Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.072785141036.12280.072722.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.08894434295.469850.088670.00287260950.0036589060.120370332.8978960.117140.0283575910.0361366570.173564294.8029980.14258
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.072785141036.12280.072722.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.08894434295.469850.088670.00287260950.0036589060.120370332.8978960.117140.0283575910.0361366570.173564294.8029980.14258
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.04435937858.649350.044311.806837E-42.213891E-40.054369397245.5830.054160.00219760460.0026921120.0748174227.7913480.072320.0217599890.0267013180.113655824.2565620.08934
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.04435937858.649350.044311.806837E-42.213891E-40.054369397245.5830.054160.00219760460.0026921120.0748174227.7913480.072320.0217599890.0267013180.113655824.2565620.08934
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.034352597778.789250.034311.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.042271074223.620480.042090.00192139370.00229904130.05849953725.4451870.056330.0190486550.0228660980.091177533.98745440.06991
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.030828787770.36480.030791.453629E-41.7149639E-40.03793502221.20010.037770.00176835650.00208599070.05264031525.235160.050660.0175435080.0207587830.08243143.97091650.06298
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.030778259779.737730.030741.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.03786278223.831710.03770.00175023420.00205756720.05251353625.522150.050560.0173651330.0204800420.0820330754.0055130.06284
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.02966696778.88480.029631.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.036567286224.025040.036410.00169856170.00198551780.05064870425.5090660.048760.0168563720.0197708740.079153154.00352330.06058
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.029076427775.036250.029041.3793244E-41.60774E-40.03586503223.077330.035710.00167803370.00195568750.04970212725.4141460.047840.0166541920.0194778780.077789533.99373750.05947
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.028325683771.38080.028291.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.034911897221.85260.034760.00165032020.001914260.04844501625.307440.046620.016381180.0190715180.075916323.98061250.05795
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.027654642776.25080.027621.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.034127485223.532260.033980.00161124280.00185723820.04727273425.4532410.04550.0159961040.0185134930.073957673.99479820.05649
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.026363486766.55480.026331.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.0326126221.272160.032470.00156779590.00179297870.0452349525.2289370.043520.015567810.017880990.070866313.96322080.05395
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.022210587710.02510.022181.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.027540382205.438740.027410.00145771880.00163093450.03807140523.3433070.03650.0144819370.0162843520.0609942263.7455730.04545
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.015796293591.29810.015771.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.01965225171.656040.019540.00127857830.0013929930.0273967219.667520.026040.0127124690.013928610.0459364883.2979950.03246
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.014074845558.544070.014059.95342E-51.0799204E-40.0176361163.309250.017530.00121115510.00131402440.02465331618.7616860.023370.0120457530.0131461960.0419820623.19347620.02922
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.010972237488.01490.010958.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.01383503143.585480.013740.00109399650.001172490.01922130416.3935760.018070.0108862640.01174065750.0342037942.91327740.02273
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.0061158934382.459230.00616.476642E-56.8530964E-50.0077080075112.474810.007647.882459E-48.34053E-40.01082571212.9796470.010.0078545580.0083838670.0207592362.4760930.01248
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.0018706587175.179530.001864.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.002355658751.4737170.002315.182138E-45.570383E-40.00354537276.3646840.002990.005170070.0056274190.0093364291.6590960.00373
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-60.0011584187137.44280.001152.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.001466069540.5876350.001433.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.00237883255.4103030.001940.00351914060.0044464160.0068158341.53288260.00238
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-66.453676E-4120.1566246.4E-41.7037546E-52.3018596E-58.529995E-437.0569738.3E-42.0741238E-42.8021546E-40.00138990444.96012740.001110.0020721890.00283356690.0042196281.48915780.00139
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-61.3207724E-463.57451.3E-47.169782E-68.903624E-61.789021E-420.093181.7E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-42.9837567E-42.7526381.9E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00135656881.23678162.6E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-72.031489E-564.512732.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-54.6430287E-52.82581143.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-41.962878E-41.18037473.0E-5

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.04033563695.86840.040282.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.053225238214.272930.052990.00251630880.00302073360.082310527.2485120.079530.024880060.0298636160.133018214.454190.10633
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.013850585663.55260.013837.626778E-58.945448E-50.018837778210.585070.018759.281647E-40.00108860240.02987722927.4454960.028820.0092429750.0108366420.0504427444.65483140.04004
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.013850585663.55260.013837.626778E-58.945448E-50.018837778210.585070.018759.281647E-40.00108860240.02987722927.4454960.028820.0092429750.0108366420.0504427444.65483140.04004
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.009945603631.080140.009935.792405E-56.7539746E-50.013376641198.055830.013317.049971E-48.2200987E-40.02128517425.8940620.020480.0070276470.0081921570.0367463044.4855470.02879
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.007282526577.148560.007274.658551E-55.4076605E-50.00998354184.618450.009935.67031E-46.582015E-40.01603807124.3665070.015390.0056558630.0065643820.0280027224.2658580.02158
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.0043991557478.367550.004393.4134522E-53.941168E-50.006119172155.262910.006084.1550855E-44.797421E-40.00995519420.7511370.009480.00414732470.0047882090.0181738083.79553340.01345
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.0032375879425.30570.003232.8421264E-53.262412E-50.004482479137.397690.004453.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.00736436718.5437220.006970.00345435790.00396525160.0137363523.4641820.00981
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-60.0017054216314.02430.00172.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.0023632206101.535030.002342.500958E-42.833398E-40.003952299713.94897650.003670.00249814520.00283031890.0080654592.84966470.00525
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-60.0015149618304.86270.001511.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.002101252698.664450.002082.286638E-42.5926388E-40.003518418613.5708020.003260.00228428650.00259012330.00724802772.7983330.00467
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-67.230714E-4235.253337.2E-41.1698237E-51.3172453E-59.931596E-475.3967069.8E-41.4241673E-41.6036403E-40.001720113910.7263070.001560.0014232550.00160248080.00385885922.40805340.00226
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-62.721264E-4127.940812.7E-48.137413E-69.115562E-63.99112E-443.783593.9E-49.90685E-51.1097702E-47.109104E-46.4059256.0E-49.902435E-40.00110928460.00198830851.79242418.8E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-61.7166387E-4103.153931.7E-46.398121E-67.132066E-62.5713028E-436.0527082.5E-47.789434E-58.6830034E-54.5679792E-45.26082853.7E-47.786704E-48.6801895E-40.00143752421.65609775.7E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-65.118282E-543.2697875.0E-54.581772E-65.0694644E-68.5069056E-516.780688.0E-55.5781646E-56.171951E-51.7171272E-42.78214651.1E-45.576765E-46.1707594E-48.369402E-41.35630012.2E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-75.0976967E-552.176235.0E-53.7613736E-64.187204E-68.418687E-520.105758.0E-54.579376E-55.0978535E-51.4097395E-42.7653599.0E-54.5784327E-45.097194E-46.6963787E-41.31373821.6E-4
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-75.0850995E-559.7517055.0E-53.2388E-63.6473052E-67.364705E-520.1921837.0E-53.9431678E-54.4405555E-51.24402E-42.80149658.0E-53.942468E-44.4401767E-45.6396436E-41.27013961.2E-4
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-74.0630548E-564.434314.0E-52.3947114E-62.7024564E-66.27023E-523.2019636.0E-52.915522E-53.2902408E-51.0290011E-43.12743387.0E-52.9151395E-43.2902407E-44.389879E-41.33421211.1E-4

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0355300981138.57670.03551.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.04358792325.93320.043460.00148206770.00162711250.0587040936.0786930.057170.0147222230.0161653980.084896085.2517160.06986
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0355300981138.57670.03551.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.04358792325.93320.043460.00148206770.00162711250.0587040936.0786930.057170.0147222230.0161653980.084896085.2517160.06986
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0355300981138.57670.03551.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.04358792325.93320.043460.00148206770.00162711250.0587040936.0786930.057170.0147222230.0161653980.084896085.2517160.06986
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0246556851533.18180.024646.379586E-56.8918554E-50.029956859434.670440.029897.7643775E-48.387886E-40.03955628747.1588250.038750.0077373050.0083590450.055263666.6112410.0473
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0246556851533.18180.024646.379586E-56.8918554E-50.029956859434.670440.029897.7643775E-48.387886E-40.03955628747.1588250.038750.0077373050.0083590450.055263666.6112410.0473
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.0228134521657.28480.02285.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.027697364469.494050.027646.675408E-47.1804173E-40.0364623650.7802730.035770.0066553920.0071597670.0505369577.05846360.04369
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.0200800821951.60070.020074.1407468E-54.40952E-50.02440302553.416750.024365.040193E-45.36743E-40.03201983559.65580.03150.0050287770.00535607150.043570298.13474750.03842
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.0175080562135.2120.01753.329045E-53.5141096E-50.02136439607.96030.021334.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.02801596665.492670.02760.0040449770.0042708430.037707438.8290360.03358
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.0137666432043.82070.013762.752908E-52.8867207E-50.016808383582.26560.016783.35115E-43.5141438E-40.02224371863.2976880.02190.0033461010.00350984720.0298969068.5180080.02648
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.0086530862780.3980.008651.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.010503198787.474060.010491.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.01364018984.002930.013480.00163100950.00162273720.01763670910.8684930.01604
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.00534221672397.0360.005349.816834E-69.551441E-60.0065194895682.56610.006511.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.00841531872.3689040.00830.00119449140.00116232990.0110907769.5418490.00994
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.00252117472140.80250.002525.5443866E-65.047183E-60.0031150314617.18220.003116.750081E-56.1448416E-50.00386121562.8366850.00386.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.0052615268.5639220.00465
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-71.1030914E-4356.78751.1E-42.0210737E-61.3250274E-61.4132484E-4106.658061.4E-42.4606294E-51.6132095E-51.9612919E-412.15770151.8E-42.460357E-41.6130977E-44.1126946E-42.54956322.5E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-78.023095E-5347.366188.0E-51.6898966E-69.898685E-71.0098977E-4102.023431.0E-42.0574296E-51.2051582E-51.3205013E-410.9570791.2E-42.0572392E-41.2050936E-42.9048888E-42.41050891.7E-4
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-77.019677E-5356.716677.0E-51.5201948E-68.433674E-79.084329E-5107.7149669.0E-51.8508214E-51.02679505E-51.2026682E-411.7128361.1E-41.8506673E-41.0267482E-42.626584E-42.55815771.6E-4
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-75.014422E-5347.675235.0E-51.129468E-66.1811636E-77.061807E-5114.2472157.0E-51.3751187E-57.525541E-67.7525016E-510.3015867.0E-51.3750336E-47.5252916E-51.9524389E-42.59450271.2E-4
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-82.0075722E-5265.1192.0E-55.4424834E-73.24529E-73.032452E-593.4416353.0E-56.6262032E-63.9511337E-63.3951015E-58.5927283.0E-56.626006E-53.9510673E-51.09507906E-42.77160337.0E-5

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0317726882424.81150.031765.3086325E-55.615534E-50.038424684.24490.038376.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0496100472.581810.048960.00644258880.00681683930.065265679.5741830.05885
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0317726882424.81150.031765.3086325E-55.615534E-50.038424684.24490.038376.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0496100472.581810.048960.00644258880.00681683930.065265679.5741830.05885
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0317726882424.81150.031765.3086325E-55.615534E-50.038424684.24490.038376.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0496100472.581810.048960.00644258880.00681683930.065265679.5741830.05885
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0317726882424.81150.031765.3086325E-55.615534E-50.038424684.24490.038376.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0496100472.581810.048960.00644258880.00681683930.065265679.5741830.05885
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0317726882424.81150.031765.3086325E-55.615534E-50.038424684.24490.038376.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0496100472.581810.048960.00644258880.00681683930.065265679.5741830.05885
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0241272083267.08890.024122.996648E-53.1649324E-50.029210726922.94940.029183.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.03739100797.051980.037020.0036418260.00384653660.04822517212.5372970.04455
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0241272083267.08890.024122.996648E-53.1649324E-50.029210726922.94940.029183.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.03739100797.051980.037020.0036418260.00384653660.04822517212.5372970.04455
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.0204456673533.60280.020442.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.024734184997.45790.024712.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.03169239104.987490.03140.00285389270.0030149660.04080069813.5327230.0379
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.0157741533738.75980.015771.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.0190577381053.97970.019042.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.02444479111.049530.024230.00208238930.00219934180.03113556114.1567630.029
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.0112130883590.4580.011211.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.0135932021015.605470.013581.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.017480122107.276640.017320.0015417070.00162847120.02225482713.6660860.02066
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.0050715333291.46780.005076.2402937E-66.603469E-60.0061965627938.37990.006197.597293E-58.039528E-50.00794976398.883450.007877.594696E-48.0376083E-40.01012626212.59860.00933
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-70.00235073923172.82670.002352.997936E-63.1752747E-60.002913166917.453250.002913.649926E-53.865897E-50.003558522892.049090.003523.6493264E-43.865897E-40.004634946611.9893180.00425

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.016815247253.399380.016752.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02196819777.253710.021690.00262228120.0034575470.034529749.98677350.031180.025915530.0341412950.073673892.15791150.04093
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.016815247253.399380.016752.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02196819777.253710.021690.00262228120.0034575470.034529749.98677350.031180.025915530.0341412950.073673892.15791150.04093
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.013220572426.738280.013191.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.016870545127.0678250.016740.00125807660.00161542520.0253570115.6968020.023780.0125097810.0160707550.04630692.8814390.03073
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.01191209532.84720.011897.471279E-59.580685E-50.01509437157.550.0159.0924866E-40.0011659620.02215146518.9984460.021010.0090553730.01162914650.0381965563.28455350.02688
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.01191209532.84720.011897.471279E-59.580685E-50.01509437157.550.0159.0924866E-40.0011659620.02215146518.9984460.021010.0090553730.01162914650.0381965563.28455350.02688
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.011539206593.908140.011526.506727E-58.3266525E-50.014552061174.764850.014477.919061E-40.00101343440.02109306520.813450.02010.00789090.0101186780.0354992343.5082880.02564
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.0097384641139.33240.009732.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.011966195326.661960.011933.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.01661869137.2695120.016180.00350399320.00446801870.0245279875.4896790.02015
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.0097183981146.04270.009712.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.011935909328.4310.01193.4864116E-44.423823E-40.01657524137.468140.016140.0034809470.00443293250.0244438315.51414440.0201
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.0096882461163.55380.009682.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.01190526333.628050.011873.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.01653737838.0716970.016110.00342617280.00435310560.0243158275.5858570.02005
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.0096579221207.30210.009652.727151E-53.428354E-50.011843879345.468380.011813.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.01645063439.418980.016040.00331484550.00418306470.0240396545.74690.01994
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.00959755851257.57810.009592.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.011762324359.62440.011733.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.016321840.9947740.015930.00319565440.0039917390.0236728625.93046330.01976
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.0089770781256.88680.008972.504087E-53.060958E-50.011060272361.333680.011033.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.01541700641.3753470.015050.00304412140.00373715950.0222875745.96377370.01862
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.00584532741090.85580.005842.045011E-52.2964727E-50.007252799315.823430.007232.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.009986849535.7229770.009710.00248672930.00280862120.0148846095.2996140.01211
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.0013827066510.15680.001381.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.001801595155.099170.001791.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.002641059518.676230.00250.00158991990.00142310890.0045386693.1892630.00312
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-68.9230353E-4387.02198.9E-41.1684469E-59.880949E-60.0012498687126.492780.001241.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.001810090715.0472220.001690.00142158110.00121105780.00331850232.74016860.00211
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-68.021638E-4370.42868.0E-41.1181565E-59.2806895E-60.0011292703121.6795650.001121.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.001582820614.0089190.001470.0013604370.00113781260.00296573042.60651920.00183
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-66.418715E-4342.75516.4E-49.860858E-68.025758E-68.4801903E-4105.662178.4E-41.20049335E-49.770931E-50.001197601812.25678350.00110.0011998459.848307E-40.0023235112.35930010.00134
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-63.613413E-4269.294343.6E-47.3646997E-65.750593E-65.0574774E-487.947055.0E-48.966153E-57.0011265E-57.2996505E-410.4263946.6E-48.962536E-47.0769014E-40.00146715232.07315647.6E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-71.908404E-4227.04231.9E-43.6262625E-63.602352E-62.5360147E-470.398852.5E-44.4148852E-54.3857777E-54.1384154E-49.435993.7E-44.414008E-44.4386165E-48.23693E-41.85574263.8E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-78.037678E-5213.3058.0E-51.1643157E-61.6149258E-61.01614765E-462.922251.0E-41.4175452E-51.9661555E-51.49659E-47.61175781.3E-41.4174548E-41.9829652E-43.2827075E-41.65545391.3E-4
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-83.3853325E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4508568E-71.0145084E-569.924781.0E-51.1476893E-61.7664173E-61.1766399E-56.6611661.0E-51.14768345E-51.7869768E-52.786959E-51.55959431.0E-5

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.013723519403.819820.013691.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.017823065122.378480.017680.00157519230.00177174060.02722656215.36712550.02550.0156407360.0175830030.05046452.87007280.03347
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.013723519403.819820.013691.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.017823065122.378480.017680.00157519230.00177174060.02722656215.36712550.02550.0156407360.0175830030.05046452.87007280.03347
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.013723519403.819820.013691.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.017823065122.378480.017680.00157519230.00177174060.02722656215.36712550.02550.0156407360.0175830030.05046452.87007280.03347
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.013251678412.793430.013221.2245393E-41.375748E-40.01710524124.334110.016970.0014898570.00167371410.02596299415.5122020.024330.014799080.0166180380.0479387532.88474230.03185
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.013251678412.793430.013221.2245393E-41.375748E-40.01710524124.334110.016970.0014898570.00167371410.02596299415.5122020.024330.014799080.0166180380.0479387532.88474230.03185
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.012970429420.733430.012941.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.016729921126.63240.01660.00143227450.00160732920.02531915515.7523140.023750.0142307820.0159638820.0464690032.91088340.031
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.0126688825433.092320.012641.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.016293334129.971830.016170.00136282570.00152522190.02451011216.0698660.023020.0135449820.0151543430.044729262.951580.03003
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.012057012440.985780.012031.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.015475371132.075330.015360.00127750840.00142564590.0231845816.262510.021790.0127018930.0141715930.042228272.97978280.02846
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.011364653455.764280.011349.532935E-51.0686163E-40.014545319136.113570.014440.00116001690.00130028570.02153394216.560930.020260.0115398020.0129329550.0388730763.00573830.02628
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.010422058467.56270.01048.529431E-59.552596E-50.013224272138.436420.013130.00103796350.00116242650.0194611316.7418160.018320.0103312880.0115690210.034757613.00436930.02346
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.009810365477.017430.009797.865712E-58.813734E-50.01242705140.996410.012349.5722964E-40.00107256160.01806431816.842220.017010.0095311680.010679390.0320586083.00191380.02161
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.009529584481.96310.009517.571623E-58.4736355E-50.0120837195142.603730.0129.2145515E-40.00103119450.01747422116.9456120.016460.0091764370.01026959250.0309549593.01423430.0209
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.008578002472.40790.008567.020495E-57.781795E-50.010866978139.646150.010798.544101E-49.470391E-40.01562312716.4968130.014690.0085113250.0094352690.0280677922.9747740.01881
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.007145853447.550870.007136.222919E-56.842646E-50.009037812132.080670.008977.57377E-48.327899E-40.01298266315.5893620.012160.00754800950.0083003990.0237114112.8566590.01554
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.006914048488.781160.00695.5080065E-56.06222E-50.008720097143.84330.008666.7039346E-47.378411E-40.01247917116.9130880.011750.00668374640.0073574290.0222073633.0183590.01496
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.0068527493533.833440.006844.987555E-55.5014076E-50.008644542157.133270.008596.070656E-46.696062E-40.01229181918.3567870.011630.0060540990.00667938450.021350733.19651170.01477
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.003053323916.071350.003051.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.0037742308264.218320.003761.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.005223029330.0333960.005050.00156768350.00173979730.0079988884.5975980.00627

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.0111622065177.445970.01111.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01484563755.0722120.014580.00235014970.0032774820.0242086567.38635830.0210.0232545040.032353770.0591672471.8287590.02771
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.0111622065177.445970.01111.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01484563755.0722120.014580.00235014970.0032774820.0242086567.38635830.0210.0232545040.032353770.0591672471.8287590.02771
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.009154197265.249940.009121.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01173618479.3529050.011590.00139088840.00179921140.017800379.8934290.016030.013822150.0178727880.038065322.12979220.02056
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.009154197265.249940.009121.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01173618479.3529050.011590.00139088840.00179921140.017800379.8934290.016030.013822150.0178727880.038065322.12979220.02056
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.009052048279.89850.009021.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.01160700583.7477650.011470.00131992370.00168611520.01749940810.3785360.015840.0131211120.0167722870.0367219752.18944380.02029
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.009052048279.89850.009021.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.01160700583.7477650.011470.00131992370.00168611520.01749940810.3785360.015840.0131211120.0167722870.0367219752.18944380.02029
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.008817887313.41690.008799.627742E-51.2057181E-40.01121923393.0502240.01110.00117154720.00146699690.01662472811.3324910.015180.0116539010.0146131690.0337395262.3088440.01941
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.00880756316.768220.008789.531594E-51.1915654E-40.01118783793.891930.011070.00115985380.00144978890.01655785411.4208720.015130.0115381870.0144428290.033493652.31905030.01933
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.008473697354.56330.008458.369167E-51.0242024E-40.010701335104.4845660.01060.00101846980.00124627280.01555841312.4839550.014330.0101381470.0124367230.0304400032.447590.01823
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.007975078524.7170.007965.7078556E-56.51362E-50.009884496151.75120.009826.9470983E-47.927504E-40.01383240517.4486260.013050.00692542040.0079407210.0241212083.03765960.01631
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.007903004602.930540.007895.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.009775628174.022610.009726.134799E-46.8371464E-40.01353492219.7961580.012860.00611789060.0068574010.0227079583.31145240.01596
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.0077208187708.152650.007714.3133965E-54.67253E-50.009526283203.878460.009485.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.01297167822.8079240.012410.0052379070.00571334730.020915993.66089940.01529
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.0075604194720.1340.007554.186565E-54.499337E-50.009344575207.687840.00935.095951E-45.4766005E-40.01265102823.1001470.012110.00508428040.0055035840.020321583.69242670.0149
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.007059874709.94390.007054.004731E-54.2617627E-50.008702248204.193650.008664.8746695E-45.187495E-40.01174292422.6369820.011230.00486399050.0052152690.0189631943.63609120.01382
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.006159432649.01430.006153.867153E-54.0672705E-50.007610365187.112340.007574.7072413E-44.95081E-40.01034020420.8858830.009850.0046972830.00497872660.0171080363.43622730.01219
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.003177065448.26950.003173.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.0039802543131.040540.003953.6942272E-43.697441E-40.00521795114.112330.004850.0036880920.00372447450.0098017562.63171480.0061
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.0019859471333.271760.001982.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.00253547499.2821040.002513.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.003359933810.8077470.003050.00318637070.00313591260.00699377672.23022060.00387
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-60.0011947515251.150390.001192.055903E-52.0387479E-50.001420358969.66820.00142.5027743E-42.481894E-40.00193776997.80762530.001690.00249995760.00250940650.00464403631.85065130.00214
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-67.139756E-4179.464137.1E-41.4583726E-51.7050066E-58.7703543E-451.4388288.6E-41.775424E-42.0756487E-40.00126734486.10577730.001060.00177400620.00210121410.00341844051.62688830.00132
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-64.6337087E-4137.399464.6E-41.1112129E-51.4453217E-56.044447E-441.820775.9E-41.3528178E-41.7595377E-49.1582356E-45.20491037.4E-40.00135199450.00178124260.00273953261.53798969.6E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-61.2167327E-472.706991.2E-45.8901214E-67.1720124E-61.5717094E-421.9144821.5E-47.1709874E-58.731578E-52.5730094E-42.94678621.7E-47.1686733E-48.837377E-40.00112352571.27133382.4E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-72.031489E-564.512732.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-54.6430287E-52.82581143.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-41.962878E-41.18037473.0E-5

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.007234177132.569210.007181.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00928173139.6914440.009050.0023507310.00284354620.0151185425.31679150.012310.0232601950.0280926250.0433612881.54351150.01571
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.007234177132.569210.007181.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00928173139.6914440.009050.0023507310.00284354620.0151185425.31679150.012310.0232601950.0280926250.0433612881.54351150.01571
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.007176727152.492860.007131.6868966E-42.016826E-40.009179871545.5164260.008980.0020518620.00245285340.0146329045.96566630.012210.0203301960.0242741870.039466241.62585210.01557
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.007176727152.492860.007131.6868966E-42.016826E-40.009179871545.5164260.008980.0020518620.00245285340.0146329045.96566630.012210.0203301960.0242741870.039466241.62585210.01557
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.0071176826187.548690.007081.384713E-41.6263791E-40.0090611955.7138860.00890.00168458430.0019783870.0140544487.10399340.01210.0167187140.0196171180.0347640331.77212740.01545
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.0071176826187.548690.007081.384713E-41.6263791E-40.0090611955.7138860.00890.00168458430.0019783870.0140544487.10399340.01210.0167187140.0196171180.0347640331.77212740.01545
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.0071039405207.827160.007071.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.00902518561.6111450.008880.00152799090.00178207270.0138105987.7497390.012050.0151752720.0176863240.0328139551.85532930.0154
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.007092116219.269060.007061.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.00900738264.982870.008870.00145091420.00168635060.0136960638.1217180.012030.0144147760.0167438180.0318662971.9031680.01538
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.007016679261.16550.006991.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.008904126577.3340.008790.001219720.0014009580.0133142449.5036720.011930.012130470.0139280670.0289262222.07682970.01521
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.006993406296.706540.006978.867737E-51.0101105E-40.00885012787.615440.008750.00107911230.00122915190.01309454910.6533210.011880.0107388710.0122291580.0271840082.2228850.01514
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.0069594975354.468320.006947.483646E-58.414151E-50.008793409104.507380.008719.1075303E-40.00102396410.01283186112.5315530.011820.0090702950.0101966880.0251229222.46383170.01508
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.0069263284421.26270.006916.3460066E-57.046316E-50.008749852124.1762540.008687.723524E-48.575678E-40.01262746614.7247430.011780.0076967350.0085461680.0234378042.7424930.01502
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.00692559441.164980.006916.077022E-56.727727E-50.008746693130.009630.008687.396263E-48.1880915E-40.01258916315.3749670.011780.00737169430.0081614690.0230489652.82411960.01501
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.0069250674456.43280.006915.8843252E-56.502197E-50.008744458134.484650.008687.161811E-47.9137104E-40.01255205615.8611520.011770.0071387740.0078890580.0227707212.88636760.015
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.006904012489.321660.006895.489925E-56.0467344E-50.008709944144.043780.008656.681934E-47.3595706E-40.01246731716.9402770.011740.0066618780.00733868960.022169053.0208460.01494
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.0068427133534.556340.006834.9694736E-55.485922E-50.008634388157.391740.008586.0486543E-46.67722E-40.01227996318.3908310.011620.0060322170.0066606320.0213123883.19975450.01475
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.003053315918.238460.003051.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.003774197264.841670.003761.564034E-41.7349655E-40.005222620430.1021560.005050.00156293370.00173569550.0079948134.6061150.00627

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.004502948136.057790.004471.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.00627096344.2138940.006130.00160107140.00172557840.011588536.71573640.009880.0158958510.0171356330.030561561.78350930.01366
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.004502948136.057790.004471.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.00627096344.2138940.006130.00160107140.00172557840.011588536.71573640.009880.0158958510.0171356330.030561561.78350930.01366
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0016425247130.929350.001635.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002213647641.1736030.002166.107122E-46.5438676E-40.0042820116.54354860.003630.0060903660.00652556960.011761181.80232240.00527
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0016425247130.929350.001635.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002213647641.1736030.002166.107122E-46.5438676E-40.0042820116.54354860.003630.0060903660.00652556960.011761181.80232240.00527
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-60.0011384705134.252040.001133.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.001536288342.2721560.00154.136527E-44.423877E-40.0028413266.4227050.00240.00412883560.00441547580.0079000221.78916660.0035
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-67.862811E-4125.084677.8E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-50.001076911539.9748880.001053.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00199739636.0906630.001670.00306507780.00327485380.0057367651.75176220.00247
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-67.862811E-4125.084677.8E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-50.001076911539.9748880.001053.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00199739636.0906630.001670.00306507780.00327485380.0057367651.75176220.00247
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-63.532803E-4107.659293.5E-41.3163528E-51.4063357E-54.440573E-431.5754834.3E-41.6025416E-41.7120909E-48.6109096E-45.029476.9E-40.00160138650.00171088640.0027491071.6068320.00104
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-62.6242813E-4108.050532.6E-49.738084E-61.0408908E-53.2040567E-430.7818743.1E-41.1855473E-41.26722E-46.566548E-45.18185335.3E-40.0011849150.00126658760.00207556161.63870368.1E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-66.1065286E-557.319526.0E-54.265307E-64.5657757E-61.0456532E-422.9019831.0E-45.1928873E-55.5587418E-52.4557687E-44.41784951.9E-45.191674E-45.557858E-48.6561346E-41.55745893.1E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-72.0507547E-540.4045032.0E-52.0308057E-62.1752398E-65.217513E-523.9859225.0E-52.4724779E-52.6483543E-51.1648116E-44.3982479.0E-52.4722028E-42.6483546E-43.9480103E-41.49074091.3E-4

Ash Hill

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0039831027171.726560.003969.2335285E-59.940143E-50.005518862555.5209540.005420.00112360230.00120962060.0100089648.2744660.008810.0111793810.0120383480.0244767852.03323460.01259
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0039831027171.726560.003969.2335285E-59.940143E-50.005518862555.5209540.005420.00112360230.00120962060.0100089648.2744660.008810.0111793810.0120383480.0244767852.03323460.01259
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0039831027171.726560.003969.2335285E-59.940143E-50.005518862555.5209540.005420.00112360230.00120962060.0100089648.2744660.008810.0111793810.0120383480.0244767852.03323460.01259
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0016207297150.808550.001614.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002355951151.1523320.002315.229836E-45.6061964E-40.0043285067.7209320.003770.0052175450.00559336650.011032771.97247420.00547
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0016207297150.808550.001614.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002355951151.1523320.002315.229836E-45.6061964E-40.0043285067.7209320.003770.0052175450.00559336650.011032771.97247420.00547
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-60.0011974478160.588240.001192.9835655E-53.195666E-50.001641905251.3791240.001613.6318856E-43.8901155E-40.00293801967.55252550.002550.00362595570.00388416020.00761959471.96170960.00375
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-68.353423E-4156.235448.3E-42.1394015E-52.2914215E-50.001092889747.6948360.001072.60441E-42.7895154E-40.0020084697.20006370.001730.00260135970.00278667270.00545920431.95904040.00268
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-66.339222E-4161.524326.3E-41.5698786E-51.681974E-58.168063E-448.5623638.0E-41.9111596E-42.0476682E-40.00152449667.4450370.001320.00190951680.00204634460.0040422521.97535250.002
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-64.127438E-4150.366154.1E-41.0971216E-51.1763939E-55.2175793E-444.3523145.1E-41.3356637E-41.4322149E-40.00105309117.3528859.1E-40.00133486130.00143177690.0028397581.98338030.00141
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-62.7189637E-4143.339432.7E-47.579223E-68.129446E-63.2812686E-440.3627553.2E-49.2273134E-59.8976E-56.789186E-46.8594265.8E-49.223483E-49.8976E-40.00192882971.94878529.4E-4

Garlock (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.005135068203.795350.005111.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.006627279361.3730930.006520.00131310020.00131390930.0097328337.4075380.008430.0130536830.0131417940.0236419661.79899070.01064
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.00513497204.594960.005111.0747157E-41.075594E-40.00662685861.611150.006520.0013076810.00130875250.0097277197.43281840.008430.0130001260.0130908350.0235915481.80214240.01064
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.005134852205.559230.005111.0690756E-41.070524E-40.006626354561.898230.006520.00130082240.00130258720.0097216067.4633060.008430.0129323410.0130299060.0235312671.8059430.01064
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.0051346724207.049290.005111.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.006625585362.3418430.006520.00128975560.00129317360.0097122727.5104160.008430.0128229570.01293687150.0234392231.81181540.01064
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.0051130606220.593950.005099.958477E-59.933313E-50.006588688666.3292160.006490.00121177020.00120871260.0095785847.92461630.008380.0120518380.0121017310.0225536951.86367510.01058
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.0051128757222.366850.005099.742009E-59.8537625E-50.00658789866.856680.006490.00118544420.00119903810.009568997.98055550.008380.0117914030.0120060350.0224590121.87064350.01058
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.005081663233.390720.005069.136581E-59.3310395E-50.006522710469.903360.006430.0011118110.00113546430.009426048.3014850.00830.0110626490.0113769520.0217574931.91241860.0105
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.0050802897249.118150.005068.446021E-58.739606E-50.006516834374.566680.006430.0010278180.00106352940.0093547028.7959040.00830.0102307710.01066468750.0210527091.97405770.0105
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.0050798003255.25640.005068.033094E-58.528626E-50.00651473876.386730.006439.775903E-40.00103786720.0093292538.988870.00830.0097330090.0104104950.0208011851.99809750.0105
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.0050788573267.969020.005067.5253614E-58.122527E-50.00651070380.156130.006439.158276E-49.884704E-40.0092802669.3885120.00830.00912062450.0099210730.0203072.04685520.01049
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.005078124278.773220.005067.197421E-57.806611E-50.006507564383.3596650.006438.759337E-49.5004175E-40.0092221759.7071270.008280.0087248910.0095399580.019900172.0859810.01046
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.0050676274286.035640.005057.0017246E-57.592681E-50.006495439485.54870.006428.521265E-49.2401815E-40.0091663959.9201460.008250.0084886640.0092817210.0195950982.11114930.01041
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.005057079294.60890.005046.762685E-57.3563926E-50.006483092488.1286850.006418.2304585E-48.952741E-40.00912789710.1956450.008240.0082000420.0089965590.0192435352.13898830.01034
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.0050065354301.26310.004996.45364E-57.122013E-50.00643076790.2942350.006367.854473E-48.667614E-40.00903967110.4292510.008180.007826770.0087132630.0188838652.16725520.01026
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.0048563746295.140470.004846.380382E-57.0517184E-50.006250081688.6320340.006187.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.00881137810.2671620.007960.00773826750.0086281010.0185319072.14785460.00999
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.004525974282.054230.004516.218123E-56.876877E-50.005848371485.0440.005787.567935E-48.369394E-40.0082007719.7985250.007370.00754221340.0084164110.0175687262.08743720.00923
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.0030640077218.070630.003055.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.003949980765.597780.003896.6541E-47.328737E-40.00568923877.76291850.004960.0066342110.0073813740.01356538851.83778630.00623
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.001871439163.297130.001864.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.002359001448.0303760.002315.388092E-45.9780874E-40.00358602135.99860950.002990.00537504670.0060382860.0097457631.6139950.00373
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-60.0011588893130.219060.001153.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.001468085838.4917070.001433.667837E-44.6425956E-40.0024033595.1767570.001940.0036617890.00469506670.0070638921.50453510.00238
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-66.454619E-4118.09946.4E-41.7402595E-52.3422985E-58.5340353E-436.434458.3E-42.11856E-42.8513762E-40.00139482114.8917470.001110.00211654140.0028841430.0042701341.48055550.00139
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-61.3207724E-463.57451.3E-47.169782E-68.903624E-61.789021E-420.093181.7E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-42.9837567E-42.7526381.9E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00135656881.23678162.6E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-72.031489E-564.512732.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-54.6430287E-52.82581143.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-41.962878E-41.18037473.0E-5

McLean Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.0019784654106.934670.001967.439883E-57.9290556E-50.003019057438.075880.002949.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.0061999276.42490430.005240.0090174910.00961277450.0176349111.83452870.0081
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-69.595831E-4100.037929.5E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.0014710535.7843060.001434.727685E-45.003936E-40.00314906756.2931810.002650.00471763960.0049935520.009341731.87075870.00437
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-69.595831E-4100.037929.5E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.0014710535.7843060.001434.727685E-45.003936E-40.00314906756.2931810.002650.00471763960.0049935520.009341731.87075870.00437
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-67.4766204E-497.507877.4E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001122825434.168690.001093.786182E-44.0001926E-40.0024891836.22265860.002090.00377973750.00399369650.0074099981.85542350.00343
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-67.4766204E-497.507877.4E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001122825434.168690.001093.786182E-44.0001926E-40.0024891836.22265860.002090.00377973750.00399369650.0074099981.85542350.00343
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-66.164E-496.254196.1E-42.5996113E-52.7444936E-59.274202E-433.7920349.0E-43.164567E-43.3409733E-40.00200353945.99687340.001670.00316006430.00333658930.00610731361.83040620.00278
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-65.759069E-497.441855.7E-42.3994397E-52.5329486E-58.5530843E-433.7673038.3E-42.9209262E-43.0834923E-40.00182788055.92795560.001520.00291708970.0030798430.00563195861.82865120.00256
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-65.555361E-4100.292455.5E-42.2486933E-52.3739085E-58.3371985E-435.1201328.1E-42.73744E-42.8899137E-40.00174856946.0505940.001460.00273407040.00288677960.00536959151.86006280.00249
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-64.3424507E-4102.249794.3E-41.7242342E-51.8200926E-56.1819E-433.9647566.0E-42.099053E-42.2157968E-40.00130134045.8730130.001080.00209707140.0022141720.00402016431.81565130.00181
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-77.071394E-599.040137.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-69.3059694E-530.4119879.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-52.1724807E-45.8314141.8E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-46.6240865E-41.77819872.9E-4

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002191396769.646360.002161.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003214427323.8383580.003080.00159955990.001640690.0068321584.16419840.00520.0158809520.0163073370.0235473161.44397060.00736
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002191396769.646360.002161.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003214427323.8383580.003080.00159955990.001640690.0068321584.16419840.00520.0158809520.0163073370.0235473161.44397060.00736
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-57.536251E-455.2705577.4E-46.490707E-55.843533E-50.001088375118.6252920.001037.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00242001353.40257620.001710.0078715480.0070907370.0095233651.34307120.00245
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-57.536251E-455.2705577.4E-46.490707E-55.843533E-50.001088375118.6252920.001037.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00242001353.40257620.001710.0078715480.0070907370.0095233651.34307120.00245
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-54.306852E-440.2897954.2E-45.37097E-54.581216E-56.6578377E-414.5329056.2E-46.537194E-45.5762613E-40.00158705182.84608580.001030.00651799650.0055628590.00708434821.27350840.00153
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-62.9908103E-432.925182.9E-44.7545094E-53.89294E-54.989115E-412.8158034.6E-45.787078E-44.7386638E-40.00127348732.68743978.0E-40.00577203040.0047289670.00590338651.2483460.00118
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-61.7753041E-423.571131.7E-44.1520743E-53.227828E-53.0226956E-49.3644892.7E-45.053978E-43.9291973E-48.6273503E-42.1957034.7E-40.00504249940.00392250670.0046297221.18029677.1E-4
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-61.4674845E-421.7424261.4E-43.8462964E-52.8925719E-52.4891936E-48.6054692.2E-44.6818596E-43.5211592E-47.5197505E-42.13558964.0E-40.0046720080.0035158010.00409376161.16438955.8E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-69.511573E-518.5911399.0E-53.20482E-52.1926337E-51.3192392E-46.0166881.1E-43.9011694E-42.6692182E-44.4687378E-41.67417471.8E-40.00389432810.00266615050.00296535061.11222183.0E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-68.390718E-521.4734278.0E-52.7175134E-51.674628E-59.674494E-55.77710068.0E-53.3080703E-42.0386786E-43.2384341E-41.58849661.2E-40.00330315020.00203690650.00224647881.10288752.1E-4
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-63.260577E-512.5125313.0E-52.195953E-51.1167879E-54.1167543E-53.68624543.0E-52.6732447E-41.359607E-41.859539E-41.36770335.0E-50.00267003130.00135880050.00145866451.07349431.0E-4
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-63.2098407E-515.2961053.0E-51.9023713E-58.99341E-63.899314E-54.3357463.0E-52.315891E-41.0948948E-41.5948401E-41.45661495.0E-50.0023134790.00109437740.00119426791.09127621.0E-4
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-61.1261559E-58.9266121.0E-51.5015643E-55.406724E-61.540667E-52.84953881.0E-51.8280011E-46.5824956E-58.5823645E-51.30381612.0E-50.00182649826.580628E-47.0802995E-41.07593065.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-77.118686E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.050862E-63.050862E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.7143633E-53.7143633E-51.00.00.00133573493.7137623E-43.8137252E-41.02691691.0E-5
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-75.304471E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2733427E-62.2733427E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.76776E-52.76776E-51.00.00.00106225472.767421E-42.767421E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001500331449.3918340.001471.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002409881218.5122130.002280.0013929210.00158396010.00564751353.56543920.004070.0138422220.0157462020.022183221.40879820.00654
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001500331449.3918340.001471.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002409881218.5122130.002280.0013929210.00158396010.00564751353.56543920.004070.0138422220.0157462020.022183221.40879820.00654
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-57.5608434E-446.9726877.4E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001168906816.9449310.00117.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00281797683.3561760.001980.0073804980.0083743640.01166656151.3931280.00332
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-57.5608434E-446.9726877.4E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001168906816.9449310.00117.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00281797683.3561760.001980.0073804980.0083743640.01166656151.3931280.00332
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-57.2499784E-448.3059127.1E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.00107425616.7014870.001016.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00260149973.32279730.001820.0068841260.0078112890.0108870731.39376150.0031
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-57.2499784E-448.3059127.1E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.00107425616.7014870.001016.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00260149973.32279730.001820.0068841260.0078112890.0108870731.39376150.0031
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-55.928477E-446.1174355.8E-44.8548856E-55.5092984E-58.650484E-415.7016078.1E-45.90922E-46.706464E-40.00213966053.19044540.001470.00589353130.00669561370.009327871.39313150.00265
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-64.2982044E-443.7495234.2E-43.707594E-54.2105148E-56.5207947E-415.4869296.1E-44.5130608E-45.126002E-40.00160204143.12532380.001090.00450390620.00512305650.0070730151.38062420.00196
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-62.1175456E-518.0143032.0E-54.378012E-65.037763E-64.5037563E-58.9399924.0E-55.3300988E-56.133315E-51.5132764E-42.46730579.0E-55.3288206E-46.131735E-47.231061E-41.17928461.1E-4
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-71.092834E-511.7717941.0E-53.4011714E-63.9786355E-63.3978515E-58.5402443.0E-54.1408475E-54.843888E-51.08435976E-42.23861436.0E-54.140076E-44.842902E-45.442612E-41.12383276.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-71.08747345E-512.4319221.0E-53.1878285E-63.7488926E-62.3748818E-56.33488852.0E-53.8811122E-54.564188E-59.5639596E-52.09543515.0E-53.8804344E-44.563317E-45.0630886E-41.10951945.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-71.0771132E-513.9678051.0E-52.773262E-63.3048816E-62.3304816E-57.05163432.0E-53.376394E-54.023625E-59.0234236E-52.24261055.0E-53.375881E-44.022956E-44.522755E-41.12423675.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-71.07588385E-514.17789651.0E-52.7242988E-63.252193E-62.3252129E-57.1496772.0E-53.3167835E-53.959479E-58.959281E-52.26274235.0E-53.3162883E-43.9588328E-44.458635E-41.12624985.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-71.0689658E-515.4997871.0E-52.4726714E-62.9557032E-61.2955674E-54.383281.0E-53.0104358E-53.598515E-57.598371E-52.11152964.0E-53.0100282E-43.5979896E-43.9978456E-41.11113324.0E-5
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-71.0619352E-517.1457331.0E-52.232704E-62.6543903E-61.2654364E-54.76733351.0E-52.718283E-53.2316777E-57.231549E-52.23770714.0E-52.7179506E-43.2312635E-43.6311342E-41.12375064.0E-5
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-71.053489E-519.6952511.0E-51.934122E-62.2924048E-61.2292382E-55.36222121.0E-52.3547682E-52.7909726E-55.790889E-52.07486413.0E-52.3545188E-42.7906752E-43.0905916E-41.10747093.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-52.3587207E-51.73596911.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.4586658E-41.07359091.0E-5

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0018610591167.971510.001854.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002547364453.6476360.00256.024253E-45.779681E-40.00467559838.0897180.00410.0060079480.0057659180.0112938591.9587270.00556
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0018610591167.971510.001854.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002547364453.6476360.00256.024253E-45.779681E-40.00467559838.0897180.00410.0060079480.0057659180.0112938591.9587270.00556
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0018610591167.971510.001854.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002547364453.6476360.00256.024253E-45.779681E-40.00467559838.0897180.00410.0060079480.0057659180.0112938591.9587270.00556
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0018610591167.971510.001854.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002547364453.6476360.00256.024253E-45.779681E-40.00467559838.0897180.00410.0060079480.0057659180.0112938591.9587270.00556
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0018610591167.971510.001854.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002547364453.6476360.00256.024253E-45.779681E-40.00467559838.0897180.00410.0060079480.0057659180.0112938591.9587270.00556
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0018610591167.971510.001854.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002547364453.6476360.00256.024253E-45.779681E-40.00467559838.0897180.00410.0060079480.0057659180.0112938591.9587270.00556
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-69.769289E-4140.857079.7E-43.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001309685644.0620040.001283.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00237110166.5531030.002010.0039510.00361268870.0063527541.75845590.00275
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-69.769289E-4140.857079.7E-43.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001309685644.0620040.001283.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00237110166.5531030.002010.0039510.00361268870.0063527541.75845590.00275
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-67.551755E-4145.804737.5E-42.5297022E-52.2197082E-50.001002175445.1489649.8E-43.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.00172982266.40160230.001460.00307521320.0026990020.0046636851.72792950.00197
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-66.342497E-4149.15126.3E-42.1479358E-51.8224424E-57.8821037E-443.250227.7E-42.614798E-42.2186051E-40.00137160536.1822870.001150.00261172350.00221646270.00376302731.69776250.00155
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-65.337119E-4143.70715.3E-41.925334E-51.5916565E-56.6590623E-441.837316.5E-42.3438422E-41.9376757E-40.00116357966.0050289.7E-40.00234137170.00193604910.00325349351.68048080.00132
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-63.8311078E-4123.109673.8E-41.6764936E-51.333685E-54.5333098E-433.9908564.4E-42.0409399E-41.6236462E-48.222575E-45.0642656.6E-40.00203906630.00162251610.00254102331.56610069.2E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-62.8260468E-4108.467852.8E-41.4657411E-51.11660565E-53.4116238E-430.5535243.3E-41.7843937E-41.3593875E-46.158735E-44.5305224.8E-40.00178296150.00135860580.00203768191.49983316.8E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-61.3182816E-472.1006851.3E-41.13972155E-57.8359335E-61.778346E-422.6947561.7E-41.3875226E-49.539862E-53.6537286E-43.82995992.7E-40.00138665659.536055E-40.00133324321.39810763.8E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-61.01436264E-470.618011.0E-49.676246E-66.1560204E-61.2615528E-420.4929921.2E-41.1780193E-47.4947224E-52.3493523E-43.13467551.6E-40.0011773957.4924453E-40.00100904971.34675622.6E-4
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-75.073533E-568.993295.0E-56.3827797E-63.1515651E-67.315134E-523.2111177.0E-57.770758E-53.8369635E-51.18366566E-43.0849028.0E-57.7680405E-43.8363054E-45.33573E-41.39085131.5E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-72.0465932E-543.923872.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-63.1996828E-516.0233423.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-55.431112E-52.23393633.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.2307272E-41.32901338.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.5578539E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.676515E-76.676515E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.128628E-68.128628E-61.00.02.8741814E-48.128342E-58.128342E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0026732753.96261290.0020.00133063760.0028881720.00548066251.89762340.00260.0160806050.0345655940.0380025431.09943260.003560.14965490.286545570.289856021.01155290.00464
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0026732753.96261290.0020.00133063760.0028881720.00548066251.89762340.00260.0160806050.0345655940.0380025431.09943260.003560.14965490.286545570.289856021.01155290.00464
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0026732753.96261290.0020.00133063760.0028881720.00548066251.89762340.00260.0160806050.0345655940.0380025431.09943260.003560.14965490.286545570.289856021.01155290.00464
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0026732753.96261290.0020.00133063760.0028881720.00548066251.89762340.00260.0160806050.0345655940.0380025431.09943260.003560.14965490.286545570.289856021.01155290.00464
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.00225102485.21299080.001828.5138786E-40.00184933260.00419498652.26837870.002350.0103164780.022289310.025398431.13948930.003180.0985048560.196868390.20015321.01668520.00409
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00193706696.73665480.001655.5321335E-40.00123174090.00337909282.7433470.002150.0067145920.0148941550.0177312591.19048440.002880.0651529650.138007920.141136961.02267290.00363
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00193706696.73665480.001655.5321335E-40.00123174090.00337909282.7433470.002150.0067145920.0148941550.0177312591.19048440.002880.0651529650.138007920.141136961.02267290.00363
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.00183296667.53211450.001594.6278012E-40.00104252740.00311036922.98348950.002070.00561980160.01261920.0153641191.21751930.002780.0547979060.119184310.122258361.02579240.00349
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.00182815087.66423560.001594.5525006E-40.00102187180.00307976693.01384830.002060.00552859250.0123705930.015096451.22034980.002760.0539305660.117133080.120178971.02600370.00345
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.00181186647.8019210.001584.4537184E-49.949068E-40.00304286723.05844470.002050.00540892870.0120459630.01476283651.22554230.002750.052791560.1144334450.1174797941.02662110.00344
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.00179557437.94751360.001574.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.0030059343.10559730.002040.0052853110.0117208380.014418841.23018850.002730.051613610.111697450.114735451.02719840.00342
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.00178846968.17350.001574.2359953E-49.374342E-40.00297552183.17411280.002040.00514513530.0113537330.0140428511.23684880.002720.050276290.108576070.111615821.02799650.00341
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.00178210948.3886490.001574.1312634E-49.101525E-40.00294829583.23934270.002040.0050182190.0110249870.0137149991.24399230.002720.0490640070.10576970.108801141.02866080.00339
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.00176442099.0610180.001573.907156E-48.342756E-40.00287257373.4431950.002040.0047465910.0101101120.0127927141.26533840.002710.0464647860.097961760.101001631.03103110.00337
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.00174692059.3312120.001563.8083247E-48.020931E-40.0028204733.51639080.002020.00462678170.0097218550.0123857031.27400610.002690.0453162860.0945938450.097608851.03187310.00333
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.00174024649.6397590.001563.7173493E-47.734621E-40.00279189973.60961410.002020.0045164840.0093763270.0120411041.28420270.002690.044257870.091556060.094581171.03304110.00333
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.00173413189.9431960.001563.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.00276572163.70129370.002020.00440117530.0090596640.01172529351.29423050.002690.043150240.088714470.091749061.03420620.00333
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.001719362210.1362490.001553.539135E-47.267622E-40.00273530143.76368120.002010.0043003860.00881250.0114688831.30143340.002680.0421811340.0864654260.089498361.03507690.00332
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-40.00140265589.17686750.001253.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.00226383943.4568040.001610.00387722230.0079442310.0101069131.2722330.002180.038102690.0782938750.08079171.03190310.00271
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-48.000002E-47.9943877.0E-42.2535135E-44.2880196E-40.00136839893.19121439.4E-40.00274020060.0052081780.00647156361.24257730.001270.0270665740.0522015880.0537370221.02941360.00162
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-52.1406691E-43.95866251.6E-41.4484383E-42.3173184E-44.4168317E-41.90600992.1E-40.00176204710.00281768660.00306698241.08847522.5E-40.0174814090.0288359170.0291855351.01212443.6E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-54.9307564E-52.55371863.0E-58.000444E-58.274657E-51.2274327E-41.48336374.0E-59.736188E-40.00100697450.00104693431.0396834.0E-50.0096936420.0107986240.01084808351.00458035.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-61.5459582E-52.8316141.0E-53.660622E-52.339823E-53.3397995E-51.42737281.0E-54.455896E-42.848363E-42.9483344E-41.03509781.0E-50.00444697170.0032402830.00326021831.00615232.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001010325225.0301579.7E-41.503772E-41.7297991E-40.00170271539.8434280.001530.00182930470.00210425330.0047486772.2567040.002650.0181431940.0208692050.025177381.2064370.0044
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001010325225.0301579.7E-41.503772E-41.7297991E-40.00170271539.8434280.001530.00182930470.00210425330.0047486772.2567040.002650.0181431940.0208692050.025177381.2064370.0044
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-55.010497E-423.7917674.8E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-59.101797E-410.084688.2E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00248686012.2641020.001390.00956471450.0109396680.0132936311.21517690.00238
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-55.010497E-423.7917674.8E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-59.101797E-410.084688.2E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00248686012.2641020.001390.00956471450.0109396680.0132936311.21517690.00238
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-54.695564E-423.9995574.5E-47.337798E-58.3848776E-58.537842E-410.1824287.7E-48.930107E-40.00102048130.00232914442.2823980.001310.0088943070.0101678710.0123652981.21611480.00222
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-53.8683074E-422.9750793.7E-46.3191044E-57.215698E-57.421086E-410.284646.7E-47.6907943E-48.782507E-40.00202724062.30827120.001150.0076642320.0087569940.0107097431.2229930.00197
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-52.9372025E-421.4018022.8E-45.150401E-55.88167E-55.687867E-49.6704975.1E-46.268809E-47.159466E-40.00162529512.27013449.1E-40.00625115450.00714509380.0087038761.21816120.00157
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-52.6153063E-422.6757072.5E-44.326618E-54.942891E-54.9940665E-410.1035344.5E-45.266384E-46.017178E-40.00141123042.3453368.1E-40.0052539210.00600941250.00738111931.22825980.00138

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002383596312.2852410.002194.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00357896834.3055040.002750.00514102770.0100736840.0136176211.35180140.003580.050237080.098322450.102343941.0409010.00446
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002383596312.2852410.002194.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00357896834.3055040.002750.00514102770.0100736840.0136176211.35180140.003580.050237080.098322450.102343941.0409010.00446
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002383596312.2852410.002194.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00357896834.3055040.002750.00514102770.0100736840.0136176211.35180140.003580.050237080.098322450.102343941.0409010.00446
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002383596312.2852410.002194.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00357896834.3055040.002750.00514102770.0100736840.0136176211.35180140.003580.050237080.098322450.102343941.0409010.00446
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002383596312.2852410.002194.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00357896834.3055040.002750.00514102770.0100736840.0136176211.35180140.003580.050237080.098322450.102343941.0409010.00446
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.002383334612.3005220.002194.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.0035778484.3099810.002750.00513261320.01006013250.0136041171.35228010.003580.0501567460.098200350.1022223761.04095730.00446
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.002383334612.3005220.002194.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.0035778484.3099810.002750.00513261320.01006013250.0136041171.35228010.003580.0501567460.098200350.1022223761.04095730.00446
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.002373236212.2547590.002184.223004E-48.2970044E-40.00356742724.2996570.002740.00512939270.0100549410.0135890451.35147930.003570.0501259980.098153560.102166781.04088710.00445
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.002373088212.26339150.002184.219245E-48.290649E-40.00356679324.30218840.002740.00512483760.0100472760.0135814061.35175030.003570.050082510.098083780.102097311.04091940.00445
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.00237276912.2820470.002184.2103877E-48.276947E-40.0035654274.3076590.002740.00511410460.0100307460.0135649371.35233570.003570.0499800220.0979329650.101947161.04098930.00445
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.00237208412.3222790.002184.1913814E-48.247551E-40.00356249534.31945850.002740.0050910730.0099952850.0135296021.35359840.003570.049760070.097609120.101624761.041140.00445
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.00236110512.3281950.002174.1616702E-48.205452E-40.0035483054.3243260.002730.0050550680.00994449950.0134690971.35442690.003560.049416130.097145710.101145351.04117160.00443
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.002360414512.3692910.002174.1409794E-48.175807E-40.00354534884.336390.002730.00502999360.0099087350.0134235591.35471980.003550.0491765370.096818830.1008108851.04123220.00442
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.002359940712.3976620.002174.125529E-48.1554666E-40.003543324.3447180.002730.00501126940.0098841950.0133991061.35560920.003550.048997590.096592280.100585341.04133940.00442
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.002359339712.4338380.002174.1107697E-48.129676E-40.00354074834.35533760.002730.00499338240.0098530810.0133681021.35674350.003550.048826610.096309860.1002951341.04137970.00441
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.002358801712.4664310.002174.0972308E-48.106579E-40.00353844494.3649050.002730.00497697430.0098252150.0133403341.35776530.003550.0486697440.0960562450.100042641.04150060.00441
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.002345333612.627320.002164.0357444E-47.95764E-40.00351359954.4153790.002720.0049024540.0096454990.0131513541.36347060.003540.0479570250.0944374650.098421941.04219160.0044
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.00209991413.1060470.001943.51473E-46.8649714E-40.00315480144.59550570.002470.004270790.0083261280.0115094021.38232340.003210.041896390.0822379140.085945671.04508580.00404
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-40.00137499729.4712620.001233.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.00220105053.5384770.001580.0037946430.00754699860.0096807731.28273140.002150.0373049750.074727660.0772073941.03318360.00268
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-48.003923E-47.96706537.0E-42.3087008E-44.3048308E-40.00137007843.18265349.4E-40.00280722020.00522854740.00649190741.24162730.001270.027720220.0524258840.0539609531.02928080.00162
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-52.1425285E-43.94852161.6E-41.4864317E-42.3252872E-44.4247988E-41.90290432.1E-40.00180822830.00282736360.00307665671.08817162.5E-40.0179358530.0289484620.0292980411.01207593.6E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-54.940072E-52.5462583.0E-58.207899E-58.3145795E-51.2314247E-41.48104264.0E-59.988535E-40.00101183050.00105179011.03949244.0E-50.0099437570.010855950.0109054081.00455585.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.00326811451.00613732.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.00101559339.6432389.9E-48.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001679615915.2986850.001570.00107870290.00133586920.0041321293.09321360.00280.0107348170.0132799850.0174834111.31652360.00426
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.00101559339.6432389.9E-48.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001679615915.2986850.001570.00107870290.00133586920.0041321293.09321360.00280.0107348170.0132799850.0174834111.31652360.00426
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.00101559339.6432389.9E-48.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001679615915.2986850.001570.00107870290.00133586920.0041321293.09321360.00280.0107348170.0132799850.0174834111.31652360.00426
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-59.650948E-438.421839.4E-48.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001597485514.8401850.001490.00105556260.0013098180.003946363.01290730.002640.0105056280.0130225430.0170000621.30543340.00403
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-59.650948E-438.421839.4E-48.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001597485514.8401850.001490.00105556260.0013098180.003946363.01290730.002640.0105056280.0130225430.0170000621.30543340.00403
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-59.5478457E-438.4875039.3E-48.55519E-51.0631427E-40.00157615814.825460.001470.00104109680.00129362440.00387028672.99181650.002580.0103623270.012862490.016751811.30237710.00394
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-58.7329163E-437.46198.5E-48.115732E-59.990252E-50.001429769714.3116470.001339.876423E-40.00121564910.0035827682.94720580.002370.0098326450.01209150350.015687491.29739790.00364
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-58.528931E-437.2245758.3E-47.980225E-59.8191085E-50.001378065414.0345260.001289.711593E-40.00119483540.00349208742.92265130.00230.0096692610.0118856250.0154131941.29679290.00357
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-57.7178975E-435.3933227.5E-47.641356E-59.3451374E-50.00126334213.518710.001179.29938E-40.00113719070.00326476852.87090680.002130.0092605610.011316090.0145886341.28919390.00331
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-54.352976E-428.443334.2E-45.6292425E-56.558709E-57.255438E-411.0622966.6E-46.8514474E-47.982367E-40.0020572312.57721920.001260.0068303620.0079551580.0100086911.25813850.00207
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-53.6314962E-427.6070443.5E-44.9316975E-55.637412E-55.763448E-410.2235715.2E-46.002687E-46.861445E-40.0016554792.41272649.7E-40.00598649870.00684149240.00842061451.23081540.00159
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-52.20863E-420.3273982.1E-44.1638916E-54.6564706E-53.7654935E-48.0865823.3E-45.068359E-45.667821E-40.00110647611.95220715.4E-40.00505681480.0056538340.00654874561.15828419.0E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-51.6028478E-415.5823341.5E-43.9570554E-54.408348E-52.840729E-46.44397642.4E-44.81665E-45.365884E-49.063899E-41.68917163.7E-40.00480622330.00535335950.00597004031.11519526.2E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-61.2980698E-413.2345861.2E-43.7731446E-54.2034335E-52.4202593E-45.75781542.0E-44.592835E-45.1165203E-48.2149345E-41.60557063.1E-40.00458335460.0051051670.00561256331.09938885.1E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-61.09706205E-411.30155851.0E-43.7322676E-54.160154E-52.2159405E-45.3265831.8E-44.5430884E-45.0638523E-47.862434E-41.55265872.8E-40.0045338120.00505273980.00553031451.0945184.8E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-61.09603854E-411.4113431.0E-43.6910955E-54.1162875E-52.2115547E-45.3726921.8E-44.492982E-45.01047E-47.809067E-41.55854992.8E-40.0044839090.00499959850.0054672491.09353764.7E-4
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-61.0928299E-411.7712161.0E-43.5652476E-53.978763E-52.1978047E-45.5238391.8E-44.3398244E-44.8431093E-47.5418013E-41.55722312.7E-40.00433135870.00483297840.00528080341.09266034.5E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-69.834442E-511.7845929.0E-53.2021748E-53.5764548E-51.8575919E-45.1939481.5E-43.8979502E-44.353504E-46.6525023E-41.52808012.3E-40.003891120.00434538070.0047137731.0847783.7E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-71.0364823E-528.4103071.0E-51.4822873E-61.5635396E-62.1563508E-513.7914692.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-54.9035363E-52.57593683.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.3033586E-41.21010644.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-56.8018545E-466.735526.7E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.00115363226.4107320.001115.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00258059964.85358240.002050.00515936830.0053052040.0087369011.64685490.00345
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-56.8018545E-466.735526.7E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.00115363226.4107320.001115.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00258059964.85358240.002050.00515936830.0053052040.0087369011.64685490.00345
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-62.84695E-460.6209562.8E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-54.8011765E-423.8545174.6E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00114479844.67228759.0E-40.00237633290.00244761280.00396389231.61949320.00152
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-62.84695E-460.6209562.8E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-54.8011765E-423.8545174.6E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00114479844.67228759.0E-40.00237633290.00244761280.00396389231.61949320.00152
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-61.735093E-449.4342961.7E-41.4582367E-51.5042335E-53.2503766E-421.6081923.1E-41.7752586E-41.8312587E-48.530032E-44.65801576.7E-40.0017738410.00182983270.00294778331.61095790.00112
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-61.6292739E-455.6473351.6E-41.2151207E-51.2547898E-52.825445E-422.5172772.7E-41.479309E-41.5276071E-47.026767E-44.59985265.5E-40.00147832460.00152663080.00246519571.6147959.4E-4
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-61.4232875E-461.1097531.4E-49.649328E-69.981683E-62.3997939E-424.0419752.3E-41.1747423E-41.2152085E-45.7146617E-44.7026184.5E-40.00117412140.00121460580.00198367051.63318067.7E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-61.219589E-462.2512551.2E-48.105055E-68.39629E-62.0839462E-424.8198472.0E-49.867457E-51.0222061E-45.021797E-44.9127054.0E-49.863076E-40.00102179350.00171108831.67459326.9E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-61.1154366E-472.2512361.1E-46.374905E-66.6164025E-61.8661522E-428.2049371.8E-47.76117E-58.055224E-54.3052406E-45.3446563.5E-47.75846E-48.0528157E-40.00140479841.7444816.0E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-77.071394E-599.040137.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-69.3059694E-530.4119879.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-52.1724807E-45.8314141.8E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-46.6240865E-41.77819872.9E-4

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-50.001133915625.7922120.001091.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00175810659.3316610.001570.00195197760.00229155710.00483571372.11023040.002550.0193492060.0226972810.0263523941.16103740.00374
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-50.001133915625.7922120.001091.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00175810659.3316610.001570.00195197760.00229155710.00483571372.11023040.002550.0193492060.0226972810.0263523941.16103740.00374
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-50.001133915625.7922120.001091.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00175810659.3316610.001570.00195197760.00229155710.00483571372.11023040.002550.0193492060.0226972810.0263523941.16103740.00374
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-55.1534193E-420.3255564.9E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-47.585866E-46.98146446.5E-40.00109933040.00132211890.0024106781.82334410.001090.0109390790.0131447470.0147434531.12162320.00162
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-55.1534193E-420.3255564.9E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-47.585866E-46.98146446.5E-40.00109933040.00132211890.0024106781.82334410.001090.0109390790.0131447470.0147434531.12162320.00162
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-54.0065544E-419.3897273.8E-47.455765E-58.8554E-55.7851063E-46.5328574.9E-49.073613E-40.00107762350.00184679371.71376547.7E-40.0090366540.0107252730.0118629391.10607340.00115
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-53.3767443E-419.099143.2E-46.51628E-57.576964E-54.957378E-46.54269744.2E-47.9306826E-49.221128E-40.00160148581.73675696.8E-40.0079024390.0091837290.0101844531.10896710.00101
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-52.7526042E-418.032862.6E-45.7106878E-56.541716E-54.053949E-46.1970733.4E-46.950544E-47.9616875E-40.00136571491.71535865.7E-40.0069288450.00793379450.008767131.10503638.4E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-52.0302889E-415.5800171.9E-44.9393333E-55.5847537E-53.2583246E-45.8343212.7E-46.011979E-46.7973585E-40.00113942321.67627354.6E-40.005995740.00677701920.00747227531.10259027.0E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-51.4151334E-412.2896551.3E-44.3944583E-54.934838E-52.493385E-45.0526182.0E-45.3489394E-46.006545E-49.7043224E-41.61562473.7E-40.00533608250.00599068960.0065473351.09291845.6E-4
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-61.08990534E-412.1216011.0E-43.4733377E-53.853415E-51.8852837E-44.89250141.5E-44.2279682E-44.6905465E-47.189374E-41.53273692.5E-40.00421993340.00468089430.00506906861.08292753.9E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-65.7515605E-57.65244255.0E-52.91366E-53.2210955E-51.2220806E-43.79399049.0E-53.5468035E-43.9209996E-45.320451E-41.35691181.4E-40.0035411480.0039142980.004173281.06616322.6E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-65.627982E-58.9615665.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914584E-51.06912434E-43.97228628.0E-52.9681803E-43.276378E-44.4759846E-41.36613811.2E-40.0029642190.0032717460.0034810591.06397592.1E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-64.4706885E-59.4978074.0E-51.8228506E-52.017303E-58.017182E-53.97420796.0E-52.2190946E-42.455808E-43.355587E-41.36638829.0E-50.002216880.00245327530.00261288281.0650591.6E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-61.28520305E-54.50622841.0E-51.0906291E-51.2223064E-54.22227E-53.45434643.0E-51.3277601E-41.4880729E-41.9879985E-41.3359555.0E-50.0013269670.00148723870.00156711971.05371098.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-84.562909E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-71.9555324E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-62.3808586E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-52.3808387E-51.00.0

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-68.138914E-4208.982578.1E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001276669876.489370.001262.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002362757211.6279680.002160.00200672080.00203053190.00511425732.5186790.00309
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-68.138914E-4208.982578.1E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001276669876.489370.001262.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002362757211.6279680.002160.00200672080.00203053190.00511425732.5186790.00309
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-68.138914E-4208.982578.1E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001276669876.489370.001262.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002362757211.6279680.002160.00200672080.00203053190.00511425732.5186790.00309
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-68.138914E-4208.982578.1E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001276669876.489370.001262.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002362757211.6279680.002160.00200672080.00203053190.00511425732.5186790.00309
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-68.138914E-4208.982578.1E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001276669876.489370.001262.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002362757211.6279680.002160.00200672080.00203053190.00511425732.5186790.00309
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.5120287E-4125.682681.5E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.451547E-447.5481032.4E-46.236998E-56.277176E-53.727523E-45.9382163.1E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00103729471.65292234.1E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.5120287E-4125.682681.5E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.451547E-447.5481032.4E-46.236998E-56.277176E-53.727523E-45.9382163.1E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00103729471.65292234.1E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-78.0841E-596.117138.0E-53.5896885E-63.6045708E-61.336041E-437.065191.3E-44.370358E-54.3884826E-52.1387737E-44.87360671.7E-44.3694986E-44.3876728E-46.8865763E-41.56952812.5E-4
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-74.0639192E-563.5765954.0E-52.7344586E-62.7394954E-67.2739305E-526.552087.0E-53.3291526E-53.3352884E-51.2334988E-43.69832739.0E-53.3286537E-43.334826E-44.734359E-41.4196721.4E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-73.0534517E-557.1236343.0E-52.2911431E-62.2908578E-66.229072E-527.1910046.0E-52.789431E-52.7890868E-51.07888634E-43.86824238.0E-52.789081E-42.78877E-43.8884633E-41.39432911.1E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-71.0353239E-529.3091281.0E-51.5247632E-61.513897E-62.1513866E-514.2109172.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431549E-54.8430997E-52.6276143.0E-51.8562283E-41.8430105E-42.4429E-41.32549436.0E-5
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-73.0002275E-71.00.01.3019744E-61.2858112E-61.1285799E-58.7771821.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654647E-53.5654335E-52.2775562.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653619E-42.0652836E-41.31936495.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-72.0217735E-71.00.08.917818E-78.6647407E-71.0866465E-512.5410171.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549275E-52.054917E-51.94792251.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548821E-41.45484E-41.37914934.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-71.0636902E-71.00.04.7837443E-74.5586717E-71.0455863E-522.9362051.0E-55.8241935E-65.5501705E-61.5550115E-52.80173641.0E-55.8240406E-55.550052E-58.5498854E-51.54050543.0E-5

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00121579393.84649479.0E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.00258225921.90724020.001230.00742070840.0163609390.017993781.09980120.001660.071777480.150211630.152055671.01227630.00217
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00121579393.84649479.0E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.00258225921.90724020.001230.00742070840.0163609390.017993781.09980120.001660.071777480.150211630.152055671.01227630.00217
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00121579393.84649479.0E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.00258225921.90724020.001230.00742070840.0163609390.017993781.09980120.001660.071777480.150211630.152055671.01227630.00217
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.0012048523.94869479.0E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.00253542841.93983050.001230.00713934420.0157984550.017432231.10341360.001660.069142910.14551350.147367751.01274280.00217
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.0012048523.94869479.0E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.00253542841.93983050.001230.00713934420.0157984550.017432231.10341360.001660.069142910.14551350.147367751.01274280.00217
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-40.0011790144.0758058.9E-45.545738E-40.00123915090.00245763921.98332510.001220.00673105240.0149835480.0166088251.10847080.001650.065307880.138650880.140494171.01329450.00214
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-40.00114343354.5077548.9E-44.767372E-40.00108666050.00228535642.10310080.00120.0057888390.01315046850.0147590331.12231990.001630.0564034540.123004960.1248378751.01490120.00209
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-40.0010748124.57348548.4E-44.3796748E-40.00100679570.0021456482.13116530.001140.00531922470.0121892670.013740131.12723180.001570.0519369060.1147927640.116589741.01565410.00203
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-40.00106008294.8126978.4E-44.1181705E-49.436647E-40.00207259832.1963290.001130.00500235150.0114288590.0129611451.13407160.001550.0489123460.108204690.109988281.01648350.002
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-40.0010546434.90934858.4E-44.0227012E-49.203475E-40.00204930762.22666720.001130.00488664540.0111479070.0126806271.13748960.001550.047805770.1057982740.1075866741.01690390.002
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-40.00104791825.03581578.4E-43.900265E-48.915232E-40.00202051572.26636360.001130.00473823770.01080049950.0123238671.1410460.001540.0463847440.102768150.104553651.01737390.00199
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-40.00103967055.2025568.4E-43.758525E-48.5616973E-40.00198520232.31870170.001130.00456640640.0103742430.0118883711.14595070.001530.0447370560.099076440.100860271.01800450.00198
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-40.00102373995.5669988.4E-43.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.00191699082.43309640.001130.00420889440.0095503680.0110558521.15763620.001520.0413006580.091805180.0935852451.01938950.00196
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-40.00101318445.8454058.4E-43.328214E-47.426318E-40.00187179262.52048540.001130.00404457330.0090041380.0105104521.16729130.001520.039717480.087067610.0888569651.02055120.00196
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-49.953938E-46.0133318.3E-43.2225347E-47.092266E-40.00181843932.5639750.001110.00391637950.0086007140.0100878121.17290410.00150.0384807440.083521570.0852903651.02117780.00193
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-49.88276E-46.2388218.3E-43.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.00178795942.63433890.001110.0037887750.0082320760.0097197281.1807140.00150.037248270.080236540.0820116851.02212390.00193
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-49.839779E-46.38507848.3E-43.0504653E-46.602866E-40.00176955362.67997840.001110.00370761780.00800940950.0094973951.18577970.00150.0364636670.078226610.080005641.02274190.00193
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-49.7307534E-46.79549368.3E-42.8753807E-46.135452E-40.00172286412.80804780.001110.0034951570.00744436630.00893321.19999470.00150.0344069380.073055580.0748445841.02448820.00193
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-49.5192605E-47.2096878.2E-42.7000686E-45.657386E-40.00166511632.9432610.00110.00328237870.0068661430.00833598151.21407040.001480.0323431750.067713850.0694945161.0262970.00191
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-57.97173E-48.1979047.0E-42.1354125E-44.1668097E-40.00135628933.25498279.4E-40.00259676480.00506130050.00632487241.24965370.001270.0256662960.0506505070.052178961.03017640.00161
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-52.1329771E-44.0013651.6E-41.380421E-42.2843528E-44.383873E-41.91908752.1E-40.00167936690.00277765420.003026961.0897542.5E-40.0166673230.0283625680.0287123581.01233283.6E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-54.8822836E-52.59373073.0E-57.471398E-58.066923E-51.20666E-41.4958124.0E-59.0926304E-49.81706E-40.00102166671.04070544.0E-50.0090555170.0104839790.0105334561.00471915.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-61.5154002E-52.94021061.0E-53.3563636E-52.2088612E-53.2088392E-51.45271191.0E-54.0856065E-42.6889573E-42.7889304E-41.03717911.0E-50.0040781030.00304136680.0030613061.0065562.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-55.966851E-435.740845.8E-46.364676E-57.154718E-59.314857E-413.019188.6E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00233948232.68670580.001470.00771929140.0086758840.0109162771.25823210.00226
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-55.966851E-435.740845.8E-46.364676E-57.154718E-59.314857E-413.019188.6E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00233948232.68670580.001470.00771929140.0086758840.0109162771.25823210.00226
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-55.966851E-435.740845.8E-46.364676E-57.154718E-59.314857E-413.019188.6E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00233948232.68670580.001470.00771929140.0086758840.0109162771.25823210.00226
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-53.2188502E-427.0748753.1E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-55.009277E-49.83163454.5E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00134970032.1763997.3E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00721839961.16711330.00104
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-53.2188502E-427.0748753.1E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-55.009277E-49.83163454.5E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00134970032.1763997.3E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00721839961.16711330.00104
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-52.5061748E-423.598552.4E-43.964341E-54.551368E-53.9549774E-48.6896463.5E-44.8255164E-45.5399304E-40.00115366072.0824466.0E-40.00481505130.00552661950.0063619771.15115178.4E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-61.3915841E-415.1926261.3E-43.3875025E-53.925487E-52.4924663E-46.34944442.1E-44.1235037E-44.7782718E-48.076695E-41.69029633.3E-40.00411586040.0047683950.00523615351.09809574.7E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-67.840674E-59.3260027.0E-53.088333E-53.603092E-51.4602696E-44.05282351.1E-43.7593965E-44.3859181E-46.6849095E-41.52417562.3E-40.0037530430.0043776310.00469623041.07277893.2E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-66.784177E-58.6508136.0E-52.8691995E-53.3609194E-51.3360583E-43.97527621.0E-43.4926904E-44.091187E-45.9904094E-41.46422291.9E-40.0034872060.00408401250.004352911.06584142.7E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-65.713034E-58.01188855.0E-52.5894467E-53.0559786E-51.2055704E-43.94495659.0E-53.1521954E-43.7200528E-45.219495E-41.40307011.5E-40.00314772780.00371416380.0039134211.05364792.0E-4
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-63.508023E-56.9050373.0E-51.7717413E-52.1772896E-56.177202E-52.83710674.0E-52.1568815E-42.650543E-43.450331E-41.30174498.0E-50.00215478920.00264753470.002747271.0376711.0E-4
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-63.4631797E-57.4767433.0E-51.6146281E-51.9851012E-55.985022E-53.01497054.0E-51.9656324E-42.4166079E-43.1164387E-41.28959237.0E-50.00196389460.00241413060.00250391341.03719069.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-62.41567E-55.8113942.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814667E-54.7814134E-52.68397573.0E-51.777326E-42.168735E-42.7686046E-41.2765996.0E-50.00177590530.00216676670.00224659341.03684148.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-62.3629294E-56.51058242.0E-51.2829195E-51.5554348E-53.5554036E-52.28579432.0E-51.5618425E-41.8935918E-42.3934973E-41.26399845.0E-50.00156074530.00189212370.00196199121.03692547.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-61.288899E-54.46137331.0E-51.0307015E-51.2381457E-52.2381333E-51.80764941.0E-51.2548068E-41.5073526E-41.9072923E-41.26532594.0E-50.00125409850.00150647150.00154641131.02651214.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-61.1513471E-57.60725361.0E-55.44717E-66.4863593E-61.6486294E-52.5416871.0E-56.631728E-57.896981E-51.0896744E-41.3798623.0E-56.6297496E-47.895401E-48.195164E-41.03796683.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-52.3587207E-51.73596911.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.4586658E-41.07359091.0E-5

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.1208847E-418.6490023.9E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-57.1464037E-47.54643346.2E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00243101132.10936210.001280.010186330.0114784080.0134949931.1756850.00204
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.1208847E-418.6490023.9E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-57.1464037E-47.54643346.2E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00243101132.10936210.001280.010186330.0114784080.0134949931.1756850.00204
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-52.012535E-417.8802381.9E-44.2844134E-54.8237856E-53.6822242E-47.6334743.2E-45.2150246E-45.871897E-40.00128677862.19141917.0E-40.00520280330.0058614870.007034571.20013420.00118
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-52.0079629E-418.5950971.9E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.5626374E-47.69832323.1E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00122297022.17091946.6E-40.00499115330.00562422960.00673793071.19801840.00112
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-52.0079629E-418.5950971.9E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.5626374E-47.69832323.1E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00122297022.17091946.6E-40.00499115330.00562422960.00673793071.19801840.00112
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-61.0628497E-416.9092771.0E-42.3818526E-52.6938165E-51.9693359E-47.3105791.7E-42.8995197E-43.279497E-47.1782176E-42.18881683.9E-40.00289573940.00327729340.00397499931.21289097.0E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-69.551279E-517.3241029.0E-52.0889667E-52.3628318E-51.7362478E-47.34816461.5E-42.54302E-42.87663E-46.175681E-42.14684563.3E-40.0025401120.00287547520.00348372131.21152896.1E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-68.451555E-518.7150638.0E-51.7104636E-51.9353902E-51.4935138E-47.7168621.3E-42.0822904E-42.3563375E-45.0557015E-42.1455762.7E-40.00208034040.00235633740.00287511221.22016145.2E-4

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-53.0877138E-416.4442752.9E-47.182667E-58.0470316E-54.8043812E-45.9703774.0E-48.7413884E-49.794032E-40.00182857061.86702558.5E-40.0087070830.0097624130.0113170861.15925090.00157
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-52.009715E-418.3141121.9E-44.222546E-54.702921E-52.9701745E-46.3155952.5E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.0011121921.94268955.4E-40.0051278660.0057172210.00663196161.15999739.2E-4
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-52.009715E-418.3141121.9E-44.222546E-54.702921E-52.9701745E-46.3155952.5E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.0011121921.94268955.4E-40.0051278660.0057172210.00663196161.15999739.2E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-66.477774E-513.5574216.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.004756E-44.90669788.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.4925496E-41.80203072.0E-40.00224990030.002492510.00286158781.14807473.7E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-66.477774E-513.5574216.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.004756E-44.90669788.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.4925496E-41.80203072.0E-40.00224990030.002492510.00286158781.14807473.7E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-66.477774E-513.5574216.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.004756E-44.90669788.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.4925496E-41.80203072.0E-40.00224990030.002492510.00286158781.14807473.7E-4
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-66.4760614E-513.6026076.0E-51.8434059E-52.0403815E-51.0040218E-44.92075548.0E-52.2441156E-42.4841115E-44.4836148E-41.80491692.0E-40.00224185060.0024835930.0028526741.14860773.7E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-65.4270848E-512.7066465.0E-51.6542634E-51.8304541E-58.830326E-54.82411777.0E-52.0138794E-42.228578E-44.0281768E-41.80750991.8E-40.00201205540.0022285780.00255784251.14774643.3E-4

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-53.9866316E-421.3528353.8E-47.160038E-58.001303E-56.599666E-48.24823955.8E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00176296161.81052247.9E-40.008679770.0096954960.0109135711.1256330.00123
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-53.9866316E-421.3528353.8E-47.160038E-58.001303E-56.599666E-48.24823955.8E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00176296161.81052247.9E-40.008679770.0096954960.0109135711.1256330.00123
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-53.9866316E-421.3528353.8E-47.160038E-58.001303E-56.599666E-48.24823955.8E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00176296161.81052247.9E-40.008679770.0096954960.0109135711.1256330.00123
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-53.9866316E-421.3528353.8E-47.160038E-58.001303E-56.599666E-48.24823955.8E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00176296161.81052247.9E-40.008679770.0096954960.0109135711.1256330.00123
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-53.6733213E-421.1862743.5E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-56.142644E-48.2668495.4E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00164361931.8175837.4E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0101662351.12873220.00117
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-53.6733213E-421.1862743.5E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-56.142644E-48.2668495.4E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00164361931.8175837.4E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0101662351.12873220.00117
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-53.5680342E-421.2267463.4E-46.4463384E-57.203723E-55.820005E-48.0791625.1E-47.8455906E-48.767063E-40.00157609271.7977437.0E-40.007817950.0087331320.0098433511.12712720.00112
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-53.363508E-420.5643463.2E-46.271985E-57.009536E-55.60061E-47.9899874.9E-47.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.00152251111.7847176.7E-40.0076072990.0084987150.0095794521.12716470.00109
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-53.158773E-419.8889523.0E-46.089497E-56.8064175E-55.280329E-47.7578684.6E-47.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.00144785831.74783616.2E-40.0073867710.0082534560.0092452031.12016140.001
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-52.3540121E-415.2812352.2E-45.9056227E-56.6018045E-54.3599363E-46.60415843.7E-47.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.0013230611.64666585.2E-40.00716451930.0080063320.0088892071.1102728.9E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-52.2518497E-414.8263542.1E-45.8220405E-56.50905E-53.8506967E-45.9159123.2E-47.086029E-47.9219416E-40.00124183761.56759254.5E-40.0070634760.0078942930.0086879791.1005398.0E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-52.049785E-413.6822541.9E-45.742131E-56.420419E-53.6418493E-45.6722923.0E-46.9888023E-47.8141113E-40.0012010831.53706924.2E-40.00696686380.0077872240.0085313831.09556167.5E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-51.546775E-410.536931.4E-45.6254412E-56.291092E-53.0289582E-44.8146782.4E-46.846822E-47.6567667E-40.0011254011.46981243.6E-40.0068257650.007630970.008276011.08452926.5E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-51.5445176E-410.6859031.4E-45.5380664E-56.194336E-53.019285E-44.8742672.4E-46.74051E-47.53905E-40.00111363351.47715383.6E-40.0067201010.0075140550.00812939651.0818926.2E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-51.4428192E-410.1011081.3E-45.4722615E-56.1214756E-52.9120067E-44.7570342.3E-46.660441E-47.4504025E-40.0010847871.45601123.4E-40.00664051440.00742600350.0080215471.08019726.0E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-51.3401033E-49.5639591.2E-45.366431E-56.005014E-52.8003694E-44.6633852.2E-46.531671E-47.3087064E-40.00106062951.45118633.3E-40.0065125060.00728524570.007861021.0790335.8E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-51.3264663E-410.4874341.2E-44.8432343E-55.4205255E-52.7419333E-45.0584272.2E-45.895042E-46.5975444E-49.795433E-41.48470893.2E-40.00587942820.006578510.0071149581.08154555.4E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.00282436E-49.7519159.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.9406421E-44.4034631.5E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-47.7630644E-41.4471582.4E-40.0047832910.0053519140.00574977321.07433964.0E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-71.0364823E-528.4103071.0E-51.4822873E-61.5635396E-62.1563508E-513.7914692.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-54.9035363E-52.57593683.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.3033586E-41.21010644.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.9809686E-421.989773.8E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.3754955E-46.9285044.6E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.0016535411.75124037.1E-40.0089843110.0094041160.010523491.11903010.00113
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.9809686E-421.989773.8E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.3754955E-46.9285044.6E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.0016535411.75124037.1E-40.0089843110.0094041160.010523491.11903010.00113
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.9809686E-421.989773.8E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.3754955E-46.9285044.6E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.0016535411.75124037.1E-40.0089843110.0094041160.010523491.11903010.00113
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.6113263E-423.4506232.5E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-53.4770806E-47.28605753.0E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.00104060081.79145824.6E-40.00555155570.00579379360.0064797961.1184036.9E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.6113263E-423.4506232.5E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-53.4770806E-47.28605753.0E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.00104060081.79145824.6E-40.00555155570.00579379360.0064797961.1184036.9E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-62.0916836E-422.8095842.0E-43.767105E-53.930026E-52.8929044E-47.3610312.5E-44.585485E-44.7837716E-48.681906E-41.81486633.9E-40.00457603440.0047736380.00537077431.12509026.0E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-61.8771415E-424.3293691.8E-43.1700827E-53.3066175E-52.6305858E-47.95551872.3E-43.858892E-44.025073E-47.623624E-41.89403373.6E-40.0038521980.004017890.00454576031.13138015.3E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-61.5673702E-423.2615471.5E-42.7685543E-52.887696E-52.1887147E-47.57944971.9E-43.3701936E-43.5152107E-46.614121E-41.88157183.1E-40.00336508690.0035097320.00397808241.13344344.7E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-61.3583525E-423.2753661.3E-42.4000226E-52.5011232E-51.9500699E-47.79677631.7E-42.9216358E-43.044698E-45.543937E-41.82084952.5E-40.00291779750.0030405880.00342940211.12787463.9E-4
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-61.05039006E-420.8431021.0E-42.0738931E-52.159772E-51.615947E-47.48202561.4E-42.5246723E-42.6292098E-44.8286314E-41.83653332.2E-40.0025218060.0026261470.00294530651.12153153.2E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-68.38449E-521.8050378.0E-51.5830317E-51.647936E-51.2647755E-47.67490631.1E-41.9271708E-42.0061806E-43.5058797E-41.74753941.5E-40.00192550030.0020044010.002233941.11451752.3E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-65.289771E-518.2540995.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419316E-58.2418446E-56.63631157.0E-51.4535317E-41.511949E-42.4118129E-41.59516829.0E-50.00145258140.00151094180.00166071511.09912591.5E-4
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-65.22539E-523.182615.0E-59.2879945E-69.66002E-66.965944E-57.21110736.0E-51.1307546E-41.1760458E-41.9759517E-41.68016568.0E-50.00113017940.00117544170.00130528891.11046671.3E-4
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-64.154215E-526.9367624.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094562E-65.6609126E-58.5648695.0E-57.734395E-58.046731E-51.4046249E-41.74558446.0E-57.731704E-48.0439687E-49.0431643E-41.12421681.0E-4
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-71.0441083E-523.671221.0E-51.8137755E-61.8903745E-62.1890337E-511.5798942.0E-52.2082493E-52.3015113E-54.3014654E-51.86897422.0E-52.2080299E-42.3013182E-42.5012722E-41.08688682.0E-5
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-85.9415648E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463845E-72.5463845E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-63.1002196E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-53.1001844E-51.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-46.599439E-42.19943243.6E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00179467361.39627555.1E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0162897431.04814117.6E-40.062343370.142946990.143829761.00617550.00103
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-46.599439E-42.19943243.6E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00179467361.39627555.1E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0162897431.04814117.6E-40.062343370.142946990.143829761.00617550.00103
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-46.599439E-42.19943243.6E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00179467361.39627555.1E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0162897431.04814117.6E-40.062343370.142946990.143829761.00617550.00103
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-46.47831E-42.24992373.6E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00174281871.41296525.1E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0156673291.05018297.6E-40.0592863220.137657790.138545991.00645230.00103
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-46.47831E-42.24992373.6E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00174281871.41296525.1E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0156673291.05018297.6E-40.0592863220.137657790.138545991.00645230.00103
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-46.07973E-42.2680133.4E-44.5802278E-40.00114836530.00163780271.42620354.9E-40.00556217830.0138963350.0146260521.05251157.4E-40.054250030.12889890.129770011.0067580.001
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-45.7043275E-42.27705933.2E-44.1842813E-40.00107320860.00153271491.42816134.6E-40.0050824690.0129923990.0136931741.05393737.1E-40.0496778860.1210777460.121921511.00696879.6E-4
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-45.511478E-42.3836333.2E-43.7524657E-49.905964E-40.00145014061.46390684.6E-40.004559060.0119979020.0126993831.0584677.1E-40.044666560.1123730240.113225151.0075839.6E-4
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-45.46748E-42.41048673.2E-43.6693315E-49.7174826E-40.00143130121.47291364.6E-40.0044582630.0117709210.0124725631.05960817.1E-40.0436987580.110378630.111232671.00773739.6E-4
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-44.5062107E-42.6403242.8E-42.6243398E-47.312337E-40.0011409341.56028634.1E-40.00319045270.0088666360.0094910511.07042296.3E-40.0314503460.084202620.084971891.0091368.4E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-44.4491317E-42.69710782.8E-42.5111332E-47.067779E-40.00111648811.57968744.1E-40.00305301860.0085712650.0091958651.07287146.3E-40.030114140.081515620.082277951.00935218.3E-4
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-44.3909997E-42.75912712.8E-42.4056983E-46.818704E-40.00109159081.60087734.1E-40.00292500390.0082703530.0088951431.07554576.3E-40.0288680210.078812680.079577271.00970138.3E-4
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-44.2516866E-42.9279712.8E-42.1389198E-46.221777E-40.00103192251.65856584.1E-40.0026010250.00754880630.00816412551.08151226.2E-40.0257079120.072261910.073022651.01052768.2E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-44.171129E-43.0412612.8E-42.0317009E-45.8765925E-49.974183E-41.69727334.1E-40.00247078970.00713136560.0077469441.08631996.2E-40.0244349820.0685419440.069305741.01114348.2E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-44.011949E-43.0571812.7E-41.952286E-45.6229485E-49.6206996E-41.71097054.0E-40.0023743170.00682452930.00743036671.08877356.1E-40.0234910860.065791430.066548141.01150178.1E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-43.835513E-43.10358212.6E-41.8463485E-45.2953605E-49.193295E-41.73610383.9E-40.00224561150.00642811460.0070242581.09273996.0E-40.0222305450.0621902830.062940531.01206378.0E-4
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-53.4834017E-43.54131032.5E-41.4607502E-44.214953E-48.013351E-41.90117223.8E-40.00177701250.0051196560.00569668651.11270885.8E-40.0176286960.050022440.050763421.0148137.8E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-53.324751E-44.030212.5E-41.2134742E-43.5350522E-47.333709E-42.07456873.8E-40.00147640340.0042954420.00487295031.13444695.8E-40.014666330.0422724150.0430194441.01767177.8E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-53.1462105E-44.2152382.4E-41.1237934E-43.1984213E-46.897238E-42.15645073.7E-40.00136735970.0038871310.00445491541.14606775.7E-40.0135897680.0384374750.0391778761.01926267.7E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-52.7787208E-44.8004322.2E-49.200973E-52.4805416E-45.8796984E-42.37032843.4E-40.00111964280.003015880.0035343121.17190065.2E-40.0111401840.0301532650.030822461.02219316.9E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-51.0131947E-43.23480497.0E-55.322855E-51.342288E-42.2421672E-41.67040699.0E-56.478649E-40.00163301160.00175281561.07336391.2E-40.00645979350.016523690.0167203861.01190392.0E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-61.7822445E-52.27834961.0E-52.1084568E-53.3524673E-54.352434E-51.29827771.0E-52.566744E-44.080866E-44.1808252E-41.02449461.0E-50.0025637810.0043845570.0044044691.00454152.0E-5
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-61.29065465E-54.44046451.0E-51.0986286E-51.2456694E-52.245657E-51.80277121.0E-51.3374983E-41.5164974E-41.6164822E-41.06593141.0E-50.00133669340.0017049410.0017249071.01171062.0E-5
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-73.2080476E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-61.3748769E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.673901E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986671E-41.986671E-41.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-51.8170328E-48.3708211.6E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.0300647E-43.25722362.1E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00164149771.44999025.1E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0120909041.07281528.3E-4
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-51.8170328E-48.3708211.6E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.0300647E-43.25722362.1E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00164149771.44999025.1E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0120909041.07281528.3E-4
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-51.8170328E-48.3708211.6E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.0300647E-43.25722362.1E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00164149771.44999025.1E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0120909041.07281528.3E-4
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-51.16818985E-46.9449671.0E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-52.1207685E-42.94195941.4E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00128700651.46689774.1E-40.0079747840.008745070.0093992981.07481116.6E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-51.16818985E-46.9449671.0E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-52.1207685E-42.94195941.4E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00128700651.46689774.1E-40.0079747840.008745070.0093992981.07481116.6E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-51.1555643E-47.4274671.0E-46.081157E-56.6675726E-52.0666639E-43.09957481.4E-47.401293E-48.115349E-40.00122120221.50480544.1E-40.00737669130.0080916560.0087363961.07967966.5E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-51.147701E-47.76965761.0E-45.7724297E-56.330556E-52.032967E-43.21135621.4E-47.025667E-47.7053264E-40.00117022441.51872154.0E-40.00700349640.00768451440.0083195961.08264436.4E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-51.0428046E-47.3016619.0E-55.5832945E-56.120638E-51.9119843E-43.12383151.3E-46.7955407E-47.4499263E-40.00112470951.50969223.8E-40.0067747980.00743082860.008026371.08014466.0E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-64.622417E-57.4262644.0E-52.4408775E-52.6675973E-57.667464E-52.8742965.0E-52.971363E-43.2476155E-44.5471932E-41.40016371.3E-40.00296739330.00324581050.00341525861.05220521.7E-4
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-64.4792865E-59.3453674.0E-51.879567E-52.0541665E-57.054064E-53.43402725.0E-52.2881327E-42.5009477E-43.3007478E-41.31979878.0E-50.0022857780.00250094780.00261067271.04387331.1E-4

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.2069508E-42.0957292.2E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00120972751.40661323.5E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0110343981.0588766.2E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102165761.00699667.9E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.2069508E-42.0957292.2E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00120972751.40661323.5E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0110343981.0588766.2E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102165761.00699667.9E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.2069508E-42.0957292.2E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00120972751.40661323.5E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0110343981.0588766.2E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102165761.00699667.9E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.2069508E-42.0957292.2E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00120972751.40661323.5E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0110343981.0588766.2E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102165761.00699667.9E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.5427784E-41.92219321.7E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-40.00105944441.34165042.7E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0099877981.04345884.2E-40.0466930640.093786950.094285371.00531445.5E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.5427784E-41.92219321.7E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-40.00105944441.34165042.7E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0099877981.04345884.2E-40.0466930640.093786950.094285371.00531445.5E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8238011E-43.3235276E-41.82230811.5E-43.8748336E-47.813951E-40.00103119981.31969062.5E-40.00470740950.00947210.0098584061.04078353.9E-40.0460893250.092877210.093330771.00488345.0E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8152347E-43.3149624E-41.82618941.5E-43.8495753E-47.7772595E-40.00102753161.32122.5E-40.004676790.0094278150.0098141381.0409773.9E-40.0457958170.092471480.092925251.00490715.0E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8099119E-43.1096768E-41.7181371.3E-43.8339442E-47.754462E-40.00100526781.29637352.3E-40.0046578410.0094002980.0097569131.03793673.6E-40.045614140.09221920.092645861.00462654.7E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7981093E-43.0978755E-41.72285161.3E-43.7958333E-47.7039085E-40.00100021371.29831972.3E-40.0046116380.0093392780.0096860091.03712623.5E-40.045171030.091659110.092076941.00455864.6E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7819891E-43.0817575E-41.72939191.3E-43.746607E-47.6348626E-49.933107E-41.30101972.3E-40.0045519570.0092559320.0096026921.03746353.5E-40.0445983860.090893230.091311421.00460094.6E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7731842E-42.9729714E-41.67662871.2E-43.7215967E-47.597149E-49.695554E-41.27620952.1E-40.00452163350.0092104050.0095274581.03442343.2E-40.044307310.090474750.090865841.00432264.3E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7622454E-42.962034E-41.68082941.2E-43.6879873E-47.550296E-49.64871E-41.27792482.1E-40.00448088350.0091538420.0094510961.03247313.0E-40.0439160240.089955180.09032831.00414784.1E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7564454E-42.9562347E-41.68307791.2E-43.6715972E-47.5254537E-49.623873E-41.27884292.1E-40.00446101050.009123850.0094211131.03258093.0E-40.0437251480.089676230.090049471.0041624.1E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752704E-42.9524937E-41.68453651.2E-43.6608664E-47.509428E-49.607851E-41.27943852.1E-40.0044479990.0091045010.009401771.03265073.0E-40.0436001570.089496420.089869721.00417114.1E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7396381E-42.9394293E-41.68967871.2E-43.633435E-47.4534636E-49.551898E-41.28153822.1E-40.00441473770.0090369320.0093243121.03180052.9E-40.0432805750.088872090.089236541.00410084.0E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6841735E-42.8839713E-41.71239571.2E-43.531424E-47.2158914E-49.314376E-41.29081442.1E-40.00429103520.0087500470.009037511.03285262.9E-40.0420911760.086250320.086615821.00423774.0E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4205615E-42.2204478E-41.56307768.0E-53.001506E-46.0867006E-47.685727E-41.26270821.6E-40.00364821120.00738541740.0076137191.03091242.3E-40.0358889770.073522990.0738194661.00403243.2E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2969968E-42.096893E-41.61672958.0E-52.749151E-45.557374E-47.0565403E-41.26976171.5E-40.00334195470.00674514150.0069537251.03092352.1E-40.032921410.067255140.067534961.00416063.0E-4
7.94.939911E-59.341721E-51.5341162E-41.64221996.0E-52.116933E-44.0029807E-45.1025406E-41.27468531.1E-40.00257431950.0048627470.00502196931.03274321.6E-40.0254470130.0489158030.0491345521.00447192.3E-4
8.03.344983E-55.2228E-58.2226434E-51.57437463.0E-51.4334853E-42.2381509E-42.6380614E-41.1786794.0E-50.00174387110.00272154530.0027813821.02198626.0E-50.0173024960.0279231610.0280203691.00348131.0E-4
8.11.9104898E-51.9171663E-52.917147E-51.52159321.0E-58.1875565E-58.2161685E-59.216086E-51.12170121.0E-59.963791E-49.9986E-40.00100985011.00999141.0E-50.0099192350.0107495520.0107693371.00184062.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.00326811451.00613732.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-49.976851E-41.28260862.2E-40.00237938480.00332995830.00368875941.10774953.6E-40.0285869630.0402350430.0406669381.01073434.5E-40.251762840.33719730.3376481.00133666.8E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-43.927546E-41.29715379.0E-58.2510663E-40.0012970850.00146686441.13089311.7E-40.00999948850.015773930.015990461.01372712.2E-40.0956132560.149758250.150072831.00210073.7E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-42.624243E-41.4384238.0E-54.0410945E-47.8164786E-49.315306E-41.19175231.5E-40.00490893840.0094752460.0096634461.01986231.9E-40.0480190630.09185650.092110781.00276832.8E-4
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-42.5938975E-41.44584078.0E-53.9778434E-47.686494E-49.1853406E-41.19499751.5E-40.00483227470.0093183550.0095065841.02019991.9E-40.0472853850.0905094740.090764131.00281362.8E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-42.5701168E-41.45183158.0E-53.916052E-47.5846276E-49.0834894E-41.19761851.5E-40.00475737450.0091953870.009383641.02047251.9E-40.0465680920.08941360.0896685641.00285152.8E-4
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-42.5459242E-41.45809348.0E-53.8566816E-47.4809964E-48.9798745E-41.2003581.5E-40.00468540470.0090702840.0092585611.02075761.9E-40.0458784030.088296080.088551351.00289122.8E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-42.5140445E-41.46661518.0E-53.7755648E-47.3444354E-48.843334E-41.20408631.5E-40.00458706540.0089054040.0090937121.02114531.9E-40.044935290.086827070.087082761.00294482.8E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-42.500754E-41.4702628.0E-53.7443507E-47.287503E-48.7864103E-41.20568181.5E-40.00454922160.0088366950.0090250161.02131131.9E-40.044572130.08622680.086482651.00296722.8E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-42.4953045E-41.47177398.0E-53.7324068E-47.26416E-48.763071E-41.20634331.5E-40.00453474050.0088085130.008996841.02138011.9E-40.044433130.085974360.0862302851.00297682.8E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-42.4894005E-41.47342298.0E-53.7195362E-47.238869E-48.737783E-41.20706471.5E-40.00451913570.00877796950.0089663021.0214551.9E-40.0442833270.085700420.0859564241.00298712.8E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-42.4646858E-41.48045288.0E-53.6668387E-47.132999E-48.631929E-41.21014021.5E-40.0044552410.0086501030.008838461.0217751.9E-40.0436697270.084548360.084804691.00303172.8E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-42.3127758E-41.52870698.0E-53.3535215E-46.4822397E-47.9812674E-41.23125151.5E-40.00407527060.0078637380.0080324011.02144831.7E-40.0400134180.0774604450.07770031.00309662.6E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-42.2865023E-41.5380538.0E-53.2956956E-46.369685E-47.768793E-41.21965111.4E-40.0040051290.00772768260.0078864461.02054481.6E-40.03933710.076233410.0764643551.00302932.5E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-42.2561583E-41.54926698.0E-53.2371894E-46.239692E-47.6388184E-41.224231.4E-40.0039341570.00757052560.00772931471.02097461.6E-40.0386523340.074797770.0750290751.00309232.5E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-42.2262576E-41.56078368.0E-53.1802364E-46.1115966E-47.510741E-41.22893271.4E-40.0038650650.00741564160.0075744551.02141611.6E-40.037985290.073371520.073603181.00315732.5E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-41.9190548E-41.71475188.0E-52.6352672E-44.795452E-46.1947806E-41.29180321.4E-40.00320371780.0058228650.00598193331.02731791.6E-40.031579230.0585594620.058785411.00385842.4E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-41.9019208E-41.72586698.0E-52.598746E-44.7220418E-46.121381E-41.29634191.4E-40.00315938280.0057339620.00589304461.02774391.6E-40.0311484170.057720420.0579465661.00391792.4E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-51.4174805E-41.54489345.0E-52.2134806E-43.9316638E-44.931271E-41.25424531.0E-40.0026915820.00477630460.00489573131.0250041.2E-40.0265921410.048536410.04872671.00392072.0E-4
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-51.3559737E-41.58405095.0E-52.060858E-43.6681266E-44.5677964E-41.24526689.0E-50.00250620720.0044568070.00455636161.02233761.0E-40.0247813050.0453022640.0454741121.00379341.8E-4
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-51.07504675E-41.59248784.0E-51.7014367E-42.8928524E-43.59265E-41.24190577.0E-50.0020695310.00351636340.00359608231.02267078.0E-50.0205036360.035881760.0360167361.00376161.4E-4
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-57.069693E-51.73710423.0E-51.2420409E-41.7440901E-42.1440203E-41.2293064.0E-50.00151113570.00212136280.0021612781.01881584.0E-50.0150090120.022011180.022079641.00311027.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-52.8679553E-51.53532931.0E-58.0724014E-58.005358E-59.0052774E-51.12490631.0E-59.823717E-49.742171E-49.842074E-41.01025461.0E-50.0097804030.0104877110.0105075011.0018872.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.00326811451.00613732.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.7249672E-47.6664921.5E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.5640033E-43.69612482.6E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00156289691.33199043.9E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0123445691.05757656.8E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.7249672E-47.6664921.5E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.5640033E-43.69612482.6E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00156289691.33199043.9E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0123445691.05757656.8E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.7249672E-47.6664921.5E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.5640033E-43.69612482.6E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00156289691.33199043.9E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0123445691.05757656.8E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-51.7133374E-48.0299091.5E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-53.514171E-43.84310672.6E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00150229711.3500993.9E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0117350011.05984076.7E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-51.7133374E-48.0299091.5E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-53.514171E-43.84310672.6E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00150229711.3500993.9E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0117350011.05984076.7E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-51.7055792E-48.2952121.5E-47.8713354E-58.811567E-53.4809276E-43.9504072.6E-49.5791375E-40.00107228690.00146186861.36331873.9E-40.0095379510.01067191550.0113347661.06211166.7E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-51.6990794E-48.53340151.5E-47.625944E-58.53298E-53.453076E-44.04674152.6E-49.280632E-40.00103840150.00142799661.37518733.9E-40.0092419690.0103362530.01099932751.06415056.7E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-51.6904056E-48.8765841.5E-47.296412E-58.161216E-53.3159176E-44.0630192.5E-48.87976E-49.931813E-40.00136281391.37217023.7E-40.0088443620.0098881450.0105317181.06508536.5E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-51.5850995E-48.5622991.4E-47.090568E-57.93371E-53.1931806E-44.02482652.4E-48.629347E-49.655073E-40.00131516941.36215383.5E-40.0085959150.0096138290.0102377721.06490066.3E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-51.4808524E-48.1871171.3E-46.9232934E-57.751599E-53.0749815E-43.96689962.3E-48.4258494E-49.433546E-40.00128303391.36007583.4E-40.0083939730.0093941960.0100083711.06537826.2E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-51.4780324E-48.3009641.3E-46.81167E-57.6307304E-53.0628976E-44.01389842.3E-48.2900526E-49.286515E-40.00126833571.36578233.4E-40.0082591950.0092483970.0098626631.06641866.2E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-51.4748123E-48.4354511.3E-46.6865134E-57.492718E-53.0490995E-44.0694172.3E-48.137789E-49.118627E-40.00125155271.37252323.4E-40.0081080520.0090818940.0096863541.06655666.1E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-51.471684E-48.5709371.3E-46.56719E-57.358637E-53.0356945E-44.12534862.3E-47.99262E-48.9555193E-40.00123524751.37931423.4E-40.0079639340.0089201070.0095246661.06777496.1E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-51.4630034E-48.9741291.3E-46.238227E-56.9865826E-52.9984975E-44.29179432.3E-47.592395E-48.5029035E-40.00119000131.39952343.4E-40.00756650740.0084710140.0090560171.06905935.9E-4
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-51.458059E-49.2235751.3E-46.0501097E-56.7746674E-52.9773108E-44.39477062.3E-47.363519E-48.245094E-40.00116422911.41202643.4E-40.00733916740.0082151380.0088002911.07122865.9E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-51.3512447E-48.9330881.2E-45.7870053E-56.482538E-52.848111E-44.39351272.2E-47.043401E-47.8896893E-40.00111870861.41793743.3E-40.0070211190.0078623040.0084278231.07192785.7E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-51.3262482E-410.5038321.2E-44.834127E-55.4111737E-52.7409985E-45.06544162.2E-45.88396E-46.5861654E-49.784058E-41.4855473.2E-40.0058684050.0065671990.0071036521.08168695.4E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.00282436E-49.7519159.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.9406421E-44.4034631.5E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-47.7630644E-41.4471582.4E-40.0047832910.0053519140.00574977321.07433964.0E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-71.0364823E-528.4103071.0E-51.4822873E-61.5635396E-62.1563508E-513.7914692.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-54.9035363E-52.57593683.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.3033586E-41.21010644.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-51.8725908E-43.96183851.4E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-44.3250667E-42.1352742.3E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00282267361.145773.6E-40.020002880.0243883380.024934681.02240185.6E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-51.8725908E-43.96183851.4E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-44.3250667E-42.1352742.3E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00282267361.145773.6E-40.020002880.0243883380.024934681.02240185.6E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-51.8725908E-43.96183851.4E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-44.3250667E-42.1352742.3E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00282267361.145773.6E-40.020002880.0243883380.024934681.02240185.6E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-51.7360509E-45.1653131.4E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-43.740013E-42.59661032.3E-40.00147852190.00175227880.0021116481.20508673.6E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0179420771.03163915.6E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-51.7360509E-45.1653131.4E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-43.740013E-42.59661032.3E-40.00147852190.00175227880.0021116481.20508673.6E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0179420771.03163915.6E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-51.5860387E-45.54411941.3E-41.0477588E-41.2259845E-43.4257147E-42.79425622.2E-40.00127489980.00149166160.00184113961.23428763.5E-40.0126761050.0148213920.015363241.03655855.5E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-51.5465688E-46.27154731.3E-49.127464E-51.0568197E-43.1565977E-42.98688392.1E-40.00111070220.00128595120.0016255141.26405573.4E-40.0110516720.012788530.0133216241.04168535.4E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-51.4177841E-46.50926261.2E-48.125345E-59.334406E-52.933254E-43.1424112.0E-49.888117E-40.0011358970.00145553361.28139573.2E-40.0098442340.011303570.0118176921.04548315.2E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-51.2901626E-46.7837771.1E-47.153359E-58.150477E-52.714893E-43.3309621.9E-48.7057345E-49.918857E-40.00130157821.3122263.1E-40.0086717080.0098763430.01038130651.05112855.1E-4
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-51.2638773E-47.7114881.1E-46.216302E-57.0239046E-52.602257E-43.70485831.9E-47.5657194E-48.5483363E-40.00116456861.36233373.1E-40.0075400130.0085163860.0090121271.05821045.0E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-51.1453652E-47.87843851.0E-45.545963E-56.230414E-52.4229292E-43.88887361.8E-46.750118E-47.5829466E-40.00104807481.38214712.9E-40.0067296510.00755768970.0080340631.06303144.8E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-51.140768E-48.1030771.0E-45.3761712E-56.0333812E-52.4032294E-43.98322181.8E-46.5435225E-47.343222E-40.00102410921.3946322.9E-40.0065242880.0073195510.00779603751.06509784.8E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-51.1401427E-48.1347691.0E-45.3524967E-56.0065824E-52.4005501E-43.99653241.8E-46.514716E-47.310616E-40.00102084961.39639342.9E-40.0064956510.00728715960.0077636621.06538934.8E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-51.1387842E-48.2046081.0E-45.3005948E-55.9483587E-52.3947288E-44.0258651.8E-46.451563E-47.2397763E-40.00101376771.40027492.9E-40.00643286530.0072167820.00769331771.06603174.8E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-51.136465E-48.3270521.0E-45.212056E-55.8489582E-52.3847906E-44.0772911.8E-46.3438306E-47.118836E-40.00100167711.40707992.9E-40.0063257510.00709662070.00757321441.06715794.8E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-51.13144204E-48.6070581.0E-45.0175953E-55.6336736E-52.363266E-44.19489341.8E-46.10721E-46.856895E-49.7549066E-41.4226422.9E-40.00609045340.0068363210.0073031081.06828054.7E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-51.1157846E-49.635761.0E-44.4225842E-54.9626036E-52.296171E-44.62694841.8E-45.383166E-46.040347E-48.838656E-41.46326962.8E-40.00537014430.00602446030.0064816891.07589544.6E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-59.0021975E-58.9817388.0E-53.830414E-54.295409E-51.8294808E-44.2591541.4E-44.6625308E-45.228456E-47.5272535E-41.43967042.3E-40.00465276050.0052166640.005604631.07437043.9E-4
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-71.0328462E-531.4445971.0E-51.3320023E-61.407708E-62.140768E-515.2074712.0E-51.6217007E-51.7138715E-54.71382E-52.7503933.0E-51.6215823E-41.7137431E-42.1136746E-41.23336724.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-43.6370652E-41.23824647.0E-56.94276E-40.00125837780.00137822681.09524081.2E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155398951.02003843.1E-40.0810811450.139624540.140020311.00283464.6E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-43.6370652E-41.23824647.0E-56.94276E-40.00125837780.00137822681.09524081.2E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155398951.02003843.1E-40.0810811450.139624540.140020311.00283464.6E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-43.6370652E-41.23824647.0E-56.94276E-40.00125837780.00137822681.09524081.2E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155398951.02003843.1E-40.0810811450.139624540.140020311.00283464.6E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.2702577E-41.28238065.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.2856277E-41.09220337.0E-50.0052625310.00921772050.0094257851.02257222.1E-40.05139640.087073930.087366071.0033553.2E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.2702577E-41.28238065.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.2856277E-41.09220337.0E-50.0052625310.00921772050.0094257851.02257222.1E-40.05139640.087073930.087366071.0033553.2E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-55.639152E-51.21554451.0E-51.569536E-41.9880968E-42.0880769E-41.05028941.0E-50.0019092350.00241818140.00246806051.02062675.0E-50.018929150.0236970610.0237654021.00288397.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-52.6147465E-51.00.01.073584E-41.12056E-41.12056E-41.00.00.00130630470.00136347250.00138344521.01464842.0E-50.0129865250.0135657590.01360521651.00290864.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-52.2072489E-51.00.09.509556E-59.459316E-59.459316E-51.00.00.00115717340.00115109960.00117107661.01735472.0E-50.0115116630.01146632250.0115058651.00344854.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-51.44376E-51.00.07.137396E-56.187399E-56.187399E-51.00.08.686314E-47.5306057E-47.5306057E-41.00.00.0086524390.00751007630.00751007631.00.0
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-51.2331886E-51.00.06.446802E-55.2849886E-55.2849886E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.4326054E-46.4326054E-41.00.00.0078185090.0064179250.0064179251.00.0
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-51.1451172E-51.00.06.154734E-54.9075545E-54.9075545E-51.00.07.490812E-45.973339E-45.973339E-41.00.00.0074656120.0059609820.0059609821.00.0
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-51.0244736E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.3905282E-54.3905282E-51.00.06.919436E-45.344183E-45.344183E-41.00.00.0068979310.00533460030.00533460031.00.0
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-68.504847E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6448844E-53.6448844E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4367602E-44.4367602E-41.00.00.0060326030.0044293570.0044293571.00.0
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-67.238537E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.102194E-53.102194E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.776281E-43.776281E-41.00.00.0052825810.0037702710.0037702711.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-66.352307E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7223898E-52.7223898E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.314019E-43.314019E-41.00.00.0047269960.00330922570.00330922571.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-65.225419E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2394468E-52.2394468E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7261977E-42.7261977E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272297840.00272297841.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-64.687336E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0088435E-52.0088435E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.445504E-42.445504E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244292920.00244292921.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-62.329331E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.982813E-69.982813E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2153471E-41.2153471E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121475550.00121475551.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.8321002E-41.57541361.4E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.001271821.22048682.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129395941.02583193.3E-40.05910160.1206402260.121044731.0033534.6E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.8321002E-41.57541361.4E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.001271821.22048682.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129395941.02583193.3E-40.05910160.1206402260.121044731.0033534.6E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.8321002E-41.57541361.4E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.001271821.22048682.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129395941.02583193.3E-40.05910160.1206402260.121044731.0033534.6E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.8321002E-41.57541361.4E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.001271821.22048682.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129395941.02583193.3E-40.05910160.1206402260.121044731.0033534.6E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.8321002E-41.57541361.4E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.001271821.22048682.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129395941.02583193.3E-40.05910160.1206402260.121044731.0033534.6E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.6641367E-41.54968211.3E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00123271841.21696932.2E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125793471.02577413.2E-40.0573273340.117610080.117998331.00330114.4E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.6641367E-41.54968211.3E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00123271841.21696932.2E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125793471.02577413.2E-40.0573273340.117610080.117998331.00330114.4E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3335687E-43.5332888E-41.51411381.2E-44.777557E-49.997191E-40.00120950911.2098492.1E-40.00580117340.0121040880.0124103361.02530123.1E-40.056520510.11622910.116609131.00326964.3E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3237852E-43.5235062E-41.51627891.2E-44.7578133E-49.955293E-40.00120532021.2107332.1E-40.0057772630.0120536430.0123599071.02540843.1E-40.0562935840.115788940.116169151.00328364.3E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3130233E-43.512746E-41.51868151.2E-44.7362508E-49.909206E-40.00120071251.21171412.1E-40.00575114970.0119981520.0123044331.02552743.1E-40.056045690.115304450.115684871.00329924.3E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3031076E-43.5028314E-41.52091521.2E-44.7157376E-49.866742E-40.00119646711.21262622.1E-40.00572630620.0119470210.0122533171.02563793.1E-40.0558097960.114856580.115237191.00331384.3E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1540876E-43.153872E-41.46413361.0E-44.417027E-49.228548E-40.00111267951.20569291.9E-40.00536447760.0111781880.0114649471.02565342.9E-40.0523681380.108090420.1084561051.00338324.1E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.094876E-43.0946665E-41.47725521.0E-44.296783E-48.9749607E-40.00108732551.21151011.9E-40.00521879220.0108725660.0111495221.02547292.8E-40.0509792120.105390860.1057487061.00339544.0E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0423878E-43.0421835E-41.48952291.0E-44.2065824E-48.7501644E-40.00106485011.21694871.9E-40.0051094930.0106015720.0108786031.02613122.8E-40.0499359850.102975460.103334261.00348444.0E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9793298E-42.9791318E-41.50512151.0E-44.0979648E-48.4800937E-40.00102785671.21208181.8E-40.00497786370.0102759010.0105431271.0260052.7E-40.0486782530.1000678840.100418861.00350743.9E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6113915E-42.6112303E-41.62048161.0E-43.4505792E-46.9041376E-48.702895E-41.26053321.8E-40.00419299030.0083734710.0086312951.03079042.6E-40.041147530.0828152450.0831546041.00409783.7E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5767086E-42.576551E-41.63413261.0E-43.384E-46.755574E-48.5543585E-41.26626661.8E-40.00411223850.008193970.008451841.03147072.6E-40.0403696970.081158660.081498631.0041893.7E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3277122E-41.9276325E-41.45184526.0E-52.8742946E-45.688955E-46.9882156E-41.2283831.3E-40.0034938390.00690433850.00710295751.02876732.0E-40.0343941640.069053390.069323371.00390972.9E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2198445E-41.8197713E-41.49180596.0E-52.6344648E-45.226858E-46.4262305E-41.22946351.2E-40.00320274360.0063451560.00652401431.02818811.8E-40.0315697640.06351720.063770051.00398092.7E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8802946E-51.3879851E-41.56299445.0E-52.0414138E-43.8052857E-44.7049433E-41.23642319.0E-50.00248258840.0046231010.0047624541.03014271.4E-40.0245503650.0466293660.0468295741.00429362.1E-4
8.03.3554235E-55.2138024E-58.213646E-51.57536583.0E-51.4379594E-42.2342955E-42.634206E-41.17898744.0E-50.00174930970.0027168630.00277671.02202436.0E-50.0173560340.0278819050.0279791171.00348651.0E-4
8.11.9175432E-51.9183564E-52.9183373E-51.52126961.0E-58.217783E-58.221269E-59.221186E-51.12162581.0E-50.00100005580.00100048050.00101047041.00998521.0E-50.0099556730.0107577710.0107775561.00183922.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.00326811451.00613732.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.720296E-41.47595741.2E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.00128958421.19426852.1E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0133739071.02341213.1E-40.062179490.124384120.124769391.00309744.4E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.720296E-41.47595741.2E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.00128958421.19426852.1E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0133739071.02341213.1E-40.062179490.124384120.124769391.00309744.4E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.502277E-43.7019767E-41.47944321.2E-45.2290526E-40.00107196530.00128174011.19569182.1E-40.0063478040.0129735780.0132795561.02358473.1E-40.0616951360.1235713140.123956941.00312074.4E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4908737E-43.690575E-41.48163871.2E-45.202953E-40.00106708230.00127685821.19658832.1E-40.0063162120.0129148340.013220831.02369343.1E-40.061396770.123065320.123451171.00313534.4E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4414246E-43.6411316E-41.49139631.2E-45.0840975E-40.00104590680.00125568721.20057272.1E-40.0061723350.0126600440.012966121.02417653.1E-40.0600368680.120859040.121237071.00312784.3E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4207575E-43.620467E-41.49559261.2E-45.032341E-40.00103705660.00124683881.20228612.1E-40.0061096770.0125535360.0128596441.02438433.1E-40.0594440770.119930080.120308511.00315554.3E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3516564E-43.4513976E-41.46764541.1E-44.866766E-40.0010074650.00120726341.19831812.0E-40.00590920170.0121973450.0124936851.02429563.0E-40.0575451850.11684920.1172201261.00317444.2E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.336088E-43.4358312E-41.47076271.1E-44.829711E-40.0010007980.00120059771.19964052.0E-40.0058643310.0121170790.0124134441.02445843.0E-40.0571196970.116152750.1165239661.00319594.2E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3249313E-43.4246754E-41.47302221.1E-44.8068175E-49.960202E-40.0011958211.20059922.0E-40.0058366080.0120595550.0123559381.02457653.0E-40.0568567250.115650610.1160220351.00321164.2E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3098059E-43.409552E-41.47612051.1E-44.7763053E-49.895428E-40.00118934491.20191362.0E-40.00579965770.0119815640.0122779691.02473843.0E-40.0565061270.114970270.115341981.00323314.2E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2721413E-43.3718912E-41.48401491.1E-44.698779E-49.734129E-40.00117321821.20526272.0E-40.0057057680.0117873240.01208378751.0251513.0E-40.0556147360.113270110.113642541.00328794.2E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0540332E-43.0538277E-41.4867471.0E-44.2541555E-48.8000396E-40.00105984561.20436451.8E-40.00516714060.0106617080.0109189371.02412632.6E-40.050486340.103365730.103706451.00329633.8E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0044584E-43.004258E-41.49878791.0E-44.1551032E-48.587718E-40.00103861721.20942161.8E-40.005047110.0104057030.0106629981.02472632.6E-40.049340090.101102330.101443921.00337853.8E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9473763E-42.9471816E-41.51341141.0E-44.0591392E-48.343239E-40.00101417371.21556351.8E-40.00493080870.0101108510.0103682221.0254552.6E-40.0482282680.098474120.09881671.00347893.8E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8844259E-42.8842373E-41.53056561.0E-43.9509835E-48.07362E-49.772248E-41.21039221.7E-40.0047997170.0097855780.0100331321.02529782.5E-40.0469736530.095558310.095892951.0035023.7E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5179155E-42.5177636E-41.65869821.0E-43.306571E-46.5037323E-48.2026265E-41.26121841.7E-40.00401832070.0078896170.0081277231.03017972.4E-40.039464330.0782891960.07861181.00412063.5E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4838556E-42.4837072E-41.673821.0E-43.241072E-46.357833E-48.056752E-41.26721671.7E-40.00393886720.0077132560.0079514051.03087522.4E-40.0386977940.0766548740.076978051.0042163.5E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2359623E-41.8358881E-41.48539176.0E-52.7332708E-45.2959064E-46.4952706E-41.22647011.2E-40.00332267980.00642873070.00660757351.02781931.8E-40.0327343640.064544880.064797451.00391322.7E-4
7.85.863422E-51.14169685E-41.7416284E-41.52547366.0E-52.512653E-44.892069E-45.991531E-41.22474371.1E-40.0030548640.00593984970.0060988991.02677671.6E-40.0301320940.059661620.0598967041.00394032.5E-4
7.94.595283E-58.426815E-51.3426394E-41.5932945.0E-51.9692584E-43.6109926E-44.4107036E-41.22146578.0E-50.00239493580.00438752770.0045070011.02723031.2E-40.0236928910.0443631370.044544711.00409281.9E-4
8.03.2950178E-55.077396E-58.0772435E-51.5908243.0E-51.412074E-42.1758456E-42.5757586E-41.18379654.0E-50.00171784440.00264587530.0026957431.01884735.0E-50.0170462560.0271810720.0272686261.00322129.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9183733E-52.9183542E-51.52126491.0E-58.218658E-58.221342E-59.221259E-51.12162471.0E-50.00100016220.00100048930.00101047931.00998511.0E-50.0099567280.0107578870.0107776721.0018392.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.00326811451.00613732.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.1365512E-44.804249.0E-59.602906E-51.0138454E-42.2137238E-42.18349241.2E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00148339351.20239212.5E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0126582551.0313873.9E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.1365512E-44.804249.0E-59.602906E-51.0138454E-42.2137238E-42.18349241.2E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00148339351.20239212.5E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0126582551.0313873.9E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365663E-57.136498E-56.27899846.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.1870569E-42.43703327.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-47.4278703E-41.2528541.5E-40.005609740.00591336140.006132061.03698382.2E-4
6.31.0781252E-51.1365663E-57.136498E-56.27899846.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.1870569E-42.43703327.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-47.4278703E-41.2528541.5E-40.005609740.00591336140.006132061.03698382.2E-4
6.47.814439E-68.237729E-65.8237318E-57.06958445.0E-53.3490025E-53.530408E-58.5302316E-52.41621695.0E-54.0766477E-44.2974384E-45.2970083E-41.23259681.0E-40.00406917740.00428927460.0044485881.03714241.6E-4
6.56.4986366E-66.85092E-63.6850714E-55.37894443.0E-52.7851002E-52.9360759E-55.9359878E-52.02174193.0E-53.390332E-43.5740953E-44.1738807E-41.16781466.0E-50.0033851640.00356844320.00367805081.03071581.1E-4
6.65.582177E-65.8860055E-62.5885887E-54.397872.0E-52.3923398E-52.5225498E-54.5224995E-51.79282862.0E-52.9122844E-43.0707786E-43.5706253E-41.16277525.0E-50.00290847060.0030666090.00315633281.02925849.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.940427E-62.494033E-55.0482132.0E-52.0082172E-52.1173091E-54.117267E-51.94457522.0E-52.4447302E-42.5775246E-43.0773957E-41.19393465.0E-50.00244204230.00257459120.00265438531.03099298.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520183E-62.3751943E-56.33044432.0E-51.5250586E-51.6079981E-53.607966E-52.24376252.0E-51.8566006E-41.957566E-42.457468E-41.25536925.0E-50.00185505020.00195588260.00202574581.03571957.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710034E-62.267095E-58.48780252.0E-51.0854958E-51.1447109E-53.144688E-52.74714612.0E-51.3215111E-41.3935992E-41.7935435E-41.28698664.0E-50.00132072540.00139275290.00144268321.03585025.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019439E-61.1801926E-56.54955241.0E-57.3213873E-67.722595E-61.7722517E-52.29489161.0E-58.913424E-59.40187E-51.1401682E-41.21270362.0E-58.9098496E-49.3980576E-49.697775E-41.03189153.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.114975E-59.6974421.0E-54.6737446E-64.9275427E-61.4927493E-53.02939921.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-56.999068E-51.16668091.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.197486E-41.03332662.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858728E-59.18572E-54.2023127.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-52.2366524E-42.38761121.3E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00138973171.2190452.5E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0117263871.03309813.8E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858728E-59.18572E-54.2023127.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-52.2366524E-42.38761121.3E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00138973171.2190452.5E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0117263871.03309813.8E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858728E-59.18572E-54.2023127.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-52.2366524E-42.38761121.3E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00138973171.2190452.5E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0117263871.03309813.8E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176583E-56.2175975E-55.1061925.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.421798E-42.72456039.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-48.0508454E-41.26746541.7E-40.00578410220.00633687530.00655548131.03449742.2E-4
6.41.1117327E-51.2176583E-56.2175975E-55.1061925.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.421798E-42.72456039.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-48.0508454E-41.26746541.7E-40.00578410220.00633687530.00655548131.03449742.2E-4
6.56.103093E-66.672021E-62.6671887E-53.99757272.0E-52.615585E-52.8594131E-54.859356E-51.69942432.0E-53.1840094E-43.480905E-43.9807308E-41.14359085.0E-50.00317945120.00347668650.0035763391.0286631.0E-4
6.65.817237E-66.3656585E-62.6365531E-54.14183862.0E-52.4930776E-52.728118E-54.728063E-51.73308612.0E-53.034899E-43.3211018E-43.8209357E-41.15050245.0E-50.00303075770.00331736050.00341702881.03004441.0E-4
6.74.8846314E-65.3405684E-62.5340461E-54.74489972.0E-52.0933967E-52.2888014E-54.2887557E-51.87379982.0E-52.5484123E-42.7863772E-43.286238E-41.17939455.0E-50.00254549180.00278403910.00287378861.03223729.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.9399079E-61.9399079E-61.00.07.6237375E-68.313874E-68.313874E-61.00.09.281505E-51.01218284E-41.11217276E-41.09878641.0E-59.2776294E-40.00101187650.00104184611.02961793.0E-5
6.97.5455404E-78.297092E-78.297092E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5558937E-63.5558937E-61.00.03.937079E-54.3292483E-54.3292483E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.3287344E-44.3287344E-41.00.0
7.06.8578805E-77.541816E-77.541816E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2322048E-63.2322048E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9351715E-53.9351715E-51.00.03.577705E-43.9347992E-43.9347992E-41.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0704355E-52.0069676E-43.95817571.5E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-44.1724512E-41.9202352.0E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00294188531.11322123.0E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265228771.014153.8E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0704355E-52.0069676E-43.95817571.5E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-44.1724512E-41.9202352.0E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00294188531.11322123.0E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265228771.014153.8E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0704355E-52.0069676E-43.95817571.5E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-44.1724512E-41.9202352.0E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00294188531.11322123.0E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265228771.014153.8E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090967E-51.4008765E-44.65547231.1E-41.0389358E-41.289551E-42.6893706E-42.0855091.4E-40.00126417040.00156893120.00177860171.13363912.1E-40.012570030.0155822290.0158381781.01642572.6E-4
6.42.4242801E-53.0090967E-51.4008765E-44.65547231.1E-41.0389358E-41.289551E-42.6893706E-42.0855091.4E-40.00126417040.00156893120.00177860171.13363912.1E-40.012570030.0155822290.0158381781.01642572.6E-4
6.52.0286952E-52.5316054E-51.0531403E-44.159978.0E-58.694118E-51.0849296E-42.1848103E-42.01378061.1E-40.00105799490.00132011860.00148989411.12860631.7E-40.0105297190.0131247010.0133319441.01579032.1E-4
6.62.0269223E-52.5297004E-51.0529498E-44.16234978.0E-58.6865206E-51.08411325E-42.183994E-42.01454421.1E-40.00105707070.00131912580.00148890161.12870321.7E-40.0105205650.013114890.0133221361.01580242.1E-4
6.71.799852E-52.2540933E-58.2539584E-53.66176416.0E-57.713423E-59.660051E-51.8659182E-41.93158219.0E-59.3870464E-40.00117549110.00132531491.12745621.5E-40.0093474930.0116943460.011872241.0152121.8E-4
6.81.7458793E-52.184258E-58.184127E-53.74686846.0E-57.4821255E-59.360778E-51.8359936E-41.96136869.0E-59.10568E-40.00113909330.00127893381.12276481.4E-40.0090684590.0113341310.01150220351.01482891.7E-4
6.91.542884E-51.9026285E-55.9025526E-53.10231474.0E-56.612192E-58.153875E-51.5153304E-41.85841757.0E-58.04737E-49.922953E-40.00111217621.12081171.2E-40.0080182910.0098800430.0100285611.01503221.5E-4
7.01.468253E-51.803109E-55.803037E-53.21835044.0E-56.292361E-57.727389E-51.4726848E-41.90579877.0E-57.658257E-49.4041653E-40.00106030381.1274831.2E-40.00763191840.0093657360.0095143311.01586581.5E-4
7.11.3139281E-51.620139E-55.620074E-53.4688844.0E-55.6309986E-56.943275E-51.394279E-42.00809987.0E-56.853584E-48.4502844E-49.549355E-41.13006321.1E-40.00683248560.0084194490.00855827051.01648821.4E-4
7.21.1127404E-51.3867038E-53.386676E-52.4422492.0E-54.7688E-55.9428872E-58.942709E-51.50477523.0E-55.8044674E-47.233172E-47.8327383E-41.08289116.0E-50.00578932980.0072107370.0073000881.01239139.0E-5
7.39.808154E-61.2176586E-53.2176344E-52.64247662.0E-54.2034266E-55.2184383E-57.218334E-51.38323642.0E-55.11647E-46.351704E-46.851386E-41.07866915.0E-50.00510470570.0063346250.00641411871.0125498.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.792348E-61.979225E-52.02119571.0E-53.4038632E-54.1966585E-55.1966163E-51.23827481.0E-54.1434157E-45.108328E-45.508124E-41.07826354.0E-50.00413569850.0050975270.00514727231.00975875.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.7729717E-61.5772914E-52.73220011.0E-52.019465E-52.4741115E-53.4740868E-51.40417551.0E-52.4584212E-43.011891E-43.3118005E-41.09957523.0E-50.00245570320.00300856140.00303847131.00994163.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-52.3587207E-51.73596911.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.4586658E-41.07359091.0E-5

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.6697517E-423.9346711.6E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-45.9390237E-41.63166222.3E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00401603341.10408973.8E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.6697517E-423.9346711.6E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-45.9390237E-41.63166222.3E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00401603341.10408973.8E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.6697517E-423.9346711.6E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-45.9390237E-41.63166222.3E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00401603341.10408973.8E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.6697517E-423.9346711.6E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-45.9390237E-41.63166222.3E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00401603341.10408973.8E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.6697517E-423.9346711.6E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-45.9390237E-41.63166222.3E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00401603341.10408973.8E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.6697517E-423.9346711.6E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-45.9390237E-41.63166222.3E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00401603341.10408973.8E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148208E-61.11614645E-469.1189041.1E-41.136995E-56.9206426E-61.4691967E-421.2291951.4E-41.3842035E-48.42556E-52.5424128E-43.01751.7E-40.00138334158.4224E-40.00109202941.29657752.5E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501544E-61.1154998E-471.960561.1E-41.11010095E-56.643502E-61.4664257E-422.0730841.4E-41.351464E-48.088166E-52.5086792E-43.1016661.7E-40.00135064248.0852525E-40.00104833131.29659682.4E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469546E-61.1154678E-472.107341.1E-41.1080193E-56.629789E-61.4662887E-422.116671.4E-41.34893E-48.071472E-52.50701E-43.10601331.7E-40.00134811148.06857E-40.00104666341.29721052.4E-4
6.92.458257E-61.422029E-61.11421876E-478.354161.1E-41.0535345E-56.0943958E-61.4609355E-423.9717851.4E-41.2826028E-47.419676E-52.4418414E-43.29103521.7E-40.00128186277.4172183E-49.815438E-41.32333152.4E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3989927E-61.1139884E-479.627891.1E-41.0432016E-55.9956697E-61.4599483E-424.3500461.4E-41.270024E-47.299485E-52.4298244E-43.32876131.7E-40.00126929847.297107E-49.6953555E-41.32865752.4E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339427E-61.0133381E-475.965641.0E-41.0136736E-55.716885E-61.3571614E-423.7395271.3E-41.2340778E-46.9600865E-52.2958973E-43.2986621.6E-40.00123339266.957924E-49.2563237E-41.33032832.3E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502497E-61.0125012E-480.9839251.0E-49.737784E-65.358202E-61.353575E-425.261741.3E-41.1855107E-46.523417E-52.2522373E-43.45254231.6E-40.00118487846.5215176E-48.8200177E-41.35244872.3E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419382E-61.0114182E-488.570311.0E-49.163737E-64.894012E-61.2489343E-425.519641.2E-41.1156279E-45.9582977E-52.0957403E-43.51734761.5E-40.0011150685.956712E-48.1554014E-41.36911132.2E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.574928E-78.095742E-584.551468.0E-58.163426E-64.103534E-61.0410312E-425.3691371.0E-49.9385186E-54.995939E-51.799529E-43.60198331.3E-49.934074E-44.9948227E-46.993824E-41.40021462.0E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559763E-75.0755938E-567.139595.0E-56.5885843E-63.2398946E-67.3239666E-522.6055727.0E-58.021306E-53.9445007E-51.1944185E-43.02806028.0E-58.0184115E-43.9438053E-45.443214E-41.38019341.5E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-72.0465932E-543.923872.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-63.1996828E-516.0233423.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-55.431112E-52.23393633.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.2307272E-41.32901338.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.5578539E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.676515E-76.676515E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.128628E-68.128628E-61.00.02.8741814E-48.128342E-58.128342E-51.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3384395E-43.6381357E-41.55579631.3E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00118162221.17949621.8E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124052261.02280592.8E-40.0424638280.112581870.112910221.00291653.7E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3384395E-43.6381357E-41.55579631.3E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00118162221.17949621.8E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124052261.02280592.8E-40.0424638280.112581870.112910221.00291653.7E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3384395E-43.6381357E-41.55579631.3E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00118162221.17949621.8E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124052261.02280592.8E-40.0424638280.112581870.112910221.00291653.7E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3384395E-43.6381357E-41.55579631.3E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00118162221.17949621.8E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124052261.02280592.8E-40.0424638280.112581870.112910221.00291653.7E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2941893E-43.5938912E-41.5665191.3E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.0011626791.18295981.8E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0121774871.02324782.8E-40.0411807450.1105629650.110892061.00297653.7E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2941893E-43.5938912E-41.5665191.3E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.0011626791.18295981.8E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0121774871.02324782.8E-40.0411807450.1105629650.110892061.00297653.7E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2186468E-43.5183583E-41.58581281.3E-43.2649786E-49.5050444E-40.00113033331.18919311.8E-40.00396786770.01151153350.0117784251.02318482.7E-40.038977640.107099540.107420991.00300133.6E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1862281E-43.485944E-41.59450151.3E-43.188454E-49.3662075E-40.00111645221.19200031.8E-40.00387503460.0113442680.01161120551.02353062.7E-40.0380815640.10560810.105930081.00304883.6E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1709445E-43.4706623E-41.59868761.3E-43.1597257E-49.300753E-40.00110990791.19335271.8E-40.00384018150.0112654060.0115323651.02369712.7E-40.037744950.1049096960.1052319261.00307153.6E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1478413E-43.447562E-41.60512891.3E-43.117806E-49.20181E-40.00109002461.18457631.7E-40.0037893230.0111461820.0113933951.02217922.5E-40.0372535620.103857530.1041622161.00293373.4E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1062451E-43.4059712E-41.61708211.3E-43.0436125E-49.023664E-40.0010722131.18822351.7E-40.0036993030.0109314840.01117875151.02261972.5E-40.036383250.1019595340.1022648661.00299473.4E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0898094E-43.3895377E-41.62193631.3E-43.0118722E-48.953274E-40.00106517521.18970471.7E-40.00366078970.0108466410.0110939291.02279872.5E-40.0360106860.101202430.101508021.00301963.4E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.050596E-43.3503294E-41.6338321.3E-42.9353087E-48.7853306E-40.00104838381.19333431.7E-40.0035678830.01064418350.0108915221.0232372.5E-40.0351114050.099394490.09970071.00308073.4E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9733235E-43.273067E-41.65865711.3E-42.8379448E-48.4543816E-40.00101529451.20090911.7E-40.00344972430.0102451110.0104925491.02415192.5E-40.0339666120.0958912450.096198651.00320573.4E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4690042E-42.7688133E-41.88482321.3E-42.1877038E-46.294222E-47.993152E-41.26991891.7E-40.0026602760.0076364820.0078746491.03118812.4E-40.026286540.072865540.073162221.00407163.2E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.11307076E-42.412926E-42.16781021.3E-41.6843023E-44.7694342E-46.468623E-41.35626641.7E-40.00204870920.00579139540.00603000541.04120082.4E-40.0202992470.056011510.0563135851.00539313.2E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.4956984E-52.0494679E-42.41235951.2E-41.2792926E-43.6405068E-45.2399246E-41.43933931.6E-40.00155642590.00442333470.0046423621.04951622.2E-40.01545569950.0431961450.0434831871.00664513.0E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.353527E-51.8352765E-42.88859491.2E-49.0576345E-52.722656E-44.3222206E-41.58750141.6E-40.00110220910.00330980080.00352907251.06624932.2E-40.0109675820.032584560.032865111.00860992.9E-4
7.81.883379E-55.564576E-51.6563963E-42.97668031.1E-48.0713755E-52.3846005E-43.884243E-41.62888621.5E-49.822468E-40.0028993890.00310878011.0722192.1E-40.00977916550.0286969780.0289689431.00947712.8E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.1662403E-51.3165866E-43.1601319.0E-56.495346E-51.7854095E-42.9851953E-41.67199471.2E-47.9052144E-40.00217157040.00235117951.08270931.8E-40.0078771520.0217609460.0220055061.01123852.5E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9976925E-58.9975125E-53.00147946.0E-54.8881542E-51.2846621E-42.0845594E-41.62265188.0E-55.9497025E-40.00156295510.00167278321.07026951.1E-40.0059337980.0157740130.0159511731.01123121.8E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.369465E-61.7369392E-52.35694051.0E-51.8647626E-53.158304E-54.1582723E-51.31661561.0E-52.2701119E-43.844558E-43.9445196E-41.02600071.0E-50.00226779420.00411654450.00413646181.00483852.0E-5
8.22.3042528E-62.7328301E-61.2732803E-54.65921.0E-59.875332E-61.1712076E-52.171196E-51.85380961.0E-51.2022553E-41.4258524E-41.5258382E-41.07012341.0E-50.00120160510.00159796370.00161793181.01249592.0E-5
8.35.202968E-73.1590292E-73.1590292E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.353869E-61.353869E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6483244E-51.6483244E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.955901E-41.955901E-41.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-69.8550496E-511.5246699.0E-53.539214E-53.6647863E-51.666431E-44.54714351.3E-44.308141E-44.4611428E-46.860072E-41.53773882.4E-40.00429979850.0044539450.00479243041.07599693.4E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-63.3775203E-58.9463243.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-57.617888E-54.7082566.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.06955E-41.55833181.1E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00214813371.09126081.8E-4
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-63.3775203E-58.9463243.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-57.617888E-54.7082566.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.06955E-41.55833181.1E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00214813371.09126081.8E-4
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-62.1441088E-514.8781072.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-63.617602E-55.857323.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.3518964E-41.79787456.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.4175816E-41.11961859.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-62.1441088E-514.8781072.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-63.617602E-55.857323.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.3518964E-41.79787456.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.4175816E-41.11961859.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-61.1022181E-510.7828951.0E-54.2329125E-64.3808195E-62.4380732E-55.56533582.0E-55.153449E-55.3336476E-58.3334875E-51.56243683.0E-55.1522546E-45.333648E-45.9333275E-41.11243336.0E-5

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.1470962E-47.7974931.0E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.1303665E-43.37906121.5E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00100714931.31253152.4E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0079959191.045413.5E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.1470962E-47.7974931.0E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.1303665E-43.37906121.5E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00100714931.31253152.4E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0079959191.045413.5E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.1470962E-47.7974931.0E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.1303665E-43.37906121.5E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00100714931.31253152.4E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0079959191.045413.5E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793136E-59.179219E-57.78352748.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.7053503E-43.37418581.2E-45.763835E-46.151744E-47.950637E-41.29241991.8E-40.0057489080.00613575570.006394161.04211462.6E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793136E-59.179219E-57.78352748.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.7053503E-43.37418581.2E-45.763835E-46.151744E-47.950637E-41.29241991.8E-40.0057489080.00613575570.006394161.04211462.6E-4
6.59.788949E-61.045432E-56.0453796E-55.7826625.0E-54.1951964E-54.480351E-51.2479993E-42.78549438.0E-55.1064545E-45.453555E-46.752846E-41.23824671.3E-40.00509473630.00544109850.0056499561.03838522.1E-4
6.68.810006E-69.4136285E-65.9413156E-56.31139855.0E-53.775662E-54.0343548E-51.2034032E-42.9828898.0E-54.5958988E-44.9108086E-46.0102687E-41.22388571.1E-40.00458640560.0049008390.0050501041.0304571.5E-4
6.78.80128E-69.404108E-65.940364E-56.31677535.0E-53.7719226E-54.0302748E-51.20299526E-42.98489648.0E-54.591348E-44.9058435E-46.005304E-41.22411241.1E-40.0045818740.00489589570.00504516161.03048791.5E-4
6.86.8994877E-67.380076E-64.737978E-56.41995864.0E-52.9568899E-53.162856E-51.0162635E-43.21311957.0E-53.5994186E-43.8501783E-44.749832E-41.23366539.0E-50.0035935940.00384431290.00396385141.03109491.2E-4
6.94.9328037E-65.2709615E-64.527075E-58.5887084.0E-52.1140417E-52.2589675E-59.2588096E-54.0986917.0E-52.5735417E-42.7500073E-43.5497872E-41.29082838.0E-50.00257056350.00274720950.00283696221.03267059.0E-5
7.03.347973E-63.59003E-61.35899945E-53.78548221.0E-51.4348378E-51.5385775E-54.5385314E-52.9498233.0E-51.746775E-41.8730981E-42.2730233E-41.21350994.0E-50.00174540250.00187192190.00192182841.02666065.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.293482E-61.12934695E-58.731061.0E-55.1743755E-65.543492E-63.5543326E-56.4117213.0E-56.29962E-56.749156E-51.0748886E-41.59262674.0E-56.297835E-46.7487074E-47.1484374E-41.05923064.0E-5

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133303E-69.301306E-530.8671959.0E-51.4108206E-51.2914227E-51.6291229E-412.6149461.5E-41.7175387E-41.5722254E-44.3717853E-42.7806352.8E-40.00171621180.00157142480.00191089051.21602423.4E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490382E-64.1548978E-526.8224354.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-66.663832E-510.0378266.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-49.1790524E-41.13602961.1E-4
6.21.8663811E-61.5490382E-64.1548978E-526.8224354.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-66.663832E-510.0378266.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-49.1790524E-41.13602961.1E-4
6.31.8663811E-61.5490382E-64.1548978E-526.8224354.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-66.663832E-510.0378266.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-49.1790524E-41.13602961.1E-4
6.41.8663811E-61.5490382E-64.1548978E-526.8224354.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-66.663832E-510.0378266.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-49.1790524E-41.13602961.1E-4
6.51.8106311E-61.4909722E-64.1490912E-527.8280944.0E-57.759824E-66.389868E-66.638948E-510.3898066.0E-59.447177E-57.779436E-51.6778735E-42.15680629.0E-59.4431615E-47.7771995E-48.8763435E-41.1413291.1E-4
6.61.2414679E-68.9974395E-74.0899708E-545.457054.0E-55.320566E-63.85604E-64.3855885E-511.3732964.0E-56.477596E-54.6946367E-59.694402E-52.0649955.0E-56.475708E-44.6937316E-45.29345E-41.12777016.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594193E-72.0759404E-527.3358922.0E-54.7409408E-63.2546504E-62.3254586E-57.1450332.0E-55.7719422E-53.962472E-56.962353E-51.75707323.0E-55.770443E-43.9618355E-44.361677E-41.10092334.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5002786E-72.0650015E-531.767892.0E-54.288594E-62.7858312E-62.2785776E-58.1791662.0E-55.221238E-53.391703E-56.391601E-51.88448143.0E-55.220012E-43.3912458E-43.7911104E-41.11791074.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315065E-72.0563139E-536.5144542.0E-53.9288643E-62.413501E-62.2413453E-59.2866972.0E-54.7832873E-52.9384037E-55.9383154E-52.02093243.0E-54.782258E-42.9380718E-43.3379544E-41.13610374.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113265E-71.0411322E-525.3115771.0E-53.2994672E-61.7628269E-61.176281E-56.67269661.0E-54.0170275E-52.1462245E-54.1461815E-51.9318492.0E-54.0163012E-42.1460558E-42.3460129E-41.09317422.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.5210306E-71.03521E-529.4007661.0E-53.0445133E-61.5090123E-61.1508997E-57.6268411.0E-53.706632E-51.8372106E-53.8371738E-52.08858682.0E-53.7060137E-41.8370937E-42.037057E-41.10884762.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.1178534E-81.0031178E-5321.73351.0E-58.914113E-71.3362228E-71.0133621E-575.837811.0E-51.0852878E-51.6268501E-61.1626834E-57.14683771.0E-51.08523476E-41.626839E-52.6268226E-51.6146791.0E-5
7.31.5048182E-71.5939106E-81.5939106E-81.00.06.449219E-76.8310456E-86.8310456E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316795E-78.316795E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316767E-68.316767E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-51.8598023E-45.1681821.5E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.641826E-42.36152552.1E-40.00177740.00187595210.00211550181.12769512.4E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196736081.01672423.3E-4
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-51.8598023E-45.1681821.5E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.641826E-42.36152552.1E-40.00177740.00187595210.00211550181.12769512.4E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196736081.01672423.3E-4
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-51.8598023E-45.1681821.5E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.641826E-42.36152552.1E-40.00177740.00187595210.00211550181.12769512.4E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196736081.01672423.3E-4
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-51.8598023E-45.1681821.5E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.641826E-42.36152552.1E-40.00177740.00187595210.00211550181.12769512.4E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196736081.01672423.3E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-51.8587291E-45.1806521.5E-41.4574021E-41.5375503E-43.6372273E-42.3655992.1E-40.00177294280.00187036190.0021099131.12807742.4E-40.0175886450.0192950740.0196187071.01677293.3E-4
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-51.8513364E-45.26862141.5E-41.4319851E-41.5058667E-43.6055504E-42.39433572.1E-40.00174204770.00183185220.00207141251.1307752.4E-40.0172845460.0189166160.0192305631.01659633.2E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-51.8507086E-45.27626231.5E-41.4298483E-41.5031763E-43.6028607E-42.39683182.1E-40.00173945010.00182858230.00206814331.13100922.4E-40.0172589760.018884480.0191984381.01662523.2E-4
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-51.8506065E-45.2775091.5E-41.4296026E-41.5027382E-43.6024227E-42.39723922.1E-40.00173915140.00182804970.00206761091.13104752.4E-40.0172560350.0188792720.019193231.01662983.2E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-51.8495473E-45.2904711.5E-41.4260718E-41.4981985E-43.597884E-42.40147332.1E-40.00173485970.0018225320.00206209461.13144492.4E-40.0172137840.0188250450.019139021.01667873.2E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-51.8489569E-45.297731.5E-41.4243131E-41.4956683E-43.5953542E-42.40384462.1E-40.00173272170.00181945670.00205901991.13166752.4E-40.0171927340.0187949110.0191088971.01670593.2E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-51.8483563E-45.30514051.5E-41.422655E-41.4930942E-43.5927806E-42.40626532.1E-40.00173070630.00181632780.0020558921.13189472.4E-40.0171728940.018764290.0190782851.01673363.2E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-51.8471586E-45.3199941.5E-41.4197677E-41.4879608E-43.5876484E-42.41111762.1E-40.00172719660.00181008840.0020496541.13235022.4E-40.0171383380.0187033660.019017381.01678923.2E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-51.8458332E-45.336551.5E-41.4156665E-41.4822806E-43.5819694E-42.41652582.1E-40.00172221110.00180318430.00204275151.13285792.4E-40.0170892530.018635750.0189497861.01685133.2E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-51.844511E-45.35319471.5E-41.4123498E-41.4766137E-43.5763034E-42.4219632.1E-40.00171817960.00179629610.0020358651.13336832.4E-40.0170495570.0185684950.0188825541.01691353.2E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-51.843728E-45.3631111.5E-41.4106068E-41.473258E-43.5729486E-42.42520242.1E-40.00171606080.00179221730.0020317871.13367242.4E-40.0170286930.0185287690.018842841.01695053.2E-4
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-51.8423774E-45.3803241.5E-41.406406E-41.4674691E-43.567161E-42.43082522.1E-40.00171095420.00178518090.00202475261.13420012.4E-40.0169784110.0184596520.0187737461.01701513.2E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-51.8396272E-45.41579441.5E-41.3937015E-41.4556825E-43.555377E-42.44241212.1E-40.00169551090.00177085420.00201042931.13528782.4E-40.0168263280.0183172950.0186314341.01714983.2E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-51.8244704E-45.6220741.5E-41.297987E-41.3907222E-43.49043E-42.50979692.1E-40.00157915370.00169189030.00193148421.14161312.4E-40.015679790.0175281990.017842591.01793633.2E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-51.7965838E-46.05668261.5E-41.1277862E-41.2712025E-43.3709354E-42.65176922.1E-40.00137221490.00154659130.00178622011.154942.4E-40.0136377240.0160698780.0163847361.0195933.2E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-51.5341425E-46.55132341.3E-48.897331E-51.0035596E-42.903369E-42.89307071.9E-40.00108271170.00122114980.00144088121.17993812.2E-40.0107745170.0127932720.0130795611.02237822.9E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-59.6031225E-55.9897838.0E-56.744926E-56.8708934E-51.7870138E-42.60084631.1E-48.2088535E-48.3621085E-49.461189E-41.13143581.1E-40.0081785960.0088657410.00900451.01565111.4E-4
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-62.8329312E-53.40109062.0E-54.3309992E-53.569728E-56.569621E-51.84037023.0E-55.2717153E-44.3452822E-44.6451518E-41.06901043.0E-50.0052592270.00467687940.0047067391.00638453.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-61.577699E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-66.7615497E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.231879E-58.231879E-51.00.00.00218348589.562628E-49.562628E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.273077E-44.1727826E-41.27488069.0E-55.110118E-40.0014019980.00152182971.08547211.2E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0171631721.01334972.3E-40.0603347530.152676720.152939381.00172043.1E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.273077E-44.1727826E-41.27488069.0E-55.110118E-40.0014019980.00152182971.08547211.2E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0171631721.01334972.3E-40.0603347530.152676720.152939381.00172043.1E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0231563E-43.922884E-41.29761219.0E-54.603433E-40.0012949990.00141484361.09254421.2E-40.0055902860.0156537310.015880131.0144632.3E-40.054517310.141827840.142093871.00187583.1E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0176868E-43.9174152E-41.29815179.0E-54.592948E-40.00129265730.00141250231.0927121.2E-40.0055775860.015625630.0158520361.01448942.3E-40.0543965550.141596050.141862151.00187933.1E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9384956E-43.838231E-41.30618929.0E-54.4375064E-40.00125875140.00137860031.09521261.2E-40.00538928850.0152186620.0154254661.01358892.1E-40.0526044960.138157950.138407891.0018092.9E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9104383E-43.8101766E-41.30914189.0E-54.382655E-40.00124673850.00136658891.09613111.2E-40.00532283540.0150744390.0152812731.01372092.1E-40.0519713160.136942390.137192671.00182772.9E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8870135E-43.7867535E-41.31165099.0E-54.3350324E-40.00123670870.00135656031.09691181.2E-40.00526513670.0149540080.0151510171.01317432.0E-40.0514212470.135919730.136170331.00184362.9E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8728697E-43.772611E-41.31318569.0E-54.3067214E-40.00123065280.00135050521.09738921.2E-40.0052308340.0148812880.0150783121.01323972.0E-40.0510940850.135304640.135555421.00185332.9E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8532353E-43.7529785E-41.31534149.0E-54.2750788E-40.0012222460.00134209931.09805991.2E-40.00519249360.0147803280.0149773721.01333152.0E-40.0507282950.134456280.134707291.00186682.9E-4
6.99.77719E-52.802926E-43.7026737E-41.32100319.0E-54.1895514E-40.00120070480.00131057271.09150291.1E-40.00508885550.01452158950.0146989761.01221541.8E-40.0497388880.132284760.132519041.00177112.7E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4763815E-43.3761587E-41.36334359.0E-53.6426744E-40.00106087790.00117076121.10357771.1E-40.00442594060.012840470.0130181591.01383821.8E-40.043388230.118136160.118374261.00201552.7E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4366553E-43.336436E-41.36926889.0E-53.5651738E-40.00104386620.00115375131.10526751.1E-40.0043319630.0126357730.0128134981.01406531.8E-40.0424848460.116356320.11659491.00205042.7E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2414974E-43.0413183E-41.35682438.0E-53.2412758E-49.602912E-40.00106019521.10403511.0E-40.00393911450.0116295590.0117975831.01444791.7E-40.038700180.107762020.107985071.002072.5E-4
7.37.082985E-52.07311E-42.8729442E-41.38581378.0E-53.0352117E-48.881761E-49.880873E-41.11249031.0E-40.00368910960.0107605530.0109287241.01562851.7E-40.036284650.100284030.1005089661.00224292.5E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4274761E-42.2273618E-41.56034978.0E-52.2053342E-46.1163295E-47.115718E-41.16339671.0E-40.00268168840.00742139430.00758020671.02139931.6E-40.026495570.070850490.07106421.00301622.3E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0942422E-41.8941546E-41.73101968.0E-51.7263928E-44.6887697E-45.6883006E-41.21317551.0E-40.0020998570.00569370440.00585279331.02794121.6E-40.0208012540.0550130830.0552304281.00395082.3E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.439599E-51.5439009E-41.82935327.0E-51.3357346E-43.616471E-44.5161456E-41.24877149.0E-50.00162504370.0043941910.0045335761.03172031.4E-40.0161321160.0428124780.0430134871.0046952.1E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.239345E-51.3238908E-42.12184267.0E-59.4715084E-52.6737314E-43.5734905E-41.33651839.0E-50.0011525460.00325041520.00338996021.04293141.4E-40.0114658670.0319021680.032095791.00606922.0E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.180078E-51.1179767E-42.15822366.0E-57.493296E-52.2198448E-43.019667E-41.36030558.0E-59.1192697E-40.00269931420.00281899031.04433571.2E-40.0090819380.0266417880.0268169921.00657631.8E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8226146E-57.822462E-52.0463644.0E-55.985842E-51.6381606E-42.1380787E-41.30517045.0E-57.2853256E-40.00199263730.0020824581.04507639.0E-50.00726148770.0199110020.0200580171.00738351.5E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.106798E-57.106674E-52.28745914.0E-55.094499E-51.331417E-41.8313504E-41.37548975.0E-56.200787E-40.00161979580.001709651.05547269.0E-50.0061835130.0162805670.0164281241.00906351.5E-4
8.15.100864E-68.973766E-61.8973677E-52.11434941.0E-52.1860664E-53.845843E-54.8458045E-51.26001111.0E-52.6612106E-44.6813092E-44.7812623E-41.02135161.0E-50.0026580260.0049180920.00493799341.00404662.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7863473E-61.27863195E-54.5889181.0E-59.859027E-61.19414335E-52.1941314E-51.83741041.0E-51.2002704E-41.4537729E-41.5537583E-41.06877651.0E-50.00119962230.00159737820.00161734621.01250052.0E-5
8.31.0424446E-75.814421E-85.814421E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4918944E-72.4918944E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0338776E-63.0338776E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.189592E-53.189592E-51.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.4349582E-410.3610872.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.406905E-43.38272982.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00153513471.2526453.1E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125448311.02584793.2E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.4349582E-410.3610872.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.406905E-43.38272982.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00153513471.2526453.1E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125448311.02584793.2E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.4349582E-410.3610872.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.406905E-43.38272982.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00153513471.2526453.1E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125448311.02584793.2E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.4349582E-410.3610872.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.406905E-43.38272982.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00153513471.2526453.1E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125448311.02584793.2E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.4349582E-410.3610872.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.406905E-43.38272982.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00153513471.2526453.1E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125448311.02584793.2E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.348995E-52.4348478E-410.3654872.2E-45.764461E-51.00667356E-43.406432E-43.38384962.4E-47.0159714E-40.00122493920.00153455951.25276373.1E-40.0069938620.0122230540.0125391431.02586013.2E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3104236E-52.4309916E-410.5218442.2E-45.6032466E-59.901441E-53.3899065E-43.42364952.4E-46.8198174E-40.0012048370.00151446361.25698633.1E-40.0067989260.0120242190.01234037151.02629293.2E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3079532E-52.4307445E-410.5320362.2E-45.59283E-59.890855E-53.388848E-43.42624382.4E-46.8071426E-40.00120354960.00151317651.25726143.1E-40.00678632870.0120114840.012327641.02632123.2E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2927941E-52.4292289E-410.5950592.2E-45.530571E-59.825892E-53.3823535E-43.44228632.4E-46.73139E-40.0011956490.00150527841.25896353.1E-40.00671103640.0119333290.012249511.02649573.2E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2887343E-52.428823E-410.612082.2E-45.51447E-59.808494E-53.380614E-43.44661882.4E-46.711799E-40.00119353320.00150316331.2594233.1E-40.0066915640.0119123970.0122285861.02654283.2E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2287419E-52.4228252E-410.870822.2E-45.3553173E-59.551403E-53.3549112E-43.51247982.4E-46.518148E-40.00116226580.00147190551.26641043.1E-40.00649906230.0116030.0119192871.02725913.2E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2232492E-52.422276E-410.8952072.2E-45.3364907E-59.527864E-53.3525578E-43.51868752.4E-46.4952404E-40.0011594030.00146904351.2670693.1E-40.00647628870.0115746710.0118909671.02732663.2E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1611015E-52.4160626E-411.1797742.2E-45.143946E-59.261536E-53.3259313E-43.59112292.4E-46.2609545E-40.00112701140.0014366621.27475383.1E-40.0062433440.0112540580.0115704561.02811423.2E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1480853E-52.4147613E-411.2414582.2E-45.109939E-59.205757E-53.3203547E-43.60682422.4E-46.219575E-40.00112022730.001429881.27641953.1E-40.00620219620.0111869450.0115033651.02828483.2E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0854808E-52.4085022E-411.5489062.2E-44.975841E-58.93747E-53.2935324E-43.68508362.4E-46.0564023E-40.00108759630.00139725921.28472223.1E-40.0060399230.0108644090.0111809331.02913393.2E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9554842E-52.3955054E-412.2501912.2E-44.7301706E-58.380379E-53.2378366E-43.86359242.4E-45.757461E-40.00101983570.00132951961.30366053.1E-40.0057425670.0101955270.0105122651.03106633.2E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.8996727E-52.3899255E-412.5807222.2E-44.5945973E-58.141202E-53.213925E-43.94772772.4E-45.592486E-49.907428E-40.00130043561.31258653.1E-40.0055784330.0099072380.0102240691.03197963.2E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6442464E-52.3643885E-414.379772.2E-43.9754876E-57.046581E-53.104489E-44.40566732.4E-44.839081E-48.5758517E-40.00116731941.36117023.1E-40.00482855740.0085865760.0089038281.03694753.2E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.11555855E-52.3115313E-420.7208422.2E-42.5005522E-54.7808775E-52.877973E-46.01975872.4E-43.043997E-45.819165E-48.8174193E-41.51523793.0E-40.00303983080.00584733350.00615552071.05270563.1E-4
7.94.690204E-68.509473E-62.0850777E-424.5030162.0E-42.0100719E-53.6468664E-52.5646065E-47.03235632.2E-42.4469878E-44.439156E-47.237913E-41.63047052.8E-40.0024442950.0044711650.0047598681.06457012.9E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8470656E-61.4847017E-53.0630941.0E-51.267299E-52.0772974E-53.0772764E-51.48138481.0E-51.5428272E-42.5288164E-42.7287658E-41.07906842.0E-50.00154175660.0025499320.00256988131.00782332.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1968672E-62.1968672E-61.00.07.01862E-69.415111E-69.415111E-61.00.08.544835E-51.1462297E-41.1462297E-41.00.08.54155E-40.00116074450.00116074451.00.0
8.26.9631557E-74.535001E-74.535001E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9435704E-61.9435704E-61.00.03.63321E-52.3662713E-52.3662713E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4510184E-42.4510184E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.357368E-88.357368E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5817288E-73.5817288E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3607465E-64.3607465E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5800018E-54.5800018E-51.00.0

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348373E-69.5834315E-516.4245059.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.7500248E-46.9983561.5E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-45.243453E-41.7224842.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00334940621.1016523.1E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8348373E-69.5834315E-516.4245059.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.7500248E-46.9983561.5E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-45.243453E-41.7224842.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00334940621.1016523.1E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8348373E-69.5834315E-516.4245059.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.7500248E-46.9983561.5E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-45.243453E-41.7224842.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00334940621.1016523.1E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.383667E-66.3383464E-518.7321826.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.2449975E-48.5853891.1E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.1651542E-41.79288081.4E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00197367561.11883452.1E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.383667E-66.3383464E-518.7321826.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.2449975E-48.5853891.1E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.1651542E-41.79288081.4E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00197367561.11883452.1E-4
6.52.782202E-62.8558404E-66.2855666E-522.0095186.0E-51.1923668E-51.223926E-51.2223792E-49.9873611.1E-41.4516099E-41.4900314E-42.8898226E-41.93943751.4E-40.0014506620.00148906510.00169875241.14081812.1E-4
6.62.3163404E-62.38092E-65.23808E-522.0002375.0E-59.927136E-61.0203904E-51.0020298E-49.8200649.0E-51.20856166E-41.2422565E-42.4421074E-41.96586411.2E-40.00120790470.00124158230.00143134641.15284051.9E-4
6.72.037056E-62.0965003E-65.2096395E-524.8492185.0E-58.7302105E-68.984972E-69.8984165E-511.0166369.0E-51.0628513E-41.093867E-42.2937357E-42.09690551.2E-40.00106234310.00109334480.0012831371.17358861.9E-4
6.81.8356744E-61.8915287E-65.1891435E-527.4335965.0E-57.867153E-68.106527E-69.81058E-512.1020759.0E-59.577837E-59.869264E-52.186808E-42.21577621.2E-49.57371E-49.86502E-40.00117631471.19240981.9E-4
6.91.6310546E-61.6832072E-65.1683124E-530.7051475.0E-56.9902153E-67.213726E-68.721315E-512.089898.0E-58.510255E-58.782368E-51.9781402E-42.25239941.1E-48.5069967E-48.7790104E-40.00103776061.18209291.6E-4
7.01.2058036E-61.2508665E-64.1250816E-532.977794.0E-55.1677193E-65.3608455E-67.536047E-514.0575717.0E-56.291517E-56.5266366E-51.552605E-42.37887459.0E-56.289736E-46.524743E-47.923829E-41.21442781.4E-4
7.11.052382E-61.0951609E-64.1095118E-537.5242774.0E-54.5102006E-64.693538E-67.469321E-515.9140527.0E-55.491031E-55.7142337E-51.471372E-42.57492429.0E-55.4896745E-45.7127734E-47.0120307E-41.22743021.3E-4
7.21.0067454E-61.0487711E-64.104873E-539.139844.0E-54.3146156E-64.4947255E-65.44945E-512.12415.0E-55.252918E-55.4721917E-51.2471809E-42.2791257.0E-55.251676E-45.470853E-46.570251E-41.20095551.1E-4
7.39.3596316E-79.767723E-74.0976734E-541.951164.0E-54.0112645E-64.1861604E-65.418595E-512.9440695.0E-54.8836053E-55.096532E-51.20961755E-42.3734137.0E-54.8825322E-45.095371E-46.0948613E-41.19615661.0E-4
7.48.8117395E-79.2076635E-72.0920748E-522.7210182.0E-53.7764542E-63.9461356E-63.3946017E-58.60234453.0E-54.5977362E-54.8043148E-59.804075E-52.04068115.0E-54.596785E-44.8032837E-45.6028995E-41.16647278.0E-5
7.58.292386E-78.6745956E-72.0867443E-524.0558092.0E-53.5538749E-63.7176785E-63.3717566E-59.0695223.0E-54.326757E-54.5261804E-59.5259544E-52.10463435.0E-54.3259145E-44.5252658E-45.224949E-41.15461717.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.9144706E-72.079143E-526.2701472.0E-53.2373566E-63.3919116E-63.339181E-59.8445413.0E-53.9414106E-54.129575E-58.129409E-51.96858274.0E-53.9407116E-44.1288146E-44.628608E-41.12105015.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852797E-72.0685266E-530.1851442.0E-52.797941E-62.9369096E-63.2936823E-511.2147893.0E-53.40644E-53.5756293E-57.575486E-52.11864424.0E-53.405918E-43.5750607E-44.074882E-41.13980785.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-71.0364823E-528.4103071.0E-51.4822873E-61.5635396E-62.1563508E-513.7914692.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-54.9035363E-52.57593683.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.3033586E-41.21010644.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-61.6606564E-427.3736921.6E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.2599436E-48.6922392.0E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.7642296E-41.82121132.6E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00347021661.09775413.1E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-61.6606564E-427.3736921.6E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.2599436E-48.6922392.0E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.7642296E-41.82121132.6E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00347021661.09775413.1E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-61.6606564E-427.3736921.6E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.2599436E-48.6922392.0E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.7642296E-41.82121132.6E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00347021661.09775413.1E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-61.6606564E-427.3736921.6E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.2599436E-48.6922392.0E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.7642296E-41.82121132.6E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00347021661.09775413.1E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-61.235567E-434.734981.2E-42.4950215E-51.5244741E-51.6524245E-410.8393091.5E-43.0372653E-41.8559002E-43.7555475E-42.0235721.9E-40.00303311760.00185445860.00207405071.1184132.2E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-61.2349864E-435.2948071.2E-42.4711293E-51.49958905E-51.6499365E-411.002591.5E-43.0081844E-41.8256076E-43.725261E-42.04055931.9E-40.00300411580.00182421610.00204381491.12037972.2E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-68.2332386E-535.2968068.0E-51.9900888E-59.9967065E-69.999581E-510.0028759.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170354E-42.3169015E-41.90372571.1E-40.00242002420.00121641120.00134625311.10674181.3E-4
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-65.1648214E-531.334285.0E-51.6940963E-57.064114E-65.706376E-58.0779785.0E-52.0623671E-48.600239E-51.4599723E-41.69759516.0E-50.0020604548.597095E-49.3964074E-41.09297478.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-64.1224426E-533.6669854.0E-51.473314E-55.247746E-64.5247536E-58.622284.0E-51.7936122E-46.388952E-51.1388633E-41.78255095.0E-50.00179216526.3872064E-47.0867594E-41.10952417.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-63.1003303E-530.9003563.0E-51.3443062E-54.299986E-63.4299857E-57.97673753.0E-51.63657E-45.2351144E-59.234905E-51.76403124.0E-50.00163536525.233958E-45.833644E-41.1145766.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-72.074281E-527.9242842.0E-51.2127721E-53.1835248E-62.318346E-57.2823252.0E-51.47645E-43.8758775E-56.875761E-51.77398823.0E-50.00147546933.8752513E-44.2750963E-41.10317914.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-71.0542233E-519.4420641.0E-51.03247E-52.3238767E-61.2323853E-55.3031441.0E-51.2569598E-42.8292874E-54.829231E-51.70687172.0E-50.0012562492.8289677E-43.1288827E-41.10601583.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-71.0107402E-594.107541.0E-55.9466374E-64.6029712E-71.0460292E-522.7250881.0E-57.23979E-55.604104E-61.5604048E-52.78439661.0E-57.2374323E-45.6039742E-56.603918E-51.17843481.0E-5
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-85.0002956E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1429837E-72.1429837E-71.00.03.681694E-52.60908E-62.60908E-61.00.03.681084E-42.609054E-52.609054E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122759290.00130749471.06508828.0E-50.00256311240.0052455470.00538481261.02654931.4E-40.0307628460.061204910.0613551181.00245421.6E-40.268354770.425934940.426095661.00037742.8E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102179860.0010917271.06843667.0E-50.002147920.00436785960.0044773791.0250741.1E-40.0258393510.051248370.051371711.00240671.3E-40.230327760.372856680.373000921.00038682.3E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1073755E-48.8068075E-41.08627127.0E-50.00174454840.00346714770.00357676621.03161631.1E-40.0210340580.040933170.0410578471.00304591.3E-40.191507820.313033460.313177731.00046092.1E-4
6.33.464099E-46.7391695E-47.4386975E-41.10380047.0E-50.00148376920.00288295930.0029926421.03804531.1E-40.0179158730.0341895820.0343151351.00367241.3E-40.165383590.27131660.271462321.00053722.0E-4
6.42.935057E-45.5442745E-46.1439414E-41.10815986.0E-50.00125727510.00237253630.00247229921.04204891.0E-40.0152002480.028264510.0283714011.00378181.1E-40.142015770.232985290.233123351.00059261.8E-4
6.52.3409708E-44.2093755E-44.809123E-41.1424796.0E-50.00100288750.00180196840.00190178831.05539491.0E-40.0121419650.0215874610.0216853021.00453231.0E-40.114995730.186823680.186961921.00073991.7E-4
6.61.5842178E-42.506933E-43.1067827E-41.23927636.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107394970.00116385311.08371289.0E-50.00823280.0129955750.0130844051.00683559.0E-50.079343960.123146380.123286671.00113931.6E-4
6.71.5616413E-42.4605883E-43.0604406E-41.24378426.0E-56.691031E-40.00105410690.0011440121.08529039.0E-50.00811594350.012757440.0128462921.00696479.0E-50.07825860.121173510.121314121.00116041.6E-4
6.81.5538467E-42.4429744E-43.042828E-41.24554236.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104656450.00113647041.08590579.0E-50.0080755960.0126668380.01275569851.00701519.0E-50.077883580.1204043550.120545091.00116881.6E-4
6.91.5153569E-42.3539034E-42.953762E-41.25483576.0E-56.49277E-40.00100842760.00109833691.08915789.0E-50.0078763330.012209010.0122979121.00728179.0E-50.076029520.116474450.116615811.00121371.6E-4
7.01.4588932E-42.2396253E-42.839491E-41.26784196.0E-56.250901E-49.5948833E-40.00104940191.093719.0E-50.00758394740.0116196970.0117086511.00765559.0E-50.0733028950.111320460.1114626451.00127731.6E-4
7.11.1565079E-41.6281738E-42.2280762E-41.3684516.0E-54.955521E-46.9760304E-47.875402E-41.12892329.0E-50.0060166690.00846044350.0085496821.01054789.0E-50.0585635380.083670460.083817071.00175231.6E-4
7.21.0393792E-41.4615769E-42.0614892E-41.41045566.0E-54.4537216E-46.2624045E-47.0619036E-41.12766658.0E-50.0054089330.00759799270.00767738471.0104498.0E-50.0527915950.075619690.0757583451.00183361.5E-4
7.39.332884E-51.2780898E-41.8780131E-41.46939066.0E-53.999194E-45.4763845E-46.275946E-41.14600188.0E-50.00485815340.0066472490.0067267171.0119558.0E-50.0475331020.066483260.0666232851.00210621.5E-4
7.48.670252E-51.17032345E-41.7702531E-41.51261886.0E-53.715293E-45.0147134E-45.8143126E-41.15945058.0E-50.0045139910.0060884430.00616795571.01305968.0E-50.0442339370.0611516420.061292471.00230291.5E-4
7.57.3036405E-59.005856E-51.5005315E-41.66617326.0E-53.129756E-43.8590826E-44.6587738E-41.20722328.0E-50.00380382170.00468833230.0047679571.01698368.0E-50.037393670.0478777920.048011091.00278411.4E-4
7.66.3935775E-58.280385E-51.4279888E-41.7245446.0E-52.7398168E-43.5482543E-44.3479705E-41.22538298.0E-50.00333062540.0043114610.0043911161.01847528.0E-50.0328114740.043992010.0441258481.00304231.4E-4
7.75.5050095E-56.6618326E-59.661633E-51.45029653.0E-52.3590765E-42.854759E-43.2546447E-41.14007694.0E-50.00286839270.0034701340.0035099951.01148694.0E-50.02831650.0357962140.035892631.00269351.0E-4
7.85.027131E-56.162871E-59.1626855E-51.48675623.0E-52.1543067E-42.640963E-43.0408573E-41.15141994.0E-50.00261971350.0032106350.00325050651.01241864.0E-50.0258904530.033126660.0332233461.00291871.0E-4
7.93.7271806E-55.022507E-57.0224065E-51.39818752.0E-51.5972654E-42.1523255E-42.4522608E-41.13935413.0E-50.00194293590.0026173090.00264723061.01143223.0E-50.0192603620.0270674660.02714531.00287568.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1427757E-55.142713E-51.63636022.0E-51.17038646E-41.3468343E-41.5468075E-41.14847642.0E-50.00142401410.00163853830.00165850551.0121862.0E-50.0141492350.017213860.0172629991.00285465.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7399378E-52.7399203E-51.57472321.0E-57.688579E-57.456663E-58.456589E-51.13409831.0E-59.3568244E-49.074711E-49.1746205E-41.01100971.0E-50.0093175250.0097986360.0098184391.00202112.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.00326811451.00613732.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741651E-61.7973999E-418.450671.7E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.2174182E-45.31126551.8E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.280809E-41.43268662.2E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00535017861.05492942.8E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741651E-61.7973999E-418.450671.7E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.2174182E-45.31126551.8E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.280809E-41.43268662.2E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00535017861.05492942.8E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741651E-61.7973999E-418.450671.7E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.2174182E-45.31126551.8E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.280809E-41.43268662.2E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00535017861.05492942.8E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741651E-61.7973999E-418.450671.7E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.2174182E-45.31126551.8E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.280809E-41.43268662.2E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00535017861.05492942.8E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000763E-69.52996E-517.9807999.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-51.2271217E-45.4023871.0E-42.6837454E-42.765166E-43.964834E-41.43385031.2E-40.00268050660.00276206570.00292162391.05776761.6E-4
6.55.144063E-65.3000763E-69.52996E-517.9807999.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-51.2271217E-45.4023871.0E-42.6837454E-42.765166E-43.964834E-41.43385031.2E-40.00268050660.00276206570.00292162391.05776761.6E-4
6.63.4009804E-63.498786E-66.349858E-518.1487456.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994721E-58.499367E-55.66823967.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254704E-42.725306E-41.49293369.0E-50.00177301230.00182412860.00192394621.05472061.0E-4
6.73.3880428E-63.4856528E-66.3485444E-518.2133586.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938435E-58.493739E-55.6858297.0E-51.767679E-41.8186188E-42.7184552E-41.4947919.0E-50.00176627360.00181728820.00191710641.0549271.0E-4
6.82.6582E-62.7337003E-64.273359E-515.6321424.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715813E-56.1715225E-55.26768645.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263204E-42.1262205E-41.49070337.0E-50.00138605120.00142553690.00149543711.04903447.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.4743288E-64.247423E-517.165964.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604231E-56.06037E-55.71504935.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910018E-41.9909114E-41.54214457.0E-50.00125463590.00129038140.00136029111.05417757.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429371E-62.1742902E-512.4748632.0E-57.265593E-67.469715E-62.7469567E-53.67745832.0E-58.8455E-59.094104E-51.3093739E-41.43980544.0E-58.84198E-49.09141E-49.491046E-41.04395764.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5714822E-73.5714822E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306344E-61.5306344E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8635317E-51.8635317E-51.00.01.8268047E-41.863378E-41.863378E-41.00.0
7.22.2321095E-72.2750574E-72.2750574E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750242E-79.750242E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1870856E-51.1870856E-51.00.01.1646151E-41.1870232E-41.1870232E-41.00.0
7.31.5760406E-71.6060922E-71.6060922E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.8832503E-76.8832503E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380326E-68.380326E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.3800165E-58.3800165E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.1431706E-71.1431706E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899302E-74.899302E-71.00.05.852591E-65.964884E-65.964884E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.9647282E-55.9647282E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.9787737E-84.9787737E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.13376E-72.13376E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.59785E-62.59785E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978214E-52.5978214E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317903E-91.5317903E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648154E-96.5648154E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992663E-87.992663E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992663E-77.992663E-71.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.40909E-51.3408824E-45.56592941.1E-41.2959696E-41.032432E-42.532277E-42.45273021.5E-40.00157670080.00125636180.00144612311.15104031.9E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0127692371.02132552.7E-4
6.13.0240792E-52.40909E-51.3408824E-45.56592941.1E-41.2959696E-41.032432E-42.532277E-42.45273021.5E-40.00157670080.00125636180.00144612311.15104031.9E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0127692371.02132552.7E-4
6.23.0240792E-52.40909E-51.3408824E-45.56592941.1E-41.2959696E-41.032432E-42.532277E-42.45273021.5E-40.00157670080.00125636180.00144612311.15104031.9E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0127692371.02132552.7E-4
6.32.0498217E-51.3638054E-57.363724E-55.39939456.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-51.4844233E-42.53975139.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-48.312979E-41.16856541.2E-40.010638790.00709268640.00724162251.02099861.5E-4
6.42.0498217E-51.3638054E-57.363724E-55.39939456.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-51.4844233E-42.53975139.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-48.312979E-41.16856541.2E-40.010638790.00709268640.00724162251.02099861.5E-4
6.51.7316182E-51.04769715E-56.0476446E-55.7723215.0E-57.42101E-54.490059E-51.24897E-42.78163398.0E-59.0313336E-45.465376E-46.5647747E-41.20115711.1E-40.0089947180.005452930.00558222131.02371041.3E-4
6.61.5251077E-58.414133E-65.8413712E-56.94233275.0E-56.536012E-53.606011E-59.605795E-52.66382846.0E-57.9546886E-44.3895066E-45.289111E-41.20494459.0E-50.0079262740.00438155370.00449107171.02499521.1E-4
6.71.2997425E-56.4112146E-64.6410958E-57.23902754.0E-55.570206E-52.7476372E-57.7475E-52.81969555.0E-56.7796157E-43.3447813E-44.1445138E-41.23909858.0E-50.00675896930.0033402070.0034398731.02983821.0E-4
6.81.035386E-54.333145E-63.4333014E-57.92334753.0E-54.437293E-51.8570496E-54.856994E-52.61543583.0E-55.401065E-42.260732E-42.7606188E-41.22111735.0E-50.00538795670.0022585190.00231838341.02650616.0E-5
6.98.816252E-63.5805879E-63.358048E-59.3784823.0E-53.778339E-51.534529E-54.534483E-52.95496733.0E-54.5991567E-41.8681347E-42.3680413E-41.26759665.0E-50.004589650.00186662280.00192651081.03208366.0E-5
7.06.8232207E-62.5674399E-62.2567388E-58.7898412.0E-52.9242048E-51.100327E-53.100305E-52.81762152.0E-53.5596377E-41.3395688E-41.6395286E-41.22392263.0E-50.00355394110.00133879250.00137873891.02983774.0E-5
7.15.837013E-62.2273143E-61.2227292E-55.4897021.0E-52.501553E-59.5456E-61.9545503E-52.0475931.0E-53.045215E-41.1621177E-41.3620945E-41.17207962.0E-50.00304104550.0011615390.00119150421.02579783.0E-5
7.24.278052E-61.6275065E-61.16274905E-57.14435861.0E-51.833438E-56.975011E-61.697494E-52.43367961.0E-52.231982E-48.491768E-51.04915984E-41.23550222.0E-50.00222974188.4887556E-48.6885854E-41.02354062.0E-5
7.31.8803692E-68.344788E-71.083447E-512.9835181.0E-58.0587E-63.5763337E-61.35762975E-53.79614971.0E-59.811026E-54.354114E-56.354027E-51.45931572.0E-59.806695E-44.3534054E-44.5533184E-41.04592112.0E-5

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.1674783E-43.1767458.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.7747822E-41.76179861.2E-40.00168239790.00191642530.00207611871.08332871.6E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192820561.01183942.3E-4
6.13.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.1674783E-43.1767458.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.7747822E-41.76179861.2E-40.00168239790.00191642530.00207611871.08332871.6E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192820561.01183942.3E-4
6.23.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.1674783E-43.1767458.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.7747822E-41.76179861.2E-40.00168239790.00191642530.00207611871.08332871.6E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192820561.01183942.3E-4
6.33.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.1674783E-43.1767458.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.7747822E-41.76179861.2E-40.00168239790.00191642530.00207611871.08332871.6E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192820561.01183942.3E-4
6.41.4404779E-51.48492945E-55.48487E-53.69369084.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-51.3363386E-42.09989647.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.4447186E-41.09030787.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.0078279671.01414081.1E-4
6.51.4404779E-51.48492945E-55.48487E-53.69369084.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-51.3363386E-42.09989647.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.4447186E-41.09030787.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.0078279671.01414081.1E-4
6.61.280208E-51.301186E-55.301134E-54.07407864.0E-55.4864904E-55.5763932E-51.2576002E-42.25522167.0E-56.6777546E-46.7871617E-47.486686E-41.10306587.0E-50.0066577240.00676664340.00686596661.01467841.0E-4
6.71.2457027E-51.262838E-55.2627875E-54.1674294.0E-55.3386164E-55.4120515E-51.2411673E-42.29333977.0E-56.497827E-46.5871974E-47.2867365E-41.10619687.0E-50.006478860.006567870.0066672131.01512561.0E-4
6.81.2095134E-51.2230827E-55.2230338E-54.2703854.0E-55.1835254E-55.2416784E-51.2241311E-42.335387.0E-56.309115E-46.3798914E-47.0794445E-41.10964987.0E-50.00629123250.0063617640.00646112771.01561891.0E-4
6.91.1104036E-51.115726E-55.1156814E-54.58506974.0E-54.758786E-54.781596E-51.1781261E-42.46387657.0E-55.7922816E-45.82005E-46.519643E-41.12020397.0E-50.0057772070.00580495360.00589443141.0154149.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.05815925E-55.058117E-54.78010944.0E-54.5331115E-54.53489E-51.0534618E-42.3230156.0E-55.5176654E-45.5198424E-46.119511E-41.10863886.0E-50.00550398560.005506270.00558582971.01444898.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.9809E-64.99805E-55.00761464.0E-54.294976E-54.277459E-51.0277203E-42.40264186.0E-55.2278786E-45.206574E-45.8062613E-41.1151796.0E-50.00521559640.0051945080.00526414441.01340587.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748706E-63.8748443E-54.42904853.0E-53.8031343E-53.7493923E-58.749205E-52.33349945.0E-54.629332E-44.56394E-45.0637114E-41.10950455.0E-50.00461970.00455468470.00460445741.01092775.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050243E-62.7504873E-53.66486142.0E-53.235857E-53.2164E-57.2162715E-52.24358654.0E-53.9389438E-43.9152734E-44.3151167E-41.1021244.0E-50.00393196940.00390848240.0039483261.01019424.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183062E-62.618294E-54.23462342.0E-52.703998E-52.6498574E-56.6497516E-52.50947524.0E-53.2916202E-43.2257332E-43.6256041E-41.12396284.0E-50.0032867490.00322114840.00326101951.0123784.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408016E-61.4440757E-53.25183561.0E-51.975831E-51.9031871E-54.90313E-52.57627323.0E-52.4053088E-42.316891E-42.6168214E-41.12945393.0E-50.0024027070.0023145450.00234447561.01293153.0E-5
7.61.2858658E-61.3008196E-61.3008196E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.574929E-61.5574873E-52.79373481.0E-56.7092435E-56.787272E-57.787204E-51.14732461.0E-56.707218E-46.7852676E-46.8852E-41.01472781.0E-5
7.75.3302307E-75.612138E-75.612138E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052001E-61.2405176E-55.1576481.0E-52.7812002E-52.9282955E-53.9282662E-51.34148561.0E-52.7808524E-42.9279455E-43.0279162E-41.03414371.0E-5
7.84.613933E-84.80301E-84.80301E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584326E-72.0584326E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061388E-62.5061388E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061116E-52.5061116E-51.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794203E-51.0679269E-46.3589029.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-52.0196413E-42.80609081.3E-48.067362E-48.759797E-40.00103583961.18249261.6E-40.0080381370.0087306960.00896861.02724922.4E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794203E-51.0679269E-46.3589029.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-52.0196413E-42.80609081.3E-48.067362E-48.759797E-40.00103583961.18249261.6E-40.0080381370.0087306960.00896861.02724922.4E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.3681544E-59.368045E-56.8472138.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.686277E-42.87592981.1E-46.585225E-47.1368564E-48.535857E-41.19602481.4E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00732723671.02928962.1E-4
6.31.2624631E-51.3681544E-59.368045E-56.8472138.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.686277E-42.87592981.1E-46.585225E-47.1368564E-48.535857E-41.19602481.4E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00732723671.02928962.1E-4
6.49.417684E-61.0170118E-56.016961E-55.9163145.0E-54.036088E-54.3585722E-51.1358267E-42.60596067.0E-54.912829E-45.3056807E-46.30515E-41.18837731.0E-40.0049019820.0052970490.00544625431.02816761.5E-4
6.59.368219E-61.0117545E-56.011704E-55.94186075.0E-54.014889E-54.3360415E-51.1335738E-42.61430577.0E-54.8870314E-45.2782625E-46.2777346E-41.18935631.0E-40.0048762980.00526976170.0054189711.02831421.5E-4
6.67.803798E-68.441831E-65.844141E-56.9228365.0E-53.3444423E-53.6179E-51.0617646E-42.93475417.0E-54.0710976E-44.4043022E-45.403862E-41.22695081.0E-40.00406364720.00439949050.00454883041.03394481.5E-4
6.72.3108669E-62.4438336E-62.2443784E-59.1838432.0E-59.903678E-61.0473532E-53.0473322E-52.90955542.0E-51.205706E-41.2750797E-41.5750415E-41.23524943.0E-50.0012050520.00127436670.00132430311.03918525.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062823E-62.2206237E-510.0650032.0E-58.949753E-69.455462E-62.9455272E-53.11515952.0E-51.08957785E-41.1511434E-41.4511088E-41.26058043.0E-50.00108904380.00115056390.00120050651.0434075.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.981051E-62.1981012E-511.0956322.0E-58.043982E-68.490192E-62.8490022E-53.35563952.0E-59.7931086E-51.03363345E-41.3336024E-41.29020833.0E-59.788794E-40.00103316860.00107312741.03867594.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6202807E-61.1620265E-57.171761.0E-56.5817944E-66.9440425E-61.6943974E-52.44007331.0E-58.01304E-58.454057E-51.0453887E-41.23655282.0E-58.010151E-48.450965E-48.750711E-41.03546893.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.114975E-59.6974421.0E-54.6737446E-64.9275427E-61.4927493E-53.02939921.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-56.999068E-51.16668091.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.197486E-41.03332662.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4401106E-51.6439664E-44.7788181.3E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.3739698E-42.2886011.9E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00200304671.11688452.1E-40.0188790990.0185263030.018771671.01324432.5E-4
6.13.652694E-53.4401106E-51.6439664E-44.7788181.3E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.3739698E-42.2886011.9E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00200304671.11688452.1E-40.0188790990.0185263030.018771671.01324432.5E-4
6.23.652694E-53.4401106E-51.6439664E-44.7788181.3E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.3739698E-42.2886011.9E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00200304671.11688452.1E-40.0188790990.0185263030.018771671.01324432.5E-4
6.33.652694E-53.4401106E-51.6439664E-44.7788181.3E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.3739698E-42.2886011.9E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00200304671.11688452.1E-40.0188790990.0185263030.018771671.01324432.5E-4
6.43.646941E-53.432268E-51.6431822E-44.7874531.3E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-43.3706098E-42.29154561.9E-40.00190114680.00178933890.0019989631.11715172.1E-40.0188496450.0184861810.018731561.01327362.5E-4
6.53.646941E-53.432268E-51.6431822E-44.7874531.3E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-43.3706098E-42.29154561.9E-40.00190114680.00178933890.0019989631.11715172.1E-40.0188496450.0184861810.018731561.01327362.5E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4286066E-51.642816E-44.79149771.3E-41.561728E-41.4693203E-43.369041E-42.2929251.9E-40.00189974550.0017874320.00199705661.1172772.1E-40.0188358690.018467450.0187128341.01328732.5E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.427164E-51.6426719E-44.79309371.3E-41.5612828E-41.4687021E-43.368423E-42.29346921.9E-40.00189920440.00178668070.00199630551.11732642.1E-40.0188305490.0184600740.018705461.01329282.5E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4240697E-51.6423625E-44.79652171.3E-41.560318E-41.4673761E-43.3670972E-42.29463821.9E-40.00189803180.00178506890.00199469411.11743252.1E-40.0188190230.0184442290.0186896181.01330442.5E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4201123E-51.6419668E-44.8009151.3E-41.5590832E-41.4656801E-43.3654016E-42.29613661.9E-40.00189653110.00178300750.0019926331.11756852.1E-40.0188042690.0184239630.0186693581.01331932.5E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.408314E-51.6407871E-44.81407261.3E-41.5554018E-41.4606243E-43.360347E-42.30062371.9E-40.00189205690.00177686230.00198648921.11797582.1E-40.0187602840.0183635450.0186089541.0133642.5E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.403942E-51.64035E-44.8189711.3E-41.5539382E-41.4587509E-43.3584738E-42.30229431.9E-40.0018902780.00177458510.00198421251.11812752.1E-40.0187427960.0183411390.0185865541.01338052.5E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.397364E-51.6396922E-44.8263661.3E-41.5517735E-41.455932E-43.3556554E-42.3048161.9E-40.0018876470.00177115880.0019807871.11835652.1E-40.018716930.0183074080.018552831.01340572.5E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.386193E-51.6385752E-44.83898971.3E-41.5478847E-41.4511449E-43.3508692E-42.30912111.9E-40.00188292060.00176533980.00197496921.11874722.1E-40.0186704620.018249960.0184953981.01344872.5E-4
7.43.607848E-53.380943E-51.6380503E-44.8449511.3E-41.5461289E-41.4488952E-43.3486198E-42.31115411.9E-40.00188078660.00176260520.0019722351.11893182.1E-40.0186494810.0182229560.01846841.0134692.5E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.3619202E-51.6361484E-44.8667081.3E-41.5366284E-41.4407437E-43.3404698E-42.31857351.9E-40.00186923960.00175269670.00196232861.11960542.1E-40.0185359440.0181240570.0183695261.01354382.5E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2142278E-51.621381E-45.04438731.3E-41.4084904E-41.3774536E-43.2771917E-42.37916681.9E-40.0017134880.00167576170.00188540981.12510612.1E-40.0170033610.0173438040.0175894671.01416432.5E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9235205E-51.5923141E-45.44656371.3E-41.237764E-41.2528773E-43.1526393E-42.51631931.9E-40.00150593570.00152431180.00173399171.13755712.1E-40.0149577130.0158303380.016076381.01554252.5E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6526219E-51.5652277E-45.90068151.3E-41.0692515E-41.1367885E-43.0365726E-42.6711851.9E-40.00130103620.00138316210.00159287171.1516162.1E-40.0129344550.014411760.0146581571.0170972.5E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.150649E-51.4150392E-46.5795911.2E-48.520408E-59.216742E-52.7215082E-42.95278761.8E-40.0010368660.00112156150.00132133721.17812282.0E-40.0103204150.0117769980.0120141711.02013872.4E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5936288E-59.5935015E-56.019918.0E-56.6996516E-56.829659E-51.7828908E-42.6105121.1E-48.153773E-48.3119445E-49.4110303E-41.13222971.1E-40.008123920.0088103310.0089490981.01575041.4E-4
8.11.0045313E-58.300794E-62.8300628E-53.4093882.0E-54.305063E-53.557435E-56.557328E-51.84327423.0E-55.2401534E-44.3303217E-44.6301915E-41.06924893.0E-50.00522781440.00465876660.0046886271.00640953.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.5648296E-61.5648296E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.7063957E-66.7063957E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.164734E-58.164734E-51.00.00.00216590549.479703E-49.479703E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.6526652E-44.6856071.3E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.4112443E-42.25681351.9E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00203836941.10857032.0E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0192121291.01188392.3E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.6526652E-44.6856071.3E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.4112443E-42.25681351.9E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00203836941.10857032.0E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0192121291.01188392.3E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.6526652E-44.6856071.3E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.4112443E-42.25681351.9E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00203836941.10857032.0E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0192121291.01188392.3E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.6526652E-44.6856071.3E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.4112443E-42.25681351.9E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00203836941.10857032.0E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0192121291.01188392.3E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.6513845E-44.69904041.3E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-43.405756E-42.26139471.9E-40.00211506480.00183206690.00203170051.10896642.0E-40.0209504720.0189210620.019146711.01192582.3E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.6513845E-44.69904041.3E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-43.405756E-42.26139471.9E-40.00211506480.00183206690.00203170051.10896642.0E-40.0209504720.0189210620.019146711.01192582.3E-4
6.64.053861E-53.5088357E-51.650838E-44.70480251.3E-41.7372532E-41.5037002E-43.4034144E-42.26335981.9E-40.00211305380.00182922060.00202885481.10913622.0E-40.0209307430.018893140.0191187951.01194372.3E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.505743E-51.6505287E-44.70807081.3E-41.7363077E-41.502375E-43.4020896E-42.26447441.9E-40.0021119050.00182761010.00202724451.10923252.0E-40.0209194680.0188773370.0191029941.0119542.3E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5028992E-51.6502444E-44.71108151.3E-41.7353562E-41.5011564E-43.400871E-42.2655011.9E-40.00211074880.00182612890.00202576371.10932122.0E-40.0209081250.0188627490.019088411.01196342.3E-4
6.94.046386E-53.4991554E-51.6498701E-44.7150521.3E-41.73405E-41.499552E-43.3992672E-42.2668551.9E-40.00210916160.00182417880.0020238141.10943842.0E-40.0208925530.0188435220.0190691871.01197582.3E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4872126E-51.648676E-44.7277761.3E-41.7297632E-41.4944343E-43.39415E-42.27119421.9E-40.00210395250.00181795840.00201759491.10981362.0E-40.020841440.0187821370.0190078171.01201572.3E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.485059E-51.6484606E-44.73007971.3E-41.7288832E-41.4935112E-43.3932275E-42.27197981.9E-40.0021028830.00181683680.00201647331.10988142.0E-40.0208309480.0187710080.018996691.0120232.3E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.475509E-51.6475057E-44.74032971.3E-41.725201E-41.489419E-43.3891358E-42.27547531.9E-40.00209840850.00181186260.00201151.11018362.0E-40.0207870420.0187217460.0189474411.01205522.3E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.458276E-51.6457826E-44.75896841.3E-41.7116306E-41.4820343E-43.3817528E-42.28183171.9E-40.00208191850.00180288660.0020025261.11073322.0E-40.0206252170.0186303870.0188561031.01211552.3E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.4468165E-51.6446368E-44.77146631.3E-41.7022261E-41.4771236E-43.376843E-42.28609371.9E-40.00207049030.00179691790.00199655841.11110172.0E-40.0205130520.0185695220.018795251.01215592.3E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.3535776E-51.6353141E-44.87632751.3E-41.5871979E-41.4371685E-43.3368953E-42.3218541.9E-40.00193070060.00174835130.00194800171.11419342.0E-40.0191401240.0180711280.0182969721.01249742.3E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.13167E-51.6131264E-45.15100961.3E-41.4116794E-41.3420754E-43.2418204E-42.41552781.9E-40.00171736450.00163275450.00182244431.11617781.9E-40.017041530.0169040910.0171203731.01279462.2E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7882697E-51.5787907E-45.66225961.3E-41.2100645E-41.1949181E-43.094691E-42.58987711.9E-40.00147225790.00145384290.00164356661.13049821.9E-40.0146254210.0151149120.0153315861.01433522.2E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5206451E-51.5520318E-46.157281.3E-41.042642E-41.08023174E-42.9800265E-42.75869181.9E-40.00126867740.00131438950.00150413991.14436381.9E-40.0126145890.0137123410.0139293241.0158242.2E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0420413E-51.4041796E-46.8763531.2E-48.301561E-58.751312E-52.6749738E-43.05665451.8E-40.00101024650.00106495220.00124476061.16884171.8E-40.01005666050.0111994020.0114070491.0185412.1E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5885415E-59.588414E-56.0359868.0E-56.6782646E-56.807858E-51.7807109E-42.615671.1E-48.127754E-48.2854216E-49.3845103E-41.13265341.1E-40.0080980910.0087816360.0089204071.01580241.4E-4
8.11.0024873E-58.291399E-62.8291233E-53.4121182.0E-54.2963035E-53.553409E-56.553302E-51.84422973.0E-55.229494E-44.3254215E-44.6252916E-41.06932743.0E-50.00521720430.00465306550.0046829261.00641743.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5602761E-61.5602761E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6868806E-66.6868806E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.140976E-58.140976E-51.00.00.00215932179.4514614E-49.4514614E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-51.14967545E-42.09142786.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-43.2554846E-41.38196259.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.00299418551.04525221.3E-40.0244058180.0283044560.028479361.00617951.8E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-51.14967545E-42.09142786.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-43.2554846E-41.38196259.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.00299418551.04525221.3E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0284696441.00583611.7E-4
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-58.39233E-52.47378925.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-42.1537478E-41.48141047.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00184851771.0451528.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176578481.00615791.1E-4
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-58.39233E-52.47378925.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-42.1537478E-41.48141047.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00184851771.0451528.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176578481.00615791.1E-4
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-57.7910925E-52.79127385.0E-51.09075794E-41.1961885E-41.8961048E-41.5851227.0E-50.00132718870.00145540560.00152530371.04802667.0E-50.0131929020.014460910.0145496081.00613379.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-57.5126874E-52.98975165.0E-59.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.776801E-41.64995837.0E-50.00120689480.0013103230.00138023121.0533527.0E-50.0120036110.0130276380.0131164661.00681849.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-56.035343E-52.9651524.0E-58.193392E-58.722961E-51.4722437E-41.68777996.0E-59.97089E-40.0010615110.00112144731.05646326.0E-50.009926270.0105653170.0106444711.0074928.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-55.8145528E-53.20427184.0E-57.3832496E-57.776737E-51.377627E-41.77147196.0E-58.985399E-49.4641204E-40.00100635531.06333736.0E-50.0089491540.0094244610.0095037071.00840858.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-55.5925753E-53.51151444.0E-56.56442E-56.82542E-51.282501E-41.87900676.0E-57.98925E-48.3068234E-48.906325E-41.07216986.0E-50.0079605890.0082762610.0083456811.00838797.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-55.3328997E-54.0008164.0E-55.6018336E-55.712532E-51.0712246E-41.87521865.0E-56.8180985E-46.952811E-47.452463E-41.07186345.0E-50.00679721730.00693131840.00699090261.00859646.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-54.193233E-53.51407243.0E-55.0728955E-55.1139097E-59.113705E-51.78214044.0E-56.1745E-46.2244234E-46.6241744E-41.06422294.0E-50.0061573720.00620718250.0062568721.00800515.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-53.0541898E-52.89713382.0E-54.541565E-54.5179684E-57.517833E-51.66398533.0E-55.5279525E-45.4992497E-45.7990843E-41.05452293.0E-50.00551422130.0054857720.00552555271.00725164.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-62.945886E-53.11435722.0E-54.11042E-54.053816E-57.0536946E-51.74001353.0E-55.0032866E-44.934414E-45.234266E-41.06076753.0E-50.0049920370.00492357650.00495342861.00606313.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-62.8379322E-53.38676022.0E-53.679698E-53.591161E-56.591053E-51.83535443.0E-54.4791115E-44.3713715E-44.6712405E-41.06859843.0E-50.0044700940.0043628840.00439275341.00684623.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-62.695131E-53.8770782.0E-53.112377E-52.9791589E-55.9790695E-52.00696563.0E-53.78866E-43.6265317E-43.926423E-41.08269373.0E-50.00378220740.0036207140.00365060541.00825563.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-61.5251446E-52.90420841.0E-52.411676E-52.2506232E-54.250578E-51.88862282.0E-52.9358198E-42.7397962E-42.9397415E-41.07297812.0E-50.00293194430.00273649050.00275643571.00728862.0E-5
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-62.0608632E-61.00.09.708152E-68.832241E-68.832241E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0752732E-41.0752732E-41.00.00.0011812750.00107476150.00107476151.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-61.1016228E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212325E-64.7212325E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7479516E-55.7479516E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7464885E-45.7464885E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-76.0710704E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.601885E-62.601885E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.16775E-53.16775E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167312E-43.167312E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-95.090092E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181468E-82.181468E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.655937E-72.655937E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559348E-62.6559348E-61.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040642E-56.104009E-55.5286725.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.0731364E-42.26799736.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.7592086E-41.17351761.0E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00592898671.03112421.8E-4
6.11.0522846E-51.1040642E-56.104009E-55.5286725.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.0731364E-42.26799736.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.7592086E-41.17351761.0E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00592898671.03112421.8E-4
6.22.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2208158E-510.057122.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-63.946343E-54.1699733.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.6521306E-41.43390695.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00123191011.06936438.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2208158E-510.057122.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-63.946343E-54.1699733.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.6521306E-41.43390695.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00123191011.06936438.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.810877E-62.1810842E-512.0443522.0E-57.3970905E-67.760902E-63.776067E-54.86553.0E-59.005586E-59.4488976E-51.344852E-41.42328984.0E-59.001937E-49.448898E-40.00100483311.06343956.0E-5

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.3329445E-43.07851129.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.2552524E-41.75436871.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00240641881.06631711.5E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234694181.00754751.8E-4
6.16.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.3329445E-43.07851129.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.2552524E-41.75436871.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00240641881.06631711.5E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234694181.00754751.8E-4
6.26.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.3329445E-43.07851129.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.2552524E-41.75436871.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00240641881.06631711.5E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234694181.00754751.8E-4
6.36.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.3329445E-43.07851129.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.2552524E-41.75436871.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00240641881.06631711.5E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234694181.00754751.8E-4
6.46.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.3329445E-43.07851129.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.2552524E-41.75436871.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00240641881.06631711.5E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234694181.00754751.8E-4
6.55.811017E-54.0080286E-51.3007667E-43.2454039.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-43.1173733E-41.81494431.4E-40.00302760140.00208919470.00223888131.0716481.5E-40.029866840.0215908330.0217669481.00815691.8E-4
6.65.811017E-54.0080286E-51.3007667E-43.2454039.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-43.1173733E-41.81494431.4E-40.00302760140.00208919470.00223888131.0716481.5E-40.029866840.0215908330.0217669481.00815691.8E-4
6.75.712442E-53.950301E-51.2949946E-43.27821739.0E-52.4479596E-41.6928767E-43.0926397E-41.82685471.4E-40.00297631770.00205913440.00220882571.07269611.5E-40.0293676930.0212829190.0214590881.00827751.8E-4
6.85.6967532E-53.93593E-51.2935576E-43.2865369.0E-52.4412372E-41.6867183E-43.0864822E-41.8298741.4E-40.00296815530.00205165080.00220134321.07296181.5E-40.0292882290.021208520.0213847011.00830711.8E-4
6.95.6211324E-53.9064216E-51.290607E-43.30380879.0E-52.4088343E-41.6740736E-43.0738392E-41.83614351.4E-40.00292881160.00203628470.00218597941.07351361.5E-40.0289051090.0210475270.0212237391.00837211.8E-4
7.05.4383527E-53.7925012E-51.279216E-43.37301429.0E-52.3305144E-41.6252567E-43.0250291E-41.86126241.4E-40.00283370940.0019769590.00212666251.07572411.5E-40.0279784650.020440950.020617271.00862591.8E-4
7.15.1393665E-53.638787E-51.2638459E-43.47326169.0E-52.2023996E-41.5593872E-42.959169E-41.89764861.4E-40.00267812420.00189690480.00204662021.07892621.5E-40.0264607820.0196160770.0197925461.00899611.8E-4
7.24.785222E-53.4738845E-51.2473571E-43.59066999.0E-52.0506482E-41.4887229E-42.8885144E-41.94026341.4E-40.00249380550.00181101670.0019607451.08267641.5E-40.0246600490.0187287830.0189054121.00943091.8E-4
7.34.2143256E-53.3834414E-51.2383137E-43.65992369.0E-51.8060145E-41.449966E-42.849763E-41.96541.4E-40.0021966050.00176390750.00191364291.08488851.5E-40.021750190.0182366950.0184134131.00969021.8E-4
7.44.0264713E-53.3472694E-51.2346968E-43.68866879.0E-51.7255165E-41.4344654E-42.8342646E-41.97583341.4E-40.0020987920.00174506590.00189480421.08580661.5E-40.0207908040.0180413890.0182181411.00979711.8E-4
7.53.694492E-53.2186905E-51.22184E-43.79607829.0E-51.5832575E-41.379366E-42.7791728E-42.0148191.4E-40.00192591180.00167808760.00182783591.08923751.5E-40.019093060.0173578880.0175347641.01018991.8E-4
7.63.200565E-52.9502702E-51.19500044E-44.0504789.0E-51.3715986E-41.2643404E-42.6641635E-42.10715681.4E-40.0016686420.00153824970.00167803431.09087251.4E-40.016561680.0159460160.0161133051.0104911.7E-4
7.72.731642E-52.6091477E-51.16089126E-44.4493129.0E-51.1706512E-41.11815825E-42.5180017E-42.2519191.4E-40.0014243360.00136050850.00150031811.10276271.4E-40.0141524120.01416680.0143343921.01182991.7E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3503619E-51.13501505E-44.82910739.0E-51.0056651E-41.0072591E-42.4071182E-42.38977051.4E-40.00122370940.00122564890.00136547731.11408521.4E-40.0121699280.0128087960.01297661851.01310221.7E-4
7.91.8611925E-51.890698E-59.890547E-55.23116168.0E-57.9762955E-58.10274E-52.1101687E-42.60426551.3E-49.7068126E-49.860628E-40.00111593471.13170741.3E-40.00966452250.0103937050.0105520421.01523391.6E-4
8.01.5460775E-51.5739915E-58.5738815E-55.44722187.0E-56.6258784E-56.745504E-51.6744829E-42.4823691.0E-48.0640207E-48.2095637E-49.2087424E-41.12170911.0E-40.0080348210.0087027060.0088315751.01480791.3E-4
8.19.983884E-68.268954E-62.8268789E-53.41866542.0E-54.2787375E-53.5437897E-56.5436834E-51.84652143.0E-55.2081177E-44.313715E-44.6135855E-41.06951563.0E-50.00519592830.004639680.0046695411.0064363.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5522551E-61.5522551E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6525045E-66.6525045E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.099126E-58.099126E-51.00.00.00214880649.401847E-49.401847E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821269E-51.5820652E-41.79346667.0E-53.14073E-43.7800326E-44.879617E-41.29089281.1E-40.00381713550.00459304870.00471249731.02600651.2E-40.037522310.0450451370.045197931.0033921.6E-4
6.13.7940346E-54.4884906E-55.488446E-51.2227821.0E-51.6259136E-41.9235026E-42.2234449E-41.15593553.0E-50.00197775240.0023394310.00237933731.01705814.0E-50.0196024310.0231567320.0232251121.00295297.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.329672E-53.329672E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.6268973E-41.14014152.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00176586851.01725183.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172655791.0022824.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.329672E-53.329672E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.6268973E-41.14014152.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00176586851.01725183.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172655791.0022824.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.544832E-52.544832E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0905972E-41.1905863E-41.09168291.0E-50.0011579450.00132700280.0013569631.02257733.0E-50.0115192980.0131919590.0132314311.00299224.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.4024695E-52.4024695E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.0295897E-41.1295794E-41.09711611.0E-50.00109541360.00125281350.00128277591.02391613.0E-50.0109002960.0124585920.0124980931.00317064.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.070479E-52.070479E-51.00.07.802154E-58.8731824E-59.873094E-51.11268911.0E-59.4949827E-40.00107977990.00110974761.02775353.0E-50.0094545160.0107460050.0107756831.00276173.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.7983646E-51.7983646E-51.00.06.807459E-57.707051E-58.706974E-51.12974131.0E-58.284929E-49.3793223E-49.679041E-41.03195523.0E-50.0082541090.0093401040.0093698231.00318193.0E-5
6.81.4331171E-51.6201066E-51.6201066E-51.00.06.141786E-56.94313E-57.94306E-51.14401721.0E-57.4750587E-48.450002E-48.749748E-41.0354733.0E-50.00744996450.0084181390.0084478861.00353373.0E-5
6.91.2574203E-51.4205835E-51.4205835E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.0880735E-57.088013E-51.16424561.0E-56.558929E-47.409723E-47.609575E-41.02697162.0E-50.00653960370.0073852030.00740505571.00268822.0E-5
7.01.0883844E-51.2289262E-51.2289262E-51.00.04.664421E-55.2667205E-56.266668E-51.18986141.0E-55.677453E-46.4103556E-46.610227E-41.03117952.0E-50.005662970.0063919930.0064118651.00310892.0E-5
7.19.393088E-61.060702E-51.060702E-51.00.04.025547E-54.545787E-54.545787E-51.00.04.900001E-45.533098E-45.6330423E-41.01806311.0E-50.00488921070.0055194180.00552936271.00180171.0E-5
7.28.190791E-69.258625E-69.258625E-61.00.03.510292E-53.9679224E-53.9679224E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.8298817E-44.8298817E-41.00.00.00426473560.0048194650.0048194651.00.0
7.36.268162E-67.089716E-67.089716E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0384144E-53.0384144E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6986457E-43.6986457E-41.00.00.0032653050.0036925360.0036925361.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.6426816E-65.6426816E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4182698E-52.4182698E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9438498E-42.9438498E-41.00.00.0025978250.00293999140.00293999141.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.4994739E-42.14354528.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.812493E-41.15256691.3E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008678711.01980611.7E-4
6.11.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.4994739E-42.14354528.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.812493E-41.15256691.3E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008678711.01980611.7E-4
6.21.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.4994739E-42.14354528.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.812493E-41.15256691.3E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008678711.01980611.7E-4
6.31.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.4994739E-42.14354528.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.812493E-41.15256691.3E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008678711.01980611.7E-4
6.41.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.4994739E-42.14354528.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.812493E-41.15256691.3E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008678711.01980611.7E-4
6.51.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.4994739E-42.14354528.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.812493E-41.15256691.3E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008678711.01980611.7E-4
6.69.202681E-61.3846059E-57.384523E-55.3333036.0E-53.9439463E-55.9338956E-51.3933421E-42.34810698.0E-54.800697E-47.2222133E-48.5212744E-41.17987021.3E-40.0047903390.00722734020.00739611171.02335181.7E-4
6.79.019164E-61.3651728E-57.365091E-55.3949886.0E-53.8652986E-55.8506146E-51.3850146E-42.36729768.0E-54.7049852E-47.1208854E-48.41996E-41.18243161.3E-40.0046950360.00712666470.0072954531.0236841.7E-4
6.88.673558E-61.3273839E-57.327304E-55.5201096.0E-53.717186E-55.688669E-51.3688214E-42.40622438.0E-54.524734E-46.923842E-48.222942E-41.18762711.3E-40.00451553240.00693085230.0070996741.0243581.7E-4
6.97.002255E-61.1478069E-56.147749E-55.3560845.0E-53.000932E-54.9190832E-51.1918739E-42.42295937.0E-53.653022E-45.9874065E-47.186688E-41.20030071.2E-40.00364702290.0059996760.00615871561.02650811.6E-4
7.05.84644E-69.675359E-65.9674876E-56.1677175.0E-52.5055931E-54.146519E-51.1146229E-42.6880937.0E-53.0501327E-45.047263E-46.2466576E-41.23763261.2E-40.00304594960.0050639940.00521323461.02947091.5E-4
7.15.54703E-69.329834E-65.9329366E-56.35910225.0E-52.377277E-53.9984414E-51.09981615E-42.7506127.0E-52.8939504E-44.8670598E-46.066476E-41.24643541.2E-40.00289018450.00488458760.0050338551.03055881.5E-4
7.24.384709E-67.681918E-65.7681533E-57.50874145.0E-51.8791474E-53.292211E-51.029198E-43.12616067.0E-52.2876218E-44.0075663E-45.2070856E-41.29931351.2E-40.00228526820.0040285420.00417793771.03708431.5E-4
7.33.7888456E-66.915788E-65.6915444E-58.2297845.0E-51.623781E-52.9638775E-59.96367E-53.3617017.0E-51.9767738E-43.6079568E-44.8075238E-41.33247821.2E-40.00197501620.003630270.00377972541.04116931.5E-4
7.42.1982462E-65.0241033E-65.502385E-510.9519755.0E-59.421021E-62.1531694E-59.1530186E-54.25095137.0E-51.1469489E-42.6211704E-43.8208556E-41.45769071.2E-40.00114635720.00264603270.00279563571.05653871.5E-4
7.52.051923E-64.6153277E-65.4615095E-511.8334175.0E-58.793926E-61.9779825E-58.977844E-54.53888947.0E-51.0706078E-42.4079291E-43.60764E-41.49823361.2E-40.00107009220.00243359320.0025832281.06148721.5E-4
7.61.8733427E-64.1236603E-65.4123455E-513.1250995.0E-58.028587E-61.7672712E-58.767148E-54.9608397.0E-59.774366E-52.151441E-43.351183E-41.55764571.2E-49.770069E-40.00217825130.00232792441.06871261.5E-4
7.71.8411953E-64.0433315E-65.404313E-513.365995.0E-57.890813E-61.732845E-58.732724E-55.039537.0E-59.606641E-52.1095353E-43.3092822E-41.56872571.2E-49.6024893E-40.00213652920.00228620861.07005731.5E-4
7.81.7194251E-63.71068E-65.3710493E-514.4745695.0E-57.368944E-61.5902819E-58.59017E-55.40166577.0E-58.97132E-51.9359968E-43.1357646E-41.61971571.2E-48.967699E-40.00196247570.00211218121.0762841.5E-4
7.91.4035052E-62.9502596E-65.2950112E-517.947615.0E-56.0150082E-61.2643909E-58.2643026E-56.53619247.0E-57.3230265E-51.5392878E-42.7391032E-41.77946131.2E-47.3206134E-40.00156311740.00171288291.09581211.5E-4
8.03.9318823E-75.528477E-71.05528425E-519.0881521.0E-51.6850913E-62.3693453E-61.2369322E-55.2205651.0E-52.0515794E-52.8846403E-53.8846116E-51.34665371.0E-52.0513899E-42.990952E-43.1908925E-41.06684842.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13775044E-71.13775044E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.876072E-74.876072E-71.00.08.331805E-65.936602E-65.936602E-61.00.08.331492E-56.5494125E-56.5494125E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5435753E-82.5435753E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09010365E-71.09010365E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3272004E-61.3272004E-61.00.02.556876E-51.4952613E-51.4952613E-51.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.763429E-45.363143E-41.12589976.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00210976671.03424537.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0246615861.00476911.2E-40.110884230.213499230.213625071.00058941.6E-4
6.12.2521618E-44.763429E-45.363143E-41.12589976.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00210976671.03424537.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0246615861.00476911.2E-40.110884230.213499230.213625071.00058941.6E-4
6.22.198148E-44.6718874E-45.271607E-41.12836786.0E-59.417233E-40.00200073770.00207059761.03491717.0E-50.0114053430.0240785130.0241956251.00486371.2E-40.108374280.209935720.210062131.00060211.6E-4
6.32.1704129E-44.615455E-45.215178E-41.1299386.0E-59.298453E-40.00197658920.0020464511.03534457.0E-50.0112622340.0237920340.023909181.00492371.2E-40.1070827250.207826840.207953591.00060991.6E-4
6.41.876142E-44.004663E-44.6044227E-41.14976546.0E-58.038131E-40.00171516950.00178504941.04074237.0E-50.009742590.0206786620.020796181.00568311.2E-40.0932636860.184577870.184708341.00070681.6E-4
6.51.7390939E-43.7478763E-44.247689E-41.13335885.0E-57.45113E-40.00160525610.00166515981.03731726.0E-50.0090340780.0193672930.0194751621.00556971.1E-40.0867552160.174400150.1745241.00071011.5E-4
6.61.591791E-43.4893592E-43.9891846E-41.14324285.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149459260.0015545031.04008476.0E-50.0082719960.0180450080.0181530231.00598591.1E-40.079707740.163807870.163933291.00076571.5E-4
6.71.4268003E-43.2059717E-43.7058117E-41.1559095.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137327260.00143319021.04363126.0E-50.0074177230.016591710.0166998841.00651981.1E-40.071749560.151935940.152063131.00083721.5E-4
6.81.239713E-42.9055026E-43.4053574E-41.17203725.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124462740.00130455271.04814726.0E-50.00644816740.0150494820.0151578261.00719921.1E-40.062642430.138380510.138509751.0009341.5E-4
6.91.0180238E-42.6255674E-43.1254362E-41.1903855.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112476220.00118469481.05328466.0E-50.0052980890.0136089980.01371750051.00797281.1E-40.051735430.124964730.125095981.00105041.5E-4
7.07.6619996E-52.2400476E-42.7399356E-41.22315965.0E-53.283301E-49.596704E-40.00101961281.06246156.0E-50.00399009320.0116221030.0117308241.00935471.1E-40.0391920660.107269820.107403731.00124841.5E-4
7.17.5127435E-52.2083633E-42.708253E-41.2263625.0E-53.2193496E-49.461013E-40.00100604461.06335826.0E-50.00391251550.0114586480.0115673881.00948981.1E-40.0384434420.105833780.10596791.00126731.5E-4
7.26.788582E-52.0211334E-42.4210526E-41.19786874.0E-52.9090676E-48.6591556E-49.158722E-41.05769245.0E-50.00353603860.01049220.010591151.00943091.0E-40.0348030.0975036840.097621011.00120331.3E-4
7.36.399602E-51.8842232E-42.2841478E-41.2122494.0E-52.7423984E-48.0727716E-48.572368E-41.06188655.0E-50.00333375860.0097848970.0098839181.01011981.0E-40.032841880.0913979860.091516111.00129231.3E-4
7.44.506759E-51.2530042E-41.6529541E-41.31919284.0E-51.9313251E-45.3689216E-45.868653E-41.09307865.0E-50.00234885260.0065172450.00660665851.01371969.0E-50.0232418050.0623645220.062467661.00165381.1E-4
7.53.43289E-59.336103E-51.333573E-41.42840434.0E-51.4711556E-44.0005764E-44.5003765E-41.12493195.0E-50.00178966030.0048598860.0049494491.01842899.0E-50.017753160.0470570660.0471618921.00222751.1E-4
7.62.5980507E-57.053672E-51.00534606E-41.42528033.0E-51.1134028E-43.0226534E-43.4225325E-41.1322944.0E-50.0013547250.00367389480.00374363761.01898347.0E-50.0134649590.035842980.0359297541.00242099.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9412036E-57.941056E-51.60710953.0E-57.4106916E-52.1174872E-42.5174025E-41.18886324.0E-59.018782E-40.00257499840.0026448181.02711457.0E-50.0089822670.0252920970.0253700731.0030838.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.9697254E-55.969646E-51.50379312.0E-55.5402274E-51.7012001E-42.0011491E-41.17631613.0E-56.743139E-40.00206924630.00211914281.02411345.0E-50.00672271430.0204331450.0204919191.00287646.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.8748475E-53.874819E-51.34783461.0E-54.371687E-51.2320194E-41.3320071E-41.08115761.0E-55.321229E-40.00149895260.00152890771.0199843.0E-50.0053085050.0149928950.0150322951.0026284.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3279512E-53.3279277E-51.42955231.0E-53.70726E-59.976552E-51.0976452E-41.1002251.0E-54.5126543E-40.00121396930.00124393291.02468233.0E-50.00450350160.0122121640.0122516751.00323554.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3283345E-67.3283345E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.1406773E-53.1406773E-51.00.02.0539707E-43.8231048E-43.8231048E-41.00.00.00205207310.00400153130.00401149131.00248911.0E-5
8.21.7101195E-62.2178374E-62.2178374E-61.00.07.329063E-69.504983E-69.504983E-61.00.08.922769E-51.15717055E-41.15717055E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.001266690.00127667741.00788461.0E-5
8.33.0346666E-81.721086E-81.721086E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.376083E-87.376083E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.98038E-78.98038E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.36379E-69.36379E-61.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7853926E-59.785153E-52.04479655.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.6506075E-41.29251876.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00262374451.05199361.3E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248343571.00632351.6E-4
6.14.4194956E-54.7853926E-59.785153E-52.04479655.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.6506075E-41.29251876.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00262374451.05199361.3E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248343571.00632351.6E-4
6.24.4194956E-54.7853926E-59.785153E-52.04479655.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.6506075E-41.29251876.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00262374451.05199361.3E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248343571.00632351.6E-4
6.34.4194956E-54.7853926E-59.785153E-52.04479655.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.6506075E-41.29251876.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00262374451.05199361.3E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248343571.00632351.6E-4
6.43.729929E-53.960349E-58.960151E-52.2624655.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.2970854E-41.35346626.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00217423331.05317271.1E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0205803921.00574431.2E-4
6.53.729929E-53.960349E-58.960151E-52.2624655.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.2970854E-41.35346626.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00217423331.05317271.1E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0205803921.00574431.2E-4
6.63.0204548E-53.12056E-57.1204355E-52.28178124.0E-51.2944164E-41.3373162E-41.8372494E-41.37383325.0E-50.00157481270.00162700120.00172683851.06136271.0E-40.0156369920.0161547640.0162629881.00669911.1E-4
6.72.9857754E-53.0814987E-57.081375E-52.29802974.0E-51.2795553E-41.3205773E-41.8205112E-41.37857235.0E-50.00155674530.00160665170.0017064911.06214131.0E-40.0154588480.0159542040.016062451.00678471.1E-4
6.82.4819734E-52.5009665E-55.5008917E-52.19950633.0E-51.0636595E-41.0718E-41.3717679E-41.2798733.0E-50.00129423620.0013041570.00138405271.06126228.0E-50.0128672440.0129674030.0130562361.00685059.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3337945E-54.3337477E-51.85695352.0E-59.990149E-51.0001605E-41.2001405E-41.1999482.0E-50.0012156220.00121703550.00128695031.05744687.0E-50.0120899360.0121058970.0121849291.00652848.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.1761074E-53.1760857E-51.45952621.0E-59.3504656E-59.3258524E-51.0325759E-41.10721891.0E-50.00113782460.00113485090.00118479421.04400865.0E-50.0113201630.011292660.0113519811.00525326.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0540718E-53.0540512E-51.48682791.0E-58.854332E-58.8028784E-59.802791E-51.11358921.0E-50.00107748180.00107124310.00112118961.04662485.0E-50.0107227240.01066284350.0107222031.00556716.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9054001E-52.9053812E-51.52481411.0E-58.138417E-58.165756E-59.1656744E-51.12245261.0E-59.904018E-49.937467E-40.0010436971.05026465.0E-50.0098599950.0098950290.0099544351.00600366.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4906713E-52.4906563E-51.67082871.0E-55.7152483E-56.388442E-57.388378E-51.15652281.0E-56.956093E-47.77528E-48.2748913E-41.06425635.0E-50.0069343590.0077493760.00780891071.00768266.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.186096E-51.186096E-51.00.04.0345374E-55.083175E-55.083175E-51.00.04.910942E-46.1871024E-46.4869167E-41.0484583.0E-50.00490010340.00617082560.00621057861.00644214.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.158192E-69.158192E-61.00.03.090013E-53.9248847E-53.9248847E-51.00.03.7614413E-44.7775774E-45.0774345E-41.06276333.0E-50.00375508070.0047680820.00479793871.00626183.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.5455017E-64.5455017E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.9480583E-51.9480583E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3715167E-42.5714692E-41.08431422.0E-50.00171852590.00236912330.0023890761.00842192.0E-5
7.72.5741092E-63.5844084E-63.5844084E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5361667E-51.5361667E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.8701357E-41.970117E-41.0534621.0E-50.00134223350.00186869180.00187867311.00534131.0E-5

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4764735E-57.47635E-53.018955.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.8612218E-41.75370788.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014013051.08506571.1E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131024691.01142911.5E-4
6.11.6763008E-52.4764735E-57.47635E-53.018955.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.8612218E-41.75370788.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014013051.08506571.1E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131024691.01142911.5E-4
6.21.6763008E-52.4764735E-57.47635E-53.018955.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.8612218E-41.75370788.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014013051.08506571.1E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131024691.01142911.5E-4
6.31.6763008E-52.4764735E-57.47635E-53.018955.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.8612218E-41.75370788.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014013051.08506571.1E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131024691.01142911.5E-4
6.41.6763008E-52.4764735E-57.47635E-53.018955.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.8612218E-41.75370788.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014013051.08506571.1E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131024691.01142911.5E-4
6.51.6763008E-52.4764735E-57.47635E-53.018955.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.8612218E-41.75370788.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014013051.08506571.1E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131024691.01142911.5E-4
6.69.910213E-61.721552E-56.7214656E-53.9043065.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-51.2377504E-41.6776525.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.5783576E-41.06676346.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091305021.00875858.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.721552E-56.7214656E-53.9043065.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-51.2377504E-41.6776525.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.5783576E-41.06676346.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091305021.00875858.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5475129E-56.5474356E-54.2309415.0E-53.557164E-56.63203E-51.1631699E-41.75386695.0E-54.3299864E-48.07152E-48.671036E-41.07427556.0E-50.0043215590.0081506630.0082300111.00973518.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5346344E-56.534558E-54.25805475.0E-53.5070017E-56.57684E-51.15765106E-41.76019365.0E-54.2689382E-48.0043747E-48.6038944E-41.0748996.0E-50.00426074680.0080840080.0081633611.0098168.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4133306E-55.413274E-53.83015424.0E-53.0749135E-56.0569906E-51.00567486E-41.66035394.0E-53.743064E-47.3718966E-47.871528E-41.06777515.0E-50.00373676540.00745537550.00751492851.00798796.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-61.4123676E-55.412311E-53.8320844.0E-53.0716128E-56.0528637E-51.0052622E-41.66080434.0E-53.7390468E-47.366875E-47.866507E-41.06782145.0E-50.00373276180.00745038830.00750994121.00799326.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-61.3970962E-55.39704E-53.86304144.0E-53.0278077E-55.987418E-59.987179E-51.66802764.0E-53.6857324E-47.287248E-47.6869567E-41.05485054.0E-50.00367962550.00737113740.0074207691.00673325.0E-5
7.37.02082E-61.3914415E-55.391386E-53.87467654.0E-53.008888E-55.9631846E-59.962946E-51.67074254.0E-53.6627054E-47.257764E-47.657474E-41.05507344.0E-50.00365667440.00734163730.00739127031.00676055.0E-5
7.46.987146E-61.3873975E-55.387342E-53.88305574.0E-52.9944567E-55.9458544E-59.945616E-51.67269774.0E-53.6451413E-47.2366785E-47.636389E-41.0552344.0E-50.00363916790.0073205710.00737020561.006785.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-61.383088E-55.383033E-53.8920394.0E-52.9783041E-55.9273858E-59.9271485E-51.67479374.0E-53.625482E-47.2142074E-47.613919E-41.05540614.0E-50.00361957260.0072981990.0073478341.0068015.0E-5
7.66.92694E-61.3789992E-55.378944E-53.90061434.0E-52.9686547E-55.909863E-59.9096265E-51.67679464.0E-53.6137376E-47.192888E-47.5926003E-41.05557054.0E-50.00360786660.0072769510.0073265871.0068215.0E-5
7.76.395867E-61.26690065E-55.26685E-54.15727144.0E-52.741057E-55.4294615E-59.4292445E-51.73668134.0E-53.336726E-46.6083675E-47.0081034E-41.06048934.0E-50.00333172010.00669554530.00674521041.00741775.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-61.1536581E-55.153612E-54.46719174.0E-52.5141611E-54.9441554E-58.943958E-51.80899614.0E-53.060561E-46.0178485E-46.417608E-41.06642894.0E-50.00305634950.00610101640.00615071131.00814535.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-67.1145205E-63.7114307E-55.2166983.0E-51.592882E-53.0490448E-56.0489532E-51.98388473.0E-51.9391612E-43.7115812E-44.0114697E-41.0807983.0E-50.00193746990.00376762430.00380747371.01057674.0E-5
8.01.0903841E-61.2879104E-61.1287898E-58.7645051.0E-54.6730665E-65.5196047E-61.551955E-52.8117141.0E-55.68931E-56.719913E-57.7198456E-51.14880141.0E-55.6878536E-46.942094E-47.0420245E-41.01439491.0E-5
8.12.6894583E-71.1056095E-71.1056095E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7383253E-74.7383253E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.768896E-65.768896E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.454915E-56.454915E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4567874E-92.4567874E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0529089E-81.0529089E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2819166E-71.2819166E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4588004E-61.4588004E-61.00.0

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9714607E-57.9713114E-51.60341443.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.4304015E-41.14078433.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00266076651.02694717.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.025754931.00532481.4E-4
6.14.5923203E-54.9714607E-55.9714108E-51.20113811.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.2304442E-41.0469281.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.002620871.01154883.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.0256867241.00266247.0E-5
6.22.8844734E-52.9669678E-52.9669678E-51.00.01.2361443E-41.2714976E-41.2714976E-41.00.00.00150396650.0015469760.00156694511.01290852.0E-50.01493828650.0153648730.0154141051.00320425.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3162425E-52.3162425E-51.00.09.9302975E-59.926383E-59.926383E-51.00.00.00120834310.00120788040.00122785631.01653792.0E-50.0120179380.0120121520.0120615511.00411255.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668067E-51.9668067E-51.00.08.599689E-58.428905E-58.428905E-51.00.00.00104650920.0010257460.00104572551.0194782.0E-50.0104159460.0102114790.01026096851.00484655.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115402E-51.7115402E-51.00.07.615444E-57.33497E-57.33497E-51.00.09.267859E-48.926737E-49.126558E-41.02238462.0E-50.0092293030.0088746630.008924221.0055845.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340872E-51.4340872E-51.00.06.52585E-56.145947E-56.145947E-51.00.07.942326E-47.480173E-47.6800236E-41.02671732.0E-50.0079140.00744103360.00749066151.00666955.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.1674277E-51.1674277E-51.00.05.4444143E-55.0031682E-55.0031682E-51.00.06.626558E-46.089697E-46.189636E-41.01641121.0E-50.0066068330.00606230930.0061020671.00655824.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610384E-51.0610384E-51.00.04.9520135E-54.547231E-54.547231E-51.00.06.0274085E-45.5348873E-45.634832E-41.01805721.0E-50.00601108650.0055044140.00554419361.0072274.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882285E-67.882285E-61.00.03.7422655E-53.37808E-53.37808E-51.00.04.5552556E-44.112066E-44.112066E-41.00.00.00454592940.0040895150.00411939251.00730593.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-65.107436E-65.107436E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1888829E-52.1888829E-51.00.03.0956755E-42.6646405E-42.6646405E-41.00.00.00309136670.0026614610.0026614611.00.0
7.15.013409E-64.17734E-64.17734E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7902763E-51.7902763E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1794444E-42.1794444E-41.00.00.00261251330.00217731880.00217731881.00.0
7.24.120763E-63.2820917E-63.2820917E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066032E-51.4066032E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124058E-41.7124058E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171109580.00171109581.00.0
7.33.2081239E-62.4404965E-62.4404965E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459229E-51.0459229E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.2733374E-41.2733374E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127261480.00127261481.00.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7680321E-61.7680321E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.5772587E-67.5772587E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.224927E-59.224927E-51.00.00.00126165279.221151E-49.221151E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.3782967E-79.3782967E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.019264E-64.019264E-61.00.07.222766E-54.8933474E-54.8933474E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923056E-44.8923056E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4113493E-76.4113493E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477186E-62.7477186E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345298E-53.345298E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.344816E-43.344816E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449304E-86.449304E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.763987E-72.763987E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651493E-63.3651493E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651013E-53.3651013E-51.00.0

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.7392793E-41.34316467.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.14.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.7392793E-41.34316467.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.24.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.7392793E-41.34316467.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.34.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.7392793E-41.34316467.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.44.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.7392793E-41.34316467.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.53.154503E-53.5359757E-54.5359404E-51.28279731.0E-51.3518598E-41.5153353E-41.9152748E-41.26392794.0E-50.00164464670.00184345180.00190334121.03248766.0E-50.016325280.0182912440.0183795991.00483049.0E-5
6.63.1535834E-53.5349138E-54.5348785E-51.28288231.0E-51.3514658E-41.5148803E-41.9148197E-41.26400724.0E-50.00164416760.00184289870.00190278821.03249746.0E-50.016320560.0182858050.018374161.00483189.0E-5
6.72.8267326E-53.1469353E-54.146904E-51.31775951.0E-51.2114006E-41.3486217E-41.7485677E-41.29655914.0E-50.00147388240.00164079540.00170069691.03650766.0E-50.0146414520.016295570.0163841041.0054339.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.1407242E-54.1406925E-51.31838791.0E-51.20906756E-41.3459599E-41.745906E-41.29714564.0E-50.00147104570.00163755950.00169746121.03657986.0E-50.0146134590.0162636880.0163522231.00544389.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6706994E-53.6706726E-51.37442371.0E-51.03829596E-41.1445395E-41.5444937E-41.34944564.0E-50.00126339230.00139266210.00145257851.0430236.0E-50.0125623360.01384703350.0139357881.00640969.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5835778E-53.583552E-51.38705021.0E-51.0064714E-41.10720495E-41.5071606E-41.361234.0E-50.00122469010.0013472640.00140718321.04447476.0E-50.0121796270.0133985980.0134873921.00662719.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4462845E-53.44626E-51.40877321.0E-59.561782E-51.04836974E-41.4483278E-41.38150484.0E-50.00116352520.00127571760.0013356411.04697246.0E-50.011574520.012691460.0127803171.00700149.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.7670362E-52.7670185E-51.56590941.0E-57.085802E-57.572828E-51.15725255E-41.52816434.0E-58.623549E-49.2166534E-49.716192E-41.05419965.0E-50.0085901610.0091847070.00925406351.00755137.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5559537E-52.555938E-51.64268271.0E-56.301173E-56.668237E-59.668037E-51.4498643.0E-57.668978E-48.1161706E-48.4159273E-41.03693333.0E-50.00764256580.0080926040.0081421991.00612845.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5288874E-65.5288874E-61.00.02.6284872E-52.3695018E-54.3694545E-51.84403932.0E-53.199713E-42.884492E-43.084434E-41.06931632.0E-50.00319510980.00288080240.0029107161.01038373.0E-5
7.55.954766E-65.338517E-65.338517E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.2879161E-54.2878703E-51.8741382.0E-53.1066386E-42.785187E-42.9851313E-41.07178842.0E-50.0031022990.00278175040.00281166681.01075463.0E-5
7.64.9726646E-64.315309E-64.315309E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.8494053E-53.8493683E-52.08140872.0E-52.5943352E-42.2514217E-42.4513766E-41.08881272.0E-50.00259130840.00224917540.0022791081.01330823.0E-5
7.73.3613894E-62.8526886E-62.8526886E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.22257525E-52.2225631E-51.81793561.0E-51.7537741E-41.4883863E-41.5883715E-41.06717681.0E-50.00175239080.00148741570.00150738611.01342622.0E-5
7.81.1828961E-61.0122935E-61.0122935E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338394E-64.338394E-61.00.06.171996E-55.281869E-55.281869E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280643E-45.280643E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.861919E-71.861919E-71.00.09.843111E-77.97965E-77.97965E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715184E-69.715184E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.714788E-59.714788E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.75733E-67.6756856E-511.3590517.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-51.0895739E-43.76237878.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.7249312E-41.34027141.2E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00367002211.0424571.5E-4
6.16.6264497E-66.75733E-67.6756856E-511.3590517.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-51.0895739E-43.76237878.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.7249312E-41.34027141.2E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00367002211.0424571.5E-4
6.26.6264497E-66.75733E-67.6756856E-511.3590517.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-51.0895739E-43.76237878.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.7249312E-41.34027141.2E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00367002211.0424571.5E-4
6.36.6264497E-66.75733E-67.6756856E-511.3590517.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-51.0895739E-43.76237878.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.7249312E-41.34027141.2E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00367002211.0424571.5E-4
6.46.6264497E-66.75733E-67.6756856E-511.3590517.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-51.0895739E-43.76237878.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.7249312E-41.34027141.2E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00367002211.0424571.5E-4
6.53.2162225E-63.2570915E-64.325696E-513.2808554.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-56.395819E-54.5818965.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.3992518E-41.41184717.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00177801521.04703018.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2570915E-64.325696E-513.2808554.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-56.395819E-54.5818965.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.3992518E-41.41184717.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00177801521.04703018.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.2071222E-64.2207033E-519.1231064.0E-59.389223E-69.459062E-64.9458682E-55.2287094.0E-51.1430779E-41.1515819E-41.7515128E-41.52096256.0E-50.00114249010.00115100460.00121093551.05206846.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.736553E-62.1736518E-512.5170492.0E-57.415934E-67.442349E-62.74422E-53.68730352.0E-59.028525E-59.060693E-51.3060331E-41.44142744.0E-59.024858E-49.0570963E-49.456734E-41.04412424.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688623E-61.1368848E-58.3053261.0E-55.87155E-65.86654E-61.586648E-52.70457221.0E-57.148377E-57.142283E-59.14214E-51.28000252.0E-57.146078E-47.140033E-47.33989E-41.0279912.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413805E-61.1141369E-59.761311.0E-54.9147607E-64.8916218E-61.4891573E-53.04430171.0E-55.983557E-55.95539E-57.955271E-51.33581022.0E-55.981946E-45.9538253E-46.1537063E-41.03357182.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3026915E-79.3026915E-71.00.04.026511E-63.986862E-63.986862E-61.00.04.9021666E-54.853898E-55.853849E-51.206011.0E-54.901085E-44.8528553E-44.9528066E-41.02059641.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.7193014E-76.7193014E-71.00.02.939163E-62.8796974E-62.8796974E-61.00.03.5783723E-53.5059762E-53.5059762E-51.00.03.5777962E-43.5054318E-43.5054318E-41.00.0
7.35.1101983E-74.939301E-74.939301E-71.00.02.1900833E-62.1168414E-62.1168414E-61.00.02.6663936E-52.5772246E-52.5772246E-51.00.02.6660739E-42.5769303E-42.5769303E-41.00.0
7.43.4999414E-73.2995916E-73.2995916E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141099E-61.4141099E-61.00.01.8262032E-51.7216655E-51.7216655E-51.00.01.826053E-41.7215345E-41.7215345E-41.00.0
7.51.7021522E-71.4750053E-71.4750053E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.32145E-76.32145E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696339E-67.696339E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696081E-57.696081E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.055345E-45.655042E-41.11862626.0E-50.00117788690.0021648170.00223466541.03226537.0E-50.01424676550.0260484090.0261555441.0041131.1E-40.133672490.228070290.228186091.00050771.5E-4
6.12.5356023E-44.8657708E-45.465479E-41.12325046.0E-50.0010862340.0020837020.0021535561.0335247.0E-50.0131449280.025070940.0251781811.00427761.1E-40.1239401550.219495610.219612691.00053331.5E-4
6.22.4820742E-44.775311E-45.3750246E-41.12558636.0E-50.00106331240.00204499460.00211485151.03415997.0E-50.012869190.0246106760.0247179681.00435961.1E-40.121489270.216001360.216118961.00054441.5E-4
6.32.3205351E-44.5892023E-45.188927E-41.13068166.0E-59.94136E-40.00196535540.00203521781.0355477.0E-50.0120365990.0236611870.0237685831.0045391.1E-40.114051330.207938270.208057081.00057141.5E-4
6.42.0304754E-43.9878016E-44.5875623E-41.15039896.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170795290.00177783341.04091487.0E-50.0105398690.0205954180.0207031541.0052311.1E-40.1005376350.185071130.185193361.00066051.5E-4
6.51.854992E-43.6990462E-44.1988614E-41.135125.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158435480.00164425971.03781036.0E-50.0096332810.019114430.0192125181.00513161.0E-40.09226230.17330390.173419641.00066781.4E-4
6.61.6586106E-43.4036173E-43.9034474E-41.14685255.0E-57.106394E-40.00145788780.00151780041.04109546.0E-50.0086177630.0176076260.0177058631.00557941.0E-40.082911320.160780550.160898031.00073081.4E-4
6.71.4224656E-43.076812E-43.5766582E-41.16245595.0E-56.094856E-40.00131797560.00137789641.04546446.0E-50.00739526930.0159285220.0160269291.0061781.0E-40.071539550.146487980.146607471.00081571.4E-4
6.81.2317259E-42.779231E-43.279092E-41.17985585.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119056150.001250491.05033646.0E-50.00640675470.0144001310.0144986911.00684441.0E-40.062251660.132940890.133062271.00091311.4E-4
6.99.859898E-52.5015484E-43.0014233E-41.19982625.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107165590.00113159161.05592816.0E-50.00513179460.0129703190.01306902151.007611.0E-40.050148930.1194088760.119532151.00103251.4E-4
7.07.3191884E-52.1267848E-42.6266786E-41.23504665.0E-53.136418E-49.11164E-49.711093E-41.06578986.0E-50.0038119040.0110376810.0111365771.00895991.0E-40.0374717640.102067560.102193271.00123171.4E-4
7.17.1760296E-52.0969207E-42.5968158E-41.23839495.0E-53.0750787E-48.9837395E-49.5832004E-41.06672736.0E-50.0037374820.0108835280.010982441.00908821.0E-40.036752450.100704060.100829971.00125031.4E-4
7.26.46614E-51.9137723E-42.3136957E-41.20897134.0E-52.7709085E-48.199333E-48.6989236E-41.06093065.0E-50.00336836280.0099376170.0100267231.00896649.0E-50.0331776250.0925110060.09261991.00117721.2E-4
7.36.088115E-51.780939E-42.1808677E-41.22456064.0E-52.6089314E-47.6303916E-48.13001E-41.06547755.0E-50.00317174760.0092510060.0093401741.00963879.0E-50.0312685850.086561350.0866709651.00126621.2E-4
7.44.199346E-51.1511097E-41.5510636E-41.34745074.0E-51.7995955E-44.932403E-45.4321566E-41.10132055.0E-50.00218880570.0059888350.0060683561.01327828.0E-50.021673720.057440240.0575344971.00164091.0E-4
7.53.130448E-58.333871E-51.2333538E-41.4799294.0E-51.3415517E-43.5711733E-44.070995E-41.139965.0E-50.00163211530.00433929540.0044189481.01835628.0E-50.0162018030.0421335060.042229291.00227341.0E-4
7.62.3074248E-56.0849357E-59.0847534E-51.49299093.0E-59.888588E-52.6075702E-43.007466E-41.15335954.0E-50.00120327060.00317011820.00322992821.01886686.0E-50.0119677610.031028160.0311056791.00249838.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0128452E-57.012725E-51.74756923.0E-56.2511994E-51.7196777E-42.119609E-41.23256174.0E-57.608177E-40.00209170250.0021515771.02862486.0E-50.0075821820.020629090.0206976461.00332337.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.096395E-55.0963332E-51.64589242.0E-54.4369157E-51.326959E-41.6269193E-41.22605093.0E-55.400606E-40.00161437780.00165431321.02473744.0E-50.00538750.0160178930.0160670911.00307155.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2151205E-53.2150983E-51.45143271.0E-53.4876273E-59.493029E-51.0492934E-41.10533051.0E-54.2453592E-40.00115516440.00117514131.01729362.0E-50.0042372580.0116188420.0116484941.0025523.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8010365E-52.8010185E-51.55522581.0E-52.9733603E-57.7185E-58.718423E-51.12954881.0E-53.6194647E-49.3932304E-49.593042E-41.0212722.0E-50.00361357510.0095024150.0095321291.00312713.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.380179E-66.380179E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.734334E-52.734334E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.3285443E-43.3285443E-41.00.00.00178741480.00348636740.00349633261.00285831.0E-5
8.21.4906886E-61.936633E-61.936633E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.2998295E-68.2998295E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.0104576E-41.0104576E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00110754230.00111753121.0090191.0E-5
8.32.5758007E-81.4495866E-81.4495866E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.212514E-86.212514E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.563736E-77.563736E-71.00.01.344007E-57.884359E-67.884359E-61.00.0

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784127E-58.3782434E-52.47993525.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.1477161E-41.48341637.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00183129011.03967087.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0176244081.0078661.4E-4
6.13.503579E-53.3784127E-58.3782434E-52.47993525.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.1477161E-41.48341637.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00183129011.03967087.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0176244081.0078661.4E-4
6.23.503579E-53.3784127E-58.3782434E-52.47993525.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.1477161E-41.48341637.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00183129011.03967087.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0176244081.0078661.4E-4
6.31.7818425E-51.591616E-55.5915523E-53.51312924.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-51.2820632E-41.87957126.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.9010975E-41.07221536.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.008391051.01438671.2E-4
6.41.7818425E-51.591616E-55.5915523E-53.51312924.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-51.2820632E-41.87957126.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.9010975E-41.07221536.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.008391051.01438671.2E-4
6.51.3397557E-51.1336374E-54.1336036E-53.64631873.0E-55.741684E-54.8583595E-58.8581655E-51.82328324.0E-56.988258E-45.913517E-46.3132803E-41.06760174.0E-50.0069663230.0058984870.00598795571.01516829.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625434E-61.8625347E-52.15935181.0E-54.6365014E-53.6965648E-55.696491E-51.54102292.0E-55.6434784E-44.4996818E-44.6995917E-41.04442762.0E-50.0056291680.00449100740.0045308281.00886674.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802476E-61.6802407E-52.4700431.0E-53.8861883E-52.915316E-54.915258E-51.6860122.0E-54.7304068E-43.548851E-43.74878E-41.05633632.0E-50.004720350.0035435010.00358335931.01124824.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.9364285E-61.4936379E-53.0257461.0E-53.126797E-52.1155956E-54.1155534E-51.94534032.0E-53.8062103E-42.5754445E-42.775393E-41.07763652.0E-50.00379969760.00257257280.00261246971.01550874.0E-5
6.96.2243444E-63.8322546E-63.8322546E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6423846E-52.6423682E-51.60886071.0E-53.2472567E-41.9994251E-42.0994052E-41.05000441.0E-50.00324251570.0019976790.0020076591.00499581.0E-5
7.04.9878413E-62.679564E-62.679564E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1483797E-51.1483797E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3980652E-41.3980652E-41.00.00.0025992070.00139721190.00139721191.00.0
7.14.0252844E-61.885702E-61.885702E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081555E-68.081555E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.838863E-59.838863E-51.00.00.00209813599.834635E-49.834635E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2818929E-61.2818929E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.4938155E-65.4938155E-61.00.01.736567E-46.688525E-56.688525E-51.00.00.00173521076.6866126E-46.6866126E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.056684E-76.056684E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5957193E-62.5957193E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.160246E-53.160246E-51.00.00.00128184643.1598343E-43.1598343E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1084684E-73.1084684E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3322001E-61.3322001E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6219417E-51.6219417E-51.00.00.00102528131.6218246E-41.6218246E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8241002E-71.8241002E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8175697E-77.8175697E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.51785E-69.51785E-61.00.06.266873E-49.517451E-59.517451E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893784E-84.893784E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0973359E-72.0973359E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.5535037E-62.5535037E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.553478E-52.553478E-51.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-51.0713422E-42.2728246.0E-51.7866064E-42.0200513E-42.8198896E-41.39594968.0E-50.00217302330.00245746570.002557221.04059231.0E-40.0215189680.024384830.0245019031.0048011.2E-4
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-54.6853696E-52.77994133.0E-57.4489166E-57.223036E-51.2222675E-41.69217975.0E-59.065282E-48.790605E-49.2901656E-41.05682895.0E-50.0090283910.0087571280.0088364291.00905548.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-53.367299E-52.46268872.0E-56.2664985E-55.85984E-59.859606E-51.68257254.0E-57.6267915E-47.132059E-47.531774E-41.05604484.0E-50.0076006690.0071097670.00717926961.00977567.0E-5
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-52.2482049E-51.80113261.0E-55.8080568E-55.349395E-58.349235E-51.56078113.0E-57.069015E-46.510974E-46.810778E-41.0460463.0E-50.007046570.0064924150.0065520251.00918156.0E-5
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-52.1979009E-51.83477521.0E-55.613192E-55.133813E-58.133659E-51.5843313.0E-56.831918E-46.2486547E-46.548467E-41.04798033.0E-50.0068109530.0062315840.00628127251.00797375.0E-5
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-52.1048665E-51.90506771.0E-55.2507727E-54.735105E-57.734963E-51.63353563.0E-56.3909404E-45.7634927E-46.06332E-41.05202173.0E-50.0063725920.0057490090.0057887791.00691774.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-52.0063408E-51.99367931.0E-54.8651553E-54.3128617E-57.3127325E-51.69556383.0E-55.921717E-45.249665E-45.549508E-41.05711653.0E-50.00590596160.00523766460.0052774551.0075974.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-61.9516905E-52.05074121.0E-54.6559664E-54.0786515E-57.0785296E-51.73550713.0E-55.667165E-44.964647E-45.264498E-41.06039733.0E-50.0056527340.00495394370.00499374561.00803434.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-61.929966E-52.07528761.0E-54.571219E-53.985548E-56.9854286E-51.75268963.0E-55.564038E-44.8513446E-45.151199E-41.06180863.0E-50.0055501270.004841140.00488094661.00822254.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-61.8591933E-52.16386081.0E-54.302214E-53.682243E-56.6821325E-51.81469083.0E-55.236687E-44.4822265E-44.782092E-41.0669013.0E-50.0052243640.00447355070.00451337171.00890154.0E-5
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-61.8024966E-52.24608871.0E-54.0876483E-53.439261E-56.439158E-51.87225033.0E-54.975576E-44.1865133E-44.4863875E-41.07162873.0E-50.004964450.004178980.00421881261.00953174.0E-5
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-61.7652272E-52.30677841.0E-53.945964E-53.2795375E-56.279439E-51.91473323.0E-54.803152E-43.992122E-44.2920024E-41.0751183.0E-50.0047927840.0039853010.00402514171.00999694.0E-5
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-65.9310923E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.5418722E-54.541821E-51.78680162.0E-53.984668E-43.094293E-43.294231E-41.06461512.0E-50.00397753060.00309019560.00311013381.00645212.0E-5
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-65.596131E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3983199E-54.398272E-51.83389712.0E-53.7822526E-42.9195662E-43.1195077E-41.06848342.0E-50.00377582150.00291594020.0029358821.00683882.0E-5
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-64.9184864E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.1079059E-54.1078638E-51.9487892.0E-53.3336508E-42.566075E-42.7660237E-41.07792012.0E-50.00332865420.0025633110.00258325971.00778252.0E-5
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-64.0838477E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7502087E-53.7501737E-52.1427012.0E-52.806312E-42.1306718E-42.330629E-41.09384722.0E-50.00280277080.00212864020.00214859771.00937572.0E-5
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-63.0883373E-61.00.01.768732E-51.32356645E-53.32354E-52.51104882.0E-52.1532185E-41.6113237E-41.8112914E-41.12410152.0E-50.00215113330.00161016350.00163013131.01240112.0E-5
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-61.8282044E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835139E-61.783506E-52.27629161.0E-51.3256045E-49.53887E-51.0538774E-41.10482421.0E-50.00132481429.534837E-49.6347416E-41.01047791.0E-5
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-73.509864E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-61.5042266E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-51.8313805E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.8312308E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-81.2688718E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438022E-85.438022E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207895E-76.6207895E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.620771E-66.620771E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-92.032067E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-98.7088585E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-71.0603035E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-61.0603031E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.660123E-66.6659726E-510.0087826.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.18540505E-44.15303959.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.5741835E-41.31647631.1E-40.003486750.00354911670.00368861971.03930641.4E-4
6.16.693995E-66.660123E-66.6659726E-510.0087826.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.18540505E-44.15303959.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.5741835E-41.31647631.1E-40.003486750.00354911670.00368861971.03930641.4E-4
6.26.693995E-66.660123E-66.6659726E-510.0087826.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.18540505E-44.15303959.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.5741835E-41.31647631.1E-40.003486750.00354911670.00368861971.03930641.4E-4
6.36.693995E-66.660123E-66.6659726E-510.0087826.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.18540505E-44.15303959.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.5741835E-41.31647631.1E-40.003486750.00354911670.00368861971.03930641.4E-4
6.46.693995E-66.660123E-66.6659726E-510.0087826.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.18540505E-44.15303959.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.5741835E-41.31647631.1E-40.003486750.00354911670.00368861971.03930641.4E-4
6.56.6561875E-66.620341E-66.661994E-510.0629186.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-51.1837003E-44.17198669.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.553435E-41.31837831.1E-40.00346709070.00352843220.00366793831.03953771.4E-4
6.66.6561875E-66.620341E-66.661994E-510.0629186.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-51.1837003E-44.17198669.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.553435E-41.31837831.1E-40.00346709070.00352843220.00366793831.03953771.4E-4
6.76.5802237E-66.539518E-66.653913E-510.1749296.0E-52.8200653E-52.8026205E-51.1802368E-44.211199.0E-53.4328885E-43.4116567E-44.5112814E-41.3223141.1E-40.00342759020.00348640650.00362591841.04001591.4E-4
6.86.575632E-66.5340073E-66.653361E-510.1826666.0E-52.8180975E-52.8002589E-51.1800007E-44.21389879.0E-53.4304935E-43.4087826E-44.5084074E-41.32258581.1E-40.00342520260.00348354130.00362305371.0400491.4E-4
6.96.570433E-66.525401E-66.652501E-510.1947776.0E-52.8158694E-52.7965707E-51.1796319E-44.21813739.0E-53.4277816E-43.4042934E-44.503919E-41.32301141.1E-40.00342249920.00347906650.00361857941.04010071.4E-4
7.06.5643826E-66.5155223E-66.651513E-510.2087186.0E-52.8132765E-52.7923368E-51.17920856E-44.22301679.0E-53.424626E-43.3991406E-44.4987665E-41.32350121.1E-40.00341935320.00347392960.00361344331.04016021.4E-4
7.16.557402E-66.504234E-66.6503846E-510.22476.0E-52.8102848E-52.7874992E-51.17872485E-44.22861059.0E-53.4209844E-43.3932526E-44.492879E-41.32406271.1E-40.00341572290.00346806060.0036075751.04022841.4E-4
7.26.546394E-66.4862006E-66.648581E-510.2503486.0E-52.8055672E-52.7797707E-51.1779521E-44.2375879.0E-53.4152428E-43.383846E-44.4834736E-41.32496391.1E-40.00340999870.00345868830.00359820391.04033781.4E-4
7.36.5364216E-66.4669857E-66.64666E-510.2778336.0E-52.8012933E-52.771536E-51.17712865E-44.2472079.0E-53.4100408E-43.373823E-44.473452E-41.32592961.1E-40.0034048130.00344871030.00358822761.04045491.4E-4
7.46.5269523E-66.4480723E-66.644768E-510.3050476.0E-52.7972354E-52.7634303E-51.1763182E-44.2567329.0E-53.4051016E-43.3639578E-44.4635875E-41.32688581.1E-40.00339988880.00343889230.00357841071.04057071.4E-4
7.56.5111835E-66.424346E-66.642396E-510.3394136.0E-52.7904773E-52.753262E-51.17530144E-44.26875979.0E-53.3968766E-43.3515817E-44.451213E-41.32809331.1E-40.00339168870.00342656440.00356608471.04071721.4E-4
7.66.4768806E-66.383454E-66.638307E-510.399246.0E-52.7757764E-52.7357375E-51.1735491E-44.28969969.0E-53.3789838E-43.330252E-44.4298856E-41.33019531.1E-40.00337385040.00340529720.00354482051.04097251.4E-4
7.76.1655364E-66.1759456E-66.617558E-510.7150526.0E-52.642346E-52.646807E-51.16465686E-44.40023339.0E-53.2165812E-43.2220117E-44.3216572E-41.34129171.1E-40.00321192950.00329693620.00343647461.04232371.4E-4
7.85.5043524E-65.7370175E-66.5736676E-511.4583366.0E-52.3589868E-52.4586987E-51.1458477E-44.66038279.0E-52.871688E-42.993055E-44.092726E-41.36740741.1E-40.00286797970.00306705850.0032066291.04550641.4E-4
7.93.889249E-64.0766436E-66.40764E-515.717936.0E-51.6668104E-51.7471213E-51.0746964E-46.1512419.0E-52.0291525E-42.126913E-43.226679E-41.51707151.1E-40.00202730070.00219410730.00233381.06366731.4E-4
8.02.668535E-62.5313454E-65.2531217E-520.7522935.0E-51.1436528E-51.0848577E-58.084782E-57.4523897.0E-51.3923083E-41.3207346E-42.0206421E-41.52993817.0E-50.00139143630.00137556650.00145545651.05807788.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2185134E-62.121849E-517.4134242.0E-56.8191785E-65.2221894E-63.5222034E-56.74468663.0E-58.3020335E-56.357832E-59.357642E-51.47182893.0E-58.298933E-46.6911156E-46.9909147E-41.04480553.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1802066E-72.1802066E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.3437393E-79.3437393E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1375943E-51.1375943E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2778955E-41.2778955E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7516316E-84.7516316E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0364133E-72.0364133E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4793305E-62.4793305E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8671833E-52.8671833E-51.00.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-58.510508E-53.38975146.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.9758647E-41.83637129.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00142920691.09152761.2E-40.0115866860.0130330910.0131712661.01060191.4E-4
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-58.510508E-53.38975146.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.9758647E-41.83637129.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00142920691.09152761.2E-40.0115866860.0130330910.0131712661.01060191.4E-4
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-58.510508E-53.38975146.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.9758647E-41.83637129.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00142920691.09152761.2E-40.0115866860.0130330910.0131712661.01060191.4E-4
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-58.510508E-53.38975146.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.9758647E-41.83637129.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00142920691.09152761.2E-40.0115866860.0130330910.0131712661.01060191.4E-4
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-53.378083E-52.45124222.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-59.905872E-51.6772254.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.6888927E-41.06949835.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00724469871.00968597.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-53.378083E-52.45124222.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-59.905872E-51.6772254.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.6888927E-41.06949835.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00724469871.00968597.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-62.9633577E-53.07601052.0E-53.6782953E-54.12874E-58.128575E-51.96877854.0E-54.4774043E-45.026414E-45.4262124E-41.07953974.0E-50.00446839350.0050232050.0050829041.01188466.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-62.808814E-53.4726872.0E-53.088114E-53.466415E-57.466276E-52.153894.0E-53.7591302E-44.2203604E-44.6201915E-41.09473864.0E-50.00375277760.00422036040.0042801071.01415686.0E-5

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262253E-67.432592E-517.1803177.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-59.853937E-55.3147178.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.3568963E-41.48723141.1E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00239482991.06194021.4E-4
6.14.422171E-64.3262253E-67.432592E-517.1803177.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-59.853937E-55.3147178.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.3568963E-41.48723141.1E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00239482991.06194021.4E-4
6.24.422171E-64.3262253E-67.432592E-517.1803177.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-59.853937E-55.3147178.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.3568963E-41.48723141.1E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00239482991.06194021.4E-4
6.34.422171E-64.3262253E-67.432592E-517.1803177.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-59.853937E-55.3147178.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.3568963E-41.48723141.1E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00239482991.06194021.4E-4
6.44.422171E-64.3262253E-67.432592E-517.1803177.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-59.853937E-55.3147178.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.3568963E-41.48723141.1E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00239482991.06194021.4E-4
6.54.422171E-64.3262253E-67.432592E-517.1803177.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-59.853937E-55.3147178.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.3568963E-41.48723141.1E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00239482991.06194021.4E-4
6.62.663744E-62.5319846E-67.253181E-528.6462297.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-59.085045E-58.3722958.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-42.220954E-41.68117449.0E-50.00138893990.00132033590.00144017741.0907661.2E-4
6.72.663744E-62.5319846E-67.253181E-528.6462297.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-59.085045E-58.3722958.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-42.220954E-41.68117449.0E-50.00138893990.00132033590.00144017741.0907661.2E-4
6.81.9716529E-61.8322567E-67.183213E-539.2041857.0E-58.449913E-67.852505E-68.785188E-511.1877518.0E-51.0287284E-49.560019E-51.8559159E-41.94133079.0E-50.00102825239.5560355E-40.00107548891.12545511.2E-4
6.91.8788617E-61.7429976E-67.174288E-541.160637.0E-58.0522395E-67.4699688E-68.746937E-511.709478.0E-59.80316E-59.09432E-51.80935E-41.98953879.0E-59.798837E-49.090718E-40.00102896281.13188281.2E-4
7.01.5045488E-61.3849498E-67.138485E-551.543287.0E-56.44805E-65.9354857E-67.593507E-512.7934057.0E-57.8502184E-57.226219E-51.5225641E-42.10699968.0E-57.8474457E-47.223921E-48.323126E-41.15216181.1E-4
7.11.272341E-61.1625089E-66.116244E-552.612456.0E-55.4528787E-64.9821715E-66.4981876E-513.0428816.0E-56.6386776E-56.0656283E-51.3065204E-42.15397367.0E-56.636695E-46.064005E-47.0633984E-41.16480761.0E-4
7.21.0416892E-69.409871E-76.094093E-564.762776.0E-54.464375E-64.032796E-66.403255E-515.8779566.0E-55.4352407E-54.9098202E-51.19094766E-42.42564427.0E-55.4339116E-44.908754E-45.908263E-41.20361771.0E-4
7.37.9450155E-77.2350036E-76.0723458E-583.93016.0E-53.4050022E-63.1007123E-66.3100524E-520.3503326.0E-54.1455114E-53.7750528E-51.0774789E-42.85420877.0E-54.144738E-43.7744228E-44.7740454E-41.26484121.0E-4
7.45.3893444E-75.0195166E-75.0501927E-5100.611145.0E-52.309717E-62.1512196E-65.2151114E-524.242585.0E-52.8120441E-52.6190788E-58.618922E-53.29082186.0E-52.8116882E-42.6187746E-43.518539E-41.34358229.0E-5
7.53.8852085E-73.6825622E-75.036824E-5136.774985.0E-51.6650882E-61.57824E-65.157816E-532.680815.0E-52.027226E-51.9214905E-56.9213944E-53.60209665.0E-52.0270412E-41.9213265E-42.721173E-41.4162998.0E-5
7.62.414929E-72.3457605E-72.0234571E-586.260182.0E-51.0349692E-61.0053255E-62.1005306E-520.8940332.0E-51.2600677E-51.2239771E-53.2239524E-52.63399742.0E-51.2599962E-41.223911E-41.7238497E-41.40847655.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.8589785E-86.8589785E-81.00.02.9270575E-72.939562E-72.939562E-71.00.03.5636867E-63.5789112E-63.5789112E-61.00.03.5636294E-53.5788584E-53.5788584E-51.00.0

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1599742E-57.159848E-52.2657934.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-42.0541174E-41.51683577.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00175746131.0666521.1E-40.0151026670.0163680.0164958721.00781241.3E-4
6.12.9164563E-53.1599742E-57.159848E-52.2657934.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-42.0541174E-41.51683577.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00175746131.0666521.1E-40.0151026670.0163680.0164958721.00781241.3E-4
6.22.9164563E-53.1599742E-57.159848E-52.2657934.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-42.0541174E-41.51683577.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00175746131.0666521.1E-40.0151026670.0163680.0164958721.00781241.3E-4
6.31.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-51.0629998E-41.39314323.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.885466E-41.06455336.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0093184471.00749837.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-51.0629998E-41.39314323.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.885466E-41.06455336.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0093184471.00749837.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3042996E-52.3042865E-51.7666851.0E-55.2450723E-55.5897377E-57.5896256E-51.35777852.0E-56.3840044E-46.8034173E-47.2031457E-41.0587544.0E-50.00636569550.0067829880.0068326491.00732145.0E-5
6.61.0489767E-51.1156636E-52.1156524E-51.89631751.0E-54.495537E-54.781329E-55.7812813E-51.20913681.0E-55.4719415E-45.819736E-46.119561E-41.05151873.0E-50.0054584870.0058047360.00584450361.0068514.0E-5
6.78.699222E-69.236783E-61.923669E-52.0826181.0E-53.7281847E-53.958561E-54.958522E-51.2526071.0E-54.5381195E-44.818488E-45.0183915E-41.04148672.0E-50.00452886340.0048081080.00483796371.00620953.0E-5
6.88.307732E-68.8169045E-61.8816816E-52.13417481.0E-53.560408E-53.7786187E-54.7785812E-51.2646371.0E-54.3339343E-44.5995016E-44.7994097E-41.0434632.0E-50.0043254920.00459003540.0046198981.00650583.0E-5
6.98.073121E-68.564939E-61.8564853E-52.16754061.0E-53.459863E-53.670637E-54.6706E-51.27242231.0E-54.2115687E-44.4680882E-44.667999E-41.04474192.0E-50.0042035960.0044591560.00448902231.00669783.0E-5
7.07.617019E-68.074665E-61.8074585E-52.23843151.0E-53.264396E-53.4605247E-54.46049E-51.28896361.0E-53.9736772E-44.2123784E-44.412294E-41.04745912.0E-50.0039665790.00420444130.00423431541.00710543.0E-5
7.17.1224836E-67.5457883E-61.7545713E-52.32523251.0E-53.052457E-53.2338692E-54.2338368E-51.30921711.0E-53.715733E-43.9365282E-44.1364494E-41.05078612.0E-50.0037095260.00392959830.003959481.00760443.0E-5
7.26.441115E-66.8273835E-61.6827315E-52.464681.0E-52.7604487E-52.9259889E-53.9259598E-51.34175481.0E-53.360328E-43.5618115E-43.7617402E-41.05613122.0E-50.00335525120.00355613120.00358602451.00840623.0E-5
7.35.494274E-65.8199944E-65.8199944E-61.00.02.3546674E-52.4942596E-52.4942596E-51.00.02.8664304E-43.03634E-43.1363097E-41.03292441.0E-50.0028627360.00303221450.00305215391.00657582.0E-5
7.44.0802624E-64.3122564E-64.3122564E-61.00.01.7486722E-51.8480969E-51.8480969E-51.00.02.1288003E-42.2498264E-42.2498264E-41.00.00.00212676220.00224755770.00225753521.00443921.0E-5
7.52.3584746E-62.4753099E-62.4753099E-61.00.01.0107709E-51.0608428E-51.0608428E-51.00.01.2305441E-41.2915001E-41.2915001E-41.00.00.00122986290.00129075450.00129075451.00.0
7.69.4981914E-79.860934E-79.860934E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.2261076E-64.2261076E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451658E-55.1451658E-51.00.04.954795E-45.1439874E-45.1439874E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6416632E-72.6416632E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321408E-61.1321408E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783729E-51.3783729E-51.00.01.357257E-41.378288E-41.378288E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.965698E-83.965698E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995848E-71.6995848E-71.00.02.16657E-62.0692428E-62.0692428E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692256E-52.0692256E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475225E-105.9475225E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489382E-92.5489382E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033323E-83.1033323E-81.00.04.030379E-73.103332E-73.103332E-71.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311252E-55.3111828E-52.2979683.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00127572351.05798237.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121708641.01066521.3E-4
6.11.9810619E-52.311252E-55.3111828E-52.2979683.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00127572351.05798237.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121708641.01066521.3E-4
6.21.9810619E-52.311252E-55.3111828E-52.2979683.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00127572351.05798237.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121708641.01066521.3E-4
6.31.9810619E-52.311252E-55.3111828E-52.2979683.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00127572351.05798237.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121708641.01066521.3E-4
6.41.9810619E-52.311252E-55.3111828E-52.2979683.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00127572351.05798237.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121708641.01066521.3E-4
6.51.7190405E-52.0050558E-55.0049955E-52.49618773.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.2592753E-41.46544994.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00110614651.057296.0E-50.0089296760.0104620610.0105808051.011351.2E-4
6.61.7190405E-52.0050558E-55.0049955E-52.49618773.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.2592753E-41.46544994.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00110614651.057296.0E-50.0089296760.0104620610.0105808051.011351.2E-4

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.894798E-59.894554E-52.02144275.0E-51.6884391E-42.0976314E-42.6975054E-41.28597696.0E-50.00205373620.0025513850.00265112981.03909441.0E-40.0203485950.0252801680.0253971351.00462681.2E-4
6.12.1505624E-52.6878823E-54.6878286E-51.74406022.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.351882E-41.17360542.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00144159551.02849784.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139967281.00353495.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6878823E-54.6878286E-51.74406022.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.351882E-41.17360542.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00144159551.02849784.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139967281.00353495.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-57.784722E-51.00.07.454001E-49.4742293E-49.67404E-41.02108992.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094764571.00314573.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-57.784722E-51.00.07.454001E-49.4742293E-49.67404E-41.02108992.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094764571.00314573.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6651793E-51.6651793E-51.00.05.5789995E-57.1363116E-57.1363116E-51.00.06.790315E-48.6854334E-48.88526E-41.0230072.0E-50.00676960360.0086642330.0086939731.00343253.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2039209E-51.2039209E-51.00.04.058515E-55.159578E-55.159578E-51.00.04.940122E-46.280315E-46.4801896E-41.03182552.0E-50.0049291540.0062732480.00630305941.00475223.0E-5
6.78.314155E-61.040749E-51.040749E-51.00.03.5631605E-54.4602948E-54.4602948E-51.00.04.3372845E-45.4293784E-45.62927E-41.03681662.0E-50.0043288290.00542708070.0054569181.00549783.0E-5
6.83.4856364E-63.8134033E-63.8134033E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.6343065E-51.6343065E-51.00.01.8185932E-41.9896074E-41.9896074E-41.00.00.00181710560.00198945290.00198945291.00.0
6.92.2645952E-62.152909E-62.152909E-61.00.09.705372E-69.226722E-69.226722E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.12329755E-41.12329755E-41.00.00.00118093690.00112331380.00112331381.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.5430741E-61.5430741E-61.00.07.655979E-66.613158E-66.613158E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.051228E-58.051228E-51.00.09.316847E-48.052856E-48.052856E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4733466E-61.4733466E-61.00.07.420889E-66.314328E-66.314328E-61.00.09.034557E-57.687428E-57.687428E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.68921E-47.68921E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3574178E-61.3574178E-61.00.06.860698E-65.817492E-65.817492E-61.00.08.352579E-57.082572E-57.082572E-51.00.08.34944E-47.0846075E-47.0846075E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1217794E-61.1217794E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.8076176E-64.8076176E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.853122E-55.853122E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.8530655E-45.8530655E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-69.237087E-79.237087E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9587458E-63.9587458E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.81967E-54.81967E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8187698E-44.8187698E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.6233886E-77.6233886E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2671626E-63.2671626E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9777013E-53.9777013E-51.00.04.879637E-43.9770233E-43.9770233E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.880688E-76.880688E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.948863E-62.948863E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.590185E-53.590185E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.5896365E-43.5896365E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4186368E-71.4186368E-71.00.09.344408E-76.0798715E-76.0798715E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.4022278E-67.4022278E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.402077E-57.402077E-51.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-63.4181412E-58.1743663.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-54.792023E-52.67400533.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.8815196E-41.32078487.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00229963471.05492851.2E-4
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-63.4181412E-58.1743663.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-54.792023E-52.67400533.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.8815196E-41.32078487.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00229963471.05492851.2E-4
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-63.4181412E-58.1743663.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-54.792023E-52.67400533.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.8815196E-41.32078487.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00229963471.05492851.2E-4
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-63.4181412E-58.1743663.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-54.792023E-52.67400533.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.8815196E-41.32078487.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00229963471.05492851.2E-4
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-63.4181412E-58.1743663.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-54.792023E-52.67400533.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.8815196E-41.32078487.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00229963471.05492851.2E-4
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-63.2373086E-513.6413573.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-54.0170333E-53.94963743.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.5381754E-41.24225473.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00127754911.03228074.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-63.2373086E-513.6413573.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-54.0170333E-53.94963743.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.5381754E-41.24225473.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00127754911.03228074.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-62.1749756E-512.42991352.0E-57.2983503E-67.499088E-62.7498938E-53.6669712.0E-58.885379E-59.1298105E-51.1129628E-41.21904252.0E-58.881827E-49.1265864E-49.426312E-41.0328413.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-62.1329912E-516.0382772.0E-55.534837E-65.6997237E-62.569961E-54.5089222.0E-56.738455E-56.939237E-58.939098E-51.28819612.0E-56.736412E-46.9375033E-47.1373646E-41.02880882.0E-5
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-76.1169936E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6215664E-62.6215664E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917145E-53.1917145E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.191297E-43.191297E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-74.832015E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708624E-62.0708624E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212494E-52.5212494E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210003E-42.5210003E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-73.987147E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-61.7087764E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-52.0804187E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-42.0802575E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-73.7616863E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-61.6121504E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.9627789E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-41.9626386E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-73.506347E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-61.5027196E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.829549E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294314E-41.8294314E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-73.1165817E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-61.3356774E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.6261785E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-41.6260923E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-71.5012525E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433939E-76.433939E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-67.8333205E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833321E-57.833321E-51.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0505308E-41.3504992E-41.285543.0E-53.3046713E-44.501601E-44.901421E-41.08881724.0E-50.0040160160.00546805470.0055277271.01091286.0E-50.0394421030.0534556140.0535502661.00177071.0E-4
6.14.607858E-56.0239887E-57.0239286E-51.1659931.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.7814248E-41.0774552.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00317861121.0127044.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310431441.00218997.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0239887E-57.0239286E-51.1659931.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.7814248E-41.0774552.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00317861121.0127044.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310431441.00218997.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2476124E-54.2476124E-51.00.01.4259605E-41.8202956E-41.8202956E-41.00.00.00173472440.0022142060.00223416161.00901262.0E-50.0172124520.021945740.0219848621.00178274.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.4999008E-53.4999008E-51.00.01.1884817E-41.499886E-41.499886E-41.00.00.0014460160.00182481580.00184477921.010942.0E-50.0143664280.0181212970.0181605721.00216734.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4948822E-53.4948822E-51.00.01.186648E-41.4977354E-41.4977354E-41.00.00.00144378640.00182220180.00184216541.01095572.0E-50.0143444210.0180955850.018134861.00217044.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.871829E-52.871829E-51.00.09.846873E-51.23074E-41.23074E-41.00.00.00119819750.00149763480.00150761991.00666711.0E-50.0119175740.0148987330.0149282871.00198363.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.4904637E-52.4904637E-51.00.08.516096E-51.067312E-41.067312E-41.00.00.00103634150.00129891990.00130890691.00768881.0E-50.0103152180.0129369380.012966551.00228893.0E-5
6.86.5640475E-67.6054926E-67.6054926E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2594577E-53.2594577E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9676955E-43.9676955E-41.00.00.00341917880.0039608990.0039708591.00251471.0E-5
6.95.6219683E-66.5018376E-66.5018376E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7864735E-52.7864735E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3920293E-43.3920293E-41.00.00.00292917270.0033871090.0033970751.00294231.0E-5
7.03.875591E-64.4847548E-64.4847548E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9220248E-51.9220248E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.339835E-42.339835E-41.00.00.00202018860.00233757980.00234755641.00426791.0E-5
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.8570418E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958732E-67.958732E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689432E-59.689432E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.686254E-41.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.3951705E-51.2394889E-41.3192833.0E-53.22824E-44.025903E-44.325782E-41.07448743.0E-50.00392330070.0048911210.00494087631.01017265.0E-50.038547550.0479040.0480087321.00218631.1E-4
6.14.1807285E-55.0493105E-56.04926E-51.19803681.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.2637921E-41.04620471.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.0026512841.00758082.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260598231.00187235.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0493105E-56.04926E-51.19803681.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.2637921E-41.04620471.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.0026512841.00758082.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260598231.00187235.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7711125E-54.771075E-51.26516381.0E-51.3624904E-41.6160926E-41.7160765E-41.06186761.0E-50.00165756980.0019658490.00197582921.00507691.0E-50.0164526030.0194884950.0195277151.00201254.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5335797E-54.5335444E-51.28298911.0E-51.2804232E-41.5143053E-41.6142902E-41.06602691.0E-50.00155780030.00184213950.00185212111.00541841.0E-50.0154692530.0182724630.0183117331.00214914.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8764101E-53.8763814E-51.34764551.0E-51.0504962E-41.2326906E-41.3326782E-41.08111331.0E-50.00127822870.00149979430.00150977941.00665761.0E-50.0127090120.01489969250.0149390971.00264474.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.490667E-53.490642E-51.40148891.0E-59.135714E-51.0673863E-41.1673757E-41.09367681.0E-50.00111170560.00129879030.00130877741.00768951.0E-50.0110616050.0129144070.01295389051.00305744.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1634882E-53.1634663E-51.46220661.0E-57.9650374E-59.271774E-51.0271681E-41.10784421.0E-59.6931186E-40.00112827440.0011382631.00885311.0E-50.00965094750.0112276230.0112671741.00352264.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8419476E-52.8419292E-51.54289361.0E-56.798199E-57.8938334E-58.8937544E-51.12667121.0E-58.273665E-49.606697E-49.7066007E-41.01039951.0E-50.0082429280.0095671510.0096067681.0041414.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.5095266E-52.5095114E-51.66244941.0E-55.5805274E-56.46925E-57.4691845E-51.15456751.0E-56.792174E-47.873646E-47.973567E-41.01269051.0E-50.0067714520.0078475730.0078773381.00379293.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.2720105E-52.2719978E-51.7861471.0E-54.7032172E-55.4513697E-56.451315E-51.18343021.0E-55.7246623E-46.635197E-46.7351304E-41.01506111.0E-50.00570993730.00661713540.00664693681.00450373.0E-5
7.18.766221E-61.0163833E-52.0163732E-51.98387071.0E-53.7568978E-54.3558655E-55.355822E-51.22956551.0E-54.573063E-45.302148E-45.4020947E-41.01885031.0E-50.00456366360.0052911970.00532103841.00563983.0E-5
7.28.026024E-78.331776E-78.331776E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5707562E-63.5707562E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.34731E-54.34731E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3464705E-44.3464705E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700106E-73.700106E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5857588E-61.5857588E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306442E-51.9306442E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9304773E-41.9304773E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674441E-71.9674441E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4319004E-78.4319004E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.02657905E-51.02657905E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.026532E-41.026532E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794086E-86.2794086E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6911746E-72.6911746E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765004E-63.2765004E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.276453E-53.276453E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531901E-95.531901E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708148E-82.3708148E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864667E-72.8864667E-71.00.03.181591E-62.886464E-62.886464E-61.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926368E-56.792525E-52.43229824.0E-51.3694567E-41.19679185E-41.696732E-41.41773365.0E-50.00166603840.00145616340.00150609051.03428695.0E-50.0165360330.014470770.01456932351.00681041.0E-4
6.12.1156782E-51.7573117E-51.7573117E-51.00.09.066878E-57.531123E-57.531123E-51.00.00.00110333339.1653795E-49.1653795E-41.00.00.0109787130.0091285870.0091484041.00217092.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.3327227E-51.3327227E-51.00.06.9405796E-55.7115452E-55.7115452E-51.00.08.44688E-46.9516135E-46.9516135E-41.00.00.0084148440.00693016170.0069500231.00286592.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179013E-51.1179013E-51.00.05.811018E-54.7909183E-54.7909183E-51.00.07.072618E-45.8313913E-45.8313913E-41.00.00.00705015050.0058162080.00583609151.00341872.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0000874E-51.0000874E-51.00.05.1944477E-54.2860185E-54.2860185E-51.00.06.322405E-45.216983E-45.216983E-41.00.00.0063044470.0052048040.00522469961.00382262.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367378E-69.367378E-61.00.04.8647056E-54.0145293E-54.0145293E-51.00.05.9211696E-44.886598E-44.886598E-41.00.00.00590541730.00487591140.00489581381.00408182.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.1353155E-68.1353155E-61.00.04.2216197E-53.4865174E-53.4865174E-51.00.05.1386096E-44.2440102E-44.2440102E-41.00.00.00512674360.00423593770.00424589541.00235081.0E-5
6.78.8558645E-67.318341E-67.318341E-61.00.03.7953152E-53.1363943E-53.1363943E-51.00.04.6198163E-43.8178926E-43.8178926E-41.00.00.0046102240.00381135920.0038213211.00261381.0E-5
6.87.67136E-66.39169E-66.39169E-61.00.03.2876844E-52.739267E-52.739267E-51.00.04.0020206E-43.3345487E-43.3345487E-41.00.00.0039948210.00332956640.0033395331.00299331.0E-5
6.96.534529E-65.458261E-65.458261E-61.00.02.8004823E-52.3392338E-52.3392338E-51.00.03.4090536E-42.8476462E-42.8476462E-41.00.00.00340382870.0028440140.00285398561.00350621.0E-5
7.05.460525E-64.5699203E-64.5699203E-61.00.02.3402039E-51.9585226E-51.9585226E-51.00.02.8488258E-42.3842414E-42.3842414E-41.00.00.00284517650.00238169730.00239167361.00418871.0E-5
7.14.4825083E-63.7524153E-63.7524153E-61.00.01.9210609E-51.6081682E-51.6081682E-51.00.02.3386406E-41.9577699E-41.9577699E-41.00.00.0023361810.0019560570.00196603761.00510231.0E-5
7.22.821708E-62.424941E-62.424941E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0392562E-51.0392562E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.265221E-41.265221E-41.00.00.00147124570.00126450320.00126450321.00.0
7.32.0644757E-61.7687502E-61.7687502E-61.00.08.847723E-67.580336E-67.580336E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.228668E-59.228668E-51.00.00.0010766359.224854E-49.224854E-41.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4379966E-61.4379966E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1628284E-66.1628284E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.502986E-57.502986E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.5004686E-47.5004686E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1302697E-61.1302697E-61.00.05.844708E-64.844004E-64.844004E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.897415E-55.897415E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.8958656E-45.8958656E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.6772847E-77.6772847E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2902608E-63.2902608E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.005819E-54.005819E-51.00.05.113757E-44.0051117E-44.0051117E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0050708E-74.0050708E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7164577E-61.7164577E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0897673E-52.0897673E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0895849E-42.0895849E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5285202E-71.5285202E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.5507993E-76.5507993E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.975569E-67.975569E-61.00.01.522967E-47.97542E-57.97542E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.6208047E-84.6208047E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9803447E-71.9803447E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.411067E-62.411067E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4111772E-52.4111772E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0093144E-109.0093144E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8611354E-93.8611354E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7009323E-84.7009323E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.712806E-74.712806E-71.00.0

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210524E-62.362098E-56.52323632.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-56.551793E-54.22186765.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.4891357E-41.31752666.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.0020395021.05689321.1E-4
6.14.83821E-53.6210524E-62.362098E-56.52323632.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-56.551793E-54.22186765.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.4891357E-41.31752666.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.0020395021.05689321.1E-4
6.24.83821E-53.6210524E-62.362098E-56.52323632.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-56.551793E-54.22186765.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.4891357E-41.31752666.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.0020395021.05689321.1E-4
6.33.953008E-53.1530958E-62.3153032E-57.34295232.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-56.3512525E-54.7000355.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.2450168E-41.36465616.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.00176199651.06006251.0E-4
6.43.953008E-53.1530958E-62.3153032E-57.34295232.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-56.3512525E-54.7000355.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.2450168E-41.36465616.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.00176199651.06006251.0E-4
6.53.457342E-52.9707387E-62.297068E-57.7323122.0E-51.4816338E-41.273168E-56.2731044E-54.92716175.0E-50.00180239651.5499788E-42.1498857E-41.3870426.0E-50.0178784770.00155631190.00165615611.06415451.0E-4
6.63.1127765E-52.8737306E-62.2873674E-57.95957472.0E-51.3339789E-41.2315934E-56.231532E-55.05973155.0E-50.00162290921.4993687E-42.0992788E-41.40010856.0E-50.0161110810.00150134380.00160119371.0665071.0E-4
6.72.806885E-52.8101606E-62.2810103E-58.1170112.0E-51.2028952E-41.2043493E-56.204289E-55.15156945.0E-50.0014635411.4662035E-42.0661156E-41.40916016.0E-50.0145393970.00146560870.00156546221.06813111.0E-4
6.82.524524E-52.2351392E-62.2235094E-59.94796852.0E-51.0818939E-49.579134E-65.9578655E-56.21962835.0E-50.00131640991.16620016E-41.7661302E-41.51443156.0E-50.013086390.0011658270.00126571051.08567611.0E-4
6.92.2704568E-51.6079711E-62.1607939E-513.4380152.0E-59.730166E-56.8912864E-65.689094E-58.2554895.0E-50.00118400398.38982E-51.4389316E-41.71509246.0E-50.0117771538.38853E-49.3876914E-41.11911031.0E-4
7.02.0871712E-51.5393621E-62.1539332E-513.9923742.0E-58.944713E-56.5972495E-64.6596986E-57.06309274.0E-50.00108847468.031857E-51.3031455E-41.62247115.0E-50.0108315868.030395E-48.929673E-41.11198419.0E-5
7.11.944928E-51.3862556E-62.1386228E-515.4273352.0E-58.335139E-55.941082E-64.5940844E-57.73274044.0E-50.00101433087.233028E-51.2232666E-41.69122345.0E-50.0100971337.2319806E-48.1313297E-41.12435729.0E-5
7.21.7876306E-51.2487686E-62.1248743E-517.0157592.0E-57.6610486E-55.3518543E-64.535164E-58.4740054.0E-59.3233347E-46.515689E-51.1515363E-41.76732865.0E-50.0092843166.5148395E-47.414253E-41.13805629.0E-5
7.31.2618672E-51.1113839E-62.1111362E-518.9955622.0E-55.40789E-54.763065E-64.4762874E-59.3979134.0E-56.582117E-45.7988782E-51.07985885E-41.86218575.0E-50.00656265535.7983754E-46.6978537E-41.15512599.0E-5
7.47.4874442E-68.547518E-72.0854735E-524.3985862.0E-53.208865E-53.6632168E-64.366307E-511.9193254.0E-53.906093E-44.4598757E-59.459653E-52.12105755.0E-50.0038992344.459579E-45.3591776E-41.20172279.0E-5
7.52.4734156E-66.0679935E-76.0679935E-71.00.01.060031E-52.6005662E-62.2600514E-58.6906132.0E-51.2905113E-43.1661435E-55.16608E-51.63166332.0E-50.00128976213.1656958E-43.765506E-41.18947186.0E-5
7.61.1328841E-63.1961991E-73.1961991E-71.00.04.8552088E-61.369799E-61.1369785E-58.3003311.0E-55.9110564E-51.6677177E-52.667701E-51.59961191.0E-55.9094845E-41.6675945E-41.9675444E-41.17986993.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.962742E-88.962742E-81.00.02.0834207E-63.8411747E-73.8411747E-71.00.02.536535E-54.676621E-64.676621E-61.00.02.5362454E-44.676529E-54.676529E-51.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709113E-56.7090186E-51.42468852.0E-51.7631594E-42.0180462E-42.2180058E-41.09908582.0E-50.0021445330.00245439910.00251425171.02438596.0E-50.0212395530.0242935570.0243911281.00401631.0E-4
6.12.1061249E-52.3864959E-53.3864722E-51.41901431.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.1227353E-41.0977661.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.0012744731.02407593.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124278311.00398925.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3864959E-53.3864722E-51.41901431.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.1227353E-41.0977661.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.0012744731.02407593.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124278311.00398925.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074419E-52.7074248E-51.58566151.0E-56.496225E-57.3174095E-58.317336E-51.13665041.0E-57.906284E-48.9054246E-49.105246E-41.02243822.0E-50.0078782140.008870990.0089007241.00335183.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3852917E-52.3852777E-51.72185971.0E-55.2892858E-55.9368336E-56.936774E-51.168431.0E-56.437803E-47.225779E-47.4256345E-41.02765872.0E-50.0064191840.00720312170.00723290541.00413493.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117032E-52.011693E-51.98842231.0E-53.883296E-54.3358017E-55.335758E-51.23062791.0E-54.726887E-45.277613E-45.4775074E-41.03787592.0E-50.0047168450.00526561770.00529545961.00566733.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400734E-68.400734E-61.00.03.2340322E-53.600267E-53.600267E-51.00.03.936723E-44.3824868E-44.4824427E-41.02280811.0E-50.0039297560.00437427360.0043941861.00455222.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.087381E-66.087381E-61.00.02.3581404E-52.6088532E-52.6088532E-51.00.02.8706578E-43.1758484E-43.2758166E-41.03147771.0E-50.00286695220.00317163160.00319156821.00628592.0E-5
6.83.7351679E-64.0831405E-64.0831405E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.7499071E-51.7499071E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1303285E-42.2303071E-41.04693111.0E-50.00194706290.00212853150.002138511.0046881.0E-5
6.92.456366E-62.6292707E-62.6292707E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1268255E-51.1268255E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718239E-41.4718101E-41.07288561.0E-50.00128087730.00137097990.00138096631.0072841.0E-5
7.02.3245157E-62.4827784E-62.4827784E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640436E-51.0640436E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.2953962E-41.3953833E-41.07718651.0E-50.00121216520.00129464340.00130463041.00771421.0E-5
7.12.2248344E-62.37325E-62.37325E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171032E-51.0171032E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.238253E-41.3382405E-41.08074891.0E-50.00116021440.00123756510.00124755271.00807031.0E-5
7.22.1350402E-62.2761542E-62.2761542E-61.00.09.150141E-69.75491E-69.75491E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.1875957E-41.2875839E-41.08419371.0E-50.00111341440.00118696290.00119695111.00841491.0E-5
7.31.9793572E-62.1087192E-62.1087192E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037337E-69.037337E-61.00.01.032748E-41.1002403E-41.2002294E-41.09087921.0E-50.00103226820.00109969740.00110968641.00908341.0E-5
7.41.6951194E-61.8045735E-61.8045735E-61.00.07.264777E-67.733864E-67.733864E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415574E-59.415574E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411601E-49.411601E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.512216E-79.512216E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0766577E-64.0766577E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9632188E-54.9632188E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962122E-44.962122E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529335E-74.0529335E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369704E-61.7369704E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147416E-52.1147416E-51.00.02.023439E-42.114547E-42.114547E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339047E-86.339047E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167343E-72.7167343E-71.00.03.225572E-63.307619E-63.307619E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075703E-53.3075703E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964153E-91.3964153E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984637E-95.984637E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286295E-87.286295E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286294E-77.286294E-71.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.249999E-63.424987E-58.0587953.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-54.8213613E-52.64704043.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.7172425E-41.22544415.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00232495021.04954711.1E-4
6.11.6710783E-54.249999E-63.424987E-58.0587953.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-54.8213613E-52.64704043.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.7172425E-41.22544415.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00232495021.04954711.1E-4
6.21.6710783E-54.249999E-63.424987E-58.0587953.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-54.8213613E-52.64704043.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.7172425E-41.22544415.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00232495021.04954711.1E-4
6.31.6710783E-54.249999E-63.424987E-58.0587953.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-54.8213613E-52.64704043.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.7172425E-41.22544415.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00232495021.04954711.1E-4
6.47.982846E-63.6820359E-63.3681925E-59.1476363.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-54.5779587E-52.90110353.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.4209604E-41.26022355.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00202921941.05719861.1E-4
6.57.982846E-63.6820359E-63.3681925E-59.1476363.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-54.5779587E-52.90110353.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.4209604E-41.26022355.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00202921941.05719861.1E-4
6.67.048869E-63.4242998E-63.3424196E-59.7608853.0E-53.0209088E-51.467549E-54.467505E-53.04419473.0E-53.677336E-41.7865976E-42.2865082E-41.27981165.0E-50.00367125660.00178519290.00189499651.06150791.1E-4
6.76.987307E-63.3622775E-63.3362176E-59.9224943.0E-52.9945259E-51.4409683E-54.440925E-53.08190353.0E-53.6452254E-41.7542407E-42.2541531E-41.28497365.0E-50.00363925170.00175288720.00186269431.06264361.1E-4
6.86.3737602E-63.1178672E-63.3117773E-510.6219323.0E-52.731583E-51.3362222E-54.3361822E-53.24510573.0E-53.3251947E-41.6267318E-42.1266505E-41.30731485.0E-50.00332022370.00162556980.00173539091.06755851.1E-4
6.96.112211E-62.933078E-63.293299E-511.2281333.0E-52.6194928E-51.2570275E-54.25699E-53.38655263.0E-53.1887658E-41.5303263E-42.0302497E-41.32667775.0E-50.0031841940.00152930020.00162914731.06528941.0E-4
7.05.5140117E-62.64191E-63.264183E-512.35539153.0E-52.3631264E-51.1322423E-54.1322084E-53.64957953.0E-52.8767265E-41.3784204E-41.8783515E-41.3626845.0E-50.00287300530.00137759070.00147745291.07249051.0E-4
7.14.8151105E-62.1342612E-63.2134198E-515.0563573.0E-52.0636026E-59.146803E-63.914653E-54.27980473.0E-52.5121463E-41.1135685E-41.6135129E-41.4489575.0E-50.00250930830.00111303250.00121292111.08974471.0E-4
7.23.818335E-61.2937372E-61.1293724E-58.7295351.0E-51.6364189E-55.5445767E-61.5544521E-52.8035541.0E-51.9921579E-46.750321E-58.750187E-51.29626212.0E-50.00199037286.7483535E-47.248016E-41.07404225.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.383078E-77.383078E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1641725E-63.1641725E-61.00.01.4174209E-43.852314E-53.852314E-51.00.00.00141651723.8516664E-43.951628E-41.02595281.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.4614605E-75.4614605E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340624E-62.340624E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8496728E-52.8496728E-51.00.00.00108959622.849313E-42.849313E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.7629433E-53.26880224.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.0460712E-41.41924329.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00224404081.04653621.0E-4
6.14.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.7629433E-53.26880224.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.0460712E-41.41924329.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00224404081.04653621.0E-4
6.24.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.7629433E-53.26880224.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.0460712E-41.41924329.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00224404081.04653621.0E-4
6.34.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.7629433E-53.26880224.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.0460712E-41.41924329.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00224404081.04653621.0E-4
6.44.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.7629433E-53.26880224.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.0460712E-41.41924329.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00224404081.04653621.0E-4
6.52.9849807E-62.973154E-62.973154E-61.00.01.2792712E-51.2742028E-52.27419E-51.78479441.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-41.9511709E-41.25781944.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00159010331.02576384.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.973154E-62.973154E-61.00.01.2792712E-51.2742028E-52.27419E-51.78479441.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-41.9511709E-41.25781944.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00159010331.02576384.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6582202E-62.6582202E-61.00.01.1467117E-51.1392323E-51.1392323E-51.00.01.396032E-41.386928E-41.6868865E-41.21627533.0E-50.00139515530.00138607340.00141603191.02161383.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047783E-62.3047783E-61.00.09.9787E-69.877584E-69.877584E-61.00.01.214839E-41.2025302E-41.5024941E-41.2494443.0E-50.0012141750.0012018870.00123185091.02493073.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696405E-62.0696405E-61.00.08.988259E-68.869858E-68.869858E-61.00.01.0942656E-41.0798523E-41.2798308E-41.18519062.0E-50.00109372680.00107933340.00109931191.018512.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787029E-61.6787029E-61.00.07.3423685E-67.1944214E-67.1944214E-61.00.08.938967E-58.75886E-51.0758685E-41.22832022.0E-58.935372E-48.755446E-48.9552713E-41.0228232.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.3815746E-61.3815746E-61.00.06.0923603E-65.9210206E-65.9210206E-61.00.07.417196E-57.208607E-58.2085346E-51.1387131.0E-57.414721E-47.206296E-47.306224E-41.01386681.0E-5
7.29.097853E-78.60377E-78.60377E-71.00.03.899074E-63.6873246E-63.6873246E-61.00.04.7470192E-54.4892266E-54.4892266E-51.00.04.7460053E-44.4883305E-44.4883305E-41.00.0
7.36.144169E-75.628199E-75.628199E-71.00.02.6332125E-62.4120832E-62.4120832E-61.00.03.205889E-52.9366722E-52.9366722E-51.00.03.2054266E-42.9362892E-42.9362892E-41.00.0
7.44.049844E-73.5728252E-73.5728252E-71.00.01.7356463E-61.5312098E-61.5312098E-61.00.02.1131287E-51.8642324E-51.8642324E-51.00.02.1129279E-41.8640784E-41.8640784E-41.00.0
7.51.9871162E-71.5830383E-71.5830383E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784448E-76.784448E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.260035E-68.260035E-61.00.01.0367952E-48.259736E-58.259736E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.9456558E-41.34579655.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00182888661.03972517.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.017574751.0056221.0E-4
6.13.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.9456558E-41.34579655.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00182888661.03972517.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.017574751.0056221.0E-4
6.23.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.9456558E-41.34579655.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00182888661.03972517.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.017574751.0056221.0E-4
6.33.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.9456558E-41.34579655.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00182888661.03972517.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.017574751.0056221.0E-4
6.41.8754668E-51.7019594E-51.7019594E-51.00.08.037467E-57.2939205E-57.2939205E-51.00.09.781223E-48.8769617E-48.976873E-41.01125511.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088538541.00112071.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019594E-51.7019594E-51.00.08.037467E-57.2939205E-57.2939205E-51.00.09.781223E-48.8769617E-48.976873E-41.01125511.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088538541.00112071.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.323284E-41.00.00.00746570160.0063056520.0063056521.00.0
6.71.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.323284E-41.00.00.00746570160.0063056520.0063056521.00.0
6.81.3663846E-51.1344401E-51.1344401E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.8617967E-54.8617967E-51.00.07.127108E-45.917649E-45.917649E-41.00.00.0071042930.00590221070.00590221071.00.0
6.91.3644157E-51.1322501E-51.1322501E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.8524114E-54.8524114E-51.00.07.116841E-45.906229E-45.906229E-41.00.00.0070940920.00589085140.00589085141.00.0
7.01.3568845E-51.12420685E-51.12420685E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.8179416E-54.8179416E-51.00.07.077572E-45.8642845E-45.8642845E-41.00.00.0070550730.0058491280.0058491281.00.0
7.11.306572E-51.0720521E-51.0720521E-51.00.05.599474E-54.594429E-54.594429E-51.00.06.815227E-45.5923004E-45.5923004E-41.00.00.00679436370.0055785360.0055785361.00.0
7.21.232604E-59.995121E-69.995121E-61.00.05.2824813E-54.283554E-54.283554E-51.00.06.429523E-45.2139966E-45.2139966E-41.00.00.00641095270.0052020590.0052020591.00.0
7.31.0917261E-58.843812E-68.843812E-61.00.04.678742E-53.7901507E-53.7901507E-51.00.05.69488E-44.6135474E-44.6135474E-41.00.00.00568030770.0046042390.0046042391.00.0
7.41.039959E-58.42354E-68.42354E-61.00.04.456891E-53.6100395E-53.6100395E-51.00.05.424914E-44.394352E-44.394352E-41.00.00.00541168960.00438592770.00438592771.00.0
7.59.015877E-67.29752E-67.29752E-61.00.03.86389E-53.1274718E-53.1274718E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.8070456E-43.8070456E-41.00.00.0046933290.0038007720.0038007721.00.0
7.64.900162E-63.874119E-63.874119E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603262E-51.6603262E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0212609E-42.0212609E-41.00.00.00255357470.0020194360.0020194361.00.0
7.73.8850626E-63.12676E-63.12676E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400332E-51.3400332E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6313691E-41.6313691E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163018090.00163018091.00.0
7.82.4654719E-62.029902E-62.029902E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.699551E-68.699551E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.0591193E-41.0591193E-41.00.00.00128562250.00105861920.00105861921.00.0
7.94.095894E-73.2765078E-73.2765078E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042168E-61.4042168E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.709621E-51.709621E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.7094925E-41.7094925E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692009E-57.4691125E-55.08379276.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.2296067E-41.95285876.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00774021071.01298741.0E-4
6.11.6420427E-51.4692009E-57.4691125E-55.08379276.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.2296067E-41.95285876.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00774021071.01298741.0E-4
6.21.6420427E-51.4692009E-57.4691125E-55.08379276.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.2296067E-41.95285876.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00774021071.01298741.0E-4
6.31.2046778E-59.862255E-63.986196E-54.04187063.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-57.2264986E-51.70975613.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.444779E-41.05827983.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00518504671.00968655.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.862255E-63.986196E-54.04187063.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-57.2264986E-51.70975613.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.444779E-41.05827983.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00518504671.00968655.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879378E-62.7879221E-53.53825122.0E-54.390359E-53.3768443E-55.376777E-51.59224892.0E-55.343951E-44.1107394E-44.310657E-41.04863312.0E-50.0053311180.00410516650.00413504341.00727783.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.1774166E-62.7177273E-53.78649782.0E-54.1165385E-53.0760108E-55.0759492E-51.65017272.0E-55.010733E-43.7446033E-43.9445283E-41.05339012.0E-50.004999450.00374029060.00377017841.00799073.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.123926E-62.6123804E-54.26585872.0E-53.687454E-52.6245243E-54.624472E-51.76202292.0E-54.48855E-43.195085E-43.395021E-41.06257622.0E-50.0044794950.00319240310.00322230721.00936733.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.563117E-61.2563091E-54.90148971.0E-52.223407E-51.0984763E-52.0984653E-51.91034191.0E-52.7066618E-41.3373529E-41.4373395E-41.07476461.0E-50.00270336750.00133693960.00135691291.01493952.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-62.3442778E-61.2344254E-55.2656961.0E-51.9415156E-51.0046889E-52.004679E-51.9953231.0E-52.3635388E-41.2231797E-41.3231675E-41.08174411.0E-50.00236102660.00122289560.00124287121.01633472.0E-5
7.03.431668E-61.6882177E-61.6882177E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.2352186E-67.2352186E-61.00.01.7904381E-48.808879E-58.808879E-51.00.00.00178899628.8088785E-48.908791E-41.01134221.0E-5

Cleghorn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.831764E-61.9831667E-52.01710151.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-57.213425E-51.71195853.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.8285386E-41.13641157.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00522175241.01744639.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-69.831764E-61.9831667E-52.01710151.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-57.213425E-51.71195853.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.8285386E-41.13641157.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00522175241.01744639.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-69.831764E-61.9831667E-52.01710151.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-57.213425E-51.71195853.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.8285386E-41.13641157.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00522175241.01744639.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-69.831764E-61.9831667E-52.01710151.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-57.213425E-51.71195853.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.8285386E-41.13641157.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00522175241.01744639.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-66.0916254E-61.6091564E-52.6415881.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-53.610645E-51.38303331.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.4779432E-41.09436793.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.0032176291.0093813.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-66.0916254E-61.6091564E-52.6415881.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-53.610645E-51.38303331.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.4779432E-41.09436793.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.0032176291.0093813.0E-5
6.64.040109E-65.774033E-61.5773976E-52.73188161.0E-51.7314638E-52.4745626E-53.474538E-51.40410181.0E-52.1078532E-43.0123728E-43.3122825E-41.09955933.0E-50.0021058550.00302251430.00305242371.00989563.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-65.06753E-61.5067479E-52.97333811.0E-51.4413658E-52.1717806E-53.1717587E-51.46044171.0E-51.7547216E-42.643825E-42.8437722E-41.07562792.0E-50.00175333660.00265484860.00267479551.00751342.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-64.9894375E-61.4989388E-53.0042241.0E-51.4101111E-52.138313E-53.1382915E-51.46764841.0E-51.716675E-42.6030882E-42.8030362E-41.07681182.0E-50.00171534950.00261420760.00263415531.00763052.0E-5
6.93.031547E-64.6911987E-61.4691152E-53.13164141.0E-51.299228E-52.0104984E-53.0104784E-51.49737911.0E-51.5816953E-42.4475096E-42.6474605E-41.08169572.0E-50.001580570.00245898050.00247893131.00811352.0E-5
7.02.8259715E-64.3707637E-61.437072E-53.28791951.0E-51.211125E-51.8731711E-52.8731525E-51.5338441.0E-51.4744449E-42.2803496E-42.480304E-41.08768582.0E-50.0014734670.00229217480.0023121291.00870542.0E-5
7.12.5962665E-64.065983E-61.4065942E-53.459421.0E-51.1126809E-51.7425526E-52.7425353E-51.57386081.0E-51.3546048E-42.1213535E-42.2213323E-41.04712981.0E-50.00135377930.00213349590.00214347451.00467721.0E-5
7.22.3247253E-63.6765352E-61.3676498E-53.7199421.0E-59.96307E-61.5756486E-52.5756328E-51.63464931.0E-51.21293626E-41.9181852E-42.018166E-41.05212261.0E-50.00121227440.00193071660.00194069721.00516941.0E-5
7.32.056928E-63.235253E-61.3235221E-54.09093861.0E-58.815376E-61.3865297E-52.3865157E-51.72121511.0E-51.0732192E-41.6879707E-41.7879538E-41.05923271.0E-50.0010727010.00170094230.00171092531.00586921.0E-5
7.41.8055999E-62.8256538E-61.2825625E-54.5389941.0E-57.738263E-61.210989E-52.2109769E-51.82576131.0E-59.4209274E-51.4742807E-41.5742659E-41.06781971.0E-59.4169343E-40.00148767050.00149765551.0067121.0E-5
7.51.4683443E-62.4248943E-61.242487E-55.1238811.0E-56.292889E-61.0392363E-52.039226E-51.9622351.0E-57.661323E-51.2651978E-41.365185E-41.07902911.0E-57.658682E-40.00127888120.00128886851.00780931.0E-5
7.69.804088E-71.9004091E-61.190039E-56.2620151.0E-54.201745E-68.144585E-61.8144503E-52.22779971.0E-55.1155046E-59.915586E-51.0915487E-41.10084131.0E-55.114327E-40.00100555830.00101554821.00993481.0E-5
7.77.3434086E-71.6285549E-61.6285549E-61.00.03.1471714E-66.9795024E-66.9795024E-61.00.03.831614E-58.4972155E-58.4972155E-51.00.03.8309532E-48.6387293E-48.6387293E-41.00.0
7.86.434184E-71.5221389E-61.5221389E-61.00.02.7575045E-66.523436E-66.523436E-61.00.03.35721E-57.9419966E-57.9419966E-51.00.03.3567028E-48.080443E-48.080443E-41.00.0
7.93.4943926E-77.5750586E-77.5750586E-71.00.01.497596E-63.2464498E-63.2464498E-61.00.01.8233079E-53.9524817E-53.9524817E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.0401975E-44.0401975E-41.00.0
8.06.717524E-85.837515E-85.837515E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.501792E-72.501792E-71.00.03.505102E-63.0459275E-63.0459275E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.2751934E-53.2751934E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2949885E-81.2949885E-81.00.01.370782E-75.549951E-85.549951E-81.00.01.6689258E-66.757063E-76.757063E-71.00.01.6689133E-57.741151E-67.741151E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6471115E-93.6471115E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.563048E-81.563048E-81.00.06.359922E-71.9030107E-71.9030107E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.245849E-62.245849E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130170311.00687169.0E-5
6.12.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130170311.00687169.0E-5
6.22.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130170311.00687169.0E-5
6.32.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130170311.00687169.0E-5
6.42.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130170311.00687169.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-52.4030476E-56.402952E-52.66451294.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.7297649E-41.67964927.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00133300781.06376128.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129583641.00690339.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-52.4030476E-56.402952E-52.66451294.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.7297649E-41.67964927.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00133300781.06376128.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129583641.00690339.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-52.3955597E-56.395464E-52.6697164.0E-51.1663563E-41.02662816E-41.7265564E-41.68177387.0E-50.00141911370.00124920580.00132910581.06396078.0E-50.0141008550.0128309340.0129197791.00692439.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-52.3872815E-56.387186E-52.67550594.0E-51.1604605E-41.0230807E-41.723009E-41.68413817.0E-50.0014119450.00124489170.0013247921.06418268.0E-50.0140300750.01278808250.0128769321.00694789.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-52.3792329E-56.3791376E-52.6811744.0E-51.15636096E-41.0196315E-41.7195602E-41.68645257.0E-50.00140696020.00124069710.00132059781.06439988.0E-50.0139808560.0127463780.0128352311.00697099.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-52.3369357E-56.3368425E-52.71160324.0E-51.1335209E-41.0015055E-41.7014354E-41.69887777.0E-50.0013791880.00121865350.00129855611.06556628.0E-50.01370659750.0125277330.01261660551.0070949.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-52.3195396E-56.319447E-52.724444.0E-51.1252879E-49.940507E-51.693981E-41.70411947.0E-50.00136917690.00120958730.00128949061.06605838.0E-50.0136077170.0124376610.0125265411.00714619.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-52.2390155E-56.238926E-52.78645944.0E-51.0829568E-49.5954296E-51.6594758E-41.7294447.0E-50.00131770240.00116761980.00124752641.06843548.0E-50.0130991620.01201879050.01210770851.00739829.0E-5
7.32.339701E-52.1122027E-56.112118E-52.89371754.0E-51.0026905E-49.051985E-51.605135E-41.77324127.0E-50.0012200920.0011015240.00118143591.07254668.0E-50.0121341490.0113576420.0114466191.00783429.0E-5
7.42.296333E-52.0852396E-56.0851562E-52.91820484.0E-59.841056E-58.936436E-51.593581E-41.78324017.0E-50.00119748990.00108747010.0011673831.07348538.0E-50.0119105750.0112167540.0113057441.00793379.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-52.037534E-56.0374525E-52.96311744.0E-59.50918E-58.731998E-51.5731387E-41.80157927.0E-50.00115712770.00106260420.00114251931.07520688.0E-50.0115112090.0109663690.0110553821.0081179.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.8961666E-55.8960908E-53.10947944.0E-58.5767984E-58.126176E-51.5125607E-41.86134377.0E-50.0010437259.889146E-40.00105884541.07071477.0E-50.0103883650.0102243710.0103035531.00774448.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-51.6743043E-55.6742374E-53.3890124.0E-57.384417E-57.175393E-51.4174891E-41.97548647.0E-58.986819E-48.732547E-49.431936E-41.08008997.0E-50.0089505620.009062920.0091421951.00874728.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-51.499039E-55.498979E-53.66833624.0E-56.205057E-56.424295E-51.3423845E-42.08954387.0E-57.552038E-47.8187784E-48.5182313E-41.08945817.0E-50.00752642420.0081413880.0082207371.00974638.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-51.1644517E-54.164417E-53.576293.0E-54.7632562E-54.990412E-51.0990113E-42.20224556.0E-55.797721E-46.074139E-46.6737743E-41.09871956.0E-50.00578261870.00638035450.0064499081.01090127.0E-5
8.09.327402E-69.8986575E-63.989836E-54.0306843.0E-53.9973966E-54.2422133E-58.242043E-51.94286414.0E-54.8657437E-45.163676E-45.5634696E-41.07742424.0E-50.00485510330.005449940.00549966751.00912445.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-66.826985E-62.6826849E-53.92953092.0E-53.0100724E-52.9258183E-55.9257305E-52.0253243.0E-53.664147E-43.5616063E-43.8614997E-41.08420173.0E-50.0036581110.00378745720.00381734361.00789093.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-68.9912584E-78.9912584E-71.00.08.724915E-63.853391E-63.853391E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.6914047E-54.6914047E-51.00.00.0010616995.3239096E-45.3239096E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.61379E-86.61379E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8344812E-72.8344812E-71.00.01.046241E-53.450976E-63.450976E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.0120205E-54.0120205E-51.00.0

Dry Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439381E-66.439381E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597147E-55.7596317E-52.0870393.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00343580851.02375738.0E-5
6.16.222801E-66.439381E-66.439381E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597147E-55.7596317E-52.0870393.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00343580851.02375738.0E-5
6.26.222801E-66.439381E-66.439381E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597147E-55.7596317E-52.0870393.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00343580851.02375738.0E-5
6.36.222801E-66.439381E-66.439381E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597147E-55.7596317E-52.0870393.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00343580851.02375738.0E-5
6.46.222801E-66.439381E-66.439381E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597147E-55.7596317E-52.0870393.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00343580851.02375738.0E-5
6.52.8528623E-62.9521684E-62.9521684E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.7403452E-41.12981842.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00159008461.03241415.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.9521684E-62.9521684E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.7403452E-41.12981842.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00159008461.03241415.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6293578E-62.6293578E-61.00.01.0889954E-51.1268677E-52.1268565E-51.88740561.0E-51.3257713E-41.3719614E-41.571934E-41.14575672.0E-50.00132498060.00137196130.00142189281.03639415.0E-5

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.4786031E-41.8989137.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.4786031E-41.8989137.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.4786031E-41.8989137.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.4786031E-41.8989137.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.4786031E-41.8989137.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.4786031E-41.8989137.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.4786031E-41.8989137.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.4786031E-41.8989137.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7936945E-55.7936228E-53.2299944.0E-59.960445E-57.687038E-51.3686577E-41.78047476.0E-50.00121200959.354987E-49.954425E-41.06407696.0E-50.0120542040.00931661950.0093859671.00744347.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.7432383E-55.7431687E-53.294544.0E-59.7543525E-57.47081E-51.3470362E-41.80306586.0E-50.00118694549.09195E-49.6914044E-41.06593246.0E-50.0118062560.0090557410.0091251071.00765997.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7066137E-55.7065456E-53.34378274.0E-59.600859E-57.313856E-51.3313416E-41.82030076.0E-50.00116827778.9010154E-49.5004815E-41.0673486.0E-50.0116215490.0088663360.0089357161.0078257.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.658602E-55.6585355E-53.41162974.0E-59.373015E-57.108103E-51.3107675E-41.84404726.0E-50.00114056718.6507126E-49.250193E-41.06929856.0E-50.0113473090.0086179960.008677481.00690226.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.5564563E-54.5564095E-52.92742543.0E-58.8771834E-56.670358E-51.1670024E-41.7495355.0E-50.00108026118.118168E-48.617762E-41.06154025.0E-50.0107502490.0080894430.0081390381.00613095.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3996829E-53.3996548E-52.42887522.0E-57.8890735E-55.9985046E-59.9982644E-51.66679294.0E-59.600714E-47.300762E-47.70047E-41.05474884.0E-50.0095593420.00727764470.00731735351.00545634.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.285006E-53.2849803E-52.55639312.0E-57.2241404E-55.5070537E-59.506833E-51.72630124.0E-58.7918417E-46.7028037E-47.1025355E-41.05963654.0E-50.008757140.00668340870.00672314131.0059454.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577415E-61.957732E-52.04411321.0E-55.495361E-54.1045427E-57.10442E-51.73086753.0E-56.688548E-44.9961504E-45.296001E-41.06001633.0E-50.0066684520.00498519230.00501504261.00598783.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.854899E-63.854899E-61.00.02.4116642E-51.6520893E-52.6520727E-51.60528411.0E-52.9358055E-42.0112342E-42.111214E-41.04971081.0E-50.00293193010.00200942480.00201940471.00496651.0E-5
7.73.5261346E-62.3407094E-62.3407094E-61.00.01.5111918E-51.0031574E-52.0031473E-51.99684251.0E-51.8397206E-41.2212765E-41.3212643E-41.08187151.0E-50.00183819840.00122061270.00123060041.00818261.0E-5
7.81.4826929E-61.0564395E-61.0564395E-61.00.06.354383E-64.52759E-64.52759E-61.00.07.736187E-55.5122033E-55.5122033E-51.00.07.733494E-45.510856E-45.510856E-41.00.0
7.92.7568166E-71.6977887E-71.6977887E-71.00.01.1814923E-67.276235E-77.276235E-71.00.01.4384574E-58.85878E-68.85878E-61.00.01.4383643E-48.858431E-58.858431E-51.00.0
8.05.407832E-82.688677E-82.688677E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.15229014E-71.15229014E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4029123E-61.4029123E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.40290385E-51.40290385E-51.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.6558402E-55.655767E-51.54704992.0E-51.4070606E-41.5667039E-41.8666568E-41.19145483.0E-50.001711750.00190595940.0019558641.02618355.0E-50.0169862470.0189130320.0189817081.00363117.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1659505E-53.165929E-51.4616811.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.12821406E-41.21544332.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00115952361.02652913.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112798461.00351864.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1659505E-53.165929E-51.4616811.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.12821406E-41.21544332.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00115952361.02652913.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112798461.00351864.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.703395E-52.7033779E-51.5870531.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-59.299917E-51.27395022.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.183997E-41.03373753.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0088890731.00448014.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.703395E-52.7033779E-51.5870531.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-59.299917E-51.27395022.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.183997E-41.03373753.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0088890731.00448014.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.4794522E-51.4794522E-51.00.05.8746107E-56.3403575E-57.340294E-51.15770981.0E-57.1499916E-47.716686E-47.916532E-41.02589792.0E-50.00712703030.00769028950.0077200591.0038713.0E-5
6.61.2539813E-51.3510219E-51.3510219E-51.00.05.3740947E-55.789967E-56.789909E-51.17270261.0E-56.540996E-47.0470315E-47.2468905E-41.02836072.0E-50.00652177630.00702498850.0070547781.00424053.0E-5
6.71.1504083E-51.2377375E-51.2377375E-51.00.04.930228E-55.3044827E-56.3044296E-51.18850981.0E-56.0008996E-46.456314E-46.6561846E-41.03095752.0E-50.0059847210.0064377860.0064675931.004633.0E-5
6.81.012739E-51.0877071E-51.0877071E-51.00.04.340238E-54.6615194E-54.6615194E-51.00.05.282958E-45.673937E-45.7738804E-41.01761451.0E-50.00527041640.00565961930.00567950631.00351382.0E-5
6.98.9607865E-69.609117E-69.609117E-61.00.03.8402806E-54.1181287E-54.1181287E-51.00.04.6745385E-45.012679E-45.1126286E-41.01993941.0E-50.00466471770.0050014920.0050213921.00397882.0E-5
7.08.046829E-68.619746E-68.619746E-61.00.03.4485955E-53.694125E-53.694125E-51.00.04.1978562E-44.496677E-44.5966322E-41.02222861.0E-50.0041899350.00448766860.0045075791.00443662.0E-5
7.17.136131E-67.637656E-67.637656E-61.00.03.0583058E-53.2732405E-53.2732405E-51.00.03.7228514E-43.9844486E-43.9844486E-41.00.00.00371662060.0039773810.00398734171.00250421.0E-5
7.26.362014E-66.8049585E-66.8049585E-61.00.02.726549E-52.9163786E-52.9163786E-51.00.03.3190678E-43.550119E-43.550119E-41.00.00.00331411490.0035445160.00355448061.00281131.0E-5
7.35.004101E-65.351715E-65.351715E-61.00.02.1445969E-52.2935723E-52.2935723E-51.00.02.6107338E-42.792072E-42.792072E-41.00.00.0026076690.00278861870.00279859081.0035761.0E-5
7.43.4901443E-63.7320526E-63.7320526E-61.00.01.4957676E-51.5994416E-51.5994416E-51.00.01.8209449E-41.9471499E-41.9471499E-41.00.00.00181945340.00194548230.00195546291.00513021.0E-5
7.51.1215045E-61.189387E-61.189387E-61.00.04.806439E-65.097363E-65.097363E-61.00.05.851682E-56.205866E-56.205866E-51.00.05.850142E-46.2041637E-46.2041637E-41.00.0
7.62.8599047E-72.9951994E-72.9951994E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.2836562E-61.2836562E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5628404E-51.5628404E-51.00.01.4921463E-41.5627318E-41.5627318E-41.00.0
7.72.0781519E-72.1744323E-72.1744323E-71.00.08.906362E-79.3189925E-79.3189925E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.13458145E-51.13458145E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1345245E-41.1345245E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.764102E-83.764102E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6131864E-71.6131864E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9640527E-61.9640527E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9640367E-51.9640367E-51.00.0

San Clemente

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.163834E-51.2163507E-41.48992594.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.898209E-41.11429974.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.00430119741.01171085.0E-50.034262910.041756030.0418231081.00160637.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.163834E-51.016367E-41.24496292.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.698279E-41.05714982.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.00428128241.00702643.0E-50.034262910.041756030.041803941.00114745.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6452373E-55.6451907E-51.21526421.0E-51.6884868E-41.9906677E-42.0906478E-41.05022441.0E-50.00205379450.00242099840.00244095011.0082412.0E-50.0203491670.0239529030.0239821841.00122253.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792912E-54.7928737E-51.26363971.0E-51.3966505E-41.6254342E-41.725418E-41.0615121.0E-50.00169909560.00197720020.00199716051.01009542.0E-50.016861630.0195998830.0196194911.00100042.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.4097764E-53.4097764E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4612524E-41.4612524E-41.00.00.00153574380.00177764930.00177764931.00.00.0152517390.017637470.017637471.00.0
6.52.790836E-53.2247463E-53.2247463E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.3819624E-41.3819624E-41.00.00.0014551790.00168126620.00168126621.00.00.0144568680.0166884850.0166884851.00.0
6.62.2492153E-52.5762702E-52.5762702E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1040699E-41.1040699E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134339090.00134339091.00.00.0116676150.0133544170.0133544171.00.0
6.71.9862755E-52.2666423E-52.2666423E-51.00.08.512331E-59.713826E-59.713826E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118202790.00118202791.00.00.0103106820.0117587010.0117587011.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.897771E-51.897771E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133056E-58.133056E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.897591E-49.897591E-41.00.00.0086747840.00985453650.00985453651.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.72694E-51.72694E-51.00.06.522015E-57.4009666E-57.4009666E-51.00.07.93766E-49.00704E-49.00704E-41.00.00.0079093670.0089714810.0089714811.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4033016E-51.4033016E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.014015E-56.014015E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319679E-47.319679E-41.00.00.00644564540.00729635640.00729635641.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2375138E-51.2375138E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.303527E-55.303527E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455204E-46.455204E-41.00.00.00568905850.00643719970.00643719971.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0844935E-51.0844935E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6477508E-54.6477508E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657239E-45.657239E-41.00.00.00498619630.00564356150.00564356151.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.083918E-69.083918E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8930535E-53.8930535E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7388324E-44.7388324E-41.00.00.00417429860.00472942970.00472942971.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.3623792E-63.3623792E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410146E-51.4410146E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543444E-41.7543444E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175345460.00175345461.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4250602E-53.425032E-52.40342952.0E-55.4456385E-56.107279E-51.11069734E-41.81864525.0E-56.628048E-47.433441E-48.1329205E-41.0940997.0E-50.0066083140.0074136390.0074930461.0107118.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.510835E-62.9510646E-53.10284472.0E-53.5753423E-54.076021E-57.0758986E-51.7359823.0E-54.3521097E-44.9616426E-45.461395E-41.1007235.0E-50.00434359630.0049541550.0050138581.01205116.0E-5
6.26.923899E-67.967221E-62.7967062E-53.51026562.0E-52.9673516E-53.4144894E-56.4143875E-51.87857873.0E-53.6121515E-44.1565404E-44.6563326E-41.12024245.0E-50.0036062860.00415210940.00421186021.01439056.0E-5
6.32.728396E-63.4243646E-63.4243646E-61.00.01.1693074E-51.4675771E-52.4675624E-51.68138521.0E-51.4235388E-41.7866373E-41.9866016E-41.11192212.0E-50.00142262720.00178674330.00181668971.01676033.0E-5
6.42.7136944E-63.4086581E-63.4086581E-61.00.01.1630066E-51.4608458E-52.4608311E-51.68452491.0E-51.4158686E-41.7784433E-41.9784077E-41.11243782.0E-50.00141496690.00177856230.0018085091.01683763.0E-5
6.52.6971882E-63.3910032E-63.3910032E-61.00.01.1559327E-51.4532795E-52.453265E-51.68808891.0E-51.4072572E-41.7692328E-41.9691975E-41.11302342.0E-50.00140636640.00176936660.00179931351.01692523.0E-5
6.62.669092E-63.3610236E-63.3610236E-61.00.01.1438916E-51.4404312E-52.4404168E-51.69422651.0E-51.3925991E-41.7535927E-41.9535575E-41.11403162.0E-50.00139172670.00175375110.00178369841.01707613.0E-5
6.72.6408059E-63.3310494E-63.3310494E-61.00.01.1317691E-51.4275853E-52.4275709E-51.70047351.0E-51.3778417E-41.737955E-41.9379203E-41.11505782.0E-50.00137698770.00173813810.0017680861.01722983.0E-5
6.82.1786943E-62.8545066E-62.8545066E-61.00.09.337228E-61.2233547E-51.2233547E-51.00.01.1367482E-41.4893398E-41.5893248E-41.06713391.0E-50.00113616690.00148987040.00150984061.0134042.0E-5
6.91.4411696E-62.0685677E-62.0685677E-61.00.06.1764263E-68.865261E-68.865261E-61.00.07.51954E-51.0792949E-41.1792841E-41.09264311.0E-57.5169955E-40.00108025480.00110023321.01849412.0E-5
7.01.0073411E-61.5543274E-61.5543274E-61.00.04.317169E-66.661387E-66.661387E-61.00.05.2560266E-58.109952E-59.109871E-51.12329531.0E-55.2547833E-48.1217213E-48.2216406E-41.01230261.0E-5
7.18.947104E-71.430316E-61.430316E-61.00.03.834468E-66.1299124E-66.1299124E-61.00.04.6683643E-57.462928E-58.462853E-51.13398561.0E-54.6673836E-47.4751483E-47.5750734E-41.01336771.0E-5
7.25.215166E-71.0112277E-61.0112277E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.333826E-64.333826E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.27631E-55.27631E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.289683E-45.289683E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-79.220183E-79.220183E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.951501E-63.951501E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8108504E-54.8108504E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.824433E-44.824433E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.359109E-78.359109E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5824705E-63.5824705E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.3615746E-54.3615746E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3752496E-44.3752496E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.1087245E-78.1087245E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.475163E-63.475163E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.230933E-54.230933E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2444657E-44.2444657E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.732167E-77.732167E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.313782E-63.313782E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0344585E-54.0344585E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0477706E-44.0477706E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.0782415E-75.0782415E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1763874E-62.1763874E-61.00.09.377899E-62.6497206E-52.6497206E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6633305E-42.6633305E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1981747E-71.1981747E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.135033E-75.135033E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2518866E-66.2518866E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.2971965E-56.2971965E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1051638E-94.1051638E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7593557E-81.7593557E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1420155E-72.1420155E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1898923E-62.1898923E-61.00.0

Palos Verdes

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622572E-58.622496E-51.13117931.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040199751.01254395.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391163531.00172267.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.622572E-58.622496E-51.13117931.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040199751.01254395.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391163531.00172267.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.622572E-58.622496E-51.13117931.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040199751.01254395.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391163531.00172267.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.9749007E-55.974851E-51.2009991.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.4318747E-41.1406873.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00263265051.01538774.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0257052091.00227956.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9749007E-55.974851E-51.2009991.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.4318747E-41.1406873.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00263265051.01538774.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0257052091.00227956.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6561592E-54.656123E-51.2735011.0E-51.3075917E-41.566838E-41.8667911E-41.19143843.0E-50.00159083040.0019060720.00194599571.02094554.0E-50.0157949030.0189091730.0189582281.00259425.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5154393E-54.515404E-51.28444951.0E-51.2537291E-41.5065364E-41.8064912E-41.19910233.0E-50.00152534640.00183277820.0018727051.02178484.0E-50.0151491890.0181882440.0182373341.0026995.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724828E-53.7248006E-51.36698571.0E-59.801909E-51.16773626E-41.367713E-41.17125152.0E-50.0011927290.00142088330.00145084071.02108363.0E-50.0118634770.0141272170.0141567931.00209363.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431878E-53.5431625E-51.39319731.0E-59.139293E-51.0898972E-41.2898754E-41.18348362.0E-50.0011121410.00132623230.00135619251.02259053.0E-50.0110659150.0131922110.0132218151.00224413.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613547E-53.2613323E-51.44220281.0E-58.1466285E-59.6912096E-51.1691016E-41.20635262.0E-59.914007E-40.00117935350.00119932991.01693842.0E-50.0098698940.0117396330.0117593981.00168362.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319356E-53.0319152E-51.49213161.0E-57.3277115E-58.708052E-51.07078784E-41.22965252.0E-58.917837E-40.0010597750.00107975371.01885192.0E-50.0088821340.0105556460.0105754351.00187472.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.899476E-52.8994571E-51.5264511.0E-56.849585E-58.1404054E-51.01402424E-41.2456682.0E-58.336179E-49.907284E-40.00101070861.02016712.0E-50.0083049770.0098714790.0098912821.0020062.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.7197237E-52.7197064E-51.58147881.0E-56.200425E-57.370083E-59.369936E-51.27134742.0E-57.546402E-48.970222E-49.1700425E-41.0222762.0E-50.0075208270.0089422840.0089621051.00221662.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2036747E-61.6203612E-52.61193781.0E-52.2663658E-52.6587102E-53.6586836E-51.37611221.0E-52.7589512E-43.236848E-43.3368156E-41.03088431.0E-50.00275552830.00323555620.0032455241.00308061.0E-5
7.48.279556E-78.408347E-78.408347E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.6035726E-63.6035726E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872686E-54.3872686E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3864746E-44.3864746E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667229E-76.667229E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857381E-62.857381E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788125E-53.4788125E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783344E-43.4783344E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620027E-73.5620027E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526572E-61.526572E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585903E-51.8585903E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584808E-41.8584808E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198376E-71.2198376E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.2278745E-75.2278745E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364919E-66.364919E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364741E-56.364741E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027582E-83.1027582E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297536E-71.3297536E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189739E-61.6189739E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189642E-51.6189642E-51.00.0

Big Pine (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.28172705E-54.2816886E-53.34056193.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-59.4927935E-51.72815794.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.2855107E-41.08968096.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067399821.0104247.0E-5
6.19.916913E-61.28172705E-54.2816886E-53.34056193.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-59.4927935E-51.72815794.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.2855107E-41.08968096.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067399821.0104247.0E-5
6.29.916913E-61.28172705E-54.2816886E-53.34056193.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-59.4927935E-51.72815794.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.2855107E-41.08968096.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067399821.0104247.0E-5
6.35.479711E-68.1132375E-63.8112994E-54.69763043.0E-52.3484265E-53.4770575E-57.476918E-52.1503584.0E-52.858834E-44.232527E-44.832273E-41.14169936.0E-50.00285515890.00422725130.0042969551.01648937.0E-5
6.45.465009E-68.0975315E-63.809729E-54.7048033.0E-52.3421257E-53.4703262E-57.470187E-52.15258934.0E-52.851165E-44.2243348E-44.8240816E-41.14197426.0E-50.00284750970.004219090.0042887951.01652127.0E-5
6.54.826767E-67.4225877E-63.7422364E-55.0416873.0E-52.068598E-53.1810716E-57.1809445E-52.2573984.0E-52.518227E-43.8722943E-44.472062E-41.15488686.0E-50.00251537510.00386829070.00393801971.01802597.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-66.8825234E-63.6882317E-55.3588363.0E-51.8491375E-52.949621E-56.949503E-52.35606654.0E-52.2510924E-43.5905963E-44.190381E-41.16704326.0E-50.00224881340.00358750620.0036572551.01944227.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-65.9957474E-63.5995567E-56.0035163.0E-51.5843378E-52.5695816E-56.569479E-52.55663374.0E-51.9287605E-43.128032E-43.7278442E-41.19175396.0E-50.00192708730.00312624990.0031960311.0223217.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.7024477E-61.5702391E-52.7536231.0E-51.4858972E-52.4438841E-54.443835E-51.81834952.0E-51.8089297E-42.9750372E-43.374918E-41.1344124.0E-50.00180745790.00297366660.0030235181.01676435.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.8254797E-61.4825431E-53.07232281.0E-51.1865792E-52.0680467E-54.0680054E-51.96707622.0E-51.4445644E-42.5175634E-42.9174628E-41.15884384.0E-50.00144362570.0025172560.002567131.0198135.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.985277E-61.3985237E-53.50922581.0E-59.20252E-61.707965E-53.707931E-52.17096422.0E-51.12034926E-42.0792543E-42.479171E-41.19233674.0E-50.00111978450.00207982380.00211974071.01919254.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-63.3450835E-63.3450835E-61.00.07.293552E-61.4335996E-51.4335996E-51.00.08.879537E-51.7452713E-41.8452539E-41.05728771.0E-58.87599E-40.00174637920.00175636171.00571611.0E-5
7.21.25603E-62.794679E-62.794679E-61.00.05.3829745E-61.1977142E-51.1977142E-51.00.06.553574E-51.4581217E-41.4581217E-41.00.06.551642E-40.00145961730.00145961731.00.0
7.31.112297E-62.610519E-62.610519E-61.00.04.7669787E-61.1187892E-51.1187892E-51.00.05.803642E-51.3620428E-41.3620428E-41.00.05.802127E-40.0013635020.0013635021.00.0
7.41.0137181E-62.4836752E-62.4836752E-61.00.04.3444993E-61.064428E-51.064428E-51.00.05.2892992E-51.2958662E-41.2958662E-41.00.05.288041E-40.00129719180.00129719181.00.0
7.59.598608E-72.407328E-62.407328E-61.00.04.1136827E-61.03170805E-51.03170805E-51.00.05.0082934E-51.2560343E-41.2560343E-41.00.05.007165E-40.00125721320.00125721321.00.0
7.67.929459E-72.0450152E-62.0450152E-61.00.03.3983351E-68.764322E-68.764322E-61.00.04.1373947E-51.0670057E-41.0670057E-41.00.04.1366243E-40.00106858250.00106858251.00.0
7.74.155788E-71.1606729E-61.1606729E-61.00.01.7810507E-64.974303E-64.974303E-61.00.02.1684076E-56.05605E-56.05605E-51.00.02.1681961E-46.085995E-46.085995E-41.00.0
7.81.14666925E-72.592197E-72.592197E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1109411E-61.1109411E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3525627E-51.3525627E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.3636416E-41.3636416E-41.00.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1462318E-84.1462318E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7769564E-71.7769564E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1634426E-62.1634426E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.197062E-52.197062E-51.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.050019E-58.049948E-51.14183351.0E-52.3292181E-43.0211007E-43.1210706E-41.03309051.0E-50.00283213520.00367200560.00371185881.01085324.0E-50.027963120.0361158440.0361833161.00186827.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.822054E-55.822054E-51.00.01.953209E-42.4949352E-42.4949352E-41.00.00.00237543830.00303335490.00304332471.00328671.0E-50.0235020630.0299198930.0299489951.00097263.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4736422E-53.4736422E-51.00.01.2229476E-41.4886161E-41.4886161E-41.00.00.00148792170.00181085760.00181085761.00.00.0147799860.0179582760.0179680981.00054681.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.8213344E-52.8213344E-51.00.01.01562226E-41.2090833E-41.2090833E-41.00.00.00123581860.0014710510.0014710511.00.00.0122896860.0146114550.0146213081.00067441.0E-5
6.41.9191197E-52.212289E-52.212289E-51.00.08.2245395E-59.4808805E-59.4808805E-51.00.00.00100087770.00115369060.00115369061.00.00.0099638180.0114770220.01148690751.00086131.0E-5
6.51.5203241E-51.6801298E-51.6801298E-51.00.06.5155116E-57.200338E-57.200338E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.76301E-48.76301E-41.00.00.0079015120.0087295810.0087394941.00113561.0E-5
6.61.0984925E-51.12425605E-51.12425605E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8181533E-54.8181533E-51.00.05.730166E-45.8645604E-45.8645604E-41.00.00.0057154130.00584947550.00584947551.00.0
6.79.134616E-69.019868E-69.019868E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.865602E-53.865602E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.7053778E-44.7053778E-41.00.00.0047549930.004695660.004695661.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.4519185E-67.4519185E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.1936415E-53.1936415E-51.00.04.0616E-43.887585E-43.887585E-41.00.00.00405418450.0038809880.0038809881.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.8984666E-64.8984666E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0993268E-52.0993268E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.5556443E-42.5556443E-41.00.00.0029068670.00255284270.00255284271.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.521587E-61.521587E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.521071E-66.521071E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939124E-57.939124E-51.00.00.00139827997.936375E-47.936375E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.578663E-76.578663E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.819424E-62.819424E-61.00.08.915652E-53.432599E-53.432599E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.432109E-43.432109E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.0016344E-64.0016344E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.7149758E-53.7149417E-52.16617732.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.0021558781.03348667.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.0016344E-64.0016344E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.7149758E-53.7149417E-52.16617732.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.0021558781.03348667.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.0016344E-64.0016344E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.7149758E-53.7149417E-52.16617732.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.0021558781.03348667.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-64.0016344E-64.0016344E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.7149758E-53.7149417E-52.16617732.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.0021558781.03348667.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-64.0016344E-64.0016344E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.7149758E-53.7149417E-52.16617732.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.0021558781.03348667.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.5178624E-62.5178624E-61.00.01.1938888E-51.0790796E-53.079058E-52.85341142.0E-51.4534626E-41.3137035E-41.713651E-41.30444284.0E-50.00145251230.00131295960.0013628941.03803195.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944119E-61.944119E-61.00.09.528543E-68.331913E-62.8331746E-53.40038922.0E-51.1600384E-41.014364E-41.4143235E-41.39429584.0E-50.0011594330.00101390960.0010538691.03941134.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8834991E-61.8834991E-61.00.09.272164E-68.072114E-62.8071952E-53.47764562.0E-51.1288274E-49.827364E-51.3826971E-41.40698674.0E-50.00112825429.8231E-40.00102227061.04068034.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.583138E-61.583138E-61.00.08.008137E-66.7848596E-66.7848596E-61.00.09.74947E-58.2602586E-51.02600934E-41.24210322.0E-59.745194E-48.2572375E-48.457072E-41.02420122.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064887E-61.3064887E-61.00.06.77787E-65.5992255E-65.5992255E-61.00.08.251744E-56.816846E-57.816778E-51.14668541.0E-58.248681E-46.8147824E-46.914714E-41.01466391.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1210681E-61.1210681E-61.00.05.9025137E-64.8045686E-64.8045686E-61.00.07.186073E-55.8494075E-56.849349E-51.17094741.0E-57.18375E-45.8478885E-45.94783E-41.01709021.0E-5
7.11.0916998E-68.7637505E-78.7637505E-71.00.04.678705E-63.7558877E-63.7558877E-61.00.05.6961744E-54.5726985E-54.5726985E-51.00.05.6947145E-44.571771E-44.571771E-41.00.0
7.27.6277024E-75.901439E-75.901439E-71.00.03.2690114E-62.5291856E-62.5291856E-61.00.03.9799485E-53.0792406E-53.0792406E-51.00.03.9792358E-43.07882E-43.07882E-41.00.0
7.35.3265916E-74.3824264E-74.3824264E-71.00.02.282823E-61.8781814E-61.8781814E-61.00.02.7793016E-52.2866623E-52.2866623E-51.00.02.778954E-42.2864307E-42.2864307E-41.00.0
7.43.4946007E-73.0065647E-73.0065647E-71.00.01.497685E-61.2885271E-61.2885271E-61.00.01.8234163E-51.5687707E-51.5687707E-51.00.01.8232666E-41.5686621E-41.5686621E-41.00.0
7.51.8317026E-71.4244755E-71.4244755E-71.00.07.850152E-76.1048934E-76.1048934E-71.00.09.557518E-67.432683E-67.432683E-61.00.09.5571064E-57.432442E-57.432442E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-57.336955E-51.15779291.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-42.9155624E-41.07362812.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00335168631.0150935.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.03265721.00207797.0E-5
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-57.336955E-51.15779291.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-42.9155624E-41.07362812.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00335168631.0150935.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.03265721.00207797.0E-5
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-52.6642829E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.1417881E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138928750.00138928751.00.00.0120271550.013810890.013810891.00.0
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-52.6642829E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.1417881E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138928750.00138928751.00.00.0120271550.013810890.013810891.00.0
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-52.246342E-51.00.08.425682E-59.626848E-59.626848E-51.00.00.0010253440.00117147870.00117147871.00.00.0102062590.0116571190.0116571191.00.0
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-51.9745152E-51.00.07.4324824E-58.461954E-58.461954E-51.00.09.04529E-40.00102979290.00102979291.00.00.0090085610.0102539320.0102539321.00.0
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-51.6322716E-51.00.06.170443E-56.99528E-56.99528E-51.00.07.509924E-48.513747E-48.513747E-41.00.00.00748459530.0084843330.0084843331.00.0
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-51.4285298E-51.00.05.414838E-56.122144E-56.122144E-51.00.06.590571E-47.451466E-47.451466E-41.00.00.0065710590.0074295020.0074295021.00.0
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-51.2933193E-51.00.04.911726E-55.542696E-55.542696E-51.00.05.9783855E-46.74644E-46.74644E-41.00.00.00596232760.00672889970.00672889971.00.0
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-51.0235013E-51.00.03.9038136E-54.386376E-54.386376E-51.00.04.7518566E-45.339384E-45.339384E-41.00.00.00474170830.00532930950.00532930951.00.0
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-66.583965E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.821682E-52.821682E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4350925E-43.4350925E-41.00.00.00309207060.00343209970.00343209971.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-62.2096492E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469892E-69.469892E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.15289986E-41.15289986E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115231720.00115231721.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-62.1779954E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334234E-69.334234E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13638525E-41.13638525E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113581950.00113581951.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-61.7442885E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.475501E-67.475501E-61.00.08.94604E-59.1010515E-59.1010515E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.0974156E-49.0974156E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-61.4641878E-61.00.06.200554E-66.275076E-66.275076E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639644E-57.639644E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6370913E-47.6370913E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-61.2931506E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5420624E-65.5420624E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747259E-56.747259E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745281E-46.745281E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-76.76947E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-62.9011985E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532158E-53.532158E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-43.5316538E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-84.5699714E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-71.9585592E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-62.3845432E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-52.3845198E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-91.5138054E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-96.4877375E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.89882E-87.89882E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.89882E-77.89882E-71.00.0

Pine Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-57.096472E-52.2917014.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.16.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-57.096472E-52.2917014.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.26.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-57.096472E-52.2917014.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.36.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-57.096472E-52.2917014.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.46.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-57.096472E-52.2917014.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.56.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-57.096472E-52.2917014.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.66.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-57.096472E-52.2917014.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.3692565E-41.1591136.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.76.0867933E-66.397124E-62.6396996E-54.1263852.0E-52.6085996E-52.7415968E-55.7415145E-52.09422283.0E-53.1755073E-43.337405E-43.837238E-41.1497675.0E-50.00317097340.00333261190.00339241191.01794396.0E-5
6.85.6530425E-65.950606E-62.5950487E-54.36098242.0E-52.42271E-52.5502359E-54.550185E-51.78422122.0E-52.94925E-43.1044905E-43.5043663E-41.12880564.0E-50.0029453390.00310035820.00315020331.01607725.0E-5
6.94.6015225E-64.8638444E-62.4863748E-55.11195372.0E-51.9720663E-52.084489E-54.0844472E-51.95944772.0E-52.4007261E-42.5375842E-42.9374828E-41.15759034.0E-50.00239813420.0025348310.00257472951.01574024.0E-5
7.04.4875965E-64.7474837E-62.4747389E-55.2127382.0E-51.9232413E-52.0346208E-54.03458E-51.98296422.0E-52.3412947E-42.4768838E-42.8767847E-41.16145324.0E-50.00233882950.00247426680.0025141681.01612644.0E-5
7.13.203907E-63.42942E-62.3429351E-56.831872.0E-51.3730958E-51.4697435E-53.4697143E-52.36076162.0E-51.6716159E-41.7892725E-42.0892188E-41.16763593.0E-50.00167035890.0017878980.00181784431.01674953.0E-5
7.22.2060601E-62.3784874E-61.2378464E-55.2043431.0E-59.4545085E-61.019348E-52.0193378E-51.98100921.0E-51.15102564E-41.2409901E-41.3409776E-41.08057081.0E-50.00115042960.00124034190.00125032951.00805231.0E-5
7.31.3765207E-61.5216535E-61.5216535E-61.00.05.899361E-66.5213567E-66.5213567E-61.00.07.182235E-57.939472E-57.939472E-51.00.07.1799144E-47.9367263E-47.9367263E-41.00.0
7.41.1245983E-61.2587126E-61.2587126E-61.00.04.819698E-65.394472E-65.394472E-61.00.05.8678244E-56.56758E-56.56758E-51.00.05.866275E-46.565722E-46.565722E-41.00.0
7.58.031682E-79.276999E-79.276999E-71.00.03.4421448E-63.975851E-63.975851E-61.00.04.1907308E-54.840498E-54.840498E-51.00.04.1899405E-44.8395112E-44.8395112E-41.00.0
7.64.8953444E-76.0030544E-76.0030544E-71.00.02.098003E-62.5727354E-62.5727354E-61.00.02.5542888E-53.1322652E-53.1322652E-51.00.02.5539953E-43.1318725E-43.1318725E-41.00.0
7.76.634529E-86.788826E-86.788826E-81.00.02.843369E-72.9094966E-72.9094966E-71.00.03.4617963E-63.5423066E-63.5423066E-61.00.03.4617424E-53.542255E-53.542255E-51.00.0
7.89.235578E-99.488566E-99.488566E-91.00.03.9581046E-84.0665284E-84.0665284E-81.00.04.818991E-74.950997E-74.950997E-71.00.04.8189804E-64.950988E-64.950988E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.4064834E-41.55150455.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011530941.04527475.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115549051.00602457.0E-5
6.14.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.4064834E-41.55150455.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011530941.04527475.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115549051.00602457.0E-5
6.24.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.4064834E-41.55150455.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011530941.04527475.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115549051.00602457.0E-5
6.34.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.4064834E-41.55150455.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011530941.04527475.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115549051.00602457.0E-5
6.44.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.4064834E-41.55150455.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011530941.04527475.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115549051.00602457.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-51.7354667E-55.7353973E-53.30481554.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-51.2437132E-41.67221845.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.5509924E-41.05518985.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095552381.00730937.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-51.7354667E-55.7353973E-53.30481554.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-51.2437132E-41.67221845.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.5509924E-41.05518985.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095552381.00730937.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-51.6602684E-55.660202E-53.4092094.0E-51.5444479E-47.115244E-51.21148885E-41.70266665.0E-50.00187874348.659408E-49.158975E-41.05769065.0E-50.018629390.0090881890.0091575531.00763237.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-51.6231123E-55.6230474E-53.46436124.0E-51.5012783E-46.956012E-51.19556644E-41.71875265.0E-50.00182627398.4656954E-48.965272E-41.05901195.0E-50.018113380.0088887880.00895816551.00780517.0E-5
6.93.435112E-51.6061658E-55.6061017E-53.4903634.0E-51.4721078E-46.8833884E-51.18830445E-41.72633655.0E-50.00179081788.377344E-48.876925E-41.05963485.0E-50.0177645480.0087965120.0088658961.00788777.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-51.43355255E-55.4334952E-53.7902314.0E-51.241074E-46.1436534E-51.1143346E-41.8137985.0E-50.00150996037.477359E-47.976985E-41.06681855.0E-50.0149974160.0078683310.0079377811.00882647.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-51.2827699E-55.2827185E-54.1182124.0E-51.11436144E-45.4974706E-51.0497196E-41.90945925.0E-50.00135589076.6911365E-47.1908016E-41.07467575.0E-50.0134764750.00704834330.00711785021.00986157.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-51.1260331E-55.125988E-54.55225324.0E-59.661716E-54.825768E-59.825527E-52.03605465.0E-50.0011756795.873803E-46.373509E-41.08507375.0E-50.0116947850.006192560.00626212641.01123397.0E-5
7.31.75334E-51.0810585E-55.081015E-54.70003754.0E-57.514098E-54.6330264E-59.6327945E-52.0791585.0E-59.144575E-45.6392635E-46.1389816E-41.08861415.0E-50.0091070360.00593321960.00600280431.01172797.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-51.0610475E-55.061005E-54.76981934.0E-56.82463E-54.547268E-59.547041E-52.09951145.0E-58.305819E-45.534906E-46.034629E-41.09028585.0E-50.0082748440.00582058630.0058901791.01195637.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-59.851045E-64.9850652E-55.0604434.0E-55.7551293E-54.221809E-59.2215974E-52.18427665.0E-57.004617E-45.1388505E-45.638594E-41.09724815.0E-50.0069825790.0054062090.00547583031.01287817.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-58.614091E-64.8613747E-55.64351464.0E-54.5808283E-53.6917012E-58.691516E-52.35433915.0E-55.5757316E-44.4937237E-44.993499E-41.11121635.0E-50.0055617620.00474136140.00481102941.01469377.0E-5
7.78.81236E-67.4673385E-64.746704E-56.3566214.0E-53.776671E-53.200249E-58.2000886E-52.56232865.0E-54.597127E-43.8956082E-44.3954136E-41.12829975.0E-50.00458762840.00413441940.004204131.01686117.0E-5
7.87.780431E-66.695928E-64.669566E-56.973744.0E-53.3344273E-52.8696519E-57.8695084E-52.74232175.0E-54.0589093E-43.4932428E-43.9930682E-41.14308355.0E-50.00405150370.00372262720.00379236671.0187347.0E-5
7.96.5437994E-65.7797783E-64.5779547E-57.92064054.0E-52.8044553E-52.4770245E-57.476901E-53.0185015.0E-53.4138895E-43.0153614E-43.5152107E-41.16576765.0E-50.00340864950.00323432940.0033041031.02157287.0E-5
8.05.4488164E-64.812793E-63.481265E-57.23335653.0E-52.3351862E-52.0626094E-56.062527E-52.93925124.0E-52.8427184E-42.510939E-42.9108385E-41.1592634.0E-50.00283908450.00271070380.0027705411.02207456.0E-5
8.12.8397242E-61.3665673E-61.3665673E-61.00.01.217019E-55.856704E-65.856704E-61.00.01.4816198E-47.1303046E-57.1303046E-51.00.00.00148063258.113543E-48.113543E-41.00.0
8.22.030244E-66.3151083E-76.3151083E-71.00.08.701017E-62.7064723E-62.7064723E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.2950808E-53.2950808E-51.00.00.00105879253.9470522E-43.9470522E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-62.9230563E-72.9230563E-71.00.04.568479E-61.2527379E-61.2527379E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.5251981E-51.5251981E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.8556409E-41.8556409E-41.00.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5950744E-43.0713255E-43.1712948E-41.03254931.0E-56.834242E-40.0013154090.00132539581.00759221.0E-50.008288990.0158583260.0158780091.00124122.0E-50.0798654260.144401850.144444631.00029625.0E-5
6.11.3584697E-42.603514E-42.603514E-41.00.05.8207137E-40.00111517540.00111517541.00.00.0070637160.0134613850.0134811161.00146572.0E-50.068433610.1240299940.1240737961.00035315.0E-5
6.21.14676266E-42.1714384E-42.1714384E-41.00.04.9137714E-49.30223E-49.30223E-41.00.00.00596611850.0112450580.0112549461.00087931.0E-50.0580846480.105020570.105056371.00034084.0E-5
6.38.691518E-51.5987935E-41.5987935E-41.00.03.7244044E-46.849807E-46.849807E-41.00.00.0045250380.0083011220.0083110391.00119471.0E-50.0443399920.07933650.079373331.00046424.0E-5
6.48.50982E-51.5694331E-41.5694331E-41.00.03.646556E-46.724042E-46.724042E-41.00.00.00443064750.0081491550.0081590741.00121711.0E-50.043433450.077942680.077979561.00047314.0E-5
6.58.4062965E-51.5518743E-41.5518743E-41.00.03.602201E-46.6488347E-46.6488347E-41.00.00.0043768630.0080583650.0080682851.0012311.0E-50.0429165550.077113880.07715081.00047874.0E-5
6.68.194716E-51.5154552E-41.5154552E-41.00.03.5115483E-46.492843E-46.492843E-41.00.00.00426693170.0078702090.0078801311.00126061.0E-50.041859270.075399190.0754361751.00049054.0E-5
6.78.012326E-51.4822475E-41.4822475E-41.00.03.433402E-46.350612E-46.350612E-41.00.00.0041721570.0076987010.0077086241.00128891.0E-50.0409469120.073841320.073878361.00050184.0E-5
6.87.119773E-51.2881879E-41.2881879E-41.00.03.0509746E-45.519494E-45.519494E-41.00.00.00370823570.0066960660.0067059991.00148341.0E-50.0364696420.064685750.064723161.00057844.0E-5
6.95.7343088E-59.919277E-59.919277E-51.00.02.4573295E-44.25043E-44.25043E-41.00.00.00298769420.0051626940.00517264241.0019271.0E-50.029478440.050510360.050548341.0007524.0E-5
7.04.8746577E-58.2850725E-58.2850725E-51.00.02.0889717E-43.5502657E-43.5502657E-41.00.00.00254035650.0043139480.0043139481.00.00.0251151210.0424852450.042513971.00067623.0E-5
7.14.2998014E-57.265203E-57.265203E-51.00.01.8426418E-43.1132903E-43.1132903E-41.00.00.0022411080.0037839030.0037839031.00.00.0221864120.0374235620.037452441.00077163.0E-5
7.23.221292E-55.390791E-55.390791E-51.00.01.3804805E-42.3101359E-42.3101359E-41.00.00.00167943930.00280899070.00280899071.00.00.0166680370.028036020.028065181.00104013.0E-5
7.32.3756531E-53.9473416E-53.9473416E-51.00.01.0180973E-41.6916092E-41.6916092E-41.00.00.00123882860.00205760570.00205760571.00.00.0123194520.0206431450.0206725261.00142323.0E-5
7.41.5997684E-52.7342163E-52.7342163E-51.00.06.8559704E-51.1717545E-41.1717545E-41.00.08.343947E-40.001425680.001425681.00.00.0083126870.0143760110.0144055791.00205683.0E-5
7.51.3814293E-52.4783874E-52.4783874E-51.00.05.9202768E-51.062123E-41.062123E-41.00.07.205553E-40.001292370.001292371.00.00.0071822340.0130550850.0130846931.0022683.0E-5
7.68.817309E-61.6430757E-51.6430757E-51.00.03.7787922E-57.0415634E-57.0415634E-51.00.04.5997082E-48.569745E-48.569745E-41.00.00.0045901990.0087192840.0087391091.00227382.0E-5
7.74.0352206E-67.707318E-67.707318E-61.00.01.7293689E-53.3030945E-53.3030945E-51.00.02.1053031E-44.0207763E-44.0207763E-41.00.00.00210330960.0041651720.0041850891.00478172.0E-5
7.83.413169E-66.787282E-66.787282E-61.00.01.4627784E-52.9088029E-52.9088029E-51.00.01.7807873E-43.5408925E-43.5408925E-41.00.00.00177936090.00366651660.00368644321.00543482.0E-5
7.92.4740732E-65.2791843E-65.2791843E-61.00.01.06031275E-52.262488E-52.262488E-51.00.01.2908543E-42.7542314E-42.7542314E-41.00.00.00129010470.00283479550.00285473891.00703512.0E-5
8.01.5231818E-63.2889548E-63.2889548E-61.00.06.527906E-61.40954435E-51.40954435E-51.00.07.9474354E-51.7159856E-41.7159856E-41.00.07.944594E-40.00175643030.00176641281.00568341.0E-5
8.11.0104524E-62.045782E-62.045782E-61.00.04.330503E-68.767608E-68.767608E-61.00.05.2722597E-51.0674043E-41.0674043E-41.00.05.271009E-40.0010929340.0010929341.00.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0520977E-43.1520674E-41.03275431.0E-56.5056595E-40.00130681880.00131680571.00764211.0E-50.0078919120.0156962030.015715891.00125422.0E-50.0761745940.138489050.138540741.00037326.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.021517E-43.1214865E-41.0330861.0E-56.437695E-40.00129372780.00130371491.00771961.0E-50.00780976140.0155395960.0155592851.00126712.0E-50.0754093450.137158630.137210411.00037746.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.5313982E-42.6313728E-41.03949391.0E-55.460538E-40.00108399990.0010939891.00921511.0E-50.00662795830.0130468810.0130666211.00151292.0E-50.0643372760.1172560750.117300211.00037655.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.2599236E-42.359901E-41.04423931.0E-54.9383997E-49.678718E-49.77862E-41.0103221.0E-50.00599593860.0116680790.0116878451.00169412.0E-50.0583671740.1063721250.106416811.00042015.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.0840544E-42.1840337E-41.04797341.0E-54.5935164E-48.926123E-49.026034E-41.0111931.0E-50.00557827440.0107729590.0107927431.00183652.0E-50.05440310.0991947650.099239811.00045415.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8734725E-41.8734725E-41.00.04.1548995E-48.024631E-48.024631E-41.00.00.00504686260.0096948420.0097047441.00102151.0E-50.049337730.0900865640.090122961.0004044.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.507068E-41.507068E-41.00.03.4517853E-46.4569083E-46.4569083E-41.00.00.00419445240.0078265080.007836431.00126771.0E-50.041161610.07485630.074893311.00049444.0E-5
6.77.815757E-51.4611272E-41.4611272E-41.00.03.34918E-46.26014E-46.26014E-41.00.00.0040700050.0075893120.00759923551.00130761.0E-50.0399626570.072705820.072742911.00051024.0E-5
6.86.965264E-51.2722758E-41.2722758E-41.00.02.9847719E-45.4513285E-45.4513285E-41.00.00.00362790520.00661359450.00662352841.0015021.0E-50.035692470.0638010650.063838511.0005874.0E-5
6.95.8000453E-51.01439E-41.01439E-41.00.02.4854968E-44.346666E-44.346666E-41.00.00.00302189330.0052793220.00528926961.00188421.0E-50.0298112950.0515029650.0515409041.00073674.0E-5
7.04.9865852E-58.568029E-58.568029E-51.00.02.1369329E-43.6715003E-43.6715003E-41.00.00.00259861140.0044609790.0044609791.00.00.0256843360.0437820180.0438107031.00065523.0E-5
7.14.283875E-57.1124625E-57.1124625E-51.00.01.8358172E-43.0478454E-43.0478454E-41.00.00.00223281630.0037044940.0037044941.00.00.0221051460.036735820.0367647221.00078673.0E-5
7.23.450115E-55.5778568E-55.5778568E-51.00.01.478537E-42.3902925E-42.3902925E-41.00.00.00179863230.00290632640.00290632641.00.00.0178414420.0290790420.029108171.00100173.0E-5
7.32.5709045E-54.059001E-54.059001E-51.00.01.1017697E-41.7394568E-41.7394568E-41.00.00.00134057910.00211574860.00211574861.00.00.0133252080.021296860.0213262221.00137873.0E-5
7.41.8003093E-52.8511378E-52.8511378E-51.00.07.715383E-51.2218591E-41.2218591E-41.00.09.3894306E-40.00148660060.00148660061.00.00.0093498570.0150515890.0150811381.00196313.0E-5
7.51.5595824E-52.5823752E-52.5823752E-51.00.06.683753E-51.10668545E-41.10668545E-41.00.08.134431E-40.00134655890.00134655891.00.00.0081047190.0136515710.0136811611.00216763.0E-5
7.61.1110309E-51.9223195E-51.9223195E-51.00.04.761474E-58.2382525E-58.2382525E-51.00.05.795553E-40.00100254710.00100254711.00.00.00578046120.010203440.0102232361.00194012.0E-5
7.76.2140443E-61.04376995E-51.04376995E-51.00.02.6631347E-54.4732235E-54.4732235E-51.00.03.241884E-45.4447894E-45.4447894E-41.00.00.00323715880.0056201020.005639991.00353862.0E-5
7.85.305533E-69.433651E-69.433651E-61.00.02.27378E-54.0429306E-54.0429306E-51.00.02.7679754E-44.9211574E-44.9211574E-41.00.00.00276453020.0050746220.00509452071.00392122.0E-5
7.93.363505E-67.3854467E-67.3854467E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.1651532E-53.1651532E-51.00.01.7548777E-43.8528934E-43.8528934E-41.00.00.00175349260.0039487840.0039687051.00504482.0E-5
8.02.0271132E-64.4134235E-64.4134235E-61.00.08.687599E-61.8914534E-51.8914534E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.3026018E-42.3026018E-41.00.00.00105716060.0023511940.00236117051.00424311.0E-5
8.11.2206116E-62.3752666E-62.3752666E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.0179674E-51.0179674E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.2393051E-41.2393051E-41.00.06.366953E-40.00127056180.00127056181.00.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-42.0028367E-42.2027966E-41.09983842.0E-54.8295266E-48.579912E-48.879655E-41.03493543.0E-50.00586410750.0103861730.010415861.00285843.0E-50.0571175780.098040480.0980855751.000465.0E-5
6.11.1239393E-41.9976508E-42.1976109E-41.10009752.0E-54.8159933E-48.557703E-48.8574464E-41.03502623.0E-50.00584771950.0103594170.0103891051.00286593.0E-50.0569621320.097798950.097844061.00046125.0E-5
6.27.596265E-51.2933646E-41.4933388E-41.15461542.0E-53.2551357E-45.5415573E-45.841391E-41.05410643.0E-50.00395592770.00672135870.00675115731.00443343.0E-50.0388624330.064592290.064639061.00072415.0E-5
6.36.78794E-51.1448377E-41.2448263E-41.08733861.0E-52.9087928E-44.9052597E-45.1051617E-41.04075252.0E-50.0035357050.0059526610.0059725421.00333992.0E-50.0347997660.0574662130.0575039131.0006564.0E-5
6.46.2165134E-51.0434825E-41.143472E-41.09582291.0E-52.6639478E-44.4711027E-44.6710132E-41.04471172.0E-50.00323853320.00542741830.005447311.0036652.0E-50.031917420.052551380.052589281.00072124.0E-5
6.55.4368087E-59.070258E-51.00701676E-41.11024051.0E-52.3298527E-43.886537E-44.0864592E-41.05143962.0E-50.00283290590.00471970160.0047396071.00421752.0E-50.0279706330.0458811820.0459193481.00083184.0E-5
6.64.729947E-57.847101E-57.847101E-51.00.02.0269625E-43.3624718E-43.4624382E-41.02973011.0E-50.0024650340.0040847460.0040947051.00243821.0E-50.024378690.039852690.0398814941.00072283.0E-5
6.73.6875328E-56.0443555E-56.0443555E-51.00.01.5802756E-42.5900968E-42.6900708E-41.03859851.0E-50.00192228750.00314827240.00315824081.00316631.0E-50.0190574420.030893710.0309227841.0009413.0E-5
6.82.0292036E-52.8976721E-52.8976721E-51.00.08.6962966E-51.2417998E-41.2417998E-41.00.00.00105825990.00151083020.00151083021.00.00.0105323440.01497907750.0149889271.00065761.0E-5
6.91.7871042E-52.4472653E-52.4472653E-51.00.07.658793E-51.04878585E-41.04878585E-41.00.09.320591E-40.00127614860.00127614861.00.00.0092815950.0126803950.01269026751.00077871.0E-5
7.01.6415532E-52.1906566E-52.1906566E-51.00.07.035038E-59.388191E-59.388191E-51.00.08.561793E-40.00114241440.00114241441.00.00.0085288820.0113650170.0113749031.00086991.0E-5
7.11.5409885E-52.0346588E-52.0346588E-51.00.06.6040695E-58.719676E-58.719676E-51.00.08.0374884E-40.00106110620.00106110621.00.00.008008480.0105609240.0105609241.00.0
7.21.4497423E-51.905519E-51.905519E-51.00.06.213033E-58.166256E-58.166256E-51.00.07.5617427E-49.937913E-49.937913E-41.00.00.00753606340.009894250.009894251.00.0
7.31.3615175E-51.7826347E-51.7826347E-51.00.05.8349444E-57.6396405E-57.6396405E-51.00.07.101729E-49.297323E-49.297323E-41.00.00.00707907650.0092591240.0092591241.00.0
7.41.2252825E-51.6026455E-51.6026455E-51.00.05.251105E-56.868302E-56.868302E-51.00.06.391345E-48.3589775E-48.3589775E-41.00.00.00637299430.0083281720.0083281721.00.0
7.51.0913301E-51.4241286E-51.4241286E-51.00.04.6770452E-56.103267E-56.103267E-51.00.05.6928146E-47.428222E-47.428222E-41.00.00.00567825320.00740398650.00740398651.00.0
7.68.623192E-61.12347825E-51.12347825E-51.00.03.6956015E-54.8148195E-54.8148195E-51.00.04.4984656E-45.8604917E-45.8604917E-41.00.00.004489370.0058455040.0058455041.00.0
7.72.0993634E-62.66264E-62.66264E-61.00.08.997241E-61.1411265E-51.1411265E-51.00.01.09535904E-41.3892337E-41.3892337E-41.00.00.00109481930.00138839940.00138839941.00.0
7.81.8428308E-72.1674624E-72.1674624E-71.00.07.897844E-79.289122E-79.289122E-71.00.09.615583E-61.130945E-51.130945E-51.00.09.615166E-51.1308173E-41.1308173E-41.00.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.570673E-43.670637E-41.0279961.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.00153938551.00652851.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.01847371.00053161.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166750161.000255.0E-5
6.11.8091932E-43.570673E-43.670637E-41.0279961.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.00153938551.00652851.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.01847371.00053161.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166750161.000255.0E-5
6.21.8091932E-43.570673E-43.670637E-41.0279961.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.00153938551.00652851.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.01847371.00053161.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166750161.000255.0E-5
6.31.7322872E-43.4263515E-43.5263173E-41.02917551.0E-57.4219756E-40.00146761970.0014776051.00680381.0E-50.00899887550.0177241470.017733971.00055421.0E-50.086430750.160659540.16070151.00026125.0E-5
6.41.6334097E-43.2345165E-43.334484E-41.03090661.0E-56.998449E-40.00138549360.00139547981.00720761.0E-50.0084873720.0167399270.016749761.00058731.0E-50.0817044150.152566060.152608421.00027785.0E-5
6.51.5600289E-43.101982E-43.2019507E-41.03222741.0E-56.684125E-40.00132875180.00133873851.00751591.0E-50.0081075980.0160594430.0160692841.00061271.0E-50.0781810360.146842910.146885571.00029055.0E-5
6.61.4046066E-42.8034003E-42.9033722E-41.0356611.0E-56.018354E-40.00120091090.00121089891.0083171.0E-50.00730275550.0145245710.0145344251.00067851.0E-50.070673840.133930440.133973751.00032335.0E-5
6.71.14696966E-42.3272466E-42.3272466E-41.00.04.914658E-49.970153E-49.970153E-41.00.00.00596719240.0120721630.0120721631.00.00.0580948220.112741410.112768031.00023623.0E-5
6.89.3874296E-51.8862431E-41.8862431E-41.00.04.0225635E-48.081431E-48.081431E-41.00.00.00488647870.0097954890.0097954891.00.00.0478041730.0925929840.0926111341.0001962.0E-5
6.95.551852E-51.0729875E-41.0729875E-41.00.02.3791482E-44.5977137E-44.5977137E-41.00.00.00289276540.0055834680.0055834681.00.00.0285539810.0542460750.054264991.00034872.0E-5
7.04.2662363E-58.246792E-58.246792E-51.00.01.8282588E-43.5338648E-43.5338648E-41.00.00.00222363280.00429406580.00429406581.00.00.0220151380.042065090.042084251.00045552.0E-5
7.13.305886E-56.302183E-56.302183E-51.00.01.4167312E-42.7006568E-42.7006568E-41.00.00.00172350560.0032831110.0032831111.00.00.0171019980.0324539020.0324732551.00059632.0E-5
7.22.9856887E-55.701622E-55.701622E-51.00.01.2795182E-42.4433242E-42.4433242E-41.00.00.00155670010.00297070620.00297070621.00.00.0154584030.0294548010.0294742121.0006592.0E-5
7.32.4559737E-54.599286E-54.599286E-51.00.01.0525176E-41.9709744E-41.9709744E-41.00.00.00128068690.00239703340.00239703341.00.00.0127333130.0238585160.023878041.00081832.0E-5
7.41.9002231E-53.505084E-53.505084E-51.00.08.143559E-51.502093E-41.502093E-41.00.09.910273E-40.0018272740.0018272741.00.00.0098661940.0182588080.0182784421.00107542.0E-5
7.51.2783333E-52.3331182E-52.3331182E-51.00.05.4784563E-59.998698E-59.998698E-51.00.06.667979E-40.00121666750.00121666751.00.00.0066480070.0122094430.01222919951.0016182.0E-5
7.64.8149627E-68.888056E-68.888056E-61.00.02.063539E-53.8091122E-53.8091122E-51.00.02.5120692E-44.6366194E-44.6366194E-41.00.00.00250923140.00468050870.0046904621.00212661.0E-5
7.76.0838227E-71.205754E-61.205754E-61.00.02.6073499E-65.1675065E-65.1675065E-61.00.03.174402E-56.291258E-56.291258E-51.00.03.1739488E-46.5296254E-46.6295604E-41.01530481.0E-5
7.84.5542808E-79.792941E-79.792941E-71.00.01.9518332E-64.196968E-64.196968E-61.00.02.376331E-55.109689E-55.109689E-51.00.02.3760769E-45.321693E-45.4216397E-41.01878111.0E-5
7.93.3016747E-77.3869535E-77.3869535E-71.00.01.4150027E-63.1658333E-63.1658333E-61.00.01.7227521E-53.854334E-53.854334E-51.00.01.7226185E-43.9932923E-44.0932524E-41.0250321.0E-5
8.02.347038E-75.471963E-75.471963E-71.00.01.0058731E-62.3451248E-62.3451248E-61.00.01.2246436E-52.8551523E-52.8551523E-51.00.01.2245761E-42.9357258E-42.9357258E-41.00.0
8.11.18822804E-72.6060948E-72.6060948E-71.00.05.092405E-71.1168972E-61.1168972E-61.00.06.1999854E-61.359814E-51.359814E-51.00.06.199812E-51.3918082E-41.3918082E-41.00.0

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.0425541E-41.1425436E-41.09590831.0E-53.5478722E-44.4673498E-44.7672156E-41.06712393.0E-50.0043109820.00542591330.00546569661.00733214.0E-50.0422830540.052993030.053040381.00089355.0E-5
6.14.6961468E-55.773024E-55.773024E-51.00.02.0124791E-42.473905E-42.473905E-41.00.00.002447440.0030078860.00301785581.00331461.0E-50.0242066030.0296796360.0296990421.00065392.0E-5
6.23.5079658E-54.214258E-54.214258E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8059829E-41.8059829E-41.00.00.00182876420.0021965870.0022065651.00454251.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.021760971.00044981.0E-5
6.33.5079658E-54.214258E-54.214258E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8059829E-41.8059829E-41.00.00.00182876420.0021965870.0022065651.00454251.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.021760971.00044981.0E-5
6.42.7196904E-53.208715E-53.208715E-51.00.01.16552954E-41.3750911E-41.3750911E-41.00.00.00141810850.00167289950.00167289951.00.00.0140909290.0166046660.0166046661.00.0
6.52.5584688E-53.0101632E-53.0101632E-51.00.01.0964406E-41.2900059E-41.2900059E-41.00.00.00133409890.00156946270.00156946271.00.00.0132611810.0155853320.0155853321.00.0
6.62.2034688E-52.574271E-52.574271E-51.00.09.443096E-51.1032127E-41.1032127E-41.00.00.00114909050.00134234120.00134234121.00.00.0114316680.0133433250.0133433251.00.0
6.71.9394853E-52.254176E-52.254176E-51.00.08.311815E-59.6604E-59.6604E-51.00.00.00101149360.00117552430.00117552431.00.00.010069020.0116937660.0116937661.00.0
6.81.7615313E-52.0403182E-52.0403182E-51.00.07.549201E-58.743931E-58.743931E-51.00.09.1872766E-40.00106405790.00106405791.00.00.0091493870.0105901980.0105901981.00.0
6.91.5621423E-51.8026114E-51.8026114E-51.00.06.6947236E-57.725251E-57.725251E-51.00.08.147778E-49.40147E-49.40147E-41.00.00.0081179690.0093621420.0093621421.00.0
7.01.3444376E-51.544809E-51.544809E-51.00.05.7617483E-56.620443E-56.620443E-51.00.07.0126704E-48.057436E-48.057436E-41.00.00.0069905820.0080285550.0080285551.00.0
7.11.2268361E-51.407303E-51.407303E-51.00.05.2577634E-56.0311606E-56.0311606E-51.00.06.399447E-47.3404907E-47.3404907E-41.00.00.00638104930.00731654930.00731654931.00.0
7.21.0922655E-51.2513563E-51.2513563E-51.00.04.681054E-55.3628468E-55.3628468E-51.00.05.697693E-46.5273355E-46.5273355E-41.00.00.00568310640.00650844350.00650844351.00.0
7.36.1106753E-66.928925E-66.928925E-61.00.02.6188345E-52.9695057E-52.9695057E-51.00.03.1879646E-43.6147775E-43.6147775E-41.00.00.00318339510.0036089430.0036089431.00.0
7.44.933187E-65.5895525E-65.5895525E-61.00.02.114206E-52.3955008E-52.3955008E-51.00.02.5737417E-42.9161357E-42.9161357E-41.00.00.0025707630.00291235050.00291235051.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7925962E-56.792485E-52.4323194.0E-51.5187653E-41.1967727E-41.6967129E-41.41774025.0E-50.00184752840.00145610920.00151602181.04114576.0E-50.0183224360.014868150.0149272591.00397556.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.7925962E-56.792485E-52.4323194.0E-51.5180321E-41.1967727E-41.6967129E-41.41774025.0E-50.00184663720.00145610920.00151602181.04114576.0E-50.0183136720.014868150.0149272591.00397556.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.7925962E-56.792485E-52.4323194.0E-51.4865733E-41.1967727E-41.6967129E-41.41774025.0E-50.00180840050.00145610910.00151602181.04114576.0E-50.0179375480.014868150.0149272591.00397556.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.7771312E-56.77702E-52.44029524.0E-51.3750899E-41.1901455E-41.6900859E-41.42006675.0E-50.00167288620.00144805120.00150796431.0413756.0E-50.0166034880.0147893080.014848421.0039976.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.773829E-56.773718E-52.442014.0E-51.364017E-41.1887303E-41.6886709E-41.42056685.0E-50.00165942540.00144633060.00150624371.04142436.0E-50.0164708850.0147725020.0148316151.00400166.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.7477974E-56.7476874E-52.45567134.0E-51.3526545E-41.17757496E-41.6775161E-41.42455145.0E-50.00164561280.00143276680.00149268091.04181716.0E-50.01633480.014639910.0146990321.00403836.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.7322194E-56.73211E-52.46397144.0E-51.3485427E-41.17089934E-41.6708407E-41.42697225.0E-50.00164061420.00142464980.00148456441.04205566.0E-50.0162855480.0145602280.0146193541.00406096.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.6940217E-56.693914E-52.4847294.0E-51.3380898E-41.1545303E-41.6544726E-41.43302665.0E-50.00162790680.00140474640.00146466211.04265246.0E-50.016160330.014364510.0144236481.0041176.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.6761221E-56.676015E-52.49466014.0E-51.3291716E-41.1468597E-41.6468024E-41.43592315.0E-50.0016170650.00139541950.00145533581.04293796.0E-50.0160534870.0142717720.0143309151.00414416.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.2183434E-56.2182546E-52.80310734.0E-51.1417485E-49.506842E-51.4506366E-41.5258875.0E-50.00138919240.00115684730.0012167781.05180516.0E-50.01380540150.0118821910.0119414781.00498966.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.047825E-56.0477432E-52.95325184.0E-51.02228936E-48.776099E-51.3775661E-41.56967915.0E-50.00124392660.00106796890.00112790491.05612156.0E-50.0123698660.01098262050.0110419621.00540326.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-52.0314741E-56.0313927E-52.96897364.0E-51.0145135E-48.706028E-51.3705593E-41.57426465.0E-50.00123447020.00105944610.00111938261.05657346.0E-50.01227635050.0108978580.0109572051.00544576.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-51.9542116E-55.9541333E-53.0468214.0E-59.735599E-58.3749255E-51.3374507E-41.59697025.0E-50.00118466460.00101917250.00107911141.05881136.0E-50.011783690.0104953220.0105546921.00565686.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.8383771E-55.8383037E-53.17579224.0E-59.006634E-57.878522E-51.2878128E-41.63458685.0E-50.0010960069.5879E-40.00101873261.06251886.0E-50.0109061630.0098909010.0099503071.00600626.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.8186302E-55.8185575E-53.19941764.0E-58.86411E-57.7938974E-51.2793508E-41.64147765.0E-50.0010786719.48496E-40.00100843911.06319816.0E-50.0107345010.00978762750.009847041.00607016.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.7781347E-55.7780635E-53.24950844.0E-58.568561E-57.6203556E-51.2619975E-41.65608735.0E-50.0010427239.2738547E-49.873298E-41.0646386.0E-50.0103784380.0095745480.0096339741.00620666.0E-5
7.61.788966E-51.6434618E-55.643396E-53.43384674.0E-57.666772E-57.043219E-51.2042866E-41.70985275.0E-59.3302975E-48.5717626E-49.071334E-41.05828115.0E-50.009291220.0088664150.0089159721.00558925.0E-5
7.71.5125781E-51.4236738E-55.4236167E-53.80959254.0E-56.4823165E-56.101317E-51.11010115E-41.81944535.0E-57.889362E-47.4258295E-47.9254585E-41.06728265.0E-50.0078614120.0077141610.00776377551.00643165.0E-5
7.81.250089E-51.262994E-55.2629435E-54.16703754.0E-55.3574146E-55.4127195E-51.0412449E-41.92370015.0E-56.5207E-46.588E-47.0876704E-41.07584565.0E-50.0065015990.0068677590.00691741571.00723045.0E-5
7.99.561E-69.754065E-63.9753773E-54.07561063.0E-54.0975072E-54.180247E-58.18008E-51.95684124.0E-54.987573E-45.0882675E-45.488064E-41.07857234.0E-50.00497639370.00535236070.00539214631.00743334.0E-5
8.08.01699E-68.292994E-63.8292746E-54.61748173.0E-53.4358076E-53.554092E-56.5539854E-51.84406753.0E-54.1822926E-44.3262533E-44.6261234E-41.06931413.0E-50.00417443040.00457331860.00460318151.00652983.0E-5
8.16.541947E-66.461784E-62.6461654E-54.09510042.0E-52.8036617E-52.7693068E-54.7692516E-51.72218242.0E-53.4129233E-43.3711144E-43.571047E-41.05930762.0E-50.00340768650.00358057560.00360050381.00556562.0E-5
8.21.7968189E-67.9684827E-77.9684827E-71.00.07.70063E-63.4150596E-63.4150596E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.157758E-54.157758E-51.00.09.371159E-44.7107413E-44.7107413E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-74.8951257E-84.8951257E-81.00.06.500522E-72.0979108E-72.0979108E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.5542038E-62.5542038E-61.00.07.914075E-52.9679897E-52.9679897E-51.00.0

Pitas Point (Lower West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00414054471.01217275.0E-5
6.18.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00414054471.01217275.0E-5
6.28.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00414054471.01217275.0E-5
6.38.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00414054471.01217275.0E-5
6.48.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00414054471.01217275.0E-5
6.58.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00414054471.01217275.0E-5
6.68.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00414054471.01217275.0E-5
6.78.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00414054471.01217275.0E-5
6.88.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00414054471.01217275.0E-5
6.98.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00414054471.01217275.0E-5
7.08.103535E-67.805226E-61.7805149E-52.2811831.0E-53.4728975E-53.3450542E-56.344954E-51.89681643.0E-54.2274324E-44.07185E-44.471687E-41.09819544.0E-50.00421939930.00406446960.00411426651.01225175.0E-5
7.17.853298E-67.540917E-67.540917E-61.00.03.3656554E-53.2317817E-55.2317173E-51.61883372.0E-54.096915E-43.9339912E-44.233873E-41.07622843.0E-50.004089370.00392710320.0039669461.01014574.0E-5
7.27.771102E-67.453199E-67.453199E-61.00.03.33043E-53.1941894E-55.1941253E-51.6261172.0E-54.0540437E-43.8882386E-44.1881218E-41.07712583.0E-50.00404665570.0038815110.0039213561.01026524.0E-5
7.37.3945344E-67.0493033E-67.0493033E-61.00.03.1690477E-53.0210955E-55.021035E-51.66199152.0E-53.8576324E-43.677569E-43.8774955E-41.05436372.0E-50.00385094270.0036715510.00370144081.00814093.0E-5
7.46.964645E-66.5901527E-66.5901527E-61.00.02.9848137E-52.8243208E-54.8242644E-51.70811492.0E-53.6334046E-43.438073E-43.638004E-41.05815212.0E-50.00362746980.00343280730.00346270411.00870923.0E-5
7.56.6525035E-66.259191E-66.259191E-61.00.02.851042E-52.6824831E-54.6824294E-51.74555792.0E-53.4705905E-43.2654387E-43.4653733E-41.06122762.0E-50.00346517540.00326069190.0032905941.00917053.0E-5
7.65.613338E-65.15142E-65.15142E-61.00.02.405694E-52.2077327E-54.2076885E-51.90588682.0E-52.928539E-42.6875862E-42.8875325E-41.07439632.0E-50.00292468260.00268436740.0027142871.01114583.0E-5
7.74.494704E-63.996945E-63.996945E-61.00.01.9262876E-51.7129652E-52.7129481E-51.5837731.0E-52.3450027E-42.0853379E-42.185317E-41.04794381.0E-50.00234252960.00208340520.00210336341.00957972.0E-5
7.82.6075882E-62.1836663E-62.1836663E-61.00.01.117533E-59.358537E-69.358537E-61.00.01.3605114E-41.1393427E-41.1393427E-41.00.00.00135967880.00113876340.00113876341.00.0
7.94.045984E-73.2424057E-73.2424057E-71.00.01.733992E-61.3896017E-61.3896017E-61.00.02.1111147E-51.6918271E-51.6918271E-51.00.02.1109142E-41.6917015E-41.6917015E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

Hosgri

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.883978E-52.9128403E-53.912811E-51.34329751.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.448277E-41.16019762.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00153874491.01314852.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151369761.0032645.0E-5
6.12.883978E-52.9128403E-53.912811E-51.34329751.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.448277E-41.16019762.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00153874491.01314852.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151369761.0032645.0E-5
6.22.883978E-52.9128403E-53.912811E-51.34329751.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.448277E-41.16019762.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00153874491.01314852.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151369761.0032645.0E-5
6.32.2914428E-52.2641956E-53.264173E-51.4416481.0E-59.8200995E-59.703337E-51.17031435E-41.20609462.0E-50.00119494130.0011807460.00120072241.01691842.0E-50.0118853630.0117461230.0117955361.00420685.0E-5
6.42.0195741E-51.9696547E-51.9696547E-51.00.08.65503E-58.4411055E-58.4411055E-51.00.00.00105324050.0010272220.0010272221.00.00.0104826260.0102257830.0102554761.00290383.0E-5
6.51.9924333E-51.9408968E-51.9408968E-51.00.08.53872E-58.317865E-58.317865E-51.00.00.00103909340.00101223150.00101223151.00.00.0103424810.0100772440.0100970421.00196472.0E-5
6.61.809694E-51.7458287E-51.7458287E-51.00.07.7556004E-57.4819094E-57.4819094E-51.00.09.438353E-49.105431E-49.105431E-41.00.00.0093983660.0090690630.0090789721.00109271.0E-5
6.71.675989E-51.6042752E-51.6042752E-51.00.07.182612E-56.8752845E-56.8752845E-51.00.08.7413215E-48.3674554E-48.3674554E-41.00.00.0087070170.0083368530.008346771.00118951.0E-5
6.81.5401129E-51.4614069E-51.4614069E-51.00.06.6003166E-56.263023E-56.263023E-51.00.08.032922E-47.6225714E-47.6225714E-41.00.00.0080039470.00759728630.00759728631.00.0
6.91.356559E-51.2689955E-51.2689955E-51.00.05.8136946E-55.438439E-55.438439E-51.00.07.0758746E-46.6192925E-46.6192925E-41.00.00.0070533860.0066003780.0066003781.00.0
7.01.2030819E-51.1095949E-51.1095949E-51.00.05.155963E-54.75532E-54.75532E-51.00.06.275577E-45.788065E-45.788065E-41.00.00.0062578840.00577374730.00577374731.00.0
7.11.0972698E-51.0022167E-51.0022167E-51.00.04.7025E-54.2951437E-54.2951437E-51.00.05.72379E-45.2280835E-45.2280835E-41.00.00.00570906930.0052165330.0052165331.00.0
7.29.961926E-69.034732E-69.034732E-61.00.04.2693267E-53.8719707E-53.8719707E-51.00.05.1966653E-44.7131052E-44.7131052E-41.00.00.005184530.00470385230.00470385231.00.0
7.38.700929E-67.828089E-67.828089E-61.00.03.7289166E-53.354852E-53.354852E-51.00.04.53901E-44.083767E-44.083767E-41.00.00.004529750.0040769990.0040769991.00.0
7.47.866285E-66.9987263E-66.9987263E-61.00.03.3712215E-52.9994197E-52.9994197E-51.00.04.103689E-43.6511818E-43.6511818E-41.00.00.0040961190.00364591670.00364591671.00.0
7.56.8381305E-65.9596814E-65.9596814E-61.00.02.9305946E-52.5541241E-52.5541241E-51.00.03.5674145E-43.1092027E-43.1092027E-41.00.00.00356169320.0031055840.0031055841.00.0
7.65.503376E-64.595227E-64.595227E-61.00.02.3585684E-51.9693682E-51.9693682E-51.00.02.8711787E-42.397442E-42.397442E-41.00.00.0028674720.00239558520.00239558521.00.0
7.73.6144982E-62.6521896E-62.6521896E-61.00.01.5490614E-51.1366477E-51.1366477E-51.00.01.8858191E-41.3837808E-41.3837808E-41.00.00.00188421960.0013836470.0013836471.00.0
7.81.9853494E-61.1360784E-61.1360784E-61.00.08.508612E-64.8688985E-64.8688985E-61.00.01.0358743E-45.9277223E-55.9277223E-51.00.00.00103539165.933389E-45.933389E-41.00.0
7.91.1818757E-65.29477E-75.29477E-71.00.05.0651715E-62.269185E-62.269185E-61.00.06.1666724E-52.7626977E-52.7626977E-51.00.06.1649614E-42.7691363E-42.7691363E-41.00.0
8.06.962958E-72.71365E-72.71365E-71.00.02.9841215E-61.1629924E-61.1629924E-61.00.03.6331072E-51.415934E-51.415934E-51.00.03.6325134E-41.4215276E-41.4215276E-41.00.0
8.11.5033264E-76.52693E-86.52693E-81.00.06.442826E-72.7972553E-72.7972553E-71.00.07.844113E-63.4056532E-63.4056532E-61.00.07.843835E-53.4072833E-53.4072833E-51.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01255319551.00394885.0E-5
6.12.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01255319551.00394885.0E-5
6.22.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01255319551.00394885.0E-5
6.32.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01255319551.00394885.0E-5
6.42.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01255319551.00394885.0E-5
6.52.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01255319551.00394885.0E-5
6.62.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00129637621.03179634.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01255319551.00394885.0E-5
6.71.0601296E-51.1379544E-52.137943E-51.87875991.0E-54.5433335E-54.876859E-55.8768102E-51.205041.0E-55.5301044E-45.936007E-46.235829E-41.0505093.0E-50.0055163630.0059206530.00596041651.0067164.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996669E-52.0996558E-51.90935621.0E-54.391389E-54.7127756E-55.7127287E-51.21217921.0E-55.345204E-45.7363417E-46.0361694E-41.05226813.0E-50.00533236560.0057220250.0057617961.00695054.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699645E-61.9699548E-52.03095561.0E-53.878322E-54.1569267E-55.156885E-51.24055231.0E-54.7208337E-45.059924E-45.359772E-41.05925943.0E-50.00471081720.00504882030.00508861851.00788264.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274603E-61.927451E-52.07820321.0E-53.7088983E-53.9747716E-54.974732E-51.25157681.0E-54.5146482E-44.8382508E-45.1381055E-41.06197583.0E-50.0045054870.00482812940.0048679361.00824484.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.992925E-61.8992836E-52.11197521.0E-53.5961057E-53.8540562E-54.8540176E-51.25945691.0E-54.3773788E-44.6913436E-44.991203E-41.06391753.0E-50.0043687660.00468185030.0047216631.00850374.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3716957E-61.6371632E-52.5694311.0E-52.556484E-52.7306984E-53.7306712E-51.36619661.0E-53.1120746E-43.3241237E-43.524057E-41.06014622.0E-50.003107720.00331920940.00334910981.00900833.0E-5
7.34.877518E-65.206007E-65.206007E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.231127E-52.231127E-51.00.02.5447016E-42.716063E-42.8160357E-41.0368081.0E-50.00254178980.00271278970.00273273541.00735252.0E-5
7.43.8829853E-64.141863E-64.141863E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7750723E-51.7750723E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1609403E-42.1609403E-41.00.00.0020240390.0021588810.00216885911.0046221.0E-5
7.51.3489616E-61.4277905E-61.4277905E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119088E-66.119088E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449739E-57.449739E-51.00.07.036218E-47.4472814E-47.4472814E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.35378E-76.35378E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230458E-62.7230458E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3152595E-53.3152595E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314781E-43.314781E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.2607924E-72.2607924E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689107E-79.689107E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.17964355E-51.17964355E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.179592E-41.179592E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-81.5466837E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628645E-86.628645E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070372E-78.070372E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.07035E-68.07035E-61.00.0

Malibu Coast alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6572556E-51.759807E-53.7597718E-52.13646842.0E-57.102331E-57.5418226E-51.0541596E-41.39775183.0E-58.6436566E-49.1784896E-49.5781224E-41.04354014.0E-50.00861011350.0091425140.0091920571.00541895.0E-5
6.11.6572556E-51.759807E-53.7597718E-52.13646842.0E-57.102331E-57.5418226E-51.0541596E-41.39775183.0E-58.6436566E-49.1784896E-49.5781224E-41.04354014.0E-50.00861011350.0091425140.0091821491.00433524.0E-5
6.21.1085717E-51.155715E-52.1557034E-51.86525521.0E-54.750935E-54.9529724E-56.952873E-51.4037782.0E-55.782728E-46.0286105E-46.22849E-41.03315512.0E-50.00576770350.00601262740.0060325071.00330642.0E-5
6.31.0208568E-51.0592241E-52.0592135E-51.94407741.0E-54.375027E-54.5394543E-56.539364E-51.44056152.0E-55.325294E-45.5254134E-45.725303E-41.03617642.0E-50.00531255030.00551198330.0055318731.00360852.0E-5
6.49.0682315E-69.342641E-61.9342548E-52.07035111.0E-53.8863272E-54.0039286E-56.0038485E-51.49948942.0E-54.730576E-44.873713E-45.0736155E-41.04101652.0E-50.00472051840.0048632380.0048831411.00409252.0E-5
6.57.605796E-67.74859E-61.7748513E-52.29054741.0E-53.259586E-53.320783E-54.3207496E-51.30112391.0E-53.9678233E-44.0423166E-44.142276E-41.02472831.0E-50.00396074630.00403510130.0040450611.00246821.0E-5
6.65.889873E-65.8795417E-61.5879483E-52.70080281.0E-52.5242069E-52.5197793E-53.519754E-51.39685011.0E-53.0727885E-43.0674002E-43.1673696E-41.03259091.0E-50.0030685430.00306317930.00307314871.00325451.0E-5
6.75.66586E-65.6416443E-61.5641588E-52.7725231.0E-52.428203E-52.4178253E-53.417801E-51.41358481.0E-52.955936E-42.9433056E-43.043276E-41.03396531.0E-50.00295200730.00293941940.00294938991.0033921.0E-5
6.85.521556E-65.48943E-61.5489375E-52.82167271.0E-52.3663597E-52.3525918E-53.352568E-51.42505311.0E-52.880662E-42.8639048E-42.9638762E-41.03490731.0E-50.00287693060.00286022570.00287019721.00348631.0E-5
6.95.29752E-65.2499345E-61.5249882E-52.90477561.0E-52.270346E-52.2499526E-53.24993E-51.44444381.0E-52.7637955E-42.7389737E-42.8389462E-41.03651.0E-50.00276036070.00273560830.00274558091.00364551.0E-5
7.05.106743E-65.0476815E-61.5047631E-52.98109751.0E-52.1885859E-52.1632743E-53.1632528E-51.46225231.0E-52.6642776E-42.6334688E-42.7334425E-41.03796271.0E-50.00266108550.00263035760.00264033141.00379181.0E-5
7.14.8469647E-64.770376E-61.4770329E-53.09626081.0E-52.0772539E-52.044431E-53.0444104E-51.48912371.0E-52.528763E-42.488811E-42.588786E-41.04016981.0E-50.00252588750.00248603170.0024960071.00401251.0E-5
7.24.545514E-64.4481967E-61.4448152E-53.24809221.0E-51.9480629E-51.906356E-52.906337E-51.5245511.0E-52.3715083E-42.3207419E-42.4207187E-41.04307961.0E-50.00236897920.0023183260.00232830271.00430351.0E-5
7.33.794097E-63.6519373E-63.6519373E-61.00.01.6260314E-51.5651065E-51.5651065E-51.00.01.9795135E-41.9053511E-41.9053511E-41.00.00.0019777510.00190372210.00190372211.00.0
7.42.808217E-62.7190777E-62.7190777E-61.00.01.203516E-51.1653137E-51.1653137E-51.00.01.4651821E-41.4186774E-41.4186774E-41.00.00.00146421650.00141777440.00141777441.00.0
7.51.83809E-61.8190703E-61.8190703E-61.00.07.877505E-67.795992E-67.795992E-61.00.09.59044E-59.4912095E-59.4912095E-51.00.09.5863023E-49.487176E-49.487176E-41.00.0
7.61.1292672E-61.1001456E-61.1001456E-61.00.04.839708E-64.7149015E-64.7149015E-61.00.05.8921847E-55.7402427E-55.7402427E-51.00.05.890623E-45.7387765E-45.7387765E-41.00.0
7.75.065272E-74.6091537E-74.6091537E-71.00.02.170829E-61.9753502E-61.9753502E-61.00.02.6429525E-52.4049634E-52.4049634E-51.00.02.642638E-42.4047145E-42.4047145E-41.00.0
7.88.952991E-86.707853E-86.707853E-81.00.03.8369956E-72.874794E-72.874794E-71.00.04.671532E-63.5000562E-63.5000562E-61.00.04.671434E-53.500003E-53.500003E-51.00.0
7.98.007447E-106.161581E-106.161581E-101.00.03.4317629E-92.640678E-92.640678E-91.00.04.1781714E-83.2150254E-83.2150254E-81.00.04.1781706E-73.2150248E-73.2150248E-71.00.0

Whittier alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.2249139E-41.09874762.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00249284251.01215063.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244390441.0025.0E-5
6.14.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.2249139E-41.09874762.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00249284251.01215063.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244390441.0025.0E-5
6.24.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.2249139E-41.09874762.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00249284251.01215063.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244390441.0025.0E-5
6.31.9617712E-51.826841E-51.826841E-51.00.08.40732E-57.829095E-57.829095E-51.00.00.00102311059.527944E-49.527944E-41.00.00.010184130.00949040.00949041.00.0
6.41.5611336E-51.3604089E-51.3604089E-51.00.06.690401E-55.8301972E-55.8301972E-51.00.08.142519E-47.096013E-47.096013E-41.00.00.0081127480.00707533770.00707533771.00.0
6.51.5150166E-51.3100744E-51.3100744E-51.00.06.492767E-55.614487E-55.614487E-51.00.07.9020765E-46.8335526E-46.8335526E-41.00.00.0078740360.0068145080.0068145081.00.0
6.61.295588E-51.0380544E-51.0380544E-51.00.05.552402E-54.44873E-54.44873E-51.00.06.7579525E-45.415002E-45.415002E-41.00.00.0067374380.0054033430.0054033431.00.0
6.71.2542085E-59.899189E-69.899189E-61.00.05.3750682E-54.2424414E-54.2424414E-51.00.06.542181E-45.163967E-45.163967E-41.00.00.0065229540.0051534640.0051534641.00.0
6.81.2195878E-59.49523E-69.49523E-61.00.05.2267E-54.069322E-54.069322E-51.00.06.36165E-44.9532915E-44.9532915E-41.00.00.00634346860.00494369630.00494369631.00.0
6.91.1580298E-58.772739E-68.772739E-61.00.04.9628903E-53.759692E-53.759692E-51.00.06.040644E-44.5764804E-44.5764804E-41.00.00.006024250.00456846460.00456846461.00.0
7.01.0964795E-58.083794E-68.083794E-61.00.04.6991136E-53.4644378E-53.4644378E-51.00.05.7196687E-44.217152E-44.217152E-41.00.00.00570496960.0042104590.0042104591.00.0
7.11.0230601E-57.32646E-67.32646E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.1398744E-53.1398744E-51.00.05.336784E-43.8221394E-43.8221394E-41.00.00.0053239860.00381675920.00381675921.00.0
7.29.40865E-66.5430822E-66.5430822E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8041486E-52.8041486E-51.00.04.908117E-43.4135283E-43.4135283E-41.00.00.00489729130.00340940240.00340940241.00.0
7.38.237384E-65.5975433E-65.5975433E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.3989258E-52.3989258E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.920311E-42.920311E-41.00.00.00428894260.00291679920.00291679921.00.0
7.47.5316966E-65.0276153E-65.0276153E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.154675E-52.154675E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.623011E-42.623011E-41.00.00.00392223430.00262002670.00262002671.00.0
7.56.149649E-63.9336355E-63.9336355E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6858336E-51.6858336E-51.00.03.208294E-42.052318E-42.052318E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205051180.00205051181.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.3951796E-63.3951796E-61.00.02.338998E-51.4550694E-51.4550694E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.771411E-41.771411E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177007980.00177007981.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3329922E-62.3329922E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.998504E-69.998504E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.2172572E-41.2172572E-41.00.00.00217225030.00121666350.00121666351.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5010907E-42.4804124E-42.5803875E-41.04030591.0E-56.4316596E-40.0010624980.00107248731.00940181.0E-50.00780246640.0128504430.0128701861.00153642.0E-50.075341360.1204112250.120446411.00029224.0E-5
6.11.4521465E-42.3965565E-42.3965565E-41.00.06.222001E-40.00102659420.00102659421.00.00.00754900560.0124197630.0124296391.00079511.0E-50.072976570.116682730.1167092251.00022713.0E-5
6.21.429998E-42.3896809E-42.3896809E-41.00.06.127123E-40.00102364990.00102364991.00.00.0074342860.0123843720.0123942481.00079751.0E-50.071904440.116336770.116363281.00022793.0E-5
6.31.3536277E-42.3227946E-42.3227946E-41.00.05.799972E-49.950127E-49.950127E-41.00.00.00703862640.0120405340.01205041351.00082051.0E-50.06819820.1132495250.113276131.00023483.0E-5
6.41.2993296E-42.2651516E-42.2651516E-41.00.05.5673666E-49.703276E-49.703276E-41.00.00.0067572230.0117433380.011753221.00084151.0E-50.065554120.110527520.11055421.00024143.0E-5
6.51.0498927E-41.7981966E-41.7981966E-41.00.04.498764E-47.7042676E-47.7042676E-41.00.00.0054634980.009339520.0093494261.00106071.0E-50.0533111240.089207390.089234711.00030623.0E-5
6.61.0157505E-41.7469494E-41.7469494E-41.00.04.35249E-47.4847665E-47.4847665E-41.00.00.00528628840.0090745670.0090844761.0010921.0E-50.051622930.086784870.0868122651.00031573.0E-5
6.79.660386E-51.6728783E-41.6728783E-41.00.04.1395082E-47.167497E-47.167497E-41.00.00.00502821060.0086914740.0087013871.00114061.0E-50.0491594970.083274010.083301511.00033023.0E-5
6.89.089927E-51.5643238E-41.5643238E-41.00.03.8951015E-46.702511E-46.702511E-41.00.00.00473197880.0081297420.0081396611.00122011.0E-50.0463247750.0781630.0781906551.00035383.0E-5
6.97.353187E-51.2295779E-41.2295779E-41.00.03.150985E-45.2685605E-45.2685605E-41.00.00.00382957720.0063957280.00640566371.00155351.0E-50.0376425120.062189280.0622174141.00045243.0E-5
7.05.746064E-59.3890936E-59.3890936E-51.00.02.4623662E-44.0232803E-44.0232803E-41.00.00.00299380980.00488741320.00488741321.00.00.029537970.047987130.048006171.00039672.0E-5
7.14.9557195E-58.052768E-58.052768E-51.00.02.123707E-43.4507332E-43.4507332E-41.00.00.00258254730.0041932370.0041932371.00.00.02552740.0413734730.0413926431.00046342.0E-5
7.23.687595E-55.952694E-55.952694E-51.00.01.5803022E-42.5509068E-42.5509068E-41.00.00.00192231990.0031013350.0031013351.00.00.019057760.0308838230.0309032031.00062762.0E-5
7.32.5846984E-54.2473923E-54.2473923E-51.00.01.1076809E-41.820185E-41.820185E-41.00.00.00134776710.00221384040.00221384041.00.00.0133962230.0221752170.0221947751.00088192.0E-5
7.41.7747854E-52.993759E-52.993759E-51.00.07.6060016E-51.2829766E-41.2829766E-41.00.09.2563726E-40.00156090780.00156090781.00.00.0092179110.0157086870.0157283731.00125312.0E-5
7.51.4883479E-52.6244672E-52.6244672E-51.00.06.378478E-51.12472335E-41.12472335E-41.00.07.76303E-40.00136849320.00136849321.00.00.00773596670.0138016670.013821391.00142912.0E-5
7.68.166975E-61.4964299E-51.4964299E-51.00.03.5000852E-56.413114E-56.413114E-51.00.04.2605202E-47.805183E-47.805183E-41.00.00.0042523610.0079392030.0079491241.00124961.0E-5
7.73.3858064E-66.254251E-66.254251E-61.00.01.4510518E-52.6803657E-52.6803657E-51.00.01.7665124E-43.2628572E-43.2628572E-41.00.00.00176510880.0033883630.0033983291.00294131.0E-5
7.82.7721615E-65.366695E-65.366695E-61.00.01.1880637E-52.2999919E-52.2999919E-51.00.01.4463716E-42.7998807E-42.7998807E-41.00.00.00144543060.0029076150.00291758571.00342931.0E-5
7.91.9736292E-64.128705E-64.128705E-61.00.08.4583835E-61.769433E-51.769433E-51.00.01.0297595E-42.1540721E-42.1540721E-41.00.00.00102928250.00222372990.00223370781.00448691.0E-5
8.01.1767289E-62.5546633E-62.5546633E-61.00.05.0431145E-61.0948511E-51.0948511E-51.00.06.139818E-51.3329E-41.3329E-41.00.06.1381224E-40.0013661260.0013661261.00.0
8.17.5112825E-71.541076E-61.541076E-61.00.03.2191172E-66.604595E-66.604595E-61.00.03.9192048E-58.0408E-58.0408E-51.00.03.9185135E-48.2356273E-48.2356273E-41.00.0

Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6591328E-51.8107954E-52.8107774E-51.55223351.0E-57.110376E-57.7603596E-58.760282E-51.128851.0E-58.6534437E-49.444834E-49.644645E-41.02115562.0E-50.0086198240.0094115250.0094412431.00315763.0E-5
6.18.041125E-68.769726E-68.769726E-61.00.03.4461507E-53.7584115E-53.7584115E-51.00.04.194881E-44.5751085E-44.6750627E-41.02184741.0E-50.0041869710.0045676870.00457764141.00217931.0E-5
6.23.2807004E-63.5795688E-63.5795688E-61.00.01.4060069E-51.5340942E-51.5340942E-51.00.01.7116789E-41.8676413E-41.9676225E-41.05353341.0E-50.00171036110.00186647960.0018764611.00534771.0E-5
6.31.9339366E-62.1103806E-62.1103806E-61.00.08.288273E-69.044474E-69.044474E-61.00.01.00905054E-41.1011375E-41.2011265E-41.09080521.0E-50.00100859250.00110087180.00111086081.00907371.0E-5
6.41.3142635E-61.4339867E-61.4339867E-61.00.05.6325457E-66.145657E-66.145657E-61.00.06.857408E-57.482337E-58.482263E-51.1336381.0E-56.8552926E-47.4823375E-47.5822626E-41.01335481.0E-5

Almanor 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.1479834E-58.327245E-59.3271614E-51.12007771.0E-52.6345838E-43.5683523E-43.6683163E-41.02801421.0E-50.00320288820.0043364950.00434645171.0022961.0E-50.0315711720.042586580.0426057281.00044972.0E-5
6.14.4387216E-55.9767433E-56.976684E-51.16730521.0E-51.9021705E-42.561236E-42.6612106E-41.03903371.0E-50.00231343270.0031143510.00312431971.00320091.0E-50.0228949670.0307555810.0307749661.00063032.0E-5
6.24.4387216E-55.9767433E-56.976684E-51.16730521.0E-51.9021705E-42.561236E-42.6612106E-41.03903371.0E-50.00231343270.0031143510.00312431971.00320091.0E-50.0228949670.0307555810.0307749661.00063032.0E-5
6.32.9523822E-53.9546965E-54.9546572E-51.25285391.0E-51.2652454E-41.6947731E-41.7947561E-41.0589951.0E-50.00153934760.00206179290.00207177221.00484011.0E-50.0152872810.0204611120.0204807041.00095752.0E-5
6.42.0512744E-52.7430639E-52.7430639E-51.00.08.79088E-51.17555675E-41.17555675E-41.00.00.0010697640.00143061710.00143061711.00.00.0106462890.014244580.014244581.00.0
6.51.6750226E-52.2390364E-52.2390364E-51.00.07.178471E-59.595619E-59.595619E-51.00.08.7362836E-40.00116796060.00116796061.00.00.0087020180.0116491960.0116491961.00.0
6.61.4745303E-51.970686E-51.970686E-51.00.06.319262E-58.445639E-58.445639E-51.00.07.690986E-40.00102809840.00102809841.00.00.00766442250.010265130.010265131.00.0
6.79.951145E-71.1616347E-61.1616347E-61.00.04.26477E-64.9784257E-64.9784257E-61.00.05.1922336E-56.0610826E-56.0610826E-51.00.05.1910203E-46.059602E-46.059602E-41.00.0
6.85.866312E-76.849384E-76.849384E-71.00.02.5141312E-62.9354478E-62.9354478E-61.00.03.0609117E-53.5738623E-53.5738623E-51.00.03.06049E-43.5734157E-43.5734157E-41.00.0

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1721256E-42.3671088E-42.3671088E-41.00.05.022428E-40.00101388060.00102387041.00985311.0E-50.00609767580.0122506090.0122604861.00080631.0E-50.05933050.112844370.1128709841.00023583.0E-5
6.16.99169E-51.3808164E-41.3808164E-41.00.02.9960944E-45.9155683E-45.9155683E-41.00.00.00364164450.00717234750.00717234751.00.00.0358254350.0678043440.0678229851.0002752.0E-5
6.26.99169E-51.3808164E-41.3808164E-41.00.02.9960944E-45.9155683E-45.9155683E-41.00.00.00364164450.00717234750.00717234751.00.00.0358254350.0678043440.0678229851.0002752.0E-5
6.36.970908E-51.3776305E-41.3776305E-41.00.02.9871898E-45.9019245E-45.9019245E-41.00.00.00363083950.0071558840.0071558841.00.00.0357208660.06765330.067671951.00027562.0E-5
6.46.9517155E-51.3743227E-41.3743227E-41.00.02.9789665E-45.8877567E-45.8877567E-41.00.00.00362086090.00713879750.00713879751.00.00.035624290.067497340.067515991.00027632.0E-5
6.54.786248E-59.415232E-59.415232E-51.00.02.0510878E-44.0344993E-44.0344993E-41.00.00.00249433940.00490137840.00490137841.00.00.024665270.0469006970.0469102261.00020331.0E-5
6.64.4662214E-58.8819244E-58.8819244E-51.00.01.9139545E-43.80601E-43.80601E-41.00.00.00232774930.00462443570.00462443571.00.00.023035170.044292060.0443016141.00021581.0E-5
6.73.884542E-57.8650686E-57.8650686E-51.00.01.6646975E-43.3703333E-43.3703333E-41.00.00.0020248850.00409610480.00409610481.00.00.0200653360.0393320550.0393320551.00.0
6.83.4221863E-56.855886E-56.855886E-51.00.01.4665688E-42.9379298E-42.9379298E-41.00.00.00178408510.00357148380.00357148381.00.00.0176982950.0344194620.0344194621.00.0
6.91.6927712E-53.006262E-53.006262E-51.00.07.2545314E-51.2883375E-41.2883375E-41.00.08.828813E-40.00156747930.00156747931.00.00.0087938190.0154635440.0154635441.00.0
7.01.2509653E-52.246337E-52.246337E-51.00.05.3611697E-59.626828E-59.626828E-51.00.06.525269E-40.00117148020.00117148021.00.00.00650614170.0115831660.0115831661.00.0
7.18.751583E-61.4926157E-51.4926157E-51.00.03.750624E-56.396771E-56.396771E-51.00.04.5654282E-47.785344E-47.785344E-41.00.00.00455606030.0077644570.0077644571.00.0
7.26.354379E-61.1499087E-51.1499087E-51.00.02.7232769E-54.9280898E-54.9280898E-51.00.03.3150852E-45.9983454E-45.9983454E-41.00.00.00331014420.0060012430.0060012431.00.0
7.34.645554E-68.818441E-68.818441E-61.00.01.9909365E-53.7792794E-53.7792794E-51.00.02.4236954E-44.6003403E-44.6003403E-41.00.00.00242105360.0046114210.0046114211.00.0
7.44.23437E-67.992759E-67.992759E-61.00.01.8147173E-53.425425E-53.425425E-51.00.02.2091944E-44.1696956E-44.1696956E-41.00.00.00220699930.00418266140.00418266141.00.0
7.52.2187417E-63.952336E-63.952336E-61.00.09.508858E-61.6938488E-51.6938488E-51.00.01.157642E-42.0620918E-42.0620918E-41.00.00.00115703910.00207394970.00207394971.00.0
7.62.7952495E-83.8785874E-83.8785874E-81.00.01.1979641E-71.6622516E-71.6622516E-71.00.01.4585203E-62.0237894E-62.0237894E-61.00.01.4585107E-52.0317146E-52.0317146E-51.00.0
7.71.7192724E-82.3436652E-82.3436652E-81.00.07.36831E-81.0044278E-71.0044278E-71.00.08.9709135E-71.2228902E-61.2228902E-61.00.08.970877E-61.2285953E-51.2285953E-51.00.0

San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5333705E-47.109695E-58.109623E-51.1406431.0E-56.5699324E-43.046658E-43.1466273E-41.03281281.0E-50.0079695950.00370303080.00372295691.0053812.0E-50.07689770.0393642670.0393930861.00073213.0E-5
6.11.5333705E-47.109695E-58.109623E-51.1406431.0E-56.5699324E-43.046658E-43.1466273E-41.03281281.0E-50.0079695950.00370303080.00372295691.0053812.0E-50.07689770.0393642670.0393930861.00073213.0E-5
6.21.3912938E-46.049243E-57.049183E-51.16529991.0E-55.961325E-42.5922767E-42.6922507E-41.03856611.0E-50.0072337870.00315155620.00317149331.00632612.0E-50.070027980.033697920.0337269121.00086023.0E-5
6.31.3912938E-46.049243E-57.049183E-51.16529991.0E-55.961325E-42.5922767E-42.6922507E-41.03856611.0E-50.0072337870.00315155620.00317149331.00632612.0E-50.070027980.033697920.0337269121.00086023.0E-5
6.41.2623647E-45.0433562E-56.043306E-51.19827071.0E-55.4090127E-42.1612605E-42.2612388E-41.04625931.0E-50.00656560580.00262817930.00264812681.00758982.0E-50.063749810.028305520.028334671.00102983.0E-5
6.51.1736096E-44.3516375E-55.351594E-51.22978851.0E-55.028786E-41.8648551E-41.9648364E-41.05361341.0E-50.0061053730.00226811320.00228806771.00879792.0E-50.059403350.0245769470.024606211.00119073.0E-5
6.61.1586959E-44.2416294E-55.2415868E-51.23574841.0E-54.964894E-41.8177154E-41.9176972E-41.05500411.0E-50.0060280180.00221083850.00223079421.00902632.0E-50.0586710240.0239821640.0240114441.0012213.0E-5
6.71.13693764E-44.0728228E-55.072782E-51.245521.0E-54.87168E-41.7453796E-41.8453621E-41.05728411.0E-50.0059151520.00212294470.00214290221.00940082.0E-50.0576015930.0230752420.023104551.001273.0E-5
6.81.1204889E-43.9945848E-54.994545E-51.25032891.0E-54.8012115E-41.7118535E-41.8118364E-41.05840621.0E-50.0058298190.00208220540.00210216361.00958512.0E-50.056792320.0226353310.0226646531.00129533.0E-5
6.91.1005794E-43.9001738E-54.9001348E-51.25638881.0E-54.7159163E-41.6713967E-41.77138E-41.05982021.0E-50.00572652280.00203304230.00205300171.00981752.0E-50.0558118520.022101340.0221306771.00132743.0E-5
7.01.0647948E-43.7159174E-54.7158803E-51.26910261.0E-54.562608E-41.5924397E-41.6924237E-41.06278671.0E-50.00554083570.00193708680.0019570481.01030482.0E-50.0540470330.021059310.0210886781.00139453.0E-5
7.11.04795035E-43.620866E-54.62083E-51.2761671.0E-54.4904428E-41.5517084E-41.6516929E-41.06443511.0E-50.00545341750.00188758340.00190754561.01057552.0E-50.0532151650.020528210.0205575941.00143133.0E-5
7.21.02724036E-43.5117457E-54.5117107E-51.28474871.0E-54.401716E-41.5049479E-41.6049329E-41.06643751.0E-50.00534592850.00183074960.00185071291.01090442.0E-50.0521913950.019915730.0199451321.00147633.0E-5
7.31.00650694E-43.45853E-54.4584955E-51.28913021.0E-54.312888E-41.4821437E-41.5821289E-41.06745981.0E-50.0052383060.00180303180.00182299571.01107242.0E-50.0511653570.019592640.0196220521.00150123.0E-5
7.49.672919E-53.3374814E-54.337448E-51.29961721.0E-54.144878E-41.4302715E-41.5302573E-41.06990681.0E-50.0050347180.001739980.00175994521.01147442.0E-50.0492216830.018866820.0188962541.00156013.0E-5
7.58.7600405E-52.2694192E-53.2693966E-51.44063141.0E-53.753763E-49.725721E-51.0725624E-41.10281011.0E-50.00456063260.00118346510.00119345331.00843981.0E-50.044681650.0131279380.01314767451.00150352.0E-5
7.67.9562284E-51.922004E-52.921985E-51.52028021.0E-53.4093665E-48.236901E-59.236819E-51.12139491.0E-50.00414300520.00100238280.00101237281.00996631.0E-50.0406661260.01121940.0112391751.00176262.0E-5
7.76.3866544E-51.1936281E-52.1936161E-51.83777191.0E-52.7368503E-45.115449E-56.115397E-51.19547631.0E-50.00332702446.226282E-46.3262193E-41.01605091.0E-50.0327765270.00720732940.0072271851.00275492.0E-5
7.84.2543215E-59.0726735E-61.9072584E-52.1022011.0E-51.8231533E-43.888231E-54.888192E-51.25717641.0E-50.00221742924.7328937E-44.8328465E-41.02111881.0E-50.0219543320.00548846830.00550835861.0036242.0E-5
7.92.2636612E-57.811842E-61.7811764E-52.28009771.0E-59.7010445E-53.3478893E-54.3478558E-51.29868571.0E-50.00118046214.0752938E-44.1752533E-41.02452811.0E-50.0117421110.00468211160.0047020181.00425162.0E-5
8.01.5167874E-57.0475517E-61.7047481E-52.41892241.0E-56.500356E-53.0203442E-54.020314E-51.3310781.0E-57.9113094E-43.6766496E-43.776613E-41.02718871.0E-50.0078832030.0042147010.00423461661.00472532.0E-5
8.11.0681047E-56.3854363E-61.6385373E-52.56605361.0E-54.5775112E-52.7365868E-53.7365597E-51.36540871.0E-55.5716943E-43.331286E-43.4312526E-41.03000841.0E-50.00555774570.0038166980.00383662151.00522022.0E-5
8.28.226114E-65.1139064E-61.5113855E-52.95544241.0E-53.52543E-52.1916558E-53.1916337E-51.4562661.0E-54.2913653E-42.6680148E-42.7679882E-41.0374711.0E-50.0042830880.00304456850.00306450761.00654912.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Green Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.9629346E-51.7302863E-41.8302689E-41.0577841.0E-54.2691303E-47.41326E-47.6131115E-41.02695872.0E-50.00518528560.008986920.009006741.00220552.0E-50.0506595150.085539510.085576091.00042764.0E-5
6.19.88615E-51.7150163E-41.8149991E-41.05829851.0E-54.2362334E-47.347854E-47.547707E-41.02719882.0E-50.00514542360.0089079470.0089277691.00222522.0E-50.0502790440.084827120.084863721.00043154.0E-5
6.29.696895E-51.6789208E-41.7789041E-41.05955211.0E-54.15515E-47.1932544E-47.3931104E-41.02778392.0E-50.00504716670.008721330.0087411551.00227322.0E-50.049340630.083135780.083172461.00044124.0E-5
6.39.275224E-51.5968543E-41.6968383E-41.06261311.0E-53.9744904E-46.841728E-47.041591E-41.02921242.0E-50.00482821050.0082966520.0083164851.00239062.0E-50.0472464750.079274810.079311641.00046464.0E-5
6.48.391499E-51.4365884E-41.536574E-41.06959941.0E-53.595861E-46.155238E-46.355115E-41.03247262.0E-50.0043691750.0074671810.00748703161.00265842.0E-50.042842650.071646720.0716838541.00051834.0E-5
6.55.9519385E-59.932622E-51.0932523E-41.10066831.0E-52.5505814E-44.2560388E-44.4559536E-41.0469722.0E-50.00310091120.0051683410.0051882381.00384972.0E-50.0305799660.050146920.0501849131.00075774.0E-5
6.64.5361558E-57.4019794E-57.4019794E-51.00.01.9439218E-43.1717744E-43.2717426E-41.03151811.0E-50.00236415580.00385386780.00386382921.00258481.0E-50.0233916230.037667270.0376961381.00076643.0E-5
6.73.8808106E-56.264382E-56.264382E-51.00.01.6630985E-42.6843755E-42.7843486E-41.03724271.0E-50.00202294180.00326273170.0032726991.00305491.0E-50.0200462560.0320074150.0320364571.00090733.0E-5
6.82.2284667E-53.128574E-53.128574E-51.00.09.550222E-51.3407487E-41.3407487E-41.00.00.00116211920.00163113830.00163113831.00.00.0115606070.016166720.0161765591.00060861.0E-5
6.91.8050168E-52.4448536E-52.4448536E-51.00.07.735557E-51.0477527E-41.0477527E-41.00.09.4139716E-40.00127489540.00127489541.00.00.0093741910.0126690670.012678941.00077931.0E-5
7.01.4763166E-51.9583236E-51.9583236E-51.00.06.326917E-58.3925464E-58.3925464E-51.00.07.7002996E-40.0010213150.0010213151.00.00.0076736720.010166250.0101761481.00097371.0E-5
7.11.2399713E-51.6304042E-51.6304042E-51.00.05.3140546E-56.987261E-56.987261E-51.00.06.467941E-48.5036893E-48.5036893E-41.00.00.0064491480.0084717810.0084717811.00.0
7.21.0584195E-51.39220465E-51.39220465E-51.00.04.5360044E-55.966456E-55.966456E-51.00.05.521186E-47.2617555E-47.2617555E-41.00.00.00550748870.00723860270.00723860271.00.0
7.37.998173E-61.0544255E-51.0544255E-51.00.03.4277433E-54.5188888E-54.5188888E-51.00.04.1724785E-45.500369E-45.500369E-41.00.00.0041646530.0054871350.0054871351.00.0
7.46.7571127E-68.932903E-68.932903E-61.00.02.8958733E-53.8283313E-53.8283313E-51.00.03.5251552E-44.660006E-44.660006E-41.00.00.00351956860.0046506330.0046506331.00.0
7.55.69878E-67.516483E-67.516483E-61.00.02.4423114E-53.2213105E-53.2213105E-51.00.02.9731085E-43.9212484E-43.9212484E-41.00.00.0029691340.00391470180.00391470181.00.0
7.64.503664E-65.9358217E-65.9358217E-61.00.01.9301275E-52.5438992E-52.5438992E-51.00.02.3496768E-43.0967654E-43.0967654E-41.00.00.0023471940.00309272790.00309272791.00.0
7.71.0873546E-61.410754E-61.410754E-61.00.04.6600826E-66.0460743E-66.0460743E-61.00.05.6735033E-57.36085E-57.36085E-51.00.05.672055E-47.3587085E-47.3587085E-41.00.0
7.84.9373917E-86.177967E-86.177967E-81.00.02.1160248E-72.6477002E-72.6477002E-71.00.02.5762572E-63.2235714E-63.2235714E-61.00.02.5762274E-53.2228E-53.2228E-51.00.0

Cucamonga

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1848348E-51.1737109E-54.1736756E-53.55596573.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-58.029943E-51.59638043.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.4222625E-41.048973.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.0061465011.00651014.0E-5
6.11.1848348E-51.1737109E-54.1736756E-53.55596573.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-58.029943E-51.59638043.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.4222625E-41.048973.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.0061465011.00651014.0E-5
6.21.1848348E-51.1737109E-54.1736756E-53.55596573.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-58.029943E-51.59638043.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.4222625E-41.048973.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.0061465011.00651014.0E-5
6.31.1848348E-51.1737109E-54.1736756E-53.55596573.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-58.029943E-51.59638043.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.4222625E-41.048973.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.0061465011.00651014.0E-5
6.41.1848348E-51.1737109E-54.1736756E-53.55596573.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-58.029943E-51.59638043.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.4222625E-41.048973.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.0061465011.00651014.0E-5
6.51.16988695E-51.157614E-54.1575793E-53.59150743.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-57.9609614E-51.60467343.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-46.338323E-41.04965113.0E-50.0060857450.00602325940.00606301851.0066014.0E-5
6.61.16988695E-51.157614E-54.1575793E-53.59150743.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-57.9609614E-51.60467343.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-46.338323E-41.04965113.0E-50.0060857450.00602325940.00606301851.0066014.0E-5
6.71.1397107E-51.1115039E-54.1114705E-53.69901593.0E-54.884383E-54.7635025E-57.7633595E-51.62975873.0E-55.9451134E-45.798046E-46.097872E-41.05171163.0E-50.0059292340.0057840610.00581388731.00515663.0E-5
6.81.058387E-59.785037E-63.9784743E-54.06587553.0E-54.5358654E-54.1935207E-57.193395E-51.71535933.0E-55.521017E-45.1044265E-45.4042734E-41.05874253.0E-50.005507320.0050937020.0051235491.00585963.0E-5
6.99.690046E-68.579504E-63.8579245E-54.4966763.0E-54.1528107E-53.6768783E-56.676768E-51.81587953.0E-55.054874E-44.475684E-44.7755498E-41.06699883.0E-50.0050433910.00446759540.00449746151.0066853.0E-5
7.09.381461E-68.18712E-63.8186874E-54.66426233.0E-54.020564E-53.508719E-56.508613E-51.8549833.0E-54.893937E-44.2710314E-44.5709033E-41.07021073.0E-50.00488317340.0042637470.0042936191.0070063.0E-5
7.18.946492E-67.781904E-63.7781672E-54.85506773.0E-53.8341543E-53.3350592E-56.3349595E-51.89950423.0E-54.667083E-44.0596814E-44.3595597E-41.07386743.0E-50.00465729370.00405319270.0040830711.00737153.0E-5
7.28.251016E-66.9752878E-63.6975078E-55.3008683.0E-53.5361016E-52.9893748E-55.9892853E-52.00352433.0E-54.3043532E-43.6389584E-43.9388493E-41.08241123.0E-50.00429602530.00363392520.0036638161.00822563.0E-5
7.37.717881E-66.4863584E-63.6486163E-55.62506153.0E-53.3076216E-52.7798384E-55.779755E-52.07916953.0E-54.026285E-43.38393E-43.6838284E-41.08862443.0E-50.0040189980.00337971030.0034096091.00884653.0E-5
7.47.275623E-66.032004E-63.6031823E-55.97344163.0E-53.118087E-52.5851192E-55.5850414E-52.1604583.0E-53.7956095E-43.1469302E-43.4468356E-41.0953013.0E-50.00378913320.00314340460.00317331031.00951373.0E-5
7.56.5109502E-65.100593E-62.5100491E-54.92109252.0E-52.7903774E-52.1859503E-54.1859064E-51.91491392.0E-53.3967546E-42.661071E-42.8610177E-41.07513772.0E-50.00339156740.00265880160.00267874851.00750222.0E-5
7.65.4495326E-63.908547E-62.390847E-56.1169712.0E-52.335493E-51.6750808E-53.6750473E-52.19395232.0E-52.8430918E-42.0392207E-42.2391799E-41.09805672.0E-50.00283945720.00203826160.00205822081.00979232.0E-5
7.74.7997164E-63.2002263E-61.3200194E-54.1247691.0E-52.057005E-51.3715184E-52.3715047E-51.72910891.0E-52.504116E-41.6696959E-41.7696794E-41.05988111.0E-50.0025012960.00166937010.00167935341.00598031.0E-5
7.83.3941733E-62.0641678E-61.2064147E-55.84455731.0E-51.4546376E-58.846404E-61.8846315E-52.13039281.0E-51.7708774E-41.07699656E-41.17698575E-41.09284081.0E-50.00176946680.00107660320.00108659241.00927841.0E-5
7.99.750552E-75.155798E-75.155798E-71.00.04.178801E-62.2096258E-62.2096258E-61.00.05.0875715E-52.6901867E-52.6901867E-51.00.05.086407E-42.689865E-42.689865E-41.00.0
8.01.133857E-76.053372E-86.053372E-81.00.04.8593864E-72.594302E-72.594302E-71.00.05.9162867E-63.1585582E-63.1585582E-61.00.05.916129E-53.158515E-53.158515E-51.00.0

Robinson Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3705327E-51.5285013E-53.528471E-52.30845122.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-58.550589E-51.305292.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.275262E-41.03758513.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080151831.00497534.0E-5
6.11.3705327E-51.5285013E-53.528471E-52.30845122.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-58.550589E-51.305292.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.275262E-41.03758513.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080151831.00497534.0E-5
6.21.3705327E-51.5285013E-53.528471E-52.30845122.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-58.550589E-51.305292.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.275262E-41.03758513.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080151831.00497534.0E-5
6.31.3705327E-51.5285013E-53.528471E-52.30845122.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-58.550589E-51.305292.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.275262E-41.03758513.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080151831.00497534.0E-5
6.41.3705327E-51.5285013E-53.528471E-52.30845122.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-58.550589E-51.305292.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.275262E-41.03758513.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080151831.00497534.0E-5

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.187212E-55.344289E-58.3441286E-51.56131683.0E-51.794396E-42.2902661E-42.5901975E-41.13095923.0E-50.0021824880.00278579980.00282568831.01431864.0E-50.0216117760.0276032180.0276421141.0014094.0E-5
6.14.187212E-55.344289E-58.3441286E-51.56131683.0E-51.794396E-42.2902661E-42.5901975E-41.13095923.0E-50.0021824880.00278579980.00282568831.01431864.0E-50.0216117760.0276032180.0276421141.0014094.0E-5
6.21.7353306E-52.2154672E-52.2154672E-51.00.07.436919E-59.4947456E-59.4947456E-51.00.09.050688E-40.00115575730.00115575731.00.00.0090139150.01153520.01153521.00.0
6.31.7353306E-52.2154672E-52.2154672E-51.00.07.436919E-59.4947456E-59.4947456E-51.00.09.050688E-40.00115575730.00115575731.00.00.0090139150.01153520.01153521.00.0
6.41.4028824E-51.7901062E-51.7901062E-51.00.06.0122147E-57.671883E-57.671883E-51.00.07.3174125E-49.340303E-49.340303E-41.00.00.00729336450.0093382110.0093382111.00.0

White Wolf

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.12.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.22.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.32.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.41.132487E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-54.8534253E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-55.907443E-45.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0058917645.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.51.132487E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-54.8534253E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-55.907443E-45.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0058917645.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.69.347473E-61.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-54.0059982E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-54.8762115E-45.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.00486552535.4609246E-45.860706E-41.07320764.0E-5
6.77.842647E-61.0047773E-62.1004756E-520.9048882.0E-53.361091E-54.306182E-62.4306095E-55.6444662.0E-54.0913603E-45.2426552E-58.242498E-51.57219913.0E-50.0040838365.241468E-45.6412583E-41.07627454.0E-5
6.86.26597E-69.734289E-72.097341E-521.545912.0E-52.685388E-54.1718313E-62.4171748E-55.79403732.0E-53.2689696E-45.0790914E-58.078939E-51.59062683.0E-50.0032641655.07798E-45.477776E-41.07873154.0E-5
6.95.258436E-69.1827343E-72.0918254E-522.7799852.0E-52.2535958E-53.935452E-62.3935374E-56.08198832.0E-52.7434074E-44.7913123E-57.791168E-51.62610333.0E-50.00274002324.7903272E-45.1901356E-41.08346164.0E-5
7.04.675028E-68.660704E-72.0866053E-524.092792.0E-52.003568E-53.7117254E-62.3711651E-56.388312.0E-52.4390711E-44.518937E-57.5188014E-51.6638433.0E-50.00243639574.518065E-44.9178844E-41.08849354.0E-5
7.12.8270078E-66.8737717E-71.068737E-515.5480441.0E-51.2115692E-52.945899E-61.29458695E-54.39453941.0E-51.4749856E-43.586577E-55.5865054E-51.55761472.0E-50.0014740073.5860392E-43.8859318E-41.08362773.0E-5
7.21.6881406E-62.2703432E-71.0227032E-545.0461961.0E-57.2348685E-69.730038E-71.09729945E-511.2774411.0E-58.808096E-51.1846259E-52.1846141E-51.84413841.0E-58.8046055E-41.1845643E-41.2845524E-41.08440921.0E-5
7.39.086107E-71.5264496E-71.5264496E-71.00.03.8940398E-66.5419255E-76.5419255E-71.00.04.7408903E-57.964766E-67.964766E-61.00.04.739879E-47.964489E-57.964489E-51.00.0
7.41.9717383E-79.003399E-89.003399E-81.00.08.450304E-73.8585992E-73.8585992E-71.00.01.0288197E-54.697835E-64.697835E-61.00.01.028772E-44.6977384E-54.6977384E-51.00.0
7.51.086975E-76.659662E-86.659662E-81.00.04.6584634E-72.8541407E-72.8541407E-71.00.05.6716644E-63.474911E-63.474911E-61.00.05.6715195E-53.474859E-53.474859E-51.00.0
7.62.4217808E-81.5820849E-81.5820849E-81.00.01.03790605E-76.780364E-86.780364E-81.00.01.2636499E-68.25509E-78.25509E-71.00.01.2636427E-58.255064E-68.255064E-61.00.0

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9687902E-53.27575E-54.2757172E-51.30526361.0E-51.2722766E-41.4038214E-41.5038073E-41.07122411.0E-50.00154789610.00170788440.00173783311.01753563.0E-50.0153715850.0169551350.0169944581.00231924.0E-5
6.12.9687902E-53.27575E-54.2757172E-51.30526361.0E-51.2722766E-41.4038214E-41.5038073E-41.07122411.0E-50.00154789610.00170788440.00173783311.01753563.0E-50.0153715850.0169551350.0169944581.00231924.0E-5
6.21.9231524E-52.1159167E-53.1158954E-51.47259841.0E-58.2418206E-59.067912E-51.0067821E-41.1102691.0E-50.00100297970.00110348220.00113344911.02715673.0E-50.009984650.0109824410.0110121111.00270163.0E-5
6.31.324766E-51.4548534E-51.4548534E-51.00.05.6774446E-56.234942E-56.234942E-51.00.06.910097E-47.5884897E-47.788338E-41.02633572.0E-50.0068886490.00756352350.00758337231.00262432.0E-5
6.47.818645E-68.57284E-68.57284E-61.00.03.3508048E-53.6740246E-53.6740246E-51.00.04.078841E-44.4722404E-44.6721508E-41.04470032.0E-50.0040713630.00446358040.0044834911.00446072.0E-5
6.55.3076565E-65.8178007E-65.8178007E-61.00.02.27469E-52.4933206E-52.4933206E-51.00.02.7690834E-43.035216E-43.2351553E-41.06587312.0E-50.00276563530.003031280.00305121931.00657782.0E-5
6.63.6003578E-63.9484953E-63.9484953E-61.00.01.5430012E-51.6922022E-51.6922022E-51.00.01.8784421E-42.0600771E-42.1600565E-41.04853191.0E-50.00187685520.00205832140.00206830071.00484841.0E-5
6.72.5361826E-62.7834678E-62.7834678E-61.00.01.0869308E-51.1929101E-51.1929101E-51.00.01.3232579E-41.4522845E-41.55227E-41.06884711.0E-50.00132247030.00145146530.00146145081.00687961.0E-5
6.81.2115831E-61.3313797E-61.3313797E-61.00.05.1924885E-65.7059065E-65.7059065E-61.00.06.3216714E-56.9468166E-57.946747E-51.14394081.0E-56.3198735E-46.945596E-47.045527E-41.01438761.0E-5

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.579215E-41.14498712.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.209544E-41.05073383.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00720150861.00415313.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070585141.0005274.0E-5
6.11.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.579215E-41.14498712.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.209544E-41.05073383.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00720150861.00415313.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070585141.0005274.0E-5
6.21.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.579215E-41.14498712.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.209544E-41.05073383.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00720150861.00415313.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070585141.0005274.0E-5
6.31.716926E-41.3711878E-41.5711605E-41.1458392.0E-57.3561794E-45.8752164E-46.17504E-41.0510323.0E-50.0089194280.0071299890.00715977561.00417763.0E-50.085698090.070159930.070197121.00053014.0E-5
6.41.6392978E-41.3587909E-41.5587638E-41.14716972.0E-57.02367E-45.82211E-46.1219354E-41.05149773.0E-50.0085178390.00706575250.00709554041.00421583.0E-50.081986540.0693949760.06943221.00053644.0E-5
6.51.5742714E-41.2647794E-41.4647542E-41.15811042.0E-56.745133E-45.419374E-45.719212E-41.05532693.0E-50.008181320.00657843750.00660824031.00453033.0E-50.0788659450.064860930.0648983341.00057674.0E-5
6.61.3038084E-41.1587992E-41.358776E-41.17257252.0E-55.5865536E-44.96535E-45.265201E-41.06038873.0E-50.0067804380.0060287840.00605860351.00494613.0E-50.06577250.0593305380.0593681631.00063424.0E-5
6.71.2867592E-41.1314491E-41.3314265E-41.17674452.0E-55.5135164E-44.8481792E-45.148034E-41.06184893.0E-50.00669206540.0058869070.00591673051.0050663.0E-50.064940930.0580414160.0580790941.00064924.0E-5
6.81.2801298E-41.12520516E-41.3251827E-41.17772532.0E-55.485117E-44.8214293E-45.1212846E-41.06219223.0E-50.00665770050.00585452930.0058843541.00509433.0E-50.064617380.057755240.057792931.00065264.0E-5
6.91.269149E-41.1094256E-41.3094033E-41.18025352.0E-55.4380763E-44.7538272E-45.0536846E-41.06307713.0E-50.0066007770.0057726630.005802491.00516693.0E-50.064081220.0570271160.0570648351.00066144.0E-5
7.01.2030331E-41.0824356E-41.282414E-41.18474852.0E-55.154837E-44.638198E-44.9380586E-41.06465033.0E-50.0062579690.00563262030.0056624511.00529613.0E-50.060846480.0556999220.0557376971.00067824.0E-5
7.18.049617E-55.392429E-57.392321E-51.37087042.0E-53.4493793E-42.3108382E-42.610769E-41.1297933.0E-50.00419153460.00280985050.00283976621.01064673.0E-50.0411335160.0296188330.0296576471.00131054.0E-5
7.27.093979E-54.2935415E-56.293456E-51.46579592.0E-53.0399222E-41.8399608E-42.0399239E-41.1086782.0E-50.00369482530.00223787360.00225782881.00891712.0E-50.036339940.0239411260.0239704081.00122313.0E-5
7.36.193693E-52.8891074E-54.8890495E-51.69223542.0E-52.6541698E-41.2381302E-41.4381054E-41.16151392.0E-50.00322666370.0015063830.00152635281.01325682.0E-50.0318021330.0164976770.0165271831.00178853.0E-5
7.45.906492E-52.7020369E-54.701983E-51.74016242.0E-52.5311083E-41.1579645E-41.3579414E-41.17269682.0E-50.00307726980.00140891140.00142888331.01417542.0E-50.0303500440.01546950450.01549904051.00190933.0E-5
7.55.424296E-52.4675093E-54.46746E-51.81051392.0E-52.324491E-41.0574612E-41.25744E-41.18911222.0E-50.0028263950.00128669980.00130667411.01552372.0E-50.0279071650.0141618540.0141914291.00208833.0E-5
7.64.43084E-51.990151E-53.990111E-52.00492882.0E-51.8987931E-48.528939E-51.0528769E-41.23447572.0E-50.00230932960.0010379040.00105788331.01924962.0E-50.0228547830.0114111230.0114407811.0025993.0E-5
7.74.118098E-51.8933848E-53.8933467E-52.05628942.0E-51.7647797E-48.1142534E-51.0114091E-41.24645982.0E-50.0021465029.874629E-40.00100744321.02023392.0E-50.0212588660.0108689950.0108986691.00273013.0E-5
7.83.5408906E-51.856201E-53.856164E-52.07744962.0E-51.5174363E-47.954905E-59.9547455E-51.25139732.0E-50.00184591319.6807955E-49.880601E-41.02063942.0E-50.0183065520.01065066550.0106803461.00278683.0E-5
7.92.5860836E-51.7313954E-52.7313781E-51.57755881.0E-51.10827445E-47.420055E-58.419981E-51.13475991.0E-50.0013484899.030175E-49.130085E-41.01106391.0E-50.0134033540.0099066010.0099264031.00199892.0E-5
8.01.9777332E-51.4837888E-52.4837738E-51.67394041.0E-58.4757245E-56.3589396E-57.358876E-51.1572491.0E-50.00103143097.739261E-47.8391837E-41.01291111.0E-50.0102665670.0085080870.0085279171.00233072.0E-5
8.11.468494E-51.2105831E-52.210571E-51.82603821.0E-56.293394E-55.1881103E-56.1880586E-51.19273841.0E-57.6595135E-46.3146953E-46.414632E-41.01582611.0E-50.00763316640.00696849540.00698835641.002852.0E-5
8.28.63836E-65.4678667E-61.5467813E-52.82885671.0E-53.7021015E-52.3433504E-53.343327E-51.42672941.0E-54.5063766E-42.8526565E-42.9526278E-41.0350451.0E-50.0044972490.0032451620.00326509731.0061432.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Sierra Madre

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
<
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.0057536731.00521123.0E-5
6.11.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.0057536731.00521123.0E-5
6.21.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.0057536731.00521123.0E-5
6.31.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.0057536731.00521123.0E-5
6.41.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.0057536731.00521123.0E-5
6.51.26563245E-51.0230232E-53.0230027E-52.954972.0E-55.4240263E-54.384312E-56.384224E-51.4561522.0E-56.601751E-45.3366035E-45.536497E-41.0374572.0E-50.0065821730.00532396040.0053438541.00373662.0E-5
6.61.26563245E-51.0230232E-53.0230027E-52.954972.0E-55.4240263E-54.384312E-56.384224E-51.4561522.0E-56.601751E-45.3366035E-45.536497E-41.0374572.0E-50.0065821730.00532396040.0053438541.00373662.0E-5
6.71.2502474E-51.00663765E-53.0066174E-52.98679232.0E-55.3580934E-54.3140906E-56.314004E-51.46357722.0E-56.521526E-45.25115E-45.451045E-41.03806692.0E-50.00650242060.00523891160.00525880651.00379752.0E-5
6.81.2454966E-51.0018662E-53.0018462E-52.99625472.0E-55.3377335E-54.293642E-56.293556E-51.4657852.0E-56.4967526E-45.226266E-45.426161E-41.03824822.0E-50.0064777920.00521414450.005234041.00381582.0E-5
6.91.2225574E-59.792639E-62.9792443E-53.04233052.0E-55.2394265E-54.196778E-56.1966944E-51.4765362.0E-56.3771347E-45.10839E-45.308288E-41.03913132.0E-50.0063588650.00509681370.0051167121.0039042.0E-5
7.01.182946E-59.399179E-62.9398992E-53.12782532.0E-55.06967E-54.0281582E-56.0280778E-51.49648492.0E-56.1705755E-44.903189E-45.103091E-41.04076982.0E-50.0061534690.0048925330.0049124351.00406792.0E-5
7.11.14369095E-58.986194E-62.8986015E-53.22561622.0E-54.9014405E-53.85117E-55.8510926E-51.51930272.0E-55.9658696E-44.6878002E-44.8877066E-41.04264392.0E-50.0059498790.00467806780.00469797431.00425532.0E-5
7.21.0836419E-58.39959E-62.8399421E-53.38104872.0E-54.644097E-53.599775E-55.599703E-51.55557022.0E-55.652721E-44.3818538E-44.5817663E-41.04562282.0E-50.00563836420.00437336140.0043932741.00455322.0E-5
7.31.0403439E-58.020854E-62.8020693E-53.493482.0E-54.4585406E-53.437464E-55.437395E-51.58180432.0E-55.426921E-44.184318E-44.3842342E-41.04777752.0E-50.0054136870.0041765850.00419650131.00476862.0E-5
7.4