Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.035651E-5 | 5.903199E-4 | 8.390409 | 5.2E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0149342E-4 | 0.0026207939 | 8.692707 | 0.00232 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036645688 | 0.018958317 | 5.1734104 | 0.01535 | 0.028357591 | 0.0361181 | 0.07325647 | 2.028248 | 0.03853 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.035651E-5 | 5.903199E-4 | 8.390409 | 5.2E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0149342E-4 | 0.0026207939 | 8.692707 | 0.00232 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036645688 | 0.018958317 | 5.1734104 | 0.01535 | 0.028357591 | 0.0361181 | 0.07325647 | 2.028248 | 0.03853 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1760762E-5 | 3.717442E-4 | 7.181969 | 3.2E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2181314E-4 | 0.0016614938 | 7.4905105 | 0.00144 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002697262 | 0.012012069 | 4.4534307 | 0.00934 | 0.021759989 | 0.0267309 | 0.049524862 | 1.8527195 | 0.02342 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1760762E-5 | 3.717442E-4 | 7.181969 | 3.2E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2181314E-4 | 0.0016614938 | 7.4905105 | 0.00144 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002697262 | 0.012012069 | 4.4534307 | 0.00934 | 0.021759989 | 0.0267309 | 0.049524862 | 1.8527195 | 0.02342 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4206416E-5 | 3.1419448E-4 | 7.1074405 | 2.7E-4 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8944245E-4 | 0.0013392246 | 7.069295 | 0.00115 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0023040473 | 0.0094874585 | 4.117736 | 0.0072 | 0.019048655 | 0.022870028 | 0.04083945 | 1.7857192 | 0.01839 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.01114E-5 | 2.8010178E-4 | 6.983096 | 2.4E-4 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.718948E-4 | 0.0011917194 | 6.932842 | 0.00102 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020908322 | 0.0085972 | 4.1118555 | 0.00652 | 0.017543508 | 0.020802973 | 0.036910765 | 1.7743024 | 0.01645 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9565E-5 | 2.795555E-4 | 7.065727 | 2.4E-4 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6955339E-4 | 0.0011893804 | 7.0147843 | 0.00102 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020623798 | 0.008548974 | 4.145199 | 0.0065 | 0.017365133 | 0.020523785 | 0.036606785 | 1.7836274 | 0.01642 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8180824E-5 | 2.3817319E-4 | 6.2380314 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6362197E-4 | 0.0011434617 | 6.9884357 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019902987 | 0.00822786 | 4.133982 | 0.00625 | 0.016856372 | 0.019819157 | 0.0352374 | 1.7779466 | 0.01573 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7607628E-5 | 2.376001E-4 | 6.31787 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6116572E-4 | 0.0011110127 | 6.893604 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019604482 | 0.008098392 | 4.130888 | 0.00615 | 0.016654192 | 0.019525932 | 0.034625232 | 1.7732947 | 0.0154 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.6811605E-5 | 2.1680498E-4 | 5.8895826 | 1.8E-4 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5775459E-4 | 0.001067611 | 6.7675433 | 9.1E-4 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019189917 | 0.007887516 | 4.11024 | 0.00598 | 0.01638118 | 0.019119278 | 0.033881534 | 1.7721137 | 0.01505 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5716203E-5 | 2.0571014E-4 | 5.7595744 | 1.7E-4 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5306058E-4 | 0.0010329259 | 6.7484775 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018619411 | 0.007601235 | 4.082425 | 0.00575 | 0.015996104 | 0.018558139 | 0.032867562 | 1.7710592 | 0.01458 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4481687E-5 | 2.0447583E-4 | 5.929983 | 1.7E-4 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.477704E-4 | 0.0010076433 | 6.818979 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017976413 | 0.007347646 | 4.087382 | 0.00556 | 0.01556781 | 0.017925408 | 0.031713735 | 1.7692058 | 0.01404 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1369047E-5 | 1.9136403E-4 | 6.1004095 | 1.6E-4 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3443196E-4 | 8.5433514E-4 | 6.3551493 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016354999 | 0.006327813 | 3.8690393 | 0.0047 | 0.014481937 | 0.016327986 | 0.027758256 | 1.7000415 | 0.01162 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6797032E-5 | 1.0679489E-4 | 3.9853253 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1483945E-4 | 6.247809E-4 | 5.4404726 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0013972883 | 0.0047925375 | 3.4298847 | 0.0034 | 0.012712469 | 0.013969704 | 0.022094592 | 1.5816078 | 0.00824 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5279978E-5 | 1.05277955E-4 | 4.1644797 | 8.0E-5 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0833835E-4 | 5.3829176E-4 | 4.968617 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013182356 | 0.0043242676 | 3.280345 | 0.00301 | 0.012045753 | 0.013186504 | 0.020538265 | 1.5575216 | 0.00745 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.256026E-5 | 7.255913E-5 | 3.2162366 | 5.0E-5 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.668331E-5 | 4.4664947E-4 | 4.6197166 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011764955 | 0.0034638012 | 2.9441688 | 0.00229 | 0.010886264 | 0.011779194 | 0.017481228 | 1.4840767 | 0.00577 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6062562E-5 | 5.606192E-5 | 3.4902227 | 4.0E-5 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.883778E-5 | 2.3882608E-4 | 3.4694042 | 1.7E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.3778554E-4 | 0.0020967298 | 2.5027049 | 0.00126 | 0.007854558 | 0.008419968 | 0.011493866 | 1.3650724 | 0.0031 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0744918E-5 | 2.074481E-5 | 1.9306625 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.6048837E-5 | 1.16045616E-4 | 2.5200553 | 7.0E-5 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.605008E-4 | 8.903158E-4 | 1.5884292 | 3.3E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.0056618536 | 0.006646248 | 1.1738644 | 9.9E-4 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.482805E-6 | 1.848272E-5 | 2.1788454 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6354373E-5 | 7.635292E-5 | 2.1002402 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.4252476E-4 | 6.4243627E-4 | 1.4517521 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004474724 | 0.00509195 | 1.137936 | 6.2E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.4041707E-6 | 1.5404117E-5 | 2.8504126 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3160526E-5 | 5.315983E-5 | 2.2952774 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8194304E-4 | 4.1190637E-4 | 1.4609561 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028507726 | 0.0032496322 | 1.1399128 | 4.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0887928E-6 | 2.0887928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.951938E-6 | 1.8951849E-5 | 2.1170664 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0898444E-4 | 1.3898117E-4 | 1.2752386 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011025992 | 0.001202489 | 1.0905948 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.164752E-7 | 3.164752E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3563216E-6 | 1.3563216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6513108E-5 | 1.6513108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6726229E-4 | 1.7726062E-4 | 1.0597763 | 1.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.7991037E-5 | 3.4797422E-4 | 6.0004826 | 2.9E-4 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4851318E-4 | 0.0016181727 | 6.511416 | 0.00137 | 0.0025163088 | 0.003022118 | 0.012214254 | 4.0416207 | 0.00922 | 0.02488006 | 0.029877583 | 0.05545001 | 1.8559068 | 0.02636 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0881414E-5 | 1.508787E-4 | 7.225502 | 1.3E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.948892E-5 | 6.3943974E-4 | 7.145462 | 5.5E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010890213 | 0.0043854276 | 4.0269437 | 0.0033 | 0.009242975 | 0.010841259 | 0.020861438 | 1.9242634 | 0.01013 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0881414E-5 | 1.508787E-4 | 7.225502 | 1.3E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.948892E-5 | 6.3943974E-4 | 7.145462 | 5.5E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010890213 | 0.0043854276 | 4.0269437 | 0.0033 | 0.009242975 | 0.010841259 | 0.020861438 | 1.9242634 | 0.01013 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5765387E-5 | 1.0576397E-4 | 6.7086186 | 9.0E-5 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.756433E-5 | 4.675373E-4 | 6.9198837 | 4.0E-4 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2230894E-4 | 0.0031603847 | 3.8433058 | 0.00234 | 0.007027647 | 0.008195594 | 0.015594455 | 1.9027852 | 0.00746 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2622489E-5 | 5.2621985E-5 | 4.168907 | 4.0E-5 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.409536E-5 | 3.0408183E-4 | 5.6212187 | 2.5E-4 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.584297E-4 | 0.00229735 | 3.4891348 | 0.00164 | 0.005655863 | 0.006567119 | 0.0120409345 | 1.8335185 | 0.00551 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.199161E-6 | 2.9198976E-5 | 3.1740913 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.9424438E-5 | 1.5941971E-4 | 4.0436773 | 1.2E-4 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.798974E-4 | 0.0014394367 | 2.9994676 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004790228 | 0.00812418 | 1.6959904 | 0.00335 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.614703E-6 | 1.7614628E-5 | 2.3132389 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.2634085E-5 | 1.12631475E-4 | 3.4513447 | 8.0E-5 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9725663E-4 | 0.0011169706 | 2.8117104 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039669327 | 0.006387293 | 1.610134 | 0.00243 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.432297E-6 | 5.432297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3281089E-5 | 5.328039E-5 | 2.2885695 | 3.0E-5 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.8341476E-4 | 6.233184E-4 | 2.1993153 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028315398 | 0.004117887 | 1.4542925 | 0.00129 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.9705927E-6 | 4.9705927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.130239E-5 | 5.130175E-5 | 2.4082627 | 3.0E-5 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5933E-4 | 5.592522E-4 | 2.156527 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025912935 | 0.0036984172 | 1.4272475 | 0.00111 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0743E-6 | 3.0743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3175511E-5 | 3.317525E-5 | 2.5179477 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6040127E-4 | 3.203756E-4 | 1.9973383 | 1.6E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016030794 | 0.002092294 | 1.3051717 | 4.9E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1273395E-6 | 2.1273395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.117141E-6 | 2.911696E-5 | 3.19365 | 2.0E-5 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1099624E-4 | 1.9098737E-4 | 1.7206651 | 8.0E-5 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011094767 | 0.0013591993 | 1.2250814 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6644419E-6 | 1.6644419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.1333066E-6 | 7.1333066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.684513E-5 | 1.2684167E-4 | 1.46055 | 4.0E-5 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.681699E-4 | 0.0010080483 | 1.1611187 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1830984E-6 | 1.1830984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.070415E-6 | 5.070415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.173109E-5 | 9.1729235E-5 | 1.4859488 | 3.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1719166E-4 | 6.871485E-4 | 1.1133469 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.772074E-7 | 9.772074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.188028E-6 | 4.188028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.098857E-5 | 5.098857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.098197E-4 | 5.398044E-4 | 1.0588143 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.511005E-7 | 8.511005E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6475712E-6 | 3.6475712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4408793E-5 | 4.4408793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4405003E-4 | 4.6404116E-4 | 1.04502 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.306174E-7 | 6.306174E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.702646E-6 | 2.702646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2904714E-5 | 3.2904714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2904715E-4 | 3.4904058E-4 | 1.0607616 | 2.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1213367E-5 | 3.212043E-4 | 10.290601 | 2.9E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3376547E-4 | 0.001213621 | 9.072752 | 0.00108 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016275112 | 0.008676021 | 5.3308516 | 0.00706 | 0.014722223 | 0.016169336 | 0.033140413 | 2.0495842 | 0.01725 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1213367E-5 | 3.212043E-4 | 10.290601 | 2.9E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3376547E-4 | 0.001213621 | 9.072752 | 0.00108 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016275112 | 0.008676021 | 5.3308516 | 0.00706 | 0.014722223 | 0.016169336 | 0.033140413 | 2.0495842 | 0.01725 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1213367E-5 | 3.212043E-4 | 10.290601 | 2.9E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3376547E-4 | 0.001213621 | 9.072752 | 0.00108 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016275112 | 0.008676021 | 5.3308516 | 0.00706 | 0.014722223 | 0.016169336 | 0.033140413 | 2.0495842 | 0.01725 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.608494E-5 | 2.1608172E-4 | 13.433791 | 2.0E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.893379E-5 | 7.888842E-4 | 11.444085 | 7.2E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3897397E-4 | 0.0054151313 | 6.4544687 | 0.00458 | 0.007737305 | 0.008360886 | 0.019387914 | 2.3188825 | 0.01112 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.608494E-5 | 2.1608172E-4 | 13.433791 | 2.0E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.893379E-5 | 7.888842E-4 | 11.444085 | 7.2E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3897397E-4 | 0.0054151313 | 6.4544687 | 0.00458 | 0.007737305 | 0.008360886 | 0.019387914 | 2.3188825 | 0.01112 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3768532E-5 | 2.1376577E-4 | 15.525677 | 2.0E-4 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.9006805E-5 | 7.389667E-4 | 12.523415 | 6.8E-4 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1819674E-4 | 0.0049051875 | 6.829866 | 0.00419 | 0.006655392 | 0.0071613085 | 0.017228693 | 2.4058022 | 0.01014 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0291131E-5 | 1.602896E-4 | 15.575507 | 1.5E-4 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.4104192E-5 | 5.740808E-4 | 13.016468 | 5.3E-4 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.368525E-4 | 0.0040949415 | 7.627684 | 0.00356 | 0.005028777 | 0.0053571616 | 0.013901143 | 2.594871 | 0.00859 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.201281E-6 | 1.4820014E-4 | 18.070362 | 1.4E-4 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5147954E-5 | 5.0513144E-4 | 14.371574 | 4.7E-4 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2785605E-4 | 0.0035065382 | 8.195603 | 0.00308 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042716754 | 0.011779467 | 2.7575755 | 0.00754 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.7370365E-6 | 1.1673629E-4 | 17.327543 | 1.1E-4 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8872768E-5 | 3.8886236E-4 | 13.468137 | 3.6E-4 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5148207E-4 | 0.0029605648 | 8.423089 | 0.00261 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035105227 | 0.009609038 | 2.7372103 | 0.00612 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1126344E-6 | 8.311238E-5 | 26.701622 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.33398025E-5 | 2.4333673E-4 | 18.241405 | 2.3E-4 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.624015E-4 | 0.0018021351 | 11.096789 | 0.00164 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016229765 | 0.005506663 | 3.3929408 | 0.00389 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.229024E-6 | 7.222887E-5 | 32.40381 | 7.0E-5 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.552931E-6 | 1.8955121E-4 | 19.842205 | 1.8E-4 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.16301766E-4 | 0.0010461936 | 8.995509 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011625112 | 0.0034598375 | 2.9761755 | 0.0023 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1778933E-6 | 3.1177857E-5 | 26.46917 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.048108E-6 | 8.50477E-5 | 16.84744 | 8.0E-5 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.145968E-5 | 5.314308E-4 | 8.64682 | 4.7E-4 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.1449537E-4 | 0.0017637886 | 2.8703043 | 0.00115 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.092757E-7 | 3.092757E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3254667E-6 | 1.1325454E-5 | 8.544503 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6137443E-5 | 4.6136956E-5 | 2.8590007 | 3.0E-5 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6136325E-4 | 2.3135195E-4 | 1.4337338 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3106372E-7 | 2.3106372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.902727E-7 | 1.0990263E-5 | 11.098218 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2056505E-5 | 3.2056265E-5 | 2.6588356 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2055858E-4 | 1.8055135E-4 | 1.4976233 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9687333E-7 | 1.9687333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.4374255E-7 | 8.4374255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0272518E-5 | 2.0272415E-5 | 1.9734612 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0272049E-4 | 1.5271535E-4 | 1.4867078 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4428804E-7 | 1.4428804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1837716E-7 | 6.1837716E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.528716E-6 | 1.752864E-5 | 2.3282378 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.528466E-5 | 1.252809E-4 | 1.6640959 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.574927E-8 | 7.574927E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.246397E-7 | 3.246397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9524816E-6 | 1.3952442E-5 | 3.530046 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9524148E-5 | 8.9522175E-5 | 2.2649994 | 5.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3104909E-5 | 1.9310255E-4 | 14.735131 | 1.8E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6162848E-5 | 8.3611906E-4 | 14.887405 | 7.8E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8359653E-4 | 0.0066495156 | 9.727251 | 0.00597 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068177483 | 0.020553458 | 3.014699 | 0.01383 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3104909E-5 | 1.9310255E-4 | 14.735131 | 1.8E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6162848E-5 | 8.3611906E-4 | 14.887405 | 7.8E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8359653E-4 | 0.0066495156 | 9.727251 | 0.00597 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068177483 | 0.020553458 | 3.014699 | 0.01383 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3104909E-5 | 1.9310255E-4 | 14.735131 | 1.8E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6162848E-5 | 8.3611906E-4 | 14.887405 | 7.8E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8359653E-4 | 0.0066495156 | 9.727251 | 0.00597 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068177483 | 0.020553458 | 3.014699 | 0.01383 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3104909E-5 | 1.9310255E-4 | 14.735131 | 1.8E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6162848E-5 | 8.3611906E-4 | 14.887405 | 7.8E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8359653E-4 | 0.0066495156 | 9.727251 | 0.00597 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068177483 | 0.020553458 | 3.014699 | 0.01383 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3104909E-5 | 1.9310255E-4 | 14.735131 | 1.8E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6162848E-5 | 8.3611906E-4 | 14.887405 | 7.8E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8359653E-4 | 0.0066495156 | 9.727251 | 0.00597 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068177483 | 0.020553458 | 3.014699 | 0.01383 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.385884E-6 | 1.3738492E-4 | 18.601013 | 1.3E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1653435E-5 | 6.616335E-4 | 20.902422 | 6.3E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8531786E-4 | 0.004953557 | 12.855768 | 0.00457 | 0.003641826 | 0.003847035 | 0.014316603 | 3.721464 | 0.01051 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.385884E-6 | 1.3738492E-4 | 18.601013 | 1.3E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1653435E-5 | 6.616335E-4 | 20.902422 | 6.3E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8531786E-4 | 0.004953557 | 12.855768 | 0.00457 | 0.003641826 | 0.003847035 | 0.014316603 | 3.721464 | 0.01051 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.786823E-6 | 1.2578613E-4 | 21.736649 | 1.2E-4 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4800454E-5 | 5.4478756E-4 | 21.966837 | 5.2E-4 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.019076E-4 | 0.0042107273 | 13.947073 | 0.00391 | 0.0028538927 | 0.0030153585 | 0.01195831 | 3.9658008 | 0.00897 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2196343E-6 | 1.1421917E-4 | 27.0685 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8084036E-5 | 4.2807663E-4 | 23.67152 | 4.1E-4 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2015366E-4 | 0.0032594844 | 14.805497 | 0.00304 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021996265 | 0.009014603 | 4.0982423 | 0.00683 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.12343E-6 | 8.312318E-5 | 26.61279 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3386072E-5 | 3.1338204E-4 | 23.411055 | 3.0E-4 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.629655E-4 | 0.0023826037 | 14.620295 | 0.00222 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016286825 | 0.006680441 | 4.1017456 | 0.00506 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5410193E-6 | 7.154091E-5 | 46.42441 | 7.0E-5 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.604357E-6 | 1.7660324E-4 | 26.740412 | 1.7E-4 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.040609E-5 | 9.3033776E-4 | 11.570488 | 8.5E-4 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.038689E-4 | 0.0028722049 | 3.5729766 | 0.00207 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4099876E-7 | 3.0740975E-5 | 41.48587 | 3.0E-5 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1757088E-6 | 7.3175484E-5 | 23.042252 | 7.0E-5 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.8664257E-5 | 4.386488E-4 | 11.345073 | 4.0E-4 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.8664255E-4 | 0.001386256 | 3.5853682 | 0.001 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.641298E-5 | 1.6640635E-4 | 2.5056298 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8460217E-4 | 7.844599E-4 | 2.7563384 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034604163 | 0.0074665053 | 2.15769 | 0.00402 | 0.02591553 | 0.034168873 | 0.044966865 | 1.3160183 | 0.01118 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.641298E-5 | 1.6640635E-4 | 2.5056298 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8460217E-4 | 7.844599E-4 | 2.7563384 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034604163 | 0.0074665053 | 2.15769 | 0.00402 | 0.02591553 | 0.034168873 | 0.044966865 | 1.3160183 | 0.01118 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.1009058E-5 | 1.1100658E-4 | 3.5798113 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3289036E-4 | 5.4283586E-4 | 4.0848403 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016169107 | 0.0046220436 | 2.8585649 | 0.00301 | 0.012509781 | 0.016085263 | 0.024556769 | 1.5266626 | 0.00861 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2378465E-5 | 8.237712E-5 | 3.6810892 | 6.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.590507E-5 | 4.6586958E-4 | 4.8576117 | 3.7E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011671559 | 0.003873993 | 3.3191736 | 0.00271 | 0.009055373 | 0.011640848 | 0.019182028 | 1.6478205 | 0.00763 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2378465E-5 | 8.237712E-5 | 3.6810892 | 6.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.590507E-5 | 4.6586958E-4 | 4.8576117 | 3.7E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011671559 | 0.003873993 | 3.3191736 | 0.00271 | 0.009055373 | 0.011640848 | 0.019182028 | 1.6478205 | 0.00763 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9450263E-5 | 7.94491E-5 | 4.084731 | 6.0E-5 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.335646E-5 | 4.3332728E-4 | 5.198485 | 3.5E-4 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.001014528 | 0.00362188 | 3.570015 | 0.00261 | 0.0078909 | 0.01012941 | 0.017404959 | 1.7182598 | 0.00735 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.561506E-6 | 4.8561164E-5 | 5.672035 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6691687E-5 | 3.166814E-4 | 8.630877 | 2.8E-4 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4663536E-4 | 0.0024957198 | 5.587824 | 0.00205 | 0.0035039932 | 0.004475178 | 0.009880878 | 2.2079294 | 0.00543 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.4939265E-6 | 4.8493588E-5 | 5.709207 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6402067E-5 | 3.1639187E-4 | 8.691591 | 2.8E-4 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.431107E-4 | 0.0024922022 | 5.6243334 | 0.00205 | 0.003480947 | 0.00444009 | 0.009836025 | 2.215276 | 0.00542 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.340327E-6 | 4.8339993E-5 | 5.7959347 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5743804E-5 | 3.157338E-4 | 8.833245 | 2.8E-4 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3509956E-4 | 0.0024842075 | 5.709515 | 0.00205 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043602297 | 0.009746641 | 2.2353504 | 0.00541 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.013318E-6 | 4.8012997E-5 | 5.9916506 | 4.0E-5 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4342367E-5 | 3.1433275E-4 | 9.152914 | 2.8E-4 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1804372E-4 | 0.0024671867 | 5.9017434 | 0.00205 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004190137 | 0.009557553 | 2.2809641 | 0.00539 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.645282E-6 | 4.7644975E-5 | 6.2319455 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.276511E-5 | 3.1275593E-4 | 9.545395 | 2.8E-4 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9884774E-4 | 0.0024180422 | 6.0625696 | 0.00202 | 0.0031956544 | 0.003998714 | 0.009327321 | 2.33258 | 0.00535 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.155487E-6 | 4.71552E-5 | 6.590076 | 4.0E-5 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.066604E-5 | 3.1065746E-4 | 10.130341 | 2.8E-4 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.733005E-4 | 0.0023325689 | 6.2485013 | 0.00196 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037440478 | 0.008864803 | 2.3677056 | 0.00514 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.3705085E-6 | 3.5370347E-5 | 6.5860333 | 3.0E-5 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.3016284E-5 | 1.9301237E-4 | 8.385905 | 1.7E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.8019128E-4 | 0.001579827 | 5.638387 | 0.0013 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028149132 | 0.0060856803 | 2.1619425 | 0.00328 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7192577E-6 | 2.7192577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1653911E-5 | 7.165321E-5 | 6.148426 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4187729E-4 | 5.2182336E-4 | 3.677991 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014278062 | 0.0023664641 | 1.6574126 | 9.4E-4 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3139278E-6 | 2.3139278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.916796E-6 | 3.99165E-5 | 4.025141 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2073041E-4 | 3.6070144E-4 | 2.9876602 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012154713 | 0.0018047541 | 1.4848185 | 5.9E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.173696E-6 | 2.173696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.315807E-6 | 3.9315528E-5 | 4.2203026 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1341415E-4 | 3.2339033E-4 | 2.8514109 | 2.1E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.001142131 | 0.0016415599 | 1.4372782 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8804336E-6 | 1.8804336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.058977E-6 | 2.8058816E-5 | 3.4816847 | 2.0E-5 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.8113705E-5 | 2.3809996E-4 | 2.426776 | 1.4E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.889243E-4 | 0.0013585584 | 1.3737739 | 3.7E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3489819E-6 | 1.3489819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.781338E-6 | 2.5781223E-5 | 4.459387 | 2.0E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.038556E-5 | 1.5037993E-4 | 2.1365168 | 8.0E-5 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.115331E-4 | 9.213837E-4 | 1.2949274 | 2.1E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.4566835E-7 | 8.4566835E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.624288E-6 | 3.624288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.4124834E-5 | 8.412307E-5 | 1.906479 | 4.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.4665742E-4 | 5.3661724E-4 | 1.2014067 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.7908913E-7 | 3.7908913E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6246668E-6 | 1.6246668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.978015E-5 | 1.978015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9954717E-4 | 2.1954317E-4 | 1.100207 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.406613E-8 | 3.406613E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.459977E-7 | 1.459977E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7775212E-6 | 1.7775212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7979468E-5 | 1.7979468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3999226E-5 | 1.3399583E-4 | 3.9411433 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.45703E-4 | 6.556287E-4 | 4.499761 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017725201 | 0.005006777 | 2.8246658 | 0.00324 | 0.015640736 | 0.017591003 | 0.026137961 | 1.485871 | 0.0087 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3999226E-5 | 1.3399583E-4 | 3.9411433 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.45703E-4 | 6.556287E-4 | 4.499761 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017725201 | 0.005006777 | 2.8246658 | 0.00324 | 0.015640736 | 0.017591003 | 0.026137961 | 1.485871 | 0.0087 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3999226E-5 | 1.3399583E-4 | 3.9411433 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.45703E-4 | 6.556287E-4 | 4.499761 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017725201 | 0.005006777 | 2.8246658 | 0.00324 | 0.015640736 | 0.017591003 | 0.026137961 | 1.485871 | 0.0087 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2116626E-5 | 1.3211342E-4 | 4.113552 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3763558E-4 | 6.2756817E-4 | 4.559636 | 4.9E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.001674453 | 0.004759279 | 2.8422887 | 0.00309 | 0.01479908 | 0.016625157 | 0.024797002 | 1.491535 | 0.00831 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2116626E-5 | 1.3211342E-4 | 4.113552 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3763558E-4 | 6.2756817E-4 | 4.559636 | 4.9E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.001674453 | 0.004759279 | 2.8422887 | 0.00309 | 0.01479908 | 0.016625157 | 0.024797002 | 1.491535 | 0.00831 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0841835E-5 | 1.3083876E-4 | 4.242249 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3217276E-4 | 5.9211196E-4 | 4.4798336 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016080429 | 0.004573267 | 2.8439956 | 0.00297 | 0.014230782 | 0.01597076 | 0.023872515 | 1.4947639 | 0.00803 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.926532E-5 | 1.292624E-4 | 4.4169135 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2541692E-4 | 5.55363E-4 | 4.4281344 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0013628257 | 0.001525908 | 0.0043915287 | 2.8779774 | 0.00287 | 0.013544982 | 0.015160798 | 0.022694819 | 1.4969409 | 0.00765 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7354E-5 | 1.1735154E-4 | 4.2901053 | 9.0E-5 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1722631E-4 | 5.271782E-4 | 4.4970984 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0012775084 | 0.001426321 | 0.00412247 | 2.8902822 | 0.0027 | 0.012701893 | 0.014177947 | 0.021325158 | 1.5041075 | 0.00725 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4947252E-5 | 9.4945506E-5 | 3.8058503 | 7.0E-5 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0691254E-4 | 4.8687193E-4 | 4.553927 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013009048 | 0.0037976524 | 2.9192395 | 0.0025 | 0.011539802 | 0.012938806 | 0.01947315 | 1.5050192 | 0.00662 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2301174E-5 | 9.229961E-5 | 4.138778 | 7.0E-5 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.5573065E-5 | 4.455396E-4 | 4.66177 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011629994 | 0.0034503362 | 2.9667566 | 0.00229 | 0.010331288 | 0.011574146 | 0.017395975 | 1.5030029 | 0.00589 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0576585E-5 | 9.0575144E-5 | 4.401855 | 7.0E-5 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.818248E-5 | 4.281525E-4 | 4.855301 | 3.4E-4 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010731106 | 0.0031908357 | 2.9734452 | 0.00212 | 0.009531168 | 0.010684091 | 0.016105542 | 1.5074322 | 0.00548 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9782776E-5 | 8.978139E-5 | 4.538362 | 7.0E-5 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.4780666E-5 | 4.0475355E-4 | 4.7741256 | 3.2E-4 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010317335 | 0.0030995978 | 3.0042622 | 0.00207 | 0.009176437 | 0.01027419 | 0.015529634 | 1.5115191 | 0.00531 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8167568E-5 | 8.81663E-5 | 4.8529496 | 7.0E-5 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.785878E-5 | 3.7783541E-4 | 4.85283 | 3.0E-4 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.4753574E-4 | 0.0028457353 | 3.0033014 | 0.0019 | 0.008511325 | 0.009439452 | 0.014134709 | 1.4974078 | 0.00474 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.597386E-5 | 4.597338E-5 | 2.8780384 | 3.0E-5 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.845769E-5 | 2.8844262E-4 | 4.2134438 | 2.2E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.331699E-4 | 0.0023818784 | 2.858815 | 0.00155 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008303438 | 0.01212147 | 1.4598134 | 0.00385 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.41519E-5 | 4.4151475E-5 | 3.1198266 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.064968E-5 | 2.7063696E-4 | 4.462298 | 2.1E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.381755E-4 | 0.0021671199 | 2.9357786 | 0.00143 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0073600365 | 0.01096332 | 1.4895741 | 0.00363 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2842981E-5 | 4.2842596E-5 | 3.3358762 | 3.0E-5 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5040273E-5 | 2.650287E-4 | 4.815178 | 2.1E-4 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.69925E-4 | 0.0020889738 | 3.1182203 | 0.00142 | 0.006054099 | 0.0066818423 | 0.010237921 | 1.5322003 | 0.00358 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3354997E-6 | 2.3335433E-5 | 6.9960833 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4294961E-5 | 8.429396E-5 | 5.8967605 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7403455E-4 | 8.039249E-4 | 4.619341 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017403618 | 0.0032377513 | 1.8603897 | 0.0015 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.296638E-5 | 1.4296133E-4 | 2.2704394 | 8.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.698305E-4 | 6.7971984E-4 | 2.5190625 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003280684 | 0.006081465 | 1.8537188 | 0.00281 | 0.023254504 | 0.032422677 | 0.039766587 | 1.2265054 | 0.00759 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.296638E-5 | 1.4296133E-4 | 2.2704394 | 8.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.698305E-4 | 6.7971984E-4 | 2.5190625 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003280684 | 0.006081465 | 1.8537188 | 0.00281 | 0.023254504 | 0.032422677 | 0.039766587 | 1.2265054 | 0.00759 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.456096E-5 | 1.0455854E-4 | 3.0253367 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4811018E-4 | 4.8805983E-4 | 3.2952485 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.001801783 | 0.003977855 | 2.2077327 | 0.00218 | 0.01382215 | 0.017910836 | 0.023302505 | 1.3010284 | 0.00549 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.456096E-5 | 1.0455854E-4 | 3.0253367 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4811018E-4 | 4.8805983E-4 | 3.2952485 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.001801783 | 0.003977855 | 2.2077327 | 0.00218 | 0.01382215 | 0.017910836 | 0.023302505 | 1.3010284 | 0.00549 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2388867E-5 | 1.023866E-4 | 3.1611664 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3880222E-4 | 4.78755E-4 | 3.4491887 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016886365 | 0.003854972 | 2.2828906 | 0.00217 | 0.013121112 | 0.016810471 | 0.02213936 | 1.3169981 | 0.00542 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2388867E-5 | 1.023866E-4 | 3.1611664 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3880222E-4 | 4.78755E-4 | 3.4491887 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016886365 | 0.003854972 | 2.2828906 | 0.00217 | 0.013121112 | 0.016810471 | 0.02213936 | 1.3169981 | 0.00542 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8180817E-5 | 9.817885E-5 | 3.483889 | 7.0E-5 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2076947E-4 | 4.3073203E-4 | 3.5665638 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014694002 | 0.0034864321 | 2.3726907 | 0.00202 | 0.011653901 | 0.014652344 | 0.019687472 | 1.3436396 | 0.00511 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7850401E-5 | 9.784845E-5 | 3.5133588 | 7.0E-5 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.19353535E-4 | 4.2931654E-4 | 3.5970156 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014521842 | 0.0034692509 | 2.388988 | 0.00202 | 0.011538187 | 0.014481625 | 0.019478204 | 1.3450289 | 0.00507 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3941871E-5 | 8.394044E-5 | 3.5060096 | 6.0E-5 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.026041E-4 | 3.9257435E-4 | 3.8261077 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012485087 | 0.0032160492 | 2.5759125 | 0.00197 | 0.010138147 | 0.012461547 | 0.017191855 | 1.3795924 | 0.00479 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5236135E-5 | 7.523522E-5 | 4.9379463 | 6.0E-5 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.5296124E-5 | 3.3527848E-4 | 5.1347384 | 2.7E-4 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.9469604E-4 | 0.0025832735 | 3.2506435 | 0.00179 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007959486 | 0.0122153405 | 1.5346895 | 0.00429 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3143669E-5 | 7.314288E-5 | 5.5648756 | 6.0E-5 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6328823E-5 | 3.263136E-4 | 5.793013 | 2.7E-4 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8559265E-4 | 0.002454379 | 3.579938 | 0.00177 | 0.0061178906 | 0.0068753036 | 0.010996771 | 1.5994598 | 0.00415 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0937537E-5 | 7.093688E-5 | 6.4856358 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.6874335E-5 | 3.0686214E-4 | 6.5464854 | 2.6E-4 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.705491E-4 | 0.0022395963 | 3.9253347 | 0.00167 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057307025 | 0.009628238 | 1.6801147 | 0.00392 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0533159E-5 | 7.053253E-5 | 6.6962366 | 6.0E-5 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.514135E-5 | 2.9513007E-4 | 6.5379095 | 2.5E-4 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.494608E-4 | 0.0021785651 | 3.9649146 | 0.00163 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055208574 | 0.009329713 | 1.6899028 | 0.00383 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.978153E-6 | 5.9977654E-5 | 6.0108976 | 5.0E-5 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.2762833E-5 | 2.72753E-4 | 6.3782725 | 2.3E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.205166E-4 | 0.0020397254 | 3.918656 | 0.00152 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052322084 | 0.008743739 | 1.6711373 | 0.00353 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.523662E-6 | 5.9523187E-5 | 6.250031 | 5.0E-5 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.0815077E-5 | 2.3080732E-4 | 5.6549525 | 1.9E-4 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.968136E-4 | 0.0018261529 | 3.6757302 | 0.00133 | 0.004697283 | 0.004995214 | 0.008189179 | 1.6394051 | 0.00321 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.1169666E-6 | 2.7116825E-5 | 3.8101661 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0500933E-5 | 1.4049758E-4 | 4.606337 | 1.1E-4 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.7128633E-4 | 0.0010310413 | 2.776944 | 6.6E-4 | 0.003688092 | 0.003739278 | 0.0053532207 | 1.4316187 | 0.00162 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.9870563E-6 | 2.5986936E-5 | 4.34052 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.565856E-5 | 1.0565651E-4 | 4.117788 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1234848E-4 | 7.4221415E-4 | 2.3762376 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031501288 | 0.0041469787 | 1.3164474 | 0.001 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.7835583E-6 | 1.4783511E-5 | 3.0904841 | 1.0E-5 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0500804E-5 | 7.049978E-5 | 3.4388788 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.495688E-4 | 4.695139E-4 | 1.8813003 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025229412 | 0.0031214275 | 1.2372177 | 6.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 4.0020077E-6 | 1.4001967E-5 | 3.4987357 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.715135E-5 | 5.7150664E-5 | 3.332138 | 4.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0879775E-4 | 3.4876852E-4 | 1.6703653 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021133528 | 0.0024925496 | 1.179429 | 3.8E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.3924102E-6 | 1.3392376E-5 | 3.9477468 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.453882E-5 | 4.4538385E-5 | 3.0634112 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7699582E-4 | 2.9697458E-4 | 1.677862 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017916125 | 0.0021110391 | 1.17829 | 3.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6825641E-6 | 1.6825641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.210969E-6 | 1.7210898E-5 | 2.3867662 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.7790046E-5 | 1.1778741E-4 | 1.3416944 | 3.0E-5 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.883735E-4 | 9.882847E-4 | 1.1124653 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.164752E-7 | 3.164752E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3563216E-6 | 1.3563216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6513108E-5 | 1.6513108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6726229E-4 | 1.7726062E-4 | 1.0597763 | 1.0E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3198552E-5 | 7.319739E-5 | 3.155257 | 5.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941903E-5 | 3.593932E-4 | 3.6149335 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012098346 | 0.0030276326 | 2.502518 | 0.00182 | 0.011179381 | 0.012040469 | 0.016832072 | 1.3979583 | 0.00485 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3198552E-5 | 7.319739E-5 | 3.155257 | 5.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941903E-5 | 3.593932E-4 | 3.6149335 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012098346 | 0.0030276326 | 2.502518 | 0.00182 | 0.011179381 | 0.012040469 | 0.016832072 | 1.3979583 | 0.00485 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3198552E-5 | 7.319739E-5 | 3.155257 | 5.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941903E-5 | 3.593932E-4 | 3.6149335 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012098346 | 0.0030276326 | 2.502518 | 0.00182 | 0.011179381 | 0.012040469 | 0.016832072 | 1.3979583 | 0.00485 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0748722E-5 | 2.0748615E-5 | 1.9303331 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.606521E-5 | 1.6605969E-4 | 3.6048825 | 1.2E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.607129E-4 | 0.0013102924 | 2.336833 | 7.5E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055942945 | 0.007473721 | 1.3359542 | 0.00189 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0748722E-5 | 2.0748615E-5 | 1.9303331 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.606521E-5 | 1.6605969E-4 | 3.6048825 | 1.2E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.607129E-4 | 0.0013102924 | 2.336833 | 7.5E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055942945 | 0.007473721 | 1.3359542 | 0.00189 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.4578593E-6 | 1.7457785E-5 | 2.3408573 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.1961914E-5 | 1.01959675E-4 | 3.1900368 | 7.0E-5 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8907546E-4 | 8.488965E-4 | 2.18183 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038847975 | 0.0051897084 | 1.3359019 | 0.00131 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3475665E-6 | 5.3475665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2917979E-5 | 6.291706E-5 | 2.7453146 | 4.0E-5 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7899738E-4 | 5.289276E-4 | 1.8958158 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027871297 | 0.0036746492 | 1.318435 | 8.9E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.9252714E-6 | 3.9252714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6822516E-5 | 4.682201E-5 | 2.7832942 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0480063E-4 | 4.0475966E-4 | 1.9763595 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.002046682 | 0.0026953516 | 1.3169372 | 6.5E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7453837E-6 | 2.7453837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1765905E-5 | 3.176567E-5 | 2.699807 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4324542E-4 | 2.8322535E-4 | 1.9772037 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014320159 | 0.0019412857 | 1.3556312 | 5.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.897189E-6 | 1.897189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.13081E-6 | 2.8130647E-5 | 3.4597595 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.899261E-5 | 2.2897974E-4 | 2.3130994 | 1.3E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.899262E-4 | 0.00136955 | 1.383487 | 3.8E-4 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4598844E-5 | 8.45972E-5 | 1.5494322 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3397508E-4 | 4.539236E-4 | 1.9400511 | 2.2E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028451039 | 0.004360779 | 1.5327312 | 0.00152 | 0.023260195 | 0.028107068 | 0.03178082 | 1.1307057 | 0.00378 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4598844E-5 | 8.45972E-5 | 1.5494322 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3397508E-4 | 4.539236E-4 | 1.9400511 | 2.2E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028451039 | 0.004360779 | 1.5327312 | 0.00152 | 0.023260195 | 0.028107068 | 0.03178082 | 1.1307057 | 0.00378 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7087524E-5 | 7.708611E-5 | 1.6370815 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0178875E-4 | 4.2174436E-4 | 2.090029 | 2.2E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024541437 | 0.0039504627 | 1.6097112 | 0.0015 | 0.020330196 | 0.024286084 | 0.027945012 | 1.1506594 | 0.00375 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7087524E-5 | 7.708611E-5 | 1.6370815 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0178875E-4 | 4.2174436E-4 | 2.090029 | 2.2E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024541437 | 0.0039504627 | 1.6097112 | 0.0015 | 0.020330196 | 0.024286084 | 0.027945012 | 1.1506594 | 0.00375 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7969927E-5 | 6.796879E-5 | 1.790069 | 3.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6271851E-4 | 3.8268272E-4 | 2.351808 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019793664 | 0.0034364767 | 1.7361498 | 0.00146 | 0.016718714 | 0.019626025 | 0.02325341 | 1.1848252 | 0.0037 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7969927E-5 | 6.796879E-5 | 1.790069 | 3.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6271851E-4 | 3.8268272E-4 | 2.351808 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019793664 | 0.0034364767 | 1.7361498 | 0.00146 | 0.016718714 | 0.019626025 | 0.02325341 | 1.1848252 | 0.0037 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4198583E-5 | 6.419756E-5 | 1.8771993 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4655748E-4 | 3.6652523E-4 | 2.5008976 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017829385 | 0.0032403353 | 1.8174129 | 0.00146 | 0.015175272 | 0.017694132 | 0.021309018 | 1.2042985 | 0.00368 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2359956E-5 | 6.235898E-5 | 1.9270418 | 3.0E-5 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3867849E-4 | 3.58648E-4 | 2.5861833 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016871633 | 0.0031347168 | 1.8579807 | 0.00145 | 0.014414776 | 0.016751112 | 0.020359635 | 1.2154199 | 0.00367 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6879417E-5 | 5.6878613E-5 | 2.1160655 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.15192684E-4 | 3.2516848E-4 | 2.8228223 | 2.1E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.001401616 | 0.0028296118 | 2.0188208 | 0.00143 | 0.01213047 | 0.01393385 | 0.01751327 | 1.2568866 | 0.00363 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3581042E-5 | 5.3580334E-5 | 2.2721784 | 3.0E-5 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.010579E-4 | 3.1103668E-4 | 3.0778067 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012297217 | 0.0026579632 | 2.161435 | 0.00143 | 0.010738871 | 0.012234077 | 0.01580979 | 1.2922748 | 0.00362 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9642564E-5 | 4.9641974E-5 | 2.5272655 | 3.0E-5 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.417983E-5 | 2.9416216E-4 | 3.4944494 | 2.1E-4 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010244302 | 0.0024529654 | 2.394468 | 0.00143 | 0.009070295 | 0.010200586 | 0.013773763 | 1.3502913 | 0.00361 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6449274E-5 | 4.644878E-5 | 2.8237588 | 3.0E-5 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.049507E-5 | 2.8048028E-4 | 3.9787216 | 2.1E-4 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.5795607E-4 | 0.0022867292 | 2.665322 | 0.00143 | 0.007696735 | 0.0085493 | 0.012128437 | 1.4186468 | 0.00361 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5705544E-5 | 4.5705074E-5 | 2.9101236 | 3.0E-5 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.730783E-5 | 2.772937E-4 | 4.119784 | 2.1E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.19181E-4 | 0.0022480094 | 2.744216 | 0.00143 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008164439 | 0.011744966 | 1.4385514 | 0.00361 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5179074E-5 | 4.5178618E-5 | 2.976375 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.5051645E-5 | 2.7503798E-4 | 4.2279944 | 2.1E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9173205E-4 | 0.0022106078 | 2.792116 | 0.00142 | 0.007138774 | 0.007891921 | 0.011453589 | 1.4513055 | 0.00359 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4115724E-5 | 4.4115302E-5 | 3.1252594 | 3.0E-5 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0494647E-5 | 2.7048195E-4 | 4.4711714 | 2.1E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3628925E-4 | 0.0021552437 | 2.9271698 | 0.00142 | 0.006661878 | 0.007341268 | 0.010904913 | 1.4854263 | 0.00359 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2806805E-5 | 4.280642E-5 | 3.3424747 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.488524E-5 | 2.6487373E-4 | 4.8259554 | 2.1E-4 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.680386E-4 | 0.0020770966 | 3.1092465 | 0.00141 | 0.006032217 | 0.0066630607 | 0.010179474 | 1.5277474 | 0.00354 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.327617E-6 | 2.332755E-5 | 7.010287 | 2.0E-5 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4261179E-5 | 8.426018E-5 | 5.90836 | 7.0E-5 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7362331E-4 | 7.9351565E-4 | 4.570329 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017362454 | 0.0032236583 | 1.8566836 | 0.00149 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3101805E-5 | 6.3100815E-5 | 1.906265 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4185793E-4 | 2.4184375E-4 | 1.7048306 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017258888 | 0.0028539386 | 1.6536051 | 0.00113 | 0.015895851 | 0.017138693 | 0.020224879 | 1.1800711 | 0.00314 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3101805E-5 | 6.3100815E-5 | 1.906265 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4185793E-4 | 2.4184375E-4 | 1.7048306 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017258888 | 0.0028539386 | 1.6536051 | 0.00113 | 0.015895851 | 0.017138693 | 0.020224879 | 1.1800711 | 0.00314 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2547198E-5 | 2.2547072E-5 | 1.7969807 | 1.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.377265E-5 | 9.37705E-5 | 1.7438326 | 4.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.54495E-4 | 0.0011141939 | 1.702372 | 4.6E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065266457 | 0.0076989443 | 1.1796173 | 0.00118 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2547198E-5 | 2.2547072E-5 | 1.7969807 | 1.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.377265E-5 | 9.37705E-5 | 1.7438326 | 4.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.54495E-4 | 0.0011141939 | 1.702372 | 4.6E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065266457 | 0.0076989443 | 1.1796173 | 0.00118 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.48146E-6 | 8.48146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6348632E-5 | 4.634827E-5 | 1.2751036 | 1.0E-5 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.4245878E-4 | 7.42326E-4 | 1.6777292 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044161836 | 0.0051031364 | 1.1555535 | 6.9E-4 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.286986E-6 | 6.286986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.694396E-5 | 3.6943693E-5 | 1.3711307 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.279959E-4 | 5.4792373E-4 | 1.6705201 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032753714 | 0.0037737335 | 1.1521544 | 5.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.286986E-6 | 6.286986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.694396E-5 | 3.6943693E-5 | 1.3711307 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.279959E-4 | 5.4792373E-4 | 1.6705201 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032753714 | 0.0037737335 | 1.1521544 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2819846E-6 | 3.2819846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4065579E-5 | 2.4065439E-5 | 1.7109454 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7123614E-4 | 3.0121388E-4 | 1.7590555 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017111566 | 0.001940763 | 1.134182 | 2.3E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4291405E-6 | 2.4291405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0410566E-5 | 2.0410462E-5 | 1.9605526 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2674218E-4 | 2.0673205E-4 | 1.6311227 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012667892 | 0.0014066118 | 1.1103756 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0655224E-6 | 1.0655224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5665192E-6 | 4.5665192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.559647E-5 | 7.559536E-5 | 1.3597151 | 2.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.5587624E-4 | 6.258373E-4 | 1.1258574 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.076394E-7 | 5.076394E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1755973E-6 | 2.1755973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6487898E-5 | 3.6487632E-5 | 1.3775209 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.64879E-4 | 3.048684E-4 | 1.1509724 | 4.0E-5 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5283342E-5 | 4.5282835E-5 | 1.7910147 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.083527E-4 | 2.4833754E-4 | 2.2919366 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013183992 | 0.0023570282 | 1.7877954 | 0.00104 | 0.013053683 | 0.01318547 | 0.015889343 | 1.2050645 | 0.00274 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5184368E-5 | 4.5183864E-5 | 1.7941234 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0792856E-4 | 2.4791344E-4 | 2.2970142 | 1.4E-4 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013132415 | 0.0023518759 | 1.7908936 | 0.00104 | 0.013000126 | 0.013134505 | 0.015838517 | 1.2058709 | 0.00274 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.5065981E-5 | 4.506548E-5 | 1.7978742 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.0742123E-4 | 2.474062E-4 | 2.3031406 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013070722 | 0.0023457129 | 1.7946314 | 0.00104 | 0.012932341 | 0.013073538 | 0.015777716 | 1.2068436 | 0.00274 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4885285E-5 | 4.4884786E-5 | 1.8036678 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.0664688E-4 | 2.4663194E-4 | 2.3126035 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012976559 | 0.0023363063 | 1.8004051 | 0.00104 | 0.012822957 | 0.012980479 | 0.015684912 | 1.2083462 | 0.00274 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3263985E-5 | 4.326352E-5 | 1.8596779 | 2.0E-5 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.9699E-5 | 2.3968505E-4 | 2.4040868 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012131622 | 0.0022519005 | 1.8562237 | 0.00104 | 0.012051838 | 0.01214505 | 0.014851772 | 1.2228663 | 0.00274 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.3078326E-5 | 4.3077864E-5 | 1.866594 | 2.0E-5 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.890338E-5 | 2.3888954E-4 | 2.4153829 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0012034862 | 0.0022422345 | 1.8631161 | 0.00104 | 0.011791403 | 0.012049343 | 0.014756328 | 1.2246583 | 0.00274 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1857622E-5 | 4.1857187E-5 | 1.9149926 | 2.0E-5 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.367218E-5 | 2.3365907E-4 | 2.4944339 | 1.4E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011398644 | 0.002178679 | 1.9113492 | 0.00104 | 0.011062649 | 0.0114198085 | 0.014118632 | 1.2363282 | 0.00273 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0476651E-5 | 4.0476243E-5 | 1.9767022 | 2.0E-5 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.775414E-5 | 2.2774185E-4 | 2.5952263 | 1.4E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010678847 | 0.0021067741 | 1.9728479 | 0.00104 | 0.010230771 | 0.01070713 | 0.013407899 | 1.2522403 | 0.00273 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9983867E-5 | 3.9983468E-5 | 2.0007873 | 2.0E-5 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.564234E-5 | 2.2563036E-4 | 2.6345654 | 1.4E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010421984 | 0.0020811146 | 1.9968506 | 0.00104 | 0.009733009 | 0.010452707 | 0.013154171 | 1.2584463 | 0.00273 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.9035691E-5 | 3.9035313E-5 | 2.050638 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.157899E-5 | 2.2156758E-4 | 2.7159882 | 1.4E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.927731E-4 | 0.0020317407 | 2.0465307 | 0.00104 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009963013 | 0.012665815 | 1.2712835 | 0.00273 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.829792E-5 | 3.8297556E-5 | 2.0930004 | 2.0E-5 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.841731E-5 | 2.1840633E-4 | 2.78518 | 1.4E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.5431396E-4 | 0.0019933216 | 2.088748 | 0.00104 | 0.008724891 | 0.009581639 | 0.0122755775 | 1.2811563 | 0.00272 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7798287E-5 | 3.779793E-5 | 2.1236837 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.6276156E-5 | 2.1626547E-4 | 2.835296 | 1.4E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.2826784E-4 | 0.0019573118 | 2.1085634 | 0.00103 | 0.008488664 | 0.009323265 | 0.012007999 | 1.2879606 | 0.00271 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.7246624E-5 | 3.724628E-5 | 2.1596272 | 2.0E-5 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.391202E-5 | 2.1390167E-4 | 2.8940039 | 1.4E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.9950865E-4 | 0.0019285821 | 2.1440396 | 0.00103 | 0.008200042 | 0.009037967 | 0.011723474 | 1.2971362 | 0.00271 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.66991E-5 | 3.6698766E-5 | 2.1976492 | 2.0E-5 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.156561E-5 | 2.115556E-4 | 2.9561067 | 1.4E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.7096426E-4 | 0.0019000672 | 2.1815674 | 0.00103 | 0.00782677 | 0.00875437 | 0.01142082 | 1.3045851 | 0.00269 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6534816E-5 | 3.6534486E-5 | 2.209549 | 2.0E-5 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.086158E-5 | 2.1085165E-4 | 2.9755428 | 1.4E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.623994E-4 | 0.0018915111 | 2.1933122 | 0.00103 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008669155 | 0.011325921 | 1.306462 | 0.00268 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6126263E-5 | 3.612594E-5 | 2.240193 | 2.0E-5 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.911073E-5 | 2.0910105E-4 | 3.0255947 | 1.4E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.410995E-4 | 0.001800292 | 2.1404033 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008457162 | 0.010926104 | 1.291935 | 0.00249 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4127087E-5 | 3.4126802E-5 | 2.4157002 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.0543254E-5 | 1.605372E-4 | 2.6516116 | 1.0E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.368655E-4 | 0.001376394 | 1.8679038 | 6.4E-4 | 0.006634211 | 0.007420682 | 0.009018735 | 1.2153512 | 0.00161 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.1532095E-5 | 2.153198E-5 | 1.867135 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9422335E-5 | 1.1941887E-4 | 2.4162936 | 7.0E-5 | 5.388092E-4 | 6.015512E-4 | 9.3135267E-4 | 1.5482517 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.006075411 | 0.0070593967 | 1.1619619 | 9.9E-4 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.957247E-6 | 1.8957156E-5 | 2.1164045 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8387636E-5 | 7.83861E-5 | 2.0419621 | 4.0E-5 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6726942E-4 | 6.67176E-4 | 1.4278185 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.004725001 | 0.0053420714 | 1.1305969 | 6.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.499178E-6 | 1.5499123E-5 | 2.8184438 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3567693E-5 | 5.3566986E-5 | 2.2728992 | 3.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8689898E-4 | 4.1686167E-4 | 1.4529911 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0029016812 | 0.0033005204 | 1.1374512 | 4.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0887928E-6 | 2.0887928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.951938E-6 | 1.8951849E-5 | 2.1170664 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0898444E-4 | 1.3898117E-4 | 1.2752386 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011025992 | 0.001202489 | 1.0905948 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.164752E-7 | 3.164752E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3563216E-6 | 1.3563216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6513108E-5 | 1.6513108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6726229E-4 | 1.7726062E-4 | 1.0597763 | 1.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8504445E-5 | 2.8504259E-5 | 1.5404007 | 1.0E-5 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.930263E-5 | 1.4929708E-4 | 1.8826246 | 7.0E-5 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6513046E-4 | 0.0016744452 | 1.7349418 | 7.1E-4 | 0.009017491 | 0.009614232 | 0.011723754 | 1.2194165 | 0.00213 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.59349E-6 | 1.9593395E-5 | 2.0423634 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1114363E-5 | 9.1112306E-5 | 2.2160702 | 5.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0046126E-4 | 9.302461E-4 | 1.8587774 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004994225 | 0.0060986816 | 1.2211467 | 0.00111 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.59349E-6 | 1.9593395E-5 | 2.0423634 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1114363E-5 | 9.1112306E-5 | 2.2160702 | 5.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0046126E-4 | 9.302461E-4 | 1.8587774 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004994225 | 0.0060986816 | 1.2211467 | 0.00111 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.668712E-6 | 1.7668635E-5 | 2.30399 | 1.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2865533E-5 | 7.286422E-5 | 2.2170405 | 4.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0007156E-4 | 7.699235E-4 | 1.9244646 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003994218 | 0.004880663 | 1.221932 | 8.9E-4 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.668712E-6 | 1.7668635E-5 | 2.30399 | 1.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2865533E-5 | 7.286422E-5 | 2.2170405 | 4.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0007156E-4 | 7.699235E-4 | 1.9244646 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003994218 | 0.004880663 | 1.221932 | 8.9E-4 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4047026E-6 | 1.640464E-5 | 2.5613427 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7448474E-5 | 6.744738E-5 | 2.4572358 | 4.0E-5 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.341404E-4 | 6.540335E-4 | 1.9573612 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.003337019 | 0.0040745493 | 1.2210149 | 7.4E-4 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.911023E-6 | 1.5910964E-5 | 2.6917446 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5332745E-5 | 6.533173E-5 | 2.578944 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0838893E-4 | 5.8830256E-4 | 1.9076644 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.003080239 | 0.0037282368 | 1.2103726 | 6.5E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5398755E-6 | 1.5539821E-5 | 2.8050847 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3742145E-5 | 6.3741194E-5 | 2.684728 | 4.0E-5 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.890286E-4 | 5.689477E-4 | 1.9684823 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.002887151 | 0.003505361 | 1.2141246 | 6.2E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2474508E-6 | 1.4247408E-5 | 3.3543434 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8203267E-5 | 4.820272E-5 | 2.6480258 | 3.0E-5 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2160819E-4 | 4.3156164E-4 | 1.9474084 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022144564 | 0.0026933935 | 1.2162775 | 4.8E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1406623E-7 | 7.1406623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0602819E-6 | 3.0602819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7258615E-5 | 3.7258615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7255493E-4 | 4.6252142E-4 | 1.2414851 | 9.0E-5 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.147399E-5 | 4.1473675E-5 | 1.3177127 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3488278E-4 | 1.9487468E-4 | 1.4447707 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.001641178 | 0.0022801277 | 1.3893238 | 6.4E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016312161 | 0.018259864 | 1.1194018 | 0.00198 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.147399E-5 | 4.1473675E-5 | 1.3177127 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3488278E-4 | 1.9487468E-4 | 1.4447707 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.001641178 | 0.0022801277 | 1.3893238 | 6.4E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016312161 | 0.018259864 | 1.1194018 | 0.00198 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3638413E-5 | 1.3638413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8449103E-5 | 5.8449103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.113974E-4 | 8.912693E-4 | 1.2528431 | 1.8E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007092403 | 0.0075689983 | 1.067198 | 4.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3638413E-5 | 1.3638413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8449103E-5 | 5.8449103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.113974E-4 | 8.912693E-4 | 1.2528431 | 1.8E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007092403 | 0.0075689983 | 1.067198 | 4.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0692025E-5 | 1.0692025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.582219E-5 | 4.582219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.577482E-4 | 7.076645E-4 | 1.2687886 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.0055640745 | 0.005951904 | 1.0697025 | 3.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.085563E-6 | 9.085563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.893757E-5 | 3.893757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7396583E-4 | 5.539279E-4 | 1.1687086 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047299573 | 0.00499868 | 1.056813 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.53322E-6 | 7.53322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2284843E-5 | 3.2284843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9299965E-4 | 4.329839E-4 | 1.1017413 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039233034 | 0.0040826756 | 1.040622 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.750763E-6 | 6.750763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8931534E-5 | 2.8931534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.521867E-4 | 3.7217967E-4 | 1.0567681 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035165066 | 0.0036460494 | 1.0368385 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1171987E-6 | 5.1171987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1930675E-5 | 2.1930675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6697465E-4 | 2.76972E-4 | 1.0374467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026666776 | 0.002716544 | 1.0186999 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.9082747E-6 | 3.9082747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6749647E-5 | 1.6749647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0390886E-4 | 2.0390886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020373159 | 0.0020672546 | 1.0146953 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.606393E-6 | 2.606393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.117021E-5 | 1.117021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3598907E-4 | 1.3598907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013590838 | 0.001389043 | 1.0220437 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.098922E-6 | 2.098922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.995351E-6 | 8.995351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.09513116E-4 | 1.09513116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010946133 | 0.0011245805 | 1.0273769 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2619003E-6 | 1.2619003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.408133E-6 | 5.408133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.584211E-5 | 6.584211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.582343E-4 | 6.782211E-4 | 1.0303643 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.1213157E-7 | 7.1213157E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.051989E-6 | 3.051989E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7157355E-5 | 3.7157355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.715134E-4 | 3.815097E-4 | 1.026907 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.3065446E-7 | 5.3065446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2742315E-6 | 2.2742315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.7688422E-5 | 2.7688422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7685025E-4 | 2.8684747E-4 | 1.0361106 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6040865E-7 | 3.6040865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5446077E-6 | 1.5446077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.880544E-5 | 1.880544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8803896E-4 | 1.8803896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.121198E-8 | 7.121198E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051942E-7 | 3.051942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7157345E-6 | 3.7157345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7156882E-5 | 3.7156882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0385483E-5 | 5.0384875E-5 | 1.658189 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.302181E-4 | 1.902103E-4 | 1.4607054 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015844489 | 0.0021036249 | 1.3276699 | 5.2E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015751032 | 0.017335674 | 1.1006055 | 0.00161 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0385483E-5 | 5.0384875E-5 | 1.658189 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.302181E-4 | 1.902103E-4 | 1.4607054 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015844489 | 0.0021036249 | 1.3276699 | 5.2E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015751032 | 0.017335674 | 1.1006055 | 0.00161 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.610098E-5 | 2.6100819E-5 | 1.6210703 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.900293E-5 | 8.900155E-5 | 1.2898228 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3988556E-4 | 0.0011096587 | 1.3212024 | 2.7E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008376815 | 0.009120533 | 1.0887828 | 7.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.610098E-5 | 2.6100819E-5 | 1.6210703 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.900293E-5 | 8.900155E-5 | 1.2898228 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3988556E-4 | 0.0011096587 | 1.3212024 | 2.7E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008376815 | 0.009120533 | 1.0887828 | 7.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.50128535E-5 | 2.5012703E-5 | 1.6660858 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4339765E-5 | 7.433913E-5 | 1.1554148 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.831532E-4 | 0.0010229653 | 1.3062135 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.007813565 | 0.0085080955 | 1.0888878 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.50128535E-5 | 2.5012703E-5 | 1.6660858 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4339765E-5 | 7.433913E-5 | 1.1554148 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.831532E-4 | 0.0010229653 | 1.3062135 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.007813565 | 0.0085080955 | 1.0888878 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2858927E-5 | 2.2858798E-5 | 1.7776599 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5109063E-5 | 6.5108514E-5 | 1.1814483 | 1.0E-5 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7084207E-4 | 8.807012E-4 | 1.3128294 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006697565 | 0.007293546 | 1.0889848 | 6.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.8274E-6 | 1.9827303E-5 | 2.017553 | 1.0E-5 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2117263E-5 | 5.211684E-5 | 1.2374223 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.127476E-4 | 6.9265533E-4 | 1.3508699 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051245294 | 0.0056120185 | 1.0951285 | 4.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1756342E-6 | 1.1175623E-5 | 9.506038 | 1.0E-5 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.0384233E-6 | 1.5038373E-5 | 2.9847379 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.134119E-5 | 8.133996E-5 | 1.3260252 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.1325385E-4 | 6.4323546E-4 | 1.0488894 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.2845545E-7 | 9.2845545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9790893E-6 | 3.9790893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.8444406E-5 | 5.8443922E-5 | 1.2064122 | 1.0E-5 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8434545E-4 | 4.943406E-4 | 1.0206364 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7483915E-7 | 8.7483915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7493057E-6 | 3.7493057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5646906E-5 | 5.564645E-5 | 1.2190629 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5638197E-4 | 4.663774E-4 | 1.0219015 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.712193E-7 | 7.712193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3052218E-6 | 3.3052218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0240393E-5 | 5.023999E-5 | 1.2484965 | 1.0E-5 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.02337E-4 | 4.1233297E-4 | 1.0248448 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.589231E-7 | 7.589231E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2525238E-6 | 3.2525238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.9598817E-5 | 4.959842E-5 | 1.2525228 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9592356E-4 | 4.059196E-4 | 1.0252475 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.8973634E-7 | 6.8973634E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.95601E-6 | 2.95601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.5988884E-5 | 3.5988884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.598363E-4 | 3.598363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.19418E-7 | 6.19418E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.654646E-6 | 2.654646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2319895E-5 | 3.2319895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.231575E-4 | 3.231575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.349427E-7 | 5.349427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.29261E-6 | 2.29261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7912223E-5 | 2.7912223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.790925E-4 | 2.790925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.604147E-7 | 2.604147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160627E-6 | 1.1160627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3588007E-5 | 1.3588007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587458E-4 | 1.3587458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1081001E-5 | 1.1081001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7489208E-5 | 1.3748494E-4 | 2.8950775 | 9.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780405E-4 | 0.0011976821 | 2.0719693 | 6.2E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005766639 | 0.00734747 | 1.2741339 | 0.00159 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1081001E-5 | 1.1081001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7489208E-5 | 1.3748494E-4 | 2.8950775 | 9.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780405E-4 | 0.0011976821 | 2.0719693 | 6.2E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005766639 | 0.00734747 | 1.2741339 | 0.00159 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1081001E-5 | 1.1081001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7489208E-5 | 1.3748494E-4 | 2.8950775 | 9.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780405E-4 | 0.0011976821 | 2.0719693 | 6.2E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005766639 | 0.00734747 | 1.2741339 | 0.00159 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1081001E-5 | 1.1081001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7489208E-5 | 1.3748494E-4 | 2.8950775 | 9.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780405E-4 | 0.0011976821 | 2.0719693 | 6.2E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005766639 | 0.00734747 | 1.2741339 | 0.00159 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1081001E-5 | 1.1081001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7489208E-5 | 1.3748494E-4 | 2.8950775 | 9.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780405E-4 | 0.0011976821 | 2.0719693 | 6.2E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005766639 | 0.00734747 | 1.2741339 | 0.00159 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1081001E-5 | 1.1081001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7489208E-5 | 1.3748494E-4 | 2.8950775 | 9.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780405E-4 | 0.0011976821 | 2.0719693 | 6.2E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005766639 | 0.00734747 | 1.2741339 | 0.00159 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9365515E-6 | 6.9365515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9727757E-5 | 6.9726564E-5 | 2.3455038 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6187825E-4 | 7.117516E-4 | 1.9668261 | 3.5E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036131814 | 0.004549785 | 1.2592186 | 9.4E-4 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9365515E-6 | 6.9365515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9727757E-5 | 6.9726564E-5 | 2.3455038 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6187825E-4 | 7.117516E-4 | 1.9668261 | 3.5E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036131814 | 0.004549785 | 1.2592186 | 9.4E-4 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1801358E-6 | 5.1801358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2200398E-5 | 5.219973E-5 | 2.3512971 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.702575E-4 | 5.301872E-4 | 1.9617854 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0026994045 | 0.003437407 | 1.2733946 | 7.4E-4 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.253081E-6 | 4.253081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8227367E-5 | 4.8226822E-5 | 2.6458468 | 3.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2189633E-4 | 4.4184751E-4 | 1.991234 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022168201 | 0.0028753572 | 1.2970637 | 6.6E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.714527E-6 | 3.714527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5919308E-5 | 4.591883E-5 | 2.884474 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9380097E-4 | 3.9376222E-4 | 2.0317867 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019363826 | 0.0025452015 | 1.3144104 | 6.1E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1125317E-6 | 3.1125317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3339357E-5 | 4.3338958E-5 | 3.248954 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6239512E-4 | 3.3236752E-4 | 2.0466595 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016228207 | 0.0021020416 | 1.2953013 | 4.8E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6059638E-6 | 2.6059638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1168371E-5 | 4.1168038E-5 | 3.6861272 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3596694E-4 | 2.5595064E-4 | 1.8824475 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013588873 | 0.0017383709 | 1.2792605 | 3.8E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8288628E-6 | 1.8288628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.837962E-6 | 3.7837726E-5 | 4.827496 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.54233E-5 | 1.9541376E-4 | 2.047862 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013866565 | 9.5385214E-4 | 0.0012435755 | 1.3037404 | 2.9E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4368397E-6 | 1.4368397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.1578717E-6 | 6.1578717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.4969765E-5 | 1.2496601E-4 | 1.6668855 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001177395 | 7.494698E-4 | 9.293349E-4 | 1.2399898 | 1.8E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.357061E-7 | 7.357061E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1530224E-6 | 3.1530224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8387378E-5 | 6.838622E-5 | 1.7814769 | 3.0E-5 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.838079E-4 | 5.13758E-4 | 1.3385811 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.661944E-7 | 4.661944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9979743E-6 | 1.9979743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.432507E-5 | 4.4324584E-5 | 1.822177 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4322433E-4 | 3.4320002E-4 | 1.411043 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5591806E-7 | 1.5591806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.682201E-7 | 6.682201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.13555E-6 | 1.813547E-5 | 2.2291632 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.135264E-5 | 1.2134939E-4 | 1.4916465 | 4.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.763318E-4 | 7.063115E-4 | 1.0443269 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028954733 | 0.0029752417 | 1.0275494 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.034809835 | 0.035205565 | 1.0113683 | 4.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28715077 | 0.28804183 | 1.0031031 | 0.00125 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.763318E-4 | 7.063115E-4 | 1.0443269 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028954733 | 0.0029752417 | 1.0275494 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.034809835 | 0.035205565 | 1.0113683 | 4.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28715077 | 0.28804183 | 1.0031031 | 0.00125 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.763318E-4 | 7.063115E-4 | 1.0443269 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028954733 | 0.0029752417 | 1.0275494 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.034809835 | 0.035205565 | 1.0113683 | 4.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28715077 | 0.28804183 | 1.0031031 | 0.00125 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.763318E-4 | 7.063115E-4 | 1.0443269 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028954733 | 0.0029752417 | 1.0275494 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.034809835 | 0.035205565 | 1.0113683 | 4.1E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28715077 | 0.28804183 | 1.0031031 | 0.00125 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.334337E-4 | 4.6342073E-4 | 1.0691848 | 3.0E-5 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.001856279 | 0.001926149 | 1.0376399 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010316478 | 0.02237215 | 0.022724098 | 1.0157315 | 3.6E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.19763272 | 0.19849928 | 1.0043846 | 0.00108 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.890843E-4 | 2.990814E-4 | 1.034582 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012383471 | 0.0012882852 | 1.0403264 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.014973483 | 0.015259141 | 1.0190775 | 2.9E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13866335 | 0.13949884 | 1.0060253 | 9.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.890843E-4 | 2.990814E-4 | 1.034582 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012383471 | 0.0012882852 | 1.0403264 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.014973483 | 0.015259141 | 1.0190775 | 2.9E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13866335 | 0.13949884 | 1.0060253 | 9.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4487232E-4 | 2.548699E-4 | 1.0408276 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010490314 | 0.0010989789 | 1.047613 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012697467 | 0.012964038 | 1.0209941 | 2.7E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.119827196 | 0.120636955 | 1.0067577 | 9.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.4004445E-4 | 2.5004204E-4 | 1.041649 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010283568 | 0.0010783054 | 1.0485712 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012448649 | 0.0127152875 | 1.021419 | 2.7E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.117782384 | 0.11858521 | 1.0068161 | 9.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.337423E-4 | 2.4373997E-4 | 1.0427722 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4537184E-4 | 0.0010013686 | 0.0010513185 | 1.0498817 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012123764 | 0.012390491 | 1.0220003 | 2.7E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.115076795 | 0.11588208 | 1.0069977 | 9.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2743084E-4 | 2.3742855E-4 | 1.0439594 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.743399E-4 | 0.0010242912 | 1.0512668 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005285311 | 0.011798294 | 0.012065109 | 1.0226147 | 2.7E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.11233516 | 0.11314293 | 1.0071907 | 9.1E-4 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.2030735E-4 | 2.3030514E-4 | 1.0453812 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.438331E-4 | 9.937859E-4 | 1.0529255 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011430825 | 0.011697738 | 1.0233504 | 2.7E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.109215386 | 0.11000819 | 1.007259 | 8.9E-4 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1393E-4 | 2.2392787E-4 | 1.0467342 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.1652106E-4 | 9.664752E-4 | 1.0545042 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005018219 | 0.011101737 | 0.011368739 | 1.0240505 | 2.7E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.10640601 | 0.10720131 | 1.0074742 | 8.9E-4 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9617204E-4 | 2.0617008E-4 | 1.0509657 | 1.0E-5 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.404665E-4 | 8.904245E-4 | 1.0594407 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004746591 | 0.010184784 | 0.010442137 | 1.0252683 | 2.6E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.098593675 | 0.099386916 | 1.0080456 | 8.8E-4 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.8864141E-4 | 1.9863954E-4 | 1.0530006 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.082128E-4 | 8.5817237E-4 | 1.0618149 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009795695 | 0.010053148 | 1.0262823 | 2.6E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.09522193 | 0.096018136 | 1.0083616 | 8.8E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.819408E-4 | 1.9193899E-4 | 1.054953 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.795134E-4 | 8.294744E-4 | 1.0640926 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004516484 | 0.009449365 | 0.009706907 | 1.027255 | 2.6E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.09218029 | 0.092970096 | 1.008568 | 8.7E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.757977E-4 | 1.8579594E-4 | 1.0568736 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.5320125E-4 | 8.0316357E-4 | 1.0663333 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0044011753 | 0.0091317445 | 0.00938937 | 1.0282121 | 2.6E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.089331865 | 0.09011504 | 1.008767 | 8.6E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.710036E-4 | 1.8100189E-4 | 1.0584683 | 1.0E-5 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.3266675E-4 | 7.826301E-4 | 1.0681938 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004300386 | 0.008883804 | 0.0091414945 | 1.0290067 | 2.6E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.08707786 | 0.087862976 | 1.0090163 | 8.6E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5410404E-4 | 1.6410249E-4 | 1.0648812 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.602787E-4 | 7.002523E-4 | 1.0605404 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0038772223 | 0.008009314 | 0.008237471 | 1.0284866 | 2.3E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.07886064 | 0.07953307 | 1.0085268 | 7.3E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0093456E-4 | 1.1093355E-4 | 1.0990641 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.3250498E-4 | 4.62492E-4 | 1.0693333 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005253046 | 0.0054022577 | 1.0284048 | 1.5E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.052607328 | 0.05302418 | 1.0079238 | 4.4E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.457745E-5 | 5.457745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3388238E-4 | 2.4388004E-4 | 1.0427465 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028438016 | 0.0028936595 | 1.0175321 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.02908164 | 0.02920786 | 1.0043402 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9548539E-5 | 1.9548539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.3776766E-5 | 8.3776766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010195056 | 0.0010294953 | 1.0097986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.01092413 | 0.010943912 | 1.0018108 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.551756E-6 | 5.551756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.3793024E-5 | 2.3793024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.8964164E-4 | 2.8964164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0032905824 | 0.0032905824 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.808603E-7 | 7.808603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.074338E-5 | 4.074338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.8047924E-4 | 4.8047924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9555743E-4 | 2.0555547E-4 | 1.0511259 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3783426E-4 | 9.077756E-4 | 1.0834787 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0101530515 | 0.01054899 | 1.038997 | 4.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.099000715 | 0.10008191 | 1.0109211 | 0.0012 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9555743E-4 | 2.0555547E-4 | 1.0511259 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3783426E-4 | 9.077756E-4 | 1.0834787 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0101530515 | 0.01054899 | 1.038997 | 4.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.099000715 | 0.10008191 | 1.0109211 | 0.0012 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9555743E-4 | 2.0555547E-4 | 1.0511259 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3783426E-4 | 9.077756E-4 | 1.0834787 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0101530515 | 0.01054899 | 1.038997 | 4.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.099000715 | 0.10008191 | 1.0109211 | 0.0012 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9555743E-4 | 2.0555547E-4 | 1.0511259 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3783426E-4 | 9.077756E-4 | 1.0834787 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0101530515 | 0.01054899 | 1.038997 | 4.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.099000715 | 0.10008191 | 1.0109211 | 0.0012 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9555743E-4 | 2.0555547E-4 | 1.0511259 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3783426E-4 | 9.077756E-4 | 1.0834787 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0101530515 | 0.01054899 | 1.038997 | 4.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.099000715 | 0.10008191 | 1.0109211 | 0.0012 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9529465E-4 | 2.052927E-4 | 1.0511947 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.367088E-4 | 9.066502E-4 | 1.0835911 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010139477 | 0.010535422 | 1.0390497 | 4.0E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.09887851 | 0.09995985 | 1.0109361 | 0.0012 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9529465E-4 | 2.052927E-4 | 1.0511947 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.367088E-4 | 9.066502E-4 | 1.0835911 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010139477 | 0.010535422 | 1.0390497 | 4.0E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.09887851 | 0.09995985 | 1.0109361 | 0.0012 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.95194E-4 | 2.0519205E-4 | 1.0512211 | 1.0E-5 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.3627773E-4 | 9.062192E-4 | 1.0836343 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010134278 | 0.010530224 | 1.03907 | 4.0E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.09883151 | 0.09991292 | 1.0109419 | 0.0012 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9504518E-4 | 2.0504324E-4 | 1.0512601 | 1.0E-5 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.3564036E-4 | 9.055818E-4 | 1.0836982 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051248376 | 0.01012659 | 0.010522539 | 1.0390999 | 4.0E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.09876127 | 0.09984276 | 1.0109506 | 0.0012 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9472446E-4 | 2.0472251E-4 | 1.0513446 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.342667E-4 | 9.0420834E-4 | 1.0838361 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010110022 | 0.010505977 | 1.0391647 | 4.0E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.09861024 | 0.099691905 | 1.0109692 | 0.0012 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9403637E-4 | 2.0403444E-4 | 1.0515268 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.3131966E-4 | 9.0126146E-4 | 1.0841335 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005091073 | 0.010074473 | 0.010470443 | 1.0393043 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.09828596 | 0.09936801 | 1.0110092 | 0.0012 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.930511E-4 | 2.0304919E-4 | 1.0517898 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.270998E-4 | 8.970419E-4 | 1.0845631 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005055068 | 0.01002357 | 0.010419561 | 1.039506 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.097821824 | 0.09890444 | 1.0110672 | 0.0012 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9235726E-4 | 2.0235532E-4 | 1.0519766 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.241279E-4 | 8.9407025E-4 | 1.0848683 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0050299936 | 0.00998772 | 0.010383725 | 1.0396491 | 4.0E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.09749441 | 0.09857742 | 1.0111084 | 0.0012 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9188022E-4 | 2.018783E-4 | 1.0521059 | 1.0E-5 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.220848E-4 | 8.920272E-4 | 1.0850793 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009963073 | 0.010359088 | 1.0397483 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.09726707 | 0.098350346 | 1.0111371 | 0.0012 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.9127571E-4 | 2.012738E-4 | 1.0522705 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.194957E-4 | 8.894383E-4 | 1.0853484 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0049933824 | 0.009931838 | 0.010327865 | 1.0398746 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.09698384 | 0.09806746 | 1.0111732 | 0.0012 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.9073434E-4 | 2.0073244E-4 | 1.052419 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.17177E-4 | 8.871198E-4 | 1.0855907 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009903865 | 0.010299903 | 1.0399883 | 4.0E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.09672959 | 0.09781352 | 1.0112057 | 0.0012 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.872441E-4 | 1.9724223E-4 | 1.0533962 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0357444E-4 | 8.022281E-4 | 8.7217195E-4 | 1.0871869 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004902454 | 0.009723501 | 0.010119611 | 1.0407374 | 4.0E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.09510631 | 0.09619219 | 1.0114175 | 0.0012 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6160595E-4 | 1.7160432E-4 | 1.0618689 | 1.0E-5 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.924131E-4 | 7.623646E-4 | 1.1010257 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00427079 | 0.0083976025 | 0.008754579 | 1.0425094 | 3.6E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.082856454 | 0.08385614 | 1.0120653 | 0.00109 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4641749E-4 | 1.5641602E-4 | 1.0682878 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.273527E-4 | 6.6732755E-4 | 1.06372 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003794643 | 0.0076113115 | 0.007839561 | 1.0299882 | 2.3E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.07529156 | 0.0759666 | 1.0089656 | 7.3E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.0133717E-4 | 1.1133616E-4 | 1.0986705 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3422988E-4 | 4.6421686E-4 | 1.0690578 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028072202 | 0.005273945 | 0.005423154 | 1.0282917 | 1.5E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.05283702 | 0.053253774 | 1.0078875 | 4.4E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4768807E-5 | 5.4768807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3470235E-4 | 2.447E-4 | 1.0425972 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028537586 | 0.002903616 | 1.0174707 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.029197201 | 0.029323405 | 1.0043225 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9644443E-5 | 1.9644443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.4187755E-5 | 8.4187755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010245047 | 0.0010344944 | 1.0097508 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.010983018 | 0.011002799 | 1.001801 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5660976E-6 | 5.5660976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3854487E-5 | 2.3854487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9038975E-4 | 2.9038975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032986484 | 0.0032986484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.808603E-7 | 7.808603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.074338E-5 | 4.074338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.8047924E-4 | 4.8047924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5629335E-5 | 2.5629335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09835484E-4 | 1.698289E-4 | 1.5462116 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013364436 | 0.001735909 | 1.2989018 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01328996 | 0.014444411 | 1.0868664 | 0.00117 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5629335E-5 | 2.5629335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09835484E-4 | 1.698289E-4 | 1.5462116 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013364436 | 0.001735909 | 1.2989018 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01328996 | 0.014444411 | 1.0868664 | 0.00117 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5629335E-5 | 2.5629335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09835484E-4 | 1.698289E-4 | 1.5462116 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013364436 | 0.001735909 | 1.2989018 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01328996 | 0.014444411 | 1.0868664 | 0.00117 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5129275E-5 | 2.5129275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0769254E-4 | 1.5768716E-4 | 1.4642347 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013103848 | 0.0016699131 | 1.2743684 | 3.6E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013032447 | 0.014068763 | 1.0795182 | 0.00105 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5129275E-5 | 2.5129275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0769254E-4 | 1.5768716E-4 | 1.4642347 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013103848 | 0.0016699131 | 1.2743684 | 3.6E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013032447 | 0.014068763 | 1.0795182 | 0.00105 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.481844E-5 | 2.481844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0636051E-4 | 1.4635625E-4 | 1.3760394 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012941867 | 0.0016137725 | 1.2469395 | 3.2E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.01287235 | 0.013849607 | 1.075919 | 9.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3321747E-5 | 2.3321747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.994659E-5 | 1.399426E-4 | 1.4001738 | 4.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.001216185 | 0.0014958446 | 1.2299482 | 2.8E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012101053 | 0.013000041 | 1.07429 | 9.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2922268E-5 | 2.2922268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8234676E-5 | 1.3823074E-4 | 1.4071482 | 4.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011953654 | 0.0014750308 | 1.233958 | 2.8E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011895108 | 0.0127745215 | 1.0739306 | 8.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1815722E-5 | 2.1815722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.349268E-5 | 1.3348894E-4 | 1.427801 | 4.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011376931 | 0.0014073859 | 1.2370523 | 2.7E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011324307 | 0.012154795 | 1.0733367 | 8.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5309559E-5 | 1.5309559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.561078E-5 | 8.560947E-5 | 1.3048079 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.9852494E-4 | 9.983652E-4 | 1.2502618 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007958136 | 0.008523599 | 1.0710548 | 5.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3158512E-5 | 1.3158512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6392437E-5 | 7.639131E-5 | 1.3546375 | 2.0E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.863674E-4 | 8.462576E-4 | 1.2329513 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068436232 | 0.007240886 | 1.0580486 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0868354E-5 | 1.0868354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6577854E-5 | 4.6577854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.669421E-4 | 6.069194E-4 | 1.070514 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050568148 | 0.0056554037 | 0.005794612 | 1.024615 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0289147E-5 | 1.0289147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4095625E-5 | 4.4095625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.367362E-4 | 5.667201E-4 | 1.0558634 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053548305 | 0.005454295 | 1.0185747 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.810763E-6 | 9.810763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.204547E-5 | 4.204547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.117876E-4 | 5.417722E-4 | 1.058588 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.0051065166 | 0.005186108 | 1.0155863 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.70976E-6 | 9.70976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1612617E-5 | 4.1612617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0652004E-4 | 5.3650484E-4 | 1.0591977 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.005054082 | 0.0051336773 | 1.0157487 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.607386E-6 | 9.607386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1173884E-5 | 4.1173884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.0118094E-4 | 5.311659E-4 | 1.0598286 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.0050009326 | 0.0050805327 | 1.0159171 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.286416E-6 | 9.286416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.979834E-5 | 3.979834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8444126E-4 | 5.1442673E-4 | 1.061897 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.004834276 | 0.004893986 | 1.0123514 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.347432E-6 | 8.347432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5774243E-5 | 3.5774243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3546842E-4 | 4.5545973E-4 | 1.0459075 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043465565 | 0.0043863826 | 1.0091627 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6487262E-7 | 3.6487262E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5637388E-6 | 1.5637388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9038358E-5 | 1.9038358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9036772E-4 | 1.9036772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6699385E-9 | 2.6699385E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1442593E-8 | 1.1442593E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3931357E-7 | 1.3931357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3931357E-6 | 1.3931357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0378352E-5 | 4.0378352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7304007E-4 | 1.8303834E-4 | 1.05778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021049846 | 0.00243429 | 1.1564407 | 3.3E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020876396 | 0.021845728 | 1.046432 | 9.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0378352E-5 | 4.0378352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7304007E-4 | 1.8303834E-4 | 1.05778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021049846 | 0.00243429 | 1.1564407 | 3.3E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020876396 | 0.021845728 | 1.046432 | 9.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1066777E-5 | 2.1066777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.028364E-5 | 1.00282734E-4 | 1.110752 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010987511 | 0.0012585754 | 1.1454599 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.01094328 | 0.011437808 | 1.0451901 | 5.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1066777E-5 | 2.1066777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.028364E-5 | 1.00282734E-4 | 1.110752 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010987511 | 0.0012585754 | 1.1454599 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.01094328 | 0.011437808 | 1.0451901 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.957167E-5 | 1.957167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.387645E-5 | 9.387561E-5 | 1.119213 | 1.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.001020818 | 0.0011806546 | 1.156577 | 1.6E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.010171213 | 0.010646331 | 1.046712 | 4.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6842498E-5 | 1.6842498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.218066E-5 | 8.217994E-5 | 1.1385312 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.7853876E-4 | 0.0010383982 | 1.1819606 | 1.6E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008759859 | 0.009225742 | 1.0531838 | 4.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3728596E-5 | 1.3728596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.8836013E-5 | 6.883543E-5 | 1.169954 | 1.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.1618165E-4 | 8.360957E-4 | 1.1674353 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.007147435 | 0.007544576 | 1.0555642 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1537316E-5 | 1.1537316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9445192E-5 | 5.94447E-5 | 1.2022341 | 1.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.01916E-4 | 7.118498E-4 | 1.1826397 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.0060113897 | 0.0063493457 | 1.0562193 | 3.4E-4 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192919E-5 | 2.0192816E-5 | 1.9810632 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3683263E-5 | 7.368196E-5 | 1.6867318 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.317243E-4 | 8.215701E-4 | 1.5451055 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305548 | 0.006270402 | 1.1818575 | 9.7E-4 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192919E-5 | 2.0192816E-5 | 1.9810632 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3683263E-5 | 7.368196E-5 | 1.6867318 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.317243E-4 | 8.215701E-4 | 1.5451055 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305548 | 0.006270402 | 1.1818575 | 9.7E-4 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6966393E-6 | 1.4696592E-5 | 3.129172 | 1.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0128306E-5 | 4.0127903E-5 | 1.9936056 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4503583E-4 | 4.1499417E-4 | 1.6936061 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024477826 | 0.0029365832 | 1.1996912 | 4.9E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6966393E-6 | 1.4696592E-5 | 3.129172 | 1.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0128306E-5 | 4.0127903E-5 | 1.9936056 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4503583E-4 | 4.1499417E-4 | 1.6936061 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024477826 | 0.0029365832 | 1.1996912 | 4.9E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5101536E-6 | 1.3510119E-5 | 3.8488681 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5043433E-5 | 3.5043133E-5 | 2.3294637 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8313926E-4 | 2.8312093E-4 | 1.5459325 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018299662 | 0.0021893075 | 1.196365 | 3.6E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9280775E-6 | 1.2928048E-5 | 4.4152 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2548848E-5 | 3.2548596E-5 | 2.593752 | 2.0E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5277226E-4 | 2.1276309E-4 | 1.3926815 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015267462 | 0.0018163035 | 1.1896564 | 2.9E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3292534E-6 | 1.232923E-5 | 5.293211 | 1.0E-5 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.98248E-6 | 1.998238E-5 | 2.001745 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.21530546E-4 | 1.515269E-4 | 1.2468215 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012147026 | 0.0014244475 | 1.1726718 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9593028E-6 | 1.1959283E-5 | 6.1038465 | 1.0E-5 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.396988E-6 | 1.8396904E-5 | 2.1908932 | 1.0E-5 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222912E-4 | 1.3222605E-4 | 1.2934284 | 3.0E-5 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010218784 | 0.0011817149 | 1.1564144 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5439659E-6 | 1.1543951E-5 | 7.4768167 | 1.0E-5 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.616983E-6 | 1.6616917E-5 | 2.5112529 | 1.0E-5 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055931E-5 | 9.0558504E-5 | 1.1241221 | 1.0E-5 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.053522E-4 | 9.2525553E-4 | 1.1488831 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1406623E-7 | 7.1406623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0602819E-6 | 3.0602819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7258615E-5 | 3.7258615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7255493E-4 | 4.6252142E-4 | 1.2414851 | 9.0E-5 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3970504E-5 | 4.3970504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8843237E-4 | 1.8843237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022919225 | 0.0026111891 | 1.1393008 | 3.2E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022700869 | 0.02356089 | 1.0378851 | 8.8E-4 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3970504E-5 | 4.3970504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8843237E-4 | 1.8843237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022919225 | 0.0026111891 | 1.1393008 | 3.2E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022700869 | 0.02356089 | 1.0378851 | 8.8E-4 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3970504E-5 | 4.3970504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8843237E-4 | 1.8843237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022919225 | 0.0026111891 | 1.1393008 | 3.2E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022700869 | 0.02356089 | 1.0378851 | 8.8E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5356492E-5 | 2.5356492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0866627E-4 | 1.0866627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013222288 | 0.0014220966 | 1.0755299 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013145832 | 0.013461626 | 1.0240223 | 3.2E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5356492E-5 | 2.5356492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0866627E-4 | 1.0866627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013222288 | 0.0014220966 | 1.0755299 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013145832 | 0.013461626 | 1.0240223 | 3.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.066491E-5 | 2.066491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.8560955E-5 | 8.8560955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010777081 | 0.0011476326 | 1.0648826 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009036654 | 0.010726111 | 0.010943752 | 1.0202907 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7681523E-5 | 1.7681523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.57758E-5 | 7.57758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.221878E-4 | 9.921233E-4 | 1.0758364 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007902439 | 0.009184472 | 0.009352911 | 1.0183395 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5265648E-5 | 1.5265648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.54226E-5 | 6.54226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9623493E-4 | 8.661792E-4 | 1.0878438 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006928845 | 0.007934451 | 0.008083261 | 1.0187548 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3032466E-5 | 1.3032466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5852255E-5 | 5.5852255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.797933E-4 | 7.2975934E-4 | 1.0735018 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00599574 | 0.00677759 | 0.0068868445 | 1.01612 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1515697E-5 | 1.1515697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9352075E-5 | 4.9352075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006995E-4 | 6.5066945E-4 | 1.0831863 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.005991137 | 0.006090538 | 1.0165913 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.992067E-6 | 8.992067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8536873E-5 | 3.8536873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6908783E-4 | 5.0906907E-4 | 1.0852319 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.004681225 | 0.004750897 | 1.0148834 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5164803E-6 | 7.5164803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.22131E-5 | 3.22131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9212606E-4 | 4.321104E-4 | 1.101968 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.003914558 | 0.003984284 | 1.017812 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.280517E-6 | 6.280517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6916236E-5 | 2.6916236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2765788E-4 | 3.5764807E-4 | 1.0915289 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032719465 | 0.0033317502 | 1.0182778 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.7073513E-6 | 4.7073513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0174217E-5 | 2.0174217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4559523E-4 | 2.6559032E-4 | 1.0814148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024534191 | 0.0025032966 | 1.0203297 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.852203E-6 | 2.852203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223679E-5 | 1.2223679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4881478E-4 | 1.4881478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014873134 | 0.0014972986 | 1.0067135 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.563373E-8 | 4.563373E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9557312E-7 | 1.9557312E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3811006E-6 | 2.3811006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3810806E-5 | 2.3810806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894684E-6 | 3.894684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691421E-5 | 2.6691254E-5 | 1.5991001 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320347E-4 | 4.731486E-4 | 2.3284473 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030606 | 0.0028190017 | 1.3882564 | 7.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894684E-6 | 3.894684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691421E-5 | 2.6691254E-5 | 1.5991001 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320347E-4 | 4.731486E-4 | 2.3284473 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030606 | 0.0028190017 | 1.3882564 | 7.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894684E-6 | 3.894684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691421E-5 | 2.6691254E-5 | 1.5991001 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320347E-4 | 4.731486E-4 | 2.3284473 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030606 | 0.0028190017 | 1.3882564 | 7.9E-4 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894684E-6 | 3.894684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691421E-5 | 2.6691254E-5 | 1.5991001 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320347E-4 | 4.731486E-4 | 2.3284473 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030606 | 0.0028190017 | 1.3882564 | 7.9E-4 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894684E-6 | 3.894684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691421E-5 | 2.6691254E-5 | 1.5991001 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320347E-4 | 4.731486E-4 | 2.3284473 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030606 | 0.0028190017 | 1.3882564 | 7.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2031078E-6 | 1.2031078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1561665E-6 | 5.1561665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277464E-5 | 9.277276E-5 | 1.47787 | 3.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275808E-4 | 7.574992E-4 | 1.2070147 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2031078E-6 | 1.2031078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1561665E-6 | 5.1561665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277464E-5 | 9.277276E-5 | 1.47787 | 3.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275808E-4 | 7.574992E-4 | 1.2070147 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.411129E-7 | 8.411129E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.604765E-6 | 3.604765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3887187E-5 | 6.388631E-5 | 1.4556938 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.387909E-4 | 5.3874706E-4 | 1.2277989 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.3925614E-7 | 6.3925614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7396666E-6 | 2.7396666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.335497E-5 | 5.3354303E-5 | 1.5995908 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.3350344E-4 | 4.1347675E-4 | 1.2397976 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.345709E-7 | 5.345709E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2910162E-6 | 2.2910162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.78928E-5 | 4.789224E-5 | 1.7170109 | 2.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.788963E-4 | 3.388796E-4 | 1.2150737 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5327406E-7 | 3.5327406E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5140308E-6 | 1.5140308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8433178E-5 | 3.843281E-5 | 2.08498 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8431734E-4 | 2.2430996E-4 | 1.216977 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0005106E-7 | 3.0005106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2859325E-6 | 1.2859325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5656124E-5 | 3.5655812E-5 | 2.2774355 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5655096E-4 | 1.9654469E-4 | 1.2554679 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0220024E-7 | 2.0220024E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.665722E-7 | 8.665722E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.05504705E-5 | 3.0550258E-5 | 2.8956301 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.05500156E-4 | 1.4549594E-4 | 1.3791064 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0638276E-7 | 1.0638276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5592603E-7 | 4.5592603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.550887E-6 | 2.5550777E-5 | 4.6030073 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5507688E-5 | 8.550602E-5 | 1.5404357 | 3.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.173715E-4 | 3.2736835E-4 | 1.0314988 | 1.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013594606 | 0.0013994062 | 1.0293834 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016427329 | 0.016614208 | 1.0113761 | 1.9E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15079449 | 0.15132101 | 1.0034915 | 6.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.173715E-4 | 3.2736835E-4 | 1.0314988 | 1.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013594606 | 0.0013994062 | 1.0293834 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016427329 | 0.016614208 | 1.0113761 | 1.9E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15079449 | 0.15132101 | 1.0034915 | 6.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.173715E-4 | 3.2736835E-4 | 1.0314988 | 1.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013594606 | 0.0013994062 | 1.0293834 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016427329 | 0.016614208 | 1.0113761 | 1.9E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15079449 | 0.15132101 | 1.0034915 | 6.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0641313E-4 | 3.1641006E-4 | 1.0326257 | 1.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.001312544 | 0.0013524914 | 1.0304352 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.01586454 | 0.016051525 | 1.0117863 | 1.9E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.1461046 | 0.14663401 | 1.0036235 | 6.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0641313E-4 | 3.1641006E-4 | 1.0326257 | 1.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.001312544 | 0.0013524914 | 1.0304352 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.01586454 | 0.016051525 | 1.0117863 | 1.9E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.1461046 | 0.14663401 | 1.0036235 | 6.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.905482E-4 | 3.0054527E-4 | 1.0344077 | 1.0E-5 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012446175 | 0.0012845676 | 1.0320984 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015049187 | 0.015236327 | 1.0124353 | 1.9E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.13926533 | 0.13979037 | 1.0037701 | 6.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5491248E-4 | 2.6490993E-4 | 1.0392191 | 1.0E-5 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010920269 | 0.0011219942 | 1.0274419 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005788839 | 0.013215015 | 0.013392636 | 1.0134408 | 1.8E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.1235622 | 0.12407054 | 1.004114 | 5.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3625269E-4 | 2.4625033E-4 | 1.0423175 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.00101212 | 0.0010420897 | 1.0296108 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012253365 | 0.012431159 | 1.0145098 | 1.8E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.1153299 | 0.11584301 | 1.004449 | 5.8E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2149194E-4 | 2.3148973E-4 | 1.0451384 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.489065E-4 | 9.788781E-4 | 1.0315853 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011492007 | 0.011669938 | 1.015483 | 1.8E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.10874456 | 0.10925257 | 1.0046717 | 5.7E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1604224E-4 | 2.2604008E-4 | 1.0462773 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.255674E-4 | 9.5553964E-4 | 1.0323826 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011210808 | 0.01138879 | 1.0158759 | 1.8E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.106329076 | 0.10683847 | 1.0047907 | 5.7E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.09303E-4 | 2.1930091E-4 | 1.0477676 | 1.0E-5 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.9670514E-4 | 9.2667824E-4 | 1.0334258 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047382377 | 0.010862962 | 0.011041007 | 1.0163901 | 1.8E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.103294924 | 0.10380604 | 1.0049481 | 5.7E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0103931E-4 | 2.110373E-4 | 1.0497315 | 1.0E-5 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.613131E-4 | 8.912872E-4 | 1.0348005 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010436265 | 0.010614387 | 1.0170676 | 1.8E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.09960176 | 0.10008797 | 1.0048816 | 5.4E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8507679E-4 | 1.9507493E-4 | 1.0540216 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.9294527E-4 | 8.2292146E-4 | 1.0378036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009611482 | 0.009789752 | 1.0185477 | 1.8E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.09232472 | 0.09281486 | 1.0053089 | 5.4E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7448979E-4 | 1.8448805E-4 | 1.0573 | 1.0E-5 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.475992E-4 | 7.775767E-4 | 1.0400984 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009064115 | 0.009232573 | 1.0185853 | 1.7E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.08758465 | 0.08806823 | 1.0055213 | 5.3E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6667467E-4 | 1.76673E-4 | 1.0599871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.1412453E-4 | 7.441031E-4 | 1.0419794 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008659873 | 0.008828402 | 1.0194608 | 1.7E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.084034465 | 0.08451993 | 1.0057769 | 5.3E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5953516E-4 | 1.6953357E-4 | 1.0626721 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.8354304E-4 | 7.1352255E-4 | 1.043859 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003788775 | 0.008290439 | 0.00845903 | 1.0203356 | 1.7E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.0807453 | 0.08122331 | 1.00592 | 5.2E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5522348E-4 | 1.6522192E-4 | 1.0644132 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.650739E-4 | 6.9505395E-4 | 1.0450778 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008067265 | 0.008235894 | 1.0209029 | 1.7E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.07873109 | 0.07920094 | 1.0059677 | 5.1E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4428512E-4 | 1.5428368E-4 | 1.0692972 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.182183E-4 | 6.4819976E-4 | 1.0484966 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003495157 | 0.0075008716 | 0.0076695965 | 1.0224941 | 1.7E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.073550776 | 0.07402326 | 1.006424 | 5.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3306897E-4 | 1.4306763E-4 | 1.075139 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.7017093E-4 | 6.001538E-4 | 1.0525858 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0069197654 | 0.007088589 | 1.0243973 | 1.7E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.06818765 | 0.068662874 | 1.0069693 | 5.1E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.806052E-5 | 1.0805953E-4 | 1.1019678 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.2019167E-4 | 4.5017907E-4 | 1.071366 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0051038438 | 0.0052530784 | 1.0292397 | 1.5E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.051034477 | 0.05145202 | 1.0081816 | 4.4E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3789874E-5 | 5.3789874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.3050766E-4 | 2.4050537E-4 | 1.0433725 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0028028209 | 0.0028526809 | 1.0177891 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.028598139 | 0.02872442 | 1.0044158 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.9051051E-5 | 1.9051051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.164481E-5 | 8.164481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.935729E-4 | 0.0010035629 | 1.0100547 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010602049 | 0.010621837 | 1.0018665 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.2386067E-6 | 5.2386067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2450979E-5 | 2.2450979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.7330648E-4 | 2.7330648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0030872403 | 0.0030872403 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.808603E-7 | 7.808603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.074338E-5 | 4.074338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.8047924E-4 | 4.8047924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6697952E-5 | 2.6697784E-5 | 1.5988659 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.156082E-5 | 8.15601E-5 | 1.1397313 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7092834E-4 | 0.001030789 | 1.183552 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008677532 | 0.009242585 | 1.0651169 | 5.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6697952E-5 | 2.6697784E-5 | 1.5988659 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.156082E-5 | 8.15601E-5 | 1.1397313 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7092834E-4 | 0.001030789 | 1.183552 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008677532 | 0.009242585 | 1.0651169 | 5.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6697952E-5 | 2.6697784E-5 | 1.5988659 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.156082E-5 | 8.15601E-5 | 1.1397313 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7092834E-4 | 0.001030789 | 1.183552 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008677532 | 0.009242585 | 1.0651169 | 5.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.189092E-5 | 2.18908E-5 | 1.8409678 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0960127E-5 | 6.0959617E-5 | 1.1962218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2026887E-4 | 6.902254E-4 | 1.1127843 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061859847 | 0.0064046234 | 1.0353442 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.189092E-5 | 2.18908E-5 | 1.8409678 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0960127E-5 | 6.0959617E-5 | 1.1962218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2026887E-4 | 6.902254E-4 | 1.1127843 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061859847 | 0.0064046234 | 1.0353442 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.062203E-5 | 2.0621923E-5 | 1.9414296 | 1.0E-5 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.5522218E-5 | 5.5521763E-5 | 1.2196629 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.54097E-4 | 6.1406376E-4 | 1.1082243 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055276537 | 0.0056569353 | 1.0233881 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.161307E-6 | 1.9161216E-5 | 2.0915372 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.9262177E-5 | 4.9261784E-5 | 1.254688 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.779161E-4 | 5.1789696E-4 | 1.0836567 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0041158604 | 0.00476928 | 0.0048488984 | 1.0166941 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.408895E-6 | 1.8408811E-5 | 2.1892068 | 1.0E-5 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6037647E-5 | 4.6037287E-5 | 1.2774776 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3867368E-4 | 4.7865612E-4 | 1.091144 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003753043 | 0.004378447 | 0.00444814 | 1.0159174 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.843716E-6 | 1.7843638E-5 | 2.274896 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3615514E-5 | 4.361518E-5 | 1.2974716 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0919558E-4 | 4.4917924E-4 | 1.0977128 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.004084779 | 0.004144534 | 1.0146286 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1320496E-6 | 7.1320496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.056559E-5 | 3.056559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7207588E-4 | 4.0206473E-4 | 1.0805987 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037148676 | 0.003744756 | 1.0080457 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0814306E-6 | 5.0814306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1777387E-5 | 2.1777387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.6510895E-4 | 2.8510366E-4 | 1.0754207 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.00264808 | 0.002668027 | 1.0075326 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.632913E-6 | 4.632913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9855197E-5 | 1.9855197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4171174E-4 | 2.617069E-4 | 1.0827231 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019638946 | 0.002414639 | 0.0024345908 | 1.0082628 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.157691E-6 | 4.157691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7818562E-5 | 1.7818562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1692089E-4 | 2.3691654E-4 | 1.0921795 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021672398 | 0.0021871964 | 1.0092083 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6299864E-6 | 3.6299864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5557E-5 | 1.5557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8939149E-4 | 1.993896E-4 | 1.0527906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018924462 | 0.0019024273 | 1.0052742 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8893596E-6 | 2.8893596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.23829195E-5 | 1.23829195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5075305E-4 | 1.6075154E-4 | 1.0663236 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015066493 | 0.0015166342 | 1.0066272 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5136467E-6 | 1.5136467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.487048E-6 | 6.487048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.89782E-5 | 7.89782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.8962394E-4 | 7.8962394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.604147E-7 | 2.604147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160627E-6 | 1.1160627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3588007E-5 | 1.3588007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587458E-4 | 1.3587458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2103526E-5 | 2.2103526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.472672E-5 | 1.04725776E-4 | 1.1055568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011528227 | 0.0013026497 | 1.1299654 | 1.5E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011481743 | 0.011936462 | 1.0396036 | 4.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2103526E-5 | 2.2103526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.472672E-5 | 1.04725776E-4 | 1.1055568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011528227 | 0.0013026497 | 1.1299654 | 1.5E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011481743 | 0.011936462 | 1.0396036 | 4.6E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1258916E-5 | 1.1258916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.82519E-5 | 5.8251415E-5 | 1.2072357 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.873606E-4 | 6.673136E-4 | 1.1361226 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0052028033 | 0.0058631897 | 0.006111724 | 1.0423889 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0801494E-5 | 1.0801494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.629159E-5 | 5.6291126E-5 | 1.216012 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6350627E-4 | 6.434612E-4 | 1.1418883 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056258664 | 0.005864516 | 1.0424201 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0801494E-5 | 1.0801494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.629159E-5 | 5.6291126E-5 | 1.216012 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6350627E-4 | 6.434612E-4 | 1.1418883 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056258664 | 0.005864516 | 1.0424201 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2875047E-6 | 6.2875047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6946322E-5 | 3.6946054E-5 | 1.3710982 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2804898E-4 | 3.880293E-4 | 1.1828395 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0028957394 | 0.003278285 | 0.0034477278 | 1.0516864 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.514961E-6 | 5.514961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3635479E-5 | 3.3635242E-5 | 1.4230827 | 1.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8775018E-4 | 3.4773292E-4 | 1.2084543 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028763462 | 0.0030358862 | 1.0554662 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5172833E-6 | 4.5172833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9359784E-5 | 2.9359591E-5 | 1.5165247 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3570537E-4 | 2.856936E-4 | 1.2120792 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023570538 | 0.002476771 | 1.050791 | 1.2E-4 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0091533E-4 | 3.0091533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012890259 | 0.0013090001 | 1.0154955 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.01558593 | 0.015713904 | 1.0082109 | 1.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.1432102 | 0.14351866 | 1.0021538 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0091533E-4 | 3.0091533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012890259 | 0.0013090001 | 1.0154955 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.01558593 | 0.015713904 | 1.0082109 | 1.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.1432102 | 0.14351866 | 1.0021538 | 3.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0091533E-4 | 3.0091533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012890259 | 0.0013090001 | 1.0154955 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.01558593 | 0.015713904 | 1.0082109 | 1.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.1432102 | 0.14351866 | 1.0021538 | 3.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8878928E-4 | 2.8878928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012371071 | 0.0012570823 | 1.0161468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014962618 | 0.015090673 | 1.0085583 | 1.3E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13792342 | 0.13823377 | 1.0022502 | 3.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8878928E-4 | 2.8878928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012371071 | 0.0012570823 | 1.0161468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014962618 | 0.015090673 | 1.0085583 | 1.3E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13792342 | 0.13823377 | 1.0022502 | 3.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6890213E-4 | 2.6890213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011519536 | 0.0011719306 | 1.0173419 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013939476 | 0.014067663 | 1.009196 | 1.3E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.1292026 | 0.1295161 | 1.0024263 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5133646E-4 | 2.5133646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010767353 | 0.0010867246 | 1.0092773 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.013034834 | 0.01315327 | 1.0090861 | 1.2E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.121355705 | 0.12166323 | 1.002534 | 3.5E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3202866E-4 | 2.3202866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.940519E-4 | 0.001004042 | 1.0100498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.01203952 | 0.012158074 | 1.0098472 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.11270812 | 0.1130098 | 1.0026766 | 3.4E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2762059E-4 | 2.2762059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.751744E-4 | 9.851647E-4 | 1.0102446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.011812193 | 0.011930776 | 1.010039 | 1.2E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.110711694 | 0.111014046 | 1.0027311 | 3.4E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7139417E-4 | 1.7139417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.343405E-4 | 7.4433314E-4 | 1.0136076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.0089041535 | 0.009023085 | 1.0133568 | 1.2E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.08451004 | 0.08481216 | 1.0035748 | 3.3E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6567636E-4 | 1.6567636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.098491E-4 | 7.1984204E-4 | 1.0140775 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008608363 | 0.00872733 | 1.0138199 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.081825376 | 0.082128376 | 1.003703 | 3.3E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5985253E-4 | 1.5985253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.849031E-4 | 6.9489627E-4 | 1.0145906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008306996 | 0.008425999 | 1.0143256 | 1.2E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.07911957 | 0.07940505 | 1.0036081 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4590108E-4 | 1.4590108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.251409E-4 | 6.3513464E-4 | 1.0159864 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.007584634 | 0.007693799 | 1.014393 | 1.1E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.07256349 | 0.072841726 | 1.0038344 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3782637E-4 | 1.3782637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.9055106E-4 | 6.0054514E-4 | 1.0169233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.007166343 | 0.007265626 | 1.0138541 | 1.0E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.06883803 | 0.06910806 | 1.0039228 | 2.9E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3189387E-4 | 1.3189387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.651373E-4 | 5.751316E-4 | 1.0176848 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.0068589193 | 0.006958233 | 1.0144795 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.06608479 | 0.06635562 | 1.0040983 | 2.9E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2423217E-4 | 1.2423217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.323153E-4 | 5.4230995E-4 | 1.0187758 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.006461752 | 0.006561106 | 1.0153757 | 1.0E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.06247893 | 0.062741436 | 1.0042015 | 2.8E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.896081E-5 | 9.896081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.2404892E-4 | 4.3404466E-4 | 1.0235722 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0051506 | 0.005250085 | 1.0193152 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.050289597 | 0.05054602 | 1.0050989 | 2.7E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.305614E-5 | 8.305614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5590635E-4 | 3.6590282E-4 | 1.0280873 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.0043245596 | 0.0044241273 | 1.0230237 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.042526137 | 0.042784654 | 1.0060791 | 2.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.5163094E-5 | 7.5163094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.220878E-4 | 3.320846E-4 | 1.0310374 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0039143744 | 0.004013983 | 1.0254469 | 1.0E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.03867635 | 0.03893591 | 1.006711 | 2.7E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.8323218E-5 | 5.8323218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4993272E-4 | 2.599302E-4 | 1.0400008 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030386879 | 0.0031184447 | 1.0262471 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011140184 | 0.030355671 | 0.030588385 | 1.0076662 | 2.4E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1568103E-5 | 3.1568103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3528486E-4 | 1.4528351E-4 | 1.0739081 | 1.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016458498 | 0.0016957675 | 1.0303295 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01663909 | 0.016717758 | 1.004728 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.915485E-6 | 7.915485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.392307E-5 | 3.392307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.1293522E-4 | 4.2293107E-4 | 1.0242069 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002563781 | 0.004431343 | 0.004441299 | 1.0022466 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.949789E-6 | 2.949789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2641892E-5 | 1.2641892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5390421E-4 | 1.5390421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017276118 | 0.0017276118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2664715E-7 | 3.2664715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3999157E-6 | 1.3999157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.7043852E-5 | 1.7043852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.0193194E-4 | 2.0193194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.878206E-5 | 1.878206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.0492726E-5 | 1.10490306E-4 | 1.3726745 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.796758E-4 | 0.0010795778 | 1.1019746 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009765121 | 0.010091899 | 1.0334637 | 3.3E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0976473E-5 | 1.0976473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7041583E-5 | 6.7040644E-5 | 1.4251357 | 2.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7265174E-4 | 6.4261165E-4 | 1.1221683 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005718723 | 0.0059175794 | 1.0347729 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0976473E-5 | 1.0976473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7041583E-5 | 6.7040644E-5 | 1.4251357 | 2.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7265174E-4 | 6.4261165E-4 | 1.1221683 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005718723 | 0.0059175794 | 1.0347729 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7792087E-6 | 4.7792087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0482294E-5 | 3.0482088E-5 | 1.4882166 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4936642E-4 | 2.6936142E-4 | 1.0801833 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024931254 | 0.002562951 | 1.0280071 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7792087E-6 | 4.7792087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0482294E-5 | 3.0482088E-5 | 1.4882166 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4936642E-4 | 2.6936142E-4 | 1.0801833 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024931254 | 0.002562951 | 1.0280071 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7792087E-6 | 4.7792087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0482294E-5 | 3.0482088E-5 | 1.4882166 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4936642E-4 | 2.6936142E-4 | 1.0801833 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024931254 | 0.002562951 | 1.0280071 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.762073E-6 | 4.762073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0408854E-5 | 3.040865E-5 | 1.4899734 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4847253E-4 | 2.6846756E-4 | 1.0804718 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024842063 | 0.0025540325 | 1.028108 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.2721113E-6 | 4.2721113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8309049E-5 | 2.8308865E-5 | 1.546168 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2291267E-4 | 2.4290821E-4 | 1.0897013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022291266 | 0.0022989707 | 1.0313324 | 7.0E-5 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8105688E-5 | 1.8105688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.759361E-5 | 7.759361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4431354E-4 | 0.0010142474 | 1.0740579 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.00940513 | 0.009662684 | 1.0273845 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8105688E-5 | 1.8105688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.759361E-5 | 7.759361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4431354E-4 | 0.0010142474 | 1.0740579 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.00940513 | 0.009662684 | 1.0273845 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8105688E-5 | 1.8105688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.759361E-5 | 7.759361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4431354E-4 | 0.0010142474 | 1.0740579 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.00940513 | 0.009662684 | 1.0273845 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1136552E-5 | 1.1136552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772722E-5 | 4.772722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.809268E-4 | 6.408919E-4 | 1.1032232 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005794378 | 0.005953451 | 1.027453 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1136552E-5 | 1.1136552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772722E-5 | 4.772722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.809268E-4 | 6.408919E-4 | 1.1032232 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005794378 | 0.005953451 | 1.027453 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.171115E-6 | 9.171115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9304196E-5 | 3.9304196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7842506E-4 | 5.184059E-4 | 1.0835676 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004774115 | 0.0048736376 | 1.0208462 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.716306E-6 | 7.716306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.306947E-5 | 3.306947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.0254745E-4 | 4.4253134E-4 | 1.0993272 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.0040182895 | 0.004117888 | 1.0247862 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.7387023E-6 | 6.7387023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8879838E-5 | 2.8879838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5155608E-4 | 3.91542E-4 | 1.1137398 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.003510081 | 0.003599765 | 1.0255505 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.836578E-6 | 5.836578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.501367E-5 | 2.501367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.0449947E-4 | 3.3449032E-4 | 1.0984924 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003040884 | 0.0031206408 | 1.0262282 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.039992E-6 | 5.039992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.159979E-5 | 2.159979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6294615E-4 | 2.8294092E-4 | 1.0760412 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.002626398 | 0.0026862405 | 1.022785 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.845573E-6 | 3.845573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6480923E-5 | 1.6480923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0063708E-4 | 2.2063307E-4 | 1.0996624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0020045908 | 0.0020445106 | 1.0199142 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.898123E-6 | 2.898123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.242047E-5 | 1.242047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5120894E-4 | 1.7120592E-4 | 1.1322473 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.001511082 | 0.0015510216 | 1.0264311 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2542215E-6 | 2.2542215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.660915E-6 | 9.660915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1761547E-4 | 1.2761429E-4 | 1.0850128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011755504 | 0.0012055151 | 1.0254899 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5423542E-6 | 1.5423542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6100733E-6 | 6.6100733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.047483E-5 | 8.047483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.0447196E-4 | 8.2445587E-4 | 1.0248411 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.411307E-7 | 4.411307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8905591E-6 | 1.8905591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.301736E-5 | 2.301736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3015428E-4 | 2.3015428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9421613E-8 | 5.9421613E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5466403E-7 | 2.5466403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1005309E-6 | 3.1005309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1004955E-5 | 3.1004955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8675355E-5 | 1.8675355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.003482E-5 | 8.003482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7399595E-4 | 0.0010738985 | 1.1025698 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0096981255 | 0.009935797 | 1.024507 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8675355E-5 | 1.8675355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.003482E-5 | 8.003482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7399595E-4 | 0.0010738985 | 1.1025698 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0096981255 | 0.009935797 | 1.024507 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8675355E-5 | 1.8675355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.003482E-5 | 8.003482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7399595E-4 | 0.0010738985 | 1.1025698 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0096981255 | 0.009935797 | 1.024507 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8675355E-5 | 1.8675355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.003482E-5 | 8.003482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7399595E-4 | 0.0010738985 | 1.1025698 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0096981255 | 0.009935797 | 1.024507 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7342936E-5 | 1.7342936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.432479E-5 | 7.432479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.045347E-4 | 9.944533E-4 | 1.0994086 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009009215 | 0.009217324 | 1.0230994 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7342936E-5 | 1.7342936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.432479E-5 | 7.432479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.045347E-4 | 9.944533E-4 | 1.0994086 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009009215 | 0.009217324 | 1.0230994 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6813725E-5 | 1.6813725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.2056864E-5 | 7.2056864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.769451E-4 | 9.568749E-4 | 1.0911458 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00781795 | 0.008735501 | 0.008923842 | 1.0215603 | 1.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6360476E-5 | 1.6360476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.0114475E-5 | 7.0114475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.533152E-4 | 9.13264E-4 | 1.070254 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007607299 | 0.008501024 | 0.0086695785 | 1.0198276 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5886384E-5 | 1.5886384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.808276E-5 | 6.808276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.28598E-4 | 8.8854827E-4 | 1.0723515 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007386771 | 0.008255701 | 0.00841438 | 1.0192206 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5408805E-5 | 1.5408805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.60361E-5 | 6.60361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.036984E-4 | 8.636501E-4 | 1.0745949 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008008514 | 0.008157312 | 1.0185801 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5192312E-5 | 1.5192312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.510832E-5 | 6.510832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.924109E-4 | 8.5236336E-4 | 1.0756583 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.007896447 | 0.008045262 | 1.0188459 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4985444E-5 | 1.4985444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.4221786E-5 | 6.4221786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8162516E-4 | 8.315861E-4 | 1.0639193 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.0077893496 | 0.007928259 | 1.0178332 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.468359E-5 | 1.468359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.2928186E-5 | 6.2928186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.658868E-4 | 8.1584847E-4 | 1.0652338 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.007633057 | 0.007752141 | 1.015601 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4457762E-5 | 1.4457762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.1960396E-5 | 6.1960396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.5411214E-4 | 8.040744E-4 | 1.0662532 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.0075161126 | 0.007625286 | 1.0145252 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.42877025E-5 | 1.42877025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.12316E-5 | 6.12316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.452452E-4 | 7.952079E-4 | 1.067042 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.00742804 | 0.0075372225 | 1.0146987 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4015882E-5 | 1.4015882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.006671E-5 | 6.006671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.310723E-4 | 7.8103575E-4 | 1.0683427 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.007287249 | 0.0073964475 | 1.0149848 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2651644E-5 | 1.2651644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4220236E-5 | 5.4220236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.5993675E-4 | 7.099038E-4 | 1.0757148 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.0065803225 | 0.0066597965 | 1.0120775 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0286198E-5 | 1.0286198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.408299E-5 | 4.408299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3658325E-4 | 5.665672E-4 | 1.0558794 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005353388 | 0.00540312 | 1.0092899 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6487262E-7 | 3.6487262E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5637388E-6 | 1.5637388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9038358E-5 | 1.9038358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9036772E-4 | 1.9036772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6699385E-9 | 2.6699385E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1442593E-8 | 1.1442593E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3931357E-7 | 1.3931357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3931357E-6 | 1.3931357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9773705E-6 | 6.9773705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9902876E-5 | 3.9902578E-5 | 1.334406 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6404256E-4 | 4.1402434E-4 | 1.1372966 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036379788 | 0.0038472149 | 1.0575143 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9773705E-6 | 6.9773705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9902876E-5 | 3.9902578E-5 | 1.334406 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6404256E-4 | 4.1402434E-4 | 1.1372966 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036379788 | 0.0038472149 | 1.0575143 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9773705E-6 | 6.9773705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9902876E-5 | 3.9902578E-5 | 1.334406 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6404256E-4 | 4.1402434E-4 | 1.1372966 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036379788 | 0.0038472149 | 1.0575143 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9773705E-6 | 6.9773705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9902876E-5 | 3.9902578E-5 | 1.334406 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6404256E-4 | 4.1402434E-4 | 1.1372966 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036379788 | 0.0038472149 | 1.0575143 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9773705E-6 | 6.9773705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9902876E-5 | 3.9902578E-5 | 1.334406 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6404256E-4 | 4.1402434E-4 | 1.1372966 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036379788 | 0.0038472149 | 1.0575143 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9773705E-6 | 6.9773705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9902876E-5 | 3.9902578E-5 | 1.334406 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6404256E-4 | 4.1402434E-4 | 1.1372966 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036379788 | 0.0038472149 | 1.0575143 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6153083E-6 | 1.6153083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9227317E-6 | 1.6922662E-5 | 2.4445064 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.428103E-5 | 1.3427682E-4 | 1.5932033 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013833415 | 8.4249413E-4 | 0.0010023593 | 1.1897523 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5506372E-6 | 1.5506372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.6455714E-6 | 1.6645505E-5 | 2.5047514 | 1.0E-5 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.090686E-5 | 1.3090282E-4 | 1.6179446 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013506424 | 8.08777E-4 | 9.686476E-4 | 1.1976695 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5474353E-6 | 1.5474353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.631849E-6 | 1.6631782E-5 | 2.5078652 | 1.0E-5 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.0739796E-5 | 1.3073576E-4 | 1.6192232 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013481114 | 8.071076E-4 | 9.669785E-4 | 1.1980788 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4224988E-6 | 1.4224988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.0964094E-6 | 1.6096348E-5 | 2.6402998 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.422128E-5 | 1.1421831E-4 | 1.538889 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012818627 | 7.419668E-4 | 8.81863E-4 | 1.1885477 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3994605E-6 | 1.3994605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.9976746E-6 | 1.5997615E-5 | 2.6673028 | 1.0E-5 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.3019255E-5 | 1.1301634E-4 | 1.5477607 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012692984 | 7.2995457E-4 | 8.698524E-4 | 1.1916528 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3344039E-6 | 1.3344039E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.7188613E-6 | 1.5718804E-5 | 2.7485898 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.9624926E-5 | 1.09622146E-4 | 1.5744668 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012333926 | 6.9603283E-4 | 8.359354E-4 | 1.201 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2507E-6 | 1.2507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.3601325E-6 | 1.536008E-5 | 2.8656156 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.525767E-5 | 1.05255065E-4 | 1.6129148 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011848784 | 6.523866E-4 | 7.9229526E-4 | 1.2144567 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1423749E-6 | 1.1423749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.895883E-6 | 1.4895834E-5 | 3.0425224 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.960576E-5 | 9.960338E-5 | 1.6710361 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001115068 | 5.958989E-4 | 7.358155E-4 | 1.2347991 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.579064E-7 | 9.579064E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.105307E-6 | 4.105307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.9980972E-5 | 7.997947E-5 | 1.6001984 | 3.0E-5 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.99698E-4 | 6.29633E-4 | 1.2600272 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.563288E-7 | 7.563288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.241405E-6 | 3.241405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9463397E-5 | 6.9462214E-5 | 1.7601681 | 3.0E-5 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9456435E-4 | 5.245131E-4 | 1.3293473 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.661944E-7 | 4.661944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9979743E-6 | 1.9979743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.432507E-5 | 4.4324584E-5 | 1.822177 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4322433E-4 | 3.4320002E-4 | 1.411043 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5591806E-7 | 1.5591806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.682201E-7 | 6.682201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.13555E-6 | 1.813547E-5 | 2.2291632 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.135264E-5 | 1.2134939E-4 | 1.4916465 | 4.0E-5 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1711568E-5 | 2.1711568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.304667E-5 | 1.0304574E-4 | 1.107463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011323265 | 0.0011822699 | 1.0441068 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011272751 | 0.011480384 | 1.018419 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1711568E-5 | 2.1711568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.304667E-5 | 1.0304574E-4 | 1.107463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011323265 | 0.0011822699 | 1.0441068 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011272751 | 0.011480384 | 1.018419 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1711568E-5 | 2.1711568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.304667E-5 | 1.0304574E-4 | 1.107463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011323265 | 0.0011822699 | 1.0441068 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011272751 | 0.011480384 | 1.018419 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6824411E-5 | 1.6824411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.210297E-5 | 8.210225E-5 | 1.1386806 | 1.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7756134E-4 | 9.07535E-4 | 1.0341556 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008747008 | 0.00887587 | 1.0147322 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6824411E-5 | 1.6824411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.210297E-5 | 8.210225E-5 | 1.1386806 | 1.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7756134E-4 | 9.07535E-4 | 1.0341556 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008747008 | 0.00887587 | 1.0147322 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5561456E-5 | 1.5561456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.669059E-5 | 7.6689925E-5 | 1.1499362 | 1.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.117158E-4 | 8.4169145E-4 | 1.0369288 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008093455 | 0.008202565 | 1.0134813 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4774881E-5 | 1.4774881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.331972E-5 | 7.331908E-5 | 1.1579187 | 1.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.707049E-4 | 8.0068177E-4 | 1.0388954 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076862276 | 0.007785459 | 1.0129102 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4284924E-5 | 1.4284924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.122E-5 | 7.121939E-5 | 1.1633353 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.451584E-4 | 7.7513605E-4 | 1.0402299 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.007432478 | 0.0075317346 | 1.0133544 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.225754E-6 | 6.225754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.66817E-5 | 2.66817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.248313E-4 | 3.248313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029673933 | 0.003246507 | 0.0032564744 | 1.0030702 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7940844E-6 | 4.7940844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0546076E-5 | 2.0546076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5014847E-4 | 2.5014847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002285778 | 0.002501485 | 0.0025114599 | 1.0039877 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0224464E-4 | 2.0224464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6647586E-4 | 8.6647586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010498604 | 0.010557974 | 1.005655 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10209795 | 0.102268554 | 1.001671 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0224464E-4 | 2.0224464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6647586E-4 | 8.6647586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010498604 | 0.010557974 | 1.005655 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10209795 | 0.102268554 | 1.001671 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0224464E-4 | 2.0224464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6647586E-4 | 8.6647586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010498604 | 0.010557974 | 1.005655 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10209795 | 0.102268554 | 1.001671 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0224464E-4 | 2.0224464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6647586E-4 | 8.6647586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010498604 | 0.010557974 | 1.005655 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10209795 | 0.102268554 | 1.001671 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8578598E-4 | 1.8578598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.959829E-4 | 7.959829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047704205 | 0.00964815 | 0.009667957 | 1.0020529 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09443592 | 0.09455365 | 1.0012466 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8578598E-4 | 1.8578598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.959829E-4 | 7.959829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047704205 | 0.00964815 | 0.009667957 | 1.0020529 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09443592 | 0.09455365 | 1.0012466 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8385253E-4 | 1.8385253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.8770175E-4 | 7.8770175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009548212 | 0.009568022 | 1.0020746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.093532145 | 0.09364998 | 1.0012599 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8299464E-4 | 1.8299464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.840273E-4 | 7.840273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00467679 | 0.009503867 | 0.009523677 | 1.0020844 | 2.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.09312612 | 0.093244016 | 1.001266 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.82461E-4 | 1.82461E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.817415E-4 | 7.817415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004657841 | 0.00947628 | 0.009496091 | 1.0020906 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.092873074 | 0.092991 | 1.0012698 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.8127837E-4 | 1.8127837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.766762E-4 | 7.766762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004611638 | 0.009415144 | 0.009434956 | 1.0021043 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.0923123 | 0.0924303 | 1.0012783 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7966273E-4 | 1.7966273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.697561E-4 | 7.697561E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004551957 | 0.009331617 | 0.0093514295 | 1.0021232 | 2.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.09154516 | 0.09166326 | 1.0012901 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7877997E-4 | 1.7877997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.659751E-4 | 7.659751E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009285975 | 0.00930579 | 1.0021337 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09112593 | 0.09123499 | 1.0011969 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7768375E-4 | 1.7768375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.612798E-4 | 7.612798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009229296 | 0.009249111 | 1.002147 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.09060563 | 0.09071476 | 1.0012044 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7710112E-4 | 1.7710112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.587842E-4 | 7.587842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009199169 | 0.009218985 | 1.0021541 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.09032571 | 0.09043487 | 1.0012085 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.7672523E-4 | 1.7672523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.571742E-4 | 7.571742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004447999 | 0.009179733 | 0.009199549 | 1.0021588 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.09014526 | 0.09025444 | 1.0012112 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.754126E-4 | 1.754126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.515519E-4 | 7.515519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009111856 | 0.009131674 | 1.002175 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.08952057 | 0.08962984 | 1.0012205 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6984239E-4 | 1.6984239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.276931E-4 | 7.276931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008823764 | 0.008843587 | 1.0022466 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.08688739 | 0.086996965 | 1.0012611 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4334435E-4 | 1.4334435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.141884E-4 | 6.141884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0074521457 | 0.0074719964 | 1.0026637 | 2.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.074104704 | 0.07420655 | 1.0013744 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.3086096E-4 | 1.3086096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.607122E-4 | 5.607122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0068053333 | 0.006825197 | 1.0029188 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.067786686 | 0.06787991 | 1.0013752 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.425331E-5 | 9.425331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.0388023E-4 | 4.0388023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0049061645 | 0.0049260664 | 1.0040565 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.049310107 | 0.049348135 | 1.0007712 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2727875E-5 | 5.2727875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2595705E-4 | 2.2595705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027475583 | 0.0027675033 | 1.0072592 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.028168954 | 0.028198108 | 1.001035 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.941631E-5 | 1.941631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.321011E-5 | 8.321011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0010126128 | 0.0010226027 | 1.0098654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.0108775785 | 0.010887469 | 1.0009093 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5660976E-6 | 5.5660976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3854487E-5 | 2.3854487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9038975E-4 | 2.9038975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032986484 | 0.0032986484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.808603E-7 | 7.808603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.074338E-5 | 4.074338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.8047924E-4 | 4.8047924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9416234E-4 | 2.9416234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012601413 | 0.0012601413 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015255925 | 0.015295315 | 1.002582 | 4.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.1399143 | 0.14003472 | 1.0008606 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9416234E-4 | 2.9416234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012601413 | 0.0012601413 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015255925 | 0.015295315 | 1.002582 | 4.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.1399143 | 0.14003472 | 1.0008606 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9416234E-4 | 2.9416234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012601413 | 0.0012601413 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015255925 | 0.015295315 | 1.002582 | 4.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.1399143 | 0.14003472 | 1.0008606 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7737556E-4 | 1.7737556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.600767E-4 | 7.600767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009235453 | 0.009265175 | 1.0032183 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08713894 | 0.087230235 | 1.0010476 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7737556E-4 | 1.7737556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.600767E-4 | 7.600767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009235453 | 0.009265175 | 1.0032183 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08713894 | 0.087230235 | 1.0010476 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6430177E-5 | 4.6430177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9897327E-4 | 1.9897327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024201695 | 0.0024301452 | 1.0041219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.023791492 | 0.02383054 | 1.0016413 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6176222E-5 | 2.6176222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1217924E-4 | 1.1217924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013649712 | 0.0013749575 | 1.0073161 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.013582029 | 0.0136017585 | 1.0014526 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2091886E-5 | 2.2091886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.467628E-5 | 9.467628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011521106 | 0.0011620992 | 1.0086697 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.011477983 | 0.011497753 | 1.0017225 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4449492E-5 | 1.4449492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.1924955E-5 | 6.1924955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.5368065E-4 | 7.636731E-4 | 1.0132582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075164316 | 0.0075263563 | 1.0013204 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2342169E-5 | 1.2342169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2893953E-5 | 5.2893953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4379675E-4 | 6.537903E-4 | 1.0155228 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007818509 | 0.0064234105 | 0.0064333463 | 1.0015469 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1460876E-5 | 1.1460876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.911713E-5 | 4.911713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.9783994E-4 | 6.0783396E-4 | 1.0167168 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059662526 | 0.005976193 | 1.0016661 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0253452E-5 | 1.0253452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.394264E-5 | 4.394264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.348729E-4 | 5.448675E-4 | 1.018686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053390316 | 0.005348978 | 1.001863 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.512154E-6 | 8.512154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6480156E-5 | 3.6480156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.440571E-4 | 4.5405264E-4 | 1.0225096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006032603 | 0.0044329935 | 0.0044429493 | 1.0022458 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.24474E-6 | 7.24474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1048527E-5 | 3.1048527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.7795166E-4 | 3.879479E-4 | 1.0264484 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005282581 | 0.003773445 | 0.0037834072 | 1.0026401 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.357734E-6 | 6.357734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7247155E-5 | 2.7247155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3168498E-4 | 3.3168498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033120539 | 0.0033120539 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.229976E-6 | 5.229976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2413999E-5 | 2.2413999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7285752E-4 | 2.7285752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.00272535 | 0.00272535 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.6915106E-6 | 4.6915106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0106325E-5 | 2.0106325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.447682E-4 | 2.447682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024451024 | 0.0024451024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3316434E-6 | 2.3316434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.992723E-6 | 9.992723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2165536E-4 | 1.2165536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012159608 | 0.0012159608 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.3929124E-8 | 9.3929124E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0255333E-7 | 4.0255333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.901079E-6 | 4.901079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.901004E-5 | 4.901004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4418608E-9 | 3.4418608E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4750832E-8 | 1.4750832E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7959135E-7 | 1.7959135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7959123E-6 | 1.7959123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3455099E-4 | 2.3455099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010048301 | 0.0010048301 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.012165095 | 0.012234244 | 1.0056841 | 7.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11287292 | 0.11301486 | 1.0012575 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3455099E-4 | 2.3455099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010048301 | 0.0010048301 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.012165095 | 0.012234244 | 1.0056841 | 7.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11287292 | 0.11301486 | 1.0012575 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3455099E-4 | 2.3455099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010048301 | 0.0010048301 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.012165095 | 0.012234244 | 1.0056841 | 7.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11287292 | 0.11301486 | 1.0012575 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3455099E-4 | 2.3455099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010048301 | 0.0010048301 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.012165095 | 0.012234244 | 1.0056841 | 7.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11287292 | 0.11301486 | 1.0012575 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3012291E-4 | 2.3012291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.858671E-4 | 9.858671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011937095 | 0.0120062595 | 1.005794 | 7.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11085296 | 0.110995226 | 1.0012834 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3012291E-4 | 2.3012291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.858671E-4 | 9.858671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011937095 | 0.0120062595 | 1.005794 | 7.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11085296 | 0.110995226 | 1.0012834 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.225621E-4 | 2.225621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.5349125E-4 | 9.5349125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011547514 | 0.011616706 | 1.0059919 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03897764 | 0.10738801 | 0.10752191 | 1.0012468 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1931871E-4 | 2.1931871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.39601E-4 | 9.39601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011380176 | 0.011449379 | 1.0060811 | 7.0E-5 | 0.038081564 | 0.10589632 | 0.10603043 | 1.0012665 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1778827E-4 | 2.1778827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.330467E-4 | 9.330467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038401815 | 0.01130121 | 0.0113704195 | 1.006124 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03774495 | 0.10519727 | 0.105331495 | 1.0012759 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1547603E-4 | 2.1547603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.2314417E-4 | 9.2314417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003789323 | 0.011181891 | 0.011251108 | 1.0061902 | 7.0E-5 | 0.037253562 | 0.104144685 | 0.10427906 | 1.0012903 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1131337E-4 | 2.1131337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.053166E-4 | 9.053166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003699303 | 0.010967043 | 0.011016495 | 1.0045091 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03638325 | 0.10224576 | 0.10236248 | 1.0011414 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0966642E-4 | 2.0966642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.982632E-4 | 8.982632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010882029 | 0.010931485 | 1.0045447 | 5.0E-5 | 0.036010686 | 0.10148743 | 0.10160424 | 1.001151 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0574164E-4 | 2.0574164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.8145415E-4 | 8.8145415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003567883 | 0.0106794005 | 0.010728867 | 1.0046319 | 5.0E-5 | 0.035111405 | 0.09967861 | 0.099795654 | 1.0011742 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9800379E-4 | 1.9800379E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.483139E-4 | 8.483139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010279794 | 0.01032928 | 1.0048139 | 5.0E-5 | 0.033966612 | 0.096172415 | 0.09628992 | 1.0012218 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4748148E-4 | 1.4748148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.319113E-4 | 6.319113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002660276 | 0.0076665743 | 0.007716191 | 1.0064719 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02628654 | 0.073117696 | 0.073238194 | 1.001648 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1181122E-4 | 1.1181122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7910327E-4 | 4.7910327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020487092 | 0.005817551 | 0.0058672605 | 1.0085447 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020299247 | 0.056236032 | 0.05635872 | 1.0021816 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.540269E-5 | 8.540269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.659603E-4 | 3.659603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044464897 | 0.0044962675 | 1.0111948 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0154556995 | 0.0433964 | 0.04351119 | 1.0026453 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.39321E-5 | 6.39321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.7396597E-4 | 2.7396597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033304393 | 0.0033802728 | 1.014963 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010967582 | 0.032763455 | 0.03286985 | 1.0032474 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.6009827E-5 | 5.6009827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.4002005E-4 | 2.4002005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0029183314 | 0.0029681853 | 1.017083 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028862024 | 0.028968848 | 1.0037012 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.19625E-5 | 4.19625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7982691E-4 | 1.7982691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021871955 | 0.002227108 | 1.0182482 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.021899192 | 0.021997001 | 1.0044664 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.0203699E-5 | 3.0203699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.29438E-4 | 1.29438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015747696 | 0.0016047223 | 1.0190204 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.015879562 | 0.01593861 | 1.0037185 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.4538148E-6 | 7.4538148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.1944528E-5 | 3.1944528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.8885538E-4 | 3.9885147E-4 | 1.0257065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0041587194 | 0.004168678 | 1.0023946 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7723743E-6 | 2.7723743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.188155E-5 | 1.188155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4464831E-4 | 1.4464831E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0016186252 | 0.0016186252 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.2165772E-7 | 3.2165772E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.3785324E-6 | 1.3785324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6783515E-5 | 1.6783515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.9881342E-4 | 1.9881342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.954992E-4 | 8.0549123E-4 | 1.0125607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0034054073 | 0.0034153732 | 1.0029265 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.04096938 | 0.04099815 | 1.0007023 | 3.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.3397343 | 0.3398267 | 1.000272 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0775374E-4 | 3.0775374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013183774 | 0.0013183774 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0099994885 | 0.016019296 | 0.016029136 | 1.0006143 | 1.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.15090741 | 0.15096684 | 1.0003939 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8380945E-4 | 1.8380945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.875182E-4 | 7.875182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009546112 | 0.009556017 | 1.0010376 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.092463985 | 0.092527516 | 1.000687 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.8077034E-4 | 1.8077034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.7450124E-4 | 7.7450124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009389 | 0.0093989065 | 1.0010551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09111662 | 0.09118024 | 1.0006982 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7838326E-4 | 1.7838326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.642769E-4 | 7.642769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573745 | 0.00926559 | 0.009275498 | 1.0010693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.09001747 | 0.09008116 | 1.0007076 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7595605E-4 | 1.7595605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.538806E-4 | 7.538806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009140087 | 0.009149996 | 1.0010841 | 1.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08889803 | 0.08896181 | 1.0007174 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7275041E-4 | 1.7275041E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.4015E-4 | 7.4015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008974318 | 0.008984229 | 1.0011042 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.08742356 | 0.087487444 | 1.0007308 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7141737E-4 | 1.7141737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.344402E-4 | 7.344402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045492216 | 0.008905407 | 0.008915318 | 1.0011129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.086822286 | 0.08688621 | 1.0007362 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.7086939E-4 | 1.7086939E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.3209306E-4 | 7.3209306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008877072 | 0.008886983 | 1.0011165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.08656893 | 0.08663287 | 1.0007386 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.702762E-4 | 1.702762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.295522E-4 | 7.295522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008846388 | 0.008856299 | 1.0011204 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.08629421 | 0.086358175 | 1.0007411 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6779368E-4 | 1.6779368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.1891875E-4 | 7.1891875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004455241 | 0.008717968 | 0.008727881 | 1.001137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.08513857 | 0.085202605 | 1.0007522 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5255272E-4 | 1.5255272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.5363426E-4 | 6.5363426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007929132 | 0.007939054 | 1.0012512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.07803519 | 0.07809973 | 1.0008271 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4991156E-4 | 1.4991156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.4232067E-4 | 6.4232067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004005129 | 0.007792382 | 0.0078023043 | 1.0012733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.0768037 | 0.076868325 | 1.0008414 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4685914E-4 | 1.4685914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.2924525E-4 | 6.2924525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003934157 | 0.0076343147 | 0.0076442384 | 1.0012999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.075360335 | 0.07542506 | 1.0008589 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4385211E-4 | 1.4385211E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.163641E-4 | 6.163641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003865065 | 0.007478574 | 0.0074884994 | 1.0013272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.073928304 | 0.07399313 | 1.0008769 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1296149E-4 | 1.1296149E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.8403096E-4 | 4.8403096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032037178 | 0.0058771856 | 0.005887127 | 1.0016915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.059049904 | 0.05911577 | 1.0011154 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.1123779E-4 | 1.1123779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7664638E-4 | 4.7664638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031593828 | 0.00578776 | 0.005797702 | 1.0017178 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.058206882 | 0.05827281 | 1.0011326 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.2685426E-5 | 9.2685426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.971628E-4 | 3.971628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002691582 | 0.0048247464 | 0.004834698 | 1.0020627 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.04897893 | 0.04903599 | 1.001165 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.645958E-5 | 8.645958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.7048844E-4 | 3.7048844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004501376 | 0.0045113307 | 1.0022116 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.045710493 | 0.04576775 | 1.0012527 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.8176494E-5 | 6.8176494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.9215228E-4 | 2.9215228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035511565 | 0.003561121 | 1.002806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.03620482 | 0.03623373 | 1.0007986 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.1123396E-5 | 4.1123396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7623122E-4 | 1.7623122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.002143505 | 0.0021534835 | 1.0046552 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.022223437 | 0.022242993 | 1.00088 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.8920584E-5 | 1.8920584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.1085695E-5 | 8.1085695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.867719E-4 | 9.96762E-4 | 1.0101241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.010613913 | 0.010623807 | 1.0009322 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5660976E-6 | 5.5660976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3854487E-5 | 2.3854487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9038975E-4 | 2.9038975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032986484 | 0.0032986484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.808603E-7 | 7.808603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.074338E-5 | 4.074338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.8047924E-4 | 4.8047924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5377126E-4 | 2.5377126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010871394 | 0.0010871394 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.0131561095 | 0.013185715 | 1.0022503 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12514783 | 0.1252703 | 1.0009787 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5377126E-4 | 2.5377126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010871394 | 0.0010871394 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.0131561095 | 0.013185715 | 1.0022503 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12514783 | 0.1252703 | 1.0009787 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5193702E-4 | 2.5193702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010792849 | 0.0010792849 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006347804 | 0.0130616315 | 0.01309124 | 1.0022668 | 3.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.12433341 | 0.12444725 | 1.0009155 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.5079545E-4 | 2.5079545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010743965 | 0.0010743965 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006316212 | 0.013002829 | 0.013032438 | 1.0022771 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12382682 | 0.12394072 | 1.0009198 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4584043E-4 | 2.4584043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.001053178 | 0.001053178 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006172335 | 0.01274754 | 0.012767285 | 1.0015489 | 2.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.12161498 | 0.12172039 | 1.0008668 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4376677E-4 | 2.4376677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.001044298 | 0.001044298 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006109677 | 0.012640683 | 0.01266043 | 1.0015622 | 2.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.12068456 | 0.12079008 | 1.0008743 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3683684E-4 | 2.3683684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010146217 | 0.0010146217 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012283501 | 0.0123032555 | 1.0016083 | 2.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.11758657 | 0.117692456 | 1.0009005 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3527596E-4 | 2.3527596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010079374 | 0.0010079374 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005864331 | 0.012203034 | 0.01222279 | 1.001619 | 2.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.11688864 | 0.11699461 | 1.0009066 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3415616E-4 | 2.3415616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 0.001003142 | 0.001003142 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005836608 | 0.012145302 | 0.012165059 | 1.0016267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.11638556 | 0.11649159 | 1.000911 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3263908E-4 | 2.3263908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.966452E-4 | 9.966452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057996577 | 0.012067083 | 0.012086842 | 1.0016375 | 2.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.115704976 | 0.115811095 | 1.0009171 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2885925E-4 | 2.2885925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.804582E-4 | 9.804582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005705768 | 0.0118721705 | 0.011891933 | 1.0016646 | 2.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.114002086 | 0.114108406 | 1.0009326 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0698967E-4 | 2.0698967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.86798E-4 | 8.86798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010743615 | 0.0107634 | 1.0018415 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.10407128 | 0.104178794 | 1.0010331 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0202059E-4 | 2.0202059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.6551625E-4 | 8.6551625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00504711 | 0.010487032 | 0.010506823 | 1.0018871 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.10180742 | 0.1019152 | 1.0010587 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9628562E-4 | 1.9628562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.4095384E-4 | 8.4095384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049308087 | 0.01019082 | 0.0102106165 | 1.0019425 | 2.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.09916703 | 0.09927513 | 1.00109 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8996334E-4 | 1.8996334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.1387546E-4 | 8.1387546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004799717 | 0.009864165 | 0.009883968 | 1.0020075 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09623134 | 0.09633979 | 1.001127 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5311953E-4 | 1.5311953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.560617E-4 | 6.560617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007958371 | 0.007978212 | 1.002493 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.07889292 | 0.079003446 | 1.0014011 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4969675E-4 | 1.4969675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.4139994E-4 | 6.4139994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007781152 | 0.007800997 | 1.0025504 | 2.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07724949 | 0.07736022 | 1.0014334 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2477368E-4 | 1.2477368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.346348E-4 | 5.346348E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006489779 | 0.006509649 | 1.0030618 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.06508352 | 0.06518636 | 1.0015801 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1523914E-4 | 1.1523914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.9378857E-4 | 4.9378857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059953257 | 0.0060152058 | 1.0033159 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.060156144 | 0.060250126 | 1.0015624 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.505152E-5 | 8.505152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.644556E-4 | 3.644556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023949358 | 0.004428226 | 0.0044481372 | 1.0044965 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.044735484 | 0.044773694 | 1.0008541 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.1265073E-5 | 5.1265073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1968897E-4 | 2.1968897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.002671434 | 0.0026913807 | 1.0074667 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027423028 | 0.027452204 | 1.001064 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9428777E-5 | 1.9428777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.326353E-5 | 8.326353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010132627 | 0.0010232525 | 1.0098591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.010886158 | 0.010896049 | 1.0009086 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5660976E-6 | 5.5660976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3854487E-5 | 2.3854487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9038975E-4 | 2.9038975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032986484 | 0.0032986484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.808603E-7 | 7.808603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.074338E-5 | 4.074338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.8047924E-4 | 4.8047924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2808864E-4 | 3.2808864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014053412 | 0.0014053412 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016977139 | 0.01704595 | 1.0040532 | 7.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15296486 | 0.15307498 | 1.0007199 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2808864E-4 | 3.2808864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014053412 | 0.0014053412 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016977139 | 0.01704595 | 1.0040532 | 7.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15296486 | 0.15307498 | 1.0007199 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.030908E-4 | 3.030908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012983179 | 0.0012983179 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005590286 | 0.01569356 | 0.015752617 | 1.0037632 | 6.0E-5 | 0.05451731 | 0.14213686 | 0.1422398 | 1.0007243 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0254383E-4 | 3.0254383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012959761 | 0.0012959761 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005577586 | 0.015665459 | 0.015724517 | 1.0037701 | 6.0E-5 | 0.054396555 | 0.14190519 | 0.14200816 | 1.0007256 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9462355E-4 | 2.9462355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012620653 | 0.0012620653 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015258447 | 0.015317531 | 1.0038723 | 6.0E-5 | 0.052604496 | 0.13846388 | 0.13856727 | 1.0007466 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9181747E-4 | 2.9181747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012500508 | 0.0012500508 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015114211 | 0.015173304 | 1.0039098 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051971316 | 0.13724077 | 0.1373443 | 1.0007544 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8947464E-4 | 2.8947464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012400197 | 0.0012400197 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014993767 | 0.015052868 | 1.0039417 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051421247 | 0.13621925 | 0.1363229 | 1.0007609 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8806002E-4 | 2.8806002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012339628 | 0.0012339628 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005230834 | 0.014921038 | 0.014980143 | 1.0039612 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051094085 | 0.13560389 | 0.13570762 | 1.000765 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8609566E-4 | 2.8609566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012255519 | 0.0012255519 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014820035 | 0.014879145 | 1.0039886 | 6.0E-5 | 0.050728295 | 0.13475555 | 0.13485938 | 1.0007704 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8105936E-4 | 2.8105936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.001203988 | 0.001203988 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014561031 | 0.014620157 | 1.0040606 | 6.0E-5 | 0.049738888 | 0.13258252 | 0.1326866 | 1.0007851 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4836304E-4 | 2.4836304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.001063982 | 0.001063982 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044259406 | 0.01287782 | 0.012917304 | 1.0030661 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04338823 | 0.118431985 | 0.11851133 | 1.00067 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.443822E-4 | 2.443822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.001046935 | 0.001046935 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004331963 | 0.012672706 | 0.012712198 | 1.0031164 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042484846 | 0.116649695 | 0.1167292 | 1.0006815 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2484467E-4 | 2.2484467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.6326723E-4 | 9.6326723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011665408 | 0.011704941 | 1.003389 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03870018 | 0.108050205 | 0.10813048 | 1.0007429 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.0797877E-4 | 2.0797877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.91036E-4 | 8.91036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010795031 | 0.010834599 | 1.0036654 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03628465 | 0.100566186 | 0.10064714 | 1.0008049 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4329473E-4 | 1.4329473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.139766E-4 | 6.139766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074497345 | 0.007489437 | 1.0053294 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02649557 | 0.0710914 | 0.07116571 | 1.0010453 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.09898356E-4 | 1.09898356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.7090827E-4 | 4.7090827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002099857 | 0.0057183066 | 0.005758078 | 1.006955 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020801254 | 0.0552264 | 0.055301983 | 1.0013686 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.481493E-5 | 8.481493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.6344206E-4 | 3.6344206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004415956 | 0.004455779 | 1.0090181 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016132116 | 0.043002363 | 0.043078925 | 1.0017804 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.276265E-5 | 6.276265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6895507E-4 | 2.6895507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001152546 | 0.003269618 | 0.0033094871 | 1.0121938 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.03207018 | 0.03213793 | 1.0021127 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.2130177E-5 | 5.2130177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2339592E-4 | 2.2339592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.002716456 | 0.0027563474 | 1.014685 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.02679226 | 0.026860384 | 1.0025427 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.849712E-5 | 3.849712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6497723E-4 | 1.6497723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0020067487 | 0.0020366884 | 1.0149195 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.020036833 | 0.020095631 | 1.0029345 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1301668E-5 | 3.1301668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.341431E-4 | 1.341431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016319698 | 0.0016619209 | 1.0183527 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.016389918 | 0.016448934 | 1.0036008 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 9.071257E-6 | 9.071257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.887624E-5 | 3.887624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.7321554E-4 | 4.832108E-4 | 1.021122 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002658026 | 0.004966687 | 0.004976637 | 1.0020034 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.8257436E-6 | 2.8257436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.2110274E-5 | 1.2110274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4743264E-4 | 1.4743264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0016177493 | 0.0016177493 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.9178852E-8 | 5.9178852E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.5362363E-7 | 2.5362363E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0878637E-6 | 3.0878637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.2452153E-5 | 3.2452153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4493932E-4 | 2.4493932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010493193 | 0.0010493193 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012701117 | 0.012720863 | 1.0015546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.121357135 | 0.12147136 | 1.0009413 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4493932E-4 | 2.4493932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010493193 | 0.0010493193 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012701117 | 0.012720863 | 1.0015546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.121357135 | 0.12147136 | 1.0009413 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4493932E-4 | 2.4493932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010493193 | 0.0010493193 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012701117 | 0.012720863 | 1.0015546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.121357135 | 0.12147136 | 1.0009413 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4493932E-4 | 2.4493932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010493193 | 0.0010493193 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012701117 | 0.012720863 | 1.0015546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.121357135 | 0.12147136 | 1.0009413 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4493932E-4 | 2.4493932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010493193 | 0.0010493193 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012701117 | 0.012720863 | 1.0015546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.121357135 | 0.12147136 | 1.0009413 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3813234E-4 | 2.3813234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010201696 | 0.0010201696 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012350284 | 0.012370037 | 1.0015994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.118321046 | 0.118435666 | 1.0009687 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3813234E-4 | 2.3813234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010201696 | 0.0010201696 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012350284 | 0.012370037 | 1.0015994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.118321046 | 0.118435666 | 1.0009687 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3504133E-4 | 2.3504133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010069326 | 0.0010069326 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012190935 | 0.012210691 | 1.0016205 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11693912 | 0.11705392 | 1.0009817 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3406085E-4 | 2.3406085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 0.0010027338 | 0.0010027338 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777263 | 0.012140386 | 0.012160143 | 1.0016274 | 2.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.11649932 | 0.11660534 | 1.00091 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3298238E-4 | 2.3298238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.981153E-4 | 9.981153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012084781 | 0.012104539 | 1.001635 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.11601515 | 0.11612123 | 1.0009143 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3198874E-4 | 2.3198874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.938602E-4 | 9.938602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057263062 | 0.012033548 | 0.012053307 | 1.001642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.11556642 | 0.11567254 | 1.0009184 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1705501E-4 | 2.1705501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.2990516E-4 | 9.2990516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011263144 | 0.011282919 | 1.0017557 | 2.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.108812615 | 0.10891955 | 1.0009828 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.1112041E-4 | 2.1112041E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.04489E-4 | 9.04489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010956854 | 0.010976635 | 1.0018053 | 2.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.106117465 | 0.10622473 | 1.0010108 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0584959E-4 | 2.0584959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.819152E-4 | 8.819152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005109493 | 0.010684745 | 0.010704532 | 1.0018518 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.10369145 | 0.10379901 | 1.0010372 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9951664E-4 | 1.9951664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.54792E-4 | 8.54792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010357699 | 0.010377493 | 1.0019109 | 2.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10076431 | 0.10087222 | 1.0010709 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6252958E-4 | 1.6252958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.963696E-4 | 6.963696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008445424 | 0.008465256 | 1.0023482 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.083443135 | 0.08355312 | 1.0013181 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5904442E-4 | 1.5904442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.8144104E-4 | 6.8144104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008265062 | 0.008284897 | 1.0023998 | 2.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.08177752 | 0.08188771 | 1.0013474 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.340106E-4 | 1.340106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.742047E-4 | 5.742047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003493839 | 0.006968567 | 0.0069884276 | 1.00285 | 2.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.06961693 | 0.06971928 | 1.0014701 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.231055E-4 | 1.231055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.2748836E-4 | 5.2748836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0064032855 | 0.006423157 | 1.0031034 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06403331 | 0.0641269 | 1.0014617 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.96141E-5 | 8.96141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.840039E-4 | 3.840039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004665233 | 0.00468514 | 1.004267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.047013443 | 0.047051564 | 1.0008109 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2638316E-5 | 5.2638316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2557328E-4 | 2.2557328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0027428977 | 0.002762843 | 1.0072715 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.028128056 | 0.028157212 | 1.0010365 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9428602E-5 | 1.9428602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.3262785E-5 | 8.3262785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010132536 | 0.0010232434 | 1.0098592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.01088604 | 0.010895931 | 1.0009086 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5660976E-6 | 5.5660976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3854487E-5 | 2.3854487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9038975E-4 | 2.9038975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032986484 | 0.0032986484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.808603E-7 | 7.808603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.074338E-5 | 4.074338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.8047924E-4 | 4.8047924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2506398E-5 | 2.2506398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6452466E-5 | 9.6452466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011736836 | 0.0012236249 | 1.0425509 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011675763 | 0.011794362 | 1.0101577 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2506398E-5 | 2.2506398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6452466E-5 | 9.6452466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011736836 | 0.0012236249 | 1.0425509 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011675763 | 0.011794362 | 1.0101577 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2506398E-5 | 2.2506398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6452466E-5 | 9.6452466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011736836 | 0.0012236249 | 1.0425509 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011675763 | 0.011794362 | 1.0101577 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1342896E-5 | 2.1342896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.146639E-5 | 9.146639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011130412 | 0.0011629855 | 1.0448719 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011075489 | 0.01119416 | 1.0107148 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1342896E-5 | 2.1342896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.146639E-5 | 9.146639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011130412 | 0.0011629855 | 1.0448719 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011075489 | 0.01119416 | 1.0107148 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0566715E-5 | 2.0566715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.814012E-5 | 8.814012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010725843 | 0.0011225307 | 1.0465664 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010674862 | 0.010783688 | 1.0101945 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9916431E-5 | 1.9916431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.535338E-5 | 8.535338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010386884 | 0.0010886365 | 1.0480876 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.010339095 | 0.010447958 | 1.0105293 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.904867E-5 | 1.904867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.163464E-5 | 8.163464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.934547E-4 | 0.001043405 | 1.0502794 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009890855 | 0.009999768 | 1.0110114 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.851766E-5 | 1.851766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.9359015E-5 | 7.9359015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.657738E-4 | 0.0010157255 | 1.0517219 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.009616472 | 0.009725414 | 1.0113287 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8092618E-5 | 1.8092618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.753752E-5 | 7.753752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.4361656E-4 | 9.935694E-4 | 1.0529376 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009396792 | 0.009505759 | 1.0115961 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7810518E-5 | 1.7810518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.632859E-5 | 7.632859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.289105E-4 | 9.78864E-4 | 1.0537765 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.009250966 | 0.009359948 | 1.0117806 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7488393E-5 | 1.7488393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.494814E-5 | 7.494814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.1211766E-4 | 9.6207205E-4 | 1.0547675 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.009084423 | 0.009193423 | 1.0119987 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7175431E-5 | 1.7175431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.360695E-5 | 7.360695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.9580216E-4 | 9.457574E-4 | 1.0557659 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008922589 | 0.009031608 | 1.0122182 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6306993E-5 | 1.6306993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.988527E-5 | 6.988527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.505269E-4 | 8.9049287E-4 | 1.0469897 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008473362 | 0.008572515 | 1.0117017 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5812351E-5 | 1.5812351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.77655E-5 | 6.77655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.247384E-4 | 8.647054E-4 | 1.0484602 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008217411 | 0.0083165895 | 1.0120692 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5130505E-5 | 1.5130505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.484344E-5 | 6.484344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.891888E-4 | 8.291572E-4 | 1.050645 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007864487 | 0.007963701 | 1.0126154 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2629821E-5 | 1.2629821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.412671E-5 | 5.412671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.587988E-4 | 6.9877243E-4 | 1.0606766 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.00656901 | 0.0066385507 | 1.0105861 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0286198E-5 | 1.0286198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.408299E-5 | 4.408299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3658325E-4 | 5.665672E-4 | 1.0558794 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005353388 | 0.00540312 | 1.0092899 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6487262E-7 | 3.6487262E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5637388E-6 | 1.5637388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9038358E-5 | 1.9038358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9036772E-4 | 1.9036772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6699385E-9 | 2.6699385E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1442593E-8 | 1.1442593E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3931357E-7 | 1.3931357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3931357E-6 | 1.3931357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.551966E-6 | 8.551966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.665087E-5 | 3.665087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4615084E-4 | 4.86133E-4 | 1.0896158 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.0044543096 | 0.0045638196 | 1.0245851 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7756158E-6 | 3.7756158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6181137E-5 | 1.6181137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9699229E-4 | 2.3698442E-4 | 1.2030137 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968644 | 0.0020484866 | 1.0405571 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7756158E-6 | 3.7756158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6181137E-5 | 1.6181137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9699229E-4 | 2.3698442E-4 | 1.2030137 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968644 | 0.0020484866 | 1.0405571 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4412329E-6 | 1.4412329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.176706E-6 | 6.176706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5200216E-5 | 7.5200216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.5188646E-4 | 7.718714E-4 | 1.0265797 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4412329E-6 | 1.4412329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.176706E-6 | 6.176706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5200216E-5 | 7.5200216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.5188646E-4 | 7.718714E-4 | 1.0265797 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0222738E-6 | 1.0222738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3811733E-6 | 4.3811733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3340784E-5 | 5.3340784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.3340785E-4 | 5.5339717E-4 | 1.0374748 | 2.0E-5 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4713383E-5 | 1.4713383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305593E-5 | 6.305593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6745305E-4 | 7.874377E-4 | 1.0260402 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007649784 | 0.007758943 | 1.0142695 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4713383E-5 | 1.4713383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305593E-5 | 6.305593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6745305E-4 | 7.874377E-4 | 1.0260402 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007649784 | 0.007758943 | 1.0142695 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4713383E-5 | 1.4713383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305593E-5 | 6.305593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6745305E-4 | 7.874377E-4 | 1.0260402 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007649784 | 0.007758943 | 1.0142695 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1794975E-5 | 1.1794975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054897E-5 | 5.054897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.152703E-4 | 6.2526413E-4 | 1.016243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061367094 | 0.0062261573 | 1.0145758 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1794975E-5 | 1.1794975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054897E-5 | 5.054897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.152703E-4 | 6.2526413E-4 | 1.016243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061367094 | 0.0062261573 | 1.0145758 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0455966E-5 | 1.0455966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4810567E-5 | 4.4810567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.4544135E-4 | 5.554359E-4 | 1.0183238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054419534 | 0.005501627 | 1.0109655 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.415123E-6 | 9.415123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0349954E-5 | 4.0349954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.911588E-4 | 5.0115393E-4 | 1.02035 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.0049016154 | 0.0049613216 | 1.0121808 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.4056E-6 | 9.4056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0309144E-5 | 4.0309144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.9066223E-4 | 5.006573E-4 | 1.0203706 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.0048966715 | 0.0049563777 | 1.0121932 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3812676E-6 | 7.3812676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.1633666E-5 | 3.1633666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8508E-4 | 3.9507615E-4 | 1.0259587 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038449324 | 0.0039047017 | 1.015545 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.271799E-6 | 5.271799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2593264E-5 | 2.2593264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7504444E-4 | 2.7504444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027476456 | 0.0027875355 | 1.0145179 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5906319E-6 | 3.5906319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5388354E-5 | 1.5388354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8734121E-4 | 1.8734121E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018722356 | 0.0019121607 | 1.0213249 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2936954E-6 | 1.2936954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.544406E-6 | 5.544406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.750269E-5 | 6.750269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7498203E-4 | 6.849753E-4 | 1.0148052 | 1.0E-5 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1863727E-5 | 2.1863727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3698836E-5 | 1.036979E-4 | 1.106715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011402773 | 0.0011502658 | 1.0087599 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011353283 | 0.011452148 | 1.008708 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1863727E-5 | 2.1863727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3698836E-5 | 1.036979E-4 | 1.106715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011402773 | 0.0011502658 | 1.0087599 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011353283 | 0.011452148 | 1.008708 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1863727E-5 | 2.1863727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3698836E-5 | 1.036979E-4 | 1.106715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011402773 | 0.0011502658 | 1.0087599 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011353283 | 0.011452148 | 1.008708 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2179267E-5 | 1.2179267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2195992E-5 | 5.2195992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.353324E-4 | 6.353324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063382685 | 0.0063879513 | 1.0078386 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2179267E-5 | 1.2179267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2195992E-5 | 5.2195992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.353324E-4 | 6.353324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063382685 | 0.0063879513 | 1.0078386 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.6734597E-6 | 6.6734597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.86003E-5 | 2.86003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4816557E-4 | 3.4816557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034774356 | 0.0035172964 | 1.0114627 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.367047E-6 | 6.367047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7287128E-5 | 2.7287128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.321826E-4 | 3.321826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033180832 | 0.0033579504 | 1.0120151 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3417216E-6 | 5.3417216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2892957E-5 | 2.2892957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.786979E-4 | 2.786979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027846398 | 0.0028245284 | 1.0143245 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9403142E-6 | 1.9403142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.315615E-6 | 8.315615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01239486E-4 | 1.01239486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010120883 | 0.001042058 | 1.0296117 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.299003E-7 | 8.299003E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5567125E-6 | 3.5567125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.330245E-5 | 4.330245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.329731E-4 | 4.5296442E-4 | 1.0461723 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.543555E-7 | 7.543555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.23295E-6 | 3.23295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9360788E-5 | 3.9360788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9357063E-4 | 4.1356275E-4 | 1.0507967 | 2.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6263704E-5 | 3.6263704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5540663E-4 | 1.6540507E-4 | 1.0643374 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018904353 | 0.0019203787 | 1.0158393 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019491682 | 0.019589731 | 1.0050304 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6263704E-5 | 3.6263704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5540663E-4 | 1.6540507E-4 | 1.0643374 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018904353 | 0.0019203787 | 1.0158393 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019491682 | 0.019589731 | 1.0050304 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6263704E-5 | 3.6263704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5540663E-4 | 1.6540507E-4 | 1.0643374 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018904353 | 0.0019203787 | 1.0158393 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019491682 | 0.019589731 | 1.0050304 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6263704E-5 | 3.6263704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5540663E-4 | 1.6540507E-4 | 1.0643374 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018904353 | 0.0019203787 | 1.0158393 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019491682 | 0.019589731 | 1.0050304 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.6156307E-5 | 3.6156307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.549464E-4 | 1.6494485E-4 | 1.0645285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017729428 | 0.001884842 | 0.0019147854 | 1.0158864 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017588645 | 0.01943674 | 0.019534795 | 1.0050449 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.541652E-5 | 3.541652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5177626E-4 | 1.6177475E-4 | 1.0658765 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018463111 | 0.0018662743 | 1.0108124 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017284546 | 0.019058121 | 0.019136598 | 1.0041177 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.53537E-5 | 3.53537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5150706E-4 | 1.6150555E-4 | 1.0659935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018430393 | 0.0018630024 | 1.0108316 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017258976 | 0.019025972 | 0.019104451 | 1.0041248 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.534347E-5 | 3.534347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5146322E-4 | 1.614617E-4 | 1.0660126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018425063 | 0.0018624696 | 1.0108348 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017256035 | 0.019020762 | 0.019099241 | 1.004126 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.5237466E-5 | 3.5237466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.5100898E-4 | 1.6100747E-4 | 1.0662112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0018369853 | 0.0018569487 | 1.0108674 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017213784 | 0.018966507 | 0.01904499 | 1.004138 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.517838E-5 | 3.517838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.5075578E-4 | 1.6075427E-4 | 1.0663224 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018339078 | 0.0018538712 | 1.0108857 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017192734 | 0.018936358 | 0.019014843 | 1.0041447 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.511826E-5 | 3.511826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.5049815E-4 | 1.6049665E-4 | 1.066436 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018307766 | 0.0018507399 | 1.0109043 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017172894 | 0.018905716 | 0.018984202 | 1.0041516 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.499836E-5 | 3.499836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.4998435E-4 | 1.5998285E-4 | 1.0666636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018245316 | 0.0018444951 | 1.0109417 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017138338 | 0.018844748 | 0.01892324 | 1.0041652 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.486572E-5 | 3.486572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4941597E-4 | 1.5941447E-4 | 1.0669173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017222111 | 0.001817623 | 0.0018375866 | 1.0109833 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017089253 | 0.018777112 | 0.018855609 | 1.0041806 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.4733315E-5 | 3.4733315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4884857E-4 | 1.5884709E-4 | 1.0671724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0018107265 | 0.0018306903 | 1.0110253 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017049557 | 0.01870978 | 0.018788286 | 1.0041958 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.465488E-5 | 3.465488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.4851247E-4 | 1.5851099E-4 | 1.0673244 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0018066412 | 0.0018266051 | 1.0110502 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017028693 | 0.018669993 | 0.0187485 | 1.004205 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.4519595E-5 | 3.4519595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4793273E-4 | 1.5793125E-4 | 1.0675883 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017995946 | 0.0018195587 | 1.0110936 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016978411 | 0.018600788 | 0.0186793 | 1.0042208 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.4244018E-5 | 3.4244018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4675183E-4 | 1.5675036E-4 | 1.0681323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017852407 | 0.001805205 | 1.011183 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.018458195 | 0.018536719 | 1.0042541 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.2724896E-5 | 3.2724896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.4024203E-4 | 1.5024062E-4 | 1.0712953 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0017061107 | 0.0017260765 | 1.0117025 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.01766762 | 0.017746206 | 1.004448 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9925775E-5 | 2.9925775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2824702E-4 | 1.3824574E-4 | 1.0779645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015602902 | 0.001580259 | 1.0127981 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.016204199 | 0.016282903 | 1.004857 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.3646511E-5 | 2.3646511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.0133826E-4 | 1.1133725E-4 | 1.0986694 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012330959 | 0.0012530711 | 1.0161994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.012911175 | 0.012980272 | 1.0053517 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6204982E-5 | 1.6204982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.944808E-5 | 6.944808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.4520306E-4 | 8.4520306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008178596 | 0.008956207 | 0.008966117 | 1.0011065 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.430248E-6 | 8.430248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.612914E-5 | 3.612914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.39784E-4 | 4.39784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005259227 | 0.00473087 | 0.0047408226 | 1.0021038 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.6069746E-6 | 1.6069746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.887016E-6 | 6.887016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.384622E-5 | 8.384622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.729523E-4 | 9.729523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6914315E-7 | 3.6914315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5820413E-6 | 1.5820413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.9261186E-5 | 1.9261186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.3201035E-4 | 2.3201035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.067321E-6 | 6.067321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6002583E-5 | 2.6002583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1654208E-4 | 3.465326E-4 | 1.0947441 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161564 | 0.0032612479 | 1.0315299 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.067321E-6 | 6.067321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6002583E-5 | 2.6002583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1654208E-4 | 3.465326E-4 | 1.0947441 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161564 | 0.0032612479 | 1.0315299 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.067321E-6 | 6.067321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6002583E-5 | 2.6002583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1654208E-4 | 3.465326E-4 | 1.0947441 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161564 | 0.0032612479 | 1.0315299 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.067321E-6 | 6.067321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6002583E-5 | 2.6002583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1654208E-4 | 3.465326E-4 | 1.0947441 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161564 | 0.0032612479 | 1.0315299 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5575688E-6 | 3.5575688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5246641E-5 | 1.5246641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8561314E-4 | 2.0560942E-4 | 1.107731 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018546894 | 0.0019145781 | 1.0322905 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.4994973E-6 | 3.4994973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.4997766E-5 | 1.4997766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.825836E-4 | 2.0257995E-4 | 1.1095189 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030041158 | 0.001824444 | 0.0018843346 | 1.0328268 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.332905E-6 | 2.332905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.998129E-6 | 9.998129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.2172085E-4 | 1.2172085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012165842 | 0.0012365598 | 1.0164195 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6485654E-6 | 1.6485654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.0652623E-6 | 7.0652623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.6016364E-5 | 8.6016364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060454 | 8.598492E-4 | 8.698406E-4 | 1.0116199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2246993E-6 | 1.2246993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.248701E-6 | 5.248701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.3901156E-5 | 6.3901156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017921652 | 6.3883694E-4 | 6.3883694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0035287E-6 | 1.0035287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.300831E-6 | 4.300831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2361436E-5 | 5.2361436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016353652 | 5.2349863E-4 | 5.2349863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.429934E-7 | 7.429934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.184254E-6 | 3.184254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8767652E-5 | 3.8767652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014754693 | 3.876139E-4 | 3.876139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4237466E-7 | 5.4237466E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.324461E-6 | 2.324461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8299988E-5 | 2.8299988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.8296787E-4 | 2.8296787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.07468495E-7 | 1.07468495E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6057917E-7 | 4.6057917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.6075382E-6 | 5.6075382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.607408E-5 | 5.607408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0039706E-8 | 5.0039706E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1445587E-7 | 2.1445587E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6109974E-6 | 2.6109974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6109714E-5 | 2.6109714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.865539E-9 | 4.865539E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.085231E-8 | 2.085231E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5387686E-7 | 2.5387686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.538767E-6 | 2.538767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4995E-5 | 5.4995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3567321E-4 | 2.3567321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028658141 | 0.0029056994 | 1.0139177 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.028316684 | 0.028384702 | 1.0024021 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4995E-5 | 5.4995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3567321E-4 | 2.3567321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028658141 | 0.0029056994 | 1.0139177 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.028316684 | 0.028374985 | 1.0020589 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3937395E-5 | 3.3937395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4543808E-4 | 1.4543808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017693047 | 0.0017992517 | 1.0169258 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017556129 | 0.01760525 | 1.002798 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3937395E-5 | 3.3937395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4543808E-4 | 1.4543808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017693047 | 0.0017992517 | 1.0169258 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017556129 | 0.01760525 | 1.002798 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7921762E-5 | 2.7921762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.19659315E-4 | 1.19659315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014558976 | 0.0014858539 | 1.0205759 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013192902 | 0.014465765 | 0.014515042 | 1.0034064 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5136245E-5 | 2.5136245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.077224E-4 | 1.077224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013107457 | 0.0013407065 | 1.0228578 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012003611 | 0.013031816 | 0.013081165 | 1.0037868 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0360296E-5 | 2.0360296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.725553E-5 | 8.725553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010618264 | 0.0010818051 | 1.0188155 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00992627 | 0.010568441 | 0.010598124 | 1.0028087 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8151439E-5 | 1.8151439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.77896E-5 | 7.77896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.466824E-4 | 9.666635E-4 | 1.0211064 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008949154 | 0.009427142 | 0.00945686 | 1.0031523 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.593074E-5 | 1.593074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.8272835E-5 | 6.8272835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.309091E-4 | 8.5089245E-4 | 1.02405 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007960589 | 0.008278511 | 0.0083082635 | 1.0035938 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3332935E-5 | 1.3332935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.713991E-5 | 5.713991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.954586E-4 | 7.1544474E-4 | 1.028738 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067972173 | 0.006933083 | 0.006952944 | 1.0028647 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1935664E-5 | 1.1935664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1151852E-5 | 5.1151852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.225975E-4 | 6.4258504E-4 | 1.0321035 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062087257 | 0.0062286016 | 1.0032012 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0544688E-5 | 1.0544688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5190744E-5 | 4.5190744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.5005954E-4 | 5.700485E-4 | 1.0363398 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0054871114 | 0.0055070017 | 1.0036249 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.461437E-6 | 9.461437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.054839E-5 | 4.054839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.935659E-4 | 5.0356094E-4 | 1.0202507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004992037 | 0.004924816 | 0.004934767 | 1.0020205 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.381689E-6 | 8.381689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.592104E-5 | 3.592104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.372519E-4 | 4.4724756E-4 | 1.0228602 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004470094 | 0.004364027 | 0.0043739835 | 1.0022814 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9533808E-6 | 6.9533808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9799869E-5 | 2.9799869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6275396E-4 | 3.7275034E-4 | 1.0275569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036217186 | 0.0036316824 | 1.0027511 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2528007E-6 | 5.2528007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2511813E-5 | 2.2511813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7404758E-4 | 2.7404758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027371682 | 0.0027371682 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.061176E-6 | 2.061176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.833582E-6 | 8.833582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0754364E-4 | 1.0754364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010749245 | 0.0010749245 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1017877E-6 | 1.1017877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7219387E-6 | 4.7219387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.748811E-5 | 5.748811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.7473476E-4 | 5.7473476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.071946E-7 | 6.071946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.60226E-6 | 2.60226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.168207E-5 | 3.168207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.1677686E-4 | 3.1677686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.0904827E-9 | 5.0904827E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1816355E-8 | 2.1816355E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.656141E-7 | 2.656141E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6561388E-6 | 2.6561388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3660305E-5 | 2.3660305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.01397614E-4 | 1.01397614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233861 | 0.001263824 | 1.0242839 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012274616 | 0.012353634 | 1.0064375 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3660305E-5 | 2.3660305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.01397614E-4 | 1.01397614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233861 | 0.001263824 | 1.0242839 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012274616 | 0.012353634 | 1.0064375 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.13670885E-5 | 1.13670885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8715207E-5 | 4.8715207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9295027E-4 | 5.9295027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059141004 | 0.0059439233 | 1.0050427 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.13670885E-5 | 1.13670885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8715207E-5 | 4.8715207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9295027E-4 | 5.9295027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059141004 | 0.0059439233 | 1.0050427 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.2387605E-6 | 8.2387605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.5308505E-5 | 3.5308505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2979766E-4 | 4.2979766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040691774 | 0.004289811 | 0.0043196823 | 1.0069634 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.851779E-6 | 6.851779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.936444E-5 | 2.936444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5745435E-4 | 3.5745435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003385164 | 0.00356889 | 0.003598783 | 1.008376 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8867467E-6 | 5.8867467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5228674E-5 | 2.5228674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0711654E-4 | 3.0711654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030669945 | 0.0030869332 | 1.0065011 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9410482E-6 | 4.9410482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.117575E-5 | 2.117575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5778482E-4 | 2.5778482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025749144 | 0.0025848886 | 1.0038736 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7524903E-6 | 3.7524903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6082004E-5 | 1.6082004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9578122E-4 | 1.9578122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019561285 | 0.0019661088 | 1.0051022 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6713403E-6 | 2.6713403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1448553E-5 | 1.1448553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3937749E-4 | 1.3937749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013929284 | 0.0014029145 | 1.0071691 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8021722E-6 | 1.8021722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.723573E-6 | 7.723573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.403061E-5 | 9.403061E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.399248E-4 | 9.499154E-4 | 1.0106292 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1499063E-6 | 1.1499063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.928161E-6 | 4.928161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999881E-5 | 5.999881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.998359E-4 | 5.998359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.388058E-7 | 6.388058E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7377366E-6 | 2.7377366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3331504E-5 | 3.3331504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332719E-4 | 3.332719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.640561E-6 | 3.640561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5602318E-5 | 1.5602318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.8994266E-4 | 1.9994075E-4 | 1.0526375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019305887 | 0.0020104342 | 1.0413581 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.640561E-6 | 3.640561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5602318E-5 | 1.5602318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.8994266E-4 | 1.9994075E-4 | 1.0526375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019305887 | 0.0020104342 | 1.0413581 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.640561E-6 | 3.640561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5602318E-5 | 1.5602318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.8994266E-4 | 1.9994075E-4 | 1.0526375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019305887 | 0.0020104342 | 1.0413581 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1608845E-6 | 3.1608845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3546582E-5 | 1.3546582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.6491789E-4 | 1.7491625E-4 | 1.0606263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016661528 | 0.0017360362 | 1.041943 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1608845E-6 | 3.1608845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3546582E-5 | 1.3546582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.6491789E-4 | 1.7491625E-4 | 1.0606263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016661528 | 0.0017360362 | 1.041943 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9759062E-6 | 2.9759062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2753826E-5 | 1.2753826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5526747E-4 | 1.6526591E-4 | 1.064395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015588228 | 0.0016187293 | 1.0384306 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8773843E-6 | 2.8773843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2331593E-5 | 1.2331593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016229092 | 1.501275E-4 | 1.6012599E-4 | 1.0666001 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015031485 | 0.0015630582 | 1.0398562 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8128245E-6 | 2.8128245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.205491E-5 | 1.205491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001463541 | 1.4675934E-4 | 1.5675787E-4 | 1.0681288 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014670434 | 0.0015269553 | 1.0408386 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2374516E-6 | 2.2374516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.589045E-6 | 9.589045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013164099 | 1.1674067E-4 | 1.267395E-4 | 1.08565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011670754 | 0.0012270054 | 1.0513506 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6096798E-6 | 1.6096798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.898609E-6 | 6.898609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011840039 | 8.398735E-5 | 9.3986506E-5 | 1.1190555 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.3978433E-4 | 8.99734E-4 | 1.0713869 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5409746E-6 | 1.5409746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.6041603E-6 | 6.6041603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010884746 | 8.04027E-5 | 9.0401896E-5 | 1.1243639 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.0391974E-4 | 8.638715E-4 | 1.0745744 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3876343E-6 | 1.3876343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.9469903E-6 | 5.9469903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010143308 | 7.240221E-5 | 8.2401486E-5 | 1.1381073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.2395586E-4 | 7.8391243E-4 | 1.082818 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2499866E-6 | 1.2499866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.3570743E-6 | 5.3570743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.522043E-5 | 7.521978E-5 | 1.1533161 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.5214327E-4 | 7.1210414E-4 | 1.0919443 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1125127E-6 | 1.1125127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.7679027E-6 | 4.7679027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.8047677E-5 | 6.80471E-5 | 1.1722622 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.8045075E-4 | 6.4041594E-4 | 1.103308 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.5569917E-7 | 8.5569917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.667277E-6 | 3.667277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4648186E-5 | 5.4647742E-5 | 1.2239633 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.4647642E-4 | 5.064496E-4 | 1.1343256 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.074345E-7 | 6.074345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.603288E-6 | 2.603288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1694573E-5 | 4.1694257E-5 | 1.3155015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.1690087E-4 | 3.7688186E-4 | 1.1892736 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.1993997E-7 | 3.1993997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.3711706E-6 | 1.3711706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6693875E-5 | 2.6693708E-5 | 1.5990121 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.669264E-4 | 2.1691805E-4 | 1.2994832 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.9756846E-8 | 8.9756846E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8467215E-7 | 3.8467215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.683374E-6 | 1.4683327E-5 | 3.1352026 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.683282E-5 | 6.683188E-5 | 1.4270309 | 2.0E-5 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7159836E-5 | 4.7159836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0210279E-4 | 2.1210077E-4 | 1.0494698 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024586525 | 0.0024686279 | 1.0040573 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021518968 | 0.024396472 | 0.024435496 | 1.0015996 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6859793E-5 | 1.6859793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.225432E-5 | 7.225432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.79352E-4 | 8.8934315E-4 | 1.011362 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009028391 | 0.008760006 | 0.008779831 | 1.0022631 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3677713E-5 | 1.3677713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.8617476E-5 | 5.8617476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.134379E-4 | 7.234308E-4 | 1.0140066 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007600669 | 0.007112058 | 0.0071219867 | 1.0013961 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2486308E-5 | 1.2486308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.351167E-5 | 5.351167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.51313E-4 | 6.6130643E-4 | 1.0153435 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00704657 | 0.0064945435 | 0.0065044784 | 1.0015298 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1983139E-5 | 1.1983139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.1355317E-5 | 5.1355317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.250746E-4 | 6.3506834E-4 | 1.0159881 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006810953 | 0.006233649 | 0.0062435865 | 1.0015942 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.105257E-5 | 1.105257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.736731E-5 | 4.736731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.765471E-4 | 5.8654137E-4 | 1.0173346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006372592 | 0.0057509625 | 0.005760905 | 1.0017289 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0067085E-5 | 1.0067085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3143948E-5 | 4.3143948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.2515307E-4 | 5.3514785E-4 | 1.0190321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0052395063 | 0.0052494537 | 1.0018985 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.520424E-6 | 9.520424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0801187E-5 | 4.0801187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.9664325E-4 | 5.066383E-4 | 1.0201252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049557067 | 0.004965657 | 1.0020078 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.303126E-6 | 9.303126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.9869938E-5 | 3.9869938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.853104E-4 | 4.953055E-4 | 1.0205953 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005550127 | 0.004842877 | 0.0048528286 | 1.0020549 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.595182E-6 | 8.595182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.6835987E-5 | 3.6835987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4838767E-4 | 4.5838318E-4 | 1.0222921 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044751796 | 0.004485135 | 1.0022246 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.028028E-6 | 8.028028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.4405388E-5 | 3.4405388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1880683E-4 | 4.2880262E-4 | 1.0238674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00496445 | 0.0041805143 | 0.0041904724 | 1.002382 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.655205E-6 | 7.655205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.280762E-5 | 3.280762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.9936128E-4 | 4.0935728E-4 | 1.02503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004792784 | 0.003986771 | 0.0039967312 | 1.0024983 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.933307E-6 | 5.933307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5428213E-5 | 2.5428213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.0954482E-4 | 3.1954172E-4 | 1.0322955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030913325 | 0.0031013016 | 1.0032248 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.598204E-6 | 5.598204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3992083E-5 | 2.3992083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9206477E-4 | 3.0206185E-4 | 1.034229 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029170038 | 0.0029269748 | 1.0034182 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.920289E-6 | 4.920289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1086784E-5 | 2.1086784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.5670155E-4 | 2.5670155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.002564234 | 0.002564234 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0853256E-6 | 4.0853256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.750842E-5 | 1.750842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1314427E-4 | 2.1314427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021294097 | 0.0021294097 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0892502E-6 | 3.0892502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.3239577E-5 | 1.3239577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6118001E-4 | 1.6118001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016106392 | 0.0016106392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.828728E-6 | 1.828728E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.837383E-6 | 7.837383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.541602E-5 | 9.541602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.537567E-4 | 9.537567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.510642E-7 | 3.510642E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.50456E-6 | 1.50456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8317865E-5 | 1.8317865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8316368E-4 | 1.8316368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2693853E-8 | 1.2693853E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.440223E-8 | 5.440223E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6234696E-7 | 6.6234696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.6234506E-6 | 6.6234506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0342936E-9 | 2.0342936E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.718402E-9 | 8.718402E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0614654E-7 | 1.0614654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0614649E-6 | 1.0614649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6363685E-5 | 1.6363685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.012828E-5 | 8.0127575E-5 | 1.1425859 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5349235E-4 | 8.934582E-4 | 1.0468262 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008530929 | 0.008600331 | 1.0081354 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6363685E-5 | 1.6363685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.012828E-5 | 8.0127575E-5 | 1.1425859 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5349235E-4 | 8.934582E-4 | 1.0468262 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008530929 | 0.008600331 | 1.0081354 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6363685E-5 | 1.6363685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.012828E-5 | 8.0127575E-5 | 1.1425859 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5349235E-4 | 8.934582E-4 | 1.0468262 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008530929 | 0.008600331 | 1.0081354 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6363685E-5 | 1.6363685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.012828E-5 | 8.0127575E-5 | 1.1425859 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5349235E-4 | 8.934582E-4 | 1.0468262 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008530929 | 0.008600331 | 1.0081354 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6363685E-5 | 1.6363685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.012828E-5 | 8.0127575E-5 | 1.1425859 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5349235E-4 | 8.934582E-4 | 1.0468262 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008530929 | 0.008600331 | 1.0081354 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6363685E-5 | 1.6363685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.012828E-5 | 8.0127575E-5 | 1.1425859 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5349235E-4 | 8.934582E-4 | 1.0468262 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008530929 | 0.008600331 | 1.0081354 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3886644E-5 | 1.3886644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9512884E-5 | 6.951229E-5 | 1.1680208 | 1.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.2433753E-4 | 7.6430856E-4 | 1.0551829 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072479746 | 0.007317467 | 1.0095879 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3692287E-5 | 1.3692287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.867996E-5 | 6.867938E-5 | 1.1704059 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.142034E-4 | 7.5417483E-4 | 1.0559665 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.0071472875 | 0.007216787 | 1.0097239 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3314311E-5 | 1.3314311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.7060137E-5 | 6.705957E-5 | 1.1752437 | 1.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.944946E-4 | 7.344668E-4 | 1.0575558 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0069514345 | 0.007020948 | 1.0099999 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1518228E-5 | 1.1518228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.936294E-5 | 5.9362446E-5 | 1.2025712 | 1.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 6.0083496E-4 | 6.408109E-4 | 1.066534 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.006020115 | 0.0060896934 | 1.0115577 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.713462E-6 | 9.713462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.1628486E-5 | 5.1628067E-5 | 1.2402102 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.067135E-4 | 5.466932E-4 | 1.0789001 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.0050833835 | 0.005153028 | 1.0137004 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.367798E-6 | 9.367798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 4.0147115E-5 | 5.014671E-5 | 1.2490739 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.8868597E-4 | 5.286664E-4 | 1.0818121 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.004903909 | 0.004973565 | 1.0142044 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.718187E-6 | 7.718187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.3077544E-5 | 4.3077212E-5 | 1.3023099 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0264832E-4 | 4.4263224E-4 | 1.0993023 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.0040469198 | 0.0041166362 | 1.017227 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.9513435E-6 | 6.9513435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9791152E-5 | 3.979085E-5 | 1.3356601 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6265026E-4 | 4.0263575E-4 | 1.110259 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.003648293 | 0.0037180376 | 1.019117 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.0586045E-6 | 5.0586045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1679554E-5 | 3.1679338E-5 | 1.4612541 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.639168E-4 | 3.0390624E-4 | 1.1515229 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.002663531 | 0.0027333447 | 1.0262109 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.6488854E-6 | 4.6488854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9923644E-5 | 2.9923445E-5 | 1.5019063 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.425435E-4 | 2.825338E-4 | 1.1648788 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024506915 | 0.00252052 | 1.0284934 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.1560734E-6 | 4.1560734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7811622E-5 | 2.7811444E-5 | 1.5614212 | 1.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.16835E-4 | 2.5682634E-4 | 1.184432 | 4.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0021947375 | 0.002264584 | 1.0318245 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.0755285E-6 | 4.0755285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.7466433E-5 | 2.746626E-5 | 1.5725167 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1263317E-4 | 2.5262465E-4 | 1.1880774 | 4.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.002152907 | 0.0022227564 | 1.0324441 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.7406705E-6 | 3.7406705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.6031347E-5 | 2.6031186E-5 | 1.6237679 | 1.0E-5 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9516425E-4 | 2.3515645E-4 | 1.2049155 | 4.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0019777492 | 0.0020476107 | 1.0353237 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.974843E-6 | 2.974843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2749265E-5 | 2.2749138E-5 | 1.784349 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5521131E-4 | 1.952051E-4 | 1.2576731 | 4.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015757503 | 0.00164564 | 1.0443532 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.5886267E-7 | 5.5886267E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3951236E-6 | 1.23950995E-5 | 5.17514 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.9160245E-5 | 4.9159662E-5 | 1.6858453 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0513899E-4 | 3.0202873E-4 | 3.2202268E-4 | 1.0661988 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.1586103E-7 | 1.1586103E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.9654716E-7 | 4.9654716E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 6.0454454E-6 | 6.0454454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.661552E-5 | 6.661552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.596505E-8 | 2.596505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.1127878E-7 | 1.1127878E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.3548183E-6 | 1.3548183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.5244346E-5 | 1.5244346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0721806E-5 | 5.0721806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1736299E-4 | 2.1736299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002643581 | 0.0026735018 | 1.0113182 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026161656 | 0.026229825 | 1.0026057 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0721806E-5 | 5.0721806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1736299E-4 | 2.1736299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002643581 | 0.0026735018 | 1.0113182 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026161656 | 0.026229825 | 1.0026057 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0721806E-5 | 5.0721806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1736299E-4 | 2.1736299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002643581 | 0.0026735018 | 1.0113182 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026161656 | 0.026229825 | 1.0026057 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0097925E-5 | 3.0097925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.289849E-4 | 1.289849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015692933 | 0.0015892619 | 1.0127246 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015585801 | 0.015644865 | 1.0037897 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0097925E-5 | 3.0097925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.289849E-4 | 1.289849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015692933 | 0.0015892619 | 1.0127246 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015585801 | 0.015644865 | 1.0037897 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5320987E-5 | 2.5320987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.085141E-4 | 1.085141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013203755 | 0.0013403491 | 1.0151272 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010529719 | 0.01312724 | 0.013176585 | 1.0037589 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5301933E-5 | 2.5301933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.0843245E-4 | 1.0843245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013193826 | 0.0013393562 | 1.0151386 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010520565 | 0.013117429 | 0.013166773 | 1.0037618 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2545019E-5 | 2.2545019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.661801E-5 | 9.661801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011757041 | 0.0011956806 | 1.0169911 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.011696452 | 0.011745867 | 1.0042248 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1846305E-5 | 2.1846305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.362374E-5 | 9.362374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011392875 | 0.0011592647 | 1.0175349 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.011336052 | 0.0113854855 | 1.0043607 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9029483E-5 | 1.9029483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.1552455E-5 | 8.1552455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.92462E-4 | 0.0010124422 | 1.020132 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009881696 | 0.009931202 | 1.0050099 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8033796E-5 | 1.8033796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.7285484E-5 | 7.7285484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.4055757E-4 | 9.6053875E-4 | 1.0212439 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009367134 | 0.009416666 | 1.0052878 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6203734E-5 | 1.6203734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.9442794E-5 | 6.9442794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.451506E-4 | 8.651337E-4 | 1.0236444 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008420663 | 0.00845041 | 1.0035326 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3868924E-5 | 1.3868924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9436952E-5 | 5.9436952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.234155E-4 | 7.4340106E-4 | 1.0276266 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007211714 | 0.00723157 | 1.0027533 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.217809E-5 | 1.217809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.219083E-5 | 5.219083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.3524884E-4 | 6.4524246E-4 | 1.0157318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0063354056 | 0.0063453424 | 1.0015684 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.793476E-6 | 9.793476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.197142E-5 | 4.197142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108917E-4 | 5.208866E-4 | 1.0195637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0050981133 | 0.0051080626 | 1.0019515 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7735706E-6 | 5.7735706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4743682E-5 | 2.4743682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0122034E-4 | 3.0122034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030088732 | 0.0030088732 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.604147E-7 | 2.604147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160627E-6 | 1.1160627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3588007E-5 | 1.3588007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587458E-4 | 1.3587458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3265477E-6 | 4.3265477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8542232E-5 | 1.8542232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2573127E-4 | 2.3572902E-4 | 1.0442904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022553136 | 0.0023251555 | 1.0309678 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3265477E-6 | 4.3265477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8542232E-5 | 1.8542232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2573127E-4 | 2.3572902E-4 | 1.0442904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022553136 | 0.0023251555 | 1.0309678 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3265477E-6 | 4.3265477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8542232E-5 | 1.8542232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2573127E-4 | 2.3572902E-4 | 1.0442904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022553136 | 0.0023251555 | 1.0309678 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3265477E-6 | 4.3265477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8542232E-5 | 1.8542232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2573127E-4 | 2.3572902E-4 | 1.0442904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022553136 | 0.0023251555 | 1.0309678 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3265477E-6 | 4.3265477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8542232E-5 | 1.8542232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2573127E-4 | 2.3572902E-4 | 1.0442904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022553136 | 0.0023251555 | 1.0309678 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3265477E-6 | 4.3265477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8542232E-5 | 1.8542232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2573127E-4 | 2.3572902E-4 | 1.0442904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022553136 | 0.0023251555 | 1.0309678 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5322224E-6 | 2.5322224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0852339E-5 | 1.0852339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321197E-4 | 1.4211838E-4 | 1.075679 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013204599 | 0.0013803806 | 1.0453787 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5322224E-6 | 2.5322224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0852339E-5 | 1.0852339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321197E-4 | 1.4211838E-4 | 1.075679 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013204599 | 0.0013803806 | 1.0453787 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.832461E-6 | 1.832461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.853381E-6 | 7.853381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.561085E-5 | 1.0560989E-4 | 1.1045806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010282523 | 9.557101E-4 | 0.0010056623 | 1.0522671 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7431943E-6 | 1.7431943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.470812E-6 | 7.470812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.095346E-5 | 1.0095255E-4 | 1.1099364 | 1.0E-5 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.091744E-4 | 9.591289E-4 | 1.054945 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3851122E-6 | 1.3851122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9361823E-6 | 5.9361823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.2270675E-5 | 8.226995E-5 | 1.1383587 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.2247686E-4 | 7.724407E-4 | 1.0691564 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1626511E-6 | 1.1626511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.9827813E-6 | 4.9827813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0663704E-5 | 7.0663096E-5 | 1.1648332 | 1.0E-5 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.0647464E-4 | 6.5644435E-4 | 1.0823936 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.411107E-7 | 9.411107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.0333257E-6 | 4.0333257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.9104652E-5 | 5.910416E-5 | 1.2036366 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.909399E-4 | 5.409153E-4 | 1.1017954 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2359137E-7 | 7.2359137E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1011023E-6 | 3.1011023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.775528E-5 | 4.77549E-5 | 1.2648536 | 1.0E-5 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7748975E-4 | 4.2747086E-4 | 1.132404 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0200816E-7 | 5.0200816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1514618E-6 | 2.1514618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6193737E-5 | 3.6193473E-5 | 1.3817607 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6190694E-4 | 3.1189385E-4 | 1.1908575 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.682926E-7 | 3.682926E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.5783959E-6 | 1.5783959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9216803E-5 | 2.9216611E-5 | 1.520368 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9215162E-4 | 2.4214202E-4 | 1.2601612 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3459488E-7 | 2.3459488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0054063E-6 | 1.0054063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2240754E-5 | 2.224063E-5 | 1.8169332 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.2240092E-4 | 1.723948E-4 | 1.4084437 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.859378E-8 | 6.859378E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.939733E-7 | 2.939733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5791195E-6 | 3.5791195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5790665E-5 | 5.578995E-5 | 1.558785 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3621607E-5 | 2.3621607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0123155E-4 | 1.0123155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012318006 | 0.0012417883 | 1.0081081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012290854 | 0.0123599935 | 1.0056252 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3621607E-5 | 2.3621607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0123155E-4 | 1.0123155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012318006 | 0.0012417883 | 1.0081081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012290854 | 0.0123599935 | 1.0056252 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3621607E-5 | 2.3621607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0123155E-4 | 1.0123155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012318006 | 0.0012417883 | 1.0081081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012290854 | 0.0123599935 | 1.0056252 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3621607E-5 | 2.3621607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0123155E-4 | 1.0123155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012318006 | 0.0012417883 | 1.0081081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012290854 | 0.0123599935 | 1.0056252 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3621607E-5 | 2.3621607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0123155E-4 | 1.0123155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012318006 | 0.0012417883 | 1.0081081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012290854 | 0.0123599935 | 1.0056252 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.3610566E-5 | 2.3610566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.0118423E-4 | 1.0118423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012312252 | 0.0012412128 | 1.008112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.012285163 | 0.012354303 | 1.0056279 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3224806E-5 | 2.3224806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.9531106E-5 | 9.9531106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012111209 | 0.0012211087 | 1.0082468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.012086319 | 0.012155472 | 1.0057217 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3200095E-5 | 2.3200095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.9425204E-5 | 9.9425204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.001209833 | 0.0012198208 | 1.0082556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.01207358 | 0.012142735 | 1.0057278 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.3048478E-5 | 2.3048478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.8775476E-5 | 9.8775476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0012019312 | 0.0012119191 | 1.00831 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.011995417 | 0.012064577 | 1.0057656 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.3007864E-5 | 2.3007864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.860143E-5 | 9.860143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011998145 | 0.0012098025 | 1.0083246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.011974478 | 0.01204364 | 1.0057758 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.240703E-5 | 2.240703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.6026604E-5 | 9.6026604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011684998 | 0.0011784881 | 1.008548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.01166463 | 0.011733813 | 1.005931 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2352064E-5 | 2.2352064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.579106E-5 | 9.579106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011656351 | 0.0011756234 | 1.008569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011636283 | 0.011705469 | 1.0059457 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1729944E-5 | 2.1729944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.312502E-5 | 9.312502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.00113321 | 0.0011431987 | 1.0088145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.011315388 | 0.011384595 | 1.0061163 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1599648E-5 | 2.1599648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.2566646E-5 | 9.2566646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011264189 | 0.0011364077 | 1.0088677 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011248202 | 0.011317415 | 1.0061532 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0972457E-5 | 2.0972457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.987887E-5 | 8.987887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010937285 | 0.0011037176 | 1.009133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.010925225 | 0.01099446 | 1.0063372 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.966843E-5 | 1.966843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.4290565E-5 | 8.4290565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010257567 | 0.0010357464 | 1.0097389 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.010253555 | 0.010322837 | 1.0067569 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.9108911E-5 | 1.9108911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.189277E-5 | 8.189277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.965907E-4 | 0.0010065807 | 1.0100242 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.009964557 | 0.01003386 | 1.0069549 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6549315E-5 | 1.6549315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.0923714E-5 | 7.0923714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.631558E-4 | 8.731472E-4 | 1.0115753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008641247 | 0.008710641 | 1.0080307 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.1242427E-5 | 1.1242427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.818094E-5 | 4.818094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.8644515E-4 | 5.964393E-4 | 1.0170419 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058917315 | 0.0059613194 | 1.011811 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.581902E-6 | 8.581902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.677906E-5 | 3.677906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.4769314E-4 | 4.5768867E-4 | 1.0223267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.0045081377 | 0.0045778225 | 1.0154575 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.891517E-6 | 4.891517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.0963476E-5 | 2.0963476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5520046E-4 | 2.5520046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015417566 | 0.0025728077 | 0.0026127049 | 1.0155072 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.2202787E-6 | 2.2202787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.5154455E-6 | 9.5154455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1584441E-4 | 1.1584441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011728838 | 0.0011728838 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.607588E-7 | 4.607588E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.974679E-6 | 1.974679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.4041454E-5 | 2.4041454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.4895053E-4 | 2.4895053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.50702E-8 | 8.50702E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.645865E-7 | 3.645865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.438832E-6 | 4.438832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.660403E-5 | 4.660403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3790984E-5 | 3.3790984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4481114E-4 | 1.4481114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017617707 | 0.0017717531 | 1.0056661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017490378 | 0.017559154 | 1.0039322 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3790984E-5 | 3.3790984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4481114E-4 | 1.4481114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017617707 | 0.0017717531 | 1.0056661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017490378 | 0.017559154 | 1.0039322 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3790984E-5 | 3.3790984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4481114E-4 | 1.4481114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017617707 | 0.0017717531 | 1.0056661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017490378 | 0.017559154 | 1.0039322 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5919286E-5 | 1.5919286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.822381E-5 | 6.822381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.303226E-4 | 8.303226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008273662 | 0.008283579 | 1.0011986 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5919286E-5 | 1.5919286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.822381E-5 | 6.822381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.303226E-4 | 8.303226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008273662 | 0.008283579 | 1.0011986 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1338607E-5 | 1.1338607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8593163E-5 | 4.8593163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.914681E-4 | 5.914681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006966323 | 0.005899645 | 0.005899645 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.627122E-6 | 8.627122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.697288E-5 | 3.697288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.500562E-4 | 4.500562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044918843 | 0.0044918843 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.8038275E-6 | 6.8038275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.9158953E-5 | 2.9158953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.549556E-4 | 3.549556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.003544204 | 0.003544204 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9374485E-6 | 4.9374485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.116033E-5 | 2.116033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5759768E-4 | 2.5759768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025731039 | 0.0025731039 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.833108E-6 | 3.833108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6427506E-5 | 1.6427506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9998704E-4 | 1.9998704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019981235 | 0.0019981235 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6802934E-6 | 2.6802934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1486923E-5 | 1.1486923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3984457E-4 | 1.3984457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.001397592 | 0.001397592 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8863861E-6 | 1.8863861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.0844875E-6 | 8.0844875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.842432E-5 | 9.842432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.838201E-4 | 9.838201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2824203E-6 | 1.2824203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.496076E-6 | 5.496076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.691277E-5 | 6.691277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.689363E-4 | 6.689363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.0613763E-7 | 6.0613763E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5977304E-6 | 2.5977304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1626947E-5 | 3.1626947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.162282E-4 | 3.162282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.112561E-7 | 3.112561E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.333954E-6 | 1.333954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6240769E-5 | 1.6240769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6239595E-4 | 1.6239595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8269512E-7 | 1.8269512E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.829789E-7 | 7.829789E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.532727E-6 | 9.532727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.532326E-5 | 9.532326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.9013902E-8 | 4.9013902E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.1005957E-7 | 2.1005957E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5574727E-6 | 2.5574727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5574469E-5 | 2.5574469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6797545E-5 | 1.6797545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.198781E-5 | 7.198781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.76154E-4 | 8.861452E-4 | 1.0114036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008732427 | 0.008801815 | 1.0079461 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6797545E-5 | 1.6797545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.198781E-5 | 7.198781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.76154E-4 | 8.861452E-4 | 1.0114036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008732427 | 0.008801815 | 1.0079461 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3684203E-5 | 1.3684203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.864554E-5 | 5.864554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1382424E-4 | 7.238171E-4 | 1.0139991 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007120111 | 0.007179684 | 1.0083668 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3684203E-5 | 1.3684203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.864554E-5 | 5.864554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1382424E-4 | 7.238171E-4 | 1.0139991 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007120111 | 0.007179684 | 1.0083668 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0172005E-5 | 1.0172005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.359381E-5 | 4.359381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.306665E-4 | 5.4066116E-4 | 1.0188342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052980306 | 0.0053477655 | 1.0093875 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0119424E-5 | 1.0119424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.336847E-5 | 4.336847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2792433E-4 | 5.3791906E-4 | 1.0189321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.005270739 | 0.0053204754 | 1.0094364 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.443432E-6 | 8.443432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6185862E-5 | 3.6185862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4051374E-4 | 4.5050934E-4 | 1.0226908 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.004400324 | 0.004450104 | 1.0113128 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.444159E-6 | 2.444159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0474926E-5 | 1.0474926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2752495E-4 | 1.2752495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012745364 | 0.0012845236 | 1.007836 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2065706E-6 | 2.2065706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.456698E-6 | 9.456698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.15129376E-4 | 1.15129376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011507142 | 0.0011607027 | 1.0086802 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.981305E-6 | 1.981305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.491281E-6 | 8.491281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.033766E-4 | 1.033766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010333011 | 0.0010432908 | 1.0096678 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.620487E-6 | 1.620487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.944926E-6 | 6.944926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.455132E-5 | 8.455132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.45204E-4 | 8.551955E-4 | 1.0118215 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1499063E-6 | 1.1499063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.928161E-6 | 4.928161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999881E-5 | 5.999881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.998359E-4 | 5.998359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.388058E-7 | 6.388058E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7377366E-6 | 2.7377366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3331504E-5 | 3.3331504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332719E-4 | 3.332719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0135816E-6 | 3.0135816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2915304E-5 | 2.2915174E-5 | 1.7742653 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5723566E-4 | 1.8723094E-4 | 1.1907665 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015715556 | 0.0016414457 | 1.0444719 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5491973E-6 | 1.5491973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.639403E-6 | 6.639403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.083223E-5 | 9.0831425E-5 | 1.123703 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080771E-4 | 8.2806096E-4 | 1.0247301 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5491973E-6 | 1.5491973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.639403E-6 | 6.639403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.083223E-5 | 9.0831425E-5 | 1.123703 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080771E-4 | 8.2806096E-4 | 1.0247301 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5491973E-6 | 1.5491973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.639403E-6 | 6.639403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.083223E-5 | 9.0831425E-5 | 1.123703 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080771E-4 | 8.2806096E-4 | 1.0247301 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5491973E-6 | 1.5491973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.639403E-6 | 6.639403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.083223E-5 | 9.0831425E-5 | 1.123703 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080771E-4 | 8.2806096E-4 | 1.0247301 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4911258E-6 | 1.4911258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.3905263E-6 | 6.3905263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.7802375E-5 | 8.78016E-5 | 1.1285207 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.7780004E-4 | 7.977845E-4 | 1.0256935 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.998446E-7 | 8.998446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.8564717E-6 | 3.8564717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.695162E-5 | 4.695162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6942566E-4 | 4.6942566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.5950777E-7 | 7.5950777E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2550297E-6 | 3.2550297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.9629336E-5 | 3.9629336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9622968E-4 | 3.9622968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.5010715E-7 | 6.5010715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7861709E-6 | 2.7861709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.3921166E-5 | 3.3921166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3916594E-4 | 3.3916594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.632229E-7 | 5.632229E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.4138105E-6 | 2.4138105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9387806E-5 | 2.9387806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9384487E-4 | 2.9384487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.1138688E-7 | 4.1138688E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7630856E-6 | 1.7630856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1465396E-5 | 2.1465396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1463708E-4 | 2.1463708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5215882E-7 | 3.5215882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5092514E-6 | 1.5092514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8375018E-5 | 1.8375018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8373848E-4 | 1.8373848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.119291E-8 | 3.119291E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.336839E-7 | 1.336839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6276003E-6 | 1.6276003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.6275892E-5 | 1.6275892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5947432E-8 | 1.5947432E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.834613E-8 | 6.834613E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.3211387E-7 | 8.3211387E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.321111E-6 | 8.321111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.865539E-9 | 4.865539E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.085231E-8 | 2.085231E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5387686E-7 | 2.5387686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.538767E-6 | 2.538767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.835169E-6 | 5.835169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.500765E-5 | 2.500765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0442962E-4 | 3.244235E-4 | 1.0656767 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030405214 | 0.0031103087 | 1.0229523 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.835169E-6 | 5.835169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.500765E-5 | 2.500765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0442962E-4 | 3.244235E-4 | 1.0656767 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030405214 | 0.0031103087 | 1.0229523 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.835169E-6 | 5.835169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.500765E-5 | 2.500765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0442962E-4 | 3.244235E-4 | 1.0656767 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030405214 | 0.0031103087 | 1.0229523 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3838683E-6 | 3.3838683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4502214E-5 | 1.4502214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7655063E-4 | 1.8654886E-4 | 1.056631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017641508 | 0.0018040802 | 1.0226338 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3838683E-6 | 3.3838683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4502214E-5 | 1.4502214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7655063E-4 | 1.8654886E-4 | 1.056631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017641508 | 0.0018040802 | 1.0226338 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8560169E-6 | 2.8560169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2240017E-5 | 1.2240017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4901234E-4 | 1.5901086E-4 | 1.0670985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.001489157 | 0.0015290974 | 1.0268208 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.381075E-6 | 2.381075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0204569E-5 | 1.0204569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2423375E-4 | 1.342325E-4 | 1.0804834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012416631 | 0.0012816135 | 1.0321748 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0966434E-6 | 2.0966434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.985585E-6 | 8.985585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.0939417E-4 | 1.1939307E-4 | 1.0914025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010934193 | 0.0011233864 | 1.0274068 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8916633E-6 | 1.8916633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.107104E-6 | 8.107104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869966E-5 | 1.08698674E-4 | 1.1013075 | 1.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.865721E-4 | 0.0010165425 | 1.0303783 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.683333E-6 | 1.683333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.214265E-6 | 7.214265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.783025E-5 | 9.7829376E-5 | 1.113846 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.7796664E-4 | 9.079403E-4 | 1.0341399 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2509757E-6 | 1.2509757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3613135E-6 | 5.3613135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.527206E-5 | 7.527141E-5 | 1.1531949 | 1.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.525312E-4 | 6.6252466E-4 | 1.0153149 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0952647E-6 | 1.0952647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.693983E-6 | 4.693983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7147754E-5 | 6.714718E-5 | 1.174975 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.713315E-4 | 5.8132573E-4 | 1.017493 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0488731E-6 | 1.0488731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4951626E-6 | 4.4951626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.472724E-5 | 6.472669E-5 | 1.1827143 | 1.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.471385E-4 | 5.57133E-4 | 1.0182669 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.768715E-7 | 9.768715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.1865856E-6 | 4.1865856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.097049E-5 | 6.0969982E-5 | 1.1961819 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.095888E-4 | 5.195837E-4 | 1.0196136 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.208626E-7 | 9.208626E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.946548E-6 | 3.946548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.8048172E-5 | 5.804769E-5 | 1.2081145 | 1.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.803786E-4 | 4.9037376E-4 | 1.0208069 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6755256E-7 | 8.6755256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.718077E-6 | 3.718077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5266657E-5 | 5.5266206E-5 | 1.2209032 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.525751E-4 | 4.6257058E-4 | 1.0220858 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.915349E-7 | 7.915349E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3922881E-6 | 3.3922881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.1300333E-5 | 5.1299918E-5 | 1.2421188 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1292727E-4 | 4.2292313E-4 | 1.0242074 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.8535877E-7 | 6.8535877E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9372486E-6 | 2.9372486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5760422E-5 | 3.5760422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5754734E-4 | 3.5754734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6487262E-7 | 3.6487262E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5637388E-6 | 1.5637388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9038358E-5 | 1.9038358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9036772E-4 | 1.9036772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6699385E-9 | 2.6699385E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1442593E-8 | 1.1442593E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3931357E-7 | 1.3931357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3931357E-6 | 1.3931357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7289934E-5 | 4.7289934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.026571E-4 | 2.026571E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024648192 | 0.0025047206 | 1.0161884 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.02440061 | 0.024459148 | 1.002399 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7289934E-5 | 4.7289934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.026571E-4 | 2.026571E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024648192 | 0.0025047206 | 1.0161884 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.02440061 | 0.024459148 | 1.002399 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7289934E-5 | 4.7289934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.026571E-4 | 2.026571E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024648192 | 0.0025047206 | 1.0161884 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.02440061 | 0.024459148 | 1.002399 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3624347E-5 | 3.3624347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4409683E-4 | 1.4409683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.001753037 | 0.0017929669 | 1.0227776 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.01739927 | 0.017458225 | 1.0033884 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3624347E-5 | 3.3624347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4409683E-4 | 1.4409683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.001753037 | 0.0017929669 | 1.0227776 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.01739927 | 0.017458225 | 1.0033884 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8618968E-5 | 2.8618968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2264724E-4 | 1.2264724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014922548 | 0.0015321951 | 1.0267651 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014827242 | 0.014886352 | 1.0039866 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4669183E-5 | 2.4669183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.0572098E-4 | 1.0572098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012864256 | 0.0013263741 | 1.0310539 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.01279322 | 0.012852452 | 1.00463 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1788597E-5 | 2.1788597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.3376504E-5 | 9.3376504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011362915 | 0.0011762461 | 1.0351622 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011307478 | 0.0113667995 | 1.0052463 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9024528E-5 | 1.9024528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.153124E-5 | 8.153124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.922077E-4 | 0.001032168 | 1.0402741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009879536 | 0.009938943 | 1.0060132 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6394486E-5 | 1.6394486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.026024E-5 | 7.026024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5509155E-4 | 8.9505734E-4 | 1.0467386 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008518945 | 0.008578435 | 1.0069832 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4542132E-5 | 1.4542132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.232197E-5 | 6.232197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.585116E-4 | 7.984812E-4 | 1.0526949 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.0075598443 | 0.0076193907 | 1.0078766 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4082197E-5 | 1.4082197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0350907E-5 | 6.0350907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.3453016E-4 | 7.745008E-4 | 1.0544165 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.0073216176 | 0.007381178 | 1.008135 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4019644E-5 | 1.4019644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0082835E-5 | 6.0082835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.312686E-4 | 7.712394E-4 | 1.0546595 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.0072892164 | 0.007348779 | 1.0081713 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3883744E-5 | 1.3883744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9500435E-5 | 5.9500435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.241826E-4 | 7.641536E-4 | 1.0551947 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0072188186 | 0.0072783856 | 1.0082517 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3651733E-5 | 1.3651733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8506146E-5 | 5.8506146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.120851E-4 | 7.5205666E-4 | 1.056133 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.007098623 | 0.0071581975 | 1.0083923 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3149253E-5 | 1.3149253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.6352757E-5 | 5.6352757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.8588444E-4 | 7.25857E-4 | 1.0582789 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006838259 | 0.0068978486 | 1.0087142 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1582896E-5 | 1.1582896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9640068E-5 | 4.9640068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.042054E-4 | 6.441812E-4 | 1.0661627 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060261586 | 0.0060857967 | 1.0098966 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0025597E-5 | 1.0025597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.2966163E-5 | 4.2966163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.229925E-4 | 5.5297685E-4 | 1.0573322 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.005218127 | 0.005267866 | 1.009532 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.2850878E-7 | 3.2850878E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.4078939E-6 | 1.4078939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7140977E-5 | 1.7140977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7139694E-4 | 1.7139694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6699385E-9 | 2.6699385E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1442593E-8 | 1.1442593E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3931357E-7 | 1.3931357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3931357E-6 | 1.3931357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.742393E-6 | 9.742393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1752515E-5 | 5.1752097E-5 | 1.2394966 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082314E-4 | 5.282212E-4 | 1.0393322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050719837 | 0.005131679 | 1.0117697 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.742393E-6 | 9.742393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1752515E-5 | 5.1752097E-5 | 1.2394966 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082314E-4 | 5.282212E-4 | 1.0393322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050719837 | 0.005131679 | 1.0117697 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.742393E-6 | 9.742393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1752515E-5 | 5.1752097E-5 | 1.2394966 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082314E-4 | 5.282212E-4 | 1.0393322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050719837 | 0.005131679 | 1.0117697 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.742393E-6 | 9.742393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1752515E-5 | 5.1752097E-5 | 1.2394966 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082314E-4 | 5.282212E-4 | 1.0393322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050719837 | 0.005131679 | 1.0117697 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.300448E-6 | 5.300448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2716027E-5 | 2.2716027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7653598E-4 | 2.865332E-4 | 1.0361516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027622592 | 0.0027921763 | 1.0108306 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.300448E-6 | 5.300448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2716027E-5 | 2.2716027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7653598E-4 | 2.865332E-4 | 1.0361516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027622592 | 0.0027921763 | 1.0108306 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.499019E-6 | 3.499019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4995718E-5 | 1.4995718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8255918E-4 | 1.9255735E-4 | 1.0547668 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018242499 | 0.001854195 | 1.0164151 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.485885E-6 | 3.485885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4939431E-5 | 1.4939431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.81874E-4 | 1.9187217E-4 | 1.0549731 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018174092 | 0.0018473547 | 1.016477 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7338797E-6 | 2.7338797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1716583E-5 | 1.1716583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.426414E-4 | 1.426414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014256305 | 0.001445602 | 1.0140089 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.4744913E-6 | 2.4744913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604927E-5 | 1.0604927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910867E-4 | 1.2910867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012904662 | 0.0013104404 | 1.0154783 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7430505E-6 | 1.7430505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4702007E-6 | 7.4702007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.0946945E-5 | 9.0946945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.092E-4 | 9.291818E-4 | 1.0219773 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5716477E-7 | 3.5716477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5307053E-6 | 1.5307053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.863618E-5 | 1.863618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.8634641E-4 | 1.9634455E-4 | 1.0536535 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2751586E-7 | 2.2751586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750676E-7 | 9.750676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1871384E-5 | 1.1871384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.18707605E-4 | 1.2870642E-4 | 1.0842307 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.606163E-7 | 1.606163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.883554E-7 | 6.883554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380695E-6 | 8.380695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.3803854E-5 | 8.3803854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.14322134E-7 | 1.14322134E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899519E-7 | 4.899519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.9651484E-6 | 5.9651484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9649927E-5 | 5.9649927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9789943E-8 | 4.9789943E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1338545E-7 | 2.1338545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.597965E-6 | 2.597965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5979363E-5 | 2.5979363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5318542E-9 | 1.5318542E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5650894E-9 | 6.5650894E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992996E-8 | 7.992996E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.9929964E-7 | 7.9929964E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.7793347E-4 | 4.7793347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020467157 | 0.0020467157 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024625072 | 0.02464458 | 1.0007921 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.2140437 | 0.21409087 | 1.0002203 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.7793347E-4 | 4.7793347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020467157 | 0.0020467157 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024625072 | 0.02464458 | 1.0007921 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.2140437 | 0.21409087 | 1.0002203 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.687423E-4 | 4.687423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020073857 | 0.0020073857 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011405343 | 0.024157584 | 0.0241771 | 1.0008079 | 2.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.21047239 | 0.21051976 | 1.0002251 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.630883E-4 | 4.630883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019831914 | 0.0019831914 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011262234 | 0.023870552 | 0.023890074 | 1.0008179 | 2.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.20836203 | 0.20840953 | 1.0002279 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0196386E-4 | 4.0196386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017215793 | 0.0017215793 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00974259 | 0.020757414 | 0.020776998 | 1.0009435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.18511593 | 0.18516484 | 1.0002642 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7622888E-4 | 3.7622888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016114254 | 0.0016114254 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009034078 | 0.019443072 | 0.019462684 | 1.0010086 | 2.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17492771 | 0.17497723 | 1.000283 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.503029E-4 | 3.503029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0015004445 | 0.0015004445 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008271996 | 0.018116567 | 0.018136205 | 1.001084 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16431898 | 0.16436912 | 1.0003052 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2186724E-4 | 3.2186724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013787101 | 0.0013787101 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007417723 | 0.01665806 | 0.016677726 | 1.0011806 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15242328 | 0.15247414 | 1.0003337 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9162812E-4 | 2.9162812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012492423 | 0.0012492423 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015104902 | 0.015124599 | 1.001304 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13881046 | 0.13886212 | 1.0003723 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6338815E-4 | 2.6338815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011283223 | 0.0011283223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005298089 | 0.013651803 | 0.01367153 | 1.001445 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.1253048 | 0.12535729 | 1.0004188 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2463492E-4 | 2.2463492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.623691E-4 | 9.623691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039900932 | 0.01165461 | 0.011674377 | 1.0016961 | 2.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.107528605 | 0.10757323 | 1.000415 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2145854E-4 | 2.2145854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.4876596E-4 | 9.4876596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039125155 | 0.01149075 | 0.011510521 | 1.0017205 | 2.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.10608987 | 0.10613456 | 1.0004213 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0271416E-4 | 2.0271416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6848874E-4 | 8.6848874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010523229 | 0.010543018 | 1.0018805 | 2.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.09775419 | 0.0977993 | 1.0004615 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.8899838E-4 | 1.8899838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.097445E-4 | 8.097445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009814668 | 0.009834472 | 1.0020177 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.09164237 | 0.09168779 | 1.0004956 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.25757E-4 | 1.25757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.388481E-4 | 5.388481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023488526 | 0.0065409173 | 0.0065607866 | 1.0030377 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.0625663 | 0.0626038 | 1.0005993 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.374596E-5 | 9.374596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0170684E-4 | 4.0170684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004879876 | 0.0048997784 | 1.0040785 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.047230907 | 0.047269017 | 1.0008069 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.0869E-5 | 7.0869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0368907E-4 | 3.0368907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036911701 | 0.0037110965 | 1.0053984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.03599416 | 0.03603272 | 1.0010713 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.9695725E-5 | 4.9695725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1296433E-4 | 2.1296433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025897634 | 0.0026097116 | 1.0077027 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.02542126 | 0.025450498 | 1.0011501 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9943872E-5 | 3.9943872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.711768E-4 | 1.711768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.002082088 | 0.0021020465 | 1.0095857 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020545661 | 0.020575045 | 1.0014302 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8948032E-5 | 2.8948032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.240571E-4 | 1.240571E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0015093498 | 0.0015193347 | 1.0066154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.0150855165 | 0.015105215 | 1.0013058 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3450795E-5 | 2.3450795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 1.0049954E-4 | 1.0049954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.001222896 | 0.0012328838 | 1.0081673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012292199 | 0.012311953 | 1.0016071 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.4021077E-6 | 7.4021077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1722935E-5 | 3.1722935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.861584E-4 | 3.9615456E-4 | 1.025886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020520731 | 0.004038078 | 0.0040480373 | 1.0024664 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2466038E-6 | 2.2466038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.6282665E-6 | 9.6282665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.1721787E-4 | 1.1721787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0012814577 | 0.0012814577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.7512122E-8 | 1.7512122E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.505195E-8 | 7.505195E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.137574E-7 | 9.137574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.526993E-6 | 9.526993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.898629E-5 | 4.898629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.099273E-4 | 2.099273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025533803 | 0.0025932782 | 1.0156255 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025299244 | 0.025357725 | 1.0023116 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.69053E-5 | 2.69053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15303956E-4 | 1.15303956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014030316 | 0.0014230035 | 1.0142349 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.0139606 | 0.013990181 | 1.002119 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.69053E-5 | 2.69053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15303956E-4 | 1.15303956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014030316 | 0.0014230035 | 1.0142349 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.0139606 | 0.013990181 | 1.002119 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8187131E-5 | 1.8187131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.794277E-5 | 7.794277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.485855E-4 | 9.5857604E-4 | 1.010532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.00945781 | 0.009477621 | 1.0020946 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8187131E-5 | 1.8187131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.794277E-5 | 7.794277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.485855E-4 | 9.5857604E-4 | 1.010532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.00945781 | 0.009477621 | 1.0020946 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6673432E-5 | 1.6673432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.1455856E-5 | 7.1455856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.696716E-4 | 8.796629E-4 | 1.0114886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.00867497 | 0.008694797 | 1.0022855 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2056756E-5 | 1.2056756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.167098E-5 | 5.167098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.289466E-4 | 6.389403E-4 | 1.0158896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004929154 | 0.0062836586 | 0.0063035325 | 1.0031629 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0417481E-5 | 1.0417481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4645763E-5 | 4.4645763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.434589E-4 | 5.5345346E-4 | 1.0183907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054337406 | 0.0054536317 | 1.0036607 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.816789E-6 | 3.816789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6357577E-5 | 1.6357577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9913739E-4 | 2.091354E-4 | 1.0502065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019911258 | 0.0020011058 | 1.0050123 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.154997E-6 | 2.154997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.23567E-6 | 9.23567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.124387E-4 | 1.2243757E-4 | 1.0889274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011243611 | 0.0011343498 | 1.008884 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5448495E-6 | 1.5448495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.620767E-6 | 6.620767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.060492E-5 | 9.060411E-5 | 1.1240519 | 1.0E-5 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.061676E-4 | 8.1615953E-4 | 1.0123943 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4750826E-6 | 1.4750826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.3217676E-6 | 6.3217676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.696486E-5 | 8.696409E-5 | 1.1299194 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.69779E-4 | 7.7977136E-4 | 1.0129807 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3590618E-6 | 1.3590618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.8245378E-6 | 5.8245378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.09115E-5 | 8.091079E-5 | 1.1410109 | 1.0E-5 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.092711E-4 | 7.19264E-4 | 1.014089 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1232352E-6 | 1.1232352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8138563E-6 | 4.8138563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.8607173E-5 | 6.860659E-5 | 1.1706176 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8604265E-4 | 5.960368E-4 | 1.0170536 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.250058E-7 | 9.250058E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9643046E-6 | 3.9643046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.8264377E-5 | 4.8264377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.825592E-4 | 4.825592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.63515E-7 | 7.63515E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2722032E-6 | 3.2722032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.983838E-5 | 3.983838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9831578E-4 | 3.9831578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.891905E-7 | 6.891905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9536702E-6 | 2.9536702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.5960373E-5 | 3.5960373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5954872E-4 | 3.5954872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4217508E-7 | 1.4217508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.0932166E-7 | 6.0932166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.418476E-6 | 7.418476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.418325E-5 | 7.418325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.466426E-5 | 3.466426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4855266E-4 | 1.5855118E-4 | 1.0673062 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018071302 | 0.001827094 | 1.0110472 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018662075 | 0.018711142 | 1.0026293 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.466426E-5 | 3.466426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4855266E-4 | 1.5855118E-4 | 1.0673062 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018071302 | 0.001827094 | 1.0110472 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018662075 | 0.018711142 | 1.0026293 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.466426E-5 | 3.466426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4855266E-4 | 1.5855118E-4 | 1.0673062 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018071302 | 0.001827094 | 1.0110472 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018662075 | 0.018711142 | 1.0026293 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.466426E-5 | 3.466426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4855266E-4 | 1.5855118E-4 | 1.0673062 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018071302 | 0.001827094 | 1.0110472 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018662075 | 0.018711142 | 1.0026293 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4585773E-5 | 3.4585773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4821634E-4 | 1.5821485E-4 | 1.067459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0018030425 | 0.0018230064 | 1.0110724 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.01862193 | 0.018670999 | 1.002635 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4585773E-5 | 3.4585773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4821634E-4 | 1.5821485E-4 | 1.067459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0018030425 | 0.0018230064 | 1.0110724 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.01862193 | 0.018670999 | 1.002635 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.454913E-5 | 3.454913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4805932E-4 | 1.5805784E-4 | 1.0675305 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0018011342 | 0.0018210982 | 1.0110841 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.018603187 | 0.018652257 | 1.0026377 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.4534696E-5 | 3.4534696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4799745E-4 | 1.5799596E-4 | 1.0675588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0018003823 | 0.0018203463 | 1.0110887 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.018595805 | 0.018644877 | 1.0026388 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4503722E-5 | 3.4503722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4786473E-4 | 1.5786325E-4 | 1.0676193 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017987692 | 0.0018187332 | 1.0110987 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.018579949 | 0.01862902 | 1.0026411 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4464112E-5 | 3.4464112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.47695E-4 | 1.5769352E-4 | 1.067697 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 0.001796706 | 0.0018166701 | 1.0111115 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.018559668 | 0.018608741 | 1.0026441 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.434603E-5 | 3.434603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4718898E-4 | 1.5718752E-4 | 1.0679299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017905557 | 0.0018105198 | 1.0111498 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.018499207 | 0.018548282 | 1.0026528 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.4302288E-5 | 3.4302288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4700153E-4 | 1.5700006E-4 | 1.0680165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017882772 | 0.0018082414 | 1.011164 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.0184768 | 0.018525876 | 1.0026561 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.423638E-5 | 3.423638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.467191E-4 | 1.5671764E-4 | 1.0681474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017848442 | 0.0018048085 | 1.0111854 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018443028 | 0.018492104 | 1.0026611 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.4124372E-5 | 3.4124372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4623914E-4 | 1.5623767E-4 | 1.0683712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 0.00177901 | 0.0017989745 | 1.0112222 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.01838543 | 0.018434511 | 1.0026696 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.4071756E-5 | 3.4071756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4601364E-4 | 1.5601219E-4 | 1.0684768 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017762693 | 0.0017962338 | 1.0112395 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.018358368 | 0.018407451 | 1.0026735 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.3880297E-5 | 3.3880297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.451932E-4 | 1.5519175E-4 | 1.0688637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017662967 | 0.0017862613 | 1.0113031 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.018258838 | 0.018307926 | 1.0026884 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.2392913E-5 | 3.2392913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3881939E-4 | 1.48818E-4 | 1.072026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016888179 | 0.0017087841 | 1.0118226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.017473182 | 0.017522307 | 1.0028116 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9480356E-5 | 2.9480356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2633827E-4 | 1.3633701E-4 | 1.0791426 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015370842 | 0.0015570534 | 1.0129917 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.015956964 | 0.016006168 | 1.0030835 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6761902E-5 | 2.6761902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1468883E-4 | 1.2468768E-4 | 1.0871824 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 0.001395443 | 0.0014154151 | 1.0143124 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.014533543 | 0.0145828165 | 1.0033903 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.1718288E-5 | 2.1718288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.3075054E-5 | 1.03074126E-4 | 1.1074302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011326005 | 0.0011525779 | 1.0176384 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.011886757 | 0.011936163 | 1.0041564 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.6107258E-5 | 1.6107258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.902929E-5 | 6.902929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.401082E-4 | 8.401082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00812392 | 0.008899998 | 0.008909909 | 1.0011137 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.400946E-6 | 8.400946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.600356E-5 | 3.600356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.382557E-4 | 4.382557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0047124038 | 0.0047223563 | 1.002112 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5938106E-6 | 1.5938106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.830599E-6 | 6.830599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.315939E-5 | 8.315939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.644863E-4 | 9.644863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6914315E-7 | 3.6914315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5820413E-6 | 1.5820413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.9261186E-5 | 1.9261186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.3201035E-4 | 2.3201035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6766065E-5 | 3.6766065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5756265E-4 | 1.5756265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019172227 | 0.0019272035 | 1.0052059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019064324 | 0.01911337 | 1.0025727 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6766065E-5 | 3.6766065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5756265E-4 | 1.5756265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019172227 | 0.0019272035 | 1.0052059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019064324 | 0.01911337 | 1.0025727 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6766065E-5 | 3.6766065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5756265E-4 | 1.5756265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019172227 | 0.0019272035 | 1.0052059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019064324 | 0.01911337 | 1.0025727 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6766065E-5 | 3.6766065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5756265E-4 | 1.5756265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019172227 | 0.0019272035 | 1.0052059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019064324 | 0.01911337 | 1.0025727 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4853209E-5 | 1.4853209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.365508E-5 | 6.365508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.747302E-4 | 7.8472245E-4 | 1.0128977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077208444 | 0.0077506127 | 1.0038556 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4853209E-5 | 1.4853209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.365508E-5 | 6.365508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.747302E-4 | 7.8472245E-4 | 1.0128977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077208444 | 0.0077506127 | 1.0038556 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.301515E-5 | 1.301515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5778033E-5 | 5.5778033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.788877E-4 | 6.888809E-4 | 1.01472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067683486 | 0.0067882133 | 1.0029349 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2631572E-5 | 1.2631572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4134194E-5 | 5.4134194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.5888616E-4 | 6.688796E-4 | 1.0151671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00647886 | 0.0065695243 | 0.0065893927 | 1.0030243 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2233928E-5 | 1.2233928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2430074E-5 | 5.2430074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.3815084E-4 | 6.4814446E-4 | 1.0156603 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062912325 | 0.0063633714 | 0.0063832444 | 1.003123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1160151E-5 | 1.1160151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.7828347E-5 | 4.7828347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.8215583E-4 | 5.9214997E-4 | 1.0171676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058064535 | 0.0058263377 | 1.0034244 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.058436E-5 | 1.058436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.536076E-5 | 4.536076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.5212853E-4 | 5.6212296E-4 | 1.0181017 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055039856 | 0.005507706 | 0.005527596 | 1.0036113 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.983552E-6 | 9.983552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.278596E-5 | 4.278596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.2079576E-4 | 5.3079054E-4 | 1.0191914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052155964 | 0.0051958854 | 0.0052058334 | 1.0019146 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.75112E-6 | 8.75112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7504265E-5 | 3.7504265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5651986E-4 | 4.665153E-4 | 1.0218948 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046197 | 0.0045559388 | 0.004565893 | 1.002185 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.507112E-6 | 7.507112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2172946E-5 | 3.2172946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9163625E-4 | 4.0163234E-4 | 1.0255239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039319694 | 0.003909568 | 0.003919529 | 1.0025479 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.1848796E-6 | 6.1848796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6506363E-5 | 2.6506363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2266814E-4 | 3.326649E-4 | 1.0309815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032220937 | 0.0032320616 | 1.0030936 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.441959E-6 | 4.441959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9036832E-5 | 1.9036832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3174948E-4 | 2.3174948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023151475 | 0.0023151475 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.300987E-6 | 1.300987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.5756473E-6 | 5.5756473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.788146E-5 | 6.788146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.786142E-4 | 6.786142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.6128283E-7 | 5.6128283E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.405496E-6 | 2.405496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9286555E-5 | 2.9286555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9283052E-4 | 2.9283052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.803465E-8 | 4.803465E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0586276E-7 | 2.0586276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5063764E-6 | 2.5063764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5063491E-5 | 2.5063491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.7076135E-6 | 6.7076135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8746597E-5 | 2.8746597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.499337E-4 | 3.699267E-4 | 1.0571337 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035741166 | 0.003623938 | 1.0139395 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.7076135E-6 | 6.7076135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8746597E-5 | 2.8746597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.499337E-4 | 3.699267E-4 | 1.0571337 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035741166 | 0.003623938 | 1.0139395 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.7076135E-6 | 6.7076135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8746597E-5 | 2.8746597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.499337E-4 | 3.699267E-4 | 1.0571337 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035741166 | 0.003623938 | 1.0139395 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.7076135E-6 | 6.7076135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8746597E-5 | 2.8746597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.499337E-4 | 3.699267E-4 | 1.0571337 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035741166 | 0.003623938 | 1.0139395 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.7076135E-6 | 6.7076135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8746597E-5 | 2.8746597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.499337E-4 | 3.699267E-4 | 1.0571337 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035741166 | 0.003623938 | 1.0139395 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.6678267E-6 | 6.6678267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8576087E-5 | 2.8576087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4785838E-4 | 3.6785143E-4 | 1.0574746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.00355343 | 0.0036032526 | 1.0140209 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.6678267E-6 | 6.6678267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8576087E-5 | 2.8576087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4785838E-4 | 3.6785143E-4 | 1.0574746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.00355343 | 0.0036032526 | 1.0140209 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.586992E-6 | 6.586992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.822966E-5 | 2.822966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.43642E-4 | 3.636351E-4 | 1.0581801 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0035113997 | 0.003561224 | 1.0141894 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.581479E-6 | 6.581479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8206034E-5 | 2.8206034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4335442E-4 | 3.6334756E-4 | 1.0582289 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0035085331 | 0.0035583577 | 1.0142009 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.572866E-6 | 6.572866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.8169123E-5 | 2.8169123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4290517E-4 | 3.628983E-4 | 1.0583051 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0035040549 | 0.0035538797 | 1.0142192 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.5629793E-6 | 6.5629793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.8126751E-5 | 2.8126751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.4238945E-4 | 3.623826E-4 | 1.058393 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.003498914 | 0.003548739 | 1.0142401 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.551683E-6 | 6.551683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.8078339E-5 | 2.8078339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.4180022E-4 | 3.6179338E-4 | 1.0584937 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0034930408 | 0.0035428663 | 1.0142642 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.533633E-6 | 6.533633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.8000984E-5 | 2.8000984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.4085874E-4 | 3.6085193E-4 | 1.0586554 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034836603 | 0.003533486 | 1.0143027 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.5143886E-6 | 6.5143886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.791851E-5 | 2.791851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.3985492E-4 | 3.598481E-4 | 1.0588286 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0034736688 | 0.003523495 | 1.014344 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.4954406E-6 | 6.4954406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7837306E-5 | 2.7837306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.3886658E-4 | 3.588598E-4 | 1.0590003 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0034638257 | 0.0035136524 | 1.0143849 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.471678E-6 | 6.471678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.7735468E-5 | 2.7735468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.3762708E-4 | 3.5762033E-4 | 1.059217 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034514794 | 0.0035013068 | 1.0144365 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.430728E-6 | 6.430728E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.755997E-5 | 2.755997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.3549106E-4 | 3.5548434E-4 | 1.0595942 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.00343018 | 0.0034700427 | 1.0116212 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.2228432E-6 | 6.2228432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.6669055E-5 | 2.6669055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2464744E-4 | 3.4464095E-4 | 1.0615853 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0033216004 | 0.0033614675 | 1.0120023 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.782465E-6 | 5.782465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.4781757E-5 | 2.4781757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.871688E-4 | 3.0167616E-4 | 3.2167014E-4 | 1.0662763 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0030909872 | 0.0031308634 | 1.0129008 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.1135077E-6 | 4.1135077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.76292E-5 | 1.76292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.1461441E-4 | 2.3461012E-4 | 1.0931704 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0022136394 | 0.002253551 | 1.0180298 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.556784E-6 | 2.556784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0957599E-5 | 1.0957599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3340064E-4 | 1.3340064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013892549 | 0.0013892549 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2321565E-6 | 1.2321565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.28066E-6 | 5.28066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.429016E-5 | 6.429016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.7662075E-4 | 6.7662075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.2207072E-7 | 2.2207072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.517313E-7 | 9.517313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1587267E-5 | 1.1587267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.3006543E-4 | 1.3006543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.853769E-8 | 4.853769E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.0801865E-7 | 2.0801865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.5326242E-6 | 2.5326242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.9258856E-5 | 2.9258856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7272857E-5 | 4.7272857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0258404E-4 | 2.0258404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024639927 | 0.0024839432 | 1.0080969 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024400352 | 0.024439376 | 1.0015993 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7272857E-5 | 4.7272857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0258404E-4 | 2.0258404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024639927 | 0.0024839432 | 1.0080969 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024400352 | 0.024439376 | 1.0015993 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7272857E-5 | 4.7272857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0258404E-4 | 2.0258404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024639927 | 0.0024839432 | 1.0080969 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024400352 | 0.024439376 | 1.0015993 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.827975E-5 | 1.827975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.8339544E-5 | 7.8339544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.533856E-4 | 9.633761E-4 | 1.010479 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01018413 | 0.009495797 | 0.009525512 | 1.0031292 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3613703E-5 | 1.3613703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.834317E-5 | 5.834317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.101026E-4 | 7.200955E-4 | 1.0140724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070798527 | 0.007099711 | 1.0028049 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3110247E-5 | 1.3110247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.6185596E-5 | 5.6185596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.838508E-4 | 6.9384393E-4 | 1.014613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007874036 | 0.0068189665 | 0.00683883 | 1.002913 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0388335E-5 | 1.0388335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.4520686E-5 | 4.4520686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.419065E-4 | 5.419065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006737438 | 0.0054069655 | 0.0054069655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.906739E-6 | 9.906739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2456773E-5 | 4.2456773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.167905E-4 | 5.167905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006522954 | 0.0051570027 | 0.0051570027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.502525E-6 | 9.502525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.0724484E-5 | 4.0724484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.9570965E-4 | 4.9570965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063434686 | 0.004947075 | 0.004947075 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.779525E-6 | 8.779525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.7626E-5 | 3.7626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5800192E-4 | 4.5800192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00602425 | 0.004571492 | 0.004571492 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.0902255E-6 | 8.0902255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4671943E-5 | 3.4671943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.2205068E-4 | 4.2205068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057049696 | 0.0042133946 | 0.0042133946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.3321717E-6 | 7.3321717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.142322E-5 | 3.142322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8251185E-4 | 3.8251185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038196275 | 0.0038196275 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5483046E-6 | 6.5483046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8063869E-5 | 2.8063869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4162524E-4 | 3.4162524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034120174 | 0.0034120174 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.6020504E-6 | 5.6020504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.4008574E-5 | 2.4008574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.9226622E-4 | 2.9226622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.002919129 | 0.002919129 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.031715E-6 | 5.031715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.156432E-5 | 2.156432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.6251498E-4 | 2.6251498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.002622164 | 0.002622164 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9369097E-6 | 3.9369097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6872367E-5 | 1.6872367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.054026E-4 | 2.054026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020522168 | 0.0020522168 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3980803E-6 | 3.3980803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4563125E-5 | 1.4563125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7729244E-4 | 1.7729244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017715908 | 0.0017715908 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.335305E-6 | 2.335305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.0008415E-5 | 1.0008415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2184639E-4 | 1.2184639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.001217869 | 0.001217869 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.3929124E-8 | 9.3929124E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0255333E-7 | 4.0255333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.901079E-6 | 4.901079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.901004E-5 | 4.901004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4418608E-9 | 3.4418608E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4750832E-8 | 1.4750832E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7959135E-7 | 1.7959135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7959123E-6 | 1.7959123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4695805E-5 | 1.4695805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.298071E-5 | 6.298071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.665588E-4 | 7.7655114E-4 | 1.0130353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076429415 | 0.0076925596 | 1.006492 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4695805E-5 | 1.4695805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.298071E-5 | 6.298071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.665588E-4 | 7.7655114E-4 | 1.0130353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076429415 | 0.0076925596 | 1.006492 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4695805E-5 | 1.4695805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.298071E-5 | 6.298071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.665588E-4 | 7.7655114E-4 | 1.0130353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076429415 | 0.0076925596 | 1.006492 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.864884E-6 | 9.864884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2277523E-5 | 4.2277523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1463046E-4 | 5.246253E-4 | 1.0194215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051366696 | 0.0051665157 | 1.0058104 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.864884E-6 | 9.864884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2277523E-5 | 4.2277523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1463046E-4 | 5.246253E-4 | 1.0194215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051366696 | 0.0051665157 | 1.0058104 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.881549E-6 | 7.881549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3777746E-5 | 3.3777746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1118715E-4 | 4.2118304E-4 | 1.0243099 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.0041062953 | 0.0041262135 | 1.0048506 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.179427E-6 | 7.179427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.0768722E-5 | 3.0768722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.745652E-4 | 3.8456143E-4 | 1.0266876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037413368 | 0.0037512993 | 1.0026629 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.1256856E-6 | 6.1256856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6252785E-5 | 2.6252785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.1960028E-4 | 3.2959707E-4 | 1.0312791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031933193 | 0.0032032873 | 1.0031215 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.5640145E-6 | 2.5640145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.098861E-5 | 1.098861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3378212E-4 | 1.3378212E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013374075 | 0.0013374075 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.345053E-6 | 2.345053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0050211E-5 | 1.0050211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2235841E-4 | 1.2235841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012232999 | 0.0012232999 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6888065E-6 | 1.6888065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.237742E-6 | 7.237742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.811951E-5 | 8.811951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.8119507E-4 | 8.8119507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.0782255E-4 | 5.0782255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021746065 | 0.0021746065 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026158407 | 0.026168145 | 1.0003723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.13367249 | 0.22880463 | 0.22884318 | 1.0001686 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.8857357E-4 | 4.8857357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001086234 | 0.0020922448 | 0.0020922448 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013144928 | 0.025176695 | 0.025186444 | 1.0003872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.2201544 | 0.2201934 | 1.0001771 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.7949058E-4 | 4.7949058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020533793 | 0.0020533793 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01286919 | 0.024714975 | 0.024724727 | 1.0003946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.21665291 | 0.21669208 | 1.0001808 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.6066832E-4 | 4.6066832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.001972836 | 0.001972836 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012036599 | 0.023751607 | 0.02376137 | 1.000411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.20854732 | 0.2085869 | 1.0001898 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 4.0048308E-4 | 4.0048308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017152418 | 0.0017152418 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010539869 | 0.02068611 | 0.020695904 | 1.0004734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.1856849 | 0.18572563 | 1.0002192 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.714936E-4 | 3.714936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015911564 | 0.0015911564 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009633281 | 0.019199163 | 0.01920897 | 1.0005108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.17388222 | 0.17392352 | 1.0002376 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4180965E-4 | 3.4180965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014640864 | 0.0014640864 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008617763 | 0.01767561 | 0.017685432 | 1.0005558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16132015 | 0.16136208 | 1.00026 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.0892866E-4 | 3.0892866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013233165 | 0.0013233165 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015993753 | 0.016003594 | 1.0006152 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.14697333 | 0.14701599 | 1.0002902 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.7897372E-4 | 2.7897372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011950601 | 0.0011950601 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014454186 | 0.014464041 | 1.0006819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13336582 | 0.13340916 | 1.000325 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5093812E-4 | 2.5093812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.00107501 | 0.00107501 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051317946 | 0.013010673 | 0.013020543 | 1.0007586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.11973186 | 0.11977588 | 1.0003676 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1325808E-4 | 2.1325808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.136463E-4 | 9.136463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003811904 | 0.011067598 | 0.011077488 | 1.0008936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.10230677 | 0.10234267 | 1.000351 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.1026377E-4 | 2.1026377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 9.0082246E-4 | 9.0082246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003737482 | 0.010913042 | 0.010922933 | 1.0009063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.100940526 | 0.10097649 | 1.0003563 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9192771E-4 | 1.9192771E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.2229107E-4 | 8.2229107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009966063 | 0.009975963 | 1.0009934 | 1.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.092741676 | 0.09277797 | 1.0003914 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7861996E-4 | 1.7861996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.652924E-4 | 7.652924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009278207 | 0.0092881145 | 1.0010678 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.08678583 | 0.08682236 | 1.0004209 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1551766E-4 | 1.1551766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.9498264E-4 | 4.9498264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021888057 | 0.0060099317 | 0.006019871 | 1.0016539 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.057621248 | 0.05764952 | 1.0004907 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.367389E-5 | 8.367389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5855343E-4 | 3.5855343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0043567102 | 0.0043666665 | 1.0022854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.04228614 | 0.042314872 | 1.0006795 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.113223E-5 | 6.113223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6196908E-4 | 2.6196908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0031848324 | 0.0031948006 | 1.0031298 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.031157905 | 0.03118697 | 1.0009328 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0363186E-5 | 4.0363186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7297364E-4 | 1.7297364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0021039254 | 0.0021139046 | 1.004743 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.020736655 | 0.020756241 | 1.0009445 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.1163214E-5 | 3.1163214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3354981E-4 | 1.3354981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016247586 | 0.0016347424 | 1.0061448 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.016109291 | 0.01612897 | 1.0012215 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2311391E-5 | 2.2311391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.561675E-5 | 9.561675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011635132 | 0.0011735016 | 1.0085846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.01169369 | 0.011713456 | 1.0016903 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8148243E-5 | 1.8148243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.777587E-5 | 7.777587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.465106E-4 | 9.565011E-4 | 1.0105551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009567197 | 0.009587007 | 1.0020704 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.4444234E-6 | 6.4444234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.7618666E-5 | 2.7618666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.362055E-4 | 3.462021E-4 | 1.0297337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0035182005 | 0.0035281654 | 1.0028324 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.9617137E-6 | 1.9617137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.407317E-6 | 8.407317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.02354315E-4 | 1.02354315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011204308 | 0.0011204308 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4750909E-8 | 1.4750909E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.321818E-8 | 6.321818E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.696814E-7 | 7.696814E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 8.023091E-6 | 8.023091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3121425E-5 | 2.3121425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.909091E-5 | 9.909091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012062722 | 0.0012162601 | 1.00828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012047061 | 0.012086579 | 1.0032803 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3121425E-5 | 2.3121425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.909091E-5 | 9.909091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012062722 | 0.0012162601 | 1.00828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012047061 | 0.012086579 | 1.0032803 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3121425E-5 | 2.3121425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.909091E-5 | 9.909091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012062722 | 0.0012162601 | 1.00828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012047061 | 0.012086579 | 1.0032803 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3121425E-5 | 2.3121425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.909091E-5 | 9.909091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012062722 | 0.0012162601 | 1.00828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012047061 | 0.012086579 | 1.0032803 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3121425E-5 | 2.3121425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.909091E-5 | 9.909091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012062722 | 0.0012162601 | 1.00828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012047061 | 0.012086579 | 1.0032803 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.005827E-5 | 2.005827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.5964E-5 | 8.5964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010466115 | 0.0010566011 | 1.0095446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010466083 | 0.010495769 | 1.0028363 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.005827E-5 | 2.005827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.5964E-5 | 8.5964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010466115 | 0.0010566011 | 1.0095446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010466083 | 0.010495769 | 1.0028363 | 3.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012296456 | 0.0012296456 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005254341 | 0.005254341 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030762846 | 0.061305527 | 0.061314914 | 1.0001531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.4264582 | 0.42648113 | 1.0000538 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010234866 | 0.0010234866 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00214792 | 0.0043750973 | 0.0043750973 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025839351 | 0.051332634 | 0.051342122 | 1.0001848 | 1.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37335575 | 0.3733808 | 1.0000671 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.124015E-4 | 8.124015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034742658 | 0.0034742658 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021034058 | 0.041016787 | 0.04102638 | 1.0002338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.31357464 | 0.31360212 | 1.0000876 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.755968E-4 | 6.755968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028901014 | 0.0028901014 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017915873 | 0.03427386 | 0.034283515 | 1.0002818 | 1.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27189106 | 0.2719202 | 1.0001072 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.561046E-4 | 5.561046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023796957 | 0.0023796957 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015200248 | 0.028349606 | 0.028359324 | 1.0003427 | 1.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.2335917 | 0.23362236 | 1.0001312 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2260851E-4 | 4.2260851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.001809147 | 0.001809147 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012141965 | 0.021673217 | 0.021683002 | 1.0004514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18746719 | 0.1874997 | 1.0001733 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5236266E-4 | 2.5236266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.001081097 | 0.001081097 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0082328 | 0.013081544 | 0.013091413 | 1.0007545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12383671 | 0.12387176 | 1.000283 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.4772403E-4 | 2.4772403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010612368 | 0.0010612368 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012843214 | 0.012853085 | 1.0007687 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.121863864 | 0.121898994 | 1.0002882 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4595915E-4 | 2.4595915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010536796 | 0.0010536796 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008075596 | 0.012752443 | 0.012762315 | 1.0007741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.12109404 | 0.12112919 | 1.0002903 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3703737E-4 | 2.3703737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010154808 | 0.0010154808 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007876333 | 0.012293921 | 0.0123037975 | 1.0008034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.117161654 | 0.11719697 | 1.0003014 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.255909E-4 | 2.255909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.6646196E-4 | 9.6646196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011703694 | 0.011713577 | 1.0008445 | 1.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.112004645 | 0.11204016 | 1.0003171 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6422855E-4 | 1.6422855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.036476E-4 | 7.036476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006016669 | 0.008533464 | 0.008543379 | 1.0011618 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.08429675 | 0.084333375 | 1.0004345 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4748852E-4 | 1.4748852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.319413E-4 | 6.319413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005408933 | 0.0076669157 | 0.007676839 | 1.0012943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.07621685 | 0.0762538 | 1.0004848 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2897016E-4 | 1.2897016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.526128E-4 | 5.526128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048581534 | 0.0067074425 | 0.0067173755 | 1.0014809 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.06701397 | 0.06705129 | 1.000557 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.1812041E-4 | 1.1812041E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.061327E-4 | 5.061327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004513991 | 0.0061448775 | 0.006154816 | 1.0016173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.061651915 | 0.06168945 | 1.0006088 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.0977126E-5 | 9.0977126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.898438E-4 | 3.898438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0047360407 | 0.0047459933 | 1.0021014 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.048315093 | 0.048353158 | 1.0007879 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.363241E-5 | 8.363241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5837546E-4 | 3.5837546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004354511 | 0.004364467 | 1.0022864 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.044386487 | 0.044424713 | 1.0008612 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.735321E-5 | 6.735321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.886247E-4 | 2.886247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0035083478 | 0.0035183127 | 1.0028404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.03615235 | 0.036181267 | 1.0007998 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.23001E-5 | 6.23001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.6697316E-4 | 2.6697316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026197135 | 0.003245557 | 0.0032555244 | 1.0030712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.03345289 | 0.03348189 | 1.0008668 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.0765004E-5 | 5.0765004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1754617E-4 | 2.1754617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026454097 | 0.0026553832 | 1.0037701 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.027332399 | 0.027351853 | 1.0007117 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1784784E-5 | 3.1784784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3621339E-4 | 1.3621339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016571374 | 0.0016671208 | 1.0060245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.01739505 | 0.017404875 | 1.0005649 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7628343E-5 | 1.7628343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.5547854E-5 | 7.5547854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.194075E-4 | 9.2939835E-4 | 1.0108665 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009317525 | 0.009918832 | 0.009928733 | 1.0009981 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5660976E-6 | 5.5660976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3854487E-5 | 2.3854487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.9038975E-4 | 2.9038975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032986484 | 0.0032986484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.808603E-7 | 7.808603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 3.34654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.074338E-5 | 4.074338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.8047924E-4 | 4.8047924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7881917E-5 | 4.7881917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.05193E-4 | 2.05193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002495526 | 0.002495526 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022796938 | 0.024692567 | 0.024731578 | 1.0015799 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7881917E-5 | 4.7881917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.05193E-4 | 2.05193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002495526 | 0.002495526 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022796938 | 0.024692567 | 0.024731578 | 1.0015799 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7881917E-5 | 4.7881917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.05193E-4 | 2.05193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002495526 | 0.002495526 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022796938 | 0.024692567 | 0.024731578 | 1.0015799 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7881917E-5 | 4.7881917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.05193E-4 | 2.05193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002495526 | 0.002495526 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022796938 | 0.024692567 | 0.024731578 | 1.0015799 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9627743E-5 | 3.9627743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6982266E-4 | 1.6982266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020657233 | 0.0020657233 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019274427 | 0.020475252 | 0.020485047 | 1.0004784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9627743E-5 | 3.9627743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6982266E-4 | 1.6982266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020657233 | 0.0020657233 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019274427 | 0.020475252 | 0.020485047 | 1.0004784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.1226286E-5 | 3.1226286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3382027E-4 | 1.3382027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016280789 | 0.0016280789 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015636992 | 0.016165387 | 0.016165387 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0835556E-5 | 3.0835556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3214588E-4 | 1.3214588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016077234 | 0.0016077234 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458848 | 0.01596477 | 0.01596477 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5028183E-5 | 2.5028183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0725935E-4 | 1.0725935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013051219 | 0.0013051219 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012867244 | 0.012976942 | 0.012976942 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3356042E-5 | 2.3356042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.00093595E-4 | 1.00093595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012179787 | 0.0012179787 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012089936 | 0.012115228 | 0.012115228 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1778818E-5 | 2.1778818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.3334565E-5 | 9.3334565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011357758 | 0.0011357758 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011320163 | 0.0113018155 | 0.0113018155 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.055813E-5 | 2.055813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.81034E-5 | 8.81034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010721507 | 0.0010721507 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010722724 | 0.0106718335 | 0.0106718335 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9071074E-5 | 1.9071074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.173072E-5 | 8.173072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.946367E-4 | 9.946367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009859995 | 0.009903851 | 0.009903851 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.49224325E-5 | 1.49224325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.395179E-5 | 6.395179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.7834766E-4 | 7.7834766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.007757516 | 0.007757516 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1875931E-5 | 1.1875931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.0895906E-5 | 5.0895906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.194909E-4 | 6.194909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.00617859 | 0.00617859 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.17279E-6 | 9.17279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.931141E-5 | 3.931141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7851913E-4 | 4.7851913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004775664 | 0.004775664 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.559496E-6 | 4.559496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.954056E-5 | 1.954056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3788173E-4 | 2.3788173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023764092 | 0.0023764092 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5976054E-6 | 3.5976054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5418225E-5 | 1.5418225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8770205E-4 | 1.8770205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.001875566 | 0.001875566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5113784E-5 | 2.5113784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0762701E-4 | 1.0762701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013097394 | 0.0013197263 | 1.0076251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013036811 | 0.013076289 | 1.0030283 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5113784E-5 | 2.5113784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0762701E-4 | 1.0762701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013097394 | 0.0013197263 | 1.0076251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013036811 | 0.013076289 | 1.0030283 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5113784E-5 | 2.5113784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0762701E-4 | 1.0762701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013097394 | 0.0013197263 | 1.0076251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013036811 | 0.013076289 | 1.0030283 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5113784E-5 | 2.5113784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0762701E-4 | 1.0762701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013097394 | 0.0013197263 | 1.0076251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013036811 | 0.013076289 | 1.0030283 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3784978E-5 | 1.3784978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.907767E-5 | 5.907767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.191271E-4 | 7.291199E-4 | 1.0138958 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007177212 | 0.0072069964 | 1.0041499 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3784978E-5 | 1.3784978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.907767E-5 | 5.907767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.191271E-4 | 7.291199E-4 | 1.0138958 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007177212 | 0.0072069964 | 1.0041499 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.636497E-6 | 9.636497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.129909E-5 | 4.129909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.0278363E-4 | 5.1277864E-4 | 1.0198792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.005024626 | 0.0050445255 | 1.0039604 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.090592E-6 | 8.090592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.4673965E-5 | 3.4673965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2215554E-4 | 4.321513E-4 | 1.023678 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042215553 | 0.0042414707 | 1.0047176 | 2.0E-5 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.400464E-5 | 9.400464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.028158E-4 | 4.028158E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.0048938803 | 0.0048938803 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03854755 | 0.047930297 | 0.04795886 | 1.0005959 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.051753E-5 | 5.051753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1648566E-4 | 2.1648566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026326058 | 0.0026326058 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026023488 | 0.026023488 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.051753E-5 | 5.051753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1648566E-4 | 2.1648566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026326058 | 0.0026326058 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026023488 | 0.026023488 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7727525E-5 | 3.7727525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6167952E-4 | 1.6167952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019667028 | 0.0019667028 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016452603 | 0.019496875 | 0.019496875 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.535088E-5 | 3.535088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5149517E-4 | 1.5149517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018429251 | 0.0018429251 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015469253 | 0.018280186 | 0.018280186 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.877578E-5 | 2.877578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2331909E-4 | 1.2331909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0015004026 | 0.0015004026 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012709012 | 0.014905694 | 0.014905694 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4916495E-5 | 2.4916495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0678073E-4 | 1.0678073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012993023 | 0.0012993023 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.012919469 | 0.012919469 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1643207E-5 | 2.1643207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.275342E-5 | 9.275342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011287084 | 0.0011287084 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.01123192 | 0.01123192 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.842645E-5 | 1.842645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.8968216E-5 | 7.8968216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.610332E-4 | 9.610332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009570756 | 0.009570756 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5100927E-5 | 1.5100927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.4716754E-5 | 6.4716754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.876598E-4 | 7.876598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007850505 | 0.007850505 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2724883E-5 | 1.2724883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.453417E-5 | 5.453417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.6376885E-4 | 6.6376885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006619613 | 0.006619613 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0167675E-5 | 1.0167675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.357512E-5 | 4.357512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.3041516E-4 | 5.3041516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005293193 | 0.005293193 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.3330735E-7 | 8.3330735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5713124E-6 | 3.5713124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.347987E-5 | 4.347987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3471475E-4 | 4.3471475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.7005543E-7 | 3.7005543E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5859509E-6 | 1.5859509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9308782E-5 | 1.9308782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9307112E-4 | 1.9307112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9676591E-7 | 1.9676591E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.432822E-7 | 8.432822E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0266913E-5 | 1.0266913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.0266442E-4 | 1.0266442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.280129E-8 | 6.280129E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6914836E-7 | 2.6914836E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2768767E-6 | 3.2768767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.276829E-5 | 3.276829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.5321028E-9 | 5.5321028E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3709012E-8 | 2.3709012E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.886572E-7 | 2.886572E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8865693E-6 | 2.8865693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.981246E-5 | 4.981246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1346577E-4 | 2.1346577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025960365 | 0.0025960365 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023677798 | 0.025687695 | 0.025707182 | 1.0007585 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.981246E-5 | 4.981246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1346577E-4 | 2.1346577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025960365 | 0.0025960365 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023677798 | 0.025687695 | 0.025697438 | 1.0003793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9748233E-5 | 2.9748233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2748635E-4 | 1.2748635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015510685 | 0.0015510685 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015416016 | 0.015425862 | 1.0006387 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3236003E-5 | 2.3236003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.957915E-5 | 9.957915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012117154 | 0.0012117154 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012017938 | 0.012059571 | 0.012069451 | 1.0008192 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9714185E-5 | 1.9714185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.448668E-5 | 8.448668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010281501 | 0.0010281501 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.010239792 | 0.010249689 | 1.0009665 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7143238E-5 | 1.7143238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.3469E-5 | 7.3469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.9412497E-4 | 8.9412497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008911752 | 0.008921662 | 1.0011121 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.435113E-5 | 1.435113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.150342E-5 | 6.150342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.485521E-4 | 7.485521E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.0074589653 | 0.007468891 | 1.0013306 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1677136E-5 | 1.1677136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0043935E-5 | 5.0043935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.091188E-4 | 6.091188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.006070963 | 0.006080902 | 1.0016372 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0612978E-5 | 1.0612978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5483423E-5 | 4.5483423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.53624E-4 | 5.53624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0055124387 | 0.005522384 | 1.0018041 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.883737E-6 | 7.883737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3787026E-5 | 3.3787026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1128235E-4 | 4.1128235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0040902696 | 0.0041002287 | 1.0024348 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.1085703E-6 | 5.1085703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.189369E-5 | 2.189369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6652322E-4 | 2.6652322E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026620512 | 0.0026620512 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.1783064E-6 | 4.1783064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7906907E-5 | 1.7906907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1799488E-4 | 2.1799488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.002177822 | 0.002177822 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2828875E-6 | 3.2828875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4069442E-5 | 1.4069442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7128208E-4 | 1.7128208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017115102 | 0.0017115102 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4410292E-6 | 2.4410292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0461512E-5 | 1.0461512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2736153E-4 | 1.2736153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012728925 | 0.0012728925 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7683985E-6 | 1.7683985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.578829E-6 | 7.578829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.226839E-5 | 9.226839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.2230615E-4 | 9.2230615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.380894E-7 | 9.380894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.020377E-6 | 4.020377E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.894703E-5 | 4.894703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.89366E-4 | 4.89366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.412879E-7 | 6.412879E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7483738E-6 | 2.7483738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.346096E-5 | 3.346096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3456137E-4 | 3.3456137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.450059E-8 | 6.450059E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7643108E-7 | 2.7643108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3655433E-6 | 3.3655433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3654953E-5 | 3.3654953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.251229E-6 | 4.251229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8219427E-5 | 1.8219427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2179948E-4 | 2.2179948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022158339 | 0.0022457675 | 1.0135089 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.251229E-6 | 4.251229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8219427E-5 | 1.8219427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2179948E-4 | 2.2179948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022158339 | 0.0022457675 | 1.0135089 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.251229E-6 | 4.251229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8219427E-5 | 1.8219427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2179948E-4 | 2.2179948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022158339 | 0.0022457675 | 1.0135089 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.251229E-6 | 4.251229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8219427E-5 | 1.8219427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2179948E-4 | 2.2179948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022158339 | 0.0022457675 | 1.0135089 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6826975E-6 | 3.6826975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5782896E-5 | 1.5782896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9214016E-4 | 1.9214016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019197753 | 0.0019497176 | 1.0155969 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6826975E-6 | 3.6826975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5782896E-5 | 1.5782896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9214016E-4 | 1.9214016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019197753 | 0.0019497176 | 1.0155969 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4249333E-6 | 3.4249333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4678205E-5 | 1.4678205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.786928E-4 | 1.786928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017855229 | 0.0018154694 | 1.0167718 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.3629026E-6 | 3.3629026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4412361E-5 | 1.4412361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7545668E-4 | 1.7545668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017532127 | 0.0017831601 | 1.0170815 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.1184768E-6 | 3.1184768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3364834E-5 | 1.3364834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6270498E-4 | 1.6270498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016258872 | 0.0016558385 | 1.0184214 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.9336684E-6 | 2.9336684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2572806E-5 | 1.2572806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5306343E-4 | 1.5306343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015296078 | 0.0015595619 | 1.0195829 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.6424789E-6 | 2.6424789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1324862E-5 | 1.1324862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3787173E-4 | 1.3787173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013778871 | 0.0014078458 | 1.0217425 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1347387E-6 | 2.1347387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.148849E-6 | 9.148849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.1138177E-4 | 1.1138177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011132814 | 0.0011432479 | 1.0269173 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.294087E-6 | 1.294087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.546076E-6 | 5.546076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.752147E-5 | 6.752147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019903728 | 6.750177E-4 | 6.9500424E-4 | 1.0296088 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.3858433E-7 | 7.3858433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.1653576E-6 | 3.1653576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.8537568E-5 | 3.8537568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8531085E-4 | 3.95307E-4 | 1.025943 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.4636024E-7 | 5.4636024E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3415419E-6 | 2.3415419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8507904E-5 | 2.8507904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.85043E-4 | 2.9504017E-4 | 1.0350724 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6040865E-7 | 3.6040865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5446077E-6 | 1.5446077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.880544E-5 | 1.880544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8803896E-4 | 1.8803896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.121198E-8 | 7.121198E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051942E-7 | 3.051942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7157345E-6 | 3.7157345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7156882E-5 | 3.7156882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.710695E-5 | 4.710695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0187242E-4 | 2.0187242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.002455223 | 0.002455223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021239553 | 0.024301628 | 0.0243309 | 1.0012045 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3872346E-5 | 2.3872346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0230621E-4 | 1.0230621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012448953 | 0.0012448953 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012382259 | 0.012392134 | 1.0007976 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3872346E-5 | 2.3872346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0230621E-4 | 1.0230621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012448953 | 0.0012448953 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012382259 | 0.012392134 | 1.0007976 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.707944E-5 | 1.707944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.319561E-5 | 7.319561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9080416E-4 | 8.9080416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007878214 | 0.0088735875 | 0.008883499 | 1.001117 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3856864E-5 | 1.3856864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9385253E-5 | 5.9385253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.2278373E-4 | 7.2278373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006419184 | 0.007205167 | 0.0072150948 | 1.0013779 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0119779E-5 | 1.0119779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.336979E-5 | 4.336979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.279046E-4 | 5.279046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004716845 | 0.005267044 | 0.0052769915 | 1.0018886 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.402954E-6 | 8.402954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.601219E-5 | 3.601219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3836446E-4 | 4.3836446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043754275 | 0.004385384 | 1.0022755 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.0888956E-6 | 6.0888956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6095024E-5 | 2.6095024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1766386E-4 | 3.1766386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031724195 | 0.003182388 | 1.0031421 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0840337E-6 | 4.0840337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7502898E-5 | 1.7502898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1307943E-4 | 2.1307943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021289967 | 0.0021289967 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6297034E-6 | 2.6297034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1270109E-5 | 1.1270109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3720497E-4 | 1.3720497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013712056 | 0.0013712056 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4831736E-6 | 2.4831736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0642129E-5 | 1.0642129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2956024E-4 | 1.2956024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012948493 | 0.0012948493 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3736202E-6 | 2.3736202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0172618E-5 | 1.0172618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2384461E-4 | 1.2384461E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012377579 | 0.0012377579 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.276506E-6 | 2.276506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.756417E-6 | 9.756417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1877793E-4 | 1.1877793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011871463 | 0.0011871463 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1090416E-6 | 2.1090416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.038718E-6 | 9.038718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.1004086E-4 | 1.1004086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010998655 | 0.0010998655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8048466E-6 | 1.8048466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.735034E-6 | 7.735034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.4169984E-5 | 9.4169984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.413025E-4 | 9.413025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.5135346E-7 | 9.5135346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0772225E-6 | 4.0772225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9639068E-5 | 4.9639068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.9628096E-4 | 4.9628096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0533834E-7 | 4.0533834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7371633E-6 | 1.7371633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1149765E-5 | 2.1149765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1147817E-4 | 2.1147817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.339596E-8 | 6.339596E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7169693E-7 | 2.7169693E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3079052E-6 | 3.3079052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3078566E-5 | 3.3078566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964765E-9 | 1.3964765E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.9848992E-9 | 5.9848992E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.286614E-8 | 7.286614E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.286613E-7 | 7.286613E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4259051E-5 | 1.4259051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.110899E-5 | 6.110899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.437846E-4 | 7.437846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006608314 | 0.0074179014 | 0.0074476786 | 1.0040143 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.518341E-6 | 9.518341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.0792376E-5 | 4.0792376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.965557E-4 | 4.965557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043435963 | 0.004957937 | 0.004977838 | 1.0040139 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.974412E-6 | 7.974412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4175715E-5 | 3.4175715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1602913E-4 | 4.1602913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041557313 | 0.004175648 | 1.0047927 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4306865E-6 | 3.4306865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4702864E-5 | 1.4702864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7899353E-4 | 1.7899353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017899201 | 0.0017999022 | 1.0055768 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4149773E-6 | 3.4149773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.46355405E-5 | 1.46355405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.78174E-4 | 1.78174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017817379 | 0.00179172 | 1.0056025 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3973197E-6 | 3.3973197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4559865E-5 | 1.4559865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.772528E-4 | 1.772528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017725406 | 0.0017825229 | 1.0056316 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3673355E-6 | 3.3673355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4431363E-5 | 1.4431363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7568855E-4 | 1.7568855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017569228 | 0.0017669053 | 1.0056818 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.337357E-6 | 3.337357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4302885E-5 | 1.4302885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7412458E-4 | 1.7412458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017413078 | 0.0017512903 | 1.0057328 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.86078E-6 | 2.86078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.22604315E-5 | 1.22604315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4926126E-4 | 1.4926126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014930229 | 0.001503008 | 1.0066879 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0745688E-6 | 2.0745688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.89098E-6 | 8.89098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0824258E-4 | 1.0824258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010832667 | 0.0010932559 | 1.0092213 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5596851E-6 | 1.5596851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.684348E-6 | 6.684348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.1379054E-5 | 8.1379054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.148494E-4 | 8.248412E-4 | 1.0122622 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4355969E-6 | 1.4355969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1525448E-6 | 6.1525448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.4904805E-5 | 7.4904805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.501522E-4 | 7.501522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0161563E-6 | 1.0161563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.3549485E-6 | 4.3549485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.3020252E-5 | 5.3020252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.314225E-4 | 5.314225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.268012E-7 | 9.268012E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.9719994E-6 | 3.9719994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.835806E-5 | 4.835806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.848216E-4 | 4.848216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.4054636E-7 | 8.4054636E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.6023366E-6 | 3.6023366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.3857606E-5 | 4.3857606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.398261E-4 | 4.398261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.154074E-7 | 8.154074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.4945988E-6 | 3.4945988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.2545948E-5 | 4.2545948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.266943E-4 | 4.266943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.7759114E-7 | 7.7759114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.3325293E-6 | 3.3325293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0572828E-5 | 4.0572828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.0694122E-4 | 4.0694122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.1115893E-7 | 5.1115893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.1906792E-6 | 2.1906792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6671205E-5 | 2.6671205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.679983E-4 | 2.679983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.2060457E-7 | 1.2060457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.1687664E-7 | 5.1687664E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.2929566E-6 | 6.2929566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.335463E-5 | 6.335463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.1374557E-9 | 4.1374557E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.7731953E-8 | 1.7731953E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1588652E-7 | 2.1588652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.206994E-6 | 2.206994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast (Extension) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.930738E-6 | 9.330624E-6 | 9.330624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.827403E-5 | 3.998779E-5 | 3.998779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6588664E-4 | 4.867443E-4 | 5.067346E-4 | 1.0410694 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046491115 | 0.0048569646 | 0.004886819 | 1.0061467 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.199952E-6 | 7.5314815E-6 | 7.5314815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0856572E-5 | 3.227738E-5 | 3.227738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.75614E-4 | 3.9290686E-4 | 4.0290295E-4 | 1.0254413 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037497976 | 0.003922188 | 0.0039421096 | 1.0050792 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3721413E-6 | 6.6678904E-6 | 6.6678904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7308892E-5 | 2.8576364E-5 | 2.8576364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3243504E-4 | 3.4786202E-4 | 3.5785855E-4 | 1.0287371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033193815 | 0.0034732153 | 0.0034831804 | 1.0028691 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.016345E-6 | 6.296219E-6 | 6.296219E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.578408E-5 | 2.6983518E-5 | 2.6983518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1387596E-4 | 3.2847514E-4 | 3.3847184E-4 | 1.0304337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00313433 | 0.0032799323 | 0.0032898996 | 1.0030389 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.8104883E-6 | 6.0805814E-6 | 6.0805814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901856E-5 | 2.6059377E-5 | 2.6059377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.031379E-4 | 3.1722704E-4 | 3.2722388E-4 | 1.0315132 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030272473 | 0.0031677769 | 0.003177745 | 1.0031468 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.476925E-6 | 5.728505E-6 | 5.728505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3472323E-5 | 2.4550507E-5 | 2.4550507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8573806E-4 | 2.988617E-4 | 3.0885873E-4 | 1.0334502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028537093 | 0.00298463 | 0.0029946 | 1.0033405 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.222387E-6 | 5.4595366E-6 | 5.4595366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2381464E-5 | 2.3397804E-5 | 2.3397804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7246025E-4 | 2.8483133E-4 | 2.9482847E-4 | 1.0350986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027212645 | 0.0028446934 | 0.0028546648 | 1.0035053 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.0337076E-6 | 5.2600335E-6 | 5.2600335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1572854E-5 | 2.2542807E-5 | 2.2542807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6261783E-4 | 2.7442438E-4 | 2.8442164E-4 | 1.0364299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002623077 | 0.0027408851 | 0.0027508577 | 1.0036385 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.5675624E-6 | 4.7595618E-6 | 4.7595618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9575122E-5 | 2.0397963E-5 | 2.0397963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3830103E-4 | 2.4831708E-4 | 2.583146E-4 | 1.0402611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023804565 | 0.0024804159 | 0.002490391 | 1.0040215 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.2802412E-6 | 4.452818E-6 | 4.452818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8343762E-5 | 1.9083367E-5 | 1.9083367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2331243E-4 | 2.3231537E-4 | 2.4231305E-4 | 1.0430349 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022308815 | 0.0023207418 | 0.0023307186 | 1.0042989 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.9794063E-6 | 4.130844E-6 | 4.130844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7054486E-5 | 1.7703498E-5 | 1.7703498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0761859E-4 | 2.155189E-4 | 2.2551675E-4 | 1.0463897 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020742472 | 0.0021531123 | 0.002163091 | 1.0046344 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7730424E-6 | 3.9119313E-6 | 3.9119313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6170083E-5 | 1.6765312E-5 | 1.6765312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9685295E-4 | 2.0409869E-4 | 2.1409664E-4 | 1.048986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019667868 | 0.0020391252 | 0.0020491048 | 1.004894 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.424985E-6 | 3.5419976E-6 | 3.5419976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4678424E-5 | 1.5179901E-5 | 1.5179901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869516E-4 | 1.8479973E-4 | 1.9479789E-4 | 1.0541027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017855153 | 0.0018464727 | 0.0018564543 | 1.0054058 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.6966375E-6 | 2.7601811E-6 | 2.7601811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15569665E-5 | 1.1829295E-5 | 1.1829295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4069698E-4 | 1.4401217E-4 | 1.5401073E-4 | 1.0694286 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014060794 | 0.0014391927 | 0.0014491783 | 1.0069383 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.215957E-6 | 2.2498289E-6 | 2.2498289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.496924E-6 | 9.642088E-6 | 9.642088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1561892E-4 | 1.1738613E-4 | 1.2738496E-4 | 1.085179 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011555878 | 0.001173245 | 0.0011832332 | 1.0085133 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2040218E-6 | 1.2221219E-6 | 1.2221219E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.160083E-6 | 5.237655E-6 | 5.237655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2822204E-5 | 6.37666E-5 | 6.37666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.280445E-4 | 6.374849E-4 | 6.374849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.6157446E-7 | 6.6800027E-7 | 6.6800027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.835316E-6 | 2.8628554E-6 | 2.8628554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4519428E-5 | 3.4854722E-5 | 3.4854722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4514067E-4 | 3.4849407E-4 | 3.4849407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6012302E-7 | 2.4361185E-7 | 2.4361185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148124E-6 | 1.0440505E-6 | 1.0440505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3572758E-5 | 1.2711251E-5 | 1.2711251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3571928E-4 | 1.2710631E-4 | 1.2710631E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.8323132E-8 | 2.026981E-8 | 2.026981E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138484E-7 | 8.687062E-8 | 8.687062E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778595E-6 | 1.0576493E-6 | 1.0576493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778497E-5 | 1.0576451E-5 | 1.0576451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6591328E-5 | 1.8111781E-5 | 1.8111781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.110376E-5 | 7.7619996E-5 | 7.7619996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6534437E-4 | 9.446829E-4 | 9.446829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008619824 | 0.009413506 | 0.009433318 | 1.0021046 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.041125E-6 | 8.771563E-6 | 8.771563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4461507E-5 | 3.7591988E-5 | 3.7591988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.194881E-4 | 4.5760666E-4 | 4.5760666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004186971 | 0.004568642 | 0.0045785964 | 1.0021788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2807004E-6 | 3.5803228E-6 | 3.5803228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4060069E-5 | 1.5344172E-5 | 1.5344172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116789E-4 | 1.8680345E-4 | 1.8680345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017103611 | 0.0018668724 | 0.0018768538 | 1.0053465 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9339366E-6 | 2.1108258E-6 | 2.1108258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.288273E-6 | 9.046381E-6 | 9.046381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.00905054E-4 | 1.1013698E-4 | 1.1013698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010085925 | 0.001101104 | 0.001111093 | 1.0090718 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3142635E-6 | 1.4342886E-6 | 1.4342886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6325457E-6 | 6.1469514E-6 | 6.1469514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.857408E-5 | 7.483913E-5 | 7.483913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8552926E-4 | 7.483913E-4 | 7.5838383E-4 | 1.013352 | 1.0E-5 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.272327E-5 | 2.272327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.738214E-5 | 9.738214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011850408 | 0.0012150052 | 1.0252856 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179306 | 0.011822706 | 1.0025139 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.272327E-5 | 2.272327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.738214E-5 | 9.738214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011850408 | 0.0012150052 | 1.0252856 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179306 | 0.011822706 | 1.0025139 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.272327E-5 | 2.272327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.738214E-5 | 9.738214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011850408 | 0.0012150052 | 1.0252856 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179306 | 0.011822706 | 1.0025139 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2355362E-5 | 1.2355362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2950545E-5 | 5.2950545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4449466E-4 | 6.7447533E-4 | 1.0465181 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064275027 | 0.00645731 | 1.0046375 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2355362E-5 | 1.2355362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2950545E-5 | 5.2950545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4449466E-4 | 6.7447533E-4 | 1.0465181 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064275027 | 0.00645731 | 1.0046375 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.48295E-6 | 9.48295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0640636E-5 | 4.0640636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.9469655E-4 | 5.046916E-4 | 1.0202044 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.0049368627 | 0.0049468135 | 1.0020156 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.79137E-6 | 7.79137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3391203E-5 | 3.3391203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.064701E-4 | 4.16466E-4 | 1.024592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.004058058 | 0.0040680175 | 1.0024543 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.656074E-6 | 6.656074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8525763E-5 | 2.8525763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4725334E-4 | 3.5724987E-4 | 1.0287874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034678485 | 0.003477814 | 1.0028737 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.855924E-6 | 5.855924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5096617E-5 | 2.5096617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0551574E-4 | 3.0551574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030516735 | 0.0030516735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0661247E-6 | 5.0661247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1711823E-5 | 2.1711823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6431642E-4 | 2.6431642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.002640713 | 0.002640713 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.119064E-6 | 4.119064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.765305E-5 | 1.765305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1491159E-4 | 2.1491159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021477134 | 0.0021477134 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0101426E-6 | 3.0101426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2900584E-5 | 1.2900584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5705987E-4 | 1.5705987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015701341 | 0.0015701341 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7211732E-5 | 1.7211732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.376268E-5 | 7.376268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9772616E-4 | 9.177082E-4 | 1.0222585 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008944547 | 0.008974279 | 1.003324 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7211732E-5 | 1.7211732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.376268E-5 | 7.376268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9772616E-4 | 9.177082E-4 | 1.0222585 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008944547 | 0.008974279 | 1.003324 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7211732E-5 | 1.7211732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.376268E-5 | 7.376268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9772616E-4 | 9.177082E-4 | 1.0222585 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008944547 | 0.008974279 | 1.003324 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0123571E-5 | 1.0123571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.338604E-5 | 4.338604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2810204E-4 | 5.480914E-4 | 1.0378515 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.005268976 | 0.005288871 | 1.0037758 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0123571E-5 | 1.0123571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.338604E-5 | 4.338604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2810204E-4 | 5.480914E-4 | 1.0378515 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.005268976 | 0.005288871 | 1.0037758 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.3308024E-6 | 7.3308024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.1417356E-5 | 3.1417356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8244075E-4 | 4.024331E-4 | 1.0522757 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036884616 | 0.0038179879 | 0.0038379114 | 1.0052184 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0604993E-6 | 6.0604993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5973315E-5 | 2.5973315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.1618009E-4 | 3.3617378E-4 | 1.063235 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030598943 | 0.0031573898 | 0.0031773266 | 1.0063144 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.116551E-6 | 5.116551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1927894E-5 | 2.1927894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.669399E-4 | 2.8693455E-4 | 1.0749032 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026662415 | 0.002686188 | 1.0074812 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.5115594E-6 | 4.5115594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9335113E-5 | 1.9335113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3537992E-4 | 2.5537523E-4 | 1.084949 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023513415 | 0.0023712947 | 1.0084858 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.6018216E-6 | 3.6018216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5436288E-5 | 1.5436288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8792076E-4 | 2.07917E-4 | 1.1064079 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018379007 | 0.0018776346 | 0.001897597 | 1.0106317 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.274109E-6 | 3.274109E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.4031822E-5 | 1.4031822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.7082418E-4 | 1.9082076E-4 | 1.1170595 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0017069428 | 0.0017269087 | 1.0116968 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.5413017E-6 | 2.5413017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0891247E-5 | 1.0891247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3259293E-4 | 1.5259028E-4 | 1.1508176 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013251442 | 0.0013451177 | 1.0150727 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0622676E-6 | 2.0622676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.83826E-6 | 8.83826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0760055E-4 | 1.275984E-4 | 1.1858526 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010754887 | 0.0010954672 | 1.0185761 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6776781E-6 | 1.6776781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.19003E-6 | 7.19003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.7535125E-5 | 1.0753337E-4 | 1.2284597 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.750093E-4 | 8.949918E-4 | 1.0228369 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3335754E-6 | 1.3335754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.7153106E-6 | 5.7153106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.958171E-5 | 7.958101E-5 | 1.143706 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.956014E-4 | 7.0559443E-4 | 1.014366 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.291959E-7 | 9.291959E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.982262E-6 | 3.982262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.848298E-5 | 4.848298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.8472572E-4 | 4.8472572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.7792514E-7 | 4.7792514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.048249E-6 | 2.048249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4937153E-5 | 2.4937153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.493443E-4 | 2.493443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5762606E-7 | 2.5762606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1041112E-6 | 1.1041112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.3442471E-5 | 1.3442471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.3441661E-4 | 1.3441661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5451185E-7 | 1.5451185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.6219343E-7 | 6.6219343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.062176E-6 | 8.062176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.0618855E-5 | 8.0618855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.091718E-8 | 4.091718E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7535932E-7 | 1.7535932E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1349977E-6 | 2.1349977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1349777E-5 | 2.1349777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.770418E-4 | 3.8703805E-4 | 1.0265123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037643188 | 0.0037942058 | 1.0079396 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.770418E-4 | 3.8703805E-4 | 1.0265123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037643188 | 0.0037942058 | 1.0079396 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.770418E-4 | 3.8703805E-4 | 1.0265123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037643188 | 0.0037942058 | 1.0079396 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.770418E-4 | 3.8703805E-4 | 1.0265123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037643188 | 0.0037942058 | 1.0079396 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.770418E-4 | 3.8703805E-4 | 1.0265123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037643188 | 0.0037942058 | 1.0079396 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.770418E-4 | 3.8703805E-4 | 1.0265123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037643188 | 0.0037942058 | 1.0079396 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 7.227265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 3.0973642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.770418E-4 | 3.8703805E-4 | 1.0265123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037643188 | 0.0037942058 | 1.0079396 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.3988687E-6 | 6.3988687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.7423448E-5 | 2.7423448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.3383153E-4 | 3.4382817E-4 | 1.0299453 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031709734 | 0.0033335194 | 0.0033634196 | 1.0089695 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.952321E-6 | 5.952321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.5509707E-5 | 2.5509707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.1053848E-4 | 3.205354E-4 | 1.0321921 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002945339 | 0.0031012504 | 0.0031311573 | 1.0096436 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.865475E-6 | 4.865475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0851878E-5 | 2.0851878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.538435E-4 | 2.6384095E-4 | 1.0393844 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023981342 | 0.0025356796 | 0.0025656035 | 1.0118011 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.749108E-6 | 4.749108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9232413E-5 | 2.035317E-5 | 2.035317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4777313E-4 | 2.5777065E-4 | 1.0403495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023388295 | 0.0024751127 | 0.0025050384 | 1.0120907 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.430963E-6 | 3.430963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4704048E-5 | 1.4704048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7900775E-4 | 1.8900595E-4 | 1.0558535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016703589 | 0.0017887017 | 0.0018086659 | 1.0111613 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.3797506E-6 | 2.3797506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4545085E-6 | 1.0198894E-5 | 1.0198894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.2416492E-4 | 1.3416367E-4 | 1.080528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011504296 | 0.0012410003 | 0.0012609755 | 1.016096 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.5227912E-6 | 1.5227912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.5262325E-6 | 6.5262325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.9454076E-5 | 8.945328E-5 | 1.1258489 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.9426577E-4 | 8.0425787E-4 | 1.0125803 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.2597384E-6 | 1.2597384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.3988683E-6 | 5.3988683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.572932E-5 | 7.572867E-5 | 1.152129 | 1.0E-5 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.5710716E-4 | 6.671006E-4 | 1.0152082 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 9.286591E-7 | 9.286591E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.979962E-6 | 3.979962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.845503E-5 | 4.845503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.8445142E-4 | 4.8445142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 6.0115764E-7 | 6.0115764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.5763877E-6 | 2.5763877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 3.136712E-5 | 3.136712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5539953E-4 | 3.1363178E-4 | 3.1363178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.7891946E-8 | 6.7891946E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.9096546E-7 | 2.9096546E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5424991E-6 | 3.5424991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.5424473E-5 | 3.5424473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.4891766E-9 | 9.4891766E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.06679E-8 | 4.06679E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.951316E-7 | 4.951316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.9513064E-6 | 4.9513064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1041898E-5 | 1.1041898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7321857E-5 | 4.7321857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7604397E-4 | 5.7604397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057506748 | 0.0057705594 | 1.0034579 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1041898E-5 | 1.1041898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7321857E-5 | 4.7321857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7604397E-4 | 5.7604397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057506748 | 0.0057705594 | 1.0034579 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2084537E-6 | 2.2084537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.464791E-6 | 9.464791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1523193E-4 | 1.1523193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011521333 | 0.0011521333 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2084537E-6 | 2.2084537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.464791E-6 | 9.464791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1523193E-4 | 1.1523193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011521333 | 0.0011521333 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8110829E-6 | 1.8110829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.761784E-6 | 7.761784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.449972E-5 | 9.449972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.449972E-4 | 9.449972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7577034E-6 | 6.7577034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896131E-5 | 2.896131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5255493E-4 | 3.625514E-4 | 1.0283544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035207446 | 0.003550639 | 1.0084909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7577034E-6 | 6.7577034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896131E-5 | 2.896131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5255493E-4 | 3.625514E-4 | 1.0283544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035207446 | 0.003550639 | 1.0084909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7577034E-6 | 6.7577034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896131E-5 | 2.896131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5255493E-4 | 3.625514E-4 | 1.0283544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035207446 | 0.003550639 | 1.0084909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7577034E-6 | 6.7577034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896131E-5 | 2.896131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5255493E-4 | 3.625514E-4 | 1.0283544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035207446 | 0.003550639 | 1.0084909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7577034E-6 | 6.7577034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.896131E-5 | 2.896131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5255493E-4 | 3.625514E-4 | 1.0283544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035207446 | 0.003550639 | 1.0084909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2572514E-6 | 3.2572514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3959578E-5 | 1.3959578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6994542E-4 | 1.7994372E-4 | 1.0588324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016982342 | 0.0017281832 | 1.0176355 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2572514E-6 | 3.2572514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3959578E-5 | 1.3959578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6994542E-4 | 1.7994372E-4 | 1.0588324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016982342 | 0.0017281832 | 1.0176355 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2072238E-6 | 2.2072238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459497E-6 | 9.459497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.15163486E-4 | 1.2516233E-4 | 1.0868231 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011510575 | 0.001181023 | 1.026033 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7366306E-6 | 1.7366306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.4426816E-6 | 7.4426816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.061098E-5 | 9.061098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.057501E-4 | 9.2573196E-4 | 1.0220611 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3689227E-6 | 1.3689227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.8667983E-6 | 5.8667983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142597E-5 | 7.142597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.140347E-4 | 7.240276E-4 | 1.0139949 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1414309E-6 | 1.1414309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8918373E-6 | 4.8918373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.9556525E-5 | 5.9556525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.954088E-4 | 5.954088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.303104E-7 | 9.303104E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.9870383E-6 | 3.9870383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.854113E-5 | 4.854113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8530704E-4 | 4.8530704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.719605E-7 | 6.719605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8798277E-6 | 2.8798277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5061348E-5 | 3.5061348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.5055904E-4 | 3.5055904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.939529E-7 | 4.939529E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1169392E-6 | 2.1169392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5773435E-5 | 2.5773435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5770493E-4 | 2.5770493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2997502E-7 | 3.2997502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.414178E-6 | 1.414178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7217482E-5 | 1.7217482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7216173E-4 | 1.7216173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750862E-7 | 1.4750862E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.3217965E-7 | 6.3217965E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696761E-6 | 7.696761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.696502E-5 | 7.696502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735405E-8 | 1.735405E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.4374505E-8 | 7.4374505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0550924E-7 | 9.0550924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.055061E-6 | 9.055061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.626855E-5 | 7.626855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2682763E-4 | 3.2682763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039723977 | 0.0039723977 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.0390705 | 0.03909933 | 1.0007378 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.626855E-5 | 7.626855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2682763E-4 | 3.2682763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039723977 | 0.0039723977 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.0390705 | 0.03909933 | 1.0007378 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.626855E-5 | 7.626855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2682763E-4 | 3.2682763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039723977 | 0.0039723977 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.0390705 | 0.03909933 | 1.0007378 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9774164E-5 | 4.9774164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1330167E-4 | 2.1330167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025940635 | 0.0025940635 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.025659528 | 0.025669271 | 1.0003797 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9774164E-5 | 4.9774164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1330167E-4 | 2.1330167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025940635 | 0.0025940635 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.025659528 | 0.025669271 | 1.0003797 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6578465E-5 | 3.6578465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5675611E-4 | 1.5675611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.001906951 | 0.001906951 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015794903 | 0.018917816 | 0.018927626 | 1.0005186 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5170873E-5 | 3.5170873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5072427E-4 | 1.5072427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.001833637 | 0.001833637 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015149189 | 0.018196695 | 0.018206513 | 1.0005395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.7260434E-5 | 2.7260434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.1682572E-4 | 1.1682572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014215169 | 0.0014215169 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011863477 | 0.014133479 | 0.014143338 | 1.0006975 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.544329E-5 | 2.544329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0903862E-4 | 1.0903862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013268271 | 0.0013268271 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011065915 | 0.013198097 | 0.013198097 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2623548E-5 | 2.2623548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.695495E-5 | 9.695495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011798748 | 0.0011798748 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009869894 | 0.011744798 | 0.011744798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.032829E-5 | 2.032829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.711882E-5 | 8.711882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010602408 | 0.0010602408 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008882134 | 0.010560269 | 0.010560269 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.9003117E-5 | 1.9003117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.1439866E-5 | 8.1439866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.911641E-4 | 9.911641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008304977 | 0.009875806 | 0.009875806 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7204813E-5 | 1.7204813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.37333E-5 | 7.37333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.974173E-4 | 8.974173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007520827 | 0.008946211 | 0.008946211 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.2062213E-6 | 6.2062213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6598016E-5 | 2.6598016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.238177E-4 | 3.238177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032368843 | 0.0032368843 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.408649E-7 | 8.408649E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6037022E-6 | 3.6037022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3874265E-5 | 4.3874265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3866324E-4 | 4.3866324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.667481E-7 | 6.667481E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.857489E-6 | 2.857489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4789442E-5 | 3.4789442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.478466E-4 | 3.478466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5621443E-7 | 3.5621443E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5266326E-6 | 1.5266326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.858664E-5 | 1.858664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8585546E-4 | 1.8585546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2198876E-7 | 1.2198876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.228089E-7 | 5.228089E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.3651796E-6 | 6.3651796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.365002E-5 | 6.365002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1028957E-8 | 3.1028957E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3298124E-7 | 1.3298124E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6190455E-6 | 1.6190455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6190359E-5 | 1.6190359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2838998E-5 | 1.2838998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5023243E-5 | 5.5023243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.697242E-4 | 6.697242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0066816243 | 0.0067014904 | 1.0029733 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2838998E-5 | 1.2838998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5023243E-5 | 5.5023243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.697242E-4 | 6.697242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0066816243 | 0.0067014904 | 1.0029733 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2838998E-5 | 1.2838998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.5023243E-5 | 5.5023243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.697242E-4 | 6.697242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0066816243 | 0.0067014904 | 1.0029733 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.134311E-6 | 8.134311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.4860885E-5 | 3.4860885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.2435183E-4 | 4.2435183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028551589 | 0.0042381138 | 0.0042480715 | 1.0023495 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.118602E-6 | 8.118602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.4793564E-5 | 3.4793564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.235325E-4 | 4.235325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028475097 | 0.0042299516 | 0.0042399094 | 1.0023541 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.443569E-6 | 7.443569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.1900636E-5 | 3.1900636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.883238E-4 | 3.883238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025153751 | 0.003879109 | 0.0038890701 | 1.0025679 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.9034363E-6 | 6.9034363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.9585835E-5 | 2.9585835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.6015047E-4 | 3.6015047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0035982921 | 0.003608256 | 1.0027691 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 6.015416E-6 | 6.015416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.578011E-5 | 2.578011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.1382916E-4 | 3.1382916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0031363934 | 0.003146362 | 1.0031784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.7215852E-6 | 5.7215852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4520858E-5 | 2.4520858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.9850198E-4 | 2.9850198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0029835352 | 0.0029935054 | 1.0033417 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.8431557E-6 | 4.8431557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.075622E-5 | 2.075622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5267844E-4 | 2.5267844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014436257 | 0.002526368 | 0.002536343 | 1.0039482 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 4.001334E-6 | 4.001334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.7148466E-5 | 1.7148466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.0876311E-4 | 2.0876311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011197845 | 0.002088082 | 0.0020980611 | 1.0047791 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3597246E-6 | 3.3597246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4398743E-5 | 1.4398743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7529094E-4 | 1.7529094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017539101 | 0.0017539101 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.8085071E-6 | 2.8085071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.2036405E-5 | 1.2036405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4653361E-4 | 1.4653361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014667254 | 0.0014667254 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.6235784E-6 | 2.6235784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.124386E-5 | 1.124386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3688562E-4 | 1.3688562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.0013701995 | 0.0013701995 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.4961737E-6 | 2.4961737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.0697844E-5 | 1.0697844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.302387E-4 | 1.302387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.001303595 | 0.001303595 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.419456E-6 | 2.419456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.0369057E-5 | 1.0369057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2623618E-4 | 1.2623618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012634236 | 0.0012634236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.0557334E-6 | 2.0557334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.810257E-6 | 8.810257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.0725977E-4 | 1.0725977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010740111 | 0.0010740111 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1682716E-6 | 1.1682716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 5.006869E-6 | 5.006869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.0956965E-5 | 6.0956965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.124369E-4 | 6.124369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.6092326E-7 | 2.6092326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.118242E-6 | 1.118242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3614516E-5 | 1.3614516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3724339E-4 | 1.3724339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.1748866E-8 | 4.1748866E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.789237E-7 | 1.789237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.178394E-6 | 2.178394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.2128936E-5 | 2.2128936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos extension
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1320807E-4 | 2.332038E-4 | 1.093785 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021301443 | 0.0021501018 | 1.009369 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1320807E-4 | 2.332038E-4 | 1.093785 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021301443 | 0.0021501018 | 1.009369 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1320807E-4 | 2.332038E-4 | 1.093785 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021301443 | 0.0021501018 | 1.009369 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1320807E-4 | 2.332038E-4 | 1.093785 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021301443 | 0.0021501018 | 1.009369 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1320807E-4 | 2.332038E-4 | 1.093785 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021301443 | 0.0021501018 | 1.009369 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1320807E-4 | 2.332038E-4 | 1.093785 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021301443 | 0.0021501018 | 1.009369 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1320807E-4 | 2.332038E-4 | 1.093785 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021301443 | 0.0021501018 | 1.009369 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 4.086528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.751358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1320807E-4 | 2.332038E-4 | 1.093785 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021301443 | 0.0021501018 | 1.009369 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6584688E-6 | 3.7192005E-6 | 3.7192005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5679057E-5 | 1.5939338E-5 | 1.5939338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9087581E-4 | 1.940451E-4 | 2.1404123E-4 | 1.1030488 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019071194 | 0.0019388491 | 0.0019588103 | 1.0102954 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.644631E-6 | 3.7049094E-6 | 3.7049094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5619753E-5 | 1.5878091E-5 | 1.5878091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.901539E-4 | 1.9329955E-4 | 2.1329569E-4 | 1.1034464 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018999127 | 0.0019314067 | 0.001951368 | 1.0103351 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6318522E-6 | 3.691669E-6 | 3.691669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5564989E-5 | 1.5821348E-5 | 1.5821348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8948725E-4 | 1.9260882E-4 | 2.1260497E-4 | 1.1038175 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018932576 | 0.0019245112 | 0.0019444727 | 1.0103723 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5001724E-6 | 3.5557293E-6 | 3.5557293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5000653E-5 | 1.52387565E-5 | 1.52387565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8261763E-4 | 1.8551698E-4 | 2.0551326E-4 | 1.1077869 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018246764 | 0.0018537118 | 0.0018736747 | 1.0107691 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5204702E-6 | 2.5439472E-6 | 2.5439472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.080197E-5 | 1.0902586E-5 | 1.0902586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3150605E-4 | 1.3273094E-4 | 1.4272962E-4 | 1.0753304 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013142825 | 0.0013265223 | 0.0013365091 | 1.0075285 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1399692E-6 | 2.1503533E-6 | 2.1503533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1712645E-6 | 9.215767E-6 | 9.215767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1165442E-4 | 1.1219623E-4 | 1.221951E-4 | 1.0891196 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011159834 | 0.0011213991 | 0.0011313879 | 1.0089074 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9660122E-6 | 1.970444E-6 | 1.970444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.42574E-6 | 8.444732E-6 | 8.444732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257855E-4 | 1.0280979E-4 | 1.0280979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010253121 | 0.0010276254 | 0.0010276254 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7204633E-6 | 1.7152828E-6 | 1.7152828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.373393E-6 | 7.351191E-6 | 7.351191E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.976737E-5 | 8.94971E-5 | 8.94971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9731114E-4 | 8.946136E-4 | 8.946136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3717638E-6 | 1.3537325E-6 | 1.3537325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.878974E-6 | 5.8016976E-6 | 5.8016976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.157416E-5 | 7.063341E-5 | 7.063341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1551115E-4 | 7.061122E-4 | 7.061122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.272564E-7 | 7.958571E-7 | 7.958571E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5453797E-6 | 3.4108116E-6 | 3.4108116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3164142E-5 | 4.152584E-5 | 4.152584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.315576E-4 | 4.15181E-4 | 4.15181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.9708277E-7 | 3.672379E-7 | 3.672379E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7017821E-6 | 1.5738757E-6 | 1.5738757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0719E-5 | 1.916177E-5 | 1.916177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.071707E-4 | 1.9160123E-4 | 1.9160123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.292528E-8 | 7.890233E-8 | 7.890233E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9825116E-7 | 3.381528E-7 | 3.381528E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.848697E-6 | 4.117003E-6 | 4.117003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8485912E-5 | 4.1169274E-5 | 4.1169274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.236167E-11 | 8.236167E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5297876E-10 | 3.5297876E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.297517E-9 | 4.297517E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2975167E-8 | 4.2975167E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cerro Prieto
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.984332E-4 | 5.984332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025624363 | 0.0025624363 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015072231 | 0.030711513 | 0.030711513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.14089979 | 0.25462848 | 0.25464338 | 1.0000585 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.984332E-4 | 5.984332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025624363 | 0.0025624363 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015072231 | 0.030711513 | 0.030711513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.14089979 | 0.25462848 | 0.25464338 | 1.0000585 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.984332E-4 | 5.984332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025624363 | 0.0025624363 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015072231 | 0.030711513 | 0.030711513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.14089979 | 0.25462848 | 0.25464338 | 1.0000585 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.984332E-4 | 5.984332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025624363 | 0.0025624363 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015072231 | 0.030711513 | 0.030711513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.14089979 | 0.25462848 | 0.25464338 | 1.0000585 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.158287E-4 | 5.158287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022090215 | 0.0022090215 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013006088 | 0.026538353 | 0.026538353 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.12270685 | 0.22508182 | 0.22509731 | 1.0000689 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.158287E-4 | 5.158287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022090215 | 0.0022090215 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013006088 | 0.026538353 | 0.026538353 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.12270685 | 0.22508182 | 0.22509731 | 1.0000689 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.294914E-4 | 4.729627E-4 | 4.729627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.831638E-4 | 0.0020255973 | 0.0020255973 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011904482 | 0.024370646 | 0.024370646 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11286586 | 0.20927969 | 0.2092955 | 1.0000756 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9621674E-4 | 4.0589322E-4 | 4.0589322E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4065786E-4 | 0.0017385423 | 0.0017385423 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010187071 | 0.02098288 | 0.02098288 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.09732539 | 0.1835529 | 0.18356924 | 1.0000889 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5476145E-4 | 3.0705362E-4 | 3.0705362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6309475E-4 | 0.0013153836 | 0.0013153836 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008043335 | 0.015895057 | 0.015895057 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07758363 | 0.14394037 | 0.1439575 | 1.000119 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.20509176E-4 | 2.2695535E-4 | 2.2695535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1636563E-4 | 9.723671E-4 | 9.723671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006268645 | 0.011789353 | 0.011789353 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.060947374 | 0.10996533 | 0.109974235 | 1.000081 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.3269155E-5 | 1.6807506E-4 | 1.6807506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9966372E-4 | 7.2016637E-4 | 7.2016637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048550544 | 0.008740508 | 0.008740508 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04750344 | 0.08357218 | 0.08358134 | 1.0001097 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.029709E-5 | 8.2223094E-5 | 8.2223094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1554115E-4 | 3.523566E-4 | 3.523566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026210553 | 0.0042849593 | 0.0042849593 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025903556 | 0.042681713 | 0.042681713 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.5445185E-8 | 6.9259464E-8 | 6.9259464E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8047933E-7 | 2.9682627E-7 | 2.9682627E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4148304E-6 | 3.61386E-6 | 3.61386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.414778E-5 | 3.6138597E-5 | 3.6138597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2765336E-5 | 3.2765336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4041572E-4 | 1.4041572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017082928 | 0.0017182756 | 1.0058438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.01695916 | 0.01697882 | 1.0011593 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2765336E-5 | 3.2765336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4041572E-4 | 1.4041572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017082928 | 0.0017182756 | 1.0058438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.01695916 | 0.01697882 | 1.0011593 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.1164073E-5 | 2.1164073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2418206E-5 | 9.0700145E-5 | 9.0700145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010029797 | 0.001103738 | 0.001103738 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00998465 | 0.010984973 | 0.010984973 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.4551837E-5 | 1.4551837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.236358E-5 | 6.236358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.590212E-4 | 7.590212E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006888649 | 0.007565235 | 0.007565235 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.5747515E-6 | 8.5747515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.674844E-5 | 3.674844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.4732375E-4 | 4.4732375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004071363 | 0.0044645737 | 0.0044645737 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.8190935E-6 | 5.8190935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4938745E-5 | 2.4938745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.0358904E-4 | 3.0358904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027656353 | 0.0030319525 | 0.0030319525 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.949378E-6 | 3.949378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6925806E-5 | 1.6925806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.0605375E-4 | 2.0605375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018768552 | 0.0020587812 | 0.0020587812 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.7840954E-6 | 2.7840954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.193179E-5 | 1.193179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4526118E-4 | 1.4526118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013224703 | 0.0014517923 | 0.0014517923 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.3316841E-6 | 1.3316841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.7072107E-6 | 5.7072107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.948404E-5 | 6.948404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.947183E-4 | 6.947183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley Keough Hot Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9533996E-6 | 4.9533996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1228712E-5 | 2.1228712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5843404E-4 | 2.6843144E-4 | 1.0386846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025820027 | 0.0026019511 | 1.007726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9533996E-6 | 4.9533996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1228712E-5 | 2.1228712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5843404E-4 | 2.6843144E-4 | 1.0386846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025820027 | 0.0026019511 | 1.007726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9533996E-6 | 4.9533996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1228712E-5 | 2.1228712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5843404E-4 | 2.6843144E-4 | 1.0386846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025820027 | 0.0026019511 | 1.007726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9533996E-6 | 4.9533996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1228712E-5 | 2.1228712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5843404E-4 | 2.6843144E-4 | 1.0386846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025820027 | 0.0026019511 | 1.007726 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4622509E-5 | 3.7289042E-6 | 3.7289042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266639E-5 | 1.5980939E-5 | 1.5980939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.626962E-4 | 1.9455387E-4 | 2.0455192E-4 | 1.0513897 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007600839 | 0.001944324 | 0.001964285 | 1.0102663 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3335527E-5 | 2.2796798E-6 | 2.2796798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7151006E-5 | 9.770023E-6 | 9.770023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.955913E-4 | 1.1894423E-4 | 1.2894304E-4 | 1.084063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069341804 | 0.0011890369 | 0.001209013 | 1.0168003 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3332855E-5 | 2.2768286E-6 | 2.2768286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7139558E-5 | 9.757804E-6 | 9.757804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9545204E-4 | 1.1879547E-4 | 1.2879429E-4 | 1.0841683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069327964 | 0.0011875508 | 0.0012075271 | 1.0168214 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3318214E-5 | 2.2660531E-6 | 2.2660531E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.707681E-5 | 9.7116235E-6 | 9.7116235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946886E-4 | 1.18233285E-4 | 1.282321E-4 | 1.0845685 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069252094 | 0.0011819351 | 0.0012019114 | 1.0169014 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2441338E-5 | 1.679431E-6 | 1.679431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.331893E-5 | 7.197543E-6 | 7.197543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.489646E-4 | 8.762686E-5 | 9.762598E-5 | 1.1141102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064707273 | 8.761166E-4 | 8.960991E-4 | 1.022808 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1130476E-5 | 1.0314787E-6 | 1.0314787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7701167E-5 | 4.420616E-6 | 4.420616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.806069E-4 | 5.381968E-5 | 6.381914E-5 | 1.1857957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057909233 | 5.3822965E-4 | 5.582189E-4 | 1.0371388 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0986073E-5 | 9.589851E-7 | 9.589851E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7082318E-5 | 4.1099297E-6 | 4.1099297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730765E-4 | 5.0037255E-5 | 6.0036753E-5 | 1.1998411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057160086 | 5.0042226E-4 | 5.204122E-4 | 1.0399462 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0451338E-5 | 8.008758E-7 | 8.008758E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4790682E-5 | 3.4323205E-6 | 3.4323205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.451901E-4 | 4.1787705E-5 | 5.1787287E-5 | 1.2392949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005438545 | 4.1795685E-4 | 4.379485E-4 | 1.0478318 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.989061E-6 | 6.552159E-7 | 6.552159E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.280956E-5 | 2.8080651E-6 | 2.8080651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2108173E-4 | 3.418766E-5 | 4.4187316E-5 | 1.2924932 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051986156 | 3.4195383E-4 | 3.61947E-4 | 1.0584674 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.465365E-6 | 5.466744E-7 | 5.466744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.056522E-5 | 2.3428884E-6 | 2.3428884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.937696E-4 | 2.8524295E-5 | 3.852401E-5 | 1.3505683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049267393 | 2.853315E-4 | 3.053258E-4 | 1.070074 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3824805E-6 | 4.0218828E-7 | 4.0218828E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.73532E-5 | 1.7236629E-6 | 1.7236629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3297433E-4 | 2.0985395E-5 | 3.0985186E-5 | 1.4765118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033247585 | 2.0991813E-4 | 2.2991393E-4 | 1.0952553 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.6192645E-6 | 2.519631E-7 | 2.519631E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9396865E-6 | 1.0798414E-6 | 1.0798414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.448741E-5 | 1.3146991E-5 | 2.3146858E-5 | 1.7606204 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4455294E-4 | 1.3146225E-4 | 1.5145962E-4 | 1.1521149 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.7062545E-7 | 1.0806776E-7 | 1.0806776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4455355E-6 | 4.6314744E-7 | 4.6314744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9773988E-5 | 5.6388067E-6 | 1.563875E-5 | 2.7734149 | 1.0E-5 | 2.977E-4 | 5.6386718E-5 | 7.6385586E-5 | 1.3546735 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5988817E-7 | 4.5517567E-8 | 4.5517567E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.113806E-6 | 1.9507527E-7 | 1.9507527E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3560503E-5 | 2.3750392E-6 | 1.2375016E-5 | 5.2104464 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3559677E-4 | 2.3750183E-5 | 4.3749707E-5 | 1.8420788 | 2.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5535522E-5 | 3.5535522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5228621E-4 | 1.5228621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018525091 | 0.0018525091 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020996714 | 0.019123098 | 0.019142715 | 1.0010259 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5535522E-5 | 3.5535522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5228621E-4 | 1.5228621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018525091 | 0.0018525091 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020996714 | 0.019123098 | 0.019142715 | 1.0010259 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5535522E-5 | 3.5535522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5228621E-4 | 1.5228621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018525091 | 0.0018525091 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020996714 | 0.019123098 | 0.019142715 | 1.0010259 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5535522E-5 | 3.5535522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5228621E-4 | 1.5228621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018525091 | 0.0018525091 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020996714 | 0.019123098 | 0.019142715 | 1.0010259 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5407324E-5 | 3.5407324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5173687E-4 | 1.5173687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018458333 | 0.0018458333 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020950472 | 0.01905762 | 0.01907724 | 1.0010295 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5407324E-5 | 3.5407324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5173687E-4 | 1.5173687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018458333 | 0.0018458333 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020950472 | 0.01905762 | 0.01907724 | 1.0010295 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.535262E-5 | 3.535262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5150243E-4 | 1.5150243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018429846 | 0.0018429846 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020930743 | 0.019029679 | 0.019049298 | 1.001031 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.5321664E-5 | 3.5321664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.513698E-4 | 1.513698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018413727 | 0.0018413727 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020919468 | 0.019013865 | 0.019033484 | 1.0010319 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.529309E-5 | 3.529309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5124735E-4 | 1.5124735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018398843 | 0.0018398843 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020908125 | 0.01899921 | 0.019018829 | 1.0010327 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.525554E-5 | 3.525554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.5108644E-4 | 1.5108644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018379285 | 0.0018379285 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020892553 | 0.018979928 | 0.018999549 | 1.0010338 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.513575E-5 | 3.513575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.505731E-4 | 1.505731E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018316895 | 0.0018316895 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02084144 | 0.018918365 | 0.018937986 | 1.0010371 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.511416E-5 | 3.511416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.504806E-4 | 1.504806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002102883 | 0.001830565 | 0.001830565 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020830948 | 0.01890722 | 0.01892684 | 1.0010378 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.5018445E-5 | 3.5018445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.5007044E-4 | 1.5007044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018255797 | 0.0018255797 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020787042 | 0.018857853 | 0.018877476 | 1.0010406 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.4844383E-5 | 3.4844383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4932454E-4 | 1.4932454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018165136 | 0.0018165136 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020625217 | 0.018765585 | 0.01878521 | 1.0010458 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.472915E-5 | 3.472915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4883073E-4 | 1.4883073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0018105115 | 0.0018105115 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020513052 | 0.01870439 | 0.018724017 | 1.0010493 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.3791104E-5 | 3.3791104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.44811E-4 | 1.44811E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017616511 | 0.0017616511 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019140124 | 0.018203242 | 0.018222878 | 1.0010787 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.1557607E-5 | 3.1557607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3523988E-4 | 1.3523988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016453044 | 0.0016453044 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01704153 | 0.017028784 | 0.017048443 | 1.0011544 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.8116616E-5 | 2.8116616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.20494224E-4 | 1.20494224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014660311 | 0.0014660311 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014625421 | 0.015236166 | 0.015255861 | 1.0012927 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5431033E-5 | 2.5431033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.08985594E-4 | 1.08985594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013260928 | 0.0013260928 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012614589 | 0.013828802 | 0.0138485255 | 1.0014262 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.0622865E-5 | 2.0622865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.8380715E-5 | 8.8380715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010755048 | 0.0010755048 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011304675 | 0.0113244485 | 1.0017492 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.6055677E-5 | 1.6055677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.880824E-5 | 6.880824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.37419E-4 | 8.37419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008098091 | 0.008870933 | 0.008880844 | 1.0011172 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.3913565E-6 | 8.3913565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.5962465E-5 | 3.5962465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3775555E-4 | 4.3775555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0047065928 | 0.004716546 | 1.0021147 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5891568E-6 | 1.5891568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.810654E-6 | 6.810654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.291659E-5 | 8.291659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.61604E-4 | 9.61604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6885194E-7 | 3.6885194E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5807931E-6 | 1.5807931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.924599E-5 | 1.924599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.3183708E-4 | 2.3183708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.756382E-6 | 8.756382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.752684E-5 | 3.752684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5679833E-4 | 4.767892E-4 | 1.043763 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004559137 | 0.004579046 | 1.0043668 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.756382E-6 | 8.756382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.752684E-5 | 3.752684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5679833E-4 | 4.767892E-4 | 1.043763 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004559137 | 0.004579046 | 1.0043668 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.756382E-6 | 8.756382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.752684E-5 | 3.752684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5679833E-4 | 4.767892E-4 | 1.043763 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004559137 | 0.004579046 | 1.0043668 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.2895897E-6 | 6.2895897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.6955115E-5 | 2.6955115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.281305E-4 | 3.4812395E-4 | 1.0609313 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003284684 | 0.0032766624 | 0.003296597 | 1.0060837 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.120548E-6 | 6.120548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.6230664E-5 | 2.6230664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.193129E-4 | 3.393065E-4 | 1.0626144 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032033534 | 0.0031887395 | 0.003208676 | 1.006252 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.14313E-6 | 5.14313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.2041804E-5 | 2.2041804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.6832687E-4 | 2.7832418E-4 | 1.037258 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027121378 | 0.0026801853 | 0.0026901583 | 1.0037211 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.419525E-6 | 4.419525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.8940687E-5 | 1.8940687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.3057926E-4 | 2.3057926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0023035395 | 0.0023035395 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.8238763E-6 | 3.8238763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6387941E-5 | 1.6387941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.995056E-4 | 1.995056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002055947 | 0.0019933921 | 0.0019933921 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.3202273E-6 | 3.3202273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4229471E-5 | 1.4229471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.7323066E-4 | 1.7323066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018004322 | 0.0017310773 | 0.0017310773 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.915762E-6 | 2.915762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.2496066E-5 | 1.2496066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5212955E-4 | 1.5212955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015203711 | 0.0015203711 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.4955366E-6 | 2.4955366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.06951165E-5 | 1.06951165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.3020581E-4 | 1.3020581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013820052 | 0.0013014093 | 0.0013014093 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.036774E-6 | 2.036774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.7290055E-6 | 8.7290055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.06270985E-4 | 1.06270985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011493203 | 0.0010623139 | 0.0010623139 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.795818E-7 | 8.795818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.769631E-6 | 3.769631E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.58943E-5 | 4.58943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.589096E-4 | 4.589096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.8833596E-7 | 4.8833596E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 2.0928667E-6 | 2.0928667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.5480356E-5 | 2.5480356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.54809E-4 | 2.54809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.2736378E-7 | 3.2736378E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.4029868E-6 | 1.4029868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.708123E-5 | 1.708123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.7083234E-4 | 1.7083234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.732817E-7 | 2.732817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.1712068E-6 | 1.1712068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.425935E-5 | 1.425935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.4261523E-4 | 1.4261523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.2156648E-7 | 2.2156648E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 9.495703E-7 | 9.495703E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.1560957E-5 | 1.1560957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.1562933E-4 | 1.1562933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 5.3943072E-8 | 5.3943072E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 2.3118457E-7 | 2.3118457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.8146683E-6 | 2.8146683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.8156077E-5 | 2.8156077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 1.2501302E-8 | 1.2501302E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 5.357701E-8 | 5.357701E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 6.522999E-7 | 6.522999E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 6.5290556E-6 | 6.5290556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 4.34064E-9 | 4.34064E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.8602739E-8 | 1.8602739E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 2.264883E-7 | 2.264883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 2.2703287E-6 | 2.2703287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 3.4573688E-10 | 3.4573688E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 1.4817279E-9 | 1.4817279E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 1.8040026E-8 | 1.8040026E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 1.8482287E-7 | 1.8482287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 1.1499546E-10 | 1.1499546E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 4.928392E-10 | 4.928392E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 6.0003154E-9 | 6.0003154E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 6.128941E-8 | 6.128941E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5774847E-4 | 3.5774847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015323168 | 0.0015323168 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.01849879 | 0.01849879 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.1670629 | 0.16707122 | 1.0000498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5774847E-4 | 3.5774847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015323168 | 0.0015323168 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.01849879 | 0.01849879 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.1670629 | 0.16707122 | 1.0000498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5774847E-4 | 3.5774847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015323168 | 0.0015323168 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.01849879 | 0.01849879 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.1670629 | 0.16707122 | 1.0000498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.4330043E-4 | 3.4330043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014704677 | 0.0014704677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0089988755 | 0.017758263 | 0.017758263 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08643075 | 0.1610061 | 0.16101448 | 1.0000521 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.2409848E-4 | 3.2409848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013882628 | 0.0013882628 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008487372 | 0.016773127 | 0.016773127 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.081704415 | 0.15288821 | 0.15289667 | 1.0000554 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.1082873E-4 | 3.1082873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013314513 | 0.0013314513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008107598 | 0.016091831 | 0.016091831 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.078181036 | 0.14716084 | 0.14716937 | 1.0000579 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8093645E-4 | 2.8093645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012034646 | 0.0012034646 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014555251 | 0.014555251 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07067384 | 0.13423689 | 0.13424554 | 1.0000645 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3326288E-4 | 2.3326288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914658E-4 | 9.993202E-4 | 9.993202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012099917 | 0.012099917 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058094822 | 0.113035336 | 0.11304421 | 1.0000784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.8907011E-4 | 1.8907011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.100525E-4 | 8.100525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009818529 | 0.009818529 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047804173 | 0.09283201 | 0.092841074 | 1.0000978 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.0758296E-4 | 1.0758296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.6098896E-4 | 4.6098896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028927654 | 0.0055982163 | 0.0055982163 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028553981 | 0.054379728 | 0.054389186 | 1.0001739 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.269827E-5 | 8.269827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.5437345E-4 | 3.5437345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022236328 | 0.004306035 | 0.004306035 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022015138 | 0.042174667 | 0.042184245 | 1.0002271 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.3214684E-5 | 6.3214684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.7089205E-4 | 2.7089205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.0032931417 | 0.0032931417 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017101998 | 0.032547045 | 0.03255672 | 1.0002972 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.719926E-5 | 5.719926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.4511674E-4 | 2.4511674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0029802292 | 0.0029802292 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458403 | 0.029543566 | 0.02955327 | 1.0003285 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.614512E-5 | 4.614512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9774989E-4 | 1.9774989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0024049596 | 0.0024049596 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.02393354 | 0.0239433 | 1.0004078 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.5172314E-5 | 3.5172314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.5072983E-4 | 1.5072983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0018336009 | 0.0018336009 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.018319555 | 0.01832937 | 1.0005358 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.3422865E-5 | 2.3422865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 1.00379875E-4 | 1.00379875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012214456 | 0.0012214456 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.012257018 | 0.012266896 | 1.0008059 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.9263385E-6 | 8.9263385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.8255184E-5 | 3.8255184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6565855E-4 | 4.6565855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.004701605 | 0.004701605 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.215603E-6 | 1.215603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.2097166E-6 | 5.2097166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.342646E-5 | 6.342646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.577615E-4 | 6.577615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 9.879404E-7 | 9.879404E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.2340234E-6 | 4.2340234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.154802E-5 | 5.154802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.363744E-4 | 5.363744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.451151E-7 | 7.451151E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.1933464E-6 | 3.1933464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.88783E-5 | 3.88783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 4.0243843E-4 | 4.0243843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.5175946E-7 | 5.5175946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3646812E-6 | 2.3646812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.8789616E-5 | 2.8789616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.9577725E-4 | 2.9577725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.6269583E-7 | 2.6269583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1258387E-6 | 1.1258387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.3707002E-5 | 1.3707002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.4021856E-4 | 1.4021856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.339769E-5 | 6.339769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7167957E-4 | 2.7167957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033032831 | 0.0033032831 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027504366 | 0.032603413 | 0.032622762 | 1.0005934 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.339769E-5 | 6.339769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7167957E-4 | 2.7167957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033032831 | 0.0033032831 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027504366 | 0.032603413 | 0.032622762 | 1.0005934 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6652198E-5 | 2.6652198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1421897E-4 | 1.1421897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013897758 | 0.0013897758 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.013815714 | 0.013815714 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6652198E-5 | 2.6652198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1421897E-4 | 1.1421897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013897758 | 0.0013897758 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.013815714 | 0.013815714 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.2471006E-5 | 2.2471006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.630098E-5 | 9.630098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001025344 | 0.001171874 | 0.001171874 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010206259 | 0.011661033 | 0.011661033 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.975165E-5 | 1.975165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.4647385E-5 | 8.4647385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010301316 | 0.0010301316 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009008561 | 0.010257291 | 0.010257291 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.632793E-5 | 1.632793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.997514E-5 | 6.997514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.516465E-4 | 8.516465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008487032 | 0.008487032 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4289777E-5 | 1.4289777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.124064E-5 | 6.124064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.453802E-4 | 7.453802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006571059 | 0.007431824 | 0.007431824 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2937197E-5 | 1.2937197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.544412E-5 | 5.544412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.7485287E-4 | 6.7485287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067309774 | 0.0067309774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0238097E-5 | 1.0238097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.3876982E-5 | 4.3876982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.340993E-4 | 5.340993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047417083 | 0.005330913 | 0.005330913 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.58578E-6 | 6.58578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.8224598E-5 | 2.8224598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4360393E-4 | 3.4360393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0034330452 | 0.0034330452 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2098704E-6 | 2.2098704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.470839E-6 | 9.470839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.15301526E-4 | 1.15301526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011524324 | 0.0011524324 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.178214E-6 | 2.178214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.33517E-6 | 9.33517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1364993E-4 | 1.1364993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011359333 | 0.0011359333 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7444505E-6 | 1.7444505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.4761956E-6 | 7.4761956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.101897E-5 | 9.101897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.098261E-4 | 9.098261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.46432E-6 | 1.46432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2756426E-6 | 6.2756426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.640334E-5 | 7.640334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.63778E-4 | 7.63778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.293267E-6 | 1.293267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5425617E-6 | 5.5425617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.747867E-5 | 6.747867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.745889E-4 | 6.745889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.7700876E-7 | 6.7700876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.9014632E-6 | 2.9014632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.53248E-5 | 3.53248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5319757E-4 | 3.5319757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.5705608E-8 | 4.5705608E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9588116E-7 | 1.9588116E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3848506E-6 | 2.3848506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3848272E-5 | 2.3848272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5146536E-9 | 1.5146536E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.4913728E-9 | 6.4913728E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.903246E-8 | 7.903246E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.9032463E-7 | 7.9032463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.72394E-5 | 4.3271833E-5 | 4.3271833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5958765E-4 | 1.8543842E-4 | 1.8543842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019412481 | 0.002255531 | 0.002275486 | 1.0088471 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019243775 | 0.022342788 | 0.022362342 | 1.0008751 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1503252E-5 | 3.1503252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3500727E-4 | 1.3500727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016425301 | 0.0016525137 | 1.0060781 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016309833 | 0.016319672 | 1.0006031 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1503252E-5 | 3.1503252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3500727E-4 | 1.3500727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016425301 | 0.0016525137 | 1.0060781 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016309833 | 0.016319672 | 1.0006031 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3639683E-5 | 2.3639683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.01309095E-4 | 1.01309095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012327593 | 0.001242747 | 1.0081019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012261274 | 0.012271151 | 1.0008056 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3639683E-5 | 2.3639683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.01309095E-4 | 1.01309095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012327593 | 0.001242747 | 1.0081019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012261274 | 0.012271151 | 1.0008056 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.0454092E-5 | 2.0454092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.765752E-5 | 8.765752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010667214 | 0.0010767108 | 1.0093645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009234319 | 0.010617479 | 0.010627372 | 1.0009319 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8721486E-5 | 1.8721486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 8.0232545E-5 | 8.0232545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.764057E-4 | 9.863959E-4 | 1.0102316 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008454733 | 0.009722459 | 0.009732363 | 1.0010185 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5044073E-5 | 1.5044073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.447306E-5 | 6.447306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.846863E-4 | 7.846863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006786986 | 0.00782014 | 0.00782014 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1991389E-5 | 1.1991389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.1390696E-5 | 5.1390696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.2550954E-4 | 6.2550954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054262993 | 0.0062382445 | 0.0062382445 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.794572E-6 | 8.794572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.769051E-5 | 3.769051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.5879124E-4 | 4.5879124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003978506 | 0.0045790276 | 0.0045790276 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.535044E-6 | 4.535044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.943577E-5 | 1.943577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.3660692E-4 | 2.3660692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0023637589 | 0.0023637589 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8577269E-6 | 1.8577269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.961668E-6 | 7.961668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.693007E-5 | 9.693007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.689827E-4 | 9.689827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5814634E-5 | 1.5814634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.777538E-5 | 6.777538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2487793E-4 | 8.2487793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007877788 | 0.008220682 | 0.008240518 | 1.0024129 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5814634E-5 | 1.5814634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.777538E-5 | 6.777538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2487793E-4 | 8.2487793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007877788 | 0.008220682 | 0.008240518 | 1.0024129 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5814634E-5 | 1.5814634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.777538E-5 | 6.777538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2487793E-4 | 8.2487793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007877788 | 0.008220682 | 0.008240518 | 1.0024129 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5814634E-5 | 1.5814634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.777538E-5 | 6.777538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2487793E-4 | 8.2487793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007877788 | 0.008220682 | 0.008240518 | 1.0024129 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4458835E-5 | 1.4458835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.19651E-5 | 6.19651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.5418723E-4 | 7.5418723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075186132 | 0.007538463 | 1.00264 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4458835E-5 | 1.4458835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.19651E-5 | 6.19651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.5418723E-4 | 7.5418723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075186132 | 0.007538463 | 1.00264 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0674268E-5 | 1.0674268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5746092E-5 | 4.5746092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.568218E-4 | 5.568218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055548293 | 0.005574718 | 1.0035805 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0674268E-5 | 1.0674268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5746092E-5 | 4.5746092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.568218E-4 | 5.568218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055548293 | 0.005574718 | 1.0035805 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.0179723E-5 | 1.0179723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.3626686E-5 | 4.3626686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.310308E-4 | 5.310308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052453685 | 0.00529817 | 0.0053180642 | 1.0037549 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.5512785E-6 | 7.5512785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.2362226E-5 | 3.2362226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.939401E-4 | 3.939401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040209293 | 0.0039325524 | 0.003952474 | 1.0050658 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.913543E-6 | 6.913543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.962914E-5 | 2.962914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.6067615E-4 | 3.6067615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037173668 | 0.0036010272 | 0.0036109912 | 1.002767 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.301452E-6 | 5.301452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2720313E-5 | 2.2720313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.765849E-4 | 2.765849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029463451 | 0.002762439 | 0.0027724113 | 1.00361 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.5284196E-6 | 4.5284196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.940737E-5 | 1.940737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.3625923E-4 | 2.3625923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025721465 | 0.002360104 | 0.0023700804 | 1.004227 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.80725E-6 | 3.80725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.6316684E-5 | 1.6316684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9863763E-4 | 1.9863763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019846207 | 0.001994601 | 1.0050287 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 3.04522E-6 | 3.04522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.3050877E-5 | 1.3050877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5888293E-4 | 1.5888293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015877102 | 0.0015976944 | 1.0062884 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.30324E-6 | 2.30324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.870992E-6 | 9.870992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.20172765E-4 | 1.20172765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0012010933 | 0.0012110813 | 1.0083158 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.4431711E-6 | 1.4431711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.185004E-6 | 6.185004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.529987E-5 | 7.529987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.527562E-4 | 7.527562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.650812E-7 | 7.650812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.2789153E-6 | 3.2789153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.992008E-5 | 3.992008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.9913936E-4 | 3.9913936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.3264455E-7 | 4.3264455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.8541897E-6 | 1.8541897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.2574532E-5 | 2.2574532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.2573142E-4 | 2.2573142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.3275755E-8 | 5.3275755E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.2832465E-7 | 2.2832465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.7798503E-6 | 2.7798503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.7798285E-5 | 2.7798285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Verdugo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2174674E-6 | 4.2174674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8074737E-5 | 1.8074737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2003817E-4 | 2.2003817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002198251 | 0.0022182069 | 1.0090781 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2174674E-6 | 4.2174674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8074737E-5 | 1.8074737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2003817E-4 | 2.2003817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002198251 | 0.0022182069 | 1.0090781 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2174674E-6 | 4.2174674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8074737E-5 | 1.8074737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2003817E-4 | 2.2003817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002198251 | 0.0022182069 | 1.0090781 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2174674E-6 | 4.2174674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8074737E-5 | 1.8074737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2003817E-4 | 2.2003817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002198251 | 0.0022182069 | 1.0090781 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2174674E-6 | 4.2174674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8074737E-5 | 1.8074737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2003817E-4 | 2.2003817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002198251 | 0.0022182069 | 1.0090781 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.7233756E-6 | 3.7233756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5957228E-5 | 1.5957228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.9426213E-4 | 1.9426213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002561549 | 0.001940944 | 0.0019609053 | 1.0102843 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.7233756E-6 | 3.7233756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5957228E-5 | 1.5957228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.9426213E-4 | 1.9426213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002561549 | 0.001940944 | 0.0019609053 | 1.0102843 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.817006E-6 | 3.6215542E-6 | 3.6215542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0644147E-5 | 1.5520856E-5 | 1.5520856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.513135E-4 | 1.8895023E-4 | 1.8895023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025102948 | 0.0018879154 | 0.0019078776 | 1.0105737 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.507407E-6 | 3.3079687E-6 | 3.3079687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9317316E-5 | 1.4176932E-5 | 1.4176932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3516294E-4 | 1.7259062E-4 | 1.7259062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023491425 | 0.0017245802 | 0.0017445456 | 1.011577 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.3573054E-6 | 3.1618583E-6 | 3.1618583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8674033E-5 | 1.3550752E-5 | 1.3550752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2733262E-4 | 1.6496803E-4 | 1.6496803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022710022 | 0.0016484681 | 0.0016684352 | 1.0121125 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.171527E-6 | 2.9844957E-6 | 2.9844957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.787785E-5 | 1.2790634E-5 | 1.2790634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1764109E-4 | 1.5571495E-4 | 1.5571495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021742806 | 0.0015560697 | 0.0015660542 | 1.0064164 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0405484E-6 | 2.8830707E-6 | 2.8830707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.731652E-5 | 1.2355959E-5 | 1.2355959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1080824E-4 | 1.5042353E-4 | 1.5042353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021060838 | 0.0015032281 | 0.001513213 | 1.0066423 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.8306007E-6 | 2.7026297E-6 | 2.7026297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6416758E-5 | 1.1582647E-5 | 1.1582647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9985568E-4 | 1.4100972E-4 | 1.4100972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019967605 | 0.0014092132 | 0.001419199 | 1.0070862 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.5750938E-6 | 2.5129289E-6 | 2.5129289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.532174E-5 | 1.0769651E-5 | 1.0769651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8652623E-4 | 1.3111273E-4 | 1.3111273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018636974 | 0.0013103642 | 0.0013203511 | 1.0076214 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.3510041E-6 | 2.3415846E-6 | 2.3415846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4361368E-5 | 1.00353245E-5 | 1.00353245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7483562E-4 | 1.2217333E-4 | 1.2217333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017469813 | 0.001221072 | 0.0012310599 | 1.0081795 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.948287E-6 | 2.0396562E-6 | 2.0396562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2635454E-5 | 8.7413555E-6 | 8.7413555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.538258E-4 | 1.0642091E-4 | 1.0642091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015371935 | 0.0010637097 | 0.0010736991 | 1.0093911 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0134323E-6 | 1.4474672E-6 | 1.4474672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.628967E-6 | 6.2034164E-6 | 6.2034164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05052604E-4 | 7.552407E-5 | 7.552407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010500296 | 7.549928E-4 | 7.549928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.726436E-7 | 4.0464712E-7 | 4.0464712E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4541846E-6 | 1.734201E-6 | 1.734201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9879287E-5 | 2.1113718E-5 | 2.1113718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.987527E-4 | 2.1111967E-4 | 2.1111967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.6248204E-7 | 1.0695783E-7 | 1.0695783E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.963514E-7 | 4.5839062E-7 | 4.5839062E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.478045E-6 | 5.580892E-6 | 5.580892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.477722E-5 | 5.580755E-5 | 5.580755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4475744E-8 | 3.038227E-8 | 3.038227E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9061031E-7 | 1.3020971E-7 | 1.3020971E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.320678E-6 | 1.5853024E-6 | 1.5853024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3206538E-5 | 1.5852924E-5 | 1.5852924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5950744E-4 | 3.0766838E-4 | 3.0766838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.834242E-4 | 0.0013176617 | 0.0013176617 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00828899 | 0.015885035 | 0.015885035 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.079865426 | 0.14461708 | 0.14463419 | 1.0001183 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3584697E-4 | 2.6085414E-4 | 2.6085414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8207137E-4 | 0.0011172949 | 0.0011172949 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007063716 | 0.013486529 | 0.013486529 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06843361 | 0.12423772 | 0.124246486 | 1.0000705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.14676266E-4 | 2.176286E-4 | 2.176286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9137714E-4 | 9.322329E-4 | 9.322329E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059661185 | 0.011268952 | 0.011268952 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058084648 | 0.105222695 | 0.10523164 | 1.000085 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.6030915E-4 | 1.6030915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.868204E-4 | 6.868204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004525038 | 0.0083233155 | 0.0083233155 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.044339992 | 0.07953041 | 0.07953961 | 1.0001158 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5737055E-4 | 1.5737055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.74233E-4 | 6.74233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044306475 | 0.008171219 | 0.008171219 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04343345 | 0.078135796 | 0.07814501 | 1.000118 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.5561342E-4 | 1.5561342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.66707E-4 | 6.66707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004376863 | 0.008080368 | 0.008080368 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.042916555 | 0.07730663 | 0.07731585 | 1.0001193 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.5196789E-4 | 1.5196789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.510947E-4 | 6.510947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042669317 | 0.007892054 | 0.007892054 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04185927 | 0.07559084 | 0.07560009 | 1.0001223 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.4864422E-4 | 1.4864422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.368601E-4 | 6.368601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004172157 | 0.007720414 | 0.007720414 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.040946912 | 0.07403218 | 0.07404143 | 1.000125 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.2921143E-4 | 1.2921143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.5362895E-4 | 5.5362895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037082357 | 0.0067163627 | 0.0067163627 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.036469642 | 0.06486638 | 0.06487573 | 1.0001441 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 9.953715E-5 | 9.953715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.2651832E-4 | 4.2651832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029876942 | 0.0051805717 | 0.0051805717 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02947844 | 0.050675213 | 0.05068471 | 1.0001873 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.3157734E-5 | 8.3157734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.5634195E-4 | 3.5634195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025403565 | 0.0043299 | 0.0043299 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025115121 | 0.04263495 | 0.042644523 | 1.0002246 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.2926814E-5 | 7.2926814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.1250637E-4 | 3.1250637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002241108 | 0.003798188 | 0.003798188 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022186412 | 0.037558954 | 0.03756858 | 1.0002563 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.4161646E-5 | 5.4161646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.3210085E-4 | 2.3210085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0028221942 | 0.0028221942 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016668037 | 0.028162343 | 0.028162343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 3.9695686E-5 | 3.9695686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.7011337E-4 | 1.7011337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0020691801 | 0.0020691801 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012319452 | 0.020755418 | 0.020755418 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.7476835E-5 | 2.7476835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.1775257E-4 | 1.1775257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.0014326972 | 0.0014326972 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008312687 | 0.014444441 | 0.014444441 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.4912644E-5 | 2.4912644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9202768E-5 | 1.0676412E-4 | 1.0676412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.0012990804 | 0.0012990804 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007182234 | 0.013120799 | 0.013120799 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.6535463E-5 | 1.6535463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 7.086435E-5 | 7.086435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 8.6243334E-4 | 8.6243334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004590199 | 0.008772891 | 0.008772891 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 7.778976E-6 | 7.778976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 3.3338045E-5 | 3.3338045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 4.058152E-4 | 4.058152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021033096 | 0.0042004217 | 0.0042004217 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 6.8498653E-6 | 6.8498653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 2.9356235E-5 | 2.9356235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 3.5735362E-4 | 3.5735362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0036970666 | 0.0036970666 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 5.32551E-6 | 5.32551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 2.2823415E-5 | 2.2823415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 2.778397E-4 | 2.778397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0028572876 | 0.0028572876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 3.3163665E-6 | 3.3163665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 1.4212921E-5 | 1.4212921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.7302862E-4 | 1.7302862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.944594E-4 | 0.0017698975 | 0.0017698975 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 2.0629375E-6 | 2.0629375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 8.841131E-6 | 8.841131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 1.0763548E-4 | 1.0763548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 0.0011014802 | 0.0011014802 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cucamonga
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1749691E-5 | 1.1749691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.035486E-5 | 5.035486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.129007E-4 | 6.129007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006113223 | 0.0061331005 | 1.0032516 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1749691E-5 | 1.1749691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.035486E-5 | 5.035486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.129007E-4 | 6.129007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006113223 | 0.0061331005 | 1.0032516 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1749691E-5 | 1.1749691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.035486E-5 | 5.035486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.129007E-4 | 6.129007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006113223 | 0.0061331005 | 1.0032516 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1749691E-5 | 1.1749691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.035486E-5 | 5.035486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.129007E-4 | 6.129007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006113223 | 0.0061331005 | 1.0032516 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1749691E-5 | 1.1749691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.035486E-5 | 5.035486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.129007E-4 | 6.129007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006113223 | 0.0061331005 | 1.0032516 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.1588693E-5 | 1.1588693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9664897E-5 | 4.9664897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.04505E-4 | 6.04505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006085745 | 0.0060297227 | 0.0060496023 | 1.0032969 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.1588693E-5 | 1.1588693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9664897E-5 | 4.9664897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.04505E-4 | 6.04505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006085745 | 0.0060297227 | 0.0060496023 | 1.0032969 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 1.1127292E-5 | 1.1127292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.884383E-5 | 4.7687536E-5 | 4.7687536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9451134E-4 | 5.804436E-4 | 5.804436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005929234 | 0.0057903705 | 0.0058102543 | 1.0034341 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 9.795913E-6 | 9.795913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5358654E-5 | 4.1981813E-5 | 4.1981813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521017E-4 | 5.110098E-4 | 5.110098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00550732 | 0.0050993003 | 0.0051191985 | 1.0039021 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 8.589481E-6 | 8.589481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1528107E-5 | 3.6811543E-5 | 3.6811543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.054874E-4 | 4.4808877E-4 | 4.4808877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005043391 | 0.0044727307 | 0.0044926414 | 1.0044515 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 8.196855E-6 | 8.196855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.020564E-5 | 3.5128905E-5 | 3.5128905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.893937E-4 | 4.2761085E-4 | 4.2761085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048831734 | 0.004268756 | 0.0042886706 | 1.0046653 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 7.79146E-6 | 7.79146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8341543E-5 | 3.339155E-5 | 3.339155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.667083E-4 | 4.0646657E-4 | 4.0646657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046572937 | 0.0040581096 | 0.0040780283 | 1.0049084 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 6.98425E-6 | 6.98425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.9932158E-5 | 2.9932158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3043532E-4 | 3.6436334E-4 | 3.6436334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042960253 | 0.0036385364 | 0.0036584637 | 1.0054767 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 6.4950573E-6 | 6.4950573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.7835664E-5 | 2.7835664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026285E-4 | 3.3884673E-4 | 3.3884673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004018998 | 0.003384185 | 0.0034041172 | 1.0058899 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 6.040386E-6 | 6.040386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.5887111E-5 | 2.5887111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7956095E-4 | 3.1513022E-4 | 3.1513022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037891332 | 0.0031477152 | 0.0031676523 | 1.0063338 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 5.1081265E-6 | 5.1081265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7903774E-5 | 2.1891787E-5 | 2.1891787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.6650005E-4 | 2.6650005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033915674 | 0.002662672 | 0.0026826188 | 1.0074912 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.91533E-6 | 3.91533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.6779879E-5 | 1.6779879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8430918E-4 | 2.0427594E-4 | 2.0427594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028394572 | 0.0020417448 | 0.0020417448 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 3.206392E-6 | 3.206392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.3741607E-5 | 1.3741607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.6729126E-4 | 1.6729126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002501296 | 0.0016725198 | 0.0016725198 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 2.067387E-6 | 2.067387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4546376E-5 | 8.8602E-6 | 8.8602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7708774E-4 | 1.0786761E-4 | 1.0786761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017694668 | 0.0010785068 | 0.0010785068 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 5.163475E-7 | 5.163475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.212916E-6 | 2.212916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.6941922E-5 | 2.6941922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.086407E-4 | 2.6938698E-4 | 2.6938698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 6.059536E-8 | 6.059536E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.596944E-7 | 2.596944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9162867E-6 | 3.1617747E-6 | 3.1617747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916129E-5 | 3.1617314E-5 | 3.1617314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.1680366E-5 | 8.1680366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.5001338E-4 | 3.5001338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042535863 | 0.0042635435 | 1.0023409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041776925 | 0.04179609 | 1.0004587 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.1680366E-5 | 8.1680366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.5001338E-4 | 3.5001338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042535863 | 0.0042635435 | 1.0023409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041776925 | 0.04179609 | 1.0004587 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6471752E-5 | 4.6471752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9914978E-4 | 1.9914978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.002422007 | 0.002422007 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020349167 | 0.023962757 | 0.023972517 | 1.0004073 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.794358E-5 | 3.794358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6260539E-4 | 1.6260539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019779531 | 0.0019779531 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01686163 | 0.019607276 | 0.019617079 | 1.0005 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.411026E-5 | 3.411026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4617879E-4 | 1.4617879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017783 | 0.0017783 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.017643873 | 0.017653696 | 1.0005568 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2259115E-5 | 3.2259115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3824616E-4 | 1.3824616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016818731 | 0.0016818731 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.01669446 | 0.016704295 | 1.000589 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5771387E-5 | 2.5771387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1044421E-4 | 1.1044421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013438435 | 0.0013438435 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013358889 | 0.013368756 | 1.0007386 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2673834E-5 | 2.2673834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.7170014E-5 | 9.7170014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011824141 | 0.0011824141 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.011762523 | 0.011772405 | 1.0008402 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.8983706E-5 | 1.8983706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.135625E-5 | 8.135625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.900717E-4 | 9.900717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009857636 | 0.009867537 | 1.0010045 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7274784E-5 | 1.7274784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.403274E-5 | 7.403274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.009847E-4 | 9.009847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008974264 | 0.0089841755 | 1.0011044 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.40373095E-5 | 1.40373095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.0158556E-5 | 6.0158556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.3219184E-4 | 7.3219184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072985813 | 0.0072985813 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2378909E-5 | 1.2378909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.305143E-5 | 5.305143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.457171E-4 | 6.457171E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064391554 | 0.0064391554 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0848246E-5 | 1.0848246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6491696E-5 | 4.6491696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.658966E-4 | 5.658966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056452802 | 0.0056452802 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.086713E-6 | 9.086713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8942515E-5 | 3.8942515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7402905E-4 | 4.7402905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047308826 | 0.0047308826 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3634417E-6 | 3.3634417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4414699E-5 | 1.4414699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7548987E-4 | 1.7548987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017540083 | 0.0017540083 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113905E-6 | 4.113905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630906E-5 | 1.7630906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463577E-4 | 2.1463577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443486 | 0.0021643057 | 1.0093068 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113905E-6 | 4.113905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630906E-5 | 1.7630906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463577E-4 | 2.1463577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443486 | 0.0021643057 | 1.0093068 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113905E-6 | 4.113905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630906E-5 | 1.7630906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463577E-4 | 2.1463577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443486 | 0.0021643057 | 1.0093068 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113905E-6 | 4.113905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630906E-5 | 1.7630906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463577E-4 | 2.1463577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443486 | 0.0021643057 | 1.0093068 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113905E-6 | 4.113905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630906E-5 | 1.7630906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463577E-4 | 2.1463577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443486 | 0.0021643057 | 1.0093068 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973285E-6 | 2.973285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742589E-5 | 1.2742589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5513012E-4 | 1.5513012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015502336 | 0.001560218 | 1.0064406 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973285E-6 | 2.973285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742589E-5 | 1.2742589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5513012E-4 | 1.5513012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015502336 | 0.001560218 | 1.0064406 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.658338E-6 | 2.658338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1392827E-5 | 1.1392827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3869895E-4 | 1.3869895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013861348 | 0.001396121 | 1.0072043 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3048815E-6 | 2.3048815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.8780265E-6 | 9.8780265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2025841E-4 | 1.2025841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001214175 | 0.0012019408 | 0.0012119288 | 1.0083098 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0697344E-6 | 2.0697344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.87026E-6 | 8.87026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0799012E-4 | 1.0799012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010793823 | 0.0010893715 | 1.0092546 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6787806E-6 | 1.6787806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.194754E-6 | 7.194754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.759265E-5 | 8.759265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.755851E-4 | 8.855763E-4 | 1.011411 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3816393E-6 | 1.3816393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.921298E-6 | 5.921298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.2089446E-5 | 7.2089446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.206633E-4 | 7.306561E-4 | 1.0138661 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.6041945E-7 | 8.6041945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6875067E-6 | 3.6875067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.489448E-5 | 4.489448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.488552E-4 | 4.588507E-4 | 1.0222689 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.628494E-7 | 5.628494E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4122094E-6 | 2.4122094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9368259E-5 | 2.9368259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.936443E-4 | 2.936443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.573027E-7 | 3.573027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312963E-6 | 1.5312963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8643375E-5 | 1.8643375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8641837E-4 | 1.8641837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5831463E-7 | 1.5831463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.784911E-7 | 6.784911E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260598E-6 | 8.260598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.2603E-5 | 8.2603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735405E-8 | 1.735405E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.4374505E-8 | 7.4374505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0550924E-7 | 9.0550924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.055061E-6 | 9.055061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.825462E-5 | 8.825462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7818291E-4 | 3.7818291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0045952178 | 0.0045952178 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03752231 | 0.045065906 | 0.045085005 | 1.0004238 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4904158E-5 | 4.4904158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9243274E-4 | 1.9243274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.002340432 | 0.002340432 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019602431 | 0.02316651 | 0.023186047 | 1.0008433 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3309392E-5 | 3.3309392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4274687E-4 | 1.4274687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017365804 | 0.0017365804 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017232755 | 0.01725241 | 1.0011406 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3309392E-5 | 3.3309392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4274687E-4 | 1.4274687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017365804 | 0.0017365804 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017232755 | 0.01725241 | 1.0011406 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5457011E-5 | 2.5457011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0909696E-4 | 1.0909696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013274555 | 0.0013274555 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011519298 | 0.013196431 | 0.013206299 | 1.0007478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4032764E-5 | 2.4032764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.02993545E-4 | 1.02993545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.001253234 | 0.001253234 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010900296 | 0.012462749 | 0.012472624 | 1.0007924 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0711423E-5 | 2.0711423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.876025E-5 | 8.876025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010801257 | 0.0010801257 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.010749429 | 0.010759322 | 1.0009203 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7989189E-5 | 1.7989189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.7094264E-5 | 7.7094264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.382212E-4 | 9.382212E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.009342968 | 0.009342968 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.620599E-5 | 1.620599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.9452406E-5 | 6.9452406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.4525696E-4 | 8.4525696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008420687 | 0.008420687 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4210126E-5 | 1.4210126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.089913E-5 | 6.089913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.4119604E-4 | 7.4119604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007387426 | 0.007387426 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2292956E-5 | 1.2292956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2683037E-5 | 5.2683037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.412282E-4 | 6.412282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.006393908 | 0.006393908 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0610213E-5 | 1.0610213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.5471552E-5 | 4.5471552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.5347633E-4 | 5.5347633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005521075 | 0.005521075 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.261438E-6 | 9.261438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9691276E-5 | 3.9691276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8313485E-4 | 4.8313485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004820925 | 0.004820925 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.091879E-6 | 7.091879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0393416E-5 | 3.0393416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.699774E-4 | 3.699774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.0036936607 | 0.0036936607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6444137E-6 | 5.6444137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4190122E-5 | 2.4190122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9447532E-4 | 2.9447532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029408927 | 0.0029408927 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9702602E-6 | 1.9702602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.443946E-6 | 8.443946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0280042E-4 | 1.0280042E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010275507 | 0.0010275507 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7535123E-7 | 1.7535123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.515051E-7 | 7.515051E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.1495385E-6 | 9.1495385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.149181E-5 | 9.149181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2635196E-4 | 3.363487E-4 | 1.0306318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032591687 | 0.0032691362 | 1.0030583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2635196E-4 | 3.363487E-4 | 1.0306318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032591687 | 0.0032691362 | 1.0030583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2635196E-4 | 3.363487E-4 | 1.0306318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032591687 | 0.0032691362 | 1.0030583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2635196E-4 | 3.363487E-4 | 1.0306318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032591687 | 0.0032691362 | 1.0030583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2635196E-4 | 3.363487E-4 | 1.0306318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032591687 | 0.0032691362 | 1.0030583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2635196E-4 | 3.363487E-4 | 1.0306318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032591687 | 0.0032691362 | 1.0030583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 6.2554304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 2.6808737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2635196E-4 | 3.363487E-4 | 1.0306318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032591687 | 0.0032691362 | 1.0030583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.525751E-6 | 5.525751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.36816E-5 | 2.36816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8828942E-4 | 2.9828653E-4 | 1.0346774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028795574 | 0.0028895286 | 1.0034628 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.525751E-6 | 5.525751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.36816E-5 | 2.36816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8828942E-4 | 2.9828653E-4 | 1.0346774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028795574 | 0.0028895286 | 1.0034628 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.744377E-6 | 4.939901E-6 | 4.939901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0332885E-5 | 2.1170854E-5 | 2.1170854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4752476E-4 | 2.577284E-4 | 2.6772582E-4 | 1.0387906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024724922 | 0.0025746624 | 0.0025846367 | 1.0038741 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.722209E-6 | 4.9169416E-6 | 4.9169416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0237881E-5 | 2.107246E-5 | 2.107246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4636835E-4 | 2.565307E-4 | 2.6652814E-4 | 1.0389717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002460954 | 0.0025627133 | 0.0025726876 | 1.0038921 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.611174E-6 | 4.801868E-6 | 4.801868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9762025E-5 | 2.0579293E-5 | 2.0579293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4057609E-4 | 2.505278E-4 | 2.605253E-4 | 1.0399058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002403158 | 0.002502821 | 0.0025127959 | 1.0039855 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.043994E-6 | 4.212432E-6 | 4.212432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7331287E-5 | 1.8053177E-5 | 1.8053177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10988E-4 | 2.1977883E-4 | 2.2977662E-4 | 1.0454903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002107878 | 0.0021959655 | 0.0022059435 | 1.0045438 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1233036E-6 | 2.2300462E-6 | 2.2300462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.099841E-6 | 9.557306E-6 | 9.557306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1078493E-4 | 1.16354044E-4 | 1.2635288E-4 | 1.0859346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011072971 | 0.0011629368 | 0.0011729251 | 1.0085889 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9051884E-6 | 2.0017314E-6 | 2.0017314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.165067E-6 | 8.578821E-6 | 8.578821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.940516E-5 | 1.0444219E-4 | 1.1444114E-4 | 1.0957367 | 1.0E-5 | 9.93607E-4 | 0.0010439364 | 0.0010539258 | 1.0095692 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2408497E-6 | 1.3040373E-6 | 1.3040373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.317916E-6 | 5.588719E-6 | 5.588719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4743705E-5 | 6.804055E-5 | 6.804055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4724847E-4 | 6.8019936E-4 | 6.8019936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.5440025E-7 | 6.887553E-7 | 6.887553E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8045695E-6 | 2.951805E-6 | 2.951805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4145098E-5 | 3.593765E-5 | 3.593765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4139853E-4 | 3.593198E-4 | 3.593198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.985963E-7 | 4.1935832E-7 | 4.1935832E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7082689E-6 | 1.7972487E-6 | 1.7972487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0797976E-5 | 2.1881295E-5 | 2.1881295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0796029E-4 | 2.1879259E-4 | 2.1879259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.706329E-8 | 3.8595473E-8 | 3.8595473E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5884267E-7 | 1.6540916E-7 | 1.6540916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9339077E-6 | 2.0138548E-6 | 2.0138548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.933891E-5 | 2.0138377E-5 | 2.0138377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.7223997E-6 | 5.7223997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4524346E-5 | 2.4524346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9854427E-4 | 2.9854427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029815638 | 0.003001504 | 1.0066879 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.7223997E-6 | 5.7223997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4524346E-5 | 2.4524346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9854427E-4 | 2.9854427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029815638 | 0.003001504 | 1.0066879 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.7223997E-6 | 5.7223997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4524346E-5 | 2.4524346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9854427E-4 | 2.9854427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029815638 | 0.003001504 | 1.0066879 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.7223997E-6 | 5.7223997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4524346E-5 | 2.4524346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9854427E-4 | 2.9854427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029815638 | 0.003001504 | 1.0066879 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.7223997E-6 | 5.7223997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4524346E-5 | 2.4524346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9854427E-4 | 2.9854427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029815638 | 0.003001504 | 1.0066879 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.759758E-6 | 4.759758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0200367E-5 | 2.039881E-5 | 2.039881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.4832806E-4 | 2.4832806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0024805951 | 0.0025005455 | 1.0080426 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.759758E-6 | 4.759758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0200367E-5 | 2.039881E-5 | 2.039881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.4832806E-4 | 2.4832806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0024805951 | 0.0025005455 | 1.0080426 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.2468837E-6 | 4.279543E-6 | 4.279543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8200803E-5 | 1.8340776E-5 | 1.8340776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2157225E-4 | 2.2327679E-4 | 2.2327679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022135144 | 0.0022306016 | 0.002250557 | 1.0089462 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.1180615E-6 | 4.146924E-6 | 4.146924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7648716E-5 | 1.7772414E-5 | 1.7772414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485193E-4 | 2.1635837E-4 | 2.1635837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021464431 | 0.0021615536 | 0.002171532 | 1.0046163 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.863861E-6 | 3.8852213E-6 | 3.8852213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.65593E-5 | 1.6650847E-5 | 1.6650847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0159081E-4 | 2.0270588E-4 | 2.0270588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020140803 | 0.0020252825 | 0.0020352623 | 1.0049276 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6947372E-6 | 3.7111088E-6 | 3.7111088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834492E-5 | 1.590466E-5 | 1.590466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9276788E-4 | 1.9362269E-4 | 1.9362269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019260074 | 0.0019346114 | 0.001944592 | 1.005159 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5686835E-6 | 3.5783107E-6 | 3.5783107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5294268E-5 | 1.533553E-5 | 1.533553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861918E-4 | 1.8669476E-4 | 1.8669476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018603588 | 0.00186545 | 0.0018754313 | 1.0053506 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.8023446E-6 | 2.7821236E-6 | 2.7821236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2009994E-5 | 1.1923333E-5 | 1.1923333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4621185E-4 | 1.4515701E-4 | 1.4515701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001461157 | 0.0014506378 | 0.0014606233 | 1.0068835 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5843012E-6 | 2.5512463E-6 | 2.5512463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1075529E-5 | 1.0933867E-5 | 1.0933867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3483623E-4 | 1.331118E-4 | 1.331118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013475444 | 0.0013303354 | 0.0013403221 | 1.0075068 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4464468E-6 | 2.4018714E-6 | 2.4018714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04847295E-5 | 1.0293694E-5 | 1.0293694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.276441E-4 | 1.2531862E-4 | 1.2531862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012757082 | 0.001252494 | 0.0012624814 | 1.007974 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.0420266E-6 | 1.8956414E-6 | 1.8956414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.751514E-6 | 8.124152E-6 | 8.124152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0654447E-4 | 9.89071E-5 | 9.89071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001064934 | 9.886391E-4 | 9.986293E-4 | 1.0101049 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8326596E-6 | 1.6441292E-6 | 1.6441292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.854232E-6 | 7.046249E-6 | 7.046249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.562107E-5 | 8.5784726E-5 | 8.5784726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5579936E-4 | 8.5752335E-4 | 8.5752335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.4786998E-6 | 1.256324E-6 | 1.256324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3372695E-6 | 5.3842346E-6 | 5.3842346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715353E-5 | 6.5551096E-5 | 6.5551096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7126746E-4 | 6.5532426E-4 | 6.5532426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.6975533E-7 | 6.1024804E-7 | 6.1024804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2989474E-6 | 2.6153461E-6 | 2.6153461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163945E-5 | 3.1841377E-5 | 3.1841377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0156685E-4 | 3.183734E-4 | 3.183734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.7645915E-7 | 9.3048186E-8 | 9.3048186E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.562533E-7 | 3.9877787E-7 | 3.9877787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.207345E-6 | 4.8551096E-6 | 4.8551096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.206964E-5 | 4.8555103E-5 | 4.8555103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0463461E-7 | 2.5333872E-8 | 2.5333872E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4843398E-7 | 1.0857374E-7 | 1.0857374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.45967E-6 | 1.3218844E-6 | 1.3218844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.459536E-5 | 1.3223823E-5 | 1.3223823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.875717E-8 | 1.4118189E-8 | 1.4118189E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3753068E-7 | 6.050652E-8 | 6.050652E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109428E-6 | 7.366666E-7 | 7.366666E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109352E-5 | 7.3716988E-6 | 7.3716988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.33163E-8 | 1.8095626E-9 | 1.8095626E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7069855E-8 | 7.755267E-9 | 7.755267E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482525E-7 | 9.442037E-8 | 9.442037E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482307E-6 | 9.461835E-7 | 9.461835E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.160589E-5 | 3.160589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3544755E-4 | 1.3544755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016479628 | 0.0016579464 | 1.0060581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.01637116 | 0.016390834 | 1.0012016 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.160589E-5 | 3.160589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3544755E-4 | 1.3544755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016479628 | 0.0016579464 | 1.0060581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.01637116 | 0.016390834 | 1.0012016 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.160589E-5 | 3.160589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3544755E-4 | 1.3544755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016479628 | 0.0016579464 | 1.0060581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.01637116 | 0.016390834 | 1.0012016 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7807277E-5 | 1.7807277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.631477E-5 | 7.631477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.287545E-4 | 9.387452E-4 | 1.0107571 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009250603 | 0.0092704175 | 1.0021421 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7807277E-5 | 1.7807277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.631477E-5 | 7.631477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.287545E-4 | 9.387452E-4 | 1.0107571 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009250603 | 0.0092704175 | 1.0021421 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3045E-5 | 1.3045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5905966E-5 | 5.5905966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.804463E-4 | 6.904395E-4 | 1.0146862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006784027 | 0.006793959 | 1.001464 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1158298E-5 | 1.1158298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7820413E-5 | 4.7820413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.820602E-4 | 5.820602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005458487 | 0.005805598 | 0.005805598 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.238123E-6 | 9.238123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.959136E-5 | 3.959136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.8191875E-4 | 4.8191875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.0048088045 | 0.0048088045 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.818175E-6 | 8.818175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7791633E-5 | 3.7791633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.6001642E-4 | 4.6001642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045906953 | 0.0045906953 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.566167E-6 | 8.566167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.6711626E-5 | 3.6711626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4687281E-4 | 4.4687281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044597937 | 0.0044597937 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.075806E-6 | 8.075806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.461014E-5 | 3.461014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.212974E-4 | 4.212974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042050346 | 0.0042050346 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5468442E-6 | 7.5468442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.2343218E-5 | 3.2343218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.937079E-4 | 3.937079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.003930147 | 0.003930147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.828349E-6 | 6.828349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9264025E-5 | 2.9264025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.562315E-4 | 3.562315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.003556633 | 0.003556633 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.82081E-6 | 5.82081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4946092E-5 | 2.4946092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.0367656E-4 | 3.0367656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.003032639 | 0.003032639 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3128407E-6 | 4.3128407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8483472E-5 | 1.8483472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2501311E-4 | 2.2501311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022478618 | 0.0022478618 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4756093E-6 | 2.4756093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0609711E-5 | 1.0609711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2916562E-4 | 1.2916562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012909106 | 0.0012909106 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.86194E-7 | 9.86194E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2265387E-6 | 4.2265387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1456907E-5 | 5.1456907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1445124E-4 | 5.1445124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.641865E-7 | 2.641865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1322273E-6 | 1.1322273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3784782E-5 | 1.3784782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3783934E-4 | 1.3783934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.9659216E-8 | 3.9659216E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6996806E-7 | 1.6996806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0693594E-6 | 2.0693594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0693422E-5 | 2.0693422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.94807E-10 | 5.94807E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5491727E-9 | 2.5491727E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1036176E-8 | 3.1036176E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.1036174E-7 | 3.1036174E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Antelope Valley 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1646934E-5 | 3.6918565E-5 | 3.6918565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3562266E-4 | 1.5821432E-4 | 1.5821432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016499552 | 0.0019248223 | 0.0019248223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016377583 | 0.019107932 | 0.01911774 | 1.0005133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1646934E-5 | 3.6918565E-5 | 3.6918565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3562266E-4 | 1.5821432E-4 | 1.5821432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016499552 | 0.0019248223 | 0.0019248223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016377583 | 0.019107932 | 0.01911774 | 1.0005133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1646934E-5 | 3.6918565E-5 | 3.6918565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3562266E-4 | 1.5821432E-4 | 1.5821432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016499552 | 0.0019248223 | 0.0019248223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016377583 | 0.019107932 | 0.01911774 | 1.0005133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1646934E-5 | 3.6918565E-5 | 3.6918565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3562266E-4 | 1.5821432E-4 | 1.5821432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016499552 | 0.0019248223 | 0.0019248223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016377583 | 0.019107932 | 0.01911774 | 1.0005133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1646934E-5 | 3.6918565E-5 | 3.6918565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3562266E-4 | 1.5821432E-4 | 1.5821432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016499552 | 0.0019248223 | 0.0019248223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016377583 | 0.019107932 | 0.01911774 | 1.0005133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8034107E-5 | 2.0948759E-5 | 2.0948759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7286735E-5 | 8.9778E-5 | 8.9778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.405598E-4 | 0.0010926216 | 0.0010926216 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009365888 | 0.01088458 | 0.01088458 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.8034107E-5 | 2.0948759E-5 | 2.0948759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7286735E-5 | 8.9778E-5 | 8.9778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.405598E-4 | 0.0010926216 | 0.0010926216 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009365888 | 0.01088458 | 0.01088458 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3567667E-5 | 1.5755366E-5 | 1.5755366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.814585E-5 | 6.752185E-5 | 6.752185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.076958E-4 | 8.218747E-4 | 8.218747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007054463 | 0.008198793 | 0.008198793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 9.867387E-6 | 1.1472235E-5 | 1.1472235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2288117E-5 | 4.9166334E-5 | 4.9166334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1473617E-4 | 5.9853075E-4 | 5.9853075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005135455 | 0.0059785065 | 0.0059785065 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.273233E-6 | 8.45804E-6 | 8.45804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1170628E-5 | 3.624874E-5 | 3.624874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.794363E-4 | 4.4132842E-4 | 4.4132842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037878908 | 0.004413284 | 0.004413284 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7052752E-5 | 3.7052752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5879056E-4 | 1.5879056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019320326 | 0.0019320326 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019198839 | 0.019208645 | 1.0005108 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7052752E-5 | 3.7052752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5879056E-4 | 1.5879056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019320326 | 0.0019320326 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019198839 | 0.019208645 | 1.0005108 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7052752E-5 | 3.7052752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5879056E-4 | 1.5879056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019320326 | 0.0019320326 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019198839 | 0.019208645 | 1.0005108 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7052752E-5 | 3.7052752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5879056E-4 | 1.5879056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019320326 | 0.0019320326 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019198839 | 0.019208645 | 1.0005108 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1210659E-5 | 2.1210659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0900605E-5 | 9.0900605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.001106325 | 0.001106325 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011024996 | 0.011024996 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1210659E-5 | 2.1210659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0900605E-5 | 9.0900605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.001106325 | 0.001106325 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011024996 | 0.011024996 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.667974E-6 | 9.667974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1433555E-5 | 4.1433555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.0434406E-4 | 5.0434406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050327186 | 0.0050327186 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.655541E-6 | 9.655541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.1380277E-5 | 4.1380277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.036957E-4 | 5.036957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005026264 | 0.005026264 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.774912E-6 | 7.774912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3320655E-5 | 3.3320655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.056084E-4 | 4.056084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004218856 | 0.0040491754 | 0.0040491754 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.482646E-6 | 5.482646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3496847E-5 | 2.3496847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8603734E-4 | 2.8603734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028567694 | 0.0028567694 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.983872E-6 | 4.983872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.135928E-5 | 2.135928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.6001886E-4 | 2.6001886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025972135 | 0.0025972135 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.088315E-6 | 4.088315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7521234E-5 | 1.7521234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1330056E-4 | 2.1330056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021309997 | 0.0021309997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9786352E-6 | 2.9786352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2765518E-5 | 1.2765518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.554092E-4 | 1.554092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015530165 | 0.0015530165 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.095985E-6 | 2.095985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.982763E-6 | 8.982763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0935972E-4 | 1.0935972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010930662 | 0.0010930662 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0278507E-6 | 1.0278507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.405067E-6 | 4.405067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3630403E-5 | 5.3630403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.361776E-4 | 5.361776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.918935E-7 | 4.918935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1081132E-6 | 2.1081132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5665993E-5 | 2.5665993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5663184E-4 | 2.5663184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4784214E-7 | 2.4784214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0621802E-6 | 1.0621802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2931971E-5 | 1.2931971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2931255E-4 | 1.2931255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.389621E-8 | 7.389621E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.16698E-7 | 3.16698E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8557923E-6 | 3.8557923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8557373E-5 | 3.8557373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7588341E-8 | 1.7588341E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.537861E-8 | 7.537861E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1773427E-7 | 9.1773427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.17732E-6 | 9.17732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7599812E-5 | 2.7599812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.18280244E-4 | 1.18280244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014392345 | 0.0014392345 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014328309 | 0.014338166 | 1.000688 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7599812E-5 | 2.7599812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.18280244E-4 | 1.18280244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014392345 | 0.0014392345 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014328309 | 0.014338166 | 1.000688 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7599812E-5 | 2.7599812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.18280244E-4 | 1.18280244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014392345 | 0.0014392345 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014328309 | 0.014338166 | 1.000688 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7599812E-5 | 2.7599812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.18280244E-4 | 1.18280244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014392345 | 0.0014392345 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014328309 | 0.014338166 | 1.000688 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7599812E-5 | 2.7599812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.18280244E-4 | 1.18280244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014392345 | 0.0014392345 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014328309 | 0.014338166 | 1.000688 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7990213E-5 | 1.6652864E-5 | 1.6652864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.709863E-5 | 7.136784E-5 | 7.136784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.382716E-4 | 8.6862344E-4 | 8.6862344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0093431985 | 0.008675742 | 0.008675742 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.650407E-6 | 7.4679774E-6 | 7.4679774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.135823E-5 | 3.2005268E-5 | 3.2005268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0342013E-4 | 3.896023E-4 | 3.896023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005022812 | 0.0039069573 | 0.0039069573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.62828E-6 | 7.44588E-6 | 7.44588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1263404E-5 | 3.1910567E-5 | 3.1910567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.022661E-4 | 3.8844973E-4 | 3.8844973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050113243 | 0.0038954718 | 0.0038954718 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.887523E-6 | 4.471782E-6 | 4.471782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9517621E-5 | 1.9164652E-5 | 1.9164652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5931775E-4 | 2.333069E-4 | 2.333069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035873733 | 0.002347857 | 0.002347857 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2722347E-6 | 3.8135129E-6 | 3.8135129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6880729E-5 | 1.6343536E-5 | 1.6343536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2722374E-4 | 1.989664E-4 | 1.989664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003267423 | 0.002005106 | 0.002005106 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5320347E-6 | 3.0404497E-6 | 3.0404497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708504E-5 | 1.3030443E-5 | 1.3030443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8861282E-4 | 1.5863593E-4 | 1.5863593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028823826 | 0.0016024366 | 0.0016024366 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.8794055E-6 | 1.2930052E-6 | 1.2930052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6625918E-5 | 5.541439E-6 | 5.541439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0240174E-4 | 6.746495E-5 | 6.746495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002022175 | 6.914794E-4 | 6.914794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4813652E-6 | 9.759085E-7 | 9.759085E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49200505E-5 | 4.1824583E-6 | 4.1824583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8163648E-4 | 5.0920247E-5 | 5.0920247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018148809 | 5.2610796E-4 | 5.2610796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.1682148E-6 | 7.802412E-7 | 7.802412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3577992E-5 | 3.3438864E-6 | 3.3438864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6529951E-4 | 4.071106E-5 | 4.071106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016517661 | 4.2403257E-4 | 4.2403257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9707667E-6 | 7.4265665E-7 | 7.4265665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2731795E-5 | 3.1828104E-6 | 3.1828104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5499859E-4 | 3.875003E-5 | 3.875003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015489052 | 4.0421495E-4 | 4.0421495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3462758E-6 | 6.0767826E-7 | 6.0767826E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0055429E-5 | 2.6043328E-6 | 2.6043328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2241797E-4 | 3.170729E-5 | 3.170729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012235056 | 3.320463E-4 | 3.320463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.112783E-6 | 5.31639E-7 | 5.31639E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.054753E-6 | 2.278451E-6 | 2.278451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1023604E-4 | 2.7739787E-5 | 2.7739787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011018137 | 2.9194728E-4 | 2.9194728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7022471E-6 | 4.2882493E-7 | 4.2882493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2953244E-6 | 1.8378198E-6 | 1.8378198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881695E-5 | 2.2375229E-5 | 2.2375229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.878146E-4 | 2.3698054E-4 | 2.3698054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.230914E-7 | 3.780046E-7 | 3.780046E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0989595E-6 | 1.6200186E-6 | 1.6200186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.772918E-5 | 1.972355E-5 | 1.972355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7722773E-4 | 2.099721E-4 | 2.099721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.3588446E-7 | 3.4755223E-7 | 3.4755223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.868075E-6 | 1.4895087E-6 | 1.4895087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2743576E-5 | 1.8134619E-5 | 1.8134619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2741247E-4 | 1.9229123E-4 | 1.9229123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.3317523E-7 | 3.1909312E-7 | 3.1909312E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.99322E-7 | 1.3675412E-6 | 1.3675412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2166677E-5 | 1.6649688E-5 | 1.6649688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21660116E-4 | 1.7603493E-4 | 1.7603493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.4662456E-7 | 2.0546274E-7 | 2.0546274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283908E-7 | 8.805543E-7 | 8.805543E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650631E-6 | 1.0720697E-5 | 1.0720697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650368E-5 | 1.1254844E-4 | 1.1254844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.4931775E-9 | 5.135892E-9 | 5.135892E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3542189E-8 | 2.2010965E-8 | 2.2010965E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662612E-7 | 2.679835E-7 | 2.679835E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662573E-6 | 2.785148E-6 | 2.785148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7608508E-5 | 4.7608508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0402145E-4 | 2.0402145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024812962 | 0.0024912714 | 1.0040201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024553537 | 0.024563292 | 1.0003973 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7608508E-5 | 4.7608508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0402145E-4 | 2.0402145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024812962 | 0.0024912714 | 1.0040201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024553537 | 0.024563292 | 1.0003973 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7608508E-5 | 4.7608508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0402145E-4 | 2.0402145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024812962 | 0.0024912714 | 1.0040201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024553537 | 0.024563292 | 1.0003973 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7608508E-5 | 4.7608508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0402145E-4 | 2.0402145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024812962 | 0.0024912714 | 1.0040201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024553537 | 0.024563292 | 1.0003973 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7608508E-5 | 4.7608508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0402145E-4 | 2.0402145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024812962 | 0.0024912714 | 1.0040201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024553537 | 0.024563292 | 1.0003973 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5372846E-5 | 3.5372846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5158963E-4 | 1.5158963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018441336 | 0.0018541152 | 1.0054126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632528 | 0.018297957 | 0.018307775 | 1.0005366 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5362224E-5 | 3.5362224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5154411E-4 | 1.5154411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018435804 | 0.001853562 | 1.0054142 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632056 | 0.018292516 | 0.018302333 | 1.0005367 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1480766E-5 | 3.1480766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3491107E-4 | 1.3491107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016413898 | 0.0016513735 | 1.0060824 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014641452 | 0.016301436 | 0.016311273 | 1.0006034 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.141863E-5 | 3.141863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.346448E-4 | 1.346448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.001638153 | 0.0016481365 | 1.0060945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014613459 | 0.016269542 | 0.016279379 | 1.0006046 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.671643E-5 | 2.671643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.14494396E-4 | 1.14494396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013931538 | 0.0014031399 | 1.0071679 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012562336 | 0.013851897 | 0.013861758 | 1.0007119 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5844867E-5 | 2.5844867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10759436E-4 | 1.10759436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013477376 | 0.0013577242 | 1.0074098 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012179627 | 0.0134032825 | 0.013413149 | 1.0007361 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.447139E-5 | 2.447139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.04873594E-4 | 1.04873594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.001276163 | 0.0012861502 | 1.007826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01157452 | 0.0126958685 | 0.012705741 | 1.0007776 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7676148E-5 | 1.7676148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.575308E-5 | 7.575308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.21967E-4 | 9.3195774E-4 | 1.0108364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008590161 | 0.009187703 | 0.009197611 | 1.0010784 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5564568E-5 | 1.5564568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.6703935E-5 | 6.6703935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.1187946E-4 | 8.218714E-4 | 1.012307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008095214 | 0.008105133 | 1.0012254 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.529955E-6 | 5.529955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3699595E-5 | 2.3699595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.885049E-4 | 2.885049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.002881358 | 0.002881358 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.339547E-6 | 5.339547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2883576E-5 | 2.2883576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.7857244E-4 | 2.7857244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027822864 | 0.0027822864 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3161563E-6 | 4.3161563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8497683E-5 | 1.8497683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2518635E-4 | 2.2518635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022496164 | 0.0022496164 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8532174E-6 | 2.8532174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2228019E-5 | 1.2228019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4886622E-4 | 1.4886622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014876913 | 0.0014876913 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0124434E-6 | 1.0124434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.339036E-6 | 4.339036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.2826515E-5 | 5.2826515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.281425E-4 | 5.281425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8622242E-7 | 1.8622242E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.980958E-7 | 7.980958E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.716777E-6 | 9.716777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.71638E-5 | 9.71638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
West Napa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.773104E-5 | 4.4548815E-5 | 4.4548815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6169442E-4 | 1.9091132E-4 | 1.9091132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001966852 | 0.002322185 | 0.0023321619 | 1.0042963 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019495348 | 0.023012955 | 0.023022724 | 1.0004245 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.773104E-5 | 4.4548815E-5 | 4.4548815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6169442E-4 | 1.9091132E-4 | 1.9091132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001966852 | 0.002322185 | 0.0023321619 | 1.0042963 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019495348 | 0.023012955 | 0.023022724 | 1.0004245 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.773104E-5 | 4.4548815E-5 | 4.4548815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6169442E-4 | 1.9091132E-4 | 1.9091132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001966852 | 0.002322185 | 0.0023321619 | 1.0042963 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019495348 | 0.023012955 | 0.023022724 | 1.0004245 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.147964E-5 | 2.499824E-5 | 2.499824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2052345E-5 | 1.0713143E-4 | 1.0713143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001120161 | 0.0013036366 | 0.0013036366 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011145315 | 0.01297082 | 0.01297082 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.147964E-5 | 2.499824E-5 | 2.499824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2052345E-5 | 1.0713143E-4 | 1.0713143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001120161 | 0.0013036366 | 0.0013036366 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011145315 | 0.01297082 | 0.01297082 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.688201E-5 | 1.9556244E-5 | 1.9556244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.234947E-5 | 8.38102E-5 | 8.38102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.804988E-4 | 0.0010199843 | 0.0010199843 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008770182 | 0.010162005 | 0.010162005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.6846381E-5 | 1.9515925E-5 | 1.9515925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.219678E-5 | 8.363741E-5 | 8.363741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7864127E-4 | 0.0010178825 | 0.0010178825 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008751754 | 0.01014118 | 0.01014118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3396501E-5 | 1.547495E-5 | 1.547495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7412315E-5 | 6.631989E-5 | 6.631989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9877075E-4 | 8.0720906E-4 | 8.0720906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069657755 | 0.008050803 | 0.008050803 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0139058E-5 | 1.1677994E-5 | 1.1677994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3452383E-5 | 5.00479E-5 | 5.00479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.289043E-4 | 6.092184E-4 | 6.092184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005276473 | 0.006082712 | 0.006082712 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.761281E-6 | 8.895445E-6 | 8.895445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.326221E-5 | 3.8123067E-5 | 3.8123067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0489217E-4 | 4.6410094E-4 | 4.6410094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040415525 | 0.004638139 | 0.004638139 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.2109202E-6 | 2.3687076E-6 | 2.3687076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.475338E-6 | 1.0151564E-5 | 1.0151564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1535613E-4 | 1.2358837E-4 | 1.2358837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011529627 | 0.0012369871 | 0.0012369871 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9008926E-6 | 2.0152822E-6 | 2.0152822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.146657E-6 | 8.6368955E-6 | 8.6368955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.918104E-5 | 1.0514915E-4 | 1.0514915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.913679E-4 | 0.0010527797 | 0.0010527797 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.8495944E-6 | 1.9580737E-6 | 1.9580737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.926808E-6 | 8.3917175E-6 | 8.3917175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.650462E-5 | 1.021644E-4 | 1.021644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6462725E-4 | 0.0010229601 | 0.0010229601 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7883189E-6 | 1.8900167E-6 | 1.8900167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.664201E-6 | 8.100046E-6 | 8.100046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.330765E-5 | 9.861363E-5 | 9.861363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3268487E-4 | 9.874841E-4 | 9.874841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6520572E-6 | 1.7433392E-6 | 1.7433392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0802257E-6 | 7.4714326E-6 | 7.4714326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6198335E-5 | 9.096092E-5 | 9.096092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.616491E-4 | 9.1101724E-4 | 9.1101724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4040345E-6 | 1.4816766E-6 | 1.4816766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0172765E-6 | 6.350027E-6 | 6.350027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325788E-5 | 7.730886E-5 | 7.730886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3233736E-4 | 7.7455794E-4 | 7.7455794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3013842E-7 | 1.4490011E-7 | 1.4490011E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.57736E-7 | 6.210003E-7 | 6.210003E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790414E-6 | 7.5606526E-6 | 7.5606526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790207E-5 | 7.6543656E-5 | 7.6543656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.541512E-8 | 9.783965E-8 | 9.783965E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6606474E-7 | 4.1931273E-7 | 4.1931273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456829E-6 | 5.10512E-6 | 5.10512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4567398E-5 | 5.196252E-5 | 5.196252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.6074793E-8 | 6.9513895E-8 | 6.9513895E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.403205E-7 | 2.9791667E-7 | 2.9791667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9258983E-6 | 3.6271292E-6 | 3.6271292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9258597E-5 | 3.7114303E-5 | 3.7114303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9475839E-8 | 3.8898563E-8 | 3.8898563E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2632502E-7 | 1.667081E-7 | 1.667081E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.538006E-6 | 2.0296693E-6 | 2.0296693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5379954E-5 | 2.084701E-5 | 2.084701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3337122E-8 | 2.182512E-8 | 2.182512E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7159088E-8 | 9.353622E-8 | 9.353622E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.959117E-7 | 1.1388029E-6 | 1.1388029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.959095E-6 | 1.1753619E-5 | 1.1753619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6589986E-10 | 4.902596E-10 | 4.902596E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1395708E-9 | 2.1011126E-9 | 2.1011126E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3874274E-8 | 2.5581045E-8 | 2.5581045E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3874273E-7 | 2.6248014E-7 | 2.6248014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4288818E-5 | 2.4288818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.040908E-4 | 1.040908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012665713 | 0.0012665713 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.013003276 | 0.013013146 | 1.000759 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4288818E-5 | 2.4288818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.040908E-4 | 1.040908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012665713 | 0.0012665713 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.013003276 | 0.013013146 | 1.000759 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4288818E-5 | 2.4288818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.040908E-4 | 1.040908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012665713 | 0.0012665713 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.013003276 | 0.013013146 | 1.000759 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4288818E-5 | 2.4288818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.040908E-4 | 1.040908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012665713 | 0.0012665713 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.013003276 | 0.013013146 | 1.000759 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4288818E-5 | 2.4288818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.040908E-4 | 1.040908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012665713 | 0.0012665713 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.013003276 | 0.013013146 | 1.000759 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4174835E-5 | 2.4174835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0360233E-4 | 1.0360233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012606313 | 0.0012606313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014134934 | 0.012944575 | 0.012954446 | 1.0007626 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4174835E-5 | 2.4174835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0360233E-4 | 1.0360233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012606313 | 0.0012606313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014134934 | 0.012944575 | 0.012954446 | 1.0007626 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.4099914E-5 | 2.4099914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.0328127E-4 | 1.0328127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012567268 | 0.0012567268 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014100855 | 0.012905966 | 0.012915837 | 1.0007648 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.4017048E-5 | 2.4017048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0292616E-4 | 1.0292616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012524084 | 0.0012524084 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014030075 | 0.012863063 | 0.012872935 | 1.0007675 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.393647E-5 | 2.393647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0258085E-4 | 1.0258085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014069602 | 0.001248209 | 0.001248209 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013980856 | 0.012821331 | 0.012831202 | 1.00077 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3513187E-5 | 2.3513187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0076692E-4 | 1.0076692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012261494 | 0.0012261494 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012602539 | 0.012612413 | 1.0007834 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.333907E-5 | 2.333907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1252879E-4 | 1.0002076E-4 | 1.0002076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012170752 | 0.0012170752 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013607717 | 0.012512318 | 0.012522193 | 1.0007892 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.253279E-5 | 2.253279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.6565534E-5 | 9.6565534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011750537 | 0.0011750537 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013099162 | 0.0120928995 | 0.012102778 | 1.000817 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1262704E-5 | 2.1262704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.11227E-5 | 9.11227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001220092 | 0.0011088564 | 0.0011088564 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012134149 | 0.011430851 | 0.011440737 | 1.0008649 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0992558E-5 | 2.0992558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.996502E-5 | 8.996502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010947757 | 0.0010947757 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011910575 | 0.011289729 | 0.011299616 | 1.0008757 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.0514371E-5 | 2.0514371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.791578E-5 | 8.791578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571277 | 0.0010698511 | 0.0010698511 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511209 | 0.011038794 | 0.011048684 | 1.0008959 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.909517E-5 | 1.909517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.183388E-5 | 8.183388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001043725 | 9.958739E-4 | 9.958739E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010388365 | 0.010293957 | 0.010303854 | 1.0009614 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6872322E-5 | 1.6872322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.230796E-5 | 7.230796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.799946E-4 | 8.799946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008950562 | 0.009130286 | 0.009140195 | 1.0010853 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.5115073E-5 | 1.5115073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.477728E-5 | 6.477728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.883787E-4 | 7.883787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008206429 | 0.008216347 | 1.0012085 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1755297E-5 | 1.1755297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7632562E-5 | 5.0378876E-5 | 5.0378876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.1319076E-4 | 6.1319076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057826187 | 0.006438098 | 0.0064480333 | 1.0015433 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.999339E-6 | 9.999339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.285361E-5 | 4.285361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.216184E-4 | 5.216184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048551033 | 0.0055026007 | 0.0055125454 | 1.0018073 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.9020734E-6 | 6.9020734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9579982E-5 | 2.9579982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.6007728E-4 | 3.6007728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003658111 | 0.0038271232 | 0.0038370849 | 1.0026029 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 9.140284E-7 | 9.140284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.9172587E-6 | 3.9172587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.7691607E-5 | 4.7691607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.4070336E-4 | 5.4070336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.740376E-8 | 6.740376E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.8887325E-7 | 2.8887325E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.5170265E-6 | 3.5170265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.08441E-5 | 4.08441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.001256682 | 0.0012666695 | 1.0079474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012506352 | 0.012516227 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.001256682 | 0.0012666695 | 1.0079474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012506352 | 0.012516227 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.001256682 | 0.0012666695 | 1.0079474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012506352 | 0.012516227 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.001256682 | 0.0012666695 | 1.0079474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012506352 | 0.012516227 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.001256682 | 0.0012666695 | 1.0079474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012506352 | 0.012516227 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.001256682 | 0.0012666695 | 1.0079474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012506352 | 0.012516227 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 2.4096924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0326905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.001256682 | 0.0012666695 | 1.0079474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012506352 | 0.012516227 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1381501E-5 | 1.1381501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.877698E-5 | 4.877698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.937028E-4 | 6.0369686E-4 | 1.0168334 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005516363 | 0.005921669 | 0.00593161 | 1.0016787 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0998556E-5 | 1.0998556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7135843E-5 | 4.7135843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.737326E-4 | 5.8372685E-4 | 1.0174197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005723004 | 0.005732947 | 1.0017374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.701281E-6 | 9.701281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.157628E-5 | 4.157628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.060778E-4 | 5.160727E-4 | 1.0197498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047108172 | 0.00504967 | 0.00505962 | 1.0019703 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.276167E-6 | 9.276167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9754414E-5 | 3.9754414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.839066E-4 | 4.939017E-4 | 1.0206552 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004505487 | 0.004828941 | 0.0048388927 | 1.0020609 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.994442E-6 | 8.994442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8547063E-5 | 3.8547063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.692135E-4 | 4.792088E-4 | 1.0213022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046826387 | 0.0046925917 | 1.0021255 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.372724E-6 | 6.372724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.731139E-5 | 2.731139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3246598E-4 | 3.4246265E-4 | 1.0300683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00310772 | 0.003319744 | 0.003329711 | 1.0030023 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.2068413E-6 | 5.2068413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2314845E-5 | 2.2314845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.7164983E-4 | 2.816471E-4 | 1.036802 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025417898 | 0.002713224 | 0.0027231968 | 1.0036757 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.142525E-6 | 4.142525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7753562E-5 | 1.7753562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1612858E-4 | 2.2612642E-4 | 1.0462588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002024039 | 0.0021592258 | 0.0021692042 | 1.0046213 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4280064E-6 | 1.4280064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.1200135E-6 | 6.1200135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.450866E-5 | 7.450866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.448407E-4 | 7.448407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.354719E-7 | 6.354719E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7234485E-6 | 2.7234485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.3157496E-5 | 3.3157496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.315271E-4 | 3.315271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2611002E-7 | 2.2611002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.690426E-7 | 9.690426E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1798042E-5 | 1.1798042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.1797526E-4 | 1.1797526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5468693E-8 | 1.5468693E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.629439E-8 | 6.629439E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.0713403E-7 | 8.0713403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.071318E-6 | 8.071318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3605705E-5 | 4.3605705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8686827E-4 | 1.8686827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022727593 | 0.0022727593 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032346968 | 0.023453554 | 0.02346332 | 1.0004164 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3605705E-5 | 4.3605705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8686827E-4 | 1.8686827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022727593 | 0.0022727593 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032346968 | 0.023453554 | 0.02346332 | 1.0004164 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3605705E-5 | 4.3605705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8686827E-4 | 1.8686827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022727593 | 0.0022727593 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032346968 | 0.023453554 | 0.02346332 | 1.0004164 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3605705E-5 | 4.3605705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8686827E-4 | 1.8686827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022727593 | 0.0022727593 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032346968 | 0.023453554 | 0.02346332 | 1.0004164 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3605705E-5 | 4.3605705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8686827E-4 | 1.8686827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022727593 | 0.0022727593 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032346968 | 0.023453554 | 0.02346332 | 1.0004164 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0372634E-5 | 4.0372634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7301414E-4 | 1.7301414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.002104418 | 0.002104418 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02986684 | 0.02174339 | 0.021753173 | 1.0004499 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0372634E-5 | 4.0372634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7301414E-4 | 1.7301414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.002104418 | 0.002104418 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02986684 | 0.02174339 | 0.021753173 | 1.0004499 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.9792147E-5 | 3.9792147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.7052666E-4 | 1.7052666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0020741906 | 0.0020741906 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029367693 | 0.021433847 | 0.021443632 | 1.0004566 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.964798E-5 | 3.964798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6990889E-4 | 1.6990889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020666837 | 0.0020666837 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029288229 | 0.021357786 | 0.021367572 | 1.0004582 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9350758E-5 | 3.9350758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6863523E-4 | 1.6863523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029288116 | 0.002051206 | 0.002051206 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028905109 | 0.021196973 | 0.02120676 | 1.0004618 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.8204096E-5 | 3.8204096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6372159E-4 | 1.6372159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028337094 | 0.001991493 | 0.001991493 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027978465 | 0.020585377 | 0.02059517 | 1.0004758 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.6657144E-5 | 3.6657144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5709261E-4 | 1.5709261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0019109289 | 0.0019109289 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.026460782 | 0.01975472 | 0.019764524 | 1.0004961 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4999568E-5 | 3.4999568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4998954E-4 | 1.4998954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018245967 | 0.0018245967 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024660049 | 0.018863117 | 0.01887293 | 1.0005201 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.4085853E-5 | 3.4085853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.4607408E-4 | 1.4607408E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017770046 | 0.0017770046 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02175019 | 0.018367073 | 0.018376889 | 1.0005344 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.372163E-5 | 3.372163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.445133E-4 | 1.445133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017580328 | 0.0017580328 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020790804 | 0.018170452 | 0.01818027 | 1.0005404 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.242926E-5 | 3.242926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.3897516E-4 | 1.3897516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016907124 | 0.0016907124 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01909306 | 0.017483734 | 0.017493559 | 1.000562 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9729381E-5 | 2.9729381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2740542E-4 | 1.2740542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015500595 | 0.0015500595 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01656168 | 0.016063768 | 0.016073607 | 1.0006125 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6311202E-5 | 2.6311202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.1275742E-4 | 1.1275742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013719582 | 0.0013719582 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014152412 | 0.014281112 | 0.01429097 | 1.0006902 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3714401E-5 | 2.3714401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0162919E-4 | 1.0162919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012366339 | 0.0012366339 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012169928 | 0.012918546 | 0.012928417 | 1.0007641 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.909692E-5 | 1.909692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.1841376E-5 | 8.1841376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.95964E-4 | 9.95964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096645225 | 0.0104928715 | 0.010502767 | 1.0009431 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5908781E-5 | 1.5908781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.817871E-5 | 6.817871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.297604E-4 | 8.297604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008034821 | 0.008791285 | 0.008801197 | 1.0011275 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.368506E-6 | 8.368506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.5864537E-5 | 3.5864537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.3656377E-4 | 4.3656377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051959283 | 0.004692982 | 0.0047029355 | 1.0021209 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5809683E-6 | 1.5809683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.775561E-6 | 6.775561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.248936E-5 | 8.248936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.565466E-4 | 9.565466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6885194E-7 | 3.6885194E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5807931E-6 | 1.5807931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.924599E-5 | 1.924599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.3183708E-4 | 2.3183708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Point Reyes 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.8644965E-6 | 8.967829E-6 | 8.967829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7990147E-5 | 3.843302E-5 | 3.843302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.624319E-4 | 4.6782783E-4 | 4.6782783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046147075 | 0.004669058 | 0.004679011 | 1.0021317 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.526405E-6 | 4.5396714E-6 | 4.5396714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9398734E-5 | 1.9455596E-5 | 1.9455596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.36154E-4 | 2.3684716E-4 | 2.3684716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002359032 | 0.0023660532 | 0.0023660532 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 4.526405E-6 | 4.5396714E-6 | 4.5396714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9398734E-5 | 1.9455596E-5 | 1.9455596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.36154E-4 | 2.3684716E-4 | 2.3684716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002359032 | 0.0023660532 | 0.0023660532 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.6842322E-6 | 2.6610433E-6 | 2.6610433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1503801E-5 | 1.1404422E-5 | 1.1404422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4004979E-4 | 1.3884019E-4 | 1.3884019E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013996155 | 0.001387556 | 0.001387556 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.6842322E-6 | 2.6610433E-6 | 2.6610433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1503801E-5 | 1.1404422E-5 | 1.1404422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4004979E-4 | 1.3884019E-4 | 1.3884019E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013996155 | 0.001387556 | 0.001387556 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.9281833E-6 | 1.8909604E-6 | 1.8909604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.263617E-6 | 8.104092E-6 | 8.104092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060489E-4 | 9.866293E-5 | 9.866293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010055936 | 9.862018E-4 | 9.862018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.4726726E-6 | 1.4272727E-6 | 1.4272727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3114385E-6 | 6.116869E-6 | 6.116869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.683905E-5 | 7.447038E-5 | 7.447038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6812494E-4 | 7.444611E-4 | 7.444611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.572307E-7 | 8.010108E-7 | 8.010108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6738406E-6 | 3.432899E-6 | 3.432899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.472809E-5 | 4.179476E-5 | 4.179476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.471909E-4 | 4.178726E-4 | 4.178726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.6745434E-7 | 6.08012E-7 | 6.08012E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8605155E-6 | 2.605763E-6 | 2.605763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.482622E-5 | 3.1724714E-5 | 3.1724714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4820763E-4 | 3.1720486E-4 | 3.1720486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.291521E-7 | 3.6563182E-7 | 3.6563182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.839222E-6 | 1.5669926E-6 | 1.5669926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2392298E-5 | 1.9077972E-5 | 1.9077972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2390042E-4 | 1.9076568E-4 | 1.9076568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6812808E-7 | 2.0213996E-7 | 2.0213996E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1491198E-6 | 8.663138E-7 | 8.663138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990444E-5 | 1.0547321E-5 | 1.0547321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3989564E-4 | 1.05470244E-4 | 1.05470244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9451231E-7 | 1.2751765E-7 | 1.2751765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336239E-7 | 5.465041E-7 | 5.465041E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0149324E-5 | 6.653667E-6 | 6.653667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.014886E-4 | 6.653665E-5 | 6.653665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6715143E-7 | 1.00687295E-7 | 1.00687295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1636305E-7 | 4.3151692E-7 | 4.3151692E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.721685E-6 | 5.2537057E-6 | 5.2537057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.721343E-5 | 5.2537784E-5 | 5.2537784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5503173E-7 | 9.038606E-8 | 9.038606E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.644215E-7 | 3.873688E-7 | 3.873688E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.089301E-6 | 4.716205E-6 | 4.716205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.089007E-5 | 4.7163016E-5 | 4.7163016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4251614E-7 | 8.1224364E-8 | 8.1224364E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1078333E-7 | 3.4810438E-7 | 3.4810438E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4362615E-6 | 4.2381625E-6 | 4.2381625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436013E-5 | 4.2382788E-5 | 4.2382788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2710186E-7 | 7.053468E-8 | 7.053468E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.447221E-7 | 3.0229145E-7 | 3.0229145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6319717E-6 | 3.6803922E-6 | 3.6803922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6317734E-5 | 3.6805282E-5 | 3.6805282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0144708E-7 | 5.517042E-8 | 5.517042E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.347731E-7 | 2.3644466E-7 | 2.3644466E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2933497E-6 | 2.87871E-6 | 2.87871E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.293224E-5 | 2.8788696E-5 | 2.8788696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.090527E-8 | 4.000589E-8 | 4.000589E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.038797E-7 | 1.7145382E-7 | 1.7145382E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.699729E-6 | 2.0874481E-6 | 2.0874481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6996673E-5 | 2.0876256E-5 | 2.0876256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.8712045E-8 | 2.7595522E-8 | 2.7595522E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6590876E-7 | 1.18266534E-7 | 1.18266534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0199373E-6 | 1.439894E-6 | 1.439894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0199188E-5 | 1.4400817E-5 | 1.4400817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.7068782E-8 | 1.196052E-8 | 1.196052E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.315192E-8 | 5.1259377E-8 | 5.1259377E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906242E-7 | 6.2408276E-7 | 6.2408276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906207E-6 | 6.2427794E-6 | 6.2427794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0172592E-8 | 7.1349504E-9 | 7.1349504E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.359682E-8 | 3.0578363E-8 | 3.0578363E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3079117E-7 | 3.722915E-7 | 3.722915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.307899E-6 | 3.7248783E-6 | 3.7248783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.7861243E-9 | 3.596988E-9 | 3.596988E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6226247E-8 | 1.5415663E-8 | 1.5415663E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9755454E-7 | 1.876857E-7 | 1.876857E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9755437E-6 | 1.8786598E-6 | 1.8786598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 08 (Quinto)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.254312E-6 | 8.254312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5375248E-5 | 3.5375248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.306274E-4 | 4.406231E-4 | 1.023212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004299783 | 0.00430974 | 1.0023156 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.254312E-6 | 8.254312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5375248E-5 | 3.5375248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.306274E-4 | 4.406231E-4 | 1.023212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004299783 | 0.00430974 | 1.0023156 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.254312E-6 | 8.254312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5375248E-5 | 3.5375248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.306274E-4 | 4.406231E-4 | 1.023212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004299783 | 0.00430974 | 1.0023156 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.751508E-6 | 5.751508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4649149E-5 | 2.4649149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.000732E-4 | 3.000732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028001624 | 0.002997774 | 0.002997774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.751508E-6 | 5.751508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4649149E-5 | 2.4649149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.000732E-4 | 3.000732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028001624 | 0.002997774 | 0.002997774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.65427E-6 | 3.9420406E-6 | 3.9420406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5661062E-5 | 1.689439E-5 | 1.689439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9065675E-4 | 2.0567683E-4 | 2.0567683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019049325 | 0.0020555567 | 0.0020555567 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6143538E-6 | 3.89922E-6 | 3.89922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5489995E-5 | 1.6710876E-5 | 1.6710876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8857437E-4 | 2.0344296E-4 | 2.0344296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018841444 | 0.002033259 | 0.002033259 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.4821015E-6 | 2.6862167E-6 | 2.6862167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0637535E-5 | 1.15123385E-5 | 1.15123385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2950429E-4 | 1.4015936E-4 | 1.4015936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942884 | 0.0014012648 | 0.0014012648 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.7110538E-7 | 5.19425E-7 | 5.19425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0190216E-6 | 2.2261052E-6 | 2.2261052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.458131E-5 | 2.7102513E-5 | 2.7102513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.457859E-4 | 2.7099389E-4 | 2.7099389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.958685E-7 | 4.3713962E-7 | 4.3713962E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6965782E-6 | 1.8734543E-6 | 1.8734543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0655643E-5 | 2.2809083E-5 | 2.2809083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0653724E-4 | 2.2806905E-4 | 2.2806905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.70294E-7 | 2.9927406E-7 | 2.9927406E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1584025E-6 | 1.2826026E-6 | 1.2826026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4103458E-5 | 1.5615587E-5 | 1.5615587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4102564E-4 | 1.5614618E-4 | 1.5614618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4828602E-7 | 1.647332E-7 | 1.647332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3551136E-7 | 7.0599924E-7 | 7.0599924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737323E-6 | 8.595515E-6 | 8.595515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737054E-5 | 8.5952626E-5 | 8.5952626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9774543E-5 | 1.9774543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.474533E-5 | 8.474533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010313056 | 0.0010412954 | 1.0096865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010272467 | 0.010282364 | 1.0009634 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9774543E-5 | 1.9774543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.474533E-5 | 8.474533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010313056 | 0.0010412954 | 1.0096865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010272467 | 0.010282364 | 1.0009634 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9774543E-5 | 1.9774543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.474533E-5 | 8.474533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010313056 | 0.0010412954 | 1.0096865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010272467 | 0.010282364 | 1.0009634 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7754899E-5 | 1.7754899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.609022E-5 | 7.609022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2601933E-4 | 9.360101E-4 | 1.0107889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.009228367 | 0.009238275 | 1.0010736 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7754899E-5 | 1.7754899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.609022E-5 | 7.609022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2601933E-4 | 9.360101E-4 | 1.0107889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.009228367 | 0.009238275 | 1.0010736 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7754899E-5 | 1.7754899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.609022E-5 | 7.609022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2601933E-4 | 9.360101E-4 | 1.0107889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.009228367 | 0.009238275 | 1.0010736 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.7016308E-5 | 1.7016308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2234634E-5 | 7.292508E-5 | 7.292508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010007467 | 8.875174E-4 | 8.975086E-4 | 1.0112574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00996252 | 0.008846682 | 0.008856593 | 1.0011203 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.4743814E-5 | 1.4743814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546184E-5 | 6.31863E-5 | 6.31863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.6903147E-4 | 7.7902374E-4 | 1.0129933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009145746 | 0.0076707136 | 0.007680637 | 1.0012937 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.3793744E-5 | 1.3793744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.9114755E-5 | 5.9114755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8517193E-4 | 7.194932E-4 | 7.29486E-4 | 1.0138887 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008816543 | 0.007178198 | 0.0071881264 | 1.0013831 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.2856681E-5 | 1.2856681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.5098943E-5 | 5.5098943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.706309E-4 | 6.806242E-4 | 1.0149013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008315775 | 0.0066922423 | 0.0067021754 | 1.0014843 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 1.04562205E-5 | 1.04562205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.481162E-5 | 4.481162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.944992E-4 | 5.454476E-4 | 5.554421E-4 | 1.0183235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006923327 | 0.005445206 | 0.005455151 | 1.0018265 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.945721E-6 | 9.945721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5136024E-5 | 4.262384E-5 | 4.262384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.710743E-4 | 5.188242E-4 | 5.2881904E-4 | 1.0192643 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066905143 | 0.0051792823 | 0.0051892307 | 1.0019208 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 8.640887E-6 | 8.640887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.703186E-5 | 3.703186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.5077136E-4 | 4.6076687E-4 | 1.0221742 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060604266 | 0.0044998745 | 0.0045098295 | 1.0022123 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 7.206928E-6 | 7.206928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2893007E-5 | 3.0886476E-5 | 3.0886476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.759794E-4 | 3.8597564E-4 | 1.0265872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005208723 | 0.00375379 | 0.0037637525 | 1.002654 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 6.4152687E-6 | 6.4152687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.7493727E-5 | 2.7493727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.3468608E-4 | 3.3468608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00474572 | 0.0033419759 | 0.0033419759 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 5.386936E-6 | 5.386936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.3086672E-5 | 2.3086672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.8104524E-4 | 2.8104524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0028070249 | 0.0028070249 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.681569E-6 | 4.681569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.990303E-5 | 2.0063719E-5 | 2.0063719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.4424956E-4 | 2.4424956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003634129 | 0.0024399275 | 0.0024399275 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.3304488E-6 | 2.3304488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835715E-5 | 9.987603E-6 | 9.987603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.2159303E-4 | 1.2159303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021691616 | 0.0012153382 | 0.0012153382 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.3929124E-8 | 9.3929124E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0255333E-7 | 4.0255333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.901079E-6 | 4.901079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.901004E-5 | 4.901004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4418608E-9 | 3.4418608E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4750832E-8 | 1.4750832E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7959135E-7 | 1.7959135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7959123E-6 | 1.7959123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.051324E-4 | 1.051324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.5050008E-4 | 4.5050008E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004016016 | 0.005472248 | 0.005472248 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039442103 | 0.053495064 | 0.05350453 | 1.0001769 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0281596E-5 | 6.0281596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.583265E-4 | 2.583265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031409035 | 0.0031409035 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.030996198 | 0.030996198 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0281596E-5 | 6.0281596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.583265E-4 | 2.583265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031409035 | 0.0031409035 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.030996198 | 0.030996198 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.250346E-5 | 4.250346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8214634E-4 | 1.8214634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.002215622 | 0.002215622 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017212452 | 0.021959566 | 0.021959566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.5020592E-5 | 3.5020592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.5008076E-4 | 1.5008076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018259367 | 0.0018259367 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014366428 | 0.018132308 | 0.018132308 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.4970388E-5 | 3.4970388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.498656E-4 | 1.498656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018233217 | 0.0018233217 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014344421 | 0.018106585 | 0.018106585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.8735385E-5 | 2.8735385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.2314717E-4 | 1.2314717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.001498524 | 0.001498524 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011917574 | 0.014907515 | 0.014907515 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4919686E-5 | 2.4919686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.06795684E-4 | 1.06795684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012997036 | 0.0012997036 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010315218 | 0.012944703 | 0.012944703 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6082874E-6 | 7.6082874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2606556E-5 | 3.2606556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9691536E-4 | 3.9691536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.003962352 | 0.003962352 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.5041936E-6 | 6.5041936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7874832E-5 | 2.7874832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.393258E-4 | 3.393258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0033883343 | 0.0033883343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4863864E-6 | 4.4863864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9227242E-5 | 1.9227242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.3406863E-4 | 2.3406863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023384294 | 0.0023384294 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8577269E-6 | 1.8577269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.961668E-6 | 7.961668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.693007E-5 | 9.693007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.689827E-4 | 9.689827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.3068506E-5 | 1.74321E-4 | 1.74321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9880406E-4 | 7.4687466E-4 | 7.4687466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048446343 | 0.009055164 | 0.009055164 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047403704 | 0.08651658 | 0.086525716 | 1.0001056 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.055486E-5 | 1.6982954E-4 | 1.6982954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.880345E-4 | 7.276376E-4 | 7.276376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047140904 | 0.008823077 | 0.008823077 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.046153355 | 0.084413365 | 0.08442252 | 1.0001085 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.006742E-5 | 1.690347E-4 | 1.690347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.859461E-4 | 7.242336E-4 | 7.242336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046887742 | 0.008782004 | 0.008782004 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0459107 | 0.08403731 | 0.08404647 | 1.000109 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8336754E-5 | 1.6582893E-4 | 1.6582893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7853114E-4 | 7.105026E-4 | 7.105026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004598882 | 0.0086162165 | 0.0086162165 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04504866 | 0.08252906 | 0.08253824 | 1.0001112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.526157E-5 | 1.6009175E-4 | 1.6009175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6535555E-4 | 6.859278E-4 | 6.859278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044391346 | 0.008319353 | 0.008319353 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.043514993 | 0.07983759 | 0.07984679 | 1.0001153 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.152396E-5 | 1.5341317E-4 | 1.5341317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493416E-4 | 6.5732E-4 | 6.5732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042449418 | 0.007973656 | 0.007973656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04164765 | 0.07666938 | 0.07667861 | 1.0001204 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.987405E-5 | 1.5045429E-4 | 1.5045429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227243E-4 | 6.446454E-4 | 6.446454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041592065 | 0.007820472 | 0.007820472 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04082218 | 0.075261764 | 0.07527101 | 1.0001229 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.777665E-5 | 1.4684026E-4 | 1.4684026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.332859E-4 | 6.2916434E-4 | 6.2916434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004050208 | 0.0076333275 | 0.0076333275 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039771806 | 0.073535465 | 0.073544726 | 1.000126 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3284005E-5 | 1.3832936E-4 | 1.3832936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.140365E-4 | 5.92706E-4 | 5.92706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038166929 | 0.0071924576 | 0.0071924576 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037518036 | 0.06944193 | 0.069451235 | 1.000134 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.458263E-5 | 1.21599405E-4 | 1.21599405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7675333E-4 | 5.210367E-4 | 5.210367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033642664 | 0.006325272 | 0.006325272 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.033137884 | 0.06135608 | 0.061365467 | 1.000153 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.3853604E-5 | 1.0049717E-4 | 1.0049717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3078074E-4 | 4.306314E-4 | 4.306314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028061352 | 0.005230398 | 0.005230398 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027709642 | 0.05107193 | 0.05108142 | 1.0001858 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4308683E-5 | 8.192337E-5 | 8.192337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8988053E-4 | 3.5105314E-4 | 3.5105314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023093442 | 0.0042657373 | 0.0042657373 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022854926 | 0.04192726 | 0.04193684 | 1.0002285 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.295973E-5 | 6.0965187E-5 | 6.0965187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4124835E-4 | 2.6125333E-4 | 2.6125333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017183421 | 0.0031761432 | 0.0031761432 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017051157 | 0.03146407 | 0.031473756 | 1.0003078 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.452256E-5 | 4.533148E-5 | 4.533148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05092455E-4 | 1.9426338E-4 | 1.9426338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012787496 | 0.002362605 | 0.002362605 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0127141625 | 0.02351618 | 0.023525944 | 1.0004152 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8829967E-5 | 3.4720644E-5 | 3.4720644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.069736E-5 | 1.4879432E-4 | 1.4879432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.820475E-4 | 0.0018100755 | 0.0018100755 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009777189 | 0.018078484 | 0.018088304 | 1.0005431 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.26374125E-5 | 2.3009148E-5 | 2.3009148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4159216E-5 | 9.860694E-5 | 9.860694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5918895E-4 | 0.0011998842 | 0.0011998842 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00657237 | 0.012034039 | 0.0120439185 | 1.000821 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.666429E-6 | 8.51331E-6 | 8.51331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9998828E-5 | 3.648511E-5 | 3.648511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4345852E-4 | 4.4411691E-4 | 4.4411691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024319198 | 0.0044772592 | 0.0044772592 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8399318E-7 | 7.188026E-7 | 7.188026E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456839E-6 | 3.0805788E-6 | 3.0805788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.003602E-5 | 3.7505404E-5 | 3.7505404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0034213E-4 | 3.8879132E-4 | 3.8879132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.5637698E-7 | 5.413199E-7 | 5.413199E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098758E-6 | 2.3199402E-6 | 2.3199402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3377297E-5 | 2.8244907E-5 | 2.8244907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3376492E-4 | 2.9473606E-4 | 2.9473606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.7141245E-7 | 3.7616388E-7 | 3.7616388E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3462456E-7 | 1.61213E-6 | 1.61213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944017E-6 | 1.9627505E-5 | 1.9627505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.943657E-5 | 2.0403517E-4 | 2.0403517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1808895E-7 | 2.773898E-7 | 2.773898E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.060954E-7 | 1.1888129E-6 | 1.1888129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161694E-6 | 1.4473701E-5 | 1.4473701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161523E-5 | 1.4926578E-4 | 1.4926578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.138535E-8 | 1.1319289E-7 | 1.1319289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2022292E-7 | 4.8511225E-7 | 4.8511225E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6812106E-6 | 5.9062263E-6 | 5.9062263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6811784E-5 | 6.060236E-5 | 6.060236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mono Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3837632E-5 | 2.3837632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0216028E-4 | 1.0216028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012436231 | 0.0012436231 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012418749 | 0.012428625 | 1.0007952 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3837632E-5 | 2.3837632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0216028E-4 | 1.0216028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012436231 | 0.0012436231 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012418749 | 0.012428625 | 1.0007952 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3837632E-5 | 2.3837632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0216028E-4 | 1.0216028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012436231 | 0.0012436231 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012418749 | 0.012428625 | 1.0007952 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3837632E-5 | 2.3837632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0216028E-4 | 1.0216028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012436231 | 0.0012436231 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012418749 | 0.012428625 | 1.0007952 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0499112E-5 | 2.0499112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.785334E-5 | 8.785334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.001069614 | 0.001069614 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009088841 | 0.0106960945 | 0.010705988 | 1.000925 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0499112E-5 | 2.0499112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.785334E-5 | 8.785334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.001069614 | 0.001069614 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009088841 | 0.0106960945 | 0.010705988 | 1.000925 | 1.0E-5 |
Peralta Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.840585E-6 | 3.840585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6459588E-5 | 1.6459588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0038447E-4 | 2.0038447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020027657 | 0.0020127457 | 1.0049831 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.840585E-6 | 3.840585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6459588E-5 | 1.6459588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0038447E-4 | 2.0038447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020027657 | 0.0020127457 | 1.0049831 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.840585E-6 | 3.840585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6459588E-5 | 1.6459588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0038447E-4 | 2.0038447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020027657 | 0.0020127457 | 1.0049831 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.840585E-6 | 3.840585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6459588E-5 | 1.6459588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0038447E-4 | 2.0038447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020027657 | 0.0020127457 | 1.0049831 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.840585E-6 | 3.840585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6459588E-5 | 1.6459588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0038447E-4 | 2.0038447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020027657 | 0.0020127457 | 1.0049831 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.4439855E-6 | 1.4439855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 6.188496E-6 | 6.188496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.534258E-5 | 7.534258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.531944E-4 | 7.531944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.4439855E-6 | 1.4439855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 6.188496E-6 | 6.188496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.534258E-5 | 7.534258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.531944E-4 | 7.531944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5018579E-6 | 1.3846022E-6 | 1.3846022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.436518E-6 | 5.9339973E-6 | 5.9339973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.836179E-5 | 7.2244264E-5 | 7.2244264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.833416E-4 | 7.2223134E-4 | 7.2223134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4584314E-6 | 1.3390292E-6 | 1.3390292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250405E-6 | 5.738685E-6 | 5.738685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6096025E-5 | 6.986649E-5 | 6.986649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6069974E-4 | 6.9846865E-4 | 6.9846865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1382393E-6 | 9.868774E-7 | 9.868774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8781594E-6 | 4.229468E-6 | 4.229468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9389975E-5 | 5.149264E-5 | 5.149264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.93741E-4 | 5.148153E-4 | 5.148153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.970413E-7 | 8.3151497E-7 | 8.3151497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.273027E-6 | 3.563631E-6 | 3.563631E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2022864E-5 | 4.3386415E-5 | 4.3386415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2010687E-4 | 4.3378625E-4 | 4.3378625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.684443E-7 | 7.9994055E-7 | 7.9994055E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.150469E-6 | 3.4283125E-6 | 3.4283125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053079E-5 | 4.1738975E-5 | 4.1738975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05193E-4 | 4.173181E-4 | 4.173181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.240811E-7 | 7.508246E-7 | 7.508246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.960342E-6 | 3.2178161E-6 | 3.2178161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8216094E-5 | 3.9176273E-5 | 3.9176273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8205635E-4 | 3.9170025E-4 | 3.9170025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.158643E-7 | 6.3545383E-7 | 6.3545383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4965567E-6 | 2.723371E-6 | 2.723371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2569747E-5 | 3.31566E-5 | 3.31566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2561593E-4 | 3.315227E-4 | 3.315227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3822824E-7 | 4.799166E-7 | 4.799166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7352612E-6 | 2.056784E-6 | 2.056784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3301294E-5 | 2.5041112E-5 | 2.5041112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3296304E-4 | 2.5038805E-4 | 2.5038805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.0292628E-7 | 2.7865704E-7 | 2.7865704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7268258E-6 | 1.1942441E-6 | 1.1942441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1023901E-5 | 1.45398535E-5 | 1.45398535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1021912E-4 | 1.4539182E-4 | 1.4539182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.672993E-7 | 2.487233E-7 | 2.487233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5741389E-6 | 1.0659567E-6 | 1.0659567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9164972E-5 | 1.2977973E-5 | 1.2977973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.916332E-4 | 1.2977487E-4 | 1.2977487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8466823E-7 | 1.7873579E-7 | 1.7873579E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2200061E-6 | 7.660105E-7 | 7.660105E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4853474E-5 | 9.326164E-6 | 9.326164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.485248E-4 | 9.326033E-5 | 9.326033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2022611E-5 | 1.2022611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1524523E-5 | 5.1524523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2714185E-4 | 6.2714185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062658475 | 0.006275785 | 1.001586 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2022611E-5 | 1.2022611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1524523E-5 | 5.1524523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2714185E-4 | 6.2714185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062658475 | 0.006275785 | 1.001586 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2022611E-5 | 1.2022611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1524523E-5 | 5.1524523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2714185E-4 | 6.2714185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062658475 | 0.006275785 | 1.001586 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2022611E-5 | 1.2022611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1524523E-5 | 5.1524523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2714185E-4 | 6.2714185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062658475 | 0.006275785 | 1.001586 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2022611E-5 | 1.2022611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1524523E-5 | 5.1524523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2714185E-4 | 6.2714185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062658475 | 0.006275785 | 1.001586 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.753978E-6 | 7.753978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3230917E-5 | 3.3230917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0451236E-4 | 4.0451236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003506398 | 0.0040488886 | 0.004058848 | 1.0024598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.753978E-6 | 7.753978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3230917E-5 | 3.3230917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0451236E-4 | 4.0451236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003506398 | 0.0040488886 | 0.004058848 | 1.0024598 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 7.2828648E-6 | 7.2828648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6892068E-5 | 3.121191E-5 | 3.121191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2736175E-4 | 3.799397E-4 | 3.799397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032687993 | 0.0038040224 | 0.0038139843 | 1.0026188 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 6.9955645E-6 | 6.9955645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5697784E-5 | 2.998065E-5 | 2.998065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.128256E-4 | 3.6495423E-4 | 3.6495423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003123856 | 0.0036546674 | 0.003664631 | 1.0027262 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 6.660462E-6 | 6.660462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4369761E-5 | 2.854453E-5 | 2.854453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9666146E-4 | 3.4747514E-4 | 3.4747514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029626573 | 0.0034804356 | 0.0034904007 | 1.0028632 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 6.184254E-6 | 6.184254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.242688E-5 | 2.650368E-5 | 2.650368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7301308E-4 | 3.226353E-4 | 3.226353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002726779 | 0.0032327736 | 0.0032427413 | 1.0030833 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 6.074282E-6 | 6.074282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2009834E-5 | 2.6032381E-5 | 2.6032381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6793676E-4 | 3.1689892E-4 | 3.1689892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026761394 | 0.0031755753 | 0.0031855435 | 1.003139 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 5.9074955E-6 | 5.9074955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1381518E-5 | 2.5317597E-5 | 2.5317597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6028889E-4 | 3.081989E-4 | 3.081989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025998424 | 0.0030888198 | 0.003098789 | 1.0032275 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 5.738902E-6 | 5.738902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0665291E-5 | 2.4595065E-5 | 2.4595065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5157086E-4 | 2.9940455E-4 | 2.9940455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025128627 | 0.003001117 | 0.003011087 | 1.0033221 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 5.6273266E-6 | 5.6273266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193436E-5 | 2.4116896E-5 | 2.4116896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4582737E-4 | 2.935844E-4 | 2.935844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002455556 | 0.0029430704 | 0.002953041 | 1.0033878 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 5.47251E-6 | 5.47251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9502659E-5 | 2.3453407E-5 | 2.3453407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37419E-4 | 2.8550858E-4 | 2.8550858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002371655 | 0.002862522 | 0.0028724934 | 1.0034834 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 5.2650835E-6 | 5.2650835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861545E-5 | 2.2564453E-5 | 2.2564453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2661954E-4 | 2.7468835E-4 | 2.7468835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022638857 | 0.0027545835 | 0.0027545835 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 2.767985E-6 | 2.767985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2583803E-5 | 1.18627395E-5 | 1.18627395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5319703E-4 | 1.4441932E-4 | 1.4441932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015309147 | 0.0014506504 | 0.0014506504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 9.220239E-7 | 9.220239E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.232116E-6 | 3.9515253E-6 | 3.9515253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.587337E-5 | 4.810876E-5 | 4.810876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.584747E-4 | 4.859516E-4 | 4.859516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 2.4545207E-7 | 2.4545207E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 1.0519369E-6 | 1.0519369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 1.2807257E-5 | 1.2807257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2250296E-4 | 1.3120633E-4 | 1.3120633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 7.84911E-8 | 7.84911E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 3.3639037E-7 | 3.3639037E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 4.095545E-6 | 4.095545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 4.311981E-5 | 4.311981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 4.2438835E-8 | 4.2438835E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 1.8188072E-7 | 1.8188072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 2.2143954E-6 | 2.2143954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 2.348076E-5 | 2.348076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 1.43416425E-8 | 1.43416425E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 6.146418E-8 | 6.146418E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 7.483261E-7 | 7.483261E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 8.092622E-6 | 8.092622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Fish Slough 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6777774E-6 | 3.6777774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.576182E-5 | 1.576182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9188538E-4 | 2.0188346E-4 | 1.0521045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0019174059 | 0.0019273867 | 1.0052054 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6777774E-6 | 3.6777774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.576182E-5 | 1.576182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9188538E-4 | 2.0188346E-4 | 1.0521045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0019174059 | 0.0019273867 | 1.0052054 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6777774E-6 | 3.6777774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.576182E-5 | 1.576182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9188538E-4 | 2.0188346E-4 | 1.0521045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0019174059 | 0.0019273867 | 1.0052054 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6777774E-6 | 3.6777774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.576182E-5 | 1.576182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9188538E-4 | 2.0188346E-4 | 1.0521045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0019174059 | 0.0019273867 | 1.0052054 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6777774E-6 | 3.6777774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.576182E-5 | 1.576182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9188538E-4 | 2.0188346E-4 | 1.0521045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0019174059 | 0.0019273867 | 1.0052054 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.991715E-6 | 2.270813E-6 | 2.270813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2821573E-5 | 9.732024E-6 | 9.732024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5609147E-4 | 1.1848187E-4 | 1.2848068E-4 | 1.0843911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015598187 | 0.0011842771 | 0.0011942653 | 1.0084339 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.991715E-6 | 2.270813E-6 | 2.270813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2821573E-5 | 9.732024E-6 | 9.732024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5609147E-4 | 1.1848187E-4 | 1.2848068E-4 | 1.0843911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015598187 | 0.0011842771 | 0.0011942653 | 1.0084339 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7890346E-6 | 2.0625953E-6 | 2.0625953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1952951E-5 | 8.839669E-6 | 8.839669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4551746E-4 | 1.0761856E-4 | 1.1761748E-4 | 1.0929108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014542221 | 0.0010757527 | 0.0010857419 | 1.0092858 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9416723E-6 | 1.1929122E-6 | 1.1929122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321425E-6 | 5.112471E-6 | 5.112471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01308644E-4 | 6.22426E-5 | 7.224198E-5 | 1.1606517 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010126247 | 6.222558E-4 | 6.322496E-4 | 1.0160606 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8567416E-6 | 1.1050467E-6 | 1.1050467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.957439E-6 | 4.7359063E-6 | 4.7359063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.687752E-5 | 5.7658173E-5 | 6.7657595E-5 | 1.1734259 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6835295E-4 | 5.76436E-4 | 5.8643025E-4 | 1.017338 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6634067E-6 | 9.077305E-7 | 9.077305E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1288664E-6 | 3.890268E-6 | 3.890268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.679049E-5 | 4.7363013E-5 | 5.736254E-5 | 1.2111253 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6756604E-4 | 4.735321E-4 | 4.8352734E-4 | 1.0211079 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4281054E-6 | 6.739696E-7 | 6.739696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1204373E-6 | 2.888438E-6 | 2.888438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.451377E-5 | 3.5166184E-5 | 4.5165834E-5 | 1.2843541 | 1.0E-5 | 7.44888E-4 | 3.5160797E-4 | 3.6160447E-4 | 1.0284308 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1810387E-6 | 4.4110993E-7 | 4.4110993E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0615845E-6 | 1.8904699E-6 | 1.8904699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1623046E-5 | 2.3016237E-5 | 3.3016007E-5 | 1.4344659 | 1.0E-5 | 6.160596E-4 | 2.3013943E-4 | 2.4013713E-4 | 1.0434419 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.918052E-7 | 2.8758006E-7 | 2.8758006E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2505867E-6 | 1.2324855E-6 | 1.2324855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1749663E-5 | 1.5005408E-5 | 2.5005258E-5 | 1.6664164 | 1.0E-5 | 5.173762E-4 | 1.5004406E-4 | 1.6004256E-4 | 1.066637 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.25252E-7 | 2.0715669E-7 | 2.0715669E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5367896E-6 | 8.878141E-7 | 8.878141E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3059565E-5 | 1.08090835E-5 | 2.0808975E-5 | 1.9251378 | 1.0E-5 | 4.305122E-4 | 1.08085645E-4 | 1.18084565E-4 | 1.0925093 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.3248567E-7 | 1.2087216E-7 | 1.2087216E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2820795E-6 | 5.180234E-7 | 5.180234E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7783964E-5 | 6.3069174E-6 | 1.6306854E-5 | 2.5855508 | 1.0E-5 | 2.778049E-4 | 6.3067426E-5 | 7.306679E-5 | 1.1585505 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.037542E-7 | 4.7188294E-8 | 4.7188294E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.73232E-7 | 2.0223553E-7 | 2.0223553E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0631547E-5 | 2.462215E-6 | 1.246219E-5 | 5.0613737 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0631039E-4 | 2.4621899E-5 | 3.462165E-5 | 1.4061326 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2501226E-8 | 3.155586E-9 | 3.155586E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6433816E-8 | 1.352394E-8 | 1.352394E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1740811E-6 | 1.6465395E-7 | 1.0164652E-5 | 61.73342 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1740749E-5 | 1.6465385E-6 | 1.1646522E-5 | 7.073337 | 1.0E-5 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.0567724E-4 | 3.0567724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013088329 | 0.0013088329 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007891912 | 0.01572029 | 0.01572029 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.076174594 | 0.13868593 | 0.13869454 | 1.0000621 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.0261686E-4 | 3.0261686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.0012957319 | 0.0012957319 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078097614 | 0.015563567 | 0.015563567 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.075409345 | 0.13735491 | 0.13736354 | 1.0000628 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.5358764E-4 | 2.5358764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010859472 | 0.0010859472 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013070336 | 0.013070336 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.064337276 | 0.11745247 | 0.117461294 | 1.0000751 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.2643937E-4 | 2.2643937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.69809E-4 | 9.69809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011691458 | 0.011691458 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058367174 | 0.106570154 | 0.10657909 | 1.0000838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0884785E-4 | 2.0884785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.945366E-4 | 8.945366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055782744 | 0.010796225 | 0.010796225 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0544031 | 0.09939334 | 0.099402346 | 1.0000906 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8778075E-4 | 1.8778075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.043511E-4 | 8.043511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009717664 | 0.009717664 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04933773 | 0.09028334 | 0.09029244 | 1.0001007 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.5114626E-4 | 1.5114626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.475748E-4 | 6.475748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041944524 | 0.007849244 | 0.007849244 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04116161 | 0.075055376 | 0.07506462 | 1.0001233 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4654847E-4 | 1.4654847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.2788266E-4 | 6.2788266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004070005 | 0.0076118703 | 0.0076118703 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039962657 | 0.07290385 | 0.072913125 | 1.0001272 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2763772E-4 | 1.2763772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.468874E-4 | 5.468874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036279052 | 0.0066347993 | 0.0066347993 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03569247 | 0.0639895 | 0.063998856 | 1.0001463 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.0180437E-4 | 1.0180437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.362319E-4 | 4.362319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030218933 | 0.0052982876 | 0.0052982876 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029811295 | 0.051677886 | 0.05168737 | 1.0001835 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.600975E-5 | 8.600975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.6856162E-4 | 3.6856162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025986114 | 0.0044780946 | 0.0044780946 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025684336 | 0.043942552 | 0.04395211 | 1.0002176 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.141931E-5 | 7.141931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.0604715E-4 | 3.0604715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0037198144 | 0.0037198144 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022105146 | 0.036881436 | 0.03689107 | 1.0002612 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.6061246E-5 | 5.6061246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.4024052E-4 | 2.4024052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0029210346 | 0.0029210346 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017841442 | 0.029219741 | 0.02922945 | 1.0003322 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.0837407E-5 | 4.0837407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.7500583E-4 | 1.7500583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0021286309 | 0.0021286309 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013325208 | 0.021421848 | 0.021431634 | 1.0004568 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.867011E-5 | 2.867011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2286613E-4 | 1.2286613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.001494871 | 0.001494871 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009349857 | 0.015132292 | 0.015142141 | 1.0006509 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.5974825E-5 | 2.5974825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.11315945E-4 | 1.11315945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0013544313 | 0.0013544313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008104719 | 0.013728019 | 0.013737882 | 1.0007185 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.9353434E-5 | 1.9353434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.294066E-5 | 8.294066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010093361 | 0.0010093361 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057804612 | 0.010269353 | 0.01027925 | 1.0009638 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.0534177E-5 | 1.0534177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.514569E-5 | 4.514569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.495103E-4 | 5.495103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032371588 | 0.0056673633 | 0.0056773066 | 1.0017545 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.519843E-6 | 9.519843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.0798688E-5 | 4.0798688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 4.966109E-4 | 4.966109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027645302 | 0.0051165447 | 0.0051264935 | 1.0019444 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.4494797E-6 | 7.4494797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.1925952E-5 | 3.1925952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.886292E-4 | 3.886292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.0039796815 | 0.0039796815 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.4499448E-6 | 4.4499448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.9071053E-5 | 1.9071053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.3216537E-4 | 2.3216537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.0023690849 | 0.0023690849 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.3955579E-6 | 2.3955579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.0266636E-5 | 1.0266636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.2498916E-4 | 1.2498916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0012807297 | 0.0012807297 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988886E-4 | 4.1988475E-4 | 1.0243869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004091409 | 0.004101368 | 1.0024341 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988886E-4 | 4.1988475E-4 | 1.0243869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004091409 | 0.004101368 | 1.0024341 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988886E-4 | 4.1988475E-4 | 1.0243869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004091409 | 0.004101368 | 1.0024341 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988886E-4 | 4.1988475E-4 | 1.0243869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004091409 | 0.004101368 | 1.0024341 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988886E-4 | 4.1988475E-4 | 1.0243869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004091409 | 0.004101368 | 1.0024341 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988886E-4 | 4.1988475E-4 | 1.0243869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004091409 | 0.004101368 | 1.0024341 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988886E-4 | 4.1988475E-4 | 1.0243869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004091409 | 0.004101368 | 1.0024341 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988886E-4 | 4.1988475E-4 | 1.0243869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004091409 | 0.004101368 | 1.0024341 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988886E-4 | 4.1988475E-4 | 1.0243869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004091409 | 0.004101368 | 1.0024341 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 7.857066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 3.367271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988886E-4 | 4.1988475E-4 | 1.0243869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004091409 | 0.004101368 | 1.0024341 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.103535E-6 | 7.8064895E-6 | 7.8064895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4728975E-5 | 3.345596E-5 | 3.345596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2274324E-4 | 4.072509E-4 | 4.1724683E-4 | 1.0245448 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042193993 | 0.004065126 | 0.0040750857 | 1.00245 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.853298E-6 | 7.5421462E-6 | 7.5421462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3656554E-5 | 3.2323085E-5 | 3.2323085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096915E-4 | 3.934632E-4 | 4.0345927E-4 | 1.0254053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00408937 | 0.003927742 | 0.0039377026 | 1.0025359 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.771102E-6 | 7.454414E-6 | 7.454414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.33043E-5 | 3.1947104E-5 | 3.1947104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0540437E-4 | 3.8888725E-4 | 3.9888336E-4 | 1.0257044 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040466557 | 0.003882143 | 0.0038921041 | 1.0025659 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.3945344E-6 | 7.050451E-6 | 7.050451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1690477E-5 | 3.0215873E-5 | 3.0215873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8576324E-4 | 3.6781677E-4 | 3.778131E-4 | 1.0271775 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038509427 | 0.0036721476 | 0.003682111 | 1.0027132 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.964645E-6 | 6.5912277E-6 | 6.5912277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9848137E-5 | 2.8247816E-5 | 2.8247816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6334046E-4 | 3.438634E-4 | 3.438634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036274698 | 0.0034333665 | 0.0034333665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.6525035E-6 | 6.2602144E-6 | 6.2602144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851042E-5 | 2.6829217E-5 | 2.6829217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4705905E-4 | 3.2659725E-4 | 3.2659725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034651754 | 0.0032612241 | 0.0032612241 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.613338E-6 | 5.152256E-6 | 5.152256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.405694E-5 | 2.2080912E-5 | 2.2080912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.928539E-4 | 2.6880225E-4 | 2.6880225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029246826 | 0.0026848027 | 0.0026848027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.494704E-6 | 3.997605E-6 | 3.997605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9262876E-5 | 1.7132481E-5 | 1.7132481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3450027E-4 | 2.0856822E-4 | 2.0856822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023425296 | 0.0020837488 | 0.0020837488 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6075882E-6 | 2.1840522E-6 | 2.1840522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.117533E-5 | 9.36019E-6 | 9.36019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3605114E-4 | 1.139544E-4 | 1.139544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013596788 | 0.0011389643 | 0.0011389643 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.045984E-7 | 3.242925E-7 | 3.242925E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.733992E-6 | 1.3898243E-6 | 1.3898243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1111147E-5 | 1.6920983E-5 | 1.6920983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1109142E-4 | 1.6919726E-4 | 1.6919726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.684476E-9 | 5.684476E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4362041E-8 | 2.4362041E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9660782E-7 | 2.9660782E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9660764E-6 | 2.9660764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.05516E-5 | 7.05516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.023287E-4 | 3.1232566E-4 | 1.0330666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036746343 | 0.0036845976 | 1.0027114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02796312 | 0.03614085 | 0.03615049 | 1.0002667 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.8261394E-5 | 5.8261394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4966686E-4 | 2.4966686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030354576 | 0.0030354576 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023502063 | 0.02994004 | 0.02994004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4757963E-5 | 3.4757963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.489543E-4 | 1.489543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.001811989 | 0.001811989 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.017969275 | 0.017969275 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8229873E-5 | 2.8229873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.2097984E-4 | 1.2097984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0014719277 | 0.0014719277 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.014620015 | 0.014620015 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.2135002E-5 | 2.2135002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.4861076E-5 | 9.4861076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011543273 | 0.0011543273 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.011483273 | 0.011483273 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6809463E-5 | 1.6809463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.203875E-5 | 7.203875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.7673514E-4 | 8.7673514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008733867 | 0.008733867 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.1246989E-5 | 1.1246989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8200513E-5 | 4.8200513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.86687E-4 | 5.86687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058517726 | 0.0058517726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.023263E-6 | 9.023263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.867057E-5 | 3.867057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7071485E-4 | 4.7071485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.0046974234 | 0.0046974234 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.4547247E-6 | 7.4547247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.194844E-5 | 3.194844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.8890485E-4 | 3.8890485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0038824468 | 0.0038824468 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.900344E-6 | 4.900344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.1001311E-5 | 2.1001311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5566237E-4 | 2.5566237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.00255382 | 0.00255382 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.5221701E-6 | 1.5221701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.5235704E-6 | 6.5235704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.942166E-5 | 7.942166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.939415E-4 | 7.939415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4570556E-7 | 7.4570556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1958773E-6 | 3.1958773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8909155E-5 | 3.8909155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8902755E-4 | 3.8902755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4570556E-7 | 7.4570556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1958773E-6 | 3.1958773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8909155E-5 | 3.8909155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8902755E-4 | 3.8902755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.581147E-7 | 6.581147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.8204886E-6 | 2.8204886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.4338947E-5 | 3.4338947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.4334048E-4 | 3.4334048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.075461E-7 | 6.075461E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6037667E-6 | 2.6037667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.1700438E-5 | 3.1700438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1696318E-4 | 3.1696318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.075461E-7 | 6.075461E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6037667E-6 | 2.6037667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.1700438E-5 | 3.1700438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1696318E-4 | 3.1696318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181769E-6 | 4.181769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7921764E-5 | 1.7921764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817935E-4 | 2.1817935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021800173 | 0.0021899955 | 1.0045772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181769E-6 | 4.181769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7921764E-5 | 1.7921764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817935E-4 | 2.1817935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021800173 | 0.0021899955 | 1.0045772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181769E-6 | 4.181769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7921764E-5 | 1.7921764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817935E-4 | 2.1817935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021800173 | 0.0021899955 | 1.0045772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181769E-6 | 4.181769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7921764E-5 | 1.7921764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817935E-4 | 2.1817935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021800173 | 0.0021899955 | 1.0045772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181769E-6 | 4.181769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7921764E-5 | 1.7921764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817935E-4 | 2.1817935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021800173 | 0.0021899955 | 1.0045772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3732973E-6 | 2.3732973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.01712385E-5 | 1.01712385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382856E-4 | 1.2382856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376716 | 0.0012376716 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3732973E-6 | 2.3732973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.01712385E-5 | 1.01712385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382856E-4 | 1.2382856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376716 | 0.0012376716 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7499033E-6 | 1.7499033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.4995673E-6 | 7.4995673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.130394E-5 | 9.130394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.127169E-4 | 9.127169E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3300299E-6 | 1.3300299E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.7001184E-6 | 5.7001184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.9397174E-5 | 6.9397174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.9379836E-4 | 6.9379836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.1175876E-7 | 6.1175876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6218208E-6 | 2.6218208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1920245E-5 | 3.1920245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.191607E-4 | 3.191607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.8325165E-7 | 4.8325165E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.071077E-6 | 2.071077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.521511E-5 | 2.521511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5212616E-4 | 2.5212616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.9875897E-7 | 3.9875897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.708966E-6 | 1.708966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0806498E-5 | 2.0806498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0804885E-4 | 2.0804885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7621112E-7 | 3.7621112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6123327E-6 | 1.6123327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9630006E-5 | 1.9630006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9628604E-4 | 1.9628604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.5067458E-7 | 3.5067458E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5028904E-6 | 1.5028904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.8297571E-5 | 1.8297571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8296394E-4 | 1.8296394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1169344E-7 | 3.1169344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3358285E-6 | 1.3358285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6263624E-5 | 1.6263624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6262762E-4 | 1.6262762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5014186E-7 | 1.5014186E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.4346506E-7 | 6.4346506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.834187E-6 | 7.834187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.834187E-5 | 7.834187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2805638E-5 | 3.2805638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.405886E-4 | 1.405886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017104279 | 0.0017104279 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015599402 | 0.016983444 | 0.016993273 | 1.0005788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2805638E-5 | 3.2805638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.405886E-4 | 1.405886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017104279 | 0.0017104279 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015599402 | 0.016983444 | 0.016993273 | 1.0005788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2805638E-5 | 3.2805638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.405886E-4 | 1.405886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017104279 | 0.0017104279 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015599402 | 0.016983444 | 0.016993273 | 1.0005788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8334256E-5 | 1.8334256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.8573124E-5 | 7.8573124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5622666E-4 | 9.5622666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009523046 | 0.009532952 | 1.0010401 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8334256E-5 | 1.8334256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.8573124E-5 | 7.8573124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5622666E-4 | 9.5622666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009523046 | 0.009532952 | 1.0010401 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3695796E-5 | 1.3695796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.869501E-5 | 5.869501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.1438774E-4 | 7.1438774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066292146 | 0.0071219653 | 0.007131894 | 1.0013942 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.36878825E-5 | 1.36878825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.866109E-5 | 5.866109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.139751E-4 | 7.139751E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066252467 | 0.0071178656 | 0.0071277944 | 1.0013949 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0887684E-5 | 1.0887684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.666071E-5 | 4.666071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.679531E-4 | 5.679531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005287399 | 0.0056657274 | 0.0056657274 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.934159E-6 | 8.934159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.8288727E-5 | 3.8288727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.660712E-4 | 4.660712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004347378 | 0.0046515022 | 0.0046515022 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.5374057E-6 | 5.5374057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.373154E-5 | 2.373154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.8889644E-4 | 2.8889644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027063051 | 0.00288553 | 0.00288553 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.6441955E-6 | 4.6441955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.990356E-5 | 1.990356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.4230189E-4 | 2.4230189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022720827 | 0.00242067 | 0.00242067 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.2316425E-6 | 3.2316425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.3849837E-5 | 1.3849837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6861135E-4 | 1.6861135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001584897 | 0.0016850919 | 0.0016850919 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7336665E-6 | 1.7336665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.4299896E-6 | 7.4299896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 9.045844E-5 | 9.045844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5658056E-4 | 9.0441894E-4 | 9.0441894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.296333E-7 | 3.296333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.4127135E-6 | 1.4127135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.719965E-5 | 1.719965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.719833E-4 | 1.719833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.1016514E-7 | 2.1016514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 9.0070745E-7 | 9.0070745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.0966059E-5 | 1.0966059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.0965521E-4 | 1.0965521E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.0705369E-7 | 1.0705369E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.5880142E-7 | 4.5880142E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.585893E-6 | 5.585893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.5857538E-5 | 5.5857538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.3429327E-8 | 3.3429327E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.4326854E-7 | 1.4326854E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.7442931E-6 | 1.7442931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.7442797E-5 | 1.7442797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 8.037198E-9 | 8.037198E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 3.444513E-8 | 3.444513E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 4.1936937E-7 | 4.1936937E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 4.193686E-6 | 4.193686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 7.6629436E-10 | 7.6629436E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 3.2841185E-9 | 3.2841185E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 3.9984144E-8 | 3.9984144E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 3.9984138E-7 | 3.9984138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5010907E-4 | 2.486054E-4 | 2.486054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4316596E-4 | 0.0010649828 | 0.0010649828 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078024664 | 0.012880217 | 0.012880217 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07534136 | 0.120652944 | 0.120661736 | 1.0000728 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4521465E-4 | 2.402117E-4 | 2.402117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.222001E-4 | 0.0010290514 | 0.0010290514 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075490056 | 0.012449205 | 0.012449205 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07297657 | 0.11692268 | 0.116931506 | 1.0000756 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.429998E-4 | 2.3951524E-4 | 2.3951524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.127123E-4 | 0.0010260694 | 0.0010260694 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007434286 | 0.012413359 | 0.012413359 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07190444 | 0.11657216 | 0.11658099 | 1.0000758 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3536277E-4 | 2.328017E-4 | 2.328017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.799972E-4 | 9.973258E-4 | 9.973258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070386264 | 0.0120682465 | 0.0120682465 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0681982 | 0.113473505 | 0.11348237 | 1.0000781 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.2702127E-4 | 2.2702127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.725719E-4 | 9.725719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006757223 | 0.011770229 | 0.011770229 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06555412 | 0.11074506 | 0.11075395 | 1.0000803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.8030136E-4 | 1.8030136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.724899E-4 | 7.724899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005463498 | 0.009364418 | 0.009364418 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.053311124 | 0.089413136 | 0.08942225 | 1.0001018 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.751706E-4 | 1.751706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.5051415E-4 | 7.5051415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052862884 | 0.009099164 | 0.009099164 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05162293 | 0.086988494 | 0.08699763 | 1.0001049 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.6775173E-4 | 1.6775173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.18737E-4 | 7.18737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050282106 | 0.008715475 | 0.008715475 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.049159497 | 0.08347411 | 0.08348327 | 1.0001098 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.5687576E-4 | 1.5687576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.7215035E-4 | 6.7215035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047319788 | 0.0081526935 | 0.0081526935 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.046324775 | 0.07836289 | 0.078372106 | 1.0001177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.23331E-4 | 1.23331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.284549E-4 | 5.284549E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038295772 | 0.00641508 | 0.00641508 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037642512 | 0.06236507 | 0.062374447 | 1.0001503 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 9.420717E-5 | 9.420717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4623662E-4 | 4.036829E-4 | 4.036829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029938098 | 0.0049038352 | 0.0049038352 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02953797 | 0.048140272 | 0.048149794 | 1.0001978 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 8.080612E-5 | 8.080612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.123707E-4 | 3.4626634E-4 | 3.4626634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025825473 | 0.0042077065 | 0.0042077065 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0255274 | 0.041510172 | 0.041519757 | 1.0002309 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 5.9783193E-5 | 5.9783193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5803022E-4 | 2.5618868E-4 | 2.5618868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0031146654 | 0.0031146654 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01905776 | 0.03101115 | 0.03101115 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 4.2696363E-5 | 4.2696363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.8297168E-4 | 1.8297168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013477671 | 0.002225422 | 0.002225422 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013396223 | 0.022287663 | 0.022287663 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 3.007179E-5 | 3.007179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6060016E-5 | 1.2887275E-4 | 1.2887275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0015678994 | 0.0015678994 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009217911 | 0.01577704 | 0.01577704 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 2.6370015E-5 | 2.6370015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.378478E-5 | 1.1300947E-4 | 1.1300947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76303E-4 | 0.0013750247 | 0.0013750247 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077359667 | 0.013865935 | 0.013865935 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 1.5055087E-5 | 1.5055087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 6.452021E-5 | 6.452021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 7.852518E-4 | 7.852518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004252361 | 0.007986172 | 0.007986172 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 6.3121483E-6 | 6.3121483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 2.7051785E-5 | 2.7051785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 3.2930577E-4 | 3.2930577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017651088 | 0.003416996 | 0.003416996 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 5.4162056E-6 | 5.4162056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 2.3212104E-5 | 2.3212104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 2.8257075E-4 | 2.8257075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454306 | 0.0029318896 | 0.0029318896 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 4.1651037E-6 | 4.1651037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 1.7850321E-5 | 1.7850321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 2.1730603E-4 | 2.1730603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010292825 | 0.0022414508 | 0.0022414508 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 2.5760883E-6 | 2.5760883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 1.1040332E-5 | 1.1040332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 1.3440778E-4 | 1.3440778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1381224E-4 | 0.0013766186 | 0.0013766186 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 1.5540153E-6 | 1.5540153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 6.6600487E-6 | 6.6600487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 8.10831E-5 | 8.10831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9185135E-4 | 8.2997297E-4 | 8.2997297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.0431663E-4 | 1.0431663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.469939E-4 | 4.469939E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004310982 | 0.005429047 | 0.005429047 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.042283054 | 0.05302256 | 0.05303203 | 1.0001786 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.775996E-5 | 5.775996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.4752007E-4 | 2.4752007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00244744 | 0.003009462 | 0.003009462 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024206603 | 0.029694857 | 0.029704561 | 1.0003268 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.21622E-5 | 4.21622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8068278E-4 | 1.8068278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002197612 | 0.002197612 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018137876 | 0.021761192 | 0.021770975 | 1.0004495 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.21622E-5 | 4.21622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8068278E-4 | 1.8068278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002197612 | 0.002197612 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018137876 | 0.021761192 | 0.021770975 | 1.0004495 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.210059E-5 | 3.210059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3756669E-4 | 1.3756669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016735992 | 0.0016735992 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014090929 | 0.016611552 | 0.016611552 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.0114008E-5 | 3.0114008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2905363E-4 | 1.2905363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015701074 | 0.0015701074 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013261181 | 0.015591683 | 0.015591683 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.5752794E-5 | 2.5752794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.103645E-4 | 1.103645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013428667 | 0.0013428667 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011431668 | 0.013348515 | 0.013348515 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.2550272E-5 | 2.2550272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.664048E-5 | 9.664048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.001175968 | 0.001175968 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01006902 | 0.011698156 | 0.011698156 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.041069E-5 | 2.041069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.7471475E-5 | 8.7471475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010644493 | 0.0010644493 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009149387 | 0.010594075 | 0.010594075 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.803256E-5 | 1.803256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.728013E-5 | 7.728013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.40483E-4 | 9.40483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008117969 | 0.009365474 | 0.009365474 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.5453432E-5 | 1.5453432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.622733E-5 | 6.622733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.0602226E-4 | 8.0602226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006990582 | 0.008031321 | 0.008031321 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.4077835E-5 | 1.4077835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.0332197E-5 | 6.0332197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.342996E-4 | 7.342996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063810493 | 0.007319038 | 0.007319038 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2517794E-5 | 1.2517794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.36466E-5 | 5.36466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.5295416E-4 | 6.5295416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056831064 | 0.0065106372 | 0.0065106372 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.931081E-6 | 6.931081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.9704295E-5 | 2.9704295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6159018E-4 | 3.6159018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.0036100638 | 0.0036100638 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.591282E-6 | 5.591282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3962419E-5 | 2.3962419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.917038E-4 | 2.917038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.0029132501 | 0.0029132501 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9702602E-6 | 1.9702602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.443946E-6 | 8.443946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0280042E-4 | 1.0280042E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010275507 | 0.0010275507 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7535123E-7 | 1.7535123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.515051E-7 | 7.515051E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.1495385E-6 | 9.1495385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.149181E-5 | 9.149181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Julian)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.851974E-6 | 8.851974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.793649E-5 | 3.793649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 4.7177594E-4 | 1.0216453 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.0046083946 | 0.0046183486 | 1.00216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.851974E-6 | 8.851974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.793649E-5 | 3.793649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 4.7177594E-4 | 1.0216453 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.0046083946 | 0.0046183486 | 1.00216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.851974E-6 | 8.851974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.793649E-5 | 3.793649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 4.7177594E-4 | 1.0216453 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.0046083946 | 0.0046183486 | 1.00216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.851974E-6 | 8.851974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.793649E-5 | 3.793649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 4.7177594E-4 | 1.0216453 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.0046083946 | 0.0046183486 | 1.00216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.851974E-6 | 8.851974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.793649E-5 | 3.793649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 4.7177594E-4 | 1.0216453 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.0046083946 | 0.0046183486 | 1.00216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.851974E-6 | 8.851974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.793649E-5 | 3.793649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 4.7177594E-4 | 1.0216453 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.0046083946 | 0.0046183486 | 1.00216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1650619E-5 | 8.784331E-6 | 8.784331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.993027E-5 | 3.7646598E-5 | 3.7646598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0773146E-4 | 4.5825262E-4 | 4.6824804E-4 | 1.0218121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060607214 | 0.004573261 | 0.0045832153 | 1.0021766 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1650619E-5 | 8.784331E-6 | 8.784331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.993027E-5 | 3.7646598E-5 | 3.7646598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0773146E-4 | 4.5825262E-4 | 4.6824804E-4 | 1.0218121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060607214 | 0.004573261 | 0.0045832153 | 1.0021766 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1442698E-5 | 8.567436E-6 | 8.567436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9039216E-5 | 3.6717076E-5 | 3.6717076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.968889E-4 | 4.469404E-4 | 4.5693593E-4 | 1.0223644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059528816 | 0.0044605974 | 0.004470553 | 1.0022318 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1300589E-5 | 8.415267E-6 | 8.415267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8430196E-5 | 3.6064943E-5 | 3.6064943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.894781E-4 | 4.3900387E-4 | 4.489995E-4 | 1.0227689 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005879169 | 0.0043815468 | 0.0043915026 | 1.0022722 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1117729E-5 | 8.232366E-6 | 8.232366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764654E-5 | 3.52811E-5 | 3.52811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.799422E-4 | 4.294644E-4 | 4.394601E-4 | 1.0232748 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057843104 | 0.004286523 | 0.00429648 | 1.0023229 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.08053955E-5 | 7.917936E-6 | 7.917936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6308014E-5 | 3.393358E-5 | 3.393358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6365423E-4 | 4.1306464E-4 | 4.230605E-4 | 1.0241992 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005622267 | 0.0041231443 | 0.0041331034 | 1.0024153 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.032804E-5 | 7.439094E-6 | 7.439094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4262277E-5 | 3.188145E-5 | 3.188145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.387599E-4 | 3.880891E-4 | 3.9808522E-4 | 1.0257573 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053745564 | 0.0038742812 | 0.0038842424 | 1.0025711 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.622426E-6 | 6.903467E-6 | 6.903467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1238312E-5 | 2.9585959E-5 | 2.9585959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.019608E-4 | 3.6015094E-4 | 3.7014732E-4 | 1.0277561 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005008285 | 0.0035958246 | 0.0036057886 | 1.002771 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.144434E-6 | 6.5016234E-6 | 6.5016234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9189843E-5 | 2.786381E-5 | 2.786381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7703186E-4 | 3.3919045E-4 | 3.3919045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047600917 | 0.0033868735 | 0.0033868735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.988981E-6 | 5.5027535E-6 | 5.5027535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4238044E-5 | 2.3583023E-5 | 2.3583023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1676845E-4 | 2.8708673E-4 | 2.8708673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041598766 | 0.0028672863 | 0.0028672863 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.9554876E-6 | 4.666489E-6 | 4.666489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9808893E-5 | 1.9999092E-5 | 1.9999092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6286283E-4 | 2.434629E-4 | 2.434629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036227088 | 0.0024320781 | 0.0024320781 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1557314E-6 | 2.3267528E-6 | 2.3267528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810156E-5 | 9.971764E-6 | 9.971764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681708E-4 | 1.21400204E-4 | 1.21400204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021660565 | 0.001213412 | 0.001213412 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2597293E-7 | 9.340327E-8 | 9.340327E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.684551E-7 | 4.0029968E-7 | 4.0029968E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1790877E-5 | 4.873641E-6 | 4.873641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17902506E-4 | 4.873567E-5 | 4.873567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4418608E-9 | 3.4418608E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4750832E-8 | 1.4750832E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7959135E-7 | 1.7959135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7959123E-6 | 1.7959123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.390182E-5 | 1.3162357E-4 | 1.3162357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1668364E-4 | 5.639791E-4 | 5.639791E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038488081 | 0.0068447953 | 0.0068447953 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037828278 | 0.06630179 | 0.066311136 | 1.0001408 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.318768E-5 | 1.306029E-4 | 1.306029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1362378E-4 | 5.596067E-4 | 5.596067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038116854 | 0.0067919106 | 0.0067919106 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037469655 | 0.06580605 | 0.0658154 | 1.000142 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.1379836E-5 | 1.275295E-4 | 1.275295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.058777E-4 | 5.4644054E-4 | 5.4644054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003717703 | 0.006632598 | 0.006632598 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0365612 | 0.06432749 | 0.06433685 | 1.0001454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.9255926E-5 | 1.2407034E-4 | 1.2407034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9677735E-4 | 5.3162186E-4 | 5.3162186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036072785 | 0.0064533385 | 0.0064533385 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.035492823 | 0.06265777 | 0.06266715 | 1.0001496 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6757144E-5 | 1.1983473E-4 | 1.1983473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8607066E-4 | 5.134766E-4 | 5.134766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034773487 | 0.0062337318 | 0.0062337318 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.034234364 | 0.060606714 | 0.06061611 | 1.000155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.5735134E-5 | 1.183244E-4 | 1.183244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8169158E-4 | 5.070064E-4 | 5.070064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003424202 | 0.0061554164 | 0.0061554164 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03371918 | 0.059869368 | 0.05987877 | 1.000157 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.289601E-5 | 1.1367577E-4 | 1.1367577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6952647E-4 | 4.870913E-4 | 4.870913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032765474 | 0.005914292 | 0.005914292 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032286562 | 0.057606082 | 0.057615507 | 1.0001636 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.115274E-5 | 1.1084413E-4 | 1.1084413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6205686E-4 | 4.7496016E-4 | 4.7496016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031858748 | 0.005767387 | 0.005767387 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031405866 | 0.05622345 | 0.05623289 | 1.0001678 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.9232367E-5 | 1.0751548E-4 | 1.0751548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.538283E-4 | 4.6069964E-4 | 4.6069964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030859804 | 0.0055946694 | 0.0055946694 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030434765 | 0.054589555 | 0.05459901 | 1.0001732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.4030377E-5 | 9.845228E-5 | 9.845228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315382E-4 | 4.218704E-4 | 4.218704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028153337 | 0.0051242425 | 0.0051242425 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027799325 | 0.05012241 | 0.05013191 | 1.0001895 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8260714E-5 | 8.761925E-5 | 8.761925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0681522E-4 | 3.754573E-4 | 3.754573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025150678 | 0.0045616664 | 0.0045616664 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024867928 | 0.044768147 | 0.044777703 | 1.0002134 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0294493E-5 | 7.408665E-5 | 7.408665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7267925E-4 | 3.174758E-4 | 3.174758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021003427 | 0.0038584557 | 0.0038584557 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02080602 | 0.038016625 | 0.038026243 | 1.0002531 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.096388E-5 | 5.7156998E-5 | 5.7156998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.326956E-4 | 2.4493568E-4 | 2.4493568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016143717 | 0.0029780362 | 0.0029780362 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01602694 | 0.029524498 | 0.029534202 | 1.0003287 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3615226E-5 | 4.3771317E-5 | 4.3771317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0120418E-4 | 1.8757794E-4 | 1.8757794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012314644 | 0.0022813834 | 0.0022813834 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0122466255 | 0.022708355 | 0.022718128 | 1.0004303 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8251132E-5 | 3.3653145E-5 | 3.3653145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.821679E-5 | 1.4421984E-4 | 1.4421984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.518733E-4 | 0.0017544723 | 0.0017544723 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009478063 | 0.017521666 | 0.017531492 | 1.0005608 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2411432E-5 | 2.2544215E-5 | 2.2544215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3190768E-5 | 9.661452E-5 | 9.661452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4740516E-4 | 0.0011756528 | 0.001175652 |