Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.9349114E-43.0E-40.378076059.933325E-42.0E-40.00237938480.003396820.00290.85373960.0042937639.0E-40.0285869630.040875220.04751.16207340.056029390.01580.251762840.33956410.4291.26338450.421260030.1237
6.11.925858E-43.0718808E-40.00.03.0718808E-40.08.2510663E-40.0013159557.0E-40.531933070.00141582341.0E-40.00999948850.0159913770.01130.70663080.01864820.00270.0956132560.150834020.1040.68949960.169600590.0221
6.29.4306815E-51.8366873E-40.00.01.8366873E-40.04.0410945E-47.869155E-44.0E-40.50831387.869155E-40.00.00490893840.0095388110.0060.629009250.0105292720.0010.0480190630.09238920.060.64942650.1019191150.0105
6.39.283051E-51.8063006E-40.00.01.8063006E-40.03.9778434E-47.7390036E-44.0E-40.51686247.7390036E-40.00.00483227470.0093817170.00590.62888270.0103723350.0010.0472853850.0910419450.05910.64915130.100404220.0103
6.49.138826E-51.7824411E-40.00.01.7824411E-40.03.916052E-47.6368084E-43.0E-40.392834257.6368084E-40.00.00475737450.0092583660.00580.626460430.0102491070.0010.0465680920.089943130.05750.639292840.0988616940.0098
6.59.000255E-51.7581714E-40.00.01.7581714E-40.03.8566816E-47.532856E-43.0E-40.398255327.532856E-40.00.00468540470.0091328940.00560.61316820.0101237610.0010.0458784030.088830110.05680.63942280.097668460.0097
6.68.8109264E-51.7261338E-40.00.01.7261338E-40.03.7755648E-47.39563E-43.0E-40.405644927.39563E-40.00.00458706540.0089672270.00540.60219280.0098591579.0E-40.044935290.087356380.05590.63990750.0960264950.0095
6.78.738073E-51.7128066E-40.00.01.7128066E-40.03.7443507E-47.338546E-43.0E-40.40880037.338546E-40.00.00454922160.00889833550.00540.60685510.00979032659.0E-40.044572130.0867560650.05570.642030060.095340560.0094
6.88.710195E-51.70733E-40.00.01.70733E-40.03.7324068E-47.3150883E-43.0E-40.410111257.3150883E-40.00.00453474050.0088700170.00530.59751860.0097620349.0E-40.044433130.086502730.05540.64044220.095089610.0094
6.98.6801556E-51.7014009E-40.00.01.7014009E-40.03.7195362E-47.2896923E-43.0E-40.411547.2896923E-40.00.00451913570.0088393480.00530.599591730.0097313929.0E-40.0442833270.086227880.05530.64132390.094817340.0094
7.08.5571606E-51.6765864E-40.00.01.6765864E-40.03.6668387E-47.1834034E-43.0E-40.417629337.1834034E-40.00.0044552410.0087109830.00520.596947550.0096031439.0E-40.0436697270.08507350.05470.64297340.093673810.0094
7.17.82589E-51.5242065E-40.00.01.5242065E-40.03.3535215E-46.530686E-43.0E-40.459369846.530686E-40.00.00407527060.00792229550.00470.593262430.0087159578.0E-40.0400134180.077969230.04970.637430970.08599090.0087
7.27.690929E-51.497802E-40.00.01.497802E-40.03.2956956E-46.417579E-43.0E-40.467465976.417579E-40.00.0040051290.007785580.00470.603680130.0085793528.0E-40.03933710.07673790.04870.63462770.084493310.0084
7.37.5543794E-51.4673026E-40.00.01.4673026E-40.03.2371894E-46.286932E-42.0E-40.31812026.286932E-40.00.0039341570.00762764040.00430.563739240.0084215388.0E-40.0386523340.075293680.04740.62953490.082876270.0082
7.47.4214564E-51.43725E-40.00.01.43725E-40.03.1802364E-46.1581965E-42.0E-40.324770426.1581965E-40.00.0038650650.007471990.00430.575482550.0082660128.0E-40.037985290.073862090.04670.632259370.0812711940.008
7.56.149578E-51.12851594E-40.00.01.12851594E-40.02.6352672E-44.8356014E-42.0E-40.4135994.8356014E-40.00.00320371780.00587148450.00340.57906990.0065673757.0E-40.031579230.0589956830.03610.61190920.06407710.0054
7.66.0643448E-51.11128815E-40.00.01.11128815E-40.02.598746E-44.7617953E-42.0E-40.420009644.7617953E-40.00.00315938280.00578210640.00340.588021040.00647805867.0E-40.0311484170.0581530260.03520.605299530.063144820.0053
7.75.1652263E-59.2588096E-50.00.09.2588096E-50.02.2134806E-43.967458E-42.0E-40.50410113.967458E-40.00.0026915820.0048196920.00290.601698160.0055163187.0E-40.0265921410.048931950.02950.60287810.0528313260.0041
7.84.8090482E-58.636971E-50.00.08.636971E-50.02.060858E-43.701034E-42.0E-40.54038953.701034E-40.00.00250620720.00449670760.00260.57820080.00509400956.0E-40.0247813050.045668620.02720.595594940.049199650.0037
7.93.970278E-56.810641E-50.00.06.810641E-50.01.7014367E-42.91852E-41.0E-40.342639422.91852E-40.00.0020695310.00354751250.00230.648341660.0041453846.0E-40.0205036360.036170580.02190.60546440.0390620680.003
8.02.8982335E-54.1079107E-50.00.04.1079107E-50.01.2420409E-41.7604145E-41.0E-40.568048061.7604145E-40.00.00151113570.0021411990.00150.70054210.00264012845.0E-40.0150090120.0222021430.01180.53148020.02386440.0017
8.11.8836186E-51.8895687E-50.00.01.8895687E-50.08.0724014E-58.097901E-50.00.08.097901E-50.09.823717E-49.854741E-49.0E-40.913266060.00138507984.0E-40.0097804030.0106015120.00550.518793940.011491979.0E-4
8.28.643924E-65.556491E-60.00.05.556491E-60.03.704486E-52.3813316E-50.00.02.3813316E-50.04.5092785E-42.8988862E-42.0E-40.68992013.8985963E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00329340550.00210.637637850.00359241733.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.792044E-70.00.07.792044E-70.08.498917E-63.3394433E-60.00.03.3394433E-60.01.034694E-44.065698E-50.00.04.065698E-50.00.00103421244.7958124E-42.0E-40.417030484.7958124E-40.0

Mendocino

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5409013E-40.00108506061.0E-40.092160740.00118495221.0E-40.00237251120.00463979460.00140.301737520.0052370116.0E-40.0285054740.0547244330.03110.56830190.064838880.01070.251134930.412147460.24730.6000280.447594970.0603
6.14.2515888E-48.2371355E-41.0E-40.121401429.236312E-41.0E-40.00182083730.00352371340.00120.340549830.00412159936.0E-40.0219445380.041792970.02680.641256150.0517583230.01040.198995740.330219270.21310.64532880.368664680.0574
6.24.2515888E-48.2371355E-41.0E-40.121401429.236312E-41.0E-40.00182083730.00352371340.00120.340549830.00412159936.0E-40.0219445380.041792970.02680.641256150.0517583230.01040.198995740.330219270.21310.64532880.368664680.0574
6.33.2773745E-46.201148E-41.0E-40.161260467.200528E-41.0E-40.00140383290.00265366070.0010.37683790.00325206856.0E-40.0169582370.0316321780.02140.67652630.039475960.00810.15720940.26104820.17470.66922510.296443970.0479
6.42.7417165E-45.055229E-41.0E-40.197814996.054723E-41.0E-40.00117449220.00216373158.0E-40.369731630.0025628664.0E-40.0142059750.0258763080.01770.68402340.0323055240.00660.133313940.219755890.14630.66573870.251511840.0407
6.52.3984899E-44.3308566E-41.0E-40.23090125.3304236E-41.0E-40.00102751920.00185391556.0E-40.323639330.00215335943.0E-40.0124384730.0222181680.01510.6796240.0278893020.00580.117648510.1923150.12810.66609470.221957030.0367
6.62.1023539E-43.700633E-41.0E-40.270224034.7002628E-41.0E-49.0069766E-40.00158434285.0E-40.315588270.00188386743.0E-40.0109109750.0190264580.01320.69377070.0242256190.00530.103905460.167773320.11120.662799060.194238140.0318
6.71.2592976E-41.8493446E-40.00.01.8493446E-40.05.395873E-47.9224136E-43.0E-40.378672488.921621E-41.0E-40.0065497050.0095912760.00530.55258550.0113740120.00180.0635999440.091262420.05210.57088120.103621260.0136
6.81.13663555E-41.5465546E-40.00.01.5465546E-40.04.8703855E-46.6260475E-43.0E-40.45275867.625385E-41.0E-40.00591358450.0080331970.00460.57262380.0097195410.00170.0575867330.077678170.04440.57158920.0885615650.0118
6.99.926894E-51.2360701E-40.00.01.2360701E-40.04.2536893E-45.296286E-42.0E-40.37762316.2957563E-41.0E-40.00516657530.0064281830.00410.63781630.0081172550.00170.0504809470.063134690.03780.598719950.073159150.0107
7.09.168125E-51.0842653E-40.00.01.0842653E-40.03.9286047E-44.645977E-42.0E-40.430479975.645512E-41.0E-40.0047725910.00564144550.00380.673586250.00713298330.00150.046713850.0558904450.03440.615489840.065237130.0099
7.18.2854116E-59.161518E-50.00.09.161518E-50.03.5504074E-43.9257773E-41.0E-40.254726654.9253844E-41.0E-40.0043140560.00476922370.00330.69193650.00606302360.00130.0423126260.047742570.03070.6430320.0565033370.0092
7.27.8255274E-58.355417E-50.00.08.355417E-50.03.3533663E-43.58041E-41.0E-40.279297624.5800518E-41.0E-40.00407508250.00435058540.00330.75851860.00564492960.00130.0400116030.043781630.02830.646389840.052196350.0088
7.36.887904E-56.302927E-50.00.06.302927E-50.02.9516246E-42.7009804E-41.0E-40.370235953.70071E-41.0E-40.00358768230.0032835830.00250.76136340.00428029940.0010.0353031120.033562150.02120.6316640.039940640.0066
7.45.4898497E-53.7690043E-50.00.03.7690043E-50.02.3525805E-41.6151907E-41.0E-40.61912192.6150292E-41.0E-40.00286050470.00196477820.00160.814341370.00256359936.0E-40.028239630.0205605920.01230.59823180.0242824630.0038
7.53.9103943E-51.1429893E-50.00.01.1429893E-50.01.6757756E-44.898434E-50.00.04.898434E-50.00.00203834755.962228E-43.0E-40.50316766.9616316E-41.0E-40.0201975180.00669775760.00380.5673540.007691060.001
7.63.641042E-59.092579E-60.00.09.092579E-60.01.5603533E-43.896762E-50.00.03.896762E-50.00.00189807484.7432887E-43.0E-40.63247265.7428144E-41.0E-40.0188194440.00541420230.00330.60950810.0061104127.0E-4
7.73.1318774E-54.5381566E-60.00.04.5381566E-60.01.342164E-41.9449099E-50.00.01.9449099E-50.00.00163285982.3676723E-42.0E-40.84471153.3674354E-41.0E-40.0162091390.00291779450.00180.61690430.00331662734.0E-4
7.82.209241E-52.7360406E-60.00.02.7360406E-60.09.467832E-51.1725836E-50.00.01.1725836E-50.00.0011520991.4275273E-42.0E-41.4010242.4273846E-41.0E-40.0114614430.0017717850.00130.733723340.00207125353.0E-4
7.91.2640477E-52.082239E-60.00.02.082239E-60.05.4172346E-58.923851E-60.00.08.923851E-60.06.593487E-41.0864249E-42.0E-41.84090032.0863162E-41.0E-40.0065739580.00132224160.0010.756291450.00152197712.0E-4
8.06.5548907E-61.6698185E-60.00.01.6698185E-60.02.8092087E-57.1563454E-60.00.07.1563454E-60.03.4196748E-48.7125045E-52.0E-42.29555131.8711633E-41.0E-40.00341441720.00104934870.0010.952972050.00124913882.0E-4
8.13.1916707E-61.3858776E-60.00.01.3858776E-60.01.3678517E-55.939462E-60.00.05.939462E-60.01.6652321E-47.231058E-52.0E-42.76584721.7230335E-41.0E-40.00166398488.78812E-48.0E-40.910319869.787241E-41.0E-4
8.22.1193785E-61.0496494E-60.00.01.0496494E-60.09.083019E-64.49849E-60.00.04.49849E-60.01.1058014E-45.476776E-51.0E-41.82589175.476776E-50.00.00110525136.614948E-46.0E-40.907036666.614948E-40.0
8.37.536878E-73.9912942E-70.00.03.9912942E-70.03.2300866E-61.7105536E-60.00.01.7105536E-60.03.9325594E-52.0825804E-50.00.02.0825804E-50.03.9318635E-42.449408E-41.0E-40.40826192.449408E-40.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122945720.00221.78940750.00302724420.00180.00256311240.0052534810.00681.29437970.0089340430.00370.0307628460.0612962320.04460.727614050.071340360.01070.268354770.426410380.32990.77366780.454573630.0491
6.15.015945E-40.00102333970.00151.4657890.00232200930.00130.002147920.00437440770.00531.21159270.0074608470.00310.0258393510.0513242860.03610.703370750.05976750.00890.230327760.373310770.27390.733705040.397688980.0389
6.24.073338E-48.122463E-40.00111.3542690.0018114340.0010.00174454840.0034735610.00451.29550050.00606452950.00260.0210340580.0410085170.02950.71936280.0480091530.00730.191507820.313525050.23140.738059040.336041420.0328
6.33.464099E-46.754359E-40.0011.48052550.00157482799.0E-40.00148376920.00288939150.00391.34976520.0052824570.00240.0179158730.0342655140.02570.75002520.0406393630.00660.165383590.271838460.19880.73131660.29266390.0286
6.42.935057E-45.5594655E-46.0E-41.07924040.00105566865.0E-40.00125727510.00237899370.00281.17696820.00407494930.00170.0152002480.028341180.02150.75861340.0331994740.0050.142015770.233536140.16740.71680560.251701330.0237
6.52.3409708E-44.2244766E-44.0E-40.94686288.222787E-44.0E-40.00100288750.00180844030.00191.05062910.00320590850.00140.0121419650.0216647440.0150.69236910.0256759190.00410.114995730.187408040.12810.68353520.2024410.0185
6.61.5842178E-42.5219817E-43.0E-41.18954075.5212254E-43.0E-46.7877385E-40.00108039178.0E-40.74047220.00167974346.0E-40.00823280.0130730640.00850.650191840.0152443030.00220.079343960.1237734850.07780.62856760.134551080.0123
6.71.5616413E-42.4756E-43.0E-41.21182745.474857E-43.0E-46.691031E-40.00106053318.0E-40.75433760.00165989676.0E-40.00811594350.0128347540.00840.6544730.0150065170.00220.07825860.121800690.0770.632180330.13242690.0121
6.81.5538467E-42.4579527E-43.0E-41.2205285.457215E-43.0E-46.6576427E-40.00105297738.0E-40.75975040.00165234556.0E-40.0080755960.0127439990.00830.651286960.0149159620.00220.077883580.121030950.07620.629591050.131666470.0121
6.91.5153569E-42.3687514E-43.0E-41.266495.368041E-43.0E-46.49277E-40.00101478628.0E-40.788343370.00161417746.0E-40.0078763330.01228555850.00810.65931070.014458530.00220.076029520.117098930.07380.63023630.127517160.0118
7.01.4588932E-42.2543047E-43.0E-41.33078735.2536285E-43.0E-46.250901E-49.657749E-48.0E-40.82835040.00156519546.0E-40.00758394740.01169541850.00770.658377470.0137708590.00210.0733028950.111942270.07070.63157560.122243740.0116
7.11.1565079E-41.640851E-43.0E-41.82831974.6403587E-43.0E-44.955521E-47.030332E-46.0E-40.85344480.00120268175.0E-40.0060166690.0085260410.00560.65681130.0102115470.00170.0585635380.084235440.05260.62444030.092660470.0092
7.21.0393792E-41.4735112E-42.0E-41.35730223.4732165E-42.0E-44.4537216E-46.3135277E-45.0E-40.79195030.00103110024.0E-40.0054089330.00765980040.0050.652758540.0089498420.00130.0527915950.076158150.04810.63158040.0832717340.0077
7.39.332884E-51.2885488E-41.0E-40.776066842.28842E-41.0E-43.999194E-45.5211893E-42.0E-40.36224086.5206375E-41.0E-40.00485815340.0067014660.00420.626728530.0076947650.0010.0475331020.066964040.04320.64512240.0733086840.0068
7.48.670252E-51.1801028E-41.0E-40.847383862.1799847E-41.0E-43.715293E-45.056609E-42.0E-40.395521976.056103E-41.0E-40.0045139910.00613916530.00360.586398960.0069342548.0E-40.0442339370.061603970.03970.6444390.0673281850.0061
7.57.3036405E-59.0883776E-51.0E-41.10030641.9087469E-41.0E-43.129756E-43.8944383E-42.0E-40.513552844.894049E-41.0E-40.00380382170.00473119230.00280.5918170.00532835356.0E-40.037393670.0482718650.03040.629766460.0519836020.0039
7.66.3935775E-58.354626E-51.0E-41.19694161.8353791E-41.0E-42.7398168E-43.5800636E-42.0E-40.55864934.5797057E-41.0E-40.00333062540.00435003550.00280.643672940.00494742536.0E-40.0328114740.044346530.02860.64492080.0478824450.0037
7.75.5050095E-56.7277506E-51.0E-41.48638091.6727077E-41.0E-42.3590765E-42.883003E-42.0E-40.693721063.882715E-41.0E-40.00286839270.00350441130.00230.65631570.0041023096.0E-40.02831650.0361160150.02310.63960540.0386221150.0026
7.85.027131E-56.223074E-51.0E-41.60692291.6222452E-41.0E-42.1543067E-42.6667592E-42.0E-40.749973953.6664927E-41.0E-40.00261971350.0032419490.00210.64775850.00384000396.0E-40.0258904530.033420090.0210.628364560.0356432240.0023
7.93.7271806E-55.070892E-50.00.05.070892E-50.01.5972654E-42.1730586E-40.00.02.1730586E-40.00.00194293590.0026424910.00180.681175530.00314116975.0E-40.0192603620.0273060980.01730.633558150.0292514860.002
8.02.7310243E-53.1747943E-50.00.03.1747943E-50.01.17038646E-41.3605552E-40.00.01.3605552E-40.00.00142401410.00165521820.00120.724980.0020545564.0E-40.0141492350.0173772670.00990.569709840.0185564140.0012
8.11.7940547E-51.7604752E-50.00.01.7604752E-50.07.688579E-57.544676E-50.00.07.544676E-50.09.3568244E-49.181777E-48.0E-40.8712910.00121790233.0E-40.0093175250.0099070270.00520.524880.0106000927.0E-4
8.28.643924E-65.556491E-60.00.05.556491E-60.03.704486E-52.3813316E-50.00.02.3813316E-50.04.5092785E-42.8988862E-42.0E-40.68992013.8985963E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00329340550.00210.637637850.00359241733.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.792044E-70.00.07.792044E-70.08.498917E-63.3394433E-60.00.03.3394433E-60.01.034694E-44.065698E-50.00.04.065698E-50.00.00103421244.7958124E-42.0E-40.417030484.7958124E-40.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7614485E-42.0E-40.29579466.7614485E-40.00.00133063760.0028946740.00130.449100670.0032935164.0E-40.0160806050.0346422420.02050.59176310.039082890.00460.14965490.2871140.210.731416760.31712650.0421
6.13.1064058E-46.7614485E-42.0E-40.29579466.7614485E-40.00.00133063760.0028946740.00130.449100670.0032935164.0E-40.0160806050.0346422420.02050.59176310.039082890.00460.14965490.2871140.210.731416760.31712650.0421
6.23.1064058E-46.7614485E-42.0E-40.29579466.7614485E-40.00.00133063760.0028946740.00130.449100670.0032935164.0E-40.0160806050.0346422420.02050.59176310.039082890.00460.14965490.2871140.210.731416760.31712650.0421
6.33.1064058E-46.7614485E-42.0E-40.29579466.7614485E-40.00.00133063760.0028946740.00130.449100670.0032935164.0E-40.0160806050.0346422420.02050.59176310.039082890.00460.14965490.2871140.210.731416760.31712650.0421
6.41.9872203E-44.3325502E-42.0E-40.461621884.3325502E-40.08.5138786E-40.00185551410.0010.53893420.00215495753.0E-40.0103164780.0223630310.01380.617089870.0246115960.00230.0985048560.197542940.1460.739079830.218326580.0259
6.51.291105E-42.8891396E-40.00.02.8891396E-40.05.5321335E-40.00123761785.0E-40.404001920.00143737032.0E-40.0067145920.0149647250.00980.65487340.0169347950.0020.0651529650.138606430.09860.71136670.152216450.0158
6.61.291105E-42.8891396E-40.00.02.8891396E-40.05.5321335E-40.00123761785.0E-40.404001920.00143737032.0E-40.0067145920.0149647250.00980.65487340.0169347950.0020.0651529650.138606430.09860.71136670.152216450.0158
6.71.08001186E-42.4470594E-40.00.02.4470594E-40.04.6278012E-40.00104831885.0E-40.476954130.00124810922.0E-40.00561980160.0126888920.0080.63047270.0144660520.00180.0547979060.119751810.08210.68558460.130930960.0127
6.81.0624356E-42.3987883E-40.00.02.3987883E-40.04.5525006E-40.00102764764.0E-40.389238480.00112754491.0E-40.00552859250.0124401120.00730.58681140.0141189640.00170.0539305660.117700560.07990.67884130.128641070.0124
6.91.0393785E-42.3357698E-40.00.02.3357698E-40.04.4537184E-40.00100066064.0E-40.399735930.00110056051.0E-40.00540892870.012115240.0070.577784660.0136958560.00160.052791560.115003560.07730.67215310.125623520.012
7.01.0155622E-42.272661E-40.00.02.272661E-40.04.3516833E-49.7363436E-44.0E-40.410831840.0010735371.0E-40.0052853110.0117897980.00690.585251750.0133709340.00160.051613610.112267570.07490.667156160.122565270.0116
7.19.885595E-52.2014316E-40.00.02.2014316E-40.04.2359953E-49.4312994E-44.0E-40.42411970.00104303561.0E-40.00514513530.0114223540.00640.56030480.01280636250.00140.050276290.109156660.07160.655937970.118955940.011
7.29.6411415E-52.1376653E-40.00.02.1376653E-40.04.1312634E-49.158209E-44.0E-40.436766620.00101572931.0E-40.0050182190.0110932990.00620.558895950.0124777690.00140.0490640070.106346430.0690.64882290.115997890.0108
7.39.1180635E-51.960148E-40.00.01.960148E-40.03.907156E-48.39793E-44.0E-40.476307849.397091E-41.0E-40.0047465910.0101766610.00570.56010510.01156241450.00140.0464647860.098523170.06360.645533440.107177350.0096
7.48.887388E-51.884855E-40.00.01.884855E-40.03.8083247E-48.07545E-43.0E-40.371496329.0746424E-41.0E-40.00462678170.0097876370.00540.55171640.0110749130.00130.0453162860.095156290.06120.64315240.1033903660.0091
7.58.6750515E-51.8178765E-40.00.01.8178765E-40.03.7173493E-47.788573E-43.0E-40.385179648.7877945E-41.0E-40.0045164840.00944144650.00530.56135470.0107291720.00130.044257870.0921160950.05930.64375290.100287050.009
7.68.453092E-51.7564715E-40.00.01.7564715E-40.03.6222505E-47.5255637E-43.0E-40.398641238.524811E-41.0E-40.00440117530.0091239590.00530.58088820.0104120970.00130.043150240.0892735940.05760.64520760.0971969140.0087
7.78.259102E-51.7085469E-40.00.01.7085469E-40.03.539135E-47.32029E-43.0E-40.409819848.3195575E-41.0E-40.0043003860.0088761020.00510.57457650.0101645640.00130.0421811340.087018670.05640.64813680.094779010.0085
7.87.444844E-51.5396815E-40.00.01.5396815E-40.03.1902574E-46.596967E-43.0E-40.454754447.596307E-41.0E-40.00387722230.0080022780.00420.52485050.0089942770.0010.038102690.078804860.05050.64082340.08562170.0074
7.95.2586525E-51.0084274E-40.00.01.0084274E-40.02.2535135E-44.321116E-41.0E-40.23142174.321116E-40.00.00274020060.005248280.00280.53350820.0059446067.0E-40.0270665740.0525636230.03240.61639590.0565428550.0042
8.03.379877E-55.452445E-50.00.05.452445E-50.01.4484383E-42.336553E-41.0E-40.427980872.336553E-40.00.00176204710.0028410440.00140.49277660.00323990764.0E-40.0174814090.0290564350.01580.543769360.0310954170.0021
8.11.8668277E-51.9523522E-50.00.01.9523522E-50.08.000444E-58.366956E-50.00.08.366956E-50.09.736188E-40.00101820158.0E-40.785699070.00131789613.0E-40.0096936420.0109116310.00580.53154290.0117029028.0E-4
8.28.541571E-65.5421824E-60.00.05.5421824E-60.03.660622E-52.3751994E-50.00.02.3751994E-50.04.455896E-42.8914225E-42.0E-40.691701053.8911332E-41.0E-40.00444697170.00328535770.00210.63919980.0035843723.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.792044E-70.00.07.792044E-70.08.498917E-63.3394433E-60.00.03.3394433E-60.01.034694E-44.065698E-50.00.04.065698E-50.00.00103421244.7958124E-42.0E-40.417030484.7958124E-40.0

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.0345544E-53.0E-44.26466233.7032444E-43.0E-42.3625491E-43.0144645E-40.0039.9520170.00310060240.00280.00287260950.00366399860.01865.07642130.0197050090.01610.0283575910.0361089740.06281.73917980.075724890.0411
6.15.5131142E-57.0345544E-53.0E-44.26466233.7032444E-43.0E-42.3625491E-43.0144645E-40.0039.9520170.00310060240.00280.00287260950.00366399860.01865.07642130.0197050090.01610.0283575910.0361089740.06281.73917980.075724890.0411
6.24.216245E-55.175039E-51.0E-41.93235251.5174522E-41.0E-41.806837E-42.2176871E-40.00156.76380350.00152148040.00130.00219760460.00269672230.01144.2273540.0122708330.00960.0217599890.0267083220.0441.64742660.052695210.0267
6.34.216245E-55.175039E-51.0E-41.93235251.5174522E-41.0E-41.806837E-42.2176871E-40.00156.76380350.00152148040.00130.00219760460.00269672230.01144.2273540.0122708330.00960.0217599890.0267083220.0441.64742660.052695210.0267
6.43.6858168E-54.4196433E-50.00.04.4196433E-50.01.5795401E-41.8939968E-40.00115.8078240.00108922929.0E-40.00192139370.00230352770.00913.95046280.0097862510.00750.0190486550.0228509140.03641.59293410.0437619050.0214
6.53.39199E-54.0101433E-50.00.04.0101433E-50.01.453629E-41.718521E-48.0E-44.65516577.71749E-46.0E-40.00176835650.00209031320.00844.01853660.008975890.00690.0175435080.0207984040.0341.63474080.0398928340.0195
6.63.3571985E-53.9555038E-50.00.03.9555038E-50.01.4387199E-41.6951069E-48.0E-44.7194667.69409E-46.0E-40.00175023420.00206186090.00844.07398940.0089476340.00690.0173651330.020519380.03361.63747640.0396192520.0195
6.73.2580007E-53.8170932E-50.00.03.8170932E-50.01.3962112E-41.6357958E-46.0E-43.66793945.635141E-44.0E-40.00169856170.00198978370.0084.02053740.008476850.00650.0168563720.019814470.03231.63012170.0380459240.0186
6.83.2185937E-53.7597787E-50.00.03.7597787E-50.01.3793244E-41.6112353E-46.0E-43.72385075.610591E-44.0E-40.00167803370.00195993550.0084.0817670.0084471960.00650.0166541920.0195210760.03171.62388590.037463840.0183
6.93.165394E-53.6801815E-50.00.03.6801815E-50.01.3565269E-41.5771265E-46.0E-43.80438735.576496E-44.0E-40.00165032020.00191848180.00784.0657150.0083062030.00640.016381180.0191141740.03091.61660150.036672030.0179
7.03.0903822E-53.5706482E-50.00.03.5706482E-50.01.3243823E-41.5301892E-46.0E-43.92108375.529577E-44.0E-40.00161124280.00186143470.00743.9754280.0080498940.00620.0159961040.0185525660.02991.61163690.0355316070.0173
7.13.0069863E-53.4472054E-50.00.03.4472054E-50.01.2886449E-41.4772912E-46.0E-44.0614875.4767006E-44.0E-40.00156779590.00179713940.00713.9507230.0077863570.0060.015567810.0179197880.0291.61832260.034222320.0166
7.22.7957109E-53.135965E-50.00.03.135965E-50.01.1981068E-41.343917E-45.0E-43.7204684.343514E-43.0E-40.00145771880.00163501040.00613.7308630.00662683560.0050.0144819370.016322770.02481.519350.0295040440.0134
7.32.4519275E-52.6788228E-50.00.02.6788228E-50.01.0507837E-41.14801725E-45.0E-44.3553354.1476727E-43.0E-40.00127857830.00139682950.00533.7943070.00579068340.00440.0127124690.0139643880.0211.50382530.0249093830.0111
7.42.3225532E-52.5271327E-50.00.02.5271327E-50.09.95342E-51.0830127E-43.0E-42.77005053.0827962E-42.0E-40.00121115510.00131778490.0053.79424620.005512250.00420.0120457530.013181330.01931.46419220.023246880.0102
7.52.097765E-52.255199E-50.00.02.255199E-50.08.9901114E-59.664787E-53.0E-43.10405182.9662854E-42.0E-40.00109399650.00117606450.00433.65626220.0046719480.00350.0108862640.0117742420.01651.40136410.0200753380.0084
7.61.511254E-51.6054873E-50.00.01.6054873E-50.06.476642E-56.880483E-53.0E-44.3601592.6879107E-42.0E-47.882459E-48.373847E-40.00263.1049050.002835710.0020.0078545580.0084151570.01011.20021530.0128772880.0045
7.79.934069E-61.0737777E-50.00.01.0737777E-50.04.2573887E-54.601824E-51.0E-42.17305161.4601364E-41.0E-45.182138E-45.601284E-48.0E-41.4282449.5990434E-44.0E-40.005170070.0056579730.00581.02510210.0071494860.0015
7.86.7562896E-68.476972E-60.00.08.476972E-60.02.8955206E-53.6329377E-50.00.03.6329377E-50.03.5247262E-44.4222054E-44.0E-40.904526055.421763E-41.0E-40.00351914060.0044715470.00440.98399950.00536752269.0E-4
7.93.975453E-65.4006227E-60.00.05.4006227E-60.01.7037546E-52.3145321E-50.00.02.3145321E-50.02.0741238E-42.8175794E-42.0E-40.709829153.8172977E-41.0E-40.0020721890.00284868640.00270.94780520.00334726235.0E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.0875034E-60.00.02.0875034E-60.07.169782E-68.946412E-60.00.08.946412E-60.08.7288594E-51.08917164E-40.00.01.08917164E-40.08.7254314E-40.0011018217.0E-40.63531190.00120171081.0E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1632464E-70.00.03.1632464E-70.01.5742813E-61.3556764E-60.00.01.3556764E-60.01.9166706E-51.6505252E-50.00.01.6505252E-50.01.9165053E-41.6705292E-40.00.01.6705292E-40.0

Tank Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.7988127E-51.0E-41.7244915.7988127E-50.02.0691741E-42.485007E-49.0E-43.621729.483268E-47.0E-40.00251630880.00302196760.01214.0040140.0135899340.01060.024880060.029875380.05031.68366050.061016380.0321
6.11.7796336E-52.088055E-51.0E-44.7891462.088055E-50.07.626778E-58.948522E-53.0E-43.35250881.8947627E-41.0E-49.281647E-40.00108897640.00474.315980.00498472950.00390.0092429750.0108400650.01831.68818180.0216219090.0109
6.21.7796336E-52.088055E-51.0E-44.7891462.088055E-50.07.626778E-58.948522E-53.0E-43.35250881.8947627E-41.0E-49.281647E-40.00108897640.00474.315980.00498472950.00390.0092429750.0108400650.01831.68818180.0216219090.0109
6.31.3515912E-51.5764776E-51.0E-46.3432561.5764776E-50.05.792405E-56.7561705E-52.0E-42.96025681.6755496E-41.0E-47.049971E-48.2227704E-40.00313.77001880.00342013920.00260.0070276470.0081945270.01291.57422150.015732250.0076
6.41.0870146E-51.2622026E-51.0E-47.9226591.2622026E-50.04.658551E-55.4093372E-51.0E-41.84865525.4093372E-50.05.67031E-46.5840554E-40.00243.64516970.00255715450.00190.0056558630.00656612730.00951.44681940.0120300140.0055
6.57.964826E-69.1988495E-61.0E-410.8709259.1988495E-60.03.4134522E-53.9423103E-51.0E-42.53658373.9423103E-50.04.1550855E-44.798812E-40.00173.54254360.00167930530.00120.00414732470.00478932260.00621.29454640.0081730390.0034
6.66.6317E-67.6144606E-61.0E-413.1329067.6144606E-60.02.8421264E-53.263305E-51.0E-43.06437833.263305E-50.03.4597394E-43.97244E-40.00112.7690790.00119692628.0E-40.00345435790.0039660630.00421.05898480.0061573370.0022
6.74.793663E-65.4321517E-60.00.05.4321517E-60.02.0544108E-52.3280467E-50.00.02.3280467E-50.02.500958E-42.834072E-47.0E-42.46994427.832655E-45.0E-40.00249814520.00283071960.00270.95382110.00412703960.0013
6.84.382823E-64.9704663E-60.00.04.9704663E-60.01.8783392E-52.1301848E-50.00.02.1301848E-50.02.286638E-42.593234E-45.0E-41.92809446.592197E-44.0E-40.00228428650.00259044650.00190.73346430.0035878560.001
6.92.729601E-63.0742544E-60.00.03.0742544E-60.01.1698237E-51.3175317E-50.00.01.3175317E-50.01.4241673E-41.6039891E-43.0E-41.8703374.6035077E-43.0E-40.0014232550.00160283398.0E-40.499115970.0020021934.0E-4
7.01.8987357E-62.1273177E-60.00.02.1273177E-60.08.137413E-69.117048E-60.00.09.117048E-60.09.90685E-51.109951E-43.0E-42.70282224.109618E-43.0E-49.902435E-40.00110946534.0E-40.360534040.00140913243.0E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.6644278E-60.00.01.6644278E-60.06.398121E-67.133246E-60.00.07.133246E-60.07.789434E-58.68444E-52.0E-42.30296952.8682704E-42.0E-47.786704E-48.681625E-42.0E-40.230371620.00106798882.0E-4
7.21.069082E-61.183091E-60.00.01.183091E-60.04.581772E-65.070383E-60.00.05.070383E-60.05.5781646E-56.17307E-50.00.06.17307E-50.05.576765E-46.1718776E-40.00.06.1718776E-40.0
7.38.776551E-79.772039E-70.00.09.772039E-70.03.7613736E-64.188013E-60.00.04.188013E-60.04.579376E-55.0988387E-50.00.05.0988387E-50.04.5784327E-45.098179E-40.00.05.098179E-40.0
7.47.55721E-78.5109815E-70.00.08.5109815E-70.03.2388E-63.6475615E-60.00.03.6475615E-60.03.9431678E-54.4408673E-50.00.04.4408673E-50.03.942468E-44.4404884E-40.00.04.4404884E-40.0
7.55.587665E-76.3061736E-70.00.06.3061736E-70.02.3947114E-62.7026458E-60.00.02.7026458E-60.02.915522E-53.2904714E-50.00.03.2904714E-50.02.9151395E-43.2904715E-40.00.03.2904715E-40.0

Cerro Prieto

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9101528E-45.981856E-45.0E-40.8358617.980659E-42.0E-40.00124661220.0025613770.00160.6246640.00286060853.0E-40.0150722310.0306945280.01850.60271330.0358318460.00530.140899790.25458340.17660.69368230.280002120.0341
6.12.9101528E-45.981856E-45.0E-40.8358617.980659E-42.0E-40.00124661220.0025613770.00160.6246640.00286060853.0E-40.0150722310.0306945280.01850.60271330.0358318460.00530.140899790.25458340.17660.69368230.280002120.0341
6.22.9101528E-45.981856E-45.0E-40.8358617.980659E-42.0E-40.00124661220.0025613770.00160.6246640.00286060853.0E-40.0150722310.0306945280.01850.60271330.0358318460.00530.140899790.25458340.17660.69368230.280002120.0341
6.32.9101528E-45.981856E-45.0E-40.8358617.980659E-42.0E-40.00124661220.0025613770.00160.6246640.00286060853.0E-40.0150722310.0306945280.01850.60271330.0358318460.00530.140899790.25458340.17660.69368230.280002120.0341
6.42.508648E-45.1559124E-45.0E-40.96976057.154881E-42.0E-40.00107469180.00220800520.00130.588766750.00250734273.0E-40.0130060880.0265218060.01610.60704770.0313891950.0050.122706850.22503770.15530.690106630.249139030.0311
6.52.508648E-45.1559124E-45.0E-40.96976057.154881E-42.0E-40.00107469180.00220800520.00130.588766750.00250734273.0E-40.0130060880.0265218060.01610.60704770.0313891950.0050.122706850.22503770.15530.690106630.249139030.0311
6.62.294914E-44.7273084E-45.0E-41.05768436.726363E-42.0E-49.831638E-40.0020246050.00130.64210060.00232399743.0E-40.0119044820.0243566370.01480.60763730.0287470310.00450.112865860.20923960.14420.68916210.232171650.029
6.71.9621674E-44.0567195E-44.0E-40.986018366.055908E-42.0E-48.4065786E-40.00173759519.0E-40.517957270.0020370743.0E-40.0101870710.0209710930.01270.60559550.0251809170.00430.097325390.183515520.12380.67460230.205315660.0267
6.81.5476145E-43.0686287E-43.0E-40.97763545.068015E-42.0E-46.6309475E-40.00131456677.0E-40.532494840.00161417243.0E-40.0080433350.0158954150.01010.635403340.0196350140.00380.077583630.143925040.09180.637832050.161817010.0209
6.91.20509176E-42.2679665E-43.0E-41.32277084.267513E-42.0E-45.1636563E-49.716874E-47.0E-40.720396340.00127139583.0E-40.0062686450.01178115050.00690.58568130.01435051950.00260.0609473740.109961920.06770.61566770.123045480.0147
7.09.3269155E-51.6794559E-42.0E-41.19086192.679288E-41.0E-43.9966372E-47.196117E-45.0E-40.694819159.1946777E-42.0E-40.00485505440.0087337980.00440.503790.0103198230.00160.047503440.083583860.05030.60179080.0932062340.0105
7.15.029709E-58.214957E-51.0E-41.21729181.8214136E-41.0E-42.1554115E-43.5204153E-43.0E-40.852172144.5200635E-41.0E-40.00262105530.00428113160.00190.443807870.00517727859.0E-40.0259035560.042593050.02620.61512380.0488161970.0065
7.26.5445185E-86.905684E-80.00.06.905684E-80.02.8047933E-72.9595788E-70.00.02.9595788E-70.03.4148304E-63.6032873E-60.00.03.6032873E-60.03.414778E-53.6032874E-50.00.03.6032874E-50.0

Imperial

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.0759333E-42.0E-40.39401626.075426E-41.0E-40.00117788690.00217362590.0010.460060780.00277232176.0E-40.01424676550.0261384320.01280.489700350.0302286520.00420.133672490.228727850.14340.6269460.25325430.0318
6.12.5356023E-44.883681E-42.0E-40.409527155.8831926E-41.0E-40.0010862340.00209136590.0010.478156420.0026901116.0E-40.0131449280.0251667050.01180.468873440.0289685560.00390.1239401550.220083040.13610.61840290.243480560.03
6.22.4820742E-44.7928892E-42.0E-40.417284855.7924096E-41.0E-40.00106331240.00205251640.0010.487206820.0026512856.0E-40.012869190.024705170.01150.465489630.028313760.00370.121489270.216582270.1330.61408540.238909680.0285
6.32.3205351E-44.604867E-42.0E-40.434323075.6044065E-41.0E-49.94136E-40.00197205887.0E-40.354958980.00247107285.0E-40.0120365990.0237460830.01060.446389440.026967720.00330.114051330.208486210.12590.60387690.229540480.0266
6.42.0304754E-44.0030622E-41.0E-40.249808764.0030622E-40.08.6991355E-40.00171448495.0E-40.29163280.00201397043.0E-40.0105398690.0206791760.00880.425548850.023127480.00250.1005376350.185623720.10810.58236090.203458550.0219
6.51.854992E-43.7132268E-41.0E-40.269307553.7132268E-40.07.9475436E-40.00159042474.0E-40.251505140.00179010662.0E-40.0096332810.0192002410.00830.432286230.021259920.00210.09226230.173829870.09840.566070740.190105420.0197
6.61.6586106E-43.4165574E-41.0E-40.292692273.4165574E-40.07.106394E-40.00146342764.0E-40.273330930.00166313482.0E-40.0086177630.0176755710.00750.424314470.019247290.00160.082911320.161263020.08840.548172830.17568930.0172
6.71.4224656E-43.0879653E-41.0E-40.323837823.0879653E-40.06.094856E-40.00132275083.0E-40.226800080.00142261851.0E-40.00739526930.0159868470.00680.425349650.0171676630.00120.071539550.146923470.08020.545862440.15963430.0149
6.81.2317259E-42.7886406E-41.0E-40.358597642.7886406E-40.05.2777573E-40.00119459063.0E-40.251132070.00129447111.0E-40.00640675470.0144485440.00620.429108980.0155326510.00110.062251660.13331880.07260.544559360.144585650.013
6.99.859898E-52.508552E-41.0E-40.398636342.508552E-40.04.2249862E-40.0010746553.0E-40.279159370.00117454761.0E-40.00513179460.0130064010.00580.445934270.0140920940.00110.050148930.119696140.06610.552231670.129731610.0114
7.07.3191884E-52.1319548E-41.0E-40.46905312.1319548E-40.03.136418E-49.133782E-43.0E-40.3284510.00101328691.0E-40.0038119040.0110643670.0050.45190110.0120533030.0010.0374717640.102280770.05720.55924490.111168190.0099
7.17.1760296E-52.1020204E-41.0E-40.475732772.1020204E-40.03.0750787E-49.00558E-43.0E-40.333126780.0010004681.0E-40.0037374820.0109098550.00480.439969180.0118989450.0010.036752450.1009147240.0560.5549240.109456030.0095
7.26.46614E-51.918683E-41.0E-40.52119091.918683E-40.02.7709085E-48.220366E-41.0E-40.121649098.220366E-40.00.00336836280.0099629930.00430.431597230.0108540259.0E-40.0331776250.092716580.05080.54790630.100519220.0086
7.36.088115E-51.7856332E-41.0E-40.56002541.7856332E-40.02.6089314E-47.6504983E-41.0E-40.130710447.6504983E-40.00.00317174760.009275280.00410.44203520.0101669329.0E-40.0312685850.086759310.04760.54864430.0942478850.0082
7.44.199346E-51.1547368E-40.00.01.1547368E-40.01.7995955E-44.947942E-40.00.04.947942E-40.00.00218880570.00600765040.00270.449426950.00640524744.0E-40.021673720.0576024730.03260.56594790.06287990.0056
7.53.130448E-58.3637824E-50.00.08.3637824E-50.01.3415517E-43.583989E-40.00.03.583989E-40.00.00163211530.00435483640.00150.344444630.00465352973.0E-40.0162018030.0422698450.02220.52519710.0460049920.0039
7.62.3074248E-56.1101324E-50.00.06.1101324E-50.09.888588E-52.6183666E-40.00.02.6183666E-40.00.00120327060.00318322470.0010.314146850.00348226963.0E-40.0119677610.0311440290.0160.513742150.0338568240.0028
7.71.45864815E-54.0337494E-50.00.04.0337494E-50.06.2511994E-51.7286355E-40.00.01.7286355E-40.07.608177E-40.00210258765.0E-40.237802210.00230216722.0E-40.0075821820.0207261820.01060.511430440.0224888750.0018
7.81.0352979E-53.1141328E-50.00.03.1141328E-50.04.4369157E-51.3345601E-40.00.01.3345601E-40.05.400606E-40.00162361845.0E-40.307954130.00182329362.0E-40.00538750.0161002730.0080.496886010.0176745110.0016
7.98.137906E-62.2293823E-50.00.02.2293823E-50.03.4876273E-59.5541465E-50.00.09.5541465E-50.04.2453592E-40.00116259764.0E-40.344057140.00136236512.0E-40.0042372580.0116859310.00520.444979520.0126742450.001
8.06.93792E-61.8133142E-50.00.01.8133142E-50.02.9733603E-57.7711156E-50.00.07.7711156E-50.03.6194647E-49.457234E-43.0E-40.31721750.00104562881.0E-40.00361357510.0095603750.00430.44977320.0103527268.0E-4
8.13.4286315E-66.4374326E-60.00.06.4374326E-60.01.4694053E-52.7588707E-50.00.02.7588707E-50.01.7888541E-43.3584086E-42.0E-40.595520144.3580728E-41.0E-40.00178741480.00351496670.00140.39829680.00371426372.0E-4
8.21.4906886E-61.9589627E-60.00.01.9589627E-60.06.3886496E-68.395528E-60.00.08.395528E-60.07.7779034E-51.0221079E-41.0E-40.97837032.0220056E-41.0E-47.775182E-40.00111901048.0E-40.714917360.00131878662.0E-4
8.32.5758007E-81.472276E-80.00.01.472276E-80.01.10391454E-76.309754E-80.00.06.309754E-80.01.3440151E-67.6821254E-70.00.07.6821254E-70.01.344007E-58.005359E-60.00.08.005359E-60.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.7776554E-43.0E-40.62792315.777178E-41.0E-49.6485513E-40.00204599720.0010.488759250.00264476966.0E-40.0116839880.024620130.01380.560516950.0284241120.00390.110884230.213989690.1510.705641450.238434610.0311
6.12.2521618E-44.7776554E-42.0E-40.418615375.777178E-41.0E-49.6485513E-40.00204599728.0E-40.39100740.00254497425.0E-40.0116839880.024620130.01160.471159160.0281314980.00360.110884230.213989690.13220.617786770.235997990.028
6.22.198148E-44.6857816E-42.0E-40.426823145.6853134E-41.0E-49.417233E-40.00200668358.0E-40.398667780.002505685.0E-40.0114053430.0241528280.01130.46785410.0274707080.00340.108374280.210419180.1290.6130620.231264110.0264
6.32.1704129E-44.6292474E-42.0E-40.432035655.6287844E-41.0E-49.298453E-40.00198249158.0E-40.403532650.00248150025.0E-40.0112622340.0238658670.01110.46509940.027087110.00330.1070827250.208308760.12680.608711840.228892730.026
6.41.876142E-44.0180507E-41.0E-40.24887694.0180507E-40.08.038131E-40.00172089976.0E-40.348654840.00202038353.0E-40.009742590.0207513240.00930.44816420.0231994450.00250.0932636860.18506280.10880.587908570.202339470.0212
6.51.7390939E-43.7607548E-41.0E-40.265904073.7607548E-40.07.45113E-40.00161076875.0E-40.31041080.00181044662.0E-40.0090340780.019437280.00880.452738260.0214964620.00210.0867552160.174875720.10020.57297830.190718110.0192
6.61.591791E-43.501572E-41.0E-40.2855863.501572E-40.06.8201777E-40.00149982085.0E-40.333373160.00169952092.0E-40.0082719960.0181091610.0080.441765340.0196801870.00160.079707740.16426860.09120.555188240.178643180.0172
6.71.4268003E-43.2173036E-41.0E-40.310819273.2173036E-40.06.1134255E-40.0013781244.0E-40.290249650.00147798621.0E-40.0074177230.0166509110.00730.438414420.017830930.00120.071749560.15237470.08370.54930380.165173830.0151
6.81.239713E-42.9151302E-41.0E-40.343037842.9151302E-40.05.3119735E-40.00124874964.0E-40.320320430.00134862471.0E-40.00644816740.0150989830.00670.443738460.0161823740.00110.062642430.138764340.07620.54913240.150218770.0133
6.91.0180238E-42.632997E-41.0E-40.379795342.632997E-40.04.3622297E-40.00112794354.0E-40.354627670.00122783081.0E-40.0052980890.0136472490.00630.46163150.0147322370.00110.051735430.125266820.06980.55721060.135588680.0118
7.07.6619996E-52.2456683E-41.0E-40.445301742.2456683E-40.03.283301E-49.6207747E-44.0E-40.415766920.00106198131.0E-40.00399009320.0116510980.00550.472058530.0126394460.0010.0391920660.107500310.06050.56278910.1165145560.0101
7.17.5127435E-52.2139131E-41.0E-40.451688922.2139131E-40.03.2193496E-49.4847806E-44.0E-40.421728250.00104838321.0E-40.00391251550.0114872820.00530.46137980.0124757950.0010.0384434420.1060617640.05930.55910820.1147329660.0097
7.26.788582E-52.0264927E-41.0E-40.49346342.0264927E-40.02.9090676E-48.6821086E-42.0E-40.230358788.6821086E-40.00.00353603860.0105198780.00480.456279070.011410419.0E-40.0348030.097726780.0540.55256090.105576550.0087
7.36.399602E-51.8893633E-41.0E-40.52927881.8893633E-40.02.7423984E-48.0947875E-42.0E-40.247072588.0947875E-40.00.00333375860.0098114620.00460.46883940.0107026319.0E-40.032841880.091613540.05080.55450320.0991531460.0083
7.44.506759E-51.2570761E-40.00.01.2570761E-40.01.9313251E-45.386365E-41.0E-40.185653945.386365E-40.00.00234885260.00653835670.00320.48941960.00693574134.0E-40.0232418050.06254510.03580.5723870.067888590.0057
7.53.43289E-59.37045E-50.00.09.37045E-50.01.4711556E-44.0152922E-41.0E-40.249047884.0152922E-40.00.00178966030.0048777230.0020.41002740.00517625973.0E-40.017753160.047212130.02550.54011540.0510232820.004
7.62.5980507E-57.0832735E-50.00.07.0832735E-50.01.1134028E-43.0353366E-41.0E-40.329452753.0353366E-40.00.0013547250.00368928470.00150.40658290.0039881783.0E-40.0134649590.0359777920.01930.536442040.038773460.0029
7.71.7292105E-54.9664726E-50.00.04.9664726E-50.07.4106916E-52.1283148E-41.0E-40.469855282.1283148E-40.09.018782E-40.00258814990.0010.386376380.00278763242.0E-40.0089822670.0254082660.01380.543130340.027259990.0019
7.81.2927471E-53.9916846E-50.00.03.9916846E-50.05.5402274E-51.71061E-41.0E-40.58458681.71061E-40.06.743139E-40.00208068080.0010.480611920.00228026462.0E-40.00672271430.0205341580.01110.54056270.022199250.0017
7.91.0200774E-52.8926304E-50.00.02.8926304E-50.04.371687E-51.2396398E-41.0E-40.806685861.2396398E-40.05.321229E-40.00150821788.0E-40.53042740.00170791612.0E-40.0053085050.0150757370.00720.477588620.0160606620.001
8.08.650396E-62.343218E-50.00.02.343218E-50.03.70726E-51.0041976E-41.0E-40.99581991.0041976E-40.04.5126543E-40.00122192576.0E-40.49102820.00132180351.0E-40.00450350160.0122837190.00590.480310560.0130738928.0E-4
8.13.9368224E-67.3941383E-60.00.07.3941383E-60.01.6871985E-53.168878E-50.00.03.168878E-50.02.0539707E-43.8574272E-42.0E-40.51848034.8570416E-41.0E-40.00205207310.00403436460.00190.470953940.00423355772.0E-4
8.21.7101195E-62.2434722E-60.00.02.2434722E-60.07.329063E-69.614846E-60.00.09.614846E-60.08.922769E-51.17054486E-41.0E-40.8543032.1704278E-41.0E-48.9191867E-40.0012798479.0E-40.703209040.0014795912.0E-4
8.33.0346666E-81.7478676E-80.00.01.7478676E-80.01.3005713E-77.490861E-80.00.07.490861E-80.01.5834444E-69.1201224E-70.00.09.1201224E-70.01.5834332E-59.507439E-60.00.09.507439E-60.0

Laguna Salada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6465593E-54.6374953E-52.0E-44.31267262.4636567E-42.0E-41.9912305E-41.9873469E-45.0E-42.5159176.986353E-45.0E-40.00242162780.00241699020.00512.11006240.00560925570.00320.023954080.0240042340.05112.1287910.0475257340.0241
6.13.982297E-53.726797E-51.0E-42.68326931.3726424E-41.0E-41.706587E-41.5971079E-43.0E-41.87839534.5966287E-43.0E-40.00207578970.00194284080.00251.28677560.00343992650.00150.0205650650.0193576630.01981.02285080.0286737640.0095
6.23.6067784E-53.2621447E-51.0E-43.06546781.3261818E-41.0E-41.5456705E-41.3979933E-43.0E-42.1459334.397574E-43.0E-40.00188022950.00170082250.00241.4110820.00319827120.00150.0186440030.0169684680.01781.04900460.0252259340.0084
6.33.2859112E-52.886509E-51.0E-43.46439271.288622E-41.0E-41.4081717E-41.2370222E-43.0E-42.42517854.2366513E-43.0E-40.00171310060.00150512750.00221.46167020.00290302020.00140.0169995460.0150353750.01591.05750610.0226196010.0077
6.42.9132116E-52.486555E-51.0E-44.02162841.2486306E-41.0E-41.2484594E-41.065628E-43.0E-42.81524134.0653083E-43.0E-40.00151893960.00129671870.00211.61947230.0025950330.00130.0150859920.0129664080.01371.05657630.0199743470.0071
6.52.7075037E-52.2836655E-51.0E-44.3789251.2283438E-41.0E-41.1603071E-49.786821E-53.0E-43.06534673.9783886E-43.0E-40.00141175840.00119098250.00181.51135720.00228967240.00110.0140282330.01191670450.01251.04894770.0182404390.0064
6.62.2367465E-51.8582863E-51.0E-45.38130241.18581E-41.0E-49.5857045E-57.963887E-53.0E-43.76700473.7961497E-43.0E-40.00116643469.6925435E-40.00151.54758140.00206818830.00110.0116033110.0097068660.01051.08170860.0150544490.0054
6.71.9458053E-51.5921958E-51.0E-46.2806351.1592037E-41.0E-48.338899E-56.823563E-53.0E-44.396533.6821517E-43.0E-40.0010147888.305326E-40.00131.56526060.0018297020.0010.0101016650.0083243090.0091.08117080.0128860180.0046
6.81.0767866E-59.187769E-61.0E-410.8840351.0918685E-41.0E-44.614718E-53.9375944E-51.0E-42.53962161.39372E-41.0E-45.6169706E-44.793654E-46.0E-41.25165498.7917363E-44.0E-40.00560279420.0048108340.00491.01853440.0071992880.0024
6.92.1384765E-61.7916839E-60.00.01.7916839E-60.09.164866E-67.678625E-60.00.07.678625E-60.01.1157654E-49.3483635E-50.00.09.3483635E-50.00.00111520539.344814E-49.0E-40.9631010.0010343881.0E-4
7.02.0952946E-61.7496179E-60.00.01.7496179E-60.08.979802E-67.498343E-60.00.07.498343E-60.01.0932361E-49.128889E-50.00.09.128889E-50.00.00109269849.125521E-49.0E-40.986245040.00101246081.0E-4
7.11.7887576E-61.4503129E-60.00.01.4503129E-60.07.666081E-66.2156137E-60.00.06.2156137E-60.09.333054E-57.5672775E-50.00.07.5672775E-50.09.329135E-47.5650046E-46.0E-40.793125758.5642486E-41.0E-4
7.29.723109E-77.1374586E-70.00.07.1374586E-70.04.16704E-63.058908E-60.00.03.058908E-60.05.073253E-53.7241738E-50.00.03.7241738E-50.05.072095E-43.7237123E-42.0E-40.537098474.7233398E-41.0E-4

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.5768037E-41.0E-40.279579223.5768037E-40.07.751381E-40.00153202530.00120.78327690.00183156563.0E-40.009396540.0184952990.01270.686660950.020850910.00240.0900900660.166937050.11950.71583870.182931870.0192
6.11.8091932E-43.5768037E-41.0E-40.279579223.5768037E-40.07.751381E-40.00153202530.00120.78327690.00183156563.0E-40.009396540.0184952990.01270.686660950.020850910.00240.0900900660.166937050.11950.71583870.182931870.0192
6.21.8091932E-43.5768037E-41.0E-40.279579223.5768037E-40.07.751381E-40.00153202530.00120.78327690.00183156563.0E-40.009396540.0184952990.01270.686660950.020850910.00240.0900900660.166937050.11950.71583870.182931870.0192
6.31.7322872E-43.4323483E-41.0E-40.291345723.4323483E-40.07.4219756E-40.00147018690.00110.748204230.00166989282.0E-40.00899887550.01775490.01220.68713430.0200140630.00230.086430750.160865440.11550.71799140.176305520.0184
6.41.6334097E-43.2403463E-41.0E-40.3086093.2403463E-40.06.998449E-40.00138798940.00110.792513250.00158771192.0E-40.0084873720.016769850.0110.65593910.0189329550.00220.0817044150.152742740.10940.716236950.167654470.0176
6.51.5600289E-43.107662E-41.0E-40.32178533.107662E-40.06.684125E-40.00133118370.0010.75121110.00153091752.0E-40.0081075980.016088620.01050.65263520.017958050.00190.0781810360.147014960.10540.716933850.160918610.0163
6.61.4046066E-42.8087836E-41.0E-40.356026022.8087836E-40.06.018354E-40.00120321580.0010.831106070.00140297522.0E-40.00730275550.0145522630.0090.618460540.0160304350.00150.070673840.134093750.09430.70323930.146909160.0148
6.71.14696966E-42.332083E-41.0E-40.42880122.332083E-40.04.914658E-49.990864E-45.0E-40.50045720.00109898651.0E-40.00596719240.0120971030.00720.595183850.0132825860.00120.0580948220.11291310.07620.674855230.123114610.0115
6.89.3874296E-51.8902002E-40.00.01.8902002E-40.04.0225635E-48.09838E-44.0E-40.493925969.09757E-41.0E-40.00488647870.0098159410.00590.601063130.0109051430.00110.0478041730.092761230.06130.66083640.1011985540.0093
6.95.551852E-51.0754485E-40.00.01.0754485E-40.02.3791482E-44.6082571E-43.0E-40.65100535.6077965E-41.0E-40.00289276540.00559623870.00350.625420030.00609344065.0E-40.0285539810.0543598160.03590.66041430.058993450.0049
7.04.2662363E-58.266462E-50.00.08.266462E-50.01.8282588E-43.5422924E-43.0E-40.84690924.541938E-41.0E-40.00222363280.0043042860.00270.62728170.0046029953.0E-40.0220151380.0421569720.02850.676044760.045700990.0037
7.13.305886E-56.318466E-50.00.06.318466E-50.01.4167312E-42.707634E-42.0E-40.73865222.707634E-40.00.00172350560.00329158060.0020.60761080.00349092232.0E-40.0171019980.0325301480.02110.648629070.0352390630.0028
7.22.9856887E-55.717015E-50.00.05.717015E-50.01.2795182E-42.44992E-42.0E-40.816353142.44992E-40.00.00155670010.00297871460.00180.604287450.0030784171.0E-40.0154584030.0295270770.0190.643477140.0316621180.0022
7.32.4559737E-54.6122455E-50.00.04.6122455E-50.01.0525176E-41.9765277E-42.0E-41.01187551.9765277E-40.00.00128068690.00240377970.00150.624017240.00250353921.0E-40.0127333130.0239200480.01530.639630850.0255793840.0017
7.41.9002231E-53.5159075E-50.00.03.5159075E-50.08.143559E-51.506731E-41.0E-40.66368851.506731E-40.09.910273E-40.00183291140.00120.65469610.00193272811.0E-40.0098661940.0183106360.0120.65535680.0197831690.0015
7.51.2783333E-52.341251E-50.00.02.341251E-50.05.4784563E-51.003355E-41.0E-40.99665621.003355E-40.06.667979E-40.0012209069.0E-40.737157460.0012209060.00.0066480070.012249340.00810.661260070.0132370910.001
7.64.8149627E-68.923048E-60.00.08.923048E-60.02.063539E-53.824108E-50.00.03.824108E-50.02.5120692E-44.6548693E-45.0E-41.0741444.6548693E-40.00.00250923140.00469813170.00350.7449770.00529531256.0E-4
7.76.0838227E-71.2145697E-60.00.01.2145697E-60.02.6073499E-65.2052883E-60.00.05.2052883E-60.03.174402E-56.337254E-50.00.06.337254E-50.03.1739488E-46.5726135E-43.0E-40.456439477.571956E-41.0E-4
7.84.5542808E-79.870333E-70.00.09.870333E-70.01.9518332E-64.2301363E-60.00.04.2301363E-60.02.376331E-55.1500694E-50.00.05.1500694E-50.02.3760769E-45.3593307E-43.0E-40.559771366.3587946E-41.0E-4
7.93.3016747E-77.4444273E-70.00.07.4444273E-70.01.4150027E-63.190465E-60.00.03.190465E-60.01.7227521E-53.884322E-50.00.03.884322E-50.01.7226185E-44.0212754E-42.0E-40.497354634.0212754E-40.0
8.02.347038E-75.512896E-70.00.05.512896E-70.01.0058731E-62.3626674E-60.00.02.3626674E-60.01.2246436E-52.8765098E-50.00.02.8765098E-50.01.2245761E-42.9556034E-42.0E-40.67668082.9556034E-40.0
8.11.18822804E-72.6248352E-70.00.02.6248352E-70.05.092405E-71.1249289E-60.00.01.1249289E-60.06.1999854E-61.3695924E-50.00.01.3695924E-50.06.199812E-51.4011926E-42.0E-41.42735561.4011926E-40.0

San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7072787E-41.9321378E-41.0E-40.51756142.9319446E-41.0E-47.3148566E-48.2779874E-42.0E-40.241604639.2771597E-41.0E-40.0088695280.0100323950.00690.6877720.012309320.00230.0852376450.097240110.06610.679760630.115295310.02
6.11.7072787E-41.9321378E-41.0E-40.51756142.9319446E-41.0E-47.3148566E-48.2779874E-42.0E-40.241604639.2771597E-41.0E-40.0088695280.0100323950.00690.6877720.012309320.00230.0852376450.097240110.06610.679760630.115295310.02
6.21.6312556E-41.8499688E-41.0E-40.540549642.8497836E-41.0E-46.989222E-47.926053E-42.0E-40.252332428.92526E-41.0E-40.0084762260.0096077740.00690.718168440.0118856760.00230.081601170.093244730.06330.678858760.110473080.019
6.31.5103363E-41.696726E-40.00.01.696726E-40.06.471264E-47.269678E-41.0E-40.137557677.269678E-40.00.0078503390.0088153630.00630.71466150.010896850.00210.0757873950.0858726050.0580.675419150.101869840.0175
6.41.5047993E-41.6853021E-40.00.01.6853021E-40.06.4475456E-47.220746E-41.0E-40.138489847.220746E-40.00.0078216690.0087562670.00630.71948470.0108378790.00210.07552030.085352280.05770.67602180.101175680.0173
6.51.2760791E-41.3811453E-40.00.01.3811453E-40.05.467764E-45.917866E-41.0E-40.168979855.917866E-40.00.00663670250.00718147540.00560.7797840.0089685490.00180.0644196350.070601230.04810.68129130.083984570.0144
6.61.1063525E-41.16256444E-40.00.01.16256444E-40.04.740649E-44.9814786E-41.0E-40.200743624.9814786E-40.00.00575647640.00604828870.00440.72747850.00763861140.00160.056096260.0598035570.03930.65715160.0711799340.0121
6.71.0391049E-41.07120344E-40.00.01.07120344E-40.04.4525467E-44.5900742E-41.0E-40.21786144.5900742E-40.00.00540750940.00557428550.0040.717580740.00706592440.00150.0527780350.055292940.03670.663737540.065873660.0112
6.81.0096706E-41.0222936E-40.00.01.0222936E-40.04.3264418E-44.3805322E-41.0E-40.228282764.3805322E-40.00.00525472830.00532043540.00390.733022750.00681245470.00150.0513219870.052985870.03530.666215360.063497720.0111
6.99.800265E-59.652303E-50.00.09.652303E-50.04.1994374E-44.1360548E-40.00.04.1360548E-40.00.00510083560.00502419050.00370.73643710.0065166540.00150.0498533060.050309250.03320.65991840.0602810.0105
7.09.4642375E-59.064239E-50.00.09.064239E-50.04.0554712E-43.8841044E-40.00.03.8841044E-40.00.0049263630.0047188080.00340.72052090.00601267350.00130.0481857470.0474849270.03120.65705060.056533820.0095
7.19.0996844E-58.41463E-50.00.08.41463E-50.03.8992817E-43.60578E-40.00.03.60578E-40.00.0047370460.0043813590.00320.7303670.00557610160.00120.046373330.0443309360.02920.65868220.0527408230.0088
7.28.848287E-58.040739E-50.00.08.040739E-50.03.791572E-43.4455847E-40.00.03.4455847E-40.00.0046064720.0041870860.00320.76425460.0053820620.00120.0451214720.042468490.02780.6546030.0507032570.0086
7.37.9280784E-56.175174E-50.00.06.175174E-50.03.3973053E-42.6462408E-40.00.02.6462408E-40.00.0041283770.00321714230.00240.74600370.0041142479.0E-40.0405251940.0331336820.02130.64285040.0394183140.0065
7.46.468038E-53.8249156E-50.00.03.8249156E-50.02.771722E-41.6391499E-40.00.01.6391499E-40.00.00336935020.0019938970.00150.75229560.00249295.0E-40.03318720.0209858440.01230.58610940.0246081950.0037
7.54.930574E-51.2850882E-50.00.01.2850882E-50.02.1129321E-45.5074055E-50.00.05.5074055E-50.00.00256945986.70322E-43.0E-40.447546127.7025493E-41.0E-40.025399530.00756950630.00420.554857850.008661180.0011
7.64.612566E-51.0467925E-50.00.01.0467925E-50.01.9766642E-44.4861772E-50.00.04.4861772E-50.00.00240393245.4605654E-43.0E-40.549393656.4600195E-41.0E-40.0237809350.00625183760.00360.57583070.0070468368.0E-4
7.73.9435414E-55.676751E-60.00.05.676751E-60.01.6899795E-42.4328705E-50.00.02.4328705E-50.00.00205560842.9616192E-42.0E-40.675306263.961323E-41.0E-40.0203669740.00360485210.0020.55480780.004003414.0E-4
7.82.7787428E-53.8282524E-60.00.03.8282524E-60.01.1908354E-41.6406693E-50.00.01.6406693E-50.00.00144887771.9973321E-42.0E-41.00133572.9971325E-41.0E-40.0143946750.0024322560.00150.616711440.00273152633.0E-4
7.91.590671E-53.098117E-60.00.03.098117E-60.06.816983E-51.3277578E-50.00.01.3277578E-50.08.2965166E-41.6164254E-42.0E-41.2372982.6162638E-41.0E-40.0082656110.00193836640.00120.6190780.00213797882.0E-4
8.09.193638E-62.639979E-60.00.02.639979E-60.03.940071E-51.1314146E-50.00.01.1314146E-50.04.7959806E-41.3774105E-42.0E-41.4522.3772728E-41.0E-40.00478564340.00163941560.00120.731968160.00183908772.0E-4
8.15.601576E-62.2782797E-60.00.02.2782797E-60.02.4006533E-59.764019E-60.00.09.764019E-60.02.9224035E-41.1887048E-42.0E-41.68250362.188586E-41.0E-40.00291856330.00142748650.0010.700531960.00152734391.0E-4
8.24.3508785E-61.8923428E-60.00.01.8923428E-60.01.864649E-58.110015E-60.00.08.110015E-60.02.2699735E-49.873499E-51.0E-41.01281219.873499E-50.00.00226765610.00117933388.0E-40.678349140.00117933380.0
8.31.9573292E-67.644817E-70.00.07.644817E-70.08.388526E-63.276346E-60.00.03.276346E-60.01.0212552E-43.98888E-50.00.03.98888E-50.00.0010207864.7157967E-42.0E-40.42410654.7157967E-40.0

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1212534E-52.0E-46.40768242.3120629E-42.0E-41.2181328E-41.3376189E-46.0E-44.48558247.3368166E-46.0E-40.00148206770.00162746770.00825.0385020.0090154240.00740.0147222230.0161689050.02731.6884260.0354519930.0196
6.12.8424427E-53.1212534E-52.0E-46.40768242.3120629E-42.0E-41.2181328E-41.3376189E-46.0E-44.48558247.3368166E-46.0E-40.00148206770.00162746770.00825.0385020.0090154240.00740.0147222230.0161689050.02731.6884260.0354519930.0196
6.22.8424427E-53.1212534E-52.0E-46.40768242.3120629E-42.0E-41.2181328E-41.3376189E-46.0E-44.48558247.3368166E-46.0E-40.00148206770.00162746770.00825.0385020.0090154240.00740.0147222230.0161689050.02731.6884260.0354519930.0196
6.31.48860645E-51.6084552E-51.0E-46.21714541.1608294E-41.0E-46.379586E-56.893213E-53.0E-44.3521073.6891145E-43.0E-47.7643775E-48.3895377E-40.00526.1981960.00553501070.00470.0077373050.0083606860.01812.16489430.0214503240.0132
6.41.48860645E-51.6084552E-51.0E-46.21714541.1608294E-41.0E-46.379586E-56.893213E-53.0E-44.3521073.6891145E-43.0E-47.7643775E-48.3895377E-40.00526.1981960.00553501070.00470.0077373050.0083606860.01812.16489430.0214503240.0132
6.51.2797581E-51.3768208E-51.0E-47.2631091.1376683E-41.0E-45.4845623E-55.9005415E-52.0E-43.38951952.5899362E-42.0E-46.675408E-47.1817986E-40.00456.265840.00481523530.00410.0066553920.00716114040.01592.22031660.0188766380.0118
6.69.661896E-61.02909025E-51.0E-49.717321.10289875E-41.0E-44.1407468E-54.4103213E-52.0E-44.53481672.440944E-42.0E-45.040193E-45.368406E-40.00376.8921760.00393501530.00340.0050287770.0053570430.01322.4640460.0154029370.0101
6.77.767871E-68.201107E-61.0E-412.1934761.08200285E-41.0E-43.329045E-53.5147208E-52.0E-45.69035242.3514018E-42.0E-44.0523586E-44.2784694E-40.00317.24558160.0032266490.00280.0040449770.00427158460.01082.52833560.0125361310.0083
6.86.4235196E-66.7368956E-61.0E-414.8436321.06736225E-41.0E-42.752908E-52.8872162E-51.0E-43.4635441.2886927E-41.0E-43.35115E-43.514747E-40.00236.5438560.00235077180.0020.0033461010.0035104490.00852.42134260.0101869290.0067
6.93.1283696E-63.1125849E-61.0E-432.127641.03112274E-41.0E-41.3407229E-51.333959E-51.0E-47.49648241.13338254E-41.0E-41.6322079E-41.6239891E-40.00159.2365150.00146218770.00130.00163100950.00162295070.00462.83434370.00531694570.0037
7.02.290603E-62.2289867E-61.0E-444.8634381.0222876E-41.0E-49.816834E-69.55277E-61.0E-410.4681671.0955182E-41.0E-41.19513395E-41.16299816E-40.0018.5984660.00101619529.0E-40.00119449140.00116249170.00332.83872990.0038593530.0027
7.11.293693E-61.1778702E-60.00.01.1778702E-60.05.5443866E-65.04801E-60.00.05.04801E-60.06.750081E-56.145848E-54.0E-46.50845863.6144003E-43.0E-46.7480316E-46.144834E-40.0011.62738340.00141399188.0E-4
7.24.715842E-73.0926506E-70.00.03.0926506E-70.02.0210737E-61.3254211E-60.00.01.3254211E-60.02.4606294E-51.6136888E-50.00.01.6136888E-50.02.460357E-41.6135769E-40.00.01.6135769E-40.0
7.33.9430947E-72.3105396E-70.00.02.3105396E-70.01.6898966E-69.902309E-70.00.09.902309E-70.02.0574296E-51.2055995E-50.00.01.2055995E-50.02.0572392E-41.20553486E-40.00.01.20553486E-40.0
7.43.547123E-71.9686452E-70.00.01.9686452E-70.01.5201948E-68.437048E-70.00.08.437048E-70.01.8508214E-51.0272058E-50.00.01.0272058E-50.01.8506673E-41.02715894E-40.00.01.02715894E-40.0
7.52.6354266E-71.442817E-70.00.01.442817E-70.01.129468E-66.1835E-70.00.06.1835E-70.01.3751187E-57.528386E-60.00.07.528386E-60.01.3750336E-47.5281365E-50.00.07.5281365E-50.0
7.61.269913E-77.57464E-80.00.07.57464E-80.05.4424834E-73.246274E-70.00.03.246274E-70.06.6262032E-63.9523316E-60.00.03.9523316E-60.06.626006E-53.952265E-50.00.03.952265E-50.0

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3104717E-53.0E-422.8925193.1310078E-43.0E-45.3086325E-55.6162025E-56.0E-410.6833756.5612834E-46.0E-46.461343E-46.835866E-40.00629.069810.0064796220.00580.00644258880.0068176490.01982.9042270.0238010680.0171
6.11.2387061E-51.3104717E-53.0E-422.8925193.1310078E-43.0E-45.3086325E-55.6162025E-56.0E-410.6833756.5612834E-46.0E-46.461343E-46.835866E-40.00629.069810.0064796220.00580.00644258880.0068176490.01982.9042270.0238010680.0171
6.21.2387061E-51.3104717E-53.0E-422.8925193.1310078E-43.0E-45.3086325E-55.6162025E-56.0E-410.6833756.5612834E-46.0E-46.461343E-46.835866E-40.00629.069810.0064796220.00580.00644258880.0068176490.01982.9042270.0238010680.0171
6.31.2387061E-51.3104717E-53.0E-422.8925193.1310078E-43.0E-45.3086325E-55.6162025E-56.0E-410.6833756.5612834E-46.0E-46.461343E-46.835866E-40.00629.069810.0064796220.00580.00644258880.0068176490.01982.9042270.0238010680.0171
6.41.2387061E-51.3104717E-53.0E-422.8925193.1310078E-43.0E-45.3086325E-55.6162025E-56.0E-410.6833756.5612834E-46.0E-46.461343E-46.835866E-40.00629.069810.0064796220.00580.00644258880.0068176490.01982.9042270.0238010680.0171
6.56.9922594E-67.3857796E-62.0E-427.0790652.073843E-42.0E-42.996648E-53.1652988E-54.0E-412.6370384.3164034E-44.0E-43.6478083E-43.853124E-40.004411.4193060.0045836940.00420.0036418260.00384698090.01443.74319530.0163985080.0126
6.66.9922594E-67.3857796E-62.0E-427.0790652.073843E-42.0E-42.996648E-53.1652988E-54.0E-412.6370384.3164034E-44.0E-43.6478083E-43.853124E-40.004411.4193060.0045836940.00420.0036418260.00384698090.01443.74319530.0163985080.0126
6.75.477277E-65.7867405E-62.0E-434.561772.0578559E-42.0E-42.3473833E-52.4800102E-53.0E-412.09672453.2479267E-43.0E-42.8575645E-43.019033E-40.003511.5931160.0036009070.00330.00285389270.00301531560.01163.84702680.01308486050.0101
6.83.9950432E-64.2195743E-62.0E-447.3981442.0421873E-42.0E-41.7121502E-51.808378E-52.0E-411.0596342.1808017E-42.0E-42.0843433E-42.2015054E-40.002611.8101010.00261962230.00240.00208238930.00219959560.00873.95527270.0097828790.0076
6.92.95695E-63.1233856E-62.0E-464.033082.0312276E-42.0E-41.2672582E-51.3385882E-52.0E-414.9411142.133832E-42.0E-41.5427776E-41.6296319E-40.002213.4999810.00216263720.0020.0015417070.00162865930.00684.17521330.0074192130.0058
7.01.456072E-61.5409967E-61.0E-464.893071.0154084E-41.0E-46.2402937E-66.6042603E-61.0E-415.1417411.066036E-41.0E-47.597293E-58.040491E-50.00112.4370519.803325E-49.0E-47.594696E-48.038571E-40.00313.85640670.00330184750.0025
7.16.995192E-77.409877E-70.00.07.409877E-70.02.997936E-63.1756615E-60.00.03.1756615E-60.03.649926E-53.866368E-54.0E-410.3456273.3865208E-43.0E-43.6493264E-43.866368E-40.0012.58640670.00118632748.0E-4

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5359087E-40.00.02.5359087E-40.05.27144E-40.00108636715.0E-40.46024960.00118625841.0E-40.00639910860.013146820.00770.5856930.015021840.00190.062179490.125020860.08370.669488250.139283020.0163
6.11.2302514E-42.5359087E-40.00.02.5359087E-40.05.27144E-40.00108636715.0E-40.46024960.00118625841.0E-40.00639910860.013146820.00770.5856930.015021840.00190.062179490.125020860.08370.669488250.139283020.0163
6.21.2203569E-42.5175686E-40.00.02.5175686E-40.05.2290526E-40.00107851355.0E-40.463601080.00117840561.0E-40.0063478040.0130523520.00770.5899320.0149275520.00190.0616951360.124208190.08370.67386860.13848360.0163
6.31.2142645E-42.5061538E-40.00.02.5061538E-40.05.202953E-40.00107362545.0E-40.465711770.00117351811.0E-40.0063162120.0129935510.00750.57720940.0147701630.00180.061396770.1237030850.08340.6741950.137899090.0162
6.41.1865206E-42.456614E-40.00.02.456614E-40.05.0840975E-40.00105241145.0E-40.47509940.00115230611.0E-40.0061723350.0127383140.00740.58092460.0145153860.00180.0600368680.121498850.08130.66914210.135115620.0155
6.51.17443946E-42.4358791E-40.00.02.4358791E-40.05.032341E-40.00104353225.0E-40.479141920.00114342781.0E-40.0061096770.0126314660.00730.577921870.0144087290.00180.0594440770.1205745640.08090.67095410.134117710.0154
6.61.13579066E-42.3665983E-40.00.02.3665983E-40.04.866766E-40.00101386375.0E-40.493162930.00111376241.0E-40.00590920170.0122743760.00730.59473490.0140522820.00180.0575451850.117486360.07870.6698650.130547550.0148
6.71.1271412E-42.3509929E-40.00.02.3509929E-40.04.829711E-40.00100718085.0E-40.49643520.00110708011.0E-40.0058643310.0121939260.00730.598658740.0139719760.00180.0571196970.116789010.07840.671296060.12968390.0146
6.81.1217975E-42.3397984E-40.00.02.3397984E-40.04.8068175E-40.00100238695.0E-40.49880940.00110228661.0E-40.0058366080.0121362120.00730.60150570.0139143660.00180.0568567250.1162866650.0780.670756160.129188880.0146
6.91.1146753E-42.3246332E-40.00.02.3246332E-40.04.7763053E-49.958926E-45.0E-40.50206220.0010957931.0E-40.00579965770.0120580210.00730.605406170.0138363160.00180.0565061270.115606380.07750.67037820.12825320.0143
7.01.0965793E-42.286848E-40.00.02.286848E-40.04.698779E-49.797111E-45.0E-40.51035450.00107961311.0E-40.0057057680.0118631740.00720.60692020.013641820.00180.0556147360.1139045060.07620.668981430.126575680.0143
7.19.927982E-52.0681857E-40.00.02.0681857E-40.04.2541555E-48.8606525E-45.0E-40.564292559.859767E-41.0E-40.00516714060.0107347810.00670.62413940.0124165310.00170.050486340.103988670.06930.666418730.1152784150.0126
7.29.696786E-52.0185078E-40.00.02.0185078E-40.04.1551032E-48.64789E-45.0E-40.57817579.647025E-41.0E-40.005047110.0104782630.00660.62987540.0120614970.00160.049340090.1017280.06740.662551160.112776740.0123
7.39.4727984E-51.9611928E-40.00.01.9611928E-40.04.0591392E-48.4024144E-44.0E-40.476053639.4015745E-41.0E-40.00493080870.0101822280.0060.5892620.0115679730.00140.0482282680.0990918060.06480.6539390.109632430.0117
7.49.220358E-51.8979918E-40.00.01.8979918E-40.03.9509835E-48.131724E-44.0E-40.491900629.1309106E-41.0E-40.0047997170.0098556820.00580.5884930.0112418840.00140.0469736530.0961560460.06290.6541450.1065502540.0115
7.57.71631E-51.5297742E-40.00.01.5297742E-40.03.306571E-46.5545295E-44.0E-40.6102657.553874E-41.0E-40.00401832070.0079510140.00480.603696640.0092406780.00130.039464330.078829220.05050.64062540.086751290.0086
7.67.5634416E-51.4955564E-40.00.01.4955564E-40.03.241072E-46.4079545E-43.0E-40.46816817.4073137E-41.0E-40.00393886720.00777384550.00470.604591370.0090637390.00130.0386977940.077187290.04930.63870620.08503120.0085
7.76.3783E-51.2464784E-40.00.01.2464784E-40.02.7332708E-45.340957E-43.0E-40.56169716.3404226E-41.0E-40.00332267980.00648325450.00380.58612540.0075761230.00110.0327343640.065032350.04050.622767030.070735650.0061
7.85.863422E-51.1512423E-40.00.01.1512423E-40.02.512653E-44.932963E-43.0E-40.608153765.93247E-41.0E-40.0030548640.00598936530.00320.534280360.00688397479.0E-40.0301320940.0601089820.03680.61222130.0649964140.0052
7.94.595283E-58.496884E-50.00.08.496884E-50.01.9692584E-43.6410138E-41.0E-40.27464883.6410138E-40.00.00239493580.0044239310.00230.519899670.00502127646.0E-40.0236928910.044695810.02680.59960880.0480393770.0035
8.03.2950178E-55.1213552E-50.00.05.1213552E-50.01.412074E-42.1946819E-41.0E-40.45564692.1946819E-40.00.00171784440.00266875280.00150.56206030.00316741835.0E-40.0170462560.0273985530.01480.54017450.0294410160.0021
8.11.9177472E-51.9403406E-50.00.01.9403406E-50.08.218658E-58.31548E-50.00.08.31548E-50.00.00100016220.00101194029.0E-40.88938070.00141153534.0E-40.0099567280.0108735550.00590.542600870.0117637689.0E-4
8.28.643924E-65.556491E-60.00.05.556491E-60.03.704486E-52.3813316E-50.00.02.3813316E-50.04.5092785E-42.8988862E-42.0E-40.68992013.8985963E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00329340550.00210.637637850.00359241733.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.792044E-70.00.07.792044E-70.08.498917E-63.3394433E-60.00.03.3394433E-60.01.034694E-44.065698E-50.00.04.065698E-50.00.00103421244.7958124E-42.0E-40.417030484.7958124E-40.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4475975E-40.00.02.4475975E-40.05.002454E-40.00104855045.0E-40.476848840.00114844541.0E-40.0060734930.0126918640.00720.56729260.0143702880.00170.05910160.121240630.08060.66479360.134685650.0153
6.11.1674632E-42.4475975E-40.00.02.4475975E-40.05.002454E-40.00104855045.0E-40.476848840.00114844541.0E-40.0060734930.0126918640.00720.56729260.0143702880.00170.05910160.121240630.08060.66479360.134685650.0153
6.21.1674632E-42.4475975E-40.00.02.4475975E-40.05.002454E-40.00104855045.0E-40.476848840.00114844541.0E-40.0060734930.0126918640.00720.56729260.0143702880.00170.05910160.121240630.08060.66479360.134685650.0153
6.31.1674632E-42.4475975E-40.00.02.4475975E-40.05.002454E-40.00104855045.0E-40.476848840.00114844541.0E-40.0060734930.0126918640.00720.56729260.0143702880.00170.05910160.121240630.08060.66479360.134685650.0153
6.41.1674632E-42.4475975E-40.00.02.4475975E-40.05.002454E-40.00104855045.0E-40.476848840.00114844541.0E-40.0060734930.0126918640.00720.56729260.0143702880.00170.05910160.121240630.08060.66479360.134685650.0153
6.51.13136164E-42.3795283E-40.00.02.3795283E-40.04.847792E-40.00101940085.0E-40.49048420.00111929891.0E-40.00588622550.012341030.0070.56721360.0140200510.00170.0573273340.1182165150.07870.66572760.131178740.0147
6.61.13136164E-42.3795283E-40.00.02.3795283E-40.04.847792E-40.00101940085.0E-40.49048420.00111929891.0E-40.00588622550.012341030.0070.56721360.0140200510.00170.0573273340.1182165150.07870.66572760.131178740.0147
6.71.1149675E-42.3486183E-40.00.02.3486183E-40.04.777557E-40.00100616395.0E-40.496936920.00110606331.0E-40.00580117340.0121816820.0070.57463330.0138609730.00170.056520510.116838210.07750.66331040.129555730.0144
6.81.1103589E-42.3388154E-40.00.02.3388154E-40.04.7578133E-40.0010019665.0E-40.499018970.00110186581.0E-40.0057772630.01213114150.0070.57702730.0138105180.00170.0562935840.1163981850.07720.66324060.129033680.0143
6.91.1053259E-42.3280336E-40.00.02.3280336E-40.04.7362508E-49.973487E-45.0E-40.50132920.0010972491.0E-40.00575114970.0120755510.0070.57968370.0137550220.00170.056045690.115914560.07680.662556950.128291760.014
7.01.1005377E-42.3180987E-40.00.02.3180987E-40.04.7157376E-49.930942E-45.0E-40.50347690.00109299481.0E-40.00572630620.0120243250.0070.582153260.0137038840.00170.0558097960.115466920.07660.663393440.127850380.014
7.11.0308142E-42.168768E-40.00.02.168768E-40.04.417027E-49.2914194E-45.0E-40.53813090.0010290491.0E-40.00536447760.0112539470.00680.604232430.0129348160.00170.0523681380.108733150.07220.664010940.120319620.013
7.21.0027479E-42.1094429E-40.00.02.1094429E-40.04.296783E-49.037347E-45.0E-40.553259730.00100364431.0E-40.00521879220.0109477620.00670.61199720.0125302460.00160.0509792120.1060356050.07040.66392790.1173889560.0127
7.39.816942E-52.0567664E-40.00.02.0567664E-40.04.2065824E-48.811745E-44.0E-40.45393969.810864E-41.0E-40.0051094930.0106758160.00630.59011880.0121598020.00150.0499359850.103613670.0680.65628410.114459940.0121
7.49.5634205E-51.9934587E-40.00.01.9934587E-40.04.0979648E-48.5406064E-44.0E-40.468350839.5397525E-41.0E-40.00497786370.010348880.00610.58943580.0118333560.00150.0486782530.1006864760.06610.65649330.111388310.0119
7.58.052417E-51.6238086E-40.00.01.6238086E-40.03.4505792E-46.9573254E-44.0E-40.57493367.95663E-41.0E-40.00419299030.0084377280.00510.60442810.0098259150.00140.041147530.08337670.05360.64286550.0915346440.0089
7.67.897024E-51.588967E-40.00.01.588967E-40.03.384E-46.808083E-43.0E-40.440652677.807402E-41.0E-40.00411223850.0082574170.0050.60551620.0096458570.00140.0403696970.081712660.05240.64127150.0897935850.0088
7.76.707427E-51.3387822E-40.00.01.3387822E-40.02.8742946E-45.7363766E-43.0E-40.52297826.7358033E-41.0E-40.0034938390.00696170750.00410.5889360.0081533530.00120.0343941640.069562870.04360.62677120.075517660.0064
7.86.147705E-51.2298524E-40.00.01.2298524E-40.02.6344648E-45.2697316E-43.0E-40.569288976.2692043E-41.0E-40.00320274360.00639704940.00340.531495030.00739065230.0010.0315697640.063982920.03930.61422640.069131020.0055
7.94.7636717E-58.952835E-50.00.08.952835E-50.02.0414138E-43.8363654E-41.0E-40.26066343.8363654E-40.00.00248258840.00466077960.00250.536390960.0053575177.0E-40.0245503650.046972440.02850.606738750.0504033380.0036
8.03.3554235E-55.2585798E-50.00.05.2585798E-50.01.4379594E-42.2534825E-41.0E-40.443757622.2534825E-40.00.00174930970.00274016480.00150.547412340.00323879465.0E-40.0173560340.0281031170.01510.537306960.0301441010.0021
8.11.9175432E-51.940323E-50.00.01.940323E-50.08.217783E-58.315406E-50.00.08.315406E-50.00.00100005580.00101193119.0E-40.88938860.00141152634.0E-40.0099556730.0108734370.00590.54260670.0117636519.0E-4
8.28.643924E-65.556491E-60.00.05.556491E-60.03.704486E-52.3813316E-50.00.02.3813316E-50.04.5092785E-42.8988862E-42.0E-40.68992013.8985963E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00329340550.00210.637637850.00359241733.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.792044E-70.00.07.792044E-70.08.498917E-63.3394433E-60.00.03.3394433E-60.01.034694E-44.065698E-50.00.04.065698E-50.00.00103421244.7958124E-42.0E-40.417030484.7958124E-40.0

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6406596E-51.0E-41.50587456.6406596E-50.02.1564208E-42.8457493E-46.0E-42.10840776.844611E-44.0E-40.00262228120.00346010220.00571.64735020.0072469540.00380.025915530.0341662130.03871.13269790.0470118040.0133
6.15.0320643E-56.6406596E-51.0E-41.50587456.6406596E-50.02.1564208E-42.8457493E-46.0E-42.10840776.844611E-44.0E-40.00262228120.00346010220.00571.64735020.0072469540.00380.025915530.0341662130.03871.13269790.0470118040.0133
6.22.4125871E-53.1005882E-51.0E-43.22519473.1005882E-50.01.0339249E-41.3287674E-44.0E-43.01030853.3285018E-42.0E-40.00125807660.00161674750.00412.53595570.0043123820.00270.0125097810.0160840380.02321.44242390.0256280210.0097
6.31.7433485E-52.2375922E-51.0E-44.469092.2375922E-50.07.471279E-59.5894175E-54.0E-44.1712652.9587498E-42.0E-49.0924866E-40.00116702470.00363.08476760.00346434050.00230.0090553730.011639930.01851.58935670.019843320.0083
6.41.7433485E-52.2375922E-51.0E-44.469092.2375922E-50.07.471279E-59.5894175E-54.0E-44.1712652.9587498E-42.0E-49.0924866E-40.00116702470.00363.08476760.00346434050.00230.0090553730.011639930.01851.58935670.019843320.0083
6.51.5182742E-51.9447936E-51.0E-45.14193341.9447936E-50.06.506727E-58.3346495E-54.0E-44.7992422.8332983E-42.0E-47.919061E-40.00101440770.00333.25312970.00311227750.00210.00789090.01012860050.01671.64879640.0179485850.0079
6.66.7271576E-68.559965E-60.00.08.559965E-60.02.8830356E-53.668508E-52.0E-45.4518082.3667775E-42.0E-43.5095305E-44.4655497E-40.00194.25479560.00224575120.00180.00350399320.00447475860.00861.92189130.0103483570.0059
6.76.682835E-68.49239E-60.00.08.49239E-60.02.8640408E-53.6395482E-52.0E-45.49518732.3638821E-42.0E-43.4864116E-44.4303059E-40.00194.2886430.00224223310.00180.0034809470.00443960770.00861.9371080.0103134140.0059
6.86.5774975E-68.338804E-60.00.08.338804E-60.02.8188972E-53.5737274E-52.0E-45.59639742.3573013E-42.0E-43.4314668E-44.350201E-40.00194.36761430.0022342370.00180.00342617280.0043596990.00851.94967580.0102339770.0059
6.96.363419E-68.011814E-60.00.08.011814E-60.02.727151E-53.4335928E-52.0E-45.8248032.3432905E-42.0E-43.3198006E-44.1796532E-40.00184.3065770.0022172130.00180.00331484550.0041896030.00842.00496320.0100648850.0059
7.06.1342453E-67.643804E-60.00.07.643804E-60.02.6289357E-53.2758777E-52.0E-46.1052342.3275222E-42.0E-43.2002592E-43.9877064E-40.00184.5138730.00219805280.00180.00319565440.00399817530.00822.05093550.0096753850.0057
7.15.842926E-67.154048E-60.00.07.154048E-60.02.504087E-53.0659878E-52.0E-46.52318332.3065375E-42.0E-43.0482994E-43.7322548E-40.00184.82282160.00217255370.00180.00304412140.00374339780.00782.08366850.0091231840.0054
7.24.77173E-65.3692247E-60.00.05.3692247E-60.02.045011E-52.3010783E-51.0E-44.34578851.2300849E-41.0E-42.4895166E-42.8012434E-40.00113.92682770.00137981620.00110.00248672930.0028145050.00451.59886030.00560662430.0028
7.33.0494948E-62.7183346E-60.00.02.7183346E-60.01.3069198E-51.1649954E-51.0E-48.5837251.1164879E-41.0E-41.5910587E-41.4182912E-45.0E-43.52536926.417582E-45.0E-40.00158991990.00142726810.0021.40127840.00252569820.0011
7.42.7263884E-62.3130556E-60.00.02.3130556E-60.01.1684469E-59.913058E-61.0E-410.0877051.0991206E-41.0E-41.4224913E-41.206849E-44.0E-43.31441645.206366E-44.0E-40.00142158110.00121501460.00171.39916010.0021139219.0E-4
7.52.6090431E-62.1728458E-60.00.02.1728458E-60.01.1181565E-59.3121635E-61.0E-410.7386431.0931123E-41.0E-41.3612706E-41.13369795E-44.0E-43.52827675.1332446E-44.0E-40.0013604370.00114171340.00161.40140260.00194088.0E-4
7.62.3008756E-61.8796261E-60.00.01.8796261E-60.09.860858E-68.0555155E-61.0E-412.4138551.0805471E-41.0E-41.20049335E-49.807157E-53.0E-43.05899053.9804215E-43.0E-40.0011998459.88478E-40.00141.41631880.00168778617.0E-4
7.71.7184348E-61.3482388E-60.00.01.3482388E-60.07.3646997E-65.7781535E-61.0E-417.3065661.0577757E-41.0E-48.966153E-57.034679E-53.0E-44.2645873.703257E-43.0E-48.962536E-47.11037E-40.00131.82831550.00141053937.0E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.451409E-70.00.08.451409E-70.03.6262625E-63.6220276E-60.00.03.6220276E-60.04.4148852E-54.4097316E-50.00.04.4097316E-50.04.414008E-44.463166E-45.0E-41.1202817.4618275E-43.0E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7885826E-70.00.03.7885826E-70.01.1643157E-61.6236773E-60.00.01.6236773E-60.01.4175452E-51.9768102E-50.00.01.9768102E-50.01.4174548E-41.994029E-43.0E-41.50449162.9938295E-41.0E-4
8.02.1995428E-83.405887E-80.00.03.405887E-80.09.426611E-81.4596658E-70.00.01.4596658E-70.01.1476893E-61.7771423E-60.00.01.7771423E-60.01.14768345E-51.7975697E-50.00.01.7975697E-50.0

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1721256E-42.3691072E-42.0E-40.844199843.3688705E-41.0E-45.022428E-40.00101477940.0010.98543580.00151427215.0E-40.00609767580.0122613880.00910.74216720.014335640.00210.05933050.112930040.09240.81820570.124728070.0133
6.16.99169E-51.38235E-42.0E-41.44681162.3822118E-41.0E-42.9960944E-45.922529E-47.0E-41.18192768.920752E-43.0E-40.00364164450.00718077640.00420.584894960.008372160.00120.0358254350.067875090.04780.704234840.07467960.0073
6.26.99169E-51.38235E-42.0E-41.44681162.3822118E-41.0E-42.9960944E-45.922529E-47.0E-41.18192768.920752E-43.0E-40.00364164450.00718077640.00420.584894960.008372160.00120.0358254350.067875090.04780.704234840.07467960.0073
6.36.970908E-51.3791629E-42.0E-41.45015512.3790248E-41.0E-42.9871898E-45.9088785E-47.0E-41.18465798.9071057E-43.0E-40.00363083950.00716430550.00420.586239640.0083557080.00120.0357208660.0677240.04770.70432940.074529610.0073
6.46.9517155E-51.375853E-42.0E-41.45364362.3757156E-41.0E-42.9789665E-45.8947026E-47.0E-41.18750688.8929344E-43.0E-40.00362086090.00714720930.00420.587641950.0083386330.00120.035624290.067567970.04760.70447580.074374720.0073
6.54.786248E-59.42896E-51.0E-41.06056249.42896E-50.02.0510878E-44.0403818E-44.0E-40.99000556.0395733E-42.0E-40.00249433940.00490850630.00290.590811130.00580408849.0E-40.024665270.046961880.03160.672886130.0518223760.0051
6.64.4662214E-58.895191E-51.0E-41.1242038.895191E-50.01.9139545E-43.8116938E-44.0E-41.04940225.8109313E-42.0E-40.00232774930.00463132750.00260.561394160.00542762228.0E-40.023035170.0443512570.02980.67190880.04912950.005
6.73.884542E-57.8776124E-51.0E-41.26942037.8776124E-50.01.6646975E-43.3757076E-42.0E-40.59246844.37537E-41.0E-40.0020248850.00410262450.00220.536242070.0047997537.0E-40.0200653360.0393882240.02640.67025110.0437109770.0045
6.83.4221863E-56.867095E-50.00.06.867095E-50.01.4665688E-42.9427328E-41.0E-40.339820183.9424386E-41.0E-40.00178408510.00357731340.00180.50317090.0041751676.0E-40.0176982950.034470460.02290.66433690.0378498140.0035
6.91.6927712E-53.0120449E-50.00.03.0120449E-50.07.2545314E-51.2908157E-41.0E-40.77470392.2906867E-41.0E-48.828813E-40.00157049238.0E-40.50939440.00177017822.0E-40.0087938190.0154902990.010.645565330.0164748080.001
7.01.2509653E-52.2515444E-50.00.02.2515444E-50.05.3611697E-59.6491436E-51.0E-41.03636151.964818E-41.0E-46.525269E-40.00117419436.0E-40.510988650.00127407691.0E-40.00650614170.0116072820.00740.63753080.0123979968.0E-4
7.18.751583E-61.4964945E-50.00.01.4964945E-50.03.750624E-56.4133936E-50.00.06.4133936E-50.04.5654282E-47.805568E-43.0E-40.3843417.805568E-40.00.00455606030.0077823590.00450.57823080.0081792464.0E-4
7.26.354379E-61.1535201E-50.00.01.1535201E-50.02.7232769E-54.943567E-50.00.04.943567E-50.03.3150852E-46.017179E-43.0E-40.49857256.017179E-40.00.00331014420.0060179860.00340.564973060.00621678262.0E-4
7.34.645554E-68.850168E-60.00.08.850168E-60.01.9909365E-53.7928767E-50.00.03.7928767E-50.02.4236954E-44.6168885E-42.0E-40.43319224.6168885E-40.00.00242105360.00462622060.00250.54039790.0047257581.0E-4
7.44.23437E-68.022218E-60.00.08.022218E-60.01.8147173E-53.4380504E-50.00.03.4380504E-50.02.2091944E-44.1850613E-42.0E-40.477890254.1850613E-40.00.00220699930.0041963990.00250.59574890.0042959791.0E-4
7.52.2187417E-63.9702777E-60.00.03.9702777E-60.09.508858E-61.701538E-50.00.01.701538E-50.01.157642E-42.071452E-40.00.02.071452E-40.00.00115703910.00208252650.00110.528204560.00208252650.0
7.62.7952495E-83.8859064E-80.00.03.8859064E-80.01.1979641E-71.6653883E-70.00.01.6653883E-70.01.4585203E-62.0276084E-60.00.02.0276084E-60.01.4585107E-52.0359977E-50.00.02.0359977E-50.0
7.71.7192724E-82.3486397E-80.00.02.3486397E-80.07.36831E-81.0065598E-70.00.01.0065598E-70.08.9709135E-71.2254859E-60.00.01.2254859E-60.08.970877E-61.231672E-50.00.01.231672E-50.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.2800532E-41.0E-40.30487313.2800532E-40.05.110118E-40.00140498458.0E-40.56940130.00150484391.0E-40.00620383540.0169728640.00740.435990070.0182507990.00130.0603347530.15292990.08740.57150370.164450050.0136
6.11.1925945E-43.2800532E-41.0E-40.30487313.2800532E-40.05.110118E-40.00140498458.0E-40.56940130.00150484391.0E-40.00620383540.0169728640.00740.435990070.0182507990.00130.0603347530.15292990.08740.57150370.164450050.0136
6.21.07432395E-43.030076E-41.0E-40.330024753.030076E-40.04.603433E-40.00129796176.0E-40.462263260.0013978321.0E-40.0055902860.0156892840.00680.433416840.0169688870.00130.054517310.14210340.07960.560155450.153513430.0133
6.31.0718766E-43.0246063E-41.0E-40.330621573.0246063E-40.04.592948E-40.00129561996.0E-40.46309880.00139549031.0E-40.0055775860.0156611820.00680.434194540.0169408230.00130.0543965550.141871720.07950.56036540.153284830.0133
6.41.0355944E-42.9454043E-41.0E-40.339511962.9454043E-40.04.4375064E-40.00126170955.0E-40.396287740.00136158321.0E-40.00538928850.0152541760.00660.432668420.0165343450.00130.0526044960.1384250.0780.56348210.149711620.0131
6.51.0227914E-42.9173444E-41.0E-40.34277752.9173444E-40.04.382655E-40.00124969535.0E-40.400097520.00134957031.0E-40.00532283540.0151099420.00660.436798480.01639030.00130.0519713160.137198950.07720.56268650.148415370.013
6.61.0116757E-42.8939164E-41.0E-40.34555252.8939164E-40.04.3350324E-40.00123966435.0E-40.4033350.00133954041.0E-40.00526513670.01498950.00660.44030820.0162700140.00130.0514212470.136177540.0770.565438330.147407230.013
6.71.0050676E-42.8797705E-41.0E-40.34724992.8797705E-40.04.3067214E-40.00123360755.0E-40.405315280.00133348421.0E-40.0052308340.0149167720.00660.4424550.016197380.00130.0510940850.135562080.07650.56431710.146799770.013
6.89.976819E-52.8601277E-41.0E-40.349634742.8601277E-40.04.2750788E-40.00122519715.0E-40.40809760.00132507461.0E-40.00519249360.0148157720.00660.445471230.0160965120.00130.0507282950.13471420.07610.56489960.14587640.0129
6.99.77719E-52.8097705E-41.0E-40.355900942.8097705E-40.04.1895514E-40.00120363565.0E-40.415408130.00130351521.0E-40.00508885550.0145567970.00650.44652680.015739330.00120.0497388880.132541880.07450.562086460.143471850.0126
7.08.500761E-52.4828516E-41.0E-40.40276272.4828516E-40.03.6426744E-40.00106364865.0E-40.470080080.00116354221.0E-40.00442594060.0128738070.00620.481598020.0140583580.00120.043388230.118399870.0670.5658790.128361960.0113
7.18.319876E-52.443052E-41.0E-40.409324082.443052E-40.03.5651738E-40.00104660545.0E-40.477734980.00114650071.0E-40.0043319630.0126687380.00590.465713320.0138535350.00120.0424848460.116617850.06560.56252110.126246720.0109
7.27.563917E-52.2477008E-41.0E-40.444899082.2477008E-40.03.2412758E-49.629477E-42.0E-40.207695599.629477E-40.00.00393911450.0116615590.00530.454484670.0127487310.00110.038700180.108019020.06010.55638350.116849630.0099
7.37.082985E-52.0790727E-41.0E-40.480983642.0790727E-40.03.0352117E-48.907298E-42.0E-40.224534998.907298E-40.00.00368910960.010791340.00510.47260120.0118794690.00110.036284650.100533570.05610.558022560.108898610.0093
7.45.146215E-51.4323601E-40.00.01.4323601E-40.02.2053342E-46.137251E-41.0E-40.16293946.137251E-40.00.00268168840.00744669370.00370.496864830.0080422266.0E-40.026495570.071066390.04070.572703960.0772902440.0067
7.54.0285166E-51.09847715E-40.00.01.09847715E-40.01.7263928E-44.706913E-41.0E-40.212453474.706913E-40.00.0020998570.00571567840.00250.43739340.00621282085.0E-40.0208012540.055203860.030.54344030.059927840.005
7.63.1168736E-58.4769745E-50.00.08.4769745E-50.01.3357346E-43.6324843E-41.0E-40.275293683.6324843E-40.00.00162504370.00441360850.0020.453143980.00491140135.0E-40.0161321160.0429823920.02340.5444090.0467147640.0039
7.72.2100989E-56.272285E-50.00.06.272285E-50.09.4715084E-52.6878456E-41.0E-40.372045222.6878456E-40.00.0011525460.00326754780.00130.397851880.00366624074.0E-40.0114658670.0320535670.01770.55220060.0348606150.0029
7.81.7484861E-55.2094656E-50.00.05.2094656E-50.07.493296E-52.2324371E-41.0E-40.447940952.2324371E-40.09.1192697E-40.00271460740.00130.47889060.00311352154.0E-40.0090819380.0267771760.01490.556444050.0294048790.0027
7.91.3967285E-53.8468155E-50.00.03.8468155E-50.05.985842E-51.6485312E-41.0E-40.606600641.6485312E-40.07.2853256E-40.00200524020.00110.54856270.0024044384.0E-40.00726148770.0200237690.01030.51438870.0217877270.0018
8.01.1887396E-53.127679E-50.00.03.127679E-50.05.094499E-51.3403651E-41.0E-40.74606541.3403651E-40.06.200787E-40.00163067399.0E-40.551919040.00193018473.0E-40.0061835130.01637860.00830.50675880.0178540310.0015
8.15.100864E-69.0611275E-60.00.09.0611275E-60.02.1860664E-53.8832826E-50.00.03.8832826E-50.02.6612106E-44.726872E-43.0E-40.63466916.7259267E-42.0E-40.0026580260.0049619460.00250.50383460.0053599614.0E-4
8.22.3004484E-62.8216953E-60.00.02.8216953E-60.09.859027E-61.20929235E-50.00.01.20929235E-50.01.2002704E-41.4722144E-41.0E-40.67924892.472067E-41.0E-40.00119962230.00161567530.0010.618936240.00181535212.0E-4
8.31.0424446E-75.9066274E-80.00.05.9066274E-80.04.4676187E-72.5314114E-70.00.02.5314114E-70.05.439312E-63.0819892E-60.00.03.0819892E-60.05.4391792E-53.239163E-50.00.03.239163E-50.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.172293E-40.00.03.172293E-40.06.115894E-40.00135885183.0E-40.220774640.00135885180.00.00742070840.0164200270.00850.51766050.0178953990.00150.071777480.15075460.09830.652053060.161200310.0123
6.11.4273766E-43.172293E-40.00.03.172293E-40.06.115894E-40.00135885183.0E-40.220774640.00135885180.00.00742070840.0164200270.00850.51766050.0178953990.00150.071777480.15075460.09830.652053060.161200310.0123
6.21.4273766E-43.172293E-40.00.03.172293E-40.06.115894E-40.00135885183.0E-40.220774640.00135885180.00.00742070840.0164200270.00850.51766050.0178953990.00150.071777480.15075460.09830.652053060.161200310.0123
6.31.3730655E-43.0627198E-40.00.03.0627198E-40.05.883239E-40.00131193972.0E-40.152446050.00131193970.00.00713934420.015857290.00780.491887330.0171366740.00130.069142910.146040010.09520.651876150.156202140.0119
6.41.3730655E-43.0627198E-40.00.03.0627198E-40.05.883239E-40.00131193972.0E-40.152446050.00131193970.00.00713934420.015857290.00780.491887330.0171366740.00130.069142910.146040010.09520.651876150.156202140.0119
6.51.2942807E-42.9040835E-40.00.02.9040835E-40.05.545738E-40.00124401872.0E-40.160769280.00124401870.00.00673105240.0150419980.00750.4986040.0163224430.00130.065307880.139165370.0910.65389830.149151060.0116
6.61.1125901E-42.5477464E-40.00.02.5477464E-40.04.767372E-40.00109143671.0E-40.091622350.00109143670.00.0057888390.0132079160.00690.522413970.0144907460.00130.0564034540.123430890.07990.647325750.13237190.0102
6.71.02209575E-42.36115E-40.00.02.36115E-40.04.3796748E-40.00101153041.0E-40.098860110.00101153040.00.00531922470.0122462660.00650.530774060.0135303460.00130.0519369060.1152524950.07240.6281860.123480640.0093
6.89.610582E-52.2135816E-40.00.02.2135816E-40.04.1181705E-49.4833365E-41.0E-40.105448129.4833365E-40.00.00500235150.0114851060.00610.53112270.0127701750.00130.0489123460.108661570.06760.62211510.1165944860.0089
6.99.3877505E-52.1590866E-40.00.02.1590866E-40.04.0227012E-49.2499534E-41.0E-40.1081086559.2499534E-40.00.00488664540.0112039140.00590.52660170.0123904690.00120.047805770.106257480.06550.61642720.1139436660.0086
7.09.1019785E-52.091706E-40.00.02.091706E-40.03.900265E-48.96138E-41.0E-40.111589958.96138E-40.00.00473823770.0108561270.00560.51583770.01204310.00120.0463847440.103227150.06330.613210740.110849720.0085
7.18.771155E-52.0090773E-40.00.02.0090773E-40.03.758525E-48.6074957E-41.0E-40.116177818.6074957E-40.00.00456640640.010429470.00520.49858720.011419040.0010.0447370560.099547470.06010.60373210.1067510840.008
7.28.0830236E-51.8494626E-40.00.01.8494626E-40.03.4636928E-47.923862E-41.0E-40.126201087.923862E-40.00.00420889440.0096047350.00460.47893040.0104960919.0E-40.0413006580.092269690.0550.596078750.099259210.0077
7.37.7668235E-51.7436282E-40.00.01.7436282E-40.03.328214E-47.470553E-41.0E-40.13385897.470553E-40.00.00404457330.0090575480.00430.474742170.0098503028.0E-40.039717480.087526260.05220.59639240.0940048250.0071
7.47.520177E-51.6654906E-40.00.01.6654906E-40.03.2225347E-47.1358646E-41.0E-40.140137187.1358646E-40.00.00391637950.0086533750.00410.473803580.0093473187.0E-40.0384807440.0839801650.04990.59418790.09002590.0066
7.57.274697E-51.5941226E-40.00.01.5941226E-40.03.1173544E-46.8301655E-41.0E-40.146409336.8301655E-40.00.0037887750.0082840780.0040.482853980.0089782797.0E-40.037248270.080692760.04790.593609630.086668260.0065
7.67.1185845E-51.5510227E-40.00.01.5510227E-40.03.0504653E-46.645547E-41.0E-40.15047676.645547E-40.00.00370761780.0080609910.0040.49621690.0087553497.0E-40.0364636670.0786799640.04710.59862760.084668540.0065
7.76.709961E-51.4416673E-40.00.01.4416673E-40.02.8753807E-46.1771116E-41.0E-40.161887966.1771116E-40.00.0034951570.00749473930.00370.49367960.0081894937.0E-40.0344069380.073499690.04490.610886930.0789660440.0059
7.86.300812E-51.3295712E-40.00.01.3295712E-40.02.7000686E-45.696918E-41.0E-40.17553355.696918E-40.00.00328237870.0069139690.00340.491758050.00760912947.0E-40.0323431750.068137950.0420.616396550.073356380.0056
7.94.983037E-59.7972814E-50.00.09.7972814E-50.02.1354125E-44.1981591E-41.0E-40.238199644.1981591E-40.00.00259676480.00509929050.00280.5490960.0057957217.0E-40.0256662960.050992780.03060.600084960.0548837070.0041
8.03.2211527E-55.37385E-50.00.05.37385E-50.01.380421E-42.3028754E-41.0E-40.434239752.3028754E-40.00.00167936690.00280014770.00140.499973620.00319902764.0E-40.0166673230.0285738740.01510.52845480.030613870.0021
8.11.743376E-51.9027193E-50.00.01.9027193E-50.07.471398E-58.154257E-50.00.08.154257E-50.09.0926304E-49.923292E-48.0E-40.806184050.00129203163.0E-40.0090555170.0105902440.00540.509903250.0113817728.0E-4
8.27.831616E-65.229735E-60.00.05.229735E-60.03.3563636E-52.2412958E-50.00.02.2412958E-50.04.0856065E-42.7284367E-42.0E-40.73302053.728164E-41.0E-40.0040781030.0030824420.00180.58395260.00338151733.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.792044E-70.00.07.792044E-70.08.498917E-63.3394433E-60.00.03.3394433E-60.01.034694E-44.065698E-50.00.04.065698E-50.00.00103421244.7958124E-42.0E-40.417030484.7958124E-40.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5010907E-42.4855268E-42.0E-40.804658354.4850298E-42.0E-46.4316596E-40.00106473388.0E-40.75136150.00146430794.0E-40.00780246640.0128773370.00880.68337110.014358020.00150.075341360.120627560.0840.69635830.130564470.0113
6.11.4521465E-42.4016222E-42.0E-40.83277044.4011418E-42.0E-46.222001E-40.00102880468.0E-40.77760150.00142839314.0E-40.00754900560.0124463780.00870.69899850.0139277080.00150.072976570.116897650.08130.695480170.12678840.0112
6.21.429998E-42.3946732E-42.0E-40.83518714.394194E-42.0E-46.127123E-40.00102582898.0E-40.779857160.00142541854.0E-40.0074342860.0124106080.00870.701013150.0138919920.00150.071904440.116547790.08120.69670990.126442460.0112
6.31.3536277E-42.3276091E-42.0E-40.85925084.3271435E-42.0E-45.799972E-49.971141E-48.0E-40.80231540.00139671534.0E-40.00703862640.0120658430.00850.7044680.013448950.00140.06819820.113452140.0790.69632890.1230268550.0108
6.41.2993296E-42.2698258E-42.0E-40.881124854.269372E-42.0E-45.5673666E-49.723688E-48.0E-40.82273310.00137197984.0E-40.0067572230.01176792850.00820.69680910.0131514540.00140.065554120.11072420.07690.694518450.120239450.0107
6.51.0498927E-41.8026086E-41.0E-40.554751632.8024282E-41.0E-44.498764E-47.7231694E-46.0E-40.77688310.00107208523.0E-40.0054634980.0093623310.00690.7369960.0104520320.00110.0533111240.089393430.06170.69020730.096496160.0078
6.61.0157505E-41.7513058E-41.0E-40.57100252.7511307E-41.0E-44.35249E-47.503431E-46.0E-40.79963420.0010501183.0E-40.00528628840.0090970980.00680.747491060.0101870910.00110.051622930.086969370.06070.697946850.0940910060.0078
6.79.660386E-51.677125E-41.0E-40.59625852.6769572E-41.0E-44.1395082E-47.1856915E-46.0E-40.83499270.00101835353.0E-40.00502821060.0087134470.00670.76892650.0098038610.00110.0491594970.083454660.05790.69378990.090145440.0073
6.89.089927E-51.5683839E-41.0E-40.6375992.568227E-41.0E-43.8951015E-46.719912E-46.0E-40.89286889.7178965E-43.0E-40.00473197880.0081507680.00650.797470870.0092418020.00110.0463247750.07833820.05430.693148430.084789830.007
6.97.353187E-51.2329822E-40.00.01.2329822E-40.03.150985E-45.283145E-44.0E-40.75712477.2820886E-42.0E-40.00382957720.00641338060.00490.764027660.0074069670.0010.0376425120.062346310.04230.67846840.067690930.0057
7.05.746064E-59.417722E-50.00.09.417722E-50.02.4623662E-44.0355462E-44.0E-40.991191746.034739E-42.0E-40.00299380980.004902280.00360.73435220.00549933876.0E-40.029537970.048123270.03180.660802960.052597090.0047
7.14.9557195E-58.077778E-50.00.08.077778E-50.02.123707E-43.461449E-43.0E-40.86668914.4611027E-41.0E-40.00258254730.00420623370.00310.73700140.00470413035.0E-40.02552740.0414938440.02760.665158870.045615420.0043
7.23.687595E-55.976116E-50.00.05.976116E-50.01.5803022E-42.560943E-42.0E-40.780962353.5606866E-41.0E-40.00192231990.00311351940.00220.70659590.00341258523.0E-40.019057760.0309978440.020.645206150.033711050.0028
7.32.5846984E-54.2676824E-50.00.04.2676824E-50.01.1076809E-41.8288795E-41.0E-40.546782851.8288795E-40.00.00134776710.00222440460.00160.71929360.00242395982.0E-40.0133962230.0222753850.01590.71379240.0247196960.0025
7.41.7747854E-53.0055215E-50.00.03.0055215E-50.07.6060016E-51.2880172E-41.0E-40.776387161.2880172E-40.09.2563726E-40.00156703580.0010.638147530.00156703580.00.0092179110.0157667730.0110.69766970.017439970.0017
7.51.4883479E-52.6354981E-50.00.02.6354981E-50.06.378478E-51.1294504E-41.0E-40.885386351.1294504E-40.07.76303E-40.00137424139.0E-40.65490680.00137424130.00.00773596670.01385650.00950.68559880.0151384870.0013
7.68.166975E-61.50463375E-50.00.01.50463375E-50.03.5000852E-56.4482716E-50.00.06.4482716E-50.04.2605202E-47.847956E-45.0E-40.637108567.847956E-40.00.0042523610.0079799140.00550.689230560.0088727329.0E-4
7.73.3858064E-66.3061157E-60.00.06.3061157E-60.01.4510518E-52.702593E-50.00.02.702593E-50.01.7665124E-43.2899107E-40.00.03.2899107E-40.00.00176510880.00341403320.00220.64439910.00381266774.0E-4
7.82.7721615E-65.4110287E-60.00.05.4110287E-60.01.1880637E-52.3189918E-50.00.02.3189918E-50.01.4463716E-42.823007E-40.00.02.823007E-40.00.00144543060.00292949150.0020.68271240.00332831964.0E-4
7.91.9736292E-64.161316E-60.00.04.161316E-60.08.4583835E-61.783409E-50.00.01.783409E-50.01.0297595E-42.1710846E-40.00.02.1710846E-40.00.00102928250.0022396610.00160.71439380.00253898933.0E-4
8.01.1767289E-62.5739062E-60.00.02.5739062E-60.05.0431145E-61.103098E-50.00.01.103098E-50.06.139818E-51.3429394E-40.00.01.3429394E-40.06.1381224E-40.00137557819.0E-40.654270350.0015753032.0E-4
8.17.5112825E-71.5527247E-60.00.01.5527247E-60.03.2191172E-66.654517E-60.00.06.654517E-60.03.9192048E-58.101576E-50.00.08.101576E-50.03.9185135E-48.293633E-45.0E-40.60287218.293633E-40.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0564368E-43.0E-40.981535146.05552E-43.0E-46.5056595E-40.00130868110.00110.84054090.0020077657.0E-40.0078919120.015718540.0110.699810560.0179823880.00230.0761745940.138666690.09380.67644220.148313630.0112
6.11.5024997E-43.0258417E-43.0E-40.991459676.024934E-43.0E-46.437695E-40.00129558260.00110.849038840.00199467577.0E-40.00780976140.015561830.01080.69400580.0177275950.00220.0754093450.137335750.09190.6691630.146738780.0109
6.21.2743923E-42.5355536E-43.0E-41.18317355.534793E-43.0E-45.460538E-40.0010858030.0010.920977350.00168515166.0E-40.00662795830.0130686580.00930.711626230.0148451350.00180.0643372760.117433330.08030.683792230.125994240.0097
6.31.1525114E-42.2640602E-43.0E-41.32505325.263381E-43.0E-44.9383997E-49.6966646E-49.0E-40.928154230.00156908476.0E-40.00599593860.0116897910.00890.7613480.013468750.00180.0583671740.1065508650.07510.704827670.114591910.009
6.41.07200925E-42.0881697E-42.0E-40.957776554.087752E-42.0E-44.5935164E-48.94398E-48.0E-40.89445640.00139395085.0E-40.00557827440.0107945740.00830.76890480.0123773030.00160.05440310.0993740.07010.705415840.10684920.0083
6.59.69631E-51.8774872E-41.0E-40.53262682.8772996E-41.0E-44.1548995E-48.04216E-46.0E-40.74606820.00120389444.0E-40.00504686260.0097160610.00690.710164370.0112014870.00150.049337730.0902642160.0630.697950960.0970872340.0075
6.68.0552316E-51.511175E-41.0E-40.661736672.511024E-41.0E-43.4517853E-46.474421E-45.0E-40.77226989.472479E-43.0E-40.00419445240.0078476530.00630.80278780.0091374510.00130.041161610.0750360340.05330.710325360.08104830.0065
6.77.815757E-51.4651981E-41.0E-40.682501552.4650517E-41.0E-43.34918E-46.277523E-45.0E-40.79649259.27564E-43.0E-40.0040700050.0076102980.00620.81468560.0089004050.00130.0399626570.072884620.05130.70385220.0786327350.0062
6.86.965264E-51.2761053E-41.0E-40.78363442.2759776E-41.0E-42.9847719E-45.467681E-44.0E-40.73157168.4660406E-43.0E-40.00362790520.00663336460.00510.76884060.00752739479.0E-40.035692470.063971340.04410.68937120.0689322950.0053
6.95.8000453E-51.01779835E-40.00.01.01779835E-40.02.4854968E-44.361269E-43.0E-40.68787326.3603965E-42.0E-40.00302189330.0052970150.00430.811777950.00609277758.0E-40.0298112950.051660830.03540.68523870.0559283530.0045
7.04.9865852E-58.59859E-50.00.08.59859E-50.02.1369329E-43.684594E-43.0E-40.814200945.6838576E-42.0E-40.00259861140.00447685550.00360.80413580.00507416956.0E-40.0256843360.043926440.02970.676130350.0477507380.004
7.14.283875E-57.1396564E-50.00.07.1396564E-50.01.8358172E-43.059497E-42.0E-40.65370224.0591913E-41.0E-40.00223281630.00371863230.00290.77985660.0042167735.0E-40.0221051460.0368667950.02480.672692060.0402377620.0035
7.23.450115E-55.603929E-50.00.05.603929E-50.01.478537E-42.4014644E-41.0E-40.416412563.4012244E-41.0E-40.00179863230.00291989230.0020.68495680.00321901613.0E-40.0178414420.0292056690.01860.636862640.0315355770.0024
7.32.5709045E-54.0818115E-50.00.04.0818115E-50.01.1017697E-41.7492315E-40.00.01.7492315E-40.00.00134057910.00212762620.00140.65801030.00232720072.0E-40.0133252080.0214089960.01480.69129820.0234640370.0021
7.41.8003093E-52.8653816E-50.00.02.8653816E-50.07.715383E-51.2279631E-40.00.01.2279631E-40.09.3894306E-40.00149402218.0E-40.53546730.00149402210.00.0093498570.0151214810.010.661310850.0165003110.0014
7.51.5595824E-52.5959966E-50.00.02.5959966E-50.06.683753E-51.1125226E-40.00.01.1125226E-40.08.134431E-40.00135365697.0E-40.517117740.00135365690.00.0081047190.0137186870.0090.65603950.0148035970.0011
7.61.1110309E-51.9340465E-50.00.01.9340465E-50.04.761474E-58.2885075E-50.00.08.2885075E-50.05.795553E-40.00100866016.0E-40.594848630.00100866010.00.00578046120.0102610880.00660.643206660.0111518529.0E-4
7.76.2140443E-61.0524018E-50.00.01.0524018E-50.02.6631347E-54.510215E-50.00.04.510215E-50.03.241884E-45.489805E-41.0E-40.182155855.489805E-40.00.00323715880.00566242260.00330.58278940.00606015744.0E-4
7.85.305533E-69.510731E-60.00.09.510731E-60.02.27378E-54.0759638E-50.00.04.0759638E-50.02.7679754E-44.9613573E-41.0E-40.201557764.9613573E-40.00.00276453020.0051122690.00310.606384340.0055102244.0E-4
7.93.363505E-67.4426785E-60.00.07.4426785E-60.01.4414942E-53.1896805E-50.00.03.1896805E-50.01.7548777E-43.8827446E-41.0E-40.257549763.8827446E-40.00.00175349260.00397650940.00240.60354440.00427531643.0E-4
8.02.0271132E-64.4461253E-60.00.04.4461253E-60.08.687599E-61.9054683E-50.00.01.9054683E-50.01.05766376E-42.3196613E-41.0E-40.431097422.3196613E-40.00.00105716060.00236727880.00120.506911160.00256680532.0E-4
8.11.2206116E-62.393522E-60.00.02.393522E-60.05.2311816E-61.0257911E-50.00.01.0257911E-50.06.3687774E-51.2488295E-40.00.01.2488295E-40.06.366953E-40.00127976565.0E-40.390696530.00127976560.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9539143E-40.00.01.9539143E-40.04.2326056E-48.371233E-45.0E-40.597283540.00103695592.0E-40.00514102770.0101444770.00640.63088510.0118272310.00170.050237080.09892580.06580.665145040.109558470.0118
6.19.877682E-51.9539143E-40.00.01.9539143E-40.04.2326056E-48.371233E-45.0E-40.597283540.00103695592.0E-40.00514102770.0101444770.00640.63088510.0118272310.00170.050237080.09892580.06580.665145040.109558470.0118
6.29.877682E-51.9539143E-40.00.01.9539143E-40.04.2326056E-48.371233E-45.0E-40.597283540.00103695592.0E-40.00514102770.0101444770.00640.63088510.0118272310.00170.050237080.09892580.06580.665145040.109558470.0118
6.39.877682E-51.9539143E-40.00.01.9539143E-40.04.2326056E-48.371233E-45.0E-40.597283540.00103695592.0E-40.00514102770.0101444770.00640.63088510.0118272310.00170.050237080.09892580.06580.665145040.109558470.0118
6.49.877682E-51.9539143E-40.00.01.9539143E-40.04.2326056E-48.371233E-45.0E-40.597283540.00103695592.0E-40.00514102770.0101444770.00640.63088510.0118272310.00170.050237080.09892580.06580.665145040.109558470.0118
6.59.861474E-51.9512867E-40.00.01.9512867E-40.04.2256617E-48.359979E-45.0E-40.59808760.00103583072.0E-40.00513261320.0101309030.00640.63173050.011813680.00170.0501567460.098803580.06580.665967760.10943770.0118
6.69.861474E-51.9512867E-40.00.01.9512867E-40.04.2256617E-48.359979E-45.0E-40.59808760.00103583072.0E-40.00513261320.0101309030.00640.63173050.011813680.00170.0501567460.098803580.06580.665967760.10943770.0118
6.79.8552715E-51.9502804E-40.00.01.9502804E-40.04.223004E-48.355669E-45.0E-40.59839610.00103539992.0E-40.00512939270.0101257040.00640.63205480.011808490.00170.0501259980.098756590.06580.66628470.1093912650.0118
6.89.8464974E-51.9487925E-40.00.01.9487925E-40.04.219245E-48.3492964E-45.0E-40.59885290.00103476262.0E-40.00512483760.0101180170.00640.6325350.0118008160.00170.050082510.098686560.06580.66675740.109322060.0118
6.99.825824E-51.9455858E-40.00.01.9455858E-40.04.2103877E-48.3355623E-45.0E-40.599839570.00103338952.0E-40.00511410460.0101014520.00640.633572340.0117842790.00170.0499800220.098535670.06570.66676360.109082810.0117
7.09.781462E-51.9387066E-40.00.01.9387066E-40.04.1913814E-48.306099E-45.0E-40.601967330.00103044372.0E-40.0050910730.0100659110.00640.63580930.0117487990.00170.049760070.098211480.06550.66692810.108672230.0116
7.19.7121134E-51.9288564E-40.00.01.9288564E-40.04.1616702E-48.2639104E-45.0E-40.605040430.00102622572.0E-40.0050550680.010015020.00630.629055140.01169799550.00170.049416130.0977474150.06520.66702530.1082135440.0116
7.29.663819E-51.9219192E-40.00.01.9219192E-40.04.1409794E-48.2341983E-45.0E-40.607223630.00102325522.0E-40.00502999360.0099791780.00630.63131450.0116622140.00170.0491765370.097420360.06510.668238160.1078902860.0116
7.39.6277574E-51.9171514E-40.00.01.9171514E-40.04.125529E-48.2137773E-45.0E-40.60873330.00102121352.0E-40.00501126940.0099545440.00630.63287690.0116376210.00170.048997590.097193050.0650.66877210.107575330.0115
7.49.593308E-51.9111081E-40.00.01.9111081E-40.04.1107697E-48.187895E-44.0E-40.488526080.00101862572.0E-40.00499338240.0099233180.00620.6247910.0116064480.00170.048826610.096910820.06480.6686560.107296350.0115
7.59.561707E-51.9056968E-40.00.01.9056968E-40.04.0972308E-48.1647176E-44.0E-40.489912840.00101630842.0E-40.00497697430.0098953570.00620.626556460.0115785350.00170.0486697440.09665640.06450.667312260.1069545150.0114
7.69.418194E-51.8708062E-40.00.01.8708062E-40.04.0357444E-48.015279E-44.0E-40.49904690.00100136762.0E-40.0049024540.0097150510.00620.638184960.0113985360.00170.0479570250.0950387640.06330.666044060.1051743250.0112
7.78.202141E-51.6145741E-40.00.01.6145741E-40.03.51473E-46.917769E-44.0E-40.57822118.9163857E-42.0E-40.004270790.0083899160.00530.63171070.0098773320.00150.041896390.082796390.05460.659449040.0907760560.0087
7.87.2859846E-51.462837E-40.00.01.462837E-40.03.1221908E-46.2677957E-43.0E-40.47863727.267169E-41.0E-40.0037946430.0076043830.00410.539162760.0085967790.0010.0373049750.075235930.04850.64463880.081986710.0073
7.95.3874453E-51.0124438E-40.00.01.0124438E-40.02.3087008E-44.3383235E-41.0E-40.23050384.3383235E-40.00.00280722020.00526912840.00280.531397160.005965447.0E-40.027720220.052792880.03250.615613340.056771150.0042
8.03.468538E-55.4715303E-50.00.05.4715303E-50.01.4864317E-42.3447309E-41.0E-40.426488162.3447309E-40.00.00180822830.00285097470.00140.49106010.00324983434.0E-40.0179358530.0291717540.01580.541619840.0312104930.0021
8.11.9152367E-51.9619172E-50.00.01.9619172E-50.08.207899E-58.407946E-50.00.08.407946E-50.09.988535E-40.00102318748.0E-40.78187050.00132288043.0E-40.0099437570.0109703940.00580.52869570.0117616178.0E-4
8.28.643924E-65.556491E-60.00.05.556491E-60.03.704486E-52.3813316E-50.00.02.3813316E-50.04.5092785E-42.8988862E-42.0E-40.68992013.8985963E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00329340550.00210.637637850.00359241733.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.792044E-70.00.07.792044E-70.08.498917E-63.3394433E-60.00.03.3394433E-60.01.034694E-44.065698E-50.00.04.065698E-50.00.00103421244.7958124E-42.0E-40.417030484.7958124E-40.0

San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.4193904E-59.611469E-50.00.09.611469E-50.02.7508775E-44.1185974E-44.0E-40.97120446.1177736E-42.0E-40.00334405010.0050042690.00390.77933460.007093760.00210.032941740.048885740.03810.779368340.0597284440.0114
6.16.4193904E-59.611469E-50.00.09.611469E-50.02.7508775E-44.1185974E-44.0E-40.97120446.1177736E-42.0E-40.00334405010.0050042690.00390.77933460.007093760.00210.032941740.048885740.03810.779368340.0597284440.0114
6.25.7023593E-58.325497E-50.00.08.325497E-50.02.4436394E-43.567676E-43.0E-40.84088365.566962E-42.0E-40.0029710720.0043366360.00350.807077170.00622839670.00190.0293166250.0425652230.03380.79407550.0520438250.0099
6.35.6940098E-58.3100276E-50.00.08.3100276E-50.02.4400617E-43.561048E-43.0E-40.842448655.5603357E-42.0E-40.0029667280.0043285990.00350.80857570.00622037470.00190.0292743310.0424867720.03370.793188040.0519661530.0099
6.45.4171585E-57.759051E-50.00.07.759051E-50.02.3214328E-43.3249767E-43.0E-40.9022625.324312E-42.0E-40.00282268130.0040422940.00320.791629730.0057354220.00170.027870960.039774810.03130.78693020.048608880.0092
6.54.375144E-55.6524877E-50.00.05.6524877E-50.01.874927E-42.4223361E-42.0E-40.82564923.422094E-41.0E-40.00228033380.0029463820.00170.576978860.00364431937.0E-40.0225707570.0292934240.02220.75784930.0353118030.0062
6.62.772192E-52.5586833E-50.00.02.5586833E-50.01.1880282E-41.0965335E-40.00.01.0965335E-40.00.00144546460.00133423159.0E-40.674545650.00163383123.0E-40.0143609860.0135905130.00780.57392980.0154646910.0019
6.72.7124124E-52.4797338E-50.00.02.4797338E-50.01.1624106E-41.0627009E-40.00.01.0627009E-40.00.00141431610.00129308979.0E-40.696007430.00159270183.0E-40.0140534870.0131837770.00750.5688810.0150587280.0019
6.82.5475807E-52.2259945E-50.00.02.2259945E-50.01.0917746E-49.5396346E-50.00.09.5396346E-50.00.0013284250.00116084369.0E-40.77529820.00146049543.0E-40.01320511850.0118710180.00660.55597590.01355083750.0017
6.92.1162023E-51.7714552E-50.00.01.7714552E-50.09.069123E-57.591732E-50.00.07.591732E-50.00.00110360649.2390523E-47.0E-40.75765350.00122362813.0E-40.0109814170.0094931220.00530.558298950.0109788820.0015
7.01.8754288E-51.624603E-50.00.01.624603E-50.08.037304E-56.9624E-50.00.06.9624E-50.09.781026E-48.47345E-47.0E-40.826109770.00114709083.0E-40.0097380870.0087144250.00470.53933560.0098048390.0011
7.11.8678527E-51.6171087E-50.00.01.6171087E-50.08.0048376E-56.930283E-50.00.06.930283E-50.09.7415317E-48.434378E-47.0E-40.829936740.00114318473.0E-40.0096989390.0086753170.00470.541766940.0097657740.0011
7.21.7804578E-51.5464804E-50.00.01.5464804E-50.07.6303106E-56.6276065E-50.00.06.6276065E-50.09.285943E-48.0661464E-46.0E-40.743849640.00100645332.0E-40.0092472360.0083062620.00450.54175990.0091987879.0E-4
7.31.6583685E-51.4612991E-50.00.01.4612991E-50.07.1070994E-56.2625615E-50.00.06.2625615E-50.08.649459E-47.6220214E-46.0E-40.787192769.620497E-42.0E-40.008615870.007861180.00450.57243310.0087541059.0E-4
7.41.6387552E-51.4477728E-50.00.01.4477728E-50.07.023047E-56.204594E-50.00.06.204594E-50.08.5472054E-47.551495E-46.0E-40.79454469.5499854E-42.0E-40.0085144050.0077904780.00450.57762820.0086834669.0E-4
7.51.5790754E-51.411762E-50.00.01.411762E-50.06.767291E-56.050269E-50.00.06.050269E-50.08.236062E-47.363733E-46.0E-40.814804149.36226E-42.0E-40.0082056040.0076006530.00440.578897660.0084938129.0E-4
7.61.4248672E-51.3132057E-50.00.01.3132057E-50.06.106431E-55.627904E-50.00.05.627904E-50.07.432043E-46.849836E-46.0E-40.875933358.8484667E-42.0E-40.0074072370.00708094750.0040.564896170.0079745749.0E-4
7.71.15449975E-51.0977091E-50.00.01.0977091E-50.04.947762E-54.704383E-50.00.04.704383E-50.06.022235E-45.726089E-46.0E-41.04783567.724944E-42.0E-40.0060059410.00594916150.00340.57150910.00654559166.0E-4
7.89.1391985E-69.584866E-60.00.09.584866E-60.03.9167408E-54.1077357E-50.00.04.1077357E-50.04.767588E-45.0000264E-45.0E-40.99999475.9995265E-41.0E-40.00475737270.00521427860.0030.575343250.0056121934.0E-4
7.96.973017E-67.445116E-60.00.07.445116E-60.02.9884017E-53.1907253E-50.00.03.1907253E-50.03.6377716E-43.8840208E-45.0E-41.28732574.8836326E-41.0E-40.00363182250.0040853940.00230.56298110.00448376034.0E-4
8.05.7638235E-66.3174975E-60.00.06.3174975E-60.02.4701867E-52.7074711E-50.00.02.7074711E-50.03.0070372E-43.2958528E-44.0E-41.21364654.295523E-41.0E-40.00300297140.00348423470.0020.57401410.0038828414.0E-4
8.15.1124434E-65.5481905E-60.00.05.5481905E-60.02.1910288E-52.3777744E-50.00.02.3777744E-50.02.6672508E-42.8945607E-44.0E-41.38190223.8942712E-41.0E-40.00266405170.00306845920.00180.586613660.00346723184.0E-4
8.21.1075938E-65.4096853E-70.00.05.4096853E-70.04.7468216E-62.3184346E-60.00.02.3184346E-60.05.779102E-52.8226597E-50.00.02.8226597E-50.05.777599E-43.1757395E-41.0E-40.31488734.175422E-41.0E-4
8.31.3584393E-84.5436517E-90.00.04.5436517E-90.05.8218827E-81.9472791E-80.00.01.9472791E-80.07.0881396E-72.3708124E-70.00.02.3708124E-70.07.0881174E-62.6542411E-60.00.02.6542411E-60.0

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3997854E-50.00.03.3997854E-50.01.2947287E-41.4569712E-43.0E-42.0590662.4568255E-41.0E-40.00157519230.00177244870.0052.82095620.0056655360.00390.0156407360.0175886790.02321.31903030.0285916850.0112
6.13.0211835E-53.3997854E-50.00.03.3997854E-50.01.2947287E-41.4569712E-43.0E-42.0590662.4568255E-41.0E-40.00157519230.00177244870.0052.82095620.0056655360.00390.0156407360.0175886790.02321.31903030.0285916850.0112
6.23.0211835E-53.3997854E-50.00.03.3997854E-50.01.2947287E-41.4569712E-43.0E-42.0590662.4568255E-41.0E-40.00157519230.00177244870.0052.82095620.0056655360.00390.0156407360.0175886790.02321.31903030.0285916850.0112
6.32.8573924E-53.2115317E-50.00.03.2115317E-50.01.2245393E-41.3762998E-42.0E-41.45317182.3761622E-41.0E-40.0014898570.00167438480.00462.74727770.00536818940.00370.014799080.0166228640.0221.32347830.0271449980.0107
6.42.8573924E-53.2115317E-50.00.03.2115317E-50.01.2245393E-41.3762998E-42.0E-41.45317182.3761622E-41.0E-40.0014898570.00167438480.00462.74727770.00536818940.00370.014799080.0166228640.0221.32347830.0271449980.0107
6.52.7468774E-53.084056E-50.00.03.084056E-50.01.1771801E-41.3216729E-42.0E-41.51323372.3215408E-41.0E-40.00143227450.00160797650.00452.79854850.00520218770.00360.0142307820.0159684920.02171.3589260.026202420.0104
6.62.6135967E-52.9264093E-50.00.02.9264093E-50.01.1200648E-41.2541165E-42.0E-41.59474812.2539911E-41.0E-40.00136282570.0015258440.00442.88364980.0051203510.00360.0135449820.0151587130.02021.3325670.0248101580.0098
6.72.4498746E-52.7352793E-50.00.02.7352793E-50.01.04990395E-41.17221134E-42.0E-41.7061772.1720941E-41.0E-40.00127750840.0014262580.00433.0148820.00502112370.00360.0127018930.0141758760.01941.36852220.0238369520.0098
6.82.2244329E-52.4946075E-50.00.02.4946075E-50.09.532935E-51.0690749E-42.0E-41.87077632.068968E-41.0E-40.00116001690.00130084330.00392.9980550.00469642040.00340.0115398020.01293670850.01681.29863010.0217215720.0089
6.91.9902658E-52.2300088E-50.00.02.2300088E-50.08.529431E-59.556841E-52.0E-42.09274171.9555885E-41.0E-40.00103796350.00116294280.00373.1815840.0044591050.00330.0103312880.0115726360.01481.27887890.0195788960.0081
7.01.8353881E-52.0575533E-50.00.02.0575533E-50.07.865712E-58.817798E-52.0E-42.268141.8816916E-41.0E-49.5722964E-40.00107305580.00373.44809650.00436951450.00330.0095311680.0106827880.01381.29179760.0183005310.0077
7.11.7667631E-51.978174E-50.00.01.978174E-50.07.571623E-58.4776235E-52.0E-42.35915181.8476775E-41.0E-49.2145515E-40.00103167950.00363.4894560.0042283780.00320.0091764370.01027290150.01351.3141370.0176958550.0075
7.21.6381597E-51.8166602E-50.00.01.8166602E-50.07.020495E-57.785464E-52.0E-42.56888991.7784686E-41.0E-48.544101E-49.474853E-40.00323.3773610.00374483250.00280.0085113250.0094381830.01241.31381210.0161740030.0068
7.31.4520491E-51.5973112E-50.00.01.5973112E-50.06.222919E-56.845449E-52.0E-42.92164921.6844764E-41.0E-47.57377E-48.331309E-40.00323.84093280.0036307980.00280.00754800950.0083022360.01121.34903420.01445076150.0062
7.41.2852287E-51.4151222E-50.00.01.4151222E-50.05.5080065E-56.0646773E-52.0E-43.29778481.606407E-41.0E-46.7039346E-47.3814014E-40.00314.19974470.00343614720.00270.00668374640.00735884950.01031.39967530.0133146960.006
7.51.1637851E-51.2842324E-50.00.01.2842324E-50.04.987555E-55.503746E-52.0E-43.63388851.5503196E-41.0E-46.070656E-46.698908E-40.00314.627620.0033680820.00270.0060540990.0066806660.011.49685670.012541250.0059
7.63.0068115E-63.335209E-60.00.03.335209E-60.01.2886271E-51.4293715E-52.0E-413.9921631.14292285E-41.0E-41.5687906E-41.7401938E-40.00179.7690270.00157377580.00140.00156768350.00173955640.00331.89703540.00433503370.0026

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0208381E-40.00.02.0208381E-40.04.362114E-48.6578703E-44.0E-40.462007379.657005E-41.0E-40.00529794860.0104902980.00610.58148970.0119745630.00150.0517340970.102029080.06640.650794860.1119965540.0111
6.11.0179969E-42.0208381E-40.00.02.0208381E-40.04.362114E-48.6578703E-44.0E-40.462007379.657005E-41.0E-40.00529794860.0104902980.00610.58148970.0119745630.00150.0517340970.102029080.06640.650794860.1119965540.0111
6.21.0179969E-42.0208381E-40.00.02.0208381E-40.04.362114E-48.6578703E-44.0E-40.462007379.657005E-41.0E-40.00529794860.0104902980.00610.58148970.0119745630.00150.0517340970.102029080.06640.650794860.1119965540.0111
6.31.0179969E-42.0208381E-40.00.02.0208381E-40.04.362114E-48.6578703E-44.0E-40.462007379.657005E-41.0E-40.00529794860.0104902980.00610.58148970.0119745630.00150.0517340970.102029080.06640.650794860.1119965540.0111
6.49.1639464E-51.8562716E-40.00.01.8562716E-40.03.9268145E-47.953026E-44.0E-40.502953238.9522306E-41.0E-40.00477042050.0096399410.00570.591289940.0110264450.00140.0466930640.0943712150.06080.64426420.103699190.0103
6.59.1639464E-51.8562716E-40.00.01.8562716E-40.03.9268145E-47.953026E-44.0E-40.502953238.9522306E-41.0E-40.00477042050.0096399410.00570.591289940.0110264450.00140.0466930640.0943712150.06080.64426420.103699190.0103
6.69.042622E-51.8369462E-40.00.01.8369462E-40.03.8748336E-47.870253E-44.0E-40.508242858.869466E-41.0E-40.00470740950.0095400490.00560.586999060.0109266940.00140.0460893250.093459910.06010.643056450.1027066260.0102
6.78.9836685E-51.8283681E-40.00.01.8283681E-40.03.8495753E-47.8335125E-44.0E-40.51062668.832729E-41.0E-40.004676790.0094957070.00560.589740160.0108824140.00140.0457958170.09305390.05980.642638270.102304750.0102
6.88.9471854E-51.8230337E-40.00.01.8230337E-40.03.8339442E-47.8106637E-44.0E-40.512120378.8098826E-41.0E-40.0046578410.0094681320.00560.59145780.0108548760.00140.045614140.0928006540.05960.64223690.101963360.0101
6.98.858234E-51.8112094E-40.00.01.8112094E-40.03.7958333E-47.7600183E-44.0E-40.51546278.7592425E-41.0E-40.0046116380.0094070040.00560.59530110.0107938350.00140.045171030.092240510.05910.64071630.1012273360.0099
7.08.7433385E-51.7950563E-40.00.01.7950563E-40.03.746607E-47.690832E-44.0E-40.520099768.690063E-41.0E-40.0045519570.0093234940.00560.60063320.0107104410.00140.0445983860.0914736540.05880.6428080.100468060.0099
7.18.684964E-51.7862306E-40.00.01.7862306E-40.03.7215967E-47.6530303E-44.0E-40.52266888.652265E-41.0E-40.00452163350.00927786250.00560.603587270.0106648740.00140.044307310.0910545960.05860.643569950.1000531540.0099
7.28.606521E-51.775272E-40.00.01.775272E-40.03.6879873E-47.6060917E-44.0E-40.52589428.6053315E-41.0E-40.00448088350.0092212010.00560.607296170.0106082910.00140.0439160240.090534050.05830.643956660.099537760.0099
7.38.568266E-51.769448E-40.00.01.769448E-40.03.6715972E-47.581146E-44.0E-40.52762478.5803884E-41.0E-40.00446101050.0091910860.00560.6092860.0105782190.00140.0437251480.0902541650.05810.643737550.099169680.0098
7.48.5432206E-51.7656908E-40.00.01.7656908E-40.03.6608664E-47.5650535E-44.0E-40.52874718.5642975E-41.0E-40.0044479990.0091716580.00560.610576570.01055881850.00140.0436001570.0900737940.05810.64502670.098991070.0098
7.58.4791965E-51.7525707E-40.00.01.7525707E-40.03.633435E-47.508857E-44.0E-40.532704238.508106E-41.0E-40.00441473770.0091038130.00550.60414250.0104910680.00140.0432805750.089449050.05760.6439420.098190340.0096
7.68.241105E-51.696886E-40.00.01.696886E-40.03.531424E-47.2703435E-43.0E-40.412635248.2696165E-41.0E-40.00429103520.0088158080.00540.612535950.0102034670.00140.0420911760.086822340.05570.641540.095314890.0093
7.77.00432E-51.432063E-40.00.01.432063E-40.03.001506E-46.1359693E-43.0E-40.48892037.135356E-41.0E-40.00364821120.00744499450.00430.57756930.008636060.00120.0358889770.074048910.04610.62256150.080252780.0067
7.86.415362E-51.307362E-40.00.01.307362E-40.02.749151E-45.601777E-43.0E-40.535544346.601217E-41.0E-40.00334195470.00679886670.00360.52950.00779206770.0010.032921410.067734810.04140.61120720.073141950.0058
7.94.939911E-59.41648E-50.00.09.41648E-50.02.116933E-44.0350104E-41.0E-40.247830844.0350104E-40.00.00257431950.0049015690.00270.55084410.00559813767.0E-40.0254470130.0492680330.02970.60282490.0528808160.0038
8.03.344983E-55.2675383E-50.00.05.2675383E-50.01.4334853E-42.2573212E-41.0E-40.443002972.2573212E-40.00.00174387110.00274482650.00150.54648260.00324345435.0E-40.0173024960.028144030.01510.536525850.0301849280.0021
8.11.9104898E-51.9390976E-50.00.01.9390976E-50.08.1875565E-58.3101535E-50.00.08.3101535E-50.09.963791E-40.00101129229.0E-40.889950450.00141088774.0E-40.0099192350.0108649960.00590.543028240.0117552189.0E-4
8.28.643924E-65.556491E-60.00.05.556491E-60.03.704486E-52.3813316E-50.00.02.3813316E-50.04.5092785E-42.8988862E-42.0E-40.68992013.8985963E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00329340550.00210.637637850.00359241733.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.792044E-70.00.07.792044E-70.08.498917E-63.3394433E-60.00.03.3394433E-60.01.034694E-44.065698E-50.00.04.065698E-50.00.00103421244.7958124E-42.0E-40.417030484.7958124E-40.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5950744E-43.0760947E-42.0E-40.650175034.0757871E-41.0E-46.834242E-40.00131743758.0E-40.60723940.00171691054.0E-40.008288990.0158823930.01160.73036850.0183426890.00250.0798654260.144590780.09620.6653260.15365810.0106
6.11.3584697E-42.6080987E-42.0E-40.76684213.607838E-41.0E-45.8207137E-40.00111708027.0E-40.62663360.00151663344.0E-40.0070637160.013484090.01010.74903090.0158517290.00240.068433610.124212290.080.644058640.13244470.0094
6.21.14676266E-42.1758015E-41.0E-40.459600783.1755838E-41.0E-44.9137714E-49.320308E-45.0E-40.536462960.00123175123.0E-40.00596611850.0112666850.00840.74556090.0129475320.00170.0580846480.1051981150.06930.658757030.1128039360.0085
6.38.691518E-51.6027386E-41.0E-40.623932062.6025783E-41.0E-43.7244044E-46.866655E-45.0E-40.72815669.864594E-43.0E-40.0045250380.0083214480.00650.781114040.0097097980.00140.0443399920.079508680.05480.689232950.085952120.007
6.48.50982E-51.5733573E-41.0E-40.63558362.5732E-41.0E-43.646556E-46.7408E-45.0E-40.741751739.738778E-43.0E-40.00443064750.0081693750.00630.77117280.0095579380.00140.043433450.078114180.05420.693856060.084567380.007
6.58.4062965E-51.5557886E-41.0E-40.64276082.555633E-41.0E-43.602201E-46.6655455E-45.0E-40.75012619.663546E-43.0E-40.0043768630.008078530.00630.77984480.009467220.00140.0429165550.077285050.05380.69612430.083744060.007
6.68.194716E-51.5193419E-41.0E-40.65817972.51919E-41.0E-43.5115483E-46.5094314E-45.0E-40.76811639.507478E-43.0E-40.00426693170.0078902290.00630.798455830.0092791830.00140.041859270.0755697640.05270.697368860.082040770.007
6.78.012326E-51.4861091E-41.0E-40.67289812.4859604E-41.0E-43.433402E-46.3671E-45.0E-40.785286849.36519E-43.0E-40.0041721570.00771860450.00630.816209730.0091077980.00140.0409469120.074011170.05150.69584090.08021530.0067
6.87.119773E-51.2917971E-41.0E-40.77411542.2916679E-41.0E-43.0509746E-45.5349024E-44.0E-40.722686658.533242E-43.0E-40.00370823570.0067146930.00520.77442110.0077079780.0010.0364696420.06484650.0440.678525450.070270390.0058
6.95.7343088E-59.950832E-50.00.09.950832E-50.02.4573295E-44.263949E-43.0E-40.703573176.263096E-42.0E-40.00298769420.0051790760.00430.8302640.00607441469.0E-40.029478440.050657460.03450.68104480.0553092360.0049
7.04.8746577E-58.3129664E-50.00.08.3129664E-50.02.0889717E-43.562217E-43.0E-40.84217225.5615045E-42.0E-40.00254035650.00432844130.00340.78550220.00492584436.0E-40.0251151210.04261820.02850.668728350.046734940.0043
7.14.2998014E-57.289944E-50.00.07.289944E-50.01.8426418E-43.123891E-42.0E-40.64022724.1235785E-41.0E-40.0022411080.00379676490.00290.763808130.00429486675.0E-40.0221864120.0375426860.02490.66324510.0412962660.0039
7.23.221292E-55.4140484E-50.00.05.4140484E-50.01.3804805E-42.3201016E-41.0E-40.431015583.3198696E-41.0E-40.00167943930.0028210930.0020.708945040.00312024683.0E-40.0166680370.0281491150.01820.646556740.0306759270.0026
7.32.3756531E-53.967672E-50.00.03.967672E-50.01.0180973E-41.700321E-40.00.01.700321E-40.00.00123882860.00206819270.00150.72527090.0022677792.0E-40.0123194520.0207431990.01470.7086660.0229954890.0023
7.41.5997684E-52.7460766E-50.00.02.7460766E-50.06.8559704E-51.176837E-40.00.01.176837E-40.08.343947E-40.00143185999.0E-40.628553150.00143185990.00.0083126870.0144341960.00980.67894330.0159125440.0015
7.51.3814293E-52.4897881E-50.00.02.4897881E-50.05.9202768E-51.06700856E-40.00.01.06700856E-40.07.205553E-40.00129831128.0E-40.61618510.00129831120.00.0071822340.0131112950.00890.678804040.0142955620.0012
7.68.817309E-61.6525357E-50.00.01.6525357E-50.03.7787922E-57.082104E-50.00.07.082104E-50.04.5997082E-48.619064E-46.0E-40.69613138.619064E-40.00.0045901990.0087660150.0060.684461530.0096581259.0E-4
7.74.0352206E-67.771598E-60.00.07.771598E-60.01.7293689E-53.330642E-50.00.03.330642E-50.02.1053031E-44.054303E-41.0E-40.246651524.054303E-40.00.00210330960.00419684030.00270.64334110.00459516144.0E-4
7.83.413169E-66.8434024E-60.00.06.8434024E-60.01.4627784E-52.9328537E-50.00.02.9328537E-50.01.7807873E-43.5701648E-41.0E-40.28009913.5701648E-40.00.00177936090.00369408540.00250.67675750.00409260764.0E-4
7.92.4740732E-65.320734E-60.00.05.320734E-60.01.06031275E-52.2802946E-50.00.02.2802946E-50.01.2908543E-42.7759056E-41.0E-40.360242782.7759056E-40.00.00129010470.00285506550.00190.665483830.00315420913.0E-4
8.01.5231818E-63.3135784E-60.00.03.3135784E-60.06.527906E-61.4200973E-50.00.01.4200973E-50.07.9474354E-51.7288317E-41.0E-40.57842531.7288317E-40.07.944594E-40.0017685720.0010.56542790.00196821822.0E-4
8.11.0104524E-62.0612201E-60.00.02.0612201E-60.04.330503E-68.833771E-60.00.08.833771E-60.05.2722597E-51.07545886E-40.00.01.07545886E-40.05.271009E-40.00110067075.0E-40.45426850.00110067070.0

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.296105E-50.00.06.296105E-50.01.9323928E-42.698077E-43.0E-41.11190314.6975375E-42.0E-40.00235014970.00328040730.00441.34129690.0060712220.00280.0232545040.0323897530.03190.98487940.041098250.009
6.14.5092507E-56.296105E-50.00.06.296105E-50.01.9323928E-42.698077E-43.0E-41.11190314.6975375E-42.0E-40.00235014970.00328040730.00441.34129690.0060712220.00280.0232545040.0323897530.03190.98487940.041098250.009
6.22.6674514E-53.4555844E-50.00.03.4555844E-50.01.1431433E-41.4808825E-42.0E-41.3505462.4807343E-41.0E-40.00139088840.00180151650.00311.72077250.00379791340.0020.013822150.0178775250.01961.09634860.0240648970.0063
6.32.6674514E-53.4555844E-50.00.03.4555844E-50.01.1431433E-41.4808825E-42.0E-41.3505462.4807343E-41.0E-40.00139088840.00180151650.00311.72077250.00379791340.0020.013822150.0178775250.01961.09634860.0240648970.0063
6.42.5312667E-53.2383756E-50.00.03.2383756E-50.01.0847834E-41.387803E-42.0E-41.44112662.3876643E-41.0E-40.00131992370.00168837020.00311.83609020.00368499340.0020.0131211120.0167771260.01891.12653370.022971430.0063
6.52.5312667E-53.2383756E-50.00.03.2383756E-50.01.0847834E-41.387803E-42.0E-41.44112662.3876643E-41.0E-40.00131992370.00168837020.00311.83609020.00368499340.0020.0131211120.0167771260.01891.12653370.022971430.0063
6.62.246556E-52.8175751E-50.00.02.8175751E-50.09.627742E-51.2074777E-42.0E-41.65634542.2073569E-41.0E-40.00117154720.00146913620.00291.9739490.0034661980.0020.0116539010.0146472790.01771.20841560.0207564660.0062
6.72.2241198E-52.7845343E-50.00.02.7845343E-50.09.531594E-51.1933186E-42.0E-41.67599832.1931992E-41.0E-40.00115985380.00145192060.00291.99735440.00344901670.0020.0115381870.0144765750.01761.21575730.020586820.0062
6.81.9528685E-52.3937433E-50.00.02.3937433E-50.08.369167E-51.0258508E-42.0E-41.94960132.0257483E-41.0E-40.00101846980.00124827740.00282.2430910.00314590570.00190.0101381470.0124587890.01511.21199580.0176927580.0053
6.91.3318621E-51.5232145E-50.00.01.5232145E-50.05.7078556E-56.527902E-52.0E-43.06377151.6527249E-41.0E-46.9470983E-47.94488E-40.00232.8949460.00249313730.00170.00692542040.0079568310.01151.4452990.0126194340.0047
7.01.1760853E-51.3139821E-50.00.01.3139821E-50.05.0402683E-55.6312332E-52.0E-43.551621.563067E-41.0E-46.134799E-46.85392E-40.00223.2098420.00228429540.00160.00611789060.00687285840.01031.49864860.011341930.0045
7.11.0064758E-51.0933761E-50.00.01.0933761E-50.04.3133965E-54.6858153E-52.0E-44.26820041.4685348E-41.0E-45.2502943E-45.703522E-40.00193.3312750.00196955380.00140.0052379070.00572874350.00841.46629010.0099046830.0042
7.29.768808E-61.05294075E-50.00.01.05294075E-50.04.186565E-54.512527E-52.0E-44.43210651.4512076E-41.0E-45.095951E-45.492652E-40.00183.27710560.00184855110.00130.00508428040.005519050.00831.50388190.0095964220.0041
7.39.344516E-69.974474E-60.00.09.974474E-60.04.004731E-54.2747062E-52.0E-44.67868381.4274279E-41.0E-44.8746695E-45.203247E-40.00163.07500310.00171970030.00120.00486399050.00523040630.00781.491280.0092094850.004
7.49.023491E-69.520048E-60.00.09.520048E-60.03.867153E-54.0799587E-50.00.04.0799587E-50.04.7072413E-44.966251E-40.00142.8190280.00159607890.00110.0046972830.0049934650.00681.36177990.0084759870.0035
7.57.081253E-67.1136983E-60.00.07.1136983E-60.03.0347876E-53.0486926E-50.00.03.0486926E-50.03.6942272E-43.7111586E-47.0E-41.88620347.709674E-44.0E-40.0036880920.00373772180.00421.1236790.0055309940.0018
7.66.116396E-65.983964E-60.00.05.983964E-60.02.6212863E-52.564531E-50.00.02.564531E-50.03.1909486E-43.1218716E-45.0E-41.60160346.120935E-43.0E-40.00318637070.00314835270.00341.07992980.00434457460.0012
7.74.797145E-64.78061E-60.00.04.78061E-60.02.055903E-52.0488169E-50.00.02.0488169E-50.02.5027743E-42.4941502E-43.0E-41.20281453.493901E-41.0E-40.00249995760.00252130670.00261.03121140.00331928958.0E-4
7.83.4028885E-63.999366E-60.00.03.999366E-60.01.4583726E-51.714003E-50.00.01.714003E-50.01.775424E-42.0865994E-42.0E-40.958497353.0863908E-41.0E-40.00177400620.00211189450.00210.99436790.00271062746.0E-4
7.92.5928412E-63.3901902E-60.00.03.3901902E-60.01.1112129E-51.4529306E-50.00.01.4529306E-50.01.3528178E-41.7688E-41.0E-40.5653552.7686232E-41.0E-40.00135199450.00179019830.00170.94961550.0021894824.0E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6815027E-60.00.01.6815027E-60.05.8901214E-67.2064204E-60.00.07.2064204E-60.07.1709874E-58.773467E-50.00.08.773467E-50.07.1686733E-48.8768784E-46.0E-40.67591339.875991E-41.0E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1632464E-70.00.03.1632464E-70.01.5742813E-61.3556764E-60.00.01.3556764E-60.01.9166706E-51.6505252E-50.00.01.6505252E-50.01.9165053E-41.6705292E-40.00.01.6705292E-40.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.9413783E-43.0E-41.019932.9413783E-40.06.94276E-40.00126009747.0E-40.555512670.00135997141.0E-40.0084200970.0152551480.00740.485082180.0165353160.00130.0810811450.13978310.08790.62883140.147094950.0085
6.11.6204086E-42.9413783E-43.0E-41.019932.9413783E-40.06.94276E-40.00126009747.0E-40.555512670.00135997141.0E-40.0084200970.0152551480.00740.485082180.0165353160.00130.0810811450.13978310.08790.62883140.147094950.0085
6.21.6204086E-42.9413783E-43.0E-41.019932.9413783E-40.06.94276E-40.00126009747.0E-40.555512670.00135997141.0E-40.0084200970.0152551480.00740.485082180.0165353160.00130.0810811450.13978310.08790.62883140.147094950.0085
6.31.0111737E-41.7736538E-42.0E-41.12761571.7736538E-40.04.332882E-47.600331E-44.0E-40.526292867.600331E-40.00.0052625310.0092349240.00450.48728070.0098293826.0E-40.05139640.087214160.05820.66732290.0915042460.0047
6.41.0111737E-41.7736538E-42.0E-41.12761571.7736538E-40.04.332882E-47.600331E-44.0E-40.526292867.600331E-40.00.0052625310.0092349240.00450.48728070.0098293826.0E-40.05139640.087214160.05820.66732290.0915042460.0047
6.53.6624708E-54.642713E-50.00.04.642713E-50.01.569536E-41.9896026E-41.0E-40.502612951.9896026E-40.00.0019092350.0024200110.00130.537187640.00251976911.0E-40.018929150.0237147750.01580.66625130.0249839460.0013
6.62.5051324E-52.6173879E-50.00.02.6173879E-50.01.073584E-41.121692E-40.00.01.121692E-40.00.00130630470.0013648494.0E-40.293072730.00146471251.0E-40.0129865250.013580360.00950.69953960.0143694968.0E-4
6.72.2189772E-52.2089875E-50.00.02.2089875E-50.09.509556E-59.466766E-50.00.09.466766E-50.00.00115717340.00115200574.0E-40.347220480.00125189061.0E-40.0115116630.0114767460.0080.69706170.0122675648.0E-4
6.81.6654378E-51.444831E-50.00.01.444831E-50.07.137396E-56.191989E-50.00.06.191989E-50.08.686314E-47.5361907E-43.0E-40.398079138.535437E-41.0E-40.0086524390.00751565860.00540.71849990.0082103987.0E-4
6.91.5042909E-51.2341207E-50.00.01.2341207E-50.06.446802E-55.288983E-50.00.05.288983E-50.07.8461546E-46.437466E-42.0E-40.310681257.436822E-41.0E-40.0078185090.00642280650.00490.76290640.0071183117.0E-4
7.01.4361385E-51.1459975E-50.00.01.1459975E-50.06.154734E-54.911327E-50.00.04.911327E-50.07.490812E-45.9779297E-42.0E-40.3345646.9773314E-41.0E-40.0074656120.00596569660.00450.75431260.0066615217.0E-4
7.11.3265571E-51.0252637E-50.00.01.0252637E-50.05.6851208E-54.3939148E-50.00.04.3939148E-50.06.919436E-45.348304E-41.0E-40.186975185.348304E-40.00.0068979310.0053387330.00410.767972470.00593552976.0E-4
7.21.1596403E-58.511494E-60.00.08.511494E-60.04.9697923E-53.647733E-50.00.03.647733E-50.06.049042E-44.440227E-41.0E-40.225213724.440227E-40.00.0060326030.0044328280.00370.83468150.00503016876.0E-4
7.31.0150827E-57.244207E-60.00.07.244207E-60.04.3502816E-53.1046242E-50.00.03.1046242E-50.05.2951806E-43.7792386E-41.0E-40.264603563.7792386E-40.00.0052825810.00377318430.00290.768581570.00407205243.0E-4
7.49.080705E-66.35729E-60.00.06.35729E-60.03.8916725E-52.7245253E-50.00.02.7245253E-50.04.7370812E-43.316618E-41.0E-40.301511943.316618E-40.00.0047269960.00331181850.00260.78506720.0036108253.0E-4
7.57.671649E-65.2296386E-60.00.05.2296386E-60.03.287808E-52.2412552E-50.00.02.2412552E-50.04.0021708E-42.728399E-41.0E-40.36651532.728399E-40.00.00399497060.00272517440.00220.807287750.0030243573.0E-4
7.66.990086E-64.691215E-60.00.04.691215E-60.02.9957167E-52.0105059E-50.00.02.0105059E-50.03.6466747E-42.4475277E-41.0E-40.408575562.4475277E-40.00.00364069640.00244494850.0020.818013130.0027442153.0E-4
7.74.163505E-62.3314672E-60.00.02.3314672E-60.01.7843471E-59.991968E-60.00.09.991968E-60.02.172226E-41.2164616E-41.0E-40.822056351.2164616E-40.00.00217010380.00121586899.0E-40.740211370.00141562572.0E-4
7.82.2692414E-79.391798E-80.00.09.391798E-80.09.725317E-74.0250558E-70.00.04.0250558E-70.01.1840509E-54.900498E-60.00.04.900498E-60.01.1839878E-44.9004226E-50.00.04.9004226E-50.0
7.96.676829E-93.4416097E-90.00.03.4416097E-90.02.861498E-81.4749755E-80.00.01.4749755E-80.03.4838732E-71.7957827E-70.00.01.7957827E-70.03.4838679E-61.7957813E-60.00.01.7957813E-60.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0082467E-42.0E-40.66483913.0082467E-40.05.2857865E-40.00128863785.0E-40.388006660.00138850881.0E-40.0064164720.0155812720.00730.468511160.0169594590.00140.062343370.142990950.08510.595142540.151303930.0097
6.11.2336002E-43.0082467E-42.0E-40.66483913.0082467E-40.05.2857865E-40.00128863785.0E-40.388006660.00138850881.0E-40.0064164720.0155812720.00730.468511160.0169594590.00140.062343370.142990950.08510.595142540.151303930.0097
6.21.2336002E-43.0082467E-42.0E-40.66483913.0082467E-40.05.2857865E-40.00128863785.0E-40.388006660.00138850881.0E-40.0064164720.0155812720.00730.468511160.0169594590.00140.062343370.142990950.08510.595142540.151303930.0097
6.31.1712257E-42.8869888E-42.0E-40.69276332.8869888E-40.05.018573E-40.001236725.0E-40.404295240.00133659631.0E-40.0060930080.014957970.00690.461292540.0161400210.00120.0592863220.137700950.08160.592588540.145806550.0094
6.41.1712257E-42.8869888E-42.0E-40.69276332.8869888E-40.05.018573E-40.001236725.0E-40.404295240.00133659631.0E-40.0060930080.014957970.00690.461292540.0161400210.00120.0592863220.137700950.08160.592588540.145806550.0094
6.51.0689076E-42.6881436E-42.0E-40.74400792.6881436E-40.04.5802278E-40.00115157775.0E-40.434186970.00125146251.0E-40.00556217830.0139349570.00650.466452840.0151182350.00120.054250030.128936860.07610.59021140.136776430.009
6.69.7648895E-52.5124868E-42.0E-40.79602412.5124868E-40.04.1842813E-40.00107635945.0E-40.464528860.00117625171.0E-40.0050824690.0130303110.00630.483488080.0142146750.00120.0496778860.121110140.0720.59450020.128668590.0086
6.78.757013E-52.3194493E-42.0E-40.862273632.3194493E-40.03.7524657E-49.936934E-43.0E-40.3019040.0010935941.0E-40.004559060.0120352020.00570.473610640.01312196350.00110.044666560.112388790.06580.585467640.119755970.0083
6.88.562978E-52.275381E-42.0E-40.878973662.275381E-40.03.6693315E-49.7482116E-43.0E-40.307748760.00107472371.0E-40.0044582630.0118079390.00570.482726070.012894950.00110.0436987580.1104016160.06480.58694790.117785280.0083
6.96.124075E-51.7131255E-40.00.01.7131255E-40.02.6243398E-47.339909E-40.00.07.339909E-40.00.00319045270.0088999320.00410.460677680.0098910320.0010.0314503460.0844629560.04820.57066440.091054820.0072
7.05.8598747E-51.6559623E-40.00.01.6559623E-40.02.5111332E-47.0950587E-40.00.07.0950587E-40.00.00305301860.0086042160.0040.464888330.0095956120.0010.030114140.0817742350.0470.574753170.088293640.0071
7.15.613814E-51.597752E-40.00.01.597752E-40.02.4056983E-46.845719E-40.00.06.845719E-40.00.00292500390.0083029940.00380.457666220.0090963518.0E-40.0288680210.079079290.04480.566520.085433650.0069
7.24.991222E-51.4582457E-40.00.01.4582457E-40.02.1389198E-46.248131E-40.00.06.248131E-40.00.0026010250.007580670.00320.422126260.0082753647.0E-40.0257079120.07252320.04110.566715240.0787372960.0067
7.34.7410045E-51.3775252E-40.00.01.3775252E-40.02.0317009E-45.902347E-40.00.05.902347E-40.00.00247078970.0071625160.0030.418847230.0078575027.0E-40.0244349820.068799230.03870.56250630.0745726750.0062
7.44.5556746E-51.3182103E-40.00.01.3182103E-40.01.952286E-45.6482526E-40.00.05.6482526E-40.00.0023743170.0068551440.00280.40845240.00745103146.0E-40.0234910860.066049760.03740.56623970.071653460.006
7.54.3084514E-51.2416183E-40.00.01.2416183E-40.01.8463485E-45.3201395E-40.00.05.3201395E-40.00.00224561150.00645810460.00260.40259490.00705422976.0E-40.0222305450.0624460470.03510.56208520.0679776150.0059
7.63.408608E-59.8896766E-50.00.09.8896766E-50.01.4607502E-44.2377453E-40.00.04.2377453E-40.00.00177701250.0051472750.0020.388555080.00574418676.0E-40.0176286960.0502598250.02890.57501190.0550085270.005
7.72.8315713E-58.299581E-50.00.08.299581E-50.01.2134742E-43.5564785E-40.00.03.5564785E-40.00.00147640340.0043214250.00160.370248230.0048192645.0E-40.014666330.042498850.02480.58354520.0464246050.0041
7.82.6222975E-57.5106866E-50.00.07.5106866E-50.01.1237934E-43.218469E-40.00.03.218469E-40.00.00136735970.00391145140.00160.40905530.00440949575.0E-40.0135897680.0386502440.0230.59508030.0423995070.0039
7.92.1469694E-55.8276586E-50.00.05.8276586E-50.09.200973E-52.497329E-40.00.02.497329E-40.00.00111964280.0030362620.00140.461093280.0035347445.0E-40.0111401840.0303322240.01750.57694420.0330472920.0028
8.01.2420249E-53.154216E-50.00.03.154216E-50.05.322855E-51.3517369E-40.00.01.3517369E-40.06.478649E-40.00164449827.0E-40.425661740.00194400493.0E-40.00645979350.0166269410.00870.52324720.0182003380.0016
8.14.9197724E-67.90596E-60.00.07.90596E-60.02.1084568E-53.3882246E-50.00.03.3882246E-50.02.566744E-44.124384E-42.0E-40.48492096.1235594E-42.0E-40.0025637810.00442667960.00230.519576850.00472535153.0E-4
8.22.5634774E-62.945407E-60.00.02.945407E-60.01.0986286E-51.2623112E-50.00.01.2623112E-50.01.3374983E-41.536756E-41.0E-40.650721432.5366023E-41.0E-40.00133669340.0017253810.00110.637540340.0019250362.0E-4
8.35.2850464E-73.260484E-70.00.03.260484E-70.02.2650179E-61.3973496E-60.00.01.3973496E-60.02.7576245E-51.7012611E-50.00.01.7012611E-50.02.7572823E-42.0163773E-41.0E-40.495938962.0163773E-40.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3446787E-41.0E-40.426497672.3446787E-40.03.5633717E-40.00100447112.0E-40.199109760.00100447110.00.0043297780.01216075850.00510.419381740.013444950.00130.0424638280.112841750.06260.55475920.121447180.0097
6.18.31567E-52.3446787E-41.0E-40.426497672.3446787E-40.03.5633717E-40.00100447112.0E-40.199109760.00100447110.00.0043297780.01216075850.00510.419381740.013444950.00130.0424638280.112841750.06260.55475920.121447180.0097
6.28.31567E-52.3446787E-41.0E-40.426497672.3446787E-40.03.5633717E-40.00100447112.0E-40.199109760.00100447110.00.0043297780.01216075850.00510.419381740.013444950.00130.0424638280.112841750.06260.55475920.121447180.0097
6.38.31567E-52.3446787E-41.0E-40.426497672.3446787E-40.03.5633717E-40.00100447112.0E-40.199109760.00100447110.00.0043297780.01216075850.00510.419381740.013444950.00130.0424638280.112841750.06260.55475920.121447180.0097
6.48.059055E-52.3003898E-41.0E-40.434708952.3003898E-40.03.4534236E-49.855103E-42.0E-40.202940549.855103E-40.00.00419643940.011932780.0050.419013830.0132172680.00130.0411807450.11082190.06170.556749170.1194469260.0097
6.58.059055E-52.3003898E-41.0E-40.434708952.3003898E-40.03.4534236E-49.855103E-42.0E-40.202940549.855103E-40.00.00419643940.011932780.0050.419013830.0132172680.00130.0411807450.11082190.06170.556749170.1194469260.0097
6.67.619237E-52.2247908E-41.0E-40.449480442.2247908E-40.03.2649786E-49.5313566E-42.0E-40.209833719.5313566E-40.00.00396786770.0115432310.00490.424491170.0128282250.00130.038977640.1073572040.05990.557950440.115926570.0096
6.77.440636E-52.1923587E-41.0E-40.456129732.1923587E-40.03.188454E-49.392462E-42.0E-40.212936719.392462E-40.00.00387503460.0113759010.00490.430735080.01266111250.00130.0380815640.105865530.05870.5544770.11435980.0095
6.87.3735864E-52.1770672E-41.0E-40.459333542.1770672E-40.03.1597257E-49.3269744E-42.0E-40.21443189.3269744E-40.00.00384018150.01129700150.00490.43374340.0125823160.00130.037744950.105166960.05840.55530750.113667870.0095
6.97.27575E-52.1539546E-41.0E-40.464262372.1539546E-40.03.117806E-49.2279905E-42.0E-40.216731929.2279905E-40.00.0037893230.0111777320.00480.429425240.0123643190.00120.0372535620.1041146440.05750.552275840.112356790.0092
7.07.102591E-52.1123323E-41.0E-40.473410372.1123323E-40.03.0436125E-49.049734E-42.0E-40.221000979.049734E-40.00.0036993030.0109629060.00480.43784010.0121497510.00120.036383250.102215910.05620.549816550.1102959660.009
7.17.028513E-52.0958843E-41.0E-40.477125562.0958843E-40.03.0118722E-48.979292E-42.0E-40.222734728.979292E-40.00.00366078970.0108780030.00470.43206460.012064950.00120.0360106860.1014586760.05530.54504950.1095455440.009
7.26.8498244E-52.0566412E-41.0E-40.48622972.0566412E-40.02.9353087E-48.8112213E-41.0E-40.113491648.8112213E-40.00.0035678830.0106753990.00460.430897270.0118625880.00120.0351114050.0996499360.05450.54691460.107663050.0089
7.36.622592E-51.9792905E-41.0E-40.50523151.9792905E-40.02.8379448E-48.479938E-41.0E-40.117925398.479938E-40.00.00344972430.0102759340.00460.447647870.0114636030.00120.0339666120.0961437750.0530.55125770.1039169360.0086
7.45.1050705E-51.4741668E-40.00.01.4741668E-40.02.1877038E-46.316337E-40.00.06.316337E-40.00.0026602760.0076632180.00350.456727180.008258626.0E-40.026286540.073091420.04120.563677670.07930170.0067
7.53.9302922E-51.1175581E-40.00.01.1175581E-40.01.6843023E-44.7886587E-40.00.04.7886587E-40.00.00204870920.00581467660.00230.39555080.0063117695.0E-40.0202992470.0562118480.03030.53903230.060836410.0049
7.62.9851626E-58.535378E-50.00.08.535378E-50.01.2792926E-43.6575075E-40.00.03.6575075E-40.00.00155642590.00444394860.00180.405045180.0049417275.0E-40.01545569950.0433750340.02370.546397270.0472015370.004
7.72.1135214E-56.38885E-50.00.06.38885E-50.09.0576345E-52.7377915E-40.00.02.7377915E-40.00.00110220910.0033281720.00120.36055830.00372684074.0E-40.0109675820.0327454020.01810.552749340.0356471650.003
7.81.883379E-55.5969944E-50.00.05.5969944E-50.08.0713755E-52.3984915E-40.00.02.3984915E-40.09.822468E-40.00291625620.00120.411486480.00331508974.0E-40.00977916550.0288451670.01630.5650860.03156440.0028
7.91.5156185E-54.1929838E-50.00.04.1929838E-50.06.495346E-51.7968693E-40.00.01.7968693E-40.07.9052144E-40.00218549490.0010.457562270.00258462064.0E-40.0078771520.021884590.01190.54376160.0237430110.0019
8.01.1405907E-53.017959E-50.00.03.017959E-50.04.8881542E-51.293347E-40.00.01.293347E-40.05.9497025E-40.00157351367.0E-40.44486430.00187304153.0E-40.0059337980.01586860.00810.510441960.0172463860.0014
8.14.3511436E-67.4451445E-60.00.07.4451445E-60.01.8647626E-53.1907373E-50.00.03.1907373E-50.02.2701119E-43.8840316E-42.0E-40.51492895.883255E-42.0E-40.00226779420.0041544910.00210.505477130.0044532443.0E-4
8.22.3042528E-62.768347E-60.00.02.768347E-60.09.875332E-61.186429E-50.00.01.186429E-50.01.2022553E-41.444382E-41.0E-40.69233762.4442378E-41.0E-40.00120160510.00161657859.0E-40.556731340.00181625532.0E-4
8.35.202968E-73.2106607E-70.00.03.2106607E-70.02.2298414E-61.3759968E-60.00.01.3759968E-60.02.714798E-51.6752645E-50.00.01.6752645E-50.02.7144665E-41.9852648E-41.0E-40.50371111.9852648E-40.0

West Napa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.773104E-54.4546552E-50.00.04.4546552E-50.01.6169442E-41.9090163E-40.00.01.9090163E-40.00.0019668520.00232206730.00271.16275690.0034195130.00110.0194953480.0230117510.02531.09943830.031511550.0087
6.13.773104E-54.4546552E-50.00.04.4546552E-50.01.6169442E-41.9090163E-40.00.01.9090163E-40.00.0019668520.00232206730.00271.16275690.0034195130.00110.0194953480.0230117510.02531.09943830.031511550.0087
6.23.773104E-54.4546552E-50.00.04.4546552E-50.01.6169442E-41.9090163E-40.00.01.9090163E-40.00.0019668520.00232206730.00271.16275690.0034195130.00110.0194953480.0230117510.02531.09943830.031511550.0087
6.32.147964E-52.4996978E-50.00.02.4996978E-50.09.2052345E-51.0712603E-40.00.01.0712603E-40.00.0011201610.00130357080.00171.30411030.00200265837.0E-40.0111453150.012970120.01531.17963450.0177078620.0048
6.42.147964E-52.4996978E-50.00.02.4996978E-50.09.2052345E-51.0712603E-40.00.01.0712603E-40.00.0011201610.00130357080.00171.30411030.00200265837.0E-40.0111453150.012970120.01531.17963450.0177078620.0048
6.51.688201E-51.9555233E-50.00.01.9555233E-50.07.234947E-58.380586E-50.00.08.380586E-50.08.804988E-40.00101993150.00131.27459540.00141952354.0E-40.0087701820.0101614320.01161.14157140.0138238350.0037
6.61.6846381E-51.9514915E-50.00.01.9514915E-50.07.219678E-58.363308E-50.00.08.363308E-50.08.7864127E-40.00101782990.00131.27722720.00141742284.0E-40.0087517540.0101406080.01151.13405430.0137041020.0036
6.71.3396501E-51.5474114E-50.00.01.5474114E-50.05.7412315E-56.63163E-50.00.06.63163E-50.06.9877075E-48.0716546E-40.00121.48668410.00110692333.0E-40.00696577550.008050320.00891.10554610.0104309990.0024
6.81.0139058E-51.1677316E-50.00.01.1677316E-50.04.3452383E-55.0044997E-50.00.05.0044997E-50.05.289043E-46.0918304E-48.0E-41.31323429.090003E-43.0E-40.0052764730.00608231030.00641.05223180.0079707540.0019
6.97.761281E-68.894887E-60.00.08.894887E-60.03.326221E-53.8120677E-50.00.03.8120677E-50.04.0489217E-44.6407184E-45.0E-41.07741946.6397904E-42.0E-40.00404155250.00463779880.00430.9271640.00593176950.0013
7.02.2109202E-62.3684383E-60.00.02.3684383E-60.09.475338E-61.015041E-50.00.01.015041E-50.01.1535613E-41.2357433E-41.0E-40.80922961.2357433E-40.00.00115296270.00123679649.0E-40.727686460.00123679640.0
7.11.9008926E-62.0150253E-60.00.02.0150253E-60.08.146657E-68.635794E-60.00.08.635794E-60.09.918104E-51.05135754E-41.0E-40.951151251.05135754E-40.09.913679E-40.00105259548.0E-40.760026040.00105259540.0
7.21.8495944E-61.9578185E-60.00.01.9578185E-60.07.926808E-68.390624E-60.00.08.390624E-60.09.650462E-51.0215108E-41.0E-40.978942161.0215108E-40.09.6462725E-40.00102277678.0E-40.78218440.00102277670.0
7.31.7883189E-61.8897636E-60.00.01.8897636E-60.07.664201E-68.098961E-60.00.08.098961E-60.09.330765E-59.8600416E-51.0E-41.01419459.8600416E-50.09.3268487E-49.873025E-48.0E-40.810288679.873025E-40.0
7.41.6520572E-61.7430917E-60.00.01.7430917E-60.07.0802257E-67.470372E-60.00.07.470372E-60.08.6198335E-59.094801E-51.0E-41.09952939.094801E-50.08.616491E-49.10844E-48.0E-40.878306279.10844E-40.0
7.51.4040345E-61.4814387E-60.00.01.4814387E-60.06.0172765E-66.349008E-60.00.06.349008E-60.07.325788E-57.7296456E-50.00.07.7296456E-50.07.3233736E-47.7439373E-46.0E-40.774799647.7439373E-40.0
7.61.3013842E-71.4482065E-70.00.01.4482065E-70.05.57736E-76.2065976E-70.00.06.2065976E-70.06.790414E-67.5565063E-60.00.07.5565063E-60.06.790207E-57.648976E-51.0E-41.30736457.648976E-50.0
7.78.541512E-89.776703E-80.00.09.776703E-80.03.6606474E-74.1900148E-70.00.04.1900148E-70.04.456829E-65.101331E-60.00.05.101331E-60.04.4567398E-55.191429E-51.0E-41.92625195.191429E-50.0
7.85.6074793E-86.945413E-80.00.06.945413E-80.02.403205E-72.976605E-70.00.02.976605E-70.02.9258983E-63.6240108E-60.00.03.6240108E-60.02.9258597E-53.7071426E-51.0E-42.69749553.7071426E-50.0
7.92.9475839E-83.886336E-80.00.03.886336E-80.01.2632502E-71.6655724E-70.00.01.6655724E-70.01.538006E-62.0278326E-60.00.02.0278326E-60.01.5379954E-52.081834E-51.0E-44.8034572.081834E-50.0
8.01.3337122E-82.1804896E-80.00.02.1804896E-80.05.7159088E-89.344955E-80.00.09.344955E-80.06.959117E-71.1377477E-60.00.01.1377477E-60.06.959095E-61.173291E-51.0E-48.5230351.173291E-50.0
8.12.6589986E-104.898225E-100.00.04.898225E-100.01.1395708E-92.0992401E-90.00.02.0992401E-90.01.3874274E-82.5558252E-80.00.02.5558252E-80.01.3874273E-72.6223145E-70.00.02.6223145E-70.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1863181E-50.00.02.1863181E-50.08.525106E-59.369649E-52.0E-42.13455151.9368713E-41.0E-40.00103743740.00114024880.00191.6663030.00223899450.00110.0103260750.0113530010.01561.3740860.0198553650.0086
6.11.9892565E-52.1863181E-50.00.02.1863181E-50.08.525106E-59.369649E-52.0E-42.13455151.9368713E-41.0E-40.00103743740.00114024880.00191.6663030.00223899450.00110.0103260750.0113530010.01561.3740860.0198553650.0086
6.21.9892565E-52.1863181E-50.00.02.1863181E-50.08.525106E-59.369649E-52.0E-42.13455151.9368713E-41.0E-40.00103743740.00114024880.00191.6663030.00223899450.00110.0103260750.0113530010.01561.3740860.0198553650.0086
6.31.1117327E-51.2178974E-50.00.01.2178974E-50.04.764482E-55.2194737E-52.0E-43.8318041.5218952E-41.0E-45.7992124E-46.353172E-40.00121.88882040.00133487247.0E-40.00578410220.00633811620.00861.356870.0107102280.0044
6.41.1117327E-51.2178974E-50.00.01.2178974E-50.04.764482E-55.2194737E-52.0E-43.8318041.5218952E-41.0E-45.7992124E-46.353172E-40.00121.88882040.00133487247.0E-40.00578410220.00633811620.00861.356870.0107102280.0044
6.56.103093E-66.673303E-60.00.06.673303E-60.02.615585E-52.8599625E-51.0E-43.49654942.8599625E-50.03.1840094E-43.4815737E-44.0E-41.14890584.4812256E-41.0E-40.00317945120.00347735380.00411.17905750.0053707470.0019
6.65.817237E-66.3668954E-60.00.06.3668954E-60.02.4930776E-52.7286478E-51.0E-43.66481882.7286478E-50.03.034899E-43.3217468E-44.0E-41.20418574.3214147E-41.0E-40.00303075770.00331800430.0041.2055440.00521170.0019
6.74.8846314E-65.3415956E-60.00.05.3415956E-60.02.0933967E-52.2892418E-51.0E-44.36825852.2892418E-50.02.5484123E-42.7869132E-44.0E-41.43527973.7866345E-41.0E-40.00254549180.00278457420.00361.29283680.0043801190.0016
6.81.7788773E-61.9402698E-60.00.01.9402698E-60.07.6237375E-68.315425E-61.0E-412.0258448.315425E-60.09.281505E-51.0123717E-42.0E-41.9755592.0122704E-41.0E-49.2776294E-40.00101206520.00171.67973380.00161145796.0E-4
6.97.5455404E-78.298794E-70.00.08.298794E-70.03.233799E-63.5566231E-60.00.03.5566231E-60.03.937079E-54.3301363E-50.00.04.3301363E-50.03.9363815E-44.329622E-45.0E-41.15483525.329189E-41.0E-4
7.06.8578805E-77.543365E-70.00.07.543365E-70.02.9390883E-63.2328687E-60.00.03.2328687E-60.03.578281E-53.9359795E-50.00.03.9359795E-50.03.577705E-43.9356074E-45.0E-41.27045194.935214E-41.0E-4

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-42.004287E-40.00.02.004287E-40.04.8295266E-48.5867115E-45.0E-40.58229518.5867115E-40.00.00586410750.0103941640.00820.78890420.0117796130.00140.0571175780.098107440.08680.88474430.104781450.0074
6.11.1239393E-41.9990969E-40.00.01.9990969E-40.04.8159933E-48.564483E-44.0E-40.46704518.564483E-40.00.00584771950.0103673860.0070.67519430.0115549450.00120.0569621320.097865740.07360.75205070.1040002550.0068
6.27.596265E-51.2944567E-40.00.01.2944567E-40.03.2551357E-45.5461493E-42.0E-40.360610545.5461493E-40.00.00395592770.0067269430.00450.66895170.00762088889.0E-40.0388624330.064640840.04680.724000450.069785320.0055
6.36.78794E-51.14578215E-40.00.01.14578215E-40.02.9087928E-44.9093936E-42.0E-40.40738234.9093936E-40.00.0035357050.00595766540.00420.70497410.00685230369.0E-40.0347997660.0575101640.04250.73899980.062411110.0052
6.46.2165134E-51.0443753E-40.00.01.0443753E-40.02.6639478E-44.474991E-42.0E-40.446928264.474991E-40.00.00323853320.00543211350.00410.754770640.0062277688.0E-40.031917420.0525928850.03960.75295350.056950960.0046
6.55.4368087E-59.078325E-50.00.09.078325E-50.02.3298527E-43.8900654E-42.0E-40.51413023.8900654E-40.00.00283290590.004723960.00320.67739780.0054206537.0E-40.0279706330.0459185170.0340.740442040.0493532120.0036
6.64.729947E-57.85424E-50.00.07.85424E-50.02.0269625E-43.365648E-41.0E-40.297119623.365648E-40.00.0024650340.0040885920.00270.660374050.00448695664.0E-40.024378690.039886650.02870.7195390.042766990.003
6.73.6875328E-56.0503855E-50.00.06.0503855E-50.01.5802756E-42.5927825E-41.0E-40.385686042.5927825E-40.00.00192228750.00315154020.00230.72980190.00335090982.0E-40.0190574420.0309228580.02230.72114940.0332486440.0024
6.82.0292036E-52.8991299E-50.00.02.8991299E-50.08.6962966E-51.2424242E-40.00.01.2424242E-40.00.00105825990.00151158930.00110.72771090.00151158930.00.0105323440.0149864290.010.667270360.015774448.0E-4
6.91.7871042E-52.4485564E-50.00.02.4485564E-50.07.658793E-51.0493388E-40.00.01.0493388E-40.09.320591E-40.00127682078.0E-40.62655630.00127682070.00.0092815950.012686720.00820.646345140.013377847.0E-4
7.01.6415532E-52.1918755E-50.00.02.1918755E-50.07.035038E-59.3934155E-50.00.09.3934155E-50.08.561793E-40.00114304947.0E-40.612396960.00114304940.00.0085288820.0113710240.00690.60680550.0119642016.0E-4
7.11.5409885E-52.0358328E-50.00.02.0358328E-50.06.6040695E-58.724708E-50.00.08.724708E-50.08.0374884E-40.00106171825.0E-40.470934750.00106171820.00.008008480.0105669510.00640.60566190.0111606116.0E-4
7.21.4497423E-51.9066418E-50.00.01.9066418E-50.06.213033E-58.171068E-50.00.08.171068E-50.07.5617427E-49.943765E-44.0E-40.402262129.943765E-40.00.00753606340.0099000330.00620.62626060.01049409256.0E-4
7.31.3615175E-51.7837188E-50.00.01.7837188E-50.05.8349444E-57.644287E-50.00.07.644287E-50.07.101729E-49.302974E-44.0E-40.429979.302974E-40.00.00707907650.0092648360.0060.64760990.0097602045.0E-4
7.41.2252825E-51.6036516E-50.00.01.6036516E-50.05.251105E-56.872613E-50.00.06.872613E-50.06.391345E-48.3642226E-43.0E-40.358670538.3642226E-40.00.00637299430.0083334390.00530.635991930.0088292725.0E-4
7.51.0913301E-51.4250034E-50.00.01.4250034E-50.04.6770452E-56.107016E-50.00.06.107016E-50.05.6928146E-47.4327824E-43.0E-40.403617357.4327824E-40.00.00567825320.00740858350.00470.63439930.007805624.0E-4
7.68.623192E-61.1242259E-50.00.01.1242259E-50.03.6956015E-54.818023E-50.00.04.818023E-50.04.4984656E-45.86439E-42.0E-40.341041455.86439E-40.00.004489370.00584949040.00370.63253370.00624715074.0E-4
7.72.0993634E-62.6642563E-60.00.02.6642563E-60.08.997241E-61.1418191E-50.00.01.1418191E-50.01.09535904E-41.3900768E-42.0E-41.43876931.3900768E-40.00.00109481930.00138923250.00120.863786340.00148909351.0E-4
7.81.8428308E-72.1731857E-70.00.02.1731857E-70.07.897844E-79.31365E-70.00.09.31365E-70.09.615583E-61.13393135E-50.00.01.13393135E-50.09.615166E-51.1338047E-42.0E-41.76397231.1338047E-40.0

Green Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.9629346E-51.7315976E-42.0E-41.15500273.7312513E-42.0E-44.2691303E-47.418932E-46.0E-40.808741750.00114159654.0E-40.00518528560.0089937660.0060.667128740.01057937650.00160.0506595150.0855950.05940.69396580.092544470.0076
6.19.88615E-51.7162993E-42.0E-41.16529793.715956E-42.0E-44.2362334E-47.3534047E-46.0E-40.815948550.00113504644.0E-40.00514542360.0089146490.0060.673049570.01050038450.00160.0502790440.084881520.05830.68683970.0917449150.0075
6.29.696895E-51.6801653E-42.0E-41.1903593.6798292E-42.0E-44.15515E-47.1986346E-46.0E-40.83349140.00111957554.0E-40.00504716670.0087278220.00580.66454150.0103138580.00160.049340630.0831888840.05660.680379330.0899732860.0074
6.39.275224E-51.5980878E-42.0E-41.25149563.5977684E-42.0E-43.9744904E-46.8470614E-46.0E-40.876288350.00108443224.0E-40.00482821050.0083030910.00540.65036020.0097906370.00150.0472464750.079327260.05390.67946380.0859561040.0072
6.48.391499E-51.4374741E-41.0E-40.69566472.4373304E-41.0E-43.595861E-46.1590975E-45.0E-40.81180739.1572496E-43.0E-40.0043691750.00747183570.00480.64241240.0087621220.00130.042842650.0716856640.04910.684934740.0774412160.0062
6.55.9519385E-59.940456E-50.00.09.940456E-50.02.5505814E-44.259467E-42.0E-40.469542324.259467E-40.00.00310091120.0051724810.00310.599325540.005868867.0E-40.0305799660.050181980.03650.727352740.0539812520.004
6.64.5361558E-57.408973E-50.00.07.408973E-50.01.9439218E-43.1748894E-41.0E-40.31497163.1748894E-40.00.00236415580.00385764220.00250.648064260.0042560994.0E-40.0233916230.037699530.02870.76128270.0407788940.0032
6.73.8808106E-56.2708255E-50.00.06.2708255E-50.01.6630985E-42.6872384E-41.0E-40.372129262.6872384E-40.00.00202294180.0032662140.00230.70417920.00356523413.0E-40.0200462560.0320373250.02440.761611640.0346508250.0027
6.82.2284667E-53.1304608E-50.00.03.1304608E-50.09.550222E-51.3415568E-40.00.01.3415568E-40.00.00116211920.00163212020.00110.673970.0017319571.0E-40.0115606070.0161749460.01210.74807050.0172571540.0011
6.91.8050168E-52.446573E-50.00.02.446573E-50.07.735557E-51.048489E-40.00.01.048489E-40.09.4139716E-40.00127579058.0E-40.62706220.00127579050.00.0093741910.0126772260.00980.773039760.0134670858.0E-4
7.01.4763166E-51.9596251E-50.00.01.9596251E-50.06.326917E-58.398125E-50.00.08.398125E-50.07.7002996E-40.00102199325.0E-40.489240020.00102199320.00.0076736720.0101728210.00710.697938140.01086577.0E-4
7.11.2399713E-51.6315218E-50.00.01.6315218E-50.05.3140546E-56.9920505E-50.00.06.9920505E-50.06.467941E-48.5095165E-43.0E-40.352546488.5095165E-40.00.0064491480.0084774930.00590.69596040.0090724076.0E-4
7.21.0584195E-51.393259E-50.00.01.393259E-50.04.5360044E-55.9709746E-50.00.05.9709746E-50.05.521186E-47.267253E-43.0E-40.412810747.267253E-40.00.00550748870.00724414460.00520.71782110.0078397986.0E-4
7.37.998173E-61.0550276E-50.00.01.0550276E-50.03.4277433E-54.521469E-50.00.04.521469E-50.04.1724785E-45.503509E-43.0E-40.545106775.503509E-40.00.0041646530.00549056570.00450.819587650.00588836944.0E-4
7.46.7571127E-68.938703E-60.00.08.938703E-60.02.8958733E-53.830817E-50.00.03.830817E-50.03.5251552E-44.663031E-41.0E-40.214452774.663031E-40.00.00351956860.0046537060.00350.75208880.00505184434.0E-4
7.55.69878E-67.521207E-60.00.07.521207E-60.02.4423114E-53.223335E-50.00.03.223335E-50.02.9731085E-43.9237126E-41.0E-40.254860673.9237126E-40.00.0029691340.00391722330.00310.79137690.00431565664.0E-4
7.64.503664E-65.9401614E-60.00.05.9401614E-60.01.9301275E-52.5457592E-50.00.02.5457592E-50.02.3496768E-43.099029E-41.0E-40.32268173.099029E-40.00.0023471940.0030950940.00230.74311150.00349385624.0E-4
7.71.0873546E-61.411756E-60.00.01.411756E-60.04.6600826E-66.050369E-60.00.06.050369E-60.05.6735033E-57.366078E-51.0E-41.35757457.366078E-50.05.672055E-47.3638425E-49.0E-41.2221888.363106E-41.0E-4
7.84.9373917E-86.230447E-80.00.06.230447E-80.02.1160248E-72.6701915E-70.00.02.6701915E-70.02.5762572E-63.2509547E-60.00.03.2509547E-60.02.5762274E-53.2501965E-51.0E-43.0767373.2501965E-50.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.3888496E-43.0E-42.16006114.388433E-43.0E-47.378611E-45.9508753E-45.0E-40.84021259.948495E-44.0E-40.0089465150.00722149950.00450.623139260.0091077790.00190.085947940.071000870.04320.608443260.0777825640.0073
6.11.7221631E-41.3888496E-43.0E-42.16006114.388433E-43.0E-47.378611E-45.9508753E-45.0E-40.84021259.948495E-44.0E-40.0089465150.00722149950.00450.623139260.0091077790.00190.085947940.071000870.04320.608443260.0777825640.0073
6.21.7221631E-41.3888496E-43.0E-42.16006114.388433E-43.0E-47.378611E-45.9508753E-45.0E-40.84021259.948495E-44.0E-40.0089465150.00722149950.00450.623139260.0091077790.00190.085947940.071000870.04320.608443260.0777825640.0073
6.31.716926E-41.3807727E-43.0E-42.17269644.3803584E-43.0E-47.3561794E-45.916276E-45.0E-40.84512629.91391E-44.0E-40.0089194280.0071796530.00450.62677130.0090660120.00190.085698090.07061210.04310.610376950.077396640.0073
6.41.6392978E-41.368165E-43.0E-42.1927184.3677544E-43.0E-47.02367E-45.862267E-45.0E-40.85291239.859923E-44.0E-40.0085178390.00711432660.00440.61847030.0089015210.00180.081986540.069834570.04250.60858110.076345730.007
6.51.5742714E-41.273864E-43.0E-42.35503944.273482E-43.0E-46.745133E-45.4582924E-45.0E-40.916037449.4561087E-44.0E-40.008181320.0066255340.0040.603724960.00831427050.00170.0788659450.065290210.03910.59886460.071178890.0063
6.61.3038084E-41.1671606E-43.0E-42.57034044.1668105E-43.0E-45.5865536E-45.001171E-45.0E-40.99976598.9991704E-44.0E-40.0067804380.00607215470.00330.54346440.0072648680.00120.06577250.059718220.03520.589434860.064701710.0053
6.71.2867592E-41.13975744E-43.0E-42.6321394.1394154E-43.0E-45.5135164E-44.883773E-45.0E-41.02379868.8818197E-44.0E-40.00669206540.00593000840.00320.53962820.00712289240.00120.064940930.0584272850.03460.59218910.063229310.0051
6.81.2801298E-41.13350194E-43.0E-42.6466654.133162E-43.0E-45.485117E-44.8569738E-45.0E-41.02944768.8550313E-44.0E-40.00665770050.00589757370.00320.542596040.00709049640.00120.064617380.0581407770.03440.591667350.062944260.0051
6.91.269149E-41.1176878E-43.0E-42.68411284.1173524E-43.0E-45.4380763E-44.789224E-45.0E-41.04401058.7873085E-44.0E-40.0066007770.0058155310.00320.55025070.00700855260.00120.064081220.057411510.0340.59221570.0621244530.005
7.01.2030331E-41.090566E-43.0E-42.7508654.090239E-43.0E-45.154837E-44.67303E-45.0E-41.06996958.671161E-44.0E-40.0062579690.005674810.00310.54627380.0068680.00120.060846480.0560769180.03320.592043940.060702140.0049
7.18.049617E-55.4541768E-53.0E-45.50037153.545254E-43.0E-43.4493793E-42.3372969E-44.0E-41.71137866.336362E-44.0E-40.00419153460.00284198110.00140.492614120.00373942349.0E-40.0411335160.0299239290.01620.54137280.032640140.0028
7.27.093979E-54.3483044E-52.0E-44.59949452.4347435E-42.0E-43.0399222E-41.8634272E-43.0E-41.60993684.8628682E-43.0E-40.00369482530.00226638540.00120.52947750.00296479887.0E-40.036339940.0242157340.01330.54922970.0258745660.0017
7.36.193693E-52.930326E-51.0E-43.41258961.2930033E-41.0E-42.6541698E-41.2557936E-41.0E-40.79630922.2556681E-41.0E-40.00322666370.00152785837.0E-40.45815770.00202709445.0E-40.0318021330.0167134940.00960.57438610.017795110.0011
7.45.906492E-52.7408894E-51.0E-43.64845061.2740615E-41.0E-42.5311083E-41.1746141E-41.0E-40.85134342.1744966E-41.0E-40.00307726980.0014291566.0E-40.41982820.00192844155.0E-40.0303500440.015674050.0090.57419740.016756810.0011
7.55.424296E-52.5031419E-51.0E-43.99497911.2502892E-41.0E-42.324491E-41.072731E-41.0E-40.932200132.0726238E-41.0E-40.0028263950.00130526885.0E-40.383062870.00170474664.0E-40.0279071650.0143507640.00780.543525040.0153364130.001
7.64.43084E-52.0182793E-51.0E-44.95471571.20180775E-41.0E-41.8987931E-48.6494816E-51.0E-41.15613871.8648617E-41.0E-40.00230932960.00105256595.0E-40.475029620.00145214494.0E-40.0228547830.0115613810.00710.61411350.0125498190.001
7.74.118098E-51.9202513E-51.0E-45.2076521.19200595E-41.0E-41.7647797E-48.229389E-51.0E-41.21515721.8228566E-41.0E-40.0021465020.00100146785.0E-40.49926720.00140106724.0E-40.0212588660.0110126720.00660.599309560.012001660.001
7.83.5408906E-51.8823164E-51.0E-45.3126031.18821285E-41.0E-41.5174363E-48.066821E-51.0E-41.23964571.8066014E-41.0E-40.00184591319.816932E-45.0E-40.509324130.00138130054.0E-40.0183065520.0107900660.00630.583870350.0116803559.0E-4
7.92.5860836E-51.7549322E-50.00.01.7549322E-50.01.10827445E-47.520922E-50.00.07.520922E-50.00.0013484899.152878E-44.0E-40.437021020.00121501323.0E-40.0134033540.0100312790.00590.58816030.0108232548.0E-4
8.01.9777332E-51.5036037E-50.00.01.5036037E-50.08.4757245E-56.443857E-50.00.06.443857E-50.00.00103143097.8425737E-44.0E-40.510036650.00108402213.0E-40.0102665670.0086134040.00510.592100440.0093073747.0E-4
8.11.468494E-51.2266564E-50.00.01.2266564E-50.06.293394E-55.256993E-50.00.05.256993E-50.07.6595135E-46.3985115E-44.0E-40.62514549.396592E-43.0E-40.00763316640.007054250.00390.55285820.00774931267.0E-4
8.28.63836E-65.5506457E-60.00.05.5506457E-60.03.7021015E-52.3788265E-50.00.02.3788265E-50.04.5063766E-42.8958372E-42.0E-40.69064663.8955474E-41.0E-40.0044972490.00329036550.00210.6382270.00358937823.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.792044E-70.00.07.792044E-70.08.498917E-63.3394433E-60.00.03.3394433E-60.01.034694E-44.065698E-50.00.04.065698E-50.00.00103421244.7958124E-42.0E-40.417030484.7958124E-40.0

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3198105E-51.0E-44.3106972.3198105E-50.09.2335285E-59.941711E-54.0E-44.02345233.993873E-43.0E-40.00112360230.00120981120.00373.05832840.0040064240.00280.0111793810.0120402370.01481.22921170.0187583640.0068
6.12.1545662E-52.3198105E-51.0E-44.3106972.3198105E-50.09.2335285E-59.941711E-54.0E-44.02345233.993873E-43.0E-40.00112360230.00120981120.00373.05832840.0040064240.00280.0111793810.0120402370.01481.22921170.0187583640.0068
6.22.1545662E-52.3198105E-51.0E-44.3106972.3198105E-50.09.2335285E-59.941711E-54.0E-44.02345233.993873E-43.0E-40.00112360230.00120981120.00373.05832840.0040064240.00280.0111793810.0120402370.01481.22921170.0187583640.0068
6.31.0025529E-51.0748527E-50.00.01.0748527E-50.04.2965847E-54.606438E-51.0E-42.17087481.4605977E-41.0E-45.229836E-45.607027E-40.00234.10199550.00235969340.00180.0052175450.0055941930.00641.14404340.0088757320.0033
6.41.0025529E-51.0748527E-50.00.01.0748527E-50.04.2965847E-54.606438E-51.0E-42.17087481.4605977E-41.0E-45.229836E-45.607027E-40.00234.10199550.00235969340.00180.0052175450.0055941930.00641.14404340.0088757320.0033
6.56.9617327E-67.4577256E-60.00.07.4577256E-60.02.9835655E-53.196134E-50.00.03.196134E-50.03.6318856E-43.890685E-40.00123.08428980.00138867940.0010.00362595570.0038847280.0041.02967310.0057773470.0019
6.64.9919777E-65.3474705E-60.00.05.3474705E-60.02.1394015E-52.2917568E-50.00.02.2917568E-50.02.60441E-42.7899237E-49.0E-43.22589479.787971E-47.0E-40.00260135970.002787080.00240.86111630.00378429280.001
6.73.6630722E-63.925201E-60.00.03.925201E-60.01.5698786E-51.6822212E-50.00.01.6822212E-50.01.9111596E-42.0479693E-47.0E-43.418027.0469454E-45.0E-40.00190951680.00204664520.00170.83062760.00274521257.0E-4
6.82.5599613E-62.7453334E-60.00.02.7453334E-60.01.0971216E-51.176569E-50.00.01.176569E-50.01.3356637E-41.4324281E-46.0E-44.1886926.431712E-45.0E-40.00133486130.00143198980.00151.04749350.00213098747.0E-4
6.91.7684905E-61.8971543E-60.00.01.8971543E-60.07.579223E-68.130662E-60.00.08.130662E-60.09.2273134E-59.89908E-55.0E-45.05097444.989512E-44.0E-49.223483E-49.89908E-40.0011.01019490.00148941315.0E-4

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.3068506E-51.7427302E-43.0E-41.72143672.742556E-41.0E-43.9880406E-47.4667035E-46.0E-40.803567478.465957E-41.0E-40.00484463430.0090526970.0060.662785950.0100436440.0010.0474037040.086495340.0510.589627150.092707170.0068
6.19.055486E-51.69782E-43.0E-41.76697182.69765E-41.0E-43.880345E-47.274346E-46.0E-40.824816478.2736183E-41.0E-40.00471409040.0088206250.0060.68022390.0098118050.0010.0461533550.0843922050.05030.59602660.090526780.0067
6.29.006742E-51.6898729E-43.0E-41.77528152.6897038E-41.0E-43.859461E-47.240308E-46.0E-40.82869418.2395837E-41.0E-40.00468877420.00877955650.0060.68340580.0097707770.0010.04591070.084016180.05020.597503960.090153280.0067
6.38.8336754E-51.6578166E-43.0E-41.8096092.657651E-41.0E-43.7853114E-47.103001E-46.0E-40.84471348.102291E-41.0E-40.0045988820.0086137730.00580.673340260.0094068818.0E-40.045048660.082507940.04980.603578270.0884716360.0065
6.48.526157E-51.6004455E-43.0E-41.87447812.6002855E-41.0E-43.6535555E-46.857256E-46.0E-40.87498567.8565703E-41.0E-40.00443913460.0083169110.00570.685350660.0091102578.0E-40.0435149930.079816230.04850.607645870.085797420.0065
6.58.152396E-51.5336619E-43.0E-41.95610262.5335085E-41.0E-43.493416E-46.571188E-46.0E-40.913076947.570531E-41.0E-40.00424494180.0079712240.00540.67743670.0086656457.0E-40.041647650.076647330.04640.60537010.082279770.0061
6.67.987405E-51.5040739E-43.0E-41.99458282.5039236E-41.0E-43.4227243E-46.4444455E-46.0E-40.93103437.443801E-41.0E-40.00415920650.0078180440.00520.6651280.0085125717.0E-40.040822180.075239760.04570.60739160.0808808060.0061
6.77.777665E-51.4679358E-43.0E-42.04368622.467789E-41.0E-43.332859E-46.2896434E-46.0E-40.953949157.289014E-41.0E-40.0040502080.00763090930.00510.66833450.00832556757.0E-40.0397718060.073513530.04470.608051360.07897980.0059
6.87.3284005E-51.3828382E-43.0E-42.1694512.3827E-41.0E-43.140365E-45.92511E-46.0E-41.01263946.924517E-41.0E-40.00381669290.00719009850.00490.681492750.00778578456.0E-40.0375180360.069420640.04280.61653130.074724940.0057
6.96.458263E-51.2155625E-42.0E-41.64532891.2155625E-40.02.7675333E-45.208518E-44.0E-40.767972775.208518E-40.00.00336426640.0063230340.00420.66423810.00662113733.0E-40.0331378840.061334830.03950.6440060.065840420.0048
7.05.3853604E-51.00456404E-42.0E-41.99091331.00456404E-40.02.3078074E-44.3045674E-44.0E-40.929245534.3045674E-40.00.00280613520.0052282820.00380.726816240.0054272362.0E-40.0277096420.051051750.03410.66794970.0547526480.0039
7.14.4308683E-58.18849E-52.0E-42.44245278.18849E-50.01.8988053E-43.5088832E-44.0E-41.13996393.5088832E-40.00.00230934420.0042637380.00310.72706150.00446288572.0E-40.0228549260.041906440.02720.649064960.0448765270.0031
7.23.295973E-56.0928294E-51.0E-41.64127366.0928294E-50.01.4124835E-42.6109527E-43.0E-41.1490062.6109527E-40.00.00171834210.0031742240.00240.756090340.00327390671.0E-40.0170511570.0314428880.02070.658336460.0335737170.0022
7.32.452256E-54.5309753E-50.00.04.5309753E-50.01.05092455E-41.9417028E-42.0E-41.03002381.9417028E-40.00.00127874960.00236147390.00150.63519650.00246123781.0E-40.01271416250.02350310.01530.65097790.0250654970.0016
7.41.8829967E-53.470793E-50.00.03.470793E-50.08.069736E-51.4873984E-41.0E-40.67231481.4873984E-40.09.820475E-40.00180941330.00120.66319840.00190923231.0E-40.0097771890.0180698060.01190.65855720.0194445070.0014
7.51.26374125E-52.2999302E-50.00.02.2999302E-50.05.4159216E-59.856474E-51.0E-41.01456159.856474E-50.06.5918895E-40.0011993719.0E-40.750393330.0011993710.00.006572370.0120265960.0080.665192370.0129157729.0E-4
7.64.666429E-68.510513E-60.00.08.510513E-60.01.9998828E-53.6473124E-50.00.03.6473124E-50.02.4345852E-44.4397105E-45.0E-41.12619964.4397105E-40.00.00243191980.0044740190.00340.759943070.0049717825.0E-4
7.73.8399318E-77.1823865E-70.00.07.1823865E-70.01.6456839E-63.078162E-60.00.03.078162E-60.02.003602E-53.747598E-50.00.03.747598E-50.02.0034213E-43.8851643E-41.0E-40.257389373.8851643E-40.0
7.82.5637698E-75.408298E-70.00.05.408298E-70.01.098758E-62.3178397E-60.00.02.3178397E-60.01.3377297E-52.8219334E-50.00.02.8219334E-50.01.3376492E-42.9449348E-41.0E-40.33956612.9449348E-40.0
7.91.7141245E-73.7582248E-70.00.03.7582248E-70.07.3462456E-71.6106667E-60.00.01.6106667E-60.08.944017E-61.9609692E-50.00.01.9609692E-50.08.943657E-52.0387712E-41.0E-40.490491542.0387712E-40.0
8.01.1808895E-72.771527E-70.00.02.771527E-70.05.060954E-71.1877967E-60.00.01.1877967E-60.06.161694E-61.446133E-50.00.01.446133E-50.06.161523E-51.4915691E-41.0E-40.67043491.4915691E-40.0
8.15.138535E-81.1310068E-70.00.01.1310068E-70.02.2022292E-74.847171E-70.00.04.847171E-70.02.6812106E-65.901415E-60.00.05.901415E-60.02.6811784E-56.0557955E-51.0E-41.65131086.0557955E-50.0

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.459577E-50.00.05.459577E-50.01.9328714E-42.3396156E-42.0E-40.85484133.3393817E-41.0E-40.0023507310.0028449360.00411.44115720.0057366860.00290.0232601950.0281046330.020.71162640.0346163330.0067
6.14.5103672E-55.459577E-50.00.05.459577E-50.01.9328714E-42.3396156E-42.0E-40.85484133.3393817E-41.0E-40.0023507310.0028449360.00411.44115720.0057366860.00290.0232601950.0281046330.020.71162640.0346163330.0067
6.23.9363465E-54.7084824E-50.00.04.7084824E-50.01.6868966E-42.0177738E-42.0E-40.99119143.017572E-41.0E-40.0020518620.0024540050.0041.62998860.0053468880.00290.0203301960.0242839250.01870.77005670.0308212230.0067
6.33.9363465E-54.7084824E-50.00.04.7084824E-50.01.6868966E-42.0177738E-42.0E-40.99119143.017572E-41.0E-40.0020518620.0024540050.0041.62998860.0053468880.00290.0203301960.0242839250.01870.77005670.0308212230.0067
6.43.2311684E-53.7967904E-50.00.03.7967904E-50.01.384713E-41.6270985E-42.0E-41.22918192.626936E-41.0E-40.00168458430.00197926160.00391.97043190.00487352160.00290.0167187140.019624190.01670.850990530.0258985940.0064
6.53.2311684E-53.7967904E-50.00.03.7967904E-50.01.384713E-41.6270985E-42.0E-41.22918192.626936E-41.0E-40.00168458430.00197926160.00391.97043190.00487352160.00290.0167187140.019624190.01670.850990530.0258985940.0064
6.62.9305844E-53.4196804E-50.00.03.4196804E-50.01.2559042E-41.4654986E-42.0E-41.36472322.465352E-41.0E-40.00152799090.00178284590.00392.18751380.00467767570.00290.0151752720.0176924150.0160.904342350.0238809530.0063
6.72.7826512E-53.235829E-50.00.03.235829E-50.01.19251024E-41.3867136E-42.0E-41.4422592.3865748E-41.0E-40.00145091420.00168707650.00392.31169130.0045821840.00290.0144147760.016749450.01550.925403540.0229439290.0063
6.82.3389874E-52.6878079E-50.00.02.6878079E-50.01.0023846E-41.15186944E-42.0E-41.73630792.1517543E-41.0E-40.001219720.00140154620.00382.71129130.0042974820.00290.012130470.013932350.01411.01203310.0201445760.0063
6.92.069209E-52.3579887E-50.00.02.3579887E-50.08.867737E-51.0105295E-42.0E-41.97916042.0104284E-41.0E-40.00107911230.00122966140.00352.8463120.00402621830.00280.0107388710.012232670.01321.07907760.0183568260.0062
7.01.7462342E-51.9641626E-50.00.01.9641626E-50.07.483646E-58.417581E-52.0E-42.37597971.841674E-41.0E-49.1075303E-40.00102438130.00333.22145680.0038215130.00280.0090702950.0101992890.0121.17655270.0162370730.0061
7.11.4807709E-51.6448499E-50.00.01.6448499E-50.06.3460066E-57.0491755E-52.0E-42.83721141.7048471E-41.0E-47.723524E-48.579157E-40.00323.72997020.00365551350.00280.0076967350.0085480850.01121.31023510.0145959410.0061
7.21.4180048E-51.5704803E-50.00.01.5704803E-50.06.077022E-56.730466E-52.0E-42.97156261.6729793E-41.0E-47.396263E-48.191423E-40.00323.9065250.00361684870.00280.00737169430.0081632410.01091.3352540.0142134460.0061
7.31.3730402E-51.5178356E-50.00.01.5178356E-50.05.8843252E-56.504857E-52.0E-43.07462571.6504206E-41.0E-47.161811E-47.916946E-40.00324.04196260.00358947790.00280.0071387740.0078907350.01071.35602080.0139426010.0061
7.41.2810095E-51.4115049E-50.00.01.4115049E-50.05.489925E-56.0491755E-52.0E-43.30623561.6048571E-41.0E-46.681934E-47.362541E-40.00314.2105030.00343426620.00270.0066618780.0073401030.01011.37600260.0131967960.0059
7.51.1595659E-51.2806153E-50.00.01.2806153E-50.04.9694736E-55.4882446E-52.0E-43.64415241.5487695E-41.0E-46.0486543E-46.680046E-40.00314.64068650.0033662010.00270.0060322170.0066619070.00981.47105040.0124232680.0058
7.62.997694E-63.327327E-60.00.03.327327E-60.01.28471975E-51.4259936E-52.0E-414.0253091.1425851E-41.0E-41.564034E-41.7360818E-40.00179.7921660.00157336520.00140.00156293370.00173546110.00331.9015120.0043309490.0026

San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5333705E-47.170357E-52.0E-42.78926131.716964E-41.0E-46.5699324E-43.0726503E-42.0E-40.65090394.072343E-41.0E-40.0079695950.00373456880.00250.66942130.00493008740.00120.07689770.0396701130.02360.594906330.045432090.006
6.11.5333705E-47.170357E-52.0E-42.78926131.716964E-41.0E-46.5699324E-43.0726503E-42.0E-40.65090394.072343E-41.0E-40.0079695950.00373456880.00250.66942130.00493008740.00120.07689770.0396701130.02360.594906330.045432090.006
6.21.3912938E-46.10351E-51.0E-41.63840141.61029E-41.0E-45.961325E-42.6155295E-41.0E-40.38233183.615268E-41.0E-40.0072337870.00317978440.00210.66042210.0042762870.00110.070027980.0339747930.02030.59750180.038804920.005
6.31.3912938E-46.10351E-51.0E-41.63840141.61029E-41.0E-45.961325E-42.6155295E-41.0E-40.38233183.615268E-41.0E-40.0072337870.00317978440.00210.66042210.0042762870.00110.070027980.0339747930.02030.59750180.038804920.005
6.41.2623647E-45.091644E-51.0E-41.96400231.5091135E-41.0E-45.4090127E-42.1819516E-41.0E-40.45830533.1817335E-41.0E-40.00656560580.002653310.00130.489954050.00335145287.0E-40.063749810.0285579970.01650.57777160.0322494770.0038
6.51.1736096E-44.3957694E-51.0E-42.27491451.439533E-41.0E-45.028786E-41.8837661E-41.0E-40.53085152.8835778E-41.0E-40.0061053730.00229108940.0010.436473580.0027899445.0E-40.059403350.0248107070.01390.5602420.0281263520.0034
6.61.1586959E-44.285088E-51.0E-42.33367441.4284659E-41.0E-44.964894E-41.8363379E-41.0E-40.54456212.8361543E-41.0E-40.0060280180.00223346540.0010.447734740.00273234865.0E-40.0586710240.0242127530.01380.56994760.027530430.0034
6.71.13693764E-44.11536E-51.0E-42.42992121.4114949E-41.0E-44.87168E-41.7636074E-41.0E-40.567019642.763431E-41.0E-40.0059151520.00214509360.0010.466180120.0026440215.0E-40.0576015930.0232991040.01330.570837440.0266198870.0034
6.81.1204889E-44.036422E-51.0E-42.47744181.4036018E-41.0E-44.8012115E-41.7297814E-41.0E-40.57810782.7296084E-41.0E-40.0058298190.00210399069.0E-40.427758540.00250314924.0E-40.056792320.02285590.0130.56878090.0260804760.0033
6.91.1005794E-43.9411436E-51.0E-42.53733471.394075E-41.0E-44.7159163E-41.688953E-41.0E-40.592082742.6887842E-41.0E-40.00572652280.00205437728.0E-40.389412430.00245355544.0E-40.0558118520.0223180.01220.5466440.0253488140.0031
7.01.0647948E-43.7549817E-51.0E-42.66312891.3754606E-41.0E-44.562608E-41.6091795E-41.0E-40.621434752.6090184E-41.0E-40.00554083570.00195743127.0E-40.357611540.00235664844.0E-40.0540470330.0212683140.01120.5266050.0240087620.0028
7.11.04795035E-43.6590187E-51.0E-42.7329731.3658653E-41.0E-44.4904428E-41.5680575E-41.0E-40.637731732.5679008E-41.0E-40.00545341750.0019074547.0E-40.366981330.00230669114.0E-40.0532151650.0207335690.01120.540186760.0234755150.0028
7.21.02724036E-43.5489167E-51.0E-42.81776141.3548562E-41.0E-44.401716E-41.5208765E-41.0E-40.65751562.5207244E-41.0E-40.00534592850.00185011017.0E-40.378355860.002249374.0E-40.0521913950.020118260.01110.551737550.0227639410.0027
7.31.00650694E-43.4949215E-51.0E-42.86129451.3494572E-41.0E-44.312888E-41.4977384E-41.0E-40.667673352.4975886E-41.0E-40.0052383060.00182198697.0E-40.384195950.00222125814.0E-40.0511653570.0197917220.01080.545682670.0223402640.0026
7.49.672919E-53.3720124E-51.0E-42.9655881.3371675E-41.0E-44.144878E-41.4450689E-41.0E-40.69200852.4449246E-41.0E-40.0050347180.00175796727.0E-40.39818720.0021572644.0E-40.0492216830.0190551950.01040.54578290.0215075570.0025
7.58.7600405E-52.2956625E-51.0E-44.3560411.2295433E-41.0E-43.753763E-49.838184E-51.0E-41.01644781.98372E-41.0E-40.00456063260.00119714255.0E-40.417661220.00149678333.0E-40.044681650.01327822450.00740.55730340.0148569790.0016
7.67.9562284E-51.9458756E-51.0E-45.1390751.1945681E-41.0E-43.4093665E-48.3392006E-51.0E-41.19915571.8338367E-41.0E-40.00414300520.00101482645.0E-40.492695150.00131452193.0E-40.0406661260.0113571080.00640.56352370.0126423440.0013
7.76.3866544E-51.2125341E-51.0E-48.247191.1212413E-41.0E-42.7368503E-45.196471E-51.0E-41.92438281.5195951E-41.0E-40.00332702446.32487E-44.0E-40.632424069.3229726E-43.0E-40.0327765270.0073187780.00350.478221920.0081129228.0E-4
7.84.2543215E-59.224238E-61.0E-410.8410031.09223314E-41.0E-41.8231533E-43.953185E-51.0E-42.52960591.395279E-41.0E-40.00221742924.811941E-44.0E-40.83126547.810497E-43.0E-40.0219543320.0055766060.00290.52002960.0062727027.0E-4
7.92.2636612E-57.939422E-60.00.07.939422E-60.09.7010445E-53.4025652E-50.00.03.4025652E-50.00.00118046214.1418365E-43.0E-40.72431646.141008E-42.0E-40.0117421110.00475389230.00230.483814060.0052515155.0E-4
8.01.5167874E-57.16232E-60.00.07.16232E-60.06.500356E-53.0695297E-50.00.03.0695297E-50.07.9113094E-43.7365124E-43.0E-40.802887745.735765E-42.0E-40.0078832030.0042783380.00230.537591930.0047761995.0E-4
8.11.0681047E-56.4890455E-60.00.06.4890455E-60.04.5775112E-52.78099E-50.00.02.78099E-50.05.5716943E-43.3853302E-43.0E-40.886176475.3846533E-42.0E-40.00555774570.00387367750.00210.54212050.0042721284.0E-4
8.28.226114E-65.192472E-60.00.05.192472E-60.03.52543E-52.2253262E-50.00.02.2253262E-50.04.2913653E-42.7089985E-42.0E-40.73828023.708728E-41.0E-40.0042830880.00308754480.00190.61537570.00338661863.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.792044E-70.00.07.792044E-70.08.498917E-63.3394433E-60.00.03.3394433E-60.01.034694E-44.065698E-50.00.04.065698E-50.00.00103421244.7958124E-42.0E-40.417030484.7958124E-40.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0720013E-50.00.05.0720013E-50.01.7530227E-42.1735553E-41.0E-40.46007572.1735553E-40.00.00213221580.00264348860.00130.49177440.00324190256.0E-40.021118730.0261607490.01790.68423120.0315168650.0055
6.14.0906612E-55.0720013E-50.00.05.0720013E-50.01.7530227E-42.1735553E-41.0E-40.46007572.1735553E-40.00.00213221580.00264348860.00130.49177440.00324190256.0E-40.021118730.0261607490.01790.68423120.0315168650.0055
6.24.0906612E-55.0720013E-50.00.05.0720013E-50.01.7530227E-42.1735553E-41.0E-40.46007572.1735553E-40.00.00213221580.00264348860.00130.49177440.00324190256.0E-40.021118730.0261607490.01790.68423120.0315168650.0055
6.32.4242801E-53.0097268E-50.00.03.0097268E-50.01.0389358E-41.2898211E-41.0E-40.775301341.2898211E-40.00.00126417040.00156925920.00120.764692070.00206847445.0E-40.012570030.01558546350.01240.795613170.0198184460.0043
6.42.4242801E-53.0097268E-50.00.03.0097268E-50.01.0389358E-41.2898211E-41.0E-40.775301341.2898211E-40.00.00126417040.00156925920.00120.764692070.00206847445.0E-40.012570030.01558546350.01240.795613170.0198184460.0043
6.52.0286952E-52.5320547E-50.00.02.5320547E-50.08.694118E-51.0851221E-41.0E-40.92155521.0851221E-40.00.00105799490.00132035270.0010.757373450.00181969245.0E-40.0105297190.0131270140.01090.830348730.0170745070.004
6.62.0269223E-52.5301493E-50.00.02.5301493E-50.08.6865206E-51.0843056E-41.0E-40.92224921.0843056E-40.00.00105707070.00131935980.0010.75794340.00181870015.0E-40.0105205650.0131172030.01090.830969870.0170647330.004
6.71.799852E-52.2544662E-50.00.02.2544662E-50.07.713423E-59.661648E-51.0E-41.03502019.661648E-50.09.3870464E-40.00117568540.0010.850567640.00167509765.0E-40.0093474930.0116962690.010.854973550.0153529920.0037
6.81.7458793E-52.1845955E-50.00.02.1845955E-50.07.4821255E-59.362224E-51.0E-41.06812239.362224E-50.09.10568E-40.00113926930.0010.877755640.00163869975.0E-40.0090684590.0113358720.00980.86451220.0149939290.0037
6.91.542884E-51.9029163E-50.00.01.9029163E-50.06.612192E-58.155108E-50.00.08.155108E-50.08.04737E-49.924453E-47.0E-40.70532850.00139204834.0E-40.0080182910.009881530.00820.8298310.0130499090.0032
7.01.468253E-51.8033488E-50.00.01.8033488E-50.06.292361E-57.728416E-50.00.07.728416E-50.07.658257E-49.405415E-47.0E-40.744252150.00134016534.0E-40.00763191840.0093669750.00780.832712770.0122398110.0029
7.11.3139281E-51.620346E-50.00.01.620346E-50.05.6309986E-56.9441616E-50.00.06.9441616E-50.06.853584E-48.4513635E-47.0E-40.82826870.00124479834.0E-40.00683248560.008420520.00680.807550970.0108994690.0025
7.21.1127404E-51.38687565E-50.00.01.38687565E-50.04.7688E-55.9436235E-50.00.05.9436235E-50.05.8044674E-47.234068E-45.0E-40.691174030.00112311744.0E-40.00578932980.00721162740.00610.845856250.0096935980.0025
7.39.808154E-61.2177939E-50.00.01.2177939E-50.04.2034266E-55.2190186E-50.00.05.2190186E-50.05.11647E-46.35241E-45.0E-40.78710290.00103498694.0E-40.00510470570.00633532740.00530.83657870.008521390.0022
7.47.942452E-69.793343E-60.00.09.793343E-60.03.4038632E-54.197085E-50.00.04.197085E-50.04.1434157E-45.1088474E-44.0E-40.782955478.107315E-43.0E-40.00413569850.00509804440.00470.92192220.0070878480.002
7.54.7121216E-65.773469E-60.00.05.773469E-60.02.019465E-52.4743247E-50.00.02.4743247E-50.02.4584212E-43.0121504E-41.0E-40.331988724.0118492E-41.0E-40.00245570320.00300882030.00260.8641260.00380641348.0E-4
7.62.21172E-72.6041258E-70.00.02.6041258E-70.09.478797E-71.1160537E-60.00.01.1160537E-60.01.1540374E-51.3587897E-50.00.01.3587897E-50.01.1539775E-41.3587347E-44.0E-42.94391541.3587347E-40.0

Elmore Ranch

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.102099E-58.962415E-51.0E-41.11577088.962415E-50.03.9003167E-43.840396E-43.0E-40.78116954.8400118E-41.0E-40.00473830.0046662960.00320.68576880.00556209649.0E-40.0463853480.045887650.0340.740940150.0511352680.0055
6.13.8306698E-54.1531388E-51.0E-42.40781764.1531388E-50.01.6416123E-41.779829E-42.0E-41.12370351.779829E-40.00.00199683060.0021652340.00160.738950130.00266415145.0E-40.0197898280.0216256640.01510.698244450.0242672750.0027
6.23.8306698E-54.1531388E-51.0E-42.40781764.1531388E-50.01.6416123E-41.779829E-42.0E-41.12370351.779829E-40.00.00199683060.0021652340.00160.738950130.00266415145.0E-40.0197898280.0216256640.01510.698244450.0242672750.0027
6.33.3197924E-53.6583282E-51.0E-42.7334893.6583282E-50.01.4226905E-41.5677941E-42.0E-41.27567781.5677941E-40.00.00173074950.00190765990.00140.733883440.0023068974.0E-40.0171733180.019081420.01370.71797590.0214356240.0024
6.42.5148964E-52.744243E-51.0E-43.64399222.744243E-50.01.0777682E-41.1760877E-42.0E-41.70055341.1760877E-40.00.00131139290.00143159530.00120.83822570.00183102274.0E-40.013036810.0143826740.01050.7300450.0163539090.002
6.52.5148964E-52.744243E-51.0E-43.64399222.744243E-50.01.0777682E-41.1760877E-42.0E-41.70055341.1760877E-40.00.00131139290.00143159530.00120.83822570.00183102274.0E-40.013036810.0143826740.01050.7300450.0163539090.002

King Range 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2462566E-51.3026281E-50.00.01.3026281E-50.05.34099E-55.582592E-52.0E-43.58256531.5582034E-41.0E-46.5007154E-46.7950354E-40.00162.35466030.00137902787.0E-40.00648173130.006778630.0162.3603590.0119433810.0052
6.11.2462566E-51.3026281E-50.00.01.3026281E-50.05.34099E-55.582592E-52.0E-43.58256531.5582034E-41.0E-46.5007154E-46.7950354E-40.00162.35466030.00137902787.0E-40.00648173130.006778630.0162.3603590.0119433810.0052
6.21.2462566E-51.3026281E-50.00.01.3026281E-50.05.34099E-55.582592E-52.0E-43.58256531.5582034E-41.0E-46.5007154E-46.7950354E-40.00162.35466030.00137902787.0E-40.00648173130.006778630.0162.3603590.0119433810.0052
6.37.988484E-68.216655E-60.00.08.216655E-60.03.423591E-53.5213834E-51.0E-42.8397931.3521031E-41.0E-44.1674246E-44.2865702E-48.0E-41.86629399.284427E-45.0E-40.0041596180.0042805040.00711.65868320.00696894670.0027
6.47.988484E-68.216655E-60.00.08.216655E-60.03.423591E-53.5213834E-51.0E-42.8397931.3521031E-41.0E-44.1674246E-44.2865702E-48.0E-41.86629399.284427E-45.0E-40.0041596180.0042805040.00711.65868320.00696894670.0027
6.55.0522513E-65.084693E-60.00.05.084693E-60.02.1652326E-52.1791364E-51.0E-44.5889741.21789184E-41.0E-42.6358519E-42.652785E-41.0E-40.376962333.6525197E-41.0E-40.00263272740.00265064160.00230.867714460.00334878627.0E-4
6.64.53682E-64.541321E-60.00.04.541321E-60.01.944337E-51.9462663E-51.0E-45.13804341.1946072E-41.0E-42.3669732E-42.3693276E-41.0E-40.422060673.3690906E-41.0E-40.00236445360.00236779240.00190.80243520.00296637186.0E-4
6.74.1144335E-64.099307E-60.00.04.099307E-60.01.7633167E-51.756834E-51.0E-45.6920571.1756658E-41.0E-42.1466266E-42.1387395E-41.0E-40.467565123.1385256E-41.0E-40.00214455420.00213765120.00150.701704740.0025367964.0E-4
6.83.8321214E-63.8096798E-60.00.03.8096798E-60.01.6423275E-51.6327098E-51.0E-46.1247871.16325464E-41.0E-41.9993502E-41.9876462E-41.0E-40.50310762.9874474E-41.0E-40.00199755230.00198683210.00140.70463930.00238603754.0E-4
6.93.4999944E-63.4660445E-60.00.03.4660445E-60.01.499989E-51.4854393E-51.0E-46.7320151.14852905E-41.0E-41.8260835E-41.8083748E-41.0E-40.55298272.808194E-41.0E-40.00182458360.00180785920.00130.719082530.0022071364.0E-4
7.02.9470837E-62.8890067E-60.00.02.8890067E-60.01.26302975E-51.23814E-51.0E-48.0766321.1238016E-41.0E-41.5376302E-41.5073329E-41.0E-40.66342342.507182E-41.0E-40.00153656660.00150725769.0E-40.5971110.00190665474.0E-4
7.12.4850247E-62.4000497E-60.00.02.4000497E-60.01.0650062E-51.0285887E-51.0E-49.7220591.1028486E-41.0E-41.296568E-41.2522363E-41.0E-40.798571352.252111E-41.0E-40.00129581170.00125247835.0E-40.399208520.00155210263.0E-4
7.22.1800304E-62.0782227E-60.00.02.0782227E-60.09.342954E-68.906639E-61.0E-411.227581.0890575E-41.0E-41.1374453E-41.08433014E-41.0E-40.922228342.0842218E-41.0E-40.00113686330.00108473355.0E-40.460942720.00138440813.0E-4
7.32.0378504E-61.9515617E-60.00.01.9515617E-60.08.733615E-68.36381E-61.0E-411.9562741.08362976E-41.0E-41.0632657E-41.0182471E-41.0E-40.982079862.0181453E-41.0E-40.00106275710.00101869685.0E-40.490823180.00131839123.0E-4
7.41.4577047E-61.4107119E-60.00.01.4107119E-60.06.247291E-66.0458947E-61.0E-416.540151.0604529E-41.0E-47.605811E-57.360635E-51.0E-41.35857831.73599E-41.0E-47.603208E-47.3667604E-44.0E-40.542979549.3652867E-42.0E-4
7.58.0685743E-76.5438036E-70.00.06.5438036E-70.03.457956E-62.8044844E-60.00.02.8044844E-60.04.20998E-53.4144112E-50.00.03.4144112E-50.04.2091825E-43.420983E-40.00.03.420983E-40.0
7.63.1239435E-71.3331085E-70.00.01.3331085E-70.01.3388321E-65.713321E-70.00.05.713321E-70.01.630016E-56.955947E-60.00.06.955947E-60.01.6298964E-47.0206355E-50.00.07.0206355E-50.0
7.71.7747207E-74.802167E-80.00.04.802167E-80.07.605944E-72.0580714E-70.00.02.0580714E-70.09.260198E-62.5056993E-60.00.02.5056993E-60.09.2598115E-52.547158E-50.00.02.547158E-50.0
7.82.1035538E-82.2166682E-90.00.02.2166682E-90.09.0152305E-89.500008E-90.00.09.500008E-90.01.0976038E-61.1566259E-70.00.01.1566259E-70.01.0975983E-51.193644E-60.00.01.193644E-60.0
7.91.4782963E-99.166001E-130.00.09.166001E-130.06.335555E-93.9293013E-120.00.03.9293013E-120.07.713538E-84.783507E-110.00.04.783507E-110.07.7135354E-76.9037376E-100.00.06.9037376E-100.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.4096445E-50.00.02.4096445E-50.01.2959696E-41.0326697E-41.0E-40.96836392.0325664E-41.0E-40.00157670080.00125665097.0E-40.557036160.00155627393.0E-40.0156556090.0125054770.01110.88761110.01754170.0051
6.13.0240792E-52.4096445E-50.00.02.4096445E-50.01.2959696E-41.0326697E-41.0E-40.96836392.0325664E-41.0E-40.00157670080.00125665097.0E-40.557036160.00155627393.0E-40.0156556090.0125054770.01110.88761110.01754170.0051
6.23.0240792E-52.4096445E-50.00.02.4096445E-50.01.2959696E-41.0326697E-41.0E-40.96836392.0325664E-41.0E-40.00157670080.00125665097.0E-40.557036160.00155627393.0E-40.0156556090.0125054770.01110.88761110.01754170.0051
6.32.0498217E-51.364058E-50.00.01.364058E-50.08.784654E-55.845841E-51.0E-41.71061791.5845256E-41.0E-40.00106900697.1151496E-46.0E-40.843271140.00101130153.0E-40.010638790.0070939960.00711.00084640.0107677480.0037
6.42.0498217E-51.364058E-50.00.01.364058E-50.08.784654E-55.845841E-51.0E-41.71061791.5845256E-41.0E-40.00106900697.1151496E-46.0E-40.843271140.00101130153.0E-40.010638790.0070939960.00711.00084640.0107677480.0037
6.51.7316182E-51.0478777E-50.00.01.0478777E-50.07.42101E-54.4908324E-50.00.04.4908324E-50.09.0313336E-45.466317E-43.0E-40.54881566.4657704E-41.0E-40.0089947180.0054538670.00510.93511630.0081391420.0027
6.61.5251077E-58.415474E-60.00.08.415474E-60.06.536012E-53.606586E-50.00.03.606586E-50.07.9546886E-44.390206E-41.0E-40.227779734.390206E-40.00.0079262740.00438225040.00390.88995370.0063734860.002
6.71.2997425E-56.4121696E-60.00.06.4121696E-60.05.570206E-52.7480464E-50.00.02.7480464E-50.06.7796157E-43.3452795E-41.0E-40.298928683.3452795E-40.00.00675896930.0033407040.0030.898014370.00473602670.0014
6.81.035386E-54.3340488E-60.00.04.3340488E-60.04.437293E-51.8574367E-50.00.01.8574367E-50.05.401065E-42.2612032E-40.00.02.2612032E-40.00.00538795670.00225898930.00241.0624220.00345627850.0012
6.98.816252E-63.5813089E-60.00.03.5813089E-60.03.778339E-51.534838E-50.00.01.534838E-50.04.5991567E-41.8685109E-40.00.01.8685109E-40.00.004589650.00186699830.00211.12480020.00296494460.0011
7.06.8232207E-62.5680283E-60.00.02.5680283E-60.02.9242048E-51.1005791E-50.00.01.1005791E-50.03.5596377E-41.3398757E-40.00.01.3398757E-40.00.00355394110.0013390990.00141.0454790.00213802778.0E-4
7.15.837013E-62.2278455E-60.00.02.2278455E-60.02.501553E-59.547875E-60.00.09.547875E-60.03.045215E-41.1623948E-40.00.01.1623948E-40.00.00304104550.00116181580.00131.11893810.00196088648.0E-4
7.24.278052E-61.6278931E-60.00.01.6278931E-60.01.833438E-56.9766675E-60.00.06.9766675E-60.02.231982E-48.493785E-50.00.08.493785E-50.00.00222974188.490771E-40.0011.17774940.00154848287.0E-4
7.31.8803692E-68.346371E-70.00.08.346371E-70.08.0587E-63.5770122E-60.00.03.5770122E-60.09.811026E-54.35494E-50.00.04.35494E-50.09.806695E-44.3542314E-41.0E-40.229661665.353796E-41.0E-4

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7157195E-51.0E-42.12056734.7157195E-50.01.7866064E-42.0209147E-42.0E-40.98965092.0209147E-40.00.00217302330.0024585170.00281.1388980.00315679597.0E-40.0215189680.024395020.02721.11498170.0280047580.0037
6.11.73813E-51.685907E-50.00.01.685907E-50.07.4489166E-57.225122E-50.00.07.225122E-50.09.065282E-48.7931426E-46.0E-40.682349860.00117905053.0E-40.0090283910.008759510.01011.15303270.0103454940.0016
6.21.4622182E-51.3677115E-50.00.01.3677115E-50.06.2664985E-55.861491E-50.00.05.861491E-50.07.6267915E-47.134068E-44.0E-40.560699.1326406E-42.0E-40.0076006690.0071116250.0081.12491870.0083030910.0012
6.31.3552434E-51.2485744E-50.00.01.2485744E-50.05.8080568E-55.3509255E-50.00.05.3509255E-50.07.069015E-46.512836E-44.0E-40.61417188.5115334E-42.0E-40.007046570.0064941280.00721.10869380.0076863350.0012
6.41.30977305E-51.1982589E-50.00.01.1982589E-50.05.613192E-55.135296E-50.00.05.135296E-50.06.831918E-46.250459E-44.0E-40.6399538.249209E-42.0E-40.0068109530.00623324050.00691.10696840.00732638360.0011
6.51.225205E-51.1052043E-50.00.01.1052043E-50.05.2507727E-54.7365054E-50.00.04.7365054E-50.06.3909404E-45.7651964E-44.0E-40.69381857.7640434E-42.0E-40.0063725920.0057505660.00631.09554430.00674481550.001
6.61.1352241E-51.0066582E-50.00.01.0066582E-50.04.8651553E-54.3141794E-50.00.04.3141794E-50.05.921717E-45.251269E-42.0E-40.380860366.250743E-41.0E-40.00590596160.0052391220.00561.06888140.00613440679.0E-4
6.71.0864116E-59.5199375E-60.00.09.5199375E-60.04.6559664E-54.0799107E-50.00.04.0799107E-50.05.667165E-44.966179E-42.0E-40.402724125.965682E-41.0E-40.0056527340.0049553310.00511.02919470.0056518627.0E-4
6.81.0666365E-59.302645E-60.00.09.302645E-60.04.571219E-53.986788E-50.00.03.986788E-50.05.564038E-44.8528533E-42.0E-40.41212875.852368E-41.0E-40.0055501270.0048425040.00480.99122270.00553911467.0E-4
6.91.0038665E-58.594725E-60.00.08.594725E-60.04.302214E-53.6834026E-50.00.03.6834026E-50.05.236687E-44.4836377E-42.0E-40.446066355.4831896E-41.0E-40.0052243640.00447481870.00410.916238250.00507213366.0E-4
7.09.5379955E-68.0275895E-60.00.08.0275895E-60.04.0876483E-53.440351E-50.00.03.440351E-50.04.975576E-44.1878398E-42.0E-40.47757325.187421E-41.0E-40.004964450.0041801630.00390.93297790.0047776556.0E-4
7.19.207389E-67.654781E-60.00.07.654781E-60.03.945964E-53.28058E-50.00.03.28058E-50.04.803152E-43.9933913E-42.0E-40.50082754.992992E-41.0E-40.0047927840.0039864270.00370.928149340.00458403546.0E-4
7.27.638091E-65.932953E-60.00.05.932953E-60.03.2734264E-52.5426696E-50.00.02.5426696E-50.03.984668E-43.0952637E-41.0E-40.323074253.0952637E-40.00.00397753060.00309102520.00270.873496650.00348978864.0E-4
7.37.2500147E-65.597863E-60.00.05.597863E-60.03.1071122E-52.3990622E-50.00.02.3990622E-50.03.7822526E-42.9204699E-41.0E-40.342410682.9204699E-40.00.00377582150.0029167030.00260.89141750.00331553634.0E-4
7.46.3899715E-64.9199675E-60.00.04.9199675E-60.02.7385306E-52.1085405E-50.00.02.1085405E-50.03.3336508E-42.5668478E-40.00.02.5668478E-40.00.00332865420.00256394320.00230.89705580.00296291764.0E-4
7.55.379025E-64.085048E-60.00.04.085048E-60.02.305276E-51.7507233E-50.00.01.7507233E-50.02.806312E-42.1312981E-40.00.02.1312981E-40.00.00280277080.00212926530.00190.892326530.00232883962.0E-4
7.64.1270696E-63.0891456E-60.00.03.0891456E-60.01.768732E-51.3239129E-50.00.01.3239129E-50.02.1532185E-41.6117454E-40.00.01.6117454E-40.00.00215113330.00161058470.00130.80716030.00181026262.0E-4
7.72.5406805E-61.8286868E-60.00.01.8286868E-60.01.0888585E-57.837206E-60.00.07.837206E-60.01.3256045E-49.541387E-50.00.09.541387E-50.00.00132481429.5373514E-40.0011.04850910.00115354442.0E-4
7.84.8608285E-73.510546E-70.00.03.510546E-70.02.0832106E-61.5045189E-60.00.01.5045189E-60.02.5362791E-51.8317365E-50.00.01.8317365E-50.02.5359896E-41.8315867E-43.0E-41.63792412.8314037E-41.0E-4
7.92.0472514E-81.2693334E-80.00.01.2693334E-80.08.7739345E-85.4400005E-80.00.05.4400005E-80.01.068226E-66.6231985E-70.00.06.6231985E-70.01.0682209E-56.6231796E-60.00.06.6231796E-60.0
8.04.443582E-92.034087E-90.00.02.034087E-90.01.9043922E-88.717515E-90.00.08.717515E-90.02.3185973E-71.0613574E-70.00.01.0613574E-70.02.3185949E-61.061357E-60.00.01.061357E-60.0

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3101154E-50.00.03.3101154E-50.01.3160157E-41.4185515E-43.0E-42.11483344.418126E-43.0E-40.00160107140.00172585490.0021.15884590.00292378380.00120.0158958510.017138360.0150.87522960.0212663780.0042
6.13.0708583E-53.3101154E-50.00.03.3101154E-50.01.3160157E-41.4185515E-43.0E-42.11483344.418126E-43.0E-40.00160107140.00172585490.0021.15884590.00292378380.00120.0158958510.017138360.0150.87522960.0212663780.0042
6.21.1707779E-51.25469705E-50.00.01.25469705E-50.05.017523E-55.3771677E-51.0E-41.85971511.537663E-41.0E-46.107122E-46.5448316E-49.0E-41.37513090.00125409056.0E-40.0060903660.00652652840.00630.965291140.0085134750.002
6.31.1707779E-51.25469705E-50.00.01.25469705E-50.05.017523E-55.3771677E-51.0E-41.85971511.537663E-41.0E-46.107122E-46.5448316E-49.0E-41.37513090.00125409056.0E-40.0060903660.00652652840.00630.965291140.0085134750.002
6.47.929244E-68.481312E-60.00.08.481312E-60.03.3982033E-53.6347996E-51.0E-42.75118351.3634436E-41.0E-44.136527E-44.42451E-47.0E-41.58209619.4222976E-45.0E-40.00412883560.00441610670.00461.04164160.00590948250.0015
6.55.8832115E-66.286877E-60.00.06.286877E-60.02.521352E-52.6943495E-50.00.02.6943495E-50.03.0693135E-43.2799022E-44.0E-41.21954866.2789186E-43.0E-40.00306507780.00327531480.00310.94647390.0041723679.0E-4
6.65.8832115E-66.286877E-60.00.06.286877E-60.02.521352E-52.6943495E-50.00.02.6943495E-50.03.0693135E-43.2799022E-44.0E-41.21954866.2789186E-43.0E-40.00306507780.00327531480.00310.94647390.0041723679.0E-4
6.73.0715053E-63.2819282E-60.00.03.2819282E-60.01.3163528E-51.4065337E-50.00.01.4065337E-50.01.6025416E-41.7123319E-42.0E-41.1679983.7119893E-42.0E-40.00160138650.0017111270.0010.584410130.00201061373.0E-4
6.82.2722281E-62.4290982E-60.00.02.4290982E-60.09.738084E-61.0410385E-50.00.01.0410385E-50.01.1855473E-41.2673998E-42.0E-41.5780343.2671462E-42.0E-40.0011849150.00126676729.0E-40.710469960.00156638713.0E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0655034E-60.00.01.0655034E-60.04.265307E-64.5664383E-60.00.04.5664383E-60.05.1928873E-55.5595483E-50.00.05.5595483E-50.05.191674E-45.5586634E-44.0E-40.71959746.5581076E-41.0E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0763026E-70.00.05.0763026E-70.02.0308057E-62.1755584E-60.00.02.1755584E-60.02.4724779E-52.6487423E-50.00.02.6487423E-50.02.4722028E-42.6487422E-42.0E-40.755075343.6484774E-41.0E-4

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.787891E-50.00.04.787891E-50.01.893932E-42.0518013E-40.00.02.0518013E-40.00.00230342360.00249536990.00130.520964860.00299412225.0E-40.0227969380.0246910360.01790.724959430.0284947420.0039
6.14.4194956E-54.787891E-50.00.04.787891E-50.01.893932E-42.0518013E-40.00.02.0518013E-40.00.00230342360.00249536990.00130.520964860.00299412225.0E-40.0227969380.0246910360.01790.724959430.0284947420.0039
6.24.4194956E-54.787891E-50.00.04.787891E-50.01.893932E-42.0518013E-40.00.02.0518013E-40.00.00230342360.00249536990.00130.520964860.00299412225.0E-40.0227969380.0246910360.01790.724959430.0284947420.0039
6.34.4194956E-54.787891E-50.00.04.787891E-50.01.893932E-42.0518013E-40.00.02.0518013E-40.00.00230342360.00249536990.00130.520964860.00299412225.0E-40.0227969380.0246910360.01790.724959430.0284947420.0039
6.43.729929E-53.9625145E-50.00.03.9625145E-50.01.5984432E-41.6981152E-40.00.01.6981152E-40.00.00194436730.00206558830.00110.53253590.0024647624.0E-40.0192744270.0204739250.01510.737523440.024000220.0036
6.53.729929E-53.9625145E-50.00.03.9625145E-50.01.5984432E-41.6981152E-40.00.01.6981152E-40.00.00194436730.00206558830.00110.53253590.0024647624.0E-40.0192744270.0204739250.01510.737523440.024000220.0036
6.63.0204548E-53.122408E-50.00.03.122408E-50.01.2944164E-41.3381083E-40.00.01.3381083E-40.00.00157481270.0016279649.0E-40.55283780.00192747563.0E-40.0156369920.0161642540.01110.68670040.019115760.003
6.72.9857754E-53.0833362E-50.00.03.0833362E-50.01.2795553E-41.3213648E-40.00.01.3213648E-40.00.00155674530.00160760929.0E-40.55983760.00190712693.0E-40.0154588480.0159636440.01090.68280150.0188173480.0029
6.82.4819734E-52.5026215E-50.00.02.5026215E-50.01.0636595E-41.0725092E-40.00.01.0725092E-40.00.00129423620.00130501947.0E-40.53639050.00160462793.0E-40.0128672440.0129759280.0090.6935920.01554219050.0026
6.92.331124E-52.335412E-50.00.02.335412E-50.09.990149E-51.0008536E-40.00.01.0008536E-40.00.0012156220.00121787847.0E-40.574770030.00151751313.0E-40.0120899360.0121142360.00850.70165380.0144851630.0024
7.02.1818534E-52.1776934E-50.00.02.1776934E-50.09.3504656E-59.332649E-50.00.09.332649E-50.00.00113782460.00113567767.0E-40.61637210.00143533693.0E-40.0113201630.0113008430.00830.734458450.0135748520.0023
7.12.066081E-52.0556283E-50.00.02.0556283E-50.08.854332E-58.809549E-50.00.08.809549E-50.00.00107748180.00107205457.0E-40.65295190.00137173283.0E-40.0107227240.0106708810.0080.74970380.0129463370.0023
7.21.8990233E-51.9069266E-50.00.01.9069266E-50.08.138417E-58.1722974E-50.00.08.1722974E-50.09.904018E-49.945424E-47.0E-40.703841270.00129424413.0E-40.0098599950.0099029170.00760.76745070.012081130.0022
7.31.3335872E-51.4920775E-50.00.01.4920775E-50.05.7152483E-56.394469E-50.00.06.394469E-50.06.956093E-47.782612E-45.0E-40.64245780.00107802783.0E-40.0069343590.0077566580.00570.734852550.0095426960.0018
7.49.414066E-61.1874348E-50.00.01.1874348E-50.04.0345374E-55.0889124E-50.00.05.0889124E-50.04.910942E-46.194084E-45.0E-40.807221839.192226E-43.0E-40.00490010340.00617776950.00490.79316650.00756912070.0014
7.57.2101157E-69.171227E-60.00.09.171227E-60.03.090013E-53.930471E-50.00.03.930471E-50.03.7614413E-44.7843758E-42.0E-40.418027375.7838974E-41.0E-40.00375508070.0047748520.00360.753950060.00537198746.0E-4
7.63.296375E-64.558044E-60.00.04.558044E-60.01.4127245E-51.9534336E-50.00.01.9534336E-50.01.7198564E-42.3780597E-41.0E-40.42051092.3780597E-40.00.00171852590.00237565320.00160.67349890.00237565320.0
7.72.5741092E-63.596239E-60.00.03.596239E-60.01.103185E-51.5412368E-50.00.01.5412368E-50.01.3430449E-41.8763077E-40.00.01.8763077E-40.00.00134223350.00187485410.0010.533374850.00187485410.0

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0384457E-51.0E-43.29115651.3038142E-41.0E-41.1448149E-41.3021371E-44.0E-43.07187324.3017464E-43.0E-40.0013929210.00158439540.00241.51477340.00248296959.0E-40.0138422220.0157505030.02071.31424370.0192938020.0036
6.12.671352E-53.0384457E-51.0E-43.29115651.3038142E-41.0E-41.1448149E-41.3021371E-44.0E-43.07187324.3017464E-43.0E-40.0013929210.00158439540.00241.51477340.00248296959.0E-40.0138422220.0157505030.02071.31424370.0192938020.0036
6.21.4197047E-51.6100461E-50.00.01.6100461E-50.06.0843064E-56.900071E-50.00.06.900071E-50.07.4051257E-48.3985855E-40.0011.19067670.00103969062.0E-40.0073804980.0083765470.01051.25349990.0103597940.002
6.31.4197047E-51.6100461E-50.00.01.6100461E-50.06.0843064E-56.900071E-50.00.06.900071E-50.07.4051257E-48.3985855E-40.0011.19067670.00103969062.0E-40.0073804980.0083765470.01051.25349990.0103597940.002
6.41.3238931E-51.5012373E-50.00.01.5012373E-50.05.6737044E-56.4337706E-50.00.06.4337706E-50.06.9055456E-47.8312814E-48.0E-41.02154429.829715E-42.0E-40.0068841260.0078133160.00971.24147030.0095000330.0017
6.51.3238931E-51.5012373E-50.00.01.5012373E-50.05.6737044E-56.4337706E-50.00.06.4337706E-50.06.9055456E-47.8312814E-48.0E-41.02154429.829715E-42.0E-40.0068841260.0078133160.00971.24147030.0095000330.0017
6.61.1328278E-51.2858516E-50.00.01.2858516E-50.04.8548856E-55.51073E-50.00.05.51073E-50.05.90922E-46.708206E-45.0E-40.74535588.7068643E-42.0E-40.00589353130.00669735060.00811.20943340.0081873040.0015
6.78.651175E-69.82709E-60.00.09.82709E-60.03.707594E-54.211593E-50.00.04.211593E-50.04.5130608E-45.1273144E-43.0E-40.585101667.126289E-42.0E-40.00450390620.0051243680.00591.15136160.0062187310.0011
6.81.0215377E-61.1756155E-60.00.01.1756155E-60.04.378012E-65.038343E-60.00.05.038343E-60.05.3300988E-56.134021E-50.00.06.134021E-50.05.3288206E-46.132441E-46.0E-40.97840336.132441E-40.0
6.97.9360774E-79.28442E-70.00.09.28442E-70.03.4011714E-63.9790316E-60.00.03.9790316E-60.04.1408475E-54.84437E-50.00.04.84437E-50.04.140076E-44.843384E-45.0E-41.0323364.843384E-40.0
7.07.4382757E-78.748267E-70.00.08.748267E-70.03.1878285E-63.7492523E-60.00.03.7492523E-60.03.8811122E-54.564626E-50.00.04.564626E-50.03.8804344E-44.5637548E-45.0E-41.09558924.5637548E-40.0
7.16.4709513E-77.712087E-70.00.07.712087E-70.02.773262E-63.3051763E-60.00.03.3051763E-60.03.376394E-54.0239836E-50.00.04.0239836E-50.03.375881E-44.0233147E-44.0E-40.99420514.0233147E-40.0
7.26.356704E-77.5891273E-70.00.07.5891273E-70.02.7242988E-63.2524795E-60.00.03.2524795E-60.03.3167835E-53.959828E-50.00.03.959828E-50.03.3162883E-43.9591815E-44.0E-41.01030983.9591815E-40.0
7.35.7695723E-76.8972645E-70.00.06.8972645E-70.02.4726714E-62.9559676E-60.00.02.9559676E-60.03.0104358E-53.5988367E-50.00.03.5988367E-50.03.0100282E-43.5983112E-44.0E-41.11163263.5983112E-40.0
7.45.209647E-76.1940955E-70.00.06.1940955E-70.02.232704E-62.6546102E-60.00.02.6546102E-60.02.718283E-53.2319454E-50.00.03.2319454E-50.02.7179506E-43.231531E-44.0E-41.23780333.231531E-40.0
7.54.512955E-75.3493494E-70.00.05.3493494E-70.01.934122E-62.2925765E-60.00.02.2925765E-60.02.3547682E-52.7911816E-50.00.02.7911816E-50.02.3545188E-42.7908842E-44.0E-41.43323762.7908842E-40.0
7.62.21172E-72.6041258E-70.00.02.6041258E-70.09.478797E-71.1160537E-60.00.01.1160537E-60.01.1540374E-51.3587897E-50.00.01.3587897E-50.01.1539775E-41.3587347E-44.0E-42.94391541.3587347E-40.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3659972E-50.00.02.3659972E-50.09.602906E-51.0139619E-42.0E-41.97246071.0139619E-40.00.00116852670.00123384367.0E-40.567332860.00143359682.0E-40.0116240130.0122744440.01231.0020820.0164228920.0042
6.12.2407607E-52.3659972E-50.00.02.3659972E-50.09.602906E-51.0139619E-42.0E-41.97246071.0139619E-40.00.00116852670.00123384367.0E-40.567332860.00143359682.0E-40.0116240130.0122744440.01231.0020820.0164228920.0042
6.21.0781252E-51.1366933E-50.00.01.1366933E-50.04.620455E-54.871454E-51.0E-42.05277514.871454E-50.05.623952E-45.929422E-45.0E-40.84325267.9282356E-42.0E-40.005609740.005914020.00651.09908320.0082004170.0023
6.31.0781252E-51.1366933E-50.00.01.1366933E-50.04.620455E-54.871454E-51.0E-42.05277514.871454E-50.05.623952E-45.929422E-45.0E-40.84325267.9282356E-42.0E-40.005609740.005914020.00651.09908320.0082004170.0023
6.47.814439E-68.238649E-60.00.08.238649E-60.03.3490025E-53.530802E-51.0E-42.83221753.530802E-50.04.0766477E-44.2979178E-43.0E-40.69801245.297488E-41.0E-40.00406917740.00428975230.00431.00238880.00568374670.0014
6.56.4986366E-66.851685E-60.00.06.851685E-60.02.7851002E-52.9364039E-51.0E-43.40552622.9364039E-50.03.390332E-43.5744946E-43.0E-40.839279534.574137E-41.0E-40.0033851640.00356884110.00381.06477140.0048642020.0013
6.65.582177E-65.886666E-60.00.05.886666E-60.02.3923398E-52.5228328E-51.0E-43.96379832.5228328E-50.02.9122844E-43.0711232E-43.0E-40.976841334.070816E-41.0E-40.00290847060.00306695230.00321.04338110.00416357860.0011
6.74.6858763E-64.9409805E-60.00.04.9409805E-60.02.0082172E-52.1175461E-51.0E-44.72244742.1175461E-50.02.4447302E-42.577813E-42.0E-40.77585152.577813E-40.00.00244204230.00257487920.00281.08742960.00347256179.0E-4
6.83.5584908E-63.7524387E-60.00.03.7524387E-60.01.5250586E-51.6081784E-51.0E-46.2182161.6081784E-50.01.8566006E-41.9577853E-42.0E-41.02156251.9577853E-40.00.00185505020.00195610170.00241.22693010.00275453678.0E-4
6.92.532834E-62.6713035E-60.00.02.6713035E-60.01.0854958E-51.14483955E-51.0E-48.7348491.14483955E-50.01.3215111E-41.3937558E-42.0E-41.43497171.3937558E-40.00.00132072540.00139290920.00181.29225930.00199207366.0E-4
7.01.7083285E-61.8021473E-60.00.01.8021473E-60.07.3213873E-67.723466E-61.0E-412.9475557.723466E-60.08.913424E-59.402931E-52.0E-42.12699639.402931E-50.08.9098496E-49.3991176E-40.0011.06392970.00123962983.0E-4
7.11.0905424E-61.1498905E-60.00.01.1498905E-60.04.6737446E-64.928094E-60.00.04.928094E-60.05.6901354E-55.9997987E-50.00.05.9997987E-50.05.6886784E-45.998277E-45.0E-40.833572758.996477E-43.0E-4
7.26.06668E-76.3879725E-70.00.06.3879725E-70.02.600003E-62.7377E-60.00.02.7377E-60.03.1654577E-53.333106E-50.00.03.333106E-50.03.1650066E-43.3326744E-42.0E-40.600118645.332008E-42.0E-4

Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.390182E-51.315806E-42.0E-41.5199811.315806E-40.03.1668364E-45.637934E-44.0E-40.70947975.637934E-40.00.00384880810.0068425440.00390.569963460.0072398074.0E-40.0378282780.0662776460.0390.58843370.070012540.004
6.17.318768E-51.3056003E-42.0E-41.53186231.3056003E-40.03.1362378E-45.594215E-44.0E-40.715024355.594215E-40.00.00381168540.0067896640.00390.57440250.0071869484.0E-40.0374696550.0657819360.03840.58374690.0695188050.004
6.27.1379836E-51.2748668E-42.0E-41.56879141.2748668E-40.03.058777E-45.4625556E-44.0E-40.7322585.4625556E-40.00.0037177030.00663035270.00380.573121850.0069283643.0E-40.03656120.0643033460.03760.584728540.0678589940.0038
6.36.9255926E-51.2402734E-42.0E-41.61254761.2402734E-40.02.9677735E-45.314373E-44.0E-40.75267585.314373E-40.00.00360727850.0064511040.00370.57354520.00674916853.0E-40.0354928230.0626336860.03660.58435010.066101940.0037
6.46.6757144E-51.1979187E-42.0E-41.66956231.1979187E-40.02.8607066E-45.1329297E-44.0E-40.77928215.1329297E-40.00.00347734870.00623150730.00360.57770930.0065296383.0E-40.0342343640.0605826230.03520.58102470.063964520.0036
6.56.5735134E-51.1828159E-42.0E-41.69088021.1828159E-40.02.8169158E-45.06823E-44.0E-40.789230175.06823E-40.00.0034242020.0061531960.00360.585061850.006451353.0E-40.033719180.0598466140.03460.578144670.063231170.0036
6.66.289601E-51.136332E-42.0E-41.76004911.136332E-40.02.6952647E-44.869089E-44.0E-40.821508944.869089E-40.00.00327654740.00591208270.00360.60892250.00621030953.0E-40.0322865620.0575834660.03360.58350080.0608819240.0035
6.76.115274E-51.1080165E-42.0E-41.80502721.1080165E-40.02.6205686E-44.7477818E-44.0E-40.842498664.7477818E-40.00.00318587480.00576518340.00360.62443810.0060634543.0E-40.0314058660.0562008140.03290.585400760.059315350.0033
6.85.9232367E-51.0747322E-42.0E-41.86092871.0747322E-40.02.538283E-44.6051858E-44.0E-40.8685864.6051858E-40.00.00308598040.00559247660.00350.62584080.0057913582.0E-40.0304347650.054567070.03240.59376470.0575924550.0032
6.95.4030377E-59.841056E-52.0E-42.03230219.841056E-50.02.315382E-44.216917E-44.0E-40.94856034.216917E-40.00.00281533370.00512207670.00320.62474660.00522156431.0E-40.0277993250.0501006060.03060.610771060.0528553170.0029
7.04.8260714E-58.757807E-52.0E-42.28367668.757807E-50.02.0681522E-43.7528088E-44.0E-41.06586843.7528088E-40.00.00251506780.00455952670.00310.67989510.0046590711.0E-40.0248679280.0447469130.0280.62574150.0473260950.0027
7.14.0294493E-57.4050695E-52.0E-42.70085247.4050695E-50.01.7267925E-43.173217E-44.0E-41.26055033.173217E-40.00.00210034270.00385658630.00280.72603070.00395620061.0E-40.020806020.0379970070.02380.62636510.040113410.0022
7.23.096388E-55.7121946E-51.0E-41.75064065.7121946E-50.01.326956E-42.447855E-43.0E-41.22556282.447855E-40.00.00161437170.00297621270.00230.772794250.0030759151.0E-40.016026940.0295041130.01930.65414610.0313480530.0019
7.32.3615226E-54.3750697E-50.00.04.3750697E-50.01.0120418E-41.874896E-42.0E-41.06672591.874896E-40.00.00123146440.00228030980.00150.65780530.0023800821.0E-40.01224662550.0226958110.01490.65650880.0241617670.0015
7.41.8251132E-53.3641176E-50.00.03.3641176E-50.07.821679E-51.4416855E-41.0E-40.693632541.4416855E-40.09.518733E-40.00175384890.00120.684209470.00185367351.0E-40.0094780630.0175133570.01150.656641660.018790590.0013
7.51.2411432E-52.2534761E-50.00.02.2534761E-50.05.3190768E-59.657401E-51.0E-41.03547539.657401E-50.06.4740516E-40.00117516029.0E-40.765853050.00117516020.00.0064552230.0117793890.00790.670662940.0126687889.0E-4
7.64.4771446E-68.11222E-60.00.08.11222E-60.01.918762E-53.4766203E-50.00.03.4766203E-50.02.3358424E-44.2319752E-45.0E-41.18148144.2319752E-40.00.00233338870.00425947550.00330.774743260.00475734575.0E-4
7.72.157941E-73.5538264E-70.00.03.5538264E-70.09.248315E-71.5230675E-60.00.01.5230675E-60.01.1259765E-51.8543189E-50.00.01.8543189E-50.01.1259195E-41.916168E-40.00.01.916168E-40.0
7.89.9623286E-82.0043953E-70.00.02.0043953E-70.04.269569E-78.590262E-70.00.08.590262E-70.05.1981874E-61.0458594E-50.00.01.0458594E-50.05.198066E-51.097221E-40.00.01.097221E-40.0
7.95.6745257E-81.18640166E-70.00.01.18640166E-70.02.4319394E-75.0845773E-70.00.05.0845773E-70.02.960882E-66.190455E-60.00.06.190455E-60.02.9608427E-56.5150496E-50.00.06.5150496E-50.0
8.02.8614323E-86.627079E-80.00.06.627079E-80.01.2263281E-72.8401766E-70.00.02.8401766E-70.01.4930534E-63.4579095E-60.00.03.4579095E-60.01.4930434E-53.6059402E-50.00.03.6059402E-50.0
8.13.5045191E-99.027283E-90.00.09.027283E-90.01.5019367E-83.868836E-80.00.03.868836E-80.01.8286079E-74.7103066E-70.00.04.7103066E-70.01.8286064E-64.8625207E-60.00.04.8625207E-60.0

Garlock (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5274145E-50.00.02.5274145E-50.01.0791722E-41.0831329E-41.0E-40.923247752.0830246E-41.0E-40.00131310020.001317920.00191.44166560.0023166020.0010.0130536830.0131808960.01381.04696990.0172268540.0041
6.12.5077732E-52.5175174E-50.00.02.5175174E-50.01.0747157E-41.0788916E-41.0E-40.92687722.0787837E-41.0E-40.0013076810.00131276240.00191.44732960.00231144970.0010.0130001260.013129930.01381.05103370.0171760970.0041
6.22.494612E-52.505679E-50.00.02.505679E-50.01.0690756E-41.0738184E-41.0E-40.93125622.0737111E-41.0E-40.00130082240.00130659320.00191.45416330.00230528670.0010.0129323410.0130689660.01381.05593670.0171153820.0041
6.32.4733758E-52.4876097E-50.00.02.4876097E-50.01.0599751E-41.0660751E-41.0E-40.93802022.0659684E-41.0E-40.00128975560.0012971770.00191.4647190.00229587990.0010.0128229570.0129759070.01371.05580280.0170227070.0041
6.42.3237335E-52.3254857E-50.00.02.3254857E-50.09.958477E-59.965988E-51.0E-41.00341271.9964992E-41.0E-40.00121177020.00121268650.00181.48430780.00221147390.0010.0120518380.0121405050.01291.06255880.0160919430.004
6.52.2732203E-52.3069202E-50.00.02.3069202E-50.09.742009E-59.886428E-51.0E-41.01148771.988544E-41.0E-40.00118544420.00120301070.00181.4962460.00220180770.0010.0117914030.01204480.01291.07100150.0159966220.004
6.62.1319436E-52.1848546E-50.00.02.1848546E-50.09.136581E-59.363328E-51.0E-41.06799641.9362391E-41.0E-40.0011118110.00113939130.00181.57979080.0021382520.0010.0110626490.0114152870.01241.08626270.0153696260.004
6.71.970802E-52.0467665E-50.00.02.0467665E-50.08.446021E-58.771563E-51.0E-41.14004781.8770686E-41.0E-40.0010278180.00106741630.00171.59263070.0020663490.0010.0102307710.0107026510.01161.08384360.014560910.0039
6.81.8744462E-51.9974932E-50.00.01.9974932E-50.08.033094E-58.560406E-51.0E-41.1681691.8559549E-41.0E-49.775903E-40.00104173270.00171.63189650.0020406910.0010.0097330090.0104482510.01141.09109180.0143075030.0039
6.91.7559682E-51.9026817E-50.00.01.9026817E-50.07.5253614E-58.154096E-51.0E-41.22637761.815328E-41.0E-49.158276E-49.923105E-40.00171.71317350.0019913180.0010.00912062450.0099585770.01071.07445060.0137207350.0038
7.01.6794445E-51.828911E-50.00.01.828911E-50.07.197421E-57.8379555E-51.0E-41.27584291.7837172E-41.0E-48.759337E-49.538547E-40.00171.78224210.00195290090.0010.0087248910.00957720.01041.08591230.0132417640.0037
7.11.6337795E-51.7789529E-50.00.01.7789529E-50.07.0017246E-57.623862E-51.0E-41.31167111.76231E-41.0E-48.521265E-49.2781126E-40.00151.6167080.00192688350.0010.0084886640.0093187880.01011.0838320.012885240.0036
7.21.5780008E-51.7237902E-50.00.01.7237902E-50.06.762685E-57.387464E-51.0E-41.35364451.7386726E-41.0E-48.2304585E-48.9905394E-40.00151.66842040.00189815480.0010.0082000420.0090335030.00981.08485040.0126009830.0036
7.31.5058865E-51.6690445E-50.00.01.6690445E-50.06.45364E-57.152852E-51.0E-41.39804361.7152137E-41.0E-47.854473E-48.7051303E-40.00151.72312180.00186964250.0010.007826770.008749940.00961.09715030.0122193150.0035
7.41.4887923E-51.6526183E-50.00.01.6526183E-50.06.380382E-57.0824586E-51.0E-41.41193911.708175E-41.0E-47.7653467E-48.6194935E-40.00151.74024140.00186108740.0010.00773826750.0086647810.00941.08485140.0119361880.0033
7.51.4509299E-51.611769E-50.00.01.611769E-50.06.218123E-56.9074E-51.0E-41.44772281.6906709E-41.0E-47.567935E-48.406526E-40.00131.54641760.00163998018.0E-40.00754221340.0084528710.00871.02923620.0113283570.0029
7.61.2756717E-51.4118886E-50.00.01.4118886E-50.05.4670498E-56.050811E-51.0E-41.6526711.6050207E-41.0E-46.6541E-47.364379E-40.0011.35788770.00133599616.0E-40.0066342110.0074162470.00690.930389760.0093021560.0019
7.71.0328985E-51.1524376E-50.00.01.1524376E-50.04.4266326E-54.9389248E-51.0E-42.0247321.4938432E-41.0E-45.388092E-46.011486E-48.0E-41.33078580.00100090814.0E-40.00537504670.00607125550.00580.95532140.00756214840.0015
7.87.0306583E-68.951057E-60.00.08.951057E-60.03.0131043E-53.8361108E-50.00.03.8361108E-50.03.667837E-44.6694657E-44.0E-40.85662915.668999E-41.0E-40.0036617890.00472167740.00440.931872250.0056174289.0E-4
7.94.060633E-65.4955644E-60.00.05.4955644E-60.01.7402595E-52.3552207E-50.00.02.3552207E-50.02.11856E-42.8671048E-42.0E-40.697567763.8668182E-41.0E-40.00211654140.00289955670.00270.931176840.0033981075.0E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.0875034E-60.00.02.0875034E-60.07.169782E-68.946412E-60.00.08.946412E-60.08.7288594E-51.08917164E-40.00.01.08917164E-40.08.7254314E-40.0011018217.0E-40.63531190.00120171081.0E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1632464E-70.00.03.1632464E-70.01.5742813E-61.3556764E-60.00.01.3556764E-60.01.9166706E-51.6505252E-50.00.01.6505252E-50.01.9165053E-41.6705292E-40.00.01.6705292E-40.0

Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8399295E-56.457146E-50.00.06.457146E-50.02.0740906E-42.7670868E-40.00.02.7670868E-40.00.0025222810.00336438020.00170.505293670.00376303454.0E-40.0249384420.0332007450.02070.623480.036874580.0038
6.14.8399295E-56.457146E-50.00.06.457146E-50.02.0740906E-42.7670868E-40.00.02.7670868E-40.00.0025222810.00336438020.00170.505293670.00376303454.0E-40.0249384420.0332007450.02070.623480.036874580.0038
6.24.8399295E-56.457146E-50.00.06.457146E-50.02.0740906E-42.7670868E-40.00.02.7670868E-40.00.0025222810.00336438020.00170.505293670.00376303454.0E-40.0249384420.0332007450.02070.623480.036874580.0038
6.34.8399295E-56.457146E-50.00.06.457146E-50.02.0740906E-42.7670868E-40.00.02.7670868E-40.00.0025222810.00336438020.00170.505293670.00376303454.0E-40.0249384420.0332007450.02070.623480.036874580.0038
6.44.8399295E-56.457146E-50.00.06.457146E-50.02.0740906E-42.7670868E-40.00.02.7670868E-40.00.0025222810.00336438020.00170.505293670.00376303454.0E-40.0249384420.0332007450.02070.623480.036874580.0038
6.54.8399295E-56.457146E-50.00.06.457146E-50.02.0740906E-42.7670868E-40.00.02.7670868E-40.00.0025222810.00336438020.00170.505293670.00376303454.0E-40.0249384420.0332007450.02070.623480.036874580.0038
6.64.8399295E-56.457146E-50.00.06.457146E-50.02.0740906E-42.7670868E-40.00.02.7670868E-40.00.0025222810.00336438020.00170.505293670.00376303454.0E-40.0249384420.0332007450.02070.623480.036874580.0038
6.73.495179E-54.6340243E-50.00.04.6340243E-50.01.4978478E-41.985888E-40.00.01.985888E-40.00.00182210420.00241566879.0E-40.372567650.0027149443.0E-40.0180723630.023946550.0150.626395050.0269723140.0031
6.82.7517597E-53.6265563E-50.00.03.6265563E-50.01.1792722E-41.554171E-40.00.01.554171E-40.00.00143481830.00189103417.0E-40.370167820.0020906562.0E-40.0142558940.0187957850.01190.633120660.0213469160.0026
6.92.74461E-53.6183264E-50.00.03.6183264E-50.01.1762084E-41.5506442E-40.00.01.5506442E-40.00.0014310930.00188674787.0E-40.371008780.00208637052.0E-40.0142191190.0187536460.01190.634543240.0213048870.0026
7.01.9023773E-52.4723182E-50.00.02.4723182E-50.08.152791E-51.0595425E-40.00.01.0595425E-40.09.921503E-40.00128963023.0E-40.232624830.00128963020.00.0098773230.0128605520.00850.66093580.01453868950.0017
7.15.566844E-66.514434E-60.00.06.514434E-60.02.3857683E-52.7918728E-50.00.02.7918728E-50.02.9042858E-43.3986176E-40.00.03.3986176E-40.00.0029004930.00339384070.00170.50090740.0038921445.0E-4
7.24.011353E-64.6762148E-60.00.04.6762148E-60.01.7191402E-52.0040785E-50.00.02.0040785E-50.02.0928521E-42.4397267E-40.00.02.4397267E-40.00.00209088230.00243738620.00110.451303120.00263689852.0E-4
7.32.0974871E-62.4404105E-60.00.02.4404105E-60.08.989199E-61.0458874E-50.00.01.0458874E-50.01.09438006E-41.2733186E-40.00.01.2733186E-40.00.00109384130.00127283445.0E-40.392824080.00127283440.0

Honey Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.155506E-57.959332E-50.00.07.959332E-50.02.6378073E-43.4107253E-41.0E-40.293192773.4107253E-40.00.00320680140.00414509930.00250.60312190.00464302675.0E-40.031609190.0407262780.02530.62122050.044275590.0037
6.16.155506E-57.959332E-50.00.07.959332E-50.02.6378073E-43.4107253E-41.0E-40.293192773.4107253E-40.00.00320680140.00414509930.00240.5789970.00464302675.0E-40.031609190.0407262780.02310.56720140.043987810.0034
6.24.1335024E-55.2605556E-50.00.05.2605556E-50.01.7713808E-42.2543393E-41.0E-40.443588942.2543393E-40.00.00215452280.00274135520.00160.58365290.00314025864.0E-40.0213375350.0270915010.01570.579517540.0293291920.0023
6.34.1335024E-55.2605556E-50.00.05.2605556E-50.01.7713808E-42.2543393E-41.0E-40.443588942.2543393E-40.00.00215452280.00274135520.00160.58365290.00314025864.0E-40.0213375350.0270915010.01570.579517540.0293291920.0023
6.43.2393702E-54.0909166E-50.00.04.0909166E-50.01.3882275E-41.7531386E-41.0E-40.570405541.7531386E-40.00.00168885660.00213246350.0010.46894120.0023320372.0E-40.0167607930.0211310310.01160.54895570.0226972210.0016
6.52.7205504E-53.4229823E-50.00.03.4229823E-50.01.1658981E-41.4669151E-41.0E-40.681702731.4669151E-40.00.00141855660.00178459979.0E-40.50431480.00198424282.0E-40.0140953540.0177122080.01030.58151980.0189891830.0013
6.62.069265E-52.5968986E-50.00.02.5968986E-50.08.867977E-51.1129139E-41.0E-40.89854211.1129139E-40.00.00107914140.00135421477.0E-40.51690470.0015539442.0E-40.0107391610.0134680030.00730.542025450.0145531880.0011
6.71.8060919E-52.2668704E-50.00.02.2668704E-50.07.7401644E-59.7148426E-51.0E-41.02935289.7148426E-50.09.419576E-40.00118222137.0E-40.59210570.00138198492.0E-40.0093797480.01176737250.00610.51838250.0127556050.001
6.81.4474663E-51.8190862E-50.00.01.8190862E-50.06.203279E-57.795894E-51.0E-41.28272657.795894E-50.07.5498753E-49.488133E-47.0E-40.73776370.00114862352.0E-40.0075242770.0094551580.0050.52881190.0103466489.0E-4
6.98.564552E-61.0808122E-50.00.01.0808122E-50.03.6704707E-54.6320078E-50.00.04.6320078E-50.04.4678818E-45.638675E-45.0E-40.88673317.637547E-42.0E-40.00445890940.0056308720.00330.586054860.00632693067.0E-4

Chino alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.8982674E-50.00.04.8982674E-50.01.6884391E-42.0991178E-41.0E-40.476390572.0991178E-40.00.00205373620.00255319270.00220.861666260.00295217154.0E-40.0203485950.0252980850.02340.92497120.0288070120.0036
6.12.1505624E-52.6902988E-50.00.02.6902988E-50.09.2163704E-51.1529405E-41.0E-40.86734741.1529405E-40.00.00112151540.00140291130.00120.85536420.00160263062.0E-40.0111587220.0139600960.01220.87391950.01543915550.0015
6.22.1505624E-52.6902988E-50.00.02.6902988E-50.09.2163704E-51.1529405E-41.0E-40.86734741.1529405E-40.00.00112151540.00140291130.00120.85536420.00160263062.0E-40.0111587220.0139600960.01220.87391950.01543915550.0015
6.31.4290785E-51.818528E-50.00.01.818528E-50.06.1244784E-57.7934834E-51.0E-41.28312337.7934834E-50.07.454001E-49.484889E-46.0E-40.632585170.00114829922.0E-40.0074290480.0094575410.00720.76129730.0103490299.0E-4
6.41.4290785E-51.818528E-50.00.01.818528E-50.06.1244784E-57.7934834E-51.0E-41.28312337.7934834E-50.07.454001E-49.484889E-46.0E-40.632585170.00114829922.0E-40.0074290480.0094575410.00720.76129730.0103490299.0E-4
6.51.3017944E-51.6671649E-50.00.01.6671649E-50.05.5789995E-57.1448216E-51.0E-41.3996157.1448216E-50.06.790315E-48.6957874E-46.0E-40.689989270.00106940482.0E-40.00676960360.0086747380.00660.76082990.00936866557.0E-4
6.69.470016E-61.2055545E-50.00.01.2055545E-50.04.058515E-55.1665793E-50.00.05.1665793E-50.04.940122E-46.288835E-43.0E-40.47703597.2882057E-41.0E-40.0049291540.00628283760.00460.732153240.00677969635.0E-4
6.78.314155E-61.0416415E-50.00.01.0416415E-50.03.5631605E-54.4641198E-50.00.04.4641198E-50.04.3372845E-45.434033E-42.0E-40.368050755.434033E-40.00.0043288290.0054329930.00360.66261820.0057313633.0E-4
6.83.4856364E-63.8164444E-60.00.03.8164444E-60.01.4938357E-51.63561E-50.00.01.63561E-50.01.8185932E-41.9911939E-41.0E-40.50221131.9911939E-40.00.00181710560.00199103820.00120.602700650.002190642.0E-4
6.92.2645952E-62.1548387E-60.00.02.1548387E-60.09.705372E-69.234991E-60.00.09.234991E-60.01.18156495E-41.1243043E-40.00.01.1243043E-40.00.00118093690.00112435028.0E-40.71152210.00132412532.0E-4
7.01.7864003E-61.5447231E-60.00.01.5447231E-60.07.655979E-66.620225E-60.00.06.620225E-60.09.3207556E-58.0598315E-50.00.08.0598315E-50.09.316847E-48.0617744E-45.0E-40.62021080.00100601632.0E-4
7.11.7315456E-61.4749605E-60.00.01.4749605E-60.07.420889E-66.321244E-60.00.06.321244E-60.09.034557E-57.695849E-50.00.07.695849E-50.09.0308854E-47.697918E-45.0E-40.64952639.696378E-42.0E-4
7.21.6008337E-61.3589472E-60.00.01.3589472E-60.06.860698E-65.824047E-60.00.05.824047E-60.08.352579E-57.090552E-50.00.07.090552E-50.08.34944E-47.0928765E-45.0E-40.704932639.091458E-42.0E-4
7.31.3320939E-61.1231415E-60.00.01.1231415E-60.05.7089615E-64.813455E-60.00.04.813455E-60.06.9504385E-55.8602287E-50.00.05.8602287E-50.06.9482654E-45.860052E-44.0E-40.68258786.859466E-41.0E-4
7.41.114294E-69.249316E-70.00.09.249316E-70.04.775537E-63.9639867E-60.00.03.9639867E-60.05.8140613E-54.826051E-50.00.04.826051E-50.05.81254E-44.8251598E-43.0E-40.621741065.824677E-41.0E-4
7.59.354081E-77.63455E-70.00.07.63455E-70.04.0088858E-63.271946E-60.00.03.271946E-60.04.8807087E-53.983525E-50.00.03.983525E-50.04.879637E-43.982845E-43.0E-40.753230454.9824466E-41.0E-4
7.68.521771E-76.8913687E-70.00.06.8913687E-70.03.6521824E-62.9534406E-60.00.02.9534406E-60.04.4464414E-53.595758E-50.00.03.595758E-50.04.4455516E-43.5952078E-43.0E-40.83444414.594848E-41.0E-4
7.72.1803626E-71.4215239E-70.00.01.4215239E-70.09.344408E-76.0922446E-70.00.06.0922446E-70.01.1376757E-57.417292E-60.00.07.417292E-60.01.13761744E-47.417141E-51.0E-41.34822851.7416399E-41.0E-4

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4695465E-50.00.01.4695465E-50.07.037136E-56.297926E-52.0E-43.17564852.6296667E-42.0E-48.5643446E-47.6654117E-40.0011.30456140.00146600457.0E-40.0085314130.0076427660.00971.2691740.0112152520.0036
6.11.6420427E-51.4695465E-50.00.01.4695465E-50.07.037136E-56.297926E-52.0E-43.17564852.6296667E-42.0E-48.5643446E-47.6654117E-40.0011.30456140.00146600457.0E-40.0085314130.0076427660.00971.2691740.0112152520.0036
6.21.6420427E-51.4695465E-50.00.01.4695465E-50.07.037136E-56.297926E-52.0E-43.17564852.6296667E-42.0E-48.5643446E-47.6654117E-40.0011.30456140.00146600457.0E-40.0085314130.0076427660.00971.2691740.0112152520.0036
6.31.2046778E-59.864673E-60.00.09.864673E-60.05.1628023E-54.2276617E-52.0E-44.73074772.4226816E-42.0E-46.283899E-45.1461946E-48.0E-41.55454680.00111431076.0E-40.00626615950.00513655970.00661.28490660.0078226910.0027
6.41.2046778E-59.864673E-60.00.09.864673E-60.05.1628023E-54.2276617E-52.0E-44.73074772.4226816E-42.0E-46.283899E-45.1461946E-48.0E-41.55454680.00111431076.0E-40.00626615950.00513655970.00661.28490660.0078226910.0027
6.51.0244343E-57.881387E-60.00.07.881387E-60.04.390359E-53.3777054E-51.0E-42.96058961.3377368E-41.0E-45.343951E-44.1117874E-46.0E-41.45921958.1101427E-44.0E-40.0053311180.00410621150.00481.16896070.00589882020.0018
6.69.605408E-67.1792833E-60.00.07.1792833E-60.04.1165385E-53.0768108E-51.0E-43.25011851.3076504E-41.0E-45.010733E-43.7455768E-45.0E-41.33490796.744453E-43.0E-40.004999450.00374126180.00421.12261590.0051360240.0014
6.78.60418E-66.1255696E-60.00.06.1255696E-60.03.687454E-52.6252286E-51.0E-43.8091921.2624967E-41.0E-44.48855E-43.1959423E-44.0E-41.25158726.194983E-43.0E-40.0044794950.00319325880.00361.1273750.00438942670.0012
6.85.187994E-62.5639858E-60.00.02.5639858E-60.02.223407E-51.0988487E-51.0E-49.1004341.10987385E-41.0E-42.7066618E-41.3378062E-43.0E-42.24247743.3375385E-42.0E-40.00270336750.00133739260.00181.34590240.00203645657.0E-4
6.94.5302368E-62.34504E-60.00.02.34504E-60.01.9415156E-51.0050155E-51.0E-49.9500951.1004915E-41.0E-42.3635388E-41.2235774E-43.0E-42.4518273.2233328E-42.0E-40.00236102660.0012232930.00181.47143820.00192243687.0E-4
7.03.431668E-61.6888055E-60.00.01.6888055E-60.01.4707065E-57.237738E-60.00.07.237738E-60.01.7904381E-48.811946E-51.0E-41.13482321.8811064E-41.0E-40.00178899628.8119454E-40.00151.70223470.00138075395.0E-4

Concord 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.7865112E-59.766656E-53.0E-43.07167583.9763725E-43.0E-42.4796976E-44.1850482E-45.0E-41.19472949.182955E-45.0E-40.00301485250.00508393440.00350.68844320.0061783420.00110.0297427750.0493011140.0290.5882220.0527236280.0036
6.15.7865112E-59.766656E-53.0E-43.07167583.9763725E-43.0E-42.4796976E-44.1850482E-45.0E-41.19472949.182955E-45.0E-40.00301485250.00508393440.00350.68844320.0061783420.00110.0297427750.0493011140.0290.5882220.0527236280.0036
6.25.6789337E-59.5868025E-53.0E-43.1293023.9583925E-43.0E-42.4336016E-44.1079923E-45.0E-41.21713969.1059384E-45.0E-40.00295888450.0049905980.00340.68128110.00608510850.00110.0291979630.0484172030.02850.58863370.0516525840.0034
6.35.203322E-58.81058E-52.0E-42.2699982.8808817E-42.0E-42.2298045E-43.7754604E-44.0E-41.05947347.7739503E-44.0E-40.00271140710.0045877190.00310.6757170.00558313170.0010.0267856250.0445855220.02670.598849060.0477383920.0033
6.44.7120942E-57.9018166E-51.0E-41.26553181.7901027E-41.0E-42.0193127E-43.386095E-43.0E-40.885976256.3850795E-43.0E-40.00245574120.00411552330.00260.63175440.00501181939.0E-40.0242878010.04009960.02390.596015930.042883310.0029
6.52.9598437E-54.6715155E-50.00.04.6715155E-50.01.2684427E-42.0019362E-40.00.02.0019362E-40.00.0015432350.00243484350.00150.6160560.00283386954.0E-40.0153256190.0239278560.01490.62270520.025489570.0016
6.62.0443718E-53.0022673E-50.00.03.0022673E-50.08.7613E-51.2866246E-40.00.01.2866246E-40.00.00106616620.00156537620.00120.76658890.0017650632.0E-40.0106106550.0154844650.01110.71684750.0166658850.0012
6.71.798539E-52.5595184E-50.00.02.5595184E-50.07.7077966E-51.0968915E-40.00.01.0968915E-40.09.380202E-40.0013346690.00110.82417440.00143453551.0E-40.0093407060.0132349680.00960.725351150.0141230579.0E-4
6.81.613555E-52.1975748E-50.00.02.1975748E-50.06.915052E-59.417845E-50.00.09.417845E-50.08.4158237E-40.00114603358.0E-40.698059860.00124591891.0E-40.0083840230.0113855760.00840.73777560.0120776057.0E-4
6.91.2916435E-51.7096663E-50.00.01.7096663E-50.05.5354973E-57.326939E-50.00.07.326939E-50.06.7373837E-48.9169556E-46.0E-40.67287548.9169556E-40.00.0067169940.0088754740.0070.78869020.0093710375.0E-4
7.09.81129E-61.2642283E-50.00.01.2642283E-50.04.2047708E-55.41801E-50.00.05.41801E-50.05.118106E-46.5944466E-43.0E-40.454928256.5944466E-40.00.0051063340.00657573160.00480.72995680.00707244365.0E-4
7.18.0889195E-61.0428023E-50.00.01.0428023E-50.03.4666336E-54.469077E-50.00.04.469077E-50.04.219809E-45.4397533E-43.0E-40.55149565.4397533E-40.00.0042118050.005426930.00370.681785170.00582475874.0E-4
7.26.267438E-68.124628E-60.00.08.124628E-60.02.6860173E-53.4819375E-50.00.03.4819375E-50.03.2697353E-44.2384415E-42.0E-40.471871554.2384415E-40.00.00326492850.00423081820.0030.70908270.0046291264.0E-4
7.33.6761196E-64.8442803E-60.00.04.8442803E-60.01.5754704E-52.0761037E-50.00.02.0761037E-50.01.9179663E-42.5273653E-42.0E-40.79133792.5273653E-40.00.00191631180.00252491120.00220.87131780.0027244062.0E-4
7.42.8044356E-63.7135312E-60.00.03.7135312E-60.01.2018954E-51.5915037E-50.00.01.5915037E-50.01.4632095E-41.9374846E-41.0E-40.51613311.9374846E-40.00.00146224640.00193605510.00150.774771330.0021356682.0E-4
7.52.4578699E-63.2482085E-60.00.03.2482085E-60.01.0533685E-51.392082E-50.00.01.392082E-50.01.2824008E-41.694729E-41.0E-40.59006481.694729E-40.00.00128166090.0016936840.00120.70851470.00189334532.0E-4
7.61.7713267E-62.338305E-60.00.02.338305E-60.07.591378E-61.0021269E-50.00.01.0021269E-50.09.2421105E-51.2200221E-41.0E-40.819657271.2200221E-40.09.2382677E-40.00121959248.0E-40.655956860.00141934842.0E-4
7.75.1912366E-76.832634E-70.00.06.832634E-70.02.2248137E-62.9282685E-60.00.02.9282685E-60.02.708677E-53.5651097E-51.0E-42.80496263.5651097E-50.02.708347E-43.5646665E-44.0E-41.12212463.5646665E-40.0

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.037682E-51.0E-42.47666841.4037278E-41.0E-41.503772E-41.7303349E-43.0E-41.73376833.7299888E-42.0E-40.00182930470.00210490470.00231.0926860.00250406284.0E-40.0181431940.0208756120.02131.02032940.0239108970.0031
6.13.5090034E-54.037682E-51.0E-42.47666841.4037278E-41.0E-41.503772E-41.7303349E-43.0E-41.73376833.7299888E-42.0E-40.00182930470.00210490470.00231.0926860.00250406284.0E-40.0181431940.0208756120.02131.02032940.0239108970.0031
6.21.841879E-52.1066015E-50.00.02.1066015E-50.07.8935285E-59.028037E-52.0E-42.2153211.9027134E-41.0E-49.606133E-40.00109871140.00171.54726720.00119860141.0E-40.00956471450.0109428850.01241.13315640.0125253770.0016
6.31.841879E-52.1066015E-50.00.02.1066015E-50.07.8935285E-59.028037E-52.0E-42.2153211.9027134E-41.0E-49.606133E-40.00109871140.00171.54726720.00119860141.0E-40.00956471450.0109428850.01241.13315640.0125253770.0016
6.41.712201E-51.9570964E-50.00.01.9570964E-50.07.337798E-58.387343E-52.0E-42.38454531.8386504E-41.0E-48.930107E-40.00102078120.00161.56742690.00112067921.0E-40.0088943070.0101708480.01191.17001060.0116555920.0015
6.51.4744935E-51.6841894E-50.00.01.6841894E-50.06.3191044E-57.2178074E-52.0E-42.77092461.7217085E-41.0E-47.6907943E-48.7850733E-40.00141.59361229.784194E-41.0E-40.0076642320.0087595460.01111.26718890.0102464070.0015
6.61.2017839E-51.3728104E-50.00.01.3728104E-50.05.150401E-55.8833903E-52.0E-43.39940051.5882801E-41.0E-46.268809E-47.1615604E-40.00111.53597828.160844E-41.0E-40.00625115450.00714717950.0091.2592380.0085371730.0014
6.71.00956095E-51.1536901E-50.00.01.1536901E-50.04.326618E-54.9443417E-51.0E-42.02251391.4943848E-41.0E-45.266384E-46.0189434E-49.0E-41.49527917.0183416E-41.0E-40.0052539210.00601117360.00731.21440510.00720396030.0012

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.167568E-50.00.08.167568E-50.02.8631336E-43.499949E-43.0E-40.85715543.499949E-40.00.0034802940.00425334970.00280.65830470.00455207333.0E-40.034262910.0417746450.03070.73489550.0449367870.0033
6.16.681379E-58.167568E-50.00.08.167568E-50.02.8631336E-43.499949E-43.0E-40.85715543.499949E-40.00.0034802940.00425334970.00220.51723940.00455207333.0E-40.034262910.0417746450.02310.5529670.0440743860.0024
6.23.9400576E-54.6469635E-50.00.04.6469635E-50.01.6884868E-41.9914069E-40.00.01.9914069E-40.00.00205379450.0024218979.0E-40.371609540.00252165481.0E-40.0203491670.023961680.01350.563399550.0253281350.0014
6.33.2590255E-53.7942005E-50.00.03.7942005E-50.01.3966505E-41.6259862E-40.00.01.6259862E-40.00.00169909560.0019778716.0E-40.30335650.0020776731.0E-40.016861630.019606470.01110.56613970.020782940.0012
6.42.9454652E-53.41089E-50.00.03.41089E-50.01.2622811E-41.4617296E-40.00.01.4617296E-40.00.00153574380.0017782295.0E-40.281178620.00187805121.0E-40.0152517390.0176431740.01020.578127260.0185272959.0E-4
6.52.790836E-53.2257845E-50.00.03.2257845E-50.01.1960178E-41.3824072E-40.00.01.3824072E-40.00.0014551790.00168180695.0E-40.29729930.00178163871.0E-40.0144568680.0166938080.00980.5870440.0175787849.0E-4
6.62.2492153E-52.577044E-50.00.02.577044E-50.09.639138E-51.10440145E-40.00.01.10440145E-40.00.00117293310.00134379423.0E-40.223248480.00134379420.00.0116676150.01335840.00790.591388170.0139503856.0E-4
6.71.9862755E-52.2673024E-50.00.02.2673024E-50.08.512331E-59.716655E-50.00.09.716655E-50.00.00103588360.0011823723.0E-40.253727260.0011823720.00.0103106820.0117621060.00650.552622140.0123550486.0E-4
6.81.6697575E-51.8983052E-50.00.01.8983052E-50.07.155907E-58.135345E-50.00.08.135345E-50.08.7088346E-49.900376E-42.0E-40.202012549.900376E-40.00.0086747840.0098572970.00580.58839660.0104513836.0E-4
6.91.5218415E-51.7274197E-50.00.01.7274197E-50.06.522015E-57.403022E-50.00.07.403022E-50.07.93766E-49.00954E-41.0E-40.110993459.00954E-40.00.0079093670.0089739610.00530.59059760.0095685776.0E-4
7.01.2392958E-51.4036841E-50.00.01.4036841E-50.05.3111595E-56.0156544E-50.00.06.0156544E-50.06.4644177E-47.321674E-41.0E-40.136580787.321674E-40.00.00644564540.00729833870.0040.548069950.00769541924.0E-4
7.11.0934128E-51.2378498E-50.00.01.2378498E-50.04.6859706E-55.3049665E-50.00.05.3049665E-50.05.7036756E-46.456956E-41.0E-40.154871736.456956E-40.00.00568905850.00643894170.00370.57462860.00683636644.0E-4
7.29.5798805E-61.0847885E-50.00.01.0847885E-50.04.1055984E-54.649015E-50.00.04.649015E-50.04.9974193E-45.6587777E-41.0E-40.176716615.6587777E-40.00.00498619630.00564509260.00270.478291540.0059433993.0E-4
7.38.0167365E-69.086408E-60.00.09.086408E-60.03.4356988E-53.894121E-50.00.03.894121E-50.04.1821605E-44.7401313E-41.0E-40.210964624.7401313E-40.00.00417429860.0047307240.00220.465045120.00502930443.0E-4
7.42.9581017E-63.3633257E-60.00.03.3633257E-60.01.2677518E-51.4414201E-50.00.01.4414201E-50.01.5433785E-41.7548382E-41.0E-40.56985311.7548382E-40.00.0015423070.00175394787.0E-40.399099680.00185377241.0E-4

Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8694856E-56.762294E-51.0E-41.47878831.6761618E-41.0E-42.0867554E-42.8978096E-43.0E-41.03526464.89723E-42.0E-40.00253766450.00352237140.00320.908478860.00431955378.0E-40.025088810.0348440860.02530.72609160.0381256160.0034
6.14.8694856E-56.762294E-51.0E-41.47878831.6761618E-41.0E-42.0867554E-42.8978096E-43.0E-41.03526464.89723E-42.0E-40.00253766450.00352237140.00320.908478860.00431955378.0E-40.025088810.0348440860.02530.72609160.0381256160.0034
6.24.7541962E-56.5952794E-51.0E-41.51623611.659462E-41.0E-42.0373536E-42.826248E-43.0E-41.06147794.8256828E-42.0E-40.00247765610.00343554540.00310.90233130.0042327978.0E-40.0245021340.0340049340.02480.72930590.0372893180.0034
6.34.6717287E-56.478552E-51.0E-41.54355481.6477905E-41.0E-42.0020158E-42.7762348E-43.0E-41.08060034.7756796E-42.0E-40.00243472960.00337485340.0030.888927460.0041721548.0E-40.0240822640.0334170570.02420.7241810.036703440.0034
6.44.6276386E-56.41467E-51.0E-41.55892671.6414029E-41.0E-41.983123E-42.748863E-43.0E-41.09136044.748313E-42.0E-40.00241177860.00334163830.0030.897763250.00413896478.0E-40.023857710.033095710.02420.73121260.036383180.0034
6.54.5720994E-56.3346815E-51.0E-41.57861141.6334048E-41.0E-41.9593239E-42.7145914E-43.0E-41.10513874.7140487E-42.0E-40.0023828670.00330004820.0030.909077640.0040974088.0E-40.0235747750.032693050.02360.721865950.0358851630.0033
6.64.549134E-56.299924E-51.0E-41.58732071.6299295E-41.0E-41.949483E-42.6996987E-43.0E-41.11123514.699159E-42.0E-40.00237091190.0032819710.00290.88361540.00407934568.0E-40.0234577560.0325181260.02330.71652340.035710820.0033
6.73.701047E-55.049463E-51.0E-41.98040851.5048958E-41.0E-41.5860666E-42.1638785E-43.0E-41.38639944.1634458E-42.0E-40.00192932580.00263138280.0020.76005660.0032298046.0E-40.0191266130.0261918440.01660.633785070.0283342230.0022
6.83.5523568E-54.8475173E-50.00.04.8475173E-50.01.5223498E-42.0773444E-42.0E-40.96276763.0771366E-41.0E-40.00185188510.00252627650.00170.67292710.0029252664.0E-40.0183652840.0251639650.01550.61596020.026918670.0018
6.93.2946147E-54.479259E-50.00.04.479259E-50.01.4119013E-41.9195434E-41.0E-40.520957232.9193514E-41.0E-40.00171763440.00233458170.00150.64251340.00273364784.0E-40.0170441880.0232841930.0140.601266260.0248469380.0016
7.02.7682381E-53.714891E-50.00.03.714891E-50.01.1863338E-41.5920008E-41.0E-40.62814042.5918416E-41.0E-40.00144340440.00193656820.00120.619652870.00223598723.0E-40.014340650.0193742120.01110.57292650.0207470880.0014
7.12.471967E-53.3409662E-50.00.03.3409662E-50.01.05937135E-41.4317657E-41.0E-40.69843832.4316226E-41.0E-40.00128902150.00174181010.00120.68893850.00204128753.0E-40.01281570.0174477980.010.573138240.018823370.0014
7.21.9748062E-52.689399E-50.00.02.689399E-50.08.463181E-51.15254996E-41.0E-40.86764142.1524348E-41.0E-40.00102990520.001402350.00120.85570650.00170192933.0E-40.010251450.0140909740.00880.624513270.0152740660.0012
7.31.1603734E-51.5886508E-50.00.01.5886508E-50.04.9729337E-56.808334E-50.00.06.808334E-50.06.052865E-48.286139E-47.0E-40.844784260.00102844822.0E-40.00603640450.0083608110.00650.777436550.009352450.001
7.44.885381E-66.0596612E-60.00.06.0596612E-60.02.0937177E-52.5969719E-50.00.02.5969719E-50.02.5488032E-43.161356E-41.0E-40.316319943.161356E-40.00.00254588180.00321363030.00210.65346660.00341298762.0E-4
7.53.0571264E-64.1778035E-60.00.04.1778035E-60.01.3101904E-51.7904751E-50.00.01.7904751E-50.01.5950401E-42.1796863E-40.00.02.1796863E-40.00.00159389570.00223266920.00140.62705220.00223266920.0
7.61.764948E-62.817158E-60.00.02.817158E-60.07.564041E-61.2073479E-50.00.01.2073479E-50.09.208831E-51.4698476E-40.00.01.4698476E-40.09.205016E-40.00152318559.0E-40.5908670.00152318550.0
7.71.3173734E-62.07745E-60.00.02.07745E-60.05.645874E-68.9033265E-60.00.08.9033265E-60.06.873634E-51.0839263E-40.00.01.0839263E-40.06.8715087E-40.00113572698.0E-40.704394640.00113572690.0
7.89.4429885E-71.5635194E-60.00.01.5635194E-60.04.0469886E-66.7007804E-60.00.06.7007804E-60.04.9270973E-58.157896E-50.00.08.157896E-50.04.926005E-48.575105E-46.0E-40.69969998.575105E-40.0
7.96.388233E-71.1251777E-60.00.01.1251777E-60.02.7378112E-64.8221814E-60.00.04.8221814E-60.03.3332344E-55.8708487E-50.00.05.8708487E-50.03.3327343E-46.147857E-44.0E-40.65063326.147857E-40.0
8.03.087986E-75.8074795E-70.00.05.8074795E-70.01.323422E-62.4889173E-60.00.02.4889173E-60.01.6112543E-53.0302152E-50.00.03.0302152E-50.01.6111376E-43.136864E-42.0E-40.63757943.136864E-40.0
8.11.6725647E-72.7690925E-70.00.02.7690925E-70.07.168133E-71.1867534E-60.00.01.1867534E-60.08.7271665E-61.4448628E-50.00.01.4448628E-50.08.726824E-51.4992939E-41.0E-40.66698061.4992939E-40.0

Whittier alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7270623E-50.00.04.7270623E-50.01.8236451E-42.0257448E-44.0E-41.97458244.0253397E-42.0E-40.0022180270.00246387650.00190.771142540.00296264445.0E-40.021960190.0243995540.020.81968710.0275214760.0032
6.14.2554693E-54.7270623E-50.00.04.7270623E-50.01.8236451E-42.0257448E-44.0E-41.97458244.0253397E-42.0E-40.0022180270.00246387650.00190.771142540.00296264445.0E-40.021960190.0243995540.020.81968710.0275214760.0032
6.24.2554693E-54.7270623E-50.00.04.7270623E-50.01.8236451E-42.0257448E-44.0E-41.97458244.0253397E-42.0E-40.0022180270.00246387650.00190.771142540.00296264445.0E-40.021960190.0243995540.020.81968710.0275214760.0032
6.31.9617712E-51.8278539E-50.00.01.8278539E-50.08.40732E-57.833435E-50.00.07.833435E-50.00.00102311059.533224E-47.0E-40.734274150.00105322711.0E-40.010184130.0094955150.0080.842502950.0106841210.0012
6.41.5611336E-51.3612679E-50.00.01.3612679E-50.06.690401E-55.833878E-50.00.05.833878E-50.08.142519E-47.100492E-46.0E-40.84501198.0997817E-41.0E-40.0081127480.00707966830.00560.79099750.0078740058.0E-4
6.51.5150166E-51.3109235E-50.00.01.3109235E-50.06.492767E-55.618126E-50.00.05.618126E-50.07.9020765E-46.8379805E-45.0E-40.731210057.8372966E-41.0E-40.0078740360.00681878860.00520.76259880.00761333348.0E-4
6.61.295588E-51.0387536E-50.00.01.0387536E-50.05.552402E-54.4517266E-50.00.04.4517266E-50.06.7579525E-45.4186484E-43.0E-40.55364366.4181065E-41.0E-40.0067374380.00540688870.00390.72130210.0059041855.0E-4
6.71.2542085E-59.9059625E-60.00.09.9059625E-60.05.3750682E-54.2453445E-50.00.04.2453445E-50.06.542181E-45.1675E-43.0E-40.58055156.166983E-41.0E-40.0065229540.0051569370.00370.71748010.0056543595.0E-4
6.81.2195878E-59.501777E-60.00.09.501777E-60.05.2267E-54.0721276E-50.00.04.0721276E-50.06.36165E-44.956706E-43.0E-40.605240645.9562107E-41.0E-40.00634346860.0049469920.00360.727714960.00544451835.0E-4
6.91.1580298E-58.77887E-60.00.08.77887E-60.04.9628903E-53.7623195E-50.00.03.7623195E-50.06.040644E-44.579678E-43.0E-40.65506795.57922E-41.0E-40.006024250.0045715360.00350.7656070.00506925025.0E-4
7.01.0964795E-58.089608E-60.00.08.089608E-60.04.6991136E-53.4669294E-50.00.03.4669294E-50.05.7196687E-44.2201846E-43.0E-40.71086945.2197627E-41.0E-40.00570496960.0042134620.00340.80693740.0047113555.0E-4
7.11.0230601E-57.331623E-60.00.07.331623E-60.04.3844695E-53.142087E-50.00.03.142087E-50.05.336784E-43.8248324E-42.0E-40.522898733.8248324E-40.00.0053239860.00381943440.0030.78545660.0042179074.0E-4
7.29.40865E-66.5478125E-60.00.06.5478125E-60.04.032216E-52.8061759E-50.00.02.8061759E-50.04.908117E-43.4159957E-41.0E-40.292740433.4159957E-40.00.00489729130.00341186280.00280.82066610.00381049824.0E-4
7.38.237384E-65.6016415E-60.00.05.6016415E-60.03.5302593E-52.400682E-50.00.02.400682E-50.04.2972428E-42.922449E-41.0E-40.34217882.922449E-40.00.00428894260.0029189230.00220.753702640.00321804733.0E-4
7.47.5316966E-65.0313497E-60.00.05.0313497E-60.03.2278298E-52.1562753E-50.00.02.1562753E-50.03.9291743E-42.6249592E-41.0E-40.380958322.6249592E-40.00.00392223430.0026219690.0020.762785550.00292118243.0E-4
7.56.149649E-63.9366464E-60.00.03.9366464E-60.02.6355372E-51.6871238E-50.00.01.6871238E-50.03.208294E-42.0538887E-41.0E-40.486881322.0538887E-40.00.0032036660.002052080.00160.779696760.00235146423.0E-4
7.65.457711E-63.3978574E-60.00.03.3978574E-60.02.338998E-51.4562169E-50.00.01.4562169E-50.02.8473578E-41.772808E-41.0E-40.564076841.772808E-40.00.00284371220.00177147470.00140.790302040.00207094313.0E-4
7.74.1676276E-62.3351286E-60.00.02.3351286E-60.01.7861139E-51.00076595E-50.00.01.00076595E-50.02.1743766E-41.2183719E-41.0E-40.820767461.2183719E-40.00.00217225030.00121777719.0E-40.73905150.00141753352.0E-4
7.82.2692414E-79.391798E-80.00.09.391798E-80.09.725317E-74.0250558E-70.00.04.0250558E-70.01.1840509E-54.900498E-60.00.04.900498E-60.01.1839878E-44.9004226E-50.00.04.9004226E-50.0
7.96.676829E-93.4416097E-90.00.03.4416097E-90.02.861498E-81.4749755E-80.00.01.4749755E-80.03.4838732E-71.7957827E-70.00.01.7957827E-70.03.4838679E-61.7957813E-60.00.01.7957813E-60.0

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.147297E-50.00.03.147297E-50.01.3147724E-41.348784E-40.00.01.348784E-40.00.00159955990.00164112470.00130.792139650.0021403045.0E-40.0158809520.0163116360.01390.85215240.0194594380.0032
6.13.0679566E-53.147297E-50.00.03.147297E-50.01.3147724E-41.348784E-40.00.01.348784E-40.00.00159955990.00164112470.00130.792139650.0021403045.0E-40.0158809520.0163116360.01390.85215240.0194594380.0032
6.21.514536E-51.3638063E-50.00.01.3638063E-50.06.490707E-55.84476E-50.00.05.84476E-50.07.8995706E-47.113791E-46.0E-40.84343229.112368E-42.0E-40.0078715480.00709222070.00580.81779740.0080851290.001
6.31.514536E-51.3638063E-50.00.01.3638063E-50.06.490707E-55.84476E-50.00.05.84476E-50.07.8995706E-47.113791E-46.0E-40.84343229.112368E-42.0E-40.0078715480.00709222070.00580.81779740.0080851290.001
6.41.2532521E-51.069177E-50.00.01.069177E-50.05.37097E-54.58211E-50.00.04.58211E-50.06.537194E-45.577349E-43.0E-40.537889966.576791E-41.0E-40.00651799650.0055639420.00370.664996150.006061165.0E-4
6.51.1094058E-59.0853555E-60.00.09.0853555E-60.04.7545094E-53.893668E-50.00.03.893668E-50.05.787078E-44.7395498E-42.0E-40.4219814.7395498E-40.00.00577203040.00472984930.00320.67655430.00512795764.0E-4
6.69.688328E-67.533053E-60.00.07.533053E-60.04.1520743E-53.228413E-50.00.03.228413E-50.05.053978E-43.929909E-42.0E-40.508917573.929909E-40.00.00504249940.00392321640.00290.73918940.00432164734.0E-4
6.78.974824E-66.7506153E-60.00.06.7506153E-60.03.8462964E-52.8930901E-50.00.02.8930901E-50.04.6818596E-43.52179E-42.0E-40.5678933.52179E-40.00.0046720080.00351642980.00270.767824230.00381537483.0E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1170887E-60.00.05.1170887E-60.03.20482E-52.1930204E-50.00.02.1930204E-50.03.9011694E-42.669689E-42.0E-40.749150932.669689E-40.00.00389432810.002666620.00230.862515030.00296582033.0E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.9081892E-60.00.03.9081892E-60.02.7175134E-51.674928E-50.00.01.674928E-50.03.3080703E-42.0390439E-42.0E-40.98085192.0390439E-40.00.00330315020.00203727120.00190.932620050.00223686382.0E-4
7.05.1239335E-62.6063335E-60.00.02.6063335E-60.02.195953E-51.1169955E-50.00.01.1169955E-50.02.6732447E-41.3598596E-41.0E-40.735370041.3598596E-40.00.00267003130.00135905270.00120.882967950.00135905270.0
7.14.438899E-62.0988707E-60.00.02.0988707E-60.01.9023713E-58.99513E-60.00.08.99513E-60.02.315891E-41.0951043E-41.0E-40.9131551.0951043E-40.00.0023134790.00109458660.00111.00494560.00109458660.0
7.23.50367E-61.2618601E-60.00.01.2618601E-60.01.5015643E-55.407961E-60.00.05.407961E-60.01.8280011E-46.584002E-50.00.06.584002E-50.00.00182649826.5821334E-45.0E-40.75963216.5821334E-40.0
7.32.561638E-67.121003E-70.00.07.121003E-70.01.0978401E-53.051855E-60.00.03.051855E-60.01.3365384E-43.715572E-50.00.03.715572E-50.00.00133573493.714971E-43.0E-40.807543343.714971E-40.0
7.42.0368864E-65.3063235E-70.00.05.3063235E-70.08.729483E-62.2741367E-60.00.02.2741367E-60.01.06276275E-42.7687269E-50.00.02.7687269E-50.00.00106225472.7683872E-43.0E-41.08366332.7683872E-40.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6039583E-70.00.03.6039583E-70.05.0064455E-61.5445527E-60.00.01.5445527E-60.06.0951766E-51.880477E-50.00.01.880477E-50.06.093505E-41.8803227E-42.0E-41.06364731.8803227E-40.0
7.61.3154387E-77.121037E-80.00.07.121037E-80.05.6375933E-73.0518729E-70.00.03.0518729E-70.06.863748E-63.7156503E-60.00.03.7156503E-60.06.863536E-53.7156038E-50.00.03.7156038E-50.0

Maacama 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.368203E-42.582187E-43.0E-41.16180592.582187E-40.05.862409E-40.0011060857.0E-40.632862750.0011060850.00.00711414960.0133661070.00670.501267850.013760764.0E-40.068906670.124323170.06120.492265430.127037760.0031
6.11.368203E-42.582187E-43.0E-41.16180592.582187E-40.05.862409E-40.0011060857.0E-40.632862750.0011060850.00.00711414960.0133661070.00670.501267850.013760764.0E-40.068906670.124323170.06120.492265430.127037760.0031
6.21.360743E-42.5696465E-43.0E-41.16747572.5696465E-40.05.8304524E-40.00110071557.0E-40.635950.00110071550.00.0070754960.0133016060.00670.50369860.0136962854.0E-40.068544130.12375720.06120.494516670.126473550.0031
6.31.1917239E-42.2389114E-43.0E-41.33993692.2389114E-40.05.1063887E-49.591055E-46.0E-40.625582939.591055E-40.00.00619932030.0116020220.00590.508532050.011997384.0E-40.0602920650.1089710740.05330.48912060.111376850.0027
6.41.1859289E-42.2292622E-43.0E-41.34573672.2292622E-40.05.0815626E-49.5497334E-46.0E-40.62828989.5497334E-40.00.0061692660.0115523020.00580.502064470.0119476814.0E-40.060007840.108527640.05280.486512040.1109346150.0027
6.51.09512424E-42.0544998E-42.0E-40.973472952.0544998E-40.04.6925453E-48.8015926E-44.0E-40.454463188.8015926E-40.00.0056982180.0106532590.00460.431792740.0108511292.0E-40.0555430280.100616320.04850.482029170.102774840.0024
6.61.0502928E-41.9701771E-41.0E-40.50756861.9701771E-40.04.500478E-48.4405736E-43.0E-40.355426078.4405736E-40.00.00546557460.0102190930.00440.430566580.0104170492.0E-40.0533308870.096766970.04680.483636080.098844410.0023
6.79.739358E-51.8284877E-41.0E-40.546900031.8284877E-40.04.173343E-47.833711E-43.0E-40.382960267.833711E-40.00.00506921350.0094886380.00420.442634670.009686742.0E-40.0495512670.0902363060.04430.49093320.092237790.0022
6.88.969524E-51.6681738E-41.0E-40.59945791.6681738E-40.03.8435153E-47.147201E-43.0E-40.419744737.147201E-40.00.00466944320.0086613840.00390.450274470.0088596522.0E-40.0457253870.082761150.04050.489360030.084687350.0021
6.97.838291E-51.4439727E-41.0E-40.692533851.4439727E-40.03.358835E-46.1868277E-43.0E-40.484901166.1868277E-40.00.00408171540.00750260470.00340.453175930.00770110452.0E-40.040075540.072150710.03430.475393830.073820840.0018
7.06.961957E-51.2727006E-41.0E-40.78573081.2727006E-40.02.9833548E-45.453218E-42.0E-40.36675595.453218E-40.00.00362618570.00661649650.00310.468525920.0068151732.0E-40.0356758270.063960980.03030.473726330.065552250.0017
7.15.999398E-51.09221E-41.0E-40.915574851.09221E-40.02.570917E-44.6800118E-42.0E-40.427349334.6800118E-40.00.00312559940.0056815070.00280.4928270.00588037072.0E-40.0308200160.0552191320.02640.478095140.0566363040.0015
7.25.116532E-59.320214E-51.0E-41.07293679.320214E-50.02.1926152E-43.9937397E-42.0E-40.50078383.9937397E-40.00.0026662410.00485081370.00220.453532160.0050498442.0E-40.0263447740.0473751280.02330.491819260.0488040630.0015
7.34.2087835E-57.629031E-51.0E-41.31078267.629031E-50.01.8036396E-43.2691588E-42.0E-40.611778143.2691588E-40.00.00219371960.00397247730.00180.453117730.00397247730.00.02172190.0389637540.01940.497898640.0398286889.0E-4
7.42.8991652E-55.1241026E-50.00.05.1241026E-50.01.2424402E-42.1958665E-41.0E-40.45540112.1958665E-40.00.00151162130.00267014260.00130.486865370.00267014260.00.0150138010.0263706860.01320.50055580.0267601374.0E-4
7.51.1292299E-61.4962823E-60.00.01.4962823E-60.04.8395473E-66.41263E-60.00.06.41263E-60.05.8919897E-57.807222E-50.00.07.807222E-50.05.890428E-47.8114093E-42.0E-40.256035757.8114093E-40.0
7.62.6535366E-73.4766327E-70.00.03.4766327E-70.01.1372296E-61.4899846E-60.00.01.4899846E-60.01.3845682E-51.8140412E-50.00.01.8140412E-50.01.3844819E-41.8191896E-42.0E-41.09939061.8191896E-40.0
7.79.727789E-81.2324621E-70.00.01.2324621E-70.04.1690518E-75.281979E-70.00.05.281979E-70.05.0758085E-66.430791E-60.00.06.430791E-60.05.0756928E-56.46788E-50.00.06.46788E-50.0
7.86.1939325E-97.728372E-90.00.07.728372E-90.02.6545425E-83.3121594E-80.00.03.3121594E-80.03.231905E-74.0325534E-70.00.04.0325534E-70.03.2319003E-64.0679524E-60.00.04.0679524E-60.0

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7606474E-50.00.04.7606474E-50.01.7917668E-42.0401271E-41.0E-40.490165532.0401271E-40.00.00217929340.00248119030.00230.92697450.00327920548.0E-40.0215804520.02455250.02120.863455830.0272837520.0028
6.14.1810763E-54.7606474E-50.00.04.7606474E-50.01.7917668E-42.0401271E-41.0E-40.490165532.0401271E-40.00.00217929340.00248119030.00230.92697450.00327920548.0E-40.0215804520.02455250.02120.863455830.0272837520.0028
6.24.1810763E-54.7606474E-50.00.04.7606474E-50.01.7917668E-42.0401271E-41.0E-40.490165532.0401271E-40.00.00217929340.00248119030.00230.92697450.00327920548.0E-40.0215804520.02455250.02120.863455830.0272837520.0028
6.34.1810763E-54.7606474E-50.00.04.7606474E-50.01.7917668E-42.0401271E-41.0E-40.490165532.0401271E-40.00.00217929340.00248119030.00230.92697450.00327920548.0E-40.0215804520.02455250.02120.863455830.0272837520.0028
6.44.1810763E-54.7606474E-50.00.04.7606474E-50.01.7917668E-42.0401271E-41.0E-40.490165532.0401271E-40.00.00217929340.00248119030.00230.92697450.00327920548.0E-40.0215804520.02455250.02120.863455830.0272837520.0028
6.53.154503E-53.5371402E-50.00.03.5371402E-50.01.3518598E-41.5158343E-41.0E-40.65970271.5158343E-40.00.00164464670.00184405830.0021.08456440.00254276747.0E-40.016325280.0182972160.01650.90177650.0207514730.0025
6.63.1535834E-53.5360783E-50.00.03.5360783E-50.01.3514658E-41.5153793E-41.0E-40.659900841.5153793E-40.00.00164416760.00184350510.0021.08488990.00254221477.0E-40.016320560.0182917750.01650.90204480.0207460470.0025
6.72.8267326E-53.1479503E-50.00.03.1479503E-50.01.2114006E-41.3490565E-41.0E-40.741258741.3490565E-40.00.00147388240.0016413240.00181.09667550.00234017527.0E-40.0146414520.0163007860.01520.93247030.0186616650.0024
6.82.8212884E-53.141737E-50.00.03.141737E-50.01.20906756E-41.346394E-41.0E-40.74272461.346394E-40.00.00147104570.00163808730.00181.09884250.00233694077.0E-40.0146134590.0162688940.01520.93429830.0186298490.0024
6.92.4227871E-52.6715385E-50.00.02.6715385E-50.01.03829596E-41.1448991E-40.00.01.1448991E-40.00.00126339230.00139309930.00141.00495350.00199226346.0E-40.0125623360.0138513580.01250.902438640.0159222690.0021
7.02.348524E-52.5843858E-50.00.02.5843858E-50.01.0064714E-41.10755114E-40.00.01.10755114E-40.00.00122469010.00134768510.00141.03881840.00194687656.0E-40.0121796270.0134027630.01230.91772120.01547461750.0021
7.12.2311642E-52.447044E-50.00.02.447044E-50.09.561782E-51.0486953E-40.00.01.0486953E-40.00.00116352520.00127611360.00131.01871810.00177547555.0E-40.011574520.0126953790.01130.890087660.0146699880.002
7.21.6533986E-51.76755E-50.00.01.76755E-50.07.085802E-57.57503E-50.00.07.57503E-50.08.623549E-49.2193316E-47.0E-40.75927410.00122165663.0E-40.0085901610.0091873680.00810.88164530.0106735860.0015
7.31.4703092E-51.5564003E-50.00.01.5564003E-50.06.301173E-56.670151E-50.00.06.670151E-50.07.668978E-48.1185E-46.0E-40.73905280.00101168762.0E-40.00764256580.0080949210.00750.926506940.0094835880.0014
7.46.1331984E-65.5298224E-60.00.05.5298224E-60.02.6284872E-52.3699027E-50.00.02.3699027E-50.03.199713E-42.8849798E-41.0E-40.346622882.8849798E-40.00.00319510980.0028812890.00260.90237390.00337984835.0E-4
7.55.954766E-65.3394187E-60.00.05.3394187E-60.02.5520176E-52.2883025E-50.00.02.2883025E-50.03.1066386E-42.7856574E-41.0E-40.35898172.7856574E-40.00.0031022990.00278221960.00260.93450570.00328082855.0E-4
7.64.9726646E-64.3160476E-60.00.04.3160476E-60.02.1311245E-51.8497218E-50.00.01.8497218E-50.02.5943352E-42.2518069E-40.00.02.2518069E-40.00.00259130840.00224955990.00180.800156530.002648664.0E-4
7.73.3613894E-62.8531683E-60.00.02.8531683E-60.01.4405875E-51.2227809E-50.00.01.2227809E-50.01.7537741E-41.4886366E-40.00.01.4886366E-40.00.00175239080.00148766580.00120.80663280.00168736832.0E-4
7.81.1828961E-61.0124252E-60.00.01.0124252E-60.05.069545E-64.3389578E-60.00.04.3389578E-60.06.171996E-55.282556E-50.00.05.282556E-50.06.170282E-45.2813295E-44.0E-40.7573856.2808016E-41.0E-4
7.92.2967266E-71.8621847E-70.00.01.8621847E-70.09.843111E-77.9807893E-70.00.07.9807893E-70.01.19839215E-59.71657E-60.00.09.71657E-60.01.1983275E-49.716175E-50.00.09.716175E-50.0

Sargent 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.7327867E-53.6677877E-50.00.03.6677877E-50.01.5996677E-41.5718323E-40.00.01.5718323E-40.00.00194585560.00191244250.00221.15036140.0025112956.0E-40.019289050.019032320.01640.861692130.0219752230.003
6.12.3771476E-51.8493849E-50.00.01.8493849E-50.01.01873775E-47.9257436E-50.00.07.9257436E-50.00.00123960759.64613E-45.0E-40.51834260.001164422.0E-40.0123271540.00964416750.00750.777672050.0113277720.0017
6.22.3112721E-51.7724942E-50.00.01.7724942E-50.09.9050754E-57.5962314E-50.00.07.5962314E-50.00.00120527589.2452916E-45.0E-40.540815830.00112434422.0E-40.0119875970.00924668650.00740.80028670.0108318920.0016
6.31.728509E-51.0469761E-50.00.01.0469761E-50.07.407686E-54.48699E-50.00.04.48699E-50.09.015125E-45.462005E-43.0E-40.54924896.461459E-41.0E-40.0089786410.00548520.00470.856851160.00638026339.0E-4
6.41.48395575E-57.4654286E-60.00.07.4654286E-60.06.3596555E-53.1994517E-50.00.03.1994517E-50.07.7401294E-43.8950128E-42.0E-40.513477154.8946234E-41.0E-40.00771322570.00392402150.00320.815489950.0045216676.0E-4
6.51.4358964E-56.904008E-60.00.06.904008E-60.06.1536964E-52.9588486E-50.00.02.9588486E-50.07.48955E-43.6021776E-41.0E-40.277609854.6018176E-41.0E-40.00746435860.00363216970.00310.853484330.00422999036.0E-4
6.69.772591E-61.3805807E-60.00.01.3805807E-60.04.188186E-55.916761E-60.00.05.916761E-60.05.097923E-47.2034214E-50.00.07.2034214E-50.00.0050862447.523663E-45.0E-40.66456998.5229106E-41.0E-4
6.79.752745E-61.3592687E-60.00.01.3592687E-60.04.179681E-55.8254245E-60.00.05.8254245E-60.05.0875737E-47.0922266E-50.00.07.0922266E-50.00.0050759427.412543E-45.0E-40.67453238.411802E-41.0E-4
6.89.608213E-61.2430114E-60.00.01.2430114E-60.04.1177405E-55.3271806E-60.00.05.3271806E-60.05.012196E-46.485652E-50.00.06.485652E-50.00.0050009066.803346E-44.0E-40.5879467.8026654E-41.0E-4
6.99.427164E-61.1275326E-60.00.01.1275326E-60.04.04015E-54.832274E-60.00.04.832274E-60.04.9177726E-45.8831367E-50.00.05.8831367E-50.00.0049069046.194106E-44.0E-40.64577527.1934867E-41.0E-4
7.09.247601E-69.937917E-70.00.09.937917E-70.03.9631974E-54.2591E-60.00.04.2591E-60.04.8241246E-45.1853327E-50.00.05.1853327E-50.00.00481366555.491626E-44.0E-40.728381756.491077E-41.0E-4
7.18.995454E-68.329239E-70.00.08.329239E-70.03.8551374E-53.569669E-60.00.03.569669E-60.04.6926187E-44.3459866E-50.00.04.3459866E-50.00.0046827224.643421E-44.0E-40.861433865.642957E-41.0E-4
7.28.520861E-65.3278336E-70.00.05.3278336E-70.03.6517464E-52.2833551E-60.00.02.2833551E-60.04.445094E-42.7799502E-50.00.02.7799502E-50.00.0044362133.0604418E-43.0E-40.98025063.0604418E-40.0
7.38.043592E-63.5008256E-70.00.03.5008256E-70.03.4472083E-51.500353E-60.00.01.500353E-60.04.196168E-41.8266646E-50.00.01.8266646E-50.00.0041882532.0940288E-42.0E-40.95509672.0940288E-40.0
7.47.662316E-62.969677E-70.00.02.969677E-70.03.2838085E-51.272718E-60.00.01.272718E-60.03.9973034E-41.5495234E-50.00.01.5495234E-50.00.00399012071.7986666E-42.0E-41.11193481.7986666E-40.0
7.56.961638E-62.391966E-70.00.02.391966E-70.02.9835252E-51.0251279E-60.00.01.0251279E-60.03.6318362E-41.2480861E-50.00.01.2480861E-50.00.00362590651.4623991E-41.0E-40.68380791.4623991E-40.0
7.66.282332E-61.7162228E-70.00.01.7162228E-70.02.6924003E-57.355238E-70.00.07.355238E-70.03.2775043E-48.954967E-60.00.08.954967E-60.00.00327267451.0674282E-41.0E-40.93683121.0674282E-40.0
7.74.934408E-65.0920907E-80.00.05.0920907E-80.02.114729E-52.1823244E-70.00.02.1823244E-70.02.5743784E-42.6569767E-60.00.02.6569767E-60.00.00257139823.3175103E-50.00.03.3175103E-50.0
7.82.373212E-63.590835E-80.00.03.590835E-80.01.0170869E-51.5389293E-70.00.01.5389293E-70.01.238233E-41.8736448E-60.00.01.8736448E-60.00.00123754322.4640216E-50.00.02.4640216E-50.0
7.91.8227792E-63.1275956E-80.00.03.1275956E-80.07.811887E-61.3403981E-70.00.01.3403981E-70.09.510558E-51.6319335E-60.00.01.6319335E-60.09.5064886E-42.1872767E-50.00.02.1872767E-50.0
8.01.9095137E-71.3467476E-80.00.01.3467476E-80.08.1836276E-75.7717752E-80.00.05.7717752E-80.09.963521E-67.027134E-70.00.07.027134E-70.09.963074E-58.58814E-60.00.08.58814E-60.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.4992404E-51.0E-41.81843295.4992404E-50.02.0292461E-42.3566208E-42.0E-40.84867282.3566208E-40.00.00246780760.00286568070.00260.90728880.0033642485.0E-40.0244058180.0283153880.02430.85819060.0304530930.0022
6.14.7352758E-55.4992404E-51.0E-41.81843295.4992404E-50.02.0292461E-42.3566208E-42.0E-40.84867282.3566208E-40.00.00246780760.00286568070.00250.87239310.0033642485.0E-40.0244058180.0283153880.02160.76283610.0303559250.0021
6.23.0415853E-53.393612E-51.0E-42.94671273.393612E-50.01.3034715E-41.454326E-42.0E-41.37520751.454326E-40.00.00158582120.00176923820.00170.960865560.00196888442.0E-40.0157455220.0175554730.01510.86013060.0192256290.0017
6.33.0415853E-53.393612E-51.0E-42.94671273.393612E-50.01.3034715E-41.454326E-42.0E-41.37520751.454326E-40.00.00158582120.00176923820.00170.960865560.00196888442.0E-40.0157455220.0175554730.01510.86013060.0192256290.0017
6.42.5452082E-52.7920812E-51.0E-43.58155782.7920812E-50.01.09075794E-41.1965522E-42.0E-41.67146911.1965522E-40.00.00132718870.00145584790.00110.755573450.00155570221.0E-40.0131929020.0144652740.0120.82957290.0158450230.0014
6.52.3143784E-52.5135434E-51.0E-43.97844722.5135434E-50.09.9183875E-51.0771892E-42.0E-41.8566841.0771892E-40.00.00120689480.00131070360.0010.762949050.00141057241.0E-40.0120036110.0130313990.01110.85178880.0144131550.0014
6.61.9118515E-52.035971E-50.00.02.035971E-50.08.193392E-58.725303E-51.0E-41.1460928.725303E-50.09.97089E-40.00106179598.0E-40.753440560.00116168961.0E-40.009926270.0105681380.0090.85161640.0115575710.001
6.71.722807E-51.8150948E-50.00.01.8150948E-50.07.3832496E-57.778749E-51.0E-41.28555377.778749E-50.08.985399E-49.466568E-47.0E-40.73944439.466568E-40.00.0089491540.0094268890.00820.869852240.0103184049.0E-4
6.81.5317364E-51.593034E-50.00.01.593034E-50.06.56442E-56.8271125E-51.0E-41.46474816.8271125E-50.07.98925E-48.308883E-47.0E-40.84247198.308883E-40.00.0079605890.0082783050.00720.86974330.0091708549.0E-4
6.91.3071226E-51.3332638E-50.00.01.3332638E-50.05.6018336E-55.713864E-51.0E-41.75012915.713864E-50.06.8180985E-46.954432E-47.0E-41.00655256.954432E-40.00.00679721730.0069329290.00650.93755460.007826699.0E-4
7.01.1836986E-51.1935414E-50.00.01.1935414E-50.05.0728955E-55.1150782E-51.0E-41.95500435.1150782E-50.06.1745E-46.225845E-46.0E-40.96372466.225845E-40.00.0061573720.00620859630.00620.998615440.00710300879.0E-4
7.11.0597169E-51.05444815E-50.00.01.05444815E-50.04.541565E-54.518986E-51.0E-42.21288594.518986E-50.05.5279525E-45.500488E-46.0E-41.09081235.500488E-40.00.00551422130.00548700430.00551.00236850.00628261458.0E-4
7.29.59113E-69.4612515E-60.00.09.4612515E-60.04.11042E-54.05476E-51.0E-42.46623734.05476E-50.05.0032866E-44.9355626E-45.0E-41.01305584.9355626E-40.00.0049920370.00492471970.00480.974674760.0055217656.0E-4
7.38.586084E-68.381525E-60.00.08.381525E-60.03.679698E-53.5920333E-51.0E-42.78393863.5920333E-50.04.4791115E-44.3724332E-44.0E-40.914822464.3724332E-40.00.0044700940.00436394150.0040.916602550.00486175955.0E-4
7.47.2622997E-66.9532452E-60.00.06.9532452E-60.03.112377E-52.9799288E-51.0E-43.3557852.9799288E-50.03.78866E-43.627469E-44.0E-41.10269733.627469E-40.00.00378220740.0036216480.00371.02163430.0041198375.0E-4
7.55.627296E-65.2527034E-60.00.05.2527034E-60.02.411676E-52.2511394E-50.00.02.2511394E-50.02.9358198E-42.7404248E-43.0E-41.09472082.7404248E-40.00.00293194430.00273711750.0031.09604360.0032357495.0E-4
7.62.265244E-62.0611474E-60.00.02.0611474E-60.09.708152E-68.833459E-60.00.08.833459E-60.01.18190335E-41.07542146E-42.0E-41.8597361.07542146E-40.00.0011812750.00107490970.00141.3024350.00137458723.0E-4
7.71.3099874E-61.1017722E-60.00.01.1017722E-60.05.61422E-64.7218728E-60.00.04.7218728E-60.06.8350986E-55.748731E-51.0E-41.73951445.748731E-50.06.832996E-45.747268E-47.0E-41.217976.746693E-41.0E-4
7.87.903951E-76.0718713E-70.00.06.0718713E-70.03.3874032E-62.602228E-60.00.02.602228E-60.04.1240855E-53.168168E-51.0E-43.15639833.168168E-50.04.12332E-43.1677296E-46.0E-41.8941014.1674127E-41.0E-4
7.97.0753297E-95.09043E-90.00.05.09043E-90.03.032284E-82.1816128E-80.00.02.1816128E-80.03.6918053E-72.6561133E-70.00.02.6561133E-70.03.691799E-62.6561113E-60.00.02.6561113E-60.0

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3790286E-50.00.03.3790286E-50.01.5014476E-41.4480816E-40.00.01.4480816E-40.00.00182647960.00176173448.0E-40.4540980.0020612063.0E-40.0181154030.017490020.01260.72041080.0203392990.0029
6.13.503579E-53.3790286E-50.00.03.3790286E-50.01.5014476E-41.4480816E-40.00.01.4480816E-40.00.00182647960.00176173448.0E-40.4540980.0020612063.0E-40.0181154030.017490020.01260.72041080.0203392990.0029
6.23.503579E-53.3790286E-50.00.03.3790286E-50.01.5014476E-41.4480816E-40.00.01.4480816E-40.00.00182647960.00176173448.0E-40.4540980.0020612063.0E-40.0181154030.017490020.01260.72041080.0203392990.0029
6.31.7818425E-51.5918991E-50.00.01.5918991E-50.07.636245E-56.822254E-50.00.06.822254E-50.09.293162E-48.3030725E-43.0E-40.361312038.3030725E-40.00.0092543950.0082735090.00560.676859140.009463580.0012
6.41.7818425E-51.5918991E-50.00.01.5918991E-50.07.636245E-56.822254E-50.00.06.822254E-50.09.293162E-48.3030725E-43.0E-40.361312038.3030725E-40.00.0092543950.0082735090.00560.676859140.009463580.0012
6.51.3397557E-51.1338404E-50.00.01.1338404E-50.05.741684E-54.8592294E-50.00.04.8592294E-50.06.988258E-45.914576E-42.0E-40.338147675.914576E-40.00.0069663230.005899540.00410.69496940.00659541047.0E-4
6.61.0818695E-58.626971E-60.00.08.626971E-60.04.6365014E-53.6972233E-50.00.03.6972233E-50.05.6434784E-44.5004833E-42.0E-40.444396734.5004833E-40.00.0056291680.0044918060.00310.69014560.00498955985.0E-4
6.79.067908E-66.803708E-60.00.06.803708E-60.03.8861883E-52.915844E-50.00.02.915844E-50.04.7304068E-43.5494938E-41.0E-40.281730323.5494938E-40.00.004720350.00354414180.00250.70538940.00394272434.0E-4
6.87.295947E-64.937363E-60.00.04.937363E-60.03.126797E-52.1159962E-50.00.02.1159962E-50.03.8062103E-42.575932E-40.00.02.575932E-40.00.00379969760.00257305920.00160.62182790.00277254452.0E-4
6.96.2243444E-63.833039E-60.00.03.833039E-60.02.6675489E-51.642721E-50.00.01.642721E-50.03.2472567E-41.9998346E-40.00.01.9998346E-40.00.00324251570.00199808760.00110.55052640.0020978881.0E-4
7.04.9878413E-62.680234E-60.00.02.680234E-60.02.1376287E-51.1486668E-50.00.01.1486668E-50.02.602252E-41.3984148E-40.00.01.3984148E-40.00.0025992070.0013975617.0E-40.500872550.0013975610.0
7.14.0252844E-61.8863292E-60.00.01.8863292E-60.01.7251105E-58.084244E-60.00.08.084244E-60.02.1001195E-49.8421355E-50.00.09.8421355E-50.00.00209813599.837904E-44.0E-40.406590679.837904E-40.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2823662E-60.00.01.2823662E-60.01.4264522E-55.495844E-60.00.05.495844E-60.01.736567E-46.690995E-50.00.06.690995E-50.00.00173521076.689081E-43.0E-40.448492086.689081E-40.0
7.32.458226E-66.0608704E-70.00.06.0608704E-70.01.0535211E-52.5975137E-60.00.02.5975137E-60.01.2825865E-43.162431E-50.00.03.162431E-50.00.00128184643.1620183E-42.0E-40.632507443.1620183E-40.0
7.41.965953E-63.1121087E-70.00.03.1121087E-70.08.425486E-61.3337602E-60.00.01.3337602E-60.01.0257547E-41.6238411E-50.00.01.6238411E-50.00.00102528131.6237238E-41.0E-40.615868331.6237238E-40.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8266371E-70.00.01.8266371E-70.05.148929E-67.8284427E-70.00.07.8284427E-70.06.2686406E-59.531088E-60.00.09.531088E-60.06.266873E-49.5306874E-50.00.09.5306874E-50.0
7.62.5612175E-74.9005926E-80.00.04.9005926E-80.01.0976642E-62.1002538E-70.00.02.1002538E-70.01.3363979E-52.5570564E-60.00.02.5570564E-60.01.3363175E-42.5570305E-50.00.02.5570305E-50.0

Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1181217E-52.3988501E-50.00.02.3988501E-50.09.077348E-51.02804755E-40.00.01.02804755E-40.00.00110460680.00125109590.00120.9591590.00155072073.0E-40.0109913220.0124569870.00990.79473470.0153208620.0029
6.12.1181217E-52.3988501E-50.00.02.3988501E-50.09.077348E-51.02804755E-40.00.01.02804755E-40.00.00110460680.00125109590.00120.9591590.00155072073.0E-40.0109913220.0124569870.00990.79473470.0153208620.0029
6.22.1181217E-52.3988501E-50.00.02.3988501E-50.09.077348E-51.02804755E-40.00.01.02804755E-40.00.00110460680.00125109590.00120.9591590.00155072073.0E-40.0109913220.0124569870.00990.79473470.0153208620.0029
6.32.1181217E-52.3988501E-50.00.02.3988501E-50.09.077348E-51.02804755E-40.00.01.02804755E-40.00.00110460680.00125109590.00120.9591590.00155072073.0E-40.0109913220.0124569870.00990.79473470.0153208620.0029
6.41.0988268E-51.2257408E-50.00.01.2257408E-50.04.7091726E-55.2530784E-50.00.05.2530784E-50.05.731909E-46.3939055E-44.0E-40.62559577.3932664E-41.0E-40.0057171470.0063770970.00430.6742880.007370720.001
6.51.0988268E-51.2257408E-50.00.01.2257408E-50.04.7091726E-55.2530784E-50.00.05.2530784E-50.05.731909E-46.3939055E-44.0E-40.62559577.3932664E-41.0E-40.0057171470.0063770970.00430.6742880.007370720.001
6.61.0517822E-51.1726833E-50.00.01.1726833E-50.04.5075605E-55.0256975E-50.00.05.0256975E-50.05.4865726E-46.117225E-44.0E-40.653891277.1166136E-41.0E-40.00547304660.0061019410.00370.60636440.0069964499.0E-4
6.77.789219E-68.6796845E-60.00.08.6796845E-60.03.3381937E-53.7198148E-50.00.03.7198148E-50.04.063493E-44.527985E-43.0E-40.662546344.527985E-40.00.0040560710.00451927630.0030.663823070.0049174694.0E-4
6.87.5850853E-68.454381E-60.00.08.454381E-60.03.2507105E-53.6232588E-50.00.03.6232588E-50.03.957021E-44.410476E-43.0E-40.680198674.410476E-40.00.00394998260.00440223560.00290.658756260.00480047474.0E-4
6.96.604105E-67.3602823E-60.00.07.3602823E-60.02.8303E-53.1543706E-50.00.03.1543706E-50.03.4453452E-43.8398083E-43.0E-40.7812893.8398083E-40.00.00344000850.00383356050.00250.652135250.00413241053.0E-4
7.05.3701115E-65.98984E-60.00.05.98984E-60.02.301456E-52.5670506E-50.00.02.5670506E-50.02.8016625E-43.124965E-40.00.03.124965E-40.00.00279813280.00312085940.00180.576764170.00322054751.0E-4
7.14.4685607E-64.98767E-60.00.04.98767E-60.01.9150835E-52.1375567E-50.00.02.1375567E-50.02.3313647E-42.6021895E-40.00.02.6021895E-40.00.00232892040.00259938720.00130.500117840.00269912741.0E-4
7.22.833378E-63.165182E-60.00.03.165182E-60.01.2142991E-51.3565005E-50.00.01.3565005E-50.01.4783088E-41.6514318E-40.00.01.6514318E-40.00.00147732580.00165037657.0E-40.424145640.00165037650.0
7.37.0087293E-77.774574E-70.00.07.774574E-70.03.0037377E-63.3319586E-60.00.03.3319586E-60.03.656989E-54.0566298E-50.00.04.0566298E-50.03.6563876E-44.0563394E-41.0E-40.24652774.0563394E-40.0
7.43.112171E-83.2070375E-80.00.03.2070375E-80.01.3337875E-71.3744446E-70.00.01.3744446E-70.01.6238852E-61.6733851E-60.00.01.6733851E-60.01.6238733E-51.6733733E-50.00.01.6733733E-50.0

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8504137E-50.00.01.8504137E-50.07.439883E-57.930131E-50.00.07.930131E-50.09.0542925E-49.651144E-40.00181.86506390.00146463195.0E-40.0090174910.0096140730.01281.33138160.0123871540.0028
6.19.062689E-69.593349E-60.00.09.593349E-60.03.8839516E-54.1113755E-50.00.04.1113755E-50.04.727685E-45.0045387E-48.0E-41.59854897.0035376E-42.0E-40.00471763960.00499415160.00661.32154570.0065861610.0016
6.29.062689E-69.593349E-60.00.09.593349E-60.03.8839516E-54.1113755E-50.00.04.1113755E-50.04.727685E-45.0045387E-48.0E-41.59854897.0035376E-42.0E-40.00471763960.00499415160.00661.32154570.0065861610.0016
6.37.2575485E-67.668603E-60.00.07.668603E-60.03.110341E-53.2865064E-50.00.03.2865064E-50.03.786182E-44.0006585E-48.0E-41.99967095.999858E-42.0E-40.00377973750.00399416130.00581.45211970.0052889690.0013
6.47.2575485E-67.668603E-60.00.07.668603E-60.03.110341E-53.2865064E-50.00.03.2865064E-50.03.786182E-44.0006585E-48.0E-41.99967095.999858E-42.0E-40.00377973750.00399416130.00581.45211970.0052889690.0013
6.56.06582E-66.4046126E-60.00.06.4046126E-60.02.5996113E-52.7448088E-50.00.02.7448088E-50.03.164567E-43.3413572E-46.0E-41.79567754.341023E-41.0E-40.00316006430.00333697190.00461.37849520.0043336350.001
6.65.598744E-65.9109398E-60.00.05.9109398E-60.02.3994397E-52.533239E-50.00.02.533239E-50.02.9209262E-43.083846E-46.0E-41.94562244.0835375E-41.0E-40.00291708970.00308019570.00431.39601520.00397742359.0E-4
6.75.246996E-65.5397977E-60.00.05.5397977E-60.02.2486933E-52.374181E-50.00.02.374181E-50.02.73744E-42.8902455E-46.0E-42.07594823.8899563E-41.0E-40.00273407040.00288711050.00431.48937830.00378451229.0E-4
6.84.02324E-64.247391E-60.00.04.247391E-60.01.7242342E-51.820301E-50.00.01.820301E-50.02.099053E-42.2160508E-45.0E-42.25626592.2160508E-40.00.00209707140.00221442550.00351.58054540.0030126548.0E-4
6.96.835972E-77.140582E-70.00.07.140582E-70.02.9296991E-63.0602475E-60.00.03.0602475E-60.03.56685E-53.7258196E-51.0E-42.6839733.7258196E-50.03.5662777E-43.7255077E-42.0E-40.53683963.7255077E-40.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4868488E-51.0E-44.02115352.4868488E-50.07.183948E-51.0657529E-42.0E-41.87660771.0657529E-40.08.742947E-40.00129685390.00141.07953570.0016963354.0E-40.008708630.0130068880.01561.19936440.015671770.0027
6.11.6763008E-52.4868488E-51.0E-44.02115352.4868488E-50.07.183948E-51.0657529E-42.0E-41.87660771.0657529E-40.08.742947E-40.00129685390.00141.07953570.0016963354.0E-40.008708630.0130068880.01561.19936440.015671770.0027
6.21.6763008E-52.4868488E-51.0E-44.02115352.4868488E-50.07.183948E-51.0657529E-42.0E-41.87660771.0657529E-40.08.742947E-40.00129685390.00141.07953570.0016963354.0E-40.008708630.0130068880.01561.19936440.015671770.0027
6.31.6763008E-52.4868488E-51.0E-44.02115352.4868488E-50.07.183948E-51.0657529E-42.0E-41.87660771.0657529E-40.08.742947E-40.00129685390.00141.07953570.0016963354.0E-40.008708630.0130068880.01561.19936440.015671770.0027
6.41.6763008E-52.4868488E-51.0E-44.02115352.4868488E-50.07.183948E-51.0657529E-42.0E-41.87660771.0657529E-40.08.742947E-40.00129685390.00141.07953570.0016963354.0E-40.008708630.0130068880.01561.19936440.015671770.0027
6.51.6763008E-52.4868488E-51.0E-44.02115352.4868488E-50.07.183948E-51.0657529E-42.0E-41.87660771.0657529E-40.08.742947E-40.00129685390.00141.07953570.0016963354.0E-40.008708630.0130068880.01561.19936440.015671770.0027
6.69.910213E-61.7317692E-51.0E-45.77444121.7317692E-50.04.247165E-57.4216594E-52.0E-42.69481527.4216594E-50.05.169696E-49.0321613E-48.0E-40.885723770.00100312581.0E-40.00515768630.009103090.00690.75798440.0096976286.0E-4
6.79.910213E-61.7317692E-51.0E-45.77444121.7317692E-50.04.247165E-57.4216594E-52.0E-42.69481527.4216594E-50.05.169696E-49.0321613E-48.0E-40.885723770.00100312581.0E-40.00515768630.009103090.00690.75798440.0096976286.0E-4
6.88.300162E-61.557701E-51.0E-46.4197171.557701E-50.03.557164E-56.675692E-52.0E-42.99594436.675692E-50.04.3299864E-48.1246387E-47.0E-40.86157689.123826E-41.0E-40.0043215590.0082024230.00570.694916550.0085991434.0E-4
6.98.183114E-61.544818E-50.00.01.544818E-50.03.5070017E-56.620481E-51.0E-41.51046426.620481E-50.04.2689382E-48.0574694E-46.0E-40.744650669.056663E-41.0E-40.00426074680.0081357480.00550.676028850.0085324934.0E-4
7.07.1748823E-61.4233877E-50.00.01.4233877E-50.03.0749135E-56.1000905E-51.0E-41.639326.1000905E-50.03.743064E-47.424335E-46.0E-40.80815328.423592E-41.0E-40.00373676540.00750656850.00510.6794050.0079035664.0E-4
7.17.1671807E-61.4224233E-50.00.01.4224233E-50.03.0716128E-56.0959577E-51.0E-41.64043136.0959577E-50.03.7390468E-47.419307E-46.0E-40.80870098.4185647E-41.0E-40.00373276180.00750157470.00510.679857250.0078985744.0E-4
7.27.0649667E-61.40711845E-50.00.01.40711845E-50.03.0278077E-56.0303686E-51.0E-41.65827356.0303686E-50.03.6857324E-47.339506E-46.0E-40.817493748.338772E-41.0E-40.00367962550.0074221740.00510.68713020.0078192054.0E-4
7.37.02082E-61.4014444E-50.00.01.4014444E-50.03.008888E-56.0060524E-51.0E-41.66498716.0060524E-50.03.6627054E-47.3099206E-46.0E-40.820802338.3091896E-41.0E-40.00365667440.0073925740.00510.689881440.00778961744.0E-4
7.46.987146E-61.3973896E-50.00.01.3973896E-50.02.9944567E-55.9886755E-50.00.05.9886755E-50.03.6451413E-47.2887784E-45.0E-40.6859868.28805E-41.0E-40.00363916790.00737145260.0050.678292330.00776850434.0E-4
7.56.9494554E-61.3930718E-50.00.01.3930718E-50.02.9783041E-55.970171E-50.00.05.970171E-50.03.625482E-47.2662643E-45.0E-40.68811158.265538E-41.0E-40.00361957260.0073490390.0050.68036110.00774609954.0E-4
7.66.92694E-61.3889674E-50.00.01.3889674E-50.02.9686547E-55.952582E-50.00.05.952582E-50.03.6137376E-47.2448637E-45.0E-40.690144068.2441396E-41.0E-40.00360786660.0073277140.0050.682341040.0077247834.0E-4
7.76.395867E-61.2764461E-50.00.01.2764461E-50.02.741057E-55.4703683E-50.00.05.4703683E-50.03.336726E-46.6581415E-45.0E-40.75096037.6574757E-41.0E-40.00333172010.0067442590.00470.6968890.00714156124.0E-4
7.85.8664327E-61.1623775E-50.00.01.1623775E-50.02.5141611E-54.981523E-50.00.04.981523E-50.03.060561E-46.0633186E-44.0E-40.659704747.062712E-41.0E-40.00305634950.0061454710.00410.6671580.0065430134.0E-4
7.93.7167474E-67.1672644E-60.00.07.1672644E-60.01.592882E-53.071649E-50.00.03.071649E-50.01.9391612E-43.739092E-42.0E-40.53488923.739092E-40.00.00193746990.00379478560.00230.606094840.00399402672.0E-4
8.01.0903841E-61.299582E-60.00.01.299582E-60.04.6730665E-65.569625E-60.00.05.569625E-60.05.68931E-56.780809E-50.00.06.780809E-50.05.6878536E-47.0031453E-46.0E-40.856757947.0031453E-40.0
8.12.6894583E-71.12524575E-70.00.01.12524575E-70.01.1526245E-64.822481E-70.00.04.822481E-70.01.4033113E-55.871355E-60.00.05.871355E-60.01.4032227E-46.564457E-50.00.06.564457E-50.0
8.25.2967013E-92.503718E-90.00.02.503718E-90.02.2700148E-81.0730219E-80.00.01.0730219E-80.02.7637427E-71.3064042E-70.00.01.3064042E-70.02.7637393E-61.4850166E-60.00.01.4850166E-60.0

Keddie Ridge 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2591947E-52.519519E-50.00.02.519519E-50.09.6819036E-51.07975364E-40.00.01.07975364E-40.00.00117813430.00131388640.0010.76110080.00161349213.0E-40.0117190790.0130691310.01010.77281340.0157338460.0027
6.12.2591947E-52.519519E-50.00.02.519519E-50.09.6819036E-51.07975364E-40.00.01.07975364E-40.00.00117813430.00131388648.0E-40.608880640.00161349213.0E-40.0117190790.0130691310.00880.673342350.0155364590.0025
6.21.3775145E-51.5326394E-50.00.01.5326394E-50.05.9035E-56.568303E-50.00.06.568303E-50.07.185141E-47.994217E-44.0E-40.500361748.993417E-41.0E-40.00716195350.007967880.0060.753023450.0094559280.0015
6.39.705435E-61.07708065E-50.00.01.07708065E-50.04.1594063E-54.6159854E-50.00.04.6159854E-50.05.0629E-45.618637E-44.0E-40.711916456.6180754E-41.0E-40.0050513810.00560566270.00410.731403230.00660005720.001
6.47.2549733E-68.029053E-60.00.08.029053E-60.03.109237E-53.4409815E-50.00.03.4409815E-50.03.7848388E-44.1886696E-44.0E-40.95495725.188251E-41.0E-40.0037783990.0041815620.00360.860922340.00517738050.001
6.55.983293E-66.61448E-60.00.06.61448E-60.02.5642432E-52.8347502E-50.00.02.8347502E-50.03.1215188E-43.450829E-43.0E-40.869356334.4504838E-41.0E-40.00311713760.00344613330.0030.87054090.0043430329.0E-4
6.64.0336154E-64.45879E-60.00.04.45879E-60.01.728681E-51.9108984E-50.00.01.9108984E-50.02.1044657E-42.3263106E-41.0E-40.429865182.3263106E-40.00.0021024740.00232427150.00190.81746040.00252380662.0E-4
6.71.5832104E-61.7820788E-60.00.01.7820788E-60.06.7851697E-67.63746E-60.00.07.63746E-60.08.260631E-59.298237E-50.00.09.298237E-50.08.2575605E-49.294614E-47.0E-40.753124360.00102936841.0E-4
6.87.5177275E-78.592854E-70.00.08.592854E-70.03.221879E-63.6826475E-60.00.03.6826475E-60.03.9225673E-54.483548E-50.00.04.483548E-50.03.921875E-44.482809E-43.0E-40.669223255.482361E-41.0E-4

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.05127336E-41.0E-40.951227371.05127336E-40.03.3046713E-44.504637E-43.0E-40.66598044.504637E-40.00.0040160160.00547178970.00320.584817770.00567069562.0E-40.0394421030.0534907580.04140.77396550.0554784280.0021
6.14.607858E-56.0277285E-51.0E-41.65899986.0277285E-50.01.9746469E-42.5830677E-43.0E-41.16140972.5830677E-40.00.00240148180.00314066680.00170.541286350.00324035271.0E-40.0237569530.0309939180.02380.76789260.0323505250.0014
6.24.607858E-56.0277285E-51.0E-41.65899986.0277285E-50.01.9746469E-42.5830677E-43.0E-41.16140972.5830677E-40.00.00240148180.00314066680.00170.541286350.00324035271.0E-40.0237569530.0309939180.02380.76789260.0323505250.0014
6.33.327423E-54.2500396E-51.0E-42.35291934.2500396E-50.01.4259605E-41.8213355E-42.0E-41.09809541.8213355E-40.00.00173472440.00221546740.00110.496509220.00231524581.0E-40.0172124520.0219580550.01740.79241990.0228382939.0E-4
6.42.7732503E-53.5018194E-51.0E-42.85565833.5018194E-50.01.1884817E-41.500708E-42.0E-41.33270431.500708E-40.00.0014460160.00182581440.00110.60247090.00192563181.0E-40.0143664280.0181311050.01530.843853650.0188184147.0E-4
6.52.7689714E-53.496799E-51.0E-42.85975843.496799E-50.01.186648E-41.4985567E-42.0E-41.33461751.4985567E-40.00.00144378640.00182319960.00110.603334960.00192301721.0E-40.0143444210.0181053840.01530.845052540.018792717.0E-4
6.62.2976905E-52.8733499E-50.00.02.8733499E-50.09.846873E-51.2313918E-40.00.01.2313918E-40.00.00119819750.00149842699.0E-40.60062990.0015982771.0E-40.0119175740.0149065550.01320.88551640.0154976126.0E-4
6.71.9871539E-52.4918034E-50.00.02.4918034E-50.08.516096E-51.06788604E-40.00.01.06788604E-40.00.00103634150.0012996188.0E-40.61556550.00139948811.0E-40.0103152180.01294385550.0120.92708080.0134373835.0E-4
6.86.5640475E-67.6079823E-60.00.07.6079823E-60.02.813133E-53.2605247E-50.00.03.2605247E-50.03.424451E-43.9689944E-43.0E-40.755858963.9689944E-40.00.00341917880.0039621930.00360.90858770.0040617971.0E-4
6.95.6219683E-66.5039367E-60.00.06.5039367E-60.02.4093928E-52.787373E-50.00.02.787373E-50.02.933041E-43.393124E-43.0E-40.884140973.393124E-40.00.00292917270.00338820040.00341.00348260.00348786171.0E-4
7.03.875591E-64.4862086E-60.00.04.4862086E-60.01.6609569E-51.9226478E-50.00.01.9226478E-50.02.0220275E-42.3405933E-42.0E-40.85448422.3405933E-40.00.00202018860.00233833650.00251.0691360.00243810281.0E-4
7.11.6017933E-61.8576521E-60.00.01.8576521E-60.06.8648105E-67.961348E-60.00.07.961348E-60.08.357586E-59.692617E-52.0E-42.06342639.692617E-50.08.3544437E-49.689437E-40.00151.54807769.689437E-40.0

Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7907707E-52.7598038E-50.00.02.7598038E-50.01.19598975E-41.1827265E-40.00.01.1827265E-40.00.00145514480.0014391420.00161.11177350.00173871033.0E-40.0144565320.0143273860.01410.984129250.0167915670.0025
6.12.7907707E-52.7598038E-50.00.02.7598038E-50.01.19598975E-41.1827265E-40.00.01.1827265E-40.00.00145514480.0014391420.00161.11177350.00173871033.0E-40.0144565320.0143273860.01410.984129250.0167915670.0025
6.22.7907707E-52.7598038E-50.00.02.7598038E-50.01.19598975E-41.1827265E-40.00.01.1827265E-40.00.00145514480.0014391420.00161.11177350.00173871033.0E-40.0144565320.0143273860.01410.984129250.0167915670.0025
6.32.7907707E-52.7598038E-50.00.02.7598038E-50.01.19598975E-41.1827265E-40.00.01.1827265E-40.00.00145514480.0014391420.00161.11177350.00173871033.0E-40.0144565320.0143273860.01410.984129250.0167915670.0025
6.42.7907707E-52.7598038E-50.00.02.7598038E-50.01.19598975E-41.1827265E-40.00.01.1827265E-40.00.00145514480.0014391420.00161.11177350.00173871033.0E-40.0144565320.0143273860.01410.984129250.0167915670.0025
6.51.7990213E-51.6651378E-50.00.01.6651378E-50.07.709863E-57.136147E-50.00.07.136147E-50.09.382716E-48.6854596E-49.0E-41.03621460.00106837232.0E-40.00934319850.0086749620.00911.0489960.0102610820.0016
6.69.650407E-67.4667255E-60.00.07.4667255E-60.04.135823E-53.1999905E-50.00.03.1999905E-50.05.0342013E-43.8953702E-44.0E-41.026864.894981E-41.0E-40.0050228120.0039062950.00421.07518760.0046035617.0E-4
6.79.62828E-67.44463E-60.00.07.44463E-60.04.1263404E-53.190521E-50.00.03.190521E-50.05.022661E-43.8838453E-44.0E-41.02990714.883457E-41.0E-40.00501132430.0038948110.00421.07835780.0045920857.0E-4
6.86.887523E-64.4705985E-60.00.04.4705985E-60.02.9517621E-51.915958E-50.00.01.915958E-50.03.5931775E-42.3324514E-41.0E-40.428733473.332218E-41.0E-40.00358737330.00234722950.00230.97987860.00294582136.0E-4
6.96.2722347E-63.8123444E-60.00.03.8123444E-60.02.6880729E-51.6338528E-50.00.01.6338528E-50.03.2722374E-41.9890544E-41.0E-40.50275142.9888557E-41.0E-40.0032674230.00200448650.00190.947873650.00260328396.0E-4
7.05.5320347E-63.0393048E-60.00.03.0393048E-60.02.3708504E-51.3025537E-50.00.01.3025537E-50.02.8861282E-41.5857621E-40.00.01.5857621E-40.00.00288238260.00160182950.00130.8115720.00190134893.0E-4
7.13.8794055E-61.2919112E-60.00.01.2919112E-60.01.6625918E-55.5367505E-60.00.05.5367505E-60.02.0240174E-46.740786E-50.00.06.740786E-50.00.0020221756.9090154E-46.0E-40.868430557.9083245E-41.0E-4
7.23.4813652E-69.748566E-70.00.09.748566E-70.01.49200505E-54.17795E-60.00.04.17795E-60.01.8163648E-45.086536E-50.00.05.086536E-50.00.00181488095.2555173E-44.0E-40.76110495.2555173E-40.0
7.33.1682148E-67.7921595E-70.00.07.7921595E-70.01.3577992E-53.3394927E-60.00.03.3394927E-60.01.6529951E-44.0657567E-50.00.04.0657567E-50.00.00165176614.2349036E-43.0E-40.708398644.2349036E-40.0
7.42.9707667E-67.416581E-70.00.07.416581E-70.01.2731795E-53.1785307E-60.00.03.1785307E-60.01.5499859E-43.8697926E-50.00.03.8697926E-50.00.00154890524.0369027E-42.0E-40.495429344.0369027E-40.0
7.52.3462758E-66.068092E-70.00.06.068092E-70.01.0055429E-52.600608E-60.00.02.600608E-60.01.2241797E-43.1661944E-50.00.03.1661944E-50.00.00122350563.3159088E-42.0E-40.603152933.3159088E-40.0
7.62.112783E-65.30817E-70.00.05.30817E-70.09.054753E-62.274928E-60.00.02.274928E-60.01.1023604E-42.7696897E-50.00.02.7696897E-50.00.00110181372.9151983E-42.0E-40.68605972.9151983E-40.0
7.71.7022471E-64.280964E-70.00.04.280964E-70.07.2953244E-61.8346975E-60.00.01.8346975E-60.08.881695E-52.2337215E-50.00.02.2337215E-50.08.878146E-42.3659493E-41.0E-40.422663332.3659493E-40.0
7.87.230914E-73.7733471E-70.00.03.7733471E-70.03.0989595E-61.6171477E-60.00.01.6171477E-60.03.772918E-51.9688598E-50.00.01.9688598E-50.03.7722773E-42.096328E-41.0E-40.477024592.096328E-40.0
7.94.3588446E-73.4695532E-70.00.03.4695532E-70.01.868075E-61.4869505E-60.00.01.4869505E-60.02.2743576E-51.8103474E-50.00.01.8103474E-50.02.2741247E-41.9199152E-41.0E-40.52085631.9199152E-40.0
8.02.3317523E-73.1855672E-70.00.03.1855672E-70.09.99322E-71.3652424E-60.00.01.3652424E-60.01.2166677E-51.6621701E-50.00.01.6621701E-50.01.21660116E-41.757691E-41.0E-40.56892821.757691E-40.0
8.11.4662456E-72.0509846E-70.00.02.0509846E-70.06.283908E-78.789931E-70.00.08.789931E-70.07.650631E-61.07016895E-50.00.01.07016895E-50.07.650368E-51.1237095E-41.0E-40.88990971.1237095E-40.0
8.25.4931775E-95.129171E-90.00.05.129171E-90.02.3542189E-82.198216E-80.00.02.198216E-80.02.8662612E-72.6763277E-70.00.02.6763277E-70.02.8662573E-62.7824178E-60.00.02.7824178E-60.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.4713133E-50.00.01.4713133E-50.05.906953E-56.305486E-51.0E-41.58592066.305486E-50.07.189342E-47.6744E-46.0E-40.781820069.672865E-42.0E-40.00716612770.00764965450.00730.954291460.0100312950.0024
6.11.3783202E-51.4713133E-50.00.01.4713133E-50.05.906953E-56.305486E-51.0E-41.58592066.305486E-50.07.189342E-47.6744E-46.0E-40.781820069.672865E-42.0E-40.00716612770.00764965450.00730.954291460.0100312950.0024
6.21.3783202E-51.4713133E-50.00.01.4713133E-50.05.906953E-56.305486E-51.0E-41.58592066.305486E-50.07.189342E-47.6744E-46.0E-40.781820069.672865E-42.0E-40.00716612770.00764965450.00730.954291460.0100312950.0024
6.31.10494875E-51.1794774E-50.00.01.1794774E-50.04.7354086E-55.054811E-51.0E-41.97831335.054811E-50.05.763835E-46.152598E-45.0E-40.81266487.151983E-41.0E-40.0057489080.00613660550.00651.05921760.0082237180.0021
6.41.10494875E-51.1794774E-50.00.01.1794774E-50.04.7354086E-55.054811E-51.0E-41.97831335.054811E-50.05.763835E-46.152598E-45.0E-40.81266487.151983E-41.0E-40.0057489080.00613660550.00651.05921760.0082237180.0021
6.59.788949E-61.0455787E-50.00.01.0455787E-50.04.1951964E-54.4809796E-51.0E-42.2316554.4809796E-50.05.1064545E-45.45432E-44.0E-40.73336366.4537744E-41.0E-40.00509473630.00544186030.00571.0474360.0072320650.0018
6.68.810006E-69.41496E-60.00.09.41496E-60.03.775662E-54.0349252E-51.0E-42.47836074.0349252E-50.04.5958988E-44.911503E-44.0E-40.81441465.911012E-41.0E-40.00458640560.00490153070.00541.10169660.0066927080.0018
6.78.80128E-69.405438E-60.00.09.405438E-60.03.7719226E-54.0308445E-51.0E-42.48086954.0308445E-50.04.591348E-44.9065374E-44.0E-40.81523895.906047E-41.0E-40.0045818740.00489658680.00541.10280910.0066877730.0018
6.86.8994877E-67.3811375E-60.00.07.3811375E-60.02.9568899E-53.163311E-51.0E-43.16124493.163311E-50.03.5994186E-43.8507322E-44.0E-41.03876354.850347E-41.0E-40.0035935940.0038448650.00411.06635740.00513986640.0013
6.94.9328037E-65.271708E-60.00.05.271708E-60.02.1140417E-52.2592872E-50.00.02.2592872E-50.02.5735417E-42.7503967E-42.0E-40.727167842.7503967E-40.00.00257056350.00274759790.00250.909885640.00334594936.0E-4
7.03.347973E-63.5905662E-60.00.03.5905662E-60.01.4348378E-51.5388072E-50.00.01.5388072E-50.01.746775E-41.8733778E-42.0E-41.06759041.8733778E-40.00.00174540250.00187220130.00160.854608950.00217163963.0E-4
7.11.2073567E-61.2936721E-60.00.01.2936721E-60.05.1743755E-65.544306E-60.00.05.544306E-60.06.29962E-56.7501474E-52.0E-42.96289856.7501474E-50.06.297835E-46.7496987E-45.0E-40.74077387.749024E-41.0E-4

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6697657E-50.00.01.6697657E-50.06.364676E-57.155956E-51.0E-41.39743737.155956E-50.07.7462377E-48.70913E-48.0E-40.918576249.708259E-41.0E-40.00771929140.0086773790.00891.02565530.0109574220.0023
6.11.4851273E-51.6697657E-50.00.01.6697657E-50.06.364676E-57.155956E-51.0E-41.39743737.155956E-50.07.7462377E-48.70913E-48.0E-40.918576249.708259E-41.0E-40.00771929140.0086773790.00891.02565530.0109574220.0023
6.21.4851273E-51.6697657E-50.00.01.6697657E-50.06.364676E-57.155956E-51.0E-41.39743737.155956E-50.07.7462377E-48.70913E-48.0E-40.918576249.708259E-41.0E-40.00771929140.0086773790.00891.02565530.0109574220.0023
6.31.0426831E-51.1890731E-50.00.01.1890731E-50.04.4685654E-55.0959316E-50.00.05.0959316E-50.05.43912E-46.20259E-43.0E-40.483668956.20259E-40.00.00542582660.00618588650.00590.95378410.00767660750.0015
6.41.0426831E-51.1890731E-50.00.01.1890731E-50.04.4685654E-55.0959316E-50.00.05.0959316E-50.05.43912E-46.20259E-43.0E-40.483668956.20259E-40.00.00542582660.00618588650.00590.95378410.00767660750.0015
6.59.25027E-61.0621866E-50.00.01.0621866E-50.03.964341E-54.5521516E-50.00.04.5521516E-50.04.8255164E-45.540884E-42.0E-40.36095325.540884E-40.00.00481505130.00552756850.00480.86837460.00682038260.0013
6.67.904275E-69.161175E-60.00.09.161175E-60.03.3875025E-53.926161E-50.00.03.926161E-50.04.1235037E-44.7790917E-40.00.04.7790917E-40.00.00411586040.0047692110.0040.83871310.0059634880.0012
6.77.2061953E-68.408778E-60.00.08.408778E-60.03.088333E-53.603714E-50.00.03.603714E-50.03.7593965E-44.386675E-40.00.04.386675E-40.00.0037530430.00437838540.00390.89073930.0055731310.0012
6.86.6948724E-67.843609E-60.00.07.843609E-60.02.8691995E-53.361505E-50.00.03.361505E-50.03.4926904E-44.0918996E-40.00.04.0918996E-40.00.0034872060.0040847230.00370.90581420.00527982130.0012
6.96.0421025E-67.1319555E-60.00.07.1319555E-60.02.5894467E-53.0565185E-50.00.03.0565185E-50.03.1521954E-43.7207096E-40.00.03.7207096E-40.00.00314772780.00371481850.00330.88833410.00471110360.001
7.04.134091E-65.0813696E-60.00.05.0813696E-60.01.7717413E-52.1777127E-50.00.02.1777127E-50.02.1568815E-42.651058E-40.00.02.651058E-40.00.00215478920.00264804860.00220.83080050.003445938.0E-4
7.13.7674888E-64.6328596E-60.00.04.6328596E-60.01.6146281E-51.985497E-50.00.01.985497E-50.01.9656324E-42.4170897E-40.00.02.4170897E-40.00.00196389460.00241461140.00190.78687610.00311292137.0E-4
7.23.4065345E-64.1576454E-60.00.04.1576454E-60.01.4599351E-51.7818367E-50.00.01.7818367E-50.01.777326E-42.1691853E-40.00.02.1691853E-40.00.00177590530.00216721630.00180.830558540.00286569917.0E-4
7.32.9934936E-63.6299518E-60.00.03.6299518E-60.01.2829195E-51.5556852E-50.00.01.5556852E-50.01.5618425E-41.8938968E-40.00.01.8938968E-40.00.00156074530.00189242830.00180.951158940.00259110357.0E-4
7.42.4049796E-62.8893344E-60.00.02.8893344E-60.01.0307015E-51.2382811E-50.00.01.2382811E-50.01.2548068E-41.5075174E-40.00.01.5075174E-40.00.00125409850.00150663630.00161.06196830.00210573226.0E-4
7.51.2710091E-61.5136369E-60.00.01.5136369E-60.05.44717E-66.4870064E-60.00.06.4870064E-60.06.631728E-57.897769E-50.00.07.897769E-50.06.6297496E-47.896189E-48.0E-41.0131479.89461E-42.0E-4
7.62.21172E-72.6041258E-70.00.02.6041258E-70.09.478797E-71.1160537E-60.00.01.1160537E-60.01.1540374E-51.3587897E-50.00.01.3587897E-50.01.1539775E-41.3587347E-44.0E-42.94391541.3587347E-40.0

Mount Diablo Thrust South

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2377444E-52.6966321E-52.0E-47.4166592.2696092E-42.0E-49.5899806E-51.1556595E-43.0E-42.59592034.1553128E-43.0E-40.00116695480.00140630540.00171.20884120.00190560235.0E-40.0116084570.0139938920.01230.87895490.0163603070.0024
6.12.2377444E-52.6966321E-52.0E-47.4166592.2696092E-42.0E-49.5899806E-51.1556595E-43.0E-42.59592034.1553128E-43.0E-40.00116695480.00140630540.00171.20884120.00190560235.0E-40.0116084570.0139938920.01230.87895490.0163603070.0024
6.22.2377444E-52.6966321E-52.0E-47.4166592.2696092E-42.0E-49.5899806E-51.1556595E-43.0E-42.59592034.1553128E-43.0E-40.00116695480.00140630540.00171.20884120.00190560235.0E-40.0116084570.0139938920.01230.87895490.0163603070.0024
6.32.2377444E-52.6966321E-52.0E-47.4166592.2696092E-42.0E-49.5899806E-51.1556595E-43.0E-42.59592034.1553128E-43.0E-40.00116695480.00140630540.00171.20884120.00190560235.0E-40.0116084570.0139938920.01230.87895490.0163603070.0024
6.41.2228463E-51.4752696E-51.0E-46.7784221.1475122E-41.0E-45.2406645E-56.322438E-52.0E-43.16333652.6321172E-42.0E-46.378641E-47.694979E-47.0E-40.90968419.69344E-42.0E-40.00636036270.0076699320.00470.61278250.0083645637.0E-4
6.51.2228463E-51.4752696E-51.0E-46.7784221.1475122E-41.0E-45.2406645E-56.322438E-52.0E-43.16333652.6321172E-42.0E-46.378641E-47.694979E-47.0E-40.90968419.69344E-42.0E-40.00636036270.0076699320.00470.61278250.0083645637.0E-4
6.61.2068118E-51.4557408E-51.0E-46.86935471.1455595E-41.0E-45.1719482E-56.238747E-51.0E-41.6028861.6238123E-41.0E-46.2950276E-47.593156E-46.0E-40.79018538.5923966E-41.0E-40.0062772250.00756880730.00450.59454540.0080650235.0E-4
6.71.1499428E-51.3879802E-50.00.01.3879802E-50.04.9282335E-55.9483584E-50.00.05.9483584E-50.05.9984723E-47.2398473E-45.0E-40.69062237.2398473E-40.00.00598230630.00721784260.00430.595745860.00751567733.0E-4
6.88.82118E-61.0834225E-50.00.01.0834225E-50.03.780451E-54.6431596E-50.00.04.6431596E-50.04.601727E-45.651637E-44.0E-40.70775965.651637E-40.00.00459220960.00563812670.00360.63850990.00593643543.0E-4
6.98.047112E-69.942913E-60.00.09.942913E-60.03.4487166E-54.2611817E-50.00.04.2611817E-50.04.1980037E-45.1868067E-44.0E-40.77118745.1868067E-40.00.0041900820.00517552770.00330.637616160.00547397463.0E-4
7.06.2574763E-67.751429E-60.00.07.751429E-60.02.681748E-53.3220007E-50.00.03.3220007E-50.03.264539E-44.043822E-43.0E-40.74187244.043822E-40.00.00325974750.00403733550.00230.569682660.00433612433.0E-4
7.13.6485903E-64.5143206E-60.00.04.5143206E-60.01.5636722E-51.9346948E-50.00.01.9346948E-50.01.9036046E-42.3552404E-43.0E-41.27375532.3552404E-40.00.00190197480.00235283510.00130.55252490.00245259981.0E-4
7.22.3034274E-62.9060986E-60.00.02.9060986E-60.09.871795E-61.24546505E-50.00.01.24546505E-50.01.2018247E-41.5162506E-41.0E-40.65952161.5162506E-40.00.00120117490.00151537168.0E-40.52792330.00161522011.0E-4
7.31.224035E-61.5682665E-60.00.01.5682665E-60.05.245854E-66.7211254E-60.00.06.7211254E-60.06.38664E-58.1826736E-51.0E-41.22209448.1826736E-50.06.384805E-48.181049E-47.0E-40.8556368.181049E-40.0
7.45.1601154E-76.724704E-70.00.06.724704E-70.02.2114762E-62.8820127E-60.00.02.8820127E-60.02.6924388E-53.5087956E-50.00.03.5087956E-50.02.6921128E-43.5079857E-42.0E-40.57012783.5079857E-40.0
7.53.552894E-74.6658042E-70.00.04.6658042E-70.01.5226678E-61.999629E-60.00.01.999629E-60.01.8538323E-52.4345225E-50.00.02.4345225E-50.01.8536777E-42.4344347E-42.0E-40.821545962.4344347E-40.0
7.61.3124082E-71.7192495E-70.00.01.7192495E-70.05.6246057E-77.3682105E-70.00.07.3682105E-70.06.8479358E-68.970768E-60.00.08.970768E-60.06.8477246E-58.9709305E-50.00.08.9709305E-50.0
7.73.6193022E-84.7337167E-80.00.04.7337167E-80.01.5511293E-72.0287355E-70.00.02.0287355E-70.01.8884983E-62.4699839E-60.00.02.4699839E-60.01.8884823E-52.470406E-50.00.02.470406E-50.0

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.187212E-55.347264E-50.00.05.347264E-50.01.794396E-42.2915407E-42.0E-40.87277522.2915407E-40.00.0021824880.0027873520.00130.466392460.00298679462.0E-40.0216117760.0276183730.01930.698810160.0296603760.0021
6.14.187212E-55.347264E-50.00.05.347264E-50.01.794396E-42.2915407E-42.0E-40.87277522.2915407E-40.00.0021824880.0027873520.00130.466392460.00298679462.0E-40.0216117760.0276183730.01930.698810160.0296603760.0021
6.21.7353306E-52.2167018E-50.00.02.2167018E-50.07.436919E-59.500037E-51.0E-41.05262749.500037E-50.09.050688E-40.00115640269.0E-40.778275670.0012562871.0E-40.0090139150.0115415930.00930.805781360.0124312059.0E-4
6.31.7353306E-52.2167018E-50.00.02.2167018E-50.07.436919E-59.500037E-51.0E-41.05262749.500037E-50.09.050688E-40.00115640269.0E-40.778275670.0012562871.0E-40.0090139150.0115415930.00930.805781360.0124312059.0E-4
6.41.4028824E-51.7911016E-50.00.01.7911016E-50.06.0122147E-57.67615E-51.0E-41.30273647.67615E-50.07.3174125E-49.345508E-48.0E-40.85602630.00103445741.0E-40.00729336450.0093433860.00760.81340970.0102349769.0E-4

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9804585E-50.00.04.9804585E-50.01.9679888E-42.134321E-45.0E-42.34266542.134321E-40.00.00239339330.002595630.00321.23284130.00269537051.0E-40.0236777980.0256767160.02631.02427420.027917660.0023
6.14.5923203E-54.9804585E-50.00.04.9804585E-50.01.9679888E-42.134321E-45.0E-42.34266542.134321E-40.00.00239339330.002595630.00240.9246310.00269537051.0E-40.0236777980.0256767160.01810.70491880.0269433370.0013
6.22.8844734E-52.974656E-50.00.02.974656E-50.01.2361443E-41.2747923E-45.0E-43.92220781.2747923E-40.00.00150396650.00155098190.00161.03160450.00165082681.0E-40.01493828650.0154037970.01110.720601560.0163883920.001
6.32.3171577E-52.3235023E-50.00.02.3235023E-50.09.9302975E-59.957494E-52.0E-42.00853739.957494E-50.00.00120834310.00121166429.0E-40.742780.0013115431.0E-40.0120179380.0120580470.0080.66345740.0125520175.0E-4
6.42.0066604E-51.971361E-50.00.01.971361E-50.08.599689E-58.448423E-51.0E-41.18365298.448423E-50.00.00104650920.00102812026.0E-40.58358940.00102812020.00.0104159460.0102387820.00650.63484120.0104367332.0E-4
6.51.776989E-51.7142684E-50.00.01.7142684E-50.07.615444E-57.346662E-51.0E-41.36116257.346662E-50.09.267859E-48.94096E-46.0E-40.67106898.94096E-40.00.0092293030.0089107490.00550.61723210.0091089672.0E-4
6.61.5227364E-51.4350796E-50.00.01.4350796E-50.06.52585E-56.150199E-51.0E-41.62596366.150199E-50.07.942326E-47.485347E-45.0E-40.66797177.485347E-40.00.0079140.0074576890.00460.616813060.0076561972.0E-4
6.71.2703898E-51.1676818E-50.00.01.1676818E-50.05.4444143E-55.004257E-51.0E-41.99829865.004257E-50.06.626558E-46.091022E-45.0E-40.82088036.091022E-40.00.0066068330.00607072470.00340.5600650.00617011731.0E-4
6.81.1554917E-51.0612738E-50.00.01.0612738E-50.04.9520135E-54.5482393E-51.0E-42.1986534.5482393E-50.06.0274085E-45.536115E-45.0E-40.903160455.536115E-40.00.00601108650.0055119240.00320.58055950.0056113731.0E-4
6.98.732078E-67.883509E-60.00.07.883509E-60.03.7422655E-53.3786047E-51.0E-42.95980173.3786047E-50.04.5552556E-44.1127042E-42.0E-40.486298054.1127042E-40.00.00454592940.0040901510.00230.562326430.0041897421.0E-4
7.05.9337494E-65.1083775E-60.00.05.1083775E-60.02.5430107E-52.1892864E-51.0E-44.56769852.1892864E-50.03.0956755E-42.6651315E-42.0E-40.7504322.6651315E-40.00.00309136670.00266195110.00150.56349650.00266195110.0
7.15.013409E-64.178134E-60.00.04.178134E-60.02.1485863E-51.7906166E-50.00.01.7906166E-50.02.6155898E-42.1798587E-41.0E-40.458745332.1798587E-40.00.00261251330.0021777320.00110.505112650.0021777320.0
7.24.120763E-63.2827286E-60.00.03.2827286E-60.01.7660293E-51.4068762E-50.00.01.4068762E-50.02.1499286E-41.712738E-41.0E-40.583860461.712738E-40.00.00214784990.00171142760.0010.584307550.00171142760.0
7.33.2081239E-62.4409778E-60.00.02.4409778E-60.01.374903E-51.0461292E-50.00.01.0461292E-50.01.6738157E-41.2735884E-41.0E-40.785182951.2735884E-40.00.00167255560.00127286566.0E-40.471377340.00127286560.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7683607E-60.00.01.7683607E-60.01.0369139E-57.578667E-60.00.07.578667E-60.01.2623696E-49.226642E-50.00.09.226642E-50.00.00126165279.222864E-44.0E-40.433704739.222864E-40.0
7.51.3842889E-69.3806466E-70.00.09.3806466E-70.05.9326535E-64.0202713E-60.00.04.0202713E-60.07.222766E-54.8945738E-50.00.04.8945738E-50.07.220419E-44.893531E-42.0E-40.408702824.893531E-40.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4126624E-70.00.06.4126624E-70.04.2949537E-62.748281E-60.00.02.748281E-60.05.2289808E-53.345983E-50.00.03.345983E-50.05.2277505E-43.3455007E-42.0E-40.597817843.3455007E-40.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449974E-80.00.06.449974E-80.03.7551473E-72.7642741E-70.00.02.7642741E-70.04.5718825E-63.3654987E-60.00.03.3654987E-60.04.5717883E-53.3654505E-50.00.03.3654505E-50.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7050868E-51.0E-42.6989923.7050868E-50.01.3660437E-41.5878244E-42.0E-41.25958512.5876655E-41.0E-40.00166188950.00193193430.00110.569377540.00213154782.0E-40.0164951590.0191978660.01420.73966550.021355630.0022
6.13.1876025E-53.7050868E-51.0E-42.6989923.7050868E-50.01.3660437E-41.5878244E-42.0E-41.25958512.5876655E-41.0E-40.00166188950.00193193430.00110.569377540.00213154782.0E-40.0164951590.0191978660.01420.73966550.021355630.0022
6.23.1876025E-53.7050868E-51.0E-42.6989923.7050868E-50.01.3660437E-41.5878244E-42.0E-41.25958512.5876655E-41.0E-40.00166188950.00193193430.00110.569377540.00213154782.0E-40.0164951590.0191978660.01420.73966550.021355630.0022
6.33.1876025E-53.7050868E-51.0E-42.6989923.7050868E-50.01.3660437E-41.5878244E-42.0E-41.25958512.5876655E-41.0E-40.00166188950.00193193430.00110.569377540.00213154782.0E-40.0164951590.0191978660.01420.73966550.021355630.0022
6.41.9273462E-52.1209802E-51.0E-44.71480132.1209802E-50.08.259794E-59.089689E-52.0E-42.20029521.908878E-41.0E-40.0010051660.00110627915.0E-40.451965480.00120616861.0E-40.0100063150.011024540.00830.752865850.0120135160.001
6.51.9273462E-52.1209802E-51.0E-44.71480132.1209802E-50.08.259794E-59.089689E-52.0E-42.20029521.908878E-41.0E-40.0010051660.00110627915.0E-40.451965480.00120616861.0E-40.0100063150.011024540.00830.752865850.0120135160.001
6.69.813258E-69.66773E-61.0E-410.3436899.66773E-60.04.205614E-54.143251E-51.0E-42.41356354.143251E-50.05.119132E-45.043313E-42.0E-40.39656475.043313E-40.00.0051073560.0050325920.00340.67559620.0054305794.0E-4
6.79.801478E-69.6552985E-61.0E-410.3570089.6552985E-60.04.2005657E-54.1379233E-51.0E-42.4166714.1379233E-50.05.112989E-45.03683E-42.0E-40.397075185.03683E-40.00.00510124070.0050261380.00340.67646370.00542412744.0E-4
6.88.102489E-67.77472E-61.0E-412.86227.77472E-60.03.4724493E-53.331983E-51.0E-43.0012163.331983E-50.04.2268867E-44.0559837E-42.0E-40.493098624.0559837E-40.00.0042188560.00404907530.0030.74090990.00444745554.0E-4
6.96.08275E-65.4825314E-61.0E-418.239755.4825314E-60.02.6068668E-52.3496355E-51.0E-44.2559792.3496355E-50.03.173398E-42.8603134E-41.0E-40.349612032.8603134E-40.00.00316887020.00285670980.00220.770116750.0029564241.0E-4
7.05.5995934E-64.9837677E-61.0E-420.065144.9837677E-60.02.3998036E-52.1358834E-51.0E-44.6819042.1358834E-50.02.9213692E-42.6001342E-41.0E-40.38459552.6001342E-40.00.00291753160.00259715950.00220.84707930.00269689971.0E-4
7.14.709881E-64.0882296E-61.0E-424.4604664.0882296E-60.02.0185047E-51.7520868E-51.0E-45.707481.7520868E-50.02.4572524E-42.132961E-41.0E-40.468831842.132961E-40.00.0024545370.00213095520.00130.6100550.00213095520.0
7.23.6063436E-62.9785758E-61.0E-433.5730932.9785758E-60.01.5455667E-51.2765263E-51.0E-47.83375931.2765263E-50.01.881565E-41.554061E-41.0E-40.643475351.554061E-40.00.00187997260.00155298559.0E-40.57952890.00155298550.0
7.32.471135E-62.095942E-61.0E-447.7112462.095942E-60.01.0590536E-58.982577E-61.0E-411.1326638.982577E-60.01.2893214E-41.0935746E-41.0E-40.914432351.0935746E-40.00.00128857360.00109304376.0E-40.54892590.00109304370.0
7.41.163943E-61.0278268E-60.00.01.0278268E-60.04.988318E-64.4049643E-60.00.04.4049643E-60.06.0731076E-55.362915E-50.00.05.362915E-50.06.071448E-45.361651E-44.0E-40.74603895.361651E-40.0
7.54.99459E-74.9188264E-70.00.04.9188264E-70.02.140537E-62.1080668E-60.00.02.1080668E-60.02.6060725E-52.5665428E-50.00.02.5665428E-50.02.605767E-42.566262E-41.0E-40.38967182.566262E-40.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4783594E-70.00.02.4783594E-70.01.0571932E-61.0621536E-60.00.01.0621536E-60.01.2871251E-51.2931647E-50.00.01.2931647E-50.01.2870505E-41.2930931E-40.00.01.2930931E-40.0
7.78.2312795E-87.3892984E-80.00.07.3892984E-80.03.527691E-73.1668418E-70.00.03.1668418E-70.04.294955E-63.8556245E-60.00.03.8556245E-60.04.2948723E-53.8555692E-50.00.03.8555692E-50.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7585963E-80.00.01.7585963E-80.01.1922555E-77.536841E-80.00.07.536841E-80.01.45157E-69.176102E-70.00.09.176102E-70.01.45156055E-59.1760785E-60.00.09.1760785E-60.0

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1080848E-50.00.01.1080848E-50.04.9494203E-54.7488556E-51.0E-42.10577061.474838E-41.0E-46.024253E-45.780325E-40.00122.07600760.00127762797.0E-40.0060079480.005766560.00651.12718860.0079538730.0022
6.11.15488665E-51.1080848E-50.00.01.1080848E-50.04.9494203E-54.7488556E-51.0E-42.10577061.474838E-41.0E-46.024253E-45.780325E-40.00122.07600760.00127762797.0E-40.0060079480.005766560.00651.12718860.0079538730.0022
6.21.15488665E-51.1080848E-50.00.01.1080848E-50.04.9494203E-54.7488556E-51.0E-42.10577061.474838E-41.0E-46.024253E-45.780325E-40.00122.07600760.00127762797.0E-40.0060079480.005766560.00651.12718860.0079538730.0022
6.31.15488665E-51.1080848E-50.00.01.1080848E-50.04.9494203E-54.7488556E-51.0E-42.10577061.474838E-41.0E-46.024253E-45.780325E-40.00122.07600760.00127762797.0E-40.0060079480.005766560.00651.12718860.0079538730.0022
6.41.15488665E-51.1080848E-50.00.01.1080848E-50.04.9494203E-54.7488556E-51.0E-42.10577061.474838E-41.0E-46.024253E-45.780325E-40.00122.07600760.00127762797.0E-40.0060079480.005766560.00651.12718860.0079538730.0022
6.51.15488665E-51.1080848E-50.00.01.1080848E-50.04.9494203E-54.7488556E-51.0E-42.10577061.474838E-41.0E-46.024253E-45.780325E-40.00122.07600760.00127762797.0E-40.0060079480.005766560.00651.12718860.0079538730.0022
6.67.587044E-66.9364473E-60.00.06.9364473E-60.03.2515498E-52.9727309E-51.0E-43.36391041.2972433E-41.0E-43.9580427E-43.618728E-47.0E-41.93438147.6172804E-44.0E-40.0039510.0036131270.00371.02404370.0050080690.0014
6.77.587044E-66.9364473E-60.00.06.9364473E-60.03.2515498E-52.9727309E-51.0E-43.36391041.2972433E-41.0E-43.9580427E-43.618728E-47.0E-41.93438147.6172804E-44.0E-40.0039510.0036131270.00371.02404370.0050080690.0014
6.85.9026956E-65.1800503E-60.00.05.1800503E-60.02.5297022E-52.2200033E-50.00.02.2200033E-50.03.0794772E-42.7025305E-45.0E-41.85011794.7019898E-42.0E-40.00307521320.002699360.00250.926145430.00379639070.0011
6.95.0118915E-64.253005E-60.00.04.253005E-60.02.1479358E-51.8227041E-50.00.01.8227041E-50.02.614798E-42.2189236E-45.0E-42.25334484.2184797E-42.0E-40.00261172350.00221678060.00220.992430150.0032145640.001
7.04.4924795E-63.7144562E-60.00.03.7144562E-60.01.925334E-51.5919004E-50.00.01.5919004E-50.02.3438422E-41.9379727E-45.0E-42.58001573.937585E-42.0E-40.00234137170.00193634560.0021.03287350.00273479668.0E-4
7.13.9118436E-63.1124666E-60.00.03.1124666E-60.01.6764936E-51.3339078E-50.00.01.3339078E-50.02.0409399E-41.6239173E-43.0E-41.84738462.623755E-41.0E-40.00203906630.00162278690.00150.924335840.00202213764.0E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.6059038E-60.00.02.6059038E-60.01.4657411E-51.1168115E-50.00.01.1168115E-50.01.7843937E-41.3596381E-43.0E-42.20646952.3595023E-41.0E-40.00178296150.0013588560.00130.95668710.00165844843.0E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8288101E-60.00.01.8288101E-60.01.13972155E-57.837736E-60.00.07.837736E-60.01.3875226E-49.542055E-51.0E-41.04799221.95411E-41.0E-40.00138665659.538247E-48.0E-40.838728550.00115363392.0E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4367916E-60.00.01.4367916E-60.09.676246E-66.157665E-60.00.06.157665E-60.01.1780193E-47.4967254E-51.0E-41.33391581.7495976E-41.0E-40.0011773957.4944465E-46.0E-40.80059289.492948E-42.0E-4
7.51.489319E-67.356678E-70.00.07.356678E-70.06.3827797E-63.1528582E-60.00.03.1528582E-60.07.770758E-53.8385377E-50.00.03.8385377E-50.07.7680405E-43.837879E-43.0E-40.78168183.837879E-40.0
7.61.0680322E-64.6616506E-70.00.04.6616506E-70.04.577273E-61.9978488E-60.00.01.9978488E-60.05.5726876E-52.4323539E-50.00.02.4323539E-50.05.5712904E-42.4320904E-42.0E-40.822337872.4320904E-40.0
7.75.509146E-71.559012E-70.00.01.559012E-70.02.3610605E-66.6814783E-70.00.06.6814783E-70.02.8745531E-58.134671E-60.00.08.134671E-60.02.8741814E-48.1343846E-52.0E-42.45869858.1343846E-50.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.8249995E-50.00.08.8249995E-50.03.14073E-43.7816292E-42.0E-40.52887264.781251E-41.0E-40.00381713550.0045949810.00220.478783220.0048936033.0E-40.037522310.045063640.02970.65906790.046973510.002
6.13.7940346E-54.4902074E-50.00.04.4902074E-50.01.6259136E-41.9242366E-40.00.01.9242366E-40.00.00197775240.00234032260.00120.51274980.00244008871.0E-40.0196024310.0231654420.01370.59139820.0241422760.001
6.22.8645263E-53.330801E-50.00.03.330801E-50.01.2275964E-41.4274092E-40.00.01.4274092E-40.00.00149357390.00173650830.00110.633455040.00183633471.0E-40.01483575350.0172320460.01060.6151330.0181165379.0E-4
6.32.8645263E-53.330801E-50.00.03.330801E-50.01.2275964E-41.4274092E-40.00.01.4274092E-40.00.00149357390.00173650830.00110.633455040.00183633471.0E-40.01483575350.0172320460.01060.6151330.0181165379.0E-4
6.42.2204576E-52.5456064E-50.00.02.5456064E-50.09.5159E-51.090929E-40.00.01.090929E-40.00.0011579450.00132740619.0E-40.678014040.00142727341.0E-40.0115192980.0131959430.00790.59866890.0138867067.0E-4
6.52.1004838E-52.4031884E-50.00.02.4031884E-50.09.0017624E-51.0298977E-40.00.01.0298977E-40.00.00109541360.00125318819.0E-40.71816830.00135306281.0E-40.0109002960.0124622950.00720.57774270.0131535727.0E-4
6.61.820557E-52.07107E-50.00.02.07107E-50.07.802154E-58.8757144E-50.00.08.8757144E-50.09.4949827E-40.0010800888.0E-40.740680460.00117997991.0E-40.0094545160.0107490550.00630.5860980.0113426066.0E-4
6.71.5884485E-51.7988585E-50.00.01.7988585E-50.06.807459E-57.709167E-50.00.07.709167E-50.08.284929E-49.381896E-48.0E-40.85270610.00103809581.0E-40.0082541090.0093426560.00530.56729050.009937056.0E-4
6.81.4331171E-51.6205453E-50.00.01.6205453E-50.06.141786E-56.94501E-50.00.06.94501E-50.07.4750587E-48.4522896E-46.0E-40.70986688.4522896E-40.00.00744996450.008420410.00410.48691220.0089161995.0E-4
6.91.2574203E-51.4209658E-50.00.01.4209658E-50.05.3888325E-56.089712E-50.00.06.089712E-50.06.558929E-47.4117165E-46.0E-40.80952917.4117165E-40.00.00653960370.00738718360.00380.51440450.00778422834.0E-4
7.01.0883844E-51.2292552E-50.00.01.2292552E-50.04.664421E-55.268131E-50.00.05.268131E-50.05.677453E-46.4120715E-46.0E-40.9357356.4120715E-40.00.005662970.0063936990.00340.531773570.0066917813.0E-4
7.19.393088E-61.0609864E-50.00.01.0609864E-50.04.025547E-54.547006E-50.00.04.547006E-50.04.900001E-45.534581E-45.0E-40.903410735.534581E-40.00.00488921070.0055208940.00310.56150330.0058192383.0E-4
7.28.190791E-69.261131E-60.00.09.261131E-60.03.510292E-53.9689963E-50.00.03.9689963E-50.04.2729423E-44.8311884E-45.0E-41.0349424.8311884E-40.00.00426473560.0048207660.00250.51858980.00501980172.0E-4
7.36.268162E-67.091643E-60.00.07.091643E-60.02.6863276E-53.0392404E-50.00.03.0392404E-50.03.2701128E-43.699651E-45.0E-41.35147883.699651E-40.00.0032653050.0036935380.00210.568560540.00379316861.0E-4
7.44.985186E-65.6442245E-60.00.05.6442245E-60.02.1364907E-52.4189312E-50.00.02.4189312E-50.02.600867E-42.9446546E-43.0E-41.01879532.9446546E-40.00.0025978250.00294079420.00180.612079560.00304050021.0E-4
7.51.7489613E-61.9701965E-60.00.01.9701965E-60.07.495527E-68.443673E-60.00.08.443673E-60.09.125422E-51.027971E-41.0E-40.972790061.027971E-40.09.1216754E-40.00102751754.0E-40.389287770.00112741481.0E-4
7.61.6988751E-71.7534983E-70.00.01.7534983E-70.07.2808916E-77.5149904E-70.00.07.5149904E-70.08.864449E-69.149464E-60.00.09.149464E-60.08.8640954E-59.149107E-51.0E-41.09300289.149107E-50.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5628186E-50.00.02.5628186E-50.08.864371E-51.0983055E-40.00.01.0983055E-40.00.00107870290.00133638360.00120.897945760.00183571555.0E-40.0107348170.013289060.01140.85784840.0154598250.0022
6.12.0684236E-52.5628186E-50.00.02.5628186E-50.08.864371E-51.0983055E-40.00.01.0983055E-40.00.00107870290.00133638360.00120.897945760.00183571555.0E-40.0107348170.013289060.01140.85784840.0154598250.0022
6.22.0684236E-52.5628186E-50.00.02.5628186E-50.08.864371E-51.0983055E-40.00.01.0983055E-40.00.00107870290.00133638360.00120.897945760.00183571555.0E-40.0107348170.013289060.01140.85784840.0154598250.0022
6.32.0240292E-52.512814E-50.00.02.512814E-50.08.6741224E-51.0768768E-40.00.01.0768768E-40.00.00105556260.00131032570.00120.915802840.00180967055.0E-40.0105056280.0130315550.01130.8671260.01520288550.0022
6.42.0240292E-52.512814E-50.00.02.512814E-50.08.6741224E-51.0768768E-40.00.01.0768768E-40.00.00105556260.00131032570.00120.915802840.00180967055.0E-40.0105056280.0130315550.01130.8671260.01520288550.0022
6.51.9962767E-52.4817316E-50.00.02.4817316E-50.08.55519E-51.06355685E-40.00.01.06355685E-40.00.00104109680.0012941280.00120.92726530.0017934815.0E-40.0103623270.0128714640.01130.877911030.0150431460.0022
6.61.8937297E-52.332067E-50.00.02.332067E-50.08.115732E-59.994198E-50.00.09.994198E-50.09.876423E-40.00121612890.00110.90450930.00161564264.0E-40.0098326450.012100460.01090.900792240.0141750490.0021
6.71.8621096E-52.2921204E-50.00.02.2921204E-50.07.980225E-59.823011E-50.00.09.823011E-50.09.711593E-40.001195310.00110.920263350.00159483184.0E-40.0096692610.01189453250.01080.90798020.0139695540.0021
6.81.7830353E-52.1814734E-50.00.02.1814734E-50.07.641356E-59.3488445E-50.00.09.3488445E-50.09.29938E-40.00113764150.00110.96691270.00153718644.0E-40.0092605610.011323180.00980.865481260.0132016660.0019
6.91.3135183E-51.5309017E-50.00.01.5309017E-50.05.6292425E-56.560846E-50.00.06.560846E-50.06.8514474E-47.984967E-46.0E-40.7514129.98337E-42.0E-40.0068303620.0079571120.00720.90485090.0092467680.0013
7.01.1507512E-51.315811E-50.00.01.315811E-50.04.9316975E-55.6390712E-50.00.05.6390712E-50.06.002687E-46.8634644E-45.0E-40.728495067.862778E-41.0E-40.00598649870.00684281160.00590.86221870.0078359690.001
7.19.715903E-61.0868022E-50.00.01.0868022E-50.04.1638916E-54.657643E-50.00.04.657643E-50.05.068359E-45.6692475E-43.0E-40.529170755.6692475E-40.00.00505681480.00565507540.00410.72501250.0064505518.0E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0288838E-50.00.01.0288838E-50.03.9570554E-54.4094297E-50.00.04.4094297E-50.04.81665E-45.367201E-43.0E-40.55895065.367201E-40.00.00480622330.005354670.0040.747011540.0061503868.0E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.810479E-60.00.09.810479E-60.03.7731446E-54.2044256E-50.00.04.2044256E-50.04.592835E-45.117728E-42.0E-40.390798425.117728E-40.00.00458335460.0051063690.00360.70500190.0058027957.0E-4
7.48.708749E-69.709477E-60.00.09.709477E-60.03.7322676E-54.1611405E-50.00.04.1611405E-50.04.5430884E-45.065053E-42.0E-40.39486265.065053E-40.00.0045338120.0050539350.00360.71231620.00575039777.0E-4
7.58.612678E-69.607105E-60.00.09.607105E-60.03.6910955E-54.1172683E-50.00.04.1172683E-50.04.492982E-45.0116633E-42.0E-40.39906915.0116633E-40.00.0044839090.0050007870.00360.719886660.0056972867.0E-4
7.68.319024E-69.286143E-60.00.09.286143E-60.03.5652476E-53.979717E-50.00.03.979717E-50.04.3398244E-44.8442703E-41.0E-40.206429444.8442703E-40.00.00433135870.00483413460.00330.682645440.0055307517.0E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.347186E-60.00.08.347186E-60.03.2021748E-53.5773184E-50.00.03.5773184E-50.03.8979502E-44.3545553E-41.0E-40.229644574.3545553E-40.00.003891120.0043464280.00290.66721450.0048442555.0E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6486753E-70.00.03.6486753E-70.01.4822873E-61.5637171E-60.00.01.5637171E-60.01.80467E-51.9038094E-50.00.01.9038094E-50.01.8045233E-41.9036507E-41.0E-40.525306461.9036507E-40.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6699092E-90.00.02.6699092E-90.01.0967647E-81.1442468E-80.00.01.1442468E-80.01.335311E-71.3931205E-70.00.01.3931205E-70.01.3353102E-61.3931206E-61.0E-471.7812961.3931206E-60.0

Quien Sabe 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.729899E-57.0991715E-50.00.07.0991715E-50.01.5984301E-43.0415907E-42.0E-40.65755074.0412866E-41.0E-40.00194435150.00368754470.00250.67795790.0045842269.0E-40.0192742720.035370650.02040.57674940.037396370.0021
6.11.7825725E-53.323513E-50.00.03.323513E-50.07.639373E-51.4238233E-41.0E-40.702334342.4236809E-41.0E-49.296967E-40.0017278070.00150.86815250.00242659757.0E-40.0092581690.01670890.00960.574544130.0174955328.0E-4
6.24.8865336E-67.813976E-60.00.07.813976E-60.02.0942118E-53.348603E-50.00.03.348603E-50.02.5494045E-44.0727167E-41.0E-40.245536364.0727167E-40.00.00254648180.0040163770.00210.52285930.0040163770.0
6.33.858491E-65.7951675E-60.00.05.7951675E-60.01.6536285E-52.4836223E-50.00.02.4836223E-50.02.0131067E-43.0234375E-40.00.03.0234375E-40.00.0020112840.0030042860.00140.46600090.0030042860.0
6.43.0771805E-64.390085E-60.00.04.390085E-60.01.318785E-51.8814528E-50.00.01.8814528E-50.01.6055023E-42.2904522E-40.00.02.2904522E-40.00.0016043430.00228877160.00130.567990240.00228877160.0
6.52.5081235E-63.4682764E-60.00.03.4682764E-60.01.0749056E-51.4863966E-50.00.01.4863966E-50.01.308619E-41.8095523E-40.00.01.8095523E-40.00.00130784860.00181429190.0010.551179230.00181429190.0
6.61.7505364E-62.405822E-60.00.02.405822E-60.07.502277E-61.03106295E-50.00.01.03106295E-50.09.13364E-51.2552539E-40.00.01.2552539E-40.09.129886E-40.00126003447.0E-40.55554040.00126003440.0
6.71.505737E-62.0669022E-60.00.02.0669022E-60.06.4531428E-68.8581255E-60.00.08.8581255E-60.07.8564175E-51.0784294E-40.00.01.0784294E-40.07.853641E-40.00108337735.0E-40.461519750.00108337730.0
6.81.2924105E-61.7512001E-60.00.01.7512001E-60.05.5388905E-67.505125E-60.00.07.505125E-60.06.74339E-59.1371614E-50.00.09.1371614E-50.06.741344E-49.174812E-44.0E-40.435976249.174812E-40.0
6.98.9075286E-71.1268071E-60.00.01.1268071E-60.03.8175067E-64.8291654E-60.00.04.8291654E-60.04.6477155E-55.8793725E-50.00.05.8793725E-50.04.6467435E-45.9130765E-42.0E-40.33823345.9130765E-40.0
7.06.6891175E-78.5319635E-70.00.08.5319635E-70.02.8667614E-63.6565518E-60.00.03.6565518E-60.03.4902263E-54.4517805E-50.00.04.4517805E-50.03.4896782E-44.4756528E-42.0E-40.44686224.4756528E-40.0
7.14.4205015E-75.3969393E-70.00.05.3969393E-70.01.8944993E-62.312973E-60.00.02.312973E-60.02.3065284E-52.8160252E-50.00.02.8160252E-50.02.3062891E-42.828956E-40.00.02.828956E-40.0
7.21.6620965E-71.6008343E-70.00.01.6008343E-70.07.123269E-76.860717E-70.00.06.860717E-70.08.672545E-68.352895E-60.00.08.352895E-60.08.6722066E-58.362052E-50.00.08.362052E-50.0
7.31.2142488E-71.17357025E-70.00.01.17357025E-70.05.2039223E-75.029586E-70.00.05.029586E-70.06.335757E-66.1235073E-60.00.06.1235073E-60.06.3355765E-56.130029E-50.00.06.130029E-50.0
7.42.4192937E-82.4557739E-80.00.02.4557739E-80.01.0368401E-71.05247445E-70.00.01.05247445E-70.01.2623522E-61.281387E-60.00.01.281387E-60.01.2623449E-51.2834933E-50.00.01.2834933E-50.0
7.51.4432802E-81.4511247E-80.00.01.4511247E-80.06.185486E-86.219106E-80.00.06.219106E-80.07.530827E-77.57176E-70.00.07.57176E-70.07.530801E-67.5913213E-60.00.07.5913213E-60.0

San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0283932E-54.311157E-50.00.04.311157E-50.02.1548476E-41.847509E-40.00.01.847509E-40.00.00262037060.00224703530.0010.44503080.00234681071.0E-40.025896870.0223179310.01280.57352990.0242732950.002
6.15.0283932E-54.311157E-50.00.04.311157E-50.02.1548476E-41.847509E-40.00.01.847509E-40.00.00262037060.00224703530.0010.44503080.00234681071.0E-40.025896870.0223179310.01280.57352990.0242732950.002
6.24.2998647E-53.4490262E-50.00.03.4490262E-50.01.842669E-41.4780712E-40.00.01.4780712E-40.00.00224114120.00179807878.0E-40.444919350.00189789891.0E-40.0221867360.0179096330.00960.53602440.0191863510.0013
6.34.2998647E-53.4490262E-50.00.03.4490262E-50.01.842669E-41.4780712E-40.00.01.4780712E-40.00.00224114120.00179807878.0E-40.444919350.00189789891.0E-40.0221867360.0179096330.00960.53602440.0191863510.0013
6.44.1101295E-53.2374133E-50.00.03.2374133E-50.01.7613651E-41.3873898E-40.00.01.3873898E-40.00.00214235280.00168785168.0E-40.47397530.00178768291.0E-40.021218170.0168249810.00910.540862440.0181031080.0013
6.54.1032585E-53.2292133E-50.00.03.2292133E-50.01.7584208E-41.3838761E-40.00.01.3838761E-40.00.00213877530.00168358028.0E-40.475177820.00178341181.0E-40.0211830750.0167829190.00910.542217970.01806110.0013
6.64.011629E-53.1313157E-50.00.03.1313157E-50.01.7191563E-41.3419242E-40.00.01.3419242E-40.00.00209106340.0016325828.0E-40.490021320.00173241881.0E-40.0207149610.0162800250.00910.55896720.0175588620.0013
6.73.8583938E-52.949909E-50.00.02.949909E-50.01.6534925E-41.2641863E-40.00.01.2641863E-40.00.00201126820.00153807438.0E-40.52013090.00163792061.0E-40.0199316220.01534977650.00850.553754030.0165313560.0012
6.83.44341E-52.4493593E-50.00.02.4493593E-50.01.4756636E-41.0496837E-40.00.01.0496837E-40.00.00179513990.00127725128.0E-40.62634510.00137712341.0E-40.0178070780.0127736860.00780.610630330.0138596340.0011
6.93.221199E-52.1815908E-50.00.02.1815908E-50.01.3804408E-49.349344E-50.00.09.349344E-50.00.00167939090.00113769664.0E-40.35158760.00113769660.00.016667560.0113923060.00660.57933840.0123809140.001
7.02.9186718E-51.8181061E-50.00.01.8181061E-50.01.2507994E-47.7916535E-50.00.07.7916535E-50.00.00152178439.482254E-43.0E-40.316380479.482254E-40.00.0151140530.0095146460.00540.56754610.0103070348.0E-4
7.12.6840138E-51.5316833E-50.00.01.5316833E-50.01.1502409E-46.564193E-50.00.06.564193E-50.00.00139951867.9889945E-41.0E-40.12517227.9889945E-40.00.0139073750.0080325620.00420.522871730.00862774256.0E-4
7.22.453002E-51.2637749E-50.00.01.2637749E-50.01.05124425E-45.416066E-50.00.05.416066E-50.00.00127913846.592071E-41.0E-40.151697386.592071E-40.00.0127180050.00664392250.00360.541848540.00714060065.0E-4
7.32.3330727E-51.1519066E-50.00.01.1519066E-50.09.9985E-54.9366492E-50.00.04.9366492E-50.00.00121663766.0087175E-41.0E-40.166424876.0087175E-40.00.0120999810.00606263150.00320.52782360.00646020664.0E-4
7.42.2136466E-51.0398501E-50.00.01.0398501E-50.09.486712E-54.4564244E-50.00.04.4564244E-50.00.00115439525.4243486E-41.0E-40.184353935.4243486E-40.00.0114841680.00547976650.00250.456223820.00577812273.0E-4
7.52.0994974E-59.455544E-60.00.09.455544E-60.08.997535E-54.0523133E-50.00.04.0523133E-50.00.00109489944.932577E-41.0E-40.202733784.932577E-40.00.0108952050.00498848640.00220.441015540.00528698973.0E-4
7.61.7091823E-56.9163316E-60.00.06.9163316E-60.07.3248615E-52.9641084E-50.00.02.9641084E-50.08.9143694E-43.6082053E-41.0E-40.277146073.6082053E-40.00.0088786950.00366039250.00180.491750540.00395929443.0E-4
7.71.2772179E-54.0369823E-60.00.04.0369823E-60.05.473676E-51.7301238E-50.00.01.7301238E-50.06.6621625E-42.1062224E-41.0E-40.474783662.1062224E-40.00.0066422250.002145689.0E-40.419447480.00234525072.0E-4
7.87.041923E-61.9511936E-60.00.01.9511936E-60.03.017932E-58.362231E-60.00.08.362231E-60.03.6737128E-41.0180541E-40.00.01.0180541E-40.00.00366764540.00104366925.0E-40.4790790.00124346052.0E-4
7.92.946768E-61.0096571E-60.00.01.0096571E-60.01.2628945E-54.3270948E-60.00.04.3270948E-60.01.5374656E-45.2681105E-50.00.05.2681105E-50.00.00153640235.373658E-42.0E-40.372185986.37312E-41.0E-4
8.01.1433375E-65.2181696E-70.00.05.2181696E-70.04.9000087E-62.2363563E-60.00.02.2363563E-60.05.965597E-52.72273E-50.00.02.72273E-50.05.963996E-42.7591354E-42.0E-40.72486473.7588595E-41.0E-4
8.12.6675295E-71.6428099E-70.00.01.6428099E-70.01.1432264E-67.040612E-70.00.07.040612E-70.01.3918692E-58.571911E-60.00.08.571911E-60.01.391782E-48.710931E-50.00.08.710931E-50.0
8.21.2704569E-89.5560155E-90.00.09.5560155E-90.05.444815E-84.095435E-80.00.04.095435E-80.06.629061E-74.986191E-70.00.04.986191E-70.06.629041E-65.1788293E-60.00.05.1788293E-60.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.374635E-50.00.03.374635E-50.01.4219063E-41.4462064E-40.00.01.4462064E-40.00.00172979620.0017595910.00150.85247080.00205906323.0E-40.0171639320.0174821470.01430.81797730.0194471830.002
6.13.3179622E-53.374635E-50.00.03.374635E-50.01.4219063E-41.4462064E-40.00.01.4462064E-40.00.00172979620.0017595910.00150.85247080.00205906323.0E-40.0171639320.0174821470.01430.81797730.0194471830.002
6.23.3179622E-53.374635E-50.00.03.374635E-50.01.4219063E-41.4462064E-40.00.01.4462064E-40.00.00172979620.0017595910.00150.85247080.00205906323.0E-40.0171639320.0174821470.01430.81797730.0194471830.002
6.33.3179622E-53.374635E-50.00.03.374635E-50.01.4219063E-41.4462064E-40.00.01.4462064E-40.00.00172979620.0017595910.00150.85247080.00205906323.0E-40.0171639320.0174821470.01430.81797730.0194471830.002
6.41.8754668E-51.7025272E-50.00.01.7025272E-50.08.037467E-57.296354E-50.00.07.296354E-50.09.781223E-48.8799215E-49.0E-41.01352240.00108781462.0E-40.0097382820.00884679050.00680.768640340.0094414836.0E-4
6.51.8754668E-51.7025272E-50.00.01.7025272E-50.08.037467E-57.296354E-50.00.07.296354E-50.09.781223E-48.8799215E-49.0E-41.01352240.00108781462.0E-40.0097382820.00884679050.00680.768640340.0094414836.0E-4
6.61.4361558E-51.2126778E-50.00.01.2126778E-50.06.154808E-55.197088E-50.00.05.197088E-50.07.490902E-46.325641E-45.0E-40.79043377.3250086E-41.0E-40.00746570160.0063079060.00440.697537360.0067053834.0E-4
6.71.4361558E-51.2126778E-50.00.01.2126778E-50.06.154808E-55.197088E-50.00.05.197088E-50.07.490902E-46.325641E-45.0E-40.79043377.3250086E-41.0E-40.00746570160.0063079060.00440.697537360.0067053834.0E-4
6.81.3663846E-51.1348737E-50.00.01.1348737E-50.05.8558027E-54.863655E-50.00.04.863655E-50.07.127108E-45.91991E-45.0E-40.84460746.919318E-41.0E-40.0071042930.005904370.00410.69440090.00630200844.0E-4
6.91.3644157E-51.13268325E-50.00.01.13268325E-50.05.8473648E-54.8542675E-50.00.04.8542675E-50.07.116841E-45.9084874E-45.0E-40.84624036.9078966E-41.0E-40.0070940920.0058930080.00410.695739750.0062906514.0E-4
7.01.3568845E-51.1246377E-50.00.01.1246377E-50.05.8150898E-54.819788E-50.00.04.819788E-50.07.077572E-45.8665307E-45.0E-40.85229246.8659446E-41.0E-40.0070550730.0058512730.00410.70070220.0062489334.0E-4
7.11.306572E-51.0724686E-50.00.01.0724686E-50.05.599474E-54.596214E-50.00.04.596214E-50.06.815227E-45.594472E-45.0E-40.893739346.593913E-41.0E-40.00679436370.00558060730.0040.71676790.0059783754.0E-4
7.21.232604E-59.999034E-60.00.09.999034E-60.05.2824813E-54.285231E-50.00.04.285231E-50.06.429523E-45.2160374E-44.0E-40.76686576.215516E-41.0E-40.00641095270.0052040.00360.691775560.00560191834.0E-4
7.31.0917261E-58.845987E-60.00.08.845987E-60.04.678742E-53.791083E-50.00.03.791083E-50.05.69488E-44.6146815E-44.0E-40.86679875.61422E-41.0E-40.00568030770.00460527840.00320.69485480.00500343654.0E-4
7.41.039959E-58.425567E-60.00.08.425567E-60.04.456891E-53.6109082E-50.00.03.6109082E-50.05.424914E-44.3954095E-44.0E-40.91004045.39497E-41.0E-40.00541168960.0043868910.0030.68385560.00478513634.0E-4
7.59.015877E-67.2991074E-60.00.07.2991074E-60.03.86389E-53.128152E-50.00.03.128152E-50.04.7032707E-43.807874E-44.0E-41.0504554.807493E-41.0E-40.0046933290.00380150790.00290.762855230.00419998734.0E-4
7.64.900162E-63.8747826E-60.00.03.8747826E-60.02.1000526E-51.6606107E-50.00.01.6606107E-50.02.556514E-42.0216072E-44.0E-41.97862373.021405E-41.0E-40.00255357470.00201978190.00180.891185340.0022193782.0E-4
7.73.8850626E-63.127269E-60.00.03.127269E-60.01.6650163E-51.3402514E-50.00.01.3402514E-50.02.0269687E-41.6316348E-42.0E-41.22576452.6314717E-41.0E-40.0020251210.00163044610.00140.85866070.001830122.0E-4
7.82.4654719E-62.0302405E-60.00.02.0302405E-60.01.0566265E-58.701002E-60.00.08.701002E-60.01.2863669E-41.059296E-42.0E-41.88804642.05919E-41.0E-40.00128562250.00105879570.0010.94446920.0012585842.0E-4
7.94.095894E-73.277006E-70.00.03.277006E-70.01.7553821E-61.4044303E-60.00.01.4044303E-60.02.1371567E-51.7098808E-50.00.01.7098808E-50.02.1369511E-41.7097524E-40.00.01.7097524E-40.0
8.07.791402E-95.6844662E-90.00.05.6844662E-90.03.3391725E-82.4361997E-80.00.02.4361997E-80.04.0654416E-72.966073E-70.00.02.966073E-70.04.065434E-62.966071E-60.00.02.966071E-60.0

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.940016E-56.791604E-50.00.06.791604E-50.02.1169778E-42.9103426E-41.0E-40.343602182.9103426E-40.00.0025743740.00353744670.00260.73499340.00383638543.0E-40.0254475460.0347970580.02910.83627760.0368239840.0021
6.14.940016E-56.791604E-50.00.06.791604E-50.02.1169778E-42.9103426E-41.0E-40.343602182.9103426E-40.00.0025743740.00353744670.00260.73499340.00383638543.0E-40.0254475460.0347970580.02910.83627760.0368239840.0021
6.24.472471E-56.104605E-50.00.06.104605E-50.01.9166325E-42.6159745E-40.00.02.6159745E-40.00.00233100260.00318020260.00190.59744620.00337956662.0E-40.023067030.0313374920.02370.756282570.0331779530.0019
6.34.472471E-56.104605E-50.00.06.104605E-50.01.9166325E-42.6159745E-40.00.02.6159745E-40.00.00233100260.00318020260.00190.59744620.00337956662.0E-40.023067030.0313374920.02370.756282570.0331779530.0019
6.44.0001003E-55.4139648E-50.00.05.4139648E-50.01.714216E-42.3200619E-40.00.02.3200619E-40.00.00208506030.00282096540.00160.56718170.00292068321.0E-40.020656050.0278462470.01930.693091630.0293044780.0015
6.53.8033053E-55.129897E-50.00.05.129897E-50.01.6298861E-42.1983392E-40.00.02.1983392E-40.00.00198258020.00267316630.00150.56113230.00277289891.0E-40.0196498560.0264072510.01820.689204630.027770280.0014
6.63.653754E-54.9160328E-50.00.04.9160328E-50.01.5658008E-42.1067017E-40.00.02.1067017E-40.00.00190469540.0025618850.00140.546472670.00266162861.0E-40.0188845270.0253223810.01770.69898640.026686930.0014
6.73.372024E-54.5167893E-50.00.04.5167893E-50.01.4450731E-41.9356233E-40.00.01.9356233E-40.00.00175795670.0023540930.00110.467271270.00245385761.0E-40.0174411480.0232925750.01550.66544810.0245622940.0013
6.82.9650024E-53.9434588E-50.00.03.9434588E-50.01.2706534E-41.6899435E-40.00.01.6899435E-40.00.00154592270.00205555490.00110.53513530.00215534911.0E-40.0153521240.0203633140.01280.628581350.0215388780.0012
6.92.860775E-53.783438E-50.00.03.783438E-50.01.2259888E-41.6213725E-40.00.01.6213725E-40.00.00149161940.00197224040.0010.50703760.0020720431.0E-40.0148164690.0195471870.01210.61901490.020723730.0012
7.02.6696067E-53.5087312E-50.00.03.5087312E-50.01.144067E-41.503656E-40.00.01.503656E-40.00.00139201150.00182917210.0010.54669540.00192898921.0E-40.0138332420.0181417280.01070.58980050.0192217730.0011
7.12.456087E-53.2031647E-50.00.03.2031647E-50.01.0525662E-41.3727132E-40.00.01.3727132E-40.00.0012807460.00167000618.0E-40.479040180.00176983911.0E-40.0127338970.016576080.00990.597246170.0176578460.0011
7.22.295761E-52.9840372E-50.00.02.9840372E-50.09.8386045E-51.278811E-40.00.01.278811E-40.00.00119719190.00155584966.0E-40.38564140.0016556941.0E-40.0119076270.0154512520.00940.608364940.0165342560.0011
7.32.1256936E-52.7558272E-50.00.02.7558272E-50.09.109797E-51.18101576E-40.00.01.18101576E-40.00.00110855350.00143694716.0E-40.417551880.00153680341.0E-40.0110303970.0142781990.00890.62332790.0152639210.001
7.41.8784336E-52.43214E-50.00.02.43214E-50.08.050181E-51.0423045E-40.00.01.0423045E-40.09.796688E-40.00126827465.0E-40.39423640.00136814781.0E-40.0097536120.0126117150.00830.658118250.0135991030.001
7.51.7248298E-52.2282242E-50.00.02.2282242E-50.07.391918E-59.549187E-50.00.09.549187E-50.08.9959445E-40.00116200095.0E-40.430292250.00126188471.0E-40.0089596150.0115605130.00770.666060450.0124501089.0E-4
7.61.0653709E-51.3730895E-50.00.01.3730895E-50.04.5657955E-55.8845384E-50.00.05.8845384E-50.05.557438E-47.1620976E-44.0E-40.558495648.161381E-41.0E-40.00554356030.00713962460.0050.700316970.00763605445.0E-4
7.73.286316E-64.0926175E-60.00.04.0926175E-60.01.4084137E-51.753967E-50.00.01.753967E-50.01.7146087E-42.1352473E-43.0E-41.40498953.1350338E-41.0E-40.00171328630.002133230.00190.890668150.00233280332.0E-4
7.85.1855085E-75.978903E-70.00.05.978903E-70.02.222359E-62.5623845E-60.00.02.5623845E-60.02.7056883E-53.1196592E-51.0E-43.20547821.3119348E-41.0E-42.705359E-43.1191588E-44.0E-41.2823974.1188468E-41.0E-4

Mission (connected) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8735573E-52.6924352E-50.00.02.6924352E-50.08.029284E-51.1538398E-42.0E-41.73334292.1537243E-41.0E-49.771269E-40.00140379820.00181.28223550.00160351762.0E-40.0097284160.0139571390.01731.2395090.0159292260.002
6.11.7515964E-52.5565309E-50.00.02.5565309E-50.07.506625E-51.0956001E-40.00.01.0956001E-40.09.135484E-40.00133298010.00120.90023850.00143284681.0E-40.0090980190.0132575930.01160.87497030.0145403580.0013
6.21.6486343E-52.440969E-50.00.02.440969E-50.07.065384E-51.0460777E-40.00.01.0460777E-40.08.5987104E-40.00127275880.00110.864264250.00137263151.0E-40.0085655140.0126624310.01090.860814150.013945970.0013
6.31.5229385E-52.2838227E-50.00.02.2838227E-50.06.526716E-59.787346E-50.00.09.787346E-50.07.9433795E-40.00119086130.0010.83972830.00129074231.0E-40.0079150460.011855210.00950.80133540.0127445419.0E-4
6.41.4435828E-52.1436923E-50.00.02.1436923E-50.06.186637E-59.1868314E-50.00.09.1868314E-50.07.529627E-40.00111782739.0E-40.805133340.00121771561.0E-40.0075041650.01113767550.00860.77215390.0119287668.0E-4
6.51.30127955E-51.9071455E-50.00.01.9071455E-50.05.576793E-58.173207E-50.00.08.173207E-50.06.78763E-49.945985E-49.0E-40.904887740.00109449911.0E-40.00676693530.0099285920.00750.755394160.0106216427.0E-4
6.61.1220718E-51.6425818E-50.00.01.6425818E-50.04.8087906E-57.039446E-50.00.07.039446E-50.05.8531296E-48.567151E-47.0E-40.81707458.567151E-40.00.0058377370.0085656290.00620.72382310.0089622034.0E-4
6.78.086152E-61.1777516E-50.00.01.1777516E-50.03.4654473E-55.04741E-50.00.05.04741E-50.04.2183654E-46.143497E-47.0E-41.13941626.143497E-40.00.0042103670.0061635730.00440.713871660.006362342.0E-4
6.86.8361655E-61.021984E-50.00.01.021984E-50.02.9297524E-54.3798584E-50.00.04.3798584E-50.03.5663895E-45.331179E-45.0E-40.937878855.331179E-40.00.00356067130.00535117280.00380.710124730.00555010232.0E-4
6.95.2517353E-67.889528E-60.00.07.889528E-60.02.2507242E-53.3811826E-50.00.03.3811826E-50.02.739912E-44.1158148E-44.0E-40.9718614.1158148E-40.00.00273653630.00414044220.00250.603800240.0043396142.0E-4
7.04.4602784E-66.7202504E-60.00.06.7202504E-60.01.911534E-52.8800756E-50.00.02.8800756E-50.02.327044E-43.5059295E-44.0E-41.14092423.5059295E-40.00.00232460860.00353176150.00210.594604130.00373105522.0E-4
7.14.1492594E-66.267877E-60.00.06.267877E-60.01.7782419E-52.6862055E-50.00.02.6862055E-50.02.1647944E-43.2699658E-43.0E-40.91744083.2699658E-40.00.00216268680.00329601320.00180.54611430.0034953542.0E-4
7.22.213247E-63.374341E-60.00.03.374341E-60.09.485309E-61.4461382E-50.00.01.4461382E-50.01.15477524E-41.7605313E-41.0E-40.568010331.7605313E-40.00.00115417540.0017876498.0E-40.447515160.0017876490.0
7.31.7362703E-62.7486553E-60.00.02.7486553E-60.07.4411373E-61.1779898E-50.00.01.1779898E-50.09.0592075E-51.4341084E-41.0E-40.697297331.4341084E-40.09.0555154E-40.00145835848.0E-40.5485620.00145835840.0
7.41.1628409E-61.8576744E-60.00.01.8576744E-60.04.9835944E-67.961437E-60.00.07.961437E-60.06.0673574E-59.6926204E-51.0E-41.03171289.6926204E-50.06.065701E-49.895161E-45.0E-40.50529759.895161E-40.0
7.55.5610667E-79.4077643E-70.00.09.4077643E-70.02.3833122E-64.031893E-60.00.04.031893E-60.02.9016439E-54.9087193E-51.0E-42.03719124.9087193E-50.02.901265E-45.0730753E-42.0E-40.394238175.0730753E-40.0
7.64.4307663E-77.8457253E-70.00.07.8457253E-70.01.8988985E-63.3624494E-60.00.03.3624494E-60.02.3118844E-54.0937055E-50.00.04.0937055E-50.02.3116439E-44.2516357E-41.0E-40.23520364.2516357E-40.0
7.73.639119E-76.4097003E-70.00.06.4097003E-70.01.5596215E-62.7470114E-60.00.02.7470114E-60.01.8988227E-53.3444354E-50.00.03.3444354E-50.01.8986604E-43.4964978E-41.0E-40.286000463.4964978E-40.0
7.83.1152942E-75.521125E-70.00.05.521125E-70.01.3351254E-62.3661942E-60.00.02.3661942E-60.01.6255031E-52.8808035E-50.00.02.8808035E-50.01.6253842E-43.0003695E-41.0E-40.333292283.0003695E-40.0
7.91.8035962E-73.7472176E-70.00.03.7472176E-70.07.729696E-71.6059494E-60.00.01.6059494E-60.09.410865E-61.9552259E-50.00.01.9552259E-50.09.410465E-52.0212609E-41.0E-40.49474072.0212609E-40.0
8.09.279334E-81.9835063E-70.00.01.9835063E-70.03.976857E-78.500739E-70.00.08.500739E-70.04.841813E-61.0349601E-50.00.01.0349601E-50.04.841707E-51.059828E-40.00.01.059828E-40.0
8.15.9253985E-81.1930742E-70.00.01.1930742E-70.02.5394561E-75.1131735E-70.00.05.1131735E-70.03.0917836E-66.2252716E-60.00.06.2252716E-60.03.0917407E-56.362946E-50.00.06.362946E-50.0

Coronado Bank alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.3999E-51.0E-41.06384119.3999E-50.03.22824E-44.0279242E-41.0E-40.248266854.0279242E-40.00.00392330070.00489357950.00360.73565780.00539113265.0E-40.038547550.0479274280.03150.65724370.0498315730.002
6.14.1807285E-55.0514827E-50.00.05.0514827E-50.01.7916178E-42.1647451E-41.0E-40.461948162.1647451E-40.00.00217911230.00263246750.00150.56980760.0028319412.0E-40.0215786770.026022140.01580.60717530.026898729.0E-4
6.24.1807285E-55.0514827E-50.00.05.0514827E-50.01.7916178E-42.1647451E-41.0E-40.461948162.1647451E-40.00.00217911230.00263246750.00150.56980760.0028319412.0E-40.0215786770.026022140.01580.60717530.026898729.0E-4
6.33.1793104E-53.7725727E-50.00.03.7725727E-50.01.3624904E-41.6167185E-40.00.01.6167185E-40.00.00165756980.00196660960.00110.55933830.0020664131.0E-40.0164526030.019495960.01170.60012430.0202803638.0E-4
6.42.9878007E-53.534923E-50.00.03.534923E-50.01.2804232E-41.514881E-40.00.01.514881E-40.00.00155780030.00184283930.00110.5969050.00194265511.0E-40.0154692530.0182793420.01090.596301560.0189665467.0E-4
6.52.4512565E-52.8774504E-50.00.02.8774504E-50.01.0504962E-41.2331363E-40.00.01.2331363E-40.00.00127822870.00150033620.0010.666517260.00160018621.0E-40.0127090120.0149050390.00940.63065920.0154960966.0E-4
6.62.1317413E-52.4915422E-50.00.02.4915422E-50.09.135714E-51.0677613E-40.00.01.0677613E-40.00.00111170560.00129924648.0E-40.615741550.00129924640.00.0110616050.01291891650.0080.6192470.0134124575.0E-4
6.71.8585655E-52.1642298E-50.00.02.1642298E-50.07.9650374E-59.274952E-50.00.09.274952E-50.09.6931186E-40.0011286616.0E-40.53160340.0011286610.00.00965094750.0112314510.00720.641056950.01172583555.0E-4
6.81.5862879E-51.8425688E-50.00.01.8425688E-50.06.798199E-57.896496E-50.00.07.896496E-50.08.273665E-49.609936E-46.0E-40.62435389.609936E-40.00.0082429280.0095703630.00630.65828230.0100655785.0E-4
6.91.3021509E-51.510031E-50.00.01.510031E-50.05.5805274E-56.4714106E-50.00.06.4714106E-50.06.792174E-47.876276E-45.0E-40.63481787.876276E-40.00.0067714520.0078501860.00520.66240470.008147833.0E-4
7.01.0974371E-51.2724361E-50.00.01.2724361E-50.04.7032172E-55.4531934E-50.00.05.4531934E-50.05.7246623E-46.6374167E-42.0E-40.301322046.6374167E-40.00.00570993730.0066193430.00410.61939680.0068180192.0E-4
7.18.766221E-61.0167256E-50.00.01.0167256E-50.03.7568978E-54.3573324E-50.00.04.3573324E-50.04.573063E-45.303933E-42.0E-40.377078685.303933E-40.00.00456366360.0052929750.00330.62346790.00549191662.0E-4
7.28.026024E-78.3329337E-70.00.08.3329337E-70.03.43972E-63.5712526E-60.00.03.5712526E-60.04.1877785E-54.3479144E-51.0E-42.29995324.3479144E-50.04.1869894E-44.3470747E-43.0E-40.690119274.3470747E-40.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700508E-70.00.03.700508E-70.01.5982754E-61.585931E-60.00.01.585931E-60.01.9458828E-51.930854E-51.0E-45.17905571.930854E-50.01.9457124E-41.9306868E-41.0E-40.51795041.9306868E-40.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9676378E-70.00.01.9676378E-70.08.810155E-78.432731E-70.00.08.432731E-70.01.0726311E-51.0266802E-50.00.01.0266802E-50.01.0725793E-41.026633E-40.00.01.026633E-40.0
7.56.845446E-86.2800794E-80.00.06.2800794E-80.02.9337625E-72.6914623E-70.00.02.6914623E-70.03.5718497E-63.2768505E-60.00.03.2768505E-60.03.5717923E-53.276803E-50.00.03.276803E-50.0
7.66.0975145E-95.532084E-90.00.05.532084E-90.02.6132206E-82.3708932E-80.00.02.3708932E-80.03.1815955E-72.886562E-70.00.02.886562E-70.03.181591E-62.8865593E-60.00.02.8865593E-60.0

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.043094E-41.0E-40.958686351.043094E-40.03.5478722E-44.4696842E-43.0E-40.671188354.4696842E-40.00.0043109820.00542870770.00320.58945890.00552816461.0E-40.0422830540.0530193370.0320.603553350.0546292070.0017
6.14.6961468E-55.7756482E-50.00.05.7756482E-50.02.0124791E-42.4750523E-41.0E-40.404031842.4750523E-40.00.002447440.00300928950.0020.66460870.00310898871.0E-40.0242066030.0296931960.01660.55905070.0308575630.0012
6.23.5079658E-54.2160005E-50.00.04.2160005E-50.01.5033272E-41.8067344E-41.0E-40.55348481.8067344E-40.00.00182876420.00219749990.00190.864618960.00229728011.0E-40.0181378760.02176010.01280.58823260.0225426938.0E-4
6.33.5079658E-54.2160005E-50.00.04.2160005E-50.01.5033272E-41.8067344E-41.0E-40.55348481.8067344E-40.00.00182876420.00219749990.00190.864618960.00229728011.0E-40.0181378760.02176010.01280.58823260.0225426938.0E-4
6.42.7196904E-53.2099113E-50.00.03.2099113E-50.01.16552954E-41.3756043E-41.0E-40.72695321.3756043E-40.00.00141810850.00167352290.00140.836558640.00177335551.0E-40.0140909290.01661080.00950.57191710.0172008336.0E-4
6.52.5584688E-53.0112651E-50.00.03.0112651E-50.01.0964406E-41.2904788E-41.0E-40.774906161.2904788E-40.00.00133409890.0015700370.00110.70062040.001669881.0E-40.0132611810.015590990.00850.54518670.0159847534.0E-4
6.62.2034688E-52.5751691E-50.00.02.5751691E-50.09.443096E-51.10359775E-41.0E-40.90612731.10359775E-40.00.00114909050.00134280940.00110.81917810.00144267511.0E-40.0114316680.0133479490.00730.54690050.0137426094.0E-4
6.71.9394853E-52.2549344E-50.00.02.2549344E-50.08.311815E-59.663649E-51.0E-41.03480589.663649E-50.00.00101149360.00117591950.0010.850398360.00127580191.0E-40.010069020.0116976770.0070.59840940.0120929974.0E-4
6.81.7615313E-52.040987E-50.00.02.040987E-50.07.549201E-58.746796E-51.0E-41.14327578.746796E-50.09.1872766E-40.00106440669.0E-40.84554160.00116430011.0E-40.0091493870.0105936510.00660.62301470.0109894144.0E-4
6.91.5621423E-51.8031857E-50.00.01.8031857E-50.06.6947236E-57.7277116E-51.0E-41.29404417.7277116E-50.08.147778E-49.4044633E-49.0E-40.956992450.00104035231.0E-40.0081179690.009365110.00580.619320030.00966233.0E-4
7.01.3444376E-51.545285E-50.00.01.545285E-50.05.7617483E-56.622483E-51.0E-41.51000766.622483E-50.07.0126704E-48.059918E-49.0E-41.11663669.059112E-41.0E-40.0069905820.0080310190.0050.6225860.008328613.0E-4
7.11.2268361E-51.407731E-50.00.01.407731E-50.05.2577634E-56.032995E-51.0E-41.65755156.032995E-50.06.399447E-47.3427224E-49.0E-41.22570358.341988E-41.0E-40.00638104930.00731876630.00450.614857730.00761657073.0E-4
7.21.0922655E-51.2517332E-50.00.01.2517332E-50.04.681054E-55.364462E-51.0E-41.86411985.364462E-50.05.697693E-46.5293006E-48.0E-41.22524617.5286475E-41.0E-40.00568310640.0065103980.0040.614401760.0068084453.0E-4
7.36.1106753E-66.9308453E-60.00.06.9308453E-60.02.6188345E-52.9703288E-50.00.02.9703288E-50.03.1879646E-43.6157793E-45.0E-41.38282783.6157793E-40.00.00318339510.00360994160.00210.58172690.00370958051.0E-4
7.44.933187E-65.591093E-60.00.05.591093E-60.02.114206E-52.3961611E-50.00.02.3961611E-50.02.5737417E-42.9169396E-43.0E-41.02847532.9169396E-40.00.0025707630.00291315190.00180.617887440.00301286071.0E-4
7.51.7489613E-61.9701965E-60.00.01.9701965E-60.07.495527E-68.443673E-60.00.08.443673E-60.09.125422E-51.027971E-41.0E-40.972790061.027971E-40.09.1216754E-40.00102751754.0E-40.389287770.00112741481.0E-4
7.61.6988751E-71.7534983E-70.00.01.7534983E-70.07.2808916E-77.5149904E-70.00.07.5149904E-70.08.864449E-69.149464E-60.00.09.149464E-60.08.8640954E-59.149107E-51.0E-41.09300289.149107E-50.0

Greenville (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.286654E-54.0391333E-51.0E-42.47577861.4038729E-41.0E-41.4084899E-41.7309445E-43.0E-41.73315793.7305983E-42.0E-40.00171348760.00210542560.00231.09241570.00250458344.0E-40.0170033560.0208598620.01590.76222940.0226223130.0018
6.13.286654E-54.0391333E-51.0E-42.47577861.4038729E-41.0E-41.4084899E-41.7309445E-43.0E-41.73315793.7305983E-42.0E-40.00171348760.00210542560.00210.997423050.00240479393.0E-40.0170033560.0208598620.01350.64717590.0221327430.0013
6.23.1697953E-53.8953563E-51.0E-42.56715921.3894966E-41.0E-41.358413E-41.6693337E-43.0E-41.79712413.669E-42.0E-40.00165261320.0020305560.00170.83720910.0023299473.0E-40.016403770.0201249180.01270.631058450.0213987570.0013
6.33.1363317E-53.8542243E-51.0E-42.59455561.385384E-41.0E-41.344073E-41.651708E-43.0E-41.81630173.6513776E-42.0E-40.00163518030.00200913640.00170.846134660.00230853383.0E-40.0162320040.019914590.01260.632701930.02118870.0013
6.43.0228604E-53.714872E-51.0E-42.69188281.37145E-41.0E-41.2954473E-41.5919929E-43.0E-41.88443053.5916743E-42.0E-40.00157606590.00193656430.00170.877843260.00223598353.0E-40.0156493480.0192016080.0120.624947670.0203785650.0012
6.52.9537814E-53.630378E-51.0E-42.7545341.3630015E-41.0E-41.2658449E-41.5557856E-43.0E-41.92828633.5554744E-42.0E-40.00154007660.00189255950.00160.8454160.00219199153.0E-40.015294470.0187690760.01140.607382060.019848430.0011
6.62.7345395E-53.3611846E-51.0E-42.97514181.3360848E-41.0E-41.1718928E-41.4404299E-41.0E-40.694237232.4402858E-41.0E-40.00142584570.00175234370.00140.798930.00195199332.0E-40.0141673170.0173892750.01060.609571160.0182736249.0E-4
6.72.5615784E-53.1588028E-50.00.03.1588028E-50.01.09777306E-41.3537041E-40.00.01.3537041E-40.00.00133571930.00164691950.00130.78935250.00174675471.0E-40.0132771910.0163510130.01020.62381460.0170395677.0E-4
6.82.0059057E-52.4729703E-50.00.02.4729703E-50.08.596455E-51.0598023E-40.00.01.0598023E-40.00.00104611590.00128956197.0E-40.542820040.00138943281.0E-40.01041204950.0128230020.00730.569289450.0134153096.0E-4
6.91.6321746E-52.020031E-50.00.02.020031E-50.06.9948466E-58.6569955E-50.00.08.6569955E-50.08.5128983E-40.0010534926.0E-40.56953450.0010534920.00.0084803610.0104867040.00620.591224850.0109814615.0E-4
7.01.22527645E-51.5145989E-50.00.01.5145989E-50.05.2510793E-56.490979E-50.00.06.490979E-50.06.3913135E-47.8999443E-45.0E-40.632915857.8999443E-40.00.00637296260.0078727990.00460.584290270.0082696514.0E-4
7.18.996482E-61.1173037E-50.00.01.1173037E-50.03.8555783E-54.7883572E-50.00.04.7883572E-50.04.6931554E-45.828278E-44.0E-40.68630915.828278E-40.00.0046832560.00581363960.00340.58483160.0060124772.0E-4
7.26.0273087E-67.576308E-60.00.07.576308E-60.02.5831067E-53.2469492E-50.00.03.2469492E-50.03.1444785E-43.9524504E-43.0E-40.759022833.9524504E-40.00.00314003280.0039459240.00240.60822260.00414513472.0E-4
7.33.1209995E-63.968426E-60.00.03.968426E-60.01.3375643E-51.7007429E-50.00.01.7007429E-50.01.6283628E-42.0704594E-43.0E-41.44895372.0704594E-40.00.00162717010.00206899640.00170.82165440.00216878951.0E-4
7.42.0254208E-62.6114044E-60.00.02.6114044E-60.08.680347E-61.1191685E-50.00.01.1191685E-50.01.0567809E-41.3625031E-42.0E-41.46788661.3625031E-40.00.00105627850.00136197530.0010.73422770.00146183911.0E-4
7.51.6763418E-62.1747574E-60.00.02.1747574E-60.07.184302E-69.320356E-60.00.09.320356E-60.08.746537E-51.1346948E-41.0E-40.881294251.1346948E-40.08.743095E-40.0011344257.0E-40.61705260.00123431161.0E-4
7.61.1935462E-61.5471528E-60.00.01.5471528E-60.05.115188E-66.6306384E-60.00.06.6306384E-60.06.2275634E-58.0725076E-51.0E-41.23877248.0725076E-50.06.2258187E-48.0725725E-46.0E-40.74325759.071765E-41.0E-4
7.73.0464201E-73.9880095E-70.00.03.9880095E-70.01.3056081E-61.7091459E-60.00.01.7091459E-60.01.589566E-52.0808657E-51.0E-44.8056922.0808657E-50.01.5894524E-42.0806972E-44.0E-41.92243252.0806972E-40.0

South Klamath Lake West

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.174025E-52.3044868E-50.00.02.3044868E-50.09.3169176E-59.8760356E-50.00.09.8760356E-50.00.00113374440.00120180986.0E-40.4992470.00130168971.0E-40.0112797770.0119597080.0090.75252670.0133429640.0014
6.12.174025E-52.3044868E-50.00.02.3044868E-50.09.3169176E-59.8760356E-50.00.09.8760356E-50.00.00113374440.00120180986.0E-40.4992470.00130168971.0E-40.0112797770.0119597080.0090.75252670.0133429640.0014
6.29.834929E-61.0395058E-50.00.01.0395058E-50.04.2149015E-54.454954E-50.00.04.454954E-50.05.1304343E-45.422647E-45.0E-40.922058946.422105E-41.0E-40.00511860570.00541031730.00420.77629460.006106537.0E-4
6.39.834929E-61.0395058E-50.00.01.0395058E-50.04.2149015E-54.454954E-50.00.04.454954E-50.05.1304343E-45.422647E-45.0E-40.922058946.422105E-41.0E-40.00511860570.00541031730.00420.77629460.006106537.0E-4
6.46.066321E-66.4011556E-60.00.06.4011556E-60.02.5998259E-52.7433252E-50.00.02.7433252E-50.03.1648282E-43.3395138E-44.0E-41.19777924.3391797E-41.0E-40.00316032490.00333476580.00270.80965210.00383309835.0E-4
6.56.066321E-66.4011556E-60.00.06.4011556E-60.02.5998259E-52.7433252E-50.00.02.7433252E-50.03.1648282E-43.3395138E-44.0E-41.19777924.3391797E-41.0E-40.00316032490.00333476580.00270.80965210.00383309835.0E-4
6.64.2321803E-64.4617886E-60.00.04.4617886E-60.01.8137789E-51.9121817E-50.00.01.9121817E-50.02.208052E-42.3278427E-42.0E-40.85916463.32761E-41.0E-40.00220585940.00232550620.00190.81702640.0027245764.0E-4
6.73.186646E-63.3606823E-60.00.03.3606823E-60.01.3656982E-51.4402848E-50.00.01.4402848E-50.01.6626107E-41.7534125E-41.0E-40.57031652.7532372E-41.0E-40.00166136740.00175209610.00120.68489390.00195174572.0E-4
6.82.380121E-62.511191E-60.00.02.511191E-60.01.0200479E-51.0762206E-50.00.01.0762206E-50.01.2418375E-41.3102245E-41.0E-40.7632282.3100934E-41.0E-40.00124114370.00130949770.0010.763651550.00150923582.0E-4
6.98.928287E-79.431342E-70.00.09.431342E-70.03.826403E-64.0419986E-60.00.04.0419986E-60.04.658546E-54.9210445E-50.00.04.9210445E-50.04.6575698E-44.920171E-44.0E-40.81297994.920171E-40.0

Almanor 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.1479834E-58.332903E-50.00.08.332903E-50.02.6345838E-43.5707868E-40.00.03.5707868E-40.00.00320288820.00433944540.0020.46088840.00473770964.0E-40.0315711720.0426146240.02450.574920.0444336570.0019
6.14.4387216E-55.980776E-50.00.05.980776E-50.01.9021705E-42.5629523E-40.00.02.5629523E-40.00.00231343270.00311643630.00160.513406930.00331581312.0E-40.0228949670.0307756480.01860.6043740.0318417960.0011
6.24.4387216E-55.980776E-50.00.05.980776E-50.01.9021705E-42.5629523E-40.00.02.5629523E-40.00.00231343270.00311643630.00160.513406930.00331581312.0E-40.0228949670.0307756480.01860.6043740.0318417960.0011
6.32.9523822E-53.957319E-50.00.03.957319E-50.01.2652454E-41.695885E-40.00.01.695885E-40.00.00153934760.00206315240.00120.58163420.00216294621.0E-40.0152872810.0204743330.01310.639825460.0209640975.0E-4
6.42.0512744E-52.7448714E-50.00.02.7448714E-50.08.79088E-51.1763221E-40.00.01.1763221E-40.00.0010697640.00143155518.0E-40.55883280.00153141191.0E-40.0106462890.0142537640.00950.66649060.0147466375.0E-4
6.51.6750226E-52.2405091E-50.00.02.2405091E-50.07.178471E-59.6018375E-50.00.09.6018375E-50.08.7362836E-40.00116872524.0E-40.342253270.00126860831.0E-40.0087020180.0116567080.00750.643406330.012150885.0E-4
6.61.4745303E-51.9719859E-50.00.01.9719859E-50.06.319262E-58.451101E-50.00.08.451101E-50.07.690986E-40.00102877123.0E-40.291610060.00112866821.0E-40.00766442250.0102717540.00650.63280330.0106676454.0E-4
6.79.951145E-71.1620355E-60.00.01.1620355E-60.04.26477E-64.980144E-60.00.04.980144E-60.05.1922336E-56.0631737E-50.00.06.0631737E-50.05.1910203E-46.061692E-45.0E-40.824852177.061086E-41.0E-4
6.85.866312E-76.8517494E-70.00.06.8517494E-70.02.5141312E-62.9364614E-60.00.02.9364614E-60.03.0609117E-53.575096E-50.00.03.575096E-50.03.06049E-43.5746495E-43.0E-40.83924314.5742918E-41.0E-4

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.104176E-50.00.01.104176E-50.04.509713E-54.7321268E-51.0E-42.11321474.7321268E-50.05.4891926E-45.760368E-47.0E-41.21520028.75864E-43.0E-40.00547565330.00575060350.00841.46071620.00724197740.0015
6.11.0522846E-51.104176E-50.00.01.104176E-50.04.509713E-54.7321268E-51.0E-42.11321474.7321268E-50.05.4891926E-45.760368E-47.0E-41.21520028.75864E-43.0E-40.00547565330.00575060350.00841.46071620.00724197740.0015
6.22.1045846E-62.2084264E-60.00.02.2084264E-60.09.019617E-69.464674E-60.00.09.464674E-60.01.098083E-41.15230505E-42.0E-41.73565152.1521898E-41.0E-40.00109754060.0011521190.00191.64913510.00145177353.0E-4
6.32.1045846E-62.2084264E-60.00.02.2084264E-60.09.019617E-69.464674E-60.00.09.464674E-60.01.098083E-41.15230505E-42.0E-41.73565152.1521898E-41.0E-40.00109754060.0011521190.00191.64913510.00145177353.0E-4
6.41.7259927E-61.8110604E-60.00.01.8110604E-60.07.3970905E-67.761688E-60.00.07.761688E-60.09.005586E-59.449855E-51.0E-41.05821731.944891E-41.0E-49.001937E-49.449855E-40.00181.90479110.0012447023.0E-4

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.8048487E-50.00.02.8048487E-50.01.5187653E-41.20202334E-40.00.01.20202334E-40.00.00184752840.00146249330.0010.68376380.00176205453.0E-40.0183224360.0149341390.00820.54907750.016608750.0017
6.13.542281E-52.8048487E-50.00.02.8048487E-50.01.5180321E-41.20202334E-40.00.01.20202334E-40.00.00184663720.00146249330.0010.68376380.00176205453.0E-40.0183136720.0149341390.00820.54907750.016608750.0017
6.23.4688688E-52.8048487E-50.00.02.8048487E-50.01.4865733E-41.20202334E-40.00.01.20202334E-40.00.00180840050.00146249330.0010.68376380.00176205453.0E-40.0179375480.0149341390.00820.54907750.016608750.0017
6.33.2087122E-52.7893788E-50.00.02.7893788E-50.01.3750899E-41.195394E-40.00.01.195394E-40.00.00167288620.00145443280.0010.68755320.00175399653.0E-40.0166034880.0148534240.00810.54532880.0165281740.0017
6.43.1828724E-52.7860748E-50.00.02.7860748E-50.01.364017E-41.1939781E-40.00.01.1939781E-40.00.00165942540.00145271120.0010.68836810.00175227543.0E-40.0164708850.014836610.00810.545946840.0165113880.0017
6.53.1563577E-52.7600036E-50.00.02.7600036E-50.01.3526545E-41.1828057E-40.00.01.1828057E-40.00.00164561280.00143912690.0010.694865760.00173869523.0E-40.01633480.0147024760.0080.544126030.016377480.0017
6.63.1467625E-52.7444119E-50.00.02.7444119E-50.01.3485427E-41.1761242E-40.00.01.1761242E-40.00.00164061420.00143100290.0010.69881060.00173057363.0E-40.0162855480.01462256350.0080.54709970.0162977050.0017
6.73.1223695E-52.7061893E-50.00.02.7061893E-50.01.3380898E-41.1597445E-40.00.01.1597445E-40.00.00162790680.00141108650.0010.70867370.00171066323.0E-40.016160330.0144268670.00780.540657940.016102340.0017
6.83.1015585E-52.6882644E-50.00.02.6882644E-50.01.3291716E-41.1520632E-40.00.01.1520632E-40.00.0016170650.00140174650.0010.71339570.00170132613.0E-40.0160534870.0143340610.00770.537182030.0160096940.0017
6.92.6641965E-52.2297869E-50.00.02.2297869E-50.01.1417485E-49.555882E-50.00.09.555882E-50.00.00138919240.00116281168.0E-40.68798760.00146246273.0E-40.01380540150.0119416680.00640.535938560.0134237550.0015
7.02.3854353E-52.0588659E-50.00.02.0588659E-50.01.02228936E-48.823414E-50.00.08.823414E-50.00.00124392660.00107372398.0E-40.74507050.00137340173.0E-40.0123698660.0110401070.00580.52535720.0121279630.0011
7.12.3672901E-52.0425028E-50.00.02.0425028E-50.01.0145135E-48.753291E-50.00.08.753291E-50.00.00123447020.00106519478.0E-40.751036350.00136487523.0E-40.01227635050.010955210.00570.52030040.0120431590.0011
7.22.2717244E-51.9651523E-50.00.01.9651523E-50.09.735599E-58.42181E-50.00.08.42181E-50.00.00118466460.00102487547.0E-40.68300980.00122467042.0E-40.011783690.0105522080.00550.521217940.0114427119.0E-4
7.32.1016205E-51.8491715E-50.00.01.8491715E-50.09.006634E-57.924782E-50.00.07.924782E-50.00.0010960069.644171E-47.0E-40.7258270.00116422422.0E-40.0109061630.0099472060.00550.55291910.0108382539.0E-4
7.42.0683625E-51.8293938E-50.00.01.8293938E-50.08.86411E-57.840025E-50.00.07.840025E-50.00.0010786719.541071E-47.0E-40.73367030.00115391622.0E-40.0107345010.009843780.00550.55872850.010734929.0E-4
7.51.9993966E-51.7888071E-50.00.01.7888071E-50.08.568561E-57.6660916E-50.00.07.6660916E-50.00.0010427239.32949E-47.0E-40.750308930.00113276242.0E-40.0103784380.00963026750.00540.560732070.01052169.0E-4
7.61.788966E-51.6536198E-50.00.01.6536198E-50.07.666772E-57.086751E-50.00.07.086751E-50.09.3302975E-48.624721E-47.0E-40.81162050.00106229962.0E-40.009291220.00891955850.0050.56056590.0098115319.0E-4
7.71.5125781E-51.4334522E-50.00.01.4334522E-50.06.4823165E-56.143223E-50.00.06.143223E-50.07.889362E-47.4768154E-47.0E-40.93622759.4753195E-42.0E-40.0078614120.0077654620.00440.566611470.0083608036.0E-4
7.81.250089E-51.2724073E-50.00.01.2724073E-50.05.3574146E-55.4530603E-50.00.05.4530603E-50.06.5207E-46.637085E-46.0E-40.90401137.6364214E-41.0E-40.0065015990.0069173080.0040.578259650.0073145414.0E-4
7.99.561E-69.837744E-60.00.09.837744E-60.04.0975072E-54.2161082E-50.00.04.2161082E-50.04.987573E-45.1319087E-45.0E-40.97429646.1313953E-41.0E-40.00497639370.0053965420.00280.51885080.0057943834.0E-4
8.08.01699E-68.369283E-60.00.08.369283E-60.03.4358076E-53.5867863E-50.00.03.5867863E-50.04.1822926E-44.3660428E-44.0E-40.91616145.365606E-41.0E-40.00417443040.00461379160.00250.54185370.0050119464.0E-4
8.16.541947E-66.524547E-60.00.06.524547E-60.02.8036617E-52.7962049E-50.00.02.7962049E-50.03.4129233E-43.4038528E-44.0E-41.1751394.4035123E-41.0E-40.00340768650.0036140440.00180.4980570.0040125984.0E-4
8.21.7968189E-68.0849065E-70.00.08.0849065E-70.07.70063E-63.4649556E-60.00.03.4649556E-60.09.3751136E-54.2185042E-50.00.04.2185042E-50.09.371159E-44.77603E-41.0E-40.209378935.775552E-41.0E-4
8.31.5167889E-74.978507E-80.00.04.978507E-80.06.500522E-72.1336456E-70.00.02.1336456E-70.07.9143565E-62.5977108E-60.00.02.5977108E-60.07.914075E-53.015811E-50.00.03.015811E-50.0

South Klamath Lake East

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3539369E-52.5050615E-50.00.02.5050615E-50.01.0087911E-41.0735582E-40.00.01.0735582E-40.00.00122751110.00130635676.0E-40.459292620.00140622611.0E-40.0122075270.0129951230.0090.69256750.0140808280.0011
6.12.3539369E-52.5050615E-50.00.02.5050615E-50.01.0087911E-41.0735582E-40.00.01.0735582E-40.00.00122751110.00130635676.0E-40.459292620.00140622611.0E-40.0122075270.0129951230.0090.69256750.0140808280.0011
6.22.3539369E-52.5050615E-50.00.02.5050615E-50.01.0087911E-41.0735582E-40.00.01.0735582E-40.00.00122751110.00130635676.0E-40.459292620.00140622611.0E-40.0122075270.0129951230.0090.69256750.0140808280.0011
6.39.807823E-61.0397328E-50.00.01.0397328E-50.04.2032847E-54.4559263E-50.00.04.4559263E-50.05.1162974E-45.4238236E-41.0E-40.184371786.423281E-41.0E-40.0051045340.0054114230.00420.7761360.00590871745.0E-4
6.49.807823E-61.0397328E-50.00.01.0397328E-50.04.2032847E-54.4559263E-50.00.04.4559263E-50.05.1162974E-45.4238236E-41.0E-40.184371786.423281E-41.0E-40.0051045340.0054114230.00420.7761360.00590871745.0E-4
6.56.191981E-66.551622E-60.00.06.551622E-60.02.653679E-52.8078093E-50.00.02.8078093E-50.03.2303753E-43.4179995E-41.0E-40.29256884.417658E-41.0E-40.00322568350.00341302060.00260.76178850.00371199683.0E-4
6.64.3693776E-64.6170953E-60.00.04.6170953E-60.01.8725768E-51.9787407E-50.00.01.9787407E-50.02.2796239E-42.4088619E-41.0E-40.41513383.408621E-41.0E-40.00227728670.00240636340.00180.74801670.0026058822.0E-4
6.73.360834E-63.5516546E-60.00.03.5516546E-60.01.4403494E-51.5221292E-50.00.01.5221292E-50.01.7534842E-41.8530429E-41.0E-40.539652942.8528576E-41.0E-40.00175210140.00185157770.00140.7561120.00205120722.0E-4
6.82.57873E-62.7254896E-60.00.02.7254896E-60.01.1051653E-51.168062E-50.00.01.168062E-50.01.3454557E-41.4220289E-41.0E-40.70322062.4218867E-41.0E-40.00134464130.00142117960.00120.844368930.00162089552.0E-4
6.99.987825E-71.0567472E-60.00.01.0567472E-60.04.2804895E-64.5289107E-60.00.04.5289107E-60.05.211371E-55.5138422E-51.0E-41.81361731.551329E-41.0E-45.210149E-45.512796E-46.0E-41.08837696.5122446E-41.0E-4

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192846E-50.00.01.0192846E-50.04.2485535E-54.3682954E-50.00.04.3682954E-50.05.1713863E-45.317205E-47.0E-41.31648117.316142E-42.0E-40.00515936830.0053055110.0091.69634940.00679755260.0015
6.19.913453E-61.0192846E-50.00.01.0192846E-50.04.2485535E-54.3682954E-50.00.04.3682954E-50.05.1713863E-45.317205E-47.0E-41.31648117.316142E-42.0E-40.00515936830.0053055110.0091.69634940.00679755260.0015
6.24.5596407E-64.6966034E-60.00.04.6966034E-60.01.954117E-52.0128153E-50.00.02.0128153E-50.02.3788778E-42.4503397E-44.0E-41.63242672.4503397E-40.00.00237633290.0024477640.00371.51158360.00294654025.0E-4
6.34.5596407E-64.6966034E-60.00.04.6966034E-60.01.954117E-52.0128153E-50.00.02.0128153E-50.02.3788778E-42.4503397E-44.0E-41.63242672.4503397E-40.00.00237633290.0024477640.00371.51158360.00294654025.0E-4
6.43.4025713E-63.5101257E-60.00.03.5101257E-60.01.4582367E-51.5043314E-50.00.01.5043314E-50.01.7752586E-41.8313779E-42.0E-41.09207391.8313779E-40.00.0017738410.00182995170.00261.42080260.00212940273.0E-4
6.52.8352947E-62.9280534E-60.00.02.9280534E-60.01.2151207E-51.2548744E-50.00.01.2548744E-50.01.479309E-41.52771E-41.0E-40.65457451.52771E-40.00.00147832460.00152673360.00211.37548550.00182627563.0E-4
6.62.251518E-62.3292332E-60.00.02.3292332E-60.09.649328E-69.982393E-60.00.09.982393E-60.01.1747423E-41.2152948E-41.0E-40.82284561.2152948E-40.00.00117412140.0012146920.00191.56418250.00151432763.0E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9592849E-60.00.01.9592849E-60.08.105055E-68.396912E-60.00.08.396912E-60.09.867457E-51.0222819E-41.0E-40.97820381.0222819E-40.09.863076E-40.00102186910.00171.66361810.00132156263.0E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5439512E-60.00.01.5439512E-60.06.374905E-66.6169196E-60.00.06.6169196E-60.07.76117E-58.055854E-51.0E-41.24133348.055854E-50.07.75846E-48.0534443E-40.00131.61421610.00110510283.0E-4
6.96.835972E-77.140582E-70.00.07.140582E-70.02.9296991E-63.0602475E-60.00.03.0602475E-60.03.56685E-53.7258196E-51.0E-42.6839733.7258196E-50.03.5662777E-43.7255077E-42.0E-40.53683963.7255077E-40.0

Santa Susana East (connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.858397E-53.203577E-50.00.03.203577E-50.01.2249697E-41.3729012E-41.0E-40.728384551.3729012E-40.00.00149038030.00167049797.0E-40.419036720.0017703311.0E-40.0148042440.016606260.00880.529920640.0181796890.0016
6.12.858397E-53.203577E-50.00.03.203577E-50.01.2249697E-41.3729012E-41.0E-40.728384551.3729012E-40.00.00149038030.00167049797.0E-40.419036720.0017703311.0E-40.0148042440.016606260.00880.529920640.0181796890.0016
6.22.858397E-53.203577E-50.00.03.203577E-50.01.2249697E-41.3729012E-41.0E-40.728384551.3729012E-40.00.00149038030.00167049797.0E-40.419036720.0017703311.0E-40.0148042440.016606260.00880.529920640.0181796890.0016
6.31.943582E-52.0374862E-50.00.02.0374862E-50.08.329371E-58.731855E-51.0E-41.14523218.731855E-50.00.0010136290.0010626976.0E-40.56460120.00116259071.0E-40.0100901810.0105875060.00610.57615080.0114779779.0E-4
6.41.943582E-52.0374862E-50.00.02.0374862E-50.08.329371E-58.731855E-51.0E-41.14523218.731855E-50.00.0010136290.0010626976.0E-40.56460120.00116259071.0E-40.0100901810.0105875060.00610.57615080.0114779779.0E-4
6.51.943582E-52.0374862E-50.00.02.0374862E-50.08.329371E-58.731855E-51.0E-41.14523218.731855E-50.00.0010136290.0010626976.0E-40.56460120.00116259071.0E-40.0100901810.0105875060.00610.57615080.0114779779.0E-4
6.61.943582E-52.0374862E-50.00.02.0374862E-50.08.329371E-58.731855E-51.0E-41.14523218.731855E-50.00.0010136290.0010626976.0E-40.56460120.00116259071.0E-40.0100901810.0105875060.00610.57615080.0114779779.0E-4
6.71.9404439E-52.0362279E-50.00.02.0362279E-50.08.3159226E-58.726462E-51.0E-41.14593988.726462E-50.00.00101199330.0010620416.0E-40.56494990.00116193481.0E-40.0100739710.0105810090.00610.57650450.0114714879.0E-4
6.81.2217526E-51.1596129E-50.00.01.1596129E-50.05.2359774E-54.9696846E-51.0E-42.01224.9696846E-50.06.372938E-46.049079E-43.0E-40.495943257.0484745E-41.0E-40.00635469240.00603457630.00350.579991040.0065315595.0E-4
6.91.2217526E-51.1596129E-50.00.01.1596129E-50.05.2359774E-54.9696846E-51.0E-42.01224.9696846E-50.06.372938E-46.049079E-43.0E-40.495943257.0484745E-41.0E-40.00635469240.00603457630.00350.579991040.0065315595.0E-4
7.09.276017E-68.060705E-60.00.08.060705E-60.03.9753755E-53.454544E-51.0E-42.89473823.454544E-50.04.8389446E-44.20513E-43.0E-40.71341435.2047096E-41.0E-40.00482842140.0041978130.00230.54790440.00449655343.0E-4
7.19.130355E-67.9438505E-60.00.07.9438505E-60.03.9129503E-53.4044646E-51.0E-42.93731933.4044646E-50.04.7629757E-44.1441817E-43.0E-40.723906465.1437673E-41.0E-40.004752780.00413709270.00230.555945930.00443585173.0E-4
7.28.851015E-67.742976E-60.00.07.742976E-60.03.7932372E-53.318378E-51.0E-43.01352053.318378E-50.04.6172875E-44.0394103E-42.0E-40.495121785.0390064E-41.0E-40.00460770540.00403270450.00220.54553960.00433149473.0E-4
7.38.573006E-67.5516573E-60.00.07.5516573E-60.03.6740938E-53.2363863E-51.0E-43.0898663.2363863E-50.04.472291E-43.9396223E-42.0E-40.50766294.939228E-41.0E-40.0044633010.00393326670.00210.533907350.00423208673.0E-4
7.47.852282E-66.8189283E-60.00.06.8189283E-60.03.36522E-52.922367E-50.00.02.922367E-50.04.096385E-43.557431E-41.0E-40.28110174.5570754E-41.0E-40.00408884230.0035523180.00170.478560750.00385125243.0E-4
7.54.8869324E-64.279848E-60.00.04.279848E-60.02.0943828E-51.8342085E-50.00.01.8342085E-50.02.5496128E-42.2329365E-41.0E-40.447840753.2327132E-41.0E-40.00254668950.00223087080.00110.493080970.00243042482.0E-4
7.61.3894544E-61.1570077E-60.00.01.1570077E-60.05.954791E-64.958596E-60.00.04.958596E-60.07.249717E-56.0369457E-51.0E-41.65646681.6036342E-41.0E-47.247352E-46.035524E-42.0E-40.33137147.03492E-41.0E-4
7.72.9924632E-72.372971E-70.00.02.372971E-70.01.2824837E-61.0169872E-60.00.01.0169872E-60.01.5614127E-51.2381756E-51.0E-48.0763991.1238052E-41.0E-41.5613029E-41.2381139E-42.0E-41.61536042.23799E-41.0E-4
7.84.8188564E-82.6396894E-80.00.02.6396894E-80.02.065224E-71.13129545E-70.00.01.13129545E-70.02.5144072E-61.3773514E-61.0E-472.603111.0137721E-41.0E-42.5143789E-51.3773437E-51.0E-47.2603521.1377206E-41.0E-4
7.92.6127251E-92.768449E-90.00.02.768449E-90.01.1197393E-81.1864782E-80.00.01.1864782E-80.01.3632825E-71.4445372E-70.00.01.4445372E-70.01.3632817E-61.4445372E-60.00.01.4445372E-60.0

Owens Valley Keough Hot Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5708529E-54.9531077E-60.00.04.9531077E-60.06.7320536E-52.122746E-50.00.02.122746E-50.08.193192E-42.5841882E-41.0E-40.386968732.5841882E-40.00.0081630510.00258179820.00371.43310960.0041776670.0016
6.11.5708529E-54.9531077E-60.00.04.9531077E-60.06.7320536E-52.122746E-50.00.02.122746E-50.08.193192E-42.5841882E-41.0E-40.386968732.5841882E-40.00.0081630510.00258179820.00371.43310960.0041776670.0016
6.21.5708529E-54.9531077E-60.00.04.9531077E-60.06.7320536E-52.122746E-50.00.02.122746E-50.08.193192E-42.5841882E-41.0E-40.386968732.5841882E-40.00.0081630510.00258179820.00371.43310960.0041776670.0016
6.31.5708529E-54.9531077E-60.00.04.9531077E-60.06.7320536E-52.122746E-50.00.02.122746E-50.08.193192E-42.5841882E-41.0E-40.386968732.5841882E-40.00.0081630510.00258179820.00371.43310960.0041776670.0016
6.41.4622509E-53.7286518E-60.00.03.7286518E-60.06.266639E-51.5979856E-50.00.01.5979856E-50.07.626962E-41.945407E-40.00.01.945407E-40.00.0076008390.001944140.00261.33735230.00324161260.0013
6.51.3335527E-52.2794734E-60.00.02.2794734E-60.05.7151006E-59.769138E-60.00.09.769138E-60.06.955913E-41.1893345E-40.00.01.1893345E-40.00.00693418040.00118887660.00171.42992130.00198792558.0E-4
6.61.3332855E-52.2766221E-60.00.02.2766221E-60.05.7139558E-59.756919E-60.00.09.756919E-60.06.9545204E-41.187847E-40.00.01.187847E-40.00.00693279640.00118739060.00171.43171080.00198644078.0E-4
6.71.3318214E-52.2658473E-60.00.02.2658473E-60.05.707681E-59.710742E-60.00.09.710742E-60.06.946886E-41.1822255E-40.00.01.1822255E-40.00.00692520940.00118177510.00171.43851390.00198082988.0E-4
6.81.2441338E-51.6792543E-60.00.01.6792543E-60.05.331893E-57.1967856E-60.00.07.1967856E-60.06.489646E-48.761764E-50.00.08.761764E-50.00.00647072738.7597186E-40.00111.2557480.00117570913.0E-4
6.91.1130476E-51.0313557E-60.00.01.0313557E-60.04.7701167E-54.4200888E-60.00.04.4200888E-60.05.806069E-45.3813266E-50.00.05.3813266E-50.00.00579092335.381129E-46.0E-41.11500766.380591E-41.0E-4
7.01.0986073E-59.588671E-70.00.09.588671E-70.04.7082318E-54.109424E-60.00.04.109424E-60.05.730765E-45.00311E-50.00.05.00311E-50.00.00571600865.003081E-45.0E-40.999384165.003081E-40.0
7.11.0451338E-58.007787E-70.00.08.007787E-70.04.4790682E-53.4319041E-60.00.03.4319041E-60.05.451901E-44.1782638E-50.00.04.1782638E-50.00.0054385454.1785362E-44.0E-40.957273074.1785362E-40.0
7.29.989061E-66.5513444E-70.00.06.5513444E-70.04.280956E-52.807716E-60.00.02.807716E-60.05.2108173E-43.418341E-50.00.03.418341E-50.00.00519861563.4187373E-43.0E-40.8775173.4187373E-40.0
7.39.465365E-65.465988E-70.00.05.465988E-70.04.056522E-52.3425641E-60.00.02.3425641E-60.04.937696E-42.852035E-50.00.02.852035E-50.00.00492673932.852542E-42.0E-40.7011292.852542E-40.0
7.46.3824805E-64.0212666E-70.00.04.0212666E-70.02.73532E-51.7233988E-60.00.01.7233988E-60.03.3297433E-42.0982181E-50.00.02.0982181E-50.00.00332475852.0984629E-41.0E-40.476539282.0984629E-40.0
7.51.6192645E-62.51918E-70.00.02.51918E-70.06.9396865E-61.0796482E-60.00.01.0796482E-60.08.448741E-51.3144639E-50.00.01.3144639E-50.08.4455294E-41.3143875E-40.00.01.3143875E-40.0
7.65.7062545E-71.08048745E-70.00.01.08048745E-70.02.4455355E-64.6306596E-70.00.04.6306596E-70.02.9773988E-55.6378144E-60.00.05.6378144E-60.02.977E-45.6376794E-50.00.05.6376794E-50.0
7.72.5988817E-74.55085E-80.00.04.55085E-80.01.113806E-61.950364E-70.00.01.950364E-70.01.3560503E-52.374566E-60.00.02.374566E-60.01.3559677E-42.3745451E-50.00.02.3745451E-50.0

Ortigalita (South)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.72394E-54.3270058E-50.00.04.3270058E-50.01.5958765E-41.8543082E-43.0E-41.6178542.8541227E-41.0E-40.00194124810.00225543880.00180.798070850.00255476223.0E-40.0192437750.0223418850.02070.926510930.0238083710.0015
6.12.7299884E-53.1502026E-50.00.03.1502026E-50.01.16994255E-41.3500202E-43.0E-42.2221892.3498852E-41.0E-40.00142347430.00164246630.00140.85237670.00184213782.0E-40.0141439060.0163092050.01560.95651510.0172928960.001
6.22.7299884E-53.1502026E-50.00.03.1502026E-50.01.16994255E-41.3500202E-43.0E-42.2221892.3498852E-41.0E-40.00142347430.00164246630.00140.85237670.00184213782.0E-40.0141439060.0163092050.01560.95651510.0172928960.001
6.32.0546433E-52.3638784E-50.00.02.3638784E-50.08.805317E-51.01305246E-41.0E-40.98711571.01305246E-40.00.001071520.00123271250.00110.89234110.00133258921.0E-40.0106636810.01226081050.01160.94610380.0128534546.0E-4
6.42.0546433E-52.3638784E-50.00.02.3638784E-50.08.805317E-51.01305246E-41.0E-40.98711571.01305246E-40.00.001071520.00123271250.00110.89234110.00133258921.0E-40.0106636810.01226081050.01160.94610380.0128534546.0E-4
6.51.7779594E-52.0453313E-50.00.02.0453313E-50.07.619603E-58.7654196E-51.0E-41.14084678.7654196E-50.09.272918E-40.00106668090.0010.93748750.00116657431.0E-40.0092343190.0106170770.00990.932460.0111117695.0E-4
6.61.6272212E-51.8720775E-50.00.01.8720775E-50.06.973618E-58.022949E-51.0E-41.24642448.022949E-50.08.487073E-49.763686E-49.0E-40.921783030.0010762711.0E-40.0084547330.0097220920.00840.86401160.0100191753.0E-4
6.71.3051484E-51.5043493E-50.00.01.5043493E-50.05.593373E-56.447057E-51.0E-41.55109546.447057E-50.06.807804E-47.8465603E-49.0E-41.14699948.845776E-41.0E-40.0067869860.007819840.00710.9079470.0081174933.0E-4
6.81.04277415E-51.19909355E-50.00.01.19909355E-50.04.4689557E-55.1388753E-51.0E-41.9459515.1388753E-50.05.439595E-46.254859E-47.0E-41.11912996.254859E-40.00.00542629930.00623800930.00550.88169150.00633738561.0E-4
6.97.639968E-68.794237E-60.00.08.794237E-60.03.274231E-53.7689075E-50.00.03.7689075E-50.03.9856473E-44.5877378E-44.0E-40.87188944.5877378E-40.00.0039785060.00457885350.00430.93909970.00467839561.0E-4
7.03.919831E-64.5348647E-60.00.04.5348647E-60.01.679917E-51.9435001E-50.00.01.9435001E-50.02.045107E-42.3659757E-42.0E-40.84531722.3659757E-40.00.00204322580.00236366550.00251.05767930.0024634291.0E-4
7.11.6017933E-61.8576521E-60.00.01.8576521E-60.06.8648105E-67.961348E-60.00.07.961348E-60.08.357586E-59.692617E-52.0E-42.06342639.692617E-50.08.3544437E-49.689437E-40.00151.54807769.689437E-40.0

Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.2326144E-58.0653714E-50.00.08.0653714E-50.02.6708472E-43.4561334E-40.00.03.4561334E-40.00.0032469080.0041998170.00280.66669570.0042993971.0E-40.0319987570.041221550.02670.647719440.042659720.0015
6.16.227657E-58.0591184E-50.00.08.0591184E-50.02.668723E-43.453454E-40.00.03.453454E-40.00.00324432950.00419656750.00280.667211950.0042961481.0E-40.0319737120.041190270.02660.645783540.0426284860.0015
6.26.22452E-58.055176E-50.00.08.055176E-50.02.6673786E-43.4517655E-40.00.03.4517655E-40.00.00324269780.00419451950.00280.667537750.00429411.0E-40.031957870.0411705520.02660.646092830.0426087980.0015
6.36.219006E-58.0481565E-50.00.08.0481565E-50.02.6650162E-43.4487576E-40.00.03.4487576E-40.00.003239830.00419087150.00280.66811880.00429045271.0E-40.0319300140.0411354340.02640.641782460.042573730.0015
6.45.2175856E-56.729268E-50.00.06.729268E-50.02.2359163E-42.883656E-40.00.02.883656E-40.00.00271882980.00350524740.00230.65615910.00360489681.0E-40.0268580580.034509020.02310.669390140.035957260.0015
6.55.205166E-56.713527E-50.00.06.713527E-50.02.2305945E-42.876911E-40.00.02.876911E-40.00.00271236660.00349706180.00230.6576950.00359671211.0E-40.0267949890.0344297250.02310.67093190.035878080.0015
6.65.0085426E-56.452997E-50.00.06.452997E-50.02.1463417E-42.7652795E-40.00.02.7652795E-40.00.00261003940.00336158020.00230.6842020.0034612441.0E-40.0257959650.033116510.02220.670360570.0344701450.0014
6.74.8930866E-56.3053805E-50.00.06.3053805E-50.02.0968684E-42.7020287E-40.00.02.7020287E-40.00.00254994840.00328480730.00220.66975010.00338447891.0E-40.0252088640.032371470.02170.67034340.0335326230.0012
6.84.5679535E-55.8775466E-50.00.05.8775466E-50.01.9575475E-42.5187072E-40.00.02.5187072E-40.00.0023807090.00306225170.00190.62045840.00316194561.0E-40.0235536530.0302075860.020.662085350.0313713360.0012
6.94.1439176E-55.325024E-50.00.05.325024E-50.01.7758438E-42.2819548E-40.00.02.2819548E-40.00.0021599460.00277476570.00170.612664340.00287448821.0E-40.0213907210.0274062420.01770.645838260.0285733550.0012
7.03.5920104E-54.6034307E-50.00.04.6034307E-50.01.5393422E-41.9727505E-40.00.01.9727505E-40.00.0018725380.0023991940.00150.625210.0024989541.0E-40.0185683780.023736210.01490.62773290.0249077270.0012
7.13.338812E-54.2713036E-50.00.04.2713036E-50.01.430841E-41.8304311E-40.00.01.8304311E-40.00.00174065680.00222628660.00140.628849860.0023260641.0E-40.0172708540.0220426840.01410.6396680.0232162330.0012
7.22.8619615E-53.6421425E-50.00.03.6421425E-50.01.2264973E-41.5608253E-40.00.01.5608253E-40.00.00149223760.00189865820.0010.526687740.00199846831.0E-40.0148225680.0188264440.0120.63740130.0199057350.0011
7.32.6376783E-53.3441032E-50.00.03.3441032E-50.01.13038455E-41.4331088E-40.00.01.4331088E-40.00.00137537430.00174342280.0010.57358430.00184324851.0E-40.013668930.017299390.01130.653202240.0182820910.001
7.42.3738676E-52.9995399E-50.00.02.9995399E-50.01.0173322E-41.2854542E-40.00.01.2854542E-40.00.00123789810.00156392519.0E-40.575475160.00166376871.0E-40.0123102510.015530770.01070.68895490.0165152380.001
7.52.1789481E-52.7454264E-50.00.02.7454264E-50.09.338015E-51.17655865E-40.00.01.17655865E-40.00.00113631030.00143152679.0E-40.628699360.00153138361.0E-40.0113051750.0142245090.010.7030120.0151117069.0E-4
7.61.3895281E-51.737815E-50.00.01.737815E-50.05.9549846E-57.4475676E-50.00.07.4475676E-50.07.2477816E-49.0636703E-46.0E-40.66198350.00100627631.0E-40.00722418870.0090273730.00670.74218710.009522865.0E-4
7.74.245981E-65.165001E-60.00.05.165001E-60.01.8196934E-52.2135531E-50.00.02.2135531E-50.02.2152514E-42.6946695E-43.0E-41.1133093.6944E-41.0E-40.00221304460.00269144030.00240.89171590.00289090192.0E-4
7.86.145192E-77.054105E-70.00.07.054105E-70.02.633651E-63.0231845E-60.00.03.0231845E-60.03.206423E-53.680666E-51.0E-42.71689941.3680298E-41.0E-43.2059604E-43.679996E-44.0E-41.08695774.679628E-41.0E-4

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3576165E-50.00.04.3576165E-50.02.7003905E-41.8674169E-40.00.01.8674169E-40.00.00328276910.00227122130.00140.61640840.00247076712.0E-40.0323469680.0234384160.0130.554644940.0248056040.0014
6.16.3015636E-54.3576165E-50.00.04.3576165E-50.02.7003905E-41.8674169E-40.00.01.8674169E-40.00.00328276910.00227122130.00140.61640840.00247076712.0E-40.0323469680.0234384160.0130.554644940.0248056040.0014
6.26.3015636E-54.3576165E-50.00.04.3576165E-50.02.7003905E-41.8674169E-40.00.01.8674169E-40.00.00328276910.00227122130.00140.61640840.00247076712.0E-40.0323469680.0234384160.0130.554644940.0248056040.0014
6.36.3015636E-54.3576165E-50.00.04.3576165E-50.02.7003905E-41.8674169E-40.00.01.8674169E-40.00.00328276910.00227122130.00140.61640840.00247076712.0E-40.0323469680.0234384160.0130.554644940.0248056040.0014
6.46.3015636E-54.3576165E-50.00.04.3576165E-50.02.7003905E-41.8674169E-40.00.01.8674169E-40.00.00328276910.00227122130.00140.61640840.00247076712.0E-40.0323469680.0234384160.0130.554644940.0248056040.0014
6.55.811017E-54.03439E-50.00.04.03439E-50.02.4901982E-41.7289101E-40.00.01.7289101E-40.00.00302760140.00210292170.00120.570634660.00230250112.0E-40.029866840.0217307380.01190.54761140.0230024870.0013
6.65.811017E-54.03439E-50.00.04.03439E-50.02.4901982E-41.7289101E-40.00.01.7289101E-40.00.00302760140.00210292170.00120.570634660.00230250112.0E-40.029866840.0217307380.01190.54761140.0230024870.0013
6.75.712442E-53.9763414E-50.00.03.9763414E-50.02.4479596E-41.7040354E-40.00.01.7040354E-40.00.00297631770.00207269450.00120.578956540.002272282.0E-40.0293676930.0214211880.01180.55085650.0226933420.0013
6.85.6967532E-53.961925E-50.00.03.961925E-50.02.4412372E-41.6978578E-40.00.01.6978578E-40.00.00296815530.00206518760.00120.5810610.00226477462.0E-40.0292882290.0213451270.01180.55281940.022617380.0013
6.95.6211324E-53.9322527E-50.00.03.9322527E-50.02.4088343E-41.6851426E-40.00.01.6851426E-40.00.00292881160.0020497360.00120.585441230.0022493262.0E-40.0289051090.0211832490.01180.557043970.0224557090.0013
7.05.4383527E-53.817767E-50.00.03.817767E-50.02.3305144E-41.6360835E-40.00.01.6360835E-40.00.00283370940.0019901170.00120.602979660.0021897192.0E-40.0279784650.020567840.01120.544539450.0218411010.0013
7.15.1393665E-53.663072E-50.00.03.663072E-50.02.2023996E-41.5697938E-40.00.01.5697938E-40.00.00267812420.00190955280.00120.62841940.0021091712.0E-40.0264607820.0197384750.01090.552220940.020914790.0012
7.24.785222E-53.4973295E-50.00.03.4973295E-50.02.0506482E-41.4987696E-40.00.01.4987696E-40.00.00249380550.00182322820.00110.60332550.00202286362.0E-40.0246600490.018846950.01030.546507540.0199262180.0011
7.34.2143256E-53.405982E-50.00.03.405982E-50.01.8060145E-41.4596252E-40.00.01.4596252E-40.00.0021966050.00177564860.00110.619491930.00197529352.0E-40.021750190.0183533370.01030.56120580.019433150.0011
7.44.0264713E-53.369585E-50.00.03.369585E-50.01.7255165E-41.4440282E-40.00.01.4440282E-40.00.0020987920.00175668990.00110.626177670.00195633852.0E-40.0207908040.0181568450.01020.561771630.0192368720.0011
7.53.694492E-53.2404063E-50.00.03.2404063E-50.01.5832575E-41.3886718E-40.00.01.3886718E-40.00.00192591180.00168940.00110.651118760.0018890622.0E-40.019093060.0174703670.00990.56667380.018551150.0011
7.63.200565E-52.970493E-50.00.02.970493E-50.01.3715986E-41.2730065E-40.00.01.2730065E-40.00.0016686420.00154878570.0010.645667140.0017484762.0E-40.016561680.0160508250.00890.554488660.0171331690.0011
7.72.731642E-52.6287431E-50.00.02.6287431E-50.01.1706512E-41.1265556E-40.00.01.1265556E-40.00.0014243360.00137071959.0E-40.65658950.00157044542.0E-40.0141524120.0142688030.00810.5676720.0150573898.0E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3691577E-50.00.02.3691577E-50.01.0056651E-41.0153138E-40.00.01.0153138E-40.00.00122370940.00123544447.0E-40.56659770.00133532091.0E-40.0121699280.0129069080.00750.58108420.0134991646.0E-4
7.91.8611925E-51.9076544E-50.00.01.9076544E-50.07.9762955E-58.175406E-50.00.08.175406E-50.09.7068126E-49.949019E-46.0E-40.603074550.00109480241.0E-40.00966452250.01048264650.0060.57237450.0109774055.0E-4
8.01.5460775E-51.589064E-50.00.01.589064E-50.06.6258784E-56.810098E-50.00.06.810098E-50.08.0640207E-48.2881463E-44.0E-40.482616969.2873175E-41.0E-40.0080348210.0087822180.00480.5465590.0091787054.0E-4
8.19.983884E-68.357874E-60.00.08.357874E-60.04.2787375E-53.5818975E-50.00.03.5818975E-50.05.2081177E-44.3600926E-44.0E-40.91741175.3596566E-41.0E-40.00519592830.0046875970.00250.533322330.00508572164.0E-4
8.24.1226E-61.5778191E-60.00.01.5778191E-60.01.7668166E-56.7620645E-60.00.06.7620645E-60.02.1508869E-48.232505E-50.00.08.232505E-50.00.00214880649.5471635E-44.0E-40.41897260.0010546211.0E-4
8.31.2750878E-63.679851E-70.00.03.679851E-70.05.4646503E-61.5770781E-60.00.01.5770781E-60.06.653009E-51.9200761E-50.00.01.9200761E-50.06.6510175E-42.3133527E-41.0E-40.432273032.3133527E-40.0

Blue Cut

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2722867E-50.00.02.2722867E-50.09.097391E-59.738041E-51.0E-41.02690059.738041E-50.00.00110704450.00118501977.0E-40.59070750.00118501970.00.0110154580.0117928520.0110.932768460.0131763420.0014
6.12.1227985E-52.2722867E-50.00.02.2722867E-50.09.097391E-59.738041E-51.0E-41.02690059.738041E-50.00.00110704450.00118501977.0E-40.59070750.00118501970.00.0110154580.0117928520.0110.932768460.0131763420.0014
6.22.1227985E-52.2722867E-50.00.02.2722867E-50.09.097391E-59.738041E-51.0E-41.02690059.738041E-50.00.00110704450.00118501977.0E-40.59070750.00118501970.00.0110154580.0117928520.0110.932768460.0131763420.0014
6.31.1613981E-51.2355163E-50.00.01.2355163E-50.04.9773254E-55.2949694E-51.0E-41.88858515.2949694E-50.06.0582085E-46.444843E-45.0E-40.77581416.444843E-40.00.00604171960.00642740.00630.98017860.00752032970.0011
6.41.1613981E-51.2355163E-50.00.01.2355163E-50.04.9773254E-55.2949694E-51.0E-41.88858515.2949694E-50.06.0582085E-46.444843E-45.0E-40.77581416.444843E-40.00.00604171960.00642740.00630.98017860.00752032970.0011
6.58.931326E-69.482803E-60.00.09.482803E-60.03.8276554E-54.0640003E-51.0E-42.46062974.0640003E-50.04.6591737E-44.9468887E-43.0E-40.60644184.9468887E-40.00.00464941750.0049367860.00490.99254860.00573283678.0E-4
6.67.345353E-67.791251E-60.00.07.791251E-60.03.1479703E-53.3390694E-51.0E-42.99484633.3390694E-50.03.83198E-44.0646386E-43.0E-40.7380734.0646386E-40.00.00382537880.0040579960.00411.0103510.00465556146.0E-4
6.76.2775666E-66.6559733E-60.00.06.6559733E-60.02.690358E-52.852533E-50.00.02.852533E-50.03.2750185E-43.4724807E-42.0E-40.57595713.4724807E-40.00.00327019630.0034677960.00330.951613070.00386640874.0E-4
6.85.5234095E-65.8558353E-60.00.05.8558353E-60.02.367154E-52.5096237E-50.00.02.5096237E-50.02.8816288E-43.0551112E-41.0E-40.32732033.0551112E-40.00.0028778950.00305162740.00240.78646560.0032510172.0E-4
6.94.7780054E-65.066048E-60.00.05.066048E-60.02.0477004E-52.1711494E-50.00.02.1711494E-50.02.4927902E-42.643124E-41.0E-40.378340152.643124E-40.00.00248999570.0026406730.00220.8331210.00284014482.0E-4
7.03.883171E-64.119001E-60.00.04.119001E-60.01.6642054E-51.7652781E-50.00.01.7652781E-50.02.0259817E-42.149083E-41.0E-40.465314752.149083E-40.00.00202413560.00214768060.00120.55874230.00234725122.0E-4
7.12.8358215E-63.010096E-60.00.03.010096E-60.01.2153464E-51.2900385E-50.00.01.2900385E-50.01.4795837E-41.5705744E-41.0E-40.636709751.5705744E-40.00.0014785990.00157010970.00110.70058790.00176979582.0E-4

Mission Hills 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8765717E-51.9060995E-50.00.01.9060995E-50.08.0422025E-58.168936E-50.00.08.168936E-50.09.786983E-49.944576E-47.0E-40.70390130.00119425872.0E-40.0097439920.0099337620.00610.614067440.0113198550.0014
6.11.8765717E-51.9060995E-50.00.01.9060995E-50.08.0422025E-58.168936E-50.00.08.168936E-50.09.786983E-49.944576E-47.0E-40.70390130.00119425872.0E-40.0097439920.0099337620.00610.614067440.0113198550.0014
6.21.8765717E-51.9060995E-50.00.01.9060995E-50.08.0422025E-58.168936E-50.00.08.168936E-50.09.786983E-49.944576E-47.0E-40.70390130.00119425872.0E-40.0097439920.0099337620.00610.614067440.0113198550.0014
6.31.8765717E-51.9060995E-50.00.01.9060995E-50.08.0422025E-58.168936E-50.00.08.168936E-50.09.786983E-49.944576E-47.0E-40.70390130.00119425872.0E-40.0097439920.0099337620.00610.614067440.0113198550.0014
6.44.566357E-62.515573E-60.00.02.515573E-60.01.9569954E-51.0780993E-50.00.01.0780993E-50.02.3823815E-41.312525E-41.0E-40.761890231.312525E-40.00.0023798290.00131192828.0E-40.60978950.00161153463.0E-4
6.54.566357E-62.515573E-60.00.02.515573E-60.01.9569954E-51.0780993E-50.00.01.0780993E-50.02.3823815E-41.312525E-41.0E-40.761890231.312525E-40.00.0023798290.00131192828.0E-40.60978950.00161153463.0E-4
6.64.566357E-62.515573E-60.00.02.515573E-60.01.9569954E-51.0780993E-50.00.01.0780993E-50.02.3823815E-41.312525E-41.0E-40.761890231.312525E-40.00.0023798290.00131192828.0E-40.60978950.00161153463.0E-4
6.72.3266773E-61.3299061E-60.00.01.3299061E-60.09.971435E-65.6995855E-60.00.05.6995855E-60.01.2139547E-46.9390306E-51.0E-41.44112356.9390306E-50.00.00121329176.936925E-46.0E-40.86493668.935537E-42.0E-4
6.82.032735E-61.1896636E-60.00.01.1896636E-60.08.711692E-65.098549E-60.00.05.098549E-60.01.06059684E-46.2073115E-51.0E-41.61100346.2073115E-50.00.00106009086.2056264E-46.0E-40.96686458.204385E-42.0E-4
6.91.3186259E-61.0563714E-60.00.01.0563714E-60.05.6512413E-64.527298E-60.00.04.527298E-60.06.8801695E-55.511849E-51.0E-41.81427325.511849E-50.06.8780396E-45.5105117E-45.0E-40.907356747.5094093E-42.0E-4
7.01.2726016E-61.0160961E-60.00.01.0160961E-60.05.4539955E-64.3546906E-60.00.04.3546906E-60.06.6400375E-55.30171E-51.0E-41.8861845.30171E-50.06.6380535E-45.3004734E-45.0E-40.94331197.2994136E-42.0E-4
7.11.2063913E-69.571875E-70.00.09.571875E-70.05.170238E-64.102226E-60.00.04.102226E-60.06.294583E-54.994348E-51.0E-42.00226334.994348E-50.06.2928005E-44.993251E-44.0E-40.801081246.9922523E-42.0E-4
7.29.105806E-77.378075E-70.00.07.378075E-70.03.9024826E-63.1620284E-60.00.03.1620284E-60.04.7511687E-53.8497034E-50.00.03.8497034E-50.04.7501532E-43.8490517E-42.0E-40.51960854.848667E-41.0E-4
7.37.020432E-75.711422E-70.00.05.711422E-70.03.0087533E-62.4477501E-60.00.02.4477501E-60.03.6630954E-52.9800964E-50.00.02.9800964E-50.03.6624918E-42.9797098E-41.0E-40.335603152.9797098E-40.0
7.45.3900635E-74.4492944E-70.00.04.4492944E-70.02.3100251E-61.9068392E-60.00.01.9068392E-60.02.8124194E-52.3215533E-50.00.02.3215533E-50.02.8120633E-42.3213228E-41.0E-40.430788842.3213228E-40.0
7.52.907075E-72.2881967E-70.00.02.2881967E-70.01.2458887E-69.806554E-70.00.09.806554E-70.01.5168589E-51.1939415E-50.00.01.1939415E-50.01.5167553E-41.19387914E-41.0E-40.83760571.19387914E-40.0
7.61.6903675E-71.2358224E-70.00.01.2358224E-70.07.2444305E-75.2963804E-70.00.05.2963804E-70.08.820059E-66.4483256E-60.00.06.4483256E-60.08.8197085E-56.448151E-50.00.06.448151E-50.0
7.77.168073E-83.916773E-80.00.03.916773E-80.03.072031E-71.6786169E-70.00.01.6786169E-70.03.7401915E-62.0437142E-60.00.02.0437142E-60.03.7401285E-52.0436966E-50.00.02.0436966E-50.0
7.86.564101E-83.3866918E-80.00.03.3866918E-80.02.813186E-71.4514393E-70.00.01.4514393E-70.03.4250486E-61.7671259E-60.00.01.7671259E-60.03.424996E-51.767113E-50.00.01.767113E-50.0
7.91.0029074E-83.7343004E-90.00.03.7343004E-90.04.2981743E-81.6004146E-80.00.01.6004146E-80.05.2330256E-71.9485046E-70.00.01.9485046E-70.05.2330133E-61.948504E-60.00.01.948504E-60.0

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6764442E-51.0E-42.72001963.6764442E-50.01.3829143E-41.5755571E-43.0E-41.90408841.5755571E-40.00.00168239790.00191713860.00120.62593290.00211675512.0E-40.0166971780.0190634910.01470.771107440.020338710.0013
6.13.2269712E-53.6764442E-51.0E-42.72001963.6764442E-50.01.3829143E-41.5755571E-43.0E-41.90408841.5755571E-40.00.00168239790.00191713860.00120.62593290.00211675512.0E-40.0166971780.0190634910.01470.771107440.020338710.0013
6.23.2269712E-53.6764442E-51.0E-42.72001963.6764442E-50.01.3829143E-41.5755571E-43.0E-41.90408841.5755571E-40.00.00168239790.00191713860.00120.62593290.00211675512.0E-40.0166971780.0190634910.01470.771107440.020338710.0013
6.33.2269712E-53.6764442E-51.0E-42.72001963.6764442E-50.01.3829143E-41.5755571E-43.0E-41.90408841.5755571E-40.00.00168239790.00191713860.00120.62593290.00211675512.0E-40.0166971780.0190634910.01470.771107440.020338710.0013
6.41.4404779E-51.485284E-50.00.01.485284E-50.06.1733306E-56.3653504E-51.0E-41.57100556.3653504E-50.07.513438E-47.747109E-45.0E-40.6454027.747109E-40.00.00748808540.0077206530.00610.790088650.0082167935.0E-4
6.51.4404779E-51.485284E-50.00.01.485284E-50.06.1733306E-56.3653504E-51.0E-41.57100556.3653504E-50.07.513438E-47.747109E-45.0E-40.6454027.747109E-40.00.00748808540.0077206530.00610.790088650.0082167935.0E-4
6.61.280208E-51.3014849E-50.00.01.3014849E-50.05.4864904E-55.577674E-51.0E-41.79286195.577674E-50.06.6777546E-46.78872E-45.0E-40.73651596.78872E-40.00.0066577240.00676819260.00560.82739960.00726480835.0E-4
6.71.2457027E-51.2631282E-50.00.01.2631282E-50.05.3386164E-55.413295E-51.0E-41.84730375.413295E-50.06.497827E-46.58871E-44.0E-40.60709916.58871E-40.00.006478860.00656937340.00550.837218340.00706608875.0E-4
6.81.2095134E-51.2233647E-50.00.01.2233647E-50.05.1835254E-55.2428873E-51.0E-41.9073465.2428873E-50.06.309115E-46.381362E-44.0E-40.626825456.381362E-40.00.00629123250.0063632260.00540.848626140.00686004435.0E-4
6.91.1104036E-51.1159893E-50.00.01.1159893E-50.04.758786E-54.7827245E-51.0E-42.09085854.7827245E-50.05.7922816E-45.821424E-44.0E-40.687117165.821424E-40.00.0057772070.005806320.00510.878353240.0063034175.0E-4
7.01.0577444E-51.0584115E-50.00.01.0584115E-50.04.5331115E-54.5359713E-51.0E-42.20459944.5359713E-50.05.5176654E-45.521158E-44.0E-40.724485755.521158E-40.00.00550398560.0055075790.00480.871526240.00600482575.0E-4
7.11.0021775E-59.983321E-60.00.09.983321E-60.04.294976E-54.2784966E-51.0E-42.33726954.2784966E-50.05.2278786E-45.2078365E-44.0E-40.768073265.2078365E-40.00.00521559640.0051957650.00460.885336460.0056931675.0E-4
7.28.874109E-68.750914E-60.00.08.750914E-60.03.8031343E-53.7503385E-51.0E-42.6664263.7503385E-50.04.629332E-44.5650912E-43.0E-40.6571614.5650912E-40.00.00461970.00455583170.00380.83409580.00505355375.0E-4
7.37.5504267E-67.506955E-60.00.07.506955E-60.03.235857E-53.2172276E-51.0E-43.10826643.2172276E-50.03.9389438E-43.9162807E-42.0E-40.51068863.9162807E-40.00.00393196940.00390948630.00310.792943060.00430792244.0E-4
7.46.309394E-66.1847522E-60.00.06.1847522E-60.02.703998E-52.6505817E-51.0E-43.77275682.6505817E-50.03.2916202E-43.2266148E-42.0E-40.61984473.2266148E-40.00.0032867490.00322202760.00290.90005440.00362073864.0E-4
7.54.6103073E-64.4418725E-60.00.04.4418725E-60.01.975831E-51.903646E-50.00.01.903646E-50.02.4053088E-42.3174497E-41.0E-40.431508842.3174497E-40.00.0024027070.00231510240.00220.95028190.00271417644.0E-4
7.61.2858658E-61.3009694E-60.00.01.3009694E-60.05.5108417E-65.575572E-60.00.05.575572E-60.06.7092435E-56.7880545E-50.00.06.7880545E-50.06.707218E-46.78605E-47.0E-41.0315288.7846926E-42.0E-4
7.75.3302307E-75.6127533E-70.00.05.6127533E-70.02.2843826E-62.4054636E-60.00.02.4054636E-60.02.7812002E-52.9286162E-50.00.02.9286162E-50.02.7808524E-42.928266E-43.0E-41.0244973.9279732E-41.0E-4
7.84.613933E-84.8034153E-80.00.04.8034153E-80.01.9773998E-72.0586064E-70.00.02.0586064E-70.02.4074816E-62.5063505E-60.00.02.5063505E-60.02.4074554E-52.5063231E-50.00.02.5063231E-50.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7287267E-50.00.04.7287267E-50.01.6594635E-42.0264558E-40.00.02.0264558E-40.00.00201852460.00246468168.0E-40.324585530.00246468160.00.020002880.0243992710.0130.53280280.0256675520.0013
6.13.872328E-54.7287267E-50.00.04.7287267E-50.01.6594635E-42.0264558E-40.00.02.0264558E-40.00.00201852460.00246468168.0E-40.324585530.00246468160.00.020002880.0243992710.0130.53280280.0256675520.0013
6.23.872328E-54.7287267E-50.00.04.7287267E-50.01.6594635E-42.0264558E-40.00.02.0264558E-40.00.00201852460.00246468168.0E-40.324585530.00246468160.00.020002880.0243992710.0130.53280280.0256675520.0013
6.32.8356371E-53.362278E-50.00.03.362278E-50.01.2152165E-41.4409002E-40.00.01.4409002E-40.00.00147852190.00175295424.0E-40.228186220.00175295420.00.0146872350.0173984560.0090.51728730.0180862777.0E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.362278E-50.00.03.362278E-50.01.2152165E-41.4409002E-40.00.01.4409002E-40.00.00147852190.00175295424.0E-40.228186220.00175295420.00.0146872350.0173984560.0090.51728730.0180862777.0E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8617755E-50.00.02.8617755E-50.01.0477588E-41.2264196E-40.00.01.2264196E-40.00.00127489980.00149219014.0E-40.268062350.00149219010.00.0126761050.0148266030.0080.53957070.0155162247.0E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4668188E-50.00.02.4668188E-50.09.127464E-51.0571672E-40.00.01.0571672E-40.00.00111070220.00128637384.0E-40.310951620.00128637380.00.0110516720.0127927070.00730.57063760.01348375257.0E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.178777E-50.00.02.178777E-50.08.125345E-59.337296E-50.00.09.337296E-50.09.888117E-40.00113624853.0E-40.264026760.00113624850.00.0098442340.0113070510.00650.57486250.0119991377.0E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9023853E-50.00.01.9023853E-50.07.153359E-58.152835E-50.00.08.152835E-50.08.7057345E-49.921725E-42.0E-40.201577849.921725E-40.00.0086717080.0098791880.0060.60733740.0105722727.0E-4
6.91.450505E-51.6393946E-50.00.01.6393946E-50.06.216302E-57.025793E-50.00.07.025793E-50.07.5657194E-48.550634E-42.0E-40.233900798.550634E-40.00.0075400130.0085186660.00550.645640970.0091135556.0E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4541677E-50.00.01.4541677E-50.05.545963E-56.232002E-50.00.06.232002E-50.06.750118E-47.584879E-42.0E-40.26368257.584879E-40.00.0067296510.0075596090.00480.634953440.0080558295.0E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4081761E-50.00.01.4081761E-50.05.3761712E-56.034904E-50.00.06.034904E-50.06.5435225E-47.3450746E-42.0E-40.27229137.3450746E-40.00.0065242880.00732139170.00470.64195440.0078177315.0E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.40192105E-50.00.01.40192105E-50.05.3524967E-56.008098E-50.00.06.008098E-50.06.514716E-47.31246E-42.0E-40.273505757.31246E-40.00.0064956510.0072889920.00470.644807930.00778534735.0E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3883315E-50.00.01.3883315E-50.05.3005948E-55.9498594E-50.00.05.9498594E-50.06.451563E-47.241602E-42.0E-40.276181977.241602E-40.00.00643286530.0072185960.00470.65109610.0077149875.0E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.3651311E-50.00.01.3651311E-50.05.212056E-55.8504338E-50.00.05.8504338E-50.06.3438306E-47.120631E-42.0E-40.280873987.120631E-40.00.0063257510.00709840470.00450.63394530.00759485555.0E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3148846E-50.00.01.3148846E-50.05.0175953E-55.635101E-50.00.05.635101E-50.06.10721E-46.8586314E-42.0E-40.291603366.8586314E-40.00.00609045340.00683804740.00430.62883450.00733462865.0E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1582539E-50.00.01.1582539E-50.04.4225842E-54.9638536E-50.00.04.9638536E-50.05.383166E-46.0418673E-42.0E-40.331023486.0418673E-40.00.00537014430.00602597320.0040.66379320.006522965.0E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0025289E-50.00.01.0025289E-50.03.830414E-54.2964846E-50.00.04.2964846E-50.04.6625308E-45.2297645E-42.0E-40.382426385.2297645E-40.00.00465276050.0052179670.00310.59410110.0057153585.0E-4
7.83.108007E-73.2850403E-70.00.03.2850403E-70.01.3320023E-61.4078737E-60.00.01.4078737E-60.01.6217007E-51.7140732E-50.00.01.7140732E-50.01.6215823E-41.7139447E-41.0E-40.58344941.7139447E-40.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6699092E-90.00.02.6699092E-90.01.0967647E-81.1442468E-80.00.01.1442468E-80.01.335311E-71.3931205E-70.00.01.3931205E-70.01.3353102E-61.3931206E-61.0E-471.7812961.3931206E-60.0

Little Salmon (Offshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3052053E-52.1625294E-50.00.02.1625294E-50.09.879077E-59.267718E-50.00.09.267718E-50.00.00120211390.00112787587.0E-40.620635750.00112787580.00.0119563190.0112554290.00820.72853730.0125407970.0013
6.12.3052053E-52.1625294E-50.00.02.1625294E-50.09.879077E-59.267718E-50.00.09.267718E-50.00.00120211390.00112787587.0E-40.620635750.00112787580.00.0119563190.0112554290.00820.72853730.0125407970.0013
6.22.3052053E-52.1625294E-50.00.02.1625294E-50.09.879077E-59.267718E-50.00.09.267718E-50.00.00120211390.00112787587.0E-40.620635750.00112787580.00.0119563190.0112554290.00820.72853730.0125407970.0013
6.32.3052053E-52.1625294E-50.00.02.1625294E-50.09.879077E-59.267718E-50.00.09.267718E-50.00.00120211390.00112787587.0E-40.620635750.00112787580.00.0119563190.0112554290.00820.72853730.0125407970.0013
6.42.3052053E-52.1625294E-50.00.02.1625294E-50.09.879077E-59.267718E-50.00.09.267718E-50.00.00120211390.00112787587.0E-40.620635750.00112787580.00.0119563190.0112554290.00820.72853730.0125407970.0013
6.52.3052053E-52.1625294E-50.00.02.1625294E-50.09.879077E-59.267718E-50.00.09.267718E-50.00.00120211390.00112787587.0E-40.620635750.00112787580.00.0119563190.0112554290.00820.72853730.0125407970.0013
6.62.3052053E-52.1625294E-50.00.02.1625294E-50.09.879077E-59.267718E-50.00.09.267718E-50.00.00120211390.00112787587.0E-40.620635750.00112787580.00.0119563190.0112554290.00820.72853730.0125407970.0013
6.72.3052053E-52.1625294E-50.00.02.1625294E-50.09.879077E-59.267718E-50.00.09.267718E-50.00.00120211390.00112787587.0E-40.620635750.00112787580.00.0119563190.0112554290.00820.72853730.0125407970.0013
6.81.683878E-51.4402086E-50.00.01.4402086E-50.07.21642E-56.172206E-50.00.06.172206E-50.08.78245E-47.51258E-45.0E-40.665550357.51258E-40.00.0087478220.00751485020.00560.745191160.008209597.0E-4
6.91.683878E-51.4402086E-50.00.01.4402086E-50.07.21642E-56.172206E-50.00.06.172206E-50.08.78245E-47.51258E-45.0E-40.665550357.51258E-40.00.0087478220.00751485020.00560.745191160.008209597.0E-4
7.01.5051273E-51.2349455E-50.00.01.2349455E-50.06.450386E-55.292542E-50.00.05.292542E-50.07.8505155E-46.4422254E-45.0E-40.77612936.4422254E-40.00.007822840.00645074250.00470.72859830.0068481624.0E-4
7.11.5051273E-51.2349455E-50.00.01.2349455E-50.06.450386E-55.292542E-50.00.05.292542E-50.07.8505155E-46.4422254E-45.0E-40.77612936.4422254E-40.00.007822840.00645074250.00470.72859830.0068481624.0E-4
7.21.24301405E-59.919218E-60.00.09.919218E-60.05.3270942E-54.251047E-50.00.04.251047E-50.06.483807E-45.1748217E-44.0E-40.77297355.1748217E-40.00.0064649220.00518886740.00370.7130650.00548731073.0E-4
7.39.3599865E-67.70572E-60.00.07.70572E-60.04.011361E-53.30243E-50.00.03.30243E-50.04.8827377E-44.020324E-44.0E-40.99494474.020324E-40.00.0048720230.00402957570.00270.670045730.0043283673.0E-4
7.45.941556E-64.9581654E-60.00.04.9581654E-60.02.5463563E-52.124928E-50.00.02.124928E-50.03.0997477E-42.5870997E-44.0E-41.54613292.5870997E-40.00.00309542750.00259580950.00180.69342530.00269554971.0E-4

Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.8044945E-58.848742E-50.00.08.848742E-50.02.9158857E-43.7917588E-40.00.03.7917588E-40.00.00354431270.00460738130.00260.564311860.00470692061.0E-40.034883140.0451893250.03020.668299440.0461441350.001
6.16.8044945E-58.848742E-50.00.08.848742E-50.02.9158857E-43.7917588E-40.00.03.7917588E-40.00.00354431270.00460738130.00260.564311860.00470692061.0E-40.034883140.0451893250.03020.668299440.0461441350.001
6.26.8044945E-58.848742E-50.00.08.848742E-50.02.9158857E-43.7917588E-40.00.03.7917588E-40.00.00354431270.00460738130.00260.564311860.00470692061.0E-40.034883140.0451893250.03020.668299440.0461441350.001
6.36.8044945E-58.848742E-50.00.08.848742E-50.02.9158857E-43.7917588E-40.00.03.7917588E-40.00.00354431270.00460738130.00260.564311860.00470692061.0E-40.034883140.0451893250.03020.668299440.0461441350.001
6.44.5830013E-55.718445E-50.00.05.718445E-50.01.9639956E-42.4505623E-40.00.02.4505623E-40.00.00238854230.00297984360.00190.637617350.00307954571.0E-40.0236303210.0294364990.02080.70660580.030212958.0E-4
6.54.5830013E-55.718445E-50.00.05.718445E-50.01.9639956E-42.4505623E-40.00.02.4505623E-40.00.00238854230.00297984360.00190.637617350.00307954571.0E-40.0236303210.0294364990.02080.70660580.030212958.0E-4
6.63.222194E-53.8278125E-50.00.03.8278125E-50.01.3808672E-41.6403943E-40.00.01.6403943E-40.00.00167990920.00199543780.00140.701600430.00209523831.0E-40.0166726650.019784530.01450.732895850.0202746375.0E-4
6.72.4155654E-52.7795184E-50.00.02.7795184E-50.01.0352012E-41.1911683E-40.00.01.1911683E-40.00.00125962870.00144929089.0E-40.62099340.00154914591.0E-40.0125251260.0143996170.00970.673629050.0146952973.0E-4
6.82.1814667E-52.494854E-50.00.02.494854E-50.09.348808E-51.06917956E-40.00.01.06917956E-40.00.0011376230.00130095259.0E-40.69180080.00140082241.0E-40.0113181690.0129340640.00860.66491090.0132301833.0E-4
6.92.0700467E-52.3636123E-50.00.02.3636123E-50.08.871327E-51.0129375E-40.00.01.0129375E-40.00.00107954880.00123255699.0E-40.73018940.00133243371.0E-40.0107431940.0122578130.00840.68527720.0125541353.0E-4
7.02.0104066E-52.2943455E-50.00.02.2943455E-50.08.615744E-59.832541E-50.00.09.832541E-50.00.00104846190.00119645749.0E-40.752220630.00129633781.0E-40.0104352910.0119007310.00830.69743610.0121971613.0E-4
7.11.8225232E-52.0779322E-50.00.02.0779322E-50.07.81058E-58.905121E-50.00.08.905121E-50.09.5052324E-40.00108366087.0E-40.64595860.00118355231.0E-40.0094646770.0107841370.00750.69546590.0110809023.0E-4
7.21.7526572E-51.9999572E-50.00.01.9999572E-50.07.511172E-58.5709646E-50.00.08.5709646E-50.09.141015E-40.00104301697.0E-40.671130060.00114291251.0E-40.0091035060.0103815650.00720.693537060.0105794892.0E-4
7.31.5727232E-51.802719E-50.00.01.802719E-50.06.740067E-57.725711E-50.00.07.725711E-50.08.2029426E-49.4020064E-47.0E-40.74452190.00104010661.0E-40.0081727290.0093625220.00680.726300060.0095606492.0E-4
7.41.4457361E-51.660368E-50.00.01.660368E-50.06.195865E-57.115669E-50.00.07.115669E-50.07.540854E-48.659893E-47.0E-40.80832419.659027E-41.0E-40.0075153170.008626380.00630.73031790.0088246552.0E-4
7.51.33280955E-51.5350464E-50.00.01.5350464E-50.05.711916E-56.578605E-50.00.06.578605E-50.06.9520384E-48.006517E-47.0E-40.87428789.0057164E-41.0E-40.006930330.0079778840.00570.714475150.0081762892.0E-4
7.61.0699478E-51.2392059E-50.00.01.2392059E-50.04.5854096E-55.3107746E-50.00.05.3107746E-50.05.581306E-46.4639555E-45.0E-40.77352027.463309E-41.0E-40.0055673090.00644530780.00470.729212640.0066440192.0E-4
7.75.9390236E-66.8553813E-60.00.06.8553813E-60.02.545271E-52.9379877E-50.00.02.9379877E-50.03.0984267E-43.5764152E-42.0E-40.55921924.5760575E-41.0E-40.00309411020.0035706970.00240.67213770.00376998282.0E-4
7.82.1622036E-62.3305765E-60.00.02.3305765E-60.09.266554E-69.988147E-60.00.09.988147E-60.01.1281446E-41.2159898E-41.0E-40.82237532.2158683E-41.0E-40.0011275720.00121532476.0E-40.493695230.00131520311.0E-4
7.94.9586197E-75.2194855E-70.00.05.2194855E-70.02.125121E-62.2369206E-60.00.02.2369206E-60.02.5873042E-52.723419E-50.00.02.723419E-50.02.5870028E-42.723106E-40.00.02.723106E-40.0

Pitas Point (Lower West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.151497E-67.856939E-60.00.07.856939E-60.03.493452E-53.3672164E-50.00.03.3672164E-50.04.252448E-44.0988222E-47.0E-41.70780778.097183E-44.0E-40.00424431960.00409134340.00531.29541810.00538602420.0013
6.18.151497E-67.856939E-60.00.07.856939E-60.03.493452E-53.3672164E-50.00.03.3672164E-50.04.252448E-44.0988222E-47.0E-41.70780778.097183E-44.0E-40.00424431960.00409134340.00531.29541810.00538602420.0013
6.28.151497E-67.856939E-60.00.07.856939E-60.03.493452E-53.3672164E-50.00.03.3672164E-50.04.252448E-44.0988222E-47.0E-41.70780778.097183E-44.0E-40.00424431960.00409134340.00531.29541810.00538602420.0013
6.38.151497E-67.856939E-60.00.07.856939E-60.03.493452E-53.3672164E-50.00.03.3672164E-50.04.252448E-44.0988222E-47.0E-41.70780778.097183E-44.0E-40.00424431960.00409134340.00531.29541810.00538602420.0013
6.48.151497E-67.856939E-60.00.07.856939E-60.03.493452E-53.3672164E-50.00.03.3672164E-50.04.252448E-44.0988222E-47.0E-41.70780778.097183E-44.0E-40.00424431960.00409134340.00531.29541810.00538602420.0013
6.58.151497E-67.856939E-60.00.07.856939E-60.03.493452E-53.3672164E-50.00.03.3672164E-50.04.252448E-44.0988222E-47.0E-41.70780778.097183E-44.0E-40.00424431960.00409134340.00531.29541810.00538602420.0013
6.68.151497E-67.856939E-60.00.07.856939E-60.03.493452E-53.3672164E-50.00.03.3672164E-50.04.252448E-44.0988222E-47.0E-41.70780778.097183E-44.0E-40.00424431960.00409134340.00531.29541810.00538602420.0013
6.78.151497E-67.856939E-60.00.07.856939E-60.03.493452E-53.3672164E-50.00.03.3672164E-50.04.252448E-44.0988222E-47.0E-41.70780778.097183E-44.0E-40.00424431960.00409134340.00531.29541810.00538602420.0013
6.88.151497E-67.856939E-60.00.07.856939E-60.03.493452E-53.3672164E-50.00.03.3672164E-50.04.252448E-44.0988222E-47.0E-41.70780778.097183E-44.0E-40.00424431960.00409134340.00531.29541810.00538602420.0013
6.98.151497E-67.856939E-60.00.07.856939E-60.03.493452E-53.3672164E-50.00.03.3672164E-50.04.252448E-44.0988222E-47.0E-41.70780778.097183E-44.0E-40.00424431960.00409134340.00531.29541810.00538602420.0013
7.08.103535E-67.806363E-60.00.07.806363E-60.03.4728975E-53.3455417E-50.00.03.3455417E-50.04.2274324E-44.072443E-47.0E-41.71886998.070814E-44.0E-40.00421939930.00406506050.00531.30379370.0053597760.0013
7.17.853298E-67.5420235E-60.00.07.5420235E-60.03.3656554E-53.232256E-50.00.03.232256E-50.04.096915E-43.9345684E-45.0E-41.27078755.9337815E-42.0E-40.004089370.00392767830.00491.24755630.0050233580.0011
7.27.771102E-67.454293E-60.00.07.454293E-60.03.33043E-53.1946583E-50.00.03.1946583E-50.04.0540437E-43.8888093E-45.0E-41.28574065.8880314E-42.0E-40.00404665570.003882080.00481.23645060.00497780970.0011
7.37.3945344E-67.0503374E-60.00.07.0503374E-60.03.1690477E-53.0215386E-50.00.03.0215386E-50.03.8576324E-43.6781086E-44.0E-41.08751554.6777408E-41.0E-40.00385094270.00367208850.00451.22546060.00466841650.001
7.46.964645E-66.591122E-60.00.06.591122E-60.02.9848137E-52.8247363E-50.00.02.8247363E-50.03.6334046E-43.4385786E-44.0E-41.16327134.438235E-41.0E-40.00362746980.00343331140.00411.19418240.00433022169.0E-4
7.56.6525035E-66.260114E-60.00.06.260114E-60.02.851042E-52.6828786E-50.00.02.6828786E-50.03.4705905E-43.26592E-44.0E-41.22476974.2655933E-41.0E-40.00346517540.0032611720.00371.13456150.00395888937.0E-4
7.65.613338E-65.152175E-60.00.05.152175E-60.02.405694E-52.2080565E-50.00.02.2080565E-50.02.928539E-42.6879803E-43.0E-41.11607963.6877114E-41.0E-40.00292468260.00268476060.0031.1174180.00328314986.0E-4
7.74.494704E-63.99754E-60.00.03.99754E-60.01.9262876E-51.7132203E-50.00.01.7132203E-50.02.3450027E-42.0856484E-42.0E-40.958934373.08544E-41.0E-40.00234252960.0020837150.00221.05580650.002383093.0E-4
7.82.6075882E-62.1840178E-60.00.02.1840178E-60.01.117533E-59.360043E-60.00.09.360043E-60.01.3605114E-41.13952614E-42.0E-41.75511552.1394121E-41.0E-40.00135967880.00113894650.00121.05360520.00133871872.0E-4
7.94.045984E-73.2428613E-70.00.03.2428613E-70.01.733992E-61.389797E-60.00.01.389797E-60.02.1111147E-51.692065E-50.00.01.692065E-50.02.1109142E-41.6919393E-40.00.01.6919393E-40.0
8.07.791402E-95.6844662E-90.00.05.6844662E-90.03.3391725E-82.4361997E-80.00.02.4361997E-80.04.0654416E-72.966073E-70.00.02.966073E-70.04.065434E-62.966071E-60.00.02.966071E-60.0

Bennett Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3893934E-52.82504E-50.00.02.82504E-50.01.0239855E-41.21068566E-42.0E-41.65195642.2105646E-41.0E-40.00124598930.00147319820.00130.88243390.00167290352.0E-40.0123902620.0146570710.01420.96881570.0159380180.0013
6.12.3893934E-52.82504E-50.00.02.82504E-50.01.0239855E-41.21068566E-42.0E-41.65195642.2105646E-41.0E-40.00124598930.00147319820.00130.88243390.00167290352.0E-40.0123902620.0146570710.01310.89376660.0158394820.0012
6.21.6657146E-51.9862542E-50.00.01.9862542E-50.07.138582E-58.51232E-52.0E-42.34953571.851147E-41.0E-48.6877577E-40.00103602380.00111.06175170.00123581662.0E-40.0086538720.01033030450.00870.842182340.0112210079.0E-4
6.31.6657146E-51.9862542E-50.00.01.9862542E-50.07.138582E-58.51232E-52.0E-42.34953571.851147E-41.0E-48.6877577E-40.00103602380.00111.06175170.00123581662.0E-40.0086538720.01033030450.00870.842182340.0112210079.0E-4
6.41.29418495E-51.5574904E-50.00.01.5574904E-50.05.546389E-56.674862E-51.0E-41.49815831.6674194E-41.0E-46.7506364E-48.1249175E-47.0E-40.861547230.00101232922.0E-40.00673016630.0081124510.00690.85054440.0089059618.0E-4
6.51.2582504E-51.5141786E-50.00.01.5141786E-50.05.39239E-56.489249E-51.0E-41.54101041.64886E-41.0E-46.563257E-47.899099E-47.0E-40.886176949.89752E-42.0E-40.0065439070.0078882850.00660.83668370.0086819748.0E-4
6.61.0846706E-51.3043321E-50.00.01.3043321E-50.04.6485053E-55.5899476E-51.0E-41.78892551.5589388E-41.0E-45.6580856E-46.80492E-46.0E-40.8817158.803559E-42.0E-40.0056437010.00680124250.00560.8233790.00749648137.0E-4
6.71.6803231E-62.3809998E-60.00.02.3809998E-60.07.2013645E-61.0204246E-50.00.01.0204246E-50.08.7673085E-51.2422974E-41.0E-40.80496021.2422974E-40.08.76385E-40.00124605688.0E-40.64202530.00134593211.0E-4
6.81.4609833E-62.0969755E-60.00.02.0969755E-60.06.261342E-68.987007E-60.00.08.987007E-60.07.6229175E-51.0941139E-41.0E-40.91398161.0941139E-40.07.620303E-40.00109794547.0E-40.63755450.00109794540.0
6.91.3492396E-61.9488762E-60.00.01.9488762E-60.05.7824427E-68.3523E-60.00.08.3523E-60.07.0398964E-51.0168456E-41.0E-40.98343341.0168456E-40.07.037667E-40.00102072386.0E-40.587818150.00102072380.0
7.01.2347921E-61.7918215E-60.00.01.7918215E-60.05.291955E-67.679213E-60.00.07.679213E-60.06.442765E-59.349047E-51.0E-41.06962789.349047E-50.06.440897E-49.388541E-46.0E-40.63907699.388541E-40.0
7.11.1262973E-61.6385454E-60.00.01.6385454E-60.04.8269794E-67.022319E-60.00.07.022319E-60.05.876689E-58.549343E-50.00.08.549343E-50.05.875135E-48.589269E-43.0E-40.349273038.589269E-40.0
7.29.351744E-71.3637094E-60.00.01.3637094E-60.04.007884E-65.8444557E-60.00.05.8444557E-60.04.8794896E-57.115395E-50.00.07.115395E-50.04.878418E-47.15594E-43.0E-40.419232137.15594E-40.0
7.38.5039534E-71.2409719E-60.00.01.2409719E-60.03.6445463E-65.3184403E-60.00.05.3184403E-60.04.437145E-56.475011E-50.00.06.475011E-50.04.436259E-46.5129925E-43.0E-40.460617756.5129925E-40.0
7.46.7875015E-79.617481E-70.00.09.617481E-70.02.908926E-64.1217713E-60.00.04.1217713E-60.03.54156E-55.018142E-50.00.05.018142E-50.03.5409955E-45.049803E-43.0E-40.594082655.049803E-40.0
7.55.826867E-78.202125E-70.00.08.202125E-70.02.4972264E-63.5151916E-60.00.03.5151916E-60.03.0403306E-54.2796626E-50.00.04.2796626E-50.03.0399146E-44.3074173E-43.0E-40.696473064.3074173E-40.0
7.62.7734902E-73.6881934E-70.00.03.6881934E-70.01.1886381E-61.5806534E-60.00.01.5806534E-60.01.4471572E-51.9244286E-50.00.01.9244286E-50.01.447063E-41.9343701E-42.0E-41.03392841.9343701E-40.0
7.71.0530888E-71.3783058E-70.00.01.3783058E-70.04.513237E-75.9070237E-70.00.05.9070237E-70.05.4948523E-67.1917775E-60.00.07.1917775E-60.05.4947162E-57.272852E-50.00.07.272852E-50.0
7.81.2714258E-81.9748647E-80.00.01.9748647E-80.05.448968E-88.463706E-80.00.08.463706E-80.06.6341164E-71.0304557E-60.00.01.0304557E-60.06.6340967E-61.0715134E-50.00.01.0715134E-50.0
7.94.075888E-97.623919E-90.00.07.623919E-90.01.7468091E-83.267394E-80.00.03.267394E-80.02.12674E-73.9780517E-70.00.03.9780517E-70.02.1267379E-64.2262855E-60.00.04.2262855E-60.0
8.01.9126138E-94.02801E-90.00.04.02801E-90.08.196917E-91.7262902E-80.00.01.7262902E-80.09.9797454E-82.1017581E-70.00.02.1017581E-70.09.979741E-72.2136107E-60.00.02.2136107E-60.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6797181E-50.00.01.6797181E-50.06.6286244E-57.1986244E-51.0E-41.38915437.1986244E-50.08.067362E-48.7613496E-47.0E-40.798963670.00107595982.0E-40.0080381370.0087322380.00971.11082640.0099217590.0012
6.11.5467183E-51.6797181E-50.00.01.6797181E-50.06.6286244E-57.1986244E-51.0E-41.38915437.1986244E-50.08.067362E-48.7613496E-47.0E-40.798963670.00107595982.0E-40.0080381370.0087322380.00971.11082640.0099217590.0012
6.21.2624631E-51.3683913E-50.00.01.3683913E-50.05.410444E-55.8644295E-51.0E-41.70519575.8644295E-50.06.585225E-47.138091E-46.0E-40.840560859.136663E-42.0E-40.00656574450.00711996060.00791.10955670.0080135539.0E-4
6.31.2624631E-51.3683913E-50.00.01.3683913E-50.05.410444E-55.8644295E-51.0E-41.70519575.8644295E-50.06.585225E-47.138091E-46.0E-40.840560859.136663E-42.0E-40.00656574450.00711996060.00791.10955670.0080135539.0E-4
6.49.417684E-61.0171799E-50.00.01.0171799E-50.04.036088E-54.359293E-51.0E-42.293954.359293E-50.04.912829E-45.306557E-44.0E-40.753784366.306027E-41.0E-40.0049019820.00529792350.00621.17026980.0060936858.0E-4
6.59.368219E-61.0119219E-50.00.01.0119219E-50.04.014889E-54.3367592E-51.0E-42.30586934.3367592E-50.04.8870314E-45.279136E-44.0E-40.75769976.2786083E-41.0E-40.0048762980.00527063240.00621.17632950.0060664168.0E-4
6.67.803798E-68.443258E-60.00.08.443258E-60.03.3444423E-53.6185113E-51.0E-42.76356743.6185113E-50.04.0710976E-44.4050463E-44.0E-40.908049465.404606E-41.0E-40.00406364720.00440023330.00521.18175550.0051967138.0E-4
6.72.3108669E-62.4441235E-60.00.02.4441235E-60.09.903678E-61.0474774E-51.0E-49.5467451.0474774E-50.01.205706E-41.275231E-42.0E-41.56834331.275231E-40.00.0012050520.00127451790.00161.25537670.00167400814.0E-4
6.82.0882828E-62.206539E-60.00.02.206539E-60.08.949753E-69.456563E-61.0E-410.5746679.456563E-60.01.08957785E-41.1512774E-42.0E-41.73720091.1512774E-40.00.00108904380.00115069780.00131.12974930.00145035263.0E-4
6.91.876935E-61.9812774E-60.00.01.9812774E-60.08.043982E-68.491162E-61.0E-411.7769518.491162E-60.09.7931086E-51.03375154E-42.0E-41.93470081.03375154E-40.09.788794E-40.00103328670.00131.25812140.00133297663.0E-4
7.01.5357559E-61.6204644E-60.00.01.6204644E-60.06.5817944E-66.9448297E-61.0E-414.3992016.9448297E-60.08.01304E-58.455015E-52.0E-42.36546028.455015E-50.08.010151E-48.4519223E-40.0011.18316280.00114493863.0E-4
7.11.0905424E-61.1498905E-60.00.01.1498905E-60.04.6737446E-64.928094E-60.00.04.928094E-60.05.6901354E-55.9997987E-50.00.05.9997987E-50.05.6886784E-45.998277E-45.0E-40.833572758.996477E-43.0E-4
7.26.06668E-76.3879725E-70.00.06.3879725E-70.02.600003E-62.7377E-60.00.02.7377E-60.03.1654577E-53.333106E-50.00.03.333106E-50.03.1650066E-43.3326744E-42.0E-40.600118645.332008E-42.0E-4

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.8946687E-60.00.03.8946687E-60.01.649873E-51.6691356E-50.00.01.6691356E-50.02.0085352E-42.0320267E-44.0E-41.96847816.031214E-44.0E-40.00200672080.00203059780.00321.57589070.0032281610.0012
6.13.849728E-63.8946687E-60.00.03.8946687E-60.01.649873E-51.6691356E-50.00.01.6691356E-50.02.0085352E-42.0320267E-44.0E-41.96847816.031214E-44.0E-40.00200672080.00203059780.00321.57589070.0032281610.0012
6.23.849728E-63.8946687E-60.00.03.8946687E-60.01.649873E-51.6691356E-50.00.01.6691356E-50.02.0085352E-42.0320267E-44.0E-41.96847816.031214E-44.0E-40.00200672080.00203059780.00321.57589070.0032281610.0012
6.33.849728E-63.8946687E-60.00.03.8946687E-60.01.649873E-51.6691356E-50.00.01.6691356E-50.02.0085352E-42.0320267E-44.0E-41.96847816.031214E-44.0E-40.00200672080.00203059780.00321.57589070.0032281610.0012
6.43.849728E-63.8946687E-60.00.03.8946687E-60.01.649873E-51.6691356E-50.00.01.6691356E-50.02.0085352E-42.0320267E-44.0E-41.96847816.031214E-44.0E-40.00200672080.00203059780.00321.57589070.0032281610.0012
6.51.1953545E-61.2031019E-60.00.01.2031019E-60.05.1229376E-65.1561415E-60.00.05.1561415E-60.06.236998E-56.277433E-51.0E-41.59300781.6276805E-41.0E-46.235248E-46.275777E-46.0E-40.95605699.273894E-43.0E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2031019E-60.00.01.2031019E-60.05.1229376E-65.1561415E-60.00.05.1561415E-60.06.236998E-56.277433E-51.0E-41.59300781.6276805E-41.0E-46.235248E-46.275777E-46.0E-40.95605699.273894E-43.0E-4
6.78.375951E-78.411081E-70.00.08.411081E-70.03.5896885E-63.6047443E-60.00.03.6047443E-60.04.370358E-54.3886936E-51.0E-42.27858261.4388254E-41.0E-44.3694986E-44.3878838E-44.0E-40.91160116.387006E-42.0E-4
6.86.38041E-76.392519E-70.00.06.392519E-70.0<