Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.9349114E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.37807605 | 9.933325E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023793848 | 0.00339682 | 0.0029 | 0.8537396 | 0.004293763 | 9.0E-4 | 0.028586963 | 0.04087522 | 0.0475 | 1.1620734 | 0.05602939 | 0.0158 | 0.25176284 | 0.3395641 | 0.429 | 1.2633845 | 0.42126003 | 0.1237 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0718808E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0718808E-4 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.001315955 | 7.0E-4 | 0.53193307 | 0.0014158234 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0099994885 | 0.015991377 | 0.0113 | 0.7066308 | 0.0186482 | 0.0027 | 0.095613256 | 0.15083402 | 0.104 | 0.6894996 | 0.16960059 | 0.0221 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8366873E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8366873E-4 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.869155E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5083138 | 7.869155E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009538811 | 0.006 | 0.62900925 | 0.010529272 | 0.001 | 0.048019063 | 0.0923892 | 0.06 | 0.6494265 | 0.101919115 | 0.0105 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.8063006E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8063006E-4 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.7390036E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5168624 | 7.7390036E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009381717 | 0.0059 | 0.6288827 | 0.010372335 | 0.001 | 0.047285385 | 0.091041945 | 0.0591 | 0.6491513 | 0.10040422 | 0.0103 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7824411E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7824411E-4 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.6368084E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.39283425 | 7.6368084E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009258366 | 0.0058 | 0.62646043 | 0.010249107 | 0.001 | 0.046568092 | 0.08994313 | 0.0575 | 0.63929284 | 0.098861694 | 0.0098 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7581714E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7581714E-4 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.532856E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.39825532 | 7.532856E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009132894 | 0.0056 | 0.6131682 | 0.010123761 | 0.001 | 0.045878403 | 0.08883011 | 0.0568 | 0.6394228 | 0.09766846 | 0.0097 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7261338E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7261338E-4 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.39563E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40564492 | 7.39563E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008967227 | 0.0054 | 0.6021928 | 0.009859157 | 9.0E-4 | 0.04493529 | 0.08735638 | 0.0559 | 0.6399075 | 0.096026495 | 0.0095 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7128066E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7128066E-4 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.338546E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4088003 | 7.338546E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0045492216 | 0.0088983355 | 0.0054 | 0.6068551 | 0.0097903265 | 9.0E-4 | 0.04457213 | 0.086756065 | 0.0557 | 0.64203006 | 0.09534056 | 0.0094 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.70733E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.70733E-4 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.3150883E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.41011125 | 7.3150883E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008870017 | 0.0053 | 0.5975186 | 0.009762034 | 9.0E-4 | 0.04443313 | 0.08650273 | 0.0554 | 0.6404422 | 0.09508961 | 0.0094 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.7014009E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014009E-4 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.2896923E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.41154 | 7.2896923E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008839348 | 0.0053 | 0.59959173 | 0.009731392 | 9.0E-4 | 0.044283327 | 0.08622788 | 0.0553 | 0.6413239 | 0.09481734 | 0.0094 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6765864E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6765864E-4 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.1834034E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.41762933 | 7.1834034E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004455241 | 0.008710983 | 0.0052 | 0.59694755 | 0.009603143 | 9.0E-4 | 0.043669727 | 0.0850735 | 0.0547 | 0.6429734 | 0.09367381 | 0.0094 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5242065E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5242065E-4 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.530686E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.45936984 | 6.530686E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0040752706 | 0.0079222955 | 0.0047 | 0.59326243 | 0.008715957 | 8.0E-4 | 0.040013418 | 0.07796923 | 0.0497 | 0.63743097 | 0.0859909 | 0.0087 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.497802E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.497802E-4 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.417579E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.46746597 | 6.417579E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004005129 | 0.00778558 | 0.0047 | 0.60368013 | 0.008579352 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0393371 | 0.0767379 | 0.0487 | 0.6346277 | 0.08449331 | 0.0084 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4673026E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4673026E-4 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.286932E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3181202 | 6.286932E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003934157 | 0.0076276404 | 0.0043 | 0.56373924 | 0.008421538 | 8.0E-4 | 0.038652334 | 0.07529368 | 0.0474 | 0.6295349 | 0.08287627 | 0.0082 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.43725E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.43725E-4 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.1581965E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.32477042 | 6.1581965E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003865065 | 0.00747199 | 0.0043 | 0.57548255 | 0.008266012 | 8.0E-4 | 0.03798529 | 0.07386209 | 0.0467 | 0.63225937 | 0.081271194 | 0.008 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.12851594E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.12851594E-4 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.8356014E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.413599 | 4.8356014E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032037178 | 0.0058714845 | 0.0034 | 0.5790699 | 0.006567375 | 7.0E-4 | 0.03157923 | 0.058995683 | 0.0361 | 0.6119092 | 0.0640771 | 0.0054 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.11128815E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.11128815E-4 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7617953E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42000964 | 4.7617953E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0057821064 | 0.0034 | 0.58802104 | 0.0064780586 | 7.0E-4 | 0.031148417 | 0.058153026 | 0.0352 | 0.60529953 | 0.06314482 | 0.0053 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.2588096E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.2588096E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.967458E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5041011 | 3.967458E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002691582 | 0.004819692 | 0.0029 | 0.60169816 | 0.005516318 | 7.0E-4 | 0.026592141 | 0.04893195 | 0.0295 | 0.6028781 | 0.052831326 | 0.0041 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.636971E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.636971E-5 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.701034E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5403895 | 3.701034E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0044967076 | 0.0026 | 0.5782008 | 0.0050940095 | 6.0E-4 | 0.024781305 | 0.04566862 | 0.0272 | 0.59559494 | 0.04919965 | 0.0037 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.810641E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.810641E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.91852E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34263942 | 2.91852E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035475125 | 0.0023 | 0.64834166 | 0.004145384 | 6.0E-4 | 0.020503636 | 0.03617058 | 0.0219 | 0.6054644 | 0.039062068 | 0.003 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.1079107E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1079107E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7604145E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.56804806 | 1.7604145E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.002141199 | 0.0015 | 0.7005421 | 0.0026401284 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015009012 | 0.022202143 | 0.0118 | 0.5314802 | 0.0238644 | 0.0017 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.8895687E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8895687E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.097901E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.097901E-5 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.854741E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.91326606 | 0.0013850798 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009780403 | 0.010601512 | 0.0055 | 0.51879394 | 0.01149197 | 9.0E-4 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.556491E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.556491E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3813316E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3813316E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8988862E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6899201 | 3.8985963E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032934055 | 0.0021 | 0.63763785 | 0.0035924173 | 3.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7958124E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41703048 | 4.7958124E-4 | 0.0 |
Mendocino
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5409013E-4 | 0.0010850606 | 1.0E-4 | 0.09216074 | 0.0011849522 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023725112 | 0.0046397946 | 0.0014 | 0.30173752 | 0.005237011 | 6.0E-4 | 0.028505474 | 0.054724433 | 0.0311 | 0.5683019 | 0.06483888 | 0.0107 | 0.25113493 | 0.41214746 | 0.2473 | 0.600028 | 0.44759497 | 0.0603 |
6.1 | 4.2515888E-4 | 8.2371355E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.12140142 | 9.236312E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018208373 | 0.0035237134 | 0.0012 | 0.34054983 | 0.0041215993 | 6.0E-4 | 0.021944538 | 0.04179297 | 0.0268 | 0.64125615 | 0.051758323 | 0.0104 | 0.19899574 | 0.33021927 | 0.2131 | 0.6453288 | 0.36866468 | 0.0574 |
6.2 | 4.2515888E-4 | 8.2371355E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.12140142 | 9.236312E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018208373 | 0.0035237134 | 0.0012 | 0.34054983 | 0.0041215993 | 6.0E-4 | 0.021944538 | 0.04179297 | 0.0268 | 0.64125615 | 0.051758323 | 0.0104 | 0.19899574 | 0.33021927 | 0.2131 | 0.6453288 | 0.36866468 | 0.0574 |
6.3 | 3.2773745E-4 | 6.201148E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.16126046 | 7.200528E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014038329 | 0.0026536607 | 0.001 | 0.3768379 | 0.0032520685 | 6.0E-4 | 0.016958237 | 0.031632178 | 0.0214 | 0.6765263 | 0.03947596 | 0.0081 | 0.1572094 | 0.2610482 | 0.1747 | 0.6692251 | 0.29644397 | 0.0479 |
6.4 | 2.7417165E-4 | 5.055229E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.19781499 | 6.054723E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011744922 | 0.0021637315 | 8.0E-4 | 0.36973163 | 0.002562866 | 4.0E-4 | 0.014205975 | 0.025876308 | 0.0177 | 0.6840234 | 0.032305524 | 0.0066 | 0.13331394 | 0.21975589 | 0.1463 | 0.6657387 | 0.25151184 | 0.0407 |
6.5 | 2.3984899E-4 | 4.3308566E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2309012 | 5.3304236E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010275192 | 0.0018539155 | 6.0E-4 | 0.32363933 | 0.0021533594 | 3.0E-4 | 0.012438473 | 0.022218168 | 0.0151 | 0.679624 | 0.027889302 | 0.0058 | 0.11764851 | 0.192315 | 0.1281 | 0.6660947 | 0.22195703 | 0.0367 |
6.6 | 2.1023539E-4 | 3.700633E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.27022403 | 4.7002628E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.0069766E-4 | 0.0015843428 | 5.0E-4 | 0.31558827 | 0.0018838674 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010910975 | 0.019026458 | 0.0132 | 0.6937707 | 0.024225619 | 0.0053 | 0.10390546 | 0.16777332 | 0.1112 | 0.66279906 | 0.19423814 | 0.0318 |
6.7 | 1.2592976E-4 | 1.8493446E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8493446E-4 | 0.0 | 5.395873E-4 | 7.9224136E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.37867248 | 8.921621E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006549705 | 0.009591276 | 0.0053 | 0.5525855 | 0.011374012 | 0.0018 | 0.063599944 | 0.09126242 | 0.0521 | 0.5708812 | 0.10362126 | 0.0136 |
6.8 | 1.13663555E-4 | 1.5465546E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5465546E-4 | 0.0 | 4.8703855E-4 | 6.6260475E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4527586 | 7.625385E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059135845 | 0.008033197 | 0.0046 | 0.5726238 | 0.009719541 | 0.0017 | 0.057586733 | 0.07767817 | 0.0444 | 0.5715892 | 0.088561565 | 0.0118 |
6.9 | 9.926894E-5 | 1.2360701E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2360701E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2536893E-4 | 5.296286E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3776231 | 6.2957563E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051665753 | 0.006428183 | 0.0041 | 0.6378163 | 0.008117255 | 0.0017 | 0.050480947 | 0.06313469 | 0.0378 | 0.59871995 | 0.07315915 | 0.0107 |
7.0 | 9.168125E-5 | 1.0842653E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842653E-4 | 0.0 | 3.9286047E-4 | 4.645977E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.43047997 | 5.645512E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004772591 | 0.0056414455 | 0.0038 | 0.67358625 | 0.0071329833 | 0.0015 | 0.04671385 | 0.055890445 | 0.0344 | 0.61548984 | 0.06523713 | 0.0099 |
7.1 | 8.2854116E-5 | 9.161518E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.161518E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5504074E-4 | 3.9257773E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25472665 | 4.9253844E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004314056 | 0.0047692237 | 0.0033 | 0.6919365 | 0.0060630236 | 0.0013 | 0.042312626 | 0.04774257 | 0.0307 | 0.643032 | 0.056503337 | 0.0092 |
7.2 | 7.8255274E-5 | 8.355417E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.355417E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3533663E-4 | 3.58041E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.27929762 | 4.5800518E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040750825 | 0.0043505854 | 0.0033 | 0.7585186 | 0.0056449296 | 0.0013 | 0.040011603 | 0.04378163 | 0.0283 | 0.64638984 | 0.05219635 | 0.0088 |
7.3 | 6.887904E-5 | 6.302927E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.302927E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9516246E-4 | 2.7009804E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37023595 | 3.70071E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035876823 | 0.003283583 | 0.0025 | 0.7613634 | 0.0042802994 | 0.001 | 0.035303112 | 0.03356215 | 0.0212 | 0.631664 | 0.03994064 | 0.0066 |
7.4 | 5.4898497E-5 | 3.7690043E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7690043E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3525805E-4 | 1.6151907E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6191219 | 2.6150292E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028605047 | 0.0019647782 | 0.0016 | 0.81434137 | 0.0025635993 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02823963 | 0.020560592 | 0.0123 | 0.5982318 | 0.024282463 | 0.0038 |
7.5 | 3.9103943E-5 | 1.1429893E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1429893E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6757756E-4 | 4.898434E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.898434E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0020383475 | 5.962228E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5031676 | 6.9616316E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020197518 | 0.0066977576 | 0.0038 | 0.567354 | 0.00769106 | 0.001 |
7.6 | 3.641042E-5 | 9.092579E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.092579E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5603533E-4 | 3.896762E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.896762E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0018980748 | 4.7432887E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6324726 | 5.7428144E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018819444 | 0.0054142023 | 0.0033 | 0.6095081 | 0.006110412 | 7.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.1318774E-5 | 4.5381566E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381566E-6 | 0.0 | 1.342164E-4 | 1.9449099E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9449099E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0016328598 | 2.3676723E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8447115 | 3.3674354E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016209139 | 0.0029177945 | 0.0018 | 0.6169043 | 0.0033166273 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.209241E-5 | 2.7360406E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7360406E-6 | 0.0 | 9.467832E-5 | 1.1725836E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1725836E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001152099 | 1.4275273E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.401024 | 2.4273846E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011461443 | 0.001771785 | 0.0013 | 0.73372334 | 0.0020712535 | 3.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.2640477E-5 | 2.082239E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.082239E-6 | 0.0 | 5.4172346E-5 | 8.923851E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.923851E-6 | 0.0 | 6.593487E-4 | 1.0864249E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8409003 | 2.0863162E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006573958 | 0.0013222416 | 0.001 | 0.75629145 | 0.0015219771 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 6.5548907E-6 | 1.6698185E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6698185E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8092087E-5 | 7.1563454E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1563454E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4196748E-4 | 8.7125045E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2955513 | 1.8711633E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0034144172 | 0.0010493487 | 0.001 | 0.95297205 | 0.0012491388 | 2.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.1916707E-6 | 1.3858776E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3858776E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3678517E-5 | 5.939462E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.939462E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6652321E-4 | 7.231058E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7658472 | 1.7230335E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016639848 | 8.78812E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.91031986 | 9.787241E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.2 | 2.1193785E-6 | 1.0496494E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0496494E-6 | 0.0 | 9.083019E-6 | 4.49849E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.49849E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1058014E-4 | 5.476776E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8258917 | 5.476776E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011052513 | 6.614948E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.90703666 | 6.614948E-4 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 7.536878E-7 | 3.9912942E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9912942E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2300866E-6 | 1.7105536E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7105536E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9325594E-5 | 2.0825804E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0825804E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9318635E-4 | 2.449408E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4082619 | 2.449408E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012294572 | 0.0022 | 1.7894075 | 0.0030272442 | 0.0018 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005253481 | 0.0068 | 1.2943797 | 0.008934043 | 0.0037 | 0.030762846 | 0.061296232 | 0.0446 | 0.72761405 | 0.07134036 | 0.0107 | 0.26835477 | 0.42641038 | 0.3299 | 0.7736678 | 0.45457363 | 0.0491 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010233397 | 0.0015 | 1.465789 | 0.0023220093 | 0.0013 | 0.00214792 | 0.0043744077 | 0.0053 | 1.2115927 | 0.007460847 | 0.0031 | 0.025839351 | 0.051324286 | 0.0361 | 0.70337075 | 0.0597675 | 0.0089 | 0.23032776 | 0.37331077 | 0.2739 | 0.73370504 | 0.39768898 | 0.0389 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.122463E-4 | 0.0011 | 1.354269 | 0.001811434 | 0.001 | 0.0017445484 | 0.003473561 | 0.0045 | 1.2955005 | 0.0060645295 | 0.0026 | 0.021034058 | 0.041008517 | 0.0295 | 0.7193628 | 0.048009153 | 0.0073 | 0.19150782 | 0.31352505 | 0.2314 | 0.73805904 | 0.33604142 | 0.0328 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.754359E-4 | 0.001 | 1.4805255 | 0.0015748279 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028893915 | 0.0039 | 1.3497652 | 0.005282457 | 0.0024 | 0.017915873 | 0.034265514 | 0.0257 | 0.7500252 | 0.040639363 | 0.0066 | 0.16538359 | 0.27183846 | 0.1988 | 0.7313166 | 0.2926639 | 0.0286 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.5594655E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0792404 | 0.0010556686 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023789937 | 0.0028 | 1.1769682 | 0.0040749493 | 0.0017 | 0.015200248 | 0.02834118 | 0.0215 | 0.7586134 | 0.033199474 | 0.005 | 0.14201577 | 0.23353614 | 0.1674 | 0.7168056 | 0.25170133 | 0.0237 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2244766E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9468628 | 8.222787E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018084403 | 0.0019 | 1.0506291 | 0.0032059085 | 0.0014 | 0.012141965 | 0.021664744 | 0.015 | 0.6923691 | 0.025675919 | 0.0041 | 0.11499573 | 0.18740804 | 0.1281 | 0.6835352 | 0.202441 | 0.0185 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5219817E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1895407 | 5.5212254E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010803917 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7404722 | 0.0016797434 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0082328 | 0.013073064 | 0.0085 | 0.65019184 | 0.015244303 | 0.0022 | 0.07934396 | 0.123773485 | 0.0778 | 0.6285676 | 0.13455108 | 0.0123 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.4756E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2118274 | 5.474857E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010605331 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7543376 | 0.0016598967 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012834754 | 0.0084 | 0.654473 | 0.015006517 | 0.0022 | 0.0782586 | 0.12180069 | 0.077 | 0.63218033 | 0.1324269 | 0.0121 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4579527E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.220528 | 5.457215E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010529773 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7597504 | 0.0016523455 | 6.0E-4 | 0.008075596 | 0.012743999 | 0.0083 | 0.65128696 | 0.014915962 | 0.0022 | 0.07788358 | 0.12103095 | 0.0762 | 0.62959105 | 0.13166647 | 0.0121 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3687514E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.26649 | 5.368041E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010147862 | 8.0E-4 | 0.78834337 | 0.0016141774 | 6.0E-4 | 0.007876333 | 0.0122855585 | 0.0081 | 0.6593107 | 0.01445853 | 0.0022 | 0.07602952 | 0.11709893 | 0.0738 | 0.6302363 | 0.12751716 | 0.0118 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2543047E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3307873 | 5.2536285E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.657749E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8283504 | 0.0015651954 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0075839474 | 0.0116954185 | 0.0077 | 0.65837747 | 0.013770859 | 0.0021 | 0.073302895 | 0.11194227 | 0.0707 | 0.6315756 | 0.12224374 | 0.0116 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.640851E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.8283197 | 4.6403587E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.030332E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8534448 | 0.0012026817 | 5.0E-4 | 0.006016669 | 0.008526041 | 0.0056 | 0.6568113 | 0.010211547 | 0.0017 | 0.058563538 | 0.08423544 | 0.0526 | 0.6244403 | 0.09266047 | 0.0092 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4735112E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3573022 | 3.4732165E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.3135277E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7919503 | 0.0010311002 | 4.0E-4 | 0.005408933 | 0.0076598004 | 0.005 | 0.65275854 | 0.008949842 | 0.0013 | 0.052791595 | 0.07615815 | 0.0481 | 0.6315804 | 0.083271734 | 0.0077 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2885488E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.77606684 | 2.28842E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.5211893E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3622408 | 6.5206375E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006701466 | 0.0042 | 0.62672853 | 0.007694765 | 0.001 | 0.047533102 | 0.06696404 | 0.0432 | 0.6451224 | 0.073308684 | 0.0068 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.1801028E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.84738386 | 2.1799847E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.056609E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.39552197 | 6.056103E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004513991 | 0.0061391653 | 0.0036 | 0.58639896 | 0.006934254 | 8.0E-4 | 0.044233937 | 0.06160397 | 0.0397 | 0.644439 | 0.067328185 | 0.0061 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.0883776E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1003064 | 1.9087469E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8944383E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.51355284 | 4.894049E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0047311923 | 0.0028 | 0.591817 | 0.0053283535 | 6.0E-4 | 0.03739367 | 0.048271865 | 0.0304 | 0.62976646 | 0.051983602 | 0.0039 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.354626E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1969416 | 1.8353791E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5800636E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5586493 | 4.5797057E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0043500355 | 0.0028 | 0.64367294 | 0.0049474253 | 6.0E-4 | 0.032811474 | 0.04434653 | 0.0286 | 0.6449208 | 0.047882445 | 0.0037 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.7277506E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4863809 | 1.6727077E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.883003E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.69372106 | 3.882715E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0035044113 | 0.0023 | 0.6563157 | 0.004102309 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0283165 | 0.036116015 | 0.0231 | 0.6396054 | 0.038622115 | 0.0026 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.223074E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6069229 | 1.6222452E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.6667592E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.74997395 | 3.6664927E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026197135 | 0.003241949 | 0.0021 | 0.6477585 | 0.0038400039 | 6.0E-4 | 0.025890453 | 0.03342009 | 0.021 | 0.62836456 | 0.035643224 | 0.0023 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.070892E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.070892E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1730586E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1730586E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.002642491 | 0.0018 | 0.68117553 | 0.0031411697 | 5.0E-4 | 0.019260362 | 0.027306098 | 0.0173 | 0.63355815 | 0.029251486 | 0.002 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1747943E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1747943E-5 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3605552E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3605552E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016552182 | 0.0012 | 0.72498 | 0.002054556 | 4.0E-4 | 0.014149235 | 0.017377267 | 0.0099 | 0.56970984 | 0.018556414 | 0.0012 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7604752E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7604752E-5 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.544676E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.544676E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.181777E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.871291 | 0.0012179023 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009317525 | 0.009907027 | 0.0052 | 0.52488 | 0.010600092 | 7.0E-4 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.556491E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.556491E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3813316E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3813316E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8988862E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6899201 | 3.8985963E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032934055 | 0.0021 | 0.63763785 | 0.0035924173 | 3.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7958124E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41703048 | 4.7958124E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7614485E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2957946 | 6.7614485E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002894674 | 0.0013 | 0.44910067 | 0.003293516 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034642242 | 0.0205 | 0.5917631 | 0.03908289 | 0.0046 | 0.1496549 | 0.287114 | 0.21 | 0.73141676 | 0.3171265 | 0.0421 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7614485E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2957946 | 6.7614485E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002894674 | 0.0013 | 0.44910067 | 0.003293516 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034642242 | 0.0205 | 0.5917631 | 0.03908289 | 0.0046 | 0.1496549 | 0.287114 | 0.21 | 0.73141676 | 0.3171265 | 0.0421 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7614485E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2957946 | 6.7614485E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002894674 | 0.0013 | 0.44910067 | 0.003293516 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034642242 | 0.0205 | 0.5917631 | 0.03908289 | 0.0046 | 0.1496549 | 0.287114 | 0.21 | 0.73141676 | 0.3171265 | 0.0421 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7614485E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2957946 | 6.7614485E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002894674 | 0.0013 | 0.44910067 | 0.003293516 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034642242 | 0.0205 | 0.5917631 | 0.03908289 | 0.0046 | 0.1496549 | 0.287114 | 0.21 | 0.73141676 | 0.3171265 | 0.0421 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3325502E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46162188 | 4.3325502E-4 | 0.0 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018555141 | 0.001 | 0.5389342 | 0.0021549575 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.022363031 | 0.0138 | 0.61708987 | 0.024611596 | 0.0023 | 0.098504856 | 0.19754294 | 0.146 | 0.73907983 | 0.21832658 | 0.0259 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8891396E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8891396E-4 | 0.0 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012376178 | 5.0E-4 | 0.40400192 | 0.0014373703 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014964725 | 0.0098 | 0.6548734 | 0.016934795 | 0.002 | 0.065152965 | 0.13860643 | 0.0986 | 0.7113667 | 0.15221645 | 0.0158 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8891396E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8891396E-4 | 0.0 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012376178 | 5.0E-4 | 0.40400192 | 0.0014373703 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014964725 | 0.0098 | 0.6548734 | 0.016934795 | 0.002 | 0.065152965 | 0.13860643 | 0.0986 | 0.7113667 | 0.15221645 | 0.0158 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4470594E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4470594E-4 | 0.0 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010483188 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47695413 | 0.0012481092 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012688892 | 0.008 | 0.6304727 | 0.014466052 | 0.0018 | 0.054797906 | 0.11975181 | 0.0821 | 0.6855846 | 0.13093096 | 0.0127 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3987883E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3987883E-4 | 0.0 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010276476 | 4.0E-4 | 0.38923848 | 0.0011275449 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012440112 | 0.0073 | 0.5868114 | 0.014118964 | 0.0017 | 0.053930566 | 0.11770056 | 0.0799 | 0.6788413 | 0.12864107 | 0.0124 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3357698E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3357698E-4 | 0.0 | 4.4537184E-4 | 0.0010006606 | 4.0E-4 | 0.39973593 | 0.0011005605 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.01211524 | 0.007 | 0.57778466 | 0.013695856 | 0.0016 | 0.05279156 | 0.11500356 | 0.0773 | 0.6721531 | 0.12562352 | 0.012 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.272661E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.272661E-4 | 0.0 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.7363436E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.41083184 | 0.001073537 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.011789798 | 0.0069 | 0.58525175 | 0.013370934 | 0.0016 | 0.05161361 | 0.11226757 | 0.0749 | 0.66715616 | 0.12256527 | 0.0116 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.2014316E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2014316E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.4312994E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4241197 | 0.0010430356 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011422354 | 0.0064 | 0.5603048 | 0.0128063625 | 0.0014 | 0.05027629 | 0.10915666 | 0.0716 | 0.65593797 | 0.11895594 | 0.011 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1376653E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376653E-4 | 0.0 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.158209E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.43676662 | 0.0010157293 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.011093299 | 0.0062 | 0.55889595 | 0.012477769 | 0.0014 | 0.049064007 | 0.10634643 | 0.069 | 0.6488229 | 0.11599789 | 0.0108 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.960148E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.960148E-4 | 0.0 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.39793E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.47630784 | 9.397091E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.010176661 | 0.0057 | 0.5601051 | 0.0115624145 | 0.0014 | 0.046464786 | 0.09852317 | 0.0636 | 0.64553344 | 0.10717735 | 0.0096 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.884855E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.884855E-4 | 0.0 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.07545E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.37149632 | 9.0746424E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009787637 | 0.0054 | 0.5517164 | 0.011074913 | 0.0013 | 0.045316286 | 0.09515629 | 0.0612 | 0.6431524 | 0.103390366 | 0.0091 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8178765E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8178765E-4 | 0.0 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.788573E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.38517964 | 8.7877945E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.0094414465 | 0.0053 | 0.5613547 | 0.010729172 | 0.0013 | 0.04425787 | 0.092116095 | 0.0593 | 0.6437529 | 0.10028705 | 0.009 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7564715E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7564715E-4 | 0.0 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.5255637E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.39864123 | 8.524811E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009123959 | 0.0053 | 0.5808882 | 0.010412097 | 0.0013 | 0.04315024 | 0.089273594 | 0.0576 | 0.6452076 | 0.097196914 | 0.0087 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.7085469E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7085469E-4 | 0.0 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.32029E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40981984 | 8.3195575E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.008876102 | 0.0051 | 0.5745765 | 0.010164564 | 0.0013 | 0.042181134 | 0.08701867 | 0.0564 | 0.6481368 | 0.09477901 | 0.0085 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5396815E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5396815E-4 | 0.0 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.596967E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.45475444 | 7.596307E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.008002278 | 0.0042 | 0.5248505 | 0.008994277 | 0.001 | 0.03810269 | 0.07880486 | 0.0505 | 0.6408234 | 0.0856217 | 0.0074 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0084274E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0084274E-4 | 0.0 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.321116E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2314217 | 4.321116E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027402006 | 0.00524828 | 0.0028 | 0.5335082 | 0.005944606 | 7.0E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.052563623 | 0.0324 | 0.6163959 | 0.056542855 | 0.0042 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.452445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.452445E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.336553E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42798087 | 2.336553E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017620471 | 0.002841044 | 0.0014 | 0.4927766 | 0.0032399076 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.029056435 | 0.0158 | 0.54376936 | 0.031095417 | 0.0021 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9523522E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9523522E-5 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.366956E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.366956E-5 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010182015 | 8.0E-4 | 0.78569907 | 0.0013178961 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009693642 | 0.010911631 | 0.0058 | 0.5315429 | 0.011702902 | 8.0E-4 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.5421824E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5421824E-6 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.3751994E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3751994E-5 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.8914225E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.69170105 | 3.8911332E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0032853577 | 0.0021 | 0.6391998 | 0.003584372 | 3.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7958124E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41703048 | 4.7958124E-4 | 0.0 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0345544E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.2646623 | 3.7032444E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0144645E-4 | 0.003 | 9.952017 | 0.0031006024 | 0.0028 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036639986 | 0.0186 | 5.0764213 | 0.019705009 | 0.0161 | 0.028357591 | 0.036108974 | 0.0628 | 1.7391798 | 0.07572489 | 0.0411 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0345544E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.2646623 | 3.7032444E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0144645E-4 | 0.003 | 9.952017 | 0.0031006024 | 0.0028 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036639986 | 0.0186 | 5.0764213 | 0.019705009 | 0.0161 | 0.028357591 | 0.036108974 | 0.0628 | 1.7391798 | 0.07572489 | 0.0411 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.175039E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9323525 | 1.5174522E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2176871E-4 | 0.0015 | 6.7638035 | 0.0015214804 | 0.0013 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026967223 | 0.0114 | 4.227354 | 0.012270833 | 0.0096 | 0.021759989 | 0.026708322 | 0.044 | 1.6474266 | 0.05269521 | 0.0267 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.175039E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9323525 | 1.5174522E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2176871E-4 | 0.0015 | 6.7638035 | 0.0015214804 | 0.0013 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026967223 | 0.0114 | 4.227354 | 0.012270833 | 0.0096 | 0.021759989 | 0.026708322 | 0.044 | 1.6474266 | 0.05269521 | 0.0267 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4196433E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4196433E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8939968E-4 | 0.0011 | 5.807824 | 0.0010892292 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0023035277 | 0.0091 | 3.9504628 | 0.009786251 | 0.0075 | 0.019048655 | 0.022850914 | 0.0364 | 1.5929341 | 0.043761905 | 0.0214 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0101433E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0101433E-5 | 0.0 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.718521E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 4.6551657 | 7.71749E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020903132 | 0.0084 | 4.0185366 | 0.00897589 | 0.0069 | 0.017543508 | 0.020798404 | 0.034 | 1.6347408 | 0.039892834 | 0.0195 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9555038E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9555038E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6951069E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 4.719466 | 7.69409E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020618609 | 0.0084 | 4.0739894 | 0.008947634 | 0.0069 | 0.017365133 | 0.02051938 | 0.0336 | 1.6374764 | 0.039619252 | 0.0195 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8170932E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8170932E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6357958E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 3.6679394 | 5.635141E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019897837 | 0.008 | 4.0205374 | 0.00847685 | 0.0065 | 0.016856372 | 0.01981447 | 0.0323 | 1.6301217 | 0.038045924 | 0.0186 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7597787E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7597787E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6112353E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 3.7238507 | 5.610591E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019599355 | 0.008 | 4.081767 | 0.008447196 | 0.0065 | 0.016654192 | 0.019521076 | 0.0317 | 1.6238859 | 0.03746384 | 0.0183 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.6801815E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6801815E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5771265E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 3.8043873 | 5.576496E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019184818 | 0.0078 | 4.065715 | 0.008306203 | 0.0064 | 0.01638118 | 0.019114174 | 0.0309 | 1.6166015 | 0.03667203 | 0.0179 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5706482E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5706482E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5301892E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 3.9210837 | 5.529577E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018614347 | 0.0074 | 3.975428 | 0.008049894 | 0.0062 | 0.015996104 | 0.018552566 | 0.0299 | 1.6116369 | 0.035531607 | 0.0173 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4472054E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4472054E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4772912E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 4.061487 | 5.4767006E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017971394 | 0.0071 | 3.950723 | 0.007786357 | 0.006 | 0.01556781 | 0.017919788 | 0.029 | 1.6183226 | 0.03422232 | 0.0166 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.135965E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.135965E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.343917E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.720468 | 4.343514E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016350104 | 0.0061 | 3.730863 | 0.0066268356 | 0.005 | 0.014481937 | 0.01632277 | 0.0248 | 1.51935 | 0.029504044 | 0.0134 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6788228E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6788228E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.14801725E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 4.355335 | 4.1476727E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0013968295 | 0.0053 | 3.794307 | 0.0057906834 | 0.0044 | 0.012712469 | 0.013964388 | 0.021 | 1.5038253 | 0.024909383 | 0.0111 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5271327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5271327E-5 | 0.0 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0830127E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.7700505 | 3.0827962E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013177849 | 0.005 | 3.7942462 | 0.00551225 | 0.0042 | 0.012045753 | 0.01318133 | 0.0193 | 1.4641922 | 0.02324688 | 0.0102 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.255199E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.255199E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.664787E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.1040518 | 2.9662854E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011760645 | 0.0043 | 3.6562622 | 0.004671948 | 0.0035 | 0.010886264 | 0.011774242 | 0.0165 | 1.4013641 | 0.020075338 | 0.0084 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6054873E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6054873E-5 | 0.0 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.880483E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.360159 | 2.6879107E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.373847E-4 | 0.0026 | 3.104905 | 0.00283571 | 0.002 | 0.007854558 | 0.008415157 | 0.0101 | 1.2002153 | 0.012877288 | 0.0045 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0737777E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0737777E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.601824E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1730516 | 1.4601364E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.601284E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.428244 | 9.5990434E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.005657973 | 0.0058 | 1.0251021 | 0.007149486 | 0.0015 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.476972E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.476972E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6329377E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6329377E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.4222054E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.90452605 | 5.421763E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004471547 | 0.0044 | 0.9839995 | 0.0053675226 | 9.0E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.4006227E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4006227E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3145321E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3145321E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8175794E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.70982915 | 3.8172977E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028486864 | 0.0027 | 0.9478052 | 0.0033472623 | 5.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0875034E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0875034E-6 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.946412E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.946412E-6 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.08917164E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.08917164E-4 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001101821 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6353119 | 0.0012017108 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1632464E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1632464E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3556764E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3556764E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6505252E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6505252E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6705292E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6705292E-4 | 0.0 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.7988127E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.724491 | 5.7988127E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.485007E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 3.62172 | 9.483268E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030219676 | 0.0121 | 4.004014 | 0.013589934 | 0.0106 | 0.02488006 | 0.02987538 | 0.0503 | 1.6836605 | 0.06101638 | 0.0321 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.088055E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.789146 | 2.088055E-5 | 0.0 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.948522E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.3525088 | 1.8947627E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010889764 | 0.0047 | 4.31598 | 0.0049847295 | 0.0039 | 0.009242975 | 0.010840065 | 0.0183 | 1.6881818 | 0.021621909 | 0.0109 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.088055E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.789146 | 2.088055E-5 | 0.0 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.948522E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.3525088 | 1.8947627E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010889764 | 0.0047 | 4.31598 | 0.0049847295 | 0.0039 | 0.009242975 | 0.010840065 | 0.0183 | 1.6881818 | 0.021621909 | 0.0109 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5764776E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.343256 | 1.5764776E-5 | 0.0 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.7561705E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9602568 | 1.6755496E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2227704E-4 | 0.0031 | 3.7700188 | 0.0034201392 | 0.0026 | 0.007027647 | 0.008194527 | 0.0129 | 1.5742215 | 0.01573225 | 0.0076 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2622026E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.922659 | 1.2622026E-5 | 0.0 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4093372E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8486552 | 5.4093372E-5 | 0.0 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.5840554E-4 | 0.0024 | 3.6451697 | 0.0025571545 | 0.0019 | 0.005655863 | 0.0065661273 | 0.0095 | 1.4468194 | 0.012030014 | 0.0055 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.1988495E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.870925 | 9.1988495E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.9423103E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5365837 | 3.9423103E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.798812E-4 | 0.0017 | 3.5425436 | 0.0016793053 | 0.0012 | 0.0041473247 | 0.0047893226 | 0.0062 | 1.2945464 | 0.008173039 | 0.0034 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.6144606E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 13.132906 | 7.6144606E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.263305E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0643783 | 3.263305E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.97244E-4 | 0.0011 | 2.769079 | 0.0011969262 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0034543579 | 0.003966063 | 0.0042 | 1.0589848 | 0.006157337 | 0.0022 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4321517E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4321517E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3280467E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3280467E-5 | 0.0 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.834072E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 2.4699442 | 7.832655E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028307196 | 0.0027 | 0.9538211 | 0.0041270396 | 0.0013 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.9704663E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9704663E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1301848E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1301848E-5 | 0.0 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.593234E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.9280944 | 6.592197E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025904465 | 0.0019 | 0.7334643 | 0.003587856 | 0.001 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0742544E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0742544E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3175317E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3175317E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6039891E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.870337 | 4.6035077E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016028339 | 8.0E-4 | 0.49911597 | 0.002002193 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1273177E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1273177E-6 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.117048E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.117048E-6 | 0.0 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.109951E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.7028222 | 4.109618E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011094653 | 4.0E-4 | 0.36053404 | 0.0014091324 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6644278E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6644278E-6 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.133246E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.133246E-6 | 0.0 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.68444E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3029695 | 2.8682704E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.681625E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.23037162 | 0.0010679888 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.183091E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.183091E-6 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.070383E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.070383E-6 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.17307E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.17307E-5 | 0.0 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1718776E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1718776E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.772039E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.772039E-7 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.188013E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.188013E-6 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0988387E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0988387E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.098179E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.098179E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.5109815E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.5109815E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6475615E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6475615E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4408673E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4408673E-5 | 0.0 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4404884E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4404884E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.3061736E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3061736E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7026458E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7026458E-6 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2904714E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2904714E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2904715E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2904715E-4 | 0.0 |
Cerro Prieto
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.981856E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.835861 | 7.980659E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012466122 | 0.002561377 | 0.0016 | 0.624664 | 0.0028606085 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015072231 | 0.030694528 | 0.0185 | 0.6027133 | 0.035831846 | 0.0053 | 0.14089979 | 0.2545834 | 0.1766 | 0.6936823 | 0.28000212 | 0.0341 |
6.1 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.981856E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.835861 | 7.980659E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012466122 | 0.002561377 | 0.0016 | 0.624664 | 0.0028606085 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015072231 | 0.030694528 | 0.0185 | 0.6027133 | 0.035831846 | 0.0053 | 0.14089979 | 0.2545834 | 0.1766 | 0.6936823 | 0.28000212 | 0.0341 |
6.2 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.981856E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.835861 | 7.980659E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012466122 | 0.002561377 | 0.0016 | 0.624664 | 0.0028606085 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015072231 | 0.030694528 | 0.0185 | 0.6027133 | 0.035831846 | 0.0053 | 0.14089979 | 0.2545834 | 0.1766 | 0.6936823 | 0.28000212 | 0.0341 |
6.3 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.981856E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.835861 | 7.980659E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012466122 | 0.002561377 | 0.0016 | 0.624664 | 0.0028606085 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015072231 | 0.030694528 | 0.0185 | 0.6027133 | 0.035831846 | 0.0053 | 0.14089979 | 0.2545834 | 0.1766 | 0.6936823 | 0.28000212 | 0.0341 |
6.4 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.1559124E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9697605 | 7.154881E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022080052 | 0.0013 | 0.58876675 | 0.0025073427 | 3.0E-4 | 0.013006088 | 0.026521806 | 0.0161 | 0.6070477 | 0.031389195 | 0.005 | 0.12270685 | 0.2250377 | 0.1553 | 0.69010663 | 0.24913903 | 0.0311 |
6.5 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.1559124E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9697605 | 7.154881E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022080052 | 0.0013 | 0.58876675 | 0.0025073427 | 3.0E-4 | 0.013006088 | 0.026521806 | 0.0161 | 0.6070477 | 0.031389195 | 0.005 | 0.12270685 | 0.2250377 | 0.1553 | 0.69010663 | 0.24913903 | 0.0311 |
6.6 | 2.294914E-4 | 4.7273084E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0576843 | 6.726363E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.831638E-4 | 0.002024605 | 0.0013 | 0.6421006 | 0.0023239974 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011904482 | 0.024356637 | 0.0148 | 0.6076373 | 0.028747031 | 0.0045 | 0.11286586 | 0.2092396 | 0.1442 | 0.6891621 | 0.23217165 | 0.029 |
6.7 | 1.9621674E-4 | 4.0567195E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.98601836 | 6.055908E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 8.4065786E-4 | 0.0017375951 | 9.0E-4 | 0.51795727 | 0.002037074 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010187071 | 0.020971093 | 0.0127 | 0.6055955 | 0.025180917 | 0.0043 | 0.09732539 | 0.18351552 | 0.1238 | 0.6746023 | 0.20531566 | 0.0267 |
6.8 | 1.5476145E-4 | 3.0686287E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9776354 | 5.068015E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.6309475E-4 | 0.0013145667 | 7.0E-4 | 0.53249484 | 0.0016141724 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008043335 | 0.015895415 | 0.0101 | 0.63540334 | 0.019635014 | 0.0038 | 0.07758363 | 0.14392504 | 0.0918 | 0.63783205 | 0.16181701 | 0.0209 |
6.9 | 1.20509176E-4 | 2.2679665E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3227708 | 4.267513E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 5.1636563E-4 | 9.716874E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.72039634 | 0.0012713958 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006268645 | 0.0117811505 | 0.0069 | 0.5856813 | 0.0143505195 | 0.0026 | 0.060947374 | 0.10996192 | 0.0677 | 0.6156677 | 0.12304548 | 0.0147 |
7.0 | 9.3269155E-5 | 1.6794559E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1908619 | 2.679288E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9966372E-4 | 7.196117E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.69481915 | 9.1946777E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0048550544 | 0.008733798 | 0.0044 | 0.50379 | 0.010319823 | 0.0016 | 0.04750344 | 0.08358386 | 0.0503 | 0.6017908 | 0.093206234 | 0.0105 |
7.1 | 5.029709E-5 | 8.214957E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2172918 | 1.8214136E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1554115E-4 | 3.5204153E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.85217214 | 4.5200635E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026210553 | 0.0042811316 | 0.0019 | 0.44380787 | 0.0051772785 | 9.0E-4 | 0.025903556 | 0.04259305 | 0.0262 | 0.6151238 | 0.048816197 | 0.0065 |
7.2 | 6.5445185E-8 | 6.905684E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.905684E-8 | 0.0 | 2.8047933E-7 | 2.9595788E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9595788E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4148304E-6 | 3.6032873E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6032873E-6 | 0.0 | 3.414778E-5 | 3.6032874E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6032874E-5 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.0759333E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3940162 | 6.075426E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021736259 | 0.001 | 0.46006078 | 0.0027723217 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026138432 | 0.0128 | 0.48970035 | 0.030228652 | 0.0042 | 0.13367249 | 0.22872785 | 0.1434 | 0.626946 | 0.2532543 | 0.0318 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.883681E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.40952715 | 5.8831926E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001086234 | 0.0020913659 | 0.001 | 0.47815642 | 0.002690111 | 6.0E-4 | 0.013144928 | 0.025166705 | 0.0118 | 0.46887344 | 0.028968556 | 0.0039 | 0.123940155 | 0.22008304 | 0.1361 | 0.6184029 | 0.24348056 | 0.03 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.7928892E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41728485 | 5.7924096E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020525164 | 0.001 | 0.48720682 | 0.002651285 | 6.0E-4 | 0.01286919 | 0.02470517 | 0.0115 | 0.46548963 | 0.02831376 | 0.0037 | 0.12148927 | 0.21658227 | 0.133 | 0.6140854 | 0.23890968 | 0.0285 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.604867E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.43432307 | 5.6044065E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019720588 | 7.0E-4 | 0.35495898 | 0.0024710728 | 5.0E-4 | 0.012036599 | 0.023746083 | 0.0106 | 0.44638944 | 0.02696772 | 0.0033 | 0.11405133 | 0.20848621 | 0.1259 | 0.6038769 | 0.22954048 | 0.0266 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 4.0030622E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.24980876 | 4.0030622E-4 | 0.0 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017144849 | 5.0E-4 | 0.2916328 | 0.0020139704 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010539869 | 0.020679176 | 0.0088 | 0.42554885 | 0.02312748 | 0.0025 | 0.100537635 | 0.18562372 | 0.1081 | 0.5823609 | 0.20345855 | 0.0219 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.7132268E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.26930755 | 3.7132268E-4 | 0.0 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015904247 | 4.0E-4 | 0.25150514 | 0.0017901066 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009633281 | 0.019200241 | 0.0083 | 0.43228623 | 0.02125992 | 0.0021 | 0.0922623 | 0.17382987 | 0.0984 | 0.56607074 | 0.19010542 | 0.0197 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4165574E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29269227 | 3.4165574E-4 | 0.0 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014634276 | 4.0E-4 | 0.27333093 | 0.0016631348 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008617763 | 0.017675571 | 0.0075 | 0.42431447 | 0.01924729 | 0.0016 | 0.08291132 | 0.16126302 | 0.0884 | 0.54817283 | 0.1756893 | 0.0172 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.0879653E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.32383782 | 3.0879653E-4 | 0.0 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013227508 | 3.0E-4 | 0.22680008 | 0.0014226185 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015986847 | 0.0068 | 0.42534965 | 0.017167663 | 0.0012 | 0.07153955 | 0.14692347 | 0.0802 | 0.54586244 | 0.1596343 | 0.0149 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.7886406E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.35859764 | 2.7886406E-4 | 0.0 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011945906 | 3.0E-4 | 0.25113207 | 0.0012944711 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014448544 | 0.0062 | 0.42910898 | 0.015532651 | 0.0011 | 0.06225166 | 0.1333188 | 0.0726 | 0.54455936 | 0.14458565 | 0.013 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.508552E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.39863634 | 2.508552E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.001074655 | 3.0E-4 | 0.27915937 | 0.0011745476 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051317946 | 0.013006401 | 0.0058 | 0.44593427 | 0.014092094 | 0.0011 | 0.05014893 | 0.11969614 | 0.0661 | 0.55223167 | 0.12973161 | 0.0114 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1319548E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4690531 | 2.1319548E-4 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.133782E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.328451 | 0.0010132869 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003811904 | 0.011064367 | 0.005 | 0.4519011 | 0.012053303 | 0.001 | 0.037471764 | 0.10228077 | 0.0572 | 0.5592449 | 0.11116819 | 0.0099 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.1020204E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47573277 | 2.1020204E-4 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 9.00558E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.33312678 | 0.001000468 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003737482 | 0.010909855 | 0.0048 | 0.43996918 | 0.011898945 | 0.001 | 0.03675245 | 0.100914724 | 0.056 | 0.554924 | 0.10945603 | 0.0095 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.918683E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5211909 | 1.918683E-4 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.220366E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.12164909 | 8.220366E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009962993 | 0.0043 | 0.43159723 | 0.010854025 | 9.0E-4 | 0.033177625 | 0.09271658 | 0.0508 | 0.5479063 | 0.10051922 | 0.0086 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7856332E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5600254 | 1.7856332E-4 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.6504983E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.13071044 | 7.6504983E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031717476 | 0.00927528 | 0.0041 | 0.4420352 | 0.010166932 | 9.0E-4 | 0.031268585 | 0.08675931 | 0.0476 | 0.5486443 | 0.094247885 | 0.0082 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1547368E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1547368E-4 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.947942E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.947942E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021888057 | 0.0060076504 | 0.0027 | 0.44942695 | 0.0064052474 | 4.0E-4 | 0.02167372 | 0.057602473 | 0.0326 | 0.5659479 | 0.0628799 | 0.0056 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.3637824E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3637824E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.583989E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.583989E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0043548364 | 0.0015 | 0.34444463 | 0.0046535297 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016201803 | 0.042269845 | 0.0222 | 0.5251971 | 0.046004992 | 0.0039 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.1101324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1101324E-5 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6183666E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6183666E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0031832247 | 0.001 | 0.31414685 | 0.0034822696 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011967761 | 0.031144029 | 0.016 | 0.51374215 | 0.033856824 | 0.0028 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0337494E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0337494E-5 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7286355E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7286355E-4 | 0.0 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0021025876 | 5.0E-4 | 0.23780221 | 0.0023021672 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007582182 | 0.020726182 | 0.0106 | 0.51143044 | 0.022488875 | 0.0018 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.1141328E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1141328E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3345601E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3345601E-4 | 0.0 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016236184 | 5.0E-4 | 0.30795413 | 0.0018232936 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0053875 | 0.016100273 | 0.008 | 0.49688601 | 0.017674511 | 0.0016 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2293823E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2293823E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.5541465E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5541465E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011625976 | 4.0E-4 | 0.34405714 | 0.0013623651 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004237258 | 0.011685931 | 0.0052 | 0.44497952 | 0.012674245 | 0.001 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8133142E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8133142E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.7711156E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7711156E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.457234E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3172175 | 0.0010456288 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009560375 | 0.0043 | 0.4497732 | 0.010352726 | 8.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.4374326E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4374326E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.7588707E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7588707E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.3584086E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.59552014 | 4.3580728E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0035149667 | 0.0014 | 0.3982968 | 0.0037142637 | 2.0E-4 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.9589627E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9589627E-6 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.395528E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.395528E-6 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0221079E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9783703 | 2.0220056E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011190104 | 8.0E-4 | 0.71491736 | 0.0013187866 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.472276E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.472276E-8 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.309754E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.309754E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.6821254E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6821254E-7 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 8.005359E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.005359E-6 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.7776554E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6279231 | 5.777178E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020459972 | 0.001 | 0.48875925 | 0.0026447696 | 6.0E-4 | 0.011683988 | 0.02462013 | 0.0138 | 0.56051695 | 0.028424112 | 0.0039 | 0.11088423 | 0.21398969 | 0.151 | 0.70564145 | 0.23843461 | 0.0311 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.7776554E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41861537 | 5.777178E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020459972 | 8.0E-4 | 0.3910074 | 0.0025449742 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011683988 | 0.02462013 | 0.0116 | 0.47115916 | 0.028131498 | 0.0036 | 0.11088423 | 0.21398969 | 0.1322 | 0.61778677 | 0.23599799 | 0.028 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6857816E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42682314 | 5.6853134E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020066835 | 8.0E-4 | 0.39866778 | 0.00250568 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011405343 | 0.024152828 | 0.0113 | 0.4678541 | 0.027470708 | 0.0034 | 0.10837428 | 0.21041918 | 0.129 | 0.613062 | 0.23126411 | 0.0264 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.6292474E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.43203565 | 5.6287844E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019824915 | 8.0E-4 | 0.40353265 | 0.0024815002 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011262234 | 0.023865867 | 0.0111 | 0.4650994 | 0.02708711 | 0.0033 | 0.107082725 | 0.20830876 | 0.1268 | 0.60871184 | 0.22889273 | 0.026 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0180507E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2488769 | 4.0180507E-4 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017208997 | 6.0E-4 | 0.34865484 | 0.0020203835 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00974259 | 0.020751324 | 0.0093 | 0.4481642 | 0.023199445 | 0.0025 | 0.093263686 | 0.1850628 | 0.1088 | 0.58790857 | 0.20233947 | 0.0212 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7607548E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.26590407 | 3.7607548E-4 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016107687 | 5.0E-4 | 0.3104108 | 0.0018104466 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009034078 | 0.01943728 | 0.0088 | 0.45273826 | 0.021496462 | 0.0021 | 0.086755216 | 0.17487572 | 0.1002 | 0.5729783 | 0.19071811 | 0.0192 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.501572E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.285586 | 3.501572E-4 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014998208 | 5.0E-4 | 0.33337316 | 0.0016995209 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008271996 | 0.018109161 | 0.008 | 0.44176534 | 0.019680187 | 0.0016 | 0.07970774 | 0.1642686 | 0.0912 | 0.55518824 | 0.17864318 | 0.0172 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2173036E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.31081927 | 3.2173036E-4 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.001378124 | 4.0E-4 | 0.29024965 | 0.0014779862 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007417723 | 0.016650911 | 0.0073 | 0.43841442 | 0.01783093 | 0.0012 | 0.07174956 | 0.1523747 | 0.0837 | 0.5493038 | 0.16517383 | 0.0151 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9151302E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34303784 | 2.9151302E-4 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012487496 | 4.0E-4 | 0.32032043 | 0.0013486247 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015098983 | 0.0067 | 0.44373846 | 0.016182374 | 0.0011 | 0.06264243 | 0.13876434 | 0.0762 | 0.5491324 | 0.15021877 | 0.0133 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.632997E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37979534 | 2.632997E-4 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011279435 | 4.0E-4 | 0.35462767 | 0.0012278308 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005298089 | 0.013647249 | 0.0063 | 0.4616315 | 0.014732237 | 0.0011 | 0.05173543 | 0.12526682 | 0.0698 | 0.5572106 | 0.13558868 | 0.0118 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2456683E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.44530174 | 2.2456683E-4 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.6207747E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.41576692 | 0.0010619813 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011651098 | 0.0055 | 0.47205853 | 0.012639446 | 0.001 | 0.039192066 | 0.10750031 | 0.0605 | 0.5627891 | 0.116514556 | 0.0101 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2139131E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.45168892 | 2.2139131E-4 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.4847806E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.42172825 | 0.0010483832 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011487282 | 0.0053 | 0.4613798 | 0.012475795 | 0.001 | 0.038443442 | 0.106061764 | 0.0593 | 0.5591082 | 0.114732966 | 0.0097 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0264927E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4934634 | 2.0264927E-4 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6821086E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.23035878 | 8.6821086E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010519878 | 0.0048 | 0.45627907 | 0.01141041 | 9.0E-4 | 0.034803 | 0.09772678 | 0.054 | 0.5525609 | 0.10557655 | 0.0087 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.8893633E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5292788 | 1.8893633E-4 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.0947875E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.24707258 | 8.0947875E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009811462 | 0.0046 | 0.4688394 | 0.010702631 | 9.0E-4 | 0.03284188 | 0.09161354 | 0.0508 | 0.5545032 | 0.099153146 | 0.0083 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2570761E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2570761E-4 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.386365E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18565394 | 5.386365E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023488526 | 0.0065383567 | 0.0032 | 0.4894196 | 0.0069357413 | 4.0E-4 | 0.023241805 | 0.0625451 | 0.0358 | 0.572387 | 0.06788859 | 0.0057 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.37045E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.37045E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0152922E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.24904788 | 4.0152922E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004877723 | 0.002 | 0.4100274 | 0.0051762597 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01775316 | 0.04721213 | 0.0255 | 0.5401154 | 0.051023282 | 0.004 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.0832735E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0832735E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0353366E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.32945275 | 3.0353366E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036892847 | 0.0015 | 0.4065829 | 0.003988178 | 3.0E-4 | 0.013464959 | 0.035977792 | 0.0193 | 0.53644204 | 0.03877346 | 0.0029 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.9664726E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9664726E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1283148E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.46985528 | 2.1283148E-4 | 0.0 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025881499 | 0.001 | 0.38637638 | 0.0027876324 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008982267 | 0.025408266 | 0.0138 | 0.54313034 | 0.02725999 | 0.0019 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9916846E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9916846E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.71061E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5845868 | 1.71061E-4 | 0.0 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020806808 | 0.001 | 0.48061192 | 0.0022802646 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020534158 | 0.0111 | 0.5405627 | 0.02219925 | 0.0017 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8926304E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8926304E-5 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2396398E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.80668586 | 1.2396398E-4 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0015082178 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5304274 | 0.0017079161 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005308505 | 0.015075737 | 0.0072 | 0.47758862 | 0.016060662 | 0.001 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.343218E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.343218E-5 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 1.0041976E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9958199 | 1.0041976E-4 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012219257 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4910282 | 0.0013218035 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012283719 | 0.0059 | 0.48031056 | 0.013073892 | 8.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3941383E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3941383E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.168878E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.168878E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8574272E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5184803 | 4.8570416E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0040343646 | 0.0019 | 0.47095394 | 0.0042335577 | 2.0E-4 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2434722E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2434722E-6 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.614846E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.614846E-6 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.17054486E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.854303 | 2.1704278E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.001279847 | 9.0E-4 | 0.70320904 | 0.001479591 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.7478676E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7478676E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.490861E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.490861E-8 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.1201224E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.1201224E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.507439E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.507439E-6 | 0.0 |
Laguna Salada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6465593E-5 | 4.6374953E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.3126726 | 2.4636567E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9912305E-4 | 1.9873469E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.515917 | 6.986353E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0024216278 | 0.0024169902 | 0.0051 | 2.1100624 | 0.0056092557 | 0.0032 | 0.02395408 | 0.024004234 | 0.0511 | 2.128791 | 0.047525734 | 0.0241 |
6.1 | 3.982297E-5 | 3.726797E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6832693 | 1.3726424E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.706587E-4 | 1.5971079E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.8783953 | 4.5966287E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0020757897 | 0.0019428408 | 0.0025 | 1.2867756 | 0.0034399265 | 0.0015 | 0.020565065 | 0.019357663 | 0.0198 | 1.0228508 | 0.028673764 | 0.0095 |
6.2 | 3.6067784E-5 | 3.2621447E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0654678 | 1.3261818E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5456705E-4 | 1.3979933E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.145933 | 4.397574E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0018802295 | 0.0017008225 | 0.0024 | 1.411082 | 0.0031982712 | 0.0015 | 0.018644003 | 0.016968468 | 0.0178 | 1.0490046 | 0.025225934 | 0.0084 |
6.3 | 3.2859112E-5 | 2.886509E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4643927 | 1.288622E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4081717E-4 | 1.2370222E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.4251785 | 4.2366513E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0017131006 | 0.0015051275 | 0.0022 | 1.4616702 | 0.0029030202 | 0.0014 | 0.016999546 | 0.015035375 | 0.0159 | 1.0575061 | 0.022619601 | 0.0077 |
6.4 | 2.9132116E-5 | 2.486555E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0216284 | 1.2486306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2484594E-4 | 1.065628E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.8152413 | 4.0653083E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0015189396 | 0.0012967187 | 0.0021 | 1.6194723 | 0.002595033 | 0.0013 | 0.015085992 | 0.012966408 | 0.0137 | 1.0565763 | 0.019974347 | 0.0071 |
6.5 | 2.7075037E-5 | 2.2836655E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.378925 | 1.2283438E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1603071E-4 | 9.786821E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.0653467 | 3.9783886E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0014117584 | 0.0011909825 | 0.0018 | 1.5113572 | 0.0022896724 | 0.0011 | 0.014028233 | 0.0119167045 | 0.0125 | 1.0489477 | 0.018240439 | 0.0064 |
6.6 | 2.2367465E-5 | 1.8582863E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3813024 | 1.18581E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.5857045E-5 | 7.963887E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.7670047 | 3.7961497E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0011664346 | 9.6925435E-4 | 0.0015 | 1.5475814 | 0.0020681883 | 0.0011 | 0.011603311 | 0.009706866 | 0.0105 | 1.0817086 | 0.015054449 | 0.0054 |
6.7 | 1.9458053E-5 | 1.5921958E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.280635 | 1.1592037E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.338899E-5 | 6.823563E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.39653 | 3.6821517E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001014788 | 8.305326E-4 | 0.0013 | 1.5652606 | 0.001829702 | 0.001 | 0.010101665 | 0.008324309 | 0.009 | 1.0811708 | 0.012886018 | 0.0046 |
6.8 | 1.0767866E-5 | 9.187769E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.884035 | 1.0918685E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.614718E-5 | 3.9375944E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5396216 | 1.39372E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.6169706E-4 | 4.793654E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.2516549 | 8.7917363E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0056027942 | 0.004810834 | 0.0049 | 1.0185344 | 0.007199288 | 0.0024 |
6.9 | 2.1384765E-6 | 1.7916839E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916839E-6 | 0.0 | 9.164866E-6 | 7.678625E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.678625E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1157654E-4 | 9.3483635E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3483635E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011152053 | 9.344814E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.963101 | 0.001034388 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.0952946E-6 | 1.7496179E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7496179E-6 | 0.0 | 8.979802E-6 | 7.498343E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.498343E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0932361E-4 | 9.128889E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.128889E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010926984 | 9.125521E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.98624504 | 0.0010124608 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.7887576E-6 | 1.4503129E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4503129E-6 | 0.0 | 7.666081E-6 | 6.2156137E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2156137E-6 | 0.0 | 9.333054E-5 | 7.5672775E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5672775E-5 | 0.0 | 9.329135E-4 | 7.5650046E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.79312575 | 8.5642486E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.723109E-7 | 7.1374586E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1374586E-7 | 0.0 | 4.16704E-6 | 3.058908E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.058908E-6 | 0.0 | 5.073253E-5 | 3.7241738E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7241738E-5 | 0.0 | 5.072095E-4 | 3.7237123E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.53709847 | 4.7233398E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5768037E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.27957922 | 3.5768037E-4 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015320253 | 0.0012 | 0.7832769 | 0.0018315656 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00939654 | 0.018495299 | 0.0127 | 0.68666095 | 0.02085091 | 0.0024 | 0.090090066 | 0.16693705 | 0.1195 | 0.7158387 | 0.18293187 | 0.0192 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5768037E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.27957922 | 3.5768037E-4 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015320253 | 0.0012 | 0.7832769 | 0.0018315656 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00939654 | 0.018495299 | 0.0127 | 0.68666095 | 0.02085091 | 0.0024 | 0.090090066 | 0.16693705 | 0.1195 | 0.7158387 | 0.18293187 | 0.0192 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5768037E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.27957922 | 3.5768037E-4 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015320253 | 0.0012 | 0.7832769 | 0.0018315656 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00939654 | 0.018495299 | 0.0127 | 0.68666095 | 0.02085091 | 0.0024 | 0.090090066 | 0.16693705 | 0.1195 | 0.7158387 | 0.18293187 | 0.0192 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.4323483E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29134572 | 3.4323483E-4 | 0.0 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014701869 | 0.0011 | 0.74820423 | 0.0016698928 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0089988755 | 0.0177549 | 0.0122 | 0.6871343 | 0.020014063 | 0.0023 | 0.08643075 | 0.16086544 | 0.1155 | 0.7179914 | 0.17630552 | 0.0184 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.2403463E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.308609 | 3.2403463E-4 | 0.0 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013879894 | 0.0011 | 0.79251325 | 0.0015877119 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008487372 | 0.01676985 | 0.011 | 0.6559391 | 0.018932955 | 0.0022 | 0.081704415 | 0.15274274 | 0.1094 | 0.71623695 | 0.16765447 | 0.0176 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.107662E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3217853 | 3.107662E-4 | 0.0 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013311837 | 0.001 | 0.7512111 | 0.0015309175 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008107598 | 0.01608862 | 0.0105 | 0.6526352 | 0.01795805 | 0.0019 | 0.078181036 | 0.14701496 | 0.1054 | 0.71693385 | 0.16091861 | 0.0163 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8087836E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.35602602 | 2.8087836E-4 | 0.0 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012032158 | 0.001 | 0.83110607 | 0.0014029752 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014552263 | 0.009 | 0.61846054 | 0.016030435 | 0.0015 | 0.07067384 | 0.13409375 | 0.0943 | 0.7032393 | 0.14690916 | 0.0148 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.332083E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4288012 | 2.332083E-4 | 0.0 | 4.914658E-4 | 9.990864E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5004572 | 0.0010989865 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012097103 | 0.0072 | 0.59518385 | 0.013282586 | 0.0012 | 0.058094822 | 0.1129131 | 0.0762 | 0.67485523 | 0.12311461 | 0.0115 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.8902002E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8902002E-4 | 0.0 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.09838E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.49392596 | 9.09757E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009815941 | 0.0059 | 0.60106313 | 0.010905143 | 0.0011 | 0.047804173 | 0.09276123 | 0.0613 | 0.6608364 | 0.101198554 | 0.0093 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.0754485E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754485E-4 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.6082571E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6510053 | 5.6077965E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028927654 | 0.0055962387 | 0.0035 | 0.62542003 | 0.0060934406 | 5.0E-4 | 0.028553981 | 0.054359816 | 0.0359 | 0.6604143 | 0.05899345 | 0.0049 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.266462E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.266462E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.5422924E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8469092 | 4.541938E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022236328 | 0.004304286 | 0.0027 | 0.6272817 | 0.004602995 | 3.0E-4 | 0.022015138 | 0.042156972 | 0.0285 | 0.67604476 | 0.04570099 | 0.0037 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.318466E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.318466E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.707634E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7386522 | 2.707634E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.0032915806 | 0.002 | 0.6076108 | 0.0034909223 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017101998 | 0.032530148 | 0.0211 | 0.64862907 | 0.035239063 | 0.0028 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.717015E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.717015E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.44992E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.81635314 | 2.44992E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0029787146 | 0.0018 | 0.60428745 | 0.003078417 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015458403 | 0.029527077 | 0.019 | 0.64347714 | 0.031662118 | 0.0022 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.6122455E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6122455E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9765277E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0118755 | 1.9765277E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0024037797 | 0.0015 | 0.62401724 | 0.0025035392 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012733313 | 0.023920048 | 0.0153 | 0.63963085 | 0.025579384 | 0.0017 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.5159075E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5159075E-5 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.506731E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6636885 | 1.506731E-4 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0018329114 | 0.0012 | 0.6546961 | 0.0019327281 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009866194 | 0.018310636 | 0.012 | 0.6553568 | 0.019783169 | 0.0015 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.341251E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.341251E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 1.003355E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9966562 | 1.003355E-4 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.001220906 | 9.0E-4 | 0.73715746 | 0.001220906 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.01224934 | 0.0081 | 0.66126007 | 0.013237091 | 0.001 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.923048E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.923048E-6 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.824108E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.824108E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6548693E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.074144 | 4.6548693E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.0046981317 | 0.0035 | 0.744977 | 0.0052953125 | 6.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.2145697E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2145697E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.2052883E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2052883E-6 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.337254E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.337254E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.5726135E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.45643947 | 7.571956E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 9.870333E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.870333E-7 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.2301363E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2301363E-6 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.1500694E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1500694E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.3593307E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.55977136 | 6.3587946E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.4444273E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4444273E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.190465E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.190465E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.884322E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.884322E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 4.0212754E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.49735463 | 4.0212754E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.512896E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.512896E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3626674E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3626674E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.8765098E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8765098E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.9556034E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6766808 | 2.9556034E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.6248352E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6248352E-7 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1249289E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1249289E-6 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.3695924E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3695924E-5 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.4011926E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4273556 | 1.4011926E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7072787E-4 | 1.9321378E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5175614 | 2.9319446E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.3148566E-4 | 8.2779874E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.24160463 | 9.2771597E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008869528 | 0.010032395 | 0.0069 | 0.687772 | 0.01230932 | 0.0023 | 0.085237645 | 0.09724011 | 0.0661 | 0.67976063 | 0.11529531 | 0.02 |
6.1 | 1.7072787E-4 | 1.9321378E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5175614 | 2.9319446E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.3148566E-4 | 8.2779874E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.24160463 | 9.2771597E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008869528 | 0.010032395 | 0.0069 | 0.687772 | 0.01230932 | 0.0023 | 0.085237645 | 0.09724011 | 0.0661 | 0.67976063 | 0.11529531 | 0.02 |
6.2 | 1.6312556E-4 | 1.8499688E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.54054964 | 2.8497836E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.989222E-4 | 7.926053E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.25233242 | 8.92526E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008476226 | 0.009607774 | 0.0069 | 0.71816844 | 0.011885676 | 0.0023 | 0.08160117 | 0.09324473 | 0.0633 | 0.67885876 | 0.11047308 | 0.019 |
6.3 | 1.5103363E-4 | 1.696726E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.696726E-4 | 0.0 | 6.471264E-4 | 7.269678E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.13755767 | 7.269678E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007850339 | 0.008815363 | 0.0063 | 0.7146615 | 0.01089685 | 0.0021 | 0.075787395 | 0.085872605 | 0.058 | 0.67541915 | 0.10186984 | 0.0175 |
6.4 | 1.5047993E-4 | 1.6853021E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6853021E-4 | 0.0 | 6.4475456E-4 | 7.220746E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.13848984 | 7.220746E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007821669 | 0.008756267 | 0.0063 | 0.7194847 | 0.010837879 | 0.0021 | 0.0755203 | 0.08535228 | 0.0577 | 0.6760218 | 0.10117568 | 0.0173 |
6.5 | 1.2760791E-4 | 1.3811453E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3811453E-4 | 0.0 | 5.467764E-4 | 5.917866E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.16897985 | 5.917866E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0066367025 | 0.0071814754 | 0.0056 | 0.779784 | 0.008968549 | 0.0018 | 0.064419635 | 0.07060123 | 0.0481 | 0.6812913 | 0.08398457 | 0.0144 |
6.6 | 1.1063525E-4 | 1.16256444E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.16256444E-4 | 0.0 | 4.740649E-4 | 4.9814786E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20074362 | 4.9814786E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0057564764 | 0.0060482887 | 0.0044 | 0.7274785 | 0.0076386114 | 0.0016 | 0.05609626 | 0.059803557 | 0.0393 | 0.6571516 | 0.071179934 | 0.0121 |
6.7 | 1.0391049E-4 | 1.07120344E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.07120344E-4 | 0.0 | 4.4525467E-4 | 4.5900742E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2178614 | 4.5900742E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0054075094 | 0.0055742855 | 0.004 | 0.71758074 | 0.0070659244 | 0.0015 | 0.052778035 | 0.05529294 | 0.0367 | 0.66373754 | 0.06587366 | 0.0112 |
6.8 | 1.0096706E-4 | 1.0222936E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0222936E-4 | 0.0 | 4.3264418E-4 | 4.3805322E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.22828276 | 4.3805322E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0052547283 | 0.0053204354 | 0.0039 | 0.73302275 | 0.0068124547 | 0.0015 | 0.051321987 | 0.05298587 | 0.0353 | 0.66621536 | 0.06349772 | 0.0111 |
6.9 | 9.800265E-5 | 9.652303E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.652303E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1994374E-4 | 4.1360548E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1360548E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0051008356 | 0.0050241905 | 0.0037 | 0.7364371 | 0.006516654 | 0.0015 | 0.049853306 | 0.05030925 | 0.0332 | 0.6599184 | 0.060281 | 0.0105 |
7.0 | 9.4642375E-5 | 9.064239E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.064239E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0554712E-4 | 3.8841044E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8841044E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004926363 | 0.004718808 | 0.0034 | 0.7205209 | 0.0060126735 | 0.0013 | 0.048185747 | 0.047484927 | 0.0312 | 0.6570506 | 0.05653382 | 0.0095 |
7.1 | 9.0996844E-5 | 8.41463E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.41463E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8992817E-4 | 3.60578E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.60578E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004737046 | 0.004381359 | 0.0032 | 0.730367 | 0.0055761016 | 0.0012 | 0.04637333 | 0.044330936 | 0.0292 | 0.6586822 | 0.052740823 | 0.0088 |
7.2 | 8.848287E-5 | 8.040739E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.040739E-5 | 0.0 | 3.791572E-4 | 3.4455847E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4455847E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004606472 | 0.004187086 | 0.0032 | 0.7642546 | 0.005382062 | 0.0012 | 0.045121472 | 0.04246849 | 0.0278 | 0.654603 | 0.050703257 | 0.0086 |
7.3 | 7.9280784E-5 | 6.175174E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.175174E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3973053E-4 | 2.6462408E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6462408E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004128377 | 0.0032171423 | 0.0024 | 0.7460037 | 0.004114247 | 9.0E-4 | 0.040525194 | 0.033133682 | 0.0213 | 0.6428504 | 0.039418314 | 0.0065 |
7.4 | 6.468038E-5 | 3.8249156E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8249156E-5 | 0.0 | 2.771722E-4 | 1.6391499E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6391499E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033693502 | 0.001993897 | 0.0015 | 0.7522956 | 0.0024929 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0331872 | 0.020985844 | 0.0123 | 0.5861094 | 0.024608195 | 0.0037 |
7.5 | 4.930574E-5 | 1.2850882E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2850882E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1129321E-4 | 5.5074055E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5074055E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0025694598 | 6.70322E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.44754612 | 7.7025493E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02539953 | 0.0075695063 | 0.0042 | 0.55485785 | 0.00866118 | 0.0011 |
7.6 | 4.612566E-5 | 1.0467925E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0467925E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9766642E-4 | 4.4861772E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4861772E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0024039324 | 5.4605654E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.54939365 | 6.4600195E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023780935 | 0.0062518376 | 0.0036 | 0.5758307 | 0.007046836 | 8.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.9435414E-5 | 5.676751E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.676751E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6899795E-4 | 2.4328705E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4328705E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0020556084 | 2.9616192E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.67530626 | 3.961323E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020366974 | 0.0036048521 | 0.002 | 0.5548078 | 0.00400341 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.7787428E-5 | 3.8282524E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8282524E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1908354E-4 | 1.6406693E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6406693E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0014488777 | 1.9973321E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0013357 | 2.9971325E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014394675 | 0.002432256 | 0.0015 | 0.61671144 | 0.0027315263 | 3.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.590671E-5 | 3.098117E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.098117E-6 | 0.0 | 6.816983E-5 | 1.3277578E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277578E-5 | 0.0 | 8.2965166E-4 | 1.6164254E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.237298 | 2.6162638E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008265611 | 0.0019383664 | 0.0012 | 0.619078 | 0.0021379788 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 9.193638E-6 | 2.639979E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.639979E-6 | 0.0 | 3.940071E-5 | 1.1314146E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1314146E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7959806E-4 | 1.3774105E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.452 | 2.3772728E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047856434 | 0.0016394156 | 0.0012 | 0.73196816 | 0.0018390877 | 2.0E-4 |
8.1 | 5.601576E-6 | 2.2782797E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2782797E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4006533E-5 | 9.764019E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.764019E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9224035E-4 | 1.1887048E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6825036 | 2.188586E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029185633 | 0.0014274865 | 0.001 | 0.70053196 | 0.0015273439 | 1.0E-4 |
8.2 | 4.3508785E-6 | 1.8923428E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8923428E-6 | 0.0 | 1.864649E-5 | 8.110015E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.110015E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2699735E-4 | 9.873499E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0128121 | 9.873499E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0022676561 | 0.0011793338 | 8.0E-4 | 0.67834914 | 0.0011793338 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.9573292E-6 | 7.644817E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.644817E-7 | 0.0 | 8.388526E-6 | 3.276346E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.276346E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0212552E-4 | 3.98888E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.98888E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001020786 | 4.7157967E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4241065 | 4.7157967E-4 | 0.0 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1212534E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.4076824 | 2.3120629E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3376189E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 4.4855824 | 7.3368166E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016274677 | 0.0082 | 5.038502 | 0.009015424 | 0.0074 | 0.014722223 | 0.016168905 | 0.0273 | 1.688426 | 0.035451993 | 0.0196 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1212534E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.4076824 | 2.3120629E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3376189E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 4.4855824 | 7.3368166E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016274677 | 0.0082 | 5.038502 | 0.009015424 | 0.0074 | 0.014722223 | 0.016168905 | 0.0273 | 1.688426 | 0.035451993 | 0.0196 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1212534E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.4076824 | 2.3120629E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3376189E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 4.4855824 | 7.3368166E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016274677 | 0.0082 | 5.038502 | 0.009015424 | 0.0074 | 0.014722223 | 0.016168905 | 0.0273 | 1.688426 | 0.035451993 | 0.0196 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6084552E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.2171454 | 1.1608294E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.893213E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.352107 | 3.6891145E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3895377E-4 | 0.0052 | 6.198196 | 0.0055350107 | 0.0047 | 0.007737305 | 0.008360686 | 0.0181 | 2.1648943 | 0.021450324 | 0.0132 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6084552E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.2171454 | 1.1608294E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.893213E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.352107 | 3.6891145E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3895377E-4 | 0.0052 | 6.198196 | 0.0055350107 | 0.0047 | 0.007737305 | 0.008360686 | 0.0181 | 2.1648943 | 0.021450324 | 0.0132 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3768208E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.263109 | 1.1376683E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.9005415E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.3895195 | 2.5899362E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1817986E-4 | 0.0045 | 6.26584 | 0.0048152353 | 0.0041 | 0.006655392 | 0.0071611404 | 0.0159 | 2.2203166 | 0.018876638 | 0.0118 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.02909025E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.71732 | 1.10289875E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.4103213E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.5348167 | 2.440944E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.368406E-4 | 0.0037 | 6.892176 | 0.0039350153 | 0.0034 | 0.005028777 | 0.005357043 | 0.0132 | 2.464046 | 0.015402937 | 0.0101 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.201107E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.193476 | 1.08200285E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5147208E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.6903524 | 2.3514018E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2784694E-4 | 0.0031 | 7.2455816 | 0.003226649 | 0.0028 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042715846 | 0.0108 | 2.5283356 | 0.012536131 | 0.0083 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.7368956E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 14.843632 | 1.06736225E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8872162E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.463544 | 1.2886927E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.514747E-4 | 0.0023 | 6.543856 | 0.0023507718 | 0.002 | 0.003346101 | 0.003510449 | 0.0085 | 2.4213426 | 0.010186929 | 0.0067 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1125849E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 32.12764 | 1.03112274E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.333959E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.4964824 | 1.13338254E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6239891E-4 | 0.0015 | 9.236515 | 0.0014621877 | 0.0013 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016229507 | 0.0046 | 2.8343437 | 0.0053169457 | 0.0037 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2289867E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 44.863438 | 1.0222876E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.55277E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.468167 | 1.0955182E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.16299816E-4 | 0.001 | 8.598466 | 0.0010161952 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011624917 | 0.0033 | 2.8387299 | 0.003859353 | 0.0027 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1778702E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1778702E-6 | 0.0 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.04801E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.04801E-6 | 0.0 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.145848E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 6.5084586 | 3.6144003E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.144834E-4 | 0.001 | 1.6273834 | 0.0014139918 | 8.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0926506E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0926506E-7 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3254211E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3254211E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6136888E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6136888E-5 | 0.0 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6135769E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6135769E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3105396E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3105396E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.902309E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.902309E-7 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2055995E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2055995E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.20553486E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.20553486E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9686452E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9686452E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.437048E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.437048E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0272058E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0272058E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.02715894E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02715894E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.442817E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.442817E-7 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1835E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1835E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.528386E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.528386E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.5281365E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5281365E-5 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.57464E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.57464E-8 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.246274E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.246274E-7 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9523316E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9523316E-6 | 0.0 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.952265E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.952265E-5 | 0.0 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3104717E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 22.892519 | 3.1310078E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6162025E-5 | 6.0E-4 | 10.683375 | 6.5612834E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835866E-4 | 0.0062 | 9.06981 | 0.006479622 | 0.0058 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817649 | 0.0198 | 2.904227 | 0.023801068 | 0.0171 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3104717E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 22.892519 | 3.1310078E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6162025E-5 | 6.0E-4 | 10.683375 | 6.5612834E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835866E-4 | 0.0062 | 9.06981 | 0.006479622 | 0.0058 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817649 | 0.0198 | 2.904227 | 0.023801068 | 0.0171 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3104717E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 22.892519 | 3.1310078E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6162025E-5 | 6.0E-4 | 10.683375 | 6.5612834E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835866E-4 | 0.0062 | 9.06981 | 0.006479622 | 0.0058 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817649 | 0.0198 | 2.904227 | 0.023801068 | 0.0171 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3104717E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 22.892519 | 3.1310078E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6162025E-5 | 6.0E-4 | 10.683375 | 6.5612834E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835866E-4 | 0.0062 | 9.06981 | 0.006479622 | 0.0058 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817649 | 0.0198 | 2.904227 | 0.023801068 | 0.0171 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3104717E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 22.892519 | 3.1310078E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6162025E-5 | 6.0E-4 | 10.683375 | 6.5612834E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835866E-4 | 0.0062 | 9.06981 | 0.006479622 | 0.0058 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817649 | 0.0198 | 2.904227 | 0.023801068 | 0.0171 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3857796E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 27.079065 | 2.073843E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1652988E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 12.637038 | 4.3164034E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.853124E-4 | 0.0044 | 11.419306 | 0.004583694 | 0.0042 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038469809 | 0.0144 | 3.7431953 | 0.016398508 | 0.0126 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3857796E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 27.079065 | 2.073843E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1652988E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 12.637038 | 4.3164034E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.853124E-4 | 0.0044 | 11.419306 | 0.004583694 | 0.0042 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038469809 | 0.0144 | 3.7431953 | 0.016398508 | 0.0126 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7867405E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 34.56177 | 2.0578559E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4800102E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 12.0967245 | 3.2479267E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.019033E-4 | 0.0035 | 11.593116 | 0.003600907 | 0.0033 | 0.0028538927 | 0.0030153156 | 0.0116 | 3.8470268 | 0.0130848605 | 0.0101 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2195743E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 47.398144 | 2.0421873E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.808378E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 11.059634 | 2.1808017E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2015054E-4 | 0.0026 | 11.810101 | 0.0026196223 | 0.0024 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021995956 | 0.0087 | 3.9552727 | 0.009782879 | 0.0076 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1233856E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 64.03308 | 2.0312276E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3385882E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 14.941114 | 2.133832E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6296319E-4 | 0.0022 | 13.499981 | 0.0021626372 | 0.002 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016286593 | 0.0068 | 4.1752133 | 0.007419213 | 0.0058 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5409967E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 64.89307 | 1.0154084E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.6042603E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 15.141741 | 1.066036E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.040491E-5 | 0.001 | 12.437051 | 9.803325E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.038571E-4 | 0.0031 | 3.8564067 | 0.0033018475 | 0.0025 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.409877E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.409877E-7 | 0.0 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1756615E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1756615E-6 | 0.0 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.866368E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 10.345627 | 3.3865208E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.866368E-4 | 0.001 | 2.5864067 | 0.0011863274 | 8.0E-4 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5359087E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359087E-4 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010863671 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4602496 | 0.0011862584 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.01314682 | 0.0077 | 0.585693 | 0.01502184 | 0.0019 | 0.06217949 | 0.12502086 | 0.0837 | 0.66948825 | 0.13928302 | 0.0163 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5359087E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359087E-4 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010863671 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4602496 | 0.0011862584 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.01314682 | 0.0077 | 0.585693 | 0.01502184 | 0.0019 | 0.06217949 | 0.12502086 | 0.0837 | 0.66948825 | 0.13928302 | 0.0163 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5175686E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5175686E-4 | 0.0 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010785135 | 5.0E-4 | 0.46360108 | 0.0011784056 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006347804 | 0.013052352 | 0.0077 | 0.589932 | 0.014927552 | 0.0019 | 0.061695136 | 0.12420819 | 0.0837 | 0.6738686 | 0.1384836 | 0.0163 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.5061538E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5061538E-4 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010736254 | 5.0E-4 | 0.46571177 | 0.0011735181 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006316212 | 0.012993551 | 0.0075 | 0.5772094 | 0.014770163 | 0.0018 | 0.06139677 | 0.123703085 | 0.0834 | 0.674195 | 0.13789909 | 0.0162 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.456614E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.456614E-4 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010524114 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4750994 | 0.0011523061 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006172335 | 0.012738314 | 0.0074 | 0.5809246 | 0.014515386 | 0.0018 | 0.060036868 | 0.12149885 | 0.0813 | 0.6691421 | 0.13511562 | 0.0155 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4358791E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4358791E-4 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010435322 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47914192 | 0.0011434278 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006109677 | 0.012631466 | 0.0073 | 0.57792187 | 0.014408729 | 0.0018 | 0.059444077 | 0.120574564 | 0.0809 | 0.6709541 | 0.13411771 | 0.0154 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3665983E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3665983E-4 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010138637 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49316293 | 0.0011137624 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012274376 | 0.0073 | 0.5947349 | 0.014052282 | 0.0018 | 0.057545185 | 0.11748636 | 0.0787 | 0.669865 | 0.13054755 | 0.0148 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3509929E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3509929E-4 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010071808 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4964352 | 0.0011070801 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005864331 | 0.012193926 | 0.0073 | 0.59865874 | 0.013971976 | 0.0018 | 0.057119697 | 0.11678901 | 0.0784 | 0.67129606 | 0.1296839 | 0.0146 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3397984E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3397984E-4 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 0.0010023869 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4988094 | 0.0011022866 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005836608 | 0.012136212 | 0.0073 | 0.6015057 | 0.013914366 | 0.0018 | 0.056856725 | 0.116286665 | 0.078 | 0.67075616 | 0.12918888 | 0.0146 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3246332E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3246332E-4 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.958926E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5020622 | 0.001095793 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057996577 | 0.012058021 | 0.0073 | 0.60540617 | 0.013836316 | 0.0018 | 0.056506127 | 0.11560638 | 0.0775 | 0.6703782 | 0.1282532 | 0.0143 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.286848E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.286848E-4 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.797111E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5103545 | 0.0010796131 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005705768 | 0.011863174 | 0.0072 | 0.6069202 | 0.01364182 | 0.0018 | 0.055614736 | 0.113904506 | 0.0762 | 0.66898143 | 0.12657568 | 0.0143 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0681857E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0681857E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.8606525E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.56429255 | 9.859767E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010734781 | 0.0067 | 0.6241394 | 0.012416531 | 0.0017 | 0.05048634 | 0.10398867 | 0.0693 | 0.66641873 | 0.115278415 | 0.0126 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0185078E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185078E-4 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.64789E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5781757 | 9.647025E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00504711 | 0.010478263 | 0.0066 | 0.6298754 | 0.012061497 | 0.0016 | 0.04934009 | 0.101728 | 0.0674 | 0.66255116 | 0.11277674 | 0.0123 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9611928E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9611928E-4 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.4024144E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.47605363 | 9.4015745E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010182228 | 0.006 | 0.589262 | 0.011567973 | 0.0014 | 0.048228268 | 0.099091806 | 0.0648 | 0.653939 | 0.10963243 | 0.0117 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8979918E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8979918E-4 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.131724E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.49190062 | 9.1309106E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004799717 | 0.009855682 | 0.0058 | 0.588493 | 0.011241884 | 0.0014 | 0.046973653 | 0.096156046 | 0.0629 | 0.654145 | 0.106550254 | 0.0115 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5297742E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5297742E-4 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.5545295E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.610265 | 7.553874E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007951014 | 0.0048 | 0.60369664 | 0.009240678 | 0.0013 | 0.03946433 | 0.07882922 | 0.0505 | 0.6406254 | 0.08675129 | 0.0086 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4955564E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4955564E-4 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.4079545E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4681681 | 7.4073137E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039388672 | 0.0077738455 | 0.0047 | 0.60459137 | 0.009063739 | 0.0013 | 0.038697794 | 0.07718729 | 0.0493 | 0.6387062 | 0.0850312 | 0.0085 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2464784E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2464784E-4 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.340957E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5616971 | 6.3404226E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0064832545 | 0.0038 | 0.5861254 | 0.007576123 | 0.0011 | 0.032734364 | 0.06503235 | 0.0405 | 0.62276703 | 0.07073565 | 0.0061 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1512423E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1512423E-4 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.932963E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.60815376 | 5.93247E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059893653 | 0.0032 | 0.53428036 | 0.0068839747 | 9.0E-4 | 0.030132094 | 0.060108982 | 0.0368 | 0.6122213 | 0.064996414 | 0.0052 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.496884E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.496884E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6410138E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2746488 | 3.6410138E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023949358 | 0.004423931 | 0.0023 | 0.51989967 | 0.0050212764 | 6.0E-4 | 0.023692891 | 0.04469581 | 0.0268 | 0.5996088 | 0.048039377 | 0.0035 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.1213552E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1213552E-5 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1946819E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4556469 | 2.1946819E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026687528 | 0.0015 | 0.5620603 | 0.0031674183 | 5.0E-4 | 0.017046256 | 0.027398553 | 0.0148 | 0.5401745 | 0.029441016 | 0.0021 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9403406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9403406E-5 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.31548E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.31548E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010119402 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8893807 | 0.0014115353 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009956728 | 0.010873555 | 0.0059 | 0.54260087 | 0.011763768 | 9.0E-4 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.556491E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.556491E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3813316E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3813316E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8988862E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6899201 | 3.8985963E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032934055 | 0.0021 | 0.63763785 | 0.0035924173 | 3.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7958124E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41703048 | 4.7958124E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4475975E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4475975E-4 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010485504 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47684884 | 0.0011484454 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012691864 | 0.0072 | 0.5672926 | 0.014370288 | 0.0017 | 0.0591016 | 0.12124063 | 0.0806 | 0.6647936 | 0.13468565 | 0.0153 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4475975E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4475975E-4 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010485504 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47684884 | 0.0011484454 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012691864 | 0.0072 | 0.5672926 | 0.014370288 | 0.0017 | 0.0591016 | 0.12124063 | 0.0806 | 0.6647936 | 0.13468565 | 0.0153 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4475975E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4475975E-4 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010485504 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47684884 | 0.0011484454 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012691864 | 0.0072 | 0.5672926 | 0.014370288 | 0.0017 | 0.0591016 | 0.12124063 | 0.0806 | 0.6647936 | 0.13468565 | 0.0153 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4475975E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4475975E-4 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010485504 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47684884 | 0.0011484454 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012691864 | 0.0072 | 0.5672926 | 0.014370288 | 0.0017 | 0.0591016 | 0.12124063 | 0.0806 | 0.6647936 | 0.13468565 | 0.0153 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4475975E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4475975E-4 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010485504 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47684884 | 0.0011484454 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012691864 | 0.0072 | 0.5672926 | 0.014370288 | 0.0017 | 0.0591016 | 0.12124063 | 0.0806 | 0.6647936 | 0.13468565 | 0.0153 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3795283E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3795283E-4 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010194008 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4904842 | 0.0011192989 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.01234103 | 0.007 | 0.5672136 | 0.014020051 | 0.0017 | 0.057327334 | 0.118216515 | 0.0787 | 0.6657276 | 0.13117874 | 0.0147 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3795283E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3795283E-4 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010194008 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4904842 | 0.0011192989 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.01234103 | 0.007 | 0.5672136 | 0.014020051 | 0.0017 | 0.057327334 | 0.118216515 | 0.0787 | 0.6657276 | 0.13117874 | 0.0147 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3486183E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3486183E-4 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010061639 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49693692 | 0.0011060633 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012181682 | 0.007 | 0.5746333 | 0.013860973 | 0.0017 | 0.05652051 | 0.11683821 | 0.0775 | 0.6633104 | 0.12955573 | 0.0144 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3388154E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3388154E-4 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 0.001001966 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49901897 | 0.0011018658 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005777263 | 0.0121311415 | 0.007 | 0.5770273 | 0.013810518 | 0.0017 | 0.056293584 | 0.116398185 | 0.0772 | 0.6632406 | 0.12903368 | 0.0143 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3280336E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3280336E-4 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.973487E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5013292 | 0.001097249 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012075551 | 0.007 | 0.5796837 | 0.013755022 | 0.0017 | 0.05604569 | 0.11591456 | 0.0768 | 0.66255695 | 0.12829176 | 0.014 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3180987E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3180987E-4 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.930942E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5034769 | 0.0010929948 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057263062 | 0.012024325 | 0.007 | 0.58215326 | 0.013703884 | 0.0017 | 0.055809796 | 0.11546692 | 0.0766 | 0.66339344 | 0.12785038 | 0.014 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.168768E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.168768E-4 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.2914194E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5381309 | 0.001029049 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011253947 | 0.0068 | 0.60423243 | 0.012934816 | 0.0017 | 0.052368138 | 0.10873315 | 0.0722 | 0.66401094 | 0.12031962 | 0.013 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.1094429E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1094429E-4 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.037347E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.55325973 | 0.0010036443 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010947762 | 0.0067 | 0.6119972 | 0.012530246 | 0.0016 | 0.050979212 | 0.106035605 | 0.0704 | 0.6639279 | 0.117388956 | 0.0127 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0567664E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0567664E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.811745E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4539396 | 9.810864E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005109493 | 0.010675816 | 0.0063 | 0.5901188 | 0.012159802 | 0.0015 | 0.049935985 | 0.10361367 | 0.068 | 0.6562841 | 0.11445994 | 0.0121 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9934587E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9934587E-4 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.5406064E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.46835083 | 9.5397525E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049778637 | 0.01034888 | 0.0061 | 0.5894358 | 0.011833356 | 0.0015 | 0.048678253 | 0.100686476 | 0.0661 | 0.6564933 | 0.11138831 | 0.0119 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6238086E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238086E-4 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.9573254E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5749336 | 7.95663E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008437728 | 0.0051 | 0.6044281 | 0.009825915 | 0.0014 | 0.04114753 | 0.0833767 | 0.0536 | 0.6428655 | 0.091534644 | 0.0089 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.588967E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.588967E-4 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.808083E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.44065267 | 7.807402E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008257417 | 0.005 | 0.6055162 | 0.009645857 | 0.0014 | 0.040369697 | 0.08171266 | 0.0524 | 0.6412715 | 0.089793585 | 0.0088 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3387822E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3387822E-4 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.7363766E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5229782 | 6.7358033E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003493839 | 0.0069617075 | 0.0041 | 0.588936 | 0.008153353 | 0.0012 | 0.034394164 | 0.06956287 | 0.0436 | 0.6267712 | 0.07551766 | 0.0064 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2298524E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2298524E-4 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.2697316E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.56928897 | 6.2692043E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0063970494 | 0.0034 | 0.53149503 | 0.0073906523 | 0.001 | 0.031569764 | 0.06398292 | 0.0393 | 0.6142264 | 0.06913102 | 0.0055 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.952835E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.952835E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8363654E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2606634 | 3.8363654E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0046607796 | 0.0025 | 0.53639096 | 0.005357517 | 7.0E-4 | 0.024550365 | 0.04697244 | 0.0285 | 0.60673875 | 0.050403338 | 0.0036 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2585798E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2585798E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2534825E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.44375762 | 2.2534825E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0027401648 | 0.0015 | 0.54741234 | 0.0032387946 | 5.0E-4 | 0.017356034 | 0.028103117 | 0.0151 | 0.53730696 | 0.030144101 | 0.0021 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.940323E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.940323E-5 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.315406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.315406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010119311 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8893886 | 0.0014115263 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009955673 | 0.010873437 | 0.0059 | 0.5426067 | 0.011763651 | 9.0E-4 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.556491E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.556491E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3813316E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3813316E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8988862E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6899201 | 3.8985963E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032934055 | 0.0021 | 0.63763785 | 0.0035924173 | 3.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7958124E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41703048 | 4.7958124E-4 | 0.0 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6406596E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5058745 | 6.6406596E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8457493E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 2.1084077 | 6.844611E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034601022 | 0.0057 | 1.6473502 | 0.007246954 | 0.0038 | 0.02591553 | 0.034166213 | 0.0387 | 1.1326979 | 0.047011804 | 0.0133 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6406596E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5058745 | 6.6406596E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8457493E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 2.1084077 | 6.844611E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034601022 | 0.0057 | 1.6473502 | 0.007246954 | 0.0038 | 0.02591553 | 0.034166213 | 0.0387 | 1.1326979 | 0.047011804 | 0.0133 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.1005882E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2251947 | 3.1005882E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3287674E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.0103085 | 3.3285018E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016167475 | 0.0041 | 2.5359557 | 0.004312382 | 0.0027 | 0.012509781 | 0.016084038 | 0.0232 | 1.4424239 | 0.025628021 | 0.0097 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2375922E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.46909 | 2.2375922E-5 | 0.0 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.5894175E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 4.171265 | 2.9587498E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011670247 | 0.0036 | 3.0847676 | 0.0034643405 | 0.0023 | 0.009055373 | 0.01163993 | 0.0185 | 1.5893567 | 0.01984332 | 0.0083 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2375922E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.46909 | 2.2375922E-5 | 0.0 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.5894175E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 4.171265 | 2.9587498E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011670247 | 0.0036 | 3.0847676 | 0.0034643405 | 0.0023 | 0.009055373 | 0.01163993 | 0.0185 | 1.5893567 | 0.01984332 | 0.0083 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9447936E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.1419334 | 1.9447936E-5 | 0.0 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3346495E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 4.799242 | 2.8332983E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010144077 | 0.0033 | 3.2531297 | 0.0031122775 | 0.0021 | 0.0078909 | 0.0101286005 | 0.0167 | 1.6487964 | 0.017948585 | 0.0079 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.559965E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.559965E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.668508E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.451808 | 2.3667775E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4655497E-4 | 0.0019 | 4.2547956 | 0.0022457512 | 0.0018 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0044747586 | 0.0086 | 1.9218913 | 0.010348357 | 0.0059 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.49239E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.49239E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6395482E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.4951873 | 2.3638821E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4303059E-4 | 0.0019 | 4.288643 | 0.0022422331 | 0.0018 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044396077 | 0.0086 | 1.937108 | 0.010313414 | 0.0059 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.338804E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.338804E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5737274E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.5963974 | 2.3573013E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.350201E-4 | 0.0019 | 4.3676143 | 0.002234237 | 0.0018 | 0.0034261728 | 0.004359699 | 0.0085 | 1.9496758 | 0.010233977 | 0.0059 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.011814E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.011814E-6 | 0.0 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4335928E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.824803 | 2.3432905E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1796532E-4 | 0.0018 | 4.306577 | 0.002217213 | 0.0018 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004189603 | 0.0084 | 2.0049632 | 0.010064885 | 0.0059 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.643804E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.643804E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2758777E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.105234 | 2.3275222E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9877064E-4 | 0.0018 | 4.513873 | 0.0021980528 | 0.0018 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0039981753 | 0.0082 | 2.0509355 | 0.009675385 | 0.0057 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.154048E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.154048E-6 | 0.0 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0659878E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.5231833 | 2.3065375E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7322548E-4 | 0.0018 | 4.8228216 | 0.0021725537 | 0.0018 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037433978 | 0.0078 | 2.0836685 | 0.009123184 | 0.0054 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.3692247E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3692247E-6 | 0.0 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.3010783E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3457885 | 1.2300849E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.8012434E-4 | 0.0011 | 3.9268277 | 0.0013798162 | 0.0011 | 0.0024867293 | 0.002814505 | 0.0045 | 1.5988603 | 0.0056066243 | 0.0028 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7183346E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7183346E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1649954E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.583725 | 1.1164879E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4182912E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.5253692 | 6.417582E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014272681 | 0.002 | 1.4012784 | 0.0025256982 | 0.0011 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3130556E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3130556E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.913058E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.087705 | 1.0991206E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.206849E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.3144164 | 5.206366E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012150146 | 0.0017 | 1.3991601 | 0.002113921 | 9.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1728458E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1728458E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.3121635E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.738643 | 1.0931123E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.13369795E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.5282767 | 5.1332446E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011417134 | 0.0016 | 1.4014026 | 0.0019408 | 8.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8796261E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8796261E-6 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.0555155E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.413855 | 1.0805471E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.807157E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.0589905 | 3.9804215E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.88478E-4 | 0.0014 | 1.4163188 | 0.0016877861 | 7.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3482388E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3482388E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.7781535E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 17.306566 | 1.0577757E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.034679E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.264587 | 3.703257E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.11037E-4 | 0.0013 | 1.8283155 | 0.0014105393 | 7.0E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.451409E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.451409E-7 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6220276E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6220276E-6 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.4097316E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4097316E-5 | 0.0 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.463166E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.120281 | 7.4618275E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.7885826E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7885826E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6236773E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6236773E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9768102E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9768102E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.994029E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.5044916 | 2.9938295E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.405887E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.405887E-8 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4596658E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4596658E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7771423E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7771423E-6 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7975697E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7975697E-5 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1721256E-4 | 2.3691072E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.84419984 | 3.3688705E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.022428E-4 | 0.0010147794 | 0.001 | 0.9854358 | 0.0015142721 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0060976758 | 0.012261388 | 0.0091 | 0.7421672 | 0.01433564 | 0.0021 | 0.0593305 | 0.11293004 | 0.0924 | 0.8182057 | 0.12472807 | 0.0133 |
6.1 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.38235E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4468116 | 2.3822118E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.922529E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1819276 | 8.920752E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036416445 | 0.0071807764 | 0.0042 | 0.58489496 | 0.00837216 | 0.0012 | 0.035825435 | 0.06787509 | 0.0478 | 0.70423484 | 0.0746796 | 0.0073 |
6.2 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.38235E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4468116 | 2.3822118E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.922529E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1819276 | 8.920752E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036416445 | 0.0071807764 | 0.0042 | 0.58489496 | 0.00837216 | 0.0012 | 0.035825435 | 0.06787509 | 0.0478 | 0.70423484 | 0.0746796 | 0.0073 |
6.3 | 6.970908E-5 | 1.3791629E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4501551 | 2.3790248E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9871898E-4 | 5.9088785E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1846579 | 8.9071057E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036308395 | 0.0071643055 | 0.0042 | 0.58623964 | 0.008355708 | 0.0012 | 0.035720866 | 0.067724 | 0.0477 | 0.7043294 | 0.07452961 | 0.0073 |
6.4 | 6.9517155E-5 | 1.375853E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4536436 | 2.3757156E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9789665E-4 | 5.8947026E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1875068 | 8.8929344E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036208609 | 0.0071472093 | 0.0042 | 0.58764195 | 0.008338633 | 0.0012 | 0.03562429 | 0.06756797 | 0.0476 | 0.7044758 | 0.07437472 | 0.0073 |
6.5 | 4.786248E-5 | 9.42896E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0605624 | 9.42896E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0510878E-4 | 4.0403818E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9900055 | 6.0395733E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0024943394 | 0.0049085063 | 0.0029 | 0.59081113 | 0.0058040884 | 9.0E-4 | 0.02466527 | 0.04696188 | 0.0316 | 0.67288613 | 0.051822376 | 0.0051 |
6.6 | 4.4662214E-5 | 8.895191E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.124203 | 8.895191E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9139545E-4 | 3.8116938E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0494022 | 5.8109313E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023277493 | 0.0046313275 | 0.0026 | 0.56139416 | 0.0054276222 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02303517 | 0.044351257 | 0.0298 | 0.6719088 | 0.0491295 | 0.005 |
6.7 | 3.884542E-5 | 7.8776124E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2694203 | 7.8776124E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6646975E-4 | 3.3757076E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5924684 | 4.37537E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002024885 | 0.0041026245 | 0.0022 | 0.53624207 | 0.004799753 | 7.0E-4 | 0.020065336 | 0.039388224 | 0.0264 | 0.6702511 | 0.043710977 | 0.0045 |
6.8 | 3.4221863E-5 | 6.867095E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.867095E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4665688E-4 | 2.9427328E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.33982018 | 3.9424386E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017840851 | 0.0035773134 | 0.0018 | 0.5031709 | 0.004175167 | 6.0E-4 | 0.017698295 | 0.03447046 | 0.0229 | 0.6643369 | 0.037849814 | 0.0035 |
6.9 | 1.6927712E-5 | 3.0120449E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0120449E-5 | 0.0 | 7.2545314E-5 | 1.2908157E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7747039 | 2.2906867E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.828813E-4 | 0.0015704923 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5093944 | 0.0017701782 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008793819 | 0.015490299 | 0.01 | 0.64556533 | 0.016474808 | 0.001 |
7.0 | 1.2509653E-5 | 2.2515444E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2515444E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3611697E-5 | 9.6491436E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0363615 | 1.964818E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.525269E-4 | 0.0011741943 | 6.0E-4 | 0.51098865 | 0.0012740769 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0065061417 | 0.011607282 | 0.0074 | 0.6375308 | 0.012397996 | 8.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.751583E-6 | 1.4964945E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4964945E-5 | 0.0 | 3.750624E-5 | 6.4133936E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4133936E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5654282E-4 | 7.805568E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.384341 | 7.805568E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0045560603 | 0.007782359 | 0.0045 | 0.5782308 | 0.008179246 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.354379E-6 | 1.1535201E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1535201E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7232769E-5 | 4.943567E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.943567E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3150852E-4 | 6.017179E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4985725 | 6.017179E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033101442 | 0.006017986 | 0.0034 | 0.56497306 | 0.0062167826 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.645554E-6 | 8.850168E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.850168E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9909365E-5 | 3.7928767E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7928767E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4236954E-4 | 4.6168885E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4331922 | 4.6168885E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024210536 | 0.0046262206 | 0.0025 | 0.5403979 | 0.004725758 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.23437E-6 | 8.022218E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.022218E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8147173E-5 | 3.4380504E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4380504E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2091944E-4 | 4.1850613E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.47789025 | 4.1850613E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022069993 | 0.004196399 | 0.0025 | 0.5957489 | 0.004295979 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.2187417E-6 | 3.9702777E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9702777E-6 | 0.0 | 9.508858E-6 | 1.701538E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.701538E-5 | 0.0 | 1.157642E-4 | 2.071452E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.071452E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011570391 | 0.0020825265 | 0.0011 | 0.52820456 | 0.0020825265 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.7952495E-8 | 3.8859064E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8859064E-8 | 0.0 | 1.1979641E-7 | 1.6653883E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6653883E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4585203E-6 | 2.0276084E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0276084E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4585107E-5 | 2.0359977E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0359977E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7192724E-8 | 2.3486397E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3486397E-8 | 0.0 | 7.36831E-8 | 1.0065598E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0065598E-7 | 0.0 | 8.9709135E-7 | 1.2254859E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2254859E-6 | 0.0 | 8.970877E-6 | 1.231672E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.231672E-5 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2800532E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3048731 | 3.2800532E-4 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014049845 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5694013 | 0.0015048439 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016972864 | 0.0074 | 0.43599007 | 0.018250799 | 0.0013 | 0.060334753 | 0.1529299 | 0.0874 | 0.5715037 | 0.16445005 | 0.0136 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2800532E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3048731 | 3.2800532E-4 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014049845 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5694013 | 0.0015048439 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016972864 | 0.0074 | 0.43599007 | 0.018250799 | 0.0013 | 0.060334753 | 0.1529299 | 0.0874 | 0.5715037 | 0.16445005 | 0.0136 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.030076E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.33002475 | 3.030076E-4 | 0.0 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012979617 | 6.0E-4 | 0.46226326 | 0.001397832 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005590286 | 0.015689284 | 0.0068 | 0.43341684 | 0.016968887 | 0.0013 | 0.05451731 | 0.1421034 | 0.0796 | 0.56015545 | 0.15351343 | 0.0133 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0246063E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.33062157 | 3.0246063E-4 | 0.0 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012956199 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4630988 | 0.0013954903 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005577586 | 0.015661182 | 0.0068 | 0.43419454 | 0.016940823 | 0.0013 | 0.054396555 | 0.14187172 | 0.0795 | 0.5603654 | 0.15328483 | 0.0133 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9454043E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.33951196 | 2.9454043E-4 | 0.0 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012617095 | 5.0E-4 | 0.39628774 | 0.0013615832 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015254176 | 0.0066 | 0.43266842 | 0.016534345 | 0.0013 | 0.052604496 | 0.138425 | 0.078 | 0.5634821 | 0.14971162 | 0.0131 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9173444E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3427775 | 2.9173444E-4 | 0.0 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012496953 | 5.0E-4 | 0.40009752 | 0.0013495703 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015109942 | 0.0066 | 0.43679848 | 0.0163903 | 0.0013 | 0.051971316 | 0.13719895 | 0.0772 | 0.5626865 | 0.14841537 | 0.013 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8939164E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3455525 | 2.8939164E-4 | 0.0 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012396643 | 5.0E-4 | 0.403335 | 0.0013395404 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052651367 | 0.0149895 | 0.0066 | 0.4403082 | 0.016270014 | 0.0013 | 0.051421247 | 0.13617754 | 0.077 | 0.56543833 | 0.14740723 | 0.013 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8797705E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3472499 | 2.8797705E-4 | 0.0 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012336075 | 5.0E-4 | 0.40531528 | 0.0013334842 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005230834 | 0.014916772 | 0.0066 | 0.442455 | 0.01619738 | 0.0013 | 0.051094085 | 0.13556208 | 0.0765 | 0.5643171 | 0.14679977 | 0.013 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8601277E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34963474 | 2.8601277E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012251971 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4080976 | 0.0013250746 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014815772 | 0.0066 | 0.44547123 | 0.016096512 | 0.0013 | 0.050728295 | 0.1347142 | 0.0761 | 0.5648996 | 0.1458764 | 0.0129 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8097705E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.35590094 | 2.8097705E-4 | 0.0 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012036356 | 5.0E-4 | 0.41540813 | 0.0013035152 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014556797 | 0.0065 | 0.4465268 | 0.01573933 | 0.0012 | 0.049738888 | 0.13254188 | 0.0745 | 0.56208646 | 0.14347185 | 0.0126 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4828516E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4027627 | 2.4828516E-4 | 0.0 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010636486 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47008008 | 0.0011635422 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012873807 | 0.0062 | 0.48159802 | 0.014058358 | 0.0012 | 0.04338823 | 0.11839987 | 0.067 | 0.565879 | 0.12836196 | 0.0113 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.443052E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.40932408 | 2.443052E-4 | 0.0 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010466054 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47773498 | 0.0011465007 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004331963 | 0.012668738 | 0.0059 | 0.46571332 | 0.013853535 | 0.0012 | 0.042484846 | 0.11661785 | 0.0656 | 0.5625211 | 0.12624672 | 0.0109 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2477008E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.44489908 | 2.2477008E-4 | 0.0 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.629477E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.20769559 | 9.629477E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011661559 | 0.0053 | 0.45448467 | 0.012748731 | 0.0011 | 0.03870018 | 0.10801902 | 0.0601 | 0.5563835 | 0.11684963 | 0.0099 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.0790727E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.48098364 | 2.0790727E-4 | 0.0 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.907298E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.22453499 | 8.907298E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036891096 | 0.01079134 | 0.0051 | 0.4726012 | 0.011879469 | 0.0011 | 0.03628465 | 0.10053357 | 0.0561 | 0.55802256 | 0.10889861 | 0.0093 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4323601E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323601E-4 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.137251E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1629394 | 6.137251E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074466937 | 0.0037 | 0.49686483 | 0.008042226 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02649557 | 0.07106639 | 0.0407 | 0.57270396 | 0.077290244 | 0.0067 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.09847715E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.09847715E-4 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.706913E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.21245347 | 4.706913E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002099857 | 0.0057156784 | 0.0025 | 0.4373934 | 0.0062128208 | 5.0E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.05520386 | 0.03 | 0.5434403 | 0.05992784 | 0.005 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.4769745E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.4769745E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.6324843E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.27529368 | 3.6324843E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016250437 | 0.0044136085 | 0.002 | 0.45314398 | 0.0049114013 | 5.0E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.042982392 | 0.0234 | 0.544409 | 0.046714764 | 0.0039 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.272285E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.272285E-5 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6878456E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37204522 | 2.6878456E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032675478 | 0.0013 | 0.39785188 | 0.0036662407 | 4.0E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.032053567 | 0.0177 | 0.5522006 | 0.034860615 | 0.0029 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.2094656E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2094656E-5 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2324371E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.44794095 | 2.2324371E-4 | 0.0 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0027146074 | 0.0013 | 0.4788906 | 0.0031135215 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009081938 | 0.026777176 | 0.0149 | 0.55644405 | 0.029404879 | 0.0027 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8468155E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8468155E-5 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6485312E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.60660064 | 1.6485312E-4 | 0.0 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0020052402 | 0.0011 | 0.5485627 | 0.002404438 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0072614877 | 0.020023769 | 0.0103 | 0.5143887 | 0.021787727 | 0.0018 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.127679E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.127679E-5 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3403651E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7460654 | 1.3403651E-4 | 0.0 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016306739 | 9.0E-4 | 0.55191904 | 0.0019301847 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006183513 | 0.0163786 | 0.0083 | 0.5067588 | 0.017854031 | 0.0015 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 9.0611275E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0611275E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.8832826E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8832826E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.726872E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6346691 | 6.7259267E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002658026 | 0.004961946 | 0.0025 | 0.5038346 | 0.005359961 | 4.0E-4 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.8216953E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216953E-6 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.20929235E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.20929235E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4722144E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6792489 | 2.472067E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0016156753 | 0.001 | 0.61893624 | 0.0018153521 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.9066274E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9066274E-8 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.5314114E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5314114E-7 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0819892E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0819892E-6 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.239163E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.239163E-5 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.172293E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.172293E-4 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013588518 | 3.0E-4 | 0.22077464 | 0.0013588518 | 0.0 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016420027 | 0.0085 | 0.5176605 | 0.017895399 | 0.0015 | 0.07177748 | 0.1507546 | 0.0983 | 0.65205306 | 0.16120031 | 0.0123 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.172293E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.172293E-4 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013588518 | 3.0E-4 | 0.22077464 | 0.0013588518 | 0.0 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016420027 | 0.0085 | 0.5176605 | 0.017895399 | 0.0015 | 0.07177748 | 0.1507546 | 0.0983 | 0.65205306 | 0.16120031 | 0.0123 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.172293E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.172293E-4 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013588518 | 3.0E-4 | 0.22077464 | 0.0013588518 | 0.0 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016420027 | 0.0085 | 0.5176605 | 0.017895399 | 0.0015 | 0.07177748 | 0.1507546 | 0.0983 | 0.65205306 | 0.16120031 | 0.0123 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0627198E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0627198E-4 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013119397 | 2.0E-4 | 0.15244605 | 0.0013119397 | 0.0 | 0.0071393442 | 0.01585729 | 0.0078 | 0.49188733 | 0.017136674 | 0.0013 | 0.06914291 | 0.14604001 | 0.0952 | 0.65187615 | 0.15620214 | 0.0119 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0627198E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0627198E-4 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013119397 | 2.0E-4 | 0.15244605 | 0.0013119397 | 0.0 | 0.0071393442 | 0.01585729 | 0.0078 | 0.49188733 | 0.017136674 | 0.0013 | 0.06914291 | 0.14604001 | 0.0952 | 0.65187615 | 0.15620214 | 0.0119 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.9040835E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9040835E-4 | 0.0 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012440187 | 2.0E-4 | 0.16076928 | 0.0012440187 | 0.0 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015041998 | 0.0075 | 0.498604 | 0.016322443 | 0.0013 | 0.06530788 | 0.13916537 | 0.091 | 0.6538983 | 0.14915106 | 0.0116 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5477464E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5477464E-4 | 0.0 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010914367 | 1.0E-4 | 0.09162235 | 0.0010914367 | 0.0 | 0.005788839 | 0.013207916 | 0.0069 | 0.52241397 | 0.014490746 | 0.0013 | 0.056403454 | 0.12343089 | 0.0799 | 0.64732575 | 0.1323719 | 0.0102 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.36115E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.36115E-4 | 0.0 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010115304 | 1.0E-4 | 0.09886011 | 0.0010115304 | 0.0 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012246266 | 0.0065 | 0.53077406 | 0.013530346 | 0.0013 | 0.051936906 | 0.115252495 | 0.0724 | 0.628186 | 0.12348064 | 0.0093 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2135816E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2135816E-4 | 0.0 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.4833365E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.10544812 | 9.4833365E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011485106 | 0.0061 | 0.5311227 | 0.012770175 | 0.0013 | 0.048912346 | 0.10866157 | 0.0676 | 0.6221151 | 0.116594486 | 0.0089 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1590866E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1590866E-4 | 0.0 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.2499534E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.108108655 | 9.2499534E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011203914 | 0.0059 | 0.5266017 | 0.012390469 | 0.0012 | 0.04780577 | 0.10625748 | 0.0655 | 0.6164272 | 0.113943666 | 0.0086 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.091706E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.091706E-4 | 0.0 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.96138E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.11158995 | 8.96138E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0047382377 | 0.010856127 | 0.0056 | 0.5158377 | 0.0120431 | 0.0012 | 0.046384744 | 0.10322715 | 0.0633 | 0.61321074 | 0.11084972 | 0.0085 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0090773E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0090773E-4 | 0.0 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.6074957E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.11617781 | 8.6074957E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0045664064 | 0.01042947 | 0.0052 | 0.4985872 | 0.01141904 | 0.001 | 0.044737056 | 0.09954747 | 0.0601 | 0.6037321 | 0.106751084 | 0.008 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8494626E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8494626E-4 | 0.0 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.923862E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.12620108 | 7.923862E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009604735 | 0.0046 | 0.4789304 | 0.010496091 | 9.0E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.09226969 | 0.055 | 0.59607875 | 0.09925921 | 0.0077 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7436282E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7436282E-4 | 0.0 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.470553E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1338589 | 7.470553E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009057548 | 0.0043 | 0.47474217 | 0.009850302 | 8.0E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.08752626 | 0.0522 | 0.5963924 | 0.094004825 | 0.0071 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6654906E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6654906E-4 | 0.0 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.1358646E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.14013718 | 7.1358646E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008653375 | 0.0041 | 0.47380358 | 0.009347318 | 7.0E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.083980165 | 0.0499 | 0.5941879 | 0.0900259 | 0.0066 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5941226E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5941226E-4 | 0.0 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.8301655E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.14640933 | 6.8301655E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003788775 | 0.008284078 | 0.004 | 0.48285398 | 0.008978279 | 7.0E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.08069276 | 0.0479 | 0.59360963 | 0.08666826 | 0.0065 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5510227E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5510227E-4 | 0.0 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.645547E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1504767 | 6.645547E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008060991 | 0.004 | 0.4962169 | 0.008755349 | 7.0E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.078679964 | 0.0471 | 0.5986276 | 0.08466854 | 0.0065 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4416673E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4416673E-4 | 0.0 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.1771116E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.16188796 | 6.1771116E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003495157 | 0.0074947393 | 0.0037 | 0.4936796 | 0.008189493 | 7.0E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07349969 | 0.0449 | 0.61088693 | 0.078966044 | 0.0059 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3295712E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3295712E-4 | 0.0 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.696918E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1755335 | 5.696918E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032823787 | 0.006913969 | 0.0034 | 0.49175805 | 0.0076091294 | 7.0E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.06813795 | 0.042 | 0.61639655 | 0.07335638 | 0.0056 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.7972814E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.7972814E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1981591E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.23819964 | 4.1981591E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0050992905 | 0.0028 | 0.549096 | 0.005795721 | 7.0E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.05099278 | 0.0306 | 0.60008496 | 0.054883707 | 0.0041 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.37385E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.37385E-5 | 0.0 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.3028754E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.43423975 | 2.3028754E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0028001477 | 0.0014 | 0.49997362 | 0.0031990276 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.028573874 | 0.0151 | 0.5284548 | 0.03061387 | 0.0021 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.9027193E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9027193E-5 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.154257E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.154257E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.923292E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.80618405 | 0.0012920316 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009055517 | 0.010590244 | 0.0054 | 0.50990325 | 0.011381772 | 8.0E-4 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.229735E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.229735E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2412958E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2412958E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.7284367E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7330205 | 3.728164E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004078103 | 0.003082442 | 0.0018 | 0.5839526 | 0.0033815173 | 3.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7958124E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41703048 | 4.7958124E-4 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5010907E-4 | 2.4855268E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.80465835 | 4.4850298E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.4316596E-4 | 0.0010647338 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7513615 | 0.0014643079 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0078024664 | 0.012877337 | 0.0088 | 0.6833711 | 0.01435802 | 0.0015 | 0.07534136 | 0.12062756 | 0.084 | 0.6963583 | 0.13056447 | 0.0113 |
6.1 | 1.4521465E-4 | 2.4016222E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8327704 | 4.4011418E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.222001E-4 | 0.0010288046 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7776015 | 0.0014283931 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0075490056 | 0.012446378 | 0.0087 | 0.6989985 | 0.013927708 | 0.0015 | 0.07297657 | 0.11689765 | 0.0813 | 0.69548017 | 0.1267884 | 0.0112 |
6.2 | 1.429998E-4 | 2.3946732E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8351871 | 4.394194E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.127123E-4 | 0.0010258289 | 8.0E-4 | 0.77985716 | 0.0014254185 | 4.0E-4 | 0.007434286 | 0.012410608 | 0.0087 | 0.70101315 | 0.013891992 | 0.0015 | 0.07190444 | 0.11654779 | 0.0812 | 0.6967099 | 0.12644246 | 0.0112 |
6.3 | 1.3536277E-4 | 2.3276091E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8592508 | 4.3271435E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 5.799972E-4 | 9.971141E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8023154 | 0.0013967153 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0070386264 | 0.012065843 | 0.0085 | 0.704468 | 0.01344895 | 0.0014 | 0.0681982 | 0.11345214 | 0.079 | 0.6963289 | 0.123026855 | 0.0108 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.2698258E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.88112485 | 4.269372E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.723688E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8227331 | 0.0013719798 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006757223 | 0.0117679285 | 0.0082 | 0.6968091 | 0.013151454 | 0.0014 | 0.06555412 | 0.1107242 | 0.0769 | 0.69451845 | 0.12023945 | 0.0107 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.8026086E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.55475163 | 2.8024282E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.7231694E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7768831 | 0.0010720852 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005463498 | 0.009362331 | 0.0069 | 0.736996 | 0.010452032 | 0.0011 | 0.053311124 | 0.08939343 | 0.0617 | 0.6902073 | 0.09649616 | 0.0078 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.7513058E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5710025 | 2.7511307E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.503431E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7996342 | 0.001050118 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0052862884 | 0.009097098 | 0.0068 | 0.74749106 | 0.010187091 | 0.0011 | 0.05162293 | 0.08696937 | 0.0607 | 0.69794685 | 0.094091006 | 0.0078 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.677125E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5962585 | 2.6769572E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.1856915E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8349927 | 0.0010183535 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0050282106 | 0.008713447 | 0.0067 | 0.7689265 | 0.009803861 | 0.0011 | 0.049159497 | 0.08345466 | 0.0579 | 0.6937899 | 0.09014544 | 0.0073 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.5683839E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.637599 | 2.568227E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.719912E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8928688 | 9.7178965E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0047319788 | 0.008150768 | 0.0065 | 0.79747087 | 0.009241802 | 0.0011 | 0.046324775 | 0.0783382 | 0.0543 | 0.69314843 | 0.08478983 | 0.007 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.2329822E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2329822E-4 | 0.0 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.283145E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7571247 | 7.2820886E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0038295772 | 0.0064133806 | 0.0049 | 0.76402766 | 0.007406967 | 0.001 | 0.037642512 | 0.06234631 | 0.0423 | 0.6784684 | 0.06769093 | 0.0057 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 9.417722E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.417722E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4623662E-4 | 4.0355462E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.99119174 | 6.034739E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0029938098 | 0.00490228 | 0.0036 | 0.7343522 | 0.0054993387 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02953797 | 0.04812327 | 0.0318 | 0.66080296 | 0.05259709 | 0.0047 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 8.077778E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.077778E-5 | 0.0 | 2.123707E-4 | 3.461449E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8666891 | 4.4611027E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025825473 | 0.0042062337 | 0.0031 | 0.7370014 | 0.0047041303 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0255274 | 0.041493844 | 0.0276 | 0.66515887 | 0.04561542 | 0.0043 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 5.976116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.976116E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5803022E-4 | 2.560943E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.78096235 | 3.5606866E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0031135194 | 0.0022 | 0.7065959 | 0.0034125852 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01905776 | 0.030997844 | 0.02 | 0.64520615 | 0.03371105 | 0.0028 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 4.2676824E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2676824E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.8288795E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.54678285 | 1.8288795E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0022244046 | 0.0016 | 0.7192936 | 0.0024239598 | 2.0E-4 | 0.013396223 | 0.022275385 | 0.0159 | 0.7137924 | 0.024719696 | 0.0025 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 3.0055215E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0055215E-5 | 0.0 | 7.6060016E-5 | 1.2880172E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.77638716 | 1.2880172E-4 | 0.0 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0015670358 | 0.001 | 0.63814753 | 0.0015670358 | 0.0 | 0.009217911 | 0.015766773 | 0.011 | 0.6976697 | 0.01743997 | 0.0017 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 2.6354981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6354981E-5 | 0.0 | 6.378478E-5 | 1.1294504E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.88538635 | 1.1294504E-4 | 0.0 | 7.76303E-4 | 0.0013742413 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6549068 | 0.0013742413 | 0.0 | 0.0077359667 | 0.0138565 | 0.0095 | 0.6855988 | 0.015138487 | 0.0013 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 1.50463375E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.50463375E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 6.4482716E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4482716E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 7.847956E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.63710856 | 7.847956E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004252361 | 0.007979914 | 0.0055 | 0.68923056 | 0.008872732 | 9.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 6.3061157E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3061157E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 2.702593E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.702593E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 3.2899107E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2899107E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017651088 | 0.0034140332 | 0.0022 | 0.6443991 | 0.0038126677 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 5.4110287E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4110287E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 2.3189918E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3189918E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 2.823007E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.823007E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014454306 | 0.0029294915 | 0.002 | 0.6827124 | 0.0033283196 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 4.161316E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.161316E-6 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 1.783409E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.783409E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 2.1710846E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1710846E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010292825 | 0.002239661 | 0.0016 | 0.7143938 | 0.0025389893 | 3.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 2.5739062E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5739062E-6 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 1.103098E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.103098E-5 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 1.3429394E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3429394E-4 | 0.0 | 6.1381224E-4 | 0.0013755781 | 9.0E-4 | 0.65427035 | 0.001575303 | 2.0E-4 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 1.5527247E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5527247E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 6.654517E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.654517E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 8.101576E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.101576E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9185135E-4 | 8.293633E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6028721 | 8.293633E-4 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.0564368E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.98153514 | 6.05552E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013086811 | 0.0011 | 0.8405409 | 0.002007765 | 7.0E-4 | 0.007891912 | 0.01571854 | 0.011 | 0.69981056 | 0.017982388 | 0.0023 | 0.076174594 | 0.13866669 | 0.0938 | 0.6764422 | 0.14831363 | 0.0112 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.0258417E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.99145967 | 6.024934E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.0012955826 | 0.0011 | 0.84903884 | 0.0019946757 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0078097614 | 0.01556183 | 0.0108 | 0.6940058 | 0.017727595 | 0.0022 | 0.075409345 | 0.13733575 | 0.0919 | 0.669163 | 0.14673878 | 0.0109 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.5355536E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1831735 | 5.534793E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.001085803 | 0.001 | 0.92097735 | 0.0016851516 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013068658 | 0.0093 | 0.71162623 | 0.014845135 | 0.0018 | 0.064337276 | 0.11743333 | 0.0803 | 0.68379223 | 0.12599424 | 0.0097 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.2640602E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3250532 | 5.263381E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.6966646E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.92815423 | 0.0015690847 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011689791 | 0.0089 | 0.761348 | 0.01346875 | 0.0018 | 0.058367174 | 0.106550865 | 0.0751 | 0.70482767 | 0.11459191 | 0.009 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0881697E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.95777655 | 4.087752E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.94398E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8944564 | 0.0013939508 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0055782744 | 0.010794574 | 0.0083 | 0.7689048 | 0.012377303 | 0.0016 | 0.0544031 | 0.099374 | 0.0701 | 0.70541584 | 0.1068492 | 0.0083 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8774872E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5326268 | 2.8772996E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.04216E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7460682 | 0.0012038944 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009716061 | 0.0069 | 0.71016437 | 0.011201487 | 0.0015 | 0.04933773 | 0.090264216 | 0.063 | 0.69795096 | 0.097087234 | 0.0075 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.511175E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.66173667 | 2.511024E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.474421E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7722698 | 9.472479E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0041944524 | 0.007847653 | 0.0063 | 0.8027878 | 0.009137451 | 0.0013 | 0.04116161 | 0.075036034 | 0.0533 | 0.71032536 | 0.0810483 | 0.0065 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4651981E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.68250155 | 2.4650517E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.277523E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7964925 | 9.27564E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004070005 | 0.007610298 | 0.0062 | 0.8146856 | 0.008900405 | 0.0013 | 0.039962657 | 0.07288462 | 0.0513 | 0.7038522 | 0.078632735 | 0.0062 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2761053E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7836344 | 2.2759776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.467681E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7315716 | 8.4660406E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036279052 | 0.0066333646 | 0.0051 | 0.7688406 | 0.0075273947 | 9.0E-4 | 0.03569247 | 0.06397134 | 0.0441 | 0.6893712 | 0.068932295 | 0.0053 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.01779835E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.01779835E-4 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.361269E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6878732 | 6.3603965E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0030218933 | 0.005297015 | 0.0043 | 0.81177795 | 0.0060927775 | 8.0E-4 | 0.029811295 | 0.05166083 | 0.0354 | 0.6852387 | 0.055928353 | 0.0045 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.59859E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.59859E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.684594E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.81420094 | 5.6838576E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025986114 | 0.0044768555 | 0.0036 | 0.8041358 | 0.0050741695 | 6.0E-4 | 0.025684336 | 0.04392644 | 0.0297 | 0.67613035 | 0.047750738 | 0.004 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.1396564E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1396564E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.059497E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6537022 | 4.0591913E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0037186323 | 0.0029 | 0.7798566 | 0.004216773 | 5.0E-4 | 0.022105146 | 0.036866795 | 0.0248 | 0.67269206 | 0.040237762 | 0.0035 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.603929E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.603929E-5 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.4014644E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.41641256 | 3.4012244E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0029198923 | 0.002 | 0.6849568 | 0.0032190161 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017841442 | 0.029205669 | 0.0186 | 0.63686264 | 0.031535577 | 0.0024 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.0818115E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0818115E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.7492315E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7492315E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0021276262 | 0.0014 | 0.6580103 | 0.0023272007 | 2.0E-4 | 0.013325208 | 0.021408996 | 0.0148 | 0.6912982 | 0.023464037 | 0.0021 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.8653816E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8653816E-5 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2279631E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2279631E-4 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0014940221 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5354673 | 0.0014940221 | 0.0 | 0.009349857 | 0.015121481 | 0.01 | 0.66131085 | 0.016500311 | 0.0014 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.5959966E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5959966E-5 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.1125226E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1125226E-4 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0013536569 | 7.0E-4 | 0.51711774 | 0.0013536569 | 0.0 | 0.008104719 | 0.013718687 | 0.009 | 0.6560395 | 0.014803597 | 0.0011 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.9340465E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9340465E-5 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.2885075E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.2885075E-5 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010086601 | 6.0E-4 | 0.59484863 | 0.0010086601 | 0.0 | 0.0057804612 | 0.010261088 | 0.0066 | 0.64320666 | 0.011151852 | 9.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.0524018E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0524018E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.510215E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.510215E-5 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.489805E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18215585 | 5.489805E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032371588 | 0.0056624226 | 0.0033 | 0.5827894 | 0.0060601574 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.510731E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.510731E-6 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.0759638E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0759638E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 4.9613573E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20155776 | 4.9613573E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027645302 | 0.005112269 | 0.0031 | 0.60638434 | 0.005510224 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.4426785E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4426785E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.1896805E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1896805E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.8827446E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25754976 | 3.8827446E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.0039765094 | 0.0024 | 0.6035444 | 0.0042753164 | 3.0E-4 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.4461253E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4461253E-6 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.9054683E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9054683E-5 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.3196613E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.43109742 | 2.3196613E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.0023672788 | 0.0012 | 0.50691116 | 0.0025668053 | 2.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.393522E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.393522E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.0257911E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257911E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.2488295E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2488295E-4 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0012797656 | 5.0E-4 | 0.39069653 | 0.0012797656 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9539143E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9539143E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.371233E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.59728354 | 0.0010369559 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010144477 | 0.0064 | 0.6308851 | 0.011827231 | 0.0017 | 0.05023708 | 0.0989258 | 0.0658 | 0.66514504 | 0.10955847 | 0.0118 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9539143E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9539143E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.371233E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.59728354 | 0.0010369559 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010144477 | 0.0064 | 0.6308851 | 0.011827231 | 0.0017 | 0.05023708 | 0.0989258 | 0.0658 | 0.66514504 | 0.10955847 | 0.0118 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9539143E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9539143E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.371233E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.59728354 | 0.0010369559 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010144477 | 0.0064 | 0.6308851 | 0.011827231 | 0.0017 | 0.05023708 | 0.0989258 | 0.0658 | 0.66514504 | 0.10955847 | 0.0118 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9539143E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9539143E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.371233E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.59728354 | 0.0010369559 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010144477 | 0.0064 | 0.6308851 | 0.011827231 | 0.0017 | 0.05023708 | 0.0989258 | 0.0658 | 0.66514504 | 0.10955847 | 0.0118 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9539143E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9539143E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.371233E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.59728354 | 0.0010369559 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010144477 | 0.0064 | 0.6308851 | 0.011827231 | 0.0017 | 0.05023708 | 0.0989258 | 0.0658 | 0.66514504 | 0.10955847 | 0.0118 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9512867E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9512867E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.359979E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5980876 | 0.0010358307 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010130903 | 0.0064 | 0.6317305 | 0.01181368 | 0.0017 | 0.050156746 | 0.09880358 | 0.0658 | 0.66596776 | 0.1094377 | 0.0118 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9512867E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9512867E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.359979E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5980876 | 0.0010358307 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010130903 | 0.0064 | 0.6317305 | 0.01181368 | 0.0017 | 0.050156746 | 0.09880358 | 0.0658 | 0.66596776 | 0.1094377 | 0.0118 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9502804E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9502804E-4 | 0.0 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.355669E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5983961 | 0.0010353999 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010125704 | 0.0064 | 0.6320548 | 0.01180849 | 0.0017 | 0.050125998 | 0.09875659 | 0.0658 | 0.6662847 | 0.109391265 | 0.0118 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9487925E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9487925E-4 | 0.0 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.3492964E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5988529 | 0.0010347626 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010118017 | 0.0064 | 0.632535 | 0.011800816 | 0.0017 | 0.05008251 | 0.09868656 | 0.0658 | 0.6667574 | 0.10932206 | 0.0118 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9455858E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9455858E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.3355623E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.59983957 | 0.0010333895 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010101452 | 0.0064 | 0.63357234 | 0.011784279 | 0.0017 | 0.049980022 | 0.09853567 | 0.0657 | 0.6667636 | 0.10908281 | 0.0117 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9387066E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9387066E-4 | 0.0 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.306099E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.60196733 | 0.0010304437 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.010065911 | 0.0064 | 0.6358093 | 0.011748799 | 0.0017 | 0.04976007 | 0.09821148 | 0.0655 | 0.6669281 | 0.10867223 | 0.0116 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9288564E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9288564E-4 | 0.0 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.2639104E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.60504043 | 0.0010262257 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.01001502 | 0.0063 | 0.62905514 | 0.0116979955 | 0.0017 | 0.04941613 | 0.097747415 | 0.0652 | 0.6670253 | 0.108213544 | 0.0116 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9219192E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9219192E-4 | 0.0 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.2341983E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.60722363 | 0.0010232552 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009979178 | 0.0063 | 0.6313145 | 0.011662214 | 0.0017 | 0.049176537 | 0.09742036 | 0.0651 | 0.66823816 | 0.107890286 | 0.0116 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9171514E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9171514E-4 | 0.0 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.2137773E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6087333 | 0.0010212135 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009954544 | 0.0063 | 0.6328769 | 0.011637621 | 0.0017 | 0.04899759 | 0.09719305 | 0.065 | 0.6687721 | 0.10757533 | 0.0115 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.9111081E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9111081E-4 | 0.0 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.187895E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.48852608 | 0.0010186257 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.009923318 | 0.0062 | 0.624791 | 0.011606448 | 0.0017 | 0.04882661 | 0.09691082 | 0.0648 | 0.668656 | 0.10729635 | 0.0115 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.9056968E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9056968E-4 | 0.0 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.1647176E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.48991284 | 0.0010163084 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009895357 | 0.0062 | 0.62655646 | 0.011578535 | 0.0017 | 0.048669744 | 0.0966564 | 0.0645 | 0.66731226 | 0.106954515 | 0.0114 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.8708062E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8708062E-4 | 0.0 | 4.0357444E-4 | 8.015279E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4990469 | 0.0010013676 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009715051 | 0.0062 | 0.63818496 | 0.011398536 | 0.0017 | 0.047957025 | 0.095038764 | 0.0633 | 0.66604406 | 0.105174325 | 0.0112 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6145741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6145741E-4 | 0.0 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.917769E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5782211 | 8.9163857E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008389916 | 0.0053 | 0.6317107 | 0.009877332 | 0.0015 | 0.04189639 | 0.08279639 | 0.0546 | 0.65944904 | 0.090776056 | 0.0087 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.462837E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.462837E-4 | 0.0 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.2677957E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4786372 | 7.267169E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.007604383 | 0.0041 | 0.53916276 | 0.008596779 | 0.001 | 0.037304975 | 0.07523593 | 0.0485 | 0.6446388 | 0.08198671 | 0.0073 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.0124438E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0124438E-4 | 0.0 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3383235E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2305038 | 4.3383235E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052691284 | 0.0028 | 0.53139716 | 0.00596544 | 7.0E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.05279288 | 0.0325 | 0.61561334 | 0.05677115 | 0.0042 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4715303E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4715303E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3447309E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42648816 | 2.3447309E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028509747 | 0.0014 | 0.4910601 | 0.0032498343 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.029171754 | 0.0158 | 0.54161984 | 0.031210493 | 0.0021 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9619172E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9619172E-5 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.407946E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.407946E-5 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010231874 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7818705 | 0.0013228804 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009943757 | 0.010970394 | 0.0058 | 0.5286957 | 0.011761617 | 8.0E-4 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.556491E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.556491E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3813316E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3813316E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8988862E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6899201 | 3.8985963E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032934055 | 0.0021 | 0.63763785 | 0.0035924173 | 3.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7958124E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41703048 | 4.7958124E-4 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.611469E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.611469E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1185974E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9712044 | 6.1177736E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0033440501 | 0.005004269 | 0.0039 | 0.7793346 | 0.00709376 | 0.0021 | 0.03294174 | 0.04888574 | 0.0381 | 0.77936834 | 0.059728444 | 0.0114 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.611469E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.611469E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1185974E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9712044 | 6.1177736E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0033440501 | 0.005004269 | 0.0039 | 0.7793346 | 0.00709376 | 0.0021 | 0.03294174 | 0.04888574 | 0.0381 | 0.77936834 | 0.059728444 | 0.0114 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.325497E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.325497E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.567676E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8408836 | 5.566962E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002971072 | 0.004336636 | 0.0035 | 0.80707717 | 0.0062283967 | 0.0019 | 0.029316625 | 0.042565223 | 0.0338 | 0.7940755 | 0.052043825 | 0.0099 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.3100276E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3100276E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.561048E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.84244865 | 5.5603357E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002966728 | 0.004328599 | 0.0035 | 0.8085757 | 0.0062203747 | 0.0019 | 0.029274331 | 0.042486772 | 0.0337 | 0.79318804 | 0.051966153 | 0.0099 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.759051E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.759051E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.3249767E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.902262 | 5.324312E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0028226813 | 0.004042294 | 0.0032 | 0.79162973 | 0.005735422 | 0.0017 | 0.02787096 | 0.03977481 | 0.0313 | 0.7869302 | 0.04860888 | 0.0092 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.6524877E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6524877E-5 | 0.0 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.4223361E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8256492 | 3.422094E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022803338 | 0.002946382 | 0.0017 | 0.57697886 | 0.0036443193 | 7.0E-4 | 0.022570757 | 0.029293424 | 0.0222 | 0.7578493 | 0.035311803 | 0.0062 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.5586833E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5586833E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.0965335E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0965335E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013342315 | 9.0E-4 | 0.67454565 | 0.0016338312 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014360986 | 0.013590513 | 0.0078 | 0.5739298 | 0.015464691 | 0.0019 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.4797338E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4797338E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.0627009E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0627009E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0012930897 | 9.0E-4 | 0.69600743 | 0.0015927018 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014053487 | 0.013183777 | 0.0075 | 0.568881 | 0.015058728 | 0.0019 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.2259945E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2259945E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.5396346E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5396346E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001328425 | 0.0011608436 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7752982 | 0.0014604954 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0132051185 | 0.011871018 | 0.0066 | 0.5559759 | 0.0135508375 | 0.0017 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.7714552E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7714552E-5 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.591732E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.591732E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011036064 | 9.2390523E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7576535 | 0.0012236281 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010981417 | 0.009493122 | 0.0053 | 0.55829895 | 0.010978882 | 0.0015 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.624603E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.624603E-5 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 6.9624E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9624E-5 | 0.0 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.47345E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.82610977 | 0.0011470908 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009738087 | 0.008714425 | 0.0047 | 0.5393356 | 0.009804839 | 0.0011 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6171087E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6171087E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 6.930283E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.930283E-5 | 0.0 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.434378E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.82993674 | 0.0011431847 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009698939 | 0.008675317 | 0.0047 | 0.54176694 | 0.009765774 | 0.0011 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.5464804E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5464804E-5 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.6276065E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6276065E-5 | 0.0 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.0661464E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.74384964 | 0.0010064533 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009247236 | 0.008306262 | 0.0045 | 0.5417599 | 0.009198787 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.4612991E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4612991E-5 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.2625615E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2625615E-5 | 0.0 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.6220214E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.78719276 | 9.620497E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00861587 | 0.00786118 | 0.0045 | 0.5724331 | 0.008754105 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4477728E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4477728E-5 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.204594E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.204594E-5 | 0.0 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.551495E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7945446 | 9.5499854E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008514405 | 0.007790478 | 0.0045 | 0.5776282 | 0.008683466 | 9.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.411762E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.411762E-5 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.050269E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.050269E-5 | 0.0 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.363733E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.81480414 | 9.36226E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008205604 | 0.007600653 | 0.0044 | 0.57889766 | 0.008493812 | 9.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.3132057E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3132057E-5 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.627904E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.627904E-5 | 0.0 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.849836E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.87593335 | 8.8484667E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007407237 | 0.0070809475 | 0.004 | 0.56489617 | 0.007974574 | 9.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.0977091E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0977091E-5 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.704383E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.704383E-5 | 0.0 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.726089E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0478356 | 7.724944E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006005941 | 0.0059491615 | 0.0034 | 0.5715091 | 0.0065455916 | 6.0E-4 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.584866E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.584866E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.1077357E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1077357E-5 | 0.0 | 4.767588E-4 | 5.0000264E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9999947 | 5.9995265E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047573727 | 0.0052142786 | 0.003 | 0.57534325 | 0.005612193 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.445116E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.445116E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.1907253E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1907253E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.8840208E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.2873257 | 4.8836326E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036318225 | 0.004085394 | 0.0023 | 0.5629811 | 0.0044837603 | 4.0E-4 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.3174975E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3174975E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.7074711E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7074711E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.2958528E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2136465 | 4.295523E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030029714 | 0.0034842347 | 0.002 | 0.5740141 | 0.003882841 | 4.0E-4 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.5481905E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5481905E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.3777744E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3777744E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.8945607E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3819022 | 3.8942712E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0030684592 | 0.0018 | 0.58661366 | 0.0034672318 | 4.0E-4 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.4096853E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4096853E-7 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.3184346E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3184346E-6 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.8226597E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8226597E-5 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.1757395E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3148873 | 4.175422E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.5436517E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5436517E-9 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 1.9472791E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9472791E-8 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.3708124E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708124E-7 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.6542411E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6542411E-6 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3997854E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3997854E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4569712E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.059066 | 2.4568255E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017724487 | 0.005 | 2.8209562 | 0.005665536 | 0.0039 | 0.015640736 | 0.017588679 | 0.0232 | 1.3190303 | 0.028591685 | 0.0112 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3997854E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3997854E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4569712E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.059066 | 2.4568255E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017724487 | 0.005 | 2.8209562 | 0.005665536 | 0.0039 | 0.015640736 | 0.017588679 | 0.0232 | 1.3190303 | 0.028591685 | 0.0112 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3997854E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3997854E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4569712E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.059066 | 2.4568255E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017724487 | 0.005 | 2.8209562 | 0.005665536 | 0.0039 | 0.015640736 | 0.017588679 | 0.0232 | 1.3190303 | 0.028591685 | 0.0112 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2115317E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2115317E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3762998E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4531718 | 2.3761622E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016743848 | 0.0046 | 2.7472777 | 0.0053681894 | 0.0037 | 0.01479908 | 0.016622864 | 0.022 | 1.3234783 | 0.027144998 | 0.0107 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2115317E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2115317E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3762998E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4531718 | 2.3761622E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016743848 | 0.0046 | 2.7472777 | 0.0053681894 | 0.0037 | 0.01479908 | 0.016622864 | 0.022 | 1.3234783 | 0.027144998 | 0.0107 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.084056E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.084056E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3216729E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5132337 | 2.3215408E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016079765 | 0.0045 | 2.7985485 | 0.0052021877 | 0.0036 | 0.014230782 | 0.015968492 | 0.0217 | 1.358926 | 0.02620242 | 0.0104 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9264093E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9264093E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2541165E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5947481 | 2.2539911E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013628257 | 0.001525844 | 0.0044 | 2.8836498 | 0.005120351 | 0.0036 | 0.013544982 | 0.015158713 | 0.0202 | 1.332567 | 0.024810158 | 0.0098 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7352793E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7352793E-5 | 0.0 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.17221134E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.706177 | 2.1720941E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012775084 | 0.001426258 | 0.0043 | 3.014882 | 0.0050211237 | 0.0036 | 0.012701893 | 0.014175876 | 0.0194 | 1.3685222 | 0.023836952 | 0.0098 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4946075E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4946075E-5 | 0.0 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0690749E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8707763 | 2.068968E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013008433 | 0.0039 | 2.998055 | 0.0046964204 | 0.0034 | 0.011539802 | 0.0129367085 | 0.0168 | 1.2986301 | 0.021721572 | 0.0089 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2300088E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2300088E-5 | 0.0 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.556841E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0927417 | 1.9555885E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011629428 | 0.0037 | 3.181584 | 0.004459105 | 0.0033 | 0.010331288 | 0.011572636 | 0.0148 | 1.2788789 | 0.019578896 | 0.0081 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0575533E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0575533E-5 | 0.0 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.817798E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.26814 | 1.8816916E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010730558 | 0.0037 | 3.4480965 | 0.0043695145 | 0.0033 | 0.009531168 | 0.010682788 | 0.0138 | 1.2917976 | 0.018300531 | 0.0077 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.978174E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.978174E-5 | 0.0 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.4776235E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3591518 | 1.8476775E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010316795 | 0.0036 | 3.489456 | 0.004228378 | 0.0032 | 0.009176437 | 0.0102729015 | 0.0135 | 1.314137 | 0.017695855 | 0.0075 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8166602E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8166602E-5 | 0.0 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.785464E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.5688899 | 1.7784686E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.474853E-4 | 0.0032 | 3.377361 | 0.0037448325 | 0.0028 | 0.008511325 | 0.009438183 | 0.0124 | 1.3138121 | 0.016174003 | 0.0068 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5973112E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5973112E-5 | 0.0 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.845449E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9216492 | 1.6844764E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.331309E-4 | 0.0032 | 3.8409328 | 0.003630798 | 0.0028 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008302236 | 0.0112 | 1.3490342 | 0.0144507615 | 0.0062 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4151222E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4151222E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.0646773E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.2977848 | 1.606407E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.3814014E-4 | 0.0031 | 4.1997447 | 0.0034361472 | 0.0027 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0073588495 | 0.0103 | 1.3996753 | 0.013314696 | 0.006 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2842324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2842324E-5 | 0.0 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.503746E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6338885 | 1.5503196E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.698908E-4 | 0.0031 | 4.62762 | 0.003368082 | 0.0027 | 0.006054099 | 0.006680666 | 0.01 | 1.4968567 | 0.01254125 | 0.0059 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.335209E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.335209E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4293715E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 13.992163 | 1.14292285E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7401938E-4 | 0.0017 | 9.769027 | 0.0015737758 | 0.0014 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017395564 | 0.0033 | 1.8970354 | 0.0043350337 | 0.0026 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0208381E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0208381E-4 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6578703E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.46200737 | 9.657005E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010490298 | 0.0061 | 0.5814897 | 0.011974563 | 0.0015 | 0.051734097 | 0.10202908 | 0.0664 | 0.65079486 | 0.111996554 | 0.0111 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0208381E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0208381E-4 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6578703E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.46200737 | 9.657005E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010490298 | 0.0061 | 0.5814897 | 0.011974563 | 0.0015 | 0.051734097 | 0.10202908 | 0.0664 | 0.65079486 | 0.111996554 | 0.0111 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0208381E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0208381E-4 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6578703E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.46200737 | 9.657005E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010490298 | 0.0061 | 0.5814897 | 0.011974563 | 0.0015 | 0.051734097 | 0.10202908 | 0.0664 | 0.65079486 | 0.111996554 | 0.0111 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0208381E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0208381E-4 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6578703E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.46200737 | 9.657005E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010490298 | 0.0061 | 0.5814897 | 0.011974563 | 0.0015 | 0.051734097 | 0.10202908 | 0.0664 | 0.65079486 | 0.111996554 | 0.0111 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8562716E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8562716E-4 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.953026E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.50295323 | 8.9522306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009639941 | 0.0057 | 0.59128994 | 0.011026445 | 0.0014 | 0.046693064 | 0.094371215 | 0.0608 | 0.6442642 | 0.10369919 | 0.0103 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8562716E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8562716E-4 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.953026E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.50295323 | 8.9522306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009639941 | 0.0057 | 0.59128994 | 0.011026445 | 0.0014 | 0.046693064 | 0.094371215 | 0.0608 | 0.6442642 | 0.10369919 | 0.0103 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8369462E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8369462E-4 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.870253E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.50824285 | 8.869466E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009540049 | 0.0056 | 0.58699906 | 0.010926694 | 0.0014 | 0.046089325 | 0.09345991 | 0.0601 | 0.64305645 | 0.102706626 | 0.0102 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8283681E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8283681E-4 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.8335125E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5106266 | 8.832729E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00467679 | 0.009495707 | 0.0056 | 0.58974016 | 0.010882414 | 0.0014 | 0.045795817 | 0.0930539 | 0.0598 | 0.64263827 | 0.10230475 | 0.0102 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8230337E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8230337E-4 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.8106637E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.51212037 | 8.8098826E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004657841 | 0.009468132 | 0.0056 | 0.5914578 | 0.010854876 | 0.0014 | 0.04561414 | 0.092800654 | 0.0596 | 0.6422369 | 0.10196336 | 0.0101 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.8112094E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8112094E-4 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.7600183E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5154627 | 8.7592425E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004611638 | 0.009407004 | 0.0056 | 0.5953011 | 0.010793835 | 0.0014 | 0.04517103 | 0.09224051 | 0.0591 | 0.6407163 | 0.101227336 | 0.0099 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7950563E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7950563E-4 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.690832E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.52009976 | 8.690063E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004551957 | 0.009323494 | 0.0056 | 0.6006332 | 0.010710441 | 0.0014 | 0.044598386 | 0.091473654 | 0.0588 | 0.642808 | 0.10046806 | 0.0099 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7862306E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7862306E-4 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.6530303E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5226688 | 8.652265E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045216335 | 0.0092778625 | 0.0056 | 0.60358727 | 0.010664874 | 0.0014 | 0.04430731 | 0.091054596 | 0.0586 | 0.64356995 | 0.100053154 | 0.0099 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.775272E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.775272E-4 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.6060917E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5258942 | 8.6053315E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009221201 | 0.0056 | 0.60729617 | 0.010608291 | 0.0014 | 0.043916024 | 0.09053405 | 0.0583 | 0.64395666 | 0.09953776 | 0.0099 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.769448E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.769448E-4 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.581146E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5276247 | 8.5803884E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009191086 | 0.0056 | 0.609286 | 0.010578219 | 0.0014 | 0.043725148 | 0.090254165 | 0.0581 | 0.64373755 | 0.09916968 | 0.0098 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.7656908E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7656908E-4 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.5650535E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5287471 | 8.5642975E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004447999 | 0.009171658 | 0.0056 | 0.61057657 | 0.0105588185 | 0.0014 | 0.043600157 | 0.090073794 | 0.0581 | 0.6450267 | 0.09899107 | 0.0098 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7525707E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7525707E-4 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.508857E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.53270423 | 8.508106E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009103813 | 0.0055 | 0.6041425 | 0.010491068 | 0.0014 | 0.043280575 | 0.08944905 | 0.0576 | 0.643942 | 0.09819034 | 0.0096 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.696886E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.696886E-4 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.2703435E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.41263524 | 8.2696165E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008815808 | 0.0054 | 0.61253595 | 0.010203467 | 0.0014 | 0.042091176 | 0.08682234 | 0.0557 | 0.64154 | 0.09531489 | 0.0093 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.432063E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.432063E-4 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.1359693E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4889203 | 7.135356E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0074449945 | 0.0043 | 0.5775693 | 0.00863606 | 0.0012 | 0.035888977 | 0.07404891 | 0.0461 | 0.6225615 | 0.08025278 | 0.0067 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.307362E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.307362E-4 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.601777E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.53554434 | 6.601217E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067988667 | 0.0036 | 0.5295 | 0.0077920677 | 0.001 | 0.03292141 | 0.06773481 | 0.0414 | 0.6112072 | 0.07314195 | 0.0058 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.41648E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.41648E-5 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.0350104E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.24783084 | 4.0350104E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025743195 | 0.004901569 | 0.0027 | 0.5508441 | 0.0055981376 | 7.0E-4 | 0.025447013 | 0.049268033 | 0.0297 | 0.6028249 | 0.052880816 | 0.0038 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2675383E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2675383E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2573212E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.44300297 | 2.2573212E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027448265 | 0.0015 | 0.5464826 | 0.0032434543 | 5.0E-4 | 0.017302496 | 0.02814403 | 0.0151 | 0.53652585 | 0.030184928 | 0.0021 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9390976E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9390976E-5 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.3101535E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3101535E-5 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0010112922 | 9.0E-4 | 0.88995045 | 0.0014108877 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009919235 | 0.010864996 | 0.0059 | 0.54302824 | 0.011755218 | 9.0E-4 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.556491E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.556491E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3813316E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3813316E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8988862E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6899201 | 3.8985963E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032934055 | 0.0021 | 0.63763785 | 0.0035924173 | 3.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7958124E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41703048 | 4.7958124E-4 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5950744E-4 | 3.0760947E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.65017503 | 4.0757871E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.834242E-4 | 0.0013174375 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6072394 | 0.0017169105 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00828899 | 0.015882393 | 0.0116 | 0.7303685 | 0.018342689 | 0.0025 | 0.079865426 | 0.14459078 | 0.0962 | 0.665326 | 0.1536581 | 0.0106 |
6.1 | 1.3584697E-4 | 2.6080987E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7668421 | 3.607838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.8207137E-4 | 0.0011170802 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6266336 | 0.0015166334 | 4.0E-4 | 0.007063716 | 0.01348409 | 0.0101 | 0.7490309 | 0.015851729 | 0.0024 | 0.06843361 | 0.12421229 | 0.08 | 0.64405864 | 0.1324447 | 0.0094 |
6.2 | 1.14676266E-4 | 2.1758015E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.45960078 | 3.1755838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.9137714E-4 | 9.320308E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.53646296 | 0.0012317512 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0059661185 | 0.011266685 | 0.0084 | 0.7455609 | 0.012947532 | 0.0017 | 0.058084648 | 0.105198115 | 0.0693 | 0.65875703 | 0.112803936 | 0.0085 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.6027386E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.62393206 | 2.6025783E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.866655E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7281566 | 9.864594E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004525038 | 0.008321448 | 0.0065 | 0.78111404 | 0.009709798 | 0.0014 | 0.044339992 | 0.07950868 | 0.0548 | 0.68923295 | 0.08595212 | 0.007 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5733573E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6355836 | 2.5732E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.7408E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.74175173 | 9.738778E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0044306475 | 0.008169375 | 0.0063 | 0.7711728 | 0.009557938 | 0.0014 | 0.04343345 | 0.07811418 | 0.0542 | 0.69385606 | 0.08456738 | 0.007 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.5557886E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6427608 | 2.555633E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.6655455E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7501261 | 9.663546E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004376863 | 0.00807853 | 0.0063 | 0.7798448 | 0.00946722 | 0.0014 | 0.042916555 | 0.07728505 | 0.0538 | 0.6961243 | 0.08374406 | 0.007 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.5193419E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6581797 | 2.51919E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.5094314E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7681163 | 9.507478E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0042669317 | 0.007890229 | 0.0063 | 0.79845583 | 0.009279183 | 0.0014 | 0.04185927 | 0.075569764 | 0.0527 | 0.69736886 | 0.08204077 | 0.007 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.4861091E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6728981 | 2.4859604E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.3671E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.78528684 | 9.36519E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004172157 | 0.0077186045 | 0.0063 | 0.81620973 | 0.009107798 | 0.0014 | 0.040946912 | 0.07401117 | 0.0515 | 0.6958409 | 0.0802153 | 0.0067 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.2917971E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7741154 | 2.2916679E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.5349024E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.72268665 | 8.533242E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0037082357 | 0.006714693 | 0.0052 | 0.7744211 | 0.007707978 | 0.001 | 0.036469642 | 0.0648465 | 0.044 | 0.67852545 | 0.07027039 | 0.0058 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 9.950832E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.950832E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.263949E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.70357317 | 6.263096E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0029876942 | 0.005179076 | 0.0043 | 0.830264 | 0.0060744146 | 9.0E-4 | 0.02947844 | 0.05065746 | 0.0345 | 0.6810448 | 0.055309236 | 0.0049 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.3129664E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3129664E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.562217E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8421722 | 5.5615045E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025403565 | 0.0043284413 | 0.0034 | 0.7855022 | 0.0049258443 | 6.0E-4 | 0.025115121 | 0.0426182 | 0.0285 | 0.66872835 | 0.04673494 | 0.0043 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.289944E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.289944E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.123891E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6402272 | 4.1235785E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002241108 | 0.0037967649 | 0.0029 | 0.76380813 | 0.0042948667 | 5.0E-4 | 0.022186412 | 0.037542686 | 0.0249 | 0.6632451 | 0.041296266 | 0.0039 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.4140484E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4140484E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.3201016E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.43101558 | 3.3198696E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016794393 | 0.002821093 | 0.002 | 0.70894504 | 0.0031202468 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016668037 | 0.028149115 | 0.0182 | 0.64655674 | 0.030675927 | 0.0026 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 3.967672E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.967672E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.700321E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.700321E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0020681927 | 0.0015 | 0.7252709 | 0.002267779 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012319452 | 0.020743199 | 0.0147 | 0.708666 | 0.022995489 | 0.0023 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.7460766E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7460766E-5 | 0.0 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.176837E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.176837E-4 | 0.0 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.0014318599 | 9.0E-4 | 0.62855315 | 0.0014318599 | 0.0 | 0.008312687 | 0.014434196 | 0.0098 | 0.6789433 | 0.015912544 | 0.0015 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.4897881E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4897881E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9202768E-5 | 1.06700856E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.06700856E-4 | 0.0 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.0012983112 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6161851 | 0.0012983112 | 0.0 | 0.007182234 | 0.013111295 | 0.0089 | 0.67880404 | 0.014295562 | 0.0012 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.6525357E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6525357E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 7.082104E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.082104E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 8.619064E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6961313 | 8.619064E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004590199 | 0.008766015 | 0.006 | 0.68446153 | 0.009658125 | 9.0E-4 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 7.771598E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.771598E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 3.330642E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.330642E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 4.054303E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.24665152 | 4.054303E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021033096 | 0.0041968403 | 0.0027 | 0.6433411 | 0.0045951614 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 6.8434024E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8434024E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 2.9328537E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9328537E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 3.5701648E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2800991 | 3.5701648E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0036940854 | 0.0025 | 0.6767575 | 0.0040926076 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 5.320734E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.320734E-6 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 2.2802946E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2802946E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 2.7759056E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.36024278 | 2.7759056E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0028550655 | 0.0019 | 0.66548383 | 0.0031542091 | 3.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 3.3135784E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3135784E-6 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 1.4200973E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4200973E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.7288317E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5784253 | 1.7288317E-4 | 0.0 | 7.944594E-4 | 0.001768572 | 0.001 | 0.5654279 | 0.0019682182 | 2.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 2.0612201E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0612201E-6 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 8.833771E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.833771E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 1.07545886E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.07545886E-4 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 0.0011006707 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4542685 | 0.0011006707 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.296105E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.296105E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.698077E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1119031 | 4.6975375E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032804073 | 0.0044 | 1.3412969 | 0.006071222 | 0.0028 | 0.023254504 | 0.032389753 | 0.0319 | 0.9848794 | 0.04109825 | 0.009 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.296105E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.296105E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.698077E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1119031 | 4.6975375E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032804073 | 0.0044 | 1.3412969 | 0.006071222 | 0.0028 | 0.023254504 | 0.032389753 | 0.0319 | 0.9848794 | 0.04109825 | 0.009 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4555844E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4555844E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4808825E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.350546 | 2.4807343E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018015165 | 0.0031 | 1.7207725 | 0.0037979134 | 0.002 | 0.01382215 | 0.017877525 | 0.0196 | 1.0963486 | 0.024064897 | 0.0063 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4555844E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4555844E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4808825E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.350546 | 2.4807343E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018015165 | 0.0031 | 1.7207725 | 0.0037979134 | 0.002 | 0.01382215 | 0.017877525 | 0.0196 | 1.0963486 | 0.024064897 | 0.0063 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2383756E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2383756E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.387803E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4411266 | 2.3876643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016883702 | 0.0031 | 1.8360902 | 0.0036849934 | 0.002 | 0.013121112 | 0.016777126 | 0.0189 | 1.1265337 | 0.02297143 | 0.0063 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2383756E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2383756E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.387803E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4411266 | 2.3876643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016883702 | 0.0031 | 1.8360902 | 0.0036849934 | 0.002 | 0.013121112 | 0.016777126 | 0.0189 | 1.1265337 | 0.02297143 | 0.0063 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8175751E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8175751E-5 | 0.0 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2074777E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6563454 | 2.2073569E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014691362 | 0.0029 | 1.973949 | 0.003466198 | 0.002 | 0.011653901 | 0.014647279 | 0.0177 | 1.2084156 | 0.020756466 | 0.0062 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7845343E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7845343E-5 | 0.0 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1933186E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6759983 | 2.1931992E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014519206 | 0.0029 | 1.9973544 | 0.0034490167 | 0.002 | 0.011538187 | 0.014476575 | 0.0176 | 1.2157573 | 0.02058682 | 0.0062 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3937433E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3937433E-5 | 0.0 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0258508E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9496013 | 2.0257483E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012482774 | 0.0028 | 2.243091 | 0.0031459057 | 0.0019 | 0.010138147 | 0.012458789 | 0.0151 | 1.2119958 | 0.017692758 | 0.0053 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5232145E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5232145E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.527902E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.0637715 | 1.6527249E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.94488E-4 | 0.0023 | 2.894946 | 0.0024931373 | 0.0017 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007956831 | 0.0115 | 1.445299 | 0.012619434 | 0.0047 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3139821E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3139821E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6312332E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.55162 | 1.563067E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.85392E-4 | 0.0022 | 3.209842 | 0.0022842954 | 0.0016 | 0.0061178906 | 0.0068728584 | 0.0103 | 1.4986486 | 0.01134193 | 0.0045 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0933761E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0933761E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.6858153E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.2682004 | 1.4685348E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.703522E-4 | 0.0019 | 3.331275 | 0.0019695538 | 0.0014 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057287435 | 0.0084 | 1.4662901 | 0.009904683 | 0.0042 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.05294075E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.05294075E-5 | 0.0 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.512527E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.4321065 | 1.4512076E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.492652E-4 | 0.0018 | 3.2771056 | 0.0018485511 | 0.0013 | 0.0050842804 | 0.00551905 | 0.0083 | 1.5038819 | 0.009596422 | 0.0041 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.974474E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.974474E-6 | 0.0 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.2747062E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.6786838 | 1.4274279E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.203247E-4 | 0.0016 | 3.0750031 | 0.0017197003 | 0.0012 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052304063 | 0.0078 | 1.49128 | 0.009209485 | 0.004 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.520048E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.520048E-6 | 0.0 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.0799587E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0799587E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.966251E-4 | 0.0014 | 2.819028 | 0.0015960789 | 0.0011 | 0.004697283 | 0.004993465 | 0.0068 | 1.3617799 | 0.008475987 | 0.0035 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.1136983E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1136983E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0486926E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0486926E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.7111586E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.8862034 | 7.709674E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037377218 | 0.0042 | 1.123679 | 0.005530994 | 0.0018 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.983964E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.983964E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.564531E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.564531E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1218716E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.6016034 | 6.120935E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031483527 | 0.0034 | 1.0799298 | 0.0043445746 | 0.0012 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.78061E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.78061E-6 | 0.0 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0488169E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0488169E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.4941502E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2028145 | 3.493901E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025213067 | 0.0026 | 1.0312114 | 0.0033192895 | 8.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.999366E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.999366E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.714003E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.714003E-5 | 0.0 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0865994E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.95849735 | 3.0863908E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021118945 | 0.0021 | 0.9943679 | 0.0027106274 | 6.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.3901902E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3901902E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4529306E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4529306E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7688E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.565355 | 2.7686232E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017901983 | 0.0017 | 0.9496155 | 0.002189482 | 4.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6815027E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6815027E-6 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.2064204E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2064204E-6 | 0.0 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.773467E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.773467E-5 | 0.0 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.8768784E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6759133 | 9.875991E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1632464E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1632464E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3556764E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3556764E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6505252E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6505252E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6705292E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6705292E-4 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9413783E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.01993 | 2.9413783E-4 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012600974 | 7.0E-4 | 0.55551267 | 0.0013599714 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.015255148 | 0.0074 | 0.48508218 | 0.016535316 | 0.0013 | 0.081081145 | 0.1397831 | 0.0879 | 0.6288314 | 0.14709495 | 0.0085 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9413783E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.01993 | 2.9413783E-4 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012600974 | 7.0E-4 | 0.55551267 | 0.0013599714 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.015255148 | 0.0074 | 0.48508218 | 0.016535316 | 0.0013 | 0.081081145 | 0.1397831 | 0.0879 | 0.6288314 | 0.14709495 | 0.0085 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9413783E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.01993 | 2.9413783E-4 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012600974 | 7.0E-4 | 0.55551267 | 0.0013599714 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.015255148 | 0.0074 | 0.48508218 | 0.016535316 | 0.0013 | 0.081081145 | 0.1397831 | 0.0879 | 0.6288314 | 0.14709495 | 0.0085 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7736538E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1276157 | 1.7736538E-4 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.600331E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.52629286 | 7.600331E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009234924 | 0.0045 | 0.4872807 | 0.009829382 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08721416 | 0.0582 | 0.6673229 | 0.091504246 | 0.0047 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7736538E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1276157 | 1.7736538E-4 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.600331E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.52629286 | 7.600331E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009234924 | 0.0045 | 0.4872807 | 0.009829382 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08721416 | 0.0582 | 0.6673229 | 0.091504246 | 0.0047 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.642713E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.642713E-5 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9896026E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.50261295 | 1.9896026E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.002420011 | 0.0013 | 0.53718764 | 0.0025197691 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01892915 | 0.023714775 | 0.0158 | 0.6662513 | 0.024983946 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6173879E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6173879E-5 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.121692E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.121692E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.001364849 | 4.0E-4 | 0.29307273 | 0.0014647125 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012986525 | 0.01358036 | 0.0095 | 0.6995396 | 0.014369496 | 8.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2089875E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2089875E-5 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.466766E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.466766E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011520057 | 4.0E-4 | 0.34722048 | 0.0012518906 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011511663 | 0.011476746 | 0.008 | 0.6970617 | 0.012267564 | 8.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.444831E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.444831E-5 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.191989E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.191989E-5 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.5361907E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.39807913 | 8.535437E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075156586 | 0.0054 | 0.7184999 | 0.008210398 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2341207E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2341207E-5 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.288983E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.288983E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.437466E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.31068125 | 7.436822E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007818509 | 0.0064228065 | 0.0049 | 0.7629064 | 0.007118311 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1459975E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1459975E-5 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.911327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.911327E-5 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.9779297E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.334564 | 6.9773314E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059656966 | 0.0045 | 0.7543126 | 0.006661521 | 7.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0252637E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0252637E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.3939148E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3939148E-5 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.348304E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18697518 | 5.348304E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.005338733 | 0.0041 | 0.76797247 | 0.0059355297 | 6.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.511494E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.511494E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.647733E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.647733E-5 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.440227E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.22521372 | 4.440227E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.004432828 | 0.0037 | 0.8346815 | 0.0050301687 | 6.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.244207E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.244207E-6 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1046242E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1046242E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.7792386E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.26460356 | 3.7792386E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.0037731843 | 0.0029 | 0.76858157 | 0.0040720524 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.35729E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.35729E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7245253E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7245253E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.316618E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.30151194 | 3.316618E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033118185 | 0.0026 | 0.7850672 | 0.003610825 | 3.0E-4 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.2296386E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2296386E-6 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2412552E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2412552E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.728399E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3665153 | 2.728399E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027251744 | 0.0022 | 0.80728775 | 0.003024357 | 3.0E-4 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.691215E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.691215E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0105059E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0105059E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4475277E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.40857556 | 2.4475277E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024449485 | 0.002 | 0.81801313 | 0.002744215 | 3.0E-4 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3314672E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3314672E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.991968E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.991968E-6 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2164616E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.82205635 | 1.2164616E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012158689 | 9.0E-4 | 0.74021137 | 0.0014156257 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.391798E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.391798E-8 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0250558E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0250558E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.900498E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.900498E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9004226E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9004226E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4416097E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4416097E-9 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4749755E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4749755E-8 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7957827E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7957827E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7957813E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7957813E-6 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0082467E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6648391 | 3.0082467E-4 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012886378 | 5.0E-4 | 0.38800666 | 0.0013885088 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015581272 | 0.0073 | 0.46851116 | 0.016959459 | 0.0014 | 0.06234337 | 0.14299095 | 0.0851 | 0.59514254 | 0.15130393 | 0.0097 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0082467E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6648391 | 3.0082467E-4 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012886378 | 5.0E-4 | 0.38800666 | 0.0013885088 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015581272 | 0.0073 | 0.46851116 | 0.016959459 | 0.0014 | 0.06234337 | 0.14299095 | 0.0851 | 0.59514254 | 0.15130393 | 0.0097 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0082467E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6648391 | 3.0082467E-4 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012886378 | 5.0E-4 | 0.38800666 | 0.0013885088 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015581272 | 0.0073 | 0.46851116 | 0.016959459 | 0.0014 | 0.06234337 | 0.14299095 | 0.0851 | 0.59514254 | 0.15130393 | 0.0097 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8869888E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6927633 | 2.8869888E-4 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.00123672 | 5.0E-4 | 0.40429524 | 0.0013365963 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.01495797 | 0.0069 | 0.46129254 | 0.016140021 | 0.0012 | 0.059286322 | 0.13770095 | 0.0816 | 0.59258854 | 0.14580655 | 0.0094 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8869888E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6927633 | 2.8869888E-4 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.00123672 | 5.0E-4 | 0.40429524 | 0.0013365963 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.01495797 | 0.0069 | 0.46129254 | 0.016140021 | 0.0012 | 0.059286322 | 0.13770095 | 0.0816 | 0.59258854 | 0.14580655 | 0.0094 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6881436E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7440079 | 2.6881436E-4 | 0.0 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011515777 | 5.0E-4 | 0.43418697 | 0.0012514625 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013934957 | 0.0065 | 0.46645284 | 0.015118235 | 0.0012 | 0.05425003 | 0.12893686 | 0.0761 | 0.5902114 | 0.13677643 | 0.009 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5124868E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7960241 | 2.5124868E-4 | 0.0 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010763594 | 5.0E-4 | 0.46452886 | 0.0011762517 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.013030311 | 0.0063 | 0.48348808 | 0.014214675 | 0.0012 | 0.049677886 | 0.12111014 | 0.072 | 0.5945002 | 0.12866859 | 0.0086 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3194493E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.86227363 | 2.3194493E-4 | 0.0 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.936934E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.301904 | 0.001093594 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.012035202 | 0.0057 | 0.47361064 | 0.0131219635 | 0.0011 | 0.04466656 | 0.11238879 | 0.0658 | 0.58546764 | 0.11975597 | 0.0083 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.275381E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.87897366 | 2.275381E-4 | 0.0 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7482116E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.30774876 | 0.0010747237 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.011807939 | 0.0057 | 0.48272607 | 0.01289495 | 0.0011 | 0.043698758 | 0.110401616 | 0.0648 | 0.5869479 | 0.11778528 | 0.0083 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7131255E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7131255E-4 | 0.0 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.339909E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.339909E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008899932 | 0.0041 | 0.46067768 | 0.009891032 | 0.001 | 0.031450346 | 0.084462956 | 0.0482 | 0.5706644 | 0.09105482 | 0.0072 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6559623E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6559623E-4 | 0.0 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.0950587E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0950587E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008604216 | 0.004 | 0.46488833 | 0.009595612 | 0.001 | 0.03011414 | 0.081774235 | 0.047 | 0.57475317 | 0.08829364 | 0.0071 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.597752E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.597752E-4 | 0.0 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.845719E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.845719E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008302994 | 0.0038 | 0.45766622 | 0.009096351 | 8.0E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.07907929 | 0.0448 | 0.56652 | 0.08543365 | 0.0069 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4582457E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582457E-4 | 0.0 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.248131E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.248131E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002601025 | 0.00758067 | 0.0032 | 0.42212626 | 0.008275364 | 7.0E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.0725232 | 0.0411 | 0.56671524 | 0.078737296 | 0.0067 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3775252E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3775252E-4 | 0.0 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.902347E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.902347E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024707897 | 0.007162516 | 0.003 | 0.41884723 | 0.007857502 | 7.0E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.06879923 | 0.0387 | 0.5625063 | 0.074572675 | 0.0062 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3182103E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3182103E-4 | 0.0 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.6482526E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6482526E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002374317 | 0.006855144 | 0.0028 | 0.4084524 | 0.0074510314 | 6.0E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.06604976 | 0.0374 | 0.5662397 | 0.07165346 | 0.006 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2416183E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2416183E-4 | 0.0 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.3201395E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3201395E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022456115 | 0.0064581046 | 0.0026 | 0.4025949 | 0.0070542297 | 6.0E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.062446047 | 0.0351 | 0.5620852 | 0.067977615 | 0.0059 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.8896766E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.8896766E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.2377453E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2377453E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005147275 | 0.002 | 0.38855508 | 0.0057441867 | 6.0E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.050259825 | 0.0289 | 0.5750119 | 0.055008527 | 0.005 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.299581E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.299581E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5564785E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5564785E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004321425 | 0.0016 | 0.37024823 | 0.004819264 | 5.0E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.04249885 | 0.0248 | 0.5835452 | 0.046424605 | 0.0041 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.5106866E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5106866E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.218469E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.218469E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0039114514 | 0.0016 | 0.4090553 | 0.0044094957 | 5.0E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.038650244 | 0.023 | 0.5950803 | 0.042399507 | 0.0039 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.8276586E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8276586E-5 | 0.0 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.497329E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.497329E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011196428 | 0.003036262 | 0.0014 | 0.46109328 | 0.003534744 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030332224 | 0.0175 | 0.5769442 | 0.033047292 | 0.0028 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.154216E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.154216E-5 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3517369E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3517369E-4 | 0.0 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016444982 | 7.0E-4 | 0.42566174 | 0.0019440049 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0064597935 | 0.016626941 | 0.0087 | 0.5232472 | 0.018200338 | 0.0016 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.90596E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.90596E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.3882246E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3882246E-5 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.124384E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4849209 | 6.1235594E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002563781 | 0.0044266796 | 0.0023 | 0.51957685 | 0.0047253515 | 3.0E-4 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.945407E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.945407E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2623112E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623112E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.536756E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.65072143 | 2.5366023E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013366934 | 0.001725381 | 0.0011 | 0.63754034 | 0.001925036 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.260484E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.260484E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3973496E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3973496E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.7012611E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7012611E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.0163773E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49593896 | 2.0163773E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3446787E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42649767 | 2.3446787E-4 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010044711 | 2.0E-4 | 0.19910976 | 0.0010044711 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121607585 | 0.0051 | 0.41938174 | 0.01344495 | 0.0013 | 0.042463828 | 0.11284175 | 0.0626 | 0.5547592 | 0.12144718 | 0.0097 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3446787E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42649767 | 2.3446787E-4 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010044711 | 2.0E-4 | 0.19910976 | 0.0010044711 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121607585 | 0.0051 | 0.41938174 | 0.01344495 | 0.0013 | 0.042463828 | 0.11284175 | 0.0626 | 0.5547592 | 0.12144718 | 0.0097 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3446787E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42649767 | 2.3446787E-4 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010044711 | 2.0E-4 | 0.19910976 | 0.0010044711 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121607585 | 0.0051 | 0.41938174 | 0.01344495 | 0.0013 | 0.042463828 | 0.11284175 | 0.0626 | 0.5547592 | 0.12144718 | 0.0097 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3446787E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42649767 | 2.3446787E-4 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010044711 | 2.0E-4 | 0.19910976 | 0.0010044711 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121607585 | 0.0051 | 0.41938174 | 0.01344495 | 0.0013 | 0.042463828 | 0.11284175 | 0.0626 | 0.5547592 | 0.12144718 | 0.0097 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3003898E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.43470895 | 2.3003898E-4 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.855103E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.20294054 | 9.855103E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0041964394 | 0.01193278 | 0.005 | 0.41901383 | 0.013217268 | 0.0013 | 0.041180745 | 0.1108219 | 0.0617 | 0.55674917 | 0.119446926 | 0.0097 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3003898E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.43470895 | 2.3003898E-4 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.855103E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.20294054 | 9.855103E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0041964394 | 0.01193278 | 0.005 | 0.41901383 | 0.013217268 | 0.0013 | 0.041180745 | 0.1108219 | 0.0617 | 0.55674917 | 0.119446926 | 0.0097 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2247908E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.44948044 | 2.2247908E-4 | 0.0 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.5313566E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.20983371 | 9.5313566E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011543231 | 0.0049 | 0.42449117 | 0.012828225 | 0.0013 | 0.03897764 | 0.107357204 | 0.0599 | 0.55795044 | 0.11592657 | 0.0096 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1923587E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.45612973 | 2.1923587E-4 | 0.0 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.392462E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.21293671 | 9.392462E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011375901 | 0.0049 | 0.43073508 | 0.0126611125 | 0.0013 | 0.038081564 | 0.10586553 | 0.0587 | 0.554477 | 0.1143598 | 0.0095 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1770672E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.45933354 | 2.1770672E-4 | 0.0 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.3269744E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2144318 | 9.3269744E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0038401815 | 0.0112970015 | 0.0049 | 0.4337434 | 0.012582316 | 0.0013 | 0.03774495 | 0.10516696 | 0.0584 | 0.5553075 | 0.11366787 | 0.0095 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1539546E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.46426237 | 2.1539546E-4 | 0.0 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.2279905E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.21673192 | 9.2279905E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003789323 | 0.011177732 | 0.0048 | 0.42942524 | 0.012364319 | 0.0012 | 0.037253562 | 0.104114644 | 0.0575 | 0.55227584 | 0.11235679 | 0.0092 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1123323E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47341037 | 2.1123323E-4 | 0.0 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.049734E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.22100097 | 9.049734E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003699303 | 0.010962906 | 0.0048 | 0.4378401 | 0.012149751 | 0.0012 | 0.03638325 | 0.10221591 | 0.0562 | 0.54981655 | 0.110295966 | 0.009 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0958843E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47712556 | 2.0958843E-4 | 0.0 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.979292E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.22273472 | 8.979292E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010878003 | 0.0047 | 0.4320646 | 0.01206495 | 0.0012 | 0.036010686 | 0.101458676 | 0.0553 | 0.5450495 | 0.109545544 | 0.009 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0566412E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4862297 | 2.0566412E-4 | 0.0 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.8112213E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.11349164 | 8.8112213E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003567883 | 0.010675399 | 0.0046 | 0.43089727 | 0.011862588 | 0.0012 | 0.035111405 | 0.099649936 | 0.0545 | 0.5469146 | 0.10766305 | 0.0089 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9792905E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5052315 | 1.9792905E-4 | 0.0 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.479938E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.11792539 | 8.479938E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010275934 | 0.0046 | 0.44764787 | 0.011463603 | 0.0012 | 0.033966612 | 0.096143775 | 0.053 | 0.5512577 | 0.103916936 | 0.0086 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4741668E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4741668E-4 | 0.0 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.316337E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.316337E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002660276 | 0.007663218 | 0.0035 | 0.45672718 | 0.00825862 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.07309142 | 0.0412 | 0.56367767 | 0.0793017 | 0.0067 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1175581E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1175581E-4 | 0.0 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7886587E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7886587E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0058146766 | 0.0023 | 0.3955508 | 0.006311769 | 5.0E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.056211848 | 0.0303 | 0.5390323 | 0.06083641 | 0.0049 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.535378E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.535378E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6575075E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6575075E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044439486 | 0.0018 | 0.40504518 | 0.004941727 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043375034 | 0.0237 | 0.54639727 | 0.047201537 | 0.004 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.38885E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.38885E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.7377915E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7377915E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011022091 | 0.003328172 | 0.0012 | 0.3605583 | 0.0037268407 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.032745402 | 0.0181 | 0.55274934 | 0.035647165 | 0.003 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.5969944E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5969944E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3984915E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3984915E-4 | 0.0 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0029162562 | 0.0012 | 0.41148648 | 0.0033150897 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028845167 | 0.0163 | 0.565086 | 0.0315644 | 0.0028 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.1929838E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1929838E-5 | 0.0 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7968693E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7968693E-4 | 0.0 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021854949 | 0.001 | 0.45756227 | 0.0025846206 | 4.0E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.02188459 | 0.0119 | 0.5437616 | 0.023743011 | 0.0019 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.017959E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.017959E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.293347E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.293347E-4 | 0.0 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015735136 | 7.0E-4 | 0.4448643 | 0.0018730415 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005933798 | 0.0158686 | 0.0081 | 0.51044196 | 0.017246386 | 0.0014 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.4451445E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4451445E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.1907373E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1907373E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.8840316E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5149289 | 5.883255E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0022677942 | 0.004154491 | 0.0021 | 0.50547713 | 0.004453244 | 3.0E-4 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.768347E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.768347E-6 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.186429E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.186429E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.444382E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6923376 | 2.4442378E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0016165785 | 9.0E-4 | 0.55673134 | 0.0018162553 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.2106607E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2106607E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.3759968E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3759968E-6 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6752645E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6752645E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.9852648E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5037111 | 1.9852648E-4 | 0.0 |
West Napa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.773104E-5 | 4.4546552E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4546552E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6169442E-4 | 1.9090163E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9090163E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001966852 | 0.0023220673 | 0.0027 | 1.1627569 | 0.003419513 | 0.0011 | 0.019495348 | 0.023011751 | 0.0253 | 1.0994383 | 0.03151155 | 0.0087 |
6.1 | 3.773104E-5 | 4.4546552E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4546552E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6169442E-4 | 1.9090163E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9090163E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001966852 | 0.0023220673 | 0.0027 | 1.1627569 | 0.003419513 | 0.0011 | 0.019495348 | 0.023011751 | 0.0253 | 1.0994383 | 0.03151155 | 0.0087 |
6.2 | 3.773104E-5 | 4.4546552E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4546552E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6169442E-4 | 1.9090163E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9090163E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001966852 | 0.0023220673 | 0.0027 | 1.1627569 | 0.003419513 | 0.0011 | 0.019495348 | 0.023011751 | 0.0253 | 1.0994383 | 0.03151155 | 0.0087 |
6.3 | 2.147964E-5 | 2.4996978E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4996978E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2052345E-5 | 1.0712603E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0712603E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001120161 | 0.0013035708 | 0.0017 | 1.3041103 | 0.0020026583 | 7.0E-4 | 0.011145315 | 0.01297012 | 0.0153 | 1.1796345 | 0.017707862 | 0.0048 |
6.4 | 2.147964E-5 | 2.4996978E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4996978E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2052345E-5 | 1.0712603E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0712603E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001120161 | 0.0013035708 | 0.0017 | 1.3041103 | 0.0020026583 | 7.0E-4 | 0.011145315 | 0.01297012 | 0.0153 | 1.1796345 | 0.017707862 | 0.0048 |
6.5 | 1.688201E-5 | 1.9555233E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9555233E-5 | 0.0 | 7.234947E-5 | 8.380586E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.380586E-5 | 0.0 | 8.804988E-4 | 0.0010199315 | 0.0013 | 1.2745954 | 0.0014195235 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008770182 | 0.010161432 | 0.0116 | 1.1415714 | 0.013823835 | 0.0037 |
6.6 | 1.6846381E-5 | 1.9514915E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9514915E-5 | 0.0 | 7.219678E-5 | 8.363308E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.363308E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7864127E-4 | 0.0010178299 | 0.0013 | 1.2772272 | 0.0014174228 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008751754 | 0.010140608 | 0.0115 | 1.1340543 | 0.013704102 | 0.0036 |
6.7 | 1.3396501E-5 | 1.5474114E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5474114E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7412315E-5 | 6.63163E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.63163E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9877075E-4 | 8.0716546E-4 | 0.0012 | 1.4866841 | 0.0011069233 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0069657755 | 0.00805032 | 0.0089 | 1.1055461 | 0.010430999 | 0.0024 |
6.8 | 1.0139058E-5 | 1.1677316E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1677316E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3452383E-5 | 5.0044997E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0044997E-5 | 0.0 | 5.289043E-4 | 6.0918304E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.3132342 | 9.090003E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005276473 | 0.0060823103 | 0.0064 | 1.0522318 | 0.007970754 | 0.0019 |
6.9 | 7.761281E-6 | 8.894887E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.894887E-6 | 0.0 | 3.326221E-5 | 3.8120677E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8120677E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0489217E-4 | 4.6407184E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0774194 | 6.6397904E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0040415525 | 0.0046377988 | 0.0043 | 0.927164 | 0.0059317695 | 0.0013 |
7.0 | 2.2109202E-6 | 2.3684383E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3684383E-6 | 0.0 | 9.475338E-6 | 1.015041E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.015041E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1535613E-4 | 1.2357433E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8092296 | 1.2357433E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011529627 | 0.0012367964 | 9.0E-4 | 0.72768646 | 0.0012367964 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9008926E-6 | 2.0150253E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0150253E-6 | 0.0 | 8.146657E-6 | 8.635794E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.635794E-6 | 0.0 | 9.918104E-5 | 1.05135754E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.95115125 | 1.05135754E-4 | 0.0 | 9.913679E-4 | 0.0010525954 | 8.0E-4 | 0.76002604 | 0.0010525954 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.8495944E-6 | 1.9578185E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9578185E-6 | 0.0 | 7.926808E-6 | 8.390624E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.390624E-6 | 0.0 | 9.650462E-5 | 1.0215108E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.97894216 | 1.0215108E-4 | 0.0 | 9.6462725E-4 | 0.0010227767 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7821844 | 0.0010227767 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7883189E-6 | 1.8897636E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8897636E-6 | 0.0 | 7.664201E-6 | 8.098961E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.098961E-6 | 0.0 | 9.330765E-5 | 9.8600416E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0141945 | 9.8600416E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3268487E-4 | 9.873025E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.81028867 | 9.873025E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6520572E-6 | 1.7430917E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7430917E-6 | 0.0 | 7.0802257E-6 | 7.470372E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.470372E-6 | 0.0 | 8.6198335E-5 | 9.094801E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0995293 | 9.094801E-5 | 0.0 | 8.616491E-4 | 9.10844E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.87830627 | 9.10844E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4040345E-6 | 1.4814387E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4814387E-6 | 0.0 | 6.0172765E-6 | 6.349008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.349008E-6 | 0.0 | 7.325788E-5 | 7.7296456E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7296456E-5 | 0.0 | 7.3233736E-4 | 7.7439373E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.77479964 | 7.7439373E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3013842E-7 | 1.4482065E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4482065E-7 | 0.0 | 5.57736E-7 | 6.2065976E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2065976E-7 | 0.0 | 6.790414E-6 | 7.5565063E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5565063E-6 | 0.0 | 6.790207E-5 | 7.648976E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3073645 | 7.648976E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.541512E-8 | 9.776703E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.776703E-8 | 0.0 | 3.6606474E-7 | 4.1900148E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1900148E-7 | 0.0 | 4.456829E-6 | 5.101331E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.101331E-6 | 0.0 | 4.4567398E-5 | 5.191429E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9262519 | 5.191429E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.6074793E-8 | 6.945413E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.945413E-8 | 0.0 | 2.403205E-7 | 2.976605E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.976605E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9258983E-6 | 3.6240108E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6240108E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9258597E-5 | 3.7071426E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6974955 | 3.7071426E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9475839E-8 | 3.886336E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.886336E-8 | 0.0 | 1.2632502E-7 | 1.6655724E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6655724E-7 | 0.0 | 1.538006E-6 | 2.0278326E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278326E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5379954E-5 | 2.081834E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.803457 | 2.081834E-5 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3337122E-8 | 2.1804896E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1804896E-8 | 0.0 | 5.7159088E-8 | 9.344955E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.344955E-8 | 0.0 | 6.959117E-7 | 1.1377477E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1377477E-6 | 0.0 | 6.959095E-6 | 1.173291E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.523035 | 1.173291E-5 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6589986E-10 | 4.898225E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.898225E-10 | 0.0 | 1.1395708E-9 | 2.0992401E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0992401E-9 | 0.0 | 1.3874274E-8 | 2.5558252E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5558252E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3874273E-7 | 2.6223145E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6223145E-7 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1863181E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1863181E-5 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.369649E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1345515 | 1.9368713E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011402488 | 0.0019 | 1.666303 | 0.0022389945 | 0.0011 | 0.010326075 | 0.011353001 | 0.0156 | 1.374086 | 0.019855365 | 0.0086 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1863181E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1863181E-5 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.369649E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1345515 | 1.9368713E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011402488 | 0.0019 | 1.666303 | 0.0022389945 | 0.0011 | 0.010326075 | 0.011353001 | 0.0156 | 1.374086 | 0.019855365 | 0.0086 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1863181E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1863181E-5 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.369649E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1345515 | 1.9368713E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011402488 | 0.0019 | 1.666303 | 0.0022389945 | 0.0011 | 0.010326075 | 0.011353001 | 0.0156 | 1.374086 | 0.019855365 | 0.0086 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2178974E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2178974E-5 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2194737E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.831804 | 1.5218952E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.353172E-4 | 0.0012 | 1.8888204 | 0.0013348724 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063381162 | 0.0086 | 1.35687 | 0.010710228 | 0.0044 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2178974E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2178974E-5 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2194737E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.831804 | 1.5218952E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.353172E-4 | 0.0012 | 1.8888204 | 0.0013348724 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063381162 | 0.0086 | 1.35687 | 0.010710228 | 0.0044 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.673303E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.673303E-6 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8599625E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4965494 | 2.8599625E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4815737E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1489058 | 4.4812256E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034773538 | 0.0041 | 1.1790575 | 0.005370747 | 0.0019 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3668954E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3668954E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7286478E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6648188 | 2.7286478E-5 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3217468E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2041857 | 4.3214147E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033180043 | 0.004 | 1.205544 | 0.0052117 | 0.0019 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3415956E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3415956E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2892418E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3682585 | 2.2892418E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7869132E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4352797 | 3.7866345E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027845742 | 0.0036 | 1.2928368 | 0.004380119 | 0.0016 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9402698E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9402698E-6 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.315425E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.025844 | 8.315425E-6 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.0123717E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.975559 | 2.0122704E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010120652 | 0.0017 | 1.6797338 | 0.0016114579 | 6.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.298794E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.298794E-7 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5566231E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5566231E-6 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3301363E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3301363E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.329622E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.1548352 | 5.329189E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.543365E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.543365E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2328687E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2328687E-6 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9359795E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9359795E-5 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9356074E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.2704519 | 4.935214E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1270982E-4 | 2.004287E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.004287E-4 | 0.0 | 4.8295266E-4 | 8.5867115E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5822951 | 8.5867115E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0058641075 | 0.010394164 | 0.0082 | 0.7889042 | 0.011779613 | 0.0014 | 0.057117578 | 0.09810744 | 0.0868 | 0.8847443 | 0.10478145 | 0.0074 |
6.1 | 1.1239393E-4 | 1.9990969E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9990969E-4 | 0.0 | 4.8159933E-4 | 8.564483E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4670451 | 8.564483E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0058477195 | 0.010367386 | 0.007 | 0.6751943 | 0.011554945 | 0.0012 | 0.056962132 | 0.09786574 | 0.0736 | 0.7520507 | 0.104000255 | 0.0068 |
6.2 | 7.596265E-5 | 1.2944567E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944567E-4 | 0.0 | 3.2551357E-4 | 5.5461493E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.36061054 | 5.5461493E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039559277 | 0.006726943 | 0.0045 | 0.6689517 | 0.0076208888 | 9.0E-4 | 0.038862433 | 0.06464084 | 0.0468 | 0.72400045 | 0.06978532 | 0.0055 |
6.3 | 6.78794E-5 | 1.14578215E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.14578215E-4 | 0.0 | 2.9087928E-4 | 4.9093936E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4073823 | 4.9093936E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003535705 | 0.0059576654 | 0.0042 | 0.7049741 | 0.0068523036 | 9.0E-4 | 0.034799766 | 0.057510164 | 0.0425 | 0.7389998 | 0.06241111 | 0.0052 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.0443753E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0443753E-4 | 0.0 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.474991E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.44692826 | 4.474991E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032385332 | 0.0054321135 | 0.0041 | 0.75477064 | 0.006227768 | 8.0E-4 | 0.03191742 | 0.052592885 | 0.0396 | 0.7529535 | 0.05695096 | 0.0046 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.078325E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.078325E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.8900654E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5141302 | 3.8900654E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028329059 | 0.00472396 | 0.0032 | 0.6773978 | 0.005420653 | 7.0E-4 | 0.027970633 | 0.045918517 | 0.034 | 0.74044204 | 0.049353212 | 0.0036 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.85424E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.85424E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.365648E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29711962 | 3.365648E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002465034 | 0.004088592 | 0.0027 | 0.66037405 | 0.0044869566 | 4.0E-4 | 0.02437869 | 0.03988665 | 0.0287 | 0.719539 | 0.04276699 | 0.003 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.0503855E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0503855E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.5927825E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.38568604 | 2.5927825E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019222875 | 0.0031515402 | 0.0023 | 0.7298019 | 0.0033509098 | 2.0E-4 | 0.019057442 | 0.030922858 | 0.0223 | 0.7211494 | 0.033248644 | 0.0024 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.8991299E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8991299E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.2424242E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2424242E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0015115893 | 0.0011 | 0.7277109 | 0.0015115893 | 0.0 | 0.010532344 | 0.014986429 | 0.01 | 0.66727036 | 0.01577444 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.4485564E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4485564E-5 | 0.0 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.0493388E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0493388E-4 | 0.0 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0012768207 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6265563 | 0.0012768207 | 0.0 | 0.009281595 | 0.01268672 | 0.0082 | 0.64634514 | 0.01337784 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.1918755E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1918755E-5 | 0.0 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.3934155E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3934155E-5 | 0.0 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011430494 | 7.0E-4 | 0.61239696 | 0.0011430494 | 0.0 | 0.008528882 | 0.011371024 | 0.0069 | 0.6068055 | 0.011964201 | 6.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.0358328E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0358328E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.724708E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.724708E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.0010617182 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47093475 | 0.0010617182 | 0.0 | 0.00800848 | 0.010566951 | 0.0064 | 0.6056619 | 0.011160611 | 6.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.9066418E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9066418E-5 | 0.0 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.171068E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.171068E-5 | 0.0 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.943765E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.40226212 | 9.943765E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0075360634 | 0.009900033 | 0.0062 | 0.6262606 | 0.0104940925 | 6.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.7837188E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7837188E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.644287E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.644287E-5 | 0.0 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.302974E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.42997 | 9.302974E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0070790765 | 0.009264836 | 0.006 | 0.6476099 | 0.009760204 | 5.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.6036516E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6036516E-5 | 0.0 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.872613E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.872613E-5 | 0.0 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.3642226E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35867053 | 8.3642226E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0063729943 | 0.008333439 | 0.0053 | 0.63599193 | 0.008829272 | 5.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.4250034E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4250034E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.107016E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.107016E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.4327824E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40361735 | 7.4327824E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0056782532 | 0.0074085835 | 0.0047 | 0.6343993 | 0.00780562 | 4.0E-4 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.1242259E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1242259E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.818023E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.818023E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.86439E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.34104145 | 5.86439E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00448937 | 0.0058494904 | 0.0037 | 0.6325337 | 0.0062471507 | 4.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.6642563E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6642563E-6 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.1418191E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1418191E-5 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3900768E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4387693 | 1.3900768E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010948193 | 0.0013892325 | 0.0012 | 0.86378634 | 0.0014890935 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1731857E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1731857E-7 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.31365E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.31365E-7 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.13393135E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.13393135E-5 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.1338047E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7639723 | 1.1338047E-4 | 0.0 |
Green Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.9629346E-5 | 1.7315976E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1550027 | 3.7312513E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.2691303E-4 | 7.418932E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.80874175 | 0.0011415965 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0051852856 | 0.008993766 | 0.006 | 0.66712874 | 0.0105793765 | 0.0016 | 0.050659515 | 0.085595 | 0.0594 | 0.6939658 | 0.09254447 | 0.0076 |
6.1 | 9.88615E-5 | 1.7162993E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1652979 | 3.715956E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.2362334E-4 | 7.3534047E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.81594855 | 0.0011350464 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0051454236 | 0.008914649 | 0.006 | 0.67304957 | 0.0105003845 | 0.0016 | 0.050279044 | 0.08488152 | 0.0583 | 0.6868397 | 0.091744915 | 0.0075 |
6.2 | 9.696895E-5 | 1.6801653E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.190359 | 3.6798292E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.15515E-4 | 7.1986346E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8334914 | 0.0011195755 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0050471667 | 0.008727822 | 0.0058 | 0.6645415 | 0.010313858 | 0.0016 | 0.04934063 | 0.083188884 | 0.0566 | 0.68037933 | 0.089973286 | 0.0074 |
6.3 | 9.275224E-5 | 1.5980878E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2514956 | 3.5977684E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.9744904E-4 | 6.8470614E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.87628835 | 0.0010844322 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0048282105 | 0.008303091 | 0.0054 | 0.6503602 | 0.009790637 | 0.0015 | 0.047246475 | 0.07932726 | 0.0539 | 0.6794638 | 0.085956104 | 0.0072 |
6.4 | 8.391499E-5 | 1.4374741E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6956647 | 2.4373304E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.595861E-4 | 6.1590975E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8118073 | 9.1572496E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004369175 | 0.0074718357 | 0.0048 | 0.6424124 | 0.008762122 | 0.0013 | 0.04284265 | 0.071685664 | 0.0491 | 0.68493474 | 0.077441216 | 0.0062 |
6.5 | 5.9519385E-5 | 9.940456E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.940456E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5505814E-4 | 4.259467E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46954232 | 4.259467E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031009112 | 0.005172481 | 0.0031 | 0.59932554 | 0.00586886 | 7.0E-4 | 0.030579966 | 0.05018198 | 0.0365 | 0.72735274 | 0.053981252 | 0.004 |
6.6 | 4.5361558E-5 | 7.408973E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.408973E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9439218E-4 | 3.1748894E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3149716 | 3.1748894E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023641558 | 0.0038576422 | 0.0025 | 0.64806426 | 0.004256099 | 4.0E-4 | 0.023391623 | 0.03769953 | 0.0287 | 0.7612827 | 0.040778894 | 0.0032 |
6.7 | 3.8808106E-5 | 6.2708255E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2708255E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6630985E-4 | 2.6872384E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37212926 | 2.6872384E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020229418 | 0.003266214 | 0.0023 | 0.7041792 | 0.0035652341 | 3.0E-4 | 0.020046256 | 0.032037325 | 0.0244 | 0.76161164 | 0.034650825 | 0.0027 |
6.8 | 2.2284667E-5 | 3.1304608E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1304608E-5 | 0.0 | 9.550222E-5 | 1.3415568E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415568E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011621192 | 0.0016321202 | 0.0011 | 0.67397 | 0.001731957 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011560607 | 0.016174946 | 0.0121 | 0.7480705 | 0.017257154 | 0.0011 |
6.9 | 1.8050168E-5 | 2.446573E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.446573E-5 | 0.0 | 7.735557E-5 | 1.048489E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.048489E-4 | 0.0 | 9.4139716E-4 | 0.0012757905 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6270622 | 0.0012757905 | 0.0 | 0.009374191 | 0.012677226 | 0.0098 | 0.77303976 | 0.013467085 | 8.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4763166E-5 | 1.9596251E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9596251E-5 | 0.0 | 6.326917E-5 | 8.398125E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.398125E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7002996E-4 | 0.0010219932 | 5.0E-4 | 0.48924002 | 0.0010219932 | 0.0 | 0.007673672 | 0.010172821 | 0.0071 | 0.69793814 | 0.0108657 | 7.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2399713E-5 | 1.6315218E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6315218E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3140546E-5 | 6.9920505E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9920505E-5 | 0.0 | 6.467941E-4 | 8.5095165E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35254648 | 8.5095165E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006449148 | 0.008477493 | 0.0059 | 0.6959604 | 0.009072407 | 6.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0584195E-5 | 1.393259E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.393259E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5360044E-5 | 5.9709746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9709746E-5 | 0.0 | 5.521186E-4 | 7.267253E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.41281074 | 7.267253E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0055074887 | 0.0072441446 | 0.0052 | 0.7178211 | 0.007839798 | 6.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.998173E-6 | 1.0550276E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0550276E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4277433E-5 | 4.521469E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.521469E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1724785E-4 | 5.503509E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.54510677 | 5.503509E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004164653 | 0.0054905657 | 0.0045 | 0.81958765 | 0.0058883694 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 6.7571127E-6 | 8.938703E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.938703E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8958733E-5 | 3.830817E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.830817E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5251552E-4 | 4.663031E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.21445277 | 4.663031E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035195686 | 0.004653706 | 0.0035 | 0.7520888 | 0.0050518443 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.69878E-6 | 7.521207E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.521207E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4423114E-5 | 3.223335E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.223335E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9731085E-4 | 3.9237126E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25486067 | 3.9237126E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002969134 | 0.0039172233 | 0.0031 | 0.7913769 | 0.0043156566 | 4.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.503664E-6 | 5.9401614E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9401614E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9301275E-5 | 2.5457592E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5457592E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3496768E-4 | 3.099029E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3226817 | 3.099029E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002347194 | 0.003095094 | 0.0023 | 0.7431115 | 0.0034938562 | 4.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.0873546E-6 | 1.411756E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.411756E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6600826E-6 | 6.050369E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.050369E-6 | 0.0 | 5.6735033E-5 | 7.366078E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3575745 | 7.366078E-5 | 0.0 | 5.672055E-4 | 7.3638425E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.222188 | 8.363106E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.9373917E-8 | 6.230447E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.230447E-8 | 0.0 | 2.1160248E-7 | 2.6701915E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6701915E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5762572E-6 | 3.2509547E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2509547E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5762274E-5 | 3.2501965E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.076737 | 3.2501965E-5 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3888496E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.1600611 | 4.388433E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.9508753E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8402125 | 9.948495E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008946515 | 0.0072214995 | 0.0045 | 0.62313926 | 0.009107779 | 0.0019 | 0.08594794 | 0.07100087 | 0.0432 | 0.60844326 | 0.077782564 | 0.0073 |
6.1 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3888496E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.1600611 | 4.388433E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.9508753E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8402125 | 9.948495E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008946515 | 0.0072214995 | 0.0045 | 0.62313926 | 0.009107779 | 0.0019 | 0.08594794 | 0.07100087 | 0.0432 | 0.60844326 | 0.077782564 | 0.0073 |
6.2 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3888496E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.1600611 | 4.388433E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.9508753E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8402125 | 9.948495E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008946515 | 0.0072214995 | 0.0045 | 0.62313926 | 0.009107779 | 0.0019 | 0.08594794 | 0.07100087 | 0.0432 | 0.60844326 | 0.077782564 | 0.0073 |
6.3 | 1.716926E-4 | 1.3807727E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.1726964 | 4.3803584E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.3561794E-4 | 5.916276E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8451262 | 9.91391E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008919428 | 0.007179653 | 0.0045 | 0.6267713 | 0.009066012 | 0.0019 | 0.08569809 | 0.0706121 | 0.0431 | 0.61037695 | 0.07739664 | 0.0073 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 1.368165E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.192718 | 4.3677544E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.02367E-4 | 5.862267E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8529123 | 9.859923E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008517839 | 0.0071143266 | 0.0044 | 0.6184703 | 0.008901521 | 0.0018 | 0.08198654 | 0.06983457 | 0.0425 | 0.6085811 | 0.07634573 | 0.007 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 1.273864E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.3550394 | 4.273482E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.745133E-4 | 5.4582924E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.91603744 | 9.4561087E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00818132 | 0.006625534 | 0.004 | 0.60372496 | 0.0083142705 | 0.0017 | 0.078865945 | 0.06529021 | 0.0391 | 0.5988646 | 0.07117889 | 0.0063 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 1.1671606E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.5703404 | 4.1668105E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5865536E-4 | 5.001171E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9997659 | 8.9991704E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006780438 | 0.0060721547 | 0.0033 | 0.5434644 | 0.007264868 | 0.0012 | 0.0657725 | 0.05971822 | 0.0352 | 0.58943486 | 0.06470171 | 0.0053 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 1.13975744E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.632139 | 4.1394154E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5135164E-4 | 4.883773E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0237986 | 8.8818197E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0066920654 | 0.0059300084 | 0.0032 | 0.5396282 | 0.0071228924 | 0.0012 | 0.06494093 | 0.058427285 | 0.0346 | 0.5921891 | 0.06322931 | 0.0051 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 1.13350194E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.646665 | 4.133162E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.485117E-4 | 4.8569738E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0294476 | 8.8550313E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0066577005 | 0.0058975737 | 0.0032 | 0.54259604 | 0.0070904964 | 0.0012 | 0.06461738 | 0.058140777 | 0.0344 | 0.59166735 | 0.06294426 | 0.0051 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 1.1176878E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.6841128 | 4.1173524E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.4380763E-4 | 4.789224E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0440105 | 8.7873085E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006600777 | 0.005815531 | 0.0032 | 0.5502507 | 0.0070085526 | 0.0012 | 0.06408122 | 0.05741151 | 0.034 | 0.5922157 | 0.062124453 | 0.005 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 1.090566E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.750865 | 4.090239E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.154837E-4 | 4.67303E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0699695 | 8.671161E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006257969 | 0.00567481 | 0.0031 | 0.5462738 | 0.006868 | 0.0012 | 0.06084648 | 0.056076918 | 0.0332 | 0.59204394 | 0.06070214 | 0.0049 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 5.4541768E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5003715 | 3.545254E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 3.4493793E-4 | 2.3372969E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.7113786 | 6.336362E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0041915346 | 0.0028419811 | 0.0014 | 0.49261412 | 0.0037394234 | 9.0E-4 | 0.041133516 | 0.029923929 | 0.0162 | 0.5413728 | 0.03264014 | 0.0028 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 4.3483044E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.5994945 | 2.4347435E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.0399222E-4 | 1.8634272E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.6099368 | 4.8628682E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036948253 | 0.0022663854 | 0.0012 | 0.5294775 | 0.0029647988 | 7.0E-4 | 0.03633994 | 0.024215734 | 0.0133 | 0.5492297 | 0.025874566 | 0.0017 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 2.930326E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4125896 | 1.2930033E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6541698E-4 | 1.2557936E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7963092 | 2.2556681E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032266637 | 0.0015278583 | 7.0E-4 | 0.4581577 | 0.0020270944 | 5.0E-4 | 0.031802133 | 0.016713494 | 0.0096 | 0.5743861 | 0.01779511 | 0.0011 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 2.7408894E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6484506 | 1.2740615E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5311083E-4 | 1.1746141E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8513434 | 2.1744966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030772698 | 0.001429156 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4198282 | 0.0019284415 | 5.0E-4 | 0.030350044 | 0.01567405 | 0.009 | 0.5741974 | 0.01675681 | 0.0011 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 2.5031419E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9949791 | 1.2502892E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.324491E-4 | 1.072731E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.93220013 | 2.0726238E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002826395 | 0.0013052688 | 5.0E-4 | 0.38306287 | 0.0017047466 | 4.0E-4 | 0.027907165 | 0.014350764 | 0.0078 | 0.54352504 | 0.015336413 | 0.001 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 2.0182793E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.9547157 | 1.20180775E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8987931E-4 | 8.6494816E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1561387 | 1.8648617E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023093296 | 0.0010525659 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47502962 | 0.0014521449 | 4.0E-4 | 0.022854783 | 0.011561381 | 0.0071 | 0.6141135 | 0.012549819 | 0.001 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 1.9202513E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.207652 | 1.19200595E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7647797E-4 | 8.229389E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2151572 | 1.8228566E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002146502 | 0.0010014678 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4992672 | 0.0014010672 | 4.0E-4 | 0.021258866 | 0.011012672 | 0.0066 | 0.59930956 | 0.01200166 | 0.001 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 1.8823164E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.312603 | 1.18821285E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5174363E-4 | 8.066821E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2396457 | 1.8066014E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018459131 | 9.816932E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.50932413 | 0.0013813005 | 4.0E-4 | 0.018306552 | 0.010790066 | 0.0063 | 0.58387035 | 0.011680355 | 9.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 1.7549322E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7549322E-5 | 0.0 | 1.10827445E-4 | 7.520922E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.520922E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001348489 | 9.152878E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.43702102 | 0.0012150132 | 3.0E-4 | 0.013403354 | 0.010031279 | 0.0059 | 0.5881603 | 0.010823254 | 8.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 1.5036037E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5036037E-5 | 0.0 | 8.4757245E-5 | 6.443857E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.443857E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010314309 | 7.8425737E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.51003665 | 0.0010840221 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010266567 | 0.008613404 | 0.0051 | 0.59210044 | 0.009307374 | 7.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 1.2266564E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2266564E-5 | 0.0 | 6.293394E-5 | 5.256993E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.256993E-5 | 0.0 | 7.6595135E-4 | 6.3985115E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6251454 | 9.396592E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0076331664 | 0.00705425 | 0.0039 | 0.5528582 | 0.0077493126 | 7.0E-4 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 5.5506457E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5506457E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7021015E-5 | 2.3788265E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788265E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5063766E-4 | 2.8958372E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6906466 | 3.8955474E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004497249 | 0.0032903655 | 0.0021 | 0.638227 | 0.0035893782 | 3.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7958124E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41703048 | 4.7958124E-4 | 0.0 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3198105E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.310697 | 2.3198105E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941711E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 4.0234523 | 3.993873E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012098112 | 0.0037 | 3.0583284 | 0.004006424 | 0.0028 | 0.011179381 | 0.012040237 | 0.0148 | 1.2292117 | 0.018758364 | 0.0068 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3198105E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.310697 | 2.3198105E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941711E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 4.0234523 | 3.993873E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012098112 | 0.0037 | 3.0583284 | 0.004006424 | 0.0028 | 0.011179381 | 0.012040237 | 0.0148 | 1.2292117 | 0.018758364 | 0.0068 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3198105E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.310697 | 2.3198105E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941711E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 4.0234523 | 3.993873E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012098112 | 0.0037 | 3.0583284 | 0.004006424 | 0.0028 | 0.011179381 | 0.012040237 | 0.0148 | 1.2292117 | 0.018758364 | 0.0068 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0748527E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0748527E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.606438E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1708748 | 1.4605977E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.607027E-4 | 0.0023 | 4.1019955 | 0.0023596934 | 0.0018 | 0.005217545 | 0.005594193 | 0.0064 | 1.1440434 | 0.008875732 | 0.0033 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0748527E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0748527E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.606438E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1708748 | 1.4605977E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.607027E-4 | 0.0023 | 4.1019955 | 0.0023596934 | 0.0018 | 0.005217545 | 0.005594193 | 0.0064 | 1.1440434 | 0.008875732 | 0.0033 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.4577256E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4577256E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.196134E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.196134E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.890685E-4 | 0.0012 | 3.0842898 | 0.0013886794 | 0.001 | 0.0036259557 | 0.003884728 | 0.004 | 1.0296731 | 0.005777347 | 0.0019 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3474705E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3474705E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2917568E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2917568E-5 | 0.0 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7899237E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 3.2258947 | 9.787971E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.00278708 | 0.0024 | 0.8611163 | 0.0037842928 | 0.001 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.925201E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.925201E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6822212E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6822212E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0479693E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 3.41802 | 7.0469454E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020466452 | 0.0017 | 0.8306276 | 0.0027452125 | 7.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7453334E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7453334E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.176569E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.176569E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4324281E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 4.188692 | 6.431712E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014319898 | 0.0015 | 1.0474935 | 0.0021309874 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8971543E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8971543E-6 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.130662E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.130662E-6 | 0.0 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.89908E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 5.0509744 | 4.989512E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.89908E-4 | 0.001 | 1.0101949 | 0.0014894131 | 5.0E-4 |
Hayward (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.3068506E-5 | 1.7427302E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7214367 | 2.742556E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9880406E-4 | 7.4667035E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.80356747 | 8.465957E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048446343 | 0.009052697 | 0.006 | 0.66278595 | 0.010043644 | 0.001 | 0.047403704 | 0.08649534 | 0.051 | 0.58962715 | 0.09270717 | 0.0068 |
6.1 | 9.055486E-5 | 1.69782E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7669718 | 2.69765E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.880345E-4 | 7.274346E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.82481647 | 8.2736183E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047140904 | 0.008820625 | 0.006 | 0.6802239 | 0.009811805 | 0.001 | 0.046153355 | 0.084392205 | 0.0503 | 0.5960266 | 0.09052678 | 0.0067 |
6.2 | 9.006742E-5 | 1.6898729E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7752815 | 2.6897038E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.859461E-4 | 7.240308E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8286941 | 8.2395837E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0046887742 | 0.0087795565 | 0.006 | 0.6834058 | 0.009770777 | 0.001 | 0.0459107 | 0.08401618 | 0.0502 | 0.59750396 | 0.09015328 | 0.0067 |
6.3 | 8.8336754E-5 | 1.6578166E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.809609 | 2.657651E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7853114E-4 | 7.103001E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8447134 | 8.102291E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004598882 | 0.008613773 | 0.0058 | 0.67334026 | 0.009406881 | 8.0E-4 | 0.04504866 | 0.08250794 | 0.0498 | 0.60357827 | 0.088471636 | 0.0065 |
6.4 | 8.526157E-5 | 1.6004455E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.8744781 | 2.6002855E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6535555E-4 | 6.857256E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8749856 | 7.8565703E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044391346 | 0.008316911 | 0.0057 | 0.68535066 | 0.009110257 | 8.0E-4 | 0.043514993 | 0.07981623 | 0.0485 | 0.60764587 | 0.08579742 | 0.0065 |
6.5 | 8.152396E-5 | 1.5336619E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.9561026 | 2.5335085E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.493416E-4 | 6.571188E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.91307694 | 7.570531E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042449418 | 0.007971224 | 0.0054 | 0.6774367 | 0.008665645 | 7.0E-4 | 0.04164765 | 0.07664733 | 0.0464 | 0.6053701 | 0.08227977 | 0.0061 |
6.6 | 7.987405E-5 | 1.5040739E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.9945828 | 2.5039236E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4227243E-4 | 6.4444455E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.9310343 | 7.443801E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041592065 | 0.007818044 | 0.0052 | 0.665128 | 0.008512571 | 7.0E-4 | 0.04082218 | 0.07523976 | 0.0457 | 0.6073916 | 0.080880806 | 0.0061 |
6.7 | 7.777665E-5 | 1.4679358E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.0436862 | 2.467789E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.332859E-4 | 6.2896434E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.95394915 | 7.289014E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004050208 | 0.0076309093 | 0.0051 | 0.6683345 | 0.0083255675 | 7.0E-4 | 0.039771806 | 0.07351353 | 0.0447 | 0.60805136 | 0.0789798 | 0.0059 |
6.8 | 7.3284005E-5 | 1.3828382E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.169451 | 2.3827E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.140365E-4 | 5.92511E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0126394 | 6.924517E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038166929 | 0.0071900985 | 0.0049 | 0.68149275 | 0.0077857845 | 6.0E-4 | 0.037518036 | 0.06942064 | 0.0428 | 0.6165313 | 0.07472494 | 0.0057 |
6.9 | 6.458263E-5 | 1.2155625E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6453289 | 1.2155625E-4 | 0.0 | 2.7675333E-4 | 5.208518E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.76797277 | 5.208518E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033642664 | 0.006323034 | 0.0042 | 0.6642381 | 0.0066211373 | 3.0E-4 | 0.033137884 | 0.06133483 | 0.0395 | 0.644006 | 0.06584042 | 0.0048 |
7.0 | 5.3853604E-5 | 1.00456404E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9909133 | 1.00456404E-4 | 0.0 | 2.3078074E-4 | 4.3045674E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.92924553 | 4.3045674E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028061352 | 0.005228282 | 0.0038 | 0.72681624 | 0.005427236 | 2.0E-4 | 0.027709642 | 0.05105175 | 0.0341 | 0.6679497 | 0.054752648 | 0.0039 |
7.1 | 4.4308683E-5 | 8.18849E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4424527 | 8.18849E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8988053E-4 | 3.5088832E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1399639 | 3.5088832E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023093442 | 0.004263738 | 0.0031 | 0.7270615 | 0.0044628857 | 2.0E-4 | 0.022854926 | 0.04190644 | 0.0272 | 0.64906496 | 0.044876527 | 0.0031 |
7.2 | 3.295973E-5 | 6.0928294E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6412736 | 6.0928294E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4124835E-4 | 2.6109527E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.149006 | 2.6109527E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017183421 | 0.003174224 | 0.0024 | 0.75609034 | 0.0032739067 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017051157 | 0.031442888 | 0.0207 | 0.65833646 | 0.033573717 | 0.0022 |
7.3 | 2.452256E-5 | 4.5309753E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5309753E-5 | 0.0 | 1.05092455E-4 | 1.9417028E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0300238 | 1.9417028E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012787496 | 0.0023614739 | 0.0015 | 0.6351965 | 0.0024612378 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0127141625 | 0.0235031 | 0.0153 | 0.6509779 | 0.025065497 | 0.0016 |
7.4 | 1.8829967E-5 | 3.470793E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.470793E-5 | 0.0 | 8.069736E-5 | 1.4873984E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6723148 | 1.4873984E-4 | 0.0 | 9.820475E-4 | 0.0018094133 | 0.0012 | 0.6631984 | 0.0019092323 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009777189 | 0.018069806 | 0.0119 | 0.6585572 | 0.019444507 | 0.0014 |
7.5 | 1.26374125E-5 | 2.2999302E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2999302E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4159216E-5 | 9.856474E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0145615 | 9.856474E-5 | 0.0 | 6.5918895E-4 | 0.001199371 | 9.0E-4 | 0.75039333 | 0.001199371 | 0.0 | 0.00657237 | 0.012026596 | 0.008 | 0.66519237 | 0.012915772 | 9.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.666429E-6 | 8.510513E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.510513E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9998828E-5 | 3.6473124E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6473124E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4345852E-4 | 4.4397105E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.1261996 | 4.4397105E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024319198 | 0.004474019 | 0.0034 | 0.75994307 | 0.004971782 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.8399318E-7 | 7.1823865E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1823865E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6456839E-6 | 3.078162E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.078162E-6 | 0.0 | 2.003602E-5 | 3.747598E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.747598E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0034213E-4 | 3.8851643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25738937 | 3.8851643E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.5637698E-7 | 5.408298E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.408298E-7 | 0.0 | 1.098758E-6 | 2.3178397E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3178397E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3377297E-5 | 2.8219334E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8219334E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3376492E-4 | 2.9449348E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3395661 | 2.9449348E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.7141245E-7 | 3.7582248E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7582248E-7 | 0.0 | 7.3462456E-7 | 1.6106667E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6106667E-6 | 0.0 | 8.944017E-6 | 1.9609692E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9609692E-5 | 0.0 | 8.943657E-5 | 2.0387712E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49049154 | 2.0387712E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1808895E-7 | 2.771527E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.771527E-7 | 0.0 | 5.060954E-7 | 1.1877967E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1877967E-6 | 0.0 | 6.161694E-6 | 1.446133E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.446133E-5 | 0.0 | 6.161523E-5 | 1.4915691E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6704349 | 1.4915691E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.138535E-8 | 1.1310068E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1310068E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2022292E-7 | 4.847171E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.847171E-7 | 0.0 | 2.6812106E-6 | 5.901415E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.901415E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6811784E-5 | 6.0557955E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6513108 | 6.0557955E-5 | 0.0 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.459577E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.459577E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3396156E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8548413 | 3.3393817E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.002844936 | 0.0041 | 1.4411572 | 0.005736686 | 0.0029 | 0.023260195 | 0.028104633 | 0.02 | 0.7116264 | 0.034616333 | 0.0067 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.459577E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.459577E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3396156E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8548413 | 3.3393817E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.002844936 | 0.0041 | 1.4411572 | 0.005736686 | 0.0029 | 0.023260195 | 0.028104633 | 0.02 | 0.7116264 | 0.034616333 | 0.0067 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7084824E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7084824E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0177738E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9911914 | 3.017572E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.002454005 | 0.004 | 1.6299886 | 0.005346888 | 0.0029 | 0.020330196 | 0.024283925 | 0.0187 | 0.7700567 | 0.030821223 | 0.0067 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7084824E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7084824E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0177738E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9911914 | 3.017572E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.002454005 | 0.004 | 1.6299886 | 0.005346888 | 0.0029 | 0.020330196 | 0.024283925 | 0.0187 | 0.7700567 | 0.030821223 | 0.0067 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7967904E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7967904E-5 | 0.0 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6270985E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2291819 | 2.626936E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019792616 | 0.0039 | 1.9704319 | 0.0048735216 | 0.0029 | 0.016718714 | 0.01962419 | 0.0167 | 0.85099053 | 0.025898594 | 0.0064 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7967904E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7967904E-5 | 0.0 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6270985E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2291819 | 2.626936E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019792616 | 0.0039 | 1.9704319 | 0.0048735216 | 0.0029 | 0.016718714 | 0.01962419 | 0.0167 | 0.85099053 | 0.025898594 | 0.0064 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4196804E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4196804E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4654986E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3647232 | 2.465352E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017828459 | 0.0039 | 2.1875138 | 0.0046776757 | 0.0029 | 0.015175272 | 0.017692415 | 0.016 | 0.90434235 | 0.023880953 | 0.0063 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.235829E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.235829E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3867136E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.442259 | 2.3865748E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016870765 | 0.0039 | 2.3116913 | 0.004582184 | 0.0029 | 0.014414776 | 0.01674945 | 0.0155 | 0.92540354 | 0.022943929 | 0.0063 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6878079E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6878079E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.15186944E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7363079 | 2.1517543E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014015462 | 0.0038 | 2.7112913 | 0.004297482 | 0.0029 | 0.01213047 | 0.01393235 | 0.0141 | 1.0120331 | 0.020144576 | 0.0063 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3579887E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3579887E-5 | 0.0 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0105295E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9791604 | 2.0104284E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012296614 | 0.0035 | 2.846312 | 0.0040262183 | 0.0028 | 0.010738871 | 0.01223267 | 0.0132 | 1.0790776 | 0.018356826 | 0.0062 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9641626E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9641626E-5 | 0.0 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.417581E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3759797 | 1.841674E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010243813 | 0.0033 | 3.2214568 | 0.003821513 | 0.0028 | 0.009070295 | 0.010199289 | 0.012 | 1.1765527 | 0.016237073 | 0.0061 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6448499E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6448499E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.0491755E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.8372114 | 1.7048471E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.579157E-4 | 0.0032 | 3.7299702 | 0.0036555135 | 0.0028 | 0.007696735 | 0.008548085 | 0.0112 | 1.3102351 | 0.014595941 | 0.0061 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5704803E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5704803E-5 | 0.0 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.730466E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9715626 | 1.6729793E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.191423E-4 | 0.0032 | 3.906525 | 0.0036168487 | 0.0028 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008163241 | 0.0109 | 1.335254 | 0.014213446 | 0.0061 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5178356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5178356E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.504857E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.0746257 | 1.6504206E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.916946E-4 | 0.0032 | 4.0419626 | 0.0035894779 | 0.0028 | 0.007138774 | 0.007890735 | 0.0107 | 1.3560208 | 0.013942601 | 0.0061 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4115049E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4115049E-5 | 0.0 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0491755E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.3062356 | 1.6048571E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.362541E-4 | 0.0031 | 4.210503 | 0.0034342662 | 0.0027 | 0.006661878 | 0.007340103 | 0.0101 | 1.3760026 | 0.013196796 | 0.0059 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2806153E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2806153E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4882446E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6441524 | 1.5487695E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.680046E-4 | 0.0031 | 4.6406865 | 0.003366201 | 0.0027 | 0.006032217 | 0.006661907 | 0.0098 | 1.4710504 | 0.012423268 | 0.0058 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.327327E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.327327E-6 | 0.0 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4259936E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 14.025309 | 1.1425851E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7360818E-4 | 0.0017 | 9.792166 | 0.0015733652 | 0.0014 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017354611 | 0.0033 | 1.901512 | 0.004330949 | 0.0026 |
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5333705E-4 | 7.170357E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7892613 | 1.716964E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5699324E-4 | 3.0726503E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6509039 | 4.072343E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007969595 | 0.0037345688 | 0.0025 | 0.6694213 | 0.0049300874 | 0.0012 | 0.0768977 | 0.039670113 | 0.0236 | 0.59490633 | 0.04543209 | 0.006 |
6.1 | 1.5333705E-4 | 7.170357E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7892613 | 1.716964E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5699324E-4 | 3.0726503E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6509039 | 4.072343E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007969595 | 0.0037345688 | 0.0025 | 0.6694213 | 0.0049300874 | 0.0012 | 0.0768977 | 0.039670113 | 0.0236 | 0.59490633 | 0.04543209 | 0.006 |
6.2 | 1.3912938E-4 | 6.10351E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6384014 | 1.61029E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.961325E-4 | 2.6155295E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3823318 | 3.615268E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007233787 | 0.0031797844 | 0.0021 | 0.6604221 | 0.004276287 | 0.0011 | 0.07002798 | 0.033974793 | 0.0203 | 0.5975018 | 0.03880492 | 0.005 |
6.3 | 1.3912938E-4 | 6.10351E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6384014 | 1.61029E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.961325E-4 | 2.6155295E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3823318 | 3.615268E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007233787 | 0.0031797844 | 0.0021 | 0.6604221 | 0.004276287 | 0.0011 | 0.07002798 | 0.033974793 | 0.0203 | 0.5975018 | 0.03880492 | 0.005 |
6.4 | 1.2623647E-4 | 5.091644E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9640023 | 1.5091135E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4090127E-4 | 2.1819516E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4583053 | 3.1817335E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0065656058 | 0.00265331 | 0.0013 | 0.48995405 | 0.0033514528 | 7.0E-4 | 0.06374981 | 0.028557997 | 0.0165 | 0.5777716 | 0.032249477 | 0.0038 |
6.5 | 1.1736096E-4 | 4.3957694E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2749145 | 1.439533E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.028786E-4 | 1.8837661E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5308515 | 2.8835778E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006105373 | 0.0022910894 | 0.001 | 0.43647358 | 0.002789944 | 5.0E-4 | 0.05940335 | 0.024810707 | 0.0139 | 0.560242 | 0.028126352 | 0.0034 |
6.6 | 1.1586959E-4 | 4.285088E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3336744 | 1.4284659E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.964894E-4 | 1.8363379E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5445621 | 2.8361543E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006028018 | 0.0022334654 | 0.001 | 0.44773474 | 0.0027323486 | 5.0E-4 | 0.058671024 | 0.024212753 | 0.0138 | 0.5699476 | 0.02753043 | 0.0034 |
6.7 | 1.13693764E-4 | 4.11536E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4299212 | 1.4114949E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.87168E-4 | 1.7636074E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.56701964 | 2.763431E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005915152 | 0.0021450936 | 0.001 | 0.46618012 | 0.002644021 | 5.0E-4 | 0.057601593 | 0.023299104 | 0.0133 | 0.57083744 | 0.026619887 | 0.0034 |
6.8 | 1.1204889E-4 | 4.036422E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4774418 | 1.4036018E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8012115E-4 | 1.7297814E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5781078 | 2.7296084E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005829819 | 0.0021039906 | 9.0E-4 | 0.42775854 | 0.0025031492 | 4.0E-4 | 0.05679232 | 0.0228559 | 0.013 | 0.5687809 | 0.026080476 | 0.0033 |
6.9 | 1.1005794E-4 | 3.9411436E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5373347 | 1.394075E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7159163E-4 | 1.688953E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.59208274 | 2.6887842E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057265228 | 0.0020543772 | 8.0E-4 | 0.38941243 | 0.0024535554 | 4.0E-4 | 0.055811852 | 0.022318 | 0.0122 | 0.546644 | 0.025348814 | 0.0031 |
7.0 | 1.0647948E-4 | 3.7549817E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6631289 | 1.3754606E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.562608E-4 | 1.6091795E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.62143475 | 2.6090184E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055408357 | 0.0019574312 | 7.0E-4 | 0.35761154 | 0.0023566484 | 4.0E-4 | 0.054047033 | 0.021268314 | 0.0112 | 0.526605 | 0.024008762 | 0.0028 |
7.1 | 1.04795035E-4 | 3.6590187E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.732973 | 1.3658653E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4904428E-4 | 1.5680575E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.63773173 | 2.5679008E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054534175 | 0.001907454 | 7.0E-4 | 0.36698133 | 0.0023066911 | 4.0E-4 | 0.053215165 | 0.020733569 | 0.0112 | 0.54018676 | 0.023475515 | 0.0028 |
7.2 | 1.02724036E-4 | 3.5489167E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8177614 | 1.3548562E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.401716E-4 | 1.5208765E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6575156 | 2.5207244E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053459285 | 0.0018501101 | 7.0E-4 | 0.37835586 | 0.00224937 | 4.0E-4 | 0.052191395 | 0.02011826 | 0.0111 | 0.55173755 | 0.022763941 | 0.0027 |
7.3 | 1.00650694E-4 | 3.4949215E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8612945 | 1.3494572E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.312888E-4 | 1.4977384E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.66767335 | 2.4975886E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005238306 | 0.0018219869 | 7.0E-4 | 0.38419595 | 0.0022212581 | 4.0E-4 | 0.051165357 | 0.019791722 | 0.0108 | 0.54568267 | 0.022340264 | 0.0026 |
7.4 | 9.672919E-5 | 3.3720124E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.965588 | 1.3371675E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.144878E-4 | 1.4450689E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6920085 | 2.4449246E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005034718 | 0.0017579672 | 7.0E-4 | 0.3981872 | 0.002157264 | 4.0E-4 | 0.049221683 | 0.019055195 | 0.0104 | 0.5457829 | 0.021507557 | 0.0025 |
7.5 | 8.7600405E-5 | 2.2956625E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.356041 | 1.2295433E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.753763E-4 | 9.838184E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0164478 | 1.98372E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045606326 | 0.0011971425 | 5.0E-4 | 0.41766122 | 0.0014967833 | 3.0E-4 | 0.04468165 | 0.0132782245 | 0.0074 | 0.5573034 | 0.014856979 | 0.0016 |
7.6 | 7.9562284E-5 | 1.9458756E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.139075 | 1.1945681E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4093665E-4 | 8.3392006E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1991557 | 1.8338367E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041430052 | 0.0010148264 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49269515 | 0.0013145219 | 3.0E-4 | 0.040666126 | 0.011357108 | 0.0064 | 0.5635237 | 0.012642344 | 0.0013 |
7.7 | 6.3866544E-5 | 1.2125341E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.24719 | 1.1212413E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7368503E-4 | 5.196471E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9243828 | 1.5195951E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033270244 | 6.32487E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.63242406 | 9.3229726E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.032776527 | 0.007318778 | 0.0035 | 0.47822192 | 0.008112922 | 8.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.2543215E-5 | 9.224238E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.841003 | 1.09223314E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8231533E-4 | 3.953185E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5296059 | 1.395279E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022174292 | 4.811941E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8312654 | 7.810497E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.021954332 | 0.005576606 | 0.0029 | 0.5200296 | 0.006272702 | 7.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.2636612E-5 | 7.939422E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.939422E-6 | 0.0 | 9.7010445E-5 | 3.4025652E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4025652E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011804621 | 4.1418365E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7243164 | 6.141008E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011742111 | 0.0047538923 | 0.0023 | 0.48381406 | 0.005251515 | 5.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5167874E-5 | 7.16232E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.16232E-6 | 0.0 | 6.500356E-5 | 3.0695297E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0695297E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9113094E-4 | 3.7365124E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.80288774 | 5.735765E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007883203 | 0.004278338 | 0.0023 | 0.53759193 | 0.004776199 | 5.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0681047E-5 | 6.4890455E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4890455E-6 | 0.0 | 4.5775112E-5 | 2.78099E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.78099E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5716943E-4 | 3.3853302E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.88617647 | 5.3846533E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0055577457 | 0.0038736775 | 0.0021 | 0.5421205 | 0.004272128 | 4.0E-4 |
8.2 | 8.226114E-6 | 5.192472E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.192472E-6 | 0.0 | 3.52543E-5 | 2.2253262E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2253262E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2913653E-4 | 2.7089985E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7382802 | 3.708728E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004283088 | 0.0030875448 | 0.0019 | 0.6153757 | 0.0033866186 | 3.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.792044E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394433E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.065698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7958124E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41703048 | 4.7958124E-4 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0720013E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0720013E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1735553E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4600757 | 2.1735553E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026434886 | 0.0013 | 0.4917744 | 0.0032419025 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026160749 | 0.0179 | 0.6842312 | 0.031516865 | 0.0055 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0720013E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0720013E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1735553E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4600757 | 2.1735553E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026434886 | 0.0013 | 0.4917744 | 0.0032419025 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026160749 | 0.0179 | 0.6842312 | 0.031516865 | 0.0055 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0720013E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0720013E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1735553E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4600757 | 2.1735553E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026434886 | 0.0013 | 0.4917744 | 0.0032419025 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026160749 | 0.0179 | 0.6842312 | 0.031516865 | 0.0055 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0097268E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0097268E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2898211E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.77530134 | 1.2898211E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015692592 | 0.0012 | 0.76469207 | 0.0020684744 | 5.0E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.0155854635 | 0.0124 | 0.79561317 | 0.019818446 | 0.0043 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0097268E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0097268E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2898211E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.77530134 | 1.2898211E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015692592 | 0.0012 | 0.76469207 | 0.0020684744 | 5.0E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.0155854635 | 0.0124 | 0.79561317 | 0.019818446 | 0.0043 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5320547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5320547E-5 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0851221E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9215552 | 1.0851221E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013203527 | 0.001 | 0.75737345 | 0.0018196924 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010529719 | 0.013127014 | 0.0109 | 0.83034873 | 0.017074507 | 0.004 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5301493E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5301493E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.0843056E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9222492 | 1.0843056E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013193598 | 0.001 | 0.7579434 | 0.0018187001 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010520565 | 0.013117203 | 0.0109 | 0.83096987 | 0.017064733 | 0.004 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2544662E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2544662E-5 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.661648E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0350201 | 9.661648E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011756854 | 0.001 | 0.85056764 | 0.0016750976 | 5.0E-4 | 0.009347493 | 0.011696269 | 0.01 | 0.85497355 | 0.015352992 | 0.0037 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1845955E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1845955E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.362224E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0681223 | 9.362224E-5 | 0.0 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011392693 | 0.001 | 0.87775564 | 0.0016386997 | 5.0E-4 | 0.009068459 | 0.011335872 | 0.0098 | 0.8645122 | 0.014993929 | 0.0037 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9029163E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9029163E-5 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.155108E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.155108E-5 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.924453E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7053285 | 0.0013920483 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008018291 | 0.00988153 | 0.0082 | 0.829831 | 0.013049909 | 0.0032 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8033488E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8033488E-5 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.728416E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.728416E-5 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.405415E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.74425215 | 0.0013401653 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009366975 | 0.0078 | 0.83271277 | 0.012239811 | 0.0029 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.620346E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.620346E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.9441616E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9441616E-5 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.4513635E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8282687 | 0.0012447983 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0068324856 | 0.00842052 | 0.0068 | 0.80755097 | 0.010899469 | 0.0025 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.38687565E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.38687565E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9436235E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9436235E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.234068E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.69117403 | 0.0011231174 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0057893298 | 0.0072116274 | 0.0061 | 0.84585625 | 0.009693598 | 0.0025 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2177939E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2177939E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2190186E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2190186E-5 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.35241E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7871029 | 0.0010349869 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0063353274 | 0.0053 | 0.8365787 | 0.00852139 | 0.0022 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.793343E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.793343E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.197085E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.197085E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.1088474E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.78295547 | 8.107315E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0050980444 | 0.0047 | 0.9219222 | 0.007087848 | 0.002 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.773469E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.773469E-6 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4743247E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4743247E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0121504E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.33198872 | 4.0118492E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030088203 | 0.0026 | 0.864126 | 0.0038064134 | 8.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6041258E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6041258E-7 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160537E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1160537E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587897E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3587897E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587347E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.9439154 | 1.3587347E-4 | 0.0 |
Elmore Ranch
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.102099E-5 | 8.962415E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1157708 | 8.962415E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9003167E-4 | 3.840396E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7811695 | 4.8400118E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047383 | 0.004666296 | 0.0032 | 0.6857688 | 0.0055620964 | 9.0E-4 | 0.046385348 | 0.04588765 | 0.034 | 0.74094015 | 0.051135268 | 0.0055 |
6.1 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1531388E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4078176 | 4.1531388E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.779829E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1237035 | 1.779829E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.002165234 | 0.0016 | 0.73895013 | 0.0026641514 | 5.0E-4 | 0.019789828 | 0.021625664 | 0.0151 | 0.69824445 | 0.024267275 | 0.0027 |
6.2 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1531388E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4078176 | 4.1531388E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.779829E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1237035 | 1.779829E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.002165234 | 0.0016 | 0.73895013 | 0.0026641514 | 5.0E-4 | 0.019789828 | 0.021625664 | 0.0151 | 0.69824445 | 0.024267275 | 0.0027 |
6.3 | 3.3197924E-5 | 3.6583282E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.733489 | 3.6583282E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4226905E-4 | 1.5677941E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2756778 | 1.5677941E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017307495 | 0.0019076599 | 0.0014 | 0.73388344 | 0.002306897 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017173318 | 0.01908142 | 0.0137 | 0.7179759 | 0.021435624 | 0.0024 |
6.4 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.744243E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6439922 | 2.744243E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1760877E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7005534 | 1.1760877E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014315953 | 0.0012 | 0.8382257 | 0.0018310227 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01303681 | 0.014382674 | 0.0105 | 0.730045 | 0.016353909 | 0.002 |
6.5 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.744243E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6439922 | 2.744243E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1760877E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7005534 | 1.1760877E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014315953 | 0.0012 | 0.8382257 | 0.0018310227 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01303681 | 0.014382674 | 0.0105 | 0.730045 | 0.016353909 | 0.002 |
King Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3026281E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3026281E-5 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.582592E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5825653 | 1.5582034E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.7950354E-4 | 0.0016 | 2.3546603 | 0.0013790278 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0064817313 | 0.00677863 | 0.016 | 2.360359 | 0.011943381 | 0.0052 |
6.1 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3026281E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3026281E-5 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.582592E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5825653 | 1.5582034E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.7950354E-4 | 0.0016 | 2.3546603 | 0.0013790278 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0064817313 | 0.00677863 | 0.016 | 2.360359 | 0.011943381 | 0.0052 |
6.2 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3026281E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3026281E-5 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.582592E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5825653 | 1.5582034E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.7950354E-4 | 0.0016 | 2.3546603 | 0.0013790278 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0064817313 | 0.00677863 | 0.016 | 2.360359 | 0.011943381 | 0.0052 |
6.3 | 7.988484E-6 | 8.216655E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.216655E-6 | 0.0 | 3.423591E-5 | 3.5213834E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.839793 | 1.3521031E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1674246E-4 | 4.2865702E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.8662939 | 9.284427E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.004159618 | 0.004280504 | 0.0071 | 1.6586832 | 0.0069689467 | 0.0027 |
6.4 | 7.988484E-6 | 8.216655E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.216655E-6 | 0.0 | 3.423591E-5 | 3.5213834E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.839793 | 1.3521031E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1674246E-4 | 4.2865702E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.8662939 | 9.284427E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.004159618 | 0.004280504 | 0.0071 | 1.6586832 | 0.0069689467 | 0.0027 |
6.5 | 5.0522513E-6 | 5.084693E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.084693E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1652326E-5 | 2.1791364E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.588974 | 1.21789184E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6358519E-4 | 2.652785E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37696233 | 3.6525197E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026327274 | 0.0026506416 | 0.0023 | 0.86771446 | 0.0033487862 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.53682E-6 | 4.541321E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.541321E-6 | 0.0 | 1.944337E-5 | 1.9462663E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.1380434 | 1.1946072E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3669732E-4 | 2.3693276E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42206067 | 3.3690906E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023644536 | 0.0023677924 | 0.0019 | 0.8024352 | 0.0029663718 | 6.0E-4 |
6.7 | 4.1144335E-6 | 4.099307E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.099307E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7633167E-5 | 1.756834E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.692057 | 1.1756658E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1466266E-4 | 2.1387395E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.46756512 | 3.1385256E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021445542 | 0.0021376512 | 0.0015 | 0.70170474 | 0.002536796 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.8321214E-6 | 3.8096798E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8096798E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6423275E-5 | 1.6327098E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.124787 | 1.16325464E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9993502E-4 | 1.9876462E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5031076 | 2.9874474E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019975523 | 0.0019868321 | 0.0014 | 0.7046393 | 0.0023860375 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 3.4999944E-6 | 3.4660445E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4660445E-6 | 0.0 | 1.499989E-5 | 1.4854393E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.732015 | 1.14852905E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8260835E-4 | 1.8083748E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5529827 | 2.808194E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018245836 | 0.0018078592 | 0.0013 | 0.71908253 | 0.002207136 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.9470837E-6 | 2.8890067E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8890067E-6 | 0.0 | 1.26302975E-5 | 1.23814E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.076632 | 1.1238016E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5376302E-4 | 1.5073329E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6634234 | 2.507182E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015365666 | 0.0015072576 | 9.0E-4 | 0.597111 | 0.0019066547 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.4850247E-6 | 2.4000497E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000497E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0650062E-5 | 1.0285887E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.722059 | 1.1028486E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.296568E-4 | 1.2522363E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.79857135 | 2.252111E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012958117 | 0.0012524783 | 5.0E-4 | 0.39920852 | 0.0015521026 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.1800304E-6 | 2.0782227E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0782227E-6 | 0.0 | 9.342954E-6 | 8.906639E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 11.22758 | 1.0890575E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1374453E-4 | 1.08433014E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.92222834 | 2.0842218E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011368633 | 0.0010847335 | 5.0E-4 | 0.46094272 | 0.0013844081 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.0378504E-6 | 1.9515617E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9515617E-6 | 0.0 | 8.733615E-6 | 8.36381E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 11.956274 | 1.08362976E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0632657E-4 | 1.0182471E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.98207986 | 2.0181453E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010627571 | 0.0010186968 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49082318 | 0.0013183912 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.4577047E-6 | 1.4107119E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4107119E-6 | 0.0 | 6.247291E-6 | 6.0458947E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 16.54015 | 1.0604529E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.605811E-5 | 7.360635E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3585783 | 1.73599E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.603208E-4 | 7.3667604E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.54297954 | 9.3652867E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.0685743E-7 | 6.5438036E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5438036E-7 | 0.0 | 3.457956E-6 | 2.8044844E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8044844E-6 | 0.0 | 4.20998E-5 | 3.4144112E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4144112E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2091825E-4 | 3.420983E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.420983E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1239435E-7 | 1.3331085E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3331085E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3388321E-6 | 5.713321E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.713321E-7 | 0.0 | 1.630016E-5 | 6.955947E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.955947E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6298964E-4 | 7.0206355E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0206355E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7747207E-7 | 4.802167E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.802167E-8 | 0.0 | 7.605944E-7 | 2.0580714E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0580714E-7 | 0.0 | 9.260198E-6 | 2.5056993E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5056993E-6 | 0.0 | 9.2598115E-5 | 2.547158E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.547158E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1035538E-8 | 2.2166682E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2166682E-9 | 0.0 | 9.0152305E-8 | 9.500008E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.500008E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0976038E-6 | 1.1566259E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1566259E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0975983E-5 | 1.193644E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.193644E-6 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.4782963E-9 | 9.166001E-13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.166001E-13 | 0.0 | 6.335555E-9 | 3.9293013E-12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9293013E-12 | 0.0 | 7.713538E-8 | 4.783507E-11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.783507E-11 | 0.0 | 7.7135354E-7 | 6.9037376E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9037376E-10 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4096445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4096445E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0326697E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9683639 | 2.0325664E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012566509 | 7.0E-4 | 0.55703616 | 0.0015562739 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015655609 | 0.012505477 | 0.0111 | 0.8876111 | 0.0175417 | 0.0051 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4096445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4096445E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0326697E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9683639 | 2.0325664E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012566509 | 7.0E-4 | 0.55703616 | 0.0015562739 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015655609 | 0.012505477 | 0.0111 | 0.8876111 | 0.0175417 | 0.0051 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4096445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4096445E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0326697E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9683639 | 2.0325664E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012566509 | 7.0E-4 | 0.55703616 | 0.0015562739 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015655609 | 0.012505477 | 0.0111 | 0.8876111 | 0.0175417 | 0.0051 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.364058E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.364058E-5 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.845841E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7106179 | 1.5845256E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1151496E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.84327114 | 0.0010113015 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01063879 | 0.007093996 | 0.0071 | 1.0008464 | 0.010767748 | 0.0037 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.364058E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.364058E-5 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.845841E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7106179 | 1.5845256E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1151496E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.84327114 | 0.0010113015 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01063879 | 0.007093996 | 0.0071 | 1.0008464 | 0.010767748 | 0.0037 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0478777E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0478777E-5 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4908324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4908324E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.466317E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5488156 | 6.4657704E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008994718 | 0.005453867 | 0.0051 | 0.9351163 | 0.008139142 | 0.0027 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.415474E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.415474E-6 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.606586E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.606586E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.390206E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.22777973 | 4.390206E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043822504 | 0.0039 | 0.8899537 | 0.006373486 | 0.002 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.4121696E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4121696E-6 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7480464E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7480464E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3452795E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29892868 | 3.3452795E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.003340704 | 0.003 | 0.89801437 | 0.0047360267 | 0.0014 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3340488E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3340488E-6 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8574367E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8574367E-5 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2612032E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2612032E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.0022589893 | 0.0024 | 1.062422 | 0.0034562785 | 0.0012 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5813089E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5813089E-6 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.534838E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.534838E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8685109E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8685109E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018669983 | 0.0021 | 1.1248002 | 0.0029649446 | 0.0011 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5680283E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5680283E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.1005791E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1005791E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3398757E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3398757E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.001339099 | 0.0014 | 1.045479 | 0.0021380277 | 8.0E-4 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2278455E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2278455E-6 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.547875E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.547875E-6 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1623948E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1623948E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011618158 | 0.0013 | 1.1189381 | 0.0019608864 | 8.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6278931E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6278931E-6 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.9766675E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9766675E-6 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.493785E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.493785E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.490771E-4 | 0.001 | 1.1777494 | 0.0015484828 | 7.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.346371E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.346371E-7 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5770122E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5770122E-6 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.35494E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.35494E-5 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3542314E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.22966166 | 5.353796E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7157195E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1205673 | 4.7157195E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0209147E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9896509 | 2.0209147E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021730233 | 0.002458517 | 0.0028 | 1.138898 | 0.0031567959 | 7.0E-4 | 0.021518968 | 0.02439502 | 0.0272 | 1.1149817 | 0.028004758 | 0.0037 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.685907E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.685907E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.225122E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.225122E-5 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.7931426E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.68234986 | 0.0011790505 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009028391 | 0.00875951 | 0.0101 | 1.1530327 | 0.010345494 | 0.0016 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3677115E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3677115E-5 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.861491E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.861491E-5 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.134068E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.56069 | 9.1326406E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007600669 | 0.007111625 | 0.008 | 1.1249187 | 0.008303091 | 0.0012 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2485744E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2485744E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.3509255E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3509255E-5 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.512836E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6141718 | 8.5115334E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00704657 | 0.006494128 | 0.0072 | 1.1086938 | 0.007686335 | 0.0012 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1982589E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982589E-5 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.135296E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.135296E-5 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.250459E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.639953 | 8.249209E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006810953 | 0.0062332405 | 0.0069 | 1.1069684 | 0.0073263836 | 0.0011 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1052043E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1052043E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.7365054E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7365054E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.7651964E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6938185 | 7.7640434E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006372592 | 0.005750566 | 0.0063 | 1.0955443 | 0.0067448155 | 0.001 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0066582E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0066582E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3141794E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3141794E-5 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.251269E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.38086036 | 6.250743E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059059616 | 0.005239122 | 0.0056 | 1.0688814 | 0.0061344067 | 9.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.5199375E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5199375E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0799107E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0799107E-5 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.966179E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.40272412 | 5.965682E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005652734 | 0.004955331 | 0.0051 | 1.0291947 | 0.005651862 | 7.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.302645E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.302645E-6 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.986788E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.986788E-5 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8528533E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4121287 | 5.852368E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005550127 | 0.004842504 | 0.0048 | 0.9912227 | 0.0055391146 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.594725E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.594725E-6 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.6834026E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6834026E-5 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4836377E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.44606635 | 5.4831896E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044748187 | 0.0041 | 0.91623825 | 0.0050721336 | 6.0E-4 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.0275895E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0275895E-6 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.440351E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.440351E-5 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1878398E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4775732 | 5.187421E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00496445 | 0.004180163 | 0.0039 | 0.9329779 | 0.004777655 | 6.0E-4 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.654781E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.654781E-6 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.28058E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.28058E-5 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.9933913E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5008275 | 4.992992E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004792784 | 0.003986427 | 0.0037 | 0.92814934 | 0.0045840354 | 6.0E-4 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.932953E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.932953E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5426696E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5426696E-5 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.0952637E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.32307425 | 3.0952637E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030910252 | 0.0027 | 0.87349665 | 0.0034897886 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.597863E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.597863E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3990622E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3990622E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9204699E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34241068 | 2.9204699E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.002916703 | 0.0026 | 0.8914175 | 0.0033155363 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9199675E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9199675E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1085405E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1085405E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.5668478E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5668478E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025639432 | 0.0023 | 0.8970558 | 0.0029629176 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.085048E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.085048E-6 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7507233E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7507233E-5 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1312981E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1312981E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021292653 | 0.0019 | 0.89232653 | 0.0023288396 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0891456E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0891456E-6 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.3239129E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3239129E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6117454E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6117454E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016105847 | 0.0013 | 0.8071603 | 0.0018102626 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8286868E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8286868E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.837206E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.837206E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.541387E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.541387E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.5373514E-4 | 0.001 | 1.0485091 | 0.0011535444 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.510546E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.510546E-7 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5045189E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5045189E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8317365E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8317365E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8315867E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.6379241 | 2.8314037E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2693334E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2693334E-8 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.4400005E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4400005E-8 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6231985E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6231985E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.6231796E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6231796E-6 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.034087E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.034087E-9 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.717515E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.717515E-9 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0613574E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0613574E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.061357E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.061357E-6 | 0.0 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3101154E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3101154E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4185515E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.1148334 | 4.418126E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017258549 | 0.002 | 1.1588459 | 0.0029237838 | 0.0012 | 0.015895851 | 0.01713836 | 0.015 | 0.8752296 | 0.021266378 | 0.0042 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3101154E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3101154E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4185515E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.1148334 | 4.418126E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017258549 | 0.002 | 1.1588459 | 0.0029237838 | 0.0012 | 0.015895851 | 0.01713836 | 0.015 | 0.8752296 | 0.021266378 | 0.0042 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.25469705E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.25469705E-5 | 0.0 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3771677E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8597151 | 1.537663E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5448316E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.3751309 | 0.0012540905 | 6.0E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065265284 | 0.0063 | 0.96529114 | 0.008513475 | 0.002 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.25469705E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.25469705E-5 | 0.0 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3771677E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8597151 | 1.537663E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5448316E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.3751309 | 0.0012540905 | 6.0E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065265284 | 0.0063 | 0.96529114 | 0.008513475 | 0.002 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.481312E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.481312E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6347996E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7511835 | 1.3634436E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.42451E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.5820961 | 9.4222976E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044161067 | 0.0046 | 1.0416416 | 0.0059094825 | 0.0015 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.286877E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.286877E-6 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6943495E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6943495E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2799022E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2195486 | 6.2789186E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032753148 | 0.0031 | 0.9464739 | 0.004172367 | 9.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.286877E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.286877E-6 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6943495E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6943495E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2799022E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2195486 | 6.2789186E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032753148 | 0.0031 | 0.9464739 | 0.004172367 | 9.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2819282E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2819282E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4065337E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4065337E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7123319E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.167998 | 3.7119893E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.001711127 | 0.001 | 0.58441013 | 0.0020106137 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4290982E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4290982E-6 | 0.0 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0410385E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0410385E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2673998E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.578034 | 3.2671462E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012667672 | 9.0E-4 | 0.71046996 | 0.0015663871 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0655034E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0655034E-6 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5664383E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5664383E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5595483E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5595483E-5 | 0.0 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.5586634E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7195974 | 6.5581076E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.0763026E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0763026E-7 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1755584E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1755584E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6487423E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6487423E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6487422E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.75507534 | 3.6484774E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.787891E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.787891E-5 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0518013E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0518013E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024953699 | 0.0013 | 0.52096486 | 0.0029941222 | 5.0E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024691036 | 0.0179 | 0.72495943 | 0.028494742 | 0.0039 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.787891E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.787891E-5 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0518013E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0518013E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024953699 | 0.0013 | 0.52096486 | 0.0029941222 | 5.0E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024691036 | 0.0179 | 0.72495943 | 0.028494742 | 0.0039 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.787891E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.787891E-5 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0518013E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0518013E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024953699 | 0.0013 | 0.52096486 | 0.0029941222 | 5.0E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024691036 | 0.0179 | 0.72495943 | 0.028494742 | 0.0039 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.787891E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.787891E-5 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0518013E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0518013E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024953699 | 0.0013 | 0.52096486 | 0.0029941222 | 5.0E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024691036 | 0.0179 | 0.72495943 | 0.028494742 | 0.0039 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9625145E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9625145E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6981152E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6981152E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020655883 | 0.0011 | 0.5325359 | 0.002464762 | 4.0E-4 | 0.019274427 | 0.020473925 | 0.0151 | 0.73752344 | 0.02400022 | 0.0036 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9625145E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9625145E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6981152E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6981152E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020655883 | 0.0011 | 0.5325359 | 0.002464762 | 4.0E-4 | 0.019274427 | 0.020473925 | 0.0151 | 0.73752344 | 0.02400022 | 0.0036 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.122408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.122408E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3381083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3381083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.001627964 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5528378 | 0.0019274756 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015636992 | 0.016164254 | 0.0111 | 0.6867004 | 0.01911576 | 0.003 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0833362E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0833362E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3213648E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3213648E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016076092 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5598376 | 0.0019071269 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015458848 | 0.015963644 | 0.0109 | 0.6828015 | 0.018817348 | 0.0029 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5026215E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5026215E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0725092E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725092E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013050194 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5363905 | 0.0016046279 | 3.0E-4 | 0.012867244 | 0.012975928 | 0.009 | 0.693592 | 0.0155421905 | 0.0026 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.335412E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.335412E-5 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0008536E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0008536E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012178784 | 7.0E-4 | 0.57477003 | 0.0015175131 | 3.0E-4 | 0.012089936 | 0.012114236 | 0.0085 | 0.7016538 | 0.014485163 | 0.0024 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1776934E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1776934E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.332649E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.332649E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011356776 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6163721 | 0.0014353369 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011320163 | 0.011300843 | 0.0083 | 0.73445845 | 0.013574852 | 0.0023 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0556283E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0556283E-5 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.809549E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.809549E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010720545 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6529519 | 0.0013717328 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010722724 | 0.010670881 | 0.008 | 0.7497038 | 0.012946337 | 0.0023 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9069266E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9069266E-5 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.1722974E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.1722974E-5 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.945424E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.70384127 | 0.0012942441 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009859995 | 0.009902917 | 0.0076 | 0.7674507 | 0.01208113 | 0.0022 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4920775E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4920775E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.394469E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.394469E-5 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.782612E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6424578 | 0.0010780278 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006934359 | 0.007756658 | 0.0057 | 0.73485255 | 0.009542696 | 0.0018 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1874348E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1874348E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.0889124E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0889124E-5 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.194084E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.80722183 | 9.192226E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0061777695 | 0.0049 | 0.7931665 | 0.0075691207 | 0.0014 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.171227E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.171227E-6 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.930471E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.930471E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7843758E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41802737 | 5.7838974E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004774852 | 0.0036 | 0.75395006 | 0.0053719874 | 6.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.558044E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.558044E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9534336E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534336E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3780597E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4205109 | 2.3780597E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023756532 | 0.0016 | 0.6734989 | 0.0023756532 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.596239E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.596239E-6 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5412368E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5412368E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8763077E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8763077E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018748541 | 0.001 | 0.53337485 | 0.0018748541 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0384457E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2911565 | 1.3038142E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3021371E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.0718732 | 4.3017464E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015843954 | 0.0024 | 1.5147734 | 0.0024829695 | 9.0E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015750503 | 0.0207 | 1.3142437 | 0.019293802 | 0.0036 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0384457E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2911565 | 1.3038142E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3021371E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.0718732 | 4.3017464E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015843954 | 0.0024 | 1.5147734 | 0.0024829695 | 9.0E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015750503 | 0.0207 | 1.3142437 | 0.019293802 | 0.0036 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6100461E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6100461E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.900071E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.900071E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3985855E-4 | 0.001 | 1.1906767 | 0.0010396906 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008376547 | 0.0105 | 1.2534999 | 0.010359794 | 0.002 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6100461E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6100461E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.900071E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.900071E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3985855E-4 | 0.001 | 1.1906767 | 0.0010396906 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008376547 | 0.0105 | 1.2534999 | 0.010359794 | 0.002 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5012373E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5012373E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4337706E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4337706E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8312814E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.0215442 | 9.829715E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.007813316 | 0.0097 | 1.2414703 | 0.009500033 | 0.0017 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5012373E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5012373E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4337706E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4337706E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8312814E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.0215442 | 9.829715E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.007813316 | 0.0097 | 1.2414703 | 0.009500033 | 0.0017 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2858516E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2858516E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.51073E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.51073E-5 | 0.0 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.708206E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7453558 | 8.7068643E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0066973506 | 0.0081 | 1.2094334 | 0.008187304 | 0.0015 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.82709E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.82709E-6 | 0.0 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.211593E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.211593E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.1273144E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.58510166 | 7.126289E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.005124368 | 0.0059 | 1.1513616 | 0.006218731 | 0.0011 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1756155E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1756155E-6 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.038343E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.038343E-6 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.134021E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.134021E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.132441E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.9784033 | 6.132441E-4 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.28442E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.28442E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9790316E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9790316E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.84437E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.84437E-5 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.843384E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.032336 | 4.843384E-4 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.748267E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.748267E-7 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7492523E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7492523E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.564626E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.564626E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5637548E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0955892 | 4.5637548E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.712087E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.712087E-7 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3051763E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3051763E-6 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0239836E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0239836E-5 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0233147E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9942051 | 4.0233147E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.5891273E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5891273E-7 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2524795E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2524795E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.959828E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.959828E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9591815E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0103098 | 3.9591815E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.8972645E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8972645E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9559676E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9559676E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.5988367E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5988367E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5983112E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1116326 | 3.5983112E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.1940955E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1940955E-7 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6546102E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6546102E-6 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2319454E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2319454E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.231531E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2378033 | 3.231531E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3493494E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3493494E-7 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2925765E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2925765E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7911816E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7911816E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7908842E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4332376 | 2.7908842E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6041258E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6041258E-7 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160537E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1160537E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587897E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3587897E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587347E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.9439154 | 1.3587347E-4 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3659972E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3659972E-5 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0139619E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9724607 | 1.0139619E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012338436 | 7.0E-4 | 0.56733286 | 0.0014335968 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012274444 | 0.0123 | 1.002082 | 0.016422892 | 0.0042 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3659972E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3659972E-5 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0139619E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9724607 | 1.0139619E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012338436 | 7.0E-4 | 0.56733286 | 0.0014335968 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012274444 | 0.0123 | 1.002082 | 0.016422892 | 0.0042 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1366933E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1366933E-5 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.871454E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0527751 | 4.871454E-5 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.929422E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8432526 | 7.9282356E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00560974 | 0.00591402 | 0.0065 | 1.0990832 | 0.008200417 | 0.0023 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1366933E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1366933E-5 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.871454E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0527751 | 4.871454E-5 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.929422E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8432526 | 7.9282356E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00560974 | 0.00591402 | 0.0065 | 1.0990832 | 0.008200417 | 0.0023 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.238649E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.238649E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.530802E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8322175 | 3.530802E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2979178E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6980124 | 5.297488E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042897523 | 0.0043 | 1.0023888 | 0.0056837467 | 0.0014 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.851685E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.851685E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9364039E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4055262 | 2.9364039E-5 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5744946E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.83927953 | 4.574137E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035688411 | 0.0038 | 1.0647714 | 0.004864202 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.886666E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.886666E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5228328E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9637983 | 2.5228328E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0711232E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.97684133 | 4.070816E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030669523 | 0.0032 | 1.0433811 | 0.0041635786 | 0.0011 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9409805E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9409805E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1175461E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7224474 | 2.1175461E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.577813E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7758515 | 2.577813E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025748792 | 0.0028 | 1.0874296 | 0.0034725617 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7524387E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7524387E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6081784E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.218216 | 1.6081784E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9577853E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0215625 | 1.9577853E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019561017 | 0.0024 | 1.2269301 | 0.0027545367 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6713035E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6713035E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.14483955E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.734849 | 1.14483955E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3937558E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4349717 | 1.3937558E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013929092 | 0.0018 | 1.2922593 | 0.0019920736 | 6.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8021473E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8021473E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.723466E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.947555 | 7.723466E-6 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.402931E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1269963 | 9.402931E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3991176E-4 | 0.001 | 1.0639297 | 0.0012396298 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1498905E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1498905E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.928094E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.928094E-6 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9997987E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9997987E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.998277E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.83357275 | 8.996477E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.3879725E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3879725E-7 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7377E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7377E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.333106E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.333106E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3326744E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.60011864 | 5.332008E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.390182E-5 | 1.315806E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.519981 | 1.315806E-4 | 0.0 | 3.1668364E-4 | 5.637934E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7094797 | 5.637934E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0038488081 | 0.006842544 | 0.0039 | 0.56996346 | 0.007239807 | 4.0E-4 | 0.037828278 | 0.066277646 | 0.039 | 0.5884337 | 0.07001254 | 0.004 |
6.1 | 7.318768E-5 | 1.3056003E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5318623 | 1.3056003E-4 | 0.0 | 3.1362378E-4 | 5.594215E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.71502435 | 5.594215E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0038116854 | 0.006789664 | 0.0039 | 0.5744025 | 0.007186948 | 4.0E-4 | 0.037469655 | 0.065781936 | 0.0384 | 0.5837469 | 0.069518805 | 0.004 |
6.2 | 7.1379836E-5 | 1.2748668E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5687914 | 1.2748668E-4 | 0.0 | 3.058777E-4 | 5.4625556E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.732258 | 5.4625556E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003717703 | 0.0066303527 | 0.0038 | 0.57312185 | 0.006928364 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0365612 | 0.064303346 | 0.0376 | 0.58472854 | 0.067858994 | 0.0038 |
6.3 | 6.9255926E-5 | 1.2402734E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6125476 | 1.2402734E-4 | 0.0 | 2.9677735E-4 | 5.314373E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7526758 | 5.314373E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036072785 | 0.006451104 | 0.0037 | 0.5735452 | 0.0067491685 | 3.0E-4 | 0.035492823 | 0.062633686 | 0.0366 | 0.5843501 | 0.06610194 | 0.0037 |
6.4 | 6.6757144E-5 | 1.1979187E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6695623 | 1.1979187E-4 | 0.0 | 2.8607066E-4 | 5.1329297E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7792821 | 5.1329297E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0034773487 | 0.0062315073 | 0.0036 | 0.5777093 | 0.006529638 | 3.0E-4 | 0.034234364 | 0.060582623 | 0.0352 | 0.5810247 | 0.06396452 | 0.0036 |
6.5 | 6.5735134E-5 | 1.1828159E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6908802 | 1.1828159E-4 | 0.0 | 2.8169158E-4 | 5.06823E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.78923017 | 5.06823E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003424202 | 0.006153196 | 0.0036 | 0.58506185 | 0.00645135 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03371918 | 0.059846614 | 0.0346 | 0.57814467 | 0.06323117 | 0.0036 |
6.6 | 6.289601E-5 | 1.136332E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7600491 | 1.136332E-4 | 0.0 | 2.6952647E-4 | 4.869089E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.82150894 | 4.869089E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032765474 | 0.0059120827 | 0.0036 | 0.6089225 | 0.0062103095 | 3.0E-4 | 0.032286562 | 0.057583466 | 0.0336 | 0.5835008 | 0.060881924 | 0.0035 |
6.7 | 6.115274E-5 | 1.1080165E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8050272 | 1.1080165E-4 | 0.0 | 2.6205686E-4 | 4.7477818E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.84249866 | 4.7477818E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031858748 | 0.0057651834 | 0.0036 | 0.6244381 | 0.006063454 | 3.0E-4 | 0.031405866 | 0.056200814 | 0.0329 | 0.58540076 | 0.05931535 | 0.0033 |
6.8 | 5.9232367E-5 | 1.0747322E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8609287 | 1.0747322E-4 | 0.0 | 2.538283E-4 | 4.6051858E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.868586 | 4.6051858E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030859804 | 0.0055924766 | 0.0035 | 0.6258408 | 0.005791358 | 2.0E-4 | 0.030434765 | 0.05456707 | 0.0324 | 0.5937647 | 0.057592455 | 0.0032 |
6.9 | 5.4030377E-5 | 9.841056E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0323021 | 9.841056E-5 | 0.0 | 2.315382E-4 | 4.216917E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9485603 | 4.216917E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028153337 | 0.0051220767 | 0.0032 | 0.6247466 | 0.0052215643 | 1.0E-4 | 0.027799325 | 0.050100606 | 0.0306 | 0.61077106 | 0.052855317 | 0.0029 |
7.0 | 4.8260714E-5 | 8.757807E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2836766 | 8.757807E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0681522E-4 | 3.7528088E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0658684 | 3.7528088E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025150678 | 0.0045595267 | 0.0031 | 0.6798951 | 0.004659071 | 1.0E-4 | 0.024867928 | 0.044746913 | 0.028 | 0.6257415 | 0.047326095 | 0.0027 |
7.1 | 4.0294493E-5 | 7.4050695E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7008524 | 7.4050695E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7267925E-4 | 3.173217E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2605503 | 3.173217E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021003427 | 0.0038565863 | 0.0028 | 0.7260307 | 0.0039562006 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02080602 | 0.037997007 | 0.0238 | 0.6263651 | 0.04011341 | 0.0022 |
7.2 | 3.096388E-5 | 5.7121946E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7506406 | 5.7121946E-5 | 0.0 | 1.326956E-4 | 2.447855E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2255628 | 2.447855E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016143717 | 0.0029762127 | 0.0023 | 0.77279425 | 0.003075915 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01602694 | 0.029504113 | 0.0193 | 0.6541461 | 0.031348053 | 0.0019 |
7.3 | 2.3615226E-5 | 4.3750697E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3750697E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0120418E-4 | 1.874896E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0667259 | 1.874896E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012314644 | 0.0022803098 | 0.0015 | 0.6578053 | 0.002380082 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0122466255 | 0.022695811 | 0.0149 | 0.6565088 | 0.024161767 | 0.0015 |
7.4 | 1.8251132E-5 | 3.3641176E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3641176E-5 | 0.0 | 7.821679E-5 | 1.4416855E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.69363254 | 1.4416855E-4 | 0.0 | 9.518733E-4 | 0.0017538489 | 0.0012 | 0.68420947 | 0.0018536735 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009478063 | 0.017513357 | 0.0115 | 0.65664166 | 0.01879059 | 0.0013 |
7.5 | 1.2411432E-5 | 2.2534761E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2534761E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3190768E-5 | 9.657401E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0354753 | 9.657401E-5 | 0.0 | 6.4740516E-4 | 0.0011751602 | 9.0E-4 | 0.76585305 | 0.0011751602 | 0.0 | 0.006455223 | 0.011779389 | 0.0079 | 0.67066294 | 0.012668788 | 9.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.4771446E-6 | 8.11222E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.11222E-6 | 0.0 | 1.918762E-5 | 3.4766203E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4766203E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3358424E-4 | 4.2319752E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.1814814 | 4.2319752E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023333887 | 0.0042594755 | 0.0033 | 0.77474326 | 0.0047573457 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.157941E-7 | 3.5538264E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538264E-7 | 0.0 | 9.248315E-7 | 1.5230675E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230675E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1259765E-5 | 1.8543189E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8543189E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1259195E-4 | 1.916168E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.916168E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.9623286E-8 | 2.0043953E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0043953E-7 | 0.0 | 4.269569E-7 | 8.590262E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.590262E-7 | 0.0 | 5.1981874E-6 | 1.0458594E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0458594E-5 | 0.0 | 5.198066E-5 | 1.097221E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.097221E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.6745257E-8 | 1.18640166E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.18640166E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4319394E-7 | 5.0845773E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0845773E-7 | 0.0 | 2.960882E-6 | 6.190455E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.190455E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9608427E-5 | 6.5150496E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5150496E-5 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.8614323E-8 | 6.627079E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.627079E-8 | 0.0 | 1.2263281E-7 | 2.8401766E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8401766E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4930534E-6 | 3.4579095E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4579095E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4930434E-5 | 3.6059402E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6059402E-5 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.5045191E-9 | 9.027283E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.027283E-9 | 0.0 | 1.5019367E-8 | 3.868836E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.868836E-8 | 0.0 | 1.8286079E-7 | 4.7103066E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7103066E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8286064E-6 | 4.8625207E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8625207E-6 | 0.0 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5274145E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5274145E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0831329E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.92324775 | 2.0830246E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013131002 | 0.00131792 | 0.0019 | 1.4416656 | 0.002316602 | 0.001 | 0.013053683 | 0.013180896 | 0.0138 | 1.0469699 | 0.017226854 | 0.0041 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5175174E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5175174E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0788916E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9268772 | 2.0787837E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013127624 | 0.0019 | 1.4473296 | 0.0023114497 | 0.001 | 0.013000126 | 0.01312993 | 0.0138 | 1.0510337 | 0.017176097 | 0.0041 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.505679E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.505679E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.0738184E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9312562 | 2.0737111E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013065932 | 0.0019 | 1.4541633 | 0.0023052867 | 0.001 | 0.012932341 | 0.013068966 | 0.0138 | 1.0559367 | 0.017115382 | 0.0041 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4876097E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4876097E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.0660751E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9380202 | 2.0659684E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012897556 | 0.001297177 | 0.0019 | 1.464719 | 0.0022958799 | 0.001 | 0.012822957 | 0.012975907 | 0.0137 | 1.0558028 | 0.017022707 | 0.0041 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3254857E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3254857E-5 | 0.0 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.965988E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0034127 | 1.9964992E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012126865 | 0.0018 | 1.4843078 | 0.0022114739 | 0.001 | 0.012051838 | 0.012140505 | 0.0129 | 1.0625588 | 0.016091943 | 0.004 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.3069202E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3069202E-5 | 0.0 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.886428E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0114877 | 1.988544E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0012030107 | 0.0018 | 1.496246 | 0.0022018077 | 0.001 | 0.011791403 | 0.0120448 | 0.0129 | 1.0710015 | 0.015996622 | 0.004 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1848546E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1848546E-5 | 0.0 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.363328E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0679964 | 1.9362391E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011393913 | 0.0018 | 1.5797908 | 0.002138252 | 0.001 | 0.011062649 | 0.011415287 | 0.0124 | 1.0862627 | 0.015369626 | 0.004 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0467665E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0467665E-5 | 0.0 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.771563E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1400478 | 1.8770686E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010674163 | 0.0017 | 1.5926307 | 0.002066349 | 0.001 | 0.010230771 | 0.010702651 | 0.0116 | 1.0838436 | 0.01456091 | 0.0039 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9974932E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9974932E-5 | 0.0 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.560406E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.168169 | 1.8559549E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010417327 | 0.0017 | 1.6318965 | 0.002040691 | 0.001 | 0.009733009 | 0.010448251 | 0.0114 | 1.0910918 | 0.014307503 | 0.0039 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.9026817E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9026817E-5 | 0.0 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.154096E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2263776 | 1.815328E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.923105E-4 | 0.0017 | 1.7131735 | 0.001991318 | 0.001 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009958577 | 0.0107 | 1.0744506 | 0.013720735 | 0.0038 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.828911E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.828911E-5 | 0.0 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.8379555E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2758429 | 1.7837172E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.538547E-4 | 0.0017 | 1.7822421 | 0.0019529009 | 0.001 | 0.008724891 | 0.0095772 | 0.0104 | 1.0859123 | 0.013241764 | 0.0037 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7789529E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7789529E-5 | 0.0 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.623862E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3116711 | 1.76231E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.2781126E-4 | 0.0015 | 1.616708 | 0.0019268835 | 0.001 | 0.008488664 | 0.009318788 | 0.0101 | 1.083832 | 0.01288524 | 0.0036 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.7237902E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7237902E-5 | 0.0 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.387464E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3536445 | 1.7386726E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.9905394E-4 | 0.0015 | 1.6684204 | 0.0018981548 | 0.001 | 0.008200042 | 0.009033503 | 0.0098 | 1.0848504 | 0.012600983 | 0.0036 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6690445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6690445E-5 | 0.0 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.152852E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3980436 | 1.7152137E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.7051303E-4 | 0.0015 | 1.7231218 | 0.0018696425 | 0.001 | 0.00782677 | 0.00874994 | 0.0096 | 1.0971503 | 0.012219315 | 0.0035 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6526183E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6526183E-5 | 0.0 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.0824586E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4119391 | 1.708175E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.6194935E-4 | 0.0015 | 1.7402414 | 0.0018610874 | 0.001 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008664781 | 0.0094 | 1.0848514 | 0.011936188 | 0.0033 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.611769E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.611769E-5 | 0.0 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.9074E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4477228 | 1.6906709E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.406526E-4 | 0.0013 | 1.5464176 | 0.0016399801 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008452871 | 0.0087 | 1.0292362 | 0.011328357 | 0.0029 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4118886E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4118886E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.050811E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.652671 | 1.6050207E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.364379E-4 | 0.001 | 1.3578877 | 0.0013359961 | 6.0E-4 | 0.006634211 | 0.007416247 | 0.0069 | 0.93038976 | 0.009302156 | 0.0019 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.1524376E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1524376E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9389248E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.024732 | 1.4938432E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.388092E-4 | 6.011486E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.3307858 | 0.0010009081 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.0060712555 | 0.0058 | 0.9553214 | 0.0075621484 | 0.0015 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.951057E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.951057E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8361108E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8361108E-5 | 0.0 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6694657E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8566291 | 5.668999E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.0047216774 | 0.0044 | 0.93187225 | 0.005617428 | 9.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.4955644E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4955644E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3552207E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3552207E-5 | 0.0 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8671048E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.69756776 | 3.8668182E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0028995567 | 0.0027 | 0.93117684 | 0.003398107 | 5.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0875034E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0875034E-6 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.946412E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.946412E-6 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.08917164E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.08917164E-4 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001101821 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6353119 | 0.0012017108 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1632464E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1632464E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3556764E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3556764E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6505252E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6505252E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6705292E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6705292E-4 | 0.0 |
Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033643802 | 0.0017 | 0.50529367 | 0.0037630345 | 4.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033200745 | 0.0207 | 0.62348 | 0.03687458 | 0.0038 |
6.1 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033643802 | 0.0017 | 0.50529367 | 0.0037630345 | 4.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033200745 | 0.0207 | 0.62348 | 0.03687458 | 0.0038 |
6.2 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033643802 | 0.0017 | 0.50529367 | 0.0037630345 | 4.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033200745 | 0.0207 | 0.62348 | 0.03687458 | 0.0038 |
6.3 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033643802 | 0.0017 | 0.50529367 | 0.0037630345 | 4.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033200745 | 0.0207 | 0.62348 | 0.03687458 | 0.0038 |
6.4 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033643802 | 0.0017 | 0.50529367 | 0.0037630345 | 4.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033200745 | 0.0207 | 0.62348 | 0.03687458 | 0.0038 |
6.5 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033643802 | 0.0017 | 0.50529367 | 0.0037630345 | 4.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033200745 | 0.0207 | 0.62348 | 0.03687458 | 0.0038 |
6.6 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.457146E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7670868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033643802 | 0.0017 | 0.50529367 | 0.0037630345 | 4.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033200745 | 0.0207 | 0.62348 | 0.03687458 | 0.0038 |
6.7 | 3.495179E-5 | 4.6340243E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6340243E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4978478E-4 | 1.985888E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.985888E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018221042 | 0.0024156687 | 9.0E-4 | 0.37256765 | 0.002714944 | 3.0E-4 | 0.018072363 | 0.02394655 | 0.015 | 0.62639505 | 0.026972314 | 0.0031 |
6.8 | 2.7517597E-5 | 3.6265563E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6265563E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1792722E-4 | 1.554171E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.554171E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014348183 | 0.0018910341 | 7.0E-4 | 0.37016782 | 0.002090656 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014255894 | 0.018795785 | 0.0119 | 0.63312066 | 0.021346916 | 0.0026 |
6.9 | 2.74461E-5 | 3.6183264E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6183264E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1762084E-4 | 1.5506442E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5506442E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001431093 | 0.0018867478 | 7.0E-4 | 0.37100878 | 0.0020863705 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014219119 | 0.018753646 | 0.0119 | 0.63454324 | 0.021304887 | 0.0026 |
7.0 | 1.9023773E-5 | 2.4723182E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4723182E-5 | 0.0 | 8.152791E-5 | 1.0595425E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0595425E-4 | 0.0 | 9.921503E-4 | 0.0012896302 | 3.0E-4 | 0.23262483 | 0.0012896302 | 0.0 | 0.009877323 | 0.012860552 | 0.0085 | 0.6609358 | 0.0145386895 | 0.0017 |
7.1 | 5.566844E-6 | 6.514434E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.514434E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3857683E-5 | 2.7918728E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7918728E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9042858E-4 | 3.3986176E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3986176E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002900493 | 0.0033938407 | 0.0017 | 0.5009074 | 0.003892144 | 5.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.011353E-6 | 4.6762148E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6762148E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7191402E-5 | 2.0040785E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0040785E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0928521E-4 | 2.4397267E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4397267E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020908823 | 0.0024373862 | 0.0011 | 0.45130312 | 0.0026368985 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.0974871E-6 | 2.4404105E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4404105E-6 | 0.0 | 8.989199E-6 | 1.0458874E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0458874E-5 | 0.0 | 1.09438006E-4 | 1.2733186E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733186E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010938413 | 0.0012728344 | 5.0E-4 | 0.39282408 | 0.0012728344 | 0.0 |
Honey Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.959332E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.959332E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4107253E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29319277 | 3.4107253E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032068014 | 0.0041450993 | 0.0025 | 0.6031219 | 0.0046430267 | 5.0E-4 | 0.03160919 | 0.040726278 | 0.0253 | 0.6212205 | 0.04427559 | 0.0037 |
6.1 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.959332E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.959332E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4107253E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29319277 | 3.4107253E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032068014 | 0.0041450993 | 0.0024 | 0.578997 | 0.0046430267 | 5.0E-4 | 0.03160919 | 0.040726278 | 0.0231 | 0.5672014 | 0.04398781 | 0.0034 |
6.2 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.2605556E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2605556E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2543393E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.44358894 | 2.2543393E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027413552 | 0.0016 | 0.5836529 | 0.0031402586 | 4.0E-4 | 0.021337535 | 0.027091501 | 0.0157 | 0.57951754 | 0.029329192 | 0.0023 |
6.3 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.2605556E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2605556E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2543393E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.44358894 | 2.2543393E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027413552 | 0.0016 | 0.5836529 | 0.0031402586 | 4.0E-4 | 0.021337535 | 0.027091501 | 0.0157 | 0.57951754 | 0.029329192 | 0.0023 |
6.4 | 3.2393702E-5 | 4.0909166E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0909166E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3882275E-4 | 1.7531386E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.57040554 | 1.7531386E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016888566 | 0.0021324635 | 0.001 | 0.4689412 | 0.002332037 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016760793 | 0.021131031 | 0.0116 | 0.5489557 | 0.022697221 | 0.0016 |
6.5 | 2.7205504E-5 | 3.4229823E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4229823E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1658981E-4 | 1.4669151E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.68170273 | 1.4669151E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014185566 | 0.0017845997 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5043148 | 0.0019842428 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014095354 | 0.017712208 | 0.0103 | 0.5815198 | 0.018989183 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 2.069265E-5 | 2.5968986E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5968986E-5 | 0.0 | 8.867977E-5 | 1.1129139E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8985421 | 1.1129139E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010791414 | 0.0013542147 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5169047 | 0.001553944 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010739161 | 0.013468003 | 0.0073 | 0.54202545 | 0.014553188 | 0.0011 |
6.7 | 1.8060919E-5 | 2.2668704E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2668704E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7401644E-5 | 9.7148426E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0293528 | 9.7148426E-5 | 0.0 | 9.419576E-4 | 0.0011822213 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5921057 | 0.0013819849 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009379748 | 0.0117673725 | 0.0061 | 0.5183825 | 0.012755605 | 0.001 |
6.8 | 1.4474663E-5 | 1.8190862E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8190862E-5 | 0.0 | 6.203279E-5 | 7.795894E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2827265 | 7.795894E-5 | 0.0 | 7.5498753E-4 | 9.488133E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7377637 | 0.0011486235 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007524277 | 0.009455158 | 0.005 | 0.5288119 | 0.010346648 | 9.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.564552E-6 | 1.0808122E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0808122E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6704707E-5 | 4.6320078E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6320078E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4678818E-4 | 5.638675E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8867331 | 7.637547E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0044589094 | 0.005630872 | 0.0033 | 0.58605486 | 0.0063269306 | 7.0E-4 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.8982674E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8982674E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0991178E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47639057 | 2.0991178E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025531927 | 0.0022 | 0.86166626 | 0.0029521715 | 4.0E-4 | 0.020348595 | 0.025298085 | 0.0234 | 0.9249712 | 0.028807012 | 0.0036 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6902988E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6902988E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1529405E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8673474 | 1.1529405E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014029113 | 0.0012 | 0.8553642 | 0.0016026306 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.013960096 | 0.0122 | 0.8739195 | 0.0154391555 | 0.0015 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6902988E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6902988E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1529405E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8673474 | 1.1529405E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014029113 | 0.0012 | 0.8553642 | 0.0016026306 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.013960096 | 0.0122 | 0.8739195 | 0.0154391555 | 0.0015 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.818528E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.818528E-5 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.7934834E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2831233 | 7.7934834E-5 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.484889E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.63258517 | 0.0011482992 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007429048 | 0.009457541 | 0.0072 | 0.7612973 | 0.010349029 | 9.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.818528E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.818528E-5 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.7934834E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2831233 | 7.7934834E-5 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.484889E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.63258517 | 0.0011482992 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007429048 | 0.009457541 | 0.0072 | 0.7612973 | 0.010349029 | 9.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6671649E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6671649E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.1448216E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.399615 | 7.1448216E-5 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.6957874E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.68998927 | 0.0010694048 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008674738 | 0.0066 | 0.7608299 | 0.0093686655 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2055545E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2055545E-5 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.1665793E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1665793E-5 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.288835E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4770359 | 7.2882057E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004929154 | 0.0062828376 | 0.0046 | 0.73215324 | 0.0067796963 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0416415E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0416415E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4641198E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4641198E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.434033E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.36805075 | 5.434033E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.005432993 | 0.0036 | 0.6626182 | 0.005731363 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8164444E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8164444E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.63561E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.63561E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9911939E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5022113 | 1.9911939E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019910382 | 0.0012 | 0.60270065 | 0.00219064 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.1548387E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1548387E-6 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.234991E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.234991E-6 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1243043E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1243043E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011243502 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7115221 | 0.0013241253 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5447231E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5447231E-6 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.620225E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.620225E-6 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.0598315E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0598315E-5 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.0617744E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6202108 | 0.0010060163 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4749605E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4749605E-6 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.321244E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.321244E-6 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.695849E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.695849E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.697918E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6495263 | 9.696378E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3589472E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3589472E-6 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.824047E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.824047E-6 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.090552E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.090552E-5 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.0928765E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.70493263 | 9.091458E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1231415E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1231415E-6 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.813455E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.813455E-6 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.8602287E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8602287E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.860052E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6825878 | 6.859466E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.249316E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.249316E-7 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9639867E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9639867E-6 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.826051E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.826051E-5 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8251598E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.62174106 | 5.824677E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.63455E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.63455E-7 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.271946E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.271946E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.983525E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.983525E-5 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.982845E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.75323045 | 4.9824466E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.8913687E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8913687E-7 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9534406E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9534406E-6 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.595758E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.595758E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5952078E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8344441 | 4.594848E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4215239E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4215239E-7 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.0922446E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0922446E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.417292E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.417292E-6 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.417141E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3482285 | 1.7416399E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4695465E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4695465E-5 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.297926E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1756485 | 2.6296667E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6654117E-4 | 0.001 | 1.3045614 | 0.0014660045 | 7.0E-4 | 0.008531413 | 0.007642766 | 0.0097 | 1.269174 | 0.011215252 | 0.0036 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4695465E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4695465E-5 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.297926E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1756485 | 2.6296667E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6654117E-4 | 0.001 | 1.3045614 | 0.0014660045 | 7.0E-4 | 0.008531413 | 0.007642766 | 0.0097 | 1.269174 | 0.011215252 | 0.0036 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4695465E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4695465E-5 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.297926E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1756485 | 2.6296667E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6654117E-4 | 0.001 | 1.3045614 | 0.0014660045 | 7.0E-4 | 0.008531413 | 0.007642766 | 0.0097 | 1.269174 | 0.011215252 | 0.0036 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.864673E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.864673E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2276617E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.7307477 | 2.4226816E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1461946E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.5545468 | 0.0011143107 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051365597 | 0.0066 | 1.2849066 | 0.007822691 | 0.0027 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.864673E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.864673E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2276617E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.7307477 | 2.4226816E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1461946E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.5545468 | 0.0011143107 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051365597 | 0.0066 | 1.2849066 | 0.007822691 | 0.0027 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.881387E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.881387E-6 | 0.0 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3777054E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9605896 | 1.3377368E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1117874E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.4592195 | 8.1101427E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.005331118 | 0.0041062115 | 0.0048 | 1.1689607 | 0.0058988202 | 0.0018 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.1792833E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1792833E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.0768108E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2501185 | 1.3076504E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7455768E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.3349079 | 6.744453E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037412618 | 0.0042 | 1.1226159 | 0.005136024 | 0.0014 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.1255696E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1255696E-6 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6252286E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.809192 | 1.2624967E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.1959423E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2515872 | 6.194983E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031932588 | 0.0036 | 1.127375 | 0.0043894267 | 0.0012 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.5639858E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5639858E-6 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0988487E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.100434 | 1.10987385E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3378062E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.2424774 | 3.3375385E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013373926 | 0.0018 | 1.3459024 | 0.0020364565 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.34504E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.34504E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0050155E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.950095 | 1.1004915E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2235774E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.451827 | 3.2233328E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023610266 | 0.001223293 | 0.0018 | 1.4714382 | 0.0019224368 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6888055E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6888055E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.237738E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.237738E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.811946E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1348232 | 1.8811064E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017889962 | 8.8119454E-4 | 0.0015 | 1.7022347 | 0.0013807539 | 5.0E-4 |
Concord 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.766656E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.0716758 | 3.9763725E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.1850482E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.1947294 | 9.182955E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0030148525 | 0.0050839344 | 0.0035 | 0.6884432 | 0.006178342 | 0.0011 | 0.029742775 | 0.049301114 | 0.029 | 0.588222 | 0.052723628 | 0.0036 |
6.1 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.766656E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.0716758 | 3.9763725E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.1850482E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.1947294 | 9.182955E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0030148525 | 0.0050839344 | 0.0035 | 0.6884432 | 0.006178342 | 0.0011 | 0.029742775 | 0.049301114 | 0.029 | 0.588222 | 0.052723628 | 0.0036 |
6.2 | 5.6789337E-5 | 9.5868025E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.129302 | 3.9583925E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.4336016E-4 | 4.1079923E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.2171396 | 9.1059384E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0029588845 | 0.004990598 | 0.0034 | 0.6812811 | 0.0060851085 | 0.0011 | 0.029197963 | 0.048417203 | 0.0285 | 0.5886337 | 0.051652584 | 0.0034 |
6.3 | 5.203322E-5 | 8.81058E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.269998 | 2.8808817E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2298045E-4 | 3.7754604E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0594734 | 7.7739503E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0027114071 | 0.004587719 | 0.0031 | 0.675717 | 0.0055831317 | 0.001 | 0.026785625 | 0.044585522 | 0.0267 | 0.59884906 | 0.047738392 | 0.0033 |
6.4 | 4.7120942E-5 | 7.9018166E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2655318 | 1.7901027E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0193127E-4 | 3.386095E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.88597625 | 6.3850795E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0024557412 | 0.0041155233 | 0.0026 | 0.6317544 | 0.0050118193 | 9.0E-4 | 0.024287801 | 0.0400996 | 0.0239 | 0.59601593 | 0.04288331 | 0.0029 |
6.5 | 2.9598437E-5 | 4.6715155E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6715155E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2684427E-4 | 2.0019362E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0019362E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001543235 | 0.0024348435 | 0.0015 | 0.616056 | 0.0028338695 | 4.0E-4 | 0.015325619 | 0.023927856 | 0.0149 | 0.6227052 | 0.02548957 | 0.0016 |
6.6 | 2.0443718E-5 | 3.0022673E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0022673E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7613E-5 | 1.2866246E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2866246E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010661662 | 0.0015653762 | 0.0012 | 0.7665889 | 0.001765063 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010610655 | 0.015484465 | 0.0111 | 0.7168475 | 0.016665885 | 0.0012 |
6.7 | 1.798539E-5 | 2.5595184E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5595184E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7077966E-5 | 1.0968915E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0968915E-4 | 0.0 | 9.380202E-4 | 0.001334669 | 0.0011 | 0.8241744 | 0.0014345355 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009340706 | 0.013234968 | 0.0096 | 0.72535115 | 0.014123057 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.613555E-5 | 2.1975748E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1975748E-5 | 0.0 | 6.915052E-5 | 9.417845E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.417845E-5 | 0.0 | 8.4158237E-4 | 0.0011460335 | 8.0E-4 | 0.69805986 | 0.0012459189 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008384023 | 0.011385576 | 0.0084 | 0.7377756 | 0.012077605 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2916435E-5 | 1.7096663E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7096663E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5354973E-5 | 7.326939E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.326939E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7373837E-4 | 8.9169556E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6728754 | 8.9169556E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006716994 | 0.008875474 | 0.007 | 0.7886902 | 0.009371037 | 5.0E-4 |
7.0 | 9.81129E-6 | 1.2642283E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2642283E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2047708E-5 | 5.41801E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.41801E-5 | 0.0 | 5.118106E-4 | 6.5944466E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.45492825 | 6.5944466E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005106334 | 0.0065757316 | 0.0048 | 0.7299568 | 0.0070724436 | 5.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.0889195E-6 | 1.0428023E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0428023E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4666336E-5 | 4.469077E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.469077E-5 | 0.0 | 4.219809E-4 | 5.4397533E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5514956 | 5.4397533E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004211805 | 0.00542693 | 0.0037 | 0.68178517 | 0.0058247587 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.267438E-6 | 8.124628E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.124628E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6860173E-5 | 3.4819375E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4819375E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2697353E-4 | 4.2384415E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.47187155 | 4.2384415E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032649285 | 0.0042308182 | 0.003 | 0.7090827 | 0.004629126 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6761196E-6 | 4.8442803E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8442803E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5754704E-5 | 2.0761037E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0761037E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9179663E-4 | 2.5273653E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7913379 | 2.5273653E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019163118 | 0.0025249112 | 0.0022 | 0.8713178 | 0.002724406 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.8044356E-6 | 3.7135312E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7135312E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2018954E-5 | 1.5915037E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5915037E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4632095E-4 | 1.9374846E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5161331 | 1.9374846E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014622464 | 0.0019360551 | 0.0015 | 0.77477133 | 0.002135668 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.4578699E-6 | 3.2482085E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2482085E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0533685E-5 | 1.392082E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.392082E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2824008E-4 | 1.694729E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5900648 | 1.694729E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012816609 | 0.001693684 | 0.0012 | 0.7085147 | 0.0018933453 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.7713267E-6 | 2.338305E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.338305E-6 | 0.0 | 7.591378E-6 | 1.0021269E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0021269E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2421105E-5 | 1.2200221E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.81965727 | 1.2200221E-4 | 0.0 | 9.2382677E-4 | 0.0012195924 | 8.0E-4 | 0.65595686 | 0.0014193484 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1912366E-7 | 6.832634E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.832634E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2248137E-6 | 2.9282685E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9282685E-6 | 0.0 | 2.708677E-5 | 3.5651097E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8049626 | 3.5651097E-5 | 0.0 | 2.708347E-4 | 3.5646665E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1221246 | 3.5646665E-4 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.037682E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4766684 | 1.4037278E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7303349E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7337683 | 3.7299888E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021049047 | 0.0023 | 1.092686 | 0.0025040628 | 4.0E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020875612 | 0.0213 | 1.0203294 | 0.023910897 | 0.0031 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.037682E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4766684 | 1.4037278E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7303349E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7337683 | 3.7299888E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021049047 | 0.0023 | 1.092686 | 0.0025040628 | 4.0E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020875612 | 0.0213 | 1.0203294 | 0.023910897 | 0.0031 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1066015E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1066015E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.028037E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.215321 | 1.9027134E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010987114 | 0.0017 | 1.5472672 | 0.0011986014 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010942885 | 0.0124 | 1.1331564 | 0.012525377 | 0.0016 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1066015E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1066015E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.028037E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.215321 | 1.9027134E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010987114 | 0.0017 | 1.5472672 | 0.0011986014 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010942885 | 0.0124 | 1.1331564 | 0.012525377 | 0.0016 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9570964E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9570964E-5 | 0.0 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.387343E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3845453 | 1.8386504E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010207812 | 0.0016 | 1.5674269 | 0.0011206792 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.010170848 | 0.0119 | 1.1700106 | 0.011655592 | 0.0015 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6841894E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6841894E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.2178074E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7709246 | 1.7217085E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.7850733E-4 | 0.0014 | 1.5936122 | 9.784194E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008759546 | 0.0111 | 1.2671889 | 0.010246407 | 0.0015 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3728104E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3728104E-5 | 0.0 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.8833903E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.3994005 | 1.5882801E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.1615604E-4 | 0.0011 | 1.5359782 | 8.160844E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071471795 | 0.009 | 1.259238 | 0.008537173 | 0.0014 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1536901E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1536901E-5 | 0.0 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9443417E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0225139 | 1.4943848E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.0189434E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.4952791 | 7.0183416E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.0060111736 | 0.0073 | 1.2144051 | 0.0072039603 | 0.0012 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.167568E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.167568E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.499949E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8571554 | 3.499949E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042533497 | 0.0028 | 0.6583047 | 0.0045520733 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.041774645 | 0.0307 | 0.7348955 | 0.044936787 | 0.0033 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.167568E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.167568E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.499949E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8571554 | 3.499949E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042533497 | 0.0022 | 0.5172394 | 0.0045520733 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.041774645 | 0.0231 | 0.552967 | 0.044074386 | 0.0024 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6469635E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6469635E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9914069E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9914069E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.002421897 | 9.0E-4 | 0.37160954 | 0.0025216548 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020349167 | 0.02396168 | 0.0135 | 0.56339955 | 0.025328135 | 0.0014 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.7942005E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7942005E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6259862E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259862E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.001977871 | 6.0E-4 | 0.3033565 | 0.002077673 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01686163 | 0.01960647 | 0.0111 | 0.5661397 | 0.02078294 | 0.0012 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.41089E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.41089E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4617296E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4617296E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.001778229 | 5.0E-4 | 0.28117862 | 0.0018780512 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015251739 | 0.017643174 | 0.0102 | 0.57812726 | 0.018527295 | 9.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2257845E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2257845E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3824072E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3824072E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016818069 | 5.0E-4 | 0.2972993 | 0.0017816387 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014456868 | 0.016693808 | 0.0098 | 0.587044 | 0.017578784 | 9.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.577044E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.577044E-5 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.10440145E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.10440145E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013437942 | 3.0E-4 | 0.22324848 | 0.0013437942 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.0133584 | 0.0079 | 0.59138817 | 0.013950385 | 6.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2673024E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2673024E-5 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.716655E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.716655E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.001182372 | 3.0E-4 | 0.25372726 | 0.001182372 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.011762106 | 0.0065 | 0.55262214 | 0.012355048 | 6.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.8983052E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8983052E-5 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.135345E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.135345E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.900376E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.20201254 | 9.900376E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009857297 | 0.0058 | 0.5883966 | 0.010451383 | 6.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7274197E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7274197E-5 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.403022E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.403022E-5 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.00954E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.11099345 | 9.00954E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008973961 | 0.0053 | 0.5905976 | 0.009568577 | 6.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4036841E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4036841E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.0156544E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0156544E-5 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.321674E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.13658078 | 7.321674E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072983387 | 0.004 | 0.54806995 | 0.0076954192 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2378498E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2378498E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.3049665E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3049665E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.456956E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.15487173 | 6.456956E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064389417 | 0.0037 | 0.5746286 | 0.0068363664 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0847885E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0847885E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.649015E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.649015E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.6587777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.17671661 | 5.6587777E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056450926 | 0.0027 | 0.47829154 | 0.005943399 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.086408E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.086408E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.894121E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.894121E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7401313E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.21096462 | 4.7401313E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004730724 | 0.0022 | 0.46504512 | 0.0050293044 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3633257E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3633257E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4414201E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414201E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7548382E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5698531 | 1.7548382E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017539478 | 7.0E-4 | 0.39909968 | 0.0018537724 | 1.0E-4 |
Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8694856E-5 | 6.762294E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4787883 | 1.6761618E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0867554E-4 | 2.8978096E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0352646 | 4.89723E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025376645 | 0.0035223714 | 0.0032 | 0.90847886 | 0.0043195537 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02508881 | 0.034844086 | 0.0253 | 0.7260916 | 0.038125616 | 0.0034 |
6.1 | 4.8694856E-5 | 6.762294E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4787883 | 1.6761618E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0867554E-4 | 2.8978096E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0352646 | 4.89723E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025376645 | 0.0035223714 | 0.0032 | 0.90847886 | 0.0043195537 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02508881 | 0.034844086 | 0.0253 | 0.7260916 | 0.038125616 | 0.0034 |
6.2 | 4.7541962E-5 | 6.5952794E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5162361 | 1.659462E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0373536E-4 | 2.826248E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0614779 | 4.8256828E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0024776561 | 0.0034355454 | 0.0031 | 0.9023313 | 0.004232797 | 8.0E-4 | 0.024502134 | 0.034004934 | 0.0248 | 0.7293059 | 0.037289318 | 0.0034 |
6.3 | 4.6717287E-5 | 6.478552E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5435548 | 1.6477905E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0020158E-4 | 2.7762348E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0806003 | 4.7756796E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0024347296 | 0.0033748534 | 0.003 | 0.88892746 | 0.004172154 | 8.0E-4 | 0.024082264 | 0.033417057 | 0.0242 | 0.724181 | 0.03670344 | 0.0034 |
6.4 | 4.6276386E-5 | 6.41467E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5589267 | 1.6414029E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.983123E-4 | 2.748863E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0913604 | 4.748313E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0024117786 | 0.0033416383 | 0.003 | 0.89776325 | 0.0041389647 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02385771 | 0.03309571 | 0.0242 | 0.7312126 | 0.03638318 | 0.0034 |
6.5 | 4.5720994E-5 | 6.3346815E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5786114 | 1.6334048E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9593239E-4 | 2.7145914E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1051387 | 4.7140487E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002382867 | 0.0033000482 | 0.003 | 0.90907764 | 0.004097408 | 8.0E-4 | 0.023574775 | 0.03269305 | 0.0236 | 0.72186595 | 0.035885163 | 0.0033 |
6.6 | 4.549134E-5 | 6.299924E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5873207 | 1.6299295E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.949483E-4 | 2.6996987E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1112351 | 4.699159E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023709119 | 0.003281971 | 0.0029 | 0.8836154 | 0.0040793456 | 8.0E-4 | 0.023457756 | 0.032518126 | 0.0233 | 0.7165234 | 0.03571082 | 0.0033 |
6.7 | 3.701047E-5 | 5.049463E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9804085 | 1.5048958E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5860666E-4 | 2.1638785E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3863994 | 4.1634458E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0019293258 | 0.0026313828 | 0.002 | 0.7600566 | 0.003229804 | 6.0E-4 | 0.019126613 | 0.026191844 | 0.0166 | 0.63378507 | 0.028334223 | 0.0022 |
6.8 | 3.5523568E-5 | 4.8475173E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8475173E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5223498E-4 | 2.0773444E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9627676 | 3.0771366E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018518851 | 0.0025262765 | 0.0017 | 0.6729271 | 0.002925266 | 4.0E-4 | 0.018365284 | 0.025163965 | 0.0155 | 0.6159602 | 0.02691867 | 0.0018 |
6.9 | 3.2946147E-5 | 4.479259E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.479259E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4119013E-4 | 1.9195434E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.52095723 | 2.9193514E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017176344 | 0.0023345817 | 0.0015 | 0.6425134 | 0.0027336478 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017044188 | 0.023284193 | 0.014 | 0.60126626 | 0.024846938 | 0.0016 |
7.0 | 2.7682381E-5 | 3.714891E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.714891E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1863338E-4 | 1.5920008E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6281404 | 2.5918416E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014434044 | 0.0019365682 | 0.0012 | 0.61965287 | 0.0022359872 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01434065 | 0.019374212 | 0.0111 | 0.5729265 | 0.020747088 | 0.0014 |
7.1 | 2.471967E-5 | 3.3409662E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3409662E-5 | 0.0 | 1.05937135E-4 | 1.4317657E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6984383 | 2.4316226E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012890215 | 0.0017418101 | 0.0012 | 0.6889385 | 0.0020412875 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0128157 | 0.017447798 | 0.01 | 0.57313824 | 0.01882337 | 0.0014 |
7.2 | 1.9748062E-5 | 2.689399E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.689399E-5 | 0.0 | 8.463181E-5 | 1.15254996E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8676414 | 2.1524348E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010299052 | 0.00140235 | 0.0012 | 0.8557065 | 0.0017019293 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01025145 | 0.014090974 | 0.0088 | 0.62451327 | 0.015274066 | 0.0012 |
7.3 | 1.1603734E-5 | 1.5886508E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5886508E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9729337E-5 | 6.808334E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.808334E-5 | 0.0 | 6.052865E-4 | 8.286139E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.84478426 | 0.0010284482 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0060364045 | 0.008360811 | 0.0065 | 0.77743655 | 0.00935245 | 0.001 |
7.4 | 4.885381E-6 | 6.0596612E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0596612E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0937177E-5 | 2.5969719E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5969719E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5488032E-4 | 3.161356E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.31631994 | 3.161356E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025458818 | 0.0032136303 | 0.0021 | 0.6534666 | 0.0034129876 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.0571264E-6 | 4.1778035E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1778035E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3101904E-5 | 1.7904751E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904751E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5950401E-4 | 2.1796863E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1796863E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015938957 | 0.0022326692 | 0.0014 | 0.6270522 | 0.0022326692 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.764948E-6 | 2.817158E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.817158E-6 | 0.0 | 7.564041E-6 | 1.2073479E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2073479E-5 | 0.0 | 9.208831E-5 | 1.4698476E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4698476E-4 | 0.0 | 9.205016E-4 | 0.0015231855 | 9.0E-4 | 0.590867 | 0.0015231855 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3173734E-6 | 2.07745E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.07745E-6 | 0.0 | 5.645874E-6 | 8.9033265E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.9033265E-6 | 0.0 | 6.873634E-5 | 1.0839263E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0839263E-4 | 0.0 | 6.8715087E-4 | 0.0011357269 | 8.0E-4 | 0.70439464 | 0.0011357269 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.4429885E-7 | 1.5635194E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5635194E-6 | 0.0 | 4.0469886E-6 | 6.7007804E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7007804E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9270973E-5 | 8.157896E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.157896E-5 | 0.0 | 4.926005E-4 | 8.575105E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6996999 | 8.575105E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.388233E-7 | 1.1251777E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1251777E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7378112E-6 | 4.8221814E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8221814E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3332344E-5 | 5.8708487E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8708487E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3327343E-4 | 6.147857E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6506332 | 6.147857E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.087986E-7 | 5.8074795E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8074795E-7 | 0.0 | 1.323422E-6 | 2.4889173E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4889173E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6112543E-5 | 3.0302152E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0302152E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6111376E-4 | 3.136864E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6375794 | 3.136864E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6725647E-7 | 2.7690925E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7690925E-7 | 0.0 | 7.168133E-7 | 1.1867534E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867534E-6 | 0.0 | 8.7271665E-6 | 1.4448628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4448628E-5 | 0.0 | 8.726824E-5 | 1.4992939E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6669806 | 1.4992939E-4 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7270623E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7270623E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0257448E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9745824 | 4.0253397E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024638765 | 0.0019 | 0.77114254 | 0.0029626444 | 5.0E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.024399554 | 0.02 | 0.8196871 | 0.027521476 | 0.0032 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7270623E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7270623E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0257448E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9745824 | 4.0253397E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024638765 | 0.0019 | 0.77114254 | 0.0029626444 | 5.0E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.024399554 | 0.02 | 0.8196871 | 0.027521476 | 0.0032 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7270623E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7270623E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0257448E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9745824 | 4.0253397E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024638765 | 0.0019 | 0.77114254 | 0.0029626444 | 5.0E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.024399554 | 0.02 | 0.8196871 | 0.027521476 | 0.0032 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.8278539E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8278539E-5 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.833435E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.833435E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.533224E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.73427415 | 0.0010532271 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01018413 | 0.009495515 | 0.008 | 0.84250295 | 0.010684121 | 0.0012 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3612679E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3612679E-5 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.833878E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.833878E-5 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.100492E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8450119 | 8.0997817E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070796683 | 0.0056 | 0.7909975 | 0.007874005 | 8.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3109235E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3109235E-5 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.618126E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.618126E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8379805E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.73121005 | 7.8372966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007874036 | 0.0068187886 | 0.0052 | 0.7625988 | 0.0076133334 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0387536E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0387536E-5 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.4517266E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4517266E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.4186484E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5536436 | 6.4181065E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006737438 | 0.0054068887 | 0.0039 | 0.7213021 | 0.005904185 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.9059625E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.9059625E-6 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2453445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453445E-5 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.1675E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5805515 | 6.166983E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006522954 | 0.005156937 | 0.0037 | 0.7174801 | 0.005654359 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.501777E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.501777E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.0721276E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0721276E-5 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.956706E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.60524064 | 5.9562107E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063434686 | 0.004946992 | 0.0036 | 0.72771496 | 0.0054445183 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.77887E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.77887E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.7623195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7623195E-5 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.579678E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6550679 | 5.57922E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00602425 | 0.004571536 | 0.0035 | 0.765607 | 0.0050692502 | 5.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.089608E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.089608E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4669294E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4669294E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.2201846E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7108694 | 5.2197627E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004213462 | 0.0034 | 0.8069374 | 0.004711355 | 5.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.331623E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.331623E-6 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.142087E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.142087E-5 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8248324E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.52289873 | 3.8248324E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038194344 | 0.003 | 0.7854566 | 0.004217907 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5478125E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5478125E-6 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8061759E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8061759E-5 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4159957E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29274043 | 3.4159957E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034118628 | 0.0028 | 0.8206661 | 0.0038104982 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.6016415E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6016415E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.400682E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.400682E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.922449E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3421788 | 2.922449E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.002918923 | 0.0022 | 0.75370264 | 0.0032180473 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.0313497E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0313497E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1562753E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1562753E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.6249592E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.38095832 | 2.6249592E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.002621969 | 0.002 | 0.76278555 | 0.0029211824 | 3.0E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9366464E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9366464E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6871238E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871238E-5 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.0538887E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.48688132 | 2.0538887E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.00205208 | 0.0016 | 0.77969676 | 0.0023514642 | 3.0E-4 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3978574E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3978574E-6 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4562169E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4562169E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.772808E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.56407684 | 1.772808E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017714747 | 0.0014 | 0.79030204 | 0.0020709431 | 3.0E-4 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3351286E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3351286E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.00076595E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00076595E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2183719E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.82076746 | 1.2183719E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012177771 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7390515 | 0.0014175335 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.391798E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.391798E-8 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0250558E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0250558E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.900498E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.900498E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9004226E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9004226E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4416097E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4416097E-9 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4749755E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4749755E-8 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7957827E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7957827E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7957813E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7957813E-6 | 0.0 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.147297E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.147297E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.348784E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.348784E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016411247 | 0.0013 | 0.79213965 | 0.002140304 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016311636 | 0.0139 | 0.8521524 | 0.019459438 | 0.0032 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.147297E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.147297E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.348784E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.348784E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016411247 | 0.0013 | 0.79213965 | 0.002140304 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016311636 | 0.0139 | 0.8521524 | 0.019459438 | 0.0032 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3638063E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3638063E-5 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.84476E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.84476E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.113791E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8434322 | 9.112368E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070922207 | 0.0058 | 0.8177974 | 0.008085129 | 0.001 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3638063E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3638063E-5 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.84476E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.84476E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.113791E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8434322 | 9.112368E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070922207 | 0.0058 | 0.8177974 | 0.008085129 | 0.001 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.069177E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.069177E-5 | 0.0 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.58211E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.58211E-5 | 0.0 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.577349E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.53788996 | 6.576791E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005563942 | 0.0037 | 0.66499615 | 0.00606116 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.0853555E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0853555E-6 | 0.0 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.893668E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.893668E-5 | 0.0 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7395498E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.421981 | 4.7395498E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047298493 | 0.0032 | 0.6765543 | 0.0051279576 | 4.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.533053E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.533053E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.228413E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.228413E-5 | 0.0 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.929909E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.50891757 | 3.929909E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039232164 | 0.0029 | 0.7391894 | 0.0043216473 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.7506153E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7506153E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8930901E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8930901E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.52179E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.567893 | 3.52179E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035164298 | 0.0027 | 0.76782423 | 0.0038153748 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1170887E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1170887E-6 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1930204E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1930204E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.669689E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.74915093 | 2.669689E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0038943281 | 0.00266662 | 0.0023 | 0.86251503 | 0.0029658203 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.9081892E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9081892E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.674928E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.674928E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0390439E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9808519 | 2.0390439E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020372712 | 0.0019 | 0.93262005 | 0.0022368638 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6063335E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6063335E-6 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1169955E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1169955E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3598596E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.73537004 | 1.3598596E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013590527 | 0.0012 | 0.88296795 | 0.0013590527 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0988707E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0988707E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.99513E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.99513E-6 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0951043E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.913155 | 1.0951043E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010945866 | 0.0011 | 1.0049456 | 0.0010945866 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2618601E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2618601E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.407961E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.407961E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.584002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.584002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.5821334E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7596321 | 6.5821334E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.121003E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.121003E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.051855E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.051855E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.715572E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.715572E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.714971E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.80754334 | 3.714971E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.3063235E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3063235E-7 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2741367E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2741367E-6 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.7687269E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7687269E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7683872E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0836633 | 2.7683872E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6039583E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6039583E-7 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5445527E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5445527E-6 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.880477E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.880477E-5 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8803227E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0636473 | 1.8803227E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.121037E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.121037E-8 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0518729E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0518729E-7 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7156503E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7156503E-6 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7156038E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7156038E-5 | 0.0 |
Maacama 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.368203E-4 | 2.582187E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1618059 | 2.582187E-4 | 0.0 | 5.862409E-4 | 0.001106085 | 7.0E-4 | 0.63286275 | 0.001106085 | 0.0 | 0.0071141496 | 0.013366107 | 0.0067 | 0.50126785 | 0.01376076 | 4.0E-4 | 0.06890667 | 0.12432317 | 0.0612 | 0.49226543 | 0.12703776 | 0.0031 |
6.1 | 1.368203E-4 | 2.582187E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1618059 | 2.582187E-4 | 0.0 | 5.862409E-4 | 0.001106085 | 7.0E-4 | 0.63286275 | 0.001106085 | 0.0 | 0.0071141496 | 0.013366107 | 0.0067 | 0.50126785 | 0.01376076 | 4.0E-4 | 0.06890667 | 0.12432317 | 0.0612 | 0.49226543 | 0.12703776 | 0.0031 |
6.2 | 1.360743E-4 | 2.5696465E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1674757 | 2.5696465E-4 | 0.0 | 5.8304524E-4 | 0.0011007155 | 7.0E-4 | 0.63595 | 0.0011007155 | 0.0 | 0.007075496 | 0.013301606 | 0.0067 | 0.5036986 | 0.013696285 | 4.0E-4 | 0.06854413 | 0.1237572 | 0.0612 | 0.49451667 | 0.12647355 | 0.0031 |
6.3 | 1.1917239E-4 | 2.2389114E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3399369 | 2.2389114E-4 | 0.0 | 5.1063887E-4 | 9.591055E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.62558293 | 9.591055E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0061993203 | 0.011602022 | 0.0059 | 0.50853205 | 0.01199738 | 4.0E-4 | 0.060292065 | 0.108971074 | 0.0533 | 0.4891206 | 0.11137685 | 0.0027 |
6.4 | 1.1859289E-4 | 2.2292622E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3457367 | 2.2292622E-4 | 0.0 | 5.0815626E-4 | 9.5497334E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6282898 | 9.5497334E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006169266 | 0.011552302 | 0.0058 | 0.50206447 | 0.011947681 | 4.0E-4 | 0.06000784 | 0.10852764 | 0.0528 | 0.48651204 | 0.110934615 | 0.0027 |
6.5 | 1.09512424E-4 | 2.0544998E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.97347295 | 2.0544998E-4 | 0.0 | 4.6925453E-4 | 8.8015926E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.45446318 | 8.8015926E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005698218 | 0.010653259 | 0.0046 | 0.43179274 | 0.010851129 | 2.0E-4 | 0.055543028 | 0.10061632 | 0.0485 | 0.48202917 | 0.10277484 | 0.0024 |
6.6 | 1.0502928E-4 | 1.9701771E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5075686 | 1.9701771E-4 | 0.0 | 4.500478E-4 | 8.4405736E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35542607 | 8.4405736E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0054655746 | 0.010219093 | 0.0044 | 0.43056658 | 0.010417049 | 2.0E-4 | 0.053330887 | 0.09676697 | 0.0468 | 0.48363608 | 0.09884441 | 0.0023 |
6.7 | 9.739358E-5 | 1.8284877E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.54690003 | 1.8284877E-4 | 0.0 | 4.173343E-4 | 7.833711E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.38296026 | 7.833711E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0050692135 | 0.009488638 | 0.0042 | 0.44263467 | 0.00968674 | 2.0E-4 | 0.049551267 | 0.090236306 | 0.0443 | 0.4909332 | 0.09223779 | 0.0022 |
6.8 | 8.969524E-5 | 1.6681738E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5994579 | 1.6681738E-4 | 0.0 | 3.8435153E-4 | 7.147201E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.41974473 | 7.147201E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0046694432 | 0.008661384 | 0.0039 | 0.45027447 | 0.008859652 | 2.0E-4 | 0.045725387 | 0.08276115 | 0.0405 | 0.48936003 | 0.08468735 | 0.0021 |
6.9 | 7.838291E-5 | 1.4439727E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.69253385 | 1.4439727E-4 | 0.0 | 3.358835E-4 | 6.1868277E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.48490116 | 6.1868277E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0040817154 | 0.0075026047 | 0.0034 | 0.45317593 | 0.0077011045 | 2.0E-4 | 0.04007554 | 0.07215071 | 0.0343 | 0.47539383 | 0.07382084 | 0.0018 |
7.0 | 6.961957E-5 | 1.2727006E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7857308 | 1.2727006E-4 | 0.0 | 2.9833548E-4 | 5.453218E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3667559 | 5.453218E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036261857 | 0.0066164965 | 0.0031 | 0.46852592 | 0.006815173 | 2.0E-4 | 0.035675827 | 0.06396098 | 0.0303 | 0.47372633 | 0.06555225 | 0.0017 |
7.1 | 5.999398E-5 | 1.09221E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.91557485 | 1.09221E-4 | 0.0 | 2.570917E-4 | 4.6800118E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42734933 | 4.6800118E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031255994 | 0.005681507 | 0.0028 | 0.492827 | 0.0058803707 | 2.0E-4 | 0.030820016 | 0.055219132 | 0.0264 | 0.47809514 | 0.056636304 | 0.0015 |
7.2 | 5.116532E-5 | 9.320214E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0729367 | 9.320214E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1926152E-4 | 3.9937397E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5007838 | 3.9937397E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002666241 | 0.0048508137 | 0.0022 | 0.45353216 | 0.005049844 | 2.0E-4 | 0.026344774 | 0.047375128 | 0.0233 | 0.49181926 | 0.048804063 | 0.0015 |
7.3 | 4.2087835E-5 | 7.629031E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3107826 | 7.629031E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8036396E-4 | 3.2691588E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.61177814 | 3.2691588E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021937196 | 0.0039724773 | 0.0018 | 0.45311773 | 0.0039724773 | 0.0 | 0.0217219 | 0.038963754 | 0.0194 | 0.49789864 | 0.039828688 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.8991652E-5 | 5.1241026E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1241026E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2424402E-4 | 2.1958665E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4554011 | 2.1958665E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015116213 | 0.0026701426 | 0.0013 | 0.48686537 | 0.0026701426 | 0.0 | 0.015013801 | 0.026370686 | 0.0132 | 0.5005558 | 0.026760137 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1292299E-6 | 1.4962823E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4962823E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8395473E-6 | 6.41263E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.41263E-6 | 0.0 | 5.8919897E-5 | 7.807222E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.807222E-5 | 0.0 | 5.890428E-4 | 7.8114093E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.25603575 | 7.8114093E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.6535366E-7 | 3.4766327E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4766327E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1372296E-6 | 1.4899846E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4899846E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3845682E-5 | 1.8140412E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8140412E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3844819E-4 | 1.8191896E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0993906 | 1.8191896E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.727789E-8 | 1.2324621E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2324621E-7 | 0.0 | 4.1690518E-7 | 5.281979E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.281979E-7 | 0.0 | 5.0758085E-6 | 6.430791E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.430791E-6 | 0.0 | 5.0756928E-5 | 6.46788E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.46788E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.1939325E-9 | 7.728372E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.728372E-9 | 0.0 | 2.6545425E-8 | 3.3121594E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3121594E-8 | 0.0 | 3.231905E-7 | 4.0325534E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0325534E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2319003E-6 | 4.0679524E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0679524E-6 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7606474E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7606474E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0401271E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49016553 | 2.0401271E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024811903 | 0.0023 | 0.9269745 | 0.0032792054 | 8.0E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.0245525 | 0.0212 | 0.86345583 | 0.027283752 | 0.0028 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7606474E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7606474E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0401271E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49016553 | 2.0401271E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024811903 | 0.0023 | 0.9269745 | 0.0032792054 | 8.0E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.0245525 | 0.0212 | 0.86345583 | 0.027283752 | 0.0028 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7606474E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7606474E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0401271E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49016553 | 2.0401271E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024811903 | 0.0023 | 0.9269745 | 0.0032792054 | 8.0E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.0245525 | 0.0212 | 0.86345583 | 0.027283752 | 0.0028 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7606474E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7606474E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0401271E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49016553 | 2.0401271E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024811903 | 0.0023 | 0.9269745 | 0.0032792054 | 8.0E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.0245525 | 0.0212 | 0.86345583 | 0.027283752 | 0.0028 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7606474E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7606474E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0401271E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49016553 | 2.0401271E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024811903 | 0.0023 | 0.9269745 | 0.0032792054 | 8.0E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.0245525 | 0.0212 | 0.86345583 | 0.027283752 | 0.0028 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5371402E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5371402E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5158343E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6597027 | 1.5158343E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018440583 | 0.002 | 1.0845644 | 0.0025427674 | 7.0E-4 | 0.01632528 | 0.018297216 | 0.0165 | 0.9017765 | 0.020751473 | 0.0025 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5360783E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5360783E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5153793E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.65990084 | 1.5153793E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018435051 | 0.002 | 1.0848899 | 0.0025422147 | 7.0E-4 | 0.01632056 | 0.018291775 | 0.0165 | 0.9020448 | 0.020746047 | 0.0025 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1479503E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479503E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3490565E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.74125874 | 1.3490565E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.001641324 | 0.0018 | 1.0966755 | 0.0023401752 | 7.0E-4 | 0.014641452 | 0.016300786 | 0.0152 | 0.9324703 | 0.018661665 | 0.0024 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.141737E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.141737E-5 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.346394E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7427246 | 1.346394E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016380873 | 0.0018 | 1.0988425 | 0.0023369407 | 7.0E-4 | 0.014613459 | 0.016268894 | 0.0152 | 0.9342983 | 0.018629849 | 0.0024 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6715385E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6715385E-5 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1448991E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448991E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013930993 | 0.0014 | 1.0049535 | 0.0019922634 | 6.0E-4 | 0.012562336 | 0.013851358 | 0.0125 | 0.90243864 | 0.015922269 | 0.0021 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5843858E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5843858E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10755114E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.10755114E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013476851 | 0.0014 | 1.0388184 | 0.0019468765 | 6.0E-4 | 0.012179627 | 0.013402763 | 0.0123 | 0.9177212 | 0.0154746175 | 0.0021 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.447044E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.447044E-5 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.0486953E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0486953E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012761136 | 0.0013 | 1.0187181 | 0.0017754755 | 5.0E-4 | 0.01157452 | 0.012695379 | 0.0113 | 0.89008766 | 0.014669988 | 0.002 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.76755E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.76755E-5 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.57503E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.57503E-5 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.2193316E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7592741 | 0.0012216566 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008590161 | 0.009187368 | 0.0081 | 0.8816453 | 0.010673586 | 0.0015 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5564003E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5564003E-5 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.670151E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.670151E-5 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.1185E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7390528 | 0.0010116876 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008094921 | 0.0075 | 0.92650694 | 0.009483588 | 0.0014 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5298224E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5298224E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3699027E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3699027E-5 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.8849798E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34662288 | 2.8849798E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.002881289 | 0.0026 | 0.9023739 | 0.0033798483 | 5.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.3394187E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3394187E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2883025E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2883025E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.7856574E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3589817 | 2.7856574E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027822196 | 0.0026 | 0.9345057 | 0.0032808285 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3160476E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3160476E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8497218E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8497218E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2518069E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518069E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022495599 | 0.0018 | 0.80015653 | 0.00264866 | 4.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8531683E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8531683E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2227809E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2227809E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4886366E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4886366E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014876658 | 0.0012 | 0.8066328 | 0.0016873683 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0124252E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0124252E-6 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.3389578E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3389578E-6 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.282556E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.282556E-5 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.2813295E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.757385 | 6.2808016E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8621847E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8621847E-7 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.9807893E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.9807893E-7 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.71657E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.71657E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.716175E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.716175E-5 | 0.0 |
Sargent 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.7327867E-5 | 3.6677877E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6677877E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5996677E-4 | 1.5718323E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5718323E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019458556 | 0.0019124425 | 0.0022 | 1.1503614 | 0.002511295 | 6.0E-4 | 0.01928905 | 0.01903232 | 0.0164 | 0.86169213 | 0.021975223 | 0.003 |
6.1 | 2.3771476E-5 | 1.8493849E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8493849E-5 | 0.0 | 1.01873775E-4 | 7.9257436E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.9257436E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012396075 | 9.64613E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5183426 | 0.00116442 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012327154 | 0.0096441675 | 0.0075 | 0.77767205 | 0.011327772 | 0.0017 |
6.2 | 2.3112721E-5 | 1.7724942E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7724942E-5 | 0.0 | 9.9050754E-5 | 7.5962314E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5962314E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012052758 | 9.2452916E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.54081583 | 0.0011243442 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011987597 | 0.0092466865 | 0.0074 | 0.8002867 | 0.010831892 | 0.0016 |
6.3 | 1.728509E-5 | 1.0469761E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0469761E-5 | 0.0 | 7.407686E-5 | 4.48699E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.48699E-5 | 0.0 | 9.015125E-4 | 5.462005E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5492489 | 6.461459E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008978641 | 0.0054852 | 0.0047 | 0.85685116 | 0.0063802633 | 9.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.48395575E-5 | 7.4654286E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4654286E-6 | 0.0 | 6.3596555E-5 | 3.1994517E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1994517E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7401294E-4 | 3.8950128E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.51347715 | 4.8946234E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0077132257 | 0.0039240215 | 0.0032 | 0.81548995 | 0.004521667 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4358964E-5 | 6.904008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.904008E-6 | 0.0 | 6.1536964E-5 | 2.9588486E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9588486E-5 | 0.0 | 7.48955E-4 | 3.6021776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.27760985 | 4.6018176E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0074643586 | 0.0036321697 | 0.0031 | 0.85348433 | 0.0042299903 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.772591E-6 | 1.3805807E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3805807E-6 | 0.0 | 4.188186E-5 | 5.916761E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.916761E-6 | 0.0 | 5.097923E-4 | 7.2034214E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2034214E-5 | 0.0 | 0.005086244 | 7.523663E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6645699 | 8.5229106E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.752745E-6 | 1.3592687E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3592687E-6 | 0.0 | 4.179681E-5 | 5.8254245E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8254245E-6 | 0.0 | 5.0875737E-4 | 7.0922266E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0922266E-5 | 0.0 | 0.005075942 | 7.412543E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6745323 | 8.411802E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 9.608213E-6 | 1.2430114E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2430114E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1177405E-5 | 5.3271806E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3271806E-6 | 0.0 | 5.012196E-4 | 6.485652E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.485652E-5 | 0.0 | 0.005000906 | 6.803346E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.587946 | 7.8026654E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.427164E-6 | 1.1275326E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1275326E-6 | 0.0 | 4.04015E-5 | 4.832274E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.832274E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9177726E-4 | 5.8831367E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8831367E-5 | 0.0 | 0.004906904 | 6.194106E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6457752 | 7.1934867E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 9.247601E-6 | 9.937917E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.937917E-7 | 0.0 | 3.9631974E-5 | 4.2591E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2591E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8241246E-4 | 5.1853327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1853327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0048136655 | 5.491626E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.72838175 | 6.491077E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.995454E-6 | 8.329239E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.329239E-7 | 0.0 | 3.8551374E-5 | 3.569669E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.569669E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6926187E-4 | 4.3459866E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3459866E-5 | 0.0 | 0.004682722 | 4.643421E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.86143386 | 5.642957E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.520861E-6 | 5.3278336E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3278336E-7 | 0.0 | 3.6517464E-5 | 2.2833551E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2833551E-6 | 0.0 | 4.445094E-4 | 2.7799502E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7799502E-5 | 0.0 | 0.004436213 | 3.0604418E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9802506 | 3.0604418E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.043592E-6 | 3.5008256E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5008256E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4472083E-5 | 1.500353E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.500353E-6 | 0.0 | 4.196168E-4 | 1.8266646E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8266646E-5 | 0.0 | 0.004188253 | 2.0940288E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9550967 | 2.0940288E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.662316E-6 | 2.969677E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.969677E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2838085E-5 | 1.272718E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.272718E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9973034E-4 | 1.5495234E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5495234E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0039901207 | 1.7986666E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1119348 | 1.7986666E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.961638E-6 | 2.391966E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.391966E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9835252E-5 | 1.0251279E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0251279E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6318362E-4 | 1.2480861E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2480861E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0036259065 | 1.4623991E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6838079 | 1.4623991E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.282332E-6 | 1.7162228E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7162228E-7 | 0.0 | 2.6924003E-5 | 7.355238E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.355238E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2775043E-4 | 8.954967E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.954967E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0032726745 | 1.0674282E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9368312 | 1.0674282E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.934408E-6 | 5.0920907E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0920907E-8 | 0.0 | 2.114729E-5 | 2.1823244E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1823244E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5743784E-4 | 2.6569767E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6569767E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0025713982 | 3.3175103E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3175103E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.373212E-6 | 3.590835E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.590835E-8 | 0.0 | 1.0170869E-5 | 1.5389293E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5389293E-7 | 0.0 | 1.238233E-4 | 1.8736448E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8736448E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0012375432 | 2.4640216E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4640216E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.8227792E-6 | 3.1275956E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1275956E-8 | 0.0 | 7.811887E-6 | 1.3403981E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3403981E-7 | 0.0 | 9.510558E-5 | 1.6319335E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6319335E-6 | 0.0 | 9.5064886E-4 | 2.1872767E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1872767E-5 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.9095137E-7 | 1.3467476E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3467476E-8 | 0.0 | 8.1836276E-7 | 5.7717752E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7717752E-8 | 0.0 | 9.963521E-6 | 7.027134E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.027134E-7 | 0.0 | 9.963074E-5 | 8.58814E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.58814E-6 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4992404E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8184329 | 5.4992404E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3566208E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8486728 | 2.3566208E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028656807 | 0.0026 | 0.9072888 | 0.003364248 | 5.0E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028315388 | 0.0243 | 0.8581906 | 0.030453093 | 0.0022 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4992404E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8184329 | 5.4992404E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3566208E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8486728 | 2.3566208E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028656807 | 0.0025 | 0.8723931 | 0.003364248 | 5.0E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028315388 | 0.0216 | 0.7628361 | 0.030355925 | 0.0021 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.393612E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9467127 | 3.393612E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.454326E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3752075 | 1.454326E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017692382 | 0.0017 | 0.96086556 | 0.0019688844 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.017555473 | 0.0151 | 0.8601306 | 0.019225629 | 0.0017 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.393612E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9467127 | 3.393612E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.454326E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3752075 | 1.454326E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017692382 | 0.0017 | 0.96086556 | 0.0019688844 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.017555473 | 0.0151 | 0.8601306 | 0.019225629 | 0.0017 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7920812E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5815578 | 2.7920812E-5 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1965522E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6714691 | 1.1965522E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014558479 | 0.0011 | 0.75557345 | 0.0015557022 | 1.0E-4 | 0.013192902 | 0.014465274 | 0.012 | 0.8295729 | 0.015845023 | 0.0014 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5135434E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9784472 | 2.5135434E-5 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0771892E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.856684 | 1.0771892E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013107036 | 0.001 | 0.76294905 | 0.0014105724 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012003611 | 0.013031399 | 0.0111 | 0.8517888 | 0.014413155 | 0.0014 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.035971E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.035971E-5 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.725303E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.146092 | 8.725303E-5 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010617959 | 8.0E-4 | 0.75344056 | 0.0011616896 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00992627 | 0.010568138 | 0.009 | 0.8516164 | 0.011557571 | 0.001 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8150948E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8150948E-5 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.778749E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2855537 | 7.778749E-5 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.466568E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7394443 | 9.466568E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008949154 | 0.009426889 | 0.0082 | 0.86985224 | 0.010318404 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.593034E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.593034E-5 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.8271125E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4647481 | 6.8271125E-5 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.308883E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8424719 | 8.308883E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007960589 | 0.008278305 | 0.0072 | 0.8697433 | 0.009170854 | 9.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3332638E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3332638E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.713864E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7501291 | 5.713864E-5 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.954432E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.0065525 | 6.954432E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0067972173 | 0.006932929 | 0.0065 | 0.9375546 | 0.00782669 | 9.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1935414E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1935414E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1150782E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9550043 | 5.1150782E-5 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.225845E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.9637246 | 6.225845E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062085963 | 0.0062 | 0.99861544 | 0.0071030087 | 9.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.05444815E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.05444815E-5 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.518986E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2128859 | 4.518986E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.500488E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0908123 | 5.500488E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0054870043 | 0.0055 | 1.0023685 | 0.0062826145 | 8.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.4612515E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.4612515E-6 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.05476E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4662373 | 4.05476E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.9355626E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0130558 | 4.9355626E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049247197 | 0.0048 | 0.97467476 | 0.005521765 | 6.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.381525E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.381525E-6 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.5920333E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7839386 | 3.5920333E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3724332E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.91482246 | 4.3724332E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004470094 | 0.0043639415 | 0.004 | 0.91660255 | 0.0048617595 | 5.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9532452E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9532452E-6 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9799288E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.355785 | 2.9799288E-5 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.627469E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1026973 | 3.627469E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0037822074 | 0.003621648 | 0.0037 | 1.0216343 | 0.004119837 | 5.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2527034E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2527034E-6 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2511394E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2511394E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7404248E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0947208 | 2.7404248E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027371175 | 0.003 | 1.0960436 | 0.003235749 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0611474E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0611474E-6 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.833459E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.833459E-6 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.07542146E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.859736 | 1.07542146E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010749097 | 0.0014 | 1.302435 | 0.0013745872 | 3.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1017722E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017722E-6 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7218728E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7218728E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.748731E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7395144 | 5.748731E-5 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.747268E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.21797 | 6.746693E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.0718713E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0718713E-7 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.602228E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.602228E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.168168E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1563983 | 3.168168E-5 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.1677296E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.894101 | 4.1674127E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.09043E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.09043E-9 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1816128E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1816128E-8 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6561133E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6561133E-7 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6561113E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6561113E-6 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3790286E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3790286E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4480816E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4480816E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017617344 | 8.0E-4 | 0.454098 | 0.002061206 | 3.0E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.01749002 | 0.0126 | 0.7204108 | 0.020339299 | 0.0029 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3790286E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3790286E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4480816E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4480816E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017617344 | 8.0E-4 | 0.454098 | 0.002061206 | 3.0E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.01749002 | 0.0126 | 0.7204108 | 0.020339299 | 0.0029 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3790286E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3790286E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4480816E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4480816E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017617344 | 8.0E-4 | 0.454098 | 0.002061206 | 3.0E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.01749002 | 0.0126 | 0.7204108 | 0.020339299 | 0.0029 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5918991E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5918991E-5 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.822254E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.822254E-5 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3030725E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.36131203 | 8.3030725E-4 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008273509 | 0.0056 | 0.67685914 | 0.00946358 | 0.0012 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5918991E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5918991E-5 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.822254E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.822254E-5 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3030725E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.36131203 | 8.3030725E-4 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008273509 | 0.0056 | 0.67685914 | 0.00946358 | 0.0012 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1338404E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1338404E-5 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8592294E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8592294E-5 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.914576E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.33814767 | 5.914576E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006966323 | 0.00589954 | 0.0041 | 0.6949694 | 0.0065954104 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.626971E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.626971E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6972233E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6972233E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.5004833E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.44439673 | 4.5004833E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005629168 | 0.004491806 | 0.0031 | 0.6901456 | 0.0049895598 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.803708E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.803708E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.915844E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.915844E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.5494938E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28173032 | 3.5494938E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035441418 | 0.0025 | 0.7053894 | 0.0039427243 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.937363E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.937363E-6 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1159962E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1159962E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.575932E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.575932E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025730592 | 0.0016 | 0.6218279 | 0.0027725445 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.833039E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.833039E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.642721E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.642721E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9998346E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9998346E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019980876 | 0.0011 | 0.5505264 | 0.002097888 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.680234E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.680234E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1486668E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1486668E-5 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3984148E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3984148E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.001397561 | 7.0E-4 | 0.50087255 | 0.001397561 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8863292E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8863292E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.084244E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.084244E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.8421355E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.8421355E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.837904E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.40659067 | 9.837904E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2823662E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2823662E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.495844E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.495844E-6 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.690995E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.690995E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.689081E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.44849208 | 6.689081E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.0608704E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0608704E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5975137E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5975137E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.162431E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.162431E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1620183E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.63250744 | 3.1620183E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1121087E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1121087E-7 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3337602E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337602E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6238411E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238411E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6237238E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.61586833 | 1.6237238E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8266371E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8266371E-7 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.8284427E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.8284427E-7 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.531088E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.531088E-6 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.5306874E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5306874E-5 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.9005926E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9005926E-8 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.1002538E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1002538E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5570564E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5570564E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5570305E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5570305E-5 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3988501E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3988501E-5 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02804755E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02804755E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012510959 | 0.0012 | 0.959159 | 0.0015507207 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010991322 | 0.012456987 | 0.0099 | 0.7947347 | 0.015320862 | 0.0029 |
6.1 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3988501E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3988501E-5 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02804755E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02804755E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012510959 | 0.0012 | 0.959159 | 0.0015507207 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010991322 | 0.012456987 | 0.0099 | 0.7947347 | 0.015320862 | 0.0029 |
6.2 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3988501E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3988501E-5 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02804755E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02804755E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012510959 | 0.0012 | 0.959159 | 0.0015507207 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010991322 | 0.012456987 | 0.0099 | 0.7947347 | 0.015320862 | 0.0029 |
6.3 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3988501E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3988501E-5 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02804755E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02804755E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012510959 | 0.0012 | 0.959159 | 0.0015507207 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010991322 | 0.012456987 | 0.0099 | 0.7947347 | 0.015320862 | 0.0029 |
6.4 | 1.0988268E-5 | 1.2257408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2257408E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7091726E-5 | 5.2530784E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2530784E-5 | 0.0 | 5.731909E-4 | 6.3939055E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6255957 | 7.3932664E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005717147 | 0.006377097 | 0.0043 | 0.674288 | 0.00737072 | 0.001 |
6.5 | 1.0988268E-5 | 1.2257408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2257408E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7091726E-5 | 5.2530784E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2530784E-5 | 0.0 | 5.731909E-4 | 6.3939055E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6255957 | 7.3932664E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005717147 | 0.006377097 | 0.0043 | 0.674288 | 0.00737072 | 0.001 |
6.6 | 1.0517822E-5 | 1.1726833E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1726833E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5075605E-5 | 5.0256975E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0256975E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4865726E-4 | 6.117225E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.65389127 | 7.1166136E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054730466 | 0.006101941 | 0.0037 | 0.6063644 | 0.006996449 | 9.0E-4 |
6.7 | 7.789219E-6 | 8.6796845E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.6796845E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3381937E-5 | 3.7198148E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7198148E-5 | 0.0 | 4.063493E-4 | 4.527985E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.66254634 | 4.527985E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004056071 | 0.0045192763 | 0.003 | 0.66382307 | 0.004917469 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.5850853E-6 | 8.454381E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.454381E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2507105E-5 | 3.6232588E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6232588E-5 | 0.0 | 3.957021E-4 | 4.410476E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.68019867 | 4.410476E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039499826 | 0.0044022356 | 0.0029 | 0.65875626 | 0.0048004747 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.604105E-6 | 7.3602823E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3602823E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8303E-5 | 3.1543706E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1543706E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4453452E-4 | 3.8398083E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.781289 | 3.8398083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0034400085 | 0.0038335605 | 0.0025 | 0.65213525 | 0.0041324105 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.3701115E-6 | 5.98984E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.98984E-6 | 0.0 | 2.301456E-5 | 2.5670506E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5670506E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8016625E-4 | 3.124965E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.124965E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027981328 | 0.0031208594 | 0.0018 | 0.57676417 | 0.0032205475 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.4685607E-6 | 4.98767E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.98767E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9150835E-5 | 2.1375567E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1375567E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3313647E-4 | 2.6021895E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6021895E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023289204 | 0.0025993872 | 0.0013 | 0.50011784 | 0.0026991274 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.833378E-6 | 3.165182E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.165182E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2142991E-5 | 1.3565005E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3565005E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4783088E-4 | 1.6514318E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6514318E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014773258 | 0.0016503765 | 7.0E-4 | 0.42414564 | 0.0016503765 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.0087293E-7 | 7.774574E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.774574E-7 | 0.0 | 3.0037377E-6 | 3.3319586E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3319586E-6 | 0.0 | 3.656989E-5 | 4.0566298E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0566298E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6563876E-4 | 4.0563394E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2465277 | 4.0563394E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.2070375E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2070375E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3744446E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3744446E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6733851E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6733851E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6733733E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6733733E-5 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8504137E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8504137E-5 | 0.0 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.930131E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.930131E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.651144E-4 | 0.0018 | 1.8650639 | 0.0014646319 | 5.0E-4 | 0.009017491 | 0.009614073 | 0.0128 | 1.3313816 | 0.012387154 | 0.0028 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.593349E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.593349E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1113755E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1113755E-5 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0045387E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.5985489 | 7.0035376E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049941516 | 0.0066 | 1.3215457 | 0.006586161 | 0.0016 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.593349E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.593349E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1113755E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1113755E-5 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0045387E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.5985489 | 7.0035376E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049941516 | 0.0066 | 1.3215457 | 0.006586161 | 0.0016 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.668603E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.668603E-6 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2865064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2865064E-5 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0006585E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.9996709 | 5.999858E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039941613 | 0.0058 | 1.4521197 | 0.005288969 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.668603E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.668603E-6 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2865064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2865064E-5 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0006585E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.9996709 | 5.999858E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039941613 | 0.0058 | 1.4521197 | 0.005288969 | 0.0013 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4046126E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4046126E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7448088E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7448088E-5 | 0.0 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3413572E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.7956775 | 4.341023E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033369719 | 0.0046 | 1.3784952 | 0.004333635 | 0.001 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.9109398E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9109398E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.533239E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.533239E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.083846E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.9456224 | 4.0835375E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030801957 | 0.0043 | 1.3960152 | 0.0039774235 | 9.0E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5397977E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5397977E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.374181E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.374181E-5 | 0.0 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8902455E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 2.0759482 | 3.8899563E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028871105 | 0.0043 | 1.4893783 | 0.0037845122 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.247391E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.247391E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.820301E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.820301E-5 | 0.0 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2160508E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.2562659 | 2.2160508E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022144255 | 0.0035 | 1.5805454 | 0.003012654 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.140582E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.140582E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0602475E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0602475E-6 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7258196E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.683973 | 3.7258196E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7255077E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5368396 | 3.7255077E-4 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4868488E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0211535 | 2.4868488E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0657529E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8766077 | 1.0657529E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012968539 | 0.0014 | 1.0795357 | 0.001696335 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.013006888 | 0.0156 | 1.1993644 | 0.01567177 | 0.0027 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4868488E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0211535 | 2.4868488E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0657529E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8766077 | 1.0657529E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012968539 | 0.0014 | 1.0795357 | 0.001696335 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.013006888 | 0.0156 | 1.1993644 | 0.01567177 | 0.0027 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4868488E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0211535 | 2.4868488E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0657529E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8766077 | 1.0657529E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012968539 | 0.0014 | 1.0795357 | 0.001696335 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.013006888 | 0.0156 | 1.1993644 | 0.01567177 | 0.0027 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4868488E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0211535 | 2.4868488E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0657529E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8766077 | 1.0657529E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012968539 | 0.0014 | 1.0795357 | 0.001696335 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.013006888 | 0.0156 | 1.1993644 | 0.01567177 | 0.0027 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4868488E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0211535 | 2.4868488E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0657529E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8766077 | 1.0657529E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012968539 | 0.0014 | 1.0795357 | 0.001696335 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.013006888 | 0.0156 | 1.1993644 | 0.01567177 | 0.0027 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4868488E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0211535 | 2.4868488E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0657529E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8766077 | 1.0657529E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012968539 | 0.0014 | 1.0795357 | 0.001696335 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.013006888 | 0.0156 | 1.1993644 | 0.01567177 | 0.0027 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7317692E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7744412 | 1.7317692E-5 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.4216594E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.6948152 | 7.4216594E-5 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.0321613E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.88572377 | 0.0010031258 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051576863 | 0.00910309 | 0.0069 | 0.7579844 | 0.009697628 | 6.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7317692E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7744412 | 1.7317692E-5 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.4216594E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.6948152 | 7.4216594E-5 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.0321613E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.88572377 | 0.0010031258 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051576863 | 0.00910309 | 0.0069 | 0.7579844 | 0.009697628 | 6.0E-4 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.557701E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.419717 | 1.557701E-5 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.675692E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9959443 | 6.675692E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.1246387E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8615768 | 9.123826E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004321559 | 0.008202423 | 0.0057 | 0.69491655 | 0.008599143 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.544818E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.544818E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.620481E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5104642 | 6.620481E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.0574694E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.74465066 | 9.056663E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008135748 | 0.0055 | 0.67602885 | 0.008532493 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4233877E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4233877E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.1000905E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.63932 | 6.1000905E-5 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.424335E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8081532 | 8.423592E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0075065685 | 0.0051 | 0.679405 | 0.007903566 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4224233E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4224233E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0959577E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6404313 | 6.0959577E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.419307E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8087009 | 8.4185647E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0075015747 | 0.0051 | 0.67985725 | 0.007898574 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.40711845E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.40711845E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 6.0303686E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6582735 | 6.0303686E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.339506E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.81749374 | 8.338772E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036796255 | 0.007422174 | 0.0051 | 0.6871302 | 0.007819205 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.4014444E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4014444E-5 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 6.0060524E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6649871 | 6.0060524E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.3099206E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.82080233 | 8.3091896E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036566744 | 0.007392574 | 0.0051 | 0.68988144 | 0.0077896174 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3973896E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3973896E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.9886755E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9886755E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.2887784E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.685986 | 8.28805E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0073714526 | 0.005 | 0.67829233 | 0.0077685043 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.3930718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3930718E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.970171E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.970171E-5 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.2662643E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6881115 | 8.265538E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036195726 | 0.007349039 | 0.005 | 0.6803611 | 0.0077460995 | 4.0E-4 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3889674E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3889674E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.952582E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.952582E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.2448637E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.69014406 | 8.2441396E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036078666 | 0.007327714 | 0.005 | 0.68234104 | 0.007724783 | 4.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.2764461E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2764461E-5 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.4703683E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4703683E-5 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.6581415E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7509603 | 7.6574757E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033317201 | 0.006744259 | 0.0047 | 0.696889 | 0.0071415612 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1623775E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1623775E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.981523E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.981523E-5 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.0633186E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.65970474 | 7.062712E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030563495 | 0.006145471 | 0.0041 | 0.667158 | 0.006543013 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.1672644E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1672644E-6 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.071649E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.071649E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.739092E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5348892 | 3.739092E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037947856 | 0.0023 | 0.60609484 | 0.0039940267 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.299582E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.299582E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.569625E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.569625E-6 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.780809E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.780809E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 7.0031453E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.85675794 | 7.0031453E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.12524575E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.12524575E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.822481E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.822481E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.871355E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.871355E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.564457E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.564457E-5 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.503718E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.503718E-9 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0730219E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0730219E-8 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.3064042E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3064042E-7 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4850166E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4850166E-6 | 0.0 |
Keddie Ridge 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2591947E-5 | 2.519519E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.519519E-5 | 0.0 | 9.6819036E-5 | 1.07975364E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.07975364E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011781343 | 0.0013138864 | 0.001 | 0.7611008 | 0.0016134921 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011719079 | 0.013069131 | 0.0101 | 0.7728134 | 0.015733846 | 0.0027 |
6.1 | 2.2591947E-5 | 2.519519E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.519519E-5 | 0.0 | 9.6819036E-5 | 1.07975364E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.07975364E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011781343 | 0.0013138864 | 8.0E-4 | 0.60888064 | 0.0016134921 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011719079 | 0.013069131 | 0.0088 | 0.67334235 | 0.015536459 | 0.0025 |
6.2 | 1.3775145E-5 | 1.5326394E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5326394E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9035E-5 | 6.568303E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.568303E-5 | 0.0 | 7.185141E-4 | 7.994217E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.50036174 | 8.993417E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0071619535 | 0.00796788 | 0.006 | 0.75302345 | 0.009455928 | 0.0015 |
6.3 | 9.705435E-6 | 1.07708065E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.07708065E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1594063E-5 | 4.6159854E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6159854E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0629E-4 | 5.618637E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.71191645 | 6.6180754E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005051381 | 0.0056056627 | 0.0041 | 0.73140323 | 0.0066000572 | 0.001 |
6.4 | 7.2549733E-6 | 8.029053E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.029053E-6 | 0.0 | 3.109237E-5 | 3.4409815E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4409815E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7848388E-4 | 4.1886696E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9549572 | 5.188251E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003778399 | 0.004181562 | 0.0036 | 0.86092234 | 0.0051773805 | 0.001 |
6.5 | 5.983293E-6 | 6.61448E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.61448E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5642432E-5 | 2.8347502E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8347502E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1215188E-4 | 3.450829E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.86935633 | 4.4504838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031171376 | 0.0034461333 | 0.003 | 0.8705409 | 0.004343032 | 9.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.0336154E-6 | 4.45879E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.45879E-6 | 0.0 | 1.728681E-5 | 1.9108984E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9108984E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1044657E-4 | 2.3263106E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42986518 | 2.3263106E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002102474 | 0.0023242715 | 0.0019 | 0.8174604 | 0.0025238066 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5832104E-6 | 1.7820788E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7820788E-6 | 0.0 | 6.7851697E-6 | 7.63746E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.63746E-6 | 0.0 | 8.260631E-5 | 9.298237E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.298237E-5 | 0.0 | 8.2575605E-4 | 9.294614E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.75312436 | 0.0010293684 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.5177275E-7 | 8.592854E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.592854E-7 | 0.0 | 3.221879E-6 | 3.6826475E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6826475E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9225673E-5 | 4.483548E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.483548E-5 | 0.0 | 3.921875E-4 | 4.482809E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.66922325 | 5.482361E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.05127336E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.95122737 | 1.05127336E-4 | 0.0 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.504637E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6659804 | 4.504637E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004016016 | 0.0054717897 | 0.0032 | 0.58481777 | 0.0056706956 | 2.0E-4 | 0.039442103 | 0.053490758 | 0.0414 | 0.7739655 | 0.055478428 | 0.0021 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0277285E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6589998 | 6.0277285E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5830677E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1614097 | 2.5830677E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031406668 | 0.0017 | 0.54128635 | 0.0032403527 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023756953 | 0.030993918 | 0.0238 | 0.7678926 | 0.032350525 | 0.0014 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0277285E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6589998 | 6.0277285E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5830677E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1614097 | 2.5830677E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031406668 | 0.0017 | 0.54128635 | 0.0032403527 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023756953 | 0.030993918 | 0.0238 | 0.7678926 | 0.032350525 | 0.0014 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.2500396E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3529193 | 4.2500396E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8213355E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0980954 | 1.8213355E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0022154674 | 0.0011 | 0.49650922 | 0.0023152458 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017212452 | 0.021958055 | 0.0174 | 0.7924199 | 0.022838293 | 9.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.5018194E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8556583 | 3.5018194E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.500708E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3327043 | 1.500708E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018258144 | 0.0011 | 0.6024709 | 0.0019256318 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014366428 | 0.018131105 | 0.0153 | 0.84385365 | 0.018818414 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.496799E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8597584 | 3.496799E-5 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4985567E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3346175 | 1.4985567E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018231996 | 0.0011 | 0.60333496 | 0.0019230172 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014344421 | 0.018105384 | 0.0153 | 0.84505254 | 0.01879271 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.8733499E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8733499E-5 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.2313918E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2313918E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014984269 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6006299 | 0.001598277 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011917574 | 0.014906555 | 0.0132 | 0.8855164 | 0.015497612 | 6.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4918034E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4918034E-5 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.06788604E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.06788604E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.001299618 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6155655 | 0.0013994881 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010315218 | 0.0129438555 | 0.012 | 0.9270808 | 0.013437383 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6079823E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6079823E-6 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2605247E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2605247E-5 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9689944E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.75585896 | 3.9689944E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.003962193 | 0.0036 | 0.9085877 | 0.004061797 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.5039367E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5039367E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.787373E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.787373E-5 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.393124E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.88414097 | 3.393124E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0033882004 | 0.0034 | 1.0034826 | 0.0034878617 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4862086E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4862086E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9226478E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9226478E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.3405933E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8544842 | 2.3405933E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023383365 | 0.0025 | 1.069136 | 0.0024381028 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8576521E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8576521E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.961348E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.961348E-6 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.692617E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0634263 | 9.692617E-5 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.689437E-4 | 0.0015 | 1.5480776 | 9.689437E-4 | 0.0 |
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7598038E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1827265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1827265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.001439142 | 0.0016 | 1.1117735 | 0.0017387103 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014327386 | 0.0141 | 0.98412925 | 0.016791567 | 0.0025 |
6.1 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7598038E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1827265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1827265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.001439142 | 0.0016 | 1.1117735 | 0.0017387103 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014327386 | 0.0141 | 0.98412925 | 0.016791567 | 0.0025 |
6.2 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7598038E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1827265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1827265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.001439142 | 0.0016 | 1.1117735 | 0.0017387103 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014327386 | 0.0141 | 0.98412925 | 0.016791567 | 0.0025 |
6.3 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7598038E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1827265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1827265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.001439142 | 0.0016 | 1.1117735 | 0.0017387103 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014327386 | 0.0141 | 0.98412925 | 0.016791567 | 0.0025 |
6.4 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7598038E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1827265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1827265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.001439142 | 0.0016 | 1.1117735 | 0.0017387103 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014327386 | 0.0141 | 0.98412925 | 0.016791567 | 0.0025 |
6.5 | 1.7990213E-5 | 1.6651378E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6651378E-5 | 0.0 | 7.709863E-5 | 7.136147E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.136147E-5 | 0.0 | 9.382716E-4 | 8.6854596E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.0362146 | 0.0010683723 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0093431985 | 0.008674962 | 0.0091 | 1.048996 | 0.010261082 | 0.0016 |
6.6 | 9.650407E-6 | 7.4667255E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4667255E-6 | 0.0 | 4.135823E-5 | 3.1999905E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1999905E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0342013E-4 | 3.8953702E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.02686 | 4.894981E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005022812 | 0.003906295 | 0.0042 | 1.0751876 | 0.004603561 | 7.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.62828E-6 | 7.44463E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.44463E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1263404E-5 | 3.190521E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.190521E-5 | 0.0 | 5.022661E-4 | 3.8838453E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0299071 | 4.883457E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050113243 | 0.003894811 | 0.0042 | 1.0783578 | 0.004592085 | 7.0E-4 |
6.8 | 6.887523E-6 | 4.4705985E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4705985E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9517621E-5 | 1.915958E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.915958E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5931775E-4 | 2.3324514E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42873347 | 3.332218E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035873733 | 0.0023472295 | 0.0023 | 0.9798786 | 0.0029458213 | 6.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.2722347E-6 | 3.8123444E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8123444E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6880729E-5 | 1.6338528E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6338528E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2722374E-4 | 1.9890544E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5027514 | 2.9888557E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003267423 | 0.0020044865 | 0.0019 | 0.94787365 | 0.0026032839 | 6.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.5320347E-6 | 3.0393048E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0393048E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3708504E-5 | 1.3025537E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3025537E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8861282E-4 | 1.5857621E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5857621E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028823826 | 0.0016018295 | 0.0013 | 0.811572 | 0.0019013489 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.8794055E-6 | 1.2919112E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2919112E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6625918E-5 | 5.5367505E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5367505E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0240174E-4 | 6.740786E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.740786E-5 | 0.0 | 0.002022175 | 6.9090154E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.86843055 | 7.9083245E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4813652E-6 | 9.748566E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.748566E-7 | 0.0 | 1.49200505E-5 | 4.17795E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.17795E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8163648E-4 | 5.086536E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.086536E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0018148809 | 5.2555173E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7611049 | 5.2555173E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.1682148E-6 | 7.7921595E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7921595E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3577992E-5 | 3.3394927E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394927E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6529951E-4 | 4.0657567E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0657567E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0016517661 | 4.2349036E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.70839864 | 4.2349036E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9707667E-6 | 7.416581E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.416581E-7 | 0.0 | 1.2731795E-5 | 3.1785307E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1785307E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5499859E-4 | 3.8697926E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8697926E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0015489052 | 4.0369027E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.49542934 | 4.0369027E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3462758E-6 | 6.068092E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.068092E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0055429E-5 | 2.600608E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.600608E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2241797E-4 | 3.1661944E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1661944E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012235056 | 3.3159088E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.60315293 | 3.3159088E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.112783E-6 | 5.30817E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.30817E-7 | 0.0 | 9.054753E-6 | 2.274928E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.274928E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1023604E-4 | 2.7696897E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7696897E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011018137 | 2.9151983E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6860597 | 2.9151983E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7022471E-6 | 4.280964E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.280964E-7 | 0.0 | 7.2953244E-6 | 1.8346975E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8346975E-6 | 0.0 | 8.881695E-5 | 2.2337215E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2337215E-5 | 0.0 | 8.878146E-4 | 2.3659493E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42266333 | 2.3659493E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.230914E-7 | 3.7733471E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7733471E-7 | 0.0 | 3.0989595E-6 | 1.6171477E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6171477E-6 | 0.0 | 3.772918E-5 | 1.9688598E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9688598E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7722773E-4 | 2.096328E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47702459 | 2.096328E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.3588446E-7 | 3.4695532E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4695532E-7 | 0.0 | 1.868075E-6 | 1.4869505E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4869505E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2743576E-5 | 1.8103474E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8103474E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2741247E-4 | 1.9199152E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5208563 | 1.9199152E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.3317523E-7 | 3.1855672E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1855672E-7 | 0.0 | 9.99322E-7 | 1.3652424E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3652424E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2166677E-5 | 1.6621701E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621701E-5 | 0.0 | 1.21660116E-4 | 1.757691E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5689282 | 1.757691E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.4662456E-7 | 2.0509846E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0509846E-7 | 0.0 | 6.283908E-7 | 8.789931E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.789931E-7 | 0.0 | 7.650631E-6 | 1.07016895E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.07016895E-5 | 0.0 | 7.650368E-5 | 1.1237095E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8899097 | 1.1237095E-4 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.4931775E-9 | 5.129171E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.129171E-9 | 0.0 | 2.3542189E-8 | 2.198216E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.198216E-8 | 0.0 | 2.8662612E-7 | 2.6763277E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6763277E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8662573E-6 | 2.7824178E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7824178E-6 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4713133E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4713133E-5 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305486E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5859206 | 6.305486E-5 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6744E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.78182006 | 9.672865E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076496545 | 0.0073 | 0.95429146 | 0.010031295 | 0.0024 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4713133E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4713133E-5 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305486E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5859206 | 6.305486E-5 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6744E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.78182006 | 9.672865E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076496545 | 0.0073 | 0.95429146 | 0.010031295 | 0.0024 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4713133E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4713133E-5 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305486E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5859206 | 6.305486E-5 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6744E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.78182006 | 9.672865E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076496545 | 0.0073 | 0.95429146 | 0.010031295 | 0.0024 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1794774E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1794774E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054811E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9783133 | 5.054811E-5 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.152598E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8126648 | 7.151983E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061366055 | 0.0065 | 1.0592176 | 0.008223718 | 0.0021 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1794774E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1794774E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054811E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9783133 | 5.054811E-5 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.152598E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8126648 | 7.151983E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061366055 | 0.0065 | 1.0592176 | 0.008223718 | 0.0021 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0455787E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0455787E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4809796E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.231655 | 4.4809796E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.45432E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7333636 | 6.4537744E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054418603 | 0.0057 | 1.047436 | 0.007232065 | 0.0018 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.41496E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.41496E-6 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0349252E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4783607 | 4.0349252E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.911503E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8144146 | 5.911012E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045864056 | 0.0049015307 | 0.0054 | 1.1016966 | 0.006692708 | 0.0018 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.405438E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.405438E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0308445E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4808695 | 4.0308445E-5 | 0.0 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.9065374E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8152389 | 5.906047E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004581874 | 0.0048965868 | 0.0054 | 1.1028091 | 0.006687773 | 0.0018 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3811375E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3811375E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.163311E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1612449 | 3.163311E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8507322E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0387635 | 4.850347E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003593594 | 0.003844865 | 0.0041 | 1.0663574 | 0.0051398664 | 0.0013 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.271708E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.271708E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2592872E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2592872E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7503967E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.72716784 | 2.7503967E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027475979 | 0.0025 | 0.90988564 | 0.0033459493 | 6.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5905662E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5905662E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5388072E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5388072E-5 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8733778E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0675904 | 1.8733778E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018722013 | 0.0016 | 0.85460895 | 0.0021716396 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2936721E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2936721E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.544306E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.544306E-6 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.7501474E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9628985 | 6.7501474E-5 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7496987E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7407738 | 7.749024E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6697657E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6697657E-5 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.155956E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3974373 | 7.155956E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.70913E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.91857624 | 9.708259E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008677379 | 0.0089 | 1.0256553 | 0.010957422 | 0.0023 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6697657E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6697657E-5 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.155956E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3974373 | 7.155956E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.70913E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.91857624 | 9.708259E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008677379 | 0.0089 | 1.0256553 | 0.010957422 | 0.0023 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6697657E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6697657E-5 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.155956E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3974373 | 7.155956E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.70913E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.91857624 | 9.708259E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008677379 | 0.0089 | 1.0256553 | 0.010957422 | 0.0023 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1890731E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1890731E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0959316E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0959316E-5 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.20259E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.48366895 | 6.20259E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061858865 | 0.0059 | 0.9537841 | 0.0076766075 | 0.0015 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1890731E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1890731E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0959316E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0959316E-5 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.20259E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.48366895 | 6.20259E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061858865 | 0.0059 | 0.9537841 | 0.0076766075 | 0.0015 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0621866E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0621866E-5 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.5521516E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5521516E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.540884E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3609532 | 5.540884E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055275685 | 0.0048 | 0.8683746 | 0.0068203826 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.161175E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.161175E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.926161E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.926161E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7790917E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7790917E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0041158604 | 0.004769211 | 0.004 | 0.8387131 | 0.005963488 | 0.0012 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.408778E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.408778E-6 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.603714E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.603714E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.386675E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.386675E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003753043 | 0.0043783854 | 0.0039 | 0.8907393 | 0.005573131 | 0.0012 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.843609E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.843609E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.361505E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.361505E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0918996E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0918996E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003487206 | 0.004084723 | 0.0037 | 0.9058142 | 0.0052798213 | 0.0012 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1319555E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1319555E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0565185E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0565185E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7207096E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7207096E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037148185 | 0.0033 | 0.8883341 | 0.0047111036 | 0.001 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0813696E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0813696E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1777127E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1777127E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.651058E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.651058E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026480486 | 0.0022 | 0.8308005 | 0.00344593 | 8.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.6328596E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6328596E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.985497E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.985497E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4170897E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4170897E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024146114 | 0.0019 | 0.7868761 | 0.0031129213 | 7.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.1576454E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1576454E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7818367E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7818367E-5 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1691853E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1691853E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021672163 | 0.0018 | 0.83055854 | 0.0028656991 | 7.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6299518E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6299518E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5556852E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5556852E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8938968E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8938968E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018924283 | 0.0018 | 0.95115894 | 0.0025911035 | 7.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8893344E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8893344E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2382811E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2382811E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5075174E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5075174E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015066363 | 0.0016 | 1.0619683 | 0.0021057322 | 6.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5136369E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5136369E-6 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4870064E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4870064E-6 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.897769E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.897769E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.896189E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.013147 | 9.89461E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6041258E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6041258E-7 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160537E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1160537E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587897E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3587897E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587347E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.9439154 | 1.3587347E-4 | 0.0 |
Mount Diablo Thrust South
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.6966321E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.416659 | 2.2696092E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1556595E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.5959203 | 4.1553128E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014063054 | 0.0017 | 1.2088412 | 0.0019056023 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011608457 | 0.013993892 | 0.0123 | 0.8789549 | 0.016360307 | 0.0024 |
6.1 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.6966321E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.416659 | 2.2696092E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1556595E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.5959203 | 4.1553128E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014063054 | 0.0017 | 1.2088412 | 0.0019056023 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011608457 | 0.013993892 | 0.0123 | 0.8789549 | 0.016360307 | 0.0024 |
6.2 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.6966321E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.416659 | 2.2696092E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1556595E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.5959203 | 4.1553128E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014063054 | 0.0017 | 1.2088412 | 0.0019056023 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011608457 | 0.013993892 | 0.0123 | 0.8789549 | 0.016360307 | 0.0024 |
6.3 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.6966321E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.416659 | 2.2696092E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1556595E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.5959203 | 4.1553128E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014063054 | 0.0017 | 1.2088412 | 0.0019056023 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011608457 | 0.013993892 | 0.0123 | 0.8789549 | 0.016360307 | 0.0024 |
6.4 | 1.2228463E-5 | 1.4752696E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.778422 | 1.1475122E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2406645E-5 | 6.322438E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1633365 | 2.6321172E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.378641E-4 | 7.694979E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9096841 | 9.69344E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0063603627 | 0.007669932 | 0.0047 | 0.6127825 | 0.008364563 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2228463E-5 | 1.4752696E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.778422 | 1.1475122E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2406645E-5 | 6.322438E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1633365 | 2.6321172E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.378641E-4 | 7.694979E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9096841 | 9.69344E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0063603627 | 0.007669932 | 0.0047 | 0.6127825 | 0.008364563 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2068118E-5 | 1.4557408E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.8693547 | 1.1455595E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.1719482E-5 | 6.238747E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.602886 | 1.6238123E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.2950276E-4 | 7.593156E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7901853 | 8.5923966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006277225 | 0.0075688073 | 0.0045 | 0.5945454 | 0.008065023 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1499428E-5 | 1.3879802E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3879802E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9282335E-5 | 5.9483584E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9483584E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9984723E-4 | 7.2398473E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6906223 | 7.2398473E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0059823063 | 0.0072178426 | 0.0043 | 0.59574586 | 0.0075156773 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 8.82118E-6 | 1.0834225E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0834225E-5 | 0.0 | 3.780451E-5 | 4.6431596E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6431596E-5 | 0.0 | 4.601727E-4 | 5.651637E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7077596 | 5.651637E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0045922096 | 0.0056381267 | 0.0036 | 0.6385099 | 0.0059364354 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.047112E-6 | 9.942913E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.942913E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4487166E-5 | 4.2611817E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2611817E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1980037E-4 | 5.1868067E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7711874 | 5.1868067E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004190082 | 0.0051755277 | 0.0033 | 0.63761616 | 0.0054739746 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 6.2574763E-6 | 7.751429E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.751429E-6 | 0.0 | 2.681748E-5 | 3.3220007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3220007E-5 | 0.0 | 3.264539E-4 | 4.043822E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7418724 | 4.043822E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032597475 | 0.0040373355 | 0.0023 | 0.56968266 | 0.0043361243 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6485903E-6 | 4.5143206E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5143206E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5636722E-5 | 1.9346948E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9346948E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9036046E-4 | 2.3552404E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2737553 | 2.3552404E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019019748 | 0.0023528351 | 0.0013 | 0.5525249 | 0.0024525998 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.3034274E-6 | 2.9060986E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9060986E-6 | 0.0 | 9.871795E-6 | 1.24546505E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.24546505E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2018247E-4 | 1.5162506E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6595216 | 1.5162506E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012011749 | 0.0015153716 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5279233 | 0.0016152201 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.224035E-6 | 1.5682665E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5682665E-6 | 0.0 | 5.245854E-6 | 6.7211254E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7211254E-6 | 0.0 | 6.38664E-5 | 8.1826736E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2220944 | 8.1826736E-5 | 0.0 | 6.384805E-4 | 8.181049E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.855636 | 8.181049E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.1601154E-7 | 6.724704E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.724704E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2114762E-6 | 2.8820127E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8820127E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6924388E-5 | 3.5087956E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5087956E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6921128E-4 | 3.5079857E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5701278 | 3.5079857E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.552894E-7 | 4.6658042E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6658042E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5226678E-6 | 1.999629E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.999629E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8538323E-5 | 2.4345225E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4345225E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8536777E-4 | 2.4344347E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.82154596 | 2.4344347E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3124082E-7 | 1.7192495E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7192495E-7 | 0.0 | 5.6246057E-7 | 7.3682105E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3682105E-7 | 0.0 | 6.8479358E-6 | 8.970768E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.970768E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8477246E-5 | 8.9709305E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.9709305E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6193022E-8 | 4.7337167E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7337167E-8 | 0.0 | 1.5511293E-7 | 2.0287355E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0287355E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8884983E-6 | 2.4699839E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4699839E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8884823E-5 | 2.470406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.470406E-5 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.347264E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.347264E-5 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2915407E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8727752 | 2.2915407E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.002787352 | 0.0013 | 0.46639246 | 0.0029867946 | 2.0E-4 | 0.021611776 | 0.027618373 | 0.0193 | 0.69881016 | 0.029660376 | 0.0021 |
6.1 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.347264E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.347264E-5 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2915407E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8727752 | 2.2915407E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.002787352 | 0.0013 | 0.46639246 | 0.0029867946 | 2.0E-4 | 0.021611776 | 0.027618373 | 0.0193 | 0.69881016 | 0.029660376 | 0.0021 |
6.2 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2167018E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2167018E-5 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.500037E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0526274 | 9.500037E-5 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011564026 | 9.0E-4 | 0.77827567 | 0.001256287 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009013915 | 0.011541593 | 0.0093 | 0.80578136 | 0.012431205 | 9.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2167018E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2167018E-5 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.500037E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0526274 | 9.500037E-5 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011564026 | 9.0E-4 | 0.77827567 | 0.001256287 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009013915 | 0.011541593 | 0.0093 | 0.80578136 | 0.012431205 | 9.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4028824E-5 | 1.7911016E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7911016E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0122147E-5 | 7.67615E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3027364 | 7.67615E-5 | 0.0 | 7.3174125E-4 | 9.345508E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8560263 | 0.0010344574 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0072933645 | 0.009343386 | 0.0076 | 0.8134097 | 0.010234976 | 9.0E-4 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9804585E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9804585E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.134321E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.3426654 | 2.134321E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.00259563 | 0.0032 | 1.2328413 | 0.0026953705 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023677798 | 0.025676716 | 0.0263 | 1.0242742 | 0.02791766 | 0.0023 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9804585E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9804585E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.134321E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.3426654 | 2.134321E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.00259563 | 0.0024 | 0.924631 | 0.0026953705 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023677798 | 0.025676716 | 0.0181 | 0.7049188 | 0.026943337 | 0.0013 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.974656E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.974656E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2747923E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.9222078 | 1.2747923E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015509819 | 0.0016 | 1.0316045 | 0.0016508268 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015403797 | 0.0111 | 0.72060156 | 0.016388392 | 0.001 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3235023E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3235023E-5 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.957494E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0085373 | 9.957494E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012116642 | 9.0E-4 | 0.74278 | 0.001311543 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012017938 | 0.012058047 | 0.008 | 0.6634574 | 0.012552017 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.971361E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.971361E-5 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.448423E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1836529 | 8.448423E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010281202 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5835894 | 0.0010281202 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.010238782 | 0.0065 | 0.6348412 | 0.010436733 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7142684E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7142684E-5 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.346662E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3611625 | 7.346662E-5 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.94096E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6710689 | 8.94096E-4 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008910749 | 0.0055 | 0.6172321 | 0.009108967 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4350796E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4350796E-5 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.150199E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6259636 | 6.150199E-5 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.485347E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6679717 | 7.485347E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.007457689 | 0.0046 | 0.61681306 | 0.007656197 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1676818E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1676818E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.004257E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9982986 | 5.004257E-5 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.091022E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8208803 | 6.091022E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060707247 | 0.0034 | 0.560065 | 0.0061701173 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0612738E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0612738E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5482393E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.198653 | 4.5482393E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.536115E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.90316045 | 5.536115E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.005511924 | 0.0032 | 0.5805595 | 0.005611373 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.883509E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.883509E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3786047E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9598017 | 3.3786047E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1127042E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.48629805 | 4.1127042E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004090151 | 0.0023 | 0.56232643 | 0.004189742 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.1083775E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1083775E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1892864E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5676985 | 2.1892864E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6651315E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.750432 | 2.6651315E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026619511 | 0.0015 | 0.5634965 | 0.0026619511 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.178134E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.178134E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7906166E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7906166E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1798587E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.45874533 | 2.1798587E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.002177732 | 0.0011 | 0.50511265 | 0.002177732 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2827286E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2827286E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4068762E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4068762E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.712738E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.58386046 | 1.712738E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017114276 | 0.001 | 0.58430755 | 0.0017114276 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4409778E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409778E-6 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0461292E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461292E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2735884E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.78518295 | 1.2735884E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012728656 | 6.0E-4 | 0.47137734 | 0.0012728656 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7683607E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7683607E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.578667E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.578667E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.226642E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.226642E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.222864E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.43370473 | 9.222864E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.3806466E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3806466E-7 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.0202713E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0202713E-6 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.8945738E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8945738E-5 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.893531E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.40870282 | 4.893531E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4126624E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4126624E-7 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.748281E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.748281E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.345983E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.345983E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3455007E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.59781784 | 3.3455007E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.449974E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.449974E-8 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7642741E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7642741E-7 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3654987E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3654987E-6 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3654505E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3654505E-5 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7050868E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.698992 | 3.7050868E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5878244E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2595851 | 2.5876655E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019319343 | 0.0011 | 0.56937754 | 0.0021315478 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019197866 | 0.0142 | 0.7396655 | 0.02135563 | 0.0022 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7050868E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.698992 | 3.7050868E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5878244E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2595851 | 2.5876655E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019319343 | 0.0011 | 0.56937754 | 0.0021315478 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019197866 | 0.0142 | 0.7396655 | 0.02135563 | 0.0022 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7050868E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.698992 | 3.7050868E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5878244E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2595851 | 2.5876655E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019319343 | 0.0011 | 0.56937754 | 0.0021315478 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019197866 | 0.0142 | 0.7396655 | 0.02135563 | 0.0022 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7050868E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.698992 | 3.7050868E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5878244E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2595851 | 2.5876655E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019319343 | 0.0011 | 0.56937754 | 0.0021315478 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019197866 | 0.0142 | 0.7396655 | 0.02135563 | 0.0022 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1209802E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7148013 | 2.1209802E-5 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.089689E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2002952 | 1.908878E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011062791 | 5.0E-4 | 0.45196548 | 0.0012061686 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010006315 | 0.01102454 | 0.0083 | 0.75286585 | 0.012013516 | 0.001 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1209802E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7148013 | 2.1209802E-5 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.089689E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2002952 | 1.908878E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011062791 | 5.0E-4 | 0.45196548 | 0.0012061686 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010006315 | 0.01102454 | 0.0083 | 0.75286585 | 0.012013516 | 0.001 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.66773E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.343689 | 9.66773E-6 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.143251E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4135635 | 4.143251E-5 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.043313E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3965647 | 5.043313E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005107356 | 0.005032592 | 0.0034 | 0.6755962 | 0.005430579 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.6552985E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.357008 | 9.6552985E-6 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.1379233E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.416671 | 4.1379233E-5 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.03683E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.39707518 | 5.03683E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005026138 | 0.0034 | 0.6764637 | 0.0054241274 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.77472E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.8622 | 7.77472E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.331983E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.001216 | 3.331983E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0559837E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.49309862 | 4.0559837E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004218856 | 0.0040490753 | 0.003 | 0.7409099 | 0.0044474555 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.4825314E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 18.23975 | 5.4825314E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3496355E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.255979 | 2.3496355E-5 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8603134E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34961203 | 2.8603134E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028567098 | 0.0022 | 0.77011675 | 0.002956424 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9837677E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 20.06514 | 4.9837677E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1358834E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.681904 | 2.1358834E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.6001342E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3845955 | 2.6001342E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025971595 | 0.0022 | 0.8470793 | 0.0026968997 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0882296E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 24.460466 | 4.0882296E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7520868E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.70748 | 1.7520868E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.132961E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.46883184 | 2.132961E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021309552 | 0.0013 | 0.610055 | 0.0021309552 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9785758E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 33.573093 | 2.9785758E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2765263E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.8337593 | 1.2765263E-5 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.554061E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.64347535 | 1.554061E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015529855 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5795289 | 0.0015529855 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.095942E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 47.711246 | 2.095942E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.982577E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 11.132663 | 8.982577E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0935746E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.91443235 | 1.0935746E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010930437 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5489259 | 0.0010930437 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0278268E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0278268E-6 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.4049643E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4049643E-6 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.362915E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.362915E-5 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.361651E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7460389 | 5.361651E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.9188264E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9188264E-7 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1080668E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1080668E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5665428E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5665428E-5 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.566262E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3896718 | 2.566262E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4783594E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4783594E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0621536E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0621536E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2931647E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2931647E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2930931E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2930931E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.3892984E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3892984E-8 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1668418E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1668418E-7 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8556245E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8556245E-6 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8555692E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8555692E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7585963E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7585963E-8 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.536841E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.536841E-8 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.176102E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.176102E-7 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.1760785E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.1760785E-6 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080848E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080848E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7488556E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1057706 | 1.474838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780325E-4 | 0.0012 | 2.0760076 | 0.0012776279 | 7.0E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576656 | 0.0065 | 1.1271886 | 0.007953873 | 0.0022 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080848E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080848E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7488556E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1057706 | 1.474838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780325E-4 | 0.0012 | 2.0760076 | 0.0012776279 | 7.0E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576656 | 0.0065 | 1.1271886 | 0.007953873 | 0.0022 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080848E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080848E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7488556E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1057706 | 1.474838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780325E-4 | 0.0012 | 2.0760076 | 0.0012776279 | 7.0E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576656 | 0.0065 | 1.1271886 | 0.007953873 | 0.0022 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080848E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080848E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7488556E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1057706 | 1.474838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780325E-4 | 0.0012 | 2.0760076 | 0.0012776279 | 7.0E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576656 | 0.0065 | 1.1271886 | 0.007953873 | 0.0022 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080848E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080848E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7488556E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1057706 | 1.474838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780325E-4 | 0.0012 | 2.0760076 | 0.0012776279 | 7.0E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576656 | 0.0065 | 1.1271886 | 0.007953873 | 0.0022 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080848E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080848E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7488556E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1057706 | 1.474838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780325E-4 | 0.0012 | 2.0760076 | 0.0012776279 | 7.0E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576656 | 0.0065 | 1.1271886 | 0.007953873 | 0.0022 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9364473E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9364473E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9727309E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3639104 | 1.2972433E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.618728E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.9343814 | 7.6172804E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.003613127 | 0.0037 | 1.0240437 | 0.005008069 | 0.0014 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9364473E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9364473E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9727309E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3639104 | 1.2972433E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.618728E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.9343814 | 7.6172804E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.003613127 | 0.0037 | 1.0240437 | 0.005008069 | 0.0014 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1800503E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1800503E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2200033E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2200033E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7025305E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.8501179 | 4.7019898E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.00269936 | 0.0025 | 0.92614543 | 0.0037963907 | 0.0011 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.253005E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.253005E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8227041E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8227041E-5 | 0.0 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2189236E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.2533448 | 4.2184797E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022167806 | 0.0022 | 0.99243015 | 0.003214564 | 0.001 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7144562E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7144562E-6 | 0.0 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5919004E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5919004E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9379727E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.5800157 | 3.937585E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019363456 | 0.002 | 1.0328735 | 0.0027347966 | 8.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1124666E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1124666E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3339078E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339078E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6239173E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.8473846 | 2.623755E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016227869 | 0.0015 | 0.92433584 | 0.0020221376 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6059038E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6059038E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1168115E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1168115E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3596381E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.2064695 | 2.3595023E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017829615 | 0.001358856 | 0.0013 | 0.9566871 | 0.0016584484 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8288101E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8288101E-6 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.837736E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.837736E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.542055E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0479922 | 1.95411E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013866565 | 9.538247E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.83872855 | 0.0011536339 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4367916E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4367916E-6 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.157665E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.157665E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.4967254E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3339158 | 1.7495976E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001177395 | 7.4944465E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8005928 | 9.492948E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.356678E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.356678E-7 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1528582E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1528582E-6 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8385377E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8385377E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.837879E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7816818 | 3.837879E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6616506E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6616506E-7 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9978488E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9978488E-6 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4323539E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4323539E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4320904E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.82233787 | 2.4320904E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.559012E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.559012E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6814783E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6814783E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.134671E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.134671E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1343846E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4586985 | 8.1343846E-5 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.8249995E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.8249995E-5 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7816292E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5288726 | 4.781251E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038171355 | 0.004594981 | 0.0022 | 0.47878322 | 0.004893603 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03752231 | 0.04506364 | 0.0297 | 0.6590679 | 0.04697351 | 0.002 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4902074E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4902074E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9242366E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9242366E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023403226 | 0.0012 | 0.5127498 | 0.0024400887 | 1.0E-4 | 0.019602431 | 0.023165442 | 0.0137 | 0.5913982 | 0.024142276 | 0.001 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.330801E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.330801E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4274092E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4274092E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017365083 | 0.0011 | 0.63345504 | 0.0018363347 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017232046 | 0.0106 | 0.615133 | 0.018116537 | 9.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.330801E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.330801E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4274092E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4274092E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017365083 | 0.0011 | 0.63345504 | 0.0018363347 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017232046 | 0.0106 | 0.615133 | 0.018116537 | 9.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5456064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5456064E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.090929E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.090929E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013274061 | 9.0E-4 | 0.67801404 | 0.0014272734 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011519298 | 0.013195943 | 0.0079 | 0.5986689 | 0.013886706 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4031884E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4031884E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0298977E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0298977E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012531881 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7181683 | 0.0013530628 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010900296 | 0.012462295 | 0.0072 | 0.5777427 | 0.013153572 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.07107E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.07107E-5 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.8757144E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.8757144E-5 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.001080088 | 8.0E-4 | 0.74068046 | 0.0011799799 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009454516 | 0.010749055 | 0.0063 | 0.586098 | 0.011342606 | 6.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7988585E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7988585E-5 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.709167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.709167E-5 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.381896E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8527061 | 0.0010380958 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008254109 | 0.009342656 | 0.0053 | 0.5672905 | 0.00993705 | 6.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6205453E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6205453E-5 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.94501E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.94501E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.4522896E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7098668 | 8.4522896E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.00842041 | 0.0041 | 0.4869122 | 0.008916199 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4209658E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4209658E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.089712E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.089712E-5 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.4117165E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8095291 | 7.4117165E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.0073871836 | 0.0038 | 0.5144045 | 0.0077842283 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2292552E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2292552E-5 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.268131E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.268131E-5 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.4120715E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.935735 | 6.4120715E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.006393699 | 0.0034 | 0.53177357 | 0.006691781 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0609864E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0609864E-5 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.547006E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.547006E-5 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.534581E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.90341073 | 5.534581E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005520894 | 0.0031 | 0.5615033 | 0.005819238 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.261131E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.261131E-6 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9689963E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9689963E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8311884E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.034942 | 4.8311884E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004820766 | 0.0025 | 0.5185898 | 0.0050198017 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.091643E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.091643E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0392404E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0392404E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.699651E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.3514788 | 3.699651E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.003693538 | 0.0021 | 0.56856054 | 0.0037931686 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6442245E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6442245E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4189312E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4189312E-5 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9446546E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0187953 | 2.9446546E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029407942 | 0.0018 | 0.61207956 | 0.0030405002 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9701965E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9701965E-6 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.443673E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.443673E-6 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.027971E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.97279006 | 1.027971E-4 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010275175 | 4.0E-4 | 0.38928777 | 0.0011274148 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7534983E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7534983E-7 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5149904E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5149904E-7 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.149464E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.149464E-6 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.149107E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0930028 | 9.149107E-5 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5628186E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5628186E-5 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0983055E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0983055E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013363836 | 0.0012 | 0.89794576 | 0.0018357155 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01328906 | 0.0114 | 0.8578484 | 0.015459825 | 0.0022 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5628186E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5628186E-5 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0983055E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0983055E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013363836 | 0.0012 | 0.89794576 | 0.0018357155 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01328906 | 0.0114 | 0.8578484 | 0.015459825 | 0.0022 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5628186E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5628186E-5 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0983055E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0983055E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013363836 | 0.0012 | 0.89794576 | 0.0018357155 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01328906 | 0.0114 | 0.8578484 | 0.015459825 | 0.0022 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.512814E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.512814E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0768768E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0768768E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013103257 | 0.0012 | 0.91580284 | 0.0018096705 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013031555 | 0.0113 | 0.867126 | 0.0152028855 | 0.0022 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.512814E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.512814E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0768768E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0768768E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013103257 | 0.0012 | 0.91580284 | 0.0018096705 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013031555 | 0.0113 | 0.867126 | 0.0152028855 | 0.0022 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4817316E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4817316E-5 | 0.0 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.06355685E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.06355685E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010410968 | 0.001294128 | 0.0012 | 0.9272653 | 0.001793481 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.012871464 | 0.0113 | 0.87791103 | 0.015043146 | 0.0022 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.332067E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.332067E-5 | 0.0 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.994198E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.994198E-5 | 0.0 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012161289 | 0.0011 | 0.9045093 | 0.0016156426 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.01210046 | 0.0109 | 0.90079224 | 0.014175049 | 0.0021 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2921204E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2921204E-5 | 0.0 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.823011E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.823011E-5 | 0.0 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.00119531 | 0.0011 | 0.92026335 | 0.0015948318 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.0118945325 | 0.0108 | 0.9079802 | 0.013969554 | 0.0021 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1814734E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1814734E-5 | 0.0 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.3488445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3488445E-5 | 0.0 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011376415 | 0.0011 | 0.9669127 | 0.0015371864 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.01132318 | 0.0098 | 0.86548126 | 0.013201666 | 0.0019 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5309017E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5309017E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.560846E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.560846E-5 | 0.0 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.984967E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.751412 | 9.98337E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007957112 | 0.0072 | 0.9048509 | 0.009246768 | 0.0013 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.315811E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.315811E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6390712E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6390712E-5 | 0.0 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.8634644E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.72849506 | 7.862778E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068428116 | 0.0059 | 0.8622187 | 0.007835969 | 0.001 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0868022E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0868022E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.657643E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.657643E-5 | 0.0 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.6692475E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.52917075 | 5.6692475E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0050568148 | 0.0056550754 | 0.0041 | 0.7250125 | 0.006450551 | 8.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0288838E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0288838E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4094297E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4094297E-5 | 0.0 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.367201E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5589506 | 5.367201E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0048062233 | 0.00535467 | 0.004 | 0.74701154 | 0.006150386 | 8.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.810479E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.810479E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2044256E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2044256E-5 | 0.0 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.117728E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.39079842 | 5.117728E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005106369 | 0.0036 | 0.7050019 | 0.005802795 | 7.0E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.709477E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.709477E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1611405E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1611405E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.065053E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3948626 | 5.065053E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004533812 | 0.005053935 | 0.0036 | 0.7123162 | 0.0057503977 | 7.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.607105E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.607105E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1172683E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1172683E-5 | 0.0 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.0116633E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3990691 | 5.0116633E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004483909 | 0.005000787 | 0.0036 | 0.71988666 | 0.005697286 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.286143E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.286143E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.979717E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.979717E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8442703E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20642944 | 4.8442703E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048341346 | 0.0033 | 0.68264544 | 0.005530751 | 7.0E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.347186E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.347186E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5773184E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5773184E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3545553E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.22964457 | 4.3545553E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00389112 | 0.004346428 | 0.0029 | 0.6672145 | 0.004844255 | 5.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6486753E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6486753E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5637171E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5637171E-6 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9038094E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9038094E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9036507E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.52530646 | 1.9036507E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6699092E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6699092E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1442468E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1442468E-8 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3931205E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3931205E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3931206E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 71.781296 | 1.3931206E-6 | 0.0 |
Quien Sabe 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.729899E-5 | 7.0991715E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0991715E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5984301E-4 | 3.0415907E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6575507 | 4.0412866E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019443515 | 0.0036875447 | 0.0025 | 0.6779579 | 0.004584226 | 9.0E-4 | 0.019274272 | 0.03537065 | 0.0204 | 0.5767494 | 0.03739637 | 0.0021 |
6.1 | 1.7825725E-5 | 3.323513E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.323513E-5 | 0.0 | 7.639373E-5 | 1.4238233E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.70233434 | 2.4236809E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.296967E-4 | 0.001727807 | 0.0015 | 0.8681525 | 0.0024265975 | 7.0E-4 | 0.009258169 | 0.0167089 | 0.0096 | 0.57454413 | 0.017495532 | 8.0E-4 |
6.2 | 4.8865336E-6 | 7.813976E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.813976E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0942118E-5 | 3.348603E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.348603E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5494045E-4 | 4.0727167E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.24553636 | 4.0727167E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025464818 | 0.004016377 | 0.0021 | 0.5228593 | 0.004016377 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.858491E-6 | 5.7951675E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7951675E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6536285E-5 | 2.4836223E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4836223E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0131067E-4 | 3.0234375E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0234375E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002011284 | 0.003004286 | 0.0014 | 0.4660009 | 0.003004286 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 3.0771805E-6 | 4.390085E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.390085E-6 | 0.0 | 1.318785E-5 | 1.8814528E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8814528E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6055023E-4 | 2.2904522E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2904522E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001604343 | 0.0022887716 | 0.0013 | 0.56799024 | 0.0022887716 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.5081235E-6 | 3.4682764E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4682764E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0749056E-5 | 1.4863966E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4863966E-5 | 0.0 | 1.308619E-4 | 1.8095523E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8095523E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013078486 | 0.0018142919 | 0.001 | 0.55117923 | 0.0018142919 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.7505364E-6 | 2.405822E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.405822E-6 | 0.0 | 7.502277E-6 | 1.03106295E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03106295E-5 | 0.0 | 9.13364E-5 | 1.2552539E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2552539E-4 | 0.0 | 9.129886E-4 | 0.0012600344 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5555404 | 0.0012600344 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.505737E-6 | 2.0669022E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0669022E-6 | 0.0 | 6.4531428E-6 | 8.8581255E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.8581255E-6 | 0.0 | 7.8564175E-5 | 1.0784294E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0784294E-4 | 0.0 | 7.853641E-4 | 0.0010833773 | 5.0E-4 | 0.46151975 | 0.0010833773 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2924105E-6 | 1.7512001E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7512001E-6 | 0.0 | 5.5388905E-6 | 7.505125E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.505125E-6 | 0.0 | 6.74339E-5 | 9.1371614E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.1371614E-5 | 0.0 | 6.741344E-4 | 9.174812E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.43597624 | 9.174812E-4 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.9075286E-7 | 1.1268071E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1268071E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8175067E-6 | 4.8291654E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8291654E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6477155E-5 | 5.8793725E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8793725E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6467435E-4 | 5.9130765E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3382334 | 5.9130765E-4 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.6891175E-7 | 8.5319635E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.5319635E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8667614E-6 | 3.6565518E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6565518E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4902263E-5 | 4.4517805E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4517805E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4896782E-4 | 4.4756528E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4468622 | 4.4756528E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4205015E-7 | 5.3969393E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3969393E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8944993E-6 | 2.312973E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.312973E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3065284E-5 | 2.8160252E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8160252E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3062891E-4 | 2.828956E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.828956E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6620965E-7 | 1.6008343E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6008343E-7 | 0.0 | 7.123269E-7 | 6.860717E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.860717E-7 | 0.0 | 8.672545E-6 | 8.352895E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.352895E-6 | 0.0 | 8.6722066E-5 | 8.362052E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.362052E-5 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2142488E-7 | 1.17357025E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.17357025E-7 | 0.0 | 5.2039223E-7 | 5.029586E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.029586E-7 | 0.0 | 6.335757E-6 | 6.1235073E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1235073E-6 | 0.0 | 6.3355765E-5 | 6.130029E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.130029E-5 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4192937E-8 | 2.4557739E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4557739E-8 | 0.0 | 1.0368401E-7 | 1.05247445E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.05247445E-7 | 0.0 | 1.2623522E-6 | 1.281387E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.281387E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2623449E-5 | 1.2834933E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2834933E-5 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4432802E-8 | 1.4511247E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511247E-8 | 0.0 | 6.185486E-8 | 6.219106E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.219106E-8 | 0.0 | 7.530827E-7 | 7.57176E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.57176E-7 | 0.0 | 7.530801E-6 | 7.5913213E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5913213E-6 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.311157E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.311157E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.847509E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.847509E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026203706 | 0.0022470353 | 0.001 | 0.4450308 | 0.0023468107 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02589687 | 0.022317931 | 0.0128 | 0.5735299 | 0.024273295 | 0.002 |
6.1 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.311157E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.311157E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.847509E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.847509E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026203706 | 0.0022470353 | 0.001 | 0.4450308 | 0.0023468107 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02589687 | 0.022317931 | 0.0128 | 0.5735299 | 0.024273295 | 0.002 |
6.2 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.4490262E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4490262E-5 | 0.0 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4780712E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4780712E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0017980787 | 8.0E-4 | 0.44491935 | 0.0018978989 | 1.0E-4 | 0.022186736 | 0.017909633 | 0.0096 | 0.5360244 | 0.019186351 | 0.0013 |
6.3 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.4490262E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4490262E-5 | 0.0 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4780712E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4780712E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0017980787 | 8.0E-4 | 0.44491935 | 0.0018978989 | 1.0E-4 | 0.022186736 | 0.017909633 | 0.0096 | 0.5360244 | 0.019186351 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 4.1101295E-5 | 3.2374133E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2374133E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7613651E-4 | 1.3873898E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3873898E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021423528 | 0.0016878516 | 8.0E-4 | 0.4739753 | 0.0017876829 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02121817 | 0.016824981 | 0.0091 | 0.54086244 | 0.018103108 | 0.0013 |
6.5 | 4.1032585E-5 | 3.2292133E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2292133E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7584208E-4 | 1.3838761E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3838761E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021387753 | 0.0016835802 | 8.0E-4 | 0.47517782 | 0.0017834118 | 1.0E-4 | 0.021183075 | 0.016782919 | 0.0091 | 0.54221797 | 0.0180611 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 4.011629E-5 | 3.1313157E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1313157E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7191563E-4 | 1.3419242E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3419242E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020910634 | 0.001632582 | 8.0E-4 | 0.49002132 | 0.0017324188 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020714961 | 0.016280025 | 0.0091 | 0.5589672 | 0.017558862 | 0.0013 |
6.7 | 3.8583938E-5 | 2.949909E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.949909E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6534925E-4 | 1.2641863E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2641863E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020112682 | 0.0015380743 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5201309 | 0.0016379206 | 1.0E-4 | 0.019931622 | 0.0153497765 | 0.0085 | 0.55375403 | 0.016531356 | 0.0012 |
6.8 | 3.44341E-5 | 2.4493593E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4493593E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4756636E-4 | 1.0496837E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0496837E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017951399 | 0.0012772512 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6263451 | 0.0013771234 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017807078 | 0.012773686 | 0.0078 | 0.61063033 | 0.013859634 | 0.0011 |
6.9 | 3.221199E-5 | 2.1815908E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1815908E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3804408E-4 | 9.349344E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.349344E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0016793909 | 0.0011376966 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3515876 | 0.0011376966 | 0.0 | 0.01666756 | 0.011392306 | 0.0066 | 0.5793384 | 0.012380914 | 0.001 |
7.0 | 2.9186718E-5 | 1.8181061E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8181061E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2507994E-4 | 7.7916535E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7916535E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0015217843 | 9.482254E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.31638047 | 9.482254E-4 | 0.0 | 0.015114053 | 0.009514646 | 0.0054 | 0.5675461 | 0.010307034 | 8.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.6840138E-5 | 1.5316833E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5316833E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1502409E-4 | 6.564193E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.564193E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0013995186 | 7.9889945E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1251722 | 7.9889945E-4 | 0.0 | 0.013907375 | 0.008032562 | 0.0042 | 0.52287173 | 0.0086277425 | 6.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.453002E-5 | 1.2637749E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2637749E-5 | 0.0 | 1.05124425E-4 | 5.416066E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.416066E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012791384 | 6.592071E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.15169738 | 6.592071E-4 | 0.0 | 0.012718005 | 0.0066439225 | 0.0036 | 0.54184854 | 0.0071406006 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.3330727E-5 | 1.1519066E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1519066E-5 | 0.0 | 9.9985E-5 | 4.9366492E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9366492E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012166376 | 6.0087175E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.16642487 | 6.0087175E-4 | 0.0 | 0.012099981 | 0.0060626315 | 0.0032 | 0.5278236 | 0.0064602066 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2136466E-5 | 1.0398501E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0398501E-5 | 0.0 | 9.486712E-5 | 4.4564244E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4564244E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011543952 | 5.4243486E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18435393 | 5.4243486E-4 | 0.0 | 0.011484168 | 0.0054797665 | 0.0025 | 0.45622382 | 0.0057781227 | 3.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.0994974E-5 | 9.455544E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.455544E-6 | 0.0 | 8.997535E-5 | 4.0523133E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0523133E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010948994 | 4.932577E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20273378 | 4.932577E-4 | 0.0 | 0.010895205 | 0.0049884864 | 0.0022 | 0.44101554 | 0.0052869897 | 3.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.7091823E-5 | 6.9163316E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9163316E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3248615E-5 | 2.9641084E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9641084E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9143694E-4 | 3.6082053E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.27714607 | 3.6082053E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008878695 | 0.0036603925 | 0.0018 | 0.49175054 | 0.0039592944 | 3.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.2772179E-5 | 4.0369823E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0369823E-6 | 0.0 | 5.473676E-5 | 1.7301238E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7301238E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6621625E-4 | 2.1062224E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47478366 | 2.1062224E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006642225 | 0.00214568 | 9.0E-4 | 0.41944748 | 0.0023452507 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 7.041923E-6 | 1.9511936E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9511936E-6 | 0.0 | 3.017932E-5 | 8.362231E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.362231E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6737128E-4 | 1.0180541E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0180541E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036676454 | 0.0010436692 | 5.0E-4 | 0.479079 | 0.0012434605 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.946768E-6 | 1.0096571E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0096571E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2628945E-5 | 4.3270948E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3270948E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5374656E-4 | 5.2681105E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2681105E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0015364023 | 5.373658E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.37218598 | 6.37312E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1433375E-6 | 5.2181696E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2181696E-7 | 0.0 | 4.9000087E-6 | 2.2363563E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2363563E-6 | 0.0 | 5.965597E-5 | 2.72273E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.72273E-5 | 0.0 | 5.963996E-4 | 2.7591354E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7248647 | 3.7588595E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 2.6675295E-7 | 1.6428099E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6428099E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1432264E-6 | 7.040612E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.040612E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3918692E-5 | 8.571911E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.571911E-6 | 0.0 | 1.391782E-4 | 8.710931E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.710931E-5 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.2704569E-8 | 9.5560155E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5560155E-9 | 0.0 | 5.444815E-8 | 4.095435E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.095435E-8 | 0.0 | 6.629061E-7 | 4.986191E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.986191E-7 | 0.0 | 6.629041E-6 | 5.1788293E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1788293E-6 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.374635E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.374635E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4462064E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4462064E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759591 | 0.0015 | 0.8524708 | 0.0020590632 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.017482147 | 0.0143 | 0.8179773 | 0.019447183 | 0.002 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.374635E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.374635E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4462064E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4462064E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759591 | 0.0015 | 0.8524708 | 0.0020590632 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.017482147 | 0.0143 | 0.8179773 | 0.019447183 | 0.002 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.374635E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.374635E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4462064E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4462064E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759591 | 0.0015 | 0.8524708 | 0.0020590632 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.017482147 | 0.0143 | 0.8179773 | 0.019447183 | 0.002 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.374635E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.374635E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4462064E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4462064E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759591 | 0.0015 | 0.8524708 | 0.0020590632 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.017482147 | 0.0143 | 0.8179773 | 0.019447183 | 0.002 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7025272E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7025272E-5 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.296354E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.296354E-5 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8799215E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.0135224 | 0.0010878146 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009738282 | 0.0088467905 | 0.0068 | 0.76864034 | 0.009441483 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7025272E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7025272E-5 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.296354E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.296354E-5 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8799215E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.0135224 | 0.0010878146 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009738282 | 0.0088467905 | 0.0068 | 0.76864034 | 0.009441483 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2126778E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2126778E-5 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.197088E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.197088E-5 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.325641E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7904337 | 7.3250086E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006307906 | 0.0044 | 0.69753736 | 0.006705383 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2126778E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2126778E-5 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.197088E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.197088E-5 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.325641E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7904337 | 7.3250086E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006307906 | 0.0044 | 0.69753736 | 0.006705383 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1348737E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1348737E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.863655E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.863655E-5 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.91991E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8446074 | 6.919318E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007104293 | 0.00590437 | 0.0041 | 0.6944009 | 0.0063020084 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.13268325E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.13268325E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8542675E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8542675E-5 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.9084874E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8462403 | 6.9078966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007094092 | 0.005893008 | 0.0041 | 0.69573975 | 0.006290651 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1246377E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1246377E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.819788E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.819788E-5 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.8665307E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8522924 | 6.8659446E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007055073 | 0.005851273 | 0.0041 | 0.7007022 | 0.006248933 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0724686E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0724686E-5 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.596214E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.596214E-5 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.594472E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.89373934 | 6.593913E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0055806073 | 0.004 | 0.7167679 | 0.005978375 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.999034E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.999034E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.285231E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.285231E-5 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.2160374E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7668657 | 6.215516E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005204 | 0.0036 | 0.69177556 | 0.0056019183 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.845987E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.845987E-6 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.791083E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.791083E-5 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6146815E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8667987 | 5.61422E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0046052784 | 0.0032 | 0.6948548 | 0.0050034365 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.425567E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.425567E-6 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6109082E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6109082E-5 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.3954095E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9100404 | 5.39497E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054116896 | 0.004386891 | 0.003 | 0.6838556 | 0.0047851363 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.2991074E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2991074E-6 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.128152E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.128152E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.807874E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.050455 | 4.807493E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004693329 | 0.0038015079 | 0.0029 | 0.76285523 | 0.0041999873 | 4.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.8747826E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8747826E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6606107E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6606107E-5 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0216072E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9786237 | 3.021405E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020197819 | 0.0018 | 0.89118534 | 0.002219378 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.127269E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.127269E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3402514E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3402514E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6316348E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2257645 | 2.6314717E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016304461 | 0.0014 | 0.8586607 | 0.00183012 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0302405E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0302405E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.701002E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.701002E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.059296E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8880464 | 2.05919E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010587957 | 0.001 | 0.9444692 | 0.001258584 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.277006E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.277006E-7 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4044303E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4044303E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7098808E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7098808E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7097524E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7097524E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6844662E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6844662E-9 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4361997E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4361997E-8 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.966073E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.966073E-7 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.966071E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.966071E-6 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.940016E-5 | 6.791604E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.791604E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1169778E-4 | 2.9103426E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34360218 | 2.9103426E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002574374 | 0.0035374467 | 0.0026 | 0.7349934 | 0.0038363854 | 3.0E-4 | 0.025447546 | 0.034797058 | 0.0291 | 0.8362776 | 0.036823984 | 0.0021 |
6.1 | 4.940016E-5 | 6.791604E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.791604E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1169778E-4 | 2.9103426E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34360218 | 2.9103426E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002574374 | 0.0035374467 | 0.0026 | 0.7349934 | 0.0038363854 | 3.0E-4 | 0.025447546 | 0.034797058 | 0.0291 | 0.8362776 | 0.036823984 | 0.0021 |
6.2 | 4.472471E-5 | 6.104605E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.104605E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.6159745E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6159745E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023310026 | 0.0031802026 | 0.0019 | 0.5974462 | 0.0033795666 | 2.0E-4 | 0.02306703 | 0.031337492 | 0.0237 | 0.75628257 | 0.033177953 | 0.0019 |
6.3 | 4.472471E-5 | 6.104605E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.104605E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.6159745E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6159745E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023310026 | 0.0031802026 | 0.0019 | 0.5974462 | 0.0033795666 | 2.0E-4 | 0.02306703 | 0.031337492 | 0.0237 | 0.75628257 | 0.033177953 | 0.0019 |
6.4 | 4.0001003E-5 | 5.4139648E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4139648E-5 | 0.0 | 1.714216E-4 | 2.3200619E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3200619E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020850603 | 0.0028209654 | 0.0016 | 0.5671817 | 0.0029206832 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02065605 | 0.027846247 | 0.0193 | 0.69309163 | 0.029304478 | 0.0015 |
6.5 | 3.8033053E-5 | 5.129897E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.129897E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6298861E-4 | 2.1983392E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1983392E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019825802 | 0.0026731663 | 0.0015 | 0.5611323 | 0.0027728989 | 1.0E-4 | 0.019649856 | 0.026407251 | 0.0182 | 0.68920463 | 0.02777028 | 0.0014 |
6.6 | 3.653754E-5 | 4.9160328E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9160328E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5658008E-4 | 2.1067017E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1067017E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019046954 | 0.002561885 | 0.0014 | 0.54647267 | 0.0026616286 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018884527 | 0.025322381 | 0.0177 | 0.6989864 | 0.02668693 | 0.0014 |
6.7 | 3.372024E-5 | 4.5167893E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5167893E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4450731E-4 | 1.9356233E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9356233E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017579567 | 0.002354093 | 0.0011 | 0.46727127 | 0.0024538576 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017441148 | 0.023292575 | 0.0155 | 0.6654481 | 0.024562294 | 0.0013 |
6.8 | 2.9650024E-5 | 3.9434588E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9434588E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2706534E-4 | 1.6899435E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6899435E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015459227 | 0.0020555549 | 0.0011 | 0.5351353 | 0.0021553491 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015352124 | 0.020363314 | 0.0128 | 0.62858135 | 0.021538878 | 0.0012 |
6.9 | 2.860775E-5 | 3.783438E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.783438E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2259888E-4 | 1.6213725E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6213725E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014916194 | 0.0019722404 | 0.001 | 0.5070376 | 0.002072043 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014816469 | 0.019547187 | 0.0121 | 0.6190149 | 0.02072373 | 0.0012 |
7.0 | 2.6696067E-5 | 3.5087312E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5087312E-5 | 0.0 | 1.144067E-4 | 1.503656E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.503656E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013920115 | 0.0018291721 | 0.001 | 0.5466954 | 0.0019289892 | 1.0E-4 | 0.013833242 | 0.018141728 | 0.0107 | 0.5898005 | 0.019221773 | 0.0011 |
7.1 | 2.456087E-5 | 3.2031647E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2031647E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0525662E-4 | 1.3727132E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3727132E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001280746 | 0.0016700061 | 8.0E-4 | 0.47904018 | 0.0017698391 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012733897 | 0.01657608 | 0.0099 | 0.59724617 | 0.017657846 | 0.0011 |
7.2 | 2.295761E-5 | 2.9840372E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9840372E-5 | 0.0 | 9.8386045E-5 | 1.278811E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.278811E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011971919 | 0.0015558496 | 6.0E-4 | 0.3856414 | 0.001655694 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011907627 | 0.015451252 | 0.0094 | 0.60836494 | 0.016534256 | 0.0011 |
7.3 | 2.1256936E-5 | 2.7558272E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7558272E-5 | 0.0 | 9.109797E-5 | 1.18101576E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.18101576E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011085535 | 0.0014369471 | 6.0E-4 | 0.41755188 | 0.0015368034 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011030397 | 0.014278199 | 0.0089 | 0.6233279 | 0.015263921 | 0.001 |
7.4 | 1.8784336E-5 | 2.43214E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.43214E-5 | 0.0 | 8.050181E-5 | 1.0423045E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0423045E-4 | 0.0 | 9.796688E-4 | 0.0012682746 | 5.0E-4 | 0.3942364 | 0.0013681478 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009753612 | 0.012611715 | 0.0083 | 0.65811825 | 0.013599103 | 0.001 |
7.5 | 1.7248298E-5 | 2.2282242E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2282242E-5 | 0.0 | 7.391918E-5 | 9.549187E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.549187E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9959445E-4 | 0.0011620009 | 5.0E-4 | 0.43029225 | 0.0012618847 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008959615 | 0.011560513 | 0.0077 | 0.66606045 | 0.012450108 | 9.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0653709E-5 | 1.3730895E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3730895E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5657955E-5 | 5.8845384E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8845384E-5 | 0.0 | 5.557438E-4 | 7.1620976E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.55849564 | 8.161381E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055435603 | 0.0071396246 | 0.005 | 0.70031697 | 0.0076360544 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.286316E-6 | 4.0926175E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0926175E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4084137E-5 | 1.753967E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.753967E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7146087E-4 | 2.1352473E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4049895 | 3.1350338E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017132863 | 0.00213323 | 0.0019 | 0.89066815 | 0.0023328033 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.1855085E-7 | 5.978903E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.978903E-7 | 0.0 | 2.222359E-6 | 2.5623845E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5623845E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7056883E-5 | 3.1196592E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2054782 | 1.3119348E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.705359E-4 | 3.1191588E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.282397 | 4.1188468E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Mission (connected) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8735573E-5 | 2.6924352E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6924352E-5 | 0.0 | 8.029284E-5 | 1.1538398E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7333429 | 2.1537243E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.771269E-4 | 0.0014037982 | 0.0018 | 1.2822355 | 0.0016035176 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009728416 | 0.013957139 | 0.0173 | 1.239509 | 0.015929226 | 0.002 |
6.1 | 1.7515964E-5 | 2.5565309E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5565309E-5 | 0.0 | 7.506625E-5 | 1.0956001E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0956001E-4 | 0.0 | 9.135484E-4 | 0.0013329801 | 0.0012 | 0.9002385 | 0.0014328468 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009098019 | 0.013257593 | 0.0116 | 0.8749703 | 0.014540358 | 0.0013 |
6.2 | 1.6486343E-5 | 2.440969E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.440969E-5 | 0.0 | 7.065384E-5 | 1.0460777E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0460777E-4 | 0.0 | 8.5987104E-4 | 0.0012727588 | 0.0011 | 0.86426425 | 0.0013726315 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008565514 | 0.012662431 | 0.0109 | 0.86081415 | 0.01394597 | 0.0013 |
6.3 | 1.5229385E-5 | 2.2838227E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2838227E-5 | 0.0 | 6.526716E-5 | 9.787346E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.787346E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9433795E-4 | 0.0011908613 | 0.001 | 0.8397283 | 0.0012907423 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007915046 | 0.01185521 | 0.0095 | 0.8013354 | 0.012744541 | 9.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4435828E-5 | 2.1436923E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1436923E-5 | 0.0 | 6.186637E-5 | 9.1868314E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.1868314E-5 | 0.0 | 7.529627E-4 | 0.0011178273 | 9.0E-4 | 0.80513334 | 0.0012177156 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007504165 | 0.0111376755 | 0.0086 | 0.7721539 | 0.011928766 | 8.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.30127955E-5 | 1.9071455E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9071455E-5 | 0.0 | 5.576793E-5 | 8.173207E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.173207E-5 | 0.0 | 6.78763E-4 | 9.945985E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.90488774 | 0.0010944991 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0067669353 | 0.009928592 | 0.0075 | 0.75539416 | 0.010621642 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1220718E-5 | 1.6425818E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6425818E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8087906E-5 | 7.039446E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.039446E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8531296E-4 | 8.567151E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8170745 | 8.567151E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005837737 | 0.008565629 | 0.0062 | 0.7238231 | 0.008962203 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.086152E-6 | 1.1777516E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1777516E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4654473E-5 | 5.04741E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.04741E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2183654E-4 | 6.143497E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1394162 | 6.143497E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004210367 | 0.006163573 | 0.0044 | 0.71387166 | 0.00636234 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 6.8361655E-6 | 1.021984E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.021984E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9297524E-5 | 4.3798584E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3798584E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5663895E-4 | 5.331179E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.93787885 | 5.331179E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035606713 | 0.0053511728 | 0.0038 | 0.71012473 | 0.0055501023 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 5.2517353E-6 | 7.889528E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.889528E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2507242E-5 | 3.3811826E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3811826E-5 | 0.0 | 2.739912E-4 | 4.1158148E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.971861 | 4.1158148E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027365363 | 0.0041404422 | 0.0025 | 0.60380024 | 0.004339614 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4602784E-6 | 6.7202504E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7202504E-6 | 0.0 | 1.911534E-5 | 2.8800756E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8800756E-5 | 0.0 | 2.327044E-4 | 3.5059295E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1409242 | 3.5059295E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023246086 | 0.0035317615 | 0.0021 | 0.59460413 | 0.0037310552 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.1492594E-6 | 6.267877E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.267877E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7782419E-5 | 2.6862055E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6862055E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1647944E-4 | 3.2699658E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9174408 | 3.2699658E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021626868 | 0.0032960132 | 0.0018 | 0.5461143 | 0.003495354 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.213247E-6 | 3.374341E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.374341E-6 | 0.0 | 9.485309E-6 | 1.4461382E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4461382E-5 | 0.0 | 1.15477524E-4 | 1.7605313E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.56801033 | 1.7605313E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011541754 | 0.001787649 | 8.0E-4 | 0.44751516 | 0.001787649 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7362703E-6 | 2.7486553E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7486553E-6 | 0.0 | 7.4411373E-6 | 1.1779898E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1779898E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0592075E-5 | 1.4341084E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.69729733 | 1.4341084E-4 | 0.0 | 9.0555154E-4 | 0.0014583584 | 8.0E-4 | 0.548562 | 0.0014583584 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1628409E-6 | 1.8576744E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8576744E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9835944E-6 | 7.961437E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.961437E-6 | 0.0 | 6.0673574E-5 | 9.6926204E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0317128 | 9.6926204E-5 | 0.0 | 6.065701E-4 | 9.895161E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5052975 | 9.895161E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.5610667E-7 | 9.4077643E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.4077643E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3833122E-6 | 4.031893E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.031893E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9016439E-5 | 4.9087193E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0371912 | 4.9087193E-5 | 0.0 | 2.901265E-4 | 5.0730753E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.39423817 | 5.0730753E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.4307663E-7 | 7.8457253E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.8457253E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8988985E-6 | 3.3624494E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3624494E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3118844E-5 | 4.0937055E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0937055E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3116439E-4 | 4.2516357E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2352036 | 4.2516357E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.639119E-7 | 6.4097003E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4097003E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5596215E-6 | 2.7470114E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7470114E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8988227E-5 | 3.3444354E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444354E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8986604E-4 | 3.4964978E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28600046 | 3.4964978E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.1152942E-7 | 5.521125E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.521125E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3351254E-6 | 2.3661942E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3661942E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6255031E-5 | 2.8808035E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8808035E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6253842E-4 | 3.0003695E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.33329228 | 3.0003695E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.8035962E-7 | 3.7472176E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7472176E-7 | 0.0 | 7.729696E-7 | 1.6059494E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6059494E-6 | 0.0 | 9.410865E-6 | 1.9552259E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9552259E-5 | 0.0 | 9.410465E-5 | 2.0212609E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4947407 | 2.0212609E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.279334E-8 | 1.9835063E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9835063E-7 | 0.0 | 3.976857E-7 | 8.500739E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.500739E-7 | 0.0 | 4.841813E-6 | 1.0349601E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349601E-5 | 0.0 | 4.841707E-5 | 1.059828E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.059828E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.9253985E-8 | 1.1930742E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1930742E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5394561E-7 | 5.1131735E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1131735E-7 | 0.0 | 3.0917836E-6 | 6.2252716E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2252716E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0917407E-5 | 6.362946E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.362946E-5 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.3999E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0638411 | 9.3999E-5 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.0279242E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.24826685 | 4.0279242E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.0048935795 | 0.0036 | 0.7356578 | 0.0053911326 | 5.0E-4 | 0.03854755 | 0.047927428 | 0.0315 | 0.6572437 | 0.049831573 | 0.002 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0514827E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0514827E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1647451E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.46194816 | 2.1647451E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026324675 | 0.0015 | 0.5698076 | 0.002831941 | 2.0E-4 | 0.021578677 | 0.02602214 | 0.0158 | 0.6071753 | 0.02689872 | 9.0E-4 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0514827E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0514827E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1647451E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.46194816 | 2.1647451E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026324675 | 0.0015 | 0.5698076 | 0.002831941 | 2.0E-4 | 0.021578677 | 0.02602214 | 0.0158 | 0.6071753 | 0.02689872 | 9.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7725727E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7725727E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6167185E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6167185E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019666096 | 0.0011 | 0.5593383 | 0.002066413 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016452603 | 0.01949596 | 0.0117 | 0.6001243 | 0.020280363 | 8.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.534923E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.534923E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.514881E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.514881E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018428393 | 0.0011 | 0.596905 | 0.0019426551 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015469253 | 0.018279342 | 0.0109 | 0.59630156 | 0.018966546 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8774504E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8774504E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2331363E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2331363E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0015003362 | 0.001 | 0.66651726 | 0.0016001862 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012709012 | 0.014905039 | 0.0094 | 0.6306592 | 0.015496096 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4915422E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4915422E-5 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0677613E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0677613E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012992464 | 8.0E-4 | 0.61574155 | 0.0012992464 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.0129189165 | 0.008 | 0.619247 | 0.013412457 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1642298E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1642298E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.274952E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.274952E-5 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.001128661 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5316034 | 0.001128661 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011231451 | 0.0072 | 0.64105695 | 0.0117258355 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8425688E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8425688E-5 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.896496E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.896496E-5 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.609936E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6243538 | 9.609936E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009570363 | 0.0063 | 0.6582823 | 0.010065578 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.510031E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.510031E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.4714106E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4714106E-5 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.876276E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6348178 | 7.876276E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007850186 | 0.0052 | 0.6624047 | 0.00814783 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2724361E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2724361E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.4531934E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4531934E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.6374167E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.30132204 | 6.6374167E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006619343 | 0.0041 | 0.6193968 | 0.006818019 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0167256E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0167256E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3573324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3573324E-5 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.303933E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.37707868 | 5.303933E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005292975 | 0.0033 | 0.6234679 | 0.0054919166 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.3329337E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3329337E-7 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5712526E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5712526E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.3479144E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2999532 | 4.3479144E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3470747E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.69011927 | 4.3470747E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.700508E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.700508E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.585931E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.585931E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.930854E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.1790557 | 1.930854E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9306868E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5179504 | 1.9306868E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9676378E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9676378E-7 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.432731E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.432731E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0266802E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0266802E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.026633E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.026633E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.2800794E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2800794E-8 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6914623E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6914623E-7 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2768505E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2768505E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.276803E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.276803E-5 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.532084E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.532084E-9 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708932E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708932E-8 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.886562E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.886562E-7 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8865593E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8865593E-6 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.043094E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.95868635 | 1.043094E-4 | 0.0 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.4696842E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.67118835 | 4.4696842E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004310982 | 0.0054287077 | 0.0032 | 0.5894589 | 0.0055281646 | 1.0E-4 | 0.042283054 | 0.053019337 | 0.032 | 0.60355335 | 0.054629207 | 0.0017 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.7756482E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7756482E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.4750523E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.40403184 | 2.4750523E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00244744 | 0.0030092895 | 0.002 | 0.6646087 | 0.0031089887 | 1.0E-4 | 0.024206603 | 0.029693196 | 0.0166 | 0.5590507 | 0.030857563 | 0.0012 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2160005E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2160005E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8067344E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5534848 | 1.8067344E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021974999 | 0.0019 | 0.86461896 | 0.0022972801 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018137876 | 0.0217601 | 0.0128 | 0.5882326 | 0.022542693 | 8.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2160005E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2160005E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8067344E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5534848 | 1.8067344E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021974999 | 0.0019 | 0.86461896 | 0.0022972801 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018137876 | 0.0217601 | 0.0128 | 0.5882326 | 0.022542693 | 8.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.2099113E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2099113E-5 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3756043E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7269532 | 1.3756043E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016735229 | 0.0014 | 0.83655864 | 0.0017733555 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014090929 | 0.0166108 | 0.0095 | 0.5719171 | 0.017200833 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.0112651E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0112651E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2904788E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.77490616 | 1.2904788E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.001570037 | 0.0011 | 0.7006204 | 0.00166988 | 1.0E-4 | 0.013261181 | 0.01559099 | 0.0085 | 0.5451867 | 0.015984753 | 4.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.5751691E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5751691E-5 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.10359775E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9061273 | 1.10359775E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013428094 | 0.0011 | 0.8191781 | 0.0014426751 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011431668 | 0.013347949 | 0.0073 | 0.5469005 | 0.013742609 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.2549344E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2549344E-5 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.663649E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0348058 | 9.663649E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011759195 | 0.001 | 0.85039836 | 0.0012758019 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01006902 | 0.011697677 | 0.007 | 0.5984094 | 0.012092997 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.040987E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.040987E-5 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.746796E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1432757 | 8.746796E-5 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010644066 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8455416 | 0.0011643001 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009149387 | 0.010593651 | 0.0066 | 0.6230147 | 0.010989414 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.8031857E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8031857E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.7277116E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2940441 | 7.7277116E-5 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.4044633E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.95699245 | 0.0010403523 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008117969 | 0.00936511 | 0.0058 | 0.61932003 | 0.0096623 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.545285E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.545285E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.622483E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5100076 | 6.622483E-5 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.059918E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.1166366 | 9.059112E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006990582 | 0.008031019 | 0.005 | 0.622586 | 0.00832861 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.407731E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.407731E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.032995E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6575515 | 6.032995E-5 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.3427224E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.2257035 | 8.341988E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063810493 | 0.0073187663 | 0.0045 | 0.61485773 | 0.0076165707 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2517332E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2517332E-5 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.364462E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8641198 | 5.364462E-5 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.5293006E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.2252461 | 7.5286475E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0056831064 | 0.006510398 | 0.004 | 0.61440176 | 0.006808445 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.9308453E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9308453E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.9703288E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9703288E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6157793E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.3828278 | 3.6157793E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.0036099416 | 0.0021 | 0.5817269 | 0.0037095805 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.591093E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.591093E-6 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3961611E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3961611E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.9169396E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0284753 | 2.9169396E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.0029131519 | 0.0018 | 0.61788744 | 0.0030128607 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9701965E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9701965E-6 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.443673E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.443673E-6 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.027971E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.97279006 | 1.027971E-4 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010275175 | 4.0E-4 | 0.38928777 | 0.0011274148 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7534983E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7534983E-7 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5149904E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5149904E-7 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.149464E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.149464E-6 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.149107E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0930028 | 9.149107E-5 | 0.0 |
Greenville (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.286654E-5 | 4.0391333E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4757786 | 1.4038729E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4084899E-4 | 1.7309445E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7331579 | 3.7305983E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017134876 | 0.0021054256 | 0.0023 | 1.0924157 | 0.0025045834 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017003356 | 0.020859862 | 0.0159 | 0.7622294 | 0.022622313 | 0.0018 |
6.1 | 3.286654E-5 | 4.0391333E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4757786 | 1.4038729E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4084899E-4 | 1.7309445E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7331579 | 3.7305983E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017134876 | 0.0021054256 | 0.0021 | 0.99742305 | 0.0024047939 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017003356 | 0.020859862 | 0.0135 | 0.6471759 | 0.022132743 | 0.0013 |
6.2 | 3.1697953E-5 | 3.8953563E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5671592 | 1.3894966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.358413E-4 | 1.6693337E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7971241 | 3.669E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016526132 | 0.002030556 | 0.0017 | 0.8372091 | 0.002329947 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01640377 | 0.020124918 | 0.0127 | 0.63105845 | 0.021398757 | 0.0013 |
6.3 | 3.1363317E-5 | 3.8542243E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5945556 | 1.385384E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.344073E-4 | 1.651708E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.8163017 | 3.6513776E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016351803 | 0.0020091364 | 0.0017 | 0.84613466 | 0.0023085338 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016232004 | 0.01991459 | 0.0126 | 0.63270193 | 0.0211887 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 3.0228604E-5 | 3.714872E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6918828 | 1.37145E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2954473E-4 | 1.5919929E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.8844305 | 3.5916743E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0015760659 | 0.0019365643 | 0.0017 | 0.87784326 | 0.0022359835 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015649348 | 0.019201608 | 0.012 | 0.62494767 | 0.020378565 | 0.0012 |
6.5 | 2.9537814E-5 | 3.630378E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.754534 | 1.3630015E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2658449E-4 | 1.5557856E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.9282863 | 3.5554744E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0015400766 | 0.0018925595 | 0.0016 | 0.845416 | 0.0021919915 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01529447 | 0.018769076 | 0.0114 | 0.60738206 | 0.01984843 | 0.0011 |
6.6 | 2.7345395E-5 | 3.3611846E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9751418 | 1.3360848E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1718928E-4 | 1.4404299E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.69423723 | 2.4402858E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014258457 | 0.0017523437 | 0.0014 | 0.79893 | 0.0019519933 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014167317 | 0.017389275 | 0.0106 | 0.60957116 | 0.018273624 | 9.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5615784E-5 | 3.1588028E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1588028E-5 | 0.0 | 1.09777306E-4 | 1.3537041E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3537041E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013357193 | 0.0016469195 | 0.0013 | 0.7893525 | 0.0017467547 | 1.0E-4 | 0.013277191 | 0.016351013 | 0.0102 | 0.6238146 | 0.017039567 | 7.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.0059057E-5 | 2.4729703E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4729703E-5 | 0.0 | 8.596455E-5 | 1.0598023E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0598023E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010461159 | 0.0012895619 | 7.0E-4 | 0.54282004 | 0.0013894328 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0104120495 | 0.012823002 | 0.0073 | 0.56928945 | 0.013415309 | 6.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.6321746E-5 | 2.020031E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.020031E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9948466E-5 | 8.6569955E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.6569955E-5 | 0.0 | 8.5128983E-4 | 0.001053492 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5695345 | 0.001053492 | 0.0 | 0.008480361 | 0.010486704 | 0.0062 | 0.59122485 | 0.010981461 | 5.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.22527645E-5 | 1.5145989E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5145989E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2510793E-5 | 6.490979E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.490979E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3913135E-4 | 7.8999443E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.63291585 | 7.8999443E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0063729626 | 0.007872799 | 0.0046 | 0.58429027 | 0.008269651 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.996482E-6 | 1.1173037E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1173037E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8555783E-5 | 4.7883572E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7883572E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6931554E-4 | 5.828278E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6863091 | 5.828278E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004683256 | 0.0058136396 | 0.0034 | 0.5848316 | 0.006012477 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.0273087E-6 | 7.576308E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.576308E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5831067E-5 | 3.2469492E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2469492E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1444785E-4 | 3.9524504E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.75902283 | 3.9524504E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031400328 | 0.003945924 | 0.0024 | 0.6082226 | 0.0041451347 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.1209995E-6 | 3.968426E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.968426E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3375643E-5 | 1.7007429E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7007429E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6283628E-4 | 2.0704594E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4489537 | 2.0704594E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016271701 | 0.0020689964 | 0.0017 | 0.8216544 | 0.0021687895 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.0254208E-6 | 2.6114044E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6114044E-6 | 0.0 | 8.680347E-6 | 1.1191685E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1191685E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0567809E-4 | 1.3625031E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4678866 | 1.3625031E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010562785 | 0.0013619753 | 0.001 | 0.7342277 | 0.0014618391 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.6763418E-6 | 2.1747574E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1747574E-6 | 0.0 | 7.184302E-6 | 9.320356E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.320356E-6 | 0.0 | 8.746537E-5 | 1.1346948E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.88129425 | 1.1346948E-4 | 0.0 | 8.743095E-4 | 0.001134425 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6170526 | 0.0012343116 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1935462E-6 | 1.5471528E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5471528E-6 | 0.0 | 5.115188E-6 | 6.6306384E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6306384E-6 | 0.0 | 6.2275634E-5 | 8.0725076E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2387724 | 8.0725076E-5 | 0.0 | 6.2258187E-4 | 8.0725725E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7432575 | 9.071765E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0464201E-7 | 3.9880095E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9880095E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3056081E-6 | 1.7091459E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7091459E-6 | 0.0 | 1.589566E-5 | 2.0808657E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.805692 | 2.0808657E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5894524E-4 | 2.0806972E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9224325 | 2.0806972E-4 | 0.0 |
South Klamath Lake West
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.174025E-5 | 2.3044868E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3044868E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3169176E-5 | 9.8760356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.8760356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011337444 | 0.0012018098 | 6.0E-4 | 0.499247 | 0.0013016897 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011279777 | 0.011959708 | 0.009 | 0.7525267 | 0.013342964 | 0.0014 |
6.1 | 2.174025E-5 | 2.3044868E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3044868E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3169176E-5 | 9.8760356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.8760356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011337444 | 0.0012018098 | 6.0E-4 | 0.499247 | 0.0013016897 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011279777 | 0.011959708 | 0.009 | 0.7525267 | 0.013342964 | 0.0014 |
6.2 | 9.834929E-6 | 1.0395058E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0395058E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2149015E-5 | 4.454954E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.454954E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1304343E-4 | 5.422647E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.92205894 | 6.422105E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051186057 | 0.0054103173 | 0.0042 | 0.7762946 | 0.00610653 | 7.0E-4 |
6.3 | 9.834929E-6 | 1.0395058E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0395058E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2149015E-5 | 4.454954E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.454954E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1304343E-4 | 5.422647E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.92205894 | 6.422105E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051186057 | 0.0054103173 | 0.0042 | 0.7762946 | 0.00610653 | 7.0E-4 |
6.4 | 6.066321E-6 | 6.4011556E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4011556E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5998259E-5 | 2.7433252E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7433252E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1648282E-4 | 3.3395138E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1977792 | 4.3391797E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031603249 | 0.0033347658 | 0.0027 | 0.8096521 | 0.0038330983 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 6.066321E-6 | 6.4011556E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4011556E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5998259E-5 | 2.7433252E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7433252E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1648282E-4 | 3.3395138E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1977792 | 4.3391797E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031603249 | 0.0033347658 | 0.0027 | 0.8096521 | 0.0038330983 | 5.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.2321803E-6 | 4.4617886E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4617886E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8137789E-5 | 1.9121817E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9121817E-5 | 0.0 | 2.208052E-4 | 2.3278427E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8591646 | 3.32761E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022058594 | 0.0023255062 | 0.0019 | 0.8170264 | 0.002724576 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.186646E-6 | 3.3606823E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3606823E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3656982E-5 | 1.4402848E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4402848E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6626107E-4 | 1.7534125E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5703165 | 2.7532372E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016613674 | 0.0017520961 | 0.0012 | 0.6848939 | 0.0019517457 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.380121E-6 | 2.511191E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.511191E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0200479E-5 | 1.0762206E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0762206E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2418375E-4 | 1.3102245E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.763228 | 2.3100934E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012411437 | 0.0013094977 | 0.001 | 0.76365155 | 0.0015092358 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.928287E-7 | 9.431342E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.431342E-7 | 0.0 | 3.826403E-6 | 4.0419986E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0419986E-6 | 0.0 | 4.658546E-5 | 4.9210445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9210445E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6575698E-4 | 4.920171E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8129799 | 4.920171E-4 | 0.0 |
Almanor 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.1479834E-5 | 8.332903E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.332903E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6345838E-4 | 3.5707868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5707868E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032028882 | 0.0043394454 | 0.002 | 0.4608884 | 0.0047377096 | 4.0E-4 | 0.031571172 | 0.042614624 | 0.0245 | 0.57492 | 0.044433657 | 0.0019 |
6.1 | 4.4387216E-5 | 5.980776E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.980776E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9021705E-4 | 2.5629523E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5629523E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023134327 | 0.0031164363 | 0.0016 | 0.51340693 | 0.0033158131 | 2.0E-4 | 0.022894967 | 0.030775648 | 0.0186 | 0.604374 | 0.031841796 | 0.0011 |
6.2 | 4.4387216E-5 | 5.980776E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.980776E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9021705E-4 | 2.5629523E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5629523E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023134327 | 0.0031164363 | 0.0016 | 0.51340693 | 0.0033158131 | 2.0E-4 | 0.022894967 | 0.030775648 | 0.0186 | 0.604374 | 0.031841796 | 0.0011 |
6.3 | 2.9523822E-5 | 3.957319E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.957319E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2652454E-4 | 1.695885E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.695885E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015393476 | 0.0020631524 | 0.0012 | 0.5816342 | 0.0021629462 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015287281 | 0.020474333 | 0.0131 | 0.63982546 | 0.020964097 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0512744E-5 | 2.7448714E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7448714E-5 | 0.0 | 8.79088E-5 | 1.1763221E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1763221E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001069764 | 0.0014315551 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5588328 | 0.0015314119 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010646289 | 0.014253764 | 0.0095 | 0.6664906 | 0.014746637 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.6750226E-5 | 2.2405091E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2405091E-5 | 0.0 | 7.178471E-5 | 9.6018375E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.6018375E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7362836E-4 | 0.0011687252 | 4.0E-4 | 0.34225327 | 0.0012686083 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008702018 | 0.011656708 | 0.0075 | 0.64340633 | 0.01215088 | 5.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.4745303E-5 | 1.9719859E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9719859E-5 | 0.0 | 6.319262E-5 | 8.451101E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.451101E-5 | 0.0 | 7.690986E-4 | 0.0010287712 | 3.0E-4 | 0.29161006 | 0.0011286682 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0076644225 | 0.010271754 | 0.0065 | 0.6328033 | 0.010667645 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.951145E-7 | 1.1620355E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1620355E-6 | 0.0 | 4.26477E-6 | 4.980144E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.980144E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1922336E-5 | 6.0631737E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0631737E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1910203E-4 | 6.061692E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.82485217 | 7.061086E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.866312E-7 | 6.8517494E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8517494E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5141312E-6 | 2.9364614E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9364614E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0609117E-5 | 3.575096E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.575096E-5 | 0.0 | 3.06049E-4 | 3.5746495E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8392431 | 4.5742918E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.104176E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.104176E-5 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7321268E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1132147 | 4.7321268E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.760368E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.2152002 | 8.75864E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057506035 | 0.0084 | 1.4607162 | 0.0072419774 | 0.0015 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.104176E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.104176E-5 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7321268E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1132147 | 4.7321268E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.760368E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.2152002 | 8.75864E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057506035 | 0.0084 | 1.4607162 | 0.0072419774 | 0.0015 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2084264E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2084264E-6 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.464674E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.464674E-6 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15230505E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7356515 | 2.1521898E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010975406 | 0.001152119 | 0.0019 | 1.6491351 | 0.0014517735 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2084264E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2084264E-6 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.464674E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.464674E-6 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15230505E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7356515 | 2.1521898E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010975406 | 0.001152119 | 0.0019 | 1.6491351 | 0.0014517735 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8110604E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8110604E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.761688E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.761688E-6 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.449855E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0582173 | 1.944891E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.449855E-4 | 0.0018 | 1.9047911 | 0.001244702 | 3.0E-4 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.543992E-5 | 2.8048487E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8048487E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5187653E-4 | 1.20202334E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.20202334E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018475284 | 0.0014624933 | 0.001 | 0.6837638 | 0.0017620545 | 3.0E-4 | 0.018322436 | 0.014934139 | 0.0082 | 0.5490775 | 0.01660875 | 0.0017 |
6.1 | 3.542281E-5 | 2.8048487E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8048487E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5180321E-4 | 1.20202334E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.20202334E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018466372 | 0.0014624933 | 0.001 | 0.6837638 | 0.0017620545 | 3.0E-4 | 0.018313672 | 0.014934139 | 0.0082 | 0.5490775 | 0.01660875 | 0.0017 |
6.2 | 3.4688688E-5 | 2.8048487E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8048487E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4865733E-4 | 1.20202334E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.20202334E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018084005 | 0.0014624933 | 0.001 | 0.6837638 | 0.0017620545 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017937548 | 0.014934139 | 0.0082 | 0.5490775 | 0.01660875 | 0.0017 |
6.3 | 3.2087122E-5 | 2.7893788E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7893788E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3750899E-4 | 1.195394E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.195394E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016728862 | 0.0014544328 | 0.001 | 0.6875532 | 0.0017539965 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016603488 | 0.014853424 | 0.0081 | 0.5453288 | 0.016528174 | 0.0017 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 2.7860748E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7860748E-5 | 0.0 | 1.364017E-4 | 1.1939781E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939781E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0014527112 | 0.001 | 0.6883681 | 0.0017522754 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016470885 | 0.01483661 | 0.0081 | 0.54594684 | 0.016511388 | 0.0017 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 2.7600036E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7600036E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3526545E-4 | 1.1828057E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1828057E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0014391269 | 0.001 | 0.69486576 | 0.0017386952 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0163348 | 0.014702476 | 0.008 | 0.54412603 | 0.01637748 | 0.0017 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 2.7444119E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7444119E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3485427E-4 | 1.1761242E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1761242E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0014310029 | 0.001 | 0.6988106 | 0.0017305736 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016285548 | 0.0146225635 | 0.008 | 0.5470997 | 0.016297705 | 0.0017 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 2.7061893E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7061893E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3380898E-4 | 1.1597445E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1597445E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016279068 | 0.0014110865 | 0.001 | 0.7086737 | 0.0017106632 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01616033 | 0.014426867 | 0.0078 | 0.54065794 | 0.01610234 | 0.0017 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 2.6882644E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6882644E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3291716E-4 | 1.1520632E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1520632E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001617065 | 0.0014017465 | 0.001 | 0.7133957 | 0.0017013261 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016053487 | 0.014334061 | 0.0077 | 0.53718203 | 0.016009694 | 0.0017 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 2.2297869E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2297869E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1417485E-4 | 9.555882E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.555882E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0013891924 | 0.0011628116 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6879876 | 0.0014624627 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0138054015 | 0.011941668 | 0.0064 | 0.53593856 | 0.013423755 | 0.0015 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 2.0588659E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0588659E-5 | 0.0 | 1.02228936E-4 | 8.823414E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.823414E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012439266 | 0.0010737239 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7450705 | 0.0013734017 | 3.0E-4 | 0.012369866 | 0.011040107 | 0.0058 | 0.5253572 | 0.012127963 | 0.0011 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 2.0425028E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0425028E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0145135E-4 | 8.753291E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.753291E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012344702 | 0.0010651947 | 8.0E-4 | 0.75103635 | 0.0013648752 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0122763505 | 0.01095521 | 0.0057 | 0.5203004 | 0.012043159 | 0.0011 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.9651523E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9651523E-5 | 0.0 | 9.735599E-5 | 8.42181E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.42181E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011846646 | 0.0010248754 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6830098 | 0.0012246704 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01178369 | 0.010552208 | 0.0055 | 0.52121794 | 0.011442711 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.8491715E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8491715E-5 | 0.0 | 9.006634E-5 | 7.924782E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.924782E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001096006 | 9.644171E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.725827 | 0.0011642242 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010906163 | 0.009947206 | 0.0055 | 0.5529191 | 0.010838253 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.8293938E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8293938E-5 | 0.0 | 8.86411E-5 | 7.840025E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.840025E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001078671 | 9.541071E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7336703 | 0.0011539162 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010734501 | 0.00984378 | 0.0055 | 0.5587285 | 0.01073492 | 9.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.7888071E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888071E-5 | 0.0 | 8.568561E-5 | 7.6660916E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6660916E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001042723 | 9.32949E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.75030893 | 0.0011327624 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010378438 | 0.0096302675 | 0.0054 | 0.56073207 | 0.0105216 | 9.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 1.6536198E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6536198E-5 | 0.0 | 7.666772E-5 | 7.086751E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.086751E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3302975E-4 | 8.624721E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8116205 | 0.0010622996 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00929122 | 0.0089195585 | 0.005 | 0.5605659 | 0.009811531 | 9.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 1.4334522E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334522E-5 | 0.0 | 6.4823165E-5 | 6.143223E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.143223E-5 | 0.0 | 7.889362E-4 | 7.4768154E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9362275 | 9.4753195E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007861412 | 0.007765462 | 0.0044 | 0.56661147 | 0.008360803 | 6.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 1.2724073E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2724073E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3574146E-5 | 5.4530603E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4530603E-5 | 0.0 | 6.5207E-4 | 6.637085E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.9040113 | 7.6364214E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006501599 | 0.006917308 | 0.004 | 0.57825965 | 0.007314541 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 9.837744E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.837744E-6 | 0.0 | 4.0975072E-5 | 4.2161082E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2161082E-5 | 0.0 | 4.987573E-4 | 5.1319087E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9742964 | 6.1313953E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049763937 | 0.005396542 | 0.0028 | 0.5188508 | 0.005794383 | 4.0E-4 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 8.369283E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.369283E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4358076E-5 | 3.5867863E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5867863E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1822926E-4 | 4.3660428E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9161614 | 5.365606E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041744304 | 0.0046137916 | 0.0025 | 0.5418537 | 0.005011946 | 4.0E-4 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 6.524547E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.524547E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8036617E-5 | 2.7962049E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7962049E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4129233E-4 | 3.4038528E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.175139 | 4.4035123E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0034076865 | 0.003614044 | 0.0018 | 0.498057 | 0.004012598 | 4.0E-4 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 8.0849065E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0849065E-7 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 3.4649556E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4649556E-6 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 4.2185042E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2185042E-5 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 4.77603E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20937893 | 5.775552E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 4.978507E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.978507E-8 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 2.1336456E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1336456E-7 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 2.5977108E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5977108E-6 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 3.015811E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.015811E-5 | 0.0 |
South Klamath Lake East
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5050615E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5050615E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0735582E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0735582E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013063567 | 6.0E-4 | 0.45929262 | 0.0014062261 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012207527 | 0.012995123 | 0.009 | 0.6925675 | 0.014080828 | 0.0011 |
6.1 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5050615E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5050615E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0735582E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0735582E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013063567 | 6.0E-4 | 0.45929262 | 0.0014062261 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012207527 | 0.012995123 | 0.009 | 0.6925675 | 0.014080828 | 0.0011 |
6.2 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5050615E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5050615E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0735582E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0735582E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013063567 | 6.0E-4 | 0.45929262 | 0.0014062261 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012207527 | 0.012995123 | 0.009 | 0.6925675 | 0.014080828 | 0.0011 |
6.3 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.0397328E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397328E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.4559263E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4559263E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.4238236E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18437178 | 6.423281E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005104534 | 0.005411423 | 0.0042 | 0.776136 | 0.0059087174 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.0397328E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397328E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.4559263E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4559263E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.4238236E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18437178 | 6.423281E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005104534 | 0.005411423 | 0.0042 | 0.776136 | 0.0059087174 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 6.191981E-6 | 6.551622E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.551622E-6 | 0.0 | 2.653679E-5 | 2.8078093E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8078093E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2303753E-4 | 3.4179995E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2925688 | 4.417658E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032256835 | 0.0034130206 | 0.0026 | 0.7617885 | 0.0037119968 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.3693776E-6 | 4.6170953E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6170953E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8725768E-5 | 1.9787407E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9787407E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2796239E-4 | 2.4088619E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4151338 | 3.408621E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022772867 | 0.0024063634 | 0.0018 | 0.7480167 | 0.002605882 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.360834E-6 | 3.5516546E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5516546E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4403494E-5 | 1.5221292E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5221292E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7534842E-4 | 1.8530429E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.53965294 | 2.8528576E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017521014 | 0.0018515777 | 0.0014 | 0.756112 | 0.0020512072 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.57873E-6 | 2.7254896E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7254896E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1051653E-5 | 1.168062E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.168062E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3454557E-4 | 1.4220289E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7032206 | 2.4218867E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013446413 | 0.0014211796 | 0.0012 | 0.84436893 | 0.0016208955 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.987825E-7 | 1.0567472E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0567472E-6 | 0.0 | 4.2804895E-6 | 4.5289107E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5289107E-6 | 0.0 | 5.211371E-5 | 5.5138422E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8136173 | 1.551329E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.210149E-4 | 5.512796E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0883769 | 6.5122446E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192846E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0192846E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3682954E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3682954E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.317205E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.3164811 | 7.316142E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305511 | 0.009 | 1.6963494 | 0.0067975526 | 0.0015 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192846E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0192846E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3682954E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3682954E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.317205E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.3164811 | 7.316142E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305511 | 0.009 | 1.6963494 | 0.0067975526 | 0.0015 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6966034E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6966034E-6 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0128153E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0128153E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4503397E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6324267 | 2.4503397E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023763329 | 0.002447764 | 0.0037 | 1.5115836 | 0.0029465402 | 5.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6966034E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6966034E-6 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0128153E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0128153E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4503397E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6324267 | 2.4503397E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023763329 | 0.002447764 | 0.0037 | 1.5115836 | 0.0029465402 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5101257E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5101257E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5043314E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5043314E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8313779E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0920739 | 1.8313779E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018299517 | 0.0026 | 1.4208026 | 0.0021294027 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9280534E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9280534E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2548744E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548744E-5 | 0.0 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.52771E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6545745 | 1.52771E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015267336 | 0.0021 | 1.3754855 | 0.0018262756 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3292332E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3292332E-6 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.982393E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.982393E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152948E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8228456 | 1.2152948E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011741214 | 0.001214692 | 0.0019 | 1.5641825 | 0.0015143276 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9592849E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9592849E-6 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.396912E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.396912E-6 | 0.0 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222819E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9782038 | 1.0222819E-4 | 0.0 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010218691 | 0.0017 | 1.6636181 | 0.0013215626 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5439512E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5439512E-6 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6169196E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6169196E-6 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055854E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2413334 | 8.055854E-5 | 0.0 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0534443E-4 | 0.0013 | 1.6142161 | 0.0011051028 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.140582E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.140582E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0602475E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0602475E-6 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7258196E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.683973 | 3.7258196E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7255077E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5368396 | 3.7255077E-4 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.203577E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.203577E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3729012E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.72838455 | 1.3729012E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016704979 | 7.0E-4 | 0.41903672 | 0.001770331 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014804244 | 0.01660626 | 0.0088 | 0.52992064 | 0.018179689 | 0.0016 |
6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.203577E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.203577E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3729012E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.72838455 | 1.3729012E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016704979 | 7.0E-4 | 0.41903672 | 0.001770331 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014804244 | 0.01660626 | 0.0088 | 0.52992064 | 0.018179689 | 0.0016 |
6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.203577E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.203577E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3729012E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.72838455 | 1.3729012E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016704979 | 7.0E-4 | 0.41903672 | 0.001770331 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014804244 | 0.01660626 | 0.0088 | 0.52992064 | 0.018179689 | 0.0016 |
6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0374862E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0374862E-5 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.731855E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1452321 | 8.731855E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.001062697 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5646012 | 0.0011625907 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010090181 | 0.010587506 | 0.0061 | 0.5761508 | 0.011477977 | 9.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0374862E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0374862E-5 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.731855E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1452321 | 8.731855E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.001062697 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5646012 | 0.0011625907 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010090181 | 0.010587506 | 0.0061 | 0.5761508 | 0.011477977 | 9.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0374862E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0374862E-5 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.731855E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1452321 | 8.731855E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.001062697 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5646012 | 0.0011625907 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010090181 | 0.010587506 | 0.0061 | 0.5761508 | 0.011477977 | 9.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0374862E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0374862E-5 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.731855E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1452321 | 8.731855E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.001062697 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5646012 | 0.0011625907 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010090181 | 0.010587506 | 0.0061 | 0.5761508 | 0.011477977 | 9.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 2.0362279E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0362279E-5 | 0.0 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.726462E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1459398 | 8.726462E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010119933 | 0.001062041 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5649499 | 0.0011619348 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010073971 | 0.010581009 | 0.0061 | 0.5765045 | 0.011471487 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1596129E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1596129E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9696846E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0122 | 4.9696846E-5 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.049079E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.49594325 | 7.0484745E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063546924 | 0.0060345763 | 0.0035 | 0.57999104 | 0.006531559 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1596129E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1596129E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9696846E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0122 | 4.9696846E-5 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.049079E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.49594325 | 7.0484745E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063546924 | 0.0060345763 | 0.0035 | 0.57999104 | 0.006531559 | 5.0E-4 |
7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 8.060705E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.060705E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.454544E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8947382 | 3.454544E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.20513E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7134143 | 5.2047096E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048284214 | 0.004197813 | 0.0023 | 0.5479044 | 0.0044965534 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 7.9438505E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.9438505E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.4044646E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9373193 | 3.4044646E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7629757E-4 | 4.1441817E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.72390646 | 5.1437673E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00475278 | 0.0041370927 | 0.0023 | 0.55594593 | 0.0044358517 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.742976E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.742976E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.318378E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0135205 | 3.318378E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6172875E-4 | 4.0394103E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.49512178 | 5.0390064E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0046077054 | 0.0040327045 | 0.0022 | 0.5455396 | 0.0043314947 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.5516573E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5516573E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.2363863E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.089866 | 3.2363863E-5 | 0.0 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.9396223E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5076629 | 4.939228E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004463301 | 0.0039332667 | 0.0021 | 0.53390735 | 0.0042320867 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.8189283E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8189283E-6 | 0.0 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.922367E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.922367E-5 | 0.0 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.557431E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2811017 | 4.5570754E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040888423 | 0.003552318 | 0.0017 | 0.47856075 | 0.0038512524 | 3.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.279848E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.279848E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.8342085E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8342085E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.2329365E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.44784075 | 3.2327132E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025466895 | 0.0022308708 | 0.0011 | 0.49308097 | 0.0024304248 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.1570077E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1570077E-6 | 0.0 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.958596E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.958596E-6 | 0.0 | 7.249717E-5 | 6.0369457E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6564668 | 1.6036342E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.247352E-4 | 6.035524E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3313714 | 7.03492E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.372971E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.372971E-7 | 0.0 | 1.2824837E-6 | 1.0169872E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0169872E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.2381756E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.076399 | 1.1238052E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5613029E-4 | 1.2381139E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6153604 | 2.23799E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.6396894E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6396894E-8 | 0.0 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.13129545E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.13129545E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.3773514E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 72.60311 | 1.0137721E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5143789E-5 | 1.3773437E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.260352 | 1.1377206E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.768449E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.768449E-9 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.1864782E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1864782E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.4445372E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445372E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3632817E-6 | 1.4445372E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445372E-6 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley Keough Hot Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9531077E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9531077E-6 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.122746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.122746E-5 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5841882E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.38696873 | 2.5841882E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025817982 | 0.0037 | 1.4331096 | 0.004177667 | 0.0016 |
6.1 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9531077E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9531077E-6 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.122746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.122746E-5 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5841882E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.38696873 | 2.5841882E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025817982 | 0.0037 | 1.4331096 | 0.004177667 | 0.0016 |
6.2 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9531077E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9531077E-6 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.122746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.122746E-5 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5841882E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.38696873 | 2.5841882E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025817982 | 0.0037 | 1.4331096 | 0.004177667 | 0.0016 |
6.3 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.9531077E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9531077E-6 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.122746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.122746E-5 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5841882E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.38696873 | 2.5841882E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025817982 | 0.0037 | 1.4331096 | 0.004177667 | 0.0016 |
6.4 | 1.4622509E-5 | 3.7286518E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7286518E-6 | 0.0 | 6.266639E-5 | 1.5979856E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5979856E-5 | 0.0 | 7.626962E-4 | 1.945407E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.945407E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007600839 | 0.00194414 | 0.0026 | 1.3373523 | 0.0032416126 | 0.0013 |
6.5 | 1.3335527E-5 | 2.2794734E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2794734E-6 | 0.0 | 5.7151006E-5 | 9.769138E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.769138E-6 | 0.0 | 6.955913E-4 | 1.1893345E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1893345E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0069341804 | 0.0011888766 | 0.0017 | 1.4299213 | 0.0019879255 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3332855E-5 | 2.2766221E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2766221E-6 | 0.0 | 5.7139558E-5 | 9.756919E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.756919E-6 | 0.0 | 6.9545204E-4 | 1.187847E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.187847E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0069327964 | 0.0011873906 | 0.0017 | 1.4317108 | 0.0019864407 | 8.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3318214E-5 | 2.2658473E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2658473E-6 | 0.0 | 5.707681E-5 | 9.710742E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.710742E-6 | 0.0 | 6.946886E-4 | 1.1822255E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1822255E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0069252094 | 0.0011817751 | 0.0017 | 1.4385139 | 0.0019808298 | 8.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2441338E-5 | 1.6792543E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6792543E-6 | 0.0 | 5.331893E-5 | 7.1967856E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1967856E-6 | 0.0 | 6.489646E-4 | 8.761764E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.761764E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0064707273 | 8.7597186E-4 | 0.0011 | 1.255748 | 0.0011757091 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1130476E-5 | 1.0313557E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0313557E-6 | 0.0 | 4.7701167E-5 | 4.4200888E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4200888E-6 | 0.0 | 5.806069E-4 | 5.3813266E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3813266E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0057909233 | 5.381129E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1150076 | 6.380591E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0986073E-5 | 9.588671E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.588671E-7 | 0.0 | 4.7082318E-5 | 4.109424E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.109424E-6 | 0.0 | 5.730765E-4 | 5.00311E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.00311E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0057160086 | 5.003081E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.99938416 | 5.003081E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0451338E-5 | 8.007787E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.007787E-7 | 0.0 | 4.4790682E-5 | 3.4319041E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4319041E-6 | 0.0 | 5.451901E-4 | 4.1782638E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1782638E-5 | 0.0 | 0.005438545 | 4.1785362E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.95727307 | 4.1785362E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.989061E-6 | 6.5513444E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5513444E-7 | 0.0 | 4.280956E-5 | 2.807716E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.807716E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2108173E-4 | 3.418341E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.418341E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0051986156 | 3.4187373E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.877517 | 3.4187373E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.465365E-6 | 5.465988E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.465988E-7 | 0.0 | 4.056522E-5 | 2.3425641E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3425641E-6 | 0.0 | 4.937696E-4 | 2.852035E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.852035E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0049267393 | 2.852542E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.701129 | 2.852542E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3824805E-6 | 4.0212666E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0212666E-7 | 0.0 | 2.73532E-5 | 1.7233988E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7233988E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3297433E-4 | 2.0982181E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0982181E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0033247585 | 2.0984629E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47653928 | 2.0984629E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.6192645E-6 | 2.51918E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.51918E-7 | 0.0 | 6.9396865E-6 | 1.0796482E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0796482E-6 | 0.0 | 8.448741E-5 | 1.3144639E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3144639E-5 | 0.0 | 8.4455294E-4 | 1.3143875E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3143875E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.7062545E-7 | 1.08048745E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.08048745E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4455355E-6 | 4.6306596E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6306596E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9773988E-5 | 5.6378144E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6378144E-6 | 0.0 | 2.977E-4 | 5.6376794E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6376794E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5988817E-7 | 4.55085E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.55085E-8 | 0.0 | 1.113806E-6 | 1.950364E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.950364E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3560503E-5 | 2.374566E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.374566E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3559677E-4 | 2.3745451E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3745451E-5 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.72394E-5 | 4.3270058E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3270058E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5958765E-4 | 1.8543082E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.617854 | 2.8541227E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019412481 | 0.0022554388 | 0.0018 | 0.79807085 | 0.0025547622 | 3.0E-4 | 0.019243775 | 0.022341885 | 0.0207 | 0.92651093 | 0.023808371 | 0.0015 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1502026E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1502026E-5 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3500202E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.222189 | 2.3498852E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016424663 | 0.0014 | 0.8523767 | 0.0018421378 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014143906 | 0.016309205 | 0.0156 | 0.9565151 | 0.017292896 | 0.001 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1502026E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1502026E-5 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3500202E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.222189 | 2.3498852E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016424663 | 0.0014 | 0.8523767 | 0.0018421378 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014143906 | 0.016309205 | 0.0156 | 0.9565151 | 0.017292896 | 0.001 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3638784E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3638784E-5 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.01305246E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9871157 | 1.01305246E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012327125 | 0.0011 | 0.8923411 | 0.0013325892 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010663681 | 0.0122608105 | 0.0116 | 0.9461038 | 0.012853454 | 6.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3638784E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3638784E-5 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.01305246E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9871157 | 1.01305246E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012327125 | 0.0011 | 0.8923411 | 0.0013325892 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010663681 | 0.0122608105 | 0.0116 | 0.9461038 | 0.012853454 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.0453313E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0453313E-5 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.7654196E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1408467 | 8.7654196E-5 | 0.0 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010666809 | 0.001 | 0.9374875 | 0.0011665743 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009234319 | 0.010617077 | 0.0099 | 0.93246 | 0.011111769 | 5.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8720775E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8720775E-5 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 8.022949E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2464244 | 8.022949E-5 | 0.0 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.763686E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.92178303 | 0.001076271 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008454733 | 0.009722092 | 0.0084 | 0.8640116 | 0.010019175 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5043493E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5043493E-5 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.447057E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5510954 | 6.447057E-5 | 0.0 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.8465603E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.1469994 | 8.845776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006786986 | 0.00781984 | 0.0071 | 0.907947 | 0.008117493 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.19909355E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.19909355E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.1388753E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.945951 | 5.1388753E-5 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.254859E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1191299 | 6.254859E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0054262993 | 0.0062380093 | 0.0055 | 0.8816915 | 0.0063373856 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.794237E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.794237E-6 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.7689075E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7689075E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.5877378E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8718894 | 4.5877378E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003978506 | 0.0045788535 | 0.0043 | 0.9390997 | 0.0046783956 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.5348647E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5348647E-6 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.9435001E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9435001E-5 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.3659757E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8453172 | 2.3659757E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0023636655 | 0.0025 | 1.0576793 | 0.002463429 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8576521E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8576521E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.961348E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.961348E-6 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.692617E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0634263 | 9.692617E-5 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.689437E-4 | 0.0015 | 1.5480776 | 9.689437E-4 | 0.0 |
Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.2326144E-5 | 8.0653714E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0653714E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6708472E-4 | 3.4561334E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4561334E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003246908 | 0.004199817 | 0.0028 | 0.6666957 | 0.004299397 | 1.0E-4 | 0.031998757 | 0.04122155 | 0.0267 | 0.64771944 | 0.04265972 | 0.0015 |
6.1 | 6.227657E-5 | 8.0591184E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0591184E-5 | 0.0 | 2.668723E-4 | 3.453454E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.453454E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032443295 | 0.0041965675 | 0.0028 | 0.66721195 | 0.004296148 | 1.0E-4 | 0.031973712 | 0.04119027 | 0.0266 | 0.64578354 | 0.042628486 | 0.0015 |
6.2 | 6.22452E-5 | 8.055176E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.055176E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6673786E-4 | 3.4517655E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4517655E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032426978 | 0.0041945195 | 0.0028 | 0.66753775 | 0.0042941 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03195787 | 0.041170552 | 0.0266 | 0.64609283 | 0.042608798 | 0.0015 |
6.3 | 6.219006E-5 | 8.0481565E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0481565E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6650162E-4 | 3.4487576E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4487576E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00323983 | 0.0041908715 | 0.0028 | 0.6681188 | 0.0042904527 | 1.0E-4 | 0.031930014 | 0.041135434 | 0.0264 | 0.64178246 | 0.04257373 | 0.0015 |
6.4 | 5.2175856E-5 | 6.729268E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.729268E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2359163E-4 | 2.883656E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.883656E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027188298 | 0.0035052474 | 0.0023 | 0.6561591 | 0.0036048968 | 1.0E-4 | 0.026858058 | 0.03450902 | 0.0231 | 0.66939014 | 0.03595726 | 0.0015 |
6.5 | 5.205166E-5 | 6.713527E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.713527E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2305945E-4 | 2.876911E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.876911E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027123666 | 0.0034970618 | 0.0023 | 0.657695 | 0.0035967121 | 1.0E-4 | 0.026794989 | 0.034429725 | 0.0231 | 0.6709319 | 0.03587808 | 0.0015 |
6.6 | 5.0085426E-5 | 6.452997E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.452997E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1463417E-4 | 2.7652795E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7652795E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026100394 | 0.0033615802 | 0.0023 | 0.684202 | 0.003461244 | 1.0E-4 | 0.025795965 | 0.03311651 | 0.0222 | 0.67036057 | 0.034470145 | 0.0014 |
6.7 | 4.8930866E-5 | 6.3053805E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3053805E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0968684E-4 | 2.7020287E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7020287E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025499484 | 0.0032848073 | 0.0022 | 0.6697501 | 0.0033844789 | 1.0E-4 | 0.025208864 | 0.03237147 | 0.0217 | 0.6703434 | 0.033532623 | 0.0012 |
6.8 | 4.5679535E-5 | 5.8775466E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8775466E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9575475E-4 | 2.5187072E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5187072E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002380709 | 0.0030622517 | 0.0019 | 0.6204584 | 0.0031619456 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023553653 | 0.030207586 | 0.02 | 0.66208535 | 0.031371336 | 0.0012 |
6.9 | 4.1439176E-5 | 5.325024E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.325024E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7758438E-4 | 2.2819548E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2819548E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002159946 | 0.0027747657 | 0.0017 | 0.61266434 | 0.0028744882 | 1.0E-4 | 0.021390721 | 0.027406242 | 0.0177 | 0.64583826 | 0.028573355 | 0.0012 |
7.0 | 3.5920104E-5 | 4.6034307E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6034307E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5393422E-4 | 1.9727505E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9727505E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001872538 | 0.002399194 | 0.0015 | 0.62521 | 0.002498954 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018568378 | 0.02373621 | 0.0149 | 0.6277329 | 0.024907727 | 0.0012 |
7.1 | 3.338812E-5 | 4.2713036E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2713036E-5 | 0.0 | 1.430841E-4 | 1.8304311E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8304311E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017406568 | 0.0022262866 | 0.0014 | 0.62884986 | 0.002326064 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017270854 | 0.022042684 | 0.0141 | 0.639668 | 0.023216233 | 0.0012 |
7.2 | 2.8619615E-5 | 3.6421425E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6421425E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2264973E-4 | 1.5608253E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5608253E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014922376 | 0.0018986582 | 0.001 | 0.52668774 | 0.0019984683 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014822568 | 0.018826444 | 0.012 | 0.6374013 | 0.019905735 | 0.0011 |
7.3 | 2.6376783E-5 | 3.3441032E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3441032E-5 | 0.0 | 1.13038455E-4 | 1.4331088E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4331088E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013753743 | 0.0017434228 | 0.001 | 0.5735843 | 0.0018432485 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01366893 | 0.01729939 | 0.0113 | 0.65320224 | 0.018282091 | 0.001 |
7.4 | 2.3738676E-5 | 2.9995399E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9995399E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0173322E-4 | 1.2854542E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2854542E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012378981 | 0.0015639251 | 9.0E-4 | 0.57547516 | 0.0016637687 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012310251 | 0.01553077 | 0.0107 | 0.6889549 | 0.016515238 | 0.001 |
7.5 | 2.1789481E-5 | 2.7454264E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7454264E-5 | 0.0 | 9.338015E-5 | 1.17655865E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.17655865E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011363103 | 0.0014315267 | 9.0E-4 | 0.62869936 | 0.0015313836 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011305175 | 0.014224509 | 0.01 | 0.703012 | 0.015111706 | 9.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.3895281E-5 | 1.737815E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.737815E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9549846E-5 | 7.4475676E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4475676E-5 | 0.0 | 7.2477816E-4 | 9.0636703E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6619835 | 0.0010062763 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0072241887 | 0.009027373 | 0.0067 | 0.7421871 | 0.00952286 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 4.245981E-6 | 5.165001E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.165001E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8196934E-5 | 2.2135531E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2135531E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2152514E-4 | 2.6946695E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.113309 | 3.6944E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022130446 | 0.0026914403 | 0.0024 | 0.8917159 | 0.0028909019 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 6.145192E-7 | 7.054105E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.054105E-7 | 0.0 | 2.633651E-6 | 3.0231845E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0231845E-6 | 0.0 | 3.206423E-5 | 3.680666E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7168994 | 1.3680298E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2059604E-4 | 3.679996E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0869577 | 4.679628E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3576165E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3576165E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8674169E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8674169E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022712213 | 0.0014 | 0.6164084 | 0.0024707671 | 2.0E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.023438416 | 0.013 | 0.55464494 | 0.024805604 | 0.0014 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3576165E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3576165E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8674169E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8674169E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022712213 | 0.0014 | 0.6164084 | 0.0024707671 | 2.0E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.023438416 | 0.013 | 0.55464494 | 0.024805604 | 0.0014 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3576165E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3576165E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8674169E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8674169E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022712213 | 0.0014 | 0.6164084 | 0.0024707671 | 2.0E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.023438416 | 0.013 | 0.55464494 | 0.024805604 | 0.0014 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3576165E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3576165E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8674169E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8674169E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022712213 | 0.0014 | 0.6164084 | 0.0024707671 | 2.0E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.023438416 | 0.013 | 0.55464494 | 0.024805604 | 0.0014 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3576165E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3576165E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8674169E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8674169E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022712213 | 0.0014 | 0.6164084 | 0.0024707671 | 2.0E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.023438416 | 0.013 | 0.55464494 | 0.024805604 | 0.0014 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.03439E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.03439E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7289101E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7289101E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0021029217 | 0.0012 | 0.57063466 | 0.0023025011 | 2.0E-4 | 0.02986684 | 0.021730738 | 0.0119 | 0.5476114 | 0.023002487 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.03439E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.03439E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7289101E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7289101E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0021029217 | 0.0012 | 0.57063466 | 0.0023025011 | 2.0E-4 | 0.02986684 | 0.021730738 | 0.0119 | 0.5476114 | 0.023002487 | 0.0013 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.9763414E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9763414E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.7040354E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7040354E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0020726945 | 0.0012 | 0.57895654 | 0.00227228 | 2.0E-4 | 0.029367693 | 0.021421188 | 0.0118 | 0.5508565 | 0.022693342 | 0.0013 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.961925E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.961925E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6978578E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6978578E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020651876 | 0.0012 | 0.581061 | 0.0022647746 | 2.0E-4 | 0.029288229 | 0.021345127 | 0.0118 | 0.5528194 | 0.02261738 | 0.0013 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9322527E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9322527E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6851426E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6851426E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029288116 | 0.002049736 | 0.0012 | 0.58544123 | 0.002249326 | 2.0E-4 | 0.028905109 | 0.021183249 | 0.0118 | 0.55704397 | 0.022455709 | 0.0013 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.817767E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.817767E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6360835E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6360835E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028337094 | 0.001990117 | 0.0012 | 0.60297966 | 0.002189719 | 2.0E-4 | 0.027978465 | 0.02056784 | 0.0112 | 0.54453945 | 0.021841101 | 0.0013 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.663072E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.663072E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5697938E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5697938E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0019095528 | 0.0012 | 0.6284194 | 0.002109171 | 2.0E-4 | 0.026460782 | 0.019738475 | 0.0109 | 0.55222094 | 0.02091479 | 0.0012 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4973295E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4973295E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4987696E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4987696E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018232282 | 0.0011 | 0.6033255 | 0.0020228636 | 2.0E-4 | 0.024660049 | 0.01884695 | 0.0103 | 0.54650754 | 0.019926218 | 0.0011 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.405982E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.405982E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.4596252E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4596252E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017756486 | 0.0011 | 0.61949193 | 0.0019752935 | 2.0E-4 | 0.02175019 | 0.018353337 | 0.0103 | 0.5612058 | 0.01943315 | 0.0011 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.369585E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.369585E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4440282E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4440282E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017566899 | 0.0011 | 0.62617767 | 0.0019563385 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020790804 | 0.018156845 | 0.0102 | 0.56177163 | 0.019236872 | 0.0011 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2404063E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2404063E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.3886718E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3886718E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016894 | 0.0011 | 0.65111876 | 0.001889062 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01909306 | 0.017470367 | 0.0099 | 0.5666738 | 0.01855115 | 0.0011 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.970493E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.970493E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2730065E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2730065E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015487857 | 0.001 | 0.64566714 | 0.001748476 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01656168 | 0.016050825 | 0.0089 | 0.55448866 | 0.017133169 | 0.0011 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6287431E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6287431E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.1265556E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1265556E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013707195 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6565895 | 0.0015704454 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014152412 | 0.014268803 | 0.0081 | 0.567672 | 0.015057389 | 8.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3691577E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3691577E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0153138E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0153138E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012354444 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5665977 | 0.0013353209 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012169928 | 0.012906908 | 0.0075 | 0.5810842 | 0.013499164 | 6.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.9076544E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9076544E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.175406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.175406E-5 | 0.0 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.949019E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.60307455 | 0.0010948024 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0096645225 | 0.0104826465 | 0.006 | 0.5723745 | 0.010977405 | 5.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.589064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.589064E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.810098E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.810098E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2881463E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.48261696 | 9.2873175E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008034821 | 0.008782218 | 0.0048 | 0.546559 | 0.009178705 | 4.0E-4 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.357874E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.357874E-6 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.5818975E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5818975E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.3600926E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9174117 | 5.3596566E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051959283 | 0.004687597 | 0.0025 | 0.53332233 | 0.0050857216 | 4.0E-4 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5778191E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5778191E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.7620645E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7620645E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.232505E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.232505E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.5471635E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4189726 | 0.001054621 | 1.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.679851E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.679851E-7 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5770781E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5770781E-6 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.9200761E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9200761E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.3133527E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.43227303 | 2.3133527E-4 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2722867E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2722867E-5 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.738041E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0269005 | 9.738041E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011850197 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5907075 | 0.0011850197 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011792852 | 0.011 | 0.93276846 | 0.013176342 | 0.0014 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2722867E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2722867E-5 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.738041E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0269005 | 9.738041E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011850197 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5907075 | 0.0011850197 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011792852 | 0.011 | 0.93276846 | 0.013176342 | 0.0014 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2722867E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2722867E-5 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.738041E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0269005 | 9.738041E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011850197 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5907075 | 0.0011850197 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011792852 | 0.011 | 0.93276846 | 0.013176342 | 0.0014 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2355163E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2355163E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2949694E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8885851 | 5.2949694E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.444843E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7758141 | 6.444843E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064274 | 0.0063 | 0.9801786 | 0.0075203297 | 0.0011 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2355163E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2355163E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2949694E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8885851 | 5.2949694E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.444843E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7758141 | 6.444843E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064274 | 0.0063 | 0.9801786 | 0.0075203297 | 0.0011 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.482803E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.482803E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0640003E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4606297 | 4.0640003E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.9468887E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6064418 | 4.9468887E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004936786 | 0.0049 | 0.9925486 | 0.0057328367 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.791251E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.791251E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3390694E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9948463 | 3.3390694E-5 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0646386E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.738073 | 4.0646386E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0038253788 | 0.004057996 | 0.0041 | 1.010351 | 0.0046555614 | 6.0E-4 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.6559733E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6559733E-6 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.852533E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.852533E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4724807E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5759571 | 3.4724807E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.003467796 | 0.0033 | 0.95161307 | 0.0038664087 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.8558353E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558353E-6 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5096237E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5096237E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0551112E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3273203 | 3.0551112E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030516274 | 0.0024 | 0.7864656 | 0.003251017 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.066048E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.066048E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1711494E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1711494E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.643124E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37834015 | 2.643124E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.002640673 | 0.0022 | 0.833121 | 0.0028401448 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.119001E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.119001E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7652781E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7652781E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.149083E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.46531475 | 2.149083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021476806 | 0.0012 | 0.5587423 | 0.0023472512 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.010096E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.010096E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2900385E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2900385E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5705744E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.63670975 | 1.5705744E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015701097 | 0.0011 | 0.7005879 | 0.0017697958 | 2.0E-4 |
Mission Hills 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9060995E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9060995E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.168936E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.168936E-5 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.944576E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7039013 | 0.0011942587 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009743992 | 0.009933762 | 0.0061 | 0.61406744 | 0.011319855 | 0.0014 |
6.1 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9060995E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9060995E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.168936E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.168936E-5 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.944576E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7039013 | 0.0011942587 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009743992 | 0.009933762 | 0.0061 | 0.61406744 | 0.011319855 | 0.0014 |
6.2 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9060995E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9060995E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.168936E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.168936E-5 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.944576E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7039013 | 0.0011942587 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009743992 | 0.009933762 | 0.0061 | 0.61406744 | 0.011319855 | 0.0014 |
6.3 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9060995E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9060995E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.168936E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.168936E-5 | 0.0 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.944576E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7039013 | 0.0011942587 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009743992 | 0.009933762 | 0.0061 | 0.61406744 | 0.011319855 | 0.0014 |
6.4 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.515573E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.515573E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0780993E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0780993E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.312525E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.76189023 | 1.312525E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002379829 | 0.0013119282 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6097895 | 0.0016115346 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.515573E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.515573E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0780993E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0780993E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.312525E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.76189023 | 1.312525E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002379829 | 0.0013119282 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6097895 | 0.0016115346 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.515573E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.515573E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0780993E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0780993E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.312525E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.76189023 | 1.312525E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002379829 | 0.0013119282 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6097895 | 0.0016115346 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.3266773E-6 | 1.3299061E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3299061E-6 | 0.0 | 9.971435E-6 | 5.6995855E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6995855E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2139547E-4 | 6.9390306E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4411235 | 6.9390306E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012132917 | 6.936925E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8649366 | 8.935537E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.032735E-6 | 1.1896636E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1896636E-6 | 0.0 | 8.711692E-6 | 5.098549E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.098549E-6 | 0.0 | 1.06059684E-4 | 6.2073115E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6110034 | 6.2073115E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010600908 | 6.2056264E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.9668645 | 8.204385E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3186259E-6 | 1.0563714E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0563714E-6 | 0.0 | 5.6512413E-6 | 4.527298E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.527298E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8801695E-5 | 5.511849E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8142732 | 5.511849E-5 | 0.0 | 6.8780396E-4 | 5.5105117E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.90735674 | 7.5094093E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2726016E-6 | 1.0160961E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0160961E-6 | 0.0 | 5.4539955E-6 | 4.3546906E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3546906E-6 | 0.0 | 6.6400375E-5 | 5.30171E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.886184 | 5.30171E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6380535E-4 | 5.3004734E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9433119 | 7.2994136E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2063913E-6 | 9.571875E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.571875E-7 | 0.0 | 5.170238E-6 | 4.102226E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.102226E-6 | 0.0 | 6.294583E-5 | 4.994348E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0022633 | 4.994348E-5 | 0.0 | 6.2928005E-4 | 4.993251E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.80108124 | 6.9922523E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.105806E-7 | 7.378075E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.378075E-7 | 0.0 | 3.9024826E-6 | 3.1620284E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1620284E-6 | 0.0 | 4.7511687E-5 | 3.8497034E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8497034E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7501532E-4 | 3.8490517E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5196085 | 4.848667E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.020432E-7 | 5.711422E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.711422E-7 | 0.0 | 3.0087533E-6 | 2.4477501E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4477501E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6630954E-5 | 2.9800964E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9800964E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6624918E-4 | 2.9797098E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.33560315 | 2.9797098E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.3900635E-7 | 4.4492944E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4492944E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3100251E-6 | 1.9068392E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9068392E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8124194E-5 | 2.3215533E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3215533E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8120633E-4 | 2.3213228E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.43078884 | 2.3213228E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.907075E-7 | 2.2881967E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881967E-7 | 0.0 | 1.2458887E-6 | 9.806554E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.806554E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5168589E-5 | 1.1939415E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939415E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5167553E-4 | 1.19387914E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8376057 | 1.19387914E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6903675E-7 | 1.2358224E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2358224E-7 | 0.0 | 7.2444305E-7 | 5.2963804E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2963804E-7 | 0.0 | 8.820059E-6 | 6.4483256E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4483256E-6 | 0.0 | 8.8197085E-5 | 6.448151E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.448151E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.168073E-8 | 3.916773E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.916773E-8 | 0.0 | 3.072031E-7 | 1.6786169E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6786169E-7 | 0.0 | 3.7401915E-6 | 2.0437142E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0437142E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7401285E-5 | 2.0436966E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0436966E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.564101E-8 | 3.3866918E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3866918E-8 | 0.0 | 2.813186E-7 | 1.4514393E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4514393E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4250486E-6 | 1.7671259E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7671259E-6 | 0.0 | 3.424996E-5 | 1.767113E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.767113E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0029074E-8 | 3.7343004E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7343004E-9 | 0.0 | 4.2981743E-8 | 1.6004146E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6004146E-8 | 0.0 | 5.2330256E-7 | 1.9485046E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9485046E-7 | 0.0 | 5.2330133E-6 | 1.948504E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.948504E-6 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6764442E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7200196 | 3.6764442E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5755571E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.9040884 | 1.5755571E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019171386 | 0.0012 | 0.6259329 | 0.0021167551 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019063491 | 0.0147 | 0.77110744 | 0.02033871 | 0.0013 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6764442E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7200196 | 3.6764442E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5755571E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.9040884 | 1.5755571E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019171386 | 0.0012 | 0.6259329 | 0.0021167551 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019063491 | 0.0147 | 0.77110744 | 0.02033871 | 0.0013 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6764442E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7200196 | 3.6764442E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5755571E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.9040884 | 1.5755571E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019171386 | 0.0012 | 0.6259329 | 0.0021167551 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019063491 | 0.0147 | 0.77110744 | 0.02033871 | 0.0013 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6764442E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7200196 | 3.6764442E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5755571E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.9040884 | 1.5755571E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019171386 | 0.0012 | 0.6259329 | 0.0021167551 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019063491 | 0.0147 | 0.77110744 | 0.02033871 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.485284E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.485284E-5 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3653504E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5710055 | 6.3653504E-5 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.747109E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.645402 | 7.747109E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007720653 | 0.0061 | 0.79008865 | 0.008216793 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.485284E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.485284E-5 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3653504E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5710055 | 6.3653504E-5 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.747109E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.645402 | 7.747109E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007720653 | 0.0061 | 0.79008865 | 0.008216793 | 5.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3014849E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3014849E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.577674E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7928619 | 5.577674E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.78872E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7365159 | 6.78872E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067681926 | 0.0056 | 0.8273996 | 0.0072648083 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2631282E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2631282E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.413295E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8473037 | 5.413295E-5 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.58871E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6070991 | 6.58871E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00647886 | 0.0065693734 | 0.0055 | 0.83721834 | 0.0070660887 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2233647E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2233647E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2428873E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.907346 | 5.2428873E-5 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.381362E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.62682545 | 6.381362E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006363226 | 0.0054 | 0.84862614 | 0.0068600443 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1159893E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1159893E-5 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.7827245E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0908585 | 4.7827245E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.821424E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.68711716 | 5.821424E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005777207 | 0.00580632 | 0.0051 | 0.87835324 | 0.006303417 | 5.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0584115E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0584115E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.5359713E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2045994 | 4.5359713E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.521158E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.72448575 | 5.521158E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0055039856 | 0.005507579 | 0.0048 | 0.87152624 | 0.0060048257 | 5.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.983321E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.983321E-6 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.2784966E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3372695 | 4.2784966E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.2078365E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.76807326 | 5.2078365E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005195765 | 0.0046 | 0.88533646 | 0.005693167 | 5.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.750914E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.750914E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7503385E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.666426 | 3.7503385E-5 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5650912E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.657161 | 4.5650912E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0046197 | 0.0045558317 | 0.0038 | 0.8340958 | 0.0050535537 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.506955E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.506955E-6 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2172276E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1082664 | 3.2172276E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9162807E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5106886 | 3.9162807E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039094863 | 0.0031 | 0.79294306 | 0.0043079224 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.1847522E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1847522E-6 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6505817E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7727568 | 2.6505817E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2266148E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6198447 | 3.2266148E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032220276 | 0.0029 | 0.9000544 | 0.0036207386 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4418725E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4418725E-6 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.903646E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.903646E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3174497E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.43150884 | 2.3174497E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023151024 | 0.0022 | 0.9502819 | 0.0027141764 | 4.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3009694E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3009694E-6 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.575572E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.575572E-6 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.7880545E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7880545E-5 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.78605E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.031528 | 8.7846926E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.6127533E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6127533E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4054636E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4054636E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9286162E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9286162E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.928266E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.024497 | 3.9279732E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8034153E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8034153E-8 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0586064E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0586064E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5063505E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5063505E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5063231E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5063231E-5 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7287267E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7287267E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0264558E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0264558E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024646816 | 8.0E-4 | 0.32458553 | 0.0024646816 | 0.0 | 0.02000288 | 0.024399271 | 0.013 | 0.5328028 | 0.025667552 | 0.0013 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7287267E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7287267E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0264558E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0264558E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024646816 | 8.0E-4 | 0.32458553 | 0.0024646816 | 0.0 | 0.02000288 | 0.024399271 | 0.013 | 0.5328028 | 0.025667552 | 0.0013 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7287267E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7287267E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0264558E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0264558E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024646816 | 8.0E-4 | 0.32458553 | 0.0024646816 | 0.0 | 0.02000288 | 0.024399271 | 0.013 | 0.5328028 | 0.025667552 | 0.0013 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.362278E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.362278E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4409002E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4409002E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017529542 | 4.0E-4 | 0.22818622 | 0.0017529542 | 0.0 | 0.014687235 | 0.017398456 | 0.009 | 0.5172873 | 0.018086277 | 7.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.362278E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.362278E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4409002E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4409002E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017529542 | 4.0E-4 | 0.22818622 | 0.0017529542 | 0.0 | 0.014687235 | 0.017398456 | 0.009 | 0.5172873 | 0.018086277 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8617755E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8617755E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2264196E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2264196E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014921901 | 4.0E-4 | 0.26806235 | 0.0014921901 | 0.0 | 0.012676105 | 0.014826603 | 0.008 | 0.5395707 | 0.015516224 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4668188E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4668188E-5 | 0.0 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.0571672E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571672E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012863738 | 4.0E-4 | 0.31095162 | 0.0012863738 | 0.0 | 0.011051672 | 0.012792707 | 0.0073 | 0.5706376 | 0.0134837525 | 7.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.178777E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.178777E-5 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.337296E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.337296E-5 | 0.0 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011362485 | 3.0E-4 | 0.26402676 | 0.0011362485 | 0.0 | 0.009844234 | 0.011307051 | 0.0065 | 0.5748625 | 0.011999137 | 7.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9023853E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023853E-5 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.152835E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.152835E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.921725E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.20157784 | 9.921725E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008671708 | 0.009879188 | 0.006 | 0.6073374 | 0.010572272 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6393946E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6393946E-5 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.025793E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.025793E-5 | 0.0 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.550634E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.23390079 | 8.550634E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007540013 | 0.008518666 | 0.0055 | 0.64564097 | 0.009113555 | 6.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4541677E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4541677E-5 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.232002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.232002E-5 | 0.0 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.584879E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2636825 | 7.584879E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006729651 | 0.007559609 | 0.0048 | 0.63495344 | 0.008055829 | 5.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4081761E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4081761E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.034904E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.034904E-5 | 0.0 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.3450746E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2722913 | 7.3450746E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006524288 | 0.0073213917 | 0.0047 | 0.6419544 | 0.007817731 | 5.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.40192105E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.40192105E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.008098E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.008098E-5 | 0.0 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.31246E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.27350575 | 7.31246E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006495651 | 0.007288992 | 0.0047 | 0.64480793 | 0.0077853473 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3883315E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3883315E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9498594E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9498594E-5 | 0.0 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.241602E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.27618197 | 7.241602E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0064328653 | 0.007218596 | 0.0047 | 0.6510961 | 0.007714987 | 5.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3651311E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3651311E-5 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8504338E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8504338E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.120631E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.28087398 | 7.120631E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070984047 | 0.0045 | 0.6339453 | 0.0075948555 | 5.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3148846E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3148846E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.635101E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.635101E-5 | 0.0 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.8586314E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.29160336 | 6.8586314E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0060904534 | 0.0068380474 | 0.0043 | 0.6288345 | 0.0073346286 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1582539E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1582539E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9638536E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9638536E-5 | 0.0 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.0418673E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.33102348 | 6.0418673E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060259732 | 0.004 | 0.6637932 | 0.00652296 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0025289E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0025289E-5 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.2964846E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2964846E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.2297645E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.38242638 | 5.2297645E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0046527605 | 0.005217967 | 0.0031 | 0.5941011 | 0.005715358 | 5.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.2850403E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2850403E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.4078737E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4078737E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7140732E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7140732E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7139447E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5834494 | 1.7139447E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6699092E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6699092E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1442468E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1442468E-8 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3931205E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3931205E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3931206E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 71.781296 | 1.3931206E-6 | 0.0 |
Little Salmon (Offshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011278758 | 7.0E-4 | 0.62063575 | 0.0011278758 | 0.0 | 0.011956319 | 0.011255429 | 0.0082 | 0.7285373 | 0.012540797 | 0.0013 |
6.1 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011278758 | 7.0E-4 | 0.62063575 | 0.0011278758 | 0.0 | 0.011956319 | 0.011255429 | 0.0082 | 0.7285373 | 0.012540797 | 0.0013 |
6.2 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011278758 | 7.0E-4 | 0.62063575 | 0.0011278758 | 0.0 | 0.011956319 | 0.011255429 | 0.0082 | 0.7285373 | 0.012540797 | 0.0013 |
6.3 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011278758 | 7.0E-4 | 0.62063575 | 0.0011278758 | 0.0 | 0.011956319 | 0.011255429 | 0.0082 | 0.7285373 | 0.012540797 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011278758 | 7.0E-4 | 0.62063575 | 0.0011278758 | 0.0 | 0.011956319 | 0.011255429 | 0.0082 | 0.7285373 | 0.012540797 | 0.0013 |
6.5 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011278758 | 7.0E-4 | 0.62063575 | 0.0011278758 | 0.0 | 0.011956319 | 0.011255429 | 0.0082 | 0.7285373 | 0.012540797 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011278758 | 7.0E-4 | 0.62063575 | 0.0011278758 | 0.0 | 0.011956319 | 0.011255429 | 0.0082 | 0.7285373 | 0.012540797 | 0.0013 |
6.7 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1625294E-5 | 0.0 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.267718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011278758 | 7.0E-4 | 0.62063575 | 0.0011278758 | 0.0 | 0.011956319 | 0.011255429 | 0.0082 | 0.7285373 | 0.012540797 | 0.0013 |
6.8 | 1.683878E-5 | 1.4402086E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4402086E-5 | 0.0 | 7.21642E-5 | 6.172206E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.172206E-5 | 0.0 | 8.78245E-4 | 7.51258E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.66555035 | 7.51258E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008747822 | 0.0075148502 | 0.0056 | 0.74519116 | 0.00820959 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.683878E-5 | 1.4402086E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4402086E-5 | 0.0 | 7.21642E-5 | 6.172206E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.172206E-5 | 0.0 | 8.78245E-4 | 7.51258E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.66555035 | 7.51258E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008747822 | 0.0075148502 | 0.0056 | 0.74519116 | 0.00820959 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5051273E-5 | 1.2349455E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2349455E-5 | 0.0 | 6.450386E-5 | 5.292542E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.292542E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8505155E-4 | 6.4422254E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7761293 | 6.4422254E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00782284 | 0.0064507425 | 0.0047 | 0.7285983 | 0.006848162 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5051273E-5 | 1.2349455E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2349455E-5 | 0.0 | 6.450386E-5 | 5.292542E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.292542E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8505155E-4 | 6.4422254E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7761293 | 6.4422254E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00782284 | 0.0064507425 | 0.0047 | 0.7285983 | 0.006848162 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.24301405E-5 | 9.919218E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.919218E-6 | 0.0 | 5.3270942E-5 | 4.251047E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.251047E-5 | 0.0 | 6.483807E-4 | 5.1748217E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7729735 | 5.1748217E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006464922 | 0.0051888674 | 0.0037 | 0.713065 | 0.0054873107 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.3599865E-6 | 7.70572E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.70572E-6 | 0.0 | 4.011361E-5 | 3.30243E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.30243E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8827377E-4 | 4.020324E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9949447 | 4.020324E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004872023 | 0.0040295757 | 0.0027 | 0.67004573 | 0.004328367 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 5.941556E-6 | 4.9581654E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9581654E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5463563E-5 | 2.124928E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.124928E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0997477E-4 | 2.5870997E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.5461329 | 2.5870997E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030954275 | 0.0025958095 | 0.0018 | 0.6934253 | 0.0026955497 | 1.0E-4 |
Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.848742E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.848742E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.7917588E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7917588E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035443127 | 0.0046073813 | 0.0026 | 0.56431186 | 0.0047069206 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045189325 | 0.0302 | 0.66829944 | 0.046144135 | 0.001 |
6.1 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.848742E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.848742E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.7917588E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7917588E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035443127 | 0.0046073813 | 0.0026 | 0.56431186 | 0.0047069206 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045189325 | 0.0302 | 0.66829944 | 0.046144135 | 0.001 |
6.2 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.848742E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.848742E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.7917588E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7917588E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035443127 | 0.0046073813 | 0.0026 | 0.56431186 | 0.0047069206 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045189325 | 0.0302 | 0.66829944 | 0.046144135 | 0.001 |
6.3 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.848742E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.848742E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.7917588E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7917588E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035443127 | 0.0046073813 | 0.0026 | 0.56431186 | 0.0047069206 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045189325 | 0.0302 | 0.66829944 | 0.046144135 | 0.001 |
6.4 | 4.5830013E-5 | 5.718445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.718445E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9639956E-4 | 2.4505623E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4505623E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023885423 | 0.0029798436 | 0.0019 | 0.63761735 | 0.0030795457 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023630321 | 0.029436499 | 0.0208 | 0.7066058 | 0.03021295 | 8.0E-4 |
6.5 | 4.5830013E-5 | 5.718445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.718445E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9639956E-4 | 2.4505623E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4505623E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023885423 | 0.0029798436 | 0.0019 | 0.63761735 | 0.0030795457 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023630321 | 0.029436499 | 0.0208 | 0.7066058 | 0.03021295 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.222194E-5 | 3.8278125E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8278125E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3808672E-4 | 1.6403943E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6403943E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016799092 | 0.0019954378 | 0.0014 | 0.70160043 | 0.0020952383 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016672665 | 0.01978453 | 0.0145 | 0.73289585 | 0.020274637 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.4155654E-5 | 2.7795184E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7795184E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0352012E-4 | 1.1911683E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1911683E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012596287 | 0.0014492908 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6209934 | 0.0015491459 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012525126 | 0.014399617 | 0.0097 | 0.67362905 | 0.014695297 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.1814667E-5 | 2.494854E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.494854E-5 | 0.0 | 9.348808E-5 | 1.06917956E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.06917956E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001137623 | 0.0013009525 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6918008 | 0.0014008224 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011318169 | 0.012934064 | 0.0086 | 0.6649109 | 0.013230183 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.0700467E-5 | 2.3636123E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3636123E-5 | 0.0 | 8.871327E-5 | 1.0129375E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0129375E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010795488 | 0.0012325569 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7301894 | 0.0013324337 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010743194 | 0.012257813 | 0.0084 | 0.6852772 | 0.012554135 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.0104066E-5 | 2.2943455E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2943455E-5 | 0.0 | 8.615744E-5 | 9.832541E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.832541E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010484619 | 0.0011964574 | 9.0E-4 | 0.75222063 | 0.0012963378 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010435291 | 0.011900731 | 0.0083 | 0.6974361 | 0.012197161 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.8225232E-5 | 2.0779322E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0779322E-5 | 0.0 | 7.81058E-5 | 8.905121E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.905121E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5052324E-4 | 0.0010836608 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6459586 | 0.0011835523 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009464677 | 0.010784137 | 0.0075 | 0.6954659 | 0.011080902 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.7526572E-5 | 1.9999572E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9999572E-5 | 0.0 | 7.511172E-5 | 8.5709646E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.5709646E-5 | 0.0 | 9.141015E-4 | 0.0010430169 | 7.0E-4 | 0.67113006 | 0.0011429125 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009103506 | 0.010381565 | 0.0072 | 0.69353706 | 0.010579489 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.5727232E-5 | 1.802719E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.802719E-5 | 0.0 | 6.740067E-5 | 7.725711E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.725711E-5 | 0.0 | 8.2029426E-4 | 9.4020064E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7445219 | 0.0010401066 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008172729 | 0.009362522 | 0.0068 | 0.72630006 | 0.009560649 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.4457361E-5 | 1.660368E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.660368E-5 | 0.0 | 6.195865E-5 | 7.115669E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.115669E-5 | 0.0 | 7.540854E-4 | 8.659893E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8083241 | 9.659027E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007515317 | 0.00862638 | 0.0063 | 0.7303179 | 0.008824655 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.33280955E-5 | 1.5350464E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5350464E-5 | 0.0 | 5.711916E-5 | 6.578605E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.578605E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9520384E-4 | 8.006517E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8742878 | 9.0057164E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00693033 | 0.007977884 | 0.0057 | 0.71447515 | 0.008176289 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0699478E-5 | 1.2392059E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2392059E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5854096E-5 | 5.3107746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3107746E-5 | 0.0 | 5.581306E-4 | 6.4639555E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7735202 | 7.463309E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005567309 | 0.0064453078 | 0.0047 | 0.72921264 | 0.006644019 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.9390236E-6 | 6.8553813E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8553813E-6 | 0.0 | 2.545271E-5 | 2.9379877E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9379877E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0984267E-4 | 3.5764152E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5592192 | 4.5760575E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030941102 | 0.003570697 | 0.0024 | 0.6721377 | 0.0037699828 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.1622036E-6 | 2.3305765E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3305765E-6 | 0.0 | 9.266554E-6 | 9.988147E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.988147E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1281446E-4 | 1.2159898E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8223753 | 2.2158683E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001127572 | 0.0012153247 | 6.0E-4 | 0.49369523 | 0.0013152031 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.2194855E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2194855E-7 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.2369206E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2369206E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.723419E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.723419E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5870028E-4 | 2.723106E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.723106E-4 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988222E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.7078077 | 8.097183E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040913434 | 0.0053 | 1.2954181 | 0.0053860242 | 0.0013 |
6.1 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988222E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.7078077 | 8.097183E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040913434 | 0.0053 | 1.2954181 | 0.0053860242 | 0.0013 |
6.2 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988222E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.7078077 | 8.097183E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040913434 | 0.0053 | 1.2954181 | 0.0053860242 | 0.0013 |
6.3 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988222E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.7078077 | 8.097183E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040913434 | 0.0053 | 1.2954181 | 0.0053860242 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988222E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.7078077 | 8.097183E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040913434 | 0.0053 | 1.2954181 | 0.0053860242 | 0.0013 |
6.5 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988222E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.7078077 | 8.097183E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040913434 | 0.0053 | 1.2954181 | 0.0053860242 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988222E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.7078077 | 8.097183E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040913434 | 0.0053 | 1.2954181 | 0.0053860242 | 0.0013 |
6.7 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988222E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.7078077 | 8.097183E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040913434 | 0.0053 | 1.2954181 | 0.0053860242 | 0.0013 |
6.8 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988222E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.7078077 | 8.097183E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040913434 | 0.0053 | 1.2954181 | 0.0053860242 | 0.0013 |
6.9 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.856939E-6 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3672164E-5 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0988222E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.7078077 | 8.097183E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040913434 | 0.0053 | 1.2954181 | 0.0053860242 | 0.0013 |
7.0 | 8.103535E-6 | 7.806363E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.806363E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4728975E-5 | 3.3455417E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3455417E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2274324E-4 | 4.072443E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.7188699 | 8.070814E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0042193993 | 0.0040650605 | 0.0053 | 1.3037937 | 0.005359776 | 0.0013 |
7.1 | 7.853298E-6 | 7.5420235E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5420235E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3656554E-5 | 3.232256E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.232256E-5 | 0.0 | 4.096915E-4 | 3.9345684E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.2707875 | 5.9337815E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00408937 | 0.0039276783 | 0.0049 | 1.2475563 | 0.005023358 | 0.0011 |
7.2 | 7.771102E-6 | 7.454293E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.454293E-6 | 0.0 | 3.33043E-5 | 3.1946583E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1946583E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0540437E-4 | 3.8888093E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.2857406 | 5.8880314E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0040466557 | 0.00388208 | 0.0048 | 1.2364506 | 0.0049778097 | 0.0011 |
7.3 | 7.3945344E-6 | 7.0503374E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0503374E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1690477E-5 | 3.0215386E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0215386E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8576324E-4 | 3.6781086E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0875155 | 4.6777408E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038509427 | 0.0036720885 | 0.0045 | 1.2254606 | 0.0046684165 | 0.001 |
7.4 | 6.964645E-6 | 6.591122E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.591122E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9848137E-5 | 2.8247363E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8247363E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6334046E-4 | 3.4385786E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1632713 | 4.438235E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036274698 | 0.0034333114 | 0.0041 | 1.1941824 | 0.0043302216 | 9.0E-4 |
7.5 | 6.6525035E-6 | 6.260114E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.260114E-6 | 0.0 | 2.851042E-5 | 2.6828786E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6828786E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4705905E-4 | 3.26592E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2247697 | 4.2655933E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0034651754 | 0.003261172 | 0.0037 | 1.1345615 | 0.0039588893 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 5.613338E-6 | 5.152175E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.152175E-6 | 0.0 | 2.405694E-5 | 2.2080565E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080565E-5 | 0.0 | 2.928539E-4 | 2.6879803E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1160796 | 3.6877114E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029246826 | 0.0026847606 | 0.003 | 1.117418 | 0.0032831498 | 6.0E-4 |
7.7 | 4.494704E-6 | 3.99754E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.99754E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9262876E-5 | 1.7132203E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7132203E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3450027E-4 | 2.0856484E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.95893437 | 3.08544E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023425296 | 0.002083715 | 0.0022 | 1.0558065 | 0.00238309 | 3.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6075882E-6 | 2.1840178E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1840178E-6 | 0.0 | 1.117533E-5 | 9.360043E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.360043E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3605114E-4 | 1.13952614E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7551155 | 2.1394121E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013596788 | 0.0011389465 | 0.0012 | 1.0536052 | 0.0013387187 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.045984E-7 | 3.2428613E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2428613E-7 | 0.0 | 1.733992E-6 | 1.389797E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.389797E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1111147E-5 | 1.692065E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.692065E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1109142E-4 | 1.6919393E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6919393E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6844662E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6844662E-9 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4361997E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4361997E-8 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.966073E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.966073E-7 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.966071E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.966071E-6 | 0.0 |
Bennett Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3893934E-5 | 2.82504E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.82504E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0239855E-4 | 1.21068566E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6519564 | 2.2105646E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012459893 | 0.0014731982 | 0.0013 | 0.8824339 | 0.0016729035 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012390262 | 0.014657071 | 0.0142 | 0.9688157 | 0.015938018 | 0.0013 |
6.1 | 2.3893934E-5 | 2.82504E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.82504E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0239855E-4 | 1.21068566E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6519564 | 2.2105646E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012459893 | 0.0014731982 | 0.0013 | 0.8824339 | 0.0016729035 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012390262 | 0.014657071 | 0.0131 | 0.8937666 | 0.015839482 | 0.0012 |
6.2 | 1.6657146E-5 | 1.9862542E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9862542E-5 | 0.0 | 7.138582E-5 | 8.51232E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3495357 | 1.851147E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.6877577E-4 | 0.0010360238 | 0.0011 | 1.0617517 | 0.0012358166 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008653872 | 0.0103303045 | 0.0087 | 0.84218234 | 0.011221007 | 9.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6657146E-5 | 1.9862542E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9862542E-5 | 0.0 | 7.138582E-5 | 8.51232E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3495357 | 1.851147E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.6877577E-4 | 0.0010360238 | 0.0011 | 1.0617517 | 0.0012358166 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008653872 | 0.0103303045 | 0.0087 | 0.84218234 | 0.011221007 | 9.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.29418495E-5 | 1.5574904E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574904E-5 | 0.0 | 5.546389E-5 | 6.674862E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4981583 | 1.6674194E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.7506364E-4 | 8.1249175E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.86154723 | 0.0010123292 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0067301663 | 0.008112451 | 0.0069 | 0.8505444 | 0.008905961 | 8.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2582504E-5 | 1.5141786E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5141786E-5 | 0.0 | 5.39239E-5 | 6.489249E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5410104 | 1.64886E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.563257E-4 | 7.899099E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.88617694 | 9.89752E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006543907 | 0.007888285 | 0.0066 | 0.8366837 | 0.008681974 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0846706E-5 | 1.3043321E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3043321E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6485053E-5 | 5.5899476E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7889255 | 1.5589388E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.6580856E-4 | 6.80492E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.881715 | 8.803559E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005643701 | 0.0068012425 | 0.0056 | 0.823379 | 0.0074964813 | 7.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.6803231E-6 | 2.3809998E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3809998E-6 | 0.0 | 7.2013645E-6 | 1.0204246E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0204246E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7673085E-5 | 1.2422974E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8049602 | 1.2422974E-4 | 0.0 | 8.76385E-4 | 0.0012460568 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6420253 | 0.0013459321 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4609833E-6 | 2.0969755E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0969755E-6 | 0.0 | 6.261342E-6 | 8.987007E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.987007E-6 | 0.0 | 7.6229175E-5 | 1.0941139E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9139816 | 1.0941139E-4 | 0.0 | 7.620303E-4 | 0.0010979454 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6375545 | 0.0010979454 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3492396E-6 | 1.9488762E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9488762E-6 | 0.0 | 5.7824427E-6 | 8.3523E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3523E-6 | 0.0 | 7.0398964E-5 | 1.0168456E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9834334 | 1.0168456E-4 | 0.0 | 7.037667E-4 | 0.0010207238 | 6.0E-4 | 0.58781815 | 0.0010207238 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2347921E-6 | 1.7918215E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7918215E-6 | 0.0 | 5.291955E-6 | 7.679213E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.679213E-6 | 0.0 | 6.442765E-5 | 9.349047E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0696278 | 9.349047E-5 | 0.0 | 6.440897E-4 | 9.388541E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6390769 | 9.388541E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.1262973E-6 | 1.6385454E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6385454E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8269794E-6 | 7.022319E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.022319E-6 | 0.0 | 5.876689E-5 | 8.549343E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.549343E-5 | 0.0 | 5.875135E-4 | 8.589269E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.34927303 | 8.589269E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.351744E-7 | 1.3637094E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3637094E-6 | 0.0 | 4.007884E-6 | 5.8444557E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8444557E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8794896E-5 | 7.115395E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.115395E-5 | 0.0 | 4.878418E-4 | 7.15594E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.41923213 | 7.15594E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.5039534E-7 | 1.2409719E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2409719E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6445463E-6 | 5.3184403E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3184403E-6 | 0.0 | 4.437145E-5 | 6.475011E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.475011E-5 | 0.0 | 4.436259E-4 | 6.5129925E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.46061775 | 6.5129925E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.7875015E-7 | 9.617481E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.617481E-7 | 0.0 | 2.908926E-6 | 4.1217713E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1217713E-6 | 0.0 | 3.54156E-5 | 5.018142E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.018142E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5409955E-4 | 5.049803E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.59408265 | 5.049803E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.826867E-7 | 8.202125E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.202125E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4972264E-6 | 3.5151916E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5151916E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0403306E-5 | 4.2796626E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2796626E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0399146E-4 | 4.3074173E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.69647306 | 4.3074173E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.7734902E-7 | 3.6881934E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6881934E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1886381E-6 | 1.5806534E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5806534E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4471572E-5 | 1.9244286E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9244286E-5 | 0.0 | 1.447063E-4 | 1.9343701E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0339284 | 1.9343701E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0530888E-7 | 1.3783058E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783058E-7 | 0.0 | 4.513237E-7 | 5.9070237E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9070237E-7 | 0.0 | 5.4948523E-6 | 7.1917775E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1917775E-6 | 0.0 | 5.4947162E-5 | 7.272852E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.272852E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2714258E-8 | 1.9748647E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9748647E-8 | 0.0 | 5.448968E-8 | 8.463706E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.463706E-8 | 0.0 | 6.6341164E-7 | 1.0304557E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0304557E-6 | 0.0 | 6.6340967E-6 | 1.0715134E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0715134E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.075888E-9 | 7.623919E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.623919E-9 | 0.0 | 1.7468091E-8 | 3.267394E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.267394E-8 | 0.0 | 2.12674E-7 | 3.9780517E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9780517E-7 | 0.0 | 2.1267379E-6 | 4.2262855E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2262855E-6 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.9126138E-9 | 4.02801E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.02801E-9 | 0.0 | 8.196917E-9 | 1.7262902E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7262902E-8 | 0.0 | 9.9797454E-8 | 2.1017581E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1017581E-7 | 0.0 | 9.979741E-7 | 2.2136107E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2136107E-6 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6797181E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6797181E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.1986244E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3891543 | 7.1986244E-5 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7613496E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.79896367 | 0.0010759598 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008732238 | 0.0097 | 1.1108264 | 0.009921759 | 0.0012 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6797181E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6797181E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.1986244E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3891543 | 7.1986244E-5 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7613496E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.79896367 | 0.0010759598 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008732238 | 0.0097 | 1.1108264 | 0.009921759 | 0.0012 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3683913E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3683913E-5 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8644295E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7051957 | 5.8644295E-5 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.138091E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.84056085 | 9.136663E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071199606 | 0.0079 | 1.1095567 | 0.008013553 | 9.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3683913E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3683913E-5 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8644295E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7051957 | 5.8644295E-5 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.138091E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.84056085 | 9.136663E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071199606 | 0.0079 | 1.1095567 | 0.008013553 | 9.0E-4 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0171799E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0171799E-5 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.359293E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.29395 | 4.359293E-5 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.306557E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.75378436 | 6.306027E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052979235 | 0.0062 | 1.1702698 | 0.006093685 | 8.0E-4 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0119219E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0119219E-5 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3367592E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3058693 | 4.3367592E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.279136E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7576997 | 6.2786083E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052706324 | 0.0062 | 1.1763295 | 0.006066416 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.443258E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.443258E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6185113E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7635674 | 3.6185113E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4050463E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.90804946 | 5.404606E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0044002333 | 0.0052 | 1.1817555 | 0.005196713 | 8.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4441235E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4441235E-6 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0474774E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.546745 | 1.0474774E-5 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.275231E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5683433 | 1.275231E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012745179 | 0.0016 | 1.2553767 | 0.0016740081 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.206539E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.206539E-6 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.456563E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.574667 | 9.456563E-6 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1512774E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7372009 | 1.1512774E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011506978 | 0.0013 | 1.1297493 | 0.0014503526 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9812774E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9812774E-6 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.491162E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 11.776951 | 8.491162E-6 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.03375154E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9347008 | 1.03375154E-4 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010332867 | 0.0013 | 1.2581214 | 0.0013329766 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6204644E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6204644E-6 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9448297E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 14.399201 | 6.9448297E-6 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.455015E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3654602 | 8.455015E-5 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.4519223E-4 | 0.001 | 1.1831628 | 0.0011449386 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1498905E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1498905E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.928094E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.928094E-6 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9997987E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9997987E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.998277E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.83357275 | 8.996477E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.3879725E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3879725E-7 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7377E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7377E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.333106E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.333106E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3326744E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.60011864 | 5.332008E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946687E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8946687E-6 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6691356E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320267E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9684781 | 6.031214E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305978 | 0.0032 | 1.5758907 | 0.003228161 | 0.0012 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946687E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8946687E-6 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6691356E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320267E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9684781 | 6.031214E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305978 | 0.0032 | 1.5758907 | 0.003228161 | 0.0012 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946687E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8946687E-6 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6691356E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320267E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9684781 | 6.031214E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305978 | 0.0032 | 1.5758907 | 0.003228161 | 0.0012 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946687E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8946687E-6 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6691356E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320267E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9684781 | 6.031214E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305978 | 0.0032 | 1.5758907 | 0.003228161 | 0.0012 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946687E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8946687E-6 | 0.0 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6691356E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320267E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9684781 | 6.031214E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305978 | 0.0032 | 1.5758907 | 0.003228161 | 0.0012 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2031019E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2031019E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1561415E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1561415E-6 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277433E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5930078 | 1.6276805E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275777E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.9560569 | 9.273894E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2031019E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2031019E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1561415E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1561415E-6 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277433E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5930078 | 1.6276805E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275777E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.9560569 | 9.273894E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.411081E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.411081E-7 | 0.0 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6047443E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6047443E-6 | 0.0 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3886936E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2785826 | 1.4388254E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3878838E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9116011 | 6.387006E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.392519E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.392519E-7 | 0.0< |