ComCat M4.54 (ci38488354), 12 Days After, Point Sources Results

ComCat M4.54 (ci38488354), 12 Days After, Point Sources
Num Simulations100000
Start Time2020/05/22 22:49:57 UTC
Start Time Epoch Milliseconds1590187797913
Duration10 Years
Includes Spontaneous?false
Trigger Ruptures(none)
Config Generated Withu3etas_comcat_event_config_builder.sh --event-id ci38488354 --num-simulations 100000 --days-before 7 --end-now --finite-surf-shakemap --finite-surf-shakemap-min-mag 4.5 --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 32 --hours 24

Table Of Contents

Probabilities Summary Table

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Magnitude1 Hour Prob1 Day Prob1 Week Prob1 Month Prob1 Year Prob10 Year Prob
M≥33.80E-4 (0.04%)0.011 (1.15%)0.063 (6.27%)0.158 (15.84%)0.357 (35.69%)0.496 (49.59%)
95% Conf[0.03% 0.05%][1.08% 1.22%][6.12% 6.42%][15.61% 16.07%][35.39% 35.98%][49.28% 49.90%]
M≥3.51.10E-4 (0.01%)3.92E-3 (0.39%)0.021 (2.09%)0.055 (5.55%)0.138 (13.78%)0.207 (20.73%)
95% Conf[0.01% 0.02%][0.35% 0.43%][2.01% 2.19%][5.41% 5.69%][13.56% 13.99%][20.48% 20.98%]
M≥47.00E-5 (0.01%)1.34E-3 (0.13%)6.96E-3 (0.70%)0.018 (1.84%)0.048 (4.75%)0.075 (7.49%)
95% Conf[0.00% 0.02%][0.11% 0.16%][0.65% 0.75%][1.76% 1.93%][4.62% 4.89%][7.33% 7.66%]
M≥4.50.000 (0.00%)3.80E-4 (0.04%)2.30E-3 (0.23%)6.23E-3 (0.62%)0.016 (1.62%)0.026 (2.61%)
95% Conf[0.00% 0.00%][0.03% 0.05%][0.20% 0.26%][0.58% 0.67%][1.54% 1.70%][2.51% 2.71%]
M≥4.540.000 (0.00%)3.56E-4 (0.04%)2.12E-3 (0.21%)5.71E-3 (0.57%)0.015 (1.48%)0.024 (2.41%)
95% Conf[0.00% 0.00%][0.03% 0.05%][0.18% 0.24%][0.53% 0.62%][1.41% 1.56%][2.32% 2.51%]
M≥50.000 (0.00%)1.70E-4 (0.02%)7.90E-4 (0.08%)2.06E-3 (0.21%)5.25E-3 (0.53%)8.70E-3 (0.87%)
95% Conf[0.00% 0.00%][0.01% 0.03%][0.06% 0.10%][0.18% 0.24%][0.48% 0.57%][0.81% 0.93%]
M≥5.50.000 (0.00%)7.00E-5 (0.01%)2.70E-4 (0.03%)6.60E-4 (0.07%)1.57E-3 (0.16%)2.70E-3 (0.27%)
95% Conf[0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.02%][0.02% 0.04%][0.05% 0.08%][0.13% 0.18%][0.24% 0.30%]
M≥60.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5 (0.00%)3.00E-5 (0.00%)7.00E-5 (0.01%)2.10E-4 (0.02%)4.00E-4 (0.04%)
95% Conf[0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.01%][0.00% 0.01%][0.00% 0.02%][0.01% 0.03%][0.03% 0.06%]
M≥6.50.000 (0.00%)0.000 (0.00%)0.000 (0.00%)2.00E-5 (0.00%)4.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-4 (0.01%)
95% Conf[0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.01%][0.00% 0.01%][0.01% 0.02%]
M≥70.000 (0.00%)0.000 (0.00%)0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5 (0.00%)
95% Conf[0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.00%][0.00% 0.01%][0.00% 0.01%][0.00% 0.01%]

Magnitude Number Distribution

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10 Year Magnitude Number Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode10 yr Probability10 yr Prob 95% Conf10 yr Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.53.8830.00012.0002.0001.0000.870 (86.98%)[86.77% 87.18%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)2.038
M≥2.63.0840.00010.0002.0001.0000.806 (80.56%)[80.31% 80.80%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)1.620
M≥2.72.4530.0009.0001.0001.0000.734 (73.36%)[73.09% 73.64%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)1.290
M≥2.81.9480.0007.0001.0000.0000.655 (65.51%)[65.21% 65.80%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)1.025
M≥2.91.5480.0006.0001.0000.0000.574 (57.36%)[57.05% 57.66%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.814
M≥31.2300.0005.0000.0000.0000.496 (49.59%)[49.28% 49.90%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.646
M≥3.10.9780.0004.0000.0000.0000.424 (42.38%)[42.07% 42.69%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.514
M≥3.20.7770.0004.0000.0000.0000.360 (35.96%)[35.67% 36.26%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.409
M≥3.30.6170.0003.0000.0000.0000.301 (30.10%)[29.82% 30.39%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.325
M≥3.40.4910.0003.0000.0000.0000.251 (25.10%)[24.83% 25.37%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.258
M≥3.50.3900.0002.0000.0000.0000.207 (20.73%)[20.48% 20.98%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.205
M≥3.60.3100.0002.0000.0000.0000.171 (17.05%)[16.82% 17.29%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.162
M≥3.70.2470.0002.0000.0000.0000.139 (13.92%)[13.71% 14.14%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.129
M≥3.80.1970.0002.0000.0000.0000.114 (11.43%)[11.24% 11.63%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.102
M≥3.90.1560.0001.0000.0000.0000.092 (9.22%)[9.04% 9.40%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.081
M≥40.1240.0001.0000.0000.0000.075 (7.49%)[7.33% 7.66%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.065
M≥4.10.0980.0001.0000.0000.0000.061 (6.06%)[5.92% 6.21%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.051
M≥4.20.0780.0001.0000.0000.0000.049 (4.93%)[4.79% 5.06%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.041
M≥4.30.0620.0001.0000.0000.0000.040 (4.01%)[3.89% 4.14%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.032
M≥4.40.0490.0001.0000.0000.0000.033 (3.26%)[3.15% 3.37%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.026
M≥4.50.0390.0001.0000.0000.0000.026 (2.61%)[2.51% 2.71%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.021
M≥4.60.0310.0000.0000.0000.0000.021 (2.11%)[2.03% 2.21%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.016
M≥4.70.0240.0000.0000.0000.0000.017 (1.67%)[1.60% 1.76%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)0.013
M≥4.80.0190.0000.0000.0000.0000.013 (1.34%)[1.27% 1.42%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)9.87E-3
M≥4.90.0150.0000.0000.0000.0000.011 (1.09%)[1.03% 1.16%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)7.79E-3
M≥50.0120.0000.0000.0000.0008.70E-3 (0.87%)[0.81% 0.93%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)6.15E-3
M≥5.19.32E-30.0000.0000.0000.0007.09E-3 (0.71%)[0.66% 0.76%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)4.99E-3
M≥5.27.30E-30.0000.0000.0000.0005.67E-3 (0.57%)[0.52% 0.62%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)3.86E-3
M≥5.35.58E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.37E-3 (0.44%)[0.40% 0.48%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)2.93E-3
M≥5.44.27E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.44E-3 (0.34%)[0.31% 0.38%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)2.25E-3
M≥5.53.23E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.70E-3 (0.27%)[0.24% 0.30%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)1.75E-3
M≥5.62.31E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-3 (0.20%)[0.17% 0.23%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)1.24E-3
M≥5.71.62E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.43E-3 (0.14%)[0.12% 0.17%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)9.40E-4
M≥5.81.21E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.08E-3 (0.11%)[0.09% 0.13%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)6.60E-4
M≥5.97.80E-40.0000.0000.0000.0007.30E-4 (0.07%)[0.06% 0.09%]2.10E-4 (0.02%)4.00E-4
M≥64.10E-40.0000.0000.0000.0004.00E-4 (0.04%)[0.03% 0.06%]2.00E-4 (0.02%)1.80E-4
M≥6.12.80E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.80E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]1.90E-4 (0.02%)1.40E-4
M≥6.21.90E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.90E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]1.80E-4 (0.02%)1.10E-4
M≥6.31.90E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.90E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]1.80E-4 (0.02%)1.10E-4
M≥6.41.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.60E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]1.60E-4 (0.02%)1.00E-4
M≥6.51.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]1.00E-4 (0.01%)6.00E-5
M≥6.66.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0006.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)4.00E-5
M≥6.76.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0006.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)4.00E-5
M≥6.85.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0005.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]5.00E-5 (0.01%)3.00E-5
M≥6.91.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥71.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.11.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.21.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.31.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Year Magnitude Number Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 yr Probability1 yr Prob 95% Conf1 yr Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.52.2470.0008.0001.0001.0000.734 (73.40%)[73.12% 73.67%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)1.326
M≥2.61.7840.0006.0001.0000.0000.653 (65.34%)[65.04% 65.63%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)1.053
M≥2.71.4190.0005.0001.0000.0000.574 (57.44%)[57.13% 57.75%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.839
M≥2.81.1280.0005.0000.0000.0000.497 (49.65%)[49.34% 49.96%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.668
M≥2.90.8950.0004.0000.0000.0000.423 (42.29%)[41.99% 42.60%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.530
M≥30.7110.0003.0000.0000.0000.357 (35.69%)[35.39% 35.98%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.421
M≥3.10.5650.0003.0000.0000.0000.299 (29.89%)[29.60% 30.17%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.335
M≥3.20.4490.0003.0000.0000.0000.249 (24.90%)[24.63% 25.17%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.267
M≥3.30.3570.0002.0000.0000.0000.205 (20.50%)[20.25% 20.75%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.212
M≥3.40.2830.0002.0000.0000.0000.169 (16.86%)[16.63% 17.09%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.168
M≥3.50.2250.0002.0000.0000.0000.138 (13.78%)[13.56% 13.99%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.134
M≥3.60.1790.0001.0000.0000.0000.112 (11.23%)[11.04% 11.43%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.106
M≥3.70.1420.0001.0000.0000.0000.091 (9.05%)[8.88% 9.23%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.084
M≥3.80.1120.0001.0000.0000.0000.074 (7.36%)[7.20% 7.52%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.067
M≥3.90.0890.0001.0000.0000.0000.059 (5.90%)[5.75% 6.05%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.052
M≥40.0710.0001.0000.0000.0000.048 (4.75%)[4.62% 4.89%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.042
M≥4.10.0560.0001.0000.0000.0000.038 (3.81%)[3.69% 3.93%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.033
M≥4.20.0440.0001.0000.0000.0000.031 (3.09%)[2.98% 3.20%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.026
M≥4.30.0350.0000.0000.0000.0000.025 (2.49%)[2.39% 2.59%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.021
M≥4.40.0280.0000.0000.0000.0000.020 (2.03%)[1.94% 2.12%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.017
M≥4.50.0220.0000.0000.0000.0000.016 (1.62%)[1.54% 1.70%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.013
M≥4.60.0170.0000.0000.0000.0000.013 (1.28%)[1.22% 1.36%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)0.010
M≥4.70.0130.0000.0000.0000.0000.010 (1.01%)[0.95% 1.07%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)7.93E-3
M≥4.80.0110.0000.0000.0000.0008.18E-3 (0.82%)[0.76% 0.88%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)6.40E-3
M≥4.98.47E-30.0000.0000.0000.0006.66E-3 (0.67%)[0.62% 0.72%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)5.13E-3
M≥56.63E-30.0000.0000.0000.0005.25E-3 (0.53%)[0.48% 0.57%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)4.07E-3
M≥5.15.19E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.24E-3 (0.42%)[0.39% 0.47%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)3.22E-3
M≥5.24.04E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.33E-3 (0.33%)[0.30% 0.37%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)2.48E-3
M≥5.33.02E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.48E-3 (0.25%)[0.22% 0.28%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)1.82E-3
M≥5.42.28E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.96E-3 (0.20%)[0.17% 0.23%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)1.40E-3
M≥5.51.75E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.57E-3 (0.16%)[0.13% 0.18%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)1.10E-3
M≥5.61.33E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.21E-3 (0.12%)[0.10% 0.15%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)8.00E-4
M≥5.79.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0009.10E-4 (0.09%)[0.07% 0.11%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)6.50E-4
M≥5.87.30E-40.0000.0000.0000.0006.80E-4 (0.07%)[0.05% 0.09%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)4.60E-4
M≥5.94.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0004.60E-4 (0.05%)[0.03% 0.06%]1.10E-4 (0.01%)2.80E-4
M≥62.10E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.10E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]1.00E-4 (0.01%)1.10E-4
M≥6.11.40E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.40E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]9.00E-5 (0.01%)8.00E-5
M≥6.21.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]9.00E-5 (0.01%)7.00E-5
M≥6.31.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]9.00E-5 (0.01%)7.00E-5
M≥6.49.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0009.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]9.00E-5 (0.01%)7.00E-5
M≥6.54.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0004.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]4.00E-5 (0.00%)3.00E-5
M≥6.62.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]2.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥6.72.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]2.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥6.82.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]2.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥6.91.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥71.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.11.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.21.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.31.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Month Magnitude Number Distribution

(top)

Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 mo Probability1 mo Prob 95% Conf1 mo Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.50.8100.0003.0000.0000.0000.407 (40.70%)[40.40% 41.01%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.523
M≥2.60.6430.0003.0000.0000.0000.341 (34.15%)[33.85% 34.44%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.415
M≥2.70.5110.0003.0000.0000.0000.285 (28.53%)[28.25% 28.81%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.330
M≥2.80.4060.0002.0000.0000.0000.237 (23.65%)[23.39% 23.92%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.263
M≥2.90.3240.0002.0000.0000.0000.194 (19.39%)[19.15% 19.64%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.209
M≥30.2570.0002.0000.0000.0000.158 (15.84%)[15.61% 16.07%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.166
M≥3.10.2040.0002.0000.0000.0000.129 (12.89%)[12.68% 13.10%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.132
M≥3.20.1630.0001.0000.0000.0000.106 (10.56%)[10.37% 10.76%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.106
M≥3.30.1290.0001.0000.0000.0000.086 (8.57%)[8.39% 8.74%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.084
M≥3.40.1020.0001.0000.0000.0000.069 (6.92%)[6.76% 7.08%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.067
M≥3.50.0810.0001.0000.0000.0000.055 (5.55%)[5.41% 5.69%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.053
M≥3.60.0640.0001.0000.0000.0000.045 (4.48%)[4.35% 4.61%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.042
M≥3.70.0520.0001.0000.0000.0000.036 (3.60%)[3.49% 3.72%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.033
M≥3.80.0410.0001.0000.0000.0000.029 (2.92%)[2.81% 3.02%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.027
M≥3.90.0320.0000.0000.0000.0000.023 (2.31%)[2.22% 2.40%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.021
M≥40.0250.0000.0000.0000.0000.018 (1.84%)[1.76% 1.93%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.017
M≥4.10.0200.0000.0000.0000.0000.015 (1.46%)[1.38% 1.53%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.013
M≥4.20.0160.0000.0000.0000.0000.012 (1.20%)[1.13% 1.27%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)0.010
M≥4.30.0130.0000.0000.0000.0009.67E-3 (0.97%)[0.91% 1.03%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)8.35E-3
M≥4.40.0100.0000.0000.0000.0007.85E-3 (0.78%)[0.73% 0.84%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)6.71E-3
M≥4.58.00E-30.0000.0000.0000.0006.23E-3 (0.62%)[0.58% 0.67%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)5.34E-3
M≥4.66.16E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.92E-3 (0.49%)[0.45% 0.54%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)4.18E-3
M≥4.74.88E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.85E-3 (0.39%)[0.35% 0.43%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)3.30E-3
M≥4.83.89E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.12E-3 (0.31%)[0.28% 0.35%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)2.64E-3
M≥4.93.21E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.65E-3 (0.27%)[0.23% 0.30%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)2.21E-3
M≥52.45E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.06E-3 (0.21%)[0.18% 0.24%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)1.72E-3
M≥5.11.85E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.65E-3 (0.17%)[0.14% 0.19%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)1.35E-3
M≥5.21.44E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.28E-3 (0.13%)[0.11% 0.15%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)1.01E-3
M≥5.31.15E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.01E-3 (0.10%)[0.08% 0.12%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)8.10E-4
M≥5.49.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0008.10E-4 (0.08%)[0.06% 0.10%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)6.30E-4
M≥5.57.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0006.60E-4 (0.07%)[0.05% 0.08%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)5.20E-4
M≥5.65.30E-40.0000.0000.0000.0005.10E-4 (0.05%)[0.04% 0.07%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)3.90E-4
M≥5.74.40E-40.0000.0000.0000.0004.20E-4 (0.04%)[0.03% 0.06%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)3.60E-4
M≥5.83.50E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.30E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.05%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)2.90E-4
M≥5.92.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]6.00E-5 (0.01%)1.60E-4
M≥67.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0007.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]5.00E-5 (0.01%)5.00E-5
M≥6.16.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0006.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]5.00E-5 (0.01%)4.00E-5
M≥6.25.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0005.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]5.00E-5 (0.01%)4.00E-5
M≥6.35.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0005.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]5.00E-5 (0.01%)4.00E-5
M≥6.45.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0005.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]5.00E-5 (0.01%)4.00E-5
M≥6.52.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]2.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥6.62.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]2.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥6.72.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]2.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥6.82.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]2.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥6.91.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥71.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.11.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.21.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.31.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Week Magnitude Number Distribution

(top)

Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 wk Probability1 wk Prob 95% Conf1 wk Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.50.2740.0002.0000.0000.0000.178 (17.84%)[17.60% 18.08%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)0.197
M≥2.60.2170.0002.0000.0000.0000.145 (14.51%)[14.29% 14.73%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)0.156
M≥2.70.1730.0001.0000.0000.0000.118 (11.81%)[11.61% 12.01%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)0.124
M≥2.80.1380.0001.0000.0000.0000.096 (9.55%)[9.37% 9.74%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)0.099
M≥2.90.1100.0001.0000.0000.0000.078 (7.78%)[7.62% 7.95%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)0.079
M≥30.0870.0001.0000.0000.0000.063 (6.27%)[6.12% 6.42%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)0.063
M≥3.10.0690.0001.0000.0000.0000.050 (5.03%)[4.90% 5.17%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)0.050
M≥3.20.0550.0001.0000.0000.0000.041 (4.09%)[3.97% 4.21%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)0.040
M≥3.30.0440.0001.0000.0000.0000.033 (3.27%)[3.16% 3.38%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)0.032
M≥3.40.0350.0001.0000.0000.0000.026 (2.65%)[2.55% 2.75%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)0.025
M≥3.50.0270.0000.0000.0000.0000.021 (2.09%)[2.01% 2.19%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)0.020
M≥3.60.0220.0000.0000.0000.0000.017 (1.67%)[1.59% 1.75%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)0.015
M≥3.70.0170.0000.0000.0000.0000.013 (1.35%)[1.28% 1.42%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)0.012
M≥3.80.0140.0000.0000.0000.0000.011 (1.07%)[1.01% 1.14%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)9.71E-3
M≥3.90.0110.0000.0000.0000.0008.44E-3 (0.84%)[0.79% 0.90%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)7.61E-3
M≥48.65E-30.0000.0000.0000.0006.96E-3 (0.70%)[0.65% 0.75%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)6.23E-3
M≥4.16.78E-30.0000.0000.0000.0005.49E-3 (0.55%)[0.50% 0.60%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)4.83E-3
M≥4.25.43E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.49E-3 (0.45%)[0.41% 0.49%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)3.91E-3
M≥4.34.40E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.68E-3 (0.37%)[0.33% 0.41%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)3.21E-3
M≥4.43.54E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.97E-3 (0.30%)[0.26% 0.33%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)2.54E-3
M≥4.52.76E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.30E-3 (0.23%)[0.20% 0.26%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)1.97E-3
M≥4.62.15E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.84E-3 (0.18%)[0.16% 0.21%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)1.56E-3
M≥4.71.68E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.42E-3 (0.14%)[0.12% 0.17%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)1.21E-3
M≥4.81.36E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.16E-3 (0.12%)[0.10% 0.14%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)9.70E-4
M≥4.91.13E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-3 (0.10%)[0.08% 0.12%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)8.40E-4
M≥59.10E-40.0000.0000.0000.0007.90E-4 (0.08%)[0.06% 0.10%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)6.50E-4
M≥5.16.90E-40.0000.0000.0000.0006.10E-4 (0.06%)[0.05% 0.08%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)5.00E-4
M≥5.25.40E-40.0000.0000.0000.0004.60E-4 (0.05%)[0.03% 0.06%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)3.60E-4
M≥5.34.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0004.00E-4 (0.04%)[0.03% 0.06%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)3.10E-4
M≥5.43.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.30E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.05%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)2.40E-4
M≥5.52.90E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.70E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)1.90E-4
M≥5.62.10E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)1.40E-4
M≥5.71.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.50E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.03%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)1.20E-4
M≥5.81.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0009.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)8.00E-5
M≥5.95.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0005.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)4.00E-5
M≥63.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0003.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]2.00E-5 (0.00%)3.00E-5
M≥6.12.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]2.00E-5 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥6.22.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]2.00E-5 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥6.32.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]2.00E-5 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥6.42.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]2.00E-5 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥6.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Day Magnitude Number Distribution

(top)

Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 d Probability1 d Prob 95% Conf1 d Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.50.0440.0001.0000.0000.0000.034 (3.36%)[3.25% 3.47%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.034
M≥2.60.0350.0001.0000.0000.0000.027 (2.70%)[2.60% 2.80%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.027
M≥2.70.0280.0000.0000.0000.0000.021 (2.15%)[2.06% 2.24%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.022
M≥2.80.0220.0000.0000.0000.0000.017 (1.74%)[1.66% 1.82%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.017
M≥2.90.0180.0000.0000.0000.0000.014 (1.41%)[1.33% 1.48%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.014
M≥30.0150.0000.0000.0000.0000.011 (1.15%)[1.08% 1.22%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)0.011
M≥3.10.0120.0000.0000.0000.0009.26E-3 (0.93%)[0.87% 0.99%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)9.06E-3
M≥3.29.43E-30.0000.0000.0000.0007.57E-3 (0.76%)[0.70% 0.81%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)7.34E-3
M≥3.37.43E-30.0000.0000.0000.0005.93E-3 (0.59%)[0.55% 0.64%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)5.72E-3
M≥3.45.96E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.83E-3 (0.48%)[0.44% 0.53%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)4.61E-3
M≥3.54.73E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.92E-3 (0.39%)[0.35% 0.43%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)3.70E-3
M≥3.63.79E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.19E-3 (0.32%)[0.29% 0.36%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)2.98E-3
M≥3.73.07E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.55E-3 (0.26%)[0.23% 0.29%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)2.39E-3
M≥3.82.43E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.08E-3 (0.21%)[0.18% 0.24%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.94E-3
M≥3.91.86E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.64E-3 (0.16%)[0.14% 0.19%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.53E-3
M≥41.51E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.34E-3 (0.13%)[0.11% 0.16%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.24E-3
M≥4.11.22E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.09E-3 (0.11%)[0.09% 0.13%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.01E-3
M≥4.21.00E-30.0000.0000.0000.0009.20E-4 (0.09%)[0.07% 0.11%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)8.30E-4
M≥4.37.80E-40.0000.0000.0000.0007.20E-4 (0.07%)[0.06% 0.09%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)6.40E-4
M≥4.45.70E-40.0000.0000.0000.0005.20E-4 (0.05%)[0.04% 0.07%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)4.50E-4
M≥4.54.30E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.80E-4 (0.04%)[0.03% 0.05%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)3.20E-4
M≥4.63.50E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.20E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.05%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)2.60E-4
M≥4.72.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.40E-4 (0.02%)[0.02% 0.04%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)2.10E-4
M≥4.82.30E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.10E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.80E-4
M≥4.92.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.90E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.60E-4
M≥51.80E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.70E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.50E-4
M≥5.11.20E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.10E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-4
M≥5.21.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0009.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)9.00E-5
M≥5.31.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0009.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)9.00E-5
M≥5.49.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0008.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)8.00E-5
M≥5.58.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0007.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)7.00E-5
M≥5.63.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0003.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)3.00E-5
M≥5.72.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0002.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)2.00E-5
M≥5.81.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥5.91.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥61.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥6.11.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥6.21.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥6.31.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥6.41.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥6.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Hour Magnitude Number Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 hr Probability1 hr Prob 95% Conf1 hr Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.51.41E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.34E-3 (0.13%)[0.11% 0.16%]0.000 (0.00%)1.34E-3
M≥2.61.09E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.05E-3 (0.10%)[0.09% 0.13%]0.000 (0.00%)1.05E-3
M≥2.78.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0008.30E-4 (0.08%)[0.07% 0.10%]0.000 (0.00%)8.30E-4
M≥2.86.90E-40.0000.0000.0000.0006.80E-4 (0.07%)[0.05% 0.09%]0.000 (0.00%)6.80E-4
M≥2.95.20E-40.0000.0000.0000.0005.10E-4 (0.05%)[0.04% 0.07%]0.000 (0.00%)5.10E-4
M≥33.90E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.80E-4 (0.04%)[0.03% 0.05%]0.000 (0.00%)3.80E-4
M≥3.13.20E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.10E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)3.10E-4
M≥3.22.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.60E-4 (0.03%)[0.02% 0.04%]0.000 (0.00%)2.60E-4
M≥3.31.80E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.80E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.03%]0.000 (0.00%)1.80E-4
M≥3.41.50E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.50E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.03%]0.000 (0.00%)1.50E-4
M≥3.51.10E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.10E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)1.10E-4
M≥3.68.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0008.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)8.00E-5
M≥3.78.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0008.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)8.00E-5
M≥3.87.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0007.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)7.00E-5
M≥3.97.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0007.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)7.00E-5
M≥47.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0007.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)7.00E-5
M≥4.16.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0006.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)6.00E-5
M≥4.24.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0004.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)4.00E-5
M≥4.31.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.000 (0.00%)1.00E-5
M≥4.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥4.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥4.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥4.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥4.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥4.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥5.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥5.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥5.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥5.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥5.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥5.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥5.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥5.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥5.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥6.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥7.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.10.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

Trigger Rupture Fault Map

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Map

Fault Distances To Triggers

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Section NameStrike, Dip, Rake# Hypos In PolyMax Mag w/ Hypo In Poly# Surfs In PolyMax Mag w/ Surf In PolyMin Dist To Any (km)Min Poly Dist To Any (km)Min Dist To Largest (km)Min Poly Dist To Largest (km)
San Jacinto (Borrego)133, 90, 18044.5444.541.1500.0001.6450.000
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)119, 90, 180007.3507.1067.4577.219
Superstition Hills115, 90, 1800011.4657.54411.8147.795
Elmore Ranch220, 90, 00015.2059.36115.5169.800

Individual Simulated Catalog Maps

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These are map plots of individual catalogs from the simulations, selected as the closest catalog to each of the given percentiles in terms of total number of events.

Durationp0.0 %-ilep25.0 %-ilep50.0 %-ilep75.0 %-ilep90.0 %-ilep95.0 %-ilep97.5 %-ilep98.0 %-ilep99.0 %-ilep99.5 %-ilep99.9 %-ilep99.999 %-ile
1 WeekMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMap
1 MonthMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMap
1 YearMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMap
10 YearMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMap

Section Participation

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Section Participation Plots

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Min Mag1 yr Triggered Ruptures (no spontaneous)10 yr Triggered Ruptures (no spontaneous)10 yr Triggered Ruptures (primary aftershocks only)
All Supra. Seis.Participation PlotParticipation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥6.5Participation PlotParticipation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7Participation PlotParticipation PlotParticipation Plot

Supra-Seismogenic Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 11 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTriggered 10 Year Mean CountTriggered 1 Day ProbTriggered 1 Day 95% ConfTriggered 1 Week ProbTriggered 1 Week 95% ConfTriggered 1 Month ProbTriggered 1 Month 95% ConfTriggered 1 Year ProbTriggered 1 Year 95% ConfTriggered 10 Year ProbTriggered 10 Year 95% ConfTriggered 10 Year Primary Mean Count
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)1.5E-41.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]2.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]4.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]8.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]1.50E-4 (0.01%)[0.01% 0.03%]1.0E-4
San Jacinto (Borrego)4.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]4.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]3.0E-5
Superstition Hills4.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]4.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]3.0E-5
Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)3.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.0E-5
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 11.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0
Elmore Ranch1.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.0E-5
Imperial1.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0
Laguna Salada1.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0
San Andreas (Coachella) rev1.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)1.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0

M≥6.5 Parent Sections Table

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Parent NameTriggered 10 Year Mean CountTriggered 1 Day ProbTriggered 1 Day 95% ConfTriggered 1 Week ProbTriggered 1 Week 95% ConfTriggered 1 Month ProbTriggered 1 Month 95% ConfTriggered 1 Year ProbTriggered 1 Year 95% ConfTriggered 10 Year ProbTriggered 10 Year 95% ConfTriggered 10 Year Primary Mean Count
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)8.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]3.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]8.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.02%]6.0E-5
San Jacinto (Borrego)4.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]4.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]3.0E-5
Superstition Hills4.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]4.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]3.0E-5
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 11.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0
Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)1.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0
Imperial1.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0
San Andreas (Coachella) rev1.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)1.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0

M≥7 Parent Sections Table

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Parent NameTriggered 10 Year Mean CountTriggered 1 Day ProbTriggered 1 Day 95% ConfTriggered 1 Week ProbTriggered 1 Week 95% ConfTriggered 1 Month ProbTriggered 1 Month 95% ConfTriggered 1 Year ProbTriggered 1 Year 95% ConfTriggered 10 Year ProbTriggered 10 Year 95% ConfTriggered 10 Year Primary Mean Count
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 11.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0
Imperial1.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0
San Andreas (Coachella) rev1.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)1.0E-50.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]0.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.00%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]1.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.01%]0.0

Fault Magnitude-Probability Distributions

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The first 5 sections (sorted by trigger rate) are plotted below. All fault MPDs are available here

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
MPDMPDMPDMPD
MPDMPDMPDMPD
MPDMPDMPDMPD
MPDMPDMPDMPD

Gridded Nucleation

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Min MagTriggered Ruptures (no spontaneous)Triggered Ruptures (primary aftershocks only)
M≥2.5Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥5Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥6Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥7Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot

JSON Input File

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{
  "numSimulations": 100000,
  "duration": 10.0,
  "startTimeMillis": 1590187797913,
  "includeSpontaneous": false,
  "randomSeed": 1590187797280,
  "binaryOutput": true,
  "binaryOutputFilters": [
    {
      "prefix": "results_complete",
      "descendantsOnly": false
    },
    {
      "prefix": "results_m5_preserve_chain",
      "minMag": 5.0,
      "preserveChainBelowMag": true,
      "descendantsOnly": false
    }
  ],
  "forceRecalc": false,
  "simulationName": "ComCat M4.54 (ci38488354), 12 Days After, Point Sources",
  "numRetries": 3,
  "outputDir": "${ETAS_SIM_DIR}/2020_05_22-ComCatM4p54_ci38488354_12DaysAfter_PointSources",
  "treatTriggerCatalogAsSpontaneous": false,
  "triggerRuptures": [
    {
      "occurrenceTimeMillis": 1589148460370,
      "comcatEventID": "ci38488354",
      "mag": 4.54,
      "latitude": 33.0183333,
      "longitude": -116.02016670000002,
      "depth": 10.16
    },
    {
      "occurrenceTimeMillis": 1589157883540,
      "comcatEventID": "ci38488706",
      "mag": 2.92,
      "latitude": 33.0166667,
      "longitude": -116.02433329999998,
      "depth": 8.06
    },
    {
      "occurrenceTimeMillis": 1589200215750,
      "comcatEventID": "ci38489410",
      "mag": 2.67,
      "latitude": 33.023,
      "longitude": -116.0171667,
      "depth": 8.12
    },
    {
      "occurrenceTimeMillis": 1589251607250,
      "comcatEventID": "ci38490402",
      "mag": 3.3,
      "latitude": 33.0118333,
      "longitude": -116.02316669999999,
      "depth": 9.89
    }
  ],
  "cacheDir": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/cache_fm3p1_ba",
  "fssFile": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/2013_05_10-ucerf3p3-production-10runs_COMPOUND_SOL_FM3_1_SpatSeisU3_MEAN_BRANCH_AVG_SOL.zip",
  "probModel": "FULL_TD",
  "applySubSeisForSupraNucl": true,
  "totRateScaleFactor": 1.14,
  "gridSeisCorr": true,
  "timeIndependentERF": false,
  "griddedOnly": false,
  "imposeGR": false,
  "includeIndirectTriggering": true,
  "gridSeisDiscr": 0.1,
  "catalogCompletenessModel": "RELAXED",
  "configCommand": "u3etas_comcat_event_config_builder.sh --event-id ci38488354 --num-simulations 100000 --days-before 7 --end-now --finite-surf-shakemap --finite-surf-shakemap-min-mag 4.5 --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 32 --hours 24",
  "configTime": 1590187797280,
  "comcatMetadata": {
    "region": {
      "centerLatitude": 33.0183333,
      "centerLongitude": -116.02016670000002,
      "radius": 0.8177113012534665
    },
    "eventID": "ci38488354",
    "minDepth": -10.0,
    "maxDepth": 24.0,
    "minMag": 2.5,
    "startTime": 1588543660370,
    "endTime": 1590187796913
  }
}