Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Carson Range (Genoa)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1268457E-55.0199807E-50.006359883126.6913760.006311.7685282E-42.1512645E-40.007743506735.995140.007530.00215105670.00261641010.0124905084.77391050.00990.021303540.0258957840.037341511.44199180.01175
6.14.1268457E-55.0199807E-50.006359883126.6913760.006311.7685282E-42.1512645E-40.007743506735.995140.007530.00215105670.00261641010.0124905084.77391050.00990.021303540.0258957840.037341511.44199180.01175
6.24.1268457E-55.0199807E-50.006359883126.6913760.006311.7685282E-42.1512645E-40.007743506735.995140.007530.00215105670.00261641010.0124905084.77391050.00990.021303540.0258957840.037341511.44199180.01175
6.34.1268457E-55.0199807E-50.006359883126.6913760.006311.7685282E-42.1512645E-40.007743506735.995140.007530.00215105670.00261641010.0124905084.77391050.00990.021303540.0258957840.037341511.44199180.01175
6.44.1268457E-55.0199807E-50.006359883126.6913760.006311.7685282E-42.1512645E-40.007743506735.995140.007530.00215105670.00261641010.0124905084.77391050.00990.021303540.0258957840.037341511.44199180.01175
6.52.5677185E-53.100969E-50.001820954158.7221030.001791.1004044E-41.328929E-40.002282607117.176290.002150.00133891890.00161695050.0045122612.79059960.00290.01330880450.0160698050.019405331.20756460.00339
6.62.5677185E-53.100969E-50.001820954158.7221030.001791.1004044E-41.328929E-40.002282607117.176290.002150.00133891890.00161695050.0045122612.79059960.00290.01330880450.0160698050.019405331.20756460.00339
6.71.9969408E-52.4087698E-58.84067E-436.702018.6E-48.558037E-51.0322977E-40.001133123410.9767110.001030.00104144290.00125625170.00261454332.08122560.001360.0103657570.012506690.0140965541.12712110.00161
6.81.4783156E-51.783553E-54.5782767E-425.669424.4E-46.335485E-57.6436474E-55.66399E-47.4100624.9E-47.710722E-49.303472E-40.00156975181.68727536.4E-40.00768402270.0092773360.0100302851.08116017.6E-4
6.91.06660555E-51.2890135E-53.2288613E-425.049093.1E-44.5710865E-55.5242912E-54.0522357E-47.33530433.5E-45.5638765E-46.7249034E-40.00112218771.66870464.5E-40.0055499670.00671587470.00723238241.07690855.2E-4
7.07.664838E-69.267758E-62.5926545E-427.974992.5E-43.2848893E-53.971896E-53.2970746E-48.3010082.9E-43.998619E-44.8357836E-48.633946E-41.78542853.8E-40.00399143160.0048357810.005253751.08643264.2E-4

North Tahoe 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.150391E-52.2177239E-58.217591E-53.70541646.0E-59.215636E-59.504295E-51.650363E-41.73643917.0E-50.00112142610.00115672990.00124662581.07771559.0E-50.0111578390.0115263660.0116449831.01029091.2E-4
6.12.150391E-52.2177239E-58.217591E-53.70541646.0E-59.215636E-59.504295E-51.650363E-41.73643917.0E-50.00112142610.00115672990.00124662581.07771559.0E-50.0111578390.0115263660.0116449831.01029091.2E-4
6.22.150391E-52.2177239E-58.217591E-53.70541646.0E-59.215636E-59.504295E-51.650363E-41.73643917.0E-50.00112142610.00115672990.00124662581.07771559.0E-50.0111578390.0115263660.0116449831.01029091.2E-4
6.32.150391E-52.2177239E-58.217591E-53.70541646.0E-59.215636E-59.504295E-51.650363E-41.73643917.0E-50.00112142610.00115672990.00124662581.07771559.0E-50.0111578390.0115263660.0116449831.01029091.2E-4
6.47.3563056E-66.448525E-61.644846E-52.55073241.0E-53.1526644E-52.7636415E-53.763614E-51.36183141.0E-53.8376928E-43.3645198E-43.5644526E-41.05942382.0E-50.0038310720.00336242580.0033923251.00889223.0E-5
6.57.3563056E-66.448525E-61.644846E-52.55073241.0E-53.1526644E-52.7636415E-53.763614E-51.36183141.0E-53.8376928E-43.3645198E-43.5644526E-41.05942382.0E-50.0038310720.00336242580.0033923251.00889223.0E-5
6.66.8508816E-65.887394E-65.887394E-61.00.02.936059E-52.5231615E-52.5231615E-51.00.03.5740656E-43.07182E-43.1717893E-41.0325441.0E-50.00356832260.00307055420.0030904931.00649342.0E-5
6.71.8511148E-66.105409E-76.105409E-71.00.07.933325E-62.6166038E-62.6166038E-61.00.09.658395E-53.185715E-53.185715E-51.00.09.6541987E-43.1857152E-43.1857152E-41.00.0

West Tahoe

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.952444E-52.119202E-52.119202E-51.00.08.367348E-59.082009E-51.0081918E-41.11009781.0E-50.00101824850.00110522840.00114518431.03615164.0E-50.0101359540.0110028080.0110621481.00539316.0E-5
6.11.952444E-52.119202E-52.119202E-51.00.08.367348E-59.082009E-51.0081918E-41.11009781.0E-50.00101824850.00110522840.00114518431.03615164.0E-50.0101359540.0110028080.0110621481.00539316.0E-5
6.21.952444E-52.119202E-52.119202E-51.00.08.367348E-59.082009E-51.0081918E-41.11009781.0E-50.00101824850.00110522840.00114518431.03615164.0E-50.0101359540.0110028080.0110621481.00539316.0E-5
6.31.952444E-52.119202E-52.119202E-51.00.08.367348E-59.082009E-51.0081918E-41.11009781.0E-50.00101824850.00110522840.00114518431.03615164.0E-50.0101359540.0110028080.0110621481.00539316.0E-5
6.41.952444E-52.119202E-52.119202E-51.00.08.367348E-59.082009E-51.0081918E-41.11009781.0E-50.00101824850.00110522840.00114518431.03615164.0E-50.0101359540.0110028080.0110621481.00539316.0E-5
6.51.2685271E-51.3695958E-51.3695958E-51.00.05.4364315E-55.8695736E-56.8695146E-51.17036011.0E-56.616845E-47.1440276E-47.343885E-41.02797542.0E-50.00659717760.0071227130.0071624281.00557594.0E-5
6.61.2685271E-51.3695958E-51.3695958E-51.00.05.4364315E-55.8695736E-56.8695146E-51.17036011.0E-56.616845E-47.1440276E-47.343885E-41.02797542.0E-50.00659717760.0071227130.0071624281.00557594.0E-5
6.79.117886E-69.813502E-69.813502E-61.00.03.9076072E-54.205723E-54.205723E-51.00.04.756473E-45.1193364E-45.2192854E-41.01952371.0E-50.00474630530.0051082620.00512815971.00389532.0E-5
6.88.786828E-69.46141E-69.46141E-61.00.03.7657293E-54.0548308E-54.0548308E-51.00.04.5838108E-44.935709E-45.0356594E-41.02025061.0E-50.00457436730.0049254480.004945351.00404062.0E-5
6.96.7562123E-67.2664875E-67.2664875E-61.00.02.8954875E-53.1141746E-53.1141746E-51.00.03.5246857E-43.7908956E-43.8908576E-41.0263691.0E-50.00351910040.00378490120.00380482551.00526422.0E-5
7.05.1792854E-65.569386E-65.569386E-61.00.02.2196748E-52.3868599E-52.3868599E-51.00.02.702119E-42.9056525E-43.0056233E-41.03440571.0E-50.00269883570.00290222890.00291219981.00343561.0E-5
7.14.090765E-64.3990403E-64.3990403E-61.00.01.7531731E-51.8852914E-51.8852914E-51.00.02.134279E-42.2951345E-42.3951115E-41.04356041.0E-50.00213223040.0022930990.0023030761.00435091.0E-5
7.22.2356758E-62.4032474E-62.4032474E-61.00.09.581432E-61.0299602E-51.0299602E-51.00.01.1664769E-41.2539233E-41.2539233E-41.00.00.00116586480.00125340160.00125340161.00.0

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0131365E-53.2813296E-53.2813296E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.4062143E-41.4062143E-41.00.00.0015710.00171082690.00172080981.00583521.0E-50.0155994020.0169873780.0169972091.00057861.0E-5
6.13.0131365E-53.2813296E-53.2813296E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.4062143E-41.4062143E-41.00.00.0015710.00171082690.00172080981.00583521.0E-50.0155994020.0169873780.0169972091.00057861.0E-5
6.23.0131365E-53.2813296E-53.2813296E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.4062143E-41.4062143E-41.00.00.0015710.00171082690.00172080981.00583521.0E-50.0155994020.0169873780.0169972091.00057861.0E-5
6.31.6998249E-51.833809E-51.833809E-51.00.07.28476E-57.858955E-57.858955E-51.00.08.865586E-49.564265E-49.564265E-41.00.00.00883030050.0095250290.0095250291.00.0
6.41.6998249E-51.833809E-51.833809E-51.00.07.28476E-57.858955E-57.858955E-51.00.08.865586E-49.564265E-49.564265E-41.00.00.00883030050.0095250290.0095250291.00.0
6.51.27470785E-51.3698534E-51.3698534E-51.00.05.4629192E-55.8706737E-55.8706737E-51.00.06.649074E-47.1453047E-47.1453047E-41.00.00.00662921460.0071233840.0071233841.00.0
6.61.2739422E-51.3690619E-51.3690619E-51.00.05.4596385E-55.867282E-55.867282E-51.00.06.645082E-47.1411784E-47.1411784E-41.00.00.00662524670.0071192840.0071192841.00.0
6.71.0160109E-51.0889799E-51.0889799E-51.00.04.35426E-54.6669775E-54.6669775E-51.00.05.300022E-45.680634E-45.680634E-41.00.00.0052873990.00566682550.00566682551.00.0
6.88.349859E-68.935875E-68.935875E-61.00.03.578462E-53.8296075E-53.8296075E-51.00.04.3559066E-44.6616062E-44.6616062E-41.00.00.0043473780.0046523930.0046523931.00.0
6.95.193639E-65.53845E-65.53845E-61.00.02.2258262E-52.3736016E-52.3736016E-51.00.02.7096065E-42.8895092E-42.8895092E-41.00.00.00270630510.00288607340.00288607341.00.0
7.04.359381E-64.6450764E-64.6450764E-61.00.01.8682927E-51.9907335E-51.9907335E-51.00.02.274409E-42.4234781E-42.4234781E-41.00.00.00227208270.00242112860.00242112861.00.0
7.13.0398533E-63.2322648E-63.2322648E-61.00.01.3027877E-51.3852505E-51.3852505E-51.00.01.5860285E-41.6864382E-41.6864382E-41.00.00.0015848970.00168541620.00168541621.00.0
7.21.642335E-61.7340096E-61.7340096E-61.00.07.0385595E-67.4314603E-67.4314603E-61.00.08.569109E-59.047634E-59.047634E-51.00.08.5658056E-49.0459787E-49.0459787E-41.00.0
7.33.356842E-73.2970493E-73.2970493E-71.00.01.4386458E-61.4130203E-61.4130203E-61.00.01.7515373E-51.7203387E-51.7203387E-51.00.01.7513991E-41.7202065E-41.7202065E-41.00.0
7.42.1973483E-72.1022731E-72.1022731E-71.00.09.417204E-79.009739E-79.009739E-71.00.01.1465385E-51.0969302E-51.0969302E-51.00.01.1464794E-41.0968764E-41.0968764E-41.00.0
7.51.1944135E-71.0710092E-71.0710092E-71.00.05.118914E-74.5900384E-74.5900384E-71.00.06.23226E-65.5883575E-65.5883575E-61.00.06.2320854E-55.5882185E-55.5882185E-51.00.0
7.64.636058E-83.346971E-83.346971E-81.00.01.9868818E-71.4344161E-71.4344161E-71.00.02.419026E-61.7464001E-61.7464001E-61.00.02.4189996E-51.7463866E-51.7463866E-51.00.0
7.71.8588572E-88.064726E-98.064726E-91.00.07.9665305E-83.456311E-83.456311E-81.00.09.699246E-74.2080578E-74.2080578E-71.00.09.699204E-64.20805E-64.20805E-61.00.0
7.82.7960154E-97.7099993E-107.7099993E-101.00.01.1982923E-83.3042857E-93.3042857E-91.00.01.4589209E-74.022968E-84.022968E-81.00.01.4589199E-64.0229673E-74.0229673E-71.00.0

Robinson Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3705327E-51.529366E-51.529366E-51.00.05.8735794E-56.5544256E-56.5544256E-51.00.07.1487366E-47.9800136E-48.0799335E-41.01252131.0E-50.00712578320.0079800130.0079899341.00124311.0E-5
6.11.3705327E-51.529366E-51.529366E-51.00.05.8735794E-56.5544256E-56.5544256E-51.00.07.1487366E-47.9800136E-48.0799335E-41.01252131.0E-50.00712578320.0079800130.0079899341.00124311.0E-5
6.21.3705327E-51.529366E-51.529366E-51.00.05.8735794E-56.5544256E-56.5544256E-51.00.07.1487366E-47.9800136E-48.0799335E-41.01252131.0E-50.00712578320.0079800130.0079899341.00124311.0E-5
6.31.3705327E-51.529366E-51.529366E-51.00.05.8735794E-56.5544256E-56.5544256E-51.00.07.1487366E-47.9800136E-48.0799335E-41.01252131.0E-50.00712578320.0079800130.0079899341.00124311.0E-5
6.41.3705327E-51.529366E-51.529366E-51.00.05.8735794E-56.5544256E-56.5544256E-51.00.07.1487366E-47.9800136E-48.0799335E-41.01252131.0E-50.00712578320.0079800130.0079899341.00124311.0E-5

Hat Creek-McArthur-Mayfield

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.967457E-54.3176995E-54.3176995E-51.00.01.7002279E-41.8503178E-41.9502993E-41.05403471.0E-50.0020680620.0022505490.00226052641.00443341.0E-50.020489220.0222899430.022299721.00043871.0E-5
6.12.5044013E-52.7081951E-52.7081951E-51.00.01.0732707E-41.16060524E-41.2605936E-41.0861521.0E-50.00130592380.00141215280.00142213871.00707141.0E-50.012982760.0140352140.0140450741.00070251.0E-5
6.22.5044013E-52.7081951E-52.7081951E-51.00.01.0732707E-41.16060524E-41.2605936E-41.0861521.0E-50.00130592380.00141215280.00142213871.00707141.0E-50.012982760.0140352140.0140450741.00070251.0E-5
6.31.6624012E-51.7897775E-51.7897775E-51.00.07.124382E-57.670255E-58.670178E-51.13036381.0E-58.670483E-49.33462E-49.434527E-41.01070281.0E-50.0086367320.00929634550.0093062531.00106571.0E-5
6.41.6624012E-51.7897775E-51.7897775E-51.00.07.124382E-57.670255E-58.670178E-51.13036381.0E-58.670483E-49.33462E-49.434527E-41.01070281.0E-50.0086367320.00929634550.0093062531.00106571.0E-5
6.51.3394842E-51.4397402E-51.4397402E-51.00.05.7405203E-56.170173E-57.1701106E-51.162061.0E-56.986842E-47.5096515E-47.6095766E-41.01330611.0E-50.0069649160.0074848680.00749479331.00132611.0E-5
6.61.1137514E-51.1958854E-51.1958854E-51.00.04.7731326E-55.1251245E-56.1250736E-51.19510721.0E-55.809739E-46.238093E-46.338031E-41.01602051.0E-50.0057945740.00622100430.00623094241.00159741.0E-5
6.77.0200663E-67.5269436E-67.5269436E-61.00.03.008565E-53.225794E-53.225794E-51.00.03.6623122E-43.926712E-43.926712E-41.00.00.00365628260.00391993670.00391993671.00.0
6.85.940172E-66.3677144E-66.3677144E-61.00.02.545763E-52.7289925E-52.7289925E-51.00.03.0990256E-43.3220547E-43.3220547E-41.00.00.00309470740.00331721730.00331721731.00.0
6.94.129831E-64.4250914E-64.4250914E-61.00.01.7699154E-51.8964545E-51.8964545E-51.00.02.154659E-42.3086966E-42.3086966E-41.00.00.0021525710.00230637660.00230637661.00.0
7.02.6512955E-62.8383777E-62.8383777E-61.00.01.1362646E-51.2164422E-51.2164422E-51.00.01.3833142E-41.480922E-41.480922E-41.00.00.00138245350.00147997760.00147997761.00.0
7.11.2992575E-61.3914134E-61.3914134E-61.00.05.568235E-65.963188E-65.963188E-61.00.06.779115E-57.2599614E-57.2599614E-51.00.06.7770475E-47.257806E-47.257806E-41.00.0
7.24.968191E-75.3290364E-75.3290364E-71.00.02.1292228E-62.2838715E-62.2838715E-61.00.02.592298E-52.7805907E-52.7805907E-51.00.02.5919956E-42.7803663E-42.7803663E-41.00.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5010907E-42.4922634E-42.4922634E-41.00.06.4316596E-40.00106766240.00106766241.00.00.00780246640.0129123730.0129222441.00076451.0E-50.075341360.120918910.12092771.00007271.0E-5
6.11.4521465E-42.408278E-42.408278E-41.00.06.222001E-40.00103169780.00103169781.00.00.00754900560.0124810110.0124908861.00079121.0E-50.072976570.117186790.117195621.00007531.0E-5
6.21.429998E-42.4012473E-42.4012473E-41.00.06.127123E-40.00102868730.00102868731.00.00.0074342860.0124448250.0124547011.00079361.0E-50.071904440.1168328150.1168416441.00007561.0E-5
6.31.3536277E-42.3339082E-42.3339082E-41.00.05.799972E-49.998549E-49.998549E-41.00.00.00703862640.0120986550.0121085341.00081661.0E-50.06819820.1137249540.113733821.0000781.0E-5
6.41.2993296E-42.275843E-42.275843E-41.00.05.5673666E-49.74989E-49.74989E-41.00.00.0067572230.0117992970.011809181.00083761.0E-50.065554120.11098580.110994691.00008011.0E-5
6.51.0498927E-41.8082319E-41.8082319E-41.00.04.498764E-47.747257E-47.747257E-41.00.00.0054634980.0093914030.0094013091.00105481.0E-50.0533111240.089641920.0896510261.00010161.0E-5
6.61.0157505E-41.7568469E-41.7568469E-41.00.04.35249E-47.5271697E-47.5271697E-41.00.00.00528628840.0091257560.0091356641.00108581.0E-50.051622930.087214330.087223461.00010471.0E-5
6.79.660386E-51.6825725E-41.6825725E-41.00.04.1395082E-47.20903E-47.20903E-41.00.00.00502821060.0087416310.0087515431.00113391.0E-50.0491594970.0836965140.083705671.00010941.0E-5
6.89.089927E-51.5735593E-41.5735593E-41.00.03.8951015E-46.742085E-46.742085E-41.00.00.00473197880.008177560.008177561.00.00.0463247750.0785749260.0785749261.00.0
6.97.353187E-51.2375273E-41.2375273E-41.00.03.150985E-45.3026166E-45.3026166E-41.00.00.00382957720.00643694730.00643694731.00.00.0376425120.062555670.062555671.00.0
7.05.746064E-59.457052E-59.457052E-51.00.02.4623662E-44.0523964E-44.0523964E-41.00.00.00299380980.00492270340.00492270341.00.00.029537970.048307820.048307821.00.0
7.14.9557195E-58.114551E-58.114551E-51.00.02.123707E-43.4772046E-43.4772046E-41.00.00.00258254730.0042253420.0042253421.00.00.02552740.0416679350.0416679351.00.0
7.23.687595E-56.005682E-56.005682E-51.00.01.5803022E-42.5736116E-42.5736116E-41.00.00.00192231990.00312889950.00312889951.00.00.019057760.031138790.031138791.00.0
7.32.5846984E-54.2879667E-54.2879667E-51.00.01.1076809E-41.8375716E-41.8375716E-41.00.00.00134776710.00223496580.00223496581.00.00.0133962230.0223734140.0223734141.00.0
7.41.7747854E-53.0206456E-53.0206456E-51.00.07.6060016E-51.2944984E-41.2944984E-41.00.09.2563726E-40.00157491530.00157491531.00.00.0092179110.015839160.015839161.00.0
7.51.4883479E-52.649587E-52.649587E-51.00.06.378478E-51.13548806E-41.13548806E-41.00.07.76303E-40.00138158280.00138158281.00.00.00773596670.0139237710.0139237711.00.0
7.68.166975E-61.5150449E-51.5150449E-51.00.03.5000852E-56.4928885E-56.4928885E-51.00.04.2605202E-47.902238E-47.902238E-41.00.00.0042523610.0080301340.0080301341.00.0
7.73.3858064E-66.3805346E-66.3805346E-61.00.01.4510518E-52.7344862E-52.7344862E-51.00.01.7665124E-43.328729E-43.328729E-41.00.00.00176510880.0034504290.0034504291.00.0
7.82.7721615E-65.4751554E-65.4751554E-61.00.01.1880637E-52.3464741E-52.3464741E-51.00.01.4463716E-42.8564583E-42.8564583E-41.00.00.00144543060.0029606090.0029606091.00.0
7.91.9736292E-64.2087768E-64.2087768E-61.00.08.4583835E-61.803749E-51.803749E-51.00.01.0297595E-42.1958434E-42.1958434E-41.00.00.00102928250.00226260230.00226260231.00.0
8.01.1767289E-62.6024816E-62.6024816E-61.00.05.0431145E-61.1153445E-51.1153445E-51.00.06.139818E-51.3578477E-41.3578477E-41.00.06.1381224E-40.00138938850.00138938851.00.0
8.17.5112825E-71.5705431E-61.5705431E-61.00.03.2191172E-66.730882E-66.730882E-61.00.03.9192048E-58.194543E-58.194543E-51.00.03.9185135E-48.379923E-48.379923E-41.00.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5121875E-52.5121875E-51.00.09.571891E-51.0766168E-41.0766168E-41.00.00.00116475460.00131016110.00131016111.00.00.0115866860.0130409890.0130508581.00075691.0E-5
6.12.233523E-52.5121875E-52.5121875E-51.00.09.571891E-51.0766168E-41.0766168E-41.00.00.00116475460.00131016110.00131016111.00.00.0115866860.0130409890.0130508581.00075691.0E-5
6.22.233523E-52.5121875E-52.5121875E-51.00.09.571891E-51.0766168E-41.0766168E-41.00.00.00116475460.00131016110.00131016111.00.00.0115866860.0130409890.0130508581.00075691.0E-5
6.32.233523E-52.5121875E-52.5121875E-51.00.09.571891E-51.0766168E-41.0766168E-41.00.00.00116475460.00131016110.00131016111.00.00.0115866860.0130409890.0130508581.00075691.0E-5
6.41.2288092E-51.3789327E-51.3789327E-51.00.05.2662188E-55.9096303E-55.9096303E-51.00.06.409735E-47.193539E-47.193539E-41.00.00.0063912790.00717947070.00717947071.00.0
6.51.2288092E-51.3789327E-51.3789327E-51.00.05.2662188E-55.9096303E-55.9096303E-51.00.06.409735E-47.193539E-47.193539E-41.00.00.0063912790.00717947070.00717947071.00.0
6.68.58281E-69.63956E-69.63956E-61.00.03.6782953E-54.1312214E-54.1312214E-51.00.04.4774043E-45.0294347E-45.0294347E-41.00.00.00446839350.0050262220.0050262221.00.0
6.77.205685E-68.093165E-68.093165E-61.00.03.088114E-53.4684992E-53.4684992E-51.00.03.7591302E-44.2228977E-44.2228977E-41.00.00.00375277760.0042228980.0042228981.00.0

Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8694856E-56.782227E-56.782227E-51.00.02.0867554E-42.9063533E-42.9063533E-41.00.00.00253766450.0035327470.0035327471.00.00.025088810.034943470.034953121.00027621.0E-5
6.14.8694856E-56.782227E-56.782227E-51.00.02.0867554E-42.9063533E-42.9063533E-41.00.00.00253766450.0035327470.0035327471.00.00.025088810.034943470.034953121.00027621.0E-5
6.24.7541962E-56.615034E-56.615034E-51.00.02.0373536E-42.8347148E-42.8347148E-41.00.00.00247765610.00344582760.00344582761.00.00.0245021340.0341035160.0341131721.00028321.0E-5
6.34.6717287E-56.498194E-56.498194E-51.00.02.0020158E-42.7846513E-42.7846513E-41.00.00.00243472960.00338507650.00338507651.00.00.0240822640.033515190.0335248521.00028841.0E-5
6.44.6276386E-56.4342385E-56.4342385E-51.00.01.983123E-42.757249E-42.757249E-41.00.00.00241177860.00335182550.00335182551.00.00.023857710.033193530.03320321.00029121.0E-5
6.54.5720994E-56.3541695E-56.3541695E-51.00.01.9593239E-42.722942E-42.722942E-41.00.00.0023828670.00331019380.00331019381.00.00.0235747750.032790510.0328001861.00029491.0E-5
6.64.549134E-56.319375E-56.319375E-51.00.01.949483E-42.7080328E-42.7080328E-41.00.00.00237091190.00329209720.00329209721.00.00.0234577560.0326154460.032625121.00029661.0E-5
6.73.701047E-55.0675895E-55.0675895E-51.00.01.5860666E-42.1716458E-42.1716458E-41.00.00.00192932580.00264081680.00264081681.00.00.0191266130.0262831230.0262831231.00.0
6.83.5523568E-54.8653586E-54.8653586E-51.00.01.5223498E-42.0849895E-42.0849895E-41.00.00.00185188510.00253556340.00253556341.00.00.0183652840.025253560.025253561.00.0
6.93.2946147E-54.4965873E-54.4965873E-51.00.01.4119013E-41.926969E-41.926969E-41.00.00.00171763440.00234360340.00234360341.00.00.0170441880.023371320.023371321.00.0
7.02.7682381E-53.7317335E-53.7317335E-51.00.01.1863338E-41.5992181E-41.5992181E-41.00.00.00144340440.001945340.001945341.00.00.014340650.0194591950.0194591951.00.0
7.12.471967E-53.3573295E-53.3573295E-51.00.01.05937135E-41.4387778E-41.4387778E-41.00.00.00128902150.00175033420.00175033421.00.00.01281570.0175301530.0175301531.00.0
7.21.9748062E-52.7012975E-52.7012975E-51.00.08.463181E-51.15764895E-41.15764895E-41.00.00.00102990520.00140855030.00140855031.00.00.010251450.0141509750.0141509751.00.0
7.31.1603734E-51.5952353E-51.5952353E-51.00.04.9729337E-56.8365516E-56.8365516E-51.00.06.052865E-48.3204685E-48.3204685E-41.00.00.00603640450.008394780.008394781.00.0
7.44.885381E-66.0922966E-66.0922966E-61.00.02.0937177E-52.6109583E-52.6109583E-51.00.02.5488032E-43.1783798E-43.1783798E-41.00.00.00254588180.00322973730.00322973731.00.0
7.53.0571264E-64.2080273E-64.2080273E-61.00.01.3101904E-51.8034278E-51.8034278E-51.00.01.5950401E-42.1954533E-42.1954533E-41.00.00.00159389570.00224743620.00224743621.00.0
7.61.764948E-62.8457737E-62.8457737E-61.00.07.564041E-61.2196116E-51.2196116E-51.00.09.208831E-51.4847767E-41.4847767E-41.00.09.205016E-40.00153754970.00153754971.00.0
7.71.3173734E-62.1024548E-62.1024548E-61.00.05.645874E-69.0104895E-69.0104895E-61.00.06.873634E-51.09697205E-41.09697205E-41.00.06.8715087E-40.00114835810.00114835811.00.0
7.89.4429885E-71.5829007E-61.5829007E-61.00.04.0469886E-66.7838428E-66.7838428E-61.00.04.9270973E-58.2590166E-58.2590166E-51.00.04.926005E-48.671725E-48.671725E-41.00.0
7.96.388233E-71.138793E-61.138793E-61.00.02.7378112E-64.8805323E-64.8805323E-61.00.03.3332344E-55.9418868E-55.9418868E-51.00.03.3327343E-46.21615E-46.21615E-41.00.0
8.03.087986E-75.874935E-75.874935E-71.00.01.323422E-62.5178267E-62.5178267E-61.00.01.6112543E-53.065411E-53.065411E-51.00.01.6111376E-43.170878E-43.170878E-41.00.0
8.11.6725647E-72.803481E-72.803481E-71.00.07.168133E-71.2014914E-61.2014914E-61.00.08.7271665E-61.4628061E-51.4628061E-51.00.08.726824E-51.5168895E-41.5168895E-41.00.0

Honey Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.155506E-57.96579E-57.96579E-51.00.02.6378073E-43.413494E-43.413494E-41.00.00.00320680140.0041484540.0041484541.00.00.031609190.0407584120.0407680051.00023531.0E-5
6.16.155506E-57.96579E-57.96579E-51.00.02.6378073E-43.413494E-43.413494E-41.00.00.00320680140.0041484540.0041484541.00.00.031609190.0407584120.0407680051.00023531.0E-5
6.24.1335024E-55.2645802E-55.2645802E-51.00.01.7713808E-42.2560626E-42.2560626E-41.00.00.00215452280.00274344630.00274344631.00.00.0213375350.0271118360.0271118361.00.0
6.34.1335024E-55.2645802E-55.2645802E-51.00.01.7713808E-42.2560626E-42.2560626E-41.00.00.00215452280.00274344630.00274344631.00.00.0213375350.0271118360.0271118361.00.0
6.43.2393702E-54.093951E-54.093951E-51.00.01.3882275E-41.7544394E-41.7544394E-41.00.00.00168885660.00213404160.00213404161.00.00.0167607930.0211464840.0211464841.00.0
6.52.7205504E-53.425481E-53.425481E-51.00.01.1658981E-41.4679863E-41.4679863E-41.00.00.00141855660.00178590130.00178590131.00.00.0140953540.0177250060.0177250061.00.0
6.62.069265E-52.5987782E-52.5987782E-51.00.08.867977E-51.1137193E-41.1137193E-41.00.00.00107914140.0013551940.0013551941.00.00.0107391610.0134776810.0134776811.00.0
6.71.8060919E-52.268514E-52.268514E-51.00.07.7401644E-59.7218865E-59.7218865E-51.00.09.419576E-40.0011830780.0011830781.00.00.0093797480.0117758580.0117758581.00.0
6.81.4474663E-51.8204133E-51.8204133E-51.00.06.203279E-57.8015815E-57.8015815E-51.00.07.5498753E-49.4950525E-49.4950525E-41.00.00.0075242770.0094620280.0094620281.00.0
6.98.564552E-61.0816167E-51.0816167E-51.00.03.6704707E-54.6354555E-54.6354555E-51.00.04.4678818E-45.6428707E-45.6428707E-41.00.00.00445890940.00563505520.00563505521.00.0

San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0283932E-54.318002E-54.318002E-51.00.02.1548476E-41.8504418E-41.8504418E-41.00.00.00262037060.00225059870.00226057621.00443331.0E-50.025896870.0223522320.0223620091.00043741.0E-5
6.15.0283932E-54.318002E-54.318002E-51.00.02.1548476E-41.8504418E-41.8504418E-41.00.00.00262037060.00225059870.00226057621.00443331.0E-50.025896870.0223522320.0223620091.00043741.0E-5
6.24.2998647E-53.4552173E-53.4552173E-51.00.01.842669E-41.480724E-41.480724E-41.00.00.00224114120.00180130320.00181128521.00554161.0E-50.0221867360.0179441980.017954021.00054731.0E-5
6.34.2998647E-53.4552173E-53.4552173E-51.00.01.842669E-41.480724E-41.480724E-41.00.00.00224114120.00180130320.00181128521.00554161.0E-50.0221867360.0179441980.017954021.00054731.0E-5
6.44.1101295E-53.243446E-53.243446E-51.00.01.7613651E-41.3899748E-41.3899748E-41.00.00.00214235280.0016909940.00170097711.00590371.0E-50.021218170.0168579850.0168678161.00058321.0E-5
6.54.1032585E-53.2352415E-53.2352415E-51.00.01.7584208E-41.3864589E-41.3864589E-41.00.00.00213877530.00168672020.00169670341.00591861.0E-50.0211830750.01681590.0168257321.00058471.0E-5
6.64.011629E-53.1372594E-53.1372594E-51.00.01.7191563E-41.3444711E-41.3444711E-41.00.00.00209106340.00163567850.0016456621.00610361.0E-50.0207149610.0163140040.0163238421.0006031.0E-5
6.73.8583938E-52.9557277E-52.9557277E-51.00.01.6534925E-41.2666798E-41.2666798E-41.00.00.00201126820.00154110590.00155109051.00647891.0E-50.0199316220.0153805640.015390411.00064021.0E-5
6.83.44341E-52.4548268E-52.4548268E-51.00.01.4756636E-41.0520268E-41.0520268E-41.00.00.00179513990.00128010060.00129008771.00780191.0E-50.0178070780.0128031530.0128130251.0007711.0E-5
6.93.221199E-52.1868722E-52.1868722E-51.00.01.3804408E-49.371978E-59.371978E-51.00.00.00167939090.00114044930.00115043791.00875841.0E-50.016667560.0114210240.011430911.00086561.0E-5
7.02.9186718E-51.8231263E-51.8231263E-51.00.01.2507994E-47.813167E-57.813167E-51.00.00.00152178439.508424E-49.6083287E-41.0105071.0E-50.0151140530.0095420180.0095519231.0010381.0E-5
7.12.6840138E-51.5364962E-51.5364962E-51.00.01.1502409E-46.584819E-56.584819E-51.00.00.00139951868.014088E-48.1140077E-41.0124681.0E-50.0139073750.008059170.008069091.00123081.0E-5
7.22.453002E-51.26845825E-51.26845825E-51.00.01.05124425E-45.4361364E-55.4361364E-51.00.00.00127913846.616492E-46.616492E-41.00.00.0127180050.0066697310.0066697311.00.0
7.32.3330727E-51.1564705E-51.1564705E-51.00.09.9985E-54.9562084E-54.9562084E-51.00.00.00121663766.0325174E-46.0325174E-41.00.00.0120999810.0060876680.0060876681.00.0
7.42.2136466E-51.044332E-51.044332E-51.00.09.486712E-54.475632E-54.475632E-51.00.00.00115439525.4477225E-45.4477225E-41.00.00.0114841680.00550441720.00550441721.00.0
7.52.0994974E-59.498769E-69.498769E-61.00.08.997535E-54.070838E-54.070838E-51.00.00.00109489944.9551204E-44.9551204E-41.00.00.0108952050.0050119140.0050119141.00.0
7.61.7091823E-56.9512334E-66.9512334E-61.00.07.3248615E-52.979066E-52.979066E-51.00.08.9143694E-43.6264103E-43.6264103E-41.00.00.0088786950.0036794660.0036794661.00.0
7.71.2772179E-54.061639E-64.061639E-61.00.05.473676E-51.7406908E-51.7406908E-51.00.06.6621625E-42.1190853E-42.1190853E-41.00.00.0066422250.0021590780.0021590781.00.0
7.87.041923E-61.9669753E-61.9669753E-61.00.03.017932E-58.429866E-68.429866E-61.00.03.6737128E-41.02628794E-41.02628794E-41.00.00.00366764540.00105226310.00105226311.00.0
7.92.946768E-61.018827E-61.018827E-61.00.01.2628945E-54.366394E-64.366394E-61.00.01.5374656E-45.315955E-55.315955E-51.00.00.00153640235.42223E-45.42223E-41.00.0
8.01.1433375E-65.2703155E-75.2703155E-71.00.04.9000087E-62.2587046E-62.2587046E-61.00.05.965597E-52.7499384E-52.7499384E-51.00.05.963996E-42.7864333E-42.7864333E-41.00.0
8.12.6675295E-71.6626096E-71.6626096E-71.00.01.1432264E-67.1254675E-77.1254675E-71.00.01.3918692E-58.6752225E-68.6752225E-61.00.01.391782E-48.81471E-58.81471E-51.00.0
8.21.2704569E-89.732738E-99.732738E-91.00.05.444815E-84.1711733E-84.1711733E-81.00.06.629061E-75.0784024E-75.0784024E-71.00.06.629041E-65.2718874E-65.2718874E-61.00.0

Reliz 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6002472E-51.6286349E-51.6286349E-51.00.06.8580215E-56.979688E-56.979688E-51.00.08.3464425E-48.4946555E-48.59457E-41.01176211.0E-50.0083151640.0084643850.0084743011.00117151.0E-5
6.11.6002472E-51.6286349E-51.6286349E-51.00.06.8580215E-56.979688E-56.979688E-51.00.08.3464425E-48.4946555E-48.59457E-41.01176211.0E-50.0083151640.0084643850.0084743011.00117151.0E-5
6.21.6002472E-51.6286349E-51.6286349E-51.00.06.8580215E-56.979688E-56.979688E-51.00.08.3464425E-48.4946555E-48.59457E-41.01176211.0E-50.0083151640.0084643850.0084743011.00117151.0E-5
6.37.792404E-67.80598E-67.80598E-61.00.03.339559E-53.3453776E-53.3453776E-51.00.04.0651546E-44.0722438E-44.1722032E-41.02454651.0E-50.00405772640.00406506150.00407502061.002451.0E-5
6.47.792404E-67.80598E-67.80598E-61.00.03.339559E-53.3453776E-53.3453776E-51.00.04.0651546E-44.0722438E-44.1722032E-41.02454651.0E-50.00405772640.00406506150.00407502061.002451.0E-5
6.55.9659374E-65.9306713E-65.9306713E-61.00.02.5568053E-52.5416917E-52.5416917E-51.00.03.1124658E-43.0940725E-43.1940415E-41.03230991.0E-50.003108110.00308998530.00309995451.00322631.0E-5
6.65.2350692E-65.1808242E-65.1808242E-61.00.02.2435817E-52.2203343E-52.2203343E-51.00.02.7312184E-42.702923E-42.8028962E-41.0369871.0E-50.0027278640.00269984870.00270982181.00369391.0E-5
6.74.580206E-64.5078677E-64.5078677E-61.00.01.9629308E-51.931929E-51.931929E-51.00.02.389606E-42.3518704E-42.451847E-41.04250931.0E-50.0023870380.00234958620.00235956281.00424611.0E-5
6.84.0765017E-63.9899137E-63.9899137E-61.00.01.7470604E-51.7099519E-51.7099519E-51.00.02.1268385E-42.0816678E-42.181647E-41.04802831.0E-50.0021248040.0020799190.0020898981.00479791.0E-5
6.93.5752896E-63.4741195E-63.4741195E-61.00.01.532258E-51.48889985E-51.48889985E-51.00.01.8653645E-41.812585E-41.9125668E-41.05515981.0E-50.00186379940.0018113060.00182128791.00551091.0E-5
7.03.0259848E-62.9094663E-62.9094663E-61.00.01.2968442E-51.2469081E-51.2469081E-51.00.01.5787935E-41.5180052E-41.6179899E-41.06586591.0E-50.00157767220.00151716640.00152715121.00658121.0E-5
7.12.5861116E-62.4566264E-62.4566264E-61.00.01.1083288E-51.0528356E-51.0528356E-51.00.01.3493067E-41.281752E-41.281752E-41.00.00.00134848780.00128121030.00128121031.00.0
7.22.1482588E-62.0046243E-62.0046243E-61.00.09.20679E-68.591219E-68.591219E-61.00.01.12086906E-41.0459307E-41.0459307E-41.00.00.00112030390.00104563570.00104563571.00.0
7.31.7194744E-61.5624432E-61.5624432E-61.00.07.3691554E-66.696168E-66.696168E-61.00.08.971577E-58.15228E-58.15228E-51.00.08.967956E-48.151259E-48.151259E-41.00.0
7.41.2755178E-61.1068795E-61.1068795E-61.00.05.4664933E-64.74376E-64.74376E-61.00.06.655252E-55.7753754E-55.7753754E-51.00.06.6532596E-45.7758426E-45.7758426E-41.00.0
7.58.8463224E-77.069788E-77.069788E-71.00.03.7912755E-63.0299057E-63.0299057E-61.00.04.6157802E-53.688848E-53.688848E-51.00.04.6148215E-43.6902027E-43.6902027E-41.00.0
7.65.291355E-73.511326E-73.511326E-71.00.02.2677216E-61.5048531E-61.5048531E-61.00.02.760916E-51.8321432E-51.8321432E-51.00.02.760573E-41.8339495E-41.8339495E-41.00.0
7.72.9663357E-71.3586646E-71.3586646E-71.00.01.2712861E-65.8228466E-75.8228466E-71.00.01.5477797E-57.089293E-67.089293E-61.00.01.547672E-47.1077506E-57.1077506E-51.00.0
7.81.2509386E-72.7576526E-82.7576526E-81.00.05.3611643E-71.18185106E-71.18185106E-71.00.06.527198E-61.4389027E-61.4389027E-61.00.06.527006E-51.4547338E-51.4547338E-51.00.0
7.96.213493E-81.1708623E-81.1708623E-81.00.02.6629255E-75.017981E-85.017981E-81.00.03.242107E-66.10939E-76.10939E-71.00.03.2420594E-56.2424283E-66.2424283E-61.00.0
8.05.92383E-91.7031256E-91.7031256E-91.00.02.5387841E-87.2991106E-97.2991106E-91.00.03.0909692E-78.886666E-88.886666E-81.00.03.090965E-69.133264E-79.133264E-71.00.0

Polaris 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2630823E-51.35879445E-51.35879445E-51.00.05.413098E-55.823304E-55.823304E-51.00.06.5884535E-47.088086E-47.188015E-41.01409821.0E-50.00656895430.0070705910.00708052051.00140431.0E-5
6.11.2630823E-51.35879445E-51.35879445E-51.00.05.413098E-55.823304E-55.823304E-51.00.06.5884535E-47.088086E-47.188015E-41.01409821.0E-50.00656895430.0070705910.00708052051.00140431.0E-5
6.21.2630823E-51.35879445E-51.35879445E-51.00.05.413098E-55.823304E-55.823304E-51.00.06.5884535E-47.088086E-47.188015E-41.01409821.0E-50.00656895430.0070705910.00708052051.00140431.0E-5
6.31.2630823E-51.35879445E-51.35879445E-51.00.05.413098E-55.823304E-55.823304E-51.00.06.5884535E-47.088086E-47.188015E-41.01409821.0E-50.00656895430.0070705910.00708052051.00140431.0E-5
6.46.642994E-67.109497E-67.109497E-61.00.02.8469662E-53.0468946E-53.0468946E-51.00.03.46563E-43.7090143E-43.8089772E-41.02695131.0E-50.00346023030.0037033350.00371329811.00269031.0E-5
6.56.642994E-67.109497E-67.109497E-61.00.02.8469662E-53.0468946E-53.0468946E-51.00.03.46563E-43.7090143E-43.8089772E-41.02695131.0E-50.00346023030.0037033350.00371329811.00269031.0E-5
6.66.1286296E-66.5584163E-66.5584163E-61.00.02.626529E-52.8107223E-52.8107223E-51.00.03.19733E-43.421565E-43.521531E-41.02921641.0E-50.00319273350.00341677270.00342673851.00291671.0E-5
6.74.9474666E-65.300093E-65.300093E-61.00.02.1203256E-52.2714503E-52.2714503E-51.00.02.5811905E-42.765168E-42.8651403E-41.03615421.0E-50.00257819450.00276200750.002771981.00361061.0E-5
6.84.616407E-64.9479986E-64.9479986E-61.00.01.978445E-52.1205551E-52.1205551E-51.00.02.4084905E-42.581497E-42.681471E-41.03872721.0E-50.00240588190.00257876260.00258873681.00386791.0E-5
6.94.320343E-64.6325194E-64.6325194E-61.00.01.8515624E-51.985352E-51.985352E-51.00.02.2540441E-42.416924E-42.5168998E-41.04136491.0E-50.00225175920.00241455230.00242452811.00413161.0E-5
7.03.7382292E-64.0109812E-64.0109812E-61.00.01.6020884E-51.718982E-51.718982E-51.00.01.950368E-42.0926834E-42.1926625E-41.04777551.0E-50.00194865710.00209094840.00210092751.00477251.0E-5
7.13.193576E-63.4289324E-63.4289324E-61.00.01.3686683E-51.46953535E-51.46953535E-51.00.01.6662262E-41.7890347E-41.8890169E-41.0558861.0E-50.00166497740.00178781350.00179779561.00558341.0E-5
7.22.2356758E-62.4032474E-62.4032474E-61.00.09.581432E-61.0299602E-51.0299602E-51.00.01.1664769E-41.2539233E-41.2539233E-41.00.00.00116586480.00125340160.00125340161.00.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.5849868E-43.5849868E-41.00.07.751381E-40.00153552830.00153552831.00.00.009396540.0185372290.0185470451.00052941.0E-50.0900900660.167266710.167275041.00004981.0E-5
6.11.8091932E-43.5849868E-43.5849868E-41.00.07.751381E-40.00153552830.00153552831.00.00.009396540.0185372290.0185470451.00052941.0E-50.0900900660.167266710.167275041.00004981.0E-5
6.21.8091932E-43.5849868E-43.5849868E-41.00.07.751381E-40.00153552830.00153552831.00.00.009396540.0185372290.0185470451.00052941.0E-50.0900900660.167266710.167275041.00004981.0E-5
6.31.7322872E-43.4403213E-43.4403213E-41.00.07.4219756E-40.00147359990.00147359991.00.00.00899887550.017795780.0178056021.00055191.0E-50.086430750.161204490.161212881.0000521.0E-5
6.41.6334097E-43.2480914E-43.2480914E-41.00.06.998449E-40.00139130520.00139130521.00.00.0084873720.0168096030.0168194361.00058481.0E-50.0817044150.153080670.153089151.00005531.0E-5
6.51.5600289E-43.1152013E-43.1152013E-41.00.06.684125E-40.00133441160.00133441161.00.00.0081075980.0161273420.016137181.00061011.0E-50.0781810360.147340970.147349491.00005781.0E-5
6.61.4046066E-42.81594E-42.81594E-41.00.06.018354E-40.00120628010.00120628011.00.00.00730275550.0145890760.014598931.00067541.0E-50.070673840.13440760.134416251.00006441.0E-5
6.71.14696966E-42.3385801E-42.3385801E-41.00.04.914658E-40.00100186870.00100186871.00.00.00596719240.0121306050.0121404841.00081431.0E-50.0580948220.113180450.113189321.00007831.0E-5
6.89.3874296E-51.895622E-41.895622E-41.00.04.0225635E-48.121602E-48.121602E-41.00.00.00488647870.0098439610.0098439611.00.00.0478041730.0929964860.0929964861.00.0
6.95.551852E-51.0790643E-41.0790643E-41.00.02.3791482E-44.623748E-44.623748E-41.00.00.00289276540.00561500250.00561500251.00.00.0285539810.0545230140.0545230141.00.0
7.04.2662363E-58.296558E-58.296558E-51.00.01.8282588E-43.555187E-43.555187E-41.00.00.00222363280.0043199240.0043199241.00.00.0220151380.0422960260.0422960261.00.0
7.13.305886E-56.344046E-56.344046E-51.00.01.4167312E-42.7185943E-42.7185943E-41.00.00.00172350560.00330488430.00330488431.00.00.0171019980.0326510370.0326510371.00.0
7.22.9856887E-55.7410092E-55.7410092E-51.00.01.2795182E-42.4602015E-42.4602015E-41.00.00.00155670010.0029911980.0029911981.00.00.0154584030.0296409520.0296409521.00.0
7.32.4559737E-54.6302514E-54.6302514E-51.00.01.0525176E-41.9842431E-41.9842431E-41.00.00.00128068690.00241315270.00241315271.00.00.0127333130.0240065730.0240065731.00.0
7.41.9002231E-53.5287638E-53.5287638E-51.00.08.143559E-51.5122401E-41.5122401E-41.00.09.910273E-40.00183960760.00183960761.00.00.0098661940.0183731450.0183731451.00.0
7.51.2783333E-52.3499146E-52.3499146E-51.00.05.4784563E-51.0070677E-41.0070677E-41.00.06.667979E-40.00122542120.00122542121.00.00.0066480070.0122917080.0122917081.00.0
7.64.8149627E-68.959291E-68.959291E-61.00.02.063539E-53.8396403E-53.8396403E-51.00.02.5120692E-44.673772E-44.673772E-41.00.00.00250923140.0047153880.0047153881.00.0
7.76.0838227E-71.2268276E-61.2268276E-61.00.02.6073499E-65.257822E-65.257822E-61.00.03.174402E-56.401211E-56.401211E-51.00.03.1739488E-46.6319684E-46.6319684E-41.00.0
7.84.5542808E-79.977003E-79.977003E-71.00.01.9518332E-64.2758516E-64.2758516E-61.00.02.376331E-55.205725E-55.205725E-51.00.02.3760769E-45.4106815E-45.4106815E-41.00.0
7.93.3016747E-77.5223073E-77.5223073E-71.00.01.4150027E-63.223842E-63.223842E-61.00.01.7227521E-53.924957E-53.924957E-51.00.01.7226185E-44.058549E-44.058549E-41.00.0
8.02.347038E-75.5677646E-75.5677646E-71.00.01.0058731E-62.3861826E-62.3861826E-61.00.01.2246436E-52.9051387E-52.9051387E-51.00.01.2245761E-42.9817407E-42.9817407E-41.00.0
8.11.18822804E-72.649948E-72.649948E-71.00.05.092405E-71.1356916E-61.1356916E-61.00.06.1999854E-61.3826958E-51.3826958E-51.00.06.199812E-51.4132493E-41.4132493E-41.00.0