.7110198E-4 | 2.7110198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.958685E-7 | 4.3731686E-7 | 4.3731686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6965782E-6 | 1.8742139E-6 | 1.8742139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0655643E-5 | 2.2818333E-5 | 2.2818333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0653724E-4 | 2.2816152E-4 | 2.2816152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.70294E-7 | 2.9939883E-7 | 2.9939883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1584025E-6 | 1.2831373E-6 | 1.2831373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4103458E-5 | 1.5622098E-5 | 1.5622098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4102564E-4 | 1.5621127E-4 | 1.5621127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4828602E-7 | 1.6480423E-7 | 1.6480423E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3551136E-7 | 7.063037E-7 | 7.063037E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737323E-6 | 8.599222E-6 | 8.599222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737054E-5 | 8.59897E-5 | 8.59897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.0646852E-4 | 3.0646852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013122014 | 0.0013122014 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007891912 | 0.015760504 | 0.015770346 | 1.0006245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.076174594 | 0.13900754 | 0.13901615 | 1.000062 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.0340426E-4 | 3.0340426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.0012990838 | 0.0012990838 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078097614 | 0.015603592 | 0.015613436 | 1.0006309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.075409345 | 0.13767551 | 0.13768412 | 1.0000626 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.543563E-4 | 2.543563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010892245 | 0.0010892245 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013109524 | 0.013119393 | 1.0007528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.064337276 | 0.117773086 | 0.11778191 | 1.0000749 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.272067E-4 | 2.272067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.7307283E-4 | 9.7307283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011730525 | 0.011740407 | 1.0008425 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058367174 | 0.10689341 | 0.106902346 | 1.0000836 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0960814E-4 | 2.0960814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.977785E-4 | 8.977785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055782744 | 0.010835106 | 0.010844997 | 1.0009129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0544031 | 0.099717446 | 0.099726446 | 1.0000902 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8852387E-4 | 1.8852387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.075286E-4 | 8.075286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050468626 | 0.00975581 | 0.00975581 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04933773 | 0.09060446 | 0.09060446 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.5188169E-4 | 1.5188169E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.507247E-4 | 6.507247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041944524 | 0.007887245 | 0.007887245 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04116161 | 0.07538028 | 0.07538028 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4727733E-4 | 1.4727733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.3100597E-4 | 6.3100597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004070005 | 0.0076495563 | 0.0076495563 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039962657 | 0.073226854 | 0.073226854 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2831863E-4 | 1.2831863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.4979837E-4 | 5.4979837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036279052 | 0.006669991 | 0.006669991 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03569247 | 0.06429455 | 0.06429455 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.0240876E-4 | 1.0240876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.3882144E-4 | 4.3882144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030218933 | 0.005329662 | 0.005329662 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029811295 | 0.051954415 | 0.051954415 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.6573025E-5 | 8.6573025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.7097497E-4 | 3.7097497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025986114 | 0.004507357 | 0.004507357 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025684336 | 0.04420305 | 0.04420305 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.191417E-5 | 7.191417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.0816748E-4 | 3.0816748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0037455414 | 0.0037455414 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022105146 | 0.037114374 | 0.037114374 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.6521036E-5 | 5.6521036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.4221069E-4 | 2.4221069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0029449572 | 0.0029449572 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017841442 | 0.029438531 | 0.029438531 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.117942E-5 | 4.117942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.764714E-4 | 1.764714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0021464394 | 0.0021464394 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013325208 | 0.021586169 | 0.021586169 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.8925311E-5 | 2.8925311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2395975E-4 | 1.2395975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0015081674 | 0.0015081674 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009349857 | 0.015254939 | 0.015254939 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.6216992E-5 | 2.6216992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.12353715E-4 | 1.12353715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0013670503 | 0.0013670503 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008104719 | 0.013844942 | 0.013844942 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.9560404E-5 | 1.9560404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.382762E-5 | 8.382762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010201248 | 0.0010201248 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057804612 | 0.010369697 | 0.010369697 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.0698168E-5 | 1.0698168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.5848486E-5 | 4.5848486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.5806246E-4 | 5.5806246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032371588 | 0.0057472573 | 0.0057472573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.666623E-6 | 9.666623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.1427727E-5 | 4.1427727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 5.0426595E-4 | 5.0426595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027645302 | 0.0051878206 | 0.0051878206 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.558613E-6 | 7.558613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.2393655E-5 | 3.2393655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.9432143E-4 | 3.9432143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.004032256 | 0.004032256 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.5130973E-6 | 4.5130973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.9341702E-5 | 1.9341702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.3545984E-4 | 2.3545984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.0023998052 | 0.0023998052 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.4313345E-6 | 2.4313345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.04199635E-5 | 1.04199635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.2685571E-4 | 1.2685571E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0012984339 | 0.0012984339 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Northridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.5965563E-6 | 7.5965563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009524435 | 0.003956184 | 0.0039661443 | 1.0025177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.5965563E-6 | 7.5965563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009524435 | 0.003956184 | 0.0039661443 | 1.0025177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.5965563E-6 | 7.5965563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009524435 | 0.003956184 | 0.0039661443 | 1.0025177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.5965563E-6 | 7.5965563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009524435 | 0.003956184 | 0.0039661443 | 1.0025177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.5965563E-6 | 7.5965563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009018354 | 0.003956184 | 0.0039661443 | 1.0025177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.5965563E-6 | 7.5965563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009018354 | 0.003956184 | 0.0039661443 | 1.0025177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5458201E-5 | 7.5965563E-6 | 7.5965563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.624775E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 3.2556276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0626784E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 3.9630276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008033488 | 0.003956184 | 0.0039661443 | 1.0025177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2538368E-5 | 6.3887474E-6 | 6.3887474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3734755E-5 | 2.738006E-5 | 2.738006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5402425E-4 | 3.333017E-4 | 3.333017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065210275 | 0.0033280668 | 0.0033380333 | 1.0029948 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1438097E-5 | 6.357337E-6 | 6.357337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9019498E-5 | 2.7245447E-5 | 2.7245447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9664896E-4 | 3.3166326E-4 | 3.3166326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005950495 | 0.0033117316 | 0.0033216984 | 1.0030096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1204891E-5 | 6.2937065E-6 | 6.2937065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8020076E-5 | 2.6972752E-5 | 2.6972752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8448757E-4 | 3.283442E-4 | 3.283442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058295266 | 0.0032786392 | 0.0032886064 | 1.0030401 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.061046E-5 | 6.122201E-6 | 6.122201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5472607E-5 | 2.6237742E-5 | 2.6237742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534883E-4 | 3.193981E-4 | 3.193981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055211177 | 0.0031894376 | 0.0031994057 | 1.0031253 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0266979E-5 | 6.010984E-6 | 6.010984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.40006E-5 | 2.5761108E-5 | 2.5761108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.355756E-4 | 3.135968E-4 | 3.135968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053428668 | 0.003131589 | 0.003131589 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.91273E-6 | 5.8265578E-6 | 5.8265578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.248244E-5 | 2.4970725E-5 | 2.4970725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.171009E-4 | 3.039766E-4 | 3.039766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051589934 | 0.0030356534 | 0.0030356534 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.4959265E-6 | 5.1990964E-6 | 5.1990964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6410605E-5 | 2.2281654E-5 | 2.2281654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4320893E-4 | 2.712456E-4 | 2.712456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00442326 | 0.0027091722 | 0.0027091722 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.0847185E-6 | 4.987654E-6 | 4.987654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4648332E-5 | 2.1375487E-5 | 2.1375487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2176177E-4 | 2.602157E-4 | 2.602157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042096223 | 0.0025991364 | 0.0025991364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.8220684E-6 | 4.257512E-6 | 4.257512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9237108E-5 | 1.8246354E-5 | 1.8246354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5590364E-4 | 2.2212692E-4 | 2.2212692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035533418 | 0.00221907 | 0.00221907 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.4224143E-6 | 2.9024923E-6 | 2.9024923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8953066E-5 | 1.2439194E-5 | 1.2439194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3072914E-4 | 1.5143678E-4 | 1.5143678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023048974 | 0.0015133474 | 0.0015133474 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5297056E-6 | 1.606135E-6 | 1.606135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0841551E-5 | 6.883418E-6 | 6.883418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.319879E-4 | 8.3802435E-5 | 8.3802435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013190953 | 8.377131E-4 | 8.377131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2508156E-6 | 8.787634E-7 | 8.787634E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3606273E-6 | 3.7661234E-6 | 3.7661234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.526368E-5 | 4.58516E-5 | 4.58516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.524452E-4 | 4.584227E-4 | 4.584227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.262199E-7 | 1.4675703E-7 | 1.4675703E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.695135E-7 | 6.289585E-7 | 6.289585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1803763E-5 | 7.657544E-6 | 7.657544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1803136E-4 | 7.657288E-5 | 7.657288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.865362E-9 | 1.2792079E-9 | 1.2792079E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2280123E-8 | 5.4823195E-9 | 5.4823195E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951048E-7 | 6.674724E-8 | 6.674724E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951038E-6 | 6.6747236E-7 | 6.6747236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Madre
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1016215E-5 | 1.1016215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7211503E-5 | 4.7211503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.746499E-4 | 5.746499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069569005 | 0.005731975 | 0.005741918 | 1.0017346 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1016215E-5 | 1.1016215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7211503E-5 | 4.7211503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.746499E-4 | 5.746499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069569005 | 0.005731975 | 0.005741918 | 1.0017346 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1016215E-5 | 1.1016215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7211503E-5 | 4.7211503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.746499E-4 | 5.746499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069569005 | 0.005731975 | 0.005741918 | 1.0017346 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1016215E-5 | 1.1016215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7211503E-5 | 4.7211503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.746499E-4 | 5.746499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069569005 | 0.005731975 | 0.005741918 | 1.0017346 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1016215E-5 | 1.1016215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7211503E-5 | 4.7211503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.746499E-4 | 5.746499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069569005 | 0.005731975 | 0.005741918 | 1.0017346 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.26563245E-5 | 1.0245356E-5 | 1.0245356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.3907938E-5 | 4.3907938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.3444906E-4 | 5.3444906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006582173 | 0.0053319307 | 0.005341877 | 1.0018655 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.26563245E-5 | 1.0245356E-5 | 1.0245356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.3907938E-5 | 4.3907938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.3444906E-4 | 5.3444906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006582173 | 0.0053319307 | 0.005341877 | 1.0018655 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2502474E-5 | 1.0081434E-5 | 1.0081434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3580934E-5 | 4.3205437E-5 | 4.3205437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.521526E-4 | 5.259003E-4 | 5.259003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065024206 | 0.0052468483 | 0.0052468483 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2454966E-5 | 1.0033679E-5 | 1.0033679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3377335E-5 | 4.3000782E-5 | 4.3000782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4967526E-4 | 5.234098E-4 | 5.234098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006477792 | 0.0052220607 | 0.0052220607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2225574E-5 | 9.807404E-6 | 9.807404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2394265E-5 | 4.203106E-5 | 4.203106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3771347E-4 | 5.116091E-4 | 5.116091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006358865 | 0.0051046 | 0.0051046 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.182946E-5 | 9.413756E-6 | 9.413756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.06967E-5 | 4.034405E-5 | 4.034405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1705755E-4 | 4.910791E-4 | 4.910791E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006153469 | 0.004900222 | 0.004900222 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.14369095E-5 | 9.000382E-6 | 9.000382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.85725E-5 | 3.85725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9658696E-4 | 4.6952E-4 | 4.6952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005949879 | 0.004685557 | 0.004685557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0836419E-5 | 8.413297E-6 | 8.413297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.644097E-5 | 3.605649E-5 | 3.605649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.652721E-4 | 4.389003E-4 | 4.389003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056383642 | 0.0043806033 | 0.0043806033 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0403439E-5 | 8.034316E-6 | 8.034316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4585406E-5 | 3.4432334E-5 | 3.4432334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.426921E-4 | 4.1913395E-4 | 4.1913395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005413687 | 0.004183701 | 0.004183701 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.768864E-6 | 7.427524E-6 | 7.427524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.186589E-5 | 3.1831863E-5 | 3.1831863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.09598E-4 | 3.874849E-4 | 3.874849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050843097 | 0.0038683556 | 0.0038683556 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.687089E-6 | 6.462268E-6 | 6.462268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.722985E-5 | 2.7695145E-5 | 2.7695145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5317915E-4 | 3.3713708E-4 | 3.3713708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004522561 | 0.0033665146 | 0.0033665146 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.3506063E-6 | 4.44114E-6 | 4.44114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.72166E-5 | 1.903332E-5 | 1.903332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3131172E-4 | 2.3170629E-4 | 2.3170629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003308182 | 0.0023148428 | 0.0023148428 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.62223E-6 | 2.943065E-6 | 2.943065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9809406E-5 | 1.2613074E-5 | 1.2613074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4115283E-4 | 1.5355338E-4 | 1.5355338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024089129 | 0.0015346444 | 0.0015346444 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.2145008E-6 | 1.956446E-6 | 1.956446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3776359E-5 | 8.384743E-6 | 8.384743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6771426E-4 | 1.02079466E-4 | 1.02079466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016758774 | 0.0010204489 | 0.0010204489 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0391769E-6 | 5.621169E-7 | 5.621169E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4536077E-6 | 2.4090702E-6 | 2.4090702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4221324E-5 | 2.9330038E-5 | 2.9330038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4208096E-4 | 2.932621E-4 | 2.932621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.63015E-8 | 6.63015E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.8414928E-7 | 2.8414928E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.459512E-6 | 3.459512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.318537E-5 | 3.4594603E-5 | 3.4594603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5890655E-4 | 3.5890655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015372742 | 0.0015372742 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018558128 | 0.018558128 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.16736583 | 0.16737416 | 1.0000497 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5890655E-4 | 3.5890655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015372742 | 0.0015372742 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018558128 | 0.018558128 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.16736583 | 0.16737416 | 1.0000497 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5890655E-4 | 3.5890655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015372742 | 0.0015372742 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018558128 | 0.018558128 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.16736583 | 0.16737416 | 1.0000497 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.4443036E-4 | 3.4443036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014753047 | 0.0014753047 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0089988755 | 0.0178162 | 0.0178162 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08643075 | 0.16130204 | 0.16131043 | 1.000052 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.251954E-4 | 3.251954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013929589 | 0.0013929589 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008487372 | 0.01682943 | 0.01682943 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.081704415 | 0.15319565 | 0.15320411 | 1.0000553 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.1189638E-4 | 3.1189638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013360224 | 0.0013360224 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008107598 | 0.016146667 | 0.016146667 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.078181036 | 0.14745918 | 0.14746772 | 1.0000578 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8195177E-4 | 2.8195177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.001207812 | 0.001207812 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073027555 | 0.01460748 | 0.01460748 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07067384 | 0.13452418 | 0.13453282 | 1.0000644 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3417866E-4 | 2.3417866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914658E-4 | 0.001003242 | 0.001003242 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012147141 | 0.012147141 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058094822 | 0.11331421 | 0.11331421 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.8983272E-4 | 1.8983272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.133188E-4 | 8.133188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009857942 | 0.009857942 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047804173 | 0.09311139 | 0.09311139 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.08068125E-4 | 1.08068125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.630675E-4 | 4.630675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028927654 | 0.005623393 | 0.005623393 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028553981 | 0.054600313 | 0.054600313 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.3099505E-5 | 8.3099505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.5609253E-4 | 3.5609253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022236328 | 0.0043268823 | 0.0043268823 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022015138 | 0.042361077 | 0.042361077 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.354667E-5 | 6.354667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.7231456E-4 | 2.7231456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.0033104087 | 0.0033104087 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017101998 | 0.032704055 | 0.032704055 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.7508692E-5 | 5.7508692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.4644265E-4 | 2.4644265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.002996328 | 0.002996328 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458403 | 0.029690634 | 0.029690634 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.637506E-5 | 4.637506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9873517E-4 | 1.9873517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.002416929 | 0.002416929 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.024044573 | 0.024044573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.53459E-5 | 3.53459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.514737E-4 | 1.514737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0018426422 | 0.0018426422 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.018404484 | 0.018404484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.354282E-5 | 2.354282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 1.00893936E-4 | 1.00893936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012276974 | 0.0012276974 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.012315857 | 0.012315857 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.977139E-6 | 8.977139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.8472892E-5 | 3.8472892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6830802E-4 | 4.6830802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.0047264043 | 0.0047264043 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.2327254E-6 | 1.2327254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.2830983E-6 | 5.2830983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.431982E-5 | 6.431982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.660563E-4 | 6.660563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 1.0028135E-6 | 1.0028135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.297765E-6 | 4.297765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.2324034E-5 | 5.2324034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.435535E-4 | 5.435535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.559154E-7 | 7.559154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.2396333E-6 | 3.2396333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.9441824E-5 | 3.9441824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 4.07633E-4 | 4.07633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.593471E-7 | 5.593471E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3971995E-6 | 2.3971995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.9185514E-5 | 2.9185514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.9941573E-4 | 2.9941573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.6611735E-7 | 2.6611735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1405024E-6 | 1.1405024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.3885529E-5 | 1.3885529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.4188113E-4 | 1.4188113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2729502E-5 | 2.2729502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.740885E-5 | 9.740885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011853656 | 0.0011853656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011796277 | 0.011806159 | 1.0008377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2729502E-5 | 2.2729502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.740885E-5 | 9.740885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011853656 | 0.0011853656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011796277 | 0.011806159 | 1.0008377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2729502E-5 | 2.2729502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.740885E-5 | 9.740885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011853656 | 0.0011853656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011796277 | 0.011806159 | 1.0008377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.235843E-5 | 1.235843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2963693E-5 | 5.2963693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.446546E-4 | 6.446546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006429094 | 0.0064390297 | 1.0015454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.235843E-5 | 1.235843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2963693E-5 | 5.2963693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.446546E-4 | 6.446546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006429094 | 0.0064390297 | 1.0015454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.485228E-6 | 9.485228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0650393E-5 | 4.0650393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.948153E-4 | 4.948153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046494175 | 0.0049380455 | 0.004947996 | 1.0020151 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.793209E-6 | 7.793209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3399087E-5 | 3.3399087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0656602E-4 | 4.0656602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038253788 | 0.004059014 | 0.0040689735 | 1.0024537 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.6576345E-6 | 6.6576345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.853245E-5 | 2.853245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4733472E-4 | 3.4733472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034686602 | 0.0034786253 | 1.002873 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.8572946E-6 | 5.8572946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.510249E-5 | 2.510249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0558725E-4 | 3.0558725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.003052387 | 0.0030623563 | 1.0032661 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0673125E-6 | 5.0673125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1716913E-5 | 2.1716913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6437838E-4 | 2.6437838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026413312 | 0.002651305 | 1.003776 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.1200365E-6 | 4.1200365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.765722E-5 | 1.765722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1496233E-4 | 2.1496233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.00214822 | 0.0021581987 | 1.004645 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0108617E-6 | 3.0108617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2903666E-5 | 1.2903666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.570974E-4 | 1.570974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015705092 | 0.0015804934 | 1.0063573 | 1.0E-5 |
Sisar
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020026166 | 0.0020125967 | 1.0049834 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020026166 | 0.0020125967 | 1.0049834 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020026166 | 0.0020125967 | 1.0049834 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020026166 | 0.0020125967 | 1.0049834 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020026166 | 0.0020125967 | 1.0049834 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020026166 | 0.0020125967 | 1.0049834 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020026166 | 0.0020125967 | 1.0049834 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020026166 | 0.0020125967 | 1.0049834 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 3.8417766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.6464655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 2.0043907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020026166 | 0.0020125967 | 1.0049834 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.542225E-6 | 3.839738E-6 | 3.839738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9466532E-5 | 1.6455919E-5 | 1.6455919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3697925E-4 | 2.0033271E-4 | 2.0033271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002367267 | 0.002001555 | 0.002011535 | 1.0049862 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.5278484E-6 | 3.8247986E-6 | 3.8247986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.940492E-5 | 1.6391892E-5 | 1.6391892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3622929E-4 | 1.9955335E-4 | 1.9955335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023597833 | 0.0019937754 | 0.0020037554 | 1.0050056 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.5132488E-6 | 3.8095818E-6 | 3.8095818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9342351E-5 | 1.632668E-5 | 1.632668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546767E-4 | 1.9875953E-4 | 1.9875953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023521832 | 0.0019858514 | 0.0019958315 | 1.0050256 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.448859E-6 | 3.7420218E-6 | 3.7420218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9066398E-5 | 1.603714E-5 | 1.603714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3210866E-4 | 1.9523501E-4 | 1.9523501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023186638 | 0.0019506686 | 0.0019606492 | 1.0051165 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.3424366E-6 | 3.6358172E-6 | 3.6358172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861031E-5 | 1.5581982E-5 | 1.5581982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2655698E-4 | 1.8969446E-4 | 1.8969446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022632615 | 0.0018953588 | 0.0019053399 | 1.0052661 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.218641E-6 | 3.535105E-6 | 3.535105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8079765E-5 | 1.5150364E-5 | 1.5150364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2009891E-4 | 1.844404E-4 | 1.844404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021988105 | 0.0018429066 | 0.0018429066 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.983779E-6 | 3.3494653E-6 | 3.3494653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7073227E-5 | 1.4354774E-5 | 1.4354774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0784672E-4 | 1.747557E-4 | 1.747557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020765243 | 0.0017462157 | 0.0017462157 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.777393E-6 | 2.353282E-6 | 2.353282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1903058E-5 | 1.0085456E-5 | 1.0085456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.449101E-4 | 1.2278357E-4 | 1.2278357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014481564 | 0.0012271652 | 0.0012271652 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.9028433E-6 | 1.5945003E-6 | 1.5945003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.155017E-6 | 6.8335553E-6 | 6.8335553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.928281E-5 | 8.319541E-5 | 8.319541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.923846E-4 | 8.3164737E-4 | 8.3164737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9095956E-7 | 4.359847E-7 | 4.359847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1041105E-6 | 1.8685045E-6 | 1.8685045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5617246E-5 | 2.2748807E-5 | 2.2748807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5614293E-4 | 2.2746496E-4 | 2.2746496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.16657894E-7 | 1.0339412E-7 | 1.0339412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.999623E-7 | 4.4311759E-7 | 4.4311759E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.087024E-6 | 5.3949434E-6 | 5.3949434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0868573E-5 | 5.3948155E-5 | 5.3948155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.5100346E-9 | 1.7092077E-9 | 1.7092077E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0757291E-8 | 7.325175E-9 | 7.325175E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3097001E-7 | 8.9184006E-8 | 8.9184006E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3096993E-6 | 8.9183976E-7 | 8.9183976E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.637669E-5 | 9.637669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.129854E-4 | 4.129854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033440501 | 0.00501789 | 0.00501789 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03294174 | 0.049008667 | 0.049018178 | 1.0001941 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.637669E-5 | 9.637669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.129854E-4 | 4.129854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033440501 | 0.00501789 | 0.00501789 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03294174 | 0.049008667 | 0.049018178 | 1.0001941 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.350314E-5 | 8.350314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.5783037E-4 | 3.5783037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002971072 | 0.0043495293 | 0.0043495293 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029316625 | 0.04268227 | 0.04269184 | 1.0002242 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.33483E-5 | 8.33483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.5716698E-4 | 3.5716698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002966728 | 0.0043414845 | 0.0043414845 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029274331 | 0.04260556 | 0.042615134 | 1.0002247 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.7833814E-5 | 7.7833814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.3354017E-4 | 3.3354017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0040549417 | 0.0040549417 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02787096 | 0.039891496 | 0.039901096 | 1.0002407 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.6735455E-5 | 5.6735455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.4313593E-4 | 2.4313593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0029573385 | 0.0029573385 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022570757 | 0.029396765 | 0.029406471 | 1.0003302 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.5787305E-5 | 2.5787305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.10512454E-4 | 1.10512454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013446782 | 0.0013446782 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014360986 | 0.013695647 | 0.013705511 | 1.0007201 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.4996849E-5 | 2.4996849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.0712506E-4 | 1.0712506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0013034866 | 0.0013034866 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014053487 | 0.013288518 | 0.013298386 | 1.0007426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.2454831E-5 | 2.2454831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.623151E-5 | 9.623151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001328425 | 0.001171001 | 0.001171001 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0132051185 | 0.011973147 | 0.011983028 | 1.0008252 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.7895058E-5 | 1.7895058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.669087E-5 | 7.669087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011036064 | 9.3331526E-4 | 9.3331526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010981417 | 0.009586709 | 0.009596613 | 1.0010331 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.6418871E-5 | 1.6418871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 7.03647E-5 | 7.03647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.563561E-4 | 8.563561E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738087 | 0.008803972 | 0.008813884 | 1.0011258 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6343767E-5 | 1.6343767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 7.004285E-5 | 7.004285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.524406E-4 | 8.524406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009698939 | 0.008764826 | 0.008774738 | 1.0011309 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.5635744E-5 | 1.5635744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.700862E-5 | 6.700862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.1552693E-4 | 8.1552693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009247236 | 0.008395005 | 0.008404921 | 1.0011811 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.4782042E-5 | 1.4782042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.335008E-5 | 6.335008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.710164E-4 | 7.710164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00861587 | 0.00794891 | 0.00795883 | 1.001248 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4646466E-5 | 1.4646466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.276907E-5 | 6.276907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.6394755E-4 | 7.6394755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008514405 | 0.007878045 | 0.007887966 | 1.0012593 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.4284729E-5 | 1.4284729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.1218845E-5 | 6.1218845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.450865E-4 | 7.450865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008205604 | 0.0076873787 | 0.007697302 | 1.0012908 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.3294933E-5 | 1.3294933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.697705E-5 | 5.697705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.934765E-4 | 6.934765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007407237 | 0.0071654515 | 0.00717538 | 1.0013856 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.1133804E-5 | 1.1133804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.7715435E-5 | 4.7715435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.807814E-4 | 5.807814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006005941 | 0.0060305214 | 0.0060404614 | 1.0016482 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.735463E-6 | 9.735463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.1722753E-5 | 4.1722753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767588E-4 | 5.078567E-4 | 5.078567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573727 | 0.0052926573 | 0.0053026043 | 1.0018795 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.57853E-6 | 7.57853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.2479013E-5 | 3.2479013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.953608E-4 | 3.953608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0041550375 | 0.0041550375 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.4395895E-6 | 6.4395895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.7597953E-5 | 2.7597953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.3595378E-4 | 3.3595378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030029714 | 0.0035480235 | 0.0035480235 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.65935E-6 | 5.65935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.4254134E-5 | 2.4254134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.9525458E-4 | 2.9525458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026640517 | 0.003126574 | 0.003126574 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.5653686E-7 | 5.5653686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.385156E-6 | 2.385156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.903891E-5 | 2.903891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.2624617E-4 | 3.2624617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.6895208E-9 | 4.6895208E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 2.0097946E-8 | 2.0097946E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.446925E-7 | 2.446925E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.7381727E-6 | 2.7381727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032596616 | 0.003269629 | 1.0030578 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032596616 | 0.003269629 | 1.0030578 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032596616 | 0.003269629 | 1.0030578 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032596616 | 0.003269629 | 1.0030578 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032596616 | 0.003269629 | 1.0030578 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032596616 | 0.003269629 | 1.0030578 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 6.256378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 2.6812799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 3.264014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032596616 | 0.003269629 | 1.0030578 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.5266123E-6 | 5.5266123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3685288E-5 | 2.3685288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8833433E-4 | 2.8833433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028800054 | 0.0028899766 | 1.0034622 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.5266123E-6 | 5.5266123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3685288E-5 | 2.3685288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8833433E-4 | 2.8833433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028800054 | 0.0028899766 | 1.0034622 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.744377E-6 | 4.9406945E-6 | 4.9406945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0332885E-5 | 2.1174254E-5 | 2.1174254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4752476E-4 | 2.5776977E-4 | 2.5776977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024724922 | 0.0025750753 | 0.0025850495 | 1.0038733 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.722209E-6 | 4.917732E-6 | 4.917732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0237881E-5 | 2.1075844E-5 | 2.1075844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4636835E-4 | 2.5657192E-4 | 2.5657192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002460954 | 0.0025631245 | 0.002573099 | 1.0038915 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.611174E-6 | 4.802642E-6 | 4.802642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9762025E-5 | 2.0582609E-5 | 2.0582609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4057609E-4 | 2.5056818E-4 | 2.5056818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002403158 | 0.0025032237 | 0.0025131986 | 1.0039848 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.043994E-6 | 4.213116E-6 | 4.213116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7331287E-5 | 1.8056107E-5 | 1.8056107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10988E-4 | 2.198145E-4 | 2.198145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002107878 | 0.0021963215 | 0.0022062997 | 1.0045431 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1233036E-6 | 2.2304823E-6 | 2.2304823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.099841E-6 | 9.559176E-6 | 9.559176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1078493E-4 | 1.163768E-4 | 1.163768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011072971 | 0.0011631642 | 0.0011731525 | 1.0085872 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9051884E-6 | 2.002126E-6 | 2.002126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.165067E-6 | 8.580512E-6 | 8.580512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.940516E-5 | 1.0446278E-4 | 1.0446278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.93607E-4 | 0.0010441421 | 0.0010541315 | 1.0095673 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2408497E-6 | 1.3042957E-6 | 1.3042957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.317916E-6 | 5.5898267E-6 | 5.5898267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4743705E-5 | 6.805403E-5 | 6.805403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4724847E-4 | 6.8033417E-4 | 6.903273E-4 | 1.0146886 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.5440025E-7 | 6.888961E-7 | 6.888961E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8045695E-6 | 2.9524085E-6 | 2.9524085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4145098E-5 | 3.5944995E-5 | 3.5944995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4139853E-4 | 3.5939322E-4 | 3.6938963E-4 | 1.0278146 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.985963E-7 | 4.1944332E-7 | 4.1944332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7082689E-6 | 1.7976131E-6 | 1.7976131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0797976E-5 | 2.1885731E-5 | 2.1885731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0796029E-4 | 2.1883694E-4 | 2.2883475E-4 | 1.0456861 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.706329E-8 | 3.8601677E-8 | 3.8601677E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5884267E-7 | 1.6543575E-7 | 1.6543575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9339077E-6 | 2.0141786E-6 | 2.0141786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.933891E-5 | 2.0141615E-5 | 2.0141615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2600318E-5 | 2.2600318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.685504E-5 | 9.685504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011785943 | 0.0011785943 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.0117404675 | 0.011750351 | 1.0008417 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2600318E-5 | 2.2600318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.685504E-5 | 9.685504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011785943 | 0.0011785943 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.0117404675 | 0.011750351 | 1.0008417 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2600318E-5 | 2.2600318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.685504E-5 | 9.685504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011785943 | 0.0011785943 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.0117404675 | 0.011750351 | 1.0008417 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.845693E-5 | 1.845693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.909883E-5 | 7.909883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.6262E-4 | 9.6262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012044783 | 0.009596818 | 0.009606722 | 1.001032 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.845693E-5 | 1.845693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.909883E-5 | 7.909883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.6262E-4 | 9.6262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012044783 | 0.009596818 | 0.009606722 | 1.001032 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.4784436E-5 | 1.4784436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8592806E-5 | 6.336038E-5 | 6.336038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.7114836E-4 | 7.7114836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009523412 | 0.007691631 | 0.0077015543 | 1.0012901 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.464683E-5 | 1.464683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.809766E-5 | 6.277067E-5 | 6.277067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.504242E-4 | 7.639737E-4 | 7.639737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009463696 | 0.007620378 | 0.0076303016 | 1.0013022 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.4058095E-5 | 1.4058095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.505249E-5 | 6.0247636E-5 | 6.0247636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.13381E-4 | 7.332767E-4 | 7.332767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00909636 | 0.007314854 | 0.007324781 | 1.0013571 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.3981822E-5 | 1.3981822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4642754E-5 | 5.9920767E-5 | 5.9920767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.083966E-4 | 7.292998E-4 | 7.292998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009046922 | 0.007275285 | 0.007285212 | 1.0013645 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.3017661E-5 | 1.3017661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.5788827E-5 | 5.5788827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.7902496E-4 | 6.7902496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008522186 | 0.006774988 | 0.0067849206 | 1.001466 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 1.0903942E-5 | 1.0903942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.6730358E-5 | 4.6730358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.6879636E-4 | 5.6879636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072331014 | 0.005677148 | 0.005687091 | 1.0017514 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 1.0351909E-5 | 1.0351909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.4364584E-5 | 4.4364584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9922156E-4 | 5.400075E-4 | 5.400075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069702556 | 0.00539032 | 0.0054002665 | 1.0018451 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 9.018278E-6 | 9.018278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.8649203E-5 | 3.8649203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.7045422E-4 | 4.7045422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063146 | 0.0046960856 | 0.0047060386 | 1.0021194 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 7.5899507E-6 | 7.5899507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019697E-5 | 3.252796E-5 | 3.252796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797693E-4 | 3.9595744E-4 | 3.9595744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005466277 | 0.00395293 | 0.00395293 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.8023687E-6 | 6.8023687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.915269E-5 | 2.915269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.548776E-4 | 3.548776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005009353 | 0.003543263 | 0.003543263 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.64839E-6 | 5.64839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.420717E-5 | 2.420717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.946837E-4 | 2.946837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004277392 | 0.0029430578 | 0.0029430578 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.6870123E-6 | 4.6870123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9892764E-5 | 2.0087047E-5 | 2.0087047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.4453353E-4 | 2.4453353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036328835 | 0.002442761 | 0.002442761 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.3332502E-6 | 2.3332502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7826753E-5 | 9.9996105E-6 | 9.9996105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.217392E-4 | 1.217392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021680726 | 0.0012167984 | 0.0012167984 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.406629E-8 | 9.406629E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.031412E-7 | 4.031412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9082364E-6 | 4.9082364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.908161E-5 | 4.908161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4455256E-9 | 3.4455256E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4766538E-8 | 1.4766538E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7978259E-7 | 1.7978259E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7978246E-6 | 1.7978246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4702121E-5 | 1.4702121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.3007785E-5 | 6.3007785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.668882E-4 | 7.668882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008531413 | 0.007646216 | 0.00765614 | 1.0012978 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4702121E-5 | 1.4702121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.3007785E-5 | 6.3007785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.668882E-4 | 7.668882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008531413 | 0.007646216 | 0.00765614 | 1.0012978 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4702121E-5 | 1.4702121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.3007785E-5 | 6.3007785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.668882E-4 | 7.668882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008531413 | 0.007646216 | 0.00765614 | 1.0012978 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.869237E-6 | 9.869237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2296175E-5 | 4.2296175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.148575E-4 | 5.148575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005138931 | 0.0051488797 | 1.001936 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.869237E-6 | 9.869237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2296175E-5 | 4.2296175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.148575E-4 | 5.148575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005138931 | 0.0051488797 | 1.001936 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.885127E-6 | 7.885127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.379308E-5 | 3.379308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1137377E-4 | 4.1137377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005331118 | 0.0041081565 | 0.0041181156 | 1.0024242 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.182735E-6 | 7.182735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.07829E-5 | 3.07829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7473775E-4 | 3.7473775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00499945 | 0.003743058 | 0.0037530207 | 1.0026616 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.128572E-6 | 6.128572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6265154E-5 | 2.6265154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.1975083E-4 | 3.1975083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031948222 | 0.0031948222 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.5655524E-6 | 2.5655524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0995201E-5 | 1.0995201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3386234E-4 | 1.3386234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013382094 | 0.0013382094 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3463795E-6 | 2.3463795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.00558955E-5 | 1.00558955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2242762E-4 | 1.2242762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012239916 | 0.0012239916 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.689825E-6 | 1.689825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.242107E-6 | 7.242107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.817266E-5 | 8.817266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.8172656E-4 | 8.8172656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3270807E-6 | 4.3270807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544517E-5 | 1.8544517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2575908E-4 | 2.3575683E-4 | 1.044285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.002255591 | 0.0022655686 | 1.0044234 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3270807E-6 | 4.3270807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544517E-5 | 1.8544517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2575908E-4 | 2.3575683E-4 | 1.044285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.002255591 | 0.0022655686 | 1.0044234 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3270807E-6 | 4.3270807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544517E-5 | 1.8544517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2575908E-4 | 2.3575683E-4 | 1.044285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.002255591 | 0.0022655686 | 1.0044234 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3270807E-6 | 4.3270807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544517E-5 | 1.8544517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2575908E-4 | 2.3575683E-4 | 1.044285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.002255591 | 0.0022655686 | 1.0044234 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3270807E-6 | 4.3270807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544517E-5 | 1.8544517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2575908E-4 | 2.3575683E-4 | 1.044285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.002255591 | 0.0022655686 | 1.0044234 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3270807E-6 | 4.3270807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8544517E-5 | 1.8544517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2575908E-4 | 2.3575683E-4 | 1.044285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.002255591 | 0.0022655686 | 1.0044234 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.532613E-6 | 2.532613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0854013E-5 | 1.0854013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3214009E-4 | 1.4213877E-4 | 1.0756673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013206634 | 0.0013306502 | 1.0075619 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.532613E-6 | 2.532613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0854013E-5 | 1.0854013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3214009E-4 | 1.4213877E-4 | 1.0756673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013206634 | 0.0013306502 | 1.0075619 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8327949E-6 | 1.8327949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.854812E-6 | 7.854812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.5628275E-5 | 1.0562732E-4 | 1.1045616 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010282523 | 9.558841E-4 | 9.658746E-4 | 1.0104516 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7435149E-6 | 1.7435149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.472186E-6 | 7.472186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.097019E-5 | 1.0096928E-4 | 1.1099161 | 1.0E-5 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.0934156E-4 | 9.1933244E-4 | 1.0109869 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.385377E-6 | 1.385377E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9373165E-6 | 5.9373165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.2284485E-5 | 8.228376E-5 | 1.1383322 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.226149E-4 | 7.326076E-4 | 1.0138286 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1628815E-6 | 1.1628815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.9837686E-6 | 4.9837686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0675724E-5 | 7.0675116E-5 | 1.1648005 | 1.0E-5 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.065948E-4 | 6.165887E-4 | 1.0164754 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.41308E-7 | 9.41308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.034171E-6 | 4.034171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.9114944E-5 | 5.9114453E-5 | 1.203594 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.9104274E-4 | 5.010378E-4 | 1.0203549 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2373916E-7 | 7.2373916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1017355E-6 | 3.1017355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7762988E-5 | 4.776261E-5 | 1.2647996 | 1.0E-5 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7756682E-4 | 3.8756305E-4 | 1.0264754 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.021005E-7 | 5.021005E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1518574E-6 | 2.1518574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6198553E-5 | 3.6198293E-5 | 1.3816905 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.619551E-4 | 2.7195248E-4 | 1.0381645 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6835317E-7 | 3.6835317E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.5786554E-6 | 1.5786554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9219962E-5 | 2.9219771E-5 | 1.5202824 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9218322E-4 | 2.021813E-4 | 1.0520236 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3462653E-7 | 2.3462653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0055419E-6 | 1.0055419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2242404E-5 | 1.2242404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.2241742E-4 | 1.2241742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.860044E-8 | 6.860044E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.940019E-7 | 2.940019E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5794676E-6 | 3.5794676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5794146E-5 | 3.5794146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7081965E-5 | 3.7081965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5891576E-4 | 1.5891576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019335578 | 0.0019335578 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019213866 | 0.019223673 | 1.0005105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7081965E-5 | 3.7081965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5891576E-4 | 1.5891576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019335578 | 0.0019335578 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019213866 | 0.019223673 | 1.0005105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7081965E-5 | 3.7081965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5891576E-4 | 1.5891576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019335578 | 0.0019335578 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019213866 | 0.019223673 | 1.0005105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7081965E-5 | 3.7081965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5891576E-4 | 1.5891576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019335578 | 0.0019335578 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019213866 | 0.019223673 | 1.0005105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1224298E-5 | 2.1224298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.095908E-5 | 9.095908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011070359 | 0.0011070359 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011032052 | 0.011041942 | 1.0008965 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1224298E-5 | 2.1224298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.095908E-5 | 9.095908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011070359 | 0.0011070359 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011032052 | 0.011041942 | 1.0008965 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.6717695E-6 | 9.6717695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1449824E-5 | 4.1449824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.04542E-4 | 5.04542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005107356 | 0.00503469 | 0.0050446396 | 1.0019763 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.659335E-6 | 9.659335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.139653E-5 | 4.139653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.038935E-4 | 5.038935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005028234 | 0.0050381836 | 1.0019788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.77792E-6 | 7.77792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3333545E-5 | 3.3333545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0576528E-4 | 4.0576528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004218856 | 0.004050739 | 0.004060698 | 1.0024587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.4844504E-6 | 5.4844504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.350458E-5 | 2.350458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8613146E-4 | 2.8613146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028577081 | 0.0028676796 | 1.0034893 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9855025E-6 | 4.9855025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1366268E-5 | 2.1366268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.6010393E-4 | 2.6010393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025980624 | 0.0026080364 | 1.003839 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0896416E-6 | 4.0896416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.752692E-5 | 1.752692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1336977E-4 | 2.1336977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021316905 | 0.0021416692 | 1.0046811 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9795767E-6 | 2.9795767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2769553E-5 | 1.2769553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5545833E-4 | 1.5545833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.001553507 | 0.0015634915 | 1.006427 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0966468E-6 | 2.0966468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.9855985E-6 | 8.9855985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.09394234E-4 | 1.09394234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010934111 | 0.0011034001 | 1.0091357 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0282041E-6 | 1.0282041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.406582E-6 | 4.406582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3648844E-5 | 5.3648844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.363619E-4 | 5.4635655E-4 | 1.0186341 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.920603E-7 | 4.920603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.108828E-6 | 2.108828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5674697E-5 | 2.5674697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5671886E-4 | 2.667163E-4 | 1.0389432 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4794198E-7 | 2.4794198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0626081E-6 | 1.0626081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.293718E-5 | 1.293718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2936463E-4 | 1.3936334E-4 | 1.0772909 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.395054E-8 | 7.395054E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1693082E-7 | 3.1693082E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.858627E-6 | 3.858627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.858572E-5 | 4.8585334E-5 | 1.2591532 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7626805E-8 | 1.7626805E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.554345E-8 | 7.554345E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1974124E-7 | 9.1974124E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.197389E-6 | 9.197389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1270982E-4 | 2.0076169E-4 | 2.0076169E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8295266E-4 | 8.6003274E-4 | 8.6003274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058641075 | 0.010410843 | 0.010410843 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.057117578 | 0.098249026 | 0.09825804 | 1.0000918 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1239393E-4 | 2.002418E-4 | 2.002418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8159933E-4 | 8.578063E-4 | 8.578063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058477195 | 0.010384019 | 0.010384019 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.056962132 | 0.098006964 | 0.09801599 | 1.000092 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.596265E-5 | 1.2967267E-4 | 1.2967267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2551357E-4 | 5.556043E-4 | 5.556043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039559277 | 0.006738764 | 0.006738764 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.038862433 | 0.06474588 | 0.06475524 | 1.0001445 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.78794E-5 | 1.1478384E-4 | 1.1478384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9087928E-4 | 4.91829E-4 | 4.91829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003535705 | 0.00596833 | 0.00596833 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.034799766 | 0.057606027 | 0.057606027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.04631705E-4 | 1.04631705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.4833578E-4 | 4.4833578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032385332 | 0.0054421565 | 0.0054421565 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03191742 | 0.05268379 | 0.05268379 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.094982E-5 | 9.094982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.897182E-4 | 3.897182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028329059 | 0.004732494 | 0.004732494 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027970633 | 0.045996577 | 0.045996577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.867889E-5 | 7.867889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.3715036E-4 | 3.3715036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002465034 | 0.0040956247 | 0.0040956247 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02437869 | 0.039951537 | 0.039951537 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.0617098E-5 | 6.0617098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.5976409E-4 | 2.5976409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019222875 | 0.0031573684 | 0.0031573684 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019057442 | 0.03097696 | 0.03097696 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.9048033E-5 | 2.9048033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.2448554E-4 | 1.2448554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0015145439 | 0.0015145439 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010532344 | 0.015014468 | 0.015014468 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.4532057E-5 | 2.4532057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.0513315E-4 | 1.0513315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0012792439 | 0.0012792439 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009281595 | 0.012709923 | 0.012709923 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.1948113E-5 | 2.1948113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.4059964E-5 | 9.4059964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011445794 | 0.0011445794 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008528882 | 0.011386126 | 0.011386126 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.0386757E-5 | 2.0386757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.73689E-5 | 8.73689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.0010632 | 0.0010632 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00800848 | 0.01058158 | 0.01058158 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.9093368E-5 | 1.9093368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.182617E-5 | 8.182617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.957814E-4 | 9.957814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075360634 | 0.009913873 | 0.009913873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.7857958E-5 | 1.7857958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.653188E-5 | 7.653188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.3138026E-4 | 9.3138026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070790765 | 0.009275294 | 0.009275294 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.6054213E-5 | 1.6054213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.880197E-5 | 6.880197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.373449E-4 | 8.373449E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063729943 | 0.008342392 | 0.008342392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.4264343E-5 | 1.4264343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.113148E-5 | 6.113148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.4402435E-4 | 7.4402435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056782532 | 0.0074158544 | 0.0074158544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.1252941E-5 | 1.1252941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.822601E-5 | 4.822601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.869961E-4 | 5.869961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00448937 | 0.0058547943 | 0.0058547943 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.667066E-6 | 2.667066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.1430233E-5 | 1.1430233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3915426E-4 | 1.3915426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948193 | 0.0013906459 | 0.0013906459 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1743729E-7 | 2.1743729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.318738E-7 | 9.318738E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.1345508E-5 | 1.1345508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.1344224E-4 | 1.1344224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.881183E-6 | 9.881183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2347303E-5 | 4.2347303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.154671E-4 | 5.154671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.005157091 | 0.0051670396 | 1.001929 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.881183E-6 | 9.881183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2347303E-5 | 4.2347303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.154671E-4 | 5.154671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.005157091 | 0.0051670396 | 1.001929 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.881183E-6 | 9.881183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2347303E-5 | 4.2347303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.154671E-4 | 5.154671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.005157091 | 0.0051670396 | 1.001929 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.881183E-6 | 9.881183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2347303E-5 | 4.2347303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.154671E-4 | 5.154671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.005157091 | 0.0051670396 | 1.001929 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.14002E-6 | 6.14002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6314112E-5 | 2.6314112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.2032822E-4 | 3.2032822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0032121171 | 0.0032121171 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.14002E-6 | 6.14002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6314112E-5 | 2.6314112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.2032822E-4 | 3.2032822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0032121171 | 0.0032121171 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.8223422E-6 | 5.8223422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4952662E-5 | 2.4952662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.0375726E-4 | 3.0375726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105855 | 0.0030468665 | 0.0030468665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.1156503E-6 | 5.1156503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.1924034E-5 | 2.1924034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.6689272E-4 | 2.6689272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026791112 | 0.0026791112 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 5.037522E-6 | 5.037522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.1589203E-5 | 2.1589203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.6281716E-4 | 2.6281716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026384525 | 0.0026384525 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.738842E-6 | 4.738842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0309168E-5 | 2.0309168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.472363E-4 | 2.472363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024829996 | 0.0024829996 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.4172098E-6 | 4.4172098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8930763E-5 | 1.8930763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.304579E-4 | 2.304579E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001473467 | 0.0023155743 | 0.0023155743 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.111831E-6 | 4.111831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7622015E-5 | 1.7622015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1452714E-4 | 2.1452714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021565927 | 0.0021565927 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.7215502E-6 | 3.7215502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5949405E-5 | 1.5949405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9416689E-4 | 1.9416689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019533855 | 0.0019533855 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.2784374E-6 | 3.2784374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.4050372E-5 | 1.4050372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.7105001E-4 | 1.7105001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017226654 | 0.0017226654 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.8669929E-6 | 2.8669929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.2287055E-5 | 1.2287055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4958477E-4 | 1.4958477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0015084657 | 0.0015084657 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.46538E-6 | 2.46538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.0565873E-5 | 1.0565873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.28632E-4 | 1.28632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.001299242 | 0.001299242 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.94039E-6 | 1.94039E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.31593E-6 | 8.31593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 1.0124179E-4 | 1.0124179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.001025655 | 0.001025655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6680333E-6 | 1.6680333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 7.1486947E-6 | 7.1486947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.7031905E-5 | 8.7031905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.8372023E-4 | 8.8372023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.5601562E-6 | 1.5601562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.6863668E-6 | 6.6863668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 8.14035E-5 | 8.14035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.2713884E-4 | 8.2713884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.7824853E-7 | 7.7824853E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.3353465E-6 | 3.3353465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 4.0607098E-5 | 4.0607098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.1456748E-4 | 4.1456748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 6.0926205E-8 | 6.0926205E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.6111226E-7 | 2.6111226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.1790373E-6 | 3.1790373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.408912E-5 | 3.408912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.3766834E-8 | 1.3766834E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.9000715E-8 | 5.9000715E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 7.1833347E-7 | 7.1833347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 8.202353E-6 | 8.202353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.8998933E-9 | 3.8998933E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.6713827E-8 | 1.6713827E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 2.0349084E-7 | 2.0349084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.3914654E-6 | 2.3914654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.986485E-5 | 4.986485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1369035E-4 | 2.1369035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025987648 | 0.0026087388 | 1.003838 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025703786 | 0.02571353 | 1.0003791 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.986485E-5 | 4.986485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1369035E-4 | 2.1369035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025987648 | 0.0025987648 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023677798 | 0.025703786 | 0.025703786 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9774692E-5 | 2.9774692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2759978E-4 | 1.2759978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015524478 | 0.0015524478 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015433204 | 0.015433204 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3255208E-5 | 2.3255208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.966145E-5 | 9.966145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012127162 | 0.0012127162 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012017938 | 0.012068563 | 0.012068563 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9731115E-5 | 1.9731115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.455924E-5 | 8.455924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010290326 | 0.0010290326 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.010254981 | 0.010254981 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7158347E-5 | 1.7158347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.353374E-5 | 7.353374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.949126E-4 | 8.949126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008925493 | 0.008925493 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4364126E-5 | 1.4364126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.155912E-5 | 6.155912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.492298E-4 | 7.492298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.0074803177 | 0.0074803177 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1687721E-5 | 1.1687721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0089297E-5 | 5.0089297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.0967077E-4 | 6.0967077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060966443 | 0.0060966443 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0621626E-5 | 1.0621626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5520483E-5 | 4.5520483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.54075E-4 | 5.54075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.005548229 | 0.005548229 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.887118E-6 | 7.887118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3801512E-5 | 3.3801512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1145863E-4 | 4.1145863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0041237622 | 0.0041237622 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.11126E-6 | 5.11126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1905218E-5 | 2.1905218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6666353E-4 | 2.6666353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.002663451 | 0.002663451 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.1805565E-6 | 4.1805565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7916549E-5 | 1.7916549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1811225E-4 | 2.1811225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021789935 | 0.0021789935 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2849352E-6 | 3.2849352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4078219E-5 | 1.4078219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7138892E-4 | 1.7138892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.001712577 | 0.001712577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4426383E-6 | 2.4426383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0468408E-5 | 1.0468408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2744548E-4 | 1.2744548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.001273731 | 0.001273731 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7695801E-6 | 1.7695801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.583893E-6 | 7.583893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.233004E-5 | 9.233004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.229221E-4 | 9.229221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.3908153E-7 | 9.3908153E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.024629E-6 | 4.024629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.8998794E-5 | 4.8998794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.898834E-4 | 4.898834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.415422E-7 | 6.415422E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7494639E-6 | 2.7494639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.347423E-5 | 3.347423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3469402E-4 | 3.3469402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.451519E-8 | 6.451519E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7649364E-7 | 2.7649364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3663052E-6 | 3.3663052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.366257E-5 | 3.366257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18216E-6 | 4.18216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923441E-5 | 1.7923441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1819976E-4 | 2.1819976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002180221 | 0.0021901992 | 1.0045767 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18216E-6 | 4.18216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923441E-5 | 1.7923441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1819976E-4 | 2.1819976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002180221 | 0.0021901992 | 1.0045767 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18216E-6 | 4.18216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923441E-5 | 1.7923441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1819976E-4 | 2.1819976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002180221 | 0.0021901992 | 1.0045767 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18216E-6 | 4.18216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923441E-5 | 1.7923441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1819976E-4 | 2.1819976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002180221 | 0.0021901992 | 1.0045767 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18216E-6 | 4.18216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7923441E-5 | 1.7923441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1819976E-4 | 2.1819976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002180221 | 0.0021901992 | 1.0045767 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3735333E-6 | 2.3735333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0172251E-5 | 1.0172251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2384089E-4 | 1.2384089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012377946 | 0.0012377946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3735333E-6 | 2.3735333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0172251E-5 | 1.0172251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2384089E-4 | 1.2384089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012377946 | 0.0012377946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7500919E-6 | 1.7500919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.500375E-6 | 7.500375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.131378E-5 | 9.131378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.128152E-4 | 9.128152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3301852E-6 | 1.3301852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.7007837E-6 | 5.7007837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.940527E-5 | 6.940527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.938793E-4 | 6.938793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.118589E-7 | 6.118589E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6222501E-6 | 2.6222501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.192547E-5 | 3.192547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.1921294E-4 | 3.1921294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.833361E-7 | 4.833361E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.071439E-6 | 2.071439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5219517E-5 | 2.5219517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5217026E-4 | 2.5217026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.9883358E-7 | 3.9883358E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7092858E-6 | 1.7092858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.081039E-5 | 2.081039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0808777E-4 | 2.0808777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7628277E-7 | 3.7628277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6126397E-6 | 1.6126397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9633744E-5 | 1.9633744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9632342E-4 | 1.9632342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.507418E-7 | 3.507418E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5031784E-6 | 1.5031784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.8301078E-5 | 1.8301078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.82999E-4 | 1.82999E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1175287E-7 | 3.1175287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3360832E-6 | 1.3360832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6266726E-5 | 1.6266726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6265863E-4 | 1.6265863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5016985E-7 | 1.5016985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.435851E-7 | 6.435851E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.835649E-6 | 7.835649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.835648E-5 | 7.835648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Concord 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.77513E-5 | 9.77513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.1887164E-4 | 4.1887164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030148525 | 0.005088344 | 0.005088344 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029742775 | 0.04931408 | 0.04932359 | 1.0001928 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.77513E-5 | 9.77513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.1887164E-4 | 4.1887164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030148525 | 0.005088344 | 0.005088344 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029742775 | 0.04931408 | 0.04932359 | 1.0001928 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.6789337E-5 | 9.5950156E-5 | 9.5950156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4336016E-4 | 4.111549E-4 | 4.111549E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029588845 | 0.004994881 | 0.004994881 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029197963 | 0.04842895 | 0.048438463 | 1.0001965 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.203322E-5 | 8.817593E-5 | 8.817593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298045E-4 | 3.7784653E-4 | 3.7784653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027114071 | 0.004591363 | 0.004591363 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.026785625 | 0.04459186 | 0.04459186 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.7120942E-5 | 7.907783E-5 | 7.907783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193127E-4 | 3.3886518E-4 | 3.3886518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557412 | 0.0041186246 | 0.0041186246 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024287801 | 0.0401037 | 0.0401037 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.9598437E-5 | 4.6765424E-5 | 4.6765424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2684427E-4 | 2.0040903E-4 | 2.0040903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001543235 | 0.0024374602 | 0.0024374602 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015325619 | 0.023955006 | 0.023955006 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.0443718E-5 | 3.0065245E-5 | 3.0065245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7613E-5 | 1.288449E-4 | 1.288449E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010661662 | 0.0015675942 | 0.0015675942 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010610655 | 0.015508835 | 0.015508835 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.798539E-5 | 2.5636995E-5 | 2.5636995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7077966E-5 | 1.0986833E-4 | 1.0986833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.380202E-4 | 0.0013368478 | 0.0013368478 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009340706 | 0.013258539 | 0.013258539 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.613555E-5 | 2.2016513E-5 | 2.2016513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.915052E-5 | 9.435315E-5 | 9.435315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4158237E-4 | 0.0011481582 | 0.0011481582 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008384023 | 0.011408668 | 0.011408668 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2916435E-5 | 1.7129025E-5 | 1.7129025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5354973E-5 | 7.3408075E-5 | 7.3408075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7373837E-4 | 8.933827E-4 | 8.933827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006716994 | 0.008891988 | 0.008891988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.81129E-6 | 1.2657729E-5 | 1.2657729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2047708E-5 | 5.424629E-5 | 5.424629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118106E-4 | 6.6025014E-4 | 6.6025014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005106334 | 0.0065836753 | 0.0065836753 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.0889195E-6 | 1.0438651E-5 | 1.0438651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4666336E-5 | 4.4736316E-5 | 4.4736316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.219809E-4 | 5.445296E-4 | 5.445296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004211805 | 0.005432397 | 0.005432397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.267438E-6 | 8.133803E-6 | 8.133803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6860173E-5 | 3.4858695E-5 | 3.4858695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2697353E-4 | 4.243227E-4 | 4.243227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032649285 | 0.0042356495 | 0.0042356495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.6761196E-6 | 4.8486254E-6 | 4.8486254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5754704E-5 | 2.0779658E-5 | 2.0779658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9179663E-4 | 2.529632E-4 | 2.529632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019163118 | 0.0025271697 | 0.0025271697 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.8044356E-6 | 3.716827E-6 | 3.716827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2018954E-5 | 1.5929161E-5 | 1.5929161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4632095E-4 | 1.939204E-4 | 1.939204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014622464 | 0.001937828 | 0.001937828 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.4578699E-6 | 3.2510152E-6 | 3.2510152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0533685E-5 | 1.3932849E-5 | 1.3932849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2824008E-4 | 1.6961934E-4 | 1.6961934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012816609 | 0.001695197 | 0.001695197 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.7713267E-6 | 2.340343E-6 | 2.340343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.591378E-6 | 1.0030002E-5 | 1.0030002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2421105E-5 | 1.2210853E-4 | 1.2210853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2382677E-4 | 0.0012206254 | 0.0012206254 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.1912366E-7 | 6.836403E-7 | 6.836403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2248137E-6 | 2.9298837E-6 | 2.9298837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.708677E-5 | 3.5670764E-5 | 3.5670764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.708347E-4 | 3.566485E-4 | 3.566485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.04417355E-4 | 1.04417355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.4743117E-4 | 4.4743117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004310982 | 0.0054343333 | 0.0054343333 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.042283054 | 0.053072345 | 0.053081814 | 1.0001785 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.7811325E-5 | 5.7811325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.4774027E-4 | 2.4774027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00244744 | 0.0030121207 | 0.0030121207 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024206603 | 0.029720532 | 0.029720532 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.21954E-5 | 4.21954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8082515E-4 | 1.8082515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021993406 | 0.0021993406 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018137876 | 0.02177807 | 0.02177807 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.21954E-5 | 4.21954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8082515E-4 | 1.8082515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021993406 | 0.0021993406 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018137876 | 0.02177807 | 0.02177807 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.2123236E-5 | 3.2123236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3766384E-4 | 1.3766384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.00167478 | 0.00167478 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014090929 | 0.016623167 | 0.016623167 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.0134872E-5 | 3.0134872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2914314E-4 | 1.2914314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015711952 | 0.0015711952 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013261181 | 0.015602398 | 0.015602398 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.5769805E-5 | 2.5769805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.10437395E-4 | 1.10437395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013437534 | 0.0013437534 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011431668 | 0.013357272 | 0.013357272 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.2564633E-5 | 2.2564633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.670201E-5 | 9.670201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011767163 | 0.0011767163 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01006902 | 0.011705562 | 0.011705562 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.0423355E-5 | 2.0423355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.7525754E-5 | 8.7525754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010651094 | 0.0010651094 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009149387 | 0.010600613 | 0.010600613 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.8043434E-5 | 1.8043434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.732673E-5 | 7.732673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.4104983E-4 | 9.4104983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008117969 | 0.009371094 | 0.009371094 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.5462447E-5 | 1.5462447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.6265966E-5 | 6.6265966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.0649223E-4 | 8.0649223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006990582 | 0.008035988 | 0.008035988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.4085939E-5 | 1.4085939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.036693E-5 | 6.036693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.347222E-4 | 7.347222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063810493 | 0.007323236 | 0.007323236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2524932E-5 | 1.2524932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.3677188E-5 | 5.3677188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.5332634E-4 | 6.5332634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056831064 | 0.006514338 | 0.006514338 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.934717E-6 | 6.934717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.971988E-5 | 2.971988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6177988E-4 | 3.6177988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.0036119544 | 0.0036119544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.594199E-6 | 5.594199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3974922E-5 | 2.3974922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.002914768 | 0.002914768 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9712425E-6 | 1.9712425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.448155E-6 | 8.448155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0285166E-4 | 1.0285166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010280627 | 0.0010280627 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7537316E-7 | 1.7537316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5159903E-7 | 7.5159903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.150682E-6 | 9.150682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.150325E-5 | 9.150325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.6584548E-5 | 3.6584548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.5678244E-4 | 1.5678244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00171175 | 0.0019073216 | 0.0019073216 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016986247 | 0.018926455 | 0.018936265 | 1.0005183 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1671976E-5 | 2.1671976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.2876704E-5 | 9.2876704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011302076 | 0.0011302076 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010296632 | 0.011246733 | 0.011246733 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1671976E-5 | 2.1671976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.2876704E-5 | 9.2876704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011302076 | 0.0011302076 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010296632 | 0.011246733 | 0.011246733 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7042772E-5 | 1.7042772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.303844E-5 | 7.303844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.8888634E-4 | 8.8888634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008173222 | 0.008853991 | 0.008853991 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7042772E-5 | 1.7042772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.303844E-5 | 7.303844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.8888634E-4 | 8.8888634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008173222 | 0.008853991 | 0.008853991 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.4801829E-5 | 1.4801829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.343488E-5 | 6.343488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.720496E-4 | 7.720496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071270303 | 0.0076940735 | 0.0076940735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3516728E-5 | 1.3516728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.7927566E-5 | 5.7927566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.540996E-4 | 7.0504256E-4 | 7.0504256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065217763 | 0.0070283613 | 0.0070283613 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.2383223E-5 | 1.2383223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.3069885E-5 | 5.3069885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.4593635E-4 | 6.4593635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005984721 | 0.006440818 | 0.006440818 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.0882081E-5 | 1.0882081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.6636666E-5 | 4.6636666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.6765496E-4 | 5.6765496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052704164 | 0.005662219 | 0.005662219 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.613443E-6 | 9.613443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.1199823E-5 | 4.1199823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6745385E-4 | 5.0149346E-4 | 5.0149346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046647177 | 0.0050037373 | 0.0050037373 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.623563E-6 | 8.623563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.695761E-5 | 3.695761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.498668E-4 | 4.498668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004189935 | 0.004489652 | 0.004489652 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.640995E-6 | 7.640995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.2746713E-5 | 3.2746713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.98619E-4 | 3.98619E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037166206 | 0.0039791167 | 0.0039791167 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.8079057E-6 | 6.8079057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.9176417E-5 | 2.9176417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.5516563E-4 | 3.5516563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033141149 | 0.0035460484 | 0.0035460484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.3540275E-6 | 5.3540275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.2945635E-5 | 2.2945635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.7932783E-4 | 2.7932783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002607669 | 0.002789822 | 0.002789822 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.7336624E-6 | 3.7336624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.6001313E-5 | 1.6001313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.9479897E-4 | 1.9479897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018194534 | 0.0019463208 | 0.0019463208 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.1898358E-6 | 1.1898358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.099286E-6 | 5.099286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.208207E-5 | 6.208207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.850142E-4 | 6.2065036E-4 | 6.2065036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 2.9960796E-7 | 2.9960796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2840335E-6 | 1.2840335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.5632997E-5 | 1.5632997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4921463E-4 | 1.563191E-4 | 1.563191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.1750581E-7 | 2.1750581E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.3216744E-7 | 9.3216744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.13490805E-5 | 1.13490805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842913E-4 | 1.134851E-4 | 1.134851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.7650672E-8 | 3.7650672E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.6136002E-7 | 1.6136002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.9645565E-6 | 1.9645565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861208E-5 | 1.9645404E-5 | 1.9645404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Hills 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9074158E-5 | 1.9074158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.174577E-5 | 8.174577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.951441E-4 | 9.951441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009743992 | 0.009940611 | 0.009950512 | 1.000996 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9074158E-5 | 1.9074158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.174577E-5 | 8.174577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.951441E-4 | 9.951441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009743992 | 0.009940611 | 0.009950512 | 1.000996 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9074158E-5 | 1.9074158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.174577E-5 | 8.174577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.951441E-4 | 9.951441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009743992 | 0.009940611 | 0.009950512 | 1.000996 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9074158E-5 | 1.9074158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.174577E-5 | 8.174577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.951441E-4 | 9.951441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009743992 | 0.009940611 | 0.009950512 | 1.000996 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.517418E-6 | 2.517418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.07889E-5 | 1.07889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.3134876E-4 | 1.3134876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002379829 | 0.0013128899 | 0.0013128899 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.517418E-6 | 2.517418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.07889E-5 | 1.07889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.3134876E-4 | 1.3134876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002379829 | 0.0013128899 | 0.0013128899 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.517418E-6 | 2.517418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.07889E-5 | 1.07889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.3134876E-4 | 1.3134876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002379829 | 0.0013128899 | 0.0013128899 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.3266773E-6 | 1.3308204E-6 | 1.3308204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.971435E-6 | 5.7035036E-6 | 5.7035036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2139547E-4 | 6.943801E-5 | 6.943801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012132917 | 6.941692E-4 | 6.941692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.032735E-6 | 1.1905009E-6 | 1.1905009E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.711692E-6 | 5.102137E-6 | 5.102137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06059684E-4 | 6.21168E-5 | 6.21168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010600908 | 6.209992E-4 | 6.209992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3186259E-6 | 1.0570438E-6 | 1.0570438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6512413E-6 | 4.53018E-6 | 4.53018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8801695E-5 | 5.5153578E-5 | 5.5153578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8780396E-4 | 5.5140187E-4 | 5.5140187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2726016E-6 | 1.0167597E-6 | 1.0167597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4539955E-6 | 4.3575346E-6 | 4.3575346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6400375E-5 | 5.305172E-5 | 5.305172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6380535E-4 | 5.3039344E-4 | 5.3039344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2063913E-6 | 9.578367E-7 | 9.578367E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.170238E-6 | 4.105008E-6 | 4.105008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.294583E-5 | 4.9977352E-5 | 4.9977352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2928005E-4 | 4.996637E-4 | 4.996637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.105806E-7 | 7.3839703E-7 | 7.3839703E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9024826E-6 | 3.164555E-6 | 3.164555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7511687E-5 | 3.852779E-5 | 3.852779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7501532E-4 | 3.8521265E-4 | 3.8521265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.020432E-7 | 5.716862E-7 | 5.716862E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0087533E-6 | 2.4500816E-6 | 2.4500816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6630954E-5 | 2.9829347E-5 | 2.9829347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6624918E-4 | 2.9825474E-4 | 2.9825474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.3900635E-7 | 4.4540886E-7 | 4.4540886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3100251E-6 | 1.9088936E-6 | 1.9088936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8124194E-5 | 2.3240545E-5 | 2.3240545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120633E-4 | 2.3238237E-4 | 2.3238237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.907075E-7 | 2.2922194E-7 | 2.2922194E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2458887E-6 | 9.823793E-7 | 9.823793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5168589E-5 | 1.1960405E-5 | 1.1960405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5167553E-4 | 1.1959779E-4 | 1.1959779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6903675E-7 | 1.2382954E-7 | 1.2382954E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2444305E-7 | 5.306979E-7 | 5.306979E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.820059E-6 | 6.461229E-6 | 6.461229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8197085E-5 | 6.461054E-5 | 6.461054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.168073E-8 | 3.9381508E-8 | 3.9381508E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.072031E-7 | 1.6877787E-7 | 1.6877787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7401915E-6 | 2.054869E-6 | 2.054869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7401285E-5 | 2.054851E-5 | 2.054851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.564101E-8 | 3.4066428E-8 | 3.4066428E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813186E-7 | 1.4599897E-7 | 1.4599897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4250486E-6 | 1.7775362E-6 | 1.7775362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424996E-5 | 1.777523E-5 | 1.777523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0029074E-8 | 3.7767416E-9 | 3.7767416E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2981743E-8 | 1.6186036E-8 | 1.6186036E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330256E-7 | 1.9706496E-7 | 1.9706496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330133E-6 | 1.970649E-6 | 1.970649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.966569E-6 | 8.966569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.842763E-5 | 3.842763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6776386E-4 | 4.6776386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.0046685757 | 0.0046785288 | 1.0021319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.966569E-6 | 8.966569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.842763E-5 | 3.842763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6776386E-4 | 4.6776386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.0046685757 | 0.0046785288 | 1.0021319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.966569E-6 | 8.966569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.842763E-5 | 3.842763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6776386E-4 | 4.6776386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.0046685757 | 0.0046785288 | 1.0021319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.966569E-6 | 8.966569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.842763E-5 | 3.842763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6776386E-4 | 4.6776386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.0046685757 | 0.0046785288 | 1.0021319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.941705E-6 | 3.941705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6892913E-5 | 1.6892913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0565209E-4 | 2.0565209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020378039 | 0.0020546466 | 0.0020546466 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.941705E-6 | 3.941705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6892913E-5 | 1.6892913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0565209E-4 | 2.0565209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020378039 | 0.0020546466 | 0.0020546466 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.0587726E-6 | 3.0757947E-6 | 3.0757947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3108959E-5 | 1.3181911E-5 | 1.3181911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.595899E-4 | 1.6047807E-4 | 1.6047807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015947534 | 0.0016036337 | 0.0016036337 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.6160574E-6 | 2.625486E-6 | 2.625486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1211626E-5 | 1.1252035E-5 | 1.1252035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3649299E-4 | 1.3698496E-4 | 1.3698496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013640919 | 0.0013690115 | 0.0013690115 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.5110312E-6 | 2.5184866E-6 | 2.5184866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0761518E-5 | 1.0793469E-5 | 1.0793469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.310136E-4 | 1.3140262E-4 | 1.3140262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013093639 | 0.001313255 | 0.001313255 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8564405E-6 | 1.8527634E-6 | 1.8527634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.95615E-6 | 7.940391E-6 | 7.940391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.686181E-5 | 9.666999E-5 | 9.666999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.68196E-4 | <