Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.065175675927.79930.065112.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.07954717264.25280.079270.00287260950.0036589060.1075972129.4069350.104320.0283575910.0361366570.15927024.40744160.12775
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.065175675927.79930.065112.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.07954717264.25280.079270.00287260950.0036589060.1075972129.4069350.104320.0283575910.0361366570.15927024.40744160.12775
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.039049648755.87080.0391.806837E-42.213891E-40.04800081216.81650.047790.00219760460.0026921120.0663004124.6276570.063780.0217599890.0267013180.103572453.87892650.07898
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.039049648755.87080.0391.806837E-42.213891E-40.04800081216.81650.047790.00219760460.0026921120.0663004124.6276570.063780.0217599890.0267013180.103572453.87892650.07898
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.03066276695.13890.030621.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.037771925199.819290.037590.00192139370.00229904130.05266298722.9064980.050480.0190486550.0228660980.084103083.67806860.06267
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.027638914690.65470.02761.453629E-41.7149639E-40.034225654199.570710.034060.00176835650.00208599070.0478303722.9293290.045840.0175435080.0207587830.076340513.67750430.05676
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.027618384699.68530.027581.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.0342034202.198720.034040.00175023420.00205756720.04774337323.2037980.045780.0173651330.0204800420.0759698453.70945760.05665
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.02654708696.97460.026511.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.032897886201.544890.032740.00169856170.00198551780.04587819423.1064130.043980.0168563720.0197708740.073212973.70307180.05452
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.02604654694.274230.026011.3793244E-41.60774E-40.03228561200.813630.032130.00167803370.00195568750.04507120323.0462190.04320.0166541920.0194778780.0719652253.6947160.05353
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.025535785695.40470.02551.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.031622414200.949110.031470.00165032020.001914260.04423309523.1071510.04240.016381180.0190715180.070540843.6987530.05247
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.024844741697.37850.024811.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.030758201.462390.030610.00161124280.00185723820.0430605723.185270.041280.0159961040.0185134930.0686478243.70798870.05108
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.023533585684.27150.02351.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.02915311197.799970.029010.00156779590.00179297870.04102251322.8795320.03930.015567810.017880990.065661083.67211680.04865
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.019440675621.476870.019411.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.024210827180.601780.024080.00145771880.00163093450.03419773320.9681840.032620.0144819370.0162843520.0561641833.44896650.04054
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.013956343522.423770.013931.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.017262522150.782550.017150.00127857830.0013929930.02462059317.6745990.023260.0127124690.013928610.0424260723.04596610.0289
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.012784878507.353180.012769.95342E-51.0799204E-40.015806297146.365390.01570.00121115510.00131402440.0226659317.2492450.021380.0120457530.0131461960.039307692.9900430.02651
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.00995226442.64910.009938.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.012345173128.123150.012250.00109399650.001172490.0179627815.3201990.016810.0108862640.01174065750.0323063362.75166320.02081
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.005525903345.5640.005516.476642E-56.8530964E-50.00677807198.905230.006717.882459E-48.34053E-40.01004636312.0452340.009220.0078545580.0083838670.0196882912.34835430.0114
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.0015906617148.958950.001584.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.00197567643.170680.001935.182138E-45.570383E-40.00319556785.7367110.002640.005170070.0056274190.0088790171.57781340.00327
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-60.0010484196124.391740.001042.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.001336074136.9887580.00133.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.00222889875.06930070.001790.00351914060.0044464160.00662667861.49034140.00219
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-67.453671E-4138.774867.4E-41.7037546E-52.3018596E-59.129981E-439.66358.9E-42.0741238E-42.8021546E-40.00145988485.2098650.001180.0020721890.00283356690.0042794581.51027250.00145
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-62.52077E-4121.335582.5E-47.169782E-68.903624E-63.0890096E-434.6938483.0E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-45.083529E-44.6897644.0E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00159630551.45534925.0E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.0314888E-596.2691043.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.1628448E-41.30062455.0E-5

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.03597588620.654240.035922.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.04762663191.734180.047390.00251630880.00302073360.0730286224.1757890.070220.024880060.0298636160.121667624.0741090.09463
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.012200619584.50620.012187.626778E-58.945448E-50.01656798185.21130.016489.281647E-40.00108860240.02621122424.077870.025150.0092429750.0108366420.0459915064.2440740.03554
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.012200619584.50620.012187.626778E-58.945448E-50.01656798185.21130.016489.281647E-40.00108860240.02621122424.077870.025150.0092429750.0108366420.0459915064.2440740.03554
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.008585624544.785160.008575.792405E-56.7539746E-50.011716753173.479370.011657.049971E-48.2200987E-40.01885717222.9403250.018050.0070276470.0081921570.034028754.15382050.02605
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.006302539499.483430.006294.658551E-55.4076605E-50.00867361160.394870.008625.67031E-46.582015E-40.01416930321.5273020.013520.0056558630.0065643820.026105263.9768040.01967
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.00393916428.347260.003933.4134522E-53.941168E-50.0054291994137.75610.005394.1550855E-44.797421E-40.00893568318.6260150.008460.00414732470.0047882090.0171288353.57729460.0124
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.0029675898389.837430.002962.8421264E-53.262412E-50.004052493124.217690.004023.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.006734617516.957990.006340.00345435790.00396525160.0131287713.31095550.0092
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-60.001645422302.976350.001642.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.0023532207101.105390.002332.500958E-42.833398E-40.004092260314.4429440.003810.00249814520.00283031890.0081153192.86728050.0053
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-60.0013949624280.714660.001391.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.00199125593.4995040.001972.286638E-42.5926388E-40.003558408213.7250450.00330.00228428650.00259012330.00721810532.78678040.00464
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-66.430716E-4209.225176.4E-41.1698237E-51.3172453E-59.2316046E-470.082669.1E-41.4241673E-41.6036403E-40.001830096211.4121360.001670.0014232550.00160248080.0039387312.4578960.00234
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-62.621264E-4123.23932.6E-48.137413E-69.115562E-63.6911227E-440.4925423.6E-49.90685E-51.1097702E-48.108993E-47.30691247.0E-49.902435E-40.00110928460.00210817531.90048190.001
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-61.516639E-491.135821.5E-46.398121E-67.132066E-61.971307E-427.6400571.9E-47.789434E-58.6830034E-54.7679618E-45.4911433.9E-47.786704E-48.6801895E-40.00145750681.67911865.9E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-68.1182785E-568.631668.0E-54.581772E-65.0694644E-68.5069056E-516.780688.0E-55.5781646E-56.171951E-52.517078E-44.07825331.9E-45.576765E-46.1707594E-48.869094E-41.43727742.7E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-76.0976956E-562.4114766.0E-53.7613736E-64.187204E-66.4186956E-515.3293116.0E-54.579376E-55.0978535E-51.8097191E-43.54996281.3E-44.5784327E-45.097194E-46.9962256E-41.37256411.9E-4
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-76.0850987E-571.5020456.0E-53.2388E-63.6473052E-66.364709E-517.4504416.0E-53.9431678E-54.4405555E-51.4440111E-43.25187061.0E-43.942468E-44.4401767E-45.839555E-41.31516281.4E-4
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-75.063054E-580.2928855.0E-52.3947114E-62.7024564E-65.2702322E-519.5016355.0E-52.915522E-53.2902408E-51.12899776E-43.4313538.0E-52.9151395E-43.2902407E-44.289912E-41.30382911.0E-4

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.030780246986.365660.030751.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.038018666284.28850.037890.00148206770.00162711250.0508568831.2559090.049310.0147222230.0161653980.07610064.7076230.06092
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.030780246986.365660.030751.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.038018666284.28850.037890.00148206770.00162711250.0508568831.2559090.049310.0147222230.0161653980.07610064.7076230.06092
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.030780246986.365660.030751.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.038018666284.28850.037890.00148206770.00162711250.0508568831.2559090.049310.0147222230.0161653980.07610064.7076230.06092
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0210857431311.18960.021076.379586E-56.8918554E-50.02602713377.650540.025967.7643775E-48.387886E-40.03446056341.083730.033650.0077373050.0083590450.0490064065.862680.04099
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0210857431311.18960.021076.379586E-56.8918554E-50.02602713377.650540.025967.7643775E-48.387886E-40.03446056341.083730.033650.0077373050.0083590450.0490064065.862680.04099
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.0197034941431.36170.019695.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.024307564412.034030.024256.675408E-47.1804173E-40.03204553244.6290630.031350.0066553920.0071597670.045046556.2916220.03816
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.0171801131669.75010.017174.1407468E-54.40952E-50.02103317476.994540.020995.040193E-45.36743E-40.02768216551.5743330.027160.0050287770.00535607150.0381693777.1263750.03299
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.0151080761842.51990.01513.329045E-53.5141096E-50.01855449527.999760.018524.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.02446748557.1974140.024050.0040449770.0042708430.0332664777.78920560.02912
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.0118766561763.22970.011872.752908E-52.8867207E-50.014658445507.788820.014633.35115E-43.5141438E-40.01935473555.0766680.019010.0033461010.00350984720.0263992277.52147440.02297
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.007173092304.8480.007171.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.008823221661.518250.008811.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.01168050771.934260.011520.00163100950.00162273720.0153703929.4718920.01377
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.00443221861988.72270.004439.816834E-69.551441E-60.005509499576.82390.00551.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.007365440563.340310.007250.00119449140.00116232990.0097723118.4075190.00862
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.00208117531767.18620.002085.5443866E-65.047183E-60.002615034518.117550.002616.750081E-56.1448416E-50.003441240656.00210.003386.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.00467188847.60419850.00406
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-71.7030913E-4550.853451.7E-42.0210737E-61.3250274E-62.1132475E-4159.487092.1E-42.4606294E-51.6132095E-52.6612807E-416.4968072.5E-42.460357E-41.6130977E-44.6126137E-42.85947563.0E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-71.2023094E-4520.549261.2E-41.6898966E-69.898685E-71.5098973E-4152.535141.5E-42.0574296E-51.2051582E-52.020493E-416.7653751.9E-42.0572392E-41.2050936E-43.5048166E-42.90833542.3E-4
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-71.10196765E-4559.983341.1E-41.5201948E-68.433674E-71.4084324E-4167.001051.4E-41.8508214E-51.02679505E-51.902661E-418.5300961.8E-41.8506673E-41.0267482E-43.1265325E-43.0450822.1E-4
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-79.014421E-5625.01549.0E-51.129468E-66.1811636E-71.1061805E-4178.959921.1E-41.3751187E-57.525541E-61.475245E-419.6031721.4E-41.3750336E-47.5252916E-52.3524088E-43.12600351.6E-4
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-84.007572E-5529.2384.0E-55.4424834E-73.24529E-74.0324518E-5124.255514.0E-56.6262032E-63.9511337E-66.3950894E-516.1854556.0E-56.626006E-53.9510673E-51.09507906E-42.77160337.0E-5

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.027742742117.2560.027735.3086325E-55.615534E-50.033554275597.5260.03356.461343E-46.8350515E-40.044113864.540550.043460.00644258880.00681683930.0585318888.5863680.05207
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.027742742117.2560.027735.3086325E-55.615534E-50.033554275597.5260.03356.461343E-46.8350515E-40.044113864.540550.043460.00644258880.00681683930.0585318888.5863680.05207
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.027742742117.2560.027735.3086325E-55.615534E-50.033554275597.5260.03356.461343E-46.8350515E-40.044113864.540550.043460.00644258880.00681683930.0585318888.5863680.05207
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.027742742117.2560.027735.3086325E-55.615534E-50.033554275597.5260.03356.461343E-46.8350515E-40.044113864.540550.043460.00644258880.00681683930.0585318888.5863680.05207
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.027742742117.2560.027735.3086325E-55.615534E-50.033554275597.5260.03356.461343E-46.8350515E-40.044113864.540550.043460.00644258880.00681683930.0585318888.5863680.05207
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.020807232817.52780.02082.996648E-53.1649324E-50.025130855794.04080.02513.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.03305267585.791430.032680.0036418260.00384653660.04298540611.1750940.03929
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.020807232817.52780.02082.996648E-53.1649324E-50.025130855794.04080.02513.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.03305267585.791430.032680.0036418260.00384653660.04298540611.1750940.03929
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.0178556833085.97850.017852.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.021494266866.801330.021472.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.02825342993.595230.027960.00285389270.0030149660.03655354312.1240320.03364
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.0136341623231.5430.013631.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.016497783912.402650.016482.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.0215454397.8781050.021330.00208238930.00219934180.02755345612.5280470.02541
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.00979309253135.7720.009791.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.011833226884.110170.011821.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.01544045594.759070.015280.0015417070.00162847120.02002845912.2989340.01843
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.0041415342687.89090.004146.2402937E-66.603469E-60.0051565696780.887940.005157.597293E-58.039528E-50.006889847685.699660.006817.594696E-48.0376083E-40.00887726611.04466150.00808
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-70.00188073952538.46140.001882.997936E-63.1752747E-60.0023631677744.24040.002363.649926E-53.865897E-50.003098540780.150630.003063.6493264E-43.865897E-40.00406516710.5154560.00368

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.014725386221.905960.014662.1564208E-42.843643E-40.01947890468.4998250.01920.00262228120.0034575470.031091678.9924070.027730.025915530.0341412950.069617292.03909330.03673
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.014725386221.905960.014662.1564208E-42.843643E-40.01947890468.4998250.01920.00262228120.0034575470.031091678.9924070.027730.025915530.0341412950.069617292.03909330.03673
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.011780617380.258880.011751.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.01525076114.8677140.015120.00125807660.00161542520.02300082314.2382460.021420.0125097810.0160707550.0435715762.71123390.02795
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.010832114484.538120.010817.471279E-59.580685E-50.013784495143.877980.013699.0924866E-40.0011659620.02029363417.4050560.019150.0090553730.01162914650.0358936533.0865250.02455
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.010832114484.538120.010817.471279E-59.580685E-50.013784495143.877980.013699.0924866E-40.0011659620.02029363417.4050560.019150.0090553730.01162914650.0358936533.0865250.02455
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.010479226539.352360.010466.506727E-58.3266525E-50.013282168159.51390.01327.919061E-40.00101343440.01933484719.078540.018340.00789090.0101186780.033182913.27937250.0233
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.0089584711048.07860.008952.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.011126226303.731870.011093.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.0152093234.1088180.014770.00350399320.00446801870.0227260765.08638760.01834
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.0089584041056.42040.008952.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.011125939306.143680.011093.4864116E-44.423823E-40.01520584834.3726430.014770.0034809470.00443293250.0226916325.1188760.01834
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.0089382521073.47990.008932.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.011105289311.210.011073.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.01517796834.942120.014750.00342617280.00435310560.0225634875.1833080.01829
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.0089179291114.79810.008912.727151E-53.428354E-50.011063905322.71770.011033.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.01509120136.161510.014680.00331484550.00418306470.0222969745.33029650.01819
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.0088075641154.06430.00882.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.010922351333.942840.010893.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.01490236637.4296380.014510.00319565440.0039917390.0218999685.48632240.01798
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.0082470831154.67980.008242.504087E-53.060958E-50.010260296335.198850.010233.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.01402752437.6463280.013660.00304412140.00373715950.0206736275.53190950.017
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.005155331962.08860.005152.045011E-52.2964727E-50.006542815284.907140.006522.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.00896713432.0754550.008690.00248672930.00280862120.0137876984.9090630.01101
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.0013927066513.84630.001391.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.0017315958149.072950.001721.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.002491080717.6156560.002350.00158991990.00142310890.00434893933.05594280.00293
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-69.723033E-4421.720529.7E-41.1684469E-59.880949E-60.0012298689124.4687040.001221.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.001840087115.2965810.001720.00142158110.00121105780.00330851462.73192140.0021
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-67.6216384E-4351.957157.6E-41.1181565E-59.2806895E-69.992715E-4107.672129.9E-41.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.001532826213.5664390.001420.0013604370.00113781260.00291578732.56262520.00178
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-65.7187164E-4305.375645.7E-49.860858E-68.025758E-67.5801974E-494.4483647.5E-41.20049335E-49.770931E-50.001197601812.25678350.00110.0011998459.848307E-40.00234349122.37958810.00136
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-63.3134138E-4246.93653.3E-47.3646997E-65.750593E-64.1574825E-472.296584.1E-48.966153E-57.0011265E-56.7996857E-49.7122746.1E-48.962536E-47.0769014E-40.00145715942.05903587.5E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-71.4084044E-4167.557481.4E-43.6262625E-63.602352E-61.836017E-450.9671751.8E-44.4148852E-54.3857777E-53.3384506E-47.61199242.9E-44.414008E-44.4386165E-48.136974E-41.83322313.7E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-77.037679E-5186.766867.0E-51.1643157E-61.6149258E-69.1614784E-556.7300229.0E-51.4175452E-51.9661555E-51.49659E-47.61175781.3E-41.4174548E-41.9829652E-43.5826478E-41.80671251.6E-4
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-81.0033853E-5296.391941.0E-59.426611E-81.4508568E-71.0145084E-569.924781.0E-51.1476893E-61.7664173E-62.1766382E-512.3223322.0E-51.14768345E-51.7869768E-53.7869413E-52.11918852.0E-5

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.012253569360.565980.012221.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016263291111.668620.016120.00157519230.00177174060.02570925514.5107330.023980.0156407360.0175830030.048254062.74435830.03122
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.012253569360.565980.012221.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016263291111.668620.016120.00157519230.00177174060.02570925514.5107330.023980.0156407360.0175830030.048254062.74435830.03122
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.012253569360.565980.012221.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016263291111.668620.016120.00157519230.00177174060.02570925514.5107330.023980.0156407360.0175830030.048254062.74435830.03122
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.011911721371.05340.011881.2245393E-41.375748E-40.01565544113.795840.015520.0014898570.00167371410.0245753214.6831040.022940.014799080.0166180380.045814652.7569230.02969
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.011911721371.05340.011881.2245393E-41.375748E-40.01565544113.795840.015520.0014898570.00167371410.0245753214.6831040.022940.014799080.0166180380.045814652.7569230.02969
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.011800465382.78230.011771.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.015380099116.4153060.015250.00143227450.00160732920.0240312314.951030.022460.0142307820.0159638820.0444615672.7851350.02896
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.0114089195390.019840.011381.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.014813519118.1673660.014690.00136282570.00152522190.02308229215.1337270.021590.0135449820.0151543430.0425232052.80600760.02779
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.011117037406.606170.011091.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.014385499122.7737660.014270.00127750840.00142564590.02220597915.5760830.020810.0127018930.0141715930.0404932132.85735080.0267
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.010504674421.275970.010489.532935E-51.0686163E-40.013395442125.353140.013290.00116001690.00130028570.02055521715.808230.019280.0115398020.0129329550.0372246762.87828060.02461
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.009662075433.467770.009648.529431E-59.552596E-50.0122043695127.759710.012110.00103796350.00116242650.01857216515.9770660.017430.0103312880.0115690210.0332749672.87621260.02196
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.009130378443.95390.009117.865712E-58.813734E-50.011467135130.105290.011389.5722964E-40.00107256160.0172052416.041260.016150.0095311680.010679390.0306142012.8666620.02015
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.0088995965450.10120.008887.571623E-58.4736355E-50.011123801131.275420.011049.2145515E-40.00103119450.01667504616.1706120.015660.0091764370.01026959250.0295693352.87930940.0195
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.007968014438.814580.007957.020495E-57.781795E-50.009947049127.824610.009878.544101E-49.470391E-40.014923790515.7583680.013990.0085113250.0094352690.0266215672.82149530.01735
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.0066458606416.235930.006636.222919E-56.842646E-50.008307863121.413020.008247.57377E-48.327899E-40.01230322914.7735090.011480.00754800950.0083003990.0226007092.72284580.01442
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.0064340546454.848570.006425.5080065E-56.06222E-50.008030139132.462020.007976.7039346E-47.378411E-40.01180966616.0057030.011080.00668374640.0073574290.0210558962.86185530.0138
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.006382755497.220580.006374.987555E-55.5014076E-50.007964578144.773470.007916.070656E-46.696062E-40.01159228817.3120960.010930.0060540990.00667938450.0201786123.02102880.01359
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.0028433236853.066470.002841.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.0034542354241.816770.003441.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.004933079728.366130.004760.00156768350.00173979730.0076095674.3738240.00588

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.009572307152.171280.009511.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.012576248546.653560.012310.00235014970.0032774820.0212583566.48618560.018040.0232545040.032353770.0559256341.72856620.02436
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.009572307152.171280.009511.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.012576248546.653560.012310.00235014970.0032774820.0212583566.48618560.018040.0232545040.032353770.0559256341.72856620.02436
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.007694247222.946780.007661.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.00981646966.372960.009670.00139088840.00179921140.0154046888.5619120.013630.013822150.0178727880.0356001851.99186520.01805
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.007694247222.946780.007661.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.00981646966.372960.009670.00139088840.00179921140.0154046888.5619120.013630.013822150.0178727880.0356001851.99186520.01805
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.007592096234.755280.007561.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.00968727169.896350.009550.00131992370.00168611520.0151134378.9634670.013450.0131211120.0167722870.0342344122.04112960.01776
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.007592096234.755280.007561.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.00968727169.896350.009550.00131992370.00168611520.0151134378.9634670.013450.0131211120.0167722870.0342344122.04112960.01776
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.0073879277262.59140.007369.627742E-51.2057181E-40.00937945577.791440.009260.00117154720.00146699690.0143580589.7873820.012910.0116539010.0146131690.0313056222.14228840.01694
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.0073676264.979370.007349.531594E-51.1915654E-40.00933805878.367990.009220.00115985380.00144978890.0142811599.850510.012850.0115381870.0144428290.0310691782.15118360.01687
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.00710373297.240020.007088.369167E-51.0242024E-40.00893151687.20460.008830.00101846980.00124627280.01340110610.7529480.012170.0101381470.0124367230.0281488562.26336570.01591
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.0067950957447.080540.006785.7078556E-56.51362E-50.0083645955128.4170.00836.9470983E-47.927504E-40.01192391915.0412030.011140.00692542040.0079407210.022156932.7902920.01433
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.0066630207508.330570.006655.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.008175719145.541520.008126.134799E-46.8371464E-40.01151630316.8437290.010840.00611789060.0068574010.020632293.00876210.01387
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.006400833587.08370.006394.3133965E-54.67253E-50.0078063626167.069290.007765.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.01087287219.1176240.010310.0052379070.00571334730.0187583883.2832570.01312
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.006270433597.26210.006264.186565E-54.499337E-50.007654651170.128430.007615.095951E-45.4766005E-40.01059215619.340750.010050.00508428040.0055035840.0182033033.30753610.01277
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.0058098864584.24460.00584.004731E-54.2617627E-50.0070523187165.478930.007014.8746695E-45.187495E-40.0098239218.9376950.009310.00486399050.0052152690.016943783.24887940.01179
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.00530944559.451350.00533.867153E-54.0672705E-50.0064404123158.347290.00644.7072413E-44.95081E-40.00898087818.1402190.008490.0046972830.00497872660.0156851563.15043520.01076
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.0026970683380.544160.002693.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.0032202774106.020090.003193.6942272E-43.697441E-40.00465815812.598330.004290.0036880920.00372447450.0091242882.44981880.00542
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.0017059488286.28380.00172.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.002035486779.7039950.002013.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.00295006139.4893280.002640.00318637070.00313591260.00649534452.07127740.00337
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-69.647526E-4202.8029.6E-42.055903E-52.0387479E-50.001160364256.915530.001142.5027743E-42.481894E-40.00169782966.8408620.001450.00249995760.00250940650.00435476421.73537610.00185
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-66.439758E-4161.869086.4E-41.4583726E-51.7050066E-57.8703696E-446.1603437.7E-41.775424E-42.0756487E-40.00117736365.6722689.7E-40.00177400620.00210121410.00330867151.57464750.00121
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-64.8337082E-4143.329884.8E-41.1112129E-51.4453217E-55.744451E-439.745145.6E-41.3528178E-41.7595377E-49.0582535E-45.1480877.3E-40.00135199450.00178124260.00269960381.51557349.2E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-62.2167311E-4132.462832.2E-45.8901214E-67.1720124E-62.6717014E-437.251772.6E-47.1709874E-58.731578E-54.2728608E-44.89357233.4E-47.1686733E-48.837377E-40.00131335771.48613974.3E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.0314888E-596.2691043.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.1628448E-41.30062455.0E-5

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.006614211121.208080.006561.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00843192936.057440.00820.0023507310.00284354620.014340765.04326630.011530.0232601950.0280926250.0421366841.49991990.01445
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.006614211121.208080.006561.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00843192936.057440.00820.0023507310.00284354620.014340765.04326630.011530.0232601950.0280926250.0421366841.49991990.01445
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.0065867547139.956990.006541.6868966E-42.016826E-40.00837003441.5010260.008170.0020518620.00245285340.01390469455.66878370.011480.0203301960.0242741870.0383148831.57842080.01439
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.0065867547139.956990.006541.6868966E-42.016826E-40.00837003441.5010260.008170.0020518620.00245285340.01390469455.66878370.011480.0203301960.0242741870.0383148831.57842080.01439
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.006547704172.529940.006511.384713E-41.6263791E-40.00829131550.9802130.008130.00168458430.0019783870.01336581356.75591470.011410.0167187140.0196171180.033607181.71315590.01427
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.006547704172.529940.006511.384713E-41.6263791E-40.00829131550.9802130.008130.00168458430.0019783870.01336581356.75591470.011410.0167187140.0196171180.033607181.71315590.01427
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.00653396191.152270.00651.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.00825529856.355450.008110.00152799090.00178207270.0131218287.363240.011360.0151752720.0176863240.031635181.78868020.0142
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.0065221344201.646770.006491.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.0082274959.356420.008090.00145091420.00168635060.01299724457.70732070.011330.0144147760.0167438180.0306568931.8309380.01415
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.0065066926242.183470.006481.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.00819420871.168230.008080.001219720.0014009580.0126851289.0546090.01130.012130470.0139280670.0278514031.99966040.01412
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.0064934175275.493740.006478.867737E-51.0101105E-40.00817019680.884180.008070.00107911230.00122915190.01249528710.165780.011280.0107388710.0122291580.026136972.13726660.01408
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.0064895065330.530270.006477.483646E-58.414151E-50.00814346396.782940.008069.1075303E-40.00102396410.01227243411.9852190.011260.0090702950.0101966880.0241133222.36481930.01406
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.0064663356393.285740.006456.3460066E-57.046316E-50.008099898114.952230.008037.723524E-48.575678E-40.01203797214.0373410.011190.0076967350.0085461680.0224066922.6218410.01398
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.0064555975411.22610.006446.077022E-56.727727E-50.008086737120.200150.008027.396263E-48.1880915E-40.01196967214.6183890.011160.00737169430.0081614690.0219876992.69408580.01394
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.0064550745425.455470.006445.8843252E-56.502197E-50.0080845124.33490.008027.161811E-47.9137104E-40.01193254715.0783210.011150.0071387740.0078890580.0217091632.75180670.01393
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.0064040194453.884670.006395.489925E-56.0467344E-50.007999987132.302610.007946.681934E-47.3595706E-40.011757839515.9762570.011030.0066618780.00733868960.0209877832.85988160.01375
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.0063527194496.277770.006344.9694736E-55.485922E-50.007934427144.63250.007886.0486543E-46.67722E-40.01154045817.2833250.010880.0060322170.0066606320.0201104473.01930020.01354
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.0028333159852.076970.002831.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.0034442018241.685360.003431.564034E-41.7349655E-40.004922672628.3733160.004750.00156293370.00173569550.0075955074.37605950.00587

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.0037529727113.397090.003721.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.005131124536.177380.004990.00160107140.00172557840.009951365.766970.008240.0158958510.0171356330.0292740071.70837030.01235
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.0037529727113.397090.003721.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.005131124536.177380.004990.00160107140.00172557840.009951365.766970.008240.0158958510.0171356330.0292740071.70837030.01235
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0014825267118.1755450.001475.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002043656838.0117950.001996.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00377234515.7647030.003120.0060903660.00652556960.0110756821.69727440.00458
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0014825267118.1755450.001475.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002043656838.0117950.001996.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00377234515.7647030.003120.0060903660.00652556960.0110756821.69727440.00458
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-60.0010484713123.639050.001043.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.00140629338.6952360.001374.136527E-44.423877E-40.00247148965.58670470.002030.00412883560.00441547580.0073026711.65388080.0029
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-67.262815E-4115.5396967.2E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-59.769141E-436.2629979.5E-43.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00174747835.32858750.001420.00306507780.00327485380.00524836961.60262720.00198
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-67.262815E-4115.5396967.2E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-59.769141E-436.2629979.5E-43.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00174747835.32858750.001420.00306507780.00327485380.00524836961.60262720.00198
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-63.332804E-4101.5644763.3E-41.3163528E-51.4063357E-54.740569E-433.7086564.6E-41.6025416E-41.7120909E-48.310961E-44.85427576.6E-40.00160138650.00171088640.0026592611.55431779.5E-4
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-61.7242834E-470.9945761.7E-49.738084E-61.0408908E-53.004059E-428.8604622.9E-41.1855473E-41.26722E-45.466688E-44.31392154.2E-40.0011849150.00126658760.00191576431.512546.5E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-65.1065297E-547.9329345.0E-54.265307E-64.5657757E-68.4565414E-518.5215878.0E-55.1928873E-55.5587418E-51.9557963E-43.51841551.4E-45.191674E-45.557858E-47.956524E-41.4315812.4E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-73.0507541E-560.1067543.0E-52.0308057E-62.1752398E-66.217511E-528.5831076.0E-52.4724779E-52.6483543E-51.1648116E-44.3982479.0E-52.4722028E-42.6483546E-43.8480366E-41.45299161.2E-4

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0035131136151.463560.003499.2335285E-59.940143E-50.004888925249.1836470.004790.00112360230.00120962060.008790447.26710460.007590.0111793810.0120383480.022866411.89946390.01096
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0035131136151.463560.003499.2335285E-59.940143E-50.004888925249.1836470.004790.00112360230.00120962060.008790447.26710460.007590.0111793810.0120383480.022866411.89946390.01096
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0035131136151.463560.003499.2335285E-59.940143E-50.004888925249.1836470.004790.00112360230.00120962060.008790447.26710460.007590.0111793810.0120383480.022866411.89946390.01096
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0015307306142.434160.001524.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002065964544.856150.002025.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00356893226.36604930.003010.0052175450.00559336650.0101278611.81069150.00456
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0015307306142.434160.001524.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002065964544.856150.002025.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00356893226.36604930.003010.0052175450.00559336650.0101278611.81069150.00456
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-69.374497E-4125.720229.3E-42.9835655E-53.195666E-50.001301916140.7400550.001273.6318856E-43.8901155E-40.00236824136.0878430.001980.00362595570.00388416020.0068625471.76680310.00299
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-67.353428E-4137.532387.3E-42.1394015E-52.2914215E-59.92892E-443.3308339.7E-42.60441E-42.7895154E-40.0017285476.1965850.001450.00260135970.00278667270.0049905141.79085050.00221
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-65.739224E-4146.236285.7E-41.5698786E-51.681974E-57.868068E-446.7787747.7E-41.9111596E-42.0476682E-40.00131453966.419690.001110.00190951680.00204634460.00373288621.82417290.00169
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-64.3274375E-4157.65234.3E-41.0971216E-51.1763939E-55.717574E-448.602545.6E-41.3356637E-41.4322149E-49.2310976E-46.44532977.8E-40.00133486130.00143177690.00268997281.87876530.00126
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-62.4189641E-4127.523932.4E-47.579223E-68.129446E-63.581266E-444.0530133.5E-49.2273134E-59.8976E-56.2892353E-46.35430345.3E-49.223483E-49.8976E-40.00183891881.8579448.5E-4

Garlock (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.00467508185.53980.004651.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.00579736953.687560.005690.00131310020.00131390930.0091236356.94388440.007820.0130536830.0131417940.0227932671.73441060.00978
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.0046649817185.8690.004641.0747157E-41.075594E-40.005786948453.802350.005680.0013076810.00130875250.0091085316.9597050.007810.0130001260.0130908350.0227329381.73655370.00977
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.004664864186.74460.004641.0690756E-41.070524E-40.005786444554.052450.005680.00130082240.00130258720.0091024146.987950.007810.0129323410.0130299060.0226726051.74004350.00977
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.004664684188.09760.004641.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.00578567554.4389080.005680.00128975560.00129317360.0090930747.0315950.007810.0128229570.01293687150.0225706081.74467280.00976
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.004663071201.179950.004649.958477E-59.933313E-50.00577876958.1756480.005680.00121177020.00120871260.0089793087.428820.007780.0120518380.0121017310.0216942241.79265450.00971
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.0046628863202.796110.004649.742009E-59.8537625E-50.00577797858.637280.005680.00118544420.00119903810.0089697097.48075440.007780.0117914030.0120060350.0215994571.79904990.00971
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.0046416726213.182820.004629.136581E-59.3310395E-50.005752782361.6521030.005660.0011118110.00113546430.0088866537.82644840.007760.0110626490.0113769520.0209369361.8402940.00967
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.004640299227.542650.004628.446021E-58.739606E-50.005736902465.642570.005650.0010278180.00106352940.0088052878.2793080.007750.0102307710.01066468750.0201919861.893350.00963
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.004629809232.644670.004618.033094E-58.528626E-50.005724805467.1245960.005649.775903E-40.00103786720.0087698348.4498620.007740.0097330090.0104104950.019920451.9134970.00961
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.004628866244.226720.004617.5253614E-58.122527E-50.00572076770.430880.005649.158276E-49.884704E-40.008720828.8225390.007740.00912062450.0099210730.019425831.95803730.0096
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.004628132254.070050.004617.197421E-57.806611E-50.005707626773.112740.005638.759337E-49.5004175E-40.0086627079.1182380.007720.0087248910.0095399580.0190087561.99254080.00956
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.0046076356260.0720.004597.0017246E-57.592681E-50.00568550174.881340.005618.521265E-49.2401815E-40.0086169039.3254690.00770.0084886640.0092817210.0187331742.01828670.00954
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.0045770872266.646120.004566.762685E-57.3563926E-50.00564315476.710890.005578.2304585E-48.952741E-40.0085284349.5260590.007640.0082000420.0089965590.0183912722.04425620.00948
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.004556543274.185270.004546.45364E-57.122013E-50.005620824678.921850.005557.854473E-48.667614E-40.0084601749.7606730.00760.007826770.0087132630.018071012.07396580.00944
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.0044463817270.22360.004436.380382E-57.0517184E-50.005440138377.1462860.005377.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.0082418689.6035590.007390.00773826750.0086281010.0177487232.05708310.0092
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.0040559815252.764760.004046.218123E-56.876877E-50.004998429772.6845860.004937.567935E-48.369394E-40.00759128169.0702890.006760.00754221340.0084164110.0167952921.9955410.00845
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.0027140125193.160890.00275.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.003360016555.800170.00336.6541E-47.328737E-40.0052195837.12207750.004490.0066342110.0073813740.012910261.7490320.00557
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.0015914423138.865310.001584.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.0019790240.2937770.001935.388092E-45.9780874E-40.00323623055.4134880.002640.00537504670.0060382860.009288541.53827440.00327
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-60.0010488903117.858980.001043.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.001338090735.083370.00133.667837E-44.6425956E-40.00225342864.85381170.001790.0036617890.00469506670.00687478441.4642570.00219
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-67.454614E-4136.396187.4E-41.7402595E-52.3422985E-59.134021E-438.9959758.9E-42.11856E-42.8513762E-40.00146480115.13717270.001180.00211654140.0028841430.00432996131.5012990.00145
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-62.52077E-4121.335582.5E-47.169782E-68.903624E-63.0890096E-434.6938483.0E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-45.083529E-44.6897644.0E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00159630551.45534925.0E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.0314888E-596.2691043.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.1628448E-41.30062455.0E-5

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.001588472685.855830.001577.439883E-57.9290556E-50.002549094632.148780.002479.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.0055705355.77267360.004610.0090174910.00961277450.016555391.72222790.00701
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-68.59584E-489.612888.5E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001361054533.108590.001324.727685E-45.003936E-40.00292917765.8537470.002430.00471763960.0049935520.0086750751.73725560.0037
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-68.59584E-489.612888.5E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001361054533.108590.001324.727685E-45.003936E-40.00292917765.8537470.002430.00471763960.0049935520.0086750751.73725560.0037
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-66.276629E-481.857956.2E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001002829430.517099.7E-43.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00222928735.572950.001830.00377973750.00399369650.00685223471.71576240.00287
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-66.276629E-481.857956.2E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001002829430.517099.7E-43.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00222928735.572950.001830.00377973750.00399369650.00685223471.71576240.00287
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-65.264006E-482.200295.2E-42.5996113E-52.7444936E-58.6742186E-431.60598.4E-43.164567E-43.3409733E-40.00188357955.63781640.001550.00316006430.00333658930.0057584811.72585870.00243
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-64.759075E-480.522234.7E-42.3994397E-52.5329486E-58.0530974E-431.7933717.8E-42.9209262E-43.0834923E-40.0017778965.76585150.001470.00291708970.0030798430.0053528211.73801740.00228
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-64.0553694E-473.212694.0E-42.2486933E-52.3739085E-57.3372223E-430.9077727.1E-42.73744E-42.8899137E-40.00167858975.8084420.001390.00273407040.00288677960.00505051531.74953270.00217
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-63.842453E-490.4765553.8E-41.7242342E-51.8200926E-56.3818967E-435.0635836.2E-42.099053E-42.2157968E-40.00138132266.2339770.001160.00209707140.0022141720.00395031931.78410690.00174
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-73.071397E-543.01723.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-63.3059874E-510.8039963.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-51.4725068E-43.95253091.1E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-45.524496E-41.48301981.8E-4

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002191396769.646360.002161.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003214427323.8383580.003080.00159955990.001640690.00643281453.92079850.00480.0158809520.0163073370.0232325351.42466750.00704
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002191396769.646360.002161.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003214427323.8383580.003080.00159955990.001640690.00643281453.92079850.00480.0158809520.0163073370.0232325351.42466750.00704
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-56.2362687E-445.736546.1E-46.490707E-55.843533E-59.88381E-416.9140999.3E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00207026262.9108210.001360.0078715480.0070907370.0090864851.28145840.00201
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-56.2362687E-445.736546.1E-46.490707E-55.843533E-59.88381E-416.9140999.3E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00207026262.9108210.001360.0078715480.0070907370.0090864851.28145840.00201
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-53.6068595E-433.7414973.5E-45.37097E-54.581216E-56.357851E-413.8780875.9E-46.537194E-45.5762613E-40.00137716892.46969948.2E-40.00651799650.0055628590.00677607261.21809170.00122
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-62.2908166E-425.21912.2E-44.7545094E-53.89294E-54.289142E-411.0177463.9E-45.787078E-44.7386638E-40.00104359632.20230085.7E-40.00577203040.0047289670.0055948531.18310258.7E-4
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-61.8753033E-424.8988441.8E-44.1520743E-53.227828E-53.2226893E-49.984082.9E-45.053978E-43.9291973E-47.9276256E-42.01761964.0E-40.00504249940.00392250670.00452015361.15236346.0E-4
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-61.1674866E-417.297621.1E-43.8462964E-52.8925719E-52.3891965E-48.2597662.1E-44.6818596E-43.5211592E-46.2202086E-41.7665232.7E-40.0046720080.0035158010.0039542541.12470924.4E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-67.511583E-514.6819967.0E-53.20482E-52.1926337E-51.4192371E-46.47275071.2E-43.9011694E-42.6692182E-43.9688713E-41.4869041.3E-40.00389432810.00266615050.0028855641.0822962.2E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-63.390737E-58.6775353.0E-52.7175134E-51.674628E-55.6745608E-53.38855034.0E-53.3080703E-42.0386786E-42.5385767E-41.24520685.0E-50.00330315020.00203690650.00214668251.05389341.1E-4
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-62.2605796E-58.6750212.0E-52.195953E-51.1167879E-53.1167656E-52.79083042.0E-52.6732447E-41.359607E-41.6595662E-41.2206223.0E-50.00267003130.00135880050.00140873251.03674725.0E-5
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-62.2098428E-510.5307372.0E-51.9023713E-58.99341E-62.899323E-53.22383052.0E-52.315891E-41.0948948E-41.394862E-41.27396893.0E-50.0023134790.00109437740.00113433351.03651054.0E-5
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-61.1261559E-58.9266121.0E-51.5015643E-55.406724E-61.540667E-52.84953881.0E-51.8280011E-46.5824956E-57.5824304E-51.1519081.0E-50.00182649826.580628E-46.780497E-41.03037232.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-71.0711861E-515.0475261.0E-51.0978401E-53.050862E-61.30508315E-54.27775241.0E-51.3365384E-43.7143633E-54.714326E-51.26921511.0E-50.00133573493.7137623E-43.913688E-41.05383372.0E-5
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-75.304471E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2733427E-62.2733427E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.76776E-52.76776E-51.00.00.00106225472.767421E-42.8673932E-41.03612471.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.9797249E-41.05318881.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-54.7148544E-51.26917681.0E-5

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001530330550.379420.00151.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002239903217.2064760.002110.0013929210.00158396010.0052980683.3448240.003720.0138422220.0157462020.0214253461.36066760.00577
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001530330550.379420.00151.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002239903217.2064760.002110.0013929210.00158396010.0052980683.3448240.003720.0138422220.0157462020.0214253461.36066760.00577
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-58.8608224E-455.0489738.7E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001338895119.409150.001277.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00296785083.53467420.002130.0073804980.0083743640.0116467291.39075980.0033
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-58.8608224E-455.0489738.7E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001338895119.409150.001277.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00296785083.53467420.002130.0073804980.0083743640.0116467291.39075980.0033
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-58.5499586E-456.967568.4E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001294241920.1216140.001236.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.0027513823.51423670.001970.0068841260.0078112890.0108573081.3899510.00307
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-58.5499586E-456.967568.4E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001294241920.1216140.001236.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.0027513823.51423670.001970.0068841260.0078112890.0108573081.3899510.00307
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-57.5284566E-458.5636257.4E-44.8548856E-55.5092984E-50.001125034120.420640.001075.90922E-46.706464E-40.00240947933.5927720.001740.00589353130.00669561370.0093874691.40203260.00271
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-65.9981877E-461.0529025.9E-43.707594E-54.2105148E-58.6207065E-420.4742328.2E-44.5130608E-45.126002E-40.00182192873.55428810.001310.00450390620.00512305650.00714265651.39421780.00203
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-61.1754802E-61.00.04.378012E-65.037763E-61.5037713E-52.9849981.0E-55.3300988E-56.133315E-59.133131E-51.48910193.0E-55.3288206E-46.131735E-46.4315513E-41.04889583.0E-5
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-79.283496E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.9786355E-63.9786355E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.843888E-55.8438396E-51.20643571.0E-54.140076E-44.842902E-44.9428537E-41.02063881.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-78.747428E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.7488926E-63.7488926E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.564188E-55.5641423E-51.2190871.0E-53.8804344E-44.563317E-44.6632712E-41.02190391.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-77.711399E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3048816E-63.3048816E-61.00.03.376394E-54.023625E-55.023585E-51.24852221.0E-53.375881E-44.022956E-44.1229159E-41.02484741.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-77.588459E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.252193E-63.252193E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.959479E-54.9594393E-51.25254851.0E-53.3162883E-43.9588328E-44.0587934E-41.025251.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-76.896648E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9557032E-62.9557032E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.598515E-54.598479E-51.27788251.0E-53.0100282E-43.5979896E-43.6979537E-41.02778331.0E-5
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-76.193583E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6543903E-62.6543903E-61.00.02.718283E-53.2316777E-53.2316777E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.2312635E-43.2312635E-41.00.0
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-75.3489487E-71.00.01.934122E-62.2924048E-62.2924048E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.7909726E-52.7909726E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.7906752E-42.7906752E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0017110608154.433290.00174.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.00234737449.4358250.00236.024253E-45.779681E-40.00393602626.810110.003360.0060079480.0057659180.0105183571.82422940.00478
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0017110608154.433290.00174.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.00234737449.4358250.00236.024253E-45.779681E-40.00393602626.810110.003360.0060079480.0057659180.0105183571.82422940.00478
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0017110608154.433290.00174.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.00234737449.4358250.00236.024253E-45.779681E-40.00393602626.810110.003360.0060079480.0057659180.0105183571.82422940.00478
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0017110608154.433290.00174.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.00234737449.4358250.00236.024253E-45.779681E-40.00393602626.810110.003360.0060079480.0057659180.0105183571.82422940.00478
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0017110608154.433290.00174.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.00234737449.4358250.00236.024253E-45.779681E-40.00393602626.810110.003360.0060079480.0057659180.0105183571.82422940.00478
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0017110608154.433290.00174.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.00234737449.4358250.00236.024253E-45.779681E-40.00393602626.810110.003360.0060079480.0057659180.0105183571.82422940.00478
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0010469283150.949840.001043.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.00139968347.08980.001373.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00226114136.2492020.00190.0039510.00361268870.00622322361.72260170.00262
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0010469283150.949840.001043.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.00139968347.08980.001373.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00226114136.2492020.00190.0039510.00361268870.00622322361.72260170.00262
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-67.451755E-4143.874017.4E-42.5297022E-52.2197082E-59.5217646E-442.896479.3E-43.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.00152987665.6616570.001260.00307521320.0026990020.00434454861.60968710.00165
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-66.4424967E-4151.50286.4E-42.1479358E-51.8224424E-57.782106E-442.7015157.6E-42.614798E-42.2186051E-40.00124163435.5964630.001020.00261172350.00221646270.00357344841.61223030.00136
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-65.5371184E-4149.092295.5E-41.925334E-51.5916565E-56.559064E-441.209046.4E-42.3438422E-41.9376757E-40.0010635995.48904568.7E-40.00234137170.00193604910.00312374531.61346390.00119
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-64.2311064E-4135.963324.2E-41.6764936E-51.333685E-55.1333016E-438.4896135.0E-42.0409399E-41.6236462E-48.62251E-45.3105847.0E-40.00203906630.00162251610.00256099091.57840729.4E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-63.8260443E-4146.849233.8E-41.4657411E-51.11660565E-54.6116102E-441.300264.5E-41.7843937E-41.3593875E-47.358572E-45.4131526.0E-40.00178296150.00135860580.00214753251.58068857.9E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-62.2182798E-4121.324242.2E-41.13972155E-57.8359335E-62.778338E-435.4563752.7E-41.3875226E-49.539862E-54.2536712E-44.458843.3E-40.00138665659.536055E-40.00140317651.47144334.5E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-62.0143612E-4140.236022.0E-49.676246E-66.1560204E-62.4615455E-439.9859852.4E-41.1780193E-47.4947224E-53.7492474E-45.00251673.0E-40.0011773957.4924453E-40.00112895981.50679763.8E-4
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-71.4073527E-4191.381231.4E-46.3827797E-63.1515651E-61.6315107E-451.7682651.6E-47.770758E-53.8369635E-52.4836158E-46.4728682.1E-47.7680405E-43.8363054E-46.335346E-41.65141872.5E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-79.0465895E-5194.157419.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-69.1996706E-546.0700269.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-51.3430917E-45.52443271.1E-45.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.8305813E-41.57577321.4E-4
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-75.0155777E-5321.95435.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-75.066762E-575.889325.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-65.8128222E-57.15104965.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.5127774E-41.86111437.0E-5

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001010325225.0301579.7E-41.503772E-41.7297991E-40.00164272579.4966270.001470.00182930470.00210425330.00488838232.3230960.002790.0181431940.0208692050.0247661451.18673160.00398
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001010325225.0301579.7E-41.503772E-41.7297991E-40.00164272579.4966270.001470.00182930470.00210425330.00488838232.3230960.002790.0181431940.0208692050.0247661451.18673160.00398
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-55.81048E-427.5903955.6E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-59.601752E-410.6386238.7E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00272659652.48236420.001630.00956471450.0109396680.013273851.21336870.00236
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-55.81048E-427.5903955.6E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-59.601752E-410.6386238.7E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00272659652.48236420.001630.00956471450.0109396680.013273851.21336870.00236
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-55.5955467E-428.5994685.4E-47.337798E-58.3848776E-59.0378005E-410.778698.2E-48.930107E-40.00102048130.002548922.49776240.001530.0088943070.0101678710.0123949941.21903530.00225
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-55.1682856E-430.696055.0E-46.3191044E-57.215698E-58.221029E-411.3932547.5E-47.6907943E-48.782507E-40.00223705612.54717280.001360.0076642320.0087569940.0107890421.23204860.00205
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-54.137186E-430.1454324.0E-45.150401E-55.88167E-56.687808E-411.3705946.1E-46.268809E-47.159466E-40.00185513042.59115740.001140.00625115450.00714509380.008813091.23344640.00168
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-53.1153005E-427.0108473.0E-44.326618E-54.942891E-55.394047E-410.9127374.9E-45.266384E-46.017178E-40.00152116422.52803599.2E-40.0052539210.00600941250.00738111931.22825980.00138

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0024634173.65153840.001790.00133063760.0028881720.00512170231.77333710.002240.0160806050.0345655940.0376742931.08993630.003220.14965490.286545570.28945651.01015850.00408
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0024634173.65153840.001790.00133063760.0028881720.00512170231.77333710.002240.0160806050.0345655940.0376742931.08993630.003220.14965490.286545570.28945651.01015850.00408
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0024634173.65153840.001790.00133063760.0028881720.00512170231.77333710.002240.0160806050.0345655940.0376742931.08993630.003220.14965490.286545570.28945651.01015850.00408
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0024634173.65153840.001790.00133063760.0028881720.00512170231.77333710.002240.0160806050.0345655940.0376742931.08993630.003220.14965490.286545570.28945651.01015850.00408
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.00200113264.6342830.001578.5138786E-40.00184933260.0038057082.05788180.001960.0103164780.022289310.0251051171.12632990.002880.0985048560.196868390.199783761.01480870.00363
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.0017071335.9370.001425.5321335E-40.00123174090.00301953612.45143770.001790.0067145920.0148941550.0174160261.16931950.002560.0651529650.138007920.140774921.02004960.00321
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.0017071335.9370.001425.5321335E-40.00123174090.00301953612.45143770.001790.0067145920.0148941550.0174160261.16931950.002560.0651529650.138007920.140774921.02004960.00321
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.00158302746.50505260.001344.6278012E-40.00104252740.00273076542.61937070.001690.00561980160.01261920.0150086611.18935130.002420.0547979060.119184310.121879611.02261450.00306
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.00157821056.61640.001344.5525006E-40.00102187180.0027101452.65213780.001690.00552859250.0123705930.014750781.19240690.002410.0539305660.117133080.1198169961.02291330.00304
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.00157192226.7687180.001344.4537184E-49.949068E-40.00268322532.69696160.001690.00540892870.0120459630.0144269331.1976570.002410.052791560.1144334450.117116711.02344820.00303
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.00156562646.9297250.001344.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.00265627282.74434280.001690.0052853110.0117208380.0141025911.20320670.002410.051613610.111697450.114389011.02409680.00303
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.001558527.1226050.001344.2359953E-49.374342E-40.002625852.8011030.001690.00514513530.0113537330.0137264841.20898430.00240.050276290.108576070.111268171.02479460.00302
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.00153216257.21211240.001324.1312634E-49.101525E-40.00257863242.83318730.001670.0050182190.0110249870.0133787481.21349320.002380.0490640070.10576970.1084523951.02536360.003
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.00150447157.72607230.001313.907156E-48.342756E-40.00249289072.98809030.001660.0047465910.0101101120.0124462531.23106970.002360.0464647860.097961760.100649831.02744010.00298
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.00149696747.9960820.001313.8083247E-48.020931E-40.00244077763.04301050.001640.00462678170.0097218550.0120391051.23835480.002340.0453162860.0945938450.097273851.02833160.00296
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.00149029168.2551820.001313.7173493E-47.734621E-40.00241219373.11869670.001640.0045164840.0093763270.0116943861.24722470.002340.044257870.091556060.0942450541.029370.00296
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.00148417548.5099920.001313.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.00238600563.19312950.001640.00440117530.0090596640.0113685551.2548540.002330.043150240.088714470.091393661.03020.00294
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.00147940298.7216030.001313.539135E-47.267622E-40.00235557773.24119420.001630.0043003860.00881250.0111120561.26094230.002320.0421811340.0864654260.0891420841.03095640.00293
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-40.00125267888.1956430.00113.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.00202399663.09057240.001370.00387722230.0079442310.009878741.24351110.001950.038102690.0782938750.080561271.02896010.00246
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-48.599942E-48.5939067.6E-42.2535135E-44.2880196E-40.00133841173.12128199.1E-40.00274020060.0052081780.00645166781.23875710.001250.0270665740.0522015880.0537085871.02886880.00159
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-53.140615E-45.8078272.6E-41.4484383E-42.3173184E-45.4166E-42.3374433.1E-40.00176204710.00281768660.0032464751.15217754.3E-40.0174814090.0288359170.0293700561.01852355.5E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-54.9307564E-52.55371863.0E-58.000444E-58.274657E-51.12744085E-41.36252283.0E-59.736188E-40.00100697450.00105692411.04960375.0E-50.0096936420.0107986240.01084808351.00458035.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-65.4596358E-61.00.03.660622E-52.339823E-52.339823E-51.00.04.455896E-42.848363E-42.848363E-41.00.00.00444697170.0032402830.0032402831.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00199367210.275540.00184.2326056E-48.312543E-40.0030394173.65642290.002210.00514102770.0100736840.0131226571.30266710.003080.050237080.098322450.1018391.03576540.0039
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00199367210.275540.00184.2326056E-48.312543E-40.0030394173.65642290.002210.00514102770.0100736840.0131226571.30266710.003080.050237080.098322450.1018391.03576540.0039
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00199367210.275540.00184.2326056E-48.312543E-40.0030394173.65642290.002210.00514102770.0100736840.0131226571.30266710.003080.050237080.098322450.1018391.03576540.0039
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00199367210.275540.00184.2326056E-48.312543E-40.0030394173.65642290.002210.00514102770.0100736840.0131226571.30266710.003080.050237080.098322450.1018391.03576540.0039
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00199367210.275540.00184.2326056E-48.312543E-40.0030394173.65642290.002210.00514102770.0100736840.0131226571.30266710.003080.050237080.098322450.1018391.03576540.0039
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.0019934110.28810.00184.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00303829623.6600210.002210.00513261320.01006013250.0130992481.30209490.003070.0501567460.098200350.1017083451.03572290.00389
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.0019934110.28810.00184.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00303829623.6600210.002210.00513261320.01006013250.0130992481.30209490.003070.0501567460.098200350.1017083451.03572290.00389
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.001993309710.292920.00184.223004E-48.2970044E-40.0030378673.6614020.002210.00512939270.0100549410.0130940721.30225250.003070.0501259980.098153560.101661741.03574180.00389
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.001993161610.3000480.00184.219245E-48.290649E-40.00303723273.66344380.002210.00512483760.0100472760.013086431.30248550.003070.050082510.098083780.1015922351.03576990.00389
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.001992842210.3154520.00184.2103877E-48.276947E-40.00303586553.66785670.002210.00511410460.0100307460.0130699521.3029890.003070.0499800220.0979329650.1014421.03583110.00389
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.001992157210.3486710.00184.1913814E-48.247551E-40.00303293233.67737340.002210.0050910730.0099952850.01303461.30407480.003070.049760070.097609120.101119421.03596280.00389
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.00199117610.396660.00184.1616702E-48.205452E-40.00302873183.6911210.002210.0050550680.00994449950.0129839691.30564340.003070.049416130.097145710.100657811.0361530.00389
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.00199048510.4307490.00184.1409794E-48.175807E-40.0030257743.70088720.002210.00502999360.0099087350.0129483161.30675770.003070.0491765370.096818830.10033221.03628810.00389
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.00199001110.4542820.00184.125529E-48.1554666E-40.00302374433.7076290.002210.00501126940.0098841950.0129238521.30752680.003070.048997590.096592280.100106531.03638230.00389
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.0019894110.4842890.00184.1107697E-48.129676E-40.00302117093.71622560.002210.00499338240.0098530810.0128928311.30850770.003070.048826610.096309860.099825221.03650050.00389
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.001988871710.5113250.00184.0972308E-48.106579E-40.00301886633.72397070.002210.00497697430.0098252150.0128650511.30939140.003070.0486697440.0960562450.0995725841.03660710.00389
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.001985400410.6894330.00184.0357444E-47.95764E-40.00300400543.77499560.002210.0049024540.0096454990.012666081.31315970.003050.0479570250.0944374650.0979329351.03701360.00386
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.001809960511.296380.001653.51473E-46.8649714E-40.00269511743.92589740.002010.004270790.0083261280.0111127321.33468170.002810.041896390.0822379140.085495971.03961740.00355
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-40.0012450168.5759250.00113.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.00199118123.20108460.001370.0037946430.00754699860.0094723581.25511590.001940.0373049750.074727660.076994581.03033570.00245
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-48.603863E-48.5642427.6E-42.3087008E-44.3048308E-40.00134009133.11299429.1E-40.00280722020.00522854740.0064720121.23782220.001250.027720220.0524258840.0539325251.02873850.00159
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-53.1424742E-45.7913482.6E-41.4864317E-42.3252872E-45.4245663E-42.33285863.1E-40.00180822830.00282736360.0032561481.15165524.3E-40.0179358530.0289484620.029482541.01844935.5E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-54.940072E-52.5462583.0E-58.207899E-58.3145795E-51.13143295E-41.3607823.0E-59.988535E-40.00101183050.00106177991.04936545.0E-50.0099437570.010855950.0109054081.00455585.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-59.055958E-435.3495458.8E-48.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001539631314.02364350.001430.00107870290.00133586920.00386248952.8913680.002530.0107348170.0132799850.0170492551.2838310.00382
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-59.055958E-435.3495458.8E-48.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001539631314.02364350.001430.00107870290.00133586920.00386248952.8913680.002530.0107348170.0132799850.0170492551.2838310.00382
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-59.055958E-435.3495458.8E-48.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001539631314.02364350.001430.00107870290.00133586920.00386248952.8913680.002530.0107348170.0132799850.0170492551.2838310.00382
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-58.250983E-432.8483668.0E-48.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.00141750513.1682170.001310.00105556260.0013098180.00367671372.80704160.002370.0105056280.0130225430.0165855331.27360170.00361
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-58.250983E-432.8483668.0E-48.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.00141750513.1682170.001310.00105556260.0013098180.00367671372.80704160.002370.0105056280.0130225430.0165855331.27360170.00361
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-58.047883E-432.441137.8E-48.55519E-51.0631427E-40.001386178213.0384960.001280.00104109680.00129362440.0036106232.7910910.002320.0103623270.012862490.0163273421.26937650.00351
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-57.3329493E-431.456417.1E-48.115732E-59.990252E-50.001259786712.6101580.001169.876423E-40.00121564910.0033330722.74180440.002120.0098326450.01209150350.0152330531.25981460.00318
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-57.128963E-431.1144056.9E-47.980225E-59.8191085E-50.001218081112.40521050.001129.711593E-40.00119483540.0032623622.73038630.002070.0096692610.0118856250.0149388981.25688790.00309
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-56.5179233E-429.890396.3E-47.641356E-59.3451374E-50.001123355112.0207440.001039.29938E-40.00113719070.00302504142.66010050.001890.0092605610.011316090.01416351.25162480.00288
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-54.7529698E-431.0569824.6E-45.6292425E-56.558709E-57.9553924E-412.129517.3E-46.8514474E-47.982367E-40.0020971992.62728950.00130.0068303620.0079551580.0099094861.2456680.00197
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-53.5314978E-426.8468443.4E-44.9316975E-55.637412E-56.163425E-410.9330775.6E-46.002687E-46.861445E-40.00169545162.4709830.001010.00598649870.00684149240.0083014351.21339540.00147
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-51.4086388E-412.964581.3E-44.1638916E-54.6564706E-52.8655352E-46.1538782.4E-45.068359E-45.667821E-40.00102652131.81113934.6E-40.00505681480.0056538340.00635981931.12486857.1E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-51.10285284E-410.7215561.0E-43.9570554E-54.408348E-52.5407423E-45.7634792.1E-44.81665E-45.365884E-49.163845E-41.70779783.8E-40.00480622330.00535335950.00593025471.10776325.8E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-67.9807476E-58.1368427.0E-53.7731446E-54.2034335E-52.0202762E-44.8062521.6E-44.592835E-45.1165203E-48.2149345E-41.60557063.1E-40.00458335460.0051051670.00556281861.08964484.6E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-66.970659E-57.1809356.0E-53.7322676E-54.160154E-51.915953E-44.6054861.5E-44.5430884E-45.0638523E-48.062333E-41.59213443.0E-40.0045338120.00505273980.00549051631.08664144.4E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-66.960424E-57.2468056.0E-53.6910955E-54.1162875E-51.9115671E-44.64391041.5E-44.492982E-45.01047E-47.9090166E-41.5784982.9E-40.0044839090.00499959850.0054075491.08159664.1E-4
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-66.928336E-57.462736.0E-53.5652476E-53.978763E-51.8978165E-44.7698661.5E-44.3398244E-44.8431093E-47.641753E-41.5778612.8E-40.00433135870.00483297840.00522109351.08030563.9E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-65.834475E-56.991445.0E-53.2021748E-53.5764548E-51.6575989E-44.63475471.3E-43.8979502E-44.353504E-46.8524154E-41.57400012.5E-40.003891120.00434538070.0046839031.0779043.4E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-55.501867E-453.9808655.4E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-59.136424E-420.9165218.7E-45.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00242068484.5528150.001890.00515936830.0053052040.0084086521.58498180.00312
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-55.501867E-453.9808655.4E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-59.136424E-420.9165218.7E-45.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00242068484.5528150.001890.00515936830.0053052040.0084086521.58498180.00312
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-62.2469528E-447.845042.2E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-53.8011966E-418.8861433.6E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00103482524.2234527.9E-40.00237633290.00244761280.00384418621.57058580.0014
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-62.2469528E-447.845042.2E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-53.8011966E-418.8861433.6E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00103482524.2234527.9E-40.00237633290.00244761280.00384418621.57058580.0014
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-61.9350923E-455.132451.9E-41.4582367E-51.5042335E-53.1503782E-420.9434133.0E-41.7752586E-41.8312587E-48.43005E-44.60341846.6E-40.0017738410.00182983270.00297772841.62732280.00115
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-61.6292739E-455.6473351.6E-41.2151207E-51.2547898E-52.5254488E-420.1264692.4E-41.479309E-41.5276071E-47.1267516E-44.6653045.6E-40.00147832460.00152663080.0025350891.66057750.00101
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-61.3232876E-456.8161961.3E-49.649328E-69.981683E-61.8997988E-419.032851.8E-41.1747423E-41.2152085E-45.414698E-44.4557774.2E-40.00117412140.00121460580.00195370681.60851127.4E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-61.219589E-462.2512551.2E-48.105055E-68.39629E-61.5839504E-418.8648851.5E-49.867457E-51.0222061E-44.5218485E-44.4236173.5E-49.863076E-40.00102179350.00164115991.60615626.2E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-68.154371E-552.819088.0E-56.374905E-66.6164025E-61.1661567E-417.6252381.1E-47.76117E-58.055224E-53.605297E-44.4757252.8E-47.75846E-48.0528157E-40.00127490311.58317694.7E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-73.071397E-543.01723.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-63.3059874E-510.8039963.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-51.4725068E-43.95253091.1E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-45.524496E-41.48301981.8E-4

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-58.9392613E-420.3333768.5E-41.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00144816497.6865560.001260.00195197760.00229155710.00455635551.98832270.002270.0193492060.0226972810.0259419271.1429530.00332
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-58.9392613E-420.3333768.5E-41.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00144816497.6865560.001260.00195197760.00229155710.00455635551.98832270.002270.0193492060.0226972810.0259419271.1429530.00332
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-58.9392613E-420.3333768.5E-41.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00144816497.6865560.001260.00195197760.00229155710.00455635551.98832270.002270.0193492060.0226972810.0259419271.1429530.00332
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-53.95345E-415.5927673.7E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-46.186018E-45.6931495.1E-40.00109933040.00132211890.0022708631.71759369.5E-40.0109390790.0131447470.0144671331.10060190.00134
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-53.95345E-415.5927673.7E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-46.186018E-45.6931495.1E-40.00109933040.00132211890.0022708631.71759369.5E-40.0109390790.0131447470.0144671331.10060190.00134
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-52.3065894E-411.1627442.1E-47.455765E-58.8554E-54.0852567E-44.61329463.2E-49.073613E-40.00107762350.00175689071.63033826.8E-40.0090366540.0107252730.011724441.09316020.00101
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-51.976769E-411.1807661.8E-46.51628E-57.576964E-53.6574766E-44.82710082.9E-47.9306826E-49.221128E-40.0015015781.62841035.8E-40.0079024390.0091837290.0100556471.09494168.8E-4
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-51.8526179E-412.1368691.7E-45.7106878E-56.541716E-53.4539885E-45.27994252.8E-46.950544E-47.9616875E-40.00135572291.70280855.6E-40.0069288450.00793379450.0087572091.10378588.3E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-51.7302929E-413.2779091.6E-44.9393333E-55.5847537E-52.9583412E-45.29717452.4E-46.011979E-46.7973585E-40.00114941641.69097514.7E-40.005995740.00677701920.0074623431.10112466.9E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-51.4151334E-412.2896551.3E-44.3944583E-54.934838E-52.493385E-45.0526182.0E-45.3489394E-46.006545E-49.804262E-41.63226323.8E-40.00533608250.00599068960.0065473351.09291845.6E-4
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-61.08990534E-412.1216011.0E-43.4733377E-53.853415E-51.7852875E-44.63300131.4E-44.2279682E-44.6905465E-46.9894677E-41.4901182.3E-40.00421993340.00468089430.005009351.07016933.3E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-61.07515225E-414.3048851.0E-42.91366E-53.2210955E-51.522071E-44.72532031.2E-43.5468035E-43.9209996E-45.8202544E-41.48438041.9E-40.0035411480.0039142980.0041832411.0687082.7E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-66.6279754E-510.553886.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914584E-59.69127E-53.60075047.0E-52.9681803E-43.276378E-44.6759192E-41.42716111.4E-40.0029642190.0032717460.00347109161.06092942.0E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-66.470679E-513.7467116.0E-51.8228506E-52.017303E-58.017182E-53.97420796.0E-52.2190946E-42.455808E-43.5555378E-41.44780781.1E-40.002216880.00245327530.00261288281.0650591.6E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-63.2851975E-511.5186843.0E-51.0906291E-51.2223064E-54.22227E-53.45434643.0E-51.3277601E-41.4880729E-42.1879688E-41.4703377.0E-50.0013269670.00148723870.001587091.06713871.0E-4
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-84.562909E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-71.9555324E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-62.3808586E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-52.3808387E-51.00.0

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-68.638912E-4221.8218.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001246670374.692010.001232.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002242781511.0375250.002040.00200672080.00203053190.00521405462.5678270.00319
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-68.638912E-4221.8218.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001246670374.692010.001232.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002242781511.0375250.002040.00200672080.00203053190.00521405462.5678270.00319
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-68.638912E-4221.8218.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001246670374.692010.001232.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002242781511.0375250.002040.00200672080.00203053190.00521405462.5678270.00319
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-68.638912E-4221.8218.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001246670374.692010.001232.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002242781511.0375250.002040.00200672080.00203053190.00521405462.5678270.00319
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-68.638912E-4221.8218.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001246670374.692010.001232.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002242781511.0375250.002040.00200672080.00203053190.00521405462.5678270.00319
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.1120292E-492.433961.1E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-61.651551E-432.0320661.6E-46.236998E-56.277176E-53.9275104E-46.2568113.3E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.0011372321.81217165.1E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.1120292E-492.433961.1E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-61.651551E-432.0320661.6E-46.236998E-56.277176E-53.9275104E-46.2568113.3E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.0011372321.81217165.1E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-78.0841E-596.117138.0E-53.5896885E-63.6045708E-61.336041E-437.065191.3E-44.370358E-54.3884826E-52.538756E-45.78504322.1E-44.3694986E-44.3876728E-47.686225E-41.7517773.3E-4
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-76.0639177E-594.864896.0E-52.7344586E-62.7394954E-61.0273922E-437.502971.0E-43.3291526E-53.3352884E-51.7334822E-45.19739771.4E-43.3286537E-43.334826E-45.434126E-41.6295082.1E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-76.05345E-5113.247276.0E-52.2911431E-62.2908578E-61.0229063E-444.6516721.0E-42.789431E-52.7890868E-51.6788696E-46.0194241.4E-42.789081E-42.78877E-44.7882122E-41.7169622.0E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-72.0353236E-557.6182562.0E-51.5247632E-61.513897E-63.1513853E-520.8163783.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431549E-57.843044E-54.2552286.0E-51.8562283E-41.8430105E-42.9428076E-41.59673951.1E-4
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-72.0300016E-567.661592.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858112E-63.1285774E-524.3315453.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654647E-57.5653705E-54.8326686.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653619E-42.465221E-41.57485699.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-71.0202175E-550.4615171.0E-58.917818E-78.6647407E-71.0866465E-512.5410171.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549275E-55.0548853E-54.791694.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548821E-41.7548082E-41.66351137.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-71.0636902E-71.00.04.7837443E-74.5586717E-74.5586717E-71.00.05.8241935E-65.5501705E-63.5550005E-56.4052093.0E-55.8240406E-55.550052E-51.1549719E-42.08101086.0E-5

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-55.020865E-422.721854.8E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-58.446281E-48.9190737.5E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00246097682.13536260.001310.010186330.0114784080.01362351.18688060.00217
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-55.020865E-422.721854.8E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-58.446281E-48.9190737.5E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00246097682.13536260.001310.010186330.0114784080.01362351.18688060.00217
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-52.812526E-424.9877052.7E-44.2844134E-54.8237856E-54.9821613E-410.3283224.5E-45.2150246E-45.871897E-40.00138671992.36162198.0E-40.00520280330.0058614870.00714392541.21879070.00129
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-52.8079544E-426.003562.7E-44.10969E-54.62781E-54.6625867E-410.0751484.2E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00131291952.33059027.5E-40.00499115330.00562422960.00685725551.21923460.00124
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-52.8079544E-426.003562.7E-44.10969E-54.62781E-54.6625867E-410.0751484.2E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00131291952.33059027.5E-40.00499115330.00562422960.00685725551.21923460.00124
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-62.0628434E-432.8185542.0E-42.3818526E-52.6938165E-53.4692953E-412.87873653.2E-42.8995197E-43.279497E-48.677726E-42.6460545.4E-40.00289573940.00327729340.0040746721.24330398.0E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-61.5551246E-428.2068371.5E-42.0889667E-52.3628318E-52.8362218E-412.0034862.6E-42.54302E-42.87663E-47.3753356E-42.56388044.5E-40.0025401120.00287547520.00356349121.23927036.9E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-69.4515504E-520.9294479.0E-51.7104636E-51.9353902E-52.0935023E-410.8169521.9E-42.0822904E-42.3563375E-45.5555836E-42.35771973.2E-40.00208034040.00235633740.00288508861.22439545.3E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00124578453.94137799.3E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.0025123541.85560860.001160.00742070840.0163609390.0179544351.09739640.001620.071777480.150211630.151979181.01176710.00208
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00124578453.94137799.3E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.0025123541.85560860.001160.00742070840.0163609390.0179544351.09739640.001620.071777480.150211630.151979181.01176710.00208
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00124578453.94137799.3E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.0025123541.85560860.001160.00742070840.0163609390.0179544351.09739640.001620.071777480.150211630.151979181.01176710.00208
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00121484913.9814589.1E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.0024455461.87106240.001140.00713934420.0157984550.0173731781.09967580.00160.069142910.14551350.147273751.01209680.00206
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00121484913.9814589.1E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.0024455461.87106240.001140.00713934420.0157984550.0173731781.09967580.00160.069142910.14551350.147273751.01209680.00206
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-40.0011790144.0758058.9E-45.545738E-40.00123915090.0023577631.90272470.001120.00673105240.0149835480.0165398741.1038690.001580.065307880.138650880.140416641.01273540.00205
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-40.00114343354.5077548.9E-44.767372E-40.00108666050.00219545422.0203680.001110.0057888390.01315046850.0146998221.11781740.001570.0564034540.123004960.124785261.01447340.00203
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-40.00111480264.74365148.8E-44.3796748E-40.00100679570.00210568822.09147520.00110.00531922470.0121892670.0137302521.12642150.001560.0519369060.1147927640.116572031.01549980.00201
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-40.00109007634.9488658.7E-44.1181705E-49.436647E-40.00203263622.15398120.001090.00500235150.0114288590.0129512591.13320660.001540.0489123460.108204690.109970441.01631870.00198
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-40.00108463655.04896838.7E-44.0227012E-49.203475E-40.00200934432.18324520.001090.00488664540.0111479070.012670741.13660250.001540.047805770.1057982740.1075598451.01665030.00197
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-40.0010779125.17995178.7E-43.900265E-48.915232E-40.00198055152.22153660.001090.00473823770.01080049950.0123139751.14013020.001530.0463847440.102768150.104526731.0171120.00196
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-40.00106966465.35264738.7E-43.758525E-48.5616973E-40.00194523652.2720220.001090.00456640640.0103742430.0118784751.14499680.001520.0447370560.099076440.1008332451.01773180.00195
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-40.00103373815.6213678.5E-43.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.00185703812.3570030.001070.00420889440.0095503680.0110360431.1555620.00150.0413006580.091805180.0935581.01909280.00193
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-40.00102318285.9030888.5E-43.328214E-47.426318E-40.00181183722.43975160.001070.00404457330.0090041380.0104906321.16509010.00150.039717480.087067610.088829581.02023670.00193
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-40.00101539056.1341348.5E-43.2225347E-47.092266E-40.00175848182.4794360.001050.00391637950.0086007140.0100679841.17059870.001480.0384807440.083521570.085272041.02095830.00191
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-40.00100827296.36505758.5E-43.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.00172800012.54599620.001050.0037887750.0082320760.0096998921.17830460.001480.037248270.080236540.081993291.02189460.00191
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-40.00100397486.5148398.5E-43.0504653E-46.602866E-40.00170959322.58916850.001050.00370761780.00800940950.0094676351.18206420.001470.0364636670.078226610.0799687651.02227060.00189
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-49.930725E-46.9351448.5E-42.8753807E-46.135452E-40.00165290712.69402670.001040.0034951570.00744436630.0088934971.19466150.001460.0344069380.073055580.0747982341.02385380.00188
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-49.719234E-47.3611438.4E-42.7000686E-45.657386E-40.00159515592.81959870.001030.00328237870.0068661430.0082962561.20828470.001440.0323431750.067713850.0694292561.02533320.00184
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-58.571672E-48.8148677.6E-42.1354125E-44.1668097E-40.00132630173.1830159.1E-40.00259676480.00506130050.00630497371.2457220.001250.0256662960.0506505070.0521599721.02980160.00159
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-53.1329237E-45.87721822.6E-41.380421E-42.2843528E-45.3836446E-42.35674833.1E-40.00167936690.00277765420.00320645981.15437694.3E-40.0166673230.0283625680.0288969691.01884175.5E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-54.8822836E-52.59373073.0E-57.471398E-58.066923E-51.1066681E-41.3718593.0E-59.0926304E-49.81706E-40.00103165691.05088175.0E-50.0090555170.0104839790.0105334561.00471915.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-65.1540533E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2088612E-52.2088612E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6889573E-42.6889573E-41.00.00.0040781030.00304136680.00304136681.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.866869E-429.1520614.7E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.814964E-410.92281157.1E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00206971752.37690260.00120.00771929140.0086758840.010589141.22052570.00193
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.866869E-429.1520614.7E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.814964E-410.92281157.1E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00206971752.37690260.00120.00771929140.0086758840.010589141.22052570.00193
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.866869E-429.1520614.7E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.814964E-410.92281157.1E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00206971752.37690260.00120.00771929140.0086758840.010589141.22052570.00193
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-52.1188632E-417.82252.0E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.709343E-47.28027343.2E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.0011598181.87021295.4E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00706932741.14301058.9E-4
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-52.1188632E-417.82252.0E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.709343E-47.28027343.2E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.0011598181.87021295.4E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00706932741.14301058.9E-4
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-51.7061834E-416.06571.6E-43.964341E-54.551368E-52.755032E-46.0531962.3E-44.8255164E-45.5399304E-49.43777E-41.70358993.9E-40.00481505130.00552661950.0061829721.1187626.6E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-61.0915869E-411.9174041.0E-43.3875025E-53.925487E-51.6924976E-44.3115611.3E-44.1235037E-44.7782718E-47.0771726E-41.48111562.3E-40.00411586040.0047683950.00516648731.08348574.0E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-68.8406654E-510.515438.0E-53.088333E-53.603092E-51.4602696E-44.05282351.1E-43.7593965E-44.3859181E-46.1851286E-41.41022431.8E-40.0037530430.0043776310.0046862741.07050453.1E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-66.784177E-58.6508136.0E-52.8691995E-53.3609194E-51.2360617E-43.67774879.0E-53.4926904E-44.091187E-45.490614E-41.3420591.4E-40.0034872060.00408401250.0043031141.05364862.2E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-66.713027E-59.4142666.0E-52.5894467E-53.0559786E-51.1055735E-43.61773928.0E-53.1521954E-43.7200528E-44.919607E-41.3224561.2E-40.00314772780.00371416380.0039134211.05364792.0E-4
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-63.508023E-56.9050373.0E-51.7717413E-52.1772896E-56.177202E-52.83710674.0E-52.1568815E-42.650543E-43.250384E-41.22630876.0E-50.00215478920.00264753470.0027273231.03013688.0E-5
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-63.4631797E-57.4767433.0E-51.6146281E-51.9851012E-55.985022E-53.01497054.0E-51.9656324E-42.4166079E-43.016463E-41.24822196.0E-50.00196389460.00241413060.00249393751.03305828.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-63.4156656E-58.2170923.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814667E-55.7813955E-53.24530084.0E-51.777326E-42.168735E-42.7686046E-41.2765996.0E-50.00177590530.00216676670.00224659341.03684148.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-63.3629258E-59.2658743.0E-51.2829195E-51.5554348E-55.5553726E-53.57158854.0E-51.5618425E-41.8935918E-42.4934782E-41.31679816.0E-50.00156074530.00189212370.00197197241.04220068.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-62.288896E-57.9227462.0E-51.0307015E-51.2381457E-54.2381085E-53.42294813.0E-51.2548068E-41.5073526E-41.9072923E-41.26532594.0E-50.00125409850.00150647150.00154641131.02651214.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-61.1513471E-57.60725361.0E-55.44717E-66.4863593E-62.648623E-54.0833742.0E-56.631728E-57.896981E-59.896823E-51.25324132.0E-56.6297496E-47.895401E-48.095243E-41.02531122.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-52.9877157E-415.9117142.8E-47.182667E-58.0470316E-55.104357E-46.34315544.3E-48.7413884E-49.794032E-40.00187852181.9180279.0E-40.0087070830.0097624130.0111685511.14403580.00142
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-51.5097205E-413.7577671.4E-44.222546E-54.702921E-52.770184E-45.89034752.3E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00110219781.92523235.3E-40.0051278660.0057172210.0065424761.14434548.3E-4
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-51.5097205E-413.7577671.4E-44.222546E-54.702921E-52.770184E-45.89034752.3E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00110219781.92523235.3E-40.0051278660.0057172210.0065424761.14434548.3E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.4777837E-59.37161354.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-59.04758E-54.418367.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.3925748E-41.76192921.9E-40.00224990030.002492510.00282168741.13206663.3E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.4777837E-59.37161354.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-59.04758E-54.418367.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.3925748E-41.76192921.9E-40.00224990030.002492510.00282168741.13206663.3E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.4777837E-59.37161354.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-59.04758E-54.418367.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.3925748E-41.76192921.9E-40.00224990030.002492510.00282168741.13206663.3E-4
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-64.4760705E-59.4017384.0E-51.8434059E-52.0403815E-59.0402384E-54.4306617.0E-52.2441156E-42.4841115E-44.3836396E-41.7646711.9E-40.00224185060.0024835930.00281277351.1325423.3E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-63.427093E-58.0239883.0E-51.6542634E-51.8304541E-57.830344E-54.2778156.0E-52.0138794E-42.228578E-44.0281768E-41.80750991.8E-40.00201205540.0022285780.0025378871.13879223.1E-4

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-53.0866486E-416.5324272.9E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.099786E-46.3736954.3E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.0017429811.7900037.7E-40.008679770.0096954960.010844251.11848320.00116
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-53.0866486E-416.5324272.9E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.099786E-46.3736954.3E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.0017429811.7900037.7E-40.008679770.0096954960.010844251.11848320.00116
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-53.0866486E-416.5324272.9E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.099786E-46.3736954.3E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.0017429811.7900037.7E-40.008679770.0096954960.010844251.11848320.00116
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-53.0866486E-416.5324272.9E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.099786E-46.3736954.3E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.0017429811.7900037.7E-40.008679770.0096954960.010844251.11848320.00116
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-52.5733406E-414.8420172.4E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.4427704E-45.9791373.7E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00156369171.72919566.6E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0099779461.1078279.8E-4
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-52.5733406E-414.8420172.4E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.4427704E-45.9791373.7E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00156369171.72919566.6E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0099779461.1078279.8E-4
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-52.3680544E-414.08789352.2E-46.4463384E-57.203723E-54.1201274E-45.71944143.4E-47.8455906E-48.767063E-40.00147618031.68377976.0E-40.007817950.0087331320.0096252731.10215589.0E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-51.9635307E-412.0049451.8E-46.271985E-57.009536E-53.6007504E-45.1369312.9E-47.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.00138263061.62074635.3E-40.0076072990.0084987150.0092919171.09333188.0E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-51.3588014E-48.5555811.2E-46.089497E-56.8064175E-52.9804852E-44.3789342.3E-47.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.00125801561.51866054.3E-40.0073867710.0082534560.0089377611.08291146.9E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-51.15403054E-47.49147031.0E-45.9056227E-56.6018045E-52.7600417E-44.18073842.1E-47.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.00121314931.50987114.1E-40.00716451930.0080063320.0086213691.07681876.2E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-51.1518664E-47.5839781.0E-45.8220405E-56.50905E-52.7507683E-44.2260672.1E-47.086029E-47.9219416E-40.00120186931.51713994.1E-40.0070634760.0078942930.0085093991.07791776.2E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-51.1497984E-47.67487051.0E-45.742131E-56.420419E-52.6419136E-44.11486152.0E-46.9888023E-47.8141113E-40.00117110641.4987073.9E-40.00696686380.0077872240.008372631.07517525.9E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-51.0467824E-47.13088379.0E-55.6254412E-56.291092E-52.5289896E-44.01995371.9E-46.846822E-47.6567667E-40.00113539341.48286273.7E-40.0068257650.007630970.0081866971.07282525.6E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-59.445263E-56.5348018.0E-55.5380664E-56.194336E-52.4193221E-43.90570021.8E-46.74051E-47.53905E-40.00110364111.46389953.5E-40.0067201010.0075140550.0080400721.07000455.3E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-58.428277E-55.90059667.0E-55.4722615E-56.1214756E-52.3120435E-43.77693821.7E-46.660441E-47.4504025E-40.0010847871.45601123.4E-40.00664051440.00742600350.0079322161.06816765.1E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-58.401104E-55.99564277.0E-55.366431E-56.005014E-52.3003994E-43.83079741.7E-46.531671E-47.3087064E-40.00106062951.45118633.3E-40.0065125060.00728524570.0077617491.06540664.8E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-58.264726E-56.53433667.0E-54.8432343E-55.4205255E-52.1419658E-43.95158341.6E-45.895042E-46.5975444E-49.495631E-41.43926752.9E-40.00587942820.006578510.00700568171.06493444.3E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-57.028274E-56.834616.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.8406464E-44.1765651.4E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-47.962957E-41.48442112.6E-40.0047832910.0053519140.00570004061.06504713.5E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-48.098989E-42.69919595.1E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.0018845581.46620646.0E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0163980331.05510898.7E-40.062343370.142946990.143915461.0067750.00113
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-48.098989E-42.69919595.1E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.0018845581.46620646.0E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0163980331.05510898.7E-40.062343370.142946990.143915461.0067750.00113
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-48.098989E-42.69919595.1E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.0018845581.46620646.0E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0163980331.05510898.7E-40.062343370.142946990.143915461.0067750.00113
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-47.877907E-42.7360055.0E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.001822721.4777445.9E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0157658361.0567868.6E-40.0592863220.137657790.138623611.00701610.00112
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-47.877907E-42.7360055.0E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.001822721.4777445.9E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0157658361.0567868.6E-40.0592863220.137657790.138623611.00701610.00112
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-47.679301E-42.8647255.0E-44.5802278E-40.00114836530.00173768791.51318385.9E-40.00556217830.0138963350.0147345231.06031728.5E-40.054250030.12889890.129865831.00750140.00111
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-47.203952E-42.87568074.7E-44.1842813E-40.00107320860.00162261841.51193195.5E-40.0050824690.0129923990.0137918751.06153428.1E-40.0496778860.1210777460.122000611.00762210.00105
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-46.811177E-42.94573354.5E-43.7524657E-49.905964E-40.00152007131.53450135.3E-40.004559060.0119979020.0127784241.06505497.9E-40.044666560.1123730240.113287281.00813590.00103
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-46.767185E-42.98349714.5E-43.6693315E-49.7174826E-40.00150123321.54487875.3E-40.0044582630.0117709210.0125516221.06632467.9E-40.0436987580.110378630.111294941.00830150.00103
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-45.7060056E-43.34332014.0E-42.6243398E-47.312337E-40.00121088271.65594484.8E-40.00319045270.0088666360.0096000751.0827197.4E-40.0314503460.084202620.0850817861.01044119.6E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-45.6489336E-43.42443974.0E-42.5111332E-47.067779E-40.00118643871.67865844.8E-40.00305301860.0085712650.0092850941.08328167.2E-40.030114140.081515620.082378991.01059159.4E-4
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-45.5908086E-43.51303894.0E-42.4056983E-46.818704E-40.00116154311.7034664.8E-40.00292500390.0082703530.0089843981.08633797.2E-40.0288680210.078812680.07967861.0109879.4E-4
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-45.4515124E-43.7542444.0E-42.1389198E-46.221777E-40.0011018791.77100384.8E-40.0026010250.00754880630.0082534471.09334467.1E-40.0257079120.072261910.07312471.01193999.3E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-45.3709646E-43.9160874.0E-42.0317009E-45.8765925E-40.00106737721.81631984.8E-40.00247078970.00713136560.0078363021.09885017.1E-40.0244349820.0685419440.06940821.01263839.3E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-45.3117785E-44.04767564.0E-41.952286E-45.6229485E-40.00103203061.83539044.7E-40.0023743170.00682452930.00751975231.10187117.0E-40.0234910860.065791430.06665091.01306359.2E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-45.135352E-44.1553733.9E-41.8463485E-45.2953605E-49.892924E-41.8682254.6E-40.00224561150.00642811460.00711367931.1066516.9E-40.0222305450.0621902830.063043691.01372259.1E-4
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-54.883264E-44.9644443.9E-41.4607502E-44.214953E-48.813014E-42.09089264.6E-40.00177701250.0051196560.00580612341.13408476.9E-40.0176286960.050022440.050877421.01709199.0E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-54.6246438E-45.60591943.8E-41.2134742E-43.5350522E-48.0334616E-42.27251554.5E-40.00147640340.0042954420.00497252081.15762736.8E-40.014666330.0422724150.0431247951.02016398.9E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-54.5461062E-46.09079363.8E-41.1237934E-43.1984213E-47.6969824E-42.40649414.5E-40.00136735970.0038871310.0045644881.17425626.8E-40.0135897680.0384374750.0392836481.02201448.8E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-54.1786398E-47.21888883.6E-49.200973E-52.4805416E-46.779475E-42.73306234.3E-40.00111964280.003015880.003643981.20826426.3E-40.0111401840.0301532650.0309388411.02605278.1E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-51.8131697E-45.78886751.5E-45.322855E-51.342288E-43.0420598E-42.26632431.7E-46.478649E-40.00163301160.00187261961.14672772.4E-40.00645979350.016523690.0168384031.01904623.2E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-67.822525E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.3524673E-53.3524673E-51.00.02.566744E-44.080866E-44.080866E-41.00.00.0025637810.0043845570.0043845571.00.0
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-62.9065757E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.2456694E-51.2456694E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5164974E-41.5164974E-41.00.00.00133669340.0017049410.0017049411.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-73.2080476E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-61.3748769E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.673901E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986671E-41.986671E-41.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.7809903E-415.3614222.6E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-54.375573E-45.6396993.6E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00170349391.80414457.6E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0105036781.11692350.00111
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.7809903E-415.3614222.6E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-54.375573E-45.6396993.6E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00170349391.80414457.6E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0105036781.11692350.00111
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.7809903E-415.3614222.6E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-54.375573E-45.6396993.6E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00170349391.80414457.6E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0105036781.11692350.00111
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-51.8113352E-416.2664241.7E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-52.7771143E-45.81931072.3E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.00108057761.86028085.0E-40.00555155570.00579379360.00654939051.13041487.6E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-51.8113352E-416.2664241.7E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-52.7771143E-45.81931072.3E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.00108057761.86028085.0E-40.00555155570.00579379360.00654939051.13041487.6E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-61.4916892E-416.2667081.4E-43.767105E-53.930026E-52.292928E-45.83438351.9E-44.585485E-44.7837716E-49.1816665E-41.91933634.4E-40.00457603440.0047736380.0054503921.1417696.8E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-61.2771461E-416.5529141.2E-43.1700827E-53.3066175E-52.0306055E-46.14103561.7E-43.858892E-44.025073E-47.4237044E-41.84436513.4E-40.0038521980.004017890.00458559951.14129565.7E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-61.1673729E-417.3251341.1E-42.7685543E-52.887696E-51.8887233E-46.54058931.6E-43.3701936E-43.5152107E-46.7140855E-41.91000953.2E-40.00336508690.0035097320.0040179421.14480025.1E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-61.1583537E-419.8483871.1E-42.4000226E-52.5011232E-51.6500773E-46.5973451.4E-42.9216358E-43.044698E-45.743876E-41.88651742.7E-40.00291779750.0030405880.0034393721.13115354.0E-4
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-68.503911E-516.8744818.0E-52.0738931E-52.159772E-51.3159534E-46.093021.1E-42.5246723E-42.6292098E-44.8286314E-41.83653332.2E-40.0025218060.0026261470.00293533271.11773373.1E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-65.3845015E-514.0031485.0E-51.5830317E-51.647936E-59.647804E-55.85447748.0E-51.9271708E-42.0061806E-43.3059198E-41.64786761.3E-40.00192550030.0020044010.002174061.08464341.7E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-64.2897736E-514.8032794.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419316E-56.2418694E-55.02593665.0E-51.4535317E-41.511949E-42.5117976E-41.6612981.0E-40.00145258140.00151094180.00164074531.0859091.3E-4
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-62.2253967E-59.8730442.0E-59.2879945E-69.66002E-63.965973E-54.10555363.0E-51.1307546E-41.1760458E-41.8759635E-41.59514497.0E-50.00113017940.00117544170.00127532411.08497441.0E-4
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-61.1542194E-57.48419051.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094562E-61.660939E-52.51297381.0E-57.734395E-58.046731E-51.104649E-41.37279223.0E-57.731704E-48.0439687E-48.643486E-41.074536.0E-5
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-74.4108765E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8903745E-61.8903745E-61.00.02.2082493E-52.3015113E-54.3014654E-51.86897422.0E-52.2080299E-42.3013182E-42.601249E-41.13033013.0E-5
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-85.9415648E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463845E-72.5463845E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-63.1002196E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-53.1001844E-51.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-51.7170349E-47.91014431.5E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.3300367E-43.5796842.4E-40.00103279590.00113207510.0016614751.46763685.3E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0120711291.07106058.1E-4
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-51.7170349E-47.91014431.5E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.3300367E-43.5796842.4E-40.00103279590.00113207510.0016614751.46763685.3E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0120711291.07106058.1E-4
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-51.7170349E-47.91014431.5E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.3300367E-43.5796842.4E-40.00103279590.00113207510.0016614751.46763685.3E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0120711291.07106058.1E-4
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-51.2681882E-47.53946351.1E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-52.6207324E-43.63551641.9E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00125703291.43273453.8E-40.0079747840.008745070.0093299091.06687655.9E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-51.2681882E-47.53946351.1E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-52.6207324E-43.63551641.9E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00125703291.43273453.8E-40.0079747840.008745070.0093299091.06687655.9E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-51.2555628E-48.0702131.1E-46.081157E-56.6675726E-52.5666304E-43.8494231.9E-47.401293E-48.115349E-40.00119122651.46786863.8E-40.00737669130.0080916560.0086669621.07109885.8E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-51.2476995E-48.4466241.1E-45.7724297E-56.330556E-52.332948E-43.6852181.7E-47.025667E-47.7053264E-40.00113025531.46684933.6E-40.00700349640.00768451440.0082402111.07231385.6E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-51.14280316E-48.0018451.0E-45.5832945E-56.120638E-52.2119659E-43.61394671.6E-46.7955407E-47.4499263E-40.00109473191.46945333.5E-40.0067747980.00743082860.0079668161.07213025.4E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-66.622404E-510.6393966.0E-52.4408775E-52.6675973E-59.6674106E-53.62401447.0E-52.971363E-43.2476155E-44.2472908E-41.30781821.0E-40.00296739330.00324581050.00339532361.04606341.5E-4
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-64.4792865E-59.3453674.0E-51.879567E-52.0541665E-56.0540846E-52.94722184.0E-52.2881327E-42.5009477E-43.000823E-41.19987425.0E-50.0022857780.00250094780.00260069781.03988481.0E-4

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.8070313E-41.89650561.8E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00108983071.2672032.3E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0108463781.04083344.3E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102084891.00619967.0E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.8070313E-41.89650561.8E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00108983071.2672032.3E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0108463781.04083344.3E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102084891.00619967.0E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.8070313E-41.89650561.8E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00108983071.2672032.3E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0108463781.04083344.3E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102084891.00619967.0E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.8070313E-41.89650561.8E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00108983071.2672032.3E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0108463781.04083344.3E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102084891.00619967.0E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8430917E-42.8429073E-41.54246661.0E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.29547E-41.1771521.4E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0098293291.0269032.6E-40.0466930640.093786950.094185681.00425154.4E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8430917E-42.8429073E-41.54246661.0E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.29547E-41.1771521.4E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0098293291.0269032.6E-40.0466930640.093786950.094185681.00425154.4E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8238011E-42.8236187E-41.54820541.0E-43.8748336E-47.813951E-49.2128577E-41.17902671.4E-40.00470740950.00947210.0097296371.0271892.6E-40.0460893250.092877210.093267281.00419974.3E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8152347E-42.8150532E-41.55079291.0E-43.8495753E-47.7772595E-49.176171E-41.1798721.4E-40.004676790.0094278150.0096853641.0273182.6E-40.0457958170.092471480.092861721.00422014.3E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8099119E-42.809731E-41.55241311.0E-43.8339442E-47.754462E-49.153376E-41.18040121.4E-40.0046578410.0094002980.0096578531.02739872.6E-40.045614140.09221920.0926095551.00423284.3E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7981093E-42.6979475E-41.50043579.0E-53.7958333E-47.7039085E-48.902984E-41.15564511.2E-40.0046116380.0093392780.0095770371.02545792.4E-40.045171030.091659110.092022441.0039644.0E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7819891E-42.5818465E-41.44885668.0E-53.746607E-47.6348626E-48.734023E-41.1439661.1E-40.0045519570.0092559320.0094738961.02354852.2E-40.0445983860.090893230.0912386851.00380073.8E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7731842E-42.5730423E-41.45108588.0E-53.7215967E-47.597149E-48.6963136E-41.14468111.1E-40.00452163350.0092104050.0094283791.0236662.2E-40.044307310.090474750.090820371.00382013.8E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7622454E-42.5621045E-41.45388638.0E-53.6879873E-47.550296E-48.649465E-41.14557971.1E-40.00448088350.0091538420.0093718271.02381362.2E-40.0439160240.089955180.0903011.00384443.8E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7564454E-42.556305E-41.45538538.0E-53.6715972E-47.5254537E-48.6246256E-41.14606061.1E-40.00446101050.009123850.00934184251.02389262.2E-40.0437251480.089676230.0900221541.00385753.8E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752704E-42.5525637E-41.45635768.0E-53.6608664E-47.509428E-48.6086016E-41.14637261.1E-40.0044479990.0091045010.0093224991.02394392.2E-40.0436001570.089496420.089842411.0038663.8E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7396381E-42.539499E-41.45978578.0E-53.633435E-47.4534636E-48.5526437E-41.14747241.1E-40.00441473770.0090369320.00925494451.02412452.2E-40.0432805750.088872090.089218321.00389583.8E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6841735E-42.4840387E-41.47493058.0E-53.531424E-47.2158914E-48.3150977E-41.15233141.1E-40.00429103520.0087500470.0089681221.02492272.2E-40.0420911760.086250320.086597551.00402583.8E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4205615E-42.2204478E-41.56307768.0E-53.001506E-46.0867006E-47.086092E-41.16419271.0E-40.00364821120.00738541740.00757401441.02553641.9E-40.0358889770.073522990.073828731.00415843.3E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2969968E-41.896919E-41.46254726.0E-52.749151E-45.557374E-46.256985E-41.12588887.0E-50.00334195470.00674514150.006894131.02208821.5E-40.032921410.067255140.0674976561.00360582.6E-4
7.94.939911E-59.341721E-51.1341535E-41.21407332.0E-52.116933E-44.0029807E-44.2029007E-41.04994272.0E-50.00257431950.0048627470.0049324071.01432517.0E-50.0254470130.0489158030.0490489531.0027221.4E-4
8.03.344983E-55.2228E-56.2227475E-51.19145821.0E-51.4334853E-42.2381509E-42.3381285E-41.04466971.0E-50.00174387110.00272154530.00275146381.01099313.0E-50.0173024960.0279231610.0279717651.00174065.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9171663E-51.9171663E-51.00.08.1875565E-58.2161685E-58.2161685E-51.00.09.963791E-49.9986E-49.9986E-41.00.00.0099192350.0107495520.0107495521.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3384395E-44.837855E-42.0688392.5E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.0013015021.29916023.0E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125435281.03420884.2E-40.0424638280.112581870.113105451.00465065.9E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3384395E-44.837855E-42.0688392.5E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.0013015021.29916023.0E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125435281.03420884.2E-40.0424638280.112581870.113105451.00465065.9E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3384395E-44.837855E-42.0688392.5E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.0013015021.29916023.0E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125435281.03420884.2E-40.0424638280.112581870.113105451.00465065.9E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3384395E-44.837855E-42.0688392.5E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.0013015021.29916023.0E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125435281.03420884.2E-40.0424638280.112581870.113105451.00465065.9E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2941893E-44.7936157E-42.08945972.5E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00128256111.3049333.0E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0123158211.03487174.2E-40.0411807450.1105629650.111087731.00474635.9E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2941893E-44.7936157E-42.08945972.5E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00128256111.3049333.0E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0123158211.03487174.2E-40.0411807450.1105629650.111087731.00474635.9E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2186468E-44.718092E-42.1265632.5E-43.2649786E-49.5050444E-40.00125021931.31532193.0E-40.00396786770.01151153350.0119266991.03606514.2E-40.038977640.107099540.107617421.00483555.8E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1862281E-44.6856815E-42.1432722.5E-43.188454E-49.3662075E-40.00123633981.32000043.0E-40.00387503460.0113442680.0117595041.03660314.2E-40.0380815640.10560810.106126851.0049125.8E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1709445E-44.6704017E-42.15132262.5E-43.1597257E-49.300753E-40.00122979631.32225453.0E-40.00384018150.0112654060.0116806751.03686234.2E-40.037744950.1049096960.1054288451.00494865.8E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1478413E-44.547326E-42.1171612.4E-43.117806E-49.20181E-40.00119992331.3040082.8E-40.0037893230.0111461820.0115417231.03548674.0E-40.0372535620.103857530.104359371.0048325.6E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1062451E-44.5057395E-42.13922862.4E-43.0436125E-49.023664E-40.00118211381.31001522.8E-40.0036993030.0109314840.0113271111.03619164.0E-40.036383250.1019595340.102462431.00493245.6E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0898094E-44.4893078E-42.148192.4E-43.0118722E-48.953274E-40.00117507671.31245482.8E-40.00366078970.0108466410.0112423021.03647784.0E-40.0360106860.101202430.101705761.00497345.6E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.050596E-44.4501037E-42.17015152.4E-42.9353087E-48.7853306E-40.0011582871.3184332.8E-40.0035678830.01064418350.0110399261.03717924.0E-40.0351114050.099394490.099898831.00507415.6E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9733235E-44.37285E-42.21598222.4E-42.8379448E-48.4543816E-40.00112520151.33090932.8E-40.00344972430.0102451110.0106410121.0386434.0E-40.0339666120.0958912450.096388511.00518575.5E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4690042E-43.8686517E-42.633522.4E-42.1877038E-46.294222E-49.09246E-41.44457242.8E-40.0026602760.0076364820.0080235041.05068063.9E-40.026286540.072865540.073366191.00687095.4E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.11307076E-43.4128147E-43.06612562.3E-41.6843023E-44.7694342E-47.4681465E-41.56583492.7E-40.00204870920.00579139540.00616919441.06523453.8E-40.0202992470.056011510.0565023831.00876385.2E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.4956984E-53.1493744E-43.70702242.3E-41.2792926E-43.6405068E-46.339524E-41.7413852.7E-40.00155642590.00442333470.0048016541.0855283.8E-40.01545569950.0431961450.0436841171.01129665.1E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.353527E-52.8352128E-44.4624242.2E-49.0576345E-52.722656E-45.3219486E-41.95468992.6E-40.00110220910.00330980080.0036785761.11141923.7E-40.0109675820.032584560.0330585951.01454784.9E-4
7.81.883379E-55.564576E-52.7563353E-44.95336062.2E-48.0713755E-52.3846005E-44.9839803E-42.09006932.6E-49.822468E-40.0028993890.00326831641.1272433.7E-40.00977916550.0286969780.0291729181.0165854.9E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.1662403E-52.5165366E-46.04030562.1E-46.495346E-51.7854095E-44.284963E-42.3999892.5E-47.9052144E-40.00217157040.00252081031.16082373.5E-40.0078771520.0217609460.0222109351.02067884.6E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9976925E-51.6997273E-45.6701191.4E-44.8881542E-51.2846621E-42.8844568E-42.24530361.6E-45.9497025E-40.00156295510.00178261121.1405392.2E-40.0059337980.0157740130.0160594381.01809472.9E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.369465E-67.369465E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.158304E-53.158304E-51.00.02.2701119E-43.844558E-43.844558E-41.00.00.00226779420.00411654450.00411654451.00.0
8.22.3042528E-62.7328301E-62.7328301E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1712076E-51.1712076E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.4258524E-41.4258524E-41.00.00.00120160510.00159796370.00159796371.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1590292E-73.1590292E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.353869E-61.353869E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6483244E-51.6483244E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.955901E-41.955901E-41.00.0

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-59.249851E-54.11102967.0E-58.603206E-59.642541E-52.7640804E-42.86654781.8E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00155290861.32347773.8E-40.0104201830.0116725060.01221608651.04656925.5E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-59.249851E-54.11102967.0E-58.603206E-59.642541E-52.7640804E-42.86654781.8E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00155290861.32347773.8E-40.0104201830.0116725060.01221608651.04656925.5E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-59.249851E-54.11102967.0E-58.603206E-59.642541E-52.7640804E-42.86654781.8E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00155290861.32347773.8E-40.0104201830.0116725060.01221608651.04656925.5E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-59.133545E-54.28062447.0E-58.164292E-59.1440896E-52.7142445E-42.96830461.8E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00148231931.33214523.7E-40.0098911880.0110724190.011606441.04822985.4E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-59.133545E-54.28062447.0E-58.164292E-59.1440896E-52.7142445E-42.96830461.8E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00148231931.33214523.7E-40.0098911880.0110724190.011606441.04822985.4E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-59.0559566E-54.40443237.0E-57.8713354E-58.811567E-52.680998E-43.04258941.8E-49.5791375E-40.00107228690.00143190081.3353713.6E-40.0095379510.01067191550.0111863661.0482065.2E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-58.990953E-54.51558737.0E-57.625944E-58.53298E-52.6531445E-43.10928251.8E-49.280632E-40.00103840150.00139802761.34632673.6E-40.0092419690.0103362530.0108409811.04883095.1E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-58.904209E-54.67573937.0E-57.296412E-58.161216E-52.6159748E-43.20537351.8E-48.87976E-49.931813E-40.00135282381.36211163.6E-40.0088443620.0098881450.0103931031.05106695.1E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-58.851125E-54.78114947.0E-57.090568E-57.93371E-52.593228E-43.26861981.8E-48.629347E-49.655073E-40.00132515971.3725013.6E-40.0085959150.0096138290.0101189261.05253865.1E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-58.808633E-54.8699867.0E-56.9232934E-57.751599E-52.5750205E-43.32192161.8E-48.4258494E-49.433546E-40.0013030151.38125683.6E-40.0083939730.0093941960.0098994051.05377895.1E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-58.780431E-54.93128877.0E-56.81167E-57.6307304E-52.5629357E-43.35870311.8E-48.2900526E-49.286515E-40.00128831711.38729883.6E-40.0082591950.0092483970.0097536811.05463475.1E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-58.748228E-55.0037047.0E-56.6865134E-57.492718E-52.549137E-43.40215251.8E-48.137789E-49.118627E-40.00127153451.39443623.6E-40.0081080520.0090818940.0095872621.05564575.1E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-58.716943E-55.07665877.0E-56.56719E-57.358637E-52.5357312E-43.4459251.8E-47.99262E-48.9555193E-40.00125522951.40162673.6E-40.0079639340.0089201070.0094255571.05666425.1E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-58.630131E-55.29376177.0E-56.238227E-56.9865826E-52.4985324E-43.5761871.8E-47.592395E-48.5029035E-40.00119999271.41127413.5E-40.00756650740.0084710140.0089667781.05852485.0E-4
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-58.580685E-55.42807877.0E-56.0501097E-56.7746674E-52.4773448E-43.65677711.8E-47.363519E-48.245094E-40.00117422081.42414493.5E-40.00733916740.0082151380.0087110311.06036335.0E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-58.512523E-55.62763457.0E-55.7870053E-56.482538E-52.3481436E-43.62225991.7E-47.043401E-47.8896893E-40.00112870071.43060223.4E-40.0070211190.0078623040.0083385311.06057084.8E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-58.262544E-56.5439027.0E-54.834127E-55.4111737E-52.1410309E-43.95668461.6E-45.88396E-46.5861654E-49.4842556E-41.44002692.9E-40.0058684050.0065671990.006984441.06353434.2E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-57.028274E-56.834616.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.8406464E-44.1765651.4E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-47.962957E-41.48442112.6E-40.0047832910.0053519140.00570004061.06504713.5E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-45.036654E-41.71473932.1E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00150806331.19841852.5E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155891341.02327043.6E-40.0810811450.139624540.140037521.00295784.8E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-45.036654E-41.71473932.1E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00150806331.19841852.5E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155891341.02327043.6E-40.0810811450.139624540.140037521.00295784.8E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-45.036654E-41.71473932.1E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00150806331.19841852.5E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155891341.02327043.6E-40.0810811450.139624540.140037521.00295784.8E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.7701692E-41.56476131.0E-44.332882E-47.5861585E-48.685324E-41.14489091.1E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0093960611.01934751.8E-40.05139640.087073930.087311291.0027262.6E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.7701692E-41.56476131.0E-44.332882E-47.5861585E-48.685324E-41.14489091.1E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0093960611.01934751.8E-40.05139640.087073930.087311291.0027262.6E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-56.6391054E-51.43108892.0E-51.569536E-41.9880968E-42.288037E-41.1508683.0E-50.0019092350.00241818140.00247803631.0247526.0E-50.018929150.0236970610.0237946921.00411991.0E-4
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-54.6146943E-51.76487262.0E-51.073584E-41.12056E-41.3205376E-41.17846212.0E-50.00130630470.00136347250.00140341791.02929694.0E-50.0129865250.0135657590.0136249461.0043636.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-54.207205E-51.90608532.0E-59.509556E-59.459316E-51.1459127E-41.21141182.0E-50.00115717340.00115109960.00118106511.02603213.0E-50.0115116630.01146632250.011515751.00431065.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-53.443731E-52.38525182.0E-57.137396E-56.187399E-58.187275E-51.32321762.0E-58.686314E-47.5306057E-47.83038E-41.03980743.0E-50.0086524390.00751007630.00754977581.00528624.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-52.2331762E-51.8108961.0E-56.446802E-55.2849886E-56.284936E-51.18920521.0E-57.8461546E-46.4326054E-46.6324766E-41.03107152.0E-50.0078185090.0064179250.00643779661.00309622.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-52.1451058E-51.87326311.0E-56.154734E-54.9075545E-55.9075053E-51.20375751.0E-57.490812E-45.973339E-46.073279E-41.0167311.0E-50.0074656120.0059609820.00597092231.00166761.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-52.0244634E-51.97610121.0E-55.6851208E-54.3905282E-55.3904845E-51.2277531.0E-56.919436E-45.344183E-45.4441293E-41.01870191.0E-50.0068979310.00533460030.0053445471.00186461.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-61.8504763E-52.175791.0E-54.9697923E-53.6448844E-54.644848E-51.27434711.0E-56.049042E-44.4367602E-44.536716E-41.0225291.0E-50.0060326030.0044293570.00443931251.00224771.0E-5
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-61.7238464E-52.38148451.0E-54.3502816E-53.102194E-54.102163E-51.32234251.0E-55.2951806E-43.776281E-43.8762434E-41.02647111.0E-50.0052825810.0037702710.00378023341.00264231.0E-5
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-61.6352244E-52.57422111.0E-53.8916725E-52.7223898E-53.7223625E-51.36731431.0E-54.7370812E-43.314019E-43.4139858E-41.03016481.0E-50.0047269960.00330922570.00331919241.00301181.0E-5
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-61.5225367E-52.9137121.0E-53.287808E-52.2394468E-53.2394244E-51.44652891.0E-54.0021708E-42.7261977E-42.8261705E-41.03667121.0E-50.00399497060.00272297840.00273295121.00366251.0E-5
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-61.4687289E-53.1333981.0E-52.9957167E-52.0088435E-53.0088233E-51.49778891.0E-53.6466747E-42.445504E-42.5454795E-41.04088141.0E-50.00364069640.00244292920.00245290481.00408341.0E-5
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-62.329331E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.982813E-69.982813E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2153471E-41.2153471E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121475550.00121475551.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-48.977629E-41.15415011.2E-40.00237938480.00332995830.00347945861.04489561.5E-40.0285869630.0402350430.040484581.0062022.6E-40.251762840.33719730.337515441.00094354.8E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-43.527667E-41.16508545.0E-58.2510663E-40.0012970850.00136699411.05389717.0E-50.00999948850.015773930.015911721.00873541.4E-40.0956132560.149758250.14997081.00141932.5E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-42.2243158E-41.21921154.0E-54.0410945E-47.8164786E-48.4160094E-41.07670096.0E-50.00490893840.0094752460.0096040141.013591.3E-40.0480190630.09185650.092074461.00237272.4E-4
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-42.1939693E-41.22292034.0E-53.9778434E-47.686494E-48.286033E-41.0779996.0E-50.00483227470.0093183550.00944714251.0138211.3E-40.0472853850.0905094740.090727751.00241162.4E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-42.1701875E-41.22591574.0E-53.916052E-47.5846276E-48.1841723E-41.07904736.0E-50.00475737450.0091953870.0093241921.01400761.3E-40.0465680920.08941360.0896230341.00234232.3E-4
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-42.1459941E-41.22904674.0E-53.8566816E-47.4809964E-48.0805476E-41.08014326.0E-50.00468540470.0090702840.0091991051.01420251.3E-40.0458784030.088296080.088505771.00237492.3E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-42.114113E-41.23330754.0E-53.7755648E-47.3444354E-47.943995E-41.08163456.0E-50.00458706540.0089054040.0090243361.0133551.2E-40.044935290.086827070.087027971.00231372.2E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-42.1008219E-41.2351314.0E-53.7443507E-47.287503E-47.887066E-41.08227286.0E-50.00454922160.0088366950.0089556341.01345971.2E-40.044572130.08622680.086427831.00233142.2E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-42.0953723E-41.23588694.0E-53.7324068E-47.26416E-47.8637246E-41.08253736.0E-50.00453474050.0088085130.0089274561.01350321.2E-40.044433130.085974360.086175451.00233892.2E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-42.089468E-41.23671154.0E-53.7195362E-47.238869E-47.8384345E-41.08282596.0E-50.00451913570.00877796950.0088969161.01355061.2E-40.0442833270.085700420.0859015661.00234712.2E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-42.0647523E-41.24022644.0E-53.6668387E-47.132999E-47.732571E-41.08405616.0E-50.0044552410.0086501030.0087690651.01375271.2E-40.0436697270.084548360.0847497661.0023822.2E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-41.9128363E-41.26435344.0E-53.3535215E-46.4822397E-47.081851E-41.09250066.0E-50.00407527060.0078637380.0079827941.01513991.2E-40.0400134180.0774604450.0776541751.0025012.1E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-41.8865617E-41.26902654.0E-53.2956956E-46.369685E-46.969303E-41.09413626.0E-50.0040051290.00772768260.0078467551.01540861.2E-40.03933710.076233410.07642741.00254462.1E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-41.8562165E-41.27463344.0E-53.2371894E-46.239692E-46.8393175E-41.09609856.0E-50.0039341570.00757052560.00768961761.0157311.2E-40.0386523340.074797770.074992061.00259762.1E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-41.8263147E-41.28039184.0E-53.1802364E-46.1115966E-46.71123E-41.0981146.0E-50.0038650650.00741564160.00753475171.0160621.2E-40.037985290.073371520.073566121.00265222.1E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-41.4191108E-41.2680323.0E-52.6352672E-44.795452E-45.19526E-41.08337244.0E-50.00320371780.0058228650.00592228261.01707361.0E-40.031579230.0585594620.0587289221.00289381.8E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-41.4019759E-41.27220013.0E-52.598746E-44.7220418E-45.121853E-41.08466914.0E-50.00315938280.0057339620.0058333891.017341.0E-40.0311484170.057720420.0578900281.00293851.8E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-51.21749894E-41.3269363.0E-52.2134806E-43.9316638E-44.3315065E-41.1016984.0E-50.0026915820.00477630460.00486587451.0187539.0E-50.0265921410.048536410.0486981571.00333251.7E-4
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-51.0559994E-41.23362042.0E-52.060858E-43.6681266E-43.8680533E-41.05450382.0E-50.00250620720.0044568070.0045264951.01563637.0E-50.0247813050.0453022640.0454359241.00295031.4E-4
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-56.7507375E-51.00.01.7014367E-42.8928524E-42.8928524E-41.00.00.0020695310.00351636340.0035462581.00850153.0E-50.0205036360.035881760.035958891.00214968.0E-5
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-54.0698153E-51.00.01.2420409E-41.7440901E-41.7440901E-41.00.00.00151113570.00212136280.00213134171.0047041.0E-50.0150090120.022011180.022020961.00044431.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-51.867974E-51.00.08.0724014E-58.005358E-58.005358E-51.00.09.823717E-49.742171E-49.742171E-41.00.00.0097804030.0104877110.0104877111.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.5697454E-436.8354232.5E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.0988987E-410.36482052.8E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-47.138587E-41.96122523.5E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00409574251.12600344.6E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.5697454E-436.8354232.5E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.0988987E-410.36482052.8E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-47.138587E-41.96122523.5E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00409574251.12600344.6E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.5697454E-436.8354232.5E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.0988987E-410.36482052.8E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-47.138587E-41.96122523.5E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00409574251.12600344.6E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.5697454E-436.8354232.5E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.0988987E-410.36482052.8E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-47.138587E-41.96122523.5E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00409574251.12600344.6E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.5697454E-436.8354232.5E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.0988987E-410.36482052.8E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-47.138587E-41.96122523.5E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00409574251.12600344.6E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.5697454E-436.8354232.5E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.0988987E-410.36482052.8E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-47.138587E-41.96122523.5E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00409574251.12600344.6E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148208E-61.9161451E-4118.659921.9E-41.136995E-56.9206426E-62.2691912E-432.7887342.2E-41.3842035E-48.42556E-53.6423202E-44.32294132.8E-40.00138334158.4224E-40.00119194521.41520853.5E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501544E-61.9154986E-4123.5682451.9E-41.11010095E-56.643502E-62.2664203E-434.1148452.2E-41.351464E-48.088166E-53.60859E-44.46156742.8E-40.00135064248.0852525E-40.00115824221.4325373.5E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469546E-61.9154666E-4123.821771.9E-41.1080193E-56.629789E-62.2662833E-434.1833422.2E-41.34893E-48.071472E-53.6069212E-44.4687282.8E-40.00134811148.06857E-40.00115657461.4334323.5E-4
6.92.458257E-61.422029E-61.9142176E-4134.611721.9E-41.0535345E-56.0943958E-62.2609305E-437.098522.2E-41.2826028E-47.419676E-53.5417598E-44.773472.8E-40.00128186277.4172183E-40.00109146221.47152513.5E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3989927E-61.9139872E-4136.811811.9E-41.0432016E-55.9956697E-62.2599436E-437.692932.2E-41.270024E-47.299485E-53.529744E-44.8356072.8E-40.00126929847.297107E-40.00107945531.47929223.5E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339427E-61.9133369E-4143.434711.9E-41.0136736E-55.716885E-62.2571563E-439.4822772.2E-41.2340778E-46.9600865E-53.495814E-45.02265832.8E-40.00123339266.957924E-40.00104554881.50267363.5E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502497E-61.9125002E-4152.969451.9E-49.737784E-65.358202E-62.2535703E-442.058332.2E-41.1855107E-46.523417E-53.452159E-45.2919492.8E-40.00118487846.5215176E-40.00100192351.53633493.5E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419382E-61.8114173E-4158.626561.8E-49.163737E-64.894012E-62.1489298E-443.909372.1E-41.1156279E-45.9582977E-53.295669E-45.53122572.7E-40.0011150685.956712E-49.254746E-41.5536673.3E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.574928E-71.7095733E-4178.546841.7E-48.163426E-64.103534E-62.0410272E-449.7382742.0E-49.9385186E-54.995939E-53.099464E-46.20396662.6E-49.934074E-44.9948227E-48.0932747E-41.62033263.1E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559763E-71.4075587E-4186.190841.4E-46.5885843E-63.2398946E-61.6323938E-450.3841631.6E-48.021306E-53.9445007E-52.4943674E-46.3236582.1E-48.0184115E-43.9438053E-46.442819E-41.63365552.5E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-79.0465895E-5194.157419.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-69.1996706E-546.0700269.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-51.3430917E-45.52443271.1E-45.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.8305813E-41.57577321.4E-4
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-75.0155777E-5321.95435.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-75.066762E-575.889325.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-65.8128222E-57.15104965.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.5127774E-41.86111437.0E-5

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-51.17262396E-42.48091947.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.6252083E-41.78975571.6E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00278277231.12957333.2E-40.020002880.0243883380.0248468741.01880154.7E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-51.17262396E-42.48091947.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.6252083E-41.78975571.6E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00278277231.12957333.2E-40.020002880.0243883380.0248468741.01880154.7E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-51.17262396E-42.48091947.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.6252083E-41.78975571.6E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00278277231.12957333.2E-40.020002880.0243883380.0248468741.01880154.7E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-51.0360744E-43.08265647.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403443E-43.040114E-42.11068561.6E-40.00147852190.00175227880.0020717181.18229943.2E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0178536421.02655424.7E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-51.0360744E-43.08265647.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403443E-43.040114E-42.11068561.6E-40.00147852190.00175227880.0020717181.18229943.2E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0178536421.02655424.7E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-59.860558E-53.44683367.0E-51.0477588E-41.2259845E-42.8257884E-42.30491381.6E-40.00127489980.00149166160.00179121421.2008183.0E-40.0126761050.0148213920.015254871.02924684.4E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-58.4658604E-53.43302186.0E-59.127464E-51.0568197E-42.5566612E-42.41920281.5E-40.00111070220.00128595120.00156559121.21745772.8E-40.0110516720.012788530.0132031591.0324224.2E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-58.177972E-53.75463136.0E-58.125345E-59.334406E-52.4333005E-42.60680821.5E-49.888117E-40.0011358970.00141557891.24622122.8E-40.0098442340.011303570.0117188231.03673644.2E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-57.901721E-54.15478756.0E-57.153359E-58.150477E-52.3149255E-42.8402331.5E-48.7057345E-49.918857E-40.00127160791.28201062.8E-40.0086717080.0098763430.0102921961.04210594.2E-4
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-57.6388555E-54.66081146.0E-56.216302E-57.0239046E-52.2022851E-43.13541441.5E-47.5657194E-48.5483363E-40.00113459431.32726912.8E-40.0075400130.0085163860.0089328081.04889674.2E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-57.45371E-55.12706336.0E-55.545963E-56.230414E-52.1229479E-43.40739461.5E-46.750118E-47.5829466E-40.00103808241.36896962.8E-40.0067296510.00755768970.00796459151.05383934.1E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-57.407736E-55.2618466.0E-55.3761712E-56.0333812E-52.1032477E-43.48601821.5E-46.5435225E-47.343222E-40.00101411661.3810242.8E-40.0065242880.0073195510.007726551.05560434.1E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-57.401483E-55.28086146.0E-55.3524967E-56.0065824E-52.1005681E-43.49711041.5E-46.514716E-47.310616E-40.00101085691.38272462.8E-40.0064956510.00728715960.00769417171.05585344.1E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-57.387898E-55.3227656.0E-55.3005948E-55.9483587E-52.0947466E-43.5215541.5E-46.451563E-47.2397763E-40.00100377491.38647232.8E-40.00643286530.0072167820.0076238231.0564024.1E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-57.364705E-55.3962316.0E-55.212056E-55.8489582E-52.0848081E-43.56440931.5E-46.3438306E-47.118836E-49.916843E-41.39304272.8E-40.0063257510.00709662070.0075037111.0573644.1E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-57.314473E-55.56423436.0E-55.0175953E-55.6336736E-51.9632885E-43.4849171.4E-46.10721E-46.856895E-49.5550437E-41.39349422.7E-40.00609045340.0068363210.00723358661.0581114.0E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-57.157893E-56.1814566.0E-54.4225842E-54.9626036E-51.896191E-43.82095981.4E-45.383166E-46.040347E-48.6387765E-41.43017892.6E-40.00537014430.00602446030.00641211081.06434613.9E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-56.0022277E-55.98858645.0E-53.830414E-54.295409E-51.7294851E-44.0263571.3E-44.6625308E-45.228456E-47.7271485E-41.47790272.5E-40.00465276050.0052166640.00555489071.06483583.4E-4
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-73.284654E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.407708E-61.407708E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7138715E-51.7138715E-51.00.01.6215823E-41.7137431E-41.7137431E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.5069928E-42.97211721.0E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.5725816E-41.64416441.4E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00298177961.12831743.4E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265520921.01526714.1E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.5069928E-42.97211721.0E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.5725816E-41.64416441.4E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00298177961.12831743.4E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265520921.01526714.1E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.5069928E-42.97211721.0E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.5725816E-41.64416441.4E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00298177961.12831743.4E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265520921.01526714.1E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090967E-51.1008856E-43.65852528.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-42.489396E-41.93043641.2E-40.00126417040.00156893120.0017885861.14000282.2E-40.012570030.0155822290.0158480221.01705742.7E-4
6.42.4242801E-53.0090967E-51.1008856E-43.65852528.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-42.489396E-41.93043641.2E-40.00126417040.00156893120.0017885861.14000282.2E-40.012570030.0155822290.0158480221.01705742.7E-4
6.52.0286952E-52.5316054E-51.0531403E-44.159978.0E-58.694118E-51.0849296E-42.2847994E-42.10594251.2E-40.00105799490.00132011860.00153982811.16643172.2E-40.0105297190.0131247010.0133812881.019552.6E-4
6.62.0269223E-52.5297004E-51.0529498E-44.16234978.0E-58.6865206E-51.08411325E-42.2839832E-42.10677551.2E-40.00105707070.00131912580.00153883561.16655712.2E-40.0105205650.013114890.0133714811.01956472.6E-4
6.71.799852E-52.2540933E-51.0253913E-44.5490198.0E-57.713423E-59.660051E-52.1658892E-42.24210951.2E-49.3870464E-40.00117549110.00138524431.17843872.1E-40.0093474930.0116943460.0119414221.02112782.5E-4
6.81.7458793E-52.184258E-51.0184083E-44.6624918.0E-57.4821255E-59.360778E-52.1359655E-42.28182481.2E-49.10568E-40.00113909330.00134885421.18414712.1E-40.0090684590.0113341310.0115812971.02180732.5E-4
6.91.542884E-51.9026285E-58.902495E-54.6790517.0E-56.612192E-58.153875E-51.9152978E-42.34894181.1E-48.04737E-49.922953E-40.00119209691.2013532.0E-40.0080182910.0098800430.0101077711.02304922.3E-4
7.01.468253E-51.803109E-58.802983E-54.8821137.0E-56.292361E-57.727389E-51.7726616E-42.29399821.0E-47.658257E-49.4041653E-40.00113023781.20184811.9E-40.00763191840.0093657360.0095836751.02326992.2E-4
7.11.3139281E-51.620139E-58.6200256E-55.3205477.0E-55.6309986E-56.943275E-51.594265E-42.29612839.0E-56.853584E-48.4502844E-40.00101488481.20100671.7E-40.00683248560.0084194490.0086177661.02355462.0E-4
7.21.1127404E-51.3867038E-56.386635E-54.60562235.0E-54.7688E-55.9428872E-51.19425305E-42.00955036.0E-55.8044674E-47.233172E-48.432304E-41.16578231.2E-40.00578932980.0072107370.00735965561.02065231.5E-4
7.39.808154E-61.2176586E-56.2175975E-55.1061915.0E-54.2034266E-55.2184383E-51.1218125E-42.14970926.0E-55.11647E-46.351704E-47.5509417E-41.18880571.2E-40.00510470570.0063346250.0064836751.02352941.5E-4
7.47.942452E-69.792348E-64.9791957E-55.0847824.0E-53.4038632E-54.1966585E-59.196449E-52.1913745.0E-54.1434157E-45.108328E-46.107818E-41.19565881.0E-40.00413569850.0050975270.0052069671.02146911.1E-4
7.54.7121216E-65.7729717E-62.5772857E-54.46440032.0E-52.019465E-52.4741115E-55.4740372E-52.21252663.0E-52.4584212E-43.011891E-43.6117103E-41.19915046.0E-50.00245570320.00300856140.0030683811.0198836.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.273077E-44.772586E-41.45813431.5E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00158174561.12820821.8E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0172024951.01567142.7E-40.0603347530.152676720.153024121.00227554.1E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.273077E-44.772586E-41.45813431.5E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00158174561.12820821.8E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0172024951.01567142.7E-40.0603347530.152676720.153024121.00227554.1E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0231563E-44.422733E-41.46295211.4E-44.603433E-40.0012949990.00146477891.13110421.7E-40.0055902860.0156537310.0158998181.01572062.5E-40.054517310.141827840.142162521.00235993.9E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0176868E-44.4172644E-41.46379151.4E-44.592948E-40.00129265730.00146243761.1313421.7E-40.0055775860.015625630.0158717241.01574932.5E-40.0543965550.141596050.141930831.00236433.9E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9384956E-44.338084E-41.47629431.4E-44.4375064E-40.00125875140.00142853731.13488451.7E-40.00538928850.0152186620.0154648571.01617722.5E-40.0526044960.138157950.138494071.00243283.9E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9104383E-44.310031E-41.48088721.4E-44.382655E-40.00124673850.00141652651.13618581.7E-40.00532283540.0150744390.015320671.01633442.5E-40.0519713160.136942390.137278971.00245793.9E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8870135E-44.2866092E-41.48479021.4E-44.3350324E-40.00123670870.00140649851.13729171.7E-40.00526513670.0149540080.015200271.01646792.5E-40.0514212470.135919730.136256741.00247933.9E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8728697E-44.2724676E-41.48717761.4E-44.3067214E-40.00123065280.00140044361.13796811.7E-40.0052308340.0148812880.0151275681.01654962.5E-40.0510940850.135304640.135641891.00249243.9E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8532353E-44.252836E-41.49053111.4E-44.2750788E-40.0012222460.00139203821.13891821.7E-40.00519249360.0147803280.0150266331.01666442.5E-40.0507282950.134456280.134785181.00244623.8E-4
6.99.77719E-52.802926E-44.1025615E-41.46367111.3E-44.1895514E-40.00120070480.00136051271.1330951.6E-40.00508885550.01452158950.0147581041.01628712.4E-40.0497388880.132284760.132605821.0024273.7E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4763815E-43.6760842E-41.4844581.2E-43.6426744E-40.00106087790.00121071881.14124241.5E-40.00442594060.012840470.0130675171.01768212.3E-40.043388230.118136160.118453631.00268733.6E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4366553E-43.636363E-41.49235831.2E-43.5651738E-40.00104386620.00119370961.14354661.5E-40.0043319630.0126357730.0128628671.01797222.3E-40.0424848460.116356320.1166655941.0026583.5E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2414974E-43.4412285E-41.53523641.2E-43.2412758E-49.602912E-40.00111014711.15605261.5E-40.00393911450.0116295590.0118568851.01954722.3E-40.038700180.107762020.10807431.00289793.5E-4
7.37.082985E-52.07311E-43.272861E-41.57872051.2E-43.0352117E-48.881761E-40.00103804281.16873541.5E-40.00368910960.0107605530.0109880791.02114442.3E-40.036284650.100284030.100589941.00305033.4E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4274761E-42.627305E-41.84052461.2E-42.2053342E-46.1163295E-47.615412E-41.24509511.5E-40.00268168840.00742139430.00763976151.02942412.2E-40.026495570.070850490.071157111.00432773.3E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0942422E-42.1941218E-42.0051521.1E-41.7263928E-44.6887697E-46.0881133E-41.29844581.4E-40.0020998570.00569370440.00590250871.03667282.1E-40.0208012540.0550130830.055306031.00532513.1E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.439599E-51.9438671E-42.30326941.1E-41.3357346E-43.616471E-45.015965E-41.38697771.4E-40.00162504370.0043941910.0046032681.04758042.1E-40.0161321160.0428124780.0430996341.00670733.0E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.239345E-51.6238721E-42.60263231.0E-49.4715084E-52.6737314E-43.9733836E-41.4860821.3E-40.0011525460.00325041520.0034497651.06133062.0E-40.0114658670.0319021680.032173241.00849692.8E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.180078E-51.517956E-42.93037271.0E-47.493296E-52.2198448E-43.5195562E-41.58549651.3E-49.1192697E-40.00269931420.00289877431.0738932.0E-40.0090819380.0266417880.0269143281.01022982.8E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8226146E-51.282227E-43.35431939.0E-55.985842E-51.6381606E-42.837964E-41.73240891.2E-47.2853256E-40.00199263730.00217227871.09015251.8E-40.00726148770.0199110020.0201658251.01279812.6E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.106798E-51.1106549E-43.57491858.0E-55.094499E-51.331417E-42.4312706E-41.82607751.1E-46.200787E-40.00161979580.00178952051.10478151.7E-40.0061835130.0162805670.0165264961.01510572.5E-4
8.15.100864E-68.973766E-68.973766E-61.00.02.1860664E-53.845843E-53.845843E-51.00.02.6612106E-44.6813092E-44.7812623E-41.02135161.0E-50.0026580260.0049180920.00492804261.00202331.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7863473E-62.7863473E-61.00.09.859027E-61.19414335E-51.19414335E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.4537729E-41.4537729E-41.00.00.00119962230.00159737820.00159737821.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.814421E-85.814421E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4918944E-72.4918944E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0338776E-63.0338776E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.189592E-53.189592E-51.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.21856545E-45.57473131.0E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.2366524E-42.38761121.3E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00137974311.21028332.4E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0117362741.03396923.9E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.21856545E-45.57473131.0E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.2366524E-42.38761121.3E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00137974311.21028332.4E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0117362741.03396923.9E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.21856545E-45.57473131.0E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.2366524E-42.38761121.3E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00137974311.21028332.4E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0117362741.03396923.9E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176583E-57.2175855E-55.92743066.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.3218031E-42.53294258.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-47.651099E-41.20453241.3E-40.00578410220.00633687530.00655548131.03449742.2E-4
6.41.1117327E-51.2176583E-57.2175855E-55.92743066.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.3218031E-42.53294258.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-47.651099E-41.20453241.3E-40.00578410220.00633687530.00655548131.03449742.2E-4
6.56.103093E-66.672021E-64.6671754E-56.99514534.0E-52.615585E-52.8594131E-58.859242E-53.09827266.0E-53.1840094E-43.480905E-44.3805919E-41.25846359.0E-50.00317945120.00347668650.00358630411.03152931.1E-4
6.65.817237E-66.3656585E-64.6365403E-57.28367764.0E-52.4930776E-52.728118E-58.727954E-53.19925866.0E-53.034899E-43.3211018E-44.2208028E-41.27090449.0E-50.00303075770.00331736050.00342699561.03304891.1E-4
6.74.8846314E-65.3405684E-64.5340355E-58.48979954.0E-52.0933967E-52.2888014E-58.288664E-53.62139946.0E-52.5484123E-42.7863772E-43.5861545E-41.28703128.0E-50.00254549180.00278403910.00288376071.0358191.0E-4
6.81.7788773E-61.9399079E-62.193987E-511.3097482.0E-57.6237375E-68.313874E-62.8313707E-53.40559742.0E-59.281505E-51.01218284E-41.3121525E-41.29635923.0E-59.2776294E-40.00101187650.00104184611.02961793.0E-5
6.97.5455404E-78.297092E-78.297092E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5558937E-63.5558937E-61.00.03.937079E-54.3292483E-54.3292483E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.3287344E-44.3287344E-41.00.0
7.06.8578805E-77.541816E-77.541816E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2322048E-63.2322048E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9351715E-53.9351715E-51.00.03.577705E-43.9347992E-43.9347992E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.3322218E-41.36990889.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128606041.01956962.5E-40.05910160.1206402260.121000761.00298864.1E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.3322218E-41.36990889.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128606041.01956962.5E-40.05910160.1206402260.121000761.00298864.1E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.3322218E-41.36990889.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128606041.01956962.5E-40.05910160.1206402260.121000761.00298864.1E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.3322218E-41.36990889.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128606041.01956962.5E-40.05910160.1206402260.121000761.00298864.1E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.3322218E-41.36990889.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128606041.01956962.5E-40.05910160.1206402260.121000761.00298864.1E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.2642315E-41.38054929.0E-54.847792E-40.00101294120.00114280951.12820911.3E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125102051.02013612.5E-40.0573273340.117610080.117971861.00307614.1E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.2642315E-41.38054929.0E-54.847792E-40.00101294120.00114280951.12820911.3E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125102051.02013612.5E-40.0573273340.117610080.117971861.00307614.1E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3335687E-43.2333587E-41.38558549.0E-54.777557E-49.997191E-40.00112958921.12990651.3E-40.00580117340.0121040880.0123510621.02040422.5E-40.056520510.11622910.1165914461.00311764.1E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3237852E-43.223576E-41.38720929.0E-54.7578133E-49.955293E-40.00112539981.13045381.3E-40.0057772630.0120536430.012300631.02049062.5E-40.0562935840.115788940.116151471.00313094.1E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3130233E-43.2128152E-41.38901119.0E-54.7362508E-49.909206E-40.00112079181.13106111.3E-40.00575114970.0119981520.0122451521.02058652.5E-40.056045690.115304450.115667171.00314584.1E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3031076E-43.2029004E-41.39068649.0E-54.7157376E-49.866742E-40.0011165461.13162581.3E-40.00572630620.0119470210.0121940351.02067572.5E-40.0558097960.114856580.115219491.00315964.1E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1540876E-42.9539154E-41.37130698.0E-54.417027E-49.228548E-40.00103275331.11908531.1E-40.00536447760.0111781880.0114056181.02034582.3E-40.0523681380.108090420.108429351.00313563.8E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.094876E-42.8947083E-41.38180428.0E-54.296783E-48.9749607E-40.00100739731.12245321.1E-40.00521879220.0108725660.0111000661.02092422.3E-40.0509792120.105390860.105730811.00322573.8E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0423878E-42.8422245E-41.39161848.0E-54.2065824E-48.7501644E-49.849202E-41.12560191.1E-40.0051094930.0106015720.0108291341.0214652.3E-40.0499359850.102975460.103316321.00331023.8E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9793298E-42.7791716E-41.40409728.0E-54.0979648E-48.4800937E-49.579161E-41.12960551.1E-40.00497786370.0102759010.0105035381.02215242.3E-40.0486782530.1000678840.100409861.00341743.8E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6113915E-42.3112788E-41.43433717.0E-53.4505792E-46.9041376E-47.8035163E-41.13026679.0E-50.00419299030.0083734710.0085717971.0236852.0E-40.041147530.0828152450.083127091.00376563.4E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5767086E-42.2765982E-41.44389287.0E-53.384E-46.755574E-47.6549663E-41.13313339.0E-50.00411223850.008193970.0083923311.02420822.0E-40.0403696970.081158660.081471071.00384933.4E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3277122E-42.0276193E-41.52715277.0E-52.8742946E-45.688955E-46.588443E-41.15811139.0E-50.0034938390.00690433850.00708309561.02589061.8E-40.0343941640.069053390.0693326741.00404443.0E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2198445E-41.7197835E-41.40983835.0E-52.6344648E-45.226858E-45.8265444E-41.11473176.0E-50.00320274360.0063451560.0064842681.0219241.4E-40.0315697640.06351720.063741951.00353852.4E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8802946E-51.0880117E-41.22519782.0E-52.0414138E-43.8052857E-44.0052095E-41.05253852.0E-50.00248258840.0046231010.00469277751.01507147.0E-50.0245503650.0466293660.0467628351.00286251.4E-4
8.03.3554235E-55.2138024E-56.213751E-51.19178861.0E-51.4379594E-42.2342955E-42.3342732E-41.04474691.0E-50.00174930970.0027168630.00274678161.01101223.0E-50.0173560340.0278819050.0279305111.00174335.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.9183564E-51.9183564E-51.00.08.217783E-58.221269E-58.221269E-51.00.00.00100005580.00100048050.00100048051.00.00.0099556730.0107577710.0107577711.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-69.8550496E-511.5246699.0E-53.539214E-53.6647863E-51.4664383E-44.0014291.1E-44.308141E-44.4611428E-46.560206E-41.47052152.1E-40.00429979850.0044539450.0048123411.08046723.6E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-64.3775166E-511.5950994.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-55.6179204E-53.47217044.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-42.9695698E-41.50757431.0E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00214813371.09126081.8E-4
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-64.3775166E-511.5950994.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-55.6179204E-53.47217044.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-42.9695698E-41.50757431.0E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00214813371.09126081.8E-4
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-61.4411166E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.1762075E-66.1762075E-61.00.07.265574E-57.519415E-51.0519189E-41.39893723.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.0178824E-41.06645485.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-61.4411166E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.1762075E-66.1762075E-61.00.07.265574E-57.519415E-51.0519189E-41.39893723.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.0178824E-41.06645485.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-61.0221912E-61.00.04.2329125E-64.3808195E-64.3808195E-61.00.05.153449E-55.3336476E-58.3334875E-51.56243683.0E-55.1522546E-45.333648E-45.833381E-41.09369445.0E-5

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.1204475E-41.23797876.0E-55.27144E-40.00107981090.00115972451.0740078.0E-50.00639910860.0130679580.0132653441.01510472.0E-40.062179490.124384120.124708091.00260463.7E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.1204475E-41.23797876.0E-55.27144E-40.00107981090.00115972451.0740078.0E-50.00639910860.0130679580.0132653441.01510472.0E-40.062179490.124384120.124708091.00260463.7E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.502277E-43.102127E-41.23972176.0E-55.2290526E-40.00107196530.00115187961.07454938.0E-50.0063478040.0129735780.0131709841.0152162.0E-40.0616951360.1235713140.123886821.00255333.6E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4908737E-43.0907243E-41.24081936.0E-55.202953E-40.00106708230.00114699691.07489078.0E-50.0063162120.0129148340.0131122511.01528612.0E-40.061396770.123065320.123381021.00256533.6E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4414246E-43.041278E-41.24569826.0E-55.0840975E-40.00104590680.00112582311.07640868.0E-50.0061723350.0126600440.0128575121.01559772.0E-40.0600368680.120859040.121166741.0025463.5E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4207575E-43.0206123E-41.24779636.0E-55.032341E-40.00103705660.00111697361.07706148.0E-50.0061096770.0125535360.0127510251.01573182.0E-40.0594440770.119930080.12023811.00256843.5E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3516564E-42.9515152E-41.25507936.0E-54.866766E-40.0010074650.00108738441.07932728.0E-50.00590920170.0121973450.0123850271.01538721.9E-40.0575451850.11684920.117149471.00256973.4E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.336088E-42.9359479E-41.25677976.0E-54.829711E-40.0010007980.00108071791.07985628.0E-50.0058643310.0121170790.0123047771.01549031.9E-40.0571196970.116152750.116453261.00258723.4E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3249313E-42.9247918E-41.25801226.0E-54.8068175E-49.960202E-40.00107594041.08023978.0E-50.0058366080.0120595550.0122472631.01556521.9E-40.0568567250.115650610.115951291.00259983.4E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3098059E-42.9096674E-41.25970216.0E-54.7763053E-49.895428E-40.00106946361.08076548.0E-50.00579965770.0119815640.0121692871.01566771.9E-40.0565061270.114970270.115271171.00261723.4E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2721413E-42.872005E-41.2640086.0E-54.698779E-49.734129E-40.0010533351.0821058.0E-50.0057057680.0117873240.0119750841.0159291.9E-40.0556147360.113270110.11357161.00266173.4E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0540332E-42.65391E-41.29204826.0E-54.2541555E-48.8000396E-49.5993356E-41.09082878.0E-50.00516714060.0106617080.0108496831.01763081.9E-40.050486340.103365730.103661621.00286263.3E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0044584E-42.6043382E-41.29927286.0E-54.1551032E-48.587718E-49.387031E-41.09307638.0E-50.005047110.0104057030.0105937261.01806931.9E-40.049340090.101102330.101398971.0029343.3E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9473763E-42.5472595E-41.30804686.0E-54.0591392E-48.343239E-49.1425714E-41.0958068.0E-50.00493080870.0101108510.010298931.01860171.9E-40.0482282680.098474120.0987716241.00302113.3E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8844259E-42.484313E-41.31833936.0E-53.9509835E-48.07362E-48.8729744E-41.09900818.0E-50.0047997170.0097855780.0099737191.01922631.9E-40.0469736530.095558310.095856771.00312343.3E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5179155E-42.0178396E-41.3293495.0E-53.306571E-46.5037323E-47.1033416E-41.09219476.0E-50.00401832070.0078896170.0080483551.02011981.6E-40.039464330.0782891960.078556491.00341432.9E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4838556E-41.9837814E-41.336915.0E-53.241072E-46.357833E-46.9574517E-41.09431186.0E-50.00393886720.0077132560.0078720221.02058351.6E-40.0386977940.0766548740.076922651.00349322.9E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2359623E-41.7359004E-41.40449315.0E-52.7332708E-45.2959064E-45.8955885E-41.1132356.0E-50.00332267980.00642873070.00656783071.02163721.4E-40.0327343640.064544880.064778741.00362322.5E-4
7.85.863422E-51.14169685E-41.5416511E-41.35031574.0E-52.512653E-44.892069E-45.291874E-41.0817254.0E-50.0030548640.00593984970.00605913671.02008251.2E-40.0301320940.059661620.0598684961.00346742.2E-4
7.94.595283E-58.426815E-59.426731E-51.11865881.0E-51.9692584E-43.6109926E-43.7109564E-41.02768331.0E-50.00239493580.00438752770.0044472641.01361516.0E-50.0236928910.0443631370.0444873721.00280031.3E-4
8.03.2950178E-55.077396E-56.0773455E-51.19694141.0E-51.412074E-42.1758456E-42.2758238E-41.04594911.0E-50.00171784440.00264587530.0026757961.01130843.0E-50.0170462560.0271810720.0272297131.00178965.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9183733E-51.9183733E-51.00.08.218658E-58.221342E-58.221342E-51.00.00.00100016220.00100048930.00100048931.00.00.0099567280.0107578870.0107578871.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.3470932E-49.1569911.2E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.2303601E-43.53766541.6E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00101714161.32555372.5E-40.00716612770.0076485960.00795622451.04022033.1E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.3470932E-49.1569911.2E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.2303601E-43.53766541.6E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00101714161.32555372.5E-40.00716612770.0076485960.00795622451.04022033.1E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.3470932E-49.1569911.2E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.2303601E-43.53766541.6E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00101714161.32555372.5E-40.00716612770.0076485960.00795622451.04022033.1E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793136E-51.3179172E-411.1752911.2E-44.7354086E-55.054109E-52.0053351E-43.96773221.5E-45.763835E-46.151744E-48.250452E-41.34115662.1E-40.0057489080.00613575570.00637428281.0388752.4E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793136E-51.3179172E-411.1752911.2E-44.7354086E-55.054109E-52.0053351E-43.96773221.5E-45.763835E-46.151744E-48.250452E-41.34115662.1E-40.0057489080.00613575570.00637428281.0388752.4E-4
6.59.788949E-61.045432E-51.2045317E-411.5218561.1E-44.1951964E-54.480351E-51.6479813E-43.67824151.2E-45.1064545E-45.453555E-47.152628E-41.31155321.7E-40.00509473630.00544109850.00564001031.03655732.0E-4
6.68.810006E-69.4136285E-68.9412875E-59.4982388.0E-53.775662E-54.0343548E-51.3033992E-43.230759.0E-54.5958988E-44.9108086E-46.3101214E-41.28494551.4E-40.00458640560.0049008390.0050700061.03451791.7E-4
6.78.80128E-69.404108E-68.940336E-59.5068418.0E-53.7719226E-54.0302748E-51.3029911E-43.23300849.0E-54.591348E-44.9058435E-46.305157E-41.2852341.4E-40.0045818740.00489589570.00506506351.03455291.7E-4
6.86.8994877E-67.380076E-65.7379708E-57.7749485.0E-52.9568899E-53.162856E-59.1626665E-52.89695986.0E-53.5994186E-43.8501783E-44.949755E-41.2855911.1E-40.0035935940.00384431290.00396385141.03109491.2E-4
6.94.9328037E-65.2709615E-63.5270805E-56.6915313.0E-52.1140417E-52.2589675E-57.258855E-53.21335085.0E-52.5735417E-42.7500073E-43.7497323E-41.36353541.0E-40.00257056350.00274720950.00284693481.03630051.0E-4
7.03.347973E-63.59003E-63.3589924E-59.3564463.0E-51.4348378E-51.5385775E-56.538501E-54.2497055.0E-51.746775E-41.8730981E-42.8729107E-41.53377491.0E-40.00174540250.00187192190.00197173471.0533211.0E-4
7.11.2073567E-61.293482E-62.1293456E-516.462122.0E-55.1743755E-65.543492E-63.5543326E-56.4117213.0E-56.29962E-56.749156E-51.1748818E-41.74078355.0E-56.297835E-46.7487074E-47.24837E-41.07403835.0E-5

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-51.2496699E-42.27333247.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-43.055532E-41.2970827.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.0029742431.03829041.1E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0285085121.00720932.1E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-51.14967545E-42.09142786.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.9555554E-41.25464186.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.00296427151.03480941.0E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0284696441.00583611.7E-4
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-58.39233E-52.47378925.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.953777E-41.34386465.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00184851771.0451528.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176873231.00783731.4E-4
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-58.39233E-52.47378925.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.953777E-41.34386465.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00184851771.0451528.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176873231.00783731.4E-4
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-57.7910925E-52.79127385.0E-51.09075794E-41.1961885E-41.6961287E-41.41794435.0E-50.00132718870.00145540560.00152530371.04802667.0E-50.0131929020.014460910.0145791751.00817821.2E-4
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-56.5127126E-52.59180144.0E-59.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.4768333E-41.37140464.0E-50.00120689480.0013103230.00137024431.04573026.0E-50.0120036110.0130276380.0131362051.00833361.1E-4
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-56.035343E-52.9651524.0E-58.193392E-58.722961E-51.2722611E-41.45851994.0E-59.97089E-40.0010615110.00111145791.04705265.0E-50.009926270.0105653170.010664261.0093651.0E-4
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-55.8145528E-53.20427184.0E-57.3832496E-57.776737E-51.17764255E-41.51431454.0E-58.985399E-49.4641204E-49.963647E-41.05278115.0E-50.0089491540.0094244610.0095235181.01051071.0E-4
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-54.5925914E-52.8836363.0E-56.56442E-56.82542E-59.825215E-51.43950343.0E-57.98925E-48.3068234E-48.706491E-41.04811324.0E-50.0079605890.0082762610.0083655171.01078459.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-54.332913E-53.2506123.0E-55.6018336E-55.712532E-58.7123604E-51.52513123.0E-56.8180985E-46.952811E-47.3525327E-41.05749074.0E-50.00679721730.00693131840.00702069471.01289459.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-54.193233E-53.51407243.0E-55.0728955E-55.1139097E-58.1137565E-51.58660533.0E-56.1745E-46.2244234E-46.6241744E-41.06422294.0E-50.0061573720.00620718250.00629662351.01440939.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-53.0541898E-52.89713382.0E-54.541565E-54.5179684E-56.517878E-51.44265692.0E-55.5279525E-45.4992497E-45.7990843E-41.05452293.0E-50.00551422130.0054857720.0055653331.01450318.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-61.9458956E-52.05717871.0E-54.11042E-54.053816E-55.0537757E-51.24667121.0E-55.0032866E-44.934414E-45.034365E-41.02025581.0E-50.0049920370.00492357650.00498328131.01212626.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-61.8379405E-52.193381.0E-53.679698E-53.591161E-54.591125E-51.27845141.0E-54.4791115E-44.3713715E-44.4713277E-41.02286611.0E-50.0044700940.0043628840.0044126661.01141045.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-61.6951379E-52.4385391.0E-53.112377E-52.9791589E-53.9791288E-51.33565521.0E-53.78866E-43.6265317E-43.7264955E-41.02756451.0E-50.00378220740.0036207140.00365060541.00825563.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-61.5251446E-52.90420841.0E-52.411676E-52.2506232E-53.2506006E-51.44431141.0E-52.9358198E-42.7397962E-42.839769E-41.0364891.0E-50.00293194430.00273649050.00275643571.00728862.0E-5
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-61.2060843E-55.8523261.0E-59.708152E-68.832241E-61.8832152E-52.13220551.0E-51.18190335E-41.0752732E-41.1752624E-41.09298971.0E-50.0011812750.00107476150.001094741.01858882.0E-5
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-61.1016228E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212325E-64.7212325E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7479516E-55.7479516E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7464885E-45.7464885E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-76.0710704E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.601885E-62.601885E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.16775E-53.16775E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167312E-43.167312E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-95.090092E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181468E-82.181468E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.655937E-72.655937E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559348E-62.6559348E-61.00.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657254E-57.365607E-53.11346675.0E-59.602906E-51.0138454E-42.013744E-41.98624371.0E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00140349221.13762661.7E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0125594831.0233392.9E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657254E-57.365607E-53.11346675.0E-59.602906E-51.0138454E-42.013744E-41.98624371.0E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00140349221.13762661.7E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0125594831.0233392.9E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365663E-54.136532E-53.63949923.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-58.870715E-51.82116174.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.5284036E-41.10114166.0E-50.005609740.00591336140.0060227111.0184921.1E-4
6.31.0781252E-51.1365663E-54.136532E-53.63949923.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-58.870715E-51.82116174.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.5284036E-41.10114166.0E-50.005609740.00591336140.0060227111.0184921.1E-4
6.47.814439E-68.237729E-62.8237564E-53.42783362.0E-53.3490025E-53.530408E-56.530302E-51.84973013.0E-54.0766477E-44.2974384E-44.7972234E-41.11629845.0E-50.00406917740.00428927460.00436893151.01857118.0E-5
6.56.4986366E-66.85092E-62.6850783E-53.9192962.0E-52.7851002E-52.9360759E-54.9360173E-51.68116132.0E-53.390332E-43.5740953E-43.9739523E-41.11187654.0E-50.0033851640.00356844320.00361826481.01396175.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.8860055E-62.5885887E-54.397872.0E-52.3923398E-52.5225498E-54.5224995E-51.79282862.0E-52.9122844E-43.0707786E-43.470656E-41.13022024.0E-50.00290847060.0030666090.00311645561.01625475.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.940427E-62.494033E-55.0482132.0E-52.0082172E-52.1173091E-54.117267E-51.94457522.0E-52.4447302E-42.5775246E-42.9774214E-41.15514774.0E-50.00244204230.00257459120.00262446261.01937065.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520183E-62.3751943E-56.33044432.0E-51.5250586E-51.6079981E-53.607966E-52.24376252.0E-51.8566006E-41.957566E-42.3574877E-41.20429544.0E-50.00185505020.00195588260.0020057851.02551395.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710034E-62.267095E-58.48780252.0E-51.0854958E-51.1447109E-53.144688E-52.74714612.0E-51.3215111E-41.3935992E-41.6935574E-41.21523993.0E-50.00132072540.00139275290.00143269721.02868014.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019439E-61.1801926E-56.54955241.0E-57.3213873E-67.722595E-61.7722517E-52.29489161.0E-58.913424E-59.40187E-51.1401682E-41.21270362.0E-58.9098496E-49.3980576E-49.5978694E-41.0212612.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.1497619E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-64.9275427E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999128E-56.999068E-51.16668091.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.0975464E-41.01666331.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348373E-65.5834545E-59.5691695.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.2500373E-44.99890381.0E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-45.243453E-41.7224842.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00333943661.09837293.0E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8348373E-65.5834545E-59.5691695.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.2500373E-44.99890381.0E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-45.243453E-41.7224842.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00333943661.09837293.0E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8348373E-65.5834545E-59.5691695.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.2500373E-44.99890381.0E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-45.243453E-41.7224842.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00333943661.09837293.0E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.383667E-64.338353E-512.8214544.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-58.450034E-55.8270667.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.2651366E-41.84951521.5E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00197367561.11883452.1E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.383667E-64.338353E-512.8214544.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-58.450034E-55.8270667.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.2651366E-41.84951521.5E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00197367561.11883452.1E-4
6.52.782202E-62.8558404E-63.2855754E-511.5047593.0E-51.1923668E-51.223926E-57.223852E-55.9021976.0E-51.4516099E-41.4900314E-42.7898376E-41.87233481.3E-40.0014506620.00148906510.0016687971.12070121.8E-4
6.62.3163404E-62.38092E-62.2380873E-59.4000942.0E-59.927136E-61.0203904E-56.0203394E-55.90003545.0E-51.20856166E-41.2422565E-42.4421074E-41.96586411.2E-40.00120790470.00124158230.00141137131.1367521.7E-4
6.72.037056E-62.0965003E-62.209646E-510.5396872.0E-58.7302105E-68.984972E-65.8984522E-56.5647985.0E-51.0628513E-41.093867E-42.1937468E-42.00549671.1E-40.00106234310.00109334480.00125316981.14617991.6E-4
6.81.8356744E-61.8915287E-62.189149E-511.5734392.0E-57.867153E-68.106527E-64.81062E-55.93425564.0E-59.577837E-59.869264E-51.8868376E-41.91183219.0E-59.57371E-49.86502E-40.00111637381.13164881.3E-4
6.91.6310546E-61.6832072E-61.1683191E-56.9410291.0E-56.9902153E-67.213726E-62.7213582E-53.77247242.0E-58.510255E-58.782368E-51.2782017E-41.4554184.0E-58.5069967E-48.7790104E-49.578308E-41.09104658.0E-5
7.01.2058036E-61.2508665E-61.1250854E-58.9944481.0E-55.1677193E-65.3608455E-62.5360738E-54.7307352.0E-56.291517E-56.5266366E-51.0526375E-41.61283314.0E-56.289736E-46.524743E-47.224286E-41.1072147.0E-5
7.11.052382E-61.0951609E-61.109515E-510.1310691.0E-54.5102006E-64.693538E-62.4693445E-55.26115752.0E-55.491031E-55.7142337E-59.714005E-51.69996644.0E-55.4896745E-45.7127734E-46.412373E-41.12246247.0E-5
7.21.0067454E-61.0487711E-61.1048761E-510.534961.0E-54.3146156E-64.4947255E-62.4494635E-55.449642.0E-55.252918E-55.4721917E-59.4719726E-51.73092854.0E-55.251676E-45.470853E-46.1704696E-41.12788087.0E-5
7.39.3596316E-79.767723E-71.09767625E-511.237791.0E-54.0112645E-64.1861604E-62.4186076E-55.77762752.0E-54.8836053E-55.096532E-58.096379E-51.58860553.0E-54.8825322E-45.095371E-45.6950655E-41.11769396.0E-5
7.48.8117395E-79.2076635E-71.0920757E-511.8605091.0E-53.7764542E-63.9461356E-62.3946057E-56.06822972.0E-54.5977362E-54.8043148E-57.804171E-51.62440873.0E-54.596785E-44.8032837E-45.303044E-41.10404555.0E-5
7.58.292386E-78.6745956E-71.0867451E-512.52790451.0E-53.5538749E-63.7176785E-62.3717605E-56.3796812.0E-54.326757E-54.5261804E-56.52609E-51.44185362.0E-54.3259145E-44.5252658E-44.8251302E-41.06626443.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.9144706E-71.0791439E-513.6350741.0E-53.2373566E-63.3919116E-62.3391844E-56.896362.0E-53.9414106E-54.129575E-56.129492E-51.48429132.0E-53.9407116E-44.1288146E-44.4286906E-41.072633.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852797E-71.0685273E-515.5925721.0E-52.797941E-62.9369096E-62.293685E-57.80985932.0E-53.40644E-53.5756293E-55.575558E-51.55932212.0E-53.405918E-43.5750607E-43.7749892E-41.05592312.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.5349794E-46.53155141.3E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.9069552E-42.88632771.9E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01251519751.02342462.9E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.5349794E-46.53155141.3E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.9069552E-42.88632771.9E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01251519751.02342462.9E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.5349794E-46.53155141.3E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.9069552E-42.88632771.9E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01251519751.02342462.9E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.5349794E-46.53155141.3E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.9069552E-42.88632771.9E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01251519751.02342462.9E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.5349794E-46.53155141.3E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.9069552E-42.88632771.9E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01251519751.02342462.9E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.348995E-51.534869E-46.53415161.3E-45.764461E-51.00667356E-42.9064823E-42.88721441.9E-47.0159714E-40.00122493920.00146464531.19568812.4E-40.0069938620.0122230540.0125095091.02343572.9E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3104236E-51.5310124E-46.6265441.3E-45.6032466E-59.901441E-52.889956E-42.91872261.9E-46.8198174E-40.0012048370.00144454791.19895712.4E-40.0067989260.0120242190.0123107321.0238282.9E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3079532E-51.5307653E-46.63256651.3E-45.59283E-59.890855E-52.8888974E-42.92077641.9E-46.8071426E-40.00120354960.00144326071.19917012.4E-40.00678632870.0120114840.0122980011.02385352.9E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2927941E-51.5292496E-46.6698081.3E-45.530571E-59.825892E-52.8824026E-42.93347671.9E-46.73139E-40.0011956490.0014353621.20048792.4E-40.00671103640.0119333290.0122198681.02401172.9E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2887343E-51.5288437E-46.67986541.3E-45.51447E-59.808494E-52.880663E-42.93690661.9E-46.711799E-40.00119353320.00143324681.20084372.4E-40.0066915640.0119123970.0121989431.02405442.9E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2287419E-51.5228453E-46.8327571.3E-45.3553173E-59.551403E-52.854959E-42.98904661.9E-46.518148E-40.00116226580.00140198681.20625322.4E-40.00649906230.0116030.0118896351.02470352.9E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2232492E-51.5222961E-46.8471681.3E-45.3364907E-59.527864E-52.8526055E-42.9939611.9E-46.4952404E-40.0011594030.00139912471.2067632.4E-40.00647628870.0115746710.0118613141.02476472.9E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1611015E-51.5160821E-47.01532131.3E-45.143946E-59.261536E-52.8259776E-43.05130551.9E-46.2609545E-40.00112701140.00136674091.21271262.4E-40.0062433440.0112540580.0115407941.02547852.9E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1480853E-51.5147806E-47.05177071.3E-45.109939E-59.205757E-52.8204007E-43.0637361.9E-46.219575E-40.00112022730.00135995841.21400232.4E-40.00620219620.0111869450.01147371.02563312.9E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0854808E-51.508521E-47.23344471.3E-44.975841E-58.93747E-52.7935772E-43.12569121.9E-46.0564023E-40.00108759630.00132733541.22043012.4E-40.0060399230.0108644090.0111512591.02640272.9E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9554842E-51.495523E-47.64783951.3E-44.7301706E-58.380379E-52.7378785E-43.26701071.9E-45.757461E-40.00101983570.0012595911.2350922.4E-40.0057425670.0101955270.0104825711.02815392.9E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.8996727E-51.4899425E-47.8431541.3E-44.5945973E-58.141202E-52.7139654E-43.33361771.9E-45.592486E-49.907428E-40.00123050511.24200252.4E-40.0055784330.0099072380.0101943661.02898162.9E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6442464E-51.4644033E-48.9062281.3E-43.9754876E-57.046581E-52.6045242E-43.69615321.9E-44.839081E-48.5758517E-40.00109737941.27961552.4E-40.00482855740.0085865760.0088641721.03232912.8E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.11555855E-51.4115413E-412.6532251.3E-42.5005522E-54.7808775E-52.3779969E-44.97397571.9E-43.043997E-45.819165E-48.2177686E-41.41219032.4E-40.00303983080.00584733350.0061256961.0476052.8E-4
7.94.690204E-68.509473E-61.3850837E-416.276961.3E-42.0100719E-53.6468664E-52.2646174E-46.20976261.9E-42.4469878E-44.439156E-46.8380905E-41.54040322.4E-40.0024442950.0044711650.0047499131.06234352.8E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8470656E-64.484687E-59.2523764.0E-51.267299E-52.0772974E-58.077173E-53.88830856.0E-51.5428272E-42.5288164E-43.2286393E-41.27673947.0E-50.00154175660.0025499320.00263970281.0352059.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1968672E-62.1968672E-61.00.07.01862E-69.415111E-69.415111E-61.00.08.544835E-51.1462297E-41.2462182E-41.08723261.0E-58.54155E-40.00116074450.00117073281.00860511.0E-5
8.26.9631557E-74.535001E-74.535001E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9435704E-61.9435704E-61.00.03.63321E-52.3662713E-52.3662713E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4510184E-42.4510184E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.357368E-88.357368E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5817288E-73.5817288E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3607465E-64.3607465E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5800018E-54.5800018E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-51.7598057E-44.8903031.4E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.0419184E-41.97251821.5E-40.00177740.00187595210.00209553941.11705372.2E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196245741.01419032.8E-4
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-51.7598057E-44.8903031.4E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.0419184E-41.97251821.5E-40.00177740.00187595210.00209553941.11705372.2E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196245741.01419032.8E-4
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-51.7598057E-44.8903031.4E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.0419184E-41.97251821.5E-40.00177740.00187595210.00209553941.11705372.2E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196245741.01419032.8E-4
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-51.7598057E-44.8903031.4E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.0419184E-41.97251821.5E-40.00177740.00187595210.00209553941.11705372.2E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196245741.01419032.8E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-51.7587325E-44.9019421.4E-41.4574021E-41.5375503E-43.0373197E-41.97542791.5E-40.00177294280.00187036190.00208995031.11740432.2E-40.0175886450.0192950740.0195696731.01423142.8E-4
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-51.6513435E-44.6994721.3E-41.4319851E-41.5058667E-42.9056557E-41.92955721.4E-40.00174204770.00183185220.00203148581.10897912.0E-40.0172845460.0189166160.0191716981.01348452.6E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-51.6507157E-44.7060941.3E-41.4298483E-41.5031763E-42.902966E-41.93122111.4E-40.00173945010.00182858230.00202821661.10917442.0E-40.0172589760.018884480.0191395711.0135082.6E-4
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-51.6506134E-44.7071751.3E-41.4296026E-41.5027382E-42.9025276E-41.93149271.4E-40.00173915140.00182804970.00202768411.10920622.0E-40.0172560350.0188792720.0191343631.01351182.6E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-51.6495543E-44.71840861.3E-41.4260718E-41.4981985E-42.897989E-41.93431561.4E-40.00173485970.0018225320.00202216771.10953752.0E-40.0172137840.0188250450.0190801491.01355142.6E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-51.648964E-44.72469951.3E-41.4243131E-41.4956683E-42.895459E-41.93589641.4E-40.00173272170.00181945670.00201909271.1097232.0E-40.0171927340.0187949110.0190500241.01357352.6E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-51.6483632E-44.73112151.3E-41.422655E-41.4930942E-42.8928852E-41.93751011.4E-40.00173070630.00181632780.00201596461.10991232.0E-40.0171728940.018764290.019019411.0135962.6E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-51.6471655E-44.74399471.3E-41.4197677E-41.4879608E-42.8877525E-41.9407451.4E-40.00172719660.00181008840.00200972641.11029182.0E-40.0171383380.0187033660.0189585031.01364122.6E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-51.6458401E-44.7583431.3E-41.4156665E-41.4822806E-42.8820732E-41.94435051.4E-40.00172221110.00180318430.00200282361.11071492.0E-40.0170892530.018635750.0188909041.01369172.6E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-51.6445179E-44.77276851.3E-41.4123498E-41.4766137E-42.876407E-41.94797531.4E-40.00171817960.00179629610.00199593671.11114032.0E-40.0170495570.0185684950.0188236681.01374222.6E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-51.6437349E-44.78136251.3E-41.4106068E-41.473258E-42.8730516E-41.95013491.4E-40.00171606080.00179221730.0019918591.11139362.0E-40.0170286930.0185287690.0187839511.01377222.6E-4
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-51.6423842E-44.7962811.3E-41.406406E-41.4674691E-42.8672637E-41.95388351.4E-40.00171095420.00178518090.0019848241.11183352.0E-40.0169784110.0184596520.0187148531.01382482.6E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-51.639634E-44.82702161.3E-41.3937015E-41.4556825E-42.8554787E-41.96160821.4E-40.00169551090.00177085420.00197051.11273982.0E-40.0168263280.0183172950.0185627161.01339832.5E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-51.6244769E-45.00579741.3E-41.297987E-41.3907222E-42.7905274E-42.00653121.4E-40.00157915370.00169189030.00189155191.1180112.0E-40.015679790.0175281990.0177738161.01401272.5E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-51.5965899E-45.3824581.3E-41.1277862E-41.2712025E-42.6710244E-42.10117941.4E-40.00137221490.00154659130.0017462821.12911672.0E-40.0136377240.0160698780.016315861.01530712.5E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-51.3341471E-45.69727371.1E-48.897331E-51.0035596E-42.2034392E-42.19562361.2E-40.00108271170.00122114980.001400931.1472221.8E-40.0107745170.0127932720.0130104571.01697662.2E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-58.603138E-55.366067.0E-56.744926E-56.8708934E-51.4870343E-42.16425188.0E-58.2088535E-48.3621085E-49.5611054E-41.14338451.2E-40.0081785960.0088657410.00900451.01565111.4E-4
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-63.8329228E-54.6016363.0E-54.3309992E-53.569728E-56.569621E-51.84037023.0E-55.2717153E-44.3452822E-44.7451083E-41.09201384.0E-50.0052592270.00467687940.0047166921.00851274.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-61.577699E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-66.7615497E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.231879E-58.231879E-51.00.00.00218348589.562628E-49.562628E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133303E-68.301309E-527.5486188.0E-51.4108206E-51.2914227E-51.2291281E-49.5176281.1E-41.7175387E-41.5722254E-43.7718797E-42.39907032.2E-40.00171621180.00157142480.00184100051.17154862.7E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490382E-61.1549023E-57.4556091.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-62.6638589E-54.01260852.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3081988E-41.61857875.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.579537E-41.06183165.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490382E-61.1549023E-57.4556091.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-62.6638589E-54.01260852.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3081988E-41.61857875.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.579537E-41.06183165.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490382E-61.1549023E-57.4556091.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-62.6638589E-54.01260852.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3081988E-41.61857875.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.579537E-41.06183165.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490382E-61.1549023E-57.4556091.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-62.6638589E-54.01260852.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3081988E-41.61857875.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.579537E-41.06183165.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4909722E-61.1490957E-57.70702361.0E-57.759824E-66.389868E-62.638974E-54.12993532.0E-59.447177E-57.779436E-51.2779047E-41.64267025.0E-59.4431615E-47.7771995E-48.2768104E-41.06424055.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.9974395E-71.0899735E-512.1142631.0E-55.320566E-63.85604E-62.3855962E-56.1866482.0E-56.477596E-54.6946367E-59.694402E-52.0649955.0E-56.475708E-44.6937316E-45.193497E-41.1064755.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594193E-71.0759411E-514.1679461.0E-54.7409408E-63.2546504E-61.3254618E-54.07251641.0E-55.7719422E-53.962472E-56.962353E-51.75707323.0E-55.770443E-43.9618355E-44.2617167E-41.07569253.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5002786E-71.0650021E-516.3839451.0E-54.288594E-62.7858312E-61.2785803E-54.5895831.0E-55.221238E-53.391703E-56.391601E-51.88448143.0E-55.220012E-43.3912458E-43.6911442E-41.0884333.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315065E-71.0563145E-518.7572271.0E-53.9288643E-62.413501E-61.2413477E-55.14334871.0E-54.7832873E-52.9384037E-55.9383154E-52.02093243.0E-54.782258E-42.9380718E-43.2379836E-41.10207783.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113265E-71.0411322E-525.3115771.0E-53.2994672E-61.7628269E-61.176281E-56.67269661.0E-54.0170275E-52.1462245E-55.14616E-52.39777353.0E-54.0163012E-42.1460558E-42.4459916E-41.13976133.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.5210306E-71.03521E-529.4007661.0E-53.0445133E-61.5090123E-61.1508997E-57.6268411.0E-53.706632E-51.8372106E-54.8371556E-52.63288023.0E-53.7060137E-41.8370937E-42.1370385E-41.16327143.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.1178534E-83.1178534E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362228E-71.3362228E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6268501E-61.6268501E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.626839E-51.626839E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5939106E-81.5939106E-81.00.06.449219E-76.8310456E-86.8310456E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316795E-78.316795E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316767E-68.316767E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-67.606619E-512.538497.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.05997475E-44.07689578.0E-54.289509E-43.1650523E-44.5646093E-41.44219081.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00339046961.07252732.3E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-67.606619E-512.538497.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.05997475E-44.07689578.0E-54.289509E-43.1650523E-44.5646093E-41.44219081.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00339046961.07252732.3E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-67.606619E-512.538497.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.05997475E-44.07689578.0E-54.289509E-43.1650523E-44.5646093E-41.44219081.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00339046961.07252732.3E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-67.606619E-512.538497.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.05997475E-44.07689578.0E-54.289509E-43.1650523E-44.5646093E-41.44219081.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00339046961.07252732.3E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-64.3556982E-512.2449944.0E-52.4950215E-51.5244741E-56.524398E-54.27976945.0E-53.0372653E-41.8559002E-42.6557516E-41.43097778.0E-50.00303311760.00185445860.0019941991.07535371.4E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-64.349892E-512.43160254.0E-52.4711293E-51.49958905E-56.499514E-54.3341975.0E-53.0081844E-41.8256076E-42.6254615E-41.43813038.0E-50.00300411580.00182421610.00196396071.07660531.4E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-61.233255E-55.2871011.0E-51.9900888E-59.9967065E-62.9996507E-53.0006392.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170354E-41.7169745E-41.41078445.0E-50.00242002420.00121641120.00128632611.05747637.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-61.1648281E-57.0668561.0E-51.6940963E-57.064114E-61.7064043E-52.41559581.0E-52.0623671E-48.600239E-51.1599981E-41.34879763.0E-50.0020604548.597095E-49.0966653E-41.05810925.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-61.1224464E-59.1667461.0E-51.473314E-55.247746E-61.5247693E-52.905571.0E-51.7936122E-46.388952E-59.3887604E-51.46953063.0E-50.00179216526.3872064E-46.786951E-41.06258524.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-61.1003322E-510.9667851.0E-51.3443062E-54.299986E-61.4299942E-53.32557921.0E-51.63657E-45.2351144E-58.234957E-51.57302333.0E-50.00163536525.233958E-45.6337484E-41.0763844.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-71.0742816E-514.4621421.0E-51.2127721E-53.1835248E-61.3183493E-54.14116241.0E-51.47645E-43.8758775E-56.875761E-51.77398823.0E-50.00147546933.8752513E-44.2750963E-41.10317914.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-71.0542233E-519.4420641.0E-51.03247E-52.3238767E-61.2323853E-55.3031441.0E-51.2569598E-42.8292874E-55.8292026E-52.06030773.0E-50.0012562492.8289677E-43.1288827E-41.10601583.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-71.0740268E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.6029712E-74.6029712E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604104E-65.604104E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.6039742E-55.6039742E-51.00.0
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-85.0002956E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1429837E-72.1429837E-71.00.03.681694E-52.60908E-62.60908E-61.00.03.681084E-42.609054E-52.609054E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122759290.00127753151.04068025.0E-50.00256311240.0052455470.00531517951.01327477.0E-50.0307628460.061204910.0613269551.0019941.3E-40.268354770.425934940.426049741.00026952.0E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102179860.00107174751.04888335.0E-50.002147920.00436785960.00443755371.01595627.0E-50.0258393510.051248370.0513527321.00203651.1E-40.230327760.372856680.372963281.0002861.7E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1073755E-48.507051E-41.04929784.0E-50.00174454840.00346714770.00352693951.01724536.0E-50.0210340580.040933170.0410290731.0023431.0E-40.191507820.313033460.313143371.00035111.6E-4
6.33.464099E-46.7391695E-47.1389E-41.05931454.0E-50.00148376920.00288295930.00294278631.0207526.0E-50.0179158730.0341895820.0342861641.00282491.0E-40.165383590.27131660.271433171.00042971.6E-4
6.42.935057E-45.5442745E-45.944053E-41.07210654.0E-50.00125727510.00237253630.0024323941.02522936.0E-50.0152002480.028264510.0283616841.0034381.0E-40.142015770.232985290.233108011.00052681.6E-4
6.52.3409708E-44.2093755E-44.5092494E-41.07123953.0E-50.00100288750.00180196840.00185187841.02769745.0E-50.0121419650.0215874610.021675521.00407919.0E-50.114995730.186823680.186945661.00065291.5E-4
6.61.5842178E-42.506933E-42.706883E-41.07975882.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107394970.00111390671.03720574.0E-50.00823280.0129955750.0130646651.00531657.0E-50.079343960.123146380.123260371.00092571.3E-4
6.71.5616413E-42.4605883E-42.660539E-41.08126142.0E-56.691031E-40.00105410690.00109406471.03790684.0E-50.00811594350.012757440.0128265471.0054177.0E-50.07825860.121173510.1212877561.00094281.3E-4
6.81.5538467E-42.4429744E-42.6429255E-41.08184742.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104656450.00108652271.03818024.0E-50.0080755960.0126668380.0127359521.00545627.0E-50.077883580.1204043550.12051871.00094971.3E-4
6.91.5153569E-42.3539034E-42.5538562E-41.08494522.0E-56.49277E-40.00100842760.00104838731.03962584.0E-50.0078763330.012209010.0122781561.00566357.0E-50.076029520.116474450.116589311.00098611.3E-4
7.01.4588932E-42.2396253E-42.4395806E-41.08928062.0E-56.250901E-49.5948833E-49.9945E-41.04164894.0E-50.00758394740.0116196970.0116888831.00595437.0E-50.0733028950.111320460.111435991.00103781.3E-4
7.11.1565079E-41.6281738E-41.8281412E-41.1228172.0E-54.955521E-46.9760304E-47.375751E-41.05729934.0E-50.0060166690.00846044350.0085298511.00820377.0E-50.0585635380.083670460.083789591.00142371.3E-4
7.21.0393792E-41.4615769E-41.6615476E-41.13681852.0E-54.4537216E-46.2624045E-46.6621543E-41.06383324.0E-50.0054089330.00759799270.0076674611.0091437.0E-50.0527915950.075619690.075739861.00158921.3E-4
7.39.332884E-51.2780898E-41.4780642E-41.15646352.0E-53.999194E-45.4763845E-45.876165E-41.07300094.0E-50.00485815340.0066472490.00671678361.01046067.0E-50.0475331020.066483260.0666046141.00182531.3E-4
7.48.670252E-51.17032345E-41.3703E-41.17087292.0E-53.715293E-45.0147134E-45.414513E-41.07972534.0E-50.0045139910.0060884430.00615801661.01142727.0E-50.0442339370.0611516420.0612736941.00199591.3E-4
7.57.3036405E-59.005856E-51.0005766E-41.11102891.0E-53.129756E-43.8590826E-44.0590053E-41.05180572.0E-50.00380382170.00468833230.0047380981.01061485.0E-50.037393670.0478777920.0479730031.00198861.0E-4
7.66.3935775E-58.280385E-59.280301E-51.12075731.0E-52.7398168E-43.5482543E-43.7481834E-41.05634572.0E-50.00333062540.0043114610.0043612461.0115475.0E-50.0328114740.043992010.0440876071.00217321.0E-4
7.75.5050095E-56.6618326E-57.661766E-51.15009881.0E-52.3590765E-42.854759E-43.054702E-41.07003842.0E-50.00286839270.0034701340.00351996041.01435865.0E-50.02831650.0357962140.035892631.00269351.0E-4
7.85.027131E-56.162871E-56.162871E-51.00.02.1543067E-42.640963E-42.640963E-41.00.00.00261971350.0032106350.00324053881.0093143.0E-50.0258904530.033126660.033194341.00204317.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.022507E-55.022507E-51.00.01.5972654E-42.1523255E-42.1523255E-41.00.00.00194293590.0026173090.0026272831.00381081.0E-50.0192603620.0270674660.0271063821.00143784.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1427757E-53.1427757E-51.00.01.17038646E-41.3468343E-41.3468343E-41.00.00.00142401410.00163853830.00163853831.00.00.0141492350.017213860.017213861.00.0
8.11.7940547E-51.7399378E-51.7399378E-51.00.07.688579E-57.456663E-57.456663E-51.00.09.3568244E-49.074711E-49.074711E-41.00.00.0093175250.0097986360.0097986361.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210524E-61.0362069E-428.616181.0E-42.0733538E-41.551871E-51.3551685E-48.7324821.2E-40.0025213861.889249E-43.3889656E-41.79381631.5E-40.0249296910.00192971410.0021393091.10861442.1E-4
6.14.83821E-53.6210524E-61.0362069E-428.616181.0E-42.0733538E-41.551871E-51.3551685E-48.7324821.2E-40.0025213861.889249E-43.3889656E-41.79381631.5E-40.0249296910.00192971410.0021393091.10861442.1E-4
6.24.83821E-53.6210524E-61.0362069E-428.616181.0E-42.0733538E-41.551871E-51.3551685E-48.7324821.2E-40.0025213861.889249E-43.3889656E-41.79381631.5E-40.0249296910.00192971410.0021393091.10861442.1E-4
6.33.953008E-53.1530958E-68.3152845E-526.3718098.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-51.1351185E-48.400071.0E-40.0020605381.6451156E-42.9449016E-41.7900881.3E-40.0204153640.00166216270.00185184691.11411891.9E-4
6.43.953008E-53.1530958E-68.3152845E-526.3718098.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-51.1351185E-48.400071.0E-40.0020605381.6451156E-42.9449016E-41.7900881.3E-40.0204153640.00166216270.00185184691.11411891.9E-4
6.53.457342E-52.9707387E-68.29705E-527.9292498.0E-51.4816338E-41.273168E-51.12730406E-48.8543231.0E-40.00180239651.5499788E-42.8497772E-41.83859121.3E-40.0178784770.00155631190.00174601611.12189351.9E-4
6.63.1127765E-52.8737306E-67.287353E-525.3585117.0E-51.3339789E-41.2315934E-51.0231483E-48.3075169.0E-50.00162290921.4993687E-42.6991888E-41.80021681.2E-40.0161110810.00150134380.00168107361.11971261.8E-4
6.72.806885E-52.8101606E-67.280996E-525.909547.0E-51.2028952E-41.2043493E-51.0204241E-48.4728259.0E-50.0014635411.4662035E-42.6660276E-41.81832031.2E-40.0145393970.00146560870.00164534491.12263581.8E-4
6.82.524524E-52.2351392E-67.223498E-532.317897.0E-51.0818939E-49.579134E-69.957827E-510.3953319.0E-50.00131640991.16620016E-42.3660602E-42.0288631.2E-40.013086390.0011658270.00134561721.15421691.8E-4
6.92.2704568E-51.6079711E-67.160786E-544.533057.0E-59.730166E-56.8912864E-69.689067E-514.0598819.0E-50.00118400398.38982E-52.0388814E-42.43018481.2E-40.0117771538.38853E-40.0010187021.21439871.8E-4
7.02.0871712E-51.5393621E-67.153925E-546.4733127.0E-58.944713E-56.5972495E-69.6596654E-514.6419599.0E-50.00108847468.031857E-52.0030893E-42.49393061.2E-40.0108315868.030395E-49.82895E-41.22396841.8E-4
7.11.944928E-51.3862556E-67.138616E-551.495677.0E-58.335139E-55.941082E-69.5940544E-516.1486669.0E-50.00101433087.233028E-51.923216E-42.65893631.2E-40.0100971337.2319806E-49.030679E-41.24871441.8E-4
7.21.7876306E-51.2487686E-67.124868E-557.0551537.0E-57.6610486E-55.3518543E-69.535137E-517.8165119.0E-59.3233347E-46.515689E-51.8514907E-42.84158851.2E-40.0092843166.5148395E-48.313667E-41.27611231.8E-4
7.31.2618672E-51.1113839E-66.1111314E-554.9866876.0E-55.40789E-54.763065E-68.476269E-517.7958268.0E-56.582117E-45.7988782E-51.679824E-42.89680861.1E-40.00656265535.7983754E-47.397448E-41.27577941.6E-4
7.47.4874442E-68.547518E-75.085471E-559.4964645.0E-53.208865E-53.6632168E-67.366296E-520.1088187.0E-53.906093E-44.4598757E-51.3459474E-43.01790369.0E-50.0038992344.459579E-45.758999E-41.29137731.3E-4
7.52.4734156E-66.0679935E-74.0606774E-566.919614.0E-51.060031E-52.6005662E-65.2600437E-520.2265325.0E-51.2905113E-43.1661435E-59.165954E-52.894996.0E-50.00128976213.1656958E-44.1653792E-41.31578641.0E-4
7.61.1328841E-63.1961991E-73.031961E-594.861453.0E-54.8552088E-61.369799E-63.1369756E-522.9009933.0E-55.9110564E-51.6677177E-54.6676676E-52.79883553.0E-55.9094845E-41.6675945E-42.2674944E-41.35973976.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.962742E-82.0089625E-5224.145982.0E-52.0834207E-63.8411747E-72.038411E-553.0673872.0E-52.536535E-54.676621E-62.4676527E-55.2765722.0E-52.5362454E-44.676529E-58.676342E-51.85529524.0E-5

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709113E-51.3708688E-42.9110989.0E-51.7631594E-42.0180462E-43.117824E-41.54497171.1E-40.0021445330.00245439910.0026040311.06096471.5E-40.0212395530.0242935570.0244984551.00843432.1E-4
6.12.1061249E-52.3864959E-55.386424E-52.25704313.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.3227148E-41.29329813.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00129444821.04012645.0E-50.010929410.012378450.01244758351.0055857.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3864959E-55.386424E-52.25704313.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.3227148E-41.29329813.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00129444821.04012645.0E-50.010929410.012378450.01244758351.0055857.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074419E-54.7073907E-52.75698453.0E-56.496225E-57.3174095E-51.031719E-41.40995123.0E-57.906284E-48.9054246E-49.4049796E-41.05609565.0E-50.0078782140.008870990.0089205471.00558645.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3852917E-53.385264E-52.44371942.0E-55.2892858E-55.9368336E-57.936715E-51.336862.0E-56.437803E-47.225779E-47.5255625E-41.0414883.0E-50.0064191840.00720312170.00723290541.00413493.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117032E-53.011683E-52.97684452.0E-53.883296E-54.3358017E-56.335715E-51.46125572.0E-54.726887E-45.277613E-45.4775074E-41.03787592.0E-50.0047168450.00526561770.0052855121.00377822.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400734E-62.8400565E-53.38072442.0E-53.2340322E-53.600267E-55.600195E-51.55549432.0E-53.936723E-44.3824868E-44.582399E-41.04561612.0E-50.0039297560.00437427360.0043941861.00455222.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.087381E-61.608732E-52.64273261.0E-52.3581404E-52.6088532E-53.6088273E-51.38330021.0E-52.8706578E-43.1758484E-43.2758166E-41.03147771.0E-50.00286695220.00317163160.00318159981.0031431.0E-5
6.83.7351679E-64.0831405E-64.0831405E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.7499071E-51.7499071E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1303285E-42.1303285E-41.00.00.00194706290.00212853150.00212853151.00.0
6.92.456366E-62.6292707E-62.6292707E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1268255E-51.1268255E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718239E-41.3718239E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137097990.00137097991.00.0
7.02.3245157E-62.4827784E-62.4827784E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640436E-51.0640436E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.2953962E-41.2953962E-41.00.00.00121216520.00129464340.00129464341.00.0
7.12.2248344E-62.37325E-62.37325E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171032E-51.0171032E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.238253E-41.238253E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123756510.00123756511.00.0
7.22.1350402E-62.2761542E-62.2761542E-61.00.09.150141E-69.75491E-69.75491E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.1875957E-41.1875957E-41.00.00.00111341440.00118696290.00118696291.00.0
7.31.9793572E-62.1087192E-62.1087192E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037337E-69.037337E-61.00.01.032748E-41.1002403E-41.1002403E-41.00.00.00103226820.00109969740.00109969741.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8045735E-61.8045735E-61.00.07.264777E-67.733864E-67.733864E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415574E-59.415574E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411601E-49.411601E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.512216E-79.512216E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0766577E-64.0766577E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9632188E-54.9632188E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962122E-44.962122E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529335E-74.0529335E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369704E-61.7369704E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147416E-52.1147416E-51.00.02.023439E-42.114547E-42.114547E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339047E-86.339047E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167343E-72.7167343E-71.00.03.225572E-63.307619E-63.307619E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075703E-53.3075703E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964153E-91.3964153E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984637E-95.984637E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286295E-87.286295E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286294E-77.286294E-71.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.763429E-45.263191E-41.10491655.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00209978711.0293536.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.024671341.00516651.3E-40.110884230.213499230.213656531.00073672.0E-4
6.12.2521618E-44.763429E-45.063286E-41.06294993.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00207982771.01956874.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0246420761.00397421.0E-40.110884230.213499230.213625071.00058941.6E-4
6.22.198148E-44.6718874E-44.9717474E-41.06418383.0E-59.417233E-40.00200073770.00204065771.01995274.0E-50.0114053430.0240785130.0241761061.00405311.0E-40.108374280.209935720.210062131.00060211.6E-4
6.32.1704129E-44.615455E-44.915317E-41.06496913.0E-59.298453E-40.00197658920.002016511.02019694.0E-50.0112622340.0237920340.0238896551.00410311.0E-40.1070827250.207826840.207953591.00060991.6E-4
6.41.876142E-44.004663E-44.3045427E-41.07488263.0E-58.038131E-40.00171516950.00175510091.02328134.0E-50.009742590.0206786620.0207765941.0047361.0E-40.0932636860.184577870.184700181.00066271.5E-4
6.51.7390939E-43.7478763E-44.047764E-41.08001533.0E-57.45113E-40.00160525610.00164519191.02487814.0E-50.0090340780.0193672930.0194653571.00506331.0E-40.0867552160.174400150.1745241.00071011.5E-4
6.61.591791E-43.4893592E-43.7892544E-41.08594573.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149459260.00153453291.02672314.0E-50.0082719960.0180450080.0181432031.00544171.0E-40.079707740.163807870.163933291.00076571.5E-4
6.71.4268003E-43.2059717E-43.5058756E-41.09354533.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137327260.00140323141.02181573.0E-50.0074177230.016591710.0166703821.00474178.0E-50.071749560.151935940.152046171.00072561.3E-4
6.81.239713E-42.9055026E-43.2054156E-41.10322243.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124462740.001274591.02407363.0E-50.00644816740.0150494820.01511842851.00458137.0E-50.062642430.138380510.13848391.00074721.2E-4
6.91.0180238E-42.6255674E-42.9254888E-41.1142313.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112476220.00115472851.02664233.0E-50.0052980890.0136089980.0136780451.00507377.0E-50.051735430.124964730.125069721.00084031.2E-4
7.07.6619996E-52.2400476E-42.5399803E-41.13389583.0E-53.283301E-49.596704E-49.896416E-41.03123073.0E-50.00399009320.0116221030.0116912891.0059537.0E-50.0391920660.107269820.1073769551.00099861.2E-4
7.17.5127435E-52.2083633E-42.508297E-41.13581723.0E-53.2193496E-49.461013E-49.760729E-41.0316793.0E-50.00391251550.0114586480.0115278461.00603897.0E-50.0384434420.105833780.105941081.00101391.2E-4
7.26.788582E-52.0211334E-42.3210728E-41.14840163.0E-52.9090676E-48.6591556E-48.9588953E-41.03461543.0E-50.00353603860.01049220.0105614651.00660167.0E-50.0348030.0975036840.0976119861.00111071.2E-4
7.36.399602E-51.8842232E-42.1841667E-41.15918683.0E-52.7423984E-48.0727716E-48.3725294E-41.03713193.0E-50.00333375860.0097848970.00985421151.00708397.0E-50.032841880.0913979860.091507021.00119291.2E-4
7.44.506759E-51.2530042E-41.5529666E-41.23939453.0E-51.9313251E-45.3689216E-45.66876E-41.05584723.0E-50.00234885260.0065172450.00657685431.00914636.0E-50.0232418050.0623645220.0624582841.00150351.0E-4
7.53.43289E-59.336103E-51.13359165E-41.21420222.0E-51.4711556E-44.0005764E-44.2004965E-41.04997282.0E-50.00178966030.0048598860.00490964341.01023835.0E-50.017753160.0470570660.04713331.001628.0E-5
7.62.5980507E-57.053672E-59.0535315E-51.28352022.0E-51.1134028E-43.0226534E-43.222593E-41.06614712.0E-50.0013547250.00367389480.00372371121.01355965.0E-50.0134649590.035842980.0359104721.00188297.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9412036E-55.9411544E-51.20236981.0E-57.4106916E-52.1174872E-42.217466E-41.04721581.0E-59.018782E-40.00257499840.00261489531.0154944.0E-50.0089822670.0252920970.025340831.00192695.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.9697254E-54.9696857E-51.25189661.0E-55.5402274E-51.7012001E-41.8011831E-41.05877211.0E-56.743139E-40.00206924630.00210916341.01929074.0E-50.00672271430.0204331450.0204821231.00239715.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.8748475E-53.874819E-51.34783461.0E-54.371687E-51.2320194E-41.3320071E-41.08115761.0E-55.321229E-40.00149895260.00152890771.0199843.0E-50.0053085050.0149928950.0150322951.0026284.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3279512E-52.3279512E-51.00.03.70726E-59.976552E-59.976552E-51.00.04.5126543E-40.00121396930.0012339451.01645492.0E-50.00450350160.0122121640.01224179751.00242663.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3283345E-67.3283345E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.1406773E-53.1406773E-51.00.02.0539707E-43.8231048E-43.8231048E-41.00.00.00205207310.00400153130.00400153131.00.0
8.21.7101195E-62.2178374E-62.2178374E-61.00.07.329063E-69.504983E-69.504983E-61.00.08.922769E-51.15717055E-41.15717055E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.001266690.001266691.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.721086E-81.721086E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.376083E-87.376083E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.98038E-78.98038E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.36379E-69.36379E-61.00.0

White Mountains

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784127E-58.3782434E-52.47993525.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.0477307E-41.41435686.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00187121961.06233991.1E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176637081.01011351.8E-4
6.13.503579E-53.3784127E-58.3782434E-52.47993525.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.0477307E-41.41435686.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00187121961.06233991.1E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176637081.01011351.8E-4
6.23.503579E-53.3784127E-58.3782434E-52.47993525.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.0477307E-41.41435686.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00187121961.06233991.1E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176637081.01011351.8E-4
6.31.7818425E-51.591616E-53.591584E-52.25656462.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-59.820836E-51.43978563.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.7012636E-41.04814354.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083513811.00959118.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591616E-53.591584E-52.25656462.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-59.820836E-51.43978563.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.7012636E-41.04814354.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083513811.00959118.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336374E-52.133626E-51.88210631.0E-55.741684E-54.8583595E-56.858262E-51.41164162.0E-56.988258E-45.913517E-46.2133395E-41.05070133.0E-50.0069663230.0058984870.0059581331.0101126.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625434E-61.8625347E-52.15935181.0E-54.6365014E-53.6965648E-55.696491E-51.54102292.0E-55.6434784E-44.4996818E-44.7995467E-41.06664133.0E-50.0056291680.00449100740.0045308281.00886674.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802476E-61.6802407E-52.4700431.0E-53.8861883E-52.915316E-54.915258E-51.6860122.0E-54.7304068E-43.548851E-43.8487447E-41.08450443.0E-50.004720350.0035435010.00358335931.01124824.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.9364285E-64.9364285E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1155956E-52.1155956E-51.00.03.8062103E-42.5754445E-42.6754188E-41.03881821.0E-50.00379969760.00257257280.00259252131.00775432.0E-5
6.96.2243444E-63.8322546E-63.8322546E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6423846E-51.6423846E-51.00.03.2472567E-41.9994251E-42.0994052E-41.05000441.0E-50.00324251570.0019976790.0020076591.00499581.0E-5
7.04.9878413E-62.679564E-62.679564E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1483797E-51.1483797E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3980652E-41.4980511E-41.07151751.0E-50.0025992070.00139721190.00140719791.00714711.0E-5
7.14.0252844E-61.885702E-61.885702E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081555E-68.081555E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.838863E-51.0838764E-41.10162771.0E-50.00209813599.834635E-49.934537E-41.01015821.0E-5
7.23.3284066E-61.2818929E-61.2818929E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.4938155E-65.4938155E-61.00.01.736567E-46.688525E-57.6884586E-51.14949981.0E-50.00173521076.6866126E-46.786546E-41.01494531.0E-5
7.32.458226E-66.056684E-76.056684E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5957193E-62.5957193E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.160246E-54.1602147E-51.3164211.0E-50.00128184643.1598343E-43.2598025E-41.03163721.0E-5
7.41.965953E-63.1084684E-73.1084684E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3322001E-61.3322001E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6219417E-51.6219417E-51.00.00.00102528131.6218246E-41.6218246E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8241002E-71.8241002E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8175697E-77.8175697E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.51785E-69.51785E-61.00.06.266873E-49.517451E-59.517451E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893784E-84.893784E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0973359E-72.0973359E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.5535037E-62.5535037E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.553478E-52.553478E-51.00.0

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262253E-61.3432566E-431.049161.3E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.5853826E-48.5507541.4E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.956761E-41.7529941.7E-40.00230477080.00225514570.0024447171.08406171.9E-4
6.14.422171E-64.3262253E-61.3432566E-431.049161.3E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.5853826E-48.5507541.4E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.956761E-41.7529941.7E-40.00230477080.00225514570.0024447171.08406171.9E-4
6.24.422171E-64.3262253E-61.3432566E-431.049161.3E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.5853826E-48.5507541.4E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.956761E-41.7529941.7E-40.00230477080.00225514570.0024447171.08406171.9E-4
6.34.422171E-64.3262253E-61.3432566E-431.049161.3E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.5853826E-48.5507541.4E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.956761E-41.7529941.7E-40.00230477080.00225514570.0024447171.08406171.9E-4
6.44.422171E-64.3262253E-61.3432566E-431.049161.3E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.5853826E-48.5507541.4E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.956761E-41.7529941.7E-40.00230477080.00225514570.0024447171.08406171.9E-4
6.54.422171E-64.3262253E-61.3432566E-431.049161.3E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.5853826E-48.5507541.4E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.956761E-41.7529941.7E-40.00230477080.00225514570.0024447171.08406171.9E-4
6.62.663744E-62.5319846E-61.3253166E-452.3429951.3E-41.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.508498E-413.9015161.4E-41.3898089E-41.321073E-43.0208484E-42.28666281.7E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00150009831.13614891.8E-4
6.72.663744E-62.5319846E-61.3253166E-452.3429951.3E-41.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.508498E-413.9015161.4E-41.3898089E-41.321073E-43.0208484E-42.28666281.7E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00150009831.13614891.8E-4
6.81.9716529E-61.8322567E-61.3183201E-471.950631.3E-48.449913E-67.852505E-61.478514E-418.8285641.4E-41.0287284E-49.560019E-52.6558395E-42.77806931.7E-40.00102825239.5560355E-40.00113543161.18818261.8E-4
6.91.8788617E-61.7429976E-61.3174277E-475.584021.3E-48.0522395E-67.4699688E-61.4746892E-419.7415711.4E-49.80316E-59.09432E-52.6092774E-42.86912871.7E-49.798837E-49.090718E-40.00108890821.19782411.8E-4
7.01.5045488E-61.3849498E-61.3138478E-494.86611.3E-46.44805E-65.9354857E-61.4593465E-424.586811.4E-47.8502184E-57.226219E-52.4224991E-43.3523741.7E-47.8474457E-47.223921E-49.0226205E-41.24899221.8E-4
7.11.272341E-61.1625089E-61.3116236E-4112.826971.3E-45.4528787E-64.9821715E-61.4498147E-429.1000581.4E-46.6386776E-56.0656283E-52.3064596E-43.80250761.7E-46.636695E-46.064005E-47.862913E-41.29665351.8E-4
7.21.0416892E-69.409871E-71.3094087E-4139.152661.3E-44.464375E-64.032796E-61.4403224E-435.7152331.4E-45.4352407E-54.9098202E-52.1908985E-44.4622791.7E-45.4339116E-44.908754E-46.70787E-41.36651181.8E-4
7.37.9450155E-77.2350036E-71.307234E-4180.681881.3E-43.4050022E-63.1007123E-61.4310027E-446.1507761.4E-44.1455114E-53.7750528E-52.0774412E-45.5030781.7E-44.144738E-43.7744228E-45.573743E-41.47671411.8E-4
7.45.3893444E-75.0195166E-71.2050189E-4240.066731.2E-42.309717E-62.1512196E-61.3215093E-461.4307061.3E-42.8120441E-52.6190788E-51.861866E-47.1088581.6E-42.8116882E-42.6187746E-44.3183294E-41.64898861.7E-4
7.53.8852085E-73.6825622E-71.0036822E-4272.549961.0E-41.6650882E-61.57824E-61.1157807E-470.697781.1E-42.027226E-51.9214905E-51.5921221E-48.2858711.4E-42.0270412E-41.9213265E-43.3210576E-41.72852331.4E-4
7.62.414929E-72.3457605E-76.023456E-5256.780526.0E-51.0349692E-61.0053255E-66.1005267E-560.68216.0E-51.2600677E-51.2239771E-59.223879E-57.535998.0E-51.2599962E-41.223911E-42.023813E-41.65356238.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.8589785E-83.0068588E-5438.382873.0E-52.9270575E-72.939562E-73.0293948E-5103.055993.0E-53.5636867E-63.5789112E-63.3578803E-59.3824073.0E-53.5636294E-53.5788584E-56.578751E-51.83822613.0E-5

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.2526794E-43.5515749.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.51138E-41.66148081.0E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00198846151.08142771.5E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191728881.00981711.9E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.2526794E-43.5515749.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.51138E-41.66148081.0E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00198846151.08142771.5E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191728881.00981711.9E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.2526794E-43.5515749.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.51138E-41.66148081.0E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00198846151.08142771.5E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191728881.00981711.9E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.2526794E-43.5515749.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.51138E-41.66148081.0E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00198846151.08142771.5E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191728881.00981711.9E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.2513985E-43.56087429.0E-51.738908E-41.5060425E-42.505892E-41.66389191.0E-40.00211506480.00183206690.0019817921.08172481.5E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0190976561.00933331.8E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.2513985E-43.56087429.0E-51.738908E-41.5060425E-42.505892E-41.66389191.0E-40.00211506480.00183206690.0019817921.08172481.5E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0190976561.00933331.8E-4
6.64.053861E-53.5088357E-51.250852E-43.56486349.0E-51.7372532E-41.5037002E-42.50355E-41.66492621.0E-40.00211305380.00182922060.00197894621.08185211.5E-40.0209307430.018893140.0190697391.00934731.8E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.505743E-51.2505427E-43.5671269.0E-51.7363077E-41.502375E-42.5022248E-41.66551281.0E-40.0021119050.00182761010.0019773361.08192441.5E-40.0209194680.0188773370.0190539381.00935521.8E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5028992E-51.2502584E-43.56921039.0E-51.7353562E-41.5011564E-42.5010062E-41.66605321.0E-40.00211074880.00182612890.0019758551.0819911.5E-40.0209081250.0188627490.0190393531.00936261.8E-4
6.94.046386E-53.4991554E-51.2498841E-43.57195939.0E-51.73405E-41.499552E-42.499402E-41.66676581.0E-40.00210916160.00182417880.00197390511.08207881.5E-40.0208925530.0188435220.019020131.00937241.8E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4872126E-51.2486898E-43.58076799.0E-51.7297632E-41.4944343E-42.4942847E-41.66904961.0E-40.00210395250.00181795840.00196768581.08236011.5E-40.020841440.0187821370.0189587551.00940361.8E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.485059E-51.2484746E-43.5823639.0E-51.7288832E-41.4935112E-42.4933618E-41.6694631.0E-40.0021028830.00181683680.00196656421.0824111.5E-40.0208309480.0187710080.018947631.00940931.8E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.475509E-51.2475195E-43.5894599.0E-51.725201E-41.489419E-42.4892698E-41.67130281.0E-40.00209840850.00181186260.00196159071.08263781.5E-40.0207870420.0187217460.0188983771.00943451.8E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.458276E-51.2457964E-43.60236299.0E-51.7116306E-41.4820343E-42.4818862E-41.67464831.0E-40.00208191850.00180288660.00195261631.08304991.5E-40.0206252170.0186303870.0188070331.00948171.8E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.4468165E-51.2446506E-43.6110159.0E-51.7022261E-41.4771236E-42.476976E-41.67689141.0E-40.00207049030.00179691790.00194664831.08332621.5E-40.0205130520.0185695220.0187461791.00951331.8E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.3535776E-51.2353275E-43.68361129.0E-51.5871979E-41.4371685E-42.4370248E-41.69571271.0E-40.00193070060.00174835130.00189808911.08564511.5E-40.0191401240.0180711280.0182478761.00978061.8E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.13167E-51.2131388E-43.8737769.0E-51.4116794E-41.3420754E-42.3419413E-41.74501451.0E-40.00171736450.00163275450.00178250951.09171931.5E-40.017041530.0169040910.0170712171.00988671.7E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7882697E-51.1788019E-44.22771849.0E-51.2100645E-41.1949181E-42.1947986E-41.83677741.0E-40.00147225790.00145384290.00160362481.10302481.5E-40.0146254210.0151149120.0152823421.01107721.7E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5206451E-51.1520418E-44.57042469.0E-51.042642E-41.08023174E-42.0801238E-41.92562721.0E-40.00126867740.00131438950.00146419241.11397151.5E-40.0126145890.0137123410.013880011.01222751.7E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0420413E-51.1041857E-45.40726479.0E-58.301561E-58.751312E-51.8750437E-42.14258581.0E-40.00101024650.00106495220.00121479251.14070141.5E-40.01005666050.0111994020.0113674981.01500941.7E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5885415E-58.5884305E-55.4064887.0E-56.6782646E-56.807858E-51.4807313E-42.17503268.0E-58.127754E-48.2854216E-49.484427E-41.14471271.2E-40.0080980910.0087816360.0089204071.01580241.4E-4
8.11.0024873E-58.291399E-63.829115E-54.6181773.0E-54.2963035E-53.553409E-56.553302E-51.84422973.0E-55.229494E-44.3254215E-44.7252484E-41.09243664.0E-50.00521720430.00465306550.00469287951.00855654.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5602761E-61.5602761E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6868806E-66.6868806E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.140976E-58.140976E-51.00.00.00215932179.4514614E-49.4514614E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4401106E-51.2439801E-43.6161059.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.4741024E-41.67821111.0E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00194315441.0834891.5E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187127811.01006571.9E-4
6.13.652694E-53.4401106E-51.2439801E-43.6161059.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.4741024E-41.67821111.0E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00194315441.0834891.5E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187127811.01006571.9E-4
6.23.652694E-53.4401106E-51.2439801E-43.6161059.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.4741024E-41.67821111.0E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00194315441.0834891.5E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187127811.01006571.9E-4
6.33.652694E-53.4401106E-51.2439801E-43.6161059.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.4741024E-41.67821111.0E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00194315441.0834891.5E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187127811.01006571.9E-4
6.43.646941E-53.432268E-51.2431959E-43.6220839.0E-51.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.470742E-41.67976091.0E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00193907041.08367981.5E-40.0188496450.0184861810.018672671.0100881.9E-4
6.53.646941E-53.432268E-51.2431959E-43.6220839.0E-51.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.470742E-41.67976091.0E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00193907041.08367981.5E-40.0188496450.0184861810.018672671.0100881.9E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4286066E-51.2428297E-43.6248839.0E-51.561728E-41.4693203E-42.4691733E-41.68048681.0E-40.00189974550.0017874320.00193716391.08376931.5E-40.0188358690.018467450.0186539421.01009831.9E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.427164E-51.2426855E-43.62598789.0E-51.5612828E-41.4687021E-42.4685552E-41.68077331.0E-40.00189920440.00178668070.00193641261.08380461.5E-40.0188305490.0184600740.0186465661.01010251.9E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4240697E-51.2423762E-43.6283619.0E-51.560318E-41.4673761E-42.4672292E-41.68138851.0E-40.00189803180.00178506890.00193480111.08388041.5E-40.0188190230.0184442290.0186307241.01011131.9E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4201123E-51.2419805E-43.63140279.0E-51.5590832E-41.4656801E-42.4655336E-41.68217711.0E-40.00189653110.00178300750.00193274011.08397751.5E-40.0188042690.0184239630.0186104631.01012271.9E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.408314E-51.2408008E-43.64051189.0E-51.5554018E-41.4606243E-42.4604783E-41.68453871.0E-40.00189205690.00177686230.00192659571.08426851.5E-40.0187602840.0183635450.0185500551.01015661.9E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.403942E-51.2403636E-43.64390339.0E-51.5539382E-41.4587509E-42.4586052E-41.6854181.0E-40.0018902780.00177458510.0019243191.08437681.5E-40.0187427960.0183411390.0185276551.01016931.9E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.397364E-51.2397059E-43.64902269.0E-51.5517735E-41.455932E-42.4557865E-41.68674521.0E-40.0018876470.00177115880.00192089311.08454041.5E-40.018716930.0183074080.018493931.01018831.9E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.386193E-51.2385887E-43.65776239.0E-51.5478847E-41.4511449E-42.4509997E-41.68901111.0E-40.00188292060.00176533980.0019150751.08481941.5E-40.0186704620.018249960.0184364931.0102211.9E-4
7.43.607848E-53.380943E-51.2380639E-43.66188939.0E-51.5461289E-41.4488952E-42.4487503E-41.69008111.0E-40.00188078660.00176260520.00191234081.08495131.5E-40.0186494810.0182229560.0184094921.01023641.9E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.3619202E-51.2361618E-43.67695149.0E-51.5366284E-41.4407437E-42.4405995E-41.6939861.0E-40.00186923960.00175269670.00190243381.08543241.5E-40.0185359440.0181240570.0183106141.01029321.9E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2142278E-51.2213939E-43.79996069.0E-51.4084904E-41.3774536E-42.3773158E-41.72587731.0E-40.0017134880.00167576170.00182551031.08936151.5E-40.0170033610.0173438040.0175206811.01019841.8E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9235205E-51.1923257E-44.078399.0E-51.237764E-41.2528773E-42.252752E-41.79806281.0E-40.00150593570.00152431180.00167408321.0982551.5E-40.0149577130.0158303380.0160074891.01119051.8E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6526219E-51.16523835E-44.39277949.0E-51.0692515E-41.1367885E-42.1366749E-41.87957111.0E-40.00130103620.00138316210.00153295461.10829711.5E-40.0129344550.014411760.0145891651.01230981.8E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.150649E-51.1150455E-45.18469339.0E-58.520408E-59.216742E-51.921582E-42.0848821.0E-40.0010368660.00112156150.00127139331.13359211.5E-40.0103204150.0117769980.0119548781.0151041.8E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5936288E-58.593517E-55.3924217.0E-56.6996516E-56.829659E-51.4829113E-42.17128168.0E-58.153773E-48.3119445E-49.510947E-41.14425051.2E-40.008123920.0088103310.0089490981.01575041.4E-4
8.11.0045313E-58.300794E-63.8300546E-54.6140823.0E-54.305063E-53.557435E-56.557328E-51.84327423.0E-55.2401534E-44.3303217E-44.7301484E-41.09233194.0E-50.00522781440.00465876660.00469858061.0085464.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.5648296E-61.5648296E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.7063957E-66.7063957E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.164734E-58.164734E-51.00.00.00216590549.479703E-49.479703E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741651E-64.9741262E-55.106044.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.1174642E-42.6766037.0E-54.920106E-45.0819275E-46.281318E-41.23601091.2E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0052606351.03727351.9E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741651E-64.9741262E-55.106044.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.1174642E-42.6766037.0E-54.920106E-45.0819275E-46.281318E-41.23601091.2E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0052606351.03727351.9E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741651E-64.9741262E-55.106044.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.1174642E-42.6766037.0E-54.920106E-45.0819275E-46.281318E-41.23601091.2E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0052606351.03727351.9E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741651E-64.9741262E-55.106044.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.1174642E-42.6766037.0E-54.920106E-45.0819275E-46.281318E-41.23601091.2E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0052606351.03727351.9E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000763E-62.529997E-54.7735112.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-56.271352E-52.76095494.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.365E-41.21692516.0E-50.00268050660.00276206570.00286178941.03610481.0E-4
6.55.144063E-65.3000763E-62.529997E-54.7735112.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-56.271352E-52.76095494.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.365E-41.21692516.0E-50.00268050660.00276206570.00286178941.03610481.0E-4
6.63.4009804E-63.498786E-62.3498716E-56.7162482.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994721E-53.499442E-52.33378272.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254704E-42.1254156E-41.16431123.0E-50.00177301230.00182412860.00189400091.03830447.0E-5
6.73.3880428E-63.4856528E-62.3485583E-56.73778632.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938435E-53.4938137E-52.33880832.0E-51.767679E-41.8186188E-42.1185642E-41.16493033.0E-50.00176627360.00181728820.0018871611.03844897.0E-5
6.82.6582E-62.7337003E-62.2733646E-58.31607152.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715813E-53.171558E-52.70707442.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263204E-41.7262776E-41.21030143.0E-50.00138605120.00142553690.00148545141.04202946.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.4743288E-62.247428E-59.082982.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604231E-53.060402E-52.88601972.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910018E-41.5909631E-41.23234773.0E-50.00125463590.00129038140.0013503041.04643796.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429371E-61.174292E-56.73743151.0E-57.265593E-67.469715E-61.746964E-52.33872911.0E-58.8455E-59.094104E-51.1093922E-41.21990282.0E-58.84198E-49.09141E-49.3911367E-41.03296823.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5714822E-73.5714822E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306344E-61.5306344E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8635317E-51.8635317E-51.00.01.8268047E-41.863378E-41.9633592E-41.0536561.0E-5
7.22.2321095E-72.2750574E-72.2750574E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750242E-79.750242E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1870856E-51.1870856E-51.00.01.1646151E-41.1870232E-41.2870114E-41.08423441.0E-5
7.31.5760406E-71.6060922E-71.6060922E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.8832503E-76.8832503E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380326E-68.380326E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.3800165E-59.3799325E-51.11932151.0E-5
7.41.1216497E-71.1431706E-71.1431706E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899302E-74.899302E-71.00.05.852591E-65.964884E-65.964884E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.9647282E-56.964669E-51.16764221.0E-5
7.54.885185E-84.9787737E-84.9787737E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.13376E-72.13376E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.59785E-62.59785E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978214E-52.5978214E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317903E-91.5317903E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648154E-96.5648154E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992663E-87.992663E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992663E-77.992663E-71.00.0

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9714607E-58.9712616E-51.80455264.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.630359E-41.23464055.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00266076651.02694717.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.0257841631.00646581.7E-4
6.14.5923203E-54.9714607E-57.9713114E-51.60341443.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.5303802E-41.18771244.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00265079251.02309756.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.0257062131.00342319.0E-5
6.22.8844734E-52.9669678E-55.966879E-52.01110343.0E-51.2361443E-41.2714976E-41.5714594E-41.23591223.0E-50.00150396650.0015469760.00157692971.01936273.0E-50.01493828650.0153648730.0154042591.00256344.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3162425E-55.316173E-52.29517133.0E-59.9302975E-59.926383E-51.2926085E-41.30219483.0E-50.00120834310.00120788040.00123784421.02480693.0E-50.0120179380.0120121520.0120516721.00328994.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668067E-54.9667477E-52.52528523.0E-58.599689E-58.428905E-51.1428652E-41.35588813.0E-50.00104650920.0010257460.00105571531.0292173.0E-50.0104159460.0102114790.010251071.00387724.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115402E-53.711506E-52.1685182.0E-57.615444E-57.33497E-59.334823E-51.27264642.0E-59.267859E-48.926737E-49.126558E-41.02238462.0E-50.0092293030.0088746630.0088944851.00223362.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340872E-53.4340585E-52.39459512.0E-56.52585E-56.145947E-58.145824E-51.32539772.0E-57.942326E-47.480173E-47.6800236E-41.02671732.0E-50.0079140.00744103360.00746088471.00266782.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.1674277E-53.1674044E-52.7131482.0E-55.4444143E-55.0031682E-57.003068E-51.39972672.0E-56.626558E-46.089697E-46.289575E-41.03282242.0E-50.0066068330.00606230930.0060821881.00327912.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610384E-53.0610172E-52.88492582.0E-54.9520135E-54.547231E-56.5471395E-51.43980812.0E-56.0274085E-45.5348873E-45.734777E-41.03611452.0E-50.00601108650.0055044140.00552430381.00361352.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882285E-62.7882128E-53.53731512.0E-53.7422655E-53.37808E-55.3780128E-51.59203222.0E-54.5552556E-44.112066E-44.3119836E-41.04861742.0E-50.00454592940.0040895150.00410943341.00487052.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-65.107436E-61.51073855E-52.95791961.0E-52.5430107E-52.1888829E-53.1888612E-51.4568441.0E-53.0956755E-42.6646405E-42.764614E-41.03751851.0E-50.00309136670.0026614610.00267143451.00374731.0E-5
7.15.013409E-64.17734E-61.4177298E-53.3938581.0E-52.1485863E-51.7902763E-52.7902584E-51.5585631.0E-52.6155898E-42.1794444E-42.2794226E-41.04587331.0E-50.00261251330.00217731880.0021872971.00458281.0E-5
7.24.120763E-63.2820917E-63.2820917E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066032E-51.4066032E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124058E-41.7124058E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171109580.00171109581.00.0
7.33.2081239E-62.4404965E-62.4404965E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459229E-51.0459229E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.2733374E-41.2733374E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127261480.00127261481.00.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7680321E-61.7680321E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.5772587E-67.5772587E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.224927E-59.224927E-51.00.00.00126165279.221151E-49.221151E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.3782967E-79.3782967E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.019264E-64.019264E-61.00.07.222766E-54.8933474E-54.8933474E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923056E-44.8923056E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4113493E-76.4113493E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477186E-62.7477186E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345298E-53.345298E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.344816E-43.344816E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449304E-86.449304E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.763987E-72.763987E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651493E-63.3651493E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651013E-53.3651013E-51.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7853926E-57.785249E-51.62687783.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.350669E-41.14625933.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00259381931.03999511.0E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248538631.00711381.8E-4
6.14.4194956E-54.7853926E-57.785249E-51.62687783.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.350669E-41.14625933.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00259381931.03999511.0E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248538631.00711381.8E-4
6.24.4194956E-54.7853926E-57.785249E-51.62687783.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.350669E-41.14625933.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00259381931.03999511.0E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248538631.00711381.8E-4
6.34.4194956E-54.7853926E-57.785249E-51.62687783.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.350669E-41.14625933.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00259381931.03999511.0E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248538631.00711381.8E-4
6.43.729929E-53.960349E-56.96023E-51.7574793.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-41.9971364E-41.1767333.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.0021642541.04833881.0E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0206293691.00813771.7E-4
6.53.729929E-53.960349E-56.96023E-51.7574793.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-41.9971364E-41.1767333.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.0021642541.04833881.0E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0206293691.00813771.7E-4
6.63.0204548E-53.12056E-55.1204977E-51.64089062.0E-51.2944164E-41.3373162E-41.5372895E-41.14953332.0E-50.00157481270.00162700120.00171685471.05522649.0E-50.0156369920.0161547640.0162728261.00730811.2E-4
6.72.9857754E-53.0814987E-55.0814368E-51.64901482.0E-51.2795553E-41.3205773E-41.5205509E-41.15142892.0E-50.00155674530.00160665170.00169650711.05592729.0E-50.0154588480.0159542040.016072291.00740161.2E-4
6.82.4819734E-52.5009665E-54.5009165E-51.79967082.0E-51.0636595E-41.0718E-41.2717786E-41.1865822.0E-50.00129423620.0013041570.00139403961.06892019.0E-50.0128672440.0129674030.0130858471.00913391.2E-4
6.92.331124E-52.3337945E-54.3337477E-51.85695352.0E-59.990149E-51.0001605E-41.2001405E-41.1999482.0E-50.0012156220.00121703550.00130692591.07386029.0E-50.0120899360.0121058970.0122244441.00979261.2E-4
7.02.1818534E-52.1761074E-54.176064E-51.91905222.0E-59.3504656E-59.3258524E-51.13256654E-41.21443762.0E-50.00113782460.00113485090.00120477151.06161217.0E-50.0113201630.011292660.011391531.00875531.0E-4
7.12.066081E-52.0540718E-54.0540308E-51.97365582.0E-58.854332E-58.8028784E-51.0802703E-41.22717852.0E-50.00107748180.00107124310.00114116811.06527467.0E-50.0107227240.01066284350.01075188351.00835059.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9054001E-53.9053622E-52.04962832.0E-58.138417E-58.165756E-51.01655925E-41.24490522.0E-59.904018E-49.937467E-40.00106367711.07037047.0E-50.0098599950.0098950290.0099841381.00900549.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4906713E-53.4906414E-52.34165742.0E-55.7152483E-56.388442E-58.388314E-51.31304542.0E-56.956093E-47.77528E-48.4747357E-41.08995897.0E-50.0069343590.0077493760.0078386791.01152389.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.186096E-53.1860724E-52.68618422.0E-54.0345374E-55.083175E-57.0830734E-51.39343492.0E-54.910942E-46.1871024E-46.786731E-41.0969166.0E-50.00490010340.00617082560.00625033161.01288438.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.158192E-61.91581E-52.09190851.0E-53.090013E-53.9248847E-54.9248454E-51.25477461.0E-53.7614413E-44.7775774E-45.1773863E-41.08368444.0E-50.00375508070.0047680820.00481784341.01043645.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.5455017E-64.5455017E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.9480583E-51.9480583E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3715167E-42.3715167E-41.00.00.00171852590.00236912330.00237909961.0042111.0E-5
7.72.5741092E-63.5844084E-63.5844084E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5361667E-51.5361667E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.8701357E-41.8701357E-41.00.00.00134223350.00186869180.00186869181.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.75733E-63.6757127E-55.43959333.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-57.895826E-52.72648675.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.3250722E-41.22684758.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00368995171.04811791.7E-4
6.16.6264497E-66.75733E-63.6757127E-55.43959333.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-57.895826E-52.72648675.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.3250722E-41.22684758.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00368995171.04811791.7E-4
6.26.6264497E-66.75733E-63.6757127E-55.43959333.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-57.895826E-52.72648675.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.3250722E-41.22684758.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00368995171.04811791.7E-4
6.36.6264497E-66.75733E-63.6757127E-55.43959333.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-57.895826E-52.72648675.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.3250722E-41.22684758.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00368995171.04811791.7E-4
6.46.6264497E-66.75733E-63.6757127E-55.43959333.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-57.895826E-52.72648675.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.3250722E-41.22684758.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00368995171.04811791.7E-4
6.53.2162225E-63.2570915E-63.3256994E-510.2106423.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-56.395819E-54.5818965.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.3992518E-41.41184717.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00183791331.08230261.4E-4
6.63.2162225E-63.2570915E-63.3256994E-510.2106423.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-56.395819E-54.5818965.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.3992518E-41.41184717.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00183791331.08230261.4E-4
6.72.1908265E-62.2071222E-62.2071222E-61.00.09.389223E-69.459062E-61.9458968E-52.05717731.0E-51.1430779E-41.1515819E-41.3515589E-41.17365422.0E-50.00114249010.00115100460.0012209241.06074647.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.736553E-61.736553E-61.00.07.415934E-67.442349E-61.7442275E-52.34365181.0E-59.028525E-59.060693E-51.0060603E-41.11035681.0E-59.024858E-49.0570963E-49.456734E-41.04412424.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688623E-61.3688623E-61.00.05.87155E-65.86654E-61.586648E-52.70457221.0E-57.148377E-57.142283E-58.142211E-51.14000131.0E-57.146078E-47.140033E-47.539747E-41.05598214.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413805E-61.1413805E-61.00.04.9147607E-64.8916218E-61.4891573E-53.04430171.0E-55.983557E-55.95539E-56.95533E-51.16790511.0E-55.981946E-45.9538253E-46.253647E-41.05035783.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3026915E-79.3026915E-71.00.04.026511E-63.986862E-61.3986822E-53.50822851.0E-54.9021666E-54.853898E-55.853849E-51.206011.0E-54.901085E-44.8528553E-45.0527585E-41.04119292.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.7193014E-76.7193014E-71.00.02.939163E-62.8796974E-62.8796974E-61.00.03.5783723E-53.5059762E-53.5059762E-51.00.03.5777962E-43.5054318E-43.6053968E-41.02851711.0E-5
7.35.1101983E-74.939301E-74.939301E-71.00.02.1900833E-62.1168414E-62.1168414E-61.00.02.6663936E-52.5772246E-52.5772246E-51.00.02.6660739E-42.5769303E-42.6769046E-41.03879581.0E-5
7.43.4999414E-73.2995916E-73.2995916E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141099E-61.4141099E-61.00.01.8262032E-51.7216655E-51.7216655E-51.00.01.826053E-41.7215345E-41.8215172E-41.05807771.0E-5
7.51.7021522E-71.4750053E-71.4750053E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.32145E-76.32145E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696339E-67.696339E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696081E-57.696081E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-56.791987E-53.79000885.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.081476E-41.41243769.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00234952571.07781541.7E-4
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-56.791987E-53.79000885.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.081476E-41.41243769.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00234952571.07781541.7E-4
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-56.791987E-53.79000885.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.081476E-41.41243769.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00234952571.07781541.7E-4
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-56.791987E-53.79000885.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.081476E-41.41243769.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00234952571.07781541.7E-4
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-56.791987E-53.79000885.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.081476E-41.41243769.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00234952571.07781541.7E-4
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-61.2373133E-55.2137861.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-52.0170537E-51.98321251.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.3382002E-41.08075151.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00127754911.03228074.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-61.2373133E-55.2137861.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-52.0170537E-51.98321251.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.3382002E-41.08075151.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00127754911.03228074.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-61.1749774E-56.71495681.0E-57.2983503E-67.499088E-61.7499013E-52.33348561.0E-58.885379E-59.1298105E-51.0129719E-41.10952131.0E-58.881827E-49.1265864E-49.526221E-41.0437884.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-61.1329925E-58.5191381.0E-55.534837E-65.6997237E-61.5699667E-52.7544611.0E-56.738455E-56.939237E-57.939168E-51.1440981.0E-56.736412E-46.9375033E-47.1373646E-41.02880882.0E-5
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-76.1169936E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6215664E-62.6215664E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917145E-53.1917145E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.191297E-43.191297E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-74.832015E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708624E-62.0708624E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212494E-52.5212494E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210003E-42.5210003E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-73.987147E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-61.7087764E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-52.0804187E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-42.0802575E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-73.7616863E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-61.6121504E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.9627789E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-41.9626386E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-73.506347E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-61.5027196E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.829549E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294314E-41.8294314E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-73.1165817E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-61.3356774E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.6261785E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-41.6260923E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-71.5012525E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433939E-76.433939E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-67.8333205E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833321E-57.833321E-51.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.5904682E-41.60567786.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.0013356511.10768151.3E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122005041.01312641.6E-4
6.11.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.5904682E-41.60567786.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.0013356511.10768151.3E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122005041.01312641.6E-4
6.21.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.5904682E-41.60567786.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.0013356511.10768151.3E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122005041.01312641.6E-4
6.31.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.5904682E-41.60567786.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.0013356511.10768151.3E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122005041.01312641.6E-4
6.41.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.5904682E-41.60567786.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.0013356511.10768151.3E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122005041.01312641.6E-4
6.51.7190405E-52.0050558E-57.004956E-53.49364615.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.3592666E-41.58181255.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00116608371.11457981.2E-40.0089296760.0104620610.0106005961.01324161.4E-4
6.61.7190405E-52.0050558E-57.004956E-53.49364615.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.3592666E-41.58181255.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00116608371.11457981.2E-40.0089296760.0104620610.0106005961.01324161.4E-4

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794203E-56.6793364E-53.97716765.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.3196917E-41.83358046.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-49.858834E-41.12546371.1E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0088793861.01703071.5E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794203E-56.6793364E-53.97716765.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.3196917E-41.83358046.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-49.858834E-41.12546371.1E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0088793861.01703071.5E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.3681544E-56.368086E-54.6545085.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.0863122E-41.85269555.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.0362137E-41.12601599.0E-50.00656574450.00711873170.007218021.01394751.0E-4
6.31.2624631E-51.3681544E-56.368086E-54.6545085.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.0863122E-41.85269555.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.0362137E-41.12601599.0E-50.00656574450.00711873170.007218021.01394751.0E-4
6.49.417684E-61.0170118E-54.0169813E-53.94978833.0E-54.036088E-54.3585722E-57.3584415E-51.68826883.0E-54.912829E-45.3056807E-45.905362E-41.11302646.0E-50.0049019820.0052970490.00536667831.01314497.0E-5
6.59.368219E-61.0117545E-54.011724E-53.96511653.0E-54.014889E-54.3360415E-57.3359115E-51.69184533.0E-54.8870314E-45.2782625E-45.877946E-41.11361376.0E-50.0048762980.00526976170.00533939251.01321337.0E-5
6.67.803798E-68.441831E-61.8441746E-52.18456721.0E-53.3444423E-53.6179E-54.6178637E-51.27639341.0E-54.0710976E-44.4043022E-44.804126E-41.09078034.0E-50.00406364720.00439949050.004449271.0113155.0E-5
6.72.3108669E-62.4438336E-62.4438336E-61.00.09.903678E-61.0473532E-51.0473532E-51.00.01.205706E-41.2750797E-41.375067E-41.07841651.0E-50.0012050520.00127436670.0012843541.0078371.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062823E-62.2062823E-61.00.08.949753E-69.455462E-69.455462E-61.00.01.08957785E-41.1511434E-41.2511319E-41.08686021.0E-50.00108904380.00115056390.00116055241.00868141.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.981051E-61.981051E-61.00.08.043982E-68.490192E-68.490192E-61.00.09.7931086E-51.03363345E-41.1336231E-41.09673611.0E-59.788794E-40.00103316860.00104315841.0096691.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6202807E-61.6202807E-61.00.06.5817944E-66.9440425E-66.9440425E-61.00.08.01304E-58.454057E-59.453972E-51.11827641.0E-58.010151E-48.450965E-48.55088E-41.01182291.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.1497619E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-64.9275427E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999128E-56.999068E-51.16668091.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.0975464E-41.01666331.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.1329532E-42.61661987.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.6553636E-41.43106788.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.0023864641.05747471.3E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234498851.00670891.6E-4
6.16.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.1329532E-42.61661987.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.6553636E-41.43106788.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.0023864641.05747471.3E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234498851.00670891.6E-4
6.26.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.1329532E-42.61661987.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.6553636E-41.43106788.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.0023864641.05747471.3E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234498851.00670891.6E-4
6.36.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.1329532E-42.61661987.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.6553636E-41.43106788.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.0023864641.05747471.3E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234498851.00670891.6E-4
6.46.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.1329532E-42.61661987.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.6553636E-41.43106788.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.0023864641.05747471.3E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234498851.00670891.6E-4
6.55.811017E-54.0080286E-51.1007748E-42.74642477.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.5174764E-41.46568258.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.0022189231.06209491.3E-40.029866840.0215908330.0217473791.00725051.6E-4
6.65.811017E-54.0080286E-51.1007748E-42.74642477.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.5174764E-41.46568258.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.0022189231.06209491.3E-40.029866840.0215908330.0217473791.00725051.6E-4
6.75.712442E-53.950301E-51.09500244E-42.77194677.0E-52.4479596E-41.6928767E-42.4927413E-41.47248848.0E-50.00297631770.00205913440.0021888671.06300331.3E-40.0293676930.0212829190.0214395131.00735771.6E-4
6.85.6967532E-53.93593E-51.09356544E-42.77841697.0E-52.4412372E-41.6867183E-42.4865835E-41.47421378.0E-50.00296815530.00205165080.00218138421.06323361.3E-40.0292882290.021208520.0213651271.00738421.6E-4
6.95.6211324E-53.9064216E-51.0906148E-42.79185137.0E-52.4088343E-41.6740736E-42.4739397E-41.47779628.0E-50.00292881160.00203628470.002166021.06371181.3E-40.0289051090.0210475270.021204161.00744191.6E-4
7.05.4383527E-53.7925012E-51.0792236E-42.84567767.0E-52.3305144E-41.6252567E-42.4251266E-41.492158.0E-50.00283370940.0019769590.0021067021.06562761.3E-40.0279784650.020440950.020597681.00766741.6E-4
7.15.1393665E-53.638787E-51.0638532E-42.92364797.0E-52.2023996E-41.5593872E-42.3592624E-41.51294218.0E-50.00267812420.00189690480.00201667731.0631411.2E-40.0264607820.0196160770.0197631341.00749681.5E-4
7.24.785222E-53.4738845E-51.0473641E-43.01496537.0E-52.0506482E-41.4887229E-42.2886037E-41.53729338.0E-50.00249380550.00181101670.00193079951.06614111.2E-40.0246600490.0187287830.0188759731.00785911.5E-4
7.34.2143256E-53.3834414E-51.0383205E-43.06882957.0E-51.8060145E-41.449966E-42.24985E-41.55165718.0E-50.0021966050.00176390750.00188369581.06791081.2E-40.021750190.0182366950.018383961.00807511.5E-4
7.44.0264713E-53.3472694E-51.0347035E-43.09118687.0E-51.7255165E-41.4344654E-42.2343505E-41.55761918.0E-50.0020987920.00174506590.00186485661.06864541.2E-40.0207908040.0180413890.0181886831.00816421.5E-4
7.53.694492E-53.2186905E-51.02184655E-43.17472747.0E-51.5832575E-41.379366E-42.1792557E-41.57989668.0E-50.00192591180.00167808760.00179788621.07138991.2E-40.019093060.0173578880.0175052841.00849161.5E-4
7.63.200565E-52.9502702E-59.9500634E-53.37259397.0E-51.3715986E-41.2643404E-42.0642392E-41.6326618.0E-50.0016686420.00153824970.00165806511.07789081.2E-40.016561680.0159460160.0160837841.00863961.4E-4
7.72.731642E-52.6091477E-59.608965E-53.68279867.0E-51.1706512E-41.11815825E-41.9180687E-41.71538228.0E-50.0014243360.00136050850.00148034531.08808231.2E-40.0141524120.01416680.0143048171.00974231.4E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3503619E-59.350197E-53.97819477.0E-51.0056651E-41.0072591E-41.8071785E-41.79415458.0E-50.00122370940.00122564890.00134550191.09778741.2E-40.0121699280.0128087960.0129470031.010791.4E-4
7.91.8611925E-51.890698E-58.8905654E-54.7022667.0E-57.9762955E-58.10274E-51.6102091E-41.98724038.0E-59.7068126E-49.860628E-40.00110594451.12157611.2E-40.00966452250.0103937050.0105322511.01332971.4E-4
8.01.5460775E-51.5739915E-57.573897E-54.81190446.0E-56.6258784E-56.745504E-51.3745032E-42.03765827.0E-58.0640207E-48.2095637E-49.3086605E-41.133881.1E-40.0080348210.0087027060.0088315751.01480791.3E-4
8.19.983884E-68.268954E-63.8268707E-54.62799843.0E-54.2787375E-53.5437897E-56.5436834E-51.84652143.0E-55.2081177E-44.313715E-44.7135423E-41.09268754.0E-50.00519592830.004639680.00467949451.00858134.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5522551E-61.5522551E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6525045E-66.6525045E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.099126E-58.099126E-51.00.00.00214880649.401847E-49.401847E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6750775E-57.6749304E-52.08837254.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00201623371.05208051.0E-40.0166971780.0190564380.019213391.00823621.6E-4
6.13.2269712E-53.6750775E-57.6749304E-52.08837254.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00201623371.05208051.0E-40.0166971780.0190564380.019213391.00823621.6E-4
6.23.2269712E-53.6750775E-57.6749304E-52.08837254.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00201623371.05208051.0E-40.0166971780.0190564380.019213391.00823621.6E-4
6.33.2269712E-53.6750775E-57.6749304E-52.08837254.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00201623371.05208051.0E-40.0166971780.0190564380.019213391.00823621.6E-4
6.41.4404779E-51.48492945E-54.484885E-53.0202683.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-51.03635764E-41.62851234.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.2448736E-41.06450565.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00779819951.01028438.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.48492945E-54.484885E-53.0202683.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-51.03635764E-41.62851234.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.2448736E-41.06450565.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00779819951.01028438.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.301186E-54.301147E-53.3055593.0E-55.4864904E-55.5763932E-59.57617E-51.71726954.0E-56.6777546E-46.7871617E-47.18689E-41.05889484.0E-50.0066577240.00676664340.00683616941.01027497.0E-5
6.71.2457027E-51.262838E-54.2628002E-53.37557153.0E-55.3386164E-55.4120515E-59.411835E-51.73905124.0E-56.497827E-46.5871974E-46.986934E-41.06068384.0E-50.006478860.006567870.006637411.01058797.0E-5
6.81.2095134E-51.2230827E-54.223046E-53.45278863.0E-55.1835254E-55.2416784E-59.241469E-51.76307434.0E-56.309115E-46.3798914E-46.779636E-41.0626574.0E-50.00629123250.0063617640.00643131841.01093337.0E-5
6.91.1104036E-51.115726E-53.1157037E-52.79253482.0E-54.758786E-54.781596E-56.7815E-51.41825042.0E-55.7922816E-45.82005E-46.019934E-41.0343442.0E-50.0057772070.00580495360.00585466341.00856335.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.05815925E-53.058138E-52.89005472.0E-54.5331115E-54.53489E-56.5347995E-51.4410052.0E-55.5176654E-45.5198424E-45.7197316E-41.03621292.0E-50.00550398560.005506270.0055559951.00903065.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.9809E-62.99807E-53.00380732.0E-54.294976E-54.277459E-56.277374E-51.46754732.0E-55.2278786E-45.206574E-45.4064696E-41.0383932.0E-50.00521559640.0051945080.00524424851.00957565.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748706E-61.8748618E-52.1430161.0E-53.8031343E-53.7493923E-54.7493548E-51.26669991.0E-54.629332E-44.56394E-44.6638944E-41.02190091.0E-50.00461970.00455468470.0045945031.00874224.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050243E-61.750495E-52.33243081.0E-53.235857E-53.2164E-54.2163676E-51.31089661.0E-53.9389438E-43.9152734E-44.0152343E-41.0255311.0E-50.00393196940.00390848240.0039483261.01019424.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183062E-61.6183E-52.61731171.0E-52.703998E-52.6498574E-53.649831E-51.37736881.0E-53.2916202E-43.2257332E-43.325701E-41.03099071.0E-50.0032867490.00322114840.00325105181.00928343.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408016E-61.4440757E-53.25183561.0E-51.975831E-51.9031871E-52.9031682E-51.52542441.0E-52.4053088E-42.316891E-42.4168678E-41.04315131.0E-50.0024027070.0023145450.00233449861.0086212.0E-5
7.61.2858658E-61.3008196E-61.1300806E-58.6874511.0E-55.5108417E-65.574929E-61.5574873E-52.79373481.0E-56.7092435E-56.787272E-57.787204E-51.14732461.0E-56.707218E-46.7852676E-46.9851323E-41.02945572.0E-5
7.75.3302307E-75.612138E-75.612138E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052001E-62.4052001E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9282955E-52.9282955E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.9279455E-42.9279455E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.80301E-84.80301E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584326E-72.0584326E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061388E-62.5061388E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061116E-52.5061116E-51.00.0

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.055345E-45.355194E-41.05931323.0E-50.00117788690.0021648170.00220473041.01843734.0E-50.01424676550.0260484090.0261458051.0037391.0E-40.133672490.228070290.22819381.00054161.6E-4
6.12.5356023E-44.8657708E-45.165625E-41.06162523.0E-50.0010862340.0020837020.00212361871.01915664.0E-50.0131449280.025070940.0251684321.00388871.0E-40.1239401550.219495610.21962051.0005691.6E-4
6.22.4820742E-44.775311E-45.075168E-41.06279313.0E-50.00106331240.00204499460.00208491271.01951994.0E-50.012869190.0246106760.0247082151.00396321.0E-40.121489270.216001360.216126811.00058081.6E-4
6.32.3205351E-44.5892023E-44.8890646E-41.06534093.0E-59.94136E-40.00196535540.00200527671.02031254.0E-50.0120365990.0236611870.023758821.00412631.0E-40.114051330.207938270.2080651.00060951.6E-4
6.42.0304754E-43.9878016E-44.287682E-41.07519943.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170795290.00174788471.02337984.0E-50.0105398690.0205954180.0206933581.00475551.0E-40.1005376350.185071130.185193361.00066051.5E-4
6.51.854992E-43.6990462E-43.9989353E-41.0810723.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158435480.00162429141.02520694.0E-50.0096332810.019114430.0192125181.00513161.0E-40.09226230.17330390.17342791.00071551.5E-4
6.61.6586106E-43.4036173E-43.7035154E-41.08811153.0E-57.106394E-40.00145788780.00149782961.02739694.0E-50.0086177630.0176076260.0177058631.00557941.0E-40.082911320.160780550.160906431.0007831.5E-4
6.71.4224656E-43.076812E-43.3767198E-41.09747353.0E-56.094856E-40.00131797560.0013479361.02273213.0E-50.00739526930.0159285220.0160072461.00494248.0E-50.071539550.146487980.146598941.00075751.3E-4
6.81.2317259E-42.779231E-43.0791477E-41.10791353.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119056150.00122052571.02516823.0E-50.00640675470.0144001310.01446912251.0047917.0E-50.062251660.132940890.133044931.00078261.2E-4
6.99.859898E-52.5015484E-42.8014733E-41.11989573.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107165590.00110162381.02796413.0E-50.00513179460.0129703190.0130394111.0053277.0E-50.050148930.1194088760.119514551.0008851.2E-4
7.07.3191884E-52.1267848E-42.426721E-41.1410283.0E-53.136418E-49.11164E-49.411367E-41.0328953.0E-50.0038119040.0110376810.0111069081.0062727.0E-50.0374717640.102067560.102175311.00105571.2E-4
7.17.1760296E-52.0969207E-42.3968577E-41.1430373.0E-53.0750787E-48.9837395E-49.28347E-41.03336373.0E-50.0037374820.0108835280.0109527661.00636177.0E-50.036752450.100704060.100811981.00107161.2E-4
7.26.46614E-51.9137723E-42.2137149E-41.15672853.0E-52.7709085E-48.199333E-48.4990874E-41.03655843.0E-50.00336836280.0099376170.0100069211.0069747.0E-50.0331776250.0925110060.09261991.00117721.2E-4
7.36.088115E-51.780939E-42.0808856E-41.16842043.0E-52.6089314E-47.6303916E-47.930163E-41.03928653.0E-50.00317174760.0092510060.0093203591.00749677.0E-50.0312685850.086561350.0866709651.00126621.2E-4
7.44.199346E-51.1511097E-41.4510751E-41.2605883.0E-51.7995955E-44.932403E-45.232255E-41.06079233.0E-50.00218880570.0059888350.0060484761.00995866.0E-50.021673720.057440240.0575344971.00164091.0E-4
7.53.130448E-58.333871E-51.0333704E-41.23996452.0E-51.3415517E-43.5711733E-43.7711018E-41.0559842.0E-50.00163211530.00433929540.00438907841.01147265.0E-50.0162018030.0421335060.0422101361.00181888.0E-5
7.62.3074248E-56.0849357E-58.084814E-51.32866062.0E-59.888588E-52.6075702E-42.8075182E-41.07667972.0E-50.00120327060.00317011820.00321995981.01572235.0E-50.0119677610.031028160.0310959891.00218617.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0128452E-55.0128052E-51.24918971.0E-56.2511994E-51.7196777E-41.8196605E-41.05814041.0E-57.608177E-40.00209170250.00213161881.01908314.0E-50.0075821820.020629090.0206780581.00237385.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.096395E-54.096364E-51.32294621.0E-54.4369157E-51.326959E-41.4269458E-41.07535031.0E-55.400606E-40.00161437780.00165431321.02473744.0E-50.00538750.0160178930.0160670911.00307155.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2151205E-53.2150983E-51.45143271.0E-53.4876273E-59.493029E-51.0492934E-41.10533051.0E-54.2453592E-40.00115516440.00118512971.02594033.0E-50.0042372580.0116188420.0116583781.00340274.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8010365E-51.8010365E-51.00.02.9733603E-57.7185E-57.7185E-51.00.03.6194647E-49.3932304E-49.593042E-41.0212722.0E-50.00361357510.0095024150.0095321291.00312713.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.380179E-66.380179E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.734334E-52.734334E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.3285443E-43.3285443E-41.00.00.00178741480.00348636740.00348636741.00.0
8.21.4906886E-61.936633E-61.936633E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.2998295E-68.2998295E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.0104576E-41.0104576E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00110754230.00110754231.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.4495866E-81.4495866E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.212514E-86.212514E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.563736E-77.563736E-71.00.01.344007E-57.884359E-67.884359E-61.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322783E-56.632197E-54.06315335.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.399481E-42.0006027.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.7125774E-41.1408311.2E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008658881.0174761.5E-4
6.11.1549387E-51.6322783E-56.632197E-54.06315335.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.399481E-42.0006027.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.7125774E-41.1408311.2E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008658881.0174761.5E-4
6.21.1549387E-51.6322783E-56.632197E-54.06315335.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.399481E-42.0006027.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.7125774E-41.1408311.2E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008658881.0174761.5E-4
6.31.1549387E-51.6322783E-56.632197E-54.06315335.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.399481E-42.0006027.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.7125774E-41.1408311.2E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008658881.0174761.5E-4
6.41.1549387E-51.6322783E-56.632197E-54.06315335.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.399481E-42.0006027.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.7125774E-41.1408311.2E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008658881.0174761.5E-4
6.51.1549387E-51.6322783E-56.632197E-54.06315335.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.399481E-42.0006027.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.7125774E-41.1408311.2E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008658881.0174761.5E-4
6.69.202681E-61.3846059E-56.3845364E-54.6110865.0E-53.9439463E-55.9338956E-51.293348E-42.17959367.0E-54.800697E-47.2222133E-48.4213464E-41.16603411.2E-40.0047903390.00722734020.0073762561.02060451.5E-4
6.79.019164E-61.3651728E-56.3651045E-54.662495.0E-53.8652986E-55.8506146E-51.2850206E-42.19638547.0E-54.7049852E-47.1208854E-48.320031E-41.16839841.2E-40.0046950360.00712666470.00727559531.02089771.5E-4
6.88.673558E-61.3273839E-56.3273175E-54.7667585.0E-53.717186E-55.688669E-51.268827E-42.23044637.0E-54.524734E-46.923842E-48.123011E-41.17319421.2E-40.00451553240.00693085230.00707981271.02149241.5E-4
6.97.002255E-61.1478069E-56.147749E-55.3560845.0E-53.000932E-54.9190832E-51.1918739E-42.42295937.0E-53.653022E-45.9874065E-47.186688E-41.20030071.2E-40.00364702290.0059996760.00614877561.02485131.5E-4
7.05.84644E-69.675359E-65.9674876E-56.1677175.0E-52.5055931E-54.146519E-51.1146229E-42.6880937.0E-53.0501327E-45.047263E-46.2466576E-41.23763261.2E-40.00304594960.0050639940.00521323461.02947091.5E-4
7.15.54703E-69.329834E-65.9329366E-56.35910225.0E-52.377277E-53.9984414E-51.09981615E-42.7506127.0E-52.8939504E-44.8670598E-46.066476E-41.24643541.2E-40.00289018450.00488458760.0050338551.03055881.5E-4
7.24.384709E-67.681918E-65.7681533E-57.50874145.0E-51.8791474E-53.292211E-51.029198E-43.12616067.0E-52.2876218E-44.0075663E-45.2070856E-41.29931351.2E-40.00228526820.0040285420.00417793771.03708431.5E-4
7.33.7888456E-66.915788E-65.6915444E-58.2297845.0E-51.623781E-52.9638775E-59.96367E-53.3617017.0E-51.9767738E-43.6079568E-44.8075238E-41.33247821.2E-40.00197501620.003630270.00377972541.04116931.5E-4
7.42.1982462E-65.0241033E-65.502385E-510.9519755.0E-59.421021E-62.1531694E-59.1530186E-54.25095137.0E-51.1469489E-42.6211704E-43.720882E-41.41954981.1E-40.00114635720.00264603270.00278566221.05276941.4E-4
7.52.051923E-64.6153277E-65.4615095E-511.8334175.0E-58.793926E-61.9779825E-58.977844E-54.53888947.0E-51.0706078E-42.4079291E-43.507664E-41.4567141.1E-40.00107009220.00243359320.00257325241.05738811.4E-4
7.61.8733427E-64.1236603E-65.4123455E-513.1250995.0E-58.028587E-61.7672712E-58.767148E-54.9608397.0E-59.774366E-52.151441E-43.2512043E-41.51117531.1E-49.770069E-40.00217825130.00231794621.06413171.4E-4
7.71.8411953E-64.0433315E-65.404313E-513.365995.0E-57.890813E-61.732845E-58.732724E-55.039537.0E-59.606641E-52.1095353E-43.2093032E-41.52133191.1E-49.6024893E-40.00213652920.002276231.06538691.4E-4
7.81.7194251E-63.71068E-65.3710493E-514.4745695.0E-57.368944E-61.5902819E-58.59017E-55.40166577.0E-58.97132E-51.9359968E-43.035784E-41.56807281.1E-48.967699E-40.00196247570.00210220091.07119851.4E-4
7.91.4035052E-62.9502596E-65.2950112E-517.947615.0E-56.0150082E-61.2643909E-58.2643026E-56.53619247.0E-57.3230265E-51.5392878E-42.6391185E-41.71450611.1E-47.3206134E-40.00156311740.00170289851.08942461.4E-4
8.03.9318823E-75.528477E-72.0552836E-537.1763042.0E-51.6850913E-62.3693453E-62.2369299E-59.441132.0E-52.0515794E-52.8846403E-55.8845537E-52.0399613.0E-52.0513899E-42.990952E-43.3908326E-41.13369674.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13775044E-71.13775044E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.876072E-74.876072E-71.00.08.331805E-65.936602E-65.936602E-61.00.08.331492E-56.5494125E-56.5494125E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5435753E-82.5435753E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09010365E-71.09010365E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3272004E-61.3272004E-61.00.02.556876E-51.4952613E-51.4952613E-51.00.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.894798E-58.894602E-51.8171544.0E-51.6884391E-42.0976314E-42.5975265E-41.23831425.0E-50.00205373620.0025513850.0026311811.03127558.0E-50.0203485950.0252801680.0253971351.00462681.2E-4
6.12.1505624E-52.6878823E-54.6878286E-51.74406022.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.4518703E-41.26040823.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00145158151.03562225.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.01401644851.00494897.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6878823E-54.6878286E-51.74406022.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.4518703E-41.26040823.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00145158151.03562225.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.01401644851.00494897.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.8164832E-53.8164468E-52.10100872.0E-56.1244784E-57.784722E-51.0784488E-41.38534023.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-49.973756E-41.05272475.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0095160791.007347.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.8164832E-53.8164468E-52.10100872.0E-56.1244784E-57.784722E-51.0784488E-41.38534023.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-49.973756E-41.05272475.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0095160791.007347.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6651793E-53.6651458E-52.2010522.0E-55.5789995E-57.1363116E-51.0136098E-41.42035523.0E-56.790315E-48.6854334E-49.1849995E-41.05751765.0E-50.00676960360.0086642330.0087336261.00800927.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2039209E-53.203897E-52.66121862.0E-54.058515E-55.159578E-57.1594746E-51.38760862.0E-54.940122E-46.280315E-46.6800637E-41.06365114.0E-50.0049291540.0062732480.0063328711.00950446.0E-5
6.78.314155E-61.040749E-53.0407282E-52.92167282.0E-53.5631605E-54.4602948E-56.4602056E-51.44838082.0E-54.3372845E-45.4293784E-45.7292153E-41.05522493.0E-50.0043288290.00542708070.00547680961.0091635.0E-5
6.83.4856364E-63.8134033E-62.3813327E-56.2446392.0E-51.4938357E-51.6343065E-53.634274E-52.22374062.0E-51.8185932E-41.9896074E-42.2895477E-41.15075353.0E-50.00181710560.00198945290.00202937331.0200664.0E-5
6.92.2645952E-62.152909E-61.2152887E-55.64486841.0E-59.705372E-69.226722E-61.9226629E-52.08379861.0E-51.18156495E-41.12329755E-41.323275E-41.17802722.0E-50.00118093690.00112331380.00114329141.01778452.0E-5
7.01.7864003E-61.5430741E-61.15430585E-57.48056031.0E-57.655979E-66.613158E-61.6613092E-52.5121271.0E-59.3207556E-58.051228E-59.051148E-51.12419461.0E-59.316847E-48.052856E-48.1527757E-41.01240791.0E-5
7.11.7315456E-61.4733466E-61.1473332E-57.7872591.0E-57.420889E-66.314328E-61.6314265E-52.583691.0E-59.034557E-57.687428E-58.6873515E-51.13007251.0E-59.0308854E-47.68921E-47.7891327E-41.01299521.0E-5
7.21.6008337E-61.3574178E-61.1357404E-58.3669191.0E-56.860698E-65.817492E-61.5817433E-52.71894381.0E-58.352579E-57.082572E-58.082501E-51.14118171.0E-58.34944E-47.0846075E-47.1845367E-41.01410511.0E-5
7.31.3320939E-61.1217794E-61.1121769E-59.9143981.0E-55.7089615E-64.8076176E-61.480757E-53.08002231.0E-56.9504385E-55.853122E-56.853064E-51.1708391.0E-56.9482654E-45.8530655E-45.953007E-41.01707511.0E-5
7.41.114294E-69.237087E-71.09237E-511.8259141.0E-54.775537E-63.9587458E-61.3958706E-53.52604271.0E-55.8140613E-54.81967E-55.8196216E-51.2074731.0E-55.81254E-44.8187698E-44.9187214E-41.02074221.0E-5
7.59.354081E-77.6233886E-71.0762331E-514.11751651.0E-54.0088858E-63.2671626E-61.326713E-54.060751.0E-54.8807087E-53.9777013E-54.9776616E-51.25139151.0E-54.879637E-43.9770233E-44.0769836E-41.02513441.0E-5
7.68.521771E-76.880688E-71.0688062E-515.5334211.0E-53.6521824E-62.948863E-61.29488335E-54.39112761.0E-54.4464414E-53.590185E-54.590149E-51.27852711.0E-54.4455516E-43.5896365E-43.6896006E-41.0278481.0E-5
7.72.1803626E-71.4186368E-71.4186368E-71.00.09.344408E-76.0798715E-76.0798715E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.4022278E-67.4022278E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.402077E-57.402077E-51.00.0

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719574E-55.2718893E-52.32041723.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.5736045E-41.61616976.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00126475331.06743928.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0119097361.01005711.2E-4
6.12.1227985E-52.2719574E-55.2718893E-52.32041723.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.5736045E-41.61616976.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00126475331.06743928.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0119097361.01005711.2E-4
6.22.1227985E-52.2719574E-55.2718893E-52.32041723.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.5736045E-41.61616976.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00126475331.06743928.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0119097361.01005711.2E-4
6.31.1613981E-51.2353542E-53.2353295E-52.6189492.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-59.294063E-51.75549324.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.9436757E-41.07754165.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.00648617371.00927636.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353542E-53.2353295E-52.6189492.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-59.294063E-51.75549324.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.9436757E-41.07754165.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.00648617371.00927636.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.4816E-61.9481506E-52.05466441.0E-53.8276554E-54.0634844E-56.0634033E-51.49216842.0E-54.6591737E-44.946261E-45.2461127E-41.06062193.0E-50.00464941750.0049361610.0049759641.00806344.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79028E-61.7790202E-52.2836411.0E-53.1479703E-53.338653E-55.3385862E-51.5990242.0E-53.83198E-44.064132E-44.36401E-41.07378653.0E-50.00382537880.00405749070.00409732851.00981834.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655149E-61.6655082E-52.5025861.0E-52.690358E-52.8521798E-53.8521513E-51.3505991.0E-53.2750185E-43.472051E-43.572016E-41.02879141.0E-50.00327019630.0034673670.00348729781.0057482.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.8551113E-61.5855052E-52.70789961.0E-52.367154E-52.5093133E-53.5092882E-51.39850541.0E-52.8816288E-43.0547334E-43.154703E-41.0327261.0E-50.0028778950.00305125050.00307118961.00653472.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.0654203E-61.506537E-52.97415971.0E-52.0477004E-52.1708804E-53.1708587E-51.46063261.0E-52.4927902E-42.642797E-42.7427703E-41.03782871.0E-50.00248999570.0026403460.00266029341.00755482.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.118487E-61.41184455E-53.4280661.0E-51.6642054E-51.7650578E-52.7650402E-51.56654371.0E-52.0259817E-42.1488148E-42.2487935E-41.04652731.0E-50.00202413560.00214741290.002167371.00929362.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0097158E-61.3009686E-54.32256271.0E-51.2153464E-51.2898756E-52.2898626E-51.77525851.0E-51.4795837E-41.5703762E-41.6703604E-41.0636691.0E-50.0014785990.00156991160.00158988021.01271952.0E-5

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-57.854164E-52.75168855.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.374253E-41.25893529.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00366869081.03369131.2E-4
6.16.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-57.854164E-52.75168855.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.374253E-41.25893529.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00366869081.03369131.2E-4
6.26.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-57.854164E-52.75168855.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.374253E-41.25893529.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00366869081.03369131.2E-4
6.36.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-57.854164E-52.75168855.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.374253E-41.25893529.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00366869081.03369131.2E-4
6.46.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-57.854164E-52.75168855.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.374253E-41.25893529.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00366869081.03369131.2E-4
6.56.6561875E-66.620341E-65.662001E-58.5524315.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-57.8371166E-52.76221475.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.3535043E-41.26049149.0E-50.00346709070.00352843220.00364800871.03388941.2E-4
6.66.6561875E-66.620341E-65.662001E-58.5524315.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-57.8371166E-52.76221475.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.3535043E-41.26049149.0E-50.00346709070.00352843220.00364800871.03388941.2E-4
6.76.5802237E-66.539518E-65.653919E-58.6457745.0E-52.8200653E-52.8026205E-57.80248E-52.78399475.0E-53.4328885E-43.4116567E-44.3113498E-41.26371159.0E-50.00342759020.00348640650.00360598831.03429941.2E-4
6.86.575632E-66.5340073E-65.653368E-58.6522225.0E-52.8180975E-52.8002589E-57.800119E-52.78549935.0E-53.4304935E-43.4087826E-44.3084758E-41.26393399.0E-50.00342520260.00348354130.00360312341.03432771.2E-4
6.96.570433E-66.525401E-65.6525074E-58.6623135.0E-52.8158694E-52.7965707E-57.796431E-52.7878545.0E-53.4277816E-43.4042934E-44.303987E-41.2642829.0E-50.00342249920.00347906650.0035986491.0343721.2E-4
7.06.5643826E-66.5155223E-65.6515197E-58.6739325.0E-52.8132765E-52.7923368E-57.792197E-52.7905655.0E-53.424626E-43.3991406E-44.2988345E-41.26468289.0E-50.00341935320.00347392960.00359351281.0344231.2E-4
7.16.557402E-66.504234E-65.6503908E-58.687255.0E-52.8102848E-52.7874992E-57.78736E-52.79367265.0E-53.4209844E-43.3932526E-44.292947E-41.26514229.0E-50.00341572290.00346806060.00358764451.03448151.2E-4
7.26.546394E-66.4862006E-65.6485875E-58.7086235.0E-52.8055672E-52.7797707E-57.7796314E-52.79865965.0E-53.4152428E-43.383846E-44.2835413E-41.26587959.0E-50.00340999870.00345868830.0035782731.03457521.2E-4
7.36.5364216E-66.4669857E-65.6466662E-58.7315275.0E-52.8012933E-52.771536E-57.771397E-52.8040045.0E-53.4100408E-43.373823E-44.2735194E-41.26666969.0E-50.0034048130.00344871030.00356829661.03467561.2E-4
7.46.5269523E-66.4480723E-65.644775E-58.7542065.0E-52.7972354E-52.7634303E-57.763292E-52.80929545.0E-53.4051016E-43.3639578E-44.263655E-41.2674529.0E-50.00339988880.00343889230.00355847951.03477491.2E-4
7.56.5111835E-66.424346E-65.6424025E-58.7828445.0E-52.7904773E-52.753262E-57.7531244E-52.81597765.0E-53.3968766E-43.3515817E-44.25128E-41.26843999.0E-50.00339168870.00342656440.00354615321.03490051.2E-4
7.66.4768806E-66.383454E-65.6383135E-58.83275.0E-52.7757764E-52.7357375E-57.735601E-52.82761075.0E-53.3789838E-43.330252E-44.2299522E-41.27015989.0E-50.00337385040.00340529720.00352488851.03511921.2E-4
7.76.1655364E-66.1759456E-65.6175635E-59.0958775.0E-52.642346E-52.646807E-57.646675E-52.88901855.0E-53.2165812E-43.2220117E-44.1217217E-41.27923869.0E-50.00321192950.00329693620.00341654061.03627741.2E-4
7.85.5043524E-65.7370175E-65.573673E-59.715285.0E-52.3589868E-52.4586987E-57.4585754E-53.0335465.0E-52.871688E-42.993055E-43.8927858E-41.30060619.0E-50.00286797970.00306705850.00318669061.03900541.2E-4
7.93.889249E-64.0766436E-65.407644E-513.2649415.0E-51.6668104E-51.7471213E-56.747034E-53.86180045.0E-52.0291525E-42.126913E-42.926743E-41.3760528.0E-50.00202730070.00219410730.0022938881.04547671.0E-4
8.02.668535E-62.5313454E-62.2531294E-58.9009172.0E-51.1436528E-51.0848577E-53.084836E-52.84353972.0E-51.3923083E-41.3207346E-41.620695E-41.22711633.0E-50.00139143630.00137556650.00141551151.02903894.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2185134E-61.1218501E-59.2067121.0E-56.8191785E-65.2221894E-61.5222137E-52.91489551.0E-58.3020335E-56.357832E-58.3577055E-51.31455272.0E-58.298933E-46.6911156E-46.8909815E-41.02987042.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1802066E-72.1802066E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.3437393E-79.3437393E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1375943E-51.1375943E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2778955E-41.2778955E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7516316E-84.7516316E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0364133E-72.0364133E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4793305E-62.4793305E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8671833E-52.8671833E-51.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.050019E-51.2049666E-41.7091685.0E-52.3292181E-43.0211007E-43.6209196E-41.19854316.0E-50.00283213520.00367200560.00374174861.01899317.0E-50.027963120.0361158440.0362122321.00266891.0E-4
6.14.5578287E-55.822054E-58.8218796E-51.51525213.0E-51.953209E-42.4949352E-42.7948603E-41.12021363.0E-50.00237543830.00303335490.00307323361.01314684.0E-50.0235020630.0299198930.0299683961.00162115.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4736422E-55.4735727E-51.57574452.0E-51.2229476E-41.4886161E-41.6885863E-41.1343332.0E-50.00148792170.00181085760.00183082141.01102452.0E-50.0147799860.0179582760.0179877371.00164063.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.8213344E-53.8213064E-51.35443221.0E-51.01562226E-41.2090833E-41.3090711E-41.08269731.0E-50.00123581860.0014710510.00149102161.01357572.0E-50.0122896860.0146114550.0146410161.00202323.0E-5
6.41.9191197E-52.212289E-53.212267E-51.45201051.0E-58.2245395E-59.4808805E-51.04807856E-41.10546541.0E-50.00100087770.00115369060.00117366751.01731562.0E-50.0099638180.0114770220.0115066781.00258393.0E-5
6.51.5203241E-51.6801298E-52.680113E-51.59518211.0E-56.5155116E-57.200338E-58.200266E-51.13887241.0E-57.9297484E-48.76301E-48.8629226E-41.01140171.0E-50.0079015120.0087295810.0087394941.00113561.0E-5
6.61.0984925E-51.12425605E-51.12425605E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8181533E-54.8181533E-51.00.05.730166E-45.8645604E-45.8645604E-41.00.00.0057154130.00584947550.00584947551.00.0
6.79.134616E-69.019868E-69.019868E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.865602E-53.865602E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.7053778E-44.7053778E-41.00.00.0047549930.004695660.004695661.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.4519185E-67.4519185E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.1936415E-53.1936415E-51.00.04.0616E-43.887585E-43.887585E-41.00.00.00405418450.0038809880.0038809881.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.8984666E-64.8984666E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0993268E-52.0993268E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.5556443E-42.5556443E-41.00.00.0029068670.00255284270.00255284271.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.521587E-61.521587E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.521071E-66.521071E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939124E-57.939124E-51.00.00.00139827997.936375E-47.936375E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.578663E-76.578663E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.819424E-62.819424E-61.00.08.915652E-53.432599E-53.432599E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.432109E-43.432109E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.40909E-54.409042E-51.8301692.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.332401E-41.29054613.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00132627391.05564647.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0126112371.00868821.1E-4
6.13.0240792E-52.40909E-54.409042E-51.8301692.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.332401E-41.29054613.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00132627391.05564647.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0126112371.00868821.1E-4
6.23.0240792E-52.40909E-54.409042E-51.8301692.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.332401E-41.29054613.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00132627391.05564647.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0126112371.00868821.1E-4
6.32.0498217E-51.3638054E-51.3638054E-51.00.08.784654E-55.8447586E-56.8447E-51.17108351.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.4136193E-41.04214133.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071522611.00839946.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638054E-51.3638054E-51.00.08.784654E-55.8447586E-56.8447E-51.17108351.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.4136193E-41.04214133.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071522611.00839946.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.04769715E-51.04769715E-51.00.07.42101E-54.490059E-55.490014E-51.22270421.0E-59.0313336E-45.465376E-45.665266E-41.0365742.0E-50.0089947180.005452930.00550265751.00911945.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414133E-68.414133E-61.00.06.536012E-53.606011E-54.605975E-51.27730481.0E-57.9546886E-44.3895066E-44.5894188E-41.04554322.0E-50.0079262740.00438155370.00442137851.00908924.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-56.4112146E-66.4112146E-61.00.05.570206E-52.7476372E-53.7476097E-51.3639391.0E-56.7796157E-43.3447813E-43.5447144E-41.05977462.0E-50.00675896930.0033402070.00338007351.01193544.0E-5
6.81.035386E-54.333145E-64.333145E-61.00.04.437293E-51.8570496E-51.8570496E-51.00.05.401065E-42.260732E-42.3607093E-41.04422341.0E-50.00538795670.0022585190.00228845121.01325313.0E-5
6.98.816252E-63.5805879E-63.5805879E-61.00.03.778339E-51.534529E-51.534529E-51.00.04.5991567E-41.8681347E-41.9681161E-41.05351941.0E-50.004589650.00186662280.00189656681.01604183.0E-5
7.06.8232207E-62.5674399E-62.5674399E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.100327E-51.100327E-51.00.03.5596377E-41.3395688E-41.3395688E-41.00.00.00355394110.00133879250.00134877911.00745941.0E-5
7.15.837013E-62.2273143E-62.2273143E-61.00.02.501553E-59.5456E-69.5456E-61.00.03.045215E-41.1621177E-41.1621177E-41.00.00.00304104550.0011615390.00117152741.00859931.0E-5
7.24.278052E-61.6275065E-61.6275065E-61.00.01.833438E-56.975011E-66.975011E-61.00.02.231982E-48.491768E-58.491768E-51.00.00.00222974188.4887556E-48.4887556E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.344788E-78.344788E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5763337E-63.5763337E-61.00.09.811026E-54.354114E-54.354114E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3534054E-44.3534054E-41.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040642E-53.104042E-52.81146882.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-56.731553E-51.42266572.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.4593815E-41.12146237.0E-50.00547565330.0057500220.00584944661.01729121.0E-4
6.11.0522846E-51.1040642E-53.104042E-52.81146882.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-56.731553E-51.42266572.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.4593815E-41.12146237.0E-50.00547565330.0057500220.00584944661.01729121.0E-4
6.22.1045846E-62.2082024E-61.220818E-55.528561.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-61.946362E-52.05665761.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.4521537E-41.26034413.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00119195621.03468224.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082024E-61.220818E-55.528561.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-61.946362E-52.05665761.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.4521537E-41.26034413.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00119195621.03468224.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.810877E-61.810877E-61.00.07.3970905E-67.760902E-67.760902E-61.00.09.005586E-59.4488976E-51.1448709E-41.21164492.0E-59.001937E-49.448898E-49.7486144E-41.03171973.0E-5

Big Pine (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.28172705E-53.2817014E-52.56037452.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.04927385E-41.91019735.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.185578E-41.07473415.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067697821.01489151.0E-4
6.19.916913E-61.28172705E-53.2817014E-52.56037452.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.04927385E-41.91019735.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.185578E-41.07473415.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067697821.01489151.0E-4
6.29.916913E-61.28172705E-53.2817014E-52.56037452.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.04927385E-41.91019735.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.185578E-41.07473415.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067697821.01489151.0E-4
6.35.479711E-68.1132375E-62.8113076E-53.46508722.0E-52.3484265E-53.4770575E-57.476918E-52.1503584.0E-52.858834E-44.232527E-44.6323577E-41.09446624.0E-50.00285515890.00422725130.0043069131.01884488.0E-5
6.45.465009E-68.0975315E-62.8097369E-53.46986872.0E-52.3421257E-53.4703262E-57.470187E-52.15258934.0E-52.851165E-44.2243348E-44.624166E-41.09464944.0E-50.00284750970.004219090.00429875261.01888148.0E-5
6.54.826767E-67.4225877E-62.7422439E-53.69445822.0E-52.068598E-53.1810716E-57.1809445E-52.2573984.0E-52.518227E-43.8722943E-44.2721393E-41.10325794.0E-50.00251537510.00386829070.0039479811.02060098.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-66.8825234E-62.6882386E-53.9058912.0E-51.8491375E-52.949621E-56.949503E-52.35606654.0E-52.2510924E-43.5905963E-43.9904527E-41.11136214.0E-50.00224881340.00358750620.0036572551.01944227.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-65.9957474E-62.5995627E-54.33567762.0E-51.5843378E-52.5695816E-56.569479E-52.55663374.0E-51.9287605E-43.128032E-43.5279067E-41.1278364.0E-50.00192708730.00312624990.0031960311.0223217.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.7024477E-62.5702333E-54.5072462.0E-51.4858972E-52.4438841E-56.443786E-52.6366994.0E-51.8089297E-42.9750372E-43.374918E-41.1344124.0E-50.00180745790.00297366660.00304345861.02346997.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.8254797E-61.4825431E-53.07232281.0E-51.1865792E-52.0680467E-54.0680054E-51.96707622.0E-51.4445644E-42.5175634E-42.717513E-41.07942192.0E-50.00144362570.0025172560.00255715521.01585034.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.985277E-63.985277E-61.00.09.20252E-61.707965E-52.7079479E-51.58548211.0E-51.12034926E-42.0792543E-42.1792336E-41.04808411.0E-50.00111978450.00207982380.00210976131.01439433.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-63.3450835E-63.3450835E-61.00.07.293552E-61.4335996E-52.4335852E-51.69753481.0E-58.879537E-51.7452713E-41.8452539E-41.05728771.0E-58.87599E-40.00174637920.00177632681.01714843.0E-5
7.21.25603E-62.794679E-62.794679E-61.00.05.3829745E-61.1977142E-52.1977023E-51.83491371.0E-56.553574E-51.4581217E-41.5581072E-41.06857131.0E-56.551642E-40.00145961730.00148957351.02052333.0E-5
7.31.112297E-62.610519E-62.610519E-61.00.04.7669787E-61.1187892E-52.118778E-51.89381351.0E-55.803642E-51.3620428E-41.4620292E-41.07340911.0E-55.802127E-40.0013635020.0013934611.02197223.0E-5
7.41.0137181E-62.4836752E-62.4836752E-61.00.04.3444993E-61.064428E-52.0644173E-51.93946171.0E-55.2892992E-51.2958662E-41.3958532E-41.07715851.0E-55.288041E-40.00129719180.00132715281.02309693.0E-5
7.59.598608E-72.407328E-62.407328E-61.00.04.1136827E-61.03170805E-52.0316978E-51.96925641.0E-55.0082934E-51.2560343E-41.3560218E-41.07960571.0E-55.007165E-40.00125721320.00128717551.02383233.0E-5
7.67.929459E-72.0450152E-62.0450152E-61.00.03.3983351E-68.764322E-61.8764234E-52.14097951.0E-54.1373947E-51.0670057E-41.16699506E-41.09371021.0E-54.1366243E-40.00106858250.00109855051.02804463.0E-5
7.74.155788E-71.1606729E-61.1606729E-61.00.01.7810507E-64.974303E-64.974303E-61.00.02.1684076E-56.05605E-56.05605E-51.00.02.1681961E-46.085995E-46.285874E-41.03284232.0E-5
7.81.14666925E-72.592197E-72.592197E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1109411E-61.1109411E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3525627E-51.3525627E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.3636416E-41.463628E-41.0733231.0E-5
7.92.9231824E-84.1462318E-84.1462318E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7769564E-71.7769564E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1634426E-62.1634426E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.197062E-52.197062E-51.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4250602E-52.425046E-51.70171481.0E-55.4456385E-56.107279E-59.107096E-51.49118713.0E-56.628048E-47.433441E-47.933069E-41.06721375.0E-50.0066083140.0074136390.0075029721.01204989.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.510835E-61.951074E-52.05142241.0E-53.5753423E-54.076021E-56.0759394E-51.49065462.0E-54.3521097E-44.9616426E-45.261494E-41.06043393.0E-50.00434359630.0049541550.0050238081.01405957.0E-5
6.26.923899E-67.967221E-61.7967142E-52.25513271.0E-52.9673516E-53.4144894E-55.4144213E-51.58571912.0E-53.6121515E-44.1565404E-44.4564158E-41.07214553.0E-50.0036062860.00415210940.0042218191.0167897.0E-5
6.32.728396E-63.4243646E-61.342433E-53.92023971.0E-51.1693074E-51.4675771E-53.467548E-52.36277032.0E-51.4235388E-41.7866373E-42.0865837E-41.16788323.0E-50.00142262720.00178674330.00183665391.02793385.0E-5
6.42.7136944E-63.4086581E-61.3408624E-53.93369581.0E-51.1630066E-51.4608458E-53.4608165E-52.36904982.0E-51.4158686E-41.7784433E-42.07839E-41.16865683.0E-50.00141496690.00177856230.00182847341.02806265.0E-5
6.52.6971882E-63.3910032E-61.3390969E-53.94896981.0E-51.1559327E-51.4532795E-53.4532502E-52.37617782.0E-51.4072572E-41.7692328E-42.0691798E-41.1695353.0E-50.00140636640.00176936660.00181927811.02820875.0E-5
6.62.669092E-63.3610236E-61.336099E-53.9752741.0E-51.1438916E-51.4404312E-53.4404024E-52.3884532.0E-51.3925991E-41.7535927E-42.05354E-41.17104733.0E-50.00139172670.00175375110.00180366341.02846035.0E-5
6.72.6408059E-63.3310494E-61.3331016E-54.0020471.0E-51.1317691E-51.4275853E-53.4275567E-52.4009472.0E-51.3778417E-41.737955E-42.0379029E-41.17258673.0E-50.00137698770.00173813810.00178805121.02871645.0E-5
6.82.1786943E-62.8545066E-61.2854478E-54.50322251.0E-59.337228E-61.2233547E-52.2233424E-51.81741441.0E-51.1367482E-41.4893398E-41.68931E-41.13426772.0E-50.00113616690.00148987040.00152981081.0268084.0E-5
6.91.4411696E-62.0685677E-61.2068547E-55.8342531.0E-56.1764263E-68.865261E-61.8865174E-52.12798831.0E-57.51954E-51.0792949E-41.1792841E-41.09264311.0E-57.5169955E-40.00108025480.00111022241.02774123.0E-5
7.01.0073411E-61.5543274E-61.5543274E-61.00.04.317169E-66.661387E-66.661387E-61.00.05.2560266E-58.109952E-58.109952E-51.00.05.2547833E-48.1217213E-48.321559E-41.02460532.0E-5
7.18.947104E-71.430316E-61.430316E-61.00.03.834468E-66.1299124E-66.1299124E-61.00.04.6683643E-57.462928E-57.462928E-51.00.04.6673836E-47.4751483E-47.6749985E-41.02673532.0E-5
7.25.215166E-71.0112277E-61.0112277E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.333826E-64.333826E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.27631E-55.27631E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.289683E-45.489577E-41.03778952.0E-5
7.34.4024807E-79.220183E-79.220183E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.951501E-63.951501E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8108504E-54.8108504E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.824433E-45.024337E-41.04143562.0E-5
7.43.6130905E-78.359109E-78.359109E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5824705E-63.5824705E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.3615746E-54.3615746E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3752496E-44.575162E-41.04569172.0E-5
7.53.408184E-78.1087245E-78.1087245E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.475163E-63.475163E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.230933E-54.230933E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2444657E-44.4443808E-41.04710022.0E-5
7.63.1428627E-77.732167E-77.732167E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.313782E-63.313782E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0344585E-54.0344585E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0477706E-44.2476895E-41.049392.0E-5
7.71.7972785E-75.0782415E-75.0782415E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1763874E-62.1763874E-61.00.09.377899E-62.6497206E-52.6497206E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6633305E-42.863277E-41.0750742.0E-5
7.84.9230927E-81.1981747E-71.1981747E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.135033E-75.135033E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2518866E-66.2518866E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.2971965E-57.2971336E-51.15879081.0E-5
7.93.6805972E-94.1051638E-94.1051638E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7593557E-81.7593557E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1420155E-72.1420155E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1898923E-62.1898923E-61.00.0

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1599742E-56.1598796E-51.94934483.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.8541444E-41.36916845.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00171752721.04241497.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.016446691.00480768.0E-5
6.12.9164563E-53.1599742E-56.1598796E-51.94934483.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.8541444E-41.36916845.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00171752721.04241497.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.016446691.00480768.0E-5
6.22.9164563E-53.1599742E-56.1598796E-51.94934483.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.8541444E-41.36916845.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00171752721.04241497.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.016446691.00480768.0E-5
6.31.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-51.0629998E-41.39314323.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.78556E-41.05379445.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0092986311.0053565.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-51.0629998E-41.39314323.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.78556E-41.05379445.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0092986311.0053565.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3042996E-52.3042865E-51.7666851.0E-55.2450723E-55.5897377E-57.5896256E-51.35777852.0E-56.3840044E-46.8034173E-47.0032815E-41.0293772.0E-50.00636569550.0067829880.00680285231.00292852.0E-5
6.61.0489767E-51.1156636E-52.1156524E-51.89631751.0E-54.495537E-54.781329E-56.781233E-51.41827372.0E-55.4719415E-45.819736E-46.019619E-41.03434592.0E-50.0054584870.0058047360.005824621.00342552.0E-5
6.78.699222E-69.236783E-61.923669E-52.0826181.0E-53.7281847E-53.958561E-55.958482E-51.50521412.0E-54.5381195E-44.818488E-45.0183915E-41.04148672.0E-50.00452886340.0048081080.0048280121.00413972.0E-5
6.88.307732E-68.8169045E-61.8816816E-52.13417481.0E-53.560408E-53.7786187E-55.7785433E-51.52927392.0E-54.3339343E-44.5995016E-44.7994097E-41.0434632.0E-50.0043254920.00459003540.0046099441.00433732.0E-5
6.98.073121E-68.564939E-61.8564853E-52.16754061.0E-53.459863E-53.670637E-55.6705634E-51.54484462.0E-54.2115687E-44.4680882E-44.667999E-41.04474192.0E-50.0042035960.0044591560.0044790671.00446512.0E-5
7.07.617019E-68.074665E-61.8074585E-52.23843151.0E-53.264396E-53.4605247E-55.4604556E-51.5779272.0E-53.9736772E-44.2123784E-44.412294E-41.04745912.0E-50.0039665790.00420444130.0042243571.00473692.0E-5
7.17.1224836E-67.5457883E-61.7545713E-52.32523251.0E-53.052457E-53.2338692E-54.2338368E-51.30921711.0E-53.715733E-43.9365282E-44.0364888E-41.02539311.0E-50.0037095260.00392959830.00393955881.00253471.0E-5
7.26.441115E-66.8273835E-61.6827315E-52.464681.0E-52.7604487E-52.9259889E-53.9259598E-51.34175481.0E-53.360328E-43.5618115E-43.6617758E-41.02806561.0E-50.00335525120.00355613120.00356609561.0028021.0E-5
7.35.494274E-65.8199944E-61.5819936E-52.71820471.0E-52.3546674E-52.4942596E-53.4942346E-51.40091061.0E-52.8664304E-43.03634E-43.1363097E-41.03292441.0E-50.0028627360.00303221450.00304218431.00328791.0E-5
7.44.0802624E-64.3122564E-61.4312213E-53.31896161.0E-51.7486722E-51.8480969E-52.8480783E-51.54108721.0E-52.1288003E-42.2498264E-42.3498038E-41.04443791.0E-50.00212676220.00224755770.00225753521.00443921.0E-5
7.52.3584746E-62.4753099E-61.2475285E-55.03988841.0E-51.0107709E-51.0608428E-52.0608322E-51.94263671.0E-51.2305441E-41.2915001E-41.3914872E-41.07741941.0E-50.00122986290.00129075450.00130074161.00773741.0E-5
7.69.4981914E-79.860934E-79.860934E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.2261076E-64.2261076E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451658E-55.1451658E-51.00.04.954795E-45.1439874E-45.1439874E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6416632E-72.6416632E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321408E-61.1321408E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783729E-51.3783729E-51.00.01.357257E-41.378288E-41.378288E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.965698E-83.965698E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995848E-71.6995848E-71.00.02.16657E-62.0692428E-62.0692428E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692256E-52.0692256E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475225E-105.9475225E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489382E-92.5489382E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033323E-83.1033323E-81.00.04.030379E-73.103332E-73.103332E-71.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.6558402E-57.6556935E-52.09409984.0E-51.4070606E-41.5667039E-41.9666411E-41.25527314.0E-50.001711750.00190595940.0019858071.04189368.0E-50.0169862470.0189130320.0190013311.00466869.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1659505E-55.1658855E-52.38504313.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.2282048E-41.32316483.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00119947841.06190127.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0113193961.00703738.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1659505E-55.1658855E-52.38504313.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.2282048E-41.32316483.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00119947841.06190127.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0113193961.00703738.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.703395E-54.7033438E-52.76115873.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-51.0299844E-41.41092543.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.4837305E-41.06747516.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0089088961.00672016.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.703395E-54.7033438E-52.76115873.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-51.0299844E-41.41092543.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.4837305E-41.06747516.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0089088961.00672016.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.4794522E-54.4794077E-53.02774763.0E-55.8746107E-56.3403575E-59.340167E-51.47312953.0E-57.1499916E-47.716686E-48.3162234E-41.07769366.0E-50.00712703030.00769028950.0077498281.0077426.0E-5
6.61.2539813E-51.3510219E-54.3509815E-53.22051123.0E-55.3740947E-55.789967E-58.789793E-51.51810773.0E-56.540996E-47.0470315E-47.646609E-41.08508226.0E-50.00652177630.00702498850.0070845671.00848096.0E-5
6.71.1504083E-51.2377375E-53.2377127E-52.61583162.0E-54.930228E-55.3044827E-57.304377E-51.37701962.0E-56.0008996E-46.456314E-46.955991E-41.07739355.0E-50.0059847210.0064377860.0064874641.00771675.0E-5
6.81.012739E-51.0877071E-53.0876854E-52.83871032.0E-54.340238E-54.6615194E-56.6614266E-51.42902472.0E-55.282958E-45.673937E-46.1736535E-41.08807225.0E-50.00527041640.00565961930.00570933661.00878455.0E-5
6.98.9607865E-69.609117E-61.960902E-52.04066821.0E-53.8402806E-54.1181287E-55.1180876E-51.24281871.0E-54.6745385E-45.012679E-45.312529E-41.05981833.0E-50.00466471770.0050014920.00503134171.00596823.0E-5
7.08.046829E-68.619746E-61.861966E-52.1601171.0E-53.4485955E-53.694125E-54.694088E-51.27069011.0E-54.1978562E-44.496677E-44.796542E-41.06668593.0E-50.0041899350.00448766860.00451753431.0066553.0E-5
7.17.136131E-67.637656E-61.763758E-52.30929231.0E-53.0583058E-53.2732405E-54.2732077E-51.30549761.0E-53.7228514E-43.9844486E-44.2843292E-41.07526283.0E-50.00371662060.0039773810.00400726171.00751273.0E-5
7.26.362014E-66.8049585E-61.680489E-52.46950671.0E-52.726549E-52.9163786E-53.9163493E-51.3428811.0E-53.3190678E-43.550119E-43.8500124E-41.08447423.0E-50.00331411490.0035445160.00357440981.00843383.0E-5
7.35.004101E-65.351715E-61.5351661E-52.86854981.0E-52.1445969E-52.2935723E-53.293549E-51.4359911.0E-52.6107338E-42.792072E-42.9920158E-41.07161142.0E-50.0026076690.00278861870.00280856271.0071522.0E-5
7.43.4901443E-63.7320526E-61.3732015E-53.67948081.0E-51.4957676E-51.5994416E-52.5994255E-51.62520831.0E-51.8209449E-41.9471499E-42.147111E-41.10269432.0E-50.00181945340.00194548230.00196544341.01026022.0E-5
7.51.1215045E-61.189387E-61.1189375E-59.4076821.0E-54.806439E-65.097363E-61.5097312E-52.96178871.0E-55.851682E-56.205866E-57.205804E-51.16112781.0E-55.850142E-46.2041637E-46.3041016E-41.01610821.0E-5
7.62.8599047E-72.9951994E-72.9951994E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.2836562E-61.2836562E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5628404E-51.5628404E-51.00.01.4921463E-41.5627318E-41.5627318E-41.00.0
7.72.0781519E-72.1744323E-72.1744323E-71.00.08.906362E-79.3189925E-79.3189925E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.13458145E-51.13458145E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1345245E-41.1345245E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.764102E-83.764102E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6131864E-71.6131864E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9640527E-61.9640527E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9640367E-51.9640367E-51.00.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.476374E-52.615164.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.4612642E-41.37685384.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00137134371.0618668.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130432461.00685749.0E-5
6.11.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.476374E-52.615164.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.4612642E-41.37685384.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00137134371.0618668.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130432461.00685749.0E-5
6.21.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.476374E-52.615164.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.4612642E-41.37685384.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00137134371.0618668.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130432461.00685749.0E-5
6.31.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.476374E-52.615164.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.4612642E-41.37685384.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00137134371.0618668.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130432461.00685749.0E-5
6.41.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.476374E-52.615164.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.4612642E-41.37685384.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00137134371.0618668.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130432461.00685749.0E-5
6.51.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.476374E-52.615164.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.4612642E-41.37685384.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00137134371.0618668.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130432461.00685749.0E-5
6.69.910213E-61.721552E-55.721483E-53.32344484.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-51.13775786E-41.54212164.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.4784476E-41.05563625.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091007731.00547415.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.721552E-55.721483E-53.32344484.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-51.13775786E-41.54212164.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.4784476E-41.05563625.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091007731.00547415.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5475129E-53.547482E-52.29237632.0E-53.557164E-56.63203E-58.631898E-51.30154682.0E-54.3299864E-48.07152E-48.371278E-41.03713773.0E-50.0043215590.0081506630.0081804191.00365073.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5346344E-53.534604E-52.3032222.0E-53.5070017E-56.57684E-58.576708E-51.30407742.0E-54.2689382E-48.0043747E-48.304135E-41.03744953.0E-50.00426074680.0080840080.0081137651.00368113.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4133306E-51.4133306E-51.00.03.0749135E-56.0569906E-56.0569906E-51.00.03.743064E-47.3718966E-47.3718966E-41.00.00.00373676540.00745537550.00745537551.00.0
7.17.1671807E-61.4123676E-51.4123676E-51.00.03.0716128E-56.0528637E-56.0528637E-51.00.03.7390468E-47.366875E-47.366875E-41.00.00.00373276180.00745038830.00745038831.00.0
7.27.0649667E-61.3970962E-51.3970962E-51.00.03.0278077E-55.987418E-55.987418E-51.00.03.6857324E-47.287248E-47.287248E-41.00.00.00367962550.00737113740.00737113741.00.0
7.37.02082E-61.3914415E-51.3914415E-51.00.03.008888E-55.9631846E-55.9631846E-51.00.03.6627054E-47.257764E-47.257764E-41.00.00.00365667440.00734163730.00734163731.00.0
7.46.987146E-61.3873975E-51.3873975E-51.00.02.9944567E-55.9458544E-55.9458544E-51.00.03.6451413E-47.2366785E-47.2366785E-41.00.00.00363916790.0073205710.0073205711.00.0
7.56.9494554E-61.383088E-51.383088E-51.00.02.9783041E-55.9273858E-55.9273858E-51.00.03.625482E-47.2142074E-47.2142074E-41.00.00.00361957260.0072981990.0072981991.00.0
7.66.92694E-61.3789992E-51.3789992E-51.00.02.9686547E-55.909863E-55.909863E-51.00.03.6137376E-47.192888E-47.192888E-41.00.00.00360786660.0072769510.0072769511.00.0
7.76.395867E-61.26690065E-51.26690065E-51.00.02.741057E-55.4294615E-55.4294615E-51.00.03.336726E-46.6083675E-46.6083675E-41.00.00.00333172010.00669554530.00669554531.00.0
7.85.8664327E-61.1536581E-51.1536581E-51.00.02.5141611E-54.9441554E-54.9441554E-51.00.03.060561E-46.0178485E-46.0178485E-41.00.00.00305634950.00610101640.00610101641.00.0
7.93.7167474E-67.1145205E-67.1145205E-61.00.01.592882E-53.0490448E-53.0490448E-51.00.01.9391612E-43.7115812E-43.7115812E-41.00.00.00193746990.00376762430.00376762431.00.0
8.01.0903841E-61.2879104E-61.2879104E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.5196047E-65.5196047E-61.00.05.68931E-56.719913E-56.719913E-51.00.05.6878536E-46.942094E-46.942094E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.1056095E-71.1056095E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7383253E-74.7383253E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.768896E-65.768896E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.454915E-56.454915E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4567874E-92.4567874E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0529089E-81.0529089E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2819166E-71.2819166E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4588004E-61.4588004E-61.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-55.7136574E-51.21213731.0E-51.7866064E-42.0200513E-42.220011E-41.09898732.0E-50.00217302330.00245746570.0025073431.02029625.0E-50.0215189680.024384830.0244628791.00320088.0E-5
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-51.6854203E-51.00.07.4489166E-57.223036E-58.2229635E-51.1384361.0E-59.065282E-48.790605E-48.890517E-41.01136581.0E-50.0090283910.0087571280.0087868661.00339583.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-51.3673262E-51.00.06.2664985E-55.85984E-56.8597816E-51.17064311.0E-57.6267915E-47.132059E-47.2319875E-41.01401111.0E-50.0076006690.0071097670.0071395541.00418953.0E-5
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-51.2482174E-51.00.05.8080568E-55.349395E-56.349342E-51.18692711.0E-57.069015E-46.510974E-46.610909E-41.01534871.0E-50.007046570.0064924150.006522221.00459073.0E-5
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-51.1979128E-51.00.05.613192E-55.133813E-56.133762E-51.1947771.0E-56.831918E-46.2486547E-46.3485926E-41.01599351.0E-50.0068109530.0062315840.0062613971.00478423.0E-5
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-51.1048776E-51.00.05.2507727E-54.735105E-55.735058E-51.21117851.0E-56.3909404E-45.7634927E-45.863435E-41.01734051.0E-50.0063725920.0057490090.00577883661.00518833.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-51.0063508E-51.00.04.8651553E-54.3128617E-55.3128188E-51.23185461.0E-55.921717E-45.249665E-45.349613E-41.01903881.0E-50.00590596160.00523766460.00526750741.00569773.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-69.517E-61.00.04.6559664E-54.0786515E-55.0786108E-51.2451691.0E-55.667165E-44.964647E-45.0645974E-41.02013241.0E-50.0056527340.00495394370.00498379531.00602583.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-69.299752E-61.00.04.571219E-53.985548E-54.9855083E-51.25089661.0E-55.564038E-44.8513446E-44.951296E-41.02060281.0E-50.0055501270.004841140.0048709951.00616693.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-68.592018E-61.00.04.302214E-53.682243E-53.682243E-51.00.05.236687E-44.4822265E-44.4822265E-41.00.00.0052243640.00447355070.00449346151.00445072.0E-5
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-68.025047E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.439261E-53.439261E-51.00.04.975576E-44.1865133E-44.1865133E-41.00.00.004964450.004178980.00419889621.00476592.0E-5
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-67.652347E-61.00.03.945964E-53.2795375E-53.2795375E-51.00.04.803152E-43.992122E-43.992122E-41.00.00.0047927840.0039853010.0040052211.00499842.0E-5
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-65.9310923E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.5418722E-52.5418722E-51.00.03.984668E-43.094293E-43.094293E-41.00.00.00397753060.00309019560.00311013381.00645212.0E-5
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-65.596131E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3983199E-52.3983199E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.9195662E-42.9195662E-41.00.00.00377582150.00291594020.0029358821.00683882.0E-5
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-64.9184864E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.1079059E-52.1079059E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.566075E-42.566075E-41.00.00.00332865420.0025633110.00258325971.00778252.0E-5
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-64.0838477E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7502087E-51.7502087E-51.00.02.806312E-42.1306718E-42.1306718E-41.00.00.00280277080.00212864020.00213861881.00468781.0E-5
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-63.0883373E-61.00.01.768732E-51.32356645E-51.32356645E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6113237E-41.6113237E-41.00.00.00215113330.00161016350.00162014741.00620061.0E-5
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-61.8282044E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835139E-67.835139E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.53887E-59.53887E-51.00.00.00132481429.534837E-49.6347416E-41.01047791.0E-5
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-73.509864E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-61.5042266E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-51.8313805E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.8312308E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-81.2688718E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438022E-85.438022E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207895E-76.6207895E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.620771E-66.620771E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-92.032067E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-98.7088585E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-71.0603035E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-61.0603031E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1153059E-53.115285E-51.47273481.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00116308291.05432986.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.14.482615E-52.1153059E-53.115285E-51.47273481.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00116308291.05432986.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.24.482615E-52.1153059E-53.115285E-51.47273481.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00116308291.05432986.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.34.482615E-52.1153059E-53.115285E-51.47273481.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00116308291.05432986.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.44.482615E-52.1153059E-53.115285E-51.47273481.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00116308291.05432986.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-51.7354667E-52.7354492E-51.5762041.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-59.437356E-51.26888742.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.650902E-41.06622786.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095750491.00939779.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-51.7354667E-52.7354492E-51.5762041.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-59.437356E-51.26888742.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.650902E-41.06622786.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095750491.00939779.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-51.6602684E-52.6602518E-51.60230231.0E-51.5444479E-47.115244E-59.1151014E-51.28106672.0E-50.00187874348.659408E-49.2588883E-41.06922886.0E-50.018629390.0090881890.0091773711.0098139.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-51.6231123E-52.623096E-51.61609031.0E-51.5012783E-46.956012E-58.955873E-51.28750112.0E-50.00182627398.4656954E-49.065187E-41.07081436.0E-50.018113380.0088887880.0089779881.01003529.0E-5
6.93.435112E-51.6061658E-52.6061498E-51.62259071.0E-51.4721078E-46.8833884E-58.883251E-51.29053462.0E-50.00179081788.377344E-48.9768413E-41.07156176.0E-50.0177645480.0087965120.008885721.01014149.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-51.43355255E-52.4335382E-51.69755781.0E-51.241074E-46.1436534E-57.143592E-51.16275951.0E-50.00150996037.477359E-47.976985E-41.06681855.0E-50.0149974160.0078683310.0079477021.01008748.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-51.2827699E-52.2827571E-51.7795531.0E-51.11436144E-45.4974706E-56.4974156E-51.18189181.0E-50.00135589076.6911365E-47.0908683E-41.05974054.0E-50.0134764750.00704834330.00711785021.00986157.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-51.1260331E-52.1260219E-51.88806331.0E-59.661716E-54.825768E-55.8257196E-51.20721091.0E-50.0011756795.873803E-46.273568E-41.0680594.0E-50.0116947850.006192560.00626212641.01123397.0E-5
7.31.75334E-51.0810585E-52.0810478E-51.92500941.0E-57.514098E-54.6330264E-55.63298E-51.21583161.0E-59.144575E-45.6392635E-46.039038E-41.07089134.0E-50.0091070360.00593321960.00600280431.01172797.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-51.0610475E-52.0610369E-51.94245481.0E-56.82463E-54.547268E-55.5472225E-51.21990231.0E-58.305819E-45.534906E-45.934685E-41.07222874.0E-50.0082748440.00582058630.0058901791.01195637.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-59.851045E-61.9850946E-52.01511071.0E-55.7551293E-54.221809E-55.2217667E-51.23685531.0E-57.004617E-45.1388505E-45.538645E-41.07779844.0E-50.0069825790.0054062090.00547583031.01287817.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-58.614091E-61.8614004E-52.16087871.0E-54.5808283E-53.6917012E-54.691664E-51.27086781.0E-55.5757316E-44.4937237E-44.893544E-41.0889734.0E-50.0055617620.00474136140.0048010771.01259466.0E-5
7.78.81236E-67.4673385E-61.7467264E-52.33915521.0E-53.776671E-53.200249E-54.2002168E-51.31246571.0E-54.597127E-43.8956082E-44.2954527E-41.10263974.0E-50.00458762840.00413441940.0041941711.01445236.0E-5
7.87.780431E-66.695928E-61.669586E-52.49343511.0E-53.3344273E-52.8696519E-53.869623E-51.34846441.0E-54.0589093E-43.4932428E-43.893103E-41.11446684.0E-50.00405150370.00372262720.0037824041.01605766.0E-5
7.96.5437994E-65.7797783E-61.577972E-52.73016021.0E-52.8044553E-52.4770245E-53.4769997E-51.40370021.0E-53.4138895E-43.0153614E-43.415241E-41.1326144.0E-50.00340864950.00323432940.00329413521.0184916.0E-5
8.05.4488164E-64.812793E-61.4812745E-53.07778551.0E-52.3351862E-52.0626094E-53.0625888E-51.48481271.0E-52.8427184E-42.510939E-42.9108385E-41.1592634.0E-50.00283908450.00271070380.0027705411.02207456.0E-5
8.12.8397242E-61.3665673E-61.3665673E-61.00.01.217019E-55.856704E-65.856704E-61.00.01.4816198E-47.1303046E-57.1303046E-51.00.00.00148063258.113543E-48.113543E-41.00.0
8.22.030244E-66.3151083E-76.3151083E-71.00.08.701017E-62.7064723E-62.7064723E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.2950808E-53.2950808E-51.00.00.00105879253.9470522E-43.9470522E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-62.9230563E-72.9230563E-71.00.04.568479E-61.2527379E-61.2527379E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.5251981E-51.5251981E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.8556409E-41.8556409E-41.00.0

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9526076E-55.952519E-52.0160213.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00159941351.03891356.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.13.155064E-52.9526076E-55.952519E-52.0160213.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00159941351.03891356.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.23.155064E-52.9526076E-55.952519E-52.0160213.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00159941351.03891356.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.33.155064E-52.9526076E-55.952519E-52.0160213.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00159941351.03891356.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.43.155064E-52.9526076E-55.952519E-52.0160213.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00159941351.03891356.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.53.155064E-52.9526076E-55.952519E-52.0160213.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00159941351.03891356.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.63.155064E-52.9526076E-55.952519E-52.0160213.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00159941351.03891356.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.73.098897E-52.8864279E-55.8863414E-52.0393173.0E-51.328031E-41.236984E-41.5369468E-41.24249543.0E-50.00161567850.00150502530.0015649351.03980656.0E-50.0160398220.0149529090.0150317131.00527018.0E-5
6.83.0449872E-52.8239476E-55.8238627E-52.06231263.0E-51.3049292E-41.2102092E-41.5101729E-41.2478613.0E-50.00158759350.0014724710.00153238271.04068786.0E-50.0157629920.0146316580.0147104871.00538758.0E-5
6.92.697928E-52.4219877E-53.4219636E-51.4128741.0E-51.15620365E-41.03795464E-41.1379443E-41.09633331.0E-50.00140676890.00126299880.00130294821.03163064.0E-50.01397896650.0125610660.0126203121.00471666.0E-5
7.02.4893961E-52.1862146E-52.1862146E-51.00.01.0668404E-49.369165E-59.369165E-51.00.00.00129810430.00114011660.00116009381.01752212.0E-50.0129054770.0113451020.0113846481.00348584.0E-5
7.12.0945363E-51.7354592E-51.7354592E-51.00.08.976275E-57.437473E-57.437473E-51.00.00.00109231369.0514094E-49.251228E-41.0220762.0E-50.01086960.0090156210.009055261.00439684.0E-5
7.22.0439404E-51.680953E-51.680953E-51.00.08.7594504E-57.203888E-57.203888E-51.00.00.00106594138.767251E-48.967076E-41.02279222.0E-50.0106084270.0087337230.0087733741.004544.0E-5
7.31.8463334E-51.5381947E-51.5381947E-51.00.07.912617E-56.592098E-56.592098E-51.00.09.6293533E-48.0229685E-48.2228077E-41.02490842.0E-50.0095877340.00799500850.0080346891.00496324.0E-5
7.41.763139E-51.4516977E-51.4516977E-51.00.07.556091E-56.221415E-56.221415E-51.00.09.1956573E-47.57198E-47.771829E-41.02639322.0E-50.0091576990.0075471260.00758682421.005264.0E-5
7.51.3594944E-51.1163363E-51.1163363E-51.00.05.8262744E-54.7842117E-54.7842117E-51.00.07.0911803E-45.8232463E-45.9231883E-41.01716261.0E-50.0070685950.0058083620.00582824551.00342332.0E-5
7.66.9889534E-65.6367194E-65.6367194E-61.00.02.9952313E-52.4157147E-52.4157147E-51.00.03.646084E-42.94074E-43.0407106E-41.0339951.0E-50.00364010730.00293689240.00295683371.00678992.0E-5
7.74.0824193E-63.2832731E-63.2832731E-61.00.01.7495966E-51.4071096E-51.4071096E-51.00.02.1299256E-41.7130225E-41.7130225E-41.00.00.00212788510.00171171550.00172169841.00583211.0E-5
7.81.7023609E-61.43706E-61.43706E-61.00.07.295812E-66.158814E-66.158814E-61.00.08.882289E-57.4981006E-57.4981006E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.4955984E-47.4955984E-41.00.0
7.92.721225E-72.261692E-72.261692E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.692963E-79.692963E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1801121E-51.1801121E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.1800523E-41.1800523E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.1204916E-95.1204916E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.1944963E-82.1944963E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.671799E-72.671799E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.6717962E-62.6717962E-61.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821269E-51.2820917E-41.45340944.0E-53.14073E-43.7800326E-44.1798814E-41.10577924.0E-50.00381713550.00459304870.0046527731.01300326.0E-50.037522310.0450451370.0451215321.0016968.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.4884906E-54.4884906E-51.00.01.6259136E-41.9235026E-41.9235026E-41.00.00.00197775240.0023394310.0023394311.00.00.0196024310.0231567320.0231567321.00.0
6.22.8645263E-53.329672E-53.329672E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.4269259E-41.00.00.00149357390.00173592060.00173592061.00.00.01483575350.0172262680.0172262681.00.0
6.32.8645263E-53.329672E-53.329672E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.4269259E-41.00.00.00149357390.00173592060.00173592061.00.00.01483575350.0172262680.0172262681.00.0
6.42.2204576E-52.544832E-52.544832E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0905972E-41.0905972E-41.00.00.0011579450.00132700280.00132700281.00.00.0115192980.0131919590.0131919591.00.0
6.52.1004838E-52.4024695E-52.4024695E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.0295897E-41.0295897E-41.00.00.00109541360.00125281350.00125281351.00.00.0109002960.0124585920.0124585921.00.0
6.61.820557E-52.070479E-52.070479E-51.00.07.802154E-58.8731824E-58.8731824E-51.00.09.4949827E-40.00107977990.00107977991.00.00.0094545160.0107460050.0107460051.00.0
6.71.5884485E-51.7983646E-51.7983646E-51.00.06.807459E-57.707051E-57.707051E-51.00.08.284929E-49.3793223E-49.3793223E-41.00.00.0082541090.0093401040.0093401041.00.0
6.81.4331171E-51.6201066E-51.6201066E-51.00.06.141786E-56.94313E-56.94313E-51.00.07.4750587E-48.450002E-48.450002E-41.00.00.00744996450.0084181390.0084181391.00.0
6.91.2574203E-51.4205835E-51.4205835E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.0880735E-56.0880735E-51.00.06.558929E-47.409723E-47.409723E-41.00.00.00653960370.0073852030.0073852031.00.0
7.01.0883844E-51.2289262E-51.2289262E-51.00.04.664421E-55.2667205E-55.2667205E-51.00.05.677453E-46.4103556E-46.4103556E-41.00.00.005662970.0063919930.0063919931.00.0
7.19.393088E-61.060702E-51.060702E-51.00.04.025547E-54.545787E-54.545787E-51.00.04.900001E-45.533098E-45.533098E-41.00.00.00488921070.0055194180.0055194181.00.0
7.28.190791E-69.258625E-69.258625E-61.00.03.510292E-53.9679224E-53.9679224E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.8298817E-44.8298817E-41.00.00.00426473560.0048194650.0048194651.00.0
7.36.268162E-67.089716E-67.089716E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0384144E-53.0384144E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6986457E-43.6986457E-41.00.00.0032653050.0036925360.0036925361.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.6426816E-65.6426816E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4182698E-52.4182698E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9438498E-42.9438498E-41.00.00.0025978250.00293999140.00293999141.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Whittier alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.2249139E-41.09874762.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.0025028181.01620094.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244683121.00328.0E-5
6.14.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.2249139E-41.09874762.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.0025028181.01620094.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244683121.00328.0E-5
6.24.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.2249139E-41.09874762.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.0025028181.01620094.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244683121.00328.0E-5
6.31.9617712E-51.826841E-51.826841E-51.00.08.40732E-57.829095E-57.829095E-51.00.00.00102311059.527944E-49.527944E-41.00.00.010184130.00949040.009510211.00208742.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3604089E-51.3604089E-51.00.06.690401E-55.8301972E-55.8301972E-51.00.08.142519E-47.096013E-47.096013E-41.00.00.0081127480.00707533770.00709519631.00280672.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3100744E-51.3100744E-51.00.06.492767E-55.614487E-55.614487E-51.00.07.9020765E-46.8335526E-46.8335526E-41.00.00.0078740360.0068145080.00683437151.00291492.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.0380544E-51.0380544E-51.00.05.552402E-54.44873E-54.44873E-51.00.06.7579525E-45.415002E-45.415002E-41.00.00.0067374380.0054033430.0054033431.00.0
6.71.2542085E-59.899189E-69.899189E-61.00.05.3750682E-54.2424414E-54.2424414E-51.00.06.542181E-45.163967E-45.163967E-41.00.00.0065229540.0051534640.0051534641.00.0
6.81.2195878E-59.49523E-69.49523E-61.00.05.2267E-54.069322E-54.069322E-51.00.06.36165E-44.9532915E-44.9532915E-41.00.00.00634346860.00494369630.00494369631.00.0
6.91.1580298E-58.772739E-68.772739E-61.00.04.9628903E-53.759692E-53.759692E-51.00.06.040644E-44.5764804E-44.5764804E-41.00.00.006024250.00456846460.00456846461.00.0
7.01.0964795E-58.083794E-68.083794E-61.00.04.6991136E-53.4644378E-53.4644378E-51.00.05.7196687E-44.217152E-44.217152E-41.00.00.00570496960.0042104590.0042104591.00.0
7.11.0230601E-57.32646E-67.32646E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.1398744E-53.1398744E-51.00.05.336784E-43.8221394E-43.8221394E-41.00.00.0053239860.00381675920.00381675921.00.0
7.29.40865E-66.5430822E-66.5430822E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8041486E-52.8041486E-51.00.04.908117E-43.4135283E-43.4135283E-41.00.00.00489729130.00340940240.00340940241.00.0
7.38.237384E-65.5975433E-65.5975433E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.3989258E-52.3989258E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.920311E-42.920311E-41.00.00.00428894260.00291679920.00291679921.00.0
7.47.5316966E-65.0276153E-65.0276153E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.154675E-52.154675E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.623011E-42.623011E-41.00.00.00392223430.00262002670.00262002671.00.0
7.56.149649E-63.9336355E-63.9336355E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6858336E-51.6858336E-51.00.03.208294E-42.052318E-42.052318E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205051180.00205051181.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.3951796E-63.3951796E-61.00.02.338998E-51.4550694E-51.4550694E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.771411E-41.771411E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177007980.00177007981.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3329922E-62.3329922E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.998504E-69.998504E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.2172572E-41.2172572E-41.00.00.00217225030.00121666350.00121666351.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175550991.00449758.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175550991.00449758.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175550991.00449758.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175550991.00449758.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7019594E-52.7019423E-51.58754811.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-49.076784E-41.02251032.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088736771.00336223.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019594E-52.7019423E-51.58754811.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-49.076784E-41.02251032.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088736771.00336223.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.4232206E-41.01580451.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.0063255261.00315182.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.4232206E-41.01580451.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.0063255261.00315182.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1344401E-51.1344401E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.8617967E-54.8617967E-51.00.07.127108E-45.917649E-46.01759E-41.01688861.0E-50.0071042930.00590221070.0059220931.00336862.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1322501E-51.1322501E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.8524114E-54.8524114E-51.00.07.116841E-45.906229E-46.00617E-41.01692131.0E-50.0070940920.00589085140.00591073371.0033752.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.12420685E-51.12420685E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.8179416E-54.8179416E-51.00.07.077572E-45.8642845E-45.964226E-41.01704241.0E-50.0070550730.0058491280.00586901141.00339942.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.0720521E-51.0720521E-51.00.05.599474E-54.594429E-54.594429E-51.00.06.815227E-45.5923004E-45.692244E-41.01787171.0E-50.00679436370.0055785360.00558848031.00178251.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.995121E-69.995121E-61.00.05.2824813E-54.283554E-54.283554E-51.00.06.429523E-45.2139966E-45.3139444E-41.01916911.0E-50.00641095270.0052020590.0052120071.00191241.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.843812E-68.843812E-61.00.04.678742E-53.7901507E-53.7901507E-51.00.05.69488E-44.6135474E-44.713501E-41.02166531.0E-50.00568030770.0046042390.0046141931.00216191.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.42354E-68.42354E-61.00.04.456891E-53.6100395E-53.6100395E-51.00.05.424914E-44.394352E-44.494308E-41.02274641.0E-50.00541168960.00438592770.0043958841.002271.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.29752E-67.29752E-61.00.03.86389E-53.1274718E-53.1274718E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.8070456E-43.9070076E-41.0262571.0E-50.0046933290.0038007720.0038107341.0026211.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.874119E-63.874119E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603262E-51.6603262E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0212609E-42.1212407E-41.04946411.0E-50.00255357470.0020194360.0020294161.00494181.0E-5
7.73.8850626E-63.12676E-63.12676E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400332E-51.3400332E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6313691E-41.6313691E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163018090.00163018091.00.0
7.82.4654719E-62.029902E-62.029902E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.699551E-68.699551E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.0591193E-41.0591193E-41.00.00.00128562250.00105861920.00105861921.00.0
7.94.095894E-73.2765078E-73.2765078E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042168E-61.4042168E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.709621E-51.709621E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.7094925E-41.7094925E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.113726E-62.4113644E-55.86175252.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-54.7629608E-52.70160153.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.4462E-41.13974773.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00222408381.0372298.0E-5
6.14.105075E-64.113726E-62.4113644E-55.86175252.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-54.7629608E-52.70160153.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.4462E-41.13974773.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00222408381.0372298.0E-5
6.24.105075E-64.113726E-62.4113644E-55.86175252.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-54.7629608E-52.70160153.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.4462E-41.13974773.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00222408381.0372298.0E-5
6.34.105075E-64.113726E-62.4113644E-55.86175252.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-54.7629608E-52.70160153.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.4462E-41.13974773.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00222408381.0372298.0E-5
6.44.105075E-64.113726E-62.4113644E-55.86175252.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-54.7629608E-52.70160153.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.4462E-41.13974773.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00222408381.0372298.0E-5
6.52.9849807E-62.973154E-61.2973124E-54.36342141.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-53.2741773E-52.5695892.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-41.7512019E-41.12890972.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00162005681.04508657.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.973154E-61.2973124E-54.36342141.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-53.2741773E-52.5695892.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-41.7512019E-41.12890972.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00162005681.04508657.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6582202E-61.2658194E-54.76190571.0E-51.1467117E-51.1392323E-53.1392094E-52.75554822.0E-51.396032E-41.386928E-41.5869003E-41.14418362.0E-50.00139515530.00138607340.00144599031.04322786.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047783E-61.2304755E-55.33880231.0E-59.9787E-69.877584E-62.9877387E-53.02476672.0E-51.214839E-41.2025302E-41.4025062E-41.1662962.0E-50.0012141750.0012018870.00125182691.04155125.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696405E-61.20696195E-55.8317471.0E-58.988259E-68.869858E-62.8869681E-53.25480752.0E-51.0942656E-41.0798523E-41.2798308E-41.18519062.0E-50.00109372680.00107933340.00112927941.04627495.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787029E-61.6787029E-61.00.07.3423685E-67.1944214E-61.719435E-52.38995581.0E-58.938967E-58.75886E-59.758773E-51.11416011.0E-58.935372E-48.755446E-49.0551836E-41.03423443.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.3815746E-61.3815746E-61.00.06.0923603E-65.9210206E-61.5920961E-52.6888881.0E-57.417196E-57.208607E-58.2085346E-51.1387131.0E-57.414721E-47.206296E-47.406151E-41.02773362.0E-5
7.29.097853E-78.60377E-78.60377E-71.00.03.899074E-63.6873246E-63.6873246E-61.00.04.7470192E-54.4892266E-54.4892266E-51.00.04.7460053E-44.4883305E-44.5882855E-41.022271.0E-5
7.36.144169E-75.628199E-75.628199E-71.00.02.6332125E-62.4120832E-62.4120832E-61.00.03.205889E-52.9366722E-52.9366722E-51.00.03.2054266E-42.9362892E-43.0362597E-41.03404661.0E-5
7.44.049844E-73.5728252E-73.5728252E-71.00.01.7356463E-61.5312098E-61.5312098E-61.00.02.1131287E-51.8642324E-51.8642324E-51.00.02.1129279E-41.8640784E-41.9640598E-41.05363581.0E-5
7.51.9871162E-71.5830383E-71.5830383E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784448E-76.784448E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.260035E-68.260035E-61.00.01.0367952E-48.259736E-58.259736E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Cucamonga

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-56.030044E-51.19879341.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.522201E-41.06529334.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00617631761.01139277.0E-5
6.11.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-56.030044E-51.19879341.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.522201E-41.06529334.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00617631761.01139277.0E-5
6.21.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-56.030044E-51.19879341.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.522201E-41.06529334.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00617631761.01139277.0E-5
6.31.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-56.030044E-51.19879341.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.522201E-41.06529334.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00617631761.01139277.0E-5
6.41.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-56.030044E-51.19879341.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.522201E-41.06529334.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00617631761.01139277.0E-5
6.51.16988695E-51.157614E-52.1576025E-51.86383581.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-55.9610604E-51.20155781.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-46.338323E-41.04965113.0E-50.0060857450.00602325940.0060828981.00990146.0E-5
6.61.16988695E-51.157614E-52.1576025E-51.86383581.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-55.9610604E-51.20155781.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-46.338323E-41.04965113.0E-50.0060857450.00602325940.0060828981.00990146.0E-5
6.71.1397107E-51.1115039E-52.1114927E-51.89967191.0E-54.884383E-54.7635025E-55.763455E-51.20991961.0E-55.9451134E-45.798046E-46.097872E-41.05171163.0E-50.0059292340.0057840610.0058437141.01031346.0E-5
6.81.058387E-59.785037E-61.9784939E-52.02195861.0E-54.5358654E-54.1935207E-55.1934785E-51.23845311.0E-55.521017E-45.1044265E-45.4042734E-41.05874253.0E-50.005507320.0050937020.00515339661.01171926.0E-5
6.99.690046E-68.579504E-61.8579418E-52.16555861.0E-54.1528107E-53.6768783E-54.6768415E-51.27195981.0E-55.054874E-44.475684E-44.7755498E-41.06699883.0E-50.0050433910.00446759540.0045273271.013376.0E-5
7.09.381461E-68.18712E-61.8187038E-52.22142081.0E-54.020564E-53.508719E-54.5086836E-51.28499441.0E-54.893937E-44.2710314E-44.5709033E-41.07021073.0E-50.00488317340.0042637470.00432349141.01401216.0E-5
7.18.946492E-67.781904E-61.7781826E-52.28502251.0E-53.8341543E-53.3350592E-54.335026E-51.29983471.0E-54.667083E-44.0596814E-44.3595597E-41.07386743.0E-50.00465729370.00405319270.00411294961.01474316.0E-5
7.28.251016E-66.9752878E-61.6975218E-52.43362261.0E-53.5361016E-52.9893748E-53.989345E-51.33450811.0E-54.3043532E-43.6389584E-43.9388493E-41.08241123.0E-50.00429602530.00363392520.0036937071.01645116.0E-5
7.37.717881E-66.4863584E-61.6486294E-52.5416871.0E-53.3076216E-52.7798384E-53.7798105E-51.35972311.0E-54.026285E-43.38393E-43.6838284E-41.08862443.0E-50.0040189980.00337971030.00343950741.0176936.0E-5
7.47.275623E-66.032004E-61.6031943E-52.65781381.0E-53.118087E-52.5851192E-53.585093E-51.38681941.0E-53.7956095E-43.1469302E-43.3468672E-41.0635342.0E-50.00378913320.00314340460.00317331031.00951373.0E-5
7.56.5109502E-65.100593E-65.100593E-61.00.02.7903774E-52.1859503E-52.1859503E-51.00.03.3967546E-42.661071E-42.7610443E-41.03756881.0E-50.00339156740.00265880160.00267874851.00750222.0E-5
7.65.4495326E-63.908547E-63.908547E-61.00.02.335493E-51.6750808E-51.6750808E-51.00.02.8430918E-42.0392207E-42.0392207E-41.00.00.00283945720.00203826160.00204824121.00489621.0E-5
7.74.7997164E-63.2002263E-63.2002263E-61.00.02.057005E-51.3715184E-51.3715184E-51.00.02.504116E-41.6696959E-41.6696959E-41.00.00.0025012960.00166937010.00166937011.00.0
7.83.3941733E-62.0641678E-62.0641678E-61.00.01.4546376E-58.846404E-68.846404E-61.00.01.7708774E-41.07699656E-41.07699656E-41.00.00.00176946680.00107660320.00107660321.00.0
7.99.750552E-75.155798E-75.155798E-71.00.04.178801E-62.2096258E-62.2096258E-61.00.05.0875715E-52.6901867E-52.6901867E-51.00.05.086407E-42.689865E-42.689865E-41.00.0
8.01.133857E-76.053372E-86.053372E-81.00.04.8593864E-72.594302E-72.594302E-71.00.05.9162867E-63.1585582E-63.1585582E-61.00.05.916129E-53.158515E-53.158515E-51.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926368E-52.7926368E-51.00.01.3694567E-41.19679185E-41.3967679E-41.16709342.0E-50.00166603840.00145616340.00149610511.02742954.0E-50.0165360330.014470770.0145496131.00544838.0E-5
6.12.1156782E-51.7573117E-51.7573117E-51.00.09.066878E-57.531123E-58.531048E-51.13277231.0E-50.00110333339.1653795E-49.265288E-41.01090061.0E-50.0109787130.0091285870.0091583131.00325633.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.3327227E-51.3327227E-51.00.06.9405796E-55.7115452E-56.711488E-51.1750741.0E-58.44688E-46.9516135E-47.051544E-41.01437511.0E-50.0084148440.00693016170.0069500231.00286592.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179013E-51.1179013E-51.00.05.811018E-54.7909183E-54.7909183E-51.00.07.072618E-45.8313913E-45.8313913E-41.00.00.00705015050.0058162080.00582614961.00170931.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0000874E-51.0000874E-51.00.05.1944477E-54.2860185E-54.2860185E-51.00.06.322405E-45.216983E-45.216983E-41.00.00.0063044470.0052048040.00521475171.00191131.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367378E-69.367378E-61.00.04.8647056E-54.0145293E-54.0145293E-51.00.05.9211696E-44.886598E-44.886598E-41.00.00.00590541730.00487591140.00488586261.00204091.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.1353155E-68.1353155E-61.00.04.2216197E-53.4865174E-53.4865174E-51.00.05.1386096E-44.2440102E-44.2440102E-41.00.00.00512674360.00423593770.00424589541.00235081.0E-5
6.78.8558645E-67.318341E-67.318341E-61.00.03.7953152E-53.1363943E-53.1363943E-51.00.04.6198163E-43.8178926E-43.8178926E-41.00.00.0046102240.00381135920.0038213211.00261381.0E-5
6.87.67136E-66.39169E-66.39169E-61.00.03.2876844E-52.739267E-52.739267E-51.00.04.0020206E-43.3345487E-43.3345487E-41.00.00.0039948210.00332956640.0033395331.00299331.0E-5
6.96.534529E-65.458261E-65.458261E-61.00.02.8004823E-52.3392338E-52.3392338E-51.00.03.4090536E-42.8476462E-42.8476462E-41.00.00.00340382870.0028440140.00285398561.00350621.0E-5
7.05.460525E-64.5699203E-64.5699203E-61.00.02.3402039E-51.9585226E-51.9585226E-51.00.02.8488258E-42.3842414E-42.3842414E-41.00.00.00284517650.00238169730.00239167361.00418871.0E-5
7.14.4825083E-63.7524153E-63.7524153E-61.00.01.9210609E-51.6081682E-51.6081682E-51.00.02.3386406E-41.9577699E-41.9577699E-41.00.00.0023361810.0019560570.00196603761.00510231.0E-5
7.22.821708E-62.424941E-62.424941E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0392562E-51.0392562E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.265221E-41.265221E-41.00.00.00147124570.00126450320.00127449061.00789821.0E-5
7.32.0644757E-61.7687502E-61.7687502E-61.00.08.847723E-67.580336E-67.580336E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.228668E-59.228668E-51.00.00.0010766359.224854E-49.224854E-41.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4379966E-61.4379966E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1628284E-66.1628284E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.502986E-57.502986E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.5004686E-47.5004686E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1302697E-61.1302697E-61.00.05.844708E-64.844004E-64.844004E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.897415E-55.897415E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.8958656E-45.8958656E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.6772847E-77.6772847E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2902608E-63.2902608E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.005819E-54.005819E-51.00.05.113757E-44.0051117E-44.0051117E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0050708E-74.0050708E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7164577E-61.7164577E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0897673E-52.0897673E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0895849E-42.0895849E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5285202E-71.5285202E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.5507993E-76.5507993E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.975569E-67.975569E-61.00.01.522967E-47.97542E-57.97542E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.6208047E-84.6208047E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9803447E-71.9803447E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.411067E-62.411067E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4111772E-52.4111772E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0093144E-109.0093144E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8611354E-93.8611354E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7009323E-84.7009323E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.712806E-74.712806E-71.00.0

Simi-Santa Rosa

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.2275388E-54.2274944E-51.89783192.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-51.15460796E-41.20948592.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.00119164771.02579463.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.0116297381.0059857.0E-5
6.12.198912E-52.2275388E-54.2274944E-51.89783192.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-51.15460796E-41.20948592.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.00119164771.02579463.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.0116297381.0059857.0E-5
6.21.69983E-51.6668506E-53.666817E-52.19984772.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-59.1433234E-51.27995612.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-48.993731E-41.03447663.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.008722381.00686616.0E-5
6.31.69983E-51.6668506E-53.666817E-52.19984772.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-59.1433234E-51.27995612.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-48.993731E-41.03447663.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.008722381.00686616.0E-5
6.41.4666188E-51.4052489E-53.405221E-52.42321542.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-58.02225E-51.33207512.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.6297985E-41.04089763.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.0073579511.00679155.0E-5
6.51.4666188E-51.4052489E-53.405221E-52.42321542.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-58.02225E-51.33207512.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.6297985E-41.04089763.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.0073579511.00679155.0E-5
6.61.4377586E-51.3729529E-53.3729255E-52.45669412.0E-56.1616774E-55.883965E-57.883847E-51.33988692.0E-57.4992597E-47.1616215E-47.4614066E-41.041863.0E-50.0074740030.00714101040.00719065361.00695185.0E-5
6.71.3881404E-51.3207497E-53.3207234E-52.51427152.0E-55.9490372E-55.6602472E-57.660134E-51.35332142.0E-57.240546E-46.889419E-47.1892125E-41.04351513.0E-50.0072170.00687051050.00692016721.00722745.0E-5
6.81.0176516E-59.1541E-61.9154008E-52.09239671.0E-54.3612912E-53.923136E-54.9230966E-51.25488821.0E-55.308578E-44.775537E-44.975441E-41.04186012.0E-50.00529591460.0047669080.00480671741.00835124.0E-5
6.99.699797E-68.774672E-61.8774585E-52.13963371.0E-54.15699E-53.760529E-54.760491E-51.265911.0E-55.05996E-44.5776463E-44.7775547E-41.04367052.0E-50.0050484540.00456983460.0046096521.0087134.0E-5
7.07.4049476E-66.559291E-66.559291E-61.00.03.1735104E-52.8111013E-52.8111013E-51.00.03.8630638E-43.422105E-43.422105E-41.00.00.00385635530.00341807750.00343800921.00583122.0E-5
7.13.873439E-62.759473E-62.759473E-61.00.01.6600346E-51.1826261E-51.1826261E-51.00.02.0209046E-41.4397544E-41.4397544E-41.00.00.00201906780.00143884530.00144883081.006941.0E-5
7.23.417706E-62.367616E-62.367616E-61.00.01.4647229E-51.0146887E-51.0146887E-51.00.01.7831543E-41.2353157E-41.2353157E-41.00.00.00178172420.00123465130.00124463891.00808941.0E-5
7.31.90225E-61.4073756E-61.4073756E-61.00.08.152474E-66.031596E-66.031596E-61.00.09.9251854E-57.343223E-57.343223E-51.00.09.920754E-47.340819E-47.440745E-41.01361251.0E-5
7.41.5170556E-61.1024792E-61.1024792E-61.00.06.5016507E-64.7249023E-64.7249023E-61.00.07.915472E-55.752418E-55.752418E-51.00.07.9126534E-45.75094E-45.850883E-41.01737841.0E-5
7.51.178732E-68.5351127E-78.5351127E-71.00.05.0516987E-63.6579004E-63.6579004E-61.00.06.1502695E-54.4534037E-54.4534037E-51.00.06.148568E-44.4525208E-44.5524762E-41.02244911.0E-5
7.66.8722386E-74.793211E-74.793211E-71.00.02.9452417E-62.0542318E-62.0542318E-61.00.03.5857727E-52.5009986E-52.5009986E-51.00.03.5851944E-42.5007184E-42.6006933E-41.03997851.0E-5
7.75.5126515E-73.6731117E-73.6731117E-71.00.02.3625628E-61.5741898E-61.5741898E-61.00.02.8763823E-51.9165593E-51.9165593E-51.00.02.87601E-41.9163951E-41.9163951E-41.00.0
7.83.3860243E-72.0075514E-72.0075514E-71.00.01.4511525E-68.6037886E-78.6037886E-71.00.01.7667637E-51.0475063E-51.0475063E-51.00.01.7666233E-41.0474575E-41.0474575E-41.00.0
7.92.7955386E-71.4648724E-71.4648724E-71.00.01.1980875E-66.278023E-76.278023E-71.00.01.4586617E-57.643467E-67.643467E-61.00.01.458566E-47.643208E-57.643208E-51.00.0
8.05.6259015E-83.335318E-83.335318E-81.00.02.4111003E-71.429422E-71.429422E-71.00.02.9355108E-61.7403199E-61.7403199E-61.00.02.935472E-51.7403077E-51.7403077E-51.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.687141E-41.06299581.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.687141E-41.06299581.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.687141E-41.06299581.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.687141E-41.06299581.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.120244E-52.120244E-51.00.08.259794E-59.086542E-59.086542E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110589670.00112587461.01806492.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110603031.00358954.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.120244E-52.120244E-51.00.08.259794E-59.086542E-59.086542E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110589670.00112587461.01806492.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110603031.00358954.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.665589E-69.665589E-61.00.04.205614E-54.1423333E-54.1423333E-51.00.05.119132E-45.042196E-45.1421457E-41.01982261.0E-50.0051073560.00503147950.00504142931.00197741.0E-5
6.79.801478E-69.653158E-69.653158E-61.00.04.2005657E-54.137006E-54.137006E-51.00.05.112989E-45.0357135E-45.135663E-41.01984811.0E-50.00510124070.0050250260.00503497571.00198011.0E-5
6.88.102489E-67.772994E-67.772994E-61.00.03.4724493E-53.3312434E-53.3312434E-51.00.04.2268867E-44.0550836E-44.1550433E-41.02465051.0E-50.0042188560.00404817840.00405813751.00246021.0E-5
6.96.08275E-65.481441E-65.481441E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.3491682E-52.3491682E-51.00.03.173398E-42.8597447E-42.959716E-41.03495811.0E-50.00316887020.00285614240.00286611381.00349131.0E-5
7.05.5995934E-64.9827686E-64.9827686E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1354552E-52.1354552E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.5996132E-42.5996132E-41.00.00.00291753160.00259663960.00259663961.00.0
7.14.709881E-64.0873906E-64.0873906E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7517272E-51.7517272E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1325232E-42.1325232E-41.00.00.0024545370.00213051840.00213051841.00.0
7.23.6063436E-62.9779412E-62.9779412E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.27625435E-51.27625435E-51.00.01.881565E-41.55373E-41.55373E-41.00.00.00187997260.00155265490.00155265491.00.0
7.32.471135E-62.0954562E-62.0954562E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980496E-68.980496E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.0933213E-41.0933213E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109279060.00109279061.00.0
7.41.163943E-61.0275061E-61.0275061E-61.00.04.988318E-64.40359E-64.40359E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.361242E-55.361242E-51.00.06.071448E-45.3599785E-45.3599785E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.917601E-74.917601E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1075416E-62.1075416E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5659032E-52.5659032E-51.00.02.605767E-42.5656226E-42.5656226E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4778313E-72.4778313E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619274E-61.0619274E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2928893E-51.2928893E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928178E-41.2928178E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.3864214E-87.3864214E-81.00.03.527691E-73.165609E-73.165609E-71.00.04.294955E-63.854123E-63.854123E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.854068E-53.854068E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7565618E-81.7565618E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528122E-87.528122E-81.00.01.45157E-69.1654863E-79.1654863E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.165463E-69.165463E-61.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.0296193E-41.63523914.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.007710441.00909117.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.0296193E-41.63523914.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.007710441.00909117.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.0296193E-41.63523914.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.007710441.00909117.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.862255E-63.986196E-54.04187063.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-58.226457E-51.94634154.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.644676E-41.0971335.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00519499561.01162396.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.862255E-63.986196E-54.04187063.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-58.226457E-51.94634154.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.644676E-41.0971335.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00519499561.01162396.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879378E-62.7879221E-53.53825122.0E-54.390359E-53.3768443E-55.376777E-51.59224892.0E-55.343951E-44.1107394E-44.410616E-41.07294953.0E-50.0053311180.00410516650.00413504341.00727783.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.1774166E-62.7177273E-53.78649782.0E-54.1165385E-53.0760108E-55.0759492E-51.65017272.0E-55.010733E-43.7446033E-44.044491E-41.08008533.0E-50.004999450.00374029060.00377017841.00799073.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.123926E-62.6123804E-54.26585872.0E-53.687454E-52.6245243E-54.624472E-51.76202292.0E-54.48855E-43.195085E-43.494989E-41.09386423.0E-50.0044794950.00319240310.00322230721.00936733.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.563117E-61.2563091E-54.90148971.0E-52.223407E-51.0984763E-52.0984653E-51.91034191.0E-52.7066618E-41.3373529E-41.537326E-41.14952922.0E-50.00270336750.00133693960.00135691291.01493952.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-62.3442778E-61.2344254E-55.2656961.0E-51.9415156E-51.0046889E-52.004679E-51.9953231.0E-52.3635388E-41.2231797E-41.4231553E-41.16348832.0E-50.00236102660.00122289560.00124287121.01633472.0E-5
7.03.431668E-61.6882177E-61.1688201E-56.92339661.0E-51.4707065E-57.2352186E-61.7235147E-52.38211821.0E-51.7904381E-48.808879E-51.0808703E-41.22702362.0E-50.00178899628.8088785E-49.0087025E-41.02268432.0E-5

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7925962E-56.792485E-52.4323194.0E-51.5187653E-41.1967727E-41.6967129E-41.41774025.0E-50.00184752840.00145610920.00152600721.04800337.0E-50.0183224360.014868150.014937111.00463817.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.7925962E-56.792485E-52.4323194.0E-51.5180321E-41.1967727E-41.6967129E-41.41774025.0E-50.00184663720.00145610920.00152600721.04800337.0E-50.0183136720.014868150.014937111.00463817.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.7925962E-56.792485E-52.4323194.0E-51.4865733E-41.1967727E-41.6967129E-41.41774025.0E-50.00180840050.00145610910.00152600721.04800337.0E-50.0179375480.014868150.0149371091.00463817.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.7771312E-56.77702E-52.44029524.0E-51.3750899E-41.1901455E-41.6900859E-41.42006675.0E-50.00167288620.00144805120.00151794991.04827087.0E-50.0166034880.0147893080.0148582731.00466317.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.773829E-56.773718E-52.442014.0E-51.364017E-41.1887303E-41.6886709E-41.42056685.0E-50.00165942540.00144633060.00151622941.04832847.0E-50.0164708850.0147725020.0148414671.00466867.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.7477974E-56.7476874E-52.45567134.0E-51.3526545E-41.17757496E-41.6775161E-41.42455145.0E-50.00164561280.00143276680.00150266651.04878657.0E-50.01633480.014639910.0147088851.00471157.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.7322194E-56.73211E-52.46397144.0E-51.3485427E-41.17089934E-41.6708407E-41.42697225.0E-50.00164061420.00142464980.00149455011.04906497.0E-50.0162855480.0145602280.01462920851.00473767.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.6940217E-56.693914E-52.4847294.0E-51.3380898E-41.1545303E-41.6544726E-41.43302665.0E-50.00162790680.00140474640.00147464811.0497617.0E-50.016160330.014364510.0144335041.00480327.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.6761221E-56.676015E-52.49466014.0E-51.3291716E-41.1468597E-41.6468024E-41.43592315.0E-50.0016170650.00139541950.00146532181.05009417.0E-50.0160534870.0142717720.0143407721.00483487.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.2183434E-56.2182546E-52.80310734.0E-51.1417485E-49.506842E-51.4506366E-41.5258875.0E-50.00138919240.00115684730.00122676641.06043927.0E-50.01380540150.0118821910.0119513591.00582127.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.047825E-56.0477432E-52.95325184.0E-51.02228936E-48.776099E-51.3775661E-41.56967915.0E-50.00124392660.00106796890.00112790491.05612156.0E-50.0123698660.01098262050.0110419621.00540326.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-52.0314741E-56.0313927E-52.96897364.0E-51.0145135E-48.706028E-51.3705593E-41.57426465.0E-50.00123447020.00105944610.00111938261.05657346.0E-50.01227635050.0108978580.0109572051.00544576.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-51.9542116E-55.9541333E-53.0468214.0E-59.735599E-58.3749255E-51.3374507E-41.59697025.0E-50.00118466460.00101917250.00107911141.05881136.0E-50.011783690.0104953220.0105546921.00565686.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.8383771E-55.8383037E-53.17579224.0E-59.006634E-57.878522E-51.2878128E-41.63458685.0E-50.0010960069.5879E-40.00101873261.06251886.0E-50.0109061630.0098909010.0099503071.00600626.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.8186302E-55.8185575E-53.19941764.0E-58.86411E-57.7938974E-51.2793508E-41.64147765.0E-50.0010786719.48496E-40.00100843911.06319816.0E-50.0107345010.00978762750.009847041.00607016.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.7781347E-55.7780635E-53.24950844.0E-58.568561E-57.6203556E-51.2619975E-41.65608735.0E-50.0010427239.2738547E-49.873298E-41.0646386.0E-50.0103784380.0095745480.0096339741.00620666.0E-5
7.61.788966E-51.6434618E-55.643396E-53.43384674.0E-57.666772E-57.043219E-51.2042866E-41.70985275.0E-59.3302975E-48.5717626E-49.171248E-41.06993726.0E-50.009291220.0088664150.0089258831.00670716.0E-5
7.71.5125781E-51.4236738E-55.4236167E-53.80959254.0E-56.4823165E-56.101317E-51.11010115E-41.81944535.0E-57.889362E-47.4258295E-48.025384E-41.0807396.0E-50.0078614120.0077141610.00777369831.00771786.0E-5
7.81.250089E-51.262994E-55.2629435E-54.16703754.0E-55.3574146E-55.4127195E-51.0412449E-41.92370015.0E-56.5207E-46.588E-47.187605E-41.09101476.0E-50.0065015990.0068677590.0069273471.00867656.0E-5
7.99.561E-69.754065E-64.9753675E-55.10081434.0E-54.0975072E-54.180247E-59.180038E-52.19605165.0E-54.987573E-45.0882675E-45.6879624E-41.11785836.0E-50.00497639370.00535236070.00541203931.011156.0E-5
8.08.01699E-68.292994E-64.8292663E-55.82330854.0E-53.4358076E-53.554092E-58.553914E-52.4067795.0E-54.1822926E-44.3262533E-44.925994E-41.13862816.0E-50.00417443040.00457331860.00463304441.01305966.0E-5
8.16.541947E-66.461784E-63.646159E-55.64265063.0E-52.8036617E-52.7693068E-55.769224E-52.08327363.0E-53.4129233E-43.3711144E-43.7709795E-41.11861524.0E-50.00340768650.00358057560.00362043221.01113144.0E-5
8.21.7968189E-67.9684827E-77.9684827E-71.00.07.70063E-63.4150596E-63.4150596E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.157758E-54.157758E-51.00.09.371159E-44.7107413E-44.7107413E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-74.8951257E-84.8951257E-81.00.06.500522E-72.0979108E-72.0979108E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.5542038E-62.5542038E-61.00.07.914075E-52.9679897E-52.9679897E-51.00.0

Sheephole

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.7412627E-64.474107E-59.4365314.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-56.031876E-52.96850564.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-42.9735584E-41.20207795.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.00254130011.02825327.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.7412627E-64.474107E-59.4365314.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-56.031876E-52.96850564.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-42.9735584E-41.20207795.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.00254130011.02825327.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.7873941E-62.2787339E-58.175142.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-53.194569E-52.67419082.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.6543012E-41.13750032.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00147345531.01374012.0E-5
6.32.6677674E-62.7873941E-62.2787339E-58.175142.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-53.194569E-52.67419082.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.6543012E-41.13750032.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00147345531.01374012.0E-5
6.42.2159759E-62.3228788E-62.2322833E-59.6099862.0E-59.497005E-69.955161E-62.9954961E-53.00898812.0E-51.156199E-41.2119815E-41.4119573E-41.1649992.0E-50.00115559760.00121139990.00123137561.01648992.0E-5
6.52.1986082E-62.304759E-62.2304714E-59.6776772.0E-59.4225725E-69.877506E-62.9877308E-53.02478272.0E-51.1471378E-41.2025281E-41.402504E-41.16629622.0E-50.00114654580.00120195660.00122193261.01661962.0E-5
6.61.5232331E-61.6018919E-61.6018919E-61.00.06.5281256E-66.865234E-66.865234E-61.00.07.947703E-58.35812E-58.35812E-51.00.07.9448614E-48.3551643E-48.3551643E-41.00.0
6.71.3137362E-61.382819E-61.382819E-61.00.05.6302856E-65.926355E-65.926355E-61.00.06.854657E-57.215112E-57.215112E-51.00.06.8525434E-47.212908E-47.212908E-41.00.0
6.81.2275751E-61.2922847E-61.2922847E-61.00.05.2610258E-65.5383516E-65.5383516E-61.00.06.4051106E-56.7427485E-56.7427485E-51.00.06.4032647E-46.740836E-46.740836E-41.00.0
6.91.1837088E-61.246102E-61.246102E-61.00.05.0730278E-65.340427E-65.340427E-61.00.06.176237E-56.501789E-56.501789E-51.00.06.17452E-46.5000186E-46.5000186E-41.00.0
7.09.849371E-71.0366288E-61.0366288E-61.00.04.2211523E-64.442688E-64.442688E-61.00.05.1391315E-55.4088487E-55.4088487E-51.00.05.137943E-45.407633E-45.407633E-41.00.0
7.18.1643645E-78.591669E-78.591669E-71.00.03.4990085E-63.682139E-63.682139E-61.00.04.2599597E-54.482921E-54.482921E-51.00.04.259143E-44.4821028E-44.4821028E-41.00.0
7.25.7295756E-76.029502E-76.029502E-71.00.02.45553E-62.58407E-62.58407E-61.00.02.9895667E-53.1460666E-53.1460666E-51.00.02.9891645E-43.145688E-43.145688E-41.00.0

Palos Verdes

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622572E-58.622496E-51.13117931.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.00403989571.01756147.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391163531.00172267.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.622572E-58.622496E-51.13117931.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.00403989571.01756147.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391163531.00172267.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.622572E-58.622496E-51.13117931.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.00403989571.01756147.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391163531.00172267.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.9749007E-54.9749007E-51.00.01.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.3318961E-41.09379142.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00262267631.01154073.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0256759771.00113983.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9749007E-54.9749007E-51.00.01.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.3318961E-41.09379142.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00262267631.01154073.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0256759771.00113983.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6561592E-53.6561592E-51.00.01.3075917E-41.566838E-41.6668225E-41.06381291.0E-50.00159083040.0019060720.00192603391.01047282.0E-50.0157949030.0189091730.0189287941.00103772.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5154393E-53.5154393E-51.00.01.2537291E-41.5065364E-41.6065213E-41.06636741.0E-50.00152534640.00183277820.00185274161.01089242.0E-50.0151491890.0181882440.018207881.00107962.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724828E-52.724828E-51.00.09.801909E-51.16773626E-41.2677246E-41.08562581.0E-50.0011927290.00142088330.0014408551.01405572.0E-50.0118634770.0141272170.0141469351.00139572.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431878E-52.5431878E-51.00.09.139293E-51.0898972E-41.18988624E-41.09174181.0E-50.0011121410.00132623230.00134620581.01506032.0E-50.0110659150.0131922110.0132119481.00149612.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613547E-52.2613547E-51.00.08.1466285E-59.6912096E-59.6912096E-51.00.09.914007E-40.00117935350.00118934171.00846921.0E-50.0098698940.0117396330.0117495151.00084191.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319356E-52.0319356E-51.00.07.3277115E-58.708052E-58.708052E-51.00.08.917837E-40.0010597750.00106976441.0094261.0E-50.0088821340.0105556460.0105655411.00093731.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.899476E-51.899476E-51.00.06.849585E-58.1404054E-58.1404054E-51.00.08.336179E-49.907284E-40.00100071841.01008361.0E-50.0083049770.0098714790.0098813811.0010031.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.7197237E-51.7197237E-51.00.06.200425E-57.370083E-57.370083E-51.00.07.546402E-48.970222E-49.0701325E-41.0111381.0E-50.0075208270.0089422840.0089521941.00110831.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2036747E-66.2036747E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.6587102E-52.6587102E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.236848E-43.236848E-41.00.00.00275552830.00323555620.00323555621.00.0
7.48.279556E-78.408347E-78.408347E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.6035726E-63.6035726E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872686E-54.3872686E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3864746E-44.3864746E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667229E-76.667229E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857381E-62.857381E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788125E-53.4788125E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783344E-43.4783344E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620027E-73.5620027E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526572E-61.526572E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585903E-51.8585903E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584808E-41.8584808E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198376E-71.2198376E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.2278745E-75.2278745E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364919E-66.364919E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364741E-56.364741E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027582E-83.1027582E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297536E-71.3297536E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189739E-61.6189739E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189642E-51.6189642E-51.00.0

Red Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7590016E-54.7590016E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.039422E-42.1394016E-41.04902351.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025102591.01206523.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246026391.00238456.0E-5
6.14.1810763E-54.7590016E-54.7590016E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.039422E-42.1394016E-41.04902351.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025102591.01206523.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246026391.00238456.0E-5
6.24.1810763E-54.7590016E-54.7590016E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.039422E-42.1394016E-41.04902351.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025102591.01206523.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246026391.00238456.0E-5
6.34.1810763E-54.7590016E-54.7590016E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.039422E-42.1394016E-41.04902351.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025102591.01206523.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246026391.00238456.0E-5
6.44.1810763E-54.7590016E-54.7590016E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.039422E-42.1394016E-41.04902351.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025102591.01206523.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246026391.00238456.0E-5
6.53.154503E-53.5359757E-53.5359757E-51.00.01.3518598E-41.5153353E-41.5153353E-41.00.00.00164464670.00184345180.00186341491.01082922.0E-50.016325280.0182912440.018340331.00268355.0E-5
6.63.1535834E-53.5349138E-53.5349138E-51.00.01.3514658E-41.5148803E-41.5148803E-41.00.00.00164416760.00184289870.00186286181.01083242.0E-50.016320560.0182858050.0183348921.00268445.0E-5
6.72.8267326E-53.1469353E-53.1469353E-51.00.01.2114006E-41.3486217E-41.3486217E-41.00.00.00147388240.00164079540.00166076261.01216922.0E-50.0146414520.016295570.016334921.00241474.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.1407242E-53.1407242E-51.00.01.20906756E-41.3459599E-41.3459599E-41.00.00.00147104570.00163755950.00165752681.01219332.0E-50.0146134590.0162636880.0163030361.00241954.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6706994E-52.6706994E-51.00.01.03829596E-41.1445395E-41.1445395E-41.00.00.00126339230.00139266210.0014026481.00717041.0E-50.0125623360.01384703350.0138766191.00213663.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5835778E-52.5835778E-51.00.01.0064714E-41.10720495E-41.10720495E-41.00.00.00122469010.0013472640.00135725061.00741241.0E-50.0121796270.0133985980.0134281951.00220913.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4462845E-52.4462845E-51.00.09.561782E-51.04836974E-41.04836974E-41.00.00.00116352520.00127571760.00128570481.00782871.0E-50.011574520.012691460.01272107851.00233383.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.7670362E-51.7670362E-51.00.07.085802E-57.572828E-57.572828E-51.00.08.623549E-49.2166534E-49.2166534E-41.00.00.0085901610.0091847070.0092045231.00215762.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5559537E-51.5559537E-51.00.06.301173E-56.668237E-56.668237E-51.00.07.668978E-48.1161706E-48.1161706E-41.00.00.00764256580.0080926040.0081124421.00245142.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5288874E-65.5288874E-61.00.02.6284872E-52.3695018E-52.3695018E-51.00.03.199713E-42.884492E-42.884492E-41.00.00.00319510980.00288080240.00289077361.00346121.0E-5
7.55.954766E-65.338517E-65.338517E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.2879161E-52.2879161E-51.00.03.1066386E-42.785187E-42.785187E-41.00.00.0031022990.00278175040.00279172251.00358491.0E-5
7.64.9726646E-64.315309E-64.315309E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.8494053E-51.8494053E-51.00.02.5943352E-42.2514217E-42.2514217E-41.00.00.00259130840.00224917540.0022591531.0044361.0E-5
7.73.3613894E-62.8526886E-62.8526886E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.22257525E-51.22257525E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4883863E-41.4883863E-41.00.00.00175239080.00148741570.00149740091.0067131.0E-5
7.81.1828961E-61.0122935E-61.0122935E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338394E-64.338394E-61.00.06.171996E-55.281869E-55.281869E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280643E-45.280643E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.861919E-71.861919E-71.00.09.843111E-77.97965E-77.97965E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715184E-69.715184E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.714788E-59.714788E-51.00.0

Dry Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439381E-64.6439123E-57.2117374.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-57.759577E-52.81173165.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.9593922E-41.17853316.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034258421.02078777.0E-5
6.16.222801E-66.439381E-64.6439123E-57.2117374.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-57.759577E-52.81173165.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.9593922E-41.17853316.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034258421.02078777.0E-5
6.26.222801E-66.439381E-64.6439123E-57.2117374.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-57.759577E-52.81173165.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.9593922E-41.17853316.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034258421.02078777.0E-5
6.36.222801E-66.439381E-64.6439123E-57.2117374.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-57.759577E-52.81173165.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.9593922E-41.17853316.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034258421.02078777.0E-5
6.46.222801E-66.439381E-64.6439123E-57.2117374.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-57.759577E-52.81173165.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.9593922E-41.17853316.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034258421.02078777.0E-5
6.52.8528623E-62.9521684E-62.9521684E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.6403606E-41.06490921.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00155014631.00648281.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.9521684E-62.9521684E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.6403606E-41.06490921.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00155014631.00648281.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6293578E-62.6293578E-61.00.01.0889954E-51.1268677E-51.1268677E-51.00.01.3257713E-41.3719614E-41.3719614E-41.00.00.00132498060.00137196130.00137196131.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0505308E-41.2505098E-41.190362.0E-53.3046713E-44.501601E-44.7015108E-41.04440872.0E-50.0040160160.00546805470.00549789051.00545643.0E-50.0394421030.0534556140.0535124061.00106246.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.0239887E-58.0238686E-51.3319862.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.7814248E-41.0774552.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00316864251.0095283.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310334531.00187716.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0239887E-58.0238686E-51.3319862.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.7814248E-41.0774552.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00316864251.0095283.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310334531.00187716.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2476124E-55.2475698E-51.23541641.0E-51.4259605E-41.8202956E-41.9202773E-41.05492621.0E-50.00173472440.0022142060.00223416161.00901262.0E-50.0172124520.021945740.0219848621.00178274.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.4999008E-54.4998655E-51.28571241.0E-51.1884817E-41.499886E-41.599871E-41.06666171.0E-50.0014460160.00182481580.00184477921.010942.0E-50.0143664280.0181212970.0181605721.00216734.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4948822E-54.4948472E-51.28612271.0E-51.186648E-41.4977354E-41.5977204E-41.06675741.0E-50.00144378640.00182220180.00184216541.01095572.0E-50.0143444210.0180955850.018134861.00217044.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.871829E-53.8718004E-51.34820011.0E-59.846873E-51.23074E-41.3307277E-41.0812421.0E-50.00119819750.00149763480.00150761991.00666711.0E-50.0119175740.0148987330.0149282871.00198363.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.4904637E-53.4904388E-51.40152171.0E-58.516096E-51.067312E-41.1673012E-41.09368341.0E-50.00103634150.00129891990.00130890691.00768881.0E-50.0103152180.0129369380.012966551.00228893.0E-5
6.86.5640475E-67.6054926E-67.6054926E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2594577E-53.2594577E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9676955E-43.9676955E-41.00.00.00341917880.0039608990.0039708591.00251471.0E-5
6.95.6219683E-66.5018376E-66.5018376E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7864735E-52.7864735E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3920293E-43.3920293E-41.00.00.00292917270.0033871090.0033970751.00294231.0E-5
7.03.875591E-64.4847548E-64.4847548E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9220248E-51.9220248E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.339835E-42.339835E-41.00.00.00202018860.00233757980.00233757981.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.8570418E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958732E-67.958732E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689432E-59.689432E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.686254E-41.00.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.4759184E-41.37172064.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00137927231.05339117.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131021781.0053017.0E-5
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.4759184E-41.37172064.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00137927231.05339117.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131021781.0053017.0E-5
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.4759184E-41.37172064.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00137927231.05339117.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131021781.0053017.0E-5
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.4759184E-41.37172064.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00137927231.05339117.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131021781.0053017.0E-5
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-52.3780969E-51.72562111.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-57.90599E-51.33861242.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.5889647E-41.05559864.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00721491361.00553484.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-52.3780969E-51.72562111.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-57.90599E-51.33861242.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.5889647E-41.05559864.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00721491361.00553484.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-69.63377E-61.00.03.6782953E-54.12874E-55.128699E-51.24219471.0E-54.4774043E-45.026414E-45.326263E-41.05965473.0E-50.00446839350.0050232050.00505305451.00594223.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-68.088302E-61.00.03.088114E-53.466415E-54.4663804E-51.28847251.0E-53.7591302E-44.2203604E-44.4202758E-41.04736942.0E-50.00375277760.00422036040.0042402761.00471892.0E-5

Pine Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-58.096441E-52.61462645.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.16.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-58.096441E-52.61462645.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.26.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-58.096441E-52.61462645.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.36.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-58.096441E-52.61462645.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.46.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-58.096441E-52.61462645.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.56.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-58.096441E-52.61462645.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.66.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-58.096441E-52.61462645.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.76.0867933E-66.397124E-63.639693E-55.68957763.0E-52.6085996E-52.7415968E-56.741487E-52.45896364.0E-53.1755073E-43.337405E-43.837238E-41.1497675.0E-50.00317097340.00333261190.00339241191.01794396.0E-5
6.85.6530425E-65.950606E-63.5950427E-56.04147343.0E-52.42271E-52.5502359E-55.5501594E-52.17633183.0E-52.94925E-43.1044905E-43.5043663E-41.12880564.0E-50.0029453390.00310035820.00315020331.01607725.0E-5
6.94.6015225E-64.8638444E-62.4863748E-55.11195372.0E-51.9720663E-52.084489E-54.0844472E-51.95944772.0E-52.4007261E-42.5375842E-42.7375337E-41.07879512.0E-50.00239813420.0025348310.00256475481.0118053.0E-5
7.04.4875965E-64.7474837E-62.4747389E-55.2127382.0E-51.9232413E-52.0346208E-54.03458E-51.98296422.0E-52.3412947E-42.4768838E-42.676834E-41.08072662.0E-50.00233882950.00247426680.00250419251.01209493.0E-5
7.13.203907E-63.42942E-61.3429386E-53.9159351.0E-51.3730958E-51.4697435E-52.4697289E-51.68038081.0E-51.6716159E-41.7892725E-41.8892546E-41.05587861.0E-50.00167035890.0017878980.00180786221.01116632.0E-5
7.22.2060601E-62.3784874E-61.2378464E-55.2043431.0E-59.4545085E-61.019348E-52.0193378E-51.98100921.0E-51.15102564E-41.2409901E-41.3409776E-41.08057081.0E-50.00115042960.00124034190.00126031721.01610462.0E-5
7.31.3765207E-61.5216535E-61.1521638E-57.57178831.0E-55.899361E-66.5213567E-61.6521291E-52.53341321.0E-57.182235E-57.939472E-58.939392E-51.1259431.0E-57.1799144E-47.9367263E-48.136567E-41.02517932.0E-5
7.41.1245983E-61.2587126E-61.12587E-58.9446151.0E-54.819698E-65.394472E-61.5394418E-52.85373951.0E-55.8678244E-56.56758E-57.567515E-51.1522531.0E-55.866275E-46.565722E-46.765591E-41.03044132.0E-5
7.58.031682E-79.276999E-71.0927691E-511.7793381.0E-53.4421448E-63.975851E-61.3975811E-53.51517461.0E-54.1907308E-54.840498E-55.8404497E-51.20658031.0E-54.1899405E-44.8395112E-45.0394144E-41.04130652.0E-5
7.64.8953444E-76.0030544E-71.0600299E-517.6581761.0E-52.098003E-62.5727354E-61.2572709E-54.8869041.0E-52.5542888E-53.1322652E-54.132234E-51.31924771.0E-52.5539953E-43.1318725E-43.3318097E-41.06383962.0E-5
7.76.634529E-86.788826E-86.788826E-81.00.02.843369E-72.9094966E-72.9094966E-71.00.03.4617963E-63.5423066E-63.5423066E-61.00.03.4617424E-53.542255E-53.542255E-51.00.0
7.89.235578E-99.488566E-99.488566E-91.00.03.9581046E-84.0665284E-84.0665284E-81.00.04.818991E-74.950997E-74.950997E-71.00.04.8189804E-64.950988E-64.950988E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (South)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.72394E-54.32556E-58.325387E-51.92469574.0E-51.5958765E-41.8536886E-42.2536144E-41.21574594.0E-50.00194124810.00225468630.00230457351.02212615.0E-50.0192437750.0223345010.0224029381.00306427.0E-5
6.12.7299884E-53.1492036E-56.149109E-51.95259183.0E-51.16994255E-41.349592E-41.6495516E-41.22225943.0E-50.00142347430.00164194570.00167189641.0182413.0E-50.0141439060.0163040720.0163532571.00301675.0E-5
6.22.7299884E-53.1492036E-56.149109E-51.95259183.0E-51.16994255E-41.349592E-41.6495516E-41.22225943.0E-50.00142347430.00164194570.00167189641.0182413.0E-50.0141439060.0163040720.0163532571.00301675.0E-5
6.32.0546433E-52.3631454E-55.3630745E-52.26946453.0E-58.805317E-51.0127383E-41.3127079E-41.29619663.0E-50.001071520.00123233050.00126229341.02431423.0E-50.0106636810.0122570310.0123064181.00402935.0E-5
6.42.0546433E-52.3631454E-55.3630745E-52.26946453.0E-58.805317E-51.0127383E-41.3127079E-41.29619663.0E-50.001071520.00123233050.00126229341.02431423.0E-50.0106636810.0122570310.0123064181.00402935.0E-5
6.51.7779594E-52.0446974E-55.044636E-52.46717983.0E-57.619603E-58.762703E-51.176244E-41.34233013.0E-59.272918E-40.00106635050.00109631851.02810343.0E-50.0092343190.0106138040.0106632731.00466085.0E-5
6.61.6272212E-51.8714967E-54.8714406E-52.6029653.0E-56.973618E-58.0204605E-51.102022E-41.37401333.0E-58.487073E-49.760659E-40.00100603651.03070563.0E-50.0084547330.0097190910.0097686041.00509455.0E-5
6.71.3051484E-51.5038758E-53.5038458E-52.32987712.0E-55.593373E-56.445028E-58.444899E-51.31029682.0E-56.807804E-47.844092E-48.043935E-41.02547692.0E-50.0067869860.0078173880.0078570751.00507684.0E-5
6.81.04277415E-51.1987235E-53.1986994E-52.66842152.0E-54.4689557E-55.1372896E-57.137187E-51.38929032.0E-55.439595E-46.2529295E-46.452804E-41.0319652.0E-50.00542629930.006236090.00627584061.00637424.0E-5
6.97.639968E-68.791503E-61.8791416E-52.1374521.0E-53.274231E-53.767736E-54.7676982E-51.26540141.0E-53.9856473E-44.586312E-44.686266E-41.0217941.0E-50.0039785060.0045774330.00460729561.00652383.0E-5
7.03.919831E-64.5334014E-64.5334014E-61.00.01.679917E-51.942873E-51.942873E-51.00.02.045107E-42.3652123E-42.3652123E-41.00.00.00204322580.00236290340.00236290341.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.8570418E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958732E-67.958732E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689432E-59.689432E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.686254E-41.00.0

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-56.337018E-51.00.02.2904722E-42.7156167E-42.7156167E-41.00.00.00278508360.00330185150.00336165331.01811166.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326475281.00178116.0E-5
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-56.337018E-51.00.02.2904722E-42.7156167E-42.7156167E-41.00.00.00278508360.00330185150.00336165331.01811166.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326475281.00178116.0E-5
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-52.6642829E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.1417881E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138928750.00140925971.01437592.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138306131.00142812.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-52.6642829E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.1417881E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138928750.00140925971.01437592.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138306131.00142812.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-52.246342E-51.00.08.425682E-59.626848E-59.626848E-51.00.00.0010253440.00117147870.0011814671.00852621.0E-50.0102062590.0116571190.0116670031.00084781.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-51.9745152E-51.00.07.4324824E-58.461954E-58.461954E-51.00.09.04529E-40.00102979290.00102979291.00.00.0090085610.0102539320.0102539321.00.0
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-51.6322716E-51.00.06.170443E-56.99528E-56.99528E-51.00.07.509924E-48.513747E-48.513747E-41.00.00.00748459530.0084843330.0084843331.00.0
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-51.4285298E-51.00.05.414838E-56.122144E-56.122144E-51.00.06.590571E-47.451466E-47.451466E-41.00.00.0065710590.0074295020.0074295021.00.0
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-51.2933193E-51.00.04.911726E-55.542696E-55.542696E-51.00.05.9783855E-46.74644E-46.74644E-41.00.00.00596232760.00672889970.00672889971.00.0
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-51.0235013E-51.00.03.9038136E-54.386376E-54.386376E-51.00.04.7518566E-45.339384E-45.339384E-41.00.00.00474170830.00532930950.00532930951.00.0
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-66.583965E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.821682E-52.821682E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4350925E-43.4350925E-41.00.00.00309207060.00343209970.00343209971.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-62.2096492E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469892E-69.469892E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.15289986E-41.15289986E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115231720.00115231721.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-62.1779954E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334234E-69.334234E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13638525E-41.13638525E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113581950.00113581951.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-61.7442885E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.475501E-67.475501E-61.00.08.94604E-59.1010515E-59.1010515E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.0974156E-49.0974156E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-61.4641878E-61.00.06.200554E-66.275076E-66.275076E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639644E-57.639644E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6370913E-47.6370913E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-61.2931506E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5420624E-65.5420624E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747259E-56.747259E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745281E-46.745281E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-76.76947E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-62.9011985E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532158E-53.532158E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-43.5316538E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-84.5699714E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-71.9585592E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-62.3845432E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-52.3845198E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-91.5138054E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-96.4877375E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.89882E-87.89882E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.89882E-77.89882E-71.00.0

Raymond

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.646099E-41.04846584.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082778611.00724086.0E-5
6.11.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.646099E-41.04846584.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082778611.00724086.0E-5
6.21.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.646099E-41.04846584.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082778611.00724086.0E-5
6.31.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.646099E-41.04846584.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082778611.00724086.0E-5
6.41.3941944E-51.4454688E-52.4454543E-51.6918071.0E-55.9749822E-56.194732E-57.1946706E-51.16141751.0E-57.2721124E-47.53971E-47.9394085E-41.05301254.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.007576021.00792246.0E-5
6.51.3941944E-51.4454688E-52.4454543E-51.6918071.0E-55.9749822E-56.194732E-57.1946706E-51.16141751.0E-57.2721124E-47.53971E-47.9394085E-41.05301254.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.007576021.00792246.0E-5
6.61.0542609E-51.067111E-52.0671003E-51.93709961.0E-54.5181827E-54.573256E-55.57321E-51.21865261.0E-55.499499E-45.566571E-45.8664044E-41.05386323.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.00559297441.0071634.0E-5
6.71.0542609E-51.067111E-52.0671003E-51.93709961.0E-54.5181827E-54.573256E-55.57321E-51.21865261.0E-55.499499E-45.566571E-45.8664044E-41.05386323.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.00559297441.0071634.0E-5
6.81.0079132E-51.0176644E-52.0176542E-51.98263231.0E-54.3195567E-54.3613487E-55.361305E-51.22927691.0E-55.257791E-45.308702E-45.6085427E-41.0564813.0E-50.00524536850.00529657770.00533636571.00751214.0E-5
6.97.721598E-67.548902E-61.7548826E-52.3246861.0E-53.3092143E-53.2352043E-54.235172E-51.30908951.0E-54.0282236E-43.9381615E-44.2380433E-41.07614773.0E-50.00402092930.0039313240.00397116641.01013474.0E-5
7.07.137566E-66.911303E-61.6911234E-52.44689511.0E-53.058921E-52.961954E-53.9619244E-51.3376051.0E-53.7236E-43.605593E-43.8055208E-41.05544942.0E-50.00371736680.0035998690.0036297611.00830363.0E-5
7.15.654976E-65.299538E-65.299538E-61.00.02.4235387E-52.2712107E-52.2712107E-51.00.02.9502588E-42.7648505E-42.8648227E-41.03615831.0E-50.00294634510.00276144920.0027813941.00722252.0E-5
7.24.9358455E-64.526655E-64.526655E-61.00.02.1153453E-51.9399806E-51.9399806E-51.00.02.5751285E-42.3616718E-42.4616483E-41.04233291.0E-50.00257214650.0023591920.00237914451.00845742.0E-5
7.34.2368597E-63.8056128E-63.8056128E-61.00.01.8157843E-51.6309668E-51.6309668E-51.00.02.2104931E-41.9855222E-42.0855023E-41.05035461.0E-50.00220829550.00198377460.0020037351.01006172.0E-5
7.43.4999923E-63.0437407E-63.0437407E-61.00.01.49998805E-51.3044538E-51.3044538E-51.00.01.8260824E-41.5880575E-41.5880575E-41.00.00.00182458260.00158694610.00158694611.00.0
7.52.738017E-62.3020405E-62.3020405E-61.00.01.1734306E-59.865851E-69.865851E-61.00.01.428558E-41.20110184E-41.20110184E-41.00.00.00142764010.00120047470.00120047471.00.0
7.61.8186392E-61.442302E-61.442302E-61.00.07.794145E-66.1812802E-66.1812802E-61.00.09.488958E-57.5254524E-57.5254524E-51.00.09.4849075E-47.5230957E-47.5230957E-41.00.0
7.71.0660348E-67.6437E-77.6437E-71.00.04.5687125E-63.2758674E-63.2758674E-61.00.05.5622655E-53.988297E-53.988297E-51.00.05.5608735E-43.9877492E-43.9877492E-41.00.0
7.86.913602E-74.3202903E-74.3202903E-71.00.02.962969E-61.8515517E-61.8515517E-61.00.03.607355E-52.2542416E-52.2542416E-51.00.03.6067693E-42.2541684E-42.2541684E-41.00.0
7.97.425201E-85.322267E-85.322267E-81.00.03.1822285E-72.2809714E-72.2809714E-71.00.03.874356E-62.7770805E-62.7770805E-61.00.03.8742884E-52.7770588E-52.7770588E-51.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.12.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.22.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.32.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.42.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.52.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.62.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.71.0601296E-51.1379544E-51.1379544E-51.00.04.5433335E-54.876859E-54.876859E-51.00.05.5301044E-45.936007E-46.1358884E-41.03367272.0E-50.0055163630.0059206530.0059504761.0050373.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996669E-51.0996669E-51.00.04.391389E-54.7127756E-54.7127756E-51.00.05.345204E-45.7363417E-45.936227E-41.03484552.0E-50.00533236560.0057220250.00575185331.00521293.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699645E-69.699645E-61.00.03.878322E-54.1569267E-54.1569267E-51.00.04.7208337E-45.059924E-45.1598734E-41.01975311.0E-50.00471081720.00504882030.00506871941.00394132.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274603E-69.274603E-61.00.03.7088983E-53.9747716E-53.9747716E-51.00.04.5146482E-44.8382508E-44.9382023E-41.02065861.0E-50.0045054870.00482812940.00484803271.00412242.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.992925E-68.992925E-61.00.03.5961057E-53.8540562E-53.8540562E-51.00.04.3773788E-44.6913436E-44.791297E-41.02130581.0E-50.0043687660.00468185030.0047017571.00425182.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3716957E-66.3716957E-61.00.02.556484E-52.7306984E-52.7306984E-51.00.03.1120746E-43.3241237E-43.4240904E-41.03007321.0E-50.003107720.00331920940.00332917621.00300281.0E-5
7.34.877518E-65.206007E-65.206007E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.231127E-52.231127E-51.00.02.5447016E-42.716063E-42.8160357E-41.0368081.0E-50.00254178980.00271278970.00272276251.00367631.0E-5
7.43.8829853E-64.141863E-64.141863E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7750723E-51.7750723E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1609403E-42.2609187E-41.04626621.0E-50.0020240390.0021588810.00216885911.0046221.0E-5
7.51.3489616E-61.4277905E-61.4277905E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119088E-66.119088E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449739E-57.449739E-51.00.07.036218E-47.4472814E-47.4472814E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.35378E-76.35378E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230458E-62.7230458E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3152595E-53.3152595E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314781E-43.314781E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.2607924E-72.2607924E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689107E-79.689107E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.17964355E-51.17964355E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.179592E-41.179592E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-81.5466837E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628645E-86.628645E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070372E-78.070372E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.07035E-68.07035E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez River

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7209444E-52.7209273E-51.58106631.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-58.375214E-51.13557791.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.1758894E-41.02226152.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0090028261.00664896.0E-5
6.11.6396456E-51.7209444E-52.7209273E-51.58106631.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-58.375214E-51.13557791.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.1758894E-41.02226152.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0090028261.00664896.0E-5
6.21.6396456E-51.7209444E-52.7209273E-51.58106631.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-58.375214E-51.13557791.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.1758894E-41.02226152.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0090028261.00664896.0E-5
6.39.736976E-61.01223395E-52.0122237E-51.9879041.0E-54.172923E-54.338076E-55.3380325E-51.23050691.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-45.480272E-41.03785612.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0053180731.00944075.0E-5
6.49.736976E-61.01223395E-52.0122237E-51.9879041.0E-54.172923E-54.338076E-55.3380325E-51.23050691.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-45.480272E-41.03785612.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0053180731.00944075.0E-5
6.57.081964E-67.329905E-67.329905E-61.00.03.035092E-53.141351E-53.141351E-51.00.03.694598E-43.8239395E-43.9239012E-41.0261411.0E-50.00368846160.00381752150.00385736881.0104384.0E-5
6.65.873247E-66.0597517E-66.0597517E-61.00.02.5170815E-52.5970112E-52.5970112E-51.00.03.064116E-43.161411E-43.2613793E-41.03162151.0E-50.00305989430.0031570010.00319687461.01263024.0E-5
6.74.973277E-65.11591E-65.11591E-61.00.02.1313872E-52.1925147E-52.1925147E-51.00.02.5946548E-42.6690646E-42.7690377E-41.03745631.0E-50.00259162740.00266590780.0027058011.01496424.0E-5
6.84.396492E-64.510987E-64.510987E-61.00.01.884197E-51.933266E-51.933266E-51.00.02.2937685E-42.3535005E-42.4534768E-41.04247991.0E-50.00229140230.00235104330.00239094931.01697374.0E-5
6.93.5255632E-63.6013423E-63.6013423E-61.00.01.5109469E-51.5434234E-51.5434234E-51.00.01.8394225E-41.8789574E-41.8789574E-41.00.00.00183790070.0018773850.00189734741.01063312.0E-5
7.03.211603E-63.273663E-63.273663E-61.00.01.376394E-51.402991E-51.402991E-51.00.01.6756308E-41.708009E-41.708009E-41.00.00.00167436790.00170671040.00171669341.00584921.0E-5
7.12.5094619E-62.5409295E-62.5409295E-61.00.01.0754793E-51.0889652E-51.0889652E-51.00.01.3093173E-41.325735E-41.325735E-41.00.00.00130854620.00132495030.00133493691.00753751.0E-5
7.22.0515774E-62.0619466E-62.0619466E-61.00.08.792445E-68.836884E-68.836884E-61.00.01.0704277E-41.0758379E-41.0758379E-41.00.00.00106991220.00107532150.00108531061.00928951.0E-5
7.31.6845745E-61.6773996E-61.6773996E-61.00.07.219585E-67.1888358E-67.1888358E-61.00.08.78949E-58.752059E-58.752059E-51.00.08.7860145E-48.7486405E-48.7486405E-41.00.0
7.41.3600285E-61.3333447E-61.3333447E-61.00.05.82868E-65.714322E-65.714322E-61.00.07.096187E-56.956967E-56.956967E-51.00.07.0939213E-46.9548114E-46.9548114E-41.00.0
7.59.735342E-79.2901894E-79.2901894E-71.00.04.172283E-63.9815036E-63.9815036E-61.00.05.079636E-54.8473747E-54.8473747E-51.00.05.0784746E-44.8463346E-44.8463346E-41.00.0
7.65.067187E-74.778609E-74.778609E-71.00.02.1716498E-62.0479738E-62.0479738E-61.00.02.6439517E-52.4933803E-52.4933803E-51.00.02.643637E-42.493108E-42.493108E-41.00.0
7.72.769089E-72.5759346E-72.5759346E-71.00.01.1867519E-61.1039714E-61.1039714E-61.00.01.4448608E-51.344077E-51.344077E-51.00.01.444767E-41.343996E-41.343996E-41.00.0
7.81.7044663E-71.5449208E-71.5449208E-71.00.07.3048534E-76.6210873E-76.6210873E-71.00.08.893623E-68.061144E-68.061144E-61.00.08.893267E-58.060854E-58.060854E-51.00.0
7.94.8344287E-84.0911143E-84.0911143E-81.00.02.0718979E-71.7533345E-71.7533345E-71.00.02.5225327E-62.1346827E-62.1346827E-61.00.02.5225041E-52.1346626E-52.1346626E-51.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.163834E-59.163752E-51.12248151.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.598314E-41.0285751.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.00428128241.00702643.0E-50.034262910.041756030.0418135231.00137696.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.163834E-58.163834E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.4983488E-41.00.00.0034802940.004251410.00427132471.00468432.0E-50.034262910.041756030.041794361.00091794.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6452373E-54.6452373E-51.00.01.6884868E-41.9906677E-41.9906677E-41.00.00.00205379450.00242099840.00244095011.0082412.0E-50.0203491670.0239529030.0239724241.00081492.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792912E-53.792912E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.6254342E-41.6254342E-41.00.00.00169909560.00197720020.00198718021.00504771.0E-50.016861630.0195998830.0196096861.00050021.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.4097764E-53.4097764E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4612524E-41.4612524E-41.00.00.00153574380.00177764930.00178763151.00561541.0E-50.0152517390.017637470.0176472941.0005571.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2247463E-53.2247463E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.3819624E-41.3819624E-41.00.00.0014551790.00168126620.00169124941.00593791.0E-50.0144568680.0166884850.0166983181.00058931.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5762702E-52.5762702E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1040699E-41.1040699E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134339090.00135337751.00743391.0E-50.0116676150.0133544170.0133642831.00073891.0E-5
6.71.9862755E-52.2666423E-52.2666423E-51.00.08.512331E-59.713826E-59.713826E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118202790.00119201611.008451.0E-50.0103106820.0117587010.0117685831.00084041.0E-5
6.81.6697575E-51.897771E-51.897771E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133056E-58.133056E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.897591E-49.997492E-41.01009351.0E-50.0086747840.00985453650.0098644381.00100481.0E-5
6.91.5218415E-51.72694E-51.72694E-51.00.06.522015E-57.4009666E-57.4009666E-51.00.07.93766E-49.00704E-49.10695E-41.01109241.0E-50.0079093670.0089714810.0089813911.00110461.0E-5
7.01.2392958E-51.4033016E-51.4033016E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.014015E-56.014015E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319679E-47.419606E-41.01365181.0E-50.00644564540.00729635640.0073062841.00136051.0E-5
7.11.0934128E-51.2375138E-51.2375138E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.303527E-55.303527E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455204E-46.5551396E-41.01548141.0E-50.00568905850.00643719970.00644713551.00154351.0E-5
7.29.5798805E-61.0844935E-51.0844935E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6477508E-54.6477508E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657239E-45.7571824E-41.01766651.0E-50.00498619630.00564356150.0056535051.00176191.0E-5
7.38.0167365E-69.083918E-69.083918E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8930535E-53.8930535E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7388324E-44.8387848E-41.02109231.0E-50.00417429860.00472942970.0047393831.00210441.0E-5
7.42.9581017E-63.3623792E-63.3623792E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410146E-51.4410146E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543444E-41.7543444E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175345460.00175345461.00.0

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.3068506E-51.739643E-41.8396258E-41.05747311.0E-53.9880406E-47.453474E-47.653325E-41.02681312.0E-50.00484463430.0090367270.00908627551.0054835.0E-50.0474037040.0863966050.0864514261.00063446.0E-5
6.19.055486E-51.6947639E-41.794747E-41.05899521.0E-53.880345E-47.2612526E-47.4611075E-41.02752342.0E-50.00471409040.0088048140.0088543731.00562875.0E-50.0461533550.084285680.084340621.00065186.0E-5
6.29.006742E-51.6868232E-41.7868062E-41.0592731.0E-53.859461E-47.227246E-47.4271014E-41.02765312.0E-50.00468877420.008763780.0088133411.00565535.0E-50.04591070.083909910.083964881.0006556.0E-5
6.38.8336754E-51.6547782E-41.7547616E-41.06042111.0E-53.7853114E-47.0899865E-47.289845E-41.02818882.0E-50.0045988820.0085980510.0086476221.00576535.0E-50.045048660.082401950.0824570061.00066826.0E-5
6.48.526157E-51.5974796E-41.6974636E-41.06258861.0E-53.6535555E-46.844552E-47.044415E-41.02920032.0E-50.00443913460.008301560.0083412281.00477844.0E-50.0435149930.079684670.079730681.00057745.0E-5
6.58.152396E-51.5307199E-41.6307046E-41.06531871.0E-53.493416E-46.558586E-46.758455E-41.03047442.0E-50.00424494180.0079559930.0079956741.00498764.0E-50.041647650.076514480.076560661.00060345.0E-5
6.67.987405E-51.5011412E-41.6011261E-41.0666061.0E-53.4227243E-46.431883E-46.631754E-41.03107512.0E-50.00415920650.0078028580.0078326241.00381473.0E-50.040822180.0751058760.075142871.00049264.0E-5
6.77.777665E-51.4650672E-41.5650525E-41.06824621.0E-53.332859E-46.277355E-46.47723E-41.03184062.0E-50.0040502080.0076160530.00764582451.0039093.0E-50.0397718060.07338250.073419561.00050514.0E-5
6.87.3284005E-51.3801287E-41.4801149E-41.07244711.0E-53.140365E-45.9135025E-46.113384E-41.0338012.0E-50.00381669290.0071760590.00720584351.00415053.0E-50.0375180360.069296240.069333471.00053734.0E-5
6.96.458263E-51.21319164E-41.3131795E-41.08241721.0E-52.7675333E-45.1983615E-45.398257E-41.03845372.0E-50.00336426640.00631073960.00634055031.00472383.0E-50.0331378840.0612246250.0612621751.00061334.0E-5
7.05.3853604E-51.00254634E-41.00254634E-41.00.02.3078074E-44.295923E-44.295923E-41.00.00.00280613520.00521780740.00522775531.00190651.0E-50.0277096420.0509570240.0509760041.00037252.0E-5
7.14.4308683E-58.17098E-58.17098E-51.00.01.8988053E-43.5013806E-43.5013806E-41.00.00.00230934420.00425463960.00426459731.00234031.0E-50.0228549260.0418244970.0418436641.00045822.0E-5
7.23.295973E-56.0774026E-56.0774026E-51.00.01.4124835E-42.6043423E-42.6043423E-41.00.00.00171834210.00316619940.00317616781.00314831.0E-50.0170511570.0313700140.03137971.00030881.0E-5
7.32.452256E-54.518223E-54.518223E-51.00.01.05092455E-41.9362383E-41.9362383E-41.00.00.00127874960.00235483520.00236481171.00423661.0E-50.01271416250.0234420360.0234518011.00041661.0E-5
7.41.8829967E-53.4604043E-53.4604043E-51.00.08.069736E-51.4829468E-41.4829468E-41.00.09.820475E-40.00180400230.00180400231.00.00.0097771890.018020030.018020031.00.0
7.51.26374125E-52.292219E-52.292219E-51.00.05.4159216E-59.823428E-59.823428E-51.00.06.5918895E-40.00119535210.00119535211.00.00.006572370.0119887040.0119887041.00.0
7.64.666429E-68.479636E-68.479636E-61.00.01.9998828E-53.6340796E-53.6340796E-51.00.02.4345852E-44.423606E-44.423606E-41.00.00.00243191980.0044583770.0044583771.00.0
7.73.8399318E-77.1343146E-77.1343146E-71.00.01.6456839E-63.0575598E-63.0575598E-61.00.02.003602E-53.7225156E-53.7225156E-51.00.02.0034213E-43.86166E-43.86166E-41.00.0
7.82.5637698E-75.3666145E-75.3666145E-71.00.01.098758E-62.2999754E-62.2999754E-61.00.01.3377297E-52.8001843E-52.8001843E-51.00.01.3376492E-42.9246495E-42.9246495E-41.00.0
7.91.7141245E-73.7293606E-73.7293606E-71.00.07.3462456E-71.5982963E-61.5982963E-61.00.08.944017E-61.9459085E-51.9459085E-51.00.08.943657E-52.0246378E-42.0246378E-41.00.0
8.01.1808895E-72.7512246E-72.7512246E-71.00.05.060954E-71.1790958E-61.1790958E-61.00.06.161694E-61.4355397E-51.4355397E-51.00.06.161523E-51.4817173E-41.4817173E-41.00.0
8.15.138535E-81.12307575E-71.12307575E-71.00.02.2022292E-74.8131807E-74.8131807E-71.00.02.6812106E-65.860032E-65.860032E-61.00.02.6811784E-56.0156468E-56.0156468E-51.00.0

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.0425541E-41.2425332E-41.19181662.0E-53.5478722E-44.4673498E-44.6672602E-41.04474932.0E-50.0043109820.00542591330.00545575051.0054993.0E-50.0422830540.052993030.053040381.00089355.0E-5
6.14.6961468E-55.773024E-56.772966E-51.17320941.0E-52.0124791E-42.473905E-42.5738802E-41.0404121.0E-50.002447440.0030078860.00302782581.00662922.0E-50.0242066030.0296796360.0297087451.00098073.0E-5
6.23.5079658E-54.214258E-54.214258E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8059829E-41.8059829E-41.00.00.00182876420.0021965870.0022065651.00454251.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217707531.00089942.0E-5
6.33.5079658E-54.214258E-54.214258E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8059829E-41.8059829E-41.00.00.00182876420.0021965870.0022065651.00454251.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217707531.00089942.0E-5
6.42.7196904E-53.208715E-53.208715E-51.00.01.16552954E-41.3750911E-41.3750911E-41.00.00.00141810850.00167289950.00168288281.00596761.0E-50.0140909290.0166046660.0166243331.00118452.0E-5
6.52.5584688E-53.0101632E-53.0101632E-51.00.01.0964406E-41.2900059E-41.2900059E-41.00.00.00133409890.00156946270.0015794471.00636161.0E-50.0132611810.0155853320.015605021.00126332.0E-5
6.62.2034688E-52.574271E-52.574271E-51.00.09.443096E-51.1032127E-41.1032127E-41.00.00.00114909050.00134234120.00134234121.00.00.0114316680.0133433250.0133531911.00073951.0E-5
6.71.9394853E-52.254176E-52.254176E-51.00.08.311815E-59.6604E-59.6604E-51.00.00.00101149360.00117552430.00117552431.00.00.010069020.0116937660.011703651.00084521.0E-5
6.81.7615313E-52.0403182E-52.0403182E-51.00.07.549201E-58.743931E-58.743931E-51.00.09.1872766E-40.00106405790.00106405791.00.00.0091493870.0105901980.0106000921.00093421.0E-5
6.91.5621423E-51.8026114E-51.8026114E-51.00.06.6947236E-57.725251E-57.725251E-51.00.08.147778E-49.40147E-49.40147E-41.00.00.0081179690.0093621420.0093621421.00.0
7.01.3444376E-51.544809E-51.544809E-51.00.05.7617483E-56.620443E-56.620443E-51.00.07.0126704E-48.057436E-48.057436E-41.00.00.0069905820.0080285550.0080285551.00.0
7.11.2268361E-51.407303E-51.407303E-51.00.05.2577634E-56.0311606E-56.0311606E-51.00.06.399447E-47.3404907E-47.3404907E-41.00.00.00638104930.00731654930.00731654931.00.0
7.21.0922655E-51.2513563E-51.2513563E-51.00.04.681054E-55.3628468E-55.3628468E-51.00.05.697693E-46.5273355E-46.5273355E-41.00.00.00568310640.00650844350.00650844351.00.0
7.36.1106753E-66.928925E-66.928925E-61.00.02.6188345E-52.9695057E-52.9695057E-51.00.03.1879646E-43.6147775E-43.6147775E-41.00.00.00318339510.0036089430.0036089431.00.0
7.44.933187E-65.5895525E-65.5895525E-61.00.02.114206E-52.3955008E-52.3955008E-51.00.02.5737417E-42.9161357E-42.9161357E-41.00.00.0025707630.00291235050.00291235051.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5950744E-43.0713255E-43.271264E-41.06509852.0E-56.834242E-40.0013154090.00133538261.01518442.0E-50.008288990.0158583260.0158780091.00124122.0E-50.0798654260.144401850.144453181.00035556.0E-5
6.11.3584697E-42.603514E-42.7034877E-41.03839961.0E-55.8207137E-40.00111517540.00112516431.00895711.0E-50.0070637160.0134613850.013471251.00073291.0E-50.068433610.1240299940.1240650341.00028254.0E-5
6.21.14676266E-42.1714384E-42.1714384E-41.00.04.9137714E-49.30223E-49.30223E-41.00.00.00596611850.0112450580.0112450581.00.00.0580846480.105020570.105047411.00025573.0E-5
6.38.691518E-51.5987935E-41.5987935E-41.00.03.7244044E-46.849807E-46.849807E-41.00.00.0045250380.0083011220.0083011221.00.00.0443399920.07933650.079354911.00023212.0E-5
6.48.50982E-51.5694331E-41.5694331E-41.00.03.646556E-46.724042E-46.724042E-41.00.00.00443064750.0081491550.0081491551.00.00.043433450.077942680.077961121.00023662.0E-5
6.58.4062965E-51.5518743E-41.5518743E-41.00.03.602201E-46.6488347E-46.6488347E-41.00.00.0043768630.0080583650.0080583651.00.00.0429165550.077113880.0771323441.00023942.0E-5
6.68.194716E-51.5154552E-41.5154552E-41.00.03.5115483E-46.492843E-46.492843E-41.00.00.00426693170.0078702090.0078702091.00.00.041859270.075399190.075417681.00024522.0E-5
6.78.012326E-51.4822475E-41.4822475E-41.00.03.433402E-46.350612E-46.350612E-41.00.00.0041721570.0076987010.0076987011.00.00.0409469120.073841320.073859841.00025082.0E-5
6.87.119773E-51.2881879E-41.2881879E-41.00.03.0509746E-45.519494E-45.519494E-41.00.00.00370823570.0066960660.0066960661.00.00.0364696420.064685750.0647044551.00028922.0E-5
6.95.7343088E-59.919277E-59.919277E-51.00.02.4573295E-44.25043E-44.25043E-41.00.00.00298769420.0051626940.0051626941.00.00.029478440.050510360.0505198581.0001881.0E-5
7.04.8746577E-58.2850725E-58.2850725E-51.00.02.0889717E-43.5502657E-43.5502657E-41.00.00.00254035650.0043139480.0043139481.00.00.0251151210.0424852450.042494821.00022541.0E-5
7.14.2998014E-57.265203E-57.265203E-51.00.01.8426418E-43.1132903E-43.1132903E-41.00.00.0022411080.0037839030.0037839031.00.00.0221864120.0374235620.037433191.00025731.0E-5
7.23.221292E-55.390791E-55.390791E-51.00.01.3804805E-42.3101359E-42.3101359E-41.00.00.00167943930.00280899070.00280899071.00.00.0166680370.028036020.028036021.00.0
7.32.3756531E-53.9473416E-53.9473416E-51.00.01.0180973E-41.6916092E-41.6916092E-41.00.00.00123882860.00205760570.00205760571.00.00.0123194520.0206431450.0206431451.00.0
7.41.5997684E-52.7342163E-52.7342163E-51.00.06.8559704E-51.1717545E-41.1717545E-41.00.08.343947E-40.001425680.001425681.00.00.0083126870.0143760110.0143760111.00.0
7.51.3814293E-52.4783874E-52.4783874E-51.00.05.9202768E-51.062123E-41.062123E-41.00.07.205553E-40.001292370.001292371.00.00.0071822340.0130550850.0130550851.00.0
7.68.817309E-61.6430757E-51.6430757E-51.00.03.7787922E-57.0415634E-57.0415634E-51.00.04.5997082E-48.569745E-48.569745E-41.00.00.0045901990.0087192840.0087192841.00.0
7.74.0352206E-67.707318E-67.707318E-61.00.01.7293689E-53.3030945E-53.3030945E-51.00.02.1053031E-44.0207763E-44.0207763E-41.00.00.00210330960.0041651720.0041651721.00.0
7.83.413169E-66.787282E-66.787282E-61.00.01.4627784E-52.9088029E-52.9088029E-51.00.01.7807873E-43.5408925E-43.5408925E-41.00.00.00177936090.00366651660.00366651661.00.0
7.92.4740732E-65.2791843E-65.2791843E-61.00.01.06031275E-52.262488E-52.262488E-51.00.01.2908543E-42.7542314E-42.7542314E-41.00.00.00129010470.00283479550.00283479551.00.0
8.01.5231818E-63.2889548E-63.2889548E-61.00.06.527906E-61.40954435E-51.40954435E-51.00.07.9474354E-51.7159856E-41.7159856E-41.00.07.944594E-40.00175643030.00175643031.00.0
8.11.0104524E-62.045782E-62.045782E-61.00.04.330503E-68.767608E-68.767608E-61.00.05.2722597E-51.0674043E-41.0674043E-41.00.05.271009E-40.0010929340.0010929341.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00131896941.04759516.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129874191.0045816.0E-5
6.12.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00131896941.04759516.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129874191.0045816.0E-5
6.22.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00131896941.04759516.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129874191.0045816.0E-5
6.32.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00131896941.04759516.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129874191.0045816.0E-5
6.42.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00131896941.04759516.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129874191.0045816.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-52.4030476E-56.402952E-52.66451294.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.5297855E-41.48546375.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00131303291.04782096.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.012928751.00460226.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-52.4030476E-56.402952E-52.66451294.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.5297855E-41.48546375.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00131303291.04782096.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.012928751.00460226.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-52.3955597E-56.395464E-52.6697164.0E-51.1663563E-41.02662816E-41.5265768E-41.48698135.0E-50.00141911370.00124920580.00130913081.04797056.0E-50.0141008550.0128309340.0128901641.00461616.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-52.3872815E-56.387186E-52.67550594.0E-51.1604605E-41.0230807E-41.5230295E-41.488675.0E-50.0014119450.00124489170.00130481691.0481376.0E-50.0140300750.01278808250.0128473151.00463196.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-52.3792329E-56.3791376E-52.6811744.0E-51.15636096E-41.0196315E-41.5195805E-41.49032325.0E-50.00140696020.00124069710.00130062271.04829996.0E-50.0139808560.0127463780.0128056141.00464736.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-52.3369357E-56.3368425E-52.71160324.0E-51.1335209E-41.0015055E-41.5014554E-41.49919835.0E-50.0013791880.00121865350.00127858041.04917476.0E-50.01370659750.0125277330.0125869811.00472946.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-52.3195396E-56.319447E-52.724444.0E-51.1252879E-49.940507E-51.494001E-41.50294245.0E-50.00136917690.00120958730.00126951481.04954376.0E-50.0136077170.0124376610.0124969151.00476416.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-52.2390155E-56.238926E-52.78645944.0E-51.0829568E-49.5954296E-51.459495E-41.52103145.0E-50.00131770240.00116761980.00122754971.05132666.0E-50.0130991620.01201879050.0120780691.00493226.0E-5
7.32.339701E-52.1122027E-56.112118E-52.89371754.0E-51.0026905E-49.051985E-51.4051532E-41.55231515.0E-50.0012200920.0011015240.00116145791.054416.0E-50.0121341490.0113576420.01141696051.00522286.0E-5
7.42.296333E-52.0852396E-56.0851562E-52.91820484.0E-59.841056E-58.936436E-51.393599E-41.55945725.0E-50.00119748990.00108747010.00114740481.05511396.0E-50.0119105750.0112167540.0112760811.00528926.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-52.037534E-56.0374525E-52.96311744.0E-59.50918E-58.731998E-51.3731561E-41.57255665.0E-50.00115712770.00106260420.00112254061.05640516.0E-50.0115112090.0109663690.0110257111.00541136.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.8961666E-55.8960908E-53.10947944.0E-58.5767984E-58.126176E-51.312577E-41.61524565.0E-50.0010437259.889146E-40.00104885531.06061266.0E-50.0103883650.0102243710.0102837581.00580846.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-51.6743043E-55.6742374E-53.3890124.0E-57.384417E-57.175393E-51.2175034E-41.69677595.0E-58.986819E-48.732547E-49.3320233E-41.06864856.0E-50.0089505620.009062920.0091223761.00656036.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-51.499039E-55.498979E-53.66833624.0E-56.205057E-56.424295E-51.1423974E-41.77824565.0E-57.552038E-47.8187784E-48.41831E-41.07667836.0E-50.00752642420.0081413880.00820091.00730986.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-51.1644517E-55.1644052E-54.43505334.0E-54.7632562E-54.990412E-59.990163E-52.00187135.0E-55.797721E-46.074139E-46.6737743E-41.09871956.0E-50.00578261870.00638035450.00643997171.00934396.0E-5
8.09.327402E-69.8986575E-64.9898263E-55.0409124.0E-53.9973966E-54.2422133E-59.2420014E-52.178585.0E-54.8657437E-45.163676E-45.7633664E-41.11613636.0E-50.00485510330.005449940.0055096131.01094936.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-66.826985E-63.682678E-55.3942963.0E-53.0100724E-52.9258183E-55.9257305E-52.0253243.0E-53.664147E-43.5616063E-43.961464E-41.11226894.0E-50.0036581110.00378745720.00382730571.01052124.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-68.9912584E-78.9912584E-71.00.08.724915E-63.853391E-63.853391E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.6914047E-54.6914047E-51.00.00.0010616995.3239096E-45.3239096E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.61379E-86.61379E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8344812E-72.8344812E-71.00.01.046241E-53.450976E-63.450976E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.0120205E-54.0120205E-51.00.0

Cleghorn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.831764E-69.831764E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2135514E-55.2135092E-51.23731951.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.328795E-41.03897482.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00519190641.01163096.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-69.831764E-69.831764E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2135514E-55.2135092E-51.23731951.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.328795E-41.03897482.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00519190641.01163096.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-69.831764E-69.831764E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2135514E-55.2135092E-51.23731951.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.328795E-41.03897482.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00519190641.01163096.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-69.831764E-69.831764E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2135514E-55.2135092E-51.23731951.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.328795E-41.03897482.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00519190641.01163096.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-66.0916254E-66.0916254E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6106709E-52.6106709E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.2780066E-41.0314561.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.0032176291.0093813.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-66.0916254E-66.0916254E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6106709E-52.6106709E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.2780066E-41.0314561.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.0032176291.0093813.0E-5
6.64.040109E-65.774033E-65.774033E-61.00.01.7314638E-52.4745626E-52.4745626E-51.00.02.1078532E-43.0123728E-43.1123427E-41.03318641.0E-50.0021058550.00302251430.00305242371.00989563.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-65.06753E-65.06753E-61.00.01.4413658E-52.1717806E-52.1717806E-51.00.01.7547216E-42.643825E-42.7437988E-41.0378141.0E-50.00175333660.00265484860.0026847691.011273.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-64.9894375E-64.9894375E-61.00.01.4101111E-52.138313E-52.138313E-51.00.01.716675E-42.6030882E-42.7030622E-41.03840591.0E-50.00171534950.00261420760.0026441291.01144583.0E-5
6.93.031547E-64.6911987E-64.6911987E-61.00.01.299228E-52.0104984E-52.0104984E-51.00.01.5816953E-42.4475096E-42.547485E-41.04084791.0E-50.001580570.00245898050.00248890671.01217023.0E-5
7.02.8259715E-64.3707637E-64.3707637E-61.00.01.211125E-51.8731711E-51.8731711E-51.00.01.4744449E-42.2803496E-42.3803268E-41.04384291.0E-50.0014734670.00229217480.0023221061.01305813.0E-5
7.12.5962665E-64.065983E-64.065983E-61.00.01.1126809E-51.7425526E-51.7425526E-51.00.01.3546048E-42.1213535E-42.2213323E-41.04712981.0E-50.00135377930.00213349590.00216343181.01403143.0E-5
7.22.3247253E-63.6765352E-63.6765352E-61.00.09.96307E-61.5756486E-51.5756486E-51.00.01.21293626E-41.9181852E-42.018166E-41.05212261.0E-50.00121227440.00193071660.00196065871.01550833.0E-5
7.32.056928E-63.235253E-63.235253E-61.00.08.815376E-61.3865297E-51.3865297E-51.00.01.0732192E-41.6879707E-41.7879538E-41.05923271.0E-50.0010727010.00170094230.00173089131.01760733.0E-5
7.41.8055999E-62.8256538E-62.8256538E-61.00.07.738263E-61.210989E-51.210989E-51.00.09.4209274E-51.4742807E-41.5742659E-41.06781971.0E-59.4169343E-40.00148767050.00150764071.01342382.0E-5
7.51.4683443E-62.4248943E-62.4248943E-61.00.06.292889E-61.0392363E-51.0392363E-51.00.07.661323E-51.2651978E-41.365185E-41.07902911.0E-57.658682E-40.00127888120.00129885561.01561872.0E-5
7.69.804088E-71.9004091E-61.9004091E-61.00.04.201745E-68.144585E-68.144585E-61.00.05.1155046E-59.915586E-59.915586E-51.00.05.114327E-40.00100555830.00101554821.00993481.0E-5
7.77.3434086E-71.6285549E-61.6285549E-61.00.03.1471714E-66.9795024E-66.9795024E-61.00.03.831614E-58.4972155E-58.4972155E-51.00.03.8309532E-48.6387293E-48.6387293E-41.00.0
7.86.434184E-71.5221389E-61.5221389E-61.00.02.7575045E-66.523436E-66.523436E-61.00.03.35721E-57.9419966E-57.9419966E-51.00.03.3567028E-48.080443E-48.080443E-41.00.0
7.93.4943926E-77.5750586E-77.5750586E-71.00.01.497596E-63.2464498E-63.2464498E-61.00.01.8233079E-53.9524817E-53.9524817E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.0401975E-44.0401975E-41.00.0
8.06.717524E-85.837515E-85.837515E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.501792E-72.501792E-71.00.03.505102E-63.0459275E-63.0459275E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.2751934E-53.2751934E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2949885E-81.2949885E-81.00.01.370782E-75.549951E-85.549951E-81.00.01.6689258E-66.757063E-76.757063E-71.00.01.6689133E-57.741151E-67.741151E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6471115E-93.6471115E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.563048E-81.563048E-81.00.06.359922E-71.9030107E-71.9030107E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.245849E-62.245849E-61.00.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-42.0028367E-42.3027766E-41.14975753.0E-54.8295266E-48.579912E-48.879655E-41.03493543.0E-50.00586410750.0103861730.010415861.00285843.0E-50.0571175780.098040480.0980855751.000465.0E-5
6.11.1239393E-41.9976508E-42.297591E-41.15014643.0E-54.8159933E-48.557703E-48.8574464E-41.03502623.0E-50.00584771950.0103594170.0103891051.00286593.0E-50.0569621320.097798950.097844061.00046125.0E-5
6.27.596265E-51.2933646E-41.4933388E-41.15461542.0E-53.2551357E-45.5415573E-45.7414465E-41.0360712.0E-50.00395592770.00672135870.00674122431.00295562.0E-50.0388624330.064592290.0646297041.00057924.0E-5
6.36.78794E-51.1448377E-41.2448263E-41.08733861.0E-52.9087928E-44.9052597E-45.0052104E-41.02037631.0E-50.0035357050.0059526610.00596260141.00166991.0E-50.0347997660.0574662130.0574944881.00049213.0E-5
6.46.2165134E-51.0434825E-41.143472E-41.09582291.0E-52.6639478E-44.4711027E-44.5710578E-41.02235581.0E-50.00323853320.00542741830.0054373641.00183251.0E-50.031917420.052551380.0525798051.00054093.0E-5
6.55.4368087E-59.070258E-51.00701676E-41.11024051.0E-52.3298527E-43.886537E-43.986498E-41.02571991.0E-50.00283290590.00471970160.00472965461.00210881.0E-50.0279706330.0458811820.0459098071.00062383.0E-5
6.64.729947E-57.847101E-58.8470224E-51.12742561.0E-52.0269625E-43.3624718E-43.4624382E-41.02973011.0E-50.0024650340.0040847460.0040947051.00243821.0E-50.024378690.039852690.0398814941.00072283.0E-5
6.73.6875328E-56.0443555E-57.044295E-51.16543361.0E-51.5802756E-42.5900968E-42.6900708E-41.03859851.0E-50.00192228750.00314827240.00315824081.00316631.0E-50.0190574420.030893710.0309227841.0009413.0E-5
6.82.0292036E-52.8976721E-53.8976432E-51.34509461.0E-58.6962966E-51.2417998E-41.3417873E-41.08051821.0E-50.00105825990.00151083020.00152081511.00660881.0E-50.0105323440.01497907750.0150086271.00197283.0E-5
6.91.7871042E-52.4472653E-53.447241E-51.40860941.0E-57.658793E-51.04878585E-41.1487754E-41.09533831.0E-59.320591E-40.00127614860.00128613581.00782611.0E-50.0092815950.0126803950.0127100131.00233593.0E-5
7.01.6415532E-52.1906566E-52.1906566E-51.00.07.035038E-59.388191E-59.388191E-51.00.08.561793E-40.00114241440.00114241441.00.00.0085288820.0113650170.011384791.00173972.0E-5
7.11.5409885E-52.0346588E-52.0346588E-51.00.06.6040695E-58.719676E-58.719676E-51.00.08.0374884E-40.00106110620.00106110621.00.00.008008480.0105609240.0105708191.00093691.0E-5
7.21.4497423E-51.905519E-51.905519E-51.00.06.213033E-58.166256E-58.166256E-51.00.07.5617427E-49.937913E-49.937913E-41.00.00.00753606340.009894250.0099041521.00100061.0E-5
7.31.3615175E-51.7826347E-51.7826347E-51.00.05.8349444E-57.6396405E-57.6396405E-51.00.07.101729E-49.297323E-49.297323E-41.00.00.00707907650.0092591240.0092591241.00.0
7.41.2252825E-51.6026455E-51.6026455E-51.00.05.251105E-56.868302E-56.868302E-51.00.06.391345E-48.3589775E-48.3589775E-41.00.00.00637299430.0083281720.0083281721.00.0
7.51.0913301E-51.4241286E-51.4241286E-51.00.04.6770452E-56.103267E-56.103267E-51.00.05.6928146E-47.428222E-47.428222E-41.00.00.00567825320.00740398650.00740398651.00.0
7.68.623192E-61.12347825E-51.12347825E-51.00.03.6956015E-54.8148195E-54.8148195E-51.00.04.4984656E-45.8604917E-45.8604917E-41.00.00.004489370.0058455040.0058455041.00.0
7.72.0993634E-62.66264E-62.66264E-61.00.08.997241E-61.1411265E-51.1411265E-51.00.01.09535904E-41.3892337E-41.3892337E-41.00.00.00109481930.00138839940.00138839941.00.0
7.81.8428308E-72.1674624E-72.1674624E-71.00.07.897844E-79.289122E-79.289122E-71.00.09.615583E-61.130945E-51.130945E-51.00.09.615166E-51.1308173E-41.1308173E-41.00.0

San Juan

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.682808E-68.74917E-68.74917E-61.00.03.72115E-53.749593E-53.749593E-51.00.04.5295584E-44.5642213E-44.8640845E-41.06569863.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.0046051611.0109265.0E-5
6.18.682808E-68.74917E-68.74917E-61.00.03.72115E-53.749593E-53.749593E-51.00.04.5295584E-44.5642213E-44.8640845E-41.06569863.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.0046051611.0109265.0E-5
6.28.682808E-68.74917E-68.74917E-61.00.03.72115E-53.749593E-53.749593E-51.00.04.5295584E-44.5642213E-44.8640845E-41.06569863.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.0046051611.0109265.0E-5
6.36.3054235E-66.282591E-66.282591E-61.00.02.7022963E-52.692512E-52.692512E-51.00.03.2895492E-43.2776545E-43.577556E-41.09149893.0E-50.0032846840.00327302050.00331288971.01218124.0E-5
6.46.1490473E-66.1144706E-66.1144706E-61.00.02.6352795E-52.6204618E-52.6204618E-51.00.03.2079802E-43.189959E-43.389895E-41.06267682.0E-50.00320335340.00318557680.0032154811.00938753.0E-5
6.55.204848E-65.137238E-65.137238E-61.00.02.23063E-52.2016555E-52.2016555E-51.00.02.7154534E-42.6801953E-42.8801415E-41.07460142.0E-50.00271213780.00267711720.0027070371.01117613.0E-5
6.64.5179986E-64.415036E-64.415036E-61.00.01.9362706E-51.892145E-51.892145E-51.00.02.3571544E-42.303451E-42.403428E-41.04340311.0E-50.00235465590.00230120080.00232115481.00867122.0E-5
6.73.9442616E-63.8198336E-63.8198336E-61.00.01.6903869E-51.6370615E-51.6370615E-51.00.02.0578515E-41.9929469E-42.092927E-41.0501671.0E-50.0020559470.0019912850.0020012651.00501191.0E-5
6.83.4536245E-63.3163408E-63.3163408E-61.00.01.4801163E-51.4212815E-51.4212815E-51.00.01.8018926E-41.7302789E-41.8302616E-41.05778421.0E-50.00180043220.0017290510.00173903371.00577351.0E-5
6.93.059865E-62.9120363E-62.9120363E-61.00.01.3113641E-51.2480099E-51.2480099E-51.00.01.596469E-41.5193518E-41.5193518E-41.00.00.00159532240.00151842810.00151842811.00.0
7.02.6504351E-62.492005E-62.492005E-61.00.01.1358958E-51.0679981E-51.0679981E-51.00.01.3828653E-41.3002155E-41.3002155E-41.00.00.00138200520.0012995670.0012995671.00.0
7.12.2039317E-62.0338366E-62.0338366E-61.00.09.445387E-68.716416E-68.716416E-61.00.01.1499152E-41.0611773E-41.0611773E-41.00.00.00114932030.00106078110.00106078111.00.0
7.21.0786707E-68.770239E-78.770239E-71.00.04.622866E-63.7586685E-63.7586685E-61.00.05.628194E-54.576084E-54.576084E-51.00.05.6267687E-44.5757365E-44.5757365E-41.00.0
7.36.846433E-74.868812E-74.868812E-71.00.02.9341822E-62.086632E-62.086632E-61.00.03.5723086E-52.5404452E-52.5404452E-51.00.03.571734E-42.5405022E-42.5405022E-41.00.0
7.45.23043E-73.2627884E-73.2627884E-71.00.02.2416111E-61.3983371E-61.3983371E-61.00.02.7291273E-51.7024622E-51.7024622E-51.00.02.7287923E-41.7026608E-41.7026608E-41.00.0
7.54.648444E-72.723464E-72.723464E-71.00.01.9921886E-61.1671983E-61.1671983E-61.00.02.4254627E-51.4210547E-51.4210547E-51.00.02.425198E-41.4212691E-41.4212691E-41.00.0
7.63.9906567E-72.2083036E-72.2083036E-71.00.01.7102802E-69.4641547E-79.4641547E-71.00.02.0822463E-51.1522548E-51.1522548E-51.00.02.0820512E-41.15244526E-41.15244526E-41.00.0
7.71.8784601E-75.366277E-85.366277E-81.00.08.0505407E-72.2998329E-72.2998329E-71.00.09.80149E-62.800043E-62.800043E-61.00.09.801057E-52.8008939E-52.8008939E-51.00.0
7.81.00154914E-71.2412917E-81.2412917E-81.00.04.2923529E-75.3198217E-85.3198217E-81.00.05.225927E-66.476881E-76.476881E-71.00.05.225804E-56.4827886E-66.4827886E-61.00.0
7.96.171429E-84.2946513E-94.2946513E-91.00.02.6448978E-71.8405647E-81.8405647E-81.00.03.2201583E-62.2408874E-72.2408874E-71.00.03.2201115E-52.2462114E-62.2462114E-61.00.0
8.01.3974572E-83.3737857E-103.3737857E-101.00.05.989102E-81.4459075E-91.4459075E-91.00.07.2917294E-71.760392E-81.760392E-81.00.07.2917055E-61.8038004E-71.8038004E-71.00.0
8.11.8403477E-91.1291601E-101.1291601E-101.00.07.887204E-94.839261E-104.839261E-101.00.09.602671E-85.8917977E-95.8917977E-91.00.09.602667E-76.0206084E-86.0206084E-81.00.0

Robinson Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3705327E-51.5285013E-54.5284556E-52.96267683.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-59.550524E-51.4579353.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.3751825E-41.05011364.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080251021.00621915.0E-5
6.11.3705327E-51.5285013E-54.5284556E-52.96267683.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-59.550524E-51.4579353.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.3751825E-41.05011364.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080251021.00621915.0E-5
6.21.3705327E-51.5285013E-54.5284556E-52.96267683.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-59.550524E-51.4579353.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.3751825E-41.05011364.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080251021.00621915.0E-5
6.31.3705327E-51.5285013E-54.5284556E-52.96267683.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-59.550524E-51.4579353.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.3751825E-41.05011364.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080251021.00621915.0E-5
6.41.3705327E-51.5285013E-54.5284556E-52.96267683.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-59.550524E-51.4579353.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.3751825E-41.05011364.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080251021.00621915.0E-5

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.517287E-41.13526643.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00226508311.02252145.0E-5
6.11.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.517287E-41.13526643.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00226508311.02252145.0E-5
6.21.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.517287E-41.13526643.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00226508311.02252145.0E-5
6.31.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.517287E-41.13526643.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00226508311.02252145.0E-5
6.47.982846E-63.6820359E-62.3681961E-56.43175752.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-53.5779743E-52.26740222.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.2209987E-41.15613413.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00196933471.02599945.0E-5
6.57.982846E-63.6820359E-62.3681961E-56.43175752.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-53.5779743E-52.26740222.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.2209987E-41.15613413.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00196933471.02599945.0E-5
6.67.048869E-63.4242998E-62.342423E-56.840592.0E-53.0209088E-51.467549E-53.4675195E-52.36279652.0E-53.677336E-41.7865976E-42.086544E-41.1678873.0E-50.00367125660.00178519290.00183510361.02795825.0E-5
6.76.987307E-63.3622775E-62.336221E-56.9483292.0E-52.9945259E-51.4409683E-53.4409393E-52.38793562.0E-53.6452254E-41.7542407E-42.0541881E-41.17098413.0E-50.00363925170.00175288720.00180279941.02847435.0E-5
6.86.3737602E-63.1178672E-62.3117806E-57.41462142.0E-52.731583E-51.3362222E-53.3361954E-52.4967372.0E-53.3251947E-41.6267318E-41.926683E-41.18438893.0E-50.00332022370.00162556980.00167548841.03070845.0E-5
6.96.112211E-62.933078E-62.293302E-57.8187552.0E-52.6194928E-51.2570275E-53.2570024E-52.59103512.0E-53.1887658E-41.5303263E-41.8302804E-41.19600673.0E-50.0031841940.00152930020.00157922381.03264475.0E-5
7.05.5140117E-62.64191E-62.2641858E-58.5702612.0E-52.3631264E-51.1322423E-53.1322197E-52.76638632.0E-52.8767265E-41.3784204E-41.678379E-41.21761053.0E-50.00287300530.00137759070.00142752181.03624525.0E-5
7.14.8151105E-62.1342612E-62.2134218E-510.3709052.0E-52.0636026E-59.146803E-62.914662E-53.18653662.0E-52.5121463E-41.1135685E-41.413535E-41.26937413.0E-50.00250930830.00111303250.00115298791.03589794.0E-5
7.23.818335E-61.2937372E-61.1293724E-58.7295351.0E-51.6364189E-55.5445767E-61.5544521E-52.8035541.0E-51.9921579E-46.750321E-57.750254E-51.14813111.0E-50.00199037286.7483535E-46.948218E-41.02961682.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.383078E-71.07383E-514.54447651.0E-51.1642818E-53.1641725E-61.3164141E-54.16037371.0E-51.4174209E-43.852314E-54.8522754E-51.25957431.0E-50.00141651723.8516664E-44.0515893E-41.05190562.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.4614605E-75.4614605E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340624E-62.340624E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8496728E-52.8496728E-51.00.00.00108959622.849313E-42.9492844E-41.03508621.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.9797249E-41.05318881.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-54.7148544E-51.26917681.0E-5

Los Alamos 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-53.036422E-51.49104251.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.6790545E-41.08065432.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.14.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-53.036422E-51.49104251.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.6790545E-41.08065432.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.24.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-53.036422E-51.49104251.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.6790545E-41.08065432.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.34.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-53.036422E-51.49104251.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.6790545E-41.08065432.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.44.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-53.036422E-51.49104251.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.6790545E-41.08065432.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.54.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-53.036422E-51.49104251.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.6790545E-41.08065432.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.64.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-53.036422E-51.49104251.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.6790545E-41.08065432.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.74.062321E-64.166351E-61.41663095E-53.40017181.0E-51.7409831E-51.7855677E-52.7855498E-51.5600361.0E-52.1194408E-42.1737268E-42.3736834E-41.09198782.0E-50.00211742050.00217175040.00221166341.01837844.0E-5
6.84.062321E-64.166351E-61.41663095E-53.40017181.0E-51.7409831E-51.7855677E-52.7855498E-51.5600361.0E-52.1194408E-42.1737268E-42.3736834E-41.09198782.0E-50.00211742050.00217175040.00221166341.01837844.0E-5
6.93.2936077E-63.37296E-61.3372926E-53.9647451.0E-51.4115385E-51.4455468E-52.4455323E-51.69176971.0E-51.7184127E-41.7598206E-41.9597853E-41.11362792.0E-50.00171708440.00175851960.00179844921.02270644.0E-5
7.03.1687898E-63.2448177E-61.3244785E-54.0818271.0E-51.3580457E-51.3906293E-52.3906154E-51.71908891.0E-51.6532952E-41.692969E-41.892935E-41.11811572.0E-50.00165206570.00169177070.0017317031.02360394.0E-5
7.12.9379228E-63.007328E-61.3007298E-54.3252011.0E-51.25910365E-51.288849E-52.2888362E-51.7758761.0E-51.5328509E-41.5690697E-41.7690384E-41.1274442.0E-50.0015317940.0015680510.00160798831.02546944.0E-5
7.22.0020686E-62.041632E-61.2041612E-55.8980321.0E-58.580266E-68.749822E-61.8749735E-52.14287041.0E-51.0445973E-41.0652392E-41.1652285E-41.09386561.0E-50.00104410640.0010647330.00109470111.0281463.0E-5
7.31.7364243E-61.7678824E-61.1767865E-56.65647461.0E-57.441797E-67.576617E-61.7576542E-52.31984021.0E-59.0600115E-59.224144E-51.0224052E-41.10840121.0E-59.0563187E-49.2203467E-49.52007E-41.03250673.0E-5
7.41.5718434E-61.5983198E-61.1598304E-57.256561.0E-56.7364545E-66.8499244E-61.6849855E-52.459861.0E-58.201325E-58.339467E-59.3393835E-51.11990181.0E-58.198299E-48.3363673E-48.5362006E-41.02397132.0E-5
7.51.3841119E-61.4042814E-61.1404268E-58.121071.0E-55.9318945E-66.018335E-61.6018275E-52.66157911.0E-57.221842E-57.327079E-58.327006E-51.13647011.0E-57.2194956E-47.3246926E-47.524546E-41.02728492.0E-5
7.61.0843726E-61.0934443E-61.1093433E-510.1454041.0E-54.647303E-64.6861815E-61.4686135E-53.13392351.0E-55.6579443E-55.705279E-56.705222E-51.17526631.0E-55.656504E-45.70384E-45.903726E-41.03504412.0E-5
7.75.544814E-75.501884E-75.501884E-71.00.02.3763469E-62.3579482E-62.3579482E-61.00.02.8931638E-52.8707644E-52.8707644E-51.00.02.8927872E-42.870395E-42.870395E-41.00.0
7.82.0707465E-71.9778598E-71.9778598E-71.00.08.874625E-78.476539E-78.476539E-71.00.01.08048025E-51.0320137E-51.0320137E-51.00.01.0804277E-41.0319663E-41.0319663E-41.00.0
7.93.9821284E-83.4331528E-83.4331528E-81.00.01.7066264E-71.4713511E-71.4713511E-71.00.02.0778157E-61.7913685E-61.7913685E-61.00.02.0777963E-51.7913546E-51.7913546E-51.00.0
8.07.880441E-118.2353124E-118.2353124E-111.00.03.3773329E-103.52942E-103.52942E-101.00.04.1119033E-94.2970694E-94.2970694E-91.00.04.1119034E-84.2970694E-84.2970694E-81.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.3951705E-51.1394983E-41.21285532.0E-53.22824E-44.025903E-44.2258223E-41.04965832.0E-50.00392330070.0048911210.0049110231.00406912.0E-50.038547550.0479040.047932561.00059633.0E-5
6.14.1807285E-55.0493105E-57.04921E-51.39607372.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.3637705E-41.09240942.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.0026512841.00758082.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260403441.00112333.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0493105E-57.04921E-51.39607372.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.3637705E-41.09240942.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.0026512841.00758082.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260403441.00112333.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7711125E-54.771075E-51.26516381.0E-51.3624904E-41.6160926E-41.7160765E-41.06186761.0E-50.00165756980.0019658490.00197582921.00507691.0E-50.0164526030.0194884950.0195081051.00100622.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5335797E-54.5335444E-51.28298911.0E-51.2804232E-41.5143053E-41.6142902E-41.06602691.0E-50.00155780030.00184213950.00185212111.00541841.0E-50.0154692530.0182724630.01829211.00107462.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8764101E-53.8763814E-51.34764551.0E-51.0504962E-41.2326906E-41.3326782E-41.08111331.0E-50.00127822870.00149979430.00150977941.00665761.0E-50.0127090120.01489969250.0149193951.00132232.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.490667E-53.490642E-51.40148891.0E-59.135714E-51.0673863E-41.1673757E-41.09367681.0E-50.00111170560.00129879030.00130877741.00768951.0E-50.0110616050.0129144070.0129341491.00152862.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1634882E-53.1634663E-51.46220661.0E-57.9650374E-59.271774E-51.0271681E-41.10784421.0E-59.6931186E-40.00112827440.0011382631.00885311.0E-50.00965094750.0112276230.0112473981.00176132.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8419476E-52.8419292E-51.54289361.0E-56.798199E-57.8938334E-58.8937544E-51.12667121.0E-58.273665E-49.606697E-49.7066007E-41.01039951.0E-50.0082429280.0095671510.0095869591.00207052.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.5095266E-52.5095114E-51.66244941.0E-55.5805274E-56.46925E-57.4691845E-51.15456751.0E-56.792174E-47.873646E-47.973567E-41.01269051.0E-50.0067714520.0078475730.0078674161.00252852.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.2720105E-52.2719978E-51.7861471.0E-54.7032172E-55.4513697E-56.451315E-51.18343021.0E-55.7246623E-46.635197E-46.7351304E-41.01506111.0E-50.00570993730.00661713540.0066370031.00300242.0E-5
7.18.766221E-61.0163833E-52.0163732E-51.98387071.0E-53.7568978E-54.3558655E-55.355822E-51.22956551.0E-54.573063E-45.302148E-45.4020947E-41.01885031.0E-50.00456366360.0052911970.00530114441.00187991.0E-5
7.28.026024E-78.331776E-78.331776E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5707562E-63.5707562E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.34731E-54.34731E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3464705E-44.3464705E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700106E-73.700106E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5857588E-61.5857588E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306442E-51.9306442E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9304773E-41.9304773E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674441E-71.9674441E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4319004E-78.4319004E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.02657905E-51.02657905E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.026532E-41.026532E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794086E-86.2794086E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6911746E-72.6911746E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765004E-63.2765004E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.276453E-53.276453E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531901E-95.531901E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708148E-82.3708148E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864667E-72.8864667E-71.00.03.181591E-62.886464E-62.886464E-61.00.0

North Frontal (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.135738E-67.4771765E-67.4771765E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.204476E-53.204476E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9009505E-44.1008726E-41.05124952.0E-50.00371641640.00389606090.00393590471.01022674.0E-5
6.17.135738E-67.4771765E-67.4771765E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.204476E-53.204476E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9009505E-44.1008726E-41.05124952.0E-50.00371641640.00389606090.00393590471.01022674.0E-5
6.27.135738E-67.4771765E-67.4771765E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.204476E-53.204476E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9009505E-44.1008726E-41.05124952.0E-50.00371641640.00389606090.00393590471.01022674.0E-5
6.37.135738E-67.4771765E-67.4771765E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.204476E-53.204476E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9009505E-44.1008726E-41.05124952.0E-50.00371641640.00389606090.00393590471.01022674.0E-5
6.47.135738E-67.4771765E-67.4771765E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.204476E-53.204476E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9009505E-44.1008726E-41.05124952.0E-50.00371641640.00389606090.00393590471.01022674.0E-5
6.57.135738E-67.4771765E-67.4771765E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.204476E-53.204476E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9009505E-44.1008726E-41.05124952.0E-50.00371641640.00389606090.00393590471.01022674.0E-5
6.67.135738E-67.4771765E-67.4771765E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.204476E-53.204476E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9009505E-44.1008726E-41.05124952.0E-50.00371641640.00389606090.00393590471.01022674.0E-5
6.77.135738E-67.4771765E-67.4771765E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.204476E-53.204476E-51.00.03.7226462E-43.9009505E-44.1008726E-41.05124952.0E-50.00371641640.00389606090.00393590471.01022674.0E-5
6.85.959142E-66.236683E-66.236683E-61.00.02.553893E-52.6728469E-52.6728469E-51.00.03.108921E-43.253886E-43.3538532E-41.03072251.0E-50.00310457520.00325089480.00328079731.00919823.0E-5
6.92.2946929E-62.3824605E-62.3824605E-61.00.09.834361E-61.0210508E-51.0210508E-51.00.01.1972676E-41.2430632E-41.3430507E-41.08043651.0E-50.00119662280.00124241420.0012723771.02411653.0E-5
7.02.2468673E-62.3321538E-62.3321538E-61.00.09.629396E-69.994909E-69.994909E-61.00.01.1723159E-41.21681696E-41.3168047E-41.08217171.0E-50.00117169760.00121619690.00124616051.02463713.0E-5
7.11.9921076E-62.0646032E-62.0646032E-61.00.08.537577E-68.848272E-68.848272E-61.00.01.0394004E-41.0772282E-41.1772174E-41.09282091.0E-50.00103891430.00107674870.00109672721.01855442.0E-5
7.21.4524545E-61.5045148E-61.5045148E-61.00.06.2247905E-66.447906E-66.447906E-61.00.07.5784184E-57.850068E-58.849989E-51.12737741.0E-57.575835E-47.8475394E-48.047382E-41.02546572.0E-5
7.38.9802575E-79.3087283E-79.3087283E-71.00.03.848676E-63.9894494E-63.9894494E-61.00.04.685662E-54.857058E-55.8570095E-51.2058761.0E-54.6846745E-44.8561094E-45.0560123E-41.04116522.0E-5
7.47.776139E-78.0604747E-78.0604747E-71.00.03.3326266E-63.4544853E-63.4544853E-61.00.04.0573974E-54.2057654E-55.2057236E-51.23775891.0E-54.0566566E-44.205077E-44.305035E-41.02377081.0E-5
7.55.244417E-75.441219E-75.441219E-71.00.02.2476054E-62.3319494E-62.3319494E-61.00.02.7364253E-52.839118E-53.8390895E-51.35221211.0E-52.7360884E-42.8388205E-42.9387922E-41.03521591.0E-5
7.61.5489647E-71.6089504E-71.6089504E-71.00.06.6384183E-76.895501E-76.895501E-71.00.08.082245E-68.395261E-68.395261E-61.00.08.08195E-58.395143E-58.395143E-51.00.0

Bennett Valley 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3893934E-52.823899E-54.8238424E-51.70822062.0E-51.0239855E-41.2101967E-41.5101604E-41.24786353.0E-50.00124598930.00147260350.00150255941.02034213.0E-50.0123902620.014651080.0146904941.00269024.0E-5
6.12.3893934E-52.823899E-54.8238424E-51.70822062.0E-51.0239855E-41.2101967E-41.5101604E-41.24786353.0E-50.00124598930.00147260350.00150255941.02034213.0E-50.0123902620.014651080.0146904941.00269024.0E-5
6.21.6657146E-51.9853873E-52.9853674E-51.50367011.0E-57.138582E-58.508605E-59.50852E-51.11751811.0E-58.6877577E-40.00103557180.00104556151.00964651.0E-50.0086538720.0103257060.0103454991.00191692.0E-5
6.31.6657146E-51.9853873E-52.9853674E-51.50367011.0E-57.138582E-58.508605E-59.50852E-51.11751811.0E-58.6877577E-40.00103557180.00104556151.00964651.0E-50.0086538720.0103257060.0103454991.00191692.0E-5
6.41.29418495E-51.5567592E-52.5567437E-51.64235011.0E-55.546389E-56.671728E-57.671661E-51.14987621.0E-56.7506364E-48.1211043E-48.221023E-41.01230361.0E-50.00673016630.0081085440.0081283821.00244652.0E-5
6.51.2582504E-51.5134623E-52.5134472E-51.66072671.0E-55.39239E-56.486179E-57.486114E-51.1541641.0E-56.563257E-47.8953634E-47.9952844E-41.01265561.0E-50.0065439070.0078844510.0079042941.00251662.0E-5
6.61.0846706E-51.3036858E-52.3036728E-51.7670461.0E-54.6485053E-55.5871777E-56.5871216E-51.17897131.0E-55.6580856E-46.801549E-46.901481E-41.01469251.0E-50.0056437010.00679768160.00681754571.00292222.0E-5
6.71.6803231E-62.377902E-62.377902E-61.00.07.2013645E-61.019097E-51.019097E-51.00.08.7673085E-51.2406812E-41.2406812E-41.00.08.76385E-40.00124441880.00124441881.00.0
6.81.4609833E-62.0939708E-62.0939708E-61.00.06.261342E-68.974131E-68.974131E-61.00.07.6229175E-51.0925463E-41.0925463E-41.00.07.620303E-40.00109637980.00109637981.00.0
6.91.3492396E-61.9459103E-61.9459103E-61.00.05.7824427E-68.339589E-68.339589E-61.00.07.0398964E-51.01529826E-41.01529826E-41.00.07.037667E-40.0010191780.0010191781.00.0
7.01.2347921E-61.7888974E-61.7888974E-61.00.05.291955E-67.666681E-67.666681E-61.00.06.442765E-59.33379E-59.33379E-51.00.06.440897E-49.373068E-49.373068E-41.00.0
7.11.1262973E-61.6359154E-61.6359154E-61.00.04.8269794E-67.0110473E-67.0110473E-61.00.05.876689E-58.535621E-58.535621E-51.00.05.875135E-48.5754244E-48.5754244E-41.00.0
7.29.351744E-71.3611758E-61.3611758E-61.00.04.007884E-65.8335977E-65.8335977E-61.00.04.8794896E-57.1021765E-57.1021765E-51.00.04.878418E-47.142461E-47.142461E-41.00.0
7.38.5039534E-71.2386733E-61.2386733E-61.00.03.6445463E-65.308589E-65.308589E-61.00.04.437145E-56.463018E-56.463018E-51.00.04.436259E-46.50103E-46.50103E-41.00.0
7.46.7875015E-79.600642E-79.600642E-71.00.02.908926E-64.1145545E-64.1145545E-61.00.03.54156E-55.009356E-55.009356E-51.00.03.5409955E-45.0413073E-45.0413073E-41.00.0
7.55.826867E-78.1883735E-78.1883735E-71.00.02.4972264E-63.5092983E-63.5092983E-61.00.03.0403306E-54.2724878E-54.2724878E-51.00.03.0399146E-44.300558E-44.300558E-41.00.0
7.62.7734902E-73.6822587E-73.6822587E-71.00.01.1886381E-61.57811E-61.57811E-61.00.01.4471572E-51.9213321E-51.9213321E-51.00.01.447063E-41.9315645E-41.9315645E-41.00.0
7.71.0530888E-71.3749101E-71.3749101E-71.00.04.513237E-75.8924707E-75.8924707E-71.00.05.4948523E-67.174059E-67.174059E-61.00.05.4947162E-57.255585E-57.255585E-51.00.0
7.81.2714258E-81.9633259E-81.9633259E-81.00.05.448968E-88.4142535E-88.4142535E-81.00.06.6341164E-71.0244348E-61.0244348E-61.00.06.6340967E-61.0658595E-51.0658595E-51.00.0
7.94.075888E-97.559928E-97.559928E-91.00.01.7468091E-83.239969E-83.239969E-81.00.02.12674E-73.9446616E-73.9446616E-71.00.02.1267379E-64.1952467E-64.1952467E-61.00.0
8.01.9126138E-93.9956882E-93.9956882E-91.00.08.196917E-91.7124377E-81.7124377E-81.00.09.9797454E-82.0848927E-72.0848927E-71.00.09.979741E-72.1982228E-62.1982228E-61.00.0

Hosgri

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.883978E-52.9128403E-53.912811E-51.34329751.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.448277E-41.16019762.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00154872971.01972273.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151271261.00261124.0E-5
6.12.883978E-52.9128403E-53.912811E-51.34329751.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.448277E-41.16019762.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00154872971.01972273.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151271261.00261124.0E-5
6.22.883978E-52.9128403E-53.912811E-51.34329751.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.448277E-41.16019762.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00154872971.01972273.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151271261.00261124.0E-5
6.32.2914428E-52.2641956E-53.264173E-51.4416481.0E-59.8200995E-59.703337E-51.17031435E-41.20609462.0E-50.00119494130.0011807460.00121071061.02537763.0E-50.0118853630.0117461230.0117856531.00336544.0E-5
6.42.0195741E-51.9696547E-52.969635E-51.50769321.0E-58.65503E-58.4411055E-51.04409366E-41.23691582.0E-50.00105324050.0010272220.00105719121.02917493.0E-50.0104826260.0102257830.0102653741.00387174.0E-5
6.51.9924333E-51.9408968E-52.9408775E-51.51521581.0E-58.53872E-58.317865E-51.03176986E-41.24042632.0E-50.00103909340.00101223150.00104220121.02960753.0E-50.0103424810.0100772440.010116841.00392944.0E-5
6.61.809694E-51.7458287E-52.7458113E-51.57278381.0E-57.7556004E-57.4819094E-59.4817595E-51.26729142.0E-59.438353E-49.105431E-49.405157E-41.03291743.0E-50.0093983660.0090690630.00910871.00437064.0E-5
6.71.675989E-51.6042752E-52.6042591E-51.62332451.0E-57.182612E-56.8752845E-58.875147E-51.29087712.0E-58.7413215E-48.3674554E-48.6672045E-41.03582323.0E-50.0087070170.0083368530.008376521.0047584.0E-5
6.81.5401129E-51.4614069E-52.4613923E-51.68426221.0E-56.6003166E-56.263023E-58.2628976E-51.31931462.0E-58.032922E-47.6225714E-47.9223426E-41.03932683.0E-50.0080039470.00759728630.00763698251.00522514.0E-5
6.91.356559E-51.2689955E-52.2689828E-51.78801491.0E-55.8136946E-55.438439E-57.43833E-51.36773262.0E-57.0758746E-46.6192925E-46.8191596E-41.03019482.0E-50.0070533860.0066003780.006630181.00451523.0E-5
7.01.2030819E-51.1095949E-51.1095949E-51.00.05.155963E-54.75532E-55.7552727E-51.21028081.0E-56.275577E-45.788065E-45.8880076E-41.0172671.0E-50.0062578840.00577374730.0057936321.0034442.0E-5
7.11.0972698E-51.0022167E-51.0022167E-51.00.04.7025E-54.2951437E-55.2951007E-51.23281111.0E-55.72379E-45.2280835E-45.328031E-41.01911751.0E-50.00570906930.0052165330.00523642871.0038142.0E-5
7.29.961926E-69.034732E-69.034732E-61.00.04.2693267E-53.8719707E-53.8719707E-51.00.05.1966653E-44.7131052E-44.7131052E-41.00.00.005184530.00470385230.00471380541.0021161.0E-5
7.38.700929E-67.828089E-67.828089E-61.00.03.7289166E-53.354852E-53.354852E-51.00.04.53901E-44.083767E-44.083767E-41.00.00.004529750.0040769990.0040769991.00.0
7.47.866285E-66.9987263E-66.9987263E-61.00.03.3712215E-52.9994197E-52.9994197E-51.00.04.103689E-43.6511818E-43.6511818E-41.00.00.0040961190.00364591670.00364591671.00.0
7.56.8381305E-65.9596814E-65.9596814E-61.00.02.9305946E-52.5541241E-52.5541241E-51.00.03.5674145E-43.1092027E-43.1092027E-41.00.00.00356169320.0031055840.0031055841.00.0
7.65.503376E-64.595227E-64.595227E-61.00.02.3585684E-51.9693682E-51.9693682E-51.00.02.8711787E-42.397442E-42.397442E-41.00.00.0028674720.00239558520.00239558521.00.0
7.73.6144982E-62.6521896E-62.6521896E-61.00.01.5490614E-51.1366477E-51.1366477E-51.00.01.8858191E-41.3837808E-41.3837808E-41.00.00.00188421960.0013836470.0013836471.00.0
7.81.9853494E-61.1360784E-61.1360784E-61.00.08.508612E-64.8688985E-64.8688985E-61.00.01.0358743E-45.9277223E-55.9277223E-51.00.00.00103539165.933389E-45.933389E-41.00.0
7.91.1818757E-65.29477E-75.29477E-71.00.05.0651715E-62.269185E-62.269185E-61.00.06.1666724E-52.7626977E-52.7626977E-51.00.06.1649614E-42.7691363E-42.7691363E-41.00.0
8.06.962958E-72.71365E-72.71365E-71.00.02.9841215E-61.1629924E-61.1629924E-61.00.03.6331072E-51.415934E-51.415934E-51.00.03.6325134E-41.4215276E-41.4215276E-41.00.0
8.11.5033264E-76.52693E-86.52693E-81.00.06.442826E-72.7972553E-72.7972553E-71.00.07.844113E-63.4056532E-63.4056532E-61.00.07.843835E-53.4072833E-53.4072833E-51.00.0

White Wolf

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0037822E-51.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.12.0037822E-51.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.22.0037822E-51.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.32.0037822E-51.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.41.132487E-51.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-54.8534253E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-55.907443E-45.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0058917645.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.51.132487E-51.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-54.8534253E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-55.907443E-45.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0058917645.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.69.347473E-61.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-54.0059982E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-54.8762115E-45.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.00486552535.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.77.842647E-61.0047773E-61.1004768E-510.9524441.0E-53.361091E-54.306182E-61.4306139E-53.3222331.0E-54.0913603E-45.2426552E-58.242498E-51.57219913.0E-50.0040838365.241468E-45.6412583E-41.07627454.0E-5
6.86.26597E-69.734289E-71.0973419E-511.2729551.0E-52.685388E-54.1718313E-61.417179E-53.39701871.0E-53.2689696E-45.0790914E-58.078939E-51.59062683.0E-50.0032641655.07798E-45.477776E-41.07873154.0E-5
6.95.258436E-69.1827343E-71.0918264E-511.8899931.0E-52.2535958E-53.935452E-61.3935412E-53.54099421.0E-52.7434074E-44.7913123E-57.791168E-51.62610333.0E-50.00274002324.7903272E-45.1901356E-41.08346164.0E-5
7.04.675028E-68.660704E-71.08660615E-512.5463951.0E-52.003568E-53.7117254E-61.3711689E-53.6941551.0E-52.4390711E-44.518937E-57.5188014E-51.6638433.0E-50.00243639574.518065E-44.9178844E-41.08849354.0E-5
7.12.8270078E-66.8737717E-71.068737E-515.5480441.0E-51.2115692E-52.945899E-61.29458695E-54.39453941.0E-51.4749856E-43.586577E-56.58647E-51.83642213.0E-50.0014740073.5860392E-43.8859318E-41.08362773.0E-5
7.21.6881406E-62.2703432E-72.2703432E-71.00.07.2348685E-69.730038E-79.730038E-71.00.08.808096E-51.1846259E-51.1846259E-51.00.08.8046055E-41.1845643E-41.1845643E-41.00.0
7.39.086107E-71.5264496E-71.5264496E-71.00.03.8940398E-66.5419255E-76.5419255E-71.00.04.7408903E-57.964766E-67.964766E-61.00.04.739879E-47.964489E-57.964489E-51.00.0
7.41.9717383E-79.003399E-89.003399E-81.00.08.450304E-73.8585992E-73.8585992E-71.00.01.0288197E-54.697835E-64.697835E-61.00.01.028772E-44.6977384E-54.6977384E-51.00.0
7.51.086975E-76.659662E-86.659662E-81.00.04.6584634E-72.8541407E-72.8541407E-71.00.05.6716644E-63.474911E-63.474911E-61.00.05.6715195E-53.474859E-53.474859E-51.00.0
7.62.4217808E-81.5820849E-81.5820849E-81.00.01.03790605E-76.780364E-86.780364E-81.00.01.2636499E-68.25509E-78.25509E-71.00.01.2636427E-58.255064E-68.255064E-61.00.0

Owens Valley Keough Hot Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5708529E-54.950463E-61.4950414E-53.0200031.0E-56.7320536E-52.1216127E-54.1215702E-51.94265912.0E-58.193192E-42.5828084E-42.882731E-41.11612263.0E-50.0081630510.00258043870.00262033541.01546124.0E-5
6.11.5708529E-54.950463E-61.4950414E-53.0200031.0E-56.7320536E-52.1216127E-54.1215702E-51.94265912.0E-58.193192E-42.5828084E-42.882731E-41.11612263.0E-50.0081630510.00258043870.00262033541.01546124.0E-5
6.21.5708529E-54.950463E-61.4950414E-53.0200031.0E-56.7320536E-52.1216127E-54.1215702E-51.94265912.0E-58.193192E-42.5828084E-42.882731E-41.11612263.0E-50.0081630510.00258043870.00262033541.01546124.0E-5
6.31.5708529E-54.950463E-61.4950414E-53.0200031.0E-56.7320536E-52.1216127E-54.1215702E-51.94265912.0E-58.193192E-42.5828084E-42.882731E-41.11612263.0E-50.0081630510.00258043870.00262033541.01546124.0E-5
6.41.4622509E-53.7263276E-61.37262905E-53.68359731.0E-56.266639E-51.5969896E-52.5969737E-51.62616811.0E-57.626962E-41.9441944E-42.1441556E-41.10285032.0E-50.0076008390.00194294660.00197288841.01541043.0E-5
6.51.3335527E-52.2775241E-61.2277502E-55.39072281.0E-55.7151006E-59.760785E-61.9760688E-52.02449771.0E-56.955913E-41.1883176E-41.3882939E-41.16828512.0E-50.00693418040.0011878780.00121784231.02522523.0E-5
6.61.3332855E-52.2746733E-61.22746505E-55.39622551.0E-55.7139558E-59.748568E-61.974847E-52.02578161.0E-56.9545204E-41.1868303E-41.3868065E-41.16849612.0E-50.00693279640.00118639230.00121635661.02525683.0E-5
6.71.3318214E-52.2639038E-61.2263881E-55.41713861.0E-55.707681E-59.702413E-61.9702316E-52.03066131.0E-56.946886E-41.18121156E-41.3811879E-41.16929772.0E-50.00692520940.00118077950.0012107441.02537693.0E-5
6.81.2441338E-51.677594E-61.1677577E-56.9609081.0E-55.331893E-57.1896707E-61.7189599E-52.39087441.0E-56.489646E-48.753102E-51.07529275E-41.22847042.0E-50.00647072738.751236E-49.0509735E-41.03425093.0E-5
6.91.1130476E-51.0302234E-61.10302135E-510.7066221.0E-54.7701167E-54.4152357E-61.4415192E-53.26487471.0E-55.806069E-45.3754186E-57.375311E-51.37204412.0E-50.00579092335.375404E-45.675243E-41.05577983.0E-5
7.01.0986073E-59.577824E-71.0957773E-511.4407751.0E-54.7082318E-54.1047756E-61.4104734E-53.43617681.0E-55.730765E-44.9974507E-56.997351E-51.4001842.0E-50.00571600864.997603E-45.297453E-41.05999883.0E-5
7.11.0451338E-57.9988575E-71.0799878E-513.5017761.0E-54.4790682E-53.4280772E-61.3428043E-53.9170771.0E-55.451901E-44.1736046E-56.173521E-51.47918212.0E-50.0054385454.1740583E-44.473933E-41.07184263.0E-5
7.29.989061E-66.543693E-71.0654363E-516.2818811.0E-54.280956E-52.8044367E-61.28044085E-54.56576871.0E-55.2108173E-43.4143486E-55.41428E-51.58574332.0E-50.00519861563.41488E-43.7147774E-41.08782083.0E-5
7.39.465365E-65.458855E-71.054588E-519.318851.0E-54.056522E-52.3395073E-61.2339484E-55.27439451.0E-54.937696E-42.8483131E-54.848256E-51.702152.0E-50.00492673932.8489542E-43.1488686E-41.10527183.0E-5
7.46.3824805E-64.0153776E-71.04015335E-525.9042471.0E-52.73532E-51.7208749E-61.1720857E-56.81098751.0E-53.3297433E-42.0951453E-53.0951243E-51.47728381.0E-50.00332475852.0955436E-42.2955018E-41.09542062.0E-5
7.51.6192645E-62.5156373E-71.0251561E-540.7513471.0E-56.9396865E-61.0781299E-61.1078119E-510.27531051.0E-58.448741E-51.3126153E-52.3126022E-51.76182781.0E-58.4455294E-41.3125391E-41.5125128E-41.15235642.0E-5
7.65.7062545E-71.0790214E-71.0107901E-593.676561.0E-52.4455355E-64.6243767E-71.0462433E-522.6245251.0E-52.9773988E-55.630165E-61.5630108E-52.77613691.0E-52.977E-45.6300305E-57.629918E-51.35521782.0E-5
7.72.5988817E-74.5445965E-81.0045445E-5221.041521.0E-51.113806E-61.9476842E-71.0194766E-552.3430181.0E-51.3560503E-52.3713033E-61.237128E-55.217081.0E-51.3559677E-42.3712824E-54.371235E-51.84340552.0E-5

Rinconada 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5752368E-51.6274716E-52.6274553E-51.61444011.0E-56.75084E-56.974694E-58.974554E-51.2867312.0E-58.2160486E-48.488413E-48.788158E-41.03531233.0E-50.0081857390.008456370.0084960321.00469024.0E-5
6.11.0966133E-51.1323029E-51.1323029E-51.00.04.6996865E-54.852637E-55.8525886E-51.20606351.0E-55.720366E-45.9064914E-46.006432E-41.01692061.0E-50.00570566350.0058908890.0059107711.0033752.0E-5
6.21.0966133E-51.1323029E-51.1323029E-51.00.04.6996865E-54.852637E-55.8525886E-51.20606351.0E-55.720366E-45.9064914E-46.006432E-41.01692061.0E-50.00570566350.0058908890.0059107711.0033752.0E-5
6.38.926149E-69.212772E-69.212772E-61.00.03.8254362E-53.948271E-54.9482318E-51.25326541.0E-54.6564735E-44.8059633E-44.905915E-41.02079751.0E-50.00464672830.00479561460.0048155191.00415052.0E-5
6.47.676955E-67.920191E-67.920191E-61.00.03.290082E-53.3943234E-54.3942895E-51.29459951.0E-54.0049385E-44.131807E-44.2317656E-41.02419251.0E-50.00399772870.0041241510.004134111.00241471.0E-5
6.56.1671026E-66.358955E-66.358955E-61.00.02.6430173E-52.725238E-53.7252106E-51.36693051.0E-53.2173982E-43.317473E-43.4174396E-41.03013351.0E-50.0032127440.00331253260.00332249961.00300881.0E-5
6.65.553456E-65.7248126E-65.7248126E-61.00.02.3800309E-52.4534682E-53.4534438E-51.40757631.0E-52.897302E-42.9866886E-43.0866588E-41.0334721.0E-50.00289352770.00298268320.00299265351.00334261.0E-5
6.74.787857E-64.93331E-64.93331E-61.00.02.0519226E-52.1142585E-53.1142372E-51.4729691.0E-52.4979294E-42.573806E-42.6737803E-41.03884291.0E-50.00249512350.0025708310.00258080521.00387981.0E-5
6.83.9955166E-64.1134763E-64.1134763E-61.00.01.7123532E-51.7629065E-52.7628888E-51.5672351.0E-52.0845905E-42.1461275E-42.2461062E-41.04658561.0E-50.0020826360.00214405870.00215403711.0046541.0E-5
6.93.4250072E-63.5224466E-63.5224466E-61.00.01.46785205E-51.5096112E-52.5095962E-51.66241221.0E-51.7869633E-41.8377969E-41.9377784E-41.0544031.0E-50.0017855270.00183627950.00184626111.00543581.0E-5
7.02.7712713E-62.8467002E-62.8467002E-61.00.01.1876823E-51.22000865E-52.2199965E-51.81965631.0E-51.4459073E-41.4852594E-41.5852446E-41.06731831.0E-50.00144496680.00148426830.00149425351.00672731.0E-5
7.12.227358E-62.2856987E-62.2856987E-61.00.09.545785E-69.795815E-61.9795716E-52.02083421.0E-51.16213734E-41.1925753E-41.2925634E-41.08384221.0E-50.00116152980.00119193630.00120192441.00837971.0E-5
7.21.581796E-61.6209015E-61.6209015E-61.00.06.779108E-66.946702E-61.6946633E-52.4395221.0E-58.253252E-58.4572814E-59.457197E-51.11823131.0E-58.250187E-48.4540684E-48.553984E-41.01181861.0E-5
7.31.0306567E-61.054648E-61.054648E-61.00.04.4170924E-64.519912E-61.4519866E-53.21242241.0E-55.3776774E-55.502854E-56.502799E-51.18171391.0E-55.376376E-45.501494E-45.601439E-41.01816691.0E-5
7.46.535541E-76.682744E-76.682744E-71.00.02.800943E-62.8640302E-62.8640302E-61.00.03.4100947E-53.4869012E-53.4869012E-51.00.03.4095717E-43.486355E-43.486355E-41.00.0
7.53.2656962E-73.3316712E-73.3316712E-71.00.01.3995833E-61.4278584E-61.4278584E-61.00.01.7039794E-51.7384036E-51.7384036E-51.00.01.7038487E-41.738268E-41.738268E-41.00.0
7.69.754343E-89.821017E-89.821017E-81.00.04.180432E-74.2090065E-74.2090065E-71.00.05.089664E-65.1244533E-65.1244533E-61.00.05.0895473E-55.124336E-55.124336E-51.00.0
7.76.0001453E-95.8491207E-95.8491207E-91.00.02.5714908E-82.506766E-82.506766E-81.00.03.1307894E-73.051987E-73.051987E-71.00.03.1307852E-63.0519832E-63.0519832E-61.00.0
7.87.400003E-117.4654505E-117.4654505E-111.00.03.171432E-103.1994773E-103.1994773E-101.00.03.861218E-93.895363E-93.895363E-91.00.03.861218E-83.895363E-83.895363E-81.00.0

Mono Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0341662E-52.3828192E-53.3827953E-51.4196609