M7OnSAF Results

M7OnSAF
Num Simulations25000
Start Time2020/01/01 00:00:00 UTC
Start Time Epoch Milliseconds1577836800000
Duration1 Year
Includes Spontaneous?false
Trigger Ruptures(none)
Config Generated Withu3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2020 --num-simulations 25000 --duration-years 1 --magnitude 7 --latitude 34.695 --depth 5 --longitude -118.5 --name M7OnSAF --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 36 --hours 24 --queue scec

Table Of Contents

Probabilities Summary Table

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Magnitude1 Hour Prob1 Day Prob1 Week Prob1 Month Prob1 Year Prob
M≥41.000 (100.00%)1.000 (100.00%)1.000 (100.00%)1.000 (100.00%)1.000 (100.00%)
95% Conf[99.98% 100.00%][99.98% 100.00%][99.98% 100.00%][99.98% 100.00%][99.98% 100.00%]
M≥4.50.973 (97.31%)1.000 (99.99%)1.000 (100.00%)1.000 (100.00%)1.000 (100.00%)
95% Conf[97.10% 97.51%][99.97% 100.00%][99.98% 100.00%][99.98% 100.00%][99.98% 100.00%]
M≥50.680 (67.95%)0.942 (94.18%)0.980 (97.96%)0.991 (99.10%)0.998 (99.78%)
95% Conf[67.37% 68.53%][93.88% 94.47%][97.78% 98.13%][98.98% 99.22%][99.71% 99.83%]
M≥5.50.278 (27.77%)0.569 (56.86%)0.689 (68.89%)0.758 (75.76%)0.840 (84.00%)
95% Conf[27.22% 28.33%][56.25% 57.48%][68.31% 69.46%][75.22% 76.29%][83.54% 84.46%]
M≥60.060 (6.00%)0.152 (15.22%)0.209 (20.93%)0.251 (25.14%)0.322 (32.19%)
95% Conf[5.71% 6.30%][14.77% 15.67%][20.43% 21.44%][24.61% 25.69%][31.61% 32.78%]
M≥6.56.40E-3 (0.64%)0.020 (2.00%)0.029 (2.92%)0.036 (3.64%)0.051 (5.13%)
95% Conf[0.55% 0.75%][1.84% 2.19%][2.72% 3.14%][3.42% 3.89%][4.86% 5.41%]
M≥73.12E-3 (0.31%)9.56E-3 (0.96%)0.014 (1.42%)0.018 (1.78%)0.025 (2.48%)
95% Conf[0.25% 0.39%][0.84% 1.09%][1.27% 1.57%][1.62% 1.95%][2.29% 2.68%]
M≥7.52.20E-3 (0.22%)6.88E-3 (0.69%)0.010 (1.03%)0.013 (1.30%)0.017 (1.74%)
95% Conf[0.17% 0.29%][0.59% 0.80%][0.91% 1.16%][1.16% 1.45%][1.58% 1.91%]
M≥84.00E-4 (0.04%)9.60E-4 (0.10%)1.36E-3 (0.14%)1.80E-3 (0.18%)2.68E-3 (0.27%)
95% Conf[0.02% 0.08%][0.06% 0.15%][0.10% 0.19%][0.13% 0.24%][0.21% 0.34%]

Magnitude Number Distribution

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1 Year Magnitude Number Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 yr Probability1 yr Prob 95% Conf1 yr Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.52859.2812023.0005131.0002421.0002382.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)1472.543
M≥2.62271.0431602.0004071.0001924.0001755.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)1169.509
M≥2.71803.9351267.0003239.0001529.0001471.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)928.893
M≥2.81432.8701004.0002556.0001215.0001185.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)737.871
M≥2.91138.112792.0002035.000965.000916.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)586.105
M≥3903.990625.0001609.000768.000710.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)465.549
M≥3.1717.962493.0001284.000610.000591.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)369.756
M≥3.2570.194388.0001023.000485.000466.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)293.665
M≥3.3452.840305.000817.000385.000368.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)233.224
M≥3.4359.600239.000651.000306.000290.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)185.206
M≥3.5285.539187.000514.000243.000226.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)147.088
M≥3.6226.710146.000411.000193.000183.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)116.772
M≥3.7179.933113.000327.000153.000148.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)92.644
M≥3.8142.81288.000259.000122.000115.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)73.516
M≥3.9113.36568.000207.00097.00095.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)58.369
M≥489.91552.000166.00077.00072.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)46.310
M≥4.171.34040.000133.00061.00056.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)36.726
M≥4.256.59230.000105.00048.00048.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)29.128
M≥4.344.82423.00086.00038.00036.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)23.085
M≥4.435.52717.00068.00030.00027.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)18.294
M≥4.528.15313.00055.00024.00021.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)14.504
M≥4.622.2719.00045.00019.00018.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)11.482
M≥4.717.5956.00037.00015.00013.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)9.066
M≥4.813.8984.00030.00012.00010.0001.000 (99.99%)[99.97% 100.00%]0.044 (4.38%)7.165
M≥4.910.9363.00025.0009.0008.0000.999 (99.94%)[99.90% 99.97%]0.044 (4.38%)5.641
M≥58.6222.00020.0007.0006.0000.998 (99.78%)[99.71% 99.83%]0.044 (4.38%)4.443
M≥5.16.7511.00016.0006.0005.0000.992 (99.18%)[99.06% 99.29%]0.044 (4.38%)3.476
M≥5.25.2551.00014.0004.0003.0000.977 (97.65%)[97.45% 97.83%]0.044 (4.38%)2.703
M≥5.34.0840.00011.0003.0003.0000.948 (94.84%)[94.56% 95.11%]0.044 (4.38%)2.096
M≥5.43.1600.0009.0002.0002.0000.902 (90.19%)[89.81% 90.55%]0.044 (4.38%)1.623
M≥5.52.4290.0008.0002.0001.0000.840 (84.00%)[83.54% 84.46%]0.044 (4.38%)1.246
M≥5.61.8410.0007.0001.0001.0000.756 (75.56%)[75.03% 76.09%]0.044 (4.38%)0.941
M≥5.71.3650.0005.0001.0000.0000.654 (65.41%)[64.81% 66.00%]0.044 (4.38%)0.695
M≥5.81.0030.0004.0001.0000.0000.546 (54.56%)[53.94% 55.18%]0.044 (4.38%)0.508
M≥5.90.7050.0004.0000.0000.0000.431 (43.11%)[42.49% 43.72%]0.044 (4.36%)0.351
M≥60.4750.0003.0000.0000.0000.322 (32.19%)[31.61% 32.78%]0.044 (4.36%)0.233
M≥6.10.2940.0002.0000.0000.0000.216 (21.64%)[21.13% 22.15%]0.043 (4.25%)0.139
M≥6.20.1860.0002.0000.0000.0000.143 (14.30%)[13.87% 14.75%]0.041 (4.14%)0.085
M≥6.30.1220.0001.0000.0000.0000.095 (9.54%)[9.18% 9.91%]0.039 (3.93%)0.052
M≥6.40.0840.0001.0000.0000.0000.067 (6.72%)[6.41% 7.04%]0.034 (3.45%)0.035
M≥6.50.0630.0001.0000.0000.0000.051 (5.13%)[4.86% 5.41%]0.028 (2.78%)0.026
M≥6.60.0500.0001.0000.0000.0000.043 (4.30%)[4.06% 4.56%]0.027 (2.67%)0.022
M≥6.70.0410.0001.0000.0000.0000.036 (3.55%)[3.33% 3.79%]0.024 (2.44%)0.018
M≥6.80.0340.0001.0000.0000.0000.031 (3.10%)[2.89% 3.32%]0.023 (2.33%)0.015
M≥6.90.0300.0001.0000.0000.0000.028 (2.78%)[2.58% 2.99%]0.022 (2.24%)0.014
M≥70.0260.0000.0000.0000.0000.025 (2.48%)[2.29% 2.68%]0.022 (2.15%)0.012
M≥7.10.0240.0000.0000.0000.0000.023 (2.26%)[2.08% 2.45%]0.021 (2.05%)0.011
M≥7.20.0220.0000.0000.0000.0000.021 (2.09%)[1.92% 2.28%]0.020 (1.98%)0.011
M≥7.30.0200.0000.0000.0000.0000.019 (1.92%)[1.76% 2.10%]0.018 (1.84%)9.68E-3
M≥7.40.0180.0000.0000.0000.0000.018 (1.81%)[1.65% 1.99%]0.018 (1.78%)9.32E-3
M≥7.50.0180.0000.0000.0000.0000.017 (1.74%)[1.58% 1.91%]0.017 (1.72%)8.92E-3
M≥7.60.0160.0000.0000.0000.0000.016 (1.60%)[1.45% 1.77%]0.016 (1.59%)8.20E-3
M≥7.70.0140.0000.0000.0000.0000.014 (1.38%)[1.24% 1.53%]0.014 (1.37%)7.16E-3
M≥7.80.0110.0000.0000.0000.0000.011 (1.11%)[0.98% 1.25%]0.011 (1.10%)5.72E-3
M≥7.96.36E-30.0000.0000.0000.0006.36E-3 (0.64%)[0.54% 0.74%]6.36E-3 (0.64%)3.04E-3
M≥82.68E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.68E-3 (0.27%)[0.21% 0.34%]2.68E-3 (0.27%)1.24E-3
M≥8.17.20E-40.0000.0000.0000.0007.20E-4 (0.07%)[0.04% 0.12%]7.20E-4 (0.07%)4.40E-4
M≥8.21.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0001.60E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.04%]1.60E-4 (0.02%)1.20E-4
M≥8.34.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0004.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.03%]4.00E-5 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Month Magnitude Number Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 mo Probability1 mo Prob 95% Conf1 mo Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.52047.3531553.0002887.0001808.0001750.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)1227.772
M≥2.61626.1171229.0002302.0001436.0001379.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)975.095
M≥2.71291.590970.0001826.0001141.0001090.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)774.463
M≥2.81025.932768.0001452.000907.000877.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)615.188
M≥2.9814.816606.0001155.000720.000680.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)488.613
M≥3647.251476.000921.000572.000559.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)388.098
M≥3.1514.071375.000734.000455.000437.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)308.250
M≥3.2408.324294.000582.000362.000342.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)244.851
M≥3.3324.246231.000466.000288.000288.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)194.443
M≥3.4257.492180.000372.000229.000217.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)154.410
M≥3.5204.461140.000298.000182.000174.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)122.625
M≥3.6162.340109.000239.000144.000139.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)97.359
M≥3.7128.81685.000190.000114.000113.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)77.232
M≥3.8102.23265.000153.00091.00087.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)61.293
M≥3.981.16550.000124.00072.00068.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)48.666
M≥464.35938.000100.00057.00054.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)38.603
M≥4.151.07529.00080.00045.00042.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)30.624
M≥4.240.51122.00065.00036.00034.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)24.292
M≥4.332.10916.00053.00029.00027.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)19.262
M≥4.425.45412.00043.00023.00022.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)15.267
M≥4.520.1849.00035.00018.00017.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)12.103
M≥4.615.9706.00029.00014.00013.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.97% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)9.576
M≥4.712.6054.00024.00011.00010.0001.000 (99.99%)[99.97% 100.00%]0.032 (3.15%)7.554
M≥4.89.9573.00020.0009.0008.0000.999 (99.94%)[99.90% 99.97%]0.032 (3.15%)5.971
M≥4.97.8282.00017.0007.0006.0000.997 (99.72%)[99.65% 99.78%]0.032 (3.15%)4.697
M≥56.1771.00014.0005.0005.0000.991 (99.10%)[98.98% 99.22%]0.032 (3.15%)3.706
M≥5.14.8361.00012.0004.0003.0000.976 (97.59%)[97.39% 97.78%]0.032 (3.15%)2.897
M≥5.23.7610.00010.0003.0003.0000.946 (94.63%)[94.34% 94.90%]0.032 (3.15%)2.252
M≥5.32.9190.0008.0002.0002.0000.902 (90.16%)[89.78% 90.53%]0.032 (3.15%)1.747
M≥5.42.2610.0007.0002.0001.0000.836 (83.64%)[83.17% 84.09%]0.032 (3.15%)1.351
M≥5.51.7340.0006.0001.0001.0000.758 (75.76%)[75.22% 76.29%]0.032 (3.15%)1.035
M≥5.61.3120.0005.0001.0000.0000.661 (66.06%)[65.47% 66.65%]0.032 (3.15%)0.781
M≥5.70.9700.0004.0001.0000.0000.554 (55.40%)[54.78% 56.02%]0.032 (3.15%)0.577
M≥5.80.7130.0003.0000.0000.0000.451 (45.09%)[44.47% 45.71%]0.032 (3.15%)0.422
M≥5.90.5010.0003.0000.0000.0000.348 (34.76%)[34.17% 35.36%]0.031 (3.13%)0.291
M≥60.3370.0002.0000.0000.0000.251 (25.14%)[24.61% 25.69%]0.031 (3.12%)0.193
M≥6.10.2070.0002.0000.0000.0000.164 (16.43%)[15.98% 16.90%]0.031 (3.06%)0.115
M≥6.20.1300.0001.0000.0000.0000.106 (10.62%)[10.24% 11.01%]0.030 (2.98%)0.070
M≥6.30.0840.0001.0000.0000.0000.070 (7.00%)[6.69% 7.32%]0.028 (2.84%)0.043
M≥6.40.0570.0001.0000.0000.0000.048 (4.84%)[4.57% 5.11%]0.025 (2.46%)0.029
M≥6.50.0420.0001.0000.0000.0000.036 (3.64%)[3.42% 3.89%]0.020 (1.98%)0.022
M≥6.60.0340.0001.0000.0000.0000.030 (3.05%)[2.84% 3.27%]0.019 (1.91%)0.018
M≥6.70.0280.0001.0000.0000.0000.025 (2.51%)[2.32% 2.71%]0.017 (1.75%)0.015
M≥6.80.0240.0000.0000.0000.0000.022 (2.20%)[2.02% 2.39%]0.017 (1.67%)0.013
M≥6.90.0210.0000.0000.0000.0000.020 (1.97%)[1.80% 2.15%]0.016 (1.61%)0.012
M≥70.0190.0000.0000.0000.0000.018 (1.78%)[1.62% 1.95%]0.016 (1.56%)0.010
M≥7.10.0170.0000.0000.0000.0000.016 (1.65%)[1.50% 1.82%]0.015 (1.50%)9.52E-3
M≥7.20.0160.0000.0000.0000.0000.015 (1.53%)[1.38% 1.69%]0.015 (1.46%)8.96E-3
M≥7.30.0140.0000.0000.0000.0000.014 (1.40%)[1.26% 1.56%]0.014 (1.36%)8.24E-3
M≥7.40.0140.0000.0000.0000.0000.013 (1.34%)[1.20% 1.49%]0.013 (1.32%)8.04E-3
M≥7.50.0130.0000.0000.0000.0000.013 (1.30%)[1.16% 1.45%]0.013 (1.29%)7.76E-3
M≥7.60.0120.0000.0000.0000.0000.012 (1.19%)[1.06% 1.34%]0.012 (1.19%)7.08E-3
M≥7.70.0100.0000.0000.0000.0000.010 (1.03%)[0.91% 1.16%]0.010 (1.03%)6.16E-3
M≥7.88.12E-30.0000.0000.0000.0008.12E-3 (0.81%)[0.71% 0.93%]8.12E-3 (0.81%)4.84E-3
M≥7.94.68E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.68E-3 (0.47%)[0.39% 0.56%]4.68E-3 (0.47%)2.72E-3
M≥81.80E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.80E-3 (0.18%)[0.13% 0.24%]1.80E-3 (0.18%)1.08E-3
M≥8.14.40E-40.0000.0000.0000.0004.40E-4 (0.04%)[0.02% 0.08%]4.40E-4 (0.04%)3.20E-4
M≥8.24.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0004.00E-5 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.03%]4.00E-5 (0.00%)4.00E-5
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Week Magnitude Number Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 wk Probability1 wk Prob 95% Conf1 wk Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.51619.6261276.0002150.0001463.0001436.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)1064.166
M≥2.61286.3681009.0001707.0001163.0001119.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)845.113
M≥2.71021.735796.0001353.000925.000910.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)671.180
M≥2.8811.652629.0001076.000735.000718.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)533.171
M≥2.9644.603496.000858.000584.000568.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)423.469
M≥3512.084389.000683.000464.000437.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)336.380
M≥3.1406.674306.000544.000369.000356.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)267.163
M≥3.2322.980240.000435.000293.000286.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)212.215
M≥3.3256.449188.000348.000233.000228.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)168.516
M≥3.4203.632146.000278.000185.000183.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)133.817
M≥3.5161.708114.000223.000147.000145.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)106.287
M≥3.6128.37088.000178.000117.000118.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)84.383
M≥3.7101.85868.000143.00093.00091.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)66.952
M≥3.880.83152.000115.00074.00072.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)53.136
M≥3.964.17240.00093.00058.00056.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)42.186
M≥450.88230.00076.00046.00044.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)33.459
M≥4.140.37523.00061.00037.00034.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)26.543
M≥4.232.02317.00050.00029.00029.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)21.058
M≥4.325.37913.00041.00023.00021.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)16.692
M≥4.420.1139.00034.00018.00017.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)13.230
M≥4.515.9517.00028.00014.00013.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)10.491
M≥4.612.6165.00023.00011.00011.0001.000 (99.99%)[99.96% 100.00%]0.025 (2.49%)8.296
M≥4.79.9633.00019.0009.0008.0001.000 (99.98%)[99.94% 99.99%]0.025 (2.49%)6.548
M≥4.87.8742.00016.0007.0006.0000.998 (99.81%)[99.74% 99.86%]0.025 (2.49%)5.178
M≥4.96.1911.00013.0005.0005.0000.992 (99.23%)[99.11% 99.33%]0.025 (2.49%)4.075
M≥54.8831.00011.0004.0004.0000.980 (97.96%)[97.78% 98.13%]0.025 (2.49%)3.216
M≥5.13.8160.0009.0003.0003.0000.955 (95.48%)[95.21% 95.73%]0.025 (2.49%)2.513
M≥5.22.9680.0008.0002.0002.0000.913 (91.26%)[90.90% 91.61%]0.025 (2.49%)1.953
M≥5.32.3060.0007.0002.0001.0000.854 (85.42%)[84.98% 85.86%]0.025 (2.49%)1.516
M≥5.41.7880.0006.0001.0001.0000.777 (77.70%)[77.18% 78.22%]0.025 (2.49%)1.174
M≥5.51.3710.0005.0001.0001.0000.689 (68.89%)[68.31% 69.46%]0.025 (2.49%)0.899
M≥5.61.0350.0004.0001.0000.0000.587 (58.72%)[58.11% 59.33%]0.025 (2.49%)0.677
M≥5.70.7690.0003.0000.0000.0000.483 (48.31%)[47.69% 48.93%]0.025 (2.49%)0.502
M≥5.80.5640.0003.0000.0000.0000.386 (38.58%)[37.97% 39.18%]0.025 (2.49%)0.367
M≥5.90.3960.0002.0000.0000.0000.292 (29.25%)[28.69% 29.82%]0.025 (2.47%)0.253
M≥60.2660.0002.0000.0000.0000.209 (20.93%)[20.43% 21.44%]0.025 (2.47%)0.168
M≥6.10.1630.0001.0000.0000.0000.135 (13.50%)[13.08% 13.94%]0.024 (2.43%)0.101
M≥6.20.1020.0001.0000.0000.0000.087 (8.70%)[8.35% 9.05%]0.024 (2.38%)0.061
M≥6.30.0650.0001.0000.0000.0000.056 (5.64%)[5.35% 5.93%]0.023 (2.27%)0.038
M≥6.40.0450.0001.0000.0000.0000.039 (3.89%)[3.65% 4.14%]0.020 (1.98%)0.025
M≥6.50.0330.0001.0000.0000.0000.029 (2.92%)[2.72% 3.14%]0.016 (1.57%)0.019
M≥6.60.0270.0000.0000.0000.0000.025 (2.45%)[2.27% 2.65%]0.015 (1.50%)0.016
M≥6.70.0220.0000.0000.0000.0000.020 (2.00%)[1.84% 2.19%]0.014 (1.37%)0.013
M≥6.80.0190.0000.0000.0000.0000.017 (1.74%)[1.58% 1.91%]0.013 (1.31%)0.011
M≥6.90.0170.0000.0000.0000.0000.016 (1.58%)[1.43% 1.74%]0.013 (1.27%)0.010
M≥70.0150.0000.0000.0000.0000.014 (1.42%)[1.27% 1.57%]0.012 (1.23%)8.96E-3
M≥7.10.0130.0000.0000.0000.0000.013 (1.29%)[1.16% 1.44%]0.012 (1.18%)8.20E-3
M≥7.20.0120.0000.0000.0000.0000.012 (1.19%)[1.06% 1.34%]0.011 (1.14%)7.72E-3
M≥7.30.0110.0000.0000.0000.0000.011 (1.10%)[0.98% 1.24%]0.011 (1.08%)7.08E-3
M≥7.40.0110.0000.0000.0000.0000.011 (1.06%)[0.94% 1.20%]0.011 (1.05%)6.88E-3
M≥7.50.0100.0000.0000.0000.0000.010 (1.03%)[0.91% 1.16%]0.010 (1.02%)6.64E-3
M≥7.69.56E-30.0000.0000.0000.0009.56E-3 (0.96%)[0.84% 1.09%]9.56E-3 (0.96%)6.08E-3
M≥7.78.32E-30.0000.0000.0000.0008.32E-3 (0.83%)[0.72% 0.95%]8.32E-3 (0.83%)5.28E-3
M≥7.86.60E-30.0000.0000.0000.0006.60E-3 (0.66%)[0.57% 0.77%]6.60E-3 (0.66%)4.12E-3
M≥7.93.76E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.76E-3 (0.38%)[0.31% 0.46%]3.76E-3 (0.38%)2.28E-3
M≥81.36E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.36E-3 (0.14%)[0.10% 0.19%]1.36E-3 (0.14%)8.80E-4
M≥8.13.20E-40.0000.0000.0000.0003.20E-4 (0.03%)[0.01% 0.07%]3.20E-4 (0.03%)2.40E-4
M≥8.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Day Magnitude Number Distribution

(top)

Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 d Probability1 d Prob 95% Conf1 d Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.51097.140910.0001358.0001026.000991.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)818.455
M≥2.6871.342718.0001078.000815.000801.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)649.979
M≥2.7692.098566.000859.000648.000625.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)516.225
M≥2.8549.789445.000685.000515.000499.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)410.056
M≥2.9436.645350.000548.000409.000408.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)325.708
M≥3346.854274.000439.000325.000318.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)258.685
M≥3.1275.466215.000350.000258.000251.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)205.464
M≥3.2218.782168.000280.000205.000203.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)163.208
M≥3.3173.704131.000224.000163.000159.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)129.594
M≥3.4137.919102.000180.000130.000131.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)102.902
M≥3.5109.54579.000146.000103.000103.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)81.727
M≥3.686.95260.000117.00082.00080.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)64.884
M≥3.769.00347.00094.00065.00064.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)51.483
M≥3.854.76436.00077.00051.00049.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)40.882
M≥3.943.47027.00063.00041.00039.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)32.453
M≥434.46020.00051.00032.00031.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)25.739
M≥4.127.34715.00042.00026.00025.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)20.416
M≥4.221.69211.00034.00020.00020.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)16.194
M≥4.317.1938.00028.00016.00015.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)12.838
M≥4.413.6256.00023.00013.00011.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.97% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)10.174
M≥4.510.8124.00019.00010.00010.0001.000 (99.99%)[99.97% 100.00%]0.017 (1.72%)8.072
M≥4.68.5453.00016.0008.0007.0000.999 (99.93%)[99.88% 99.96%]0.017 (1.72%)6.376
M≥4.76.7452.00014.0006.0006.0000.997 (99.66%)[99.57% 99.72%]0.017 (1.72%)5.034
M≥4.85.3351.00011.0005.0004.0000.988 (98.85%)[98.71% 98.97%]0.017 (1.72%)3.984
M≥4.94.1970.00010.0004.0003.0000.971 (97.09%)[96.87% 97.30%]0.017 (1.72%)3.138
M≥53.3140.0008.0003.0002.0000.942 (94.18%)[93.88% 94.47%]0.017 (1.72%)2.477
M≥5.12.5910.0007.0002.0002.0000.895 (89.49%)[89.10% 89.87%]0.017 (1.72%)1.936
M≥5.22.0170.0006.0002.0001.0000.829 (82.90%)[82.43% 83.36%]0.017 (1.72%)1.505
M≥5.31.5660.0005.0001.0001.0000.749 (74.88%)[74.34% 75.42%]0.017 (1.72%)1.165
M≥5.41.2140.0004.0001.0000.0000.661 (66.05%)[65.46% 66.64%]0.017 (1.72%)0.901
M≥5.50.9320.0004.0001.0000.0000.569 (56.86%)[56.25% 57.48%]0.017 (1.72%)0.692
M≥5.60.7030.0003.0000.0000.0000.471 (47.13%)[46.51% 47.75%]0.017 (1.72%)0.521
M≥5.70.5210.0002.0000.0000.0000.377 (37.70%)[37.10% 38.30%]0.017 (1.72%)0.385
M≥5.80.3830.0002.0000.0000.0000.294 (29.43%)[28.87% 30.00%]0.017 (1.72%)0.282
M≥5.90.2670.0002.0000.0000.0000.217 (21.74%)[21.23% 22.26%]0.017 (1.71%)0.195
M≥60.1780.0001.0000.0000.0000.152 (15.22%)[14.77% 15.67%]0.017 (1.71%)0.129
M≥6.10.1080.0001.0000.0000.0000.096 (9.61%)[9.25% 9.98%]0.017 (1.68%)0.077
M≥6.20.0670.0001.0000.0000.0000.061 (6.11%)[5.82% 6.42%]0.016 (1.65%)0.047
M≥6.30.0420.0001.0000.0000.0000.039 (3.91%)[3.67% 4.16%]0.016 (1.58%)0.029
M≥6.40.0290.0001.0000.0000.0000.027 (2.67%)[2.48% 2.88%]0.014 (1.37%)0.019
M≥6.50.0210.0000.0000.0000.0000.020 (2.00%)[1.84% 2.19%]0.011 (1.07%)0.014
M≥6.60.0180.0000.0000.0000.0000.017 (1.67%)[1.51% 1.84%]0.010 (1.03%)0.012
M≥6.70.0140.0000.0000.0000.0000.014 (1.37%)[1.23% 1.52%]9.32E-3 (0.93%)0.010
M≥6.80.0120.0000.0000.0000.0000.012 (1.20%)[1.07% 1.35%]8.96E-3 (0.90%)8.80E-3
M≥6.90.0110.0000.0000.0000.0000.011 (1.08%)[0.95% 1.21%]8.64E-3 (0.86%)7.92E-3
M≥79.60E-30.0000.0000.0000.0009.56E-3 (0.96%)[0.84% 1.09%]8.28E-3 (0.83%)6.88E-3
M≥7.18.72E-30.0000.0000.0000.0008.68E-3 (0.87%)[0.76% 0.99%]7.88E-3 (0.79%)6.20E-3
M≥7.28.00E-30.0000.0000.0000.0007.96E-3 (0.80%)[0.69% 0.92%]7.64E-3 (0.76%)5.88E-3
M≥7.37.32E-30.0000.0000.0000.0007.28E-3 (0.73%)[0.63% 0.84%]7.12E-3 (0.71%)5.36E-3
M≥7.47.08E-30.0000.0000.0000.0007.04E-3 (0.70%)[0.61% 0.82%]7.04E-3 (0.70%)5.20E-3
M≥7.56.88E-30.0000.0000.0000.0006.88E-3 (0.69%)[0.59% 0.80%]6.88E-3 (0.69%)5.08E-3
M≥7.66.36E-30.0000.0000.0000.0006.36E-3 (0.64%)[0.54% 0.74%]6.36E-3 (0.64%)4.68E-3
M≥7.75.48E-30.0000.0000.0000.0005.48E-3 (0.55%)[0.46% 0.65%]5.48E-3 (0.55%)4.04E-3
M≥7.84.20E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.20E-3 (0.42%)[0.35% 0.51%]4.20E-3 (0.42%)3.16E-3
M≥7.92.40E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.40E-3 (0.24%)[0.18% 0.31%]2.40E-3 (0.24%)1.80E-3
M≥89.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0009.60E-4 (0.10%)[0.06% 0.15%]9.60E-4 (0.10%)7.60E-4
M≥8.12.40E-40.0000.0000.0000.0002.40E-4 (0.02%)[0.01% 0.06%]2.40E-4 (0.02%)2.00E-4
M≥8.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

1 Hour Magnitude Number Distribution

(top)

Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianMode1 hr Probability1 hr Prob 95% Conf1 hr Supra-Seis ProbPrimary Aftershocks Mean
M≥2.5396.462344.000455.000389.000381.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)360.039
M≥2.6314.899270.000364.000309.000308.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)285.953
M≥2.7250.081211.000292.000245.000245.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)227.077
M≥2.8198.641165.000235.000195.000194.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)180.367
M≥2.9157.804128.000189.000155.000152.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)143.275
M≥3125.335100.000153.000123.000122.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)113.801
M≥3.199.54677.000123.00098.00098.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)90.389
M≥3.279.03760.000100.00078.00076.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)71.782
M≥3.362.73046.00081.00062.00061.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)56.974
M≥3.449.80935.00066.00049.00050.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)45.235
M≥3.539.56227.00054.00039.00037.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)35.930
M≥3.631.39320.00044.00031.00030.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)28.505
M≥3.724.91215.00036.00024.00024.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)22.624
M≥3.819.76311.00030.00019.00018.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)17.955
M≥3.915.6768.00025.00015.00014.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)14.244
M≥412.4166.00020.00012.00012.0001.000 (100.00%)[99.98% 100.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)11.283
M≥4.19.8564.00017.0009.0009.0001.000 (99.98%)[99.94% 99.99%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)8.954
M≥4.27.8223.00014.0008.0007.0000.999 (99.89%)[99.84% 99.92%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)7.104
M≥4.36.1962.00012.0006.0006.0000.997 (99.67%)[99.59% 99.74%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)5.628
M≥4.44.9121.00010.0005.0005.0000.988 (98.84%)[98.70% 98.97%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)4.462
M≥4.53.8950.0009.0004.0003.0000.973 (97.31%)[97.10% 97.51%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)3.538
M≥4.63.0720.0007.0003.0002.0000.943 (94.35%)[94.05% 94.63%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)2.790
M≥4.72.4310.0006.0002.0002.0000.897 (89.73%)[89.35% 90.10%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)2.207
M≥4.81.9220.0005.0002.0001.0000.835 (83.54%)[83.08% 84.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)1.745
M≥4.91.5140.0005.0001.0001.0000.760 (76.05%)[75.51% 76.58%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)1.376
M≥51.1950.0004.0001.0001.0000.680 (67.95%)[67.37% 68.53%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)1.086
M≥5.10.9340.0003.0001.0000.0000.589 (58.88%)[58.26% 59.49%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)0.849
M≥5.20.7280.0003.0001.0000.0000.501 (50.10%)[49.47% 50.72%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)0.661
M≥5.30.5700.0002.0000.0000.0000.421 (42.13%)[41.52% 42.74%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)0.517
M≥5.40.4390.0002.0000.0000.0000.345 (34.50%)[33.91% 35.09%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)0.398
M≥5.50.3380.0002.0000.0000.0000.278 (27.77%)[27.22% 28.33%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)0.306
M≥5.60.2530.0002.0000.0000.0000.217 (21.73%)[21.22% 22.25%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)0.229
M≥5.70.1870.0001.0000.0000.0000.165 (16.53%)[16.07% 17.00%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)0.168
M≥5.80.1380.0001.0000.0000.0000.125 (12.48%)[12.07% 12.89%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)0.124
M≥5.90.0950.0001.0000.0000.0000.088 (8.82%)[8.47% 9.18%]5.64E-3 (0.56%)0.085
M≥60.0630.0001.0000.0000.0000.060 (6.00%)[5.71% 6.30%]5.60E-3 (0.56%)0.057
M≥6.10.0370.0001.0000.0000.0000.036 (3.60%)[3.37% 3.84%]5.60E-3 (0.56%)0.034
M≥6.20.0230.0000.0000.0000.0000.023 (2.26%)[2.08% 2.45%]5.52E-3 (0.55%)0.021
M≥6.30.0140.0000.0000.0000.0000.014 (1.38%)[1.24% 1.54%]5.28E-3 (0.53%)0.013
M≥6.49.20E-30.0000.0000.0000.0008.96E-3 (0.90%)[0.78% 1.02%]4.64E-3 (0.46%)8.16E-3
M≥6.56.64E-30.0000.0000.0000.0006.40E-3 (0.64%)[0.55% 0.75%]3.40E-3 (0.34%)5.84E-3
M≥6.65.44E-30.0000.0000.0000.0005.32E-3 (0.53%)[0.45% 0.63%]3.20E-3 (0.32%)4.84E-3
M≥6.74.64E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.56E-3 (0.46%)[0.38% 0.55%]3.04E-3 (0.30%)4.20E-3
M≥6.84.08E-30.0000.0000.0000.0004.04E-3 (0.40%)[0.33% 0.49%]2.88E-3 (0.29%)3.68E-3
M≥6.93.60E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.60E-3 (0.36%)[0.29% 0.44%]2.80E-3 (0.28%)3.28E-3
M≥73.12E-30.0000.0000.0000.0003.12E-3 (0.31%)[0.25% 0.39%]2.64E-3 (0.26%)2.84E-3
M≥7.12.88E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.88E-3 (0.29%)[0.23% 0.36%]2.56E-3 (0.26%)2.60E-3
M≥7.22.76E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.76E-3 (0.28%)[0.22% 0.35%]2.56E-3 (0.26%)2.48E-3
M≥7.32.36E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.36E-3 (0.24%)[0.18% 0.31%]2.32E-3 (0.23%)2.08E-3
M≥7.42.28E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.28E-3 (0.23%)[0.17% 0.30%]2.28E-3 (0.23%)2.00E-3
M≥7.52.20E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.20E-3 (0.22%)[0.17% 0.29%]2.20E-3 (0.22%)1.96E-3
M≥7.62.04E-30.0000.0000.0000.0002.04E-3 (0.20%)[0.15% 0.27%]2.04E-3 (0.20%)1.80E-3
M≥7.71.72E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.72E-3 (0.17%)[0.13% 0.23%]1.72E-3 (0.17%)1.60E-3
M≥7.81.44E-30.0000.0000.0000.0001.44E-3 (0.14%)[0.10% 0.20%]1.44E-3 (0.14%)1.40E-3
M≥7.99.60E-40.0000.0000.0000.0009.60E-4 (0.10%)[0.06% 0.15%]9.60E-4 (0.10%)9.20E-4
M≥84.00E-40.0000.0000.0000.0004.00E-4 (0.04%)[0.02% 0.08%]4.00E-4 (0.04%)4.00E-4
M≥8.18.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0008.00E-5 (0.01%)[0.00% 0.03%]8.00E-5 (0.01%)8.00E-5
M≥8.20.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.30.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.02%]0.000 (0.00%)0.000

Hazard Change Over Time

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These plots show how the probability of ruptures of various magnitudes within 100km of any scenario rupture changes over time

M≥5.0 Hazard Change Over Time

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Hazard Change

Forecast DurationUCERF3-ETAS [95% Conf]UCERF3-ETAS Triggered OnlyUCERF3-TDUCERF3-ETAS/TD GainUCERF3-TI
1 Hour0.677 [0.671 - 0.683]0.6777.94E-58527.097.88E-5
1 Day0.941 [0.938 - 0.944]0.9411.90E-3494.261.89E-3
1 Week0.979 [0.978 - 0.981]0.9790.01373.940.013
1 Month0.991 [0.990 - 0.992]0.9910.05617.850.055
1 Year0.999 [0.998 - 0.999]0.9980.5011.990.499
10 Years1.000 [1.000 - 1.000] **0.9991 *0.999
30 Years1.000 [1.000 - 1.000] **1.0001 *1.000
100 Years1.000 [1.000 - 1.000] **1.0001 *1.000

* forecast duration is longer than simulation length, only ETAS ruptures from the first 1 year are included

M≥6.0 Hazard Change Over Time

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Hazard Change

Forecast DurationUCERF3-ETAS [95% Conf]UCERF3-ETAS Triggered OnlyUCERF3-TDUCERF3-ETAS/TD GainUCERF3-TI
1 Hour0.059 [0.056 - 0.062]0.0591.22E-54864.381.16E-5
1 Day0.150 [0.145 - 0.154]0.1492.92E-4512.942.79E-4
1 Week0.207 [0.202 - 0.212]0.2052.04E-3101.231.95E-3
1 Month0.253 [0.248 - 0.258]0.2468.72E-329.018.34E-3
1 Year0.384 [0.379 - 0.390]0.3150.1013.80.097
10 Years0.761 [0.759 - 0.763] **0.6501.17 *0.639
30 Years0.968 [0.967 - 0.968] **0.9531.02 *0.953
100 Years1.000 [1.000 - 1.000] **1.0001 *1.000

* forecast duration is longer than simulation length, only ETAS ruptures from the first 1 year are included

M≥7.0 Hazard Change Over Time

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Hazard Change

Forecast DurationUCERF3-ETAS [95% Conf]UCERF3-ETAS Triggered OnlyUCERF3-TDUCERF3-ETAS/TD GainUCERF3-TI
1 Hour3.04E-3 [2.41E-3 - 3.83E-3]3.04E-32.78E-61094.272.57E-6
1 Day9.39E-3 [8.25E-3 - 0.011]9.32E-36.67E-5140.656.17E-5
1 Week0.014 [0.013 - 0.016]0.0144.67E-430.714.32E-4
1 Month0.019 [0.018 - 0.021]0.0172.00E-39.71.85E-3
1 Year0.048 [0.046 - 0.050]0.0240.0241.980.022
10 Years0.236 [0.234 - 0.237] **0.2171.09 *0.202
30 Years0.528 [0.527 - 0.529] **0.5161.02 *0.491
100 Years0.883 [0.883 - 0.883] **0.8801 *0.895

* forecast duration is longer than simulation length, only ETAS ruptures from the first 1 year are included

M≥8.0 Hazard Change Over Time

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Hazard Change

Forecast DurationUCERF3-ETAS [95% Conf]UCERF3-ETAS Triggered OnlyUCERF3-TDUCERF3-ETAS/TD GainUCERF3-TI
1 Hour4.00E-4 [2.04E-4 - 7.62E-4]4.00E-43.29E-71217.972.77E-7
1 Day9.68E-4 [6.37E-4 - 1.46E-3]9.60E-47.89E-6122.76.66E-6
1 Week1.42E-3 [1.01E-3 - 1.98E-3]1.36E-35.52E-525.634.66E-5
1 Month2.04E-3 [1.56E-3 - 2.67E-3]1.80E-32.37E-48.612.00E-4
1 Year5.55E-3 [4.96E-3 - 6.29E-3]2.68E-32.88E-31.932.43E-3
10 Years0.032 [0.031 - 0.033] **0.0291.09 *0.024
30 Years0.095 [0.094 - 0.096] **0.0921.03 *0.070
100 Years0.285 [0.284 - 0.285] **0.2831.01 *0.216

* forecast duration is longer than simulation length, only ETAS ruptures from the first 1 year are included

Trigger Rupture Fault Map

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Map

Fault Distances To Triggers

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Section NameStrike, Dip, RakeHypocenter In Polygon?Surface In Polygon?Minimum Distance (km)Minimum Poly Distance (km)
San Andreas (Mojave S)115, 90, 180truetrue0.3230.000
San Andreas (Mojave N)109, 90, 180falsefalse0.9480.895
San Gabriel313, 61, 161falsefalse18.03715.250

Individual Simulated Catalog Maps

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These are map plots of individual catalogs from the simulations, selected as the closest catalog to each of the given percentiles in terms of total number of events.

Durationp0.0 %-ilep25.0 %-ilep50.0 %-ilep75.0 %-ilep90.0 %-ilep95.0 %-ilep97.5 %-ilep98.0 %-ilep99.0 %-ilep99.996 %-ile
1 WeekMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMap
1 MonthMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMap
1 YearMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMapMap

Section Participation

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Section Participation Plots

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Min Mag1 yr Triggered Ruptures (no spontaneous)1 yr Triggered Ruptures (primary aftershocks only)
All Supra. Seis.Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥6.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥8Participation PlotParticipation Plot

Supra-Seismogenic Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 177 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTriggered 1 Year Mean CountTriggered 1 Day ProbTriggered 1 Day 95% ConfTriggered 1 Week ProbTriggered 1 Week 95% ConfTriggered 1 Month ProbTriggered 1 Month 95% ConfTriggered 1 Year ProbTriggered 1 Year 95% ConfTriggered 1 Year Primary Mean Count
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.02549.36E-3 (0.94%)[0.82% 1.07%]0.014 (1.41%)[1.27% 1.57%]0.017 (1.71%)[1.56% 1.88%]0.024 (2.38%)[2.20% 2.58%]0.01168
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.018087.08E-3 (0.71%)[0.61% 0.82%]0.011 (1.07%)[0.95% 1.21%]0.013 (1.31%)[1.18% 1.46%]0.018 (1.80%)[1.64% 1.97%]0.00924
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.01565.76E-3 (0.58%)[0.49% 0.68%]8.80E-3 (0.88%)[0.77% 1.01%]0.011 (1.09%)[0.96% 1.23%]0.015 (1.51%)[1.36% 1.67%]0.00748
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0124.76E-3 (0.48%)[0.40% 0.57%]7.16E-3 (0.72%)[0.62% 0.83%]8.72E-3 (0.87%)[0.76% 1.00%]0.012 (1.19%)[1.06% 1.34%]0.00612
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.011123.80E-3 (0.38%)[0.31% 0.47%]6.08E-3 (0.61%)[0.52% 0.71%]7.44E-3 (0.74%)[0.64% 0.86%]0.011 (1.05%)[0.93% 1.19%]0.00516
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.010444.08E-3 (0.41%)[0.33% 0.50%]6.20E-3 (0.62%)[0.53% 0.73%]7.60E-3 (0.76%)[0.66% 0.88%]0.010 (1.04%)[0.92% 1.18%]0.00536
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.00682.40E-3 (0.24%)[0.18% 0.31%]3.52E-3 (0.35%)[0.28% 0.44%]4.36E-3 (0.44%)[0.36% 0.53%]6.36E-3 (0.64%)[0.54% 0.74%]0.00332
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)0.005682.04E-3 (0.20%)[0.15% 0.27%]3.28E-3 (0.33%)[0.26% 0.41%]4.04E-3 (0.40%)[0.33% 0.49%]5.64E-3 (0.56%)[0.48% 0.67%]0.00264
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.004361.44E-3 (0.14%)[0.10% 0.20%]2.20E-3 (0.22%)[0.17% 0.29%]2.64E-3 (0.26%)[0.21% 0.34%]3.84E-3 (0.38%)[0.31% 0.47%]0.00204
Garlock (West)0.004321.60E-3 (0.16%)[0.12% 0.22%]2.28E-3 (0.23%)[0.17% 0.30%]3.12E-3 (0.31%)[0.25% 0.39%]4.32E-3 (0.43%)[0.36% 0.52%]0.00176

M≥6.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 153 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTriggered 1 Year Mean CountTriggered 1 Day ProbTriggered 1 Day 95% ConfTriggered 1 Week ProbTriggered 1 Week 95% ConfTriggered 1 Month ProbTriggered 1 Month 95% ConfTriggered 1 Year ProbTriggered 1 Year 95% ConfTriggered 1 Year Primary Mean Count
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.017846.92E-3 (0.69%)[0.59% 0.80%]0.010 (1.05%)[0.93% 1.18%]0.013 (1.29%)[1.16% 1.44%]0.018 (1.77%)[1.61% 1.95%]0.00908
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.017526.64E-3 (0.66%)[0.57% 0.77%]0.010 (1.02%)[0.90% 1.15%]0.013 (1.26%)[1.13% 1.41%]0.017 (1.73%)[1.57% 1.90%]0.00872
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.014645.64E-3 (0.56%)[0.48% 0.67%]8.60E-3 (0.86%)[0.75% 0.98%]0.011 (1.05%)[0.93% 1.19%]0.014 (1.44%)[1.30% 1.60%]0.00732
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.011964.76E-3 (0.48%)[0.40% 0.57%]7.16E-3 (0.72%)[0.62% 0.83%]8.72E-3 (0.87%)[0.76% 1.00%]0.012 (1.19%)[1.06% 1.34%]0.00612
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.010923.80E-3 (0.38%)[0.31% 0.47%]6.08E-3 (0.61%)[0.52% 0.71%]7.44E-3 (0.74%)[0.64% 0.86%]0.010 (1.05%)[0.93% 1.18%]0.00512
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.010444.08E-3 (0.41%)[0.33% 0.50%]6.20E-3 (0.62%)[0.53% 0.73%]7.60E-3 (0.76%)[0.66% 0.88%]0.010 (1.04%)[0.92% 1.18%]0.00536
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.006042.36E-3 (0.24%)[0.18% 0.31%]3.44E-3 (0.34%)[0.28% 0.43%]4.28E-3 (0.43%)[0.35% 0.52%]6.00E-3 (0.60%)[0.51% 0.71%]0.00328
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)0.005522.04E-3 (0.20%)[0.15% 0.27%]3.28E-3 (0.33%)[0.26% 0.41%]3.96E-3 (0.40%)[0.32% 0.48%]5.52E-3 (0.55%)[0.47% 0.65%]0.00264
Garlock (West)0.0041.48E-3 (0.15%)[0.11% 0.21%]2.16E-3 (0.22%)[0.16% 0.28%]2.92E-3 (0.29%)[0.23% 0.37%]4.00E-3 (0.40%)[0.33% 0.49%]0.00168
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.003881.44E-3 (0.14%)[0.10% 0.20%]2.20E-3 (0.22%)[0.17% 0.29%]2.64E-3 (0.26%)[0.21% 0.34%]3.80E-3 (0.38%)[0.31% 0.47%]0.00204

M≥7 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 115 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTriggered 1 Year Mean CountTriggered 1 Day ProbTriggered 1 Day 95% ConfTriggered 1 Week ProbTriggered 1 Week 95% ConfTriggered 1 Month ProbTriggered 1 Month 95% ConfTriggered 1 Year ProbTriggered 1 Year 95% ConfTriggered 1 Year Primary Mean Count
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.017446.76E-3 (0.68%)[0.58% 0.79%]0.010 (1.02%)[0.90% 1.16%]0.013 (1.27%)[1.13% 1.42%]0.017 (1.74%)[1.58% 1.91%]0.00884
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.016446.28E-3 (0.63%)[0.54% 0.74%]9.64E-3 (0.96%)[0.85% 1.10%]0.012 (1.20%)[1.07% 1.34%]0.016 (1.64%)[1.48% 1.80%]0.00836
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.014165.48E-3 (0.55%)[0.46% 0.65%]8.40E-3 (0.84%)[0.73% 0.96%]0.010 (1.03%)[0.91% 1.17%]0.014 (1.41%)[1.27% 1.56%]0.0072
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.011884.68E-3 (0.47%)[0.39% 0.56%]7.08E-3 (0.71%)[0.61% 0.82%]8.64E-3 (0.86%)[0.75% 0.99%]0.012 (1.18%)[1.06% 1.33%]0.00608
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.01044.04E-3 (0.40%)[0.33% 0.49%]6.16E-3 (0.62%)[0.52% 0.72%]7.56E-3 (0.76%)[0.65% 0.87%]0.010 (1.04%)[0.92% 1.17%]0.00536
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.010363.72E-3 (0.37%)[0.30% 0.46%]5.96E-3 (0.60%)[0.51% 0.70%]7.32E-3 (0.73%)[0.63% 0.85%]0.010 (1.02%)[0.90% 1.16%]0.00504
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.006042.36E-3 (0.24%)[0.18% 0.31%]3.44E-3 (0.34%)[0.28% 0.43%]4.28E-3 (0.43%)[0.35% 0.52%]6.00E-3 (0.60%)[0.51% 0.71%]0.00328
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)0.005162.00E-3 (0.20%)[0.15% 0.27%]3.04E-3 (0.30%)[0.24% 0.38%]3.64E-3 (0.36%)[0.29% 0.45%]5.16E-3 (0.52%)[0.43% 0.61%]0.00264
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.003841.44E-3 (0.14%)[0.10% 0.20%]2.20E-3 (0.22%)[0.17% 0.29%]2.64E-3 (0.26%)[0.21% 0.34%]3.80E-3 (0.38%)[0.31% 0.47%]0.00204
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)0.003161.00E-3 (0.10%)[0.07% 0.15%]1.48E-3 (0.15%)[0.11% 0.21%]2.00E-3 (0.20%)[0.15% 0.27%]3.12E-3 (0.31%)[0.25% 0.39%]0.00152

M≥7.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 85 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTriggered 1 Year Mean CountTriggered 1 Day ProbTriggered 1 Day 95% ConfTriggered 1 Week ProbTriggered 1 Week 95% ConfTriggered 1 Month ProbTriggered 1 Month 95% ConfTriggered 1 Year ProbTriggered 1 Year 95% ConfTriggered 1 Year Primary Mean Count
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.016286.48E-3 (0.65%)[0.55% 0.76%]9.76E-3 (0.98%)[0.86% 1.11%]0.012 (1.21%)[1.08% 1.36%]0.016 (1.63%)[1.48% 1.79%]0.00836
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.014685.88E-3 (0.59%)[0.50% 0.69%]8.96E-3 (0.90%)[0.78% 1.02%]0.011 (1.10%)[0.97% 1.23%]0.015 (1.46%)[1.32% 1.62%]0.00776
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.013525.32E-3 (0.53%)[0.45% 0.63%]8.08E-3 (0.81%)[0.70% 0.93%]9.96E-3 (1.00%)[0.88% 1.13%]0.014 (1.35%)[1.21% 1.50%]0.00696
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.011644.64E-3 (0.46%)[0.39% 0.56%]7.00E-3 (0.70%)[0.60% 0.81%]8.56E-3 (0.86%)[0.75% 0.98%]0.012 (1.16%)[1.04% 1.31%]0.00596
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.010284.04E-3 (0.40%)[0.33% 0.49%]6.16E-3 (0.62%)[0.52% 0.72%]7.56E-3 (0.76%)[0.65% 0.87%]0.010 (1.03%)[0.91% 1.16%]0.00532
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.009843.68E-3 (0.37%)[0.30% 0.45%]5.76E-3 (0.58%)[0.49% 0.68%]7.08E-3 (0.71%)[0.61% 0.82%]9.84E-3 (0.98%)[0.87% 1.12%]0.00488
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.005922.36E-3 (0.24%)[0.18% 0.31%]3.44E-3 (0.34%)[0.28% 0.43%]4.28E-3 (0.43%)[0.35% 0.52%]5.92E-3 (0.59%)[0.50% 0.70%]0.00324
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)0.004881.96E-3 (0.20%)[0.15% 0.26%]2.84E-3 (0.28%)[0.22% 0.36%]3.44E-3 (0.34%)[0.28% 0.43%]4.88E-3 (0.49%)[0.41% 0.58%]0.00256
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.00381.44E-3 (0.14%)[0.10% 0.20%]2.20E-3 (0.22%)[0.17% 0.29%]2.64E-3 (0.26%)[0.21% 0.34%]3.80E-3 (0.38%)[0.31% 0.47%]0.00204
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)0.003129.60E-4 (0.10%)[0.06% 0.15%]1.44E-3 (0.14%)[0.10% 0.20%]1.96E-3 (0.20%)[0.15% 0.26%]3.08E-3 (0.31%)[0.24% 0.39%]0.00148

M≥8 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 40 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTriggered 1 Year Mean CountTriggered 1 Day ProbTriggered 1 Day 95% ConfTriggered 1 Week ProbTriggered 1 Week 95% ConfTriggered 1 Month ProbTriggered 1 Month 95% ConfTriggered 1 Year ProbTriggered 1 Year 95% ConfTriggered 1 Year Primary Mean Count
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.002689.60E-4 (0.10%)[0.06% 0.15%]1.36E-3 (0.14%)[0.10% 0.19%]1.80E-3 (0.18%)[0.13% 0.24%]2.68E-3 (0.27%)[0.21% 0.34%]0.00124
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.002689.60E-4 (0.10%)[0.06% 0.15%]1.36E-3 (0.14%)[0.10% 0.19%]1.80E-3 (0.18%)[0.13% 0.24%]2.68E-3 (0.27%)[0.21% 0.34%]0.00124
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.002649.60E-4 (0.10%)[0.06% 0.15%]1.36E-3 (0.14%)[0.10% 0.19%]1.76E-3 (0.18%)[0.13% 0.24%]2.64E-3 (0.26%)[0.21% 0.34%]0.0012
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.002528.80E-4 (0.09%)[0.06% 0.14%]1.28E-3 (0.13%)[0.09% 0.18%]1.68E-3 (0.17%)[0.12% 0.23%]2.52E-3 (0.25%)[0.20% 0.32%]0.00116
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.002528.80E-4 (0.09%)[0.06% 0.14%]1.28E-3 (0.13%)[0.09% 0.18%]1.68E-3 (0.17%)[0.12% 0.23%]2.52E-3 (0.25%)[0.20% 0.32%]0.00116
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.002368.40E-4 (0.08%)[0.05% 0.13%]1.20E-3 (0.12%)[0.08% 0.17%]1.56E-3 (0.16%)[0.11% 0.22%]2.36E-3 (0.24%)[0.18% 0.31%]0.00112
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.00186.80E-4 (0.07%)[0.04% 0.11%]8.40E-4 (0.08%)[0.05% 0.13%]1.12E-3 (0.11%)[0.08% 0.16%]1.80E-3 (0.18%)[0.13% 0.24%]8.8E-4
San Andreas (Coachella) rev0.00165.20E-4 (0.05%)[0.03% 0.09%]8.40E-4 (0.08%)[0.05% 0.13%]1.00E-3 (0.10%)[0.07% 0.15%]1.60E-3 (0.16%)[0.12% 0.22%]8.0E-4
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)0.001526.40E-4 (0.06%)[0.04% 0.11%]8.80E-4 (0.09%)[0.06% 0.14%]9.60E-4 (0.10%)[0.06% 0.15%]1.52E-3 (0.15%)[0.11% 0.21%]8.0E-4
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.001365.60E-4 (0.06%)[0.03% 0.10%]6.80E-4 (0.07%)[0.04% 0.11%]8.40E-4 (0.08%)[0.05% 0.13%]1.36E-3 (0.14%)[0.10% 0.19%]7.2E-4

Fault Magnitude-Probability Distributions

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The first 5 sections (sorted by trigger rate) are plotted below. All fault MPDs are available here

1 Week1 Month1 Year
MPDMPDMPD
MPDMPDMPD
MPDMPDMPD
MPDMPDMPD
MPDMPDMPD

Gridded Nucleation

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Min MagTriggered Ruptures (no spontaneous)Triggered Ruptures (primary aftershocks only)
M≥2.5Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥5Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥6Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥7Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot

JSON Input File

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{
  "numSimulations": 25000,
  "duration": 1.0,
  "startYear": 2020,
  "includeSpontaneous": false,
  "randomSeed": 1583281199679,
  "binaryOutput": true,
  "binaryOutputFilters": [
    {
      "prefix": "results_complete",
      "descendantsOnly": false
    },
    {
      "prefix": "results_m5_preserve_chain",
      "minMag": 5.0,
      "preserveChainBelowMag": true,
      "descendantsOnly": false
    }
  ],
  "forceRecalc": false,
  "simulationName": "M7OnSAF",
  "numRetries": 3,
  "outputDir": "${ETAS_SIM_DIR}/2020_03_03-M7OnSAF",
  "treatTriggerCatalogAsSpontaneous": false,
  "triggerRuptures": [
    {
      "mag": 7.0,
      "latitude": 34.695,
      "longitude": -118.50000000000001,
      "depth": 5.0
    }
  ],
  "cacheDir": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/cache_fm3p1_ba",
  "fssFile": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/2013_05_10-ucerf3p3-production-10runs_COMPOUND_SOL_FM3_1_SpatSeisU3_MEAN_BRANCH_AVG_SOL.zip",
  "probModel": "FULL_TD",
  "applySubSeisForSupraNucl": true,
  "totRateScaleFactor": 1.14,
  "gridSeisCorr": true,
  "timeIndependentERF": false,
  "griddedOnly": false,
  "imposeGR": false,
  "includeIndirectTriggering": true,
  "gridSeisDiscr": 0.1,
  "catalogCompletenessModel": "RELAXED",
  "configCommand": "u3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2020 --num-simulations 25000 --duration-years 1 --magnitude 7 --latitude 34.695 --depth 5 --longitude -118.5 --name M7OnSAF --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 36 --hours 24 --queue scec",
  "configTime": 1583281199679
}